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103d Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
MAY 1993
(Includes data available as of June 2, 1993}

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

riiDEHAL R t S E R v t
•3ANK OF CHICAGO

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1993

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
DAVID R. OBEY, Wisconsin, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
KWEISI MFUME (Maryland)
RON WYDEN (Oregon)
MICHAEL A. ANDREWS (Texas)
RICHARD K. ARMEY (Texas)
JIM SAXTON (New Jersey)
CHRISTOPHER C. COX (California)
JIM RAMSTAD (Minnesota)

SENATE
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
CHARLES S. ROBB (Virginia)
BYRON L. DORGAN (North Dakota)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)
LARRY E. CRAIG (Idaho)
ROBERT F. BENNETT (Utah)

STEVEN QUICK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
LAURA D. TYSON, Chair
ALAN S. BLINDER, Chief Economist
JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ, Chief Economist
[PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949Charts prepared by the Art Production Section, Design and Graphics Branch,
Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.75 a single copy
($3.44 foreign), or by subscription at $30.00 per year ($37.50 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402
For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office
Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop: SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-9328
ISBN 0-16-040955-1

11




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
In the first quarter of 1993, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) rose 4.4
percent (annual rate), real GDP (GDP in 1987 dollars) rose 0.9 percent, and the implicit price deflator rose 3.3
percent.
BILUON S OF DOLLARS IRATO SCALE)
6,400

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
6,400
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

X-1
f

6,000

6,000

p
5,600

5,400
^^

5,200

x

GDP

4,800

IN I9B7DOUJ^Rb

5,200

X'
^

^_^

——^

4,800

^'

r'l

4,400
^ """

<
1
S^
& GDPDC LIARS
INC URRENT

X

4,000
,
/

4..400

^'

4,000

3,600

3,600

/^

3,200

2,800

i

I i
1982

1

1

1

\

1983

\ \
1984

3,200

I

I

I I

1985

I i
1986

i i i
1987

I I I
1988

i

i I
1989

i i i
1990

1

1 '
1991

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

i i i
1992

i I i
1993

2,800

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

u
ra
IV

n
ra

IV
1993- I '
1

Gross
Personal
private
conGross
domestic sumption domestic
product expendi- investment
tures
3,777.2
4,038.7
4,268.6
4,539.9
4,900.4
5,250.8
5,522.2
5,677.5
5,950.7
3,195.1
3,547.3
3,869.1
4,140.5
4,336.6
4,683.0
5,044.6
5,344.8
5,561.3
5,585.8
5,657.6
5,713.1
5,753.3
5,840.2
5,902.2
5,978.5
6,081.8
6,148.0

2,460.3
2,667.4
2,850.6
3,052.2
3,296.1
3,523.1
3,748.4
3,887.7
4,095.8
2,128.7
2,346.8
2,526.4
2,739.8
2,923.1
3,124.6
3,398.2
3,599.1
3,818.2
3,821.7
3,871.9
3,914.2
3,942.9
4,022.8
4,057.1
4,108.7
4,194.8
4,238.6

718.9
714.5
717.6
749.3
793.6
832.3
799.5
721.1
770.4
464.2
614.8
722.8
737.0
697.1
800.2
814.8
825.2
739.0
705.4
710.2
732.8
736.1
722.4
773.2
781.6
804.3
844.1

Federal
Net
exports
- 102.7
-115.6
- 132.5
-143.1
- 108.0
-79.7
68.9
-21.8
-30.4
-29.5
-71.8
-107.1
- 135.5
-133.2
- 143.2
-106.0
-73.9
-67.2
-28.7
15.3
-27.1
-16.0
8.1
-37.1
-36.0
-40.5
-50.9

Exports

Imports

302.4
302.1
319.2
364.0
444.2
508.0
557.0
598.2
636.3
265.6
286.2
308.7
304.7
333.9
392.4
467.0
523.8
579.7
573.2
594.3
602.3
622.9
628.1
625.4
639.0
652.7
649.7

405.1
417.6
451.7
507.1
552.2
587.7
625.9
620.0
666.7
295.1
358.0
415.7
440.2
467.1
535.6
573.1
597.7
646.9
602.0
609.6
629.5
638.9
636.2
662.5
675.0
693.2
700.5

GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Government purchases

Exports and imports of goods
and services
Total

Total
700.8
772.3
833.0
881.5
918.7
975.2
1,043.2
1,090.5
1,114.9
631.6
657.6
727.0
799.2
849.7
901.4
937.6
994.5
1,071.3
1,087.5
1,090.8
1,093.3
1,090.3
1,103.1
1,109.1
1,124.2
1,123.3
1,116.1

310.9
344.3
367.8
384.9
387.0
401.6
426.4
447.3
449.1
281.4
289.7
324.7
356.9
373.1
392.5
392.0
405.1
438.3
451.3
449.9
447.2
440.8
445.0
444.8
455.2
451.6
441.2

National
defense
233.1
258.6
276.7
292.1
295.6
299.9
314.0
323.8
315.8
205.5
222.8
242.9
268.6
278.6
295.8
296.8
302.5
323.2
332.4
325.9
321.9
314.7
313.6
311.7
319.6
318.2
304.3

Nondefense
77.8
85.7
91.1
92.9
91.4
101.7
112.4
123.6
133.4
75.9
66.9
81.9
88.3
94.5
96.7
95.2
102.6
115.0
118.8
124.0
125.3
126.1
131.4
133.1
135.7
133.4
136.9

State
and
local
389.9
428.1
465.3
496.6
531.7
573.6
616.8
643.2
665.8
350.3
367.9
402.2
442.4
476.6
509.0
545.7
589.3
633.0
636.3
640.8
646.0
649.5
658.0
664.3
669.0
671.7
674.9

Final
sales of
domestic
product

Gross
domestic
purchases '

Addendum:
Gross
national
product

3,706.1
4,014.1
4,260.0
4,513.7
4,884.2
5,217.5
5,515.9
5,687.7
5,946.3
3,241.4
3,527.1
3,818.1
4,107.9
4,355.4
4,623.7
5,027.3
5,314.6
5,592.3
5,614.4
5,679.4
5,712.9
5,744.2
5,855.9
5,894.1
5,963.5
6,071.5
6,109.0

3,879.9
4,154.3
4,401.2
4,683.0
5,008.4
5,330.5
5,591.1
5,699.3
5,981.1
3,224.6
3,619.1
3,976.2
4,276.0
4,469.8
4,826.2
5,150.7
5,418.7
5,628.5
5,614.6
5,672.9
5,740.3
5,769.3
5,848.3
5,939.4
6,014.5
6,122.3
6,198.9

3,801.5
4,053.6
4,277.7
4,544.5
4,908.2
5,266.8
5,542.9
5,694.9
5,961.9
3,222.6
3,578.4
3,890.2
4,156.2
4,340.5
4,690.5
5,054.3
5,365.0
5,592.7
5,614.9
5,674.3
5,726.4
5,764.1
5,859.8
5,909.3
5,992.0
6,086.8
6,168.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN 1987 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment
Gross
domestic
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

4,148.5
4,279.8
4,404.5
4,539.9
4,718.6
4,838.0
4,877.5
4,821.0
4,922.6

Federal
Nonresidential
fixed
investment

Residential
fixed
investment

Change
in
business
inventories

2,746.1
2,865.8
2,969.1
3,052.2
3,162.4
3,223.3
3,260.4
3,240.8
3,314.0

490.2
521.8
500.3
497.8
530.8
540.0
538.1
500.2
515.0

199.3
202.0
226.2
225.2
222.7
214.2
194.8
170.2
192.6

67.9
22.1
8.5
26.3
19.9
29.8
6.2
-9.3
5.0

3,759.6
4,012.1
4,194.2
4,333.5
4,427.1
4,625.5
4,779.7
4,856.7

2,539.3
2,678.2
2,784.8
2,895.3
3,012.5
3,074.7
3,202.9
3,242.0

4,890.8
4,902.7
4,882.6
4,833.8

1991- I

4,796.7
4,817.1
4,831.8
4,838.5

1992- I

Period

Government purchases

Exports and imports of
goods and services

State
and
local

Final
sales of
domestic
product

Gross
domestic
purchases l

Addendum:
Gross
national
product

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

-122.0
-145.3
-155.1
-143.1
104.0

-73.7
-51.8
-21.8
-41.8

305.7
309.2
329.6
364.0
421.6
471.8
510.0
539.4
573.2

427.7
454.6
484.7
507.1
525.7
545.4
561.8
561.2
615.0

766.9
813.4
855.4
881.5
886.8
904.4
929.9
941.0
937.8

331.0
355.2
373.0
384.9
377.3
376.1
383.6
388.3
375.6

245.8
265.6
280.6
292.1
287.0
281.4
283.3
282.8
265.0

89.5
92.4
92.9
90.2
94.8
100.3
105.5
110.6

436.0
458.2
482.4
496.6
509.6
528.3
546.3
552.7
562.2

4,080.6
4,257.6
4,395.9
4,513.7
4,698.6
4,808.3
4,871.3
4,830.3
4,917.6

4,270.5
4,425.1
4,559.6
4,683.0
4,822.6
4,911.7
4,929.3
4,842.8
4,964.4

4,174.5
4,295.0
4,413.5
4,544.5
4,726.3
4,852.7
4,895.9
4,836.4
4,932.8

417.2
449.6
509.6
525.5
495.5
510.6
538.8
536.7

131.2 -44.9 -19.0
190.6
29.3 -83.7
198.8
47.9 — 131.4
30.2 - 155.4
207.4
230.5 — 20.1 -156.0
59.9 -136.0
223.3
20.9 -102.7
225.3
208.0
24.9 -67.4

280.4
291.5
312.8
312.0
342.9
386.1
438.2
487.7

299.4
375.1
444.2
467.4
498.9
522.1
540.9
555.0

735.9
748.1
784.3
830.5
864.8
893.0
894.5
912.6

316.0
322.2
341.7
363.7
377.5
391.6
378.4
376.1

229.4
242.9
254.3
272.1
282.2
295.0
285.7
281.5

86.6
79.3
87.4
91.6
95.3
96.6
92.7
94.7

419.9
425.9
442.6
466.7
487.3
501.4
516.1
536.5

3,804.5
3,982.8
4,146.2
4,303.3
4,447.2
4,565.6
4,758.7
4,831.8

3,778.6
4,095.8
4,325.5
4,488.9
4,583.1
4,761.5
4,882.4
4,924.1

3,791.7
4,046.6
4,216.4
4,349.5
4,430.8
4,633.0
4,789.0
4,875.1

3,259.5
3,260.1
3,273.9
3,248.0

544.8
535.6
542.9
529.3

7.5
210.7
32.8
201.8
11.2
189.1
177.5 -26.8

-58.4
-56.9
-59.3
— 32.7

500.2
508.7
508.4
522.6

558.6
565.6
567.7
555.3

926.8
929.4
924.8
938.5

383.4
385.4
378.3
387.3

284.9
285.1
277.3
285.8

98.5
100.3
101.0
101.5

543.4
544.0
546.5
551.2

4,883.3
4,870.0
4,871.4
4,860.6

4,949.2
4,959.7
4,941.9
4,866.5

4,907.8
4,915.5
4,898.9
4,861.4

3,223.5
3,239.3
3,251.2
3,249.0

507.0
503.0
498.7
492.1

164.1 -25.1
166.9 -20.4
.6
172.6
7.5
177.3

-17.9
-17.4
-31.6
-20.5

515.9
536.1
544.2
561.4

533.8
553.5
575.8
581.8

945.1
945.6
940.2
933.1

394.1
393.8
387.2
378.2

291.8
287.6
280.6
271.0

102.2
106.2
106.6
107.2

551.0
551.8
553.0
554.9

4,821.8
4,837.4
4,831.2
4,830.9

4,814.6
4,834.4
4,863.4
4,858.9

4,822.0
4,831.8
4,843.7
4,848.2

n
in

4,873.7 3,289.3
4,892.4 3,288.5
4,933.7 3,318.4
4,990.8 3,359.9

495.8
514.7
518.7
530.9

185.6 — 12.6
7.8
191.2
15.0
191.3
9.8
202.3

-21.5
-43.9
-52.7
-49.0

565.4
563.4
575.9
588.3

586.8
607.3
628.6
637.3

937.0
934.2
943.0
936.8

375.3
372.7
379.5
375.0

265.6
262.1
267.4
265.0

109.7
110.6
112.1
109.9

561.8
561.5
563.5
561.9

4,886.3
4,884.6
4,918.7
4,981.0

4,895.2
4,936.3
4,986.4
5,039.8

4,890.7
4,899.1
4,945.6
4,995.9

1993- I '

5,002.5 3,369.9

545.4

202.2

36.8

— 71.1

584.5

655.6

919.3

357.1

245.9

111.3

562.2

4,965.7

5,073.6

5,019.6

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
19821983198419851986198719881989-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1990- I
H

m
IV

n
m
rv
IV

1

Total

National
defense

Nondefense

85.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
[1987=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]

Period

Gross
domestic
product

Gross private
domestic investment

Personal consumption
expenditures

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases
Federal

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports

Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

91.0
94.4
96.9
100.0
103.9
108.5
113.2
117.8
120.9

89.6
93.1
96.0
100.0
104.2
109.3
115.0
120.0
123.6

93.9
95.4
96.9
100.0
102.0
104.2
105.7
107.6
109.4

93.4
95.9
96.1
100.0
103.7
109.3
115.9
120.1
122.4

86.2
90.8
95.7
100.0
105.1
110.6
116.7
122.8
127.7

95.7
96.6
98.4
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.3
108.2
106.5

89.7
92.0
95.8
100.0
104.2
107.8
110.7
111.8
113.0

98.9
97.7
96.9
100.0
105.3
107.7
109.2
110.9
111.0

94.7
91.9
93.2
100.0
105.1
107.8
111.4
110.5
108.4

93.9
96.9
98.6
100.0
102.6
106.8
111.2
115.2
119.6

94.8
97.3
98.6
100.0
103.0
106.6
110.8
114.5
119.1

91.3
95.7
98.6
100.0
101.4
107.3
112.0
117.1
120.6

89.4
93.4
96.4
100.0
104.3
108.6
112.9
116.4
118.4

85.0
88.4
92.3
95.5
98.0
101.2
105.5
110.1
115.0

83.8
87.6
90.7
94.6
97.0
101.6
106.1
111.0
117.6

90.6
93.3
94.4
95.9
97.8
101.0
103.1
104.9
106.1

89.4
91.8
94.2
97.0
96.3
101.5
105.6
110.8
119.3

79.0
83.7
87.7
92.9
97.3
101.9
107.1
112.7
119.3

95.3
95.0
96.4
97.3
99.2
100.7
104.0
106.0
108.2

86.0
88.0
90.7
93.1
97.3
101.5
105.3
108.8
111.0

94.7
98.2
98.7
97.7
97.4
101.6
106.6
107.4
110.9

98.5
95.4
93.6
94.2
93.6
102.6
106.0
107.7
116.5

89.0
89.9
95.0
98.1
98.8
100.2
103,6
107.7
113.2

89.6
91.7
95.5
98.7
98.7
100.3
103.9
107.5
113.1

87.7
84.3
93.7
96.4
99.2
100.1
102.6
108.4
113.3

83.4
86.4
90.9
94.8
97.8
101.5
105.7
109.9
114.8

1991- I
II

116.5
117.5
118.2
118.9

118.6'
119.5
120.4
121.4

106.7
107.3
108.0
108.3

119.4
119.9
120.2
120.8

120.8
122.1
123.4
124.7

108.7
108.5
108.0
107.4

111.3
111.6
112.5
111.8

111.1
110.9
110.7
111.0

112.8
110.1
109.3
109.8

114.5
114.3
115.5
116.6

113.9
113.3
114.7
116.2

116.2
116.8
117.6
117.6

115.5
116.1
116.8
117.1

1992- I

119.8
120.6
121.2
121.9

122.3
123.4
123.8
124.8

108.6
109.4
109.7
109.8

121.4
122.2
122.9
123.3

126.1
127.4
127.7
129.5

107.1
106.9
106.0
105.9

111.7
112.3
113.4
114.6

111.1
111.0
111.0
111.0

108.4
109.1
107.4
108.8

118.6
119.3
120.0
120.4

118.1
118.9
119.5
120.0

119.8
120.3
121.0
121.4

117.1
118.3
118.7
119.5

122.9

125.8

110.0

124.3

130.5

104.7

115.8

111.2

106.9

123.5

123.8

123.0

120.0

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
198219831984198519861987198819891990-

IV
IV
IV
IV
TV
IV
IV
IV
IV

m
rv
II
TTT

rv
1993- I

T

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GDP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES AND
RELATED IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS AND PRICE INDEXES
[Percent change from preceding year or quarter; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross domestic product
Period

Current
dollars

Personal consumption expenditures
Fixed-weighted
price index
(1987 weights)

Constant
(1987) dollars

Implicit price
deflator

11.9
3.9
8.1
10.9
6.9
5.7
6.4
7.9
7.2
5.2
2.8
4.8

1.8
-2.2
3.9
6.2
3.2
2.9
3.1
3.9
2.5
.8
-1.2
2.1

10.0
6.2
4.1
4.4
3.7
2.6
3.2
3.9
4.4
4.3
4.1
2.6

3.9
3.4
3.5
2.8
3.1
4.0
4.5
4.6
4.0
2.9

n
m
rv

8.6
6.3
3.8
5.1
7.7
5.8
2.7
.1
1.8
5.2
4.0
2.8
6.2
4.3
5.3
7.1

3.2
1.8
0
1.5
2.8
1.0
-1.6
-3.9
-3.0
1.7
1.2
.6
2.9
1.5
3.4
4.7

5.4
4.6
3.8
3.7
4.4
4.8
4.7
3.9
5.3
3.5
2.4
2.4
3.1
2.7
2.0
2.3

5.0
4.8
3.8
3.7
5.6
4.6
4.8
4.0
4.9
3.5
2.9
2.4
3.4
2.9
2.2
3.4

1993- I '

4.4

.9

3.3

4.2

X981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

....
.
..

1989- I

1990-

1991-

n
Ill
rv
I
n
m
rv
I
n
m

.

IV
1992- I

Current
dollars

Fixed-weighted
price index
(1987 weights)

Constant
(1987) dollars

Implicit price
deflator

10.2
6.0
9.6
9.0
8.4
6.9
7.1
8.0
6.9
6.4
3.7
5.4

1.2
1.1
4.6
4.8
4.4
3.6
2.8
3.6
1.9
1.2
-.6
2.3

9.0
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.9
3.1
4.2
4.2
4.9
5.2
4.3
3.0

4.3
3.7
3.8
3.0
4.1
4.3
5.0
5.3
4.4
3.2

5.1
7.0
6.3
5.3
8.4
4.8
8.0
3.2
.4
5.4

8.4
3.5
5.2
8.6

.1
1.1
2.9
.8
2.2
.1
1.7
-3.1
-3.0
2.0
1.5
-.3
5.1
-.1
3.7
5.1

5.0
5.7
3.3
4.4
6.3
4.7
6.1
6.7
3.4
3.1
3.0
3.4
3.0
3.6
1.3
3.3

5.2
5.9
3.5
4.4
6.5
4.5
6.4
6.8
3.5
3.4
3.1
3.2
3.5
3.4
2.6
3.0

4.2

1.2

3.2

3.5

4.4
3.0

8.6
5.4

Source: Department oi Commerce, Bureau of Kconomie Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l

Gross domestic product
of nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

Total
cost and
profit 2

Consumption of
fixed
capital

Indirect
business
taxes 3

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

Corporate profits with inventory
valuation and capital consumption
adjustments

Current
dollars

2,166.5
2,293.6
2,386.3
2,547.3
2,764.8
2,913.5
3,036.5
3,073.8
3,201.7

1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
19821983198419851986198719881989:
19901991-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
TV
IV
I

n
m

IV
1992- I
II

in

IV
1993: I "
1

1987
dollars

2,284.1
2,364.3
2,439.3
2,547.3
2,684.8
2,718.9
2,740.0
2,698.0
2,780.9

0.949

.970
.978
1.000
1.030
1.072
1.108
1.139
1.151

0.109
.109
.111
.110
.111
.117
,120
.126
.126

0.091
.093
.095
.095
.096
.101
.106
.115
.118

0.617
.636
.648
.658
.676
.706
.737
.759
.757

0.038

0.094

0.032

.038
.040
.042
.045
.054
.054
.053
.048

0.062

.094
.084
.096
.102
.094
.091
.085
.102

.030
.031
.037
.038
.037
.034
.030
.036

.064
.053
.059
.064
.057
.057
.055
.066

1,806.3
2,037.2
2,228.2
2,338.8
2,422.8
2,627.6
2,843.2
2,951.5
3,045.0

1,999.6
2,204.2
2,328.4
2,396.9
2,463.3
2,604.0
2,719.0
2,722.7
2,717.4

3,037.1
3,062.7
3,084.4
3,111.1
3,138.1
3,178.8
3,211.6
3,278.3
3,291.1

2,683.5
2,687.4
2,699.1
2,722.0
2,737.6
2,760.8
2,787.6
2,837.6
2,830.0

.903
.924
.957
.976
.984
1.009
1.046
1.084
1.121
1.132
1.140
1.143
1.143
1.146
1.151
1.152
1.155
1.163

.119
.119
.111
.110
.112
.110
.112
.120
.123
.126
.127
.127
.126
.125
.126
.130
.124
.125

.086
.088
.091
.093
.095
.094
.097
.102
.109
.113
.114
.117
.117
.118
.117
.118
.119
.120

.607
.602
.623
.643
.654
.664
.687
.718
.750
.754
.760
.763
.761
.760
.759
.757
.753
.763

.040
.036
.041
.038
.042
.042
.047
.055
.055
.054
.053
.053
.052
.050
.049
.047
.046
.046

.051
.079
.091
.092
.081
.099
.102
.088
.083
.084
.086
.084
.086
.093
.100
.100
.113
.109

.020
.029
.027
.030
.035
.038
.040
.033
.033
.029
.030
.031
.030
.033
.037
.035
.038
.037

.030
.050
.064
.063
.045
.060
.063
.055
.050
.055
.056
.053
.056
.060
.064
.065
.075
.071

Output is measured by GDP of nonfinancial corporate business in 1987 dollars.
This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
3
Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
2




Profits
tax
liability

Total

4

1

Profits
after
tax''

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1987
dollars)

Compensation per
hour of
all
employees
(dollars)

21.896
22.125
22.690
23.071
23.494
23.088
23.300
23.720
24.504

13.509
14.067
14.711
15.170
15.781
16.306
17.169
18.011
18.557

21.094
21.895
22.032
22.315
22.838
23.286
23.446
23.054
23.437
23.522
23.646
23.769
24.014
24.152
24.301
24.607
24.949

12.805
13.187
13.718
14.339
14.940
15.471
16.018
16.550
17.572
17.724
17.967
18.129
18.278
18.359
18.452
18.621
18.793

With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor LStatistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

National
income

Period

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982198319841985198619871988198919901991-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV TV
I

3,268.4
3,437.9
3,692.3
4,002.6
4,249.5
4,468.8
4,544.2
4,743.4
2,551.5
2,834.3
3,134.4
3,341.9
3,486.0
3,828.8
4,127.6
4,305.2
4,517.9
4,493.0
4,529.2
4,555.4
4,599.1
4,679.4
4,716.5
4,719.6
4,858.0
4,923.5

.

n
m

IV
1992- I

n
in

IV
1993- I '
1

2,382.8
2,523.8
2,698.7
2,921.3
3,100.2
3,291.2
3,390.8
3,525.2
1,940.4
2,101.2
2,288.1
2,442.5
2,582.5
2,785.1
3,004.9
3,162.8
3,339.6
3,343.0
3,379.6
3,407.0
3,433.8
3,476.3
3,506.3
3,534.3
3,583.7
3,628.9

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

238.4
261.5
279.0
293.4
307.0
325.2
332.2
364.9
169.6
193.8
217.7
250.9
260.9
282.6
302.5
311.4
329.7
322.2
329.1
337.6
340.0
353.6
359.9
365.9
380.4
389.1

21.5
22.3
31.3
30.9
40.2
41.7
35.8
39.5
10.2
6.3
21.9
17.8
23.6
42.4
30.9
38.4
42.8
34.3
41.3
29.5
37.9
40.1
38.5
31.5
48.1
52.9

18.7
8.7
3.2
4.3
-13.5
-12.3
— 10.4
4.7
24.1
22.2
24.3
14.0
4.7
6.8
2.8
-21.6
-9.6
-12.4
-12.3
-10.3
-6.6
4.5
3.3
6.4
13.6
17.5

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Profits
before tax

280.8
271.6
319.8
365.0
362.8
361.7
346.3
393.8
150.3
229.1
261.3
284.9
264.6
343.3
378.3
354.5
344.0
349.6
347.3
341.2
347.1
384.0
388.4
374.1
428.5
432.2

225.3
227.6
273.4
320.3
325.4
341.2
337.8
364.2
160.0
216.2
223.6
228.0
225.0
293.4
340.5
320.6
333.5
344.2
342.2
331.9
333.1
360.7
361.4
344.4
390.4
391.4

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

225.0
217.8
287.9
347.5
342.9
355.4
334.7
371.6
168.6
223.8
220.1
231.8
235.7
311.2
372.2
334.1
354.7
337.6
332.3
336.7
332.3
366.1
376.8
354.1
389.4
400.6

Total

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

55.5
44.1
46.4
44.7
37.4
20.5
8.4
29.5
96
12.9
37.7
56.9
39.6
49.9
37.9
33.9
10.5
5.3
5.1
9.3
14.1
23.3
27.0
29.7
38.1
40.8

326.2
350.2
360.4
387.7
452.7
460.7
449.5
415.2
256.8
281.8
321.1
331.9
349.7
368.6
408.1
459.8
471.4
456.2
444.4
450.5
446.9
430.0
420.0
407.3
403.6
402.9

0.2
9.7
-14.5
— 273
-17.5
— 14.2
3.1
-7.4
86
-7.6
3.5
-3.8
-10.7
178
-31.7
— 13.5
-21.2
6.7
9.9
-4.8
.7
-5.4
-15.5
-9.7
1.0
-9.3

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Includes employer contributions for social insurance, (See also p. 5.)

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN 1987 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1987 dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991:

....
..
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

n
in
rv

n
m

IV
1993: lr

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

household
equipment

338.5

160.3

115.3

2,865.8
2,969.1
3,052.2
3,162.4
3,223.3
3,260.4
3,240.8
3,314.0
2,539.3
2,678.2
2,784.8
2,895.3
3,012.5
3,074.7
3,202.9
3,242.0
3,248.0
3,223.5
3,239.3
3,251.2
3,249.0
3,289.3
3,288.5
3,318.4
3,359.9
3,369.9

370.1
402.0
403.7
428.7
440.7
439.3
414.7
439.1
272.3
319.1
347.7
369.6
415.7
404.7
439.2
436.8
426.6
412.0
411.3
419.4
416.1
432.3
430.0
439.8
454.4
455.1

180.2
193.3
183.5
194.8
196.4
192.2
171.0
182.2
123.7
151.6
164.3
173.9
193.6
183.6
197.7
188.3
182.0
169.6
167.2
173.3
174.0
181.5
180.2
179.0
188.0
186.3

123.8
136.3
144.0
155.4
165.8
169.5
168.6
179.6
96.4
109.3
118.7
128.6
141.4
145.9
160.3
167.9
167.5
166.9
169.3
170.4
167.9
174.4
174.4
181.5
188.0
189.9

Includes other items, not shown separately.




Services

Retail sales of new
passenger cars
(millions of units)

Furni-

2,746.1

1992: I

1

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Other

62.9
66.1
72.4
76.2
78.5
78.5
77.6
75.0
77.4
52.3
58.1
64.8
67.1
80.7
75.2
81.2
80.5
77.1
75.5
74.8
75.7
74.2
76.5
75.4
79.3
78.3
78.8

Total
nondurable goods

934.6
958.7
991.0
1,011.1
1,035.1
1,051.6
1,056.5
1,042.4
1,054.1
880.7
915.2
942.9
968.7
1,000.9
1,014.6
1,046.8
1,058.9
1,051.6
1,043.0
1,046.3
1,044.8
1,035.6
1,049.6
1,045.6
1,052.0
1,069.4
1,063.0

Food

472.3
483.0
494.1
500.7
513.4
515.0
520.8
515.8
518.4
458.3
467.1
475.1
488.2
496.9
502.4
518.0
515.6
522.0
516.4
516.3
515.0
515.3
518.9
513.5
514.3
526.7
523.5

Clothing
and
shoes

153.1
158.8
170.3
174.5
178.9
187.8
185.9
181.3
188.3
135.7
147.7
154.7
161.7
171.9
174.5
182.8
190.9
183.2
180.8
183.2
183.7
177.5
184.1
184.4
190.8
193.7
188.6

Gasoline
and oil

77.9

79.2
82.9
84.7
86.1
87.3
86.4
85.2
85.5
73.4
76.9
79.0
79.5
84.6
85.4
87.5
88.6
85.0
83.9
86.0
86.0
84.7
85.7
85.8
86.0
84.6
84.0

Fuel
oil and
coal

11.2
11.5
12.1

12.0
12.0
11.4
10.1
9.7
10.9
10.5
11.4
11.1
11.4
12.4
11.9
12.0
12.0
8.8
9.4
9.8
10.0
9.4
10.2
12.0
10.9
10.8
11.6

Other

220.0
226.2
231.7
239.1
244.7
250.2
253.4
250.5
251.0
202.8
212.2
222.9
228.0
235.2
240.4
246.4
251.8
252.7
252.5
251.0
250.0
248.6
250.7
249.8
250.1
253.6
255.3

Total
services 1

1,473.0
1,537.0
1,576.1
1,637.4
1,698.5
1,731.0
1,764.6
1,783.7
1,820.7
1,386.2
1,443.9
1,494.2
1,557.1
1,595.8
1,655.5
1,716.9
1,746.3
1,769.8
1,768.5
1,781.8
1,787.0
1,797.4
1,807.3
1,812.9
1,826.6
1,836.2
1,851.8

Housing

426.8
435.9
442.1
452.5
461.8
469.2
474.7
478.2
484.4
411.0
419.7
431.3
438.1
444.8
457.0
465.6
471.3
476.1
476.5
477.9
478.8
479.8
481.2
48S.3
485.8
487.2
489.3

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Medical
care

341.9
353.0
366.2
384.7
399.4
408.6
423.9
438.8
455.8
327.8
334.8
344.9
359.1
372.0
390.7
403.0
411.8
428.6
431.9
435.6
440.5
447.2
449.6
453.7
458.1
461.7
466.5

Domestics

8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1

7.5
7.1
6.9
6.1
6.3
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
6.6
7.5
6.2
6.6
6.1
6.1
6.3
6.1
6.1
6.3
6.2
6.4
6.3

Imports

2.4
2.8

3.2
3.2
3.1
2.8
2.6
2.3
2.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3
3.0
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.0

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income increased $1.0 billion (annual rate) in April, after rising $32.3 billion in March. The changes were
affected by two special factors. The April change in farm proprietors' income was reduced by a large decrease in
subsidy payments, following a large increase in these payments, which had boosted the March change. The April
change in rental income of persons was boosted by a rebound from the effects of the East Coast storm in March,
which had reduced the March change. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $14.0 billion in
April and $9.8 billion in March.
BILUONSOFDOUARS* (RATIO SCAl£)
6,000

BIWONS OF DOLLARS* (RATKD SCAlf)
6,000

5,000
4,000

3,000

2,000

1,400

800

400

400
1993

1985

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1991
1992
May
, '
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993- Jan '
Feb r
'
Mar
Apr "

personal
income

3,154.6
3,379.8
3,590.4
3,802.0
4,075.9
4,380.3
46642
4,828.3
5,058.1
50154
5,032.7
5,038.5
5,048.7
5,056.4
5,080.9
5,145.0
5,143.7
5,194.0
5,223.1
5,228.7
5,261.0
5,262.0

Wage and
salary
disbursements *

1,849.8
1,986.5
2,105.4
2,261.2
2,443.0
2,586.4
2,742.8
2,812.2
2,918.1
2,890.6
2,907.6
2,905.7
2,911.2
2,930.9
2,928.3
2,951.3
2,967.8
2,990.6
3,010.1
3,004.6
3,004.3
3,012.6

Proprietor ' income 3
Other labor
income ' 2

Farm

Nonfarm

184.7

21.3

191.8
200.7
210.4
230.5
251.9
271.0
288.3
305.7
302.1
303.6
305.0
306.4
307.9
309.3
310.8
312.2
313.6
315.1
316.5
318.0
319.4

21.5
22.3
31.3
30.9
40.2
41.7
35.8
39.5
48.1
36.1
31.4
30.6
24.9
39.1
55.4
39.3
49.4
38.4
45.5
74.7
53.5

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Transfer

214.7
238.4
261.5
279.0
293.4
307.0
325.2
332.2
364.9
358.6
359.2
361.9
363.8
363.8
369.9
376.7
380.0
384.4
388.9
388.9
389.6
391.0

income of
persons *

23.3
18.7
8.7
3.2
4.3
-13.5
12.3
-10.4
4.7
— 1.2
3.3
8.0
9.6
3.6
6.1
13.5
13.4
14.0
17.6
20.1
14.9
23.4

dividend
income

78.8
87.9
104.7
100.4
108.4
126.5
1403
137.0
139.3
1354
136.6
137.9
139.5
141.3
142.3
143.8
145.3
148.2
149.6
149.9
150.1
150.3

interest
income

461.9

498.1
531.7
548.1
583.2
668.2
6945
700.6
670.2
6760
675.2
674.4
668.6
663.1
657.8
657.7
657.8
657.9
656.9
656.3
656.0
655.5

payments

452.9
485.9
517.8
542.2
576.7
625.0
6858
771.1
866.1
8542
860.9
864 1
869.4
8728
880.0
889.2
8826
892.1
906.8
9074
913.9
917 1

4

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

132 8
149 1
162 1

1736
1945
211 4
224 8
2384
2506
248 3
2498
2499
2505
2520
251 9
2534
2547
256 3
2603
2605
2604
2609

Nonfarm
personal
income *

3 106 1

3 3332
35456
3 7494
4 023 9
43180
47704
49958
49739
4 984 4
49953
5 008 7
5 018 9
50664
5 081 1
5 121 3
5 161 1
5 159 6
5 162 8
5 184 6

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other lal
,bor income,
and agricultural net interest.
5

6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
According to revised estimates, per capita disposable personal income in 1987 dollars rose in the first quarter of
1993.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS- (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOILARS' (RATIO SCALE)

2,000

2,000

DOLLARS' (RATIOSCALE!

DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE]
PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME
18,000

\

14,000
»
•

12,000

--

'_x

^

8,000

1

1

16,000
14,000

' M
\

12,000

CURRENT :
JOLLARS

" "
"

10,000

18,000

-—

*

_---1

r

_ — Vc=-«~-''!"i
—„

_
'— 1

,T-—I|—

987 DOLLA 3S

16,000

•" ^^

1

1

1982

1 1
1983

10,000

1

1 1
1984

1

1 1
1985

1

1 1
1986

1

1 1
1987

1

1 1
1988

1

1 \
1989

1

1 1
1990

1

1 1
1991

1

1 1
1992

1

1 1
1993

8,000

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Period

Personal
income

Less:
Personal

tax and
nontax
payments

Disposable
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays l

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in

1987
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

3,154.6
3,379.8
3,590.4
3,802.0
4,075.9
4,380.3
4,664.2
4,828.3
5,058.1

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

395.1
436.8
459.0
512.5
527.7
593.3
621.3
618.7
627.3

2,759.5
2,943.0
3,131.5
3,289.5
3,548.2
3,787.0
4,042.9
4,209.6
4,430.8

Current
dollars

1987
dollars

Dollars

Billions of dollars
1984

1987
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures

2,537.5
2,753.7
2,944.0
3,147.5
3,392.5
3,634.9
3,867.3
4,009.9
4,218.1

222.0
189.3
187.5
142.0
155.7
152.1
175.6
199.6
212.6

3,080.1
3,162.1
3,261.9
3,289.5
3,404.3
3,464.9
3,516.5
3,509.0
3,585.1

11,673
12,339
13,010
13,545
14,477
15,307
16,174
16,658
17,346

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
persona!
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
overseas
(thousands) 2

Percent

13,029
13,258
13,552
13,545
13,890
14,005
14,068
13,886
14,035

10,408
11,184
11,843
12,568
13,448
14,241
14,996
15,384
16,035

11,617
12,015
12,336
12,568
12,903
13.029
13,044
12,824
12,974

12,154
12,591
13,145
13,278
13,522
13,685
13,996
14,015
13,988
13,861
13,891
13,876
13,913
14,017
14,021
13,998
14,105
14,165

9,134
9,980
10,649
11,445
12,101
12,819
13,814
14,491
15,209
15,184
15,345
15,468
15,537
15,814
15,907
16,063
16,353
16,484

10.895
11,390
11,739
12,095
12,472
12,615
13,020
13,053
12,938
12,808
12,838
12,848
12,803
12,930
12,893
12,973
13,098
13,105

5.5
1.8
2.2
— .1

2.5
.8
.4
— 1.3

1.1

6.4
6.0
4.3
4.4
4.0
4.3
4.7
4.8

236,393
238,510
240,691
242,860
245,093
247,397
249,961
252,711
255,435

7.7
6.8
7.9
6.0
4.8
5.0
4.3
3.9
4.6
4.7
4.7
4.5
5.1
4.9
5.3
4.6
4.4
4.8

233,060
235,146
237,231
239,387
241,550
243,745
246,004
248,372
251,050
251,687
252,329
253,053
253,776
254,388
255,054
255,786
256,513
257,140

8.0

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IT
IV
IT
IT
I

n
m....
IV

1992:

I

n
m ...
IT....

1993: I '

2,746.8
2,965.8
3,242.5
3,456.7
3,647.8
3,918.5
4,195.2
4,469.4
4,751.9
4,752.8
4,806.9
4,846.2
4,907.2
4,980.5
5,028.9
5,062.0
5,160.9
5,237.6

372.1
371.6
413.4
448.8
478.5
528.6
542.0
605.1
623.8
616.8
617.2
,.618.6
622.3
619.6
617.1
628.8
643.6
656.3

2,374.7
2,594.3
2,829.1
3,007.9
3,169.3
3,389.9
3,653.2
3,864.3
4,128.1
4,136.0
4,189.7
4,227.6
4;284.9
4,360.9
4,411.8
4,433.2
4,517.3
4,581.4

2,190.9
2,417.9
2,606.5
2,828.7
3,018.2
3,220.1
3,496.7
3,715.5
3,938.8
3,943.2
3,994.4
4,036.6
4,065.5
4,146.3
4,179.5
4,229.9
4,316.9
4,362.3

183.8
176.3
222.6
179.2
151.1
169.8
156.4
148.8
189.3
192.8
195.3
191.0
219.4
214.6
232.3
203.3
200.4
219.0

2,832.6
2,960.6
3,118.5
3,178.7
3,266.2
3,335.8
3,443.1
3,480.9
3,511.6
3,488.7
3,505.2
3,511.5
3,530.8
3,565.7
3,576.0
3,580.5
3,618.2
3,642.4

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer j
ments to rest of the world (net).




10,189
11,033
11,925
12,565
13,121
13,907
14,850
15,558
16,443
16,433
16,604
16,706
16,885
17,143
17,297
17,332
17,610
17,817

-0.5

7.2
1.0
1.8
-1.7

5.2
3.2
1.8
-1.4
-3.6

.9
-.4
1.1
3.0
.1
-.7
3.1
1.7

2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the fourth quarter of 1992, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income fell $4.5 billion (annual rate)
and net farm income fell $5.0 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

240

240
160

"•

/.
d*.
"•s^>— '

^*.

s

1
"

120

«

— ^~

" "
" I

^
\

120

GROSS FAf M INCOME

60

N

/^ . _

\
\

1^ /
, <•
1

l\

\

1

ft

*

x'

*

Y

\V//

'\ \

'
1

S

v

-,'N k

s^

,\

^ — ™"

N

A

1

!X 1

1

• 'V

10

10

V
1

1

1982

1

60

/

NET FAR)* INCOME

1

2

»'

\

\,l

7A

/ I
^•>

s '-^/
\ 1
\1
*

1 1 1
1983

1

1

1

1984

1

1

1

1

1985

1 1

1

1

1

1

1987

1986

1

1

1988

1

1

1 1 1

1

1989

1990

• SEA5ONAUY ADJUSTED ANNUAL KATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

1

1

1

I

I I

7

1992

1991

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total1
Total

1984
1985
1986
1987

1988
1989
1990
1991
1990- I

n
in
rv

1991- I

n
in

IV
1992- I

n
m

IV"

1

. . . .

168.0
161.2
156.1
168.5
175.4
191.1
196.0
189.5
200.0
192.4
189.3
202.4
189.1
189.7
185.2
194.1
193.3
200.8
196.4
191.9

Livestock and
products

142.8
144.1
135.4
141.8
151.1
161.0
169.9
167.3

166.0
166.7
173.6
173.3
165.1
165.4
170.6
167.9
165.2
172.2
176.9
162.6

Crops

69.9
74.3
63.8
65.9
71.7
76.9
80.0
80.5
76.2
78.5
82.6
82.7
75.6
77.9
85.8
83.0
81.4
86.5
92.0
73.1

72.9
69.8
71.6
76.0
79.4
84.1
89.9
86.7

89.7
88.2
91.1
90.6
89.6
87.6
84.9
85.0
83.9
85.7
85.0
89.5

Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
* Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Net farm income

3

Production
expenses

Value of
inventory
changes 2

6.0
-2.3
-2.2
-2.3
—34
4.8
3.5
.4
5.2
4.1
2.8
1.7
1.2
.6
.1
|

5.0
4.7
3.8
2.7

Current
dollars

141.9
132.4
125.1
128.8
134.3
141.2
145.1
144.9
142.8
144.4
144.7
148.3
145.8
147.2
143.1
143.4
142.5
144.8
146.6
147.1

1987 dollars 3

26.1
28.8
31.1
39.7
41.1
49.9
51.0
44.6
57.2
48.0
44.6
54.1
43.3
42.5
42.0
50.6
50.8
56.0
49.8
44.8

Income in current dollars divided by the GDF implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

28.7
30,5
32.0
39.7
39.6
46.0
45.0
37.9
51.4
42.6
39.1
47.1

37.1
36.2
35.6
42.6
42.4
46.4
41.1
36.7

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the first quarter of 1993, according to preliminary estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $11.2 billion
(annual rate) and profits after tax rose $12.8 billion.
BILLONS OF DOLLARS

BILUONS OF DOL1ARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

V

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

\
/

PROFITS AFTER TAX

-- /

100

TAX LIABILITY

L

\-

UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS

1 1 1

_L_L

J_L

1991

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1992

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment l

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Nonfmancial

Period

Total 2
Total

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982198319841985198619871988198919901991-

1992-

....

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
TV
IV
I

....

n
m
rv
I
n
m

IV
1993- I *
1
2

. ..

236.4
225.3
227.6
273.4
320.3
325.4
341.2
337.8
364.2
160.0
216.2
223.6
228.0
225.0
293.4
340.5
320.6
333.5
344.2
342.2
331.9
333.1
360.7
361.4
344.4
390.4
391.4

205.2
194.5
194.6
233.9
271.2
266.0
275.5
271.3
300.2
130.8
182.6
192.9
193.5
192.5
246.3
285.9
254.8
260.2
269.4
275.9
270.0
270.2
292.0
300.4
279.3
329.3
315.5

Financial

20.3
28.7
35,8
36.4
41.8
50.6
56.7
60.9
56.8
23.0
22.1
20.3
29.0
34.7
39.4
46.1
52.5
55.1
59.7
60.7
63.6
59.7
70.1
61.3
40.3
55.3
58.8

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




Total

3

185.0
165.8
158.9
197.5
229.4
215.3
218.8
210.4
243.5
107.8
160.5
172.6
164.5
157.8
207.0
239.7
202.3
205.1
209.7
215.1
206.4
210.5
221.9
239.0
239.0
274.0
256.7

Manufacturing

Wholesale and
retail
trade

86.7
80.1
59.0
87.0
117.5
108.0
106.9
89.3
113.8
50.1
90.5
79.2
83.3
63.9
98.7
129.3
94.5
96.3
87.6
90.3
91.8
87.5
97.5
115.2
118.0
124.5

49.7
43.1
46.3
39.9
37.1
39.7
35.8
44.0
47.7
33.8
40.7
50.8
39.0
43.1
39.3
39.3
39.2
35.0
44.1
45.5
41.7
44.5
39.9
46.7
43.7
60.7

3

Profits
before
tax

240.5
225.0
217.8
287.9
347.5
342.9
355.4
334.7
371.6
168.6
223.8
220.1
231.8
235.7
311.2
372.2
334.1
354.7
337.6
332.3
336.7
332.3
366.1
376.8
354.1
389.4
400.6

Tax
liability

94.0
96.5
106.5
127.1
137.0
141.3
136.7
124.0
140.2
58.7
82.2
83.8
97.6
116.6
135.2
146.2
134.2
133.7
121.3
122.9
127.0
125.0
136.4
144.1
131.8
148.5
146.8

Total

146.4
128.5
111.3
160.8
210.5
201.6
218.7
210.7
231.4
109.9
141.6
136.3
134.2
119.2
176.0
226.0
200.0
221.0
216.3
209.4
209.6
207.4
229.7
232.7
222.2
241.0
253.8

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Anal

Dividends

82.7
92.4
109.8
106.2
115.3
134.6
149.3
146.5
149.3
72.5
84.2
83.4
97.4
111.0
106.3
121.0
141.3
151.9
150.6
146.2
145.1
143.9
143.6
146.6
151.1
155.9
160.2

Undistributed
profits

63.8
36.1
1.6
54.6
95.2
67.1
69.4
64.2
82.1
37.5
57.4
52.9
36.9
8.2
69.7
105.0
58.7
69.1
65.7
63.2
64.5
63.4
86.2
86.1
71.1
85.0
93.6

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

-4.1
.2
9.7
-27.3
-14.2
3.1
-7.4
-8.6
3.5
-3.8
-10.7
-17.8
-31.7
-13.5
-21.2
6.7
9.9
.7
-5.4
-15.5
-9.7
1.0

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN 1987 DOLLARS
According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1993, nonresidential fixed investment in 1987 dollars rose
$14.5 billion (annual rate) and residential investment fell $0.1 billion. There was a $36.8 billion increase in
inventories, following an increase of $9.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 1992.
BILLIONS OF 1987 DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF 1987 DOLLARS

900

900
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

700

700

600

600

500

500

400
RESIDENTIAL
FIXED INVESTMENT

300

300

200
CHANGE IN BUSINESS
INVENTORIES

-\:

100

100

-100

-100
1982

1983

1984

1987

1986

1988

1989

1990

1992

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Fixed investment
Gross
private
domestic
investment

Period

1984

..

Change n business
mve itories

Nonresidential
Total

Total

Structures

Producers'
durable
equipment

Residential

Total

Nonfarm

757.5
745.9
735.1
749.3
773.4
784.0
739.1
661.1
712.6

689.6
723.8
726.5
723.0
753.4
754.2
732.9
670.4
707.6

490.2
521.8
500.3
497.8
530.8
540.0
538.1
500.2
515.0

182.8
197.4
176.6
171.3
174.0
177.6
179.1
157.6
146.8

307.4
324.4
323.7
326.5
356.8
362.5
359.0
342.6
368.2

199.3
202.0
226.2
225.2
222.7
214.2
194.8
170.2
192.6

67.9
22.1
8.5
26.3
19.9
29.8
6.2
-9.3
5.0

66.2
19.8
10.6
32.7
26.9
29.9
3.7
— 9.6
2.6

503.5
669.5
756.4
763.1
705.9
793.8
785.0
769.5
680.0

548.4
640.2
708.4
732.9
725.9
733.9
764.1
744.6
706.8

417.2
449.6
509.6
525.5
495.5
510.6
538.8
536.7
529.3

173.2
162.6
189.5
198.3
170.4
177.9
175.7
179.8
173.2

244.0
287.0
320.1
327.2
325.0
332.7
363.1
356.9
356.1

131.2
190.6
198.8
207.4
230.5
223.3
225.3
208.0
177.5

-44.9
29.3
47.9
30.2

-46.2
32.3
50.8
28.0
-18.6
62.1
30.5
31.2
— 25.6

646.0
649.5
672.0
676.9

671.1
669.8
671.4
669.3

507.0
503.0
498.7
492.1

166.8
162.2
153.0
148.4

340.2
340.8
345.8
343.7

164.1
166.9
172.6
177.3

IV

668.9
713.6
724.9
743.1

681.4
705.9
710.0
733.3

495.8
514.7
518.7
530.9

149.4
149.1
144.7
144.0

346.4
365.6
374.0
386.9

1993- I r

784.3

747.6

545.4

143.4

402.0

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982198319841985198619871988198919901991-

.
..

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV....
IV
IV
I
II
HI
IV....

....
.

.

1992- I
U

m

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




59.9
20.9
24.9
-26.8
-25.1
.6
7.5

-24.5
— 1.0
11.8

185.6
191.2
191.3
202.3

7.8
15.0
9.8

-10.7
6.0
9.6
5.6

202.2

36.8

33.8

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department January-March 1993 survey, business spending for new plant and
equipment is expected to rise 6.6 percent in 1993, following a rise of 3.3 percent in 1992.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
600

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
600
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

500

500

400

ALL INDUSTRIES
300

\
NONMANUFACTURING200

200

\

MANUFACTURING

100

100

I
1984

198<S

1985

I I
1987

I

I I
1988

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

1993

•SECOND HALF
I/SURVEYED QUARTERLY
ii/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Addenda

Nondurable
goods

Total '

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business2
363.08
359.73
418.38
454.93
447.11
461.51
508.22
563.93
591.96
587.93
607.19
644.55

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

1982
J983
1984
1985
1986 .
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993 4

326.19
321.16
373.83
410.12
399.36
410.52
455.49
507.40
532.61
528.39
546.08
582.31

123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183,80
192.61
182.81
173.90
183.35

54.58
51.61
64.57
70.87
65.68
68.03
77.04
82.56
82.58
77.64
73.41
77.11

69.39
65.74
75.04
82.01
72.28
73.03
86.41
101.24
110.04
105.17
100.50
106.24

202.22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
339.99
345.58
372.17
398.96

14.11
10.64
11.86
12.00
8.15
8.28
9.29
9.21
9.88
10.02
8.90
9.32

11.75
10.81
13.44
14.57
15.05
15.07
16.63
18.84
21.47
22.66
22.78
23.06

53.58
52.95
57.53
59.58
56.61
56.26
60.37
66.28
67.21
66.57
71.96
77.40

122.79
129.41
151.39
171.09
181.59
189.84
205.76
229.28
241.43
246.32
268.54
289.18

1991- I

534.27
525.02
526.59
529.87

190.83
186.52
177.48
179.06

80.99
79.31
74.94
76.40

109.84
107.20
102.55
102.66

343.44
338.50
349.10
350.81

9.94
10.08
10.09
9.99

22.98
22.87
22.56
22.29

67.01
65.09
66.52
67.42

243.51
240.46
249.94
251.11

190.83
186.52
177.48
179.06

535.72
540.91
547.53
560.16

173.98
171.78
172.23
177.62

74.19
74.26
71.84
73.34

99.79
97.52
100.39
104.28

361.73
369.13
375.30
382.54

8.87
9.18
9.09
8.44

21.88
23.51
24.69
21.06

68.81
72.63
71.66
74.73

262.17
263.80
269.86
278.32

173.98
171.78
172.23
177.62

361.73
369.13
375.30
382.54

571.41
578.15
589.84

183.69
181.10
184.30

80.68
77.62
75.06

103.01
103.48
109.24

387.72
397.04
405.54

9.52
9.49
9.14

21.70
24.31
23.12

76.06
77.26
78.13

280.44
285.98
295.15

183.69
181.10
184.30

Iy3

343.44
338.50
349.10
350.81

1992- I

Surveyed
annual-

387.72
397.04
405.54

n
HJ
rv

n
m
rv

1993- I *

n«

4

2nd haU

' Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; professional services; social services and
membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-Hay 1984 survey, are no
longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for
these industries.
1
"All industries" plus the part of nomnanufacturing that is surveyed annually.
>•
"~
•
»
.
.
.
•

10



123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183.80
192.61
182.81
173.90
183.35

239.11
242.38
278.77
302.05
309.16
320.45
344.77
380.13
399.34
405.12
433.28
461.20

202.22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
339.99
345.58
372.17
398.96

36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73
56.53
59.35
59.54
61.11
62.24

'Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; professional services; social services and
membership organizations; and real estate.
'Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1993, corrected for
biases.
Source: Department o f Commerce, Bureau o f t h e Census.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In April, civilian employment fell by 149,000 and unemployment rose by 61,000.
1

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSC)NS*
130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

126

CIVILIAN b\BOR FORCE
\

'
p_^

'

^

r"^"">~/—

^^^^^~

^^^

126

- 122

122

118

—

" ^ 1
" "

118

'

^
^

— X"""""

114

"\

-

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

m

^^

110

110

^^

106

*,

- 106

* '"
-'

102

102
v

12
UNEMPLOYMENT

8
4
0
1985

1987

1986

1989

1988

1990

1992

1991

1993

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly date seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

1983

1984
1985
1986*
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

.

..

1992:
Apr

May
July
Sept
Oct

Nov
Dec

Mar

.

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322
188,081
189,686
191,329
193,142

1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709
1,688
1,637
1,564
1,566

113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378
125,557
126,424
126,867
128,548

102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677
119,030
119,550
118,440
119,164

111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669
123,869
124,787
125,303
126,982

100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968
117,342
117,914
116,877
117,598

3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169
3,199
3,186
3,233
3,207

97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800
114,142
114,728
113,644
114,391

5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965
4,657
4,860
5,767
6,116

192,745
192,881
193,025
193,190
193,356
193,513
193,683
193,847
194,026

1,577
1,574
1,570
1,568
1,566
1,566
1,552
1,531
1,517

128,320
128,613
128,868
128,918
128,970
128,840
128,618
128,896
129,108

119,095
119,154
119,080
119,290
119,346
119,290
119,239
119,595
119,828

126,743
127,039
127,298
127,350
127,404
127,274
127,066
127,365
127,591

117,518
117,580
117,510
117,722
117,780
117,724
117,687
118,064
118,311

3,206
3,186
3,244
3,207
3,218
3,221
3,169
3,209
3,262

114,312
114,394
114,266
114,515
114,562
114,503
114,518
114,855
115,049

194,159
194,298
194,456
194,618

1,515
1,512
1,497
1,492

128,598
128,839
128,926
128,833

119,586
119,963
120,062
119,908

127,083
127,327
127,429
127,341

118,071
118,451
118,565
118,416

3,191
3,116
3,082
3,060

114,879
115,335
115,483
115,356

Employment
'ncluding
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultura]
Civilian
labor force

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fullie work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population




Unemployment

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

1993:

Feb

Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Total

Agricultural

Total

Civilian

15
weeks
and over

Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) z

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528
6,874
8,426
9,384

4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610
1,375
1,504
2,323
3,354

64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9
66.5
66.4
66.0
66.3

57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3
63.0
62.7
61.6
61.4

6,030
6,181
5,921
6,069
6,099
6,096
6,151
6,230
6,063

9,225
9,459
9,788
9,628
9,624
9,550
9,379
9,301
9,280

3,072
3,349
3,432
3,547
3,547
3,522
3,564
3,446
3,605

66.3
66.4
66.5
66.5
66.4
66.3
66.1
66.2
66.3

61.5
61.5
61.4
61.4
61.4
61.3
61.3
61.4
61.5

5,887
6,242
5,965
6,238

9,013
8,876
8,864
8,925

3,317
3,143
3,073
2,926

66.0
66.0
66.0
65.9

61.3
61.4
61.4
61.3

Part time
for
economic
reasons 1

Total

' Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In April, the civilian unemployment rate remained at 7.0 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED]

10

* UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)
Unemployment
rate,
all
workers l

Period

Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1993: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
1
2

....
...
....
....
....
....

Black
and
other

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7
4.5
4.7
6.0
6.5

17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4
10.0
10.1
11.1
12.7

19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7
11.4
11.3
12.4
14.1

9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
5.0
5.3
6.5
7.1

6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3
3.0
3.4
4.4
5.0

19.4
19.9
22.8
20.6
19.9
20.4
18.9
20.2
19.2

6.4
6.5
6.8
6.6
6.6
6.6
6.5
6.4
6.3

12.4
12.9
13.1
13.0
12.9
12.6
12.5
12.6
12.8

13.8
14.5
14.5
14.4
14.2
13.9
14.1
14.0
14.2

7.0
7.2
7.3
7.2
7.2
7.2
7.1
7.0
7.0

19.7
19.6
19.5
20.7

6.2
6.1
6.1
6.0

12.9
12.0
12.0
12.5

14.2
13.1
13.5
13.8

6.8
6.7
6.6
6.7

Both
sexes
16-19
years

civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5
5.3
5.5
6.7
7.4

8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8
4.5
4.9
6.3
7.0

8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9
4.7
4.8
5.7
6.3

22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3
15.0
15.5
18.6
20.0

7.2
7.4
7.6
7.5
7.5
7.4
7.3
7.2
7.2

7.3
7.4
7.7
7.6
7.6
7.5
7.4
7.3
7.3

6.9
7.2
7.3
7.2
7.2
7.1
7.2
6.9
6.8

6.2
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.4
6.4
6.2
6.2
6.4

7.0
6.9
6.9
6.9

7.1
7.0
7.0
7.0

6.4
6.5
6.7
6.4

6.4
6.0
5.7
6.0

White

Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as per-

12



By selected groups

A 11

All

9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4
5.2
5.4
6.6
7.3

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992:

By race

By sex and age

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1
8.1
8.2
9.1
9.9

9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
4.9
5.2
6.5
7.1

10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.3
7.4
8.3
9.2

10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3
5.9
6.2
7.6
8.3

4.8
5.0
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.1
4.9
4.8

10.0
9.9
10.1
10.3
10.3
9.1
9.3
10.4
10.3

7.0
7.1
7.4
7.3
7.3
7.2
7.1
7.0
6.9

8.9
9.3
9.3
9.2
9.1
9.5
9.2
9.2
9.7

8.2
8.3
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.3
8.3
8.3
8.1

4.5
4.5
4.7
4.5

10.6
10.2
9.0
9.6

6.7
6.6
6.6
6.6

9.3
9.1
8.9
9.7

7.9
7.9
7.9
7.8

cent of potentially available labor force hours.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In April, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 15-26
weeks rose, while the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell. The mean duration of
unemployment fell to 17.4 weeks and the median duration rose to 8.5 weeks.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*
70

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*
70

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Number of
weeks

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0
48.6
46.1
40.1
34.9
36.1
35.9
36.1
34.8
34.0
34.0
33.9
33.2
32.6
36.1
36.5
35.5
38.2

31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0
30.3
32.0
32.3
29.4
29.9
28.4
28.6
28.6
29.4
29.5
28.3
30.2
28.8
27.4
28.1
29.4
28.4

16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0
11.2
11.8
14.5
15.2
14.4
15.0
14.0
15.0
15.5
14.8
15.7
15.3
16.5
15.5
13.9
14.4
14.5

16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1
9.9
10.1
13.0
20.6
19.6
20.7
21.3
21.5
21.1
21.7
22.2
21.4
22.1
21.1
21.5
20.7
18.8

15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5
11.9
12.1
13.8
17.9
17.2
17.9
18.2
18.3
18.3
18.5
19.2
18.4
19.2
18.7
18.3
17.5
17.4

8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9
4.8
5.4
6.9
8.8
8.6
8.8
8.7
8.6
8.9
9.3
9.3
9.4
9.4
8.5
8.2
8.3
8.5

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1
45.7
48.3
54.7
56.4
56.6
57.3
56.4
56.3
56.3
56.5
58.5
55.9
55.4
54.0
52.3
54.2
53.9

7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7
15.7
14.8
11.6
10.4
10.9
10.5
10.4
10.3
10.5
10.0
9.7
10.5
10.5
9.1
11.8
12.3
11.3

22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0
28.2
27.4
24.8
23.7
23.2
23.1
23.1
23.4
23.4
23.6
23.5
23.6
24.1
26.1
25.9
23.0
24.3

11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2
10.4
9.5
8.9
9.5
9.3
9.1
10.2
9.9
9.8
9.8
8.3
10.0
10.0
10.7
10.0
10.5
10.5

State
programs
Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted)>

Weekly average, thousands

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992- Apr
May

.

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993' Jan
Feb
Mar

. .

10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528
6,874
8,426
9,384
9,225
9,459
9,788
9,628
9,624
9,550
9,379
9,301
9,280
9,013
8,876
8,864
8,925

1
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), and Federal (UCFE). Railroad (RR) programs included through 1991. Also includes
Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation
program.




4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,081
2,158
2,522
3,342
3,245
3,340
3,314
3,279
3,304
3,178
3,168
3,035
2,937
2,783
2,715
2,640
2,701
2,764

583
438
377
396
378
328
310
330
388
447
408
413
408
414
433
387
402
365
359
341
353
343
362
347

4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,135
2,205
2,575
3,406
3,339
3,626
3,193
3,141
3,118
3,114
2,814
2,537
2,670
3,064
3,390
3,344
••3,394
2,929

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose by 119,000 in April.
MILLIONS Of PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)
30

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

100

ALLN DNAGRICULT URAL
ES FABLISHMEN' S

-

-

90
_

- —-

\\
1
SER VICE-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

-

-

-

-

60

GOOCJS-PRODUCIS G
It^IDUSTRIES

30

=

20 It 1 1 1 1 1 I H | | I! I 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 m i l l III! 1
1
1989
1990
1991

i n 1 1 1 1 1 1 n n n 1 1 n i ih
1992
1993 ^

"1
y~^__
1
X
fCONSTRUCTION

ill III! III! 1
V 1989

_.

|

mill inn

1990

1991

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

||M||

| |lm

1992

1993

'

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted]
Goods-producing industries
Period

1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992: Apr....
May....
June ..
July ...
Aug ...
Sept ...
Oct ....
NOT ...
Dec ....
1993: Jan
Feb r...
Mar '..
Apr"..

Total
nonagricultural
employment

90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,536
108,329
109,782
108,310
108,437
108,377
108,496
108,423
108,594
108,485
108,497
108,571
108,646
108,752
108,865
109,203
109,194
109,313

Service-producing industries

Manufacturing
Total

2

23,334
24,727
24,859
24,558
24,708
25,173
25,322
24,960
23,830
23,420
23,530
23,548
23,470
23,459
23,362
23,296
23,270
23,280
23,26323,267
23,374
23,293
23,214

Construction

3,948
4,383
4,673
4,816
4,967
5,110
5,187
5,133
4,685
4,595
4,605
4,632
4,600
4,584
4,591
4,574
4,601
4,590
4,582
4,559
4,657
4,598
4,588

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

18,434
19,378
19,260
18,965
19,024
19,350
19,442
19,117
18,455
18,190
18,279
18,275
18,236
18,242
18,145
18,102
18,046
18,068
18,062
18,092
18,112
18,088
18,023

10,707
11,479
11,464
11,203
11,167
11,381
11,420
11,130
10,602
10,339
10,409
10,398
10,371
10,347
10,298
10,271
10,231
10,247
10,238
10,265
10,274
10,246
10,198

7,726
7,899
7,796
7,761
7,858
7,969
8,022
7,988
7,852
7,851
7,870
7,877
7,865
7,895
7,847
7,831
7,815
7,821
7,824
7,827
7,838
7,842
7,825

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



Total

66,866
69,769
72,660
74,967
77,492
80,363
83,007
84,822
84,480
85,017
84,847
84,948
84,953
85,135
85,123
85,201
85,301
85,366
85,489
85,598
85,829
85,901
86,099

Transportation
and
public
utilities
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,255
5,372
5,527
5,644
5,808
5,772
5,742
5,746
5,745
5,745
5,742
5,729
5,738
5,731
5,732
5,742
5,763
5,771
5,770
5,768

Wholesale
trade

5,286
5,574
5,736
5,774
5,865
6,055
6,221
6,200
6,069
5,983
5,993
5,993
5,988
5,972
5,964
5,957
5,969
5,976
5,970
5,995
6,002
6,009
6,008

Retail
trade

15,595
16,526
17,336
17,909
18,462
19,077
19,549
19,677
19,259
19,138
19,177
19,150
19,156
19,184
19,106
19,122
19,146
19,116
19,162
19,227
19,361
19,342
19,363

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services •

5,468
5,689
5,955
6,283
6,547
6,649
6,695
6,729
6,678
6,672
6,682
6,681
6,672
6,660
6,661
6,669
6,680
6,669
6,677
6,682
6,681
6,680
6,697

19,694
20,797
21,999
23,053
24,235
25,669
27,120
28,103
28,323
28,903
28,707
28,833
28,854
28,971
28,981
29,065
29,152
29,188
29,253
29,267
29,322
29,400
29,551

Government
Total

15,869
16,024
16,394
16,693
17,010
17,386
17,779
18,304
18,380
18,579
18,542
18,546
18,538
18,606
18,682
18,650
18,623
18,685
18,685
18,664
18,692
18,700
18,712

Federal

2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943
2,971
2,988
3,085
2,966
2,969
2,986
2,984
2,972
2,957
2,959
2,967
2,942
2,940
2,971
2,943
2,943
2,935
2,927

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
{For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross hourly earnings

Average weekly hours

Period

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

Total
private
nonagri-1
cultural

Total

Average gross weekly earnings

Total private
nonagricultural l

Manufacturing

Overtime

Current
dollars

Total private
nonagricultural *

1982
dollars *

Manufacturing

Current dollars

Current
dollars

1982
dollars*

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3

1982
dollars

Current
dollars

35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.6
34.5
34.3
34.4

.

1992' Apr
Mav
July
AUK
Sept
Oct.
Nov
Dec

1993. Jan
Feb '
Mar r
Apr "

3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.8
3.6
3.6
3.8

$8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.28
9.66
10.01
10.33
10.59

$7.79
7.80
7.77
7.81
7.73
7.69
7.64
7.52
7.45
7.43

$8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.19
10.48
10.83
11.18
11.45

$280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.02
334.24
345.35
354.32
364.30

$272.52
274.73
271.16
271.94
269.16
266.79
264.22
259.47
255.64
255.47

$354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.81
429.68
441.86
455.03
469.45

$442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
495.73
513.17
526.01
533.02
536.18

$171.13
174.47
174.81
175.80
178.70
183.62
188.72
194.40
198.77
205.63

5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.0
3.8
3.3
2.6
2.8

2.0
.8
-1.3
.3
-1.0
-.9
-1.0
— 18
-1.5
— .1

41.1
41.3
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.9
41.1
41.2
41.2

3.9
4.1
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.5
3.8
3.9
3.9

10.52
10.56
10.58
10.58
10.66
10.63
10.65
10.71
10.69

7.41
7.43
7.43
7.41
7.45
7.42
7.40
7.43
7.40

11.42
11.44
11.44
11.45
11.51
11.51
11.51
11.54
11.57

360.84
365.38
362.89
362.89
368.84
364.61
367.43
370.57
366.67

254.29
257.13
254.84
254.12
257.75
254.44
255.34
256.98
253.93

469.36
472.47
469.04
469.45
471.91
470.76
473.06
475.45
476.68

535.95
548.10
543.86
541.82
542.82
537.47
536.29
533.92
533.83

202.77
205.06
203.35
203.49
206.92
207.50
207.50
208.51
206.64

3.1
3.4
1.9
2.6
3.5
1.2
2.8
3.6
1.5

.1
.6
-1.0
—.4
.4
-1.7
-.3
.6
— 14

34.5
34.4
34.3
34.4

....

40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0
40.8
40.7
41.0

34.3
34.6
34.3
34.3
34.6
34.3
34.5
34.6
34.3

..

41.4
41.5
41.2
41.5

4.0
4.2
3.9
4.3

10.73
10.76
10.79
10.79

7.40
7.40
7.40
7.38

11.60
11.64
11.64
11.71

370.19
370.14
370.10
371.18

255.30
254.39
253.84
253.71

480.24
483.06
479.57
485.97

526.68
534.49
543.31
538.27

207.94
208.80
204.45
208.36

3.3
2.5
1.6
2.6

.1
-.6
-1.4
-.5

1
2

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1982=100 base).

3
Based on seasonally unadjusted data.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
Index (June 1989 = 100)

Percent change from
3 months earlier

Period

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Benefits '

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

12 months earlier

Benefits '

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.8
4.8
4.6
4.4
3.5

4.9
4.2
4.1
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.7
2.6

Benefits >

Not seasonally adjusted

1992: Dec

80.1
84.0
87.3
90.1
93.1
97.6
102.3
107.0
111.7
115.6

81.4
84.8
88.3
91.1
94.1
98.0
102.0
106.1
110.0
112.9

103.8
105.1
106.2
107.2
108.4
109.7
110.9
111.9
113.0
113.8
114.7
115.7
116.9

103.2
104.4
105.4
106.2
107.3
108.4
109.2
110.1
110.9
111.5
112.2
113.0
113.9

76.7
81.7
84.6
87.5
90.5
96.7
102.6
109.4
116.2
122.2

1.3
1.3
.6
.7
.6
1.0
1.1
.8
.6
.7

1.1
1.2
.6
.6
.6
1.0
.8
.7
.6
.6

1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.0
.9
.8

1.0
1.2
1.0
.8
1.0
1.0
.7
.8
.7
.5
.6
.7
.8

2.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.2
1.7

Seasonally adjusted

Dec
Sept

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




105.1
106.7
108.3
109.9
111.3
113.3
115.1
116.7
118.2
119.6
121.2
122.7
124.8

1.4
1.3
1.0
.9
1.1
1.2
1.1
.9
1.0
.7
.8
.9
1.0

7.4
6.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
6.9
6.1
6.6
6.2
5.2

Not seasonally adjusted

5.2
5.2
4.9
4.6
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.4
4.2
3.7
3.4
3.5
3.5

4.2
4.5
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.4
3.0
2.7
2.6
2.7

7.2
6.9
6.8
6.6
5.8
6.2
6.4
6.2
6.3
5.5
5.2
5.2
5.6

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons

Period

Output '

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of 2ail
persons

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

102.4
104.5
105.4
107.5
108.3
109.2
108.2
108.2
108.7
r
l!1.6

104.1
112.6
116.7
119.9
124.8
130.1
132.3
132.7
129.8
132.8

104.4
113.0
116.8
120.1
125.0
130.6
132.7
132.9
130.0
132.9

101.8
107.6
109.9
110.7
114.1
117.9
120.9
120.9
117.9
117.2

102.0
108.1
110.8
111.8
115.4
119.5
122.7
122.9
119.6
119.0

103.7
108.1
113.0
118.6
122.7
128.0
132.3
139.7
146.6
152.1

103.9
108.1
112.6
118.1
122.1
127.2
131.3
138.4
145.4
150.8

100.5
100.4
101.3
104.4
104.3
104.4
103.0
103.2
103.9
104.6

101.1
103.0
105.2
106.9
108.0
110.3
110.5
109.3

101.1
103.2
105.1
105.8
107.1
109.1
109.6
108.0

100.0
107.5
114.4
118.0
120.6
127.4
131.7
132.3

100.0
108.1
114.8
118.2
120.8
127.6
132.5
132.7

98.9
104.3
108.7
110.4
111.6
115.5
119.2
121.1

98.9
104.7
109.2
111.7
112.8
116.9
120.9
122.8

102.1
105.2
109.7
115.4
120.6
125.3
130.2
134.3

102.1
105.1
109.7
114.8
120.1
124.6
129.3
133.3

109.4
110.2
109.8
109.7

107.9
108.6
108.1
108.1

133.1
133.7
132.5
131.3

133.5
134.0
132.7
131.5

121.7
121.4
120.7
119.8

123.7
123.4
122.8
121.6

136.2
138.9
141.0
142.9

109.3
109.8
110.3
111.2

107.9
108.4
108.9
109.6

129.2
129.5
130.0
130.6

129.4
129.7
130.2
130.7

118.1
117.9
117.8
117.5

119.9
119.7
119.6
119.3

n
m ....

112.3
112.6
113.5
114.7

110.6
111.1
111.8
113.0

131.4
131.9
133.0
134.7

131.5
132.0
133.2
134.8

117.0
117.2
117.2
117.5

1993: I"*....

114.7

113.0

135.4

135.6

118.1

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

102.2
104.6
106.1
108.3
109.4
110.4
109.5
109.7
110.1
113.3

Unit labor costs

Real compensation
per hour 4

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

100.7
100.4
101.0
104.0
103.7
103.7
102.2
102.2
103.0
103.7

101.5
103.3
106.5
109.5
112.2
116.0
120.9
127.3
133.1
r
134.3

101.5
103.4
106.8
109.9
112.8
116.4
121.4
127.9
133.8
r
135.1

103.4
107.7
111.2
113.6
116.6
120.8
126.1
131.2
136.2
139.1

104.0
107.6
111.6
114.2
117.2
121.4
126.5
131.8
137.0
140.0

100.6
100.4
100.6
102.2
105.3
104.8
104.3
103.0

100.6
100.3
100.5
101.6
104.9
104.2
103.7
102.2

101.0
102.1
104.3
108.0
111.6
113.6
117.8
122.9

101.0
101.8
104.4
108.4
112.1
114.2
118.0
123.3

101.1
104.8
109.0
112.4
114.6
117.9
122.8
127.8

101.4
105.2
109.0
112.9
115.2
118.5
123.4
128.2

134.9
137.5
139.6
141.6

102.5
103.5
103.4
103.1

101.6
102.5
102.4
102.2

124.5
126.0
128.4
130.3

125.0
126.6
129.1
131.0

129.1
130.6
131.9
133.3

129.6
131.1
132.5
134.1

144.1
146.1
147.5
148.8

143.0
145.0
146.4
147.5

103.0
103.9
104.2
104.3

102.2
103.1
103.4
103.4

131.8
133.1
133.7
133.8

132.5
133.8
134.4
134.6

134.9
136.0
136.7
137.3

135.7
136.6
137.5
138.3

118.9
118.9
119.1
119.3

150.3
151.0
152.7
154.3

148.9
149.8
151.4
153.0

104.4
104.1
104.6
104.9

103.5
103.3
103.7
104.0

133.8
134.1
134.5
134.6

134.6
134.9
135.3
135.4

138.2
139.0
138.9
140.3

139.1
139.9
139.9
141.2

120.0

155.8

154.3

104.9

103.9

135.8

136.6

141.1

142.0

1.5
1.9
3.3
2.9
2.6
3.2
4.3
5.4
4.6
.9

3.4
4.1
3.3
2.2
2.6
3.6
4.4
4.1
3.8
2.1

4.0
3.5
3.7
2.4
2.6
3.6
4.2
4.2
4.0
2.2

Nonfarm
business
sector

.Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1982=100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted
1983
1984
1985
1986

1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1990: I

n
m ....
IV

1991: I

n
ni ....
IV

1992: I

IV...

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

2.2
2.3
1.4
2.0
1.0
.9
8
.3
.3
2.9

2.4
2.1
.8
1.9
.8
.9
-1.0
.0
.5
r
2.7

4.1
8.2
3.6
2.8
4.1
4.3
1.7
.2
-2.2
2.3

4.4
8.2
3.4
2.8
4.1
4.4
1.7
.1
22
2.2

1.8
5.7
2.1
.7
3.1
3.3
2.6
-.0
25
-.6

2.0
6.0
2.5
.9
3.3
3.5
2.7
.1
-2.6
-.5

3.7
4.2
4.5
4.9
3.5
4.3
3.4
5.6
4.9
3.7

3.9
4.0
4.2
4.9
3.4
4.1
3.2
5.4
5.1
3.7

0.5
-.1
.9
3.0
1
.1
14
.2
.7
.7

.6
3.0
2
.0
-1.5
-.0
.8
.7

1.5
1.9
3.0
2.8
2.5
3.3
4.2
5.3
4.6
r
.9

.4
2.9
-1.4
-.5

-.5
2.5
-1.7
.1

2.6
1.8
-3.6
-3.5

2.2
1.6
31
-3.6

2.2
-1.1
-2.3
-3.0

2.8

-2.1
-3.7

5.8
8.0
6.3
5.4

5.0
7.8
6.4
5.9

-1.6
4.0
-.4
-1.4

-2.3
3.7
-.3
-.9

5.3
5.0
7.8
5.9

5.6
5.1
8.2
5.8

4.2
4.7
4.2
4.2

4.2
4.7
4.5
4.8

1991: I

-1.1
1.6
1.9
3.3

-.7
1.7
1.9
2.5

-6.4
.9
1.6
2.0

-6.1
.9
1.5
1.6

-5.3
-.7
-.3
-1.3

-5.5
-.8
-.3
g

3.6
5.6
3.9
3.5

3.9
5.8
3.9
3.1

-.1
3.4
1.1
.3

.1
3.5
1.2
— .1

4.8
3.9
1.9
.2

4.6
4.0
2.0
.6

4.8
3.2
2.3
1.6

4.9
2.7
2.7
2.2

1992: I

n
in ....
rv...

3.9
1.0
3.3
4.3

3.7
1.7
2.9
4.1

2.3
1.6
3.6
5.2

2.3
1.7
3.5
5.1

-1.5
.6
.2
.9

-1.3
.1
.6
.9

4.0
1.9
4.5
4.5

3.8
2.4
4.2
4.5

.6
-1.2
°1.8
1.3

.4
-.6
1.5
1.3

.1
.9
1.2
.2

.1
.8
1.3
.3

2.6
2.4
-.2
4.0

2.4
2.5
-.3
3.9

1993: I"*....

.1

-.1

2.0

2.3

1.9

2.4

3.8

3.3

— .1

-.5

3.6

3.4

2.4

2.4

....
.

1990: I

n
m ....
IV

n
m ....
rv

Q

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1987 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
* Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-TJ).

16



5

0.7
O

Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
'Data do not reflect GDP revisions of May 28, 1993.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics-

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose slightly in April and capacity utilization was unchanged. (Series revised.}
INDEX, 1987 - 100* (RATIO SCALE]

INDEX, 1987 . 100* (RATIO SCALE)

UTILITIES,AND MINING

/

110

i>rr^' \ V
f
in 1 11 11 1 1

*'\ /, /V-V-'Vx/
"

^7>^

1989

^ „
1 1

UTILITIES

^.^ CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE (TOTAL INDUSTRY)

^K-/y-\^^

'V

^A^^-

MINING

V
\s

1
1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 111 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 U 1 lit t 1 1
1992
1990
1993

r 1991

1 1 1 f li 1 1 U 1

1

1989

.

S~
/I

N^x-^Y^^^

1 1 II 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ll 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 li 1 1 1 1 1
II
1990
1991
1
1992
1993
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Period
Index,
1987 = 100

Capacity utilization
rate, percent *

Industry production indexes, 1987=100

Total
industrial
production

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Total

r

Durable

Nondurable

Mining

Utilities

Total
industry

Manufacturing

1991
1992

84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
104.5
106.1
106.1
104.1
106.6

3.6
9.3
1.7
.9
r
5.0
4.4
1.5
.0
-1.8
2.4

80.9
89.3
91.6
94.3
100.0
104.7
106.4
106.1
103.7
106.9

76.8
88.4
91.8
93.9
100.0
106.6
108.6
107.4
103.8
108.1

87.0
90.8
91.5
94.9
100.0
102.3
103.7
104.4
103.5
105.4

104.8
111.9
109.0
101.0
100.0
101.3
100.0
102.0
100.4
97.6

93.6
97.0
99.5
96.3
100.0
105.0
108.7
109.9
112.2
112.0

75.8
81.1
80.3
79.2
r
81.5
83.7
83.6
82.1
79.2
79.8

74.9
80.4
79.5
79.1
r
81.6
83.6
83.1
81.1
77.8
78.8

1992: Aprr
May '.
June r.
July T
Aug '.
Sepf
Oct r
Nov r
Dec r

106.3
106.7
106.0
106.8
106.6
106.2
107.5
108.4
108.9

3.6
3.3
1.5
2.2
1.9
.9
2.3
3.2
4.0

106.5
107.1
106.5
107.1
107.0
106.8
108.0
108.9
109.2

107.2
108.4
107.6
108.2
108.5
108.1
109.8
110.9
111.8

105.5
105.4
105.2
105.7
105.2
105.2
105.8
106.4
106.0

97.4
98.8
97.1
98.5
97.0
97.1
97.6
97.8
98.2

112.0
111.2
110.0
111.2
110.4
111.2
112.7
114.7
116.8

79.9
80.1
79.5
80.0
79.7
79.3
80.2
80.8
81.0

78.8
79.1
78.6
78.9
78.7
78.4
79.2
79.7
79.8

1993: Jan r
Feb r
Mar r
Apr"

109.3
109.9
109.9
110.0

4.6
4.4
4.1
3.4

109.9
110.5
110.6
111.0

112.9
113.9
114.0
114.4

106.4
106.4
106.4
106.8

98.3
95.6
95.4
96.1

112.8
117.4
117.3
113.1

81.2
81.5
81.4
81.4

80.3
80.5
80.5
80.7

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

1

T

Output as percent of capacity.

NOTE.—Series revised beginning in 1986, primarily to reflect conversion of the indexes from




1987 forward to the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification, and to incorporate more comprehensive
source data.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Consumer goods

Equipment

Durable
goods

Business

Period
Total
Total

Total '

Defense
and
space
equipment

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

83.0
91.0
94.2
95.7
100.0
104.8
106.8
107.0
105.3
108.2

1992- Apr '
May r

July '
Aue '
Sept '
Oct '
Nov r
Dec r.

....

.

1993- Jan '
Feb '
Mar '
Apr"

88.8
92.8
93.7
96.8
100.0
102.9
104.0
103.4
102.8
105.2

79.7
91.0
91.6
94.5
100.0
104.6
106.6
102.3
95.2
102.5

91.9
93.4
94.4
97.6
100.0
102.4
103.2
103.8
105.0
105.9

76.8
89.2
94.8
94.5
100.0
107.6
110.9
112.1
108.9
112.7

71.9
85.4
91.1
93.1
100.0
110.7
115.5
116.9
115.7
123.2

71.8
78.9
89.4
96.0
100.0
99.7
100.1
98.8
91.7
85.9

80.3
86.2
88.3
91.9
100.0
101.8
102.0
101.2
96.5
97.6

80.2
86.2
89.1
93.8
100.0
101.5
100.5
98.2
90.7
93.8

80.3
86.2
87.7
90.7
100.0
102.0
103.0
103.2
100.4
100.1

88.3
96.6
96.6
95.9
100.0
105.0
106.7
106.8
105.5
107.9

98.9
103.8
103.4
99.5
100.0
102.2
103.1
104.2
104.6
103.4

107.7
108.3
107.1
108.1
108.9
108.1
110.1
111.0
111.5

105.4
105.8
104.0
104.9
105.1
104.4
106.4
107.1
107.5

102.6
105.6
102.0
102.8
101.9
100.9
104.1
105.7
107.9

106.1
105.9
104.6
105.5
106.0
105.3
107.1
107.5
107.4

111.1
112.0
111.6
112.7
114.3
113.5
115.4
116.7
117.2

120.6
122.1
121.9
123.7
126.1
125.0
127.5
129.0
129.6

87.7
87.2
86.5
85.1
84.5
84.4
83.5
83.2
82.5

97.9
97.9
97.7
98.6
97.0
96.9
97.8
98.1
98.3

93.6
95.3
93.6
94.3
94.1
93.0
94.7
95.1
94.5

100.7
99.6
100.6
101.4
99.0
99.5
99.9
100.0
100.8

107.9
108.0
107.8
108.5
107.6
107.4
108.1
109.3
110.0

103.5
103.3
103.1
104.4
102.5
103.6
103.0
103.9
105.1

111.9
112.3
112.3
112.5

1983
1984
1985.
1986 r.
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

1

Nondurable
goods

107.6
108.2
108.1
107.9

110.9
111.7
111.0
111.2

106.7
107.3
107.3
107.0

118.1
118.1
118.4
119.1

131.2
131.8
132.9
134.0

82.0
81.4
80.9
80.5

98.2
99.3
99.4
98.6

94.8
97.3
97.2
96.3

100.5
100.6
100.8
100.2

110.4
111.0
111.0
111.4

103.4
103.9
103.8
102.9

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Primary metals

Period
Total

Iron
and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Transportation
equipment

Industrial and
commercial
machinery and
computer
equipment 1

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber and
products

Apparel
products

Printing and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Foods

1983
1984
1985
1986 '
1987
1988
1989
1990 ...
1991
1992

91.0
102.4
101.8
93.7
100.0
108.7
107.2
106.5
98.4
101.1

96.1
105.9
104.5
90.8
100.0
112.7
111.2
111.5
100.6
104.7

85.5
93.3
94.5
93.8
100.0
104.2
102.8
99.5
94.9
96.7

64.3
80.8
86.8
90.3
100.0
113.0
117.3
117.6
113.7
124.8

80.3
94.1
93.1
94.3
100.0
108.5
111.0
111.4
112.8
119.8

72.7
83.1
91.8
96.9
100.0
105.2
109.6
107.0
101.8
102.6

74.5
90.6
99.0
98.5
100.0
105.7
106.9
101.0
94.3
104.8

79.9
86.0
88.0
95.1
100.0
100.1
99.4
97.1
90.5
96.4

93.8
95.7
92.6
96.3
100.0
98.1
95.0
92.2
91.9
92.3

79.0
84.5
87.6
90.6
100.0
100.9
101.1
100.8
96.8
95.0

87.5
91.4
91.4
94.6
100.0
106.0
109.2
111.8
111.3
115.0

90.1
92.1
94.9
97.4
100.0
101.5
102.5
103.7
105.3
106.0

1992: Apr '
May '

101.8
101.1
101.2
100.6
100.5
98.0
100.5
101.6
102.4

105.6
104.8
103.8
104.7
103.8
102.0
104.1
103.6
107.4

96.8
97.2
97.1
97.0
97.0
96.5
97.5
97.6
97.8

120.9
123.2
123.8
125.7
126.9
127.9
130.6
132.8
133.8

118.2
119.5
119.3
120.7
120.6
121.5
122.6
124.4
124.8

103.2
104.5
102.7
101.4
102.4
100.5
103.0
103.6
106.3

104.5
107.9
104.8
103.1
105.0
102.6
108.0
109.9

ire.2

95.3
96.1
93.8
96.6
96.6
94.7
97.8
99.8
98.0

93.4
93.5
91.7
92.7
91.3
91.5
91.7
92.9
92.7

95.8
94.5
95.6
95.7
93.5
94.1
94.5
94.2
94.7

114.6114.8
114.9
114.6
114.4
115.2
116.2
117.7
116.7

106.0
106.1
105.4
105.9
106.3
105.6
106.8
106.4
106.2

102.8
107.9
104.8
105.1

107.0
112.8
109.1
109.5

99.8
99.8
100.1
100.4

135.0
137.1
139.6
142.0

125.8
127.0
127.8
127.9

108.4
108.1
107.0
106.4

120.9
121.3
120.0
120.2

99.3
101.3
99.9
98.6

93.1
92.9
92.5
92.1

94.7
94.3
94.4
94.8

116.8
115.8
116.9
117.4

105.9
106.3
106.1
106.2

July '..

... .

Septr.
Oct '
Dec '

1993: Jan '.
Feb r. .
Mar r
Apr"
1
Formerly nonelectrical machinery.
Note.—Series revised. See Note, p. 17.

18



Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

New housing
units

Total '

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1987 = 100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
1983
1984

294.9
348.8
377.4
407.7

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

419.4
.. .

432.3
443.4

442.1
401.0
426.7

231.5
278.6
299.5

323.1
328.7
337.5
345.3
334.2
290.7
308.2

125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1
196.6
182.9
157.8
184.1

48.2
50.8
51.3
51.6
50.1
51.5
54.5
54.9
55.8
60.1

57.774.0
89.8
84.4
84.0
88.0
94.3
96.4
77.0
64.0

94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9
139.2
128.0
110.6
130.0

75
83
91
96
100
101
105
95
89
97

63.5
70.2
77.8
84.6
90.6
94.8
98.1
107.9
110.2
118.4

Annual rates

Annual rates

1992: Apr
May
T J
July

. J

*

427.6
428.0
426.7
425.7

419.6

Sept

429.3
432.2

Oct

309.8
307.0

312.2
305.8
302.0
308.8

436.1
439.9

320.7

441.3

327.8

446.7
446.2
444.4

Dec

1993- Jan
Feb r
Mar '
Apr '

315.9
317.5

331.8
330.3

328.1

182.6
182.9
184.6
181.2
184.2
186.3
192.6
194.8
198.5

128.8
128.1
128.7
126.9
129.1
131.4
134.9
137.3
140.2

65.9
63.6
66.8
63.5
57.9
61.2
62.8
63.2
61.2

61.2
60.5
60.7
61.2
59.8
61.2
60.5
59.5
61.0

204.8
205.0
205.0
202.2

140.6
140.7
141.1
138.5

61,6
64.1
62.2
62.1

61.4
62.8
63.1
63.9

99
91
95
r
94
93
96
105
98
r
95

!03
97
95
94

113.6
114.9
115.9
116.2

484
423
512
504
512
463
546
510
511
443
479
524
548

117.8
121.0
114.5
119.9
117.6
120.5
116.4
118.7
119.2

1
Includes
2
Includes
3

756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
973
961
783
577
544

r

Sources: Department of Commerce {Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

residential improvements, not shown separately.
hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1983
1984

1985 ..
1986
1987 ..
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1
1,376.1
1,192.7
1,013.9
1,199.7

1 unit
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3
1,003.3
894.8
840.4
1,029.9

2-4 units

113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8
55.2
37.5
35.6
30.7

5 or more units
522.0
544.0

576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0

317.6
260.4

137.9
139.0

Units
authorized
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6
1,338.4
1,110.8
948.8
r
1,094.9

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period *

Yaeancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8
1,422.8
1,308.0
1,090.8
1,157.5

623
639
688
750
671
676
650
534
509
610

301
353
346
357
366
368
365
321
284
265

5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7
7.4
7.2
7.4
7.4

1,120
1,079
1,194
1,181
1,234
1,133
1,128
1,137
1,229
1,227

552
552
552
584
622
625
672
637
615
662

279
274
273
273
271
270
267
264
262
265

7.4

603

266
268
270
270

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1992: Mar
May
July
Scot

Oct
Nov
Dec

1993- Jan

Feb r

Mar '
Aor *
1

1,318
1,095
1,197
1,141
1,106
1,229
1,218
1,226
1,226
1,286

1,050
939
1,019
994
961
1,038
1,045
1,079
1,089
1,133

51
28
32
40
25
31
28
18
28
32

217
128
146
107
120
160
145
129
109
121

1,171
1,180
1,137
1,213

1,051
1,036
1,000
1,063

26
24
32
30

94
120
105
120

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with
earlier data.
NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
2




' 1,082
1,040
r
1,053
' 1,048
r
1,083
r
1,081
r

r

l,120
l,141

r

' 1,136

r

l,196

r

1,157
1,141
1,034
1,101

r

l,136

1,237
1,096

r

603
612
751

7.7
7.3
7.1

7.9

are for 16,000 places.
Seasonally adjusted housing units authorized have been revised beginning 1991; unadjusted data
revised beginning 1992.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In March, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.2 percent and inventories rose $6.4 billion. In April, according to
advance data, retail sales rose 1.2 percent, following a decline of 0.8 percent in March.
BILLIO NS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
300

BILLIOl-J.S OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
1,000
900
800 -^-

1

-/

.—

^=\

—-

250

^

Mf NUFACTURIf JO AND

700

^
~

T RADE INVEN DRIES

•

^

V

IL INVENTOR

200

600

,,-— ~-v
S-.

•—---

500

.

,-~~-'

-^

v
150

\

^ ^ ^
.
"

M/ NUFACRIRIr-4G
Al- D TRADE SAt ES

' RETAIL SAL ES
^

400

100
300

1 t 11111M 11

|||||[|||||

RATIO
1.80

Illllllllll

111111111 n

*

INVENTORY-SALES RATIO
1.70
1.60

.-\/^-'V

ki^X/f'^*-^/k£Tvi

\i

200

1.50

RETAIL
\

?

1989

Illllllllll

1990 1991

1.30

1 I 1 III

1993

1992

i 11I 1

ANDTI ADE
mi r If in i Hill 1 f i l l 1

1989

1990

11 i III 1 t i l l

1993

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail

Wholesale

Inventories 3

Sales 2
2

Inventories 3

Inventories a

Sales

370,501
411,427
423,940
431,786
459,107
497,031
523,729
543,097
538,233
560,039

591,858
651,527
665,837
664,654
711,745
767,512
813,666
837,228
833,213
848,805

100,440
113,502
114,816
116,326
124,340
135,357
144,158
149,489
147,635
152,337

131,663
144,223
149,155
155,445
165,814
180,519
188,539
196,901
201,285
209,232

552,126
552,488
551,257
, 559,606
563,656
556,733
563,454
566,005
569,483
581,479

832,031
835,471
835,106
839,721
843,101
845,350
844,388
845,341
846,585
848,805

151,394
150,557
148,496
151,221
154,124
152,495
153,405
154,011
154,032
155,297

201,463
201,699
200,878
204,299
204,626
205,609
205,114
206,093
208,424
209,232

581,760
585,369
586,316

851,018
854,563
860,989

159,507
158,987
158,745

210,139 169,232
209,765 169,116
211,321 '167,720
169,700

Sales

1992

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Period
2

inn In in

1991

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade 1

-*

. MANUFACTURING

1.40

nmliim mill

-A

J

Total

Nondurable goods
stores

Durable
goods
stores

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade1

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted
1983
1984
1985
1986 ..
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992 .
1992:

Mar T
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov

Dec
1993:

Jan
Feb r
Mar " ....
Apr'"

1

r

r

160,048
160,182
161,282
161,133
162,316
163,224
164,211
167,603
167,291
169,155

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month.
2

20



64,943
69,369
73,075
75,746
80,453
85,664
91,974
98,230
100,965
104,777

32,571
37,873
41,510
45,057
47,989
52,469
54,873
55,919
54,492
58,758

97,514
107,243
114,586
120,803
128,442
138,133
146,847
154,149
155,456
163,535

57,281
57,073
57,553
57,777
58,352
58,369
59,172
61,051
60,610
61,873

r

62,216
60,978
60,775
62,087

r

3

r

T

147,833
167,812
181,881
186,510
207,836
219,597
238,343
241,476
245,885
260,647

68,856
79,074
88,315
89,983
105,481
112,505
121,448
121,338
119,828
131,549

78,977
88,738
93,566
96,527
102,355
107,092
116,895
120,138
126,057
129,098

1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.50
1.49
1.53
1.53
1.54
1.50

1.44
1.49
1.52
1.56
1.56
1.54
1.59
1.56
1.55
1.55

102,767
103,109
103,729
103,356
103,964
104,855
105,039
106,552
106,681
107,282

247,329
251,566
250,942
252,568
254,984
254,145
254,884
255,540
256,895
260,647

122,113
125,405
125,217
125,844
127,018
127,334
126,900
127,760
128,884
131,549

125,216
126,161
125,725
126,724
127,966
126,811
127,984
127,780
128,011
129,098

1.51
1.51
1.51
1.50
1.50
1.52
1.50
1.49
1.49
1.46

1.55
1.57
1.56
1.57
1.57
1.56
1.55
1.52
1.54
1.54

107,016
108,138
106,945
107,613

262,427
265,718
269,830

132,861
135,599
138,517

129,566
130,119
131,313

1.46
1.46
1.47

1.55
1.57
1.61

Seasonally adjusted, end of period.
Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.
4

INVENTORIES,
in March, manufacturers' shipments and inventories rose; new and unfilled orders fell. In April, according to
advance data, durable goods shipments fell and new orders were unchanged.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE!
280
SHIPMENTS

240

,, _
-

^-V.

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
«
___™.

MO

^—sl*-^-*^

—

~\

200

360

TOTAL

TOTAL

rin ?ABLE GOOD 5

160

,
120

\.

-^ ^

280

. -«
^

rr"

--

\

200

DURABLE GOODS

N DNDURABLE 3OODS

160

X ~
\

120

Illllllllll

1
NON DURABLE GO ODS

r-

^

inn inn m i l h l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l
80

BILUONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE]

280
240

.— — •

!

NEW ORDERS
—-*—s- "~

-F-*"»

60

200
( i ( [

TOTAL
160

DURABLE GOODS

120 •*-*.

RATIO-

/
.' .jV.-.J.
^ — ^ "' ~, .**•-•-*

* %-

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO
2 00
1.80

NONDURABLE GOODS
80

r^i
I IMII

^— VA/j

^
^
'-

1.40 -

60
I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l 1 1 1 IE 1 1 1 1 1 1
1989

1990

III Illl III 1

II M I N I II 1 III III II III I l l l l l l l l l l

1 M1 1 11 1 1 1I

iimliiiii iiiiilnm
1989

1993

1992

1991

1.20

1990

V

—^-~N .
-

miiliim

Illllllllll

1992

1993

1991

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments l

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders l
Durable goods

Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,
non-defense

Nondurable
goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

Manufacturers'
inventoryshipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted
172,547
190,682
194,538
194,657
206,326
223,541
232,724
239,459
235,142
244,167

1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992: Mar
May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1993- Jan
Feb
Mar '
Apr p ..

85,481
97,940
101,279
103,238
108,128
117,993
121,703
122,387
118,548
124,865

87,066
92,742
93,259
91,419
98,198
105,549
111,022
117,072
116,593
119,302

312,362
339,492
334,801
322,699
338,095
367,396
886,784
398,851
386,043
378,926

199,831
221,304
218,211
212,027
220,786
241,356
255,911
259,746
246,966
235,360

112,531
118,188
116,590
110,672
117,309
126,040
130,873
139,105
139,077
143,566

175,451
192,879
195,706
195,204
209,389
227,026
235,905
240,417
233,774
241,461

88,140
100,164
102,356
103,647
110,809
121,445
124,906
123,324
117,063
122,186

19,624
23,669
24,545
23,983
26,095
30,729
32,725
32,227
29,862
30,542

87,311
92,715
93,351
91,557
98,579
105,581
110,999
117,093
116,712
119,275

347,272
373,524
387,087
393,403
430,287
471,942
510,112
521,811
505,631
472,751

1.78
1.73
1.73
1.68
1.59
1.58
1.64
1.65
1.67
1.57

240,684
241,749
241,479
247,252
247,216
241,014
245,838
244,391
248,160
257,027

123,503
123,483
122,344
125,831
124,789
123,364
125,346
125,162
128,105
134,010

117,181
118,266
119,135
121,421
122,427
117,650
120,492
119,229
120,055
123,017

383,239
382,206
383,286
382,854
383,491
385,596
384,390
383,708
381,266
378,926

243,787
242,512
242,447
241,891
241,258
242,036
240,550
239,390
237,542
235,360

139,452
139,694
140,839
140,963
142,233
143,560
143,840
144,318
143,724
143,566

237,606
240,771
238,696
244,542
242,307
236,880
239,951
244,777
243,426
258,264

120,187
122,393
119,808
123,164
119,861
119,376
119,801
125,302
123,271
135,208

32,163
29,901
30,469
30,953
29,296
28,158
30,571
31,665
28,597
34,044

117,419
118,378
118,888
121,378
122,446
117,504
120,150
119,475
120,155
123,056

497,263
496,285
493,502
490,792
485,883
481,749
475,862
476,248
471,514
472,751

1.59
1.58
1.59
1.55
1.55
1.60
1.56
1.57
1.54
1.47

253,021
257,266
259,851

130,465
134,104
135,410
132,838

122,556
123,162
124,441

378,452
379,080
379,838

234,363
235,120
235,345

144,089
143,960
144,493

255,018
258,377
254,346

132,123
135,209
130,246
130,300

30,355
34,567
30,827
31,200

122,895
123,168
124,100

474,748
475,859
470,354

1.50
1.47
1.46

1
Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
2
Seasonally adjusted, end of period.




3

Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In April, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.6 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose
1.4 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.3 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2
percent.
INDE <, 1 982 - 1 00 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1 982 - 1 00 (RATIO SCALE)
SEASONAUY ADJU5TED

FINISHED GOODS PRICES

130

130
CONSUMER F OODS

^,*^'—^ ^ '
*

w "^,^

'

/

120

I

CAPITAL EQUIPMENT

X

^f

-

^^TT*

/c

"^-~~^~-

•

120

•
1

-

—

/

110

*

\

~ \(

110

,-•' "\

:w K^-

CONSUM :R GOODS
EXCLUDE)G FOODS

TOTAL ,.

—

V

100

100

V.''"
-

1 1 M ll M 1 1 1

1985

1986

1 1 1 t 1 1 1 11 M

1987

M 1 1 1 111I 11

90

1988

M

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11

1 1 1 t 1 1 M M 1

t 1 1 11 1 1 M 11

1991

1992

90

1 1 M 11 M 1 11

1990

1989

1993

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

s

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Finished goods

Intermediate materials

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992 r
1992' Apr
May
June
July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec r

1993' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
1

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
113.6
119.2
121.7
123.2
122.8
123.2
123.5
123.5
123.6
123.9
124.0
123.8
123.8

101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
118.7
124.4
124.1
123.3
122.6
122.5
122.8
122.7
123.6
124.1
124.2
123.5
125.1

124.0
124.5
125.0
125.7

123.9
123.8
124.4
126.2

Consumer goods




Total
finished
consumer
goods

Total

Foods
and
feeds '

Other

Total

Foodstuffs
and
feedstuffs

Other

Total

Durable

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
111.8
117.4
120.9
123.1
122.7
123.2
123.6
123.7
123.5
123.7
123.8
123.7
123.3

101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
108.9
115.3
118.7
120.8
120.3
121.0
121.5
121.6
121.2
121.5
121.8
121.6
120.9

102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
117.6
120.4
123.9
125.7
125.9
125.8
125.5
126.0
126.3
126.0
125.3
125.9
126.0

100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
103.8
111.5
115.0
117.3
116.5
117.6
118.4
118.4
117.7
118.3
118.9
118.4
117.4

102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
118.8
122.9
126.7
129.1
129.1
129.2
129.1
129.2
129.5
129.5
129.3
129.5
129.7

101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
112.1
118.2
120.5
121.7
121.1
121.6
122.1
122.1
122.1
122.5
122.6
122.3
122.3

100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
112.0
114.5
114.4
114.7
114.1
114.5
115.3
115.3
115.3
115.5
115.2
114.9
114.9

103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5
113.8
113.3
111.1
110.7
111.0
111.2
111.5
110.1
109.6
110.4
109.7
110.2
111.1

100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
111.9
114.5
114.6
114.9
114.2
114.7
115.5
115.6
115.6
115.7
115.4
115.2
115.1

101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
103.1
108.9
101.2
100.4
98.1
100.1
101.5
101.6
100.9
103.0
102.7
102.6
101.5

101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1
111.2
113.1
105.5
105.1
104.2
105.7
105.9
104.7
104.5
104.6
105.6
104.7
105.9

100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5
93.4
101.5
94.6
93.5
90.4
92.6
94.8
95.7
94.8
97.9
96.8
97.4
94.8

124.0
124.6
125.1
125.4

121.6
122.4
122.9
123.3

126.6
127.1
127.4
128.0

118.1
118.9
119.6
119.9

130.0
130.6
130.8
131.0

122.5
123.0
123.5
124.3

115.3
115.9
116.3
116.5

111.4
110.9
110.1
111.7

115.6
116.2
116.6
116.7

101.9
101.4
101.8
103.0

106.0
106.1
106.2
108.9

95.3
94.5
95.0
95.3

Total

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22

Crude materials

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In April, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted (it rose 0.3 percent
not seasonally adjusted). The index was 3.2 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84 « 100 (RATIO SC ALE]
150

INDE X, 1982-84 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)
150
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

^

140

140

->^_
^-^
/
I

130

CONSUMER PRICES— ALL ITEMS

^.

130

^
120

120

-^1
^

-^r

110

110

100

100

90

90

I,,,,,
1985

80

1 1 1 t 1 11 1 1 1 1

1 1 I 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I

1987

1986

1 1 1 1 1 I H 1 1 1

1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 ! 1 t |

1988

1989

mnl

M

1 1 1 1 1 I1 M

1990

I 1 1 1 1 1 M

1991

1 1 1

1992

SEE NOTE ON TABIE BE LOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1 1 1 1 1 1M 1 11

80

1993

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items L

Transportation

Housing
Shelter

Period

Rel. imp.3....
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992:
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993:
Feb ...
Mar
Apr

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

1000

Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

Food
Total '

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total J

New
cars

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Ener2

All
items
less
food
and
energy

gy

15.8
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2
125.1
132.4
136.3
137.9

99.6
103 9
107.6
109 6
113.6
1183
124.0
130 7
136.2
140.3

41.4
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5
123.0
128.5
133.6
137.5

27.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1
132.8
140.0
146.3
151.2

8.0
103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6
138.9
146.7
155.6
160.9

19.7
102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1
137.3
144.6
150.2
155.3

0.2
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7
118.0
122.2
126.3
128.6

7.3
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4
107.8
111.6
115.3
117.8

6.0
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4
118.6
124.1
128.7
131.9

17.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7
114.1
120.5
123.8
126.5

4.0
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2
121.0
125.3
128.4

3.3
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9
88.5
101.2
99.4
99.0

6.9
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6
149.3
162.8
177.0
190.1

7.3
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3
94.3
102.1
102.5
103.0

76.9
99.6
104.6
109.1
113.5
118.2
123.4
129.0
135.5
142.1
147.3

139.5
139.7
140.2
140.5
140.9
141.3
141.8
142.0
141.9

139.7
139.9
140.2
140.6
140.9
141.1
141.7
142.0
142.2

138.1
137.5
137.6
137.5
138.3
138.7
138.7
138.8
139.2

136.7
136.9
137.4
137.6
137.9
138.0
138.5
138.8
138.9

150.1
150.4
150.9
151.1
151.4
151.6
152.2
152.6
152.9

159.0
159.7
160.2
160.2
160.6
161.2
161.8
162.1
161.9

154.5
154.6
155.2
155.4
155.7
155.8
156.4
156.8
157.4

128.0
128.1
128.5
128.8
128.1
128.5
129.4
129.5
129.3

117.0
117.2
117.4
118.1
118.5
118.6
118.9
119.2
119.3

130.8
131.8
132.1
132.7
132.4
131.9
132.4
132.3
131.9

125.9
126.1
126.5
127.1
126.9
126.9
127.8
128.4
128.5

127.9
128.1
128.3
128.5
128.9
129.2
129.2
129.4
129.5

97.4
98.1
100.4
101.4
99.8
99.5
100.2
100.3
99.8

188.0
188.9
189.8
190.8
191.7
192.6
193.7
194.7
195.5

101.3
101.8
103.1
103.8
103.4
103.4
103.9
104.1
103.9

146.7
147.1
147.3
147.8
148.1
148.2
148.9
149.3
149.6

142.6
143.1
143.6
144.0

142.9
143.4
143.6
144.2

139.7
139.9
140.1
140.6

139.3
139.6
140.0
140.7

153.5
154.0
154.2
155.0

161.9
162.5
162.8
163.8

158.2
158.7
158.9
159.6

129.7
130.5
131.5
131.8

119.4
118.8
120.2
120.7

133.0
135.0
134.3
134.3

129.3
129.9
130.0
130.2

129.8
129.8
130.1
130.7

101.2
101.8
101.4
100.8

196.7
197.7
198.2
199.3

104.4
104.0
104.7
104.9

150.3
151.0
151.2
151.8

1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1992.
2




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs
ind therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
Bnished
goods

Period

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

0.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0
4.9
5.7
1
1.6

1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992 r

-0.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1
5.3
8.7
-.7
1.6

2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
2
5.7
5.2
2.6
1.5

1.6

2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6
3.8
3.4
2.5
1.7

1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5
5.2
4.9
2.1
1.2

Change, month to month

1
.2
.1
.7
.4
.1
-.6
1.3

May
July
Sept
Oct

Nov

Dee r

1993- Jan r
Feb
Mar ' . ...

0.4
.6
.4
.1
-.3
.2
.2
-.2
-.6

0.2
.1
— .1
.1
.2
0
-.2
.2
.2

3.3
3.3
2.3
1.3
1.3
1.6
.6
-.3

0
— 19
-.6
.3
3.6
4.3
5.0
-.3
3.3

4.4
5.5
5.8
4.4
.7
0
.7
1.3
-2.0

2.5
2.5
.9
.3
.9
1.2
.3
0
.6

1.3
1.6
2.6
2.6
2.3
2.3
2.0
1.0
.5

— 1.1
-1.0

-.5
.2
.8
1.8
2.6
1.6
3.8

1.7
2.4
4.1
4.4
3.0
2.9
2.5
1.0
-1.0

2.8
2.7
2.2
1.4
1.7
1.1
.3
.5
.9

1.1
1.1
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.8
1.4
1.6

-1.0
-.1
.5
1.4

0.2
.3
.2
0
.1
.2
.1
-.2
0

1992- Apr

.6
.7
.4
.3

.2
.5
.2
.2

0
2.3
3.9
5.6

-1.0
1.0
-2.2
7.6

.7
2.7
6.8
5.7

2.2
3.4
3.4
3.1

.8
1.5
1.8
2.8

2.0
.3
.5
3.2

0
2.0
2.3
2.5

1.2
1.7
2.0
2.6

1.8
1.8
2.0
2.4

-0.3

.2
.4
.4
.6

3.0

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Transportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items l

Food

Total 1
Total '

Homeowners'
costs

Renters'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

Total *

New
cars

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
Prom
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6
6.1
3.1
2.9

2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2
5.6
5.3
1.9
1.5

3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0
3.9
4.5
3.4
2.6

4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5
4.9
5.2
3.9
2.9

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9
4.5
6.7
4.2
2.8

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7
5.1
4.7
3.7
2.9

Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dee

0.3
.1
.2
.3
.2
.1
.4
.2
.1

0.1
— .4
.1
-.1
.6
.3
0
.1
.3

0.2
.1
.4
.1
.2
.1
.4
.2
.1

0.1
.2
.3
.1
.2
.1
.4
.3
.2

0.1
.4
.3
0
.2
.4
.4
.2
-.1

0.2
.1
.4
.1
.2
.1
A
.3
.4

0.4
.2
.2
.6
.3
.1
.3
.3
.1

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

.5
.3
.1
.4

.4
.1
.1
.4

.3
.2
.3
.5

.4
.3
.1
.5

0
.4
.2
.6

.5
.3
.1
.4

.1
-.5
1.2
.4

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1391
1992

1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9
3.2
4.0
2.9
2.3

2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7
1.0
5.1
3.4
1.4

3.4 -1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.1
3.4
5.9 -30.7
1.8
18.7
2.1 -2.1
6.8
2.3
36.5
1.4
3.3
16.0
1.8
2.3

6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9
8.5
9.6
7.9
6.6

-0.5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5
5.1
18.1
-7.4
2.0

4.8
4.7
4.3
3.8
4.2
4.7
4.4
5.2
4.4
3.3

0.4
.2
.3
.5
2
0
.7
.5
.1

0.3
.2
.2
.2
.3
.2
0
.2
.1

0
.7
2.3
1.0
-1.6
-.3
.7
.1
-.5

0.6
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
.6
.5
.4

0.3
.5
1.3
.7
-.4
0
.5
.2
-.2

0.3
.3
.1
.3
.2
.1
.5
.3
.2

.6
.5
.1
.2

.2
0
.2
.5

1.4
.6
— .4
-.6

.6
.5
.3
.6

.5
-.4
.7
.2

.5
.5
.1
.4

3.9
3.1
2.6
5.9
6.1
3.0
4.0
10.4
-1.5
3.0

3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1
4.8
5.4
4.2
3.0

Change, month to month

1992:

1993:

1
2

-0.5
.8
.2
.5
-.2
-.4
.4
1

-.3
.8
1.5
5

o'

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.

24



2.9
2.9
3.2

3.7

3
Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

3.5
3.2
2.6
2.6
2.9
2.6
3.2
3.2
3.2

3.5
3.1
3.1
3.1
3.0
2.6
2.9
3.0
2.9

3.2
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.0
2.9

3.4
4.0
4.0
3.7

3.3
3.6
3.6
3.6

3.3
3.2
3.1
3.2

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
In May, prices received by farmers were unchanged from their April level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.5
percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE]
200

200
180

180

160

PRICES PAID
140

. PRICES RECEIVED -

120

80 I

ItIlIII

1

I II IIII

120

Ii i i i IIIIIIIIIIIIi I

I

I

I I II I II II II II III II I

I

I I I I I I I so

RATIO.!/
140 I

RATIO-L1 140
120

120

1993

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices received by farmers
Period

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

.

All farm
products

1992- May
July

1993' Jan
Feb
Mar
May
1

Livestock and
products

Crops

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

Production
items

Ratio 2

... .

128
138
120
107
106
126
134
127
129
121

141
146
136
138
146
150
160
170
161
157

161
164
162
159
162
170
178
184
189
191

159
161
156
150
152
160
167
172
175
176

152
155
151
144
148
157
165
171
174
174

84
87
79
77
78
81
83
81
77
73

141
140
138
138
138
138
136
137

123
121
117
116
117
117
115
118

158
157
158
160
158
158
156
156

(3)
<3>
192
(3)
(3)
192
(3)
(3)

(3)
<3>
177
(3)
(3)
176
(3)
(3)

(3)
(3)
175
(3)
(3)
175
(3)
(3)

74
73
72
72
72
72
71
71

139
140
142
r
!46
146

117
118
116
r
!26
122

159
162
166
r
!67
168

194
(3)
(3)
197
(3)

178
(3)
(3)
181
(a)

176
(3)
<3>
179
(3)

72
72
73
74
74

Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates *

135
142
128
123
127
138
147
149
145
140

.

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

Prices paid by farmers

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

9..S

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
M2 and M3 rose in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS- (RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000

-V

3,600

3,600
3,200

3,200

-V

2,800

2,800

M2

2,400

2,400
2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

mill
1990
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Ml

1983*
198419851986*
19871988*
19891990'
19911992-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

,

1992- Mar

May
July

Sent

Oct
Nov
Dec

1993- Jan '
Feb '
Mar '

Anr
1

„

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Period

M2
Ml plus overnight
RPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances




1 3 plus
1
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) *

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

M2

M3

Debt

521.2
552.4
620.1
724.5
750.0
787.1
794.6
827.2
899.3
1,026.6

2,186.5
2,376.0
2,572.4
2,816.0
2,917.2
3,078.3
3,233.3
3,345.5
3,445.8
3,497.0

2,693.1
2,988.2
3,203.6
3,491.6
3,674.8
3,915.5
4,056.1
4,116.7
4,168.1
r
4,166.5

3,154.4
3,529.6
3,830.9
4,131.9
4,333.5
4,669.4
4,886.1
4,966.6
4,982.2
'5,052.1

5,244.6
6,008.2
6,875.3
7,795.2
8,546.2
9,326.3
10,076.7
10,751.3
11,192.7
11,768.2

9.9
6.0
12.3
16.8
3.5
4.9
1.0
4.1
8.7
14.2

12.0
8.7
8.3
9.5
3.6
5.5
5.0
3.5
3.0
1.5

10.3
11.0
7.2
9.0
5.2
6.6
3.6
1.5
1.2
-.0

11.6
14.6
14.4
13.4
9.6
9.1
8.0
6.7
4.1
5.1

935.1
941.2
952.2
952.6
963.3
975.5
990.1
1,005.9
1,019.1
1,026.6

3,467.8
3,464.8
3,467.5
3,462.1
3,463.6
3,472.4
3,480.2
3,491.4
3,498.0
3,497.0

4,184.9
4,177.9
4,179.8
4,170.1
4,169.0
4,178.7
'4,183.0
r
4,180.0
r
4,178.5
r
4,166.5

5,010.1
5,009.1
'5,011.0
5,014.8
5,012.5
r
5,025.9
'5,037.4
'5,042.3
'5,055.9
'5,052.1

11,338.7
11,393.4
11,441.3
11,493.5
11,537.8
11,584.5
11,624.7
11,652.2
11,707.6
11,768.2

14.4
14.0
13.7
11.9
11.4
10.6
11.8
13.7
14.1
15.5

2.9
2.5
1.8
.9
.7
.3
.7
1.5
1.8
2.0

1.7
1.1
.8
.1
-.2
5
— .1
.1
-.2

4.4
4.7
4.9
5.4
5.5
5.4
5.0
4.5
4.7
4.8

1,033.3
1,033.1
1,035.4
1,043.2

3,487.0
3,475.2
3,472.7
3,473.3

4,140.9
4,134.4
4,129.0
4,136.1

5,030.4
5,023.8
"5,025.1

11,795.1
11,837.1
'11,902.6

14.5
11.8
9.2
7.4

1.4
.2
-.4
-1.0

-1.3
21
-2.6
-2.1

Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate.

26

L

NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

t

4.5
4.4
4.8

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Money market
Overnight
mutual fund
repurbalances 2
chase
agreeGenerOther
ments
al
checkpur(RPs),
able
Instinet,
pose
depostution
plus
and
its
only
overbroker/
(OCDs)
night
dealer
Eurodollars '

Savings
deposits,
including
money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Large
denomination
time
deposits 3

NSA

19831984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:
19891990:
1991:
1992:
1992-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Mar
May
, 3

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993- Jan '
Feb '.
Mar *

146.2 238.5
156.1 244.0
167.9 266.9
180.8 302.3
196.9 287.1
212.3 287.1
222.7 279.8
246.7 278.2
267.2 290.5
292.3 340.9
271.9 308.0
273.6 310.8
275.1 314.7
276.6 312.3
279.5 317.5
282.4 322.5
286.3 329.0
288.0 336.0
289.8 339.5
292.3 340.9
294.7 341.9
296.8 341.9
299.0 342.0
301.4 ' 347.3

131.9
147.3
179.7
235.3
259.3
280.7
285.3
294.5
333.8
385.2
347.5
349.0
354.7
355.9
358.6
362.8
366.7
373.7
381.6
385.2
388.6
386.4
386.4
386.4

55.6
60.6
73.5
82.3
84.1
83.2
77.6
74.7
76.3
73.8
74.7
72.7
69.5
72.5
72.8
76.2
73.8
75.0
75.1
73.8
72.3
72.9
73.2
69.8

41.9
63.2
65.5
86.1
92.7
92.0
108.8
135.9
182.1
202.3
192.2
195.9
202.2
206.3
212.5
220.9
220.7
210.9
209.2
202.3
197.7
201.9
200.9
200.4

139.1
168.0
177.2
209.0
222.6
242.9
317.4
350.5
363.9
342.3
358.0
354.5
354.9
353.5
350.4
348.9
343.9
346.3
343.7
342.3
339.6
333.6
333.1
331.7

1

Includes continuing contract RPs.
Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted.
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
2

3

685.0
704.7
815.1
940.9
937.6
926.6
891.0
920.8
1,042.5
1,186.0
1,094.3
1,107.5
1,119.6
1,126.0
1,134.5
1,145.7
1,158.9
1,170.5
1,180.4
1,186.0
1,184.3
1,182.3
1,178.8
1,181.6

784.1
888.9
885.5
858.9
922.8
1,038.3
1,152.7
1,172.3
1,064.7
870.2
1,004.0
986.1
969.6
955.7
941.5
926.9
912.7
896.5
881.7
870.2
860.9
854.9
850.1
843.6

327.6
416.5
434.1
431.3
475.4
525.4
548.8
489.6
424.7
357.5
407.4
402.1
395.9
389.3
382.5
378.1
373.7
367.0
361.3
357.5
350.7
346.3
340.5
343.3

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

Small
denomination
time
deposits 3

NSA

49.9
57.6
62.4
80.6
106.0
121.8
99.0
89.6
72.5
r
80.7
74.3
74.1
76.4
76.4
75.1
r
75.8
r
77.6
r
79.7
r
81.5
r
80.7
79.9
82.2
85.8
88.4

91.5
82.9
76.5
83.8
91.0
105.7
79.5
68.7
57.6
45.6
58.0
54.9
52.8
51.9
51.1
51.4
49,4
48.1
47.2
45.6
43.5
46.2
48.6
48.5

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

71.1
74.2
79.5
91.8
100.6
109.4
117.6
126.1
138.0
156.8
141.3
142.4
143.5
144.6
145.8
147.4
149.3
151.9
154.7
156.8
158.9
161.1
"162.7

211.9
260.9
298.2
280.0
253.1
269.2
324.9
331.1
315.0
' 340.0
325.1
325.9
329.4
330.1
324.8
322.9
r
321.0
r
321.8
' 330.1
* 340.0
347.1
350.5
" 349.6

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

45.0
133.2
45.4
160.8
42.0
207.6
37.0
231.4
44.3
260.7
39.9
335.5
40.2
347.3
357.1
35.6
23.4
337.7
20.4
368.4
22.2
336.7
21.8
341.0
22.0
336.4
22.0
348.1
21.7
351.2
21.1
355.7
20.7
363.4
20.5
368.0
20.3
372.4
20.4
368.4
20.6
363.0
20.1
357.8
"19.1 "364.7

NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown
here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures '; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991:
1992:
1992:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dee
Dec
Dec
Dec ....
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr "
1

25,367
26,845
31,448
38,943
38,862
40,398
40,492
41,767
45,533
54,351
48,992
49,496
49,316
49,629
50,341
51,274
52,836
53,815
54,351
54,665
54,922
55,166
55,197

Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.




Nonborrowed

24,593
23,659
30,129
38,116
38,085
38,683
40,227
41,441
45,341
54,228
48,902
49,341
49,087
49,345
50,091
50,987
52,693
53,711
54,228
54,500
54,876
55,074
55,123

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit
24,595
26,263
30,628
38,419
38,568
39,927
40,247
41,464
45,342
54,228
48,904
49,341
49,087
49,345
50,091
50,987
52,693
53,711
54,228
54,501
54,877
55,074
55,124

Required

24,806
25,990
30,411
37,573
37,816
89,351
39,570
40,102
44,555
53,196
47,855
48,495
48,403
48,664
49,407
50,280
51,763
52,772
53,196
53,405
53,818
53,953
54,101

Monetary
base

Total

175,467
187,237
203,585
223,667
239,872
256,932
267,734
293,185
317,169
r
350,798
326,691
328,863
330,228
333,177
336,844
341,585
344,849
347,832
r
350,798
353,224
'355,734
358,374
360,635

774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716
265
326
192
124
90
155
229
284
251
287
143
104
124
165
45
91
73

Seasonal

96
113
56
38
93
130
84
76
38
18
47
98
149
203
223
193
114
40
18
11
18
26
41

Extended
credit

2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244
20
23
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.1 percent in April; commercial and industrial loans fell 0.5 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
3,200

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
3,200
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
2,800

2,800

2,400

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

- LOANS AND LEASES

1,200

800

U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

OTHER SECURITIES

A-

200

200
160

160

1987

1988

120

I I I I I I I I II

I I I I I I I I I II
1985

1989

1993

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *]

All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991:
1992:
1992:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec r....
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept ''..
Oct r....
r

Nov ....

Dec r....
1993: Jan r ...
Feb r...
Mar r...
Apr

lotal
loans and
securities 2

U.S.
Government
securities

1,552.2
1,722.9
1,910.4
2,093.7
2,241.2
2,422.9
2,590.8
2,732.4
2,836.9
2,937.6
2,874.3
2,875.3
2,882.8
2,886.9
2,902.2
2,917.4
2,926.0
2,932.4
2,937.6
2,932.7
2.936.6
2,950.4
2,962.8

259.2
259.8
270.8
310.1
335.8
362.7
397.0
452.1
559.3
657.1
590.8
600.2
610.7
619.2
632.6
640.6
647.3
651.4
657.1
656.9
667.3
681.7
691.6

Other
securities

169.1
140.9
179.0
193.9
195.8
193.7
182.4
178.8
179.9
176.0
178.5
176.9
175.8
177.9
178.2
178.2
178.8
177.3
176.0
174.0
175.2
177.0
178.3

Total

2

1,123.9
1,322.2
1,460.6
1,589.7
1,709.6
1,866.5
2,011.4
2,101.4
2,097.8
2,104.5
2,104.9
2,098.2
2,096.2
2,089.8
2,091.4
2,098.6
2,099.8
2,103.8
2,104.5
2,101.7
2,094.1
2,091.8
2,093.0

Commercial
and
industrial
414.2
473.2
500.2
536.7
566.4
605.3
638.4
642.6
617.0
597.6
609.0
607.6
604.6
602.5
601.4
601.2
600.8
600.5
597.6
598.2
596.1
592.5
589.7

Keal
estate

Individual

Security

Nonbank
financial
institutions

331.0
376.3
425.9
494.1
587.2
670.1
760.1
843.4
871.8
892.4
881.8
883.3
881.8
881.5
883.1
886.8
890.7
892.5
892.4
889.0
886.9
887.5
887.2

212.9
254.2
295.0
315.4
328.2
354.8
375.2
380.3
363.9
355.5
360.8
359.2
359.0
358.6
357.4
357.0
355.8
355.4
355.5
358.2
360.3
360.9
364.4

28.0
35.0
43.3
40.3
34.5
40.9
41.3
44.7
54.3
64.8
63.4
60.9
63.3
60.5
61.6
64.0
64.7
64.2
64.8
63.0
61.7
62.5
60.8

30.4
31.6
32.8
35.3
32.1
32.5
34.4
35.9
41.4
43.6
43.2
43.3
42.4
41.5
42.0
44.0
43.9
44.7
43.6
44.9
44.7
44.5
45.3

1
Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.
2
Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

28



State
Agricultural

political
subdivisions

39.2
40.1
36.1
31.6
29.4
29.0
30.1
32.3
34.2
35.0
34.3
34.3
34.6
34.9
35.3
35.2
35.1
35.2
35.0
34.5
34.3
33.9
34.0

0.0
46.1
56.8
58.4
52.5
45.3
40.0
34.0
29.0
24.8
27.6
27.3
26.8
26.2
25.9
25.8
25.4
25.1
24.8
24.2
23.6
23.4
23.1

Foreign
banks

13.4
11.4
9.7
10.1
7.7
7.6
8.2
7.7
7.3
7.7
6.7
7.0
7.5
7.7
7.2
7.9
7.6
7.5
7.7
7.7
8.5
8.1
8.0

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

9.4
8.4
6.3
6.3
5.1
5.0
3.5
2.9
2.4
2.8
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.2
2.3
2.5
2.4
2.8
2.8
2.8
3.0
2.9
2.9

13.7
16.1
19.1
22.5
24.7
29.4
31.9
32.9
31.7
30.9
31.1
30.9
31.0
30.8
30.8
31.0
30.8
30.9
30.9
30.3
30.3
30.3
30.3

Other

31.8
29.9
35.5
39.0
41.7
46.5
48.1
44.9
44.7
49.5
45.1
42.4
43.3
43.2
44.3
43.2
42.6
45.0
49.5
48.8
44.5
45.3
47.4

NOTE.—Data have been revised beginning September 1992 to reflect new benchmark and other
adjustments.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources
External
Credit market funds

Period
Total

Internal *
Total
Total

Loans and
short-term
paper

Securities
and
mortgages

Other 2

Total

Capital
expenditures 3

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

423.3
493.1
465.7
515.9
540.7
588.7
532.2
511.4
447.3
568.9

n

m
IV

1992: I ...

n

m

IV.

131.0
156.8
113.9
179.2
164.8
184.4
132.3
103.9
30.8
115.6

80.1
98.0
58.5
129.8
67.6
69.3
49.4
23.4
22.0
80.3

44.6
-7.5
1.9
64.6
32.8
-6.7
-34.2
11 5
90.8
81.0

35.5
105.5
56.6
65.2
34.9
76.0
83.7
34.9
-68.8
-.7

50.9
58.8
55.4
49.4
97.1
115.1
82.9
80.5
8.7
35.3

420.5
502.3
457.8
502.4
473.4
554.2
512.2
482.4
425.5
549.5

300.1
398.5
374.9
351.9
365.1
394.4
406.0
395.1
363.9
385.3

120.4
103.8
83.0
150.4
108.4
159.8
106.2
87.3
61.6
164.2

2.8
-9.2
7.9
13.5
67.3
34.4
20.0
29.0
21.8
19.4

417.5
418.9
407.0
422.8

-46.7
58.9
82.9
28.0

12.3
41.1
28.2
6.3

76.1
113.8
78.1
94.6

-63.8
-72.7
-49.9
88.3

-59.0
17.8
54.7
21.6

336.5
436.8
489.7
439.0

353.5
351.3
371.5
379.2

-17.0
85.5
118.2
59.8

34.2
40.9
.2
11.7

560.7
565.2
552.3
597.6

1991- I

292.3
336.3
351.9
336.7
375.9
404.3
399.9
407.5
416.5
453.3

370.8
477.8
489.9
450.8

1983 .
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990..
1991
1992 p

439.1
442.2
465.3
466.7

121.6
123.0
87.0
130.9

111.9
70.7
62.1
76.4

117.9
103.5
47.7
54.9

-6.0
-32.8
14.4
21.5

9.7
52.3
24.8
54.4

520.0
544.8
538.1
595.3

354.2
388.1
394.9
404.1

165.8
156.7
143.2
191.2

40.8
20.3
14.2
2.3

1

Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, pension fund liabilities, and direct foreign investment in

the U.S.
3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding *

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

Automobile

Revolving

Other

2

Total

Automobile

Revolving

Other 2

1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1990:
1991:
1992:

Dee
Dec
Dec ...
Dec
Dec ....
Dec 3
Dec r.
Decr
Dec r...
Dec '

368,966
442,602
517,659
572,006
608,675
662,553
724,353
738,765
733,510
741,093

143,560
173,564
210,238
247,772
266,295
285,364
292,536
284,739
260,898
259,627

79,088
100,280
121,758
135,825
153,064
174,269
198,544
222,552
243,564
254,299

146,318
168,758
185,664
188,408
189,316
202,921
233,273
231,474
229,048
227,167

43,161
73,636
75,057
54,347
36,669
53,878
(4)
14,412
-5,255
7,583

17,615
30,004
36,674
37,534
18,523
19,069
(4)
-7,797
-23,841
-1,271

12,634
21,192
21,478
14,067
17,239
21,205
(4)
24,008
21,012
10,735

12,912
22,440
16,906
2,744
908
13,605
(4)
-1,799
-2,426
1 881

1992:

Mar *
Apr r
May r
June r.
July r
Aug r.
Sept r
Oct r.
Nov r
Dec r

734,434
731,736
730,612
730,866
730,496
731,023
733,023
734,195
736,023
741,093

262,087
260,746
259,844
257,989
258,259
258,827
259,433
258,208
258,860
259,627

246,324
246,987
247,205
248,795
248,980
249,384
250,456
251,806
252,086
254,299

226,023
224,002
223,562
224,081
223,257
222,812
223,135
224,181
225,077
227,167

210
-2,698
— 1,124
254
-370
527
2,001
1,171
1,829
5,070

1,422
— 1,341
-902
-1,855
270
568
606
-1,225
653
767

150
663
218
1,590
185
403
1,072
1,350
280
2,213

1,062
-2,021
440
519
825
-445
323
1,046
896
2,090

1993:

Jan r
Feb r
Mar"

744,196
748,765
752,205

258,463
260,945
261,255

256,435
259,378
261,329

229,299
228,443
229,621

3,103
4,569
3,440

-1,164
2,482
310

2,136
2,943
1,951

2,132
-856
1,179

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Outstanding loans for mobile homes, education, boats, trailers, vacations, etc.
3
Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988
and subsequent months.




4

Because of breaks in series, net change not available.
Note.—Series revised beginning January 1989.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose in May.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM
14

14

COVHCH Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) '

1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1992: May
July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

.. . .

1993- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's)

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

Discount rate

(N.Y. F.R.
Bank)

4

Prime rate
charged by
banks 4

8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69
8.12
7.51
5.42
3.45
3.66
3.70
3.28
3.14
2.97
2.84
3.14
3.25

10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26
8.55
8.26
6.82
5.30
5.81
5.60
4.91
4.72
4.42
4.64
5.14
5.21

11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85
8.49
8.55
7.86
7.01
7.39
7.26
6.84
6.59
6.42
6.59
6.87
6.77

9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76
7.24
7.25
6.89
6.41
6.57
6.50
6.12
6.08
6.24
6.43
6.35
6.24

12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71
9.26
9.32
8.77
8.14
8.28
8.22
8.07
7.95
7.92
7.99
8.10
7.98

8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68
8.80
7.95
5.85
3.80
3.97
3.99
3.53
3.44
3.26
3.33
3.67
3.70

8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20
6.93
6.98
5.45
3.25

10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.21
9.32
10.87
10.01
8.46
6.25

3.50-3.50
3.50-3.50
3.50-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00

6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

3.06
2.95
2.97
2.89
2.96

4.93
4.58
4.40
4.30
4.40

6.60
6.26
5.98
5.97
6.04

6.18
5.87
5.65
5.78
5.81

7.91
7.71
7.58
7.46
7.43

3.35
3.27
3.24
3.19
3.20

3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

2.88
2.89
3.00
3.06

4.24
4.30
4.48
4.60

5.92
5.96
6.12
6.14

5.76
5.77
5.86
5.86

7.37
7.41
7.48
7.46

3.13
3.14
3.22
3.30

3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00
3.00-3.00

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHFB)5

12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19
10.13
10.05
9.32
8.24
8.59
8.43
8.00
8.00
7.93
7.90
8.07
7.88

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

7.82
7.77
7.46
7.46

Week ended:

1993: May 8
15
22
29

1
Bank-discount basis.
* Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
a
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.

30



5
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in May.
IND!

INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO S<
:ALE)
260
^^_
240
/—~^^—~/'
220

.X, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO SCALE)

260
240
220

^~^^^\

180

120
100

/_^y

200
180

~S\
-S\
1
^
\
\
\V* ^r^. STOCK 'RICE Ih
/
=OSITE

160
140

'

^—^
1

200

/

160
140

(NYSE)
120
100

80

60

80

1 1 1 11

1 1111 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1985

1 II 1 1

1986

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1987

1989

1988

1 1111 1 1111111111 11111
1991

1990

1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 11

1992

1 1 1 1 1

PER :ENT

PERC:ENT
20
EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS
(S&P)
\
^ -~v.

1

_-

1

1
1985

1

1
1986

1

1

15
10

•

.

•>- .

5
0

5

—^

1

^
1987

1

1

1

1988

1

1

1

I

1989

1

1990

1

1

1

1991

I

I

1992

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AN D STANDARD & POOR S CORPORATION

Period

Industrial

Common stock yields
(percent) 6

Transportation

Utility 3

Finance

1992: May...
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1993- Jan
Feb.
Mar
May

Week ended:
1993- May 8
15
22
29
1
Average of daily closing prices.
2
Includes all the stocks (more than
3

Dividendprice ratio

160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79
322.84
334.59
376.18
415.74

4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64
3.45
3.61
3.24
2.99

414.81
408.27
415.05
417.93
418.48
412.50
422.84
435.64

2.99
3.06
3.00
2.97
3.00
3.07
2.98
2.90

203.38
209.93
217.01
216.02
209.40

3,376.79
3,337.79
3,329.41
3,307.45
3,293.92
3,198.70
3,238.49
3,303.15
3,277.72
3,367.26
3,440.74
3,423.63
3,478.17

435.23
441.70
450.16
443.08
445.25

211.68
209.90
206.71
209.33

3,444.17
3,457.07
3,482.09
3,529.37

443.32
442.15
444.94
450.58

Earningsprice ratio

2.88
2.81
r
2.76
2.82
2.80
2.82
2.82
2.80
2.77

107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
216.23
225.78
258.14
284.62

89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
175.28
158.62
173.99
201.09

94.00
92.88
113.50
142.72
148.60
143.54
174.86
181.20
185.32
198.92

228.61
224.68
228.17
230.07
230.13
226.97
232.84
239.47

207.93
202.02
198.36
191.31
191.61
192.30
• 204.78
212.35
221.00
226.96
229.42
237.97
237.80

196.52
194.46
202.36
206.82
204.52
203.24
202.26
207.70

239.67
243.41
248.12
244.72
246.02

285.25
279.54
281.90
284.44
285.76
279.70
287.30
294.86
292.11
294.40
298.75
292.19
297.83

95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
151.88
133.26
150.82
179.26
175.90
174.82
181.00
180.47
178.27
181.36
189.27
196.87

211.04
218.89
225.06
227.56
222.41

245.08
244.72
245.73
248.54

295.01
295.37
298.78
302.17

236.46
236.60
238.02
240.10

224.47
222.74
220.02
222.42

2,000 in 1992) listed on the NYSE.
Dec. 31, 1965=100. Effective April 27, 1993 the NYSE doubled the value of the utility index
to facilitate trading of options and futures on the index. Such trading is expected to begin later this
year. All indexes shown here have been revised to reflect the doubling.
4
Includes 30 stocks.

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 4

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index
(194143 = 10)5

1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82
2,508.91
2,678.94
2,929.33
3,284.29

92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
180.02
183.46
206.33
229.01

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987..
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

0

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec 31, 1965 = 50 , except as
noted) 2
Composite

I

1993

Common stock prices l




60

1993

8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01
7.41
6.47
4.81
4.23
4.18
4.32
r

4.39

5
6

Includes 500 stocks.
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earningsprice ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—AH data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 7 months of fiscal 1993, there was a deficit of $174.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $184.8 billion
a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BIOIONS OF DOUARS
1,400

1,600

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-!

1,500

1,500

1,400

1,400

1,300

1,300

OUTLAYS-!;

1,200

1,200

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000
900

900
RECEIPTS iJ

800

800

700

700

600

600

-100

-400

-400
1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1992

1993

FISCAL YEARS
^INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND ORCE Of MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
....
1989
1990
1991.
....
1992
1993 (estimates)

Cumulative total, first 7
months: *
Fiscal year 1992
Fiscal year 1993

Receipts

Outlays

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts




Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)
Total

Held by
the public

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.8
808.4
851.8

-73.7
-53.7
-59.2
-40.2
-73.8
-79.0
-128.0
-207.8
-185.4

231.7
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.1
594.4
661.3
686.0

-70.5
—49.8
-54.9
-38.2
— 72 7
-74.0
-120.1
-208.0
-185.7

66.4
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

32
-3.9
-4.3
-2.0
-1.1
-5.0
-7.9
.2
.3

629.0
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,031.3
1,054.3
1,090.5
1,145.7

946.4
990.3
1,003.9
1,064.1
1,143.2
1,252.7
1,323.8
1,380.9
1,467.6

-212.3
-221.2
— 149 8
-155.2
-152.5
-221.4
-269.5
-290.4
-322.0

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
727.0
749.7
760.4
788.0
833.9

769.6
806.8
810.1
861.4
932.3
1,027.6
1,082.1
1,128.5
1,200.4

-221.7
-238.0
— 169 3
-194.0
-205.2
-278.0
-321.7
-340.5
-366.5

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
263.7
281.7
293.9
302.4
311.8

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
210.9
225.1
241.7
252.3
267.2

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8.
52.8
56.6
52.2
50.1
44.5

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,867.5
3,206.3
3,599.0
4,002.7
4,396.7

1,499.4
.1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.3
2,189.3
2,410.4
2,687.9
2,998.6
3,303.8

632.1
659.6

816.9
834.3

-184.8
-174.7

455.9
480.7

674.1
683.7

-218.2
-203.0

176.1
178.9

142.7
150.7

33.4
28.2

3,822.2
4,189.0

2,867.1
3,145.6

1
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
NOTE.—Data for fiscal 1992 and 1993 are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal
Year 1994, issued April 8, 1993. Other data (except as noted) are from Budget Baselines, Histori-

32

Outlays

Off-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

cat Data, and Alternatives for the Future, January 1993.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 7 months of fiscal 1993, receipts were $27.5 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $17.4
billion higher.
BILUC)NS OF DOLLARS
600
RECEIPTS1'

BILLONS OF DCILLARS
600

INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES

500

•"

'

500

'"'""

400

400
^

.«•- • —• • * ~ ' ~ " " "

—

^_ __

^— •"" " ~ ~™
™

\
SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXFS ANH roMTpiRi rnONK

300
200

CORPORATION
iwrnup TAXFS
\

OTHER RECEIPTS

300
200

100

100

1

0
1,300

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0
1,300

OUTLAYS-1'

1,200

1,200
^--'

1,100

1,100

-.-*•'

1,000

NONDEFENSE
\

900

\

1,000

^""
--

900

,^"

800

800

700

700

^.--~""

600

600

500

500

NATIONAL DEFENSE

400

400

\

300

•
200 /l
L^

1

1—
1984

-

1

1985

1986

300

u

1
1987

1
1988

1
1989

1
1990

1991

1

IS

1992

200

1993

FISCAL YEARS
^INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
OURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERs

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget receipts

Corporation
income
taxes

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.8
808.4
851.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,031.3
1,054.3
1,090.5
1,145.7

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.7
466.9
467.8
476.0
515.3

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.3
93.5
98.1
100.3
106.3

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
380.0
396.0
413.7
426.8

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.3
90.9
92.3
100.5
97.3

946.4
990.3
1,003.9
1,064.1
1,143.2
1,252.7
1,323.8
1,380.9
1,467.6

632.1
659.6

285.5
303.3

52.5
61.0

236.8
240.9

57.3
54.4

816.9
834.3

Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1

On-budget and off-budget outlays
National defense

Individual
income
taxes

Fiscal year

1985
1986
.
.
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993 (estimates)
Cumulative total, first 7 months: 1
Fiscal year 1992
Fiscal year 1993

Social
insurance
taxes

..

Other

Health

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
299.3
273.3
298.4
290.6

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
294.9
289.8
262.4
286.9
277.2

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
13.8
15.9
16.1
18.3

170.8
173.2

163.8
166.2

12.2
11.5

Total

Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.

NOTE—.Data for fiscal 1992 and 1998 are from Budget a/ the United States Government. Focal
Year U94, isiucd April 8, 1993. Other data (except as noted) are from Budget Baseline*, Histori-




International
affairs

Total

and
contributions

Department of
Defense,
military

Income
securi-

Social
securi-

inter-

ty

ty

est

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.5
42.6
52.5
68.8
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
57.7
71.2
89.5
105.3

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
98.1
104.5
119.0
132.7

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.0
147.0
170.3
197.0
209.2

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.5
248.6
269.0
287.6
304.9

129.5
136.0
138.7
151.8
169.3
184.2
194.5
199.4
201.5

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.8
203.9
225.1
173.9
205.0

50.6
56.8

67.9
74.4

119.2
129.5

163.8
173.3

117.6
115.9

114.8
99.1

Medicare

Net
Other

cal Data, and Alternatives for the Future, January 1993.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the first quarter of 1993, according to preliminary estimates. Federal receipts rose $20.4 billion (annual rate)
and Federal expenditures fell $1.6 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILUONS OF COLLARS

1,400

-200

1987

1988

CAIfNDAR YEARS

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1990
1991
1992 p
Calendar year:
1989
1990
1991
1992
1982- IV
1983- IV
1984- IV
1985- IV
1986- IV
1987- IV
1988- IV
1989- IV
1990- IV
1991- I

n
m
IV

1992- I

n
m

IV
1993- I '

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases

Transfer
Payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

1,089.6
1,114.9
1,144.5

473.2
472.1
470.1

113.8
104.4
110.5

63.8
74.8
80.3

438.7
463.5
483.6

1,249.5
1,310.9
1,433.3

417.6
447.1
446.5

504.5
510.7
604.5

128.3
146.9
169.2

175.1
183.1
188.1

23.9
23.1
25.1

0.0
-.0
.0

1,059.3
1,107.4
1,122.2
1,160.4
632.3
671.1
739.8
803.6
856.8
943.5
1,000.6
1,068.3
1,113.3
l,114.d
1,117.3
1,127.7
1,129.4
1,143.3
1,149.8
1,155.4
1,193.1
1,213.5

461.9
482.6
473.4
474.1
301.6
290.5
323.5
351.8
371.7
414.8
420.0
470.1
482.5
474.7
473.1
473.4
472.2
468.4
464.2
475.5
488.2
499.3

117.1
113.9
102.5
115.0
45.5
65.4
67.0
77.0
91.4
109.7
118.5
111.3
111.7
100.3
101.6
104.9
103.3
112.2
118.3
108.2
121.4
120.0

61.9
66.0
78.2
81.5
49.2
55.4
58.2
56.8
54.8
59.5
61.4
62.2
68.5
77.3
76.3
78.3
80.8
79.2
79.8
81.3
85.8
87.1

418.5
444.9
468.2
489.7
235.9
259.8
291.1
318.0
338.8
359.4
400.7
424.7
4S0.6
462.2
466.3
471.1
473.2
483.5
487.4
490.4
497.7
507.0

1,181.6
1,273.6
1,332.7
1,458.4
815.7
855.7
926.6
990.8
1,034.3
1,096.3
1,135.5
1,209.8
1,307.9
1,264.4
1,329.4
1,348.7
1,388.1
1,432.5
1,452.7
1,459.8
1,488.6
1,487.0

401.6
426.4
447.3
449.1
281.4
289.7
324.7
356.9
373.1
392.5
392.0
405.1
438.3
451.3
449.9
447.2
440.8
445.0
444.8
455.2
451.6
441.2

471.5
513.3
521.9
623.3
346.0
351.1
360.1
383.8
404.2
419.7
444.5
488.8
525.5
461.6
514.8
545.5
565.9
609.8
619.5
622.6
641.4
645.4

118.2
132.3
153.3
173.0
84.3
86.9
97.7
104.5
103.8
102.9
113.0
121.9
137.6
144.3
151.9
153.4
163.6
165.1
174.1
174.0
178.7
178.2

164.8
176.6
186.9
186.7
86.8
99.2
122.3
129.2
131.1
143.1
151.2
168.9
174.8
182.7
188.1
186.8
190.1
186.8
187.5
187.8
184.8
181.8

25.5
25.1
23.1
26.2
17.3
28.8
22.2
16.4
22.1
37.8
34.9
25.0
32.0
24.8
24.4
15.7
27.7
25.7
26.9
20.2
32.2
40.4

.0
.1
j

.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
2
.0
.0
.2
.2
-.4
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34



Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

1599
-196.1

-288.8
-122.3
166 2
2104
-298.0
1834
-184.6
-186.8
187 2
-177.5
-152.7
134 9
141 5
-194.6
149 9
212 2
-221.0
-258.7
289 2
-302.9
-304.4
295 5
-273.5

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84=100; NSA)

Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

81.2
91.0
96.1
95.4
100.0
105.3
104.9
100.5
96.4
97.2

85.5
93.4
96.8
96.6
100.0
109.3
115.9
121.4
124.1
117.3

96.5
97.1
97.2
98.0
100.0
104.6
108.8
110.9
111.2
110.0

90.9
93.5
97.7
99.6
100.0
103.9
108.8
114.5
117.9
115.5

88.9
91.8
92.9
96.2
100.0
105.9
109.2
109.4
107.1
106.5

89.6
89.7
94.6
96.9
100.0
103.6
104.0
103.4
100.4
100.0

99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3
124.0
130.7
136.2
140.3

100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2
129.3
135.5
143.1
146.4

99.8
102.1
104.1
104.8
104.9
105.7
108.0
111.4
115.0
116.9

100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.4
128.9
133.2
137.2
141.0

100.3
102.7
104.8
104.7
104.9
106.3
109.2
112.1
116.0
120.6

100.8
111.5
121.1
128.5
134.4
141.1
150.4
159.6
169.8
178.9

99.8
104.8
111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6
135.4
148.2
156.9
162.7

'105.3
' 105.6
' 106.3
' 106.7
' 106.0
r
106.8
' 106.6
' 106.2
r
!07.5
' 108.4
r
108.9

1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992"

'96.2
'96.4
'96.7
96.4
96.5
95.9
97.9
98.0
98.3
'98.9
'99.4

120.6
117.7
117.6
115.6
118.1
119.0
114.4
119.7
116.6
114.3
113.1

109.9
109.4
111.1
109.3
109.9
110.3
110.3
110.6
111.2
106.3
105.1

120.2
118.5
117.7
117.7
116.0
115.7
115.6
115.6
112.8
110.5
107.5

111.3
111.0
104.7
109.5
107.4
108.0
102.8
103.4
105.6
106.4
99.9

100.5
99.5
100.0
99.0
99.0
100.1
100.0
100.4
101.5
100.8
100.7

138.6
139.3
139.5
139.7
140.2
140.5
140.9
141.3
141.8
142.0
141.9

144.1
144.6
144.6
144.9
145.2
145.6
145.6
145.5
145.7
146.4
146.4

115.7
116.3
117.5
117.6
117.5
116.6
116.9
117.5
117.6
117.4
117.4

139.8
140.2
140.5
140.9
141.0
141.4
141.5
141.5
141.9
141.9
141.8

119.2
119.7
120.0
120.5
120.7
120.7
120.9
121.2
121.7
122.3
122.4

175.9
176.6
177.3
178.3
178.9
179.1
179.2
179.8
180.9
182.0
182.3

160.1
160.6
163.1
163.7
163.7
163.1
163.2
163.8
164.4
164.1
163.6

T

'99.5
100.2

107.2
105.9
105.2

105.3
105.9

100.6
102.2

142.6
143.1
143.6
144.0

147.0
147.4
147.3
147.3

117.3
117.4
117.7

142.3
142.8
143.5
143.6

123.8
124.3
124.7

182.9
183.6
184.0
184.7

162.0
163.1
163.7
165.2

1992- Feb
Mar
May
T

3

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1

United
States '

84.9
92.8
. ...
94.4
95.3
100.0
r
104.5
' 106.1
* 106.1
* 104.1
T
106.6

1983
1984
1985

1993:

United
Kingdom

Jan
Feb ..
Mar
Apr"

. ..

109.3
109.9
r
!099
1100
r

r

113.0
114.9
115.6

r

105.1
107.7
106.7

Italy

r

Data relate to all urban consumers.

Source: Natipnal sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration, Office of Trade and Economic Analysis).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) 1

General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Principal end-use commodity category

1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991 *
1992 r

. ..

1992- Mar '
May '....

July r
Sept r
Get ' . ..
Nov r
Dec '
1993: Jan '
Feb '
Mar
1
3
3




6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8
13.6
16.1
15.9
17.6

269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5
493.2
517.0
508.4
554.0

-52.4
-106.7
-117.7
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
-109.4
-101.7
-66.7
-84.5

-64.2
— 122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1
-129.4
-123.4
-86.6
-105.9

7.6
7.6
7.6
7.6
7.4
7.7
7.8
7.5
8.0
8.2

10.0
9.9
10.1
10.1
10.3
10.3
10.9
10.5
10.3
10.7

1.5
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.5

44.5
45.2
45.4
46.6
46.7
46.8
47.8
47.9
47.4
47.9

-5.5
-7.0
-7.7
-6.8
-7.5
-8.7
-8.3
-7.2
-7.8
-7.0

-7.3
-8.8
-9.4
-8.6
-9.3
-10.5
-10.1
-9.1
-9.6
-8.8

7.9
8.3
8.8

10.3
10.3
11.4

1.4
1.3
1.6

47.0
46.6
51.1

— 7.7
-7.9
-10.2

-9.5
-9.6
-12.2

258.0
330.7
336.5
365.4
406.2
441.0
473.2
495.3
488.5
532.7

18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8
25.1
26.6
26.5
27.9

107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3
132.3
143.2
131.6
138.3

40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4
113.3
116.4
120.7
134.2

40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7
86.1
87.3
85.7
91.8

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.0
1.9

42.7
43.4
43.6
44.9
44.9
45.1
46.0
46.1
45.6
46.1

2.3
2.4
2.3
2.5
2.5
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.3

10.6
11.2
11.5
12.0
12.0
11.9
12.0
12.5
11.8
11.5

10.6
10.9
10.9
11.1
11.3
11.4
11.6
11.8
11.6
11.9

2.0
1.9
2.0

45.2
44.8
49.2

2.3
2.2
2.4

11.6
11.1
12.6

11.7
11.7
12.4

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Other 2

205.6
224.0
218.8
5
227.2
254.1
322.4
363.8
393.6
421.7
448.2

30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3
37.2
35.1
35.7
40.2

56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1
99.3
104.4
109.7
109.3

67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2
138.8
152.7
166.7
176.7

16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3
34.8
37.4
40.0
47.1

13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1
36.4
43.3
45.9
50.4

20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4
17.2
20.7
23.7
24.5

37.2
36.4
36.0
38.0
37.4
36.4
37.7
38.9
37.8
39.2

3.3
3.4
3.0
3.1
3.4
3.3
3.6
3,4
3.4

8.8
8.8
9.0
9.4
9.6
8.9
9.0
9.6
9.0
9.2

15.1
14.4
13.9
15.4
14.4
14.0
14.8
15.3
14.5
15.8

3.7
3.9
3.9
3.8
3.9
4.1
4.0
3.8
4.4
4.6

4.1
3.9
4.1
4.2
4.2
4.1
4.4
4.5
4.5
4.3

37.5
36.9
39.0

3.3
3.4
3.5

9.4
8.7
9.3

14.5
14.3
15.6

4.1
4.4
4.3

4.3
4.2
4.4

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988.
Total arrivals of imported goods other than mtransit shipments.
Total includes revisions not reflected in detail.
5
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical
month basis.
4

44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9
102.9
105.7
108.0
123.0

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

5

Other

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

2

Exports
(f.a.s) less
imports
(customs
value)

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Total

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Period

Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Total

4
4

NOTE. — Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Seasonally adjusted data have been revised beginning 1991. Unadjusted data have also been revised beginning 1991 for imports, and beginning 1992 for exports.
Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census,

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the first quarter of 1993, the merchandise trade deficit rose to $29.1 billion, from $26.0 billion in the fourth
quarter of 1992. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*
15

15

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (+), debits (—)]
Merchandise ' 2
Net
military
transactions 3 4

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

Other
services,
net

Receipts
on U.S.
assets
abroad

-844
28 023
112
-36,485
-67,102
-563
-112,492 -2,547
-122,173 -4,390
- 145,081
5 181
-159,557 -3,812
-126,959
6 354
'-115,249 -6,838
' - 109,033 -7,818
' 73 802 -5,524
'-96,138 -2,503
'-28,954 -1,692
'-28,110 -2,627
'-18,790 -2,564
'-16,319 -1,427
-994
'-19,640
' - 19,053 -539
'-17,763
-625
-623
'-24,801
'-27,612
-578
'-25,962
-677
29068

144
-992
-4,227
8 293
-9,709
-7,324
-6,398
-1,370
5,851
10,142
17,118
17,513
2,120
3,855
3,755
3,929
4,358
5,080
4,392
4,206
3,994
4,922

12,552
13,209
14,095
14,277
14,266
18,855
18,400
20,430
26,752
29,730
33,701
40,114
7,461
8,051
8,164
8,280
8,660
8,596
10,058
9,036
12,321
8,703

53 626
86,529
86,200 -56,412
53 700
85,614
100,415 -69,572
67 875
91,110
88,998 -73,620
85 629
96,574
119,456 -106,991
126 326
140,692
143,547 -124,261
108 886
125,315
109,173 -99,111
35,137 -30,913
38,821 -31,289
28 533
35,498
31,215 -27,284
29,904 -26,828
28,698 -26,240
28,418 -24,024
28,371 -26,520
27,102 -24,125
25,281 -24,442

Period
Exports

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989.
1990
1991
1992 p
1990: HI
TV

237,044
211,157
201,799
219,926
215,915
223,344
250,208
320,230
r
362,116
r
389,303
r
416,937
r
440,138
r
96,431
' 100,249
r
1991- I
101,333
r
104,206
'103,764
r
IV
107,634
r
1992: I
108,347
r
108,306
'109,493
TV ".... r 113,992
1993: I".
111,627

n
m
n
m

1
2
3
4

Imports

-265,067
-247,642
-268,901
-332,418
-338,088
-368,425
-409,765
-447,189
-477,365
p
-498,336
' -490,739
'-536,276
'-125,385
' - 128,359
' 120 123
'-120,525
'-123,404
'-126,687
'-126,110
'-133,107
'-137,105
'-139,954
-140,695

Net balance

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.
Includes transfers of goods and sen-ices under U.S. military grant programs.

36



Investment income

Services

Payments
on foreign
assets in
U.S.

Net

Balance on
goods,
services,
and income

Unilateral
transfers,
net 4

Balance
on current
account

5,030
16,732 -11,702
32,903
5,632 -17,075 -11,443
29,788
-43,623
31,915 -25,882 -17,741
-98,824
30,843 -78,212 -20,612
23,235 -98,771 -22,950 -121,721
15,378 -123,354 -24,176 -147,529
10,945 -140,421 -23,052 -163,474
12,466 -101,787 -24,869 - 126,656
14,366 -75,537 -25,606 -101,143
-90,428
19,287 -57,511 -32,916
-3,682
8,028
16,429 -11,710
10,062 -31,088 -31,360 -62,448
4,224 -16,777 -7,201 -23,978
-22,744
7,532 -10,966 -11,778
12,193
14,199
-2,006
6,965
2,431
-1,684
4,115
3,931
-5,075 -6,012 -11,087
3,076
-7,218
-2,945 -4,273
2,458
-6,374
4,394
557 -6,931
-18,279
- 10,534 -7,745
1,851
-8,921 -6,850 -15,771
2,977
839 -12,187
-9,833 -22,020

Note.—Merchandise trade data have been revised for 1989-92. Other data to be revised in next
month's issue of Economic Indicators.
See p. 37 for continuation of table.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, U.S. claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks decreased $6.8 billion in the fourth
quarter of 1992, following an increase of $1.3 billion in the third quarter. U.S. liabilities to private foreigners
reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, decreased $3.2 billion in the fourth quarter, following an
increase of $22.9 billion in the third quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS-

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

80
CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS

IN THE U.S., NET

\

\

'

;
I

,
,

'\

i

'\ i i a
'
' i\ / i i \ '
> - \ i \ '

20

-20

-40

-60
1983
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/capit
Period
Total

-114,147
-122,335
-58,856
-29,224
-34,069
-91,069
-62,402
-92,708
-114,944
-56,321
-62,220
-44,900

1981
1982
1983

1984..
1985
1986..
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992 p

1990:

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 3 5

-5,175
4965
-1,196
3 131
-3,858
312
9,149
3 912
-25,293
2 158
5,763
3,901

-30,964
-36,816

1,739
-1,091

-640
-7,050
-10,368
-44,158

-353
1,014
3,877
1,225

-4,709
-423
-21,241
-18,528

-1,057
1,464
1,952
1,542

III
IV

1991: I
II
Ill ....
IV
1992: I
II
Ill ....
IV...

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 5
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

Other
foreign
assets

83,032
92,418
83,380
102,010
130,966
223,191
229,972
219,489
213,693
99,379
66,980
120,400

4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
-1,119
35,648
45,387
39,758
8,489
33,908
18,407
40,307

78,072
88,826
77,534
98,870
132,084
187,543
184,585
179,731
203,204
63,471
48,573
80,093

-32,366
39903

51,386
48,108

14,097
20,127

37,289
27,981

3,556
11,452

-5,605
600

80,024
83,316

-1,360
7 644
-17,426
44947

-7,840
2,959
22,933
48,929

- 13,490
7,137
18,818
36,110

-3,713
1,660
-1,478
2,447

4,636
883
-6,137
613

78,002
74,940
74,731
77,721

-3,614
1 610
-22,892
19726

18,615
47,466
21,977
32,343

5,650
4 178
4,115
12,819
21,192
20,895
-7,269
5,489

-2,577
26,571
29,246
26,854

-7,532
-28,764
15,035
8,205

4,901
1,296
-6,640
439

74,657
77,092
78,527
71,323

Total

5
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF.

NOTE.—Merchandise trade data (p. 36) have been revised for 1989-92. Other data to be revised




Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

Foreign
official
assets 3

U.S.
private
assets

-5,097 -103,875
6 131
111 239
-5,006 -52,654
20 605
-5,489
-2,821 -27,391
-2,022 -89,360
1,006 -72,556
2,967 -91,762
-90,922
1,271
2,304 -56,467
3,397
71 379
959 -47,843

337
4,179
1,073
-420
3,180
-437
38
-277
301
-344

Statistical discrepancy

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase/capital inflow (+)]

1,093

30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802
74,609
83,316
77,721
71,323

24,992
41,359
19,099
26,038
24,825
15,407
-4,096
126
2,394
47,370
1 078
-13,052

in next month's issue of Economic Indicators.
Sources: Department
Treasury.

of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Anal

and Department of the

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product in 1987 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product
Changes in GDP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Implicit Price Deflators and Price Indexes
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures in 1987 Dollars
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment in 1987 Dollars
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
TO

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Oudays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
" Preliminary.
'Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
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Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.75 (single copy) ($3.44 foreign).
Subscription price: $30.00 per year; $37.50 for foreign mailing.

38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1993 0—68-448