Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1979
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
96th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators May 1979 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1979 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas, Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Vice Chairman SENATE WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) GEORGE McGOVERN (South Dakota) PAUL S. SARBANES (Maryland) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) JAMES A. McCLURE (Idaho) ROGER W. JEPSEN (Iowa) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana) GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana) PARREN J. MITCHELL (Maryland) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts) JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) JOHN JM. ALBERTINE, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS CHARLES L. SCHULTZE, Chairman LYLE E. GRAMLEY [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION fS J. Res. S5] To print the monthly publication entitled ''Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators/* and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk. Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23,1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch^ Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $1.30 a single copy or by subscription at $15.00 per year ($3.75 additional for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C 20402 11 TOTAL OUTPUT, GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT According to revised estimates for the first quarter, gross national product rose $50.0 billion or 9.3 percent, both at annual rates. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) increased 0.4 percent from the fourth quarter level and the implicit price deflator rose at an 8.8 percent annual rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 1971 1979 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption expenditures Go^^ernment purchases of goods and services Exporlts and imf >orts of goocIs and ser vices Gross private domestic investment Net exports Exports Imports Total 131.5 146.2 140. 8 160. 0 188.3 220.0 214.6 190.9 243.0 297.8 345.6 2.3 1. 8 3.9 1.6 -3.3 7. 1 6. 0 20.4 7.4 -11. 1 -12. 0 49. 9 54. 7 62. 5 65. 6 72. 7 101. 6 137.9 147.3 163.2 175. 5 204.8 47.7 52.9 58.5 64.0 75. 9 94.4 131.9 126.9 155.7 186.6 216.8 198.7 207.9 218.9 233.7 253. 1 269.5 302.7 338.4 359.5 394.0 433.9 98.0 97.5 95.6 96.2 102. 1 102. 2 111. 1 123. 1 129. 9 145. 1 153.8 76.9 76.3 73.5 70 2 73.5 73.5 77.0 83.7 86. 8 94.3 99.5 21.2 21. 2 22. 1 26.0 28. 6 28.7 34. 1 39.4 43. 1 50.8 54. 3 100.7 110.4 123.2 137. 5 151. 0 167.3 191. 5 215.4 229.6 248.9 280.2 860.8 926.2 978. 6 1, 057. 1 1, 161. 7 1, 288. 6 1, 404. 0 1, 539. 6 1, 689. 9 1, 871. 6 2, 091. 6 1977: III-- 1, 916. 8 1, 214. 5 IV— 1, 958. 1 1, 255. 2 309. 7 313. 5 -7.0 -23.2 180.8 172. 1 187.8 195.2 399.5 412.5 146.8 152.2 94.4 97. 1 52.4 55. 1 252.7 260.3 1} 894. 9 1, 945. 0 1978:1 1, 992. 0 1, 276. 7 II — 2, 087. 5 1, 322. 9 III_._ 2, 136. 1 1, 356. 9 IV.... 2, 214. 8 1, 403. 9 322. 7 345.4 350. 1 364.0 -24. 1 -5.5 -10.7 -7.6 181.7 205.4 210. 1 221.9 205. 8 210.9 220.8 229.5 416. 7 424.7 439.8 454.5 151.5 147.2 154.0 162.5 97.9 98. 6 99.6 102. 1 53.6 48.6 54.5 60.4 265. 2 277.6 285.8 292. 0 1, 975. 3 2, 067. 4 2, 122. 5 2, 201. 3 1979: 1 *___ 2, 264. 8 1, 440. 4 371. 1 -5.3 233.8 239.0 458.5 164.5 103.9 60.6 294. 0 2, 248. 1 Period 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974__ 1975 1976 1977__ 1978 Gross national product 868.5 535.9 935.5 579.7 982.4 618.8 1, 063. 4 668.2 1, 171. 1 733.0 1, 306. 6 809.9 1, 412. 9 889. 6 1, 528. 8 979. 1 1, 700. 1 1, 090. 2 1, 887. 2 1, 206. 5 2, 107. 6 1, 340. 1 1 Federal This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 33. Total National defense l Nondefense State and local Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Final sales GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS (Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted animal rates] Ex ports of g Dods Gross private d<wnestic i nvestmemb Pera nd servie<3S sonal conGross Change national sumpNonResiin busiproduct tion W«t resiexpend- dential dential ness in- exports Exports Imports ventofixed itures fixed ries Period iN Cll Govern!nent pure bases of gooc Is and ser vices Total Federal State and local I Final sales 1§68__ __ 1, 051. 8 1, 078. 8 1969 1, 075. 3 1970 1, 107. 5 1971__ 1972 1, 171. 1 1973 1, 235. 0 1974 1,217. 8 1975___ „ 1, 202. 3 1, 271. 0 1976___ 1977__ • 1, 332. 7 1, 385. 7 1978 633.4 655. 4 668. 9 691. 9 733. 0 767. 7 760.7 774. 6 819.4 857. 7 891.7 108. 0 114. 3 110. 0 108. 0 116. 8 131.0 130.6 113.6 118.9 129.8 140.2 42.8 43. 2 40. 4 52. 2 62.0 59.7 45. 0 38.8 47.8 57.7 59.8 8.7 10. 6 4.3 6.6 9. 4 16.5 8. 0 -9.8. 6.7 8.9 10.6 -0. 4 -1.3 1.4 -.6 -3.3 7.6 15.9 22.6 15.4 9.5 8.4 58.5 62.2 67. 1 67.9 72. 7 87. 4 93.0 90.0 95. 9 98.2 107.0 58.9 63. 5 65.7 68. 5 75.9 79.9 77. 1 67.5 80. 5 88.7 98.6 259.2 256. 7 250.2 249. 4 253. 1 252. 5 257. 7 262.6 262. 8 269. 2 275.0 128.3 121. 8 110.7 103.9 102. 1 96. 6 95.8 96.5 96.6 101.6 100.3 130.9 134.9 139.5 145. 5 151. 0 155. 9 161. 8 166. 1 166. 2 167.6 174. 7 1, 043. 1 1, 068. 2 1, 071. 0 1, 100. 9 1, 161. 7 1, 218. 5 1, 209. 9 1, 212. 1 1, 264. 4 1, 323. 8 13 375. 2 III__ 1, 343. 9 IV... 1, 354. 5 858.0 876. 6 130.8 132. 5 58.8 60.3 12.2 7.5 12. 5 3. 1 100. 8 96.0 88.2 92.9 271.7 274.5 102.9 103.6 168.8 170.9 1, 331. 7 1, 347. 1 1, 354. 2 1978:1 II... 1, 382. 6 III... 1, 391. 4 IV— 1, 414. 7 873. 5 886.3 895. 1 911.8 133. 8 140. 5 141. 7 144. 9 59.5 59.9 59.7 60.3 12.3 12.7 9.0 8.2 2.9 11.3 9.2 10. 2 99. 1 108.4 109.0 111.7 96.2 97. 1 99. 7 101.5 272. 1 271.9 276.7 279.4 101.2 97. 1 100.4 102.5 170.8 174. 8 176.3 176.9 1, 341. 8 1, 369. 9 1, 382. 4 1, 406. 5 1979: 1 »—1? 416. 3 912.4 146.8 57.7 11.2 11.7 114. 7 103.0 276.4 102.0 174.5 1, 405. 0 IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1972=100] Gross national product Period Persona 1 consume>tion expenditures Total Gross private dom estic mvesi ;ment NonresNonDurable durable Services identi al goods fixed goods Residential fixed Expor ts and imports of goods and S€»rviees Governnlent purchases c>f goods and sc»rvices Exports Imports Federal State and local 82. 57 86. 72 91.36 96.02 100. 00 105. 80 116. 02 127. 15 133. 76 _ 141. 61 152. 09 84.6 88. 5 92. 5 96. 6 100. 0 105. 5 116. 9 126. 4 133. 1 140. 7 150.3 90.7 93. 1 95.5 99. 0 100.0 101. 6 108.4 117.7 124. 4 129.5 136.5 85.3 89.4 93. 6 96. 6 100.0 107.9 123. 8 133.4 138.2 145.0 155. 0 82.0 86. 1 90. 5 95.8 100. 0 104. 7 113.6 123. 2 131. 6 141. 0 151.2 82.6 86. 6 91.3 96.4 100.0 103. 8 115.3 132.2 138. 4 146. 7 158.7 80.7 87. 7 90.6 94.9 100. 0 110. 8 122. 3 132.8 142. 5 159.4 178.8 85.3 87. 9 93. 1 96.6 100. 0 116.2 148.3 163.6 170. 1 178.7 191.3 80.9 83.3 89. 1 93. 5 100.0 118.2 171.0 188.0 193. 5 210.3 219.7 76.4 80. 0 86.4 92.6 100.0 105.8 115.9 127.5 134.4 142.7 153.3 76.9 81. 9 88.3 94. 5 100:0 107.3 118.4 129.7 138. 1 148.5 160.4 1977:111 IV 142. 63 144. 56 141. 6 143. 2 129. 5 130.9 145.7 147.0 142. 3 144. 4 147. 9 151.2 160. 6 166. 1 179.4 179.2 212.9 210.2 142.7 146.9 149.7 152.3 1978:1 II III IV 147. 10 150. 98 153. 52 156. 56 146.2 149.3 151. 6 154.0 133. 1 135.7 137.8 139.3 150.4 154.4 156. 2 158.8 147. 1 149.9 152. 6 155.2 153. 6 156.7 160.6 163. 6 168.6 175.7 182. 6 188. 2 183.3 189.4 192. 8 198. 7 213.8 217. 2 221.5 226. 1 149.6 151. 5 153. 4 158.5 155.2 158. 8 162. 1 165. I 159. 91 157.9 142.2 164.4 158.0 166.3 191.4 203.9 232. 1 161.3 168. 5 1968, _ • ___ 1970_ 1971. _ _ 1972 „ 1973 . 1974 1975 _ . 1977__ _ _ 1978 !*>___ Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross clomestic j>roduct Gross national p roduct Constant (1972) dollars Current dollars Period Implicit price deflator Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) Chain price index Current dollars Implicit price deflator Constant (1972) dollars Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 9. 1 7.7 5.0 8.2 10. 1 11.6 8. 1 8.2 11.2 11.0 11.7 4.4 2.6 -.3 3.0 5.7 5.5 -1.4 -1.3 5.7 4.9 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.4 5. 1 4. 1 5.8 9.7 9.6 5.2 5.9 7.4 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 4.1 6.0 9.9 9.4 5.6 6.2 7.5 4.3 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.0 6.0 10.2 9.3 5. 6 6.3 7.6 9. 1 7.8 5.0 8. 1 10. 1 11.5 7.9 8.5 11.0 10.9 11.7 4.4 2.6 -.3 2.8 5.8 5.4 -1.3 -1. 1 5. 6 4.8 4.0 4.5 5. 1 5.3 5. 1 4. 1 5.7 9.3 9.7 5.2 5.8 7.4 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 4. 1 5.9 9.6 9.4 5.7 6. 1 7.5 4.4 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.0 5.9 9.9 9.3 5.7 6.3 7.7 1977: III IV 11. 1 8.9 5.7 3.2 5. 1 5.5 4.6 6.5 4.7 6.8 11.2 9.5 5.8 3.5 5. 1 5.8 4.5 6.7 4.6 7.0 1978: I II III IV 7.1 20.6 9.6 15.6 -. 1 8.7 2.6 6.9 7.2 11.0 6.9 8.2 7.1 10.8 7.6 8.1 7.0 11.0 7.6 8.4 6.7 20. 1 10.2 15.5 -.4 8.3 3.0 6.9 7.1 10.9 7.0 8. 1 7.1 10.9 7.5 8.1 7.0 11.0 7.6 8.4 9.3 .4 8.8 9.3 9.6 9.0 .3 8.7 9.2 9.6 1979: !*___ NOTE.—Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changes from previous quarter. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS Gross d omestic prodi LCt of nonfin ancial eorp<>rate busi ness (billic>ns of doll ars) Period [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-do lar cost and profit 3er unit of outpu t (dollars) i Total cost and profit 2 Capital consumption Comallowpenances Indirect sation with business of capital taxes 3 employconees sumption adjustment Net interest Current dollars 1972 dollars 452.9 498.4 541.8 560.6 — 602.5 671.0 752. 0 808.8 874. 1 988.5 1, 103. 2 1, 240. 6 545.8 581.6 607. 3 600.6 619.3 671.0 720.4 695.0 680.0 730.0 769.3 810. 4 0.830 .857 .892 .933 .973 1.000 1. 044 1. 164 1.285 1.354 1.434 1.531 0. 072 .074 .079 .088 . 094 .093 .095 . 116 . 142 . 146 . 150 . 156 0.084 .089 .094 . 103 . 110 . 110 . 112 . 123 . 136 . 136 . 140 . 146 0.535 .553 .589 .628 .645 .661 . 699 . 796 .848 .891 .952 1. 029 1977: III_. 1, 124. 6 IV.__ 1, 146. 3 776.7 783. 6 1. 448 1.463 . 151 . 152 . 140 . 142 .955 .973 .044 .045 1, 161. 6 1, 233. 0 1, 260. 6 1, 307. 0 783.6 811.9 814.9 831.0 1. 482 1. 519 1.547 1.573 . 155 . 153 . 158 . 158 . 145 . 145 . 145 . 147 1.008 1.017 1.038 1.053 1979: !*___ 1, 336. 5 835. 1 1.600 . 160 . 149 1.089 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971__ 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1978: I !!___. Ill— IV__. 1 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business in 1972 dollars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonflnancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 3 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. Corpo rate profi ts with invent<3ry valuation and capit al consuniption £idjustmen ts Total Profits tax liability Profits after4 tax ComOutput penper sation hour per of all hour employ- of all ees employ(1972 ees dollars) (dollars) 0.051 .058 .055 .045 .048 .050 . 055 . 061 . 060 .073 .077 .085 0.072 .066 . 055 . 041 . 046 .057 . 050 . 024 .053 .066 .071 .070 6.906 7. 133 7. 154 7. 147 7. 389 7.631 7. 789 7.490 7. 721 7.962 8. 057 8. 142 3.694 3. 944 4.207 4.487 4. 766 5. 048 5.446 5.959 6.550 7. 093 7.667 8.381 . 158 . 151 .076 .077 .082 .074 8. 113 8. 103 7.746 7. 881 .046 .045 .046 .046 . 129 . 157 . 160 . 169 .071 . 086 .086 .094 .057 .071 .074 .075 8.053 8. 139 8. 165 8. 209 8. 117 8.281 8.471 8. 645 .048 . 154 .087 .067 8. 140 8.868 0.016 0. 123 . 124 .017 .022 . 109 .086 .028 .095 .029 . 107 .028 .032 . 105 .086 .043 . 113 .045 . 042 . 139 .044 . 148 . 154 .046 * With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] National income Period Propr ietors' mcom e with inventor y valuation anc l capital consul nption adjust ments Compensation of employ-1 ees Farm Nonfarm Rental of persons with capital consumption adjustment Corppr ate profit s with inv entorv va luation and capital co nsumptio n adjustm ents Profits 5 with inv entory valua bion ad justment and ^without aipital consum ption adjtjstment Total Total Profits before Inventory valuation adjustment tax 714. 4 519. 8 571.4 767. 9 609. 2 798.4 650. 3 858. 1 715. 1 951. 9 799. 2 1, 064. 6 875.8 1, 136. 0 931. 1 1, 215. 0 1, 036. 8 1, 359. 2 1, 515. 3 1, 153. 4 1, 703. 7 1, 301. 4 12. 0 13.9 13.9 14. 3 18. 0 32. 0 25.4 23. 5 18.4 20. 2 25.3 51.4 52. 3 51.2 53. 4 58. 1 60. 4 60. 9 63.5 70. 2 79. 5 87.8 18.6 18. 1 18. 6 20. 1 21. 5 21. 6 21.4 22. 4 22. 5 22.5 23.4 85.8 81.4 67.9 77. 2 92. 1 99. 1 83.6 95. 9 127.0 144. 2 159. 5 82. 1 77.9 66.4 76.9 89. 6 97.2 86. 5 107. 9 141.4 159. 1 177.6 85. 6 83. 4 71.5 82. 0 96. 2 115.8 126.9 120. 4 155. 9 173.9 202.0 -3.4 -5.5 -5. 1 -5.0 -6.6 -18. 6 -40. 4 -12.4 -14.5 -14. 8 -24.4 1977: III. 1,537. 6 1, 165. 8 1, 576. 9 1, 199. 7 16. 5 25. 1 80.8 82. 3 22. 4 22. 7 154. 8 148.2 169.9 163. 5 177. 5 178. 3 1978: I... II III 1, 603. 1 1, 688. 1 1, 728. 4 1, 795. 2 1, 241. 0 1, 287. 8 I, 317. 1 1, 359. 8 21.9 24. 0 25.0 30. 4 83. 1 86. 1 89. 6 92. 6 22. 8 22. 2 24. 3 24. 4 132. 6 163.4 165. 2 176. 6 148. 7 180. 6 184.5 196. 4 1, 835. 4 I, 406. 8 30. 6 93.0 24. 7 166. 0 186. 7 1968_ 1969 1970 1971 1972_ 1973 1974 _ 1975 1976 1977 1978 _ _ _ IV IV 1979:1* 1 Capital consumption adjustment 3. 7 3. 5 Net interest -2.9 -12. 0 -14.4 -14.9 -18. 1 1.9 26. 8 30.8 37. 5 42. 8 47.0 52. 3 69. 0 78. 6 84.3 95. 4 106.3 -14.8 -15.0 -15. 3 97.3 99.0 172. 1 205. 5 205.4 224.9 -23. 5 -24. 9 -20.9 -28.4 -16. 1 -17.2 -19.3 -19. 9 101.7 104. 6 107.4 111.4 226. 9 -40.2 -20. 7 114. 5 n n 1.5 .3 2. 5 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates) Nondura Die goods Durable goo ds Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable1 goods Motor vehicles and parts 535. 9 579.7 618.8 668. 2 _ _ 733.0 809. 9 889. 6 979. 1 1, 090. 2 _ 1, 206. 5 1, 340. 1 80.0 85.5 84. 9 97. 1 111. 2 123. 7 122. 0 132. 6 156. 6 178.4 197. 5 35.8 37. 7 34. 9 43.8 50. 6 55.2 48. 0 53.4 69.7 81.5 89. 7 32.6 35. 0 36. 7 39.4 44. 8 50. 7 54.9 58. 0 63.9 71. 3 77. 7 230. 4 247. 0 264. 7 277. 7 299. 3 333. 8 376. 3 408. 9 442. 6 479.0 526.5 1977: III___. 1, 214. 5 IV 1, 255. 2 177.4 187. 2 79.5 84. 0 72. 0 75.3 1978:1 II III IV 1, 276. 7 1, 322. 9 1, 356. 9 1, 403. 9 183. 5 197. 8 199.5 209. 1 84. 1 92.5 89.8 92.6 1979: I P 1, 440. 4 211. 4 96.2 Period 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972___ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1 Total includes other items not shown separately. 4 Furniture and household equipment Total nondurablel goods Retail sales of new pa ssenger cars ( nlillions of uilits) Services Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 118.3 126. 1 136.3 140. 6 150.4 168. 1 189. 8 209. 6 225.8 245. 2 269.4 41.8 45. 1 46. 6 50.5 55. 1 61. 3 65.3 70. 1 75. 7 81. 5 89.0 18.4 20. 4 22. 0 23. 4 24. 9 27.8 36.4 39. 5 42. 8 46. 5 51. 2 225. 6 247.2 269. 1 293. 4 322.4 352. 3 391. 3 437. 5 491.0 549. 2 616.2 479.7 496. 9 246. 4 252. 6 81.4 86.7 46. 0 47. 5 557. 5 571. 1 8.9 9. 0 2.0 2.0 72. 1 76.5 78. 9 83. 2 501.4 519. 3 531.7 553.4 257. 7 267.8 272.0 279. 9 82.9 87. 5 90. 5 95.3 48. 3 49. 1 51. 5 55.8 591.8 605. 8 625. 8 641.4 8. 7 10.0 9. 3 2. 1 2. 1 9.2 2.0 1.9 82.5 567. 9 289. 7 93. 6 59.6 661.0 9.3 2. 3 Food Domestics Imports 8. 6 1.0 7. 1 8. 7 1.3 1.6 8.5 9.3 9. 7 7.5 7. 1 8. 6 9. 1 9. 3 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 1. 1 1. 6 1.8 1.4 1. 6 1. 5 2. 1 2.0 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $6.0 billion (annual rate) in April, following revised increases of $22.5 billion in March and $14.3 billion in February. The slower growth in April was partly due to work stoppages, widespread flooding, and tornaddes. OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2;000 ,1,800 1 1,600 2,00) 1,800 1,600 j 1,400 1,400j 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 r 600 -WAGf AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 400 400 OTHER INCOME „„,..«'»" ««"« 200 200 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 100 100 80 80 60 60 i i i i iI i i i ii 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] 3 Wage Rental Total Other Proprietc>rs' income income and Transfer Divi- Personal Period personal salary labor 12 interest pay- 5 dends of income disburse- income income ments Nonfarm persons 4 Farm ments * 36.2 23.0 1971 . 859. 1 14.3 579.4 53.4 20.1 69.3 941 1972 942.5 21.5 42.0 18.0 24.6 633.8 1041 58.1 74.6 1973 27.8 1, 052. 4 701.3 21.6 60.4 48.7 32.0 84. 1 118.9 31.0 1974 1, 154. 9 25.4 21.4 764.6 55.6 60.9 103.0 140.8 1975 22.4 1, 255. 5 805. 9 31. 9 63.5 65. 1 23. 5 115.5 178.2 1976___ 70.2 18.4 890. 1 77. 0 22.5 37.9 1, 380. 9 126.3 193.9 90.4 43.7 1977 .... 1, 529. 0 22.5 983.6 20. 2 79.5 141.2 208.8 1978 . 1, 708. 0 1, 100. 9 23.4 25.3 49.3 105.9 159.0 226.0 87.8 Less: Personal con- Nonfarm tributions personal for social income 8 insurance 30.8 42.2 47.7 50.5 55.5 61.0 69.7 838.0 917.3 1, OIL 9 1, 119. 3 I, 220. 8 1, 349. 5 1, 494. 4 1, 666. 9 342 1, 669. 4 1, 682. 1 June — 1, 695. 7 July.-. 1, 719. 2 Aug 1, 731. 1 Sept__- 1, 744. 7 Oct 1, 768. 7 Nov 1, 786. 6 Dec 1, 811. 6 1, 083. 9 1, 088. 4 1, 098. 4 1, 108. 2 1, 111.3 1, 120. 1 1, 137. 5 1, 149. 3 1, 161. 4 102.7 104. 0 105. 4 106.7 107.9 109. 1 110.4 111.8 113. 1 22. 0 24. 8 25.3 24. 0 24. 9 26.0 27.4 29.0 34.9 85.5 86. 1 86.7 88.4 90. 1 90.2 92.0 92.6 93.3 22.3 22. 1 22. 1 24. 3 24. 3 24.2 24.3 24.4 24. 4 47.4 48. 0 49.0 49. 2 50. 3 50.7 51.3 51.8 52.6 154.8 156.5 157.6 159.6 161.9 163.6 165.1 166. 1 168.5 219.7 221.3 220. 8 229.0 230.8 231.5 232.2 233.6 235.9 68.9 69. 0 69.6 70.3 70.4 70.8 71.6 72.0 72.6 1, 631. 9 1, 641. 8 1, 654 7 lf 679. 4 1, 690. 3 1, 702. 6 1, 725. 1 1, 741. 3 1, 760. 3 1979: Jan 1, 819. 0 Feb *.._ 1, 833. 3 Mar *>___ 1, 855. 8 Apr *>___ 1, 861. 8 1, 173. 0 1, 183. 7 1, 199. 5 1, 201. 9 114.5 115. 9 117.3 118. 6 31.0 30.5 30.3 30.5 92.6 92.7 93.6 93. 9 24. 5 24. 7 24.8 23. 9 53.6 54.2 54.2 54.4 170.1 172.5 174.5 175.6 237.8 238.0 241.2 242.6 78.2 78.7 79.6 79.7 1, 771. 2 1, 785. 7 1, 808. 2 1, 813. 8 1978: Apr May * The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 3 Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; workmen's compensation; directors' fees; and a few other minor items. 1 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 1 With capital consumption adjustment. 5 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. 8 Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors* income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable income rose again in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) i l l OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 1 1 1 l i t I ! 3,000 3,000 1979 1971 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS T _. _ _ . .Less: Pot- Period sonal Equals: Dispostax Perable sonal and perincome nonsonal tax pay- income ments Less: Personal out-1 Per c apita dispo sable Equals : persona income Personal saving Current 1972 dollars dollars BiiIons of d ollars 1970 ___ 1971 1972_ -_.__ 1973 1974__ _ 1975 _ 1976 1977 1978 801.3 115.3 859.1 116.3 942.5 141.2 1, 052. 4 150.8 1, 154 9 170.3 1, 255. 5 168.8 1, 380. 9 196. 5 1, 529. 0 226.0 1, 708. 0 256.2 685. 9 742.8 801.3 901.7 9846 1, 086. 7 1, 184 4 1, 303. 0 1, 451. 8 Per cap ita personal ccMQsump- •• Current doEars 1972 dollars Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of Populadispostion able (thou-2 persands) sonal income Dollars 635.4 685.5 751.9 831.3 913.0 1, 003. 0 1, 116. 3 1, 236. 1 1, 374 9 50.6 57.3 49.4 70.3 71.7 83.6 68.0 66. 9 76.9 3S348 3,588 3,837 4,285 4,646 5,088 5, 504 6,009 6,643 3,619 3,714 3,837 4,062 3,973 4,025 4,136 4,271 4,421 3,020 3,265 3,227 - 3, 342 3,510 3,510 3,648 3,849 4,197 3,589 4,584 3,627 3, 808 5,066 5,564 3S955 6,132 4?080 -2.2 1.3 2.8 3.3 3.5 5. 1 5.3 204, 878 207, 053 208, 846 210, 410 211,945 213, 566 215, 191 216, 856 218, 547 5.6 5.4 217, 073 217, 541 5.3 5.2 4.8 5.9 217, 897 218, 290 218, 768 219f 233 5.4 219, 635 7.4 7.7 6.2 7.8 7.3 7.7 5.7 3.0 2.6 3.3 5.9 Seas onally ad; usted 1977: III__ I, 543. 7 2246 1, 319. 1 1» 244 8 IV. _ 1, 593. 0 233.3 1, 359. 6 1, 285. 9 I_ 1, 628. 9 237.3 II ... I, 682. 4 249. 1 III__ 1, 731. 7 263.2 IV— 1, 789. 0 275. 1 1, 391. 6 1, 433. 3 1, 468. 4 1, 513. 9 1, 309. 2 1, 357. 0 1, 392. 5 1, 440. § 1979: 1 *___ 1, 836. 0 272.9 1, 563. 2 1, 478. 3 743 73.7 6,077 6 f 250 4,293 4,365 5,595 5,770 3,953 4,030 5.0 6.9 82.4 76.3 76.0 73.0 6,387 6,566 6?712 6,906 4,370 4,399 4,428 4,485 5,859 6,060 6,203 6,404 4,009 4,060 4,092 4, 159 .5 2.7 2.7 5.2 84.9 7,117 4,508 6,558 4, 154 j i Includes persona! consumption expenditures, interest by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net). 3 Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1 through 1973 and are averages of quarterly data beginning 1974. Quarterly are average for the period. 6 Source: Department of of the Census). 2. 1 - of Economic Analysis Bureau FARM INCOME According to revised estimates for the first quarter, net farm income before inventory adjustment rose $1.8 billion (annual rate), while income after inventory adjustment rose $0.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 GROSS FARM INCOME BEFORE INVENTORY " ADJUSTMENT 80 60 60 40 40 NET FARM INCOME AFTER INVENTORY ADJUSTMENT 20 V 10 10 1971 1972 1975 1974 1973 1976 1977 1978 1979 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persona 1 income received by tota farm po pulation Income njceived frc>m farmin g Gross income be: ore inven tory adjustnlent Nett<3 farm oper ators Gas i receipts from Period From From From Producinarketings all farm nonfarm l tion ex- Before After sources sources sources Total Livepenses inven- invenstock tory tory Total Crops and adjust- adjust-2 products ment ment Billioiis of dolla rs 15.3 1971 28.8 60.6 13.5 30.6 13.2 52.9 14.6 47.4 22.3 1972 70. 1 34.6 16.9 17.8 61.2 35.7 18.7 25.5 17.8 52.3 1973 48.9 19.7 29. 2 95.5 87. 1 41. 1 33.3 45.9 65.6 29.9 1974 45.2 23.4 21.8 100.0 92.4 41. 4 51. 1 72.2 26. 1 27.7 21.9 22.7 96.9 1975 88.2 43.0 21.1 44.5 45.1 24. 5 75.9 24.4 104. 1 1976 41. 2 16. 9 46. 2 21. 1 18.8 94.5 48.3 83.0 43.0 1977 108. 1 96. 1 47. 6 18.3 24.7 20. 6 20. 1 48.5 88.0 27.8 110.2 53.2 28.2 1978 25.3 124.3 58.0 52. 2 28. 8 96. 1 1977:III___ 102.7 47.8 91.3 16.8 43.5 16.7 86.0 114.8 49.5 25.5 99.6 IV—. 50. 1 91.4 23.4 r Net incc me per farm a fter inventory adjustmeiit 3 Current 1967 dollars dollars 4 Dol lars 5,042 6,526 11, 813 9,349 8,845 6,848 7,592 10, 780 6,210 9,420 4,157 5,208 8,875 6,330 5,487 4,016 4, 183 5,520 3,390 5,080 1978: I II III__. IV 118.3 123.0 122.6 133.2 104.6 109.3 109.0 117.7 52.7 57.4 57.7 64.0 51.9 51.9 51.3 53.7 92.5 95.0 95.5 101.5 25.8 28.0 27. 1 31.7 26.3 28.0 27. 6 33.2 9,840 10, 480 10, 330 12, 430 5,220 5,420 5,220 6, 160 1979: I P 139.0 125.4 68.5 56.9 105.5 33.5 33.5 12, 750 6, 160 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. 3 Based on 1969 Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. Data for 1979 estimated. * Income in current dollars divided by the consumer price index. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS According to preliminary estimates for the first quarter, corporate profits before tax rose $2.0 billion (annual rate) while after-tax profits rose $7.4 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 200 200 40 40 - 1971 1979 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Bullions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] >ry valu*ition Profit s (before tax) wit i inventc adjustn lent J Dome =tie indu stries IS onfinanc jial Period Total * 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977___ 1978 1977: III IV 1978: I II III IV 1979: I* . _ _ 82. 1 77.9 66. 4 76.9 89. 6 97.2 86.5 107.9 141.4 159. 1 177.6 169.9 163.5 148. 7 180.6 184.5 196.4 186.7 Total 78.9 74.2 62. 6 72.4 84.7 90.4 76.9 101.8 133.2 149.5 167.7 159.5 155.6 139. 2 168.9 175.4 187.4 175.9 ManuFinancial Total8 facturing Wholesale and retail trade 41.2 36.8 27. 1 32.4 40. 6 44. 1 36.6 48.3 65.6 74.7 85.0 74.7 80.2 69. 8 87.8 87.1 95.2 10. 1 10. 1 9. 4 11.7 13. 3 14.7 12. 9 20.7 24.0 24.0 22.7 30.6 22. 1 16. 7 22.0 25.8 26.3 10. 4 11.3 12. 6 14. 1 15.4 16.2 14. 4 13.0 17.5 20. 9 25. 1 21.9 21.9 22.7 24.3 26.0 27.6 27.1 68.5 62.9 50. 1 58.2 69. 3 74. 1 62.5 88.9 115.6 128.6 142.6 137.6 133.7 116.6 144.6 149.4 159.8 148.7 1 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. , 8 2 Pro fits after tax Profits before tax Tax liability Total Dividends 85.6 83.4 71.5 82.0 96.2 115.8 126.9 120.4 155.9 173.9 202.0 177.5 178.3 172. 1 205.5 205.4 224.9 226.9 39. 4 39.7 34.5 37. 7 41.5 48. 7 52.4 49.8 64. 3 71.8 83.9 72.8 73.9 70.0 85.0 86.2 94.4 89. 1 46. 2 43.8 37.0 44. 3 54.6 67. 1 74.5 70.6 91.7 102. 1 118. 1 104.8 104.4 102. 1 120.5 119.2 130.5 137.9 21.9 22. 6 22.9 23.0 24.6 27.8 31.0 31.9 37.9 43.7 49.3 44. 1 46.3 47. 0 48. 1 50. 1 51.9 54.0 Undistributed profits 24.2 21. 2 14. 1 21.3 30.0 39.3 43.6 38.7 53.8 58.4 68.8 60.6 58.1 55. 1 72.4 69.2 78.6 83.9 Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. 3 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Inventory valuation adjustment -3.4 -5.5 -5. 1 -5.0 -6.6 -18.6 -40.4 -12.4 -14.5 -14.8 -24.4 -7.7 -14.8 -23.5 -24.9 -20.9 — 28.4 -40.2 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to revised estimates for the first quarter, business fixed investment rose $7.0 billion (annual rate) as nonresidential construction outlays rose slightly and producers' durable equipment purchases increased $6.9 billion. Residential investment outlays declined $3.0 billion. Inventory investment amounted to $16.6 billion, up $3.1 billion from the fourth quarter level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS "(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 180 - NONRESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT 380 -GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT" 140 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 100 220 200 180 I I STRUCTURES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 130 RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTS4ENT 60 110 - 90 - y on 70 AO /^ s^ * I - BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 40 -CHANGE IN BUSINESS INNfENTORIES - 20 _ Q / -20 J^L_L-J i i i 1975 1976 — ^\_**** /•"\1 \>r /V^f -/* - Af) I I I 1977 I I' I I 1978 I ' I I I 1979 I 1975 I I i 1976 1 1 ! 1977 . 1 1 1 1978 I I I 1979 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE-. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Noiiresident ial fixed investm«mt Gross private domestic investment Period 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972_ 1973 „__ 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1977:111 IV 1978:1 II III IV1979: I* .. Strucjtures Total Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm struc— tures Farm structures ~prn. dueers' durable equipment Change in business inv entories Total Nonfarm 131.5 146.2 140. 8 160. 0 188.3 220. 0 214. 6 190.9 243.0 297. 8 345. 6 309.7 313.5 322.7 345. 4 350. 1 364.0 89.3 98.9 100.5 104. 1 116.8 136.0 150.6 150. 2 164.6 190.4 222. 6 193. 5 200.3 205. 6 220. 1 227. 5 237. 1 31. 6 35.7 37. 7 39.3 42.5 49.0 54. 5 53.8 57.3 63.9 77.8 65. 4 67.4 68. 5 76. 6 80.9 85. 1 30.4 34.3 36. 1 37.8 41. 1 46. 9 51. 8 51. 3 54. 7 61. 0 74.5 62.7 64. 5 65. 2 73.4 78.0 81.8 57. 7 63.3 62.8 64. 7 74.3 87. 0 96. 2 96.4 107. 3 126. 5 144. 8 128. 1 132.8 137. 1 143.5 146. 6 152.0 53. 4 58.9 58. 1 59. 9 69. 1 80. 1 88. 2 87.4 97. 5 116. 7 133.8 118. 6 123.4 127.2 132. 9 135.5 140.9 34.5 37. 9 36. 6 49.6 62.0 66. 1 55. 1 51. 5 68.2 91.9 107.0 94.3 100.2 100.3 105. 3 109.0 113.4 33. 1 36. 3 35. 1 47.9 60.3 64. 3 52. 7 49. 5 65.8 88.9 103.8 91. 2 97. 5 97.3 102. 1 105. 7 110.2 0.6 .7 .6 .7 .7 .6 1. 2 .9 1. 1 1. 5 1. 4 1. 6 1.2 1. 3 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 0.8 .9 .9 1.0 1. 1 1. 2 1.2 1. 1 1. 3 1. 5 1. 7 1. 5 1. 6 1. 7 1.8 1.7 1.7 7.7 9.4 3.8 6.4 9. 4 17.9 8.9 -10. 7 10.2 15. 6 16.0 21. 9 13. 1 16.7 20. 1 13. 6 13.5 7.6 9. 2 3.7 5. 1 8.8 14.7 10.8 -14. 3 12.2 15.0 16.7 22. 0 10.4 16.9 22. 1 14.6 13.4 371.1 244. 1 85.2 81.6 158.9 147.6 110.4 107. 2 1. 3 1.8 16.6 17.8 Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Prodincers1 dur able equip ment Resid ential fix ed inves tment EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Business plans to increase capital spending 11.3 percent in 1979, according to the Commerce Department survey conducted in late January and February. Spending in 1978 was 13.3 percent above 1977. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 40 20 20 1971 J/ 1973 1972 1975 1974 1976 1977 1979 1978 SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW, SOURCI: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Eiq>enditur€;s for plan t Starts c)f plant and equipment and eqilipment proj<3CtS 3 Mi inufacturi ng Period Total i Total N<immanuf aeturing Dur- Non- able goods durable goods Total Mining Transportation Public utilities Com- Commer- Manufactur- munication cial and ing other 1972 _ 1973 1974 1975. _ _ 1976 1977 1978 4 1979 _ _ 88. 44 99. 74 112. 40 112. 78 _ 120. 49 135. 80 _ 153. 82 _ 171. 14 31.35 38. 01 46. 01 144. 25 150. 76 155. 41 163. 96 61.57 67. 20 67. 75 1978:1 __.„ !!_„ Ill IV 4 1979: I _4 164. 23 II _ _ 167. 52 2nd half 4 _ 176. 09 1 47.95 52. 48 60. 16 67.62 77.54 15. 64 19. 25 22. 62 21. 84 23. 68 27. 77 31.66 37. 84 28. 72 31. 40 32.25 73.24 33. 99 15. 72 18. 76 23.39 26. 11 28. 81 32.39 35.96 39. 70 32.86 35.80 35.50 39.26 57.09 61.73 66.39 64. 82 68. 01 75. 64 86. 19 93. 60 82. 68 83. 56 87.66 90. 71 71.97 34.18 75.90 37.09 37. 78 38. 81 91.62 80.93 39.88 41.05 95.16 92.26 Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical, legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. These figures do not agree precisely with the nonresidential fixed investment data in gross national product estimates, mainly because those data include investment by farmers, professionals, nonprofit institutions, and real estate firms, and certain outlays charged to current account. 10 2.42 2. 74 3. 18 3.79 4.00 4.50 4.78 5.72 6.03 6.66 7.57 7.45 6.93 8. 05 17. 00 18.71 20. 55 20. 14 22. 28 25.80 29.48 32.40 20. 07 21.40 22. 05 20. 60 20. 99 22. 97 25. 71 19.28 27.45 9.38 4.45 4.81 4.99 4.98 8.46 7.40 8.05 8.43 5.35 4.89 10.06 8.36 32.30 31.91 44. 54 46. 46 5. 12 9. 72 32. 77 47. 55 2 8 27.92 28.46 29. 62 31.73 2 11. 89 12.85 13.96 12. 74 13.30 15.45 18. 16 5.08 17.07 18. 18 13.90 18.46 Public utilities 2476 24.71 26.09 27. 12 35.21 47.57 52.49 28. 60 38. 13 45.74 66.73 72.44 34. 50 29. 66 32. 54 34. 93 17.41 18. 10 16.96 19.97 7.98 7. 78 4.40 14.00 48. 24 51. 05 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. Starts are estimated by adding changes in carryover to expenditures during given period. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in late January and February 1979. Plans are adjusted when necessary for systematic bias. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Seasonally adjusted employment fell by 668,000 in April while unemployment increased by 66,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 80 10 10 - 5 1979 1971 *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period Noninstitutional population COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of person s 16 years of age a nd over] Unempl oyment Civilian e mploymeiit Total labor N onagri[cultural 15 Civilian Unemforce Civilian Part-time Agriweeks employ- ploy- (includ- labor Total Total ecoand culing ment ment force Total for nomic l over tural Armed reasons Forces) 1974_______ 150, 827 85, 935 1975 153, 449 84, 783 1976 156, 048 87, 485 1977 158, 559 90, 546 161, 058 94, 373 1978* U nad justed 5,076 93, 240 91,011 7,830 94, 793 92, 613 7,288 96, 917 94, 773 6,855 99, 534 97, 401 6,047 102, 537 100, 420 85, 935 84, 783 87, 485 90, 546 94, 373 2,709 3,492 82, 443 3,490 3,380 81, 403 3,272 3,297 84, 188 3,297 3,244 87, 302 3,342 91, 031 3,216 Seas<snally adjusted 1978: Apr*May__ JuneJulyAug__ Sept.. Oct___ Nov__ Dec__ 160, 504 160, .713 160, 928 161, 148 161, 348 161, 570 161, 829 162, 033 162S 250 93, 180 93, 851 95, 852 96, 202 96, 116 95, 041 96, 095 96, 029 95, 906 5,685 5,457 6,326 6,438 5,931 5,797 5,460 5, 629 5,725 101, 885 102, 222 102, 602 102, 738 102, 785 103, 097 103, 199 103, 745 103, 975 99, 767 100, 109 100, 504 100, 622 100, 663 100, 974 101, 077 101, 628 101, 867 93, 704 93, 953 94, 640 94, 446 94, 723 95, 010 95, 241 95, 751 95, 855 3,274 3,243 3,424 3,377 3,351 3,406 3,374 3,275 3,387 90, 430 90, 710 91, 216 91, 069 91, 372 91, 604 91, 867 92, 476 92, 468 1979: Jan__. Feb.. Mar__ Apr 162, 162, 162, 163, 94, 94, 95, 95, 6, 431 6,484 6, 165 5,561 104, 277 104, 621 104; 804 104, 193 102, 102, 102, 102, 96, 96, 96, 96, 3,232 3,311 3,343 3, 186 93, 068 93, 335 93, 499 92, 987 448 633 909 008 436 765 501 675 183 527 714 111 1 Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find full-time work, etc. 2 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population 16 years of age and over. 300 647 842 174 5,076 7,830 7, 288 6,855 6,047 Labor force participation rate (per-i \ 2o cent) 937 2,483 2,339 1,911 1,379 61.8 61.8 62.1 62.8 63.7 3,310 3,247 3,433 3,316 3,298 3,203 3, 164 3, 131 3,058 6,063 1,486 6, 156 1,404 5,864 I- 1, 266 6, 176 1,314 5,940 1,234 5, 964 1,268 5,836 1,317 5,877 1, 196 6,012 1,208 63.5 63.6 63.8 63.8 63.7 63.8 63.8 64. 0 64. 1 3, 159 3,147 3,179 3,312 5,883 5, 881 5,871 5,937 1,251 1,260 1,305 1,235 64.2 64.3 64.3 63. 9 * Beginning 1978, data not strictly comparable with earlier data because of revisions in the household surYey, which added about 250,000 to labor force and to employment. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In April the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose slightly to 5.8 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 10 10 0 i i i 1 1 1 i i i i i i i i 11 I 1 1 1 i i i i i 11 I 11 i i i i i i 1 1 I i i i i i Ii i i i I I I i 11 1979 1975 1976 ,J977 1978 1979 * UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unernployme nt rate ( percent c>f civiliaii labor f<Dree in giroup) By gsex and a€e ]3y select ed group s By race Total (all civilian workers) Men 20 years and over 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.0 6.0 3.8 6.7 5.9 5.2 4.2 1978: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov. Dec 6. 1 6. 1 5.8 6. 1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.9 1979: Jan.. _ Feb Mar_ _ Apr 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.8 Period Women 20 years and over White 5.5 8.0 7.4 7.0 6.0 16.0 19.9 19. 0 17.7 16.3 5.0 7.8 7.0 6.2 5.2 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.1 4. 1 4. 1 4.0 3.9 4.1 6.0 6.2 6.1 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 5.8 16.7 16.5 15. 1 16.3 15.7 16.3 16.2 16.2 16.5 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.2 12.0 12.3 12.0 12.3 11.5 11.3 11.3 11.7 11.5 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.7 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.6 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 15.7 16. 1 15.5 16.5 5.1 4.9 5.0 4.9 11.2 11.9 11.2 11.8 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.4 * Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours. 12 ExpeBlack rienced wage Houseand hold and other salary heads workers 9.9 3.3 5.3 13.9 8.2 5.8 13. 1 5. 1 7.3 13. 1 4.5 6.6 11.9 5.6 3.7 Both sexes 16-19 years Labor force time lost (percent) * Fulltime workers Parttime workers 5. 1 8. 1 7.3 6.5 5.5 8.6 10.3 10. 1 9.8 9.0 6.1 9.1 8.3 7.6 6,5 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.5 5.5 5.6 5.3 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.3 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.8 9.0 8.9 9.2 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.2 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.6 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 9.1 8.6 9.2 8.8 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.5 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of labor Statistics. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYI1ENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In April the percentage of unemployed persons who were job losers rose and the percentage who were job leavers, reentrants, and new entrants fell. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 60 JOB LOSERS 40 40 REENTRANTS 20 20 15-26 WEEKS NEW ENTRANTS "\ \ £*V*^ **% *** JOB LEAVERS 27 WEEKS AND OVER 1 i | 11 i 11 11 0 I i i i 1 1 I 1 1 i i i IN i i I i ii i i ii i i i I i 1 1 i i i i i i i 1 1 ii i i i i i i 1 1 i i i 1 1 1979 1978 1976 1977 1980 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERsl SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Percerit distrib ution of unemployment ay reasoii * Period 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978.______ 1978: Apr.. May. June. July__ Aug__ Sept.. Oct__ Nov__ Dec.. 1979: Jan.__ Feb___ Mar. _ Apr___ 1 2 Unem__i _.__ ployment (thousands) Job losers Job leavers Reentrants 5,076 7,830 7,288 6,855 6,047 6,063 6? 156 5,864 6,176 5,940 5,964 5,836 5,877 6,012 5,883 5, 881 5,871 5,937 43. 4 55.4 49. 8 45.3 41.6 42.0 42.7 40.8 41.4 41. 6 39.7 42. 2 40.7 40.2 41.6 41.8 41.3 42. 2 14. 9 10.4 12.2 13. 0 14.1 14.4 13.5 14.6 13.9 14.2 14.3 14.0 14.2 14.3 15.7 14.0 14.6 14.2 28.4 23. 8 26.0 28. 1 30.0 28.7 29.3 30.6 30.5 29.5 32.4 29.6 30. 1 31.9 28.7 29.6 30.2 30.0 New Less 5-14 enthan 5 weeks trants weeks 13.3 10.4 12. 1 13.7 14.3 14.9 14.6 14.0 14.2 14.8 13.7 14.2 15.0 13.6 14. 0 14.7 13.9 13. 6 50.6 37. 0 38.3 41.7 46.2 45. 1 46.9 46.6 48.2 47.2 47. 1 46.7 48. 8 47.4 46.4 46.7 46.5 48.6 Detail may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico), ex-servicemen (DCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal supplemental benefits) and SUA (special unemployment assistance). State pi^ograms Insured unem- Special unemployment. ployall ment Insured 27 weeks unem- Initial regular benefit3 pro- 2 claims and ploy- claims grams (unadment over (unad- justed) justed) Wee*kly aver age, thou sands PerceEit distrib ution of unemployment b y duratic m 1 31.0 31. 3 29. 6 30.5 31.0 30.5 30.2 32. 1 30.4 32.0 31.5 30.7 30.6 32.6 32. 1 31.8 31.4 31. 0 15-26 weeks 11. 1 16. 5 13. 8 13. 1 12. 3 13.3 11.8 11.3 10.9 10.6 11.2 12. 6 11.8 12.0 12. 5 12. 1 12. 3 11. 4 7.3 15.2 18.3 14.8 10.5 11. 1 11. 1 10. 0 10.5 10.3 10.2 10. 0 8.8 7.9 9.0 9.3 9.7 9.0 2,262 3,986 2,991 2,655 2,356 2, 307 2,223 2,247 2,374 2,448 2,292 2,234 2,230 2,252 2, 367 2,349 2,323 2,367 363 478 382 375 342 338 331 347 364 345 326 325 338 339 350 341 349 433 2, 558 4, 943 3,822 3, 111 2,640 2,659 2,369 2,297 2,581 2,394 2,064 1,999 2,148 2,567 3, 198 3,209 2,921 2, 611 1, 173 1, 152 572 60 36 21 3 FSB and SUA. These programs started January 1975 and regular reporting began March 1975. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricuitural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose by 72,000 in April. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 90 (ENLARGED SCALE) 20 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 18 80 16 70 14 SERVICE PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 60 22 MANUFACTURING \ 50 ^— 40 y 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 n| _GOODS-PRODUCING_ INDUSTRIES 30 CONSTRUCTION 20 111111 1975 1975 1976 1976 1977 1978 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers;l seasonally adjusted] CJoods-prc>ducing industries5 Fenoa Total nonagricuitural employment 1974 1975 1976___ _ 1977 1978..1978: AprMay __ June. _ July-Aug__ Sept__ Oct___ Nov._. Dec__ 1979: Jan. __ Feb___ Mar *»_ Apr »_ 78, 265 76, 945 79, 382 82, 256 85, 763 85, 418 85, 618 85, 996 86, 033 86, 149 86, 163 86, 573 87, 036 87, 281 87, 524 87, 818 88, 240 88, 312 TJ * J Total * Construction 24, 794 22, 600 23, 352 24, 288 25, 381 25, 313 25, 341 25, 473 25, 501 25, 463 25, 471 25, 670 25, 872 26, 030 26, 111 26, 199 26, 413 26, 397 4,020 3,525 3,576 3,833 4,212 4, 164 4, 175 4,278 4,317 4,298 4,298 4,341 4,368 4,397 4,381 4,385 4,532 4,534 Service-pr oducing industrie s Trans- Whole- Finance, Gover nment Matnufactui •ing insurportasale ance, Services tion and Non- Total State and and retail durable Total Durable Federal and real public trade goods goods local estate utilities 20, 077 18, 323 18, 997 19, 647 20, 332 20, 282 20, 297 20, 316 20, 302 20, 278 20, 286 20, 436 20, 601 20, 729 20, 825 20, 895 20, 960 20, 941 11, 925 10, 688 11, 077 11, 573 12, 160 12, 076 12, 093 12, 109 12, 138 12, 146 12, 166 12, 305 12,410 12, 491 12, 562 12, 647 12, 697 12, 682 8, 152 7,635 7, 920 8,074 8, 172 8,206 8,204 8,207 8, 164 8, 132 8, 120 8, 131 8, 191 8,238 8,263 8,248 8,263 8,259 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricuitural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricuitural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11. which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they 14 53, 471 54, 345 56, 030 57, 968 60, 382 60, 105 60, 277 60, 523 60, 532 60, 686 60, 692 60, 903 61, 164 61, 251 61, 413 61, 619 61, 827 61, 915 4,725 4,542 4,582 4,696 4,859 4,847 4,847 4,881 4,827 4,846 4,855 4,922 4,947 4,967 4,974 5,001 5,024 4,958 16, 987 17, 060 17, 755 18, 492 19, 394 19, 252 19, 335 19, 412 19, 469 19, 523 19, 546 19, 632 19, 701 19, 697 19, 817 19, 883 19, 949 19, 992 4, 148 4,165 4,271 4,452 4,676 4,623 4,637 4,670 4, 690 4,707 4,719 4,737 4,774 4,789 4,809 4, 829 4,842 4,860 13, 441 13, 892 14, 551 15, 249 15, 979 15, 866 15, 896 15, 963 15, 989 16, 074 16, 127 16, 169 16, 270 16, 327 16, 352 16, 439 16, 512 16, 569 2,724 2,748 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,745 2, 753 2,772 2,765 2,765 2,752 2,760 2,757 2,734 2,755 2,755 2,754 2,755 11, 446 11, 937 12, 138 12, 352 12, 723 12, 772 12, 809 12, 825 12, 792 12, 771 12, 693 12, 683 12, 715 12, 737 12, 706 12. 713 12, 746 12, 781 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRIVATE NONHGRICUIiTURHL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Averag*e gross hourly earnings Aver age weekly hours 1970 1971. ..... 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 .... 1978— Manufj acturing Total private nonagricultural l Period Total Overtime Manufacturing $3.23 3.45 3.70 3. 94 4.24 4.53 4.86 5.25 5.69 $3.35 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 5.22 5.68 6. 17 120.7 129.2 137.5 146.0 157.5 170.7 183.0 196.8 212.6 103.8 106.5 109.7 109.7 106.6 105.9 107.3 108.4 108.9 6.05 6.08 6. 12 6. 18 6.20 6.25 6.32 6.38 6.43 210.3 211.0 212. 3 214. 1 214.6 216.2 218.0 219.0 220.7 109.6 109. 1 108.8 109. 1 108.7 108.7 108.7 108.5 108.6 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.5 1.4 .8 .7 .5 .4 .0fj -.6 -.6 6.45 6.52 6.56 6.55 222.8 223. 9 225.3 226.6 108.6 107.8 107.3 106. 8 8.1 8.4 8.2 7.8 -1.1 -1.5 -2.0 -2.6 ... 39.8 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 40. 1 40.3 40.4 40.8 40.4 40. 5 40.5 40.3 40.4 40.5 40.7 40.7 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.6 ... 36. 1 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.8 35.8 35.9 35.8 35.9 3.7 3.8 5.61 5.62 5.66 5.71 5.73 5.77 5.82 5.87 5.91 35.7 35.7 35.9 35.4 40.7 40.7 40.8 39. 1 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.7 5.97 5.99 6.05 6. 04 ... 1978; Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct. Nov Dec 1979: Jan___ Feb_.__ Mar» Apr v 3.0 2.9 3.5 3.8 3.3 2.6 3. 1 3.4 3.6 3. 6 Percent ch ange from a year earlier 4 Index, 1<^67=100 Total private nonagricultural * 37. 1 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36. 1 36. 1 36.0 35.8 .... Adjusted h ourly earninigs index2 —t otal private nonagriccultural 1967 dollars 8 Current dollars Current dollars 6.6 7.0 6.4 6.2 7.9 8.4 7.2 7.5 1967 dollars 0.7 2.6 3.0 0 -2.8*j —. ^ j 1.3 1.0 .5 8. 1 8.2 8.0 8. 1 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS—PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly <earnings Total prii/ate nonagricul tural * Period Current dollars 1970 1971___ 1972... _ 19731974 1975.. 1976 1977. .... 1978»--.1978: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec_ 1979: Jan Feb Mar v _ Apr v 1 _ _ _ _ _ $119. 83 127. 31 136. 90 145. 39 154. 76 163. 53 175. 45 189. 00 203. 70 202. 52 201. 76 203. 19 204. 99 205. 13 206. 57 208. 94 210. 15 212. 17 213. 13 213. 84 217. 20 213. 82 Manufacturing 1967 dollars s $103. 04 104. 95 109. 26 109. 23 104. 78 101. 45 102. 90 104. 13 104. 30 105. 59 104. 32 104. 20 104. 48 103. 97 103. 86 104. 16 104. 14 104. 41 103. 86 102. 96 103. 48 100. 76 $133. 33 142. 44 154. 71 166. 46 176. 80 190. 79 209. 32 228. 90 249. 27 246. 84 245. 63 247. 86 250. 29 249. 86 252. 50 255. 96 259. 67 261. 70 262. 52 265. 36 267. 65 256. 11 $195. 45 211. 67 221. 19 235. 89 249. 25 266. 08 283. 73 295. 65 319. 19 315. 93 314. 39 322. 65 323. 02 323. 51 323. 75 323. 61 324. 58 329. 59 320. 23 329. 42 339. 90 326. 14 Percent cha^nge from a year earlier, total pri\rate nonagricul tural 5 Current dollars iCurrent dollars5 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. * Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing. 3 Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index. Revised index for urban wage earners and clerical workers used beginning 1978. 45-939 O - 79 - 2 Construction Wholesale and retail trade $96. 02 101. 09 106. 45 111. 76 119. 02 126. 45 133. 79 142. 52 153. 31 151. 80 151. 34 151. 86 153. 64 154. 16 155. 14 156. 93 157. 77 159. 24 159. 73 160. 23 162. 69 163. 67 4.6 6.2 7.5 6.2 6. 4 5.7 7.3 7.7 7.8 8. 3 7.5 7.9 8. 1 8.5 8.5 8. 1 1967 dollars -1.3 1.9 4. 1 -. 0 -4. 1 -3.2 1.4 1.0 .4 1. 7 .4 .5 .3 .6 .2 -. 6 8.6 -.2 9. 1 .1 9.4 9.6 8.7 5.6 .0 0 -1.4 -4.6 4 Monthly changes 1 based on indexes to two decimal places. Based on unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 DATA, PRIVATE BUSINESS ECONOMY PRODUCTIVITY AND Hours of all pers onsf Out put1 Output jer hour of all | »ersons Compe nsation per Ilour 8 Unit labor COsts Implicii "» price deflal uor 4 NonPriPriPriNonNonNonPrivate NonPrivate Private Nonfarm vate vate farm vate farm farm farm farm business business business business business business business business business business business business sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector Period 1967== 100; quarterly dat a season ally adjus ted 1966___ 1967 1968— _ „ 1969 1970 1971 1972. 1973— 1974 _ _ __ 1975— 1976 1977 1978 III IV 1978: I— II... III I¥ • _ I *___ _ 9ao 98.0 100.0 105. 1 108.3 98.1 100.0 105.4 ioae 100.0 100.0 101.8 1046 99.8 100.0 102. 1 105.5 100.0 103.3 103.5 98.4 100.0 103.2 102.9 100. 0 107. 6 1149 948 100.0 107.3 1141 96.8 100.0 104 1 111.0 96.4 100.0 1040 110.9 97.2 100.0 103.9 108.8 1040 108.6 107.3 110,3 117.6 1245 121. 5 107.4 110.2 117.8 125.0 121.9 103.0 102.4 105.5 109.6 110. 3 1042 103.8 107.0 111.5 112.3 1042 107.7 111.5 113.6 110.2 103.1 106.2 110. 1 112.0 108.5 123.1 131.4 139.7 151.2 1649 121.7 129.9 138.4 149.2 162.8 118. 1 122.0 125.3 133. 1 149.7 118. 1 122.3 125.6 133.2 150.0 113.9 118.9 123.1 130.2 143.0 114.0 119. 1 122.8 127.9 141. 3 118.8 126.5 133.2 139.0 iias 127.0 133.6 139.9 105.6 108.6 112.6 117.2 107.4 111.0 115.3 120.2 112.5 116.4 118.3 118.6 110.6 1144 115.9 116.4 181.3 197.1 213.1 232.8 178.9 193.8 209.4 228.9 161.2 169.3 180.2 196.3 161.8 169.4 180.8 196.6 157.4 165.4 174.9 187.9 156.3 164.8 1746 186.8 134.2 135.5 1346 135.8 112.8 113.8 115.8 116.6 118.9 119.0 116.3 116.4 215.4 218.9 211.3 215. 2 181. 1 183.9 181.7 1848 176.3 178. 4 176.4 178. 1 135.3 138.7 139.7 142.2 136. 1 139.8 140.6 i4ao 115.0 117. 5 117.4 118.9 117.8 120.5 120.5 122.0 117.7 118.0 119.1 119.6 115. 5 116.0 116.7 117.2 225.3 229.7 235.5 240.4 221.5 225.9 231. 1 236.2 191.4 194 6 197.8 201 1 191.7 1947 198. 1 201.5 181.3 186,6 189.9 193.5 180.6 185.3 188.9 192.2 142.3 143.4 120.5 123.7 118.2 116.0 246.8 242.0 208.8 208.7 197.7 195.8 949 96.8 100.0 Pereent change ; quarter!y data at seasonal y adjusted annua' rates 1966— 1967 1968 1969. 1970 1971 1972_ 1973 1974 _ _ .. _ _ 5.5 2.0 5.1 3.0 6.0 1.9 5.4 3.0 2.3 -.0 1.8 2.8 3.3 .2 2.1 3.4 3.2 2.0 3.3 .2 2.6 1.7 3.2 -.3 7.0 5.3 7.6 6.8 6.1 5.5 7.3 6.3 3.7 3.3 41 6.6 3.5 3.7 40 6.6 3.2 2.9 3.9 47 2.9 3.3 40 4.5 -.9 2.8 6.6 5.9 -2.4 — 1.1 2.6 6.9 6.0 -2.5 -1.6 -.6 3.0 3.9 .7 — 1.2 -.4 3.1 42 .7 .7 3.4 3.5 1.9 -3.0 .2 3.1 3.7 1.7 -3.1 7.1 6.7 6.3 8.2 9. 1 6.7 6.7 6.5 7.8 9.1 6.4 3.2 2.8 6.2 12.5 6.5 3.5 2.8 6.0 12.6 47 44 3.6 5.8 9.8 49 45 3. 1 41 10.5 1.9 3.5 1.3 .5 9.9 8.7 8.1 9.2 9.9 8.4 8.1 9.3 7.7 5.0 6.4 9.0 7.8 47 6.7 8.8 10.1 5.1 5.7 7.5 10.6 5.4 5.9 7.0 _ -2.3 6.5 5.3 44 -2.5 6.9 5.2 47 -43 2.9 3.7 41 -43 3.3 3.9 42 2.1 3.5 1.6 .3 III— __ IV 5.0 40 5.0 3.5 -.1 3.7 1.3 3.0 5.1 .4 3.7 .5 9.5 6.7 8.1 7.6 4.2 6.3 42 7.1 5.2 49 6.5 40 -.6 10.5 3.0 7.2 .7 11.6 2. 1 7.2 40 9.2 —.4 5.3 3.9 9.8 —.2 5.1 -45 1.2 3.5 1.7 -3.1 1.7 2.3 1.9 12.1 8. 1 10.4 8.7 12.2 8.2 9.6 9.1 17.4 6.8 6.7 6.8 15.7 6.4 7.1 7.0 6.7 12. 1 7.3 7.7 5.8 10.8 8.1 7. 1 ,5 1.2 5.3 5.7 -46 -4.3 11. 1 10.2 16.4 15.2 9. 1 7.8 19751976 1977 1978 1978:1— II IIL IV . 1979: I * 1 Output 2 Hours of all of establishment data. 3 Wages and and supplemental 4 Current dollar tie 16 in of to industry Also an for the self-employed. diYlded by In the in in 1972 sector, including primarily on for social of wages, salaries, dollar gross' domes- NOTE.—Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Data revised. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production declined 1.0 percent in April, mostly as a result of the strike and lockout in the trucking industry. INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) 180 INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) 160 UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 160 UTILITIES 140 IV* 120 100 MINING 1975 1976 1977^ 1978 1979 100 1976 1975 1977 1978 1979 PERCENT (RATIO SCALE) 100 MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE 90 80 1,20 70 100 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1975 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1967 proportion 1972___ 1973 _ 1974 1975 .... 1976. 1977 1978 1978: Mar Apr May _ June July ... Aug-- .. Sept Oct _ . Nov Dec. __ 1979: Jan. Feb Mar * Apr *>___ 1 Output 2 Annual 3 Total in dustrial produ ction Percent Index, change 1967= from 100 year earlier 100. 00 9.2 119. 7 8.4 129. 8 -.4 129.3 -8.9 117.8 10. 2 129.8 5. 6 137. 1 5.8 145.2 4. 1 140.9 5.2 143.2 5.0 143.9 5.2 144. 9 5.3 146. 1 147. 1 6.5 6.7 147.8 7. 1 148.7 7.4 149.6 8.0 150.9 150.9 8.7 8. 5 151. 0 7.9 152.0 5. 1 150.5 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Seasonally adjusted] Indu stry prodiiction ind«3xes, 1967 = 100 M anufacturi ng Total Durable Nondurable 87.95 118. 9 129.8 129.4 116.3 129. 5 137. 1 145.7 141.4 143,5 144. 3 145. 5 146.7 147.6 148.7 149.5 150.4 151.8 151.9 152.0 152.9 151. 3 51.98 113. 7 127. 1 125.7 109. 3 121. 7 129.5 139.3 134.4 136.9 137. 6 139.0 141. 1 142. 2 142.8 144.0 144.8 146.4 146.0 146. 1 147.4 144.4 S5.97 126. 5 133.8 134.6 126.4 140. 9 148. 1 154.8 151.4 153. 2 154. 0 154.9 155.0 155.6 157. 1 157. 4 158.5 159.6 160.4 160. 4 161.2 161.2 as percent of capacity. data are a¥erages of four monthly indexes. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages of quarterly data. Mining Utilities 6. 36 5.69 113. 1 114. 7 115. 3 112.8 114.2 117. 8 124.2 119.3 127.2 126.7 128.0 127. 1 126. 0 124. 1 127.6 128. 1 127.6 124.0 121.8 124. 1 123.8 139. 4 145.4 143.7 146. 0 151.0 156.5 161.0 159.5 156.0 157. 0 158. 6 159.9 160.8 162. 3 162.4 162.9 164.3 166.8 167.8 168. 1 168.4 Manufa Lcturing csipacityl ut Llization rate, p(srcent Federal Reserve sei les ComWharTotal merce2 ton manuMate- series series 3 facturrials ing 83. 1 87. 5 84.2 73. 6 80.2 82.4 84.2 82.7 83.7 83.9 84.3 84.7 85.0 85. 3 85.5 85.8 86. 3 86.0 85.8 86. 1 84. 9 88.0 92.4 87.7 73. 6 80. 4 81.9 84.9 81.9 84.0 84.5 85. 1 85.7 85.9 86.3 87. 1 87.6 88. 1 87.4 86.9 87.5 86.7 83 86 83 77 81 83 84 84 88.1 93.4 90.9 80.3 86.6 89.1 92.5 89.4 84 92.2 83 93.8 84 • 94.7 Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Wharton School of Finance. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Prodluets Final! roducts 3 Total Total 1967 proportion^-- _ l§70—_ __ _ 1§71 ._ _ 1972____ _ __ . _ . 1974 „_ _ 1975 _ . 1976—. 1977- _. _ 1978 _ _ Apr _ May__ _ _ June _ ~_ ' July.. Aug. _ . Get _ Nov.— __ Dec 1979: Jan Feb Mar» Apr »_ Equip>ment Coiisumer goods Period _ 47.82 105.3 106.3 . _ 115.7 1244 125.1 _ _ 118. 2 127.2 1349 141.4 140.5 140.5 141. 1 _ . 142.2 143.3 143.7 144. 1 1445 145.6 145.9 146.3 _ _ ' 147. 3 145.3 „ _ _ if. 68 109.0 1147 1244 131.5 128.9 1240 136.2 143.4 147.4 147.5 147.0 147.0 147.7 148.4 149.0 149.2 149.7 150.6 150.6 150.7 151.7 149.0 Intern:lediate prod ucts NonDurable durable goods goods 19.79 7.89 110. 1 106. 1 113. 1 118.8 120.6 133.8 146.2 125.6 126.3 135.3 125. 1 121.4 134 1 141.4 139.6 153.1 142.8 158.9 141.8 161.8 160.2 141.7 141.6 160.6 142.4 160.9 143. 1 161.5 144.4 160.3 161.6 1443 144 8 161.8 146.2 161.9 146.5 160.9 146.5 161.3 163.9 146.9 153.4 147.1 Construction supplies Total Business Total 20. 14 12.63 107.0 104 1 118. 0 1342 142.4 128. 2 136. 3 149.2 162.0 159.3 160.2 161. 8 163.8 165.4 165.8 166.9 167.2 168.7 169. 7 170.5 172.0 170.8 12.89 112.9 116.7 126.5 137.2 135.3 123. 1 137.2 145.1 155.3 152. 1 152.6 1547 155.6 156. 4 157.0 158.0 159.3 161.8 162.6 163. 1 162.7 162. 1 100. 1 947 103.8 1145 120.0 110.2 1146 123.2 133. 1 130.8 131.6 133.0 1347 136. 3 136. 4 137.0 137.3 138.7 139.5 140. 1 141.3 140. 5 Materials Supplementary group: Energy total 6. 42 S9. 29 12. 2S 111. 0 116. 8 128.4 139.8 134 5 116.3 132.6 140.8 153.3 148.5 150.4 152. 1 153.5 1547 155.6 157.0 159. 0 160.8 161.2 161.4 160.7 159.6 109.2 111.3 122. 3 133.9 132. 4 115.5 130.6 136.9 146.5 143.7 145. 1 146.4 147.9 148.6 149.7 151.4 152.7 153.8 153. 1 152.7 154 1 153.0 117.0 119.5 125.2 128.3 125.5 125.5 128.8 132.5 135. 1 133.1 1342 135.9 136.4 136. 1 135.9 137.6 138.2 139.3 138.7 137.7 139.8 139.7 [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] D arable m anufaetu res Primar]r metals Iron and steel Fabricated metal products 4. si 6.93 Period Total 6.57 106.6 100.2 112.1 __ 126.7 123. 1 96.4 108.9 110.2 __ 119.0 1143 115.5 117.5 123.0 126.0 127.9 Oct___ __ 128.6 Nov. 129.0 Dec - 130.4 1979: Jan _ _ . 122.0 Feb ___ 121.4 Mar*- _ __ 121.9 Apr *_ _ 121. 1 1967 proportion 1970 __ 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976__ 1977. 1978—-- — _ 1978: Apr May__ JuneJuly Aug _ 1047 102.4 96.1 103.5 107.1 112. 1 122.3 1247 119.8 1242 95.8 109.9 1049 123.3 103.4 130.9 113.2 142.6 109.0 139.5 110.5 140.4 1145 142. 3 119.0 1440 120.9 145.8 123.2 146. 3 123.8 146.0 1241 146.9 1245 149.Q 112.7 151.0 112.8 152.2 1145 152.3 151.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 Nontrical machinery Electrical machinery None lurable Eaanufact ures Transp Drtation equip ment Total 8.05 9.1$ 9.27 1044 108. 1 89.5 97.9 100. 2 107.7 116.0 122.2 108.2 133.7 143. 1 118. 3 140. 1 143.8 108.7 97.4 125.1 116.5 135.0 131.6 110.6 1448 141.9 121. 1 155.6 1543 130.5 152.2 152.3 130.5 152.9 152.9 130. 1 154.6 1541 130.4 156. 1 157.9 132.1 157.3 156.9 133.4 158.7 158.3 132.8 160. 3 157.9 137.0 160.3 159.0 139.3 161.8 161.9 139.5 163.6 163.9 137.7 1646 1649 136.3 166.0 166. 1 140. 3 165.3 165.2 127. 3 Motor vehicles and parts 4.50 92.3 118.6 135. 8 148.8 128.2 111. 1 140.7 159.7 168.3 171.7 168.3 167.7 169.7 171.0 168.9 176.8 180.8 179.7 1745 171.4 177.9 153.8 Lumber and products Apparel products Print- Cheming icals Foods and and pubprodlishing ucts 1.64 S.S1 101.4 1047 109.4 117. 3 1143 107.6 122. 2 124 2 126.3 126. 1 125.8 126.8 1245 127.2 130.9 130.6 129.9 131.4 132.3 130. 2 4.72 107.0 107. 1 112.7 118.2 118.2 113. 3 120.6 1247 129.9 128.6 128.2 128.7 130.3 129.5 131.0 130.5 132. 1 133.0 135.8 137. 1 136.8 137.0 105.6 113.8 120.8 126.0 116.2 107.6 125. 1 133.4 138.9 136.9 136. 5 138.7 138. 1 136.9 139.2 141.2 142.5 146.0 142.0 141. 1 140.0 7. 74 120.4 125.9 143.6 1545 159.4 147.2 169.3 180.7 190.7 185.5 188. 1 191.1 192.3 192.2 1942 195.9 197.6 197.9 200.8 201.4 201.3 8.75 108.9 112.8 116.8 120.9 1240 123.4 132.3 137.9 142.9 143. 1 142.8 141.8 142.9 1440 1444 143.2 1442 145.7 145.5 146.5 147.1 NEW CONSTRUCTION Constructio n contracts3 Private Total construction expenditures Period Resic iential Total Total1 Commercial and industrial New housing units Other Federal, State, and local CommerTotal value cial and index industrial (1972= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) Bi] lions of doll ars 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978.— 93.9 105.4 100.2 93.7 110.5 1347 157.5 124 1 137.9 138.5 1345 148.8 172.6 202.2 543 59.7 50.4 46.5 60.5 81.0 93. 1 449 50, 1 40.6 344 47.3 65.7 75.5 18. 1 21.7 23.8 20.8 19.9 22.5 29.0 21.5 240 25.9 26.4 30.0 31.3 35.3 30.2 32.5 38,3 40. 9 38.3 37.8 44 8 34 1 349 34 6 35. 1 35.2 346 35.6 36.9 37.5 38.9 38.3 38.0 38.2 37.7 41.5 45. 1 45. 2 48. 4 48.2 48. 0 47.9 47.9 47.6 46.3 41.8 43.0 Seasonall y adjusted at inual rates 185.4 195.0 201.3 206.3 209.9 208.4 209.8 212.0 215.8 218.5 208.6 205.6 211.6 1978: Mar Apr May June _ _ July Aug. Sept Oct Nov Dec 1979: Jan Feb* Mar * Apr _ ._ 147.7 153.5 156.2 161.1 161.5 160.3 161.9 1641 167.9 171.0 162.3 163.8 168.6 1 Includes nonhousekeeping residential ations, not shown separately. 2 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 beginning 1971 for floor space. 88. 1 92.2 943 95.4 95.7 948 947 95.2 97.6 98.8 92.2 94 1 946 72.5 74.4 75. 1 76.6 77.7 77. 1 76.8 76.8 78.9 80.5 746 76.9 76.4 and additions and alter1969 for value index and 25.4 26.4 27.3 30.6 30.6 30.9 31.6 32.0 32.8 33.3 31.8 31.8 35.7 100.0 109. 2 103.0 101.9 121.0 153. 6 173. 1 854 1,010 840 555 592 739 984 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual 153 169 202 153 173 177 182 193 174 184 181 231 186 187 863 921 1,061 999 898 951 1,037 1,015 1,093 978 1,062 1,266 1,233 1,123 NOTE.—New construction expenditures data prior to 1973 not comparable with later data. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] $Jew private housing unr }S Total 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 by type of striicture Units Period _ 2, 052. 2, 356. 2, 045. lf 337. 1, 160. 1, 537. 1, 987. 2, 020. 1 2 6 3 7 4 5 1 3 1, 151. 0 1, 309. 2 1, 132. 0 ssai 1, 162. 4 1, 450. 9 1, 433. 3 2-4 units 120.3 141.3 118. 3 68. 1 64.0 85.9 121.7 125.0 5 or more units 780.9 906. 2 795.0 381.6 204.3 289. 2 414.4 462.0 New priv ate homes Units authorized 1, 924. 6 2f 218. 9 1, 819. 5 1,074.4 939. 2 1, 296. 2 1, 690. 0 1, 800. 5 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period * 1, 706. 1 2, 003. 9 2, 100. 5 1, 728. 5 1, 317. 2 1, 377. 2 1, 657. 1 1, 867. 5 656 718 634 519 549 646 819 816 287 409 418 346 313 353 401 413 1,958 1, 869 1,876 1,928 1,948 1,900 1,883 1,885 1,888 1, 815 1,894 1,954 827 843 830 829 778 796 900 803 802 774 697 811 411 414 419 417 418 417 407 412 413 412 410 407 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent)3 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.2 5.0 Seasonally adjusted arinual rates 1978: Apr May_ June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec._ 1979: Jan Feb* Mar *_ „ Apr 9 2,176 2,037 2,093 2,104 2,004 2,024 2,054 2,107 2,074 1,679 1,381 1, 786 1,749 * Seasonally adjusted. Quarterly data entered in last 3 1,482 1,463 1,439 1,455 1,431 1,432 1,436 1,502 1,539 1,139 953 1,266 1,279 of quarter- 138 92 143 134 137 112 135 150 119 124 76 116 110 556 482 511 515 436 480 483 455 416 416 352 404 360 1,914 1,756 1,983 1,765 1,716 1,838 1, 835 1,789 1,827 1,442 1,425 1,621 1,517 5. 1 5.0 5.0 4.8 E.—Units authorized revised beginning 1978 to relate to 16,000 permit issuing places. Data for 1972-77 are for 14,000 places and 1971, for 13,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE Business sales rose 4.0 percent in March while inventories rose $4.8 billion. According to the advance survey, retail sales rose 0.5 percent in April following a 1.0 percent increase in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 100 400 TOTAL BUSINESS INVENTORIES 350 RETAIL INVENTORIES 90 , 80 300 RETAIL SALES 250 5® >TAL BUSINESS . TOTAL 200 SALES 150 - RATIO* INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 100 1.20 1977 1976 19751 1975 1979 1978 11978 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total biusiness l Retail Who!esale Sales2 Period Qnlnoi22 bales 1979 Inventories3 O_l_._ n Inven-3 bales * tories In ventories§ NonDurable durable Tntil goods goods stores stores Tfvf ol DurNonable durable goods goods stores stores Inventor y- sales rati o * Total business 1 Retail Milh ons of d<">Ilars, sejasonally adjusted 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1978___ 1978.. __. 203, 088 234, 036 285, 415 284, 735 310, 466 337, 832 379, 391 29, 584 39, 786 36, 822 46, 254 45, 836,56, 537 44, 633 55, 113 48, 408, 61, 307 53, 509, 67, 998 62, 842 80, 771 37, 422 12, 369 41, 944 14, 132 44, 692 13, 921 48, 731 15, 106 54, 597,18, 073 60, 335 20, 653 66, 568 23, 160 25, 054 55, 079 24, 238 27, 812 63, 237 28, 418 30, 771 71, 067 32, 861 33, 626 71, 744 33, 356 36, 524 79, 273 37, 841 39, 682 90, 120 43, 414 43, 409 100, 818 48, 161 30, 841 34, 819 38, 206 38, 388 41, 432 46, 706 52, 657 1.50 1.44 1.47 1.58 1.48 1.44 1.41 1.40 1.41 1. 49 1.45 1. 39 1.40 1.44 349, 201 354, 332 357, 401 360, 355 363, 432 367, 044 369, 526 372, 639 376, 596 379, 391 58, 803 61, 640 63, 171 62, 656 63, 425 64, 894 64, 531 67, 338 67, 552 67, 823 64, 075 65, 146 65, 522 65, 964 66, 224 67, 303 68, 085 68, 971 70, 158 70, 918 21, 813 22, 617 22, 730 22, 947 23, 049 23, 617 23, 872 24, 422 24, 954 25, 163 42, 262 92, 712 44, 624 42, 529 94, 290 45, 619 42, 792 94, 933 45, 525 43, 017 95, 607 45, 502 43, 175 96, 521 45, 704 43, 686 97, 824 46, 116 44, 213 98, 350 46, 444 44, 549 99, 279 47, 006 45, 204 100, 483 47, 555 45, 755 100, 818 48, 161 48, 088 48, 671 49, 408 50, 105 50, 817 51, 708 51, 906 52, 273 52, 928 52, 657 1.43 1.41 1.42 1.42 1.44 1.41 1.42 1.40 1.39 1.39 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.46 1.45 1.44 1. 44 1.43 1.42 273, 444 383, 886 67, 148 81, 543 70, 855 275, 352 387,411 67, 495 83, 005 71, 122 286, 385 392, 231 70, 737 84, 620 71, 852 72, 197 25, 250 25, 035 25, 356 25, 253 45, 605 101, 739 49, 302 52, 437 46, 087 101, 175 49, 367 51, 808 46, 496 102, 218 49, 557 52, 661 46, 994 1.40 1.41 1.37 1.44 1.42 1.42 130,049 151, 720 175, 350 179, 982 __ _ _ _ 201, 814 225, 100 254, 727 1978: Mar Apr. May June July Aug Sept_ Oct Nov Dec_1979: Jan__ Feb Mar *____ Apr » 243, 979 251, 323 252, 259 253, 459 252, 755 260, 068 260, 535 266, 946 270, 134 273, 776 21 The term "business" also includes manufacturing Monthly average for year and total for month. 1 -4 AJW&. Book value, vaiuc, ciiu end ui of pciiuu, period, ocaDUiisuiy seasonally au adjusted. justed. 72, 629 74, 327 74, 779 75, 191 75, 744 76, 338 77, 113 78, 625 79, 526 80, 771 (see page 21). For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to for month. sales, lies; 20 NOTE.—Data for 1978 are as revised in March. Data for earlier periods revised in this issue. __ Source: of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis Bureau Source: Department Depg of the Census). MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers1 orders inventories rose in March. In April, according to advance data, durable goods fell. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) OF 160 140 INVENTORIES 120 240 100 200 160 GOODS 120 100 \ DURABLE GOODS GOODS 80 60 NONDURABLE GOODS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* {RATIO 160 140 40 NEW 120 100 RATIO* 2.20 i1l ««&, ^ A*** L »»**BSM**'*-* '*"*""i i^^**s»^ "* \ «•««*«»»«"»') \ 1975 . GOODS 1977 1976 INVENTORYJSHIPMENTS! RATIO 1978 1979 1979 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTS) SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMM0JCE Manufac •CONOMiC ADVISERS so l Mantifacturer s} new ore ers Manufad turersj im 63, 043 72, 954 84, 821 86, 616 98, 809 __ 111,256 125, 317 34,043 39,704 44, 253 43, 678 50, 697 58, 266 66} 924 28, 999 33, 250 40, 568 42, 939 48, 112 52, 990 58, 394 Durab le goods Capital Nongoods Total Total Durable durable indusgoods Total goods tries, nondefense Millio ns of doll ars, seasoilally adju 3ted 8,832 108, 223 70, 244 37, 979 64, 201 35, 098 124, 545 81, 333 43, 212 76, 224 42, 894 11, 114 157, 811 101, 790 56, 021 87, 200 46, 783 12, 691 157, 878 101, 580 56, 298 85, 058 41, 933 10, 781 169, 886 108, 968 60, 918 99, 134 50, 997 12, 501 179, 714 115,424 64, 290 112,842 59, 795 15, 201 197, 802 129, 141 68, 661 129, 263 70, 744 18, 814 1978: Apr__ 124, 537 May__ 123, 566 June _ 124, 839 July— 123, 106 Aug__ 127, 871 Sept___ 127, 919 Oct ___ 130, 637 Nov_ _ 132, 424 Dec___ 135, 035 66, 493 65, 417 66, 293 65, 222 68, 684 68, 916 70, 292 71, 635 73, 429 58,044 58, 149 58, 54i 57, 884 59, 187 59, 003 60, 345 60, 789 61, 606 185, 715 187, 689 189, 557 191, 167 192, 882 194, 063 194, 735 196, 587 197, 802 1979: Jan _ 135, 441 Feb___ 136, 735 Mar 143, 796 Apr *>_ 62, 188 200, 604 131, 542 . 62, 506 203, 231 133, 783 77, 742 66, 054 205, 393 135, 287 72, 370 Period 1972 1973 1974 1975___ 1976 1977 1978- Total NonDurable durable goods goods 73, 253 i Monthly average for year and * Book value, end of period. 'End of period. 119, 848 121, 471 122, 688 123, 830 125, 206 126, 176 126, 784 128, 357 129, 141 for are the same as sales. 65, 867 66, 218 66, 869 67, 337 67, 676 67, 887 67, 951 68, 230 68, 661 128, 128, 127, 123, 130, 131, 137, 137, 140, 175 450 580 279 952 840 185 662 356 70, 033 70, 045 68, 840 65, 187 71, 582 72, 645 76, 984 76, 654 78, 623 69, 062 142, 679 80, 732 69, 448 144, 894 82, 007 70, 106 150, 215 84, 344 77, 030 ManufacNon- turers' durable unfilled goods orders 3 Manufacturers' inventory— shipments4 ratio 29, 104 121, 709 33, 329 161, 194 40, 417 189, 678 43, 125 170, 686 48, 137 -474, 553 53, 047 193, 659 58, 519 241, 025 1.67 1.58 1.65 1.83 1.66 1.58 1.51 58, 142 58, 405 58, 740 58, 092 59, 370 59, 195 60, 201 61, 008 61, 733 209, 133 214, 010 216, 754 216, 922 219, 999 223, 921 230, 464 235, 704 241, 025 1.49 1.52 1.52 1.55 1.51 1.52 1.49 1.48 L46 058 61, 947 248, 266 270 62, 887 256, 424 731 65, 871 262? 842 378 1.48 1.49 1.43 17, 409 18, 124 18, 155 17, 074 19, 344 20, 149 22, 219 20, 575 20, 790 22, 23, 24, 21, 1 * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRODUCER PRICES PRICES In April, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.9 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.3 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 1.4 percent. Prices of capital equipment increased 1.1 percent. INDEX, 1967= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 240 INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 220 200 100 100 1979 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC ADVISERS [196?r=lOO; month] y data iseasona ily ad jusJted] Finishec I goods Ini termed!ate rnateria]s Total consumer CapifinFoods tal ished Total and s Other equip- goods feeds ment l 116. 6 112.9 114. 1 111.7 114.3 119.5 116.6 118.7 118.5 118.9 123.5 129. 2 131.6 168.4 128. 1 141. 0 149. 3 162.9 200. 2 159.5 162. 5 163. 6 180. 0 195. 3 178.6 173.2 1169. 0 189.3 186, 6 189.5 184.5 1178. 9 201. 7 191.0 202.4 199.0 192. 6 215.5 201.0 216.4 195. 7 189. 7 212. 0 200. 6 212. 8 197. 2 190. 8 213.3 200. 8 214. 1 198.7 192. 3 214.4 201.9 215. 5 200. 1 193.7 215.4 201.5 216.2 201.0 194. 0 216. 8 198.8 217. 7 202. 1 195.8 218. 2 203, 4 219. 1 203.4 197.4 220. 8 207. 6 221.5 205. 1 198. 6 222. 6 207. 7 223. 5 206.4 201.0 224. 2 212. 2 225.0 208.4 203.7 226. 6 214. 4 227.5 210. 1 206. 1 229.0 218. 3 229. 6 211. 3 208.4 231. 3 218.9 232. 1 213. 7 210. 0 234.7 220. 8 235.7 Finished goods e xcludin g consumer f cmds Period 1971____ __ 1972____ 1973 ___ _ 1974. _ _ _ __ _ 1975 _ _ _ _ __ 1976 1977---.. 1978 1978: Apr May _ _ June. July. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Aug Sept ... __ Oct.. _ __ Nov Dec... 1979: Jan Feb___ __ __ Mar_ _ _ Apr Total finConished sumer goods foods Total 113.7 117.2 127. 9 147. 5 163. 4 170.3 180. 6 194.6 191. 5 192.8 194.2 195.6 196. 1 197.7 199.2 200. 6 202.7 205. 2 207.3 209. 3 211.2 115. 3 121.7 146.4 166.9 181.0 180.2 189. 1 206.8 203.8 204.4 207. 2 207.4 206.6 209.7 213. 1 214. 7 217.3 221.2 224.7 227.5 226. 9 113. 1 115.4 120. 1 139.3 156.2 165 5 176. 2 188. 9 185. 8 187. 3 188.3 190.0 190. 9 192.0 192.9 194. 2 196. 1 198. 2 199. 9 201.6 204. 2 Comsumer -g cods Total 111.4 113.4 118. 5 138.6 153. 1 161. 8 172. 1 183.7 180.8 182.2 183.0 184. 9 185.9 186. 9 187. 6 188.7 190.9 193. 0 194. 7 196. 8 199.5 flHlp Nondurable 110.8 113.2 115.8 126. 3 138.2 144.4 152.2 165.9 163. 0 165.3 165.6 168.5 169.8 171.0 169.7 169. 9 172. 3 174. 1 175. 4 176.4 177.9 111.7 113.6 120.5 146.8 163.0 173.3 185.4 195. 4 192. 4 193.3 194.4 195.5 196. 3 197. 2 199. 3 201. 1 203. 1 205. 5 207. 4 210.2 213. 7 Th-ir 1 Formerly called producer finished goods. J Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. Data are not seasonally 22 Crad e materials Foodstuffs Total and Other feedstuffs 115. 1 114.2 117.0 127.6 127.5 128.0 174. 0 180.0 162.5 196. 1 189.4 208. 9 196.9 191.8 206.9 205. 1 190. 1 233.6 214.3 190.9 258.4 240.2 215.4 287.0 233.8 211. 0 276.7 235.9 212. 9 279.0 240.9 218.0 283.7 241.5 215. 7 289.9 241.5 215.6 290.3 245.7 219. 5 295.0 252. 7 227. 6 299.9 255. 6 229.6 304. 9 257.5 230. 3 308.6 263.4 236.7 313.6 272.2 245.6 322. 3 275. 0 246.2 329.2 273. 9 245. 5 327.4 NOTE.—Data revised for December 1978. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistici. CONSUMER PRICES In April, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 1.1 percent (also 1.1 percent seasonally adjusted). Food prices increased 0.8 percent (1.0 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 1.6 percent (1.3 percent seasonally adjusted) and services prices were up 0.8 percent (0.9 percent seasonally adjusted). INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1967= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 140 120 120 100 100 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1967=100] Period 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 All items 121.3 125.3 133. 1 147. 7 161.2 170.5 181.5 195.4 Food 118.4 123.5 141.4 161.7 175.4 180.8 192.2 211.4 Commodities less food 116.8 119. 4 123.5 136.6 149. 1 156.6 165. 1 174.7 Services 128.4 133.3 139. 1 152. 1 166.6 180.4 1943 210.9 com- modities All 117.4 120.9 129. 9 145.5 158.4 165.2 174.7 187. 1 118.4 123.5 141.4 161. 7 175.4 180.8 192.2 211. 4 Food at home 116.4 121.6 141.4 162.4 175.8 179.5 190.2 210.2 191. 5 193. 3 195.3 196. 7 197.8 199.3 200.9 202.0 202.9 207.5 210. 3 213.8 215.0 215.4 215.6 216.8 217.8 219.4 171.3 173.0 174.4 175.4 176.3 177.8 179. 1 180.3 181.3 1979: Jan Feb____ Mar Apr 204. 7 207. 1 209. 1 211.5 223. 9 228. 2 230.4 232.3 181.9 183. 7 185.9 188.9 207. 1 211.7 213.4 215.6 217.6 218.6 219. 2 183.9 185. 3 186.9 187.7 188.7 190.2 191.7 193.0 194.6 208. 1 210.5 213.5 213.7 214.6 216.0 217.9 219. 2 221. 3 213. 1 212.7 213.2 214. 5 216.5 217. 8 220. 1 221. 1 223. 3 225. 1 196.7 199. 1 201.3 224.5 223.7 230.5 232.7 230.0 232.4 206.5 208.0 209.9 227.0 203.8 NOTE.—Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. Earlier data related to urban wage earners and clerical workers. Food away from home 126. 1 131. 1 141.4 159.4 174.3 186. 1 200.3 218.4 Services able Nondur- 116.5 118. 9 121.9 130.6 145.5 154.3 163.2 173.9 117.0 119. 8 124.8 140.9 151. 7 158.3 166.5 174.3 128.4 133.3 139. 1 152. 1 166.6 180.4 194.3 210.9 171.6 172. 6 173.7 174.7 175.7 177.2 178.5 179.8 181.3 170. 2 171.5 173.0 174. 2 175.3 176.8 178.3 180. 1 181.6 172. 1 172.9 173.6 174.5 175.4 176.5 177.4 178.3 179.4 206.9 208.7 182.9 184. 8 186.9 189.4 183. 3 185. 1 186.0 187.6 181.4 182.9 186.4 190.0 All 116.8 119.4 123.5 136.6 149. 1 156.6 165. 1 174.7 Dur- able Seasonal y adjust ed Unac [justed 1978: Apr____ May__ _ June July Aug_ _ _ Sept.__ Oct Nov Dec Comenodities less food Food All All 228. 1 • 209.9 227. 7 213.8 215. 5 218.0 219.5 221. 4 223. 1 224.7 226.0 227. 8 230.7 233. 6 236.2 238.2 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 210.5 212.2 213.8 215.7 217.6 218.7 219.5 220.7 223. 1 225. 1 227.2 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS Period Pereen t change from 3 inonths earlie,r; seasoilally adjiisted annua1 rates Pereen t change from 6 inonths earlie r; seasortally adjiisted annua rates Consum er goods Consum er goods Consum er goods Total finished goods 1970 1971. 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 - 1978: Apr__May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Pereen t change from pr<seeding perioc1; seasonally adpisted1 . 1979: Jan Feb Mar Apr Capital Total equipfinExclud- ment ished ing goods Foods foods Capital Total finequipished Exclud- ment goods ing Foods foods Capital equipExclud- ment Foods ing foods 2.2 3.2 3.8 11.8 18.3 6.6 3.3 6.6 9.1 -2.5 5.9 8. 0 22.5 13.0 5.5 -2.5 6.6 11.9 3.9 2.0 2.0 7.4 20.5 6.7 4.9 6. 1 8.3 4.9 2.4 2.0 5.3 22.6 8.2 6.4 7.2 8.0 1.1 .7 .7 .7 .3 .8 .8 .7 1.0 1.0 .3 1.4 .1 -.4 1.5 1.6 .8 1.2 1.3 .8 .4 1.0 .5 .5 .4 .6 1.2 .7 .8 .8 .7 .4 .5 .6 .8 .6 10.2 9.7 10.3 8.8 7.0 7.4 7.6 9.5 10.5 16.9 9.5 11.4 7.3 4.4 4.9 11.5 16.6 15.3 8.6 10.5 10.5 9.4 8.4 8.8 6.0 6.2 8.8 7.3 8.1 9. 1 9.3 7.9 7.0 6.8 8.4 8.8 8.9 8.8 9.5 9.5 8.3 8.8 8.2 8.3 8.9 14.2 11.9 14.1 12.0 6.9 8. 1 9.3 10.3 10.0 7.0 7.8 7.9 9.0 9.4 9.6 7.7 7.3 8.8 7.3 7.8 8.1 8.3 8.0 8. 1 8.0 8.2 7.9 1.2 1.0 1.0 .9 1.8 1.6 1.2 *> 1.1 .9 1. 1 1.4 1.0 .8 .6 1. 1 12.6 14.0 13.7 12.2 16. 1 20.0 20. 1 10.7 12.0 13.3 12.9 14.2 10.2 10. 1 9.8 10.6 10.1 11.7 12. 1 12.4 13.8 18.3 17.7 13.4 9.0 9.7 10.9 13. 1 8.5 9.3 9.3 10.4 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. i Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). NOTE.—Based on revised data for December 1978. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES Percerit change5 from pre ceding perio d; seasoilally adju sted1 Period All items Food Commodities less food Services Percent c dange f re>m 3 mont hs earlier; Percent change f re>m 6 mont hs earlier ; seasoniilly adju sted annu al rates seasonsilly adju sted annu al rates All items Food Commodities less food Services All items Food Commodities less food Services 5.5 3.4 3.4 8.8 12.2 7.0 4.8 6.8 9.0 2.2 4.3 4.7 20.1 12.2 6.5 .6 8.0 11.8 4.8 2.3 2.5 5.0 13.2 6.2 5.1 4.9 7.7 8.2 41 3.6 6.2 11.3 8.1 7.3 7.9 9.3 1978: Apr. __ May_June.~ July.__ Aug._Sept.Oct___ Nov.. _ Dec .8 .8 .9 .6 .6 .9 .8 .6 .6 1.7 1.2 1.4 .1 .4 .7 .9 .6 1.0 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .9 .7 .7 .8 .9 .9 .9 .8 .8 .9 .9 .5 .4 9.5 10.3 10.7 9.5 8.5 8.5 9.5 9.4 8.5 17.2 17.5 18. 3 11.2 8.0 4.8 8. 1 8.9 10.2 5.3 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 8.3 9.0 9.7 9.6 10.3 10.6 11.0 10. 6 10. 1 10. 3 10.6 9.5 7.2 8.3 8.9 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.0 8.5 13.8 14.6 16.6 14.2 12.6 11.3 9.6 8.4 7.4 5.8 6. 1 6.5 6.4 7.2 7.8 8.2 8.5 8.9 8.6 9.4 10.0 10.5 10.4 10.6 10.6 9.8 8.7 1979: Jan.. _ Feb___ Mar Apr .9 1.2 1.0 1. 1 1.4 1.6 1. 1 1. 0 .9 1.0 1.1 1.3 .5 1. 1 .9 .9 8.8 11.3 13.0 13.9 12.7 17.3 17.7 15.4 10.2 11.6 12. 9 15.0 5.8 8.3 10. 6 12.3 9.2 10.4 10.7 11.4 10.4 13.0 13.9 14.0 9.6 10.6 11.2 12.6 8.2 8.9 8.9 9.0 1970 1971_ 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 __ i Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). NOTE.—Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. Earlier data relate to urban wage earners and clerical workers. 24 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers fell 1 percent in April and prices paid by farmers rose 1 percent in the month ended April 15. "INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) PRICES PAID (ALL ITEMS, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES) - 70 60 1971 1979 J/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period All farm products Livestock Crops Parity ratio 1 Prices paid by far mers Prices received by farmers and products All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Family living items Production items Actual Adjusted * Index, 1 967=100 1971.... 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1978: Apr .... May June July Aug Sept.—.. Oct Nov Dec 1979: Jan Feb Mar Apr ._ 113 125 179 192 185 186 183 210 208 215 218 215 211 216 218 216 222 108 114 175 224 201 197 192 203 208 212 216 213 204 204 202 202 205 118 136 183 165 172 177 175 216 209 217 219 217 217 226 232 228 237 118 125 144 164 180 191 202 219 216 219 220 220 221 223 224 225 226 (33) () « (33) () (33) ( 3) () (33) () (3) 232 241 246 244 209 216 214 212 252 264 274 272 234 238 243 245 (3) (33) ( 3) () 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. * The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers. 118 123 133 151 166 176 113 121 146 166 182 193 200 216 214 217 218 218 217 220 222 222 225 71 74 91 86 76 71 66 70 71 72 73 72 70 71 72 71 72 75 79 94 87 76 72 68 72 73 74 75 73 72 73 73 72 74 230 235 243 246 73 75 74 73 74 76 76 74 3 Index discontinued. Consumer price index (Department of Labor) substituted in calculating total prices paid beginning January 1977. Source: Department of Agriculture. 9JR MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK All the monetary aggregates increased sharply in April. BILLIONS Of DOOARS*(RATIO SCALE) ilLLIONS ..jQfJX*LLARS*(RAIlO SCALE) 1,000 i;ooo 300 300 200 200 1971 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THf FID1RAI RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Deposii ;s at corrtmercia banks Large CDs Savings Deposits at nonbank thrift institutions 363.7 63.0 418. 1 89. 0 450. 3 81.0 489. 2 62.4 544.4 73.7 611.2 96.6 565.9 83.4 572.2 86.2 576. 8 86. 7 582. 1 88.0 587.4 87.6 593.5 88. 5 597.7 88.6 608.5 95.4 611. 2 96.6 615.8 100.5 620. 2 102. 1 619.5 99.0 620.6 95. 0 127. 1 135.9 160.7 202. 1 219.7 223. 0 221. 7 222. 8 223. 5 222. 9 224. 1 226.0 225.9 224. 3 223.0 220. 8 218.6 217. 7 217.7 347. 7 368. 7 427.7 495.0 564.9 624.4 581. 5 585. 3 590. 5 595.9 601.5 608. 5 614.6 619.5 624. 4 628.7 633.0 638. 0 641. 6 Period Ml M1 + M2 M3 Currency Time and sa vings Demand Tnfnl JL U Lctl 2 1973: Dec.. 270.5 1974: Dec__ 283.2 1975: Dec_. 295.4 1976: Dec__ 313.8 1977: Dec.. 338,7 1978: Dec_ 361.2 1978: Apr__ 347.9 May_ 350.7 June- 352.5 July. 354.4 Aug. 356.7 Sept. 360. 7 Oct__ 361.2 Nov_ 360.6 Dec. 361. 2 Jan__ 359. 7 Feb. 358.6 Mar. 359.0 Apr*. 364. 3 397. 9 419.5 456. 8 517.2 560. 6 587. 1 572. 1 576. 1 578. 6 580. 1 583. 6 589.5 589.9 587.7 587. 1 583.2 580. 0 579.4 584.8 571.3 612.2 664.8 740. 6 809.4 875.8 830.3 836.7 842.6 848.6 856.5 865.6 870.2 873. 7 875.8 875.0 876.7 879. 5 889.8 919.0 981.0 1, 092. 4 1, 235. 6 1, 374. 3 1, 500. 1 1, 411. 9 1, 422. 0 1, 433. 1 1, 444. 5 1, 458. 0 1, 474. 1 1, 484. 8 1. 493. 1 1, 500. 1 1, 503. 7 1, 509. 7 1, 517. 5 1, 531. 4 61.6 67.8 73.8 80.8 88.6 97.5 91.3 92.0 92. 5 93.2 93.9 95.2 95.8 96. 6 97.5 98.2 98.9 99.4 100.2 209. 0 215. 3 221.7 233.0 250. 1 263.7 256.6 258. 8 260. 0 261.2 262. 8 265. 5 265.3 264.0 263.7 261. 5 259.7 259.5 264. 1 1 Ml is currency plus demand deposits; M1+ is Ml plus savings deposits at commercial banks and checkable deposits at nonbank thrift institutions; M2 is Ml plus time and savings deposits at commercial banks other than large certificates of deposit (CDs); and M3 is M2 plus deposits at nonbank thrift institutions. 9ft Perce nt ehaiige 3 (Domponents ane related items (Dverall measur es * U.S. Government demand deposits (unadjusted) 6.3 4.9 4. 1 4.4 5. 1 10.2 5.0 4. 0 6. 2 4.4 3.5 6.2 4. 2 8.0 10. 2 11. 9 8.3 6.5 5.3 Ml M1 + 6.0 5.0 4.7 5.4 4.3 8.9 6.2 13.2 8.4 7.9 4.7 6.6 7. 6 5.6 6.6 8.6 8. 3 6.5 7.4 5.6 6.6 8.5 8.3 10. 5 6.3 7.8 4. 1 5.7 5. 0 3.0 3.0 1. 1 1. 1 — 1. 2 -.9 -3. 4 1. 7 -1.7 M2 8.8 7.2 8. 6 11.4 9.3 8.2 7.4 8.0 8.4 8. 1 9.3 10.7 19.8 9.0 8.0 6.3 4.8 3.2 4. § 2 Includes time deposits other than large CDs, not shown separately. s Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. NOTE.—Series revised beginning July 1978. Souret: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserva System. PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS— NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Currency and c eposits Total 854 2 967. 1 1, 084 8 1, 169. 8 1, 289. 2 1, 421. 8 1, 588. 6 1, 770. 8 721.1 816.6 887. 3 9448 1, 054 5 1, 193. 0 1, 326. 5 1, 452. 0 52.5 56.9 61.6 67.8 73.8 80.8 88.6 97.5 161.8 176. 1 183.7 187.3 192.6 200.2 214 1 225.9 233.5 2644 294 3 321.0 360.4 417. 1 459.0 504 3 273.3 319. 1 347.7 368. 7 427.7 495.0 5649 624 3 543 1, 648. 4 1, 664 5 1,677.8 1, 690. 6 ^_ __ 1, 703. 2 1, 722. 6 1, 735. 3 1, 753. 6 1, 770. 8 1, 363. 5 1, 373. 4 1, 384 2 1, 396. 5 1, 409. 8 1, 425. 5 1, 437. 0 1, 445. 7 1, 452. 0 91.3 92.0 92.5 93.2 93.9 95.2 95.8 96. 6 97.5 220. 6 222. 2 222.6 224.2 225.6 227. 6 227. 1 225. 6 225.9 470. 1 473.9 478.6 483.2 488.8 4942 499. 5 5040 5043 581.5 585.3 590. 5 595.9 601.5 608.5 6146 619.5 6243 78.2 78. 5 78.9 79.3 79.5 79.8 80. 1 80.4 80.6 81.5 82.8 83.2 81.7 82.0 1, 456. 5 1, 463. 3 1, 471. 1 1, 486. 0 98.2 98.9 99.4 100. 2 224 4 222.8 222.5 227. 4 505. 2 508.6 511.3 516.7 628.7 633.0 638.0 641.8 80.7 80.6 80.6 80.6 93.8 95.6 96.6 97.0 Period 1971: 1972: 1973: 1974: 1975: 1976: 1977: 1978: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec_. Dec Dec 1978: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov__ Dec U.S. Ti•easury seeur ities ShortNonbank term thrift Savings marketinstitubonds able sefirtTl<S curities Time d eposits Total liquid assets 1979: Jan___ _ _ Feb.... Mar__ Apr »_ __ _ 1, 787. 1 1, 800. 6 1, 807. 7 1, 821. 7 Currency Demand deposits Commercial banks 31.3. 57.6 60.4 63. 3 67. 3 71.9 76.6 80.6 343 43.3 47.0 66. 1 66.2 77.2 88.6 849 83.9 82.7 88.6 Other private money market instruments Negotiable certificates of deposit 27. 6 36.2 53. 8 70.4 58. 1 43.0 52.0 19.8 22.5 40.0 44.4 43.2 47.7 56.3 85.0 58.0 60.6 60.6 61.4 60. 1 60.2 59.0 645 645 67. 2 69.3 70.9 71.7 71.7 72.2 75.3 80.3 85.0 66.8 67. 6 61.8 56. 2 89.3 93.4 97.6 101. 8 645 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Instalm ent credit e stended Instalmc3nt credit liejuidated Net change5 in amount outstanding •D «_ j Jrenod Total i 1971 1972_ _ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977_ 1978 _ 1978: Mar_ Apr May _ ___ _ June July Aug. Sept—_ Oet____ Nov Dec 1979: Jan. Feb Mar __ _ Automobile Revolving Total i Revolving Total i Automobile Revolving 138, 046 151, 749 173, 035 172, 765 180, 441 211, 028 254, 071 298, 574 36, 706 43, 702 49, 606 46, 514 52, 420 63, 743 75, 641 88, 986 21, 862 24, 659 28, 702 33, 213 36, 956 43, 934 86, 756 104, 587 127, 789 136, 787 152, 817 163, 276 172, 676 189, 381 218, 793 253, 508 32, 512 38, 081 43, 696 46, 019 49, 444 53, 278 60, 437 69, 429 20, 818 23, 485 26, 699 31, 243 35, 616 41, 764 80, 508 96, 811 10, 257 14, 962 20, 218 9, 489 7,765 21, 647 35, 278 45, 066 2,976 10, 465 15, 204 19, 557 495 1,044 1, 174 2,003 1,970 1,340 2, 170 6,248 7,776 23, 925 24, 682 25, 104 25, 565 25, 022 25, 669 25, 537 25, 758 26, 214 26, 500 7,043 7,434 7,592 7,595 7,652 7,744 7,542 7,501 7,787 7,833 8,398 8,523 8,563 9,062 8,700 9,028 9,006 8,846 9, 176 9,424 19, 849 20,576 20, 824 21, 358 21, 556 22, 037 21, 857 22, 384 22, 115 22, 100 5,409 5,622 5,715 5,953 5,941 6, 140 6,010 6, 126 6,032 6,053 7,566 7,840 7,919 8, 107 8, 100 8,291 8,384 8,500 8,511 8,555 4, 076 4, 106 4,280 4,207 3,466 3, 632 3,680 3,374 4,099 4,400 1,634 1,812 1,877 1,642 1,711 1,604 1,532 1,375 1,755 1,780 832 683 644 955 600 737 622 346 665 869 25, 544 26, 202 26, 698 7,545 7,756 7,797 9,417 9,357 9,714 22, 483 22, 894 22, 967 5,865 6, 191 6,311 8,984 9,040 8,972 3,061 3,308 3,731 1,680 1,565 1,486 433 317 742 »Includes "mobile home" and "other," not shown separately. Automobile 4, 194 5,621 5,910 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. Bank loan growth accelerated markedly in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 1,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) __ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 1,000 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS = 800 800 \ 600 600 400 400 200 200 INVESTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES o „„«.,..«»»**" ,i»««« "" 100 100 80 80 INVESTMENT IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 60 60 i i i i Ii 40 1971 1972 i i i I i i i i i i i I i I i i i 1973 1974 1975 1976 40 1977 1978 ^SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1979 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] l All member banks Borrowiiigs (milL<^ans Investnlents lions of dollarSj Iteserves 2 s Total unadji isted) 2 loans and Total exU.S. Gov- Other invest- cluding CommerReNonSeacial and ernment secuTotal Total ments interborrowed quired sonal rities industrial securities AlleCommercial 1 >anks T>,_ " ._ J Feriod bank 647.6 659.7 667.8 674.0 680. 6 691. 6 700. 9 715. 1 715.4 60. 6 62.6 54.5 51. 1 80. 1 98.0 95.6 88.8 98.3 97.9 100.2 100.8 98.3 97.8 96.0 91.4 88.8 104. 2 116.5 129.9 139.8 144. 8 148.2 158.0 173.5 163. 1 164. 1 164.2 165.2 167.0 168.7 170.4 171. 1 173.5 31. 16 31. 34 34.90 36.55 34.67 34 89 36. 10 41.27 36.93 37.27 37.63 38. 11 37.93 38.21 38.38 39.75 41.27 31.03 30.29 33.60 35.83 34. 54 34.83 35.53 40.40 36.38 36.06 36.53 36.80 36.79 37. 15 37. 10 39.05 40. 40 30.98 31.05 34.60 36.30 34.40 34.61 35.91 41.04 36.79 37.05 37.45 37.92 37.77 38.02 38.22 39.53 41. 04 732.4 738.3 743.4 752.9 237.8 240.6 243. 5 247.6 89.4 92. 1 90.5 91. 8 176.8 177.3 178. 7 179. 3 41.48 40. 75 40.81 40. 65 40.48 39. 78 39.82 39,73 41.26 40. 54 40.66 40. 47 485.7 558.0 633.4 691. 1 721.8 785. 1 870.6 977.7 320.9 378.9 449.0 500. 2 496. 9 538.9 617.0 715.4 1978: Apr May .__ June _ July » Aug* _ Sept" Oct » Nov * Dec » _ _ 909. 0 921.7 932.2 940. 0 945.9 958. 1 967.3 977.6 977.7 998.6 1, 007. 7 1, 012. 6 1, 024. 0 1979: Jan Feb Mar Apr *__— *> *>__ » _ \ 116.2 130.4 156.6 183.5 176.2 179. 7 201.4 230. 9 212.4 217.9 219.0 220.8 223. 1 225.2 227.6 230.7 230.9 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 *_. 1 Data are for end of period. of daily figures. Annual data are for December. Member bank reserves series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjustment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M. 2 Averages 3 28 107 1,049 1,298 703 127 62 558 874 41 32 13 12 54 134 1,227 1, 111 1,286 1, 147 1,068 1,261 722 874 43 93 120 143 188 191 221 185 134 994 973 999 897 112 114 121 133 539 NOTE.—Commercial bank data revised beginning July 1978. Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Total Internal 1 Crediit market \ "unds Total Tntil Longterm 2 Short-3 term Other Total Purchase of physical assets 4 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 104 3 127. 1 161. 7 199. 8 190.8 143. 8 205.0 239. 0 283. 4 58.9 68.6 80. 8 83.8 75.7 106.8 124. 7 135. 3 141. 9 45.5 58. 5 80. 9 115.9 115. 1 37.0 80.3 103. 6 141.5 40.7 44. 5 58.3 72.7 81.8 37.0 58.2 78.7 89.5 32. 1 40. 6 40.6 37. 0 39. 1 49.3 48. 8 46. 2 49. 1 8.6 3. 9 17.6 35. 7 42.6 -12. 3 9.5 32.6 40.4 4.8 14. 1 22.7 43.3 33. 4 .0 22.0 24.9 52.0 95.9 119. 6 145. 8 185. 6 179.0 131.9 184.9 212. 3 268.9 80.3 86.0 100. 3 123.3 134. 7 99.9 141. 2 164. 6 194. 9 15.6 33. 6 45.6 62. 3 44.4 32. 0 43.7 47.8 74. 0 8.4 7.5 15. 9 14.2 11.8 11.9 20. 1 26.7 14.5 1977: I II III IV_ . 244. 3 198. 6 266.0 247. 1 123. 8 134.9 145. 5 137.3 120. 5 63.7 120. 6 109. 9 75.9 63. 7 80. 1 95.2 34. 4 35. 3 53.5 61.5 41. 6 28. 5 26.6 33.7 44.6 -.0 40.5 14. 7 214.6 177. 3 234.6 222. 7 152.5 162. 4 175.2 168.0 62. 1 14. 9 59. 4 54.7 29.6 21. 3 31.4 24. 4 1978:1 II III 277.0 276. 8 292. 5 286. 8 127. 2 144. 1 146. 1 150. 2 149. 8 132.7 146. 4 136. 6 94. 5 86.8 88. 1 88.2 35. 1 54.5 60. 8 45.9 59.4 32.4 27.3 42. 3 55. 4 45.9 58. 2 48.4 260. 1 264. 3 277.6 272. 9 179.8 199.8 198. 8 201.3 80. 3 64. 5 78.8 71. 6 16. 9 12.4 14.8 13.9 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 9 __ _ _ IV 9 i Undistributed profits (after inventory \mluation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits. * Stocks, bonds, and mortgages. s Bank loans, commercial paper, finance company loans, bankers' acceptances, and Government loans. 4 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars, except as noted] Cur rent liabil ities Curreiat assets End of period Total SEC series: 2 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 FTC-FRB series:3 1974 1975 1976 1977 1977: I II III IV 1978: I II III _ Cash U.S. Notes governand Invenment actories securicounts ties receivable Other current assets Total Net working capital Current ratio 1 492.3 529.6 599. 3 697.8 790. 7 50.2 53. 3 59.0 66.3 71. 1 7.7 11. 0 10.6 12.8 12. 3 206. 1 221. 1 248.2 288. 5 322. 1 193.3 200. 4 225.7 263. 9 313.6 35.0 43. 8 55. 8 66. 4 71.7 304. 9 326.0 375.6 450. 9 530.4 211. 3 220. 5 282. 9 340. 3 402. 3 93. 6 105. 5 92. 7 110.7 128. 1 187.4 203. 6 223. 7 246.9 260. 3 1. 615 1.625 1. 595 1.548 1. 491 734. 6 756.3 823. 1 900. 1 73. 0 80.0 86.8 94.2 11.3 19.6 26. 0 20. 9 265. 5 272. 1 292. 4 325.7 318. 9 314.7 341.4 375.0 65. 9 69.9 76. 4 84.3 451.8 446. 9 487. 5 543.2 272.3 261. 2 273. 2 306. 8 179. 5 185. 7 214. 2 236. 3 282. 8 309. 5 335.6 357. 0 1.626 1. 693 1.688 1.657 842. 0 856.4 880.3 900. 1 80.8 83. 1 83. 4 94.2 26. 8 22. 1 21.5 20.9 304. 1 312. 8 326.9 325.7 352. 1 358. 8 367.5 375.0 78.3 79.6 81.0 84. 3 502.6 509.5 528. 9 543.2 280. 2 286. 8 297. 8 306.8 222.4 222. 7 231. 1 236.3 339.5 346. 9 351.4 357.0 1. 675 1. 681 1.664 1.657 924.2 953.5 992.4 88.5 90.9 91.4 20.9 19.7 18.6 338.3 356.8 377. 8 389.7 399. 1 415.5 86.8 87.0 89. 0 570.4 590. 8 624. 5 317. 2 331. 3 349.9 253. 2 259.4 274.6 353. 8 362.7 367.9 1.620 1.614 1.589 1 Total current assets divided by total current liabilities. Eased on data from Statistics of Income, Department of the Treasury. Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining, and Trade Corporations, Federal Trade Commission. 2 3 Notes Other and current accounts liabilities payable NOTE.—SEC series not available after 1974. See Federal Reserve Bulletin, July 1978, for details regarding the series. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System, Federal Trade Commission, and Securities and Exchange Commission. INTEREST RATES AND BOND YEILDS Interest rates rose durlnq May after their mid-Apr!I decline. PERCENT PER ANNUM PER ANNUM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: SEE TAME BELOW IPercent per annum j U.S. Trcjasury seeunity yields Constant iuaturities 2 3-month 1 bills 3-year 10-year Period 1973_ 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1978: _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ Apr. _ May__ June July Aug. _ _ Sept Get Nov Dec. __ 1979: Jan Feb___ Mar_ Apr__ Week ended: 1979: Apr 28_ May 5 12 19 26 I High-grade Corporate Prime com- Discount municipal mercial rate Aaa bonds paper, (N.Y. bonds (Standard 4-6 F.R. & Poor's)3 (Moody's) months Bank)4 7.041 7.886 5.838 4.989 5. 265 7.221 6.306 6.430 6.707 7.074 7.036 7.836 8.132 8.787 9. 122 9.351 9.265 9.457 9.493 6.95 7.82 7.49 6.77 6.69 8.29 7.85 8.07 8.30 8.54 8.33 8.41 8.62 9.04 9.33 9.50 9.29 9.38 9.43 6.84 7.56 7.99 7.61 7.42 8.41 8. 15 8.35 8.46 8. 64 8.41 8.42 8.64 8.81 9.01 9. 10 9.10 9. 12 9. 18 5. 18 6. 09 6.89 6.49 5. 56 5.90 5.71 5.97 6. 13 6. 18 5.98 5.93 5.95 6.03 6. 33 6.25 6. 19 6. 16 6. 14 7.44 8.57 8. 83 8.43 8. 02 8.73 8.56 8.69 8.76 8.88 8.69 8. 69 8.89 9.03 9. 16 9. 25 9.26 9.37 9.38 8. 15 9. 87 6. 33 5.35 5. 60 7.99 6.86 7. 11 7.63 7.91 7.90 8.44 9.03 10.23 10.43 10.32 10.01 9.96 9.87 9.115 9.498 9.621 9.506 9.744 9.47 9.54 9.54 9.45 9.27 9.25 9. 36 9.37 9.28 9. 11 6. 10 6.11 6. 14 6. 15 6.05 9.44 9. 51 9.52 9.51 9.49 9.68 9.91 10.00 10.03 9,98 » Rate on new within period. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. » Weekly are Wednesday figures. * Average effecti¥e rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 3 30 6.45 7. 83 6.25 5. 50 5.46 7.46 6}r-6H 6K-7 7-7 7-7J4 7%-8 8-8H Ql / Ql/ 9^-93^ Q1Z__Q1/ Prime rate charged by banks 4 8. 03 10. 81 7. 86 6.84 6. 83 9.06 8-8 8-8X2 81/2-9 9-9 9-9^ 9^-9% 10^-1 1H 11X2-11% 131%-11% 9^_9^ 9H-9H 11 4— 11% 11%— 11% 1 l%-ll% 9}$-9H gi^_9^ 9^__gi^ 9H-9H i iji-nji iiji-nji n%-n% Newhome mortgage yields (FHLBB)* 7. 95 8. 92 9. 01 8. 99 9. 01 9.54 9. 30 9.37 9.46 9.57 9.70 9.73 9.83 9.87 10.02 10. 18 10.20 10.30 10.34 \\%-\\% 5 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Bates beginning January 1973 not strictly comparable with prior rates. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices In May continued to decline from mid-April peaks. INDEX, DEC 31, 1965=50 80 INDEX, DEC 31,1965=50 80 50 - 50 40 40 ~ 30 30 1979 1971 PERCENT PERCENT, 20 20 EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS 15 15 (S&P) 10 10 1971 1979 SOURCES; NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Common s took s yields (perc ent) Comitnon stock p rices l Period New York Stock Exctsange indexe s(Dec. 31, 1965=50) * Composite Industrial Transportation 1973 _„_ _ _ „ 1974 „ 1975_m 1976 _ 1977 1978____ 1978: Apr „ . „ „ _ _ „ May June July Aug.. Sept Oct _„__ Nov.-.— Dec Jan....... Feb.._ Mar__ . Apr Week ended: 1979: Apr 28 May 5 12__ 19 26 Utility 57.42 43.84 45.73 54.46 53. 69 53.70 51.75 54.49 5483 54. 61 58,53 58.58 56.40 52.74 53.69 55.77 55.08 56. 19 57.50 63.08 48.08 50.52 60. 44 57.86 58.23 55.48 59. 14 59.63 59.35 6407 64 23 61.60 57.50 58.72 61.31 60.37 61.89 63. 63 37.74 31.89 31. 10 39.57 41. 09 43.50 41. 19 44.21 44 19 44.74 49.45 50. 19 46.70 41.80 42.49 43.69 42.27 43.22 45.92 37.69 29. 79 31.50 36.97 40. 92 39.22 39.69 39.47 39.41 39, 28 40.20 39. 82 39.44 37.88 38.09 38.83 39. 21 38. 94 38.63 70. 12 49.67 47. 14 52. 94 55.25 56.65 55.04 57.96 58. 31 57.97 63.28 63.22 60.42 5495 55. 68 57.59 56.09 57.65 59. 50 57.52 57. 24 55.69 55.67 56.50 63.84 63. 61 61.65 61.55 62.48 46. 05 45.66 44.36 45. 15 46.64 38. 09 37.73 37.23 37. 33 37. 58 59.65 59. 17 58. 10 58. 18 59. 50 1 Average of dally closing prices. a Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) on the NYSE. *1Includes 30 stocks. «Includes 500 stocks. Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing pnces. Earnings-price ratios on prices at end of quarter. Finance Standard & Poor's DowJones composite Dividend- EarningsIndustrial3 index ratio ratio average (1941-43= 10) 4 7. 12 923. 88 107. 43 3.06 11.59 82.85 447 759. 37 802. 49 9.15 431 86. 16 102. 01 974 92 3.77 8.90 4.62 10.79 894 63 98.20 12.05 96.02 820. 23 5.28 5.42 794 66 92.71 5.20 838. 56 97.41 97.66 5. 19 840. 26 11.76 831. 72 97. 19 5.25 103. 92 493 887. 93 11.30 497 103. 86 878. 64 5. 11 857. 69 100. 58 5.45 9471 804 29 12.85 5.39 807. 94 96. 11 5.28 837. 39 99.71 98.23 5.43 825. 18 5.36 100. 11 847, 84 5. 35 864 95 102. 07 862. 39 854 21 833. 28 832. 85 839. 85 102. 02 101. 53 98.94 98.90 100. 14 5.36 5.42 5.60 5.66 5.59 NOTE.—All data relate to on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., ard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT In the first 7 months of fiscal 1979, the budget deficit was $32.7 billion. A year earlier the deficit was $48.0 billion. B1LUONS OF DOLLARS IIUJONS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 500 500 400 400 OUTLAYS 300 300 RECEIPTS 200 200 J f 50 50 SURPLUS W OR DEFICIT (-) 0 0 -50 -50 _L _L -100 1971 1972 1973 -100 1975 1974 1976 1977 1978 1979 19SQ FISCAL YEARS SOURCES, DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OP ECONOMY AOV5SS8S [Billions of dollars] Period Receipts Fiscal year or period: 1969 1970 1971 1972. _ 1973 „ 1975 1976 . Transition quarter 1977 1978 1845 196.6 211.4 232.0 247. 1 269, 6 326.2 366.4 94. 7 402.7 450.8 495.0 -148 -4.7 -45.2 -66.4 -13.0 -45. 0 -48.8 -33.2 503.9 509.0 532.3 532.0 -28.4 -23.0 212.4 253. 8 260.4 286.5 -48.0 -32.7 _. . . 2 1979 (estimates) 1980 (estimates): Current Budget Estimates, March 1979 2 3 First Concurrent Resolution, May 1979 _.__ Cumulative total first 7 months." Fiscal year 1978 _„_ _. Fiscal year 1979 „ ___ * Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. Estimates from Current Budget Estimates, March 1979, Office of Management and Budget. 2 32 Surplus or deficit ( — ) 187.8 193.7 188.4 208. 6 232. 2 264.9 281.0 300.0 81. 8 357.8 402.0 461.8 „ 1974__._ Outlays 3 3.2 -2.8 -23.0 -23.4 Federal debt ( end of period) Total l Held by the public 367. 1 382.6 409. 5 437.3 468.4 486.2 544. 1 631.9 646.4 709. 1 780.4 279.5 2849 3043 323.8 343.0 346. 1 396.9 480.3 498.3 551.8 610.9 746.4 804.0 591.0 631.9 First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1980, May 24, 1979. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget, except as noted. FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 7 months of fiscal 1979, budget receipts were $41.4 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $26.1 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS 200 200 100 100 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES OUTLAYS 400 400 300 300 NOND^^ 200 200 - ^- NATIONAL DfftNSE 100 1 v 1971 ' 1 1972 I 1973 I ^ 1 1974 I 1975 197<S RSCALYEARS ! 1977 I 1978 I 1979 SOURCES, DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 100 K 1980 ^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMJC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] ()utlays Receipts Nationa . defense Period Total Indi- Corpovidual ration Other income income taxes taxes Fiscal year or period : 1969. __ __ 1970 1971 1972. _ 1973. _ 1974 _ 1975 _„_ 1976 Transition quarter. _ 1977 1978 1979 (estimates)11 _ _ _ 1980 (estimates) 187.8 193.7 188. 4 208.6 232. 2 264. 9 281.0 300.0 81.8 357.8 402.0 461.8 503.9 87.2 90.4 86.2 94.7 103.2 119. 0 122.4 131. 6 38.8 157. 6 181.0 208. 8 228.6 36.7 32.8 26. 8 32.2 36.2 38. 6 40.6 41.4 Cumulative total first 7 months: Fiscal year 1978 Fiscal year 1979 212.4 253. 8 96.0 120. 1 Total Interna- Health and In- Other Depart- tional income ment of affairs security terest Defense, military 15.8 18.3 19.6 20.6 22.8 28.0 30.9 34.5 7.5 8.2 49.0 56. 1 70. 1 81.4 91.8 106.5 136. 3 160. 9 41.5 176.7 189.9 208.6 232.7 38.0 44.0 52.5 56.9 35.7 39.3 41.8 48.8 53.9 51. 6 66.5 76. 1 21.5 85.7 105.9 111.4 108.5 3.2 2.9 109.9 119.7 24.3 29. 0 63.3 69.3 184.5 196.6 211.4 232.0 247. 1 269.6 326.2 366.4 94 7 402.7 450.8 495.0 532.3 79.4 78.6 75.8 76.6 74.5 77.8 85.6 89.4 22. 3 97.5 105.2 115.0 126.0 77.9 77. 1 74.5 75. 1 73.2 77.6 84. 9 87.9 21. 9 95. 6 103.0 112.4 122.9 4.6 4.3 54. 9 60.0 70.4 71.1 63.9 70.5 75.4 81.7 92. 8 107.4 118.0 127.0 34. 5 145.2 161. 1 182. 6 204.2 31.5 35.6 85.0 98. 2 260.4 286. 5 59.9 65.6 58.7 65. 2 8.5 1 Estimates from Current Budget Estimates, March 1979, Office of Management and Budget. Total 4. 1 4.7 4. 1 5.7 6.9 5.6 2.2 4.8 5. 9 7.2 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1979, according to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $6.8 billion (annual rate) and expenditures rose $4.6 billion, yielding a deficit of $18.4 billion, $2.4 billion lower than the fourth quarter deficit. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 550 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 i i I i I i i i i i I IN 150 I 50 50 SURPLUS -50 - DEFICIT ..-„ •" ^ ^ 1 ' -100 1971 1972 1973 i II 1I11 - -50 -100 1975 1974 i"iiI 1976 1977 1979 1978 GALE MD AR Y EARJ SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] F<sderal G<Dvernmeiat expen iitures Federal ( Glovernm ent receip ts Period Subsidies Less: GrantsPurless Indirect ContriWage in-aid Persona] Corpochases Trans- to State Net rate business butions current accruals tax and for Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less Total nontax profits tax and and tax ments local paid Govern- disnontax social inreceipts accruals services ment en- bursegovernaccruals surance terprises ments ments Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Fiscal year: 283.5 1975 313.9 1976 365.3 1977 413.8 1978" 127. 1 136.9 165.9 186.3 42.1 51.9 58.8 67.2 22.2 24.2 24.5 27.2 92.1 100.9 116.1 133. 1 328.7 371.5 412.0 450.6 118.0 126.2 140.7 151. 1 134.3 156.5 169.6 181.8 48.4 57.5 66.2 74.6 21.9 25.2 28.4 33.7 5.7 6.2 7.0 9.4 f .0 .0 -45.3 -57.6 -46.7 -36.8 Calendar year: 1975 1976 1977 1978 __ 286.2 331.4 374.5 431.4 125.4 146.8 169.4 193.2 42.8 54.8 61.3 71.6 23.9 23.4 25.0 27.9 94.2 106.4 118.7 138.7 356.8 385.2 422. 6 461.4 123.1 129.9 145.1 153.8 149. 1 161.6 172.7 185.4 54.6 61.1 67.4 76.9 23.2 26.8 29. 1 35.5 6.8 5.8 8.3 9.7 .0 .0 .0 .0 -70.6 -53.8 -48. 1 -29.9 1977: III. _ 374.3 IV.._ 385.5 167.6 174.8 62.0 62.9 25.4 25.6 119.3 430.7 122.2 444. 1 146.8 152.2 175.7 178.3 70.9 71. 1 28.9 30.7 11.8 8.4 .0 .0 -56.4 -58.6 1978: 1 396. 2 IL___ 424.7 III— 441.7 IV.— 463. 1 176.8 186.7 199.7 209.7 59.6 72.6 73.6 80.6 26.5 27.9 28.2 28.8 133.3 137.6 140. 1 144.0 448.8 448.3 464.5 483.8 151.5 147.2 154. 0 162.5 180. 2 180.7 188.8 191.9 73.9 75.9 77.5 80.3 33.2 34.6 36.3 38. 1 10.0 10.0 11.0 8.0 .0 .0 .2 .0 -52.6 -23.6 -22.8 -20.8 1979: I » _ _ 469.9 208.3 75.3 29.3 157. 1 488.4 164.5 196.5 77.0 41.5 8.7 -.2 -18.4 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget. 34 4 ]o INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Period [1967=100] ] mees (ui Con i) In dustria I produ Dtion (se asonally adjuste d) United United CanUnited United Can- Ja- France GerGer1 Japan France many Italy Kingada States many Italy Kingpan States ada dom dom 1972........ 119. 7 1973... - 129. 8 129. 3 117.8 129.8 life 137.1 1977 145.2 1978 1978: June... 144.9 July— 146. 1 Aug.... 147. 1 Sept.— 147. 8 Oct.— . 148.7 Nov-..- 149. 6 150.9 Dec 1979: Jan*-__ 150.9 Feb »— 151. 0 152.0 Mar » 150.5 Apr * 130.7 143. 0 147.5 139.6 146.7 152. 6 160.8 159.7 160.4 159.4 165. 1 164. 5 165.5 167.6 168.4 169.5 170.0 167.2 190. 5 183. 1 163. 9 182. 0 189. 5 201.3 200.5 199.7 201. 8 203.4 203.1 205. 4 208.4 208.9 210.7 212. 6 135 145 148 139 149 152 156 154 {l55 157 156 159 160 161 159 161 138. 7 147.7 145. 1 137. 1 149. 1 152.7 155.8 155 157 156 159 159 159 159 159 15? 159 122.7 134.6 140.6 127.6 143.5 145. 1 147.5 146.0 145.0 144.2 146.8 154. 1 154.7 152,4 152.2 159.8 155.5 113.2 123.0 120.0 114.3 117.5 122.8 126.5 128.0 128.7 129.4 127.6 124.9 126.4 128. 7 119.7 130.6 132. 1 i Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. 125. 3 133. 1 147.7 161.2 170.5 181.5 195.4 195. 3 196.7 197.8 199.3 200.9 202.0 202.9 204.7 207. 1 209. 1 211.5 121.2 130.3 144.5 160. 1 172. 1 185.9 202.5 202.4 205.4 205.5 205.2 207.3 209.0 209. 6 211.2 213. 2 215.7 217.2 132.3 147.9 1840 205.8 224 9 243.0 252.3 252. 1 253.1 253.3 256.4 256.8 254 1 253.7 253.9 253.1 255.1 131. 1 140.7 160.0 178.9 196. 1 214.5 233.7 232.8 235.7 237. 1 238.6 240.8 242. 1 243.2 245. 5 • 247. 1 249.4 119.0 127.2 136. 1 144. 2 150.7 156.6 160.7 121. 0 137.7 1340 150.2 159. 7 1743 186.8 216.5 218. 1 . 252. 4 255.2 292.4 286,2 316.6 161. 5 161. 5 161.0 160.6 160. 6 161. 1 161.8 163.5 164 5 165. 5 166. 4 285. 1 286.8 288.3 292.9 295.5 298.6 300. 1 305,8 310.4 314. 1 319. 2 316.8 318.2 320.3 321.6 323. 1 325.3 328.0 332.9 338. 3 344 1 Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, Bureau of International Economic Policy and Office of International Keseareh, in International Indicators. U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Mercl landise exports l Merc landise imports 8 Domesti c exportsi Period Ge neral im ports Total domesFood, Crude ManuFood, Crude tic and bever- mate- ManumateTotal 2 facforeign Total 2 beverfacrials ages, rials tured Total ages, (c.i.f. extured and to- and and to- and value) 4 ports goods goods bacco fuels bacco fuels F. a.s. valu e s Monthly average : 1973 5,902 1974 . _ 8, 159 5,811 8, 04,5 1974 8,159 1975 8,966 1976 _ 9,596 1977 10, 096 1978 - 11, 965 1978: Mar... 11, 147 Apr 11, 630 May.-. 11, 786 June—. 12, 268 July... 11, 662 Aug___ 12, 294 Sept___ 13, 274 Oct 12, 901 Nov 13, 451 Dec... 13, 283 1979: Jan____ 13, 132 Feb 13, 507 Mar 14, 452 8,045 8,842 9,456 9,912 11, 756 10, 903 11,420 11, 541 12, 053 11,497 12, 101 13, 066 12, 670 13, 212 13, 054 12, 923 13, 283 14, 165 1,078 1,269 Custoiris value 895 1,317 3,728 5,294 1,269 1,317 1,399 1 S 266 1,436 1,341 1,330 1,548 1,719 1,746 1,643 1,531 1,641 1,677 1,864 1,754 1,964 1,905 1, 799 1,620 1,960 1,718 1,877 1,901 1,786 1,934 1,634 2, 040 1,692 2,047 1,437 2,143 1,557 2,009 1, 765 2,313 5,294 5,913 6,437 6,679 7,874 7,339 7,594 7,614 7,791 7,728 8, 094 8, 586 8,626 8,913 8,907 8,759 9,078 9,403 770 892 F.a.s. 892 8,354 8,048 • 827 10, 084 991 12, 307 1,186 14, 336 1,312 14, 004 1,408 14, 492 1,374 14, 009 1,326 13, 970 1, 240 14, 545 1,313 14, 133 1, 123 14, 820 1,235 14, 852 1, 358 14, 825 1,369 15, 032 1,452 16, 231 1,486 14, 806 1,261 15, 273 1,437 5,790 8,416 Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program are excluded from totals for all Periods and from monthly detail beginning January 1978. » Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. ! JW ?rrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. TT ^JA(cost' insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in the United States. Data for 1973 are estimates. Mer ehandise balance Exports Ex(f.a.s.) ports Exports less (f.a.s.) (f.a.s.) imless less imports imports (cusports (c.i.f.) toms (f.a.s.) value) 5 F.a.s. at 1,120 2,653 value s 2,672 2, 718 3,457 4,463 4, 329 4,255 4,312 4, 109 4,237 4,176 4,519 4,513 4,355 4,443 4,578 5,145 4,438 4,890 3,750 4,684 6,131 9,000 4,602 4, 257. 5,398 6,379 8, 363 7,972 8,471 8,257 8, 158 8,729 8, 167 8,767 8,755 8,691 8,617 9,291 8,824 8, 596 alongside port of NOTE.—Data Source: Department of 112 -257 -195 -229 -841 9,000 257 —195 —841 8,654 853 918 312 10, 825 —581 —488 —1, 229 13, 130 —2, 297 —2,211 —3, 034 15, 261 -2, 476-2, 371 -3,297 14, 893 -2, 858 -3,747 15, 434 -2, 861 -3,804 14, 913 -2,223 -3, 127 -1,702 -2, 601 14, 869 15, 495 -2, 883 -3, 834 15, 074 -1,839 -2, 780 15, 821 - 1, 546 -2, 547 -1,951 -2, 863 15, 764 -1,374 -2, 319 17, 770 -1,749 -2, 724 16, 006 17, 282 -3,099 -4, 150 15, 720 -1,300 -2, 213 -821 -1,776 16, 228 for not at U.S. port of exportation for exports comparable with earlier data. Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In fhe first quarter, the merchandise trade deficit fell slightly, to $6.2 billion from $6.4 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted] M erchandise Period Imports Exports Inv(?stment iricome3 12 Net balance 1972 49, 381 -55,797 -6,416 71,410 -70,499 1973 911 1974 98, 306 -103,649 -5,343 107, 088 -98,041 9,047 1975 114, 694 -124,047 -9,353 1976 120, 576 -151,706 -31, 130 1977 1 9 7 8 - _ _ _ _ 141, 844 - 175, 988-34, 144 Payments 14, 694 -6,544 21, 697 -9,655 27, 541 -12,084 25, 359 - 12, 564 29, 244 -13,311 32, 100 -14,593 41, 514 -21,599 Balance on current account 8,150 -3,621 -3,028 2,789 -2, 125 -3,854 -5,979 12, 042 -2,287 -3, 086 3,185 10, 766 -3,881 6,885 8,905 -7, 186 1,719 15, 457 -2,080 -3, 105 3,975 12, 795 -876 -2, 522 4,617 23, 060 -4, 615 18, 445 9,361 -5,022 312 -2, 245 4,714 4,339 15, 933 17, 507 1,334 -3, 044 4,749 -10,585 -4, 708-15,292 531 -3, 135 5,949 - 10, 885 -5,076 - 15, 961 19, 915 467 5 -677 -701 1,260 - 1, 705 - 1, 277 -2,982 1, 183 -5,072 - 1, 064 -6,136 -42,707 -11,920 9,392 -4,515 -43, 125 -7,869 10, 013 -5,432 -44,478 -7,992 10, 332 -5,444 -45,678 -6,363 11, 787 -6,207 4,877 4,581 4,878 5,580 210 444 12 -136 -834 -637 -930 -734 1,366 -6,302 - 1, 282 -7,584 1,472 -2,009 -1,317 -3,326 1,596 -2,436 - 1, 275 -3,711 1,515 -138 - 1, 204 - 1, 342 1978: !_._ !!.__ IIL_ IV ._ 30, 35, 36, 39, 1979: !*__ 41, 161 -473 385 -6,224 1 Excludes military grants. a Adjusted from Census data 8 for differences in timing and coverage. Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. Remittances, pensions, and. other unilaterai transfers 1 4,610 3,812 30, 578 -37,942 -7,364 29, 637 -39,009 -9,372 36 Net Other services, net 8 Balance on goods and services * 8, 220 -3,610 7,997 -4, 185 1977: III. _ IV. __ 787 256 486 315 Receipts Net military transactions Nettravel and transportation receipts Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the fourth quarter of 1978, both capital outflows and capital inflows accelerated sharply. The increased outflow was primarily concentrated in private accumulation of foreign assets. The increased inflow reflected the acceleration of foreign official accumulation of U.S. assets, which rose from $4.9 billion in the third quarter to $19.0 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 30 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S., NET A \ CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET -30 1970 ' 1977 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1978 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U S. assets abroad, net [iner€ ase/capit£il outflow (-)] Period Total 1972 1973 1974_ 1975 1976_ 1977 1978 U.S. official reserve assets * 2 :. -14, 461 32 -22,823 209 -34,712 - 1, 434 - 39, 444 -607 _ -50, 608 -2,530 - 34, 650 -231 -58,748 872 Other U.S. U.S. Govern- private2 ment assets assets Fore ign assets in the U.S., net [inci*ease/capi1fcal inflow(-HP Foreigri official ass ets Total Total Assets of Other foreign foreign official assets reserve agencies -1,568 - 12, 925 21, 696 -2,644 -20,388 18, 663 366 -33,643 34, 677 3,470 -35,368 15, 550 -4,213 -43,865 36, 969 -3,679 -30,740 50, 869 -4, 657-54,963 63, 260 10, 705 6,299 10, 981 6,907 18, 073 37, 124 33, 967 10, 322 5, 145 10, 257 5, 259 13, 080 35, 480 31, 157 10, 991 12, 364 23, 696 8, 643 18, 897 13, 746 29, 293 1977: III_._ -6,615 IV.... - 14, 700 151 - 1, 098 -5, 668 14, 251 -838 - 13, 862 20, 065 8,246 15, 543 7,914 15, 153 6,005 4,522 1978: I -15,067 II -6, 167 I I I _ _ _ -10, 216 IV... -27, 298 -896 -14,417 18, 095 15, 760 14, 956 246 406 -5, 685 -5,373 329 -1, 176 -5,320 4, 502 4,852 115 -1,498 -8, 833 15, 489 182 -1,086 -26, 394 29, 270 19, 040 17, 072 2,336 6,090 10, 637 10, 230 1979: I * -3, 589 1 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDK), convertible currencies, and the1 U.S. reserve position in the IMF. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Stati stical discre pancy U.S. official Allocareserve tions Of assets, Total of 1 special (sum of Seasonal net ( unadthe drawing adjust- justed, items rights ment end of with sign (SDR) reversed) discrepancy period) 710 - 1, 966 -2,725 - 1, 684 5,449 9,300 -927 11, 449 13, 151 14, 378 15, 883 16, 226 18, 747 19, 312 18, 650 -4, 655 -2, 133 18, 988 1,455 19, 312 771 917 4,555 108 9, 087 -1,562 -2, 455 1,431 -630 19, 18, 18, 18, 192 864 850 650 -8, 641 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars. Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Productivity and Related Data, Private Business Economy 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices Changes in Producer Prices Changes in Consumer Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock. Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Consumer Instalment Credit Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 FFor sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402] Price $1.30 (single copy). Subscription price: $15.00 per year; $3.75 additional for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1979 O—43-939