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The Monthly Business Review Covering financial, industrial, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Federal Reserve District VOL. 6 CLEVELAND, O H IO , FEBRUARY 1, 1924 “RESISTANCE TO EXTREME TENDENCIES EITHER TOWARD UNWARRANTED EXPANSION OR UNNECESSARY RETRENCHMENT WAS ONE OF THE OUTSTANDING BENEFICIAL FEATURES OF 1923 BUSINESS. THIS GENERAL SPIRIT OF PRUDENCE HAS BEEN CARRIED OVER INTO 1924 AND UPON ITS CONTINUANCE DEPENDS, IN LARGE MEASURE, THE EQUILIBRIUM OF THE CURRENT YEAR’S OPERATIONS. TO WHAT EX TENT IT MAY BE RELIED UPON REMAINS TO BE SEEN, BUT THE APPARENT WISDOM OF FOLLOW ING SUCH A COURSE IS NOT LIKELY TO BE OVERLOOKED. ’’—EDITORIAL FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of CLEVELAND D. C. Wills, Chairman of the Board (COM PILED JA N U A R Y 22 , 1924 ) NO. 2 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS 2 REVIEW An Editorial R ESISTANCE to extreme ten d en cies either toward unwarranted expansion or unnecessary retrenchment was one of the out” standing beneficial features o f 1923 business. This general spirit of prudence has been carried over into 1924 and upon its con tinuance depends, in large measure, the equilibrium of the current year’s operations. To what extent i t may be relied upon remains to be seen, but the apparent wisdom o f following such a course is not likely to be overlooked. The fact that industry and trade knew just where they were, made the following of such a course possible. Guesswork in production, selling, and buying lost much prestige last year, and it appears to be even less popular now than it was then. Careful studies are being made all along the line in order that weak places may be detected before they have done much damage. Never in the history of the country has there been so wide an interest in actual business condi tions and in the forces which control them. This interest is not con fined to the man at the desk, but it has extended to the man at the bench as well. Such knowledge naturally inspires confidence— not the theoreti cal kind or that which comes by “hearing someone say that such and such a thing is tru e/’ but confidence based upon sound, individual information. The present cheerful outlook for 1924 is not alone due to the fact that it is popular to be optimistic just now or even to the opinions of authorities who, after making a careful study of financial and indus trial trends in the past and their relation to the future, point out that 1924 should be a good year. Rather it is the result of the confidence which is being shown by the factory manager and factory employe, by the producer and the consumer, by the seller and the buyer, all of whom have worked out the facts for themselves and are sure of their ground. THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 3 S teel Business on th e Up Grade; Prices Firmer; Tonnage Exceeds S h ip m e n ts for F irst Time Since Last A pril Business in steel has been on the up grade during the past month. Heavy tonnages placed by certain conspicuous groups, such as the automobile builders, against large production schedules for the first quarter and first half of the year have been closely followed by liberal commitments on the part of m anufacturing users in many lines. Along with this, active buying by the railroads and by the building industry has been continuing. Even the agricultural implement in dustry which has been in a notably sluggish con dition for several years has awakened into life and is undertaking production with expectations of an im proved volume o f business during the succeeding months. Some of the implement builders report the best condition and outlook since 1920. The broadened character of the steel m arket at this time again testifies to the large scale of underlying consumption that is going on in this country and which, with the revival of greater confidence in the future, has brought to the mills in fresh bookings and specifications the heaviest new tonnage it has experi enced in months. For the first time since last April incoming tonnages have exceeded outgoing shipments. In some respects the new year is opening with con ditions similar to those which prevailed twelve months ago and which made 1923 one of the greatest years in output of the American steel industry. Business then as now was on the rise, and the accumulation of orders taken in the first quarter provided a back log upon which the industry was able to operate at a high rate throughout the year. In consonance with a widened flow of new require ments, iron and steel production has turned upward after a gradual decline extending over eight months. Mill and steelworks capacity which has been idle for some weeks is again being put in commission and here and there blast furnaces are being blown in. In the Mahoning Valley, independent open-hearth opera tions are now at the highest point since September. General iron and steel production at present is at the rate of about 75 per cent of capacity. In the East where operations have been quite low, some im provement is shown. On the final day in December, two more blast furnaces were in operation than on the corresponding date one month previously, accord ing to statistics compiled by Iron Trade Reznew. O n that date the number of active furnaces was 231. Gross pig iron production in December was 2,912,527 tons against 2,891,191 tons in November. Average daily production, however, was less in December than in November as shown in the comparison of 93,952 tons with 96,373 tons. The December figures brought the total output of coke and anthracite pig iron in 1923, according to Iron Trade R eview , to 40,025,850 tons, the highest in the history of the country. This exceeds the previous high record of 1916 by approxi mately 1,000,000 tons. Steel ingot production in December was at the calculated rate of 2,843,764 tons and on a daily basis of 113,750 tons, compared with 3,113,804 tons and 119,762 tons respectively in N o vember. This placed the total production of steel ingots in 1923 at 43,226,955 tons which falls short by less than 1 per cent of the previous high m ark of 1917. The recent expansion of the steel business is reflected by the statistical record of orders booked in certain of the more im portant lines of consumption. Car orders in December rose to a total of 10,600 or the highest point since last M arch. This heavier rate has been sustained in January and large negotiations by the New Y ork Central, Pennsylvania, Santa Fe, Read ing and other roads are under way. Locomotive orders, however, have been somewhat disappointing. S truc tural steel bookings in December jumped to 202,000 tons or 81 per cent of shop capacity, compared with 132,000 tons or 53 per cent in November. This represents the best showing since March. The book ings of structural steel in 1923 were the largest ever known, aggregating about 2,100,000 tons. The num ber of large construction undertakings coming to the front week after week is very impressive. The price situation shows greater firmness all along the line. Steel prices on the whole, while still subject to some variations on especially attractive business, have solidified on the level quoted by the larger producers for several months, and there is less talk on the part of buyers of concessions. This, no doubt, has been a factor tending to bring about the more liberal placing of tonnage covering requirem ents for the next three months. Iron Trade Review composite of fou r teen leading iron and steel products on January 16 stood at $43.29 compared with $43.00 one month previously. A t the close of 1923 this composite was $43.06. One year ago it was $40.67. The merchant pig iron market, while more active and on a higher price basis, still faces the shadow of heavy stocks on furnace banks which were accumulated during 1923. Buoyancy of the scrap market, especially heavy melting steel, because of large purchases by lead ing steelmakers, is contributing to stimulate demand for basic iron. In some districts heavy melting steel has been sold above basic iron, which is an unusual situation. This has resulted in considerable speculative buying. B righter C onditions are A p p a re n t in Oil In d u s tr y ; Upward M o v e m e n t in Prices; Year’s P etro leu m O u tp u t E s tim a te d a t 735,000,000 Barrels The oil industry is starting 1924 with a spirit which is much better than that existing during most of last year, and is looking forw ard to an increasing degree of stability in its operations. There has been an up- THE 6 MONTHLY BUSINESS industry. T he following figures show the substantial progress which has been made during the past two y ears; Production (barrels) Shipments (barrels) Stocks Dec. 31 (barrels) 1921 1922 1923 98,842,000 114,789,000 137,377,000 95,507,000 117,701,000 135,887,000 11,938,000 9,134,000 10,581,000 The remarkable record made by the industry during 1923 in taking care of a demand which has increased over 40 per cent in two years could scarcely have been achieved under less favorable conditions. The cement industry is particularly sensitive to transportation and fuel situations and the absence of shortage of both these essentials during 1923 was most helpful. REVIEW n m 7° ^ n °^t Port*anc* cefnent in December totaled 9 997,000 barrels as against 12,603,000 barrels in November and 8,671,000 barrels a year ago. Cement sh ip m e n t aggregated 6,408,000 barrels as compared o "«nnn l barrels in the previous month a n d 4 Soa.OOO barrels in December, 1922. Both of the<*figures are records for the last month of the v e a r although they show a considerable seasonal decline fro ™ previous m onths. u“ * _ Stocks of f i s h e d cement jn m anufacturers’ h and s increased over 3,500,000 barrels during the m onth on December 31 were 10,581,000 barrels, a q u a n tS S exceeded only once during the past eight years parently stocks are being accumulated in a n tic ip a tio n o f a continuation of the greatly increased demand whir-fc has developed d u rin g the past two years L u m b er M anufacturers a n d Dealers R e p o r t D is tin c t I m p ro v e m e n t Over L a st M o n th ; Heavy Rains C o n tin u e to H a m p e r Sou th ern P ro d u ctio n ; Open W inter F actor in P re sen t D e m a n d The National Lumber M anufacturers Association esti mates the nation’s lumber cut for 1923 at 38,000,000,000 feet, the largest output since 1916 when production totaled 40,000,000 feet. Production for 1923 was 35,000,000,000 feet. The peak was reached in 1907 when nearly 45,000,000,000 feet were produced. The 550 larger sawmills of the country reporting weekly to the Association produced approximately 14,000,000,000 feet in 1923 as compared with 12,000,000,000 feet in 1922. It is estimated that these mills pro duced around 30 per cent of the total cut of the United States. The Southern Pine Association esti mates the total output of southern pine last year at 1 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 , 0 0 0 feet while the output of its subscribing mills is placed at about 5,000,000,000 feet. The W est Coast Lumbermen’s Association estimates that more than 9,300,000,000 feet of lumber were produced by the mills in the Douglas fir region and that its member mills turned about 5,300,000,000 feet. Since our last report there has been an increase in the volume of lumber business and prices are firmer. During the month of November and the first part of December buyers showed a tendency to hold off their purchases, and this, together with a fair amount of production on the part of the mills, caused prices to sag. A fter the middle of December, however, many of them came into the market and placed a con siderable portion of their spring requirements at prices then prevailing. A t about the same time, the mills in the south curtailed their production, partly on account of the holiday seaso n , but mainly due to con tinued rains, with the result that the demand soon overtopped production, causing an advance in prices o f from $2.00 to $5.00 per thousand. This a d v a r^ has stimulated business further so that now th e r e • a n unusually good demand considering the season o f *wS year. A lum ber m anufacturer who has ju st returned f r r i an extended trip through the south where he called a large number of mills, tells us that practically all ° t them were optimistic fo r the first six months of borne of the mills have enough orders to run them f sixty to ninety days. There is a heavy demand f r * ° r the Oklahoma oil fields while dealers in several o f m idwestern cities were wiring down orders above I I * list price in order to get prompt loading and be a s s u ^ ! o f the stock. Heavy rains in the southwest have prevented log 0 ting and also the moving of the mills from one lo c aCutn to another. Some sections have had only a few d of dry weather since the middle of October T ^ a re scarce as a result. ‘ From the consuming standpoint, the im pr0 v _ . January business and the fact that dealers are c o m ' into the market for spring requirements a little e a r l ' ^ than usual, are looked upon by the trade as an in d i tion that stocks are at a low point. The open w i n ? ' which has afforded an unusual opportunity for carrxs on practically uninterrupted building operations n a t 8 ally has been responsible in large measure for demand now prevailing. Railroads are making prompt deliveries Cars now coming from California to Pittsburgh in f o u n * 1* days, whereas in the past, four weeks were usually « ured for this same distance. Farmers Pay More For Labor in 1923 It was necessary fo r farm ers to pay more for labor last year than in 1922. The United States De- partment of A griculture reports that the average for male help per month with board in 1 9 2 3 t h e m o n t h l y b u s i n e s s $33.18 as compared with $29.17 for the previous year, The average monthly rate without board in 1923 was $46.91 while in 1922 it was $41.79. T he average rate r e v i e w 7 per day with board was $1.93 last year as compared with $1.65 in 1922. Day wages for harvest labor with board averaged $2.45 in 1923 and $2.20 in 1922. Burley Tobacco A ssociation M akes Large Sale; Prices R e p o rte d F irm er S i n c e H olidays; Burley P roduction Show s 40,400,000 P o u n d Gain Over 1922 The first announcement of a sale of 1923 tobacco controlled by the Burley Tobacco G row ers’ Cooper ative Association was made on January 12 when it was reported that sales totaling about fifteen million dollars had been made. It was indicated that these sales included some of the tobacco of the 1922 crop. The report did not show the prices which were re ceived for the different grades sold. The independent tobacco warehouses in Kentucky are required by state law to report to the commissioner of agriculture the am ount of tobacco sold by them each month. According to this report the sales of burley tobacco of the 1923 crop during December, 1923, amounted to over 13,800,000 pounds. The average price per hundred pounds was $18.87. The reports coming from the loose leaf m arkets indicate that the prices paid since the holidays have been slightly higher than at the opening of the season. In the annual crop summary prepared by the De partm ent of Agriculture for K entucky, the burley to bacco crop for 1923 is estimated at 264,000,000 pounds as compared with 223,600,000 pounds in 1922. The state's total tobacco production during the past year is estimated at 494,190,000 pounds as compared with 446,250,000 pounds for 1922. Last year approxi mately 578,000 acres were planted in tobacco as against 525,000 acres in 1922. Production of cigar tobacco increased in all tobaccogrowing states except Ohio where the crop fell off about 750,000 pounds. Canning I n d u s tr y S ta r ts N ew Year w ith B right P rospects; Price Advances Shown in F uture B ookings T h e canning business is rep o rted to be s ta rtin g o u t the new year w ith b rig h te r pro sp ects than for several years p ast so far as the dem and for canned foods is concerned. T h e scarcity of farm labor, how ever, and the poor crops in certain sections, have caused the g row ers to dem and higher prices for som e of the canning crops. T h is is tru e p artic u la rly of th e tom ato g ro w ers th ro u g h o u t In d ian a and K en tu ck y w here the crop last year w as n o t up to stan d ard , and w here farm labor at p resen t is a fte r hig h er w ages. H eav y bookings of fu tu res on various lines of canned foods have already been m ade at prices con G a in siderably in advance of those m ade la st year. T h e am o u n t of the 1923 pack re m a in in g unsold in cann e rs’ hands is co m p arativ ely sm all and is b ein g fu rth e r reduced. Ja n u a ry sta rte d o u t v ery p ro m isin g in the w h o le sale grocery business and th e trad e a p p a re n tly is confident th a t th e p re sen t ac tiv ity w ill continue. R etailers are ca rry in g lig h t stocks and a re m a k ing th eir purchases freq u en tly and in sm all sized lots. W e are inform ed th a t th e holiday tra d e w as very satisfacto ry , in som e in stan ce s even above th a t of last year. For Farm I m p le m e n t I n d u s tr y L ast Y ear[E stim ated a t 20 Per C ent; Schedules for 1924 Conservative; Southern*Dealers Place Orders W ith the beg in n in g of its next selling season close at hand the outlook of the farm im plem ent in d u stry for 1924 business appears to be g ro w in g b rig h ter. T h e to tal volum e of last y e a r’s business is estimated by the Chilton Tractor and Im plem ent Journal at $250,000,000 or an increase of about 20 per cent over the previous year. T h e low m ark w as reached in 1922 w hen th e in d u stry 's business am o u n ted to $ 2 1 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . D u rin g the last five years the sales of im ple m ents from the u n it or tonnage stan d p o in t have been far below the line established in previous years as the usual required equipment for the farm. As the average life of farm machinery is estim ated a t ten years, it is n o t unreaso n ab le to suppose th a t considerable rep lacem en t w ill be necessary in the fu tu re. J u s t how m uch of th e overdue b u y in g will com e in 1924 o r 1925 is specu lative, b u t eq u ip m en t m an u factu rers, b asin g th e ir opinions on re p o rts received from field sales re p re sentatives, seem confident th a t im p ro v em en t w ill be show n. T h e losses of previous y ea rs have resu lted in cautious p roduction schedules and curtailed b u y in g of raw m aterials. S chedules fo r this y ear are being based largely upon th e size of last y e a r’s p ro d u c tion plus reasonable increases indicated by dealers* specifications. 8 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS O ne of th e m o st hopeful indications a t th e b e g in n in g of the new y e a r has been th e determ ined attitu d e of the dealers. T h is is p artia lly the re su lt of the publicity efforts of the m an u fa ctu rers w ho have so u g h t to convince the farm er th ro u g h the dealer, first of th e m an u fa ctu rer's condition, and second of th e ju stification of p re sen t prices. T h is cam paign has alread y given the dealer needed en couragement, and at the same time it is helping the farm er to see th e situ atio n as it actually exists. REVIEW Sales ac tiv ity of d e f e r s in so u th ern sta te s is al re a d y u n d er w a y , as evidenced by ad d itio n al o r d e r s b e in g placed w ith m an u factu rers. L a st y ea r th e d e m a n d s of the s o u th e rn trade drew heavily f r o m th e w arehouse stocks accum ulated for th e la te r n o rth e r n trade. T his year, how ever, in d icatio n s a r e f o r a m ore e v e n ly d istrib u te d business, for im p r o v e m e n t in the v a rio u s ag ric u ltu ral sections has b e e n m o re general. n C lothing S to c k s Heavy as R esu lt o f W arm F all; Fancy Weaves an d Colorings a Feature in Textile P ro d u c tio n T h e m en's clo th in g in d u stry is now engaged in clearin g reta ile rs' stocks of fall goods w hich have been carried over p a rtly as the re su lt of the usual season-end accum ulation and p a rtly because w arm w eath er held back sales. T h e m an u fa ctu rers’ spring season will, to som e extent, be determ ined by the success of th ese sales. If th e re ta ile r clears his shelves and is in th e m ark et for fu rth er m erch an dise, m an u fa ctu rers' p rogram s w ill n atu ra lly be as sisted. In th e m eantim e th e in d u stry is aw aiting U n certain ty in Soft Coal Outlook; th e o pening of fall w oolen lines w hich is e x D e c t~ t d u rin g th e c u r re n t m onth. a O ne of th e p rin c ip a l features in fab ric p r o d u e tio n a t th e p re s e n t tim e is the m arked tre n d t o w a r d fancy weaves an d colorings in women’s wear. N oveltv finishing and intricate designs are particularly c o n spicuous in woolen knit goods for outerw ear ' M ~ designs and various color mixtures are constantly a tT pearing on the m arket. P* P roduction J u m p s / T h e u n c e r ta in ty existing in th e bitum inous co a l situ atio n a t th e p resen t tim e calls to m ind the period ju s t p reced in g th e m iners strikes of 1922. The tie-up at th at time was ended by an agree ment which will expire the first day of April of this year. In m a k in g 11th e com parison, how ever, certain fun dam ental facto rs now at hand are to be rem em bered. T h ey a re : (1) T h e a n th ra c ite m ines are in a stro n g er p o sition th an th ey w ere tw o years ago. (2 ) Stocks of so ft coal are u n u su ally large. (3) N onunionized m ines paying w ages below the union scale and w ith increased p roduction facilities are in a position to supply a heavier dem and. (4) T h e ra il roads of th e c o u n try are fu rn ish in g excellent tra n s portatio n service. (5) Fuel oil is becom ing popular A n th ra cite O u tp u t Loto er a s a su b stitu te fo r coal. W ith re feren ce to p re sen t o u tp u t, th e p r o d u c tio n o f soft coal recovered prom ptly afte r th e h o l i d a v season and a s h a rp sp u rt in the w eek ended T anu ai-« 1 2 placed th e to ta l at 11,921,000 net tons T h is a n increase of a b o u t 1 2 per cent over the ra te p r^ S vailin g ju s t before the holidays; in fact it was th Z la rg e s t w eekly o u tp u t th a t has been recorded sir, D ecem ber, 1920. T h e o u tp u t on Ja n u a ry 5 w a s o * 068,000 n e t tons. A ccording to th e G eological S urvey p r o d u c t i o n o f a n th ra c ite m th e w eek ending Jan u a ry 12 failed t reach the level o f the period im m ediately before tK ° holidays. As a g a in st 2,013,000 n et tons in tK w eek of D ecem b er 15 th e o u tp u t for th e week en d ir» ^ J a n u a ry 1 2 was only 1,840,000 net tons. g Condition of Paper a n d Pulp Less S atisfa cto ry; M a r k e t for Boxboard U n se ttle d P ap er m ills, alth o u g h show ing a fair volum e of business, are n o t ru n n in g v ery close to capacity. B oth p ro d u ctio n and shipm ents for D ecem ber w ith practically no exceptions, show ed a continuation of the decline w hich w as ev id en t in the preceding m onth. T h is decline, how ever, is to be expccted at this season of the year. T h ere is a h eav y im p o rtatio n of foreign goods, principally in pulp b u t also in quite a num ber of grades of paper. T h is has placed the producers pulp, especially in Canada and also those in United States, in a tight position with the result th they are n o w selling their production at a figure w hi u perm its little if any room for profit, b u t still a b o th a t w hich w ould m ake it cheaper for them to shT ,! dow n th eir m ills. lu t In the boxboard in d u stry considerable b u sin e « . is being placed b u t prices have w eakened material^T he follow ing table com piled by the A m e ric a '" P ap er an d P u lp A ssociation show s p e r c e n ta g e THE MONTHLY BUSINESS changes in p ro d u ctio n and sh ip m en ts by id en tical m ills in D ecem ber, 1923, as com pared w ith N o v e m ber, 1923. P ro d u ctio n S h ip m e n ts P e r C ent P e r C ent N ew sp rin t ................................. *4 2 Book ............................................ — 1 0 — 6 P aperb o ard ............................... — 8 — 8 REVIEW 9 W rap p in g ........................... . .. — 15 , — 20 ... — 6 T issue ................................... . — 10 H an g in g ............................... .. . 10 F elts and B uilding ......... — 7 O th er G rades ...................... . . . — 2 1 T o ta l—All G rades .. — 7 — 21 — 10 — 11 — 17 — 3 — 7 — 11 — 7 Decline in M em ber Bank Borrowing Largely Due to R e tu rn Flow o f Funds; Reserve R atio Moves U pw ard During the first half of December there was a m arked upward trend in member bank borrow ings, due largely to the customary demand for seasonal re quirements. The past month (ending January 21) has witnessed a return of the funds to the banks with the result that loans have fallen off considerably and the reserve ratio has moved higher. On December 20 accommodations extended to city banks in this District totaled $49,687,000 while on January 2 1 they stood at $15,751,000, a decline during that period of $33,936,000. Loans to country banks on December 20 were $18,635,000 as against $15,686,000 on January 21, or a decline of $2,949,000. The total decrease for the month am ounted to $36,885,000. The reserve ratio of this bank was 75.3 per cent on December 2 0 , while on January 21 it had increased to 81.5 per cent. The reserve ratio of the System on December 20 was 75 per cent as compared with S0.S per cent on January 21. The combined reports of eighteen representative banks in this D istrict on savings deposits for the month of December show an increase of 14 per cent over the same month last year. W hen comparison is made with the preceding month an increase of 2 . 1 per cent is shown. Accordiing to statistics compiled by R. G. Dun ;& Company commercial failures in the F ourth D istrict for the month of December totaled 155. In the same month last year 117 failures occurred. Liabilities for December totaled $3,006,938 as compared with $3,519,347 for the same month a year ago. In the twelve Federal Reserve Districts there were 1,841 failures during December with liabilities am ounting to $51,614,730 while in December, 1922, there were 1,814 failures with total liabilities of $58,069,021. A u to m o b ile Production The Department of Commerce announces December production of automobiles, based on figures received from 186 m anufacturers, 96 making passenger cars and 119 making trucks (29 making both passenger cars and tru ck s). D ata for earlier months include 12 additional m anufacturers now out of business, NUM BER OF January ..................... ................... February ..................... ................... March ......................... ................... April ............................................... May ............................................... |une ............................ ................... July ............................ ................... August ..................... ................... September ................. ................... Octobcr ..................... ................... November ................. ................... December ................. .................... 1921 , 43.0S6 68,088 130.263 176,439 177,438 150,263 165,616 167,756 144,670 134,774 106,081 70,727 Total ..................... .................... 1,535,201 * Re vised Figures on truck production also include fire apparatus ancj street sweepers. Total output of passenger cars , 1 Q 9 ri . , cnn . * ls &n e n as j > cars» as against 2,339,768 1922, while truck output totaled 376,257 in 1923 as against 246,281 in 1922. M A C H IN E S Passenger Cars 1922 1923 81,696 223.819 109,171 254,773 152,962 319,770 197,224 344,639 232,462 350.410 263,053 337,362 225,086 297,330 249,492 314,373 298,911 187,694 217,566 335,023 *284,921 215,352 275,260 208,010 1921 4,831 7,830 13,328 18,070 18,070 14,328 11,136 13,400 13,978 13,149 10,487 8,656 3,636,599 147,263 2,339,768 T rucks 1922 9,576 13,350 22,640 24,097 26,298 22,046 24,692 19,462 21,795 21,949 20,354 1923 19,720 22,161 35,260 38,056 43,678 41,145 30,663 30,829 28,638 30,166 *28,066 27,875 246,281 376,257 2 0 ,0 2 0 THE 10 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW S T A T E M E N T O F C O N D IT IO N F E D E R A L R E SE R V E B A N K O F C L E V E L A N D Jan. 23, 1924 RESOURCES Gold with Federal Reserve A g en t................................................ ........... ............. ............. ........... Gold redem ption fund w ith U. S. T re a su ry ......................................... ............. ............. ........... Gold held exclusively against F. R. N o te s .................................. .............................. ........... Gold settlem ent fund with F. R. B o a rd .................................. ......... ............. - .......... ........... Gold and gold certificates held by b a n k .................................. ............... ............................ 5199,885 000 2,825 000 202 710 000 82,641 000 13,092,000 T otal gold reserves........................................................ .......................... ............. ........... Reserves other th an g o ld ................................................................ ............. ............................ ........... 298,443 000 10,415,000 T O T A L R E S E R V E S ................................... ............. ............................ ........... 308^000 N on-reserve c a s h .......................................................................................................................... 3,831,000 Bills discounted: Secured by U. S. G overnm ent obligations............................................................................ O ther bills disco u n ted ........................................................................ ................. ............. ........... T otal bills disco u n ted..................................................... ..................................................... Bills bought in open m a rk e t....................................................... .............................. ........................ 509 000 qqq 3 5 9 5 4 qqq 43,459,000 21 14 4 4 5 U. S. G overnm ent securities: Bond s ................................................................................................................................................. T reasu ry n o te s ................................................................................................................................ C ertificates of indebtedness................................................ ............................................ ........... T o tal U. S. G overnm ent securities.................................................................................. TO T A L E A R N IN G A S S E T S . .............. ............. 918,000 11,175,000 3 4 7 Q qqq 1 5 5 ^ 3 qqq ......... ~94,976,000 U ncollected item s........................................................................................................... ......... B ank prem ises.............................................................................................................................. ........... All other resources...................................................................................................................... . , 55,715 000 9*,097^000 299,000 TO TA L R E S O U R C E S .................................................................... 472,776,000 L I A B I L I T I E S ...................................................................................................................................... ~ F. R. notes in actual circu latio n ................................................ .......................... .......... 222 238 000 D eposits: M em ber Banks-Reserve ac co u n t................................................................................... ........... I 5 g 4 5 2 qqq G o v ern m en t.................................................................................................................................... 4*508^000 O ther d ep o sits........................................................................................... ............... ................................... 1,454,000 TO TA L D E P O S IT S .................................................... ..................................... .........1 6 4 ^ ) 0 0 Deferred availability ite m s........................................................................................... .......... C apital paid i n ........................................................................................................................................ 49 Q4 2 qqq l^ lS /X X ) S urPlu s ................................................................................................................. ............... ..................... All other liab ilities........................................................................................................... ..................... 23,691,000 1 ,0 5 3 , 0 0 0 TO TA L L IA B IL IT IE S ............................................ .............................. 472,776,000 Ratio of total reserves to deposit and F. R. note liabilities combined = 79.9^ Compared with 78.5% last week. 0 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 11 D eb its to In d ivid u a l A ccou nts Week E nding W e e k E nding Increase or Decrease W eek E nding A m ount Per C ent Ja n . 17, 1923 Jan . 16, 1924 Dec. 19, 1923 (322 B anks) (325 Banks) (327 Banks) A k ro n .................. . . $ 17,270,000 $ 16,218,000 6 .5 $ 1,052,000 $ 15,324,000 B utler, P a .......... 3,504,000 — 916,000 — 26. 1 2,440,000 2,588,000 C a n to n ................ 9,605,000 2,039,000 2 1 .2 9,989,000 11,644,000 80,794,000 0 .9 713,000 C in c in n a ti.......... 84,226,000 81,507,000 154,881,000 — 6,457,000 — 4. 2 C lev elan d ........... . . 145,347,000 148,424,000 37,200,000 — 5,710,000 — 15. 3 C o lu m b u s........... 35,919,000 31,490,000 1,334,000 — 59,000 — 4. 4 1,540,000 C onn ellsv ille.... 1,275,000 17,445,000 — D a y to n ............... 407,000 — 2 . 3 15,099,000 17,038,000 E r ie ...................... 7,813,000 0 .9 67,000 7,621,000 7,880,000 4,835,000 G reen sb u rg ........ 24. 7 1,194,000 6,029,000 5,171,000 961,000 1 ,0 0 0 0 .1 962,000 8 8 6 ,0 0 0 H o m estea d ........ 6,745,000 Lexington, K y .. 482,000 7. 1 7,227,000 7,974,000 L im a .................... 5,133,000 — 1,269,000 — 24. 7 3,864,000 3,817,000 L o r a in .. . . 1,702,000 — 296,000 — 17..4 1,406,000 1,204,000 2,577,000 — 49,000 — 1 .9 M iddletow n 2,528,000 2,145,000 2,532,000 6 .7 N ew B rig h to n . . 170,000 2,702,000 2,553,000 2,694,000 Oil C ity .............. 46 . 0 1,238,000 3,932,000 3,147,000 199,702,000 — 10,672,000 — 5 .3 P itts b u rg h ......... . . 189,030,000 186,362,000 5,406,000 — 225,000 — 4 2 S pringfield......... 5,181,000 5,588,000 2,461,000 426,000 17 '3 Steubenville* 2,887,000 2 .1 T o led o ................. 43,258,000 919,000 44,177,000 44,316,000 2,941,000 W arren, Ohio 453,000 15 .4 3,394,000 2,923,000 W heeling............ 13,011,000 — 778,000 — 6 . 0 12,233,000 15,618,000 12,087,000 3,461,000 28 . 6 Y oungstow n 15,548,000 14,555,000 3,228,000 — 15,000 — 0 .5 Z anesville........... 3,213,000 2,913,000 $638,067,000 $— 14,638,000 __ T o ta l........... . . $623,429,000 ‘ Corresponding figures for 1923 not available. 2 .3 $616,677,000 Increase or D ecrease A m ount Per C ent $ 1,946,000 148,000 1,655,000 — 2,719,000 3,077,000 — 4,429,000 — 265,000 1,939,000 259,000 858,000 76,000 -747,000 47,000 .7 .1 16. 6 - 3.. 2 2 .1 - 1 2 .,3 -17. . 2 1 2 .8 3..4 16., 6 8 ,. 6 - 9..4 1 ., 2 16.. 8 17 .9 5 .8 24 .9 1 .4 - 7 .3 12 6 - - 2 0 2 ,0 0 0 383,000 149,000 785,000 2 ,6 6 8 , 0 0 0 — 407,000 — 139,000 - - 0 '3 471,000 16,. 1 — 3,385,000 - - 2 1 . 7 993,000 6 .8 300,000 1 0 .3 $3,865,000 0 .6 M o v em e n t o f L ivestock a t P rincipal Centers in Fourth Federal Reserve D istric t for M o n th o f D ecem ber, 1923-1922 C in cin n ati............ C lev elan d ............. C o lum bus......... D a y to n ............... F o s to ria .......... M a rio n ........... P itts b u rg h ........... Springfield........... T o led o ................... W heeling.............. C attle 1923 1922 23,500 22,732 12,699 12,883 61 81 1,787 1,676 774 604 106 249 40,288 42,741 140 204 604 812 312 438 C in cin n ati............ C lev elan d............. C olum bus............. F o sto ria ................ M a rio n ................ P itts b u rg h ........... Springfield........... T oledo ................... 13,898 12,067 11,721 12,055 25 23 90 35 166 58 6,662 5,576 128 65 698 Hogs Sheep 1922 1923 1923 1922 144,937 122,932 5,898 4,782 155,984 114,140 44,395 32,915 10,305 7,055 17 164 19,239 13,467 450 484 15,070 12,141 2,385 1,320 10,289 8,140 1,096 880 336,499 310,421 78,402 48,576 10,505 5,203 482 129 13,872 14,567 1 ,1 2 0 926 2,810 3,462 82 127 Purchases for Local Slaughter 77,848 56,642 4,033 3,420 134,801 91,624 21,400 16,672 220 390 17 3 1,084 125 5 8 30 2,578 2,391 2 8,946 66,118 59,696 8,015 596 3 362 229 152 2,061 Calves 1923 1922 8,158 8,901 10,805 11,361 130 163 826 709 605 504 162 146 36,297 28,039 198 212 470 519 1,194 830 4,429 9,964 44 53 54 6,977 28 316 Cars U nloaded 1923 1922 1,702 1,943 2,414 2,070 37 13 ' 23 "33 5',377 5,292 'l 3 2 32 ’ l79 41 3,984 9,915 51 33 110 6,576 42 Wholesale Trade Percentage Increase (or Decrease) in N et Sales D uring D ecem b er, 1923, as C om pared w ith N ovem ber, 1923, a n d D ecem ber, 1922 D ry Goods N et Sales (selling price) during Decem ber, 1923, com pared with N ovem ber, 1 9 2 3 ............ . ............................ . .............................. . . — 18.2 N et Sales (selling price) during D ecem ber, 1923, com pared with D ecem ber, 1922................................................................................... — 13.6 H ardw are D rugs Groceries — 19.2 — 5 .4 — 13.2 —2 .0 3 .0 — 1 2 .0 THE 12 MONTHLY B U S I N E S S REVIEW Com parative S ta te m e n t of S elected M e m b e r Banks in F ourth D istrict Jan . 16, 1924 (80 Banks) Dec. 19,1923 (80 Banks) Loans and D iscounts secured by U. S. G overn 28,167,000 m ent obligations.................................................. $ 27,491,000 $ Loans and D iscounts secured by other stocks and 404.947.000 412.621.000 b o n d s....................................................................... 676.204.000 688.331.000 Loans and Discounts, all o th e r................................ 48.315.000 U. S. Pre-W ar B o n d s.................................................. 48.743.000 105.227.000 109.126.000 U. S. L iberty B on ds.................................................... 4,319,000 U. S. T reasury B onds................................................. 4,745,000 55.712.000 U. S. T reasury N o te s.................................................. 53.713.000 7,000,000 U. S. Certificates of In d eb ted n ess........................... 11.933.000 301.639.000 O ther Bonds, Stocks, and S ecurities...................... 299.880.000 T otal Loans, D iscounts, and In v e stm e n ts ........... 1,630,854,000 1.657.259.000 R eserve with Federal Reserve B a n k ...................... 107,751,000 106 808.000 Cash in V a u lt................................................................ 30,777,000 41.126.000 N et D em and D eposits................................................ 885,364,000 881.341.000 Tim e D eposits............................................................... 608,805,000 606.883.000 G overnm ent D ep osits................................................. 18,931,000 27.212.000 T otal Resources on date of this re p o rt.................. 2,077,190,000 2.104.058.000 Increase $ . D ecrease ................$ 1.999.000 676.000 7.674.000 12.127.000 428.000 3.899.000 426.000 4,933,666 1.759.000 943,000 4.023.000 1.922.000 26,405,000 10, 349,066 8,281,000 26,868,000 Building O perations for M o n th of D e ce m b er, 1923-1922 V a lu tatio n Perm its Issued A lterations New C onstruction A u c tio n , I n « Me or D e c r j w . 1923 1922 1923 1922 1923 1922 1923 1922 Am ount Per C e n t 23 27 $ 417,347 $ 200.546 238 116 $ 17,340 $ 39,530 $ 194,611 A kro n ......... 81 - 1 35 28 428,560 207,397 67 46,647 158 C a n t o n .. . . 22,375 245,435 106 • 8 1,240,720 124 139 234 190 2,190,865 170,295 C incinnati.. 158,130 962,310 68 . 8 694 450 498 12,365,455 5,016,915 897,090 573 C leveland*. 1,056,295 7,189,335 118 -4 533,990 71 52 219 707,565 219 118,835 C o lu m b u s.. 85,310 207,100 33 -4 36 225.546 53 80 360,532 71,752 101 D a y to n . . . . 42,180 164,558 61 -5 241,700 16 19 70,880 274,080 72 100 E rie ............. 27,475 75,785 28 -2 21 22,475 27 65,830 27,380 19 29 L ex in g to n .. 10,870 59,865 179 • 5 2,054,199 112 57 256 2,865,223 305,860 P itts b u rg h . 388 268,441 848,443 36 .5 11 40,150 4 28 40,470 3,175 S pringfield. 47 4,150 655 1 •5 76 49 762,735 132 488,370 110,220 236 T o led o........ 54,575 218,720— 26 -8 178,600 27 25 32 213,225 18,460 57 W h e elin g .. 30,120 22,965 11 •0 13 15 734,115 Y oungstow n 465,530 7,260 165 78 21,385 ■ 282,710— 37 • 4 T o t a l .. . 2,501 1,831 1,274 930 $20,883,052 $11,459,088 $1,865,194 $1,820,836 $9,468 322 71.3 *Includes figures for E a s t Cleveland, Lakew ood, Cleveland H eig h ts, and S haker Heights.* * N ew C onstruction D e p a r tm e n t S tore Sales (1) Percentage (2) of Increase or Decrease Comparison o f net sales with those of corresponding period last year No. of R eports A Decem ber B Ju ly 1 to Dec. 31 4 .7 2 .7 3 A k ro n .............. 4 .0 1 0 .8 3 C a n to n ............ 1 2 .6 15.9 C in c in n a ti.. . . 9 10.9 7 .0 C lev elan d . . . . 5 5 .2 9 .3 C o lu m b u s... . 5 8 .2 9 .7 3 D a y to n ........... 1 1 .8 8.3 P ittsb u rg i. . . 7 13.4 11.9 4 T o led o............. Y o u n g sto w n .. 19.8 23.1 3 8 .7 1 2 .1 44* D istric t........... 6 .0 8 .4 U. S. Average. ♦Includes two reports from other cities. Stocks a t end of m onth com pared w ith A Decem ber 1922 6 .8 6 .0 1 2 .0 14.3 8 .8 20.4 8 .4 25.7 16.0 1 2 .1 1 1 .8 B N ovem ber 1923 — 15.6 — 1 1 .8 — 21.4 — 15.3 — 2 0 .6 — 21.7 — 15.3 — 11.7 — 27.1 — 16.7 — 17.5 n (3) Percentage of average stocks at end o f each m onth from July 1 to D ecem ber 31 to a v e r a g e m onthly sales over same period 371.3 673.2 410.8 351.7 367.5 348.3 330.9 329.9 245.6 351.8 360.8 Percentage 0 f outstanding order, at Cn| of D e c e m b e r 1923, to to t a l purchase, during ca le n d a r year 1922 8.2 4 .5 6 .5 4 .4 4 .9 6. 2 3 .6 6.8 6.0 5 .7 S ta te m e n t o f B itu m in o u s Coal loaded in to Vessels (as D u m p e d by Docks ) in N et Tons For th e M on th of Decem ber, 1923, as co m p a red w ith th e sam e p e rio d for th e Seasons o f 1922-1921 1921 1922 1923 Ports 9,280 176 9,456 12,657 98,091 98,365 16,540 37,395 31,662 824 1,969 2,427 834 560 1,845 256 13,481 100,060 100,792 17,374 37,955 33,507 256 11,275 10,585 249 11,524 10,585 22,296 664 546 22,960 546 43,269 50,740 71,467 1,560 1,672 1,400 1,467 2,004 44,941 52,140 72,934 3,564 11,752 2,209 ’ 68 408 49 12,160 2,258 508,052 16,325 524,377 67,397 2,160 69,557 4,426,687 116,157 4,542,844 1,106,251 2,561,015 1,853,148 1,577,500 2,546,216 2,062,722 359,981 32,319 78,085 52,138 45,468 103,113 91,910 12,782 1,138,570 2,639,100 1,905,286 1,622,968 2,649,329 2,154,632 372,763 1,125,792 2,300,210 1,474,202 1,018,656 62,2 i 4 78,097 20,603 66,183 1,188,006 2,378,307 1,494,805 1,084,839 23,364 1,353 24,717 46,306 3,046 30,467 2,691 9,523 24,794 19,954 151 513 308 270 1,676 2,495 3,197 30,980 2,999 9,793 26,470 22,449 31,742 57,138 63,765 2,087 20,863 2,118 2,209 3,445 1,504 3,043 33,860 59,347 67,210 3,591 23,906 289,434 19,085 308,519 Hocking V alley .......... 5,026,533 N. Y. C — Ohio Cen tral L ines................. 1,182,193 151,965 5,178,498 36,966 84,402 95,726 58,439 196,569 201,470 31,920 82,236 255,746 94,482 242,057 96,532 860,814 27,965 1,219,159 888,779 B altim ore 2,912,587 & O h io .. . .77,864 2,891,967 2,976,369 2,990,451 3,103,822 2,794,264 99,730 2,893,994 1,539,867 430,222 17,587 447,809 3,864,526 1,836,014 91,529 1,927,543 2,071,997 1,056,464 93,239 1,149,703 770,945 381,903 14,464 396,367 994,367 3,635,786 1,515,608 88,464 1,604,072 2,241,626 1,674,618 90,038 1,764,656 3,025,697 1,618,192 63,317 1,681,509 834,635 199,670 72,387 272,057 Toledo Hocking V alley.......... N. Y. C — Ohio Cen tral L in es................. Baltim ore & O h io ... . Sandusky P en n sy lv an ia.............. Huron Wheeling & Lake Erie Lorain Baltim ore & O h io .. . . Cleveland P enn sylv ania.............. E rie ............................... F airport B altim ore & O h io .. . . A shtabula New York C e n tra l... P en n sy lv an ia.............. Conneaut Bessemer & Lake Erie Erie P en n sy lv an ia.............. T otal 68 For Season Toledo Sandusky Huron Lorain Cleveland P en n sy lv an ia.............. Wheeling & Lake Erie Baltim ore & O h io .. . . P en n sy lv an ia.............. E rie ............................... F airp o rt B altim ore & O h io .. . . A shtabula New Y ork C e n tra l... P en n sy lv an ia .............. C onneaut Bessemer & Lake Erie Erie P en n sy lv an ia.............. 3,008,096 1,481,428 3,667,957 1,870,527 739,025 912,131 3,380,040 2,147,144 2,783,640 738,103 3,241,786 92,597 3,334,383 T o ta l........................................... 29,828,784 1,628,510 31,457,294 18,522,142 829,181 19,351,323 22,412,380 759,069 23,171,449 N ote: Tonnages cover coal lin ejia u led into ports by railroads as shown. REVIEW T o ta l l! 47,373 Fue BUSINESS Fuel 1,067 Cargo MONTHLY C aryo Total Cargo THE Total Fuel Railroads THE 14 MONTHLY BU SIN ESS REVIEW S u m m a r y of Business a n d C redit C o n d itio n s in the U n ited S ta te s By the Federal Reserve Board. Production of basic com m odities showed fu rth er decline in December and wholesale p rices receded slightly. Christmas trad e w as so m e w h at larg er th a n a y ea r ago. Changes in t h e banking situ a tio n in Ja n u ary reflected chiefly an unusually la r g e retu rn flow of cu rren cy after th e holiday season. P R O D U C T IO N Index o f 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation (1919100). Latest figure— December, 111. T he index o f production in b asic industries declined fo u r p e r cent in D ecem ber to th e low p o in t of th e year. T he decrease for the m onth reflected principally a larg e reduction in consumption of cotton, but a ls o reduced op eratio n s in th e woolen, petroleum, sugar, and lu m b e r industries. P ro d u ctio n of pig iron and an thracite increased . T he F ed eral Reserve B oard’s index o f factory em ploym ent decreased one p e r cent, and w as fo u r p Cr cent low er th a n in th e spring. .T h e la rg e st decreases were at plants m an u factu rin g food products and railroad equipment BuHding c o n tra c t aw ards in D ecem ber w ere sm aller th a n N ovem ber, b u t alm ost 25 per cent la rg e r than a y ea r a g o TRADE R ailroad shipm ents continued to decrease during D ecem b* and w ere slig h tly less than in D ecem ber, 1922. L oad in g s 0 { coal and g rain were sm aller th a n a y ea r ago, while lo a d in of m iscellaneous m erchandise and live stock w ere in la r * * volume. T he volum e o f w holesale trad e showed m ore th a n t h e usual seasonal decrease and w as a t about th e sam e level a s year ago. S ales of m eat, hardw are, and drugs w ere la rg e * th an in D ecem ber, 1922, w hile sales of dry goods and s h o were smaller. Retail trade, tho u g h la rg e r in December, 19^ th a n in any o th e r m onth on record, did not show as larg e increase over N ovem ber as is usual a t the C hristm as seaso n P R IC E S W holesale prices, according to the index of the Bureau L abor S tatistics, decreased less than one per cent during E>°f cember. T h e chief reductions occurred in prices of fuel a n d building m aterials, while prices of clothing and m etals in creas and prices of farm products rem ained unchanged. D uring t h e first tw o w eeks of Jan u ary prices of co m , wheat, pig iron, troleum and lum ber advanced, while quotations on cotton, and copper w ere low er. SH ga r B A N K C R E D IT T he volume of credit extended by th e Federal Reserve banfc* showed th e usual sh arp increase during the la tte r p a rt ^ D ecember in response to holiday requirem ents fo r credit a n d currency and financial settlem ents falling due on the fir s t of January. Weekly figures for member banks in 101 leading cities. January 16. L atest figure, W ith th e passing of th e seasonal dem ands th « r* w as an unusually rapid retu rn flow of currency to th e Reserve THE MONTHLY banks, reflected both in an increase of reserves and a decrease of F ederal Reserve note circulation. M em ber BUSINESS REVIEW 15 banks used th e currency returned from circulation to reduce their borrow ings, w ith th e consequence th a t th e earning assets of the F ed eral R eserve banks declined by $360,000,000 during the four w eeks follow ing C hristm as, o r approxim ately $150,000,000 m o re th a n during th e corresponding period of 1923. A t the m iddle of Ja n u ary th e volum e of R eserve b an k credit outstanding w as below $1,000,000,000 fo r th e first tim e since early in 1918. L oans m ade largely for com m ercial purposes by m em ber banks in principal cities declined betw een D ecem ber 12 and Jan u ary 16 to a point $264,000,000 low er th a n a t th e peak in O ctober an d to about the level of July, 1923. T h is decrease in loans, w hich w as general th ro u g h o u t th e country, w as ac com panied by a m ovem ent of funds to th e financial centers and an increase in loans on securities, principally in N ew Y ork. Weekly figure* for 12 Federal Reserve Banka. Latest figure, January 23. E asier m oney conditions in Jan u ary w ere reflected in a fu rth er slight decline in th e rate on prim e com m ercial paper to 4 Ya p er cent, com pared w ith 4% to 5 p er cent in D ecem ber, and in increased activity in th e investm ent m arkets. FOURTH FEDERAL BESEBVE D IS T R IC T « K-ENTu ,J ^ -------------r * --------------------- BOUNDAZV OF DISTRICT — »«• BOUNDARIES OF BRANCH TERRITORIES — ----- BOUNDARIES OF S T A T E S <§) FEDERAL RESERVE B A N K C I T Y FEDERAL RESERVE BRANCH C JT JE S O