Full text of Economic Indicators : March 1955
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84th Congress, 1st Session a l Qli'lS Pubc * " «EFEWLHCE DEFT. Economic Indicators MARCH 1955 Prepared for the Joint Committee on the Economic Report by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1955 JOINT COMMITTEE ON THE ECONOMIC REPORT (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) JOSEPH G. O'MAHONEY (Wyoming) RALPH E. FLANDERS (Vermont) ARTHUR V. WATKINS (Utah) BARRY GOLDWATER (Arizona) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) WILBUR D. MILLS (Arkansas) AUGUSTINE B. KELLEY (Pennsylvania) JESSE P. WOLGOTT (Michigan) HENRY O. TALLE (Iowa) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) GROVER W. ENSLEY, Staff Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ARTHUR F. BURNS, Chairman WALTER W. STEWART [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S. J. Bes. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Committee on the Economic Report be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Committee on the Economic Report; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unity Office of the Secretary Department of Commerce Contents THE TOTAL OUTPUT OF THE ECONOMY Fage The Nation's Economic Accounts Gross National Product or Expenditure ] 2 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers Stock Prices .... 3 4 5 6 EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours—Selected Industries Average Hourly Earnings—Selected Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 7 8 9 10 11 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Selected Weekly Indicators Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment New Construction Housing Starts and Financing Applications Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Merchandise Exports and Imports 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 PURCHASING POWER National Income Corporate Profits Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Per Capita Disposable Income 21 22 23 24 25 Farm Income 26 CREDIT, MONEY, AND FEDERAL FINANCE Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves Consumer Credit . Bond Yields and Interest Rates.. Money Supply. Federal Buaget Receipts and Expenditures Federal Cash Receipts From and Payments to the Public 27 -. 28 29 30 31 32 111 THE TOTAL OUTPUT OF THE ECONOMY THE NATION'S ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS Estimates of total income and expenditures for the fourth quarter of 1954 reflected the substantial rise in over-all economic activity during the latter part of the year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES ANNUAL TOTALS CONSUMERS 250 DISPOSABLE INCOME EXPENDITURES I I I I I I I I I I I I BUSINESS INVESTMENT1- EXCESS OF GROSS "RETAINED EARNINGS 50 GROSS RETAINED EARN|NGS2, i i i i i i i i i I I I GOVERNMENT-FEDERAL, STATE, AND LOCAL I 00 EXCESS OF RECEIPTS I 1942 I944 I I946 I I I 1948 I 1950 I I 1952 1954 1951 1952 1953 1954 -V NET FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT. , 2/ INCLUDES UNDISTRIBUTED CORPORATE PROFITS AND CORPORATE INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT, AND CAPITAL CONSUMPTION ALLOWANCES. 3/ PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES. NOTE: THE SUM OF THE THREE INCOME AND RECEIPT ITEMS SHOWN IN THIS CHART IS NOT EQUAL TO THE SUM OF THE EXPENDITURES, OR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT, BECAUSE OF STATISTICAL DISCREPANCIES. FOR EXPLANATION AND USE OF THIS ARRANGEMENT, SEE SENATE REPORT NO. IE95, JOINT ECONOMIC REPORT, PR 92-93, 99-105,' AND THE ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, JANUARY 1953, APPENDIX A. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product rose substantially in the fourth quarter of 1954. The rise of $6/^ billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) was due mainly to increases in consumer expenditures and in private investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTALS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 350 -GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT PERSONAL CONSUMPTION. EXPENDITURES 200 -GOVERNMENT PURCHASES -OF GOODS AND SERVICES - 50 GROSS PRIVATE . DOMESTIC INVESTMENT I I I NET FOREIGN INVESTMENT I I 1950 1952 I95I 1952 1954 1953 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Personal Gross Total conNet private foreign gross sump- domestic national tion investproduct expend- investment ment itures Period 1939 1944 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1953: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter __ Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and Total i Total i National2 Other local security 91. 1 211. 4 209. 2 257.3 257. 3 285. 1 328.2 346. 1 364.9 357.2 67.6 109.8 146.6 177.6 180. 6 194.0 208.3 218.4 230. 1 234.0 5.2 13.3 0.9 9.3 89.0 96. 5 -2. 1 7. 1 20.9 30.9 4.6 27. 1 21. 0 36.6 41.2 2.0 25.4 43. 6 32. 5 .5 22. 1 42. 0 -2.2 51.2 41.0 .2 62.8 56.9 540 77.2 —.2 50. 7 60. 1 85.2 -1.9 51.4 50.0 -. 4 46. 1 77.5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 367.2 360. 5 355. 8 356.0 355.5 362. 0 231.2 229. 7 230. 5 233. 1 234.8 237. 7 52. 4 45.5 44. 5 45.6 45.3 49. 5 — 1. 8 — 1. 1 1 0 _. 2 .8 85.4 86.0 81. 9 78.3 75.6 74. 1 60.3 59.8 55.0 51.3 47.9 45.9 1.3 88.6 21.2 16.0 19.3 18. 5 37.3 48.5 52. 0 43. 6 3.9 1.6 2.5 5.6 6.6 3.9 4.2 5.8 8. 5 6. 7 8.2 7.5 10.0 15. 6 18. 2 19.9 21. 8 23.2 25. 1 27.5 52.3 50.6 46.9 44.7 42. 1 40. 5 8.4 9.6 8.4 6.9 6. 1 5. 6 25. 1 26. 2 26.9 27.0 27. 7 28. 2 1 Less Government sales. * Includes expenditures for military services, international security and foreign relations (except foreign loans), development and control of atomic energy, promo°/ e merchant marine, promotion of defense production and economic stabilization, and civil defense. For further details, see Economic Report of the President,, January 1955 (p. 137), and National Income, 1954 Edition (p. 148). These expenditures are not comparable with the "national security" category in The Budget of the U. S. Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO, 1955, and shown on p. 31 of Economic Indicators, NOTI.— Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The average of consumer prices was unchanged in January, balanced by a decline in apparel prices. Small increases in prices in most major categories were INDEX, 1947-49- 100 140 INDEX, 1947-49* 100 40' COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR • [1947-49=100] Period 1939 monthly average 1944 monthly average 1946 monthly Average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1950 monthly average 1951 monthly average 1952 monthly average 1 953 monthly average 1954 monthly average _ > _ _ 1953: December -. 1954: January February March April May June July August September October November December _ _ 1955: January »Not available. All items Food 69.4 75.2 83.4 102.8 101.8 102.8 111.0 113.5 114.4 114. 8 114.9 115.2 115. 0 114.8 114. 6 115.0 115. 1 115.2 115.0 114.7 114.5 114.6 114. 3 114.3 47.1 67.4 79.0 104. 1 100.0 101.2 112.6 114.6 112.8 112. 6 112.3 113. 1 112.6 112. 1 112.4 113.3 113.8 114.6 113.9 112.4 111.8 111. 1 110.4 110.6 Housing Apparel Total Rent (')1 C) 0 101.7 103.3 106. 1 112.4 114.6 117.7 119. 1 118.9 118.8 118.9 119.0 118.5 118.9 118.9 119.0 119. 2 119.5 119.5 119.5 119.7 119.6 86.6 90. 6 91.4 100.7 105.0 108.8 113. 1 117.9 124. 1 128. 5 127.6 127.8 127.9 128. 0 128.2 128.3 128. 3 128.5 128. 6 128.8 129.0 129. 2 129.4 129.5 52.5 72.6 83.7 103.5 99.4 98. 1 106. 9 105.8 104.8 104. 3 105.3 104.9 104.7 104.3 104 1 1042 104.2 1040 103.7 1043 1046 1046 104.3 103.3 Transportation (') 0) w 100.9 108.5 111.3 118.4 126.2 129.7 128.0 128. 9 130.5 129.4 129.0 129. 1 129. 1 128. 9 126.7 126. 6 126.4 125.0 127. 6 127.3 127.6 Reading Other goods and Medical Personal and recreacare care services tion « « P) 100.9 104 1 106.0 111. 1 117.2 121. 3 125. 2 123.6 123.7 124 1 1244 1249 125. 1 125. 1 125.2 125.5 125.7 125.9 126. 1 126.3 126.5 P) P) C1) 101.3 101. 1 101.1 110.5 111.8 112.8 113. 4 113.6 113.7 113.9 114 1 112.9 113.0 112. 7 113.3 113.4 113.5 113.4 113.8 113.6 113.7 P) 0) P) 100.4 104.1 103. 4 106.5 107.0 108.0 107.0 108.9 108.7 108.0 108.2 106.5 106.4 106.4 107.0 106. 6 106.5 106. 9 106.8 106.6 106.9 P) C) P) 100.5 103.4 105.2 109.7 115.4 118.2 120. 1 120.3 120.3 120.2 120.1 120.2 120. 1 120. 1 120.3 120. 2 120.1 120. 1 120.0 119.9 119. 9 Source: Department of Labor. WHOLESALE PRICES In February, the average of wholesale prices increased somewhat. The prices of farm and industrial products increased on the average, while the prices of processed foods declined. 1950 1951 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (1947-49=1001 Period 1939 monthly7 average_ 1944 monthl} average. 1946 monthly average. 1948 monthly average. 1949 monthly average. 1950 monthly average1951 monthly average. 1952 monthly average. 1953 monthly average.. 1954 monthly average. 1954: January February March April. _ May_ June.... July August September October November December 1955: January February Week ended: 1955: March 1... Source: Department of Labor. All commodities Farm products Processed foods Other than farm products and foods (industrial) 50. 1 67. 6 78.7 104. 4 99.2 103. 1 114. 8 111.6 110. 1 110. 3 110.9 110.5 110.5 111. 0 110.9 110.0 110.4 110.5 110.0 109.7 110.0 109. 5 110. 1 110.4 36.5 68.9 83.2 107.3 92.8 97.5 113.4 107.0 97. 0 95. 6 97.8 97.7 98.4 99.4 97.9 94.8 96.2 95.8 93.6 93. 1 93. 2 89. 9 92. 5 93. 1 43.3 60.4 77.6 106. 1 95.7 99.8 111.4 108. 8 104. 6 105.3 106.2 104.8 105. 3 105.9 106.8 105.0 106.5 106.4 105. 5 103.7 103.8 103.5 103. 8 103.1 58. 1 70.4 78.3 103. 4 101. 3 105.0 115.9 113.2 114.0 114.5 114.6 114.4 114.2 114.5 114.5 114.2 114.3 114.4 114.4 114.5 114.8 114. 9 115.2 115.6 110.1 110.0 92.8 92.6 102.7 102.2 115.3 115.3 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The index of prices received by farmers rose slightly during the month ended February 15, due primarily to a rise in the price of eggs. Prices paid by farmers were unchanged, and the parity ratio increased from 86 to 87. INDEX, I9IO-I4 = IOO 325 INDEX, 1910-14 * 300 275 PARITY INDEX (PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES) 25O 250 125 100 ) N 0 1950 1952 1951 1953 1954 4/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO PARITY INDEX. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 75 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1910-14=100] Period Prices paid b y farmers for items iised in Family living 1939 monthly average 1944 monthly average- _ 1946 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1950 monthly average1951 monthly average. 1952 monthly average 1953 monthlv average 1954 monthly average _ __ _ - _ 1954: January 15 _ February 15 -- March 1 5 April 15 May 15 . June 15 Jnlv 15 August 15 _ September 15 October 15 November 15 December 15 1955* Januarv 15 _ _ February 15 120 175 202 251 243 246 268 271 270 274 271 271 272 273 276 276 277 277 273 273 272 272 273 271 Parity index (prices paid, Prices received by farmers Production and wage rates) 121 173 191 250 238 246 273 274 253 252 254 254 255 256 256 252 247 250 251 250 251 250 254 256 123 182 208 260 251 256 282 287 279 281 282 282 283 283 284 282 280 282 280 279 279 279 283 283 2 95 197 2236 287 250 258 302 288 258 250 259 258 256 257 258 248 247 251 246 242 244 239 244 245 i Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to parity index. i Includes wartime subsidy payments paid on beef cattle, sheep, lambs, milk, and btitterfat between October 1W3 and June 1948. Source; Department of Agriculture. Parity ratio * 77 108 113 110 100 101 107 100 92 89 92 91 90 91 91 88 88 89 88 87 87 86 86 87 STOCK PRICES Stock prices rose in February and declined in early March. INDEX, 1939 = 100 INDEX,1939 = 100 400 400 300 200 1950 1955 SOURCE; SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Period , Weekly average: 1944__. -„ . 1946 1948 -__ _ 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 -__ _ _ __„ 1954: January February March. April May „ June July August September _ _ October November December 1955: January. February Week ended: 1955: February 4 ___ _ _ 11 18 March 25 _ _ „ _„ 4_ 11 Composite! index COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1939=100] Manufacturing Durable Nondura- TransTotal goods ble goods portation Utilities Trade, finance, Mining and service 108.1 149. 4 132.7 127.7 154. 1 184.9 195.0 193. 3 229. 8 198.4 203. 1 207. 1 215.8 223.2 223.9 233. 0 237. 1 240.4 243.6 254. 4 267.7 270. 6 281.0 106. 9 146. 6 136.8 132. I 165 7 206.8 220.2 220. 1 271.3 228.4 233.9 239.8 252. 9 262.9 263.4 275.3 280.0 285. 6 291. 2 305. 2 322.7 326.4 340.0 104.7 138. 6 124. 3 116.0 150. 2 178.5 188.8 192. 6 245.2 198.8 204.2 209.6 223. 2 232.5 236.6 254. 3 257.0 260.2 267.4 284. 4 298.3 306.9 320. 0 109.2 154. 5 148.6 147.2 180.2 233. 1 249.3 245. 2 295.2 255.5 261. 2 267.5 280.3 290.8 288. 0 294.4 301.0 308. 8 312.8 324. 0 345.0 344. 0 358. 2 140. 8 202. 4 158. 1 136.0 160.0 199.0 220.6 218.7 232. 6 206.2 214.6 212. 3 211. 6 220. 6 225.4 233.5 237. 1 236. 0 240. 4 259.4 284.8 288. 1 300.3 99.0 121. 0 99.3 98. 1 108.9 112.6 117.9 121.5 135.8 126. 1 128.4 130.4 131,8 134.2 134.3 138.6 140.8 139.8 138.2 141.2 144. 1 145. 3 150.0 117.3 204 3 156.9 160. 7 183.8 207.9 206.0 207.1 235. 6 213.0 216.0 214.6 219. 8 225.6 228.3 236. 0 243. 1 247.2 248.6 260. 4 267.5 269.8 276.0 93.3 125 5 133.0 129.4 143.5 204.9 275. 7 240. 5 267. 0 238.6 250.3 259. 2 265.9 269.6 266.3 257.2 262.6 267.8 269.4 277. 9 310.3 314. 4 314. 6 279. 3 282.6 282.0 280.3 286. 2 273.6 339. 0 342. 2 341. 1 337.8 344. 7 328. 9 319.3 321.3 321. 7 317.8 325. 6 309. 7 356. 8 361.2 358.7 355. 9 361.9 346.3 292. 6 298.3 303.4 306. 8 315.2 298.4 147. 6 150.6 150.8 151. 0 154. 3 149.0 275. 3 277.8 275.9 275. 1 283. 0 269.7 312.4 316. 1 310. 9 318. 9 321. 1 307.3 ' Includes 265 common stocks: 98 for durable goods manufacturing, 72 for nondurable goods manufacturing, 21 for transportation, 29 for utilities, 31 for trade, finance, and service, and 14 for mining. Indexes are for weekly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Both unemployment and nonagricultural employment were at about the same level in early February as in early January. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS 75 75 70 1955 1950 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 68-area sample : 6 1939 monthly average... 1949 monthly average. . 1950 monthly average.. 1951 monthly average.. 1952 monthly average _ _ 1953 monthly6 average. _ 230-area sample*/ 1954 monthly average _ _ 1954: January February.. March April May June July August September. October November December 1 955 * January February Total labor force (including armed forces) 55, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 600 721 749 982 560 362 67, 818 66, 292 67, 139 67, 218 67, 438 67, 786 68, 788 68, 824 68, 856 68, 566 68, 190 67, 909 66,811 66, 700 66, 550 Unemployment 3 Insured unemployTempo%of ment rary 2 Agricul- Nonagri- layoffs (thousands4 Number civilian Total labor of tural cultural persons) force Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over 17.2 9,480 45, 750 55, 230 9,610 36, 140 2,470 5.5 3, 395 185 62, 105 8,026 50, 684 58, 710 1,599 5.0 3, 142 92 59, 957 63, 099 7,507 52, 450 996 3.0 1,879 117 62, 884 7,054 61, 005 53, 951 1,064 2. 7 1, 673 142 62, 966 61, 293 54, 488 6,805 1,058 1,602 2.5 142 6,562 62, 213 63, 815 55, 651 Employment 1 Civilian labor force 64, 468 62, 840 63, 725 63, 825 64, 063 64, 425 65, 445 65, 494 65, 522 65, 244 64, 882 64, 624 63, 526 63, 497 63, 321 1 Includes part-time workers and those with jobs but 2 Shown separately so as to afford a basis for further 4 61, 238 59, 753 60, 055 60, 100 60, 598 61, 119 62, 098 62, 148 62, 277 62, 145 62, 141 61, 732 60, 688 60, 150 59, 938 6,504 5,284 5,704 5,875 6,076 6,822 7,628 7, 486 6,928 7,527 7,239 6, 154 5] 325 5,297 5,084 54, 734 54, 469 54, 351 54, 225 54, 522 54, 297 54, 470 54, 661 55, 349 54,618 54, 902 55, 577 55, 363 54, 853 54. 854 221 427 216 236 216 294 229 298 143 198 136 120 137 251 145 3,230 3,087 3,670 3,724 3,465 3,305 3,347 3,347 3, 245 3, 100 2,741 2, 893 2,838 3,347 3,383 5.0 4.9 5.8 5.8 5.4 5. 1 5. 1 5. 1 5.0 4.8 4.2 4.5 4.5 5.3 5.3 2,039 2,205 2,362 2,389 2, 383 2,244 2,082 2,037 1,871 1,752 1,631 1,643 1,869 2,201 6 2, 116 not at work for such reasons as vacation, iltoess, bad weather, temporary layoff, and industrial disputes. 3 analysis of employment and unemployment. See footnote 2. All programs. Weekly average for period. For description of series, see Labor Market and Employment Security, April 1954. a Pertains to labor force data only. * Preliminary estimate. Sources: Department of Commerce (labor force) and Department of Labor (insured unemployment). NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Employment in nonagricultural establishments was virtually unchanged from January to February. On a seasonally adjusted basis, it rose somewhat. Employment rose more than seasonally in durable goods manufacturing. In nondurable goods manufacturing there was little change. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING r* J F M A M J J A S O N D J CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION F M A M J J A S O N D WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. [Thousands of wage and salary workers *] Period Total adjusted for seasonal variation 1939 ._ 1946 1948 1949 1950 1952 1953 1954 1954: January February __ March April May^ June July August September. October November. December 1955: January 2 _. Februarv 2 _ 48, 812 48, 607 48, 441 48, 268 48, 177 4-8, 102 47, 982 47, 945 48, 054 48, 209 48, 398 48,419 48, 467 48, 525 Government Contract Wholesale and retail (Federal, Durable Nondu- Mining construcState, trade tion goods rable goods local) Not adjusted for seasonal variation Manufacturing Total 30, 287 41,412 44, 382 43, 295 44, 696 48, 306 49, 660 48, 283 48, 147 47, 880 47, 848 48, 068 47, 935 48, 137 47, 808 48, 045 48, 526 48, 668 48, 827 49, 505 47, 804 47, 801 Total 10, 078 14, 461 15,321 14, 178 14, 967 16, 334 17, 259 16, 040 16, 434 16, 322 16, 234 16, 000 15, 836 15, 888 15, 627 15, 863 16, 019 16, 058 16, 107 16, 097 15, 965 16, 082 4,683 7, 739 8,312 7,473 8,085 9,340 10, 129 9, 178 9,591 9,480 9,389 9,260 9, 152 9, 123 8,863 8,875 8,950 9,065 9,182 9, 201 9, 166 9,271 5, 394 6,722 7,010 6,705 6,882 6,994 7, 131 6, 863 6,843 6,842 6,845 6,740 6,684 6,765 6,764 6,988 7,069 6,993 6,925 6,896 6,799 6, 811 845 852 982 918 889 885 844 745 805 790 772 749 737 744 735 737 719 716 721 720 712 711 1,150 1, 661 2, 169 2, 165 2,333 2, 634 2,644 2, 628 2, 349 2,356 2,415 2,535 2,634 2,729 2,795 2,851 2,817 2,777 2,724 2, 549 2, 358 2, 269 6,612 8,602 9, 519 9, 513 9,645 10, 281 10, 533 10, 524 10, 421 10, 310 10, 305 10, 496 10, 375 10, 414 10, 377 10, 350 10, 480 10, 581 10, 782 11,400 10, 483 10, 397 3, 987 5,607 5,614 5,837 5,992 6,609 6,645 6,712 6,659 6,639 6,667 6,699 6,701 6,625 6,467 6,454 6,738 6,865 6,882 7, 152 6,834 6,872 Other 7,615 10, 230 10, 777 10, 685 10, 871 11,565 11, 735 11,633 11,479 11,463 11,455 11, 589 11, 652 11,737 11,807 11,790 11, 753 11,671 11,611 11,587 11,452 11, 470 ' Includes all foil- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricuJtural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonaprieultural employment of the civilian labor force reported by the Department of Commerce (p. 7) which include proself-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are §rietors, ased on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. * Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Labor and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 8 AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek of factory production workers rose from 40.2 hours in January to 40.5 hours in February, althoush no change is usual at this time of year. HOU RS HOI R PER WEEK DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 42 40 44 ^v ys/l . ^Vv^w 42 S _/] 40 %^«^v^ 38 38 36 36 0 . . 1 . . 1 1 . 1 1 . i i . , , 1 i , i i• . i i i . 1 i i i i . 1952 1 1954 1953 '' \^ i 1 1 1 . 1952 1 1 1 1 1 . . 40 40 v v l^AU /^\A ,,.,,1,.,,, i 1954 1955 1953 " ./>V s/ 38 ' ' { r^^ A — •/\/| 36 S^* " 34 o' i H ' 1 \ I 'J_LJ 1952 •*> RETAIL TRADE 42 34 -v^ 1955 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION 36 y-VS 0 42 38 PER WEEK f 1954 1953 0 1955 1952 , . . , , ! , , ! , , ,,,,,!,,,,, 1953 1954 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1 '' 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS_. [Hours per week, for production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Manufacturing r Period 1939 1944 1946 1948 _ 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 2 1954 .__ 1954: January February. March _ _ April May June July - August-*. September October November December _ 1955: January 2 2 February __ ___ Total _ _ . .. „_ . _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ . _ Durable goods 37. 7 45. 2 40. 4 40. 1 39. 2 40. 5 40. 7 40. 7 40. 5 39. 6 39. 4 39. 6 39. 5 39. 0 39. 3 39. 6 39. 4 39. 7 39. 7 39. 9 40. 2 40.5 40. 2 40. 5 J Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. * Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Labor. 38.0 46.6 40.2 40.5 39. 5 41.2 41. 6 41. 5 41.3 40. 2 40. 1 40. 2 40. 0 39. 7 39. 9 40. 0 39. 7 40. 1 40. 1 40. 4 40. 8 41. 1 40. 9 41.2 Nondurable goods 37.4 43. 1 40.5 39.6 38. 8 39.7 39. 5 39.6 39.5 39. 0 38.5 38. 8 38.8 38. 1 38.5 38. 9 39. 0 39.2 39. 3 39. 2 39. 5 39.7 39. 3 39.5 construction Retail trade 32.6 39.6 38. 1 137.3 36.7 36. 3 37.2 38. 1 37.0 36.2 33.9 36.0 36.4 36.5 36.7 37. 1 36.9 37.0 36.0 36.6 35.8 36.0 35.2 (3) ' Not available. (3) 42.7 40.4 40.7 40.3 40. 4 40.5 40.2 39. 9 39.3 39.2 39.0 39. 1 39. 1 39. 1 38.9 39.3 39. 8 39.7 39.2 38.9 38.7 39.5 39. 1 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS • SELECTED INDUSTRIES Earnings of production workers in manufacturing averaged $1.85 an hour in February, 1 cent more than in January and 5 cents more than in February a year ago. DOLLARS PER HOUR 2.70 DOLLARS PER HOUR 1955 EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE INI SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISfRS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] All manufacturing Period 1939 1944 . 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 3 1954 1954: January February _ March April May_ Junei July. August. . _ _ September October. November. .. _ December 1955: January 3 3 _ February . Current prices $0. 633 1. 019 1. 086 1.350 1. 401 1.465 1. 59 1.67 1.77 1. 81 1. 80 1. 80 1. 79 1. 80 1.81 1.81 1. 80 1. 79 1.81 1.81 1. 83 1. 83 1.84 1.85 1954 prices l $1. 224 1. 556 1. 496 1.508 1.579 1. 637 1. 64 1. 69 1.78 1.81 1. 79 1.80 1. 79 1. 80 1. 81 1.80 1. 79 1. 79 1.81 1. 82 1. 83 1. 84 1.85 (4) Durable goods manufacturing Current prices $0. 698 1. 117 1. 156 1. 410 L 469 1.537 L 67 1. 77 L 87 1.92 1.91 1.90 1. 90 1. 90 1. 91 1. 91 1. 91 1. 91 1. 93 1.93 1. 94 1.95 1.96 1.96 1954 prices * $1. 350 1. 705 1.592 1.575 1. 656 1.717 1. 73 1. 79 1. 88 1. 92 1. 90 1.90 1. 90 1. 90 1. 91 1.90 1. 90 1. 91 1. 93 1. 94 1.94 1. 96 1. 97 (4) 12 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on bnse 1954=100. Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. •• " Source: Department of Labor. 10 Nondurable gooda manufacturing Current prices $0. 582 .861 1. 015 1.278 1.325 1.378 1.48 1. 54 L 61 1. 66 1. 65 1. 65 1. 65 1. 65 1. 66 1. 66 1. 66 1. 65 1. 66 1. 66 1.67 1. 67 1. 68 1. 68 Building construction Current 1954 prices prices l $1. 126 $0. 932 I. 319 1.315 1. 398 2 L 478 L 848 1.428 1. 935 1. 494 2. 031 1. 540 2. 19 1.53 2. 31 1. 56 2. 48 1. 61 2. 60 1. 66 2.58 1. 65 2.59 1. 65 2.59 1. 65 2.58 1. 65 2. 58 1.66 2. 58 1.66 2. 58 1. 66 2.60 1. 65 2. 62 1. 66 2.63 1. 66 2.63 1.67 2. 65 1. 68 2. 65 1. 69 (4) (4) Retail trade Current 1954 prices prices l $1. 803 $0. 542 .731 2.014 .893 2. 036 2 1.088 2. 065 1. 137 2. 182 1. 176 2.269 1. 26 2. 26 1.32 2.34 1.40 2. 49 1.45 2.60 1.43 2.57 1.43 2. 58 1.43 2.59 1.43 2. 59 1.45 2.57 1. 46 2.57 1.47 2. 57 1.47 2.59 1.47 2. 62 1.47 2. 64 1.46 2. 64 1. 44 2. 66 1.48 2.66 (4) (4) 3 Preliminary estimates. * Not available. 1954 prices l $1. 048 1. 116 1.230 1.216 1. 282 1.314 1.30 1.33 1. 40 1.45 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1. 46 1.45 1. 49 (4) AVERAGE WEEKLY EAKJM1JMUS - SEIJECTEO Average weekly earnings of factory production workers rose to an all-time high of $74.93 in February. exceeds that of a year ago by $3.65. DOLLARS PER WEEK This figure DOLLARS PER WEEK NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING .1952 I 1953 1954 I I 1955 1953 1952 j/ EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ON BASE 1954*100. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. [.tor production workers or nonsupervisory employees] All manufacturing Period 1939 1944 1946 1948 1949 1950 __ 1951. 1952 1953___ 1954 3 1954: January February _ March April . May June July August September October November December _ 1955: January 3 3 _ February __ Durable goods manufacturing Building construction Retail trade Current prices 1954 prices * Current prices 1954 prices * Current prices 1954 prices l Current prices 1954 prices l Current prices $23. 86 46. 08 43.82 54. 14 54. 92 59.33 64. 71 67.97 71.69 71. 64 70. 92 71. 28 70.71 70.20 71. 13 71. 68 70.92 71. 06 71.86 72. 22 73.57 74. 12 73. 97 74.93 $46. 15 70.35 60.36 60.49 61. 92 66. 29 66. 92 68.73 71. 91 71. 64 70. 71 71. 14 70. 71 70.34 70.99 71.47 70.71 70.92 71.93 72.44 73.42 74.42 74.27 (4) $26. 50 52. 07 46.49 57. 11 58.03 63. 32 69.47 73.46 77.23 77. 01 76. 59 76. 38 76.00 75.43 76. 21 76.40 75. 83 76.59 77.39 77.97 79. 15 80. 15 80. 16 80.75 $51. 26 79. 50 64. 04 63. 81 65.42 70.75 71.84 74. 28 77.-46 77. 01 76. 36 76. 23 76. 00 75.58 76. 06 76. 17 75. 60 76.44 77. 47 78.20 79. 31 80.47 80.48 (4) $21. 78 37. 12 41. 14 50. 61 51. 41 54.71 58.46 60.98 63. 60 64. 58 63. 53 64.02 64. 02 62. 87 63. 91 64. 57 64. 74 64. 68 65. 24 65. 07 65. 97 66. 30 66.02 66. 36 $42. 13 56.67 56. 67 56.55 57. 96 61. 13 60. 46 61.66 63. 79 64. 58 63. 34 63.89 64. 02 63.00 63. 78 64. 38 64. 55 64. 55 65.31 65.27 66. 10 66. 57 66. 29 (4) $30. 39 52. 18 56.24 2 68. 85 70.95 73. 73 81.47 88. 01 91. 76 94. 26 87.46 93. 24 94.28 94. 17 94. 69 95, 72 95. 20 96.20 94. 32 96.26 94. 15 95.40 93.28 (4) $58. 78 79. 66 77. 47 2 76. 93 79. 99 82. 38 84. 25 88.99 92. 04 94.26 87. 20 93.05 94. 28 94.36 94. 50 95.43 94. 92 96.01 94.41 96. 55 94.34 95. 78 93.65 (4) $23. 14 29. 53 36.35 43. 85 45. 93 47. 63 50. 65 52. 67 55.02 56. 86 55.77 55. 91 55.91 55. 91 56.41 57.38 58. 51 58 36 57.62 57. 18 56.50 56.88 57.87 (4) 1 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price tadei on base 1954=100. 8 Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. Source: Department of Labor, IS ondurable goods manufacturing 1954 prices * $44. 76 45.08 50.07 48.99 51.78 53. 22 52. 38 53. 26 55. 19 56.86 55. 60 55. 80 55.91 56. 02 56.30 57. 21 58. 33 58. 44 57.68 57.35 56. 61 57. 11 58. 10 (4) **Preliminary estimates, Pr€ * Noit available. 11 AJNU BUJSIINESS AUTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The increase in industrial production, which began in September 1954, continued in February. The seasonally adjusted indexrwhich was 133 (1947-49=100) in February/ had recovered about two-thirds of the 1953-54 decline. INDEX, 1947-49=100 INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 160 140 1950 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. 11947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Total Manufactures industrial Nondurable Durable Total production Period 1939 _ 1944 1946.. 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952... 1953 1954 » 1954: January February March April _ .. . May June July August September October November December 1955: January 1 February 1 PrellmJoary estimates. 12 __ _ . _ _ _ 58 125 90 100 104 97 " 112 120 124 134 125 125 125 123 123 125 124 123 123 124 126 128 130 131 133 57 130 90 100 103 97 113 121 125 136 127 127 126 125 125 126 125 124 125 126 128 130 131 133 134 49 159 86 101 104 95 116 128 136 153 138 141 139 135 134 136 135 134 135 137 139 142 143 145 147 66 99 95 99 102 99 111 114 114 118 115 113 114 114 115 117 116 114 114 115 117 118 119 120 121 Minerals 68 93 91 100 106 94 105 115 114 116 112 113 113 112 109 111 114 112 109 108 109 113 116 118 121 Source : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES In February/ production in most industries registered additional gains. ,1947-49=100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED INDEX,I947-49 = IOO, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ' 1801 160 FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS 120 160 CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 120 100 120 /IN 80 FOODS, BEVERAGES, AND TOBACCO 100 TEXTILES AND APPAREL 60 i i i i i t i i i ij 80 1952 1953 1954 1952 1955 1953 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, 1954 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Nondurable manufactures ConTranspor- Lumber Textiles Paper Chemical Foods, Fabrisumer Primary Machin- tation and and and petro- bever- durable cated and ery metals leum ages, and goods prod- apparel printmetal equipment products ucts ing products tobacco Period 1939 1947__ 1948 1949 1950 1951 __ 1952 1953 _ 1954 * 1954: January February March April XVXOIJ Mav June __ July August September October November December 1955: Januarv l_.„ February _._ 53 103 107 90 115 126 116 132 108 111 109 103 103 106 108 103 105 105 111 118 121 127 132 103 104 93 115 122 121 136 123 126 123 120 119 121 122 122 124 121 124 125 125 125 125 38 103 104 93 114 130 147 160 142 143 141 138 138 138 139 141 144 147 147 148 145 144 147 48 96 102 102 120 135 154 189 175 185 179 173 174 178 170 170 166 162 169 175 187 192 194 80 101 106 93 113 113 111 118 115 115 120 116 114 120 108 96 97 116 128 124 131 128 (2) 80 99 103 97 110 106 105 107 100 97 98 99 101 101 99 98 99 98 102 103 104 105 (2) 96. 103 101 114 118 118 125 125 122 123 124 125 126 126 126 126 127 127 127 127 129 130 97 103 100 118 132 133 142 142 138 141 139 140 142 142 141 141 144 143 145 148 149 151 101 100 100 103 105 106 107 106 105 105 106 106 110 108 105 105 105 105 106 106 106 106 98 102 101 133 114 105 127 116 112 113 112 116 119 119 117 115 109 106 124 130 137 (2) 1 Preliminary estimates. 2 Not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 59715—55- 13 Production according to several weekly indicators continued to expand in February. Steel production was at the highest level since the fall of 1953; electric power distribution continued close to the all-time high/ passenger car assemblies exceeded the high January rate while truck assemblies dropped due to model changeovers. Mil.LIONS OF TONS MIL LIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) 3 3 STEEL m ^ ,. BITUMINOUS COAL ^-1953 2 2 ^—^ ^.^ '~*-^~ ^^ s'~* X 1954 «-" ^ ^mm * *""* '953^,, A ^^^.,,.-----"VV x t v-—^-' V*"^ 1 IZP*^^ ^1954 1 0 J 1 F 1 1 M A ! M I J I J I A 1 I S 0 1 N BIL LIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS II 150 10 ^ 8 x^r\^vAV i\ i9S4^/\ i y A V-,.....,,.. / r\>—sc ^1953 y * * / %—^^v/ ^/- s\ Y.- 1 0 J 1 F C£ 1 1 M - A - Period Weekly average: 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1954: February March April May June July August September October November December 1955: January 3 February Week ended : 1955: February 5_,_ 12... 19... 26__. March 53 123,_ 1 M I 1 J J t A J 1 S 1 0 ' 100 1 M 1 A ^ 1 M 1 J I J I 1 I AS 0 1 N 0 CARS AND TRUCKS ^VA *rsr /\ /r^'^~uKJ\/^ tf \r-xv £ M l95 ' "A/-y V ' 50 1 N 1 F THOU 5ANDS 200 ELECTRIC POWER 9 1 0 0 1 0 J D 1 F 1 M 1 A 1 M 1 J 1 J INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS, - 1 A S I 1 O . 1 N 0 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS :,.Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Cars and trucks Steel produced coal mined power produced assembled (thousands) loaded Thousands Percent of distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands theoretical of net (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) capacity 1 Mlowatt-hours) tons) 2 tons 1,857 2, 018 -1,782 2, 141 1,694 1,771 1,646 1,625 1,687 1,716 1,499 1,505 1,591 1,738 1,886 1, 875 1,995 2,126 96.9 100.9 85.8 94.9 71.0 74. 3 69.0 68. 1 70.7 72. 0 62.9 63. 1 66.7 72.9 79.1 78.6 82.7 88. 1 6, 183 6,958 7,451 8,244 8,883 8,576 8,526 8,347 8,406 8,684 8,841 9, 122 9,040 9, 124 9,240 9,645 9,936 9,902 1,687 1,772 1,548 1,521 1,304 1,247 1, 175 1, 126 1, 150 1,317 1, 184 1,288 1,379 1,410 1,498 1,502 1,444 1, 463 748 779 727 735 652 616 602 624 674 670 658 677 687 726 671 610 631 644 214 229 213 241 237 234 235 235 245 239 200 247 236 255 255 227 243 260 154.2 129.8 106.8 141. 1 125.6 132.3 137.0 144. 1 144.5 128.2 117.6 116.4 82.8 70.8 134.2 159.4 178.9 185.0 128.4 102.7 83.4 118.0 106.0 110.8 115.0 122.0 122.3 109. 1 100.3 99.8 67.5 55.8 113.7 138. 9 156.9 169.2 25.9 27.2 23.4 23. 2 19.7 21. 5 21.9 22. 1 22.2 19.2 17.3 16.5 15.3 15.0 20. 5 20.5 22. 0 15.8 2,070 2,095 2,150 2,191 2,218 2, 198 85.8 86.8 89. 1 90.8 91.9 91. 1 10, 047 9,922 9,912 9,725 9,727 1,450 1,448 1,489 1,467 1,290 641 644 655 635 659 259 261 262 259 267 182.7 182.8 188.4 186.2 183.7 193.3 164.3 168. 1 173. 5 171.2 167.8 171.9 18.4 14.8 15. 0 15. 1 15.9 21.3 1 Percent of capacity based on weekly net ton capacity of 1,906,268 for the first half of 1950; 1,928,721 beginning July 1,1950; 1,999,034 beginning January 1,1951; 2,077,040 beginning January 1,1952; 2,254,459 beginning January 1,1953; 2,384,549 beginning January 1,1954; and 2,413,278 beginning January 1,1955. 1 Daily average tor week. » Preliminary estimates. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. 14 UKOSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment rose substantially during the fourth quarter of 1954. A sharp reduction in the rate of inventory liquidation and an increase in residential construction were responsible for the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL -RATES GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT NEW CONSTRUCTION 20 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 10 CHANGE IN BUSINESS* INVENTORIES -. \. I I942 I944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1951 1952 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. I I 1954 1953 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1939 1944 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952___ 1953 1954 _ . _ _ . .. Total gross private domestic investment 9.3 7. 1 27. 1 41.2 32.5 51.2 56. 9 50.7 51. 4 46. 1 Change in business inventories Fixed investment New construction Total 8.9 8.2 21.0 37.0 35.3 43.9 46.5 47.0 49.9 49.8 Residential nonfarm Total 4.8 2.7 10.3 17.9 17.5 22. 7 23.3 23.7 25.5 27. 6 2.7 .8 4.0 8.6 8.3 12. 6 11.0 11. 1 11.9 13.3 CommerAll 2 cial and industrial * other 1.2 1. 0 4.2 5.7 5.3 5.7 7.2 7.5 8.4 14- 3 0.8 .9 2. 1 3.6 3.9 4.5 5. 1 5.2 5.2 Producers' durable equipment Total Nonfarm 4.2 5.4 10. 7 19. 1 17.8 21. 1 23. 2 23.3 24.4 22.2 0.4 -1.0 6. 1 4. 2 -2.7 7.4 10.4 3.6 1. 5 3. 7 0.3 -. 6 6.4 3.0 -1.9 6.4 9.0 3. 0 2.2 -3.8 24. 8 24. 0 22. 7 22.4 21.8 21. 7 2.0 -4.2 2.9 -3.7 -4.2 -4.0 -5. 0 -1. 6 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1953: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 52.4 45.5 44. 5 45.6 45.3 49.5 50.4 49.7 48. 7 49.4 50. 1 50.8 25.6 25.7 26.0 27.0 28. 3 29. 1 i Includes public utility. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 12. 1 11.7 11.7 12.8 14. 0 14.8 8.5 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.7 14.3 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.6 — 4. 2 -3.8 -4.8 -1.3 2 Includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling. Source: Department of Commerce. 15 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to a survey made in January and February, expenditures for new plant and equipment in 1955 are expected to be $27 billion, or about 1 percent more than in 1954. Current plans suggest a slight decline between the fourth quarter of 1954 and the first quarter of 1955, and a 6 percent rise in the second quarter, with approximate stability for the rest of the year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTALS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 30 30 MANUFACTURING*. 10 r iOMMERCIAL AND OTHER"-^ «.».. —** PUBLIC UTILITIES. -0 Q _ TRANSPORTATION —* J 1946 1948 i960 1952 1954 1951 I J I 1952 » 1953 I I I I 1954 1955 •' SEE NOTE 4 ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] M .anufacturi ng Period Total » 5.51 14.85 1939 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952. ... 1953 1954 3 4 1955 22.06 19.28 20.60 25.64 26. 49 28.39 26. 83 27.04 1954: First quart er__ Second quarter Third quarter 27.46 26.92 26.84 Fourth quarter _ _ 1 1 ) 5 ,r> : V\ rs (. ( | u art er 4 Sri'ond quarter 4 Shroud half 4 ^ 25.96 27.40 26. 18 27. 40 Total 1.94 6. 79 9. 13 7.15 7.49 10.85 11.63 12. 28 11.04 10.69 11.62 11.09 10.98 10. 58 10. 17 10.72 10.94 Transpoirtation Mining Durable NonduraRailroads Other goods ble goods 0.36 0.33 0.28 1. 19 0.76 .92 .58 .43 3. 68 3. 11 1.32 .88 5.65 1.28 3.48 1.35 .79 .89 2.59 4.56 1.21 1. 11 4.36 .71 3. 14 1.47 .93 5.68 1.49 5.17 6.02 .98 1.40 1.50 5. 61 5.82 1.31 1.46 6.46 1.01 .85 .98 1. 51 5.95 5. 09 . 76 .90 1.50 4.87 5.83 Seasonally adjiisted anmlal rates 1.04 1.57 .94 6.22 5.40 1.44 1.04 . 91 5.90 5. 18 .80 1.00 1.51 5.06 5.93 1. 53 .68 .91 5.79 4.80 .93 .78 1.50 5. 52 4.65 . 78 .88 1.47 5.88 4.84 1.52 .90 .74 5.96 5.00 clmlwi floriculture N« 0.52 Commercial and other 3 2.54 3.12 3.31 3.66 3.89 4. 55 4.22 4. 37 2.08 5.33 6. 90 5.98 6.78 7.24 7.09 7.78 8.23 8. 82 4.33 4.37 4. 12 4.01 4. 04 4. 34 4.55 7. 97 8.07 8.42 8.46 8. 53 9.21 8. 77 .79 r Includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. of tuwKonally unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with average of seasonally adjusted figures, in part because miry for nyntrmattc tendencies in anticipatory data. ntli'ij! u*'<! <>H|tltul t>\|M'fHl!hir<',s as reported by business in January and February 1955. I }»*««> fifmrg lo tn»t ut*rp*« « I t t j iliv totuld included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the A;** trttlttirat ti v f i t m r n i nut} »»1««» wrtiiln twjtitj>i!H»nt and constniction outlays charged to current expense. IIIIIIMKMul tlllti Oth tllltil total i» I IHll-'l PllKllA utilities imti^i < 'otittniADioM ttinl J »p|»nritiiPi»t of Gommeroe. NEW UONBTKUUTION Expenditures for total new construction, seasonally adjusted, continued at a record annual rate in excess of $40 billion in February. Construction contracts awarded were 29 percent higher than a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION 0I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I i I I I I I I I I" I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1.5 1.5 PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL*-** (NONFARM) •••* 0^ 1.0 OTHER PRIVATE'' 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1950 1 1 I 1- 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1951 i i i i i 1i i i i i 1952 i i i i i I i 'i i i i 1953 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 I 1954 1955 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Total new construction Period 1939 monthly 1944 monthly 1946 monthly 1948 monthly 1949 monthly 1950 monthly 1951 monthly 1952 monthly 1953 monthly 1954 monthly 683 438 1, 000 1,806 1,899 2,371 2, 598 2, 751 2,938 3,098 average average average average average average average average average average Private construction Total private Residential (nonfarm) 366 182 803 1, 404 1,365 1,788 1,814 1, 842 1,990 2, 143 223 68 335 715 689 1, 050 914 925 994 1, 121 Other Federal, State, and local 1 142 114 469 689 676 738 899 917 996 1,022 317 256 197 402 534 583 785 908 948 954 1,017 1,024 1,022 1,019 1,026 1 5 020 1,023 1,027 1,020 1,011 1, 031 1,030 1,075 1, 107 970 1,047 994 968 958 956 921 926 923 884 933 970 981 960 Seasonally adjusted 1954 '. January February March April > May _ June July August September October November December - _ 1955: January 3 Februarv _ _ _ - 2,965 3,051 3,005 3,027 3,089 3, 078 3,094 3, 145 3,157 3, 105 3, 192 3, 262 3,379 3,393 1,995 2,004 2,011 2,059 2, 131 2, 122 2, 173 2, 219 2,234 2,221 2,259 2,292 2,398 2,433 978 980 989 1, 040 1, 105 1, 102 1, 150 1, 192 1,214 1, 210 1, 228 1,262 1,323 1, 326 8 i Includes public residential construction. Preliminary estimates. »Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation; seasonally adjusted by the National Bureau of Economic Beseareb less fully than urban. Sources; Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and F. W. Dodge Corporation (except as noted). Construction contracts awarded in 37 Eastern States 2 296 166 624 786 863 1,208 * 1,313 1,398 1,454 1,648 Seasonally Unadjusted adjusted 1,557 1,152 1,650 1,221 1,559 1,528 1,484 1,692 1,674 1,925 1,605 1, 788 1,611 1,887 1,527 1,578 1,816 1,579 1,946 1,965 1,743 1,499 1,905 1,829 2,033 1,504 2, 137 1,581 Omits small contracts, and covers rural areas 17 HOUSING STARTS AND FINANCING APPLICATINOS In February, the number of nonfarm housing units started was 90,000, or 20 percent higher than a year earlier. On a seasonally adjusted basis, private starts were at an annual rate of almost 1.4 million units. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS J/SEE FOOTNOTE I ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION ( F H A 3 , AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION ( V A ) . [Thousands of units] Proposed home construction New nonfarm housing starts Period Annual total: 1939__. 1946_m1948 1949___ 1950_ 1951... 1952 1953... 1954 4 Monthly average: 1950^ 1953 19544 1951: .huuuiry 1'V.bruary March - _ _. April . . . . _ . -. MJIV - -. i(*V, .lime Julv . . A in* us! _, . . S f p t r l ibcr « »«-tui» T .. X l l \ 4*1 i h l T l » « .TII I < - r J.ituiM * l « l M l .M M | ti * ** Total 515. 0 670.5 931. 6 1, 025. 1 1, 396. 0 1, 091. 3 1, 127. 0 1, 103. 8 1, 220. 2 116. 3 92. 0 101.7 66.4 75.2 95. 2 107.7 108. 5 116. 5 116. 0 1 1 4. 3 1J5. 7 .110. 7 103. 6 1)1. 0 SS, 0 'JO. 0 Publicly financed 56. 6 8. 0 18. 1 36.3 43.8 71.2 58. 5 35.5 19. 4 3. 6 3.0 1. 6 1.3 1.3 2.0 1.2 1. 1 3.9 3. 1 1.3 2. 3 .2 .3 * 1. 4 4 4 2 L -7 Total 458.4 662. 5 913. 5 988.8 1, 352. 2 1, 020. 1 1, 068. 5 1, 068. 3 1, 200. 8 112. 7 89. 0 100. 1 65. 1 73. 9 93.2 106.5 107. 4 112. 6 112. 9 113.0 113. 4 110. 5 103. 3 4 89. 6 4 87. 8 1 88. 6 Privately financed Government underwritten VA Total FHA 158. 1 152. 0 396. 1 468.8 686. 7 412. 2 421. 2 408. 6 582.3 57. 2 34.0 48. 5 24. 7 30. 5 36. 4 43. 6 49. 0 54. 6 52. 2 60.2 59. 8 58. 2 62.4 50. 7 6. 1 45. 2 158. 1 69. 0 294. 1 363. 8 486. 7 263. 5 279. 9 252. 0 276. 3 40. 6 21.0 23.0 13.2 16. 3 20. 5 23. 8 24. 0 27. 7 25. 4 27.0 25. 9 24. 7 26. 3 21. 5 20. 0 17. 1 Private, seasonally adjusted annual rates 2 2 2 2 83. 0 102. 0 105. 0 200. 0 148. 6 141. 3 156. 6 306. 0 16. 7 13. 1 25. 5 11. 6 14.2 15. 9 19.8 25.0 26. 9 26.8 33. 3 33. 9 33. 5 36.0 29. 1 26. 1 28. 0 4 4 4 1, 056 1, 152 1, 130 1, 102 1,083 1, 175 1, 188 1, 211 1,248 1,287 1,393 1, 473 1, 424 1, 381 8 • » « n t - i n tuottriin*ttpplir:tiuir: for nrw home construction. » Estimated. Not available. ji.iim-ftf l»4»iwitmm»t of Li tuir, lu«<I«ral jiuuttiiic AdifiinUitratlon (FJIA), and Veterans Administration (VA). Applications for FHA commitments l 167.8 121. 7 293. 2 327.0 397.7 192. 8 267.9 253. 7 338.6 33. 1 21. 1 28.2 15.0 20.0 28. 1 32. 3 30.3 35. 2 30. 1 32. 2 34.8 29.3 26. 9 24.3 25.6 28.3 Requests for VA appraisals (3) (3) (33) () (3) 164. 4 226. 3 251. 4 535.4 21.0 44. 6 20. 1 34. 4 36.5 42. 9 52. 2 52. 7 52. 3 55.4 51.3 45. 6 47. 7 44. 3 46.2 64.2 'Preliminary estimates. SALES AND INVENTORIES - MANUFACTURING AND TRADE Total inventories (seasonally adjusted) increased slightly in January, due principally to an increase in dealers' stocks of new cars. Retail sales in January and February were slightly below the record December level, but were substantially above the levels in the corresponding months of 1954. Manufacturers' sales rose fractionally in January, and new orders exceeded sales for the fifth consecutive month. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED RETAIL TOTAL* AND MANUFACTURING ^INVENTORIES INVENTORIES T INVENTORIES* ^ SALES 1952 ,TOTAL SALES* 1953 1954 INDEX, 1947-49- 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED MANUFACTURING INVENTORIES SALES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturing Retail Manufacturing and trade * New InvenInvenInvenPeriod Sales 2 Sales 2 Sales 2 orders 3 tories f tories 8 tories ' Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1939 -_ 5, 534 10, 892 5,354 5, 112 20,051 3, 5U3 11, 4t>5 11,852 1946 42, 892 8,541 27, 150 24, 457 13, 694 12, 617 1948 15, 828 17, 350 36, 438 55, 612 10, 877 17, 630 31, 693 1949 15,311 52, 111 34, 664 10, 893 28, 860 16,416 15, 903 1950 _ 19, 285 34, 314 39, 917 5 64, 092 20, 980 5 11, 974 5 19, 316 5 21, 239 1951 42, 904 44, 821 75, 268 24, 391 22, 205 13, 185 21, 592 1952 77, 109 44, 190 13, 674 23, 710 46, 080 23, 046 1953 8 22, 661 81, 072 48, 836 46, 722 23, 861 14, 228 25, 280 22, 090 1954 14, 222 77, 343 23, 975 47, 312 43, 748 23, 080 1953: December. 22, 661 13, 932 24, 126 46, 722 22, 026 47, 209 81, 072 1954: January 22, 521 23, 902 20, 749 13, 622 80, 688 46, 382 46, 450 22, 421 February. 22, 016 13, 972 46, 714 46, 115 80, 390 23, 620 March 22, 563 22, 859 24, 064 47, 094 80, 093 45, 774 13, 900 April » 22, 690 23, 017 14, 242 24, 418 79, 516 47, 636 45, 183 22, 804 May 22, 819 14, 044 79, 372 46, 914 44, 798 23, 978 22, 600 June 22, 876 14, 439 79, 000 47, 779 44, 535 24, 260 22, 403 July 14, 272 44, 194 22, 551 78, 349 24, 055 47, 417 August 22,451 22, 560 23, 482 46, 717 14, 150 78, 163 43, 929 22, 425 September 14, 214 77, 790 24, 463 23, 612 43, 668 46, 985 21, 996 October 14, 071 23, 141 46, 224 77, 542 43, 819 23, 858 22, 080 November 47, 990 14, 361 77, 603 24, 361 24, 366 43, 811 December 22, 090 77, 343 24, 837 49, 485 25, 350 43, 748 15, 123 6 22, 210 1955: January 6 __ _ 14, 871 24, 857 493 283 77, 389 43, 645 25, 066 February __ _ _ _ _ 14, 837 Department stores InvenSales 2 • tories 4 Index 1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted 35 35 90 77 104 107 98 100 109 105 109 129 110 118 112 126 111 * 122 113 123 107 119 109 119 121 105 111 120 108 121 112 122 111 124 112 124 107 125 124 113 114 124 117 124 118 123 112 'Also includes wholesale, not shown separately to this table. 8 New series on retail trade beginning with 1951; not comparable with previous 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. data. See Survey of Current Business, September and November 1952, for detail. *Book value, end of period. • Preliminary estimates. < Book value, end of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 19 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS Commercial exports rose in December, bringing the total for 1954 to a level 5 percent higher than in 1953. also rose in December but the total for the year was 6 percent less than for the preceding year. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS Imports MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,800 1,800 1,600 1,600 (TOTAL MERCHANDISE EXPORTS 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING GRANT-AID SHIPMENTS-'-'I I i *1 \.^-.J«™.-Y s \i_-4 r*.j ! . 1,000 -A I \ K /'• 1,000 ! tf. I I I I I I I I M I 1950 1954 J/SEE FOOTNOTES I AND 2 ON TA8LE BELOW, SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPAR' COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Period 1936—38 monthly average 1944 monthly average 1946 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1950 monthly average 1951 monthly average 1952 monthly average. __ 1953 monthly average 1954 monthly average 1953: December . . 1954: January _ _ _ February March April . May June. - ... - Julv August _ September October November December. Total * 247 1,188 812 1,054 1,003 856 1, 253 1,266 1,314 1,256 1,353 1,092 1, 183 1,125 1,426 1,400 1,473 1,291 1,155 1, 111 1,264 1,242 1,312 Excess of exports (+) or imports ( — ) Grant-aid shipments 2 Excluding grant-aid shipments 942 54 247 757 24 89 166 293 188 215 169 184 203 167 264 359 268 200 153 104 85 98 833 1, 164 1, 100 1,022 1,068 1, 138 922 998 922 1,258 1,136 1, 114 1,023 955 959 1, 159 1, 157 1,214 Merchandise imports 207 327 412 594 552 738 914 893 906 851 907 833 809 862 957 829 946 822 824 781 764 839 942 Total + 40 + 861 +400 +460 +452 + 118 + 339 + 373 + 408 + 406 + 446 + 259 + 374 +263 + 468 + 571 + 527 +469 + 331 + 331 + 500 + 404 + 370 Excluding grant-aid shipments -80 + 345 + 95 + 250 + 207 + 116 + 218 + 231 + 90 + 190 + 60 + 301 + 307 + 168 + 202 + 130 + 178 + 396 + 318 + 272 * Includes shipments under the various grant-aid programs; for some of these programs separate data are not available. « Beginning with 1950, figures include only Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. Shipments for the first 6 months of the program (July-December 1950) amounted to 282 million dollars. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. 20 PURCHASING POWER NATIONAL INCOME Reflecting the quickened pace of general business activity, national income rose by about $4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the third and fourth quarters. Corporate profits, wage and salary income, and business and professional incomes shared in the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 350 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES *TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 250 250 -COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES PROPRIETORS'AND RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND •+** INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1952 1951 INTEREST 1953 -'PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE IEXCEPT AS NOTED). 1954 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total national income Period 1939 _, _ 1944 1946 _ 1948 1949 1950._. 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ .._ 1953* Third quarter Fourth quarter 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth Quarter _ . - Compensation of em-l ployees Proprietors' income Farm Business and professional Rental income of persons Net interest 72.8 182. 6 179. 6 221.6 216. 2 240.0 277. 0 291.0 305. 0 300. 0 48. 1 121. 3 117. 7 140. 9 140.9 154.3 180.4 195.4 209. 1 207.3 2.7 4. 6 4.3 7. 3 5.4 18. 0 11. 5 3.3 6.2 21.3 3. 1 13.9 7.2 21.6 16. 7 4.5 21.4 12. 7 7. 9 5. 2 8.5 22.9 13. 3 5. 9 9. 1 6. 8 24.8 16.0 14.2 25.7 10.0 7.4 12.2 10. 6 26. 2 8.4 10. 9 11. 9 25. 9 9. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 306. 2 299.9 298. 9 299. 6 298. 8 2 302. 9 211.4 208. 8 206.4 206.6 207. 2 208. 9 11. 1 12. 3 13.0 12. 2 11. 6 11.0 26. 1 25. 9 25. 6 25.9 25. 9 26.3 10. 6 10.8 10.8 10. 9 10. 9 10.9 8. 6 8,9 9. 0 9. 1 9. 2 9. 2 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 5.7 23.0 17. 3 30.6 28. 1 35. 1 39.9 38. 2 38.5 34. 9 6.4 23.3 22.6 32.8 26.2 40.0 41.2 37.2 39.4 35.0 -0.7 -.3 -5.3 — 2. 2 1. 9 -4.9 -1.3 1.0 -1.0 —.2 38.3 33. 1 34. 1 34. 9 33. 9 2 36. 6 40.9 32.5 34.5 34. 5 34.2 2 37. 0 -2.6 .6 —.4 .4 -.3 -.4 1 2 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 23.) Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totali because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (eicept as noted). 21 CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits, both before and after taxes, rose in the fourth quarter of last year. §iyJ§NS0F DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 60 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PROFITS BEFORE TAXES17 H 1949 1950 195! 1952 1953 1954 1954 •^NO ALLOWANCE FOR INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. •^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1939 1944 19461948- ._ 1949 -. 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ Corporate tax liability _ - __- _-_ 6. 4 23.3 22. 6 32.8 26. 2 40.0 41. 2 37.2 39. 4 35.0 1. 4 12.9 9. 1 12. 5 10. 4 17.8 22.5 20.0 21. 1 17.2 _ __ 40. 9 32.5 34. 5 34.5 34.2 '37. 0 21.9 17. 4 17.0 17.0 16.8 1 18. 2 _ _ ___ Corporate profits after taxes Total 5.0 10. 4 13.4 20. 3 15.8 22. 1 18.7 17. 2 18.3 17.8 Dividend payment! 3.8 4. 7 5.8 7.2 7. 5 9.2 9. 1 9. 1 9.4 9.9 Undistributed profits 1.2 5. 7 7. 7 13.0 8.3 12. 9 9. 6 8. 1 8.9 8.0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1953: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth Quarter I'rrllmhmry I'rrlmmmry estimates by Council of Economic ECOE Advisers. " p, - 21 - for • 'profits " • before ' - taxes aann d inventory valuation adjustment, n i l -Ki'o '•'lull will not in'ccssnrily add to totals because be of rounding. 19.0 15. 1 17. 5 17.5 17.4 1 IS.S 9. 5 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.8 10. 4 9. 5 5. 5 7. 9 7.9 7.6 J 8. 4 Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income in January declined slightly. An increase of over $1 billion (seasonally adjusted annual fate) in wages and salaries was more than offset by a $1'/2 billion decline in dividends, which followed the large year-end extra and special payments made in December. An increase of $400 million in contributions for social insurance also contributed to the personal income decline. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME* LABOR INCOME FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME TRANSFER PAYMENTS :BUSINESS,PROFESSIONAL,AND RENTAL INCOME 'DIVIDENDS AND PERSONAL INTEREST I I I I I I I I SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1939 1946 1948 1949 _ _ > _ _ _ _ _ „ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 72.9 178. 0 208.7 206. 8 227. 1 255.3 271.2 286. 1 286.5 1953: December... 1954: January February March ApriL May June July August September. _ October November December 1955: January < _ _ _ 287. 0 284.9 285.0 285. 0 284.4 286.2 286.5 285.7 285.4 286.6 286. 3 289. 3 291. 4 290. 7 1 3 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Less: PerLabor income Proprietors' income sonal con- NonagriRental (wage and Transfer Personal tributions cultural salary disBusiness income Divi- interest payfor social personal2 dends income ments of bursements Farm and proinsurand other 1 income fessional persons ance labor income) 0. 6 67. 1 3.0 2. 7 3.8 5.8 46.6 7.3 4.3 2.0 11.4 161. 1 7.6 6.2 5.8 113.8 21. 3 13. 9 2. 2 9.0 7.2 188. 5 7.2 21.6 11.3 137.9 16.7 2.2 12.4 7.5 21.4 9. 8 190.8 7.9 137. 4 12.7 8 2. 9 9.2 10. 6 210. 5 22. 9 8.5 15. 1 150.3 13. 3 3.4 12.6 235. 7 9. 1 9. 1 11. 6 175.6 24.8 16.0 3.8 12. 3 9. 1 253.3 25.7 10.0 13.1 14,2 190.6 4. 0 9.4 13.8 26.2 10.6 270.0 204. 4 13. 5 12.2 4. 7 9.9 14. 4 15. 9 270. 7 25. 9 10. 9 202. 3 11.9 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 4. 1 14. 1 14. 4 269. 6 9.6 10.9 202. 7 13.4 25. 8 4. 7 9.7 14.2 267. 9 14.8 10.9 13.2 25. 5 201.3 4.8 9.6 15.0 268. 2 10.8 14.3 25. 6 201.3 13. 2 4.7 9.6 268. 8 15. 8 25.6 10. 8 14.3 201. 1 12.5 4. 6 269. j 15.9 9.6 14.4 10. 8 200.9 11.5 25. 9 4.6 269. 7 9.6 14.4 15. 8 11.0 201.6 12.6 25.8 r . 7 9.6 14.4 15. 8 10.9 2-0. n 202. 1 12.2 26. 0 «. 5 2~U C» 9.7 14. 5 15. 8 26.0 10. 8 202. 3 11. 1 15. 5 9.8 LU 2 14.5 10. 9 202. 1 11.4 25.9 16. 0 14. 6 9.8 1 l,'l. 1 25. 9 11.0 202. 0 11.8 14. 6 1 6. 5 9.8 "2. 3 25.9 10. 9 202. 7 10. 4 ' - <» ; ! 1 6, 1 M. 7 9. 9 i \, C> 26. 2 10. 9 11.2 204.7 III 7 M. 7 11. 5 i "li, .'i 26. 6 11. 0 11.3 204. 4 1C. c, M). 0 1 1. 0 1-1. 7 2(i 6 -» 1 ! 11. 3 205. 6 Compensation of employees (see p. 21) excluding employer contributions for social iiisiirunn\ Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, furm WUJM<:;, us:ii* cultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations, NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. i i i i i i i i ::?, J lurlijtlfin $2.7 MllJun Nuttmml dividend, umat of wltlrli **-u^ i».»M In * I'rnUmimif y i>nlliti»l0.*' «'p Ufa tiin itt tmlf'if th 23 DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income rose $2.7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the third and fourth quarters of last year. Since consumer spending rose somewhat more, both the dollar amount and the rate of consumer saving decreased slightly. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1954 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Equals : Personal Disposable income Personal l taxes personal income Period Less: Personal consumption expenditures Total Equals: Saving as percent of disPersonal posable NonDurable durable saving Services income goods goods Billions of dollars 1939 1944 1946_. 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 ... 1953: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1954: First quarter. __ Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter _ _ _ . 72.9 165.7 178.0 208.7 206.8 227. 1 255.3 271.2 286. 1 286. 5 2.4 18.9 18.8 21. 1 18.7 20.9 29. 3 34.4 36.0 32. 9 70.4 146.8 159.2 187.6 188.2 206. 1 226. 1 236.9 250. 1 253. 5 67.6 109.8 146. 6 177.6 180.6 194.0 208. 3 218.4 230. 1 234. 0 6.7 25.8 35. 1 6.8 65.4 37.7 46. 2 15. 9 84. 5 22. 2 98.7 56.7 23.6 96.9 60. 1 28. 6 100.4 65.0 27. 1 70. 1 111. 1 116.0 75.6 26.8 81.4 29. 7 118.9 28. 9 120. 5 84.6 Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rates 2.9 36.9 12. 6 10.0 7.6 12. 1 17.7 18.4 20.0 19. 5 4. 1 25.2 7. 9 5.3 4. 0 5.9 7.8 7.8 8.0 7.7 287.5 287.3 285. 1 285.7 286. 2 289.0 36.3 36. 1 32.8 32. 9 32. 9 33. 1 251. 2 251.2 252.3 252. 9 253. 2 255.9 231. 2 229.7 230.5 233. 1 234. 8 237. 7 20.0 21.5 21.8 19.7 18. 4 18. 2 8.0 8. 6 8. 6 7.8 7. 3 7. 1 i Includes such items as fines, penalties, and donations. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 24 30.3 28.0 28.0 28.8 28.9 29.9 118. 6 118. 7 118.8 120.0 121. 1 122. 1 82.3 83.0 83. 6 84.3 84. 8 85. 7 Source: Department of Commerce. PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE INCOME Per capita disposable income in both current and constant dollars rose in the fourth quarter, reversing the mild declines which had been experienced during the earlier quarters of 1954. DOLLA =?S 2,000 DC)LLARS 2,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1954 PRICES^-V _^>-~ ^•^s*^** 1,500 *.«* 1 -***^ T 1,500 CURRENT PRICES _/" 1,000 1,000 0 1 1 1 1 1950 - 1 1 1951 1 i 1 1 1952 1 1 1 i I 1954 1953 i i 0 1955 %EE FOOTNOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. Total disposable personal Per capita disposable perincome (billions of dollars)1 sonal income (dollars)1 Period 1954 prices 2 Current prices 1939 . 1944 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 __ _ . __ __ --- -- _. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS .. - _ _ 70.4 146.8 159.2 187.6 188. 2 206. 1 226. 1 236.9 250. 1 253.5 136.3 224.1 219. 3 209.6 212.1 230. 3 233.8 239.5 250.9 253. 5 Current prices 538 1,060 1, 126 1,279 1,261 1,359 1,465 1,508 1,567 1,561 1954 prices 2 Population (thousands) 8 1,041 1,618 1,551 1,429 1,422 1,518 1,515 1,525 1, 572 1, 561 131, 028 138, 397 141, 389 146, 631 149, 188 151, 683 154, 360 157, 028 159, 643 162, 409 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1953: Third quarterFourth quarter 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter - - --_ 251.2 251.2 250.9 250.4 1,570 1,562 1,568 1, 557 160, 030 160, 768 252. 3 252.9 253.2 255.9 251.8 252.6 252.9 256. 7 1,563 1,560 1,555 1,564 1,560 1,558 1,553 1, 569 161, 439 162, 075 162, 806 163, 582 i Income less taxes. a Dollar estimates in current prices divided by consumer price index on base 1954=100. »Includes armed forces overseas. Annual data as of July 1; Quarterly data centered In the middle of the period, Interpolated from monthly flgurjes. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. 25 FARM INCOME In January, farmers received about 5 percent less from cash marketings and Government payments than a year earlier. Receipts from livestock and products were down 9 percent, due primarily to lower prices for hogs and eggs/ receipts from crops were down 2 percent, with reduced marketings more than offsetting the effect of higner prices. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 5 5 1955 I960 NOTE: FARM INCOME CONSISTS OF CASH RECEIPTS FROM MARKETINGS AND GOVERNMENT PAYMENTS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Parity index (prices paid, Cash receipts from marketings interest, taxes, and wage rates), Livestock and Crops 1954=100! products 44 275 377 753 65 945 74 903 1, 144 93 1,095 1,423 89 1,049 1,280 91 1,029 1,331 1,099 100 1,634 102 1,187 1,537 99 1, 179 1,439 100 1, 106 1,390 99 1, 466 1, 461 100 1, 421 1,276 100 698 1, 308 101 554 1,458 101 506 1, 395 101 536 1 3 450 100 719 1,351 100 929 1, 258 1,111 100 1,358 100 1,780 1, 398 99 2,032 1,465 99 1,655 1, 517 99 1,474 1, 305 101 1, 291 1,245 Farm income (millions of dollars, current prices) Cash receipts and Government payments Period 1939 monthly average 1944 monthly average., 1946 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1950 monthly average 1951 monthly average 1952 monthly average 1 953 monthly average 1954 monthly average 1953: December 1 954 • January February March „ April ~ May June 1 : Julv .. \ _ - _ ___ ,~ „..-_ _„ If "llHf. Si ph'tnl u«r < I 'l.nlM'r ''- « v r w t » t « r 1 » MM - n l u - i , I'*., . 2, f>71 ,Utni:i: \ 715 1,763 2, 111 2,539 2,344 2,384 2,757 2,747 2,636 2,518 2, 939 2,715 2,020 2,036 1,934 2,015 2,109 2,205 2,481 3, 190 3, 506 3, 191 2, 809 , f.Mlt It-HKI. to th«< liuar i >, I Jr-l I.- t'?*'i^ JtKlm nti |> * Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Agriculture. Farm income (millions of dollars, 1954 prices) * 1,625 2,712 2,853 2,730 2,634 2,620 2,757 2,693 2,663 2,518 2,969 2,715 2,020 2,016 1,915 1,995 2,109 2,205 2,481 3,190 3,541 3,223 2,837 2,546 CREDIT, MONEY, AND FEDERAL FINANCE BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Loans of commercial banks declined by %^/2 billion in January, and total investments were unchanged. The reduction in loans was substantially less this year than in early 1954. "Free" reserves of member banks (excess reserves less borrowings at Federal Reserve Banks) continued to decline in January and February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS TOTAL' 120 SO I 20 80 BANK LOANS*, 40 <> 20 40 20 I I I I I I I I I 1950 1951 1952 1953 END OF MONTH SOURCE:BOARD OF GOVERNORS Of THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISiRS [Billions of dollars] All commercial banks End of period 1939 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 3 _ > _ 1954 _ __ 1953: December . _ 1954 1 January February March __ April May June3 July 3 August 3 September October 3 _ 3 November3 December 1955: January 3 3 _ February .- Total loans and investments 40.7 120.2 126. 7 132.6 141. 6 145.7 156.8 145.7 145.3 144. 9 142.8 144. 1 145.7 146. 4 147.3 149.5 150. 6 154. 1 155. 8 156. 8 156.5 Investments Loans 17.2 43.0 52.2 57.7 64. 2 67.6 71. 2 67.6 66.5 66.9 67. 1 66. 8 67. 1 67.3 67.3 66.5 67.3 67.8 69.5 71.2 70. 7 Total 23.4 77.2 74.4 74.9 77.5 78. 1 85,7 78. 1 78. 9 78.0 75.7 77.4 78.6 79.0 80. 0 83.0 83.3 86.3 86.3 85.7 85. 7 U. S. GovOther ernment securities securities 7. 1 16. 3 10.2 67.0 12.4 62.0 13.3 61.5 14. 1 63. 3 14.7 63.4 16. 2 69.5 14.7 63.4 14.7 64. 2 15. 0 63.0 15. 1 60. 7 15. 2 62. 1 15.3 63.3 15. 5 63.5 15.7 64.3 15.7 67.3 16. 0 67.3 16. 1 70. 2 16. 2 70.2 16.2 69.5 16.6 69. 1 Weekly reporting member banks Business loans 1 4.7 13.9 17.9 21. 6 23.4 23.4 22. 5 23.4 22.5 22.4 22.8 22.2 21.9 21.9 21. 5 20.8 21.0 21.0 22.1 22.5 22. 1 22. 2 All member banks 2 BorrowReserve balances ings at Federal Required Excess Reserve Banks 6.0 17.0 15.6 18. 5 19.6 19. 3 18.5 19. 2 19.2 18. 9 18.9 18.6 18.8 18.8 18.3 17.6 17. 6 18.2 18.4 18.6 18.4 18.2 1 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans; revised series beginning January 1952. * Preliminary estimates. * Data are averages of daily figures on balances and borrowings during the period. Member banks Include, besides all national banks, those State banks that have taken membership in the Federal Keserve System. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve.System. 4.4 .8 .8 .8 .7 .7 .8 .7 .9 .6 .7 .8 .7 .9 .8 .8 .8 .7 .8 .7 .7 .6 0.0 .1 .1 .3 .8 .8 .1 .4 .1 .3 .2 .1 .2 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 .2 .3 .4 27 CONSUMER CREDIT Total consumer credit outstanding declined by $400 million in January, due largely to a decline in charge account credit which usually occurs at this time of year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1955 1950 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Total consumer End of period credit outstanding 1939 1944 1946 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 _ 1953: December. 1954: January.-, February.. March April Mav June July August SeptemberOctober. _ _ NovemberDecember. 1955: January... 28 7,222 5, 111 85384 14,411 17, 104 20, 813 21, 468 25, 827 29, 537 30, 125 29, 537 28, 724 28, 140 2V, 833 28, 095 28, 372 28, 666 28, 725 28, 736 28, 856 28, 975 29, 209 30, 125 29, 684 Noninstalment credit outstanding Instalment credit outstanding Total 4,503 2, 176 4, 172 8,968 11,516 14, 490 14, 837 18, 684 22, 187 22, 467 22, 187 21, 836 21, 582 21, 381 21, 426 21, 487 21, 717 21, 849 21, 901 21, 935 21, 952 22,014 22, 467J 22, 436 Automobile paper * 1,497 397 981 3,054 4, 699 6,342 b, 242 8,099 10, 341 10, 396 10, 341 10, 158 10, 010 9, 919 9,942 10, 002 10, 168 10, 298 10, 349 10, 365 10, 340 10, 296 10, 396 10, 459 Other Repair and consumer moderni- Personal zation loans goods paper l loans * 1, 620 791 1,290 2,842 3,486 4, 337 4,270 5,328 5,831 5,668 5,831 5, 697 5,588 5,443 5,413 5, 370 5, 367 5, 328 5, 294 5,287 5, 324 5, 398 5, 668 5, 609 298 119 405 843 887 1, 006 1,090 1,406 1,649 1,616 1,649 1,635 1. 623 li 614 1, 617 1, 634 1, 635 1, 637 1, 642 1, 612 1, 637 1 , 03 1 1, 010 1, 574 1. 088 ' 869 1,496 2,229 2,444 2,805 3,235 3,851 4, 366 4,787 4,366 4,346 4,361 4,405 4,454 4,481 4, 547 4, 586 4, 016 4, (HI 4, 651 4, OS!) 4, 787 4, 794 Total 2,719 2,935 4,212 5,443 5,588 6,323 6,631 7, 143 7, 350 7,658 7, 350 6, 888 6,558 6,452 6,669 6, 885 6, 949 0, 870 0, 835 6, 921 7, 023 7, 195 7, 058 7, 248 Charge accounts 1,414 1.517 2, 076 2,713 2, 680 3,006 3,096 3,342 3,411 3, 518 3,411 3,002 2,682 2,564 2, 723 2, 786 2, 819 2, 773 2, 734 2, 807 2, 892 3, 042 3, 518 3, 225 InstalInstalment ment credit 3 credit ex3 repaid tended 4,894 8,495 15, 540 18, 002 21, 256 22, 791 28, 397 30, 321 29, 304 2,696 1,947 1,956 2, 380 2, 400 2, 397 2, 703 2, 549 2, 477 2, 441 2,454 2, 554 3, 046 2, 389 i Includes all consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and other consumer goods and secured by the items purchased. * Includes only such loans held by financial institutions; those held by retail outlets are included in "other consumer goods paper." » Credit extended or repaid during the period. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 4,854 6,785 13, 267 15, 454 18, 282 22, 444 24, 550 26, 818 29, 024 2,410 2,298 2,210 2, 581 2, 355 2, 330 2, 473 2,417 2, 425 2, 407 2, 437 2,492 2, 593 2,420 In recent weeks the general trend of yields on Federal, municipal, and corporate bonds has continued upward. Rates on Treasury bills declined slightly in the second week of March but were still appreciably above the 1954 level. PERCENT PER ANNUM 4 PERCENT PER ANNUM TREASURY BILLS \ 1 t ii 1954 I I I I t I I 1951 i960 1953 1952 1939 1948 1949 1950 1951 - _ 1952 _ _ _ 1953 1954 1954: January February March April AM.O. J Mav -_- _- . __ June > _ _ _ _ July August . _ _ September October November December 1955: January. February. Week ended: 1955: February 5 12 March 19 26._ _ - _ 5 _ 12 [Percent per annum] U. S. Government security yields High-grade 3-month Taxable bonds 2 municipal Treasury bonds 8 Old series 3 New series 4 bills * 0.023 2. 76 1.040 2.44 2.40 1. 102 2.21 2.31 2.32 1.218 1.98 1.552 2. 57 2. 00 1.766 2.68 2. 19 2. 93 1. 931 2. 72 3. 16 . 953 2. 53 2.70 2.37 1. 214 2. 68 2. 90 2. 50 ' .984 2.60 2.85 2.39 1.053 2. 51 2.73 2.38 1.011 2.47 2.70 2.47 .782 2. 52 2.72 2.49 .650 2.54 2. 70 2.48 . 710 2.62 2.47 2.31 .892 2.48 2. 60 2.23 1. 007 2. 51 2.64 2. 29 2,52 .987 2.32 2. 65 . 948 2. 55 2.29 2.68 1. 174 2. 57 2. 68 2.33 1.257 2. 65 2.39 4 2. 76 1. 177 2.72 2. 92 2. 42 1. 134 1.088 1. 130 1. 355 1. 417 1.231 2. 70 2. 69 2. 72 2. 77 2.75 2.72 1 Rate on new issues within period. 2 Bonds in this classification were first issued in March 1941. a Beginning April 1952, 2H-percent bonds first callable after 12 years. Prior to that, only bonds due or callable after 15 years were included. M I > t \ I I 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period I I 4 2. 90 2. 91 2.93 2. 94 2.93 2.92 2. 43 2.41 2.41 2. 43 2.46 2.45 3.01 2.82 2.66 2.62 2. 86 2.96 3. 20 2. 90 3.06 2.95 2.86 2.85 2.88 2.90 2.89 2.87 2.89 2.87 2.89 2.90 2.93 2.99 4.96 3.47 3.42 3.24 3.41 3.52 3.74 3.51 3.71 3.61 3.51 3.47 3.47 3.49 3.50 3.49 3.47 3.46 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.47 Prime commercial paper, 4^6 months 0.59 1.44 1.49 1.45 2. 16 2.33 2.52 1.58 2. 11 2.00 2.00 1.76 1.58 1.56 1.45 1.33 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.47 1.68 2. 97 2.97 2. 99 3.02 3.03 3.04 3.46 3.47 3.47 3.48 3.48 3.49 1. 66 1.69 1. 69 1.69 1.69 1.69 Corporate bonds ( Moody 's) Aaa Baa -percent bonds of 1978-83, issued in May 1953; and 3-percent bonds of 1995, issued in February 1955. a Standard and Poor's. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. OQ Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. "^ MONEY SUPPLY The privately held money supply remained unchanged between December and January, although a reduction is usual at this time of year. The total at the end of January was almost $10 billion higher than a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF MONTH TOTAL DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY TOTAL EXCLUDING U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS 160 160 120 120 DEMAND DEPOSITS ADJUSTED TIME DEPOSITS CURRENCY OUTSIDE BANKS ^ 1951 I95E COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD C [Billions of dollars] Total deposits and currency End of period 1939 ,. 1944-_- _ „ 1946 1948--.. . „ 1949 1950 1951 1052. 1953-. ._ 4 „ 1954 1953: December 195 J : January February March _ _ __ „ April Mav.. _ , _ • h i n t '4. . , , . , •hilv .. A u n i H t . 4 - 4- _ __ _ _ „ „„ N»-j ilrtnbor nrt..l..T « N < « \ I'whrr * 1 »r.','inhi'l i U ', , .Ifi.ni.'l! ' 4 ' . . . ..„ 64.7 151.4 167. 5 172.7 173. 9 180.6 189.9 200. 4 205.7 214. 5 205.7 203. 5 202.4 201. 3 202.3 203.6 205. 3 204.8 206. 3 207.7 211. 4 2 III 3 LM i, f> i»i:', ;. U.S. Government deposits l 1.5 21. 2 3.5 3.6 4. 1 3.7 3.9 5.6 4.8 5. 1 4.8 3.7 5.0 6. 1 5.0 5.6 6.8 4.4 6.0 5.2 6.6 7. 5 5. 1 •1. "2 Total excluding U. S. Government deposits (privately held money supply) Demand Currency Time deposits outside Total deposits 3 adjusted 2 banks 27. 1 29. 8 6. 4 63.3 39.8 66. 9 23.5 130. 2 54. 0 83.3 26.7 164.0 57.5 85.5 26. 1 169. 1 58.6 25.4 85.8 169.8 59.2 25.4 92.3 176.9 61.4 98.2 26. 3 186.0 65.8 101. 5 27.5 194. 8 70.4 102.5 28. 1 200.9 75. 1 106.9 27.4 209.4 70.4 102.5 28. 1 200. 9 70.6 102.3 26.9 199.8 71.0 99. 6 26.9 197.4 71.7 26.9 96.7 195.2 72.0 26.7 98. 6 197.3 72. 5 98.7 26. 8 198.0 73.3 27. 1 98. 1 198. 5 73.7 100.0 26. 8 200. 4 74.0 99.4 26.9 200. 3 74.4 101. 2 26.9 202. 5 74.7 26.9 103. 1 204.8 74.3 104. 1 205. 8 27.5 75. 1 27.4 106. 9 209. 4 75.4 26. 8 107. 2 209. 4 ix'irial un<! snvini-s hunks, :m<l IT. R, Treasurer's time deposits, open account. , !•".•. c:r li if <>ID;; in |>n»v..ss of rollort ion, i| S:»vfnr- :*->:, t ( < i H ( but t-xciudcs interbank deposits. i.N of the Fodwil Reserve System. JKXiOIJ AIT A O Between December and January, budget receipts increased $1 billion and budget expenditures declined $1 .4 billion, due largely to seasonal factors. The cumulative deficit through January of the current fiscal year was $9.6 billion compared with $8.9 billion at the same time a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL BUDGET EXPENDITURES I95O 1951 1952 NET BUDGET RECEIPTS 1953 1954 1954 1955 BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) NATIONAL SECURITY PROGRAMS 75 1955 (MAGNIFIED SCALE) - II -10 1950 * ESTIMATED 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 £ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 FISCAL YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMEm AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET [Billions of dollars] Net budget receipts Period Fiscal year 1944 Fiscal year 1947 Fiscal year 1948 Fiscal year 1949 Fiscal year 1950 Fiscal vear 1951 Fiscal year 1952 Fiscal year 1953 Fiscal year 1954 Fiscal year 1955 (estimated) - „ 1953: December _ _1954: January February March April May __ _ __ June July _ _ _ _ August September October.. November ... _ _ December 1955: January Cumulative totals for first 7 months : Fiscal year 1954 • Fiscal year 1955 - -- _ _ _ _ _ - __ - -« _ _ _ _ _ _ 43.6 39.8 41. 5 37.7 36. 5 47. 6 61. 4 64.8 64. 7 59.0 4.6 5.0 5.4 11. 4 2.8 3. 6 10.6 2.8 3.9 5.0 2.6 4.2 3.7 4.7 30.8 26. 9 Budget expenditures National Total security 1 95. 1 75.8 14.4 39.0 11.8 33. 1 39. 5 12.9 39.6 13.0 44. 1 22. 3 65.4 43.8 74.3 50.3 67. 8 46.5 63.5 40.6 6.4 4.2 5.2 3.8 4. 7 3.6 5.6 3.9 3.7 5.3 5.2 3.3 7.3 4.5 4.8 3.2 6. 7 3.4 5.0 3.3 4.9 3.3 3.8 3.3 6.3 3. 7 4.9 3.2 39.7 36.5 27.6 23.3 Budget surplus (+) or deficit (— ) Public debt (end of period) 2 -51.4 + .8 + 8.4 18 -3. 1 + 3.5 -4.0 -9.4 -3. 1 -4.5 -1.8 —.2 +.7 + 5.9 -2.5 -1.6 + 3.3 -2.0 2 8 —.1 -2.2 +.4 -2.5 -.3 202. 6 258. 4 252.4 252.8 257.4 255. 3 259.2 266. 1 271.3 274. 5 275.2 274.9 274. 9 270.3 271. 1 273.6 271. 3 271.0 275.0 274.8 278.8 278.9 278.8 278.5 -8. 9 9. 6 274.9 278.5 * Revised to include the items classified as "national security" in The Budget of The United States Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO, 1956. These expenditure items are: MOitary functions of Defense Department, mutual military program, development and control of atomic energy, and allocation ,of critical and strategic materials. a Includes guaranteed securities, except those held by the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. NOTE.—Beginning with February 1954, the reporting of budget receipts and expenditures is on a basis consistent with that used in preparing budget estimates. The figures shown above for fiscal years 1953 and 1954 are those published by the Treasury Department on the new basis. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 01 r £i*j£i,Et*uj UAon JK£-ur,ir A o r AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC For the calendar year 1954 the cash deficit was $1.1 billion, about $5 billion less than in 1953. The cash deficit for the quarter ending in December was $3.9 billion, reflecting to a considerable degree the seasonally low receipts during the first half of the fiscal year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 25 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 25 1951 19 5 4"" -EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS- EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS- I954-* 1951 CALENDAR YEARS ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES, SOURCES: BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AND TREASURY DEPARTMENT. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVIS1RS [Millions of dollars] Cash receipts Cash payfrom the , ments to public the public Calendar year Calendar year total: 1946 . . 1947 . 1948 . 1949 . I960 1951—. 1952 1953 19541. Quarterly totals, not adjusted for seasonal variation: 1953: First quarter Second quarter. TMrd quarter .. . . .. Fourth quarter 1954: J First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter _ _ _ __ Excess of receipts (+) or payments (— ) 41,441 44, 282 44, 922 41, 346 42, 419 59, 278 71, 339 70, 041 68, 562 41, 399 38 616 36, 897 42, 642 41, 969 58, 034 72, 980 76, 194 69, 622 +5 666 +8. 027 — 1, 295 +450 + 1,244 — 1, 641 —6, 153 — 1, 060 22, 539 18, 674 15, 357 13, 471 18, 166 21, 049 18, 870 18, 109 + 4, 373 —2 375 — 3, 513 —4 638 23, 693 19, 115 13, 501 12, 253 16, 459 18, 431 18, 582 16. 150 + 7 234 + 684 — 5, 082 -3.897 i Preliminary estimates. NOTB.—Detail will not n»e«i§arily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Bureau of the Budget and Treasury Department. 32 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Price 20 cents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.50 foreign. +42