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IN THIS ISSUE: MONTHLY REVIEW • Banking in a Developing Economy: Latin American Patterns • Chemicals Bring Changes to the Southeast • Banking Notes • District Business Conditions FED ER A L RESERVE B ANK OF A T LA N T A N O V EM BER 1970 B a n k i n g in a D e v e l o p i n g E c o n o m y La tin A m e r ic a n P a tte rn s Although U. S. bank involvement in international finance has surged rapidly in recent years, it is not widely recognized that a substantial propor tion of this financial activity has been conducted with Latin American countries. For example, as of June 1970, Latin American countries accounted for nearly 30 percent of U. S. bank short-term claims on foreigners and 42 percent of U. S. bank long-term claims on foreigners. Moreover, of 459 overseas branches of U. S. member banks, 203 were located in Latin America at the end of 1969, although the region’s share of total overseas branch liabilities and as sets was considerably smaller than its share of overseas branches. In the Sixth District, the lion’s share of international transactions of commercial banks is conducted with Latin American coun tries, as might be expected from the geographical proximity of Sixth District banks to the region. Thus, Latin American countries account for over Monthly Review, Vol. LV, No. 11. Free subscription and additional copies available upon request to the Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia 30303. 154 half of District banks’ short-term claims on foreigners and an overwhelming proportion of short-term liabilities to foreigners (the two major categories of activity). Despite the contacts with Latin American banks entailed by the international financial ac tivity of both U. S. and District banks, relatively little is known in the United States about the characteristics of banks and related financial in stitutions in the region. The purpose of this article is to describe in broad terms the structure and regulation of Latin American banking sys tems and how they are shaped by the economic context in which they operate.1 The term “bank ing system” in this article includes a number of deposit-accepting institutions, distinct from com mercial banks, that typically fall under the regu latory control of regular banking authorities. ’Because of limited space, it has not been possible to describe in greater detail specific types of financial practices and institutional structures or to take note of specific variations among individual countries in the region. Moreover, because of the lack of information on recent changes and on the international activity of Latin American banks, these topics have been entirely excluded from discus sion. M O N TH LY R E V IE W Sixth District banks have close ties with Latin America. Short-Term Claims on Foreigners Sixth District Banks U. S. Banks Short-Term Liabilities to Foreigners Sixth District Banks U. S. Banks J u n e 1 9 7 0 figures. E c o n o m ic E n v ir o n m e n t Although considerable economic diversity exists among Latin American countries, they typically share certain common characteristics which dif fer markedly from the economic environment familiar to United States residents. These characteristics directly affect the nature of Latin American banking systems through market forces. Because of their influence on national goals, such as the acceleration of economic de velopment, they also shape the particular set of laws and regulations under which banks operate in countries throughout the region. Per capita incomes in Latin American coun tries, ranging from $200 to $800 annually, are much lower than in most industrialized nations. At these income levels, per capita savings tend to be quite low. Moreover, individuals do not utilize the banking system nearly as much for effecting economic transactions as they do in more in dustrialized countries. For example, in most Latin American countries, the supply of currency equals or exceeds the amount of outstanding de mand deposits in banks; in contrast, the ratio is about one to four in the United States. Hence, in the absence of capital flows from abroad, Latin American banks have more limited access to fi N O V EM BER 1970 nancial resources than banks in highly developed nations. In contrast to the scarce supply of funds avail able to the banking system, the demand for bank credit is quite large. For example, commercial firms in Latin America have larger needs for working capital than do firms in more industrial ized countries. The practice of maintaining large inventories, partly attributable to deficiencies of transportation facilities and to hedging against inflation, accounts to a significant degree for the large working capital requirements. Moreover, the high cost of capital goods typically requires greater capital investments per unit of output than in more developed countries. Although com mercial firms have a greater need for financing, internally generated funds tend to meet a smaller portion of these needs than in more developed countries. Consequently, commercial firms must frequently resort to borrowed funds. But because the poor development of capital markets makes it difficult to raise capital directly, commercial firms must depend more heavily on the banking system to satisfy their credit needs than do their counterparts in more developed countries. Governments also depend heavily upon the banking system for financing their expenditures. On the one hand, pressing needs for economic development have accelerated government de mands for funds to be used for basic social and economic investment. For these and other rea sons, governments have found it difficult to re strain expenditures. On the other hand, low in comes and inefficient tax systems are the major factors tending to inhibit the growth of tax reve nues. In addition, the limited development of money and capital markets restrains the placing of government securities with the nonbank public. As a result of this combination of factors, the banking system is usually called upon to fill the gap in governmental budgets. Apart from pressures arising from short sup plies and heavy demands for funds, the banking sector in Latin America must also cope with con siderable inefficiency or, in some cases, even the virtual absence of money and capital markets. These problems may be traced to several under lying factors. First, the smallness of the domestic economy and of the domestic market for funds in most Latin American countries restrains the expansion and diversification of banks and other financial institutions. Secondly, the issuance and transfer of financial assets are inhibited by periodic or continual inflation in many cases and limited public knowledge about securities trans 155 actions and institutions issuing debt securities. Finally, governmental or central bank regulations that limit the rate of interest payment on various types of financial assets, particularly government securities, have reduced the desirability of pur chasing or holding such assets, especially under inflationary circumstances. The central bank plays an extremely large role in the financial activities of most Latin American countries. Central B a n k S h a r e of Total B a n k i n g Assets 0 20 40 60 T h e In s tit u t io n a l F ra m e w o rk The economic environment just described has a strong influence on the structure of Latin Amer ican banking systems and on types of banking activities. Three distinctive features of Latin American banking are (1) the dominance of the central bank within the total financial structure, (2) the greater importance of commercial banks relative to other financial institutions ('excluding central banks) than in more advanced countries, and (3) the significant role of official banking and credit institutions designed to channel credit to selected sectors of the economy. The Central Bank The importance of the central bank is illustrated by financial resources of the central bank either equaling or exceeding the resources of all com mercial banks in 9 out of 17 Latin American nations. Moreover, in 12 countries, the resources of the central bank accounted for at least onethird of the resources of the banking system and in three others, over one-fifth.2 The dominance of central banks in the financial structure reflects the many responsibilities these institutions have tried to fulfill. Apart from the traditional tasks of monetary policy—including the regulation of the supply of money and credit and the maintenance of smoothly functioning financial markets—many Latin American central banks have also became deeply involved in fi nancing economic development, in actively foster ing the growth of financial institutions, and in in fluencing the flow of credit to meet national priorities. Latin American central banks have had to take on a substantial part of the burden of financing economic development because of the insufficient development of other financial institutions. Much of this task consists of financing governmental 2The banking system includes the central bank, official banks, commercial banks, and other banking institutions, as defined in the introduction. 156 Note: 1969 figures, except for Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico: 1968; and Peru and Uruguay: 1967. Panama has no central bank. deficits, often magnified by attempts to accelerate economic development. Although some of this financing is done through direct advances made to the government, central banks more normally fulfill this task by purchasing government securi ties. Unfortunately, private individuals and in stitutions tend to find interest rates on these securities unattractive. Therefore, many central banks, acting as residual buyers, have often added excessive amounts of these securities to their own portfolios, hence contributing direct ly to inflationary pressures. However, some cen tral banks have attempted to broaden public M O N T H L Y R E V IE W holdings of government securities through meth ods such as: allowing or requiring banks to meet some of their reserve requirements through pur chases of government debt, selling participa tions in their own portfolio of government debt to the public, and supporting the existing mar kets for such securities to enhance their liquidity and reduce large fluctuations in their value. M any Latin American central banks also fi nance development by supporting public financial institutions created for specialized types of ac tivities. Support may involve subscribing to part of the capital of an institution, buying its securi ties, or providing loans, discounts and advances. Other types of development lending include the financing of agricultural price support programs and the financing of important categories of foreign trade. A few central banks also have com mercial departments that deal directly with the public. Besides financing specific economic sectors, some central banks have also tried to influence the flow of bank credit to priority areas and re strict credit to other areas through regulatory methods. For instance, they have formulated re serve requirements to channel commercial bank credit toward preferred sectors, such as agricul ture or industry. As previously mentioned, cen tral banks have also made use of reserve require ments to increase commercial bank purchases of government securities. At times, they have placed quantitative limits on certain types of bank lend ing to restrict credit to sectors considered of low priority. They have also employed differ ential discount rates, based on class of borrower or type of underlying paper, to influence sectoral flows of credit. The active role in financing development, in promoting the growth of money and capital mar kets, and in influencing the allocation of credit has in a number of cases led central banks to neglect their responsibilities for controlling ag gregate money and credit. Moreover, central bank participation in development financing and their support of security markets have directly contrib uted to inflationary pressures. To some extent, however, the inflationary impact of direct central bank financing of development has been miti gated when the funds have been obtained from central bank profits, foreign borrowing, or through the running-down of foreign exchange re serves. But often these noninflationary sources of financing have been far too inadequate to meet the overall credit demands on the central banks affected. N O V EM BER 1970 Nevertheless, inadequacies of general monetary policy cannot be entirely attributed to central bank administration; instead, these inadequacies may result from characteristics of some Latin American economies which may frustrate central bank action. For instance, in those countries where the external sector is quite substantial, large cyclical or seasonal fluctuations in the balance of payments may alter commercial bank reserves beyond the central banks’ ability to con trol them adequately. Furthermore, large govern ment deficits often place a severe strain on mone tary policy. In addition, the tendency of commer cial banks to maintain relatively high liquidity ratios often inhibit central bank efforts to control bank credit through discount policy, whereas open market operations are often limited by the inefficiency of money and credit markets. Hence, to help overcome these obstacles to their control over bank credit, Latin American central banks have resorted to less traditional measures such as prior deposits on imports, quotas on bank lending, and marginal reserve requirements. The success of these additional measures has varied con siderably among Latin American countries. Commercial Banks Latin American commercial banks also differ from their U. S. counterparts in several respects. For example, as is characteristic of countries in a lower stage of development, commercial banks account for a larger portion of assets in the total financial system than in more advanced nations. Moreover, branch banking in Latin America is widespread, and in several countries, banks and other financial institutions form closely inter related financial groups. Nevertheless, few Latin American banks maintain branches or offices outside their respective countries. On the other hand, Latin American branches or subsidiaries of European and American banks participate signifi cantly in the financing of foreign trade and in vestments and to some extent in local business as well. Nevertheless, in some Latin American countries, especially Mexico, the activities of foreign-controlled banks are closely limited. Latin American commercial banks depend prin cipally upon demand deposits as a source of funds and, in some countries, may pay interest on such deposits. To a lesser degree, they obtain additional funds from time and savings deposits. In many Latin American countries, banks also accept deposits denominated in foreign cur rencies, but normally these deposits have not 157 Latin American banks typically rely more heavily on demand deposits than on time and savings deposits. D e m a n d D e p o s i t s a s P e r c e n t of D e m a n d a n d T i m e Deposits 0 20 40 60 80 Note: 1969 figures, except for Brazil, and Colombia: 1968; and Peru and Uruguay: 1967. been large. Moreover, regulations governing these deposits have usually been stricter than for de posits denominated in domestic currencies. Mortgage departments of commercial banks also issue mortgage bonds to the public and loan the proceeds for construction and acquisition of buildings. The use of these instruments in central bank monetary operations has enhanced their popularity with the public in countries that have not suffered high, chronic rates of inflation. Commercial banks channel a major portion of 158 their funds into short-term lending to commercial and industrial firms. These borrowers, in turn, use the funds for inventories, working capital, and financing sales to customers. The emphasis on short-term lending is derived largely from bank management’s desire to maintain a comfortable position of liquidity and, in some cases, from central bank regulations that restrain the grant ing of long-term credits. In addition, private firms in Latin America depend more heavily on short-term bank loans than firms in more ad vanced countries, thus reducing the supply of bank funds for long-term purposes. This large demand for short-term funds stems partly from the practice of maintaining large in ventories as a hedge against inflation and as a way of mitigating some of the drawbacks of less efficient transportation and distribution systems. Moreover, many Latin American firms need greater amounts of working capital to provide credit to customers who may have limited access to other forms of credit. Finally, the less de veloped character of money and capital markets restricts the availability of alternative sources of funds to firms. Despite the indicated short-term character of bank lending, however, the wide spread practice of renewing credits effectively provides more medium- and long-term lending than is apparent. Latin American commercial banks typically carry a smaller proportion of securities in their investment portfolio than do banks in the United States, largely because of unattractive interest rates and the more common incidence of infla tion. Moreover, in some Latin American coun tries, central bank regulations have directly con strained commercial bank investments in securi ties. Of long-term investments that are made, a substantial portion of funds are placed in long term government securities, often in response to reserve requirements designed to regulate credit or to obtain resources for financing governmental needs. Furthermore, the selective discount and reserve policies of the monetary authorities pre viously described stimulate some long-term loans to agriculture and other specified sectors. Other long-term investments include mortgage loans and investments in chattel securities. Official Banks Another important banking institution present in most Latin American countries is the official credit institution, including the development bank. These institutions often play an important M O N T H L Y R E V IE W role in providing funds for specific economic sec tors (e.g., agriculture, government-owned indus tries, transportation) that are given high priority in development efforts. Alternatively, they may finance a wide variety of projects that often have difficulty in obtaining funds elsewhere but that are generally considered beneficial to the econ omy. Those serving specialized sectors often pro vide technical assistance and, at times, partici pate in management in addition to supplying capital. Their financing activities include making available short- and long-term credit, mortgages, and investments in fixed and variable securities. Normally, their portfolios consist of a much higher proportion of long-term investments than do the portfolios of commercial banks. These institutions are usually capitalized en tirely or in large part through direct govern mental contributions and often have access to central bank credit. They may also issue their own fixed interest or variable return obligations— backed either by governmental guarantee or by secured credits and loans—or sell participations in their loan portfolios. The status of some of ficial credit institutions has also enabled them to obtain credits from foreign commercial banks or foreign official sources that are not normally available to private domestic credit institutions or firms. In some cases, these institutions have floated long-term securities in international capital markets. Finally, their importance in fi nancial intermediation, combined with official status, has frequently enabled these institutions to play an effective role in fostering the growth of domestic money and capital markets. Private Investment Banks In addition to the institutions described above, a variety of institutions that may be collectively referred to as “private investment banks” are found to a greater or lesser degree in individual Latin American countries. These include mort gage banks (bancos hipotecarios), finance com panies (financieras), savings banks (bancos de ahorros), and other selected institutions. The institutions within each of these groups vary considerably from country to country and some times within the same country as well. Hence, they can only be described generally. Perhaps the most important of the private in vestment banks is the mortgage bank. These in stitutions obtain funds primarily through the is suance of their own bonds and certificates or, al ternatively, by accepting savings deposits and N O V EM BER 1970 channeling them mostly into construction. To satisfy regulatory requirements, they also pur chase government securities to some extent. Mort gage banks tend to place the major portion of their funds in long-term assets. Severe inflation ary pressures in a number of Latin American countries and the long-term nature of their opera tions have tended to restrict the growth of mort gage banks. To help offset some of these diffi culties, mortgage banks in several instances have been permitted to adjust the value of the prin cipal of outstanding mortgages in accordance with a specified price index. In order to continue attracting funds, they similarly adjust deposits and, in some cases, allow depositors to share in profits. Savings banks and savings and loan associa tions can be found in some Latin American countries. These institutions are of recent vintage and have not yet developed on a large scale. Typically, their basic source of funds is savings deposits from individuals who have future plans of obtaining a home mortgage from the institution receiving the deposit. Mortgage banks and savings and loan associa tions have also become actively engaged in mak ing loans against privately issued mortgage certif icates (cedulas hipotecarias) and then offering these certificates to their customers as an invest ment. The practice of offering an informal guaran tee to repurchase these instruments on demand, coupled with their widespread use in monetary operations by central banks, has made them quite popular in some countries. Private finance companies, of which there are two basic types, have achieved notable impor tance in a number of Latin American countries. In Argentina and Brazil, financieras mainly fi nance the purchase of consumer durables, espe cially automobiles. They operate on their own capital, by accepting time deposits, and by issuing commercial paper. In other countries, such as Mexico and Colombia, financieras function more as private development banks. Hence, they invest in and underwrite corporate securities, make short- and medium-term corporate and commer cial loans, and carry out other activities outside the usual scope of commercial banking. They ob tain funds through time deposits, issuance of their own certificates and bonds, sale of their own stocks to banks and other institutions, foreign borrowings, and especially in the case of Colombia, through central bank credits. The financieras channel a larger portion of their re sources into longer-term assets than do commer 159 cial banks, but the majority of their portfolio, nevertheless, consists of medium- and short-term assets. In many instances, these private investment banks, particularly the mortgage banks and financieras, have close ties with commercial banks. In fact, these ties have been stimulated by com mercial banks eager to enter into new activities restricted by commercial bank legislation and regulation. In recent years, regulatory authorities more cognizant of these ties, have extended and tightened up regulations covering the various types of private investment banks, some of which are strangers to American finance. 160 As noted, these and other functional and opera tional differences between Latin American bank ing institutions and their counterparts in the United States and other economically advanced nations can be traced, to a considerable degree, to a dissimilar economic environment. Thus, the institutional framework that has steadily evolved in these countries reflects efforts to cope with the many difficult problems associated with economic development efforts. J o h n E. L e im o n e M O N T H L Y R E V IE W C h e m ic a ls to th e B r in g C h an g es S o u th e a s t The economic fabric of the Southeast has been undergoing profound structural changes in recent years. The relentless march of industrialization has brought with it dramatic gains in several capital-intensive industries, at the relative ex pense of labor-intensive sectors that once domi nated the economic scene. Apparel, which requires a relatively large labor input, still clings to its first-place position among manufacturing em ployees in the states making up the Sixth Federal Reserve District (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee). In terms of value added (value of shipments minus cost of production m aterials), apparel ranks sixth and accounts for less than 7 percent of the total. The biggest contributors to value added are chemicals and food processing, number one and number two, respectively. Both of these sectors are of very low labor intensity. About 15 percent of all value added is in chemicals and allied products, but employment-wise, the chemical sector is outpaced by six other industries. Chemicals are perhaps the outstanding exam ple of what has been happening to the South east’s industrial economy. During the last twelve N O V EM BER 1970 years, production of chemicals has increased by two and a half times its 1957-59 level and has modernized processes and developed new products at an extremely fast rate. Im p o r ta n c e of C h e m ic a ls There are 140,000 persons working in chemicals and allied products in the District. This is about 7 percent of total factory employment. And in addi tion to holding the number one position in value added, the industry ranks high in value of shipments. In 1967, chemicals moved nearly $6 billion worth of goods, being surpassed only by food processing, which shipped $8.5 billion of merchandise in the same year. Also, chemicals have fairly consistently been the most impressive investor in plant and equip ment. In 1967, such expenditures in the District amounted to $750 million compared with less than $200 million for food processing, the runnerup. In this region, chemicals are relatively more important than they are in the nation. While the District accounts for only about 8.5 per161 customers. However, they also serve diverse cate gories of industrial, agricultural, governmental, and foreign users. If the industry is to be defined at all, it must be in terms of the production processes involved. Basic chemicals and chemical products are put together by processes that can only be defined as peculiarly chemical in nature. The SIC man ual breaks down chemicals into three major categories: 1. Basic chemicals, i.e., acids, alkalies, salts, and organic chemicals (compounds contain ing carbon atoms in a form similar to those found in plant and animal m atter), 2. Chemical products to be used in further manufacture, i.e., synthetic fibers, plastics materials, dry colors, and pigments, 3. Finished chemical products to be used for ultimate consumption, i.e., drugs, cosmetics, and soaps; or to be used as materials or supplies in other industries such as paints, fertilizers, and explosives. cent of total value added in U. S. manufacturing, it accounts for about 13.5 percent of total value added in chemicals and allied products. The most important chemicals here and in the nation are basic organic and inorganic industrial chemicals, along with plastics and synthetics. But in Ala bama and Florida, agricultural chemicals pre dominate, and altogether the region produces about 40 percent of U. S. value added in this in dustry. This region also predominates in gum and wood chemicals, although the total regionally and nationally is diminutive. A H e te ro ge n e o u s Tennessee is the region’s leading chemical producer; Louisiana ranks second. Value A d d e d , Million $ - 1967 Figures -1200 C o n g lo m e r a t io n Attempts at defining chemicals must have been the undoing of more than one lexicographer. Any definition must be vague enough to include every thing from a bag of fertilizer to a bar of soap, with enough leeway for charcoal briquets and sulphuric acid to be included. So generalization by product type is meaningless. Equally vague is classification by market sector served; basic chemicals firms are probably one another’s best 162 In this region (especially Tennessee), the pre dominant chemicals are organic and inorganic industrial chemicals (basic chemicals), such as alkalies, chlorine, industrial gases, dyes, and pigments. The second most important chemicals are plastics and synthetics, and these are found primarily in Tennessee but are not insignificant in Louisiana. These chemicals are also produced in Georgia; however, disclosure problems make it impossible to quantify precisely. Agricultural chemicals run a close third in the District and -800 -400 Ala. Fla. Ga. La. Miss. Tenn. M O N T H L Y R E V IE W are the predominant chemical product in Ala bama and Florida. Tennessee is the largest producer in the region and shipped more than one-third of the District’s chemical output in 1967. Louisiana ranks second and is rapidly closing the gap, producing a little less than one-fourth of the region’s total. Alabama, Florida, and Georgia are also important chemical producers, but each accounts for less than onesixth of the total. The industry is least important in Mississippi, which accounts for only about 5 percent of total shipments. When measured in terms of production, em ployment>and productivity, the chemical in dustry in the District has grown more rapidly than in the nation.________________ 1957-59=1001 Production A N a t u r a l fo r C h e m ic a ls To the extent that the presence of natural deposits is a key location factor for manufacturing, there are parts of the South that lend themselves partic ularly well to a number of chemical products. This is especially true in Louisiana, where petro leum and natural gas are abundant and provide the basic ingredient for most plastics and synthet ics. Also, but to a much lesser extent, petroleum is a factor in Tennessee, and the presence of coal mining is important there as well, since coal tar derivatives are the raw material for several basic chemicals. Market factors are also important in Tennessee because nearby textile plants, espe cially those in South Carolina and Georgia, are big customers for synthetic fiber and staple. Sulphur, a basic input for the production of the workhorse chemical sulphuric acid, is found in Louisiana and Mississippi. Sulphur is also ob tained as a by-product of copper refining, some of which is located in Tennessee. Phosphate rock, a significant agricultural chemical raw material, is found in Florida and Tennessee. In some instances, a seaport location becomes important when large quantities of production materials must be brought in from other regions, e.g., sulphur from the Texas gulf coast or potas sium from South America. The presence of large quantities of water is also an essential considera tion because of the requirements of steam genera tion and cooling. This helps to explain the heavy concentration of plants along the Mississippi River in southern Louisiana. S o u th P u llin g A h e a d Both the nation and the Southeast have shown phenomenal growth in chemicals, but the South east has grown more rapidly. First, chemicals employment in the District has nearly doubled N O V E M B E R 1970 ’60 ’62 ’64 ’66 ’68 since 1950, whereas in the nation it has risen about 65 percent. At the same time, the productivity or output per man-hour has risen sharply in both the region and the nation, with the region holding a slight edge. The net effect of all this is that the Dis trict’s output growth has outpaced the nation’s. Expansion of chemical production, both region ally and nationally, has been made possible by massive investment in plant and equipment. In 1967, 14 percent of all factory investment at the national level was in chemicals and allied prod ucts. This was exceeded only by primary metals, amounting to 15 percent. At the District level, chemicals investment was a whopping 30 percent of the manufacturing total, reflecting the South’s relative advantage in the industry. Chemicals in vestment was 25 percent of value added, whereas in the nation it was 12 percent. The largest expansion in District chemicals 163 has occurred in Louisiana, and this is quite natural if the extent of the petroleum resource base in that area is considered. Tennessee is still by far the District’s largest producer of chemicals, but Louisiana, because of its impressive capital expansion programs, is rapidly gaining ground and will most likely surpass Tennessee one day. The most rapidly expanding sector is basic industrial chemicals (alkalies, chlorine, indus trial gases, dyes, pigments, and coal tar crudes), and this, too, is not surprising, since these prod ucts become basic production materials in the manufacturing and processing of many other chemical goods. The other sector showing im pressive growth is plastics and synthetics, derived largely from petroleum and natural gas. C h a n g e s in R e c e n t Y e a r s The pace of expansion in the industry has not slowed, but there have, nevertheless, been pro found structural changes occurring that are quietly revolutionizing the production processes. While production and employment continue to expand, the number of establishments has in creased very little since 1958. This small expan Number of Chemical Establishments in the Sixth District states 1958 1963 1967 1105 1251 1324 sion in the number of plants has been accom panied by a small growth in average employment per establishment. Value added per plant, on the 1958 1963 1967 (millions of dollars) Average Value Added Per Plant 1.3 1.7 2.4 fleeted in the output per man-hour, commonly called productivity, which has jumped about 60 percent in the last decade. P a tt e r n s o f C o m p e t it io n During the last decade, District chemicals pro duction rocketed 126 percent, whereas man-hour utilization rose only 39 percent. This underscores the vital role of an accelerating technology in an industry that had a low labor intensity even in 1960. This progress in efficiency, along with a degree of price competition in chemicals, has in the last ten years helped bring about a two-percent decline in national chemicals prices. This is in sharp contrast to the all-commodity index, which has risen more than 15 percent. There is every reason to believe that District chemical prices are behaving the same as nationally. Productivity has been increasing regionally and nationally at about the same rate. Price cutting has become a fact of life among some industrial chemicals, especially the organics. This practice is generally associated with excess capacity, new entrants, and attempts at broaden ing markets. Chemicals face their stiffest competition from other chemicals, other processes, and other in dustries. Firms generally attempt to cope with Chemical prices have been a major exception to increases in wholesale prices. Average Employment Per Establishment Average Production Worker Employment Per Establishment 1958 1963 1967 82 77 91 1957-59= 100 . Total Wholesale 58 54 63 / ✓-------- ✓ / s X -115 ^ -105 Chemicals other hand, has climbed from about $1.3 million in 1958 to $2.4 million in 1967. All this is re164 * ’60 i i ’62 i * ’64 i i ’66 i -95 i ’68 1 1 ’70 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W such problems via nonprice competition and em phasize technical services, quality, and product improvement through research and development. In some products, such as synthetic fibers, brand names become important. A B o o n fo r the B a la n c e o f P a y m e n ts While the chemical industry is facing increasing competition in foreign markets, the exports of chemicals and allied products are increasing more NUMBER OF CHEMICAL FIRMS EMPLOYING MORE THAN 100 PERSONS, 1967 N O V EM BER 1970 165 rapidly than total merchandise exports. Chemical imports are rising at an even faster rate, but in dollar terms, chemical exports are still growing more rapidly. Because of this, the trade surplus in chemicals continues to widen. B o r r o w in g O u t s id e th e D is t r ic t The region’s chemical industry borrows a great deal of funds from banks outside the region. In 1969, even though chemicals (and chemicals and rubber combined) were relatively more important in the District than in the nation, loans by large District member banks to chemical and rubber concerns made up 9 percent of total manufactur ing loans, compared with 11 percent nationally. And the District’s share of loans to the chemical industry was only 2 percent of the nation’s total loans to this industry. In contrast, total District manufacturing loans were 3 percent of the na tional total. In general, chemical firms are capable of gen erating large sums of funds internally for sea sonal working capital needs as well as for long term uses. And in those cases where bank financ ing is used, there seems to be little problem in procuring either short-term or intermediate-term credit for capital expansion. Loans made by Sixth District banks show a seasonal pattern that recurs in a regular fashion: Loans outstanding generally increase sharply in early spring and then decline irregularly until about year-end. Typically, the peak seasonal lending comes in the spring, when such lending increases about 5 percent. A seasonal decline, amounting to about 5 percent, follows late in the year. This seasonal pattern of loan demand is superimposed on a rising trend of bank lending to chemical firms that has doubled since 1964. Should the region’s chemical industry continue to grow as expected, there is little reason to doubt that it will be an increasingly important customer for District banks. R o b e r t E. W i l l a r d B a n k A n n o u n c e m e n ts On October 1, Livingston State Bank & Trust Co., Denham Springs, Louisiana, a nonmember bank, began to remit at par for checks drawn on it when received from the Federal Reserve Bank. A newly organized nonmember bank, Florida South ern Bank, Palm Springs, Florida, opened for business on October 9. Officers are James K. Siebrecht, chair man of the board; Carleton S. Lucius, president and director; and J. T. Jones, executive vice president and cashier. Capital is $450,000; surplus and other capital funds, $250,000. 166 M O N TH LY R E V IE W R e v ie w s o f S ix th D is tr ic t S ta te E c o n o m ie s Reprints of Monthly Review articles (Single copies only) A A A A A A R e v ie w R e v ie w R e v ie w R e v ie w R e v ie w R e v ie w of of of of of of A la b a m a ’s E c o n o m y , 1 960-70, S e p te m b e r 1970, 35 p p . F lo r id a ’s E c o n o m y , 1959-70, J u l y 1970, 35 p p . G e o r g ia ’s E c o n o m y , 1960-70, A u g u s t 1970 , 35 p p . L o u is ia n a ’s E c o n o m y , 1959-70, A u g u s t 1970, 32 p p . M i s s is s ip p i’s E c o n o m y , 1960-69, F e b r u a r y 1970, 28 p p . T e n n e s s e e ’s E c o n o m y , 1960-69, F e b r u a r y 1970, 27 p p . S ta tis tic a l C o m p ila tio n s (Single copies only) S t a t i s t i c s o n t h e D e v e lo p in g S o u t h , 1970. S t a t i s t i c a l ti m e s e r ie s fo r t r a c i n g lo n g - r u n e c o n o m ic c h a n g e s in t h e S o u t h e a s t a n d U n i t e d S t a te s . S t a t i s t i c s o n C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s , S i x t h D is tr ic t, 1940-69, s e le c te d d a te s . S t a t i s t i c a l ta b l e s a n a ly z in g c h a n g e s in lo a n s , in v e s tm e n ts , a n d d e p o s its o f c o m m e r c ia l b a n k s in t h e S ix th D i s tr ic t. These publications are now available upon request to the Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia 30303. N O V EM BER 1970 167 BANKING STATISTICS Billion $ DEPOSITS - 2 3 .5 - 2 2 .5 9.8 Net Demand* - 9 .2 vSls - 6.2 2 1 .5 5 .7 1 3.5 5.2 Loans (net)** Time* 1 2.5 Investments* 4 .6 7 .0 Savings* i i i i i i i i i i i I i i i i i i i i i i i 6.0 J J 1969 D J J 19 7 0 J D 4.0 i i i t i l i I i I I I I i I l i i I l l I i J DJ J D 1970 1969 LATEST MONTH PLOTTED: SEPTEMBER mbe banks. Note: All figures are seasonally adjusted and cover all Sixth District member ♦Daily average figures. ** Figures are for the last Wednesday of each month. S IX T H D IS T R IC T B A N K I N G N O T E S CHANGES IN BUSINESS LOANS Million $ -6 0 - Durable Goods Mfg. Nondurable Goods Mfg. Mining Wholesale & Transportation Construction Retail Trade Comm, & P. U. 40 Services Note: Figures shown are cumulative changes for the first nine months of each year and cover 23 large commercial banks in the District. 168 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W Large banks in the Sixth District have been much less active this year in making loans to businesses than they were in 1969. During the first nine months of 1969, business loans outstanding at 32 large commercial banks increased 6.9 percent, whereas during the comparable 1970 period, business loans changed little. These large banks hold about one-half of the total of business loan volume at all member banks in the Atlanta District. The curtailment of business loan growth re flects the general slowdown experienced by the Southeastern economy. Many businesses indi cated that their sales have been below expecta tions, and that output in many sectors either has leveled off or declined. With this decline in activity, the businessman has had less need for short-term funds to maintain inventories of raw materials and finished goods, except in cases where inventories have built up. Lower employ ment levels also have meant less funds have been needed to meet payrolls. A shift by businesses from bank- to nonbankfinancing may have also contributed to the soften ing in business lending activity at District banks. In 1969, many business firms that normally had secured long-term funds in the capital markets to finance long-term projects were unable to ob tain such funds. Often, if funds were available, they could only be secured at record-high costs. Therefore, businessmen turned to banks for short term, temporary financing of their long-term projects. With this year’s greater availability of credit in capital markets and lower long-term rates, some business firms have been able to arrange for long-term financing outside the bank ing system and have used the proceeds to repay their loans to banks. In addition, some business firms have also gone to nonbanking sources in order to obtain funds needed for additional long term financing. Although the impact of the business slowdown and the greater availability of nonbank credit N O V EM BER 1970 BUSINESS LOANS Million $ 32 Large Banks ; v \ 1969 y \ ) /V \A -\ f ' I i J t i i i i i i rN / N -200 i i i J D Note: Figures shown are cumulative changes from first of year. has been reflected in all types of business lend ing activity, the greatest impact at Sixth District banks has been on their lending to nondurable goods manufacturing firms and service concerns. At the 23 large banks that report their loans by business of borrower, nondurable manufacturing loans rose only $8.5 million during the first nine months of 1970, compared with $58 million dur ing the first nine months of last year. Outstanding loans to some types of businesses have actually declined during the first nine months of 1970. Construction loans have shown the most persistent decline. Loans to service-type businesses declined slightly in 1970, in contrast to the sharp increase during the comparable period in 1969. Service loans include loans to nonbusiness services, such as lodging, amuse ment, recreation, medical, legal, and educational services. Loans to mining concerns and transpor tation, communication, and public utility bor rowers also declined from their end-of-1969 level. J o sep h E. R o ssm an , J r. 169 S ix t h D is t r ic t S t a t is t ic s Seasonally Adjusted (All data are indexes, 1957-59 = IOO, unless indicated otherwise.) L a te st M o n th 197 0 O ne M onth Ago Tw o M o n th s Ago O ne Year A go 262r 22 8 197 2 62 1 78 1 67 183 255 177 167 178 One M onth A go Tw o M on th s A go O ne Ye a r Ago 36 2 154 3 61 220 352 1 74 3 35 178 . Sept. 181 173 182 128 89 179 175 18 1 r 1 30 93 180 175 181 133 97 176 178 176 137 85 . Sept. . Sept. 3.7 40.6 3.5 40.5 3.3 40.9 41.6 . Sept. . Sept. 401 288 3 02 398 27 6 3 05 395 269 284r 37 4 25 8 282 258 1 36 2 67 r 207 267 166 2 63 156 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 151 138 1 58 126 49 151 139 157 12 7 r 47 151 139 157 130 46 152 145 156 151 50 Sept. Sept. 4.0 39.3 3.7 40.1 3.7 40.3 3.1 40.7 Sept. Sept. Sept. 3 55 24 7 328 355 240 3 33 35 0 238 33 2 341 23 6 31 9 Sept. Aug. 23 2 269 224 2 34 222 2 16 245 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 131 120 12 0 r 120 134 1 19 43 1 34 117 44 134 1 18 47 Sept. Sept. 6.6 42.6 6.4 42.5r 41.2 Sept. Sept. Sept. 296 198 209 29 5 1 94 287 1 89 222r 2 10 r 275 178 203 Sept. Aug. 286 173 280r 239 284 203 27 9 18 4 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 152 159 1 48 163 46 151 15 8 r 1 48 162 46 150 158 147 160 48 151 161 146 17 0 44 Sept. Sept. 5.0 40.2 4.9 40.6 4.3 41.1 Sept. Sept. Sept. 43 6 29 5 290 4 33 291 264 396 2 72 3 01 L a te st M o n t h 197 0 S IX T H D IS T R IC T IN C O M E A N D S P E N D I N G M a n u f a c tu r in g P a y r o lls .............. F a rm C a s h R e c e i p t s ...................... C r o p s ........................................ L i v e s t o c k .................................... In s ta lm e n t C re d it at B a n k s * (M il. $) N e w L o a n s ................................ Rep aym ents ............................. . . . . Sept. Aug. A ug. A ug. 2 63 167 149 169 . Sept. . Sept. 341 3 07 359 3 07 344 3 26 32 6 287 N o n fa rm E m p l o y m e n t t .................. . Sept. M a n u f a c tu r in g ......................... . Sept. A p p a re l .................................... . Sept. C h e m i c a l s ................................ . Sept. F a b ric a te d M e t a l s ...................... . Sept. F o o d ........................................... . Sept. Lbr., W ood Prod., Furn . & Fix. . . . Sept. Paper ........................................ . Sept. P rim a ry M e t a l s ......................... . Sept. T e x tile s .................................... . Sept. T ra n sp o rta tio n E q u ip m e n t . . . . Sept. N o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g t ...................... . Sept. C o n s t r u c t i o n ............................. . Sept. F a rm E m p l o y m e n t ......................... . Sept. U n e m p lo y m e n t Rate . Sept. (P e rc e n t o f W o rk Fo rceJt . . . . In s u r e d U n e m p lo y m e n t Sept. (Pe rcent o f C ov. E m p . ) .............. Avg. W e e kly H rs. in M fg. (H rs.) . . . Sept. Sept. C o n s tru c tio n C o n t r a c t s * .............. Sept. R e s i d e n t i a l ................................ Sept. All O t h e r .................................... Ele ctric Pow e r P r o d u c t io n * * . . . . Aug. Aug. C otto n C o n s u m p t i o n * * .................. Petrol. Prod, in C o a sta l La. a n d M iss.* '« Sept. Aug. M a n u f a c t u r in g P ro d u c tio n . . . . Aug. N o n d u r a b le G o o d s ...................... Aug. Aug. T e x tile s ................................ Aug. Aug. Paper .................................... Aug. P r in t in g a n d P u b lis h in g . . . Aug. C h e m i c a l s ............................. Aug. D u ra b le G o o d s ......................... L u m b e r a n d W o o d ..................... Aug. F u rn itu re a n d F i x t u r e s .............. . Aug. Aug. Stone , C la y a n d G la s s . . . . Aug. P r im a r y M e t a l s ...................... F a b ric a te d M e t a l s .................. . Aug. N o n e le ctrica l M a c h in e r y . . . . Aug. E le ctrica l M a c h i n e r y ................... Aug. T ra n sp o rta tio n E q u ip m e n t . . . Aug. 152 145 174 142 175 118 105 125 128 151 145 1 74 141 173 1 18 1 06 r 125 126 r 151 150 175 144 17 8 113 112 112 192 154 128 55 1 95 r 153 130 55 151 146 175 140 173 118 106 127 129 113 192 153 132 55 4.6 4.5 4.3 3.5 2.9 40.4 229 2 76 189 168 99 28 3 244 206 167 229 26 2 192 1 68 252 287 170 185 169 198 239 36 2 611 37 8 1.9 4 0.9 196 217 178 160 99 264 238 2 10 . Sept. EM PLOYM ENT N o n fa rm E m p lo y m e n tt . Sept. . Sept. E M P L O Y M E N T A N D P R O D U C T IO N 212 152 141 55 . Sept. . Sept. 3 58 30 2 3 56 298 352 298 331 276 . Sept. . Sept. . Sept. 249 2 06 2 83 242 200 2 37 196 278r 226 189 270 20 1 159 2 30 248 197 168 2 56 2 82 168 196 167 193 236 3 93 585 366 M a n u f a c tu r in g P a y ro lls .................. Sept. Fa rm C a s h R e c e i p t s ......................... Aug. EM PLOYM ENT N o n fa rm E m p lo y m e n t t U n e m p lo y m e n t Rate (P e rc e n t of W o rk Fo rceJt . . . Avg. W e e k ly H rs. in M fg. (H rs.) . F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G 185 EM PLO YM ENT N o n m a n u f a c t u rin g C o n s tru c tio n F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G Loans* All M e m b e r B a n k s ...................... L a rg e B a n k s ............................. D e p o s its * All M e m b e r B a n k s ...................... L a rg e B a n k s ............................. B a n k D e b i t s * / * * ............................. 2.6 F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G 130 134 117 3.0 40.4 r 2 63 183 1 68 108 r 294 2 45 208 166 236r 261 193r 167 r 261 2 91 r 168 182 r 166 198 r 239r 379r 616r 382r Avg. W e e k ly Hrs. in M fg. (H rs.) . 111 3.3 40.1 246 216 271 165 92 310 2 44 2 07 166 236 262 194 166 2 63 288 167 183 165 199 238 359 6 05 381 220 U n e m p lo y m e n t Rate 131 131 133 123 135 132 50 U n e m p lo y m e n t R a te 287r ALABAM A Avg. W e e kly H rs. in M fg. (H rs.) . 6.2 4.9 41.5 F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G M IS S IS S IP P I IN C O M E M a n u f a c tu rin g P a y ro lls ................... Sept. F a rm C a s h R e c e i p t s ...................... . A ug. EM PLOYM ENT N o n fa rm E m p l o y m e n t t .................. . M a n u f a c tu r in g ......................... . N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g .................. . C o n s t r u c t i o n ......................... . Fa rm E m p l o y m e n t .............................. U n e m p lo y m e n t R a te (Percent of W o rk F o r c e lt . . . . . Avg. W e e k ly H rs. in M fg. (H rs.) . . ,. 231 153 225r 194 2 27 171 2 18 177 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 131 133 130 104 52 133 133 132r 12 1r 57 133 134 133 123 51 133 137 132 127 59 Sept. Sept. 5.1 40.2 5.0 40.4r 4.9 40.1 3.9 41.0 EM PLO YM ENT F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G M e m b e r B a n k L o a n s ...................... M e m b e r B a n k D e p o s i t s .............. B a n k D e b i t s * * ............................. 170 U n e m p lo y m e n t R a te (P e rc e n t of W o rk Fo rce )t • • Avg. W e e kly H rs. in M fg. (H rs.) 5.2 40.1 F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G . Sept. . Sept. . Sept. 3 23 231 241 32 6 23 0 249 321 2 26 236 294 2 12 225 4 33 30 0 294r M O N T H L Y R E V IE W L a te st M o n t h 1 97 0 One M on th Ago Two M on th s A go One Yea r A go La te st M o n th 1 97 0 TEN N ESSEE IN C O M E M a n u f a c t u r in g P a y ro lls F a rm C a s h R e c e ip t s . 24 7 159 245r 1 64 2 50 174 2 43 14 9 148 153 146 151 147 153 148 157 M onth A go M o n th s Ago A go . Sept. . Sept. . Sept. 145 149 60 144 143 r 58 144 143 57 143 155 61 . Sept. . Sept. 4.8 39.5 4.8 39. 8 r 4.5 40.1 3.6 40.4 M e m b e r B a n k L o a n s * ..................... . Sept. M e m b e r B a n k D e p o s i t s * .................. B a n k D e b i t s * / * * ............................. . Sept. 354 230 2 85 34 3 22 3 28 0 344 218 2 97 312 2 03 2 77 N o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g ...................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ......................... F a rm E m p l o y m e n t ......................... U n e m p lo y m e n t Rate (P e rc e n t of W o rk Fo rceJt . . . . Avg. W e e k ly H o u rs in M fg. (H rs.) . F IN A N C E A N D B A N K IN G EM PLOYM ENT N o n fa rm E m p lo y m e n t t • M a n u f a c t u r in g . . . *F o r S ix t h D istrict a re a only; o th e r totals fo r en tire six sta te s D a ily a ve ra ge b a s is t P re lim in a ry data r-R ev ised N.A. N ot ava ila b le S o u rc e s : M a n u f a c tu r in g p ro d u ctio n e stim a te d by t h is B a n k ; non farm , m fg. a n d n o n m fg . emp., m fg. p a y ro lls a n d hou rs, a n d unem p., U.S. Dept, of L a b o r a n d co o p e ra tin g state a g e n cie s; cotto n c o n su m p tio n , U.S. B u re a u of C e n s u s; c o n stru c tio n contracts, F. W. D o d g e Div., M cG ra w -H ill In fo rm a tio n S y s t e m s Co.; petrol, prod., U.S. B u re a u of M in e s; in d u s tria l u s e of elec. power, Fed. P ow e r C om m .; fa rm c a sh re ce ip ts a n d fa rm emp., U .S.D.A. O th e r in d e x e s b a se d on d ata collected b y t h is B a n k . All in d e x e s c a lc u la te d b y t h is B a n k . Debits to Demand Deposit Accounts Insured Commercial Banks in the Sixth District (In Thousands of Dollars) P e rce n t C h a n g e P e rce n t C h a n g e Sept. 197 0 Aug. 197 0 Sept. 1 96 9 Yea r to Sept. date 197 0 9 m os. Fro m 197 0 Aug. Sept. fro m 197 0 196 9 1 96 9 S T A N D A R D M E T R O P O L IT A N S T A T IS T IC A L A R E A S f B ir m in g h a m . . . . G adsden . . . . H u n tsv ille . . . . .............. M o b ile 2,00 0,990 1,914,094 1,810,454 + 5 + 11 + + - 5 4 + 12 + 6 - 2 + 9 + 5 + 17 + 75,1 73 72,172 6 7,2 34 2 0 4 ,819 213 ,145 208 ,930 64 0 ,619 643 ,896 6 0 8 ,416 - 1 M on tg om e ry . . . 383 ,659 371 ,027 364,291 + 3 T u s c a lo o s a . . . 137,681 121,281 123,132 + 14 Ft. L a u d e r d a le H o lly w o o d . . . . . . . . J a c k s o n v ille M i a m i .................. . O r l a n d o .............. P e n s a c o la . . . W. P a lm B e a c h A lb a n y . . . . .............. A tla n ta .............. A u g u s t a .............. B a to n Lafayette . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 . . . 40,4 36 4 0,1 90 37,875 + 7 + 7 87,283 O ca la . . . St. A u g u s t in e St. P e te rsb u rg 3 + 14 + 13 + + 15 5 6 6 ,036 8 + 6 +13 +14 + 10 8 + 14 + 15 + + 4 289,011 + 5 + 3 + 3 + 14 + 15 + 5 + 4 344 ,976 323 ,903 3 4 6 ,458 313,375 30 0 ,9 6 8 3 4 0 ,567 7 8 4 ,380 169,624 8 07 ,276r 165,875 166,151 2,707,782 6 + 0 34 6 ,8 2 8 721 ,8 7 8 165,817 + 3 163,393 165,843 + 2 2 + 2 0 +23 + 6 - 2 2,59 1,434 2,63 0,658 + 4 + 3 + 156,573 904 ,548 + - 2 + 14 - 7 3 3 1 1 + 2 + + + 1 7 9 + + 4 0 4 +26 + 10 884 ,235 805 ,826 - + 9 + 12 580 ,665 572 ,265 - 3 + 3 1,838,571 597 ,826 l,8 2 1 ,0 6 7 r + 1,866,335 + 2 + 7 +14 171,262 1,044,457 - 4 + 3 +16 7 3,1 44 69,5 87 - 0 + 5 + 13 . . . . . . 121,913 129 ,999 101,998 - +19 54,343 6 2,0 08 52,827 6 -1 2 +20 . . . . . + 3 + 10 . . . . . . 125,516 115,572 133,005 + - 6 - . . . . . . . . 20,885 91,791 18,099 18,119 + 15 + 15 91,021 87,5 85 + 1 A thens D alto n G a in e s v ille . . . . 46,3 74 43,1 82 40,8 32 + 7 . . . . . 22,931 23,231 23,4 88 - 1 - . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31,6 62 27,5 26 27,1 04 + 15 + 17 . . L a G ra n g e Rom e 86,4 09 93,9 46 + 9 - 0 68,3 40 -1 4 + 4 . . . . 14,269 156,640 7,493 44,2 14 13,300 150,952 15,022 157,637 7,419 46,931 7,562 42,3 34 + 7 + 4 + 1 - 6 + Ne w Iberia . . . P la q u e m in e . . . T h ib o d a u x . . . . . 42,2 85 38,871 40,2 29 + 9 + 5 + 5 12,941 24,1 60 14,157 - 9 - 9 - 3 23,965 14,275 26,9 48 + 1 -1 0 + 0 H a ttie sb u rg . . L au re l . . . . . . M e rid ia n . . . . N a tc h e z . . . . . P a s c a g o u la — M o s s Point . . V ic k s b u r g . . . . . . . 77,1 07 55,4 50 72,7 26 7 9,2 31r 84,9 29 - 3 - 9 - 50,001 78,6 34 . 45,0 85 39,907 51,216 89,535 46,960 - 8 +13 + 8 -1 9 - 4 - 7 4 . 84,975 91,393 84,232 - + 1 + 7 . 55,0 07 47,6 28 48,2 46 + 15 + 14 + 14 . . . . . 3 6,4 48 24,8 55 32,1 55 +47 + 13 + 3 . . . . . . J o h n so n C ity . . . K in g sp o rt . . . . . 96,3 72 93,591 98,6 34 + + 5 101,091 100,344 103,199 + 173,290 176,735 2 - 2 + 0 + 10 - 2 + . . . . . . A b b e v ille . . . . A le x a n d ria . . . . B u n k ie . . . . . H am m ond . . . . Y a zo o C ity + 11 + 1 03,145 8 9,0 12 86,611 + 16 + 19 + 13 S e l m a .................. 51,7 76 47,6 64 52,024 + 9 - 0 + 1 34,6 72 33,187 34,119 + 4 2 + 1 - 0 - 4 Alabama:): B re va rd C o u n ty . D a y to n a Beach . . . . . 95,3 23 82,095 94,777 2 0 8 ,846 209 ,522 96,6 39 195,118 97,6 79 131,544 119,495 121,087 93,399 'In c l u d e s o n ly b a n k s in the S ix th D istrict p ortion of the state 1970 + 16 + + 7 - 1 + + 10 + S IX T H D IS T R IC T 177,476 Total . 41,7 83,489 + 11 3 - 5 1 1 4 - + 1 - 6 - 4 + 6 6 + 10 40,4 19,842 r 39,9 84,908 r + 3 + 9 4,865,127 4,736,765 12,839,051r 12,474,207 + 4 + 7 + 7 . . . . . . 13,360,414 + 4 + 7 + 10 . . . . . . 11,508,777 11,103,437 11,184,594 + 4 + 3 + 12 2 2 2 + 3 + - 4 + 6 8 + 3 + 7 . . . . . 5,082,064 + 4 - 3 G e o rgia^ 3 + 4 L o u is ia n a f * . . . 4,72 1,477r 4,643,637 + 1,891,172 l,8 5 4 ,2 6 4 r 1,965,078 + + 3 M is s i s s i p p i f * T e n n e s s e e t* . . . 9 . . . 5,141,613 5,036,486 4,98 0,627r + ^E stim a te d 7 1 + 2 F lo rid a t tP a rt ia lly e stim a te d 8 +21 + 6 + 8 82,1 18 0 . . . . + 15 - 93,8 34 + .............. 2 4 + 11 +17 7 1,0 14 V a ld o sta B risto l 7 7 + 5 + 14 G riffin N ew nan 9 - + 11 147 ,014 1,125,235 73,131 7 1,2 58 N O V EM BER - +20 159,017 78,7 86 Ft. M y e r s — N. Ft. M y e r s -1 6 6 + 8 1,079,841 79,097 B a rto w 5 . . . . . . . .............. B ra d e n to n + . . . + 15 8 0 + 2 27,0 95 398,681 94,2 95 . . . Elb erton + +14 23,8 47 4 5 2 ,197 99,2 19 . . 8 + 5 22,7 43 4 7 9 ,034 . . . . . + - +20 8 + . . . . . . S a ra so ta 4 + 14 + 10 W in te r H ave n + 3 + Tam pa 3,298,022 6 9 4 ,344 O TH ER C EN T ER S A n n is to n D o th a n + M o n ro e C o u n ty B ru n s w ic k 178,989 8 7 4 ,360 9 6 + 11 + . 8 + + 116 ,959 . . . K n o x v ille N a s h v ille + 2 + 1 8 2 48 ,2 0 8 873 ,377 5 3 1,892,153 174 ,175r + 139,013 + 220 ,258 1 78,156 8 4 4 ,064 108 ,904 148,865 + 7,44 8,622 30 9 ,7 8 6 . . 112 ,280 151 ,754 2 8 2 ,043,640 5 87,656 117 ,819 . . . + + Aug. 197 0 . . . + 123,813 B ilo x i- G u lf p o r t Jackson .............. C h a tta n o o g a 9 Aug. 197 0 G a in e s v ille 9 5 3 ,124 + Sept. 197 0 L a k e la n d 1,998,953 7,421,614 293,241 . . . . N e w O r le a n s 5 133,668 . . . L a k e C h a r le s 6 + 2 8 4 ,050 2 0 1 ,776 600,651 276,713 + 7,685,679 310 ,648 . . 3 0 4 ,422 . . . . Rouge 7 7 1 ,2 7 ? 5 + 12 2,052,451 . C o lu m b u s . . . . M acon .............. Savannah 1,005,185 1,892,075 3,40 6,134 r 79 1 ,350 . . . . T a lla h a s s e e T a m p a - S t . Pete. 1,028,649 2,051,455 3,556,012 5 Sept. 1 96 9 Yea r to date 9 m os. 197 0 Sept. fro m 1 96 9 1 96 9 Sept. 1970 F ro m 4,79 9,449 4 r-R ev ised 171 D is t r ic t B u s in e s s C o n d it io n s A lth o u g h a few b r ig h t s p o t s h a ve a p p e a r e d , th e S o u t h e a s t e r n re g io n c o n t in u e s to be d o g g e d b y s l u g g is h e c o n o m ic a ctiv ity . T h e u n e m p lo y m e n t rate e d g e d h ig h e r in S e p te m b e r ; p r ic e s o f fa r m ro se b u t fa r m c o n tin u e d m o n th s. and p ro fits w ere sq u e e z e d ; a n d th e ir T o ta l r e s tra in e d s p e n d in g c o n s tr u c t io n c o n tr a c t s a v in g s a n d lo a n a s s o c ia t io n s r e s id e n tia l b e h a v io r. aw ards b e n e fite d both m a n u f a c t u r in g and c o n tr a c t a w ards fe ll. p ro d u cts C o n su m e rs N o n f a r m e m p lo y m e n t w e n t up, a fte r d e c lin in g fo r fo u r in c r e a s e d on the str e n g th o f n o n r e s id e n t ia l a c tiv ity . B a n k s fro m la rge d e p o s it in flo w s. D e s p it e a s lig h t in c r e a se in th e u n e m p lo y m e n t rate, c o n s tr u c t io n n o n m a n u f a c t u r in g e m p lo y m e n t in c r e a se d . However, October’s man ufacturing employment statistics will probably show a decline because of the GM strike. In Sep tember, only construction employment declined significantly, largely because of a labor dispute that idled about 8,000 workers in Birmingham. In August, industrial production for durables and nondurables reversed a three-month advance. ty, Tennessee. Residential contract volume declined. In contrast with the first half of the year, there were relatively few large multi-family apartment project awards in the third quarter. With savings flows to District savings and loan associations remaining strong, the outlook for mortgage credit availability continued to im prove. A c c o r d in g to in flo w s p r e lim in a r y at m e m b er banks in fo r m a tio n , in d e p o s it O c to b e r w ere o n ly up, re s lig h t ly s m a lle r th a n th e la rg e in flo w s n o te d d u r f le c t in g s h a r p ly h ig h e r p r ic e s fo r c orn , o ils e e d s , in g the tw o p re v io u s m o n th s. The easier reserve positions of banks continued to be mirrored in reduced borrowing at the discount window. Larger banks paid off a substantial part of their nondeposit liabilities. S e p t e m b e r ’s a g r ic u lt u r a l p r ic e s m o v e d In the livestock category, price increases for milk and eggs overshadowed price declines for hogs and beef cattle. Broiler prices remained below year-earlier levels. High com prices, resulting from the diseased crop, have meant considerably higher feed costs for the region’s farmers. a n d v e g e ta b le s . T o ta l c o n s tr u c t io n c o n tr a c t a w a r d s re v e rse d a A sharp gain in the nonbuilding category was accounted for by a single large utility contract in Hamilton Coun fo u r-m o n th d e c lin e in S e p te m b e r . NOTE: In S e p te m b e r , the v o lu m e lo a n s m a d e to c o n s u m e r s o f n ew in s ta lm e n t by c o m m e r c ia l banks d e c lin e d b u t s t ill e x c e e d e d the a m o u n t o f re p a y m e n ts. Thus, total consumer credit outstanding increased only fractionally. In October, depart ment store sales remained sluggish, and auto sales were depressed by the GM strike. Data on which statements are based have been adjusted whenever possible to eliminate seasonal influences. 172 M O N TH LY R E V IE W