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MONTHLY REVIEW CREDIT, BUSINESS AND AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS WILLIAM W. HOXTON, C h a ir m a n a n d F e d e r a l R e s e r v e A g e n t FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND RICHMOND, VIRGINIA F EBRUARY witnessed no material change in the trend of business in the Fifth Federal reserve dis trict in comparison with other recent months. The month is usually a relatively poor period for trade, and this year was no exception. Seasonal developments were noted in most cases, and there were a few signs of better adjustment to existing conditions. At the reserve bank, rediscounts for member banks remained at about the same level between February 15 and March 15, and on the latter date were practically the same as on March 15, 1930. The circulation of Federal reserve notes de clined seasonally last month, but the volume of notes outstanding continued larger than a year ago. Out standing loans by reporting member banks declined moderately between the middle of February and the middle of March, and demand deposits dropped by about the same amount, but time deposits in member banks and savings deposits in Baltimore savings banks rose. Debits to individual accounts for four weeks ended March 11, 1931, totaled 3.3 per cent less than debits in the preceding four weeks, ended February 11, 1931, and 11.8 per cent less than in the four weeks ended March 12 last year. Business failures in the Fifth district in February this year showed a seasonal decline in comparison with January, but were more nu merous than for any other February since 1922. How ever, liabilities involved in last month’s failures were lower than those for all other Februarys, except 1929 and 1926, since 1920. Labor conditions showed no material change during February. Bituminous coal production in February was less than in either January this year or February 1930, the latter comparison re flecting decreased demand this year from industrial con sumers. The situation in textiles improved somewhat, sales of cotton goods having been reported as exceeding production, and the danger of overproduction has been greatly lessened by the abandonment of night work in most Southern mills. Cotton consumption in the Fifth district in February was less than consumption in Janu ary this year or February 1930 in total bales, but on a daily basis the February record was better than that of January. Retail trade in department stores last month averaged about 5 per cent less than the volume of business done in February 1930, but a considerable MARCH 31, 1931 part of the decrease was due to price declines during the year. Wholesale trade also compared unfavorably with February 1930 trade in most lines, but again price changes played an important part in the decline. Build ing permits issued in February in most of the leading cities of the district were fewer in number and lower in estimated valuation than in the corresponding month last year, but a large volume of work provided for in Washington brought the total valuation figure for Feb ruary 1931 in the thirty-two reporting cities consider ably above the February 1930 total. Tobacco markets closed in February and March after selling a total crop above that of last year, but this year’s prices were very low and the quality of tobacco sold also compared un favorably with the average quality in most years. W in ter crops in the Fifth district are probably not up to last year’s average condition, due to a lack of sufficient moisture in the soil this season, and farmers are on the whole in a much weaker financial position to under take 1931 farming operations. Poor yields and low prices for most agricultural products last fall resulted in making 1930 one of the worst years on record for agricultural interests in the Fifth district. Reserve Bank Statement ITEMS 000 omitted Mar. 15, Feb. 15, Mar. 15, 1931 1931 1930 Rediscounts h e ld ----------------- $17,611 1,462 Open market pap er_________ 17,122 Government Securities ______ Total earning assets----------- 36,195 Circulation of Fed. Res. notes.... 81,757 Members* reserve deposits------ 61,141 Cash reserves -------------------- 114,267 79.75 Reserve ratio ______________ $17,743 2,418 17,261 37,422 84,343 59,200 113,072 77.22 $17,289 12,918 17,322 47,529 77,297 65,932 105,262 72.96 Rediscounts for member banks held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond declined by $132,000 be tween February 15 and March 15, both this year, a change of no importance in amount but interesting be cause at this season of the year rediscounts usually increase somewhat as a result of increased needs for credit to finance early preparations for crop planting. The reserve bank reduced it’s holdings of open market 2 MONTHLY REVIEW paper by $956,000 and it’s holdings of Government securities by $139,000 last month. The reductions in rediscounts, open market paper holdings, and Govern ment securities totaled $1,227,000, by which amount the Bank’s total earning assets declined between the middle of February and the middle of March. The month under review witnessed a seasonal reduction of $2,586,000 in the circulation of Federal reserve notes, a somewhat smaller reduction than occurs in most years at the corresponding time. Member banks in creased their reserve deposits at the reserve bank by $1,941,000 last month, an unseasonal development. The several changes enumerated, with others of less im portance, raised the cash reserves of the Federal Re serve Bank of Richmond by $1,195,000 between Feb ruary 15 and March 15, and brought the ratio of reserves to note and deposit liabilities combined up 2.53 points. The figures in the statement for March 15, 1931, in comparison with the March 15, 1930, figures, show an increase of $322,000 in rediscounts this year, but the Bank’s holding of open market paper on the 1931 date was $11,456,000 less than a year ago and Govern ment securities owned dropped $200,000 during the year. These changes resulted in an aggregate decline of $11,334,000 in total earning assets as of the 1931 date. Member bank reserve deposits declined by $4,791,000 between March 15, 1930, and March 15, 1931, lower deposits in member banks requiring lower reserves. On the other hand, the circulation of Fed eral reserve notes was $4,460,000 higher in amount this year than a year ago, and the total cash reserves rose by $9,005,000 during the year. The ratio of reserves to note and deposit liabilities combined rose 6.79 points between the middle of March last year and this. Member Bank Statement ITEMS 000 omitted Mar. 11, Feb. 11, Mar. 12, 1931 1931 1930 Loans on stocks and bonds (in cluding Governments) ___ ....... All other loans -----------------Total Loans and discounts.... Investments in stocks & bonds.. Reserve bal. with F. R. Bank.... Cash in vaults--------------------Demand deposits----------------Time deposits______________ Borrowed from F. R. Bank---- $164,935 $166,604 $195,870 269,015 270,129 300,992 433,950 436,733 496,862 181,735 183,600 151,534 38,596 40,319 39,870 15,732 16,689 11,168 329,004 333,269 353,101 250,023 246,342 240,171 5.704 5.226 5,763 The figures in the above table show the principal items of condition as of three dates for fifty-three member banks in thirteen of the leading cities of the Fifth Federal reserve district. It should be under stood that the figures shown reflect the condition of the reporting banks on the report dates only, and are not necessarly the highest or lowest figures that oc curred during the periods under review. During the month between February 11 and March 11, this year, the fifty-three reporting banks reduced their total loans and discounts by $2,783,000, loans on stocks and bonds declining $1,669,000 and all other loans decreasing $1,114,000. Investments in bonds and securities were reduced $1,865,000 during the month, and the reporting banks also decreased their reserve balances at the reserve bank by $1,723,000. Demand deposits declined $4,265,000 between the mid dle of February and the middle of March, but time deposits rose by $3,681,000 during the same period. The fifty-three banks increased their borrowing at the reserve bank by $537,000 during the month. The figures reported for March 11, 1931, show ma terial changes in comparison with the figures reported for March 12, 1930. Total loans and discounts de clined $62,912,000 during the year, the decrease being about equally divided between loans on stocks and bonds and all other loans. With part of the funds released by the reduction in loans the reporting banks increased their investments in bonds and stocks by $30,201,000 during the past year. Deposits declined a total of $14,245,TOO between March 12 last year and March 11 this year, demand deposits decreasing $24,097,000 while time deposits rose $9,852,000. Lower aggregate deposits enabled the reporting institutions to reduce their reserve balances by $1,274,000 this year. There was practically no change in the borrowing by the fifty-three reporting banks at the reserve bank during the year under review, the amount borrowed on March 11, 1931, being only $59,000 more than the amount borrowed on March 12, 1930. Debits to Individual Accounts CITIES Asheville, N. C.---Baltimore, Md......... Charleston, S. C.---Charleston, W. Va... Charlotte, N. C----Columbia, S. C.---Cumberland, Md. ... Danville, Va............ Durham, N. C.-------Greensboro, N. C.---Greenville, S. C-----Hagerstown, Md.---Huntington, W. Va..... Lynchburg, Va.------Newport News, Va..... Norfolk, Va________ Portsmouth, Va_____ Raleigh, N. C.______ Richmond, Va__ Roanoke, Va__ Spartanburg, S. C___ Washington, D. C.___ Wilmington, N. C.___ Winston-Salem, N. C... Totals---------- 000 omitted Total debits, four weeks ended Mar. 11, Feb. 11, Mar. 12, 1931 1931 1930 10,141 348,858 17,857 33,620 37,197 21,258 6,961 6,335 20,634 16,174 15,536 7,516 14,210 15,205 10,247 43,611 4,168 16,712 105,465 23,347 8,475 214,142 10,285 29,514 $1,037,468 $ 11,109 355,670 16,300 38,892 36,636 19,459 6,963 6,151 23,355 16,195 15,028 7,398 16,814 16,311 10,429 45,172 4,063 20,158 122,768 26,711 7,927 209,932 10,738 28,575 $1,072,754 $ 22,102 384,451 20,715 37,345 45,876 20,709 8,735 7,630 25,622 20,364 20,381 8,929 20,172 21,420 10,256 56,077 4,869 16,383 118,328 30,558 12,452 217,768 13,196 32,253 $1,176,591 Aggregate payments by check drawn on clearing house banks in twenty-four cities of the Fifth Federal reserve district are shown in the accompanying table for three equal periods of four weeks, thus affording opportunity for comparison of the latest figures, for the four weeks ended March 11, 1931, with those for MONTHLY REVIEW the preceding like period this year and the correspond ing period a year ago. Debits during the four weeks ended March 11, 1931, were $35,286,000, or 3.3 per cent, less than aggregate debits during the four preceding weeks, ended February 11 this year. Fourteen cities reported lower figures for the later four weeks, while ten cities reported higher figures. Among the larger centers, Baltimore, Charles ton, W. Va., Huntington, Norfolk and Richmond re ported smaller figures, while Charlotte, Washington and Winston-Salem reported higher figures. In com parison with debits reported for four weeks ended March 12, 1930, those for the corresponding period this year show a decline of $139,123,000, or 11.8 per cent. Only two cities reported higher figures for the 1931 period, these being Columbia, S. C., and Raleigh, N. C., in both of which State government transactions this year brought the figures slightly above the 1930 figures. Newport News, Va., reported the smallest de crease among the other twenty-two, only 9/100ths of 1 per cent. Lower price levels prevailing this year un doubtedly account for a considerable part of the de cline in 1931 debits in comparison with those of 1930. Savings Deposits Aggregate deposits in twelve mutual savings banks in Baltimore at the end of February 1931 totaled $202,179,485, compared with $200,969,642 on January 31, 1931, and $191,063,540 on February 28, 1930. Time deposits in fifty-three regularly reporting member banks in the Fifth district also rose last month, total ing $250,023,000 on March 11 in comparison with $246,342,000 on February 11 this year and $240,171,000 on March 12, 1930. Commercial Failures Business failures in the Fifth reserve district in February numbered 160, with liabilities amounting to $2,381,789. These figures show a seasonal decrease in comparison with 203 failures and liabilities totaling $4,339,019 reported for January this year, and com pare with 145 failures and liabilities amounting to $2,417,925 in February 1930. Although the number of insolvencies in the Fifth district in February was the largest for any February since 1922, liabilities last month were lower than in February in any other year except 1929 and 1926 since 1920. Failures in the dis trict increased in February 1931 by 10.3 per cent over failures in February 1930, but the National increase was 13.3 per cent. In aggregate liabilities involved, February this year showed a decline of 1.5 per cent for the Fifth district in comparison with liabilities re ported in February last year, but the National total showed an increase of 16.1 per cent. Employment There were no changes of importance in employ ment conditions in the Fifth district in February and early March, but there does not appear to have been any increase in the number of idle workers, which is perhaps a slightly favorable sign. Unemployment in creased steadily in most of the district through the fall and early winter months, but relief measures which 3 began to operate near the end of 1930 checked the growth in the list of people unable to find work, and perhaps reduced the number of idle persons to some extent. With the approach of milder weather, and some signs here and there of greater industrial activity, prospects for employment during the next few months appear better than in other recent months. Coal Production Bituminous coal production in the United States totaled approximately 31,408,000 net tons in February 1931, a smaller output than 38,542,000 tons mined in January this year or 39,555,000 tons in February 1930. Total production during the present coal year to March 7 (approximately 287 working days) amounts to 414,158.000 net tons, a smaller figure than for any other of the past five years. In its March 7 report, the Bureau of Mines, Depart ment of Commerce, gave production figures by states for January 1931. West Virginia mined 9,262,000 tons during that month, ranking second to 9,735,000 tons mined by Pennsylvania, and comparing with 12,163.000 tons produced in West Virginia in February 1930. Tidewater shipments of coal through Hampton Roads in February totaled 1,626,980 net tons, and shipments this year since January 1 totaled 3,528,031 tons. Total shipments through all Fifth district ports this calendar year to February 28 totaled 4,004,640 net tons, approximately 65 per cent of 6,110,251 tons shipped through all ports. Textiles Textile mills in the Fifth reserve district increased operating time slightly during February, cotton con sumption for the month on a daily basis exceeding that of January. Fifth district mills consumed 197,333 bales of cotton in February 1931, of which North Carolina mills used 103,144 bales, South Carolina mills 84,956 bales, and Virginia mills 9,233 bales. February consumption figures for the district compare with 207,320 bales used in January this year and 216,798 bales used in February 1930. Consumption in the district was 45.52 per cent of National consumption in February 1931, a slightly lower figure than 45.65 per cent in January this year, but higher than 43.85 per cent in February 1930. For the second successive month, sales of cotton textiles appear to have exceeded production during February. Since the first of this year a large majority of textile mills, including some thing like /5 to 80 per cent of Fifth district mills, have abandoned night work in an effort to stabilize opera tions without overproduction. The movement began as an elimination of night work for women and minors, but was broadened to include all workers in the textile industry. Cotton Statistics Spot cotton prices on ten leading Southern markets continued to advance during the last half of February, but turned downward again in March and at the mid dle of the month averaged lower than the price a month earlier. In our Review last month we quoted 4 MONTHLY REVIEW the average price for upland short staple cotton, mid dling basis, as 10.14 cents per pound on February 13. On February 20 the average price was 10.20 cents, and on February 27 reached 10.40 cents. The first week of March witnessed a slight decline to 10.35 cents on March 6, and between March 6 and 13 the price dropped to 9.97 cents. On March 14, 1930, the average price on the same ten markets was 14.45 cents per pound. Carolina grew larger crops of cotton in 1930 than in 1929, but Virginia grew a smaller crop, due to the severe drought last summer. The district total pro duction of 1,817,119 bales in 1930 showed an increase of 192,329 bales over the 1929 yield of 1,624,790 bales, but the price was so much lower last fall than in 1929 that the growers did not realize nearly as much for the larger crop as for the one of the previous year, which in turn had witnessed relatively low prices. Cotton consumption in the United States in Febru ary 1931 totaled 433,510 bales, compared with 454,188 bales used in January this year and 494,396 bales in February 1930. Total consumption for the seven months of the present cotton season—August 1 to Feb ruary 28—amounted to 2,899,942 bales, compared with 3,808,741 bales consumed in the corresponding period ended February 28, 1930. Manufacturing establish ments held 1,547,759 bales on February 28, compared with 1,613,475 bales held on January 31 this year and 1,806,040 bales on February 28, 1930. Public ware houses and compresses held 7,314,450 bales in storage at the end of February this year, compared with 7,939,454 bales so held a month earlier and 4,858,243 bales on February 28 last year. February exports totaled 432,996 bales, compared with 532,821 bales sent abroad in January this year and 402,074 bales ex ported in February last year. Exports during the seven months of this cotton year totaled 4,904,323 bales, compared with 5,293,086 bales shipped over seas during the corresponding seven months ended Febru ary 28, 1930. Spindles active in February numbered 25,763,408, compared with 25,611,458 in January this year and 28,920,162 in February 1930. Tobacco Marketing Consumption of cotton in the cotton growing states numbered 341,216 bales in February 1931, compared with 359,879 bales used in January and 381,365 bales in February 1930. Last month's consumption in the cotton growing states amounted to 78.71 per cent of National consumption, compared with 77.14 per cent of National consumption used in the cotton growing states in February last year. Of the 341,216 bales of cotton consumed in cotton growing states in February, the Fifth district mills used 197,333 bales, or 57.83 per cent, compared with 56.74 per cent of Southern consumption attained in the district in February last year. Virginia tobacco markets practically wound up the season's sales in February, only a few markets re maining open in March. Sales in February 1931 totaled 18,951,138 pounds of producers' tobacco, for an average price of $5.15 per hundred pounds, com pared with 13,685,725 pounds sold for an average of $13.72 per hundred pounds in February 1930. Total sales for the 1930-1931 season to February 28 amount ed to 129,193,398 pounds, and the average price for the season was $8.71 per hundred, while in 1929-1930 sales prior to March totaled 126,334,955 pounds and the average season price was $17.55 per hundred pounds. The increased sales on Virginia markets this season in comparison with sales in the 1929-1930 sea son were due to an increase in the amount of North Carolina grown tobacco sold on Virginia auction floors. Season sales of flue-cured tobacco in Virginia totaled 95,111,680 pounds, which sold for an average of $8.01 per hundred; season sales of fire-cured tobacco totaled 22,213,797 pounds and the average price was $8.51 per hundred; burley tobacco sold this season totaled 8,949,672 pounds and the price was $17.05 per hundred; and sun-cured sales to February 28 totaled 2,918,249 pounds, for an average price of $7.87 per hundred. Sales of flue-cured and burley tobacco exceeded sales of the previous year, but fire-cured and sun-cured sales were less this year. Average prices for all types were about half the averages for the 1929-1930 season, the 1930-1931 burley prices declining less than the price for other types. Among the individual markets, Dan ville led in season sales with 43,202,217 pounds, South Boston ranking second with 20,197,325 pounds. Lynch burg led the fire-cured markets with sales totaling 6,161,721 pounds, Blackstone ranking second with 5,343,461 pounds. All burley tobacco was sold at Abing don and all sun-cured tobacco at Richmond. The final ginning report on the 1930 cotton crop was issued by the Census Bureau on March 20, and showed the year's production to be 13,753,883 running bales, the equivalent of 13,929,941 bales of 500 pounds gross weight. The final ginning figure was 2.2 per cent below the final crop estimate of the Department of Agriculture made in December. In the Fifth dis trict, all of the cotton growing states showed lower ginning figures than the estimates of probable produc tion. North Carolina ginned 774,537 equivalent 500 pound bales, compared with a forecast of 795,000 bales for the year, South Carolina ginnings totaled 1,000,629 bales, compared with a forecast of 1,040,000 bales, and Virginia ginnings totaled 41,953 bales against a forecast of 42,000 bales. North and South North Carolina auction markets sold 19,614,029 pounds of tobacco for growers during February this year, for an average of $6.62 per hundred pounds. Season sales total approximately 561,000,000 pounds, and the average price was $12.90, compared with 481,456,651 pounds sold during the 1929-1930 season for an average of $17.40 per hundred pounds. North Carolina markets closed during February. Wilson led in season sales this year with 77,788,672 pounds, Greenville ranking second with 62,352,988 pounds. Asheville, a new market this season, sold 2,959,434 pounds of burley tobacco, all other North Carolina tobacco being flue-cured. MONTHLY REVIEW Tobacco Manufacturing Fifth district tobacco manufacturers made approxi mately 7,687,684,000 cigarettes in February 1931, com pared with 6,898,979,000 cigarettes made in February 1930. The district manufactures about 87 per cent of all cigarettes made in the United States, and also manu factures smoking tobacco and cigars to a large extent. The district pays approximately 77 per cent of all tobacco taxes paid to the Federal government. Total taxes on all types of tobacco manufactures in Febru ary amounted to $32,973,987, of which about $25,390,000 was paid by Fifth district states, compared with a total tax of $32,230,572 paid in February 1930, of which the Fifth district paid $22,266,432. Cigar and smoking tobacco production was less in February this year than in February 1930, but cigarette and snuff output increased this year. Agricultural Notes Little farm work is done in February and early March. The weather this year has been favorable for cleaning up fields, patching fences, and other work of like nature. Very little spring plowing has been done, the ground in many sections being too dry, and this lack of moisture, especially the absence of snow, has retarded growth of winter grain crops. Cold weather retarded development of pastures, but the cold has been helpful in retarding premature budding of fruit trees. At present the outlook for agriculture in 1931 in the Fifth district is very poor, due to inability of many farmers to finance this year’s activities, to lack of moisture in the ground to serve as a reserve for plant growth during the hot months of summer, and to a very weak price position of cotton and tobacco, the district’s leading cash crops. Construction Building permits issued. A detailed table of building permits issued in the leading cities of the Fifth reserve district in February 1931 in comparison with February 1930 appears elsewhere in this Review. On the whole the record for February this year compares unfavor ably with the February 1930 record, twenty-six of the thirty-two reporting cities showing lower valuation figures for the 1931 month. The total valuation figure for last month for the thirty-two cities was higher than last year, but the increase was due entirely to a large volume of work provided for in Washington. Balti more reported a moderate amount of work provided for, Richmond, Norfolk, and the other larger centers reported relatively small figures. High Point, N. C., in proportion to population, ranked next to Washing ton in February valuation. The six cities which re ported higher figures for February 1931 than for Feb ruary 1930 were Frederick and Salisbury, Maryland; Lynchburg, Virginia; High Point and Salisburg, North Carolina, and Washington, D. C., the last named city accounting for $5,159,315, or approximately 56 per cent, of the total of $9,260,332 reported by the thirtytwo cities. 5 Contracts awarded for construction work in the Fifth reserve district in February this year totaled $19,665,618, including both urban and rural construction, com pared with $28,707,070 in contracts awarded in Feb ruary 1930, according to figures collected by the F. W. Dodge Corporation. Of the February 1931 contracts, $8,127,853 was for residential structures, compared with $7,854,565 for residence work in February last year. Retail Trade, 37 Department Stores Richmond Baltimore Washington Other Cities District February 1931 sales, compared with sales in February 1930: —10.0 — 2.9 — 2.4 —15.8 — 5.1 Total sales in two months of 1931, compared with first two months of 1930: — 6.6 — 4.7 — .6 —13.4 — 4.4 Feb. 28, 1931 stocks, compared with stocks on Feb. 28, 1930: —16.5 —11.3 —13.0 —16.6 —13.3 Feb. 28, 1931 stocks, compared with stocks on Jan. 31, 1931: +10.5 -{- 5.1 -j- 7.2 -{- 4.6 -|- 6.3 Number of times stock was turned in February 1931: .262 .272 .293 .187 .266 Number of times stock was turned since January 1, 1931: .535 .547 .581 .368 .530 Percentage of Feb. 1, 1931, receivables collected in February: 31.1 24.0 30.7 26.3 27.1 Department store sales in the Fifth Federal reserve district in February 1931 averaged 5.1 per cent less than sales in February 1930, and were probably some what below seasonal volume in comparison with sales in January and other recent months. The decline in comparison with sales last year, however, is at least partly accounted for by generally lower prices this year. Thirty-seven stores located in eighteen cities reported on their February business, and among the individual cities from which three or more reports were received Washington made the best record with an average de cline of only 2.4 per cent. In total sales during the first two months of 1931, the 37 stores averaged a decrease of 4.4 per cent in comparison with sales in the first two months of 1930. Stocks in the reporting stores increased seasonally during February, rising by 6.3 per cent over those on hand at the end of January, but on February 28 this year averaged 13.3 per cent less than a year ago. Part of this decline was also due to price changes. The reporting stores turned their stock an average of .266 times during February, and between January 1 and February 28 stocks were turned .53 times, both of these averages exceeding those for the corresponding periods in 1930. The percentage of collections in February 1931 to total accounts receivable on February 1 was higher than the percentage for February 1930. Richmond reported the highest collection percentage, while Bal timore reported the lowest chiefly because of a relativly large volume of instalment accounts included in the Baltimore figures. 6 MONTHLY REVIEW W holesale Trade, 65 Firms___________________ 24 9 Groceries Dry Goods 6 Shoes 15 Hardware 11 Drugs February 1931 sales, compared with sales in February 1930: —20.8 —36.1 —10.2 —28.1 — 4.1 February 1931 sales, compared with sales in January 1931: — 8.7 — 4.9 +63.5 — 7.6 —14.9 Jan.-Feb. 1931 sales, compared with sales in Jan.-Feb. 1930: —20.1 —33.6 —19.9 —31.7 — 2.8 Feb. 28, 1931 stocks, compared with Feb. 28, 1930 stocks: —19.0(8*) —28.2(4*) —17.2(5*) — 7.3(8*) Feb. 28, 1931 stocks, compared with Jan. 31, 1931 stocks: — 6.7(8*) — 1.9(4*) + 4.1(5*) + .6(8*) Percentage of Feb. 1, 1931 receivables collected in February: 53.4(14*) 31.8(6*) 23.3(6*) 27.8(12*) 56.6(8*) — Decreased percentage. * Number of reporting firms. Wholesale trade in the Fifth district has not held up during the past year as well as retail trade, probably due in large part to changing methods of merchan dising. In February this year five lines of trade for which figures are available sold less than they sold in February 1930, the decreases in percentage ranging from 4.1 per cent in drugs to 36.1 per cent in dry goods. Total sales in the first two months of 1931 show the same marked decline, business in January having been about on a level with that of February in comparison with the earlier year. Shoe sales in Feb ruary showed a seasonal increase over January 1931 sales, but dry goods sales failed to show the usual February gain. Stocks of merchandise on the shelves of 25 report ing firms were lower on February 28, 1931, than on February 28, 1930, but shoe and hardware stocks in creased over those on hand at the end of January. Dry goods failed to show an increase in stocks last month, contrary to seasonal trend. Collections in February 1931 were slower in all lines reported upon than collections in January this year, and also compared unfavorably with collections in February last year in groceries, dry goods and hard ware. Shoe and drug collections were somewhat better last month than in February 1930. (Compiled March 21, 1931) MONTHLY REVIEW 7 BUILDING OPERATIONS FOR THE MONTHS OF FEBRUARY 1931 AND 1930. £ CITIES Permits Issued New Repairs 1931 1930 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 1931 1930 New Construction 1931 1930 1931 Baltimore, Md-------Cumberland, Md.---Frederick, Md-------Hagerstown, Md.---Salisbury, Md.------Danville, Va.---------Lynchburg, Va------Norfolk, Va..........— Petersburg, Va...... . Portsmouth, Va.-----Richmond, Va.------Roanoke, Va............. Bluefield, W. Va. Charleston, W. V a.... Clarksburg, W. Va...... Huntington, W.Va.__ Asheville, N.C........... Charlotte, N. C.____ Durham, N. C.------Greensboro, N. C ..... High Point, N. C....... Raleigh, N. C.-------Rocky Mount, N.C..... Salisbury, N. C.......... Wilmington, N. C.__ _ Winston-Salem, N. C___ Charleston, S. C.____ Columbia, S. C.------Greenville, S. C.____ Rock Hill, S. C. Spartanburg, S. C..... Washington, D. C__ 283 5 8 13 19 4 22 53 4 12 43 24 5 12 11 5 10 15 7 9 8 9 4 3 5 10 11 9 15 4 2 122 364 6 11 13 19 6 10 66 7 13 48 26 5 28 11 16 11 31 9 16 10 10 9 4 11 31 15 17 10 12 12 66 662 $ 2,402,880 $ 2,484,360 4,450 9 4,171 31,692 8 13,765 31,155 4 34,565 30,375 8 27,700 305 352 17 52,806 21 8,975 61,786 35 157,430 400 8 15,975 20 23,825 34,200 51 70,457 247,313 20 48,331 110,111 5 785 13,575 19,375 53,700 13 26,905 7 5,495 12,000 4 7,000 44 8,680 40,975 36 57,635 221,500 32,550 7 24,000 24,451 26 55,930 6 343,400 27,350 25,825 13 58,960 3,050 1 6,270 1 15,000 12,600 13,000 9 22.500 2,980 59 314,715 30,735 44 181.750 24 32,900 412,250 45,890 27 273.300 12,800 8 120,240 2,040 25 17,750 4,855,325 217 700,900 $ 354,600 825 43,181 350 3,475 2,150 8,300 44,170 700 6,430 0,833 59,951 2,350 1,583 9,375 890 20,355 10,891 3,039 7,766 21,400 9,375 750 0 3,800 14,505 15,865 6,705 7,025 3,210 3,665 303,990 Totals.................. 766 923 1,341 1,439 $ 8,288,828 $ 5,744,637 $ 971.504 591 5 15 2 10 7 22 40 2 14 65 17 5 8 7 3 17 34 6 33 5 11 2 0 7 37 25 34 22 8 13 274 fc 1930 Increase or Decrease of Total Valuation 297,760 2,743 2,545 5,425 1,650 12,014 39,437 16,525 11,665 16,241 85,734 17,109 6,395 19,100 6,525 3,000 14,895 19,924 5,800 14,887 26,700 7,000 600 75 3,400 20,475 16,730 19,185 21,547 940 4,374 156,270 $— 24,640 — 1,639 58,563 — 8,485 4,500 — 9,911 12,694 — 67,999 — 26,540 — 20,186 — 211,757 — 68,938 — 16,835 — 51,842 — 18,560 — 7,110 — 26,835 — 172,898 — 11,311 — 38,600 310,750 — 30,760 — 3,070 2,325 — 9,100 — 317,705 — 151,880 — 391,830 — 241,932 — 105,170 — 16,419 4,302,145 T 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Alterations o $ 876,670 $ 2,639,025 — Denotes decrease. NOTE—The figures in the above table reflect the amount of work provided for in the corporation limits of the sev eral cities, but take no account of suburban developments. MONTHLY REVIEW 8 BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES (Compiled by the Federal Reserve Board) Distribution. Output of most of the important industries increased more than seasonally in February; and although fac tory employment advanced at a less rapid rate, the vol ume of wage payments at factories also rose by more than the usual seasonal amount. The general level of commodity prices continued to decline. Daily average freight car loadings showed little change from January to February, while ordinarily there is an increase at this season. Sales by department stores increased slightly. Production. W holesale Prices. Industrial production, as measured by the Board's index, which is adjusted to allow for seasonal varia tion, increased by 4 per cent in February from the low level prevailing in December and January. On the basis of the average for 1923-1925 as iOO the volume of production in February was 85, compared with 82 for the two preceding months, and 107 for February of last year. At steel mills activity increased consid erably, and the output of automobiles advanced by somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount. Out put of shoe factories and textile mills increased sub stantially, while the output of coal continued to de cline. During the first half of March activity at steel mills continued to increase. Wholesale commodity prices declined further in Feb ruary, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics index, at 75.5 per cent of the 1926 average, was about 18 per cent below the level of a year ago. Prices of many agricultural products decreased considerably, while the price of cotton advanced further. In the first half of March there were considerable increases in prices of silver, livestock, meats, and hides, and declines in the prices of petroleum and cotton. Value of building contracts awarded in February was slightly larger than in January, according to the F. W. Dodge Corporation. An increase in residential building was accompanied by a decrease in contracts for public works and utilities, while awards for fac tories and commercial buildings continued in small volume. In the first half of March there was an in crease in the daily average of contracts awarded, as is usual at this season. Factory Employment and Pay Rolls. Factory employment increased slightly less than usual in February, while factory pay rolls increased by more than the seasonal amount from the low level of Janu ary. In many industries the rate of increase in pay rolls was about the same as in February of other recent years, but in the automobile, shoe, woolen goods, and clothing industries, the rate of increase was larger than usual. Bank Credit. Loans and investments of member banks in leading cities changed relatively little between the end of Janu ary and the middle of March. Total loans on securi ties declined, notwithstanding the growth in brokers’ loans in New York City, and all other loans showed considerable further liquidation, while the banks’ in vestments continued to increase. Volume of reserve bank credit tended downward in February and showed little change between March 4 and March 18. Funds arising from gold imports in February were largely absorbed in meeting a seasonal demand for currency, while in the early part of March there was an increase in member bank reserve balances. Money rates in the open market continued at low levels from the middle of February to the middle of March. Rates on commercial paper were reduced from a range of 2}^-2j4 to a prevailing level of 2j4 per cent, while rates on 90-day bankers’ acceptances remained at 1J4 per cent. Yields on high grade bonds continued to decline.