Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1962
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87th Congress, 2nd Session . Louis pi:'-.i -.i;n " r E" Economic Indicators MAY 1962 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers COMMENTS INVITED The Joint Committee in House Report 1410, March 6, 1962, directed the committee staff to sponsor a review of Economic Indicators. As part of this review, which is being undertaken with the cooperation of the Council of Economic Advisers and the Bureau of the Budget, it would be helpful to receive comments from the users of Economic Indicators. The purpose of this monthly publication is to provide the committee, the Congress, and others with information on current economic trends in a concise and graphic form. Selections for inclusion are limited to presently available data from Government or recognized private sources. If you have suggestions relating to the series selected or to their presentation, would you please write to the JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE, Senate Post Office, Washington 25, B.C., by June 15, 1962. UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1962 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE of REPRESENTATIVES JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) PRESCOTT BUSH (Connecticut) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JOHN MARSHALL BUTLER (Maryland) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) WM. SUMMERS JOHNSON, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Deputy Executive Director JOHN R. STARK, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WALTER W. HELLER, Chairman KERMIT GORDON JAMES TOBIN [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 20 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.00 per year (foreign, $2.75) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, D.C. Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $4.60 per year. The I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now available at 60 cents a copy. u Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment iv 1 2 3 4 5 f> 7 8 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 9 10 11 12 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Trade Sales and Inventories Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balance of Payments 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices ; 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public 31 i 32 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. ill TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product, according to current estimates, rose $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 1 percent, from the fourth quarter of 1961 to the first quarter of 1962. The sain over a year earlier was $48 billion. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1960: Third quarter,. Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter Second quarter.. Third quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 19 62: First qu arter. . _ Personal Disposable consumption personal expenditures 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 3 351. 8 364. 9 354 4 354. 9 354.3 361.8 367. 7 375. 6 378.2 International Business Persons 209. 8 219. 8 232.6 238.0 256. 9 269. 9 285.2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 339. 0 329. 7 332. 3 330.7 336.1 341. 0 348. 4 352.0 Personal Gross Excess saving Gross private of (+) or retained domestic investdisearn-2 investment saving ings ment 17. 7 18.9 19.8 18. 9 17. 5 23. 0 23.6 24. 7 23. 4 22. 9 25. 8 24 6 22. 7 23. 7 25. 8 26. 8 27.1 26.2 56. 3 49.9 50. 3 48. 9 63. S 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 69. 6 70. 5 65. 6 59.8 68.8 73. 2 76. 6 31.5 33.2 34. 3 35. 5 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 50.7 51.7 54 1 51.8 51.2 50. 3 53. 9 54. 8 57. 3 Foreign Net exports of goods Excess of and services net transfers trans(+)or fers by of net Govern- Net ExImexports ment exports ports ports 2. 1 1. 5 1. 6 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 5 1. 6 1. 7 1. 5 1. 6 1.6 1.5 1. 7 1. S 1.7 -24.8 -16. 6 -16. 0 -13. 4 -21. 8 -24. 3 -20. 5 -11. 9 -21. 7 -20. 7 -15. 5 -18. 7 -14 4 — 9. 5 -14. 9 -18. 4 -19. 3 77.0 2. 4 1. 3 -. 4 1. 0 1. 1 2.9 4. 9 1.2 PI 3.0 4.0 3.0 5. 1 5.3 3.9 2.6 40 3.5 17. 9 17. 4 16. 6 17. 5 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 23. 1 26. 7 27.4 26. 8 27. 6 27.6 26.4 27.0 28. 5 28. 2 15. 5 16. 1 17.0 16. 5 18. 3 20. 2 21. 3 21. 5 23. 8 23. 6 23. 4 23. 8 22. 4 22. 3 22. 5 24. 3 24. 5 24 7 -0.2 2 .4 .4 — 1. 5 -3. 5 .1 2.3 -1. 5 -2.3 — 1.4 -3. 6 -3.7 -2.4 —. 9 — 2. 2 —1. 7 Government Net receipts Period 1951 1952 1953.. 1954. 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1960: Third quarter. . Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter Second quarterThird quarter.. Fourth quarter. 1962: First quarter... Surplus (+) or deficit Tax and TransPurTrans- (-) on nontax fers, chases Total fers, income Net and interest, of goods expendi- interest, receipts receipts or and suband tures and sub- product accruals sidies sidies account 66. 6 72. 2 75.7 ea 5 7a4 84.2 87.5 82.0 94 9 102. 0 102. 2 101.4 99.7 97.1 100. 7 103. 0 108. 3 85.5 90.6 94 9 90.0 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 129.3 139.1 143. 6 138.8 138. 3 136.9 141.9 145. 4 150.6 Expenditures 18. 9 18. 4 19. 2 21.5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34 4 37. 1 41. 4 37.4 38.6 39. 8 41.2 42. 3 42.3 42. 3 60. 5 76. 0 82. 8 75. 3 75. 6 79. 0 86.5 93. 5 97.1 100.1 108.7 101. 9 101. 6 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 113. 2 115.9 1 Personal income (p. 3) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). * Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, capital consumption allowances, and excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 3 Net foreign investment with sign changed. IV 79.4 94. 4 102. 0 96. 7 98. 6 104. 3 115. 3 126.6 131. 5 137. 2 150.1 139.3 140.2 1448 148,5 151. 3 155. 5 158.2 18. 9 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33.1 344 37.1 41. 4 37.4 38. 6 39.8 41.2 42. 3 42.3 42. 3 6. 1 -3. 9 -7. 1 -6. 7 2. 9 5. 2 1. 0 -11. 4 -2. 2 1. 9 -6. 5 -.5 -1. 9 -7.9 -6.6 -6. 0 -5. 1 Gross Total Statis- national income tical product Didiscrepor re ceipts expendiancy ture 327. 7 345. 6 364. 1 362. 3 396. 5 421. 6 443. 4 446. 0 484 5 507.1 522. 9 509. 1 507. 4 503. 4 517. 9 527. 3 543. 0 1. 2 1. 4 I. 3 .9 1. 0 — 2. 4 —. 6 -1.5 -1.7 -2. 6 -1. 5 -4 0 — 2. 9 -2.6 -1. 8 -1. 5 -. 5 329.0 347. 0 365.4 363. 1 397. 5 419.2 442.8 444 5 482. 8 504 4 521. 3 505. 1 504 5 500. 8 516. 1 525. 8 542.2 548. 3 ' Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. > Not available. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 2960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Consumer expenditures accounted for about $31/2 billion of the $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) sain in gross national product in the first quarter of 1962 and government purchases for over $21/^ billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT V 500 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 300 300 200 200 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES III III IIMIMIIt^l mill IMII 'IIIIIIH, GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC, INVESTMENT NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES ^ SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 -- -. - Government purchases of goods Personal Gross Total Net services Total congross private exports Federal national gross sump- domestic of goods tion product national and investTotal expendin 1961 product Total » National ment services defense2 Other itures prices 258. 1 3. 8 40. 2 22.2 8. 9 SS8.S 181. 2 33.0 13.6 19. 3 5.2 .6 39.0 14.3 see. 5 284.6 195.0 50.0 5.2 S96. B 329.0 209. 8 2.4 60. 5 38.8 56.3 33. 9 52. 9 6.7 347. 0 219. 8 1. 3 76. 0 411. 7 49. 9 46. 4 9.0 365. 4 232.6 82. 8 58.0 430. 6 50.3 —.4 49. 3 6.7 363. 1 1.0 75. 3 47.5 41.2 42!S. 0 238. 0 48.9 397. 5 256. 9 1. 1 75. 6 45. 3 6. 6 39. 1 455. 1 63.8 5.7 419. 2 2. 9 45. 7 79. 0 269. 9 40. 4 67.4 464. 8 5.7 442. 8 86.5 49. 7 285. 2 4.9 44. 4 478. 6 66. 1 52. 6 8. 3 444. 5 293. 2 1. 2 93. 5 44. 8 486. 1 56. 6 482. 8 3140 53. 5 7. 8 -.7 97. 1 46. 2 497.5 72.4 52. 9 8.0 511. S 504. 4 328. 9 3.0 100. 1 72. 4 45.5 57. 3 8. 6 521. 3 339.0 4.0 108.7 49. 2 521. S 69. 6 Seasonally adjusted annual rates and 17. 9 19. 7 21. 7 23.2 24. 9 27. 7 30.3 33.2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 47.2 51. 4 Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1961=100S 76.3 77.7 83.0 84, 3 84,9 86.0 87. 3 90. 2 93. 5 95. 4 97. 0 98. 7 100.0 State and local 1960: Third quarter.. . 610. 6 Fourth quarter,. 508. 0 505. 1 504. 5 329. 7 332. 3 70. 5 65.6 3. 0 5. 1 101. 9 101. 6 54. 0 53.0 45. 4 45.7 9. 1 7.9 48. 0 48. 6 98.9 99. 3 1961: First quarter Second quarter— Third quarter Fourth quarter.. 1962: First quarter 500. 8 516. 1 525. 8 542. 2 548. 3 330. 7 336. 1 341. 0 348. 4 352. 0 59.8 68.8 73. 2 76. 6 77.0 5. 3 3.9 2. 6 4.0 3.5 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 113. 2 115.9 54. 7 56. 6 57. 4 60. 0 61.5 47. 2 48.8 49. 0 51.7 52.8 8.0 8.3 8.9 9. 0 9.4 50. 3 50. 6 51. 6 53.2 54. 3 99.5 99. 8 100. 1 100. 5 100. 8 1 2 Less SOS. 1 SI 7. 2 525. 2 539. 7 544- 1 Government sales. These expenditures correspond closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 31. 3 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1961 prices. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME Compensation of employees rose $5.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 1962. In the noncorporate sector, farm income declined while other income rose or was maintained at the previous quarter's rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SOO BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 400 400 ZOO 200 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS AND. RENTAL INCOME X 100 1962 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT br COMMERCE. :COUNOl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958. 1959 1960 1961..- .. ... Total national income Compensation of employees ' 217.7 241.9 279. 3 292. 2 305. 6 301. 8 330.2 350. 8 366.9 367.4 399.6 417. 1 430. 2 140. 8 154. 2 180.3 195. 0 208. 8 207. 6 223. 9 242. 5 255. 5 257. 1 27& 4 293. 7 302. 9 Business and professional Rental income of persons 22. 7 23. 5 26. 0 26. 9 27. 4 27. 8 30. 4 32. 1 32.7 32. 5 35. 0 36.2 36. 5 8. 3 9.0 9. 4 10. 2 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10.9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 11. 7 11. 5 Proprietors' income Farm 12. 9 14. 0 16. 3 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11.8 13. 5 11.3 12. 0 13. 0 Net interest 4.8 5.5 6.3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11. 7 13. 4 14, 8 16. 6 18. 4 20.0 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 28. 2 35.7 41. 0 37. 7 37. 3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 46. 4 45. 1 46. 2 26.4 40. 6 42. 2 36.7 38.3 34. 1 44. S 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 46. 8 45. 0 46. 1 1. 9 -5.0 -1.2 1.0 — 1. 0 -.3 -1.7 -2.7 — I. 5 —. 3 —. 5 .0 .1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1 960 : Third quarter Fourth quarter 419.0 416. 5 296.0 294. 0 12. 4 12. 7 36.3 36. 3 11.7 11.7 18.6 18.9 44 1 42.9 43. 2 42.6 0. 9 .3 1961: First quarter Second quarter. 412. 2 426. 0 434. 3 447. 9 C) 292. 6 300. 2 306. 2 312. 7 317.9 12. 9 12. 9 12.8 13.6 13. 0 36.0 36. 3 36.6 37.2 37.6 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 19.2 19. 6 20. 2 20. 7 21. 3 40.0 45. 5 47. 0 52. 1 (2) 39.6 45. 2 47. 2 52. 4 (2) .4 .3 2 — .3 .0 Third quarter _ _ . Fourth quarter 1962: First quarter . ' Includes employer contributions for social insurance. 2 Not available. (See also p. 3.) NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $2.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in April to a record level of $438.7 billion. Labor income accounted for most of the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 450 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME 300 LABOR INCOME —•*"• / BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME 1956 1957 250 DIVIDENDS 'AND PERSONAL INTEREST / I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period Total personal income 288. 3 289. S 310. 2 332. !) 351 4 360. 3 383. 3 402. 2 416. 7 1953 1954 1955 1950 .. 1957 1958-- 1959. __ . 1960 1961 1961: March April May June July August, SeptemberOctober NovemberDecember. 1962: January... February. March April J 3 407. 3 409.8 413. 2 41 7. 3 3 421. 2 419. 4 421. 1 425. 2 420. 3 431. S 430. 1 433. 3 435. 9 438. 7 1962 CO'UNCll OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS' fBillions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental salary disDiviincome Business bursements of dends Farm and pro- persons and other fessional labor i ncome) ' 204. 1 27. 4 13. 3 10. 5 9. 2 202.5 32. 7 27. 8 10. 9 9.8 218. 0 11. 8 30. 4 10. 7 11.2 32. 1 235. 7 11. 0 10. 9 12. 1 247. 7 32. 7 11. 8 11. 9 12. 6 249. 2 32. 5 13. 5 12. 2 12. 4 208. 8 11. 3 35. 0 11. 9 13.4 282. 2 12. 0 36. 2 11. 7 14. 1 290. 8 13. 0 36. 5 11. 5 14. 4 Seasonally adjusted annual 13.0 281. 7 36. 0 11.4 14 2 285. 3 12. 9 36. 1 11. 6 14. 2 288. 0 12. 9 36. 3 14, 2 11. S 13.0 291.7 36. 4 14 3 11.5 293. 4 12. 9 36. 6 11. 5 14. 3 294.0 12. 8 36.6 11. 5 14. 3 295.2 12.7 36. 8 11. 5 14. 4 297. 8 13. 5 37.0 14. 5 11. 5 300. 9 37. 3 11. 5 14. 8 13. 8 302. 4 13. 5 37.4 11. 5 15. 5 302. 0 13. 1 37.4 11. 5 14. 9 305. 1 12. 9 37.6 11. 5 14. 9 306. 8 12. 9 37. 8 15.2 11.5 37. 9 309. 3 12. 7 11. 5 15. 3 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 2) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 'Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. > Includes stepped-up payment of National Service life Insurance dividends 1961 Less: Per.con- NonagriPersonal Transfer sonal tributions cultural interest paysocial personal income ments forinsurincome 2 ance 13.4 3.9 14.3 271.5 14. 6 16. 2 4. 6 273.8 15. 8 5.2 295.0 17.5 17.5 18.8 5.8 317.9 19. 6 21. 9 6.7 336.1 21.0 26. 3 6. 9 343.0 23.6 27. 2 7. 9 368.1 26. 2 29. 1 9. 3 386. 2 27.3 32.9 9. 7 399.4 rates 3 26.8 "33. 7 9.6 390. 4 26.8 32. 5 9.6 392. 9 27.0 33. 0 9.7 396. 4 27.1 9.8 33. 0 400.2 3 3 27.2 35. 2 9.8 404, 0 27. 4 32.5 9.8 : 402. 4 27.5 9.8 32.7 404. 1 27.7 33. 1 10.0 407.2 27. 9 33.2 10. 1 410. 9 28. 2 33.4 10. 1 413. 6 28. 5 33. 1 10. 3 412. 3 28. 7 33. 2 10. 5 415.8 28.9 33. 5 10. 6 418. 2 29. 1 33. 6 10. 7 421. 1 of S1SO million ($1.8 billion at annual rate) in March and $218 million ($2.6 billion at annual rate) in July. * Preliminary. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning i960. » Source: Department of Commerce. w DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Both disposable personal income and personal consumption expenditures increased in the first quarter of 1962. the increase in income beins less rapid than in expenditures, the saving rate dropped. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS With OF DOLLARS* 250 DOLLARS* 2,200 DOLLARS* 2,200 2,000 2,000 1,8 OO 1,600 i—AW 1,600 1956 1957 1962 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES, SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Period 1950 1951 1952 1953 .. . 1954 1955 1956 1957__ 1958, 1959 I960. 1961 . .. I960: Third quarter „ Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1962: First Quarter COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS OF COMMERCE Disposable personal income ' Total 207. 7 227. 5 238.7 252.5 256.9 274.4 292.9 308.8 317.9 337. 3 351. 8 364.9 195. 0 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256.9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 339.0 354. 4 329. 7 332. 3 330.7 336. 1 341.0 348.4 352. 0 354.9 354.3 361. 8 367.7 375. 6 378. 2 1 Personal income (p. 3) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). * Income in current prices divided by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures on a 1961 base. 4 Per capita disposable personal income ' Saving as percent Populaof distion Personn! posable (thousaving Non1961 personal sands) 3 Current Durable durable Services prices prices - income goods goods (percent) Dollars Billions of dollars (i. 1 151, 683 Ji (i ] , (>!I2 30. 4 1, :i(i!) 91). 8 ti-1. !) 7. 8 154, 360 17. 7 70. 2 29. 5 ], '17-1 1, 708 110. 1 1,520 7. 9 157, 028 18. 9 1,725 29. 1 75. (I 115. 1 1,582 32. 9 7. 8 159, 636 81. 8 19. S 1, 780 118. 0 7. 4 162,417 1,582 32. 4 18. 9 1, 762 119. 3 80. 3 0. 4 105, 270 92. 5 17. 5 1, 840 39. C 1, 000 124. 8 7. 9 100. 0 1, 742 168, 176 23. 0 38. 5 1, 900 131. 4 7. 6 171, 198 1, 804 40. 4 107. 1 1, 911 137. 7 23. 6 1,826 7.8 174, 060 114. 3 24.7 1, 898 37. 3 141. 6 177, 076 1,905 6.9 123. 2 23. 4 1,956 43. 5 147. 3 132. 2 1,947 6. 5 180, 670 22. 9 44. 3 152. 4 1,969 1,987 7.1 183, 650 141. 2 1,987 25. 8 42.3 155. 5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 6. 9 181, 084 1, 957 43. 4 152. 7 133. 6 24. ti 1, 977 6. 4 181, 898 43. 8 22. 7 1,963 153. 1 135. 4 1,951 6. 7 182, 601 1,940 39. 4 137. 5 23.7 1,946 153. 7 7. 1 183, 292 1, 974 1,978 42.0 154. 1 139. 9 25. 8 142. 4 1, 998 42. 3 26.8 7.3 184, 054 156. 2 1,996 2,032 7.2 184, 851 45. 5 144. 9 2,024 27. 1 158. 1 2,039 2,021 6.9 44. 8 185, 500 147. 3 159.8 26. 2 Personal consumption expenditures 3 Population of the United States including: armed forces abroad. Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures, NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME Realized gross farm income, seasonally adjusted, declined and production expenses rose slightly during the first quarter of 1962. Net farm income fell below the fourth quarter 1961 level but remained above the first quarter of 1961 level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 30 20 I NET FARM INCOME I INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 10 1967 I960 1959 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Income received by farm operators from farming Realized gross 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 From all sources (") (66) () (6) (66) () (6) « (6) (6) 1962 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Income received by total farm population Period I From From agricul- nonagritural cultural sources ' sources 17. 3 15. 1 14. 4 13. 5 13. 4 13. 6 15.4 ia i 13. 7 14. 8 (6) (") (86) (6) () (66) () (66) () (6) Net income per farm including net inventory change 4 Net ProducCash tion ex- Exclud- In eludreceipts penses ing in- ing net in- Current 1961 from Total 2 ventory ventory3 prices prices 5 marketchange change ings Billions of dollars Dollars 15. 3 3, 173 2,951 22. 6 14.4 32. 6 37. 0 2, 664 13. 3 21. 4 13. 9 2,896 35. 3 31. 1 2,844 21.7 12. 2 12. 7 2, 645 30.0 33. 9 11. 8 2,719 29. 6 21. 9 11. 5 2,529 33. 3 2, 574 22. 6 11.6 34. 6 12.0 2,738 30. 6 34.4 11.8 2,695 2,778 29. 8 23.4 11.0 12. 6 13. 5 3,201 37. 9 33. 4 25. 3 3,233 2,762 26. 3 11. 2 11. 3 2,756 37. 5 33. 5 34.0 12.0 26. 4 11. 7 3,028 38. 1 3,028 3,401 3, 401 13. 0 12. 7 34. 8 26. 9 39. 6 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 6 6 38.3 34. 2 26. 3 12. 0 (6) (6) (6) 38.7 34. 7 12.4 26. 3 () () (") 39. 3 35.3 12. 6 26. 7 (66) (") (66) 39. 2 34. 0 26. 7 12. 5 (6) (66) () 6 12. 4 39. 3 34. 4 26. 9 () (6) () 13. 4 40. 6 27. 2 35. 5 (6) () (6) 1962- First quarter 35.2 40. 1 27.3 (6) 12.8 (6) (6) 1 s Net income of farm operators from farming (including net inventory change) Income in current prices divided by the and family living items on a 1961 base. 2 wages received by farm resident workers. c Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonrnoney inNot yet available. come furnished by farms. a Source; Department of Agriculture. Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year, «Series revised beginning 1952 00 the basis of 1959 Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year, 83937°—62 2 i960- Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 12. 4 12. 7 12.9 12. 9 12. 8 13.6 13.0 3, 140 3,220 3, 380 3, 380 3, 360 3,570 3,520 3,140 3,220 3, 380 3, 380 3, 360 3,570 3, 490 index of prices paid by farmers for CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes are estimated to have risen $5.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 1961 to $52.4 billion. This brings the total rise from the first quarter of 1961 to the fourth quarter to $12.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1955 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1956 1957 1958 I960 1959 -^EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. 1961 .COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1960: Third quarter.. . Fourth quarter, _ 1961: First quarter Second quarter. . Third quarter Fourth quarter.. 1962: First quarter 1 See p. 2 Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment 1 TransManufacturing portation, All All NoncomDurable other indusdurable munigoods Total tries goods cations, indusindustries indusand tries tries public utilities 35. 7 20. 4 12. 0 8. 4 4. 0 11. 3 41. 0 24. 4 13. 5 12. 0 10. 9 4. 5 21. 1 37. 7 11. 8 9.3 4. 8 11. 8 37.3 21.4 12. 1 9.3 11. 0 4. 9 18. 4 33. 7 10. 1 8.3 11. 0 4. 4 43. 1 25. 0 14. 2 10.8 5. 4 12.8 42. 0 23. 5 12. 6 10. 9 12.9 5. 6 41. 7 22. 9 13. 1 9.8 13. 3 5. 5 37. 2 18. 3 9. 0 9.3 13.3 5. 6 24. 8 46. 4 15.2 13. 2 11. 6 6. 4 45. 1 23. 3 12. 0 11.3 6.8 15.0 46. 2 23.0 11. 6 11.4 16. 0 7. 1 22. 6 44. 1 14. 9 11. 4 11.3 6. 6 42. 9 21. 6 10.7 10. 9 14. 6 6.8 18. 8 40.0 8.5 10. 4 6. 5 14. 6 22. 3 45. 5 11. 2 11. 2 16. 1 7. 1 47. 0 23. 6 12. 1 11. 5 7. 3 16. 1 52. 1 27. 1 14. 6 17. 3 12.5 7.7 2 2 2 2 2 (2) () () () () f) 2 for inventory valuation adjustment. Not available. Corporate profits after taxes Corporate profits before taxes Corporate tax liability 40. 6 42. 2 36. 7 38.3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 46. 8 45. 0 46. 1 43. 2 42. 6 39. 6 45. 2 47. 2 52. 4 (2) 17. 9 22.4 19. 5 20. 2 17. 2 21. 8 21. 2 20.9 18. 6 23. 1 22. 3 22. 8 21. 4 21. 1 19. 6 22.4 23. 3 26. 0 (2) Total 22. 8 19. 7 17. 2 18. 1 16. 8 23. 0 23. 5 22. 3 18.8 23.7 22.7 23. 3 21. 7 21. 4 20. 0 22. 8 23. 8 26. 5 (2) NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginnin Source: Department of Commerce. Dividend payments 9. 2 9.0 9.0 9. 2 9.8 11.2 12. 1 12. 6 12.4 13.4 14. 1 14. 4 14. 1 14. 3 14.2 14. 2 14. 3 15. 0 15. 0 Undistributed profits 13. 6 10.7 8.3 8.9 7.0 11.8 11.3 9.7 6.4 10. 3 8.6 8.8 7. 6 7.2 5.8 8.6 9.5 11. 5 2 () GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT In the first quarter of 1962, business fixed investment and inventories rose while residential construction fell, resulting in a total gain of about $% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in private investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT -20 -20 1962 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total gross private domestic investment Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956.. . ._ 1957_1958 1959.- . ... 1960 ^ 1961-. . __ __ 1960: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter . Fourth quarter 1962: First quarter. New construction 1 Total Total 33.0 50.0 56.3 49. 9 50.3 48.9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 69. 6 36.0 43.2 46. 1 46. 8 49. 9 50. 5 58. 1 62. 7 64.6 58. 6 66. 1 68. 2 67.4 70. 5 65. 6 59.8 68. 8 73. 2 76. 6 77. 0 68. 1 67. 4 63. 8 66.0 68.7 71. 3 70. 3 Residential nonfarm Other 2 18. 8 y. 6 9. 2 24.2 14. 1 10. 1 24 8 12. 5 12. 3 25. 5 12. 8 12. 7 27. 6 13. 8 13. 8 29.7 15.4 14. 3 34. 9 18. 7 16. 2 35. 5 17. 7 17.8 36. 1 17.0 19.0 35. 5 18.0 17. 4 40. 2 22. 3 17. 9 40. 7 21. 1 19. 6 41.7 21.2 20. 5 Seasonally adjusted annual 40. 4 21.0 19. 4 40. 7 20. 5 20. 2 39. 6 19.3 20. 4 41. 3 20. 6 20. 7 42. 7 22. 1 20.6 43.3 23. 0 20. 3 2], 4 41. 8 20. 5 1 Revisions in series on new construction shown on p. 17 have not yet been incorporated into these series. 3 "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 17. Change in business inventories Fixed investment Producers' durable equipment 17. 2 18. 9 21. 3 21. 3 22. 3 20.8 23. 1 27. 2 28.5 23. 1 25. 9 27. 5 25. 7 rates 27. 7 26. 7 24 2 24.7 26. 0 28. 0 28. 5 Total Nonfarm — 3. 1 6.8 10. 2 3. 1 .4 -1.6 5.8 4.7 1.6 —2.0 6.3 42 2. 2 -2. 2 6.0 9. 1 2. 1 1. 1 — 2. 1 5.5 5. 1 .8 -2.9 6.2 40 1.8 2.4 -1.9 -4.0 2.8 4. 5 5.3 6. 8 2.0 -2.2 -43 2.4 4. 1 5. 1 6. 6 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the January—February survey, business firms were planning to spend $37.2 billion on new plant and equipment in 1962, about 8 percent more than in 1961. Quarterly increases of 1 Vz to 2 percent (seasonally adjusted) were anticipated for the first and second quarters of 1962. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 1956 1961 */ SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, ABO DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Transportation Manufacturing Period Mining Total i Total 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 19623 _. . . ._ _. 1 960 : Third quarter Fourth quarter _ _ 1961: First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarterFourth ouartcr 1962: First quarter s_.3 Second quarter _ . . 1 !Excludes - 25. 64 26. 49 28. 32 26. 83 28. 70 35.08 36.96 30. 53 32.54 35.68 34, 37 37. 16 10.85 11.63 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14.95 15.96 11. 43 12. 07 14.48 13. 68 14. 90 35. 90 35. 50 33. 85 33. 50 34.70 35. 40 36. 10 36. 60 14.65 14. 40 13.75 13. 50 13.65 14. 00 14. 40 14.65 Durable NonduraRailroads Other goods ble goods 5. 17 1.47 1.49 .93 5.68 5.61 1. 50 6. 02 .98 1. 40 .99 1.31 5.65 1. 56 6. 26 5.09 .98 .85 1.51 5.95 . 92 5.44 1. 60 .96 6.00 7.62 1.24 1. 23 1.71 7.33 8.02 I. 40 1.77 1.24 7.94 5.47 . 94 5.96 . 75 1. 50 . 92 5.77 2. 02 6.29 .99 7.18 1.03 1.94 7.30 .99 6. 27 . 98 .67 1. 85 7. 40 7. 29 1. 84 7. 62 1.01 . 80 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 7. 35 1. 00 1.00 1. 90 7. 30 6. 85 7. 55 .90 1. 00 1. 80 6. 50 . 70 1. 75 7. 25 . 95 6. 20 7.30 1.00 . 70 1. 80 fi. 10 1.00 .65 1. 90 7.55 6. 40 7. 60 1.00 .60 1.95 7.00 1. 10 .80 1.75 7.45 7. 20 .80 1. 90 1.05 7.50 agriculture. Commercial and other includes trade, service,finance,communications, and construction. 3 Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business Jn late January and February 1962. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. 8 Public utilities Commercial and other 2 3.66 3. 89 4. 55 4.22 4. 31 4. 90 6.20 6. 09 5. 67 5.68 5.52 5.60 7.24 7. 09 8. 00 8. 23 9. 47 11. 05 10.40 9.82 10. 88 11. 57 11. 68 13.00 5. 60 5. 70 5. 35 5. 50 5. 65 5. 55 5.25 5. 20 11. 75 11.65 11. 30 11.05 11.85 12. 35 12.75 13. 00 NOTE.—Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because tlie latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Civilian employment rose less than seasonally in April and the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) remained at 5.5 percent. : MILLIONS OF PERSONS * MILLIONS OF PERSONS* CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE -V "•"""""•"• "»•....„,..»•...„.»«""••.„„„,.„..» UNEMPLOYMENT ^ I I I I I I 1I I I 1I 1 I PERCENT OF CIVILIAN I I I I I _, I I I I1 I I I I I I I I 1 I PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR LABOR FORCE FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) _ - - r - - - cm - f -- I9SG T ** , - •; I IN 1961 I9S7 * 14 YEARS OF AEE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961— 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civilian emCivilian employment ployment UnemCivilian NonNonploylabor AgriagriasriTotal ment force culTotal culcultural tural tural Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over 65, 848 62, 944 56, 225 2,904 67, 530 64, 708 58, 135 2,822 67, 946 65, Oil 58, 789 2,936 68, 647 63, 966 58, 122 4, 681 69, 394 65, 581 59, 745 3,813 70, 612 66, 681 60, 958 3,931 71, 603 66, 796 61, 333 4,806 Unadjusted Seasonally adjusted 1 Total labor Civilian force (includ- labor ing force armed forces) 68, 896 70, 387 70, 744 71, 284 71, 946 73, 126 74, 175 1961: April 73, 216 74, 059 June 76, 790 July 76, 153 August 75, 610 September. 73, 670 October 74, 345 November- 74, 096 December. . 73, 372 1962: January 72, 564 February 73, 218 March 73, 582 April 2 73, 864 April _ _ .. 78, 654 May 6.7 70, 696 71, 546 74, 286 73, 639 73, 081 71, 123 71, 759 71, 339 70, 559 65, 734 66, 778 68, 706 68, 499 68, 539 67, 038 67, 824 67, 349 66, 467 60, 734 61, 234 62, 035 62, 046 62, 215 61, 372 61, 860 62, 149 62, 049 4,962 4, 768 5, 580 5, 140 4,542 4, 085 3,934 3, 990 4,091 71, 410 71,475 71, 983 71, 633 71, 789 70, 981 71, 473 71, 482 71, 272 66, 398 66, 512 66, 900 66, 698 66, 998 66, 243 66, 822 67, 148 66, 936 5,297 5,326 5,504 5,473 5, 662 5,156 5,472 5,311 5,204 61, 101 61, 234 61, 543 61, 371 61, 417 61, 188 61, 369 61, 840 61, 618 4, 950 5,019 4,936 4,923 4,887 4,867 4,762 4,370 4,274 7.0 6.7 7.5 7.0 6.2 5.7 5. 5 5. 6 5.8 6. 9 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6. 8 6.7 6. 1 6. 0 69, 721 70, 332 70, 697 70, 979 70, 769 65, 058 65, 789 66, 316 67, 027 66, 8S4 60, 641 61,211 61, 533 61, 979 61, 863 4,663 4, 543 4,382 3, 952 3,946 71, 435 71, 841 71, 774 71, 696 71, 484 67, 278 67, 894 67, 947 67, 704 67, 499 5,453 5,603 5,560 5,347 5,255 61, 690 62, 206 62, 280 62, 353 62, 2S6 4,159 4,008 3,914 3,971 3, 963 6.7 6. 5 6. 2 5. 6 5. 6 5.8 5. 6 5. 5 5. 5 5. 5 ' Seasonally adjusted totals may differ from sum of components because totals and components have been seasonally adjusted separately. * 1960 Population Census data used in estimation procedure; all other data based on 1950 Population Census. Unemployment rate (percent of Unem- civilian labor force) ployment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Percent 4. 4 4. 2 4. 3 6. 8 5. 5 5. 6 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see Employment and Earnings, Department of Labor. Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 9 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Insured unemployment averaged 2.2 million in April, or about 1.4 million less than in April 1961. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS Of PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) MAR. JUNE SEPT. OCT SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LA80R. 1957. 1958. 1959 1960 1961 1961: March . .. April . ... May June July .. August September October. _ _ November. December __ 1962: January- . February March _ April3 Week ended: 1962: April 7 14 21 _ 28 May 53 Thousands 43, 447 1, 567 44, 501 3,269 2,099 45, 727 46, 334 2,067 2,994 44, 873 3, 403 45, 384 3,626 45, 899 3, 290 46, 654 2, 877 46, 762 2,678 2, 357 47, 154 2, 122 47, 224 1 2, 018 2, 172 2,533 3,015 2,925 2,702 2, 230 2,397 2, 274 2, 177 2,066 1,971 1, 913. 0 4, 209. 2 2, 803. 0 3, 022. 7 4, 358. 1 500. 9 419. 4 457.2 403.9 321. 9 333.5 263.4 255.3 261. 4 286. 0 395.2 350. 0 381.0 325. 0 Weekly 1,450 2, 509 1,682 1, 906 2,290 3, 168 2,779 2,328 1,991 1,958 1, 744 1,558 1, 502 1, 662 2,017 2,486 2,410 2, 218 1, 839 1,956 1,872 1,803 1,727 1 1, 653 123 1 Includes Federal and State programs for temporary extension of benefits beginning Jane 1968. * Not available. 'Preliminary. < Not charted. 10 DEC. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC -ADVISERS All programs Insured Total unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unememploy- ment (milployment (weekly lions of ment averdol- J age) i lars) Period NOV. State programs Insured unemployment as perInitial Exhaus- cent of covered employment tions claims Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed average, thousands Percent 23 3. 6 268 50 370 6.4 33 44 281 31 4.8 331 46 350 5. 6 372 53 7.8 6.3 58 6. 8 5.9 367 54 297 5.7 5.6 53 279 49 5.8 50 357 48 5.S 44 271 43 5. 2 257 38 3. 8 6. 1 35 3. 7 277 6. 1 34 4. 1 320 5. I 394 35 4.8 5.0 39 6. 2 429 4.7 320 39 6. 0 4.6 39 273 5.5 4-4 267 39 46 3. 9 308 261 253 244 272 253 Benefits paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 1, 733. 9 3, 512. 7 2, 279. 0 2, 726. 7 3, 422. 7 461. 5 362. 5 320. 1 264.4 2240 237. 2 185.0 180.9 190. 9 218. 5 314 9 280. 0 310.2 265. 0 28.17 30. 58 30. 41 32. 87 33. 80 34 37 34. 18 33.46 32. 92 32. 91 33.36 33. 12 33.30 33. 67 34 11 34.44 34 50 34. 98 34 95 49 46 45 43 41 NOTE.— For definitions and coverage, see I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods and for Puerto Kieo since January 1861. Source: Department of Labor. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, increased nearly 250,000 in April. for three-fifths of the gain. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 60 Manufacturing accounted MILLIONS OF WAGE ,, AND SALARY WORKERS ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS MANUFACTURING 96 s DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES < SO «8 Lj, I960 1961 1959 1962 IE.5 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION (ENLARGED SCALE) WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 3.3 n.s 3iO 2.5 1959 1959 I960 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers *] Manufacturing (private) Nonmanufacturing (private) Total, unadjusted Total SO, 676 52, 408 52, 904 SI, 423 53, 380 54, 347 54, 076 50, 675 52, 408 52, 904 51, 423 53, 380 54, 347 54, 076 16, 882 17, 243 17, 174 15, 945 16, 667 16, 762 16, 268 9,541 9,834 9,856 8,830 9,369 9,441 9,044 52, 785 1961: March April S3, 171 May - - 53, 708 June 54, 429 July 54, 227 54, 538 August September 54, 978 55, 065 October November 55, 129 December 65, 503 1962: January 53, 7S7 February 53, 823 March3 3 54, 025 April 54, 699 53, 561 53, 663 53, 894 54, 182 54, 335 54, 333 54, 304 54, 385 54, 525 54, 492 54, 434 54, 773 54, 871 55, 112 16, 023 16, 119 16, 275 16, 373 16, 392 16, 381 16, 323 16, 361 16, 466 16, 513 16, 456 16, 572 16, 676 16, 814 8,820 8,904 9,058 9, 114 9,138 9,131 9, 105 9, 112 9, 213 9,244 9,217 9,312 9,380 9, 466 Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 3 1961 .- Total 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments wbo worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 9, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu- Contract Transporta- Wholesale construc- tion and pub- and retail tion trade lic utilities 2,802 4, 141 7,340 26, 879 10, 535 7,409 27, 888 4,244 2,999 10, 858 7,319 28, 104 2, 923 4,241 10, 886 7, 116 27, 585 2,778 3,976 10, 750 7,298 28, 523 2,955 4,010 11, 125 7,321 29, 065 2,882 4,017 11,412 7,224 28, 977 2,760 3,923 11, 365 Seasonally adjusted 2, 792 7,203 28, 826 3,919 11, 252 7,215 28, 810 2,766 3,901 11, 320 7,217 28, 845 2,742 3,903 11, 355 2,795 3, 914 7,259 28, 988 11, 392 3,942 7,254 29, 108 2,776 11, 437 7,250 29, 087 2,770 3,939 11, 410 2,754 7,218 29, 045 3,939 11, 363 7,249 29, 057 3,929 2, 758 11, 3€5 7,253 29, 067 2,719 3,927 11, 374 7,269 29, 042 2, 699 3,911 11, 366 7, 239 28, 949 2,594 3, 906 11, 384 2,694 7,260 29, 157 3,914 11, 447 2,643 7, 296 29, 133 3,928 11, 451 2, 706 7, 348 29, 217 3,941 11, 482 Durable Nondura- Total 2 goods ble goods Government (Federal, State, local) 6,914 7,277 7,626 7,893 8,190 8,520 8,831 8,712 8,734 8,774 8, 821 8,835 8,865 8,936 8,967 8,992 8,937 9, 029 9,044 9,062 9,081 meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes minimr; finance, insurance, and real estate; and service and miscellaneous, not shown separately. 3 Preliminary. NOTE—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 1 | WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK In April, the average workweek of production workers in manufacturing was 40.8 hours (seasonally adjusted), or 0.3 hours above the March workweek. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 DURABLE MANUFACTURING 40 38 36 1961 1962 I960 1961 1962 1961 1962 44 RETAIL TRADE 40 •"• *• 32 .p,*«..,,_.. 34 30 1962 1959 I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. , COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Average hours per week 1 Manufacturing industries Contract Retail Non- construcDurable durable All trade tion goods goods Period 1956 1957 1958. 1959 1960 5 1961 _- - 1961: March April 3VIay June July August. September _ October — November December.... 1962: January FebruaryMarch 6 _ April 6 . 40.4 39.8 39.2 40.3 39.7 39.8 39. 3 39. 7 39. 8 39. 9 40.0 40.0 39. 6 40.2 40.6 40.4 39. 8 40.3 40. 5 40. 8 Hours per week 41.0 39. 6 37. 5 40. 3 39. 2 37.0 39. 5 38. 8 36. 8 40. 7 39. 7 37.0 40. 1 39. 2 36. 7 40. 2 36. 9 39.3 iSeasoraoHj/ adjusted 36. 9 39. 7 39. 1 35.7 40.0 39.3 40. 2 39.3 36. 3 40. 4 36.8 39. 5 40. 5 39. 5 36. 9 37. 1 40.5 39.3 39.8 39.2 36. 7 37.2 40. 6 39. 6 41.2 37. 5 39. 7 41.2 39.7 35. 5 39.2 40. 3 34. 4 40.9 37.0 39. 5 37.2 41. 1 40. 0 41. 2 40. 3 (61 1 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 9), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 12 39. 1 38. 7 3& 7 38. 7 38. 5 38. 1 38. 2 38. 2 38.3 38. 1 38.2 37.9 38. 0 38. 0 37. 9 38. 1 37. 9 38.0 38. 0 (6) Persons at work in nonagricultural 2 industries by hours worked per week Under 35 hours Part-time for economic reasons Over 40 35-40 hours hours Total Usually Usually partfulltime * time 3 Millions of persons 14 years of age and over 0.9 18. 7 27.3 1. 1 9.4 1.0 17. 6 28. 6 1. 2 9.7 16. 6 1.3 28. 3 1. 6 10. 4 17. 3 1.3 27. 7 1. 0 11.7 1.3 17. 7 1. 2 28. 7 11. 5 1. 5 18.2 1.3 29.0 11. 1 17.7 17.7 18.1 17.9 17.2 17.7 18.5 19. 3 19.5 19. 7 17.8 18.3 18. 9 18. 9 29. 6 29.9 29.8 29. 9 27.8 28.4 29.0 28.4 29.4 29. 1 28. 3 28. 2 29.5 30. 2 11. 4 11. 3 11.4 10. 5 9. 9 9. 7 11.2 11. 9 11. 3 11. 3 12. 1 12. 5 11. 2 11. 0 1.5 1. 5 1.3 1.2 1. 1 1.2 1. 1 1. 1 1. 1 1. 1 1.0 1. 0 1. 1 7 1. 0 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 2.0 1. 9 1. 9 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1. 1 1. 2 1. 2 '1.2 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or Job terminated. *6 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. Preliminary. 6 Not available, t Average hours worked: usually full-time, 22.7; usually part-time, 17.5. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing rose 1 cent in April to $2.39. earnings rose 65 cents, reaching $96.56. Average weekly AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 2.6O DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES e ft \ 100 ,J % ^ A, 1 w/\ J / <»» 90 2.20 ~-~r*\~z:J A V^'c .y / /v/ / ALL MANlIFACTUR1NG INDU STRIES ^>" ^ 2.00 \ GOOC s INDUSTRIES NC NDURABLE 70 % 1959 1962 I960 1989 I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1962 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Period Average hourly earnings— current prices Average weekly earnings—current prices Manufacturing industries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable structrade All goods tion goods Manufacturing industries Contract, Retail conNontrade Durable durable strucAll goods tion goods 1952 _ ... $1. 65 1953 1. 74 1954 1. 78 1. 86 1955 1956 1. 95 1957 2.05 2. 11 1958 1959. ..- 2. 19 1960_ 2 ... 2. 26 2. 32 1961 . 1961: March 2. 29 April ... ... 2. 31 2. 32 May 2. 32 June July 2. 33 August 2. 31 September 2.33 October 2. 34 2. 36 November 2.38 December 19G2: January. _ 2.39 February 2.38 2 March .. . 2. 38 2. 39 April 2 1 Earnings ! $1.75 1. 86 1. 90 1.99 2.08 2. 19 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 49 2. 46 2.47 2.48 2. 49 2. 49 2.48 2. 50 2.51 2. 54 2.55 2.56 2. 55 2. 55 2. 56 $1. 51 1. 58 1. 62 1. 67 1.77 1.85 1.91 1.98 2.05 2. 11 2.09 2. 10 2. 11 2. 11 2. 12 2. 10 2. 12 2. 13 2.14 2. 15 2. 16 2. 15 2. 16 2. 16 $2. 13 2.28 2. 39 2. 45 2. 57 2. 71 2. 82 2. 93 3. 07 3. 19 3. 14 3. 15 3. 16 3. 16 3. 16 3.17 3.22 3. 22 3. 24 3. 29 3. 33 3. 23 3. 26 (3) $1. 18 $67. 16 1.25 70. 47 1. 29 70. 49 1. 34 75. 70 1. 40 78. 78 1.47 81. 59 1.52 82. 71 1.57 88. 26 1. 62 89.72 1. 68 92. 34 1.65 89. 54 1.67 90.78 1. 68 92. 10 1. 69 93.03 1. 69 93. 20 1. 69 92. 86 1. 70 92. 73 1. 71 94. 54 1. 71 95. 82 1.69 96.63 1. 72 94.88 1. 73 95. 20 1. 73 95. 91 96. 56 (3) in current price? divided by the consumer price index on a 1961 base. Preliminary. 'Not availaole. 83937°—62 3 $72. 63 76. 63 76. 19 82. 19 85. 28 88. 26 89.27 96. 05 97. 44 100. 10 97. 17 98. 31 99. 70 101. 09 100. 35 100. 44 100. 00 102. 66 104. 39 105. 32 103. 17 103. 53 104. 30 304.96 $59. 95 62. 57 63. 18 66. 63 70. 09 72. 52 74. 11 78.61 80. 36 82. 92 80. 88 81. 27 82. 29 83. 56 84. 16 83. 58 83. 74 84. 77 85. 39 85. 57 84. 24 84. 28 85.54 85. 75 $82. 86 86. 41 88. 91 90. 90 96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108. 41 112. 67 117.71 112. 41 112. 77 116. 29 119. 13 119. 76 122. 05 120. 43 123. 00 118. 26 114. 82 111. 22 113. 37 117. 36 (3) $47. 79 49. 75 51.21 53. 06 54. 74 56. 89 58. 82 60. 76 62. 37 64. 01 62. 70 63. 46 63. 84 64. 90 65. 57 65. 23 64. 60 64. 64 64. 13 64. 73 64. 84 65. 22 65. 39 (3) Average weekly earnings, all manufacturing industries,1 1961 prices $75. 63 78. 83 78. 50 84. 58 86. 67 86. 80 85. 62 90. 62 90. 72 92. 34 89. 81 91. 05 92.47 93. 22 93. 01 92. 77 92. 36 94. 16 95. 44 96. 34 94. 60 94. 63 95. 15 •P) NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) rose 1.2 percent in April. ment, and materials shared in the increase. INDEX, 1957*IOO ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Consumer goods, business equip- INDEX, 1957 = 100 ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 TOTAL 130 120 no 100 1961 140 MANUFACTURING 130 NONDURABLE 120 no .\ 100 D URABLE 80 1959 1959 1962 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1952 ... 1953 1954 1955_ ... 1956- .. 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 » 1961: March April . _. _ May. __ June. __ . July August September October November December 1962: January February. . . March April1.. . _ 'Preliminary. 14 Total industrial production 83. 8 90. 8 85. 4 96. 0 99. 3 100.0 92. 9 104. 9 108. 0 109.0 102. 6 105. 6 108. 3 110. 4 112. 0 113.0 111. 0 112. 8 114. 1 114. 8 113.5 114.9 115. 7 m. i Industry Manufacturing Total 84. 8 92. 1 85. 8 96. 7 99. 5 100. 0 92. 4 105. 3 108. 2 108.8 101. 9 105.2 108.2 110. 5 112. 2 113. 1 111. 0 112. 8 114. 2 115. 1 113. 5 115.2 116. 1 117. 4 Market Final products NonDurable durable Mining Utilities 83.3 86. 9 86. 9 95. 0 98. 9 100. 0 99. 9 110. 3 113. 4 116. 8 111. 6 113. 9 115. 5 117.4 119. 0 120. 2 118. 9 121. 2 121. 4 121. 6 120.4 121.4 121.5 122. 8 86. 5 88. 8 86. 2 94. 8 100. 1 100. 0 91. 4 95. 3 97. 1 98.0 96. 3 97. 4 97. 1 97. 6 97. 8 98.8 97. 1 99. 5 100. 6 100. 9 99. 0 99.0 98. 9 101. 5 65. 2 7J. 1 70. 5 85. 4 93. 6 100. 0 104. 5 115.0 123. 1 131.2 124. 9 127. 1 130.2 131. 2 131.6 134. 5 135. 4 135. 8 135. 1 134. 7 136. 6 136. 7 138.5 139. 5 85. 1 96.0 85.0 97.9 100.0 100. 0 86.8 101. 5 104. 3 102. 9 94. 7 98. 7 102. 7 105. 3 107. 3 107.9 105. 1 106. 7 108. 9 110. 2 108.4 110.6 112.0 113.3 Total 85. 2 90. 7 80. 5 94. 6 98. 9 1 00. 0 1)5. 1 1 00. 5 110. 0 111. 9 106. 7 109. 2 110. 8 112.7 114. 3 114. 7 112. 9 115. 4 116. 9 117. 8 116. 1 117. 1 117.7 119. 3 Consumer goods 82. 5 88. 1 87.2 90. 5 98. 7 ] 00. 0 99. 0 1 1 0. 0 114. 4 116.2 110. 6 113. 7 115. 4 117.8 119. 5 119. S 116. 4 119. 3 120.7 121. 9 120. 5 120. 7 121.2 123. 1 Equipment 90. 0 90. 1 85. 0 90. 9 99. 1 1 00. 0 87. 3 99. 5 102. 9 103. 5 99. 0 100. 1 101. 6 102. 4 103. 9 104. 7 105. 9 107. 4 109.4 109.7 107. 6 109.9 110.7 111. 9 Source: Board of Governors of tbe Federal Reserve System. Materials 82. 7 90. 8 8-1. 4 97. 1 99. 7 1 00. 0 91. 0 i o:t. 5 105. 7 106.4 99. 1 102.9 106.2 108. 7 109. 5 111.2 109.2 110. 7 111. 2 112. 1 111. 2 113. 1 113. 8 114. 9 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES The production of both durable and nondurable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) averaged 1 percent higher in April than in March. Increases were widespread among the major groups with the exception of primary metals. INDEX, 1957 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) INDEX, 1957*100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 100 120 1962 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER X >-. «„••'"* S *-' r^—-**• , IOO trs*-^*-, , , 1 1 1 , 1 II 1 1959 SOURCE: I960 1961 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE 1962 1959 i •• GES AND TOBACf O i i ii , 1 i i , i i I960 1961 i i ii ,1 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1 ')52 1 95H 1 !)54 1 '155 1!)5(i 1 057 1958 1959 1960 _ ... 1961' 1961: March April Mav June July August September _ October _ November. . December 1962: January February March April i 1 Preliminary. * Not available. Primary metals 88.5 ] 00. 3 81.3 105. 5 103.7 100.0 78.0 89. 5 90.3 88.2 73.5 82.0 89. 9 92. 3 94. 6 98. 2 98.7 95. 9 96.2 99.0 100.5 105. 8 105. 4 101 Durable manufactures Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, cated Machin- tation and apparel, and petrobevermetal ery equipprodand print- leum, and ages, and products ment ucts leather ing rubber tobacco 87. 8 88. 4 100. 9 92. 2 79.4 68. 6 74. 5 90. 2 98. 8 96. 4 106.7 84.5 86. 2 93. 6 80. 2 91. 2 88. 8 84. 3 103. 9 86.9 78.7 89. 6 79. 3 92. 8 96. 9 92. 6 95.9 114. 2 94.6 91. 8 96. 2 98. 4 97. 4 102.8 91. 5 109. 9 99.3 96. 3 99.8 101. 1 100.0 100. 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100. 0 91. 6 85. 2 84.2 99. 7 99. 2 99. 2 98. 8 102. 1 103. 9 102. 8 112. 7 97. 8 113. 1 107. 6 115. 2 106. 5 106.4 106. 0 106. 5 111. 5 117.7 101. 7 114.8 109. 4 106. 1 104.9 97. 3 105. 2 114 9 122. 6 J13. 2 115.6 96.3 100.5 110. 2 111.2 sai 99. 8 113. 3 111. 2 98.6 111. 8 102.9 94.0 105. 7 113. 1 118.0 111. 9 113. 3 104.8 104.3 113.6 99. 0 106. 6 121. 7 112. 1 115. 7 107.3 107.3 114. 9 100. 6 110. 6 124. 6 113. 1 118. 2 108. 1 110.2 102.2 111. 2 114. 8 127. 4 113. 9 111.0 102. 7 120.3 108. 5 108. 8 117. 8 127.3 114. 2 105.3 107.8 94. 5 118. 1 107. 4 117. 1 125.7 113. 8 121.7 109.8 108. 4 100. 5 103. 4 117. 4 128. 4 116. 1 121. 6 111. 8 109. 8 106. 0 104. 7 118.0 128. 8 116. 1 112.2 112.2 122. 9 107. 7 106. 9 129. 6 118. 7 114. 6 110.4 101.4 119. 7 111. 4 103. 5 118.0 127.4 115. 3 111. 3 112. 9 112. 7 120. 8 104.5 119. 3 129. 4 115. 2 112. 1 115. 5 122. 8 106. 5 110.6 118.4 128. 4 115. 8 2 114 118 109 125 119 131 116 () Source: Board of Governors o I the Federal Reserve System. 15 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION In April, cars and trucks assembled continued to increase while steel production declined, showed mixed trends. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS Other weekly indicators (DAILY AVERAGE) r /v^vf \ i v ? * K ; V V\\ Mfo SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Bituminous Freight Paperboarc Electric Cars and trucks Steel produced coal mined power loaded produced assembled (thousands) Thousands Index distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of net (1957-59 = (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of cars) of tons) tons 100) kilowatt-hours) tons) 1 Period Weekly average: 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 s _ . 1961 1961: March _ April May June July August September October . November December 1962: January February. _ March April 2 Week ended: 1962: April 7 14-- .. 21 28 May 5 2 122 1 Daily ! average. Preliminary. "Not charted. 16 2, 204 2, 162 1,635 1,792 1,899 1,880 1,600 1,768 2,027 1,993 1,831 1,955 2,083 2,071 2, 039 2,165 2,337 2,425 2,389 2, 151 2,361 2,244 2, 138 1,957 1,820 1,765 107. 0 98.3 104.9 111. 8 111. 2 109.4 116. 2 125. 4 130. 1 128.2 115. 5 11, 292 11,873 12,076 13, 206 14, 685 15, 139 14, 473 14, 295 14, 223 15, 100 15, 274 15, 917 15,518 15, 146 15,576 16, 287 16, 592 16, 340 15, 998 15, 388 1,693 1, 644 1,380 1,380 1,390 1,343 1, 104 1, 212 1,309 1,447 1,292 1,392 1,408 1, 501 1, 525 1,392 1,447 1,374 1,328 1, 403 728 683 - 581 596 585 550 502 526 555 582 543 593 588 645 577 509 518 530 548 562 274 272 275 307 306 320 319 316 320 333 268 334 327 353 341 314 305 348 357 343 132.8 138.6 98. 4 129. 5 151. 8 127.8 109. 9 135.8 141. 0 153.1 118.8 60. 3 103. 3 146. 2 174.4 171. 2 159. 5 158. 5 161.3 172.2 111. 6 117.6 81. 6 107. 6 128. 7 106. 1 88.7 111. 7 118. 4 127.5 97.7 44. 6 83. 8 125. 1 149. 7 145. 4 136.7 134. 0 136. 9 147. 1 21. 2 21. 0 16. 8 21. 9 23. 1 21. 7 21. 1 24. 1 22. 6 25. 5 21. 1 15. 7 19. 6 21. 0 24. 7 25. 7 22. 8 24. 5 24. 4 25. 1 126. 7 120. 5 114. 8 105.0 97. 7 94. 7 15, 569 15, 600 15, 329 15, 054 15, 369 3 15, 445 1, 343 1,377 1, 450 1,419 1,386 548 555 569 578 587 351 338 351 331 367 353 168. 5 169.5 171.3 179. 8 174.8 183. 1 144. 9 144. 1 146. 0 153. 4 149. 2 156. 9 23. 5 25. 4 25. 2 26.4 25. 5 26. 3 118.3 116. 0 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 100.9 85.9 94. 9 io&8 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Faperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION In April, outlays for private construction (seasonally adjusted) rose to their highest level in 1962, but the rise was almost offset by a fall in public construction expenditures. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION '»™™rr^r*-*-T '—-••—'"'* ,,.,..! 1956 • SEE NOTE t IN TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Total new construction expenditures .I , , , . . I . , , , , Tr 1961 1962 COUNCIL DF-ECONOMIC ADVISERS Private Period I Total Residential (nonfarm) Commercial and industrial Other Construction contracts l Commervalue, cial and inFederal, Total States dustrial State, and 48(index, floor space local 1957-59= (millions 100) of square feet) 2 Billions of dollars 1957 1958 1959 1959 (new series) 1960 1961 47.8 49.0 54. 1 56.6 55.6 57.4 3 33. 8 33. 5 38. 0 40. 3 39. 6 40. 4 17.0 18.0 22. 3 25.0 22. 5 22. 5 7. 1 6.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 7.4 9.6 9. 5 9. 7 9. 3 10.0 10. 4 14 1 15. 5 16. 1 16.2 16.0 17.0 Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1961: March April May June July August September October November December 1962: January February March April 4 .. _ 55. 8 55.5 55.5 57. 2 57. 0 58. 0 58.9 58.9 61. 0 58. 9 59.0 56.8 57. 4 57. 5 38. 5 39. 0 39.2 40.3 41. 2 41.3 41.7 41.8 42,0 41. 9 41. 1 39. 9 40.4 41. 3 20.5 21.0 21.3 22. 3 23.1 23. 3 23.8 24. 0 24.5 24.4 23.2 22. 2 22. 4 23. 0 i Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation. ' Kelates to 48 States beginning 1956 and to 37 Eastern States prior to 1956. •In addition to major differences between old and new series, data for Alaska and Hawaii are included beginning January 1959. 7. 7 7. 6 7. 4 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3 7. 2 7. 2 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.6 93. 2 101. 7 105. 1 105. 1 105. 2 107. 6 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.8 10.8 10. 7 10.6 10.5 10. 4 10.3 10. 4 10. 3 10.5 10.7 17. 3 16. 5 16. 3 16. 9 15. 9 16. 7 17.2 17. 1 19. 0 17.0 17.9 16. 9 17.1 16.2 104 103 102 111 110 116 103 114 116 119 115 119 131 421 359 440 440 461 443 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 458 421 431 448 428 477 460 401 507 498 453 537 553 •Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Corporation. 17 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housing starts increased in April to an annual rate of 1,542,000 units (seasonally adjusted), the hishest level in nearly 3 years. FHA applications and VA appraisal requests declined. MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) PRIVATE NONFARM HOUSING STARTS y—»^_«-^ —— ""* SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION IFHAI, AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA). rcouNat OF ECONOMIC ADVISHIS; [Thousands of units] Total housing starts (farm and nonfarm) Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1959 I960... 1961 1961: March April May June July August September October November December. 1962: January 4 February March 4 April <____ 1 2 Total private and public i 1, 553. 5 1, 296. 0 1, 355. 4 .. 109.7 115.3 _ 130.7 138.3 128. 5 130. 1 128. 2 128.9 105. 5 86. 7 83. 0 77. 8 117.6 150. 6 Nonfarm housing starts Private Total Government Private farm and Nonfarm programs Total nonfarm FHA VA Old series 1, 328. 9 1, 309. 5 276. 7 392.9 1, 118. 1 1, 093. 9 189.3 270. 7 992. 8 168. 4 128. 3 1, 041. 9 1, 209. 4 1, 141. 5 295. 4 102. 1 1, 378. 5 1, 342. 8 332.5 109.3 New series 3 New series 3 1, 516. 8 1, 531. 3 1, 494. 6 332.5 109. 3 1,252.1 1, 274, 0 1, 230. 1 260.9 74.6 1, 303. 7 1, 327. 2 1, 275. 5 244.3 83.3 104. 6 102. 2 107. 3 20.1 6. 4 1,296 1,262 111.0 108. 7 20. 1 6. 1 113.0 1, 166 1,143 126.6 124. 2 128. 3 23. 7 8.0 1,291 1,268 132.4 129.5 22. 1 135. 3 7.8 1,381 1,351 1 343 Q/Q 125.2 122. 7 21. 3 126.0 7. 3 1, 1,318 127.0 124. 2 127. 4 25. 5 8. 4 1,326 1,301 122.4 120. 7 126. 5 20.9 7. 3 1,366 1,383 124.0 121. 5 126.4 23.4 9.2 1,434 1,404 102. 5 103. 8 100. 8 22. 9 7. 3 1,351 1,328 82.4 84. 5 80. 2 17.3 5. 7 1,297 1,257 80. 6 79. 3 18. 5 4. 0 81.7 1, 27S 1,247 76. 4 75. 3 1,152 76.7 15. 5 5.0 1,134 115. 8 114. 2 21. 1 116. 0 6. 1 1,410 1,434 146. 9 144. 6 25. 5 1,642 1,619 148. 3 7.8 Total private and public i Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. Not available. ' See Housing Starts, C 20-11 (Supplement), Bureau of the Census, May 1960, for description. (Data for Alaska and Hawaii included.) 18 Private housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rates Proposed home construction Applications for Hequests for VA FHA commit- appraisals1 ments ' 306. 197. 198. 341. 369. 2 7 8 7 7 620.8 401. 5 159. 4 234. 2 234.0 369. 7 242.4 243.8 24.0 20. 8 23.9 23. 4 20. 6 24.4 19. 6 22. 1 17.4 16. 4 14. 5 18. 7 24. 6 22. 7 234.0 142.9 177.8 17.7 17.5 14.7 17. 6 15. 1 17.4 15.7 16. 1 13. 5 11.0 12.9 12.0 19. 0 16. 3 * Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). TRADE SALES AND INVENTORIES Retail trade sales (seasonally adjusted) rose 11/^ percent in March and preliminary estimates indicate a further rise of 1 percent in April. Wholesale sales and trade inventories chansed little in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADE DURABLE GOODS STORES INVENTORIES INVENTORIES — _t J I INDEX, l947-49s|QO * NONDURABLE GOODS STORES 180 INVENTORIES 160 - 120 - 100 1959 1961 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Wholesale Period Sales l Inventories 2 Retail Sales '3 Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Department stores Inventories 2 Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 . _ 1961- February MErch April May June July ... August SeptemberOctober NovemberDecember ._ 1962: January 6 February __ March6 6 April _ 9.7 10. 6 11. 3 11. 3 11. 1 12. 3 12. 3 12. 6 12. 4 12. 5 12.1 12. 8 12.8 12.5 12. 8 12. 1 12. 9 13. 1 12. 7 13. 1 12.7 12. 8 10. 4 11. 4 13. 0 12. 7 12. 0 12.6 13.2 13.5 13. 2 13.3 13.4 13. 5 13. 5 13. 6 13. 6 13. 5 13. 4 13. 3 13. 5 13.6 13. 6 13.7 14. 1 15. 3 15.8 16. 7 16. 7 18.0 18. 3 18. 2 17.8 18. 1 17. 9 18. 0 18. 2 18. 0 18. 2 18. 1 18. 6 19. 1 18. 8 18.8 19. 0 19. 3 19. 5 21 Montbly average for year and total for month. 3 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. Beginning January 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. * End of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. 9. 2 9. 7 10. 3 11. 0 11. 4 12. 0 12.4 12.6 12, 4 12.6 12. 5 12. 4 12. 6 12. 5 12.7 12, 5 12. 7 12. 9 12. 9 12,9 13. 0 13. 1 13. 1 4.8 5. 6 5. 5 5. 7 5. 3 6. 0 5. 9 5. 6 5.3 5. 6 5. 4 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.5 5. 6 5.9 6. 2 5.9 5. 9 6. 0 6. 2 6. 4 I96B COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AOVISK5 20. 9 22. 8 23. 4 24. 6 24. 3 25. 5 27. 2 26. 9 26. 6 26. 1 26. 2 26. 2 26. 2 26. 3 26.0 26.3 26. 4 26. 8 26. 9 26. 9 26. 9 26.8 9.3 10. 5 10. 5 11.4 10.7 11. 3 12. 3 11.5 11.7 11. 4 11. 2 11. 3 11. 4 11. 5 11. 0 11. 3 11. 3 11. 4 11.5 11. 5 11.5 11.4 11.7 12. 2 12. 9 13. 2 13. 6 14.3 14. 9 15. 3 14. 9 14. 7 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 15. 0 15. 1 15. 1 15.3 15. 3 15. 3 15. 4 15. 4 Sales 1 Inventories 4 Index, 1947-49= 100, seasonally adjusted 5 128 118 136 128 148 135 152 135 136 148 144 156 146 165 166 149 161 145 146 161 148 162 144 164 149 163 166 151 150 168 150 170 151 170 153 172 156 172 149 172 150 172 157 174 155 s Based on retail value. Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 6 19 MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' sales (seasonally adjusted) and inventories each rose $400 million in March while new orders dropped. Preliminary data indicate that new orders for durable goods in April were about the same as in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 4O BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 60 SO 40 _MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS. 30 NONDURABLE GOODS \ NONDURABLE GOODS DURABLE GOODS i t * i 1 i. > i. 1959 I960 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCE'. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. ' ' ' ' I '' ' i . 1 1 . 1 1962 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Manufacturers' sales * Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: February March _ _ April May June July. August September October _ November December . 1962: January 3 February March * April 3 4 1 1 Monthly Total NonDurable durable goods goods 23.5 26.3 27.7 28.4 26. 2 29. 7 30. 4 30.7 29.0 29.6 30.1 30.7 30.8 31.1 31.4 31. 4 31.8 32.2 32.4 32.0 32.8 33.2 average for year and total for month. Book value, end oi period, seasonally adjusted. 20 11.2 13.1 13.8 14.2 12. 4 14.5 14. 7 14.5 13. 3 13. 7 14. 1 14.6 14.7 14.8 15.0 15. 0 15. 3 15. 6 15.7 15. 5 16.0 16. 3 16.4 12.3 13.3 13.9 14.2 13.8 15. 2 15. 7 16.2 15.7 15. 9 16.0 16.2 16. 2 16. 3 16. 3 16. 4 16. 5 16. 6 16. 7 16. 5 16. 9 17.0 Manufacturers' inventories 2 Total 43.0 46. 4 52.3 53.5 49.2 52.4 53. 7 55.2 53.6 53.3 53. 4 53. 4 53. 4 53. 6 54.0 54.4 54. 8 55. 0 55.2 55. 7 56. 2 56. 6 NonDurable durable goods goods 24.1 26.7 30.7 31.1 27.9 30. 1 30. 9 31. 5 30.6 30.3 30.2 30.2 30.2 30. 4 30. 8 31.1 31. 4 31. 5 31. 5 31. 9 32. 2 32. 4 18. 9 19.7 21. 6 22. 4 21.3 22.3 22. 9 23.7 23.0 23.0 23.2 23.2 23. 2 23.2 23.2 23. 3 23. 4 23. 5 23. 7 23. 8 24.0 24.2 Manufacturers' new orders 1 Total 22. 5 27. 2 28.3 27.3 25.9 30. 1 29.9 31.0 29. 1 29.8 30. 4 31.0 31. 0 31. 3 32. 1 32. 2 32. 6 32. 7 32. 8 32. 9 33. 1 32. 8 • Preliminary. Source: Department of Commerce. Durable goods NonMachinery durable and goods Total equipment 12.3 10. 2 3. 1 13.9 4.2 13.3 14. 4 4.7 13.9 13.1 4. 4 14.2 12.0 3.9 13.9 14. 9 5.0 15.3 14. 3 4.9 15.7 14.7 5.2 16.2 13.4 4. 8 15.8 16. 0 13. 8 5. 1 5.0 16.0 14. 4 5.2 16. 2 14.8 14. 9 5.3 16. 2 15. 0 5. 3 16.3 15. 6 5. 5 16.5 15.7 16.5 5. 5 16. 1 5.6 16. 6 16. 1 5.7 16. 6 16.2 16. 6 5. 5 16. 4 5.8 16.5 16. 2 5.7 16. 9 15.7 5.6 17.0 15.7 5.5 ' Not charted. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS In March, exports (seasonally adjusted) fell sharply and imports rose moderately, reducins the trade surplus to $270 million, the lowest in 2 years. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 12.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2.0 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDIN6 MUTUAL SECURITY PROGRAM SHIPMENTS 1.0 1962 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, AND DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Period [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports excluding Merchandise imports Mutual Security Program shipments Total (includGeneral 2imDomestic exports Imports for consumption 3 ing reexports)1 ports Indus- Finished Indus- Finished Season- Unad- Total ' Food- trial manu- Season- Unad- Total Food- trial manually ad- justed ally ad- justed stuffs matestuffs matefacfacjusted tures rials tures ' justed rials Monthly average: 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 ... . 1958 . _ 1959 1960_ 1961. 1961: February March. _ . April May June July._ AugustSeptember October. November December 1962: January February March 1,022 1,071 1, 191 1,444 1,625 1,364 1,366 1, 633 1,672 1, 736 1, 711 1, 658 1,577 1,595 1, 668 1,660 1, 668 1, 773 1, 716 1, 719 1, 660 1,828 1,606 1, 606 1, 888 1, 648 1, 676 1, 644 1,558 1,598 1,556 1,817 1,759 1,777 1,592 1, 690 1, 755 1,012 143 254 131 310 1,060 162 1, 180 351 1,432 216 441 1,610 208 529 1,350 198 368 1,351 210 365 1,617 230 510 1,652 254 486 Unadjusted 244 1, 593 492 1,857 283 525 1, 630 242 454 1,658 262 474 1,623 239 457 1,538 231 446 1,578 226 493 1,540 225 453 1,794 309 522 1, 740 288 513 284 1, 758 513 254 415 1,567 284 1,669 420 1,733 1 Total exports less Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. 2 Imports for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses. 3 Imports for immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from bonded ware-bouses. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 614 620 667 775 872 784 776 877 911 856 1,051 933 917 927 862 860 862 963 940 961 898 965 906 851 949 1,051 1,082 1,070 1,267 1,252 1,227 1, 146 1,158 1, 159 1, 155 1, 177 1,366 1, 261 1,280 1,322 1,311 1,296 1,S20 1,314 1,S36 1,068 1,255 1,063 1,223 1,232 1,285 1, 252 1, 197 1,364 1,342 1,295 1,373 1, 224 1,386 441 898 274 853 276 394 945 260 468 1,043 508 267 1,079 274 511 1,062 287 450 534 1,249 285 513 1,251 274 1,220 520 277 Unadjusted 250 462 1,058 1,260 531 311 1,067 428 251 497 1, 217 264 492 1,201 287 1,259 275 511 1, 267 285 511 1, 196 266 495 1, 359 301 555 1,337 295 541 280 548 1,273 602 1,354 285 519 1,208 263 586 1, 369 297 183 183 217 268 294 325 431 438 423 346 418 367 427 410 455 454 415 479 479 445 467 416 486 NOTE .—Because of revisions being made in series, subgroups do not necessarily include all data reflected in totals. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. 21 U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Despite a small decline in exports of goods and services and a slight rise in imports in the first quarter of 1962, the overall deficit, as measured by U.S. gold sales and increases in foreign dollar assets, fell sharply to $1.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * 40 40 U.S. PAYMENTS U.S. PAYMENTS 30 U.S. RECEIPTS FM'PORTS of GOODS"! _'v AND SERVICES _ j_ ZO U.S. RECEIPTS 10 r- EXCESS OF RECEIPTS - I -20 1958 ! EXPORTS OF GOODS I .AND SERVICES ! 10 — EXCESS OF PAYMENTS - I I 1959 I960 1961 1958 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. -^ INCLUDES UNRECORDED TRANSACTIONS, EXCLUDES LIQUID DOLLAR ASSETS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. I960 1961 COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollarsj U.S. receipts (recorded) Period Increase in foreign Balance Unregold and on recorded U.S. grants and capital (net) Foreign corded recorded transactransliquid Exports capital tions — Imports U.S. dollar other actions of of Private capital errors and Governthan assets inet pay- omissions goods goods ment through liquid and and Total ' (net grants dollar services transacor receipts receipts) services and Total Direct assets tions with ( + )] capital the U.S. (net) U.S. payments (recorded) 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961. 17, 949 20, 003 23, 705 26, 733 23, 325 23, 709 27, 300 28, 316 210 351 576 428 — 27 709 200 577 16, 088 17, 937 19, 829 20, 923 21, 053 23, 537 23, 327 23, 079 1961 : First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1962: First quarter 6 28, 500 27, 520 27, 940 29, 304 29, 000 796 1, 100 28 384 21, 972 22, 156 23, 868 24, 320 24, 400 1 1 664 1, 554 1, 619 3,788 779 2, 211 1, 211 4,007 2,362 2, 990 1, 859 6,017 6, 451 2,574 3, 175 2,058 6, 153 2 2,587 2,844 1,094 2 1, 986 2, 375 1, 372 5, 152 7, 454 2, 750 3, 856 1, 694 2,831 3,951 1,601 7,652 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 3, 480 4, 156 2, 000 8,484 -100 3, 204 1, 232 3,980 3, 752 3,020 1,880 7, 644 4, 192 5, 424 1,292 10, 500 — 1, 717 — 1, 590 1 565 -213 -3,908 -4,271 -3,281 -1,838 167 446 643 748 380 528 -648 — 616 1, 550 1, 144 922 -535 3,528 3, 743 3,929 2, 454 -1, 160 2,484 -3, 544 -5, 132 -216 — 1, 860 436 -824 3 —624 4 3, 108 5 1, 376 5, 956 1, 800 5 Includes remittances and pensions not shown separately. Includes over $400 million ($1.7 billion at annual rate) of subscriptions to Excludes $1,375 million increase in U.S. subscription to International Moneinternational organizations and other special capital outflows, 6 tary Fund. Preliminary, not charted. ' Includes advance debt repayment and interest payments on XJ.S. Govern... ^ ^ , ^ ^ ^ . ^ , ^ ^ . , . ment loans of $774 million ($3.1 billion at annual rate). NOTE.— Data exclude goods and services transferred under military grants. 4 Before adjustment for receipts oj principal and interest on government loans Source- Dpnartmpnf nf Oommpmp paid in the previous quarter. uv^.«-. ^ot>"" >•""»•••>" ^« «"=• 22 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in March, with small increases occurring in each of the major commodity and service groups. INDEX, 1957-59-100 1956 I N D E X , 1957-59 = 100 1957 (958 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. All items 1951 1952 ._ ... 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961-._ ._. 1961: February.. March _ April . _. . Mav June -_ July . . August.. September October November December 1962- January February . March 90.5 92.5 93. 2 93. 6 93. 3 94. 7 98.0 100.7 101. 5 103. 1 104. 2 103. 9 103. 9 103. 9 103. 8 104. 0 104. 4 104 3 104. 6 104. 6 104. 6 104. 5 1045 104. 8 105. 0 I960 1961 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period Source: Department of Labor. 1959 [1957-59=100] Services Commodities Commodities less food Services All comAll Food Rent less Nonmodities services All Durable durable rent 80.0 92. 7 82. 3 95. 5 95. 4 95. 9 101. 4 80.4 85.7 83. 8 102. 7 96. 7 97. 1 96. 7 93. 2 84 0 87.0 96. 4 95. 6 96. 8 101. 6 94 0 87. 5 90. 3 89. 1 95. 4 95. 4 95. 6 94 4 89. 8 93. 5 97.7 90. 8 94 4 94 0 94 9 94 4 94 8 94 6 91.4 92. 8 94. 7 94. 9 95. 3 95.9 96. 5 93. 4 96. 5 96. 7 97.8 98.9 98. 2 97. 0 98. 3 98. 4 99. 1 100. 3 99. 8 99. 7 100. 1 100. 7 101. 9 99. 8 100. 3 102. 9 102. 0 101. 3 102. 7 101.0 100. 3 101. 0 101. 6 101. 8 102. 6 106. 1 101. 7 101. 4 100. 7 105. 6 103. 1 108. 3 102. 4 102. 6 100. 5 102. 1 104 4 103. 2 107. 6 102. 3 102. 9 104 1 107.6 101. 7 99. 5 103. 0 107. 0 102. 7 102. 2 101. 6 103. 1 104. 1 107.9 99. 2 107. 2 102. 1 102. 7 101. 4 99. 9 102. 5 107. 3 104 2 108.0 102. 3 101. 5 102. 5 107. 4 104 3 108. 1 101. 9 100. 0 108.2 102. 2 102. 5 101. 8 102. 7 104. 4 100. 4 107. 5 102. 1 102. 8 100. 6 108.3 103. 4 103. 0 107. 6 104 4 102. 5 102. 7 102. 2 104. 4 108.4 101. 0 103. 1 107. 7 102. 8 102. 6 102. 6 101. 0 108. 6 103. 8 107. 9 104. 7 102. 9 103. 0 102.5 101. 7 108. 0 104. 8 108. 7 103. 8 102. 6 102. 9 101. 9 101. 6 103. 8 108. 2 104 9 108. 9 102. 6 102. 4 102. 0 108. 5 105.0 109. 1 101. 1 103. 6 102. 5 102. 0 100. 8 102. 9 108. 7 109. 3 102.3 105. 1 102. 2 102. 7 103. 1 100. 8 103. 3 105.2 109. 5 108. 9 102. 8 103. 2 102. 4 100. 9 109. 0 109. 6 103. 5 105. 3 23 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices fell on the average in April, trial prices continued stable. Prices of farm products and processed foods were down while indus- INDEX, I957-59-IOO 1NDEX.-1957-59-IOO 115 FARM PRODUCTS 110 K k i \ 105 PROCESSED FOODS .'ALL COMMODITIES - -, •-. COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS) SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. All commodities Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 .. 1958 1959 1960 3 1961 ... 1961: March. April May. June. JulyAugust September October November December 1962: January February March.. April 3 4 Week ended: 1962: May 8 15 •COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS . 92. 9 93. 2 96. 2 99. 0 100. 4 100. 6 100.7 100.3 101. 0 100. 5 100. 0 99. 5 99.9 100. 1 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 4 100. 8 100. 7 100. 7 100. 4 100.4 100.3 [1957-59= 100] Commodities other than farm products and foods (industrials) Consumer finIndus- Indus- ProducFarm Procished goods exAll intrial in- er fintrial prodessed cluding food dustricrude termedi- ished ucts foods DurNonals ' mate- ate magoods terials 2 able durable rials 104. 4 91. 8 95.3 97. 6 90. 4 88. 0 89. 8 83. 1 92. 5 92.8 95. 8 94. 3 92. 4 85. 6 97. 9 96. 6 92. 0 95. 9 97.7 96. 6 94. 3 96. 5 102. 3 97. 0 98. 7 99.9 99. 2 97. 9 99. 2 99. 6 97. 7 100.9 102. 9 100. 1 103. 6 99. 5 99. 4 100. 2 99. 3 96.9 102. 1 101. 3 97. 2 99. 2 101. 0 100. 8 101. 3 102.3 99. 9 102. 3 100. 9 96. 9 101. 3 101. 4 101. 5 98. 3 102. 5 100. 5 96. 0 100. 6 100. 8 97.2 100. 1 101. 5 102. 2 101. 6 102. 5 100. 5 98. 1 100. 6 101. 2 96.5 100. 8 102. 4 100. 5 101. 5 96. 6 100. 5 101. 1 96. 5 100. 0 102. 4 100. 5 100. 9 94. 8 99. 7 100. 8 96.5 92. 9 102. 5 100. 6 101. 2 98. 9 100. 6 96. 8 99. 9 102. 5 100. 6 95. 1 99. 7 100. 6 99. 8 101. 2 97. 5 100. 5 96. 7 100. 2 99. 7 102. 5 101. 3 100. 6 98.7 102. 5 100. 5 95. 2 100. 2 99.2 99. 9 101. 2 100. 7 100. 4 99. 8 102. 6 100. 3 101. 2 95. 1 100. 5 99. 7 102. 7 100. 1 97.2 99. 8 100. 4 101. 4 95. 6 100. 7 100. 9 97.2 99. 9 102. 7 100. 3 101. 8 95. 9 100. 9 102. 0 101. 8 100. 0 102. 8 100. 2 97. 9 101. 0 98. 5 98.2 101. 7 99. 9 100. 1 100.8 102.8 101. 8 98. 2 98.4 102. 8 100. 0 101. 4 100. 8 100. 0 101. 3 97. 1 100. 3 99. 9 101.7 96.9 100. 1 95. 9 102.9 100.9 96. 8 96. 6 99.9 100. 0 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index. 1 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. 24 100. 9 100. 9 (55) () 3 4 Preliminary. Weekly series based 6 (55) () (5!) () (5) (5) on smaller sample than m onthly series. Not available. Source: Department of Labor. (55) () PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended April 15, the index of prices received by farmers fell slightly, and the index of prices paid rose slightly. The parity ratio was down 1 point to 79. INDEX, I9IO-I4 = IOO INDEX, I9IO-I4-IOO 325 325 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES. AND WAGE RATES 300 300 275 275 200 I . . . . . I 200 RATIO-" RATIO-^ 100 PARITY RATIO -X~^ •n* •w^ «« lmn 75 ,,,,,1 1 1957 1956 , , , , , 1 1958 1959 I960 •i'RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 1961 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. Prices received by farmers Period 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 _ . 1957 1958 1959 1900 1961 1901 : March 15 April 15 Mav 15 June 15 July 15 August 15 September 15 October 15 November 15 December 15 1962: January 15 February 15 March 15 April 15... AH farm products _ _ ... - ... - __ .- -_ Crops 288 255 246 232 230 235 250 240 238 240 243 239 236 234 237 241 242 240 238 240 242 243 244 242 "Percentage ratio ol index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. 267 240 242 231 235 225 223 221 221 226 224 226 230 231 232 229 229 226 223 224 224 227 233 236 Prices paid by farmers All items, interest, Livestock taxes, Producand Family and living tion wage rates products items items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 274 287 271 306 268 269 256 277 270 249 277 255 234 251 276 270 274 226 278 250 244 282 286 257 273 293 287 264 256 288 297 266 253 299 290 265 251 291 301 266 259 302 290 269 291 302 251 267 241 291 266 302 236 300 290 265 241 264 290 300 251 290 265 301 252 301 291 266 252 301 291 265 250 301 291 265 292 255 302 267 256 304 293 268 305 294 257 268 254 294 305 269 306 294 246 270 Source: Department of Agriculture. ParityJ ratio 100 92 89 84 83 82 85 81 80 80 80 79 78 78 79 80 80 80 79 79 80 80 80 79 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY The money supply increased more than seasonally in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 160 AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ISO ISO TOTAL MONEY SUPPLY 140 140 \ DEMAND DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS I2O 120 \ 110 100 90 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period 1953: 1954: 1955: 1956: 1957: 1958: 1959: 1960: 1961: 1961: December. December. December. December December December December. December December April ij.o,.r May . June July August September October November December. 1962: January .. February March2 April _ First half Second half 1 2 Deposits 2 at all commercial banks, Preliminary. 26 1962 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] Money supply Seasonally adjusted Unadjusted Currency Demand Currency Demand outside Total Total outside deposits! deposits l banks banks 27.7 128. 1 28.2 100. 4 131. 4 103.3 27.4 131. 8 104. 4 27. 9 107. 1 135. 0 134. 6 27.8 106.8 137.9 28. 3 109. 6 136. 5 28. 2 139.7 28. 7 111.0 108.3 135. 5 28. 3 107.2 28. 9 109. 9 138.8 140. 8 28. 6 112. 2 144 3 29. 2 115. 1 141. 5 28. 9 112. 6 144. 9 29. 5 115. 5 140. 4 29. 0 29. 5 111. 4 143.8 114. 3 144. 9 29. 5 115. 4 30. 1 148. 5 118. 4 142. 0 29. 0 113. 0 141. 7 28. 7 113. 0 142. 0 29. 0 113.0 28. 7 140. 0 111. 3 142. 1 28. 9 28. 9 111. 8 113. 2 140. 7 142. 0 29. 0 141. 1 29. 2 111. 9 113. 0 141. 8 29.0 112. 8 29. 2 141. 1 111. 9 143. 0 29. 2 142. 4 113. 8 29. 3 113. 1 143.7 29. 3 143. 6 114 4 29. 4 114. 2 144. 1 29. 4 114. 6 29. 7 145. 3 115.6 144 9 29. 5 30. 1 ]15. 4 148. 5 118. 4 1446 29.6 115. 1 29. 4 147. 8 118. 3 144 4 29. 6 114 7 29. 3 114.8 144 0 144 7 29. 9 114. 8 29. 5 113. 7 143. 2 145. 7 30. 0 115. 7 29. 7 115.7 145. 4 144 4 30. 0 145. 3 115.3 29.8 1146 146. 1 30. 0 , 146. 4 116. 1 29.6 116. 8 Related deposits (unadjusted) 1 Gross time 44 7 48.5 50. 0 51. 8 57. 1 65. 1 67. 0 72. 5 82.3 76. 9 78. 1 79. 0 79. 9 80. 7 81. 3 82. 0 82. 0 82. 3 83. 9 85. 8 87.7 89. 2 89.0 89.3 NOTE.—See note, p. 27. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System. U.S. Government demand 3. 8 5.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.9 4.9 47 49 2. 9 4. 6 4. 5 4. 3 5.5 5. 2 6.5 5.8 49 3.9 47 5. 1 3. 9 40 3.8 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans rose $1.1 billion in April, compared to a rise of $600 million in April 1961. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 250 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS BANK LOANS INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 1959 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commercial banks End of period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960. 1961 5 1961: March April _ Mav . . ... .. June Julv August . 5 September October 5 5 November December •'• 1962: January 5 5 February March5 " April _ . Investments Total loans and investments Loans 155. 9 160.9 165. 1 170. 1 185. 2 190. 3 199. 5 215. 6 198.0 199.7 201.2 201. 8 205.1 205. 1 209. 9 210. 3 211. 3 215. 6 213. 7 214. 3 215. 2 217. 3 70. 6 82. 6 90. 3 93.9 98.2 110. 8 117. 6 125. 2 116. 6 117. 2 117. 9 118. 0 118. 1 118. 5 120. 5 120. 5 121. 7 125. 2 122. 4 123. 8 125. 4 126. 5 U.S. Government securities Billions of dollars 16. 3 69. 0 16.7 61.6 58.6 16. 3 17.9 58. 2 66. 4 20. 6 20.5 58. 9 20. 9 61. 0 66. 5 23. 9 21. 7 59. 7 21. 8 60.7 21. 9 61.5 22. 1 61.8 64. 7 22. 3 64. 2 22.5 23. 3 66. 1 23.2 66. 6 23.4 66. 2 66. 5 23.9 24. 1 67.2 66. 0 24. 5 64. 4 25. 4 64. 6 26. 2 * Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 2 Commercial and industrial loans and prior to 1956 agricultural loans. Series revised beginning January 1952, October 1955, July 1958, July 1959, and April 1961. 3 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except Interbank and U.S. Government. Prior to 1955, relates to 344 centers outside New York City. * Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. Other securities Weekly reporting member] banks Business loans 2 22.4 26. 7 30. 8 31.8 2 31. 7 2 30. 5 31. 9 32. 9 32. 2 2 31. 7 31. 5 31. 8 31. 3 31. 5 31.8 31. 9 32. 1 32. 9 32.0 32.2 33. 0 32. 8 2 Bank All member banks1 debits outside New York Reserves 4 BorrowCity (343 ings at centers) , Federal seasonally adjusted Required Excess Reserve Banks 4 annual3 rates Millions of dollars 246 703 1,148 18, 576 839 594 18, 646 1,277 688 652 1,385 18, 883 710 577 1, 488 18, 843 557 516 1,481 18, 383 482 906 1, 656 18, 450 87 756 1, 736 18, 527 149 1,832 19, 550 568 70 1, 785 18, 253 556 56 1,782 607 18, 277 96 1,829 18, 307 549 612 63 18, 430 1,824 51 581 1,840 18, 482 1,833 18, 619 67 604 37 1,848 18, 783 584 507 65 1,906 19, 153 622 105 1,904 19, 218 149 19, 550 1,917 568 616 70 2,011 19, 473 502 68 1, 917 19, 069 91 1,987 19, 077 470 69 2, 047 19,213 509 * Preliminary. NOTE.—Between January and August 1959, series for all commercial banks expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all member banks include Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1954 and 1959, respectively. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 2 Jt CONSUMER CREDIT In March, total consumer credit outstandins rose about $90 million, compared to a decrease of $200 million in March 1961. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF MONTH- TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING \ NONINSTALMENT CREDIT >«»«»< 1956 1957 1958 1959 1961 I960 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period 1952 ... 1953 . 1954 1955 1956 . ._. 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: February March April May June July August September October November December 1962: January February March . .. [Millions of dollars] Consumer credit outstanding (end of period ; unadjusted) Instalment NonAutomoTotal instal-3 Total > bile 2 ment paper 27, 520 31, 393 32, 464 38, 807 42, 262 44, 848 44, 984 51, 331 55, 757 57, 139 53, 843 53, 641 53, 756 54, 196 54, 602 54, 505 54, 739 54, 757 54, 902 55, 451 57, 139 56, 278 55, 592 55, 680 19, 403 23, 005 23, 568 28, 883 31, 648 33, 745 33, 497 39, 034 42, 588 43, 163 41, 662 41, 465 41, 423 41, 584 41, 888 41, 909 42, 090 42, 039 42, 181 42, 419 43, 163 42, 846 42, 632 42, 704 7, 733 9,835 9,809 13, 437 14, 348 15, 218 14, 007 16, 209 17, 444 16, 960 17, 017 16, 922 16, 877 16, 933 17, 061 17, 063 17, 061 16, 902 16, 913 16, 960 16, 960 16, 878 16, 900 17, 039 1 Also includes other consumer goods paper, repair and modernization loans, and personal loans, not shown separately. 5 Consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and secured by the items purchased. 3 Consists of single-payment Joans, charge accounts, and service credit. 28 I 1962 COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVIStl 8, 117 8,388 8,896 9,924 10, 614 11, 103 11, 487 12, 297 13, 169 13, 976 12, 181 12, 176 12, 333 12, 612 12, 714 12, 596 12, 649 12, 718 12, 721 13, 032 13, 976 13, 432 12, 960 12, 976 Consumer instalment credit extended and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Total i Automobile paper 2 Extended 29, 514 31, 558 31,051 38, 944 39, 775 41, 871 39, 962 47, 818 49, 313 47, 984 3, 812 3, 894 3, 800 3,907 3, 962 3,909 4,038 3,942 4, 209 4,317 4,315 4, 194 4, 302 4, 363 Repaid 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 629 37, 009 39, 775 40, 211 42, 435 45, 759 47, 412 3,889 3,907 3,907 3,895 3,962 3,937 3,994 3,956 4,028 4, 017 4,051 3, 979 4, 066 4,094 Extended 11, 764 12,981 1 1, 807 16, 706 15, 421 16, 321 14, 069 17, 544 17, 408 15, 779 1, 216 1, 255 1, 225 1,270 1, 296 1, 300 1, 302 1,271 1, 405 1, 511 1,471 1, 474 1,496 1, 526 Repaid 10, 003 10. 879 11,833 13,077 14, 510 15, 451 15, 281 15,411 16, 172 16, 262 1, 353 1, 348 1, 356 1,336 1, 354 1, 364 1, 362 1,350 1, 372 1,359 1,361 1, 380 1, 369 1, 393 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES The rate on 3-month Treasury bills averaged a little higher in April than in March. However, bond yields declined. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER A N N U M SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1901: March. April _ . .._ - Mav June July. . August September October November December 1962: January February March. April Week ended: 1962: April 7 May 14. 21 28__ 5 12 _ 19 1 1 Kate .. _ _ _ . _ _ _ _ [Percent per annum] U. B. Government High-grade security yields municipal bonds 3-month Taxable2 (Standard & Treasury bonds Poor's) 3 bills ' 0.953 2. 55 2. 37 1. 753 2. 84 2. 53 2.658 3. 08 2.93 3.267 3. 47 3.60 1.839 3. 56 3. 43 3. 405 3.95 4. 08 2. 928 4. 02 3.73 2.378 3. 90 3.46 2.420 3. 78 3.38 2. 327 3. 44 3. 80 2. 288 3. 38 3. 73 2. 359 3. 53 3. 88 2. 268 3. 53 3.90 2. 402 4.00 3.55 2.304 4.02 3. 54 2.350 3.46 3.98 2.458 3.44 3.98 2.617 4.06 3. 49 3.32 2. 746 4. 08 2.752 3.28 4.09 2. 719 3. 19 4. 01 2. 735 3. 89 3.08 on new issues within period. Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after; Aprfl 1952-March 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; October 1941-March 1952, bonds due or callable after 16 years. 3. 90 3. 89 3. 88 3. 90 3. 87 3.85 2.757 2. 720 2.723 2. 740 2. 748 2. 720 2. 646 s 3. 14 3. 11 3. 06 3. 01 3. 01 3.02 Corporate bonds (Moody'sl Aaa Baa 2. 90 3.06 3.36 3.89 3. 79 4.38 4.41 4.35 4.22 4. 25 4. 27 4. 33 4.41 4.45 4.45 4. 42 4.39 4.42 4. 42 4. 42 4. 39 4.33 3.51 3.53 3.88 4.71 4.73 5. 05 5. 19 5.08 5.02 5.01 5. 01 5.03 5.09 5. 11 5. 12 5. 13 5. 11 5.10 5.08 5. 07 5. 04 5. 02 4. 37 4. 34 4. 33 4. 31 4.30 4.29 5. 03 5.02 5.01 5.01 5. 02 5. 00 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 1. 58 2. 18 3. 31 3. 81 2. 46 3. 97 3. 85 2.97 3.03 2. 91 2.76 2. 91 2. 72 2. 92 3.05 3. 00 2. 98 3. 19 3.26 3. 22 3. 25 3.20 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 3. 25 3. 25 3. 19 3. 13 3. 13 a 13 STOCK PRICES Stock prices declined in April and early May. INDEX, I957-59*IOO £20 INDEX, I9S7-59=IOO 220 160 130 ' \ / V-v. TRANSPORTATION 100 1956 1962 1957 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Composite index 1 Period Weekly average: 1953 . . 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: March April Mav --. -. -. -. . - June July August September October November _ December 1962: January __ _ February. March _. ._ _ April_ __ _ Week ended: 1962: April 13 20 27 May 4__ 11 .. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59=1001 Manufacturing NonDurable Total durable goods goods Utilities Trade, finance, and service Mining 51.9 61. 7 81. 8 92. 6 89. 8 93. 2 116.7 113. 9 1342 129. 8 133. 0 134. 9 132. 8 132. 7 137. 4 136. 2 138.0 144. 0 145. 8 140. 4 142. 8 142. 9 138.0 46. 7 57. 6 79. 5 93. 2 90. 7 92. 5 116. 5 110. 9 126. 7 123. 9 125.8 127. 6 126.0 125. 2 130. 1 128. 9 129. 1 133. 7 135.6 130. 8 133. 4 133. 5 128.2 43.0 54.7 78.7 91. 5 88.5 90. 4 120.8 117.3 129.2 127. 8 128. 5 130. 6 128.0 126. 5 131. 3 131.7 132. 2 135. 7 138. 1 133. 6 134 4 134. 0 128. 0 49.8 60. 0 80. 1 94. 5 92. 8 94. 4 112. 6 104 9 124.4 120.3 123.3 124. 9 124. 2 123. 9 129.0 126. 4 126. 4 131. 9 133. 3 128. 1 132. 6 133. 1 128. 5 73. 9 78.6 108.2 110.6 93. 2 91. 0 115. 6 95. 8 105.7 104. 2 103. 4 107. 5 105. 1 103. 2 107.0 106. S 110. 1 109. 9 107. 9 108. 5 110. 5 107. 4 103. 1 67. 3 75. 3 84. 8 86.4 86. 3 95.8 117. 6 129. 3 168.4 159. 2 168. 9 170. 0 164.0 166. 7 170. 6 168. 9 173.9 186.0 188.4 181. 4 183.0 184. 2 180.3 60. 8 69. 1 87. 1 89. 9 82.2 95. 1 122. 3 127. 4 160.2 146. 7 150. 4 153. 1 156. 0 158. 4 1642 166. 4 176. 6 187.7 188. 0 175.2 176. 4 175.2 172. 0 70.4 78. 2 91. 6 104. 6 107.2 97. 9 95. 0 73.8 92. 5 89. 2 93. 5 96. 9 97.0 93. 1 92.8 87.3 90. 2 95. 1 101. 1 104. 1 109. 7 106. 6 103. 9 137. 8 139. 6 134.7 134 8 127. 2 128. 129. 124. 125. 118. 128. 6 129. 5 123. 1 123. 7 116. 4 127. 7 130. 0 126. 7 126. 7 119. 8 103. 2 104. 5 100. 5 101. 4 98. 1 179.8 182. 6 176. 8 175. 4 164. 6 171. 1 173. 7 169. 4 169. 4 162. 0 103. 4 105. 9 102. 2 102. 0 97.4 1 7 9 2 1 1 Includes 300 common stocks: 108 for durable goods manufacturing, 86 for nondurable goods manufacturing, 18 for transportation, 34 for utilities, 45 for trade, finance, and service, and 10 for mining. 30 Transportation NOTE.—Indexes are based on weekly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The bucket deficit for the first 10 months of fiscal 1962 was $9.7 billion. deficit was $6.0 billion. For the comparable period of 1961, the BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 NET BUDGET RECEIPTS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 0 1957 I9S8 1959 I960 1961 1962 1957 + IO NATIONAL DEFENSE 1958 1959 I960 1961 1962 BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT {-) (ENLARGED SCALE) +5 FIRST IOMONTHS 1957 1962 1959 1957 1959 1961 FISCAL Y E A R S *ESTIMATE SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal 1961: year 1957 year 1958 year 1959 year 1960 year 1961 4 .. year 1962 _ _ . year 1963 * . . March-._ April Mav June July 5 6 August September 5 October 5 5 November5 _ _ _ December 5 1962: January .5 February March 5 _ April 5 Cumulative totals first 10 months:s Fiscal year 1961 Fiscal vear 1962 1 _ - - COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net National defense 1 budget Department Total receipts Total of Defense, military 2 69. 0 70.6 43. 4 40. 8 71.4 68. 5 44. 2 41. 3 80. 3 46. 5 43. 6 67. 9 76. 5 77. 8 42. 8 45.7 81. 5 77. 7 44. 7 47.5 89. 1 82. 1 51.2 48.2 92. 5 52.7 49.7 93. 0 7.0 8. 5 4. 0 4. 3 6. 5 5. 1 3.8 3.5 7. 2 4. 2 3. 9 6.5 8.0 10.8 4. 6 4.3 6.3 3.0 3. 5 3. 2 7. 6 6.4 4.0 3. 8 6.8 3. 6 8.9 3. 9 7.8 4. 1 3. 1 3.8 7.5 40 6. 4 4. 3 7.2 4. 3 8. 0 4. 1 7. 4 4. 0 4. 3 5. 4 6. 9 4. 1 6.7 3. 9 7.7 4. 6 4. 3 9. 1 7. 3 40 5.8 4. 3 60.4 62. 8 Expenditures for military activities of the Department of Defense (military functions and the military assistance portion of the mutual security program), atomic energy, and defense related services. 2 Military functions and military assistance. ; Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. 66. 4 72. 5 38.7 41. 3 36.4 38.9 Budget surplus or deficit (-) Public debt (end of3 period) 1. 4 — 1. 5 270. 6 276.4 284. 8 286. 5 289.2 295.8 295. 6 287. 7 288. 2 290.4 289. 2 292. 6 294. 0 294. 0 296. 0 297. 3 296. 5 296. 9 297. 4 296. 5 297. 4 -6.0 -9.7 288.2 297.4 1. 6 -2.8 -12. 4 1.2 — 3. 9 — 7. 0 .5 1. 5 -1.3 7 2. 9 -3. 3 -1.3 2.2 -4. 7 -1. 1 .8 -2.0 -J • Estimate (1963 Budget). > Preliminary. NOTE.—Total budget receipts arid expenditures exclude certain intragovernmental transactions. __ Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. ol CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the first quarter of calendar 1962, cash receipts exceeded cash payments by $300 million; on a seasonally adjusted basis, however, payments exceeded receipts by $3.2 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 30 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 30 EXCESS OF 3ASH RECEIPTS Fftfl tvm m • • f EXCESS OF DASH PAYMENTS I 1 I9S6 1 I 1 l 1957 HI BH i—1 LJ i £ i 1 1958 1 i i i 1 i959 1 I960 1 l i r l l l 1962 1961 CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. [Billions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal vear total: 1957 1958 . _ 1959 1960-1961 196211 . ... 1963 Calendar year total: 1958 1959 1960 1961 2 Quarterly total (calendar years) : 1960: Third quarter. __ Fourth quarter- . 1961: First quarterSecond quarter2 _ _ Third quarter Fourth quarter 2 1962: First quarter 2 _ _ 1 Estimate (1963 Budget). 32 ' Preliminary. Cash payments to the public Excess of re- Cash receipts ceipts (+) or from the payments public 82. 1 81. 9 81.7 ' 95. 1 97. 2 102.6 116. 6 80. 0 83.4 94 8 94. 3 99. 5 111. 1 114, 8 2. 1 — 1. 5 -13. ] .8 — 2. 3 -8.5 1. 8 81.7 87.6 98. 3 97. 9 89.0 95. 6 94. 7 104. 7 Unadjusted -7.3 -8. 0 3.6 -6.8 24. 2 24.5 23,4 27.4 26.7 27.2 26. 0 -.8 -3.9 1.4 1. 1 -3.3 -5.9 .3 23.4 20.6 24.8 28. 5 23.4 21.3 26. 2 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (+) or payments (-) Seasonally adjusted 249 24 6 23.3 24. 6 24 9 25.3 246 23.6 24 3 25. 1 26. 5 26.2 26. 9 27. 8 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, TJ.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 20 cents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.75 foreign U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 196Z 1.3 .3 -1.8 — 1. 9 — 1. 4 -1. 6 -3.2