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M onthly F E D E R A L R E T E R V E B A N K O F A T L A o f th e N e w O rle a n s he contribution that a well-balanced international trade can make toward full production and employment throughout the nation is receiving growing recognition in the Sixth Federal Reserve District, one of the sections that would be most strongly affected. In addition, because of the Dis trict’s proxim ity to Latin America, attention is being focused upon the role that an expanded trade with that area may play in the South’s economic future. The im portance of foreign trade as a source of employment and income is readily apparent where ships dock and unload cargo brought from foreign countries and reload with Am eri can goods, as they do at such District ports as Mobile, New Orleans, Savannah, Jacksonville, Tampa, and M iam i; where the arrival of planes bringing passengers from all parts of Latin America is a regular occurrence, as it is at such Sixth District cities as Miami, New Orleans, and T am pa; and where ship-repair facilities are kept in operation by the needs of vessels engaged in foreign trade. Furtherm ore a lively inter est in the possibilities of foreign trade is demonstrated in inland sections of the District as well. In the A tlanta area, for example, a survey conducted by the Foreign Trade Coun cil of the chamber of commerce reveals that approxim ately 150 firms have expressed a desire to expand their markets through foreign trade. The current industrial expansion in the South, it is hoped, will be paralleled by a growth in trade with Latin America. The recent announcement that the newly organized Inter national Trade M art will begin operation at New Orleans on June 7, 1947, is therefore of outstanding interest. As it is planned, the m art will assist m aterially in removing some of the obstacles to a perm anent development of United States trade with Latin America. Since, in addition to being the Dis trict’s largest port, New Orleans serves the entire M ississippi Valley area, a development such as that of the International Trade M art has significance to the growth of foreign trade not only in the District but also in the rest of the nation. The New Orleans experiment may point the way toward overcom ing many of the difficulties that have ham pered trade with Latin America. As a general rule in the past, except for its m ajor national lirms American business has not exhibited its present de gree of interest in foreign markets. Foreign trade is a new venture for many firms. For an individual concern the de In te rn a tio n a l N T A Number 4 A tlanta, Georgia, A pril 30, 1946 Volume XXXI R o le S R eview T ra d e M a rt cision to enter that field becomes a practical problem re moved from abstract generalities into the realm of ordinary day-to-day business transactions. These firms realize that al though trade agreements, financial agreements, the Interna tional M onetary Fund and Bank, and trade treaties are all im portant matters bearing upon the future course of interna tional trade, the immediate problem of the individual firm is one of m astering practical details. Like domestic sales transactions, foreign trade involves practical details of demand creation, finding a buyer, ne gotiating terms of sale, and transferring the title. Also in volved are the practical details of transportation, storage, and finance. Furtherm ore, in international transactions many of these details become more complex. There are customs and shipping regulations. Sometimes certain special types of packaging are required. There are problem s of foreign ex change and finance. Foreign-trade documents appear to be exceedingly complex to those persons accustomed to domestic trade only. A lack of uniform ity in laws and commercial prac tices and numerous other problems add their complications. Many of these factors can be overcome by utilizing the faci lities of the foreign-trade departments of commercial banks and the services of export-im port firms specializing in the handling of foreign-trade transactions. Even more fundam ental perhaps are the problems that buy ers and sellers have in getting together and that buyers have in determining the fitness to their needs of the goods avail able. In order to meet them, large American corporations have developed special foreign-trade departments. They have representatives in the foreign markets and branch offices in the principal cities where American goods are displayed. Contact is made directly between buyer and seller, the sale is arranged, and other details completed. For the sm aller firm, however, such a course of action is im practical, both because of the lack of experience and because of the great cost in volved. W ithin the United States the problem of bringing the buyer and seller together and that of making it possible for the buyer to determine what goods are available and which of them are suitable to his needs have been met by the develop ment of specialized markets. Over the course of many years centers have grown up in certain cities where buyers may view the merchandise of many competing firms and where they 30 M o n t h ly R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 may complete the details involved in the transaction. R etail ers, fo r example, regularly visit the garm ent centers, the fu rn i ture markets, and other centers. It is unnecessary fo r them to search the entire country to find the goods they want. T rans actions can be completed in a m inim um of time. In addition to the specialized type of market, certain centers have been developed at which a variety of goods are displayed and sold. The most notable of these is the M erchandise M art in Chicago. The establishment of such m arkets for international trade is not a new development, although it is new to the United States. In Medieval Europe the beginnings of international trade were fostered prim arily through the great international fairs. One of the most notable was the cycle of fairs at Cham pagne, France, which succeeded one another so rapidly as to become almost one continuous fair. At Champagne were assembled on the greatest possible scale all the export raw m aterials and m aufactures of Europe and the M editerranean region. W ith the development of im proved means of communica tion and m odern industrial operations the character of the great fairs changed. Though certain im portant fairs have con tinued, they have done so on a changed basis. The sellers’ practice of bringing a store of goods for immediate sale was changed to one of displaying samples, on the basis of which sales were consummated. Serving as a sort of perm anent ex position where orders m ight be placed, the Leipzig fa ir be came an im portant instrum ent in the expansion of Germany’s international trade. D uring and after W orld W ar I a num ber of fairs, which were chiefly sam ple expositions, were devel oped in other nations. There were about 150 such fairs in Europe p rio r to W orld W ar II. The extensive staffs both p ro vided the technical management and conducted publicity cam paigns throughout the world. M any of them utilized modern advertising methods and m aintained foreign offices. A resum p tion of many of these European fairs has recently been an nounced. T rade growth in the U nited States failed to lead to the development of such fairs on the E uropean scale. Perhaps one of the chief reasons was that early American exports were for the most p art standardized raw m aterials. Sale by descrip tion and sam ple was relatively easy. Then m any of the m anu factured goods that the United States later began to export were industrial goods or consumer durable goods of large unit cost, such as autom obiles. The sale of these goods required less individual contact between buyers and sellers than the sale of other types of m erchandise needed. Furtherm ore, the firms selling them were able to support foreign-trade depart ments. If hopes for a continuing growth of Latin-American trade at the scale now contem plated are to be realized, however, greater emphasis m ust be placed on the sale of consumer goods and on a large num ber of sales of goods of small unit value. Moreover, the recognition that trade is a two-way proposition requiring increased purchases of Latin-American goods by citizens of the United States is becoming ap parent. This type of trade will demand m ore and more per sonal contacts and m ore and m ore of the facilities for de term ining which goods are suitable to the needs of the buyers of both this nation and Latin America. The 20 Latin American republics, with a population esti m ated at approxim ately 184 m illion, constitute a great po tential m arket for American goods. According to the United States D epartm ent of Commerce, the oontinent of South America with its 92 m illion inhabitants is the fastest growing continent in the world. Prospects fo r future growth in popu lation are favored by the high rate of natural increase and the further reduction in m ortality that is expected. A large and growing population, to be sure, does not in itself create a demand for American goods unless it has p u r chasing power. At present the income per capita in most of the 20 Latin-American republics is com paratively low, rang ing from the highest of $200 a year down to $20, with an average of $101. The greater industrialization of m any of the countries is, therefore, encouraging, fo r it points to a pos sible rise in the level of national income and a consequent in crease in purchasing power fo r American goods. C ontrary to a popular belief, industrialized countries are the best Am eri can customers, not only for raw m aterials but fo r m anufac tured products. W ith each of the nations specializing in the production of those goods in which it has a com parative ad vantage, there are num erous m anufactured products for m u tually advantageous trade. Increased industrialization in Latin Am erica should also eventually assist in stabilizing its purchasing power. The in come of Latin-American countries depends to a marked degree upon the sale of raw m aterials abroad. W ith the exception of Mexico and Ecuador, each country usually has a maximum of three products that represent m ore than 60 percent of its total exports. In each of 12 countries a single product rep re sents m ore than 50 percent of its exports. Because of their great dependence upon single exports, the purchasing power of these nations reflects keenly the trend of economic condi tions in other countries, declining sharply in periods of de pression. A more diversified economy should, therefore, p ro vide a more stable purchasing pow er fo r products of the United States. D uring W orld W ar II both the im ports and the exports of Latin America increased, and other conditions created by the w ar have also placed those countries as a whole in a favor able position to purchase American goods. Exports by the United States to the other American republics, which averaged 485 m illion dollars in the period from 1936 to 1938, averaged 862 m illion dollars for the years 1942 through 1944 and in 1945 totaled alm ost 1.3 billion dollars. The growth of exports p rio r to the entrance of the United States into the w ar came about p artly as a result of the cut ting off of the custom ary European sources of supply. Even after the United States entered the w ar and Governmental con trols were instituted, American exports to Latin A merica con tinued at a high level. The policy of the United States was to allocate the Latin American republics the scarce commodi ties necessary to m aintain their economies. Relatively large amounts of iron and steel, textiles, coal, wood pulp and paper, dyestuffs, and industrial chemicals, which were form erly sup plied by European nations, were included in the exports. There was a decline, however, in the export of consumer durable goods, which had been of great im portance in this country’s trade prior to the war. The value of the United States’ im ports from Latin-American nations, which generally exceeded that of its exports to those countries, fell slightly under the value of exports in the years 1938 through 1940. W hen the United States entered the war, the picture rapidly changed. The expansion of im ports from Latin America was relatively greater than the expansion of M o n t h ly R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R e se rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 exports. The United States was forced to turn to the LatinAmerican republics to secure not only increased quantities of m aterials custom arily obtained from that area but raw m a terials and food stuffs form erly purchased from areas that were then cut off by wartime conditions. As a result, im ports from the Latin-American republics, which had an average value of 542 m illion dollars in the period 1936-38, averaged 1.3 billion dollars during the period 1942-44 and amounted to 1.6 billion dollars in 1945. In the five-year period 1941-45 merchandise im ports of the Latin-American republics exceeded their m erchandise exports by a total of 1.8 billion dollars. Because of wartime controls in the United States on the m anufacture and exportation of goods that the Latin-Ameri can nations have custom arily purchased from this country, the im portation by them of such commodities as automobiles, agricultural machinery, and household appliances declined markedly. On the other hand, trade in certain commodities that had been only negligible before the war increased great ly. As a result of their increased exports and inability to p u r chase many goods, the Latin-American countries had accu m ulated by the end of 1944 3.3 billion dollars in gold and foreign-exchange reserves. At present these countries consti tute one of the few areas of the world that have the means to pay for im ports with American dollars. There is now because of the war a large backlog of demand for the goods of this country. The Co-ordinator of InterAmerican Affairs in 1944 estimated that the 10-year-postwar industrial needs alone of the 20 Latin-American republics would amount to 9.8 billion dollars, and the United States D epartm ent of Commerce estimates an average annual re quirement of 800 m illion dollars for im ports with which to replace worn-out capital goods and carry on new capital de velopments during the next four years. There are, in addition, accumulated demands for many types of United States con sumer goods. Those persons fam iliar with Latin-American trade recognize that, although the prospects of such trade appear very bright, certain difficulties must be surmounted if it is to be m ain tained on a continuing basis. There is, of course, the danger that rising prices of United States goods may drive the LatinAmerican nations to purchase elsewhere as other industrial countries get back into production. It is also possible that un less the Latin-American nations can increase and continue 31 their exports at a high level, particularly to the United States, they will be unable to purchase American goods. Moreover, there is the ever-present possibility of increased competition resulting from the neglect of Americans to cultivate those in dividual trade relations in every-day details essential to a suc cessful continuing foreign trade. Such people see foreshadowed in the present situation a repe tition of the experience following W orld W ar I, when, as in W orld W ar II, there was an accumulated demand for Ameri can goods, which developed from 1914 to 1918. Latin-American nations ordered so heavily from the United States im mediately after W orld W ar I that its m anufacturers were un able to meet the demands in full. American exports to Latin America reached a total value of 1.6 billion dollars in 1920. The chart on this page shows that the value of these exports in 1920 has never been exceeded in subsequent years. As a re sult of the depression of 1920-21 there were wholesale cancel lations of foreign orders. American exports to Latin America fell in 1921 to almost half the level of the preceding year. In the reorganization of world trade after the depression, the United States lost its new-won market in South America to European nations. Before 1914 the greater part of the Latin-American market was controlled by European countries. Traders from these countries were fam iliar with languages, local customs, and in dividual problems, and they offered long-term credits. Ameri can merchants demanded cash before shipment. They were, furtherm ore, unfam iliar with the local markets. Emphasis was placed by Americans upon the large sales, with a dis regard for the many sm aller sales that amounted to a large total for the European countries. In Argentina, for example, goods from the United States made up 12 percent of Argen tine im ports during the period 1910-14. The unavailability of European goods increased that proportion to about a quarter of A rgentina’s total im ports in 1920. After the recovery of world trade the proportion supplied by the Americans de clined, to 15 percent in 1922, rising to only 17 percent in 1923. A group of New Orleans businessmen thoroughly conver sant with these problems are determined to prevent, as far as possible, a repetition of those conditions that came about after W orld W ar I, when exports through New Orleans fell from a value of 712 m illion dollars in 1920 to a value of 301 m illion M I L L I O N S OF D O L L A R S 19 12 19 16 U.S DEPT. QF CQMMFRCE 19 2 0 19 2 4 19 2 8 19 3 2 19 3 6 19 4 0 19 4 4 32 M o n t h ly R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 in 1923. They are resolved that trade with Latin America shall rest on a foundation firmer than one erected upon tem porary war-induced demands. One step they have taken along the way to accomplishing this goal is the establishm ent in New Orleans of Interna tional House, which was described in the May 1945 issue of the Review. This institution has as its purpose the develop ment of personal relationships between buyers and sellers in the two Americas. The success of International House in assist ing to promote im port and export business between firms in the M ississippi Valley and those in Latin America seems a l ready assured. It was recognized that international trade does not rest upon personal contact alone. It rests also upon the buyers’ determ i nation of the suitability of goods and upon a m ultitude of in dividual sales transactions. At New Orleans, because of its strategic location, both the men and the goods might be brought together to the advantage of both buyer and seller. In order to determine what goods are available and whether or not they are suitable for his local markets, a prospective buyer from Latin America at the present tim e is forced to visit many areas throughout the United States. Not only does a search for goods take a great deal of his time but in many cases it necessitates his dealing with persons unfam iliar with foreign trade. There is no one place where he may go to find displayed the goods of several competing m anufacturers. Furtherm ore, there is no one place where the buyers of the United States m ight view m erchandise of the Latin-American countries and complete sales transactions without making ex tended trips outside the country. The same group of New O rleans businessmen that sponsor ed International House have therefore organized this new type of institution resem bling in some respects the great European trade fairs. They believe that the International Trade M art, a nonprofit corporation chartered under the laws of Louisiana, will assist in avoiding the mistakes of the past. All 38 directors of the organization are executives of ship ping companies, im port-export concerns, publishing com panies, cotton firms, public organizations, and other interests. The president of the organization, Theodore Brent, is also president of Louisiana Shipyards, Incorporated. One of New O rleans’ largest departm ent stores, the Maison-Blanche, is represented by H erbert J. Schwartz, who is first vice president of the Trade M art. R. S. Hecht, chairm an of the Board of the M ississippi Shipping Company, Incorporated, is chairm an of the executive committee. The vice presidents of the organiza tion are W. Z. Zetzmann, R. K. Longino, C. Earl Colmb, and Kenneth C. Barranger. Each of the directors has backed up his belief in the enterprise by contributing a minimum of $1,000. In many cases the contributions have been larger. To facilitate the securing of quarters for the new trade m art the original organizers created the M art Realty Corporation. The sole purpose of this agency, which was financed by the directors of the International Trade M art, was to purchase a building for transfer to the International Trade M art. For the sum of $200,000 this corporation has bought a five-story building with frontages of three quarters of a block on Cominon Street and a half block on Camp Street. Located near New O rleans’ financial and trading center, the building is only a block from International House. It will be sold to the In te r national Trade M art by the M art Realty Corporation at no profit. Between $600,000 and $700,000 will be spent to reno vate it. Bonds sufficient to finance the acquisition and renovation of the property will be floated in the near future. These bonds will bear a low rate of interest, and they probably will be amortized over a period of 10 years. No difficulty in securing the necessary funds is expected. It is anticipated tliat rentals from exhibits will be sufficient to amortize the bonds and to carry on the necessary activities of the organization. According to the present schedule, work on the building will begin in August or September of this year. Plans have been developed to transform the present structure into one of the most modern of its kind. The white-stone facing of the renovated building will be relieved by vertical panels of glass brick, and an imposing corner entrance is planned. There will be no outside windows. The interior, which will be air conditioned throughout, will be so constructed as to minimize dust and noise. Individual sales rooms and display rooms with plate-glass show windows fram ed in alum inum or alloy m aterials will line the corridors. The lighting will be of the m odern indirect type. Display spaces will range in size from 192 square feet to 1.000 square feet, although in some cases it may be possible for merchants to secure additional space. W ith a total of 80.000 square feet of display space available the building can accommodate about 160 different lines, if an average of 500 square feet is allocated each tenant. Exhibitors are being en couraged to improve and decorate their individual spaces. Toward the cost of such improvements the International T rade M art will pay up to 50 percent of a specified amount. The first floor of the building will be devoted to the display of heavy machinery, autom obile parts, and other types of heavy, bulky merchandise. On the second floor will be the headquarters of a num ber of im port-export firms. These com panies will be specialists in foreign trade, often representing from 15 to 20 firms. They handle for their clients the technical details involved in im porting and exporting. To those firms new to foreign trade and to those that do not m aintain foreigntrade departm ents the central grouping of these companies will be especially helpful. The rem aining floors of the building will be devoted to the display of various types of merchandise, representing a crosssection of the m anufacturing firms in the M ississippi Valley. A buyer from Latin America will find displayed, in addition to machinery, automobiles, and trucks, many varieties of con sumer goods made in the United States. Moreover, a United States buyer will be able to inspect a variety of Latin-American merchandise. These buyers will find on exhibit cotton and woolen tex tiles, all types of apparel, and gifts and novelties. The latter classes of goods should be especially attractive to buyers in this country. There will be space for the display of retailstore equipment, household appliances, and electrical goods. Cosmetics as well as drugs and pharm aceuticals w ill'be found in another section. The buyer can inspect all types of fu rn i ture produced in the M ississippi Valley and those types of furniture in which the Latin-American countries specialize. Processors of packaged foods also will display their wares. Several of those commodities that were exported before the war to Latin-American republics in negligible quantities but increased during the war made extraordinary advances. Among them were paints and building m aterials such as ce ment and clay products. Even before the w ar the exports of lum ber and wood m anufactures to Latin-American countries amounted to 3 percent of the total exports. D isplay space for M o n t h ly R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 building m aterials, paints, and allied products, therefore, is im portant. Scientific and professional instrum ents and supplies made up one of the leading classes of commodities exported to Latin America before the war. D uring the war period the increase in this type of export was outstanding. From 1938 through 1944, the value of this type of export increased 404 percent. The allocation of space for displays of medical equipment and other scientific apparatus will, therefore, help to keep this type of trade at a high level. D isplay space is also to be assigned to m anufacturers of business machinery, in the production of which United States m anufacturers have made note worthy advances. Rather than lim iting the firms to a small num ber of large m anufacturers, the directors of the International Trade M art are seeking to obtain a wide representation of m anufacturing firms in the M ississippi Valley and in Latin America. A num ber of leases have already been signed. Since the Trade M art is to represent the entire area, the number of New Orleans firms will be kept down and the extent of display space that any one firm may lease also will be limited. Every effort is being made to enable the comparatively small m anufacturing firm that has heretofore confined its business to the United States to enter the foreign field. The rental rates perm it even small firms to m aintain headquarters in the Trade M art. Rates run from $4 to $5.65 a square foot annually. Rental for the smallest space available would amount to $976 a year. A typical unit of 1,000 square feet will rent for approxim ately $370 a month. Leases are signed for a three-year period. The headquarters of some of the smaller firms in the International Trade Mart, it is expected, will be used for district offices also. The m art is not to be merely a place where goods are ex hibited but also a place where goods are actually bought and sold— where all arrangements of sale are completed and de liveries arranged. Each tenant will be required to maintain a sales office as well as to display his merchandise. It is contemplated that a hardw are distributor from Bo gota, for example, would thus be able to complete his busi ness within the space of approxim ately a week. Under exist ing schedules, he could arrive in New Orleans one and a half days after boarding a plane at Bogota. Upon his arrival, in stead of leaving for other points over the United States to dis cover what merchandise was available and whether it was suit able for his needs, he would go to the International Trade M art to view goods displayed there by American hardw are m anu facturers. In a few days’ time he could make his purchases, arrange for financing and shipment, and return to Bogota. Prospective buyers from other parts of Latin America also can complete their business in a minimum of time. Under the present air schedules, Lima is two days away from New Orleans, Rio de Janeiro three days, and Buenos Aires three and a half. A buyer from Guatemala can arrive in New Orleans within six hours. Even better air schedules, it is expected, will go into effect soon. The facilities will be equally advantageous for the buyers of this country. A buyer from a large department store in New York, for example, wishing to enlarge his stock of Mexican novelties could travel to New Orleans, view the merchandise, complete the 33 sales transaction, and return to New York in a period of two or three days. In contrast, even by air a trip to the various centers in Mexico where such goods are available would re quire a considerable period of time. New Orleans’ location, the directors of the International Trade M art believe, is also particularly advantageous for the shipping of merchandise. It has been claimed that exports to the east coast of South America can be shipped from 23 states or parts of states in the central United States more advan tageously through New Orleans and other Gulf ports than they can be shipped through the northeastern Atlantic ports. New Orleans is served by a number of steamship lines, and the completion of new ships they are now having built will pro vide frequent and fast freight service. The staff of the International Trade M art is designed to carry out most effectively its chief purpose of developing in ternational trade. The present staff, under the direction of Clay L. Shaw, sales manager, is housed in the International Building, in which is also located International House. Event ually the organization will include a general manager, ad m inistrative director, a building manager or director of opera tions, and a director of public relations. It is contemplated that the public relations activities will be very extensive. Plans call for perm anent maintenance of representatives of the m art at the more im portant Latin-Ameri can trade centers. The director of public relations will have charge of an extensive advertising program both in the United States and the Latin-American periodicals. A documentary film will describe the activities of the m art and the m anu facturing facilities of the Mississippi Valley area. The dis play of a new type of product might call for an extensive ad vertising campaign. Since the m art will be a nonprofit or ganization, all money above the necessary operating expenses will be available for prom otional work. An integral part of the m art will be the activities of the International Foreign Service Bureau. This agency will not compete with the services now provided for foreign trade and financial institutions. Rather it will act as a clearing house from which a person may learn where to find the services he requires. The services may include translation assistance and the provision of inform ation on such m atters as forwarding services, documentation, packaging regulations, and credit. In addition, it is expected that the bureau will carry on market research. This service should be extremely valuable to the firms that do not maintain foreign-trade departments. The economic future of the South, it is stated, is linked with its success in developing a diversified industry. In a few years, when the accumulated domestic demand for this coun try’s m anufactured products has been satisfied, the size of the nation’s export trade may mean the difference between profits and losses to many industries, includ ing those in the Sixth District. In a few years, also, other nations whose economic livelihood is dependent to an even greater extent upon the size of their exports will be much more able to compete with American producers than they now are. From the de velopment of such institutions as the Inter national Trade M art the United States will receive im portant aid in its struggle to re tain its foreign markets and expand them. C harles T. T aylor 34 M o n t h ly P o s tw a r T re n d s in R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 O w n e rs h ip in the Sixth D istrict have been watching carefully the trends of their deposits since V-J day. Some of them have believed that postw ar conditions might alter the trend toward the greater-than-national increase in deposits expe rienced during the w ar and, especially, that they m ight cause im portant shifts in ownership of the deposits. From July 1945 through January 1946, according to the sem iannual sur vey of the ownership of bank deposits, total demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations in all Sixth Dis trict banks increased, however, at a rate greater than that ex perienced by banks throughout the nation. Furtherm ore, in creases were greater in alm ost all types of ownership, and though deposits of m anufacturing and m ining concerns de clined 7.0 percent in the D istrict banks, they declined 13 per cent in banks of all the D istricts. W hether or not this trend will continue depends upon both D istrict and national con ditions that cannot be forecast with precision. Total demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations in all Sixth D istrict banks were estimated at 4,138 m illion dollars on January 31, 1946, or 13 percent greater than they were estimated to be six months earlier and 22 percent higher than the level of the same date in 1945. In creases m ore than sufficient to offset the decrease in m anu facturing and m ining accounts were experienced in all other types of accounts. The greatest dollar increases took place in retail- and wholesale-trade accounts and in personal ac counts. D etails showing the amounts of the estimates together with the changes during the six-month period are shown in table 1. These estimates are based on reports received from 97 mem ber banks, located throughout the District, that co-operated in the survey by classifying and reporting the deposit ac counts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations by type of ownership. In this discussion these accounts are referred to as demand deposits. B a n k e rs TABLE 1 ESTIMATED OWNERSHIP OF DEMAND DEPOSITS OF INDIVIDUALS, PARTNERSHIPS, AND CORPORATIONS IN ALL COMMERCIAL BANES IN SIXTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (In Millions oi Dollars) Percent Percent Jan. Change Change Distribu Type oi Ownership 1946 July 1945- July 1945- tion Jan. 1946 Jan. 1 946 Jan. 1946 Manufacturing and mining_ — 34 429 10.4 — 7 Public utilities, transporta tion, and communications... 245 + 2 5.9 + 1 Retail and wholesale trade_ 878 + 145 21.2 + 20 246 + 42 All other nonfinancial*........ 5.9 + 21 Total nonfinancial........ 1,798 +, 155 43.5 + 9 Insurance companies......... 74 + 24 1.8 + 14 Trust funds of banks.......... 4.1 1.0 + 3 + 7 All other financial**.......... + 48 199 4.8 + 32 Total financial............ 314 + 65 7.6 + 21 Total business............... + 220 . + 10 2,112 51.1 Nonprofit organizations...... + 28 106 + 36 2.6 Personal, including farmers... 1,918 + 233 + 14 46.3 Foreign....................... 2 + il + 42 Total individual, partner ship, and corporation...... 4,138 + 482 100.0 + 13 including construction contractors and theaters and hotels, laundries garages, repair shops, and other service establishments. **Including investment and loan and insurance agencies, real-estate busi nesses, etc. o f D e m a n d D e p o s its The decrease in the deposits of m anufacturing and mining concerns in the postwar period has been p artly the result of a cancellation of war contracts. Many corporations that were specifically organized for war production or were greatly ex panded during the war period for the specific purpose of m anufacturing war m aterials have alm ost completely ceased operations. The decline of approxim ately 15 percent in m anu facturing employment in the Sixth D istrict states during the period of the survey is an indication of the relative decline in m anufacturing activity. Previous surveys have indicated, however, that the accounts of these war-born or war-stim ulated corporations made up a sm aller proportion of the total growth in deposits than might have been expected. In m any cases, while a substantial work ing balance was kept in Sixth D istrict banks a considerable portion of the deposits of these corporations was m aintained in the banks of other Districts. Large corporations also in vested a large part of their cash surplus during the w ar in Government bonds. The ending of the war, therefore, did not create as large a shrinkage in m anufacturing deposits as it would have done otherwise. Perhaps of greater im portance in explaining the decline in m anufacturing and m ining deposits are the expenses neces sary for reconversion follow ing V-J Day. D uring this period m anufacturing concerns converting from w ar production have made expenditures fo r plant conversion, m aterials, and equip ment prio r to the production and eventual sale of their peace time m anufactured products. In addition, part of the decrease may be caused by the accum ulation of inventories. That the cancellation of war contracts did not have the ef fect of causing a decline in Sixth D istrict demand deposits is also indicated by the experience of banks located in the D is trict’s shipbuilding centers. Total demand deposits of eight large banks located in Mobile, Jacksonville, Tam pa, and New Orleans registered a slight increase of 2 percent in the six TABLE 2 PERCENT CHANGES IN OWNERSHIP OF DEMAND DEPOSITS OF INDI VIDUALS, PARTNERSHIPS, AND CORPORATIONS, SELECTED SIXTH DISTRICT BANKS, JANUARY 1946 FROM JULY 1945 AND JULY 1943 Eight Large Banks in 20 Shipbuilding Large Banks Centers* July July July July 1943 1945 1945 1943 Classified Accounts** — 3 - 16 Manu. and mining......... — 16 + 1 Pub. util., trans., and + 63 — 5 + 27 commun................. + 8 + 48 + ;15 + 63 Ret. and whole, trade.... + 10 — 4 — 13 + 6 All other nonfinan......... + 8 + 26 + 36 + 35 All other financial......... — 30 + 44 — 5 + 22 Insurance companies..... + 10 + 44 29 4* 6 Trust funds—banks....... — 9 + 176 -j- 25 +, 117 Nonprofit assoc............ + 75 ( ( Personal +0109 + ( 92 .+( 14 Farmers................. +( 10 ( ( ( + 3,1 + 3 6 + 3 5 Total class, accts.......... + + 59 + 38 “f* >lil Total nonclass, accts...... — 5 Total demand deposits, + 40 + 37 + 6 ind., part, and corpn.... + 2 *Changes between 1943 and 1946 in six banks. **In the large banks accounts above $10,000 are classified. In the small banks accounts above $3,000 are classified. M o n t h ly R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 months ended January 31, 1946. This increase was slightly less than that experienced in 20 sim ilar banks located through out the District. The decrease that occurred in those m anu facturing and m ining accounts of more than $10,000, how ever, was at the rate it was in the larger banks generally. There was also a slight decrease in the accounts of insurance companies in the shipbuilding-center banks, but this type of account constitutes no more than an approxim ate 2 percent of the total demand deposits. Personal accounts increased slightly less in these banks than in other large banks of the District. Even during the war the deposit-ownership pattern in these banks did not differ m aterially from that in banks of a simi lar size group in other cities throughout the D istrict. Not only does it appear that the decline in shipbuilding and the can cellation of some contracts failed to have the effect upon the ownership pattern of deposits in these banks which might or dinarily have been expected, but it appears that other types of economic activity have rem ained at a higher level than might have been expected. In many of the cities a certain am ount of shipbuilding is continuing, and a considerable activity in shiprepair, a norm al peacetime industry, is underway. F urther more, the relatively large proportion of personal deposits in these banks has been im portant to the maintenance of total de posits. Expansion in other types of industry has also offset the decline in shipbuilding. Changes in deposits in these banks, however, differ somewhat from those in banks in other cities, as indicated in table 2. Personal deposits have always been of greater im portance in the Sixth D istrict than the deposits of m anufacturing and mining enterprises. The end of the war saw no slowing down in the growth of personal deposits, which have continually expanded since the survey was inaugurated in 1943. These deposits, including farm ers’ deposits, were estimated to make up 38 percent of the total in all banks of the Sixth D istrict in July 1943. They had more than doubled by January 1946, when they constituted 46 percent of total demand deposits. They expanded 233 m illion dollars, it is estimated, in the six months preceding the date of the survey. In the light of declining m anufacturing employment and increased retail sales in the D istrict, the expansion of personal-deposit holdings m ight at first appear to be contrary to expectations. The growth in m anufacturing employment dur ing the war period was a very im portant factor in expanding total employment, but it constituted only about one third of total nonagricultural employment in the Sixth D istrict states. The decline experienced in m anufacturing employment, there fore, did not have as im portant an effect in inducing indivi duals to draw upon their reserves accumulated during the war as it would have had if m anufacturing employment had con stituted a more im portant portion of total employment. By the end of 1945 nonagricultural employment other than m anu facturing had actually increased over the level of the pre ceding year. W hile m anufacturing employment declined 311,000 during 1945 an increase of 14,000 in the num ber of workers in other types of industry kept the total decline down to 297,000. Furtherm ore, the D istrict’s income, which is de pendent to a very great extent upon its agricultural income, was aided by an increased cash farm income that was 4 per cent above the 1944 figure and higher than the farm income for any previous year. 35 POST WA R LO A N S of Sixth District W eekly Reporting Member Banks (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 560 560 u1 \ TO TAL LOANS S20 520 480 480 440 44 0 1Q d fi 1Q 9 «f D 400 ... 1 400 360 360 320 - - L^ 1 *JAN I I APR 1 1 1 1 320 I D EC AUG APR Loans of Sixth District weekly reporting member banks after remaining at com paratively stable levels during the war years advanced rapidly during the latter part of 1945. Although declining since the first of the year, total loans on A p ril 17 were 55 percent above the previous year's level. I 80 160 I 40 140 i oo 100 An expansion of loans to purchase securities caused partly by Treasury financing and the victory loan drive accounted for most of both the increase in total loans and the decline since the first of the year. 260 260 220 220 I 80 I 80 DEC Co m m ercial, ag ricu ltural, and industrial loans, although declining slightly since the first of the year because of seasonal influences, were 27 percent higher on A p ril 17 than on the corresponding date in 1945. 145 I 10 145 I BEAL ESTATE LOANS, LOANS TO BANKS, AND ALL OTHER LOANS ^ !1 /■ i i 10 _ 1 1945 70 JAN 1946 --- L--- ...1 ...1 .. I APR I AUG l I DEC 70 APR Part of the increase in other types of loans is the result of an expansion of consumer borrowing. Real estate loans on A p ril 17 were at p ractically the same level as in 1945. M o n t h ly 36 R e v ie w o f th e F ederal R eserve B a n k o f A tla n ta fo r A p r il 1946 S ix th D is tr ic t S t a ti s ti c s B a n k CONDITION OF 20 MEMBER BANKS IN SELECTED CITIES (In Thousands of Dollars) Percent Change April 17 Mar. 20 April 18 April 17, 1946, from Item 1945 Mar. 20 Apr. 18 1946 1946 1946 1945 Loans and investments— 2 4- 24 Total..................... 2,253,515 2,289,830 1,821,206 — Loans—total.............. 498,079 503,032 322,,185 — 1 -J-* 55 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans 237,973 242,697 186,657 — 2 + 27 Loans to brokers and dealers in securities.. 11,023 10,179 7,759 + 8 4* 42 Other loans for pur chasing and carrying securities............ 125,572 128,372 36,308 — 2 +l246 Real estate loans...... 27,129 21,612 25,917 + 26 + 5 1,408 Loans to banks......... 1,339 1,623 4- 5 — 13 Other loans............ 94,974 98,833 63,9211 — 4 4- 49 Investments—total...... 1,755,436 1,786,798 1,499,021 — 2 4- 17 U. S. direct obligations. 1,602,976 1,634,579 1,362,916 — 2 + 18 Obligations guaranteed by U. S............... 1,672 1,461 6,192 4- 14 — 73 Other securities....... 150,788 150,758 129,913 + 0 + ,16 Reserve with F. R. Bank.... 366,108 370,794 346,596 — 1 4- 6 Cash in vault............... 29,,146 29,395 28,349 — 1 + 3 Balances with domestic banks.................. 154,452 148,587 148,056 4- 4 4- 4 Demand deposits adjusted. 1,324,22(1 1,306,959 1,,229,632 4- 1 4- 8 Time deposits.............. 435*288 431,044 357,014 4- '1 + 22 U. S. Gov't deposits........ 386,475 413,863 146,805 — 7 +.163 Deposits of domestic banks. 540,026 564,907 505,977 — 4 4- 7 Borrowings................ 3,500 Place DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL BiANK ACCOUNTS (In Thousands of Dollars) Percent Change No. of Mar. Feb. Mar. March 1946from Banks 1946 1945 Report 1946 Feb. Mar. ing 1946 1945 ALABAMA ,18,103 ,14,867 Anniston...... 19,891 3 Birmingham. .. 227,866 188,753 212,430 6 10,143 9,569 Dothan....... 8,0,10 2 12,927 10,457 11,010 Gadsden..... 3 98,985 86,643 124,035 4 Mobile....... Montgomery... 56,596 48,409 40,280 3 FLORIDA 212,463 186,756 191,739 Jacksonville. .. 3 231,944 205,242 159,908 Miami......... 7 Greater Miami* 1.1 336,340 297,485 219,872 46,714 4,1,125 39,562 Orlando...... 2 29,152 Pensacola.... 28,468 25,580 3 47,577 40,976 St. Petersburg. 3,2,394 3 98,610 85,755 89,846 Tampa........ 3 GEORGIA 12,772 Albany........ 11,356 10,041 ,2 Atlanta....... 613,913 5,17,532 514,895 4 Augusta...... 43,747 39,171 40,231 3 8,306 6,657 15,366 Brunswick.... 2 42,202 38,656 36,242 Columbus.... 4 Elberton...... 3,093 2,6,15 2,04 2 *0 * Gainesville*... 10,865 8,308 3 ** 2 8,067 Griffin*........ 7,229 Macon......... 38,153 44,010 44,193 3 Newnan...... 9,186 7,183 5,75*9 2 * 17,054 14,807 Rome*......... 3 80,023 Savannah..... 65,998 87,330 4 8,803 7,410 7,097 Valdosta...... 2 LOUISIANA 55,485 Baton Rouge... 3 49,850 42,926 21,086 19,976 17,547 Lake Charles. . 3 5 0 3 ,6 3 2 New Orleans.. 431,504 446,086 7 MISSISSIPPI 15,052 13,500 13,136 Hattiesburg.... 2 88,019 75,881 70,873 Jackson....... 4 24,717 19,578 Meridian..... 18,472 3 25,168 21,973 18,807 Vicksburg.... 2 TENNESSEE ,104,404 84,581 91,274 Chattanooga... 4 104,184 98,225 135,291 Knoxville..... 4 2 0 9 ,8 7 9 1 8 5 ,6 9 8 1 77,771 Nashville..... 6 SIXTH DISTRICT. 3,il08,370 2,683,091 2,749,969 32 Cities...... 108 UNITED STATES. 87,578,000 73,970,000 81,077,000 334 Cities..... **Not available *Not included in Sixth District total + 22 + 21 — 6 4- 24 + 14 + 17 — 9 4- 7 4- 19 4- 17 — 20 4- 41 + 14 ,+ 13 4- 13 + 14 4- 2 4- 16 4- 15 4- 11 4- 45 4- 53 4- 18 4- 14 4- 47 4- 10 + 12 + 19 4- 12 4- 25 4* 9 + 18 4- 31 4- 12 4- 16 4- 28 4- 15 4- 21 + 19 4- 27 4- 19 4- 9 46 4- 16 4- 52 H. N e e l y , chairm an of the board of the Federal Reserve Bank of A tlanta, announced on A pril 18 that the member banks in Group 3 had elected Donald Comer a class B director of the Bank. Mr. Comer is chairm an of the board of Avondale M ills, Birmingham, A labam a. He will fill the vacancy on the Bank board caused by the death of Fitzgerald H all of Nashville, Tennessee, on February 7. Four new banks were added to the Federal Reserve P ar List during the month of A pril. One of them is the East Lauderdale Banking Company of Rogersville, Alabama, which began rem itting at p ar on A pril 1. At the close of business on December 31, 1945, capital accounts of the bank amounted to $44,591 and its deposits to $719,000. W. R. Rousseau is president, T. 0 . Rose vice president, H ollis Ezell cashier, and Elizabeth H urn assistant cashier. The loans of this bank, which is located in a good farm ing section of Alabam a, are mostly crop and real estate loans. On the same day the Farm ers Bank, Anderson, A labama, also began rem itting at par. In its June 1945 statement this bank showed capital of $20,000, surplus of $10,000, undi vided profits of $7,000, and deposits am ounting to $628,000. Its officers are W. R. Howard, president; L. E. Bayles, vice president; J. W. H am ilton, cashier; and Inez Denham, assis tant cashier. The American Bank and T rust Company, a newly organized nonmember bank in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, went on the P ar List on A pril 2. Capital accounts of this bank amounted to $300,000, of which $200,000 is common stock. The officers are W. L. Caldwell, president; Rex D. Cannon, vice presi dent and cashier; and R. K. Caldwell, assistant cashier. On A pril 3 the Citizens Bank, Gainesville, Georgia, began rem itting at par for checks drawn on it. According to its June 1945 statement this bank had at that time capital amounting to $50,000, surplus $50,000, undivided profits $58,000, and deposits $3,654,000. J. H. Hosch is chairm an of the board and president. H. C. Hosch, J. M. Hulsey, and R. A. Brice are the vice presidents. Mr. Brice also serves as cashier, and Mrs. C. L. G oforth and S. H. Ledbetter are assistant cash iers. F ra n k R e c o n n a is s a n c e Sixth District Statistics for March 1946compared with March 1945 PERCENT INCREASE ^ PERCENT DECREASE 4- 0 4- 60 —"8 4- 24 Departm ent | | | | Sales Departm ent l i l i l i l s 4- 11 4- 29 4- 6 + 20 + 17 4- 13 4- 11 4- 16 .4- 27 4- 15 Gasoline Taxj||[j(|{|{||||i{|^{(|j^(|njil|[|||l|ll[|||j|||||l[[|||j|| Cotton C|||isum ption Bank I f ! ! ! ! M ember 4- 15 4- 24 + 34 4- 34 4- 23 + 14 4" 6 — 23 4- 13 4- 18 M ember Demand D e p o * |||d j u s te d 4- 16 4- 13 + 18 4- 8 A n n o u n c e m e n ts 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r A p r i l 1946 D is tric t B u s in s s s figures for March and April reported this year by Sixth District department stores are larger than they have been in any previous year. During March wholesale distribu tion continued well above the volume for that month a year ago. Life insurance sales have also reached new high levels. More coal was mined in Alabama and Tennessee during March than during any other month in recent years. Union mines were closed by the nationwide strike on March 30, how ever, and steel-mill activity has declined ever since. In recent weeks the lumber mills have slightly increased their produc tion despite continuing labor and equipment shortages. ales S Department Store Trade In the first two weeks of April the sales reported by more than thirty Sixth District department stores averaged 65 percent greater in dollar volume than such sales averaged in the same weeks of last year. This large increase is in sharp contrast to the gain of 15 percent shown by sales for the first three months of this year compared with those for the first quarter of 1945. One reason for the increase was the later date of Easter this year. Since Easter fell on April 1 in 1945, Easter buying took place in the month of March. This year, with Easter falling on April 2 1, Easter purchases presumably were made entirely in April. Another factor strongly affecting the comparison is that last year March was fairly definitely the first full month of spring, whereas the weather in April was cooler than usual and was also rainy. As a result of the com bined effects of the earlier date of Easter and of the weather conditions, the daily average rate of department store sales de clined in April 20 percent from the March rate, and, even after allowance was made for seasonal influences and the earlier date of Easter, the adjusted index showed a decline of 15 percent. If the large increase in the first half of April this year over the rate in that period a year ago holds good for the entire month, which is hardly probable, it will mean a rise of about 20 percent from March to April in the daily average rate of sales. It will also mean an advance of about 6 percent in the index after allowance for seasonal factors and the changing date of Easter. Sales made by more than ninety department stores of the District increased in actual dollar volume during March by 16 percent over the stores’ February sales. Because there were more business days in the later month, however, the index of daily average sales rose only 8 percent, and after seasonal adjustment it actually declined almost 2 percent. In compari son with the index for March 1945, however, the unadjusted index for March this year was up 1 1 percent and the seasonal ly adjusted index was up 22 percent. Increases for the first quarter larger than the District aver age of 15 percent were reported from several points. Or lando with the greatest gain, 26 percent, over the volume for the first quarter of last year was followed closely by Nash ville with a gain of 25 percent. In addition, there were in creases of 23 percent at Baton Rouge, 22 percent at Atlanta, 2 1 percent at Tampa and at Augusta, 20 percent at Miami, and 18 percent at Chattanooga. Only at Knoxville and Colum bus were first quarter sales less this year than last, and at each of these cities the decrease was only one percent. 3 7 C o n d itio n s Inventories for March were greater than those reported a month earlier, since merchants were adding to their stocks for the spring season. They were also larger than they were one year ago at most places. Wholesale Trade Merchandise distribution through the District’s wholesale firms also increased somewhat in March and showed an 18 percent increase over distribution in March of last year. Of the 15 groups of wholesale firms for which sales figures are available, decreases in comparison with March 1945 figures were reported only by those dealing in beer and in industrial hardware. Increases among the other classifications ranged up to a gain of 45 percent, in sales of automotive supplies. Inventories for March were off slightly from those of a month earlier but were 20 percent larger than those for March 1945. Life Insurance Sales First-quarter sales of life insurance in the six states that lie wholly or partly within the Sixth District were greater than first-quarter sales in the District last year, according to figures compiled by the Life Insurance Agency Management Associa tion. The increase in January over sales in the corresponding month last year was 29 percent, the February gain was 48 per cent, and the March rise was 43 percent. Increases during March for the individual states ranged from 3 1 percent for Louisiana through 33 percent for Alabama, 37 percent for Florida, 38 percent for Mississippi, and 39 percent for Ten nessee to 56 percent for Georgia. Bank Deposit Changes The increase in demand deposits of weekly reporting mem ber banks during April was moderate. Demand deposits ad justed were 2 percent higher on April 24 than on March 27 and 5 percent above the amount on the corresponding date in 1945. On the other hand, Government deposits declined 6 per cent during April but were about 2.8 times the amount on the corresponding date of 1945. Holdings of Government securities at the reporting banks in the District at the end of April were approximately 15 mil lion dollars less than they were at the end of March. They were, nevertheless, 28 percent higher than they were in the last week of April in 1945. Industry Improved weather conditions and, reportedly, a steady but slow return of labor to the mills and the woods have been responsible for the increased lumber production. The opera tors are still handicapped, however, by a marked shortage of tires and truck-repair parts as well as new handling equip ment that is needed to replace equipment greatly worn under the record-breaking burdens of the war period. Retail dealers are still finding it impossible to obtain lumber in anything like the quantities they need for meeting the constantly in creasing demand. Output of coal in Alabama and Tennessee during March was at a daily rate 2 1 percent above the February rate. It was 18 percent higher than the rate for March last year. The daily average index of coal production in the two states for 3 8 M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f the F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A t la n ta f o r A p r i l 1946 S ix t h D i s t r i c t S t a t is t ic s INSTALMENT CASH LOANS Number Percent Change of Lender Feb. 1946toMarch 1946 Lenders Reporting Volume Outstandings Federal credit unions.......... + 26 39 + 4 State credit unions............. 21 + 33 + 2 Industrial banking companies 1.1 + 16 + 7 Industrial loan companies-19 + 5 + JO Small loan companies......... 50 + 20 + 4 Commercial banks............. 34 + 22 + 11 RETAIL FURNITURE STORE OPERATIONS Number Percent Change of Item March 1946from Stores Reporting February 1946 March 1945 Total sales.............................. + 23 + 52 99 Cash sales.............................. 91 + 22 + 77 Instalment and other credit sales.. 91 + 24 + 48 Accounts receivable en<£of month. 98 +. 13 + 11 98 Collections during month.......... + 3:1 + 11 78 Inventories, end of month.......... + 9 + 8 WHOLESALE SALES AND INVENTORIES* —MARCH 1946 SALES INVENTORIES No. of Percent Change No. of Percent Change Firms March 1946from Firms March 1946from Report Feb. Mar. Report Mar. Feb. ing ing 1946 1945 1946 1945 Automotive supplies. + 27 + 1 + 45 Shoes and other footwear............. — 7 + 17 3 Drugs and sundries.. 7 + 4 + 3 Dry goods............. 9 — 10 + 21 + 12 Fresh fruits and 5 vegetables......... + 16 + 8 + 41 Confectionery........ 5 Groceries—full-line + 21 wholesalers........ 38 18 + 25 — a + 6 Groceries—specialty7 — 9 + 37 line wholesalers... 10 + 11 — 10 4 — 6 — 8 Beer..................... 5 4 Hardware,—general.. ill — 1 + 19 + 2 — 6 Hardware—industrial 3 + 10 Machinery, equip ment, and sup plies, except elect. + 16 + 29 Paper and its products............. + 43 + 17 Tobacco and its products............. 7 +11 + 34 + 11 Miscellaneous........ 14 ■ 18 + + ,19 + 17 + 0 ____TOTAL............. 129 + 44 +18 59 + 20 *Based on U. S. Department of Commerce figures Place DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS INVENTORIES SALES No. of Percent Change No. of Percent Change Stores March 1946from Stores Mar. 31, 1946, from Report Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Mar. Report ing Feb. ing 1946 1945 1945 1946 ALABAMA Birmingham__ + 18 + <12 +, H Mobile.......... + 13 — 3 Montgomery... + "5 + 5 + 11 — 1 FLORIDA Jacksonville-+ 5 + 14 + ,21 — 2 Miami........... + 4 + 10 + 4 + 13 Orlando......... + '15 + 21 Tampa.......... + 25 + "9 + ,23 + 17 GEORGIA Atlanta.......... + 9 + 12 + 17 + 17 Augusta........ + 27 + 13 + 59 + 43 Columbus...... + 19 — 9 Macon.......... + 6 + '32 + 16 + 2 LOUISIANA Baton Rouge... — 2 + 13 + 12 + 12 NewOrleans... + 16 + 39 + 9 — 2 MISSISSIPPI Jackson......... + >18 + 3 + 13 + 14 TENNESSEE Bristol.......... 3 3 + 30 4- 6 + 0 Chattanooga... 4 22 3 + 15 + 9 27 Knoxville...... 4 + il + 20 Nashville....... + '23 ‘5 6 + 24 + 1-1 22 OTHER CITIES*.. 18 + 14 + 25 + 7 + 13 DISTRICT......... 93 72 + 12 + 17 + 8 + 16 *When less than 3 stores report in a given city, the sales or stocks are grouped together under 1 other cities. March stands at 19 3 percent of the 1935-39 average and ex ceeds the index for any other month in a number of years. Unionized mines in Alabama, and presumably in Tennessee, however, closed at the time of the nationwide coal strike at the end of March. Steel plants in the Birmingham-Gadsden area that had been operating at 95 percent of capacity for the four weeks preceding the strike, according to the Iron Age , were reported at 89 percent for the week ended April 9 and 87 percent for the week ended April 16. The District’s textile m ills used about 288,000 bales of cot ton in March, 5 percent more than they consumed in Febru ary. Since the later month was longer, the daily average rate was about 3 percent lower in March than it was either in February or in March a )^ear ago. Prospective Plantings If Sixth District farmers carry out their early planting plans it seems probable that more rice (in Louisiana), more tobac co, and more potatoes will be raised in the District this year than last year. On the other hand there will probably be somewhat less of the other principal crops. Each year the United States Department of Agriculture issues a report that shows the acreages that farmers intended on March 1 planting to the various crops throughout the country. The estimates are valuable to farmers in making such changes in their acreage plans as may appear desirable. Other causes of possible changes in the estimates include weather conditions, price changes, labor supply, and financial con siderations. Nationally the prospective total acreage in principal crops is smaller than the 1945 acreage by a little less than one per cent. More acres are going into corn, spring wheat, oats, bar ley, tobacco, and sugar beets this year than last, but less are going into other principal crops. Because of a legislative prohibition cotton is not included in this report. In the District during 1945 farmers planted about 2 percent less acreage in the 10 principal crops, excluding cotton, than they did in 1944. Their planting intentions this year indicate a further reduction of about 3 percent in the total acreage for the same 10 crops. The estimates show an increase of 6 per cent in tobacco acreage, an increase of one percent in the acreage to be planted in potatoes, and an increase of 2 per cent in the Louisiana rice acreage. The largest decreases indi cated by the estimates are one of 14 percent in the acreage of oats and one of 17 percent in the barley acreage in the four states where it is grown. Other prospective decreases are 8 percent in soybeans, 4 percent in tame hay, 2 percent in sweet potatoes, 3 percent in peanuts, and one percent in corn. Notwithstanding these prospective decreases in a comparison with last year’s acreages, seven of the 10 crops will be plant ed to larger areas than they were given in the 10-year period, 1935-44. Increases of 27 percent for peanuts and 28 percent for tobacco are indicated over the 1935-44 average, and in creases of 40 percent for barley and 44 percent for oats are also expected. Prospective acreages of tame hay and pota toes are respectively 5 percent and 4 percent above the 10-year average, and the planned rice acreage in Louisiana is 14 per cent greater than the 1935-44 average. Decreases in compari son with that period are 16 percent in corn and in soybeans and 7 percent in sweet potatoes. In Alabama acreage intentions reflect significant decreases from last year for almost all crops except oats. The acreage M o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r A p r i l 1946 planted to oats is estimated to be about 5 percent more this year. If indicated intentions are carried out the acreage plant ed to corn will be about one percent less than it was a year ago, to potatoes 4 percent less, to sweet potatoes 3 percent, to soybeans, cowpeas, and barley 10 percent, to peanuts 12 per cent, and to tame hay 7 percent. Florida farmers intended in March to plant the number of acres in corn and peanuts this year that they planted last year, 6 percent less acreage in sweet potatoes, but 14 percent more in potatoes, 6 percent more in oats and tobacco, and one per cent more in tame hay. In Georgia prospects point to an increase of 10 percent in the tobacco acreage and an increase of one percent in pea nuts. The acreage of tame hay is planned to be the same as that of last year, and there are prospective decreases of 14 percent in oats, 1 1 percent in barley, 10 percent in sweet po tatoes and in soybeans, 5 percent in potatoes, and one per cent in corn. Louisiana farmers intended to repeat last year’s acreages of tobacco and tame hay. They planned to give 4 percent more acreage to sweet potatoes and 2 percent more to rice and to potatoes but one percent less to soybeans, 7 percent less to corn, 17 percent less to peanuts, and 20 percent less to oats. In Mississippi the farmers planned increases, over the 1945 acreage, of 4 percent in potatoes, one percent in com, and one percent in sweet potatoes. They made no change in the tame hay acreage. Decreases of 5 percent are indicated for soybeans; 10 percent for peanuts, cowpeas, and sorghums; 32 percent for oats; and 53 percent for barley. Tennessee farmers planned increases of 3 percent in to bacco over last year’s acreage and 2 percent in sorghums. In other crops there are prospective decreases, ranging from 2 percent in corn through 5 percent in oats, 7 percent in sweet potatoes, 8 percent in potatoes and in tame hay, 10 percent in soybeans, 13 percent in barley, 17 percent in cowpeas to 25 percent in peanuts. Despite prospective acreage decreases for some of their principal crops, Sixth District farmers are apparently plan ning to use more fertilizer this year than they did in 1945. Mississippi figures are no longer available monthly, but the sale of tax tags in the other five states during the first quarter of this year indicated that fertilizer sales were 7 percent greater than in the January-March period a year ago. The in creases ranged from one percent in Georgia through 4 per cent in Louisiana, 8 percent in Alabama, and 10 percent in Florida to 33 percent in Tennessee. Cash Farm Income Sixth District farmers received 6 percent less cash income from the crops, livestock, and livestock products they market ed in January 1946 than from those they marketed in Janu ary of last year. Income from crops was 5 percent less, and cash received for livestock and livestock products was 8 per cent less. January farm income was off 29 percent from the December income. Total figures for the Six States almost al ways rise rapidly from the year’s low point in July to a peak in October. They also usually decline, sometimes irreguarly, from October to the following July. Against this general pat tern for the District, farm income in Louisiana reaches its peak in November and that in Tennessee in December. In Florida the high point of the year usually falls in April be cause the movement of citrus fruits and spring vegetables to market is then usually at its height. 3 9 S ix t h D i s t r i c t S t a t is t ic s RETAIL JEWELRY STORE OPERATIONS Number ol Percent Change Item Stores Feb. 1946toMarch 1946 Reporting 29 + 12 27 + 3 Credit sales............................ 27 + 23 Accounts receivable, end of month. 29 — 3 Collections during month............ 29 4* i DISTRICT......... BatonRouge... Birmingham.... Chattanooga... Jackson......... Jacksonville__ Knoxville...... Montgomery... Nashville...... . NewOrleans... DISTRICT......... Atlanta.......... Birmingham__ Montgomery... Nashville........ NewOrleans... DEPARTMENT STORE SALES* Adjusted** Unadjusted Mar. Mar. Feb. Mar. Feb. 1946 1946 1945 1946 1946 334 339 274 314 292r 387 386 288 367 339 387 416 305 337 323 307 329 238 298 274 328 358 312 278 262 310 344 274 268 292 336 392 407 36,1 375 372 333 326 339 289 294 347 26,1 282 265 275 337 268 228 350 287 328 289 293 360 343 396 401 300 393 275 303r 260 251 250 355 402 395 308 402 Mar. 1945 282 303 202 253 275 274 368 327 264 286 284 315 246 326 DEPARTMENT STORE STOCKS Unadjusted Adjusted** Mar. Mar. Feb. Mar. Feb. 1946 1946 1946 1945 1946 171 179 192 200 200 266 293 280 268 299 148 144 132 152 138 197 192 177 188 186 257 317 304 330 298 141 ,129r lOlr 149 129r Mar. 1945 171 274 136 187 267 107r TOTAL............. Alabama........ Georgia......... Tennessee...... COTTON CONSUMPTION* Mar. Mar. Feb. 1946 1946 1945 161 162 157 172 172 162 159 160 158 124 141 113 COAL PRODUCTION* Mar. Feb. Mar. 1946 194^ 1945 193 159 163 202 160 171 146 i73 i58 SIX STATES ,.. Alabama........ Florida.......... Georgia......... Louisiana...... Mississippi..... Tennessee...... MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT*** Jan. Feb. Feb. 1945 1946 1946 152 108 ll;lr 130r 184 121 90r 154 90 105 105 141 159 114 l,15r 141 118r 120 1 0 6 r 133 1Q1 GASOLINE TAX COLLECTIONS Mar. Feb. Mar. 1946 1946 1945 132 136 95 136 139 97 153 154 94 125 128 91 1.21 129 91 121 122 81 128 138 112 CONSUMERS' PRICE INDEX Feb. Feb. Jan. 1946 1946 1945 134 131 ALL ITEMS... 134 147 144 145 141 144 Clothing... 146 114 Rent........ 114 114 Fuel, elec tricity, 109 111 andice... 111 Home fur 141 145 nishings. . 144 Miscel 127 131 laneous.. 13.1 CRUDE PETROLEUM PRODUCTION IN COASTAL LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI* Mar. Feb. Mar. 1946 1946 1945 Unadjusted.. 207 205 204 202 203 Adjusted**... 207 ELECTRIC POWER PRODUCTION* Feb. Jan. Feb. 1946 1946 1945 SIX STATES. 247 ♦ 249 287 Hydro generated 295 286 274 Fuelgenerated 186 201 305 ANNUAL RATE OF TURNOVER OF DEMAND DEPOSITS Mar. Feb. Mar. 1946 1946 1945 Unadjusted.. 15.9 15.7 15.2 Adjusted**... 16.3 15.6 15.6 Index**...... 63.1 60.3 60.2 *Daily average basis **Adjusted for seasonal variation ***1939 monthly average = 100; other indexes, 1935-39= 100 r=Revised M 4 0 T h e o n t h l y R e v ie w o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k o f A tla n ta f o r A p r i l 1946 N a tio n a l B u s in e s s production advanced considerably in March and appears to have declined only moderately in the early part of April notwithstanding a complete shutdown in the bi tuminous coal industry and some reduction in output at steel mills. The value of retail trade has continued to set new records during this period, and wholesale commodity prices have risen further. I n d u s t r ia l Employment Employment in nonagricultural establishments rose by about 600,000 in March after allowance for seasonal changes. This rise reflected increased employment in manufacturing—large ly in the iron and steel group—and continued gains in trade and construction. There were further substantial releases from the armed forces. The total number of persons unemployed remained at a level of about 2,700,000 in March. Distribution Department store sales rose sharply in March and continued at a high level in the first half of April. Total sales during the Easter season are estimated to have been about one fourth higher than last year. Freight carloadings (luring March were close to the record rate for that month reached last year. In the first three weeks of April loadings declined, reflecting the stoppage of bituminous-coal production. Shipments of most other classes of revenue freight continued to increase. Commodity Prices Wholesale prices of agricultural and industrial commodities continued to advance from the middle of March to the third week of April. The general level of wholesale prices is now higher than last September by something over four percent. In recent weeks ceiling prices for a number of products have been raised considerably, and where ceilings have been re moved prices have greatly risen. A bonus of 30 cents a bushel has been granted on wheat delivered by May 25 under the certificate plan to help meet the critical food situation abroad, and a like payment has been offered for 50 million bushels of corn. Subsidy payments for some commodities have been in creased to prevent further price advances. Industrial Production Production at factories and mines, according to the Board’s seasonally adjusted index, rose from a level of 153 percent of the 1935-39 average in February to 169 in March. This is slightly above the level reached last November before produc tion was reduced by strikes in the automobile, electricalequipment, and steel industries. In April the index will prob ably show a decline of three or four points as decreases in coal and steel are only partly offset by continued increases in other industries. The large increase shown by the total index in March was due for the most part to a sharp recovery in steel-ingot produc tion following settlement of the labor dispute. There were pro duction gains also in industries manufacturing automobiles, S itu a tio n machinery, stone, clay and glass products, furniture, textiles, paper and rubber products. These gains in steel and other in dustries were offset only in small part by declines in the nonferrous-metal industries, some food industries, and crude pe troleum. Steel-ingot production for the month of March averaged 84 percent of capacity as compared with 20 percent in February and at the end of March was close to 90 percent. Subsequent ly, due to reduced coal supplies, steel output declined and by the fourth week of April was down to a rate of 74 percent of capacity. In the automobile and machinery industries pro duction increased substantially during the latter part of March and the early part of April, reflecting improvement in steel supplies and settlement of important wage disputes. Output of stone, clay, and glass products continued to ad vance in March, and production in the first quarter of this year exceeded the previous peak levels reached at the be ginning of 1943. Output of nondurable goods rose further in March to a level of 168 percent of the 1935-39 average, the highest level since last June. Production of nondurable goods for civilian use is now in larger volume than at any previous time. Activi ty at woolen mills has shown an exceptionally large advance since the end of last year and, with marked increases in cot ton consumption and rayon shipments, the Board’s index of textile production in March was at a level of 162 percent of the 1935-39 average. This equals the previous peak rate at the beginning of 1943. Mineral production declined in March as a further advance in coal production was more than offset by a decline in crudepetroleum output and by work stoppages at important metal mines. Activity at bituminous-coal mines was suspended be ginning April 1 owing to a labor-management dispute over a new wage contract. Bank Credit Member bank reserve positions tightened in the last half of March as Treasury deposits at the Reserve Banks were in creased by large income-tax collections. Banks sold short-term Government securities largely to the Reserve Banks and drew down their reserve balances to meet this loss of funds. Reserve positions were eased on April 1 in connection with the cash redemption of 2.0 billion dollars of Treasury certificates on that date, and in the following weeks banks bought Government securities and reduced bor rowings at Reserve Banks. Commercial and industrial loans at member banks in lead ing cities increased further. Loans to brokers and dealers rose at the end of March in connection with Treasury-security-retirement operations and declined sharply in the week ending April 3. Deposits, other than those of the Treasury, fluctuated considerably, reflecting large income-tax payments and the April 1 tax-assessment date in Illinois. Yields on long-term Treasury bonds have remained rela tively steady following a sharp decline in January and the first half of February.