Full text of Economic Indicators : June 1990
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101st Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators JUNE 1990 (Includes data available as of June 29, 1990) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers JUL 1 8 1990 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK Of CHICAGO UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1990 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan) SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) PETE WILSON (California) CONNIE MACK (Florida) JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy ($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.1 percent (annual rate) or $92.9 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.9 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 5.4 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 -^ __ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 5,200 5,200 ^ ~~ GNP - ^S^ 4,800 4,800 - ^ 4,400 4,000 3,600 3,200 L — — 4,400 ^ ^^ - _--- 4,000 ,--''" - ^ 3,600 \ GNP ,-•""" sr IN 1982 DOLLAR S ^s - ^ 3,200 - 2,800 2,400 2,800 111 1 1 1 1982 1 1983 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1987 \ \ \ 1988 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 1989 1 1 1 1990 2.400 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Government purchases of goods and services Exports and imports of goods and services Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,014.9 4,231.6 4,524.3 4,880.6 5,234.0 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,471.1 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 750.3 773.4 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 -58.9 780 -97.4 112 6 -73.7 47 1 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 370.9 396.5 448.6 547.7 625.9 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 448.9 493.8 561.2 621.3 673.0 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 820.8 872.2 926.1 968.9 1,036.6 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 355.2 366.5 381.6 381.3 403.2 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.1 277.8 294.8 298.0 302.2 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 96.0 88.7 86.8 83.3 101.1 IV IV IV IV IV IV 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 4,107.9 4,297.3 4,665.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 749.7 14.1 25 8 -67.9 -108.9 114 6 335.9 364.7 385.7 369.2 402.4 482.6 321.9 390.5 453.6 472.4 511.3 597.2 671.8 676.1 764.5 856.7 888.9 947.5 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 205.4 221.5 244.1 268.6 280.7 296.8 1988- TH IV 4,926.9 5,017.3 3,263.4 3,324.0 771.1 752.8 -66.2 70 8 556.8 579.7 623.0 650.5 958.6 1,011.4 367.5 406.4 1989- I 5,113.1 . 3,381.4 5,201.7 3,444.1 5,282.0 3,508.1 5,340.2 3,550.6 769.6 775.0 779.1 770.1 -54.0 50 6 -45.1 -38.8 605.6 626.1 628.5 643.5 659.6 676.6 673.6 682.3 1,016.0 1,033.2 1,038.9 1,058.3 1990- I ' 5,433.1 752.9 — 32.0 664.7 696.6 1,082.9 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 198419851986: 1987- n m rv 1 Gross national product 3,629.4 Net exports GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Final sales Gross domestic purchases l 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 465.6 505.7 544.5 587.6 633.4 2,740.3 3,028.6 3,190.5 3,412,8 3,704.5 4,003.6 4,224.8 4,495.0 4,850.0 5,206.9 2,699.8 3,018.7 3,139.7 3,411.8 3,831.1 4,092.8 4,329.0 4,636.8 4,954.3 5,281.1 87.7 54.6 81.9 108.0 88.1 91.3 378.7 400.0 438.5 480.1 520.1 559.4 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 4,100.7 4,309.4 4,602.5 3,198.5 3,571.6 3,919.7 4,211.2 4,406.2 4,780.4 296.1 300.5 71.4 105.9 591.0 604.9 4,882.3 4,998.7 4,993.1 5,088.1 399.0 406.0 402.7 405.1 298.7 301.3 307.8 300.9 100.4 104.7 94.9 104.2 617.0 627.2 636.2 653.2 5,085.4 5,174.3 5,253.6 5,314.2 5,167.1 5,252.3 5,326.1 5,379.0 413.7 308.6 105.1 669.2 5,444.8 5,465.1 Federal Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Total 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,618.7 3,717.9 3,853.7 4,024.4 4,144.1 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,354.8 2,446.4 2,513.7 2,598.4 2,669.6 509.3 545.5 447.3 504.0 658.4 637.0 639.6 674.0 715.8 720.7 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 453.5 438.4 455.5 493.8 510.3 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.4 195.7 194.8 194.1 188.5 IV IV IV IV IV IV 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 3,662.4 3,733.6 3,935.6 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 2,386.9 2,477.8 2,532.3 408.8 577.2 655.7 648.0 615.2 721.1 352.3 390.4 444.4 460.9 435.7 472.7 1988: HI IV 4,042.7 4,069.4 2,608.1 2,627.7 733.6 709.1 1989: I II m IV 4,106.8 4,132.5 4,162.9 4,174.1 2,641.0 2,653.7 2,690.1 2,693.7 1990- I ' 4,193.4 2,704.3 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 1 Gross national product Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Change in business inventories Government purchases of goods and services Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total -6.9 57.0 49.4 23.9 -24.5 26.3 64 199 62.3 -84.0 9.1 1043 5.6 -129.7 23.7 1157 27.9 -74.9 21.9 52 6 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 367.2 397.1 450.9 530.1 589.2 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 471.4 526.9 566.6 605.0 641.8 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 731.2 761.6 781.8 785.1 806.4 115.8 159.9 169.6 179.4 200.3 191.9 11.7 59 3 27.0 -46.2 41.7 -94.8 7.7 -125.3 20 8 -135.4 56.6 -109.8 336.0 355.5 376.6 367.4 406.5 484.1 324.3 401.6 471.4 492.6 541.9 593.9 501.0 492.7 195.1 198.1 37.5 18.3 -74.9 -73.8 531.9 551.4 721.1 719.8 724.6 717.3 501.0 511.4 517.9 510.8 195.6 189.3 184.8 184.3 24.5 19.1 21.9 22.2 -55.0 51 2 -57.1 -47.2 705.4 520.4 188.6 -3.6 -33.6 State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases l National defense Nondefense 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 326.0 334.1 339.6 328.9 337.1 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 237.2 252.1 265.2 261.5 256.5 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 88.8 82.0 74.4 67.4 80.6 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 405.2 427.5 442.1 456.2 469.3 3,194.0 3,225,0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,609.6 3,712.4 3,830.0 3,996.5 4,122.2 3,130.1 3,199.4 3,139.7 3,299.1 3,585.4 3,723.0 3,847.6 3,969.4 4,099.3 4,196.7 660.1 642.2 693.2 752.7 776.0 792.1 289.5 266.0 300.5 340.6 342.4 344.9 201.4 211.6 225.3 241.4 255.8 266.7 88.2 54.4 75.2 99.2 86.6 78.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 412.1 433.6 447.2 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 3,654.7 3,754.4 3,879.0 3,147.6 3,411.3 3,630.0 3,787.6 3,869.0 4,045.5 606.9 625.2 775.9 806.4 319.8 343.9 258.8 261.6 61.0 82.3 456.1 462.5 4,005.2 4,051.0 4,117.6 4,143.2 569.7 587.5 593.1 606.6 624.6 638.7 650.2 653.8 799.7 810.3 805.3 810.4 335.5 343.6 336.1 333.3 254.4 255.8 260.1 255.7 81.1 87.8 76.0 77.7 464.2 466.7 469.2 477.0 4,082.3 4,113.5 4,141.0 4,151.9 4,161.8 4,183.7 4,220.0 4,221.4 625.1 658.7 817.3 335.2 254.5 80.7 482.1 4,197.0 4,227.0 GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Total Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysi IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Personal consumption expenditures Period Gross national product Total Durable goods Gross private domestic investment ble goods Services Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 110.9 113.8 117.4 121.3 126.3 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.6 114.3 119.8 124.5 130.0 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.8 105.6 108.1 110.1 111.3 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.3 112.1 116.3 122.6 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 116.8 122.4 129.0 134.9 141.2 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.7 99.3 97.5 98.7 100.3 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.3 111.1 116.2 119.7 124.5 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.0 99.8 99.5 103.3 106.2 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 102.7 104.9 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.0 109.7 112.4 115.9 119.6 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.2 110.2 111.1 114.0 117.8 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.2 108.1 116.7 123.6 125.3 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 114.9 118.3 123.2 128.8 135.0 IV IV IV IV IV IV 101.7 105.4 109.0 112.2 115.1 118.6 101.8 105.7 109.3 113.1 115.8 121.8 100.7 103.1 104.1 104.7 106.2 109.0 101.0 103.1 105.8 108.7 107.8 113.7 102.7 108.3 113.5 119.0 124.9 131.5 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.9 100.0 97.0 99.1 103.1 107.2 109.0 112.4 118.7 100.0 102.6 102.4 100.5 99.0 99.7 99.3 97.2 96.2 95.9 94.4 100.6 101.3 103.8 108.5 110.6 107.7 112.5 102.0 104.7 108.3 111.3 109.7 111.3 99.5 100.3 108.9 108.8 101.7 116.8 102.2 106.3 111.7 116.5 120.0 125.1 1988: m 121.9 123.3 125.1 126.5 110.2 111.2 117.1 118.2 135.6 137.3 98.4 100.6 119.6 120.4 104.7 105.1 102.7 104.0 114.9 118.2 114.4 114.9 117.1 128.7 129.6 130.8 1989: I n m rv 124.5 125.9 126.9 127.9 128.0 129.8 130.4 131.8 111.2 110.8 111.4 111.7 120.0 123.3 122.9 124.0 139.0 140.4 141.8 143.4 100.4 100.2 100.3 100.1 122.1 124.2 125.6 126.2 106.3 106.6 106.0 106.1 105.6 105.9 103.6 104.4 118.9 118.2 119.8 121.5 117.4 117.8 118.3 117.7 123.8 119.2 125.0 134.2 132.9 134.4 135.6 136.9 1990: I r 129.6 134.2 112.8 127.9 145.3 101.1 126.5 106.3 105.8 123.4 121.2 130.2 138.8 1980 1981 1982 . . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 1987: rv Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross national product Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 . . . 1989 1982- IV 1983: IV 1984- IV 1985: IV 1986- IV 1987: IV 1988- m IV 1989- I n. IV 1990: I r -0.2 1.9 -2.5 3.6 6.8 3.4 2.7 3.7 4.4 3.0 .6 7.3 1.7 3.0 2.3 6.6 3.2 2.7 3.7 2.5 3.0 1.1 1.9 8.9 11.7 3.7 7.6 10.8 6.4 5.4 6.9 7.9 7.2 4.2 12.4 4.7 6.2 4.2 9.0 7.5 7.5 7.9 7.1 6.2 4.6 7.1 1980 1981 Ill Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars . Implicit price deflator Personal consumption expenditures Chain price index 9.0 9.4 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.3 2.5 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.1 3.2 2.7 3.3 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.9 2.8 3.5 6.0 9.0 9.7 6.4 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.3 4.1 3.6 4.7 3.0 3.3 1.8 2.4 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.6 3.2 3.2 5.4 NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quar- Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 9.3 9.3 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.4 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.8 5.2 4.3 4.8 5.0 2.9 3.6 6.4 10.6 10.5 7.1 9.0 8.8 8.2 6.4 7.6 7.4 7.3 10.3 9.7 7.2 6.0 6.2 3.6 7.5 7.6 7.1 7.6 7.6 4.9 9.2 -0.2 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 4.7 3.9 2.8 3.4 2.7 5.3 5.5 4.3 1.9 2.2 -.7 3.3 3.0 2.0 1.9 5.6 .5 1.6 Implicit price deflator Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.9 9.2 5.7 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.1 3.1 4.2 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.8 4.7 5.8 2.1 4.4 7.2 10.7 9.2 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.4 4.8 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.0 4.0 3.9 4.4 3.9 4.6 4.8 5.7 1.9 4.4 7.5 10.5 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.1 3.2 4.3 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.9 4.8 6.3 2.2 4.4 7.5 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) 1 Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period 1980 1981 1982. 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 19861987: 1988: IV IV IV IV IV IV UI IV 1989- I II Ill IV 1990- I 1 > Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,267.1 2,367.1 2,520.7 2,731.3 2,906.9 1,779.4 2,012.5 2.201.8 2,309.4 2,408.7 2,598.4 2,754.9 2,816.4 2,842.7 2,887.2 2,936.2 2,961.4 r 2,996.2 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,117.4 2,173.9 2,282.6 2,419.5 2,481.5 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 2,137.7 2,198.5 2,343.3 2,434.1 2,453.2 2,459.1 2,471.3 2,497.2 2,498.5 2,500.0 Total cost and profit 2 Indirect business taxes 3 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1.054 1.071 1.089 1.104 1.129 1.171 1.011 1.037 1.064 1.080 1.096 1.109 1.132 1.148 1.156 1.168 1.176 1.185 1.198 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .123 .123 .123 .128 .131 .120 .118 .120 .124 .122 122 .124 .125 .126 .129 .131 .130 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .106 .106 .107 .111 .096 .098 .102 .104 .106 .106 .108 .108 .110 .111 .112 .113 .115 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol- 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment 3 4 Compensation of employees Net interest 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .704 .721 .730 .744 .781 .685 .680 .694 .713 .727 .734 .746 .756 .768 .778 .783 .795 .807 0.031 .037 .043 .037 .039 .038 .041 .047 .052 .060 .042 .037 .042 .037 .042 .050 .053 .055 .057 .060 .061 .062 .062 Total 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .106 .098 .098 .103 .091 .057 .103 .107 .106 .096 .098 .102 .105 .096 .093 .091 .085 .085 Profits tax liability 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .035 .041 .044 .040 .023 .036 .032 .033 .038 .041 .044 .045 .045 .041 .038 .037 .038 Profits after tax * 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .073 .064 .058 .059 .051 .034 .066 .075 .072 .058 .057 .058 .061 .051 .053 .053 .048 .047 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 18.524 18.643 18.704 19.217 19.682 19.996 20.456 20.908 21.393 21.411 18.770 19.422 19.784 20.116 20.650 21.176 21.469 21.446 21.356 21.364 21.522 21.488 21.375 10.769 11.777 12.635 13.039 13.528 14.069 14.746 15.252 15.907 16.725 12.866 13.208 13.735 14.341 15.008 15.535 16.024 16.213 16.407 16.625 16.843 17.089 17.247 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] National income Period Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Nonfarm Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,234.0 3,412.6 3,665.4 3,972.6 4,266.5 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,367.5 2,511.4 2,690.0 2,907.6 3,144.4 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 41.6 39.8 46.2 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 270.0 288.0 305.9 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.4 15.7 7.9 150.0 213.7 266.9 282.3 282.1 298.7 328.6 301.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 272.0 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 290.7 -10.4 109 -5.8 1.7 6.7 -18.9 250 18 7 92 17.0 32.7 59.7 53.8 50.9 46.8 29.3 272.3 281.0 304.8 319.0 325.5 351.7 392.9 460.8 IV IV IV IV IV IV 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3 312 8 3,473.1 •3,799.9 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,426.7 2,571.2 2,778.7 28.5 19.3 28.1 29.2 37.2 48,4 159.8 188.6 209.7 235.0 252.0 280.3 15.8 12.4 5.6 7.8 13.5 14.3 146.1 248.5 266.9 291.4 275.2 308.2 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 276.2 13 4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 — 20.4 -4.5 25.1 42.3 63.0 49.1 52.4 266.9 290.2 313.1 322.7 324.0 370.0 1988: HI IV 4,005.7 4,097.4 2,935.1 2,997.2 37.7 32.0 289.3 296.3 16.3 16.1 330.9 340.2 284.1 298.7 314.4 318.8 304 -20.1 46.9 41.5 396.4 415.7 1989- I n m IV 4,185.2 4,249.6 4,287.3 4,344.0 3,061.7 3,118.2 3,171.9 3,225.9 59.0 51.3 36.1 38.5 300.3 304.2 307.2 311.8 11.8 9.8 5.4 4.8 316.3 307.8 295.2 285.9 219.1 275.5 268.7 264.0 318.0 296.0 275.0 273.7 -38.3 -20.5 -6.3 -9.7 36.6 32.3 26.5 21.9 436.1 458.4 471.5 477.2 1990: I* 4,438.3 3,285.5 51.9 322.7 8.1 289.7 272.2 283.3 -11.1 17.5 480.4 198219831984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nondurable goods Durable goods Total personal Period Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Total nondurable goods Food 48.1 51.6 59.3 63.2 70.0 76.5 81.6 85.8 771.0 816.7 867.3 911.2 942.0 998.1 1,052.3 1,123.4 99.1 112.4 122.7 134.7 143.8 151.4 49.0 53.2 61.8 64.7 77.1 76.7 208.4 215.3 162.7 166.1 466.4 471.0 486.1 469.5 211.7 212.9 225.6 205.3 489.9 219.0 Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 398.8 421.9 448.5 471.6 500.0 529.2 559.7 594.9 124.4 135.1 146.7 156.4 166.8 177.2 186.8 200.1 89.1 90.2 90.0 90.6 73.5 75.2 76.8 84.0 158.7 169.5 182.1 192.6 201.7 216.6 229.0 244.5 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,345.6 1,449.5 1,591.7 1,727.6 1,874.4 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 786.6 837.9 879.6 932.7 952.1 1,015.4 407.0 430.8 456.1 482.5 511.9 536.8 126.5 141.1 149.8 160.6 168.7 180.6 89.8 91.9 89.0 91.0 66.0 76.7 163.4 174.0 184.7 198.5 205.5 221.3 1,066.5 1,161.9 1,267.1 1,394.5 1,494.4 1,643.3 6.0 1.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 81.4 86.0 1,066.2 1,078.4 567.8 574.1 188.9 193.9 78.3 77.6 231.2 232.8 1,744.7 1,778.2 7.4 7.5 3.0 3.0 172.1 173.5 173.9 174.8 82.6 84.6 86.7 89.4 1,098.3 1,121.5 1,131.4 1,142.4 587.3 592.2 598.1 601.8 195.0 198.9 202.2 204.3 77.9 89.5 85.2 83.2 238.1 241.0 245.9 253.1 1,816.7 1,851.7 1,890.6 1,938.7 7.0 7.3 7.9 6.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.6 181.1 89.8 1,168.2 616.5 208.9 85.3 257.5 1,971.2 7.0 2.8 sumption expenditures Total durable goods 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,471.1 252.7 289.1 335.5 372.2 406.0 421.0 455.2 473.2 108.9 130.4 157.4 179.1 196.2 195.5 211.6 213.9 95.7 107.1 118.8 129.9 139.7 149.1 162.0 173.6 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 263.8 310.0 346.7 373.2 422.0 424.5 115.7 144.4 162.3 173.8 201.1 196.3 3,263.4 3,324.0 452.5 467.4 IY 3,381.4 3,444.1 3,508.1 3,550.6 1990: I T 3,629.4 1982.. 1983 1984.. 1985 1986 1987. 1988 1989 . 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV ... . 1988: m ... . rv 1989: I n in .... Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Services Retail sales of new passenger cars (millions of units) Other Other Domestics Imports SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $14.0 billion (annual rate) in May following an increase of $12.0 billion in April. The changes were affected by decreases in subsidy payments to farm proprietors. Excluding these payments, personal income increased $17.9 billion in May and $21.9 billion in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 5,000 I BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 1,400 1,400 ' \ OTHER INCOME 800 1800 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 400' imilmii Illllllllll Illlllinil 1982 1983 1984 Illllllllll 1985 him miilimi 1986 1987 400 mill Illlllillll 1988 1989 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: .personal income 2 2584 2 5209 2 670 8 2 838 6 3 108 7 3 325 3 3 526 2 3 777 6 40645 4427 3 May 4 396 3 4 417 5 July 4443 7 44569 4467 1 Sept Oct/ Nov Dec 1990: Jan T.... Peb r Mar ... 4 500 3 4 541 5 4 564 1 4 603 6 4 637 9 4 674 8 Apr 4686 8 T r May".. 4 700 8 Wage and salary disbursements * 1 372 0 1 510 3 1 586 1 1 6766 1 838 6 1 9754 2 094 8 2 2494 2 429 0 2 631 1 2 603 5 2 621 7 2 644 7 2 651 0 2 6684 2 693 4 2 694 7 2 712 2 2 724 7 2 747 9 2 763 9 2 780 3 2 790 6 Proprietor ' income 3 Other labor income 1 2 138 4 150 3 163 6 173 6 182 9 187 6 199 3 212 8 2289 248 3 2460 247 5 249 1 250 7 252 2 253 8 255 3 2569 2595 261 5 263 6 265 1 266 7 Farm 205 30 7 24 6 12 4 30 5 30 2 34 7 41 6 39 8 46 2 54 3 43 2 38 8 365 32 9 39 3 38 9 37 2 44 3 49 0 62 5 52 6 49 7 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 2 Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Nonfarm 160 1 156 1 150 9 1784 204 0 225 6 247 2 270 0 2880 305 9 303 5 304 6 3063 308 0 3074 306 3 313 7 315 6 319 8 323 0 325 1 325 3 326 1 Less: income of persons 4 66 13 3 13 6 13 2 85 92 11 6 13 4 15 7 79 98 97 93 84 —16 80 102 12 2 97 7i 74 77 81 dividend income 52 9 61 3 63 9 68 7 75 5 78 7 85 8 92 0 102 2 112 4 111 4 111 8 112 8 113 3 113 6 114 8 115 8 116 4 117 2 118 1 118 8 119 8 121 0 interest income payments 5 271 9 335 4 369 7 393 1 444 7 324 7 368 1 410 6 442 6 456 6 4780 4898 493 2 523 2 571.1 521 5 548 2 6574 632 3 6552 625.5 6309 6326 6364 6402 661 8 6650 667 9 6704 674 0 677 7 681 3 6834 685 2 6870 6890 691 2 584.7 644 6 653 1 651 4 672 4 671 1 674 1 672 4 675 1 4 contributions for social insurance 886 1045 112 3 120 1 132 7 1493 161 9 172 9 194.9 214 2 212.7 213 8 2148 215 2 216.3 217 8 217.9 219 0 2273 225 0 2275 225 5 227 6 personal income 6 2 215 8 24656 2 618 7 2 799.0 3052 1 3 271 3 34694 3 7147 4,003.7 43596 4 320.5 4 352 6 4 383.1 4 3986 4 412.4 4 439 3 4 480.9 4505 1 4537 7 4567 3 45908 4612 6 46295 With capital consumption adjustment. Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. 5 6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1990. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 ^rr & 3,800 J i BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 3,800 3,400 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME n £ep*^r~ 3,000 2,600 2,200 '///f/u^-^ PERSC>NAL 7ZPZZ& i^zzz***222 ^rrrtZA •zt^ — •%ZZ^ - **~ 3,400 3,000 2,600 OUTLAY: SAVING 2,200 1,800 1,800 \ 1,400 1 i i i 1 1 1 1 i i i \ 1 1 1 1 \ \ 1 1 DOLLA *S * (RATIO SCALE) 16,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 1 1 1,400 14,000 X .. 12,000 -1 " n "^"""^ 12,000 • r 16,000 — -~ r 14,000 ->- ^ZZ~-'" 10,000 1 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 10,000 1982 DDL LARS 8,000 8,000 1 6,000 1 I i i 1 1 1983 1982 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1988 Period Personal income tax and nontax payments Equals' Disposable income Less: Persona! outlays * Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in 1982 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income 2,258.5 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,427.3 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 486.6 512.9 571.7 586.6 648.5 1,918.0 2,127.6 2,261.4 2,428.1 2,668.6 2,838.7 s',013.3 3,205.9 3,477.8 3,778.8 1 1982 Per capita personal consumption expenditures Current dollars dollars 8,421 9,243 9J24 10,340 11,257 11,861 12^469 13,140 14,116 15,186 9,722 9,769 9^724 9,930 10,419 10,625 10^905 10,970 11,337 11,680 8,320 8318 9,515 10,253 10,985 11^576 12,340 13,131 13,950 Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988. 1989 1 1989 1 1 1 6,000 1990 COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES Less: Personal 1 Current dollars 1982 dollars Dollars 1,781.1 1,968.1 2^107.5 2,297.4 2,504.5 2,713.3 2388.5 3,104.1 3,333.1 3,574.4 136.9 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 125.4 124.9 101.8 144.7 204.4 2,214.3 2,248.6 2,261.5 2,331.9 2,469.8 2,542.8 2,635.3 2,676.6 2,793.2 2,906.3 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 Percent 7,607 8,783 8,794 8318 9,139 9,489 9,839 — 1.1 .5 7.1 7.5 227,754 10,303 10,546 10,729 2.1 4.9 2.0 2.6 .6 3.3 3.0 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.4 4.1 3.2 4.2 5.4 230,182 232^549 234,829 237,051 239,322 241^660 243,985 246,378 248,831 — .5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 3,399.1 3,597.8 3,908.7 411.1 413.9 459.7 499.6 534.4 589.2 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,899.5 3,063.4 3,319.4 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,787.7 2,961.4 3,177.6 143.1 145.4 157.3 111.7 102.0 141.8 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,562.8 2,646.2 2,726.2 9,929 10,725 11,467 12,068 12,629 13,552 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,667 10,909 11,130 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,240 11,825 12,588 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,935 10,214 10,338 1.2 9.1 1.7 3.3 .3 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.9 3.3 4.3 233,466 235,707 237,946 240,257 242,579 244,936 1988: HI.... IV 4,097.6 4,185.2 585.9 597.8 3,511.7 3,587.4 3,362.1 3,424.0 149.6 163.4 2,806.4 2,835.9 14,235 14,504 11,377 11,466 13,229 13,439 10,572 10,624 3.7 3.2 4.3 4.6 246,685 247,343 1989: I IV 4,317.8 4,400.3 4,455.9 4,535.3 628.3 652.6 649.1 664.1 3,689.5 3,747.7 3,806.8 3,871.3 3,483.8 3,547.0 3,611.7 3,655.3 205.7 200.7 195.1 216.0 2,881.7 2,887.6 2,919.2 2,936.9 14,884 15,084 15,280 15,495 11,625 11,622 11,717 11,755 13,641 13,862 14,081 14,212 10,654 10,681 10,798 10,782 5.7 -.1 3.3 1.3 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.6 247,890 248,456 249,143 249,836 1990: I r 4,638.8 672.3 3,966.5 3,735.0 231.5 2,955.4 15,840 11,802 14,494 10,800 1.6 5.8 250,409 IV IV IV IV IV IV n m.... 1 consumers to business, and personIncludes personal consumption expenditures, interest 1 transfer payments to foreigners (net). 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $0.2 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $5.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 240 200 BILLIC)NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 240 200 ^ 160 x 1—""" ^_ ' ' r- ^^s. , \ s**^. _—,r,. — _-••''' 1• I i •— 160 120 120 80 80 An 60 40 40 20 20 10 10 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total ' Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989" 1987- in. IV 1988: I n m IV 1989: I n ffl IV" 1 149.3 166.4 163.5 152.9 175.0 166.3 160.3 171.7 177.6 190.6 167.8 175.9 174.7 182.0 175.0 178.6 195.0 194.7 186.1 186.3 139.7 141.7 142.6 136.5 142.5 144.1 135.5 139.5 151.5 157.9 144.8 138.1 144.4 148.8 160.4 152.2 153.1 160.5 163.5 154.6 Livestock and products 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.5 74.3 64.0 63.8 72.6 74.1 66.9 62.2 62.6 73.5 82.1 71.9 68.9 79.0 82.0 66.6 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 73.0 69.8 71.5 75.7 78.9 83.8 77.8 75.8 81.8 75.3 78.3 80.3 84.2 81.5 81.5 88.0 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. Crops 3 Value of inventory changes 2 63 6.5 14 -10.9 6.3 -2.4 27 — .4 43 5.8 -.2 -1.7 -4.0 44 -4.7 41 7.0 5.8 4.8 5.5 Production expenses Current dollars 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 134.0 122.4 128.0 135.0 142.0 131.3 131.7 130.2 133.7 138.2 137.8 141.7 144.1 143.6 138.7 1982 dollars 3 16.2 27.0 23.5 12.5 32.3 32.3 37.9 43.5 42.6 48.6 36.3 44.1 44.5 48.3 36.8 40.8 53.3 50.6 42.5 47.6 Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation Joans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. 18.8 28.7 23.5 12.0 29.9 29.1 33.4 37.1 35.2 38.4 30.9 37.2 37.4 40.0 30.2 33.1 42.8 40.2 33.5 37.2 CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $9.6 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits rose $1.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360, 360 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 3201 320 /^ \ 280 !/ y PROFITS BEFORE TAX 240 r^\ f* 200 . 280 / 240 *\ 200 / 160 ^ f 120 s s — — **' X ^ — ~^ v PRC3FITS AFTER T/W y—"~~" 160 ""X ^^i. s ' ' X *^.— . TAX LIABILIT 120 ; 80 80 UNDISTF IBUTED PROFI' rs -/ S 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1983 1982 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 x V—| *""" --\ 40 I 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1987 i \ i 40 1 1 1 1 1 n 1 1990 1989 1988 COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Total 2 Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 1984: 1985: 19861987: 1988: 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 272.0 IV IV.. . IV IV IV IV III IV 1989: I... n m rv 1990: I r . 1 2 Profits before tax Nonfinancial Period 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 191,4 195.2 208.7 238.2 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 224.1 121.6 190.7 193.9 193.6 193.4 211.8 284.1 298.7 239.0 252.2 279.7 275.5 268.7 264.0 233.1 231.8 272.2 220.4 223.0 208.6 Financial 21.0 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 22.8 32.0 30.5 29.8 22.2 18.7 15.5 13.6 26.0 28.6 29.9 31.6 30.1 29.3 28.6 17.8 13.0 21.5 Total 3 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 168.6 163.2 178.2 208.4 202.0 102.9 175.2 180.3 167.6 164.8 181.9 207.3 222.1 203.9 203.2 205.2 195.6 198.9 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. Manufacturing Tax liability Wholesale and retail trade 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 79.7 59.5 76.6 98.4 86.9 46.8 88.6 79.8 83.8 64.8 84.5 95.1 105.5 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 44.1 44.1 41.1 40.1 39.1 237.1 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 290.7 33.6 43.1 51.8 38.5 41.0 41.2 39.2 41.8 164.1 231.5 226.1 96.5 90.3 86.6 74.4 80.5 34.1 36.9 41.9 43.6 38.4 3 235.0 234.1 276.2 314.4 318.8 318.0 296.0 275.0 273.7 283.3 Total Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.4 106.3 124.7 137.9 129.7 59.8 88.1 87.0 99.8 113.1 127.3 141.2 143.2 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 127.8 115.3 142.0 168.9 161.0 104.3 143.4 139.2 135.2 121.0 148.9 173.2 175.6 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 83.3 91.3 98.7 110.4 122.1 68.5 73.9 80.8 84.0 93.6 102.8 112.2 115.2 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 44.6 24.0 43.3 58.5 38.9 35.8 69.5 58.4 51.2 27.4 46.1 61.1 60.4 -43.1 -24.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -18.9 -25.0 -18.7 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -20.4 -30.4 -20.1 144.4 134.9 122.6 116.9 124.8 173.6 161.1 152.4 156.7 158.5 118.5 120.9 123.3 125.6 128.1 55.1 40.2 29,1 31.1 30.4 -38.3 -20.5 -6.3 -9.7 — 11.1 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment rose $14.7 billion (annual rate} and residential investment rose $5.9 billion. There was an $11.7 billion decrease in inventories, following an increase of $26.1 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Ar. 800 JAL RATES 800 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT /> \ 700r i 500 -—~~x f—^\ A 600 / " 's- ^ ^~~ " ^~"1 700 - — ^] 600 - N 3NRESIDENTIA L CIV ED INVESTMEf- U 500 --"" / - ---•" 400 400 ""•*... . - --' RE 5IDENTIAL 300 FIXED - \ - _J... 200 200 .^._- "" - - CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENT DRIES 100 ' - *•» i t ___ ^_ 4 0 -** -100 300 INVESTMENT 1 1 1 1982 t i i 1983 1 1984 1 1 -\ N i i i 1986 1985 100 — 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643 1 659.4 6999 750.3 7734 .. 1989- I 769.6 775.0 779.1 770.1 n m IV ... Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 409.6 579.8 661.8 854.1 648.8 749.7 771.1 752.8 TTT rv 1990- I r 1 1 1 1989 t 1 1 1990 -100 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] ...,„ I^ised investmen Gross private domestic Producers' Total investment durable Structures Total equipment IV IV IV IV IV IV N 0 VENT OF COMMERCE 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982198319841985198619871988' - 752.9 445 3 491.5 471 8 509.4 597 1 631 8 6525 6706 719.6 7463 469.5 548.8 6168 646.8 660.9 686.3 7265 734.1 742.0 747.6 751.7 744.0 764.6 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.9 435.2 444.3 487.2 511.7 354.9 383.9 435.0 451.3 435.8 458.6 493.2 495.8 503.1 512.5 519.6 511.4 526.1 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 153 2 139.0 1338 140.3 144.9 137.6 127.4 146.6 155.9 133.7 138.9 142.0 142.5 144.7 142.4 146.2 146.4 151.3 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 2897 296.2 3105 346.8 366.7 217.3 256.5 288.4 295.5 302.2 319.7 351.3 353.3 358.5 370.1 373.4 365.0 374.8 Change ir business Residential 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 188.8 217.3 226.4 232.4 234.6 114.7 164.9 181.8 195.5 225.1 227.7 233.2 238.4 238.8 235.1 232.1 232.6 238.5 Nonfarm Total — 8.3 24.0 — 24.5 -7.1 67.7 11.3 6.9 29.3 30.6 27.1 — 59.9 31.0 45.0 7.2 — 12.2 63.3 44.6 18.7 27.7 27.4 27.4 26.1 11.7 24 18.3 23 1 .4 60.5 146 8.6 305 34.2 22 2 -51 1 21.3 41 3 23.7 -80 61.3 41 5 40.8 19.1 23.6 19.8 264 -16.1 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 6.7 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.4 percent in 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 60U SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 500 500 ^ 400 r ^~^T ALL INDlJSTRIES . ^-^ -^ 300 ^\ ^-——.. ^ " 400 ' ^ 300 ^ ,_^ ._ .^ — _._..r-200 \ \ NONM/\NUFACTURIN Gil .S*' % «•» *. „-'"' •--^x 200 \ MANUFACT JRING 100 100 I 1 1982 I 1 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1987 1986 1985 1 \ 1 1 1988 J/SURVEYED QUARTERLY ^/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 8ELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 1989 1 31 tJ ll 1 1 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Nonmanufaeturing Manufacturing Period All industries Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 4 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 389.67 430.76 475 52 507.23 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 190.89 55.36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 71.01 78.30 83.68 85.71 1988: I II Ill IV .... 413 34 427.54 435.61 442.11 157 97 162.62 188.76 173.32 1989: I III IV .. 459.47 470.86 484.93 486.80 1990: I ' II4 III * IV4 . 500.29 506.84 511 59 510.21 II 10 Total nonfarm business 2 Nonmanufaeturing Manufacturing Total Surveyed quarterly 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 294.77 317.17 347.50 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 316.34 Non- 1 durable Total ' goods Mining Transportation Public utilities Commercial and other 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.88 88.01 100.86 105.18 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 316.34 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.39 12.66 12.52 13.40 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.34 24.59 28.21 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 47.48 48.81 46.38 44.88 46.67 50.72 52.51 100.14 110.24 109.63 114.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.65 183.76 203.14 222.22 75.28 77.38 79.15 80.56 82.69 85.24 89.62 92.76 255.37 264.92 266.85 268.79 12.61 13.15 12.53 12.38 20 35 20.95 22.02 22.04 45 05 45.60 46.69 48.73 177 37 185.21 185.61 185.65 157 97 162.62 168.76 173.32 255 37 264.92 266.85 268.79 175.22 181.53 187.66 1S3.76 81.26 82.97 85.66 84.84 93.96 98.57 102.00 108.92 284.24 289.33 297.28 293.04 12.15 12.70 12.59 12.65 23.13 24.26 28.53 22.43 50.81 52.01 49.57 50.50 198.15 200.36 206.59 207.46 175 22 181.53 187.66 193.76 284.24 289.33 297.28 293.04 192.36 189.53 190.32 191.35 88.04 83.97 84.99 85.86 104.32 105.56 105.33 105.49 307.93 317.31 321.28 318.86 12.86 13.77 14.02 12.95 28.07 27.11 30.48 27.17 49.53 54.54 53.97 52.01 217.46 221.89 222.82 226.73 192.36 189.53 190.32 191.35 307.93 317.31 321.28 318.86 Durable goods 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 440.66 483.48 532.04 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 190.89 Surveyed annually 3 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In May, civilian employment rose 234,000 and unemployment fell 117,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS' MILLIONS OF PERSONS' 126 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 122 122 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 118 118 114 114 110 110 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 106 106 102 102 98 x / 12 8 UNEMPLOYMENT 4 0 1982 1986 1983 1987 1989 1988 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons It? years of age and over, exeept as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted hy NSA] Period Resident Armed Forces 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 121,669 123,869 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 3,368 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,169 3,199 187,854 187,995 188,286 188,428 188,580 188,721 188,865 1,673 1,666 1,666 1,688 1,702 1,709 1,704 1,700 125,224 125,777 125,679 125,758 125,725 125,857 126,192 126,246 118,805 119,208 119,102 119,238 119,121 119,294 119,540 119,588 123,551 124,111 124,013 124,070 124,023 124,148 124,488 124,546 117,132 117,542 117,436 117,550 117,419 117,585 117,836 117,888 188,990 189,090 189,198 189,326 189,467 1,697 1,678 1,669 1,657 1,639 126,094 126,308 126,498 126,543 126,643 119,560 119,713 120,003 119,773 119,989 124,397 124,630 124,829 124,886 125,004 117,863 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1988 1989 1989: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1 188,149 Unemployment Civilian employment Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA NSA Labor force including resident Armed Forces Employment including resident Armed Forces Nonagricultiiral Civilian labor force 1 Total 118,035 118,334 118,116 118,350 Agricultural Total Part time for economic reasons 1 Total 15 weeks and over Civilian Labor force participation rate (percent) 2 Employment/ population ratio (percent) 2 106,434 109,232 111,800 114,142 5,852 10,678 5,997 10,717 5,512 8,539 5,334 8,312 8,237 5,345 5,122 1 7,425 6,701 4,965 6,528 4,657 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1 ,983 1,610 1,375 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 59.0 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 3,137 3,138 3,217 3,275 3,219 3,197 3,160 3,197 113,995 114,404 114,219 114,275 114,200 114,388 114,676 114,691 4,643 4,738 4,583 4,567 4,605 4,526 4,552 4,554 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6.652 6,658 1,331 1,295 1,461 1 ,338 1,359 1,378 1,422 1,362 66.4 66.6 66.5 66.5 66.4 66.4 66.6 66.5 62.9 63.1 63.0 63.0 62.9 62.9 63.0 63.0 3,134 3,079 3,200 3,133 3,305 114,728 114,957 115,133 114,983 115,045 4,729 4,703 4,747 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 1,430 1,369 1,333 1,386 1,374 66.4 66.5 66.6 66.5 66.6 62.9 63.0 63.1 62.9 63.0 97,030 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 4,499 4,630 4,666 8,273 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In May, the overall unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent and the civilian unemployment rate fell slightly, to 5.3 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 /V 15 15 10 10 SA •v\ -'X. TEENAGERS (16-19) -J\ H/e \ /"s. I\ t . v y V -^ WOMEN 20 YEARS AN DOVER y^».. - ™~j^>^ MEN 20 YEARS ANDOV ER ,,,,,!,,,,, I! i 1 1 i ! 1 1 1 1 1986 1990 -«w« 1 ! 11 E 1I 11 1 H I M 1 11 H H 1987 1989 1988 'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1 1 11 1 1 1 11 1 1 1990 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 . 1989: Women 20 years and over Both sexes 16-19 years White Black and other Black Experienced wage and salary workers Married men, spouse present Women who maintain families Fulltime workers 6.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4^7 4.5 ! 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 100 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 4.3 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 7.3 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 Oct Nov Dec 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 15.0 15.4 15.1 14.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 15.2 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 9.6 10.2 9.6 9.7 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 11.1 11.8 11.0 11.2 11.7 11.7 11.9 11.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 8.2 7.9 8.5 8.0 7.7 7.8 8.2 8.1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.4 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.6 14.5 14.8 14.4 14.7 15.5 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.6 10.1 9.2 9.4 9.1 9.3 11.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.4 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.0 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 7.5 7.5 8.4 7.5 7.4 May Sept 1 Men 20 years and over By selected groups By race 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 Aug 2 By sex and age All civilian workers 7.5 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 June .... July 1990: Unemployment rate, all workers 1 7.6 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. Aggregate bonrs lost bv tile unemployed and persons on part iime for economic reasons as per- 12 cent of potentially available labor force hours. Snnrce: Denartment of Labor. Ryreao o! l.anir Statistics. Parttime workers Labor force iime lost (percent) 2 9.4 8.5 10.5 10.4 11.0 10.9 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 6.9 7.7 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.9 7.0 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.4 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.0 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In May, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 15-26 weeks rose. The mean duration of unemployment fell and the median rose. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT TW-x/ ^"^v**»>t *^ WV~]V\A'J \s JOB LOSERS REENTRANTS ^X _/.-.'v" •VV.A-V ,-'"'V\. .'V JC B LEAVERS \ <5>AoO<r" y^C^ 10 - ^A^- J\ ^V ^s/ NEW ENTR \NTS Ifllllllltl 1986 1986 1990 it t t 1 1 1 tut II II 1 t M 1 1 1 1 t I M 1 1 1 1 tt 1987 1988 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1989 111 111 11 11 1 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Duration of unemployment Unemployment (thousands) Period Number of weeks Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 48.0 49.8 47.9 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.8 49.5 47.5 47.8 48.6 47.4 45.6 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 31.2 30.5 29.9 31.0 31.0 30.5 29.8 30.1 30.7 31.5 31.1 32.2 33.7 State programs 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Median 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 11.1 10.4 12.7 11.7 11.7 11.4 11.5 10.9 11.8 11.1 10.7 10.3 11.5 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 9.7 9.3 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.7 9.8 9.5 9.9 9.7 9.6 10.2 9.2 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 11.9 11.2 11.9 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.6 11.5 12.1 11.7 12.0 12.1 11.6 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.4 Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 43.4 43.0 44.5 46.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.3 48.5 47.1 46.3 46.8 47.4 11.2 7.9 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 17.1 15.6 15.5 16.1 15.8 15.2 15.7 15.8 15.5 15.3 15.5 17.5 15.2 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 28.7 30.4 29.0 27.6 29.4 28.9 27.6 27.7 26.3 27.4 28.4 26.5 27.2 11.9 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.0 9.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.8 9.2 10.2 Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment, all regular programs (unadjusted)' Weekly average, thousands 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar May 1 . . 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 Includes Slate (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen fUCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program. 3,047 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,193 2,269 2,068 2,133 2,194 2,169 2,208 2,295 2,305 2,373 2,367 2,334 2,349 2,381 2,400 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 316 331 334 323 331 366 348 367 359 357 347 360 351 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,248 2,324 1,957 1,936 2,168 2,007 1,863 1,912 2,146 2,518 3,059 2,992 2,843 2,526 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 164,000 in May. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MILLIONS OF PERSONS* no 100 28 SERVICES _ =^— 26 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS .s-" - \^" .-•'*" — - 24 90 —.^•"'^ _ 80 - — \ SER\ ICE-PRODUC ING - 1 ETAIL TRAD! 20 INDUSTRIES 70 _- —-^ 18 60 - 16 - r 18 lilllllimillllltllllll V = \ , MAf vlUFACTURIN 7 \ iniiliiiii Illllllllll 6 GOODS-P JODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 ""GOVERNMENT 1 \ frmlfim imiTnm iiiiiliiiiimiiiliiiii ii mill iih n 20 — ' I/ 50 40 - 22 -J_ —^— | ~ iiiiiliniik 1 _^_ 4 20 Ii 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I1I l l t f l 1 1 II ii i til n in1 1 1 1 1 1 it n i mulling ' 1986 1987 1988 1990 " 1989 III mill ill II r 1986 Mil 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 f i l l 1 1 1 ! 1 1 Illll II 1 1988 1987 •SEASONALLY ADJ USTED SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR ipuliirii) 1990 1989 * COUNCIL OF EC ONOM1C ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Goods-producing industries Period Total nonagricultural employment Manufacturing Total 2 Construction Pnn Total ~?hie goods Nondurable goods D Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail e Government Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Total Federal 1986 1987 1988 1989 91,156 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,584 108,581 25,497 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 24,558 24,708 25,249 25,634 4,188 3,905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,816 4,967 5,125 5,300 20,170 18,781 18,434 19,378 19,260 18,965 19,024 19,403 19,612 12,109 11,039 10,732 11,505 11,490 11,230 11,194 11,437 11,536 8,061 7,741 7,702 7,873 7,770 7,734 7,830 7,967 8,076 65,659 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74,967 77,492 80,335 82,947 5,165 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,255 5,372 5,548 5,705 5,358 5,278 5,268 5,555 5,717 5,753 5,844 6,029 6,234 15,189 15,179 15,613 16,545 17,356 17,930 18,483 19,110 19,575 5,298 5,341 5,468 5,689 5,955 6,283 6,547 6,676 6,814 18,619 19,036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,053 24,236 25,600 26,892 16,031 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,372 17,727 2,772 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 1989: May.... June ... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Oct Nov .... Dec 108,310 108,607 108,767 108,887 109,096 109,171 109,452 109,570 25,672 25,648 25,669 25,694 25,614 25,603 25,609 25,532 5,283 5,283 5,314 5,321 5,325 5,335 5,355 5,304 19,667 19,650 19,649 19,644 19,559 19,537 19,517 19,489 11,594 11,567 11,549 11,551 11,480 11,457 11,439 11,409 8,073 8,083 8,100 8,093 8,079 8,080 8,078 8,080 82,638 82,959 83,098 83,193 83,482 83,568 83,843 84,038 5,700 5,716 5,736 5,618 5,709 5,729 5,753 5,834 6,222 6,230 6,237 6,256 6,264 6,278 6,300 6,311 19,528 19,551 19,586 19,621 19,632 19,679 19,744 19,718 6,790 6,808 6,815 6,836 6,852 6,851 6,871 6,885 26,711 26,931 26,973 27,058 27,159 27,188 27,345 27,419 17,687 17,723 17,751 17,804 17,866 17,843 17,830 17,871 2,999 2,995 3,000 2,999 2,996 2,984 2,982 2,974 1990: 109,931 110,304 110,427 110,404 110,568 25,518 25,686 25,606 25,491 25,439 5,418 5,485 5,432 5,332 5,313 19,355 19,452 19,423 19,404 19,369 11,287 11,398 11,385 11,352 11,339 8,068 8,054 8,038 8,052 8,030 84,413 84,618 84,821 84,913 85,129 5,850 5,865 5,875 5,871 5,879 6,332 6,332 6,342 6,338 6,354 19,822 19,794 19,785 19,807 19,803 6,896 6,916 6,922 6,919 6,924 27,557 27,709 27,783 27,761 27,798 17,956 18,002 18,114 18,217 18,371 2,998 3,006 3,088 3,155 3,289 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Jan Feb Mar r.. Apr r... May ".. 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed" persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor foice, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly earnings Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Period Total private mmagricultural 1 Total Current dollars Total private nonagncultural ' Manufacturing Overtime Total private nonagricultural I Manufacturing Current dollars 1977 dollars 2 Manufacturing Construction Retail trade Percent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultural 3 Current dollars 1977 dollars 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 39.8 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 $7.25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.29 9.66 $7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.18 10.47 $255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.36 335.20 $170.13 168.09 171.26 172.78 170.42 171.07 169.28 167.81 166.52 $318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.40 429.27 $399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 493.08 506.72 $158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 178.70 183.62 189.01 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.0 -1.5 12 1.9 .9 -1.4 .4 10 9 8 1989- May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 34.6 34.6 34.8 34.6 34.7 34.7 34.6 34.5 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.8 40.7 40.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 9.60 9.62 9.69 9.69 9.74 9.78 9.78 9.83 10.42 10.45 10.48 10.52 10.55 10.55 10.57 10.61 332.16 332.85 337.21 335.27 337.98 339.37 338.39 339.14 165.17 165.10 166.85 165.98 166.74 166.85 165.80 165.51 427.22 428.45 429.68 431.32 432.55 430.44 430.20 430.77 494.17 498.17 511.30 510.73 510.16 514.75 521.87 508.64 187.56 188.43 190.97 189.22 189.50 191.69 190.37 190.86 3.3 3.5 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.4 20 -1.6 9 -.9 .7 -.9 -1.4 -1.1 1990: 34.5 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 40.7 40.7 40.8 40.7 41.1 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 4.0 9.83 9.88 9.92 9.95 9.99 10.55 10.65 10.71 10.73 10.83 339.14 341.85 343.23 344.27 345.65 163.68 164.11 164.22 164.57 165.07 429.39 433.46 436.97 436.71 445.11 518.93 521.08 514.55 499.45 513.55 192.67 193.92 195.08 196.04 195.94 2.7 3.8 3.9 2.6 4.1 -2.4 -1.3 -1.3 -1.8 1 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ... Jan Feb Mar r Apr ' May' 1 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban workers (on a 1977= 100 base). 3 tee earners and clerical Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY [Not seasonally adjusted] Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100) 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Period 1981: 1982: 1983: Dec Dec Dec 1984: Dec..... 1985: Dec 1986: Dec 1987: Dec 1988: Dec 1989: Dec 1987: Mar... . June Sept. Dec 1988: Mar June Sept .. Dec 1989: Mar.. June Sept Dec 1990: Mar . . 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries 71.2 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90.1 93.1 97.6 102.3 91.0 91.6 92.5 93.1 94.5 95.7 96.6 97.6 98.8 100.0 101.2 102.3 103.9 73.0 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 92.0 92.6 93.5 94.1 95.0 96.1 97.0 98.0 99.0 100.0 101.2 102.0 103.2 Benefits 66.6 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 88.2 89.0 89.6 90.5 93.4 94.7 95.7 96.7 98.4 100.0 101.4 102.6 105.5 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 .9 .7 1.0 9.9 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 32 3.3 4.8 4.8 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.3 8.8 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.3 12.1 7.2 7.4 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 2.8 3.4 3.0 3.4 1.0 1.2 .9 1.0 3.2 1.4 1.1 1.0 3.8 4.5 4.4 4.8 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.1 5.9 6.4 6.8 6.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 1.2 2.8 5.2 4.2 7.2 Total compensation Wages and salaries 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 1.0 .7 1.0 .6 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 1.0 .7 1.0 .6 1.5 1.3 .9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.6 Benefits ' Benefits ' Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Output ' Business sector Compensation per hour 3 Hours of all persons 2 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1980 1981 1982. . 1983 1984 1985. .. 1986 1987... 1988 1989 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 1985: IV 1986: IV 1987: IV 1988: I II in IV 1989: I II in IV 1990: lr'.... 99.4 101.0 100.2 102.6 105.2 99.0 100.0 99.1 102.0 104.2 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 107.3 107.9 105.3 107.2 113.3 107.8 108.5 105.9 108.0 114.4 131.8 144.1 154.9 160.8 167.4 131.6 144.0 154.7 160.8 167.2 97.0 96.1 97.3 97.8 97.6 96.7 96.0 97.1 97.8 97.5 132.6 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 132.9 144.0 156.1 157.6 160.4 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 154.3 159.0 107.3 109.8 111.1 113.0 114.2 105.6 107.7 108.9 111.1 112.1 124.2 128.0 133.4 140.0 144.8 123.9 127.6 133.1 140.3 145.0 117.4 118.4 122.2 126.3 129.4 174.8 183.8 191.0 200.2 211.2 174.0 182.9 189.8 198.7 209.5 98.4 101.7 101.9 102.5 103.2 98.0 101.1 101.2 101.8 102.4 162.8 167.5 171.9 177.1 184.9 164.9 169.8 174.2 178.8 186.9 162.2 165.6 170.0 174.9 181.7 163.8 167.6 172.0 176.5 183.3 100.9 103.5 105.7 108.3 109.8 112.5 99.5 103.0 104.5 106.2 107.6 110.2 105.0 113.6 120.8 125.9 128.9 136.7 104.2 114.1 120.7 125.5 128.4 136.4 104.7 110.8 115.5 118.1 119.3 123.7 158.2 163.2 169.9 178.6 187.4 195.1 158.0 162.9 169.6 177.5 186.4 193.8 97.9 97.8 97.8 99.3 102.8 102.5 97.8 97.6 97.6 98.7 102.3 101.8 156.8 157.7 160.7 164.9 170.6 173.5 158.7 1582 162.3 167.1 173.2 175.8 150.2 155.2 159.8 163.7 167.1 171.3 151.4 156.2 161.0 165.5 169.2 173.4 113.2 112.6 113.4 113.5 111.0 110.5 111.5 112.0 138.2 139.3 140.7 141.9 138.0 139.5 141.1 142.8 124.3 126.2 126.6 127.5 196.4 199.1 201.9 204.5 195.0 197.5 200.2 203.0 102.3 102.6 102.8 103.0 101.5 101.8 101.9 102.3 173.5 176.9 178.0 180.2 175.7 178.7 179,6 181.3 171.9 174.1 175.8 177.9 173.8 175.6 177.0 179.6 113.8 114.2 114.7 114.8 111.6 111.9 112.6 112.7 143.6 144.4 145.6 145.7 143.6 144.6 145.9 146.0 128.6 129.2 129.6 129.5 206.9 210.4 212.8 215.7 205.5 208.3 211.0 214.1 102.8 103.0 103.5 103.9 102.1 102.0 102.6 103.1 181.9 184.1 185.6 187.9 184.1 186.1 187.4 189.9 179.4 181.4 182.4 183.7 180.8 182.8 184.0 185.6 114.1 112.0 146.1 146.4 115.7 116.6 120.1 123.9 126.8 104.1 109.7 114.3 116.2 117.4 121.5 122.1 123.8 124.0 125.0 126.2 126.4 127.0 127.0 128.0 130.8 218.2 216.3 103.0 102.2 191.1 193.2 186.1 187.7 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1980 1981. 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 198-7: 1988- -0.3 1.5 -.7 2.4 2.6 -0.4 1.1 9 3.0 2.1 11 2.1 -3.1 4.2 8.4 12 1.7 -3.3 5.0 8.3 2.0 2.3 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.1 2.0 .9 4.2 3.1 4.2 4.9 , 3.4 3.9 3.0 4.4 5.4 3.3 2.6 3.3 1.5 1.5 .8 2.8 2.0 1.6 .9 .8 .4 2.5 K 10.4 3.5 3.6 4.0 7.1 -1.2 9.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 7.0 m 2.5 21 3.1 .2 2.8 -1.6 3.3 1.9 4.4 3.3 4.0 3.4 4.8 4.4 4.6 4.8 n m 1.1 1.6 1.5 .4 -1.3 1.1 2.4 .5 4.8 2.3 3.5 .3 2.4 2.8 3.7 .3 -2.7 1.1 1.0 . IV IV IV IV IV IV I II IV 1989: I IV 1990: I r *.... -2.1 -0.8 .6 -2.4 1.8 5.7 2.2 .8 3.0 3.2 2.3 -3.0 6.8 2.0 2.1 3.2 4.2 1.9 5.5 .9 3.2 3.7 .6 1.9 .0 3.4 .6 24 2.0 6.0 10.5 9.3 7.5 3.8 4.1 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.0 3.9 -2.6 -.9 1.2 .6 -.2 -2.6 7 1.1 .7 4 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 9.7 9.7 6.3 3.5 3.0 2.6 .9 3.2 3.4 2.4 4.4 5.2 3.9 4.8 5.5 4.1 5.1 3.7 4.7 5.5 .8 3.3 .2 .6 .7 .5 3.2 .1 .5 .6 2.3 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.7 4.5 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.9 3.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.8 -3.1 8.1 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.1 5.7 3.5 6.3 5.1 7.2 4.6 4.4 3.5 5.8 5.1 7.1 2.8 1.6 .0 2.1 2.2 3.3 1.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 4.2 4.3 2.6 2.8 2.6 5.0 4.7 4.5 2.4 4.8 2.7 2.6 1.0 1.4 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.7 2.0 6.1 1.2 2.8 2.6 5.7 5.8 5.2 2.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 8 1.2 .7 .8 3.3 .3 .0 1.6 2.2 3.2 g .9 .5 1.5 .1 8.0 2.6 5.0 -.3 7.1 2.0 3.8 1.5 5.1 4.1 4.8 1.0 4.3 3.2 5.9 3.7 1.7 1.3 -.2 4.8 6.8 4.7 5.6 4.9 5.6 5.3 6.0 -.6 .8 1.9 1.5 -.5 -.4 2.4 1.9 3.7 5.1 3.2 5.2 6.2 4.5 2.8 5.5 3.3 4.6 2.2 2.9 2.8 4.4 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.7 4.1 7.0 7.0 5.4 4.6 -0.7 1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 16 -3.2 -3.7 NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the work site rather than hours paid. * Data do not reflect GNP revisions of June 21, 1990. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in May. INDEX, 1987=100* (RATIO SCALE) 115 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 110 s~^\ 105 INDEX, 1987=100' (RATIO SCALE) 130 FINAL PRODUCTS 125 r—""""Ir^" —^1— 100 110 ^ iimliiiiimiiiliiiii iimimii imilmn miilimi 90 1 13 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION^ ^r^^—^*~V ~\ no r DURABLE 105 / .^ \" — ' 95 90 100 ^f£/ 95 115 110 imilimi I l l l l l l l l l l Illllllllll UTILITIES AND MINI MG PRODUCTION \ UTILITIES . \ r r^^ MINING 95 ^ ,\yp '~' 90 Illllllllll IIUllllUI 1986 1987 v rt i 86 iiiiilinii /^S^ ~J~ 80 1989 v_ArA>_i I T UN LIZA (TOTAL NDUSTRY) millllllllimillllll Illllllllll IUM K A I C /~-^\ /•Hr-^ 82 78 1988 ,-' ^ 84 V Illllllllll Illllllllll ---sV PERCENT* ,' I /"• v/ /N 105 100 *W^ GOODS \^ /-\ —. —• ^~— -*/ UbHkNbt AND SPACE r '%_',-S\ ---' 85 Illlllllll! iimfimimmlimi 90 .a*&?' 100 .^ H '<•,- /I s~~f CONSUMER Y -^ 105 v r BUSINESS bQUIPMfcNI 115 95 ^ ^ /X 120 Illllllllll 76 1990 r^^ \^ \^" -/ ^-^—^ / Illllllllll iimlimi 1986 1987 Illllllllll 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM iiiiiliiiii 1989 Illllllllll 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Period Index, 1987 = 100 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 1989: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb 'r Marr Apr May p 1 Output as percent of capacity. Capacity utilization rate, percent 1 Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100 Total industrial production Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier Mining Durable Total Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 19 1.9 44 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 78.8 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 75.7 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 83.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 110.0 114.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 95.9 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 82.1 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 80.2 78.8 72.8 74.9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 108.3 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 3.3 3.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 109.2 109.3 108.6 109.1 109.1 108.4 108.9 108.8 111.4 111.8 110.6 111.3 111.5 109.4 110.1 110.4 106.4 106.2 106.1 106.2 106.0 107.2 107.3 106.7 101.1 100.4 100.0 100.7 101.6 100.7 101.2 100.1 106.3 106.3 106.6 106.2 105.9 107.4 108.3 116.1 84.6 84.6 83.9 84.0 83.9 83.3 83.5 83.7 84.5 84.4 83.6 83.8 83.6 82.9 83.0 82.8 107.5 108.5 109.0 109.0 109.7 -.2 .8 1.2 .4 1.3 108.1 109.6 109.9 109.7 110.6 108.6 110.7 111.9 111.2 112.6 107.5 108.3 107.3 107.8 107.9 101.7 101.0 100.8 102.5 102.5 106.8 104.0 107.7 108.5 107.3 82.7 83.2 83.4 83.3 83.6 82.0 83.0 82.9 82.6 83.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Materials Products Intermediate products Final products Consumer goods Equipment Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: May July Sept Get Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb r. Mar ' Apr 1 " May " 1 74.2 75.7 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 91.3 92.8 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 106.2 104.3 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 105.9 106.2 106.5 105.5 105.2 106.3 107.0 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.8 106.9 107.0 107.3 107.5 108.2 107.3 107.6 107.3 107.8 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.9 101.2 101.0 100.1 101.7 101.6 101.3 101.9 102.7 107.9 108.2 106.9 106.6 106.5 108.0 108.5 109.2 109.2 109.2 106.2 107.1 107.2 107.5 108.0 101.2 101.7 102.2 103.2 102.4 77.0 77.0 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 80.8 78.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 97.6 98.3 98.7 98.9 98.9 96.6 96.7 96.6 106.6 106.7 106.7 106.4 106.3 106.9 107.3 107.9 97.5 97.6 97.5 97.3 97.2 108.0 108.4 108.3 108.1 108.1 Total 80.0 82.1 80.8 83.0 91.0 94.2 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 85.3 85.8 84.5 88.8 92.8 93.7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 73.5 74.0 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 89.1 89.6 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 74.6 78.2 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 73.5 76.1 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 57.4 58.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 109.6 109.8 108.7 109.1 109.6 108.5 109.4 110.3 106.8 106.3 105.2 105.6 106.3 107.3 107.4 108.3 109.2 108.4 105.6 105.8 107.6 106.8 105.7 106.8 106.2 105.8 105.1 105.6 106.0 107.4 107.8 108.7 113.1 114.3 113.2 113.6 113.8 110.1 112.0 112.9 120.2 121.4 119.9 120.4 120.7 116.0 118.7 119.9 108.5 109.7 110.8 110.6 111.6 106.0 107.0 107.6 107.4 108.0 99.4 106.2 111.0 107.3 110.2 107.8 107.2 106.7 107.5 107.4 111.8 113.3 114.9 114.8 116.3 118.0 120.1 122.3 121.9 123.9 Business Energy Business supplies Nondurable goods Total > Total Construction supplies Defense and space equipment Durable goods Total Total Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures Transportation equipment Primary metals Period Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985... . 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: . . May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb ' Mar ' r". Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 18 Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 110.8 117.5 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109.2 126.0 135.1 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 109.3 92.5 91.1 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 60.6 65.9 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 73.3 75.4 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 72.3 68.7 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 67.0 64.4 58.8 74.5 90.6 99.0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 76.9 74.7 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 89.2 91.0 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 104.3 70.3 72.1 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 87.8 89.2 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 84.6 86.5 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 107.0 108.7 108.8 111.7 109.9 108.6 104.8 102.6 104.8 107.1 107.5 109.8 109.7 109.2 104.1 100.3 107.9 108.3 107.6 106.5 106.0 105.9 106.9 106.3 121.8 123.4 121.6 121.8 123.4 119.0 122.9 123.8 108.8 109.1 108.6 110.6 110.8 110.2 110.1 110.1 109.6 109.0 106.6 107.8 108.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 107.8 105.0 99.6 102.7 103.2 99.7 99.0 98.7 102.3 103.5 102.8 102.4 102.6 103.2 104.8 106.4 104.9 105.2 104.4 104.7 104.5 103.9 103.7 102.6 108.4 108.6 106.6 107.8 109.4 109.3 109.6 109.6 108.4 109.1 109.7 109.6 107.5 109.4 109.8 107.6 105.5 104.2 104.0 104.8 105.4 106.8 107.4 108.0 105.0 107.9 105.3 106.2 106.2 104.6 110.6 106.1 106.5 105.9 105.1 105.6 105.4 104.7 105.7 123.7 124.2 125.1 126.4 127.2 110.1 111.0 112.3 111.0 111.5 94.7 103.5 107.9 104.9 109.3 76.8 94.1 103.5 95.8 104.4 106.0 104.3 105.0 102.5 102.8 102.4 102.1 99.9 100.5 100.7 110.7 112.1 111.5 110.9 111.6 109.9 110.5 109.5 110.1 110.0 106.8 107.4 107.1 107.8 107.9 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjuste Construction contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total $ew housing units Total ' Commercial and industrial 2 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982=100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 252.8 261.3 248.0 282.4 329.6 356.6 387.0 397.7 409.7 414.3 194.3 204.7 194.3 228.7 271.9 292.6 315.3 320.1 328.7 330.3 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 195.4 411.9 416.5 412.5 410.3 416.3 416.2 411.5 416.5 415.1 425.0 438.5 435.6 432.4 332.5 330.6 329.0 328.8 331.9 329.6 328.7 327.8 321.4 200.7 197.0 194.2 195.2 194.4 192.8 191.4 190.3 189.5 196.7 199.3 203.3 202.7 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 137.8 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 76.5 79.8 81.9 47.2 50.5 50.9 49.3 49.4 51.4 50.2 48.9 50.8 53.0 58.5 56.5 53.7 53.8 57.7 64.1 71.7 77.6 80.9 84.0 97 100 100 124 136 150 159 165 166 r !70 79.3 80.1 81.6 80.9 83.3 83.2 84.1 83.7 78.8 82.8 89.1 86.0 86.0 52.5 53.5 53.2 52.7 54.2 53.6 53.2 53.7 53.1 54.7 54.5 55.5 56.1 79.4 85.9 83.5 81.5 84.4 86.6 82.9 88.7 93.8 90.8 95.5 90.8 87.6 181 r !67 170 170 169 '185 r !80 167 r !66 Annual rates Annual rates 1989: Apr May. . July Oct Nov. Dec 1990- Jan Feb r. Mar T Apr" May" 334.2 342.9 344.8 344.3 1 Includes 2 Includes 3 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 926 141.8 138.2 136.5 136.6 135.8 134.0 133.9 134.9 135.6 138.1 142.0 142.5 141.0 M58 154 157 '147 155 864 909 916 915 805 1,008 892 812 805 883 798 828 745 802 Sources; Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. residential improvements, not show separately. hotels and motels. F.W. Dodge series, NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986. 1987 1988 1989 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,376.1 1 unit 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,003.3 2-4 units 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 5 or more units 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 Units authorized 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 1,338.4 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end1 of period 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 366 367 362 1,444 1,355 1,375 1,437 1,366 1,317 1,486 1,302 651 646 741 719 638 636 687 633 379 376 369 364 364 363 363 362 1,443 1,351 1,375 1,294 613 606 559 530 532 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1989' May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar ' May" 1 2 1,308 1,414 1,424 1,325 1,263 1,423 1,347 1,273 977 971 1,029 987 969 1,023 1,010 931 43 55 58 54 56 60 47 53 288 388 337 284 238 340 290 289 1,352 1,323 1,281 1,334 1,310 1,362 1,384 1,416 1,568 1,488 1,307 1,224 1,207 1,099 1,154 1,996 905 896 53 42 35 54 36 416 292 276 265 275 1,739 1,297 1,232 1,108 1,065 Seasonally adjusted. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with earlier data. r 365 366 363 362 358 7.4 7.6 7.1 r 7.5 NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In April, manufacturing and trade sales fell 1.2 percent and inventories rose $0.8 billion. In May, according to advance data, retail sales fell 0.7 percent, following a decline of 0.9 percent in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 240 800 — .— . ^~ 220 - ^^T 700 — ^^ - 180 ' - 600 <^~\ RET AIL INVENTORIES >^ MANUFAQURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES " -x-1 200 1 160 ~.^--'~~~~ 500 *xx — '""' /-•"" .,-—'*-' ~ ^•s --, 140 x rK' 120 - M/kNUFACTUR NG M-ID TRADE S/OES 400 /v" /" rf- "~~*~ '-'\ RETAIL SA LES -»_ s 100 innlimi - - IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll Illlllllllll RATIO' 1.80 300 INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.60 1.40 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE 1.20 200 limlimi IIIIlllllll Illl||||lll IIIIlllllll iimlimi 1986 1987 1989 1988 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 in 1.00 liiniti 1986 1990 1987 1988 1989 •SEASONAliY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE Manufacturing and trade ' COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Wholesale 2 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Sales Period Sales 1990 Inventories a Total 2 Durable goods stores Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Manufacturing and trade ' 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,220 90,678 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 235,514 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 117,169 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 118,345 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.56 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.50 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.60 89,758 90,666 90,680 91,111 91,128 91,727 91,617 92,572 93,121 226,618 229,775 231,059 232,127 234,579 236,131 234,942 236,234 235,514 115,937 117,142 117,826 118,248 119,925 121,048 118,450 118,667 117,169 110,681 112,633 113,233 113,879 114,654 115,083 116,492 117,567 118,345 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.53 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.58 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.62 1.61 1.62 93,660 94,867 94,639 r 94, 175 93,674 233,701 232,000 232,562 233,256 114,194 113,552 113,951 114,400 119,507 118,448 118,611 118,856 1.51 1.48 1.47 1.49 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.58 Nondurable goods stores Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983.... 1984 1985.... 1986 1987.... 1988 1989.... 1989: Apr r May June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar r Apr" May p 1 2 3 r 348,754 369,136 408,578 419,283 425,371 451,933 490,309 521 934 574,516 591,265 646,072 657,753 657,482 704,515 754,267 795,415 96,290 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124,254 135,176 145,683 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,819 523,494 524,119 521,132 516,216 531,599 527,778 525,160 527,948 526,391 772,908 779,436 782,288 789,043 791,798 792,119 794,757 798,104 795,415 145,708 146,333 145,512 144,856 146,800 146,981 147,921 148,782 149,584 182,832 184,606 184,737 186,113 185,730 185,098 188,103 189,057 188,819 528,549 535,996 538,984 532,709 797,202 794,016 793,669 794,435 151,968 151,620 152,383 150,758 189,375 188,847 189,361 188,928 See page '1\ for mini acturing. Monthly average for ;ar and total for month. End of"period. 20 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,500 144,471 r 143,744 144, 715 144,384 145,438 146,649 147,235 145,244 146,340 145,804 149,877 149,904 149,302 r 147,931 146,843 28,013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 53,794 r 53,986 54,049 53,704 54,327 55,521 55,508 53,627 53,768 52,683 56,217 55,037 54,663 r 53,756 53,169 4 r Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In April, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell, while inventories and unfilled orders rose. In May, according to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders rose. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' |RAT!O SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 SHIPMENTS 440 —*•—>*s—• 360 —-ir"~\ 200 TOTAL 160 280 DURABLE G OODS Y 120 .^^--x"""" - — •" to _x K 160 NOr- DURABLE &.DODS - 80 200 120 60 Minium lii|l!l!!l! !tmlmtl nuilinii 60 BILLIC3NS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 -NEW ORDEPS « ^~^- ~~~^^r-^-^ \— ~- 200 MliltlMIl •^ TOTAL 160 DURA iLE GOODS 120 , ~+mr~+J ~- 80 * L •— HHiilHU UIHJIUU UlUil!!!! RA no* 2.20 iimiiuii IlllliilUI INVENTORY-SHiPMENTS RATIO ._^.__.^ /••' ---" •— \ \ NON 3URABLE GC ODS 2.00 1.80 1.60 ^ A -~^_ ** 1.40 60 IllllliUll 1986 imiinm iiiiiliun illllllUU lillilllili 1989 1988 1990 1987 1.20 inn Jinn ^iitliini iiiitliuu 1986 1987 Illllll!!!! 1989 1988 iittihiin 1990 SEASONAliY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE Manufacturers' shipments 1 Manufacturers' inventories 2 Manufacturers' new orders l Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Total Capital goods industries. nondefense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 78,338 87,600 98,581 99,843 100,166 107,770 119,634 126,557 129,372 123,524 125,137 122,031 126,766 125,227 124,262 130,175 131,719 117,909 120,782 128,872 r 123,398 128,192 21,661 22,098 26,243 27,067 26,551 29,707 35,028 38,821 40,389 37,290 39,146 41,445 37,130 35,341 35,975 38,901 44,389 38,347 36,094 40,889 r 36,580 36,079 83,935 86,522 91,209 91,075 88,497 94,197 101,993 109,057 110,535 110,229 110,020 108,416 110,027 109,127 109,805 109,535 109,033 109,663 110,977 112,199 112,348 314,270 349,419 372,586 383,181 387,065 421,243 468,860 514,499 487,231 487,913 491,834 496,359 495,002 495,794 497,866 504,750 514,499 515,367 512,654 516,426 518,152 Total Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.58 1.58 1.55 1.57 1.58 1.64 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.65 1.59 1.57 1.59 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Apr May . June July Aug Sept 1990: On Nov Dec . Jan Feb.. Mar r. Apr" May " 163,350 171,242 187,869 190,016 188,360 199,170 217,632 231,7801 234,042 . . 233,071 231,236 225,922 238,150 233,562 231,995 232,826 231,003 226,704 234,472 237,299 234,020 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,996 88,371 93,879 101,948 109,112 110,711 110,109 109,516 108,808 109,803 109,169 110,155 109,617 109,005 109,988 111,248 112,210 112,137 79,352 84,956 96,623 99,019 99,989 105,291 115,684 122,668 123,331 122,962 121,720 117,114 128,347 124,393 121,840 123,209 121,998 116,716 123,224 125,089 '121,883 126 194 311,827 312,647 334,767 327,496 316,182 331,132 354,163 371,082 363,458 365,055 366,492 370,803 871,489 370,890 371,712 372,813 371,082 374,126 373,169 371,746 372,251 200,825 200,406 218,771 214,066 208,313 216,598 233,666 246,222 240,486 241,689 242,295 245,813 246,378 245,621 246,427 247,610 246,222 248,273 247,095 245,435 246,563 111,002 112,241 115,996 113,430 107,869 114,534 ) 20,497 124,860 122,972 123,366 124,197 124,990 125,111 125,269 125,285 125,203 124,860 125,853 126,074 126,311 125,688 162,273 174,122 189,791 190,918 188,663 201,966 221,627 235,614 239,907 233,753 235,157 230,447 236,793 234,354 234,067 239,710 240,752 227,572 231,759 241,071 235,746 1 1 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. End of period. 3 Annual data are averages ol monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Censu! 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In May, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.3 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.6 percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.1 percent. Capital equipment prices were unchanged. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982=100 (RATIO SCALE) I3U FINISHED GOODS PRICES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED CONSUMER FOODS ' V \j 120 120 ""^ — CAPITAL EQUIPAAENT „/-"'•''' /"^S ,->- ,.'""" / 110 ^* ^V 100 --.--"*** / TOTAL \ ^A^*f *M — no / /••'"' " rf-X* V / \f * - /-——^^~ ^f^T"'" i V^-' .-"' r- * • /•> 100 A /•"' CONSUMER G DODS EXCLUDING FCDODS 90 JLLUlliltiL i l l i M ! i ! i i 1982 1983 umiiim umimii 1984 1985 niuliiin lUulliM. 1986 1987 - Illllililll l I U i l t H I I 1989 1988 COUNCIL OF SOURCE: DEPARTMEN ' OF LABOR Minium 90 1990 ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: May July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan r Feb Mar Apr May 1 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 113.9 114.0 113.6 113.3 114.1 114.7 114.8 115.5 117.7 117.6 117.4 117.1 117.4 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 118.6 117.9 118.1 118.5 113.1 119.7 120.7 121.6 124.4 125.1 124.4 123.6 124.3 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 112.4 112.7 112.1 111.5 112.8 113.1 112.9 113.5 115.6 115.2 115.1 115.0 115.1 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 105.5 105.6 104.3 102.7 104.5 105.1 104.4 105.3 109.7 108.5 107.8 107.6 107.7 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 118.1 118.8 118.9 119.3 120.1 120.0 120.4 120.7 120.9 121.2 121.7 121.9 121.9 Total Total 1980 1981 1982 Nondurable Capital equipment Consumer goods 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 110.0 110.2 109.2 108.2 109.7 110.1 109.7 110.4 113.4 112.7 112.3 112.1 112.2 Durable 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 117.2 117.7 117.4 117.8 118.7 118.6 118.7 119.2 118.6 118.9 119.4 119.2 119.3 Total finished consumer goods 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 112.9 112.8 112.1 111.6 112.5 113.3 113.3 114.1 117.0 116.7 116.3 115.9 116.2 Crude materials Foodstuffs Foods Total and Other Total feeds ' 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 112.6 112.3 112.1 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.2 112.2 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.9 112.8 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 113.8 111.6 113.2 112.8 112.7 112.5 113.4 113.1 113.3 112.3 112.8 114.2 115.6 and Other feedstuffs 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 112.5 112.4 112.0 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.1 112.1 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.8 112.7 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.7 96.0 103.1 104.5 103.3 103.5 101.1 102.3 102.6 103.2 104.7 107.0 107.5 106.0 102.7 102.6 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.2 110.8 109.6 108.9 109.7 109.0 109.0 111.4 113.9 114.7 115.9 116.3 115.4 112.5 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 95.9 94.7 95.5 91.3 93.6 94.1 93.5 94.4 97.5 97.5 94.9 90.3 91.9 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In May, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted. The index was 4.4 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 198Z-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 INDEX, 1982-84 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 Illlll Illlll 1983 1984 60 1982 Illlll 1986 1985 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illll 1987 1988 1989 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 60 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AOVISEKS [1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All items l Transportation Housing Medical care Energy 2 All items less food, shelter, and energy 3.2 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 6.2 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 7.4 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 48.4 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 121.9 127.3 Shelter Period Not seasonally adjusted (NSA) 1000 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109 6 113.6 118 3 124.0 1980 1981 1982... . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: May Total » Total Renters' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Maintenance and repairs (NSA) 16.3 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 42.0 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 27.9 81.0 90.5 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 7.9 19.8 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133.6 138.9 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114.7 118.0 Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Total > New cars Motor fuel 7.5 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 6.1 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 17.1 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 4.2 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 123.8 124.1 124.5 124.5 124.8 125.4 125.8 126.3 124.9 125.2 125.6 125.9 126.3 126.8 127.4 128.0 122.2 122.6 123.3 123.5 123.7 124.2 124.7 125.2 131.7 132.3 133.2 133.5 133.7 134.4 135.0 135.6 137.4 138.0 139.6 139.1 138.7 139.8 140.5 141.0 136.3 136.9 137.6 138.2 138.7 139.4 140.0 140.6 117.4 118.3 118.4 118.5 118.6 118.6 119.3 119.5 107.5 107.3 107.8 107.8 108.0 108.1 108.7 109.4 119.5 118.9 118.3 116.9 118.6 119.4 119.4 119.0 115.8 115.7 115.3 114.2 113.9 114.5 114.6 115.0 119.5 119.3 118.8 118.5 118.1 118.8 119.8 120.8 95.3 94.6 92.9 88.4 87.1 88.4 86.8 86.3 147.6 148.7 149.6 150.8 151.9 153.0 154.2 155.1 97.0 96.4 95.9 93.8 93.2 94.1 93.8 94.1 127.1 127.4 127.7 127.8 128.3 128.8 129.3 129.7 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 127.7 128.3 128.9 129.1 129.3 130.5 131.1 131.5 131.2 131.2 126.1 126.3 126.9 127.0 127.2 136.3 136.6 137.6 137.9 138.2 142.3 143.4 143.8 143.9 143.9 141.1 141.0 142.4 142.8 143.2 120.4 120.8 121.2 121.2 122.2 111.6 110.9 111.0 110.5 110.5 119.0 122.9 124.9 125.0 124.6 117.4 117.7 117.6 117.7 117.5 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.9 120.7 93.4 93.6 92.2 92.5 91.2 156.1 157.3 158.5 159.8 161.0 98.9 98.2 97.4 97.0 96.3 130.4 131.5 132.2 132.6 132.9 Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: May Food 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 June July Feb Mar Seasonally adjusted 1 Includes items not shown separately. a Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1989. NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownerahip costs and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Inibor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 4.0 4.9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 -.2 5.7 5.2 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 14.1 8.6 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 66 4.1 3.1 5.3 Change, month to month 1989: May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan ' Feb ' Mar May 0.7 .1 -.4 -.3 .7 .5 .1 .6 0.5 6 .2 .3 q 1.4 .8 .7 0.9 .2 — .9 -.9 1.4 .4 4 1.9 -.1 -.2 -.3 .3 2.3 .6 6 -.6 .6 2.7 -.6 4 2 .6 .1 0.6 .6 .1 .3 .7 1 .3 2 7.3 5.8 1.8 21 .4 3.9 5.4 5.0 2.4 23 .3 3 .7 5.5 7.6 12.4 .2 .2 .4 .2 0 10.9 10.1 6.7 -2.0 — .7 16.7 15.4 9.5 -2.5 -2.5 7.8 7.4 4.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 1.6 2.6 5.8 4.2 1.9 1.0 -.8 2.9 3.6 6.4 11.0 10.6 6.1 2.4 4.5 2.0 -.5 .4 4.0 4.5 -1.8 3.3 5.7 2.6 2.8 4.5 5.2 4.1 4.4 3.8 3.7 2.0 3.6 3.4 4.5 4.5 3.9 3.2 6.2 6.1 5.1 4.3 4.6 5.0 4.6 4.9 12.5 11.4 7.1 -4.5 -1.8 3.0 2.7 3.4 3.3 2.3 7.3 7.7 5.9 4.2 4.6 11.0 11.4 11.0 6.6 6.1 7.8 8.5 4.8 3.7 4.6 3.4 3.2 2.7 3.2 2.5 5.9 5.1 4.4 3.5 3.1 12.1 11.3 .7 64 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Transportation Housing Shelter Period All items 1 Food Total ' Rent- Homeowners' costs Total ' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep New cars Total ' Motor fuel Medical care Energy2 All items less food, shelter, and energy Addendum: All items, percent change (annual rate) From previous quarter 3 From 3 months earlier From 6 months earlier From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 12.5 89 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 10.2 43 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 13.7 10 2 1989: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 0.4 .2 .3 0 .2 .5 .3 .4 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1.1 .5 .5 .2 .2 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 15.0 99 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 0.6 .2 .3 .2 .3 .4 .5 .5 0.3 .3 .6 2 .2 .4 .4 .4 0.5 .5 .7 .2 .1 .5 .4 .4 0.2 .4 1.2 -.4 -.3 .8 .5 .4 0.5 .4 .5 .4 .4 .5 .4 .4 0.2 -.2 .5 0 .2 .1 .6 .6 0.2 -.5 -.5 -1.2 1.5 .7 0 -.3 0.6 -.1 -.3 -1.0 2.0 .5 .3 2 0 .7 .2 .5 .1 .2 .5 .2 .7 .2 .2 .9 .8 .3 .1 0 .4 j 1.0 .3 .3 2.0 -.6 .1 -.5 0 0 3.3 1.6 .1 -.3 2.1 .3 -.1 .1 -.2 7.4 18.8 6.8 9.4 1.5 -6.5 3.4 — 1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 1.8 18.7 2.1 -2.1 2.3 6.8 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 18.0 11.9 1.3 -.5 .2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 4.7 4.1 2.0 7 18 -4.8 — 1.5 1.5 18 -.6 0.6 .7 .6 .8 .7 .7 .8 .6 0.8 -.6 0.4 .2 .2 .1 .4 .4 .4 .3 8.2 .2 -1.5 .3 -1 4 .6 .8 .8 .8 .8 13.5 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 Change, month to month 1 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., a included through 1982. 0 __2 A -.3 -.3 .6 .8 .8 O .5 .1 .3 .7 -.2 -.2 2 2 3 -2.2 -.6 1.0 -.3 .3 5.1 -.7 -.8 -.4 7 .5 .8 .5 .3 .2 2.9 3.9 8.2 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. 3 24 6.0 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 6.4 5.3 4.0 2.3 2.3 2.9 4.2 4.9 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.6 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 7.5 8.2 8.5 4.5 3.2 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.0 5.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.4 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in June were 1.3 percent below their May level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE) 180 180 160 160 PRICES PAID 140 140 120 120 PRICES RECEIVED 100 100 80 80 illlllil ill 1 1 i RATIO-!/ RATION 140 140 120 120 RATIO 100 100 80 80 60 1982 ! 1111 i I! I iT 1984 1983 nnntfm' ill 1985 1987 1986 1988 1989 60 1990 I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1977=100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices received by farmers Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: June July Au£T Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar May June All farm products Prices paid by farmers Livestock and products Crops Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Production items Ratio 2 r 139 133 135 142 128 123 r !26 138 r !47 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 r !27 r !34 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 150 159 161 164 162 159 162 169 177 151 158 159 161 156 150 151 160 167 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 157 165 93 84 84 87 79 77 78 82 r 83 148 147 145 r !43 145 147 149 138 137 128 126 r !27 128 127 157 157 161 160 162 165 r !69 (3) 178 (3) (3) 178 (3) (3) (3) 168 (3) (3) 166 (3) (3) (3) 166 (s) (3) 165 (3) (3) 84 83 81 r 80 81 83 84 154 152 150 151 154 152 136 133 128 r !31 134 130 172 169 171 r !70 173 172 181 (3) (3) 183 (3) (3) 170 (3) (3) 171 (3) (3) 168 (3) (3) 169 (3) (3) 85 84 83 83 84 83 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See aiso footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available on!v for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates 1 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes have been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES The monetary aggregates declined in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*'(RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 M3 —v 3,200 3,200 2,800 2,800 2,400 2,400 M2 2,000 2,000 1,400 1,600 1,200 1,200 800 800 Ml 600 600 400 400 1990 1987 1985 1983 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ' AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Ml M2 M3 Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight KPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 408.9 436.5 474.5 521.2 552.1 620.1 724.7 750.4 787.5 794.8 1,629.9 1,793.5 1,953.1 2,186.5 2,371.6 2,570.6 2,814.2 2,913.2 3,072.4 3,221.0 1,987.5 2,234.2 2,441.9 2,693.4 2,982.8 3,202.1 3,494.5 3,678.7 3,918.4 4,041.7 2,324.2 2,596.8 2,851.6 3,154.7 3,524.1 3,829.5 4,135.5 4,338.7 4,676.0 '4,867.8 3,873.2 4,260.3 4,651.3 5,176.7 5,924.0 6,732.8 7,588.3 8,307.5 9,062.0 '9,777.6 6.8 6.7 8.7 9.8 5.9 12.3 16.9 3.5 4.9 .9 8.9 10.0 8.9 12.0 8.5 8.4 9.5 3.5 5.5 4.8 10.2 12.4 9.3 10.3 10.7 7.4 9.1 5.3 6.5 3.1 9.5 10.0 9.2 11.3 14.4 13.7 12.7 9.5 9.1 '7.9 1989- May 776.2 773.7 779.1 780.4 782.9 788.1 789.4 794.8 3,085.3 3,101.6 3,127.0 3,146.7 3,163.3 3,181.4 3,200.6 3,221.0 3,965.6 3,984.9 4,007.2 4,012.0 4,012.0 4,016.2 4,028.7 4,041.7 4,756.6 4,778.8 4,803.8 '4,816.9 '4,822.1 '4,830.6 '4,845.9 '4,867.8 '9,358.2 '9,414.9 '9,465.6 '9,529.1 '9,585.2 r 9,654.8 '9,732.4 '9,777.6 25 35 -1.7 16 — .7 1.5 3.4 5.5 1.4 1.9 3.5 4.5 4.9 6.0 7.5 7.7 3.2 3.4 4.1 3.8 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.9 '7.9 7.8 '7.7 '7.6 '7.5 '7.7 '8.0 '7.7 794.8 801.4 804.8 807.4 805.5 3,229.3 3,252.4 3,266.2 3,271.5 3,263.6 4,044.8 4,058.9 4,061.6 4,064.9 4,056.1 4,869.6 4,879.5 4,897.7 4,897.2 9,827.6 9,892.8 9,954.3 10,004.3 4.0 5.4 5.6 4.9 4.1 6.5 6.7 6.5 5.7 3.9 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.4 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.2 Period 198019811982: 19831984: 19851986: 198719881989: July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan " Feb ' Mar r Apr' May p 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial aectora; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli- 26 L M3 plus other liquid assets Debt Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) 1 Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 Ml er at a simple annual rate. NOTE.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. M2 M3 Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Currency Period Demand deposits Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars Money market mutual fund balances l General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Savings deposits Small denomination time deposits 2 Large denomination time deposits 2 NSA July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA Savings bonds Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 115.3 122.6 132.5 146.2 156.0 167.8 180.6 196.7 211.8 221.9 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.5 243.9 266.8 302.1 287.0 287.0 279.7 28.0 78.2 103.6 131.6 146.9 179.6 235.5 259.7 281.3 285.7 28.8 36.6 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 83.2 83.3 76.8 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.8 168.2 177.2 208.7 222.0 240.9 312.4 15.2 38.0 51.1 42.8 62.1 63.9 83.8 89.0 87.1 102.3 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.0 571.0 523.8 500.3 483.7 400.1 343.8 356.7 305.4 285.1 301.2 370.1 414.9 427.8 409.0 728.5 823.2 851.0 784.1 886.8 884.0 856.2 917.8 1,031.0 1,142.3 260.4 303.0 327.2 327.6 417.4 437.0 439.8 488.8 541.1 558.3 33.5 35.3 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.5 106.1 121.7 94.9 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 106.0 81.1 72.3 133.5 149.4 67.8 68.0 183.6 71.1 211.9 74.2 260.9 79.5 298.3 91.8 280.8 100.6 254.2 109.3 272.0 117.5 ' 319.5 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 42.1 37.2 44.8 40.6 41.2 98.8 105.3 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.1 260.4 335.6 347.9 216.6 217.2 217.8 218.6 219.3 220.0 220.4 . .. . 221.9 279.6 276.3 279.6 278.5 278.1 280.0 278.8 279.7 272.8 273.0 274.5 276.0 278.4 280.8 282.8 285.7 77.8 79.6 80.9 78.3 74.8 75.3 74.9 76.8 261.2 268.3 277.7 287.8 295.9 302.7 309.0 312.4 92.1 96.3 99.0 101.4 101.6 101.1 101.1 102.3 463.1 460.9 463.9 468.2 471.9 475.3 480.8 483.7 405.4 403.4 403.3 404.0 405.5 406.1 407.9 409.0 1,103.0 1,114.0 1,122.4 1,130.0 1,132.6 1,135.9 1,138.5 1,142.3 573.1 574.9 574.7 570.5 565.6 562.7 561.0 558.3 127.5 128.4 123.8 116.9 112.9 108.3 107.2 94.9 97.2 93.4 91.8 89.6 85.3 80.0 79.2 81.1 112.8 288.1 113.6 289.6 114.3 290.9 115.0 ' 293.0 115.7 ' 303.0 116.2 * 308.2 116.8 r 308.6 117.5 r319.5 . 41.2 41.2 41.9 42.6 41.0 40.0 40.5 41.2 348.8 349.4 349.5 354.3 350.3 350.0 351.3 347.9 224.6 226.6 228.4 230.1 231.6 277.3 280.2 279.3 277.8 274.6 285.4 287.0 289.5 291.8 291.5 80.7 81.3 80.7 77.8 79.8 318.1 324.5 325.0 324.8 319.4 103.2 103.7 105.4 106.8 107.3 * 485.0 489.4 494.9 498.9 500.2 410.2 413.6 414.6 415.8 415.1 1,142.5 1,141.2 1,143.8 1,144.1 1,145.5 ' 554.2 ' 549.5 543.6 537.6 534.6 91.5 94.9 93.1 92.7 93.1 74.5 68.8 66.6 66.1 69.0 117.7 118.2 119.1 119.9 40.7 38.3 37.0 35.9 343.3 344.7 342.7 347.2 1980: Dec 1981- Dec 1982: Dec 1983- Dec 1984: Dec 1985- Dec 1986: Dec 1987- Dec 1988: Dec 1989- Dec 1989: May Term repurchase agreements (RPs) Jan Feb Mar ' May" 1 i_/aia Data poor prior 10 to laoo 1983 are are iiui not seasonally seasonally adjusted. adjusted. 2 Small denomination and llarge a r e denomination de deposits are those issued in $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. i than r r r r 323.0 319.4 337.3 329.3 NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but arc not shown here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures l; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Reserves of depository institutions Period Total 1980198119821983198419851986198719881989- Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 1989' May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar Apr r Mav p 1 ... ... . Nonborrowed plus extended credit Required Monetary base Total Seasonal Extended credit 33,401 35,315 37,388 39,184 42,235 48,373 58,023 58,593 60,593 60,033 31,711 34,679 36,754 38,410 39,049 47,055 57,197 57,815 58,877 59,767 31,714 34,827 36,940 38,412 41,653 47,554 57,499 58,298 60,121 59,787 32,887 34,996 36,888 38,623 41,380 47,336 56,653 57,546 59,545 59,110 152,525 160,936 172,947 188,275 201,673 219,350 241,427 258,055 275,238 284,946 1,690 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 3 148 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 58,831 58,597 58,867 58,906 59,289 59,640 59,646 60,033 57,111 57,107 58,173 58,231 58,596 59,085 59,297 59,767 58,308 58,024 58,279 58,272 58,618 59,106 59,318 59,787 57,796 57,692 57,901 58,021 58,351 58,620 58,701 59,110 278,526 279,020 279,957 280,756 281,806 282,786 283,222 284,946 1,720 1,490 694 675 693 555 349 265 345 431 497 490 452 330 134 84 1,197 917 106 41 22 21 21 20 59,896 60,215 60,297 60,275 59,782 59,456 58,768 58,173 58,647 58,448 59,482 59,302 60,123 60,051 59,323 58,880 59,227 59,436 59,379 58,821 287,509 289,714 291,820 293,540 294,399 440 1,448 2,124 1,628 1,335 47 51 78 122 244 26 535 1,950 1,403 875 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. Nonborrowed Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Syst 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.3 percent in May. Commercial and industrial loans were virtually unchanged. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLION S OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,400 2,000 _ 2,800 _ ^-—- TOTAL \ 1,600 ~*f — ——— - 2,400 — 1 2,000 "" | — —• — - ~" 1,600 - "~~\~~ ____ — LOANS ANC) LEASES --"'" 1,200 " - —— 1 ' 1,200 ---' *»-- — — 800 800 — ^•*" 400 U.S. GC WERNMENT 400 SE CURITIES V- . _/' x-""""" 200 200 "" ~" ' / / 160 120 1982 IIMlliilil iiinhiiii 1984 1985 1983 160 GFH ER SECURITIES ,,-'' miilmii iniiliiin — \ l l l i l l U I I ! .....I..III l l l l l l l U l ! 1986 1988 1987 miilmii ' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 120 1990 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted * All commercial banks Loans and leases Period 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May"... Total loans and securities 2 1,307.3 1,400.5 1,552.3 1,722.5 1,910.1 2,094.2 2,239.5 2,422.2 2,582.6 2,482.9 2,496.0 2,512.4 2,527.4 2,538.9 2,563.3 2,579.0 2,582.6 2,585.8 2,603.8 2,623.8 2,635.0 2,644.1 •able 28 U.S. Government securities 179.3 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.6 309.3 334.4 361.4 r 394.5 372.5 373.7 374.0 375.5 378.1 389.9 394.8 r 394.5 402.4 412.2 418.9 422.7 427.9 Other securities 160.5 164.8 169.2 141.1 179.3 194.2 193.8 192.2 180.3 187.8 187.3 186.3 183.8 183.1 180.9 179.3 180.3 180.2 180.1 180.2 180.8 179.2 Total 2 967.5 1,034.0 1,123.9 1,321.3 1,460.3 1,590.6 1,711.2 1,868.6 2,007.9 1,922.6 1,935.0 1,952.1 1,968.2 1,977.7 1,992.5 2,004.9 2,007.9 2,003.2 2,011.6 2,024.7 2,031.6 2,037.0 Commercial and industrial 355.4 392.5 414.2 473.3 500.5 537.5 567.9 607.0 642.9 626.6 627.1 631.8 636.1 637.7 641.9 645.9 642.9 639.0 637.9 642.8 648.2 647.9 Non- State Real estate Individual Security financial institutions Agricultural political subdivisions 284.1 299.9 330.9 376.4 426.0 494.4 587.4 671.9 756.4 705.6 713.0 720.1 727.7 735.8 742.6 749.2 756.4 759.6 768.1 774.4 779.4 787.5 182.5 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.7 315.3 328.4 355.0 375.9 363.5 363.8 365.8 367.5 370.3 372.6 374.6 375.9 377.9 378.9 379.2 377.8 379.2 21.4 25.3 28.0 34.3 43.0 40.6 35.1 40.4 39.6 38.4 40.6 40.1 39.0 39.7 41.2 41.5 39.6 r 40.1 r 41.1 r 38.3 r 37.0 35.7 29.9 31.2 30.4 31.3 32.4 35.0 31.9 30.1 32.7 29.3 30.5 31.3 31.5 31.8 r 33.2 r 33.7 32.7 32.3 33.0 34.1 34.2 33.6 33.1 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.5 29.4 29.8 30.3 29.9 30.0 30.0 29.9 29.6 29.6 29.9 30.3 30.9 31.0 r 31.3 r 31.4 31.2 0.0 .0 3.3 46.1 56.8 58.5 52.6 45.6 40.1 43.1 42.8 42.5 42.2 41.7 41.3 40.8 40.1 38.6 38.9 38.4 38.2 37.9 Foreign banks 18.1 14.6 13.4 11.2 9.8 9.9 7.9 8.1 8.6 8.0 7.9 7.9 8.1 7.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 7.8 8.4 9.0 8.8 2 Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Foreign official institutions Lease financing receivables 7.2 12.7 13.3 r r r r 5.9 9.4 7.9 6.0 5.9 5.3 5.0 3.6 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.2 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.2 31.4 30.2 30.2 30.7 31.0 31.3 31.7 31.6 31.4 31.6 31.6 31.8 31.6 31.8 Other 23.1 26.9 31.8 31.0 35.9 39.6 40.7 46.4 r 46.4 43.2 44.8 r 47.7 51.0 48.0 r 46.0 r 46.0 r 46.4 r 42.1 r 40.2 r 42.9 41.7 40.2 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Total Internal Credit market funds l Total Loans and short-term paper Securities and mortgages Total Capital expenditures 3 Total Other 2 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 516.2 197.6 200.1 239.5 242.3 285.7 336.3 352.3 344.9 352.6 372.5 369.7 126.1 123.1 137.9 60.7 133.5 158.7 105.0 165.8 133.6 125.9 146.5 60.3 70.7 91.8 50.3 78.3 95.1 50.9 123.0 69.0 67.0 65.3 9.0 30.5 25.4 -1.7 44.6 -9.1 30 58.9 38.1 -2.3 130 51.3 40.2 66.4 52.0 33.7 104.2 53.9 64.0 30.9 69.3 78.3 65.8 52.5 46.0 10.4 55.2 63.6 54.1 42.9 64.6 58.9 81.2 368.3 341.6 382.9 302.7 392.0 473.0 422.9 448.2 453.9 473.4 479.1 238.6 243.2 285.9 255.7 269.9 367.9 339.9 328.8 348.3 380.4 384.7 129.8 98.4 97.0 47.0 122.1 105.1 83.0 119.3 105.6 92.9 94.4 —44.6 -18.3 -5.6 .3 27.2 22.0 34.4 62.6 32.4 25.0 37.2 1988- III IV 523.5 482.3 372.3 381.6 151.2 100.7 77.0 14.4 33.7 -80.9 43.3 95.3 74.2 86.2 500.8 447.7 390.1 391.8 110.8 55.9 22.7 34.6 1989: I rr 489.5 573.8 127.6 8.2 144.9 29.9 78.0 -68.4 31.4 43.5 28.2 76.6 113.5 73.4 49.8 119.3 64.0 75.2 66.2 457.8 535.6 438.5 484.2 376.0 388.8 388.6 385.3 81.8 146.8 49.9 98.9 31.7 38.1 42.7 36.2 78.8 12.4 66.4 61.8 478.1 351.8 126.3 26.6 1979 1980 1981 1982 323.7 323.3 377.4 303.0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 419.2 495.0 457.3 510.7 486.3 498.4 T IV 520.4 361.9 364.8 376.1 376.2 1990- lp 504.7 364.1 n T m r. 481.3 209.0 105.2 144.2 140.6 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abr 0(ul 02 TT „ Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S. 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding1 Installment credit outstanding end of period) Period 1980- Dec 19811982: 19831984: 19851986: 19871988: 1989- Dee Dee Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Decz 1989- Apr 2 May July Sept Oct Nov Dec T 1990- Jan Feb * Mar r Apr p 1 Other Total Revolving 298,154 311,259 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,701 716,624 111,991 119,008 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,556 290,770 55,111 61,070 66,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,057 197,110 18,736 20,058 22,064 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,201 22,343 112,317 111,124 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,887 206,401 1,671 13,105 14,546 43,161 73,636 75,650 54,765 37,451 54,233 (3) 691,432 695,627 697,262 700,000 703,518 705,703 710,133 713,903 716,624 290,013 290,954 290,583 289,882 289,961 288,839 290,210 290,972 290,770 181,098 182,847 184,239 186,284 189,185 190,378 191,734 194,679 197,110 23,407 23,505 23,309 23,240 22,734 22,661 22,621 22,197 22,343 196,914 198,320 199,130 200,594 201,638 203,825 205,568 206,055 206,401 3,327 4,195 1,635 2,739 3,518 2,185 4,430 3,769 2,722 717,829 717,869 720,278 720,862 290,904 289,629 291,445 288,942 199,146 199,927 201,625 203,984 22,604 22,633 22,710 22,702 205,175 205,680 204,499 205,234 1,205 40 2,409 584 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. 2 Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988 and subsequent months. Mobile home Automobile Total Automobile Kevolving — 484 1,754 7,017 6,937 17,615 30,004 36,623 37,241 18,423 18,705 5,959 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 20,979 (3) (3) 122 941 371 -701 79 1,859 1,749 1,392 -1,122 1,194 1,356 1,371 761 -202 2,045 2,900 2,944 2,431 134 1,275 1,816 2,036 -2,503 2,359 781 1,698 Mobile home 529 1,322 Other 989 246 1,176 -719 (3) -127 -1,193 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 15,267 (3) 3 98 196 -69 506 -73 40 -424 146 1,342 1,406 810 1,463 1,044 2,187 1,743 487 346 261 29 76 -8 -1,226 505 — 1,181 735 2,546 958 2,299 3 Because of breaks in series, net change not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates fell in June. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM COUNCIL OF ECO1 SOURCE' SEE TABIE BEIOW [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 3-month bills (new issues) ' Constant maturities 2 3-year 10-year High-grade municipal bonds {Standard & Poor's) 3 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) 4 Prime commercial paper, H months 1 Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 5 Prime rate charged 5by banks New-home mortgage yields (FHPB) e 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 1989: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 8.22 7.92 7.91 7.72 7.63 7.65 7.64 8.37 7.83 8.13 8.26 8.02 7.80 7.77 8.28 8.02 8.11 8.19 8.01 7.87 7.84 6.97 6.97 7.08 7.27 7.22 ?!l3 7.01 9.10 8.93 8.96 9.01 8.92 8.89 8.86 8.80 8.35 8.32 8.50 8.24 8.00 7.93 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 11.50-11.00 11.00-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.42 10.48 10.22 10.24 10.11 10.09 10.07 1990: Jan 7.64 7.76 7.87 7.78 7.78 7.74 8.13 8.39 8.63 8.78 8.69 8.40 8.21 8.47 8.59 8.79 8.76 8.48 7.13 7.21 7.29 7.36 7.34 7.22 8.99 9.22 9.37 9.46 9.47 9.26 7.96 8.04 8.23 8.29 8.23 8.06 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10.50-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 9.91 9.88 10.03 10.17 10.28 7.80 7.69 7.73 7.74 8.50 8.38 8.36 8.44 8.42 8.58 8.46 8.44 8.52 8.51 7.23 7.21 7.18 7.27 7.23 9.38 9.27 9.21 9.26 9.28 8.13 8.06 8.03 8.06 8.07 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986.... 1987 1988 1989 Feb Mar May rp June Week ended: 1990: June 2 9 16 23 30" 1 7.78 Bank-discount basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury De. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Series excludes public utility issues for .January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 2 par 30 COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices rose in June. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOSCALE) INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 160 240 220 200 180 160 V—""It^^S' COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX (NYSE) y—/ \ ( 140 \/~ ^/ \ ^-^^~^ 140 ~ 120 120 r-S^S 100 80 / 1 60 ^T 40 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 11 1982 100 ^J 80 t 1 1 I 1 111 1t 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 11 11 1 ! t M 1 t 1 11] 1 1M 11t I t t1 1987 1988 1989 1 II11 |1 | || | I 1 1 1 I 1 I t 11 1 1984 1983 1986 1985 40 1 M 1 1 1 ||| | | 1990 PERC ENT PERC ENT 20 20 15 15 \ ^X 10 EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS 'cs °\ __ ""• ^ —- 5 0 1 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1983 I 1 1 1984 OURCES- NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE At •iD STANDARD & POO I 1 1 /n —^— __ i i i i i i 1987 1986 1985 10 — \_ 5 1 1 1 1988 1989 Dow- Jones Finance Utility industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143 = 10)4 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 1989: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 180.76 185.15 192.94 193.02 192.49 188.50 192.67 216.75 221.74 231.32 230.86 229.40 224.38 230.12 173.47 179.32 197.52 202.02 190.36 174.26 177.25 87.90 90.40 92.91 93.44 94.67 94.95 99.73 154.08 157.78 164.86 165.51 166.55 160.89 155.63 2,494.90 2,554.03 2,691.11 2,693.41 2,692.01 2,642.49 2,728.47 1990: Jan Feb Mar 187.96 182.55 186.26 185.61 191.35 196.68 225.79 220.60 226.14 226.86 234.85 242.42 173.67 166.69 175.08 173.54 173.53 177.37 95.69 92.15 93.00 91.92 93.29 93.65 150.11 142.68 143.14 138.57 142.94 147.93 197.07 198.71 198.38 195.42 193.92 242.63 243.71 244.18 241.40 240.15 176.00 181.17 180.47 175.92 171.86 94.56 95.36 94.70 92.80 91.50 148.01 152.26 149.81 145.55 143.76 May ' June" Week ended: 1990- June 2 9 16 23 30" 1 2 3 4 5 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. Includes 500 stocks. Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings- 1 1 1 0 1990 Common stock yields (percent) 5 Period Transportation 1 l O) 2 New York Stock Exchange indexes (I Industrial 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER R'S CORPORATION Common stock prices Composite 1 Dividendprice ratio Earningsprice ratio 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 7.42 323.73 331.93 346.61 347.33 347.40 340.22 348.57 3.44 3.38 3.28 3.29 3.29 3.39 3.33 7.93 2,679.24 2,614.18 2,700.13 2,708.26 2,793.81 2,894.82 339.97 330.45 338.47 338.18 350.25 360.39 3.41 3.54 3.49 3.51 3.44 3.36 2,881.67 2,906.31 2,923.96 2,885.99 2,861.78 361.48 364.17 363.72 358.07 355.03 3.35 3.31 3.32 3.37 3.42 , 6.79 6.48 rice ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE. — All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Cor- 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT Sn the first 8 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $151.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $113.2 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 ,— RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^ 1,100 1,100 OUTLAYS^/ 1,000 1,000 900 900 "X RECEIPTS-!' 800 800 700 700 600 600 100 -100 \ A \^ ^^ \ 1/1982 ^-———*"^ \ 1983 \ 1984 ~T~ 1985 "^ \ 1986 i 1987 \ 1988 \ \ 1989 1990 ^ 1991 N FISCAL YEARS I/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] Receipts 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980.... 1981 1982 1983 1984.... 1985 ... 1986.... 1987 1988 1989 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Gross Federal debt (end of period) Off-budget On-budget Total Fiscal year or period Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Total Held by the public 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 -73.7 14 7 -53.6 59 2 -40.2 73 8 -78.9 127 9 -207.8 185 3 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 70 5 -13.3 49 7 -54.9 38 2 -72.7 73 9 -120.0 -208.0 -185.6 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 98.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 32 — 1.4 -3.9 -4.3 -2.0 11 -5.0 79 .2 .3 629.0 643.6 706.4 776.6 828.9 908.5 994.3 1,136.8 1,371.2 1,564.1 477.4 495.5 549.1 607.1 639.8 709.3 784.8 919.2 1,131.0 1,300.0 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 212 3 -221.2 149 7 -155.1 152 0 -123.8 63 1 547.9 568.9 640.7 667.5 727.0 788.0 855.7 769.5 806.8 810.0 861.4 931.7 971.5 997.4 -221.6 -237.9 -169.3 -193.9 -204.7 -183.4 -141.7 186.2 200.2 213.4 241.5 263.7 285.4 314.5 176.8 183.5 193.8 202.7 210.9 225.8 236.0 9.4 16.7 19.6 38.8 52.8 59.7 78.6 1,817.0 2,120.1 2,345.6 2,600.8 2,866.2 3,113.3 3,319.2 1,499.4 1,736.2 1,888.1 2,050.2 2,189.3 2,298.7 2,357.3 640.9 667.1 754.1 818.8 113 2 -151.7 464.5 480.8 616.1 671.1 -151.6 -190.2 176.4 186.3 138.0 147.8 38.4 38.6 2,785.1 3,073.0 2,149.6 2,322.3 Cumulative total, first 8 months: 1 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement, NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United Stales Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January 32 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 8 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $26.2 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $64.7 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS —RECEIPTS!/- 500 500 - INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES - 400 400 300 300 SOCIAL INSURANCE "TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 200 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES" OTHER RECEIPTS 100 200 100 0 0 900 —OUTLAYS-!/ - 900 800 800 NONDEFENSE 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 NATIONAL DEFENSE 300 300 200 200 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 FISCAL YEARS J/'INCLUDES ON-8UDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget outlays Oil-budget and off-budget receipts Fiscal year 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 8 months: 1 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 Nationa defense Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599 3 617.8 600.6 666.5 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 209.9 227.4 734.1 769.1 854.1 9C9.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 489.4 528.5 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.6 112.0 129.7 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 385.4 421.4 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.9 82.0 86.6 90.6 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 640.9 667.1 284.5 300.6 59.0 53.9 242.5 253.1 55.0 59.5 754.1 818.8 Total Other Social security Net interest Other 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 57.8 63.7 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 96.6 98.6 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 146.6 153.7 188.6 198.8 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.5 264.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 151.7 169.1 175.6 173.0 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 158.4 161.3 158.1 32.3 37.4 54.2 63.1 93.4 101.8 151.8 162.0 112.2 120.9 105.0 125.0 Health 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 296.3 303.3 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 286.8 292.1 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 14.6 18.2 198.6 198.6 193.0 192.4- 6.6 10.1 Total 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, Januari 1990, except as noted. Income security International affairs Total Department of Defense, military Medicare Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1990, according to revised estimates. Federal receipts rose $28.6 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $43.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,200 1,200 EXPENDITURES 1,000 1,000 800 800 RECEIPTS 600 600 400 400 200 200 -200 -200 1982 1983 1985 1984 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1988 1986 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS CALENDAR YEARS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government receipts Personal Period Total Fiscal year: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Calendar year: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: IV. 1983- IT 1984: IV. 1985: IV 1986: IV. 1987: IV 1988- IH IV 1989- I n.. TTT 1990: IV. Ir tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits Indirect business tax nontax accruals accruals tax and Federal Government expenditures Contributions for social insurance services Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Net interest paid Pur- Total chases of goods and Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts 776.8 815.2 897.3 958.6 1,046.4 340.4 357.0 401.2 408.0 457.3 74.6 81.1 97.7 108.3 115.4 55.9 50.9 53.4 55.8 57.6 305.8 326.1 345.0 386.4 416.1 962.3 1,028.0 1,060.4 1,104.0 1,175.6 341.5 368.6 375.5 378.6 400.5 374.0 394.6 411.2 432.7 461.6 97.8 107.4 103.1 108.6 115.8 128.3 134.6 138.8 149.0 168.6 20.7 22.8 31.9 35.1 29.1 0i .0 .1 — .1 .0 185 5 -212.8 163 1 -145.4 129 2 788.7 827.9 911.4 972.4 1,047.2 633.1 675.5 742.7 805.3 853.8 937.4 977.3 994.6 1,036.2 1,053.2 1,043.2 1,056.1 1,084.7 346.4 361.4 405.8 413.0 460.4 303.0 291.9 326.0 355.3 376.2 420.0 411.4 420.3 446.8 465.1 459.1 470.8 476.7 76.3 83.8 101.0 111.4 105.5 46.4 70.2 69.7 78.8 88.9 103.1 114.0 115.8 117.0 109.7 99.9 95.4 101.8 55.1 50.5 53.8 56.7 58.7 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.5 50.8 54.5 57.4 57.8 58.0 58.2 59.4 59.3 60.1 310.9 332.1 350.8 391.3 422.5 236.1 259.8 290.7 317.7 337.9 359.7 394.5 400.6 414.3 420.2 424.8 430.6 446.1 985.6 1,034.8 1,072.8 1,118.3 1,195.7 835.7 844.7 930.2 1,017.5 1,042.8 1,101.7 1,099.8 1,162.1 1,183.7 1,198.6 1,187.9 1,212.6 1,255.6 355.2 366.5 381.6 381.3 403.2 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 367.5 406.4 399.0 406.0 402.7 405.1 413.7 380.1 399.9 414.3 438.2 472.7 347.4 352.5 362.1 385.8 405.8 421.9 438.0 447.6 460.4 466.9 475.6 488.1 502.7 99.7 106.8 102.6 111.4 119.4 84.5 86.0 96.3 103.5 103.0 102.2 111.0 112.2 118.7 118.4 118.3 122.1 129.3 130.1 135.6 141.7 151.4 171.2 87.2 101.0 125.3 132.7 136.0 147.3 153.9 157.0 167.0 172.0 171.2 174.8 179.2 20.3 26.0 32.6 36.0 29.1 23.4 29.1 21.0 19.0 29.2 41.9 29.4 38.9 38.5 35.3 20.1 22.6 30.7 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 2 1969 -206.9 161 4 -145.8 148 5 -202.6 169 2 -187.5 -212.2 -189.0 -164.4 -122.5 -167.6 147 5 - 145.4 144 7 -156.5 -170.9 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States Canada Japan France 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 81.6 83.3 75.2 80.0 89.7 94.7 94.7 100.0 106.2 107.4 81.7 82.6 82.9 85.5 93.4 96.8 96.6 100.0 109.3 115.7 98.0 97.0 107.7 108.6 108.3 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 106.9 107.8 107.9 107.5 107.1 107.5 107.8 106.4 107.0 r !07.5 118.4 114.1 114.8 117.1 114.2 117.6 115.8 115.8 116.8 116.9 107.5 108.5 r 109.0 109.0 109.7 ' 105.9 ' 105.8 105.8 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p. 1989: Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar Apr May' 1 T 117.2 116.5 118.8 118.0 r r Germany Consumer prices (1982-84=100) United Kingdom Italy United States 1 Canada Japan France Germany Italy United Kingdom 96.0 96.0 97.0 97.0 98.0 100.0 104.5 109.0 95.0 93.2 90.3 90.9 93.5 97.7 99.6 100.0 ' 103.8 108.7 96.2 94.8 91.8 88.8 91.8 92.9 96.2 100.0 105.9 109.0 87.5 84.8 '86.4 '89.6 '"89.8 '94.6 '96.8 100.0 * 103.8 r 104.4 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 76.1 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 105.7 108.1 72.2 81.8 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 86.8 92.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 106.6 110.0 108.5 109.7 110.4 110.4 108.1 109.3 110.5 108.6 106.7 ' 109.2 r 104.6 108.8 110.0 ' 110.2 '110.0 110.0 '110.1 111.4 106.9 107.7 105.8 108.6 109.7 108.2 108.1 109.7 110.5 115.5 104.1 ' 105.6 '102.7 '102.8 '104.1 '105.3 '105.1 '105.1 '104.6 104.8 122.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 127.2 127.6 128.9 129.6 130.4 130.5 130.7 131.2 131.6 131.5 106.2 108.1 108.7 108.6 108.4 108.3 109.2 110.0 108.9 109.0 127.2 128.0 128.5 128.7 129.0 129.2 129.5 130.1 130.3 130.5 108.5 109.1 109.3 109.4 109.3 109.2 109.4 109.7 109.9 110.2 148.0 149.0 149.6 150.3 150.7 150.9 151.6 153.1 153.7 154.4 131.9 134.3 135.1 135.6 135.7 136.1 137.0 138.1 139.2 139.6 110.2 108.3 109.0 r lll.l r '104.6 '103.9 105.8 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 132.7 133.4 133.9 133.9 134.6 109.2 109.5 109.9 110.8 130.8 131.1 131.6 132.1 110.9 111.3 111.4 111.6 155.3 156.4 157.0 157.6 158.0 140.4 141.2 142.6 147.0 148.3 r r 112.6 '108.6 r l!0.1 l!2.6 110.8 111.5 110.1 Data relate to all urban consumers. Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce {Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) ] General merchandise imports (customs value) 3 Principal end-use commodity category Period 1982 1983 1984 216.4 205.6 224.0 5 218.8 5 227.2 254.1 322.4 364.0 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Total 2 Jan" Feb Mar'. Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 22.3 24.3 32.3 35.0 61.7 56.7 61.7 58.5 57.3 66.7 85.1 92.6 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 123.7 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 29.3 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 17.7 23.1 32.8 Total Other2" 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 35.9 34.6 43.4 50.7 244.0 258.0 330.7 4 336.5 365.4 406.2 441.0 473.0 4 Foods feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.0 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 111.0 118.3 132.2 35.4 40.9 59.8 65.1 71.8 84.5 101.4 114.1 33.3 40.8 53.5 66.8 78.2 85.2 87.7 85.6 39.7 44.9 60.0 68.3 79.4 88.7 95.9 102.5 General merchandise imports (c.i.f. value) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs value) Exports (l.a.s) less imports (c.i.f.) 7.8 9.4 10.4 12.1 12.8 13.5 254.9 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 459.5 492.9 -27.5 -52.4 -106.7 -117.7 -138.3 -152.1 -118.5 -109.0 -38.4 -64.2 -122.4 -133.6 -155.1 -170.3 — 137.1 -128.9 Other 6.5 6.3 31.1 31.0 30.6 31.2 29.7 30.2 30.4 31.5 30.6 30.8 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.9 7.7 7.5 10.5 10.5 10.0 10.5 10.7 10.5 11.2 11.0 9.7 10.9 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.0 3.6 4.0 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.1 40.0 38.6 41.0 39.7 39.2 40.4 38.5 41.9 40.7 38.5 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 10.9 11.0 11.8 11.3 11.2 11.5 10.4 11.8 11.1 10.4 9.6 9.1 9.7 9.8 9.5 9.8 9.6 10.1 10.1 9.7 7.8 7.3 7.5 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.6 7.5 7.2 6.9 8.5 8.1 8.7 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 41.7 40.2 42.6 41.3 40.9 42.2 40.1 43.7 42.5 40.2 -8.9 -7.6 -10.4 -8.5 -9.6 -10.2 -8.2 -10.4 -10.1 -7.7 -10.6 -9.2 -12.0 -10.1 -11.2 -12.0 -9.8 -12.3 -11.9 -9.3 31.9 31.8 33.5 32.3 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.0 8.8 8.0 8.6 8.6 12.3 12.8 12.9 12.4 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.7 41.3 37.9 41.9 39.2 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.3 12.9 11.0 11.6 10.5 9.6 8.9 9.9 9.7 6.1 6.5 7.9 6.9 9.0 8.1 8.7 8.6 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.2 43.1 39.6 43.7 41.0 -9.3 -6.1 -8.4 -6.9 -11.2 -7.8 -10.2 -8.7 1 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid 2 Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1989. 3 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 4 shipments. Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. ** Beginning 1990, undocumented exports to Canada and reexports are distributed to the appro- Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category priate end-use category. For earlier periods they are included in the "other" export category. Therefore, the categories beginning 1990 are not directly comparable with those for earlier periods. The 1989 figures for undocumented exports ($16 billion) and for reexports ($14.3 billion) will be distributed to the appropriate end-use categories later this year. NOTE.-—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the first quarter of 1990, the current account deficit fell to $22.9 billion from $26.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. (Series revised.) BILL ONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 10 10 5 5 0 •'A 0 f \ '' ^ Vl V -5 I \ \ -10 -10 ^ \ -15 -15 \ \ -20 X \ Nv x BALA NCE ON GOODS, SEPVHCES, AND INCC)ME \ s -25 1fv -30 Vl I \ -A v \ / """ "* / X. MER CHAND ISETRA DE BALA MCE i i i 1 1983 1984 1 .' * ..---. ^"•\ v. \ 1 1 1982 , -25 \ -35 -45 S 1 \ BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT -35 -40 1 i 1986 1985 k /, 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 1 i 1 1989 1 1 1 1990 -4,5 SEASONALLY ADJUS IEO OURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (-f), debits ( — )] Merchandise * 2 Exports Imports Net balance Net military transactions 3 Net travel and transportation receipts Other services, net4 Receipts on U.S. assets abroad 237,085 211,198 201,820 219,900 215,935 223,367 250,266 320,337 360,465 -265,063 -247,642 -268,900 -332,422 -338,083 -368,425 -409,766 -447,323 -475,329 -27,978 -36,444 -67,080 — 112,522 -122,148 — 145,058 -159,500 — 126,986 -114,864 -1,523 -474 -343 -2,099 -3,557 -4,576 -2,857 -4,606 -5,662 144 -992 -4,227 -7,885 -9,832 -8,031 -7,324 -2,633 792 11,085 11,436 12,264 12,299 12,351 18,547 17,909 20,335 25,487 86,412 -52,329 83,548 -54,884 77,251 -52,376 85,908 -67,419 88,832 -62,901 88,615 -66,968 104,703 -82,420 107, 775 -105,548 124,723 -123,694 320,337 360,465 76,497 79,392 80,511 83,937 88,267 91,111 89,349 91,738 96,044 -447,323 -475,329 -109,988 — 110,494 -111,290 -115,551 -116,360 -119,333 — 119,152 -120,484 — 122,415 — 126,986 -114,864 -33,491 — 31,102 -30,779 -31,614 -28,093 — 28,222 -29,803 -28,746 -26,371 -6,320 659 26,123 -1,763 -1,667 — 1,114 -1,776 -1,370 -57 39 -192 870 1,213 5,899 6,164 7,031 7,030 6,468 Period Old Series: 1981 1982.. . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Revised Series: 5 1988 1989 1988: I II Ill IV 1989: I II Ill IV 1990: I" Investment income 4 Services 1 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments i United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. 5 Series revised beginning li)78, but all data are not yet available. The complete historical s 2 3 4 36 Payments on foreign assets in U.S. 3 Net Balance on goods, services, and income Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers, net * Balance on current account 8,163 34,083 15,810 -7,647 28,664 -6,997 2,191 -9,188 24,875 -34,510 -9,776 -44,286 18,489 -91,718 -12,468 -104,186 25,931 -97,256 -15,426 -112,682 21,647 -117,470 -15,778 -133,249 22,283 -129,488 -14,212 -143,700 2,227 -111,892 -14,656 -126,548 1,029 -91,602 -14,276 -105,878 1,610 110,048 -108,438 -912 127,536 — 128,448 2,400 26,980 -24,580 26,739 — 26,330 409 -141 27,942 -28,083 28,386 — 29,445 -1,059 30,872 -30,407 465 31,932 — 33,889 -1,957 32,102 -32,085 17 32,629 — 32,068 561 31,057 -30,449 608 -15,005 -128,862 -95.314 — 14,720 — 110,034 3 476 -3,060 -3,461 5008 -23,549 -3,555 -27,104 -25,643 -3,006 -28,649 -24,061 -3,530 -27,591 -22,061 -4,631 -26,692 - 19,452 -3,489 — 22,941 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks decreased $45.7 billion in the first quarter of 1990, compared to an increase of $32.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, decreased $28.1 billion in the first quarter, compared to an increase of $36.7 billion in the fourth quarter. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 CHANGE IN -FOREIGN ASSETS 60 60 IN THE U.S., NET 40 40 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET 20 20 -20 -20 -40 -40 -60 -60 1990 1982 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, net [in crease /capit Period Total U.S. official reserve assets 3 G Old Series: 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 -110,951 -121,153 -49,777 -22,304 -32,628 -99,665 - 76,218 -82,110 -125,707 -5,175 4965 -1,196 3131 -3,858 312 9,149 3 566 -25,293 Revised Series: 5 1988 1989 -84,176 -127,061 3 912 -25,293 4,569 -19,856 -42,383 -26,508 Other U.S. Government assets Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase/capital inflow (+)] 3 ] U.S. private assets Total Foreign official assets Other foreign assets 181,927 205,829 -8,404 22,443 47,802 74,609 24,840 5,970 2 015 10,720 1,239 59,300 51,812 69,575 2034 - 14,539 23,344 -19,242 43,186 41,028 47,788 47,802 68,402 2,794 74,136 69,320 7,797 -4,961 13,003 -7,016 60,605 7,755 61,133 76,336 -8,439 27,236 — 2,469 6,117 3,093 -1,697 -4,953 3,560 49,854 60,502 68,418 74,609 27 489 8 825 - 18,665 20,922 3,116 76,303 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 1 083 35,594 45,193 38,882 7,369 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 172,847 180,418 189,303 2,969 1,185 -83,232 102 953 221,442 214,652 39,515 8,823 1,502 39 -7,380 1,925 — 1,594 -847 1,957 3,452 4,661 -19,048 36960 -31,885 26,079 65,270 49,797 80,295 IV -32,859 -1,381 -44,076 -48,745 -4,000 — 12,095 -5,996 — 3,202 962 -303 574 -47 29 821 -11,017 38 654 45496 1990: I" 29,509 -3,177 486 33,172 IV 1989: I n in 6 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMP. Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,605 218,039 219,299 196,671 n in Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) U.S. official reserve assets, net 6 (unadjusted, end of period) 18,663 34,404 9,194 23,869 15298 11,308 1,878 -10,641 34,914 100 679 5 097 -6,131 -110,058 5 006 43 576 -13,685 -5,489 25 950 2821 -2,024 -97,954 86 363 997 -81,543 2,999 1,037 101 451 1988: I Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDKs) 1,093 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign). Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1990 0—31-768