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101st Congress, 2d Session

Economic Indicators
SEPTEMBER 1990
(Includes data available as of September 27, 1990)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

OCT 1 8 1990
FEDERAL RESERVE
BANK OF CHICAGO-

UNITED STATES

GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1990

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81ST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the second quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 5.1
percent (annual rate) or $67.9 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 0.4 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 4.7 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600
—

SEASONAUY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATCS

^

~

5,200

5,200
^

GNP
IN CURRENT DOLLARS

4,800

-

^s^

4,800
^

-

4,400

4,400
-

4,000
""

-

—^
^

4,000

.*•*

-

""\
GNP
IN 1982 DOL ARS

3,600

3,600

f+**

^r

-

X

^

3,200

^^i

^*"*

3,200
-

-

2,800

2,400

2,800

\

\

1982

\

\ \ \

\

\

\

1

1984

1983

1

1

\

1985

1

1 1
1986

1 1
1987

1

1

1

1

1988

1

1

1989

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

2,400

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Government purchases of
goods and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,515.6
4,873.7
5,200.8

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,009.4
3,238.2
3,450.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.5
747.1
771.2

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
589
-78.0
974
-114.7
74 1
-46.1

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
449.6
552.0
626.2

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
564.3
626.1
672.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
921.4
962.5
1,025.6

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.3
380.3
400.0

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.6
297.2
301. 1

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.7
83.1
98.9

Gross
national
product

Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
540.2
582.3
625.6

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,487.3
4,847.5
5,172.5

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,630.3
4,947.8
5,246.9

State
and
local

1982:
1983:
19841985:
19861987:
1988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3
4,647.6
5,009.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,079.1
3,332.6

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
741.4
747.5

14.1
-25.8
67 9
-103.2
-108.9
-115.0
-70.3

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4
485.8
583.1

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3
600.7
653.5

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9
942.0
1,000.0

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.2
401.1

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7
296.0
299.6

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1
92.2
101.6

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1
553.9
598.9

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4
4,591.9
4,993.6

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2
4,762.6
5,080.1

1989:

n
m

I.

5,101.3
5,174.0
5,238.6
5,289.3

3,371.7
3,425.9
3,484.3
3,518.5

769.7
776.7
775.8
762.7

-48.5
51 3
-49.3
-35.3

609.7
628.8
623.7
642.8

658.2
680.0
673.0
678.1

1,008.5
1,022.7
1,027.8
1,043.3

398.3
402.5
399.2
399.9

298.2
300.6
306.3
299.2

100.1
101.9
93.0
100.7

610.2
620.2
628.6
643.4

5,074.7
5,141.3
5,209.7
5,264.3

5,149.8
5,225.3
5,287.9
5,324.6

5,375.4
5,443.3

3,588.1
3,622.7

747.2
759.0

-30.0
249

661.3
659.7

691.3
684.6

1,070.1
1,086.4

410.6
421.9

307.2
309.6

103.4
112.3

659.6
664.6

5,387.2
5,429.9

5,405.3
5,468.2

IV

1990: I. r

n

1

GNP Jess exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
Pillions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment
Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Total

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services
Change
in
business
inventories

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

1980
1981
1982 . .
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 .
1988
1989

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,845.3
4,016.9
4,117.7

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,515.8
2,606.5
2,656.8

509.3
545.5
447.3
504.0
658.4
637.0
639.6
669.0
705.7
716.9

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
449.8
487.2
506.1

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
196.4
194.9
187.0

57.0
-6.9
23.9
49.4
-24.5
26.3
-6.4 -19.9
62.3 -84.0
9.1 -104.3
5.6
129.7
22.8 -118.5
23.6 -75.9
23.8 -54.1

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
451.8
534.7
593.3

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
570.3
610.6
647.4

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
779.1
780.5
798.1

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.1
334.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.1
260.7
256.3

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.5
67.5
78.7

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
439.5
452.4
463.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,822.5
3,993.2
4,094.0

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,963.8
4,092.8
4,171.8

198219831984198519861987'
1988'
1989-

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6
3,920.7
4,059.3

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8
2,534.2
2,638.8

408.8
577.2
655.7
648.0
615.2
706.6
696.2

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7
462.3
486.6

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3
195.8
195.6

-59.3
11.7
462
27.0
41.7 -94.8
7.7 -125.3
-20.8 -135.4
48.4
111 3
14.0
757

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5
487.0
555.3

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9
598.3
631.0

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0
791.3
799.9

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4
347.7
342.3

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8
266.0
261.1

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6
81.7
81.2

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6
443.6
457.5

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4
3,872.3
4,045.2

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0
4,032.0
4,134.9

4,095.7
4,112.2
4,129.7
4,133.2

2,636.7
2,645.3
2,675.3
2,669.9

717.0
719.1
722.3
709.1

497.1
505.5
513.3
508.4

193.8
188.1
184.4
181.8

26.1
25.5
24.6
18.9

-51.1
53 3
-64.1
47 9

576.1
593.2
592.5
611.6

627.3
646.5
656.6
659.4

793.2
801.0
796.2
802.2

334.2
339.9
333.0
332.7

253.7
255.7
260.2
255.5

80.4
84.2
72.8
77.2

459.0
461.1
463.2
469.5

4,069.6
4,086.6
4,105.1
4,114.4

4,146.8
4,165.4
4,193.9
4,181.1

4,150.6
4,155.1

2,677.3
2,678.8

700.7
700.7

514.6
508.4

188.3
182.8

-2.2
9.5

-35.4
446

628.1
620.1

663.5
664.7

807.9
820.2

333.0
345.9

254.4
256.5

78.6
89.4

475.0
474.3

4,152.8
4,145.6

4,185.9
4,199.7

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

n

in
IV

1990- I r

n

1

GNF less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Gross private
domestic investment

Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982198319841985198619871988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1989- I

n
m. ...
IV

1990- I r

n

Gross
national
product

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3
126.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.6
124.2
129.9

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.2
109.4
110.9

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.2
116.6
122.8

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
128.7
134.5
141.0

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
98.9
100.2
101.2

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
115.2
119.3
123.5

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.2
105.5

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.5
103.8

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.3
115.9
119.4

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0
117.5

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.3
123.2
125.8

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
122.9
128.7
135.1

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1
118.5
123.4

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8
121.5
126.3

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2
108.9
110.3

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
113.9
118.6

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9
130.9
137.0

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0
99.0
101.8

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
116.5
120.6

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0
99.7
105.0

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4
100.4
103.6

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
111.7
117.2

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7
111.3
114.7

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7
112.8
125.1

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0
124.9
130.9

124.6
125.8
126.8
128.0

127.9
129.5
130.2
131.8

110.4
110.6
111.2
111.4

120.5
123.2
123.2
124.5

138.8
140.1
1*1.6
143.4

101.9
101.2
100.9
100.7

122.1
123.7
124.2
124.3

105.8
106.0
105.3
105.1

104.9
105.2
102.5
102.8

119.2
118.4
119.9
120.2

117.5
117.6
117.7
117.1

124.4
121.0
127.8
130.4

132.9
134.5
135.7
137.1

129.5
131.0

134.0
135.2

112.5
112.1

128.3
129.4

145.1
146.6

101.6
101.6

125.3
125.3

105.3
106.4

104.2
103.0

123.3
122.0

120.8
120.7

131.5
125.6

138.9
140.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

-0.2
1.8
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.4
4.5
2.5
5.2
4.2
4.1
6.6
5.1
3.6
2.7
2.7
3.6
1.6
1.7
.3
1.7
.4

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.7
7.9
6.7
9.1
7.5
7.4
8.7
7.8
8.3
7.4
7.7
7.5
5.8
5.1
3.9
6.7
5.1

1980
1981

1982
1983
..
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1987- I

n
m
iv

1988- I

n
m
rv

1989- I

n
m
rv

1990- I r

n

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
4.1
3.5
3.1
3.5
1.7
2.7
4.4
4.7
4.7
3.9
3.9
3.2
3.8
4.8
4.7

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.3
3.7
4.3
4.3
3.1
3.3
3.1
3.3
4.2
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.4
3.1
3.7
6.1
4.1

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.6
6.5
7.3
9.6
8.9
3.7
9.2
7.4
8.2
8.1
4.8
6.6
7.0
4.0
8.2
3.9

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.5
4.2
4.5
4.4
3.5
3.5
3.7
3.9
4.7
5.5
4.4
4.9
4.6
3.1
3.8
6.6
3.9

0.2

1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.6
1.9
.7
4.5
4.3
— .4
6.9
2.7
3.5
3.5
-.3
1.3
4.6
-.8
1.1
.2

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.6
3.8
4.6
6.4
4.8
4.4
4.1
2.3
4.3
4.6
4.6
5.2
5.1
2.2
5.0
6.8
3.6

10.9

9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.6
4.0
4.7
6.2
4.9
4.3
4.0
2.5
4.7
4.8
4.8
5.0
5.3
2.6
4.9
6.8
3.4

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.6
4.1
4.8
6.3
5.1
4.3
4.3
2.6
4.8
5.1
4.9
5.0
5.7
2.7
4.7
7.4
3.1

Souree: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quar-

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period
Current
dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
198219831984:
19851986198719881989:

19901

.

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

n
HI
rv
I.

nr

..

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,524.8
2,720.7
2,854.5
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.4
2,408.7
2,597.4
2,797.3
2,812.8
2,847.5
2,879.1
2,878.5
2,907.5
2,960.0

1982
dollars

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,290.2
2,403.7
2,431.2
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,339.4
2,428.6
2,427.8
2,431.3
2,443.9
2,421.8
2,423.1
2,440.1

Total
cost
and
profit 2

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.102
1.132
1.174
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.110
1.152
1.159
1.171
1.178
1.189
1.200
1.213

ances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Indirect
business
taxes 3

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.124
.131
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.122
.126
.127
.129
.132
.135
.135
.135

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.105
.107
.112
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.105
.108
.110
.111
.113
.114
.117
.116

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

lars.
2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Capital
consumption

3
4

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.726
.750
.782
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.734
.763
.774
.780
.782
.795
.803
.812

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.041
.041
.050
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.040
.042
.046
.049
.051
.052
.052
.033

Total

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.107
.111
.099
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.109
.112
.102
.102
.100
.092
.093
.097

Profits
tax
liability

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.043
.042
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.042
.043
.044
.042
.041
.040
.039
.040

Profits
after
tax 4

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.067
.068
.057
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.067
.069
.058
.060
.059
.052
.053
.057

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
at all
employees
(dollars)

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.968
21.203
20.929
18.771
19.422
19.784
20.117
20.650
21.118
21.173
21.042
20.970
21.011
20.786
20.670

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.231
15.892
16.376
12.866
13.208
13.735
14.341
15.008
15.492
16.158
16.288
16.347
16.421
16.517
16.602

Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

National
income

Period

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

Nonfarm

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,660.3
3,984.9
4,223.3

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2.367.5
2,511.4
2,686.4
2,905.1
3,079.0

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
42.8
43.7
48.6

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
280.6
310.5
330.7

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.7
16.3
8.2

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
308.3
337.6
311.6

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
255.9
289.8
286.1

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
275.3
316.7
307.7

104
-10.9
58
-1.7
6.7
-19.4
-27.0
-21.7

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
52.4
47.8
25.5

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
328.6
371.8
445.1

2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,473.1
3,791.5
4,104.1

1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,770.3
2,986.7

28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
52.3
35.5

159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
293.0
321.5

15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
14.6
16.8

146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
323.1
349.6

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
268.6
308.7

164.1
231,5
226.1
235.0
234.1
289.7
331.1

134
-8.1
16
-6.6
80
-21.1
225

-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
54.5
40.9

266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
338.2
394.1

1989- I

n
in
rv

4,177.3
4,216.8
4,232.1
4,267.1

3,029.7
3,062.6
3,095.2
3,128.6

59.6
50.5
38.7
45.7

328.2
329.1
329.5
336.0

13.3
9.7
5.8
4.1

327.3
321.4
306.7
290.9

292.1
291.5
285.3
275.3

335.1
314.6
291.4
289.8

-43.0
23 1
-6.1
145

35.2
29.9
21.4
15.6

419.2
USA
456.2
461.7

1990- I r

4,350.3
4,411.3

3,180.4
3,232.5

57.4
51.0

346.6
350.8

5.5
4.3

296.8
306.6

285.5
298.8

296.9
299.3

-11.4
-.5

11.3
7.7

463.6
466.2

1982
1983
1984
1985.
1986
1987...
1988
1989
1982198319841985198619871988-

.

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

n

1

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Durable goods
Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 ... .
1988
1989
1982198319841985198619871988-

...

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV.

1989- I...

n
m
rv

1990- I r

n

...

.. .

Motor
Total
durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)
Domestics

Imports

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,009.4
3,238.2
3,450.1

252.7
289.1
335.5
312.2
406.0
423.4
457.5
474.6

108.9
130.4
157.4
119.1
196.2
197.9
212.2
215.5

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
148.8
161.8
171.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.7
83.5
87.8

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
1,001.3
1,060.0
1,130.0

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
530.7
562.6
595.3

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
178.4
191.1
204.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.3
77.3
83.8

158.7 1,027.0
169.5 1,128.7
182.1 1,227.6
192.6 1,345.6
201.7 1,449.5
216.9 1,584.7
229.1 1,720.7
246.3 1,845.5

5.8
6.8
8.0
3.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
7.1

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,079.1
3,332.6

263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
427.4
473.1

115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
198.9
217.8

99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.1
166.8

49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
77.4
88.5

786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,019.9
1,088.0

407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
539.0
577.1

126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
182.2
198.6

89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
77.3
78.5

163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
221.5
233.9

1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,631.8
1,771.5

6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
6.6
7.5

2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3
3.0

3,371.7
3,425.9
3,484.3
3,518.5

466.4
473.6
487.1
471.2

211.3
216.2
226.9
207.5

170.2
170.7
171.5
173.0

84.9
86.7
88.7
90.7

1,106.7
1,127.1
1,137.3
1,148.8

588.8
592.5
597.6
602.2

199.3
203.4
206.9
208.7

79.0
88.2
84.5
83.5

239.7
243.0
248.3
254.4

1,798.6
1,825.1
1,859.8
1,898.5

7.0
7.3
7.8
6.2

2.8
3.0
2.9
2.6

3,588.1
3,622,7

492.1
478.4

221.1
212.4

178.9
176.8

92.0
89.3

1,174.7
1,179.0

616.4
623.3

212.9
212.6

87.1
84.5

258.2 1,921.3
258.6 1,965.8

7.0
6.8

2.8
2.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




cles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income increased $13.0 billion (annual rate) in August, following an increase of $24.0 billion in July.
Wages and salaries rose $0.7 billion in August compared to a rise of $16.2 billion in July.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
:
1 5,000

4,000

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

OTHER INCOME

800

800

TRANSFER
-PAYMENTS-

400

iimhmi
1982

I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l iimliim

iimliim I l l l l l l l l l l
1984

1983

1986

1985

400

1987

1988

1990

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates^

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May T.
July

r

Auff p.

Total
personal
income

Wage and
salary
disbursements *

2 2584
2,520 9
2 6708
2,838 6
3 108 7
3,325 3
3 526 2
3,766 4
4070 8
4,384 3

1 372 0
1 510.3
1 586 1
1 6766
1 838 6
1 9754
2 094 8
2 249 7
2431 1
2573 2

4,398 7
4411 6
4,441 0
44700
4,496 7

2578 1
2 593 9
2 611 4
2 603 8
26230

4,532 2
4561 6
4,594 7
4 6045
4,621 4
4640 7
4664 7
4,677.7

2 633.3
2 652 2
26692
2 6824
26955
2 711 1
2 727 3
2 728.0

Proprietors ' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

Farm

138.4
150.3

205
307

160 1
156.1

163.6
173.6
1829
187.6
1993
209.4
2255
241.9
243.5
244 8
246.1
247 5
248.9
251.6
252 8
254.0
255 2
256.4
257 6
258.8
260.0

24 6

1509
178.4
2040
225.6
247 2
280.6
3105
330.7
329.8
3296
331.9
3374
338.7
343.3
3470
349.4
349 2
351.3
351 8
3539
355.4

124
305
302

34 7

42 8
43 7
486
388
37 8
456
45 2
464
51 1
55 6
655
550
51 8
46 1
460
45.5

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Nonfarm

income of
persons 4

dividend
income

66

529

13.3
13 6
13.2

61 3
63 9

85
92
11 6
13 7
16 3
82

755
78 7
85 8
91 8
102 2
1144

8.7
0
74
96
10 1
7.7
45
43
38

1159
1163
1174
1184
1189
119 7
1206
121 3
122 3
1230
1234
1243
125.0

42
49

61
9.4

687

Personal
interest
income

271 9
3354
369 7

393 1
444 7
4780
493 2
501 3
547 9
643 2
6553
657 6
661 2
665 0
6685
6695
6705
671 4
6745
677 9
681 5
684 5
687 0

payments 5

3247
368.1
4106
4426
456 6
4898
521 5
5499
587 7
6369

642.1
646 1
6508
658 4
658 6
679.8
679 6
6834
683 5
6853
691 4
6920
695.5

4

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

Nonfarm
personal
income 6

88 6
104 5
112 3
120 1
132 7

2 215 8
2 465 6
2 618 7
2 799 0
3 052 1

1493

3 271 3
3 469 4
3 702 2
4 006 0
4 314 6

161 9
172 9
194 1
212 8
213 4
214 5
215 9
215 3
216 3
223 9
221 2
223 8
221 4
223 9
227 1
228 1
228 2

4 3389
4 352 7
4 3744
4403 6
4429 2
4459 9
4 484 9
4508 1
4 528 2
4 548 3
4 573 2
4 597 2
4 6108

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
5
6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income fell in the second quarter of 1990.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

2,500
2,000

2,000
DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME
18,000

18,000
16,000

j'

rnppcNT noiiioQ

14,000

16,000

•*

r

—•

1

14,000

---

-|__-""

\
12,000

12,000

.

~~]

_-<!

10,000

•

~"\

\

1

10,000

1982 DOLL/ ,RS

i i i

8,000

t

t

i

i

1983

1982

i

i

1

1984

1 1
1985

i

i

1986

i

1

1

!

!

1

1

1988

1987

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1

1

1

1989

i

i

i

8,000

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Personal

Less:
Personal

tax and
nontax

Equals:
Disposable

Less:
Personal
outlays l

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in

Per capita
disposable personal
income

1982
(billions)

1982
dollars

Billions of dollars
2 258 5
2 5209
2 6708
2 838 6
3 108 7
3 325 3
35262
3,766.4
40708
4,384.3

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

3405
3933
409.3
4105
440.2
4866
512.9
5716
591.6
658.8

1 9180

2 127 6
2,261.4
2 428 1
2,668.6
2 838 7
3,013.3
3,194.7
3479 2
3,725.5

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures

dollars

1982
dollars

dollars

Dollars

1369
1,968 1
1594
2,107.5
153 9
2 2974
130 6
2,504.5
164 1
2 713 3
1254
2,888.5
124 9
3,102.2
92.5
3,333.6
145 6
3,553.7 , 1 7 1 . 8
1 781 1

2 214 3
2 2486
2 2615
2 331 9
24698
2 542 8
2 6353
2,670.7
28005
2,869.0

8 421
9 243
9 724
10 340
11 257
11 861
12 469
13094
14 123
14,973

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

9 722
9 769
9 724
9930
10419
10 625
10905
10946
11 368
11,531

7 607
8 320
8 818
9 515
10 253
10 °85
J l 576
12 335
13 144
13,866

8 783
8 794
8 818
9 139
9 489
9 839
10 123
10 311
10580
10,678

5
21
49
9n
26
4
39
1.4

41
29
42
4.6

248,810

K

7 ^

ao
K A

61

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1989: I

n
m....
IV

1990: I

n '....

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8
3,890.9
4,186.2

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4
588.6
607.3

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4
3,302.3
3,578.9

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4
3,172.6
3,430.4

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0
129.7
148.5

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2
2,717.9
2,833.9

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629
13,483
14,470

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909
11,097
11,458

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825
12,572
13,474

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214
10,347
10,669

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3
6.4
1.2

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3
3.9
4.1

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579
244,925
247,329

4,302.2
4,362.9
4,402.8
4,469.2

640.5
665.5
659.5
669.6

3,661.7
3,697.3
3,743.4
3,799.6

3,472.0
3,528.5
3,588.8
3,625.5

189.8
168.9
154.5
174.1

2,863.5
2,854.9
2,874.3
2,883.2

14,773
14,883
15,026
15,210

11,553
11,492
11,538
11,541

13,603
13,790
13,986
14,084

10,638
10,648
10,739
10,687

3.4
-2.1
1.6
.1

5.2
4.6
4.1
4.6

247,863
248,431
249,127
249,818

4,562.8
4,622.2

675.1
696.5

3,887.7
3,925.7

3,696.4
3,730.6

191.3
195.1

2,900.9
2,902.8

15,527
15,639

11,586
11,564

14,330
14,432

10,692
10,671

1.6
-.8

4.9
5.0

250,392
251,026

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.




Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the first quarter of 1990,

according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $0.9

and net farm income felf $4.0

billion (annual rate)

bidion.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

240
200

240
200
160

-~ ~_^

^-^-—'

^~,

^^1

160

*sX^V

120

120

GROSS FARM INCOME
RO

80

60

60
' \

40

/

/

t
I
\
\

20

%X

.
/\
I \
/

\

/

10

/

%

— —

A/\
»

\
\

/

x

,'

^--\

*

%%

'" ^-. s"

•*

40

\v/

—/

\
NET FARM INCOME

i /

?0

l
\
, i
l
l
f\
\
' \ /
» / \/
i i
li
11
u

; ; i

1 1 1

1982

1983

10

1

1 1
1984

J

)

J

J

1985

J

J J
1986

J
1987

)

I

J J
1988

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

} ) 1
1989

J

J J
1990

2

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from fanning
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total1
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

...

....
....
...

1988- I

n

TTT
IV

1989- I

n

TTT
IV

1990- Ip

149.3
166.4
163.5
152.9
175.0
162.9
156.5
169.0
173.8
189.1

139.1
141.7
142.6
136.5
142.5
144.1
135.2
141.7
150.2
159.2

169.9
175.2
167.7
182.2
192.8
189.3
184.3
189.8
190.7

144.4
145.9
154.9
155.5
153.7
157.4
163.9
161.7
159.1

Livestock and
products

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
76.0
78.8
83.7
78.1
76.8
79.2
81.2
81.6
80.8
83.6
88.9
87.3

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income,
and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

11.1
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
63.7
65.6
71.4
75.4
66.3
69.2
75.7
74.2
72.1
76.5
80.3
72.8
71.8
3

Value of
inventory
changes 2

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
-10.9
6.3
-23
-2.4
28
-4.1
4.4
-6.1
-5.3
36
-1.3
5.8
4.8
3.8
3.3
2.8

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
131.7
125.1
127.7
131.8
142.6
125.8
129.2
134.8
137.4

141.3
144.0
144.3
140.7
145.5

1982 dollars 3

16.3
27.0
23.5
12.5
32.3
31.2
31.4
41.2
42.0
46.5
44.1
46.0
33.0
44.7
51.5
45.3
40.0
49.2
45.2

Income hi current dollars divided hy the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE,—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8
28.7
23.5
12.0
29.9
28.1
27.6
35.1
34.6
36.8
37.0
38.2
27.0
36.3
41.4
36.0
31.5
38.4
34.8

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the second quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $2.4
(annual rate) and after-tax profits fell $1.0 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

r\

/I

320

S
280

/

v

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

240

280

/

240

200

^,~-~'"

/
^
>FITS AFTER T/i0(
' — ^ N ^ PRC
""N

N

160

X -—. —•

X

_^.-

^\

120

X

X
80
-.

--7""

80

TAX LIABILIT Y

-'/'

/-'-r'

40

0

f-

^"O0^

/^

160

320

V^

^1

120

\
1

1

1 1 1

1

1982

billion

1983

I

! 1
1984

1

1

1

'
1

1

1

1

1986

1985

\

40

UNDISTRIBL TED PROFITS

1 I
1987

1

1

1

1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

1

1989

1 1
1990

0

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment *

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Period

Profits
before tax

Nonfinancial
Total2
Total

Financial

Total3

Manufacturing

Tax
liability

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
255.9
289.8
286.1

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
218.4
246.5
235.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
20.7
22.4
15.4

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
197.8
224.1
219.8

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
86.7
106.5
96.1

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
37.9
37.1
38.7

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
275.3
316.7
307.7

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
126.9
136.2
135.1

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
148.4
180.5
172.6

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.2
110.0
123.5

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
50.2
70.5
49.1

1982- IV
1983- IV

150.7
223.4
f '.6
228.4
226.1
268.6
308.7

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4
226.2
261.9

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6
19.8
24.1

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8
206.4
237.8

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
98.2
112.6

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
37.8
42.3

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
289.7
331.1

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
132.1
142.1

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
157.6
189.1

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
102.2
115.3

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
55.4
73.8

292.1
291.5
285.3
275.3

241.5
244.9
236.0
218.4

24.0
21.6
9.2
6.9

217.4
223.4
226.9
211.5

102.0
98.9
99.9
83.7

33.7
37.6
41.4
41.9

335.1
314.6
291.4
289.8

148.3
140.8
127.8
123.5

186.7
173.8
163.6
166.3

119.1
122.1
125.0
127.7

67.6
51.7
38.6
38.6

285.5
298.8

232.6
249.9

16.1
18.2

216.5
231.7

90.1
100.8

39.2
44.4

296.9
299.3

129.9
133.1

167.1
166.1

130.3
133.0

36.8
33.2

198419851986:
19871988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1989- I

n
m

IV
1990: I r

n

1
2

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capita] consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3
Includes industries not shown separately.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
109
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-19.4
-27.0
-21.7
-13.4
81
-1.6
66
-8.0
21 1
-22.5
-43.0
-23.1
61
-14.5
-11.4
-.5

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the second quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment fell $6.6 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $6.8 billion. There was a $13.4 billion increase in inventories, following
a decrease of $11.8 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

900
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

—

800

/~ ,^~lr

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT
700

800

1
-,

700

'"''""'
/

1

^1

jf

600

_

«• ""

-

^,.--~

400

_""•--

500
— — ••"

/

~—\

600
-

NON RESIDENTIAL
FIVED INVESTMENT -

/

500

-

400
-

^'~

RES DENTIAL
FIXED NVESTMENT

300

-

300

\

— •-.

~
200

200

.

100

.^.-~

CHANGE IN 5USINESS
INVENTC)RIES

~*~
/-.^

**N

/

\

•''

1

-100

1

1

1982

-

100
-

x>.

...... \

* •* — >'

0

/'"""

1

1

1

1983

1

1

1

1

I

1

1985

1984

1

1

1

1986

I

1

1

1 1 1
1988

1987

i ii

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

I l l

-100

1990

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Fixed investment
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
198219831984:
19851986:
19871988-

Gross
private
domestic
investment

.

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1989: I

n
UI
IV

1990- I r

n.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Change in business
inventories

Nonresidential
Total

Total

Structures

Producers'
durable
equipment

Residential

Total

Nonfarm

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
747.1
771.2

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
671.2
720.8
742.9

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.9
488.4
511.9

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.7
139.9
146.2

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
311.2
348.4
365.7

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.3
232.5
231.0

-8.3
24.0
245
-7.1
67.7
11.3
6.9
28.3
26.2
28.3

24
18.3
-23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
32.3
29.8
23.3

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
741.4
747.5

469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9
685.7
731.3

354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8
457.5
495.3

137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7
137.2
141.2

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2
320.4
354.0

114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1
228.1
236.0

-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-12.2
55.7
16.2

51 1
21.3
41.3
23.7
-8.0
59.6
35.0

769.7
776.7
775.8
762.7

743.1
744.0
746.9
737.7
758.9
745.6

506.5
511.4
518.1
511.8

146.5
144.2
147.0
147.1

360.0
367.2
371.0
364.7

236.6
232.7
228.9
225.9

26.6
32.7
28.9
25.0

16.7
26.1
26.2
24.1

523.1
516.5

148.8
147.2

374.3
369.3

235.9
229.1

-11.8
13.4

-17.0
13.0

747.2
759.0

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department July-August survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 5.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 11.4 percent in 1989. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

60U

600
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

"Ir

—.

500
r^

r-

^~

400

-

1

"

500

"

^"^

400

\
ALL INDLJSTRIES

^^

300

_..- — - —"

__^1

300

~—^

^,^—

r ' \i

.^-'

NO ^MANUFACTlJRINGJV

,--

200

200

.-'~~~-->
*--....

f

'"'"

\

^"'

MANUFACTL JRING

100

100

2/

1

!

1

1

1

1

1

1983

1982

1

I

1

1984

! 1

I

1985

1

1

1

!

\

1

1988

1987

1986

\ \

1

1

!

1989

1

1

J/
1

1990

J/ SURVEYED QUARTE !LY
-VSEE FOOTNOTE 4 B LOW
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Industries surveyed quarterly

All
industries

Total

286.40
324.73
326.19
321.16
373.83
410.12
399.36
410.52
455.49
507.40
534.76

112.60
128.68
123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183.80
192.44

436.30
452.24
460.33
467.92

1989- I 'r
II r

1990- I ' r

Period

1980 '
1981 '
1982 '
1983 r
1984 r
1985 '
1986 T
1987 '
1988 r
1989 '
1990 4
1988- I 'r

n r
mr
IV

mr
rv
TJ

4

m4
rv
1

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufacturing

Nondurable
goods

Total !

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

54.82
58.93
54.58
51.61
64.57
70.87
65.68
68.03
77.04
82.56
84.69

57.77
69.75
69.39
65.74
75.04
82.01
72.28
73.03
86.41
101.24
107.75

173.80
196.06
202.22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
342.31

12.71
15.81
14.11
10.64
11.86
12.00
8.15
8.28
9.29
9.21
9.96

13.56
12.67
11.75
10.81
13.44
14.57
15.05
15.07
16.63
18.84
21.10

41.32
47.17
53.58
52.95
57.53
59.58
56.61
56.26
60.37
66.28
65.91

106.21
120.41
122.79
129.41
151.39
171.09
181.59
189.84
205.76
229.28
245.34

155.13
160.00
165.99
170.02

73.74
76.13
77.49
79.74

81.39
83.87
88.49
90.28

281.16
292.24
294.35
297.89

9.28
9.62
9.26
9.00

16.11
16.45
16.71
17.15

57.51
58.46
61.00
63.42

198.26
207.71
207.37
208.33

155.13
160.00
165.99
170.02

281.16
292 24
294.35
297.89

487.43
502.05
514.95
519.58

172.73
180.91
185.99
191.88

80.20
82.44
83.60
83.41

92.53
98.47
102.40
108.47

314.70
321.14
328.96
327.70

8.94
9.24
9.24
9.38

17.84
18.42
21.03
18.25

66.09
68.09
65.19
1 65.82

221.82
225.39
233.50
234.25

172.73
180.91
185.99
191.88

314.70
321.14
328.96
327.70

532.45
535.49
532.47
538.61

191.36
195.16
192.37
190.88

86.35
84.34
83.63
84.45

105.02
110.82
108.74
106.42

341.09
340,33
340.09
347.74

9.58
9,84
10.23
10.19

22.13
21.86
20.61
19.81

65.72
64.27
66.20
67.46

243.66
244.37
243.05
250.27

191.36
195.16
192.37
190.88

341.09
340.33
340.09
347.74

Durable
goods

Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.
3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;




Addenda

Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing

318.08
358.77
363.08
359.73
418.38
454.93
447.11
461.51
508.22
563.93

Manufacturing

112.60
128.68
123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183.80
192.44

Total

205.48
230.09
239.11
242.38
278.77
302.05
309.16
320.45
344.77
380.13

Surveyed
quarterly
173.80
196.06
202.22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
342.31

Surveyed
annually s
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73
56.53

social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in July-August 1990, corrected for biases.
NOTE.—Data reflect a benchmark revision beginning 1978. See Plant and Equipment Expenditures and Plans release dated September 6, 1990 for details.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In August, civilian employment fell 295,000 and unemployment rose 189,000.

MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

126

126
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

122

122

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE

y

118

118
114

114

\

110

110

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

106

106

102

102

98

98

12

UNEMPLOYMENT

1982

1983

1984

1985

1988

1987

1986

1989

•16YEARSOfAGEANDOVER
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF 1ABOR

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

Civilian employment

Unemployment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322
188,081

1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709
1,688

110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378
125,557

102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677
119,030

108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669
123,869

100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968
117,342

3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169
3,199

97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800
114,142

4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965
4,657

8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539

188,286
188,428
188,580
188,721
188,865

1,688
1,702
1,709
1,704
1,700

125,758
125,725
125,857
126,192
126,246

119,238
119,121
119,294
119,540
119,588

124,070
124,023
124,148
124,488
124,546

117,550
117,419
117,585
117,836
117,888

3,275
3,219
3,197
3,160
3,197

114,275
114,200
114,388
114,676
114,691

188,990
189,090
189,198
189,326
189,467
189,607
189,763
189,901

1,697
1,678
1,669
1,657
1,639
1,630
1,627
1,640

126,094
126,308
126,498
126,543
126,643
126,466
126,394
126,300

119,560
119,713
120,003
119,773
119,989
120,019
119,580
119,298

124,397
124,630
124,829
124,886
125,004
124,836
124,767
124,660

117,863
118,035
118,334
118,116
118,350
118,389
117,953
117,658

3,134
3,079
3,200
3,133
3,305
3,348
3,085
3,137

114,728
114,957
115,133
114,983
115,045
115,041
114,867
114,521

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986'

1987
1988
1989
1989:
Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dee
1990:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
1

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

Total

Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninatitutional population.




Agricultural

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons l

Total

15
weeks
and
over

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

6,528

2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610
1,375

64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9
66.5

59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3
63.0

4,567
4,605
4,526
4,552
4,554

6,520
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658

1,338
1,359
1,378
1,422
1,362

66.5
66.4
66.4
66.6
66.5

63.0
62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0

4,729
4,703
4,747
4,630
4,666
4,734
4,710
4,780

6,535
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653
6,447

1,430
1,369
1,333
1,386
1,374
1,406
1,513
1,609

66.4
66.5
66.6
66.5
66.6
66.4
66.3
66.2

62.9
63.0
63.1
62.9
63.0
63.0
62.7
62.5

8,312
8,237
7,425

6,701

6,814
7,003

63.9

* Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
estimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In August, the overall unemployment rate rose to 5.5 percent and the civilian unemployment rate rose to 5.6
percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20
TEENAGERS

15

15

10

10

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

\
MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

1986

1990

1986

1987

1989

1988

•UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT Of CWUAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1990

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

7.5
9.5

1989: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:

1
2

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May
June....
July
Aug

9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.3
5.2
5.2
5.1
5.3
5.3
5.1
5.4
5.5

By race

By sex and age

Both
sexes
16-19
years

civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5
5.3

6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8
4.5

6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9
4.7

19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3
15.0

5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

4.5
4.8
4.5
4.6
4.6

4.7
4.5
4.8
4.8
4.8

14.8
15.0
14.9
15.3
15.2

5.3
5.3
5.2
5.4
5.3
5.2
5.5
5.6

4.7
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.9
5.0

4.6
4.8
4.7
4.8
4.6
4.5
4.7
4.9

14.5
14.8
14.4
14.7
15.5
14.1
16.3
16.7

White

6.7

8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.6
4.5
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.6
4.5
4.6
4.8

Unemployed aa percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persona on part time for economic reasons as per-




Black
and
other

14.2
17.3

17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4
10.0
9.7
10.2
10.2
10.3
10.2
10.1
9.2
9.4
9.1
9.3
9.4
10.3
10.4

By selected groups

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7
11.4

7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
5.0

11.2
11.7
11.7
11.9
11.8
11.3
10.5
10.6
10.4
10.4
10.4
11.3
11.8

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltune
workers

Parttime
workers

4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3
3.0

10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4

9.8
9.2
8.1
8.1

7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
4.9

9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.3

8.5
11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1

5.0
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.1
3.3
3.0
3.1
3.0

8.0
7.7
7.8
8.2
8.1

4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0

7.1
7.3
7.1
7.4
7.5

6.0
6.0
5.9
5.9
6.0

5.1
5.1
5.0
5.2
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.3

3.4
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.3
3.5

7.5
7.5
8.4
7.5
7.4
8.0
8.5
8.5

5.0
4.9
4.9
5.1
4.9
4.8
5.0
5.2

7.0
7.4
7.2
7.1
7.4
7.6
8.1
7.9

6.0
5.9
5.9
6.2
6.0
5.9
6.0
6.3

Married
men,
spouse
present

cent of potentially available labor force hours.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

6.3
5.9

OF UNEMPLOYMENT

UNEMPLOYMENT

INSURANCE PROGRAMS

In August, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks, for 15-26 weeks,
and for 27 weeks and over rose while the percentage for 5-14 weeks fell. The mean duration of unemployment
rose and the median was unchanged.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*
70

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT
60

-H

50

\.,-v
JOB LOSERS

40

H

REENTRANTS

so H-

JOB LEAVERS

20

H 10

10 h-

NEW ENTRANTS

1990

1986

1986

| 1987

| 1988

| 1989

| 1990

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution

Ke ason for unemployment:
percent distribution

State
programs

Number of
weeks

Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0
48.6
48.3
48.3
48.4
48.8
49.5
47.5
47.8
48.6
47.4
45.6
46.9
45.9
47.6

30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0
30.3
31.0
31.0
30.5
29.8
30.1
30.7
31.5
31.1
32.2
33.7
31.5
31.8
29.3

13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0
11.2
11.7
11.7
11.4
11.5
10.9
11.8
11.1
10.7
10.3
11.5
11.7
11.9
12.1

14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1
9.9
9.0
9.0
9.7
9.8
9.5
9.9
9.7
9.6
10.2
9.2
9.9
10.4
10.9

13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5
11.9
11.4
11.5
11.7
11.6
11.5
12.1
11.7
12.0
12.1
11.6
12.0
12.0
12.3

6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9
4.8
5.0
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.8
5.1
5.4
5.1
5.0
5.4
5.1
5.2
5.2

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0
28.2
27.6
29.4
28.9
27.6
27.7
26.3
27.4
28.4
26.5
27.2
27.7
29.0
27.2

11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2
10.4
10.0
9.9
10.5
10.4
10.3
9.7
10.3
9.8
9.2
10.2
8.3
10.2
9.8

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted)1

Weekly average, thousands

1981
1982
1983

....

1985
1987
1988
1989

Oct
Nov
Dec
Feb
Mar
May
July

8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528
6,520
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658
6,533
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653
6,447
6,814
7,003

1
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Bico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RE) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1
45.7
46.2
44.9
45.5
46.3
46.3
48.5
47.1
46.3
46.8
47.4
48.7
45.7
48.7

11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7
15.7
16.1
15.8
15.2
15.7
15.8
15.5
15.3
15.5
17.5
15.2
15.4
15.2
14.3

3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,193
2,269
2,169
2,208
2,295
2,305
2,373
2,367
2,334
2,349
2,381
2,400
2,442
2,470
2,492

460
583
438
377
396
378
328
310
330
323
331
366
348
367
359
357
347
360
351
357
354
371

3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,248
2,324
2,007
1,863
1,912
2,146
2,518
3,059
2,992
2,843
2,526
2,268
2,213
2,441

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration),

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey fell 75,000 in August. (Series revised.)
MILL ONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

110

28

100 =.

26

^.SERVICES

—

-

ALL NONAGRICUiTURAL
ESTABLISHMEhITS

V,
1

24

90
„-»•"

60 -

iinTfTnui

50

—

GOOD i-PRODUCIr. G
Ih DUSTRIES
I
\

30

1987

18 yiimlimilimiliim Illllllllll

—• i
4

| || | | 1f1 1
1II 1
M1

' 1986

1988

Illllllllll*

i

iiiiiliiiiiliiiiiliniik
,

6

I

Illinium 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 f 1 i

imilnm Illllllllll Illllllllll

«•' "*»

MAN JFACTURINC
\

20
-

"^GOVERNMENT
\
-J
— — "•""

_-—* ——- — —--

—

—

RET AIL TRADE
\

16 Tr

20

—

20

18

40

~*~

—
SEI VICE-PRODI CING
INDUSTRIE S

70

-

22

80
— — """

—

.^

_«••

-^•'

,-x*
.,— •""

jliiiilriin

1 1 1 f f lllllllMll]
|

1989

•—

' vT
mi, him 1 1 1 1 iii 1 1 ii " ' M ll lilt

' 1986

1990

1987

1988

SEASONALLY ADJU STED
DEPARTME NT OF LABOR

s DURCE:

M'nlnnif

1989

1990

*

COUNCIL OF EC ONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted]
Goods-producing industries
Period

Total
nonagricultural
employment

Total

2

Construction

Total

Durable
goo s

91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,536
108,413

25,497
23,813
23,334
24,727
24,859
24,558
24,708
25,173
25,326

4,188
3,905
3,948
4,383
4,673
4,816
4,967
5,110
5,200

20,170 r 12,085
18,781 r 11,016
18,434 r 10,708
19,378 r l 1,479
19,260 r l 1,463
18,965 r 11,203
19,024 ' 11,166
19,350 11,381
19,426 11,422

1989: Aug r.. 108,628
Sept T.. 108,868
Oct r... 108,980
Nov r.. 109,245
Dec '.. 109,383

25,356
25,304
25,283
25,280
25,218

5,220
5,225
5,239
5,258
5,216

19,430
19,370
19,334
19,306
19,284

1990: Janr... 109,654
Feb r... 109,958
Mar r .. 110,122
Apr r... 110,177
May '.. 110,617
June r. 110,829
July r.. 110,740
Aug ".. 110,665

25,188
25,339
25,259
25,180
25,191
25,162
25,100
25,008

5,294
5,368
5,313
5,256
5,286
5,270
5,231
5,191

19,171
19,244
19,217
19,190
19,167
19,148
19,126
19,081

1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988 r
1989 r

Service-producing industries

Nondurable
goods
r

Total

and

i
moiesale
trade

public
utilities

Retail
trade

5,376 r!5,172
5,296 ' 15,161
r
5,286 r 15,595
r
5,574 r 16,526
r
5,736 r 17,336
r
5,774 ' 17,909
r
5,865 r 18,462
6,055 19,077
6,271 19,580
r

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services

5,298
5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,283
6,547
6,649
6,724

18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
r
2 1,999
23,053
T
24,235
25,669
27,096

16,031
15,837
15,869
16,024
16,394
16,693
17,010
17,386
17,769

2,772
2,739
2,774
2,'807
2,875
2*899
2,943
2,971
2,988

Government
Total

Federal

8,085
7,765
r
7,726
r
7,899
r
7,796
r
7,762
r
7,858
7,969
8,004

65,659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74,967
77,492
80,363
83,087

5,165

11,416
11,369
11,337
11,314
11,296

8,014
8,001
7,997
7,992
7,988

83,272
83,564
83,697
83,965
84,165

5,561
5,656
5,671
5,693
5,776

6,294
6,303
6,313
6,335
6,344

19,620
19,634
19,665
19,714
19,710

6,740
6,753
6,756
6,774
6,785

27,226
27,335
27,408
27,548
27,623

17,831
17,883
17,884
17,901
17,927

2,996
2,992
2,986
2,982
2,977

11,192
11,278
11,261
11,229
11,217
11,201
11,175
11,126

7,979
7,966
7,956
7,961
7,950
7,947
7,951
7,955

84,466
84,619
84,863
84,997
85,426
85,667
85,640
85,657

5,790
5,804
5,808
5,809
5,833
5,846
5,840
5,849

6,356
6,357
6,361
6,363
6,369
6,383
6,377
6,383

19,807
19,758
19,764
19,778
19,795
19,822
19,847
19,831

6,794
6,817
6,821
6,823
6,838
6,844
6,843
6,852

27,721
27,842
27,950
27,969
28,094
28,225
28,284
28,356

17,998
18,041
18,159
18,255
18,497
18,547
18,449
18,386

3,000
3,005
3,089
3,151
3,346
3,338
3,161
3,038

r

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, had
weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing




Transportation

Manufacturing

5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,255
5,372
5,527
5,648

r

establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
NOTE.—Data have been revised to reflect annual benchmark revisions (seasonally adjusted beginning 1985 and not seasonally adjusted beginning April 1988). Data also reflect conversion of the
industry series to 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) codes. See Employment and Earnings, September 1990, for details.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
fPor production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Average gross weekly earnings

Manufacturing
Total
private
nonagricultural *

Period

Total

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural 1

Overtime

Total
private
nonagricultural *

Manufacturing

1982
dollars 2

Manufacturing

Construction

$399.26 r$157.99
426.82 ' 163.83
442.97 r!71.13
458.51 ' 174.47
464.46 r!74.81
466.75 r 175.80
480.44 ' 178.80
183.62
495.73
512.41
188.72

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 T
1989 '

35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.6

39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0

2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.8

$7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.28
9.66

$7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.19
10.49

$255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.02
334.24

$270.63
267.26
272.52
274.73
271.16
271.94
269.16
266.79
264.22

$318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.81
430.09

1989- Aug r
Sept '
Oct *
Nov '
Dec '

34.5
34.6
34.6
34.5
34.4

41.0
40.9
40.8
40.7
40.6

3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.7

9.70
9.73
9.78
9.78
9.83

10.53
10.55
10.57
10.58
10.62

334.65
336.66
338.39
337.41
338.15

263.71
264.25
264.57
262.99
262.54

431.73
431.50
431.26
430.61
431.17

516.26
515.28
519.90
524.54
516.00

1990- Jan r
Feb '
Uar '
Apr *
May '

34.4
34.6
34.6
34.5
34.5
34.7
34.5
34.5

40.7
40.8
40.8
40.7
40.9
41.0
40.9
41.0

3.6
3.6
3.7
3.5
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.9

9.82
9.88
9.93
9.96
9.98
10.03
10.07
10.09

10.57
10.67
10.73
10.75
10.81
10.86
10.89
10.92

337.81
341.85
343.58
343.62
344.31
348.04
347.42
348.11

259.45
261.35
261.48
261.31
261.63
262.87
261.61
259.98

430.20
435.34
437.78
437.53
442.13
445.26
445.40
447.72

523.03
527.48
523.18
508.03
520.98
531.35
516.00
526.40

July '
Aufir p

..

.

..

1
2

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1982 = 100 base).
3
Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Retail

Current
dollars

trade

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural a
Current
dollars

1982
dollars

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.0
3.8

-1.2
r
2.0
r
.8
r
-1.3
r
.3
-1.0
-.9
-1.0

189.58
189.87
190.74
190.37
191.23

4.1
4.0
3.6
3.5
3.5

-.5
3
-.8
-1.0
10

192.38
193.34
195.17
195.46
196.04
196.62
196.23
195.73

2.7
3.9
3.7
2.8
4.0
4.5
3.4
3.7

— 24
-1.2
-1.5
-1.6
-.1
— 0
-1.0
-1.8

15

Not*.—Data have been revised (see Note, p. 14). Also, weekly hours (seasonally adjusted) have
been revised beginning 1980, and constant-dollar series have been rebased to 1982 = 100. See Employment and Earnings, September 1990, for details.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1989 = 100)
3 months earlier
Period

1981' Dec

1982198319841985'
1986198719881989-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

.
...
..

1987- Sept

Dec

1988- Mar
Sept

Pec

..

1989- Mar

...

Sept

Dec

...

1990- Mar

.

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

71.2
75.8
80.1
84.0
87.3
90.1
93.1
97.6
102.3
92.5
93.1

73.0
77.6
81.4
84.8
88.3
91.1
94.1
98.0
102.0
93.5
94.1

94.5
95.7
96.6
97.6

Benefits l

Wages and
salaries

66.6
71.4
76.7
81.7
84.6
87.5
90.5
96.7
102.6
89.6
90.5

2.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
.6
.7
.6
1.0
1.1

2.1
1.4
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
1.2
.7
1.0

9.9
6.5
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.8
4.8

1.0
.6

1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.6
.6
1.0
.8
1.0
.6

95.0
96.1
97.0
98.0

93.4
94.7
95.7
96.7

1.5
1.3
.9
1.0

1.0
1.2
.9
1.0

98.8
100.0
101.2
102.3

99.0
100.0
101.2
102.0

98.4
100.0
101.4
102.6

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.1

103.9
105.2

103.2
104.5

105.5
106.9

1.6
1.3

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




12 months earlier
Total
compensation

Total
compensation

Benefits '

Wages and
salaries

Benefits 1

12.1
7.2
7.4
6.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
6.9
6.1

3.4
3.3

8.8
6.3
4.9
4.2
4.1
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
3.2
3.3

3.2
1.4
1.1
1.0

3.8
4.5
4.4
4.8

3.3
3.8
3.7
4.1

5.9
6.4
6.8
6.9

1.0
1.0
1.2
.8

1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2

4.6
4.5
4.8
4.8

4.2
4.1
4.3
4.1

5.4
5.6
6.0
6.1

1.2
1.3

2.8
1.3

5.2
5.2

4.2
4.5

7.2
6.9

3.0
3.4

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '
Business
sector

Hours of 2all
persons

Nonfann
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

85.8
92.4
100.0
101.4
103.0
105.4
108.4
111.2
114.3
118.0
101.5
102.0
104.0
106.7
110.4
112.1
112.2
114.0
114.8
116.3
116.7
117.4
118.2
119.6
121.1
122.4

85.2
92.3
100.0
101.0
102.8
105.6
108.8
111.6
114.3
118.1
101.7
101.3
104.0
107.1
111.0
112.6
112.6
114.1
114.8
115.9
116.9
117.5
118.3
119.8
121.3
122.6

86.2
94.4
100.0
103.3
106.8
109.5
111.8
114.8
118.2
122.8
101.4
104.8
107.9
110.5
112.8
115.7
116.2
117.5
118.9
120.3
121.2
122.5
123.3
124.3
125.8
127.1

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.5
106.6
109.8
112.3
115.3
118.4
123.0
101.5
104.7
107.9
111.0
113.4
116.2
116.6
117.8
118.8
120.5
121.4
122.7
123.5
124.7
125.8
127.3

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5
2.3
2.8
2.6
2.8
3.2
1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.2
.3
6.5
3.1
5.1
1.5
2.5
2.8
4.6
5.3
4.4

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8
2.8
3.0
2.5
2.5
3.3
2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0
4.8
4.4
.1
5.6
2.5
3.6
3.8
2.0
2.7
5.1
5.2
4.3

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3
2.5
2.1
2.7
3.0
3.9
2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6
.9
1.2
1.7
4.8
4.7
4.9
3.1
4.3
2.5
3.5
4.6
4.5

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.7
2.7
3.9
3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
4.1
3.4
5.9
2.8
4.4
2.6
3.9
3.8
4.6

1982 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

n
m
rv

1989- I

n
m
rv

1990- I
IT' ....

99.2
100.7
100.0
102.4
105.0
107.1
109.5
110.7
113.0
112.8
100.6
103.3
105.4
108.1
109.5
112.0
113.1
112.8
113.5
113.1
113.3
113.3
112.8
112.3
111.9
112.3

99.9
100.9
100.0
103.0
105.1
106.5
108.6
109.8
112.3
111.9
100.5
103.9
105.5
107.2
108.5
110.9
112.1
111.9
112.7
112.8
112.4
112.2
112.0
111.4
110.8
111.2

101.1
103.2
100.0
104.2
113.0
117.7
121.3
126.4
133.0
135.8
99.5
107.6
114.5
119.3
122.2
129.4
131.2
132.6
133.8
134.5
135.6
135.9
136.1
135.5
136.0
136.4

101.7
103.4
100.0
105.0
113.7
118.1
121.6
126.8
134.0
136.7
99.3
108.7
115.1
119.6
122.4
129.7
131.6
133.4
134.8
136.0
136.4
136.8
137.1
136.3
136.8
137.3

101.9
102.5
100.0
101.8
107.6
109.9
110.8
114.1
117.7
120.4
98.9
104.2
108.6
110.4
111.6
115.5
115.9
117.6
117.9
118.8
119.7
120.0
120.6
120.7
121.5
121.4

101.8
102.5
100.0
102.0
108.1
110.9
111.9
115.4
119.3
122.2
98.9
104.7
109.1
111.6
112.8
116.9
117.4
119.2
119.6
120.5
121.4
121.9
122.4
122.4
123.5
123.5

85.1
93.0
100.0
103.8
108.1
112.8
118.6
123.1
129.1
133.1
102.1
105.4
109.7
115.3
120.9
125.6
126.9
128.6
130.3
131.5
132.2
133.0
133.4
134.3
135.5
137.5

85.1
93.1
100.0
104.0
108.1
112.5
118.2
122.5
128.3
132.1
102.2
105.3
109.7
114.7
120.4
124.9
126.2
127.7
129.4
130.8
131.4
131.9
132.5
133.4
134.4
136.3

99.7
98.8
100.0
100.6
100.4
101.2
104.4
104.6
105.3
103.5
100.6
100.6
100.5
102.1
105.6
105.0
105.3
105.5
105.6
105.5
104.6
103.7
103.3
103.0
101.9
102.5

99.6
98.9
100.0
100.7
100.4
100.9
1.04.1
104.1
104.7
102.8
100.7
100.5
100.5
101.6
105.2
104.4
104.7
104.8
104.9
104.9
104.0
102.9
102.6
102.3
101.1
101.6

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I . ...

n
m
rv

1989- I

n
m
rv

1990- I r

n ' ...

-0.3
1.5
-.7
2.4
2.6
2.0
2.2
1.2
2.0
-.2
2.6
3.3
1.5
1.4
.8
2.7
4.1
-1.2
2.5
-1.2
.5
-.0
-1.5
-2.0
-1.5
1.7

1

-0.4
1.1
-.9
3.0
2.1
1.3
2.0
1.1
2.2
-.3
2.0
1.6
.9
.7
.3
2.2
4.2
g

2^8
.5
-1.7
5
-.8
-2.2
-1.9
1.5

-1.1
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4
4.2
3.1
4.1
5.3
2.1
5
10.4
3.5
3.6
4.0
7.2
5.7
4.6
3.5
2.0
3.5
.9
.6
-1.8
1.4
1.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3
3.9
3.0
4.2
5.7
2.0
-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5
3.7
6.9
5.9
5.6
4.1
3.6
1.2
1.3
.6
-2.1
1.4
1.5

0.8
.6
-2.4
1.8
5.7
2.2
.8
2.9
3.2
2.3
-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.2
3.2
4.4
1.5
5.9
1.0
3.3
3.0
.9
2.1
.1
2.9
-.3

-0.7
.6
2.4
2.0
6.0
2.6
1.0
3.1
3.4
2.4
-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.9
3.4
4.5
1.7
6.2
1.3
3.1
3.0
1.7
1.5
.1
3.4
0

Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
s
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dol\ar gross domestic product.




10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1
4.4
5.1
3.8
4.9
3.0
4.1
5.7
3.6
6.2
5.2
7.0
4.4
5.2
5.6
3.8
2.0
2.4
1.3
2.6
3.8
6.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9
4.1
5.0
3.6
4.8
3.0
4.6
4.4
3.6
5.7
5.1
6.8
4.3
5.0
5.3
4.2
2.0
1.5
1.8
2.7
3.2
5.8

-2.6
-.9
1.2
.6
-.2
.8
3.2
.1
.7
-1.7
2.8
1.6
.1
2.0
2.3
3.1
1.0
.7
.6
-.5
-3.3
-3.4
-1.5
-1.4
-4.0
2.4

-2.6
-.7
1.1
.7
-.4
.5
3.1
-.0
.6
-1.8
3.3
.3
.1
1.5
2.2
2.9
.8
.6
.4
-.1
-3.3
-4.2
-1.0
-1.3
-4.5
2.0

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the
work site rather than hours paid.
'Data do not reflect GNP revisions of September 25, 1990.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production and capacity utilization fell in August.
INDEX, 1987=100" (RATIO SCALE)
115

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
^^r —^—^*
>— I
,r-1'—"~

110
105
100

95

-^f'

90

imilmiiliiMihmi

115

INDEX, 1987=100' (RATIO SCALE)
130
FINAL PRODUCTS
125

^

DURABLE

>

H

105

_^_,

^/^

f
}^- --~'^~\\

sr
*^r
iiiiDiiiiiliniilinii

95
90

mill, mi

-UTILITIES AND MINING PRODU CTION

115

no

\

105

UTILITIES

\

100

,-bed

95

V slrfs

90

IIllllllllI IIllllllllI
1986

^

1987

'
\J
^
^^1
MINING

mill

•^

•_< -..

iiiiiliimlimilimi

IIllllllllI

PERCENT*

88 — CAPACITY UTILIZA1[ION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)

it
I

86

,'

\,-'"
f^S^ -O-A

/-—-I

84
82
80
78

IIllllllllI IIllllllllI
1988
1989

CONSUMER
GOODS

DEFENSE
AND SPACE
EQUIPMENT

iM,ii,ii,i

90

tllllllllll IIIIIJIIIII

\— -..

95

105
100

r^y

.__ , — -y^

^

f

~£- \

100

-~tf

V

f\

y ...

110

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION^_^_^

110

/

BUSINESS

115

Illllilllll Illlltlllll IIllllllllI

jS~

j

120

Iiiiilniii

76

\^-^—/ -/

\^

y~1—

V~^~^

j

IIllllllllI H|f|liilH iiiiilniii
1986

1990

v

1

1987

1988

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

IIllllllllI lllllllll|l
1989
1990
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Total
industrial
production
Period
Index,
1987=100

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989- Aug
Sept

Oct
Dec

1990' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May "
June r
July '

Aug p
1

Output as percent of capacity.




Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100

Capacity utilization
rate, percent J

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

-1.9
1.9
-4.4
3.7
9.3
1.7
1.0
4.9
5.4
2.6

78.8
80.3
76.6
80.9
89.3
91.6
94.3
100.0
105.8
108.9

75.7
77.4
72.7
76.8
88.4
91.8
93.9
100.0
107.6
110.9

83.1
84.5
82.5
87.0
90.8
91.5
94.9
100.0
103.6
106.4

110.0
114.3
109.3
104.8
111.9
109.0
101.0
100.0
101.8
100.5

95.9
94.3
91.8
93.6
97.0
99.5
96.3
100.0
104.4
107.1

82.1
80.9
75.0
75.8
81.1
80.3
79.2
81.4
84.0
84.2

80.2
78.8
72.8
74.9
80.4
79.5
79.0
81.4
83.9
83.9

108.2
108.2
107.7
108.1
108.6

1.7
1.9
1.1
1.1
1.1

109.1
109.1
108.4
108.9
108.8

111.3
111.5
109.4
110.1
110.4

106.2
106.0
107.2
107.3
106.7

100.7
101.6
100.7
101.2
100.1

106.2
105.9
107.4
108.3
116.1

84.0
83.9
83.3
83.5
83.7

83.8
83.6
82.9
83.0
82.8

107.5
108.5
108.9
108.8
109.4
110.0
110.0
109.8

-.2
.8
1.1
.2
1.0
1.5
2.0
1.5

108.1
109.6
109.8
109.5
110.3
110.7
110.8
110.6

108.6
110.7
111.9
111.1
112.6
113.2
112.9
112.6

107.5
108.3
107.2
107.5
107.4
107.6
108.1
108.1

101.7
101.0
101.1
102.9
102.2
102.6
103.2
100.8

106.8
104.0
106.2
106.7
107.1
109.2
108.7
110.1

82.7
83.2
83.4
83.1
83.4
83.6
83.5
83.1

82.0
83.0
82.9
82.5
82.8
82.9
82.7
82.4

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Products

Materials

Final products

Intermediate products

Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total »

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

80.0
82.1
80.8
83.0
91.0
94.2
95.7
100.0
105.6
109.1

85.3
85.8
84.5
88,8
92.8
93.7
96.8
100.0
104.0
106.7

73.5
74.0
68.7
79.7
91.0
91.6
94.5
100.0
104.9
107.9

89.1
89.6
89.7
91.9
93.4
94.4
97.6
100.0
103.7
106.4

74.6
78.2
77.0
76.8
89.2
94.8
94.5
100.0
107.6
112.3

73.5
76.1
72.9
71.9
85.4
91.1
93.2
100.0
111.8
119.1

57.4
58.5
65.7
71.8
78.9
89.4
96.0
100.0
98.0
97.4

77.0
77.0
75.1
80.3
86.2
88.3
92.0
100.0
104.4
106.8

80.8
78.4
72.2
80.2
86.2
89.1
93.8
100.0
104.4
106.1

74.2
75.7
77.0
80.3
86.2
87.7
90.7
100.0
104.4
107.3

91.3
92.8
85.1
88.3
96.6
96.6
95.9
100.0
105.6
107.4

106.2
104.3
100.7
98.9
103.8
103.4
99.4
100.0
101.8
101.4

1989* Aug
Sept
Get
Nov
Dec

109.1
109.6
108.5
109.4
110.3

105.6
106.3
107.3
107.4
108.3

105.8
107.6
106.8
105.7
106.8

105.6
106.0
107.4
107.8
108.7

113.6
113.8
110.1
112.0
112.9

120.4
120.7
116.0
118.7
119.9

98.9
98.9
96.6
96.7
96.6

106.4
106.3
106.9
107.3
107.9

105.5
105.2
106.3
107.0
107.4

106.9
107.0
107.3
107.5
108.2

107.8
107.4
107.1
107.0
106.9

101.7
101.6
101.3
101.9
102.7

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar

108.5
109.7
110.7
110.4
111.2
111.7
111.4
111.2

106.0
107.0
107.5
107.2
107.4
108.1
107.5
107.7

99.4
106.2
110.8
107.3
109.3
112.1
109.2
107.7

107.8
107.2
106.6
107.1
106.9
107.0
107.0
107.6

111.8
113.3
114.9
114.7
116.2
116.5
116.4
115.8

118.0
120.1
122.2
121.6
123.5
123.9
123.8
123.6

97.5
97.6
97.5
97.3
97.6
97.5
98.0
97.4

108.0
108.4
108.2
108.0
108.3
108.5
108.4
108.8

107.9
108.2
107.3
106.4
105.5
106.0
105.4
105.3

108.0
108.5
108.9
109.1
110.2
110.3
110.5
111.2

106.2
107.1
107.1
107.3
107.7
108.5
109.0
108.6

101.2
101.7
102.0
101.8
101.1
101.3
102.1
101.1

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

.

..

May '

July '
Aug p
1

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Durable manufactures
Primary metals
Period
Total

Iron
and
steel

Nondurable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber and
products

Appare!
products

Printing
and
publishing

cals
and
products

Foods

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

110.8
117.5
83.2
91.0
102.4
101.8
93.8
100.0
110.3
109.2

126.0
135.1
86.2
96.1
105.9
104.5
90.8
100.0
113.8
109.3

92.5
91.1
83.2
85.5
93.3
94.5
93.8
100.0
106.2
107.2

60.6
65.9
63.9
64.3
80.8
86.8
90.4
100.0
113.8
121.8

73.3
75.4
75.9
80.3
94.1
93.1
94.3
100.0
106.5
109.5

72.3
68.7
64.8
72.7
83.1
91.8
96.9
100.0
105.0
107.2

67.0
64.4
58.8
74.5
90.6
99.0
98.5
100.0
105.5
104.9

76.9
74.7
67.3
79.9
86.0
88.0
95.1
100.0
104.6
103.0

89.2
91.0
90.1
93.8
95.7
92.6
96.3
100.0
102.2
104.3

70.3
72.1
75.2
79.0
84.5
87.6
90.7
100.0
103.6
108.5

87.8
89.2
81.8
87.5
91.4
91.4
94.6
100.0
105.4
108.5

84.6
86.5
87.7
90.1
92.1
94.9
97.4
100.0
102.8
105.5

1989- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

111.7
109.9
108.6
104.8
102.6

109.8
109.7
109.2
104.1
100.3

106.5
106.0
105.9
106.9
106.3

121.8
123.4
119.0
122.9
123.8

110.6
110.8
110.2
110.1
110.1

107.8
108.0
102.1
102.8
104.4

102.7
103.2
99.7
99.0
98.7

102.4
102.6
103.2
104.8
106.4

104.7
104.5
103.9
103.7
102.6

107.8
109.4
109.3
109.6
109.6

109.6
107.5
109.4
109.8
107.6

104.8
105.4
106.8
107.4
108.0

105.0
107.9
105.4
106.4
106.2
109.6
109.4
110.6

104.6
110.6
106.1
106.7
105.5
110.5
109.7
112.6

105.1
105.6
105.5
105.0
107.1
106.8
107.7
107.4

123.7
124.2
125.2
125.7
126.9
126.6
127.3
126.6

110.1
111.0
112.3
111.3
112.4
112.7
111.9
111.8

94.7
103.5
107.9
105.1
109.0
110.9
109.1
108.6

76.8
94.1
103.5
95.8
104.0
108.0
103.0
102.2

106.0
104.3
105.0
103.3
101.7
101.6
101.1
101.3

102.4
102.1
99.8
98.7
99.2
99.3
99.7
99.3

110.7
112.1
111.4
112.0
112.8
112.2
112.4
113.0

109.9
110.5
109.5
110.3
109.2
109.9
109.4
109.5

106.8
107.4
107.1
107.0
106.8
106.6
106.8
107.2

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar

.

May '
July

r

Allff

P

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18



NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

New housing
units

Total 1

Commercial
and
industrial *

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1982 = 100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
256.5
267.7
255.7
290.9
340.7
368.7
398.2
410.2
422.1
432.1

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

192.8
203.0
192.6
227.5
270.5
290.9
313.6
319.6
327.1
333.5

100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1
196.6

69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9
139.2

46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8
85.5

45.7

48.7
49.2
48.1
48.0
49.7
48.5
48.5
49.2
51.5

63.6
64.7
63.1
63.5
70.2
77.8
84.6
90.6
95.0
98.6

97
100
100
124
136
150
159
165
166
171

Annual rates
1989: July
Sept
Oet
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May '.
July"
AUK'' . ..

429.0
433.9
433.4
429.3
433.4
432.0
446.0
455.6
457.3
448.8
444.6
440.4
442.2

333.3
335.0
332.1
332.1
329.8
325.0
338.1
343.1
347.4
344.3
336.6
331.6
333.6

196.8
195.6
193.0
192.1
190.9
189.6
200.1
203.0
206.9
205.1
198.1
191.3
190.5

1
Includes
2
Includes
3

residential improvements, not shown separately.
hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
973
926
Annual rates

139.6
138.2
135.8
134.8
135.2
135.3
140.0
144.6
145.3
140.5
136.7
130.3
128.7

85.2
87.3
87.2
88.6
86.8
83.3
85.0
88.2
87.2
85.7
84.6
85.7
87.5

51.3
52.1
51.9
51.4
52.2
52.0
52.9
51.9
53.3
53.5
53.9
54.7
55.6

95.7
99.0
101.3
97.1
103.5
107.0
107.9
112.5
109.9
104.5
108.0
108.8
108.6

172
!74
186
r
!83
r
!69
r
!66
r
!61
155
r
!61
r
!46
r
!59
r
!59
r
!50
146
r

915
805
1,008
892
812
805
883
798
828
745
802
693
618
638

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private housing units
Units started, by type of structure

Period
Total

1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1
1,376.1

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

1 unit

852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3
1,003.3

2-4 units
109.5
91.1

80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8
55.2

5 or more units

330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0
317.6

New private homes
Units
authorized

1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6
1,338.4

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1

1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8
1,422.8

545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676
650

337
275
253
301
353
346
357
366
367
362

1,375
1,437
1,366
1,317
1,486
1,302
1,443
1,351
1,378
1,295
' 1,363
1,291
1,280

741
719
638
636
687
633
613
606
558
533
536
561
548

369
364
364
363
363
362
365
366
363
363
359
353
349

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7
7.1

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
1989' July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July T.
Auff p

1,424
1,325
1,263
1,423
1,347
1,273
1,568
1,488
1,307
1,216
1,206
1,189
1,147
1,127

1,029
987
969
1,023
1,010
931
1,099
1,154
996
898
897
889
868
840

58
54
56
60
47
53
53
42
35
53
36
42
30
32

1
Seasonally adjusted.
2
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with
earlier data.




337
284
238
340
290
289
416
292
276
265
273
258
249
255

1,281
1,334
1,310
1,362
1,364
1,416
1,739
1,297
1,232
1,108
1,065
1,108
1,082
1,050

7.6
7.1
7.5
7.0

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

In July, manufacturing and trade sales fell 0.5 percent and inventories rose $5.3 billion. In August, according to
advance data, retail sales fell 0.6 percent, following a rise of 0.4 percent in July.
BILU ONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

BILUC)NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

240
800

•~__—»

220

-

^^-^-^"^

700

-

^i-^r

200

f ETAIL INVEN TORIES

/^

_^,—'H

\
1
Mfl NUFAQUR1NG AND
T !ADE INVENTORIES

^^~1

180

-

600

160

-

,~s —

,„„.

-

._„-

140

500

M/\NUFACTUR NG
M-iD TRADE Sf kLES

^,.-'"-' /-'""

A./ /-"'"""

120

-

400

— -—

RETAIL S/s LES

100

iiiiitinii Illllllllll MMlllllll Illllllllll llillilllH

-

-

RATIO *
1.80

300

_

INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

RETAIL

1.60
\^^Z

-

200

iiiiihiiii lllllillll! Illllllllll miliimi !im!i|m
1 986

1 987

1989

1988

1.20

^

1.00

II II i d 1 1 1 1 ,,..,!,,,,.

1990

11t i l ( f

1987

1986

I 1 It

1989

Sales

2

Inventories a

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

Sales

2

Inventories 3

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail
Sales

Period

-

uin 1 1 1 in1 1 1 M I II t l 1

1988

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade 1

-

•^^

^^f^~
MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.40

Total

2

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories

3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade 1

61,101
64,939
69,377
73,075
75,738
80,457
85,220
90,678

134,493
147,712
167,748
181,773
186,587
208,112
219,791
235,514

61,469
69,025
79,250
88,464
90,197
105,738
112,254
117,169

73,024
78,687
88,498
93,309
96,390
102,374
107,537
118,345

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.56
1.55
1.51
1.49
1.50

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.52
1.56
1.55
1.55
1.60

91,078
91,157
91,727
91,617
92,572
93,121

231,791
234,579
236,131
234,942
236,234
235,514

118,008
119,925
121,048
118,450
118,667
117,169

113,783
114,654
115,083
116,492
117,567
118,345

1.53
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.51
1.51

1.60
1.60
1.60
1.62
1.61
1.62

93,660
94,867
94,639
94,266
94,256
95,591
r
95,858
96,410

233,701
232,000
232,562
232,847
234,814
234,517
236,497

114,194
113,552
113,951
113,730
114,870
115,128
116,459

119,507
118,448
118,611
119,117
119,944
119,389
120,038

1.51
1.48
1.47
1.49
1.49
1.47
1.49

1.56
1.55
1.56
1.57
1.59
1.57
1.58

Nondurable goods
stores

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
574,516
591,265
646,072
657,753
657,482
704,515
754,267
795,415

96,290
100,324
113,393
114,626
116,151
124,254
135,176
145,683

128,196
130,906
143,557
148,484
154,713
165,271
180,313
188,819

516,154
531,717
527,778
525,160
527,948
526,391

788,618
791,798
792,119
794,757
798,104
795,415

145,062
146,800
146,981
147,921
148,782
149,584

186,024 145,170
185,730 * 146,767
185,098 147,235
188,103 145,244
189,057
146,340
188,819 145,804

528,549
535,996
538,984
533,603
538,946
542,441
539,757

797,202
794,016
793,669
796,050
800,399
796,469
801,783

151,968
151,620
152,383
151,458
152,302
153,549
151,990

189,375
188,847
189,361
190,903
193,201
191,259
192,171

1988
1989
1989- July r

r

Sept

Oct
Nov

Dec
1990- Jan

Feb
Mar
May

June T
July P
Auir p
1
See page 21 for
2
Monthly average
3

End of period.

manufacturing.
for year and total for month.




28,013
32,631
37,938
41,567
45,121
48,051
52,281
53,794

89,114
97,570
107,316
114,642
120,860
128,509
137,500
144,471

348,754
369,136
408,578
419,283
425,371
451,933
490,309
521,934

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

149,877
149,904
149,302
147,886
147,781
149,432
r
150,049
149,198

r

54,092
55,610
55,508
53,627
53,768
52,683

56,217
55,037
54,663
53,620
53,525
53,841
r
54,191
52,788
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Cei

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In July, manufacturers' shipments fell, while inventories and new and unfilled orders rose. In August, according to
advance data, durable goods shipments rose and new orders fell.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2HU
SHIPMENTS
240

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

—f-~^/^ —

s" "

—-^-\

200

TOTAL

160

DURAi LE GOODS
*~l—'
\
-1._— /- —

120

"— "S^
80

'""V
NONDURA

3LE GOODS

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
BILLIC3NS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
280
MFW DRDFP0!
240

60
^

200

1 60

f
—

TOTAL
DURAB LE GOODS

V- -•'

1 20

A_

^

._^.

1. 80

1 986

-

1. 60

NDURABLE t

80

niiiiiiiM

1. 40 ^
Illllllllll Illllllllll
1987
1988

Minium Illllllllll
1989

1990

1
I 7D 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1niiiliiin
1986
1987

|| f ll|lH M

Illllllllll

1988

SEASONALLY ADJU STED
OJRCE: DEPARTME NT Of COMMERCE

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments1

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders l
Durable goods

Period
Total

Illllllllll

-

--*•"•• *"

r—~*
60

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
RA no*
2.20
INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO
2.00

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
109,057
108,416
110,027
109,127
109,805
109,535
109,033
109,663
110,977
112,199
112,417
112,365
111,886
112,052

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
514,499
496,359
495,002
495,794
497,866
504,750
514,499
515,367
512,654
516,426
518,193
520,432
517,550
519,932

Manufacturers'
inventory—
shipments
ratio 5

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989: July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July r
Auff "
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
231,780
225,922
238,150
233,562
231,995
232,826
231,003
226,704
234,472
237,299
234,259
238,863
239,460
237,718

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
122,668
117,114
128,347
124,393
121,340
123,209
121,998
116,716
123,224
125,089
122,031
126,507
c
127,283
125,054
128 654

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
109,112
108,808
109,803
109,169
110,155
109,617
109,005
109,988
111,248
112,210
112,228
112,356
112,177
112,664

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the
End of period.




311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
371,082
370,803
371,489
370,890
371,712
372,813
371,082
374,126
373,169
371,746
372,300
372,384
370,693
373,115

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
246,222
245,813
246,378
245,621
246,427
247,610
246,222
248,273
247,095
245,435
246,609
246,530
244,902
246,323

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
124,860
124,990
125,111
125,269
125,285
125,203
124,860
125,853
126,074
126,311
125,691
125,854
125,791
126,792
3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
235,614
230,447
236,793
234,354
234,067
239,710
240,752
227,572
231,759
241,071
236,026
241,102
236,578
240,100

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
126,557
122,031
126,766
125,227
124,262
130,175
131,719
117,909
120,782
128,872
123,609
128,737
124,692
128,048
127,004

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
38,821
41,445
37,130
35,341
35,975
38,901
44,389
38,347
36,094
40,889
36,573
35,928
36,192
39,851
35,395

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.58
1.64
1.56
1.59
1.60
1.60
1.61
1.65
1.59
1.57
1.59
1.56
1.55
1.57

PRICES
In August, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 1.3 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose
0.8 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 2.0 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.3
percent.
INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
130

120

110

100

100

90
1982

1983

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
consumer
goods

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
103.8
102.7
104.5
105.1
104.4
105.3
109.7
108.5
107.9
107.9
107.7
107.9
107.4
110.5

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
118.8
119.3
120.1
120.0
120.4
120.7
120.9
121.4
121.9
122.0
121.9
122.4
122.8
123.2

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
112.1
111.6
112.5
113.3
113.3
114.1
117.0
116.8
116.4
116.1
116.2
116.3
116.1
118.0

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Consumer goods
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1989
1989- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May
July
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
113.6
113.3
114.1
114.7
114.8
115.5
117.7
117.7
117.5
117.3
117.4
117.6
117.5
119.0

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
118.7
118.5
118.1
119.7
120.7
121.6
124.4
125.3
124.7
123.6
124.3
123.8
123.8
124.8

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
111.8
111.5
112.8
113.1
112.9
113.5
115.6
115.2
115.2
115.2
115.1
115.6
115.4
117.1

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22



87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
108.9
108.2
109.7
110.1
109.7
110.4
113.4
112.7
112.4
112.3
112.2
112.7
112.4
114.6

Durable
91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
117.6
117.8
118.7
118.6
118.7
119.2
118.6
119.0
119.4
119.3
119.3
120.4
120.6
120.8

Total

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
112.0
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.2
112.2
113.6
112.7
112.8
112.9
112.8
112.6
112.6
114.1

Foods
and
feeds 1

Other

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5
113.8
112.8
112.7
112.5
113.4
113.1
113.3
112.3
112.8
114.0
115.6
114.1
114.7
114.6

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
111.9
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.1
112.1
113.6
112.8
112.8
112.8
112.7
112.5
112.4
114.1

Crude materials

Total

Foodstuffs
and

Other

stuffs

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
103.1
101.1
102.3
102.6
103.2
104.7
107.0
107.3
105.9
103.1
102.6
100.1
100.7
110.1

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1
111.2
109.7
109.0
109.0
111.4
113.9
114.7
115.4
116.4
115.7
112.5
112.9
114.0
113.0

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5
93.4
91.3
93.6
94.1
93.5
94.4
97.5
97.5
94.8
90.9
91.9
87.9
88.1
103.4

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In August, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.8 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.9 percent not
seasonally adjusted). The index was 5.6 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE}

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SOME)

140

90

80

80

70
1982
SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items l

Transportation

Housing

Medical
care

Energy 2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

3.2
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9
88.5

6.2
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6
149.3

7.4
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3
94.3

48.4
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9
127.3

Shelter
Period

Rel. imp.s....
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985.
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:
Aue
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:

Feb
Mar
May
July
Aue....

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

100.0
82.4
90.9
965
99.6
103.9
107 6
109.6
113 6
118.3
124.0

Pood

Total »
Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

16.3
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2
125.1

42.0
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5
123.0

27.9
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1
132.8

7.9

19.8

103.0
108.6
115 .4
121.9
128.1
133.6
138.9

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1
137.3

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7
118.0

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total

7.5
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4
107.8

6.1
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4
118.6

New
cars

Motor
fuel

17.1
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7
114.1

4.2
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2

1

124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

124.5
124.8
125.4
125.8
126.3

125.9
126.3
126.8
127.4
128.0

123.5
123.7
124.2
124.7
125.2

133.5
133.7
134.4
135.0
135.6

139.1
138.7
139.8
140.5
141.0

138.2
138.7
139.4
140.0
140.6

118.5
118.6
118.6
119.3
119.5

107.8
108.0
108.1
108.7
109.4

116.9
118.6
119.4
119.4
119.0

114.2
113.9
114.5
114.6
115.0

118.5
118.1
118.8
119.8
120.8

88.4
87.1
88.4
86.8
86.3

150.8
151.9
153.0
154.2
155.1

93.8
93.2
94.1
93.8
94.1

127.8
128.3
128.8
129.3
129.7

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2
129.9
130.4
131.6

127.7
128.3
128.9
129.1
129.3
130.0
130.5
131.5

130.5
131.1
131.5
131.2
131.2
132.2
132.7
133.1

126.1
126.3
126.9
127.0
127.2
128.0
128.6
129.5

136.3
136.6
137.6
137.9
138.2
139.5
140.7
141.7

142.3
143.4
143.8
143.9
143.9
144.5
146.6
148.1

141.1
141.0
142.4
142.8
143.2
144.8
145.7
146.6

120.4
120.8
121.2
121.2
122.2
121.8
122.1
121.2

111.6
110.9
111.0
110.5
110.5
110.3
109.4
110.8

119.0
122.9
124.9
125.0
124.6
124.5
124.2
124.3

117.4
117.7
117.6
117.7

121.6
121.4
121.2
120.9
120.7
120.5
120.1
120.3

93.4
93.6
92.2
92.5
91.2
93.2
92.8
100.3

156.1
157.3
158.5
159.8
161.0
162.1
163.5
165.0

98.9
98.2
97.4
97.0
96.3
96.9
96.2
100.3

130.4
131.5
132.2
132.6
132.9
133.2
133.8
134.3

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1989.




in.5
118.0
118.3
120.4

NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownerahip costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

IN
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
2.3
2.2
4.0
4.9

,

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
— 6.6

5.7
5.2

4.1
3.1
5.3

o

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6
3.8

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5
5.2

Change, month to month
1989- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

-0.3
.7
.5
.1
.6

0.3
-.3
1.4
.8
.7

-0.9
1.4
.4
-.4
.6

0.3
.7
— .1
.3
.2

-2.1
.4
3.9
5.4
5.0

0.3
.7
5.5
7.6
12.4

-6.4
18

1990- Jan
Feb
Msr
Anr T

1.9
0
-.2
2
.1
.2
-.1
1.3

2.3
.7
-.5
9
.6
4
0
.8

2.7
-.6
-.3
1
-.1
.4
-.3
2.0

.2
.4
.4
.1
-.1
.4
.3
.3

10.9
10.5
7.1
-1.4
10
.3
.7
5.6

16.7
16.1
10.6
-2.5
32
-2.9
.6
1.6

MHV

r

July '

3.3
5.7
2.6

4.1
4.4
3.8
3.7
2.0

2.5
3.0
2.8
1.6
2.6

1.0
-.8
2.9
3.6
6.4

2.4
4.5
2.0

12.5
11.4
7.4
-3.8
18
1.1
.4
8.8

3.0
3.4
4.0
3.7
1.7
1.7
2.6
4.3

7.3
7.9
6.0
4.6
4.6
3.7
-.3
2.2

11.0
11.8
11.5
6.6
6.1
3.7
10
-.8

.4

3.4
4.5
4.5
3.9
3.2

4.3
4.6
5.0
4.6
4.9

7.8
8.5
5.0
4.0
4.6
4.2
-1.8
3.4

3.4
3.6
3.0
3.4
2.5
2.8
3.2
3.0

5.9
5.1
4.5
3.7
3.1
3.1
3.4
5.1

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Transportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items '

Food

Total1
Total

1

Homeowners'
costs

Renters'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total'

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earner

From
year
earner
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA
1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2
5.6

13.7
10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0
3.9

15.0
9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5
4.9

0
.2
.5
.3
.4

0.2
.3
.4
.5
.5

0.2
.2
.4
.4
.4

0.2
.1
.5
.4
.4

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9
4.5

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7
5.1

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9
3.2

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7
1.0

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0
4.0

7.4
18.8
6.8
9.4
1.5 -6.5
3.4 -1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
1.8
18.7
2.1 -2.1
2.3
6.8

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9
8.5

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5
5.1

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7
4.1

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1
4.8

Change, month to month
1989: Aug
Sept
Oct
Kov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug

1.1
.5
.5
.2
.2
.5
.4
.8

1
z

2.0
.5
.3
-.2
0
.8
.4
.3

.7
.2
.5
.1
.2
.6
.5
.7

.5
.2
.7
.2
.2
.9
.9
.7

-0.4

3
.8
.5
.4

.9
.8
.3
.1
0
.4
1.5
1.0

0.4
.4
.5
.4
.4
.4
— .1
1.0
.3
.3
1.1
.6
.6

0
.2
.1
.6
.6
2.0
-.6
.1
-.5
0
-.2
-.8
1.3

-1.2
1.5
.7
0
3

-1.0
-.3
.5
.1
.3

0.3
-.3
.6
.8
.8

-4.8
-1.5
1.5
-1.8
-.6

0.8
.7
.7
.8
.6

— 2.2
-.6
1.0
-.3
.3

0.1
.4
.4
.4
.3

0
3.3
1.6
.1
-.3
— .1
-.2
.1

2.1
.3
— .1
.1
-.2
.4
.3
1.8

.7
2
2
.2
-.2
-.2
.3

8.2
.2
-1.5
.3
-1.4
2.2
-.4
8.1

.6
.8
.8
.8
.8
.7
.9
.9

5.1
7
-.8
-.4
-.7
c

.5
.8
.5
.3
.2
.2
.5
.4

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.




.2
3

.e
~.i
4.3

2.9

3.9

8.2
3.8

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

2.3
2.3
2.9
4.2
4.9

4.3
3.8
3.4
3.3
3.6

4.7
4.3
4.5
4.7
4.6

7.5
8.2
8.5
4.5
3.2
3.5
4.4
7.0

5.2
6.2
6.7
6.0
5.6
5.9
4.4
5.1

5.2
5.3
5.2
4.7
4.4
4.7
4.8
5.6

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in August fell 1.3 percent from their July level. Prices paid by farmers in July were 0.5
percent above their April level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

180

180

160

160
PRICES PAID

140

140

120

120
PRICES RECEIVED

100

100

80

80

him

lllllllllli

mill

RATION
140

RATIO^
140

120

120
RATIO

100

100

80

80

60
1982

1984

1983

1985

1987

1986

1988

1989

HIM
1990

60

J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by fanners

Prices received by farmers

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989' Aug
Sept

.

Oct

Dec

1990' Jan
Feb
Mar

Anr
May

July r
1
2

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

Production
items

Ratio z

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
147

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
127
134

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
160

150
159
161
164
162
159
162
169
177

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
167

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
165

92

145
143
145
147
149

128
126
127
128
127

161
160
162
165
169

(3)
(3)
178
(3)
(3)

(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)

(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)

81
80
81
83
84

154
152
150
151
154
151
152
150

136
133
128
131
134
129
130
126

172
169
171
170
173
173
173
174

181
(3)
(3)
183
(3)
(3)
184
(3)

170
(3)
(3)
171
(3»
(3)
171
(3)

168
(3)
(3)
169
(3)
(3)
170
(3)

85
84
83
83
84
83
83
82

Includes items not shown separately.
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and3 wage rates. See also footnote 3.
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates *

84
84
87
79
77
78
82
83

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Growth in M2 and M3 accelerated in August.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

600

600

400

400
1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

• AVERAGES Of DAItY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Ml

M2

M3

L

Debt

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
BPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker /dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

408.9
436.5
474.5
521.2
552.1
620.1
724.7
750.4
787.5
794.8

1,629.9
1,793.5
1,953.1
2,186.5
2,371.6
2,570.6
2,814.2
2,913.2
3,072.4
3,221.6

1,987.5
2,234.2
2,441.9
2,693.4
2,982.8
3,202.1
3,494.5
3,678.7
'3,918.3
'4,044.3

2,324.2
2,596.8
2,851.6
3,154.7
3,524.1
3,829.5
4,135.5
4,338.7
'4,675.9
'4,881.5

'3,904.1
'4,292.1
'4,685.9
'5,212.6
'5,961.9
'6,773.5
'7,636.2
'8,345.1
'9,107.6
'9,788.9

6.8
6.7
8.7
9.8
5.9
12.3
16.9
3.5
4.9
.9

8.9
10.0
8.9
12.0
8.5
8.4
9.5
3.5
5.5
4.9

10.2
12.4
9.3
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.1
5.3
6.5
3.2

'9.4
'9.9
9.2
'11.2
14.4
'13.6
12.7
'9.3
9.1
'7.5

1989' Aug
Sept
Oct

780.4
782.9
788.1
789.4
794.8

3,146.9
3,163.6
3,181.9
3,201.2
3,221.6

4,013.0
'4,013.5
'4,018.1
'4,031.0
'4,044.3

4,825.3
4,832.0
4,841.9
'4,858.3
'4,881.5

'9,569.9
'9,627.8
'9,687.4
'9,750.2
'9,788.9

— 1.6
-.7
1.5
3.4
5.5

4.5
5.0
6.0
7.5
7.7

3.9
2.9
2.7
3.3
3.0

'7.8
7.5
'7.4
'7.4
'7.0

794.8
801.4
804.8
807.3
805.4
809.4
809.2
816.2

3,231.4
3,256.1
3,271.5
3,277.9
3,271.8
3,279.0
3,283.7
3,301.8

'4,049.0
4,065.2
'4,070.0
'4,073.9
'4,065.9
4,069.1
4,072.3
4,087.8

'4,885.1
'4,896.8
'4,916.6
'4,928.6
'4,900.4
4,921.3
4,933.1

'9,829.3
'9,887.1
'9,955.1
'10,010.6
' 10,053.6
10,108.7
10,171.5

4.0
5.4
5.6
4.9
4.1
3.7
3.6
3.7

6.7
6.9
6.8
6.0
4.4
3.6
3.2
2.8

2.1
2.6
2.8
2.8
1.7
1.2
1.2
1.1

'6.8
'6.6
'6.8
'6.7
'6.2
6.5
7.0

Period

1980'
19811982'
1983'
19841985'
198619871988'
1989-

TSfov

Dec
Feb
Mar
May
T
3

July

'

r

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

er at a simple annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutual fund
balances 1
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(HMD As)

Savings
deposits

Small
denomination
time
deposits 2

Large
denomination
time
deposits 2

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(EPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

1980- Dec
1981* Dec
1982- Dec
1983" Dec
1984- Dec
1985' Dec
1986- Dec
1987- Dec
1988- Dec
1989- Dec

115.3
122.6
132.5
146.2
156.0
167.8
180.6
196.7
211.8
221.9

261.4
231.4
234.1
238.5
243.9
266.8
302.1
287.0
287.0
279.7

28.0
78.2
103.6
131.6
146.9
179.6
235.5
259.7
281.3
285.7

28.8
36.6
39.9
55.6
60.6
73.5
82.3
83.2
83.3
77.4

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.8
168.2
177.2
208.7
222.0
240.9
312.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
42.8
62.1
63.9
83.8
89.0
87.1
102.3

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.8
513.0
571.0
523.8
500.3
483.7

400.1
343.8
356.7
305.4
285.1
301.2
370.1
414.9
427.8
409.0

728.5
823.2
851.0
784.1
886.8
884.0
856.2
917.8
1,031.0
1,142.3

260.4
303.0
327.2
327.6
417.4
437.0
439.8
488.8
541.1
558.3

33.5
35.3
33.4
49.9
57.6
62.4
80.5
106.1
121.7
96.9

1989- Aug

218.6
219.3
220.0
220.4
221.9

278.5
278.1
280.0
278.8
279.7

276.0
278.4
280.8
282.8
285.7

78.4
75.1
75.7
75.4
77.4

287.8
295.9
302.7
309.0
312.4

101.4
101.6
101.1
101.1
102.3

468.2
471.9
475.3
480.8
483.7

404.0
405.5
406.1
407.9
409.0

1,130.0
1,132.6
1,135.9
1,138.5
1,142.3

570.5
565.6
562.7
561.0
558.3

117.6
113.9
109.6
108.9
96.9

224.6
226.6
228.4
230.1
231.6
233.4
235.4
238.3

277.3
280.2
279.3
277.8
274.5
274.5
274.8
278.0

285.4
287.0
289.5
291.8
291.5
293.8
291.3
291.9

81.9
82.8
82.4
79.8
83.9
82.6
84.0
82.7

318.6
325.3
325.9
325.8
320.4
321.9
325.1
333.8

103.2
103.7
105.4
106.8
107.3
107.3
108.9
114.0

485.0
489.4
494.9
498.8
500.0
501.2
502.4
505.5

410.2
413.6
414.6
415.8
415.0
415.8
416.3
416.3

1,143.0
1,142.6
1,146.4
1,147.7
1,149.0
1,147.1
1,148.3
1,149.6

554.5
550.1
544.1
r
538.3
r
535.3
532.7
530.4
524.0

93.6
96.9
95.2
94.8
95.8
98.7
97.1
99.1

Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July '
Aug p

1
Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted.
2
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of les
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.5
83.8
91.0
106.0
r
81.1

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.5
91.8
100.6
109.3
117.5

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.9
298.3
280.8
254.2
272.0
330.6

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.5
42.1
37.2
44.8
40.6
41.2

98.8
105.3
113.7
133.2
160.8
207.5
231.1
260.4
335.6
347.9

89.8
85.5
80.1
r
79.3
r
81.1

115.0
115.7
116.2
116.8
117.5

300.3
311.5
317.6
318.8
330.6

42.6
41.0
40.0
40.5
41.2

354.3
350.3
350.0
351.3
347.9

r

117.7 334.3
118.2 ' 330.4
119.1 r347.8
119.9 ' 341.5
120.7 r328.9
121.5 346.6
122.4
356.9

40.7
38.3
37.0
r
35.8
r
35.3
34.6
32.8

343.3
344.7
342.7
357.5
349.6
349.4
348.2

r

r

74.1
68.8
67.2
r
66.0
r
67.5
64.3
64.0
65.5
r

NOTE,—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown
here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures l; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements

Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

198O
19811982198319841985'
19861987'
19881
1989'

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1989- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July
Aug p
1

•

-

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,235
48,373
58,023
58,593
60,593
60,033

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,049
47,055
57,197
57,815
58,877
59,767

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,653
47,554
57,499
58,298
60,121
59,787

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,380
47,336
56,653
57,546
59,545
59,110

152,525
160,936
172,947
188,275
201,673
219,350
241,427
258,055
275,238
284,946

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716
265

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130
84

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244
20

58,906
59,289
59,640
59,646
60,033

58,231
58,596
59,085
59,297
59,767

58,272
58,618
59,106
59,318
59,787

58,021
58,351
58,620
58,701
59,110

280,756
281,806
282,786
283,222
284,946

675
693
555
349
265

490
452
330
134
84

41
22
21
21
20

59,896
60,215
60,297
60,275
59,783
59,732
59,322
59,750

59,456
58,768
58,173
58,647
58,448
58,850
58,565
58,824

59,482
59,302
60,123
60,051
59,324
59,196
58,845
58,951

58,880
59,227
59,436
59,379
58,820
58,958
' 58,460
58,879

287,509
289,714
291,820
293,540
294,401
296,276
297,860
301,126

440
1,448
2,124
1,628
1,335
881
757
927

47
51
78
122
244
311
. 389
430

26
535
1,950
1,403
875
346
280
127

Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.




Nonborrowed

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.5 percent in July. Commercial and industrial loans fell 0.2 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800

2,800

ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

2,400

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200
LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

V200

200
OTHER SECURITIES

\

160

iilnm

120

1982

i

160

him iimimii imliim
1983

1985

1984

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1987
1988

1986

' SEASONALIY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

U l l l l l l l H l 120
1990

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *]

All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

1981: Dec
1982: Dec

1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July "...

Total
loans and
securities 2

U.S.
Government
securities

1,307.3
1,400.5
1,552.3
1,722.5
1,910.1
2,094.2
2,239.5
2,422.2
2,582.6
2,512.4
2,527.4
2,538.9
2,563.3
2,579.0
2,582.6
2,585.8
2,603.8
2,623.8
2,635.0
2,642.2
2,657.9
2,670.9

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.6
309.3
334.4
361.4
394.5
374.0
375.5
378.1
389.9
394.8
394.5
402.4
412.2
418.9
422.7
426.0
434.7
437.4

Other
securities

160.5
164.8
169.2
141.1
179.3
194.2
193.8
192.2
180.3
186.3
183.8
183.1
180.9
179.3
180.3
180.2
180.1
180.2
180.8
179.2
178.5
178.2

Total

2

967.5
1,034.0
1,123.9
1,321.3
1,460.3
1,590.6
1,711.2
1,868.6
2,007.9
1,952.1
1,968.2
1,977.7
1,992.5
2,004.9
2,007.9
2,003.2
2,011.6
2,024.7
2,031.6
2,037.0
2,044.7
2,055.4

Commercial
and
industrial

355.4
392.5
414.2
473.3
500.5
537.5
567.9
607.0
642.9
631.8
636.1
637.7
641.9
645.9
642.9
639.0
637.9
642.8
648.2
647.9
651.2
649.9

Real
estate

Individual

Security

Nonbank
financial
institutions

Agricultural

and
political
subdivisions

284.1
299.9
330.9
376.4
426.0
494.4
587.4
671.9
756.4
720.1
727.7
735.8
742.6
749.2
756.4
759.6
768.1
774.4
779.4
787.5
793.7
801.2

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.7
315.3
328.4
355.0
375.9
365.8
367.5
370.3
372.6
374.6
375.9
377.9
378.9
379.2
377.8
379.2
377.9
376.3

21.4
25.3
28.0
34.3
43.0
40.6
35.1
40.4
39.6
40.1
39.0
39.7
41.2
41.5
39.6
40.1
41.1
38.3
37.0
35.7
36.1
40.0

29.9
31.2
30.4
31.3
32.4
35.0
31.9
30.1
32.7
31.3
31.5
31.8
33.2
33.7
32.7
32.3
33.0
34.2
34.3
33.8
33.6
33.8

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.5
29.4
29.8
30.3
30.0
29.9
29.6
29.6
29.9
30.3
30.9
31.0
31.2
31.4
31.2
32.0
34.0

0.0
.0
3.3
46.1
56.8
58.5
52.6
45.6
40.1
42.5
42.2
41.7
41.3
40.8
40.1
38.6
38.9
38.4
38.2
37.9
37.4
36.6

1
Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.

28



2

at\A

Foreign
banks

18.1
14.6
13.4
11.2
9.8
9.9
7.9
8.1
8.6
7.9
8.1
7.5
8.5
8.0
8.6
7.9
7.8
8.4
9.0
8.8
7.5
7.1

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

Other

7.2
5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0
5.9
5.3
5.0
3.6
4.3
4.1
4.2
3.9
3.6
3.6
3.3
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.1

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0
22.4
24.6
29.2
31.4
30.7
31.0
31.3
31.7
31.6
31.4
31.6
31.6
31.8
31.6
31.8
31.5
31.9

23.1
26.9
31.8
31.0
35.9
39.6
40.7
46.4
46.4
47.7
51.0
48.0
46.0
46.0
46.4
42.1
40.2
42.9
41.6
40.0
40.7
41.4

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses
External

C edit market funds

Period
Total

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total

113.6
108.4
79 3
97 8

478.6
568.5
4464
452 8

377.4
388.3
385 1
378 2

101.2
1802
61 3
746

330
38 5
19 5
23 4

95.7
32.9

28.5
61.1

467.8
464.0

343.4
372 7

1244
91 3

24 1
33 0

-3.1
25.5

1989: lrr
H r

511.6
606.9
4659
4763

379.9
379.7
3855
3749

131.7
227.2
80.4
101 4

1990- I rp

491.9
4969

370.6
3774

121.3
119.5

n

110.5
115.6
86.2
94

92.6
58.4

-6.2
41.0
-13.6
6.2
60.5
18.5

TTT
IV *

55.1
73.1
101 6
99.9

23
24 3
165
30 6
43 0
27 1

-92.5
3.1
—85.2
58

48.5
76.5
91.9
49.8
124.7
48.2
55.1
35.3

1986
1987
1988
1989

47 0
122 1
1052
83 9
150.8
112 5
116 3
1043

18.0
118.7
1.0
36

58.9
131.7
155.5
103.9
179.8
121.3
156.8
135.2

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

256.1
2705
369.7
341 2
330.4
354.1
3783
382.2

— ISA
-45.1

241.9
2852
335.9
351.8
344.3
372.4
3914
380.0

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

303.1
392.6
474.9
425.1
481.2
466.6
494.6
486.5

54.7
35.5
105.5
56.0
64.2
29.7
70.5
80.4

300.8
4169
491.4
455.7
524.1
493.7
548 2
515.2

1982
1983
1984
1985

Loans and
short-term
paper

Capital
expenditures 3

10.4
552
63.7
54.1

53 5
28 6

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding 1

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Other

Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Other

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 2

298,154
311,259
325,805
368,966
442,602
518,252
573,017
610,468
664,701
716,624

111,991
119,008
125,945
143,560
173,564
210,187
247,428
265,851
284,556
290,770

55,111
61,070
66,454
79,088
100,280
121,816
135,851
153,078
174,057
197,110

18,736
20,058
22,064
23,562
25,861
26,850
27,096
25,920
25,201
22,343

112,317
111,124
110,802
122,756
142,897
159,400
162,642
165,620
180,887
206,401

1,671
13,105
14,546
43,161
73,636
75,650
54,765
37,451
54,233
(3)

-484
7,017
6,937
17,615
30,004
36,623
37,241
18,423
18,705
(3)

1,754
5,959
5,384
12,634
21,192
21,536
14,035
17,227
20,979
(3)

529
1,322
2,546
958
2,299
989
246
-1,176
-719
(3)

-127
1 193
-322
11,954
20,141
16,503
3,242
2,978
15,267
(3)

1989' July 2

700,000
703,518
705,703
710,133
713,903
716,624

289,882
289,961
288,839
290,210
290,972
290,770

186,284
189,185
190,378
191,734
194,679
197,110

23,240
22,734
22,661
22,621
22,197
22,343

200,594
201,638
203,825
205,568
206,055
206,401

2,739
3,518
2,185
4,430
3,769
2,722

-701
79
-1,122
1,371
761
202

2,045
2,900
1,194
1,356
2,944
2,431

69
-506
73
-40
424
146

1,463
1,044
2,187
1,743
487
346

717,829
717,869
720,445
720,835
724,485
724,601
729,066

290,904
289,629
290,932
288,936
288,931
287,168
286,634

199,146
199,927
202,263
203,965
207,153
208,362
212,128

22,604
22,633
22,708
22,702
22,815
22,733
22,766

205,175
205,680
204,543
205,232
205,585
206,338
207,539

1,205
40
2,576
390
3,650
116
4,465

134
-1,275
1,303
-1,996
-5
1,764
-534

2,036
781
2,336
1,702
3,188
1,208
3,766

261
29
74
-6
113
-83
33

-1,226
505
-1,137
689
353
753
1,201

1980'
19811982'
19831984'
1985'
1986198719881989-

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990' Jan
Peb
Mar
May
July*
1

For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988
and subsequent months.




3
Because of breaks in series, net change not available.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

OQ

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Short-term interest rates were little changed in September, while longer-term rates rose.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

A
\

^

A

\
\\

!\>
/ y*
1

V

,
v

i

VnP

n•.I

/

! \

^

/ *

/ * • • > .
v

/

\

-'\
\

/

\

-

\

CORPORATE Aaa BONOS

\

1
il
!

/

/ V
\

-

V

\

f

U

,.,..../

/
DISCOUNT

(MOODY'S)

\

^*
/\
V^ —N

•
\

RATE

/
/
/

'A \j

/

V../"v ***.

RESERVE
BANK OF
NEW YORK

1 1 M 1 1 1 M 1 1

1 1 M 1 1 ! I t 1 1

1984

1983

1985

\

'

/

/ r~

/'\

1982

J

--->.

••-..

\X'

"\]
,..,--,--/

I 1 1 I ! 1 1 1 !L

\

\
TREASURY
BILLS

FEDERAL

l!

„

\\ //-- \\^
T'"

\
\

../

•'

'

—,

J

'''-'

11111111111

I i i l l 1 l 11 1 I
1986

1988

1987

11 1 I 1

1 I I

i

1 1

1990

1989

SOURCE; SEE TABLE BELOW

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

1981
1982..
1983
1984
1985
1986

1987
1988
1989
1989' Sept

Oct

Nov
Dec

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July
Sept p
Week ended:
1990: Sept 1 r
8
15
22
29 "
1
2

3-month bills
(new issues) *

Constant maturities2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
honds
(Standard3 &
Poor's)




Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months 1

Discount rate
(N.Y. P.K.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged5by
banks

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHFB)6

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69
8.12

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26
8.55

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85
8.49

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76
7.24

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71
9.26

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68
8.80

13.42
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20
6.93

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.21
9.32
10.87

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19
10.13

7.72
7.63
7.65
7.64

8.26
8.02
7.80
7.77

8.19
8.01
7.87
7.84

7.27
7.22
7.13
7.01

9.01
8.92
8.89
8.86

8.50
8.24
8.00
7.93

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50

10.24
10.11
10.09
10.07

7.64
7.76
7.87
7.78
7.78
7.74
7.66
7.44
7.38

8.13
8.39
8.63
8.78
8.69
8.40
8.26
8.22
8.27

8.21
8.47
8.59
8.79
8.76
8.48
8.47
8.75
8.90

7.13
7.21
7.29
7.36
7.34
7.22
7.15
7.31
7.40

8.99
9.22
9.37
9.46
9.47
9.26
9.24
r
9.41
9.56

7.96
8.04
8.23
8.29
8.23
8.06
7.90
7.77
7.82

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.50-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-

9.91
9.88
10.03
10.17
10.28
10.13
10.08
10.11

7.49
7.39
7.41
7.39
7.32

8.33
8.24
8.24
8.25
8.36

8.88
8.85
8.84
8.92
8.99

7.43
7.39
7.32
7.37
7.53

0.56
9.57
9.54
9.51
9.64

7.89
7.72
7.75
7.81
8.02

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-

Bank-discount basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

30

Corporate
Aaa bonds4
(Moody's)

5

Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Iteserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices fell in September.

140

INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO JCALE)
240
220
200
•S~**\N^-X"\
180
COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX s^S\
^S
160
(NYSE)
\
- , -4(
V s^"
'
140

120

120

INDE> , DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180
160

N

v~—

100

80

60

40

•~J

^n^-^r~

100

80

60

1 1 1 11 111 I 1 1
1982

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 11

1 1 1 1 t 1 ! 1 I 1 ! | t \ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1

1984

1983

1987

1986

1985

1 1 1 11 i 1 1 1 1 1
1988

1 I t I 1 1 1 1 1 I!
lilllililll

1989

PERCENT

PERC ENT
20

20

15

15

v

^

10

EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS

\~

10

"

^r-jL— _

^

5
0

I

1

!

1982
SOURCES: NEW YORK

I

!

1

1983

STOCK EXCHANGE A

1

I 1
1984

ND STANDARD & POC

1

!

I

1985

i i i
1986

.___-—'

r ^
\ \ \

!

1987

'
I

1

i

r
I

I

1989

1988

5
I

1

I 1

1990

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31, 1965
Period
Composite

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989- Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July
Aug r .
Sept*
Week ended:
1990: Sept 1 '
8
15
22
29 »
1
Average of daily closing prices.
2
Includes all the stocks (more than
3
Includes 30 stocks.
4
Includes 500 stocks.
5

Industrial

0

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

>R'S CORPORATION

Common stock prices 1

Transportation

Utility

Finance

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index
(194143 = 10)4

Dividendprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
180.02
193.02
192.49
188.50
192.67
187.96
182.55
186.26
185.61
191.35
196.68
196.61
181.45
173.52

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
216.23
230.86
229.40
224.38
230.12
225.79
220.60
226.14
226.86
234.85
242.42
245.86
226.73
217.23

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
175.28
202.02
190.36
174.26
177.25
173.67
166.69
175.08
173.54
173.53
177.37
173.18
147.41
137.31

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77
87.43
93.44
94.67
94.95
99.73
95.69
92.15
93.00
91.92
93.29
93.65
89.85
85.81
83.24

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
151.88
165.51
166.55
160.89
155.63
150.11
142.68
143.14
138.57
142.94
147.93
143.11
128.14
119.03

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82
2,508.91
2,693.41
2,692.01
2,642.49
2,728.47
2,679.24
2,614.18
2,700.13
2,708.26
2,793.81
2,894.82
2,934.23
2,681.89
2,556.15

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79
322.84
347.33
347.40
340.22
348.57
339.97
330.45
338.47
338.18
350.25
360.39
360.03
330.75
315.93

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64
3.45
3.29
3.29
3.39
3.33
3.41
3.54
3.49
3.51
3.44
3.36
3.37
3.65
3.85

176.48
177.16
175.90
173.13
167.40

221.23
222.11
220.45
216.66
209.03

140.95
140.55
139.35
137.58
131.18

82.71
83.03
82.95
83.57
83.41

123.91
124.36
122.76
117.88
110.46

2,613.32
2,614.36
2,600.15
2,545.35
2,456.44

321.65
322.84
320.14
315.15
304.72

3.76
3.76
3.79
3.81
4.03

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01
7.41
6.79

6.47
6.37

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
1,500) b'sted on the NYSE.

Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-




40

1990

NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

OUTLAYS,
In the first 11 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $241.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $145.8
billion a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,300

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^

1,300
1,200

1,200

OUTLAYS!/

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

900

900
\
RECEIPTS^/

800

800

700

700

600

600

0

_ SURPLUS OR DEFICIT HI/ .

0

-100

-100

-200

-200

FISCAL YEARS
!/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

1976
Transition quarter..
1977....
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982 .
1983
1984
1985
1986..
1987
1988
1989
1990 (estimates) 1
1991 (estimates) *

Outlays

Eeceipts

Outlays

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Surplus
or deficit
<-)

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

-73.7
-14.7
-53.6
59 2
-40.2
-73.8
-78.9
-127.9
207 8
-185.3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

-70.5
-13.3
49 7
-54.9
-38.2
-72.7
-73.9
120 0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

32
-1.4
-3.9
43
-2.0
11
-5.0
-7.9
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,044.2
1,135.4

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,264.3
1,311.7

-212.3
-221.2
149 7
-155.1
-152.0
220 1
-176.3

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
727.0
762.8
823.2

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
931.7
1,038.8
1,076.3

-221.6
237 9
-169.3
-193.9
204 7
-276.0
-253.1

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
263.7
281.5
312.1

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
210.9
225.5
235.4

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
52.8
56.0
76.8

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,866.2
3,206.1
3,521.5

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,189.3
2,399.0
2,573.0

891.5
928.6

1,037.3
1,170.3

-145.8
-241.7

651.3
671.3

847.1
946.7

195 8
-275.4

240.1
257.3

190.2
223.7

50.0
33.7

2,844.7
3,183.4

2,181.8
2,412.0

Cumulative total, first 11
months: 2 .
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990 . .

1
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget, July 16,
1990.
2
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement,

32



NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Tear 1991, January
1990, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 11 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $37.1 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were
$133.0 billion higher.
BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

. RECEIPTS1^

500

500

•

400

400

._.—-"""*'

300

_ — — — — •"""""

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION
INCOME TAXES
\

OTHER RECEIPTS

200
100

100

i

0

T

i

i

i

i

i

i

i

1,000

^

1,000

^ **""

900

^ -••**
NOMDEFENSE

\

-~~~~

800

---"""

700

__..--""

600
500

500

400

400

NATIONAL LJtl-tNSt

300
'

300

'

200
4
V

T

1982

1

1983

1

1984

I

1985

1

1986

I

1987

I

1988

1989

I

|

K

200

1991 ^

1990

FISCAL YEARS
/'INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Corporation
income
taxes

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,044.2
1,135.4

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.7
476.1
508.4

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.6
98.2
115.1

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
380.2
418.1

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.0
89.7
93.8

891.5
928.6

400.7
420.0

83.9
76.2

330.2
349.0

76.8
83.4

Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987..
1988
1989
1990 (estimates) l
1991 (estimates) 1
Cumulative total, first 11 months: 2
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990
1
2

National defense

Individual
income
taxes

Fiscal year

Other

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January




Social
security

Net
interest

Other

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
58.2
66.2

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
96.9
99.6

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.0
148.5
160.5

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.5
248.7
266.9

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
181.4
193.7

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.4
215.3
203.3

45.3
53.3

77.1
89.8

124.6
138.1

213.0
247.9

155.6
168.1

138.0
183.5

International
affairs

Health

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

946.3
990.3
1 ,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,264.3
1,311.7

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
299.8
303.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
294.9
290.2
292.2

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
15.5
18.2

1,037.3
1,170.3

274.9
277.8

267.1
269.2

8.7
11.8

Total

See footnote 1, page 32.
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.

Income
security

Department of
Defense,
military

Total

Medicare

1990, except aa noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the second quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $25.2 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $22.9 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,200

1,200

1,000

1,000

800 -

600

400

200

-200

-200
1982

1986

1983

1990

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1985
1986 ..
1987
1988
1989
Calendar year:
1985 .
1986
1987 ..
1988
1989
1982: IV....
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986- IV
1987: IV
1988: IV
1989- I

n
m
rv

1990:

I r

n

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals




Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
Payments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

776.8
815.2
899.4
957.6
1,041.9

340.4
357.0
400.8
411.3
457.6

74.6
81.1
99.1
108.1
113.8

55.9
50.9
53.5
55.6
57.8

305.8
962.3
326.1 1,028.0
345.9 1,060.0
382.6 1,101.8
412.6 1,172.2

341.5
368.6
375.4
377.8
399.0

374.0
394.6
411.1
433.2
462.0

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.3
115.8

128.3
134.6
139.3
148.8
167.7

20.7
22.8
31.1
33.6
27.7

-0.1
.0
.1
-.1
.0

788.7
827.9
913.8
972.4
1,052.9
633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
940.0
997.5
1,045.4
1,062.2
1,048.1
1,055.7
1,080.6
1,105.8

346.4
361.4
405.8
415.1
464.0
303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
419.2
424.8
453.1
470.9
462.2
469.6
473.6
492.1

76.3
83.8
103.2
110.5
110.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
107.4
115.4
120.7
115.0
104.7
101.3
106.5
109.2

55.1
50.5
54.0
57.0
58.4
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
55.1
57.8
57.6
58.0
59.3
58.7
60.6
60.5

310.9
332.1
350.8
389.8
420.1
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
358.4
399.6
413.9
418.4
421.9
426.1
439.9
444.0

355.2
366.5
381.3
380.3
400.0
293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.2
401.1
398.3
402.5
399.2
399.9
410.6
421.9

380.1
399.9
414.0
438.9
471.9
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
421.4
447.2
460.6
464.7
474.4
487.9
503.4
510.4

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.1
118.2
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
102.7
112.2
116.7
117.0
117.6
121.5
128.5
131.5

130.1
135.6
142.3
151.3
172.0
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
147.6
157.9
167.4
173.4
172.1
175.2
178.1
184.3

20.3
26.0
31.8
32.7
25.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
41.5
35.3
35.0
27.3
16.5
21.3
28.3
23.8

-.2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
-.2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

985.6
1,034.8
1,071.9
1,114.2
1,187.2
835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,101.7
1,153.8
1,178.0
1,184.9
1,179.8
1,205.8
1,248.8
1,271.7

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

-185.5
-160.7
-130.3
-196.9
9Ofi Q,
-158.2
-141.7
10 A 0

-202.6
i cq o
-187.5
919 9

-161.7
i re q

-132.6
-122.7
-150.1
1CD Q

- 166.0

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

1980
1981

1982.
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 *

108.3
108.4
107.8
108.2
108.2
107.7
108.1
108.6

1989- May
July
Sept
Oct
NOT
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

.

. ..

July"
AUK*
1

Canada
r

83.1

r
84.8
r

76.5
81.5
91.4
r
96.5
r
95.7
' 100.0
r
105.0
* 105.1
r
r

T

105.9
105.5
105.2
' 105.3
r
105.2
' 104.0
r
104.4
r
104.7
r
r

Japan

France

81.7
82.6
82.9
85.5
934
96.8
96.6
100.0
109.3
115.7

98.9
98.3
97.3
96.5
97.1
97.2
98.0
100.0
104.7
108.9

114.8
117.1
114.2
117.6
115.8
115.8
116.8
116.9

107.5
108.3
109.4
109.4
108.1
108.4
108.9
107.6

107.5 r 102.4 117.2 109.0
108.5
' 102.3 116.5 ' 106.8
108.9 ' 102.6 118.8 ' 107.5
108.8
' 102.0 117.9 r 109.0
109.4 r 102.9 121.0 ' 109.2
' 110.0 103.2 r!21.1 109.7
r
110.0
122.9
109.8

Consumer prices (1982-84=100)

United
Kingdom

United
States'

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

96.2
95.0
93.2
94.8
90.3
91.8
90.9
88.8
91.8
93.5
92.9
97.7
96.2
99.6
100.0
100.0
103.9 105.9
108.7 ' 109.2

87.5
84.8
86.4
r
89.7
89.8
94.6
96.8
100.0
103.8
104.3

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3
124.0

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2
129.3

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7
108.1

72.2
81.8
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.4
128.9

86.8
92.2
97.0
100.3
102.7
r
104.8
104.7
104.9
106.3
109.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.1
128.5
134.4
141.1
150.4

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6
135.4

104.6 105.2
108.3
108.8
110.7
110.0
110.2 ' 108.7
110.0 r 110.5
110.0 ' 110.8
110.1 r lll,4
111.4 " 114.6

102.5
102.6
103.8
105.0
104.8
104.7
104.3
104.9

123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

128.9
129.6
130.4
130.5
130.7
131.2
131.6
131.5

108.7
108.6
108.4
108.3
109.2
110.0
108.9
109.0

128.5
128.7
129.0
129.2
129.5
130.1
130.3
130.5

109.3
109.4
109.3
109.2
109.4
109.7
109.9
110.2

149.6
150.3
150.7
150.9
151.6
153.1
153.7
154.4

135.1
135.6
135.7
136.1
137.0
138.1
139.2
139.6

' 104.0
' 103.5
r
105.5
' 106.8
' 105.9
107.9
104.0

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2
129.9
130.4
131.6

132.7
133.4
133.9
133.9
134.6
135.1
135.8
135.8

109.2
109.5
109.9
110.8
111.6
111.0
110.9

130.8
131.1
131.6
132.1
132.3
132.6
132.9

110.9
111.3
111.4
111.6
111.8
111.9
111.9
112.2

155.3
156.5
157.1
157.7
158.0
158.7
159.3

140.4
141.2
142.6
147.0
148.3
148.9
149.0
150.5

Italy

Germany

107.3
111.4
110.4
109.5
106.7

112.6
111.1
112.6
109.9
113.6
r
!13.7
115.5

Italy

United
Kingdom

Source: National sources aa reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

Data relate to all urban consumers.

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[BUlions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) l

General merchandise imports (customs value) a

Principal end-use commodity category
Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(ronfood)
except
automotive

Other 2

Poods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

244.0
258.0
330.7
4
336.5
365.4
406.2
441.0
473.2

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8
25.1

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3
132.3

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4
113.3

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7
86.1

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9
102.9

6.5
6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8
13.6

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

205.6
224.0
5
218.8
5
227.2
254.1
322.4
363.8

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3
37.2

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1
99.3

72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2
138.8

15.7
16.8
"0.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3
34.8

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1
36.4

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4
17.2

Sept
Oct
NOT
Dec

29.9
30.2
30.1
31.4
30.6
31.3

3.0
3.0
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.0

8.4
8.5
8.1
8.4
8.3
7.9

11.8
11.7
12.3
12.3
11.1
12.3

2.5
2.7
2.6
3.1
3.0
3.1

2.9
3.0
2.9
3.0
3.4
3.4

1.3
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.6

39.0
40.5
38.9
41.6
40.5
38.1

2.1
2.1
1.9
2.1
2.1
2.0

11.2
11.6
10.5
11.9
11.1
10.4

9.3
9.6
9.4
9.9
10.0
9.4

6.8
7.2
7.0
7.2
7.0
6.5

8.6
8.8
8.8
9.1
9.0
8.4

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar

31.4
31.6
33.3

May

32.8
34.2
32.0

3.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
2.9
3.4
2.8

8.6
8.0
8.6
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.1

12.0
12.8
12.8
12.4
12.7
13.5
12.8

2.5
2.8
3.3
3.0
3.5
3.4
3.0

3.4
3.4
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.9
3.7

1.8
1.6
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.6
1.7

41.6
38.7
41.6
39.4
40.5
39.6
41.4

2.3
2.3
2.5
2.3
2.3
2.1
2.1

12.9
11.1
11.5
10.5
11.3
10.5
11.0

9.8
9.1
9.8
9.8
9.5
9.6
10.1

6.4
6.7
7.9
6.9
7.5
7.3
7.5

8.9
8.3
8.7
8.7
8.7
8.5
9.2

Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Total 2

216.4

1989- July

1

ft
goods
except
automotive

72.7
67.2

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988.
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
4
Total includes revisions not reflected in detail.
B
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical
2

3




Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Total

4

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Exports
(f.a.s) less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5
493.2

-27.5
-52.4
- 106.7
-117.7
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
- 109.4

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1
-129.4

1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.3
1.2

40.7
42.3
40.5
43.4
42.3
39.7

-9.1
-10.3
-8.8
— 10.2
-9.9
-6.8

-10.8
-12.1
-10.4
— 12.0
-11.7
-8.4

1.3
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4

43.4
40.4
43.5
41.1
42.4
41.3
43.2

— 10.2
-7.1
-8.4
-7.3
-7.8
-5.3
93

-12.1
-8.8
-10.2
-9.1
96

month basis.
NOTE.—Data, shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

-7.1
-11.2

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the second quarter of 1PPO, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $22.6 billion from $26.3 billion in the first
quarter. The current account deficit rose slightly, to $21.8 billion from $21.7 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

10

10

-30

-35

-40

45
1990
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (+), debits (—)1
Merchandise * 2
Period
Exports

1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1988- I

n
m

IV
1989: I

n
m

IV
1990: I r
II *
1
2
3

237 085
211,198
201 820
219900

215 935
223,367
250 266
320 337
360 465
76497
79,392
80,511
83,937
88,267
91,111
89,349
91,738
96,262
96,741

Imports

265 063
—247,642
— 268 900
332 422
338 083
— 368,425
409 766
—447 323
475 329
— 109 988
-110,494
-111,290
-115,551
-116,360
-119,333
-119,152
- 120,484
- 122,545
-119,316

Net balance

27 978

36444
— 67 080
112 522
— 122 148
— 145 058
159 500
126 986
114 864
— 33 491
-31,102
-30,779
-31,614
-28,093
-28,222
-29,803
-28,746
-26,283
-22,575

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.

36



Investment income 4

Services
Net
military
transactions 3
844
112
163
2 147

—4096
—4907
3 530
5452
6 320
1 075
-1,139
-1,144
-2,094
-1,763
-1,667
— 1,114
-1,776
-1,287
-1,342

Net

transportation
receipts
144

—992
4 227
9 153
— 10 788
— 8939
8 298
—4060
659
— 1 776
-1,062
-624
-599
-57
39
-192
870
1,075
816

Other
services,
net 4

12 552
12 981
13 859
14 042
14008

18,551
18 262
21 032
26 123
4 736
5,079
5,391
5,829
5,899
6,164
7,031
7,030
6,217
6,607

Receipts
on U.S.
assets
abroad
84975
85346

Payments
on foreign
assets in
U.S. 3
— 53 626
— 57,097

81 972 —54 549
92 935 — 69 542
82 282 — 66,115
80,982 -70,013
85 210
90 536
110 048 — 108,438
127 536 — 128 448
26980 — 24,580
26,739 -26,330
27,942 -28,083
28,386 -29,445
30,872 -30,407
31,932 -33,889
32,102 -32,085
32,629 -32,068
31,541 -29,546
30,927 -31,564

RemitBalance on
goods,
Net

31 349
28,250
27,423
23 394
16,166
10,969
5326
1,610
r
— 913
2,400
409
-141
-1,059
465
-1,957
17
561
1,995
-637

and income

pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers,
net '

Balance
on current
account

15,223
3,907

-8,331
-9,775

6,892
-5,868

-30,188
— 86,385
- 106,859
- 129,384
— 147,739
-113,857
— 95,314
-29,206
-27,815
-27,297
-29,537
-23,549
-25,643
-24,061
-22,061
- 18,283
-17,131

-9,956
— 12,621
-15,473
- 16,009
-14,575
- 15,005
- 14,720
-3,476
-3,060
-3,461
-5,008
-3,555
-3,006
-3,530
-4,631
-3,385
-4,713

-40,143
-99,006
-122,332
- 145,393
-162,314
-128,862
-110,034
-32,682
-30,875
-30,758
-34,545
-27,104
-28,649
-27,591
-26,692
-21,668
-21,844

4
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the
United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.

See p. 37 for continuation of table.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $12.1 billion in the second quarter
of 1990, compared to a decrease of $52.4 billion in the first quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by
U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $2.9 billion in the second quarter, compared to a decrease of
$32.3 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS
IN THE U.S., NET

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD, NET

-20

-40

-60

-60
1990
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/capit
Period
Total

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 3 5

26,079
65,270
49,797
80,295

24,840
5,970
-2,015
10,720

1,239
59,300
51,812
69,575

2,034
- 14,539
23,344
-19,242

2,970
-2,995
4 630
4,656

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

-4,000
12 095
-5,996
-3,202

962
-303
574
-47

-29,821
11,017
38654
-45,496

68,402
2,794
74,136
69,320

7,797
-4,961
13,003
-7,016

60,605
7,755
61,133
76,336

-8,439
27,236
-2,469
6,117

3,093
1 697
-4,953
3,560

49,854
60,502
68,418
74,609

3 177
371

-659
624

36,713
26 190

32 988
21,957

-8,203
6,284

-24,786
15,673

21,780
26,330

2,804
-1,036

76,303
77,298

1990: I r

32,877

5
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF.




19,934
36,612
11,374
27,456
20,041
15,824
6,790
8404
22,443

4,661
- 19,048
-36,960
31 885

-32,859
1 381
-44,076
-48,745

1,093

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 5
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

1 594
-847
1,957
3,452

n
m
rv

UP .... -26,443

Other
foreign
assets

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
173,260
181,927
205,829

1,502
39
7 380
1,925

IV
1989: I

Foreign
official
assets

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
1 083
35,588
45,210
39,515
8,823

4,569
-19,856
42 383
-26,508

n
m

Total

Statistical discrepancy

83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,599
218,470
221,442
214,652

-5,175
-4,965
-1,196
-3,131
-3,858
312
9,149
-3,912
25 293

1988: I

U.S.
private
assets

Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDEs)

100,679
-5,097
-6,131 -113,394
49898
5006
-22,451
-5,489
21 043
2 821
-2,022 -90,321
73,091
997
2,969 -83,232
1,185 - 102,953

-110,951
124 490
-56,100
-31,070
-27,721
-92,030
-62,946
-84,176
127 061

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase/capital inflow (+)] 3

]

30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802
74,609

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

,

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

,

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
' Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing ^Office,
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38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1990

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