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Hohthly F E D E R A L R E S E R V E Review B A N K O F A T L A N T A Atlanta, Georgia, September 30, 1945 Volume XXX F in a n c in g E x p o rts in th e S ix th Number 9 D is tric t the states of the Southeast have always been with customers whose creditworthiness might be less well that its staple agricultural crops, its lumber, its naval stores, and, in later years, its mineral and metallurgical products have found in foreign markets. Interest in the export trade, however, has not been confined to primary producers. It has also characterized large num bers of individuals and businesses in manufacturing, trans portation, and the service trades that are more or less dependent upon exports. Among these latter businesses are the banks. Banks have both direct and indirect interests in the export trade. Insofar as this trade is carried on by means of credit, it is obviously a field in which interested banks may find employment for their funds. Whether or not the banks of the region actively participate in the financing of exports, how ever, they are necessarily affected by the state of this trade because of its general importance in the Southern economy. The export of particular commodities, of course, need not be financed by banks of the region in which they originate or that possesses the ports through which they move. They may be financed through any bank, domestic or foreign, that has the necessary funds, facilities, experience, and marketing information required by the peculiarities of the export trade. The extent to which any Southern bank participates in this business in the coming years, when foreign trade is expected to undergo a great expansion, will depend largely upon its own policies—whether or not it chooses to employ its funds in this field of finance and sets up a competent foreign department to handle the business. Once a bank has made the initial decision to engage in the business of financing exports, the policy of its foreign depart ment will tend to be governed by one or the other of two points of view. On the one hand, the dominant attitude may be a strictly banking point of view in which profitableness and safety are primary concerns, irrespective of the effects that the bank’s policy may have on the export trade in gen eral, or it may be an export point of view in which the bank’s role as a stimulator of foreign trade is given more weight. The first of these viewpoints would tend to be cautious and conservative, favoring large exporters of unimpeachable credit standing and financial responsibility and their foreign customers of whose creditworthiness the bank would also have fully assured itself. The second point of view, on the other hand, would tend to be more venturesome, encouraging smaller American businesses to participate in foreign trade utilized in peace, the maximum expansion of markets, foreign as well as domestic, will have to be achieved not only by the nation’s larger businesses but also by smaller concerns. In the past, not many of the latter firms have seriously entered the export field. Whether they will be willing, and able, to do so in the years immediately ahead may well turn upon the financial services offered them by the banks. In the Sixth District, export financing is concentrated almost wholly in the hands of eight banks in the ports of New Orleans, Mobile, and Savannah. Of these, five have regularly organized foreign departments. In the others, one of the officers handles whatever foreign business the bank has. Foreign departments, where they do exist, are not all equally well staffed, nor are they all equally well provided with up-to-date and accurate information bearing upon for eign economic conditions and the credit standing of foreign buyers. The best of these departments, however, are prob ably as competent and as well informed as any in the country. The year 1938 was the last reasonably normal year before foreign trade had been completely dislocated by the war, although some banks claim to have experienced a decline in their foreign business even by that time. In that year Sixth District banks handled export business in an amount exceed ing 34 million dollars. Not all of this amount, however, rep resented actual financing of exports by the banks, for 9.1 million dollars, approximately 29 per cent, consisted of items handled by the banks for collection only. In such cases the exporters themselves provided the financing and bore the risks. Of the amount of export business financed by Sixth Dis trict banks in 1938, approximately 80 per cent was financed by the purchase, or discount, of drafts drawn by exporters on foreign buyers or banks and by advances made against such drafts. The remaining 20 per cent, approximately three million dollars, consisted of letters of credit opened by the American banks for the account of foreign buyers or banks. American exporters, of course, were the ultimate beneficiaries of these letters of credit, against which their foreign cus tomers authorized them to draw for payment of commodities sold abroad. During the years since 1938 the proportionate relationship between export business financed by means of drafts and that financed by means of letters of credit has been radically is t o r ic a l l y , concerned with the export trade. The prosperity known. Hvitally of the region has depended to a large extent upon the access If America’s wartime productive potential is to be fully 9 8 M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 altered. The extraordinary political and economic risks and uncertainties incident to the war compelled American exporters, in self-protection, to insist upon receiving pay ment by means of letters of credit. The withdrawal, tempo rary or otherwise, of some of the most important foreign competitors from the export market had the effect of rein forcing this demand of American exporters. The coming of peace and the probable early reappearance bf competition in the foreign market will undoubtedly see a decline in the volume of transactions handled by letters of credit and an increase in the purchase, or discount, of drafts. Almost without exception drafts have been negotiated by Sixth District banks with full recourse to the exporters. Moreover, these drafts have ordinarily had a tenor of less than six months. Indeed, the vast majority have been drawn for periods of 90 days or less and banks have tended to look askance on those running for as much as 120 days. It has been felt by the banks that four months allow more than ample time for commodities to reach their destinations, be accepted, and move into consumption or marketing channels. Banks report virtually no requests to handle drafts for periods in excess of six months. A consideration of the past activity of Sixth District banks in the field of export finance shows them to have followed policies that were generally conservative in character and that tended to afford the maximum of safety for bank funds employed in this way. These policies resulted in financial services to exporters that were adequate, in all probability, to the needs of the trade at the time and were certainly justi fied from the standpoint of safety to the bank. Whether or not the same policies will prove equally adequate in the period following the transition from war to peace is a matter about which banks should now be thinking. Any prediction of what the dimensions of the nation’s export trade will be when it has again settled down to a nor mal basis is extremely hazardous because of the many unforeseeable and uncontrollable factors, both political and economic, upon which it will be contingent. Even more diffi cult, of course, is an accurate prediction of the dollar volume of exports that may move through Southern ports—that part of the export trade in which Southern banks would logically be most interested. During the year 1939, exports from the United States amounted to 3.2 bil lion dollars, of which 872 million dol lars represented exports through the ports of 15 Southern customs districts. For the year 1944, exports from the United States, including military and lend-lease shipments, exceeded 14 bil lion dollars. It is quite unlikely, of course, that peace-time exports will reach this figure in the visible future. The level to which United States ex ports will finally tend to be adjusted will probably lie somewhere between the figure for 1939 and that for 1944. Just where an estimator will place that level depends upon the optimism of his underlying assumptions regarding tariff reductions, the rate of foreign investment, and many other factors. Within the Department of Commerce, estimates of postwar exports run from seven billion dollars to as high as 12 billion. If the conservative seven-billion-dollar figure is accepted and if it is assumed that the ports in the 15 Southern customs districts maintain the same relative position they had in 1939, then exports through Southern ports would be expected to reach a level of approximately 1.7 billion dollars, or, roughly, twice the dol lar volume of 1939. Though there may be some exaggeration even in this con servative estimate, the probable volume of exports through Southern ports at the time normal conditions are re-established will undoubtedly still be enough larger than it was in 1939 to constitute it a substantial economic opportunity both for exporters and banks. Heretofore the export trade has been predominantly in the hands of large exporters. With this trade reaching dimensions that seem most probable in the years immediately ahead, however, smaller concerns may develop a greater interest in it. Participation in the export trade by small concerns, how ever, tends to be limited by certain handicaps to which they are subject. For one thing, small concerns commonly lack adequate information about foreign markets. Although the Department of Commerce and certain private agencies are in a position to provide exporters with a great deal of informa tion of this sort, these services are frequently unknown to small businesses, which are unaccustomed to using them. Moreover, the basic data available from governmental and other agencies ordinarily require considerable refinement, interpretation, and co-ordination before being applied to the problems of an individual concern. Larger businesses are usually better able to do this than are small concerns. The complexities of foreign exchange, of export packing and shipping practices, and of foreign customs regulations may also serve to deter small businesses from entering this field. Higlily competent personnel is required in order to cope with such problems and to keep in touch with the agents of common carriers by water and with foreign freight ^brokers and forwarders. It is also necessary to keep in touch with the foreign freight agents of railways, because rates and tariffs are not always made public but must be secured by direct application. Small concerns may well feel that such a staff is a luxury they cannot afford. Another disadvantage experienced by small businesses in the export field is a lack of suitable representation abroad. A small concern can seldom afford foreign agents who will dili gently spend their energies in build ing a paying volume of orders and who will carefully investigate the credit standing and general business integrity of prospective foreign cus tomers. A small concern may also find itself at a cost disadvantage in foreign mark ets, compared with larger competitors even of the same country. Manufac turing and production costs are not necessarily higher for small businesses than for large ones, although this M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 often happens to be the case. Nevertheless, shipping as it does in smaller quantities and perhaps to numerous con signees abroad, the small business may find that the cost of its product at destination is markedly higher than would be the case for a large-scale competing concern. In some foreign markets, particularly in certain Latin-American countries, price is frequently the decisive factor in a transaction, out weighing quality, terms of sale, and all other surrounding conditions. The Latin-American aphorism “We’re not mad with our own money” well expresses the importance of price in determining the beneficiary of orders. Unless a small busi ness can compete on a price basis when seeking such foreign orders, it may find itself at a fatal disadvantage in the export trade. To some extent the cost of goods at destination could be reduced for individual exporters if they would combine in export associations under the terms of the 1918 WebbPomerene Act. Unfortunately, because of Government suits brought against a number of such associations and Govern ment investigation of others, considerable uncertainty has developed concerning what can or cannot be done under the terms of the act. The device of export associations, conse quently, has been relatively ineffective in increasing exports by drawing small businesses into the field. A judicial clarifi cation of the meaning of the act or a Congressional amend ment might make of this device a more useful instrument in the future than it has been in the past. Finally, it has been said that small business is handicapped in the export trade by its inability to get credit on favorable terms from the banks. The disadvantages under which small businesses labor, however, and the high degree of risk involved in their foreign transactions are sufficient reasons for banks to exercise exceptional care in extending them credit. In a statement made on April 17, 1945, by Secretary of Commerce Henry A. Wallace before the Subcommittee on Foreign Trade for Small Business, the suggestion was made that some sort of export-credit guaranty or insurance might be useful in getting more favorable credit accommodations for small businesses that want to enter the export trade. Export-credit guarantees, of course, are not something new or untried. Eighteen countries have made use of them at one time or another since World War I. Of the systems still func tioning, that of Great Britain is probably the most important. The most recent addition is the Canadian system established by act of the Canadian House of Commons on August 2, 1944. Export-credit guaranty systems are usually set up for the protection of exporters against losses stemming from certain specific hazards. One of these risks arises from the possibility that a foreign debtor may find himself unable to liquidate a debt because governmental blockage or restriction of exchange prevents him from converting the currency of his own coun try into that of the exporting country. The hazards that a debtor may turn out to be insolvent or that he may default on his obligations are what may be considered the normal busi ness risks. All exporters, regardless of size, are subject of course to these risks but not to the same degree. The large business is able to reduce these risks to a minimum because of its greater knowledge of foreign markets and foreign economic and political conditions, its careful choice of customers, and the 99 information and services available through the well-organized foreign departments of the banks that negotiate its drafts. An export-credit guaranty system, therefore, although theoreti cally not discriminating among exporters would in practice tend to be of greater value to the small business than to the large business. In an export-credit insurance plan a choice of various risk-bearing agencies is possible. All risks may be covered by insurance with the Government or some governmental agency, as is the case in Great Britain. On the other hand, they could be carried by private companies or by private com panies that are reinsured by the Government. If any such in surance plan were to be inaugurated in the United States, the national predilection in favor of private enterprise would undoubtedly favor the last of the three carriers mentioned, at least for normal credit risks. The risk of blockage or re striction of exchange, however, since it arises from the un predictable actions of governments and can be met only by governmental action, would probably be considered uninsurable by a private company and would have to be carried by the Government itself or some governmental agency. Whether or not a system of export-credit guarantees would have the desired effect of attracting more small businesses into the export field would depend partly, although to a minor extent, on the way in which bank policy would be affected by the existence of this kind of insurance. Bank policy, in turn, would depend to some extent upon the de tails of the plan, if and when it is set up. Although banks cannot be expected to know at the present time just how they may react under an export-credit insurance plan since all future factors are so uncertain, current discus sion in the press and in banking circles has given rise to some tentative attitudes that may be indicative of future bank pol icy. Most District banks would probably be interested in financing more exports for concerns that have the same credit standing as those firms they now finance if exporters were protected by export-credit insurance. A few, indeed, might even be willing to negotiate drafts for some exporters that are now considered marginal. Moreover, if exporters were covered by insurance against the insolvency or default of their customers, some banks, in all probability, would be willing to increase the amount of financing they would provide on a given export transaction. A bank’s ultimate safeguard in extending export credit lies in the recourse that it has to the exporter when the foreign debtor, after accepting the exported commodities, proves unable to pay or unwilling to do so. Export credit insurance would seem quite unlikely to induce many banks to forego this safety factor. One of the arguments sometimes advanced in favor of the guaranty of export credit is that such protection is necessary if American exporters are to meet successfully the competition of exporters of other countries. Foreign exporters, it is said, are able to give their customers better terms than American exporters because export-credit insurance makes banks more willing, to negotiate long-term drafts. Although there is some indication that Sixth District banks may react in this way, the tendency is probably not very strong. All banks, presumably, would be willing to handle more drafts with a tenor of six months or less, if the exporters were protected by credit insurance, and some banks probably would be willing to dis- 100 M o n t h l y o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e S a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 R e v ie w S ix th D is t r ic t S t a t is t ic s R ETAIL JEW ELRY S T O R E O PE R A T IO N S Ite m T o ta l s a l e s ........................................................... C a s h s a l e s ........................................................... ............................... C r e d it s a l e s ............. A c c o u n ts r e c e iv a b l e , e n d o l m o n th . C o lle c tio n s d u r in g m o n t h ....................... N um ber oi S to r e s R e p o r tin g P er C ent C h an g e J u ly 1 9 4 5 to A u g u s t 1 9 45 30 27 27 30 30 + 14 + 16 + 12 — 1 — 2 D EPARTM ENT ST O R E SALES* A d ju s te d * * D IS T R IC T .................. A tla n ta .................. B a to n R o u g e . . . B ir m in g h a m . . . . C h a tta n o o g a . . . J a c k s o n .................. J a c k s o n v i l l e .. . . K n o x v ille ............. M a c o n .................... M ia m i..................... M o n tg o m e r y . . . N a s h v ill e ............. N ew O rle a n s . . . T a m p a ..................... U n a d ju s te d A ug. 1 9 45 Ju ly 1 9 45 A ug. 1944 A ug. 1 9 45 J u ly 1 9 45 A ug. 1944 274 3.10 318 253 298 328 352 324 287 267 306 329 230 331 300 345 320 277 326 320 376 373 294 326 312 3 41 248 378 243 266 216 239 276 280 329 303 278 220 267 282 2 11 339 244 299 277 231 249 263 302 292 217 1 80 245 279 212 260 225 245 249 216 230 224 300 266 209 184 223 2 41 188 276 216 257 227 218 23.1 224 282 273 210 149 213 239 194 266 DEPA RTM EN T S T O R E S T O C K S U n a d ju s te d A d ju s te d * * D IS T R IC T .................. A tla n ta .................. B ir m in g h a m . . . . M o n t g o m e r y .. . N a s h v ill e ............. N ew O rle a n s . . . A ug. 1945 J u ly 1945 A ug. 1944 A ug. 1 9 45 J u ly 1945 A ug. 1944 187 296 165 233 336 115 197 295 185 298 377 132 188 288 154 234 321 1 67 202 288 166 2 31 336 107 203 286 168 238 326 121 203 280 155 232 320 157 C O T T O N C O N S U M P T IO N * TO T A L .......................... A la b a m a ................ G e o r g i a ............... T e n n e s s e e .......... C O A L P R O D U C T IO N * A ug. 1945 J u ly 19 45 A ug. 1944 A ug. 1945 J u ly 1945 A ug. 1944 137 140 137 125 137 137 138 121 152 1 60 151 134 152 163 163 1 77 163 17,1 127 i3 3 139 G A S O L IN E TAX C O L L E C T IO N S M A N U FA C T U R IN G EM PLO YM EN T*** SIX S T A T E S .......... A la b a m a ................ F l o r i d a .................... G e o r g i a ............... L o u i s i a n a ............. M is s is s ip p i.......... T e n n e s s e e .......... J u ly 1 9 45 Ju n e 19 45 J u ly 1944 A ug. 1 9 45 J u ly 1 9 45 A ug. 1944 133 162 118 129 135 119 121 1 37 16 6r 12 7r 13 1r 142 125r 125 158 188 1 69 147 170 143 136 115 119 97 112 110 126 140 110 115 97 108 1 04 114 132 98 1 02 87 99 1 02 95 108 EL E C T R IC P O W E R P R O D U C T IO N * C O S T O F L IV IN G ALL IT E M S .. F o o d ............. C lo th in g . . . R e n t............... F u e l, e le c tic ity , a n d i c e ............... H o m e f u r n is h in g s . . M is c e l la n e o u s . . J u ly 1945 Ju n e 1945 J u ly 1 9 44 134 150 142 114 133 146 1 42 114 130 144 137 114 SIX S T A T E S .. H y d ro g e n e ra te d . . F u e l g e n e ra te d . . Ju n e 19 45 J u ly 1944 270 272 260 228 241 209 323 313 327 110 110 109 ANN U A L RA TE O F T U R N O V ER O F D EM AN D D E P O S IT S 143 143 138 130 129 126 A ug. 1 9 45 J u ly 1945 A ug. 1944 1 3 .3 1 5 .2 5 8 .6 1 4 .7 1 5 .6 6 0 .3 1 5 .0 1 7 .J 6 6 .0 C R U D E PETR O LE U M P R O D U C T IO N IN C O A STA L L O U ISIA N A AND M IS S IS S IP P I* U n a d j u s t e d .. A d ju s te d * * . . J u ly 1945 A ug. 1 9 45 J u ly 1 9 45 A ug. 1 9 44 209 209 208r 208r 199 199 U n a d ju s te d .. A d j u s t e d * * ... I n d e x * ............... ‘ D a ily a v e r a g e b a s is “ A d ju s te d for s e a s o n a l v a r ia tio n * * * 1 9 3 9 m o n th ly a v e r a g e = ilOO; o th e r in d e x e s , 1 9 3 5 -3 9 = 100 r R e v is e d count drafts running as long as a year. Few, if any, however, could be expected to discount drafts of more than a year’s tenor because of the added protection. If export-credit insurance would make little difference in the tenor of drafts that banks would be willing to handle, it would probably make still less difference in the rate of dis count that would be charged. Although most banks undoubt edly would be willing to finance a larger volume of exports for creditworthy customers at rates that would be the same for those customers covered by insurance as for those not so cov ered, few might be willing to handle the drafts of insured exporters at lower rates. Current opinion among Sixth District banks that have been actively engaged in the financing of exports seems to indicate that export-credit insurance would lead to only slight modifi cations in the practices common before the war. Insurance, it is believed, would make the banks willing to extend credit to a few concerns now considered submarginal from a banking point of view, and it would probably increase to some extent the amount of credit that banks would be willing to grant on an export transaction. On the other hand, it is the prevailing opinion that insurance would not lead to the abandonment of a bank’s recourse privileges. Neither would it lengthen a great deal the maturities of drafts that banks would be willing to handle nor reduce the discount rate. Banks obviously intend to conduct their export-financing business in the future as they have in the past on what are considered sound banking principles, and credit insurance would, probably not cause them to deviate appreciably from this course. When the ultimate liability for a debt lies in a foreign country, with all the uncertainty that this implies, and a contingent liability rests upon the bank’s American customer, the bank can protect itself only by the most careful choice of risks and the fullest possible knowledge of the credit standing and business integrity of both parties to an export transaction. In a determination of these factors, exportcredit insurance would probably be held to play such a neg ligible role that it would have little or no effect on bank policy. In conclusion, therefore, it would seem that if small busi nesses that are newcomers to the export field are to play any considerable role in postwar foreign trade, their entrance into the field will not be eased by any relaxation of bank policies that is induced by credit insurance. This conclusion implies no reluctance on the part of banks to finance the export trade. It simply means that new exporters, large or small, will have to measure up to the standards that banks have followed in the case of their older customers. They will have to guard sedulously their own credit standing and busi ness reputations and will have to exercise the utmost caution in their choice of foreign customers. For banks to act other wise and, by any loosening of credit because of an exportcredit guaranty against the risks of insolvency and default, to encourage the hasty entrance of new and inexperienced firms into export markets might expose such firms to unin sured or only partly covered risks that could easily prove disastrous. The risk of loss arising from political action that blocks or restricts the transfer of foreign currencies, how ever, is another matter. Insurance against this risk would probably be more generally favored since banks and exporters can do little to avoid the risk and since there is no private agency willing and able to assume it. E a r l e L. R a u b e r M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 T h e V ic to ry L o a n D riv e a n d Its 101 S e ttin g teed obligations, stood at 43 billion dollars. On the cor H E Victory Loan Drive, which for individuals will extend from October 29 through December 8, will be launched in responding date in succeeding years the public debt, in bil the midst of the difficulties and confusion incident to the endlions of dollars, has stood as follows: 1941, 49.0; 1942, 72.4; of the war. Lacking for the most part will be the emotional 1943, 136.7; 1944, 201.0; 1945, 258.7. By the end of August stimulus that has sold so many bonds to individuals during this year 4 billion dollars more had been added to the public previous drives. Absent also will be the sense of urgency debt, and revised Budget estimates indicate that the public and need that has characterized the earlier campaigns. Such, debt will be 273 billion dollars by June 30 of next year. Highly significant in its relation to business activity is the however, is the vastness of the purchasing power that has been generated through war-financing procedures that there continuation of Federal deficit financing. So long as the Gov can be little doubt but what the offerings in the aggregate ernment continues to pipe additional purchasing power into the business life of the nation by means of public-borrowing will be oversubscribed substantially. The Victory Loan Drive will have a goal of 11 billion dol operations, business must operate in an expansionary setting. lars of subscriptions to a variety of Government securities. The wartime increase in the Government debt has been accom Major emphasis will again be placed on sales to individuals, panied by a continued expansion of total bank deposits. Dur who are expected to invest 4 billion dollars — half of it in ing the period from June 30, 1941, to June 30, 1942, deposits Series E bonds. The remaining 7 billion dollars, it is hoped, at all banks of the country expanded from 78.5 billion dollars will come from other nonbank investors. Sales to these in to 129.4 billion dollars, and by June 30, of this year such vestors will begin on December 3. The drive will close on De deposits were in the neighborhood of 151 billion dollars. With cember 8, but all Series C savings notes and Series E, F, and the decline in the rate of growth of the Federal debt that will G bonds processed through the Federal Reserve Banks be probably take place in ensuing months, the rate of growth in tween October 29 and December 31 will be credited to the bank deposits will also decline. Nor is a balancing of the Federal Budget, which would act drive. The marketable issues will be approximately the same as to restrain expansionary trends, immediately in sight. Though those sold during the Seventh War Loan Drive except that no the war is ended, the armed services will continue for some intermediate term bond will be offered. They will include 2X/2 time to be voracious users of public funds. The costs of occu and 21/4 per cent Treasury bonds and % Per cent certificates pation forces, of homeward transportation and mustering out, of indebtedness. A new Series E bond, issued in memory of and of hospitalization and rehabilitation will be substantial. Foreign nations, moreover, are asking, or are about to ask, the late Franklin Delano Roosevelt, will be available at the beginning of the drive. This bond will have a maturity value for reconstruction and rehabilitation loans. Russia is reported as asking for a six-billion-dollar loan. The demands of Great of $200 and an issue price of $150. Commercial banks, defined as those banks accepting de Britain, too, in current negotiations are expected to fall some mand deposits, will be allowed to invest part of their time where between three billion dollars and six billion dollars. deposits in Series F and G bonds, in 2*4 and 2y 2 per cent The British demand for funds, furthermore, will not be met Treasury bonds, and in % per cent certificates offered in the through the extension of an ordinary loan, for the British have drive under certain limitations. No credit toward the drive already indicated that they are expecting assistance in a form that will be something like Lend-Lease. What happens in the quota, however, will be given for such purchases. The Treasury Department has again requested banking case of the Russians and the British will probably set some institutions to co-operate in its program of selling as many sort of pattern for similar deals with other European securities as possible outside the banking system. Banks are countries. asked to refrain from making speculative loans for the pur Other potential drains upon the Treasury are to be found chase of Government securities and to decline subscriptions in the spending proposals now before Congress. Such pro from customers that appear to be made solely for the pur posals involve appropriations for a wide variety of purposes: pose of realizing upon the premium that may arise in subse the Inter-American highway, veterans’ facilities and other quent trading. Moreover, banks are requested to refrain from hospitals, the Commodity Credit Corporation, aeronautical making purchases of outstanding securities with the under experiments, school-lunch programs, rural electrification, standing that approximately the same amount of the new se national food-allotment stamp plan, public education, public curities will be subscribed through such banks and, thus, housing, elimination of river pollution, United Nations Re enable them to expand their war-loan deposit balances. lief and Rehabilitation Administration, and other projects. The Victory Loan Drive has been preceded by seven war- The aggregate total of all such demands may well run the loan campaigns. The aggregate sales of bonds, in billions of Budget up to 50 billion dollars or more. dollars, made during these drives were: First 12.9, Second At the same time these additional demands are made upon 18.6, Third 18.9, Fourth 16.7, Fifth 20.6, Sixth 21.6, and the Treasury some reduction in Federal revenue from tax Seventh 26.3. These drives have been necessary to provide ation may be experienced. Modifications may quite confi funds to cover the yearly deficits arising in the Federal dently be expected in excess-profits taxes, personal-income Budget. Expressed in billions of dollars, the deficit for each taxes, and in wartime excise taxes. All in all, therefore, an fiscal year since June 30, 1940, has been: 1941, 5.1; 1942, early balancing of the Federal Budget need not be antici 19.6; 1943, 55.9; 1944, 50.0; 1945, 53.9. The deficit for the pated. The Victory Loan Drive is thus probably only the first fiscal year to end June 30, 1946, is estimated at 30.4 billion of several major borrowing operations that will be necessary dollars. On June 30, 1940, the public debt, excluding guaran to finance the peace. T 102 M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 A d d itio n s to P a r L is t u r i n g the period from August 22 to September 26, the Shellie Reagan, cashier; and Frank Hales, assistant cashier. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta announced the addition Its directors are H. O. Murphree, E. W. Buffington, Shellie of ten more nonmember banks to the Federal Reserve Par Reagan, C. V. Porter, S. E. Jackson, Curtis E. Snead Jr., List for the Sixth District. Three of these banks are in Ala James E. Snead, and W. H. Jackson. bama, three in Tennessee, one in Florida, one in Georgia, and Boaz is in Marshall County, in the northeastern part of two in Louisiana. Alabama. It is about 70 miles northeast of Birmingham and has a population of 1,927. Bank of Atmore The Bank of Atmore, Atmore, Alabama, will be added to the The First State Bank Federal Reserve Par List on October 1, 1945. Effective on that date the bank will remit to the Birmingham Branch of the The First State Bank, Jacksboro, Tennessee, opened for busi Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta at par for checks drawn upon ness at Jacksboro on September 4 and on that date started accepting and paying at par for all items drawn on it. This it by its depositors and submitted by the branch. bank was formerly the First State Bank, Caryville, Tennessee, Officers of the bank are E. F. Goldsmith, president; H. H. and was first organized in 1934. Dees, vice president; R. Leon Jones, vice president; W. E. The bank on the first of this year had capital of $25,000, Coker, cashier; and Abbie Lou Fischer, asssitant cashier. surplus and profits of $17,000, and deposits of $883,000. At Directors of the bank are George Bowab, Frank P. Currie, that time, its officers were R. L. Gallaher, president; J. W. H. H. Dees, W. E. Dunaway, E. F. Goldsmith, R. Leon Jones, Goans, vice president; C. J. Lindsay, vice president; Dewey W. R. Maxwell, L. B. McCoy, Guy E. Sharpless, T. H. Stall- Lumpkins, cashier; and Margaret Nelson, assistant cashier. worth, and J. B. Swift. Jacksboro, the seat of Campbell County, had a 1940 popu The bank has a capital of $50,000, surplus and profits of lation of 1,200. It is located in the northeastern part of the $28,000, and deposits in excess of $1,500,000. It was organ state about 27 miles from the Kentucky-Tennessee line. ized in 1904. The Bank of Hendersonville Atmore,a town of 3,200, serves as a shipping center for an extensive truck-farming area. It is located about 50 miles The Bank of Hendersonville, Hendersonville, Tennessee, went northeast of Mobile in Escambia County. on the Par List on September 17, 1945. This bank was estab lished in 1906 and on September 15 of this year had capital Rison Banking Company stock of $25,000, surplus and undivided profits of $10,000, The Rison Banking Company, Huntsville, Alabama, located and deposits of $357,000. The officers of the bank are Dr. in the territory served by the Birmingham Branch, began J. H. Stephens, president; Sarah Berry, vice president; Harold remitting at par September 1, 1945, for checks drawn on it B. Roney, cashier; and E. N. Roney and James E. Wright, when received from the Federal Reserve Bank. This bank assistant cashiers. The directors are Sarah Berry, H. J. Willis, dates from the year 1866. On September 19, 1945, it had Dr. J. H. Stephens, B. F. Hurt, H. L. Willis, S. S. Bloodworth, capital of $100,000, surplus and undivided profits of $96,000, E. F. Hurt, W. A. Shivel, and W. C. Breedlove, attorney. and deposits of $2,732,000. H. M. Rhett is president, A. W. Hendersonville is in Sumner County about 20 miles north White is vice president, Ashford Todd is cashier, and I. W. of Nashville. It has a population of 750. Walker and F. L. Newman are assistant cashiers. The Sullivan County Bank The directors are J. F. Chambers, George S. Elliott, M. H. Lanier, H. M. Rhett, Ashford Todd, A. W. White, and G. W. The Sullivan County Bank, Kingsport, Tennessee, a newly organized nonmember bank located in the territory served by Yarbrough. the Nashville Branch, began remitting at par on September Huntsville, the seat of Madison County, has a population 4, 1945, for checks drawn on it that are received from the of 13,050. In addition to its large cotton mills, Huntsville’s principal industrial plants, there are broom, mop, and mat Federal Reserve Bank. This bank has capital of $100,000, sur tress factories. The leading agricultural products of the sur plus of $25,000, and its opening day deposits were $528,000. Carroll Reece is president of the bank, Earl M. Reasor is rounding districts are hay, cotton, corn, and tobacco. At the present time, the city’s trade area embraces some 26,000 per executive vice president, W. B. Halbach is cashier, and Wil sons and in its manufacturing area are several of the South’s lard York is assistant cashier. Directors of the bank are J. L. Latimer Jr., chairman, and Thad A. Cox, Dr. Fred M. Ducklargest textile plants. wall, Charles T. Herndon Jr., James Hoffman, Earl M. The Sand Mountain Bank Reasor, Carroll Reece, and Carl Young. The Sand Mountain Bank, Boaz, Alabama, began remitting at Kingsport, with a 1940 population of 14,404, is located in par September 15, 1945, for checks drawn on it that are Sullivan County. It is an industrial city on the shores of the received through the Federal Reserve Bank. This bank was Holston River in the heart of the Southern Appalachians. founded in 1934 and at the close of business on June 30 of Among the many diversified manufacturing units located in this year had capital of $25,000, surplus and undivided profits Kingsport are a plant manufacturing cellulose acetate, the of $32,000, and deposits of $1,308,000. world’s largest book-manufacturing plant, a book-cloth estab Officers of the bank are E. W. Buffington, president; H. 0. lishment, a cotton spinning and weaving mill, and a belting Murphree, vice president; C. V. Porter, vice president; plant. D M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f the F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 Florida Bank at Fort Pierce The Florida Bank at Fort Pierce, Fort Pierce, Florida, scheduled for opening on September 27, will remit at par for checks drawn on it that are received through the Federal Reserve Bank. Capital stock of the bank is $100,000, surplus is $25,000, and undivided profits are $12,500. Officers of the bank are C. F. Shewmake, president; Her man C. Eberts and J. Lamar Paxson, vice presidents; and W. W. Mangham, cashier. The directors are C. F. Shewmake, H. C. Eberts, W. W. Mangham, Dean S. Campbell, and J. Lamar Paxson. Fort Pierce is on the east coast of Florida 58 miles north of West Palm Beach. It is the seat of St. Lucie County and in 1940 had a population of 8,040. It is the local center of fall and winter vegetable growing and is rapidly becoming an important factor in the citrus industry. In addition to the usual commercial establishments, the city contains several large packing houses, including fruit processing plants and facilities of two large co-operative growers associations. Fort Pierce’s excellent harbor is regarded as an important factor in the future growth of the city. Rome Bank and Trust Company The Rome Bank and Trust Company, Rome, Georgia, a newly organized nonmember bank, will remit at par effective Octo ber 1, 1945, for checks drawn on it that are received from the Federal Reserve Bank. The capital of the new bank is $125,000, and its surplus is $25,000. Officers of the bank are J. B. Dodd, president; J. B. Dodd Jr., vice president and cashier; Vann Enloe, vice president, inactive; and Mrs. Nell F. Hanson, assistant cashier. The directors are T. H. Selman, chairman, and J. B. Dodd, Jerre Dodd, Fred C. Higgins, Harold Clotfelter, Victor Yeargan, C. B. McMullan, D. N. Blanton, Scott Rogers, W. H. Austin, and Vann Enloe. Rome is an important manufacturing and agricultural cen ter of northeast Georgia. In 1940, it had a population of 26,282. Bank of Abbeville and Trust Company Scheduled to go on the Par List on October 1 is the Bank of Abbeville and Trust Company, Abbeville, Louisiana. Officers of this bank are F. W. Kerksieck, chairman and president; Dr. H. A. Eldredge, vice president; E. L. Terrier, cashier; and M. E. Harrington, assistant cashier. The bank’s directors are O. H. Deshotels, H. A. Eldredge, M. E. Harrington, E. W. Henry, Felix J. Samson, E. L. Terrier, Joseph A. Villien, Dixon Vincent, and F. W. Kerksieck. The bank’s capital at the first of the year was $100,000, sur plus and undivided profits were $73,000, and deposits were $3,778,000. The bank was founded in 1894. Abbeville in 1940 had a population of 6,672. It is the seat of government of Vermilion Parish, which lies to the west of New Orleans and borders on the Gulf of Mexico. The town is the center of a fertile rice-growing region. Also going on the Par List with its parent bank is the branch of the Bank of Abbeville and Trust Company at Maurice, Louisiana. At the first of the year J. A. Villien was manager and P. E. Trahan was assistant manager. Maurice in 1940 had a population of 420. It is also in Vermilion Parish and is situated 10 miles north of Abbeville, halfway between Abbeville and Lafayette. 1 0 3 S ix t h D is t r ic t S t a t is t ic s C O N D IT IO N O F 2 0 M EM BER BANKS IN SELE C TED C IT IE S ( I n T h o u s a n d s of D o lla r s ) I te m L o a n s a n d in v e s tm e n ts .—• T o ta l................................................... L o a n s — t o t a l .................................... C o m m e r c ia l, in d u s tr i a l, a n d a g r i c u lt u r a l l o a n s . . L o a n s to b r o k e r s a n d d e a le r s in s e c u r i t i e s ___ O th e r lo a n s fo r p u r c h a s in g a n d c a r r y in g s e c u r i t i e s ................................. R e a l e s ta te l o a n s ..................... L o a n s to b a n k s .......................... O th e r l o a n s ................................. In v e s tm e n ts — t o t a l ....................... U. S. d ir e c t o b l i g a t i o n s . . . O b lig a tio n s g u a r a n t e e d b y U. S ........................................ O th e r s e c u r i t i e s ....................... R e s e r v e w ith F . R. B a n k ___ C a s h in v a u l t .................................... B a la n c e s w ith d o m e s tic b a n k s ................................................ D e m a n d d e p o s it s a d j u s t e d . . T im e d e p o s i t s ................................. U . S . G o v 't d e p o s i t s .................. D e p o s its of d o m e s tic b a n k s . B o r r o w in g s ...................................... P er C ent C hange S e p t. 1 9 , 1 9 4 5 , from S e p t. 19 1 9 45 A ug. 22 1 9 45 S e p t. 2 0 1 9 44 1 ,9 8 1 ,9 2 0 3 3 1 ,8 5 2 1 ,9 9 2 ,2 7 2 3 3 5 ,9 8 2 1 ,7 1 7 ,,2 28 2 8 9 ,2 7 5 1 7 6 ,6 0 6 1 7 4 ,3 8 9 ,159*247 + -1 + 9 ,7 0 5 9 ,4 0 6 5 ,2 8 1 + 3 + 84 — + 7 2 1 4 0 0 + — + — + + 65 6 72 0 16 17 — 56 + 1 + ‘1 + !1 — + + + 92 21 16 13 16 — + + — + 5 15 33 20 16 A ug. 22 1 9 45 5 4 ,8 8 2 5 9 ,1 4 3 3 3 ,3 1 2 2 3 ,6 5 3 2 5 ,6 6 3 2 4 ,1 9 1 1 ,7 6 3 ,1,0 2 7 1 ,7 7 6 6 4 ,7 0 5 6 7 ,6 1 5 6 4 ,7 4 5 1 ,6 5 0 ,0 6 8 1 ,6 5 6 ,2 9 0 il ,4 2 7 ,9 5 3 1 ,5 0 5 ,4 8 8 .1 ,5 1 0 ,8 1 6 1 ,2 8 9 ,5 6 2 1 ,6 3 8 1 4 2 ,9 4 2 3 6 3 ,7 7 2 3 0 ,1 4 0 3 ,7 1 0 1 4 1 ,7 6 4 3 6 1 ,9 0 5 2 9 ,9 3 2 2 0 ,5 4 3 1 1 7 ,8 4 8 3 ,13,826 2 6 ,5 7 4 1 3 9 ,9 3 7 1 4 7 ,5 5 2 1 6 5 ,7 4 1 1 ,2 8 0 ,4 1 9 .1 ,2 6 4 .1 0 8 1 ,1 1 0 ,2 5 3 3 9 2 ,4 2 9 30 2,.12 0 4 0 3 ,2 9 0 2 4 8 ,6 0 6 1 9 9 ,6 3 0 2 5 3 ,6 8 3 5 3 4 ,9 6 4 4 4 6 ,0 0 3 5 1 6 ,8 9 6 4 ,0 0 0 S e p t. 2 0 1 9 44 1 1 — — — — — — + . '15 + ' 15 + 3 — 21 — 3 11 D EB ITS TO IN D IV ID U A L BANK A C C O U N T S (I n T h o u s a n d s o i D o lla r s ) N o . of B anks R e p o r tin g Per C en t C hange A u g . 1 9 45 fro m A ug. 19 45 J u lv 1 9 45 A ug. 1 9 44 3 3 2 3 4 3 1 7 ,3 7 7 1 7 1 ,7 8 3 7 ,1 0 8 1 0 ,3 9 8 1 0 4 .4 1 3 3 8 ,2 7 6 1 7 ,7 5 6 1 8 2 ,1 3 3 7 ,0 8 0 1 0 ,1 0 2 9 8 ,7 2 1 3 5 ,4 7 1 1 7 ,2 9 5 1 6 7 ,6 0 8 6 ,8 9 2 9 ,5 9 4 1 1 2 ,3 6 4 3 5 ,5 5 0 — — + + + + 2 6 o 3 6 8 + + + + — + o 2 3 8 7 8 3 6 10 2 3 3 3 1 6 8 ,8 4 9 1,23,889 1 6 4 ,0 6 6 2 6 ,0 8 9 2 8 ,9 4 8 2 4 ,5 7 5 6 9 ,7 0 5 1 6 2 ,4 2 2 1 3 3„ 16 5 1 7 4 ,5 2 3 2 8 ,2 9 4 2 5 ,4 7 7 2 6 ,0 4 9 6 9 ,2 6 8 1 7 0 ,9 3 3 1 1 4 ,6 6 1 1 4 9 ,2 6 6 2 2 ,7 8 5 2 3 ,7 9 5 1 9 ,7 6 9 6 9 ,5 7 3 + 4 — 7 — 6 — 8 + 14 — 6 + 1 — + + + + + + 1 8 10 14 22 24 0 2 4 3 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 8 ,7 8 1 4 7 2 ,3 5 4 3 2 ,3 5 7 11 ,1 7 1 3 6 ,9 8 1 .1,798 44,40(1 5 ,6 6 9 7 7 ,4 3 0 2 0 ,9 7 0 8 ,2 9 3 4 7 6 ,7 2 5 3 3 ,4 5 1 1 1 ,4 6 0 3 2 ,6 9 9 1 ,8 7 0 4 0 ,9 7 9 5 ,9 2 4 6 6 ,0 3 4 1 0 ,2 5 7 8 ,1 6 2 4 7 6 ,0 3 8 3 3 ,9 3 4 1 3 ,2 0 0 3 0 ,4 8 1 1,73,1 4 3 ,1 0 8 4„128 8 9 ,7 5 4 1 5 ,9 4 0 + 6 — 1 — 3 — 3 + 13 — 4 + 8 — 4 + 17 + 104 + — — + + + + — + 8 1 5 15 21 4 3 37 14 32 LO U ISIA N A B a to n R o u g e . . . L ake C h a r l e s ... N e w O r le a n s ... . 3 3 7 4 0 ,0 0 5 16 ,2 9 1 4 0 2 ,5 9 2 4 3 ,6 8 6 1 7 ,0 3 1 4 1 7 ,9 1 2 3 7 ,9 4 7 1 5 ,4 9 0 4 0 6 ,8 6 2 — — — 8 4 4 + + — 5 5 1 M IS S IS S IP P I H a ttie s b u r g .. . . J a c k s o n .................. M e r id i a n ............... V ic k s b u r g ............. 2 4 3 2 1 1 ,0 5 1 6 3 ,0 9 8 1 7 ,5 2 5 1 2 ,8 7 9 1 0 ,9 3 8 6 5 ,8 4 4 1 6 ,5 2 0 1 7 ,7 4 8 12,6,19 5 9 ,7 3 4 1 5 ,4 8 8 1 6 ,1 8 2 + — 1 4 — 27 — 12 + 6 + 13 — 20 TE N N ESSEE C h a t t a n o o g a .. . K n o x v ille ............. N a s h v ille ............. 4 4 6 8 0 ,9 2 2 1 2 2 ,7 7 7 1 8 8 ,7 3 0 8 7 ,5 4 2 1 1 0 ,3 9 6 1 9 8 ,9 2 5 7 8 ,5 3 7 1 0 0 ,5 4 3 1 7 1 ,1 7 8 — 8 + 11 — 5 + 3 + 22 + 10 SIX TH D ISTR IC T 3 2 C it ie s ............... 104 2 ,4 5 9 ,1 9 2 2 ,4 7 0 ,1 7 2 2 ,4 0 1 ,8 7 5 — 0 + 2 7 3 ,2 3 1 ,0 0 0 7 9 ,1 6 3 ,0 0 0 6 9 ,1 2 4 ,0 0 0 — 7 + 6 P la c e ALABAMA B ir m in g h a m .. . . M o n tg o m e r y .. . FLO R ID A J a c k s o n v i l l e .. . . M ia m i.................. G r e a te r M iam i*. O r l a n d o ............... S t. P e t e r s b u r g . . T a m p a .................... G E O R G IA A lb a n y .................. A u g u s t a ............... B r u n s w ic k .......... C o lu m b u s ............ E l b e r to n ............... N e w n a n ............... U NITED STATES 3 3 4 C it ie s ............. * N o t in c lu d e d in S ix th D is tric t to ta l Ju lv 1 9 45 A ug. 1944 1 0 4 M o n t h l y T h e R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 D is tr ic t B u s in e s s N September, sales at department stores in the Sixth Dis trict have increased, as they did in August, but by an Iamount less than might have been expected on the basis of past experience. The seasonally adjusted index declined in both months after reaching an all-time high in July. Whole sale distribution increased only slightly in August and was 3 per cent below the August 1944 level. The volume of life insurance written in August was down 6 per cent from that sold in July, but it was 5 per cent greater than the amount written in August of last year. Coal output declined somewhat in August, but steel-mill activity continues at a high rate. Lumber and textile mills, on the other hand, are still handi capped by a shortage of labor. Current estimates are for 15 per cent less cotton than was produced in 1944. Progress in Reconversion District industry for the most part is making progress in its preparations to resume its peacetime functions. Utilization of the strictly war-purpose plants, expansion of existing plants, and construction of new plants are still largely in the plan ning stage. Manufacturing plants whose conversion problems are essentially a matter of shifting production from that for war uses to that for peacetime uses have been in a position to make much more rapid progress in converting. In these plants, notably textile establishments, the problem has been essentially one of getting additional workers. Obtaining such workers, however, is a matter that takes time for some work ers are reluctant to go on a peacetime basis immediately, whether they served in war plants or in the armed services. The problem of utilizing the strictly war-purpose plants is one that has no easy solution. It is complicated at the moment because the large plants have not yet been made available to private operators and plans for their utilization must neces sarily be tentative in nature. One of the most stubborn prob lems will be that of finding uses for the great aircraft plants that were developed during the war. Heading the list in diffi culty is the utilization of the Bell Bomber plant at Marietta, Georgia. This plant was one of the largest single manufactur ing employers that the South has ever known, reaching a peak employment of more than 28,000 workers in February of this year. Currently, the plant is rapidly reducing the number of its workers, and the number has already fallen to about 5,000. The main plant, which has almost four million square feet of floor space, is air conditioned, solidly constructed, and equipped with an extensive array of modern machinery. No enterprise that could use the entire establishment on a permanent basis has yet expressed inter est in doing so, but numerous firms have indicated an interest in renting portions of the available space. Another of the District’s huge air craft plants, that of the Bechtel-McCone Corporation at Birmingham, offers a similar reconversion difficulty. This plant served as an aircraft modification center and processed during the war S itu a tio n period some 1,200 B-29s. At peak activity the plant employed 15,000 workers. A local committee is now exploring the pos sibility of acquiring the facilities of the corporation for sub lease to a variety of small industries. Another aircraft plant that will be available for peacetime use is the lake-front establishment of Consolidated Vultee Air craft Corporation at New Orleans. This plant has completed the last of 31 PBY Catalina bombers for the Navy. At one time the plant employed 6,200 workers, but now the number of employees is around 400 and these are being retained pri marily for dismantling purposes. The company’s plant at Miami is also virtually closed down. Peacetime use of this plant is hampered by its location. Built near an airport, the plant is without railroad facilities, and if such facilities were established, a hazard would be created for aircraft using the field. Successful use of the District’s ordnance plants is not at all promising. The giant Coosa River Ordnance plant at Talladega and the even larger ordnance plant at Childersburg, both in Alabama, have not yet been declared surplus property. The Childersburg plant, which produced explosives during the war, seems especially suitable for some sort of chemical manufacturing. One suggestion that seems to have merit is that the plant might be used for manufacturing newsprint from Southern slash pine by the Herty process. A group of newspaper publishers is reported to have made an inspection of the plant with this purpose in mind. The plant is also suitable for the production of rayon and other cellu lose substances. Citizens of both Talladega and Childersburg have formulated plans for the organization of local groups whose purpose will be to work out some use of these huge wartime establishments that will otherwise stand idle. The Talladega organization, for example, is known as the Talla dega War Plants Conversion Corporation. The shipbuilding plants in large measure will be peacetime casualties, and most of them are gradually finishing up their work. In mid-September the Southeastern Shipbuilding Cor poration at Savannah launched its one hundred and sixth ship, its last under contract, and it is probable that shipbuild ing will cease entirely at Savannah by the end of the year. At Mobile, also, the Alabama Drydock and Shipbuilding Com pany has only one ship remaining to be launched under con tract with the United States Maritime Commission, but the company still has considerable ship-repair work to com plete. The company on September 21 launched its one hundred and twentyfirst ship. Of those previously launched 101 have been 22,400-ton tankers. The huge Delta shipyard at New Orleans is also virtually closed, and prospects are against its revival as a shipbuilding base. A program had been proposed that would permit the use of the in stallation on a multiple-tenant basis, but under present requirements of the Mari time Commission, requiring that its shipyards must continue to serve mari M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 time purpose, such tenanacy is not possible. The St. Johns River Shipbuilding Corporation and the J. A. Jones Construc tion Company’s plants at Panama City, Florida, and Bruns wick, Georgia, face the same bleak prospects for conversion. The outlook for the Panama City yard, however, has been brightened somewhat by reports that the facilities may be converted for use by a large glass manufacturer. The outlook for new plants and plant expansions continues to be favorable, and to a large extent these developments will offset the depressing effect brought about by curtailed opera tions at the special-purpose war plants. Some of the an nounced expansions are of major proportions. The Hercules Powder Company has announced an addition to its naval stores plant at Brunswick, Georgia, that will cost $1,250,000. This addition is expected to be in operation by April of next year. The Muscogee Manufacturing Company of Columbus, Georgia, has let a contract for the erection of a plant that will cost $250,000. The American Can Company at Tampa, Florida, has initiated an expansion program that will cost $1,250,000. Plans for the establishment in Macon, Georgia, of a $6,000,000 pulp mill by the Armstrong Cork Company have almost been completed. The 0. B. Andrews Company of Chattanooga, Tennessee, is beginning a $500,000 expansion program that involves the establishment of a new container plant in Knoxville and additions in equipment and buildings for its plants in Chattanooga and Atlanta. The Southern Rail way System, which serves a large part of the Sixth District, has announced the placing of 10 million dollars in contracts for the new Diesel electric engines. Johns-Manville Company has announced a 40-million-dollar expansion program that will include the enlargement of the company’s facilities in Atlanta and the erection of a new manufacturing plant some where in Georgia. Sherwin-Williams Company has announced plans to construct a two-million-dollar paint-manufacturing plant in Atlanta. Pointing towards future industrial develop ment in the region is the announcement that the Southern Regional Research Institute, Birmingham, Alabama, is in augurating a campaign to raise $2,500,000 to finance an expansion of the institute’s facilities. It is expected that this campaign will be completed in 90 days. The origin, purposes, and functions of this institute were reported in the September 1944 issue of the Review. Here and there in the District considerable progress has been made by some of the smaller industrial plants in con verting to peacetime production. The Walters Manufacturing Company of Morristown, Tennessee, for example, is now con centrating on the making of a new kind of stoker. During the war this company became almost exclusively engaged in pro ducing bomb parts and other war material. The Southeastern Garment Company at Greeneville, Tennessee, which manufac tured armored vests for combat fliers during the war, is now preparing to make women’s dresses. Miller Trailers, Incorpo rated, at Bradenton, Florida, a company that put all of its facilities on special work for the armed forces during the war, is now turning to the production of refrigerated, generalfreight, platform, and other special trailers. The Chatsworth Manufacturing Company, Chatsworth, Georgia, is shifting from the manufacture of parts for the atomic-bomb plant at Oak Ridge, Tennessee, to producing a new type of lawn and garden sprinkler, an improved barrel pump, and radiator and gasoline-tank caps. conversion problem of the District’s textile mills has Digitized The for FRASER 1 0 5 S ix t h D is t r ic t S t a t is t ic s IN STALM ENT C A SH LO A N S L ender N um ber oi L en d ers R e p o r tin g F e d e r a l c r e d it u n io n s -.............................. S ta te c r e d it u n i o n s .................................... I n d u s tr ia l b a n k i n g c o m p a n ie s .......... I n d u s tr ia l lo a n c o m p a n ie s .................... P e r s o n a l f in a n c e c o m p a n ie s ............... C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s ...................................... 39 24 9 >19 5,1 34 P er C ent C hange J u ly 1 9 4 5 to A u g u s t 1 9 45 V o lu m e + — — + — + O u ts ta n d in g s 20 44 17 6 4 10 + — — + 2 1 7 2 + 2 RETAIL F U R N ITU R E S T O R E O PE R A T IO N S N um ber oi S to r e s R e p o r tin g Ite m P er C ent C h an g e A u g u s t 1 9 4 5 iro m J u ly 1 945 86 76 76 83 83 74 C a s h s a l e s ........................................................ I n s ta lm e n t a n d o th e r c r e d it s a l e s . . A c c o u n ts r e c e iv a b l e , e n d of m o n th C o lle c tio n s d u r in g m o n t h .................... I n v e n to r ie s , e n d of m o n t h .................... + + + + + + A u g u s t 1 9 44 5 3 8 (2 '1 7 + 7 + 24 + 5 + 7 + 13 + 25 W H O L E S A L E SA L ES AND IN V E N T O R IE S* — A U G U ST 1 9 4 5 IN V E N T O R IE S SALES N o. oi F irm s R e p o r t in g 12 A u to m o tiv e s u p p l i e s . C lo th in g a n d 3 f u r n i s n i n g s .................. 6 D ru g s a n d s u n d r ie s .. 12 D ry g o o d s .......................... 7 E le c tric a l g o o d s .......... F r e s h f ru its a n d 3 v e g e t a b l e s .................. 3 F a rm s u p p l i e s ............... 5 C o n f e c tio n e r y ............... G r o c e r ie s — fu ll lin e 36 w h o l e s a l e r s ............... G r o c e r ie s —s p e c ia lty lin e w h o l e s a l e r s . .? 10 B e e r ......................................... 3 H a rd w a re — g e n e ra l. . 13 H a r d w a r e — in d u s tr ia l 6 M a c h in e ry — e q u i p m ent a n d s u p p lie s . 3 T o b a c c o a n d its p r o d u c t s ....................... 9 17 M is c e l la n e o u s ............... T O T A L ....................... 148 Ite m P er C ent C hange A u g . 1 9 4 5 iro m A ug. 1944 J u ly 19 45 + 9 + + + + + 3 3 5 4 — 4 — 4 — 20 + 21 + + + 12 2 10 + 9 — 24 12 N o. oi F irm s R e p o r t in g 7 3 6 5 Per C en t C h an g e A u g . 1 9 4 5 iro m J u ly 1945 A ug. 1 9 44 + 2 + 32 — + + 1 6 1 + 5 — 19 + 43 — 15 — 2 15 + 6 — 33 + — 4+ 8 5 5 2 — 4 — 14 + 2 + 11 6 3 5 — + — 9 3 6 + 4 + 23 — 10 + 4 — 21 + 22 + 20 + 2 + 6 — 17 — 3 — 12 — 2 — 0 + 1 — 19 — 9 3 16 69 ‘ B a s e d o n U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of C o m m e rc e fig u r e s D EPARTM ENT S T O R E SA LES AND S T O C K S SA LES P la c e ALABAMA B irm in g h a m . . . . M o b ile .................... M o n tg o m e r y .. . FLO R ID A J a c k s o n v i l l e .. . . O r l a n d o ............... G E O R G IA A tla n ta .................. A u g u s t a ............... C o lu m b u s .......... M a c o n .................... L O U ISIA N A B a to n R o u g e . . . N ew O r le a n s ... M IS S IS S IP P I J a c k s o n .................. T E N N ESSEE B r is to l.................... C h a t t a n o o g a .. . N a s h v ille ............. O TH ER C IT IE S* D IST R IC T N o. oi S to r e s R e p o r t in g IN V E N T O R IE S Per C ent C hange A u g . 1 9 4 5 iro m N o. o i S to r e s R e p o r t in g P er C ent C hange A u g . 1 9 4 5 iro m J u ly 1945 A ug. 1944 5 5 3 + 11 + 7 + 14 — 2 — 12 + 11 4 — 1 + 3 — 3 — 0 4 4 3 5 + + + — + + + 3 3 + + 2 1 + + 14 10 3 — 3 + 1 6 4 3 4 + 27 + 17 + 7 + 8 + 12 ■f 23 + 4 — 1 5 3 + — 1 4 + + 3 10 4 + o — 6 4 4 + + 16 17 + + 17 5 4 3 — 1 — 11 4 + 22 + 13 4 — 3 + 1 + 18 + 13 + 14 + 21 + 2 + 14 + + + + + + 18 4 3 12 11 7 3 3 — 3 — 11 — — 5 7 + + — + + — 4 o 1 3 4 4 6 18 93 5 2 6 2 4 11 10 5 22 72 A ug. 1944 Ju ly 1945 3 3 1 7 + 6 - h 32 ‘ W h e n le s s th a n 3 s to r e s r e p o r t in a g iv e n c ity , th e s a le s o r s to c k s a r e g r o u p e d to g e th e r u n d e r " o t h e r c i t i e s ." _____________ 1 0 6 M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 been primarily one of obtaining additional workers. Few of and some time must elapse before real progress can be the mills have had any layoffs, and to a very considerable achieved. extent they have absorbed, or are ready to absorb, workers Retail and Wholesale Trade from ordnance, munitions, and other war-purpose plants, as For some years past, Sixth District department store sales well as workers discharged from the armed forces. have, in each successive month, been larger than they ever Another hopeful conversion development was the Interstate were in corresponding months of earlier years, and it seems Commerce Commission’s action on September 19 of authoriz probable that this trend will continue for some time to come. ing the War Shipping Administration to begin operating The declines from May to June and June to July were less coastal and intercoastal services between Atlantic, Gulf of than usual this year, and the sales index, after allowance Mexico, and Pacific ports. This authorization will expire at was made for seasonal influences, reached a level in July the end of the year, for Government operation of these ship never before attained. In August, however, sales increased ping facilities is regarded as being preparatory to returning less than they usually do in that month, the adjusted index the lines to private operators. The Alcoa Steamship Company, declining by about 9 per cent. Moreover, a preliminary index Incorporated, has already resumed commercial shipping from for September, based upon reports of less than the full num Mobile and New Orleans to the Dominican Republic and ber of reporting stores for the first two weeks of the month, expects to resume other services in October. indicates a September increase in dollar sales also smaller As yet the conversion process in the District has not been than might be expected and a further decline of about 4 greatly slowed by strikes and walkouts among industrial per cent in the adjusted index. In the first half of September, sales reported by more than employees though some have occurred. A minor walkout occurred during September at the McWane Castiron Pipe thirty stores averaged 13 per cent greater than those reported Company at Birmingham. Another minor strike developed in August and 7 per cent greater than those for September of among the employees of the Summerville Iron Works in last year. In sales, August was up 14 per cent from July and North Chattanooga, but this was settled at the end of August. 7 per cent higher than August 1944. Furthermore, total sales Still a third strike developed among the 3,300 employees of were 14 per cent larger in the first eight months of 1945, the Savannah Machine and Foundry Company, Savannah, January through August, than they were in that part of last Georgia. Unrest and dissatisfaction among textile workers year. Increases over the corresponding period a year ago offers possible difficulty. The textile plant of the Athens ranged from 9 per cent at New Orleans and Birmingham to Manufacturing Company, Athens, Georgia, was strike-bound 23 per cent at Montgomery. The only decrease, 2 per cent, during the latter part of the month. Potential strike situations was reported for Mobile. Merchandise distribution through Sixth District whole in other textile mills in the District are indicated, including mills at Jacksonville, Alabama, and Atlanta, Greensboro, salers in August increased over that in July by only 2 per cent, and sales were 3 per cent less than they were in August Carrollton, and Union Point, Georgia. On the whole the resumption of peacetime manufacturing 1944. Almost all reporting lines had increases over their in the District has moved rather slowly. Apparently, however, July volume, the exceptions being groceries and beer. Com job openings have kept reasonable pace with job layoffs. parisons with August of last year vary all the way from a Restoration of peacetime production, however, is no easy task, decrease of 24 per cent in confectionery to an increase of 21 per cent in electrical goods. Wholesale inventories at the end of August were about the same as those of a month earlier but were smaller by 9 per cent than they were at the AMENDMENT TO REGULATION W corresponding time a year ago. Life Insurance Sales The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Sales of life insurance in the District’s six states continued adopted, to be effective October 15, 1945, Amendment in August to compare favorably with those of the correspond Number 18 to Regulation W, relating to the control of consumer credit under the authority of a Presidential ing period a year ago. A decline of about 6 per cent below the Executive Order. This latest amendment removes all re July volume occurred in August, but the decrease is about in strictions on the extension of credits for home repairs line with what frequently happens at that time of the year. and improvements, and it lengthens from 12 months to Compared with sales in August last year, there was a decrease 18 months the maturity limitation on loans that are not of 11 per cent in Mississippi, but increases in the other states for the purpose of purchasing consumers’ durable goods. ranged from 2 per cent in Louisiana and Tennessee and 3 per cent in Georgia to 10 per cent in Alabama and 12 per cent Until consumers’ goods come on the market in sufficient in Florida. For the January-August period, increases over supply to meet demands, the Board of Governors believes that part of 1944 ranged from 10 per cent in Mississippi the use of consumer credit should, in so far as possible, through 12 per cent in Alabama, 14 per cent in Tennessee, be discouraged. Accordingly, the Board, since review ing Regulation W now that the war is ended, has con and 15 per cent in Georgia to 18 per cent in Florida and cluded that the Regulation should not be substantially Louisiana. amended at the present time except in the two particulars Banking specified. The volume of Sixth District Federal Reserve notes in actual Copies of the amendment will be distributed to all circulation continues to rise. In August the increase amounted registrants in the Sixth District before the effective date to almost 38 million dollars, whereas the rise in July totaled of the amendment. 28 million dollars. During recent months the increase in net circulation of notes of the larger denominations — those of M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 50 dollars or more—has been a good deal smaller propor tionately than it was last year. In August, notes of the larger denominations in actual circulation increased six million dol lars and those of the 5-, 10-, and 20-dollar denominations increased 32 million dollars. Whereas a year ago notes of the larger denominations accounted for only 31 per cent of this bank’s total net circulation, the percentage had increased by the end of March 1945 to 32.6 per cent. At the close of August these larger notes accounted for only 30 per cent of the total. At weekly reporting member banks in selected cities of the District the volume of loahs has changed little in recent weeks, although since mid-year the total has declined about 40 million dollars. A large part of the decrease has been in loans on securities. These 20 banks on September 12 had increased their holdings of United States securities to 1,520 million dollars, but this total declined more than 14 million dollars the following week. Though their demand deposits adjusted also declined by 14 million dollars during the same week, these deposits were still 15 per cent greater than they had been a year earlier. Deposits of other banks also declined by the same amount during the seven days following the 12th, but they were 16 per cent larger than they had been on the corresponding report date last year. Agriculture In the six states located wholly or partly in the Sixth Federal Reserve District, cotton-crop prospects declined 5 per cent during August, according to the September 1 report made by the United States Department of Agriculture. The September estimate of 4,194,000 bales in these six states is 15 per cent less than the 1944 crop. Moreover, in only two years, 1940 and 1941, during the past 10 has the cotton crop in these six states been smaller than that in prospect for 1945. In Alabama, prospects improved somewhat in the northern part of the state during August but deterioration lessened them in other sections. The September estimate of 900,000 bales was, therefore, the same as that made a month earlier. In Tennessee generally favorable weather resulted in a 5 per cent increase over the August estimate. In Georgia the fre quent rains of July continued throughout most of August making impossible an effective poisoning program and result ing in particularly heavy weevil activity. The section of the state hardest hit is the southern part, but weevils are present also in force in the northern area. The reduction of 70,000 bales from the August 1 estimate is one of the largest reported for the state for any 30-day period in recent years. The Florida estimate also declined, 10 per cent, from August to September. In Louisiana and the southern part of Mississippi excessive rainfall caused weevils to spread rapidly. As a result, the estimate for Louisiana declined 15 per cent and that for Mississippi 5 per cent. In addition to forecasting declines in cotton, the September estimates when compared with the August estimates show reductions of 4 per cent in peanuts, 2 per cent in rice (in Louisiana), and 1 per cent in pecans, as well as a slight decline in tame hay. They indicate no change in wheat, oats, and sugar cane, however, and point toward increases of 1 per cent in sweet potatoes, 6 per cent in tobacco, and 10 per cent in corn. The increase in the corn estimate indicates that the crop will be 7 per cent larger than that of 1944; earlier esti 1 0 7 mates had indicated a smaller crop than last year’s. Though the wheat crop is estimated to be II per cent smaller than that in 1944, an increase of 0.4 per cent is expected for sweet potatoes, 3 per cent for rice, 4 per cent for peanuts, 5 per cent for pecans, 7 per cent for corn, 8 per cent for tobacco, 10 per cent for oats, 13 per cent for sugar cane, 31 per cent for potatoes, and 33 per cent for tame hay. Industry In spite of the cancellation of Government orders for large amounts of lumber that followed close on the Japanese sur render, lumber mills continue under the serious handicap of a shortage of both labor and equipment. The removal of restrictions on construction promised for October, therefore, may not mean all that it would normally imply, and especi ally since skilled lumber workers are reported to be reluctant to return from higher-paying jobs in war industries to work in the sawmills and the woods. In addition the Government cancellations seem to involve mostly lumber not yet produced, and there is no large stockpile of Government lumber that can be turned to civilian use. Mills are being besieged by the retailer, but because of their inability to increase production they hesitate to accept the large amount of business being offered. Textile mills in Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee used a total of 261,738 bales of cotton in August. This figure repre sents an increase of about 20,000 bales over the number consumed in July. August contained two working days more than July did, however, and the daily rate actually increased only slightly from the five-year low point reached in the earlier month. Activity in August this year was 10 per cent below the rate for that month last year. Steel-mill activity in the Birmingham-Gadsden area was reported by the Iron Age as being 94 per cent of capacity in each week between July 10 and September 4. The publication reported further an increase of 1 per cent for the week ended September 11. On a daily average basis, 'coal production in Alabama and Tennessee declined 7 per cent from July to August. It had a like decrease from the rate in August of last year. R e c o n n a is s a n c e S ix th D is tric t S ta tis tic s f o r A u g u s t 1 9 45 c o m p a r e d w ith A u g u s t 1 9 4 4 PEB C E N T D EC R E A S E ^ P E R C E N T IN C R EA SE D e p a r tm e n iflillla le s Depariment| Store Stocks F u m it u ilP e s Constructicjn Contracts Gasoline T a | | | | I l | f t s CotlHHInsumption Bank Debits Member l | | | | I I » Member B an f l l § | t e n l s Demand D e p f | i | | | i l | e d — 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 + 30 40 1 0 8 M o n t h l y T h e R e v ie w o f the F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r S e p te m b e r 1945 N a tio n a l B u s in e s s S itu a tio n and employment at factories dropped sharply of August and the early part of September were in almost as after the middle of August when most military contracts large a volume as in the period prior to the week of Japanese were cancelled. Activity in most other lines was maintained surrender and only 7 per cent smaller than during the same and the value of retail sales continued above last year’s high period last year. In the middle of September, shipments of levels. most classes of freight were as large or larger than a year Industrial Production ago; loadings, however, of miscellaneous manufactured prod Industrial production declined 11 per cent in August, reflect ucts, which include munitions, were at a reduced level. ing primarily the sharp curtailment of activity in aircraft, shipbuilding, and ordnance plants in the last half of the Commodity Prices month, and the Board’s seasonally adjusted index was 188 per Prices of agricultural commodities declined from the early cent of the 1935-39 average, as compared with 211 in July. part of August to the early part of September but since that The largest part of the decline was in the machinery and time have increased somewhat. transportation-equipment industries, where activity during the Maximum prices of petroleum products have been reduced month averaged about 20 per cent below July. Output of steel somewhat since the early part of August, owing to lower and of nonferrous metal products likewise declined with the transportation charges, while maximum prices of cotton goods, sudden elimination of almost all military demands. In Sep building materials, and various other industrial commodities tember steel output increased with the receipt of orders in have been increased. large volume from the automobile and other steel-consuming Agriculture industries now rapidly converting to civilian production. Out Crop prospects continued to improve during August, and total put of lumber and stone, clay and glass products declined production is expected to equal the record harvests of 1942 slightly in August. and 1944. Cotton production, however, is forecast at only 10 Production of nondurable goods in August was also below the July level, reflecting primarily military contract cancella million bales, which is about 2 million smaller than last tions affecting output in the chemicals and rubber products year’s crop and the average for the past 10 years. Total industries. Cattle slaughter at Federally inspected plants carry-over of raw cotton in this country on August 1 was about rose sharply in August and the first two weeks of September. 11 million bales, slightly more than in the two previous Output of shoes and newspaper-publishing activity also in seasons. Bank Credit creased in August. Output of textiles, most manufactured food products, and other nondurable goods showed little change In the first month of peace, Federal Government expenditures or declined slightly. Immediately after Japan’s capitulation, though reduced were still well in excess of receipts, and warrationing was ended for gasoline, fuel oil, and canned fruits loan balances at commercial banks were accordingly reduced. and vegetables. Increased supplies of dairy and meat prod Adjusted demand and time deposits of weekly reporting banks ucts and tobacco products were also made available for increased by 1.8 billion dollars during the five weeks ended September 19, while war-loan balances at these same banks civilians. Minerals production declined somewhat in August, reflect declined by 3.4 billion. Thus, as in other periods between ing chiefly a 4 per cent decrease in coal production. In the Treasury financing drives, Treasury expenditures tended to first part of September output of bituminous coal advanced. increase deposits of business and individuals at small banks Crude-petroleum output was maintained in August at the rec more than at large ones. ord July level, but owing to the substantial decline in military The currency outflow continued and totaled 425 million demand for petroleum products, the production rate in the dollars during the five-week period, but it was somewhat below first half of September was about 8 per cent below August. the outflow of last year for the comparable period. TimeAwards for the construction of privately owned factories deposit expansion continued as rapidly as in recent months. and commercial buildings continued to increase sharply in Loans for purchasing and carrying Government securities August. Contracts for private residential construction were at reporting banks were further liquidated during the five awarded at about the same rate as in June and July, which weeks by 470 million dollars, and, in addition, reporting was about twice the value of awards in the summer of 1944. banks reduced holdings of U. S. Government securities by 1.3 billion dollars to meet the increase in reserve requirements and net deposit declines. Smaller banks appear to have been Distribution Department store sales in August were smaller than in July purchasing Government securities during the period. Reserve funds during the five-week period were supplied by on a seasonally adjusted basis but about 6 per cent larger than in August last year. In the first half of August sales were an increase of 1.1 billion dollars in Reserve Bank holdings of about 20 per cent larger than a year ago. In the last half of Government securities and by a small increase in member the month and the early part of September, following Japan’s banks’ borrowings from the Reserve Banks. This increase met surrender, sales slackened and were little changed from last the currency outflow and increased average reserve balances year’s level. Sales in the two weeks ending September 22, by close to 550 million dollars; this was about as much as the however, rose sharply and were 11 per cent larger than in the increase in required reserves, and excess reserves remained near one billion dollars. corresponding period a year ago. T h e B o a rd o f G o v er n o r s Railroad shipments of revenue freight in the last two weeks P r o d u c tio n