Full text of Economic Indicators : March 1975
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94th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1975 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY, Minnesota, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vies Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, JR. (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) ROBERT TAFT, JR. (Ohio) PAUL J. FANNIN (Arizona) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana) GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) GARRY BROWN (Michigan) MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts) JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director LOUGHLIN F. McHuoH, Senior Economist RICHARD F. KAUFMAN, General Counsel COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman GARY L. SEEVERS Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT Congress; CHAPTER 237—Isr SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 85 cents a single copy or by subscription at $10.10 per year ($2.55 additional for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, B.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product increased $14.6 billion in the fourth quarter to an annual rate of $1,430.9 billion, according to revised estimates. The increase for the preceding quarter was $32.5 billion. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persons Government Disposable personal income Period Expenditures Net receipts PerEquals: Less: Less: Less: sonal Tax Interest Total Personal Trans- Equals: saving Transand paid and exclud- consumpPurtion or fers, Equals: Total fers, nontax interest, ing chases interest, expendNet expenddisTotal' transfer interest itures saving receipts payof goods and and receipts itures and or ments and subsubtransaccruals sidies 2 to fora services sidies fers eigners 634.4 1969— 1970— 691. 7 746.4 1971— 16. 7 17. 9 18.8 20. 9 24. 1 26. 0 617.7 673. 8 727. 6 781.6 879. 6 953. 7 579. 5 617. 6 667. 1 729.0 805. 2 876.7 38. 2 56.2 60. 5 52. 6 74.4 77.0 296. 7 302. 5 321. 6 367. 0 411. 5 455. 2 77. 9 93. 2 105. 9 116. 5 131. 6 152.0 218.8 209. 4 215. 7 250. 5 279. 9 303. 2 287. 9 312.7 340. 2 372. 1 408. 0 461.2 77. 9 93.2 105. 9 116. 5 131. 6 152.0 210. 0 219. 5 234. 2 255,7 276.4 309.2 Surplus or deficit (-). income and product accounts 8.8 —10. 1 -18.5 -5.1 3.5 — 6.0 1972__. 1973__. 1974 »_ 802. 5 903. 7 1973: I II-™ III_ IV 869. 5 892. 1 913. 9 22. 5 23. 5 24. 3 26. 2 847.0 868. 6 889. 6 913. 2 781.7 799. 0 816. 3 823. 9 65. 3 69. 6 73. 2 89.3 398.1 406. 9 416. 5 424. 6 127. 2 130. 7 133. 0 135.9 271. 0 276.2 283. 6 288.7 396. 1 403.9 409. 8 422. 3 127. 2 130. 7 133. 0 135. 9 269. 0 273. 3 276. 9 286. 4 2.1 3.0 6.7 2. 3 1974: I 950. 6 968. 5 993. 1 25.6 925. 0 940.7 966. 9 982.4 840.6 869. 1 901. 3 895.8 84. 4 71. 5 65. 5 86. 5 435.9 450. 7 470. 3 464. 1 139. 3 147. 4 157. 8 164. 0 296. 5 303. 3 312.4 300. 1 435. 5 451. 7 470. 0 487.8 139. 3 147. 4 157. 8 164.0 296. 3 304. 4 312. 3 323. 8 -1;0 ;2 979.7 939.4 II... III... 1, 008. 8 25. 8 26. 2 26.4 Business Period 110. 2 125. 9 136. 5 137. 1 -42. 0 — 39. 3 -43. 5 -53. 5 -72. 9 -72. 3 2. 9 3. 2 3.6 3.8 3. 9 3. 6 1973: I— II— IIIIV- 133. 7 135. 3 137. 1 140. 0 199. 0 205. 1 209. 0 224. 5 -65. 3 -69. 8 — 71. 9 -84. 5 3. 0 4. 2 3. 6 4. 7 1974: I II— III-. IV". 139.7 135. 7 130. 6 142.2 210. 5 211. 8 205. 8 209. 4 -70. 8 -76. 1 -75. 2 -67.2 3.7 3. 7 3. 3 3. 6 97. 0 97.0 55.5 62. 9 65. 4 53. 6 59. 3 65. 6 78. 4 96. 4 138. 1 -e! o 95. 4 103. 7 113. 6 89. 5 94. 9 96. 9 104.3 .5 6. 7 9. 3 131. 2 138. 5 143. 6 147. 5 119. 9 140. 0 146.7 145.7 11.3 — 1. 5 -3. 1 1. 9 72. 4 100. 4 140.2 88. 8 Personal income (p. 5) less personal tax and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). 2 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises, and disbursements less wage accruals. 3 Capital consumption allowances, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, undistributed corporate profits, and private wage accruals less disbursements. Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included disposable persona] income. -23.6 International Net Net exports of goods Excess of Total transfers and services StatisExcess Gross Gross to fortransfers income tical of private retained domestic invest- eigners or or discrepearnEquals: of net by perancy receipts ment sons investLess: Net exports ings 3 and Exports Imports ment * Governexports ment 139. 0 136. 3 153. 7 179.3 209. 4 209.4 1969_ 19701971. 1972_ 1973_ 1974 ;4 1. 9 3. 6 2 3.9 2. 1 Gross national product or expenditure 1. 0 936. 3 I 983. 5 —. 4 3. 8 1, 057. 2 9.8 1, 161. 8 —. 1 1, 299. 9 1.5 1, 397. 6 -6. 1 -6. 4 -2. 3 -3. 8 -5. 0 —. 1 930. 3 977. 1 1, 054. 9 1, 158. 0 1, 294. 9 1, 397. 4 3. 8 1, 254. 7 -5.9 -6. 5 -4. 9 -2. 6 1, 248. 1, 277. 1, 308. 1, 344. 1, 365. 1 1, 383. 5 1, 413. 3 1, 428. 3 -6.3 ;3 1, 358. 8 1, 383. 8 1, 416. 3 1, 430. 9 1, 284. 4 -3. 1 1, 313. 8 -4.7 1, 346. 6 3. 7 -7.7 5.2 6. 5 1.8 3.0 2.6 9 9 9 0 4 Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing, £ Net foreign investment less capital grants received by United States, with sign changed. Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE In the fourth quarter gross national product rose at an annual rate of 4.2 percent reflecting an inflation rate of percent and a decline of 9.0 percent in real GNP. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1/400 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION . EXPENDITURES - 800 800 600 600 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 200 200 \ NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1968 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 1970 1969 1971 1972 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Persona) Gross Total congross Total private sump- domestic national gross tion product national investin 1958 product expend- ment itures dollars Billions 3f dollars quarterlj Net exports of goods and services 684. 9 749. 9 793. 9 864.2 930. 3 977. 1 1, 054. 9 1, 158. 0 1, 294. 9 1, 397. 4 432. 8 466. 3 492. 1 536. 2 579.5 617.6 667. 1 729. 0 805. 2 876. 7 136. 3 153. 7 179.3 209. 4 209. 4 III 1, 248. 9 1, 277. 9 1, 308. 9 1, 344. 0 781. 7 799. 0 816.3 823. 9 199. 0 205. 1 209. 0 224.5 —.8 IV 8SS. 8 837.4 840.8 845.7 1974: I II III IV 8SO. 5 827. 1 823. 1 804.0 1, 358. 8 1, 383. 8 1, 416. 3 1, 430. 9 840. 6 869. 1 901.3 895.8 210. 5 211. 8 205.8 209.4 _. __ 1973: I _ . II 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126.0 139.0 1 This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 36. 1 Gross national product In current dollars divided by gross national product In 1868 dollars. Government purchases of gooc s and services Federal State Total and Total National 1 Other local defense Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1958= 1002 data at t easonall y adjuste :d annual rates 617.8 658. 1 675. S 708. 6 725. 6 722. 5 746. 3 79%. 5 839. S 8S1. S 1965 1966_ 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1974 137.0 156.8 180. 1 199. 6 210.0 255. 7 276.4 309.2 66.9 77.8 90. 7 98.8 98. 8 96. 2 97.6 104. 9 106. 6 116.9 ;5 6.7 9.3 269. 0 273. 3 276.9 286.4 106.4 106.2 105.3 108.4 75.0 74. 0 73.3 75.3 31. 4 32.2 32. 0 33. 1 162. 6 167. 1 171. 6 177. 9 149. 152. 155. 158. 95 61 67 93 11.3 — 1. 5 -3.1 L9 296. 3 304. 4 312. 3 32318 111. 5 114. 3 117. 2 124.5 75. 8 76. 6 78.4 84.0 35. 7 37. 7 38.8 40.6 184.8 WO. 1 195. 1 199.3 163. 167. 172. 177. 61 31 07 97 6.9 5.3 5. 2 2.5 1. 9 3.6 —; 2 --6.0 3.9 2. 1 219. 5 234. 2 50.1 60. 7 72. 4 78.3 78. 4 74. 6 71.2 74.8 16.8 17. 1 70.1 79. 0 89. 4 100. 8 78.7 18.4 20. 5 20. 4 21. 6 26. 5 30. 1 32. 2 38.2 123. 3 136. 6 150. 8 169. 8 192. 3 110. 86 113. 94 117. 59 122. 30 128. 20 135. 24 141. 35 146. 12 154. 31 170. 18 74. 4 111.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NATIONAL INCOME cause of cutbacks in employment and the length of the workweek, employee compensation showed only a small i in the fourth quarter. Other sources of national income showed little or no change. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 200 200 PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 100 100 1970 1969 1968 1971 1973 1972 1974 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMESCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1965... 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974" _ ._ 1973: I.. II III.... IV 1974: I II m___ IV ' Proprieto rs' income Total national income Compensation of em- 1 ployees 564.3 620. 6 653. 6 711. 1 766. 0 800. 5 857. 7 946. 5 1, 065. 6 1, 143. 0 393.8 435. 5 467. 2 514. 6 566. 0 603. 9 643. 1 707. 1 786. 0 855. 8 14.8 16. 1 14. 8 14.7 16. 7 16. 9 17. 2 21. 0 38. 5 31. 8 42.4 45. 2 1, 027. 1, 051. 1, 077. 1, 106. 6 2 3 3 759. 1 776. 7 793. 3 814. 8 1, 118. 1, 130. 1, 155. 1, 167. 8 2 5 6 828. S 848. 3 868. 2 877.7 Farm 2 Net interest Corpora ;e profits and inventory va luation acIjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 49. 5 50.5 50. 0 52. 0 54. 9 57. 6 61. 2 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 2 22. 6 23. 9 25. 2 25. 9 26. 1 26. 5 18.2 21. 4 24. 4 26. 9 30. 5 36. 5 41. 6 45. 6 52. 3 61. 6 76.1 82. 4 78.7 84. 3 79. 8 69. 2 78. 7 92. 2 105. 1 100. 2 77.8 84. 2 79. 8 87. 6 84. 9 74. 0 83.6 99. 2 122. 7 141.4 — 3. 3 -5. 1 -4.8 — 4. 9 -7. 0 -17. 6 -35. 2 32. 1 35. 6 41. 5 44. 9 57. 0 57. 1 57.7 58. 4 26. 3 25. 7 26. 2 26. 4 49. 2 51. 1 53. 2 55. 5 103. 105. 105. 106. 120. 124. 122. 122. 4 9 7 7 -16. 5 -20. 0 -17. 5 -16. 3 39. 1 29. 1 29. 8 29. 1 59. 3 60. 7 62. 3 62. 5 26. 4 26. 3 26. 6 26. 8 57.5 60. 1 62. 8 65. 9 107. 7 105. 6 105.8 105.6 135. 4 139. 0 157.0 134.1 -27.7 -33.4 — 51.2 — 28.5 1 2 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. Business and professional Rental income of per- 47.3 9 0 2 4 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. — 1.7 -1.8 I 1 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income increased $2.9 billion (annual rate) in February, following almost no change in January accord to revised data. Private payrolls declined $3.2 billion in February, compared with a $2.0 billion decline in Januc Transfer payments rose $6.7 billion in February, of which about $1.9 billion resulted from a speedup in veterans lire insurance dividends and $2.7 billion from unemployment insurance benefits. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 400 200 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMKCc COUNd OF ECONOMIC ADVJSEgS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1.968 1969 1970 1971 1972 3973 1974 1974: Jan Wage Other Propriet srs' income Total and personal salary labor Business income disburse- income 12 Farm and proments ' fessional 688. 9 750. 9 808. 3 864. 0 944. 9 1, 055. 0 1, 150. 5 1, 107. 0 Feb I, 113. 4 Mar... 1, 117. 1 Apr 1, 125. 2 May— 1, 135. 2 June 1, 143. 5 July. - - 1, 159. 5 1, 167. 2 Aug Sept 1, 178. 0 1, 1 85. 0 Get 1, 3 84. 5 Nov Dec 1, 191. 0 1975: Jan-.. ], 191. 1 Feb "__ 1, 194. 0 464. 9 509. 7 542. 0 573. 0 626. 8 691. 7 751. 2 722. 5 728. 3 732. 1 737. 1 745. 3 753. 2 759. 7 761. 6 767. 7 773. 0 767. 8 766. 6 765.7 763. 7 25. 4 28.4 32. 2 36.4 41. 7 46. 0 51. 4 48. 5 48. 9 49. 4 49. 9 50. 5 51. 1 51. 7 52. 3 52. 9 53. 5 54.0 54. 5 54. 9 55.3 14. 7 16. 7 16. 9 17. 2 21. 0 38. 5 31. 8 42. 1 39. 1 36. 1 32. 6 29. 1 25. 7 28. 1 30. 6 30. 7 29. 2 29. 1 29. 0 26. 0 23. 0 49. 5 50. 5 50. 0 52. 0 54. 9 57. 6 61. 2 58. 7 59. 4 59. 9 60. 2 60. 8 61. 2 61. 9 62. 5 62. 5 62. 5 62. 5 62. 5 62. 7 62. 6 1 The total of-wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 3) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 2 Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare Rental income of Dividends 21. 2 22. 6 23 9 25. 2 25. 9 26. 1 26. 5 26. 4 26. 4 26. 4 25. 5 26. 7 26. 7 26. C 26. 6 26. 6 26. 7 26. S 26. 9 27. 0 27. 0 23. 6 24. 3 24. 7 25. 0 27. 3 29. 6 32. 7 31. 4 31. 6 31. 9 32. 1 32. 5 33. 0 33. 1 33. 2 33. 4 33. 5 33. 6 32. 7 33. 9 33.9 Less: PerPersonal Transfer sonal con- N onagriinterest paytributions cultural income ments for social personal3 insurance income 52. 9 59. 3 G7. 5 72. 8 78. 6 90. 6 103. 8 97. 5 98. 3 99. 0 100. 4 102. 0 103. 5 104. 4 105. 3 106. 9 108. 0 109. 5 111. 1 111. 9 112. 5 59. 6 65.8 79.1 93. 3 103. 2 117. 8 139. 8 126. 7 128. 4 129. 5 134. 6 135. 8 137. 0 142. 5 143. 6 146. 0 147. 6 149. 8 156. 1 158. 6 165. 3 22. 8 26. 3 28. 0 30. 7 34 5 42, 8 47. 9 46. 7 46. 8 47. 0 47. 2 47. 6 47. 9 48. 5 48. 4 48. 6 48. 9 48. 5 48.4 49. 5 49. 3 668. 8 728. 3 784. 8 840. 0 916. 5 1, 008. 0 1, 109. 0 1, 055. 5 1. 064. 9 1, 071. 6 1, 083. 1 1, 096. 0 1, 108. 2 1, 121. 7 1, 126. 8 1, 137. 4 1, 145. 7 1, 145. 2 1, 15 1. 4 1, 1 54. 3 1, 160. 0 funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises farm wages, agricultural net interest, aad net dividends paid by agricultujai corporations. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME al per capita disposable personal income fell 3.4 percent from 1973 to 1974. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS _.JJONS OF DOLLARS 3,000 2,000 1968 I 1969 1974 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Ie PerPersonal Period 1 son a! tax and income nontax Daymen ts COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per caf )ita disLess : Perse>nal outla ys posable personal Equals: Persoiml consuroption Equals: inc<>me Disex penditures 2 Personal Total posable savin g Current personal personal] Durable Non1958 income outlays durable Services dollars dollars goods goods Do!iars Billions of dollars 1967 629. 3 1968.. __ 688. 9 1969 750.9 1970.. .. 808. 3 864. 0 1971 1972. ... 944. 9 1973 1, 055. 0 1974 1, 150. 5 83. 0 97. 9 116. 5 116. 6 117. 6 142. 4 151. 3 170.8 546. 3 591. 0 634. 4 691. 7 746. 4 802. 5 903. 7 979.7 506. 0 551. 2 596. 2 635. 5 685. 9 749. 9 829. 4 902.7 73. 1 84 0 90. 8 91. 3 103. 9 118. 4 130. 3 127, 5 Saving as percent of Populadistion posable (thou-3 personal sands) income (percent) 215. 0 230. 8 245. 9 263. 8 278. 4 299. 7 338. 0 380.2 204. 0 221. 3 242. 7 262. 6 284. 8 310. 9 336. 9 3S9. 0 40. 4 39. 8 38. 2 56. 2 60. 5 52. 6 74. 4 77.0 2,749 2,945 3, 130 3, 376 3, 605 3,843 4, 295 4,623 2,403 2,486 2, 534 2, 610 2, 683 2, 779 2,945 2, 845 7. 4 6. 7 6. 0 8. 1 8. 1 6. 6 8. 2 7.9 198, 712 200, 706 202, 677 204, 875 207, 045 208, 842 210, 396 211, 909 Seasc natty adjiisted annu al rates 1973: I... 1, 013. 6 IL. 1, 039. 2 III. 1, 068. 0 IV. 1, 099. 3 144. 1 147. 2 154. 2 159. 9 869. 5 892. 1 913. 9 939. 4 804 2 822. 5 840. 7 850. 1 132. 4 132. 1 132. 4 124. 3 323. 3 332. 7 343. 8 352. 1 325. 9 334.2 340. 1 347.4 65. 3 69. 6 73. 2 89.3 4, 143 4,244 4, 339 4, 452 2, 2, 2, 2, 931 941 952 952 7. 5 7. 8 8. 0 9. 5 209, 210, 210, 211, 852 205 610 030 1974: 161. 9 168. 2 175. 1 178. 1 1, 950. 6 966. 5 993. 1 008. 8 866. 2 894. 9 927. 6 922. 3 123. 9 129. 5 136. 1 120. 7 364. 4 375. 8 389. 0 391.7 352. 4 363. 8 376. 2 383. 5 84 4 71. 5 65. 5 86. 5 4,497 4, 565 4, 681 4, 745 2,887 2, 850 2,842 2, 798 8.9 7. 4 6. 6 8. 6 211, 211, 212, 212, 381 721 139 600 I... 1, II.. 1, III. 1, IV- 1, 112. 5 134. 6 168. 2 186. 9 5 i Includes personal consumption expenditures, intereet paid by consumers, and personal transfer payments to foreigners. 2 See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. - Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data are for middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME Farm income including net inventory change declined slightly in the fourth quarter,- excluding net inventory cha there was a small rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1120 120 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 100 100 80 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 40 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 20 I 1968 1969 1970 I J 1972 1971 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE .ncome re ceived fro m farmingr Net t 3 farm oper ators Realize d gross From all sources 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974.. _ I 1974 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal income re ceived by total i arm popu lation Period I I 1973 22. 6 23. 9 26. 6 27. 1 28. 2 33.7 50. 4 46. 7 From From nonfarm farm sources sources 11. 0 11. 3 12. 9 12. 9 13. 2 16. 5 31. 3 25.8 11. 6 12.7 13. 7 14. 2 15. 0 17. 2 19.0 20.9 Net inc ome per farm incl tiding net inventor T change * Cash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ingnetin- ing net in- Current 1967 from Total ' ventory ventory dollars dollars * 2 marketchange change ings Billions ()f dollars Dol lars 49. 9 51.7 56. 3 58. 6 60. 6 69. 9 97. 0 102.0 42. 8 44. 2 48. 2 50. 5 52. 9 61. 0 88. 6 95. 0 38. 3 39. 5 42. 2 44 6 47. 6 52.4 64 7 74 8 11. 6 12. 2 14 2 14 0 13. 0 17. 5 32. 2 27. 2 12. 3 12. 3 14 3 14 0 14 4 18. 4 36. 2 29. 6 3,877 4, 018 4, 753 4,752 4, 957 6, 410 12, 744 10, 460 3,877 3, 863 4,361 4, 168 4, 166 5, 169 9,235 6,500 Seaso nally adjiisted annu al rates 1973: I II III IV 86. 2 93. 2 101. 8 1974: I 105. 0 106.7 77. 5 84. 8 93. 6 98. 5 60. 1 62. 9 67. 0 69. 0 26. 1 30. 3 34 8 37. 7 98. 0 72. 1 32. 9 98. 4 91. 3 74 5 23. 9 III 94. 5 25. 6 102. 1 76. 5 IV 102. 5 96. 2 76. 1 26. 4 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney in* Income in current dollars divided by the come family living items on a 1967 base. 2 furnished by farms. Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Source: Department of Agriculture. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. s Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms Is held constant within a year. II 29. 6 33. 3 39. 3 42. 7 36. 9 26. 9 27. 6 26. 9 10, 11, 13, 15, 410 710 820 010 7,950 8,610 9,870 10, 350 8, 580 13, 040 9, 500 5,970 9,750 5, 950 9,500 5,590 index of prices paid by farmers for CORPORATE PROFITS ik profits declined substantially in the fourth quarter but profits plus inventory valuation adjustment were about longed. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 160 40 40 20 20 1974 1968 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally Corj3 orate pi ofits (bef<)re taxes) and inveritory valuation adjustme nt TransCorpoM anufactui ing portation, rate Period comprofits NonAll Durable durable All munibefore indusgoods cation, other 1 taxes Total indusgoods tries and tries public utilities 38. 7 20. 7 18. 0 78. 7 79. 8 1967 29. 1 10. 8 22. 4 41. 7 84. 3 19. 3 32. 0 1968 10. 6 87.6 36. 6 18. 8 17. 7 79. 8 84. 9 33. 1 1969_-- .. 10. 1 27. 8 10. 5 17. 3 69. 2 74. 0 7. 8 33. 7 1970 32. 3 14.5 17. 8 78. 7 83. 6 1971 8. 3 38. 1 21. 8 40. 8 19. 0 92. 2 42. 2 99.2 1972 9. 2 47. 6 26. 1 21. 5 48. 3 122. 7 9. 2 1973- . _- 105. 1 47.3 30. 5 16. 9 106. 2 51. 0 141. 4 1974 " 7.8 1973: I.... 103. 9 II— 105. 0 III.. 105. 2 IV— 106. 4 1974: I— - 107. 7 II— 105. 6 III- 105.8 IV"- 105. 6 1 48. 6 48.4 47.1 46. 4 46. 2 46. 8 48. 6 27. 6 26. 9 25. 7 24. 3 20. 9 21. 5 21. 4 22. 1 19. 3 17. 1 26. 9 15. 3 29. 7 33. 3 9. 4 8. 8 9. 5 9. 2 7. 1 8. 0 8.6 33. 2 39. 9 40. 1 34. 8 37. 5 41. 5 49. 8 56. 0 46. 6 47.8 44. 8 39. 3 46. 1 57.7 72. 9 85.4 21. 4 23. 6 24. 3 24. 7 25. 0 27. 3 29. 6 32.7 28. 7 45. 9 47. 8 48. 6 50. 8 120. 4 124. 9 122. 7 122. 7 48. 9 50. 9 49. 9 49. 5 71.6 74. 0 72. 9 73. 2 29. 1 29. 8 30. 7 54. 5 50. 8 48.7 135. 4 139. 0 157. 0 134. 1 52. 2 55. 9 62. 7 53. 0 83. 2 83. 1 94. 3 81.1 31. 6 32.5 33. 2 Includes all other industries and financial institutions. 2£ Includes depreciation and accidental damages. Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 49-364' adjusted annual rates Cor porate pi ofits Corpo- Profits f rfter taxe s rate plus Corpocapital capital rate conconDiviUntax sumpliabil- Total dend distrib- sumption tion uted payity ments profits allow-2 allow-s ances ances 33.3 25. 3 24. 2 20. 5 14. 6 21. 1 30. 3 43. 0 46. 8 51.9 56. 0 60. 4 89. 6 94.6 96.8 95. 2 106. 5 66. 3 71.2 124. 0 144. 1 42. 8 44. 9 43. 1 42. 5 69. 2 140.7 144. 8 51. 6 74. 1 75. 7 77. 6 79.3 43. 3 52. 8 50. 5 61. 1 47.8 76.7 70. 8 71. 6 73. 1 Source: Department of Commerce,Bureau of Economic Analysis. 162. 1 144. 5 146. 3 157. 3 158.8 171.8 160.4 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment rose in the fourth quarter as a large increase in inventory investment more t offset a decline in residential investment. Nonresidential fixed investment was unchansed. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 200 200 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 150 150 100 100 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT NONRESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES 50 „_, i.^. 50 CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES \ ...... I 1968 1970 1969 1972 1971 1973 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I I 1974 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISE2S [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed im/estment Total gross private domestic Total investment Period Resid ential struc tures Nc>nresidential Struo tures Total Total Nonfarm Produce rs' durable equ ipment Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm Change in business mv entories Total Nonfarm __ .. 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 136. 3 153. 7 179. 3 209.4 209. 4 98. 5 106. 6 108. 4 118. 9 131. 1 131. 7 147. 4 170. 8 194. 0 195. 2 71. 3 81. 6 83. 3 88. 8 98.5 100. 6 104.6 116. 8 136.8 149.2 25.5 28. 5 28.0 30.3 34 2 36. 1 37.9 41. 1 47. 0 52. 0 24. 9 27.8 27. 3 29. 6 33.5 35.3 37.1 40.4 45. 7 50.2 45.8 53. 1 55. 3 58. 5 64. 3 64. 4 66.6 75. 7 89. 8 97. 1 41. 6 48. 4 50. 0 53. 6 59. 2 58. 9 61. 1 69.4 81. 4 86. 5 27.2 25. 0 25. 1 30. 1 32. 6 31. 2 42. 8 54. 0 57. 2 46. 0 26.7 24.5 24. 5 29. 5 32. 0 30.7 42. 3 53. 4 56. 7 45.2 15.4 14. 2 11.4 11. 9 1973: I II III IV . .. .. 199. 0 205. 1 209. 0 224. 5 189. 0 194. 4 197. 1 195. 5 130. 5 135. 6 139.0 141. 9 44.6 46. 2 47. 9 49. 3 43.6 44. 9 46. 4 47. 8 85.9 89.4 91. 1 92. 6 78. 5 81. 1 82. 6 83. 5 58. 5 58. 7 58. 1 53. 6 58.0 58.4 57. 6 53. 0 10. 0 10. 7 11. 8 28.9 6.5 1974: I II III ._ IV 210. 5 211. 8 205. 8 209.4 193. 6 198. 3 197. 1 191. 6 145. 2 149. 4 150. 9 151. 2 51.3 52.2 51.0 53. 7 49.5 50. 4 49. 2 51. 7 93. 9 84.6 86. 9 89. 2 85.4 48. 4 48. 8 46. 2 40.4 47. 8 48. 0 45. 4 39. 7 16. 9 13. 5 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 .. _ Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 8 97. 2 99. 9 97. 5 9. 6 14.8 8.2 7. 1 7.8 4. 5 6. 3 8.5 8.7 17.8 8.6 15.0 7. 5 6. 9 7.7 4. 3 4.9 7.8 7. 7 7. 4 24. 0 13. 1 10. 4 6. 6 17.5 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT On the basis of the regular annual survey conducted in January and February, businessmen are projecfins a rise of 4 percent in plant and equipment outlays from 1974 to 1975. This implies a sizable decrease in real terms. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 140 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 40 20 •20 1969 V 1975 1970 SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOW. SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Js onman ufacturir >S M anufactur ng Period Total i Total Trar isporta' ion Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Mining Railroad Air Com- ComPublic muni- mercial and utilities cation Other other a 1967_ 1968_ 1969_ 197CL 1971. 1972. 1973_ 65.47 67. 76 75. 56 79. 71 81. 21 88. 44 99. 74 112. 40 116. 06 28. 51 28. 37 31. 68 31. 95 29. 99 31. 35 38. 01 46. 01 49. 30 14. 06 14. 12 15. 96 15. 80 14. 15 15. 64 19. 25 22. 62 22. 62 14. 45 14. 25 15. 72 16. 15 15. 84 15. 72 18. 76 23. 39 26. 68 36. 96 39. 40 43. 88 47. 76 51. 22 57. 09 61.73 66. 39 66. 77 1. 65 1. 63 1. 86 1. 89 2. 16 2. 42 2. 74 3. 18 3. 90 1. 86 1. 45 1.86 1. 78 1. 67 1. 80 1. 96 2. 54 2. 89 2. 29 2. 56 2. 51 3. 03 1. 88 2. 46 2.41 2. 00 1. 89 1. 48 1. 59 1. 68 1.23 1. 38 1. 46 1. 66 2. 12 2. 69 8.74 10. 20 11. 61 13. 14 15. 30 17. 00 18. 71 20. 55 20. 56 1974: I... II-. III. IV1975: I s3 II _ __ 2nd half s 107. 27 111. 40 113. 99 116. 22 113.22 113. 83 118. 49 42. 96 45. 32 47. 04 48. 08 47. 55 47. 76 50. 73 21. 43 22. 50 23. 08 23. 28 22. 04 21. 44 23. 40 21. 53 22. 82 23. 96 24. 80 25. 51 26. 32 27. 33 64. 31 66. 08 66. 94 68. 14 65. 67 66. 07 67. 75 2. 80 3. 07 3. 27 3. 56 3. 59 3. 64 4. 17 2. 10 2. 42 2. 68 2. 13 2. 21 1. 84 1.81 2. 06 2. 15 1. 66 1. 63 1. 84 2. 16 2. 71 2. 67 2. 63 2. 82 20. 12 13. 83 21. 69 20. 97 13. 94 21. 63 20. 16 14. 01 22.84 20. 93 ^ 14. 04 22. 04 20. 14 34. "38 ' 20. 10 34. 50 20. 98 35. 24 1 Excludes agricultural "business; real estate operators; medical, legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. 3 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. 3 Estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business In late January and February 1975. Includes adjustments when necessary for "^^•L~matic tendencies in expectations data. 3.05 2. 83 3. 05 2. 87 6. 34 6. 83 8. 30 10. 10 10. 77 11. 89 12. 85 13. 96 13. 57 14. 59 15. 14 16. 05 16. 59 18. 05 20. 07 21. 40 22.05 21. 28 NOTE,—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9 STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE The seasonally adjusted civilian labor force declined by 580,000 in February to 91.5 million. Nearly proporfior declines in civilian employment and unemployment left the unemployment rate unchanged (8.2 percent). MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS" SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 90 80 80 X"'"" 70 10' UNEMPLOYMENT PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE vt •KMPL OY W NT RATE ; T T " -ri 19 if 9 i •" EX£ >)A IY ADJUSTED -~ _, Tfl T il I I t 19 70 97: 97 *}& YEARS Or AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period Total labor force (including Armed Forces) 1971___ 1972*.. 1973*__ 1974___ 86, 88, 91, 93, 929 991 040 240 79, 81, 84, 85, 120 702 409 936 Unadj 1974: Jan__ 91,354 Feb.. 91, 692 Mar- 91, 884 Apr— 91, 736 May- 92, 158 June. 94, 758 July- 95, 496 Aug_ 94, 679 Sept_ 93, 661 Oct.. 94,105 Nov. 93, 822 Deo. 93, 538 1975: Jan_ 93, 342 Feb_ 93,111 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS CiviliEin employ ment Total 84, 088 84, 294 84, 878 85, 192 85, 785 Total labor Unem- i force Nonploy- (includagriment ing culArmed Forces) Thous ands of jaersons 16 75, 732 4, 993 86, 929 78, 230 4,840 88, 991 80, 957 4, 304 91, 040 82, 443 5, 076 93, 240 usted 86, 242 86,847 85, 924 85, 220 82, 700 82, 261 5,008 5, 140 4,755 4, 301 4, 144 5, 380 5, 260 4, 885 5, 202 5,044 5, 6S5 6, 106 82, 969 82,604 80, 082 79,714 8, 180 8,309 87, 167 88, 015 87, 575 80, 891 81, Oil 81, 544 81, 756 82, 181 83, 272 83, 991 83, 724 82, 679 83,312 Civili an emplc yment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural years of age and o ver 84, 113 79, 120 3,387 86, 542 81, 702 3,472 88, 714 84, 409 3, 452 91, Oil 85, 936 3, 492 seasonally adjuster ^ 92, 723 92, 809 92, 63S 92, 567 92, 982 93, 069 93, 503 93, 419 93, 92% 94, 058 93, 921 94, 01 5 90, 465 90, 551 90, 381 90, 324 90, 753 90, 857 91, 283 91, 199 91, 705 91, 844 91, 708 91, 803 85, 800 86, 861 85, 779 85, 787 88, 062 86, 088 86, 40S 86, 274 86, 402 86, 304 85, 689 85, 202 94, 284 93,709 92, 091 91,511 84, 562 84,027 •Data beginning January 1972 not strictly comparable with prior data because of adjustment to 1970 Census data, which added 333,000 to the civilian labor force and 301,000 to civilian employment. A further adjustment in March 1973 added 60,000 to the labor force and to employment. 10 1975 974 97C 1 f 8, 749 3, 811 3, 653 3, 515 3,497 3,333 3, 433 Nonagricul- Unempl oyment Labor Unem- rate force (percent of participloycivilta n labor ment pation1 for ce) rate Percent 75, 78, 80, 82, 732 230 957 443 4,993 4, 840 4, 304 5, 076 5.9 5. 6 4. 9 5. 6 Unadjusted 4,665 4, 690 4, 602 4, 537 4, 691 4,769 4,880 4,925 5,303 5,540 6, 019 6, 601 4.8 4.6 5.8 5. 6 5. 3 3,375 S, 339 82, OBI 82, 050 82, 126 82, 272 82, 565 82, 765 82, 970 82, 823 82, 913 82, 864 82, 314 81, 863 3, 383 3,826 81, 179 80,701 7,529 7,484 s, 451 S, 489 3,440 61.0 61. 0 61. 4 61. 8 Seaso nally adju sted 6. 2 6. 7 5. S 5. 2 5. 1 5. 0 6. 2 5. 2 6.3 5.4 6. 8 6.0 6. 6 7 2 62. 0 61.9 61. 7 61. 6 61. 8 61. 8 62.0 61. 8 62. 0 62.0 61.9 61.8 9. 0 9. 1 8. S 8. S 61.9 61.6 5. 6 5. 7 5. 3 5. 7 5. 5 i Total labor force as percent of nom'nstitutional population 16 years of age and over. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; OF 2 seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at 8.2 percent in February. The rate for married men, wife :sent, continued to increase. PERCENT PERCENT ! ! UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS "-.j ''"' UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 1969 1975 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Unernploymen : rate (percen t of civili.in labor for ce in grou P) Labor Experi- Married force enced men All time lost * Over 40 wage and hours workers salary (wife workers present) Period 1971 1972 1973 1974 Persons at work i n nonagri cultural ir idustries 2 by hours worked j)er week Uiider 35 ho urs _ .- .. 1974: Jan Fcb Mar Apr May June July-- - . Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1975: Jan Feb Per cent 3. 2 5. 7 5. 3 2. 8 4. 5 2. 3 2. 7 4.9 Seasonall y adjusted 5. 2 2. S 4- 7 5. 9 5. 6 4. 9 5. 6 5. 2 6. 1 5. 0 6. 2 S. S 5. 3 6.4 5. 8 6.0 6. 6 7. 2 Q S) 8. S 4.9 2.40 4.9 4.9 2.4 4.8 6.0 S. 1 5. S 5. 5 5. 7 6. S 6. 9 7. 8 7. 9 ff) 2. 6 2 7 & y 6. 4 6. 0 5. 2 6. 1 19, 095 20, 320 21, 284 20, 241 5.6 S. 6 S. 8 5. 7 5. 7 5. 6 5.8 19, 913 19, 730 20, 854 17, 153 21, 323 20, 938 19, 702 19, 842 21, 653 21, 737 20, 257 19, 787 18, 583 17,802 B. 8 2. 8 3. 0 6.4 6.6 S. S 'V S. 8 7. 9 4.5 4-7 8.9 8.9 O) 1 Man-hours tost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. ifters from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes perwith jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, ndustrial disputes. icludes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material . tages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 35-40 hours Part-ti me for economi c reasons Total Part-time for economi s reasons Usually Usually Usually partfullfulltime 3 time * time 3 Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye ars of age and over 35, 752 16, 298 1, 184 1, 256 1,327 36, 794 16, 549 1, 081 37, 426 17, 473 1, 074 1, 237 38, 767 18, 275 1,401 1,308 f Jnadjustec I Seasonall I 1, 274 1, 222 38, 579 18, 682 1, 111 1,360 1. 222 38, 275 19, 629 1, 375 1, 127 39, 416 17, 927 1, 261 1,248 34, 544 25, 026 1, 052 1,080 1, 086 1,265 39, 775 17, 638 1, 147 1 249 1, 645 39, 734 16, 325 1, 314 1,195 1, 992 1, 158 38, 028 15, 123 1, 124 1, 871 38, 476 14, 815 1, 323 1, 180 1, 370 39, 905 16, 737 1, 280 1, 269 39, 877 17, 769 1, 368 1, 283 1,377 1, 412 39, 345 19, 851 1,575 1, 516 1, 351 39, 247 19, 768 1,746 1,847 39, 379 18, 758 5 2, 123 5 1, 474 2,087 37,821 20,653 1,516 2,047 2, 086 Usually parttime 4 adjusted 1,356 1, 369 1, 287 1, 306 1,491 i, see 1,292 1, 377 1,539 1,553 1,605 1,528 1,800 1,700 'Primarily 1 Includes persons who could find only part-time work. Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24.9; usually part-time, 18.3. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In February, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 2.5 million more than a year earlier. The seasoi adjusted insured unemployment rate rose from 5.5 percent in January to 6.0 percent in February. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1974 1973 JAN. FEB. MAR. APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. 1971 1972 1973 ' 1974»_. 1974: Jan Feb Mar .. . Apr _ _ May June . _ July Aug Sept Oct » . Nov p» . Dee 1975: Jan ' Feb " . Week ended: 1975: Feb 815 22 Mar 1 8 ».. 15 7J St ite progra ms Insurec1 unemploymen t as perInitial Exhaus- cent of covered employment tions claims Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Per cent Thou sands Weekly iiverage, t lousands 4. 1 2, 313 6, 214. 9 2, 150 295 38 59, 375 3. 5 261 35 66, 900 2, 185 5, 510. 5 1,848 2. 7 1,632 29 70, 379 1, 783 4, 527. 0 246 ... 39 3.6 2, 578 6, 987. 9 2,269 361 4. 1 622. 7 32 3. 1 2,561 446 2, 740 4.2 599. 3 32 3. 2 2,824 2,630 359 652.4 2, 502 4. 0 2, 751 293 35 3. 3 639. 3 3. 5 263 38 3. 3 _ _ 2, 564 2, 217 2, 278 584.5 39 3.0 1, 934 237 3. 3 472. 4 1,834 40 2.9 3. 8 2, 161 269 541. 6 41 3. 1 1, 989 o* o 2, 290 340 522. 3 2. 9 1,874 283 2, 153 40 3. 3 2. 7 478. 1 274 2, 081 1, 783 35 3. 6 ... <? o R 530.2 34 1, 947 348 3.0 o. 2,246 3. 8 480 43 4-3 2, 825 561. 3 2, 499 5. 4 3, 552 781. 8 703 45 5. 0 3, 910 7. 2 795 989. 4 4,750 46 5. 5 __ 5, 209 7. 8 6. 0 5,106 609 40 5,745 1,103.6 A 11 progranis Insured Total unem- benefits Insured paid Covered ployunememploy- ment (milployment (weekly lions ment averof dol-J lars) age) 0 .. .. . 5, 549 5, 65'9 5 , 885 5 , 892 5, 953 4, 987 5, 039 5,218 5,180 2 5, 210 Beginning with January 1973, monthly data include extended benefits. DEC. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period •NOV. 693 609 508 569 569 496 7. 6 7. 7 7. 9 7. 9 7.9 0 Benefi ts paid Total Average (milweekly lions of check dollars) (dollars) 4, 957. 0 4, 471. 0 4, 007. 6 4, 521. 1 570. 8 553. 3 593. 9 552.7 486. 4 383. 4 459. 1 444. 9 381. 0 442. 0 489. 7 675.3 881. 2 995. 4 .. 2 Not charted. Source: Department of Labor, Manpower Administration. 54.02 56. 76 59. 00 63. 97 62. 28 63.35 63. 85 63. 62 62. 69 62. 50 62. 93 64. 14 64.23 65. 19 65. 46 65. 51 65. 57 65. 61 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 608,000 in February to 76.6 million, the lowest level since May 1973. iployment fell by 61 3,000 in the private goods producing sectors. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) (ENLARGED SCALE) 80 18 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 76 16 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 72 14 NONMANUFACTURING (PRIVATE) SERVICES 44 40 DURABLE I \ MANUFACTURING 10 24 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING MANUFACTURING 20 N CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 16 12 GOVERNMENT 1972 1973 1974 1975 J^J 1972 1973 1974 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1975 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted] N onmanufacturing ; (private) Manufa( :turing ( orivate) Period Total 70, 442 70, 920 71, 216 73, 711 76, 833 78, 334 77, 925 78, 053 78, 089 78, 226 78, 357 78, 421 78, 479 78, 661 78, 844 78, 865 78, 404 77, 690 1975: Jan»- 77, 166 Feb'_ 76,55-8 1969___ .1970 1971..- -1972 1973-.. .. 1974 1974: JanFebMarApr_MayJune_ July_ Aug__ Sept. Oct_. Nov— Dec-. Total 20, 167 19, 349 18, 572 19, 090 20, 054 20, 016 20, 253 20, 155 20, 116 20, 147 20, 151 20, 184 20, 169 20, 112 20, 112 19, 982 19, 633 19, 146 18, 709 18,282 NonDurable durable goods goods 11, 895 11, 195 10, 597 11, 006 11, 814 11, 837 11, 968 11, 883 11, 862 11, 913 11, 908 11, 959 11, 959 11,899 11, 906 11, 841 11, 611 11, 291 11, 000 10,725 8,272 8,154 7, 975 8, 084 8, 240 8, 179 8,285 8,272 8, 254 8, 234 8, 243 8, 225 8, 210 8, 213 8, 206 8, 141 8, 022 7, 855 7, 709 7,557 Total Con- Trans- Whole- Finance, insurState tract portasale tion ance, Services Federal and Mining conand and and local strue- public retail real tiou utilities trade estate 38, 073 39, 010 39, 756 41, 281 43, 037 44, 034 43, 685 43, 831 43, 870 43, 922 44, 019 44, 036 44, 068 44, 223 44, 289 44, 352 44, 203 43, 956 43, 835 43,608 i Includes all full- arid part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricul.turai •establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ! ch includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employeci per. domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived i'rom .able not comparable with estimates oi nonagriculturaJ employment oi the an labor force, shown on p. 10. which inelude proprietors, self-employed ins, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they Gover nment 619 623 603 622 638 672 658 661 662 665 668 669 675 676 682 692 693 662 702 710 3, 525 3, 536 3, 639 3,831 4, 028 3, 985 4, 098 4, 127 4, 102 4, 087 4, 066 3, 994 ?-, 920 3, 965 3, 939 3, 911 3, 861 3, 798 3, 781 3,587 4,435 4,504 4, 457 4, 517 4, 646 4, 699 4, 710 4, 717 4, 708 4, 704 4, 701 4, 698 4, 693 4, 701 4, 679 4, 699 4, 697 4, 668 4, 607 4,583 14, 704 3, 562 15, 040 3, 687 15, 352 3, 802 15, 975 3, 943 16, 665 4,075 17, Oil 4, 161 16, 851 4, 132 16, 871 4, 142 16, 914 4, 145 16, 945 4, 154 16, 994 4, 161 17, 031 4, 156 17, 107 4, 157 17, 140 4, 168 17; 166 4, 176 17, 160 4, 185 17, 048 4, 183 16, 912 4, 182 10, 838 4, 174 16,813 4,162 11, 228 11, 621 11, 903 12, 392 12, 986 13, 506 13, 236 13, 313 13, 339 13, 367 13, 429 13, 488 13, 516 13, 573 13, 647 13, 705 13, 721 13, 734 13, 733 13,753 2,758 2, 731 2, 696 2, 684 2,663 2,724 2, 680 2, 666 2, 699 2,705 2,711 2, 715 2, 735 2, 740 2, 747 2,748 2, 746 2, 738 2,731 2,727 9,444 9,830 10, 192 10, 656 11, 079 11, 560 11,307 11, 371 11, 404 11, 452 11, 476 11, 486 11, 507 11, 586 11, 696 11, 783 11, 822 11,850 11, 891 11,941 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are "based on reports from employing establishments. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. WEEKLY OF WORK -SELECTED INDUSTRIES The seasonally adjusted workweek of private nonfarm payroll workers declined by 0.1 hour in February to 36,1 hours. The decline was 0.4 hour in manufacturing. HOURS PER WEEK. (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 MANUFACHJRING TOTAL NONAGR1CULTURAL PRIVATE 44 i^ 42 ^^"^^SiiSWS^SW^ESESSj ^^^^-^ 40 ~a*y***~^'v%S 38 •>—»•«——^*s*. 36 34 I I 1972 1 ! ! 1 I ! t 1 1 M 1973 M 1 ! M 1974 ! t MM! I M lH 1975 M /li i i i i I i i i M 1 M M 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M ! I 1 1973 1974 ! I 1 1 I ! I 1 1 1 t i i t t i I t i i i i 1 I ! t 1 I I I 1 1 f 1972 1973 1974 " 1972 M M ! ! M M'fjJ 1975 N 42 RETAIL TRADE CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 40 38 36 34 32 30 1972 SOURCE: 1973 1974 1975 i - ' i i ii 1975 i i DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Average hours per week 1 Period Total nonagrieultural private 2 Manufacturing Contract construe- Retail trade 3 Total nonagricuitural private 2 1966 1967 . . 1968 1969 197CL__ . . 1971 1972 1973 1974 . 38. 6 38. 0 37. S 37. 7 37. 1 37.0 37.1 37. 1 36. 6 41. 3 40. 6 40. 7 40. 6 39. 8 39. 9 40.6 40. 7 40. 0 37. 6 37. 7 37. 3 37. 9 37. 3 37.2 36. 9 37. 0 36. 9 35. 9 35. 3 34. 7 34. 2 33. 8 33. 7 33.7 33. 3 32.7 1974: Jan Feb Mar... __ Apr _ _ 36. 3 36. 5 36. 5 36.3 36. 6 37. 0 37. 1 37. 1 36.8 36.6 36.2 36. 5 35.8 35. 8 39.9 40. 1 40. 2 39. 1 40. 3 40. 4 40. 0 40. 1 40.3 40. 1 39. 7 39. 9 38.7 38.5 34. 8 36. 2 36. 5 35. 9 36. 7 37. 6 37. 9 37. 6 37. 5 37.9 36.5 36.8 35.4 35.3 32. 3 32.4 32.4 32. 7 32. 5 33. 1 33. 7 33. 6 32. 6 32. 2 32. 1 32. 7 31.8 31.8 1 2 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervlsory employees; Also Includes other private industry groups shown on p. 13. * Includes eating and drinking places. 14 Contract construc- Retail trade 3 Seasonally7 adjusted Unad usted May __ . June . _ July ._ Aug . __ Sept Got . . _ Nov __ Dec . . 1975: Jan" Feb * ._ Manufacturing 36. 7 36. 8 36. 7 36. 6 36. 7 36. 7 36. 7 36. 7 36. 7 36. 6 36. S 36. 4 36. 2 36. 1 40.4 40.4 40.3 39. 3 40. 3 40. 1 40. 2 40. s 40. o 40. 1 39. 5 39. 4 39. S 38. 8 36. 4 37.6 36. 7 36. 3 36. 7 36. 9 36. 9 36. 4 36.5 37. S 37. 1 37.5 37. 1 36. 6 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 30. 9 3®. 9 32. 9 33. 0 32. 9 32. 7 32. 6 32. 6 32.6 32.4 32. 4 32. 4 32. 3 3$. S AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES srage hourly earnings of private nonfarm payroll workers increased by 1 cent (2.8 percent annual rate) to $4.41 ebruary, and were 34 cents (8.4 percent) above a year earlier. The adjusted hourly earnings index for manufacturing increased at an annual rate of 8.3 percent in February. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE V/EEKLY EARNINGS 28.0 7.00 CONT RACT CONSTRL aioN - vrV 240 6.00 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION /\ ^ >"' ^A ,/ VAk / ^ S* 200 5.00 MANUFAaUR NS „„„«•. ««* ^-'-•f'' \, •«..•»>, / MANUFACTURING J ,*» 16Q 4.00 ,„.--'"""•*'''"* TOTAL NONAGRIOJLTURAL PRIVATE "" ^-/^"^ -S~~\~f" 1 ^\ FAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE ~ ^^^l^"^1^^ 120 3.00 RETAIL T RADE RETAIL TRADE -*. 2.0.0 »• ...-'*-- 80 , , , , I, , , ,, 1 I ; I 1I I I I I 1972 1973 ' 1975 1974 197.2 , , ! . ! , , , , , 1973 i i i i i 1i i i i t 1974 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR , , , , , 1 , , , , IK 1975 "• COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Average h jurly earni ngs— curre nt dollars Total nonagricultural private l Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 _ . ... 1974:Jan__ Feb Mar . .. Apr__ May _ — June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1975: Jan" Feb" Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 2 Manufactur- Contract construction Retail trade 2 $112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 44 154. 69 ] 65. 65 176. 00 $146. 154. 164. 181. 195. 211. 222. 236. 249. 26 95 49 54 45 67 51 06 44 $68. 57 70. 95 74. 95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 90. 99 95. 57 101. 37 95. 6 100. 0 106. 1 112. 4 119. 4 127. 3 135. 1 143. 6 156. 0 $115. 58 114. 90 117. 57 117. 95 114. 99 117. 43 123. 46 ] 24. 46 119. 16 2. 99 2. 99 3.01 3. 01 3.08 3. 10 3. 11 3. 12 3. 10 3. 18 3. 18 3. 18 147. 02 148. 56 149. 29 148. 83 152. 62 155. 77 156. 56 158. 05 160. 08 159. 94 157. 83 159. 87 168. 38 169. 22 170. 45 166. 18 174. 50 176. 95 176. 80 178. 04 182. 56 182. 86 181. 83 185. 54 220. 236. 238. 235. 242. 250. 253. 257. 262. 264. 255. 259. 90 75 35 50 22 04 17 94 88 92 50 44 96. 58 96. 88 97. 52 98. 43 100. 10 102. 61 104. 81 1 04. 83 103. 02 102. 40 102. 08 103. 99 149. 3 149. 9 150. 6 152. 0 153. 7 155. 2 156. 3 157. 6 159. 6 160. 9 162. 2 164. 2 120. 53 119. 59 119. 11 115. 48 119. 93 120. 46 119.46 118. 77 120. 34 119. 52 117. 84 119. 40 3. 24 3. 26 157. 52 157. 88 179. 96 179. 80 250. 63 249. 22 103. 03 103. 67 165. 3 166. 4 115. 29 114. 38 $2. 72 2. 83 3. 01 3. 19 3. 36 3.57 3.81 4. 07 4. 40 $3. 89 4. 11 4. 41 4. 79 5. 24 5. 69 6.03 6. 38 6.76 $1. 91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 44 2. 57 2. 70 2. 87 3. 10 4. 05 4. 07 4. 09 4. 10 4. 17 4.21 4. 22 4. 26 4. 35 4.37 4. 36 4. 38 4. 22 4.22 4. 24 4. 25 4. 33 4. 38 4. 42 4. 44 4. 53 4. 56 4. 58 4. 65 6. 52 6. 54 6. 53 6. 56 6.60 6. 65 6. 68 0. 86 7. 01 6. 99 7. 00 7. 05 4. 40 4. 41 4. 65 4. 67 7. 08 7. 06 3 Total nonagricultural private ' Manut'ticturing indu stries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, ings, 1967 100 3 dollars 4 82 84 73 61 46 28 16 43 45 $2. .56 2. 68 2. 85 3. 04 3. 22 3. 44 3.67 3. 92 4. 22 iso includes other private industry groups shown on p. 13. *3 includes eating and drinking places. Adjusted to exclude the effects of overtime and interindustry shifts. 49-364 *—75 Average vreekly earn ings— curr snt dollars $98. 101. 107. 114. 119. 127. 136. 14.5. 154. * Earnings in current dollars divided by the consumer price indes. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 Industrial production declined for the fifth consecutive month in February with a drop of 3.0 percent. The 5-mo.-. decline—September 1974 to February 1975—was 12.2 percent. February cutbacks in output continued to be widespread among consumer goods, equipment, construction products, and industrial materials. Index, 1967 = 100 [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] index, 1967 =100 {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 80 I i i i i i I i i i i i I i M i i I i i i i i 1972 i 1973 i i i i i I i i ii i 1974 i i i i i Ii i ii 1975 100 1972 1975 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1967 1968 1969.- _ _ 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1974: Jan_ Feb Mar._ _ _ Apr MayJune July Aug Sept , Oet . ... Nov Dec 1975: Jan "_ Feb " Total industrial production 100. 0 105. 7 110. 7 106. 6 106. 8 115. 2 125. 6 124. 7 125. 4 124. 6 124. 7 124. 9 125. 7 125. 8 125. 5 125. 2 125. 6 124. 8 121. 7 117. 7 113. 7 110. 3 [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Mi inufacturi tig Total 100. 0 105. 7 110. 5 105. 2 105. 2 114. 0 125. 1 124. 3 125. 3 124. 5 124. 6 124. 8 125. 7 125. 6 125. 2 125. 2 125. 5 124. 6 120. 0 116. 3 112.2 108. 9 Mining Utilities NonDurable durable 100. 0 105. 5 110. 0 101. 4 99. 4 108. 4 122. 0 120. 6 121. 0 119. 4 120. 4 120. 7 122. 1 122. 1 121. 6 121. 0 122. 1 321. 0 117. 9 112. 3 108. 1 104. 1 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 100. 0 106. 0 111. 1 110. 6 113. 5 122. 1 129. 7 129. 6 131. 4 131. 5 131. 0 1 30. 4 130. 9 130. 7 130. 8 130. 4 130. 5 128. 9 125. 4 122. 0 118. 3 116. 0 100. 0 103. 9 107. 2 109. 7 107. 0 108. 8 110. 3 109. 4 109. 9 111. 7 112. 2 111.3 111. 0 1 ] 0. 2 110. 2 107. 3 109. 2 110. 5 105. 0 105. 1 108. 9 108. 0 100. 0 109. 4 119. 5 128. 3 133. 9 143. 4 ] 52. 6 149. 6 144. 9 146. 1 146. 5 148. 7 149. 1 150. 6 152. 4 152. 7 153. 1 151. 2 152. 3 150. 7 145. 7 145.8 Market Fiilal produc5ts InterConmediate MateEquiprials Total sumer ment products goods 100. 0 105. 8 109. 0 104. 5 104. 7 111. 9 121. 3 121. 7 121. 3 120. 6 121. 0 120. 7 122. 4 122. 5 122. 8 122. 1 122. 6 122. 3 120. 9 1 18. 1 115. 0 112. 5 100. 0 106. 6 111. 1 110. 3 155. 7 123. 6 131. 7 128. 8 129 2 128. 3 1 28. 5 128. 5 129. 6 130. 3 ] 30. 0 129. 8 128. 8 128. 2 126. 3 123. 2 120. 1 117. 9 100. 0 104. 7 106. 1 96. 3 89. 4 95. 5 106. 7 111. 7 109. 8 109. 9 110. 1 110. 1 112. 2 112. 0 113. 0 111. 4 ] 1 3. 8 114. 0 113. 2 110. 8 108. 0 105. 2 100. 0 105. 7 112. 0 111. 7 112. r, 121. 1 131.0 128. 2 129. 2 129. 1 128. 1 129. 4 J29. 2 128. 9 127. 8 128. 6 127. G 125. 3 123. 0 120. 1 118.4 115. 1 100. 0 105. 7 112. 4 107.7 107. 4 117. 4 129.3 127. 3 129. 7 128. 3 128. 9 128. 7 129. 1 128. 8 128. 0 1 28. 5 129. 3 128. 1 122. 1 116. 3 110.4 106. 2 OF ucfion continued to fall sharply in all durable and nondurable manufactures in February. INDEX, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 INDEX, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER [1967 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Ncmdurable manufactu res Durab le rjaanufotctures Period Primary metals FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods and petrocated Machin- tation and apparel, ery prodand equipprint- leum, and tobacco metal products rubber ment ucts leather ing 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 100. 0 103. 2 114. 1 106. 9 100. 9 113. 1 127. 0 124. 1 100. 0 106. 3 113. 6 109. 4 107. 4 114. 8 130. 5 131.4 100. 0 101. 9 106. 8 100. 3 96. 2 107.5 125. 8 129. 7 100.0 109.7 107. 6 90. 4 92. 9 99. 0 109. 1 96.9 100. 0 104. 8 108. 6 106. 3 113. 9 122. 4 127. 9 119.8 100. 0 104. 9 105. 9 100. 2 100. 7 108. 1 115.0 108. 8 100. 0 104. 2 109. 1 107. 8 107. 8 116. 1 122. 2 120. 9 100. 0 109. 6 118. 4 118. 2 124. 7 137. 8 149. 3 151. 6 100. 0 103. 6 107. 5 110. 8 113. 7 117. 6 121. 9 124. 6 1974: Jan Feb Mar Apr - __ May . _ _ _ _ June . . . July Aug Sept Oet __ _ Nov Dec _ 129.5 125. 0 125. 3 124. 0 124. 6 124. 7 123. 2 121. 9 123. 0 126. 0 121. 0 109. 8 131.4 130.6 131. 6 131. 3 131. 9 132. 5 131. 1 13]. 6 132. 0 129. 6 128. 2 124. 1 128. 6 127. 2 128.4 128. 2 129. 7 130. 4 129. 9 130. 5 132. 5 131. 1 128. 9 124. 6 95. 7 93. 9 95. 0 97. 8 100. 6 99. 4 98.7 126. 1 127. 1 126. 1 126. 8 126.8 125. 6 121. 6 121. 5 116. 6 109. 3 105. 2 101. 0 116. 2 115. 3 112. 4 109. 3 109. 8 108. 5 108. 1 107. 4 106. 5 105. 1 101. 9 96. 4 121. 7 122. 2 122. 5 121. 2 121. 3 122. 3 122. 4 121. 0 122. 7 120. 8 115. 7 112. 4 151. 5 151. 2 151. 2 153. 5 153. 0 153.8 153. 9 154. 4 1 54. 7 152. 4 146. 5 141.8 125.4 126. 2 125. 3 124. 3 126. 5 125. 3 124. 8 124. 8 124. 3 123. 7 123. 8 123. 6 1975: Jan" Feb ». _ 105. 0 101. 4 119. 7 113. 9 119.4 114. 8 79. 6 76. 0 95.6 89. 9 87. 7 108. 6 105.8 137.7 133. 9 123. 0 122. 4 _. . .. . . _ 99. 9 100.4 102. 1 93. 7 83. 6 airce: Board of Governors of the Federal Heserve System. 11 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Weekly indicators of production (not seasonally adjusted) rose in February. Cars and trucks assembled increased for the first time since October 1974. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS 16 STEEL 1973- J F M A O M N BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS 50 | ELECTRIC POWER 1973 40 30 20 • 0 I ! 'i ' I '' J 1I I 1 I I I I I T F M I I M I I 1 1 I I I I I f I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I 1 I I M» A M J J SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Steel pi oduoed Index Thousands of net (1967= tons 100) Period Weekly average: 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 » 1974: Jan Feb Mar Apr— . May June. July .. Aug _ _ Sept— Oct. Nov Deo __ _ __ __ _ 1975: Jan- .. _ _ Feb' . Week ended: 1975: Feb 8 _ . _ 15 22 _ Mar 1 8 15 " 22" x lncludes 3 data for Alaska. Not charted. 18 2 2, 515 2, 709 2, 522 2, 310 2, 549 2, 892 2, 790 2, 873 2,900 2, 880 2, 900 2, 879 2, 840 2, 750 2, 672 2, 768 2, 848 2, 707 2, 480 2, 615 2,719 103. 1 111. 0 103. 4 94. 7 104. 5 118.5 114. 4 117. 8 118. 8 118. 0 118. 9 118. 0 116. 4 112. 7 109. 5 113. 5 116. 7 111. 0 101. 6 2, 721 2,675 2,710 2,723 2,785 111. 5 2,718 2, 669 107. 2 111. 4 109. 6 111. 1 111. 6 114. 2 111.4 109.4 A S O N D COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Car B and tri.icks coal mined power loaded produced assembled (thoiisands) distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of short (millions of of tons) Total Cars Trucks of cars) kilowatt-hours) tons) * 25, 244 27, 588 . 29, 317 30, 923 33, 540 35, 834 35, 839 35, 150 35, 617 34, 224 33, 248 34, 612 37, Oil 39, 982 39, 269 35, 692 34, 233 34, 839 36, 039 36, 360 36,423 10, 485 10, 779 11, 595 10, 619 11, 450 11, 380 11, 439 10, 963 12, 201 12, 078 12, 305 12, 579 11, 759 11, 051 11, 606 1 2, 623 13, 269 7, 676 8,631 11,929 12,261 543 543 522 486 502 526 508 491 522 529 520 535 542 500 510 514 546 464 413 433 442 479 507 489 501 548 569 552 505 586 595 587 597 589 536 573 524 556 522 437 427 466 207.6 195. 8 158.9 204. 8 217.3 243. 6 192. 0 189. 1 200. 1 196. 1 207. 7 216. 6 220. 3 166. 6 137. 9 208. 6 239. 7 196.5 126. 1 122. 7 131.8 170.1 158. 1 125. 9 165.0 169. 6 185.8 140. 2 133. 1 141. 1 139. 2 152. 6 159. 1 163. 2 115. 9 103. 3 159. 1 181. 7 142. 4 88. 8 88. 2 92. 5 37.5 37. 8 33. fi 39. 8 47.6 57. 8 51. 8 56. 0 59. 0 56. 8 55. 1 57. 5 57. 1 50. 6 34. 5 49. 5 58. 0 54. 1 37. 3 34. 5 39. 3 37, 424 37, 291 35, 585 35,392 36,206 36,199 11, 950 12, 040 12, 185 12,870 12,885 11, 720 436 442 430 458 448 433 452 479 477 455 430 444 115. 0 141. 9 132.4 137. 8 130. 1 166. 7 81. 3 101. 0 90. 9 96. 7 101. 4 125. 5 33. 7 40. 8 41. 5 41. 1 28. 7 41. 2 2 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Df ment of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper tute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION A ccording to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction declined almost 3 percent in January. Both vate residential and public construction contributed to the decline. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL KATES 140 140 TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION 120 120 100 100 PRIVATE 80 80 »«•* 60 60 - PUBLIC- 20 «.„,••"""•"""*•„.•.,„, I I I I I I I 11 40 ...„.».„....-"'"•"•••»-••" i i i i I i i i i i 20 60 60 40 40 20 20 1975 1969 COUNCIL OF ECOKQW1C AOV1SE£S SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 . Total new construction expenditures 93. 9 94. 9 110. 0 124. 1 135. 5 134. 5 Private Total 66. 0 66. 8 80. 1 93. 9 102. 9 96. 1 Hesic ential CommerNew cial and housing industrial Total ' units Bi llions of dol ars 33. 2 25. 9 16. 2 31. 9 24. 3 16. 3 43. 3 17. 0 35. 1 54. 3 44.9 18.1 57. 6 47. 8 21. 7 46. 5 37.0 23. 8 Other Federal, State, and local 16. 6 18. 6 19. 8 21.5 23. 6 25. 9 28. 0 28. 1 29. 9 30.2 32. 6 38.4 24. 6 24. 5 25. 5 25. 4 25. 8 26. 1 25. 9 25. 7 25.9 25. 4 25. 4 26. 3 26. 5 26.8 27. 4 33.4 33. 1 34. 8 37. 5 36. 4 39. 0 40.3 38. 5 40. 0 38. 2 38. 3 38. 9 37. 6 41. 6 39.7 Seasonall j adjusted ai mual rates 1973: Nov Dec 1974: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June _ July.. .. Aug _ Sept Oct _ Nov Dec _ 1975 : Jan » . 135. 7 133. 2 132.6 136. 3 135. 1 136. 4 138. 2 136.9 137.9 134. 5 132. 9 133. 0 129. 7 131. 6 128. 1 102. 3 100. 1 97. 8 98. 8 98. 6 97. 4 97. 9 98. 4 98. 0 96. 3 94. 6 94 2 92. 1 90. 0 88. 4 54. 5 52. 4 49.7 48.9 48.6 48. 2 48.0 48. 3 48. 9 48. 3 45. 9 43.3 41.0 39. 0 37. 2 44. 2 42. 1 39. 8 38. 9 39. 1 39. 3 39. 7 39. 5 38. 9 37.5 35. 5 33. 7 31. 8 29. 7 27. 8 icludes noniiousefceeping residential construction and additions and altera-, not shown separately. - W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value Index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 23. 1 23. 2 22 6 24. 5 24. 2 23. 2 24. 0 24. 5 23. 1 22. 7 23. 3 24. 6 24. 7 24. 1 23. 9 Construction contracts 2 CommerTotal value cial and index, industrial (1967 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 123. 123. 145. 165. 179. 168. 7 1 4 3 9 6 883 743 727 854 1, 021 860 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 194 1,050 834 161 918 155 187 968 181 901 167 993 188 936 166 910 177 920 170 986 187 884 148 750 154 681 176 651 135 653 Note—Seasonally adjusted floor space series revised beginning 1973. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw- 1AQ Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. v Housing starts declined 2 percent in February to an annua! rate of 977,000. Permits for future housing also declined slightly. MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 2.5 1.0 1969 1975 SOURCES; DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT, AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSERS [Thousands of units] Hou sing star ts Total private and public (including farm) Period 1969 1970 1971 1972... 5 1, 466. 8 0 1, 433. 0 5 2, 052. 2 5 2, 356. 6 5 2, 045. 3 1, 352. 5 1, 337. 7 1974 1974: Jan _ Fob . Mar Aur May June _ July_ Aug Scpt_. Oct Nov _ Dec 1975: Jan Private Total private (including farm) 1, 499. 1, 469. 2, 084. 2, 378. 2, 057. 1973 P Fob " 86. 2 109. 6 127. 2 160. 9 149. 9 149. 5 127. 2 114. 0 99. 6 i 97. 2 75. 6 55. 4 56. 6 54. 9 84. o 109. 4 124. 8 159. 5 149. 0 147. 6 126. 6 111. 1 98. 3 96. 7 75. 1 55. 1 55. 8 53. 4 Total ( ineiudin 3 farm) Total One 810. 6 1, 466. 8 812. 9 1, 433. 0 2. 052. 2 1, 151. 0 2, 356. 6 1, 309. 2 2, 045. 3 1, 132. 0 888. 1 1, 337. 7 1, 437 1, 881 1, 511 I, 580 1,407 1, 533 1, 314 1. 156 1, 157 1, 106 1, 017 880 996 977 803 1, 046 969 975 925 1, 000 920 826 845 792 802 682 742 718 1 For 1- to 4-uriit structures. 2 Authorized by issuance of local building permit: in 14,000 permit-issuing places beginning 1972; 13,000 for 1967-71; 12,000 tor 1963-66; and 10,000 prior to 1963. 20 Propos ed home constniction 3 i Govei nment i borne p rograms (non farm) Two or ! more F H A 1 VA ! units 656. 2 153. 6 51. 2 233. 5 61. 0 620. 7 901. 2 i 301. 2 94. 0 1 198. 4 104. 0 1, 047. 5 913. 3 73. 6 86. 1 449. 7 56. 8 72. 8 i Seasona lly adjus ted annu a! 634 62 39 836 48 63 542 48 71 606 42 72 54.2 60 77 534 O-> 76 «}4 53 71 329 57 68 313 67 76 314 81 73 215 69 74 198 69 78 254 71 68 259 i 64 New private housing units authorized 2 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 924. 6 2, 218. 9 1, 819. 5 1, 065. 9 rates 1, 282 1, 325 1. 410 1, 296 I, 120 1. 106 I, 017 900 823 7S2 730 822 682 673 Applications for Requests for VA FHA commit- appraisals ments l 187. 6 315. 0 366. 8 225. 2 83. 2 87. 1 48 65 72 74 89 90 103 85 95 133 111 79 72 138. '2 143. 7 217. 9 209.4 161. 9 160. 1 125 157 144 153 159 ISO 160 185 169 185 157 132 126 144 3 Units represented by mortgage applications or appraisal requests for new home construction. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census), Departmen Housing and Urban Development, and Veterans Administration. INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE ;iness inventories were unchanged in January following an average monthly increase of $4.4 billion in fhe fourth of 1974. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED; 280 f BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 35 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) DURABLE GOODS STORES 40 1972 1975 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total business Wholesale Sales Period Total Durable goods stores 18, 366 19, 756 20, 583 22, 327 24, 862 30, 400 37, 344 22, 997 24, 910 27, 290 29, 695 32, 817 38, 302 46, 564 28, 490 29, 824 31, 294 34, 07 1 37, 365 41, 943 44, 815 9, 268 9, 626 9, 524 10, 985 12, 472 14, 190 13, 943 224, 004 33, 978 38, 302 42, 116 13, 270 154, 064 156, 098 159, 239 160, 675 162, 924 163, 052 168, 824 171, 644 170, 862 171, 647 168, 335 161, 809 226, 918 230, 140 233, 120 235, 216 239. 217 243, 831 248, 775 253, 308 258, 622 264, 612 267, 047 271, 84.0 34, 743 35, 986 37, 170 37, 342 36, 913 37, 293 38, 449 38, 828 38, 748 37, 751 37, 714 37, 501 38, 986 39, 640 40, 425 40, 423 41, 203 42, 347 43, 171 43, 704 44, 500 45, 642 45, 976 46, 564 42, 932 43, 134 43, 872 44, 283 44, 894 44, 593 46, 356 47, 056 46, 1 77 45, 803 44, 469 44, 821 161,867 271,839 36,849 46,191 45 , 894 14,026 46, 105 14,150 Sales "- 163, 882 155, 845 167, 360 175, 561 184, 401 197, 087 224, 004 271, 840 1973: Dec _ ... 150, 711 1974: Jan __ Sales - 97, 138 103, 134 104, 736 . 112, 315 124, 244 143, 742 Feb Mar Apr May - June July Aug. Sept Oct.. Nov Dec 1975: Jan" Feb" ^le term "business" also include? mamifac luring (sec page 22). lonthly average for year and total for month. Retail Inventories Nondurable goods stores Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Inventories '<• Inventories 3 1968 1969_ 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 2 3 Nondurable goods stores Total Durable goods stores 19, 222 20, 197 21, 770 23, 086 24, 893 27, 754 30, 872 41, 973 45, 376 46, 626 52, 261 56, 551 64, 832 74, 872 19, 167 20, 647 20, 345 23, 808 26, 034 29, 646 34, 605 22, 806 24, 729 26, 281 28, 453 30, 517 35, 186 40, 267 28, 846 64, 832 29, 648 35, 186 13, 525 29, 407 13, 327 29, 807 13, 660 30, 212 13, 941 30, 342 14, 289 30, 605 ] 4, 049 30, 544 14, 963 31, 393 15, 381 31, 675 14, 419 31, 758 13, 645 32, 158 12, 975 31, 494 13, 266 31, 555 65, 362 65, 669 66, 195 66, 355 67. 078 67, 943 68, 873 69, 877 71, 147 73. 908 74, 836 74, 872 29, 731 29, 786 29, 733 29, 638 29, 708 30, 002 10, 069 30, 806 33, 390 34, 376 J4, 605 35, 631 35, 883 36, 462 36, 717 37, 370 37, 941 38, 804 39, 071 39, 793 40, 518 40, 460 40, 267 31,868 31,955 74,024 34,192 39,832 }], 354 s Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS According to advance reports, new orders of durable soods manufacturers rose in February after decreasing 5 straight months. Shipments declined. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 INVENTORIES 140 TOTAL 120 100 3URABLE GOODS 80 60 NONDURABLE GOODS 40 INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 20 1.40 1972 1975 1972 1975 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufac •turers' sh ipments 1 Manufac turers' im> entories 2 Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs ' Durat)le goods Period Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total Total NonCapital durable goods industries, goods nondefense Manufacturers' inventory— shipments3 ratio Millions of dollars , seasonal ly adjustc d 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1974: Jan. Feb. Mar Apr.. . May June July. _. Aug.. _ _ Sept-. .. Oct Nov Dec 1975: Jan » Feb ' 53, 555 29, 459 52, 859 28, 229 55, 917 29, 948 62, 017 33, 443 71, 398 38, 724 81, 723 42, 635 76, 389 39, 994 76, 978 40, 073 78, 197 40, 635 79, 050 41, 232 81, 117 42, 538 81, 166 42, 785 84, 019 44, 122 85, 760 44, 825 85, 937 45, 016 88, 093 46, 548 86, 152 44, 752 79, 487 40, 549 79, 124 40, 137 39, 393 24, 096 24, 629 25, 969 28, 573 32, 674 39, 089 36, 395 36, 905 37, 562 37, 818 38, 579 38, 381 39, 897 40, 935 40, 921 41, 545 41, 400 38, 938 38, 987 97, 074 101, 645 102, 445 107, 719 120, 870 150, 404 122, 570 124, 831 126, 500 128, 438 130, 936 133, 541 136, 731 139, 727 142, 975 145, 062 147, 135 150, 404 151, 624 63, 371 33, 703 66, 768 34, 877 66, 050 36, 395 70, 218 37, 501 79, 441 41, 429 97, 967 52, 437 80, 541 42, 029 81, 925 42, 906 83, 014 43, 486 84, 108 44, 330 85, 715 45, 221 87, 366 46, 175 89, 286 47, 445 91, 004 48, 723 93, 184 49, 791 94, 680 50, 382 95, 787 51, 348 97, 967 52, 437 99, 124 52, 500 1 Monthly average tor year and total for month. 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly 22 53, 646 52, 118 55, 726 62, 922 73, 836 83, 297 78, 139 79, 127 79, 547 82, 059 85, 264 85, 176 87, 517 90, 393 87, 147 86, 369 84, 282 76, 454 74, 958 29, 549 27, 486 29, 745 34, 274 41, 098 44, 289 41, 515 42, 267 41, 974 44, 124 46, 730 46, 848 47, 709 49, 463 46, 402 45, 084 43, 182 37, 842 36, 062 36, 766 7, 694 7, 055 7, 324 8, 487 10, 310 11, 494 11,003 11,415 11, 300 11, 925 11, 804 12, Oil 12, 800 11, 805 11, 832 11, 383 10, 623 10, 459 10, 077 9, 698 24, 097 24, 632 25, 981 28, 648 32, 738 39, 009 36, 624 36, 860 37, 573 37, 935 38, 534 38, 328 39, 808 40, 930 40, 745 41, 285 41, 100 38, 612 38, 896 1. 76 1. 89 1.82 1. 69 1. 58 1. 65 1. 60 1. 62 1. 62 1. 62 1. 61 1. 65 1.63 1. 63 1. 66 1. 65 1.71 1. 89 1. 92 shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to snipm for month. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Tkr> merchandise trade deficit (as reported by the Bureau of the Census on three bases) improved from December 1974 anuary 1975. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 12 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 12 JO 1969 1975 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Gerleral imp orts 3 Domesti c exports Period Total (including To tali 2 reexports) Food, Crude bever- materials ages, and to- and bacco fuels Food, Crude bever- mateManufacTotal 2 ages, rials tured and to- and goods bacco fuels Manufactured goods Total (c.i.f. 4 value) Merchandise trade balance Exports ExExports (f.a.s.) ports (f.a.s.) less (f.a.s.) less imless imports ports im(c.i.f.) ports (customs (f.a.s.) value) 6 Customs value F.a.s. valu e 5 Monthly 1970 _ . . 3, 3, 4, 5, 8, 555 1971 1972 1973 1974 629 100 902 159 1974 8, 159 7, 150 7, 549 7, 625 8, 108 7,652 1974: Jan Feb Mar__ Apr May__ June- _ 8,317 July.— 8,308 Aug Sept _ 8,380 8, 396 8, 673 Oct Nov _ _ 8, 974 Dec— . 8,862 5: Jan ... 9,412 3, 502 3, 576 4, 033 5,811 8, 045 422 423 547 1,078 1, 269 8, 045 1, 269 1,299 1,329 1, 308 1, 326 1, 199 1,231 1, 236 1, 182 1,099 1, 250 1, 397 1, 378 1,735 558 537 591 895 1, 317 2, 445 2, 537 2,812 3,728 5, 294 1,317 5, 294 4, 499 1,096 1, 269 1, 238 1, 330 1, 328 1, 374 1, 381 1, 318 1, 223 1,265 1,560 1, 332 1, 595 4,718 4, 796 5, 138 4, 962 5, 407 5, 388 5, 603 5,660 5, 890 5,845 5,812 5,747 3, 329 3, 797 4, 632 5, 790 8,414 8,352 6,497 7, 317 7,742 8,025 8, 265 8,573 8, 918 9,262 8,698 8, 769 8, 965 9,250 9,622 ,_ ^otai excludes Department oi Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 'Total includes commodities and transactions aot classified according to kind. 'Total arrivals of imported eoods other than intranslt shipments. * C.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in the United States. 519 545 534 606 737 615 770 1, 120 892 2, 651 F.a.s. value 5 892 2, 669 836 1, 694 896 2, 066 1, 055 2, 204 881 2,880 931 2, 739 923 2,837 942 2, 946 899 3, 098 s 783 716 940 943 2, 856 3, 003 2, 995 2,978 796 3, 589 2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 159 535 147 750 684 4, 602 3, 748 4, 028 4, 222 4, 214 4, 452 4, 678 4, 833 5, 091 4, 958 4,961 5, 042 5, 062 4, 793 9, 000 225 -168 -532 112 -255 9, 000 7,019 7, 882 -255 614 175 8, 311 8, 639 8, 921 9, 256 9, 611 9, 999 9, 378 9,451 9, 653 9,942 10, 365 — 160 44 -674 -313 -655 -959 -384 -189 -91 -453 -247 -193 -841 -193 653 232 -116 83 — 612 -257 -611 -882 -302 -96 9 -388 -211 -841 131 -333 -685 -531 — 1, 269 -940 -1,303 -1, 619 -982 -778 — 680 -1,080 -953 F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis: at U.S. port of exportation for exports and at foreign port of exportation for imports. • See Note. NOTE.—Customs value imports have been discontinued. For 197-1 monthly data on this basis, see Economic Indicators, February 1975. 'Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 23 U.S. BALANCES ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND TRANSFERS The fourth quarter current account deficit of $0.3 billion represented a $1.2 billion improvement over the third qua deficit. The merchandise trade balance (adjusted to the balance of payments basis) was in deficit by $1.6 bill in the fourth quarter. For 1974 as a whole, the trade balance swung from a surplus of $0.5 billion to a deficit of $-> billion, as the deficit in petroleum and products increased sharply in 1974. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4 BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT -3 1968 1973 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE" 1974 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars) Re- M erchandise Period Ex- ports 1969 1970 1971. 1972 1973 1974" _ _ _ Imports 1 2 Net balance Militsiry trans actions Direct expenditures Sales 607 -4,856 1, 512 36, 414 -35,807 41, 947 -39,788 2, 159 -4, 855 1,478 42, 754 -45,476 -2, 722 -4,819 1, 912 48, 768 -55,754 — 6, 986 -4, 759 1, 154 70, 277 -69,806 471 -4, 620 2, 354 97, 081 -102,962 -5, 881 -5, 065 2,966 Net balance Net iiivestment i ncome Private 3 U.S. Government Net travel and Other trans- servporta- ices,3 tion net expenditures -3,344 3, 655 156 — 1, 763 2, 034 -111 -2, 023 2, 388 -3, 377 3,895 -2, 908 5,976 -955 -2,341 2, 781 -3, 604 6, 413 -1,887 -3,055 3, 110 -2, 266 8,298 -3, 008 -2,710 3, 540 -2, 099 12, 916 -3, 238 -2,435 3,926 mitBaltances, ance penon sions, goods and and other serv-J uniices lateral transfers 1 1,344 -2, 978 2,932 -3, 256 -170 -3,647 -6, 010 -3, 797 4,327 -3,876 3, 191 -7, 215 Balance on current account -1, 633 -324 -3,817 -9,807 450 -4, 025 Seasoilally adjusted 342 15, 230 -16, 184 -954 -1, 175 16, 679 - 17, 042 — 363 -1, 209 446 18, 152 -17, 574 578 - 1, 067 520 20, 216 - 19, 006 1, 210 -1,169 I, 046 22, 212 oo 3g7 -175 - 1, 166 666 1974: I II-. 23, 921 -25, 595 — 1, 674 -1, 319 651 IIL. 24, 731 -27, 205 — 2, 474- 1, 278 805 IV'- 26, 217 — 27, 775-1, 558-i; 302 844 1973:1 II-. III. IV-_ 1 Excludes 2 Adjusted 3 -833 -763 -547 -123 2.081 1, 968 2, 052 2, 197 -500 — 668 -473 — 458 3,872 2, 662 3, 081 3, 301 "military grantsfrom Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Fees and; royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or froin foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from net Investment income and included In other services, net. 24 -634 -760 -795 -819 -768 -792 -799 -879 841 -686 — 781 815 984 -613 901 -630 -531 918 — 726 992 984 — 566 -612 1, 032 -185 -761 — 946 116 -1, 056 - 940 1, 659 -897 762 1, 572 2, 736 -1, 164 2, 816 -2, 951 -135 -206 — 1, 902 -2, 108 -247 -1,228 -1,475 826 -1, 136 -310 Note.—Series revised beginning 1974. Source; Department oi Commerce, Bureau ol Economic Analysis U.S. OVERALL BALANCES ON INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS jased placement of surplus funds in the Dr cause of the increase in the official T9/4. The net liquidity deficit, influenced deficit and U.S. bank lending abroad, rose United States by the official agencies of the oil-exporting nations was the reserve transactions deficit from $5.3 billion in 1973 to $8.1 billion in in addition to the above by the oil-related increases in the U.S. trade to $18.3 billion in 1974. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT AND LONG-TERM CAPITAL 1968 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Period NonLong-ter m capital Balance liquid on flow:3, net shortcurrent term account private U.S. and long- capital Govern- Private 2 term ment * capital flows net 2 -70 -3, 637 -640 — I , 933 -2, 025 -1,429 -3, 778 -482 -2, 362 -4, 381 - 10, 559-2, 347 -98 -11,235 -1,541 — 1, 330 62 - 1, 026 -4, 276 -1,539 t } oyo -10, 580 -12,955 1, 042 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 » Allocations of special drawing rights (SDR) Errors and omissions, net Net liquidity balance Changes in lia- Changes Liquid Official bilities in U.S. private reserve to official capital transforeign reserve flows, actions official assets, net 2 balance agencies, net 4 3 net 8, 820 -1,805 -6, 081 2, 739 — 1, 552 — 1, 187 16, 964 7, 362 867 -458 -3,851 — 5, 988 -9,839 2,477 14, 487 717 -9, 776 — 21, 965 — 7, 788 -29, 753 27, 405 2, 348 12, 167 32 13, 151 710 -1, 790— 13, 856 3, 502 - 10, 354 10, 322 -2, 303 -7, 606 2, 302 -5,304 209 14, 378 5, 095 5, 197 — 18, 338 10, 268 -8, 070 Seas onally ad iusted 1973: T II III... IV—. 1974: I II_._j III.J IV -"„! -371 309 -1,008 -1,663 — 324 — 1, 170 -1,457 1,527 1,891 -398 97 -862 — 1, 451 -741 -1, 253 94 9, 504 - 1, 434 15, 883 Unadjusted -3, 943 -6, 614 — 3, 581 -10, 195 9, 975 850 -1,777 2, 063 -303 286 1,652 1,942 — 1,929 -336 290 1, 125 -869 3, 530 2,661 -2, 646 504J 1, 719 -3, 994 58? - 1, 039 — 2, 563 — 5, 296 3 — 2, 402 -3,874 - 1, 427 -895) -4, 661 -5,866 -2,238 1, 350, ' Excludes liabi ities to fore!311 official res erve agencle Private foreigners exclude the IMF, but include other inte national aad regional organisations. 3 Includes liabilities to foreign official agencies reported by U.S. Government U.S. banks and U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from reversible gold sales id gold deposits with, the United States. onsists of gold, special drawing rights (SDK), convertible currencies, and J.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. Minus sign indicates increase. ° includes increases (in millions) as follows: 1989, $87 due to revaluation 01 the German mark in Oct. 1969; 1971, $28 clue to dollar value of foreign currencies revalued to reflect market exchange rates as of Dec. 31, 19-71; 1972, S13G16 due to s U.S. official reserve assets, net (end of 5 period) 1, 305 -970 1, 463 — 6, 396 838 -4, 463 1, 592 -6, 512 2, 1, 4, 2, 016 i, 046 874 -4, 522 143 -320 235 -4, 2771 220 17 — 13 — 15 12, 931 12, 914 12, 927 14, 378 -836 — 210 14, 588 4, 880 -358 14, 946 1, 323 — 1, 003 15, 893 4, 140 137 15, 883 chang 3 in par yahle of the do] ar on May s , 1972; and f Mirth quarte r and year 1973, $ 1,436 due to hange in par value of the dollar on Oet 18 1973. ;ed on new memou 01 vaiuauun. un a pre-Juiy oasis, reserve assets lor Be . 1974 are $15,949 million and for Dec. 31,1974 $13,812 million. Note.—Series revised beginning 1974, Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. In February, the consumer price index rose 0.7 percent (0.6 percent seasonally adjusted). Food prices increas* 0.4 percent (0.1 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 0.7 percent (0.8 percent seasonally adjusted) and: servicesprices rose 0.8 percent. INDEX, 1967=100 180 INDEX, 1967=100 180 170 130 120 120 110 100 100 1969 1975 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All items (1967 = 1001 Co mmoditie Services Comra odities les s food Services All All comFood Rent less Nonservices modities All Durable durable rent 1966 1967 196S _ 1969 1970 1971 1972 . 1973_. _ ^ _ 1974 1974: Jan Feb... Alar Apr May June Julv Aug _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Sept Oct___ Nov Dec .. 97. 2 100. 0 104. 2 109. 8 116. 3 121. 3 125. 3 133. 1 147. 7 139. 7 141. 5 143. 1 143.9 145. 5 146. 9 148. 0 149. 9 151. 7 153.0 154. 3 155.4 98. 2 100. 0 103. 7 108. 4 113. 5 117. 4 120. 9 129. 9 145. 5 137. 0 139.3 141. 0 141. 8 143.4 144. 8 145. 6 147. 6 149.4 150.7 152. 0 153. 0 99. 1 100. 0 103. 6 108. 9 114. 9 118. 4 123. 5 141. 4 161. 7 153. 7 157. 6 159. 1 158. 6 159.7 160. 3 160. 5 162. 8 165. 0 166. 1 167. 8 169. 7 97. 5 100. 0 103. 7 108. 1 112. 5 116. 8 119. 4 123. 5 136. 6 127. 9 129. 2 131. 1 132. 6 134.5 136.2 137. 5 139.3 140. 9 142. 2 143. 3 143. 9 98. 5 100. 0 103. 1 107. 0 111. 8 116. 5 118. 9 121. 9 130. 6 123. 3 123.4 124. 3 125. 6 127. 5 129. 7 131. 5 133. 2 134. 8 136. 8 138.0 138.8 97. 0 100.0 104. 1 108. 8 113. 1 117. 0 119. 8 124. 8 140.9 131.3 133. 5 136. 1 137. 7 139. 5 141. 0 141. 8 143. 7 145. 3 146. 1 147.2 147. 7 95. 8 100. 0 105. 2 112. 5 121. 6 128. 4 133. 3 139. 1 152. 0 144.8 145. 8 147.0 147. 9 149. 4 150. 9 152. 5 154. 2 155. 9 157. 3 158. 6 160. 0 127. 3 128. 0 128. 4 128. 8 129. 3 129. 8 130. 3 130. 9 131. 4 132. 2 132. 8 133. 5 95. 3 100. 0 105. 7 113. 8 123. 7 130. 8 135. 9141. 8 156.0 148. 0 149. 1 150. 4 151. 4 153. 1 154. 7 156. 6 158. 4 160. 3 161. 9 163. 3 164. 8 1975: Jan Feb. . 156. 1 157.2 153.4 154.4 170.9 171.6 143.9 144.9 139. 3 140. 3 147. 2 148. 2 161. 3 162. 6 134. 0 135. 1 166. 2 167. 5 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 26 98. 2 100. 0 102. 4 105. 7 110. 1 115. 2 119. 2 124. 3 130. 2 WHOLESALE wholesale price index declined 0.3 percent in February (0.8 percent after seasonal adjustment). Prices of farm Jucts and processed foods and feeds declined 2.3 percent (3.4 percent seasonally adjusted). Industrial commodity puces were up 0.5 percent (also up 0.5 percent seasonally adjusted). INDEX, 1967=100 INDEX, 1967=100 200 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS / 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF' ECONOMIC ADVISEES 99. 8 100. 0 102. 5 106. 5 110. 4 113. 9 119. 1 134. 7 160. 1 [1967 = 100] Farni product 3 and processe d foods and feeds ProcAll inFarm essed dustriTotal prodfoods als1 and ucts feeds 98. 5 105. 9 103. 5 101. 2 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 102. 5 102. 4 102. 5 102. 2 106. 0 108. 0 107. 3 109. 1 110. 0 112. 1 111. 0 111. 7 114. 0 113. 8 112. 9 114. 3 122. 4 117. 9 125. 0 120. 8 125. 9 176. 3 159. 1 148. 1 153. 8 177.4 187. 7 170. 9 146. 6 149. 5 151. 4 1 52. 7 155. 0 155. 7 161. 7 167. 4 167. 2 170. 2 171. 9 171. 5 171. 8 171. 3 177. 8 180. 6 176. 2 169. 6 167. 4 161. 7 172. 7 183. 4 179. 1 185. 1 189. 0 186. 5 183. 8 179. 5 All commodities Period 1906 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 - - - ... . . -_ 1974: Jan Feb Mar Apr May. June_ July Aug Sept Oct Nov Deo 1975: Jan Feb _- _ -- _. 202. 6 205. 6 197. 0 186. 2 180. 8 168. 6 180. 8 189. 2 182. 7 187. 5 187. 8 183.7 179. 7 174. 6 162. 1 164, 7 163. 0 159. 1 158. 9 157. 4 167. 8 179. 7 176. 8 183. 5 189. 7 188.2 186. 4 182. 6 overage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this tobacco.5 cmdefco(lstuflsandteedstaffs. Plant and animalfibers,oilseeds, and 135. 3 138. 2 142. 4 146. 8 150. 5 153. 6 157. 8 161. 6 162. 9 164. 8 165. 8 166. 1 167. 5 168. 4 Iiidustrial t ornmodit es Crude mate-2 rials 104. 5 100. 0 102. 0 110. 6 118. 8 122. 7 Inter- Producmediate er finmate-s ished rials goods Consul aer finished g<jods exeluding5 foods DurNonable durable 155. 2 219. 1 98. 9 100. 0 102. 6 106. 1 110. 0 114. 3 118. 9 128. 1 159. 5 96. 8 100. 0 103. 5 106. 9 111. 9 116. 6 119. 5 123. 5 141. 0 98. 5 100. 0 102. 2 104. 0 107. 0 110. 9 113. 2 115. 8 126. 3 97. 8 100. 0 102. 2 105. 0 108. 3 111. 3 113. 6 120. 5 146.8 188.2 202. 7 212. 2 224. 8 216. 5 217. 5 228. 9 229. 5 229. 8 229. 0 228. 7 221. 2 219. 4 221. 0 137. 9 140. 6 145. 8 150. 8 156. 1 159. 6 164-. 5 169. 6 170. 6 172. 1 173. 0 173. 2 175. 0 175. 9 128. 3 129. 3 130. 9 132. 4 135. 9 138. 7 141. 5 145. 2 148. 0 151. 9 154. 1 155. 3 157. 4 158. 3 119. 6 120. 2 120. 9 122. 0 123. 7 125. 0 126. 8 127. 3 128.4 133. 1 133. 8 135. 3 135. 9 136. 3 130. 2 134. 0 137. 8 141. 2 144. 3 147.7 150. 6 153. 0 154. 2 155. 7 156. 2 156. 9 158. 2 158. 8 131. I s Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes in part, grain products for further processing. ^^ Department of LabOT; Bureau ot Labor statlsttes. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers declined 3 percent in the month ended February 15, Contributing most to the decre were lower prices for cotton, corn, soybeans, cattle, wheat, and eggs. Prices paid were unchanged. The actual c adjusted parity ratios each declined 2 points. INDEX, 1967=100 INDEX, 1967=100 PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 140 120 120 100 100 RATIO J/ RATIO y 110 100 110 100 PARITY RATIO (ACTUAL) - '•'. 90 _ 80 70 60 i i i t M t t i i * "'"""'-.-.....,.•».,„,„. „,„, ...i'""*".....""*'"" '''•''i.,.*1'' w'"«mnnui^S"'11 i i ; i !! t 1 I i I 1969 1970 __A^____™ - " i I 1 t t t I i 1 t 1 i I t i i 1 i I I i 1 1971 1972 I 90 '•V Arf_ i it i t I i i iti 1973 i t i i ^— 11i11iiN I i 1 1 i i i t 1 1— 11 1 1974 80 70 60 1975 T/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by armers Period 1966__ 1967 ... _ _ 1968 ... 1969 1970 ... . 1971. 1972. 1973 1974 1974: Jan 15 Feb 15 _ _ Mar 15 Apr 15 .. May 15. .. . June 15 July 15___ Aug 15__ Sept 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Deo 15 . 1975: Jan 15. Feb 15 All farm products 105 100 103 108 110 112 126 172 183 198 202 194 183 175 165 175 181 178 185 182 177 174 168 Crops 105 100 101 97 100 107 115 164 212 208 220 216 205 201 199 204 214 211 228 224 212 204 192 Prices paid by farmers All items, Livestock interest, Family Producand living tion taxes, and products wage rates items items Index, 1 967=100 105 98 98 99 100 100 100 100 104 104 104 102 117 109 109 106 114 118 114 110 116 119 120 115 124 134 122 127 179 138 145 146 163 169 161 172 193 149 158 161 190 153 161 162 179 162 162 155 169 164 157 167 158 159 165 166 142 166 160 168 155 161 168 170 164 160 173 178 154 166 182 175 167 155 183 177 153 171 183 179 173 153 184 180 173 153 182 180 151 175 180 180 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, Interest, tases, and wage rates on 3910-14=300 base. 28 Parity ratio ' Actual Adjusted3 80 74 73 74 72 69 74 88 80 93 93 89 83 79 74 77 78 75 78 75 73 71 69 ! The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made direct! farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture. 86 79 79 80 77 74 79 91 81 94 94 89 83 79 74 78 78 76 78 76 73 72 70 MOMEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS ONEY STOCK . ••«.• seasonally adjusted money stock grew at an annual rate of only 2.4 percent in the latest 6 months, August to February, compared to the 5.6 percent rate of the preceding 6 months. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 420 420 380 380 340 340 300 300 260 220 1969 1970 SOURCE, BOARD OF'GOYERNORS OF THE'fEDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1969: 1970: 1971: 1972: 1973: 1974: 1974: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec" Jan Feb Mar Apr_ _ May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1975: Jan" Feb " _ _ _- _ -_ ._ _ , _ ___ . - posits at commercial banks. 1971 1975 COUNCa OF ECONOMIC ADVEEBS [Averages oi daily figures, billions of dollars] IVloney stoc k 1vloney stoc k Time Time CurCurand and DeDerency rency savings savings mand mand outoutTotal Total dedede- l de- 1 side side posits ' posits ' posits posits banks banks Unadjuste;i Seasonallyf adjusted 167.7 162. 7 193.2 46. 1 194. 5 208.7 46. 9 214.7 177. 7 221. 4 172. 3 228. 1 49. 1 50. 0 229. 3 227.6 188.4 52. 6 182. 7 235. 3 53. 5 269. 8 241.9 271. 2 205. 1 56.9 198.9 311.8 255. 8 57. 9 313. 8 263.0 362. 2 271. 5 216. 4 209. 9 62. 7 279. 1 61. 6 364. 5 223. 3 284. 3 417. 6 67.8 216. 6 292. 2 68.9 420. 3 216. 2 369. 4 277. 8 270. 9 62.0 208.9 61. 6 371.0 208. 3 374. 4 62. 7 210.4 273. 1 270. 2 61. 9 376. 0 209.8 62. 7 63. 3 379. 1 211. 9 378. 3 272. 5 275. 2 214. 7 387. 1 63. 5 276. 6 386.7 278. 2 63.9 212.8 393. 9 64. 1 208. 8 64. 3 272. 9 213. 3 392. 5 277.6 213. 5 64.8 64. 6 215. 4 397.9 398.4 278. 2 280. 0 214. 8 402. 0 65. 3 402. 8 280. 1 280. 5 64.8 215. 7 211. 9 408. 2 65.7 65. 5 215. 3 405. 2 277. 5 280. 7 213. 6 410. 1 407. 5 65.8 215. 3 65. 9 279. 4 281. 1 215. 3 412. 1 413. 3 66. 4 282. 2 66. 5 215. 7 281. 7 217. 5 412. 9 67.8 414. 7 216. 5 285. 3 67. 3 283. 8 223.3 417. 6 292. 2 420. 3 68. 9 284. 3 67.8 216. 6 221; 6 424. 7 67.7 214. 1 289. 3 68.1 426. 7 282.2 213. 1 427. 1 67. 8 68.7 215. 3 429. 4 280. 9 284. 0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Government demand deposits l 5.6 7. 3 6.9 7.4 6. 3 4. 8 8. 1 6. 6 0.4 6. 0 7.6 6. 1 5. 4 4. 0 5. 5 3. 7 3. 3 4.8 4. 0 3. 3 29 PRIVATE LIQUID HOLDINGS - NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS Private nonfinancial investors increased their holdings of liquid assets by $8.7 billion in February. Currency orad deposits increased by $8.4 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLAR 1,300 1,300 1,200 1,200 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 800 600 500 1969 SOURCE: BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Curr jncy and deposits Total liquid assets Period U.S. Ctoverncurities mp.Tit Rf Time cieposits Tr»tn1 Currency Demand deposits Pnm banks ShortNonbank term thrift Savings marketinstitubonds able setions curities Negotiable certificates of deposit Commercial paper 1968: Dec^_ _ 1969: Dec _ 1970: Dee 1971: Dec 1972: Dec 1973: Dec... 1974: Dec 704. 1 737. 1 786. 7 868. 7 980. 2 1, 093. 5 1, 188. 7 564. 5 583. 0 834.4 721. 1 816. 0 885. 3 942. 6 43. 4 46. 1 49. 1 52. 6 56. 9 61. 6 67. 8 140. 1 144. 7 153.2 161. 7 175. 2 181. 5 183. 5 174. 3 177. 3 199. 2 233. 6 264, 7 294. 8 323. 0 206. 7 215. 0 232. 9 273. 2 319. 1 347.4 368. 3 51. 4 51. 1 51. 3 53. 7 57. 0 59. 9 62.8 46. 8 64. 9 53. 2 39. 6 39. 8 52, 1 60.7 22. 5 9. 1 23. 1 30.3 39. 9 58. 1 79. 8 18.8 28. 9 24 7 24. 0 27. 6 38. 3 42.7 1973: Dec 1, 093. 5 885. 3 61. 6 181. 5 294. 8 347. 4 59. 9 52. 1 58. 1 38. 3 1974: 1, 102. 5 1, 112. 8 1, 121. 9 1, 135. 9 1, 143. 6 1, 153. 7 1, 161. 0 1, 165. 5 1, 169. 7 1, 176. 9 i, 183. 0 1, 188. 7 890. 5 897. 4 910. 0 912. 1 918. 7 922. 2 924. 8 926. 9 931. 7 939.8 942. 6 62.0 62. 7 63. 3 63. 9 64. 3 64. 6 64. 8 65. 5 65. 9 66. 5 67. 3 67. 8 180. 2 181. 5 182. 6 183. 1 183. 0 184.6 184. 8 184. 3 184, 0 183. 5 184. 4 183. 5 298. 7 301. 7 304. 2 306. 5 307. 7 310. 8 312. 4 314. 3 315. 4 318. 6 322. 1 323. 0 349. 7 351. 6 354. 6 356. 5 357. 1 358. 7 360. 2 360. 7 361. 7 363. 1 366. 0 368. 3 60. 0 60. 3 60. 5 60. 8 61. 0 61. 2 61. 5 61. 7 62. 0 62. 3 62. 5 62. 8 52. 2 52. 7 53. 7 55. 7 56. 2 56. 7 57. 9 58. 8 59. 4 60,8 60. 7 60. 7 60.6 62. 4 62. 3 68. 2 72. 6 75. 0 76. 4 75. 9 76. 2 77. 1 75. 9 79.8 39. 1 39 9 40. 7 41. 3 41. 6 42. 1 42. 9 44. 3 45. 2 45. 1 44. 0 42. 7 1, 195. 4 1, 204. 1 946. 6 955. 0 68. 1 68.7 180. 9 182. 3 326. 1 329. 1 371. 5 374. 9 63. 2 61.5 61.9 82. 6 82. 3 41. 6 41. 4 Jaa Feb Mar Apr May June. _ July AUK _ Sept Oct Nov.. Dec 1975: Jan" Feb * _ . . Note.—Series revised beginning 1970. 30 904.7 63.5 Source: Board of Governors of the federal Reserve System. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES T ' I loans and investments of all commercial banks rose $1.8 billion from January to February, but remained below evel reached in August 1974. dILUONS OF DOLLARS 800 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 700 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS 200 200 100 100 1969 1975 SOURCEi BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commercial banks (seaso nally adjusted data) End of period L oans Investruents Total loans Total, Comand U.S. Gov- Other mercial invest- excludsecuriernment ments ing inter- and indus- securities ties bank trial Bank debits outside New York City (232 centers), seasonally adjusted annual rates * A 11 membe r banks 2 Total reserves Billions of dollars 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974" 1974: Feb Mar Apr May. June Julyp "_ _ _ _ Aug Sept " Oot ' _ Nov "__.. Dec ' _ 1975: Jan "p Feb 3 401j 7 435. 5 484. 8 556. 4 630. 3 681. 2 647. 4 657. 5 666. 9 673. 4 7 677. 5 686. 6 692. 0 687. 0 687. 1 7 688. 5 681. 2 686. 1 687. 9 3 4 279. 1 291. 7 320. 3 377. 8 447. 3 494. 1 458. 3 468. 2 476. 3 481.4 484. 5 494. 3 500. 2 498.2 499. 5 500.9 494. 1 498. 3 495. 1 3 105. 7 110. 0 115. 9 129. 7 155. 8 180. 5 159. 5 165. 1 169. 5 172.9 174. 6 177.9 180. 7 180.8 182. 5 183. 0 180. 5 181. 7 180. 0 3 51. 5 57. 9 60. 1 61. 9 52.8 48.8 56. 4 56.4 57. 1 57.2 56.4 55.8 55. 3 52. 2 49. 7 49. 3 48.8 48. 9 53. 4 1 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. 2 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. s ^ginning June 1969, data include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other ; cant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries; earlier data include com\l banks only. of June 1971, Farmers Home Administration notes totaling about $0.7 ere classified as other securities rather than as loans. Borrowings at Excess Federal Free reserves Reserve reserves Banks ]Millions o ' dollars 3 4 71. 1 85. 9 104. 4 116. 7 130. 2 138. 3 132.7 132. 9 133. 5 134. 8 136. 6 136. 5 136.5 136. 6 137. 9 138. 3 138. 3 138. 9 139. 4 6, ISO 5, 717 6, 443 7, 530 9, ess 11, 673 10, 918 11,253 11, 4%4 11, 696 11, SOS 11, 769 IS, S38 IS, 047 12, 078 IS, S80 I S , 261 11, 69S 28, 031 29, 265 31, 329 s 31, 353 35, 068 36, 941 35, 242 34, 966 35, 929 36, 519 36, 390 37, 338 37, 029 37, 076 36, 796 36, 837 36, 941 37, 492 35, 409 339 1, 086 321 107 1, 049 6 1, 298 703 1, 186 1, 352 1, 714 2, 580 3, 000 3, 308 3, 351 3,287 1, 793 1, 285 703 61 390 147 257 272 5 165 219 262 339 189 176 158 194 131 177 178 191 91 258 -64 -829 -49 58 s -830 -1,036 -364 -997 — 1, 176 — 1, 556 -2, 386 -2,869 -3, 131 -3, 173 -3, 096 -1, 702 -1,027 -364 -454 -86 * Beginning November 9, 1972 adjusted to include certain reserve deficiencies on which penalties can be waived for a transition period in connection with adaptation to Regulation J. 6 Beginning April 1973, includes seasonal borrowings. 7 Beginning June 1974, a bank merger increased total loans and investments by $0.6 billion, and beginning November 1974, liquidation of a large bank reduced total loans and investments by $1.5 billion. For effect on other categories, see federal Reserve Bulletin. Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND CREDIT Consumer credit (seasonally unadjusted) declined by $3.0 billion during January. A year earlier there was a of $1.8 billion. Seasonally adjusted consumer instaiment credit declined $0.4 billion in January. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF MONTH 200 200 180 180 160 140 120 100 I f40 NONINSTALMENT CREDIT I V 20 18 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) 14 NSTAtMENT CREDIT EXTENDED s^s*-* f ^_s~~*^ ^^ \ _^ 12 /i, , , , , 1 , , , , , V ^"•~ \ \ IN STALMENT •—Trrrr^-a f, _^=__-i.^^==-^ 1 i 1 1 I ! 1 ! 11 i i i i i i ii ii i i i t i I i i i ii AID i i i i i 1 i i l l i l i l i i I i l l l i 1973 1972 197! 1970 1969 CREDIT REF SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period [Millions of dollars Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended Consu mer credit outstandin s, (end of r eriod; i nadjusted) and T epaid (seas onally adjiisted) Total Automot ile paper instalment NonAutomoTotal Persona! instal- Extended Repaid Extended Repaid bile Total ' Nov Dec _ 1975: Jan. 96, 239 100, 783 110, 770 121, 148 127, 163 138, 394 157, 564 180, 486 190, 121 180, 486 178, 686 177, 522 177, 572 179, 495 181, 680 183, 425 184, 805 187, 369 187, 906 188, 023 188, 084 190, 121 187,080 76, 245 79, 428 87, 745 97, 105 102, 064 111, 295 127, 332 147, 437 156, 124 147, 43? 146, 575 145, 927 145, 768 147, 047 148, 852 150, 615 152, 142 154, 472 155, 139 155, 328 155, 166 156, 124 153,952 30, 010 29, 796 32, 948 35, 527 35, 184 38, 664 44, 129 51, 130 51, 689 51, 130 50, 617 50, 386 50, 310 50, 606 51, 076 51, 641 52, 082 52, 772 52, 848 52, 736 52, 325 51, 689 50,947 21, 662 23, 235 25, 932 28, 652 30, 345 32, 865 36, 922 41, 425 44, 264 41, 425 41, 352 41, 417 41, 492 41, 851 42, 402 42, 945 43, 400 44, 164 44, 375 44, 319 44, 180 44,264 43,815 1 Also includes other consumer go ods paper, an d home impr Dvement loan it2 shown separately. Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 32 ^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS TTtP.Tlt 1986 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1973: Dec 1974: Jail Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct M 1 1 1 I I 1 I 1 iK 1975 1974 2 19, 994 21, 355 23, 025 24, 041 25, 099 27, 099 30, 232 33, 049 33, 997 33, 049 32, 111 31, 595 31, 804 32, 448 32, 828 32, 810 32, 663 32, 897 32, 767 32, 695 32, 918 33, 997 33,128 3 82, 832 87, 171 99, 984 109, 146 112, 158 124, 281 142, 951 165, 083 166, 478 12, 677 13, 714 13, 541 13, 823 14, 179 14, 669 14, 387 14, 635 14, 394 14, 089 13, 626 12, 609 12, 702 12,859 77. 480 83, 988 91, 667 99, 786 107, 199 115, 050 126, 914 144, 978 157, 791 12, 267 12, 797 12, 870 13, 206 13, 026 13, 407 13, 301 13, 310 12, 882 13, 412 13, 224 13, 009 13, 516 13,260 27, 192 26, 320 31, 083 32, 553 29, 794 34, 873 40, 194 46, 453 42, 756 3,315 3,492 3, 389 3,484 3, 545 3, 769 3, 731 3,812 3,887 3,835 3,369 3, 062 3,205 3,348 25, 619 26, 534 27, 931 29, 974 30, 137 31, 393 34, 729 39, 452 42, 197 3,338 3,433 3,394 3, 544 3, 498 3,601 3, 577 3, 563 3,443 3, 604 3.470 3, 423 3, 668 3,534 End )f period, unac justed. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System- Mortgage debt outstanding, nonfarm, 1- to 4family houses 3 223, 645 236, 060 251, 241 266, 823 280, 175 307, 200 345, 384 386, 241 1414, 344 386, 241 391,770 402, 165 409, 725 "414, 344 BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES yield on FHA new home mortgages was 8.84 percent in March, down from the record high of 10.38 percent in r 1974. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 12 CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'S) -I 4 1969 ieriod 1969_ 1970_ 1971 1972 1973 1974 1974: Mar _ _ Apr May June July Aug Sept.Oct -. Nov Deo .. _ .. 1975: Jan Feb__ 1975 [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Gov jrnment secu rity yields municipal 3-moath bonds 3-5 year Taxable 2 Treasury 3 (Standard & issues bonds bills ' Poor's) 4 6.677 5. 81 6. 85 6. 10 6. 458 6. 51 7. 37 6. 59 4. 348 5. 70 5. 77 5. 74 4. 071 5.27 5. 85 5. 63 7. 041 5. 18 6. 92 6. 30 7. 886 6. 09 7. 81 6. 99 7. 98G 8. 229 8. 430 8. 145 7. 752 8. 744 8. 363 7. 244 7. 585 7. 179 C. 493 5. 583 Mar Week ended: 1975: Feb 7_ _ _ _ 14 . . _ 21 28 Mar 7 14 21 5. 5. 5. .'>. 5. 5. 5. 669 800 408 455 637 622 376 7. 33 7. 99 8. 24 8. 14 8. 39 8. 64 8. 38 7. 98 7. 65 7. 22 7.29 6.85 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 7. 91 92 71 83 86 88 05 6. 81 7. 04 7.07 7. 03 7. 18 7. 33 7. 30 7. 22 6. 93 6. 78 6. 68 6. 61 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 6 59 58 63 64 67 67 6. 75 £ .Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues; |..pril 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (8H percent beginning January 21,1975) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. Coroora te bonds (Moc dy's) Aaa Baa Prime FHA commercial new home paper, mortgage 4-6 yields 5 months 7. 83 8. 19 7. 72 9. 05 5. 11 7. 78 4. 69 7.53 8. 15 8.08 9.87 9. 47 7. 03 8. 04 7. 39 7. 21 7.44 8. 57 7. 81 9. 11 8. 56 8. 16 8. 24 9. 50 5. 36 5. 67 5. 96 6. 08 6. 54 6. 58 6. 65 6. 46 6. 47 6. 93 6. 66 6. 30 8. 01 8. 25 8. 37 8. 47 8. 72 9. 00 9. 24 9. 27 8. 90 8. 89 8. 83 8. 62 8. 65 8. 88 9. 10 9. 34 9. 55 9. 77 10. 12 10. 41 10. 50 10. 55 10. 62 10. 43 8. 42 9. 79 10.62 10. 96 11. 72 11. 65 11. 23 9. 36 8. 81 8. 98 7. 30 6. 33 6. 24 6. 19 6. 30 6. 45 6. 43 6. 55 6. 67 8. 68 8. 63 8.58 8.57 8. 59 8. 61 6 10. 52 10. 46 10. 39 10. 32 10. 31 10. 28 10. 28 6. 45 6. 34 6. 28 6. 25 6. 25 6. 08 6 5. 95 8. 54 8. 66 9.17 9. 46 9. 46 9. 85 10.30 10. 38 10. 13 9. 51 8. 99 8. 84 8. 69 "Not charted. Sources: Department of Housing and Urban Development, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS Stock prices continued to rise in March. INDEX, 1941-43=10 INDEX, 1941-43WEEKLY 120 120 110 110 COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON- STOCKS 100 100 90 90 \ 80 70 80 70 60 I T I I . I I I .1 50 PERCENT WEEKLY MOKIHLY JIVIDEND YIELD ON C OMMON !TOCKS C /—^K ^X /I i I ! i 1I t I ' M 1 1I I ! I I ^/ 1 1 1 I 1 ] t 1 ! 1 ! 1 I 1 I I i f i iTTTT-r-T"Tir i 1 i i i f t 6 /^s N V y ~^*s^ 1 1111 1 111 11 I 1 1 1 I I 1 1 J- I IK RA no RA1 1O —__ - i' ' ' 1969 p7— - x^l ' , ! ' [\ PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO ON COWiMON STO CKS \^ S 19 70 ! ! 1 1971 i " ^x^_^ ! I 19 72 ! ~-— t ! 1 1 1974 1973 SOURCE: STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1974: Feb Mar _ Apr May June. July Aug^ Sept _ . Oct___ _ _ Nov Dec 1975: Jan Feb Week ended: 1975: Feb 7_ 14 _ _ 21 28 _ _ 7. 1421. __ . . _ _ _ __ . ___ . Total f ! Ki H 1975 Total 97. 84 83. 22 98. 29 109. 20 107. 43 82. 85 93. 45 97. 44 92. 46 89. 67 89. 79 82. 82 76. 03 68. 12 69. 44 71. 74 67.07 72. 56 80. 10 107. 13 91. 29 108. 35 121. 79 120. 44 92. 91 104. 13 108. 98 103. 66 101. 17 78.31 79. 87 81. 80 80. 74 83. 50 84. 28 4 84. 50 87. 16 88. 98 91. 28 90. 15 93. 41 94. 41 94.79 101. 62 93. 54 85. 51 76. 54 77. 57 80. 17 74.80 80. 50 89. 29 Public utilities Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 1941-^13=10 87. 06 103. 75 80. 22 87. 87 102. 80 99. 78 113. 91 119. 39 118. 57 107. 13 92. 84 78. 08 104. 31 86.85 92. 24 109. 22 104. 19 87. 73 100. 69 87. 34 90. 07 100. 10 93. 64 80. 34 86. 99 70. 14 63. 51 76. 03 62. 79 77. 49 79. 35 65. 84 62. 51 74.06 67. 91 77. 10 88. 50 75. 06 62. 64 54. 48 59. 33 56. 90 53. 47 38. 91 48. 13 47. 90 44. 03 39. 35 37. 46 35. 37 34. 00 30. 93 33. 80 34. 45 32. 85 38. 19 40. 37 45. 95 32. 13 41.94 44. 11 38. 01 37. 53 41. 85 42. 80 40. 26 37. 04 37. 31 35. 63 35. 06 31. 55 33. 70 35.95 34.81 37. 31 37. 80 3. 24 3. 83 3. 14 2. 84 3.06 4.47 3. 81 3. 65 3. 86 4. 00 4. 02 4. 42 4. 90 5.45 5. 38 5. 13 5.43 5. 07 4. 61 73. 76 74. 85 76. 45 75. 17 79. 34 80. 31 81. 24 40. 29 40. 62 40. 80 39. 84 40. 33 40. 02 39.45 37. 28 37. 71 38. 12 38. 14 38. 68 38. 66 38.42 4. 68 4. 63 4. 54 4. 58 4. 45 4. 42 4 4. 39 Consumers' goods Capital goods 86. 25 88. 06 90. 57 89. 11 91. 79 92. 19 93.69 1 Includes 500 common stocks: 425 Industrials, 55 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; ail3 other weekly Indeses are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields 34 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Price i ndex ' Industrials Period Mar 50 I-I PERCENT Price/ earnings ratio 3 are3 averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Ratio of price index for last day of quarter to quarterly earnings adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. * Not charted. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. 16.48 15.69 18.50 18.20 14. 22 11. 16 9.71 6.84 FEDERAL >ERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT ^stimated budget deficits for fiscal years 1975 and 1976 as revised recently are $37.6 billion and $55.5 billion, respectively. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 350 350 300 250 200 200 150 100 50 50 SURPLUS (*) OR DEFICIT (-) -50 -50 _L -100 1965 1966 -100 1967 1968 1969 1970 1972 1971 1973 1974 1975 1976 FISCAL YEARS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV5SHS [Billions of dollars] Federal debt ( end of period) Period Fiscal year: 1964 Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Total i Held by the public 112. 7 118.6 -5. 9 316. 8 257.6 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 116.8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 118. 4 — 1. 6 — 3. 8 -8.7 OK 2 3.2 323. 2 329. 5 341. 3 369. 8 367. 1 261. 6 264. 7 267. 5 290. 6 279. 5 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 22 1976 193. 7 188.4 208. 6 232.2 264. 9 278.8 297. 5 316. 6 353. 1 — 2. 8 -23. 0 — 23. 2 -14. 3 -3.5 — 37. 6 -55.5 382. 6 409. 5 437. 3 468. 4 486. 2 541. 7 612. 8 284. 9 304. 3 323. 8 343.0 346. 1 392. 7 459. 9 154.0 182. 3 — 6. 3 -17.5 479. 0 505. 5 348. 3 364. 5 Cumulative totals for first 7 months: Fiscal year 1974. ._ Fiscal year 1975. .. . 147.7 164.8 1 Excludes non-interest-beartaK public debt securities held by IMF. • ~ "mates as of March 12,1975. 134.7 158. 3 178. 8 184. 5 196. 6 211. 4 231. 9 246.5 268. 4 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION Fiscal 1975 budget receipts are estimated at $278.8 billion and budget outlays at $316.6 billion (revised), corresponding figures for fiscal 1976 are $297.5 billion and $353.1 billion (revised), respectively. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 150 OUTLAYS 250 250 200 200 150 150 NONDEFENSE 100 100 NATIONAL DEFENSE 50 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 50 1970 1971 FISCAL YEARS 1972 1973 1974 SOURCES. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 1975 1976 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] (3utlays Receij3ts Nationa ! defense Period Total Fiscal year: 1964 Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes Other Total Total Health Depart- InternaInand tional ment of affairs income terest Other Defense, security military 112. 7 48. 7 23. 5 40.5 118.6 52. 7 49. 6 3. 7 26.9 9.8 25. 4 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 48. 8 55.4 61. 5 68. 7 87. 2 25. 5 30. 1 34. 0 28.7 36. 7 42. 6 45. 3 54 1 56. 3 63.9 118. 4 134. 7 158. 3 178. 8 184. 5 48.6 55.9 69. 1 79.4 80.2 4-6. 9 54. 2 67. 5 77.4 77.9 4. 1 4. 6 4. 7 4. 6 3. 8 27. 5 31. 5 37. 6 43. 4 49. 0 10. 4 11. 3 12. 5 13. 8 15. 8 27. 8 31. 4 34. 3 37.7 35. 7 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 193. 7 188.4 208. 6 232. 2 264. 9 90.4 86. 2 94.7 103. 2 119. 0 32. 8 26. 8 32. 2 36. 2 38.6 70. 5 75.4 81. 7 92.8 107.4 196.6 211. 4 231. 9 246. 5 268. 4 79. 3 76.8 77. 4 75. 1 78. 6 77.2 74. 5 75. 2 73. 3 77.6 3.6 3. 1 3. 7 3. 0 3. 6 56. 1 70. 1 81. 4 91. 8 106. 5 18. 3 19. 6 20. 6 22. 8 28. 1 39. 3 41.8 48. 8 53. 9 51. 7 1975 ! 1976 1 _ 278. 8 297. 5 117. 7 106. 3 38. 5 47. 7 122. 6 143. 5 316. 6 353. 1 85. 4 94. 1 83. 1 89. 9 4. 9 6. 4 133.4 147. 4 31. 3 34 4 61. 6 70. 8 147.7 164, 8 72.5 82. 9 16.7 17.4 58. 6 64.5 154. 0 182. 3 44. 1 49. 9 43. 7 49.2 2. 1 1.9 58. 0 73. 9 15. 8 17.9 34 1 3£L7 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 ._ Cumulative totals for first 7 months: Fiscal year 1974 Fiscal year 1975 * Estimates as of March 12,197£ 36 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and B1 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS In the fourth quarter of 1974, an increase of $14.6 billion in Federal expenditures and a decline of $7.2 billion in pts resulted in a substantial increase in the Federal Government deficit to $23.7 billion (all annual rates). oiLLlONS OF DOLLARS 320 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 160 140 140 20 *20 SURPLUS ^ Hi m ^ ~^*~ n R n n """ 20 40 J i^ fH m %& - DEFICIT I . I 1968 i i 1 I 1969 i I I in 'tfr V —ir - i W K2 l&j W ~~ "" %ZA "-*"" - -20 ^ f^~ 1 1971 CALENC AR YEARS 1970 t% i i 1972 I I I ! 1973 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I . I 1974 -40 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISEES [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal (Jovernm ent receipts Period Feeleral Goi/ernmenlj expend] tures GrantsIndirect Contriin-aid PurPersonal Corporate business butions chases Transto State Net tax and for Total of goods fer pay- and interest Total nontax profits tax and paid tax nontax social inand ments local receipts accruals accruals surance services governments Fiscal vear: 1972'.... 213. 2 1973 240. 4 1974 273. 6 1975 '_ . 287. 6 1976 '--- 305. 1 Calendar year: 1970 192. 0 1971 198. 5 1972 .. 227. 2 1973 258. 5 1974 "... 291. 3 Surplus or Subsidies Less: UclJClL rlpfi r>if Wage less (-), current accruals income surplus of less and Govern- dis- product ment en- burse- accounts terprises ments 34. 1 41. 2 45. 6 41. 0 39.9 20.0 20. 7 21. 6 33. 1 54.7 58. 5 71.7 83. 3 91. 4 99.4 232. 9 255. 4 278. 3 324.2 364. 7 103. 2 105. 3 110. 3 121. 1 136. 1 78. 6 89. 4 104. 2 132.0 147. 8 32. 6 40.2 41. 5 47.2 53.7 13.4 14. 5 17. 4 19. 8 23. 0 5. 3 89. 9 108. 2 114. 1 131.3 31. 0 33. 4 36. 6 43. 7 49. 3 19.3 20. 4 20. 0 21. 2 22. 0 49. 5 54. 6 62. 5 79.5 88. 7 203. 9 220. 3 244. 7 264.2 299. 1 96. 2 97.6 104, 9 106. 6 116. 9 63. 2 74. 9 82.8 95. 5 117. 0 24. 4 29. 0 37.4 40. 5 43. 8 146 1973: III.. 261. 8 IV— 268. 3 116. 7 121. 8 43. 8 43. 5 21. 0 21. 3 80. 2 263. 4 81. 8 270. 6 105. 3 108. 4 96. 5 98. 8 39. 8 41. 0 16. 8 17. 6 1974: I 278. 1 II--- 288. 6 III._ 302. 8 IV ». 295. 6 124. 1 129. 4 134. 8 136. 8 45. 9 49. 2 55. 4 46. 6 21. 5 21. 9 22. 5 22. 2 86. 7 88. 1 90. 0 90. 0 281. 0 291. 6 304. 7 319. 3 111. 5 114. 3 117. 2 124. 5 106. 5 113. 6 120. 8 127. 2 42. 9 43. 2 43. 4 45. 5 17. 9 18. 7 19. 1 19. 7 100. 7 106. 8 123. 1 122. 1 111. 1 92.2 s as of March 12, 1975. 13. 6 13. 5 16.3 18.8 -19. 7 -15. 0 -4.7 -36. 6 6.7 0. 0 .5 3.7 4. 1 —.2 —. 4 .0 -59. 6 5. 5 .• 0 — 11. 9 4. 7 5.2 6.6 5. 3 2. 1 ;0 -.5 -.0 -21. 9 -17.5 -5. 6 -. 5 -7.8 5. 0 4. 8 ; 0 — 1. 7 2.2 1.3 .0 -.6 -1.5 .0 -2. 8 -3. 0 2. 7 2. 3 -.0 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Eeonomic Analysis, -2. 3 — 1. 9 -23. 7 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID - - OOVERNMENT^RINTING OFF.CE u s DIVISION OF PUBUIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING page The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment ^ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 10 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balances on Goods, Services, and Transfers U.S. Overall Balances on International Transactions 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 PRICES Consumer Prices , Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 26 27 28 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings 29 30 31 32 33 34 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. 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