Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1988
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100th Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators MAY 1988 (Includes data available as of May 27, 1988} Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1988 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman SENATE WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JOHN MELCHER (Montana) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) ALFONSE M. D'AMATO (New York) PETE WILSON (California) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) J. ALEX McMILLAN (North Carolina) JUDITH DAVISON, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS BERYL W. SPRINKEL, Chairman THOMAS G. MOORE, Member MICHAEL L. MUSSA, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—SlsT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.50 a single copy ($3.13 foreign), or by subscription at $27.00 per year ($33.75 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 11 TOTAL OUTPUT, GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1988, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 5.4 percent (annual rate) or $61.3 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 3.9 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 1.7 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 2,400 2,000 2,000 1980 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Bi lions of current dollars quarterly [ata at seas onally adju sted annual rates] Period Gross national product Gross private domestic investment 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 -58.9 -79.2 -105.5 -119.6 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 369.9 376.2 427.8 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 Exports Total National defense Nondefense State and 547.4 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 818.6 869.7 922.8 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 353.9 366.2 379.4 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.3 277.8 295.2 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 94.6 88.4 84.2 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 464.7 503.5 543.4 2,740.3 3,028.6 3,190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,000.3 4,219.3 4,442.5 321.9 390.5 453.6 671.8 676.1 764.5 293.2 276.1 326.0 205.4 221.5 244.1 87.7 54.6 81.9 378.7 400.0 438.5 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 364.2 368.7 448.9 472.2 832.8 857.0 361.9 378.0 265.1 268.2 96.8 109.8 470.9 479.0 4,044.4 4,101.9 -93.8 -100.8 -110.5 -116.9 373.5 371.3 376.6 383.3 467.3 472.1 487.1 500.2 846.9 867.2 878.5 886.3 356.7 368.4 371.2 368.6 266.6 278.2 287.6 279.0 90.1 90.2 83.6 89.6 490.2 498.8 507.3 517.7 4,136.1 4,184.0 4,262.4 4,294.6 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.4 2,967.8 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 641.6 671.0 717.5 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 409.6 579.8 661.8 14.1 -25.8 -67.9 335.9 364.7 385.7 1985: 4,042.0 4,104.4 2,665.4 2,700.1 628.6 650.8 -84.7 -103.5 4,174.4 683.4 679.4 660.8 660.2 1986: I Imports Total 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,010.3 4,235.0 4,488.5 III IV Final Federal Net exports 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 2,799.8 Govern ment purch ases of gooc s and services Exports l nd imports of goods i nd services Personal consumption expenditures 442.4 449.2 481.7 IV 4,288.1 2,737.9 2,765.8 2,837.1 2,858.6 1987: I II m rv 4,377.7 4,445.1 4,524.0 4,607.4 2,893.8 2,943.7 3,011.3 3,022.6 699.9 702.6 707.4 760.2 -112.2 -118.4 -123.7 -124.3 397.3 416.5 439.2 458.1 509.5 534.8 562.9 582.4 896.2 917.1 929.0 948.8 366.9 379.6 382.1 388.9 287.5 294.5 299.0 299.8 79.4 85.1 83.0 89.2 529.3 537.6 546.9 559.9 4,326.0 4,404.8 4,501.1 4,537.9 1988: I " 4,668.7 3,071.9 756.7 - 109.4 482.7 592.1 949.5 379.7 301.5 78.2 569.8 4,616.3 n m 4,211.6 4,265.9 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Gross privat e dome stic investinent Personal consumption expenditures Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Export s and imp arts of gooc s and senices Change in business inventories 6.9 Govern!ment pure! ases of goocIs and senices Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National Non- Final sales State and local 13.8 42.9 57.0 49.4 26.3 19.9 -84.0 108.2 -145.8 135.5 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 365.3 377.4 425.8 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 473.6 523.2 561.3 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 726.9 754.5 771.7 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 324.2 332.5 336.0 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 236.7 250.7 264.2 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 87.5 81.8 71.7 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 402.7 422.1 435.8 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,600.1 3,699.5 3,778.1 115.8 159.9 169.6 -59.3 27.0 41.7 11.7 -46.2 -94.8 336.0 355.5 376.6 324.3 401.6 471.4 660.1 642.2 693.2 289.5 266.0 300.5 201.4 211.6 225.3 88.2 54.4 75.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 454.1 465.2 174.9 179.7 -5.7 -1.6 -114.9 -129.3 360.5 366.5 475.4 495.8 738.6 753.7 332.5 345.3 243.3 241.1 89.3 104.2 406.1 408.4 3,628.7 3,652.5 2,409.7 2,434.3 2,477.5 2,480.5 453.2 441.0 437.7 443.2 185.9 196.5 201.1 202.2 35.3 28.1 — 14.4 -123.0 -146.8 -161.6 -151.8 371.5 370.2 379.6 388.3 494,4 517.0 541.2 540.1 737.6 751.6 757.2 771.8 322.1 330.6 332.6 344.6 240.0 250.1 259.8 252.7 82.0 80.4 72.8 91.9 415.5 421.0 424.6 427.1 3,663.4 3,676.7 3,711.9 3,745.8 n m IV 3,772.2 3,795.3 3,835.9 3,880.8 2,475.9 2,487.5 2,520.7 2,504.6 426.0 437.9 463.8 465.6 198.2 196.8 193.5 197.0 47.6 39.0 24.6 60.5 -135.2 -132.7 -138.4 -135.8 397.8 414.5 437.1 453.5 533.0 547.2 575.6 589.3 759.6 766.7 771.7 788.9 327.3 332.6 336.3 347.6 257.4 263.5 268.3 267.7 69.9 69.1 67.9 80.0 432.3 434.1 435.4 441.3 3,724.5 3,756.3 3,811.4 3,820.3 1988: I ' 3,918.0 2,530.9 488.1 192.2 55.4 -119.1 475.3 594.3 770.5 327.5 264.8 62.7 443.0 3,862.6 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,607.5 3,713.3 3,821.0 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,352.6 2,450.5 2,497.2 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 454.1 443.8 448.3 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.6 196.4 196.4 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 352.3 390.4 444.4 1985: HI 3,623.0 3,650.9 2,376.1 2,383.2 1986: I 3,698.8 3,704.7 3,718.0 3,731.5 rv n m rv 1987: I 23.9 -24.5 6.4 62.3 7.4 6.1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Personal c onsumption expen ditures Period Gross national product Gross private domestic investment Exports an i imports of goods an 1 services Gove Timent pure lases of goc ds and services Federal Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Services dential fixed Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 111.2 114.1 117.5 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.8 114.3 118.8 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.5 104.9 106.6 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.1 111.9 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 117.1 122.5 127.6 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.5 98.5 98.9 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.2 111.1 116.1 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.3 99.7 100.5 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 94.8 92.1 97.5 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.2 110.2 112.9 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.5 110.8 111.7 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.1 108.1 117.3 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 115.4 119.3 124.7 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 101.7 105.4 109.0 101.8 105.7 109.3 100.7 103.1 104.1 101.0 103.1 105.8 102.7 108.3 113.5 100.7 98.3 97.9 99.1 103.1 107.2 100.0 102.6 102.4 99.3 97.2 96.2 101.3 103.8 108.5 102.0 104.7 108.3 99.5 100.3 108.9 102.2 106.3 111.7 1985: m IV 111.6 112.4 112.2 113.3 104.6 104.3 107.6 108.6 118.0 119.4 97.3 97.1 108.0 109.5 101.0 100.6 94.4 95.2 108.8 109.5 109.0 111.2 108.4 105.4 116.0 117.3 1986: I 112.9 113.7 114.7 114.9 113.6 113.6 114.5 115.2 104.5 104.6 105.4 105.2 107.8 106.2 106.8 107.5 120.7 122.0 123.3 124.3 97.2 98.4 99.0 99.2 110.0 111.0 111.3 112.2 100.6 100.3 99.2 98.7 94.5 91.3 90.0 92.6 110.7 111.4 111.6 107.0 111.1 111.2 110.7 110.4 109.8 112.2 115.0 97.5 118.0 118.5 119.5 121.2 1987: I n m rv 116.1 117.1 117.9 118.7 116.9 118.3 119.5 120.7 105.4 106.1 107.4 107.4 109.8 111.7 112.6 113.6 125.5 126.9 128.3 129.8 99.3 99.2 98.4 98.7 113.7 115.7 117.8 117.4 99.9 100.5 100.5 101.0 95.6 97.7 97.8 98.8 112.1 114.1 113.6 111.9 111.7 111.8 111.4 112.0 113.6 123.1 122.2 111.5 122.4 123.8 125.6 126.9 1988: I r. 119.2 121.4 107.5 113.7 131.1 97.8 118.0 101.6 99.6 115.9 113.9 124.8 128.6 n m rv Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gro ss national prcduct Period Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 8.9 0.2 1.9 -2.5 3.6 6.8 3.0 2.9 2.9 .6 7.3 1.7 4.1 3.1 5.4 .6 1.4 1.5 4.4 2.5 4.3 4.8 3.9 11.7 3.7 7.6 10.8 6.3 5.6 6.0 4.2 12.4 4.7 7.1 6.3 7.0 3.6 5.3 2.1 8.6 6.3 7.3 7.6 5.4 IV IV IV Ht IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m IV 1988: I r Implicit price deflator Personal consumption es penditures Chain price index 9.0 9.7 6.4 9.4 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.5 2.4 3.2 4.1 3.9 3.1 2.8 3.4 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.0 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.1 3.3 Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 9.3 9.3 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.6 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.2 2.9 3.4 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.3 4.5 4.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 9.0 3.9 3.7 3.2 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 1.8 2.9 3.6 .7 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.7 1.7 NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter. Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.6 10.5 -0.2 7.1 9.0 8.8 8.2 6.5 6.0 10.3 9.7 7.2 10.1 5.3 5.7 4.1 10.7 3.1 5.0 7.1 9.5 1.5 6.7 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.2 1.9 5.3 5.5 4.3 6.9 1.2 4.5 4.1 7.3 .5 -.7 1.9 5.4 -2.5 4.3 Implicit price deflator 10.7 9.2 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.4 2.2 3.9 4.4 4.3 3.0 3.3 4.0 1.1 .0 3.2 2.5 6.0 4.9 4.1 4.1 2.3 Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.9 10.5 9.2 5.7 4.2 3.9 3.6 2.5 4.1 4.8 4.1 3.1 3.2 4.2 1.5 .3 3.6 3.0 5.5 5.2 4.0 4.0 2.6 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 3.7 2.6 4.2 4.8 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.2 1.7 .3 3.6 3.0 5.7 5.2 4.0 4.2 2.7 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cos ; and profit per unit o f output (dc liars) ' Gross ( omestic prodiict of nonfin ancial corporate business (billions c f dollars) Total Period Current dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV HI IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m rv 1988: 1 I ». 1982 dollars 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,282.8 2,376.1 2,493,8 1,779.4 2,012.5 2,201.8 2,312.4 2,321.8 2,353.3 2,358.6 2,387.7 2,404.7 2,434.8 2,465.4 2,521.1 2,554.0 2,595.3 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,127.1 2,182.2 2,239.0 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 2,148.7 2,153.5 2,176.7 2,171.9 2,180.8 2,199.3 2,207.6 2,219.9 2,254.4 2,274.1 2,314.4 and profit 2 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1.054 1.073 1.089 1.114 1.011 1.037 1.064 1.076 1.078 1.081 1.086 1.095 1.093 1.103 1.111 1.118 1.123 1.121 Indirect business (axes 3 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .121 .123 .131 .120 .118 .118 .120 .119 .121 .122 .123 .123 .124 .123 .123 .122 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .104 .106 .096 .098 .102 .102 .103 .104 .101 .106 .104 .105 .107 .107 .107 .107 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol- lars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. Corp >rate profits with inventory valuation a nd capital consuniption adjus tments Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment 3 4 Compenemployees 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .702 .715 .728 .685 .680 .694 .699 .709 .709 .714 .717 .720 .724 .728 .727 .735 .735 Net interest Total 0.031 .037 .043 .037 .039 .043 .045 .047 .042 .037 .042 .043 .044 .045 .046 .046 .045 .045 .046 .048 .049 .049 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .107 .103 .109 .057 .103 .107 .114 .103 .104 .104 .104 .102 .106 .106 .114 .110 .109 Profits tax liability 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .036 .048 .023 .036 .032 .034 .033 .033 .034 .037 .040 .045 .047 .051 .049 .046 Profits after tax 4 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .074 .068 .061 .034 .066 .075 .080 .070 .071 .069 .068 .062 .061 .059 .063 .060 .063 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 17.096 17.194 17.318 17.867 18.288 18.674 18.969 19.017 17.382 18.029 18.359 18.849 18.787 18.941 18.930 18.974 19.073 18.933 18.964 19.119 19.070 9.939 10.861 11.699 12.124 12.570 13.103 13.566 13.850 11.914 12.261 12.746 13.173 13.324 13.437 13.525 13.608 13.724 13.708 13.798 13.897 14.009 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employ- Proprietor s' income with in rentory valuation imd capital consulnption adjust ments Farm n m rv 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,229.9 3,422.0 3,636.0 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3,254.4 3,304.4 3,364.2 3,414.1 3,438.7 3,471.0 3,548.3 3,593.3 3,659.0 3,743.5 I" 3,792.8 IV IV IV HI rv 1986: I n m rv 1987: I 1988: 1 2,764.5 Nonfarm 24.6 12.4 30.5 29.7 37.2 48.4 28.5 19.3 28.1 22.9 31.7 28.0 48.1 36.3 36.6 51.3 47.3 40.6 54.3 45.9 13.6 13.2 150.9 178.4 204.0 227.6 252.6 279.0 159.8 188.6 209.7 229.5 236.3 242.8 250.1 256.2 261.2 269.7 275.8 282.1 288.4 292.6 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,370.8 2,504.9 2,647.6 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,386.3 2,430.5 2,464.8 2,487.6 2,515.1 2,552.0 2,589.9 2,623.4 2,663.5 2,713.5 r Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment r Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Corpora ,e profits wit h inventory valuation an< . capital consulnption adjust ments Profits wi th inventory valuation adjustme at and witho ut capital consumption adjus tment Profits before tax 10.1 14.0 17.4 17.2 18.4 20.0 18.9 17.3 20.9 150.0 213.7 266.9 277.6 284.4 304.7 146.1 248.5 266.9 292.8 277.8 288.0 282.3 286.4 281.1 294.0 296.8 314.9 313.0 159.2 196.7 234.2 224.1 238.4 256.5 150.7 223.4 224.6 236.8 223.7 236.7 235.6 242.4 239.0 245.7 248.8 267.3 264.3 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.8 231.9 274.1 164.1 231.5 226.1 230.2 233.5 218.9 224.4 236.3 247.9 257.0 268.7 284.9 285.6 22.1 309.9 264.2 280.6 8.5 9.0 16.7 19.3 15.8 12.4 5.6 9.3 r Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption 9.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 — .7 25.1 42.3 56.0 54.2 51.3 46.7 44.0 42.1 48.2 48.0 47.7 48.7 272.3 281.0 304.8 315.3 326.1 337.1 266.9 290.2 313.1 313.7 317.9 326.6 328.7 327.5 321.7 323.6 331.1 340.6 353.3 45.7 ' 357.8 17.0 32.7 53.5 46.0 48.2 6.5 -17.5 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 4.5 6.5 -9.8 17.8 11.3 6.0 8.9 -11.3 20.0 -17.6 21.3 ' 16.4 Net interest r Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nor durable g oods Durabl 3 goods Motor Period sumption expertdi- Total durable goods un ts) and cles and parts household equipment Other durable Food Clothing and shoes n m rv 252.7 289.1 335.5 368.7 402.4 413.7 263.8 310.0 346.7 383.7 370.5 375.9 386.4 427.6 419.8 396.1 409.0 436.8 413.0 108.9 130.4 157.4 177.6 194.9 193.9 115.7 144.4 162.3 191.9 174.1 177.4 184.2 217.0 201.2 177.6 189.6 215.2 193.3 95.7 107.1 118.8 128.7 139.9 146.7 99.1 112.4 122.7 129.5 133.5 134.7 138.3 142.9 143.8 146.0 146.0 147.9 146.8 48.1 51.6 59.3 62.4 67.6 73.1 49.0 53.2 61.8 62.4 62.9 63.8 64.0 67.8 74.8 72.5 73.5 73.7 72.9 771.0 816.7 867,3 913.1 939.4 982.9 786.6 837.9 879.6 918.4 929.3 936.8 934.3 940.0 946.3 969.9 982.1 986.4 993.1 398.8 421.9 448.5 472.8 497.8 515.8 407.0 430.8 456.1 474.9 481.7 489.4 494.7 499.6 507.5 514.8 515.0 514.0 519.3 124.4 135.1 146.7 157.2 167.5 177.0 126.5 141.1 149.8 158.8 160.9 163.4 167.2 169.8 169.6 174.0 175.8 178.7 179.6 1988: I ' 3,071.9 426.4 200.2 152.2 74.0 998.8 523.9 178.9 1985: m rv 1986: I n m rv 1987: I Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Gasoline and oil Other Do- Im- mestics 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.4 2,799.8 2,967.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,665.4 2,700.1 2,737.9 2,765.8 2,837.1 2,858.6 2,893.8 2,943.7 3,011.3 3,022.6 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: IT 1983: IV 1984: IV Retail sales of new pa ssenger cars (mi Jions of Furniture ports 70.6 68.4 75.8 80.6 82.7 82.1 158.7 169.5 182.1 190.5 198.8 209.7 163.4 174.0 184.7 191.2 194.5 196.3 198.0 200.0 200.8 205.3 210.7 211.0 212.0 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,347.5 1,458.0 1,571.2 1,066.5 1,167.9 1,267.1 1,363.3 1,400.3 1,425.2 1,445.1 1,469.5 1,492.4 1,527.7 1,552.6 1,588.1 1,616.5 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 6.0 7.4 7.7 9.3 7.1 7.7 7.9 9.5 7.8 6.7 7.0 8.0 6.7 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.3 81.3 214.7 1,646.8 7.6 3.1 89.1 90.2 90.0 92.6 75.3 80.3 89.8 91.9 89.0 93.5 92.1 87.7 74.4 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $4.4 billion (annual rate) in April, following a rise of $43.5 billion in March. The changes reflect several special factors: Profit-sharing payments to employees in the motor vehicle industry, retroactive social security benefit payments, and a large increase in subsidy payments to farmers in March affected the April and March changes. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $24.5 billion in April and $10.8 billion in March. BILLIONS Of DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 4,200 4,200 3,200 3,200 1,600 1,600 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 800 800 400 400 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 200 200 1980 1983 1982 1981 1984 1985 1987 1986 1988 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Proprietor ' income 3 Period salary Other labor Farm ments 2,258.4 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,327.0 3,534.3 3,746.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Total personal income Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan r. Feb r. Mar T Apr" 1,372.0 1,510.3 1,586.1 1,676.6 1,838.6 1,974.9 2,089.1 2,212.7 138.4 150.3 163.6 173.6 182.9 192.3 201.1 210.2 3,701.9 3,708.5 3,715.3 3,739.2 3,760.6 3,783.2 3,854.4 3,839.8 3,869.1 2,181.5 2,193.7 2,198.9 2,209.7 2,228.8 2,239.8 2,257.6 2,271.9 2,281.1 3,872.1 3,895.7 3,939.2 3,943.6 2,293.3 2,308.9 2,323.9 2,331.8 Personal dividend income Personal interest income 6.6 271.9 335.4 369.7 393.1 444.7 476.5 497.6 516.2 24.6 12.4 30.5 29.7 37.2 48.4 160.1 156.1 150.9 178.4 204.0 227.6 252.6 279.0 16.7 19.3 52.9 61.3 63.9 68.7 75.5 76.3 81.2 87.5 210.0 209.0 209.6 210.4 211.1 211.9 212.7 213.5 214.4 58.0 41.6 42.3 43.9 37.7 40.2 77.5 37.5 47.9 274.1 275.8 277.7 279.9 282.8 283.6 286.0 289.1 290.2 19.7 18.9 18.2 17.8 17.3 16.7 19.1 21.3 22.5 85.3 86.5 87.0 87.9 88.8 89.4 90.0 90.5 91.0 214.9 215.4 215.9 216.4 37.9 40.2 59.6 52.0 290.1 292.4 295.3 298.6 22.3 22.1 21.9 21.6 91.4 92.2 92.6 93.2 20.5 30.7 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. * Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Nonfarm Rental income of persons 4 13.3 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.0 Transfer payments 5 324.7 368.1 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 88.6 Nonfarm personal income 6 410.6 442.6 456.6 489.7 518.3 543.1 104.5 112.3 120.1 132.7 148.9 159.6 169.9 2,215.8 2,465.6 2,618.7 2,799.0 3,052.1 3,273.5 3,475.2 3,676.6 503.8 506.3 508.8 514.0 519.8 526.2 533.0 538.9 544.5 537.3 545.4 541.7 545.2 545.2 547.0 551.4 550.8 551.8 167.7 168.6 168.9 169.6 170.8 171.6 172.8 173.7 174.3 3,622.8 3,645.1 3,651.2 3,673.5 3,701.1 3,721.1 3,755.0 3,780.4 3,799.2 545.3 545.9 546.3 547.3 565.3 568.0 574.2 573.4 188.4 189.4 190.4 190.8 3,812.2 3,833.4 3,857.6 3,869.5 4 With capital consumption adjustment. Consists mainJy of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor hi and agricultural net interest. 6 6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1988. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 1,800 1,800 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 16,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PE RSONALINCOME 14 000 14 000 aJRRENT DOLLA BS 12,000 . . "1 1 • -— ^^^ —^^ \ \ 1 __.— — — — — — • 10000 1982 DOLLARS 1 6,000 r r^ju.—**?=-• ^^—-^. 10000 12.000 _ -— __—i— - ~"1 - - -- ' 8 000 1 1980 1 1 1 1981 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1 1 1987 1986 1 1 6,000 1 1988 ' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income Less: Personal tax and nontax payments Less: Personal outlays 1 Disposable personal income Equals: Personal saving Per c ipita disposable personal incc me Disposable personal income in 1982 dollars (billions) Current dollars 2,258.4 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,327.0 3,534.3 3,746.5 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 485.9 512.2 564.8 1,781.1 1,968.1 2,107.5 2,297.4 2,504.5 2,714.1 2,891.5 3,062.7 1,917.9 2,127.6 2,261.4 2,428.1 2,668.6 2,841.1 3,022.1 3,181.7 Current dollars 1982 dollars 136.8 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 127.1 130.6 119.0 8,421 9,243 9,724 10,340 11,257 11,872 12,508 13,050 2,214.3 2,248.6 2,261.5 2,331.9 2,469.8 2,542.2 2,645.1 2,677.2 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 Perce at Dolla rs Bfflio ns of dollar 1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982 dollars Per capit i personal consulnption expen itures 9,722 9,769 9,724 9,930 10,419 10,622 10,947 10,980 7,607 8,320 8,818 9,515 10,253 10,987 11,588 12,172 8,783 8,794 8,818 9,139 9,489 9,830 10,142 10,242 2.1 4.9 1.9 3.1 .3 7.1 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.5 4.3 3.7 227,754 230,182 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,323 241,620 243,812 1.2 9.1 1.7 6.2 5.8 5.8 233,466 235,707 237,946 3.4 4.1 239,618 240,246 240,782 241,313 241,896 242,489 3.5 4.9 4.7 5.5 3.6 3.6 4.4 3.0 2.8 4.8 242,971 243,480 244,094 244,703 2.9 4.7 245,295 -1.1 .5 5 S easonally adjusted arm ual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 HI.... IV 3,338.2 3,406.4 1986: I n m.... IV 1987: I n m.... rv 1988: I r 3,463.4 3,526.6 3,553.6 3,593.6 3,662.0 3,708.6 3,761.0 3,854.4 3,902.3 411.1 413.9 459.7 491.0 499.7 497.4 504.2 515.3 532.0 536.1 578.0 565.7 579.4 576.8 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,847.2 2,906.6 2,751.5 2,788.1 2,966.0 3,022.4 3,038.2 3,061.6 2,827.6 2,856.4 2,929.4 2,952.6 3,125.9 3,130.6 3,195.3 3,275.0 2,987.5 3,037.4 3,106.5 3,119.3 3,170.3 3,325.5 r 143.1 145.4 157.3 95.7 118.5 138.4 166.0 108.9 109.0 138.4 93.2 88.8 155.7 155.2 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 9,929 10,725 11,467 9,749 10,151 10,491 9,068 9,825 10,479 8,904 9,299 9,587 2,538.2 2,565.5 11,882 12,099 10,592 10,679 11,124 11,239 2,610.5 2,660.2 2,653.2 2,656.7 12,318 12,525 12,560 12,626 10,842 11,024 10,968 10,956 11,371 11,461 11,729 11,789 2,674.6 2,645.5 2,674.7 2,713.8 12,865 12,858 13,090 13,384 11,008 10,865 10,958 11,090 11,910 12,090 12,337 12,352 13,557 11,169 12,523 9,916 9,920 10,008 10,088 10,242 10,229 10,190 10,216 10,327 10,235 10,318 2,739.8 1 Includes personal consumptio n expenditures, interest paid b consumers to business, and personal transfer paymen ts to foreigners (net). 2 -4.2 3.3 6.2 6.9 -2.0 — .4 1.9 -5.1 Annual data are averages of quarterly <Lata, which ar averages for th e period. £ ource: Depan ment oi Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $6.0 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $5.2 billion. BILLIC NS OF DOLLA ?S* (RATIO SOUE) BILL ONS OF DOLL/\RS * (RATIO S CALE) 240 240 200 -^——1— •»^_ 160 r ^X^~1 120 r^ -n -~^_^-^X (~~^ 1 C,KC )SS FARM INCC5ME 160 120 60 40 40 20 20 10 10 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] In come of farm ope rators from farmi <* Net farrri income Ciross farm inconw Period Cas ii marketing rece pts Total 1 Total 1982 dollars 3 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 72.9 69.8 71.6 74.7 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.4 74.4 63.6 60.9 -6.3 6.5 -1.4 -10.9 6.2 -2.7 -3.3 -3.0 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 133.7 122.1 119.9 16.1 26.9 23.5 12.7 32.0 32.3 37.5 44.4 18.8 28.6 23.5 12.2 29.7 29.0 32.9 37.8 168.5 164.0 159.5 172.1 137.9 138.0 144.8 156.1 69.9 69.0 68.9 71.4 68.0 68.9 76.0 84.7 1.1 -2.4 -4.2 5.1 138.3 135.3 132.2 129.0 30.2 28.7 27.3 43.1 27.5 25.9 24.5 38.4 I 149.8 168.8 154.7 164.8 134.4 130.6 135.0 140.7 68.3 66.8 77.8 73.3 66.0 63.8 57.2 67.4 -4.2 3.5 -3.0 2.4 125.7 122.9 120.6 119.0 24.1 45.9 34.2 45.8 21.4 40.3 29.8 39.9 I 163.8 166.5 160.4 166.4 127.7 142.3 142.4 130.1 72.5 74.0 79.9 72.4 55.2 68.3 62.5 57.7 -3.4 3.5 -3.0 2.0 119.4 119.5 119.9 120.7 44.4 47.0 40.5 45.7 38.2 40.2 34.4 38.5 I II m 1987: Current dollars 139.7 141.6 142.6 136.6 142.3 144.2 135.2 135.6 IV 1986: Crops Production expenses 149.3 166.3 163.5 153.1 174.7 166.0 159.5 164.3 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1985: Livestock and products inventory changes 2 n m rv n UI IV 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. 3 Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 1988, according to preliminary estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $5.0 billion (annual rate) while after-tax profits rose $0.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 320 280 240 I 320 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 280 PROFITS BEFORE TAX i 240 200 |200 160 160 PROFITS AFTER TAX 120 120 .-' TAX LIABILITY 80 80 40 40 UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS I I 1 m i l l 1981 1980 I I I I 1982 I I I 1983 I I J 1984 1986 1985 I 1987 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Prt fits (before t ax) with inve ntory valuati on adjustment ' Profits after ta X Doinestic indust ies Total 2 Total Financial Manufacturing 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 224.1 238.4 256.5 IV IV IT m IV 1986: I II m IV 1987: I n m IV 1988: I". 1 2 150.7 223.4 224.6 236.8 223.7 236.7 235.6 242.4 239.0 245.7 248.8 267.3 264.3 264.2 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 193.6 207.2 222.5 121.6 190.7 193.9 208.3 189.7 202.3 207.0 210.2 209.3 213.1 215.8 235.4 225.6 231.7 2i.O 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 18.4 26.1 27.0 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 190.3 175.2 181.1 195.5 102.9 175.2 180.3 189.9 168.9 176.2 180.0 185.1 183.2 185.5 188.0 208.4 200.1 206.1 88.8 72.2 69.4 88.6 46.8 88.6 79.8 80.1 72.4 61.9 72.5 68.0 75.4 75.4 85.5 100.7 92.9 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 51.4 52.1 18.7 15.5 13.6 18.4 20.8 26.2 26.9 25.2 26.1 27.6 27.8 27.0 25.5 25.6 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. Tax liability 237.1 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.8 T 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.7 105.0 136.3 59.8 88.1 87.0 100.5 99.1 98.1 102.1 106.1 113.9 128.0 134.2 143.0 140.0 134.2 Total Dividends sale and retail trade Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Profits before tax Nonfinancial Period 3 50.5 33.6 43.1 51.8 55.7 45.0 55.8 48.2 54.6 49.7 56.2 45.2 52.1 48.7 3 231.9 274.1 164.1 231.5 226.1 230.2 233.5 218.9 224.4 236.3 247.9 257.0 268.7 284.9 285.6 280.6 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 128.1 126.8 137.8 104.3 143.4 139.2 129.7 134.4 120.9 122.3 130.2 134.0 129.0 134.5 141.9 145.6 146.4 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 81.3 86.8 93.8 68.5 73.9 80.8 81.2 81.7 84.3 86.6 87.7 88.6 90.3 92.4 95.2 97.3 99.3 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. uted profits 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 46.8 40.0 43.9 35.8 69.5 58.4 48.5 52.7 36.6 35.7 42.5 45.4 38.7 42.1 46.7 48.3 47.1 tnrv valuation adjustment -43.1 -24.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -.7 6.5 -17.5 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 6.5 -9.8 17.8 11.3 6.0 -8.9 -11.3 -20.0 -17.6 -21.3 ' 16.4 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1988, nonresidential fixed investment rose $17.8 billion (annual rate) while residential investment fell $4.3 billion. There was a $52.4 billion increase in inventories, following an increase of $69.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 1987. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 :800 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL KATES — DOW ESTIC INVESTMENT , / I( 600 /\ / GROS:•, PRIVATE 700 1 N—~-^S* ' r ^— ~~ — 700 ^ 600 '— 500 — -\y — ^ ^ 500 r^v -„_ ' __„--- / x-- —• -' ••.--"'*'' \ \ 400 NONRESIDENT IAL =IXED INVESTMENT ^ 300 300 RESIDENTIAL Fl <ED INVESTME MT _ 100 \ *_.^—^ — . , _f.**" "**"—•-» ; / 1 1 1980 --"^x ,-~--' 1 1 1 1981 CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVE NTORIES ^ *"•>, , 1 200 .-* /"-, ^^jS* 100 — ." " . " Y-- ^-— i -. \ "~""*«^ -/ 100 A — s*~"~" . / \ \ 1982 1 t 1 1983 1 i i 1984 \ \ \ 1985 i i ; 1986 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE i i i 1987 i i i 1988 -100 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] ]Txed investmen t Gross private domestic investment 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 641.6 671.0 717.5 IV IV IV m IV I 409.6 579.8 661.8 n m IV 1987: I n in IV 1988: : I' Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 628.6 650.8 683.4 679.4 660.8 660.2 699.9 702.6 707.4 760.2 756.7 Change iii business inventories Nonresidential Total Total 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.6 655.2 671.5 469.5 548.8 616.8 631.0 648.3 645.1 651.9 657.3 666.6 648.2 662.3 684.5 690.8 704.3 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.6 436.9 443.4 354.9 383.9 435.0 442.0 451.5 440.7 433.8 433.5 439.7 422.8 434.6 456.6 459.6 477.4 Structures 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 152.5 137.4 134.2 137.6 127.4 146.6 152.9 152.1 149.6 135.9 131.1 132.9 128.7 129.7 137.1 141.1 140.0 Producers' durable equipment 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 290.1 299.5 309.2 217.3 256.5 288.4 289.1 299.3 291.0 297.9 302.4 306.7 294.1 304.9 319.5 318.5 337.4 Residential 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 189.0 218.3 228.1 114.7 164.9 181.8 189.0 196.8 204.4 218.1 223.8 226.9 225.4 227.7 227.9 231.2 226.9 Total 8.3 24.0 -24.5 -7.1 67.7 10.0 15.7 46.1 -59.9 31.0 45.0 -2.4 2.5 38.3 27.5 3.5 -6.4 51.6 40.3 22.9 69.4 52.4 Nonfarm 2.4 18.3 -23.1 .4 60.5 13.6 16.8 36.2 -51.1 21.3 41.3 5.2 17.8 38.5 24.5 -.9 5.1 48.7 27.3 11.1 57.5 36.2 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department January-March 1988 survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 8.8 percent in 1988, following a rise of 2.4 percent in 1987. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 500; iOO SEASO -IALLY ADJUSTED ANN UAL RATES r"— * ——1 300 ^ ^ > - " -""" di INDUSTRIE; 300 ^~~~ ~~1 — .-"•" 1 *_ .--- _ *_ 200 -. — -'"" NO >IMANUFACTU ?INCKV - _--'"' --- ---__ ---- „-''' H ANUFACTURIr- G — — 80 RO — (SO' •iSO — 40 1 1 1980 1 1 1 1981 1 1 1 1982 1 \ \ \ 1983 1 1 1 1984 ! 1 1985 1 1 1986 1 1 1987 ^//SURVEYED QUARTERLY J|/;SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW S'OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 .£/ -V -£/ 1 1 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Nor manufactui ing M inufacturii -6 Period All industries Total 254.96 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 388.60 422.96 95.92 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.46 159.68 UI IV 375.50 386.09 I 374.23 377.65 393.13 409.37 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 4 1986: 1987: n Ill IV 1988: I 44 n 2nd half 4 1 422.75 427.09 421.00 Nonmanufactu ring Manufacturing Surveyed quarterly Nondurable goo s Total 1 Mining Transportation Public utilities 48.50 55.36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 70.91 75.75 47.42 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.55 83.93 159.04 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.14 263.28 12.81 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.34 12.07 16.05 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.09 35.63 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 48.81 46.38 44.76 46.55 94.56 100.14 110.24 109.63 114.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.19 183.57 139.43 144.07 69.42 69.87 70.01 74.20 236.07 242.02 10.14 10.31 18.81 19.50 45.81 46.12 161.31 166.08 139.43 144.07 140.65 140.79 147.56 152.84 70.47 68.76 71.78 72.64 70.18 72.03 75.78 80.20 233.58 236.87 245.58 256.53 10.31 11.02 11.64 12.39 18.98 17.67 19.17 19.57 43.60 43.48 44.90 47.07 160.70 164.69 169.87 177.50 140.65 140.79 147.56 152.84 233.58 236.87 245.58 256.53 12.26 12.41 11.81 22.49 20.44 20.72 46.15 46.83 46.60 180.72 185.97 183.80 161.13 161.45 158.06 Surveyed annually 3 236.07 242.02 261.62 265.64 262.93 161.13 161.45 158.06 Durable goo s 80.13 76.92 72.96 81.00 84.53 85.10 261.62 265.64 262.93 Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May 1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries. 2 "All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually. 10 Commercial and other Total nonfarm busi- 47.48 284.94 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 95.92 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.46 159.68 Total 189.02 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 159.04 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.14 263.28 29.98 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 3 Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and rea! estate. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1988, corrected for hiases. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In April, seasonally adjusted civilian employment rose 610,000 and unemployment fell 191,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 124 124 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 12C 120 116 116 112 112 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 108 108 -" ~V 104 104 CIVILIAN - EMPLOYMENT - 100 f- 100 96 96 \ ^ . 12 12 \ UNEMPLOYMENT 1980 1981 1982 1984 1983 1985 1986 1987 1988 *16YEARS'OF AGE AND OVER COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA ;onally adjusted except as noted by NSA] T h r fOrce ? ? ., ° Forces NSA Armed Forces 1985 1986* 1987 169,349 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 1,604 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 108,544 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 100,907 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 106,940 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 99,303 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 3,364 3,368 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 95,938 97,030 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 184,079 184,259 184,421 184,605 184,738 184,904 185,052 185,225 185,370 1,735 1,726 1,718 1,720 1,736 1,743 1,741 1,755 1,750 121,098 121,633 121,326 121,610 122,042 121,706 122,128 122,349 122,472 113,541 114,060 114,018 114,359 114,786 114,615 114,951 115,259 115,494 119,363 119,907 119,608 119,890 120,306 119,963 120,387 120,594 120,722 111,806 112,334 112,300 112,639 113,050 112,872 113,210 113,504 113,744 3,250 3,269 3,192 3,212 3,143 3,184 3,249 3,172 3,215 1988: Jan Feb Mar 185,571 185,705 185,847 185,964 1,749 1,736 1,736 1,732 122,924 123,084 122,639 123,055 115,878 116,145 115,839 116,445 121,175 121,348 120,903 121,323 114,129 114,409 114,103 114,713 3,293 3,228 3,204 3,228 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Apr Nonagri cultural Civilian labor force 1 Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc. 2 Labor force as percent of noninstitutional population (both including resident Armed Forces). 3 Civilian labor force as percent of civilian noninstitutional population. Unempl jyment Civilian e mployment Employment including resident Armed Forces Resident Total Agricultural Total 15 weeks and over 4,064 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 7,637 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 108,556 109,065 109,108 109,427 109,907 109,688 109,961 110,332 110,529 5,104 5,058 4,979 5,154 5,016 4,986 5,067 5,241 5,004 110,836 111,182 110,899 111,485 5,145 5,254 5,106 4,924 Total Part-time for economic reasons l Labor force partici]>ation rate (pc rcent) Total 2 Civilian 3 1,871 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 64.1 64.2 64.3 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.6 65,9 63.8 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 7,557 7,573 7,308 7,251 7,256 7,091 7,177 7,090 6,978 2,060 2,067 2,029 1,920 1,896 1,904 1,801 1,834 1,791 65.8 66.0 65.8 65.9 66.1 65.8 66.0 66.1 66.1 65.5 65.7 65.5 65.6 65.7 65.5 65.7 65.7 65.7 7,046 6,938 6,801 6,610 1,733 1,740 1,722 1,540 66.2 66.3 66.0 66.2 65.9 66.0 65.7 65.9 * Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in estimation procedures. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT In April, the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage point, to 5,4 percent; the civilian unemployment rate fell 0.2 percentage point, also to 5.4 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 -*A* v'J'rc-v .' v' * i T EENAGERS 10 y>. V [ (16-19) 15 10 A \ ^-' \ we3M|E N 20 YE/ \RS AND OVER ^*-^_ "^ MEh>J 20 YEARS A MD OVER Minium 1988 1984 1984 lilllllilll 1985 1987 1986 1988 'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemp] oyment ra te (percen t of eivilia n labor force in group) Unemployment rate, By sex and ago By s elected grou s By race Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over 7.0 7.5 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 Period All civilian workers 7.1 7.6 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.9 6.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 6.4 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 17.8 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 6.3 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 13.1 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 14.3 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 6.9 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 4.2 4.3 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 all work- ers 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1 Both sexes 16-19 years White Black and other Black Experienced wage and salary workers Married men, spouse present Women who maintain families Labor force time lost (percent) 2 Pulltime workers Parttime workers 9.2 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 6.9 7.3 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 8.8 9.4 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.9 8.5 11.0 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 1987: Apr May June.... July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.7 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 17.3 17.6 16.0 15.8 16.2 16.4 17.2 16.6 16.1 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.1 4.9 11.8 12.1 11.5 11.4 11.3 10.9 10.8 11.0 10.9 13.0 13.7 12.8 12.7 12.4 12.3 12.1 12.2 12.2 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.5 8.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4 8.6 8.7 7.3 8.1 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.6 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.6 5.1 5.2 4.8 4.8 16.0 15.4 16.5 15.9 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.6 10.9 11.3 11.5 10.7 12.2 12.6 12.8 12.2 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.0 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.0 8.9 8.3 7.5 8.7 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.1 8.3 7.9 7.7 7.4 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.2 1 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours. 2 12 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In Apr!!, based on seasonally adjusted data, the percentages of unemployed persons who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over rose while the percentage for 5-14 weeks and for 15-26 weeks fell. Both the mean and the median duration of unemployment fell. PERC:ENT DISTRIB JTION* PER( :ENT DISTRIB UTION* 70 70 DURATK)N REASON FOR UNEAAPLOYMEN T OF UNE MPLOYMEr-IT 60 60 50 . . \ ' , / V K ~~^ ~~ X"'%1", "^ \ JOB LOSERS .--' ,-'•-'' A ,"•• 40 ~'^""\ ^ 50 LESS THAN 5 WEEKS 40 -'V 5-14 WEEKS \ f ,_.--.-./ 30 , X^ ---A---.. -" ""•' — 30 '"""V""-' REENTRANT! _,-^J~--' 27 WEEKS "AND OVER" 20 10 ^r NEW ENTRANT \ ^-^_^_ 15-26 1984 JOB LEAVER: \\U\\\\\\\ \l\\\\\\\\\ 1985 1987 1986 •^A<~r>/' ~f±j>\^& 10 ^ t u n l u i u \w\\\\m X/ * 20 r ~-^-*WEEKS 0 — - V iinilntn 0 iiiulniii mnliJin J J J J l J l J i U )lll]|lll]| 1986 1985 1984 1988 IJlllllllll 1987 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJ STED COUNCIL OF EC SOURCE' DEPARTME NT OF LABOR 3NOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Re ason for memployment: percent iistributi >n Dur ition of imemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) F ercent di strihutio i Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks Stat e progrs ms Numb er of ks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Medi- Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment, all regular programs (unadjusted) l Weekly a /erage, t lousands 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 7,637 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 43.1 41.7 36.4 33 3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 32.3 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 13.8 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 10.7 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 11.9 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dee 7,557 7,573 7,308 7,251 7,256 7,091 7,177 7,090 6,978 42.5 43.9 42.9 43.9 44.2 45.5 45.3 45.4 46.2 30.0 28.7 29.4 29.6 29.6 27.6 29.4 28.7 28.2 13.1 12.9 13.3 13.0 11.5 13.0 11.9 12.7 12.8 14.3 14.5 14.4 13.4 14.7 14.0 13.4 13.2 12.9 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.2 14.3 14.2 14.1 14.0 14.2 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr 7,046 6,938 6,801 6,610 43.6 44.3 44.0 47.2 31.9 30.8 30.8 29.5 11.8 12.1 13.0 10.9 12.6 12.9 12.2 12.3 14.4 14.4 13.7 13.4 1 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal fUCFEt, and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Docs not include Federal supplemental compensation program. 10.6 12.3 13.0 25.2 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 11.4 11.9 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 3,350 ' 3,047 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 3,837 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 6.0 49.1 47.9 48.4 48.4 47.0 46.8 47.7 46.8 45.7 12.7 12.4 13.1 13.6 13.8 13.8 13.5 13.1 33.5 26.1 26.5 26.9 26.5 27.3 26.9 26.0 28.0 27.8 12.2 13.3 11.6 11.6 11.9 12.5 12.9 12.1 13.0 2,367 2,321 2,297 2,273 2,223 2,102 2,035 2,037 2,090 334 333 331 329 307 289 293 303 317 2,526 2,216 2,108 2,210 2,030 1,800 1,759 1,931 2,322 6.4 6.4 6.6 5.6 45.2 45.9 45.8 44.1 15.3 13.8 15.7 15.0 27.0 27.9 25.6 27.0 12.5 12.4 12.9 13.8 2,242 2,208 2,140 2,087 356 327 308 302 2,870 2,775 6.5 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.4 5.8 6.2 6.1 51.7 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 11.7 11.2 7.9 7.7 9.6 488 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 174,000 in April. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 100 — ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 90 80 70 18 SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 16 60 50 — MANUFACTURING 20 ?8 40 illinium GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 CONSTRUCTION .A.. 20 1984 1985 1986 1987 1984 1988 1985 1986 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period nonagricultural employment struction Durable goods 20,285 20,170 18,781 18,434 19,378 19,260 18,994 19,112 12,187 12,109 11,039 10,732 11,505 11,490 11,244 11,237 8,098 8,061 7,741 7,702 1985 1986 1987 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,610 102,112 1987: Apr May.... June... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Oct Nov.... Dec 101,598 101,708 101,818 102,126 102,275 102,434 102,983 103,285 103,612 24,759 24,752 24,761 24,850 24,886 24,917 25,064 25,169 25,259 5,019 4,999 5,008 5,002 5,006 4,989 5,053 5,074 5,121 19,011 19,018 19,015 19,104 19,129 19,169 19,247 19,336 19,382 1988: Jan 103,827 Feb r... 104,365 Mar ' ..104,661 Apr".. 104,835 25,205 25,354 25,449 25,506 5,058 5,185 5,265 5,262 19,401 19,421 19,433 19,477 4,188 3,905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,904 5,031 Nondurable goods Total 4,346 90,406 91,156 89,566 Se rvice-produ nng industn es M anufacturin g C nn on- 25,658 25,497 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 24,681 24,884 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Government Services Total Federal 5,278 5,268 5,555 5,717 5,735 5,797 15,035 15,189 15,179 15,613 16,545 17,356 17,845 18,264 5,160 5,298 5,341 5,468 5,689 5,955 6,297 6,589 19,036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,099 24,137 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,711 17,063 2,772 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 5,348 5,344 5,350 5,363 5,377 5,416 5,436 5,459 5,473 5,772 5,775 5,781 5,797 5,807 5,815 5,831 5,851 5,871 18,197 18,205 18,226 18,274 18,256 18,314 18,408 18,443 18,458 6,558 6,576 6,586 6,608 6,624 6,629 6,650 6,657 6,668 23,926 24,025 24,083 24,214 24,279 24,295 24,406 24,493 24,612 17,038 17,031 17,031 17,020 17,046 17,048 17,188 17,213 17,271 2,933 2,935 2,935 2,936 2,940 2,962 2,965 2,977 2,981 5,485 5,507 5,533 5,545 5,884 5,905 5,930 5,945 18,619 18,706 18,687 18,703 6,684 6,689 6,701 6,718 24,683 24,902 24,990 25,044 17,267 17,302 17,371 17,374 2,977 2,976 2,969 2,962 5,146 5,165 5,275 5,358 7,873 7,770 7,750 7,875 64,748 65,659 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74,930 77,228 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,244 5,378 11,175 11,175 11,176 11,195 11,248 11,268 11,319 11,367 11,403 7,836 7,843 7,839 7,909 7,881 7,901 7,928 7,969 7,979 76,839 76,956 77,057 77,276 77,389 77,517 77,919 78,116 78,353 11,403 11,415 11,422 11,462 7,998 8,006 8,011 8,015 78,622 79,011 79,212 79,329 1 Includes all full- and part-time • received pay for any part of the pay etors, self-employed persons, domei domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Tctal derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 :onally adjusted] Goods-p reducing in dustries Total 2 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; - . Totali 1987 17,890 18,619 16,241 16,031 15,837 2,866 weather, etc., even ii they are not paid lor the time oK; and -which are based on a sample oi the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gi oss hourly earn mgs Average weekly hours Period Total Total private nonagrieultural * Overtime Manufacturing Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r Mar r. Apr p. Current dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars 3 1977 dollars 160.3 165.2 169.3 173.5 -4.0 1.0 .9 1.6 -.3 -.5 1.0 — 1.1 9.86 9.88 9.88 9.87 9.93 10.02 10.00 10.01 10.02 172.6 172.9 172.9 173.2 174.1 174.6 174.9 175.8 175.7 94.2 94.0 93.8 93.7 93.7 93.8 93.6 93.8 93.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.7 -1.2 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 -1.3 -1.4 — 1.4 -1.5 — 1.4 -1.7 -1.8 -1.7 10.02 10.03 10.04 10.11 176.4 176.5 176.8 177.6 93.7 93.6 93.4 93.4 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.9 -1.0 -1.1 -1.0 -.9 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 34.7 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.9 34.6 34.9 34.9 34.6 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 from Percent chang e 4 6 a vear earlie r Ind ex, 1977 = 100 9.0 9.1 6.9 4.6 3.2 3.1 2.5 2.5 $6.66 7.25 40.6 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.6 41.3 41.2 41.0 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 8.91 8.95 8.94 8.96 9.02 9.02 9.08 9.12 9.11 34.8 34.9 34.6 34.9 41.2 41.0 41.0 41.2 3.9 3.7 3.7 4.0 9.15 9.13 9.17 9.22 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 nonagnc ultural 93.5 92.6 93.4 94.9 94.6 94.1 95.0 94.0 2.8 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 39.7 39.8 38.9 40.1 35.3 1980 1981 1987: Manufa during Total private nonagricultural ' Adjuste d hourly earnin gs index — total private 2 $7.27 127.3 138.9 148.5 155.4 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Percent ch ange from a year earlier, total private n onagricultural 5 Avera ge gross weekly ea rnings Period Total arivate nonagnc ultural ' Current dollars Construction Retail trade Current dollars 1977 dollars 3 J977 dollars Current dollars $235.10 255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Manufacturing Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r Mar r. Apr" $172.74 $288.62 $367.78 5.8 318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.38 477.28 $147.38 158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 179.32 6.9 170.13 168.09 171.26 172.78 170.42 171.07 169.28 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 -1.5 1.2 1.9 .9 -1.4 .4 -1.0 309.18 312.36 311.11 311.81 314.80 312.09 316.89 318.29 315.21 168.67 169.85 168.71 168.64 169.43 167.61 169.55 169.94 168.02 400.32 405.08 405.08 404.67 407.13 406.81 413.00 412.41 410.82 471.61 481.97 478.27 478.93 480.44 449.79 485.64 487.92 483.23 179.36 179.05 178.12 179.02 181.45 183.22 180.49 180.16 178.85 1.8 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.3 2.4 3.7 3.2 3.3 -1.9 — 1.1 -1.0 .9 -.9 1.8 -.9 -1.3 -1.1 318.42 318.64 317.28 321.78 169.10 168.95 167.61 169.18 412.82 411.23 411.64 416.53 473.62 476.48 488.68 489.82 180.09 180.75 180.38 183.42 3.1 2.9 2.7 4.1 -.9 -.9 -1.0 .3 1 4 2 5 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing. Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index for urban w and clerical workers (on a 1977 = 100 base). 3 Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places. Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output pe r hour of all pe rsons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Outp u t Business sector 1 Hours of all 2 perse n s Nonfarm business sector Business sector Compens ation per hou r 3 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Heal com pensation per h our 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit lab or costs Business sector Nonfarm business sector Implici t price defla t o r 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector 19' 7 = 100; c uarterly < ata seasor ally adjus ted 1979 99.6 99.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 108.7 119.1 118.9 99.4 99.2 119.5 119.7 117.0 116.5 1980 1981 1982 98.8 99.8 99.2 102.5 104.6 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 107.5 108.2 105.2 106.7 112.9 108.0 108.7 105.7 107.5 114.0 131.5 143.7 154.9 161.5 168.0 131.3 143.6 154.8 161.5 167.8 96.7 95.8 97.3 98.2 98.0 96.6 95.8 97.2 98.3 97.9 132.5 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 132.9 144.0 156.0 157.6 160.4 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 1983 1984 99.3 100.7 100.3 103.0 105.6 1985 1986 1987 107.5 109.5 110.5 105.8 107.5 108.4 123.9 128.0 132.2 123.6 127.5 131.8 115.2 116.9 119.7 116.8 118.6 121.6 175.9 182.8 188.2 175.2 182.0 187.1 99.1 101.1 100.4 98.7 100.6 99.8 163.6 166.9 170.3 165.6 169.3 172.7 162.4 165.8 170.0 164.1 167.8 171.9 1982: IV 101.0 99.7 105.0 104.2 103.9 104.5 158.3 158.2 98.0 97.9 156.8 158.7 150.2 151.4 1983: IV 103.7 103.3 113.6 114.1 109.4 110.4 163.6 163.4 98.0 97.9 157.7 158.2 155.2 156.2 1984: IV 105.9 104.8 120.8 120.1 114.0 115.2 110.3 110.2 98.1 98.1 160.8 162.4 159.8 161.0 1985: m IV 108.2 107.9 106.4 105.9 124.7 125.3 124.3 124.9 115.2 116.1 116.9 117.9 177.0 179.3 176.2 178.3 99.5 99.7 99.0 99.2 163.6 166.1 165.7 168.3 163.0 164.0 164.9 165.7 1986: I 109.5 109.7 109.6 109.6 107.7 107.7 107.5 107.5 127.3 127.5 128.1 129.0 126.9 127.1 127.6 128.5 116.3 116.3 116.9 117.8 117.9 118.0 118.7 119.6 180.7 182.2 183.6 185.2 180.0 181.3 182.6 184.4 100.1 101.3 101.5 101.7 99.8 100.8 100.9 101.2 165.0 166.2 167.5 169.0 167.2 168.4 169.8 171.5 164.3 165.4 166.9 166.7 166.4 167.3 168.8 168.8 109.7 110.1 111.3 110.9 107.6 108.0 109.1 108.8 130.2 131.1 133.1 134.4 129.7 130.7 132.7 134.1 118.7 119.1 119.6 121.2 120.6 121.1 121.7 123.2 185.8 187.3 189.1 190.6 184.9 186.3 187.9 189.5 100.7 100.3 100.3 100.2 100.2 99.7 99.7 99.6 169.4 170.2 169.8 171.8 171.8 172.5 172.2 174.1 168.2 169.6 170.7 171.4 170.3 171.4 172.5 173.3 111.1 109.1 135.3 135.0 121.7 123.7 192.2 191.1 100.2 99.7 173.0 175.2 172.0 173.8 1.7 11.1 11.2 9.0 8.9 n in IV 1987: I n m IV 1988: I"* 154.3 159.0 Pe rcent chan re; quarte rly data at seasonall y adjusted annual ra tes 1979 -1.2 -1.6 2.0 1.9 3.2 3.5 9.7 9.5 -1.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 -.3 1,4 -.4 2.7 2.5 -.4 1.0 .6 3.3 2.1 -1.1 2.1 -3.1 4.2 8.4 1.2 1.7 3.3 5.0 8.3 -.8 .7 -2.8 1.5 5.7 -.7 .7 -2.7 1.6 6.0 10.5 9.2 7.8 4.2 4.1 10.5 9.4 7.8 4.3 3.9 -2.7 -1.0 1.6 1.0 -.2 2.7 -.8 1.5 1.1 -.4 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 9.7 9.7 6.3 3.5 3.0 1985 1986 1987 1.8 1.9 .9 1.2 1.6 .8 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.2 3.4 2.1 1.4 2.4 2.5 1.6 2.6 4.7 3.9 2.9 4.4 3.9 2.8 1.1 2.0 -.7 .8 2.0 -.8 2.8 2.0 2.0 3.2 2.2 2.0 2.7 2.1 2.5 3.2 2.3 2.4 4.5 5.0 3.2 3.8 1.5 2.6 2.4 3.0 5.4 4.3 1.3 .2 2.4 2.9 4.8 3.1 2.9 2.7 3.3 1982: IV 3.0 2.4 -.5 1983: IV 3.0 1.4 10.4 1984: IV 1.5 1.0 3.5 1985: HI IV 3.7 -1.0 2.6 -1.6 5.8 .6 -.3 -.1 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m IV -1.2 -3.4 -3.5 7.2 8.3 3.1 2.1 2.1 3.8 3.9 .5 .7 2.3 4.4 2.2 4.1 2.0 .7 3.2 1.5 3.6 5.7 5.1 4.9 4.9 3.4 1.1 2,6 .8 1.9 6.2 2,2 6.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 2.0 6.6 .1 -.6 .0 6.4 .7 1.8 3.0 6.4 .6 1.7 2.9 .5 .1 2.1 3.1 -.2 .6 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.0 3.6 3.9 2.9 2.8 4.0 1.6 4.9 .6 .8 2.3 4.3 .5 1.3 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.7 -2.6 2.8 3.5 4.0 .9 2.6 3.7 -.5 1.6 2.3 3.7 .0 .5 1.4 4.7 -1.5 .4 1.4 4.2 -1.0 3.5 3.0 6.3 4.0 3.8 3.2 6.3 4.2 3.0 1.6 1.5 5.6 3.4 1.7 2.0 5.2 1.4 3.3 3.8 3.2 1.1 3.0 3.6 3.5 -4.1 -1.8 -.3 J .9 1.8 -.9 4.7 .8 1.5 -.6 4.5 3.7 3.4 2.5 1.8 3.4 2.6 2.7 1.9 .8 .9 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.7 3.5 3.4 .0 2.7 2.4 1.2 1.1 1988: I"*.... 9.8 1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate ot wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 16 -3.8 -1.5 .0 -.5 .1 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. * Data do not reflect revisions of GNP and related items published May 26. Source; Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production rose 0.7 percent in April, following a 0.2 percent increase in March. The index for April was 6.4 percent above its year-earlier level. INDE X, 1977=101 (RATIO S(:ALE) )* 240 FINAL P *ODUCTS 220 INDEX, 1977=101 0* (RATIOSCALE) 160 TOTAL If >IDUSTRIAL PRODUCTI ON 140 120 .-•-' 100 160 100 ^ " m „ i — IIP^*^ "" mulmu llliliuill nmtimi unilniii DURAB E, Js_ i _^«r*---- p^\ NONDUR ll|llll||!l Illllllllll 140 EQUI PMENT --'•"''"' ^j * r - J 120 f;^^—' ^BLE 100 Illllllllll ||I|||U||I v- 160 140 _-. ___- DEFENSE AND IlllllllUi MANUF>\CTURING PRODUCTI ON 140 120 200 180 „ .-•~ - BUSINESS EQUIPMENT ^ ,!—•-, .<^^/~™ =»-^— J * = S~~~ ^~s ^— - ~ ^ -.-•'"""**" ^^__--^ -~-\^~ " —-. .- ~- — •- • iiiiiiinii IHIlllllH CONSUMER GOODS Illllllllll llllllillll lllllllllll PER( :ENT* 100 CAPAC TY UTILIZA [ION RATE (TOTAL INDUSTRY) 90 Illllllllll UTILITIES> AND MINING PRODIJCTION UTILITIES 120 i~-*<^\> ^Xtx4^ ^_ / MINING 1 100 iiiniiiin 1984 f ' -<-' \ ^~ Ulllllllll Illllllllll Ulllllllll 1987 1985 1986 80 -. •—. I ~ " M i 1 - ~^—__. = ^= ^ 70 Illllllllll illllllllli Illllllllll Ulllllllll UUlllllll l l l i l t l l l i l 1984 1987 1986 1985 1988 1988 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER? [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] To tal indu itrial prodi ction Period Percent 1977=100 1977 •proportion 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nor Dec 1988: Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr" 1 Output as percent of capacity. Industry pro luction indese 3, 1977=100 Capacity utilization rate, p jrcent * Manufacturing from year earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 49.10 109.1 111.1 99.9 107.7 124.2 127.6 128.4 133.1 35.11 1.9 1.1 3.8 84.21 108.2 110.5 102.2 110.2 123.4 126.4 129.1 134.7 107.0 109.7 105.5 113.7 122.3 124.6 130.1 136.8 9.83 112.4 117.5 109.3 102.9 111.1 108.9 100.4 100.7 107.3 107.1 104.8 105.2 110.7 111.1 108.5 110.3 80.9 79.9 72.1 74.6 81.0 80.4 79.4 80.7 79.3 78.2 70.3 73.9 80.5 80.1 79.7 81.0 127.4 128.2 129.1 130.6 131.2 131.0 132.5 133.2 133.9 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.6 132.4 133.2 134.0 135.6 135.9 135.7 137.3 137.9 138.9 130.9 131.4 132.0 133.5 133.8 133.7 136.8 136.7 137.3 134.6 135.7 136.9 138.5 138.8 138.6 138.1 139.6 141.3 98.6 99.2 99.2 99.2 100.9 101.9 103.6 104.6 104.6 106.0 109.6 109.4 111.2 112.9 111.2 112.1 113.2 111.7 79.6 79.9 80.3 81.1 81.4 81.1 81.9 82.1 82.4 80.2 80.4 80.8 81.5 81.5 81.3 82.0 82.2 82.6 134.4 134.4 134.7 135.6 6.5 5.8 5.7 6.4 139.4 139.5 140.0 140.9 137.9 138.3 138.9 140.1 141.4 141.2 141.5 142.0 103.3 101.7 102.4 103.8 115.2 115.7 114.4 113.5 82.5 82.4 82.4 82.7 82.7 82.6 82.6 83.0 100.0 108.6 111.0 103.1 109.2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 -1.9 2.2 -7.1 5.9 11.2 5.96 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Produe ts Mate rials Final produc s Internlediate proc ucts C onsumer go ods Equipment Period Total Total 1977 proportion 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan '. Feb r . Mar r Apr" 1 Durable goods Nondurable goods Total J Business 44.77 25.52 18.63 19.25 14.34 112.2 115.2 109.5 114.7 127.3 131.0 132.5 136.8 102.7 104.1 101.4 109.3 118.0 119.8 124.0 127.8 88.4 89.7 82.9 98.5 112.2 112.5 115.6 120.2 108.1 109.3 108.3 113.3 120.1 122.5 127.1 130.6 124.7 129.9 120.2 121.7 139.6 145.8 143.6 148.9 125.1 127.6 113.6 115.4 134.2 140.2 139.5 144.5 134.5 135.5 136.2 137.9 138.4 125.5 127.3 127.2 128.9 129.4 127.7 129.0 129.4 129.8 116.7 120.1 117.4 120.4 121.2 118.6 124.3 123.9 120.3 128.7 130.0 130.9 132.1 132.5 131.0 130.8 131.5 133.3 146.4 146.3 148.1 149.7 150.2 151.2 153.0 152.2 153.1 142.1 141.7 144.2 145.6 145.6 146.3 131.2 131.5 131.2 131.9 121.7 120.8 120.8 122.3 134.7 135.4 135.1 135.4 154.3 155.3 156.1 156.9 137.8 139.3 139.2 139.8 141.1 141.7 141.9 142.6 6.89 148.7 148.3 149.8 151.2 152.3 153.2 154.5 Defense and space equipment 3.67 115.4 119.8 133.0 143.1 156.4 171.4 182.0 188.9 189.2 189.3 188.6 188.7 189.1 189.8 190.3 188.7 188.9 190.6 191.5 190.9 190.6 Total 12.94 106.9 107.3 101.7 111.2 124.7 129.3 136.2 143.4 140.3 141.8 143.3 145.0 145.3 144.9 146.1 147.3 146.5 148.1 149.5 149.3 150.1 Construction supplies Busi- Total Ener- gy supplies 5.95 6.99 100.6 98.6 88.3 100.6 114.0 119.2 126.4 131.5 128.2 129.1 131.5 133.1 132.5 132.3 133.3 134.2 133.8 136.8 137.7 136.6 137.2 112.3 114.7 113.1 120.3 133.8 137.9 144.6 153.5 150.6 152.6 153.4 155.2 156.3 155.6 157.1 158.4 157.4 157.8 159.6 160.1 42.28 11.69 105.3 107.7 96.7 102.8 114.2 114.3 113.8 118.2 105.5 104.7 101.2 98.4 103.9 103.3 99.7 99.8 97.8 98.7 99.4 99.0 100.9 100.2 101.8 102.8 101.7 101.4 100.7 100.9 101.4 115.9 116.3 117.2 118.5 119.4 119.7 121.2 122.5 123.7 123.0 122.1 122.5 123.6 Includes rigs and prefabs, not shown separately. [1977=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] N<mdurable manufactu-res Durable in anufactures Transp ortation equi] ment Primary metals Fabri- Period Iron and steel metal products 5.33 90.4 95.0 65.8 73.0 82.3 80.4 75.1 81.3 3.49 76.1 77.0 78.8 81.4 85.1 84.5 90.6 90.2 90.6 65.0 65.7 68.3 70.9 76.0 74.6 82.0 79.7 81.9 86.5 85.3 84.9 86.0 77.8 75.6 74.3 6.46 101.8 101.6 86.6 89.1 102.6 107.1 108.0 111.0 109.9 108.5 111.1 111.1 110.1 111.1 113.5 113.6 115.8 117.1 117.8 118.8 119.5 Total 1977 proportion 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan r. Peb r . Mar r Apr" Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 86.3 92.5 57.5 66.1 73.4 70.4 63.4 70.6 Nonmachinery Electrical machinery 7.15 Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Appar- 3.79 products Printing and publishing 4.54 Chemicals and products 8.05 Poods 5.25 2.30 123.3 129.8 115.6 118.3 141.8 146.2 145.0 152.7 130.3 134.1 128.4 143.8 170.5 168.3 165.7 172.3 96.9 95.1 87.6 99.2 112.2 122.8 127.5 129.2 71.1 71.6 66.8 85.8 - 104.4 111.9 111.5 111.8 92.9 90.1 82.8 100.2 109.1 114.3 124.1 130.3 97.3 96.1 87.3 95.3 102.7 100.4 103.1 107.4 115.1 118.6 120.2 129.8 146.5 151.4 160.9 172.1 106.4 112.6 103.8 114.0 121.6 126.4 132.0 140.2 111.4 113.7 114.9 120.4 126.9 130.5 134.4 137.8 150.4 149.7 151.8 155.3 154.3 168.4 171.1 170.5 172.5 174.3 173.4 175.5 175.6 175.9 127.8 129.4 126.5 127.6 128.1 125.5 132.0 130.4 128.1 109.8 112.0 107.4 109.4 109.1 105.6 116.0 114.0 110.2 127.8 130.3 131.1 132.8 131.1 126.9 129.8 134.0 133.6 105.3 106.4 107.7 109.7 108.4 107.6 108.0 109.4 107.8 169.2 171.4 174.1 174.0 174.7 174.9 175.2 175.7 176.9 137.3 138.1 139.3 140.8 142.3 142.4 141.5 144.4 147.9 177.4 177.6 177.0 179.3 128.6 128.4 109.7 109.3 113.1 115.4 136.3 139.4 137.1 108.7 108.0 177.5 179.6 179.5 179.7 147.9 145.8 146.2 136.0 137.4 137.7 138.5 138.8 139.5 138.0 138.9 140.1 141.2 142.0 141.4 9.54 156.6 158.0 157.2 161.0 162.9 163.5 164.6 166.2 9.13 130.0 131.3 7.96 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Constructio n contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Kesi ential Total New housing Total 1 Commercial and industrial 2 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982 = 100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) B Ulions of dollars 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 252.4 200.7 251.7 203.6 281.3 227.5 328.6 356.0 388.8 398.2 r 193.3 260.2 246.6 271.0 291.7 316.6 192.9 322.9 116.4 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 196.8 89.3 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.7 46.2 49.4 49.5 48.1 48.5 50.5 51.5 52.6 51.7 58.5 56.5 53.7 53.8 57.7 64.3 72.2 75.2 109 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 73.5 71.3 69.8 73.8 72.0 72.6 75.2 74.1 74.3 79.1 75.6 50.1 51.1 51.7 51.4 53.2 54.4 53.8 53.4 54.1 56.1 76.1 75.7 75.3 72.9 74.6 73.0 77.9 76.7 76.9 77.6 167 157 157 167 165 174 160 164 157 157 926 938 921 1,011 1,017 1,016 1,032 987 911 1,012 74.6 74.2 75.3 52.6 53.8 52.9 75.3 78.1 82.3 145 159 154 144 833 1,103 887 838 42.0 46.7 42.3 97 100 100 124 136 150 158 162 Annual rates 1987: Mar Apr May 388.3 396.2 396.7 397.2 398.5 402.9 402.8 398.9 404.0 403.9 June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb" Mar" Apr" 394.5 396.0 401.8 312.2 324.3 323.8 329.8 324.9 322.2 327.0 326.3 200.9 197.0 194.5 193.7 194.5 319.2 317.9 319.5 192.0 189.9 191.4 Annual rates 139.5 139.7 139.4 138.2 137.9 138.2 140.0 141.1 142.4 143.1 138.9 136.8 138.3 320.5 321.4 190.8 199.5 195.9 198.0 200.2 1 Includes the following categories of private construction not shown separately: residential improvements, railroads, electric light and power, gas, petroleum pipelines, and farm nonresidential. 2 Includes hotels and motels. 1,059 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,004 3 F.W. Dodge series. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New pri rate homes New private housing units Period Units started, b; type of structure Total 1979 1 unit 2^t units 5 or more units 122.0 109.5 91.1 429.0 330.5 287.7 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 319.6 1,745.1 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1,194.1 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,635 1,599 1,583 1.594 1,583 1,679 1,538 1,661 1,399 1,201 1,125 1,086 1,142 1,109 1,211 1,105 1,129 1,035 66 65 85 59 58 49 67 51 51 368 409 412 393 416 419 366 481 313 1,016 1,102 1,176 1,095 53 59 61 58 313 358 317 408 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 Units authorized Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period ' 3 1,870.8 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 709 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 1,596 ' 1,504 ' 1,539 ' 1,510 r 1,514 ' 1,501 ' 1,453 ' 1,459 ' 1,372 1,786 1,687 1,612 1,680 1,633 1,591 1,565 1,571 1,624 728 649 640 672 673 644 653 625 586 359 356 359 359 361 361 360 362 365 1,248 1,429 1,476 1,449 1,550 1,442 1,568 552 630 655 369 362 377 1,551.8 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 ' 1,534.8 397 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 365 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 Seasona' y adjusted annu al rates 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan '. Feb r . Mar' Apr" 1,382 1,519 1,554 1,561 2 Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable with earlier data. 3 New series beginning March 1979. NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places and for 1978-83 r 7.5 8.1 7.8 8.0 data are for 16,000 places. Seasonally adjusted housing units authorized revised beginning 1986 and unadjusted beginning 1987. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In March, manufacturing and trade sales rose 1.9 percent, and inventories rose $2.3 billion. In April, according to advance data, retail sales fell 0.6 percent, following a rise of 1.7 percent in March. BILLIC3NS OF DOL LARS* (RATIC3 SCALE) BILLIC)NS OF DOLL ARS* (RATIC SCALE) 220 800 •~~ " ._«« 180 A 1 MANIJFACTURINC AND TRA DE INVENTORIES 600 ^^" -*S — ^^^_»*~^ 700 *s\ —^ 200 ^^- ""RE 160 - x-~C—T ^—\-- ^ TAIL INVENT ORIES ^ | — ^^ 140 500 f - ,—"' ** " .--• ,•- 120 -4* i "~"\ ^ MA NUFACTURI MG AN D TRADE SA .ES x- A>'" — DETAIL SALES •- ** — Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 80 300 - — RATIC3* 1.80 Illllllllll _ RETAIL _ INVENT ORY-SALES RATIO N 1.60 fc^H ' 1.40 200 /"^ f^^x- MA NUFACTURI -JG AND TRADE 1.20 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll ||llll||lll Illllllllll 1984 1985 1986 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 111 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 '1' ' 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 M 1.00 1 1 It 1 1 t 1 1 I 1 1988 1987 1985 1984 1986 SEASONALLY ADJ JSTED OURCE: DEPARTM NT OF COMMERC E Manufacl uring and tra<le ' Inventories 3 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Who esale Sales2 Inventory- ales ratio 4 He tail Sales Period 1987 InvenTotal 2 Durable goods stores Inventories Nondurable goods stores 3 Manufacturing Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores 60,937 64,783 69,046 72,529 74,907 79,290 134,468 147,581 167,517 181,524 185,996 211,100 61,469 69,066 79,431 88,998 91,085 107,948 72,999 78,515 88,086 92,526 94,911 103,152 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.53 78,082 78,696 79,092 79,527 79,651 80,367 79,867 79,919 80,181 80,615 193,456 194,576 196,806 200,424 202,210 202,684 203,708 206,577 208,260 211,100 96,466 96,352 98,712 100,716 101,590 101,569 102,394 104,846 106,490 107,948 96,990 98,224 98,094 99,708 100,620 101,115 101,314 101,731 101,770 103,152 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.50 1.51 1.49 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.52 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.59 1.56 1.59 1.63 1.64 1.64 80,080 80,413 r 81,825 81,325 209,824 208,698 208,933 106,377 104,479 103,461 103,447 104,219 105,472 1.54 1.53 1.50 1.63 1.60 1.58 Ketail trade 1 Millions of dollars, seasonally stdjusted 1982 348,746 368,931 408,142 418,517 425,259 453,313 574,085 590,178 644,302 655,449 657,121 709,853 96,290 100,324 113,390 114,645 116,026 126,736 128,196 130,445 142,622 147,145 152,887 165,097 444,170 445,383 447,215 453,701 454,330 460,047 464,984 464,947 462,975 468,303 668,654 671,128 677,214 680,880 684,154 685,150 689,513 697,648 703,425 709,853 123,702 124,550 125,511 126,599 127,705 129,662 131,437 131,743 128,501 128,332 155,164 155,767 158,560 158,835 158,611 157,072 159,135 162,517 163,353 165,097 465,730 470,656 479,391 715,027 717,882 720,207 129,720 131,622 132,707 168,388 170,632 171,656 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Mar r Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r. Mar" Apr" 1 2 r r 123,680 124, 792 124,775 126,511 127,230 129,981 127,815 126,808 127,248 128,615 128,769 130,121 r 132,398 131,583 See page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. " End of period. Data beginning December 1980 for wholesale and retau and beginning January 20 28,169 32,582 37,836 41,415 44,885 46,592 89,107 97,364 106,882 113,944 119,791 125,882 r 45,598 46,096 45,683 46,984 47,579 49,614 47,948 46,889 47,067 48,000 48,689 49,708 r 50,573 50,258 r c 1982 for manufacturing are not comparable with data for prior periods. * Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. gource. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 1.56 1.59 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In March, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders rose. In April, according to advance estimates, durable goods shipments fell and new orders rose. BILLIC NS OF DOLL ARS* (RATIC SCALE) BILLIC>NS OF DOLL ARS* (RATIC) SCALE) 280 240 440 SHIPME NTS 200 F 160 120 "1^-"—•=— ^^ ' — '5 280 - r hMk~ -H •\ 1 TOTAL p=v=q 200 DU RABLE GOO )S 80 INVEN' ORIES 360 ."• DU (ABLE GOOt)S 160 120 NC3NDURABLE GOODS ~-v 60 NO NDURABLE CrOODS 80 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illlll lllll BILLIC)NS OF DOLL ARS* (RATIC SCALE) 280 240 60 NEWC RDERS 200 —^~- ^-^^ '—• '-/" __ / miilmii ' 1 ^~~T— ^~ ^ * 160 iiiiiiniii Illllilllll Illllllllll Illllllllll RATIO 2 20 - TOTAL— INVEN FORY-SHIP/rtENTS RAT IO 2.00 -• _=» DU RABLE GOOI)S 120 /A—.-v,.'- .. x-..— ,/ 80 .-Osr"" 1 t *" 1.80 _' r 1.40 60 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1984 1985 1986 ^ V~"~ 1 1.60 NON DURABLE G(30DS 1.20 e>, — ^. 1 1 11 1f 1111 1 1 1 1 1 1i 11 11 1 1984 1988 1987 — H-—x"~v|^-~_v^_^-^~^^ 1 1 1 11f 1 1 t t 1 I IJIlIlI 1 1 1niiiliiiii 1987 1986 1985 SEASONALLY ADJL STED sOURCE: DEPARTME NT OF COMMERC K anufacturers new orders i Manufa 3turers' inven tories 2 Manufa cturers' shipinents * Durabl 3 goods Period Total Durable goods 1988 COUNCIL OF ECO NOMIC ADVISERS Nondurable goods Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Total Capital goods industries, nondefense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 3 79,360 83,553 77,676 87,485 98,875 99,600 100,131 107,601 105,950 r 107,141 106,992 109,181 109,213 106,678 109,345 111,095 110,949 115,620 114,196 114,319 115,305 116,279 23,259 24,050 21,469 22,143 26,714 26,970 26,671 29,632 27,693 r 28,571 30,031 29,987 31,982 29,540 29,753 30,416 30,085 33,879 34,791 33,764 32,455 32,898 76,801 84,199 83,924 86,431 91,189 91,030 89,351 95,595 93,125 93,647 94,405 96,273 96,852 96,479 97,374 98,304 98,677 98,202 98,375 98,322 100,453 323,393 319,094 306,302 338,849 365,177 373,495 372,974 403,496 372,531 375,886 380,354 385,217 391,887 394,640 395,627 398,630 401,030 403,496 408,826 412,554 414,026 Total Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 4 1.67 1.65 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.63 1.60 1.62 1.62 1.59 1.59 1.60 1.58 1.63 1.62 1.58 M llions of do lars, seasoilally adjust 3d 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb Mar r. Apr" 1 2 3 154,391 77,550 168,129 83,872 163,350 79,352 171,242 84,956 187,869 96,623 189,928 98,930 189,442 100,142 200,695 105,300 196,788 104,175 r 196,041 ' 102,830 196,929 102,477 200,591 104,476 199,395 103,032 200,404 104,135 205,732 108,433 206,396 108,251 207,226 108,378 211,356 113,026 207,241 108,946 208,913 110,522 214,286 113,795 112,574 76,841 84,257 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,997 89,300 95,395 92,613 93,211 94,452 96,115 96,363 96,269 97,299 98,145 98,848 98,330 98,295 98,391 100,491 264,281 282,645 311,421 312,152 334,163 326,780 318,238 333,656 320,034 320,785 321,848 321,621 323,333 325,394 326,670 328,554 331,812 333,656 336,815 338,552 339,618 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. End of period. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data for prior periods. End of period. 174,620 186,347 200,711 200,220 218,524 213,750 207,854 216,753 208,111 208,683 209,096 208,654 209,951 210,921 211,680 213,436 215,931 216,753 219,014 220,318 220,834 2 89,661 96,298 110,710 111,932 115,639 113,030 110,384 116,903 111,923 112,102 112,752 112,967 113,382 114,473 114,990 115,118 115,881 116,903 117,801 118,234 118,784 2 156,161 167,752 161,600 173,915 190,065 190,631 189,482 203,196 199,075 r 200,788 201,397 205,454 206,065 203,157 206,719 209,399 209,626 213,822 212,571 212,641 215,758 4 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data for prior periods. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In April, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished consumer foods also rose 0.4 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.6 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2 percent. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 120 INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) FINISHED GOODS PRK:ES CAPIT AL EQUIPMENT A-^y ^T^.. S.s*^ 'T'C^C'' / ~ - ^ jf&zy r i ,. - -'~^-zf/ j /•' J/ i > ' /f' 90 A i _,.-• C ONSUMER FOODS ,.," '~ s ^ f --"" """""•' \'"\7^ J '"""• /** A / 110 100 120 SEASONALLY ADJUST 0 - f 710 » /--^n ^ /**"*• f ~/" , ^^<— \ TOTAL FINISHED GOODS f V-\ f 100 rf y~~" \ CONSUMER GOODS EXCLUDING FOODS t 90 '' / 80 80 uiii imi U l l l l l l l I I I I I I l l l l l U I I I I l l l l l U IIIIlllllU lll|llllll| 1980 1981 1984 1983 1982 Illllllllll IIIIlllllU 1985 Minium 1987 1986 OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Internlediate ma terials Fin shed goods PiDished go )ds excluding consumer foo Is Period Total finished goods Consumer foods Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec r 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr Nondurable Capital equipment 85.1 95.8 100.0 85.8 94.6 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 Consumer g >ods Total Durable 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 105.1 105.3 105.4 105.7 106.0 106.4 106.1 106.2 105.9 109.6 110.8 110.7 110.3 109.5 110.2 109.9 110.0 108.6 103.6 103.5 103.6 104.2 104.8 105.2 104.9 104.9 104.9 100.2 100.1 100.3 101.0 101.7 102.0 101.8 101.7 101.8 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 111.3 111.2 111.3 111.5 111.5 112.2 112.2 112.1 111.8 106.1 105.9 106.5 106.9 110.5 109.3 110.1 110.5 104.6 104.7 105.2 105.7 101.2 101.3 101.8 102.4 112.2 112.3 113.0 112.7 1 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. Note.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967=100 to 1982=100. 22 r Total finished consumer goods Orude materi als Foods and feeds i Foodstuffs and feedstuffs Total Other Total 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 Other 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 96.2 99.2 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 94.3 94.1 94.4 95.3 96.3 96.4 96.2 96.1 96.3 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 111.4 111.5 111.4 111.6 111.9 112.5 112.0 112.1 112.3 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 103.3 103.6 103.7 104.1 104.3 104.7 104.5 104.5 104.0 100.2 100.8 101.3 101.9 102.4 102.7 103.2 103.6 103.8 97.3 100.2 100.6 100.2 100.0 101.0 101.0 101.3 101.5 100.4 100.9 101.4 102.0 102.6 102.8 103.3 103.7 103.9 92.3 94.3 94.6 95.6 96.7 96.0 96.1 94.9 94.7 96.8 100.4 98.7 97.3 97.5 97.5 98.1 95.6 96.3 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.4 86.3 87.9 90.3 91.8 90.8 90.6 90.2 89.4 95.3 95.4 95.8 96.8 112.5 112.7 113.2 113.4 104.3 103.9 104.6 105.1 104.2 104.2 104.8 105.6 102.6 101.9 102.7 103.8 104.3 104.3 104.9 105.7 93.6 94.5 94.1 95.3 97.1 99.3 100.1 100.5 87.3 87.3 86.2 87.7 94.9 97.3 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. r 93.7 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In April the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.5 percent not seasonally adjusted). The index was 3.9 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 1130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 120 120 110 110 - CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS - 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 I I II II I I 1980 1982 1981 I III I I h u l l nun I I III I I I 1984 1983 1985 II I II III I 1986 60 1988 1987 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84—100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All it ems 1 T ansportat on Housing All Sh< Her Not Period ally adjust- ed (NSA) Fuel Season- ers' Total ' ally adjust- Total ed costs (Dec. 100) Rel. imp.3.... 100.0 1980 82.4 1981 90.9 1982 96.5 99.6 1983 1984 103.9 107.6 1985 109.6 1986 1987 113.6 1987: Apr .... 112.7 May ... 113.1 June .. 113.5 July... 113.8 Aug ... 114.4 Sept... 115.0 115.3 Oct Nov.... 115.4 Dec.... 115.4 115.7 1988: Jan Feb.... 116.0 Mar.... 116.5 Apr. ... 117.1 1 112.8 113.2 113.5 113.8 114.3 114.6 115.0 115.3 115.5 115.9 116.1 116.7 117.2 16.1 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 112.7 113.3 113.9 113.8 113.9 114.5 114.7 114.8 115.3 115.6 115.3 115.7 116.5 42.5 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 113.4 113.7 114.0 114.2 114.8 115.0 115.3 115.5 115.9 116.4 116.8 117.2 117.5 27.8 81.0 90.5 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 120.2 120.6 120.8 121.2 121.9 122.2 122.8 123.1 123.8 124.5 125.1 125.7 125.8 7.9 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 126.8 127.1 127.5 128.5 128.9 128.8 128.6 128.8 129.5 130.9 131.5 133.0 132.6 owners' Maintenance costs and (Dec. 1982 = 100) Appar- other utilities el and upkeep Total » 7.7 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 102.4 102.6 103.0 103.1 103.6 103.3 103.0 103.4 103.3 103.2 103.7 103.5 104.0 6.3 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 111.0 111.4 110.8 109.9 110.3 111.3 112.7 113.1 112.2 112.3 112.0 114.2 116.5 17.5 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 104.6 104.8 105.3 105.9 106.7 106.8 107.2 107.7 107.4 107.3 107.1 107.2 107.5 Medi- cal repairs 19.7 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 123.7 124.2 124.4 124.5 125.4 125.9 126.9 127.2 127.9 128.4 129.0 129.3 129.6 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1987. NOTE.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967=100 2 and HomePood less New cars Motor fuel care gy 2 shel- 5.8 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 128.6 129.3 130.0 130.7 131.3 131.9 132.4 133.0 133.5 134.6 135.4 136.0 136.8 7.6 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 87.5 87.6 88.5 88.7 90.2 89.8 89.3 89.6 88.9 88.3 87.8 87.8 88.5 48.5 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 116.4 116.7 116.9 117.3 117.6 117.9 118.5 118.9 118.9 119.5 119.8 120.4 121.1 ter, and (NSA) 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 110.3 110.2 111.1 113.2 112.9 112.7 112.8 113.5 113.3 113.7 114.3 113.3 115.3 4.4 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 113.9 114.1 114.4 114.8 115.0 115.2 115.5 115.7 115.7 115.5 115.8 116.2 116.2 3.3 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 79.1 79.2 80.1 81.1 83.8 83.2 83.0 83.0 81.6 80.4 78.9 79.2 80.1 to 1982-84=100. Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownerBhip costs and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 IN FOR GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] ChiLuge from pr eeeding peri d Period Change from 3 mont] s earlier, ann jal rate Change from 6 mont] s earlier, annual rate Consum r goods Consum* r goods Consumt r goods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Cha nge, Dec. o Dec., N 3A 11.8 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 14.1 8.6 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 -.2 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 4.2 o .8 2.1 6.6 4.1 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 Cllange, mon th to mont h 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec '. 0.6 .2 .1 .3 .3 .4 -.3 .1 -.3 1.3 1.1 -.1 -.4 .7 .6 .3 .1 -1.3 0.3 -.1 .2 .7 .7 .3 -.2 — .1 .1 0.3 .1 -.1 .2 .3 .5 -.4 .1 .2 1988: Jan ' Feb Mar T. Apr .2 1.7 -1.1 .7 .4 -.6 .1 .2 .2 .4 .2 2 .6 .4 .5 .6 4.7 4.7 3.5 2.3 2.7 3.8 1.5 .8 6.1 10.0 5.8 9.6 2.6 -4.6 -1.8 -1.4 1.8 -5.7 -1.9 0 2.2 -2.5 5.6 0 -1.1 2.3 3.1 0.7 4.1 1.6 3.2 6.5 7.0 3.2 0 -.8 1.8 1.1 .7 1.4 4.0 1.4 .7 -.7 .8 -.2 .2 1.5 2.3 -1.6 0 4.8 5.4 5.4 4.5 5.3 4.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 .7 1.6 2.5 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.7 2.4 2.3 3.4 3.1 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.2 .4 — .4 -.2 1.1 3.5 3.7 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.0 1.8 2.2 3.2 3.2 2.4 3.7 .5 — 1.4 -3.8 3.3 3.5 3.9 .4 -.8 -.4 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.7 -0.4 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.8 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. IN [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Tr insportation Housing Period All items 1 Fuel and up- Total1 Kent- Home- other costs Total ' Medi- pare! and Pood costs New cars Total ' Adder, dum: All ite ma, percent shange (annu8J rate) All Ap- Shelter Motor fuel cal care Ener- gy2 ties items less food, shelter, energy From previ- ous ter 3 From From 3 6 earlier From year earlier NSA C hange, D ecemfoer to Dec smber, ? SA 1880 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 12.5 8.9 8.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 10.2 13.7 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 10.2 8.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 0.4 .5 .5 0.4 15.0 9.9 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 .2 .4 .1 .5 -.3 -.3 -.1 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 7.4 18.8 9.4 6.8 1.5 -6.5 3.4 -1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.7 7.7 5.8 18.0 11.9 1.3 -.5 .2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 13.5 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 9.8 9.4 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 Chs nge, mo ntn to nlonth 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 0.4 .4 .3 .3 .4 .3 .3 .3 .2 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr .3 .2 .5 .4 .3 .S 2 .1 .5 .2 .1 .4 .3 .2 .5 .2 .3 .2 .3 .2 .3 .6 .2 .5 .2 .6 .3 .8 .3 — .1 -.2 .5 0.5 .4 .2 .1 .7 .4 .8 .2 .6 .3 .4 .3 .7 .3 .3 .3 .6 .5 .5 .1 1.1 .5 1.1 -.3 .4 .5 .2 .2 — .1 3 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.Iso included through 1982. 24 .2 .4 -.1 .5 -.2 .5 1.3 .4 -.5 -.8 .4 .9 1.3 .4 -.8 0.6 .2 .5 .6 .8 .1 .4 .5 -.3 0.5 .2 .3 .3 .2 .2 .3 .2 0 ^ -.2 0 -1.7 .1 -.3 2.0 2.0 -.1 .2 .1 .3 -.2 .3 .3 0 -1.5 -1.9 .4 1.1 3 d motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., 1.0 .1 1.1 1.2 3.3 0.6 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 A .5 0.5 .1 1.0 .2 1.7 -.4 -.6 .3 .4 Q .8 .6 .4 .6 -.7 -.6 0 .8 0.5 .3 .2 .3 .3 .3 .5 .3 0 .5 .3 .5 .6 3.6 3.9 3.2 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 4.3 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.3 3.5 3.2 5.1 5.3 4.4 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.4 3.2 2.8 4.2 4.6 3.7 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 •m Prices received by forme'- i" Ap 1.8 percent above their January * Prices INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 180 by farmers in PRICES PAID INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE) j 180 160 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 inn! iliiii liiil 60 RATION 140 Illlllll 111 11 60 140 - H 120 120 RATIO 80 60 k^— - r^ lUllllllll iiiiihini IlllHllli! 1980 100 1981 1982 i U H 1 100 I nniiiiiii UliilLLLLLJllllL 1! I il ! i 11 i 1 1 f I i i 1 1 i I i i i I ! i t i i ! ! S i !60 i lilil 1983 1984 5986 1985 j 1987 1988 I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAIDCOUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [1977=100] IMces paid by faraie" s Prices received by fanr ers Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct NOT Dec 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr All farm products Livestock and products 134 139 133 135 142 128 123 127 125 128 130 129 127 129 127 132 127 131 130 130 130 125 134 121 128 138 120 107 108 101 108 110 108 103 104 106 120 113 115 109 110 111 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1988, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is baaed on latest data available. 144 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 147 148 150 149 151 152 147 143 141 147 149 148 148 All commodities, services, interest, taxes, assd wage rates 1 Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates 138 150 159 161 165 163 159 162 162 139 151 159 159 162 157 150 152 152 (s) (s) 154 «s) (3) (3) 164 (3) Satio 2 Production items 138 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 147 (3) (3) 148 (°) 3 C) (S) (S) 165 155 150 (3) 3 (3) (3) (3) 155 (s) 152 () 165 (s) (3) 168 (3) (3) (3) (3) 158 155 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 ba lave been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparis« 97 92 84 84 86 79 77 78 77 79 80 79 77 79 77 80 77 79 79 79 77 as required by law. The indexes vith other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Growth in Ml and M2 accelerated in April; growth in M3 slowed. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 3,800 3,600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 3,800 3,600 _M3. 3,200 3,200 2,800 2,800 2,400 2,400 "V M2 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 Ml 400 400 300 300 1986 1984 1981 1987 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVtSERS • AVERAGES Of DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Ml M2 MS Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight KPs and Eurodollars, MMMT balances (general purpose and broker /dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances M3 plus other liquid assets Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 412.2 439.1 476.4 522.1 551.9 620.1 725.4 750.8 1,633.1 1,795.5 1,954.0 2,185.2 2,363.6 2,562.6 2,807.8 2,901.0 1,990.8 2,236.5 2,443.2 2,693.2 2,978.3 3,196.0 3,491.5 3,660.8 2,327.6 2,599.0 2,852.9 3,154.4 3,519.4 3,825.4 r 4,134.9 4,325.4 3,880.9 4,262.1 4,645.5 5,181.7 5,932.6 6,749.4 7,607.1 8,318.8 6.8 6.5 8.5 9.6 5.7 12.4 17.0 3.5 8.9 9.9 8.8 11.8 8.2 8.4 9.6 3.3 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 744.7 746.5 742.1 743.6 746.5 747.5 756.2 752.7 750.8 2,847.4 2,849.1 2,851.7 2,858.1 2,869.5 2,880.9 2,894.6 2,896.5 2,901.0 4,189.6 4,217.6 4,232.3 r 4,235.1 4,257.8 4,283.5 4,312.5 4,324.2 4,325.4 7,827.4 7,894.2 7,953.9 7,997.6 8,051.2 8,114.4 8,180.2 8,259.0 8,318.8 14.8 11.7 4.7 3.4 4.2 3.7 3.1 1.7 2.4 6.0 4.8 3.2 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 1988: Jan ' Feb r Mar ' Apr" 758.9 759.6 763.1 770.2 2,924.9 2,946.1 2,967.7 2,992.7 4,363.5 4,398.8 4,428.0 8,377.2 8,452.7 8,523.1 4.2 3.5 4.2 3.7 4.7 5.4 6.1 6.9 Period 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. 26 3,549.8 3,564.3 '3,580.1 T 3,587.6 3,605.5 3,620.5 3,642.0 3,656.5 3,660.8 r 3,686.0 3,717.8 3,741.4 3,763.9 L r r Debt Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) * NOTE.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Perc 3nt change from yea r or 6 months earlier 2 Ml M2 M3 Debt 10.2 12.3 9.2 10.2 10.6 7.3 9.2 4.8 9.6 9.8 9.0 11.5 14.5 13.8 12.7 9.4 6.0 5.8 5.1 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.2 4.5 1 1.0 10.5 9.3 8.5 8.8 9.2 9.2 9.5 9.4 5.6 6.3 6.8 6.8 9.7 10.2 10.3 r r COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by Demand deposits Currency Period Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (BPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars NSA 1980: Dec 1981: Dec 1982: Dee 1983: Dec 1984: Dec 1985: Dec 1986: Dec 1987: Dec 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r Mar r Apr" Money market mutua fund balaiices GenerInstitution only Money market deposit accounts Savings depos- (MM) As) its NSA pose and broker/ dealer NSA Large denomination time deposits * NSA al pur- Small denomination time deposits ' Term repurchase agreements Term Eurodollars (net) S0 17 av- ings bonds (KPs) NSA Shortterm Treas- Bank- ury acceptances mercial paper 98.8 105.3 C nm om- ers' securities NSA 115.3 122.5 132.6 146.3 156.1 167.7 180.4 196.5 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.6 244.1 267.2 303.3 288.0 31.4 80.9 105.4 132.3 146.4 179.2 235.2 259.3 28.3 35.9 38.8 53.8 56.3 70.2 78.4 77.9 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.2 167.5 176.5 208.0 221.1 15.2 38.0 51.1 43.2 62.7 64.5 84.4 89.6 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.6 572.5 525.2 400.2 343.9 356.8 305.5 285.4 301.4 370.7 414.3 728.4 822.9 850.5 783.6 883.3 879.5 853.2 913.1 260.0 302.5 326.7 327.1 416.9 436.4 439.2 484.7 34.0 36.0 34.5 51.8 61.9 65.6 84.0 105.4 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.1 84.9 90.8 72.3 67.8 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.3 91.6 100.2 133.5 149.4 183.5 211.9 260.9 301.2 284.2 259.8 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.1 45.7 42.5 37.8 45.7 113.6 133.1 160.3 206.5 229.9 258.9 185.6 187.0 187.8 189.0 190.2 191.4 193.1 195.0 196.5 299.3 298.9 293.3 292.3 292.1 290.5 295.9 291.3 288.0 253.1 253.9 254.3 255.6 257.2 258.6 260.3 259.5 259.3 77.0 76.2 74.9 75.6 79.7 83.4 85.9 79.6 77.9 212.1 209.9 210.6 210.6 213.1 216.3 218.2 219.7 221.1 83.5 82.1 81.7 83.8 84.0 81.3 82.5 89.5 89.6 566.8 558.6 555.1 549.4 545.0 540.5 533.9 527.7 525.2 404.1 409.5 413.1 415.5 417.8 418.6 417.0 415.0 414.3 845.1 845.9 852.1 859.1 865.9 872.1 883.3 901.7 913.1 448.9 454.0 458.6 460.2 462.4 465.3 472.3 480.5 484.7 94.4 102.5 107.4 107.0 107.5 109.2 106.2 108.7 105.4 83.9 86.7 87.8 r 84.4 90.2 94.4 92.9 92.8 90.8 95.1 95.9 96.6 97.5 98.1 98.4 98.8 99.3 100.2 257.6 261.6 259.6 254.8 258.9 263.7 273.0 270.9 259.8 40.9 42.1 43.1 43.4 43.5 44.3 44.5 45.0 45.7 246.3 253.7 252.8 251.8 251.8 256.6 254.2 252.5 258.9 198.4 199.3 200.9 202.5 289.9 287.8 287.9 290.1 263.4 265.2 267.1 270.3 82.7 78.1 74.8 77.3 225.0 231.1 235.0 236.2 94.4 98.7 97.4 91.9 524.0 522.5 524.6 523.1 414.3 416.2 419.8 422.8 924.6 941.5 953.5 965.0 482.8 489.7 491.5 492.7 105.5 108.8 105.6 105.9 85.1 84.5 87.8 86.5 101.4 102.6 103.5 263.5 263.5 262.1 43.5 40.9 40.6 269.0 274.1 280.3 1 Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. r r here. „ , , ,, , , T. , , T> « hource: Board of Governors of the j ederal Keserve faystem 0 NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in in stalhnent ere dit outstandiag l Ins tallment credi outstanding (end of period) Period Total 1978: 1979: 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1987: Dec Dec Dee Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r Mar p 261,976 296,483 297,566 310,682 323,536 367,869 442,538 517,754 571,833 613,021 575,452 580,072 581,233 587,878 593,512 598,190 602,978 606,927 608,726 613,021 619,259 624,293 628,754 Automobile Revolving home 98,739 112,475 111,936 118,956 124,218 143,799 173,704 209,636 246,109 267,180 249,498 251,211 251,741 254,212 256,585 259,558 261,902 263,823 264,474 267,180 269,883 273,133 276,345 45,202 53,357 54,894 60,838 66,243 78,667 100,212 122,013 136,381 159,307 137,761 140,339 141,876 144,777 147,809 149,815 152,553 155,196 156,425 159,307 162,065 163,462 165,683 16,921 18,207 18,621 20,302 22,833 23,704 25,795 26,834 26,883 25,957 26,811 26,825 26,639 26,810 26,966 26,879 26,845 26,698 26,604 25,957 25,926 25,857 25,681 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. Other 101,114 112,444 112,115 110,586 110,242 121,698 142,827 159,272 162,460 160,578 161,383 161,697 160,978 162,079 162,153 161,938 161,677 161,209 161,225 160,578 161,384 161,842 161,046 Total 40,501 34,507 1,083 13,116 12,854 44,333 74,669 75,216 54,079 41,188 1,841 4,620 1,162 6,643 5,635 4,677 4,787 3,949 1,802 4,296 6,236 5,035 4,461 bile 17,791 13,736 539 7,020 5,262 19,581 29,905 35,932 36,473 21,071 1,180 1,713 530 2,471 2,373 2,973 2,344 1,921 651 2,706 2,704 3,250 3,212 Revolving 8,513 8,155 1,537 5,944 5,405 12,424 21,545 21,801 14,368 22,926 523 2,579 1,537 2,900 3,032 2,006 2,738 2,643 1,229 2,882 2,758 1,396 2,221 Mobile borne 559 1,286 414 1,681 2,531 871 2,091 1,039 49 -926 -122 14 -186 171 156 -87 -34 -147 94 -646 -32 69 -176 Other 13,638 11,330 -329 -1,529 -344 11,456 21,129 16,445 3,188 - 1,882 260 314 -719 1,101 74 -215 261 -468 16 -646 807 458 -796 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES, AND RESERVES Commercial and industrial loans rose 1.7 percent in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 — ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,000 2,000 'TOTAL 1,600 1,600 L v 1,200 1,200 LOANS AND LEASES 800 800 400 400 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 200 200 160 160 OTHER SECURITIES 120 1980 1981 1983 1982 1984 120 1986 1985 1987 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] 1 Al commercial ban k s Loans and leases Period Total loans and securities 2 Total 2 Commercial and industrial Depo aitory institutic ns 3 Reserves adjust ed for changes in res erve requirements U.S. Government securities Total borrowed Borr j wings (millions of dollars, una^ us ted) Required Total Seasonal 1980: Dec 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 1,239.1 1,307.5 1,401.3 1,553.4 1,722.9 1,908.6 2,089.9 2,230.6 913.9 967.3 1,033.9 1,123.7 1,320.4 1,456.9 1,584.5 1,701.4 325.7 355.4 392.6 414.1 472.8 499.4 535.6 565.5 170.6 179.3 201.7 259.1 260.0 270.5 309.3 333.2 154.7 160.9 165.7 170.6 142.6 181.2 196.1 196.0 30.81 32.08 34.32 36.11 36.91 46.06 56.17 57.44 29.12 31.44 33.69 35.33 36.72 44.74 55.34 56.66 30.29 31.76 33.82 35.55 39.06 45.00 54.80 56.41 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 2,130.7 2,152.0 2,166.0 2,176.7 2,181.3 2,199.0 2,214.7 2,227,6 2,232.1 2,230.6 1,622.3 1,639.6 1,649.3 1,659.6 1,664.1 1,676.8 1,689.8 1,701.7 1,704.8 1,701.4 546.2 549.1 551.9 554.4 553.6 554.0 559.0 562.8 563.1 565.5 315.4 318.1 321.3 321.3 322.9 328.5 331.3 331.7 331.1 333.2 193.1 194.4 195.5 195.9 194.3 193.7 193.7 194.2 196.2 196.0 56.85 57.95 58.35 57.71 57.60 57.88 57.83 58.50 57.99 57.44 56.33 56.96 57.32 56.93 56.93 57.23 56.89 57.55 57.36 56.66 55.94 57.13 57.27 56.52 56.84 56.84 57.03 57.37 57.06 56.41 527 993 1,035 776 672 647 940 943 625 777 91 120 196 259 283 279 231 189 126 93 1988: Jan Feb Mar" Apr" 2,242.0 2,257.4 2,272.4 2,295.9 1,713.9 1,727.6 1,736.1 1,754.6 568.5 569.7 567.4 577.3 334.1 334.0 338.9 343.1 194.0 195.7 197.4 198.2 58.32 58.44 58.63 59.46 57.23 58.04 56.88 56.47 57.02 57.31 57.70 58.60 1,082 396 1,752 2,993 59 75 119 146 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than hi other securities. 28 2 3 Excludes Joans to commercial banks in the United States. Data are averages of daily figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 1,690 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCZAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Uses Sources External Period Total Internal C edit market fu nds J Total Total Securities and mortgages Loans and short-term paper Total Other 2 Capital expenditures s Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 352.6 345.9 383.3 327.5 432.3 518.5 492.3 491.3 495.1 1986: n m IV 1987: I n m IV". 155.1 145.8 143.9 85.1 146.6 182.2 136.9 139.9 148.0 87.8 92.7 94.5 80.4 88.6 121.6 85.2 109.5 96.1 21.0 53.1 22.8 44.0 57.3 -7.5 15.3 33.3 49.9 66.9 39.5 71.7 36.4 31.3 129.0 69.9 76.1 46.2 67.3 53.2 49.3 4.7 58.0 60.7 51.7 30.4 52.0 370.6 352.1 368.6 303.5 399.8 488.0 442.4 439.8 453.4 238.3 243.7 286.5 256.5 274.7 370.9 342.8 339.2 362.3 132.3 108.4 82.0 47.0 125.1 117.1 99.7 100.6 91.1 -17.9 -6.2 14.8 24.0 32.5 350.9 352.2 342.2 149.0 89.8 254.9 117.6 64.1 201.9 52.2 31.8 -12.2 65.3 32.4 214.1 31.4 25.7 53.0 426.5 399.4 546.8 340.7 322.5 330.7 85.8 76.9 216.1 73.4 42.6 50.3 439.4 496.2 488.3 556.4 1984 1985 1986 1987 ". 197.6 200.1 239.5 242.3 285.7 336.3 355.4 351.5 347.0 499.9 442.0 597.1 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 343.2 340.8 350.9 353.2 96.2 155.4 137.4 203.2 30.9 117.7 82.0 153.7 92.3 22.3 58.1 26.7 -61.4 95.3 23.9 127.1 65.3 37.7 55.3 49.4 398.7 439.8 455.3 519.7 354.6 346.0 350.5 398.0 44.1 93.9 104.8 121.7 40.7 56.4 33.0 36.7 1 Undistributed profits {after inventory valuation and capita! consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abroad. 2 Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment m the U.b. 30.5 49.9 51.5 41.7 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars, except as noted] C urrent liahiliti 38 Curren assets End of period Total Cash Governsecurities Notes and accounts receivable Invento- Other current assets Total Notes and accounts payable Other current liabilities Net working capital ratio l QFR-FRB series: 2 101.1 116.0 132.1 149.7 169.8 186.7 203.2 224.9 669.5 807.3 890.6 971.3 986.0 1,059.6 1,163.6 1,233.6 383.0 460.8 514.4 547.1 550.7 595.7 647.8 682.7 286.5 346.5 376.2 424.1 435.3 463.9 515.8 550.9 374.3 407.5 437.8 448.3 451.1 633.1 671.5 431.8 505.1 543.0 584.0 579.0 603.4 656.9 666.0 551.0 1.559 1.505 1.492 1.462 1.458 1.487 1.464 1.447 31.0 583.0 603.4 186.7 1,059.6 595.7 463.9 516.3 1.487 35.4 37.2 33.0 36.2 606.4 622.6 622.2 632.5 659.3 656.9 187.9 192.9 193.2 203.2 1,093.1 1,126.3 1,155.0 1,163.6 601.9 623.4 642.2 647.8 491.2 502.9 512.9 515.8 526.5 523.7 530.8 539.5 1.482 1.465 1.460 1.464 665.7 666.7 675.0 666.0 203.5 211.2 218.2 224.9 1,174.1 1,182.9 1,211.9 1,233.6 636.9 651.7 670.4 682.7 537.1 531.2 541.5 550.9 548.6 654.1 661.0 671.5 551.7 551.1 551.0 1.467 1.466 1.455 1.447 663.4 679.6 226.3 1,222.3 668.4 553.9 573.4 1.469 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1,043.7 1,214.8 1,328.3 1,419.6 1,437.1 1,575.9 1,703.0 1,784.6 1983: IV 1,575.9 1984: I 1,619.5 1,650.0 1,685.9 1,703.0 n m IV 1,722.7 1,734.6 1,763.0 1,784.6 167.5 167.1 176.3 189.2 35.7 35.4 32.6 33.0 I" 1,795.7 195.3 31.0 n m IV 1985: I 1986: 1 17.2 16.7 18.7 17.7 23.0 31.0 36.2 33.0 388.0 459.0 507.5 532.5 517.4 583.0 171.8 167.6 164.9 161.3 173.6 105.5 118.0 127.0 135.6 147.8 171.8 173.6 189.2 639.1 633.1 650.3 Total current assets divided by total current liabilities. 2 Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining, and Trade Corporations. Effective mid-1982, responsibility for the Quarterly Financial Report was transferred to 516.3 539.5 the Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census from the Federal Trade Commission. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census), and Federal Trade Commission. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates rose in May. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 16 [Percent per annum] U.S. T reasury security wields Period 3-month bills (new issues) l Constant nlaturities 3-year 2 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor's) 3 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) 4 13.41 7.38 7.73 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.22 14.70 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 8.61 8.40 8.45 8.76 9.42 9.52 8.86 8.99 8.10 7.80 7.83 7.90 8.36 8.84 8.09 8.07 9.33 9.32 9.42 9.67 10.18 10.52 10.01 10.11 7.04 7.00 6.72 6.81 7.55 7.96 7.17 7.49 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 8.00-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.75 8.75-9.00 9.00-8.75 8.75-8.75 9.37 9.45 9.41 9.38 9.37 9.25 9.30 9.15 7.87 7.38 7.50 7.83 8.23 8.67 8.21 8.37 8.72 9.08 7.81 7.55 7.80 7.91 8.01 9.88 9.40 9.39 9.67 9.89 6.92 6.58 6.64 6.92 7.29 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00- 8.75-8.75 8.75-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50- 7.92 8.06 8.19 8.26 8.39 8.82 8.93 9.04 9.14 9.22 7.87 7.89 7.96 8.10 8.07 9.73 9.78 9.85 9.04 10.01 7.01 7.13 7.30 7.32 7.42 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-9.00 9.00-9.00 9.00-9.00 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 1987: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 5.75 5.69 5.78 6.00 6.32 6.40 5.81 5.80 8.02 7.82 7.74 8.03 8.67 8.75 7.99 8.13 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr May" 5.90 5.69 5.69 5.92 6.27 Week ended: 1988: Apr 30 May 7 14 21 28 ".... 5.92 6.13 6.31 6.28 6.34 1 14.44 Bank-discount basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 2 30 New-home mortgage yields (FHLBB)6 14.76 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 14.029 10.686 8.63 Prime rate charged by banks 5 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 5 14.17 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 1981 Prime commercial paper, 6 months ' 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.10 9.12 9.15 9.06 r 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. 6 Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices fell in May. INDEX, DEC. 31, ' INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 5 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 180 240 220 200 180 140 140 240 220 200 160 COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX (NYSE) 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 nm II I I1 1980 1981 1982 1983 40 I ll I III 1985 1984 1986 1987 1988 PERCENT PERCENT 20 20 EAR NINGS-PRICE R ATIO ON COWWlON STOCKS 15 T r-~-" 10 "~ " 5 ^ 1 1 1 0 i 1980 15 i i 1981 1 1 1 1 1 i i 1 1984 1983 1982 1 -^ 1 1 1985 s/ 1 , 1 1986 1987 Co mmon stock price s 1 1981 74.02 68.93 Industrial 85.44 78.18 107.45 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: May June July Aug Sept Oct NOT Dec 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr May" 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 163.00 169.58 174.28 184.18 178.39 157.13 137.21 134.88 140.55 145.13 149.88 148.46 144.84 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 198.78 206.61 214.12 226.49 219.52 189.86 163.42 162.19 168.47 173.44 181.57 180.88 175.88 Week ended: 1988: Apr 30 May 7 14 21 28" 148.46 147.22 144.72 143.94 143.48 181.16 179.58 175.78 174.64 173.51 1 Average 2 3 4 5 tion (perce nt) Standard & Dow-Jones industrial Finance Utility average 3 Poor's composite index (194143 = 10)4 Dividendprice ratio 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 141.30 150.39 157.48 164.02 158.58 140.95 117.57 115.85 121.20 126.09 135.15 133.43 127.57 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.64 74.25 74.18 78.20 76.13 73.27 69.86 67.39 70.01 72.89 71.16 69.40 68.54 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 145.97 152.73 152.25 160.94 154.08 137.35 118.30 111.47 119.40 124.36 125.27 121.67 120.14 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,291.11 2,384.02 2,481.72 2,655.01 2,570.80 2,224.59 1,931.86 1,910.07 1,947.35 1,980.65 2,044.31 2,036.13 1,986.80 160.46 186.84 236.34 268.83 289.12 301.38 310.09 329.36 318.66 280.16 245.01 240.96 250.48 258.13 265.74 262.61 255.82 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.02 2.92 2.83 2.69 2.78 3.25 3.66 3.71 3.66 3.56 3.48 3.57 3.80 132.49 132.52 128.60 125.24 123.93 69.11 68.46 68.47 68.47 68.75 121.21 120.48 119.68 119.49 120.90 2,040.45 2,033.13 1,985.08 1,971.29 1,957.71 262.83 260.23 255.62 254.21 253.23 Earningsprice ratio 3.61 3.70 3.82 3.84 3.82 72.61 60.41 of daily closing prices. Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500} listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. Includes 500 stocks. Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings- Common stock 5yields 2 Nevy York Stock Ex< hange indexes (I)ec. 31, 1965 = 5 O) 11 ' Composite i 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION Period 1 932.92 884.36 128.05 119.71 160.41 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.49 4.75 4.93 7.08 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 7 months of fiscal 1988, there was a deficit of $105.0 billion compared with a deficit of $84.3 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DC LLARS BILLIOf-IS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^ 1,100 ^^ 1,000 OUTLAYS!/ „ ' —*-^- 1,000 ' '—~~^ s 700 1,100 — ^^^^^^ ^^^^ 700 RECEIPTS^ 600 600 - "^ /] "^ 1 0 — 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 [\ snRpiii.snRnFFirrrr-YL/ 0 ^ ^ ^^\ ^ 1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1 1984 ^ 1985 1986 1 1 1987 1988 1989 FISCAL YEARS I INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. / SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Fiscal year or period Receipts Outlays Off-budget On-budget Total Surplus or deficit Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit Total Held by the public 98.0 631.9 646.4 709.1 780.4 833.8 480.3 498.3 551.8 610.9 644.6 -72.7 -73.9 -120.0 -208.0 -185.6 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -1.1 5.0 -7.9 .2 .3 914.3 1,003.9 1,147.0 1,381.9 1,576.7 715.1 794.4 929.4 1,141.8 1,312.6 769.5 806.8 810.8 852.8 880.9 -221.6 -237.9 -170.0 -183.5 -174.7 186.2 200.2 213.4 239.9 258.5 176.8 183.5 193.8 203.1 213.3 9.4 16.7 19.6 36.8 45.1 1,827.5 2,130.0 2,355.3 2,581.6 2,825.3 1,509.9 1,746.1 1,897.8 2,025.1 2,152.1 480.5 511.3 99.4 -128.9 125.5 139.6 110.4 115.8 15.0 23.8 2,271.9 2,508.3 1,851.3 2,001.4 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 -73.7 -14.7 -53.6 -59.2 -40.2 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 -13.3 49.7 -54.9 -38.2 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 -73.8 -78.9 -127.9 -207.8 -185.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 1985 1986 1987 1988 (estimates) 1989 (estimates) 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.2 964.7 946.3 990.3 1,004.6 1,055.9 1,094.2 -212.3 -221.2 -150.4 -146.7 -129.5 547.9 568.9 640.7 669.3 706.2 Cumulative total, first 7 months: 1 Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 506.7 522.1 591.0 627.1 -84.3 -105.0 381.2 382.5 Surplus or deficit -3.2 -1.4 -3.9 4.3 -2.0 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 32 Outlays 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 1 Prom Monthly Treasury Statement for April 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly comparable with estimates in the Bridget for fiscal year 1989. NOTB.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Tear 1989, February 1988, Receipts Gross Fe leral debt (end of period) -70.5 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 7 months of fiscal 1988, receipts were $15.4 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $36.1 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS - RECEIPTS!/- 400 400 " INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES I 300 300 SOCIAL INSURANCE TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 200 200 OTHER RJCEIPTS 100 100 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES | 0 0 -OUTLAYS-!/ . 800 800 NONDEFENSE 700 700 600 600 500 500 40 0 400 NATIONAL DEFENSE 300 300 200 200 100 100 1980 1981 1983 1982 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 FISCAL YEARS _!/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES; DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] 0n-budget £ujd off-bu( get receip ts p Fiscal year Total vidual taxes ration taxes Social insurance taxes and On-budj'et and off budget on tlays NationsL! defense Other Depart- Total Total butions 355.6 399.6 463.3 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 517.1 244.1 599.3 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 1985 1986 1987 734.1 769.1 854.1 1988 (estimates) 1989 (estimates) 909.2 964.7 Cumulative total, first 7 months: 1 Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 506.7 1976 1977 1978 1979 298.1 617.8 600.6 666.5 522.1 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 130.9 153.8 180.7 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 16.2 14.2 11.6 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 84.0 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.6 135.6 188.6 198.8 207.4 13.3 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 47.8 233.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 147.9 151.8 131.8 142.1 126.7 140.1 133.9 6.9 6.2 22.7 25.3 43.7 45.6 75.2 78.5 118.3 125.1 81.2 89.1 79.9 84.1 163.2 173.1 158.5 168.4 NOTE.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Tear 1989, February 1988, 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 134.0 157.5 185.3 591.0 627.1 1 From Monthly Treasury Statement for April 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989. 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 22.8 26.5 265.5 274.0 277.3 285.5 42.0 44.9 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 Other 18.5 20.5 252.7 273.4 282.0 285.4 294.0 173.8 189.0 est 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 946.3 990.3 1,004.6 1,055.9 1,094.2 46.7 50.6 ty 15.8 19.3 204.4 220.9 244.2 237.6 331.5 Net 15.7 17.3 209.9 227.4 354.6 Social 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 851.8 412.4 Income ty Medi- 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.7 80.1 265.2 283.9 303.3 Health 97.2 104.5 116.3 89.6 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 61.3 63.1 83.9 105.6 117.7 334.5 349.0 392.6 393.4 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 Defense, military Interaffairs 245.1 9.9 219.7 ezcept as noted. Data shown here exclude the transition quarter. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1988, according to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $14.0 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $5.6 billion, yielding a deficit of $151.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 EXPENDITURES 800 - RECEIPTS . 600 600 400 400 200 200 SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-) -200 -200 \ \ 1980 1 1 ! 1981 1 1983 1982 1 \ 1 1984 \ 1985 .1 1 1 1986 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal C overnment expenditure s Federal Governme nt receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1984 1985 1986 1987 Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total Purcbases of goods and services Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Surplus or deficit Subsidies Net interest paid current surplus of Government enter- Wage accruaJs less disbursements national income and product accounts 711.9 776.4 814.2 905.6 302.5 340.6 358.0 401.9 75.3 74.3 80.3 104.0 54.9 56.0 51.7 54.1 279.2 305.6 324.1 345.6 873.0 961.0 1,027.8 1,055.1 297.2 340.4 368.4 374.9 352.2 374.0 394.8 410.1 90.7 97.8 107.4 103.1 109.7 128.0 134.3 139.6 23.3 20.7 22.9 27.5 0.1 -.1 .0 .1 -161.0 -184.5 -213.6 -149.5 726.0 788.6 827.4 915.7 633.1 675.5 742.7 794.9 805.1 807.6 816.9 832.4 852.5 879.3 922.9 923.0 937.6 951.6 310.3 346.6 363.0 403.7 303.0 291.9 326.0 351.0 356.7 352.8 357.6 365.2 376.4 381.5 415.6 404.3 413.5 406.3 75.2 76.1 83.7 109.4 46.4 70.2 69.7 79.1 77.8 78.7 81.3 84.3 90.5 103.0 107.9 114.5 112.3 106.6 55.7 55.2 50.9 54.1 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.1 53.7 50.4 49.9 52.1 51.1 53.3 54.2 53.9 54.9 56.5 284.7 310.6 329.8 348.4 236.1 259.8 290.7 311.7 316.9 325.8 328.1 330.7 334.5 341.5 345.2 350.3 356.8 382.2 895.6 984.6 1,032.0 1,067.1 835.7 844.7 930.2 990.8 1,020.2 1,003.7 ,047.1 ,036.1 ,041.2 ,049.8 ,062.1 1,058.8 1,097.8 1,103.4 310.5 353.9 366.2 379.4 293.2 276.1 326.0 361.9 378.0 356.7 368.4 371.2 368.6 366.9 379.6 382.1 388.9 379.7 354.9 380.1 399.9 413.5 347.4 352.5 362.1 383.7 385.8 389.9 398.3 405.9 405.7 406.7 412.0 413.4 421.8 431.6 93.6 99.7 106.9 103.4 84.5 86.0 96.3 100.2 103.7 105.4 109.6 109.5 102.8 102.2 106.0 103.5 102.0 111.2 115.6 130.2 135.7 142.8 87.2 101.0 125.3 129.7 133.0 134.9 135.9 134.2 137.8 139.5 139.8 142.9 148.9 151.5 21.2 20.5 23.3 28.0 23.4 29.1 21.0 15.3 19.7 16.8 34.9 15.3 26.3 34.3 24.8 17.2 35.8 29.4 .2 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 -.3 .0 -169.6 -196.0 -204.7 -151.4 -202.6 -169.2 -187.5 -195.8 -215.0 -196.1 -230.2 -203.7 -188.7 -170.5 -139.2 -135.8 -160.2 -151.8 Calendar year: 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 1985: IH IV 1986: I n m rv 1987: I n m IV 1988: Ir Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Industrial reduction (1977 = 1 X); seasonally adjusted Period United States 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oet Nov Dec !37.1 134.4 134.4 T 134.7 135.6 1988: Jan Feb Mar Apr? 1 r 106 106 104 105 105 106 106 108.0 106.2 103.1 104.1 107.6 112.9 115.1 115.7 114.4 112.6 145.4 143.7 149.3 151.0 149.3 153.9 157.0 156.6 159.6 107 109 110 109 109 110 110 110 111 115.8 116.6 115.1 113.7 118.5 116.3 116.7 116.8 117.3 117.4 121.9 118.3 117.7 112.8 117.2 122.3 120.8 116.1 111 110 129.9 130.8 132.1 131.8 134.2 135.0 135.8 ' 136.5 104.3 119.0 125.2 126.8 132.6 Germany 120.4 120.9 125.1 138.9 145.1 144.6 150.4 108.1 108.6 97.9 127.4 128.2 129.1 130.6 131.2 131.0 132.5 133.2 133.9 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 » France 119.2 108.6 111.0 103.1 109.2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 1980 117.8 ' 126.4 118.4 120.7 '137.2 136.6 Consumer prices (19 32-84=100 United Kingdom Japan Canada Italy 99.8 96.4 98.2 101.7 103.1 107.9 109.5 r 112.9 108.5 105.8 109.2 110.4 113.5 118.0 r l!1.6 112.3 112.4 113.1 114.8 113.5 ' 114.4 ' 114.6 ' 114.9 r ' 114.8 r l!2.4 113.8 Data relate to all urban consumers. United States ' Canada Japan France Germany United Kingdom 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 92.2 97.1 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.6 105.0 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.0 128.5 134.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.2 114.9 119.7 105.2 105.4 105.2 104.7 104.8 105.7 105.7 105.2 105.1 120.6 120.9 121.1 121.4 121.7 121.7 122.0 122.2 122.2 104.9 105.0 105.2 105.2 105.1 104.9 105.0 105.0 105.2 132.9 133.4 133.9 134.3 134.6 135.6 136.8 137.2 137.4 119.6 119.7 119.7 119.6 120.0 120.3 120.9 121.5 121.4 104.8 104.6 105.0 122.4 122.7 123.0 105.4 105.6 105.7 106.0 138.1 138.5 139.1 139.6 121.4 121.9 122.3 124.3 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 76.1 85.6 90.9 95.4 72.2 81.9 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 112.7 113.1 113.5 113.8 114.4 115.0 115.3 115.4 115.4 117.3 118.0 118.3 119.2 119.3 119.3 119.7 120.2 120.3 115.7 116.0 116.5 117.1 120.5 121.0 121.6 122.0 82.4 Italy 86.7 Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data not seasonally adjusted] Merch mdise exports l Period vised statistical month, adjusted 2 Revised statistical month Merch andise iniports Dom Stic expoi ts (statis tical mon h) Tola domestic and foreign Statistical month Total 3 Food, beverages, and tobacco Crude materials and fuels Manufactured goods Tot a l 3 Revised statistical month F a.s. valu e 23 3.7 21 2.3 216.4 205.6 20 15 224.0 218.7 217.9 218.8 212.8 213.1 226.8 216.6 217.3 238.7 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 228.9 207.1 195.9 212.0 Merchandise tr ade balance Ge neral imp orts * (sta istical n onth exc ept as not«d) Statistical month beverages, and tobacco Crude materials and fuels Total (c.i.f. ue) Manufactured goods Revised statistical month Statistical month Exports (f.a.s.) less import (customs ilue) Revised statistical month, adjusted2 Revised statistical month Exports ( .a.s.) less imports (c i.f. value) Revised statistical month, adjusted 2 Revised statistical month -34.6 -38.4 — 64.2 -39.7 -42.6 -69.3 Gusto ms value 33.2 27.0 27.0 27.3 22.2 20.2 22.8 33.0 33.5 29.6 31.5 28.3 26.5 29.1 154.3 139.7 132.4 143.1 145.4 148.7 171.5 405.9 18.4 17.8 18.8 21.6 22.4 24.7 24.7 68.0 72.8 65.0 48.3 56.3 282.1 312.6 26 1.0 24 4.0 25 8.0 325.7 345.3 370.0 92.9 74.4 142.5 144.0 163.4 221.5 246.8 27 3.4 25 4.9 26 9.9 346.4 341.2 352.5 361.6 383.0 387.1 424.1 -22.3 -27.5 -52.4 -101.7 -126.5 -139.3 -153.0 5 s -27.3 -31.8 -57.6 -107.0 -122.4 -127.6 -132.5 -133.6 -139.7 - 149.4 -156.2 -166.3 -159.5 -171.2 -177.6 252.9 246.4 206.9 206.4 243.9 Oct Nov Dec 21.8 20.5 20.8 21.1 21.0 20.2 21.0 21.8 23.8 24.8 21.1 20.1 20.4 20.5 20.1 20.0 21.0 21.0 23.3 23.9 21.1 19.8 20.0 20.3 20.3 19.5 20.2 21.0 23.0 23.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.1 15.0 14.2 14.5 14.5 13.9 13.7 14.8 14.4 16.2 16.1 33.2 32.0 33.3 35.3 35.8 34.3 33.6 37.7 35.5 35.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.6 5.6 4.9 5.3 5.0 4.7 25.7 25.1 25.8 27.2 27.2 25.8 25.6 28.8 27.4 27.8 34.7 33.5 34.8 36.8 37.5 35.9 35.1 39.4 37.0 37.0 -11.4 -11.5 -12.5 -14.1 -14.8 -14.1 -12.6 -16.0 -11.7 -10.6 -12.1 -11.8 -12.9 -14.7 -15.8 -14.3 -12.6 -16.8 -12.1 -11.6 -12.9 -13.0 — 14.0 -15.7 -16.5 -15.7 -14.1 -17.6 -13.2 -12.2 -13.6 -13.3 -14.4 -16.3 -17.4 -15.9 -14.1 -18.4 -13.7 -13.1 Jan Feb Mar 22.3 23.6 29.0 21.9 23.4 28.6 21.4 22.7 28.0 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.1 14.9 16.1 19.8 33.2 35.8 37.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 4.6 4.9 4.4 25.6 27.8 29.4 34.8 37.4 38.7 -10.9 -12.3 -8.1 -11.3 -12.4 -8.5 -12.4 -13.8 -9.7 -12.9 — 14.0 -10.1 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept 1988: 366.1 1 Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments are excluded through 1984 and for revised statistical month data for 1985-86; they are included for statistical month data for 1985-86 and for 1987-88. 2 Adjusted to include undocumented exports to Canada. 3 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. For exports data beginning 1987, these include undocumented exports to Canada. 4 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 5 Revised statistical month exports less statistical month customs value imports. NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Statistical month and revised statistical month refer only to data for 1984-86. Data for 1987-8! are roughly equivalent to revised statistical month data. For further information, see Bureau of the Census release FT900, April and August 1987. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 i frawsy m^f^i is ff^^ U.S. ! ! In the firs t quarter «jf fourth qucjrter of 19 87. tiie mercharidise deficit fell to $35.9 billion from $41.2 billion frevis edj in the BILL ONS OF DOLL \RS* BILLIONS OF DOLL ARS* 10 10 rx -~ '•C^— 5 /A, _/' ' 0 " —i n tU / / / i H BALANCE O N URRENT ACCC5UNT V^~^ "\ \ .'-" \^ __ .^' \ ^ s C t -10 \ \\ /•'" \ v\ — ME RCHANDISE TR ADE\ \ \ BALANCE \ \N V \ \ \ 1__: *^% S\ % \\ -20 -25 -5 \ — -15 0 V^ J -- -5 5 p4 X _ \ \\ "'-"^X-;// V — y \^-\ X___ ^^% \ \ \ -35 / /"\/\ \\ ^/|>\ on — oU , *^-» \ 1 ! ! L_l 1980 1 ....!.. I 1 1982 1 1981 _L ! i I I I 1983 , 1984 _L 1 TO — ou ^ \ \\ -35 1 \ N X-'-\\ ///,f/' ^_VX/ 1 i 1985 -25 ^s. ACt — 4U -45 -20 BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES . -15 I 1 Af\ — 4U \ *v 7- 1 I I I 1986 1987 I I I 45 1988 SEASONALLY ADJUS TED SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (—)] Merchandise 3 2 Inv estment ineora e 3 Period Exports 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 * 1984: I 1985: n in iv I n m IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m iv.... 1988: I p Imports Net balance 224,269 -249,749 -25,480 237,085 -265,063 -27,978 -36,444 211,198 -247,642 201,820 -268,900 -67,080 219,900 -332,422 -112,522 215,935 -338,083 -122,148 T 223,969 '-368,516 •• _ 144,547 T 249,570 r - 409,850 r - 160,280 -25,801 53,614 -79,415 -83,684 -28,094 54,590 — 28,453 55,691 -84,144 -29,174 56,005 -85,179 55,064 -79,946 -24,882 -29,946 54,040 -83,986 -31,206 53,367 -84,573 -86,114 53,464 -89,578 r -35,433 54,113 -89,546 r -90,807 -33,861 56,946 r -36,721 56,268 -92,989 r -38,532 56,642 -95,174 r -96,662 -39,871 56,791 r -39,552 59,864 -99,416 r r -39,665 64,902 - 104,567 r r -41,192 68,013 - 109,205 -35,945 74,672 -110,617 1 Excludes military. 2 Adjusted from Census 3 Receipts Payments Net 72,506 86,411 -42,120 -52,329 54,883 30,386 34,082 28,666 24,875 18,491 25,398 20,844 14,484 7,396 3,856 3,537 3,703 2,171 5,261 8,119 9,847 6,425 4,587 5,339 4,492 5,513 1,589 294 7,088 83,549 77,251 85,910 88,299 88,209 99,772 22,831 21,052 21,515 20,512 18,530 21,931 24,174 23,665 24,076 22,013 21,333 20,787 24,963 22,464 22,689 29,657 -52,376 -67,419 -62,901 -67,365 -85,288 -15,435 -17,196 -17,978 - 16,809 -16,359 -16,670 -16,055 -13,818 -17,651 -17,426 - 15,994 -16,295 -19,450 -20,875 -22,395 -22,569 data for differences in timing and coverage. Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. Net military transac- -2,237 -1,183 Net travel and transportation receipts -997 144 -992 -274 -243 -4,227 -1,942 -8,604 -3,339 - 10,866 -3,662 -9,903 -2,079 -11,626 -273 -1,874 -615 -2,039 -255 -2,310 -798 -2,381 -242 -2,261 -2,849 -782 -794 -2,892 -1,519 -2,862 -1,298 -2,786 -1,054 -2,278 -2,442 -815 -2,397 -495 -37 -3,198 29 -2,759 -735 -2,761 -1,335 -2,909 Other services, net 3 Remittances, Balance on goods and services pensions, and other unilateral transfers 1 Balance on current account -7,593 7,793 9,466 1,873 6,884 -7,460 9,278 14,344 -8,956 9,320 278 -8,679 9,908 -36,766 -9,480 -46,246 9,741 -94,835 -12,178 -107,013 9,861 -101,093 -15,301 -116,393 11,368 - 125,694 -15,658 -141,352 11,208 -147,213 -13,467 -160,681 2,629 -17,923 -2,362 -20,285 2,513 -25,379 -2,461 -27,840 2.436 -25,045 -3,112 -28,157 2,164 -26,486 -4,243 -30,729 2,296 -22,918 -3,296 -26,214 2,458 -25,858 -3,517 -29,375 2,403 -24,370 -4,169 -28,539 2,704 -27,944 -4,321 -32,265 2,618 -30,019 -3,021 -33,040 2,808 -29,588 -4,167 -33,755 2,784 -32,249 -4,334 -36,583 3,156 -33,839 -4,138 -37,977 2,808 -33,834 -3,075 -38,909 2,609 -38,274 -3,064 -41,338 3,050 -40,517 -2,925 -43,442 2,741 -34,589 — 4,404 -38,993 Note.—Merchandise data revised for 1986 and 1987; other data to be revised next month. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks Increased $23.3 biiilon in the fourth quarter of 1987 compared with an increase of $20.1 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $32.3 billion in the fourth quarter compared to an increase of $44.4 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 - 60 CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS 60 IN THE U.S..NET 40 40 20 20 -20 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET V -20 -40 -60 -40 1 I I I I I 1979 1980 I I ! I ! I I 1982 198! 1 I I 1983 I I I I I J I -60 1986 1984 1987 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Foreign assets in the J.S., net [increas 3/eapital inflowv (+)] 2 U.S. assets abroad, net iincrease/capitiil outflow (— } ] assets l 2 Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987" 1984: I n m IV 1985: I n in IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n in IV... 1 0 1 Other U.S. overn assets U.S. Period -86,118 -110,951 -121,153 -49,777 -22,291 -31,399 -95,982 -63,796 -3,602 -19,395 17,421 -16,712 -1,745 1,551 -6,936 -21,167 13,770 -25,529 -24,478 -32,204 15,351 15,078 -27,172 -36,898 -8,155 5,175 -4,965 1,196 -3,131 3,858 312 9,151 657 -566 799 -1,110 -233 356 -121 3,148 -115 16 280 132 1,956 3,419 32 3,743 U.S. private assets -5,162 -72,802 100,679 -5,097 -6,131 -110,058 43,576 -5,006 -5,476 -13,685 24,711 -2,831 -1,920 -94,374 74,166 1,219 -916 -2,029 - 1,340 - 17,490 19,608 -1,388 717 - 14,886 -730 -782 -128 -1,067 6,380 -435 -17,473 -547 -13,415 -240 25,303 -242 -1,454 -23,304 32,351 15 13,170 225 -18,320 -177 355 -27,559 41,457 816 Total 58,112 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,467 129,872 213,386 202,585 22,120 41,862 2,392 36,094 16,423 25,202 35,020 53,227 36,322 49,042 69,591 58,431 26,754 49,564 67,389 58,878 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. 2 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Foreign official assets 15.497 4,960 3.593 5.845 2,987 -1,140 34.698 44,289 -2.953 — 149 -963 7,052 -11,060 8,606 2,426 -1,111 2,576 15,568 15,551 1,003 13,953 10.070 363 19,904 Other soreign assets 42.615 78.072 90,154 79.023 99,481 131,012 178,689 158,297 25,073 42,011 3,355 29,042 27,484 16,596 32,594 54,338 33,746 33,475 54,040 57,428 12,802 39,494 67,026 38,974 Allocations drawing 3^,-J3 1,152 1 093 Statistical ( iscrepancy Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) 24.982 19,942 36,085 11,154 26,837 17.920 23.947 21,892 1,767 5,373 8,344 11,347 11,535 5,724 455 205 10,488 10,241 -8,530 11,750 -5,197 6,852 3,226 17,013 reserve assets, net 3 Of which: Seasonal j (unadjusted, end of adjustment ! discrepancy period) 1.417 -1,381 3,851 3,809 1,725 1,712 -3,781 3,766 2,294 -2,044 4,153 3,904 2,659 1,700 -4,833 3,577 26,756 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 34,975 34,547 34,306 34,934 35,493 36,088 38,295 43,186 44,919 46,595 48,087 48,511 48,824 45,140 45,070 45,798 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Consumer Installment Credit Bank Loans and Securities, and Reserves Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. 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