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PRODUCTION OF ELECTRIC ENERGY ( 1 9 2 0 = 100) F IF TH DISTRICT UNITED S TA TES / 7 en / m / x & u & w FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF R I C H M O N D F e d e ra l R eserve Bank of Richmond D e p o sit T u r n o v e r (a FIFTH n n u a l , r a t e ) DISTRICT RICHMOND, VIRGINIA With bank deposits at an all-time high seasonal level at the end of March and in a rising trend, it is interesting to observe what has happened to their rate of turnover. As the chart shows, the general level of turnover is higher than it has been at any time since 1942. The current rate of turnover for March at 14.5 times on an annual basis is 6% below the peak of 1951, but 8% higher than in February. The rate of growth in bank deposits has been somewhat less in Richmond than in the District as a whole, but because of a drop in March last year, the year to year change shows 8% compared with 8.6% for the District. Richmond’s deposit turnover rate in March of 17 times was up 10% from February, but 6.5% under March last year. March turnover last year had risen fairly sharply to compen sate for the drop in deposits. BALTIMORE. MARYLAND NORFOLK. VIRGINIA 30 30 20 20 10 ■MJ v J 10 W 1944 The trend of bank deposits in Baltimore has been upward for the past two years with deposits at the end of March up 2 % from Feb ruary and 3.6% over March a year ago. The rate of turnover of these deposits in Baltimore, however, has flattened off since early in 1951. Turnover in March at an annual rate of 17.3 times compares with 16.2 in February and 18.3 in March 1951. WASHINGTON. D. C. 1946 1947 1 94 8 1949 1 95 0 1951 1952 CHARLOTTE. NORTH CAROLiMA Bank deposits in the District of Columbia increased 8% in March over a year ago and the trend is still upward. The annual rate of deposit turnover of 11.6 times in March was considerably below the rate of 14.5 for the District. March turnover in Washington, D. C. was 6% higher than in February and 8.5% under a year ago. 194 5 Except for cities in the tobacco marketing areas and in Columbia, South Carolina, bank deposits in the Hampton Roads area have risen more rapidly than any other area in the District. In Norfolk de posits in March were 19% higher than a year ago; at Portsmouth they were up 18% ; and in Newport News, 26% . Deposit turnover in Norfolk in March at 14.9 times was 7% under a year ago. i 2 y The bank deposit rise in Charlotte, North Carolina has been con siderably better than the District average. In March the gain over a year ago amounted to 12% compared with 8.6% for the District. The annual rate of deposit turnover in Charlotte of 21.5 times in March, however, is 13% under a year ago. Turnover in Charlotte has about doubled since the end of the war. M ay 1952 The Power Behind the Growth of the Fifth District Economy has become such an integral part of everyday living and working that it is almost a trite observation to point out how utterly dependent the nation has become upon it. Its meteoric development makes it difficult to realize that this indispensable in gredient of the modern economy was known only as a curiosity less than 75 years ago. Today, however, the country could neither live in peace nor wage war with out this invisible essential force. In its rapid rise to a paramount position in the Am eri can economy, the electric power industry has both fos tered and been fostered by ever-growing groups of elec trical equipment industries. One group, for example, comprises heavy equipment for electrical generating, transmission, and distribution; another includes appli ances and equipment for industrial uses; a third group consists of electrical equipment for various forms of transportation and communication; and another large and rapidly expanding group is that of electrical appli ances for the home. In each case the availability of abun dant cheap power has led to new uses in every direction, which in turn have provided a continually increasing de mand for electrical energy. The still-growing dependence of industry, commerce, the home, and more recently, agriculture on electrical energy supports the contention that this may well be called the “ electrical age.” These brief notes on the in dustry that has brought this about are in answer to interest expressed by bankers and businessmen of the Fifth District. Emphasis is on developments within this five-state area, and because of space limitations consid eration of power generated by public authorities is re stricted to the inclusion of production and capacity data in the aggregates discussed. l e c t r ic it y E High-Powered Progress The very substantial growth of electric power facili ties and production in the Fifth District during the last few decades reflects clearly the whole story of the in dustrial progress of this region. It is a summary also of the postwar housing boom, the increased use of elec trical household appliances, and the greater require ments of commercial and other users of electric energy. In short, electric power statistics are a good indicator of the increased levels of business activity in the Dis trict as well as an index of an industry growth that is astounding even in times when record-high performances are commonplace. In line with the prevalent expectation at the end of the war that the postwar period would be characterized by a substantial downturn in business activity, it was thought that the demand for electrical energy would diminish. This appeared to be a reasonable expectation also because so much of the demand from 1940 to 1945 had been for war purposes. T o the contrary, however, the demand continued to build up, and power produc tion went on to still new record outputs. There were, of course, small areas here and there that had particu larly difficult reconversion problems which resulted in curtailment of local demand, but in the aggregate power output continued almost month by month to reach rec ord levels. In just the six years since the end of W orld W ar II private and public utilities in the United States have had to increase their production of electric energy 66% . Utilities in the Fifth District expanded their out put at practically the same rate, showing a 64% gain, and consequently were able in 1951 to account for about the same proportion of the national total, 10.1%, as had been reached during the war. Postwar expansion of power generated by Fifth Dis trict industries for their own purposes amounted to 21% , lagging behind the national increase of 34% . This was a consequence of a protracted period during 1950-51 of unusually light precipitation over a large part of the Fifth District that forced a substantial curtailment of power production by hydro-electric stations of in dustrial companies. The District user-owned total of 9,611,000,000 kilowatt-hours in 1951 was 15.5% of the total generated by all industries in the country, slightly under the 17.1% reached by the end of W orld W ar II. Credit for the cover photos are acknowledged as fol lows: top left, Virginia Electric and Power Co., top right and center right, Appalachian Electric Power Co., center left, Duke Power Co.; bottom, left to right, South Carolina Electric and Gas Co., The Susquehana Electric Co.; Monongahela Power Co. It is to be expected that gains recorded by as rela tively young an industry as electric power— measured from the small bases of its formative years— would be impressive. However, even if comparisons are limited to fairly recent years, they disclose very rapid growth trends. Going back only three decades, for example, it is found that the production of electric energy by pri vate and public utilities in the United States increased from 39 billion kilowatt-hours in 1920 to 370 billion in 1951— over a ninefold increase. Even this phenomenal rate of growth was overshadowed by the performance of utilities in the Fifth District. Here private and public power producers saw their output rise from 3 billion to 37 billion kilowatt-hours— over a twelvefold increase. Adding the amount of power generated by non-utility companies for their own use to the 37 billion kilowatthours produced by utilities gives a total output of 47 billion kilowatt-hours for the Fifth District in 1951— 10.8% of all the electric energy generated in the nation. It should be pointed out that the proportion of the national total of energy produced in the Fifth District, 10.8% in 1951, exceeds the figure that might be ex- i 3 y F e d e ra l R eserve Bank o f Richmond GENERATION OF ELECTRIC POW ER IN FIFTH DISTRICT IN 1951 (Millions of Kilowatt Hours) _______ By Utilities________ ______ By Industry_______ __________ Total___________ Hydro Hydro Fuels Total Hydro Fuels Total 5 ___ 89 548 1,228 74 1,944 1,433 34 2,033 2,321 918 928 7,667 1,438 34 2,122 2,869 2,146 1,002 9,611 1,461 4 705 1,003 3,570 1,553 8,296 5,266 1 737 8,851 11,134 8,481 3,135 38,604 6,727 1 741 9,556 12,137 12,051 4,688 46,900 Fuels Total Maryland ---------------------------- 1,456 3,833 5,289 4 1,703 1,707 District of Columbia ________ Virginia ------------------------------- 616 6,818 7,434 W est Virginia ---------------------- 455 8,813 9,268 North Carolina -------------------- 2,342 7,563 9,905 South Carolina--------------------- -1,479 2,207 3,686 Fifth District ----------------------- 6,352 30,937 37,289 Hydro & Fuel Production as % of T ota ls------------------- 17.0 83.0 100.0 Fifth D istrict__________________________________________ of United States __________ 6.4 11.4 10.1 20.2 79.8 100.0 17.7 82.3 100.0 42.3 13.3 15.5 7.9 11.8 10.8 Source: Federal Power Commission, Electric Power Statistics, Washington 25, D. C. pected on the basis of a number of other economic com parisons. F or example, it is larger than the District’s proportion of the nation’s population, production work ers, manufacturing enterprises, value added by manu facturing, or outlays f o r n ew i n d u s t r i a l p l an t and equipment. A s pointed out elsewhere, not all the power generated within the District is transmitted to the looms and lathes of District industries or is servicing resi dential, commercial and other users in this area. Sub stantial amounts are “ exported” from the District over such high-voltage lines as those shown in the cover photographs. Greater Capacity Requirements The requisite factor for the sharp gains in production of electrical energy has been a steady increase in gen erating capacity. During the thirties there was a lag in the earlier rate at which the installed capacity of utility companies had approximately doubled every six years. W ith the tremendous urgent demand for power imposed by W orld W ar II there was a sharp upturn in construction of utility plants which continued unabated after the cessation of hostilities. The latest data avail able show that in the five years ended with 1950, the generating capacity of private and public utilities in the United States expanded some 37% . Similar growth in the Fifth District amounted to only 27% as a conse quence of the failure of hydro installations to expand. District utility steam plants, however, increased their capacity by 4 2 % — almost matching the nation’s growth of 45% in such generating equipment. The self-generating capacity of industrial plants, on the other hand, in the Fifth District expanded faster than did this total for the nation in the period 1946-50. However, the differential was not sufficient to offset the slower District rate of expansion of capacity by utili ties, and the net result was that total installed capacity, of private and public utilities and of industrially owned power plants, fell from 11.1% of the national total in 146 to 10.4% at the end of 1950. This relative decline should not obscure the fact that the 8,619,000 kilowatt capacity of Fifth District power plants in 1950 was al most one-fourth greater than the 1946 figure. Record Production Reflects Business Conditions Sales of electric energy by Fifth District utilities to residential users have been growing rapidly and steadily in the postwar years. This reflects not only the high level of residential construction, but also the rapid growth of the home appliance industries during this pe riod. Sales to residential users in 1951 were 2J4 times the 1946 level. The rate of growth of the residential use of electricity has been almost constant at about 17% each year since 1946. W ith residential building in 1952 expected to fall only slightly short of the 1951 level, it is reasonable to expect that this rate of growth will con tinue through the coming year. Fifth District public utilities sold 69% more electric energy to industrial and commercial establishments in 1951 than in 1946, reflecting the high levels of business activity of the postwar period. Sales of electrical energy for commercial and industrial uses followed the pattern of business behavior very closely in the postwar years. Such sales dipped in the reconversion year 1946 and again in the recession year 1949. A ll other years saw sales at a high level matching business activity. Sales by Fifth District utilities in 1951 to municipali ties, railways, and rural users ( “ other sales” ), although 29% above 1946, have grown at a slower rate than sales to residential, commercial, and industrial users. In 1946 other sales took over one-third of the total energy pro duced, while in 1951 they accounted for 28% of the total. 80% of District’s Energy Produced by Fuels The generation of electric power by fuels (i.e., with steam or internal combustion engines) in the Fifth Dis trict has been growing at a much more rapid rate than generation by water power. In 1946 hydro generation by utilities accounted for over one-third of their total May 1952 USERS OF E L E C T R IC E N E R G Y IN T H E F IF T H D IS T R IC T SALES BY CLASS A & B P U B L IC U T IL IT IE S (Millions of kilowatt hours) Year 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 Percentage increase 1946 to 1951 Commercial & Residential Industrial 2,319 11,227 13,110 2,690 3,243 14,527 3,789 13,816 16,142 4,459 5,232 18,969 + 125.7 + 69.0 Other 7,443 7,901 6,793 8,694 9,330 9,592 + 2 8 .9 Total 20,989 23,701 24,563 26,299 29,931 33,793 +61. Source: 1946 through 1950— Federal Power Commission, Statistics o f E lectric Utilities in the United States. 1951— Class A and B utili ties in the Fifth District. whereas by 1951 hydro generation had declined to less than one-fifth. Not only has hydro generation by utili ties fallen relative to other methods of power production but the actual number of kilowatt-hours produced in this manner has also declined, 1951 production being 15% below 1946. Fifth District production of electric energy by fuels, on the other hand, has been increasing steadily; production by utility companies in 1951 being 102% above 1946. This trend is also reflected in gen erating capacity. Plant and equipment of Fifth District utilities for the generation of electricity by fuels in 1951 was 68% above 1946. Capacity for water generation, however, was less than 2% above 1946. Industry producers, as in the case of the public utili ties, generate the major share of their power require ments by fuels. In the Fifth District, such producers generated 10% less electrical energy with water power in 1951 than in 1946 while over the same period they generated 32% more with fuels. Fuel production ac counted for 80% of total energy production by Fifth District industries in 1951. In the nation as a whole, o w n e r - u s e r s g e n e r a t e d 9 3 % of their requirements with fuels. W est Virginia and North Carolina Lead the District W est Virginia and North Carolina together produced over half of all the electric energy generated in the Fifth District in 1951, each producing about one-fourth of the District total. Virginia followed in third place with onefifth of the total. North Carolina alone accounted for 43% of the Dis trict’s 1951 hydro production of electric energy. W est Virginia led in the generation of electric energy by fuels with 29% of the District total. Owner-users in the Fifth District produced one-fifth of all the power generated in the region in 1951. Those in W est Virginia took 30% of total owner-user produc tion and relied on fuel-generation for over four-fifths of their self-supply. Industry producers in North Caro lina, on the other hand, covered over half of their needs with hydro-electricity and accounted for almost twothirds of hydro-production by owner-users in the re gion. Industry producers in Maryland, Virginia, and South Carolina rely almost entirely on fuel production, meeting well over 90% of their needs in this manner. North Carolina led the District with 27% of the total energy produced by utility companies. Less than onefourth of their 1951 production came from water power, presenting a sharp contrast with industry producers who relied on hydro generation for 60% of their output. Fifth District utility companies accounted for 10% of all the electric energy produced in 1951 by utilities in the United States. They produced 80% of all the elec tricity generated in the Fifth District. Continued Rapid Expansion Planned The Defense Production Administration is sponsor ing a program calling for a total national capacity of 107.000.000 kilowatts by the end of 1954. The program is based on the recommendations of a power advisory committee composed of representatives of the industry, and calls for a national expansion in capacity of about 9.000.000 kilowatts in 1952, 11,000,000 in 1953, and 12.000.000 in 1954. Data supplied by sixteen of the twenty-four Class A and B public utilities in this District reveal that new generating equipment in process of construction or to be put under construction this year will provide the region with an estimated 2,142,000 kilowatts of addi tional capacity. Since the cost of constructing generat ing capacity today is at the rate of approximately $200 per kilowatt, the 2 million kilowatts of new capacity already contracted for by these utility companies will give a sizeable stimulus to the region’s economy. Since it takes from three to four years to complete a generating plant, the investment stimulus provided by this indus try’s present plans alone will thus reach well into 1955. — R. P. L , E. M. D. F e d e ra l R eserve Bank o f Richmond Retail Credit Trends During 1951 shift in consumer buying from durable to nondurable goods coupled with a decline in the relative importance of instalment sales in 1951 charac terized operations of the nine lines of trade reporting in the Retail Credit Survey recently conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Retailers of auto mobiles, furniture and household appliances reported de clines in sales while retailers of primarily soft goods reported gains in sales. However, among the different lines of trade, changes in sales moved in a very narrow range, the extremes being a 10% gain and a 7% decline. A m oderate Over-all consumer demand remained high and sales exceeded by 2% the record dollar volume of the pre vious year. Cash sales in postwar years had shown a declining proportion of total sales, but in 1951 dollar volume of cash sales rose and held at the same percent age of total sales as in 1950. The growth in charge ac count business both absolutely and relatively offset the moderate decline in instalment sales. Over-all accounts receivable increased slightly but the gain was due to a rise in charge account^ components of credit receivables as instalment receivables receded from the previous year’s level. More than 800 stores with 1951 sales totaling approxi mately $750 million reported in the Fifth District sur vey, which covered credit-granting retail stores only. It is interesting to note that changes in sales of reporting stores from 1950 to 1951 do not vary greatly from na tional trends shown by the Department of Commerce. The Department’s figures show that national retail sales in 1951 were 5% above the preceding year. W hile the dollar volume of reporting stores advanced in 1951, the physical volume of goods was below the 1951 level. The Department of Commerce reported that although the rate of increase in prices of goods sold at retail stores in the United States slowed after the begin ning of 1951, the average was up about 9% over the preceding year. Sales Trends in Selected Lines Sales in 1951 advanced over those in 1950 in six of the nine types of stores, while automobile dealers, fur niture stores and household appliance stores registered declines. (See Table I.) For automobile dealers it was the first decline since W orld W ar II. Some of the de cline in consumer spending at the three types of stores showing sales declines was a reaction to an earlier over bought condition. Apparently consumer expenditures at these three types of stores were also restrained to some degree by the credit controls under Regulation W . These three types of retailers more typically extend credit sub ject to Regulation W than do other types of retailers. Although consumer credit restrictions were eased after the middle of 1951, the Department of Commerce re ported that no marked effect in the stimulation of sales of consumer durables resulted. W om en’s apparel stores with a 10% gain in sales over 1950 made the best showing of any of the retail lines surveyed. Department stores also had a good year with 1951 sales rising 6% above 1950. Other types of stores included in the survey-—men’s clothing, jewelry, automobile tire and accessory, and hardware— reported sales gains ranging from 3% to 5% . In general retailers rang up more cash sales in 1951 than in 1950, though automobile dealers were an excep tion. Even furniture stores which experienced a 4% decline in total sales recorded a 2% gain in cash sales. As a percentage of total sales, cash sales were of greater importance or remained stable in all lines except women’s apparel stores, jewelry stores and automobile dealers. Am ong these three lines, automobile dealers Table I RETAIL SALES BY TYPE OF STORE, FIFTH DISTRICT, 1950 and 1951 Per Cent of Total Sales Percentage Change, 1950 to 1951 Type of Credit-Granting ______ Store W om en’s AppareL Department______ Hardware________ Automobile Tire and Accessory.... Jewelry-----Furniture...... AutomobileHousehold Appliance___________ Number of Total Stores Sales .. 30 189 51 89 35 31 .. 113 130 ... 113 + 10 + 6 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 3 — 4 — 7 — 8 Cash Sales + 9 4- 6 -1- 4 + 10 + 1 + 3 + 2 — 10 * *Less than one-half of 1 per cent. 6y Charge Instal Account ment Cash Sales Sales Sales 1950 1951 + 9 + 7 4- 7 + 11 + 3 + 4 — 18 + 3 — 4 +24 + 3 — 3 — 5 + 17 + 2 — 1 — 6 — 11 43 40 46 42 38 38 15 48 16 42 40 46 45 38 37 16 46 18 Charge Account Sales 1950 1951 52 47 48 17 59 14 20 12 18 52 48 49 17 59 15 17 13 19 Instalment Sales 1950 1951 5 13 6 41 3 48 65 40 66 6 12 5 38 3 48 67 41 63 May /9 5 2 reported the largest decline in the importance of cash sales, but the drop was not substantial— only 2 % . Charge Account Sales and Receivables That customers made extensive use of charge accounts in 1951 is shown by the over-all increase of 6% in this type of sales at credit-granting stores. More than onehalf of all sales made at women’s apparel and men's clothing stores and almost one-half of all sales made at department and hardware stores were charge account. All types of retailers except furniture stores and house hold appliance stores reported gains in charge account sales. A t the same time the relative importance of charge account sales increased or remained stable in all trade lines except furniture. Charge accounts receivable on December 31, 1951, in the nine trades ranged from 5% below a year earlier to 12% above. The largest increase was shown by depart ment stores which also showed one of the largest in creases in charge account sales. Despite a gain of 7% in charge sales, hardware stores showed the greatest drop ( 5 % ) in charge accounts receivable. Collections information was not included in the 1951 survey, but the ratios of charge accounts receivable to charge account sales indicate that collections were slower in 1951 in only three lines— department, furniture, and household appliance stores. The average repayment pe riod for charge accounts of furniture stores rose from slightly more than 70 days in 1950 to more than 90 days in 1951. The collection period for department stores averaged more than three months in both 1950 and 1951. W om en’s apparel, men’s clothing, and jewelry stores also collected their open accounts slowly averaging about 90 days or longer in both years. Automobile dealers as a group adhered more closely to a 60-day definition of charge accounts than any other group in the survey. Instalment Sales and Receivables Instalment sales of all reporting stores in 1951 de clined 3% from 1950. The largest declines occurred in those lines of trade in which instalment sales are of greatest relative importance, jewelry stores being an ex ception with a sales rise of 2 % . W om en’s apparel stores and men’s clothing stores showed sharp increases in in stalment sales; however, such sales accounted for only a small part of their total business. As usual, instalment sales represented a greater per centage of total sales at durable goods than at nondurable goods stores. The types of credit-granting stores which extended instalment credit most frequently included fur niture, household appliance, jewelry, automobile, and au tomobile tire and accessory. Reporting furniture stores sold a greater proportion (two-thirds) of their goods on an instalment basis in 1951 than did any other line. Household appliance store instalment sales accounted for almost two-thirds of total sales. Jewelry stores trans acted almost one-half of their business on an instalment basis. In the case of automobile dealers, instalment sales comprised about two-fifths of total sales. A similar pro portion of instalment business was reported by automo bile tire and accessory stores. Household appliance stores, which showed the largest decline in instalment sales of any line covered, reported an even greater decline in instalment receivables. Simi larly at other retail outlets reporting declines in instal ment sales— automobile dealers, automobile tire and ac cessory stores, and hardware stores— there was a more than proportionate decline in year-end receivables. Per centage increases in instalment accounts receivable at department stores, women’s apparel stores and men’s clothing stores were accompanied by even larger per centage increases in instalment sales. Instalment Paper Sold Sellers of hard goods financed a large proportion of their instalment sales through banks, finance companies and others in both 1950 and 1951. Selling of instalment paper was practiced more widely by automobile firms than any other group of retail establishments in the Dis trict. Automobile dealers sold paper equivalent to 46% of their instalment sales volume last year compared with 45% in 1950. These dealers themselves held receivables at the end of 1951 representing only 3% of their total instalment sales. (D ow n payments and trade-in allow ances included in instalment sales accounted for 49% of the instalment sales volume of automobile dealers in both 1950 and 1951.) Instalment paper sold by household appliance stores in 1951 amounted to 48% of their instalment sales, an increase of 4 percentage points from the preceding year. Although two-thirds of furniture store sales were on instalment, these stores carried the bulk of instalment paper originated, with their receivables on December 31 equal to more than one-half of total instalment sales. Automobile tire and accessory stores reported an in crease of 13% in the sale of instalment paper to financ ing institutions in 1951. The proportion of paper sold by such stores represented more than one-fourth of their instalment sales volume. The negligible amount of paper sold by other retailers indicated they found it relatively profitable to do their own instalment financing. Inventories Inventories at the end of last year were higher in dol lar volume than for the same period in 1950 at four types of stores. Despite the fact that production of new cars drifted downward from the spring of 1951, the dol lar volume of inventories held by District automobile dealers at the year’s end was 12% higher than one year earlier. Hardware, department and household appli ance stores also showed increases in stocks. The great est reduction in stocks— 2 2 % — occurred at women’s apparel stores. The only other type of trade to show a Continued on page 11 •( 7 ^ F e d e ra l R eserve Bank of Richmond Business Conditions and Prospects h e improvement noted in the business level during February failed to carry through in March. In fact March business activity receded to the January level. Department store trade during the month strengthened but furniture store trade weakened and sales of whole salers showed mixed trends. Defense industries con tinued to impart considerable strength to the economy of the District, but this has been more than offset by weakness in the soft goods industries and in demand for bituminous coal. Anticipated revival in the cotton textile industry is still deferred. As of late April, operations in this in dustry appear to be below those of March, with the tendency of many plants to curtail further. T Loans of all member banks on March 26 rose .8% , when ordinarily there is a seasonal decline from the month before. Time deposits continued upward mod erately during the month, net cashing of Series E bonds was $1 million higher than in February, but less than half the amount of March 1951. Latest data on farm income show a small gain over a year earlier, while total employment is fairly steady with gains in construction and defense connected indus tries offsetting weakness in the principal industries of the District. Cotton Textiles March operations in the District’s cotton mills were slightly below those of February, with seasonally ad justed consumption down 3% and spindle hours off 1%. April figures may show a further drop, but the time is approaching when improvement is indicated. A l though the figures are not available on the inventory position of the converters and cutters, informed sources of the trade believe these to be worked down to very low levels. The “ rush” notation placed on many cur rent orders at the mill level would seem to bear out this contention, and the irregular rising trend of sales of cot ton goods items in department stores attests the strength of retail demand. The export market for finished cotton goods and semi manufactures has given a good account of itself, with February figures above a year ago by 25% and 56% respectively. This is in spite of the fact that cotton tex tile output in many foreign countries has been declining similarly to that in United States. The quoted price structure for cotton goods and yarns has held quite firmly, but it is the impression that nearby orders can be effected below these levels. A t the current price level, the industry as a whole would do well to break even and such a situation cannot long exist. It has already continued long enough to be a cause of consid erable concern. Bituminous Coal Bituminous coal output in this District in March dropped 15% below February (seasonally adjusted) to a level 5% below a year ago. This was, in part, due to the drop in output at'the captive mines in preparation for a pending steel strike in the last week of March and partly due to a continued decline in exports. Coal ex ports have dropped sharply from earlier months with the total through Fifth District ports amounting to 2.2 million tons between March 8 and April 5. This brings the year’s total through April 5 to 10,300,000 tons, which compares with six million tons a year ago. D o mestic consumption for the United States in February was 4% under a year ago. Employment levels in the industry in this District have held steady for months, but many mines are operat ing around three days a week. Stocks of coal in con sumers’ hands rose a million tons from January to Feb ruary to 76 million tons, continuing the high stockpile policy. Defense Industries Defense industries in the Fifth District are mainly shipyards and aircraft factories and to a lesser extent, the machinery industries and defense construction. W hile total manufacturing operations in the District as indicated by the employment level have been mod erately receding since fall, the defense industries have continued a sharp expansion. Employment at shipyards and aircraft factories combined is 40% higher than a year ago and 82% above June 1950, and the level is still rising. Latest figures available show employment in the private shipyards in the South Atlantic area, which are for the most part in the Fifth District, of 18,800, a gain of 58% over a year ago and 138% over June 1950. In the Navy yards in the same area, em ployment in January was 24,400, a gain of 25% over a year ago and 64% over June 1950. On March 18, the House Armed Services Committee approved a bill authorizing construction and reconver sion of 554 Navy ships at a cost of $1,145 million. Either private or naval shipyards in this area undoubt edly will share in this construction. Machinery industries of the District, owing to the de fense program, are still expanding their employment levels. The rate of expansion is not quite as rapid as it had been earlier, but it is still rising at the rate of 10% per annum. February employment in machinery industries of the District is 38% higher than in June 1950, with an upward trend still in evidence. Defense has been primarily responsible for a very substantial rise in construction employment in the Carolinas and Virginia. These states are largely responsible for the rise in the District. Employment in contract construction in February totaled 269,000, a gain of 23% over a year ago and 50% over February 1950. In the states of Virginia, North and South Carolina, employ- y r fe w M May !952 I y jf a / t e u * - ment and contract construction in February of 181,600 was 41% ahead of a year ago and 78% ahead of Feb ruary 1950. Defense has also added substantially to Government employment. In February, both state and local govern ments in this District employed 785,300 workers. This was 51,000 or 7% larger than a year ago and 116,200 or 16% higher than in June 1950. Trade March department store sales (seasonally adjusted) recovered the loss shown between January and Febru ary by rising 5% above February to a level 9% ahead of a year ago. Store inventories (adjusted) were at the same level as in February and 2% ahead of a year ago. Sales of women’s coats and suits did well in March and exceeded the figure a year ago despite the influence of Easter in last year’s figures. Store commitments, however, were smaller than in the previous month, with March outstanding orders down 3% from February and 19% below a year ago. The up-trend in furniture store sales during February did not carry over into March. March sales (adjusted) declined 13% from February but were still 18% ahead of a year ago. Accounts receivable in furniture stores in March were at the same level as in February and the same as a year ago. Collections in March were some what poorer than in February (down 6 % ) and 2% below a year ago. Inventories (adjusted) advanced 1% but were 14% smaller than last year. Passenger automobile sales in February dropped 13% from January and were 29% below a year ago. Com mercial car sales in February were down 16% from January and 20% under a year ago. Household appli ance store sales in March declined 8% from February and were 20% below a year ago. trade. Loans on defense contracts have been steady most of the year, and the same has been true of defense sup porting activities, though in the week of April 16, loans for defense supporting activities have turned upward. Loans to textile and apparel concerns, which had a sub stantial rise from late November to late February, have since turned down moderately. Loans to metals and metal products concerns have shown a sharp rise in the past month. The over-all stability in business loans may be due in part to the need for replenishing working capi tal after heavy tax payments on March 15. Real estate loans are still maintaining the up-trend in evidence since last fall, and a gradual upward trend is still in evidence in “ other” loans, which are mainly to consumers. Demand deposits (excluding interbank) of all mem ber banks in the District on March 26 were nearly 1% higher than the month earlier and nearly 8% above a year ago. Time deposits rose slightly during March to a level 6% above a year ago. Interestingly, member bank holdings of other securi ties rose 1.3% during March to a level 28% ahead of a year ago. Although these holdings on March 26 amounted to only $411 million, the gains are impressive. Although the bank debits index for this District in March remained close to the February level, there were some fairly notable changes within the District. A sharp drop occurred in South Carolina and smaller declines in D. C., W est Virginia and North Carolina. Maryland showed a small rise, and Virginia a substantial rise to a new high level. Deposit turn-over in March was some what higher than in February but still below that of January or a year ago. A gricu ltu re Business loans of the weekly reporting banks in this District have been holding up well since normally at this season of the year a reduction is expected. A rather sharp up-turn in the past two months has been wit nessed in trade loans, presumably anticipating Easter The farming season is progressing satisfactorily. In dicated crop acreages are moderately below last year, and over-all production, given a normal growing sea son, should, therefore, be somewhat below last year. Livestock marketings may well run ahead of last year. The price situation is less favorable than for some months. — B. P. C. R E T A IL F U R N IT U R E SALES W H O L E SA L E TRADE B anking Percentage comparison of sales in periods named with sales in same periods in 1951 3 Mos. 1952 Mar. 1952 STATES Maryland (7) ------------------------- -----------------Dist. of Col. (7) ------------------ ____________ Virginia (18) ------------------------- ____________ West Virginia (10) ---------------- -----------------North Carolina (15) ------------- -----------------South Carolina (6) ---------------- ____________ District (63) ----------------------- ------------------ + 3 — 5 — 4 + 31 + 6 — 14 + 1 + 6 — 7 + 1 + 19 + 1 — 9 0 IN D IV ID U AL Baltimore, Md. (7) Washington, D. C. Richmond, Va. (6) Charleston, W . Va. + 3 — 5 — 2 + 44 + 6 — 7 + 6 + 18 CITIES ................... ..................... (7) --------- ____________ ---------- ------ ____________ (3) --------- ____________ LINES Auto supplies (8) __________________ ____________ Electrical goods (6) Hardware (12) _______ ............... ...... Industrial supplies (6) ----------------Drugs & sundries (12) ------- ------+ Dry goods (16) ________ ____________ Groceries (50) _________ -----------------Paper & products (6) Tobacco products (12) -----------------Miscellaneous (92) _____ ____________ District Total (220) ____________ — 32 — 4 — 16 +H 8 — 19 + 3 — 24 + 6 — 17 — 10 Number of reporting firms in parentheses. Source: Department of Commerce. Number of reporting firms in parentheses. Sales in March 1952 compared with Mar. Feb. 1951 1952 i 9V +21 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 5 — 2 + 2 — 1 + 3 — 3 0 Stocks on March 31, 1952 compared with Mar. 31, Feb. 29, 1951 1952 + + + + 0 7 2 3 2 5 0 9 14 27 28 0 — 17 + 5 + + — + + + — 4 4 + "7 0 + 2 + 2 F e d e ra l R eserve Bank of Richmond FIFTH DISTRICT NEWSBR/EFS FINANCE CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN — II $9 m i l l i o n addition to the Halethorpe, Md. plant of Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. will be started during May. Equipment for the new facilities will require additional outlays of approximately the same amount. The one-story, 310,000 sq. ft. building is part of the “ heavy press” program of the A ir Force designed to speed up aircraft production. The Halethorpe plant, already the largest aluminum extrusion plant in the country, will have its annual capacity increased to 56 million pounds when the additional facilities are ready for operations by m id-1953. A The Ford M otor Co. recently announced the purchase of a site in Charlotte for the erection of a service parts depot and district sales office building. The new facili ties, to cost over $1 million, will serve both North and South Carolina. Approximately $500,000 is being invested by the Hoover Hosiery Co. in the building and equipping of an addition to its plant in Con cord, N. C. About 300 persons are now em ployed, and this number will be doubled when the added space is in use. Two more textile plant additions in North Carolina are at the Madison Throwing Co. in Madison and the Gem Plant of the Liberty Hosiery Mills at Gibsonville. The former, to cost $250,000 including machinery, will provide 20,000 additional square feet for the plant operation of throwing nylon yarns for hosiery and tricot and will increase capacity about 63% . This addition and the one at the Gem Plant, which will cost $25,000, are scheduled for completion early this summer. Piedmont Telephone Cooperative, Inc., is spend ing over $300,000 for rural lines in the Laurens area, and the St. Matthews Telephone Co. will improve and extend service in Calhoun and Orangeburg Counties with an R E A loan of $182,000. The North Star Telephone Co. will expand and improve its facilities in North Caro lina at a cost of $750,000. Included is enlarge ment of facilities in High Point, Thomasville, Randleman, and surrounding rural areas. High Point, N. C., reports the addition of a number of new enterprises to its industrial structure. Sylvania Electric Products has invested $1,250,000 in the pur chase of a building and the installation of machinery for the manufacture of television cabinets. About 250 per sons will be employed in the plant. Other newcomers are the F ox Paper Co., makers of special blankets, pads, and wrappings for furniture and allied trades, the W ool Novelty Co., Inc., which will dye and package looper clips and make hand looms, and a branch plant of R ock well Manufacturing Co. of Pittsburgh, producer of ma chine tools, valves, meters, and computing mechanisms. N P A Approvals Other additions to the textile industry in North Caro lina include a $25,000 improvement at the Catawba Finishing Co. in N ew ton, a two-story brick addition to the Cross Cotton Mills plant at Marion, and the con struction of a plant at Wendell by General Sportswear Co., Inc., of New York. This factory, the cost of which has not been published, will make children’s dungarees and will employ approximately 150 persons. Reports on utilities disclose that the ClintonNewberry Natural Gas Authority plan a $3 mil lion distribution system and transmission main at Newberry, S. C. Also in South Carolina, the Sm <4 10 y The total value of investment in plant expansions in the Fifth District for which metal has been allocated by the National Production Authority for the April-June quarter amounts to over $237 million. In Maryland, which received the largest share of the District total, 78% of the new plant investment is accounted for by additional facilities at the Sparrows Point plant of Beth lehem Steel. The m ajor portion of the W est Virginia total, second largest in the District, is allocated to the chemical industry. N P A also approved the construction of two large textile plants in South Carolina. The Dela ware Falls Co. will build a weaving mill for worsteds, woolens, and Dacron fiber in Kingstree at a cost of over $1 million. The Greenwood Mills will erect a new mill at Greenwood at a cost of almost $7 million. This new plant, the Durst Mill, will employ about 1,250 persons and will add around $3 million to the annual pay roll of the community It will be a complete mill with spinning, carding, and weaving depart- May 1952 y flv id a * ' ments, permitting the manufacture of a variety of types of cloth. Approval was secured by the Draper Corp. for the construction of a plant in Spartanburg to make textile machinery repair parts. This plant will cost over $1.7 million. Five retail outlets in the Washington, D. C. metro politan area representing a total investment of over $5 million have obtained N P A approval. This includes four suburban shopping centers and a new $2.7 million Sears, Roebuck & Co. store. Housing and Hospital Projects During the past month many Housing Authorities throughout the Fifth District reported the letting of con tracts for various housing projects totaling $75 million. The largest single project is located in W hite Oaks, Md. where 1,100 single-family dwellings for personnel of the Naval Ordnance Laboratory are being erected at a cost of $16,500,000. The second largest building de velopment will be a group of ten 12-story buildings located .on sites near the Baltimore business district They will be the first elevator-type apartments for lowincome families to be constructed in this area and will involve outlays in excess of $13 million. The Public Housing Authority postponed the sale of $167 million of new Housing Authority bonds that had been scheduled to be offered on April 15. O f this amount, slightly over 10% was to have sold in this Dis trict— these issues are: Hagerstown, Md., $2,943,000; Roanoke, Va., $6,841,000; Charlotte, N . C., $6,007,000; and N ew Bern, N . C., $1,111,000. The postponement was decided upon because legislation now before Con gress casts a “ technical shadow” on the availability of funds to pay the Federal Government's annual contribu tion for the housing units that would be covered by the bonds. The P H A explained that Government contribu tions are pledged as security on the obligations. Contracts recently let for hospital construc tion in the Fifth District include a $5.5 million, 15-story addition to the Johns Hopkins H os pital in Baltimore. The Johns Hopkins Univer sity received also N P A approval for critical materials for the construction of a $1.8 million research laboratory. This laboratory will en gage in work on guided missiles for the Navy Bureau of Ordnance. Other hospital projects recently reported are the addi tion of a pathology building to the W alter Reed H os pital in Washington, D. C., at an outlay of around $5 million, a new hospital costing $1.3 million at Phillipi, W . Va. and a $450,000 addition to the Charleston, W . Va. Memorial Hospital. Retail Credit Survey—1951 Fifth Federal Reserve District Continued from page 7 substantial reduction in stocks was automobile tire and accessory stores. Inventory turnover rates varied considerably among retail lines surveyed. (See Table III.) A t the extremes were the automobile dealers whose rate of turnover in 1951 was 9.5 times a year, and the jewelry stores whose rate of turnover was 1.6 times a year. W om en’s ap parel stores showed the most substantial acceleration in inventory turnover rate and rose from 3.9 times a year in 1950 to 5.4 times in 1951. Automobile tire and acces sory stores also showed more rapid stock turnover in 1951 at approximately six times a year compared with 5.1 times in 1950. The only retail lines to show a slower rate of inventory turnover in 1951 than in 1950 were household appliance stores, hardware stores, and auto mobile dealers, and only in the case of the latter was the drop substantial. __ F. D. S. Table II Table II I R E T A IL A C C O U N T S R E C E IV A B L E , F IF T H D IS T R IC T , 1950 and 1951 (Accounts receivable figures are based on end-of-year data; Sales on annual totals) Type of CreditGranting Store Women’s Apparel Department Men’s Clothing J ewelry Furniture Automobile Hardware Household Appliance Automobile Tire and Accessory Accts. Receivable Percentage Change 1950 to 1951 Charge InstalTotal ment Acct. Charge Acct. Receivables as % of Charge Acct. Sales 1950 R E T A IL SALES A N D Instalment Re ceivables as % of Instal ment Sales 1951 1950 1951 + 9 -1- 8 + ^ + 3 + 1 — 3 — 6 — 14 + 7 + 12 + 2 + 4 — 4 + 7 — 5 + 4 +20 4- 2 + 13 -|- 3 + 1 — 14 — 12 — 16 24 28 28 41 20 12 21 13 24 29 27 41 25 12 19 14 47 59 46 67 56 3 23 36 46 58 44 68 58 3 22 35 — 16 — 2 — 17 16 14 51 44 Type of CreditGranting Store Women’s Apparel Number of Stores D IS T R IC T , Percentage Change Inventory 1950 to 1951 Turnover Ratio Total End-of-Year Sales Inventories 1950 1951 33 + 9 — 22 3.9 5.4 180 + 6 + 3 4.2 4.3 Automobile Tire and Accessory 97 + 5 — 11 5.1 6.0 Hardware 61 + 4 + 8 2.9 2.8 Men’s Clothing 36 + 3 — 4 2.9 3.2 Jewelry 31 + 3 + 1 1.6 1.6 — 3 2.8 2.8 11.4 9.5 3.5 3.2 Department *{ ii y IN V E N T O R IE S , F IF T H 1950 and 1951 Furniture 109 — 5 Automobile 143 — 7 + 12 Household Appliance 112 — 7 + 1 F e d e ra l R eserve Bank of Richmond SELECTED FIFTH DISTRICT BUSINESS INDEXES A V E R A G E D A IL Y 1935-39 = 100— S E A S O N A L L Y A D JU STE D Mar. 1952 Automobile Registration1-----------------------------------------------Bank Debits__________________________________________________________________ Bituminous Coal Production-------------------------------------------- ____________________ Construction Contracts Awarded________________________ ____________________ Business Failures— No----------------------------------------------------- ____________________ Cigarette Production____________________________________ Cotton Spindle Hours------------------------------------------------------ _______ ____________ Department Store Sales*_________________________ _______ ____________________ Electric Power Production______________________________ Employment— M fg. Industries1_________________________ ______ Life Insurance Sales_____________________________________ 445 137 489 44 146 114 __ 338 Feb. 1952 Jan. 1952 Mar. 1951 136 446 161 484 36 229 147 109 372 152 335 156 453 163 381 39 257 147 114 358 153 323 217 432 144 502 70 220 166 105 337 153 290 c/o Change-—Latest Monti Prev. Mo. — — + + — — + + — + 13 0 15 1 22 11 1 5 4 1 1 Year Ago — 29 + ~ .. 3 — 5 — 3 — 37 — 5 — 12 9 + 10 + 0 17 + iNot seasonally adjusted. *1947-1949=100. Back figures available on request. B U IL D IN G P E R M IT F IG U R E S March 1952 Maryland Baltimore $ 4,384,700 Cumberland 32,900 453,650 Frederick Hagerstown 167,936 Salisbury 72,762 Virginia 252,834 Danville Lynchburg 288,312 181,012 Newport News 1,248,270 Norfolk Petersburg 171,305 Portsmouth 260,762 2,097,714 Richmond Roanoke 789,277 West Virginia 926,734 Charleston 68,700 Clarksburg 395,836 Huntington North Carolina 600,243 Asheville Charlotte 1,594,895 2,071,779 Durham 551,030 Greensboro 199,985 High Point 1,618,420 Raleigh 263,135 Rocky Mount 50,027 Salisbury W inston-Salem 1,095,866 South Carolina 99,339 Charleston 788,786 Columbia 413,150 Greenville Spartanburg 147,110 Dist. of Columbia 3,344,418 Washington $24,630,887 District Totals March 1951 3 Months 1952 3 Months 1951 $ 5,813,055 104,150 148,300 262,395 89,142 $14,762,630 63,100 957,357 360,591 281,724 $ 22,293,325 246,560 486,525 362,170 367,604 222,177 586,166 94,154 787,310 84,706 2,465,205 1,523,667 1,052,209 782,020 584,526 4,739,590 4,101,030 508,924 4,612,772 4,676,961 2,856,785 464,025 1,245,124 545,353 6,516,781 528,063 3,110,600 4,808,887 5,826,799 424,053 90,230 534,795 1,407,207 215,120 870,687 1,245,291 258,295 1,625,635 158,386 1,320,663 514,145 773,042 225,080 2,342,794 535,473 203,820 591,615 998,338 6,802,694 2,911,024 1,956,404 706,055 5,633,547 879,532 192,077 2,706,202 2,478,678 7,771,671 1,537,774 2,431,069 935,474 3,773,225 1,024,787 446,735 3,440,477 102,034 495,000 592,900 112,790 366,766 1,905,981 1,708,327 427,424 431,412 3,256,785 2,331,609 293,110 4,942,200 $27,191,656 11,236,478 $80,211,873 20,150,279 $100,143,122 -0 - D E B IT S TO I N D IV ID U A L AC O U N T S (000 omitted) 3 Months March March 3 Months 1951 1952 1951 1952 Dist. of Columbia $ 1,112,221 $ 1,129,079 $ 3,415,375 $ 3,184,196 Washington Maryland 3,730,837 3,675,766 1,284,555 1,314,835 Baltimore 74,032 23,709 74,761 Cumberland 24,576 58,825 22,634 21,537 66,879 Frederick 95,920 34,541 104,710 Hagerstown 36,865 North Carolina 180,102 63,694 188,518 Asheville 61,279 1,044,528 1,057,058 Charlotte 355,687 365,725 294,631 103,394 91.987 308,956 Durham 306,886 323,355 109,328 108,086 Greensboro 49,630 58,117 16,621 19,063 Kinston 493,326 206,977 531,071 Raleigh 193,322 124,219 134,188 44,066 Wilmington 43,032 60,815 56,373 21,224 17,370 Wilson 499,978 502,453 184,930 Winston-Salem 176,262 South Carolina 229,374 221,569 76,364 72,367 Charleston 375,203 139,717 427,316 145,498 Columbia 313,363 344,996 103,757 118,613 Greenville 206,824 208,911 72,062 Spartanburg 66,341 Virginia Charlottesville Danville Lynchburg Newport News Norfolk Portsmouth Richmond Roanoke West Virginia Bluefield Charleston Clarksburg Huntington Parkersburg District Totals 28,807 32,978 46,328 50,549 254,714 29,412 581,207 122,427 27,156 37,117 53,446 45,696 230,737 26,871 573,854 122,400 82,463 106,005 137,037 144,524 726,688 84,634 1,695,380 349,462 79,200 105,538 143,353 122,114 635,139 75,355 1,636,424 335,143 53,287 162,150 33,294 78,047 31,752 $ 5,456,500 49,944 160,601 35,403 73,298 32,793 $ 5,499,086 161,035 515,049 119,733 223,034 91,187 $16,165,759 146,585 462,387 105,840 203,608 89,635 $ 15,433,854 D E P A R T M E N T ST O R E O P E R A T IO N S (Figures show percentage changes) Rich. Sales, Mar. ’52 vs. Mar. ’51 .. - - 4.1 Sales, 3 Mos. ’52 vs. 3 Mos. - 6.0 ’51 ____________________ Stocks, Mar. 31, ’52 vs. ’51 .. - -20.8 Outstanding orders, Mar. 31, ’52 vs. ’51 -20.5 Current receivables Mar. 1 collected in Mar. 1952 27.6 Instalment receivables Mar. 1 14.3 collected in Mar. 1952 _____ Md. Sales, Mar. ’ 52 vs. ’51 ..... — 7.5 Sales, 3 Mos. ’52 vs. ’51 .. — 6.3 Balt. Wash. Other District Cities Total ADDITION TO PAR LIST - - 7.3 --1 0 .5 — 7.3 — 7.9 - - 6.1 - - 8.1 -— 8.3 -— 2.8 — 5.5 — 5.6 — 6.6 — 7.0 newly chartered nonmember bank located in the - -23.4 -—19.3 — 11.4 — 19.9 territory served by the Richmond Head Office, has 46.4 43.0 36.6 39.4 agreed to remit at par, effective April 7, for checks 13.9 18.0 18.9 16.1 drawn on it when received from the Federal R e Va. W .V a. N.C. — 4.8 — 1.4 — 8.0 — 4.9 — 2.4 — 7.4 S.C. — 13.5 — 7.8 D.C. — 10.5 — 8.3 i 12 y The Bank of Annandale, Annandale, Virginia, a serve Bank. The combined A .B .A . transit numberrouting symbol of the bank is 685"^9‘