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101st Congress, 2d Session

Economic Indicators
JUNE 1990
(Includes data available as of June 29, 1990)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers
JUL 1 8 1990
FEDERAL RESERVE
BANK Of CHICAGO

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1990

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.1
percent (annual rate) or $92.9 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.9 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 5.4 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600
-^
__

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

5,200

5,200
^

~~

GNP

-

^S^

4,800

4,800
-

^

4,400

4,000

3,600

3,200

L
—
—

4,400

^

^^

-

_---

4,000
,--''"

-

^

3,600

\

GNP

,-•"""
sr

IN 1982 DOLLAR S

^s

-

^

3,200
-

2,800

2,400

2,800

111

1 1 1

1982

1

1983

1 1
1984

1

1 1
1985

1

1 1
1986

1

1 1
1987

\

\ \
1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1 1
1989

1

1 1
1990

2.400

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6
5,234.0

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
3,471.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3
773.4

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
-58.9
780
-97.4
112 6
-73.7
47 1

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7
625.9

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
561.2
621.3
673.0

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9
1,036.6

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
403.2

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0
302.2

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.8
83.3
101.1

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3
4,665.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
749.7

14.1
25 8
-67.9
-108.9
114 6

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4
482.6

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3
597.2

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9
947.5

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.1

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7
296.8

1988- TH
IV

4,926.9
5,017.3

3,263.4
3,324.0

771.1
752.8

-66.2
70 8

556.8
579.7

623.0
650.5

958.6
1,011.4

367.5
406.4

1989- I

5,113.1 . 3,381.4
5,201.7
3,444.1
5,282.0
3,508.1
5,340.2
3,550.6

769.6
775.0
779.1
770.1

-54.0
50 6
-45.1
-38.8

605.6
626.1
628.5
643.5

659.6
676.6
673.6
682.3

1,016.0
1,033.2
1,038.9
1,058.3

1990- I '

5,433.1

752.9

— 32.0

664.7

696.6

1,082.9

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
198419851986:
1987-

n
m
rv

1

Gross
national
product

3,629.4

Net
exports

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
544.5
587.6
633.4

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412,8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0
5,206.9

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,636.8
4,954.3
5,281.1

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1
91.3

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1
559.4

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4
4,602.5

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2
4,780.4

296.1
300.5

71.4
105.9

591.0
604.9

4,882.3
4,998.7

4,993.1
5,088.1

399.0
406.0
402.7
405.1

298.7
301.3
307.8
300.9

100.4
104.7
94.9
104.2

617.0
627.2
636.2
653.2

5,085.4
5,174.3
5,253.6
5,314.2

5,167.1
5,252.3
5,326.1
5,379.0

413.7

308.6

105.1

669.2

5,444.8

5,465.1

Federal
Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment
Personal
consumption
expenditures

Total

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4
4,144.1

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4
2,669.6

509.3
545.5
447.3
504.0
658.4
637.0
639.6
674.0
715.8
720.7

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8
510.3

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1
188.5

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6
3,935.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8
2,532.3

408.8
577.2
655.7
648.0
615.2
721.1

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7
472.7

1988: HI
IV

4,042.7
4,069.4

2,608.1
2,627.7

733.6
709.1

1989: I
II

m
IV

4,106.8
4,132.5
4,162.9
4,174.1

2,641.0
2,653.7
2,690.1
2,693.7

1990- I '

4,193.4

2,704.3

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
19841985:
19861987:

1

Gross
national
product

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services
Change
in
business
inventories

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

-6.9
57.0
49.4
23.9
-24.5
26.3
64
199
62.3 -84.0
9.1
1043
5.6 -129.7
23.7
1157
27.9 -74.9
21.9
52 6

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1
589.2

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0
641.8

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1
806.4

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3
191.9

11.7
59 3
27.0 -46.2
41.7 -94.8
7.7 -125.3
20 8 -135.4
56.6 -109.8

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5
484.1

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9
593.9

501.0
492.7

195.1
198.1

37.5
18.3

-74.9
-73.8

531.9
551.4

721.1
719.8
724.6
717.3

501.0
511.4
517.9
510.8

195.6
189.3
184.8
184.3

24.5
19.1
21.9
22.2

-55.0
51 2
-57.1
-47.2

705.4

520.4

188.6

-3.6

-33.6

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

National
defense

Nondefense

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9
337.1

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.2
261.5
256.5

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.4
67.4
80.6

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2
469.3

3,194.0
3,225,0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5
4,122.2

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3
4,196.7

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0
792.1

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4
344.9

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8
266.7

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6
78.2

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6
447.2

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4
3,879.0

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0
4,045.5

606.9
625.2

775.9
806.4

319.8
343.9

258.8
261.6

61.0
82.3

456.1
462.5

4,005.2
4,051.0

4,117.6
4,143.2

569.7
587.5
593.1
606.6

624.6
638.7
650.2
653.8

799.7
810.3
805.3
810.4

335.5
343.6
336.1
333.3

254.4
255.8
260.1
255.7

81.1
87.8
76.0
77.7

464.2
466.7
469.2
477.0

4,082.3
4,113.5
4,141.0
4,151.9

4,161.8
4,183.7
4,220.0
4,221.4

625.1

658.7

817.3

335.2

254.5

80.7

482.1

4,197.0

4,227.0

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Total

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysi

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

Gross
national
product

Total

Durable
goods

Gross private
domestic investment

ble goods

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3
126.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5
130.0

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
110.1
111.3

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3
122.6

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9
141.2

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7
100.3

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7
124.5

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3
106.2

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7
104.9

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9
119.6

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0
117.8

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6
125.3

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
128.8
135.0

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1
118.6

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8
121.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2
109.0

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
113.7

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9
131.5

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0
97.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
118.7

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0
99.7

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4
100.6

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
112.5

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7
111.3

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7
116.8

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0
125.1

1988: m

121.9
123.3

125.1
126.5

110.2
111.2

117.1
118.2

135.6
137.3

98.4
100.6

119.6
120.4

104.7
105.1

102.7
104.0

114.9
118.2

114.4
114.9

117.1
128.7

129.6
130.8

1989: I

n
m
rv

124.5
125.9
126.9
127.9

128.0
129.8
130.4
131.8

111.2
110.8
111.4
111.7

120.0
123.3
122.9
124.0

139.0
140.4
141.8
143.4

100.4
100.2
100.3
100.1

122.1
124.2
125.6
126.2

106.3
106.6
106.0
106.1

105.6
105.9
103.6
104.4

118.9
118.2
119.8
121.5

117.4
117.8
118.3
117.7

123.8
119.2
125.0
134.2

132.9
134.4
135.6
136.9

1990: I r

129.6

134.2

112.8

127.9

145.3

101.1

126.5

106.3

105.8

123.4

121.2

130.2

138.8

1980
1981
1982 . .
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987:

rv

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross national product
Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 . . .
1989
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984- IV
1985: IV
1986- IV
1987: IV
1988- m
IV
1989- I

n.

IV
1990: I r

-0.2
1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
3.0
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
6.6
3.2
2.7
3.7
2.5
3.0
1.1
1.9

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
7.2
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
9.0
7.5
7.5
7.9
7.1
6.2
4.6
7.1

1980
1981

Ill

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

.

Implicit
price
deflator

Personal consumption expenditures

Chain price
index

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.2
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
4.9
2.8
3.5
6.0

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
4.1
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.4
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.6
3.2
3.2
5.4

NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quar-

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.5
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.0
2.9
3.6
6.4

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
7.3
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
3.6
7.5
7.6
7.1
7.6
7.6
4.9
9.2

-0.2
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4
2.7
5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
2.2
-.7
3.3
3.0
2.0
1.9
5.6
.5
1.6

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

10.9
9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.1
4.5
4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9
4.3
4.3
4.8
4.7
5.8
2.1
4.4
7.2

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1

3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9
4.4
4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9
4.4
3.9
4.6
4.8
5.7
1.9
4.4
7.5

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3
4.7
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9
4.5
4.6
4.9
4.8
6.3
2.2
4.4
7.5

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) 1

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

1980
1981
1982.
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:
1988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
UI
IV
1989- I
II
Ill
IV
1990- I
1

>

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,520.7
2,731.3
2,906.9
1,779.4
2,012.5
2.201.8
2,309.4
2,408.7
2,598.4
2,754.9
2,816.4
2,842.7
2,887.2
2,936.2
2,961.4
r
2,996.2

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,282.6
2,419.5
2,481.5
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,343.3
2,434.1
2,453.2
2,459.1
2,471.3
2,497.2
2,498.5
2,500.0

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Indirect
business
taxes 3

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
1.171
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.109
1.132
1.148
1.156
1.168
1.176
1.185
1.198

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123
.128
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.122
122
.124
.125
.126
.129
.131
.130

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.111
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.106
.108
.108
.110
.111
.112
.113
.115

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

3
4

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.781
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.734
.746
.756
.768
.778
.783
.795
.807

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.060
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.050
.053
.055
.057
.060
.061
.062
.062

Total

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103
.091
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.098
.102
.105
.096
.093
.091
.085
.085

Profits
tax
liability

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044
.040
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.041
.044
.045
.045
.041
.038
.037
.038

Profits
after
tax *

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.051
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.057
.058
.061
.051
.053
.053
.048
.047

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.908
21.393
21.411
18.770
19.422
19.784
20.116
20.650
21.176
21.469
21.446
21.356
21.364
21.522
21.488
21.375

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.252
15.907
16.725
12.866
13.208
13.735
14.341
15.008
15.535
16.024
16.213
16.407
16.625
16.843
17.089
17.247

Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

National
income

Period

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Nonfarm

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
4,266.5

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
3,144.4

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
46.2

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
305.9

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
7.9

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
301.3

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
272.0

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
290.7

-10.4
109
-5.8
1.7
6.7
-18.9
250
18 7

92
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
29.3

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
460.8

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3 312 8
3,473.1
•3,799.9

1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,778.7

28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
48,4

159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
280.3

15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
14.3

146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
308.2

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
276.2

13 4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
— 20.4

-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
52.4

266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
370.0

1988: HI
IV

4,005.7
4,097.4

2,935.1
2,997.2

37.7
32.0

289.3
296.3

16.3
16.1

330.9
340.2

284.1
298.7

314.4
318.8

304
-20.1

46.9
41.5

396.4
415.7

1989- I

n
m
IV

4,185.2
4,249.6
4,287.3
4,344.0

3,061.7
3,118.2
3,171.9
3,225.9

59.0
51.3
36.1
38.5

300.3
304.2
307.2
311.8

11.8
9.8
5.4
4.8

316.3
307.8
295.2
285.9

219.1
275.5
268.7
264.0

318.0
296.0
275.0
273.7

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3
-9.7

36.6
32.3
26.5
21.9

436.1
458.4
471.5
477.2

1990: I*

4,438.3

3,285.5

51.9

322.7

8.1

289.7

272.2

283.3

-11.1

17.5

480.4

198219831984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

1

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods
Total
personal
Period

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
85.8

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
1,123.4

99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.4

49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
76.7

208.4
215.3

162.7
166.1

466.4
471.0
486.1
469.5

211.7
212.9
225.6
205.3

489.9

219.0

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
594.9

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
200.1

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
84.0

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
244.5

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,874.4

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
7.1

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.8

786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,015.4

407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
536.8

126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
180.6

89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.7

163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
221.3

1,066.5
1,161.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,643.3

6.0
1.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
6.6

2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3

81.4
86.0

1,066.2
1,078.4

567.8
574.1

188.9
193.9

78.3
77.6

231.2
232.8

1,744.7
1,778.2

7.4
7.5

3.0
3.0

172.1
173.5
173.9
174.8

82.6
84.6
86.7
89.4

1,098.3
1,121.5
1,131.4
1,142.4

587.3
592.2
598.1
601.8

195.0
198.9
202.2
204.3

77.9
89.5
85.2
83.2

238.1
241.0
245.9
253.1

1,816.7
1,851.7
1,890.6
1,938.7

7.0
7.3
7.9
6.2

2.8
3.0
2.9
2.6

181.1

89.8

1,168.2

616.5

208.9

85.3

257.5

1,971.2

7.0

2.8

sumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
3,471.1

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
473.2

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
213.9

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
173.6

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
424.5

115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
196.3

3,263.4
3,324.0

452.5
467.4

IY

3,381.4
3,444.1
3,508.1
3,550.6

1990: I T

3,629.4

1982..
1983
1984..
1985
1986
1987.
1988
1989 .
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

... .

1988: m

... .

rv

1989: I

n
in

....

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)

Other

Other

Domestics

Imports

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $14.0 billion (annual rate) in May following an increase of $12.0 billion in April. The changes
were affected by decreases in subsidy payments to farm proprietors. Excluding these payments, personal income
increased $17.9 billion in May and $21.9 billion in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000 I

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

4,000

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

'

\

OTHER INCOME

800

1800

TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

400'

imilmii

Illllllllll

Illlllinil

1982

1983

1984

Illllllllll

1985

him miilimi
1986

1987

400

mill

Illlllillll

1988

1989

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

.personal
income

2 2584
2 5209

2 670 8
2 838 6
3 108 7
3 325 3
3 526 2
3 777 6
40645
4427 3

May

4 396 3
4 417 5

July

4443 7
44569
4467 1

Sept

Oct/
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan T....
Peb r

Mar ...

4 500 3
4 541 5
4 564 1
4 603 6
4 637 9
4 674 8

Apr

4686 8

T

r

May"..

4 700 8

Wage and
salary
disbursements *

1 372 0
1 510 3
1 586 1
1 6766

1 838 6
1 9754

2 094 8
2 2494

2 429 0
2 631 1
2 603 5
2 621 7
2 644 7
2 651 0
2 6684

2 693 4
2 694 7
2 712 2
2 724 7
2 747 9
2 763 9
2 780 3
2 790 6

Proprietor ' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

138 4
150 3
163 6
173 6
182 9
187 6
199 3
212 8
2289

248 3
2460

247 5
249 1
250 7
252 2
253 8
255 3
2569
2595

261 5
263 6
265 1
266 7

Farm

205
30 7
24 6
12 4
30 5
30 2
34 7
41 6
39 8
46 2
54 3
43 2
38 8
365
32 9
39 3
38 9
37 2
44 3
49 0
62 5
52 6
49 7

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2
Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Nonfarm

160 1
156 1
150 9
1784
204 0
225 6
247 2
270 0
2880

305 9
303 5
304 6
3063

308 0
3074

306 3
313 7
315 6
319 8
323 0
325 1
325 3
326 1

Less:
income of
persons 4

66
13 3
13 6
13 2
85
92
11 6
13 4
15 7
79
98
97
93
84
—16
80
102
12 2
97
7i
74
77
81

dividend
income

52 9
61 3
63 9
68 7
75 5
78 7
85 8
92 0
102 2
112 4
111 4
111 8
112 8
113 3
113 6
114 8
115 8
116 4
117 2
118 1
118 8
119 8
121 0

interest
income

payments 5

271 9
335 4
369 7
393 1
444 7

324 7
368 1
410 6
442 6
456 6

4780

4898

493 2
523 2
571.1

521 5
548 2

6574

632 3

6552

625.5
6309
6326
6364
6402

661 8
6650

667 9
6704

674 0
677 7
681 3
6834

685 2
6870
6890

691 2

584.7

644 6
653 1
651 4
672 4
671 1
674 1
672 4
675 1

4

contributions
for social
insurance

886
1045
112 3
120 1
132 7
1493
161 9
172 9
194.9
214 2
212.7
213 8
2148
215 2
216.3
217 8
217.9
219 0
2273

225 0
2275

225 5
227 6

personal
income 6

2 215 8

24656
2 618 7
2 799.0
3052 1
3 271 3
34694
3 7147
4,003.7
43596
4 320.5
4 352 6
4 383.1
4 3986
4 412.4
4 439 3
4 480.9
4505 1
4537 7
4567 3
45908
4612 6
46295

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
5
6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1990.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
^rr
&
3,800
J i

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
3,800
3,400

DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

n

£ep*^r~

3,000
2,600
2,200

'///f/u^-^

PERSC>NAL

7ZPZZ&

i^zzz***222

^rrrtZA
•zt^
—

•%ZZ^ - **~

3,400
3,000
2,600

OUTLAY:

SAVING

2,200
1,800

1,800

\

1,400

1

i i i

1

1

1

1

i i i

\

1

1

1

1

\

\

1

1

DOLLA *S * (RATIO SCALE)
16,000

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

1

1

1,400

14,000

X ..

12,000

-1

"

n "^"""^

12,000

•

r

16,000

— -~

r

14,000

->-

^ZZ~-'"

10,000

1

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

10,000
1982 DDL LARS

8,000

8,000

1

6,000

1

I i i

1

1

1983

1982

1

1

1

1984

1 1
1985

1 1 1
1986

1

1

1

1

1987

1 1
1988

Period

Personal
income

tax and
nontax
payments

Equals'
Disposable
income

Less:
Persona!
outlays *

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in

1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income

2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5
4,427.3

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.7
586.6
648.5

1,918.0

2,127.6
2,261.4
2,428.1
2,668.6
2,838.7
s',013.3
3,205.9
3,477.8
3,778.8

1

1982

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures

Current
dollars

dollars

8,421
9,243
9J24
10,340
11,257
11,861
12^469
13,140
14,116
15,186

9,722
9,769
9^724
9,930
10,419
10,625
10^905
10,970
11,337
11,680

8,320
8318
9,515
10,253
10,985
11^576
12,340
13,131
13,950

Billions of dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988.
1989

1
1989

1

1

1

6,000

1990

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

Less:
Personal

1

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars
1,781.1
1,968.1
2^107.5
2,297.4
2,504.5
2,713.3
2388.5
3,104.1
3,333.1
3,574.4

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
101.8
144.7
204.4

2,214.3

2,248.6
2,261.5
2,331.9
2,469.8
2,542.8
2,635.3
2,676.6
2,793.2
2,906.3

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent
7,607

8,783
8,794
8318
9,139
9,489
9,839

— 1.1

.5

7.1
7.5

227,754

10,303
10,546
10,729

2.1
4.9
2.0
2.6
.6
3.3
3.0

6.8
5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
3.2
4.2
5.4

230,182
232^549
234,829
237,051
239,322
241^660
243,985
246,378
248,831

— .5

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8
3,908.7

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4
589.2

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4
3,319.4

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4
3,177.6

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0
141.8

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2
2,726.2

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629
13,552

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909
11,130

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825
12,588

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214
10,338

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3
6.6

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3
4.3

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579
244,936

1988: HI....
IV

4,097.6
4,185.2

585.9
597.8

3,511.7
3,587.4

3,362.1
3,424.0

149.6
163.4

2,806.4
2,835.9

14,235
14,504

11,377
11,466

13,229
13,439

10,572
10,624

3.7
3.2

4.3
4.6

246,685
247,343

1989: I

IV

4,317.8
4,400.3
4,455.9
4,535.3

628.3
652.6
649.1
664.1

3,689.5
3,747.7
3,806.8
3,871.3

3,483.8
3,547.0
3,611.7
3,655.3

205.7
200.7
195.1
216.0

2,881.7
2,887.6
2,919.2
2,936.9

14,884
15,084
15,280
15,495

11,625
11,622
11,717
11,755

13,641
13,862
14,081
14,212

10,654
10,681
10,798
10,782

5.7
-.1
3.3
1.3

5.6
5.4
5.1
5.6

247,890
248,456
249,143
249,836

1990: I r

4,638.8

672.3

3,966.5

3,735.0

231.5

2,955.4

15,840

11,802

14,494

10,800

1.6

5.8

250,409

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

n
m....

1

consumers to business, and personIncludes personal consumption expenditures, interest
1 transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.




Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $0.2 billion (annual rate) and
net farm income rose $5.1 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
240
200

BILLIC)NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
240
200

^

160

x

1—"""

^_

'

'

r-

^^s.

,

\

s**^.

_—,r,.

— _-••'''

1•

I

i

•—

160

120

120

80

80

An

60

40

40

20

20

10

10

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total '

Total
1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989"

1987- in.

IV
1988: I

n
m
IV

1989: I

n
ffl

IV"
1

149.3
166.4
163.5
152.9
175.0
166.3
160.3
171.7
177.6
190.6
167.8
175.9
174.7
182.0
175.0
178.6
195.0
194.7
186.1
186.3

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.5
142.5
144.1
135.5
139.5
151.5
157.9
144.8
138.1
144.4
148.8
160.4
152.2
153.1
160.5
163.5
154.6

Livestock and
products

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
64.0
63.8
72.6
74.1
66.9
62.2
62.6
73.5
82.1
71.9
68.9
79.0
82.0
66.6

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
75.7
78.9
83.8
77.8
75.8
81.8
75.3
78.3
80.3
84.2
81.5
81.5
88.0

Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

3

Value of
inventory
changes 2

63
6.5
14
-10.9
6.3
-2.4
27
— .4
43
5.8
-.2
-1.7

-4.0
44
-4.7
41
7.0
5.8
4.8
5.5

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.4
128.0
135.0
142.0
131.3
131.7
130.2
133.7
138.2
137.8
141.7
144.1
143.6
138.7

1982 dollars 3

16.2
27.0
23.5
12.5
32.3
32.3
37.9
43.5
42.6
48.6
36.3
44.1
44.5
48.3
36.8
40.8
53.3
50.6
42.5
47.6

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation Joans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8
28.7
23.5
12.0
29.9
29.1
33.4
37.1
35.2
38.4
30.9
37.2
37.4
40.0
30.2
33.1
42.8
40.2
33.5
37.2

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $9.6 billion (annual
rate) and after-tax profits rose $1.8 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

360,

360
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

3201

320
/^

\

280

!/

y

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

240

r^\

f*
200

.

280

/

240

*\

200

/
160

^

f

120

s

s

— — **'

X

^
— ~^ v PRC3FITS AFTER T/W
y—"~~"

160

""X

^^i.

s

'

'

X

*^.—

.

TAX LIABILIT

120

;

80

80

UNDISTF IBUTED PROFI' rs

-/ S

0

1

1

1

1

1 1
1983

1982

1

1 1
1984

1

1 1
1985

x

V—|

*"""

--\

40

I

1

1 1
1986

1 1
1987

i \ i

40

1

1 1

1

1

n

1

1990

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Total

2

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:
1988:

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
272.0

IV
IV.. .
IV
IV
IV
IV
III
IV

1989:

I...

n
m
rv

1990: I r .
1
2

Profits
before tax

Nonfinancial

Period

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3

191,4
195.2
208.7
238.2

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

224.1
121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4
211.8

284.1
298.7

239.0
252.2

279.7
275.5
268.7
264.0

233.1
231.8

272.2

220.4

223.0
208.6

Financial

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8
22.2

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6
29.9
31.6
30.1
29.3
28.6
17.8
13.0
21.5

Total 3

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4
202.0

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8
181.9
207.3

222.1
203.9
203.2
205.2

195.6
198.9

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




Manufacturing

Tax
liability

Wholesale and
retail
trade

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4
86.9
46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
84.5
95.1
105.5

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1
39.1

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
290.7

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
41.2
39.2
41.8

164.1
231.5
226.1

96.5
90.3
86.6
74.4
80.5

34.1
36.9
41.9
43.6
38.4
3

235.0

234.1
276.2

314.4
318.8
318.0
296.0
275.0
273.7
283.3

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9
129.7
59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
127.3
141.2
143.2

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9
161.0
104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
148.9
173.2
175.6

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4
122.1
68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
102.8
112.2
115.2

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5
38.9
35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
46.1
61.1
60.4

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-18.7
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-20.4
-30.4
-20.1

144.4
134.9
122.6
116.9
124.8

173.6
161.1
152.4
156.7
158.5

118.5
120.9
123.3
125.6
128.1

55.1
40.2
29,1
31.1
30.4

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3
-9.7
— 11.1

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment rose $14.7 billion
(annual rate} and residential investment rose $5.9 billion. There was an $11.7 billion decrease in inventories,
following an increase of $26.1 billion in the fourth quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

900

900
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Ar.

800

JAL RATES

800

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT
/>
\

700r

i

500

-—~~x

f—^\

A

600

/

"

's-

^

^~~

"

^~"1

700

-

— ^]

600

-

N 3NRESIDENTIA L
CIV ED

INVESTMEf- U

500
--""

/

-

---•"

400

400

""•*...

.

-

--'

RE 5IDENTIAL

300

FIXED

-

\

-

_J...

200

200

.^._- ""

-

-

CHANGE IN BUSINESS
INVENT DRIES

100

'

-

*•»

i
t

___

^_

4

0
-**

-100

300

INVESTMENT

1

1 1
1982

t

i i
1983

1
1984

1

1

-\ N
i i i
1986

1985

100

—

1

1

1

1987

1

1 1
1988

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8

643 1
659.4
6999
750.3
7734

..

1989- I

769.6
775.0
779.1
770.1

n
m
IV
...

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




409.6
579.8
661.8
854.1
648.8
749.7

771.1
752.8

TTT

rv

1990- I r

1

1 1
1989

t

1 1
1990

-100

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
...,„
I^ised investmen
Gross
private
domestic
Producers'
Total
investment
durable
Structures
Total
equipment

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

N

0

VENT OF COMMERCE

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982198319841985198619871988'

-

752.9

445 3
491.5
471 8
509.4

597 1
631 8
6525
6706
719.6
7463
469.5
548.8
6168
646.8
660.9
686.3
7265
734.1
742.0
747.6
751.7
744.0
764.6

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.3
487.2
511.7
354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8
458.6
493.2
495.8

503.1
512.5
519.6
511.4
526.1

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153 2

139.0
1338
140.3
144.9
137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7
138.9
142.0
142.5
144.7
142.4
146.2
146.4
151.3

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
2897
296.2
3105
346.8
366.7

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2
319.7
351.3
353.3
358.5
370.1
373.4
365.0
374.8

Change ir business

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1

188.8
217.3
226.4
232.4
234.6
114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1
227.7
233.2
238.4
238.8
235.1
232.1
232.6
238.5

Nonfarm

Total

— 8.3
24.0
— 24.5
-7.1
67.7
11.3
6.9

29.3

30.6
27.1
— 59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
— 12.2
63.3
44.6
18.7
27.7
27.4
27.4
26.1
11.7

24

18.3
23 1
.4

60.5

146
8.6
305
34.2
22 2
-51 1
21.3
41 3
23.7
-80
61.3
41 5
40.8

19.1
23.6
19.8
264
-16.1

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 6.7 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.4 percent in 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

600

60U
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

500

500

^
400

r
^~^T
ALL INDlJSTRIES
.

^-^

-^

300

^\

^-——..

^

"
400

'

^
300

^
,_^

._ .^ —

_._..r-200

\
\
NONM/\NUFACTURIN Gil

.S*'

%

«•»

*.

„-'"'

•--^x

200

\
MANUFACT JRING

100

100

I

1
1982

I

1

1

1

1

1983

1

1 1
1984

1

1

I

1

1

1

1

1987

1986

1985

1

\

1

1

1988

J/SURVEYED QUARTERLY
^/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 8ELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

1989

1

31 tJ ll
1 1

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufaeturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990 4

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
430.76
475 52
507.23

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
184.54
190.89

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.30
83.68
85.71

1988: I
II
Ill
IV ....

413 34
427.54
435.61
442.11

157 97
162.62
188.76
173.32

1989: I
III
IV ..

459.47
470.86
484.93
486.80

1990: I '
II4
III *
IV4 .

500.29
506.84
511 59
510.21

II

10



Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufaeturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
317.17
347.50

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
290.97
316.34

Non- 1
durable Total '
goods

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
88.01
100.86
105.18

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
290.97
316.34

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.66
12.52
13.40

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.34
24.59
28.21

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.67
50.72
52.51

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.76
203.14
222.22

75.28
77.38
79.15
80.56

82.69
85.24
89.62
92.76

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

12.61
13.15
12.53
12.38

20 35
20.95
22.02
22.04

45 05
45.60
46.69
48.73

177 37
185.21
185.61
185.65

157 97
162.62
168.76
173.32

255 37
264.92
266.85
268.79

175.22
181.53
187.66
1S3.76

81.26
82.97
85.66
84.84

93.96
98.57
102.00
108.92

284.24
289.33
297.28
293.04

12.15
12.70
12.59
12.65

23.13
24.26
28.53
22.43

50.81
52.01
49.57
50.50

198.15
200.36
206.59
207.46

175 22
181.53
187.66
193.76

284.24
289.33
297.28
293.04

192.36
189.53
190.32
191.35

88.04
83.97
84.99
85.86

104.32
105.56
105.33
105.49

307.93
317.31
321.28
318.86

12.86
13.77
14.02
12.95

28.07
27.11
30.48
27.17

49.53
54.54
53.97
52.01

217.46
221.89
222.82
226.73

192.36
189.53
190.32
191.35

307.93
317.31
321.28
318.86

Durable
goods

314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
483.48
532.04

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
184.54
190.89

Surveyed
annually 3
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73
56.53

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In May, civilian employment rose 234,000 and unemployment fell 117,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

126
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

122

122
CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE

118

118

114

114

110

110

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

106

106

102

102

98
x
/

12
8
UNEMPLOYMENT

4
0
1982

1986

1983

1987

1989

1988

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons It? years of age and over, exeept as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted hy NSA]

Period

Resident
Armed
Forces

171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322
188,081

1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709
1,688

110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378
125,557

102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677
119,030

108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669
123,869

100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968
117,342

3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169
3,199

187,854
187,995
188,286
188,428
188,580
188,721
188,865

1,673
1,666
1,666
1,688
1,702
1,709
1,704
1,700

125,224
125,777
125,679
125,758
125,725
125,857
126,192
126,246

118,805
119,208
119,102
119,238
119,121
119,294
119,540
119,588

123,551
124,111
124,013
124,070
124,023
124,148
124,488
124,546

117,132
117,542
117,436
117,550
117,419
117,585
117,836
117,888

188,990
189,090
189,198
189,326
189,467

1,697
1,678
1,669
1,657
1,639

126,094
126,308
126,498
126,543
126,643

119,560
119,713
120,003
119,773
119,989

124,397
124,630
124,829
124,886
125,004

117,863

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986*
1987
1988

1989
1989:
May

June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

1




188,149

Unemployment

Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultiiral
Civilian
labor force

1

Total

118,035
118,334
118,116
118,350

Agricultural

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons 1

Total

15
weeks
and
over

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

106,434
109,232
111,800
114,142

5,852 10,678
5,997 10,717
5,512
8,539
5,334
8,312
8,237
5,345
5,122 1 7,425
6,701
4,965
6,528
4,657

2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1 ,983
1,610
1,375

63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9
66.5

59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3
63.0

3,137
3,138
3,217
3,275
3,219
3,197
3,160
3,197

113,995
114,404
114,219
114,275
114,200
114,388
114,676
114,691

4,643
4,738
4,583
4,567
4,605
4,526
4,552
4,554

6,419
6,569
6,577
6,520
6,604
6,563
6.652
6,658

1,331
1,295
1,461
1 ,338
1,359
1,378
1,422
1,362

66.4
66.6
66.5
66.5
66.4
66.4
66.6
66.5

62.9
63.1
63.0
63.0
62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0

3,134
3,079
3,200
3,133
3,305

114,728
114,957
115,133
114,983
115,045

4,729
4,703
4,747

6,535
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653

1,430
1,369
1,333
1,386
1,374

66.4
66.5
66.6
66.5
66.6

62.9
63.0
63.1
62.9
63.0

97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685

103,971

4,499

4,630

4,666

8,273

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In May, the overall unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent and the civilian unemployment rate fell
slightly, to 5.3 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20
/V

15

15

10

10

SA

•v\ -'X.

TEENAGERS
(16-19)
-J\ H/e
\ /"s. I\
t

.

v y V -^

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AN DOVER

y^».. -

™~j^>^
MEN 20 YEARS
ANDOV ER
,,,,,!,,,,,

I! i 1 1 i ! 1 1 1 1

1986

1990

-«w«

1 ! 11 E 1I 11 1 H
I M 1 11 H H

1987

1989

1988

'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1 1 11 1 1 1 11 1 1
1990

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 .
1989:

Women
20 years
and
over

Both
sexes
16-19
years

White

Black
and
other

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltime
workers

6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8
4.5

6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9
4.7

19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3
15.0

6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4^7
4.5 !

14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4
100

15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7
11.4

7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
5.0

4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3
3.0

10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4

9.8
9.2
8.1
8.1

7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
4.9

Oct
Nov
Dec

5.1
5.2
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.3

5.2
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

4.3
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.8
4.5
4.6
4.6

4.7
4.8
4.9
4.7
4.5
4.8
4.8
4.8

15.0
15.4
15.1
14.8
15.0
14.9
15.3
15.2

4.4
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.6

9.6
10.2
9.6
9.7
10.2
10.2
10.3
10.2

11.1
11.8
11.0
11.2
11.7
11.7
11.9
11.8

4.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.0

2.9
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.3
3.0
3.1
3.0

8.2
7.9
8.5
8.0
7.7
7.8
8.2
8.1

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

5.2
5.2
5.1
5.3
5.3

5.3
5.3
5.2
5.4
5.3

4.7
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.7

4.6
4.8
4.7
4.8
4.6

14.5
14.8
14.4
14.7
15.5

4.5
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.6

10.1
9.2
9.4
9.1
9.3

11.3
10.5
10.6
10.4
10.4

5.1
5.1
5.0
5.2
5.0

3.4
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3

7.5
7.5
8.4
7.5
7.4

May

Sept

1

Men
20 years
and over

By selected groups

By race

9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5
5.3

Aug

2

By sex and age
All
civilian
workers

7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4
5.2
June ....
July

1990:

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

7.6

Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
Aggregate bonrs lost bv tile unemployed and persons on part iime for economic reasons as per-

12



cent of potentially available labor force hours.
Snnrce: Denartment of Labor. Ryreao o! l.anir Statistics.

Parttime
workers

Labor
force
iime lost
(percent) 2

9.4

8.5

10.5
10.4

11.0
10.9

9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.3

8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3
5.9

4.9
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0

6.9
7.7
7.2
7.1
7.3
7.1
7.4
7.5

6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.9
6.0

5.0
4.9
4.9
5.1
4.9

7.0
7.4
7.2
7.1
7.4

6.0
5.9
5.9
6.2
6.0

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In May, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks
and over fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 15-26 weeks rose. The mean duration of unemployment
fell and the median rose.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

TW-x/

^"^v**»>t

*^

WV~]V\A'J

\s

JOB LOSERS

REENTRANTS

^X

_/.-.'v"

•VV.A-V ,-'"'V\. .'V

JC B LEAVERS
\

<5>AoO<r" y^C^
10

-

^A^- J\

^V

^s/

NEW ENTR \NTS

Ifllllllltl

1986

1986

1990

it t t 1 1 1 tut

II II 1 t M 1 1 1 1 t I M 1 1 1 1 tt

1987

1988

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1989

111 111 11 11 1

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Duration of unemployment
Unemployment
(thousands)

Period

Number of
weeks

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0
48.6
48.0
49.8
47.9
48.3
48.3
48.4
48.8
49.5
47.5
47.8
48.6
47.4
45.6

30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0
30.3
31.2
30.5
29.9
31.0
31.0
30.5
29.8
30.1
30.7
31.5
31.1
32.2
33.7

State
programs

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0
11.2
11.1
10.4
12.7
11.7
11.7
11.4
11.5
10.9
11.8
11.1
10.7
10.3
11.5

14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1
9.9
9.7
9.3
9.5
9.0
9.0
9.7
9.8
9.5
9.9
9.7
9.6
10.2
9.2

13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5
11.9
11.9
11.2
11.9
11.4
11.5
11.7
11.6
11.5
12.1
11.7
12.0
12.1
11.6

6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9
4.8
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.0
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.8
5.1
5.4
5.1
5.0
5.4

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1
45.7
43.4
43.0
44.5
46.2
44.9
45.5
46.3
46.3
48.5
47.1
46.3
46.8
47.4

11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7
15.7
17.1
15.6
15.5
16.1
15.8
15.2
15.7
15.8
15.5
15.3
15.5
17.5
15.2

25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0
28.2
28.7
30.4
29.0
27.6
29.4
28.9
27.6
27.7
26.3
27.4
28.4
26.5
27.2

11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2
10.4
10.8
11.1
11.0
10.0
9.9
10.5
10.4
10.3
9.7
10.3
9.8
9.2
10.2

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted)'

Weekly average, thousands

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989: May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990' Jan
Feb
Mar

May
1

. .

8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528
6,419
6,569
6,577
6,520
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658
6,535
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653

Includes Slate (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen fUCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,193
2,269
2,068
2,133
2,194
2,169
2,208
2,295
2,305
2,373
2,367
2,334
2,349
2,381
2,400

460
583
438
377
396
378
328
310
330
316
331
334
323
331
366
348
367
359
357
347
360
351

3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,248
2,324
1,957
1,936
2,168
2,007
1,863
1,912
2,146
2,518
3,059
2,992
2,843
2,526

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 164,000 in May.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

no
100

28

SERVICES
_
=^—

26

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

.s-"

-

\^"
.-•'*"

—

-

24

90

—.^•"'^
_

80 -

—

\

SER\ ICE-PRODUC ING

-

1 ETAIL TRAD!

20

INDUSTRIES

70

_- —-^

18
60 -

16

-

r

18 lilllllimillllltllllll

V

=

\

,

MAf vlUFACTURIN 7
\

iniiliiiii

Illllllllll

6

GOODS-P JODUCING
INDUSTRIES

30

""GOVERNMENT
1 \

frmlfim imiTnm iiiiiliiiiimiiiliiiii ii mill iih
n

20

—

'

I/

50

40

-

22

-J_

—^— |

~

iiiiiliniik

1

_^_

4

20 Ii 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I1I l l t f l 1 1 II ii i til n in1 1 1 1 1 1 it n i mulling
' 1986
1987
1988
1990 "
1989

III mill ill II
r

1986

Mil 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 f i l l 1 1 1 ! 1 1 Illll II 1

1988

1987

•SEASONALLY ADJ USTED
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

ipuliirii)
1990

1989

*

COUNCIL OF EC ONOM1C ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted]
Service-producing industries

Goods-producing industries
Period

Total
nonagricultural
employment

Manufacturing
Total 2

Construction
Pnn

Total

~?hie
goods

Nondurable
goods

D

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

Retail
e

Government

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services
Total

Federal

1986
1987
1988
1989

91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,584
108,581

25,497
23,813
23,334
24,727
24,859
24,558
24,708
25,249
25,634

4,188
3,905
3,948
4,383
4,673
4,816
4,967
5,125
5,300

20,170
18,781
18,434
19,378
19,260
18,965
19,024
19,403
19,612

12,109
11,039
10,732
11,505
11,490
11,230
11,194
11,437
11,536

8,061
7,741
7,702
7,873
7,770
7,734
7,830
7,967
8,076

65,659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74,967
77,492
80,335
82,947

5,165
5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,255
5,372
5,548
5,705

5,358
5,278
5,268
5,555
5,717
5,753
5,844
6,029
6,234

15,189
15,179
15,613
16,545
17,356
17,930
18,483
19,110
19,575

5,298
5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,283
6,547
6,676
6,814

18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
22,000
23,053
24,236
25,600
26,892

16,031
15,837
15,869
16,024
16,394
16,693
17,010
17,372
17,727

2,772
2,739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943
2,971
2,988

1989: May....
June ...
July....
Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov ....
Dec

108,310
108,607
108,767
108,887
109,096
109,171
109,452
109,570

25,672
25,648
25,669
25,694
25,614
25,603
25,609
25,532

5,283
5,283
5,314
5,321
5,325
5,335
5,355
5,304

19,667
19,650
19,649
19,644
19,559
19,537
19,517
19,489

11,594
11,567
11,549
11,551
11,480
11,457
11,439
11,409

8,073
8,083
8,100
8,093
8,079
8,080
8,078
8,080

82,638
82,959
83,098
83,193
83,482
83,568
83,843
84,038

5,700
5,716
5,736
5,618
5,709
5,729
5,753
5,834

6,222
6,230
6,237
6,256
6,264
6,278
6,300
6,311

19,528
19,551
19,586
19,621
19,632
19,679
19,744
19,718

6,790
6,808
6,815
6,836
6,852
6,851
6,871
6,885

26,711
26,931
26,973
27,058
27,159
27,188
27,345
27,419

17,687
17,723
17,751
17,804
17,866
17,843
17,830
17,871

2,999
2,995
3,000
2,999
2,996
2,984
2,982
2,974

1990:

109,931
110,304
110,427
110,404
110,568

25,518
25,686
25,606
25,491
25,439

5,418
5,485
5,432
5,332
5,313

19,355
19,452
19,423
19,404
19,369

11,287
11,398
11,385
11,352
11,339

8,068
8,054
8,038
8,052
8,030

84,413
84,618
84,821
84,913
85,129

5,850
5,865
5,875
5,871
5,879

6,332
6,332
6,342
6,338
6,354

19,822
19,794
19,785
19,807
19,803

6,896
6,916
6,922
6,919
6,924

27,557
27,709
27,783
27,761
27,798

17,956
18,002
18,114
18,217
18,371

2,998
3,006
3,088
3,155
3,289

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

Jan
Feb
Mar r..
Apr r...
May "..

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed" persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
foice, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Period

Total
private
mmagricultural 1

Total

Current dollars

Total private
nonagncultural '

Manufacturing

Overtime

Total
private
nonagricultural I

Manufacturing

Current
dollars

1977
dollars 2

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars

1977
dollars

35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.7

39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0

2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.8

$7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.66

$7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.47

$255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
335.20

$170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
166.52

$318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
429.27

$399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
506.72

$158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
189.01

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
4.0

-1.5
12
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
10
9
8

1989- May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

34.6
34.6
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.7
34.6
34.5

41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.8
40.7
40.6

3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.6

9.60
9.62
9.69
9.69
9.74
9.78
9.78
9.83

10.42
10.45
10.48
10.52
10.55
10.55
10.57
10.61

332.16
332.85
337.21
335.27
337.98
339.37
338.39
339.14

165.17
165.10
166.85
165.98
166.74
166.85
165.80
165.51

427.22
428.45
429.68
431.32
432.55
430.44
430.20
430.77

494.17
498.17
511.30
510.73
510.16
514.75
521.87
508.64

187.56
188.43
190.97
189.22
189.50
191.69
190.37
190.86

3.3
3.5
4.2
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.1
3.4

20
-1.6
9
-.9
.7
-.9
-1.4
-1.1

1990:

34.5
34.6
34.6
34.6
34.6

40.7
40.7
40.8
40.7
41.1

3.7
3.6
3.6
3.5
4.0

9.83
9.88
9.92
9.95
9.99

10.55
10.65
10.71
10.73
10.83

339.14
341.85
343.23
344.27
345.65

163.68
164.11
164.22
164.57
165.07

429.39
433.46
436.97
436.71
445.11

518.93
521.08
514.55
499.45
513.55

192.67
193.92
195.08
196.04
195.94

2.7
3.8
3.9
2.6
4.1

-2.4
-1.3
-1.3
-1.8
1

1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

...

Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr '
May'

1
2

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban
workers (on a 1977= 100 base).

3

tee earners and clerical

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1989 = 100)

12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Period

1981:
1982:
1983:

Dec
Dec
Dec

1984:

Dec.....

1985: Dec
1986: Dec
1987: Dec
1988: Dec
1989: Dec
1987: Mar... .
June
Sept.
Dec
1988: Mar
June
Sept ..
Dec
1989: Mar..
June
Sept
Dec
1990: Mar . .
1

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

71.2
75.8
80.1
84.0
87.3
90.1
93.1
97.6
102.3
91.0
91.6
92.5
93.1
94.5
95.7
96.6
97.6
98.8
100.0
101.2
102.3
103.9

73.0
77.6
81.4
84.8
88.3
91.1
94.1
98.0
102.0
92.0
92.6
93.5
94.1
95.0
96.1
97.0
98.0
99.0
100.0
101.2
102.0
103.2

Benefits

66.6
71.4
76.7
81.7
84.6
87.5
90.5
96.7
102.6
88.2
89.0
89.6
90.5
93.4
94.7
95.7
96.7
98.4
100.0
101.4
102.6
105.5

Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




1

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.1
1.4
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
1.2
.8
.9
.7
1.0

9.9
6.5
5.7
4.9
3.9
32
3.3
4.8
4.8
3.2
3.0
3.4
3.3

8.8
6.3
4.9
4.2
4.1
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.3

12.1
7.2
7.4
6.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
6.9
6.1
2.8
3.4
3.0
3.4

1.0
1.2
.9
1.0

3.2
1.4
1.1
1.0

3.8
4.5
4.4
4.8

3.3
3.8
3.7
4.1

5.9
6.4
6.8
6.9

1.0
1.0
1.2
.8

1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2

4.6
4.5
4.8
4.8

4.2
4.1
4.3
4.1

5.4
5.6
6.0
6.1

1.2

2.8

5.2

4.2

7.2

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
.6
.7
.6
1.0
1.1
1.0
.7
1.0
.6

1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.6
.6
1.0
.8
1.0
.7
1.0
.6

1.5
1.3
.9
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.6

Benefits '

Benefits '

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '
Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of all
persons 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982. .
1983

1984
1985. ..
1986
1987...
1988
1989
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986: IV
1987: IV
1988: I
II

in

IV
1989: I
II

in

IV
1990: lr'....

99.4
101.0
100.2
102.6
105.2

99.0
100.0
99.1
102.0
104.2

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.3
107.9
105.3
107.2
113.3

107.8
108.5
105.9
108.0
114.4

131.8
144.1
154.9
160.8
167.4

131.6
144.0
154.7
160.8
167.2

97.0
96.1
97.3
97.8
97.6

96.7
96.0
97.1
97.8
97.5

132.6
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.1
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

107.3
109.8
111.1
113.0
114.2

105.6
107.7
108.9
111.1
112.1

124.2
128.0
133.4
140.0
144.8

123.9
127.6
133.1
140.3
145.0

117.4
118.4
122.2
126.3
129.4

174.8
183.8
191.0
200.2
211.2

174.0
182.9
189.8
198.7
209.5

98.4
101.7
101.9
102.5
103.2

98.0
101.1
101.2
101.8
102.4

162.8
167.5
171.9
177.1
184.9

164.9
169.8
174.2
178.8
186.9

162.2
165.6
170.0
174.9
181.7

163.8
167.6
172.0
176.5
183.3

100.9
103.5
105.7
108.3
109.8
112.5

99.5
103.0
104.5
106.2
107.6
110.2

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9
128.9
136.7

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5
128.4
136.4

104.7
110.8
115.5
118.1
119.3
123.7

158.2
163.2
169.9
178.6
187.4
195.1

158.0
162.9
169.6
177.5
186.4
193.8

97.9
97.8
97.8
99.3
102.8
102.5

97.8
97.6
97.6
98.7
102.3
101.8

156.8
157.7
160.7
164.9
170.6
173.5

158.7
1582
162.3
167.1
173.2
175.8

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7
167.1
171.3

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5
169.2
173.4

113.2
112.6
113.4
113.5

111.0
110.5
111.5
112.0

138.2
139.3
140.7
141.9

138.0
139.5
141.1
142.8

124.3
126.2
126.6
127.5

196.4
199.1
201.9
204.5

195.0
197.5
200.2
203.0

102.3
102.6
102.8
103.0

101.5
101.8
101.9
102.3

173.5
176.9
178.0
180.2

175.7
178.7
179,6
181.3

171.9
174.1
175.8
177.9

173.8
175.6
177.0
179.6

113.8
114.2
114.7
114.8

111.6
111.9
112.6
112.7

143.6
144.4
145.6
145.7

143.6
144.6
145.9
146.0

128.6
129.2
129.6
129.5

206.9
210.4
212.8
215.7

205.5
208.3
211.0
214.1

102.8
103.0
103.5
103.9

102.1
102.0
102.6
103.1

181.9
184.1
185.6
187.9

184.1
186.1
187.4
189.9

179.4
181.4
182.4
183.7

180.8
182.8
184.0
185.6

114.1

112.0

146.1

146.4

115.7
116.6
120.1
123.9
126.8
104.1
109.7
114.3
116.2
117.4
121.5
122.1
123.8
124.0
125.0
126.2
126.4
127.0
127.0
128.0

130.8

218.2

216.3

103.0

102.2

191.1

193.2

186.1

187.7

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980
1981.
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
198-7:
1988-

-0.3
1.5
-.7
2.4
2.6

-0.4
1.1
9
3.0
2.1

11
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4

12
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

2.0
2.3
1.2
1.7
1.1

1.3
2.0
1.1
2.0
.9

4.2
3.1
4.2
4.9
, 3.4

3.9
3.0
4.4
5.4
3.3

2.6
3.3
1.5
1.5
.8
2.8

2.0
1.6
.9
.8
.4
2.5

K

10.4
3.5
3.6
4.0
7.1

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5
3.7
7.0

m

2.5
21
3.1
.2

2.8
-1.6
3.3
1.9

4.4
3.3
4.0
3.4

4.8
4.4
4.6
4.8

n
m

1.1
1.6
1.5
.4

-1.3
1.1
2.4
.5

4.8
2.3
3.5
.3

2.4
2.8
3.7
.3

-2.7

1.1

1.0

.

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I
II

IV
1989: I
IV
1990:

I r *....

-2.1

-0.8
.6
-2.4
1.8
5.7
2.2
.8
3.0
3.2
2.3
-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.1
3.2
4.2
1.9
5.5
.9
3.2
3.7
.6
1.9
.0
3.4

.6
24
2.0
6.0

10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9

-2.6
-.9
1.2
.6
-.2

-2.6
7
1.1
.7
4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

2.6
.9
3.2
3.4
2.4

4.4
5.2
3.9
4.8
5.5

4.1
5.1
3.7
4.7
5.5

.8
3.3
.2
.6
.7

.5
3.2
.1
.5
.6

2.3
2.8
2.6
3.0
4.4

2.8
3.0
2.6
2.7
4.5

2.5
2.1
2.6
2.9
3.9

3.0
2.3
2.6
2.7
3.8

-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.7
3.3
4.3

4.1
5.7
3.5
6.3
5.1
7.2

4.6
4.4
3.5
5.8
5.1
7.1

2.8
1.6
.0
2.1
2.2
3.3

1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8
4.2
4.3

2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0
4.7
4.5

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6
1.0
1.4

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0
1.7

2.0
6.1
1.2
2.8

2.6
5.7
5.8
5.2

2.5
5.4
5.4
5.9

8
1.2
.7
.8

3.3
.3
.0
1.6
2.2
3.2
g
.9
.5
1.5

.1
8.0
2.6
5.0

-.3
7.1
2.0
3.8

1.5
5.1
4.1
4.8

1.0
4.3
3.2
5.9

3.7
1.7
1.3
-.2

4.8
6.8
4.7
5.6

4.9
5.6
5.3
6.0

-.6
.8
1.9
1.5

-.5
-.4
2.4
1.9

3.7
5.1
3.2
5.2

6.2
4.5
2.8
5.5

3.3
4.6
2.2
2.9

2.8
4.4
2.7
3.4

3.9

4.7

4.1

7.0

7.0

5.4

4.6

-0.7

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



-3.2

-3.7

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the
work site rather than hours paid.
* Data do not reflect GNP revisions of June 21, 1990.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in May.
INDEX, 1987=100* (RATIO SCALE)
115
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
110
s~^\

105

INDEX, 1987=100' (RATIO SCALE)
130
FINAL PRODUCTS
125

r—""""Ir^"

—^1—

100

110

^

iimliiiiimiiiliiiii iimimii imilmn miilimi

90
1 13

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION^
^r^^—^*~V ~\

no

r

DURABLE

105

/

.^

\" — '

95
90

100

^f£/

95

115
110

imilimi

I l l l l l l l l l l Illllllllll

UTILITIES AND MINI MG PRODUCTION
\

UTILITIES

.

\

r r^^ MINING

95

^ ,\yp '~'

90

Illllllllll IIUllllUI

1986 1987

v

rt

i

86

iiiiilinii

/^S^ ~J~

80

1989

v_ArA>_i I T UN LIZA
(TOTAL NDUSTRY)

millllllllimillllll Illllllllll

IUM K A I C

/~-^\

/•Hr-^

82
78

1988

,-'

^

84

V

Illllllllll Illllllllll

---sV

PERCENT*

,' I /"•
v/

/N

105
100

*W^

GOODS

\^
/-\ —.
—•
^~— -*/
UbHkNbt
AND SPACE

r

'%_',-S\
---'

85 Illlllllll!

iimfimimmlimi

90

.a*&?'

100

.^

H '<•,-

/I
s~~f CONSUMER

Y -^

105

v

r

BUSINESS
bQUIPMfcNI

115

95
^

^ /X

120

Illllllllll

76

1990

r^^ \^
\^"

-/
^-^—^

/

Illllllllll iimlimi
1986

1987

Illllllllll

1988

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

iiiiiliiiii
1989

Illllllllll
1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Period
Index,
1987 = 100

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987 .
1988
1989
1989: May

June
July
Aug

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan
Feb 'r

Marr

Apr
May p
1

Output as percent of capacity.




Capacity utilization
rate, percent 1

Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100

Total
industrial
production

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Durable

Total

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

19
1.9
44
3.7
9.3
1.7
1.0
4.9
5.4
2.6

78.8
80.3
76.6
80.9
89.3
91.6
94.3
100.0
105.8
108.9

75.7
77.4
72.7
76.8
88.4
91.8
93.9
100.0
107.6
110.9

83.1
84.5
82.5
87.0
90.8
91.5
94.9
100.0
103.6
106.4

110.0
114.3
109.3
104.8
111.9
109.0
101.0
100.0
101.8
100.5

95.9
94.3
91.8
93.6
97.0
99.5
96.3
100.0
104.4
107.1

82.1
80.9
75.0
75.8
81.1
80.3
79.2
81.4
84.0
84.2

80.2
78.8
72.8
74.9
80.4
79.5
79.0
81.4
83.9
83.9

108.3
108.4
107.8
108.2
108.2
107.7
108.1
108.6

3.3
3.2
1.6
1.7
1.9
1.1
1.1
1.1

109.2
109.3
108.6
109.1
109.1
108.4
108.9
108.8

111.4
111.8
110.6
111.3
111.5
109.4
110.1
110.4

106.4
106.2
106.1
106.2
106.0
107.2
107.3
106.7

101.1
100.4
100.0
100.7
101.6
100.7
101.2
100.1

106.3
106.3
106.6
106.2
105.9
107.4
108.3
116.1

84.6
84.6
83.9
84.0
83.9
83.3
83.5
83.7

84.5
84.4
83.6
83.8
83.6
82.9
83.0
82.8

107.5
108.5
109.0
109.0
109.7

-.2
.8
1.2
.4
1.3

108.1
109.6
109.9
109.7
110.6

108.6
110.7
111.9
111.2
112.6

107.5
108.3
107.3
107.8
107.9

101.7
101.0
100.8
102.5
102.5

106.8
104.0
107.7
108.5
107.3

82.7
83.2
83.4
83.3
83.6

82.0
83.0
82.9
82.6
83.0

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Consumer goods

Equipment

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

May

July
Sept
Get
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb r.
Mar '
Apr 1 "
May "
1

74.2
75.7
77.0
80.3
86.2
87.7
90.7
100.0
104.4
107.3

91.3
92.8
85.1
88.3
96.6
96.6
95.9
100.0
105.6
107.4

106.2
104.3
100.7
98.9
103.8
103.4
99.4
100.0
101.8
101.4

105.9
106.2
106.5
105.5
105.2
106.3
107.0
107.4

107.1
107.0
106.8
106.9
107.0
107.3
107.5
108.2

107.3
107.6
107.3
107.8
107.4
107.1
107.0
106.9

101.2
101.0
100.1
101.7
101.6
101.3
101.9
102.7

107.9
108.2
106.9
106.6
106.5

108.0
108.5
109.2
109.2
109.2

106.2
107.1
107.2
107.5
108.0

101.2
101.7
102.2
103.2
102.4

77.0
77.0
75.1
80.3
86.2
88.3
92.0
100.0
104.4
106.8

80.8
78.4
72.2
80.2
86.2
89.1
93.8
100.0
104.4
106.1

97.6
98.3
98.7
98.9
98.9
96.6
96.7
96.6

106.6
106.7
106.7
106.4
106.3
106.9
107.3
107.9

97.5
97.6
97.5
97.3
97.2

108.0
108.4
108.3
108.1
108.1

Total

80.0
82.1
80.8
83.0
91.0
94.2
95.7
100.0
105.6
109.1

85.3
85.8
84.5
88.8
92.8
93.7
96.8
100.0
104.0
106.7

73.5
74.0
68.7
79.7
91.0
91.6
94.5
100.0
104.9
107.9

89.1
89.6
89.7
91.9
93.4
94.4
97.6
100.0
103.7
106.4

74.6
78.2
77.0
76.8
89.2
94.8
94.5
100.0
107.6
112.3

73.5
76.1
72.9
71.9
85.4
91.1
93.2
100.0
111.8
119.1

57.4
58.5
65.7
71.8
78.9
89.4
96.0
100.0
98.0
97.4

109.6
109.8
108.7
109.1
109.6
108.5
109.4
110.3

106.8
106.3
105.2
105.6
106.3
107.3
107.4
108.3

109.2
108.4
105.6
105.8
107.6
106.8
105.7
106.8

106.2
105.8
105.1
105.6
106.0
107.4
107.8
108.7

113.1
114.3
113.2
113.6
113.8
110.1
112.0
112.9

120.2
121.4
119.9
120.4
120.7
116.0
118.7
119.9

108.5
109.7
110.8
110.6
111.6

106.0
107.0
107.6
107.4
108.0

99.4
106.2
111.0
107.3
110.2

107.8
107.2
106.7
107.5
107.4

111.8
113.3
114.9
114.8
116.3

118.0
120.1
122.3
121.9
123.9

Business

Energy

Business
supplies

Nondurable
goods

Total >

Total

Construction
supplies

Defense
and
space
equipment

Durable
goods

Total

Total

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985... .
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

. .

May

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb '
Mar '
r".

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,

18



Iron
and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber and
products

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Foods

110.8
117.5
83.2
91.0
102.4
101.8
93.8
100.0
110.3
109.2

126.0
135.1
86.2
96.1
105.9
104.5
90.8
100.0
113.8
109.3

92.5
91.1
83.2
85.5
93.3
94.5
93.8
100.0
106.2
107.2

60.6
65.9
63.9
64.3
80.8
86.8
90.4
100.0
113.8
121.8

73.3
75.4
75.9
80.3
94.1
93.1
94.3
100.0
106.5
109.5

72.3
68.7
64.8
72.7
83.1
91.8
96.9
100.0
105.0
107.2

67.0
64.4
58.8
74.5
90.6
99.0
98.5
100.0
105.5
104.9

76.9
74.7
67.3
79.9
86.0
88.0
95.1
100.0
104.6
103.0

89.2
91.0
90.1
93.8
95.7
92.6
96.3
100.0
102.2
104.3

70.3
72.1
75.2
79.0
84.5
87.6
90.7
100.0
103.6
108.5

87.8
89.2
81.8
87.5
91.4
91.4
94.6
100.0
105.4
108.5

84.6
86.5
87.7
90.1
92.1
94.9
97.4
100.0
102.8
105.5

107.0
108.7
108.8
111.7
109.9
108.6
104.8
102.6

104.8
107.1
107.5
109.8
109.7
109.2
104.1
100.3

107.9
108.3
107.6
106.5
106.0
105.9
106.9
106.3

121.8
123.4
121.6
121.8
123.4
119.0
122.9
123.8

108.8
109.1
108.6
110.6
110.8
110.2
110.1
110.1

109.6
109.0
106.6
107.8
108.0
102.1
102.8
104.4

107.8
105.0
99.6
102.7
103.2
99.7
99.0
98.7

102.3
103.5
102.8
102.4
102.6
103.2
104.8
106.4

104.9
105.2
104.4
104.7
104.5
103.9
103.7
102.6

108.4
108.6
106.6
107.8
109.4
109.3
109.6
109.6

108.4
109.1
109.7
109.6
107.5
109.4
109.8
107.6

105.5
104.2
104.0
104.8
105.4
106.8
107.4
108.0

105.0
107.9
105.3
106.2
106.2

104.6
110.6
106.1
106.5
105.9

105.1
105.6
105.4
104.7
105.7

123.7
124.2
125.1
126.4
127.2

110.1
111.0
112.3
111.0
111.5

94.7
103.5
107.9
104.9
109.3

76.8
94.1
103.5
95.8
104.4

106.0
104.3
105.0
102.5
102.8

102.4
102.1
99.9
100.5
100.7

110.7
112.1
111.5
110.9
111.6

109.9
110.5
109.5
110.1
110.0

106.8
107.4
107.1
107.8
107.9

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjuste
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

$ew housing
units

Total '

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1982=100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

252.8
261.3
248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7
414.3

194.3
204.7
194.3
228.7
271.9
292.6
315.3
320.1
328.7
330.3

100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1
195.4

411.9
416.5
412.5
410.3
416.3
416.2
411.5
416.5
415.1
425.0
438.5
435.6
432.4

332.5
330.6
329.0
328.8
331.9
329.6
328.7
327.8
321.4

200.7
197.0
194.2
195.2
194.4
192.8
191.4
190.3
189.5
196.7
199.3
203.3
202.7

69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9
137.8

46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8
81.9

47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8
53.0

58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9
84.0

97
100
100
124
136
150
159
165
166
r
!70

79.3
80.1
81.6
80.9
83.3
83.2
84.1
83.7
78.8
82.8
89.1
86.0
86.0

52.5
53.5
53.2
52.7
54.2
53.6
53.2
53.7
53.1
54.7
54.5
55.5
56.1

79.4
85.9
83.5
81.5
84.4
86.6
82.9
88.7
93.8
90.8
95.5
90.8
87.6

181
r
!67
170
170
169
'185
r
!80
167
r
!66

Annual rates

Annual rates

1989:

Apr
May. .
July

Oct
Nov.
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb r.
Mar T
Apr"
May"

334.2
342.9
344.8
344.3

1
Includes
2
Includes
3

904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
973
926

141.8
138.2
136.5
136.6
135.8
134.0
133.9
134.9
135.6
138.1
142.0
142.5
141.0

M58
154
157
'147
155

864
909
916
915
805
1,008
892
812
805
883
798
828
745
802

Sources; Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

residential improvements, not show separately.
hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series,

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986.
1987
1988
1989

1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1
1,376.1

1 unit
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3
1,003.3

2-4 units

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8
55.2

5 or more units
330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0
317.6

Units
authorized
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6
1,338.4

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end1 of
period

1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8
1,422.8

545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676
650

337
275
253
301
353
346
357
366
367
362

1,444
1,355
1,375
1,437
1,366
1,317
1,486
1,302

651
646
741
719
638
636
687
633

379
376
369
364
364
363
363
362

1,443
1,351
1,375
1,294

613
606
559
530
532

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7
7.1

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1989' May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990' Jan
Feb
Mar '

May"
1
2

1,308
1,414
1,424
1,325
1,263
1,423
1,347
1,273

977
971
1,029
987
969
1,023
1,010
931

43
55
58
54
56
60
47
53

288
388
337
284
238
340
290
289

1,352
1,323
1,281
1,334
1,310
1,362
1,384
1,416

1,568
1,488
1,307
1,224
1,207

1,099
1,154
1,996
905
896

53
42
35
54
36

416
292
276
265
275

1,739
1,297
1,232
1,108
1,065

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with
earlier data.




r

365
366
363
362
358

7.4

7.6

7.1

r

7.5

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In April, manufacturing and trade sales fell 1.2 percent and inventories rose $0.8 billion. In May, according to
advance data, retail sales fell 0.7 percent, following a decline of 0.9 percent in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
240

800

— .— .
^~

220

-

^^T

700
—

^^

-

180 '

-

600

<^~\

RET AIL INVENTORIES

>^

MANUFAQURING AND
TRADE INVENTORIES

"

-x-1

200

1

160

~.^--'~~~~

500

*xx — '""'

/-•""

.,-—'*-'

~

^•s

--,

140
x

rK'

120

-

M/kNUFACTUR NG
M-ID TRADE S/OES

400

/v" /"

rf- "~~*~ '-'\

RETAIL SA LES

-»_ s

100

innlimi

-

-

IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll Illlllllllll

RATIO'
1.80

300

INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

1.60
1.40

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.20
200

limlimi

IIIIlllllll Illl||||lll IIIIlllllll iimlimi

1986

1987

1989

1988

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 in

1.00 liiniti
1986

1990

1987

1988

1989

•SEASONAliY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade '

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

2

Inventories 3

Sales

2

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail
Sales

Period
Sales

1990

Inventories a

Total

2

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories

3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade '

61,101
64,939
69,377
73,075
75,738
80,457
85,220
90,678

134,493
147,712
167,748
181,773
186,587
208,112
219,791
235,514

61,469
69,025
79,250
88,464
90,197
105,738
112,254
117,169

73,024
78,687
88,498
93,309
96,390
102,374
107,537
118,345

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.56
1.55
1.51
1.49
1.50

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.52
1.56
1.55
1.55
1.60

89,758
90,666
90,680
91,111
91,128
91,727
91,617
92,572
93,121

226,618
229,775
231,059
232,127
234,579
236,131
234,942
236,234
235,514

115,937
117,142
117,826
118,248
119,925
121,048
118,450
118,667
117,169

110,681
112,633
113,233
113,879
114,654
115,083
116,492
117,567
118,345

1.48
1.49
1.50
1.53
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.51
1.51

1.58
1.59
1.60
1.60
1.60
1.60
1.62
1.61
1.62

93,660
94,867
94,639
r
94, 175
93,674

233,701
232,000
232,562
233,256

114,194
113,552
113,951
114,400

119,507
118,448
118,611
118,856

1.51
1.48
1.47
1.49

1.56
1.55
1.56
1.58

Nondurable goods
stores

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983....
1984
1985....
1986
1987....
1988
1989....
1989: Apr r
May
June
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr"
May p
1
2
3

r

348,754
369,136
408,578
419,283
425,371
451,933
490,309
521 934

574,516
591,265
646,072
657,753
657,482
704,515
754,267
795,415

96,290
100,324
113,393
114,626
116,151
124,254
135,176
145,683

128,196
130,906
143,557
148,484
154,713
165,271
180,313
188,819

523,494
524,119
521,132
516,216
531,599
527,778
525,160
527,948
526,391

772,908
779,436
782,288
789,043
791,798
792,119
794,757
798,104
795,415

145,708
146,333
145,512
144,856
146,800
146,981
147,921
148,782
149,584

182,832
184,606
184,737
186,113
185,730
185,098
188,103
189,057
188,819

528,549
535,996
538,984
532,709

797,202
794,016
793,669
794,435

151,968
151,620
152,383
150,758

189,375
188,847
189,361
188,928

See page '1\ for mini acturing.
Monthly average for ;ar and total for month.
End of"period.

20



89,114
97,570
107,316
114,642
120,860
128,509
137,500
144,471
r

143,744
144, 715
144,384
145,438
146,649
147,235
145,244
146,340
145,804

149,877
149,904
149,302
r
147,931
146,843

28,013
32,631
37,938
41,567
45,121
48,051
52,281
53,794
r

53,986
54,049
53,704
54,327
55,521
55,508
53,627
53,768
52,683

56,217
55,037
54,663
r
53,756
53,169
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census,

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In April, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell, while inventories and unfilled orders rose. In May, according
to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' |RAT!O SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
280
240

SHIPMENTS

440

—*•—>*s—•

360

—-ir"~\

200

TOTAL

160

280

DURABLE G OODS
Y

120

.^^--x""""
- — •"

to

_x

K

160

NOr- DURABLE &.DODS -

80

200

120

60

Minium

lii|l!l!!l! !tmlmtl

nuilinii

60

BILLIC3NS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
280
240 -NEW ORDEPS

«

^~^-

~~~^^r-^-^
\—
~-

200

MliltlMIl

•^

TOTAL

160

DURA iLE GOODS

120

,
~+mr~+J ~-

80

*

L

•—

HHiilHU UIHJIUU UlUil!!!!
RA no*
2.20

iimiiuii

IlllliilUI

INVENTORY-SHiPMENTS RATIO

._^.__.^

/••'

---"
•—
\ \
NON 3URABLE GC ODS

2.00
1.80
1.60

^

A

-~^_

**

1.40

60
IllllliUll
1986

imiinm iiiiiliun

illllllUU lillilllili
1989
1988
1990

1987

1.20

inn Jinn ^iitliini iiiitliuu
1986

1987

Illllll!!!!

1989

1988

iittihiin
1990

SEASONAliY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

Manufacturers' shipments

1

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders l
Durable goods

Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total

Capital
goods
industries.
nondefense

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
126,557
129,372
123,524
125,137
122,031
126,766
125,227
124,262
130,175
131,719
117,909
120,782
128,872
r
123,398
128,192

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
38,821
40,389
37,290
39,146
41,445
37,130
35,341
35,975
38,901
44,389
38,347
36,094
40,889
r
36,580
36,079

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
109,057
110,535
110,229
110,020
108,416
110,027
109,127
109,805
109,535
109,033
109,663
110,977
112,199
112,348

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
514,499
487,231
487,913
491,834
496,359
495,002
495,794
497,866
504,750
514,499
515,367
512,654
516,426
518,152

Total

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.58
1.55
1.57
1.58
1.64
1.56
1.59
1.60
1.60
1.61
1.65
1.59
1.57
1.59

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989: Apr
May .
June
July
Aug
Sept

1990:

On
Nov
Dec .
Jan
Feb..
Mar r.
Apr"
May "

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
231,7801
234,042
. . 233,071
231,236
225,922
238,150
233,562
231,995
232,826
231,003
226,704
234,472
237,299
234,020

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
109,112
110,711
110,109
109,516
108,808
109,803
109,169
110,155
109,617
109,005
109,988
111,248
112,210
112,137

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
122,668
123,331
122,962
121,720
117,114
128,347
124,393
121,840
123,209
121,998
116,716
123,224
125,089
'121,883
126 194

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
371,082
363,458
365,055
366,492
370,803
871,489
370,890
371,712
372,813
371,082
374,126
373,169
371,746
372,251

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
246,222
240,486
241,689
242,295
245,813
246,378
245,621
246,427
247,610
246,222
248,273
247,095
245,435
246,563

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
) 20,497
124,860
122,972
123,366
124,197
124,990
125,111
125,269
125,285
125,203
124,860
125,853
126,074
126,311
125,688

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
235,614
239,907
233,753
235,157
230,447
236,793
234,354
234,067
239,710
240,752
227,572
231,759
241,071
235,746

1
1
2

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period.




3

Annual data are averages ol monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Censu!

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In May, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.3 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.6
percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.1 percent. Capital equipment prices were unchanged.
INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982=100 (RATIO SCALE)
I3U

FINISHED GOODS PRICES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
CONSUMER
FOODS ' V
\j
120

120

""^
—

CAPITAL EQUIPAAENT

„/-"'•'''

/"^S

,->- ,.'""" /
110

^*
^V

100

--.--"***

/

TOTAL

\

^A^*f

*M
—

no

/

/••'"'
"

rf-X*

V

/ \f

*

-

/-——^^~

^f^T"'"

i

V^-'

.-"' r- *
• /•>

100

A /•"' CONSUMER G DODS
EXCLUDING FCDODS

90 JLLUlliltiL i l l i M ! i ! i i
1982
1983

umiiim umimii
1984

1985

niuliiin

lUulliM.
1986

1987

-

Illllililll l I U i l t H I I
1989
1988
COUNCIL OF

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN ' OF LABOR

Minium

90

1990
ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total

finished
goods

Consumer
foods

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989: May
July

Aug
Sept

Oct

Nov
Dec

1990- Jan r
Feb
Mar

Apr
May
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
113.6
113.9
114.0
113.6
113.3
114.1
114.7
114.8
115.5
117.7
117.6
117.4
117.1
117.4

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
118.7
118.6
117.9
118.1
118.5
113.1
119.7
120.7
121.6
124.4
125.1
124.4
123.6
124.3

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
111.8
112.4
112.7
112.1
111.5
112.8
113.1
112.9
113.5
115.6
115.2
115.1
115.0
115.1

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22



85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
103.8
105.5
105.6
104.3
102.7
104.5
105.1
104.4
105.3
109.7
108.5
107.8
107.6
107.7

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
118.8
118.1
118.8
118.9
119.3
120.1
120.0
120.4
120.7
120.9
121.2
121.7
121.9
121.9

Total
Total

1980
1981
1982

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

Consumer goods

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
108.9
110.0
110.2
109.2
108.2
109.7
110.1
109.7
110.4
113.4
112.7
112.3
112.1
112.2

Durable

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
117.6
117.2
117.7
117.4
117.8
118.7
118.6
118.7
119.2
118.6
118.9
119.4
119.2
119.3

Total
finished
consumer
goods

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
112.1
112.9
112.8
112.1
111.6
112.5
113.3
113.3
114.1
117.0
116.7
116.3
115.9
116.2

Crude materials
Foodstuffs

Foods
Total

and

Other

Total

feeds '

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
112.0
112.6
112.3
112.1
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.2
112.2
113.6
112.8
112.8
112.9
112.8

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5
113.8
113.8
111.6
113.2
112.8
112.7
112.5
113.4
113.1
113.3
112.3
112.8
114.2
115.6

and

Other

feedstuffs

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
111.9
112.5
112.4
112.0
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.1
112.1
113.6
112.8
112.8
112.8
112.7

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
103.1
104.5
103.3
103.5
101.1
102.3
102.6
103.2
104.7
107.0
107.5
106.0
102.7
102.6

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1
111.2
110.8
109.6
108.9
109.7
109.0
109.0
111.4
113.9
114.7
115.9
116.3
115.4
112.5

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5
93.4
95.9
94.7
95.5
91.3
93.6
94.1
93.5
94.4
97.5
97.5
94.9
90.3
91.9

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In May, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally
adjusted. The index was 4.4 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 198Z-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
130

INDEX, 1982-84 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

110

110

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

Illlll Illlll
1983
1984

60

1982

Illlll

1986

1985

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illll
1987
1988
1989

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

60
1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AOVISEKS

[1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items

l

Transportation

Housing

Medical
care

Energy 2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

3.2
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9
88.5

6.2
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6
149.3

7.4
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3
94.3

48.4
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9
127.3

Shelter
Period

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

1000
82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109 6
113.6
118 3
124.0

1980
1981
1982... .
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:
May

Total »
Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

16.3
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2
125.1

42.0
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5
123.0

27.9
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1
132.8

7.9

19.8

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6
138.9

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1
137.3

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7
118.0

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total >

New
cars

Motor
fuel

7.5
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4
107.8

6.1
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4
118.6

17.1
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7
114.1

4.2
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2

123.8
124.1
124.5
124.5
124.8
125.4
125.8
126.3

124.9
125.2
125.6
125.9
126.3
126.8
127.4
128.0

122.2
122.6
123.3
123.5
123.7
124.2
124.7
125.2

131.7
132.3
133.2
133.5
133.7
134.4
135.0
135.6

137.4
138.0
139.6
139.1
138.7
139.8
140.5
141.0

136.3
136.9
137.6
138.2
138.7
139.4
140.0
140.6

117.4
118.3
118.4
118.5
118.6
118.6
119.3
119.5

107.5
107.3
107.8
107.8
108.0
108.1
108.7
109.4

119.5
118.9
118.3
116.9
118.6
119.4
119.4
119.0

115.8
115.7
115.3
114.2
113.9
114.5
114.6
115.0

119.5
119.3
118.8
118.5
118.1
118.8
119.8
120.8

95.3
94.6
92.9
88.4
87.1
88.4
86.8
86.3

147.6
148.7
149.6
150.8
151.9
153.0
154.2
155.1

97.0
96.4
95.9
93.8
93.2
94.1
93.8
94.1

127.1
127.4
127.7
127.8
128.3
128.8
129.3
129.7

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2

127.7
128.3
128.9
129.1
129.3

130.5
131.1
131.5
131.2
131.2

126.1
126.3
126.9
127.0
127.2

136.3
136.6
137.6
137.9
138.2

142.3
143.4
143.8
143.9
143.9

141.1
141.0
142.4
142.8
143.2

120.4
120.8
121.2
121.2
122.2

111.6
110.9
111.0
110.5
110.5

119.0
122.9
124.9
125.0
124.6

117.4
117.7
117.6
117.7
117.5

121.6
121.4
121.2
120.9
120.7

93.4
93.6
92.2
92.5
91.2

156.1
157.3
158.5
159.8
161.0

98.9
98.2
97.4
97.0
96.3

130.4
131.5
132.2
132.6
132.9

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:

May

Food

123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

June
July

Feb
Mar

Seasonally
adjusted

1

Includes items not shown separately.
a
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1989.




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownerahip costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Inibor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0
4.9

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.2
5.7
5.2

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5
5.2

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6
3.8

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
66

4.1
3.1
5.3

Change, month to month
1989: May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan '
Feb '
Mar
May

0.7
.1
-.4
-.3
.7
.5
.1
.6

0.5
6
.2
.3
q
1.4
.8
.7

0.9
.2
— .9
-.9
1.4
.4
4

1.9
-.1
-.2
-.3
.3

2.3
.6
6
-.6
.6

2.7
-.6
4
2

.6

.1

0.6
.6
.1
.3
.7
1
.3
2

7.3
5.8
1.8
21
.4
3.9
5.4
5.0

2.4
23
.3
3
.7
5.5
7.6
12.4

.2
.2
.4
.2
0

10.9
10.1
6.7
-2.0
— .7

16.7
15.4
9.5
-2.5
-2.5

7.8
7.4
4.4
2.5
3.0
2.8
1.6
2.6

5.8
4.2
1.9
1.0
-.8
2.9
3.6
6.4

11.0
10.6
6.1
2.4
4.5
2.0
-.5
.4

4.0
4.5

-1.8
3.3
5.7
2.6

2.8
4.5
5.2
4.1
4.4
3.8
3.7
2.0

3.6
3.4
4.5
4.5
3.9
3.2

6.2
6.1
5.1
4.3
4.6
5.0
4.6
4.9

12.5
11.4
7.1
-4.5
-1.8

3.0
2.7
3.4
3.3
2.3

7.3
7.7
5.9
4.2
4.6

11.0
11.4
11.0
6.6
6.1

7.8
8.5
4.8
3.7
4.6

3.4
3.2
2.7
3.2
2.5

5.9
5.1
4.4
3.5
3.1

12.1
11.3
.7
64

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Transportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items

1

Food
Total '

Rent-

Homeowners'
costs

Total '
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total '

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

12.5
89
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6

10.2
43
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2
5.6

13.7
10 2

1989: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

0.4
.2
.3
0
.2
.5
.3
.4

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

1.1
.5
.5
.2
.2

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9
3.2

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7
1.0

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0
4.0

3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0
3.9

15.0
99
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5
4.9

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9
4.5

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7
5.1

0.6
.2
.3
.2
.3
.4
.5
.5

0.3
.3
.6
2
.2
.4
.4
.4

0.5
.5
.7
.2
.1
.5
.4
.4

0.2
.4
1.2
-.4
-.3
.8
.5
.4

0.5
.4
.5
.4
.4
.5
.4
.4

0.2
-.2
.5
0
.2
.1
.6
.6

0.2
-.5
-.5
-1.2
1.5
.7
0
-.3

0.6
-.1
-.3
-1.0

2.0
.5
.3
2
0

.7
.2
.5
.1
.2

.5
.2
.7
.2
.2

.9
.8
.3
.1
0

.4
j
1.0
.3
.3

2.0
-.6
.1
-.5
0

0
3.3
1.6
.1
-.3

2.1
.3
-.1
.1
-.2

7.4
18.8
6.8
9.4
1.5 -6.5
3.4 — 1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
1.8
18.7
2.1 -2.1
2.3
6.8

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9
8.5

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5
5.1

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7
4.1

2.0
7
18
-4.8
— 1.5
1.5
18
-.6

0.6
.7
.6
.8
.7
.7
.8
.6

0.8
-.6

0.4
.2
.2
.1
.4
.4
.4
.3

8.2
.2
-1.5
.3
-1 4

.6
.8
.8
.8
.8

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1
4.8

Change, month to month

1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
a included through 1982.

0
__2
A

-.3
-.3
.6
.8
.8

O

.5
.1
.3

.7
-.2
-.2
2
2
3

-2.2
-.6
1.0
-.3
.3
5.1
-.7
-.8
-.4
7

.5
.8
.5
.3
.2




2.9
3.9

8.2

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

3

24

6.0

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

6.4
5.3
4.0
2.3
2.3
2.9
4.2
4.9

5.9
5.7
5.2
4.3
3.8
3.4
3.3
3.6

5.4
5.2
5.0
4.7
4.3
4.5
4.7
4.6

7.5
8.2
8.5
4.5
3.2

5.2
6.2
6.7
6.0
5.6

5.2
5.3
5.2
4.7
4.4

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in June were 1.3 percent below their May level. Prices paid by farmers in April were
1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

180

180

160

160
PRICES PAID

140

140

120

120
PRICES RECEIVED

100

100

80

80
illlllil

ill 1 1 i

RATIO-!/

RATION

140

140
120

120
RATIO

100

100

80

80

60
1982

! 1111 i I! I iT
1984

1983

nnntfm'

ill

1985

1987

1986

1988

1989

60

1990

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977=100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

June
July
Au£T

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
May
June

All farm
products

Prices paid by farmers

Livestock and
products

Crops

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

Production
items

Ratio 2

r

139
133
135
142
128
123
r
!26
138
r
!47

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
r
!27
r
!34

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
160

150
159
161
164
162
159
162
169
177

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
167

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
165

93
84
84
87
79
77
78
82
r
83

148
147
145
r
!43
145
147
149

138
137
128
126
r
!27
128
127

157
157
161
160
162
165
r
!69

(3)
178
(3)
(3)
178
(3)
(3)

(3)
168
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)

(3)
166
(s)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)

84
83
81
r
80
81
83
84

154
152
150
151
154
152

136
133
128
r
!31
134
130

172
169
171
r
!70
173
172

181
(3)
(3)
183
(3)
(3)

170
(3)
(3)
171
(3)
(3)

168
(3)
(3)
169
(3)
(3)

85
84
83
83
84
83

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See aiso footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available on!v for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
The monetary aggregates declined in May.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*'(RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

M3

—v

3,200

3,200
2,800

2,800
2,400

2,400

M2

2,000

2,000

1,400

1,600

1,200

1,200

800

800

Ml
600

600

400

400
1990

1987

1985

1983

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

' AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE; BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Ml

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
KPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

408.9
436.5
474.5
521.2
552.1
620.1
724.7
750.4
787.5
794.8

1,629.9
1,793.5
1,953.1
2,186.5
2,371.6
2,570.6
2,814.2
2,913.2
3,072.4
3,221.0

1,987.5
2,234.2
2,441.9
2,693.4
2,982.8
3,202.1
3,494.5
3,678.7
3,918.4
4,041.7

2,324.2
2,596.8
2,851.6
3,154.7
3,524.1
3,829.5
4,135.5
4,338.7
4,676.0
'4,867.8

3,873.2
4,260.3
4,651.3
5,176.7
5,924.0
6,732.8
7,588.3
8,307.5
9,062.0
'9,777.6

6.8
6.7
8.7
9.8
5.9
12.3
16.9
3.5
4.9
.9

8.9
10.0
8.9
12.0
8.5
8.4
9.5
3.5
5.5
4.8

10.2
12.4
9.3
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.1
5.3
6.5
3.1

9.5
10.0
9.2
11.3
14.4
13.7
12.7
9.5
9.1
'7.9

1989- May

776.2
773.7
779.1
780.4
782.9
788.1
789.4
794.8

3,085.3
3,101.6
3,127.0
3,146.7
3,163.3
3,181.4
3,200.6
3,221.0

3,965.6
3,984.9
4,007.2
4,012.0
4,012.0
4,016.2
4,028.7
4,041.7

4,756.6
4,778.8
4,803.8
'4,816.9
'4,822.1
'4,830.6
'4,845.9
'4,867.8

'9,358.2
'9,414.9
'9,465.6
'9,529.1
'9,585.2
r
9,654.8
'9,732.4
'9,777.6

25
35
-1.7
16
— .7
1.5
3.4
5.5

1.4
1.9
3.5
4.5
4.9
6.0
7.5
7.7

3.2
3.4
4.1
3.8
2.8
2.6
3.2
2.9

'7.9
7.8
'7.7
'7.6
'7.5
'7.7
'8.0
'7.7

794.8
801.4
804.8
807.4
805.5

3,229.3
3,252.4
3,266.2
3,271.5
3,263.6

4,044.8
4,058.9
4,061.6
4,064.9
4,056.1

4,869.6
4,879.5
4,897.7
4,897.2

9,827.6
9,892.8
9,954.3
10,004.3

4.0
5.4
5.6
4.9
4.1

6.5
6.7
6.5
5.7
3.9

1.9
2.3
2.5
2.4
1.4

7.6
7.6
7.7
7.2

Period

198019811982:
19831984:
19851986:
198719881989:

July
Sept
Oct

Nov
Dec

1990- Jan "
Feb '
Mar r
Apr'
May p

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial aectora; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



L

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

er at a simple annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Currency

Period

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutual fund
balances l
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Savings
deposits

Small
denomination
time
deposits 2

Large
denomination
time
deposits 2

NSA

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990:

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

115.3
122.6
132.5
146.2
156.0
167.8
180.6
196.7
211.8
221.9

261.4
231.4
234.1
238.5
243.9
266.8
302.1
287.0
287.0
279.7

28.0
78.2
103.6
131.6
146.9
179.6
235.5
259.7
281.3
285.7

28.8
36.6
39.9
55.6
60.6
73.5
82.3
83.2
83.3
76.8

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.8
168.2
177.2
208.7
222.0
240.9
312.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
42.8
62.1
63.9
83.8
89.0
87.1
102.3

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.8
513.0
571.0
523.8
500.3
483.7

400.1
343.8
356.7
305.4
285.1
301.2
370.1
414.9
427.8
409.0

728.5
823.2
851.0
784.1
886.8
884.0
856.2
917.8
1,031.0
1,142.3

260.4
303.0
327.2
327.6
417.4
437.0
439.8
488.8
541.1
558.3

33.5
35.3
33.4
49.9
57.6
62.4
80.5
106.1
121.7
94.9

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.5
83.8
91.0
106.0
81.1

72.3
133.5
149.4
67.8
68.0
183.6
71.1 211.9
74.2
260.9
79.5
298.3
91.8
280.8
100.6 254.2
109.3 272.0
117.5 ' 319.5

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.5
42.1
37.2
44.8
40.6
41.2

98.8
105.3
113.7
133.2
160.8
207.5
231.1
260.4
335.6
347.9

216.6
217.2
217.8
218.6
219.3
220.0
220.4
. .. . 221.9

279.6
276.3
279.6
278.5
278.1
280.0
278.8
279.7

272.8
273.0
274.5
276.0
278.4
280.8
282.8
285.7

77.8
79.6
80.9
78.3
74.8
75.3
74.9
76.8

261.2
268.3
277.7
287.8
295.9
302.7
309.0
312.4

92.1
96.3
99.0
101.4
101.6
101.1
101.1
102.3

463.1
460.9
463.9
468.2
471.9
475.3
480.8
483.7

405.4
403.4
403.3
404.0
405.5
406.1
407.9
409.0

1,103.0
1,114.0
1,122.4
1,130.0
1,132.6
1,135.9
1,138.5
1,142.3

573.1
574.9
574.7
570.5
565.6
562.7
561.0
558.3

127.5
128.4
123.8
116.9
112.9
108.3
107.2
94.9

97.2
93.4
91.8
89.6
85.3
80.0
79.2
81.1

112.8
288.1
113.6 289.6
114.3 290.9
115.0 ' 293.0
115.7 ' 303.0
116.2 * 308.2
116.8 r 308.6
117.5 r319.5

. 41.2
41.2
41.9
42.6
41.0
40.0
40.5
41.2

348.8
349.4
349.5
354.3
350.3
350.0
351.3
347.9

224.6
226.6
228.4
230.1
231.6

277.3
280.2
279.3
277.8
274.6

285.4
287.0
289.5
291.8
291.5

80.7
81.3
80.7
77.8
79.8

318.1
324.5
325.0
324.8
319.4

103.2
103.7
105.4
106.8
107.3

* 485.0
489.4
494.9
498.9
500.2

410.2
413.6
414.6
415.8
415.1

1,142.5
1,141.2
1,143.8
1,144.1
1,145.5

' 554.2
' 549.5
543.6
537.6
534.6

91.5
94.9
93.1
92.7
93.1

74.5
68.8
66.6
66.1
69.0

117.7
118.2
119.1
119.9

40.7
38.3
37.0
35.9

343.3
344.7
342.7
347.2

1980: Dec
1981- Dec
1982: Dec
1983- Dec
1984: Dec
1985- Dec
1986: Dec
1987- Dec
1988: Dec
1989- Dec
1989: May

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

Jan
Feb
Mar '

May"
1

i_/aia
Data poor
prior 10
to laoo
1983 are
are iiui
not seasonally
seasonally adjusted.
adjusted.
2
Small denomination and llarge
a r e denomination de
deposits are those issued in
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.

i than

r

r

r
r

323.0
319.4
337.3
329.3

NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but arc not shown
here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures l; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements

Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1980198119821983198419851986198719881989-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1989' May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
Mav p
1

...

...

.

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,235
48,373
58,023
58,593
60,593
60,033

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,049
47,055
57,197
57,815
58,877
59,767

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,653
47,554
57,499
58,298
60,121
59,787

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,380
47,336
56,653
57,546
59,545
59,110

152,525
160,936
172,947
188,275
201,673
219,350
241,427
258,055
275,238
284,946

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716
265

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130
84

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244
20

58,831
58,597
58,867
58,906
59,289
59,640
59,646
60,033

57,111
57,107
58,173
58,231
58,596
59,085
59,297
59,767

58,308
58,024
58,279
58,272
58,618
59,106
59,318
59,787

57,796
57,692
57,901
58,021
58,351
58,620
58,701
59,110

278,526
279,020
279,957
280,756
281,806
282,786
283,222
284,946

1,720
1,490
694
675
693
555
349
265

345
431
497
490
452
330
134
84

1,197
917
106
41
22
21
21
20

59,896
60,215
60,297
60,275
59,782

59,456
58,768
58,173
58,647
58,448

59,482
59,302
60,123
60,051
59,323

58,880
59,227
59,436
59,379
58,821

287,509
289,714
291,820
293,540
294,399

440
1,448
2,124
1,628
1,335

47
51
78
122
244

26
535
1,950
1,403
875

Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.




Nonborrowed

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Syst

27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.3 percent in May. Commercial and industrial loans were virtually
unchanged.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLION S OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
2,400
2,000

_

2,800
_

^-—-

TOTAL
\

1,600

~*f —

——— -

2,400
—

1

2,000

""

|

—

—• — - ~"

1,600

- "~~\~~

____

—

LOANS ANC) LEASES

--"'"

1,200

"

- —— 1

'

1,200

---'

*»-- —

—
800

800

—

^•*"

400
U.S. GC WERNMENT

400

SE CURITIES

V-

.
_/'

x-"""""
200

200

""

~"

'

/

/

160
120

1982

IIMlliilil

iiinhiiii

1984

1985

1983

160

GFH ER SECURITIES

,,-''

miilmii iniiliiin

—

\

l l l i l l U I I ! .....I..III l l l l l l l U l !

1986

1988

1987

miilmii

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

120

1990

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *
All commercial banks

Loans and leases
Period

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May"...

Total
loans and
securities 2

1,307.3
1,400.5
1,552.3
1,722.5
1,910.1
2,094.2
2,239.5
2,422.2
2,582.6
2,482.9
2,496.0
2,512.4
2,527.4
2,538.9
2,563.3
2,579.0
2,582.6
2,585.8
2,603.8
2,623.8
2,635.0
2,644.1

•able

28



U.S.
Government
securities

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.6
309.3
334.4
361.4
r
394.5
372.5
373.7
374.0
375.5
378.1
389.9
394.8
r
394.5
402.4
412.2
418.9
422.7
427.9

Other
securities

160.5
164.8
169.2
141.1
179.3
194.2
193.8
192.2
180.3
187.8
187.3
186.3
183.8
183.1
180.9
179.3
180.3
180.2
180.1
180.2
180.8
179.2

Total

2

967.5
1,034.0
1,123.9
1,321.3
1,460.3
1,590.6
1,711.2
1,868.6
2,007.9
1,922.6
1,935.0
1,952.1
1,968.2
1,977.7
1,992.5
2,004.9
2,007.9
2,003.2
2,011.6
2,024.7
2,031.6
2,037.0

Commercial
and
industrial

355.4
392.5
414.2
473.3
500.5
537.5
567.9
607.0
642.9
626.6
627.1
631.8
636.1
637.7
641.9
645.9
642.9
639.0
637.9
642.8
648.2
647.9

Non-

State

Real
estate

Individual

Security

financial
institutions

Agricultural

political
subdivisions

284.1
299.9
330.9
376.4
426.0
494.4
587.4
671.9
756.4
705.6
713.0
720.1
727.7
735.8
742.6
749.2
756.4
759.6
768.1
774.4
779.4
787.5

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.7
315.3
328.4
355.0
375.9
363.5
363.8
365.8
367.5
370.3
372.6
374.6
375.9
377.9
378.9
379.2
377.8
379.2

21.4
25.3
28.0
34.3
43.0
40.6
35.1
40.4
39.6
38.4
40.6
40.1
39.0
39.7
41.2
41.5
39.6
r
40.1
r
41.1
r
38.3
r
37.0
35.7

29.9
31.2
30.4
31.3
32.4
35.0
31.9
30.1
32.7
29.3
30.5
31.3
31.5
31.8
r
33.2
r
33.7
32.7
32.3
33.0
34.1
34.2
33.6

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.5
29.4
29.8
30.3
29.9
30.0
30.0
29.9
29.6
29.6
29.9
30.3
30.9
31.0
r
31.3
r
31.4
31.2

0.0
.0
3.3
46.1
56.8

58.5
52.6
45.6
40.1
43.1
42.8
42.5
42.2
41.7
41.3
40.8
40.1
38.6
38.9
38.4
38.2
37.9

Foreign
banks

18.1
14.6
13.4
11.2
9.8
9.9
7.9
8.1
8.6
8.0
7.9
7.9
8.1
7.5
8.5
8.0
8.6
7.9
7.8
8.4
9.0
8.8

2
Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

7.2

12.7
13.3

r

r

r
r

5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0
5.9
5.3
5.0

3.6
4.7
4.4

4.3
4.1
4.2
3.9
3.6

3.6
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.2

13.7
16.0
19.0
22.4
24.6
29.2
31.4
30.2
30.2
30.7
31.0
31.3
31.7
31.6
31.4
31.6
31.6
31.8
31.6
31.8

Other

23.1
26.9
31.8
31.0
35.9
39.6
40.7
46.4
r
46.4
43.2
44.8
r
47.7
51.0
48.0
r
46.0
r
46.0
r
46.4
r
42.1
r
40.2
r
42.9
41.7
40.2

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses
External

Period
Total

Internal

Credit market funds

l

Total

Loans and
short-term
paper

Securities
and
mortgages

Total

Capital
expenditures 3

Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

516.2

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
344.9
352.6
372.5
369.7

126.1
123.1
137.9
60.7
133.5
158.7
105.0
165.8
133.6
125.9
146.5

60.3
70.7
91.8
50.3
78.3
95.1
50.9
123.0
69.0
67.0
65.3

9.0
30.5
25.4
-1.7
44.6
-9.1
30
58.9
38.1
-2.3
130

51.3
40.2
66.4
52.0
33.7
104.2
53.9
64.0
30.9
69.3
78.3

65.8
52.5
46.0
10.4
55.2
63.6
54.1
42.9
64.6
58.9
81.2

368.3
341.6
382.9
302.7
392.0
473.0
422.9
448.2
453.9
473.4
479.1

238.6
243.2
285.9
255.7
269.9
367.9
339.9
328.8
348.3
380.4
384.7

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
122.1
105.1
83.0
119.3
105.6
92.9
94.4

—44.6
-18.3
-5.6
.3
27.2
22.0
34.4
62.6
32.4
25.0
37.2

1988- III
IV

523.5
482.3

372.3
381.6

151.2
100.7

77.0
14.4

33.7
-80.9

43.3
95.3

74.2
86.2

500.8
447.7

390.1
391.8

110.8
55.9

22.7
34.6

1989: I rr

489.5
573.8

127.6

8.2
144.9
29.9

78.0

-68.4
31.4
43.5
28.2

76.6
113.5
73.4
49.8

119.3
64.0
75.2
66.2

457.8
535.6
438.5
484.2

376.0
388.8
388.6
385.3

81.8
146.8
49.9
98.9

31.7
38.1
42.7
36.2

78.8

12.4

66.4

61.8

478.1

351.8

126.3

26.6

1979
1980
1981
1982

323.7
323.3
377.4
303.0

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

419.2
495.0
457.3

510.7
486.3
498.4

T

IV

520.4

361.9
364.8
376.1
376.2

1990- lp

504.7

364.1

n T
m r.

481.3

209.0

105.2
144.2
140.6

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abr 0(ul
02
TT „
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding1

Installment credit outstanding end of period)
Period

1980- Dec

19811982:
19831984:
19851986:
19871988:
1989-

Dee
Dee
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Decz

1989- Apr 2
May
July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
T

1990- Jan
Feb *
Mar r

Apr p

1

Other

Total

Revolving

298,154
311,259
325,805
368,966
442,602
518,252
573,017
610,468
664,701
716,624

111,991
119,008
125,945
143,560
173,564
210,187
247,428
265,851
284,556
290,770

55,111
61,070
66,454
79,088
100,280
121,816
135,851
153,078
174,057
197,110

18,736
20,058
22,064
23,562
25,861
26,850
27,096
25,920
25,201
22,343

112,317
111,124
110,802
122,756
142,897
159,400
162,642
165,620
180,887
206,401

1,671
13,105
14,546
43,161
73,636
75,650
54,765
37,451
54,233
(3)

691,432
695,627
697,262
700,000
703,518
705,703
710,133
713,903
716,624

290,013
290,954
290,583
289,882
289,961
288,839
290,210
290,972
290,770

181,098
182,847
184,239
186,284
189,185
190,378
191,734
194,679
197,110

23,407
23,505
23,309
23,240
22,734
22,661
22,621
22,197
22,343

196,914
198,320
199,130
200,594
201,638
203,825
205,568
206,055
206,401

3,327
4,195
1,635
2,739
3,518
2,185
4,430
3,769
2,722

717,829
717,869
720,278
720,862

290,904
289,629
291,445
288,942

199,146
199,927
201,625
203,984

22,604
22,633
22,710
22,702

205,175
205,680
204,499
205,234

1,205
40
2,409
584

For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988
and subsequent months.




Mobile
home

Automobile

Total

Automobile

Kevolving

— 484

1,754

7,017
6,937
17,615
30,004
36,623
37,241
18,423
18,705

5,959
5,384
12,634
21,192
21,536
14,035
17,227
20,979

(3)

(3)

122
941
371
-701
79

1,859
1,749
1,392

-1,122

1,194
1,356

1,371
761
-202

2,045
2,900
2,944

2,431

134
1,275
1,816

2,036

-2,503

2,359

781
1,698

Mobile
home

529
1,322

Other

989
246
1,176
-719
(3)

-127
-1,193
-322
11,954
20,141
16,503
3,242
2,978
15,267
(3)

3
98
196
-69
506
-73
40
-424
146

1,342
1,406
810
1,463
1,044
2,187
1,743
487
346

261
29
76
-8

-1,226
505
— 1,181
735

2,546

958
2,299

3

Because of breaks in series, net change not available.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates fell in June.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

COUNCIL OF ECO1

SOURCE' SEE TABIE BEIOW

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) '

Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
{Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) 4

Prime
commercial
paper,
H months 1

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.R.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged 5by
banks

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHPB) e

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69
8.12

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26
8.55

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85
8.49

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76
7.24

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71
9.26

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68
8.80

13.42
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20
6.93

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.21
9.32
10.87

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19
10.13

1989: June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

8.22
7.92
7.91
7.72
7.63
7.65
7.64

8.37
7.83
8.13
8.26
8.02
7.80
7.77

8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19
8.01
7.87
7.84

6.97
6.97
7.08
7.27
7.22
?!l3
7.01

9.10
8.93
8.96
9.01
8.92
8.89
8.86

8.80
8.35
8.32
8.50
8.24
8.00
7.93

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

11.50-11.00
11.00-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50

10.42
10.48
10.22
10.24
10.11
10.09
10.07

1990: Jan

7.64
7.76
7.87
7.78
7.78
7.74

8.13
8.39
8.63
8.78
8.69
8.40

8.21
8.47
8.59
8.79
8.76
8.48

7.13
7.21
7.29
7.36
7.34
7.22

8.99
9.22
9.37
9.46
9.47
9.26

7.96
8.04
8.23
8.29
8.23
8.06

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00

9.91
9.88
10.03
10.17
10.28

7.80
7.69
7.73
7.74

8.50
8.38
8.36
8.44
8.42

8.58
8.46
8.44
8.52
8.51

7.23
7.21
7.18
7.27
7.23

9.38
9.27
9.21
9.26
9.28

8.13
8.06
8.03
8.06
8.07

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986....
1987
1988
1989

Feb

Mar
May rp
June
Week ended:
1990: June 2
9
16
23
30"
1

7.78

Bank-discount basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury De.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for .January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.
2

par

30



COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in June.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOSCALE)

INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180
160

240
220
200
180
160

V—""It^^S'

COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX
(NYSE)

y—/

\

(

140
\/~

^/
\

^-^^~^

140

~

120

120

r-S^S

100

80

/

1

60

^T

40

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 11
1982

100

^J

80

t 1 1 I 1 111 1t 1

1 11 1 1 1 1 11 11

1 ! t M 1 t 1 11]

1 1M 11t I t t1

1987

1988

1989

1 II11 |1 | || |
I 1 1 1 I 1 I t 11 1

1984

1983

1986

1985

40

1 M 1 1 1 ||| | |

1990

PERC ENT

PERC ENT

20

20
15

15
\
^X

10

EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS
'cs °\
__
""•
^

—-

5
0

1

1 1
1982

1

1 1
1983

I

1 1
1984

OURCES- NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE At •iD STANDARD

& POO

I

1

1

/n
—^— __
i i i
i i i
1987

1986

1985

10
— \_

5
1

1 1
1988

1989

Dow- Jones
Finance

Utility

industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10)4

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
180.02

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
216.23

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
175.28

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77
87.43

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
151.88

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82
2,508.91

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79
322.84

1989: June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

180.76
185.15
192.94
193.02
192.49
188.50
192.67

216.75
221.74
231.32
230.86
229.40
224.38
230.12

173.47
179.32
197.52
202.02
190.36
174.26
177.25

87.90
90.40
92.91
93.44
94.67
94.95
99.73

154.08
157.78
164.86
165.51
166.55
160.89
155.63

2,494.90
2,554.03
2,691.11
2,693.41
2,692.01
2,642.49
2,728.47

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar

187.96
182.55
186.26
185.61
191.35
196.68

225.79
220.60
226.14
226.86
234.85
242.42

173.67
166.69
175.08
173.54
173.53
177.37

95.69
92.15
93.00
91.92
93.29
93.65

150.11
142.68
143.14
138.57
142.94
147.93

197.07
198.71
198.38
195.42
193.92

242.63
243.71
244.18
241.40
240.15

176.00
181.17
180.47
175.92
171.86

94.56
95.36
94.70
92.80
91.50

148.01
152.26
149.81
145.55
143.76

May '
June"
Week ended:
1990- June 2
9
16
23
30"
1
2
3
4
5

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
Includes 500 stocks.
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-




1

1

1

0

1990

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

Period
Transportation

1

l

O) 2

New York Stock Exchange indexes (I

Industrial

1

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

R'S CORPORATION

Common stock prices

Composite

1

Dividendprice ratio

Earningsprice ratio

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64
3.45

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01
7.42

323.73
331.93
346.61
347.33
347.40
340.22
348.57

3.44
3.38
3.28
3.29
3.29
3.39
3.33

7.93

2,679.24
2,614.18
2,700.13
2,708.26
2,793.81
2,894.82

339.97
330.45
338.47
338.18
350.25
360.39

3.41
3.54
3.49
3.51
3.44
3.36

2,881.67
2,906.31
2,923.96
2,885.99
2,861.78

361.48
364.17
363.72
358.07
355.03

3.35
3.31
3.32
3.37
3.42

,

6.79
6.48

rice ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE. — All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Cor-

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
Sn the first 8 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $151.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $113.2 billion
a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

1,200

,— RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^

1,100

1,100
OUTLAYS^/

1,000

1,000

900

900

"X
RECEIPTS-!'

800

800

700

700

600

600

100

-100

\
A

\^

^^

\
1/1982

^-———*"^

\
1983

\
1984

~T~
1985

"^ \
1986

i
1987

\
1988

\

\

1989

1990

^
1991 N

FISCAL YEARS
I/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]

Receipts

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980....
1981
1982
1983
1984....
1985 ...
1986....
1987
1988
1989
1990 (estimates)
1991 (estimates)

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget

Total
Fiscal year or period

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

-73.7
14 7
-53.6
59 2
-40.2
73 8
-78.9
127 9
-207.8
185 3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

70 5
-13.3
49 7
-54.9
38 2
-72.7
73 9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

32
— 1.4
-3.9
-4.3
-2.0
11
-5.0
79
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,073.5
1,170.2

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,197.2
1,233.3

212 3
-221.2
149 7
-155.1
152 0
-123.8
63 1

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
727.0
788.0
855.7

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
931.7
971.5
997.4

-221.6
-237.9
-169.3
-193.9
-204.7
-183.4
-141.7

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
263.7
285.4
314.5

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
210.9
225.8
236.0

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
52.8
59.7
78.6

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,866.2
3,113.3
3,319.2

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,189.3
2,298.7
2,357.3

640.9
667.1

754.1
818.8

113 2
-151.7

464.5
480.8

616.1
671.1

-151.6
-190.2

176.4
186.3

138.0
147.8

38.4
38.6

2,785.1
3,073.0

2,149.6
2,322.3

Cumulative total, first 8
months: 1
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990

1
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement,
NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United Stales Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January

32



1990, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 8 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $26.2 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $64.7
billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

—RECEIPTS!/-

500

500

- INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES -

400

400

300

300
SOCIAL INSURANCE
"TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION
INCOME TAXES"

OTHER RECEIPTS

100

200
100
0

0
900

—OUTLAYS-!/ -

900

800

800

NONDEFENSE

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

NATIONAL DEFENSE
300

300

200

200

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

FISCAL YEARS
J/'INCLUDES ON-8UDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

Oil-budget and off-budget receipts

Fiscal year

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990 (estimates)
1991 (estimates)
Cumulative total, first 8 months: 1
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990

Nationa defense

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599 3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

734.1
769.1
854.1
9C9.0
990.7
1,073.5
1,170.2

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.7
489.4
528.5

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.6
112.0
129.7

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
385.4
421.4

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.0
86.6
90.6

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,197.2
1,233.3

640.9
667.1

284.5
300.6

59.0
53.9

242.5
253.1

55.0
59.5

754.1
818.8

Total

Other




Social
security

Net
interest

Other

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
57.8
63.7

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
96.6
98.6

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.0
146.6
153.7

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.5
248.5
264.8

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
175.6
173.0

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.4
161.3
158.1

32.3
37.4

54.2
63.1

93.4
101.8

151.8
162.0

112.2
120.9

105.0
125.0

Health

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
296.3
303.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
294.9
286.8
292.1

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
14.6
18.2

198.6
198.6

193.0
192.4-

6.6
10.1

Total

1
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, Januari
1990, except as noted.

Income
security

International
affairs

Total

Department of
Defense,
military

Medicare

Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates. Federal receipts rose $28.6 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $43.0 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1,200

1,200
EXPENDITURES

1,000

1,000

800

800
RECEIPTS

600

600

400

400

200

200

-200

-200
1982

1983

1985

1984

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1988

1986

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

CALENDAR YEARS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government receipts

Personal

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
Calendar year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982: IV.
1983- IT
1984: IV.
1985: IV
1986: IV.
1987: IV
1988- IH
IV
1989- I

n..

TTT

1990:

IV.
Ir

tax and

nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits

Indirect
business

tax

nontax
accruals

accruals

tax and

Federal Government expenditures

Contributions for
social
insurance

services

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Pur-

Total

chases
of goods
and

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6
1,046.4

340.4
357.0
401.2
408.0
457.3

74.6
81.1
97.7
108.3
115.4

55.9
50.9
53.4
55.8
57.6

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4
416.1

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.4
1,104.0
1,175.6

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6
400.5

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7
461.6

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6
115.8

128.3
134.6
138.8
149.0
168.6

20.7
22.8
31.9
35.1
29.1

0i
.0
.1
— .1
.0

185 5
-212.8
163 1
-145.4
129 2

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4
1,047.2
633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
937.4
977.3
994.6
1,036.2
1,053.2
1,043.2
1,056.1
1,084.7

346.4
361.4
405.8
413.0
460.4
303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
420.0
411.4
420.3
446.8
465.1
459.1
470.8
476.7

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4
105.5
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
103.1
114.0
115.8
117.0
109.7
99.9
95.4
101.8

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7
58.7
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
54.5
57.4
57.8
58.0
58.2
59.4
59.3
60.1

310.9
332.1
350.8
391.3
422.5
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
359.7
394.5
400.6
414.3
420.2
424.8
430.6
446.1

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8
1,118.3
1,195.7
835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,101.7
1,099.8
1,162.1
1,183.7
1,198.6
1,187.9
1,212.6
1,255.6

355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
403.2
293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.1
367.5
406.4
399.0
406.0
402.7
405.1
413.7

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2
472.7
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
421.9
438.0
447.6
460.4
466.9
475.6
488.1
502.7

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4
119.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
102.2
111.0
112.2
118.7
118.4
118.3
122.1
129.3

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4
171.2
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
147.3
153.9
157.0
167.0
172.0
171.2
174.8
179.2

20.3
26.0
32.6
36.0
29.1
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
41.9
29.4
38.9
38.5
35.3
20.1
22.6
30.7

-.2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
2

1969
-206.9
161 4
-145.8
148 5
-202.6
169 2
-187.5
-212.2
-189.0
-164.4
-122.5
-167.6
147 5
- 145.4
144 7
-156.5
-170.9

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34



.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

Canada

Japan

France

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

81.6
83.3
75.2
80.0
89.7
94.7
94.7
100.0
106.2
107.4

81.7
82.6
82.9
85.5
93.4
96.8
96.6
100.0
109.3
115.7

98.0
97.0

107.7
108.6
108.3
108.4
107.8
108.2
108.2
107.7
108.1
108.6

106.9
107.8
107.9
107.5
107.1
107.5
107.8
106.4
107.0
r
!07.5

118.4
114.1
114.8
117.1
114.2
117.6
115.8
115.8
116.8
116.9

107.5
108.5
r
109.0
109.0
109.7

' 105.9
' 105.8
105.8

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 p.
1989:

Mar
May

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May'
1

T

117.2
116.5
118.8
118.0

r
r

Germany

Consumer prices (1982-84=100)
United
Kingdom

Italy

United
States 1

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

96.0
96.0
97.0
97.0
98.0
100.0
104.5
109.0

95.0
93.2
90.3
90.9
93.5
97.7
99.6
100.0
' 103.8
108.7

96.2
94.8
91.8
88.8
91.8
92.9
96.2
100.0
105.9
109.0

87.5
84.8
'86.4
'89.6
'"89.8
'94.6
'96.8
100.0
* 103.8
r
104.4

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3
124.0

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2
129.3

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7
108.1

72.2
81.8
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.4
128.9

86.8
92.2
97.0
100.3
102.7
104.9
104.7
104.9
106.3
109.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.1
128.5
134.4
141.1
150.4

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6
135.4

106.6
110.0
108.5
109.7
110.4
110.4
108.1
109.3
110.5
108.6

106.7
' 109.2
r
104.6
108.8
110.0
' 110.2
'110.0
110.0
'110.1
111.4

106.9
107.7
105.8
108.6
109.7
108.2
108.1
109.7
110.5
115.5

104.1
' 105.6
'102.7
'102.8
'104.1
'105.3
'105.1
'105.1
'104.6
104.8

122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

127.2
127.6
128.9
129.6
130.4
130.5
130.7
131.2
131.6
131.5

106.2
108.1
108.7
108.6
108.4
108.3
109.2
110.0
108.9
109.0

127.2
128.0
128.5
128.7
129.0
129.2
129.5
130.1
130.3
130.5

108.5
109.1
109.3
109.4
109.3
109.2
109.4
109.7
109.9
110.2

148.0
149.0
149.6
150.3
150.7
150.9
151.6
153.1
153.7
154.4

131.9
134.3
135.1
135.6
135.7
136.1
137.0
138.1
139.2
139.6

110.2
108.3
109.0

r
lll.l
r

'104.6
'103.9
105.8

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2

132.7
133.4
133.9
133.9
134.6

109.2
109.5
109.9
110.8

130.8
131.1
131.6
132.1

110.9
111.3
111.4
111.6

155.3
156.4
157.0
157.6
158.0

140.4
141.2
142.6
147.0
148.3

r

r

112.6 '108.6
r
l!0.1
l!2.6 110.8
111.5
110.1

Data relate to all urban consumers.

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce {Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) ]

General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Principal end-use commodity category
Period

1982
1983
1984

216.4
205.6
224.0
5
218.8
5
227.2
254.1
322.4
364.0

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

Mar
May

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:

Total 2

Jan"
Feb
Mar'.

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3
35.0

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1
92.6

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2
123.7

15.7
16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3
29.3

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1
32.8

Total

Other2"

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4
50.7

244.0
258.0
330.7
4
336.5
365.4
406.2
441.0
473.0
4

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8
25.0

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3
132.2

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4
114.1

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7
85.6

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9
102.5

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Exports
(f.a.s) less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(l.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8
13.5

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5
492.9

-27.5
-52.4
-106.7
-117.7
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
-109.0

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
— 137.1
-128.9

Other

6.5
6.3

31.1
31.0
30.6
31.2
29.7
30.2
30.4
31.5
30.6
30.8

3.3
3.0
3.0
3.2
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.8
2.9
2.8

7.8
7.9
8.0
8.2
7.9
7.8
7.7
7.9
7.7
7.5

10.5
10.5
10.0
10.5
10.7
10.5
11.2
11.0
9.7
10.9

2.5
2.5
2.4
2.5
2.1
2.4
2.3
2.6
2.5
2.6

2.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
2.6
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.9
3.0

4.2
4.4
4.6
4.0
3.6
4.0
3.7
4.4
4.8
4.1

40.0
38.6
41.0
39.7
39.2
40.4
38.5
41.9
40.7
38.5

2.1
2.0
2.2
2.1
2.0
2.2
1.9
2.1
2.1
2.0

10.9
11.0
11.8
11.3
11.2
11.5
10.4
11.8
11.1
10.4

9.6
9.1
9.7
9.8
9.5
9.8
9.6
10.1
10.1
9.7

7.8
7.3
7.5
6.9
6.7
6.9
6.6
7.5
7.2
6.9

8.5
8.1
8.7
8.5
8.7
8.9
8.8
9.1
9.0
8.3

1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.2
1.2

41.7
40.2
42.6
41.3
40.9
42.2
40.1
43.7
42.5
40.2

-8.9
-7.6
-10.4
-8.5
-9.6
-10.2
-8.2
-10.4
-10.1
-7.7

-10.6
-9.2
-12.0
-10.1
-11.2
-12.0
-9.8
-12.3
-11.9
-9.3

31.9
31.8
33.5
32.3

3.1
3.1
3.3
3.0

8.8
8.0
8.6
8.6

12.3
12.8
12.9
12.4

2.5
2.8
3.4
3.1

3.4
3.4
3.5
3.5

1.8
1.6
1.8
1.7

41.3
37.9
41.9
39.2

2.3
2.2
2.5
2.3

12.9
11.0
11.6
10.5

9.6
8.9
9.9
9.7

6.1
6.5
7.9
6.9

9.0
8.1
8.7
8.6

1.3
1.2
1.3
1.2

43.1
39.6
43.7
41.0

-9.3
-6.1
-8.4
-6.9

-11.2
-7.8
-10.2
-8.7

1
Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid
2
Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1989.
3
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
4

shipments.

Total includes revisions not reflected in detail.

** Beginning 1990, undocumented exports to Canada and reexports are distributed to the appro-




Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

priate end-use category. For earlier periods they are included in the "other" export category.
Therefore, the categories beginning 1990 are not directly comparable with those for earlier periods.
The 1989 figures for undocumented exports ($16 billion) and for reexports ($14.3 billion) will be
distributed to the appropriate end-use categories later this year.
NOTE.-—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the first quarter of 1990, the current account deficit fell to $22.9 billion from $26.7 billion in the fourth quarter
of 1989. (Series revised.)
BILL ONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

10

10

5

5

0

•'A

0
f

\

''

^

Vl
V

-5
I
\

\

-10

-10

^

\

-15

-15
\

\

-20

X

\
Nv x

BALA NCE ON GOODS,
SEPVHCES, AND INCC)ME

\

s

-25

1fv

-30

Vl

I
\
-A

v
\

/
""" "* /

X.
MER CHAND ISETRA DE
BALA MCE

i i i

1

1983

1984

1

.'

*

..---.

^"•\ v.
\

1 1
1982

,
-25

\

-35

-45

S

1

\
BALANCE ON
CURRENT ACCOUNT

-35

-40

1

i
1986

1985

k /,

1 1 1
1987

1

1 1
1988

1

i 1
1989

1

1 1
1990

-4,5

SEASONALLY ADJUS IEO
OURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (-f), debits ( — )]
Merchandise *

2

Exports

Imports

Net balance

Net
military
transactions 3

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

Other
services,
net4

Receipts
on U.S.
assets
abroad

237,085
211,198
201,820
219,900
215,935
223,367
250,266
320,337
360,465

-265,063
-247,642
-268,900
-332,422
-338,083
-368,425
-409,766
-447,323
-475,329

-27,978
-36,444
-67,080
— 112,522
-122,148
— 145,058
-159,500
— 126,986
-114,864

-1,523
-474
-343
-2,099
-3,557
-4,576
-2,857
-4,606
-5,662

144
-992
-4,227
-7,885
-9,832
-8,031
-7,324
-2,633
792

11,085
11,436
12,264
12,299
12,351
18,547
17,909
20,335
25,487

86,412 -52,329
83,548 -54,884
77,251 -52,376
85,908 -67,419
88,832 -62,901
88,615 -66,968
104,703 -82,420
107, 775 -105,548
124,723 -123,694

320,337
360,465
76,497
79,392
80,511
83,937
88,267
91,111
89,349
91,738
96,044

-447,323
-475,329
-109,988
— 110,494
-111,290
-115,551
-116,360
-119,333
— 119,152
-120,484
— 122,415

— 126,986
-114,864
-33,491
— 31,102
-30,779
-31,614
-28,093
— 28,222
-29,803
-28,746
-26,371

-6,320

659

26,123

-1,763
-1,667
— 1,114
-1,776
-1,370

-57
39
-192
870
1,213

5,899
6,164
7,031
7,030
6,468

Period

Old Series:
1981
1982.. .
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
Revised
Series: 5
1988
1989
1988: I
II
Ill
IV
1989: I
II
Ill
IV
1990: I"

Investment income 4

Services

1

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments i
United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
5
Series revised beginning li)78, but all data are not yet available. The complete historical s
2

3

4

36



Payments
on foreign
assets in
U.S. 3

Net

Balance on
goods,
services,
and income

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers,
net *

Balance
on current
account

8,163
34,083
15,810 -7,647
28,664
-6,997
2,191 -9,188
24,875
-34,510 -9,776 -44,286
18,489 -91,718 -12,468 -104,186
25,931 -97,256 -15,426 -112,682
21,647 -117,470 -15,778 -133,249
22,283 -129,488 -14,212 -143,700
2,227 -111,892 -14,656 -126,548
1,029 -91,602 -14,276 -105,878

1,610
110,048 -108,438
-912
127,536 — 128,448
2,400
26,980 -24,580
26,739 — 26,330
409
-141
27,942 -28,083
28,386 — 29,445 -1,059
30,872 -30,407
465
31,932 — 33,889 -1,957
32,102 -32,085
17
32,629 — 32,068
561
31,057 -30,449
608

-15,005 -128,862
-95.314 — 14,720 — 110,034
3 476
-3,060
-3,461
5008
-23,549 -3,555 -27,104
-25,643 -3,006 -28,649
-24,061 -3,530 -27,591
-22,061 -4,631 -26,692
- 19,452 -3,489 — 22,941

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks decreased $45.7 billion in the first quarter of
1990, compared to an increase of $32.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. Liabilities to private foreigners
reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, decreased $28.1 billion in the first quarter, compared to an
increase of $36.7 billion in the fourth quarter. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

80

CHANGE IN
-FOREIGN ASSETS

60

60

IN THE U.S., NET

40

40

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD, NET

20

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

-60

-60

1990

1982
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[in crease /capit
Period
Total

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 3 G

Old Series:
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
-32,628
-99,665
- 76,218
-82,110
-125,707

-5,175
4965
-1,196
3131
-3,858
312
9,149
3 566
-25,293

Revised
Series: 5
1988
1989

-84,176
-127,061

3 912
-25,293

4,569
-19,856
-42,383
-26,508

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase/capital inflow (+)] 3

]
U.S.
private
assets

Total

Foreign
official
assets

Other
foreign
assets

181,927
205,829

-8,404
22,443

47,802
74,609

24,840
5,970
2 015
10,720

1,239
59,300
51,812
69,575

2034
- 14,539
23,344
-19,242

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

68,402
2,794
74,136
69,320

7,797
-4,961
13,003
-7,016

60,605
7,755
61,133
76,336

-8,439
27,236
— 2,469
6,117

3,093
-1,697
-4,953
3,560

49,854
60,502
68,418
74,609

27 489

8 825

- 18,665

20,922

3,116

76,303

4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
1 083
35,594
45,193
38,882
7,369

78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418
189,303

2,969
1,185

-83,232
102 953

221,442
214,652

39,515
8,823

1,502
39
-7,380
1,925

— 1,594
-847
1,957
3,452

4,661
-19,048
36960
-31,885

26,079
65,270
49,797
80,295

IV

-32,859
-1,381
-44,076
-48,745

-4,000
— 12,095
-5,996
— 3,202

962
-303
574
-47

29 821
-11,017
38 654
45496

1990: I"

29,509

-3,177

486

33,172

IV

1989: I

n
in

6

Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMP.




Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802
74,609

83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299
196,671

n
in

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 6
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15298
11,308
1,878
-10,641
34,914

100 679
5 097
-6,131 -110,058
5 006
43 576
-13,685
-5,489
25 950
2821
-2,024
-97,954
86 363
997
-81,543
2,999
1,037
101 451

1988: I

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

1,093

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
r
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.

38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

:

1990 0—31-768