Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1966
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89th Congress, 2nd Session JUN 7 .fASf Economic Indicators May 1966 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1966 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) ROBERT F. ELLSWORTH (Kansas) SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) JAMES W. KNOWLES, Executive Director JOHN R. STARK, Deputy Director MARIAN T. TRACY, Financial Clerk HAMILTON D. GEWEHR, Administrative Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS GARDNER ACKLEY, Chairman JAMES S. DUESENBERRY ARTHUR M. OKUN Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advan? tage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $5.40 per year. The 1964 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at 65 cents a copy. ii TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Revised £sti mates indicate that sross national product rose sharply by nearly $17 billion in the first quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $714 billion. Major sector increases were $11 billion in personal consumption expenditures/ $5 billion in government purchases, and $1% billion in gross private domestic investment. Net exports declined by $% billion. . [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Government Persons Net receipts Expenditures Personal Interest Personal saving TransTotal Tax and fers, Purpaid amQj consumpTransexcludtion (+) or nontax inter- chases transfer expendi- disTotal ing fers, 1 Net receipts est, of goods expendi- interest, payinterest Total receipts saving tures or and and ments and tures and subaccruals sub- 2 services to fortranssidies 2 eigners sidies fers 115.6 302. 2 308.5 281.4 20.8 6.3 86.8 28.7 114.9 86.1 28.7 Disposable personal income Period 1957 1958 1959..... 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 . 1965 1964: I.__. II... III... IV... 1965: I II... III.. IV... 1966: I*... 312.4 330.3 342. 3 356.3 376.7 394.3 425.2 453. 6 412.5 423. 3 429.6 435.4 440. 2 446.9 459. 3 468. 1 476.2 318.8 337.3 350. 0 364.4 385. 3 403. 8 435.8 465.3 422.6 433. 6 440.3 446.4 451.4 458. 5 471.2 480. 3 488.7 6.5 7.0 7.8 8.1 8.6 9.6 10.5 11.7 10.1 10.4 10.7 11.0 11.2 11.6 11.9 12.2 12. 5 290.1 311.2 325. 2 335.2 355.1 373.8 398.9 428. 7 389. 1 396.0 404.6 405. 9 416.9 424.5 432. 5 441. 0 451.8 22.3 19.1 17.0 21.2 21.6 20.4 26.3 24.9 23.3 27.3 25.0 29.5 23.3 22.4 26.8 27. 1 24.4 1957 1958 1959 1960-. 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964: !_ 1965: III. IV. III. IV. 1966: I*.. 33.0 34.0 36.5 41.3 42.8 44.5 46.8 49.7 46.7 46.4 46.8 47. 1 48.8 48.2 51.7 50.1 52.6 Transfers Net exports of goods Gross Excess to forand services Gross private eigners of retained domestic invest- by perearnment sons and Net ExImings 3 investGovernment 4 ports ment exports ports 49.8 49.4 56.8 56.8 58.7 66.3 69. 1 75.4 82. 8 74.2 75.2 76.5 75.8 82.0 82.0 83.2 84.1 85.7 67.8 60.9 75.3 74.8 71.7 83.0 86.9 92.9 105. 7 89.7 90.9 92.6 97.7 103.4 102.8 106. 2 110.3 111. 7 — 18.1 — 11.5 — 18.5 -18.0 -13.0 -16.8 -17.8 -17.5 -22. 9 -15.5 -15.7 -16. 1 -21.9 -21.4 -20.8 -23. 0 -26.2 -26.0 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.7 2. 9 2.7 2.7 2.6 3. 1 2.8 2.7 2.7 1 Personal income (p. 5) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalties, 2 etc.). Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. * Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, capital consumption allowances, and wage accruals less disbursements. Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business which are included in disposable personal income. 114.7 128.9 139.8 144.6 157.0 168.3 172.7 187.0 171.4 169.6 173. 5 176.5 184.8 186.6 186.4 190.0 200.2 94. 2 97.0 99.6 107.6 117.1 122. 6 128.4 134.8 126. 3 129.7 128. 7 128. 6 131. 3 133.5 135. 4 139. t) 144.0 127.2 131.0 136.1 149.0 159.9 167.1 175.1 184. 5 173. 0 176. 1 175.5 175.7 180. 1 181. 7 187. 1 189. 1 196.4 33.0 34.0 36.5 41.3 42.8 44.5 46.8 49.7 46. 7 46.4 46.8 47.1 48.8 48.2 51. 7 50. 1 52.6 0.7 -12.5 — 2.1 3.7 -4.3 -2.9 1.2 -2.4 2.5 -1.6 — 6.4 — 2.1 .8 4.7 4.9 -.7 .8 3.6 International Business Period 81.6 95.0 103.3 103.3 114.2 123.8 125.9 137. 3 124.6 123.2 126.7 129. 4 136.0 138. 4 134. 7 139. 9 147.6 Surplus <+)or deficit •(-) on income and product account 5.7 2.2 .1 4.1 5.6 5,1 5.9 8.6 7. 1 8.8 7.7 8.8 8.9 6.0 8.0 7.4 6. 9 6.4 26.5 23.1 23.5 27.2 28.6 30.3 32.4 37.0 39.0 36.3 36.0 37.3 38.4 34.7 40.4 40. 1 40. 8 41.7 20.8 20.9 23.3 23.2 22.9 25.1 26.4 28.5 31. 9 27.5 28.2 28.5 29.5 28.6 32.4 32.7 33.9 35.3 Gross Total Statis- national Excess of income tical product transfers or discrepor (+) or receipts expendiancy of net ture exports -3.4 .1 2.3 -1.7 -3.1 -2.5 -3.2 -5.8 -4. 3 -6. 1 -4.8 -6. 1 -6.2 -3.4 -5. 0 -4. 7 -4. 1 -3.7 441.1 445.8 484.5 504.8 520.8 559.8 589.9 629. 2 676. 5 614. 0 624.5 635.4 643.3 660.7 670.2 680.1 694.8 712. 2 1.6 -.8 -1.0 -.7. .5 -.7 — .5 —.2 (6) -.3 — .7 — 2.2 -3.1 -1.4 1.4 2.4 1.5 441.1 447.3 483.6 503. 8 520.1 560.3 589. 2 628. 7 676. 3 614. 0 624. 2 634.8 641.1 657.6 668.8 681.5 697.2 713.9 < Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. *6 Net foreign investment with sign changed. Less than $50 million. •Preliminary estimates. NoTE.-^Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 19601 Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product on a seasonally adjusted basis increased about 2% percent in the first quarter, according to revised estimates. After adjustment for price changes, the increase was 1% percent. MILLIONS OF"DOLURS BILLIONS OP DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 700 700 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 600 600 500 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 400 300 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 100 100 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1966 1960 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Gove rnment j.>urchases of good s and Total Personal Gross Net services congross Total private exports national gross sump- domestic of goods Federal State tion product national investTotal and and National in 1958 product expend- ment services Total defense1 Other local prices itures Billions of dollars; quarterlyT data at £seasonall y ad juste jd annual rates Period 1955. 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965. 1964: I II III IV 1965: I II III.. IV 1966: I COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 438.0 446.1 ._ 452.5 447. 8 475.9 487.8 497. 3 530.0 550.0 577.6 609.6 567. 1 575.9 582. 6 584. 7 597. 7 603.5 613.0 624.4 633.6 398. 0 419. 2 441. 1 447.3 483.6 503. 8 520. 1 560. 3 589.2 628.7 676.3 614.0 624.2 634. 8 641. 1 657.6 668. 8 681. 5 697.2 713.9 254.4 266.7 281.4 290. 1 311. 2 325. 2 335. 2 355. 1 373.8 398.9 428.7 389.1 396.0 404. 6 405. 9 416.9 424. 5 432. 5 441.0 451.8 67.4 70.0 67.8 60. 9 75.3 74. 8 71.7 83.0 86.9 92.9 105.7 89.7 90.9 92. 6 97. 7 103.4 102.8 106.2 110.3 111.7 iThis category corresponds closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 35. a Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1958 prices. 2.0 4. 0 5.7 2. 2 .1 4. 1 5.6 5. 1 5.9 8. 6 7.1 8.8 7.7 8. 8 8. 9 6. 0 8. 0 7.4 6.9 6.4 74.2 78.6 86. 1 94. 2 97.0 99. 6 107. 6 117. 1 122.6 128.4 134.8 126.3 129. 7 128. 7 128. 6 131.3 133. 5 135.4 139.0 144.0 44. 1 45. 6 49. 5 53. 6 53.7 53.5 57.4 63.4 64.4 65.3 66.6 65.0 67.0 64. 9 64. 3 64.9 65. 7 66.5 69.2 72.5 38. 6 40.3 44. 2 45. 9 46. 0 44. 9 47.8 51.6 50. 8 49.9 49.9 49.8 51.7 49. 5 48.8 48.8 49.2 49.8 52.0 55. 0 5.5 5.3 5.3 7.7 7. 6 8. 6 9. 6 11.8 13.6 15.4 16.7 15.2 15.3 15. 4 15.5 16.1 16.5 16.7 17.2 17.5 30. 1 33.0 36. 6 40. 6 43. 3 46. 1 50.2 53.7 58. 3 63. 1 68.2 61.3 62. 7 63.8 64.3 66.4 67.8 68.9 69.8 71.5 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1958= 1002 90. 9 94. 0 97. 5 100. 0 101. 6 103.3 104. 6 105.7 107. 1 108. 9 110.9 108.3 108.4 109. 0 109.6 110. 0 110.8 111.2 111. 7 112.7 NATIONAL INCOME National income in the first quarter scored a very strong rise of $17 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Employee compensation rose by $12%-billion and corporate profits plus inventory valuation adjustment by $3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME V 500 500 400 400 COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES \ 300 300 100 PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 100 NET INTEREST 1960 1961 1963 1962 1965 1964 1966 J/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES. SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS *SEENOTE.PAGE7. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total national income Period 1955 1956 1957 1958___ 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964: I II III IV 1965: I II Ill IV 1966: I 5 ._ . . __ ._ _ . 1 2 Includes employer . 331.0 350.8 366. 1 367.8 4t30. 0 414.5 427.3 457.7 481. 1 514. 4 554.7 501. 6 510.5 519. 5 526.3 540.6 549.5 557.9 570.8 587.9 Compensation of en>ployees * 224. 5 243. 1 256. 0 257. 8 279. 1 294.2 302. 6 323. 6 341.0 365. 3 391.9 355. 1 361.9 369. 0 375.4 382.4 387.9 393.7 403.6 416. 2 Proprieto] rs' income Farm2 11.4 11.4 11. 3 13.4 11.4 12.0 12. 8 13.0 13.0 12. 0 14.3 11.9 12. 0 12. 0 12.2 12.0 14.5 15.0 15.5 15. 9 contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. • See Note, p. 7. Business and professional 30. 3 31.3 32.8 33.2 35. 1 34.2 35.6 37. 1 37.8 39. 1 40.3 38.5 39. 0 39.4 39. 6 39. 9 40. 1 40.4 40.7 41. 0 Rental income of per- 13.9 14.3 14.8 15.4 15. 6 15.8 16. 0 16.7 17. 6 18. 2 18. 6 17.9 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.5 18.6 18. 6 18.7 18.8 Net inter- est 4. 1 4. 6 5. 6 6.8 7. 1 8.4 10.0 11.6 13.6 15.2 16.5 14.5 15.0 15.4 15.7 16. 1 16.4 16.7 17.1 17.6 Corpora ie profits and inventory val uation ad justment 3 Total 46.9 46. 1 45.6 41. 1 51.7 49.9 50.3 55.7 58. 1 64.5 73.1 63.6 64.5 65.5 64.9 71.7 72.0 73.5 75.2 78.3 Profits Inventory before valuation taxes 3 adjustment 48. 6 48.8 47. 2 41.4 52. 1 49. 7 50.3 55.4 58. 6 64. 8 74.7 64.0 64.5 65.3 65.9 73. 1 73.9 74.6 77.0 81. 1 < Less than $60 million. * Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. -1.7 -2.7 — 1.5 -.3 -.5 .2 -. 1 .3 -.4 — ^? -1.6 —.4 (4) .2 — 1.0 -1.4 -1.8 -1.2 -1.8 -2.8 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income had a modest increase of $1.7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in April, were up $1.2 billion and interest income advanced $0.5 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 Wages and salaries BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 500 400 300 100 1966 1960 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr 5 ___ 351.1 361.2 383.5 401.0 416.8 442.6 464.8 495.0 530.7 517.8 520. 5 525. 0 528. 5 530.4 532.1 545.4 541.3 546.1 550. 9 552. 5 557.4 561.4 563. 1 [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] j Wage Rental Transfer Other Proprietc>rs income income and Divi- Personal paysalary labor 2 Business interest of dends Farm and pro- persons income ments disburseincome 1 ments fessional 21.4 11.3 238.7 9.5 14.8 11.7 17.6 32.8 33.2 13.4 15.4 18.9 25.7 9.9 11.6 239.9 11.4 258.2 11.3 15.6 26.6 35. 1 12.6 20.7 34.2 12.0 12.0 23.4 13.4 28.5 15.8 270.8 32.4 12.7 12.8 16.0 25.0 35. 6 13.8 278.1 15.2 33.3 37.1 13.9 13.0 16.7 27.7 296. 1 35.2 37.8 311.2 13.0 17.6 15.8 31. 1 14.8 18.2 17.2 39. 1 34.3 36.6 12.0 16.5 333.5 39.2 18.6 18.2 37.1 40. 3 18.9 357.4 14.3 37. 6 40. 1 11.7 36. 2 17.6 18. 5 18. 0 351. 1 18.2 36. 5 37. 8 40. 0 12.9 18. 6 18.0 351. 5 40. 1 37. 4 18.6 36. 7 14.7 18.5 18.1 353. 9 37. 2 40. 1 18.6 37. 0 18.2 355.4 15.9 19.1 37.2 40. 3 37. 6 15.2 19. 0 18. 6 357. 4 18. 3 37.7 40. 4 18.4 37.5 14.9 19. 2 18. 6 358. 8 « 48. 4 14. 9 40. 5 37.7 19. 5 18.4 18. 6 360.8 40. 6 19.7 37.9 18.7 39.3 364. 7 18. 6 15. 3 39. 6 15. 5 40. 7 38. 2 18.7 19. 9 18.9 368.3 40. 8 20. 2 40.3 15.7 38. 5 19.0 18. 7 371.3 41.4 38. 9 20. 4 19. 2 15. 7 18.8 373.8 40. 9 39.4 20. 6 41.8 19. 3 15.9 41. 0 18. 8 377. 3 42. 0 40. 0 20.6 19. 5 16. 1 41.2 18. 9 379. 9 42. 0 20.7 40.5 19.6 15. 9 41.3 18.9 381. 1 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest .and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations* COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 6.7 6.9 7.9 9.3 9.6 10.3 11.8 12.4 13. 2 13. 0 12.9 13. 0 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13.4 13. 5 13. 6 13.7 16. 6 16.8 16.9 16. 9 Nonagricultural personal income 3 336.6 344.3 368.5 385.2 400.0 425.5 447.4 478.7 512. 1 502. 2 503. 2 505. 8 508. 2 510. 8 512. 9 526. 2 521. 7 526.3 530.7 532. 5 537.2 540. 9 542. 8 < Includes retroactive social security benefits of $885 million or $10.6 billion at annual rate. 8 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—'Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Despite the increase in social security taxes and an increase in personal tax payments, disposable personal income advanced by almost $8% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. Outlays, however, increased faster and the saving fate dropped sharply to 5.0 percent, according to revised estimates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 550 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 550 500 500 450 400 350 300 |/_L_L_1 DOLLARS 2,600 DOLLARS 2,600 2,400 2,400 2,200 2,200 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,800 1966 1960 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963_ 1964_.____ 1965. 333.0 351.1 361.2 383. 5 401.0 416.8 442.6 464.8 495.0 530.7 1964: !.__ 483. 0 II— 490. 6 IIL. 499.1 IV__ 507. 1 1965: ! _ _ _ 516.2 II... 524.7 III.. 536. 0 IV_. 546.0 1966: !___ 557. 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per capdta dis- Saving L ess: Perse nal outlawfs posable personal as perPersoilal consuiinption Less: Equals: Equals: incc>me cent of PopulaDisexpenditure s 2 Per- posable Personal distion Total sonal personal personal saving Current (thouposable Non1958 taxes income outlays 1 Durable durable Services sands) prices prices personal goods income goods (percent) Billions of dollars Dol Lars 168, 221 7.0 293.2 38.9 39.8 272.6 129.3 98.5 20.6 1,743 1, 838 171, 274 6.7 42.6 308.5 40.8 135.6 287.8 105.0 1,844 20.8 1,801 174, 141 7.0 140.2 37.9 42.3 318.8 296.5 112.0 1,831 22.3 1,831 177, 073 5.7 46.2 318.2 44.3 337.3 146.6 120.3 1,881 1,905 19.1 180, 684 4.9 45.3 50.9 350.0 333.0 151.3 128.7 17.0 1,883 1,937 44.2 5.8 183, 756 343.2 364. 4 52.4 155.9 21.2 135.1 1,983 1,909 186, 656 5.6 385.3 49.5 57.4 363.7 162.6 143.0 2,064 21.6 1,970 189, 417 53.4 5.1 60.9 383.4 168.0 403.8 152.3 2, 132 20.4 2,009 192, 120 59.2 58.7 6.0 409.5 435.8 177.5 162.6 26.3 2,268 2,116 194, 572 65.0 5.4 65.4 440.5 189.0 465.3 174.7 24. 9 2,391 2, 198 Seaso nally adjiisted annilal rates 399. 3 57.4 60. 4 422.6 5.5 191, 163 173. 7 2,211 158. 0 23.3 2,070 56. 9 433.6 406. 3 59. 1 6.3 191, 781 175. 7 2, 111 161. 2 27.3 2,261 192, 492 58.8 440.3 415.3 60.5 179.8 5.7 164.3 2,134 25.0 2,287 60.7 446.4 57.9 6.6 193, 196 416.9 180.9 2, 31L 2,145 167. 1 29.5 64.8 451.4 428.1 64.6 5.2 193, 731 182.8 169.5 2,330 2, 157 23.3 66.2 63.5 458.5 436.1 194, 268 187.9 4.9 173.1 22.4 2,360 2, 171 64.8 471.2 65.4 444.4 194, 898 5.7 190.5 176.7 26.8 2,418 2,218 66.4 65.7 480.3 453. 2 195.0 5.6 195, 543 179.6 27. 1 2,247 2,456 68.3 464.4 68.7 5.0 200. 1 196, 082 488. 7 183.0 24.4 2,492 2,260 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, and 2 personal transfer payments to foreigners. See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME In the first quarter 1966 seasonally adjusted net farm income, including net inventory change, rose 3 percent from the fourth quarter 1965. Net income per farm was up 6 percent to an all-time peak. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 50 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME \ 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 20 \ 10 10 1960 1962 1961 1963 1964 1965 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal income re ceived by total i arm popu lation I ncome re eeived fro m farming Realize d gross From all sources Period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965--- ._ 1964: I_ EL... Ill IV 1965: III III. IV. 1966: I 17.7 19.5 18.1 ia7 19.0 19.2 18.7 17.9 20.0 From From farm nonfarm sources sources 11.0 12.8 11.0 11.4 12.1 12.2 12.0 11. 1 13.2 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.2 6.9 7.0 6. 7 6.8 6.8 Cash receipts from Total > marketings Billions <>f dollars 34.0 29.7 37.9 33.5 37. 5 33.5 37.9 34.0 39.6 34.9 36.2 41. 0 42. 1 37.3 42.2 36.9 44.4 38.9 Seas onally ad 42. 1 36.9 42.3 37.0 42.3 37.0 42.1 36.7 42.2 36.7 45.0 39.5 44.8 39.3 45.5 40.0 47.0 40.8 * Cash receipts from marketings. Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. a Based on 1959 Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. 1966 Net t(:> farm operjators Net inc ome per farm incl uding net inventory change1 Produc— tion ex- Exclud- Includpenses ingnetin- ing net in^ Current 1965 ventory ventory2 prices prices 4 change change 23.3 10.7 25.2 12.7 11.4 26.1 26.2 11.7 12.6 27.0 12.5 28. 5 12.5 29.6 29.3 12.9 14.1 30.3 usted amlual rates 29.5 12.6 29.3 13.0 29.2 13.1 13.1 29.0 29.7 12.5 30.2 14.8 30.3 14.5 31.1 14.4 31.7 15.3 11.3 13.5 11.5 12.0 12.9 13.1 13. 1 12.1 14.4 Dol lars 2,786 2,590 3, 189 3,429 2,973 2,795 3,203 3,043 3,567 3,389 3, 710 3,562 3, 785 3, 671 3,558 3,486 4,280 4, 280 12.0 12. 1 12.1 12.3 12. 1 14.6 15.1 15.6 16.0 3,460 3,480 3,480 3,540 3, 590 4,330 4,480 4,620 4, 880 3,530 3,550 3,550 3,610 3,630 4,330 4,480 4,620 4,780 4 Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by f irmers for family living items on a 1965 base. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Despite the large increase in payroll levies, corporate profits before taxes set a new record by rising $4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) or more than 5 percent in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 90 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 90 30 20 10 1960 I 1961 i 1962 1963 T 1964 1965 1966 -I/EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964: !____ !!___ III__ IV__ 1965: I !!___ III- IV. _ 1966: I 3 _ _ _ [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally Corp>orate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inven tory ivaluation adjust meiit TransCorpoM anufactur ing portation, rate comAll profits NonAll muniother Durable before indusgoods durable indus- taxes goods cations, tries Total indusand tries induspublic tries tries utilities 24 0 19. 3 26. 3 24. 4 23. 3 26.6 28. 7 32. 1 37.5 31. 9 32. 1 32. 5 32. 3 37.3 36.7 37.3 38.8 45.6 41. 1 51. 7 49.9 50.3 55. 7 58. 1 64. 5 73.1 63. 6 64. 5 65. 5 64. 9 71.7 72.0 73.5 75.2 78.3 (4) 3 13. 3 9.3 13. 6 12. 0 11. 4 14. 1 15. 4 17.2 20.7 17.5 17. 1 17. 5 17. 1 20.8 20. 1 20.7 21. 3 (4) 10.7 10. 0 12. 7 12. 4 11.9 12. 5 13. 2 16.8 14. 4 15. 0 15. 0 15. 3 16.6 16.6 16.6 17.4 8. 5 9. 2 10. 0 10.8 9. 9 10. 1 10. 2 10. 1 10.5 10.5 11.0 10.9 15. 8 15. 9 18. 4 17.9 19. 1 20. 5 20. 2 22.4 24.8 21.9 22. 3 22. 8 22. 5 23.8 24.9 25.2 25.5 (4) (4) (4) 149 5.8 5.9 7. 0 7.5 7.9 Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current account, and accidental damages. 2 Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances, a Preliminary estimates. < Not available. 63-050°—66 2 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS * SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW. 47. 2 41. 4 52. 1 49. 7 50. 3 55. 4 58. 6 64 8 74.7 64 0 64 5 65. 3 65. 9 73.1 73.9 74.6 77. 0 81. 1 adjusted annual rates! CorjDerate pr ofits a fter taxe s Corporate DiviUntax liabil- Total dend distribpayuted ity ments profits 21. 2 19. 0 23.7 23. 0 23. 1 24. 2 26. 0 27. 6 30.1 27.3 27. 5 27. 8 28. 1 29.5 29.8 30. 1 31. 1 32.7 26.0 22. 3 28. 5 26. 7 27.2 31. 2 32. 6 37. 2 44.5 36. 7 37. 0 37. 5 37. 8 43.6 44.1 44.5 45. 9 48.4 11.7 11. 6 12. 6 13.4 13. 8 15. 2 15. 8 17. 2 18.9 16. 7 17. 1 17.4 17.7 18.0 18.6 19.2 19.9 20. 6 142 10. 8 15. 9 13. 2 13. 5 16. 0 16. 8 19.9 25.6 20. 0 19. 9 20. 1 20.0 25.7 25.5 25.3 26.0 27.8 Corporate capital consumption allow-1 ances 20. 8 22.0 23. 5 249 26.2 30. 1 32.0 340 36.1 33.2 33.6 34 3 34 8 35.4 35.8 36.3 36.8 37.3 Profits plus capital consumption allow-2 ances 46.8 443 52.0 51.6 53.5 61.3 64 5 71.2 80.5 69. 9 70.7 71. 8 72. 6 79.1 79.8 80.8 82. 7 85.7 NOTE.—Data beginning 1962 adjusted for effects of new depreciation guidelines ($2M billion for 1962) and therefore not comparable with previous data. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT With inventory accumulation $2 billion less than in the fourth quarter, gross private domestic investment increased by only $11/2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. Fixed investment gained almost $3% billion with $21A billion in nonresidential. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 100 40 20 - 20 1960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed imvestment Total gross private domestic investment Period Total Struc tures Total Total 1955 1956... 1957. 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964: I II III IV 1965: I II III IV 1966: I _-. _ _.. _ __ _ _._ -_. 67. 4 70. 0 67. 8 60. 9 75. 3 74. 8 71. 7 83.0 86.9 92. 9 105. 7 89.7 90.9 92.6 97.7 103.4 102. 8 106. 2 110.3 111.7 61. 4 65.3 66.5 62. 4 70.5 71.3 69.7 77. 0 81. 2 88. 1 97. 4 86. 5 86.8 88.8 90. 2 94. 6 96. 4 98. 6 100.2 103.6 38. 1 43. 7 46. 4 41. 6 45. 1 48.4 47.0 51.7 54.3 60. 5 69. 8 58. 1 58.9 61.6 63. 5 66.9 68. 4 70. 9 73.0 75.5 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. 8 Resid ential structures N<:>nresident ial 14.3 17.2 18. 0 16. 6 16. 7 18. 1 18. 4 19. 2 19.7 21. 1 24.3 20. 7 21. 1 21. 1 21.5 23. 2 24. 5 24. 2 25.4 26. 9 Nonfarm 13. 6 16. 5 17. 2 15. 8 15. 9 17. 4 17.7 18. 5 19. 0 20. 4 23. 7 20. 0 20. 4 20. 5 20. 8 22. 5 23.8 23.6 24.7 26.3 Produceirsj durable eqilipment Total 23. 8 26. 5 28. 4 25. 0 28. 4 30.3 28.6 32. 5 34. 6 39. 4 45. 5 37.5 37. 9 40. 5 42. 0 43. 7 43. 9 46.7 47. 6 48.5 Nonfarm 21.2 24. 2 25. 9 22. 0 25. 4 27.7 25. 8 29. 4 31. 2 35.8 41.3 33.9 34.4 36. 8 38.3 40. 1 40.2 42.2 42. 7 44.4 Total 23.3 21. 6 20.2 20.8 25.5 22. 8 22. 6 25. 3 26. 9 27. 5 27. 6 28.4 27.9 27.2 26. 7 27. 7 28. 0 27. 7 27. 2 28.2 Nonfarm 22. 7 20.9 19. 5 20. 1 24. 8 22. 2 22. 0 24.8 26.3 27.0 27. 1 27.8 27.3 26. 6 26. 2 27. 1 27.5 27. 1 26. 7 27.6 Source: Department of Commerce. Change in business inv entories Total 6.0 4.7 1.3 — 1. 5 4. 8 3. 6 2. 0 6.0 5. 7 4.8 8.2 3.3 4. 1 3. 8 7.5 8.8 6.4 7. 6 10. 1 8. 1 Nonfarm 5. 5 5. 1 .8 -2.3 4.8 3.3 1.7 5.3 4.9 5.4 7.9 3.6 5. 1 4. 6 7. 8 9.2 6.6 7.0 8.9 7.4 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Business expenditures for new plant and equipment are expected to rise 16 percent to $60.2 billion in 1966. strong increase of $8.3 billion is spread evenly throu3hout the year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 The BILLIONS' OF DOLLARS ~ ' 1 70 .SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL .RATES 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 NON MANUFACTURING \ 20 20 MANUFACTURING 10 10 1 1 I I960 I I I 1961 i i i 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 I/ SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufacturi]Qg Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957_ 1958. 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963. 1964 1965 3 1966 1965: I II III IV 1966: I 33 II 2dhalf 3 1 Total1 - . 28. 32 26. 83 28. 70 35.08 36.96 30. 53 32. 54 35. 68 34.37 37. 31 39. 22 44. 90 51.96 60.23 49.00 50. 35 52. 75 55.35 57.20 58.90 62.20 Total 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14.95 15.96 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 68 14. 68 15. 69 18. 58 22.45 26.75 20.75 21. 55 23. 00 24. 15 25.15 25.80 27.90 Durable Nonduragoods ble goods 5.65 5.09 5. 44 7. 62 8.02 5. 47 5.77 7. 18 6. 27 7. 03 7. 85 9. 43 11.40 13.50 10.40 10. 80 11. 75 12.45 12.80 12.90 14. 10 Excludes agriculture. * Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. 3 Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business in late January and February 1966. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. NOTE.—Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Transpoirtation 6. 26 5. 95 6. 00 7. 33 7. 94 5. 96 6. 29 7. 30 7. 40 7. 65 7. 84 9. 16 11.05 13.25 10.40 10. 70 11. 25 11.70 12.35 12.90 13. 80 Mining Railroads Other 0.99 .98 .96 1.24 1.24 . 94 . 99 . 99 . 98 1. 08 1. 04 1. 19 1.30 1.51 1.25 1. 30 1. 25 1.35 1.45 1.55 1.50 1.31 . 85 . 92 1.23 1. 40 .75 . 92 1. 03 .67 . 85 1. 10 1. 41 1.73 1.83 1.75 1. 55 1.70 1.95 1.65 1.80 1.95 1. 56 1. 51 1. 60 1. 71 1.77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 85 2. 07 1. 92 2.38 2.81 3.15 2.55 2.70 3.00 3.00 3.30 3.20 3.10 Public Commerand utilities cial other 2 4. 55 4. 22 4. 31 4.90 6. 20 6.09 5. 67 5.68 5. 52 5.48 5.65 6. 22 6.94 8.04 6.80 6.85 6.75 7.30 7.65 7.95 8.25 8. 00 8.23 9.47 11. 05 10.40 9.81 10.88 11.57 11.68 13. 15 13.82 15. 13 16.73 18.95 15.85 16.40 17.00 17.55 18.05 18.65 19.50 Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates ol the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Employment, seasonally adjusted, increased by 364,000 in April while the civilian labor force rose by 325,000. Nonasricultural employment rose by 245,000 and agricultural employment by 119,000 according to the household survey. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 90 90 SEASONALLY ADJUSTS) 85 60 80 -TOTAL LABOR FORCE- •75 75 70 70 65 65 •10 10 5 0 PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE rrn r ' [5! 1 n |! | :j: •:• : : :• : : •: j | \ | !! | | !• f: | •: : :•: 19<SCI n |j :•: Ff 1961 •: ii ^ : i= ji m :: : :• :: :• • :• •: •: :•: j : : ':': li ;:• :•: PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE > 5E*S01MALIY AC>JlJS1m IJN EJ\A >L 0nAENT nMre ?6:) ] 9M n • j: !:! : | ii :• •:: -I :"l •• | 1 :• :•: :• •:; '•':'' 96i 19 6^I 1< •: ;j |1 | 11:": 1 ji! "i; •:• | •:*•: :• •:• •:• :j :: :j: :::: :• :•: :•:•: ": ::|:- •:: '•':'• :J r^: •: 1966 *14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCfc KPARTMB4T OF COMMBtCf Period Total labor force (including armed forces) 1961— 19622__ 1963... 1964... 1965___ 74,175 74, 681 75,712 76,971 78, 357 1965; Feb.. Mar. Apr. May. ' . JuneJuly. Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec. 1966: Jan.. Feb_. Mar. Apr. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civilisyn emTotal ployiment labor force UnemAT Non(includployagriing Total ment cularmed tural forces) Thousands of jpersons 14 66, 796 61, 333 4, 806 74, 175 67, 846 62, 657 4,007 74, 681 68, 809 63, 863 4, 166 75, 712 70, 357 65, 596 3,876 76, 971 72, 179 67, 594 3,456 78, 357 Unadji listed 76,418 76, 612 77, 307 78, 425 80, 683 81, 150 80, 163 78, 044 78, 713 78, 598 78, 477 69, 496 70, 169 71, 070 72, 407 73, 716 74, 854 74, 212 72, 446 73, 196 72,837 72, 749 65, 694 66, 180 66, 597 67, 278 68, 094 69, 228 69, 077 67, 668 68, 242 68, 709 69, 103 4,218 3,740 3,552 3,335 4,287 3,602 3,258 2,875 2,757 2,966 2,888 77, 770 77, 722 77, 988 77, 990 77,409 77, 632 78, 034 78,914 71, 229 71, 551 72, 023 73, 105 67, 652 67, 939 68, 244 68,900 3, 290 3,158 3, 037 2,802 Civilian labor force 10 Total Agricultural years of age and over 71, 603 66, 796 5,463 71, 854 67, 846 5, 190 72, 975 68,809 4,946 74, 233 70, 357 4,761 75, 635 72, 179 4, 585 Seasonally adjustec 1 78, 382 78, 747 78, 465 78, 384 78, 606 78, 906 79,408 75, 066 75, 019 75, 302 75, 806 75, 662 76, 054 75, 772 75,611 75, 846 76, 111 76, 567 71, 826 71, 483 71, 688 71, 816 72, 085 72, 618 72, 887 72, 297 72, 561 72, 914 78, 441 4,608 4,588 4,769 4,869 4,651 4,639 4,572 4,418 4,551 4,278 4,486 8,740 3,536 3,614 8,490 8,567 S,4S6 8,385 8,814 3,285 8,197 3, 126 5.7 5.1 4.8 4.4 5.5 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.6 3. 9 3.8 79, 644 79, 279 79, 815 79, 674 76, 754 76, 855 76, 841 76, 666 73, 715 78, 521 78, 435 78, 799 4,429 69, 286 8,089 4,44^ 69, 079 2,884 4.4 4.2 40 3.7 *3 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. Not strictly comparable with preceding data. See Employment and Earn ings, May 1962, p. XIV. Unemp]oy ment rate (pe reent of Unem- civiliaiQ labor XT —. JNonfor ce) ployagriment Unad- Seasonculadtural justed ally justed Percent 61, 333 4,806 6.7 62, 657 4,007 5. 6 63, 863 4, 166 5.7 65, 596 3,876 5.2 67, 594 3,456 4.6 Civilisin emplo yment 4,863 4, 482 66, 718 66, 895 66, 919 66, 947 67, 484 67, 979 67, 815 67, 879 68, 010 68, 641 68, 955 69, 072 69, 317 2,906 2, 867 NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.8 4.2 4.1 4.0 8.7 3.8 8.7 Labor force participation rate, unadjusted » 58.0 57.4 57. 3 57.4 57.5 56.4 56.5 56.9 57.7 59. 3 59.6 58.7 57.1 57.5 57.4 57.2 56.3 56.4 56.7 57.2 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate returned to 3.7 percent in April, equaling the rate in February and the lowest rate since 1953. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMB^T AND PART-TIME WORK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 4.0 UNEMPLOYMENT MARRIED MEN 2.0 2.0 1960 1966 SOURCE* DEPARTMENT Of IA6OR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Uneniploymemb rate (pereent of civilijin labor for ce in grou P) Period Persons at work in- nonagri cultural 2iridustries by hours worked p>er week Urider 35 hours Part-time for Part-ti me for economi B reasons economic3 reasons 35-40 hours Total Usually Usually Usually Usually fullfullpartparttime 3 time 4 time 4 time 8 Thousan ds of persons 14 yeiirs of age and over 18,210 29, 047 11, 132 1, 297 1 516 19, 025 28, 853 11,675 1, 049 1 288 19, 257 29, 422 11, 856 1 219 1,070 19, 294 29, 127 13, 850 1 151 985 20, 808 30, 802 12, 618 897 1 031 I Jnadjuste d Seasonal!^7 adjusted 20, 612 31,371 11,981 910 998 904 1, 078 862 18, 499 29, 187 16, 117 921 840 1,030 21, 354 31,654 11, 966 892 936 947 957 20, 856 32,011 11,462 1,292 944 948 1,035 20, 244 30,295 10, 778 874 1,466 961 1, 127 20, 424 30, 684 10, 408 932 959 1,358 1, 038 22, 040 31, 626 11, 159 851 854 843 937 21, 900 30, 846 13, 052 829 853 848 973 21, 006 28, 341 17, 195 830 916 817 1, 002 22, 477 32, 330 12, 447 866 761 766 979 20, 851 32, 125 12, 408 972 794 902 917 20, 690 32,389 12, 555 732 871 782 899 21, 288 32, 543 12, 156 743 826 820 802 6 6 20, 926 32, 263 12, 825 711 796 776 795 Labor force time lost through Experi- Married unemenced All ployment Over 40 and men workers wage (wife and part- hours salary present) time workers _v-._i_ work *i Per cent 1962...... ...... 1963 1964. 1965.. -._.._ 6.7 5.6 5.7 5.2 4.6 1965: Mar._..__ Apr . May June July..:..... Aug — .__. Sept Oct _. Nov Dec .1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr 4.7 48 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4. 2 4. 1 4.0 3.7 3.8 3. 7 1961™.;. as 46 5.5 3.6 3,4 5.5 5.0 2.8 2.4 4.2 Seasonall:y adjusted 4.4 2.5 2. 5 45 4.4 2.5 4.5 2.4 4.1 2.3 42 2.6 40 2.2 40 2. 1 3.8 2.0 3.7 1.8 3. 5 1.9 3.3 1.9 3.5 1.9 3.4 1.8 J 8.0 6.7 6. 4 5.8 5.0 5.2 5. 3 5.2 5.3 5.2 5. 1 4.7 46 45 44 43 4.0 41 41 i Man-hours lost by the unemployed and those on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of total man-hours potentially available to the civilian labor force. Beginning 1963, series reflects whether unemployed persons sought fullor 8part-time jobs. Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 13), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 4 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. * Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.7; usually part-time, 18.0. NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii Source: Department of Labor. IT UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In April, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 426,000 less than in April 1965. unemployment rate on a seasonally adjusted basis continued to drop, reaching 2.1 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS The insured MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1963 •j t I JAN. FEB. MAR. APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. -OCT. J/ SEE NOTE I ON TABLE BELOW. SOURC6 DEPARTMENT OF UKXt 1 A11 prograras Insured Total unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unememploy- ment (milployment (weekly lions ment averof dolage) lars) Thou sands 47, 776 1 1,946 48, 434 1, 973 49, 635 1,753 1,450 49, 837 1,863 2 50, 683 1, 622 2 51, 336 1,316 2 1,182 52, 125 2 1,262 52, 277 2 52, 618 1,235 2 52, 718 1, 089 1, 030 ._ 1, 133 1,396 1,739 1,679 1,381 1, 112 _ 1,224 1,182 1,136 1,080 1, 027 Stiite progra ms Insurec1 unemploymeEit as perInitial Exhaus- cent of covered emplo yment tions claims Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Per cent Weekly iaverage, t lousands 3,160.0 1 1, 783 302 32 4. 4 *298 3, 025. 9 1, 806 30 4.3 2, 749. 2 1,605 268 3.8 26 2, 434. 7 232 21 1,328 3. 0 294. 9 222 25 4. 0 1, 718 3. 2 242.7 3.4 1,470 220 27 3. 2 179.2 1, 179 24 186 2.7 3.0 169.3 22 1,059 191 2.4 3. 0 252 160. 6 1,139 2.6 19 3.0 160.7 1, 120 215 18 2.5 3. 1 2.2 150.3 981 173 17 2. 9 128. 2 933 189 2.0 16 2. 7 143.0 1,042 225 15 2.7 2.3 184.7 290 17 2. 7 3. 0 1,308 226.5 1,644 329 19 3.7 2.7 230.2 1,590 19 238 3.6 2.6 240. 0 1,301 171 18 2.9 2.3 170.0 1,044 166 19 2.1 2.3 1,153 1, 112 1, 067 1,015 Programs include Puerto Rican sugarcane workers for initial claims and insured unemployment beginning July 1963. 2 Preliminary. 12 DEC COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVtttftS Period 1962 1963-.. 1964 1965 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct _ Nov. Dec 1966: Jan___ Feb Mar Apr ^ Week ended: 1966: Apr 2 9 16 23 30 * May 7«. NOV. 964 161 196 161 157 153 164 Benefi ts paid Total Average (milweekly lions of check dollars) (dollars) 2,675.4 2, 774. 7 2,522. 1 2, 166. 0 273.4 224.9 165.7 156.3 149. 5 148. 0 138.6 117.8 132.2 172. 1 212.7 217.2 225. 5 155. 0 34. 56 35. 28 35. 96 37.19 37.41 37. 16 36.40 36.07 36. 40 36. 58 37.23 37.32 38.08 38.81 39.36 39.66 39.83 39.58 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1964 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods and for Puerto Rico since January 1961. Source: Department of Labor. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Nonagricultural payroll employment increased by 6,000 (seasonally adjusted) in April. Large declines in contract construction, trade, and mining, were offset by gains in manufacturing, government, and services. MILIJONS OF WAGE ANl5 SALARY WORK ERS 66 MIL JONS OF WAGE AN 5 SALARY WORKERS 22 (SEASONALLY A DJUSTED DATA) ALL NONA<3RICULTURAL ESTABLISHMEf ^TS MANUFACTlJRING 20 64 —*-X! 62 60 58 ^^^\ 56 54 ^*~~*^ F"" 1 x— TOTAL \ 18 S^ sS~^ ^/1 \ 10 ' ^""j i NONDURA BLE GOODS INDU \ 8 ' ^** *-^* . DURABLE GOODS INDU 5TRIES 16 4.5 ^ j-«-* « 5TRIES „...„„. 6 '""'"'"J 13.5 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTK3N. WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCA LE) (ENLARGED SCA -E) 4.0 13,0 3.5 3.0 (SEASONALLY AC>JUSTED DATA) 12.5 p/V r --v^-^ '-X-" ^~ 12.0 S 2.5 fr i MI 1 M ,n i 1963 ,f* , 1964 ^ 1965 —-^ ^— Ilifi' 1966 ^ 11.5 iM . » > I . . . f . 1963 1964 , , 1966 1965 SOURCE, DEPARTMEMT OF tABOR COUNOI Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 [Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted] N onmanu facturing r (private ) Manufac sturing (]private) Period Total Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total Contract Mining construc- Transportation and public utilities 4,011 4,004 3,903 3,906 3,903 3,947 4,031 4,017 4,013 4,020 4,034 4,031 4,049 4,067 4,071 4,079 4,079 4,090 4, 104 4, 108 4, 115 Wholesale and retail trade 53, 297 16, 675 9,373 7,303 28, 539 1959 732 2,960 11, 127 54, 203 16, 796 9,459 7,336 29, 054 712 2,885 1960 11, 391 53, 989 16, 326 9,070 7,256 29, 069 672 2,816 1961 11, 337 55, 515 16, 853 9,480 7,373 29, 772 1962 650 2,902 11, 566 56, 602 1963 16, 995 9,616 7,380 30, 381 635 2,963 11,778 58, 156 17, 259 9,813 7, 446 31,301 1964 633 3,056 12, 132 60, 444 17, 984 10, 379 7,604 32, 409 1965 628 3, 211 12, 588 632 3,238 1965: Mar. 59, 814 17, 762 10, 194 7,568 32, 164 12, 460 Apr_> 59, 846 17, 803 10, 241 7,562 32, 119 629 3,145 12, 494 May_ 60, 032 17, 835 10, 266 7,569 32, 242 627 3, 188 12, 532 626 3,195 June- 60, 290 17, 943 10, 345 7,598 32, 333 12, 580 633 3, 154 July. 60, 501 18, 032 10, 424 7,608 32,415 12,619 627 3, 189 Aug.. 60, 621 18, 072 10, 476 7,596 32, 464 12, 600 617 3, 186 Sept. 60, 756 18, 098 10, 494 7,604 32, 539 12, 641 622 3,202 Oct__ 61, 001 18, 163 10, 523 7, 640 32, 667 12, 684 Nov. 61, 472 18, 321 10, 615 7,706 32, 882 627 3,267 12, 754 Dec._ 61, 884 18, 429 10, 707 7,722 33, 127 630 3,386 12, 822 1966: Jan.. 62, 148 18, 522 10, 805 7,717 33, 236 632 3,383 12, 909 62, 501 Feb.. 18, 691 10, 919 7,772 33, 338 631 3,374 12, 942 3,462 ,Mar22. 62, 881 ' 18, 763 10, 987 7,776 33, 550 633 13, 006 Apr . 62, 887 18, 825 11, 040 7,785 33, 407 596 3,377 12, 955 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural meration of population, whereas the establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period from 2 employing establishments. which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed perPreliminary. sons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed, forces. Total derived from NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor forces, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed Source: Department of Labor. persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu Gover nment Finance, insur- Service State ance, and and and miscel- Federal local real laneous estate 2,594 7, 115 2,233 5,850 2, 669 7,392 2,270 6,083 2,731 7,610 2,279 6,315 2,800 7,947 2,340 6,550 2,877 8,226 2,358 6,868 2,964 8,569 2,348 7,248 3,044 8,907 2,378 7,673 3,023 8,794 2,342 7,546 3,024 8,814 2,344 7,580 3,032 8,843 2,345 7,610 3,041 8,857 2,355 7,659 3,049 8,929 2,376 7,678 3,053 8, 946 2,379 7,706 3,061 8,967 2,379 7,740 3,069 9,019 2,386 7,785 3,074 9,081 2,400 7,869 3,082 9,128 2,395 7,933 3,080 9, 142 2,425 7, 965 3,082 9,205 2,451 8,021 3,099 9,242 2,477 8,091 3,103 9,261 2,508 8, 147 estimates in this table are based on reports 13 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek in manufacturing, seasonally adjusted/remained constant at 41.5 hours in April, struction, the average workweek dropped by 1.2 hours to 37.3 hours. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 DURABLE MANUFAQURING In con- NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 42 42 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 1964 1963 1965 1966 1963 44 1964 1965 1966 1964 1965 : 1966 44 RETAIL TRADE CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 42 42 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 32 32 1963 1964 1965 1966 1963 *SEE TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1 [Average hours per week; seasonally adjusted] Marmfacturing Indus tries Period 1955 . 1956 1957 1958. _ ^. 1959... _ . _ . _ . . . _ _ _ _ ; _ . Durable goods All All -_ 1960_.._._ .. 1961-.. _.__._...._ .... 1962 __: ..... 1963.... 1964 1965 ______ 1965: Mar . Apr. — '. ,._ May. June ... . July........ Aug _ Sept... Oct...... _ Nov__ _. Dec .___ 1966: Jan____... . ....^. :.. Feb 2 .._... _ Mar2 Apr 40. 7 40. 4 39.8 39.-2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 8 40.4 40.5 40. 7 41.2 41.3 41. 0 41. 1 41.0 41. 0 41. 0 40.9 41.2 41.4 41.4 41.5 41. 6 41.5 41.5 1 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii Included beginning 1959. * Preliminary. 14 41. 3 41.0 40. 3 39.5 40.7 40. 1 40.3 40.9 41. 1 41.4 42.0 42. 2 41.9 42.0 41. 8 41.7 41.7 41.6 42. 0 42.2 42.2 42.4 42.4 42. 3 42. 4 Nondurable goods 39.9 39. 6 39. 2 38.8 39. 7 39.2 39.3 39.6 39.6 39.7 40.1 40.2 39.9 40.0 39.9 40.0 40.0 40. 1 40. 1 40. 3 40. 2 40. 2 40. 6 40.4 40. 4 Contract construction 37. 1 37. 5 37.0 36.8 37.0 36.7 36.9 37.0 37. 3 37. 2 37.4 37.5 37. 0 37.5 37.1 37. 4 37.3 36.2 37. 0 37. 1 39. 2 37.8 38. 2 38.5 37.3 * Beginning 1964, includes eating and drinking places. Source: Department of Labor. Retail trade 39.6 39. 1 38.7 38. 7 38.7 38. 5 38. 1 37.9 37.8 * 37. 0 36. 6 36. 8 36.9 36. 8 36. 6 36. 8 36. 7 36. 5 36. 4 36.3 36. 4 36. 2 36. 1 36. 1 35. 9 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average weekly earnings in manufacturing were $110.83 in April—$5.01 above April 1965. DOLLARS DOLLARS 3.00 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS 2.80 DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES ' AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS ^.m*"""V ../f 2.60 ALL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES 2.40 ALL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES 2.20 NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 2.00 1965 1963 1966 1963 1966 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT Of LABOR COUNCH. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Averstge hourly earnings-— current prices Period Manufc icturing iiadustries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable trade strucAll goods tion goods $1. 95 1956 1957........ 2.05 2. 11 1958 2.19 1959 2.26 1960 2.32 1961 2.39 1962_ 2.46 1963 2.53 1964. 2. 61 1965 1965: Mar.. 2.59 Apr__ 2. 60 May__ 2. 61 June__ 2. 61 July- 2. 61 Aug__ 2. 59 Sept.. 2. 63 Oct.. 2.63 Nov._ 2.65 Dec.. 2.66 1966: Jan.. 2.67 2.67 Feb_. Mar3. 2.68 Apr 3. 2.69 $2.08 2. 19 2. 26 2.36 2.43 2.49 2.56 2. 63 2.71 2.79 2.78 2.78 2.79 2. 79 2. 79 2.77 2. 81 2.82 2. 83 2.84 2.85 2. 86 2. 86 2.87 $1. 77 1.85 1.91 1.98 2. 05 2. 11 2. 17 2. 22 2. 29 2. 36 2. 33 2. 34 2.35 2. 35 2. 36 2. 36 2. 38 2. 38 2.39 2.40 2.40 2. 40 2.41 2. 43 $2.57 2.71 2. 82 2.93 3. 08 3. 20 3. 31 3. 41 3.55 3. 69 3.65 3.61 3.65 3. 66 3. 64 3. 68 3.74 3.76 3.74 3.76 3.78 3. 81 3. 79 3.80 $1.40 1.47 1.52 1.57 1. 62 1.68 1.74 1.80 *1. 75 1. 82 1.79 1. 80 1. 82 1. 82 1. 82 1. 82 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.85 1.88 1.88 1.89 1.89 Aver age weekl y earnings i-—current > prices Manufz icturing iiidustries Contract conNonDurable durable strucAll goods tion goods $78. 78 81.59 82.71 88.26 89. 72 92. 34 96. 56 99.63 102. 97 107. 53 106. 71 105. 82 107. 53 107. 79 107. 01 106. 45 107. 83 108. 62 109.71 110. 92 110. 00 110. 27 110. 95 110. 83 1 Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and Interindustry shifts. * Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price Index on a 1957-59 3 Preliminary. 63-0500- $85. 28 88.26 89.27 96.05 97.44 100. 35 104. 70 10&09 112. 19 117. 18 117. 04 115. 93 117. 46 117. 74 116. 06 115. 51 117. 18 118. 72 119. 43 120. 98 119. 99 120. 41 120. 69 121. 11 $70. 09 72.52 74. 11 78.61 80.36 82.92 85.93 87.91 90. 91 94.64 93.20 92. 20 9400 9447 9487 95. 11 95. 68 95. 68 96. 32 96.96 95.52 96.48 96.88 96. 96 $96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108.41 113. 04 118. 08 122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 01 133. 96 132. 49 140. 16 139. 08 140. 50 143. 15 13a 75 144 01 136. 14 139. 50 137. 97 138. 30 142. 88 140. 60 Retail trade $5474 56.89 58.82 60.76 62.37 6401 65.95 eao4 *64 75 66. 61 65.34 66.06 66.43 67. 16 6R25 68. 07 67. 53 67.33 67.13 67. 90 67. 49 67.30 67. 66 67. 47 Manufac1jturing indus ;ries Adjusted Average hourly weekly earnings, earnings, 1957-59= 1957-59 100 i prices 2 91. 5 $83. 19 96.2 83.26 100. 2 82.14 103.5 86.96 87.02 106.6 88.62 109.6 112. 3 91.61 115.2 93.37 118.0 95.25 97.84 121.0 120.1 97.90 120.4 96.82 120.6 98. 11 120.8 97.90 120.9 97.11 120.7 96.77 121.7 97.85 121. 8 98.39 122.3 99.20 122.7 99.93 123. 2 99.10 123.4 98.81 123. 6 99. 06 *Beginning 1964, includes eating and drinking places. NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production, seasonally adjusted, continued to rise in April but at a somewhat slower pace than in recent months. The over-all index was 0.3 percent above March and 9 percent higher than a year earlier. Output of final products and durable materials increased while production of nondurable materials declined because of a coal strike. Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 180 200 120 100 1963 1966 SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total industrial production Period 1956 1957___ 1958 1959___ 1960 1961___. 1962 1963 1964 1965 i 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr* 1 Preliminary. 16 _ _ _ ._ 99.9 100. 7 93. 7 105. 6 108.7 109.7 118.3 124.3 132.3 143.3 140. 7 140.9 141. 6 142. 7 144. 2 144.5 143.5 145.1 146.4 148.7 150.2 151.6 153.0 153.4 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Industry M anufactur]ing Mining Utilities NonTotal Durable durable 100. 2 100. 8 93. 2 106. 0 108.9 109. 6 118.7 124.9 133. 1 144.9 142. 3 142. 4 143. 1 144. 1 145.7 146.0 145.2 146.7 148.2 150.6 152.4 153. 9 155. 1 156. 1 1040 104.0 90.3 105.6 108. 5 107.0 117.9 124. 5 133. 5 148.4 144. 8 145. 5 146. 4 148. 1 150.0 150.5 148.2 150.3 151.3 155.0 157.6 159.6 161.4 162. 5 95.4 96.7 96.8 106. 5 109. 5 112.9 119. 8 125.3 132.6 140.7 139. 1 138. 5 138. 8 139.0 140.4 140.4 141.3 142.1 144.2 145. 1 146.0 146.8 147.3 148.0 104. 8 104. 6 95. 6 99. 7 101. 6 102. 6 105.0 107.9 111.3 1144 112. 5 113. 0 114 0 115.3 116.0 117.0 112.6 115.8 116.0 117.9 117.2 117.7 120.3 115.3 87.9 93.9 98. 1 108. 0 115. 6 122. 3 131. 4 140.0 151.3 161.0 158. 5 159. 9 160. 4 162. 5 161.3 161.4 165.3 165.7 165.1 165.5 1649 166.5 168.5 170.0 Ma rket Fi]aal produ cts ConTotal sumer Equipment goods 98. 1 99. 4 94 8 105. 7 109.9 111. 2 119.7 1249 131.8 142.4 140. 1 139.4 140. 2 140.7 141. 7 142.3 143.3 145.7 147.4 148.8 149.5 151.0 152.2 153.1 95.5 97.0 96. 4 106. 6 111. 0 112. 6 119. 7 125.2 131. 7 140.2 140.0 138. 5 138. 6 138.7 139.3 139.5 140.7 141. 7 142.8 144.1 144. 1 145.0 145.8 146.3 103.7 1046 91.3 104 1 107.6 108. 3 119. 6 124 2 132.0 146.9 140.4 141.2 143. 7 144 9 147.0 148.4 149.0 154.3 157.3 158.8 161. 3 163.9 165. 7 167.7 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. -]»yr . rials 101. 6 101.9 92. 7 105. 4 107.6 108.4 117.0 123.7 132.8 1441 141. 7 142. 6 142. 6 144 5 146.4 146.1 143.7 144.3 145.6 148.7 150.4 151.9 1540 153.9 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Increased output of transportation equipment (seasonally adjusted) in April was concentrated in aircraft; auto assemblies were down about 2 percent. Production of primary metals continued to increase but less rapidly than in recent:>;itipnths. Other major groups again registered gains. • Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTS)) 180 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER FOODS, BEVERAGES, AND TOBACCO 120 1963 SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1956__. 1..... 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963____. 1964 1965 i 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug... Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar_.__ Apr 1 i Preliminary. Nc>ndurable manufactu res Durab le manufsictures Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, Lumber FabriTransporapparel, and Primary cated Machin- tation and petrobeverand print- leum, and ages, and ery prodmetal metals equipleather rubber tobacco products ucts ment ing 97. 1 98.0 105.4 91.4 116. 4 98.8 107. 1 96.6 97.4 97.8 95.9 96.9 95. 6 112.2 104. 2 101.5 106.4 96.7 95.0 97.0 95.6 95. 5 88.8 99.4 87.5 92.9 89.5 108.9 100.4 108.5 108.1 105.2 107. 1 103.9 105.5 1040 102. 1 107.5 109.0 113.9 106. 6 101.3 107.6 110.8 108.2 112.4 110.4 101.3 108.4 118.9 110.2 103.6 98.9 106.5 106. 1 115. 1 116.7 131. 2 1046 117. 1 123.5 113. 3 118.3 120.1 118.5 141.8 123.4 129.2 108.9 116. 8 113.3 127. 0 125. 2 141. 4 112.6 127.5 152.5 132.7 120.8 130. 7 129. 1 135.7 149.2 135.3 164.6 117. 4 137.5 160.4 123. 1 147.8 145.2 133.7 132.9 153.9 120.5 162.0 140. 4 1444 123. 7 133. 9 133.2 155.4 1142 141.4 147. 4 160.8 144.6 122.4 135. 0 1342 146. 0 117. 1 161.2 140. 2 156.9 121. 5 147.3 1340 146.4 159.0 112.8 1345 143.0 161.6 149.5 122.3 135.9 115.4 148.0 160. 6 134.7 164.1 149. 8 148.7 122.9 134.1 136.4 161.4 164.9 146.5 147.5 151.5 117.2 122.3 131.2 147. 0 135.4 162.3 116.2 149.4 135.5 166. 9 123.1 118.3 137.3 150.9 166.0 136. 4 167.7 123.7 155.0 123.0 167.5 119.1 138.8 139.2 157.3 153.6 170.1 _ _ _ 119.4 124.5 125. 4 156.3 170.7 139.9 126.5 140.3 171.7 160.7 124.7 174.3 125.6 139.1 141.1 157.0 163.1 130.8 173. 6 125.5 163.2 160. 6 176.7 126.5 142.5 132.5 139.6 1741 126.5 142.4 161.4 127. 5 165.6 140.5 175.2 176. 2 126. 4 139.7 141 162 178 167 141 143 177 127 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Most weekly indicators of production declined on a seasonally unadjusted basis in April, small except for bituminous coal mined, which was down sharply because of a strike. Declines were generally MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) MILLIONS OF TONS STEEL BITUMINOUS COAL 2,5 3.5 1964 2.0 ^.^•'Sw' 2.5 .1.5 1 l M 1 1 I I ' l I I 1 I I I I I I I/I I I ! I 1 M I i i i i I < t'i I i t i I t i i i l'i 'i i I i t ¥ T j F J • F M A M BILLIONS O? KILOWATT HOURS M M J J A S O N M A M J. A S O N D . SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Weekly average: 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan . Feb Mar Apr 2 Week ended: 1966: Apr 9 16 23 30 2 May 7 2 14 ___ __ 1,792 1,899 1,880 1,886 2, 096 2,431 2,521 2,787 2,789 2,712 2,702 2,613 2, 556 2,325 2,098 2,056 2, 178 2,388 2,562 2,728 2,695 96.2 101. 9 100. 9 101. 2 112. 5 130.5 135.3 149.6 149.7 145.6 145.1 140. 3 137. 2 124.8 112. 6 110.4 116.9 128.2 137.5 146.4 144. 7 2,686 2,686 2,720 2, 682 2,765 *2, 776 144. 2 144. 2 146. 0 144. 0 148.4 149. 0 1 Dally average. Includes data for Alaska. 2 Preliminary. * Not charted. 18 COUNCIL .OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Steel pireduced power coal mined loaded produced Index Thousands distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of net (1957-59= (millions of of short of cars) of tons) 100) tons kilowatt-hours) tons) l Period £ THOUSANDS 30Q 13, 297 14, 424 15, 139 16, 325 17, 490 18, 728 20, 169 19, 728 18, 896 19, 314 19, 842 20, 833 21, 395 20, 414 19, 741 20, 027 21,010 22, 138 21, 969 21, 051 20, 542 20, 20, 20, 20, 20, *20, 598 556 499 515 443 726 Car s and triicks assemb led (thoiisands) Total Cars Trucks 1,380 1,390 1,353 1, 414 1, 535 1,630 1,728 1,579 1, 635 1,669 1,802 1,811 1,778 1,734 1,792 1,900 1,901 1,677 1,675 1,776 1,207 596 585 550 552 555 550 563 540 567 597 578 550 588 573 620 581 524 526 524 558 557 307 306 322 343 358 384 410 415 409 424 404 360 416 414 441 443 401 421 446 453 450 129. 5 151. 8 127. 8 157. 5 175. 0 178. 8 213.7 248. 5 231. 5 244. 3 233.3 199.9 98.4 142.6 240. 1 242.3 224.0 233.8 228.7 234.6 230. 7 107. 0 128. 8 106. 1 133. 4 146. 9 148. 8 179. 4 210. 5 195. 4 206. 6 196. 1 171. 2 73. 1 109.7 203. 6 207.6 189.0 196.0 190.2 197. 5 192. 8 21. 9 23. 0 21.7 24. 1 28. 1 30. 0 34.3 37. 9 36. 1 37.7 37.2 28.7 25.2 32.9 36. 6 34.7 35.0 37.7 38.5 37.2 37.9 1,714 1,026 929 1, 195 1,703 568 543 544 574 602 467 421 455 457 470 170. 9 251.8 251. 2 249. 0 233. 3 228.4 142. 3 211. 6 210.4 206. 9 194.6 188.7 28.6 40.2 40.8 42. 1 38.7 39.7 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Eailroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION In April, new construction (seasonally adjusted) remained about the same as in March which was revised upward. A small gain in the private sector was offset by a decline in government outlays. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BO BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 70 70 TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION 60 60 >••' 50 PRIVATE 40 40 30 30 PUBLIC \ 20 20 10 ID -jJLjLL-LJLJN 10 10 10 1966 1960 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 Total new construction expenditures 53.9 55.4 59.7 63.0 66.2 71.6 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total 38.1 38.3 41.8 43. 6 45. 9 50.0 Private il nonfarm Residentu CommerNew cial and Total i housing industrial units Bi] lions of doll ars 21.7 16.4 7.0 21.7 16.2 7.5 24. 3 18.6 8.0 25. 8 20. 1 7.9 26. 5 20. 6 9.0 26.7 20.8 11.8 Other 9.3 9.2 9.5 9.9 10.4 11.5 Federal State, and local 15.9 17.1 17. 9 19.3 20.3 21.6 1 71,2 71.4 72. 0 71.8 70.4 70.9 72.8 72. 7 74. 0 76. 0 76. 1 77.0 77. 5 77.4 49. 4 49. 7 50. 1 50.3 49. 1 49. 2 50. 2 50. 1 51.2 53. 4 53. 3 54.3 54. 4 54. 6 26. 6 26.7 27. 1 27. 2 27.0 26. 6 26.4 26. 3 26.2 26.7 27.5 27.5 27. 2 27. 3 20.7 20.8 21. 1 21.2 21. 0 20. 7 20. 5 20.4 20.3 20.8 21. 6 21.6 21. 3 21.4 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 2 Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation and relates to 48 States. * Preliminary. 11. 6 11. 5 11. 5 11. 6 10.8 11.2 12.3 12.1 13.0 14.3 13. 8 13.9 14. 2 27. 3 105.2 107.6 119.7 132.0 137. 0 142.8 Seasonally adjusted Seasonallil adjusted an nual rates 1965: Mar Apr__ Mav June _ _ _ July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan___ Feb Mar Aprs Constructioii contracts 2 CommerTotal value cial and (index, industrial 1957-59= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 11.2 11.6 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.4 11. 5 11.6 12.0 12.5 12.0 12. 9 13. 1 21.8 21.7 21.8 21.4 21.2 21.6 22.7 22.6 22.8 22. 6 22. 8 22. 7 23.0 22.8 461 443 500 534 599 680 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 141 152 145 139 149 139 147 147 141 153 152 157 158 648 771 674 663 671 595 762 726 724 772 720 810 829 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January 1959. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Corporation. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts dropped 4 percent in Aprilto a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.5 million units, slightly below the 1965 level. Units authorized were 9 percent lower than in March. MiUIONS OF UNITS 2.5 MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 JWATE NONFARM HOUSING STARTS I960 1966 SOURCES' DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of units] Hotising star ts r Period 1960 1961 1962.. 1963... 1964 3 1965 _ private and public (including farm) 1, 296. 0 _ 1,365.0 1, 492. 4 1, 641. 0 1, 590. 7 1, 542. 7 1965: Mar. Apr.. May. June. July.. Aug.. Sept.. Oct.. Nov.. Dec.. 1966: Jan__ Feb__ Mar ». Apr3. 124.9 154.9 162. 1 162.3 143. 9 138.0 125.9 135.7 118.3 103.2 87.3 81.0 130. 4 148.4 Total private (including farm) Prh ate nonf a rm Total 1, 252. 1 1, 230. 1 1, 313. 0 1, 284. 8 1, 462. 7 1, 439. 0 1, 609. 2 1, 581. 7 1, 557. 4 1, 530. 4 1, 505. 0 1, 482. 7 120.7 152.2 157. 5 155. 5 141.3 134.7 124.3 133.6 116.1 102. 3 84. 6 78.2 125.8 146.3 118.8 150.1 155. 2 152. 8 139.0 132.8 122.7 130. 9 114.9 100.8 83.7 76.7 123.6 144. 1 Onefamily 972.9 946.2 967. 8 993.2 944. 5 940.0 74.8 97. 7 99.9 97.0 91.8 86.5 78.4 84.4 70.2 58.3 47.2 45.0 79.2 Total private Two or (includmore ing famifarm) lies 257.2 1, 252. 1 338.6 1, 313. 0 471.2 1, 462. 7 588. 5 1, 609. 2 585.9 1, 557. 4 542.7 1, 505. 0 44.0 52.4 55. 3 55.8 47.2 46.3 44.3 46.5 44.7 42.5 36.5 31.3 42.7 1 Authorized by issuance of local building permit; in 10,000 permit-issuing places prior to 1963, and 12,000 or more thereafter. * Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. * Preliminary. 20 1,489 1,552 1, 516 1,566 1,473 1,427 1,453 1, 411 1,547 1,769 1,611 1,374 1,561 1,495 Private nonf iirm New Propose<i home constr uction Applica- Requests tions for for VA FHA appraiscommitals * ments 2 242. 4 142.9 243. 8 177.8 221. 1 171. 2 190.2 139.3 182.1 113.6 102.1 188. 9 private housing Gover nment units Total home pi'ograms authorized l FHA VA 998.0 1, 230. 1 225.7 74.6 83.3 1, 064. 2 1, 284. 8 198.8 1, 439. 0 197. 3 77.8 1, 186. 6 71.0 1, 334, 7 1, 581. 7 166.2 59.2 1, 285. 8 1, 530. 4 154.0 1, 482. 7 159.9 52.5 1,241.6 Seiasonally adjusted annual ra tes 56 163 1,269 1,465 1,532 50 146 1,187 54 1, 240 1, 501 155 1,254 154 54 1,539 52 1,243 1,447 151 1,217 1, 409 48 148 47 1,180 1,436 160 49 1, 259 1,380 167 1,282 54 1,531 173 189 48 1,325 1,735 1,262 1,585 53 181 1,349 40 1,191 177 1,293 1,530 45 187 1,474 151 37 1, 176 175 187 180 154 165 186 189 192 222 219 214 179 160 168 106 100 113 100 95 95 97 94 100 105 89 72 92 111 NOTE.—Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VAJ BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE Retail sales in April declined 1% percent (seasonally adjusted) from March but were 10% percent above a year ago. April durable sales were down 614 percent for the month while nondurables rose 1 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 20 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) DURABLE GOODS STORES 16 INVENTORIES 14 12 10 SALES 8 6 22 NONDURABLE GOODS STORES 20 INVENTORIES 18 ?6 •\ 14 SALES 12 1964 1963 1965 SOURCE DOAITMeNT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AOVlSf RS Total biisiness Period 1966 Sales 2 l Inventories 3 Wholesale Sales2 4 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Total Re taiP [nventories 3 NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Millions Df dollars, seasonall y adjustec1 1958 54, 233 86, 922 1959 59, 583 91, 964 1960 60, 530 94, 610 1961 60, 748 95, 576 1962 65, 078 100, 271 1963 68, 002 105, 127 1964 6 72, 647 110, 535 1965 78, 740 119,847 1965: Feb 75, 901 111,884 Mar 77, 866 113,032 Apr 77, 513 113,761 May 77, 849 114,542 June. _ _ _ _ .. _ _ 78, 001 115,049 July 79, 948 116,012 Aug__ . _ _ 78, 932 116,683 Sept_ _ ._ 78, 862 116,967 Oct 79, 737 117,653 Nov__ 81, 555 118,500 6 Dec 82, 810 119,847 1966: Jan •6 83, 742 120,617 Feb 6 (7) (7) Mar6 Apr ___ 10, 257 11,413 11,440 11,629 12, 158 12, 692 13,715 14,799 13, 946 14, 725 14,620 14,718 14,736 14,828 14, 829 14, 936 14, 995 15, 505 15, 372 16, 054 (7) 12, 739 13, 952 13, 983 14, 251 14, 580 15, 597 16, 461 17,875 16,867 17, 064 17,216 17,450 17,410 17, 530 17, 535 17,655 17,715 17,775 17, 875 17,910 (7) 1 The term "business" here includes wholesale and retail t rade, and ma nufacturing (see page 22) . 2 Monthly average for year and tc)tal for mont h. 3 Book value, end of period, seaso aally adjuste d. < Beginning 1961, data include Altiska and Haiyaii. 16, 696 17,951 18, 294 18, 234 19,613 20, 536 21,802 23, 662 23, 262 22, 856 22, 849 23, 317 23, 322 23, 668 23, 585 23, 753 24, 194 24, 647 24, 816 25, 023 25, 281 25, 597 25, 227 5,284 5,967 5,880 5, 581 6,210 6,627 7,014 7,810 7,909 7,581 7,454 7,616 7,665 7, 827 7,755 7,768 7,865 8,092 8,252 8,324 8,399 8,620 8,045 11,412 11, 984 12, 414 12, 654 13, 402 13, 909 14, 788 15, 853 15, 353 15, 275 15, 395 15, 701 15, 657 15, 841 15, 830 15, 985 16, 329 16, 555 16, 564 16, 699 16, 882 16, 977 17, 182 24, 113 25, 305 26, 813 26, 238 27, 938 29, 383 31, 130 33, 957 31,635 32, 260 32, 546 32, 823 33, 014 33, 088 33, 360 33, 045 33, 296 33, 533 33, 957 34, 113 34, 427 34, 556 10, 526 11, 029 11,923 10, 965 11,656 12, 386 13, 136 14, 782 13, 655 14, 082 14, 298 14, 566 14, 546 14, 592 14, 819 14, 621 14, 782 14, 774 14, 782 14, 949 15, 113 15, 201 13, 587 14, 276 14, 890 15, 273 16, 282 16, 997 17, 994 19, 175 17, 980 18, 178 18, 248 18, 257 18, 468 18, 496 18, 541 18, 424 18,514 18, 759 19, 175 19, 164 19, 314 19, 355 19€ 0, data inclu de Alaska aiid Hawaii. 5 1Jeginning «] >reliminary. 71)ata not ava liable because of forthconling revision Source: Dep artment of C ommerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS1 SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers1 inventories rose $650 million (seasonally adjusted) in March bringing the gain since December to $1,7 billion. New orders and shipments registered sizable gains. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS 30 20 40 10 30 30 MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS DURABLE GOODS .n.,.«*witr 20 NONDURABLE GOODS 10 10 1963 J964 1965 1966 1963 1966 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufac turers' sh ipments * Manufac' ,urers' inventories * Poi-irkrl Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total NonDurable durable goods goods Manufaeture rs' new orders 1 Durat>le goods Total Total NonMachinery durable and goods equipment Manufacturers' inventory shipratio 3 Millions of dollars seasonal y adjuste d 1958-__ 1959 1960 1961 __ 1962___ 1963 1964 4 1965 ._ _> 1965: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June.July™ — Aug Sept Oet~. Nov Dec1966: Jan Feb 4 Mar4 Apr 27, 280 . A3, 572 30, 219 M5, 544 30, 796 15,817 30, 884 15, 532 33, 308 17, 184 34, 774 18, 071 37, 129 19, 231 40, 279 21, 020 38, 885 20, 415 38, 693 20, 374 40, 285 21, 284 40, 044 20, 915 39, 814 20, 513 39, 943 20, 652 41, 452 21, 820 40, 518 21, 191 40, 173 20, 924 40, 548 21, 146 41, 403 21, 606 42, 622 22, 316 42, 665 22, 307 42, 702 22, 433 43, 972 23, 167 22, 697 13, 708 14, 675 14, 979 15, 352 16, 124 16, 704 17, 898 19, £58 18, 470 18, 319 19, 001 19,129 19, 301 19, 291 19, 632 19, 327 19, 249 19, 402 19, 797 20, 306 20, 358 20, 269 20, 805 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. a Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 50, 070 52, 707 53, 814 55, 087 57, 753 60, 147 62, 944 68, 015 63, 213 63, 382 63, 708 63, 999 64, 269 64, 625 65, 394 65, 788 66, 267 66, 642 67, 192 68, 015 68, 594 69, 040 69, 679 30, 095 31, 839 32, 360 32, 646 34, 326 36, 028 38, 412 42, 324 38, 495 38, 692 38, 972 39, 233 39, 475 39, 951 40, 600 40, 814 41, 300 41, 523 41, 869 42, 324 42, 589 42, 884 43, 298 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments formonth. 22 19, 975 20, 868 21, 454 22, 441 23, 427 24, 119 24, 532 25, 691 24, 718 24, 690 24, 736 24, 766 24, 794 24, 674 24, 794 24, 974 24, 967 25, 119 25, 323 25, 691 26, 005 26, 156 26, 381 26, 901 30, 679 30, 115 31, 061 33, 167 35, 036 37, 697 41, 023 39, 704 39, 469 40, 712 41, 120 40, 181 40, 689 41, 846 40, 926 41, 483 41, 843 42, 234 43, 868 43, 986 44, 129 45, 495 13, 170 15, 951 15, 223 15, 664 17, 085 18, 300 19, 803 21, 728 21,271 21, 130 21, 714 22, 043 20, 992 21,310 22, 195 21, 509 22, 163 22, 425 22, 389 23, 403 23, 578 23, 741 24,629 23, 868 < Preliminary; April not charted. Source: Department of Commerce. 2,354 2, 878 2,791 2,854 3,090 3,326 3,706 4,140 3,958 3,799 4,024 4,078 4, 069 4,091 4,348 4,159 4, 153 4,249 4,325 4,583 4,450 4,584 4, 534 4,778 13, 731 14, 728 14, 892 15, 397 16, 082 16, 736 17, 895 19, 295 18, 433 18, 339 18, 998 19, 077 19, 189 19, 379 19, 651 19, 417 19, 320 19, 418 19, 845 20, 465 20, 408 20, 388 20, 866 1. 84 1.70 1.76 1.74 1. 70 1.69 1.64 1.61 1.63 1.64 1.58 1.60 1.61 1. 62 1.58 1.62 1.65 1.64 1.62 1.60 1.61 1. 62 1.58 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS The merchandise trade surplus (seasonally adjusted) rose to $522 million in March, as exports jumped by $259 million while imports increased a modest $80 million. The first quarters trade surplus was at an annual rate of $4.7 billion, compared to a 1965 total of $5.2 billion. BILLIONS OF. DOLLARS 3.0 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 tQ 1.0 1966 I960 I/SEE NOTE j BELOW. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Millions of dollars] M erchandise imports ..,. Merchandise expo rts Merchan, ] Domest ic expor ts dise Total ( includGenei al 2in*Impo rts for Bonsum ption 3 ing rees:ports) * trade por ts Food, Crude ManuFood, Crude Manusurplus, bever- matemateSeasonfacSeason- Unad- Total " beverfacseasonages, rials ally ad- Unad- Total < ages, rials tured tured ally ad- justed ally adand to- and and to- and justed justed goods justed goods justed bacco fuel bacco fuel Monthly average : 1958 1959 1960 1961...— 1962 1963...... 1964.. .... 1965.. .... 1965: Feb Mar Apr.. May June July Aug Sept..... Oct. Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar__ COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1,364 1, 367 1, 634 1, 679 1, 745 1, 869 2, 139 2, 214 1,599 2, 755 2, 380 2,260 2,230 2,256 2,838 2,824 2, 342 2,408 2,856 2,249 2,885 2,594 1,514 2,891 2,528 2,381 2,219 2,172 2,124 2, 140 2,420 2,440 2,551 2, 133 2,210 2,747 224 254 1,351 1, 352 250 238 1, 617 324 263 1, 659 286 318 1,723 307 277 342 1, 846 311 362 2, 110 387 2, 185 377 356 U nadjust ed 1,491 246 225 2,859 484 461 2, 501 389 410 392 2, 351 378 382 382 2, 191 362 2,139 414 322 2, 096 363 2,110 401 303 2,387 431 383 2,407 403 459 444 2, 520 416 374 324 2,105 332 2,177 396 2,708 486 366 962 931 1,072 1, 083 1, 157 1,218 1,364 1,438 1,052 1,888 1,708 1,555 1, 455 1,343 1,393 1, 371 1,530 1,525 1,614 1,359 1,468 1,822 1 Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies 1 and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 3 Imported merchandise released from Customs custody for entry into U.S. 1,105 1,302 1,251 1,226 1, 366 1,429 1, 557 1,781 1,600 1,861 1,838 1,789 1,830 1,663 1,764 1,807 2,006 1,903 2,085 1,936 1, 998 2,073 1,463 2, 034 1, 857 1,723 1,907 1, 633 1,716 1, 798 1,997 1,967 2,160 1,829 1,822 2,246 342 296 1,101 382 1,285 296 283 1,251 379 1, 221 286 361 1, 354 306 381 320 1, 417 386 332 413 1,550 335 1,773 448 U nadjust ed 264 416 1,488 1,992 386 508 454 331 1, 823 1,719 332 409 474 349 1,878 261 1, 635 410 449 1,727 315 353 431 1,795 462 2,004 409 424 1, 953 417 494 429 2,130 325 461 1,801 352 1, 806 419 2,232 414 523 433 575 556 539 630 666 756 933 259 65 383 453 379 440 582 433 759 1,041 963 913 989 902 909 946 1, 061 1,034 1, 140 974 956 1,225 894 547 471 400 593 569 517 386 505 321 SIS 842 522 __jf consumption channels, entries into bonded manufacturing warehouses, and ores and crude metals (after smelting and refining) in bonded warehouses. 4 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. Source: Department of Commerce. OO U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES In the first quarter of 1966 the balance on goods and services was $6.1 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), down from the $7.1 billion recorded in 1965. The balance on merchandise trade declined to $4.4 billion as import growth continued to exceed gains in exports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 50 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 40 .40 EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 30 30 IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 20 20 10 0 l i t ? ! 1960 1961 4963 1962 1965 1964 SOUICEi DEPA*TM«NT Of COMMERCf f l Io 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Period 1959 1960 1961 1962_. 1963 1964 1965 Total Exports of good s and sei-vices I neonle on investinents MerMilichan-l tary PriGovdise sales vate ernment Impor ts of good s and senrices Other services 23, 476 27, 244 28, 557 __ 30, 278 __ 32, 353 37, 017 39, 060 16, 282 19, 489 19, 936 20, 604 22, 069 25, 288 26, 285 302 335 402 656 659 762 815 1964: III IV 37, 340 38, 428 25, 528 26, 760 672 836 2,694 349 3,849 3,001 349 4,070 3,561 380 4,278 3,954 471 4,593 4, 156 498 4, 971 454 5,510 5,003 5,557 497 5,906 Seas>onally <adjusted 5,040 528 5,572 4, 856 240 5, 736 1965: I II III IV 34, 844 40, 576 40, 152 40, 668 22, 508 27, 200 27, 316 28, 116 696 916 796 852 5,664 6,024 5,452 5,088 1966: I* 41, 620 28, 452 1 Adjusted from customs data for differences in timing and coverage. 'Preliminary estimates. 24 556 568 568 296 5, 420 5,868 6,020 6,316 Total Merchan-l dise 23, 342 15, 310 23, 177 14, 732 22, 924 14, 507 25, 129 16, 173 26, 436 16, 992 28, 457 18, 619 31, 980 21, 492 annual ra tes Balance on MiliOther goods tary expend- serv- and ices itures ices 3,107 3,048 2,954 3,078 2,929 2,824 2,838 4,925 5,397 5,463 5,878 6,515 7,014 7,650 134 4,067 5,633 5, 149 5,917 8,560 7,080 28, 544 29, 528 18, 836 19, 604 2,764 6,944 2,724 7,200 8 796 8 900 28, 620 32, 424 32, 876 34, 000 18, 652 21, 920 22, 376 23, 020 2,648 2,808 2,880 3,016 6 8 7 6 35, 560 24, 028 Source: Department of Commerce. 7,320 7,696 7,620 7,964 224 152 276 668 6,060 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS In the first quarter of 1966 the United States recorded deficits on both the liquidity and official reserve bases. The deficit on the liquidity balance was $2.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), compared to $1.3 billion in 1965. The deficit rate on the offical reserve balance was only $1.0 billion, however, down slishtly from the $1.3 billion of 1965. PILLIONS OF. DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BALANCE ON GOODS. AND SERVICES BALANCE, OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BASIS 1960 1966 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISEtS [Millions of dollars] U.S. private capi tal, net Bakince U.S. Period Government grants and capital, net 1 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 Direct investment Other longterm Shortterm -926 -77 -1,986 -1,372 -2, 769 -1,674 -863 -1,348 -2,780 -1,599 -1,025 -1,556 — 544 -3,013 -1,654 -1,227 -3,581 -1,976 -1,695 -785 -3, 563 -2, 376 -1,975 __2, 111 -3, 390 -3, 266 -988 728 Errors Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidtransnet 1 ity basis 2 actions Official reserve transactions basis 3 412 -3, 743 -2, 283 863 -988 -3, 881 -3,592 366 707 -1,045 -2, 370 -1,287 1,021 -1, 197 -2, 203 -2, 241 688 -401 -2,670 -1,977 667 — 1, 161 -2, 798 -1,342 172 -659 -1,301 -1,299 Season ally ad jus ted annusil rates 1964: III_.._ -3, 580 -2,204 -2, 448 -1,624 -4, 100 -3,284 -3,332 -2,272 IV 1965: I II -3, 100 -3, 836 III—. -2, 900 IV— -3, 724 1966: !*__ _ 1 2 -4,636 -2,716 -3, 564 636 -2, 060 -1,428 -2, 804 -444 1,196 1,668 212 — 164 112 680 -1,164 -2, 372 1,224 -1,720 -5,464 -3,376 — 40 -2,632 -2, 256 1,336 1, 032 -324 988 -532 976 -988 -1,264 -2,068 872 -1,008 -1,536 -4,904 Includes certain special Government transactions. Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign official holders, other foreign holders, and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. * Equals changes in liquid and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official holders and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies, and 4 the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. Includes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of U.S. Government bonds and notes. * Central banks, governments, and U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from reversible gold sales to, and gold deposits with, the U.S. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Changes Chan ges in sel<scted in gold, liabilitie s (decreas* (-))* convertible currenTo foreig n official cies and 5 To other IMF gold hold ers foreign tranche holders 7 position NonLiquid (increase liquid 6 (-)) 1,248 1,449 681 457 1,673 1,073 -50 1,460 2, 143 213 619 1,533 129 1,222 1,083 251 -74 98 127 1,035 289 1,554 606 378 171 Quai-terly totails, unadjiisted 389 869 18 91 562 651 -860 -107 253 664 -23 -15 -22 187 -150 203 677 -601 70 -151 842 68 41 271 8 -2, 328 -1,048 -833 30 490 424 •7 Provisional. Private holders; includes banks and international and regional organizations; excludes IMF. s On Mar. 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $13,738 million (down $68 million from Dec. 31); IMF position including gold portion of increased U.S. subscription, $729 million; convertible currencies, $559 million. •Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. Source: Department of Commerce. OC PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose by 0.4 percent in April for the third big increase in a row. Food prices increased by only 0.1 percent—the smallest rise since last November—but other commodity prices rose 0.4 percent. Service prices increased sharply by 0.8 percent. Index, 1957-59=100 Index, 1957-59=100 105 100 100 1960 1966 I/SEE NOTE PELOW. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59=100] Co mmoditiei3 All items Period 1955____ 1956_.__ 1957. 1958 __ 1959. _____ 1960 1961 _ 1962___ 1963 1 1964 1965 __. 1965: Mar Apr May June July____ Aug__ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr ___ -___ .. ___„ _ 93. 3 947 98.0 100. 7 101. 5 103. 1 104. 2 105. 4 106.7 108. 1 109.9 109.0 109.3 109.6 110. 1 110. 2 110.0 110. 2 110. 4 110.6 111.0 111.0 111.6 112.0 112.5 All commodities 94.6 95.5 98.5 100.8 100. 9 101.7 102.3 103. 2 104. 1 105. 2 106.4 105.6 105. 9 106.2 106.9 106. ,9 106.6 106.6 106.9 107.1 107. 4 107. 4 108. 0 108.4 108. 8 Food 94. 0 94. 7 97.8 101.9 100. 3 101. 4 102. 6 103. 6 105. 1 106.4 108.8 106.9 107.3 107.9 110.1 110.9 110.1 109. 7 109.7 109.7 110.6 111.4 113. 1 113. 9 114.0 * See Note. NOTE.— Prior to January 1964. Indexes revised to reflect transfer of ho mefrom services to durable commodities Digitized forownership FRASER 26 Services Comnatodities les;s food All services Durable dura j Non__LI _ Die 90. 5 949 94. 4 95. 3 92.8 95.4 95.9 96.5 96. 6 9& 8 98. 5 99. 1 100. 0 99. 9 100. 3 99. 8 101. 5 103. 2 101. 2 101.0 102. 6 101. 7 100. 9 106. 6 102. 0 108. 8 103. 2 100.8 102. 8 101.8 103. 8 110.9 103. 5 102. 1 104. 8 113. 0 104.4 103. 0 115. 2 105. 7 107.2 105. 1 102.6 117.8 106.2 103.2 104. 8 117.0 103.0 105. 0 106. 8 117.3 105.2 102.9 107.2 117.5 105. 1 102.6 107.3 117.6 104.7 102.3 106. 9 117. 8 117.9 104.7 101.8 107.1 104. 9 107. 7 101. 7 118. 5 102. 1 118. 7 105.3 108.0 102.4 119.0 105.6 108.3 102.4 108.4 105.7 119.3 105.3 101.9 108.0 119.5 105. 4 101.8 108. 3 119.7 102. 0 108.6 105.6 120. 1 102. 3 121. 1 106.0 109. 0 All Rent 94. 8 96. 5 9a 3 100. 1 101. 6 103. 1 104 4 105. 7 106.8 107.8 108.9 108.7 108.8 108.8 108. 8 108.9 109.0 109. 1 109. 2 109.3 109.5 109. 7 109. 8 109. 9 110.1 Services less ] rent 89.4 91.9 96. 1 100. 2 103.6 107.4 110. 0 112. 1 114. 5 117. 0 120.0 119. 1 119. 3 119, 5 119.7 120. 0 120.0 120.7 121. 0 121. 3 121.6 121.8 122. 0 122. 5 123.6 Be Binning with January 196 4, new indei: with revised weights, cc>verage, and sampling procedtires. For d«stalls, see D epartment of Labor release, Major Changes in the Cmisumer Price Index, March 3, 1964. Sotirce: Depart]ment of Lab<>r. WHOLESALE PRICES The wholesale price index rose by 0.1 percent in April, Declines of 0.4 percent in farm products and 0.9 percent in processed foods were tr.ore than offset by a 0.3 percent rise in industrial prices. Index, 1957-59=100 Irtdex, 1957-59=100 115 A 110 110 COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS 105 105 (INDUSTRIALS) 100 100 95 95 90 90 1966 I960 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT. OF UK* COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS 100. 4 100. 6 100.7 100. 3 100. 6 100. 3 100. 5 102.5 101.3 101.7 102. 1 102. 8 102.9 102. 9 103.0 103. 1 103. 5 104.1 104.6 105.4 105.4 105. 5 105. 1 105. 4 103.7 105. 1 All commodities Period 1958 1959_ 1960 1961- ——.. _ 1962 _. 1963 1964 1965 3 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug__ Sept Oct Nov Dec. 1966: Jan Feb Mar3 Apr Week ended: 4 1966: May 3 3 10 _..__ [1957-59=100] Commodilties other t ban farm aroducts a adfoods(ii idustrials) Consurner finIndus- Indus- ProducFarm Procished girods exAll intrial in- er fintrial prodessed cludin gfood dustricrude termedi- ished ucts foods als1 mate- ate ma-2 goods DurNonterials rials able durable 103. 6 102.9 99. 5 96.9 99. 4 100. 2 99.3 100.1 97. 2 99. 2 101. 3 102.3 101.0 102. 1 100.8 101.3 100.0 96.9 101.3 9R3 102. 3 101. 4 100. 9 101. 5 96.0 100.7 100.8 97.2 100. 1 102.5 100. 5 101. 5 101.2 97. 7 100. 8 95. 6 102. 9 100.0 99. 9 101. 6 101.1 95. 7 100.7 94.3 99.6 103. 1 99. 5 101.9 101.2 94 3 101.0 100. 2 97. 1 104. 1 99. 9 101.6 105.1 98. 4 102.5 100.9 101.5 105.4 99. 6 102. 8 95.4 101. 8 102. 0 99.7 100.9 99, 7 105. 1 102. 2 102.1 97.6 102.3 100.1 101.1 105.3 99.7 102. 2 103. 3 98. 4 102.3 101.0 101. 4 105.3 102. 5 99.6 106. 1 102.5 100.3 100. 5 101. 5 105.4 99.7 102. 6 100.0 102.5 106.6 100.4 101.5 105. 4 102. 7 99. 6 99. 1 106.7 102.7 101.7 101.7 99. 5 105.5 102.8 99.5 106.7 102.7 101.3 101.8 105.5 99. 5 103.0 99.4 106.9 102. 8 102.0 101. 9 105.6 99.5 103. 3 100.3 107.6 103. 2 102. 7 102. 1 105.9 103.6 99.6 109.4 103.2 103.0 102.6 102. 2 106.0 99.6 103. 7 110.3 104.5 103.5 104.0 102.4 106.2 99.7 103.9 111. 8 107. 4 103. 8 105. 7 102.6 106. 6 99.7 104.0 106. 8 104. 0 111.5 102.9 106. 6 106.8 99.7 104.1 104. 3 106. 4 110. 5 106. 1 103. 5 106.9 100. 0 104.3 -_ _ - __ ! 109. 9 110. 7 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this Index. 'Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. 104. 3 104.3 1 a Preliminary. «Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The parity ratio fell by 2 points in the month ended April 15; as prices received by farmers fell 2 percent while prices paid by farmers rose 1 percent. A 3 percent rise in crop prices was more than offset by a 4 percent decline in livestock prices. Index, 1957-59=100 Index, 1957-59=100 100 100 90 90 RAT OJ/ RATI0^ 100 IUU 90 Of) PARITY RATIO 70 \ J 80 , 1 1 1 1 1 . \.../-*'- ' --x./ x^...*,,,./ -i--,...v,..—^ "X'«"»^%^/ A 80 <*^ "—»' . . . . . I . i . i . 70 1 . I . 1960 1963 1962 1961 1964 1966 1965 I/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE) DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices Deceived by 'armers Period 1956____.__ 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1965: Mar 15 Apr 15.. May 15 June 15 July 15 AuglS Sept 15 Oct 15 Nov 15_ Dec 15. 1966: Jan 15 Feb 15_ Mar 15 Apr 15 .. All farm products . . . . ._ __ .- __ . 95 97 104 99 98 99 101 100 98 102 99 101 104 106 105 103 103 103 103 107 109 113 112 110 Crops 105 101 100 99 99 102 104 106 106 104 106 109 111 109 106 100 100 99 98 100 102 106 104 107 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 28 Prices3 paid by fa rmers All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Index, 1957-59=100 95 88 98 94 106 100 102 100 102 98 103 98 105 99 95 107 91 107 110 101 109 93 109 95 110 99 110 103 110 104 110 105 110 105 110 106 110 106 111 112 112 114 112 117 113 118 114 113 Livestock and products Family living items 96 99 100 101 102 102 103 104 105 107 106 106 108 107 107 107 107 107 107 108 108 109 110 110 Source: Department of Agriculture. Production items 95 98 100 102 101 101 103 104 103 105 104 105 106 106 106 106 106 105 105 106 107 108 108 108 Parity ratio * 83 82 85 81 80 79 80 78 76 77 75 76 78 79 78 78 78 77 77 80 80 83 82 80 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY The daily average money supply (seasonally adjusted) registered an exceptionally large increase in April. Time deposit growth accelerated and Treasury deposits declined unusually sharply. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 180 180 \ MONEY. SUPPLY 140 140 TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS \ 100 100 60 60 n i i i i i i i i i i i I f i i \ i In 1962 1961 1960 1964 1963 1966 1965 SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars) M oney supj>iy M oney supf >iy Period 1960: 1961: 1962: 1963: 1964: 1965: 1965: Dec Dec Dec. Dec Dec Dec Mar Apr Mav June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb_ Mar Apr 2 Total _ _._ __ _ _ ; 1 Deposits at all commercial banks. » Preliminary. _ _.. 141. 1 145.5 147.5 153. 1 159.7 167.4 160. 3 161. 1 160.0 161.8 162.5 162. 7 164.3 165.6 165.7 167.4 168.4 168.0 169.2 171. 1 Currency outside banks Seasonal!]7 28. 9 29.6 30.6 32.5 34. 2 36.3 347 34. 7 34 9 35.0 35. 2 35. 4 35.6 35. 9 36. 1 36.3 36.7 36.8 36. 9 37. 1 Demand deposits Time deposits l adjusted 112. 1 72.9 116. 0 82. 7 116. 9 97. 8 112. 2 120.6 125.4 126.6 131.2 147.0 125. 6 132. 1 126. 4 133. 5 125. 1 134 6 135. 9 126.8 127. 3 137. 6 140. 1 127.3 128.7 141.6 129. 7 143.6 129.6 145. 5 131.2 147.0 148.0 131.8 131.2 148.8 132. 3 149.6 134 0 151. 6 Total 144 7 149. 4 151.6 157.3 164 0 172.0 159. 0 161. 6 157. 6 159. 6 160. 9 160. 5 163.2 165. 8 167. 4 172.0 173.0 167.8 167.8 171. 6 Currency outside banks 29.6 30. 2 31. 2 33. 1 35. 0 37.0 34 3 34 5 34 6 34.9 35.4 35.5 35.6 36. 0 36. 5 37.0 36.5 36.3 36.5 36.8 Demand deposits Qnadjuste d 115.2 119. 2 120.3 124 1 129. 1 135.0 124 6 127. 1 123. 0 1246 125. 6 125. 0 127.5 129. 8 130.9 135.0 136.5 131.5 131. 3 1348 Time deposits 1 72.1 81.8 96. 7 111. 0 125. 2 145.3 132. 7 1340 135.4 136.6 138. 3 140. 2 141.4 143.5 1444 145.3 147.4 148.7 150.2 152. 2 NOTE.—See Note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Government demand deposits 1 47 49 5.6 5. 1 5.5 4.5 6.7 5.6 9.7 9.3 9. 1 7.4 5.6 5.0 40 4.5 3.7 5.1 46 3. 0 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Nonbank holdings of liquid assets, seasonally adjusted, showed a small increase of $0.6 billion in April. Demand deposits and currency declined following the large March increase and the volume of savings and loan shares fell reflecting intensified competition from commercial banks. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 600 500 400 300 300 200 200 100 100^ 1960 1966 1961 J/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. SOURCE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted! Total selected liquid assets End of period 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 ._3 1965 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept3 Get Nov33 Dec 1966: Jan 33 Feb 3 Mar Apr 3 1 .___ _._ 393. 9 399. 2 424. 6 459.0 495.4 530.4 572.4 542.8 543. 3 543.0 550.2 550.9 555. 6 560. 6 565.0 568.2 572.4 577.7 576. 6 584. 5 585. 1 Demand deposits and currency l 139.7 138.4 142. 6 1448 149. 6 156. 7 163. 7 158. 6 156. 3 155. 4 159. 6 157.7 157. 8 160.6 161. 1 160.3 163. 7 164.0 162.0 166.2 165. 8 Time d eposits Commercial banks 67.4 73. 1 82.5 98. 1 112. 9 127. 1 147. 1 133. 0 134 1 134 9 136.3 138.3 139. 8 141. 6 144 0 146.5 147. 1 149. 2 149.4 151.0 152. 3 Agrees In concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data for2 last Wednesday of month. Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Keserve Banks, and beginning February 1060, savings and loan associations. 30 Mutual savings banks 349 36.2 38.3 41.4 44 5 49. 0 52.5 49. 8 50. 1 50. 4 50.8 51. 1 51. 3 51.6 52.0 52.3 52.5 52.8 53.0 53.1 53. 1 Postal Savings System 0. 9 .8 .6 .5 .5 .4 .3 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 Savings and loan shares 54.3 61. 8 70. 5 79.8 90.9 101. 3 109.7 103.6 103. 9 104 4 105.1 105.5 106. 5 107.7 108.3 109.2 109.7 109. 8 110.3 111.5 111. 2 U.S. Government U.S. Gov- securities ernment maturing savings2 within bonds year 2 47.9 47.0 47. 4 47. 6 49.0 49.9 50.5 49. 9 49.9 49. 9 50.0 50.1 50. 1 50. 1 50. 1 50.1 50. 5 50.5 50.3 50.3 50. 4 a Preliminary. NOTE.—See Note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 48.8 41.9 42.6 46. 8 48. 1 46. 1 48.6 47.6 48.6 47.6 48.0 47.9 49. 8 48. 7 49. 1 49.4 48. 6 51.2 51.0 52.1 52.2 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Total commercial bank credit (seasonally adjusted) rose by $2.8 billion in April, just matching the March rise. The rise in loans was more moderate than in the preceding month while investments increased somewhat following the previous declines. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS SEASONALLY ADJUSTfD, END OF MONTH 300 300 250 200 50 50 INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES 1966 1960 SOURCi* BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All comnaereial bank s (s easonally adjusted daLta) End of period 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 5 1965: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept5 Oct Nov 55_ Dec 1966: Jan 5 Feb*5 Mar . Apr 6 .... ---. ... ... ... __ Total Loans, Investr nents loans excluding and U.S. Gov- Other invest- interbank ernment securiments securities ties 185. 9 194. 5 209. 8 22a 3 246. 5 267.2 294. 0 275.5 277.3 279. 4 282.8 281.5 286. 1 286.2 288.9 291. 5 294. 0 297.0 297,1 299.9 302. 7 107. 6 113.8 120. 5 133. 9 149. 4 167. 1 191.8 175. 8 177. 1 179.5 183.0 182.7 185. 8 186.2 188. 0 189. 8 191.8 195.0 195. 5 199.3 201.0 Billions of dollarsr 57.8 20.5 20. 8 59.9 65.4 23. 9 29.2 65. 2 62. 1 35. 0 38.7 61. 4 44.6 57.6 59.6 40.1 41. 1 59. 1 58.6 41.3 57.7 42.1 56.4 42.4 43.3 57.0 56.5 43.5 57.0 43.9 57.6 44 1 44.6 57.6 57.4 44.6 45.3 56.3 55.6 45.0 55.9 45.8 * Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 2 Commercial and industrial loans. * Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. New series; see Bank Debits and Deposit Turnover, G.6 FRB, February 19.1965. 4 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. Weekly reporting member banks l Business loans 2 30.7 32. 2 32.9 35.2 38.8 42. 1 50.6 44.6 44.6 45. 2 46.8 46.3 46.9 48.1 48. 2 49. 0 50. 6 50.3 51. 1 52.6 52. 5 jBank _i_ij. debits outside New York City (224 centers) , seasonally adjusted annual rates 8 1,666 1, 736 1,882 2, 021 2, 199 8 2, 696 2,997 2,924 2, 962 2,872 8,019 3,021 3,019 S, 02S S, 069 8,179 8,250 S, 198 3,264 3,397 3,890 A U member banks * 4 Total reserves Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks • ]Millions oif dollars 18, 932 482 906 19, 283 756 87 20,118 149 568 572 304 20, 040 327 20, 746 536 21,609 411 243 22, 719 452 454 341 21,246 416 21,511 366 471 21, 472 325 505 21, 709 346 528 21,863 350 524 21, 617 430 564 384 21, 740 528 344 21, 958 490 21, 958 369 452 22,719 452 454 358 22,750 402 371 22,233 478 305 22,160 551 22, 532 363 626 -424 669 419 268 209 168 -2 -75 -105 — 180 — 182 -174 -134 — 144 -146 -83 —2 —44 -107 — 246 -263 8 Preliminary. NOTE.—-Between January and August 1959, series for all commercial banks expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all member banks include Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1954 and 1959, respectively. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Of CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Consumer credit outstanding rose in March primarily owing to the increase in automobile instalment lodns.' On a seasonally adjusted basis, the rise in instalment credit ($649 million) about equaled the 1965 monthly average. BILLIONS OF .DOLLARS 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING 1966 1960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 'SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1956 1957 1958.... _ 1959... ... I960.. 1961.. 1962 1963* 1964*..., 1965* 1965*: Feb Mar_.___ Apr .... May..... June..... July..... Aug_.___ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966*: Jan _ Feb_ Mar f Millions of dollars] Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of F>eriod ; Consum er instalme>nt credit e xtended imad justed} and r epaid (seas onally adjuisted) [nstalment Automob ile paper To tal NonAutomoTotal Total i Personal instal-2 Extended Repaid Extended Repaid bile ment paper loans 42, 334 44,970 45, 129 51, 542 56, 028 57, 678 63,164 70, 461 78, 442 87, 884 77, 406 77, 796 79, 237 80, 469 81, 717 82, 539 83,319 83, 801 84, 465 85, 291 87, 884 87, 027 86, 565 87, 059 31, 720 33, 867 33,642 39, 245 42, 832 43, 527 48,034 54, 158 60, 548 68, 565 60, 436 60, 861 61, 886 62, 807 63, 850 64, 704 65, 508 65, 979 66, 511 67, 168 68, 565 68, 314 68, 279 68, 827 14,420 15, 340 14, 152 16, 420 17, 688 17, 223 19, 540 22, 433 25, 195 28, 843 25, 383 25, 691 26, 235 26, 717 27, 280 27, 779 28, 111 28, 175 28, 393 28, 612 28, 843 28, 789 28, 894 29, 248 6,789 7,582 8, 116 9,386 10, 480 11, 256 12, 643 14, 464 16, 228 18, 354 16,356 16, 515 16, 871 17, 098 17, 346 17, 503 17, 753 17, 911 17, 950 18, 070 18, 354 18, 325 18, 396 18, 532 1 Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. * End of period, unadjusted. * Beginning July 1963, data have been revised. 32 10, 614 11, 103 11, 487 12, 297 13, 196 14, 151 15, 130 16, 303 17, 894 19,319 16, 970 16, 935 17, 351 17, 662 17, 867 17, 835 17,811 17, 822 17, 954 18, 123 19,319 18, 713 18, 286 18, 232 39, 868 42, 016 40, 119 48, 052 49, 560 48, 396 55, 126 61, 295 67, 505 75, 508 6,082 6, 107 6,245 6, 167 6,196 6, 383 6,385 6, 434 6,425 6,530 6,489 6,544 6,492 6,673 37, 054 39, 868 40, 344 42, 603 45,972 47, 700 50, 620 55, 171 61, 121 67, 495 5,485 5,465 5,500 5,511 5,601 5,659 5,729 5,748 5,805 5,831 5,855 5,947 5,954 6,024 15, 515 16, 465 14, 226 17, 779 17, 654 16, 007 19, 796 22, 292 24, 435 27, 914 2,249 2,268 2,299 2,249 2,285 2,355 2,372 2,385 2, 338 2,480 2,443 2,340 2, 340 2, 479 14,555 15, 545 15, 415 15, 579 16, 384 16, 472 17, 478 19, 400 21, 676 24, 267 1, 947 1,970 1,975 1,987 2,007 2,007 2,068 2,056 2,080 2,148 2, 107 2, 115 2,135 2,216 Mortgage debt outstanding, nonfarm 1- to 4family houses 3 99, 000 107, 600 117, 700 130, 900 141, 300 153, 100 166, 500 182, 200 197,600 212, 900 200, 500 204, 800 209, 000 213, 000 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System and Federal Home Loan Bank Board (except as noted). BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Yields on most securities turned up in April from their early month lows but remained below their early March peaks. Yields on FHA mortgages jumped sharply reflecting the rise in the maximum permissible rate. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'SJ 1960 1966 SOURCES, SEE TABLE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] High-grade municipal bonds Taxable (Standard & bonds 3 Poor's) 4 U.S. Gov(jrnment secuirity yields 3-month Treasury bills i Period 3. 405 2. 928 1959__ 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1965: Mar Apr May 2.378 2.778 3. 157 3. 549 3.954 3. 942 3.932 June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr _ 3. 895 3.810 3.831 3. 836 3. 912 4. 032 4. 082 4. 362 4. 596 4.670 4. 626 4.611 3-5 year issues 2 4.33 3.99 3.60 3.57 3.72 4.06 4.22 4. 12 4. 12 4. 11 4.09 4. 10 4. 19 4.24 4. 33 4. 46 4. 77 4. 89 5. 02 4.94 4. 86 4.08 4. 02 3.90 3.95 4.00 4. 15 4.21 4. 15 4.15 4. 14 4. 14 4. 15 4. 19 4.25 4. 28 4. 34 4. 43 4.43 4.61 4. 63 4. 55 4.85 4.87 4. 90 4.92 4. 88 4.55 4.57 4. 58 4. 59 4. 54 Corpora ie bonds (Moo dy's) Aaa 4.618 4.664 4. 630 4. 674 4.630 4.626 on new issues within period. '* Selected note and bond issues. Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or caDable 10 years and after. *8 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (5>i percent for April 1966) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 1 Rate 3 4-6 months 3. 25 3.36 3. 42 3.47 3. 56 3. 52 3.63 3. 72 3. 59 4. 38 4. 41 4. 35 4. 33 4.26 4. 40 4.49 4. 42 4.43 4. 44 4.46 4. 48 4. 49 4.52 4. 56 4. 60 4. 68 4.74 4.78 4. 92 4. 96 5. 05 5. 19 5. 08 5. 02 4.86 4.83 4.87 4. 78 4.80 4. 81 4.85 4.88 4.88 4.91 4. 93 4. 95 5. 02 5.06 5.12 5.32 5. 41 3.97 3.85 2.97 3. 26 3. 55 3.97 4.38 4.38 4.38 4. 38 4.38 4.38 4. 38 4.38 4.38 4.38 4. 65 4.82 4.88 5. 21 5.38 3. 54 3.59 3.65 3.68 3. 66 4.95 4. 95 4. 95 4. 94 4. 95 5.40 5.41 5. 41 5.45 5.46 5.38 5.38 5. 38 5.38 5.38 3. 95 3. 73 3.46 3. 18 3. 23 3.22 3.27 3. 18 3. 17 3. 19 3.26 ;;. 26 Week ended: 1966: Apr 16__ 23__ 30__ Mav 7__ 14__ 21 «_ Baa Prime commercial paper, FHA new home mortgage yields 5 5. 77 6. 16 5.78 5. 60 5.46 5. 45 5.46 5. 45 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.44 5. 44 5.45 5.46 5.49 5.51 5.62 5.70 6.00 e Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. OQ COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS Stock prices fluctuated sharply in late April and early May. Fluctuations were associated with uncertainties regarding economic policy and modifications of automobile production schedules. Index, 1941-43 = 10 Index, 1941-43=10 WEEKIY 90 COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 1 1 1 1 I I I PERCENT PERCENT' DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS 1966 1960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, STANDARD AND POORS CORPORATION Period 1960 1961 1962 1963. __> 1964 1965_ 1965: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov . Dec 1966: Jan Feb Mar Apr Week ended: 1966: Apr 8— — 15 22 29 May 6_ 13 Total .. _ _ Total 55. 85 66.27 62.38 69.87 81. 37 88. 17 87. 97 89.28 85.04 84.91 86. 49 89.38 91. 39 92. 15 91.73 93.32 92. 69 88.88 91. 60 59. 43 69. 99 65. 54 73. 39 86. 19 93.48 93. 08 94. 69 90. 19 89.92 91. 68 94.93 97. 20 98. 02 97.66 99. 56 99.11 95.04 98.17 91. 35 91. 73 91. 98 91. 60 89. 18 86.47 97.92 98.31 98.58 98. 18 95. 50 92.48 Price index l Industrials Capital Consumers' goods goods 1941-^13=10 59. 75 47. 21 67. 33 57. 01 58. 15 54. 96 63. 30 62.28 76. 34 73. 84 85. 26 81.94 83.78 84.85 85. 21 86. 35 81.62 80.04 80.54 78.80 83. 25 80. 23 82. 34 86. 91 90. 28 83. 90 91. 62 83.75 91.42 83. 31 93. 35 84.28 93. 69 83.48 78. 96 90.28 93. 54 79.28 92.63 93.23 94.28 94. 03 91.39 88.71 79. 52 79. 50 79. 44 78. 65 76. 78 75. 22 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 46. 86 60.20 59. 16 64. 99 69. 91 76.08 77. 24 77. 50 74.19 74.63 74. 71 76. 10 76. 69 76. 72 75.39 74,50 71.87 69.21 70.06 30. 31 32.83 30. 56 37. 58 45.46 46.78 46.63 45.53 42.52 43.31 46. 13 46.96 48.46 50. 23 51.03 53.68 54.78 51. 52 52. 33 3. 47 2. 98 3. 37 3. 17 3. 01 3.00 2.95 2.92 3.07 3.09 3. 06 2.98 2. 91 2.96 3.05 3.02 3.06 3. 23 3.15 69.71 69.97 70. 24 70.38 69. 59 68. 46 52. 23 52. 74 52.89 51. 70 49. 02 47. 01 3. 15 3. 15 3.13 3. 15 3.23 3.29 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 17.09 21.06 16. 68 17. 62 18. 08 17. 11 15.93 17.10 17.71 3 Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally Includes 500 common stock, 425 are industrials; 5U are public utilities; and 25 adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. are railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; aU other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. 'Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields we averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 1 Digitized for34 FRASER FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL ADMINISTRATIVE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The budget deficit in the first 10 months of fiscal 1966 amounted to $9.4 billion. 1965 the deficit was $6 9 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 100 100 75 75 50 50 25 25 1961 1962 In the corresponding period of fiscal 1963 1964 1965 1966 1961 +10 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 BUDGET SURPLUS (+} OR DEFICIT (-) (ENLARGED SCALE) +5 0 -5 25 -30 -15 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1961 1962 1963 1964 SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditu res N ational defe use * Period Fiscal year 1960 Fiscal year 1961 Fiscal year 1962 Fiscal year 1963 Fiscal year 1964 Fiscal year 19653 Fiscal year 1966 Fiscal year 19673 1965: Mar Apr __. May — June July Aug Sept Oct __ Nov Dec 1966: Jan Feb ._ Mar Apr Cumulative totals, first 10 months: Fiscal year 1965 Fiscal year 1966 Net budget receipts Total 77.8 77. 7 81. 4 86.4 89.5 93.1 100.0 111.0 11.2 8. 5 7.3 13.4 3.8 7.4 11.0 3.3 8.1 9.6 6.5 8.3 11.3 9.9 76. 5 81. 5 87.8 92. 6 97.7 96.5 106.4 112.8 8. 1 8. 3 8. 1 9. 1 7.2 9.0 9.5 8.8 9. 1 9.4 8. 8 8.2 10.2 8.4 72.4 79.1 79.3 88.5 1 In addition to items shown, also includes atomic energy and defense related services. 2 Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. 1965 FISCAL YEARS * ESTIMATE. Total Department of Defense, military 45.7 47. 5 51. 1 52. 8 54.2 50.2 56.6 60.5 4.5 4. 3 4. 3 5.0 3.8 4.4 4.5 4,5 4,5 5.1 4. 6 4.5 5.6 5.0 Military assistance 41. 2 43. 2 46. 8 48. 3 49.8 46.2 52.9 57.2 4. 2 41 1.6 1. 4 1. 4 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.2 .1 .1 .2 .4 as 4.3 3.6 4. 1 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.8 4.4 4.2 5.2 4.8 38.0 43.9 40.9 46.5 8 Budget surplus (44) () (4) .1 .1 .1 « .1 (4) .2 or deficit ( — ) 1. 2 -3.9 -6.4 -6.3 -8.2 -3.4 — 6.4 -1.8 3.0 .3 —.8 4.3 —3.4 -1.6 1.5 -5.5 -1.0 .1 -2.4 .2 1. 1 1.6 .6 .7 -6.9 -9.4 Public debt (end of period) 2 286. 5 289. 2 298.6 306. 5 312. 5 317.9 320.0 321.7 318. 4 317.2 319.8 317.9 317. 1 318.7 317.3 319.4 322. 2 321.4 322.4 323.7 321. 5 320; 1 317.2 320. 1 4 Estimates. Less than $50 million. NOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures exclude certain intragoverninental transactions. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 35 FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the first quarter, cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $1.3 billion/ on a seasonally adjusted basis, however, the excess of payments was $4.2 billion/ according to recent revisions. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 30 25 20 A 1 i i i i t f t t •f-5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED EXCESS OF G kSH RECEIPTS ** 1 • m • 111 m M *** n 1 i i t EXCESS OF 0\SH PAYMENTS i t t i 1960 t i 1961 J962 m M Jl M 1 ff~|;* f f f t 1963 t 1 t nM % 1 t t i 1965 1964 } ? -5 1966 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE iUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year: 1961.. 1962 1963. 1964. 1965 1966 i 1967 ' .... Calendar year: 1960. 1961 1962 1963 . . ___ _ _ 1964.... 1965 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts or payments 97. 2 101. 9 109.7 115.5 119.7 128.2 145.5 99. 5 107.7 113.8 120. 3 122.4 135. 0 145.0 -2.3 -5.8 -4.0 —4. 8 -2.7 — 6.9 .5 98. 3 97.9 106.2 112.6 115.0 123.4 94. 7 104.7 111. 9 117. 2 120.3 127.9 Unadjusted 3. 6 — 6. 8 -5.7 —4. 6 -5.2 -4.5 2a7 30. 1 30.9 30. 6 2a 3 32.6 33.1 34.0 34. 6 1.6 3.3 -3.9 -6.3 2.4 5.1 -3.9 -8.1 -1.3 Cash receipts from the public Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts or payments (-) Set tsonally adjusited Quarterly total (calendar years): 1964: I II_... Ill IV 1965: III. III IV 1966: I* i Estimates. 36 . . 30.3 33.4 27.0 24.3 30.7 37.7 29.. 2 25. 8 33.3 29.3 28. 6 28.4 28.8 29.7 232.6 30.6 30.7 32.7 2 30.6 29.8 30.0 29.8 30.2 32.4 32. 1 33. 1 36.9 -1.3 -1.2 — 1. 6 — 1.0 __.4 .3 -1.5 -2.4 -4.2 2 Seasonally adjusted data include accelerated corporate tax payments of about $0.3 billion in 1964 and $0.9 billion in 1965. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. FEDERAL BUDGET, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter, Federal expenditures rose over $6% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) and receipts increased $81A billion. As a result, there was a small surplus. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 120 100 J •420 SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED ANNUAL 1 L_*j80 +20 „ RATES- SURPLUS S n_ u n ^ y& ^ ^ • ™ P?fl _ r*7* ^ m m n^ 11 11 m w DEFICIT 1 T 1 ! 1 1 1 I I I ! 1 ! 1963 1962 1961 1960 1 1964 I \ \ \ I 1965 1 1966 I CALENDAR YEARS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal (aovernment receipt s Period Fiscal year: 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1i 1967 Calendar year: 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964: I II Total Fed era 1 Governrnent expe aditures Subsidies OSurplus Grants1 Personal Corpo- Indirect ContriPurless in-aid or tax and business butions rate chases Trans- to State Net current deficit for nontax profits tax and Total of goods fer payinterest surplus and ' ) tax receipts nontax social inand local paid ments of Govt. accruals accruals surance enterservices governments prises 104.2 110.2 115. 1 119.6 128.8 142.2 47.3 49.6 50.7 51.2 54.8 60.5 22.9 23.6 25.3 27.0 29.3 31.1 14.2 15.0 15.6 16.8 15.9 16.5 19.9 22. 1 23.6 24.6 28.8 34. 1 106.4 111.4 117. 1 118. 3 131.0 142.7 60.9 63.4 65. 8 64. 5 70.7 74.4 27.2 28.6 29.6 30.3 34.2 39. 2 7.6 8.4 9.8 10.9 12.8 14. 7 6.8 7.5 8. 1 8.6 9.0 9.7 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.7 106.4 114.3 114.5 124.1 114. 8 112. 0 114. 6 IV. 116. 8 123.7 1965' I iil_ 124.4 in__ 122.7 IV 125.3 1966: 1 2I_" 133.9 48.6 51. 5 48. 6 53.9 50.2 46. 5 48. 1 49. 8 53. 5 54.8 53.2 54.0 56. 2 22. 7 24. 5 26. 0 28.3 25. 7 25. 9 26.2 26. 5 27.7 28.0 28.3 29. 2 30.7 14. 6 15. 3 16. 1 16.7 15. 6 16. 0 16. 4 16. 4 17.7 16.7 16. 1 16.3 14 8 20. 5 23. 0 23. 7 25.2 23. 3 23. 5 23. 9 24.2 24.7 24.9 25.2 25.8 32. 1 110. 3 114. 0 118. 3 123.3 117. 5 119. 6 118. 2 117. 9 120. 1 120. 6 125.6 127.0 133.6 63. 4 64. 4 65. 3 66.6 65. 0 67. 0 64. 9 64. 3 64. 9 65. 7 66.5 69.2 72. 5 27. 7 29.2 29. 9 32. 1 30.3 29.8 29. 7 29. 8 31.2 30.6 34.1 32.5 34. 0 8. 0 9. 1 10.4 11.4 9. 9 10.3 10. 6 10. 8 10. 8 11. 0 11.7 12.0 13. 5 7.2 7.8 8.4 8.8 8.3 8.2 8.5 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.3 4.0 3.6 4.3 4.5 3. 9 4.2 4.4 4. 7 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 in" 1 Estimates. Preliminary estimates 2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. -2.1 — 1.2 -1.9 1.2 -2.2 -.5 -3.8 .3 -3.8 .7 -2.6 -7.6 -3.6 — 1.1 3.6 3.8 -2.9 -1.8 .3 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment Page . _ . 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 10 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports : U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers „ 26 27 28 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings - 29 30 31 32 33 34 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Administrative Budget Receipts and Expenditures Federal Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public Federal Budget, National Income Accounts Basis 35 36 37 NOTE.— Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 25 cents per copy; $2.60 per year; $3.50 foreign 38 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T PRINTING OFFICE:!96«