Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1990
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Wist Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators MAY 1990 (Includes data available as of May 30, 1990) JUN 1 8 1990 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1990 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan) SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) PETE WILSON (California) CONNIE MACK (Florida) JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy ($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.0 percent (annual rate) or $91.2 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.3 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 5.7 percent. BILLIO ^15 OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES f ^^1 5,200 5,200 ^ GNP 4,800 - ^s^^ 4,800 IN CURRENT DOLLARS — " 4,400 4,400 - ---" 4,000 4,000 ^ .--'*' /-I - ^ * •" 3,600 3,600 x£ 3,200 GNP IK 1982 DOLLAR _,* ; - —1 3,200 2,800 2,400 2,800 1 1 1 1 1 1 1982 1 1983 1 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1987 1988 1 SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE 1 1 1989 1 1 1 2,400 1990 COLINC/l OF ECONOMIC ADVISffi [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Personal consumption tures Gross private domestic investment Government purchases of goods and services Exports and imports of goods and services Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondelense State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases ' 2,732.0 3,052 6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,014.9 4,231.6 4,524.3 4,880.6 5,234.0 1,732.6 1 915 1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,471.1 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 750.3 773.4 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 -58.9 -78.0 -97.4 -112.6 -73.7 -47.1 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 370.9 396.5 448.6 547.7 625.9 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 448.9 493.8 561.2 621.3 673.0 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 820.8 872.2 926.1 968.9 1,036.6 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 355.2 366.5 381.6 381.3 403.2 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.1 277.8 294.8 298.0 302.2 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 96.0 88.7 86.8 83.3 101.1 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 465.6 505.7 544.5 587.6 633.4 2,740.3 3,028.6 3,190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,003.6 4,224.8 4,495.0 4,850.0 5,206.9 2,699.8 3,018.7 3,139.7 3,411.8 3,831.1 4,092.8 4,329.0 4,636.8 4,954.3 5,281.1 IV IV IV IV IV IV 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 4,107.9 4,297.3 4,665.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 409.6 579.8 661.8 654. 1 648.8 749.7 14.1 -25.8 -67.9 - 103.2 -108.9 -114.6 335.9 364.7 385.7 369.2 402.4 482.6 321.9 390.5 453.6 472.4 511.3 597.2 671.8 676.1 764.5 856.7 888.9 947.5 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 205.4 221.5 244.1 268.6 280.7 296.8 87.7 54.6 81.9 108.0 88.1 91.3 378.7 400.0 438.5 480.1 520.1 559.4 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 4,100.7 4,309.4 4,602.5 3,198.5 3,571.6 3,919.7 4,211.2 4,406.2 4,780.4 1988: III IV 4,926.9 5,017.3 3,263.4 3,324.0 771.1 752.8 -66.2 -70.8 556.8 579.7 623.0 650.5 958.6 1,011.4 367.5 406.4 296.1 300.5 71.4 105.9 591.0 604.9 4,882.3 4,998.7 4,993.1 5,088.1 1989: I 11 III IV 5,113.1 5,201.7 5,281.0 5,340.2 3,381.4 3,444.1 3,508.1 3,550.6 769,6 775.0 779.1 770.1 -54.0 -50.6 -45.1 -38.8 605.6 626. 1 628.5 643.5 659.6 676.6 673.6 682.3 1,016.0 1,033.2 1,038.9 1,058.3 399.0 406.0 402.7 405.1 298.7 301.3 307.8 300.9 100.4 104.7 94.9 104.2 617.0 627.2 636.2 653.2 5,085.4 5,174.3 5,253.6 5,314.2 5,167.1 5,252.3 5,326.1 5,379.0 1990: I r 5,431.4 3,639.0 751.1 -40.8 655.6 696.4 1,082.1 413.4 308.9 104.5 668.7 5,444.3 5,472.2 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982' 1983: 19841,1)85: 1986: 1987: 1 CN1' less exports of goods nnd sc imports of £oods and services. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Exports and imports of goods and services Personal consumption expenditures Total 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,618.7 3,717.9 3,853.7 4,024.4 4,144.1 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,354.8 2,446.4 2,513.7 2,598.4 2,669.6 509.3 545.5 447.3 504.0 658.4 637.0 639.6 674.0 715.8 720.7 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 453.5 438.4 455.5 493.8 510.3 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.4 195.7 194.8 194.1 188.5 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 3,662.4 3,733.6 3,935.6 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 2,386.9 2,477.8 2,532.3 408.8 577.2 655.7 648.0 615.2 721.1 352.3 390.4 444.4 460.9 435.7 472.7 115.8 159.9 169.6 179.4 200.3 191.9 1988: III ... . IV 4,042.7 4,069.4 2,608.1 2,627.7 733.6 709.1 501.0 492.7 195.1 198.1 37.5 18.3 1989: I II IV 4,106.8 4,132.5 4,162.9 4,174.1 2,641.0 2,653.7 2,690.1 2,693.7 721.1 719.8 724.6 717.3 501.0 511.4 517.9 510.8 195.6 189.3 184.8 184.3 1990: I' 4,188.0 2,709.6 702.1 518.8 189.1 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 19831984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV ra.. 1 Gross national product Nonresidential fixed Residential Fixed Change in business inventories Government purchases of goods and services Federal Exports Imports Total -6.9 57.0 23.9 49.4 24 5 26.3 -6.4 -19.9 62.3 -84.0 9.1 -104.3 5.6 -129.7 23.7 -115.7 27.9 -74.9 21.9 -52.6 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 367.2 397.1 450.9 530.1 589.2 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 471.4 526.9 566.6 605.0 641.8 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 731.2 761.6 781.8 785.1 806.4 -59.3 11.7 27.0 -46.2 41.7 -94.8 7.7 -125.3 -20.8 -135.4 56.6 - 109.8 336.0 355.5 376.6 367.4 406.5 484.1 324.3 401.6 471.4 492.6 541.9 593.9 -74.9 -73.8 531.9 551.4 24.5 19.1 21.9 22.2 -55.0 -51.2 -57.1 -47.2 -5.9 -40.4 Net exports State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases l National defense Nondefense 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 326.0 334.1 339.6 328.9 337.1 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 237.2 252.1 265.2 261.5 256.5 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 88.8 82.0 74.4 67.4 80.6 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 405.2 427.5 442.1 456.2 469.3 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,609.6 3,712.4 3,830.0 3,996.5 4,122.2 3,130.1 3,199.4 3,139.7 3,299.1 3,585.4 3,723.0 3,847.6 3,969.4 4,099.3 4,196.7 660.1 642.2 693.2 752.7 776.0 792.1 289.5 266.0 300.5 340.6 342.4 344.9 201.4 211.6 225.3 241.4 255.8 266.7 88.2 54.4 75.2 99.2 86.6 78.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 412.1 433.6 447.2 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 3,654.7 3,754.4 3,879.0 3,147.6 3,411.3 3,630.0 3,787.6 3,869.0 4,045.5 606.9 625.2 775.9 806.4 319.8 343.9 258.8 261.6 61.0 82.3 456.1 462.5 4,005.2 4,051.0 4,117.6 4,143.2 569.7 587.5 593.1 606.6 624.6 638.7 650.2 653.8 799.7 810.3 805.3 810.4 335.5 343.6 336.1 333.3 254.4 255.8 260.1 255.7 81.1 87.8 76.0 77.7 464.2 466.7 469.2 477.0 4,082.3 4,113.5 4,141.0 4,151.9 4,161.8 4,183.7 4,220.0 4,221.4 617.9 658.2 816.7 335.2 255.1 80.0 481.5 4,193.9 4,228.4 GNP less exports of goods and services plua imports of goods and services. Total Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Personal consumption expenditures Period Gross national product Total Durable goods Gross private domestic investment Nondurable goods Services Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 110.9 113.8 117.4 121.3 126.3 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.6 114.3 119.8 124.5 130.0 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.8 105.6 108.1 110.1 111.3 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.3 112.1 116.3 122.6 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 116.8 122.4 129.0 134.9 141.2 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.7 99.3 97.5 98.7 100.3 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.3 111.1 116.2 119.7 124.5 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.0 99.8 99.5 103.3 106.2 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 102.7 104.9 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.0 109.7 112.4 115.9 119.6 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.2 110.2 111.1 114.0 117.8 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.2 108.1 116.7 123.6 125.3 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 114.9 118.3 123.2 128.8 135.0 101.7 105.4 109.0 112.2 115.1 118.6 101.8 105.7 109.3 113.1 115.8 121.8 100.7 103.1 104.1 104.7 106.2 109.0 101.0 103.1 105.8 108.7 107.8 113.7 102.7 108.3 113.5 119.0 124.9 131.5 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.9 100.0 97.0 99.1 103.1 107.2 109.0 112.4 118.7 100.0 102.6 102.4 100.5 99.0 99.7 99.3 97.2 96.2 95.9 94.4 100.6 101.3 103.8 108.5 110.6 107.7 112.5 102.0 104.7 108.3 111.3 109.7 111.3 99.5 100.3 108.9 108.8 101.7 116.8 102.2 106.3 111.7 116.5 120.0 125.1 1988: III IV 121.9 123.3 125.1 126.5 110.2 111.2 117.1 118.2 135.6 137.3 98.4 100.6 119.6 120.4 104.7 105.1 102.7 104.0 114.9 118.2 114.4 114.9 117.1 128.7 129.6 130.8 1989- I IV 124.5 125.9 126.9 127.9 128.0 129.8 130.4 131.8 111.2 110.8 111.4 111.7 120.0 123.3 122.9 124.0 139.0 140.4 141.8 143.4 100.4 100.2 100.3 100.1 122.1 124.2 125.6 126.2 106.3 106.6 106.0 106.1 105.6 105.9 103.6 104.4 118.9 118.2 119.8 121.5 117.4 117.8 118.3 117.7 123.8 119.2 125.0 134.2 132.9 134.4 135.6 136.9 1990: I * 129.7 134.3 112.8 127.9 145.5 101.1 126.6 106.1 105.8 123.4 121.1 130.6 138.9 1980 1981 1982 ... 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986' 1987: IV IV IV IV ... IV IV n m.. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption expenditures Gross national product Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 19841985' 19861987: 1988: .. IV IV IV IV IV. IV III IV v 1989' I .. . .. mIVII..:::::::::::: :::...":::::: Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars : 1990- I r. -0.2 1.9 -2.5 3.6 6.8 3.4 2.7 3.7 4.4 3.0 .6 7.3 1.7 3.0 2.3 6.6 3.2 2.7 3.7 2.5 3.0 I.I 1.3 8.9 11.7 3.7 7.6 10.8 6.4 5.4' 6.9 7.9 7.2 4.2 12.4 4.7 6.2 4.2 9.0 7.5 7.5 7.9 7.1 6.2 4.6 7.0 Implicit price deflator Chain price index 9.0 9.4 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.3 2.5 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.1 3.2 2.7 3.3 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.9 2.8 3.5 6.3 9.0 9.7 6.4 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.3 4.1 3.6 4.7 3.0 3.3 1.8 2.4 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.6 3.2 3.2 5.7 Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 10.6 10.5 7.1 9.0 8.8 8.2 6.4 7.6 7.4 7.3 10.3 9.7 7.2 6.0 6.2 3.6 7.5 7.6 7.1 7.6 7.6 4.9 10.3 9.3 3.3 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.4 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.8 5.2 4.3 4.8 5.0 2.9 3.6 6.7 Implicit price deflator -0.2 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 4.7 3.9 2.8 3.4 2.7 5.3 5.5 4.3 1.9 2.2 -.7 3.3 3.0 2.0 1.9 5.6 .5 2.4 Chain price index 10.7 9.2 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.4 4.8 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.E 3.0 4.0 3.9 4.4 3.9 4.6 4.8 5.7 1.9 4.4 7.8 10.9 9.2 5.7 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.1 3.1 4.2 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.8 4.7 5.8 2.1 4.4 7.5 Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.5 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.1 3.2 4.3 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.9 4.8 6.3 2.2 4.4 7.9 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quar- NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) Gross domestic product of non/inancial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: IV IV IV IV IV IV HI IV 1989: I II III IV. 1990: I " 1 Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,267.1 2,367.1 2,520.7 2,731.3 2,906.9 1,779.4 2,012.5 2,201.8 2,309.4 2,408.7 2,598.4 2,754.9 2,816.4 2,842.7 2,887.2 2,936.2 2,961.4 2,996.3 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,117.4 2,173.9 2,282.6 2,419.5 2,481.5 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 2,137.7 2,198.5 2,343.3 2,434.1 2,453.2 2,459.1 2,471.3 2,497.2 2,498.5 2,500.0 Total cost and profit 2 Indirect business taxes 3 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1.054 1.071 1.089 1.104 1.129 1.171 1.011 1.037 1.064 1.080 1.096 1.109 1.132 1.148 1.156 1.168 1.176 1.185 1.198 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .123 .123 .123 .128 .131 .120 .118 .120 .124 .122 .122 .124 .125 .126 .129 .131 .130 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .106 .106 .107 .111 .096 .098 .102 .104 .106 .106 .108 .108 .110 .111 .112 .113 .115 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol- 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment lars. l 3 4 Compensation of employees Net interest 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .704 .721 .730 .744 .781 .685 .680 .694 .713 .727 .734 .746 .756 .768 .778 .783 .795 .807 0.031 .037 .043 .037 .039 .038 .041 .047 .052 .060 .042 .037 .042 .037 .042 ,050 .053 .055 .057 .060 .061 .062 .062 Total 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .106 .098 .098 .103 .091 .057 .103 .107 .106 .096 .098 .102 .105 .096 .093 .091 .085 .085 Profits tax liability 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .035 .041 .044 .040 .023 .036 .032 .033 .038 .041 .044 .045 .045 .041 .038 .037 .038 Profits after tax 4 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .073 .064 .058 .059 .051 .034 .066 .075 .072 .058 .057 .058 .061 .051 .053 .053 .048 .047 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 18.524 18.643 18.704 19.217 19.682 19.996 20.456 20.908 21.393 r 21.411 18.770 19.422 19.784 20.116 20.650 21.176 21.469 21.446 21,356 21.364 21.522 21.488 10.769 11.777 12.635 13.039 13.528 14.069 14.746 15.252 15.907 16.725 12.866 13.208 13.735 14.341 15.008 15.535 16.024 16.213 16.407 16.625 16.843 17.089 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Nonfarm Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,234.0 3,412.6 3,665.4 3,972.6 4,266.5 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,367.5 2,511.4 2,690.0 2,907.6 3,144.4 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 41.6 39.8 46.2 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 270.0 288.0 305.9 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.4 15.7 7.9 150.0 213.7 266.9 282.3 282.1 298.7 328.6 301.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 272.0 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 290.7 -10.4 109 -5.8 17 6.7 189 -25.0 187 -9.2 17.0 32.7 59.7 53.8 50.9 46.8 29.3 272.3 281.0 304.8 319.0 325.5 351.7 392.9 460.8 IV IV IV IV IV IV 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3,312.8 3,473.1 3,799.9 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,426.7 2,571.2 2,778.7 28.5 19.3 28.1 29.2 37.2 48.4 159.8 188.6 209.7 235.0 252.0 280.3 15.8 12.4 5.6 7.8 13.5 14.3 146.1 248.5 266.9 291.4 275.2 308.2 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 276.2 134 -8.1 1.6 -6.6 80 -20.4 45 25.1 42.3 63.0 49.1 52.4 266.9 290.2 313.1 322.7 324.0 370.0 1988- TTT IV 4,005.7 4,097.4 2,935.1 2,997.2 37.7 32.0 289.3 296.3 16.3 16.1 330.9 340.2 284.1 298.7 314.4 318.8 304 -20.1 46.9 41.5 396.4 415.7 1989- I 4,185.2 4,249.6 4,287.3 4,344.0 3,061.7 3,118.2 3,171.9 3,225.9 59.0 51.3 36.1 38.5 300.3 304.2 307.2 311.8 11.8 9.8 5.4 4.8 316.3 307.8 295.2 285.9 279.7 275.5 268.7 264.0 318.0 296.0 275.0 273.7 -38.3 205 -6.3 9.7 36.6 32.3 26.5 21.9 436.1 458.4 471.5 477.2 4,434.7 ' 3,285.3 52.1 322.7 r 287.8 270.4 281.6 !7.4 '478.7 198219831984: 198519861987- n in IV 1990- I 1 r Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) 8.0 r -11.2 r Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Durable goods Period Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Nondurable goods Other Total nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Other Services Retail sales of new passenger cars (millions of units) Domestics Imports 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,471.1 252.7 289.1 335.5 372.2 406.0 421.0 455.2 473.2 108.9 130.4 157.4 179.1 196.2 195.5 211.6 213.9 95.7 107.1 118.8 129.9 139.7 149.1 162.0 173.6 48.1 51.6 59.3 63.2 70.0 76.5 81.6 85.8 771.0 816.7 867.3 911.2 942.0 998.1 1,052.3 1,123.4 398.8 421.9 448.5 471.6 500.0 529.2 559.7 594.9 124.4 135.1 146.7 156.4 166.8 177.2 186.8 200.1 89.1 90.2 90.0 90.6 73.5 75.2 76.8 84.0 158.7 169.5 182.1 192.6 201.7 216.6 229.0 244.5 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,345.6 1,449.5 1,591.7 1,727.6 1,874.4 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 263.8 310.0 346.7 373.2 422.0 424.5 115.7 144.4 162.3 173.8 201.1 196.3 99.1 112.4 122.7 134.7 143.8 151.4 49.0 53.2 61.8 64.7 77.1 76.7 786.6 837.9 879.6 932.7 952.1 1,015.4 407.0 430.8 456.1 482.5 511.9 536.8 126.5 141.1 149.8 160.6 168.7 180.6 89.8 91.9 89.0 91.0 66.0 76.7 163.4 1,066.5 174.0 1,167.9 184.7 1,267.1 198.5 1,394.5 205.5 1,494.4 221.3 1,643.3 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 1988: III 3,263.4 3,324.0 452.5 467.4 208.4 215.3 162.7 166.1 81.4 86.0 1,066.2 1,078.4 567.8 574.1 188.9 193.9 78.3 77.6 231.2 232.8 1,744.7 1,778.2 7.4 7.5 3.0 3.0 1989: I II IV 3,381.4 3,444.1 3,508.1 3,550.6 466.4 471.0 486.1 469.5 211.7 212.9 225.6 205.3 172.1 173.5 173.9 174.8 82.6 84.6 86.7 89.4 1,098.3 1,121.5 1,131.4 1,142.4 587.3 592.2 598.1 601.8 195.0 198.9 202.2 204.3 77.9 89.5 85.2 83.2 238.1 241.0 245.9 253.1 1,816.7 1,851.7 1,890.6 1,938.7 7.0 7.3 7.9 6.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.6 1990- I ' 3,639.0 491.3 220.1 181.2 90.0 1,169.3 616.8 209.0 85.5 258.0 1,978.4 7.0 2.8 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 1987- IV IV. . IV IV IV IV rv m Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $14.0 billion (annual rate) in April following an increase of $36.0 billion in March. The changes were affected by subsidy payments to farm proprietors; the payments lowered the April change after raising the March change. Excluding these payments, personal income increased $23.9 billion in April and $24.8 billion in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 5,000 1 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME 2,000 2,000 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 1,400 1,400 OTHER INCOME 800 800 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 400 400 Illllllllll 1982 1983 1985 1984 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period t980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 .. 1989: Apr May June July Auj? Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr ' personal income . .. . .. .. 2 258 4 2 5209 2 6708 2 8386 3 108 7 3 325 3 3 5262 3 777 6 4064 5 4427 3 4 387 1 43963 4417 5 4443 7 4,456 9 4467 I 4,500.3 4 541 5 4564 1 4 602 9 4637 6 4 673 6 4 687 6 Wage and salary disbursements 1 1 3720 1 510 3 1 586 1 1 6766 1 838 6 1 975 4 2094 8 2 249 4 2 4290 2 631 1 2 601 3 2 603 5 2 621 7 2 644 7 2,651 0 26684 2,693 4 2 694 7 2 712 2 2 724 7 2 747 9 2 763 3 2 782 4 Proprietors ' income 3 Other labor income 2 2 1384 150 3 163 6 173 6 1829 187 6 199 3 212 8 228 9 248 3 244 4 246 0 247 5 249 1 250 7 252 2 253 8 255 3 256 9 259 5 261 5 263 6 265 1 Farm 205 30 7 24 6 12 4 305 30 2 34 7 41 6 39 8 46 2 564 54 3 43 2 38 8 36 5 32 9 39 3 38 9 37 2 44 3 49 0 63 1 51 6 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 2 Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Nonfarm 160 1 156 1 150 9 178 4 2040 225 6 247 2 2700 288 0 3059 304 6 303 5 304 6 306 3 3080 307 4 3063 313 7 315 6 3194 323 3 325 3 3260 Less: income of persons 4 66 13 3 13 6 13 2 85 92 11 6 13 4 15 7 79 98 98 97 93 84 16 — 80 10 2 12 2 98 70 73 76 dividend income 529 61 3 63 9 68 7 755 78 7 85 8 920 102 2 112 4 111 0 111 4 111 8 112 8 113 3 1136 114 8 115 8 116 4 117 2 118 1 118 8 119 8 interest income 211 9 3354 369 7 393 1 4447 4780 493 2 523 2 571 1 657 4 6484 655 2 661 8 6650 6679 6704 674.0 677 7 681 3 6830 6844 6857 687 2 payments 5 324 1 368 1 4106 442 6 4566 489 8 521 5 548 2 584 7 632 3 6239 625 5 6309 6326 636.4 6402 644.6 653 1 651 4 6724 671 3 6738 6734 4 contributions for soeia] insurance 886 1045 112 3 120 1 132 7 149 3 161 9 172 9 194.9 214 2 212 6 212 7 213.8 214 8 215.2 2163 217.8 217 9 2190 2273 2249 2274 2255 personal income 6 2 215.8 2 465 6 2,618.7 2 7990 3,052.1 3 271 3 3,469.4 3 7147 4,003.7 43596 4,309.4 4 3205 4,352.6 4383.1 4,398.6 4,412.4 4,439.3 4,480.9 4 505 1 4,536.9 45670 4,588.9 46145 With capital consumption adjustment. Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor i and agricultural net interest. 6 6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1990. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 1,400 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 16,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME -. 16,000 -— 14,000 14,000 -*• 12,000 10,000 £SJMM-^**" 12,000 r~^ r ~-10,000 ^~^\ 1982 DOL LARS 8,000 8,000 6,000 1 1 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1984 \ 1 1 1985 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1988 Period Personal income Disposable personal income 2,258.5 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,427.3 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 486.6 512.9 571.7 586.6 648.5 1,918.0 2,127.6 2^261.4 2,428.1 2',668.6 2,838.7 3,013.3 3,205.9 3^477.8 3,778.8 1 1 1 1 6,000 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in 1982 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars 1982 dollars Per capita personal consumption expend tures Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,781.1 1,968.1 2^107.5 2,297.4 2',504.5 2,713.3 2,888.5 3,104.1 3,333.1 3,574.4 136.9 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 125.4 124.9 101.8 144.7 204.4 2,214.3 2,248.6 2^261.5 2,331.9 2',469.8 2,542.8 2,635.3 2,676.6 2,193.2 2,906.3 8,421 9,243 9,724 10,340 11,257 11,861 12,469 13,140 14,116 15,186 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, inetuding Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 Percent Dollars Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1 1989 - SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Less: Personal tax and nontax payments 1 9,769 9^724 9,930 10',419 10,625 10,905 10,970 11337 11,680 7,607 8,320 8,818 9,515 10,253 10,985 11,576 12,340 13,131 13,950 8,783 8,794 8,818 9,139 9,489 9,839 10,123 10,303 10,546 10,729 — 1.1 .5 j^ 2.1 4.9 2.0 2.6 .6 3.3 3.0 7.1 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.4 4.1 3.2 4.2 5.4 227,754 230,182 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,322 241,660 243,985 246,378 248,831 9,722 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 3,399.1 3,597.8 3,908.7 411.1 413.9 459.7 499.6 534.4 589.2 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,899.5 3,063.4 3,319.4 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,787.7 2,961.4 3,177.6 143.1 145.4 157.3 111.7 102.0 141.8 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,562.8 2,646.2 2,726.2 9,929 10,725 11,467 12,068 12,629 13,552 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,667 10,909 11,130 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,240 11,825 12,588 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,935 10,214 10,338 1.2 9.1 1.7 3.3 .3 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.9 3.3 4.3 233,466 235,707 237,946 240,257 242,579 244,936 1988: III.... IV 4,097.6 4,185.2 585.9 597.8 3,511.7 3,587.4 3,362.1 3,424.0 149.6 163.4 2,806.4 2,835.9 14,235 14,504 11,377 11,466 13,229 13,439 10,572 10,624 3.7 3.2 4.3 4.6 246,685 247,343 1989: I II III.... IV 4,317.8 4,400.3 4,455.9 4,535.3 628.3 652.6 649.1 664.1 3,689.5 3,747.7 3,806.8 3,871.3 3,483.8 3,547.0 3,611.7 3,655.3 205.7 200.7 195.1 216.0 2,881.7 2,887.6 2,919.2 2,936.9 14,884 15,084 15,280 15,495 11,625 11,622 11,717 11,755 13,641 13,862 14,081 14,212 10,654 10,681 10,798 10,782 5.7 — .1 3.3 1.3 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.6 247,890 248,456 249,143 249,836 1990: I * 4,638.0 672.3 3,965.7 3,745.0 220.7 2,953.0 15,837 11,793 14,532 10,821 1.3 5.6 250,408 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1 Includes personal consumption expendilures, interest paid by liners to business, and personnl transfer payments to foreigners (net). 2 Annual data arc averages of quarterly data, which arc averages for the period. Kource: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of Ihc Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $0.2 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $5.1 billion. BILLIC>NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO S CALE) 240 200 **• 160 1r—~- s 1 _rf-*%V. . ^^ \ -- 120 240 200 ' —1 —' 160 120 80 80 An 60 40 40 20 20 10 10 " SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total ' Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 .... 1984 1985 . 1986 1987 .... 1988 1989 1987- p .... III.... IV 1988- I II Ill IV 1989- I ' II T III * IV " 1 149.3 166.4 163.5 152.9 175.0 166.3 160.3 171.7 177.6 190.6 167.8 175.9 174.7 182.0 175.0 178.6 195.0 194.7 186.1 186.3 Cash marketing r •ceipts and inventory changes plus (io income, nml nonmone income furnished by farms. 2 ['hysical changes n end-of-year inventory of crop and Hv< prices during the year. Livestock and products 139.7 141.7 142.6 136.5 142.5 144.1 135.5 139.5 151.5 157.9 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 73.0 69.8 71.5 75.7 78.9 83.8 144.8 138.1 144.4 148.8 160.4 152.2 77.8 75.8 81.8 75.3 78.3 80.3 153.1 160.5 163.5 154.6 84.2 81.5 81.5 88.0 Crops 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.5 74.3 64.0 63.8 72.6 74.1 66.9 62.2 62.6 73.5 82.1 71.9 68.9 79.0 82.0 66.6 — nment payments, other farm cash H-k commodities valued at average 3 Production expenses Value of inventory changes 2 -6.3 6.5 — 1.4 10 9 6.3 24 -2.7 -.4 -4.3 5.8 2 -1.7 -4.0 -4.4 -4.7 — 4.1 7.0 5.8 4.8 5.5 — .-. Current dollars 1982 dollars 3 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 134.0 122.4 128.0 135.0 142.0 16.2 27.0 23.5 12.5 32.3 32.3 37.9 43.5 42.6 48.6 18.8 28.7 23.5 12.0 29.9 29.1 33.4 37.1 35.2 38.4 131.3 131.7 130.2 133.7 138.2 137.8 36.3 44.1 44.5 48.3 36.8 40.8 141.7 144.1 143.6 138.7 53.3 50.6 42.5 47.6 30.9 37.2 37.4 40.0 30.2 33.1 42.8 40.2 33.5 37.2 -j Income in current dollars divided by the ONI* implicit price deflator. NOTK.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce, CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 1990, according to preliminary estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $7.9 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits rose $0.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 36U BILLIONS Of DOLLARS J6U SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 320 320 /^ \ 280 , 240 . 1 PROFITS BEFORE TAX / —oo/ /^ / 200 PROFI" S AFTER TAX -^ 160 ^ ""-- N /"'' 120 ,-- — "' --x ..^ s—"~~" "\ --~N S 80 ' •* -v-~--^" UNDISTRIBUT !D PROFITS --V 1 1 I 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 1985 40 * - 1982 N < V< 1 120 TAX LIABILI Y 80 _// 40 0 240 X \ 200 160 280 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1989 1988 1987 1986 1 0 I 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Total 2 Total 1980 1981.. 1982 1983... 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Profits before tax Nonfinancial Period Financial Total 3 Manufacturing Tax liability Wholesale and retail trade 21.0 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 22.8 32.0 30.5 29.8 22.2 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 168.6 163.2 178.2 208.4 202.0 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 79.7 59.5 76.6 98.4 86.9 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 44.1 44.1 41.1 40.1 39.1 237.1 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 290.7 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.4 106.3 124.7 137.9 129.7 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 127.8 115.3 142.0 168.9 161.0 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 83.3 91.3 98.7 110.4 122.1 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 44.6 24.0 43.3 58.5 38.9 -43.1 -24.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -18.9 -25.0 -18.7 104.3 143.4 139.2 135.2 121.0 148.9 173.2 175.6 68.5 73.9 80.8 84.0 93.6 102.8 35.8 69.5 58.4 51.2 27.4 46.1 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -20.4 112.2 115.2 61.1 60.4 -30.4 -20.1 118.5 120.9 123.3 125.6 55.1 40.2 29.1 31.1 -38.3 -20.5 -6.3 -9.7 128.1 28.9 -11.2 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 121.6 190.7 193.9 193.6 193.4 211.8 18.7 15.5 13.6 26.0 28.6 29.9 102.9 175.2 180.3 167.6 164.8 181.9 46.8 88.6 79.8 83.8 64.8 84.5 33.6 43.1 51.8 38.5 41.0 41.2 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 276.2 59.8 88.1 87.0 99.8 113.1 127.3 1988- III IV 284.1 298.7 239.0 252.2 31.6 30.1 207.3 222.1 95.1 105.5 39.2 41.8 314.4 318.8 141.2 143.2 1989: I II Ill IV 279.7 275.5 268.7 264.0 233.1 231.8 223.0 208.6 29.3 28.6 17.8 13.0 203.9 203.2 205.2 195.6 96.5 90.3 86.6 74.4 34.1 36.9 41.9 43.6 318.0 296.0 275.0 273.7 144.4 134.9 122.6 116.9 1990- IP . 270.4 220.0 21.3 198.7 281.6 124.6 Sc<- \>. 4 for ii Includes rrsl Inventory valuation adjustment 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 191.4 195.2 208.7 238.2 224.1 IV IV IV IV IV IV 2 Undistributed profits 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 272.0 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 1 Total Dividends 3 173.6 161.1 152.4 156.7 157.0 includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Kconomic Analysis. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment rose $13.2 billion (annual rate) and residential investment rose $6.8 billion. There was a $12.9 billion decrease in inventories, following an increase of $26.1 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 ^ GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT ^ 800 "**• S~~ ~^1 700 700 /—"1-•v/1 ^~\^^ — slONRESIDENT AL : IXED 1NVESTM NT — A 600 600 / 500 f 500 «•"* / ~—\ — *-- "" 400 400 — *• ._ '"-- " — RESIDENTIAL 300 FIX ED INVESTMEN T - 300 — \ 200 200 **~~ ,^-' 100 / - CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENT DRIES Asfc ^% ^ 100 s**. \ .~. "^-s^ / — — 0 1 -100 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1983 I I 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 I 1986 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 1989 I 1J 1990 -100 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Change in business inventories Fixed investment Gross private domestic investment Period Nonresidential Total Total Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Total Nonfarm ... 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 750.3 773.4 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.8 652.5 670.6 719.6 746.3 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.9 435.2 444.3 487.2 511.7 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 153.2 139.0 133.8 140.3 144.9 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 289.7 296.2 310.5 346.8 366.7 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 188.8 217.3 226.4 232.4 234.6 -8.3 24.0 -24.5 71 67.7 11.3 6.9 29.3 30.6 27.1 -2.4 18.3 -23.1 .4 60.5 14.6 8.6 30.5 34.2 22.2 IV IV IV IV IV IV 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 749.7 469.5 548.8 616.8 646.8 660.9 686.3 354.9 383.9 435.0 451.3 435.8 458.6 137.6 127.4 146.6 155.9 133.7 138.9 217.3 256.5 288.4 295.5 302.2 319.7 114.7 164.9 181.8 195.5 225.1 227.7 599 31.0 45.0 7.2 12 2 63.3 51 1 21.3 41.3 23.7 -8.0 63.3 771.1 752.8 726.5 734.1 493.2 495.8 142.0 142.5 351.3 353.3 233.2 238.4 44.6 18.7 41.5 40.8 n m IV 769.6 775.0 779.1 770.1 742.0 747.6 751.7 744.0 503.1 512.5 519.6 511.4 144.7 142.4 146.2 146.4 358.5 370.1 373.4 365.0 238.8 235.1 232.1 232.6 27.7 27.4 27.4 26.1 19.1 23.6 19.8 26.4 1990- I r 751.1 764.0 524.6 149.9 374.7 239.4 12 9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 198219831984: 1985: 19861987: . 1988: HI rv 1989: ! I Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. -18.0 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department January-March survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 7.8 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.4 percent in 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES * 500 ^^ ^"~~~~1 400 N^ ^^ _^ 300 400 _***~^ __ ALL INDLJSTRIES ^ »""*—». 500 * 300 ~__—^ " _ ...• •* \ 200 200 \ NONMANUF ACTURlNGi' -.-'""' , ___ ^,—~ ^'- •--..^ MAN I JFACTURING 100 100 il 1 1 1982 1 \ 1 1 \ \ 1 1 1984 1983 <JSURVEYED QUARTERLY J/SEE FOOTNOTE & BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 ! I 1 1 1988 1987 1986 1 * SECOND HALF \ \ 1 il 1 2] 1 1 1990 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Manufacturing All industries Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 4 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 389.67 430.76 475.52 512.82 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 193.50 1988: I II Ill IV 413.34 427.54 435.61 442.11 1989: I II Ill IV 1990: I 4 If 2nd half 4 Period Nonmanufacturing Nonmanufacturing Total Surveyed quarterly 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 294.77 317.17 347.50 379.36 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 319.32 Nondurable goods Total ! Mining Transportation Public utilities 55.36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 71.01 78.30 83.68 85.48 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.88 88.01 100.86 108.02 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 319.32 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.39 12.66 12.52 13.31 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.34 24.59 28.58 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 47.48 48.81 46.38 44.88 46.67 50.72 53.13 100.14 110.24 109.63 1 14.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.65 183.76 203.14 224.30 157.97 162.62 168.76 173.32 75.28 77.38 79.15 80.56 82.69 85.24 89.62 92.76 255.37 264.92 266.85 268.79 12.61 13.15 12.53 12.38 20.35 20.95 22.02 22.04 45.05 45.60 46.69 48.73 177.37 185.21 185.61 185.65 157 97 162.62 168.76 173.32 255 37 264.92 266.85 268.79 459.47 470.86 484.93 486.80 175.22 181.53 187.66 193.76 81.26 82.97 85.66 84.84 93.96 98.57 102.00 108.92 284.24 289.33 297.28 293.04 12.15 12.70 12.59 12.65 23.13 24.26 28.53 22.43 50.81 52.01 49.57 50.50 198.15 200.36 206.59 207.46 175 22 181.53 187.66 193.76 284 24 289.33 297.28 293.04 502.65 509.08 519.77 191.65 189.66 196.34 86.35 83.92 85.82 105.30 105.74 110.52 311.00 319.43 323.43 13.07 13.55 13.31 28.29 27.71 29.15 51.51 53.75 53.64 218.13 224.41 227.33 191 65 189.66 196.34 311 00 319.43 323.43 Durable goods 1 Kxcludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May 1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries. 2 "All industries" plus (he part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually. 10 Total nonfarm business 2 Commercial and other 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 440.66 483.48 532.04 572.85 Manufacturing 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 193.50 Surveyed annually 3 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 60.04 3 Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social sen-ices and membership organizations; and real estate. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1990, corrected for biases. Source: Department of Commerce, Burenu of the Census. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In April, civilian employment fell 218,000 and unemployment rose 275,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS' MILLIONS Of PERSONS' 126 126 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 122 122 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 118 118 114 114 \ 110 110 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 106 106 102 102 98 98 X1 x 12 8 4 0 1990 1982 • 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period Noninstitutionai population including resident Armed Forces NSA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986' 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr 2 Armed Forces NSA 171,175 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 1,645 1,668 187,708 187,854 187,995 188,149 188,286 188,428 188,580 188,721 188,865 188,990 189,090 189,198 189,326 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 Labor force including resident Armed Forces 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 Employment including resident Armed Forces 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 Nonagricultural Civilian labor force 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 Agricultural Total 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 121,669 123,869 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 Total 3,368 97,030 3,401 96,125 3,383 97,450 3,321 101,685 3,179 103,971 3,163 106,434 Part time for economic reasons l 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 Total 8,273 10,678 10,717 3,208 109,232 3,169 111,800 3,199 114,142 5,334 5,345 5,122 4,965 4,657 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 15 weeks and over Civilian Labor force participation rate (percent) z Employment/ population ratio (per- 2 cent) 1,375 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 59.0 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 1,610 63.9 64.0 64.0 125,557 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 1,684 1,673 1,666 1,666 1,688 1,702 1,709 1,704 1,700 125,299 125,224 125,777 125,679 125,758 125,725 125,857 126,192 126,246 118,768 118,805 119,208 119,102 119,238 119,121 119,294 119,540 119,588 123,615 123,551 124,111 124,013 124,070 124,023 124,148 124,488 124,546 117,084 117,132 117,542 117,436 117,550 117,419 117,585 117,836 117,888 3,144 3,137 3,138 3,217 3,275 3,219 3,197 3,160 3,197 113,940 113,995 114,404 114,219 114,275 114,200 114,388 114,676 114,691 4,855 4,643 4,738 4,583 4,567 4,605 4,526 4,552 4,554 6,531 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 1,391 1,331 1,295 1,461 1,338 1,359 1,378 1,422 1,362 66.5 66.4 66.6 66.5 66.5 66.4 66.4 66.6 66.5 62.9 62.9 63.1 63.0 63.0 62.9 62.9 63.0 63.0 1,697 1,678 1,669 1,657 126,094 126,308 126,498 126,543 119,560 119,713 120,003 119,773 124,397 124,630 124,829 124,886 117,863 118,035 118,334 118,116 3,134 3,079 3,200 3,133 114,728 114,957 115,133 114,983 4,729 4,703 4,747 4,630 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 1,430 1,369 1,333 1,386 66.4 66.5 66.6 66.5 62.9 63.0 63.1 62.9 •ork. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulli- work, t ('h'ilinii liibtir force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitittionaC popnlatir Unemployment Civilian employment Resident. 'Data beginning .January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in •-stimetioti procedures. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In April, both the overall unemployment rate and the civilian unemployment rate rose to 5.3 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 <A/VH* 15 15 10 10 TEENAGERS ^—' N \ L^N " ,, '/ vl ,-, WOMEN 20 YEARS AND OVER \ /^fVHv^j-.- r--, ,v .^^ X r ^,I^>°^^ "" MEN 20 YEARS ANDO V'ER \ \ \ \ \ \ \ ] \ l \ 1986 1990 1986 111 t 1 \ I M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 j 1 1 ti 1 1 1 It 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 \ 1 1 1 [ | 1989 1990 1988 1987 •UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CMLJAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period Unemployment rate, all workers 1 1981 1982 1983 1984 . 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May June .... July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 2 7.5 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 5,2 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 1 By sex and age All civilian workers 7.6 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.4 Men 20 years and over 6.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 Women 20 years and over 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.8 Both sexes 16-19 years 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 14.6 15.0 15.4 15.1 14.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 15.2 14.5 14.8 14.4 14.7 White 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as per 12 By selected groups By race Black and other Black 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 9.7 9.6 10.2 9.6 9.7 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.1 9.2 9.4 9.1 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 11.0 11.1 11.8 11.0 11.2 11.7 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 Experienced wage and salary workers 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.2 Married men, spouse present 4.3 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 Women who maintain families 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 7.8 8.2 7.9 8.5 8.0 7.7 7.8 8.2 8.1 7.5 7.5 8.4 7.5 cent of potentially available labor force hours. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fulltime •workers Parttime •workers 7.3 9.6 9.4 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 7.6 7.3 7.2 6.9 7.7 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 7.0 7.4 7.2 7.1 Labor force time lost (percent) 2 8.5 11.0 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.2 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In April, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 15-26 weeks fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 27 weeks and over rose. The mean duration of unemployment rose and the median fell. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 r 70 REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 — 50 V /V^-Tv v T \ JOB LOSERS REENTRANTS — 30 A 20 JOB LEAVERS 10 — — 10 NEW ENTRANTS 1990 1986 1986 1987 1988 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 47.8 48.0 49.8 47.9 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.8 49.5 47.5 47.8 48.6 47.4 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 30.8 31.2 30.5 29.9 31.0 31.0 30.5 29.8 30.1 30.7 31.5 31.1 32.2 State programs Number of weeks 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Median 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 10.2 11.1 10.4 12.7 11.7 11.7 11.4 11.5 10.9 11.8 11.1 10.7 10.3 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 11.1 9.7 9.3 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.7 9.8 9.5 9.9 9.7 9.6 10.2 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 12.6 11.9 11.2 11.9 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.6 11.5 12.1 11.7 12.0 12.1 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.0 Job losers Job leavers 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 45.2 43.4 43.0 44.5 46.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.3 48.5 47.1 46.3 46.8 11.2 7.9 1.1 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 15.2 17.1 15.6 15.5 16.1 15.8 15.2 15.7 15.8 15.5 15.3 15.5 17.5 Reentrants New entrants 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 29.0 28.7 30.4 29.0 27.6 29.4 28.9 27.6 27.7 26.3 27.4 28.4 26.5 11.9 31.3 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 10.7 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.0 9.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.8 9.2 Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment, all regular programs (unadjusted) 1 Weekly average, thousands 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 1989- Apr May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb . . Mar 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,531 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 1 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (t/CX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (ER) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program. 3,047 4,063 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,193 2,269 2,106 2,068 2,133 2,194 2,169 2,208 2,295 2,305 2,373 2,367 2,334 2,349 2,381 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 308 316 331 334 323 331 366 348 367 359 357 347 360 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,248 2,324 2,221 1,957 1,936 2,168 2,007 1,863 1,912 2,146 2,518 3,059 2,992 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 64,000 in April. Ml LIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MIL IONS OF PERSONS* 110 28 r-" 100 =1— ' SERVICES — ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMEN TS _^-* — 26 ^_,.^ .--'" — 24 90 —~--"'" — 22 80 — SER\'ICE-PRODUC ING INDUSTRIES 70 18 60 — — 16 — ~mnr,m " 50 AAA 20 ^-^ GOVERNAAENT Illlllllll! Illllllllll Illllllllll NUFACTURIhJfi , V-^n — 40 - — _ 30 GOODS-PI tODUCING INDU 5TRIES I f 11111111 1 1987 Illllllllllk 1 . *r— 6 = , — (Illllllllll niiiliini 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Illllllllll 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 if 1989 1990 * 1988 1986 1987 -m SEASONALLY ADJ JSTED OURCE: DEPARTM ENT OF LABOR \ *—** T kl CONSTRUC "^ iiiiilinii 1988 m n inlii ink 18 dli 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i u 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 20 y, ,,,!,,,,, ' 1986 — RE TAIL TRADE \ ^___ 20 u lillii nih 1989 1990 ^ COUNCIL OF EC ONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted] Goods-producing industries Period Total nonagricultural employment Service-producing industries Manufacturing Total 2 rinn construction Total Durable goo s Nondurable goods Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Government Total Federal 25,497 23313 23,334 24J27 24,859 24^558 24,708 25,249 25^634 4,188 3^905 3,948 4383 4,673 4316 4,967 5,125 5J300 20,170 18J81 18,434 19^378 19,260 18^965 19,024 19,403 19,612 12,109 11^039 10J32 11J505 11,490 11J230 11,194 11,437 11^536 8,061 7',741 7,702 7J873 7,770 7*734 7,830 7,967 8^076 65,659 65^753 66,866 69^769 72,660 74^967 77,492 80,335 82^947 5,165 5^082 4,954 5459 5,238 5J255 5,372 5,548 5,705 5,358 5',278 5^268 5^555 5,717 5^753 5,844 6,029 6J234 15,189 15~,179 15,613 16J545 17,356 17^930 18,483 19,110 19^575 5,298 5', 341 5,468 5^689 5,955 6,283 6,547 6,676 6J814 18,619 19',036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,053 24,236 25,600 26,892 16,031 1986 1987 1988 1989 91,156 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,584 108^581 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,372 17,727 2,772 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 1989: Apr May.... June ... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Oct Nov.... Dec 108,101 108,310 108,607 108,767 108,887 109,096 109,171 109,452 109,570 25,671 25,672 25,648 25,669 25,694 25,614 25,603 25,609 25,532 5,279 5,283 5,283 5,314 5,321 5,325 5,335 5,355 5,304 19,672 19,667 19,650 19,649 19,644 19,559 19,537 19,517 19,489 11,600 11,594 11,567 11,549 11,551 11,480 11,457 11,439 11,409 8,072 8,073 8,083 8,100 8,093 8,079 8,080 8,078 8,080 82,430 82,638 82,959 83,098 83,193 83,482 83,568 83,843 84,038 5,682 5,700 5,716 5,736 5,618 5,709 5,729 5,753 5,834 6,206 6,222 6,230 6,237 6,256 6,264 6,278 6,300 6,311 19,489 19,528 19,551 19,586 19,621 19,632 19,679 19,744 19,718 6,776 6,790 6,808 6,815 6,836 6,852 6,851 6,871 6,885 26,651 26,711 26,931 26,973 27,058 27,159 27,188 27,345 27,419 17,626 17,687 17,723 17,751 17,804 17,866 17,843 17,830 17,871 2,982 2,999 2,995 3,000 2,999 2,996 2,984 2,982 2,974 1990: Jan Peb r... Mar r .. Apr".. 109,931 110,304 110,407 110,471 25,518 25,686 26,604 25,489 5,418 5,485 5,433 5,334 19,355 19,452 19,422 19,400 11,287 11,398 11,383 11,353 8,068 8,054 8,039 8,047 84,413 84,618 84,803 84,982 5,850 5,865 5,864 5,866 6,332 6,332 6,343 6,345 19,822 19,794 19,778 19,802 6,896 6,916 6,926 6,926 27,557 27,709 27,782 27,805 17,956 18,002 18,110 18,238 2,998 3,006 3,088 3,167 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 . . 14 AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except aa noted] Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Average gross weekly earnings Total private nonagricultural l Manufacturing Period 1981 Total private nonagricultural 1 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 ... 1982 1983 ... 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ... 1989- Apr May July Sept Oct Nov Dee 1990- Jan Feb Mar r Apr" Total Total private nonagricultural 1 Overtime Manufacturing $7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.18 10.47 Current dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars 2 Manufacturing Construction Retail trade $255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.36 335.20 $170.13 168.09 171.26 172.78 170.42 171.07 169.28 167.81 166.52 $318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.40 429.27 $399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 493.08 506.72 $158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 178.70 183.62 189.01 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.5 3.3 3.5 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.4 -.7 20 -1.6 9 -.9 7 -.9 — 1.4 -1.1 2.7 3.8 3.9 2.7 -2.4 13 -1.3 17 39.8 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 $7.25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.29 9.66 34.9 34.6 34.6 34.8 34.6 34.7 34.7 34.6 34.5 41.3 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.8 40.7 40.6 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 9.61 9.60 9.62 9.69 9.69 9.74 9.78 9.78 9.83 10.40 10.42 10.45 10.48 10.52 10.55 10.55 10.57 10.61 335.39 332.16 332.85 337.21 335.27 337.98 339.37 338.39 339.14 167.44 165.17 165.10 166.85 165.98 166.74 166.85 165.80 165.51 429.52 427.22 428.45 429.68 431.32 432.55 430.44 430.20 430.77 505.21 494.17 498.17 511.30 510.73 510.16 514.75 521.87 508.64 189.44 187.56 188.43 190.97 189.22 189.50 191.69 190.37 190.86 34.5 34.6 34.6 34.6 40.7 40.7 40.8 40.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.5 9.83 9.88 9.92 9.95 10.55 10.65 10.72 10.76 339.14 341.85 343.23 344.27 163.68 164.11 164.22 164.57 429.39 433.46 437.38 436.86 518.93 521.08 514.55 500.79 192.67 193.92 194.79 195.75 2.8 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. 2 Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1977=100 base). Percent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultural 3 Current dollars 1977 dollars 15 -1.2 1.9 .9 14 .4 10 -.9 -.8 a Based on seasonally unadjusted data. „ ^ „ ., n . . T , oource: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY [Not seasonally adjusted] Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100) Period 19811982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 19861987: 19881989: 1987- Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec.. Dec Dec.. Dec Mar.. June Sept Dec 1988- Mar.. June Sept Dec 1989- Mar June Sept Dec.. 1990: Mar Wages and salaries 71.2 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90.1 93.1 97.6 102.3 91.0 91.6 92.5 93.1 94.5 95.7 96.6 97.6 98.8 100.0 101.2 102.3 103.9 73.0 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 92.0 92.6 93.5 94.1 95.0 96.1 97.0 98.0 99.0 100.0 101.2 102.0 103.2 Benefits 1 66.6 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 88.2 89.0 89.6 90.5 93.4 94.7 95.7 96.7 98.4 100.0 101.4 102.6 105.5 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE,—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Total compensation Total compensation 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 1.0 .7 1.0 .6 1.5 1.3 .9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1,6 Wages and salaries 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 1.0 .7 1.0 .6 1.0 1.2 .9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 1.2 Benefits ' Total compensation Wages and salaries 9.9 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.8 4.8 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.8 4.5 4.4 4.8 8.8 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 5.2 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 .9 .7 1.0 3.2 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 2.8 4.2 Benefits ' 12.1 7.2 7.4 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 2.8 3.4 3.0 3.4 5.9 6.4 6.8 6.9 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 7.2 Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Output ' Business sector Hours of all persons 2 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Compensation per hour 3 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Business sector Implicit price deflator 5 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 99.4 101.0 100.2 102.6 105.2 99.0 100.0 99.1 102.0 104.2 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988- 107.3 109.8 111.1 113.0 114.2 105.6 107.7 108.9 111.1 112.1 124.2 128.0 133.4 140.0 144.8 123.9 127.6 133.1 140.3 145.0 IV IV IV IV IV IV 100.9 103.5 105.7 108.3 109.8 112.5 99.5 103.0 104.5 106.2 107.6 110.2 105.0 113.6 120.8 125.9 128.9 136.7 104.2 114.1 120.7 125.5 128.4 136.4 I II Ill IV 113.2 112.6 113.4 113.5 111.0 110.5 111.5 112.0 138.2 139.3 140.7 141.9 138.0 139.5 141.1 142.8 113.8 114.2 114.7 114.8 111.6 111.9 112.6 112.7 143.6 144.4 145.6 145.7 143.6 144.6 145.9 146.0 114.6 112.5 146.7 147.0 1989: I..." II HI IV '.... 1990: I"*.... 107.3 107.9 105.3 107.2 113.3 115.7 116.6 120.1 123.9 126.8 104.1 109.7 114.3 116.2 117.4 121.5 122.1 123.8 124.0 125.0 126.2 126.4 127.0 127.0 128.0 107.8 108.5 105.9 108.0 114.4 117.4 118.4 122.2 126.3 129.4 104.7 110.8 115.5 118.1 119.3 123.7 124.3 126.2 126.6 127.5 128.6 129.2 129.6 129.5 130.7 131.8 144.1 154.9 160.8 167.4 174.8 183.8 191.0 200.2 211.2 158.2 163.2 169.9 178.6 187.4 195.1 196.4 199.1 201.9 204.5 206.9 210.4 212.8 215.7 218.1 131.6 144.0 154.7 160.8 167.2 174.0 182.9 189.8 198.7 209.5 158.0 162.9 169.6 177.5 186.4 193.8 195.0 197.5 200.2 203.0 205.5 208.3 211.0 214.1 216.2 97.0 96.1 97.3 97.8 97.6 96.7 96.0 97.1 97.8 97.5 132.6 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 98.4 101.7 101.9 102.5 103.2 98.0 101.1 101.2 101.8 102.4 162.8 167.5 171.9 177.1 184.9 97.9 97.8 97.8 99.3 102.8 102.5 97.8 97.6 97.6 98.7 102.3 101.8 156.8 157.7 160.7 164.9 170.6 173.5 102.3 102.6 102.8 103.0 101.5 101.8 101.9 102.3 173.5 176.9 178.0 180.2 102.8 103.0 103.5 103.9 102.1 102.0 102.6 103.1 181.9 184.1 185.6 187.9 103.0 102.1 190.2 132.9 144.0 156.1 157.6 160.4 164.9 169.8 174.2 178.8 186.9 158.7 158.2 162.3 167.1 173.2 175.8 175.7 178.7 179.6 181.3 184.1 186.1 187.4 189.9 192.2 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 154.3 159.0 162.2 165.6 170.0 174.9 181.7 163.8 167.6 172.0 176.5 183.3 150.2 155.2 159.8 163.7 167.1 171.3 151.4 156.2 161.0 165.5 169.2 173.4 171.9 174.1 175.8 177.9 173.8 175.6 177.0 179.6 179.4 181.4 182.4 183.7 180.8 182.8 184.0 185.6 186.1 187.7 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988- IV IV IV IV IV IV I n HI IV 1989: -0.3 1.5 -.7 2.4 2.6 -0.4 1.1 9 3.0 2.1 -1.1 2.1 -3.1 4.2 8.4 j2 1.7 -3.3 5.0 8.3 2.0 2.3 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.1 2.0 .9 4.2 3.1 4.2 4.9 3.4 3.9 3.0 4.4 5.4 3.3 2.6 3.3 1.5 1.5 .8 2.8 2.0 1.6 .9 .8 .4 2.5 -.5 10.4 3.5 3.6 4.0 7.1 -1.2 9.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 7.0 2.5 -2.1 3.1 .2 2.8 -1.6 3.3 1.9 4.4 3.3 4.0 3.4 4.8 4.4 4.6 4.8 1.1 1.6 1.5 .4 5 -1.3 1.1 2.4 .5 4.8 2.3 3.5 .3 2.4 2.8 3.7 .3 -1.0 2.7 2.7 I n m IV '.... 1990: I"*.... -0.8 .6 -2.4 1.8 5.7 2.2 .8 3.0 3.2 2.3 -3.0 6.8 2.0 2.1 3.2 4.2 1.9 5.5 .9 3.2 3.7 .6 1.9 .0 3.1 -0.7 .6 -2.4 2.0 6.0 2.6 .9 3.2 3.4 2.4 -3.1 8.1 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.3 2.0 6.1 1.2 2.8 3.7 1.7 1.3 -.2 3.6 1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate o{ wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the aeHemployed. * Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 8 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 16 10.5 9.3 7.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 5.2 3.9 4.8 5.5 4.1 5.7 3.5 6.3 5.1 7.2 2.6 5.7 5.8 5.2 4.8 6.8 4.7 5.6 4.5 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.0 3.9 4.1 5.1 3.7 4.7 r 5.5 4.6 4.4 3.5 5.8 5.1 7.1 2.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 4.9 5.6 5.3 6.0 3.9 1.1 .7 -.4 10.9 1.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 .1 .5 3.2 .1 .5 .6 2.3 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.4 2.8 1.6 .0 2.1 2.2 3.3 3.3 .3 .0 1.6 2.2 3.2 1.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 4.2 4.3 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.7 4.5 2.6 2.8 2.6 5.0 4.7 4.5 g 1.2 .7 .8 -.9 .9 .5 1.5 .1 8.0 2.6 5.0 7.1 2.0 3.8 1.5 5.1 4.1 4.8 1.0 4.3 3.2 5.9 -.6 .8 1.9 1.5 -.5 — .4 2.4 1.9 3.7 5.1 3.2 5.2 6.2 4.5 2.8 5.5 3.3 4.6 2.2 2.9 2.8 4.4 2.7 3.4 4.9 4.9 5.4 4.6 -2.6 -.9 1.2 .6 -.2 .8 3.3 .2 .6 T -3.4 -2.6 -3.9 1 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 9.7 9/1 6.3 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.9 3.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.8 2.4 4.8 2.7 2.6 1.0 1.4 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.7 q NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the work site rather than hours paid. * Data do not reflect GNP revisions of May 24, 1990. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization fell in April. INDEX, 1987=100* (RATIO SCALE] 115 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 110 _^ y 105 ^_r^ 100 115 • \^~ " —-^ Illiilmimiiiilimi Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll DURABLE ^r^~ 1 _ 100 x_ 95 105 115 90 J^ j-^if 95 90 1 ~'~'\ 100 liiiifimi 85 miiiniLLi Illllllllll Illllllllll UTILITIES AND MINING PRODL CTION no UTILITIES , \ c * V..^vJ' ' .-> = 100 L\ MINING ^T x /vV" 95 90 iiiiiiiini Illllllllll Illllllllll 105 - 1986 1987 i. 86 / 1988 iiiiilinn s^ .. \ >T- ~s~\.."~^ ^-^} •7 ^/^\ V-"^ DEFENSE AND SPACE Illllllllll mitliimliimliim CAPACITY UTILIZA1 ION KA 1 b (TOTAL INDUSTRY) lllllllll[i 80 78 Illllllllll Illllllllll 76 /->—-I~^> "V-i Y^ ^/ ^-/r llliiinm iiiiiiiini Illllllllll Illllllllll iniihiiu 1986 1990 ' j~\~"^ 82 V^ 1989 ^*(j^- 84 N v/ .A PERCENT* (Illlllllll 1 ,' y% / 105 ^ I/ GOODS 110 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION__^_^ 110 A— V \ AS yJ CONSUMER ^c' 95 90 INDEX, 1987= 100-(RATIO SCALE) 130 FINAL PRODUCTS 125 BUSINESS 120 EQUIPMENT 115 ) 1987 1988 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period Index, 1987 = 100 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May June July Aue Sept Oct Nov.. Dee 1990: Jan ' Peb r Mar r Apr" 1 Output as percent of capacity- Capacity utilization rate, percent 1 Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100 Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 -1.9 1.9 -4.4 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 78.8 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 75.7 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 83.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 110.0 114.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 95.9 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 82.1 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 80.2 78.8 72.8 74.9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 108.6 108.3 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 4.1 3.3 3.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 109.4 109.2 109.3 108.6 109.1 109.1 108.4 108.9 108.8 111.6 111.4 111.8 110.6 111.3 111.5 109.4 110.1 110.4 106.5 106.4 106.2 106.1 106.2 106.0 107.2 107.3 106.7 101.7 101.1 100.4 100.0 100.7 101.6 100.7 101.2 100.1 106.4 106.3 106.3 106.6 106.2 105.9 107.4 108.3 116.1 85.0 84.6 84.6 83.9 84.0 83.9 83.3 83.5 83.7 84.8 84.5 84.4 83.6 83.8 83.6 82.9 83.0 82.8 107.5 108.5 109.1 108.7 -.2 .8 1.3 .1 108.1 109.5 109.9 109.2 108.6 110.7 111.6 110.4 107.5 108.0 107.7 107.6 101.7 100.3 101.0 101.9 106.8 105.9 109.2 109.9 82.7 83.2 83.5 83.0 82.0 82.9 82.9 82.2 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Materials Products Intermediate products Final products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May .. . July Sept Get Nov Dec 1990: Jan ' Feb '. Mar '. Apr p 1 Durable goods Nondurable goods Total ' Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total Energy 80.0 82.1 80.8 83.0 91.0 94.2 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 85.3 85.8 84.5 88.8 92.8 93.7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 73.5 74.0 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 89.1 89.6 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 74.6 78.2 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 73.5 76.1 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 57.4 58.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 77.0 77.0 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 80.8 78.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 74.2 75.7 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 91.3 92.8 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 106.2 104.3 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 109.5 109.6 109.8 108.7 109.1 109.6 108.5 109.4 110.3 107.0 106.8 106.3 105.2 105.6 106.3 107.3 107.4 108.3 110.0 109.2 108.4 105.6 105.8 107.6 106.8 105.7 106.8 106.2 106.2 105.8 105.1 105.6 106.0 107.4 107.8 108.7 112.6 113.1 114.3 113.2 113.6 113.8 110.1 112.0 112.9 119.6 120.2 121.4 119.9 120.4 120.7 116.0 118.7 119.9 97.1 97.6 98.3 98.7 98.9 98.9 96.6 96.7 96.6 107.2 106.6 106.7 106.7 106.4 106.3 106.9 107.3 107.9 106.3 105.9 106.2 106.5 105.5 105.2 106.3 107.0 107.4 107.8 107.1 107.0 106.8 106.9 107.0 107.3 107.5 108.2 108.0 107.3 107.6 107.3 107.8 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.9 101.9 101.2 101.0 100.1 101.7 101.6 101.3 101.9 102.7 108.5 109.8 110.9 110.0 106.0 107.2 108.2 107.1 99.4 106.2 110.8 106.3 107.8 107.4 107.5 107.4 111.8 113.2 114.6 113.8 118.0 119.9 121.8 120.6 97.5 97.6 97.4 96.8 108.0 108.6 108.8 108.5 107.9 108.3 106.2 105.2 108.0 108.8 110.6 110.8 106.2 107.0 107.0 107.1 101.2 101.4 102.1. 102.9 Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, lot shown separately. [1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures Primary metals Period Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr Mav June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan ' Feb ' Mar '.. Apr" Swim1: Knnrd «( (low 18 s of the federal Rravrvr Svatem, Iron and steel Transportation equipment Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Appare! products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 110.8 117.5 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109.2 126.0 135.1 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 109.3 92.5 91.1 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 60.6 65.9 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 73.3 75.4 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 72.3 68.7 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 67.0 64.4 58.8 74.5 90.6 99.0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 76.9 74.7 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 89.2 91.0 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 104.3 70.3 72.1 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 87.8 89.2 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 84.6 86.5 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 112.7 107.0 108.7 108.8 111.7 1099 108.6 104.8 102.6 115.4 104.8 107.1 107.5 109.8 109.7 109.2 104.1 100.3 106.9 107.9 108.3 107.6 106.5 106.0 105.9 106.9 106.3 121.6 121.8 123.4 121.6 121.8 123.4 119.0 122.9 123.8 110.1 108.8 109.1 108.6 110.6 110.8 110.2 110.1 110.1 109.4 109.6 109.0 106.6 107.8 108.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 108.6 107.8 105.0 99.6 102.7 103.2 99.7 99.0 98.7 102.7 102.3 103.5 102.8 102.4 102.6 103.2 104.8 106.4 105.1 104.9 105.2 104.4 104.7 104.5 103.9 103.7 102.6 108.6 108.4 108.6 106.6 107.8 109.4 109.3 109.6 109.6 107.5 108.4 109.1 109.7 109.6 107.5 109.4 109.8 107.6 106.2 105.5 104.2 104.0 104.8 105.4 106.8 107.4 108.0 105.0 108.2 105.1 104.2 104.6 1 10.5 106.7 106.2 105.1 105.6 105.3 104.5 123.7 123.5 123.5 123.4 110.1 111.0 112.1 111.9 94.7 103.6 108.2 104.2 76.8 94.4 103.9 94.9 106.0 104.3 105.6 104.0 102.4 102.1 99.9 100.1 110.7 111.4 112.3 112.4 109.9 110.0 109.7 110.1 106.8 107.5 107.9 107.5 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Construction contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total New housing units Total' Commercial and industrial 2 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982=100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 252.8 261.3 248.0 282.4 329.6 356.6 387.0 397.7 409.7 414.3 194.3 204.7 194.3 228.7 271.9 292.6 315.3 320.1 328.7 330.3 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 195.4 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 137.8 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 76.5 79.8 81.9 47.2 50.5 50.9 49.3 49.4 51.4 50.2 48.9 50.8 53.0 58.5 56.5 53.7 53.8 57.7 64.1 71.7 77.6 80.9 84.0 97 100 100 124 136 150 159 165 166 169 Annual rates Annual rates 1989- Mar 416.8 411.9 416.5 412.5 410.3 416.3 416.2 411.5 416.5 415.1 May July Sept 1990: Oct.. Nov Dec Jan 425.0 438.6 432.5 Feb". Mar* Apr ".. 1 2 3 338.1 202.1 332.5 330.6 329.0 328.8 200.7 334.2 343.2 197.0 194.2 195.2 194.4 192.8 191.4 190.3 189.5 196.7 199.7 341.7 203.2 331.9 329.6 328.7 327.8 321.4 Includes residential improvements, not shown separately. Includes hotels and motels. F.W. Dodge series. 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 926 84.2 79.3 80.1 81.6 80.9 83.3 83.2 84.1 83.7 78.8 82.8 89.1 83.8 143.2 141.8 138.2 136.5 136.6 135.8 134.0 133.9 134.9 135.6 138.1 142.9 143.2 51.8 52.5 53.5 53.2 52.7 54.2 53.6 53.2 53.7 53.1 54.7 54.4 54.8 158 !81 166 170 170 r !69 r !84 r !79 r !67 r !64 r !57 r !51 156 146 78.7 79.4 85.9 83.5 81.5 84.4 86.6 82.9 88.7 93.8 90.8 95.3 90.7 r 870 864 909 916 915 805 1,008 892 812 805 883 798 828 745 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1 37fi 1 1989 1 unit 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1 003.3 2-4 units 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 5 or more units 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 Units authorized 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 ' 1,338.4 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period ' 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 366 367 362 1,546 1,444 1,355 1,375 1,437 1,366 1,317 1,486 1,302 610 651 646 741 719 638 636 687 633 376 379 376 369 364 364 363 363 362 1,443 1,358 1,373 613 606 555 546 365 365 363 361 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 Seasonally adjusted annual rates May Nov Mar' 1,341 1,308 1,414 1,424 1,325 1,263 1,423 1,347 1,273 1,028 977 971 1,029 987 969 1,023 1,010 931 62 43 55 58 54 56 60 47 53 251 288 388 337 284 238 340 290 289 ' 1,355 ' 1,352 ' 1,323 1,281 ' 1,334 1,568 1,488 1,321 1,245 1,099 1,154 1,010 934 53 42 37 48 416 292 274 263 1,739 1,297 1,232 1,108 1 Seasonally adjusted. 'Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data r l,310 ' 1,362 ' 1,364 ' 1,416 7.4 7.6 7.1 7.5 are for 16,000 places. Seasonally adjusted housing permits revised beginning January 1988; unadjusted data revised for " ' ' '„ „ , , f, Source: Department 01 Commerce, bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In March, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.6 percent and inventories fell $0.2 billion. In April, according to advance data, retail sales fell 0.6 percent, following a decline of 0.2 percent in March. BILL ONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) BILUO NS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE] 240 800 - 200 r—""Cl \ 1 700 ^ _^-^ i ^ ^—-^ MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES '— ^s^ 220 \ RETAIL INVENTORIES 180 - 600 160 -. f .-•v— ' 140 J r — "" " ' 500 x,-'*-< -A 1 - AAANUFACTlJRING /"' A./" /"" 120 *-** — ** '"'\ 1 RETAIL St 1ES <\ND TRADE SALES 400 100 imilinii - RATIC>• 1.80 300 Iliullllll Illlllllill Illlllllill Illlllllill INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.40 '"- i ^~V\ Vr^i>- ~^~\- ^^ 1.20 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1.00 i \ ( 11111 11 1 1 1 11111 1 1 11 1987 1986 1988 t M 111 1 1 1 11 1989 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufacturing and trade ' Inventories 3 1 1 1 1 111 1 ' U 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Wholesale Inventories 3 Sales 2 Period Sales 2 x! MANUFACTURING AND TRADE - 200 RETAIL V.. 1.60 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Total 1 Durable goods stores Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Manufacturing and trade ' 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,220 90,678 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 235,514 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 117,169 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 118,345 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.56 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.50 88,635 89,757 90,428 90,680 91,111 91,128 91,727 91,617 92,572 93,121 224,559 226,366 229,775 231,059 232,127 234,579 236,131 234,942 236,234 235,514 114,628 115,669 117,142 117,826 118,248 119,925 121,048 118,450 118,667 117,169 109,931 110,697 112,633 113,233 113,879 114,654 115,083 116,492 117,567 118,345 1.50 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.53 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 93,660 94,867 r 94,879 94,846 233,701 232,000 232,751 114,194 113,552 114,110 119,507 118,448 118,641 1.51 1.48 1.47 Nondurable goods stores Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 .... 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: M a r r . Apr May... June July... Aug Sept... Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan .. Feb r Mar" Apr" 1 2 3 r 348,754 369,136 408,578 419,283 425,371 451,933 490,309 521,934 574,516 591,265 646,072 657,753 657,482 704,515 754,267 795,415 96,290^ 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124,254 135,176 145,683 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,819 512,810 523,289 523,688 521,132 516,216 531,599 527,778 525,160 527,948 526,391 767,304 772,761 779,436 782,288 789,043 791,798 792,119 794,757 798,104 795,415 143,548 145,515 146,333 145,512 144,856 146,800 146,981 147,921 148,782 149,584 181,615 182,937 184,606 184,737 186,113 185,730 185,098 188,103 189,057 188,819 528,549 535,996 539,362 797,202 794,016 793,796 151,968 151,620 152,783 189,375 149,877 188,847 149,904 189,312 * 149,547 148,640 See page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and lota\ for month. End of period. 20 r 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,500 144,471 28,013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 53,794 141,214 143,732 144,284 144,384 145,438 146,649 147,235 145,244 146,340 145,804 52,579 ' 53,975 53,856 53,704 54,327 55,521 55,508 53,627 53,768 52,683 r 56,217 55,037 54,668 53,794 4 r Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.60 1.59 1.57 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.62 1.61 1.62 r 1.56 1.55 1.56 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In March, manufacturers' shipments and orders rose, while inventories fell. In April, according to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders fell. BILUC)NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILUC3NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 200 1 360 TOTAL 160 -..-INVENTORIES 440 [s*~ _^-^-^r — _ \J .^--—-»-^""^" •-""" - '] TOTAL 280 DURABLE GCXlDS 120 — '" 200 ,:z \ •— . DURABLE C OODS _- 160 "\ DURABLE GC 80 60 Illllllllll iiiiiiiini Illllllllll Illllllllll BULK3NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 — NEWO 'DEPS 200 p~- _/v^ | 160 •+~f •»— fc*- •* RA TIO* 2.20 TOTAL fNVENTORV-SHIPMENrS RATIO ^ *-""*v- '-"'^ -x- —..'-•• - 2.00 -• 1.80 ^ — — *" ^ •* - Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll \ DURA IE GOODS 120 "\ _ ^ 1 1.60 ^^ ^DURABLE C 80 \ 1 NON 3URABLE GOODS 80 60 ,^-~~—i— \ ^\ -• 120 A ~vxv—\ 1.40 60 iimlimi Illllllllll Illllllllll miiiitm Illllllllll 1987 1986 1988 1989 1990 1 ?n Illllllllll 1986 1 ! I 1 t 1 11 1tl 1987 1 1 1 1 1 1| 1 1 1| 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Hit il it 11 1 1990 1989 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' shipments * Manufacturers' inventories 2 Manufacturers' new orders * Durable goods Period Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, nondeiense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Mar Apr May June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb r Mar" Apr p 1 2 163,350 171,242 187,869 190,016 188,360 199,170 217,632 231,780 79,352 84,956 96,623 99,019 99,989 105,291 115,684 122,668 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,996 88,371 93,879 101,948 109,112 311,827 312,647 334,767 327,496 316,182 331,132 354,163 371,082 200,825 200,406 218,771 214,066 208,313 216,598 233,666 246,222 111,002 112,241 115,996 113,430 107,869 114,534 120,497 124,860 162,273 174,122 189,791 190,918 188,663 201,966 221,627 235,614 78,338 87,600 98,581 99,843 100,166 107,770 119,634 126,557 21,661 22,098 26,243 27,067 26,551 29,707 35,028 38,821 83,935 86,522 91,209 91,075 88,497 94,197 101,993 109,057 314,270 349,419 372,586 383,181 387,065 421,243 468,860 514,499 228,048 234,042 233,071 231,236 225,922 238,150 233,562 231,995 232,826 231,003 120,432 123,331 122,962 121,72Q 117,114 128,347 124,393 121,840 123,209 121,998 107,616 110,711 110,109 109,516 108,808 109,803 109,169 110,155 109,617 109,005 361,130 363,458 365,055 366,492 370,803 371,489 370,890 371,712 372,813 371,082 239,330 240,486 241,689 242,295 245,813 246,378 245,621 246,427 247,610 246,222 121,800 122,972 123,366 124,197 124,990 125,111 125,269 125,285 125,203 124,860 125,377 129,372 123,524 125,137 122,031 126,766 125,227 124,262 130,175 131,719 38,137 40,389 37,290 39,146 41,445 37,130 35,341 35,975 38,901 44,389 107,634 110,535 110,229 110,020 108,416 110,027 109,127 109,805 109,535 109,033 481,366 487,231 487,913 491,834 496,359 495,002 495,794 497,866 504,750 514,499 116,716 123,224 124,889 122,068 109,988 111,248 112,143 374,126 373,169 371,733 248,273 247,095 245,405 125,853 126,074 126,328 233,011 239,907 233,753 235,157 230,447 236,793 234,354 234,067 239,710 240,752 227,572 231,759 240,537 38,347 36,094 40,897 36,929 109,663 110,977 111,954 515,367 512,654 516,159 226,704 234,472 237,032 r Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales End of period. 3 r 117,909 120,782 128,583 123,267 r 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.55 1.57 1.58 1.64 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.65 1.59 1.57 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In April, the producer price index for all finished goods fell 0.3 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.6 percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods fell 0.2 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2 percent. INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 100 100 90 90 1982 1983 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1989- Apr July Sept Oct Nov Dec r 1990' Jan Feb Mar 1 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 113.1 113.9 114.0 113.6 113.3 114.1 114.7 114.8 115.5 117.6 117.6 117.4 117.1 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 118.0 118.6 117.9 118.1 118.5 118.1 119.7 120.7 121.6 124.0 125.1 124.4 123.6 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 111.4 112.4 112.7 112.1 111.5 112.8 113.1 112.9 113.5 115.5 115.2 115.1 115.0 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 104.4 105.5 105.6 104.3 102.7 104.5 105.1 104.4 105.3 109.5 108.5 107.8 107.6 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 117.4 118.1 118.8 118.9 119.3 120.1 120.0 120.4 120.7 120.9 121.2 121.7 121.9 Total Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 r Nondurable Capital equipment Consumer goods 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 109.0 110.0 110.2 109.2 108.2 109.7 110.1 109.7 110.4 113.4 112.7 112.3 112.1 Durable 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 116.4 117.2 117.7 117.4 117.8 118.7 118.6 118.7 119.2 118.9 118.9 119.4 119.2 Total finished consumer goods 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 111.9 112.9 112.8 112.1 111.6 112.5 113.3 113.3 114.1 116.9 116.7 116.3 115.9 Crude materials Total Foods and feeds J Other Total Foodstuffs and feedstuffs Other 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 112.5 112.6 112.3 112.1 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.2 112.2 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.9 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 115.4 113.8 111.6 113.2 112.8 112.7 112.5 113.4 113.1 113.3 112.3 112.8 114.2 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 112.3 112.5 112.4 112.0 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.1 112.1 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.8 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.7 96.0 103.1 104.5 104.5 103.3 103.5 101.1 102.3 102.6 103.2 104.7 107.3 107.5 106.0 102.7 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.2 112.1 110.8 109.6 108.9 109.7 109.0 109.0 111.4 113.9 114.8 115.9 116.3 115.4 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 95.1 95.9 94.7 95.5 91.3 93.6 94.1 93.5 94.4 97.6 97.5 94.9 90.3 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In April, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted. The index was 4.7 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 120 120 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 1982 iimhmi mnlmii imihim 1984 1983 1985 1986 1987 1988 60 1989 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All items 1 Transportation Housing Shelter Period Rfl. imp.3.... 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr .. May June.. July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dee 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 Not seasonally adjusted (NSA) Seasonally adjusted 100.0 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 Food Total ' Total Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) 7.9 19.8 16.3 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 42.0 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 27.9 81.0 90.5 96.9 99 1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 103 0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128 1 133.6 138.9 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 123.3 123.8 124.1 124.5 124.5 124.8 125.4 125.8 126.3 124.2 124.9 125.2 125.6 125.9 126.3 126.8 127.4 128.0 121.8 122.2 122.6 123.3 123.5 123.7 124.2 124.7 125.2 131.1 131.7 132.3 133.2 133.5 133.7 134 4 135.0 135.6 137.1 137 4 138.0 139.6 139.1 138.7 139 8 140.5 141 0 135.6 136.3 136.9 137.6 138.2 138.7 139.4 140.0 140.6 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 127.7 128.3 128.9 129.1 130.5 131.1 131.5 131.2 126.1 126.3 126.9 127.0 136.3 136.6 137.6 137.9 142.3 143.4 143.8 143.9 141.1 141.0 142.4 142.8 Includes items no! shown separately. Household fuels—pus (piped), electricity, fuel o;! included through IHH'J. Relative importance, December 19MSI. 2 Renters' costs (Dec 1982 = 100) Maintenance and repairs (NSA) Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Total > New cars Motor fuel 4.2 88.4 93.7 97.4 Medical care Ener- gy 2 All items less food, shelter, and energy 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 7.4 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105^0 109.0 112.7 117.0 121.9 127.3 48.4 103.0 104.4 107.8 95.3 97.8 100 2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 3.2 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 119.3 1195 107.3 107.5 107.3 107.8 107.8 108.0 108 1 108.7 109.4 119.3 119 5 118.9 118.3 116.9 118.6 1194 119.4 119 0 115.1 115.8 115.7 115.3 114.2 113.9 1 14.5 114.6 1 15.0 119.5 119.5 119.3 118.8 118.5 118.1 118.8 119.8 120.8 93.4 95.3 94.6 92.9 88.4 87.1 88.4 86.8 86.3 146.7 147.6 148.7 149.6 150.8 151.9 153.0 154.2 155.1 96.2 97.0 96.4 95.9 93.8 93.2 94.1 93.8 94.1 126.6 127.1 127.4 127.7 127.8 128.3 128.8 129.3 129.7 120.4 120.8 121.2 121.2 111.6 110.9 111.0 110.5 1 19.0 122.9 124.9 125.0 117.4 117.7 117.6 117.7 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.9 93.4 93.6 92,2 92.5 156.1 157.3 158.5 159.8 98.9 98.2 97.4 97.0 130.4 131.5 132.2 132.6 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99 9 103.7 106.5 107.9 1118 114.7 1180 117.3 1174 118.3 118.4 118.5 118.6 1186 7.5 75.4 86.4 94.9 100 2 104.8 106.5 104.1 6.1 90.9 17.1 83.1 93.2 6.2 74.9 82.9 92.5 NOTK.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate n rental equivalence measur and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1!>R7 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] I'eriod Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rale Change from (i months earlier, annual rate Change Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods rear earlier, total finished goods Total finished goods Capita] equipment Excluding foods Foods Totnl finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 4.0 4.9 19HO 1981 198'' 1!>83 1984 1 985 1986 1987 1988 1989 r 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 2 5.7 52 — 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 14.1 8.6 4.2 *) .8 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 5.3 Change, month to month 1989- Apr Mav July Sept Oct Nov Dec '. 1990- Jan ' Feb Mar ' 0.6 .7 .1 — .4 -.3 .7 .5 .1 .6 -0.5 .5 g 2 .3 -.3 1.4 .8 1.6 .9 .2 -.9 -.9 1.4 .4 -.4 .6 -0.1 .6 .6 .1 .3 .7 -.1 .3 .2 5.8 1.8 -2.1 .4 3.9 5.4 5.0 3.5 2.4 -2.3 .3 -.3 .7 5.5 7.6 12.4 11.8 12.1 11.3 .7 -6.4 -1.8 3.3 5.7 2.6 2.1 2.8 4.5 5.2 4.1 4.4 3.8 3.7 2.0 7.1 7.8 7.4 4.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 1.6 2.6 5.7 5.8 4.2 1.9 1.0 -.8 2.9 3.6 6.4 10.1 11.0 10.6 6.1 2.4 4.5 2.0 -.5 .4 3.1 4.0 4.5 3.6 3.4 4.5 4.5 3.9 3.2 5.6 6.2 6.1 5.1 4.3 4.6 5.0 4.6 4.9 1.8 0 2 3 2.0 .9 -.6 -.6 2.7 -.6 -.4 -.2 .2 2 .4 2 10.5 10.1 6.7 -1.7 15.2 15.4 9.5 -1.3 12.5 11.4 7.1 -4.5 3.0 2.7 3.4 3.3 7.2 7.7 5.9 4.2 10.2 11.4 11.0 6.6 7.8 8.5 4.8 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.7 3.2 5.8 5.1 4.4 3.5 7.0 7.3 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Housing Addendum: All items, percent change (annual rate) Transportation All Shelter All I'eriod items Fuel 1 Food and Total ' ! Total Rent- Homeowners' costs ers' costs other utilities Appare! and upkeep New cars Total 1 Motor fuel Medical care Ener- gy2 items less food, shelter, and energy From previ- From 3 6 quar- months earlier months earlier ter 3 From From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 18.8 7.4 9.4 6.8 1.5 -6.5 3.4 -1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.1 3.4 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 2.1 -2.1 2.3 6.8 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 4.7 4.1 .6 .8 .8 11.1 2.0 — .7 -1.8 -4.8 -1.5 1.5 -1.8 — .6 0.5 .6 .7 .6 .8 .7 .7 .8 .6 5.0 .8 -.6 -.5 — 2.2 -.6 1.0 -.3 .3 0.3 .4 .2 .2 .1 .4 .4 .4 .3 .7 -.2 _ 2 -.2 8.2 .2 -1.5 .3 .6 .8 .8 .8 5.1 — .7 -.8 -.4 .5 .8 .5 .3 12.5 8.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 10.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 13.7 10.2 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 15.0 9.9 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 1989: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 0.7 .4 2 .3 0 2 .5 .3 .4 0.6 .6 .2 .3 .2 .3 .4 .5 .5 0.2 .3 .3 .6 .2 2 .4 .4 .4 0.1 .5 .5 .7 2 .1 .5 .4 .4 -0.4 2 .4 1.2 -.4 -.3 .8 .5 .4 0.3 .5 .4 .5 .4 .4 .5 .4 .4 0.4 .2 -.2 .5 0 .2 .1 .6 .6 0.4 .2 -.5 -.5 -1.2 1.5 .7 0 -.3 2.2 .6 -.1 -.3 -1.0 -.3 .5 .1 .3 0 0 -.2 -.4 -.3 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr 1.1 .5 .5 2.0 .5 .3 2 .7 2 .5 .1 .5 .2 .7 .2 .9 .8 .3 .1 .4 -.1 1.0 .3 2.0 -.6 .1 -.5 0 3.3 1.6 .1 2.1 .3 -.1 .1 . . 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 18.0 11.9 1.3 -.5 2 13.5 10.3 6.2 3.2 43 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 Change, month to month 1 Includes items not show i separate v. Household fuels — gas (piped), elce rieitv, fuel oil, etc. — and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., also included through 11182. 2 24 O 3 6.0 2.9 3.9 8.2 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter, . . Source: Department of Labor, nureau o Lahor Statistics. 6.4 6.4 5.3 4.0 2.3 2.3 2.9 4.2 4.9 5.6 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.6 5.1 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 7.5 8.2 8.5 45 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.0 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.7 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in April were 0.7 percent above their March level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 1982 1990 JL/'RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1977=100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices paid by farmers Prices received by farmers Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May June July Aug Sspt Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 All farm products Livestock and products Crops Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Production items Ratio 2 139 133 135 142 128 123 127 138 148 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 126 135 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 150 159 161 164 162 159 162 169 177 151 158 159 161 156 150 151 160 167 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 157 165 92 84 84 87 79 77 78 82 84 148 149 148 147 145 144 145 147 149 142 142 138 137 128 126 128 128 127 154 156 157 157 161 160 162 165 170 177 (3) (3) 178 (3) (3) 178 (3) (3) 167 <3> (3) 168 (3) (3) 166 (3) (3) 166 (3) (3) 166 (3) (3) 165 (3) (3) 84 84 84 83 81 81 81 83 84 154 152 150 151 136 133 128 132 172 169 171 169 181 (3) (3) 183 170 (3) (3) 171 168 (3) (3) 169 85 84 83 83 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of prices ree by fanners to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rules. Sec also footnote 3. n Beginning March 198<>, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and fur each mojith the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. 2 All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates 1 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base us required by law. The have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Growth in M2 slowed in April, while growth in M3 accelerated. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 i 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 M3 3,200 3,200 2,80' 2,800 "\ M2 2,400 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 600 Illllllllll 1983 lIUlllllll 1986 1988 • AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Ml M2 M3 Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight EPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances 408.9 436.5 474.5 521.2 552.1 620.1 724.7 750.4 787.5 794.8 1,629.9 1,793.5 1,953.1 2,186.5 2,371.6 2,570.6 2,814.2 2,913.2 3,072.4 3,221.0 1,987.5 2,234.2 2,441.9 2,693.4 2,982.8 3,202.1 3,494.5 3,678.7 3,918.4 4,041.7 2,324.2 2,596.8 2,851.6 3,154.7 3,524.1 3,829.5 4,135.5 4,338.7 4,676.0 4,868.4 '3,873.2 '4,260.3 '4,651.3 '5,176.7 '5,924.0 '6,732.8 '7,588.3 '8,307.5 '9,062.0 9,762.9 6.8 6.7 8.7 9.8 5.9 12.3 16.9 3.5 4.9 .9 8.9 10.0 8.9 12.0 8.5 8.4 9.5 3.5 5.5 4.8 10.2 12.4 9.3 10.3 10.7 7.4 9.1 5.3 6.5 3.1 9.5 10.0 9.2 11.3 14.4 '13.7 12.7 9.5 9.1 7.7 Sept Oct Nov Dec ' 782.1 776.2 773.7 779.1 780.4 782.9 788.1 789.4 794.8 3,089.4 3,085.3 3,101.6 3,127.0 3,146.7 3,163.3 3,181.4 3,200.6 3,221.0 3,965.1 3,965.6 3,984.9 4,007.2 4,012.0 4,012.0 4,016.2 4,028.7 4,041.7 4,757.0 4,756.6 4,778.8 4,803.8 4,817.3 4,822.7 4,831.2 4,846.5 4,868.4 '9,300.1 '9,360.0 '9,413.6 '9,463.5 '9,528.6 '9,585.7 '9,652.6 '9,723.8 9,762.9 -.8 -2.5 -3.5 -1.7 -1.6 -.7 1.5 3.4 5.5 2.7 1.4 1.9 3.5 4.5 4.9 6.0 7.5 7.7 4.2 3.2 3.4 4.1 3.8 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.9 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.6 7.8 7.4 1990- Jan ' Feb ' Mar' Apr ' 794.8 801.4 804.8 807.4 3,229.3 3,252.4 3,266.2 3,272.5 4,046.1 4,061.8 4,064.2 4,069.4 4,870.7 4,879.5 4,895.0 9,808.5 9,871.0 9,932.5 4.0 5.4 5.6 4.9 6.5 6.7 6.5 5.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.6 7.3 7.2 7.2 Period 19801981198219831984: 19851986198719881989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec ' 1989- Apr May July 1 Consists of outstanding credit naark^t debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfiniint'iai sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from ti months earli- 26 L M3 plus other liquid assets Debt Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) 1 Percent change from year or 6 months earlier z Ml er at a simple annual rate. NOTE.—See p. 21 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. M2 M3 Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Currency Period Demand deposits Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars Money market mutual fund balances l General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Savings deposits Small denomination time deposits 2 Large denomination time deposits 2 NSA 1980- Dec 1981: Dec 1982- Dec 1983- Dec 1984: Dec 1985- Dec 1986: Dec 1987- Dec 1988: Dec 1989- Dec 1989: Apr Mav , ' Julv Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan ' Feb ' Mar ' Apr * . .. Term repurchase agreements (RPs) Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA Savings bonds Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 115.3 122.6 132.5 146.2 156.0 167.8 180.6 196.7 211.8 221.9 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.5 243.9 266.8 302.1 287.0 287.0 279.7 28.0 78.2 103.6 131.6 146.9 179.6 235.5 259.7 281.3 285.7 28.8 36.6 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 83.2 83.3 76.8 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.8 168.2 177.2 208.7 222.0 240.9 r 312.4 15.2 38.0 51.1 42.8 62.1 63.9 83.8 89.0 87.1 102.3 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.0 571.0 523.8 500.3 483.7 400.1 343.8 356.7 305.4 285.1 301.2 370.1 414.9 427.8 409.0 728.5 823.2 851.0 784.1 886.8 884.0 856.2 917.8 1,031.0 r l,142.3 260.4 303.0 327.2 327.6 417.4 437.0 439.8 488.8 541.1 558.3 33.5 35.3 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.5 106.1 121.7 r 94.9 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 106.0 81.1 72.3 67.8 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.5 91.8 100.6 109.3 117.5 133.5 149.4 183.6 211.9 260.9 298.3 280.8 254.2 272.0 T 320.0 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 42.1 37.2 44.8 40.6 41.2 98.8 105.3 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.1 260.4 335.6 347.9 215.7 216.6 217.2 217.8 218.6 219.3 220.0 220.4 221.9 281.3 279.6 276.3 279.6 278.5 278.1 280.0 278.8 279.7 277.9 272.8 273.0 274.5 276.0 278.4 280.8 282.8 285.7 78.5 77.8 79.6 80.9 78.3 74.8 75.3 74.9 76.8 257.8 261.2 268.3 277.7 287.8 295.9 302.7 309.0 r 312.4 88.3 92.1 96.3 99.0 101.4 101.6 101.1 101.1 102.3 473.2 463.1 460.9 463.9 468.2 471.9 475.3 480.8 483.7 412.0 405.4 403.4 403.3 404.0 405.5 406.1 407.9 409.0 1,084.1 1,103.0 1,114.0 1,122.4 1,130.0 1,132.6 1,135.9 1,138.5 ' 1,142.3 568.3 573.1 574.9 574.7 570.5 565.6 562.7 561.0 558.3 126.3 127.5 128.4 123.8 116.9 112.9 108.3 107.2 '94.9 100.3 97.2 93.4 91.8 89.6 85.3 80.0 79.2 81.1 112.2 280.0 112.8 288.1 113.6 289.6 114.3 290.9 115.0 293.3 115.7 303.7 116.2 ' 308.8 116.8 309.3 117.5 ' 320.0 41.5 41.2 41.2 41.9 42.6 41.0 40.0 40.5 41.2 358.2 348.8 349.4 349.5 354.3 350.3 350.0 351.3 347.9 224.6 277.3 226.6 280.2 228.4 279.3 230.1 277.8 285.4 287.0 289.5 291.8 80.7 81.3 80.7 78.9 318.1 324.5 325.0 324.8 103.2 103.7 105.4 106.8 484.9 489.4 494.9 498.9 410.2 413.6 414.6 415.8 1,142.5 1,141.2 1,143.8 1,144.0 554.1 549.4 543.5 537.7 91.5 94.9 93.1 92.8 75.9 71.8 69.3 69.2 322.8 316.6 332.0 40.7 38.3 37.0 343.3 344.7 342.7 1 Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Small denomination and large denomination deposits 'are those i $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. in amounts of less than 117.7 118.2 119.1 NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures l; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Reserves of depository institutions Period Total Nonborrowed Nonborrowed plus extended credit Required Monetary base Total Seasonal Extended credit Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 33,401 35,315 37,388 39,184 42,235 48,373 58,023 58,593 60,593 60,033 31,711 34,679 36,754 38,410 39,049 47,055 57,197 57,815 58,877 59,767 31,714 34,827 36,940 38,412 41,653 47,554 57,499 58,298 60,121 59,787 32,887 34,996 36,888 38,623 41,380 47,336 56,653 57,546 59,545 59,110 152,525 160,936 172,947 188,275 201,673 219,350 241,427 258,055 275,238 284,946 1,690 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 3 148 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 1989: Apr Mav June Julv Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 59,374 58,831 58,597 58,867 58,906 59,289 59,640 59,646 60,033 57,084 57,111 57,107 58,173 58,231 58,596 59,085 59,297 59,767 58,791 58,308 58,024 58,279 58,272 58,618 59,106 59,318 59,787 58,575 57,796 57,692 57,901 58,021 58,351 58,620 58,701 59,110 278,198 278,526 279,020 279,957 280,756 281,806 282,786 283,222 284,946 2,289 1,720 1,490 694 675 693 555 349 265 213 345 431 497 490 452 330 134 84 1,707 1,197 917 106 41 22 21 21 20 1990: 59,896 60,215 60,297 60,285 59,456 58,768 58,173 58,657 59,482 59,302 60,123 60,060 58,880 59,227 59,436 59,381 287,509 289,714 291,820 293,551 440 1,448 2,124 1,628 47 51 78 122 26 535 1,950 1,403 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: Jan Feb Mar ' Apr' 1 Data arc prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.3 percent in April. Commercial and industrial loans rose 0.8 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 ' \ LOANS AND LEASES 1.200 1,200 800 800 400 400 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 200 200 160 160 "OTHER SECURITIES III 120 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 III • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 120 1990 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted J ] All commercial banks Loans and leases Period Total securities 2 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dee Dec Dec Dec Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr".... 1,307.3 1,400.5 1,552.3 1,722.5 1,910.1 2,094.2 2,239.5 2,422.2 2,582.6 2,469.2 2,482.9 2,496.0 2,512.4 2,527.4 2,538.9 2,563.3 2,579.0 2,582.6 2,585.8 2,603.8 2,623.8 2,635.0 U.S. Government securities 179.3 201.7 259.2 280.2 270.6 309.3 334.4 361.4 '394.4 370.5 372.5 373.7 374.0 375.5 378.1 389.9 394.8 r 394.4 402.4 4S2.2 418.9 422.7 Other securities 160.5 164.8 169.2 141.1 179.3 194.2 193.8 192.2 180.3 188.3 187.8 187.3 186.3 183.8 183.1 180.9 179.3 180.3 180.2 180.1 180.2 180.8 Total 2 967.5 1,034.0 1,123.9 r l,321.3 1,460.3 1,590.6 1,711.2 1,868.6 2,007.9 1,910.5 1,922.6 1,935.0 1,952.1 1,968.2 1,977.7 1,992.5 2,004.9 2,007.9 2,003.2 2,011.6 2,024.7 2,031.6 Commercial and industrial 355.4 392.5 414.2 473.3 500.5 537.5 567.9 607.0 642.9 621.7 626.6 627.1 631.8 636.1 637.7 641.9 645.9 642.9 639.0 637.9 642.8 648.2 N nn on- Ctntd oiaie Real estate Individual Security financial institutions Agricultural political subdivisions 284.1 299.9 330.9 376.4 426.0 494.4 587.4 671.9 756.4 698.9 705.6 713.0 720.1 727.7 735.8 742.6 749.2 756.4 759.6 768.1 774.4 779.4 182.5 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.7 21.4 25.3 28.0 34.3 43.0 40.6 35.1 40.4 39.6 39.9 38.4 40.6 40.1 39.0 39.7 41.2 41.5 39.6 39.2 39.7 37.7 36.9 29.9 31.2 30.4 31.3 32.4 35.0 31.9 30.1 32.7 29.6 29.3 30.5 31.3 31.5 31.8 32.7 33.3 32.7 32.3 33.0 34.1 34.2 33.1 36.2 39.2 40.1 0.0 .0 315.3 328.4 355.0 375.9 361.6 363.5 363.8 365.8 367.5 370.3 372.6 374.6 375.9 377.9 378.9 379.2 377.8 36.1 31.5 29.4 29.8 30.3 29.7 29.9 30.0 30.0 29.9 29.6 29.6 29.9 30.3 30.9 31.0 31.2 31.3 3.3 46.1 56.8 58.5 52.6 45.6 40,1 43.3 43.1 42.8 42.5 42.2 41.7 41.3 40.8 40.1 38.6 38.9 38.4 38.2 For- For- eign banks 18.1 14.6 13.4 11.2 9.8 9.9 7.9 8.1 8.6 7.3 8.0 7.9 7.9 8.1 7.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 7.8 8.4 9.0 z Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Lease eign official institutions financ- 7.2 5.9 9.4 7.9 12.7 13.3 6.0 5.9 5.3 5.0 3.7 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.7 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.2 ing Other receivables 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.2 '31.4 30.0 30.2 30.2 30.7 31.0 31.3 31.7 31.6 31.4 31.6 31.6 31.8 31.6 23.1 26.9 31.8 31.0 35.9 39.6 40.7 46.4 46.5 43.5 43.2 44.8 47.6 51.0 48.0 46.4 46.4 46.5 42.9 41.5 43.6 41.8 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Internal Total Credit market funds L Total 1979 1980 1981 1982 Securities and mortgages Total Loans and short-term paper Capital expenditures 3 Total Other 2 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 323.7 323.3 377.4 303.0 419.2 495.0 457.3 510.7 486.3 498.4 488.0 197.6 200.1 239.5 242.3 285.7 336.3 352.3 344.9 352.6 372.5 367.1 126.1 123.1 137.9 60.7 133.5 158.7 105.0 165.8 133.6 125.9 120.9 60.3 70.7 91.8 50.3 78.3 95.1 50.9 123.0 69.0 67.0 65.3 9.0 30.5 25.4 17 44.6 91 -3.0 58.9 38.1 23 11 6 51.3 40.2 66.4 52.0 33.7 104.2 53.9 64.0 30.9 69.3 76.9 65.8 52.5 46.0 10.4 55.2 63.6 54.1 42.9 64.6 58.9 55.7 368.3 341.6 382.9 302.7 392.0 473.0 422.9 448.2 453.9 473.4 463.0 238.6 243.2 285.9 255.7 269.9 367.9 339.9 328.8 348.3 380.4 385.6 129.8 98.4 97.0 47.0 122.1 105.1 83.0 119.3 105.6 92.9 77.4 44 6 -18.3 56 .3 27.2 22.0 34.4 62.6 32.4 25.0 25.0 1988- TTT IV 523.5 482.3 372.3 381.6 151.2 100.7 77.0 14.4 33.7 -80.9 43.3 95.3 74.2 86.2 500.8 447.7 390.1 391.8 110.8 55.9 22.7 34.6 1989: I 466.1 533.5 460.4 492.1 361.9 364.8 376.1 365.7 104.2 168.7 84.3 126.4 12.8 132.7 39.9 75.7 -63.3 19.5 -38.9 36.4 76.1 113.2 78.8 39.3 91.4 36.0 44.5 50.8 442.8 510.6 429.2 469.3 376.0 388.8 388.7 388.8 66.8 121.8 40.5 80.5 23.3 22.9 31.1 22.8 n m IV 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abroad. 2 Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S. 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding 1 Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period Automobile Revolving Mobile home 298,154 311,259 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,701 716,624 111,991 119,008 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,556 290,770 55,111 61,070 66,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,057 197,110 18,736 20,058 22,064 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,201 22,343 112,317 111,124 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,887 206,401 1,671 13,105 14,546 43,161 73,636 75,650 54,765 37,451 54,233 (3) 7,017 6,937 17,615 30,004 36,623 37,241 18,423 18,705 (3) 1,754 5,959 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 20,979 (3) Sept r Oct r Nov r Dec r 688,105 691,432 695,627 697,262 700,000 703,518 705,703 710,133 713,903 716,624 289,891 290,013 290,954 290,583 289,882 289,961 288,839 290,210 290,972 290,770 179,239 181,098 182,847 184,239 186,284 189,185 190,378 191,734 194,679 197,110 23,403 23,407 23,505 23,309 23,240 22,734 22,661 22,621 22,197 22,343 195,572 196,914 198,320 199,130 200,594 201,638 203,825 205,568 206,055 206,401 5,595 3,327 4,195 1,635 2,739 3,518 2,185 4,430 3,769 2,722 1,965 122 941 -371 701 79 1 122 1,371 761 202 3,631 1,859 1,749 1,392 2,045 2,900 1,194 1,356 2,944 2,431 1 550 3 98 196 -69 506 73 -40 424 146 1990' Jan r Feb r Mar p 718,824 718,886 721,506 291,191 289,921 291,738 199,270 200,056 202,078 22,751 22,784 22,801 205,611 206,126 204,889 2,199 62 2,620 421 -1,270 1,818 2,160 786 2,022 408 32 17 1980' 198119821983' 1984' 1985' 1986' 19871988' Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Decr Dec r Dec ' 1989- Dec Ta 1989- Mar r 2 Apr r May r July r 1 For year-end data, change from month. 2 Data newly available in January and subsequent months. Total year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding result in breaks in many series between December 1988 Other Total Automobile 484 Revolving Mobile home 529 1,322 2,546 958 2,299 989 246 1 176 -719 (3) Other -127 -1,193 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 15,267 (3) 1,550 1,342 1,406 810 1,463 1,044 2,187 1,743 487 346 789 514 -1,237 3 Because of breaks in series, net change not available. NOTE.—Series revised beginning January 1980. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates were little changed in May. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM J-Uf 4 INCH OF ECONOMIC A [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986.... 1987 1988 1989 1989' May June July Aus Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar May p Week ended: 1990: May 5 12 19 26 June 2 3-month bills (new issues) l Constant maturities 3-year 2 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard3 & Poor's) Prime commercial paper, 6 months * Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 5 Prime rate charged 5by banks New-home mortgage yields (FHFB) 6 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 8.40 8.22 7.92 7.91 7.72 7.63 7.65 7.64 8.98 8.37 7.83 8.13 8.26 8.02 7.80 7.77 8.86 8.28 8.02 8.11 8.19 8.01 7.87 7.84 7.25 6.97 6.97 7.08 7.27 7.22 7.13 7.01 9.57 9.10 8.93 8.96 9.01 8.92 8.89 8.86 9.29 8.80 8.35 8.32 8.50 8.24 8.00 7.93 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 11.50-11.50 11.50-11.00 11.00-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.18 10.42 10.48 10.22 10.24 10.11 10.09 10.07 7.64 7.76 7.87 7.78 7.78 8.13 8.39 8.63 8.78 8.70 8.21 8.47 8.59 8.79 8.77 7.13 7.21 7.29 7.36 8.99 9.22 9.37 9.46 9.47 7.96 8.04 8.23 8.29 8.23 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00- 10.50-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00- 9.91 9.88 10.03 10.17 7.91 7.79 7.67 7.74 7.80 9.01 8.73 8.60 8.58 9.02 8.81 8.68 8.66 7.55 7.41 7.26 7.23 9.62 9.54 9.39 9.39 8.45 8.25 8.16 8.15 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00- 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00- 1 Bunk-discount basis. 2 Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 \\Yckly data arc Wednesday figures, 4 Series excludes public utility issues for .January 17, 19H4 through October J 1 , 1984 due to Jack of appropriate issues. 30 Corporate Aaa bonds4 (Moody's) 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 6 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Sen-ice, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices rose in May. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOSCALE) INDEX , DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 v—-*| ^^r-S COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX (NYSE) 160 120 60 40 ^j 1 ^^ \ /~^s-~'*~' \. 140 f~^^~ 100 s / \ / / y-~ 140 80 240 220 200 180 160 120 100 ^W 80 60 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 11 ,..,,!..,,, 1 1 1 11111 ! t 1 1 1 1 t 1 1 t 1 1 11 ...till. 1,1 1985 1986 1984 1983 1982 1 1 1 1 1 1 { 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 11 1 11 1 1 1 1988 1987 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1989 40 t 1 1 I| 1 1I tM 1990 PERC ENT PERC:ENT 20 20 15 \ X. V^~ ' 1 1 1 1983 1982 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE M D i | 1984 1 ^" ^~^~~^ ^ 1 10 "~~^ _^— 5 0 15 EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS (S&P1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1986 1985 I f 1987 5 i i i 1988 STANDARD 8, POOR'S CORPORATION ! 1 1 1989 New York Stock Exchange indexes (Elee. 31, 1965 — 5'O) Composite Industrial Transportation i i 0 1990 COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS Common stock prices 1 Period i Utility Common stock yields (percent) 5 2 Finance Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143=10) 4 Dividendprice ratio 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 1989: May... June ... July... Sept... Oct Nov... Dec 175.30 180.76 185.15 192.94 193.02 192.49 188.50 192.67 211.51 216.75 221.74 231.32 230.86 229.40 224.38 230.12 168.89 173.47 179.32 197.52 202.02 190.36 174.26 177.25 84.07 87.90 90.40 92.91 93.44 94.67 94.95 99.73 146.59 154.08 157.78 164.86 165.51 166.55 160.89 155.63 2,439.55 2,494.90 2,554.03 2,691.11 2,693.41 2,692.01 2,642.49 2,728.47 313.93 323.73 331.93 346.61 347.33 347.40 340.22 348.57 3.52 3.44 3.38 3.28 3.29 3.29 3.39 3.33 1990: Jan.... Feb. Mar ... Apr... May". 187.96 182.55 186.26 185.61 191.08 225.79 220.60 226.14 226.86 234.49 173.67 166.69 175.08 173.54 173.42 95.69 92.15 93.00 91.92 93.24 150.11 142.68 143.14 138.57 142.70 2,679.24 2,614.18 2,700.13 2,708.26 2,789.87 339.97 330.45 338.47 338.18 349.73 3.41 3.54 3.49 3.51 Week ended: 1990: Apr 28 May 5 12 19 26 181.83 183.28 188.29 193.43 195.18 222.72 224.81 230.77 236.97 239.94 168.73 169.24 172.57 175.50 174.64 89.34 89.65 92.46 94.98 94.48 135.58 136.44 140.26 144.66 146.08 2,661.85 2,684.37 2,745.63 2,823.06 2,845.93 331.09 334.30 344.24 354.43 357.74 3.59 3.58 3.51 3.40 3.37 1 2 3 4 5 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the stocks (more tr l,.r>0<» listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. Includes 5(K> stocks. Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-phi < based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings- Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 7.42 7.93 6.79 6.48 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 7 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $108.3 billion, compared with a deficit of $87.9 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 i— RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^ 1,200 1,100 1,100 OUTLAYS!*" 1,000 1,000 900 900 RECEIPTS.!/ 800 800 700 700 600 600 0 — SURPLUS OR DEFICIT ( \f 0 ^ 100 ^ ^_ ^•v^ 200 A 1/1982 ___ i i 1983 i 1984 • ~ 100 ' ^^ ~i 1985 i 1986 -200 i 1987 1 1988 1 1989 1 1990 l\ 199lN FISCAL YEARS V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] On-budget Total Fiscal year or period Receipts 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Off-budget Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Gross Federal debt (end of period) Surplus or deficit (-) Total Held by the public 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 -73.7 -14.7 -53.6 -59.2 -40.2 73.8 -78.9 -127.9 -207.8 -185.3 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 -70.5 -13.3 -49.7 -54.9 -38.2 -72.7 -73.9 -120.0 -208.0 -185.6 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 98.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -3.2 -1.4 -3.9 -4.3 -2.0 -1.1 -5.0 -7.9 .2 .3 629.0 643.6 706.4 776.6 828.9 908.5 994.3 1,136.8 1,371.2 1,564.1 477.4 495.5 549.1 607.1 639.8 709.3 784.8 919.2 1,131.0 1,300.0 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 -212.3 221.2 -149.7 -155.1 - 152.0 -123.8 -63.1 547.9 568.9 640.7 667.5 727.0 788.0 855.7 769.5 806.8 810.0 861.4 931.7 971.5 997.4 -221.6 -237.9 -169.3 -193.9 -204.7 -183.4 141.7 186.2 200.2 213.4 241.5 263.7 285.4 314.5 176.8 183.5 193.8 202.7 210.9 225.8 236.0 9.4 16.7 19.6 38.8 52.8 59.7 78.6 1,817.0 2,120.1 2,345.6 2,600.8 2,866.2 3,113.3 3,319.2 1,499.4 1,736.2 1,888.1 2,050.2 2,189.3 2,298.7 2,357.3 569.9 597.9 657.7 706.3 -87.9 -108.3 415.1 435.3 538.6 578.4 -123.5 143.1 154.8 162.6 119.1 127.8 35.7 34.8 2,764.2 3,039.3 2,139.3 2,299.4 Cumulative total, first 7 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January 32 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 7 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $28.0 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $48.6 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 —RECEIPTS!/- 500 400 . INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES - 400 300 300 SOCIAL INSURANCE "TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS ' 200 CORPORATION 'INCOME TAXES" 200 OTHER RECEIPTS 100 100 0 0 900 — OUTLAYS^/ - 900 800 800 NONDEFENSE 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 NATIONAL DEFENSE 300 300 200 200 1982 1983 1984 1986 1985 1987 1988 1989 1991 1990 FISCAL YEARS _!/ 'INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget outlays On-budget and off-budget receipts Fiscal year Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 7 months: Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 Social insurance taxes and contributions Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.6 112.0 129.7 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 385.4 57.1 52.4 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 489.4 528.5 National defense Other Total 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 Department of Defense, military International affairs Health 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 Income security Social security Net interest Other 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133,5 125,4 122.3 118.6 188.6 198.8 232.5 248.5 264.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 151.7 169.1 175.6 173.0 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 158.4 161.3 158.1 132.5 141.2 97.6 104.2 93.2 104.2 Medicare 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 209.9 227.4 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 421.4 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.9 82.0 86.6 90.6 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 296.3 303.3 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 286.8 292.1 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 14.6 18.2 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 57.8 63.7 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 96.6 98.6 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 146.6 153.7 207.1 215.6 46.6 50.2 657.7 706.3 173.6 172.3 168.6 166.9 5.3 8.9 27.8 32.3 46.4 54.4 81.3 88.8 209.0 239.4 207.4 219.3 1 569.9 597.9 259.1 279.7 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal fear 1991, January 1990, except as noted. Total Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget, 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1990, according to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $28.5 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $44.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 -200 -200 1982 1990 1986 1983 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Calendar year: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982- IV 1983- IV. 1984- IV 1985- IV 1986- IV 1987: IV 1988- IH IV. ... 1989- I n m .... IV 1990- I ' Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total Purchases of goods and services Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts 776.8 815.2 897.3 958.6 1,046.4 340.4 357.0 401.2 408.0 457.3 74.6 81.1 97.7 108.3 115.4 55.9 50.9 53.4 55.8 57.6 305.8 326.1 345.0 386.4 416.1 962.3 1,028.0 1,060.4 1,104.0 1,175.6 341.5 368.6 375.5 378.6 400.5 374.0 394.6 411.2 432.7 461.6 97.8 107.4 103.1 108.6 115.8 128.3 134.6 138.8 149.0 168.6 20.7 22.8 31.9 35.1 29.1 -0.1 .0 .1 — .1 .0 -185.5 -212.8 -163.1 -145.4 -129.2 788.7 827.9 911.4 972.4 1,047.2 633.1 675.5 742.7 805.3 853.8 937.4 977.3 994.6 1,036.2 1,053.2 1,043.2 1,056.1 1,084.6 346.4 361.4 405.8 413.0 460.4 303.0 291.9 326.0 355.3 376.2 420.0 411.4 420.3 446.8 465.1 459.1 470.8 476.7 76.3 83.8 101.0 111.4 105.5 46.4 70.2 69.7 78.8 88.9 103.1 114.0 115.8 117.0 109.7 99.9 95.4 101.7 55.1 50.5 53.8 56.7 58.7 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.5 50.8 54.5 57.4 57.8 58.0 58.2 59.4 59.3 60.1 310.9 332.1 350.8 391.3 422.5 236.1 259.8 290.7 317.7 337.9 359.7 394.5 400.6 414.3 420.2 424.8 430.6 446.1 985.6 1,034.8 1,072.8 1,118.3 1,195.7 835.7 844.7 930.2 1,017.5 1,042.8 1,101.7 1,099.8 1,162.1 1,183.7 1,198.6 1,187.9 1,212.6 1,256.9 355.2 366.5 381.6 381.3 403.2 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 367.5 406.4 399.0 406.0 402.7 405.1 413.4 380.1 399.9 414.3 438.2 472.7 347.4 352.5 362.1 385.8 405.8 421.9 438.0 447.6 460.4 466.9 475.6 488.1 502.9 99.7 106.8 102.6 111.4 119.4 84.5 86.0 96.3 103.5 103.0 102.2 111.0 112.2 118.7 118.4 118.3 122.1 129.3 130.1 135.6 141.7 151.4 171.2 87.2 101.0 125.3 132.7 136.0 147.3 153.9 157.0 167.0 172.0 171.2 174.8 180.0 20.3 26.0 32.6 36.0 29.1 23.4 29.1 21.0 19.0 29.2 41.9 29.4 38.9 38.5 35.3 20.1 22.6 31.2 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 2 -196.9 -206.9 -161.4 -145.8 - 148.5 -202.6 -169.2 -187.5 -212.2 -189.0 -164.4 -122.5 -167.6 — 147.5 -145.4 -144.7 -156.5 -172.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Consumer prices (1982-84= 100) Industrial production (1987=100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989" 1989: Apr May July Sent Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr* 1 United States > Germany 76.1 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 105.7 108.1 72.2 81.8 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 86.8 92.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 127.6 128.9 129.6 130.4 130.5 130.7 131.2 131.6 131.5 108.1 108.7 108.6 108.4 108.3 109.2 110.0 108.9 109.0 128.0 128.5 128.7 129.0 129.2 129.5 130.1 130.3 130.5 109.1 109.3 109.4 109.3 109.2 109.4 109.7 109.9 110.2 149.0 149.6 150.3 150.7 150.9 151.6 153.1 153.7 154.4 134.3 135.1 135.6 135.7 136.1 137.0 138.1 139.2 139.6 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 132.7 133.4 133.9 133.9 109.2 109.5 109.9 130.8 131.1 131.6 110.9 111.3 111.4 155.3 156.4 157.0 140.4 141.2 142.6 147.0 France Germany 81.6 81.7 82.6 82.9 85.5 93.4 96.8 96.6 100.0 109.3 115.7 98.0 97.0 96.0 96.0 97.0 97.0 98.0 100.0 104.5 109.0 95.0 93.2 90.3 90.9 93.5 97.7 99.6 100.0 103.6 108.7 96.2 94.8 91.8 88.8 91.8 92.9 96.2 100.0 105.9 109.0 87.5 84.7 86.3 89.5 89.7 94.5 96.5 100.0 103.6 104.5 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 109.3 ' 104.5 108.8 110.0 ' 110.3 110.1 110.0 110.0 111.4 107.7 105.8 108.6 109.7 108.2 108.1 109.7 110.5 115.5 104.7 102.6 103.3 104.2 105.8 105.2 105.8 105.5 104.8 104.3 103.5 83.3 75.2 80.0 89.7 94.7 94.7 100.0 106.2 107.4 108.6 108.3 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 107.8 107.9 107.5 107.1 107.5 107.8 106.4 ' 107.0 " 107.5 ' 108.5 ' 109.1 108 7 ' 105.8 105.5 r !07.7 114.1 110.0 114.8 108.5 117.1 109.7 114.2 110.4 117.6 110.4 115.8 108.1 115.8 ' 109.3 116.8 ' 110.5 116.9 '108.6 r r r 117.2 116.2 l!0.1 108.1 l!2.5 ' 107.6 ' 111.0 111.5 110.2 110.8 Data relate to all urban consumers. United Kingdom France .Japan Italy Italy Japan Canada 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 1980 1981 1982 United Kingdom Canada Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] General merchandise imports (customs value) 3 Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) ' Period 5 5 1989 1989: Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan " Feb r . Mar 8.5 8.1 8.7 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 .2 .4 .2 .2 41.7 40.2 42.6 41.3 40.9 42.2 40.1 43.7 42.5 40.2 -8.9 -7.6 -10.4 -8.5 -9.6 — 10.2 -8.2 -10.4 -10.1 -7.7 — 10.6 -9.2 -12.0 -10.1 -11.2 -12.0 -9.8 -12.3 -11.9 -9.3 6.1 6.5 7.9 9.0 8.1 8.7 .3 .2 .3 43.1 39.6 43.6 -9.3 -6.1 -8.4 -11.2 -7.8 -10.3 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.0 3.6 4.0 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.1 40.0 38.6 41.0 39.7 39.2 40.4 38.5 41.9 40.7 38.5 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 10.9 11.0 11.8 11.3 11.2 11.5 10.4 11.8 11.1 10.4 9.6 9.1 9.7 9.8 9.5 9.8 9.6 10.1 10.1 9.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 41.3 37.9 41.7 2.3 2.2 2.5 12.9 11.0 11.5 9.6 8.9 9.8 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 123.7 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 29.3 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 17.7 23.1 32.8 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 35.9 34.6 43.4 50.7 31.1 31.0 30.6 31.2 29.7 30.2 30.4 31.5 30.6 30.8 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.9 7.7 7.5 10.5 10.5 10.0 10.5 10.7 10.5 11.2 11.0 9.7 10.9 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 31.9 31.8 33.3 3.1 3.1 3.3 8.8 8.0 8.5 12.3 12.8 12.8 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 1 2 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant aid shipments. Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1989. Total arrivals of imported goods other than mtransit shipments. Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. 6 Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical month basis. 3 4 Beginning 1990, undocumented exports to Canada and reexports are distributed to the appro- 7.8 7.3 7.5 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.6 7.5 7.2 6.9 473.0 322.4 364.0 61.7 56.7 61.7 58.5 57.3 66.7 85.1 92.6 254.1 1988... . -38.4 -64.2 -122.4 -133.6 -155.1 -170.3 -137.1 -128.9 33.3 40.8 53.5 66.8 78.2 85.2 87.7 85.6 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 22.3 24.3 32.3 35.0 218.8 -27.5 -52.4 -106.7 -117.7 -138.3 -152.1 -118.5 -109.0 35.4 40.9 59.8 65.1 71.8 84.5 101.4 114.1 Other 2 " 227.2 254.9 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 459.5 492.9 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 111.0 118.3 132.2 Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive 205.6 224.0 6.5 6.3 7.8 9.4 10.4 12.1 12.8 13.5 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.0 Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines 216.4 39.7 44.9 60.0 68.3 79.4 88.7 95.9 102.5 materi- Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Capital goods except automotive 1982 Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs value) Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Industrial supplies and materials 1983 1984 1985 1986. 1987 Other General merchandise imports (c.i.f. value) Capital goods except automotive Foods feeds, and beverages Total z Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category Principal end-use commodity category Total 4 4 244.0 258.0 330.7 336.5 365.4 406.2 441.0 Foods feeds, and beverages Industrial sup- plies and als Exports (f.a.s) less imports (c.i.f.) priate end-use category. For earlier periods they are included in the "other" export category. Therefore, the categories beginning 1990 are not directly comparable with those for earlier periods. The 1989 figures for undocumented exports ($16 billion) and for reexports ($14.3 billion) will be distributed to the appropriate end-use categories later this year. NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the first quarter of 1990, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $26.4 billion from $28.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. (Series revised.) BILLI ONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 10 5 0 10 •A 0 Vi\y A |A\ s \\ ^ -10 5 •-.x r\\\\\ \\\ V- 1 -10 V ^NJ A 111 I I I 1982 1983 -20 \ ,'V V \ -45 / ^~X"' /I N M ERCHANDISE 1RADE ' BALANCE 1 1 1 1984 / ',/ -35 -40 -15 f BALANCE ON GO DOS AND SERVICES \ -30 -5 1 1 1 1 1 v ' / ! 1 1 i 1986 1985 y -^y, •A 1987 -25 jxf,' u' N J^ ' -30 CURRENT ACCOUNT 1 i 1 i 1988 1 1 1 1989 1 1 -45 1990 SEASONALLY ADJUST ED s OURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF E CONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (+), debits (—)] Merchandise 1 2 Investment income 3 Period Exports 1980 1981 . 1982 1983 . 1984 1985 .. 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1988: I n m TV 1989- I n m 224,269 .. 237,085 211,198 .. 201,820 219,900 .. 215,935 223,367 250,266 ' 320,337 ' 360,465 r 76,497 r 79,392 r 80,511 ' 83,937 r 88,267 r 89,'349 IV.... r91,738 96,044 1990: I" 1 Imports Net balance Receipts Payments 4 -249,749 25480 72,506 -42,119 -265,063 -27,978 86,412 52 329 -247,642 36 444 83,548 -54,884 -268,900 -67,080 77,251 52376 — 332,422 -112,522 85,908 -67,419 -338,083 -122,148 88,832 62 901 -368,425 - 145,058 88,615 -66,968 -409,766 - 159,500 104,703 -82,420 -447,323 ' - 126,986 107,775 - 105,548 r -475,329 ~ 114,864 124,723 -123,694 - 109,988 -33,491 26,750 -23,955 -110,494 -31,102 23,148 -25,613 -111,290 -30,779 24,720 -27,310 -115,551 -31,614 33,159 -28,670 -116,360 -28,093 26,762 29 246 -119,333 -28,222 26,661 -32,765 -119,152 -29,803 33,679 -30,819 — 120,484 -28,746 37,622 -30,865 -122,415 -26,371 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. 2 3 36 Net Net ' military transactions 4 Net travel and transportation receipts 30,387 34,083 28,664 24,875 18,489 25,931 21,647 22,283 2,227 1,029 2,795 -2,465 -2,590 4,489 -2,484 -6,104 2,860 6,757 -2,577 -1,523 -474 -343 -2,099 -3,557 4 576 -2357 4 606 -5,662 -964 -1,033 - 1,006 -1,604 -1,498 -1,518 -1,175 — 1,471 -997 144 -992 -4,227 -7,885 -9,832 8 031 -7,324 -2,633 792 -1,854 -719 -155 94 -286 102 517 459 4 Balance on goods and services Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers » Balance on current account 7,794 9,126 15,810 11,085 11,436 2,191 12,264 -34,510 -91,718 12,299 -97,256 12,351 18,547 — 117,470 17,909 -129,488 20,335 -111,892 25,487 -91,602 4,787 -28,682 5,042 -30,586 -28,964 5,126 5,381 -23,659 -26,904 5,719 5,879 -29,170 -19,424 6,932 6,966 -16,095 -7,593 -7,647 -9,188 -9,776 -12,468 -15,426 -15,778 -14,212 - 14,656 -14,276 -3,364 -2,899 -3,376 -5,018 -3,487 -2,829 -3,485 -4,476 1,533 8,163 -6,997 -44,286 -104,186 -112,682 133 249 - 143,700 -126,548 -105,878 — 32,046 -33,485 — 32,340 -28,677 -30,391 -31,999 -22,909 -20,571 Other services, net 3 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. NOTE.—Merchandise trade data revised beginning 1978. Revised merchandise trade data prior to 1987 (and other data shown here and on p. 37 for 1978-89) will be available in mid-June 1990. See p. 37 for continuation of table. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $31.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989, compared with $20.7 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $41.0 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with $25.2 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S., NET 20 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET -20 -40 -60 -60 "SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, net [increase/capit Period Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p -86,118 — 110,951 -121,153 49 777 -22,304 -32,628 -99,665 76 218 -82,110 -125,707 -8,155 -5,175 -4,965 -1,196 3 131 -3,858 312 9,149 3566 -25,293 4,540 -16,119 37 886 -32,648 1,503 39 -7,380 2,272 -30,890 806 -44,722 50 903 -4,000 - 12,095 -5,996 -3,202 1988: I n m IV 1989: U.S. official reserve assets 4 5 I n m IV... Other U.S. Government assets Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase /capital inflow (+)] 4 ] U.S. private assets Total 15,497 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 1 083 35,594 45,193 38,882 7,369 Other foreign assets 42,615 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 172,847 180,418 189,303 Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy U.S. official reserve assets, net5 (unadjusted, end of period) -72,802 -5,162 100679 -5,097 -6,131 -110,058 -5,006 43 576 -13,685 -5,489 -25,950 -2,821 -2,024 -97,954 86363 997 -81,543 2,999 1,037 -101,451 58,112 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,605 218,039 219,299 196,671 -1,490 885 1,961 3,413 4,528 -15,273 32467 -38,332 27,027 65,334 46,179 80,759 24,631 5,895 -2,234 10,589 2,396 59,438 48,413 70,170 479 -15,729 24,047 -19,434 3,843 3 714 -4,556 4,431 43,186 41,028 47,788 47,802 1,049 -309 502 -206 -27,939 13,210 -39,228 -47,495 60,007 -1,789 70,716 67,738 7,478 -5,201 12,097 7 005 52,529 3,412 58,619 74,742 1,275 32,982 -3,085 3,737 3,700 -2,825 5 370 4,490 49,854 60,502 68,418 74,609 8 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRa), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. Foreign official assets Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDEs) 1,152 1,093 25,322 18,663 34,404 9,194 23,869 15,298 11,308 1,878 -10,641 34,914 26,756 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign). Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1990 0—30-578