Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1963
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88th Congress, 1st Session Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1963 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Chairman RICHARD ROLLING, Missouri, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WRIGHT PATMAN (Texas) JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) MARTHA'W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) JAMES W. KNOWLES, Executive Director MARION T. TRACY, Financial Clerk HAMILTON D . GEWEHR, Administrative Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WALTER W. HELLER, Chairman GARDNER ACKLEY JOHN P. LEWIS Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 2 5 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, D.C. Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $5.40 per year. The 1962 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now available at 65 cents a copy. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Current estimates indicate that gross national product rose $8.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. Personal consumption expenditures rose $4.3 billion although only a $3.3 billion increase was registered in disposable personal income. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 ... 1957 1958 1959 1960 ... 1961 _ _ _ -_1962 . 1961: III IV 1962: I II III IV 1963: I Personal Disposable consumption personal income! expendi238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 1 349. 4 363. 6 382. 9 366. 3 372. 6 375. 6 381. 8 384. 1 389.3 392. 6 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 313. 5 328. 5 338. 1 356. 7 340. 1 346. 1 350. 2 354. 9 358. 2 363. 5 367. 8 In ;ernatiorlal Business Persons Personal Gross Excess saving Gross private of ( + ) or retained domestic investdisearn-2 ment investsaving ings 1 ) 18. 9 19. 8 18. 9 17. 5 23. 0 23. 6 24. 7 23. 6 20. 9 25. 6 26. 2 26. 3 26. 5 25. 4 26. 9 26. 0 25. 8 24. 8 33. 2 34. 3 35. 5 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 51. 3 52. 1 53. 6 58. 1 54. 1 57. 0 57. 2 57. 6 57. 7 60.0 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 7 72.4 69. 3 76. 6 72. 4 76. 6 75. 9 77. 4 76. 3 76. 2 76. 8 Foreign Net ejcports of goods Excess of arid servic es net transfers trans( + ) or fers by of net ImGovern- Net Exexports ports exports ports ment (— ) * -16. 6 — 16. 0 -13. 4 -21. 8 -24. 3 -20. 5 — 11. 9 -21. 4 -20. 3 -15. 6 -18. 5 -18. 3 -19. 6 -18.7 -19. 9 -18. 6 -16. 2 1. 5 1. 6 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 5 1. 6 1. 6 1.7 1. 5 1.6 1.7 1. 7 1. 8 1. 8 1.4 1.3 —. 4 1. 0 1. 1 2.9 4. 9 1.2 -. 8 2. 9 4.0 3.3 2. 8 3.8 3. 7 3.7 2. 5 3. 2 3. 2 17.4 16. 6 17.5 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 22. 9 26. 4 27. 3 28.4 26. 9 28.3 28. 2 29.0 28. 3 28. 2 27. 9 16. 1 17. 0 16. 5 18. 3 20. 2 21. 3 21. 5 23. 6 23. 5 23. 3 25. 2 24. I 24. 5 24. 5 25. 3 25. 8 25.0 24. 7 0. 2 2. 0 .4 .4 — 1.5 -3. 5 .1 2. 3 -1. 3 -2. 4 — 1.5 -1. 3 -2. 2 -2. 0 -2.0 -. 7 -1. 4 -1. 8 Ciovernmeiit I>Iet receip ts Surplus ( + ) or deficit Tax and TransPurTrans- (-) on nontax chases Total fers, fers, income Net interest, of goods expendi- interest, and receipts receipts or and and subtures and subproduct 5 5 services accruals sidies sidies account Period 1952 1953__1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1961: IIT IV 1962: I II III IV 1963: I E xpenditur es ... .. 72.2 75. 7 68. 5 78. 4 84. 2 87. 5 82. 0 95. 7 103. 8 103. 0 114. 9 103. 4 109. 2 111.9 114. 9 115. 9 117. 3 90. 6 94. 9 90. 0 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 130. 2 141. 0 144. 8 158. 1 145. 7 151. 6 154. 6 157. 8 159. 2 161. 8 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25.3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41. 9 43. 2 42. 4 42. 4 42. 7 42. 9 43. 3 44. 5 44. 7 76. 0 82. 8 75. 3 75. 6 79. 0 86. 5 93. 5 97. 2 99. 7 107. 4 117. 3 106. 9 112. 1 115. 2 116. 0 118. 2 120. 7 124. 0 1 Personal income (p. 5) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalties, 2 etc.). Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, capital consumption allowances, and excess of wage accruals over disbursements, Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business which are included in disposable personal income. ! Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. 4 6 94. 4 102. 0 96. 7 98. 6 104. 3 115. 3 126. 6 131. 6 136. 8 149. 3 160. 5 149. 3 154. 4 157. 9 158. 9 161. 6 165. 2 168.7 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41. 9 43. 2 42. 4 42. 4 42. 7 42. 9 43. 3 44. 5 44. 7 -3.9 7 j -6. 7 2. 9 5. 2 1. 0 -11. 4 -1. 5 4. 2 — 4. 4 -2. 4 -3. 6 -2. 9 -3. 3 — 1. 1 — 2. 4 -3.3 Gross Total Statis- national product tical income or or discrepexpendiancy receipts ture 345. 6 364, 1 362. 3 396. 5 421. 6 443. 4 446. 0 485. 7 506. 8 521. 8 557. 6 525. 3 540. 5 546. 4 556. 0 559. 8 568. 4 1. 4 1. 3 .9 1. 0 -2. 4 -. 6 — 1. 5 -3.0 -3. 4 -3. 1 -3. 8 O 1 — d. 1 — 1. 9 — 1. 4 -4. 0 -4. 3 -4. 8 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397. 5 419. 2 442. 8 444. 5 482.7 503. 4 518. 7 553.9 522. 3 538. 6 545. 0 552. 0 555. 3 563. 5 571.8 Net foreign investment with sign changed. Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by -Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Source: Department of Commerce. 1 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE GNP In the first quarter rose $8.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 1 1 /z percent, according to current estimates. The main increases were in personal consumption expenditures and government purchases. BILLI ONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOL LARS SEASON iLLY ADJUSTED ANNU U. RATES ««• - GRCJSS NATIONAL P ROOUCT ^—--^ ^^^\ _--?-^ll_ 500 500 _^ -__ - ^^ PE RSONAL CONSUMPT ION EXPENDITURES - /_... 300 300 GOVERNM ENT PURCHASES AND SERVICES OF GOOD: .11 \ 100 _ _ ^^^L^ IOO _ ..n ....""""'"••...Illl..!..1" G R O S S PRIVA rE DOMESTIC,^ 1NVES TMENT •^"^ 1 1957 1 ^L^^_ 1958 1 I 1959 1 1 1 NET EXPORT OF GOODS ^- AND S ERVICES U^ 0— —^>—«_^v_ 1 '"""" 1 I960 ^_ ,<__„ I I ! 1961 . . ! ! 1962 I SOURC E1. DEPARTMENT OF C OMMEHCE Period x; imilium) product In current prices divided by gross national product I Gove rnment p urchases of good s and services Federal State Total Total i National2 Other and local defense E>illions of dollars, q uarterly c ata at se<isonally a djusted iinnual K ites 0. 6 19.3 14.3 1950 39. 0 370. 0 195. 0 50. 0 284. 6 38. 8 33.9 2. 4 60. 5 329. 0 56. 3 1951, . . 209. 8 400. 4 52. 9 46. 4 76. 0 1. 3 49. 9 1952 415. 8 347.0 219. 8 58. 0 — . 4 ' 82. 8 49. 3 1953 ... 365. 4 232. 6 50. 3 434. 8 41.2 47. 5 75. 3 426. 3 363. 1 48. 9 1. 0 1954 238. 0 1. 1 45. 3 39. 1 75. 6 459. 6 397. 5 256. 9 63. 8 1955 45. 7 2. 9 40. 4 79. 0 419. 2 67. 4 1956 469. 4 269. 9 4. 9 49. 7 44. 4 442. 8 86. 5 1957 478. 5 285. 2 66. 1 52. 6 44. 8 1. 2 93. 5 444. 5 293. 2 56. 6 1958 . 471. 1 53. 6 46. 2 482. 7 SOS. 6 97. 2 72. 7 313. 5 -. 8 1959 45.7 2. 9 99. 7 53. 2 72. 4 1960 615. 8 503. 4 328. 5 57. 0 49. 0 4. 0 107. 4 1901 525. 5 518. 7 338. 1 69. 3 62. 4 53. 4 3. 3 117. 3 1962 . . 553. 9 356. 7 76. 6 553. 9 48. 4 2. 8 106. 9 56. 5 72. 4 522. 3 340. 1 1961: III... ._. 528. 5 50. 8 3. 8 112. 1 59. 5 76. 6 538. 6 346. 1 IV .. . .. 543. 7 53. 0 3. 7 115. 2 350. 2 75. 9 61. 9 545. 0 I9<>L>: T . 548. 4 62. 1 3.7 116. 0 53. 2 552. 0 354. 9 77. 4 552. 6 11 62. 7 54.0 2.5 76. 3 118. 2 555. 3 358. 2 [II 554. S 63. 4 3. 2 54. 2 120. 7 76. 2 563. 5 363. 5 660. 6 IV 3. 2 65. 9 56. 6 124. 0 367. 8 76. 8 566. S 571. 8 1'MiH- 1 . ;*hmvn on p. .'ifi. ! 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC At V1SERS Personal Gross Total Net Total congross private exports national gross sump- domestic of goods tion product national and in 1962 product expend- investservices ment itures prices s (InvcrmmTH sales. sr rx|M-![ilitiircs correspond closely with budget expeaditures for national 1 5. 2 5. 2 6. 7 9. 0 6. 7 6. 6 5. 7 5.7 8. 3 7. 9 8. 1 8. 7 9.7 8. 7 9. 2 9. 6 9. 5 9. 6 10. 1 10. 2 19. 7 21. 7 23. 2 24. 9 27. 7 30. 3 33. 2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 46. 5 50. 4 55. 0 50. 4 52. 6 53. 3 54. 0 55. 5 57.3 58. 1 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Source: Department of Commerce. Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1962=100' 76. 9 82. 2 S3. 5 84. 0 85. 2 86. 5 89. 3 92. 5 94. 4 96. 0 97. 6 98. 7 100. 0 98. S 99. 1 99. 4 99. 9 100. 2 100. 5 101. 0 NATIONAL INCOME Compensation of employees rose by $5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. tors' income fell, but other noncorporate income rose moderately. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 Farm proprie- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 200 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 1957 1963 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. . _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annua! rates] Total national income Period 1950... 1951 1952.. 1953 1954. 1955 1956 1957 1958- .. 1959. 196CL 1961. 1962 1961: III IV 1962: I. 11 III . .. _ _ . . .. IV 1963: I 1 241.9 279. 3 292. 2 305. 6 301. 8 330. 2 350. 8 366. 9 367. 4 400. 5 415. 5 427. 8 458. 0 431. 3 444. 0 448. 9 456. 7 459. 8 466. 6 Compensation of employees ' 154. 180. 195. 208. 207. 223. 242. 255. 257. 278. 293. 302. 321. 304. 309. 315. 321. 323. 325. 330. Proprieto rs* income Farm 2 3 0 8 6 9 5 5 1 5 7 2 6 5 9 2 1 8 8 8 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) 14. 0 16. 3 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11. 4 12. 0 13. 1 13. 0 13. 1 13. 6 12. 9 12. 8 12. 8 13. 6 13. 0 Business and professional 23. 5 26. 0 26. 9 27. 4 27. 8 30. 4 32. 1 32. 7 32. 5 35. 1 34. 2 34. 8 36. 8 35. 1 36. 0 36. 2 36. 8 37. 0 37. 3 37. 7 Rental income of per9. 0 9. 4 10. 2 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10. 9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 11. 9 12. 3 12. 8 12. 3 12. 5 12. 6 12. 8 12. 9 12. 9 13. 0 Net interest 5. 5 6. 3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11. 7 13. 4 14. 8 16. 4 18. 1 20. 0 22 2 20. 3 21. 0 21. 5 22. 0 22. 5 23. 0 23. 5 Corpora ;e profits and inventory va luation at Ijustment Total 35. 7 41. 0 37. 7 37. 3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 47. 2 45. 6 45. 5 51. 5 46. 0 51. 1 50. 4 50. 7 51.0 54. 0 Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 40. 6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 8 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 47. 7 45. 4 45. 6 51. 3 46. 3 51. 4 50. 1 50. 9 51. 1 53. 2 NOTE.—Data lor Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. -5. 0 -1. 2 1. 0 1. 0 -. 3 1. 7 -2. 7 1. 5 o —. 5 2 .0 2 -. 3 -. 3 . 3 _. 2 —. 1 .8 . -1 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $2.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in April to a record $455.8 billion. Wase and salary disbursements increased $1.9 billion/ all other major types of income except farm proprietors' also increased. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 500 I957 I I958 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 4 1962 1962: M a r _ _ _ Apr May June July__ Aug Sept___ Get Nov Dec 1903: Jan Feb.. Mar... Apr 4 289. 8 310. 2 332. 9 351. 4 360. 3 383. 9 400. 8 416. 4 440. 5 435. 2 438. 3 439. 7 440. 7 441. 9 443. 0 443. 5 445. 6 448. 2 450. 4 452. 4 451. 1 453. 2 455. 8 1 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Less: PerPropriet 3rs' income Rental Other Personal Transfer sonal con- Nonagriand income Divicultural salary labor Business paytributions personal dends interest of disburse- income 2 Farm and pro- persons income ments for social income 3 ments ' fessional insurance J2. 7 14. 6 6. 2 27. 8 10. 9 196. 3 9. 8 16. 2 4. 6 273. 8 7. 1 11. 8 30. 4 10. 7 17. 5 15. 8 210. 9 11. 2 5. 2 295. 0 8. 1 11. 6 32. 1 10. 9 12. 1 18. 8 17. 5 227. 6 317. 9 5.8 11. 8 12. 6 21. 9 19. 6 9. 1 32. 7 11. 9 238. 5 6. 7 336. 1 12. 2 21. 0 13. 5 9. 4 32. 5 12. 4 26. 3 239. 8 6. 9 343. 0 10. 4 11. 4 11. 9 23. 5 35. 1 13. 7 27. 5 258. 5 7. 9 368. 6 12. 0 11. 0 29. 4 11. 9 271. 3 14. 4 34. 2 25. 8 384. 7 9. 2 12. 3 27. 4 13. 1 11. 4 34. 8 15. 0 33. 4 278. 8 9. 7 399. 1 12. 3 13. 0 12. 8 34. 6 36. 8 29. 7 295.8 15. 9 10. 5 423. 2 12. 9 12. 1 12. 7 292. 2 36. 4 29. 0 34. 5 15. 9 10.4 418.0 12. 2 12. 8 12. 7 34. 2 36. 6 29. 2 421. 2 295. 3 15. 8 10. 5 12. 3 12. 8 12. 8 34. 2 422. 6 296. 0 36. 8 15. 8 29. 4 10. 5 12. 4 12. 8 12. 8 34. 1 296. 9 15. 8 29. 6 10. 5 423. 5 36.8 12. 4 12. 7 12. 8 34. 2 297. 8 36. 9 15.7 29. 8 424. 8 10. 5 12. 4 12. 9 12. 8 15. 7 34. 5 37. 0 10. 5 298. 1 30. 0 425. 9 12. 9 12. 9 12. 4 37. 0 30. 2 34. 5 16. 0 10. 4 426. 4 298. 0 37. I 12. 5 12. 9 30. 4 13. 2 16. 1 35. 5 10. 5 298. 5 428. 2 12. 5 37. 3 12. 9 299. 8 13. 6 16. 2 30. 6 35. 8 10. 5 430. 4 12. 5 14. 0 12. 9 30. 8 301. 0 37.4 35. 5 10. 6 432. 3 17. 0 12. 6 37. 6 13. 0 31. 1 301. 5 13. 4 16. 3 38. 7 11. 7 434. 6 12. 9 12. 7 37. 7 13. 0 31.3 434. 0 303. 6 16. 4 35. 3 11. 8 12. 7 12. 7 37. 8 13. 0 31. 6 35. 6 11. 8 305. 0 16. 5 436. 2 12. 8 12. 7 37. 9 31. 9 35. 8 13. 1 16. 6 11. 9 438. 8 306. 9 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for in.sunuic'C :in<! the excess of wage accruals over disbursements, npioyer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; comlion for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other rsonal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, 1962 farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. * Preliminary. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME In the first quarter, personal consumption expenditures rose by $4.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) while disposable personal income rose by $3.3 billion. The saving rate declined to 6.3 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 350 300 2,000 1,800 1,600 1957 1962 1958 i SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNOl Of ECONOMIC ADViSEBS Personal income Less : Personal taxes Equals: Disposable personal income 256. 7 273. 1 288. 3 289. 8 310. 2 332.9 351.4 3 9 8 4 5 29. 2 34.4 35. 8 32. 9 35. 7 40. 0 42. 6 42. 3 46. 8 51. 4 52. 8 57. 6 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 1 349. 4 363. 6 382. 9 1961: III.. 419. 4 IV.. 427. 3 53. 0 54. 6 366. 3 372. 6 Per cap ita disas posable Dersonal Saving percent Populainco me Equals: of disPersonal posable (thouNonsaving 1962 1 personal sands) 3 Current Total Durable durable Services goods prices prices income (percent) Billions of dollars Dol .ars 29. 5 110. 1 70. 2 17. 7 209. 8 1,718 1, 475 7. 8 154, 283 29. 1 219. 8 115. 1 75. 6 18. 9 1, 521 1,736 7. 9 156, 947 32. 9 1, 582 232. 6 118. 0 81. 8 19. 8 1,788 7.8 159, 559 32. 4 86. 3 1, 582 119. 3 18. 9 238. 0 1,770 7. 4 162, 388 39. 6 124. 8 92. 5 256. 9 17. 5 1, 660 1, 849 6. 4 165, 276 100. 0 1, 741 269. 9 38. 5 23. 0 131. 4 1, 908 7. 9 168, 225 107. 1 40. 4 137. 7 23. 6 285. 2 1, 803 1, 919 7. 6 171, 278 37. 3 114. 3 24. 7 293. 2 141. 6 1, 825 7. 8 174, 154 1,907 122. 8 43. 6 313. 5 147. 1 23. 6 1, 904 1,965 7. 0 177, 080 44. 8 131. 9 151. 8 20. 9 1, 934 328. 5 1,968 6. 0 180, 676 139. 1 43. 7 155. 2 25. 6 338. 1 1, 979 1, 998 7. 0 183, 742 47. 5 147. 1 162. 0 26. 2 2,052 356. 7 2,052 6. 8 186, 591 Seasc nally adj\ isted ann jal rates 44. 0 340. 1 156. 2 139. 9 26. 3 1, 989 2,008 7. 2 184, 150 46. 6 142. 3 346. 1 26. 5 157. 2 2, 015 2,027 7. 1 184, 952 1962: I... II... III.. IV- 432.0 439. 5 442. 6 448. 0 50. 4 57.7 58. 5 58. 7 375. 6 381. 8 384. 1 389. 3 350. 2 354. 9 358. 2 363. 5 40. 3 47. 2 47. 1 49. 6 159. 9 161. 3 163. 0 163. 9 1963: I 452. 1 59. 5 392. 6 367. 8 50.0 165. 5 Period 1951.. -.. 1952 1953. ... 1954 . ... 1955. . ... 1956 . ... 1957 . ... 1958 . ... 1959.. ... 1960 _ ... 1961 1902. _ .. 360. 383. 400. 416. 440. 1 ess: Persona 1 consump tion expe nditures Income in current prices divided by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures on a 1962 base. 2 Population of the United States including armed forces abroad. Annual data as of July J; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. 144. 1 146. 3 148. 1 150. 1 25. 4 26. 9 26. 0 25. 8 2, 024 2, 050 2, 054 2,074 2, 034 2,053 2,052 2, 064 6. 8 7. 0 6. 8 6. 6 185, 186, 186, 187, 152. 3 24. 8 2, 084 2, 065 6.3 188, 350 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Sources; Department ol Commerce arid Council of Economic Advisers. 607 258 980 738 FARM INCOME Net farm income (seasonally adjusted) fell in the first quarter to a level slightly above that of a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLL &RS BILL IONS OF DOLLARS SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANNUfl L RATES REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 40 I ' -X "" ' *~" 40 * ' £0 20 NET FARM INCOME 1NC1 -UDING NET INVENTC3RY CHANGE »„- _ _ ^ >"-™-,^ ^ ^ 0 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1958 1957 1 ! 10 i 1 i 1 1959 1 I 1 1 1 ] ncorne re ceived fro m farming> Net t 3 farm oper itors Realize d gross 1955. 1956. 1957 1 958 1959 1900. IDG 1 1902 . __ .. 1961: III IV 1 !l(i'_': I II III IV From all sources From farm sources 20. 0 19. 0 18. 3 18. 6 18. 8 20. 5 19. 0 19. 6 20. 3 20. 4 13. 8 13.2 12. 2 12. 0 12. 2 13. 8 11. S 12. 4 13. 3 13. 3 From nonfarm sources 6.3 5. 8 6. 1 6. 6 6. 6 6. 7 7. 1 7. 2 7. 0 7. 1 Net inc ome per farm incl uding net inventory change 3 Cash tion ex- Exelud- Includreceipts penses ingnetin- ing net in- Current 1962 from Total ' ventory ventory2 prices prices * marketchange change ings Dol lars Billions (if dollars 2, 927 2, 664 13. 9 35. 3 21. 4 13. 3 31. 1 2, 875 12. 2 12.7 2, 645 21. 7 30. 0 33. 9 2, 529 2, 749 29. 6 21. 9 11. 5 11. 8 33. 3 12. 0 2, 574 2, 768 22. 6 34. 6 11. 6 30. 6 11. 0 2, 807 2, 695 34. 4 11. 8 29. 8 23. 4 12. 6 3, 201 3, 266 25. 3 33. 4 37. 9 13. 5 2, 832 11. 4 26. 2 11. 3 33. 5 2,775 37. 5 3,075 11.7 12. 0 26. 2 3,044 34. 0 37. 9 3, 422 3, 457 12. 8 13. 0 27. 1 39. 9 35. 2 3,537 3,537 12. 9 27. 7 13. 0 40. 6 35. 7 Seas onally ad justed amlual rates 3, 470 12. 9 3, 440 13. 1 40. 1 35. 2 27. 2 3, 610 13. 6 13. 5 3,570 40. 8 35. 8 27. 3 __ i !m:>: ! inrketings, Government payments, and nonmoney inu! livestock valued at the average price for the year. inp 19M on the basis of 1959 Census of Agriculture definniher of farms is held constant within a year. 0 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS • Personal income re ceived by total arm popu lation 1953 1954. 1 1962 1961 I960 SOU ?CE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Period -"•-. r~^** *—* 10 40. 3 40. 3 40. 5 41. 4 35. 4 35. 3 35. 5 36. 5 27. 5 27. 6 27. 7 27. 9 12. 8 12. 7 12. 8 13. 5 12. 9 12. 8 12.8 13. 6 3, 500 3, 470 3,470 3, 690 3, 500 3, 470 3,470 3, 690 40. 8 35.8 28. 1 12.7 13. 0 3, 630 3, 590 * Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1962 base. Source: Department of Agriculture, CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes rose $2.1 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 1962 to a record high of $53.2 billion. BILLIONS OF D O L L A R S BILLIONS OF DOLLARS I962 ' E X C L U D I N G INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period 1951... __ 1952 . 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1961: III IV^_ 1962: I II-. III — IV.1963: ! „ _ _ _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Corilorate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inver tory Cor] oorate pr ofits a fter taxe s valuation adjustme it TransM anufactui ing portaCorpo- Corpotion, rate rate DiviUnAll comAll profits taxNondend distribmuniDurable durable indusother before liabil- Total uted paygoods tries indus- taxes ity Total goods cations, ments profits indusand tries industries public tries utilities 24. 4 41. 0 12. 0 13. 5 10. 9 4. 5 42. 2 22. 4 19. 7 10. 7 9. 0 21. 1 37. 7 11. 8 9. 3 4. 8 11. 8 17. 2 36. 7 19. 5 9. 0 8. 3 12. 1 21. 4 37. 3 9. 3 4. 9 11. 0 20. 2 38. 3 18. 1 8. 9 9. 2 18. 4 33. 7 10. 1 8. 3 4. 4 11. 0 34. 1 17. 2 16. 8 7. 0 9.8 25. 0 14. 2 43. 1 10. 8 5. 4 12. 8 21. 8 44. 9 23. 0 11. 8 11. 2 42. 0 23. 5 10. 9 5. 6 12. 9 21. 2 12. 6 44. 7 23. 5 12. 1 11. 3 22. 9 41. 7 13. 1 9. 8 13. 3 5. 5 20. 9 43. 2 22. 3 12. 6 9. 7 37. 2 9. 0 9. 3 13. 3 18. 3 5. 6 18. 6 37. 4 18. 8 12. 4 6. 4 25. 4 13. 4 47. 1 11. 9 6. 7 15. 1 23. 2 47. 7 24. 5 13. 7 10. 8 24. 0 12. 2 45. 6 11. 8 14. 6 7.0 22. 4 45. 4 23. 0 14. 4 8. 6 23. 5 45. 5 31. 7 11. 7 7. 4 14. 7 22. 3 23. 3 45. 6 8. 3 15. 0 28. 0 14. 9 51. 5 13. 1 8. 0 15. 6 51. 3 25. 0 26. 3 10. 3 15. 9 24. 0 46. 0 12. 1 11. 9 7. 5 14. 5 22. 6 46. 3 23. 7 14. 9 8. 7 27. 5 14. 9 51. 1 12. 6 15. 6 8. 0 25. 1 51. 4 26. 3 10. 8 15. 5 27.0 50. 4 14. 2 12. 8 8. 1 15. 4 24. 4 50. 1 25. 6 9. 9 15. 8 27. 1 50. 7 H. 3 12. 8 8. 0 15. 7 50. 9 24. 9 26. 1 10. 3 15. 8 28. 1 51. 0 12. 8 7. 9 15. 3 14. 9 24. 9 51. 1 10. 3 26. 1 15. 8 29. 7 54. 0 15. 8 13. 9 8. 0 16. 3 26. 0 53. 2 10. 9 27.3 16. 4 16. 4 1 Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current accounts and accidental damages. 2 Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 98263°—63 2 Corporate capital consumption allowances ' Profits plus capital consumption allow-2 ances 11. 0 12. 3 14. 1 15. 8 18. 4 20. 0 21. 8 22. 7 24. 3 25. 9 27. 5 29. 2 30. 7 29.6 32. 2 32. 7 41. 4 43. 5 44. 1 41.4 48. 7 27. 8 51. 4 54. 8 28. 7 29. 1 29. 4 29. 7 30. 1 51. .1 55. 2 28. 5 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1UGO. Source: Department of Commerce. 48.9 50. 8 55. 5 55. 5 ,r,7. 0 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT In the first quarter, a rise of $1.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the inventory accumulation more than offset a decline of $1.2 billion in fixed investment, resulting in an increase in total private investment. B I L L I O N S OF D O L L A R S BILLIONS OF D O L L A R S 1963 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE- COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total gross private domestic investment Period 1950 1951 1952 1953.. ... 1954.. ... 1955 1956. 1957 1958 1 959 1900 190 1 1902. . 1901: 1 1 I _ IV 1902: 1 II 111 IV 1903: I 50. 0 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72.7 , . ... 1 .. 72. 4 69. 3 76. 6 72. 4 76. 6 75. 9 77. 4 76. 3 76. 2 76. S New cons truction ' Total Total 43. 2 46. 1 46. 8 49. 9 50. 5 58. 1 62. 7 64. 6 58. 6 66. 2 68. 3 67. 1 73. 4 68. 4 70. 6 69. 2 73.4 75. 3 74. 9 73. 7 Residential nonfarm 24. 2 24. 8 25. 5 27. 6 29. 7 34. 9 35. 5 36. 1 35. 5 40. 2 40. 7 41. 6 44. 5 42. 6 43. 2 41. 6 44. 5 46. 1 45. 0 43. 6 liovtsions HI snrir.'i on new construction shown on p. 19 have not yet been inoorpm uleii Into UK-M- .MTii'.s. 5 "Other" construction in this .series includes petroleum and natural gas well 8 Change in business inv entories Fix 3d investnTent 14. 1 12. 5 12. 8 13. 8 15. 4 18. 7 17. 7 17. 0 18. 0 22. 3 21. 1 21. 0 23. 3 21. 9 22. 8 21. 2 23. 3 24. 3 23. 8 22. 6 2 Ottler Total Nonfarm 10. 1 12. 3 12. 7 13. 8 14. 3 16. 2 17. 8 19. 0 17. 4 17. 9 19. 7 20. 5 21. 2 20. 7 20. 4 20. 5 21. 2 21. 8 21. 3 21.0 8. 5 10. 4 10. 8 12. 1 12. 7 14.6 16. 3 17. 5 15. 9 16. 2 18. 0 18. 6 19. 5 18. 5 18. 6 18. 9 19. 4 19. 9 19. 5 19. 4 Produc(?rs' durable eq\lipment Total 18. 9 21. 3 21. 3 22. 3 20. 8 23. 1 27. 2 28. 5 23. 1 25. 9 27. 6 25. 5 28. 9 25. 8 27. 4 27. 6 28. 9 29. 2 29. 9 30. 1 Total Nonfarm 16. 2 18. 4 18. 6 19. 5 18. 5 20. 6 25. 0 26. 2 20. 3 23. 1 25. 1 23. 0 25. 9 23. 5 24. 9 24. 9 26. 0 26. 1 26. 6 26. 8 6.8 10. 2 3. 1 .4 -1. 6 5. 8 4. 7 1. 6 -2. 0 6. 6 4. 1 2. 1 3. 2 4. 0 6. 0 6. 7 4. 0 1. 0 1. 2 3.0 drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 19. NOTE.— Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Nonfarm 6. 0 9. 1 2. 1 1. 1 -2. 1 5.5 5. 1 .8 -2.9 6. 5 3. 7 1.9 3. 2 3. 8 5.9 6. 6 3. 9 1. 0 1. 1 2.7 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Business firms spent $37.3 billion on new plant and equipment in 1962, an 8^/2 percent increase over 1961 expenditures. According to the February survey, 1963 expenditures will be 5 percent above the 1962 level. Expenditures declined by $400 million (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of last year and are expected to show no change in the first quarter of 1963 and increases in subsequent quarters of the year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 10 1962 1963 SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES ANO EXCHANGE COMMISSION, AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC^ ADVISERS fBillions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufacturi ag Period Total ' 25. 64 26. 49 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 28. 32 26. 83 28. 70 35. 08 36. 96 30. 53 32. 54 35. 68 34. 37 37. 31 39. 10 34. 70 1960 1961 1962 1963 3 1961: III 1962: IV I II III IV 1963: I 3 II 3 1 1 __ . . . 35. 35. 36. 38. 37. 37. 38. 40 70 95 35 95 95 65 Total 10. 85 11.63 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14. 95 15. 96 11. 43 12.07 14. 48 13. 68 14. 68 15. 69 13.65 14. 00 14. 20 14. 45 15. 05 15. 00 1 5. 30 15. 30 Durable Nonduragoods ble goods 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 7. 8. 5. 5. 7. 6. 17 61 65 09 44 62 02 47 77 18 27 7. 03 7.78 6. 6. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7. 7. 10 40 55 95 25 30 50 30 Excludes agriculture. Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. s Estimates based on anticipated capita^ expenditures as reported by business in late February 1963. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. NOTE.—Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Transpo rtation 5. 68 0. 93 6. 02 6. 26 5. 95 6. 00 7. 33 7. 94 .98 . 99 .98 .96 1. 24 6. 29 7. 30 . 99 5. 96 7. 40 7. 65 7. 90 7. 55 7. 60 7. 60 7. 50 7. 80 7. 70 7. 80 8. 00 Railroads Other Public utilities 1. 47 1. 40 1. 31 . 85 . 92 1. 23 1. 40 . 75 . 92 1. 03 . 67 . 85 . 96 . 65 . 60 . 70 . 95 1. 00 . 80 . 95 1. 10 1. 49 1. 50 1. 56 1. 51 1. 60 1. 71 1. 77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 85 2. 07 1. 84 1.90 1. 95 2. 05 2. 25 2. 00 1. 90 1. 65 2. 00 3. 66 3. 89 4.55 4.22 4.31 4. 90 6. 20 6. 09 5. 67 5. 68 5. 52 5. 48 5. 66 5. 65 5. 55 5. 15 5. 40 5. 75 5. 45 5. 30 5. 60 Mining 1. 24 . 94 . 99 .98 1. 08 1.01 1. 00 1. 00 1. 15 1.05 1. 10 1. 00 1. 05 1. 05 Commercial and other 2 7. 24 7. 09 8.00 8.23 9. 47 11. 05 10. 40 9. 81 10. 88 11.57 11. 68 13. 15 13. 94 11. 85 12. 35 12. 45 12. 85 13. 40 13. SO 1 3. 70 ] 3. 70 Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross natioim! product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the h i t l e r rnvei agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction milluy:charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commrrrr. 9 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Employment and the labor force showed further substantial increases in April. ment rate rose slightly to 5.7 percent. The seasonally adjusted unemploy- MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED TOTAL LABOR FORCE P E R C E N T OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT CF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE urJE MP -C YMENT It T E s E£ SO JA LLY AD uST £ 31 -~ 1 - Tl rrfl | "fl - " " T i -j 1 _ -,-i - ~ __ _ - i II C Period 1958... 1959... 1960__. 1961... 71, 71, 73, 74, 74, 1962: Apr. Apr 3 _ May.. June_. July.. Aug_. Sept.. Oct... Nov.. Dec.. 1963: Jan .. Feb. Mar. Apr.. 284 940 126 175 839 95 3 95 ) 96<} 96 ? Civilisin e raiploy ment NonagriTotal cultural Total Civilkin emplo yment labor force UnemCivilian Non(includ- labor Agriployagriing ment force culTotal cularmed tural tural forces) Thous ands of ] persons \l. years of age and o ver 63, 966 58, 122 4, 681 65, 581 59, 745 3, 813 66, 681 60, 958 3, 931 66, 796 61, 333 4, 806 67, 999 62, 744 4,012 Unadj usted easonally adjustet 1 67, 027 66, 824 68, 203 69, 539 69, 564 69, 762 68, 668 68, 893 67, 981 67, 561 61, 61, 62, 63, 63, 63, 63, 63, 03, 63, 979 863 775 249 500 993 10:, 418 098 495 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 952 946 719 463 018 932 512 294 801 817 74, 470 74, 657 74, 539 74, 585 75, 056 74, 989 74, 651 74, 577 74, S48 71, 585 71, 782 71, 673 71, 730 72, 197 73, 254 71, 915 71, 827 72, 084 67, 591 67, 821 67, 731 67, 833 68, 104 68, 188 68, 076 67, 691 68, 091 5, 296 5, 269 73, 73, 74, 74, 65, 66, 67, 68, 61, 62, 62, 63, 730 309 812 424 4, 4, 4, 4, 672 | 918 501 063 75, 064 75, 225 75, 430 75, 738 72, 348 72, 501 72, 698 73, 002 68, 171 68, 086 68, 636 68, 874 5, 183 4, 841 935 358 148 097 1 Total : labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. A vcragcs have been adjusted by the Council of Economic Advisers for comparison with previous data. 3 HW> Population Census data used in estimation procedure beginning April twj; all other data based on 1950 Population Census. 10 i! 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 73, 804 73, 6.54 74, 797 76, 857 76, 437 76, 554 74, 914 74, 923 74, 532 74, 142 323 999 382 897 i i i I l<16 * 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMET OF LABOR. Total labor force (including armed forces) —i 1 1 ii 19 5" r ... 5, 190 5, 118 5, 087 5, 114 5, 040 4, 983 .',, 843 5, 008 5, 023 62, 295 62, 552 62, 541 62, 715 63, 017 63, 074 63, 036 62, 708 63, 248 63, 988 63, 245 63, 6S8 63, 851 Unemp. oyment rate (pe rcent of Unem- civilia i labor for ce) ployment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Labor force participation rate, unadjusted ' Percent 58. 5 58. 3 58. 3 58. 0 57. 5 6. 8 5. 5 5. 6 6. 7 5.6 3, 994 3, 961 3, 942 3,897 4, 093 4, 066 3, 839 4, 136 5. 6 5. 2 6. 0 5. 5 5. 3 4. 9 4, 6 5. 3 5. 3 5. 6 5. 5 5. 5 4, 177 4, 415 4,062 6.6 5. S 6. 1 3, 993 4, 128 6. 9 6. 3 5. 6 5.4 5. 7 5. 6 5. 3 5. 8 5.5 5. 6 5. 7 57. 0 56. 8 57. 6 59. 2 58. 7 58. 7 57. 4 57. 3 56. 9 56. 6 55. 9 56. 3 56. 5 56. 9 NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted series revised beginning 1949. For definitions and coverage, see Employment and Earnings, Department of Labor, Beginning 3960, data include Alaska and Hawaii, Source: Department of Labor. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The seasonally adjusted over-all unemployment rate rose in April despite a decline in the rate for married men and experienced wage and salary workers. PERCENT PERCENT 10,0 10.0 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED L A B O R FORCE TIME LOST THROUSH UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME WORK 8.0 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE .EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 2.O SOURCE: DEPARTMENT .OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. Uneniploymeu ; rate (percen t of civili;in labor foi ce m groi P) IVi ccnl •1. r> 2. S r.. i 7. '2 •I. 3 (). <S - 5. 6 • >. / (i. S 5. 7 r>. I; 5. :i ,s,.,,l. Orl. 5. S 5. 5 5. S N,,v !)(•!• 1963: . I n n l'VI> Mar Apr _ . . March'.! r,. i r>. (i .'). / 5. i>5. 5. r>. 5. 5 :< -1 1 7 (i r>.r 2 . i. li 5. 5 r>. 7 (i. 0 5. 5 5. 4 :). 3 :-;. c> 3. 7 •i. (i S. (i. li. S. 3. 7 (i. (i ;>. ;> li. (i Seasonal! v a d j i i s h ' i 5. -1 A ML' '•' Assumes un rcuTioiii ic rra.so \vorkrii. J DillVrs from sons \vi1 i' jobs b and industrial 5. r> 5. (i (i. 7 5. 6 5. (i r>.r 5r 1962: A p r M:iv June .lulv 1 Labor force lime lost through Experienced Married ploymcnt Over -10 All and men ' and part- hours workers wage salary time work '2 Period 1957 1958 1959. 1960 1901 1902 Persons at work i n nonagri cultural ii3 dustrics bv hours worked r>er week Ui ider 35 ho urs • >. .') :i. <i :(. 5 3. r> 3. 4 8. 4 3. 4 3. 5 8. 8 4. 1 3. 5 3. 3 1 (i 7 0 <;. 7 (i. (i 6. (i (i. 7 6. 7 6. 8 6. 6 6. 9 6. 6 6.8 7. 1 6. 6 6. 6 17, l i O l l ( i , <>()() 17, 3-15 1 7, 064 18, 210 19,024 18, 19, 19, 18, 18, 19, 19, 18, 20, 18, 18, 18, 18, 863 482 606 716 452 883 460 799 123 893 358 964 068 35-10 hours Part-ti me for cconomi o reasons Part-ti me for cconomi 3 reasons Total Usually fulltime * Usually parttime a Usually fulltime 4 Thousan ds of pers ons 14 ye irs of age and over 28, 634 1, 183 9, 730 986 28, 273 10, 372 1, 638 1, 315 1, 032 27, 723 11, 702 1, 304 28, 724 11, 528 1, 243 1, 317 29, 047 11, 132 1, 297 1, 516 1,049 28. 854 11, 675 1, 287 I Jnadjuste 1 Seasonal^/ 30, 172 11, 007 1, 050 1, 171 998 30, 229 11, 121 1, 111 1, 184 1, 099 29, 603 10, 292 1, 041 1, 589 1, 039 27, 656 962 9, 783 1, 712 1, 085 28, 812 10, 071 1,088 1, 537 1, 124 29, 801 10, 740 1, 093 1, 152 1, 143 1,023 28, 587 13, 237 1, 162 1, 072 1, 168 26, 308 15, 968 1, 211 1, 145 29, 052 12, 075 1, 001 1, 165 995 29, 587 11, 080 1, 147 1, 096 1, 092 28, 705 12, 812 965 1, 005 1, 181 29, 705 11, 706 1, 050 6 1, 142 1, 000 6 28, 437 14, 311 1, ((SO 1, 136 1 , 070 Usually partti me5 adjusted 1, 202 1, 253 1 , 289 1, 539 1 252 , 262 561 ill! !():; ) r( ' j . 231 22! I I , II'.MI li their wives. ersons lost 37.5 hours a week; those on part-time for cmv between 37.5 hours and actual number of hours il mmapTiciiRiiral employment (p. 13), which includes perot at wo rk for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, ites. NOTE.—See note and also footnote 2. p. 10. Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Insured unemployment under State programs averaged 1.9 million in April, 89,000 more than in April 1962. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1961 n ) i | | 1 , , i 1 i i i , 1 , i , 1 , i , 1 i •IAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY , , , JUNE 1 r 1 1 JULY 1 f , AUS. . I . . I SEPT. 1 1 , , . OCT. SOURCE : DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1 i , , 1,,,' NOV. ' ' ,1 " DEC. COUNCIL DF ECONOMIC ADVISERS A 11 progranIS Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1962: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1963: Jan _ __ Feb Mar.. _ Apr2 Week ended: _ . Sta te progra ms Insured Total Insurec unemunem- benefits Insured ploymen t as perCovered ploypaid of covered unemInitial Exhaus- cent (milemploy- ment emplo yment tions ployclaims (weekly lions of ment ment Unad- Seasonaverdoladjusted ally age) i lars) ' justed Per sent Weekly jiverage, t lousands Thou sands 50 2, 509 6. 4 44, 412 3, 269 4, 209. 2 370 4. 4 33 1, 682 2, 099 2, 803. 0 45, 728 281 31 4. 8 ... 46, 334 2, 067 3, 022. 7 1, 906 331 46 2, 994 4, 358. 2 2, 290 5. 6 46, 264 350 3, 145. 2 32 4. 4 1, 783 302 47, 150 1, 946 39 2, 702 381. 0 5. 5 46, 542 2, 218 273 4.4 297. 9 39 4. 5 3. 9 2, 216 1, 831 267 _ _ 47, 372 33 254. 3 1, 570 3. 9 3. 8 250 47, 821 1, 840 4-0 215. 4 3.6 48, 442 1, 667 30 1, 469 258 4.3 205. 2 28 3. 8 1, 699 1, 543 319 26 3.6 218. 9 1, 469 1, 628 261 4.4 25 3. 3 1, 497 181. 1 1, 331 235 4-4 4.6 25 198. 9 3. 4 1, 539 1, 385 275 26 4. 0 4. 8 215. 5 1, 625 314 1, 780 236. 5 4.8 28 422 5. 1 2, 223 2, 063 4.8 2, 591 35 6. 3 373. 0 447 2, 778 4.7 36 6. 2 2, 726 339. 6 2, 546 325 36 5. 6 343. 0 272 2,465 2, 298 _ _ 4.4 4. 1 37 4. 7 1, 920 2, 070 295. 0 273 2, 188 1903: Apr 6 13 20 27 May 4 11 __ .._ 2, 121 2, 101 2,014 1,927 2,032 1,968 1, 911 1, 830 1,746 ' Im'Uult^ i''e<lvn\S and Slntc prosr ims for tern porary extension of ben sfits trom Jinn 1 lO.'iH through June 1062, exp iration date of program. 1 1'rfllinitnury. 12 300 282 257 261 256 247 Benefi ts paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 3, 512. 7 2, 279. 0 2, 726. 7 3, 422. 7 2, 675. 4 310. 2 239. 6 215. 0 188. 9 187.0 197. 4 160. 6 176. 6 193. 6 214. 2 342. 4 313. 3 316. 4 275. 0 30. 58 30. 41 32. 87 33. 80 34. 56 34. 98 34. 52 34. 04 34. 20 34.01 34. 29 34. 42 34. 69 34. 95 35. 11 35. 52 35. 70 35. 80 35. 60 4. 9 4. 8 4. 7 4. 5 4. 2 Nc)TE. — For de finitions anc coverage, *e the !9«« Supplement to Economic Indie alms. Data for Alaska a nd Hawaii i ncluded for s 11 periods an d for Puerto Eico since Januai•y 1961. Source: Department of Labor. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, rose by 276,000 in April. manufacturing and construction. MILL IONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKE R S * 60 MILL IONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKE RS* 20 ALL NONA 3RICULTURAL ESTABLISHM ENTS MANUFACT URING ie 58 56 54 16 -3? _S*~~~ J^ ^s*~—^^ ..TO HAL ^^ LZ_^ ^ < 12 "- _^* > 10 N ^ n.int.mimmn»mim ^ ! 1 1 t ,,,,,, 1 1 1 1 1 1 I960 i , i i i i 1 1 11 , , 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 ij --'- i i t 1 I i t i t I960 1963 1962 1961 —-«— -.»._. "" NONDURABLE - GOODS INDUSTRI ES 8 50 "•"•« 1 DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES •—^ 52 48 Gains were particularly larse in Mf* I 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 , XT «^« .„„.» i t ir r 1 i ii t i 1 1 1 rI 11 I I1 I 1 1 1963 1962 1961 12.5 4.0 WHOLESA LE AND RETA L TRADE CONTRACT CONSTRUCTI ON (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) 3.5 12.0 3.0 11.5 s "V^ ,^~^ ^ ^-^ ^ 11.0 2.5 2.0 •1 ' ' ' ' 1 t I 1 ' ' 1960 i i' > t ' ' '' ' ' 1961 I iii ii 1962 t . i i i i i i i t ^. 1963 10.5 ,1,1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 t r l 1 , 1 ,, t 1 1 J960 1 ! 1 I t 1961 [ i i . i t ' i iiL 1963 t I 11 1 1 1962 X SE ASONALLY ADJUS TED DATA. SOUB CE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. tODNC It &• ECONOMIC ADVI SEBS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted] Manufac turing (]private) Period 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 19622 1962: MarApr__ MayJune July _. Au !>;_.. S<>]>tOct Nov !>(>(•_ 100.",: .l:ui. . I'V1> . Mar*. Apr2 Total 52, 408 52, 904 51, 423 53, 380 54, 347 54, 077 55, 325 54, 901 55, 260 55, 403 55, 535 55, 617 5 , 536 5 , 583 5 , 647 5 , 597 5 , 580 5 , 530 5 , 730 5 , 953 5 , 229 Total 17, 243 17, 174 15, 945 16, 667 16, 762 16, 267 16, 750 16, 682 16, 848 16, 891 16, 923 16, 908 16, 795 16, 805 16, 781 1(1, ! i < ) 5 16, OS1 I d , 032 16, 065 Id, 702 10, 92X NonDurable durable goods goods 9, 834 9, 856 8, 830 9, 369 9, 441 9, 042 9, 443 9, 385 9,490 9, 544 9, 555 9, 552 9, 461 9, 486 9, 470 9. 413 9, 4 1 8 9, .'{99 9, -123 9, -173 9, 91 7, 409 7, 319 7, 116 7, 298 7, 321 7, 225 7,308 7, 297 7, 358 7, 347 7, 368 7,356 7, 7, 7, 7, , 334 319 311 282 203 " ' *!>!i ,' 2-12 ' 2S9 . 337 1\ onmanu faeturinj ; (private) Total 27, 887 28, 104 27, 585 28, 523 29, 065 28, 983 29, 390 29, 146 29, 324 29, 385 29, 415 29, 526 29, 537 29, 504 29, 527 29. 518 29, 470 29, '170 29, ( l i d 29, 710 29, SO!', Con- Transtract portation Mining conand struc- public tion utilities 822 2, 999 4, 244 828 2, 923 4, 241 751 2, 778 3, 976 731 2, 955 4, 010 709 2, 882 4, 017 666 2, 760 3, 923 647 2, 696 3, 925 654 2, 648 3, 927 656 2, 734 3, 935 659 2, 716 3, 936 652 2, 671 3, 934 648 2, 738 3, 913 646 2, 731 3, 932 641 2, 715 3, 928 638 2, 716 3, 935 636 2, 696 3, 918 625 2, 654 3, 921 623 2, 651 3. 836 625 2, 0-16 3, 913 025 2, 035 3, 914 030 2, 719 3, 918 1 Includes nil full- and p:irt.-Umc \v;it:o .'111(1 salnry \vorKrrs in n o n u i r r i c n l t . u n i l establishments who worked d u r i n g or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonapricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they Cover nment Whole- Finance, insur- Service sale State and ance, and and and miscel- Federal local retail real laneous trade estate 10, 858 10, 886 10, 750 11, 125 11, 412 11, 368 11, 571 11, 460 11, 546 11, 596 11, 621 11, 652 11, 627 11, 612 11, 594 11, 600 11,573 11, 037 11, 679 11, 756 11, 767 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 429 477 519 597 684 748 793 776 2, 778 2, 786 2, 788 2, 2, 2, 2, 792 796 799 813 2 822 2, 821 2, 828 2, 836 2,845 2, 847 6, 6, 6, 7, 536 749 811 105 7, 361 7, 516 7,757 7, 681 7, 675 7, 692 7, 749 7, 783 7, 805 7, 809 7, 831 7, 846 7, 876 7, 895 7,917 7,935 7,922 2, 209 2, 217 2, 191 2, 233 2, 270 2,279 2, 341 2, 322 2, 325 2, 343 2, 366 2, 375 2, 374 2, 369 2, 371 2, 381 2, 391 2, 379 2,356 2,363 2,356 5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 069 409 702 957 250 548 844 751 763 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 038 055 093 118 1-12 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 7, 784 831 808 830 905 968 003 are not at, work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an ennmeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based un report-; from employing establishments. " Preliminary. NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor, 13 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek of production workers in manufacturing declined slightly in April to 40.3 hours (seasonally adjusted). HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 RETAIL TRADE 42 38 32 IT) i i i i I i I960 1963 ! i ' ' I960' SOURCE'. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Average hours per week; ' seasonally adjusted] Mar ufacturing Indus tries Period 1952 1953 . 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 19622 1962: Mar Apr__ _. Mav June . _ July- Durable goods .. .. . Au» Sept Oct Nov Dee 1 (Ki.'i: Jan I'Vb Miir 2= Apr _._ __ 40. 7 40. 5 39. 6 40. 7 40. 4 39. 8 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 8 40. 4 40. 5 40. 8 40. 6 40. 5 40. 5 40. 2 40. 5 40. 1 40. 4 40. 3 40. 2 40. 3 40. 4 40. 3 rrh-itc in product ion workers or nonsupervisory employees. Beginning i m r l m i r A h i s k u nnd Hawaii. 11 i r i i i r y. 14 41. 5 41. 2 40. 1 41. 3 41. 0 40. 3 39. 5 40. 7 40. 1 40. 2 40. 9 41. 0 41. 3 41. 1 41. 0 41. 0 40. 9 41. 0 40. 7 41. 1 41. 1 40. 7 41. 0 41. 0 40. 9 Nondurable goods Contract construction 39. 7 39. 6 39.0 39. 9 39. 6 39. 2 38. 8 39. 7 39. 2 39. 3 39. 7 39. 9 40. 2 40. 1 40. 0 39. 8 39. 4 39. 7 39. 3 39. 4 39. 6 39. 4 39. 5 39. 8 39. 6 Source: Department of Labor. 38. 9 37.9 37.2 37. 1 37. 5 37. 0 36. 8 37. 0 36. 7 36. 9 37. 0 37. 3 36. 6 37. 5 36. 7 37. 4 37. 3 37. 7 37. 2 37. 3 35. 4 36. 5 36. 6 37. 5 Retail trade 40. 5 39. 8 39. 7 39. 6 39. 1 38. 7 38.7 38. 7 38.5 38. 1 37. 9 38. 0 37. 8 38. 0 37. 9 37. 9 37. 9 38. 0 37. 8 37. 9 38. 0 37. 8 37.9 37. 8 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing rose by 1 cent to $2.45 in April. earnings, however, declined by 33 cents to $97.76. Average weekly DOLLARS 120 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 110 DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES VvW A LL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES so t »* NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 1.80 1962 I960 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Avera ge hourly earnings-— current prices Period Manufj icturing i ndustries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable structrade AD goods tion goods 1953 $1. 74 1954 1. 78 1955. _ 1. 86 1956-.. .. 1. 95 1957, 2. 05 1958-.. ... 2. 11 2. 19 19591960-_ ... 2. 26 2. 32 19611962 s _ _ ... 2. 39 1962: M a r _ _ 2. 38 2. 39 Apr May-- 2. 39 June-- 2. 39 July.. 2. 39 2. 37 Aug.. Sept- 2. 40 Oct_2. 40 Nov- 2. 41 Dec__ 2. 43 1963: Jan.. 2. 43 2. 43 Feb.. Mar 3 2. 44 Apr * 2. 45 $1. 86 1. 90 1. 99 2. 08 2. 19 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 49 2. 57 2. 56 2. 56 2. 56 2. 56 2. 56 2. 54 2. 57 2. 57 2. 59 2. 61 2. 60 2. 61 2. 61 2. 62 $1. 58 1. 62 1. 67 1. 77 1. 85 1. 91 1. 98 2. 05 2. 11 2. 17 2. 16 2. 16 2. 17 2. 17 2. 17 2. 16 2. 17 2. 17 2. 19 2. 19 2. 20 2. 20 2. 21 2. 21 $2. 28 2. 39 2. 45 2. 57 2. 71 2. 82 2. 93 3. 07 3. 19 3. 29 3. 27 3. 27 3. 24 3. 23 3. 27 3. 28 3. 33 3.32 3. 33 3. 39 3. 39 3. 38 3.36 Aver age weekl y earningsi— currem prices Manufz icturing iiidustries Contract conNonDurable durable strucAll goods tion goods $1. 25 $70. 47 1. 29 70. 49 1. 34 75. 70 1. 40 78. 78 1. 47 81. 59 1. 52 82. 71 1.57 88. 26 1. 62 89. 72 1. 68 92. 34 1. 75 96. 56 1. 73 95. 91 1. 74 96. 56 1. 75 96. 80 1. 75 97. 27 1. 75 96. 80 1. 75 95. 75 1. 76 97. 68 1.77 96.72 1. 77 97. 36 1. 75 98. 42 1. 79 97. 44 1. 78 97. 20 1. 78 98. 09 97. 76 1 Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and interindustry shifts. 3 Earnings in current prices divided by tbeconsumer price index on a 1962 base. 1 Preliminary. $76. 63 76. 19 82. 19 85. 28 88. 26 89. 27 96. 05 97. 44 100. 10 105. 11 104. 45 105. 22 105. 22 105. 47 104. 45 103. 89 105. 88 105. 37 106. 19 107. 53 105. 82 106. 23 106. 49 106. 63 $62. 57 63. 18 66. 63 70. 09 72. 52 74. 11 78. 61 80. 36 82. 92 86. 15 85. 32 85. 54 86. 37 87. 02 86. 80 86. 18 86. 80 85. 72 86. 72 86. 94 86. 24 86. 24 87. 07 86. 19 $86. 41 88. 91 90. 90 96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108. 41 112. 67 117. 71 121. 73 118. 05 120. 01 123. 44 121. 45 125. 57 127. 26 128. 21 126. 82 120. 88 117. 97 120. 01 117. 29 121. 97 Retail trade $49. 75 51. 21 53. 06 54. 74 56. 89 58.82 60. 76 62. 37 64. 01 66. 33 65. 39 65. 42 65. 98 66. 85 67. 38 67. 55 66. 88 66. 55 66. 38 66. 85 67. 30 66. 93 66. 93 Manufac turing indus ries Adjusted Average weekly earnings, earn1957-59= ings, 1962 100 i prices 2 81. 6 $79. 72 84. 3 79. 38 86. 9 85. 54 91. 5 87. 73 96. 2 87. 73 100. 2 86. 61 103. 6 91. 65 107. 0 91. 74 110. 0 93. 37 112. 6 96. 56 112. 2 96. 30 112. 2 96. 75 112. 2 96. 99 112. 2 97. 37 112. 7 96. 70 112. 7 95. 65 112. 7 97. 00 113. 2 96. 14 113. 7 96. 78 114. 1 98. 03 114. 1 96. 86 114. 6 96. 52 114. 6 97. 31 NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) increased 11/^ percent in April. is 4 percent. INDEX, 1957-59 « 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 The gain since April 1962 INDEX, I957-59=IOO (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) ISO TOTAL ISO 110 80 I960 I 1961 I9S2 J963 140 90 80 80 1960 1962. 1961 : COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 91. 3 . . 1962'__ 1902: Feb Mar Apr__ May. June July __ All).;. _ Si-pi ( )<:(, N ov __ l)<-0._. I9C.:!: .Inn I'Vh Mar A p r '__ . _ _ _ -. . _ _ 85. 8 96.6 99. 9 100. 7 93.7 105. 6 108. 7 109. 8 118. 2 116. 0 117.0 117.7 118. 4 118. 6 119. 3 119. 7 119. 8 119. 2 119.6 119. I 118. 9 119. 5 120. 6 122. 4 Ma rket Fi nal produ sts Industry M anufactur ng Total 92. 7 86. 3 97. 3 100. 2 100. 8 93. 2 106. 0 108. 9 109. 7 118. 6 116. 3 117. 4 118. 1 118. 8 118. 9 119. 7 120.3 120. 4 119. 7 120.0 119. 7 119. 4 119. 8 121. 1 122. 9 NonDurable durable Mining Utilities 83.6 83.6 91. 6 95. 4 96. 7 92. 9 90. 2 66. 8 71.8 80. 2 87. 9 93.9 98. 1 99. 9 88. 4 101. 9 104. 0 104. 0 90.3 105. 6 108. 5 107.0 117.9 115. 4 116. 5 118. 5 118. 2 117.7 118. 7 119. 8 119. 5 118. 6 119. 1 118. 9 118. 5 119. 4 120.8 123. 2 96.8 106. 5 109. 5 112. 9 119.4 117. 3 118. 6 117. 5 119. 6 120. 3 121. 0 120. 8 121. 5 120. 9 121. 1 120. 6 120. 4 120. 4 121. 5 122. 5 99. 2 104. 8 104. 6 95.6 99.7 101. 6 102. 6 104,9 104. 3 104. 8 105. 5 104. 8 104 6 106. 1 105. 5 105. 9 105. 5 106. 2 103. 0 103. 0 105. 1 104. 5 106. 6 108. 0 115. 6 122. 8 132. 3 129.0 128. 8 128. 1 129. 8 132. 4 133. 5 132. 3 133. 0 133. 5 135. 1 135. 5 135. 5 137. 2 137. 0 138. 0 Total 89. 9 85. 7 93. 9 98. 1 99. 4 94.8 105. 7 109. 9 111. 3 119.7 116.8 118. 2 118. 5 120. 2 120. 6 121. 7 121. 6 122. 0 121. 5 121. 4 121. 4 122. 0 122. 5 122. 6 123. 0 Con- sumer goods 85. 0 84. 3 93.3 95. 5 97. 0 96.4 106. 6 111. 0 112. 7 119.7 117.3 118.8 119. 1 121. 1 120. 9 121. 7 120. 9 121. 8 120. 8 120. 7 120. 5 121. 8 122. 7 123. 1 123. 6 Equipment 100. 5 88. 9 95. 0 103.7 104. 6 91.3 104. 1 107. 6 108. 3 119.8 115. 0 116. 1 117. 0 118. 5 120. 1 121. 8 123. 2 123. 2 123. G 123. 1 123. 2 121. 2 121. 6 121. 1 121. 7 Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 Materials 92.9 85. 6 99. 0 101. 6 101. 9 92.7 105. 4 107.6 108.4 116.8 115. 5 116.9 117. 1 117. 0 117. 1 117. 0 117. 7 118. 1 117. 2 117. 8 117. 1 116. 5 117. 5 119. 1 121. 9 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Output of most manufactures continued to increase in April. registered the largest increase with a rise of 8 percent. Among the major groups, primary metals again INDEX, t957-59»IOO (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) INDEX, 1957-59 = IOO (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) ISO 140 \ . U* LUMBER **j AMD PRODUCTS . .. i I . i . . . I I960 1961 I96Z I , ,, . , 1963 1962 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. 1363 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufsictures Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 _ 1958... -. 1959 1960 1961 1962 '__ 1962: Feb 112. 5 . _ _ - ... ... .. ... ... _ ... Mar Apr__ _ — May Junc_ July Aug Sept Oct Nov. Dec 1963: Jan Fcb Mar Apr' 1 Primary metals Preliminary. .. .. ^_ . _. 101. 3 98. 9 104. 5 117. 5 116. 6 101. 3 ._ . _ ._ ... _. .. 112. 2 87. 5 100. 4 112. 4 .. __ — _, .. .. 91. 3 118. 4 116. 4 96. 8 96. 6 99. 1 99. 6 98. 9 100. 7 99.7 99. 5 105. 2 111. 4 120 No ndurable manufactu res FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Machin- tation cated and apparel, metal ery equipprodand products ment ucts leather 100. 3 90. 2 98. 3 98. 8 101. 5 92. 9 105. 5 107. 6 106. 5 117. 1 111. 9 113. 6 116. 3 117. 4 118. 5 118. 8 119. 9 119. 3 117. 8 118. 5 117. 118. 118. 119. 121 2 4 5 3 100. 5 87.7 96. 5 107. 1 104. 2 88. 8 107. 1 110. 8 110. 4 123. 4 117. 5 120. 2 122. 9 124 5 125. 9 125. 4 126. 5 126.4 125. 6 125. 3 125. 9 125. 9 127.1 126. 8 128 91. 7 83. 8 102. 0 97. 4 106. 4 89. 5 104. 0 108. 2 103. 6 118. 3 113. 4 113. 4 116. 119. 116. 122. 8 4 8 1 122. 0 121. 5 121. 8 121. 5 121. 9 122. 1 121. 8 122. 3 124 102. 4 99. 6 109. 5 105. 4 95. 9 95. 6 108. 5 102. 1 101. 3 106. 0 109. 2 107. 9 106. 4 107. 1 107. 5 103. 4 107. 4 108. 3 101.5 106. 1 108.7 105. 2 107. 3 112. 7 ~ - 90. 7 86. 9 95.5 98.0 96. 9 95. 0 108. 1 107. 5 108. 4 114,9 113. 6 114. 8 114. 8 115. 2 115.8 115. 5 115. 2 116.7 115. 7 115. 5 115. 2 115. 2 115. 5 115. 8 116 Paper and printing Chemicals, petroleum, and rubber 82. 6 85. 0 92. 5 75. 2 74. 7 112. 4 95. 6 95. 5 108. 9 113. 9 118.8 130. 6 125.8 126. 7 97. 1 97. 8 97. 0 105. 2 109. 0 116. 7 116. 2 116. 9 115. 7 117. 0 116. 7 118. 0 118. 1 118. 2 117. 2 117. 9 115. 4 114. 5 115. 2 115. 4 119 86. 8 91. 4 126. 6 130. 8 132. 6 133. 2 133. 2 133.7 134. 2 133. 7 133.9 133. 5 133.6 135. 5 137 Source: Board ol Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Foods, beverages, and tobacco 88. 2 89. 8 93. 1 96. 6 96. 7 99. 4 103. 9 106. 6 110. 4 113.0 111. 7 113. 5 112. 1 112. 8 112. 5 114 2 113. 8 114 7 113. 5 114. 1 114. -1 114. 7 11-1 0 ] 1 5. •) 1 15 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION In April, steel outpuf continued to rise with an increase of nearly 10 percent. and bituminous coal mined also rose. MILLIONS OF TONS Cars assembled, freight carloadings, MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) EO.O 18.0 'SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDfSON E L E C T R I C I N S T I T U T E , AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE R E P O R T S . Period Weekly average: 1956.. 1957 1958 . 1959 1960 1961 1962. . _ _ 1962: Mar Apr May June July Aug_. _ _ _ . Sept_ Oct . Nov_Dec . 1963: Jan Feb Mar_2 _^ Apr Week ended: 1963: Mar 30 Apr 6 . 13 20 27 2 May 4 2_ II 1 Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Car s and triicks Steel pr oduced power coal mined loaded produced assemb Led (thoiisands) Index distributed (thousands (thousands Thousands (thousands of net (1957-59 = (millions of of short Total Cars Truck s of cars) of tons) tons 100) kilowatMiours) tons) * 2,204 2, 162 1, 635 1, 792 1, 899 1,880 1, 886 2, 389 2, 153 1, 701 1, 560 1,397 1, 602 1,694 1, 756 1, 829 1, 828 1, 894 2, 056 2, 275 2, 494 118.3 116. 0 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 100. 9 101. 2 128. 2 115. 6 91. 3 83. 7 75. 0 86. 0 90. 9 94. 3 98. 2 98. 1 101. 7 110. 3 122. 1 133. 9 11, 292 11, 873 32,082 13, 297 14, 424 15, 139 16, 325 15, 998 15, 388 15, 699 16, 254 16, 396 16, 994 16, 324 16, 176 16, 442 17, 252 17, 792 17, 550 16, 824 16, 357 2,387 2, 413 2, 464 2, 521 2, 548 2, 544 2, 548 128. 1 129. 5 132. 3 135. 3 136. 8 136. 6 136. 8 16, 425 16, 418 16, 325 16, 191 16, 495 16, 279 3 16, 529 Daily aveniee. Includes data for Alaska. 'Preliminary. * Not charted. 18 COUNCIL brtCONOMir ADVKK3 1,693 1, 644 1,380 1,380 1,390 1, 353 1,417 1, 348 1, 412 1,398 1, 455 1, 296 1,447 1, 427 1, 496 1,506 1, 328 1, 418 1, 421 1, 282 1, 497 728 683 581 596 585 550 552 548 562 574 589 511 576 568 608 551 477 482 516 532 560 276 273 274 307 306 322 343 362 347 354 359 293 364 338 360 340 307 305 353 364 354 132.8 138.6 98. 4 129. 5 151. 8 127.9 157. 5 161. 3 172. 3 171. 9 158. 8 158. 9 65. 6 138. 9 185. 9 184. 1 181. 3 173. 5 178. 7 184. 4 186. 0 111. 6 117. 6 81. 6 107.6 128. 8 106. 1 133. 4 136. 9 147. 1 146. 9 132. 9 135. 8 48. 2 117. 6 158. 6 158. 3 155. 0 147. 0 149. 2 154. 4 157. 2 21.2 21. 0 16. 8 21. 9 23. 0 21. 8 24. 1 24. 4 25. 2 25. 1 25.8 23. 1 17. 4 21. 3 27. 3 25. 8 26. 3 26. 5 29. 5 30. 0 28. 8 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 559 546 556 561 577 591 369 368 355 329 364 358 189.7 190. 6 180.6 187. 4 1 85. 4 19-1. 5 200. 5 159. 3 160. 0 152. 5 159. 6 1 5(1. 2 ](>3. 7 30. 4 30. 0 28. 0 27. 8 29. 2 30. 8 31. 3 468 410 500 501 511 483 169. 2 Sources: American Iron Mini Steel Institute, lOdison KMetric InsuiuU 1 , J)epnrl,ment of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reporta NEW CONSTRUCTION In April, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) were maintained at about the March level. increase in private residential construction was offset by a fall in public construction. An EilLLIONS OF DOLL »RS BILL IONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALL f ADJUSTE D ANNUAL RATES TOTAI 60 \~ CONS TRUCTION NFff \ \ *>^ • ^^S 60 — —^ -"I • 50 • . PR X __,-^S!.« 4O - *"*" •< X 40 30 - - PUBLIC- 20 (f 20 %vs > «^ ••Itw,** ..-'*"" o1 i t f i i 1 I 1 l t i 1i r I r I i i i i i 1 ii il i T ! 1 ,L 1 1 1 i1 1 J T1 I ! t 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 T 1 1 1 1 11 I 1 1 1 ,1 0 30 PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONTARM] X"11"1"""'*./""""""""p*X ""•-..„.«,„, """•'•I,!'"™ 20 ir-—• „.«•"• ^ •" nJ auudtamanpOTimmiiii!™'..m"»"' i Oi > ' i i t i1 19 58 1957 _ ^ .11 OTHER PRIVATE | — 1 1 1 t 1 1 1 1 ! ! I ! T T t I 1 I f ! ! 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1962 1963 1961 19 60 1959 1 1 I 1 1 ! 1 ! ! ! 1 * SEE NOTE 3 IN TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMME RCE. COUNCH. rr vate Period Total new eons trueexpenditures 1958-1959- — 1959 (new series)3 1960 1961 1962.. 49. 0 54. 1 56. 6 55. 6 57. 4 61. 1 Resi dential noiif arm Total 33. 5 38. 0 40. 3 39. 6 40. 4 43. 4 Total ' 18. 0 22. 3 25. 0 22. 5 22. 5 24. 8 New housing units CommerAdditions cial and and al- industrial terations Billions of dollars 13. 6 3. 9 17. 1 4. 4 19. 2 5. 0 16. 4 5. 2 16. 2 5. 1 18. 3 5. 3 6. 0 6. 0 6. 0 7.0 7.4 7.8 Other 9. 5 9. 7 9. 3 10. 0 10. 4 10. 8 Federal, State, and local 1 2 57.7 58. 3 60. 8 62. 7 62. 1 62. 8 62. 4 63. 5 62. 6 61. 8 62. 9 60. 4 61. 1 61. 0 40. 6 41. 7 43. 5 44. 8 44. 9 45. 2 45. 0 43. 8 44. 1 44. 1 43. 4 42. 3 42. 3 43. 3 22. 5 23. 5 25. 0 26. 1 26. 0 26. 0 25. 8 25. 0 25. 4 25. 7 24. 8 23. 9 23. 8 24. 8 16. 3 17. 3 18. 5 19. 3 19. 2 19. 2 19. 0 18. 5 18. 7 19. 0 18. 2 17. 2 17. 3 18.4 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction, not shown separately. Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation and relates to 48 States. * In addition to major differences between old and new series, data for Alaska and Hawaii are included beginning January 1959. 5.0 5.0 5. 3 5. 6 5. 5 5. 4 5. 5 5. 2 5. 5 5.4 5. 4 5. 4 5. 2 5. 1 7.4 7.6 7. 6 7. 8 8. 1 8. 2 8. 1 7. 9 7.8 7.8 7. 9 7. 7 7. 7 7.7 sts Construetiori contracts 2 CommerTotal value cial and (index, industrial 1957-59 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 101. 7 105. 1 105. 1 105. 2 107.6 119.7 Seasonally adjusted 10. 6 10. 7 10. 8 10. 9 10. 8 11. 1 11. 0 10.9 10. 8 10.7 10. 7 10. 7 10. 8 10. 8 < ** 0 OF ECONOMIC ABV1S 15. 5 16. 1 16. 2 16. 0 17.0 17.7 Sea soreo.% adjiisled annua I rates 1962: Mar Apr _ _ __ May_ June July Aug Sept . Oct Nov Dec _ 1963: Jan Feb Mar 4 Apr 20 ., 1 17. 2 16. 5 17.3 17.8 17.2 17.6 17. 4 19. 7 18. 6 17. 7 19. 5 18. 0 18. 8 17.7 4 Preliminary. Sources; Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge 131 121 117 120 117 118 113 117 123 138 121 130 118 359 440 440 461 443 500 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 542 490 545 516 478 512 479 499 500 510 539 r><>4 467 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING In April, private housing starts rose 7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.6 million units while the number of new units authorized dropped 2 percent. FHA applications increased while VA appraisal requests dropped. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 2.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, ANNUAL RATES 2.0 2.0 1957 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES-. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), VETERANS ADMINISTRATION [Thousands of units] Hou sing star ts Period Total private Total and private public (includ(including ing farm) farm) * * I962 Total Onefamily 1, 093. 9 992. 8 1, 141. 5 1, 342. 8 1, 1956 1957 1958 1959 1959 1 000 10(11 Priv ate nonfa rm 1, 553. 5 1, 296. 0 1, 365. 0 1, 482. 0 3 I9C.2- Mar Apr.. May. June _ Julv Am;... S-pt... 1 Irl \,,v IV,- ion:;- .IMII I'VIr' M.-ir' Apr' 117. 2 151. 6 156. 6 139. 5 139.3 147. 116. 136. 121. 9-1. 9 3 4 9 5 s:i. 3 S7. 0 12(1. 7 1 .r>H. '1 May = 11, 20 r * 980. 7 840. 2 932. 5 078. 5 * 1, 516. 8 1, 494. 6 1, 211. 7 1, 252. 1 1, 230. 1 972. 3 1, 313. 0 1, 284. 8 946. 4 1, 452. 6 1, 429. 0 965. 2 115. 4 147. 0 154. 2 136. 2 135. 8 146. 1 113. 6 133. 5 120. 3 93. 5 80. 6 86. 5 123. 2 155. 0 113. 8 144. 9 152. 7 133. 7 133. 9 143. 0 111. 0 129. 7 119. 2 92. 5 79. 5 85. 0 121. 5 152. 8 78. 0 98. 9 105. 7 93. 4 93. 3 97. 9 73. 4 87. 0 77. 2 54.7 46. 2 51. 4 Two or more families 113. 2 152. 6 209. 0 264. 3 * Total private (including farm) Total 1, 093. 9 992. 8 1, 141. 5 1, 342. 8 * 282. 257. 338. 463. Propose>d home constr uction New private housing Applica- Requests Gover nment units tions for for VA FHA appraishome p rograms authorized1 commitals 2 ments 2 FHA VA 921. 9 183. 4 270. 7 401. 5 197. 7 820. 3 150. 1 128. 3 198. S 159. 4 270. 3 102. 1 950. 8 341. 7 234. 2 307. 0 109. 3 1, 081. 1 234, 0 369. 7 Priv ate nonf arm * 9 1, 516. 8 1, 494. 6 307. 0 109. 3 4 1, 252. 1 1, 230. 1 225. 7 74. 6 6 1, 313. 0 1, 284. 8 198. 8 83. 3 5 1, 452. 6 1, 429. 0 197. 3 77.8 Se,isonally adjusted 1, 431 35. 8 1, 407 214 87 1, 542 46. 0 1, 521 228 94 1, 579 47. 0 1, 566 204 87 40. 2 1, 399 189 1, 425 77 40. 6 1, 466 1,447 205 74 1, 529 1, 500 72 45. 0 190 37. 6 1, 289 70 1, 261 178 42. 6 173 70 1,550 1, 504 42. 0 72 1, 586 1, 571 183 1, 472 37. 8 1, 453 176 75 33. 3 172 74 1, 242 1, 220 33. 5 164 78 1, 280 1, 255 172 73 1, 521 1, 497 1,605 1, 627 176 83 ,s /(/r/.v, C 20-11 (Supplement, Bureau of the Census, l building permit. r applications for new home construction, 3 * 1, 208. 3 369. 7 997. 6 242. 4 1, 064. 2 236. 2 221. 1 1, 179. 0 annual ra tes 1, 147 246 1,224 240 1, 124 229 216 1, 133 221 1, 155 1, 119 195 1, 169 191 1, 170 207 207 1, 261 199 1, 313 1, 277 203 197 1, 228 197 1, 229 1, 204 251 234. 142. 177. 171. 0 9 8 2 208 167 172 147 184 148 158 176 168 172 161 150 152 119 Preliminary. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii are included in all VA and FHA series, and Census series beginning with the new series in 1959. Sources: Department oi Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and Veterans Administration (VA). TRADE SALES AND INVENTORIES In March, retail sales were almost 1/2 percent above the February level, and sales of wholesalers were almost the same as in February. Retail inventories rose sharply while at the wholesale level there was a small drop. Preliminary data indicate retail sales in April dropped 1 percent and were about at the December 1962 level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* RETAIL TRADE WHOLESALE TRADE DURABLE GOODS STORES INVENTORIES 12 10 8 i ll ll t I L.I..I J 11 Ll ! 1 1 ! ! i I T i 1..1..I. t.. I...>..!_!..1.1. l...l.1_..Ll-t_I.J_L-t. t 1 1 1 1 1 INDEX.I957-59MOO* NONDURABLE GOODS STORES INVENTORIES l£ 10 .7 1962 I960 1961 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Who esale Period Sales l Inventories 2 Sales ' 3 Total Re tail Departm snt stores I nventories 2 NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Billions o f dollars, seasonally adjusted 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962'' 1962: Feb Mar Apr 1963: _ _ _ _ Mav June__ _ _ _ Julv _ _ Auc Sept. _ -__ Oct_ ___ . _ _ . Nov _ Dec _ Jan 7 Feb Mar' Apr'__ . 10. 62 11. 27 11. 27 11. 09 12. 29 12. 33 12. 56 13. 06 12. 73 12. 76 13. 06 13. 38 13. 13 13. 35 13. 16 13. 48 13. 27 13. 42 13. 47 13. 18 13. 69 13.71 1 Monthly average for year and tota< for month. 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 11. 44 12. 95 12. 71 11. 99 12. 65 13. 21 13. 48 13.97 13. 62 13. 70 13.70 13. 78 13. 89 13. 97 13. 88 13. 95 14. 03 .13. 86 13. 97 14. 05 13. 96 13.89 15. 32 15. 81 16. 67 16. 70 17. 95 18. 29 18. 23 19. 61 19. 03 19. 33 19.67 19. 51 19. 16 19. 76 19. 64 19. 69 19. 82 20. 23 20. 20 20. 25 20. 35 20. 42 20. 18 Be^innine January 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. *6 Daily average. End of period, except annual data, which are montnly averages. 5. 58 5. 48 5. 70 5. 28 5. 97 5. 89 5. 61 6. 24 5. 98 6. 18 6.33 6. 17 6. 03 6. 38 6. 13 6. 12 6. 48 6. 52 6. 45 6. 48 6. 58 6. 64 6. 57 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 9. 74 10. 33 10. 97 11. 41 11. 98 12. 40 12. 63 13. 37 13.05 13. 15 13.34 13. 34 13. 13 13. 38 13. 52 13. 57 13. 34 13. 71 13. 75 13.77 13. 77 13. 79 13. 60 22. 77 23. 43 24. 57 24. 29 25. 54 27. 18 26. 86 27. 43 26. 90 26. 78 26.87 26. 94 27. 08 27. 18 27. 05 27. 24 27. 40 27. 49 27. 43 27. 54 27. 59 27. 73 10. 53 10. 53 11. 41 10. 71 11. 27 12. 33 11. 52 11. 73 11. 48 11.38 11. 43 11. 42 11. 45 11. 59 11. 51 11. 66 11.76 11. 83 11. 73 11. 72 11. 78 11. 80 12. 24 12. 90 13. 16 13.58 14. 27 14.85 15. 34 15. 70 15. 42 15. 40 15. 44 15. 52 15. 62 15. 59 15. 54 15.58 15. 64 15. 66 15. 70 15. 82 15. 81 15. 93 Sales * Inventories 6 Index, 195 7-59=100, seasonally adjusted" 88 85 94 94 96 99 99 98 105 103 106 109 109 110 114 117 111 115 117 116 113 115 115 117 111 118 114 119 115 118 117 118 120 110 118 1 18 117 1 17 113 120 114 119 119 120 110 o Based on retail value. 'Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 21 MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' sales (seasonally adjusted) rose Vk percent to a record level in March. Inventories rose for the fourth straight month. New orders for total durable goods rose slightly, but orders for machinery and equipment declined. Preliminary data indicate total durable goods new orders increased 4 percent and machinery and equipment orders 5 percent in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* MANUFACTURERS' SALES MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 60 TOTAL 30 60 20 NONDURABLE GOODS " DURABLE GOODS 10 DURABLE GOODS \ MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS 30 NONDURABLE GOODS NONDURABLE GOODS «,,»•«»** DURABLE GOODS 1963 1963 I960 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manu 'acturers' sales 1 Manufac ,urers' inv entories 2 J Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs -p . Total 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962< _ 1962: Feb Mar. Apr May June_ July ... Aug. Sept Get No • ! )e 1 '.Ml",: Jin < . . . I'VI * Mi • * . Ap '•'.. 26. 34 27. 71 28. 38 26. 23 29. 74 30. 41 30. 73 33. 26 32. 85 33. 22 33. 48 33. 50 32. 33. 33. 33. 33. 33. 33. 33. 96 40 29 68 48 86 36 1 1! 3-1. oo 3-1. 27 NonDurable durable goods goods 13. 08 13. 80 14. 16 12. 38 14. 51 14. 68 14. 54 16. 20 15. 95 16. 33 16. 40 16. 40 15. 89 16. 33 16. 35 16. 34 16. 34 16. 46 16. 18 16. 01 16. 54 16. 60 17. 0-1 13. 26 13. 91 14. 22 13. 85 15. 23 15. 73 16. 18 17. 06 16. 89 16. 89 17. 08 17. 10 17. 08 17. 08 16. 17. 17. 17. 93 34 14 41 17. 17 17. 13 17. 55 17. 67 Total NonDurable durable goods goods Billions of dollars seasonal] y 46. 36 26. 66 19. 70 52. 30 30. 66 21. 64 22. 37 53. 52 31. 15 27. 82 21. 36 49. 18 52. 43 22. 34 30. 08 22. 88 53. 74 30. 86 55. 20 31. 47 23. 72 32. 69 57. 40 24. 71 56. 18 32. 19 23. 99 56. 57 32. 41 24. 16 32. 47 56. 69 24. 22 32. 58 56. 81 24. 23 56. 91 32. 58 24. 34 57. 00 32. 63 24. 37 32. 69 56. 97 24. 28 57. 19 32. 74 24 44 32.76 57.27 24. 51 57. 19 32. 66 24. 53 57. 40 32. 69 24. 71 32. 73 57. 48 24. 76 57. 69 32. 87 24. 82 57. 84 32. 88 24. 96 I n v t ' i i l o r !<•:: In :tv»-ni!'c monthly nl ol i n o n l t i lo Milt-s iui month. Durah le goods Total adjuste<I 27. 17 28. 32 27. 26 25. 90 30. 13 29. 90 30. 96 33. 05 33. 08 32. 95 32. 73 33. 07 32. 43 33. 26 32. 83 33. 23 33. 82 33. 76 ?3. 04 33. 90 34. 59 34. 79 Total 13. 85 14. 44 13. 08 12. 04 14. 85 14. 24 14. 74 16. 02 16. 19 16. 00 15. 73 15. 97 15. 44 16. 27 15. 91 15. 89 16. 57 16. 34 16. 02 16. 71 17. 09 17. 19 17. 86 * Preliminary. * Not charted. Source: Department of Commerce. NonMachinery durable and goods equipment 4. 4. 4. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 20 74 36 92 95 95 24 64 71 59 47 13. 32 13. 88 14. 17 5. 62 5. 71 5. 60 5. 69 5. 62 5. 85 5. 74 5. 75 5.89 5. 79 16. 99 16. 98 16. 92 17. 34 5. 60 6. 06 13. 86 15. 28 15. 66 16. 23 17. 04 16. 89 16. 95 17. 00 17. 10 17. 25 17. 42 17.02 17. 19 17.50 17.60 Manufacturers' inventorysales ratio 3 1. 68 1. 79 1. 89 1. 93 1. 72 1. 79 1. 75 1. 70 1. 71 1. 70 1. 69 1. 70 1. 73 1. 71 1. 71 1. 70 1.71 1. 69 1. 72 1.73 1. 69 1. 69 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS Following settlement of the East Coast dock strike in January, exports were exceptionally high in February and March, producing monthly trade surpluses (seasonally adjusted) in excess of $500 million. BLL10NS OF DOLLARS B I L L I O N S OF D O L L A R S 2.5 12.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED GENERAL IMPORTS 1963 -" SEE NOTE I BE LOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS f Millions of dollars] M erchandi se exports Period Total ( including ree?•ports)1 Season- Unadally ad- justed justed Monthly average : 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959^ _ . 1960 1961 1962 1962: Peb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1963: Jan Feb Mar 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 191 445 626 364 367 634 679 742 1, 812 1, 674 1, 803 1, 782 1, 838 1, 729 1, 687 1,943 1,493 1,695 1, 839 1, 713 1, 783 1, 803 1, 891 1, 898 1, 620 1, 633 1, 710 1, 583 1,791 1, 864 2, 131 1, 991 2, 021 2, 058 988 960 162 1, 180 351 1,432 216 441 530 208 1, 611 198 368 1, 351 1, 352 210 366 1, 617 230 510 1, 659 254 486 1, 719 281 440 U nadjust ed 1, 692 284 420 1, 761 299 423 1, 780 285 417 342 1,865 450 1, 876 318 468 420 1, 602 259 1, 613 263 420 1, 691 265 465 1, 562 412 246 267 1,765 476 491 1, 839 289 942 1, 997 2, 032 140 328 347 234 522 495 667 775 872 784 776 877 919 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 998 1, 1, 1, 1, 988 038 078 073 090 923 930 962 904 1, 022 1, 058 567 1, 147 1, 190 1 Total exports less Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 2 imports for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses. 3 Imports for immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from bonded warehouses. Merchandise trade Impc>rts for consum ption Indus- Finished surplus, trial manu- seasonTotal Foodally adstuffs matefacjusted tures rials M erchandi se imports Gener al 2i ni] Domest c expor ts poi ts Indus- Finished FoodmanuSeasontrial Total ' stuffs mateally ad- Unadfacrials tures ' justed justed 1, 315 1, 339 1,364 1, 386 1, 342 1, 862 1, 364 1,476 1, 319 1, 432 1, 372 1,093 1, 493 1,484 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 958 064 105 105 302 251 226 366 223 381 333 452 348 337 356 342 439 452 366 117 390 463 3 954 260 477 521 1,056 267 1, 102 274 534 4 489 1, 101 288 1, 284 569 285 274 539 1, 251 277 522 1, 221 1, 355 298 561 U nadjust ed 519 1, 208 263 584 1, 364 293 288 553 1, 325 1, 411 315 585 1, 320 271 558 283 558 1,330 284 580 1, 368 544 1,345 297 322 1, 424 541 1, 470 345 585 329 1, 336 527 208 518 1, 139 1, 367 323 553 1, 418 217 268 294 326 431 438 423 496 234 380 521 260 65 383 453 376 427 497 335 439 396 496 367 323 487 485 512 491 489 505 504 562 539 480 412 491 467 174 264 467 -in 637 nan 4 Total adjusted to exclude $33.5 million of the value reported by economic category. NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted series revised Ixsginning 19fil. "Bomuw of re visions being made in series, subgroups do not necessarily inelnde all d u l u in t o t a l * ' . Source: Department of Commerce. oo U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES A fall in imports of goods and services in the first quarter of 1963 raised the surplus on goods and services to $4.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES I96I COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Millions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates) Expo rts of goo ds and sei vices Impo rts of goo ds and se "vices Period 15)54 1955 1 95(i 1057 1958 1 959 _ _ .. I960 19(11 19(12 19(11*: T H III IV I9I121: I II 111 IV i '.in:;* • i - Total Merchandise ' 17, 759 19, 804 23, 595 26, 481 23, 067 23, 476 27,013 28, 066 29, 814 28, 176 27, 156 28, 016 28, 916 28, 864 30, 668 30, 316 29, 408 29, 400 12, 799 14, 280 17, 379 19, 390 16, 264 16, 282 19, 459 19, 915 20, 566 20, 200 19, 040 19, 936 20, 484 20, 140 21, 260 21, 112 19, 752 19, 900 Military sales 182 200 161 375 300 302 335 406 638 352 448 408 416 452 756 568 776 vestnlents Other services Private Government 272 1, 955 2, 551 274 2, 170 2, 880 2, 468 194 3, 393 205 2, 612 3, 899 2, 538 307 3, 658 2, 694 349 3, 849 2, 873 349 3, 997 379 3, 303 4, 063 471 4, 428 3, 711 3, 320 376 3, 928 3, 128 480 4, 060 3,396 280 3, 996 3, 368 380 4, 268 3, 580 436 4, 256 3, 680 564 4, 408 3, 700 436 4, 500 3, 884 448 4, 548 customs d:ita for differences in timing and coverage. 24 Total Merchandise ' 15, 931 17, 795 19, 628 20, 752 20, 861 23, 342 23, 188 22, 923 24, 999 21, 920 22, 020 23, 568 24, 184 24, 504 24, 924 25, 232 25, 336 24, 800 10, 354 11, 527 12, 804 13, 291 12, 952 15, 310 14, 723 14, 514 16, 193 13, 552 13, 620 15, 304 15, 580 15, 824 16, 140 16, 564 16, 244 16, 000 •Data revised beginning 1961. Source: Department of Commerce. Balance Military Other on goods and expend- services services itures 2,642 2,901 2, 949 3, 216 3,435 3, 107 3,048 2,947 3,006 3, 080 3, 024 2, 796 2, 888 3, 008 2, 984 2, 920 3, 112 2,935 3, 367 3, 875 4,245 4, 474 4,925 5,417 5, 462 5, 800 5, 288 5, 376 5, 468 5, 716 5, 672 5, 800 5, 748 5,980 1, 828 2,009 3,967 5,729 2, 206 134 3, 825 5, 143 4, 815 6, 256 5, 136 4, 448 4, 732 4, 360 5, 744 5, 084 4, 072 4, 600 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS Despite a rise in the surplus on goods and services, the over-all payments deficit rose slightly in the first quarter of 1963 to $3.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 1 20 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 10 BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES 7 -ro BALANCE ON OTHER TRANSACTIONS ; i i I I t I i i OVER-ALL B« LANCE [SURPLUS C R DEFICIT (-)] - is -10 t t UUULJ tiuJLJu u u y y u i 1 1957 1 1958 1 t i 1959 i i i i t I960 Uy ! 1 1961 LJ^^a i i 1962 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period 1956 1957 1958 Direct investments Longterm portfolio Shortterm 2,206 134 3, 825 5, 143 4,815 1961:* I II III— IV -404 — 1, 812 6, 256 - 3, 520 - 1, 764 5, 136 -116 -1, 336 -908 - 1, 692 4, 448 -3, 796 - 1, 504 -868 — 792 4, 732 -3, 676 - 1, 296 -1, 844 -], 592 1963:* !.__ - Unrecorded transactions 653 -603 543 -517 -859 487 1, 157 — 276 22 488 -311 — 1, 181 — 1, 444 -1,372 863 412 -926 -77 335 -592 -1, 694 -850 -1,338 — 1, 475 -1,006 -1, 472 733 -628 -1,377 -1,207 975 -1,000 -467 Season ally adjuf ted annvuil rates 1959 1960 1961--1962 6 _ _ _ 1962:* I II III— . IV Foreign capital ' 3, 967 — 2, 362 -1, 951 5, 729 -2,574 -2, 442 4, 360 5, 744 5, 084 4,072 -2,587 -1, 986 -2, 769 -2, 777 -2,996 -3, 732 i i -10 1963 -784 -1, 312 -1, 164 -3, 460 — 2, 024 -1, 240 204 - 1, 804 -1, 396 — 740 - 632 -2, 988 - 1, 304 - 1, 536 — 276 Over- all balanc 3 (surplus or deficit (-)) Liquid 1labilities 3 Gold To monand con- etary Total vertible author- To other Total * curities foreign and holders s rencies institutions * 1 241 -935 -935 306 — 278 520 520 798 -3, 529 -3, 529 -2,275 — I , 254 -3, 743 -3,743 -731 -3, 012 -3, 925 -3, 925 -1, 702 -1, 862 -361 -2, 360 -2, 360 -742 -542 -1,076 -2, 181 -2, 181 -907 -1,071 -203 Quai•terly tota Is, unadju sted 792 -628 - 1, 872 -331 72 1, 004 -1, 240 64 652 - 2, 648 — 912 16 1, 120 - 1, 296 -4, 984 -1, 189 1, 160 -60 164 -376 620 -1, 744 1, 956 -1, 820 4, 600 iz Other than liquid funds. Equals changes in U.S. gold and convertible currencies and liquid liabilities to foreigners. Remittances and pensions, not shown separately in this table, are3 Included in over-all balance and amounted to $924 million in 1062. Minus indicates increase in liabilities. * To International Monetary Fund (IMF) and foreign central banks and governments. « To foreign commercial banks and other international and regional institutions not listed In footnote 4, and other foreigners. t COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. [Millions of dollars] U.S. pr ivate cap]tal, net Government goods grants and and services capital, net i y -346 330 -270 -456 -69 307 -417 -363 -370 416 -506 — 601 -700 -25 380 784 452 108 -473 -324 -693 -691 -189 207 -550 -375 -3, 300 — 672 '-78 -2, — 1, — 1, — 3, . 84 -565 — 225 458 64 -380 i >94 Preliminary. ; Total at end of first quarter was $16,078 million, of which $15,946 million was U.S. gold stock. The decline in gold stock during quarter was $111 million. 'Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1961. NOTE.—Data exclude military aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. Source: Department of Commerce. «_ PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Consumer piices lose slightly in March as a fall in commodity prices was more than offset by a rise in service prices. INDEX, 1957-59 = 100 115 HO 110 .-*""' --"T ! 105 105 100 100 95 95 1963 1957 S O U R C E : D E P A R T M E N T OF L A B O R . COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS All items Period 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1962: Feb _ Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1 903 : Jan Fcb Mar i _ _ - _ e: Department of Labor. 26 .. 92. 5 93. 2 93. 6 93. 3 94. 7 98. 0 100. 7 101. 5 103. 1 104. 2 105. 4 104. 8 105. 0 105. 2 105. 2 105. 3 105. 5 105. 5 106. 1 106. 0 106. 0 105. 8 106. 0 106. 1 106. 2 [1957-59=100] Services Co mmoditie 3 Comrr odities le.5s food Services All All comRent Food less Non- services modities All Durable durable rent 96. 7 96. 4 95. 4 94. 4 95. 3 98. 4 100. 7 101. 0 101. 7 102. 4 103. 2 102. 7 102. 8 103. 1 103. 0 103. 1 103. 1 103. 2 104. 1 104. 0 103. 9 103. 6 103. 6 103. 8 103.7 97. 1 95. 6 95. 4 94. 0 94. 7 97. 8 101. 9 100. 3 101. 4 102. 6 103. 6 103. 1 103. 2 103. 4 103. 2 103. 5 103. 8 103. 8 104. S 104. 3 104. 1 103. 5 104. 7 105. 0 104. 6 96. 7 96. 8 95. 6 94. 6 95. 9 98. 9 99. 8 101. 3 101. 8 102. 1 102. S 102. 2 102. 4 102. 8 102. 6 102. 6 102. 5 102. 6 103. 4 103. 6 103. 5 103. 4 102. 6 102. 7 102. 9 102. 7 101. 6 97. 7 94 9 94. 9 98. 2 99. 7 102. 0 100. 7 100. 5 101. 5 100. 8 100. 9 101. 4 101. 5 101. 6 101. 5 101. 7 101. 6 102. 0 102. 2 101. 7 100. 4 100. 6 100. 8 93. 2 94. 0 94. 4 94, 4 96. 5 99. 1 99. 8 101. 0 102. 6 103. 2 103. S 103. 3 103. 5 103. 8 103. 5 103. 4 103. 3 103. 2 104. 6 104 6 104. 4 104. 6 104. 0 104. 1 104. 2 84. 0 87. 5 89. 8 91. 4 93. 4 97. 0 100. 3 102. 7 105. 6 107. 6 109. 5 108. 9 109. 0 109. 2 109. 4 109. 5 109. 8 109. 9 109. S 109. 8 110. 0 110. 1 110. 5 110. 5 110. 8 85. 7 90. 3 93. 5 94. 8 96. 5 98. 3 100. 1 101. 6 103. 1 104. 4 105. 7 105. 2 105. 3 105. 4 105. 5 105. 6 105. 7 105. 8 105. 9 106. 1 106.2 106. 2 106. 3 106. 4 106. 4 83. 8 87. 0 89. 1 90. 8 92. 8 96. 7 100. 3 102. 9 106. 1 108. 3 110. 2 109. 5 109. 6 109. 8 110. 1 110. 2 110. 5 110. 6 110. 5 110. 5 110. 6 110. 8 111. 2 111. '2 111. 6 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices fell in April for the third straight month. The entire decrease came in industrials. INDEX 1957-59-100 INDEX, 1957-59 -100 115 115 'FARM PRODUCTS 110 110 — 11 1 * 1 1 1 105 105 r PROCESSED / / \\.,_ X AL L COMMODITIES \ /'S(9'' .-/ \ / / 95 / \ «i S«g-<N, ^4^^^-»ISi SLX—^-^ . COMMOOI TIES OTHER THAN FA PRC DUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS) _A r^>^s,^ I^^S^ ^ •'"\ LfZ?****^ 'N^^^V*^ \ '''•nj? OODS RM '*" * tX \ * V\ "" ! "\ / V \\ iA"A \i 'N / Vr\ V 00 V1 \ \ 95 90 90 i i i I i 1 i i i i i f . i , i 1 i i i t i 1958 1957 i ! 1959 1 11,1 11111, i , , , , , , , , , , , . I960 1961 1962 SOURC £'. DEPARTMENT OF Li BOR. May June __ _ July Aug _ Sept^__ Oct Nov Dec . . 1963: Jan Feb Mar Apr 3 4 Week ended: 1963: May 7 14 ! , 1 1 1 1 . 1 1 1963 All commodities _ _ 93. 2 96. 2 99. 0 100. 4 100. 6 100. 7 100. 3 100. 6 100. 7 100. 7 100. 4 100. 2 100. 0 100. 4 100. 5 101. 2 100. 6 100. 7 100. 4 100. 5 100. 2 99. 9 99. 8 99. 8 100. 0 [1957-59=1001 Commodi ies other t han farm • products aiid foods (iiidustri.als) Consurner finIndusIndusFarm Procished g aods extrial in- Productrial All inprodessed er fincludin g food dustricrude termediucts foods Durmate- ate ma-2 Nonals ' goods terials rials able durable 94. 3 92. 4 97. 9 92. 5 92. 8 96. 6 85. 6 95. 8 94. 3 92. 0 96. 6 96. 5 102. 3 97. 0 95. 9 97. 7 99. 2 97. 9 99. 2 99. 6 98. 7 100. 9 97. 7 99. 9 102. 9 103. 6 99. 5 99. 4 100. 1 96. 9 100. 2 99. 3 102. 1 97. 2 99. 2 101. 3 102. 3 101. 0 101. 3 100. 8 96. 9 100. 0 102. 3 100. 9 101. 3 98. 3 101. 4 101. 5 96. 0 100. 7 102. 5 100. 8 97. 2 100. 1 100. 5 101. 5 97. 7 99. 9 102. 9 101. 2 100. 8 95. 6 100. 0 101. 6 98. 2 101. 8 100. 8 99. 9 102. 8 100. 1 98. 2 101. 8 102. 8 98. 4 101. 6 100. 8 97. 1 100. 0 100. 0 101. 3 96. 9 100. 2 100. 3 102. 9 99. 9 100. 9 95. 8 101. 6 96. 2 99. 6 100. 9 100. 2 100. 0 95. 3 102. 9 101. 5 95. 3 99. 8 100. 7 100. 1 102. 8 100. 0 94. 4 101. 4 96. 5 100. 8 94. 4 100. 0 100. 2 100. 8 103. 0 101. 5 97. 6 101. 5 100. 6 100. 1 94. 8 99. 8 103. 0 101. 4 100. 6 102. 9 103. 3 100. 8 99. 8 100. 1 95. 1 101. 7 98. 7 99. 9 101. 5 100. 7 94. 8 99. 7 102. 8 101. 8 99. 3 100. 7 94. 6 99. 6 102. 9 100. 0 101. 3 101. 7 97. 3 100. 9 100. 7 94. 8 99. 5 103. 0 99. 9 101. 8 98. 5 100. 8 100. 7 94. 7 103. 0 99. 5 99. 8 101. 7 96. 5 100. 5 100. 6 94. 9 99. 4 103. 0 99. 8 101. 7 95. 4 99. 0 100. 6 94. 9 99. 3 102. 9 99. 7 101.8 95. 4 99. 4 100. 4 102. 9 94. 4 99. 3 99. 7 101. 7 94. 7 94. 7 99. 7 100. 7 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index. 2 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured, -animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC A DVISERS Period 1955 1956 1957-. 1958 1959 1960 1961 1 902 3 1962: Feb Mar Apr 1 100. 5 100. 5 3 Preliminary. * Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Between March 1 5 and April 1 5, the index of prices received by farmers increased 1 percent, with the most important increases being for oranges and beef cattle. The index of prices paid was unchanged and the parity ratio rose 1 point to 78. INDEX, 1957-59-100 INDEX, 1957-59 = 100 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) 80 i i i . i i t . i l . RATIO I* 100 PARITY RATIO 80 I i iI 70 1961 1958 1962 -^RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED, TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES AMD WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14 * 100 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. NGIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices •eceived by farmers Period 1953 1954 __ 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962. 1962: Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 June 15 July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 Oot 15 Nov 15 Dec 15. 1963: Jan 15 Feb 15-.. Mar 15 Apr 15_- All farm products Crops 105 _._ 102 96 95 97 104 99 98 99 100 101 100 100 99 99 - 101 . --. _ _ _ 103 101 101 100 101 100 99 100 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates, on 1910-14=100 base. 28 108 108 104 105 101 100 99 99 101 104 105 106 109 106 104 103 104 101 102 100 102 104 107 110 Price 3 paid by fa rmers Livestock and products All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Index, 195 7-59 = 100 104 95 97 95 90 94 88 95 94 98 106 100 102 100 98 102 97 103 99 105 99 104 95 105 94 105 94 104 104 96 104 99 103 105 101 105 102 105 106 100 106 100 97 106 94 106 106 93 Family living items 94 94 94 96 99 100 101 101 102 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 104 104 104 104 Source: Department of Agriculture. Production items 97 97 96 95 98 101 101 101 101 Parity ratio ' 92 89 84 83 82 85 81 80 79 103 80 103 103 103 102 80 79 79 78 79 80 81 80 80 78 78 78 77 78 102 102 103 103 103 104 104 104 104 104 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY In April, the money supply rose $0.5 billion and time deposits $0.8 billion on a seasonally adjusted basis. BILL ONS OF DOLLARS BSLL50N3 OF DOLl-ARS AVERAGES OF 3AILY FIGURES, SEASO MALLY ADJUSTED 160 ISO MONEY SUPPLY — ^MHMB ~~ ^"1 *— —— r—"—"**" —~ — - ,'-* TIME D iPOSITS AT ALL COMM IRCIAL BANKS +* 80 \ ,- 80 ..-"•*"* .-—' n r1 < 0 1961 I960 1959 1958 1957 SOUR CE: BOARD OF GOVERNC RS Of THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUN CIL OF ECONOMIC AOV ISERS. [Averages of daily figures, billic)ns of dollars] M oney supr)ly M oney supf Period Total 1956: 1957: 1958: 1959: 1960: 1961: 1962: 1962: Deo Deo Dec_ Dec Dec Dec Dec May June July Aug.. Sept Oct Nov Dec 1963: Jan _ Feb Mar ^ _ ___ Apr 2 First half Second half 1 _ - _ - - - _ _ 2 Deposits at all commercial banks. 'Preliminary. 136. 9 135. 9 141. 2 142.0 141. 2 145. 7 147. 9 145. 7 145. 6 345. 7 145. 1 145. 3 146. 1 146. 9 147. 9 14S. 7 148. 6 148. 9 149. 4 149. 5 149. 3 Currency outside banks 1963 1962 Demand deposits Time deposits ' Seasonallif adjustec 28. 2 108. 7 107. 5 28. 3 112. 6 28. 6 28.9 113. 2 112. 2 28. 9 29. 6 116. 1 30. 6 117. 3 30. 0 115. 7 30. 1 115. 4 30. 2 115. 5 30. 2 114. 9 30. 2 115. 1 30. 3 115. 8 30. 5 116. 4 117. 3 30. 6 118. 1 30. 7 117. 7 30. 9 31. 1 117. 8 31. 2 118. 2 31. 3 118. 3 31. 1 118. 1 52. 1 57. 5 65. 5 67. 4 72.7 82. 5 97. 5 89. 6 90. 7 91. 8 92. 5 93. 4 94. 6 96. 0 97. 5 99. 1 100. 3 101. 8 102. 6 102. 4 102. 8 Total 140. 3 139. 3 144. 7 145. 6 144. 7 149. 4 151. 6 143. 6 144. 0 144. 3 143. 8 145. 0 146. 5 148. 2 151. 6 151. 8 148. 3 147.4 149. 5 148. 9 150.2 Currency outside banks ly Demand deposits Unad justed 111. 5 28. 8 no. 4 28. 9 29. 2 115. 5 29. 5 116. 1 29. 6 115. 2 30. 2 119. 2 31. 2 120. 4 29. 8 113. 8 30. 0 113. 9 114. 0 30. 3 30. 3 113. 5 114. 6 30. 3 116. 1 30. 4 117. 5 30. 8 31. 2 120. 4 30. 5 121. 3 117. 8 30. 5 116. 7 30. 7 118. 6 30. 9 117. 7 31. 1 119. 5 30. 7 Time deposits ' 51. 4 56. 7 64. 6 66. 6 72. 1 81. 8 96. 6 89. 9 91. 1 92. 2 93. 0 93. 8 94. 9 95. 4 96. 6 98. 4 99. 9 101. 7 102.9 102. 7 103.0 U.S. Government demand deposits ' 3. 4 3.5 3.9 4.9 4. 7 4. 9 5.6 7.0 7.2 7. 1 6.8 7.2 7. 3 6.0 5. 6 4. 8 5. 0 5. 9 4. 2 4. 5 3. 9 NOTE.—See note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Kescrve System. 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC In April, total selected liquid assets, seasonally adjusted, rose by $3.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH TOTAL SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS 400 SAVING TYPE 300 ASSETS 4 ' DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY -BASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. fBillions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Total selected liquid assets End of period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 3 1962 . .. 1962: Mar _ Apr May June . July.... Aug .. . Sept. Oct. Nov 3 Dec ]!><>:{ • Jan 33 Feb 3 Mar Apr3 332. 5 343. 2 356. 0 373. 1 393. 9 399. 2 424. 6 459. 2 435. 3 438. 2 439. 6 442. 9 444. 2 447. 9 449. 1 453. 4 456. 9 459. 2 462. 7 464. 7 466. 7 469. 7 Demand deposits and currency ' 133. 3 134. 6 133. 5 138. 8 139. 7 138. 4 142. 6 144. 8 142. 2 143. 4 142. 8 142. 3 142. 2 141. 3 142. 5 143. 8 143. 4 144.8 144. 4 144. 5 145. 0 145. 2 Time d eposits Commercial banks 30 28. 1 30. 0 31. 0 33. 9 34. 9 36. 2 38. 3 41. 4 39. 0 39. 2 39. 3 39. 7 40. 0 40. 2 40. 6 40. 9 41. 2 41. 4 41. 7 41. 9 42. 2 42. 5 49. 7 52. 0 57. 5 65. 4 67. 4 73. 1 82. 5 98. 1 87. 8 88. 6 89. 7 91. 2 91. 7 92. 7 93. 9 95. 2 96. 9 98. 1 100. 1 101. 2 102. 2 102. 9 1 with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction oi demand I mil savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data ( month. •s of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic comi s;iv!ns r s hanks, Federal Reserve Banks, and beginning and loan associations. Mutual savings banks 3 Postal Savings System 1. 9 1. 6 1. 3 1. 1 .9 .8 .6 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 Savings and loan shares 32. 0 37. 0 41.7 47. 7 54. 3 61. 8 70. 5 80. 0 72. 8 73. 4 74. 0 74. 8 75. 4 76. 3 77. 4 78. 2 79. 2 80.0 81. 0 82. 2 83. 4 84. 2 ernment U.S. Gov- securities ernment maturing savings2 within bonds 55. 9 54. 8 51. 6 50. 5 47. 9 47. 0 47. 4 47. 6 47. 4 47. 4 47. 4 47. 4 47. 5 47. 5 47.5 47. 5 47. 5 47. 6 47. 8 47. 9 47. 9 48. 0 Preliminary. NOTE.—See note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31. 6 33. 2 38. 8 35. 6 48. 8 41. 9 42. 6 46. 8 45. 5 45. 6 45. 7 46. 9 46. 8 49. 2 46. 6 47. 2 48. 2 46.8 47. 1 46. 5 45.5 46. 3 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans declined $600 million, seasonally adjusted, in April. BILLIONS OF D O L L A R S * BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*- 250 250 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS BANK LOANS INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES _.__-J—X INVESTMENTS IN 1957 OTHER SECURITIES I I 1958 1959 -* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE 'SYSTEM. I960 END OF MONTH All eomiTj ercial banks (s easonally adjusted da ta) End of period 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960-__ _ 1961 5 1962 1962: Mar Apr May ___ June _ July Aug Sept . Oct 5 5 Nov 5 Dec ,-, _ _ 1983: J a n5s F e b _5 ~ _ _ _ Mar Apr 5 Total Investr aents Loans, loans excluding and inter- U.S. Gov- Other investsecuriernment bank ments ties securities 161. 6 166. 4 181. 0 185. 7 194. 5 209. 6 227. 6 215. 2 215. 0 216. 4 220. 3 217.8 220. 3 222. 0 224. 4 225. 8 227. 6 228. 8 232. 2 234. 9 232. 6 88. 0 91. 4 95. 6 107. 8 114. 2 121. 1 134. 8 123. 8 124. 5 124. 8 126. 6 126. 1 127. 3 129. 7 131. 7 132. 3 134. 8 134. 9 137. 0 138. 0 137. 4 Billions of dollars 57. 3 16. 3 57. 0 17. 9 64. 9 20. 5 57. 6 20. 4 59. 6 20. 7 64, 7 23. 8 63. S 29. 0 66. 1 25. 3 64. 6 25. 9 65. 5 26. 1 66. 6 27. 1 64. 1 27. 6 65. 0 28. 0 64. 3 28. 0 64. 1 28. 6 64. 4 29. 1 63. 8 29.0 64. 3 29. 6 65. 1 30. 1 66. 4 30. 5 64. 0 31. 2 1 Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 2 Commercial and industrial loans and prior to 1956 agricultural loans. Series revised beginning October 1955, July 1958, July 1959, and April 1961. 3 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. Prior to 1955, relates to 344 centers outside New York City. * Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. !)S'203°—03 3 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS' Weekly reporting member banks ' Business loans 2 Bank debits outside New York City (343 centers) , seasonally adjusted annual3 rates A 11 member banks l * Total reserves Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions o : dollars 30. 8 31. 8 31. 7 30. 7 32. 2 2 32. 9 35. 2 33. 0 32. 8 32. 9 33. 4 33. 0 33. 4 34. 1 34. 3 34. 7 35. 2 34. 3 34. 6 35. 2 35. 0 2 2 7, 383 1, 468 1, 481 1, 656 1, 736 1, 88S S, 021 1, 985 S,044 2, 015 2, 000 S, 055 2, 017 1, 988 2, 081 S, 091 S, 067 2, 149 S, 086 2, 095 S, SOI 19, 535 19, 420 18, 899 18, 932 19, 283 20, 118 20, 040 19, 550 19, 723 19, 823 19, 924 20, 043 19, 924 20, 034 20, 205 19, 604 20, 040 20, 035 19, 581 19, 516 19, 574 652 577 516 482 756 568 572 473 510 503 491 529 566 455 484 592 572 483 472 426 434 688 710 557 906 87 14'J 304 91 69 63 100 89 127 80 65 119 304 99 172 155 121 -36 -133 -41 -424 669 419 268 382 441 440 391 440 439 375 419 473 268 3S4 300 271 3 13 * Preliminary. NOTE.—Between January and August 1959, series for all commercial banks expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Duta for nil member banks include Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1954 and 1959, ruspoctiveh . Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT In March, total consumer credit outstanding rose about $60 million, compared to a rise of $1 80 million in March 1962. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED \ INSTALMENT CREDIT oL —I REPAID 1 I T 1957 J958 1959 1960 1 ' SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE.SYSTEM. Instalment Total 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959. .. 1900 1961 .. 1962 .. 1962: Feb Mar Apr M ay Jun_ Jul Aug Hep Oct N'ov Drc 1903- Jan I'VI> Mar . 31, 393 32, 464 38, 830 42, 334 44, 970 45, 129 51, 542 56, 028 57, 678 63, 458 56, 093 56, 275 57, 314 58, 318 59, 108 59, 364 60, 003 60, 126 60, 626 61, 473 03, 458 62, 740 62, 219 . .. 62, 276 Total » 23, 005 23, 568 28, 906 31, 720 33, 867 33, 642 39, 245 42, 832 43, 527 48, 243 43, 074 43, 211 43, 837 44, 495 45, 208 45, 650 46, 204 46, 310 46, 722 47, 274 48, 243 48, 130 48, 025 48, 190 AutomoPersonal bile paper loans 9, 835 4, 781 5, 392 9, 809 6, 112 13, 460 14, 420 6, 789 7, 582 15, 340 14, 152 8, 116 9, 386 16, 420 17, 688 10, 480 11, 256 17, 223 19, 384 12, 714 11, 264 17, 191 17, 348 11, 343 17, 671 11, 540 18, 032 11, 696 11, 872 18, 410 11, 990 18, 680 12, 187 18, 933 12, 291 18, 881 12, 364 19, 083 12, 479 19, 307 19, 384 - 12, 714 19, 426 12, 735 12, 790 19, 503 12, 864 19, 720 'Also inchidos other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown srimnitHy. 3 Consists of s i n r l c - j m y m c n t loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 1 Knd of period, u r m < i j u > I ( - d . 32 t i ! i - A^L.A-.^.L-J- ' '....'..' '—I 0 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (Millions of dollars] Consumer credit outstandin g (end of Y- eriod; ireadjusted Period i 1i i ' 1962 1961 Noninstalment 2 8, 388 8, 896 9, 924 10, 614 11, 103 11, 487 12, 297 13, 196 14, 151 15, 215 13, 019 13, 064 13, 477 13, 823 13, 900 13, 714 13, 799 13, 816 13, 904 14, 199 15, 215 14, 610 14, 194 14, 086 Consum er instalme nt credit e s tended and r spaid (seasonally adjt sted) Automob ile paper To tal Extended 31, 558 31, 051 38, 972 39, 868 42, 016 40, 119 48, 052 49, 560 48, 396 55, 395 4, 356 4, 499 4, 659 4, 650 4, 623 4, 669 4, 619 4, 491 4, 682 4, 961 4, 829 4, 878 4, 885 4, 940 Repaid 27, 956 30, 488 33, 634 37, 054 39, 868 40, 344 42, 603 45, 972 47, 700 50, 679 4, 084 4, 121 4, 166 4, 211 4, 202 4, 283 4, 261 4, 289 4, 298 4, 380 4, 371 4, 370 4,449 4, 540 Extended 12, 981 11, 807 16, 734 15, 515 16, 465 14, 226 17, 779 17, 654 16, 007 19, 515 1, 546 1, 582 1, 675 1, 655 1, 621 1, 631 1, 602 1, 505 1, 685 1, 797 1, 684 1, 743 1, 734 1, 782 Repaid 10, 879 11, 833 13, 082 14, 555 15, 545 15, 415 15, 579 16, 384 16, 472 17, 354 1, 390 1, 415 1, 435 Mortgage debt outstanding, nonfarm 1- to 4houses3 66, 100 75, 700 88, 200 99, 000 107, 600 117,700 130, 900 141, 300 153, 000 168, 400 155, 700 1, 447 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 433 456 446 440 491 490 513 504 517 550 159, 900 164, 200 168, 400 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES The yield on 3-month Treasury bills changed little in April and early May. although FHA mortgage yields continued to decline. Most bond yields rose somewhat, PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER A N N U M COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC Period 1956 . . 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1962: Mar Apr. May June July . _- Aug . .. Sept Oct. Nov... Dec 1963: Jan Feb Mar Apr. Week ended: 1963: Apr 6_. 13.. 20.. 27. _ May 4__ 11-. 18__ 1 3 4 [Percent per annum] U.S. Govt;rnment secu "ity yields High-grade municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable 3 Treasury 2 (Standard & bonds issues bills i Poor's) * 2. 658 3. 12 3. 08 2. 93 3. 267 3. 62 3. 47 3. 60 1. 839 3. 43 2. 90 3. 56 3. 405 4. 08 4. 33 3. 95 2. 928 4. 02 3. 99 3. 73 2. 378 3. 60 3. 90 3. 46 2. 778 3.95 3. 57 3. 18 2. 719 3. 55 4. 01 3. 19 2. 735 3. 48 3. 89 3. 08 2. 694 3. 88 3. 53 3. 09 2. 719 3. 90 3. 51 3. 24 2. 945 4. 02 3. 71 3. 30 2. 837 3. 57 3. 98 3. 31 2. 792 3. 56 3. 94 3. 18 2. 751 3. 46 3. 89 3. 03 2. 803 3. 87 3. 46 3. 03 2. 856 3. 44 3. 87 3. 12 2. 914 3. 47 3. 89 3. 12 2. 916 3. 48 3. 92 3. 18 2. 897 3. 50 3. 93 3. 11 2. 909 3. 97 3. 56 3. 11 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 922 913 917 884 898 905 903 2 3. 53 3. 54 3. 59 3. 59 3. 56 3. 54 3. 95 3. 96 3. 99 3. 98 3. 98 3. 97 Kate on new issues within period, Selected note and bond issues. Series includes: Apri! 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. Weekly data are Wednesday figures, * Data for first of the month; based on the maximum permissible interest rate (5H% since May 1961) and 25-year mortgages paid in 12 years. 3.08 3. 11 3. 13 3. 13 3. 13 3. 12 Corpora be bonds (Moo dy's) Aaa Baa 3. 36 3. 89 3. 79 4. 38 4. 41 4. 35 4. 33 4. 39 4. 33 4. 28 4. 28 4. 34 4. 35 4. 32 4. 28 4. 25 4. 24 4. 21 4. 19 4. 19 4. 21 3. 88 4. 71 4. 73 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4, 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 20 20 21 22 22 22 5. 05 5. 19 5. 08 5. 02 5. 04 5. 02 5. 00 5. 02 5. 05 5. 06 5. 03 4. 99 4. 96 4. 92 4. 91 4. 89 4. 88 4. 87 87 87 87 87 87 4.86 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 3. 31 3. 81 2. 46 3. 97 3. 85 2. 97 3. 26 3. 25 3. 20 3. 16 3. 25 3. 36 3. 30 3. 34 3. 27 3. 23 3. 29 3. 34 3. 25 3. 34 3. 32 ADVISERS FHA new home mortgage yields 5 4. 79 5. 42 5. 49 5. 71 6. 18 5. 81 5. 62 5.70 5. 68 5. 65 5. 61 5. 60 5. 60 5. 58 5. 56 5. 55 5. 53 5. 53 5. 52 5. 50 5. 47 3. 38 3. 38 3. 30 3. 25 3. 25 3. 25 Sources: Treasury Department, Board o' Governors ol the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS Stock prices rose in April and early May. INDEX, 1941-43*10 INDEX, 1941-43 = 10 80 80 WEEKLY MONTHLY ''-_, s'-~ ~~fc~^ DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS V --- 1,1. I.J I..-U-J. l,l.l_-_ /-~~-\ / >—— — r' " " *"^ [ / k J "^ *"*N. i i i t r 1 i i i i u 1 ! 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1, RATIO RATIO 25 25 y. PRICE / E ARNINGS RATIO ON CC MMON STOCKS ^^*~—*-_ \ 20 ^__. \_^ K-~^ J i l l 1 1967 1 1958 1 1 ! 1959 1 1 1 1 1 I960 1 1961 1 SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S CORPORATION. Secui ities and Exchange Commiss ion price index M inufactur ng TransUtiliDuraNonportaTotal ties ble durable tion _ _ _ _ _ _ Mar Apr May.June _ July _ _ _ . _ _ _ _ _ AllL' SeptOct Nov J)cc 106:5- .Jan J'VI> Mar Apr \ V i v k ended: I'.M;:>: A p r _ _ .... 5 VI _ . I'.l 26 Miiv 3 .. . 10 fl 34 . . . _. 92. 6 89. 8 93. 2 116. 7 113. 9 134. 2 127. 1 142. 9 138. 0 128. 2 114. 3 116. 0 119. 5 117. 8 114. 3 122. 8 128. 0 132. 6 135. 0 133. 7 140. 7 I I |96a I 1 1 1963 t i ' 10 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. Composite index ' Period III! 15 ^——s " 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1962: 20 93. 2 90. 7 92. 5 116. 5 110. 9 126. 7 118. 0 133. 5 128. 2 119. 0 105. 7 106. 8 110. 4 108. 9 105. 6 114. 0 119. 1 123. 6 125. 5 124. 5 132. 0 1957-5 9=100 91. 5 94. 5 92. 8 88. 5 90. 4 94. 4 120. 8 112. 6 117. 3 104. 9 129. 2 124. 4 116. 5 119. 4 134. 0 133. 1 128. 0 128. 5 117. 4 120. 6 103. 2 108. 1 104. 4 109. 2 109. 1 111. 7 106. 2 111. 5 102. 5 108. 4 110. 7 117. 3 114. 0 123. 8 119. 2 127. 7 121. 0 129. 7 118. 7 129. 9 126. 8 136. 9 110. 6 93. 2 91. 0 115. 6 95. 8 105. 7 97. 8 107. 4 103. 1 98. 5 90. 2 90. 0 90. 6 88. 5 86. 6 97. 2 102. 3 107. 3 110. 3 109. 3 116. 3 86. 4 86. 3 95. 8 117. 6 129. 3 168. 4 167. 2 184. 2 180. 3 167. 1 151. 1 156. 6 160. 7 158. 2 154. 3 162. 0 167. 9 173. 0 177. 5 174. 5 179. 2 Standard and Poor's common stock data Price ndex 2 DiviPrice/ dend earnings Indus3 yield Total trial (percent) ratio * 1941--:.3=10 49. 80 46. 62 47. 63 44. 38 49. 36 46. 24 57. 38 61.45 59. 43 55. 85 66. 27 69. 99 62. 38 65. 54 74. 22 70. 29 71. 64 68. 05 62. 99 66. 32 58. 32 55. 63 59. 61 56. 97 61. 29 58. 52 60. 67 58. 00 56. 17 58. 66 62. 90 60. 04 62. 64 65. 59 68. 00 65. 06 65. 92 68. 91 68. 71 65. 67 72. 17 68. 76 4. 09 4. 35 3. 97 3. 23 3.47 2. 98 3. 37 2. 95 3. 05 3. 32 3. 78 3. 68 3. 57 3. 60 3. 71 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 50 40 31 27 28 15 14. 05 1 2. 89 16. 64 17. 04 17. 08 21. 18 16. 93 19. 98 15. 63 16. 09 16. 02 70. 70 3. 20 125. 5 113. 7 178. 8 67. 44 139. 2 130. 4 135. 0 71. 91 3. 16 114. 8 178. 2 68. 51 131. 7 126. 4 136. 8 1 40. 3 72. 51 117. 2 179. 0 3. 13 132. 7 127. 6 137. 5 69. 05 141. 2 73. 09 3. 10 127. 9 119. 5 180. 7 69. 60 1 42. 0 133. 3 138. 3 3. 09 73. 42 121. 1 69. 92 142. 7 133. 8 128. 6 138. 6 181. 6 73. 49 3. 10 121. 2 69. 97 131. 7 181. 7 M3. 7 135. 0 138. 1 are4 averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. urinf-', 193; transportation. 18; utilities, Ratio oi quarterly earnings (seasonally adjusted annual rate) to price index for last day in quarter. Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Standard and Poor's: Hie stocks in the i-'roun. Annual yields Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL ADMINISTRATIVE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES There was a deficit of $10.1 billion in the first 10 months of fiscal 1963; in the corresponding period of 1962, the deficit was $9.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 100 75 50 I958 I959 I960 I96I 1958 1962 -no NATIONAL DEFENSE 75 1959 1962 BUDGET SURPLUS ( + ) OR DEFICIT ((ENLARGED SCALE) +5 FIRST lo'MONTHS; Gssa y S3 - 1 L :-=• 1959 1963 1958 I960 cour SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal 1962: year 1958 year 1959 year 1960 . __ year 1961 - .. year 1962 3 .. year 1963 3 year 1964 Feb Mar Apr May _ --. June _ _ _ . _Julv Aug __ _ _ _ Sept _ Oct Nov _ -_ _- _ Dec 1963: Jan_ Feb Mar _ ... , Apr Cumulative totals first 10 months: Fiscal year 1962 __ Fiscal year 1963__ Net budget receipts 68. 5 67. 9 77. 8 77. 7 81. 4 85. 5 86. 9 6. 7 9. 1 5. 8 7. 0 11. 6 3. 6 7. 1 10. 1 3. 0 7. 0 8. 4 5. 5 7. 3 9. 7 5. 7 62. 8 67. 4 [Billions of dollars] Net budg et expenditi res N ational defeiise * Department of Military Total Total Defense, assistmilitary ance functions 71. 4 44. 2 2 2 39. 1 80. 3 46. 5 2. 3 41. 2 76. 5 45. 7 41. 2 1. 6 47. 5 81. 5 43. 2 1. 4 87. 8 51. 1 46. 8 1. 4 94. 3 53. 0 48. 3 1. 8 55. 4 98. 8 51. 0 1. 4 .1 4. 1 6. 9 3. 8 4. 6 .2 7. 7 4. 2 .1 4. 3 7. 3 3. 9 .1 4. 8 7. 2 4. 4 8. 1 5. 0 4. 5 .3 7. 3 3. 9 .1 3. 6 4. 5 8. 5 .1 4. 1 7. 3 4. 0 .1 3. 7 4. 6 .1 8. 5 4. 2 4. 6 .1 8. 1 4. 3 4. 3 .1 7. 6 4. 0 4. 5 .1 8. 0 4. 2 .1 6. 8 4. 1 3. 8 .2 4. 5 4. 1 7. 8 4. 5 .2 7. 6 4. 1 41.3 43. 6 72. 5 77. 5 E In addition to items shown, also includes atomic energy and defense related services. ! Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. 1961 I9(33 19 52 FISCAL YEARS i» ESTIMATE. 3 37. 9 40. 2 1.0 1. 2 CIL OF ECO JOMIC A DVIS ERS Budget surplus or deficit (-) -2. 8 -12. 4 1. 2 -3. 9 -6. 4 -8.8 -11. 9 —.1 1. 4 — 1. 5 —. 2 3. 5 -3. 7 — 1. 5 2. 7 -5. 5 -1.0 .8 -2. 5 .5 1. 9 -1. 9 -9. 7 — 10. 1 Estimate. NOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures exclude certu mental transactions. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Buuiret. Public debt (end of3 period) 276. 4 284. 8 286. 5 289. 2 298. 6 304. 1 316. 1 297. 4 296. 5 297. 4 299. 6 298. 6 298. 3 302. 3 300. 0 302. (i 305. 9 30'!. 0 303. 9 305. 2 303 .r> 30.'!. 7 1!'.)7 -1 :in:t. 7 35 FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the first quarter, cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $900 million on a seasonally adjusted basis. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 35 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS — fm vm _™ 1 1 1957 l i i b -J EXCESS OF CASH fPAYMENTS 1 1 m H n __ LJ 1 1 1 959 1958 t i i i960 ULJUU y u u u u iii iii 1961 1962 1 1 1 1963 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal vear: 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1 1963 1964 i Calendar year: 1958 1959 I960 . 1961 1962 . _ . Quarterly total (calendar years) : 1961: III IV 1962: 1 TIT III. IV 1968: 1... 'Estimate. 36 . Cash payments to the public Excess of re- Cash receipts ceipts ( + ) or from the payments public 81. 9 81. 7 95. 1 97 2 101. 9 108. 4 112. 2 83. 4 94. 8 94. 3 99. 5 107. 7 116. 8 122. 5 — 1. 5 -13. 1 .8 -2. 3 -5. 8 -8. 3 -10. 3 81. 7 87. 6 98. 3 97. 9 106. 2 89. 0 95. 6 94. 7 104. 7 111. 9 Unadjusted -7. 3 -8. 0 3. 6 -6. 8 -5.7 26. 7 27. 2 26. 0 27. 9 28. 5 29. 6 26. 6 -3. 3 -5. 9 .3 3. 1 — 2. 5 -6. 6 1.6 23. 4 21. 3 26. 2 31. 0 26. 0 23. 0 28. 2 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts ( + ) or payments Se£isonally adjus ted 24. 6 25. 2 25. 3 26. 5 27. 3 27. 1 27. 4 26. 3 26. 9 27. 6 27. 0 28. 1 -1. 7 -1.7 -2. 2 29. 2 -. 5 -. 7 -2. 1 28.3 —.9 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of toe Budget. FEDERAL BUDGET, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS On a national income accounts basis, Federal Government expenditures rose more than receipts in the fourth quarter of 1962, resulting in an increase in the deficit to $1.4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 120 I2O 100 + 20 + 20 SURPLUS LJfLJU L_J DEFICIT -20 I -20 t_ 1961 I960 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. 1963 CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federa 1 Governinent expe nditures Federal (3overnment receipl s Period Fiscal year: 1961 1962 1963 ' 1964 i Calendar year: "1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1961: II.. III. IV. 1962: I II.. III. IV. 1963: I Indirect ContriPersona] Corporate business butions and profits tax and to social Total tax nontax tax insurnontax receipts accruals ance accruals 95. 5 104. 0 108. 8 111. 4 72. 8 77.5 81. 7 78. 5 90. 3 96. 9 98. 3 108. 2 97. 7 98. 9 103. 8 105. 9 108. 4 108. 9 110. 5 44.0 47. 6 50. 1 48. 8 19. 8 21. 9 21. 7 23. 3 31. 5 35. 2 20. 9 36. 6 40. 4 44.0 45. 0 49. 1 44. 7 45. 1 17. 7 37. 3 46. 7 48. 0 49. 2 49. 9 50. 1 50. 5 20. 2 19. 9 22. 0 21. 2 21. 0 23. 6 20. 6 21. 3 23.7 23. 0 23. 4 23. 5 24. 5 13. 6 14. 6 15. 3 15. 8 11. 0 11. 6 12. 2 11. 9 13. 0 14. 1 13. 9 15. 0 14. 1 13. 9 14. 7 14. 6 15. 2 15. 0 15. 3 15. 5 1 Preliminary estimates by Bureau of the Budget. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. 18. 0 19. 8 21. 8 23. 4 9. 3 10. 6 12. 2 12. 4 14. 9 17. 6 18. 4 20. 5 18. 3 18. 6 18. 8 20. 3 20. 5 20. 5 20. 7 23. 0 Total GrantsSubsidies Surplus less Purin-aid or chases Trans- to State Net current deficit of goods fer payand interest surplus and paid of Govt. ments local enterservices goverprises ments 97.7 105. 7 113. 2 54. 8 59. 8 64. 4 68. 2 68. 9 71. 8 79. 7 87. 9 91. 4 93. 1 102. 1 45. 3 45.7 49. 7 52. 6 53. 6 53. 2 57. 0 62. 4 56. 6 56. 5 59. 5 61. 9 62. 1 62. 7 63. 4 65. 9 119. 0 109. 101. 102. 105. 108. 109. 109. 112. 114. 5 9 2 1 3 0 8 0 9 25.9 27. 8 29. 7 6. 9 6. 6 7. 3 7.5 3. 4 4. 2 4.0 3. 6 -2. 2 30. 9 6. 6 7. 3 7. 8 8. 8 14. 0 14. 9 3. 0 3. 3 4. 9 5. 2 5. 7 5. 6 6. 4 7. 1 1. 6 2. 7 2. 8 3. 0 2. 5 2. 8 4. 1 4. 2 4. 3 4. 5 4. 4 4. 3 4. 3 4. 3 4. 3 3. 8 3. 8 5. 7 2.0 -9. 4 -1. 1 3. 8 17.4 21. 3 22. 2 23. 8 27. 4 28. 5 27. 3 27.7 27. 8 28. 0 28. 0 28. 5 29. 5 29. 9 4. 1 5. 4 6. 7 6. 3 7.0 7.7 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.5 7. 9 7.5 8. 0 8. 3 6. 6 6. 7 6. 7 6. 5 6. 4 6. 6 6. 7 6. 8 6. 9 7. 1 -1. 7 -4. 3 -7. 6 —3. 8 -1. 3 — 4. 2 -3. 3 — 1. 3 — 2. 4 —.7 — . i) -1. -1 Source: Department of Commerce. 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE PENALTY FOR P R I V A T E USE TO A V O I D PAYMENT OF POSTAGE, S3OO (GPO) C I V I S I O N OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON 25, D.C. OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Trade Sales and Inventories Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Administrative Budget Receipts and Expenditures Federal Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public I'i'dcral Budget, National Income Accounts Basis page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 . 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.— Detail in these tables wiill not necessatily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. l*'or sale by the Superintendent o< Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 25 cents per copy; $2.50 per year; $3.50 foreign U.S. G O V E R N M E N T PRINTING O F F I C E : ! 9 6 3