Full text of Economic Indicators : January 1990
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
101st Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators JANUARY 1990 (Includes data available as of February 6, 1990) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1990 (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan) SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) PETE WILSON (California) CONNIE MACK (Florida) JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director OF MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy ($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 4.3 percent (annual rate) or $56.0 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 0.5 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 3.5 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 5,600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 5,200 ^\ 4,800 - GNP IN CU ?RENT DOLLAR s 4,000 ^*^ -^ 4,400 ^ _----~ 4,000 \ ^ ,_---"' - 3,600 3,600 x^3,200 \ GNP — IN 19 82 DOLLARS ~-~^~-^-~- 3,200 ^~ - 2,800 2,400 2,800 I 1 1981 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1983 1982 1 1 1 1 1985 1984 1986 1 1 1 1 1987 1988 1 1 2,400 1989 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 * 1982: 1983: 19841985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988- I n HI IV 1989: I II HI IV" 1 Exports and imports of goods and services Gross private domestic investment 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,014.9 4,231.6 4,524.3 4,880.6 5,233.2 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,470.3 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 750.3 777.1 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 -58.9 -78.0 -97.4 -112.6 -73.7 -50.9 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 370.9 396.5 448.6 547.7 624.4 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 448.9 493.8 561.2 621.3 675.2 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 820.8 872.2 926.1 968.9 1,036.7 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 355.2 366.5 381.6 381.3 404.1 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.1 277.8 294.8 298.0 302.8 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 96.0 88.7 86.8 83.3 101.3 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 4,107.9 4,297.3 4,665.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 749.7 14.1 -25.8 — 67.9 -103.2 -108.9 -114.6 335.9 364.7 385.7 369.2 402.4 482.6 321.9 390.5 453.6 472.4 511.3 597.2 671.8 676.1 764.5 856.7 888.9 947.5 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 205.4 221.5 244.1 268.6 280.7 296.8 4,739.8 4,838.5 4,926.9 5,017.3 3,148.1 3,204.9 3,263.4 3,324.0 728.8 748.4 771.1 752.8 -82.8 -74.9 -66.2 -70.8 521.6 532.5 556.8 579.7 604.3 607.5 623.0 650.5 945.7 960.1 958.6 1,011.4 374.1 377.1 367.5 406.4 5,113.1 5,201.7 5,281.0 5,337.0 3,381.4 3,444.1 3,508.1 3,547.5 769.6 775.0 779.1 784.8 -54.0 -50.6 -45.1 -53.8 605.6 626.1 628.5 637.3 659.6 676.6 673.6 691.1 1,016.0 1,033.2 1,038.9 1,058.6 399.0 406.0 402.7 408.8 Gross national product Final sales Gross domestic purchases 1 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 465.6 505.7 544.5 587.6 632.5 2,740.3 3,028.6 3,190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,003.6 4,224.8 4,495.0 4,850.0 5,203.8 2,699.8 3,018.7 3,139.7 3,411.8 3,831.1 4,092.8 4,329.0 4,636.8 4,954.3 5,284.1 87.7 54.6 81.9 108.0 88.1 91.3 378.7 400.0 438.5 480.1 520.1 559.4 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 4,100.7 4,309.4 4,602.5 3,198.5 3,571.6 3,919.7 4,211.2 4,406.2 4,780.4 297.4 298.0 296.1 300.5 76.7 79.1 71.4 105.9 571.6 583.0 591.0 604.9 4,709.8 4,809.2 4,882.3 4,998.7 4,822.5 4,913.4 4,993.1 5,088.1 298.7 301.3 307.8 303.4 100.4 104.7 94.9 105.4 617.0 627.2 636.2 649.8 5,085.4 5,174.3 5,253.6 5,301.8 5,167.1 5,252.3 5,326.1 5,390.9 Federal Net exports GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Government purchases of goods and services Personal consumption expenditures Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Ec< State and local GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Period 1980 1981 1982... 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988. 1989 p 19821983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IT IV IV 1988: I II c ra IV 1989: I II Ill IV 1 Personal consumption expenditures Gross national product Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Government purchases of goods and services Exports and imports of goods and services Change in business inventories Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases l 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,618.7 3,717.9 3,853.7 4,024.4 4,142.6 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,354.8 2,446.4 2,513.7 2,598.4 2,668.5 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 453.5 438.4 455.5 493.8 511,1 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.4 195.7 194.8 194.1 188.9 57.0 -6.9 49.4 23.9 26.3 -24.5 -6.4 -19.9 62.3 -84.0 9.1 - 104.3 5.6 -129.7 23.7 -115.7 -74.9 27.9 24.5 -56.3 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 367.2 397.1 450.9 530.1 587.6 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 471.4 526.9 566.6 605.0 643.9 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 731.2 761.6 781.8 785.1 805.8 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 326.0 334.1 339.6 328.9 337.2 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 237.2 252.1 265.2 261.5 256.2 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 88.8 82.0 74.4 67.4 81.0 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 405.2 427.5 442.1 456.2 468.6 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,609.6 3,712.4 3,830.0 3,996.5 4,118.1 3,130.1 3,199.4 3,139.7 3,299.1 3,585.4 3,723.0 3,847.8 3,969.4 4,099.3 4,198.9 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 3,662.4 3,733.6 3,935.6 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 2,386.9 2,477.8 2,532.3 352,3 390.4 444.4 460.9 435,7 472.7 115.8 159.9 169.6 179.4 200.3 191.9 11.7 -59.3 21.0 -46.2 -94.8 41.7 7.7 -125.3 -20.8 -135.4 56.6 -109.8 336.0 355.5 376.6 367.4 406.5 484.1 324.3 401.6 471.4 492.6 541.9 593.9 660.1 642.2 693.2 752.7 776.0 792.1 289.5 266.0 300.5 340.6 342.4 344.9 201.4 211.6 225.3 241.4 255.8 266.7 88.2 54.4 75.2 99.2 86.6 78.2 370.6 316.2 392.7 412.1 433.6 447.2 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 3,654.7 3,754.4 3,879.0 3,147.6 3,411.3 3,630.0 3,787.6 3,869.0 4,045.5 3,974.8 4,010.7 4,042.7 4,069.4 2,570.8 2,586.8 2,608.1 2,627.7 483.6 497.8 501.0 492.7 189.1 194.2 195.1 198.1 34.3 21.5 37.5 18.3 -78.2 — 72.6 -74.9 -73.8 517.4 519.7 531.9 551.4 595.6 592.3 606.9 625.2 775.1 783.0 775.9 806.4 323.8 327.9 319.8 343.9 263.0 262.5 258.8 261.6 60.8 65.4 61.0 82.3 451.3 455.1 456.1 462.5 3,940.5 3,989.2 4,005.2 4,051.0 4,052.9 4,083.3 4,117.6 4,143.2 4,106,8 4,132.5 4,162.9 4,168.1 2,641.0 2,653.7 2,690.1 2,689.3 501.0 511.4 517.9 514.0 195.6 189.3 184.8 186.0 24.5 19.1 21.9 32.6 -55.0 -51.2 -57.1 -61.8 569.7 587.5 593.1 600.2 624.6 638.7 650.2 662.0 799.7 810.3 805.3 807.9 335.5 343.6 336.1 333.6 254.4 255.8 260.1 254.7 81.1 87.8 76.0 79.0 464.2 466.7 469.2 474.2 4,082.3 4,113.5 4,141.0 4,135.5 4,161.8 4,183.7 4,220.0 4,229.9 Source: Department: of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and sendees. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Period Gross national product Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 1980 1981 1982 .. . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 " 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.1 110.9 113.8 117.4 121.3 126.3 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.6 114.3 119.8 124.5 130.0 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.8 105.6 108.1 110.1 111.3 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.3 112.1 116.3 122.6 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 116.8 122.4 129.0 134.9 141.2 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 91.9 97.7 99.3 97.5 98.7 100.3 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.3 111.1 116.2 119.7 124.5 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.0 99.8 99.5 103.3 106.3 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 91.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 102.7 104.9 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.0 109.7 112.4 115.9 119.8 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 101.2 109.2 110.2 111.1 114.0 118.2 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.2 108.1 116.7 123.6 125.2 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.S 114.9 118.3 123.2 128.8 135.0 1982: 1983: 1984: 19851986: 1987: IV IV IV IT IV IV 101.7 105.4 109.0 112.2 115.1 118.6 101.8 105.7 109.3 113.1 115.8 121.8 100.7 103.1 104.1 104.7 106.2 109.0 101.0 103.1 105.8 108.7 107.8 113.7 102.7 108.3 113.5 119.0 124.9 131.5 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.9 100.0 97.0 99.1 103.1 107.2 109.0 112.4 118.7 100.0 102.6 102.4 100.5 99.0 99.7 99.3 97.2 96.2 95.9 94.4 100.6 101.3 103.8 108.5 110.6 107.7 112.5 102.0 104.7 108.3 111.3 109.7 111.3 99.5 100.3 108.9 108.8 101.7 116.8 102.2 106.3 111.7 116.5 120.0 125.1 1988: I II III IV 119.2 120.6 121.9 123.3 122.5 123.9 125.1 126.5 109.3 109.6 110.2 111.2 114.0 115.9 117.1 118.2 132.7 134.2 135.6 137.3 97.7 97.8 98.4 100.6 119.5 119.5 119.6 120.4 100.8 102.5 104.7 105.1 101.5 102.6 102.7 104.0 115.5 115.0 114.9 118.2 113.1 113.5 114.4 114.9 126.2 121.0 117.1 128.7 126.7 128.1 129.6 130.8 1989: I II III IV 124.5 125.9 126.9 128.0 128.0 129.8 130.4 131.9 111.2 110.8 111.4 111.7 120.0 123.3 122.9 124.2 139.0 140.4 141.8 143.5 100.4 100.2 100.3 100.1 122.1 124.2 125.6 126.2 106.3 106.6 106.0 106.2 105.6 105.9 103.6 104.4 118.9 118.2 119.8 122.5 117.4 117.8 118.3 119.1 123.8 119.2 125.0 133.4 132.9 134.4 135.6 137.0 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross national product Period -0.2 1.9 — 2.5 3.6 6.8 3.4 2.7 3.7 4.4 2.9 .6 7.3 1.7 3.0 2.3 6.6 4.0 3.7 3.2 2.7 3.7 2.5 3.0 .5 8.9 11.7 3.7 7.6 10.8 6.4 5.4 6.9 7.9 7.2 4.2 12.4 4.7 6.2 4.2 9.0 6.5 8.6 7.5 7.5 7.9 7.1 6.2 4.3 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 . 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1982: IV 1983- IV 1984: IV 1985: IV. . . 1986: IV 1987: IV 1988: I U in 1989: Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars IV I II III IV ' . ... Implicit price deflator Persona! consumption expenditures Chain price index 9.0 9.7 6.4 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.3 4.1 3.6 4.7 3.0 3.3 1.8 2.4 2.0 4.8 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.6 3.2 3.5 9.0 9.4 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.3 2.5 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.1 3.2 2.7 3.3 3.3 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.9 2.8 3.7 Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 10.6 10.5 7.1 9.0 8.8 8.2 6.4 7.6 7.4 7.3 10.3 9.7 7.2 6.0 6.2 3.6 8.7 7.4 ".5 ".6 7.1 ".6 7.6 4.6 9.3 9.3 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.4 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.8 3.8 4.8 5.2 4.3 4.8 5.0 2.9 3.8 -0.2 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 4.7 3.9 2.8 3.4 2.7 5.3 5.5 4.3 1.9 2.2 -.7 6.2 2.5 3.3 3.0 2.0 1.9 5.6 i Implicit price deflator Chain price index 10.7 9.2 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.4 4.8 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.0 4.0 3.9 4.4 2.3 4.7 3.9 4.6 4.8 5.7 1.9 4.7 Fixedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.9 9.2 5.7 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.1 3.1 4.2 3.9 4.3 2.6 5.0 4.3 4.8 4.7 5.8 2.1 4.4 10.5 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 3.5 2.7 4.7 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.1 3.2 4.3 3.9 4.5 2.6 5.1 4.6 4.9 4.8 6.3 2.2 4.4 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l Gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 " 1982: IV 1983- IV 1984: IV 1985: IV 1986- IV 1987: IV 1988: I... . II III IV... 1989: 1 I II Ill Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,267.1 2,367.1 2,520.7 2 731 3 2,903.5 1,779.4 2,012.5 2,201.8 2,309.4 2,408.7 2,598.4 2,648.1 2,705.9 2,754.9 2,816.4 2,842.7 2,887.2 2,936.2 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,117.4 2,173.9 2,282.6 2,419.5 2,478.2 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 2,137.7 2,198.5 2,343.3 2,381.8 2,408.9 2,434.1 2,453.2 2,459.1 2,471.3 2,497.2 Total cost and profit 2 Indirect business taxes 3 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1.054 1.071 1.089 1.104 1.129 1.172 1.011 1.037 1.064 1.080 1.096 1.109 1.112 1.123 1.132 1.148 1.156 1.168 1.176 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .123 .123 .123 .128 .131 .120 .118 .120 .124 .122 .122 .122 .122 .124 .125 .126 .129 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .106 .106 .107 .111 .096 .098 .102 .104 .106 .106 .106 .107 .108 .108 .110 .111 .112 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol- lars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment 3 4 Compensation of employees Net interest 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .704 .721 .730 .744 .782 .685 .680 .694 .713 .727 .734 .732 .740 .746 .756 .768 .778 .783 0.031 .037 .043 .037 .039 .038 .041 .047 .052 .060 .042 .037 .042 .037 .042 .050 .050 .051 .053 .055 .057 .060 .061 Total 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .106 .098 .098 .103 .090 .057 .103 .107 .106 .096 .098 .102 .103 .102 .105 .096 .093 .091 Profits tax liability 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .035 .041 .044 .039 .023 .036 .032 .033 .038 .041 .041 .044 .044 .045 .045 .041 .038 Profits after tax4 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .073 .064 .058 .059 .051 .034 .066 .075 .072 .058 .057 .060 .059 .058 .061 .051 .053 .053 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 18.524 18.643 18.704 19.217 19.682 19.996 20.456 20.908 21.393 10.769 11.777 12.635 13.039 13.528 14.069 14.746 15.252 15.907 18.770 ' 19.422 19.784 20.116 20.650 21.176 21.382 21.401 21.469 21.446 21.356 21.364 r 21.522 r r 12. 866 13.208 13.735 14.341 15.008 15.535 15.645 15.833 16.024 16.213 16.407 16.625 ' 16.843 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1982 1983. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 * 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988: I n m TV 1989: I n in Nonfarm Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,234.0 3,412.6 3,665.4 3,972.6 4,265.0 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,367.5 2,511.4 2,690.0 2,907.6 3,145.4 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 41.6 39.8 46.3 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 270.0 288.0 305.9 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.4 15.7 8.0 150.0 213.7 266.9 282.3 282.1 298.7 328.6 298.2 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 268.7 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 287.3 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -18.9 -25.0 -18.5 -9.2 17.0 32.7 59.7 53.8 50.9 46.8 29.4 272.3 281.0 304.8 319.0 325.5 351.7 392.9 461.1 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3 312 8 3,473.1 3,799.9 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,426.7 2,571.2 2,778.7 28.5 19.3 28.1 29.2 37.2 48.4 159.8 188.6 209.7 235.0 252.0 280.3 15.8 12.4 5.6 7.8 13.5 14.3 146.1 248.5 266.9 291.4 275.2 308.2 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 276.2 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -20.4 -4.5 25.1 42.3 63.0 49.1 52.4 266.9 290.2 313.1 322.7 324.0 370.0 3,853.6 3,933.6 4,005.7 4,097.4 2.819.4 2,878.9 2,935.1 2,997.2 44.0 45.4 37.7 32.0 279.9 286.5 289.3 296.3 15.6 14.6 16.3 16.1 318.1 325.3 330.9 340.2 268.1 276.4 284.1 298.7 288.8 305.3 314.4 318.8 -20.7 -28.8 -30.4 — 20.1 49.9 48.9 46.9 41.5 376.6 383.0 396.4 415.7 4,185.2 4,249.6 4,287.3 3,061.7 3,118.2 3,171.9 3,230.1 59.0 51.3 36.1 38.8 300.3 304.2 307.2 312.0 11.8 9.8 5.4 5.1 316.3 307.8 295.2 279.7 275.5 268.7 318.0 296.0 275.0 -38.3 -20.5 -6.3 -8.9 36.6 32.3 26.5 22.4 436.1 458.4 471.5 478.4 IV 1 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nondurable goods Durable goods Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable goods 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,010.8 3,235.1 3,470.3 252.7 289.1 335.5 372.2 406.0 421.0 455.2 473.6 108.9 130.4 157.4 179.1 196.2 195.5 211.6 214.0 95.7 107.1 118.8 129.9 139.7 149.1 162.0 173.7 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,083.3 263.8 310.0 346.7 373.2 422.0 424.5 115.7 144.4 162.3 173.8 201.1 196.3 1988: I II III IV.... 3,148.1 3,204.9 3,263.4 3 324 0 446.4 454.6 452.5 467.4 1989: I II... . Ill IV* 3,381.4 3,444.1 3,508.1 3,547.5 466.4 471.0 486.1 471.0 Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 " 19821983: 1984: 19851986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IT IV Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Total nondurable goods Food 48.1 51.6 59.3 63.2 70.0 76.5 81.6 85.9 771.0 816.7 867.3 911.2 942.0 998.1 1,052.3 1,122.6 99.1 112.4 122.7 134.7 143.8 151.4 49.0 53.2 61.8 64.7 77.1 76.7 210.3 212.5 208.4 215.3 156.9 162.2 162.7 166.1 211.7 212.9 225.6 205.9 172.1 173.5 173.9 175.2 Services Retail sales of new passenger cars (millions of units) Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 398.8 421.9 448.5 471.6 500.0 529.2 559.7 595.0 124.4 135.1 146.7 156.4 166.8 177.2 186.8 199.9 89.1 90.2 90.0 90.6 73.5 75.2 76.8 83.5 158.7 169.5 182.1 192.6 201.7 216.6 229.0 244.2 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,345.6 1,449.5 1,591.7 1,727.6 1,874.1 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 786.6 837.9 879.6 932.7 952.1 1,015.4 407.0 430.8 456.1 482.5 511.9 536.8 126.5 141.1 149.8 160.6 168.7 180.6 89.8 91.9 89.0 91.0 66.0 76.7 163.4 174.0 184.7 198.5 205.5 221.3 1,066.5 1,167.9 1,267.1 1,394.5 1,494.4 1,643.3 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 79.2 79.9 81.4 86.0 1,022.2 1,042.4 1,066.2 1,078.4 542.5 554.5 567.8 574.1 180.8 183.6 188.9 193.9 74.3 76.9 78.3 77.6 224.5 227.5 231.2 232.8 1,679.5 1,707.9 1,744.7 1,778.2 7.7 7.5 7.4 7.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 82.6 84.6 86.7 89.9 1,098.3 1,121.5 1,131.4 1,139.1 587.3 592.2 598.1 602.2 195.0 198.9 202 2 203.7 77.9 89.5 85.2 81.4 238.1 241.0 245.9 251.8 1,816.7 1,851.7 1,890.6 1,937.5 7.0 7.3 7.9 6.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.6 Other Other Domestics Imports SOURCES OF Personal income rose $21.2 billion (annual rate) in December following an increase of $42.5 billion in November. The December increase was boosted by a return to work following strikes in the aircraft and telephone industries and was reduced by decreases in retroactive social security payments and in farm subsidy payments. The November increase reflected recovery from the Loma Prieta earthquake, October bonus payments to motor vehicle industry employees, and retroactive social security payments. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $23.6 billion in December and $26.2 billion in November. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) . . 5,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS I 1,400 1,400 OTHER INCOME 800 800 \ TRANSFER PAYMENTS 400 400 illl 1981 1982 1985 1984 1983 1986 1987 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1989 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1980. 1981 1982.. 1983 1984... 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1988: Dec 1989- Jan Feb Mar May July Sept Oct r . . Nov r Dec " Total personal income 2,258.4 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3 325 3 3,526.2 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,428.7 4,206.3 4,273.1 4,319.5 4,360.7 4,387.1 4,396.3 4,417.5 4,443.7 4,456.9 4,467.1 4,505.5 4,548.0 4,569.2 Wage and salary disbursements l 1,372.0 1,510.3 1,586.1 1,676.6 1,838.6 1,975.4 2,094.8 2,249.4 2,429.0 2,632.0 2,516.7 2,545.4 2,557.3 2,579.4 2,601.3 2,603.5 2,621.7 2,644.7 2,651.0 2,668.4 2,697.0 2,699.0 2,715.9 Proprietors' income 3 Other labor income x 2 138.4 150.3 163.6 173.6 182.9 187.6 199.3 212.8 228.9 248.3 238.2 239.7 241.3 242.9 244.4 246.0 247.5 249.1 250.7 252.2 253.8 255.3 256.9 Farm 20.5 30.7 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 41.6 39.8 46.3 29.4 48.0 65.9 63.0 56.4 54.3 43.2 38.8 36.5 32.9 40.0 39.8 36.7 Nonfarm 160.1 156.1 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 270.0 288.0 305.9 297.4 299.6 300.6 300.8 304.6 303.5 304.6 306.3 308.0 307.4 306.3 314.0 315.7 Rental income of persons 4 6.6 13.3 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.4 15.7 8.0 16.0 13.8 11.8 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.3 8.4 -1.6 -7.9 10.4 12.6 Personal dividend income 52.9 61.3 63.9 68.7 75.5 78.7 85.8 92.0 102.2 112.4 106.9 108.4 109.4 110.3 111.0 111.4 111.8 112.8 113.3 113.6 114.8 115.8 116.4 Personal interest income 271.9 335.4 369.7 393.1 444.7 478.0 493.2 523.2 571.1 657.8 606.4 616.5 628.9 641.5 648.4 655.2 661.8 665.0 667.9 670.4 674.9 679.5 684.0 Transfer PaJ- 5 men'ts 324.7 368.1 410.6 442.6 456.6 489.8 521.5 548.2 584.7 632.1 595.6 610.7 614.2 624.2 623.9 625.5 630.9 632.6 636.4 640.2 644.6 652.2 650.2 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 88.6 104.5 112.3 120.1 132.7 149.3 161.9 172.9 194.9 214.2 200.1 209.0 209.8 211.3 212.6 212.7 213.8 214.8 215.2 216.3 218.1 218.1 219.2 Nonfarm personal income G 2,215.8 2,465.6 2,618.7 2,799.0 3,052.1 3,271.3 3,469.4 3,714.7 4,003.7 4,360.9 4,155.9 4,204.0 4,232.4 4,276.5 4,309.4 4,320.5 4,352.6 4,383.1 4,398.6 4,412.4 4,443.8 4,486.5 4,510.7 DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the fourth quarter of 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO !>CALE) 4,000 3,800 ^~-rrrrH •gfiUILLLU3,400 JJJ-L~ ^ _TTTZ***^ 3,000 BILLIOI-JS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 3,800 3,400 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 3,000 A^TTTTEZZZZF^rf^^ 2,600 2,200 ^HHJM UlLLLLU^— \ ^rrflimjjj-'^- PEI SONAL OUTK\YS rrnJ£fl-^\ 2,600 2,200 SAVIN G 1,800 1,800 1 I \ 1,400 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 \ 1 1 1 1 DOHA « ' (RATIO SCALE) 1 1 1 1 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 1 6,000 16,000 __^p- PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 14,000 2URRENT DOL .— -" 14,000 •*" \ 12,000 10,000 10,000 \ •! ,,! 12,000 p"" \ __^ 1982 DOLL ARS 8,000 8,000 1 6,000 1 1 1 1 1 1982 1981 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1 1 1985 1984 1 1 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1 1 1988 1987 1 1 1 6,000 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income Less: Personal tax and nontax payments Equals' Disposable income Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in 1982 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 2,258.5 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,428.7 p 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 486.6 512.9 571.7 586.6 648.7 1,918.0 2,127.6 2,261.4 2,428.1 2,668.6 2,838.7 3,013.3 3,205.9 3,477.8 3,780.0 1982 dollars Per capita personal consu nption expenditures Current dollars 1982 dollars Dollars 1,781.1 1,968.1 2,107.5 2,297.4 2,504.5 2,713.3 2388.5 3,104.1 3^333.1 3,573.7 136.9 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 125.4 124.9 101.8 144.7 206.3 2,214.3 2,248.6 2,261.5 2,331.9 2,469.8 2,542.8 2,635.3 2,676.6 2J793.2 2,906.7 8,421 9,243 9,724 10,340 11,257 11,861 12,469 13,140 14,116 15,191 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 2.1 4.9 2.0 2.6 .6 3.3 3.0 7.1 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.4 4.1 3.2 4.2 5.5 227,754 230J182 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,322 241,660 243,985 246,378 248,830 Percent 9,722 9,769 9,724 9,930 10,419 10,625 10,905 10,970 11,337 11,681 7,607 8,320 8,818 9,515 10,253 10,985 11,576 12,340 13,131 13,946 8,783 — 1.1 8,794 8,818 9,139 9^489 9,839 10J123 10,303 10^546 10,724 .5 — .5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 3,399.1 3,597.8 3,908.7 411.1 413.9 459.7 499.6 534.4 589.2 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,899.5 3,063.4 3,319.4 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,787.7 2,961.4 3,177.6 143.1 145.4 157.3 111.7 102.0 141.8 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,562.8 2,646.2 2,726.2 9,929 10,725 11,467 12,068 12,629 13,552 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,667 10,909 11,130 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,240 11,825 12,588 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,935 10,214 r 10,338 1.2 9.1 1.7 3.3 .3 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.9 3.3 4.3 233,466 235,707 237,946 240,257 242,579 244,936 1988: I II III.... IV 3,948.5 4,026.6 4,097.6 4,185.2 572.2 590.7 585.9 597.8 3,376.4 3,435.9 3,511.7 3,587.4 3,244.4 3,301.9 3,362.1 3,424.0 131.9 134.0 149.6 163.4 2,757.2 2,773.3 2,806.4 2,835.9 13,754 13,966 14,235 14,504 11,232 11,273 11,377 11,466 12,824 13,028 13,229 13,439 r 10,473 10,515 10,572 10,624 3.7 1.5 3.7 3.2 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.6 245,476 246,008 246,685 247,343 4,317.8 4,400.3 4,455.9 4,540.9 628.3 652.6 649.1 665.0 3,689.5 3,747.7 3,806.8 3,875.9 3,483.8 3,547.0 3,611.7 3,652.2 205.7 200.7 195.1 223.7 2,881.7 2,887.6 2,919.2 2,938.3 14,884 15,084 15,280 15,514 11,625 11,622 11,717 11,761 13,641 10,654 13,862 10,681 14,081 ' 10,798 14,200 10,765 5.7 -.1 3.3 1.5 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.8 247,890 248,456 249,143 249,831 1989: I n m.... rv.. 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net). 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages (or the period. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of EC ?. Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the third quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income fell $8.4 billion (annual rate) and net farm income fell $13.2 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 240 200 . r">, — *• ' *-— - GROSS FAR/ r~-i "~—- ^ 160 120 80 60 / * / / t / V * A ''' / NK /r--'"' -V\ \: • \ \ I I\ ft 1 I t 1 1 »__,' ' \\ <l \ ~" \ / 40 ^' 20 \ NET FARM NCOME . 1 iv 1 1\ 1 1 \ 1 1 f- -> N / \ ~ **.«- ~\ 1 V "^ \l 10 ' 1 1 1 1 1981 1 1 1 1 1982 1 1 1983 1 ! 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 I I 1 1987 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE I I I 1988 1 I ( 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total ' Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1987- I II III. IV 1988- I II III. IV 1989- I r..r np m 149.3 166.4 163.5 152.9 175.0 166.3 160.3 171.7 177.6 170.4 172.4 167.8 175.9 174.7 182.0 175.0 178.6 198.4 196.7 188.3 139.7 141.7 142.6 136.5 142.5 144.1 135.5 139.5 151.5 131.3 143.8 144.8 138.1 144.4 148.8 160.4 152.2 155.4 160.2 164.4 Livestock and products 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 73.0 69.8 71.5 75.7 78.9 72.8 76.4 77.8 75.8 81.8 75.3 78.3 80.3 84.1 81.3 81.8 Crops 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.5 74.3 64.0 63.8 72.6 58.6 67.4 66.9 62.2 62.6 73.5 82.1 71.9 71.3 78.9 82.6 Value of inventory changes 2 63 6.5 — 1.4 -10.9 6.3 -2.4 27 -.4 -4.3 -.1 .3 — .2 -1.7 -4.0 -4.4 -4.7 -4.1 8.6 7.8 6.3 Production expenses 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 134.0 122.4 128.0 135.0 120.4 128.7 131.3 131.7 130.2 133.7 138.2 137.8 135.5 140.6 145.5 Current dollars 1982 dollars 3 16.2 27.0 23.5 12.5 32.3 32.3 37.9 43.5 42.6 18.8 28.7 23.5 12.0 29.9 29.1 33.4 37.1 35.2 50.0 43.7 36.3 44.1 44.5 48.3 36.8 40.8 43.1 37.3 30.9 37.2 37.4 40.0 30.2 33.1 62.9 56.0 42.8 50.5 44.5 33.8 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. 'holds. PROFITS In the third quarter of 1989, according to current estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $21.0 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits fell $8.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 320 320 /^ \ 280 240 200 280 \ / J1 \ ^\ \ PROFITS BEFORE TAX ^y^ f* / 240 \~^ 200 ^ \ 160 *>•«-• *-'~~ ^/ S 160 '°~~^^ PR ^FITS AFTER T/ .X -a. s 120 \ s s~ " ,— -N -•C" 80 f, " ,'"' -N% 40 \ I ! 120 -",'- TAX LIABILITY \ 1 1 1 1982 1981 /" *s "V 40 f"" ^--^_ N v ' S 80 1 N 1 1 1 1983 \ UNDISTI IBUTED PROFI1 s I 1 1 1 1 1 1984 t I ^' 1 1 1986 1985 1 1 1 1987 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I 1 1 1988 1 1 0 1 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Nonfinancial Period Total 2 Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 1987- Manufacturing Wholesale and retail trade Total Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment . 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 191.4 195.2 208.7 238.2 222.9 21.0 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 22.8 32.0 30.5 29.8 24.3 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 168.6 163.2 178.2 208.4 198.6 77.14 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 79.7 59.5 76.6 98.4 87.3 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 44.1 44.1 41.1 40.1 36.7 237.1 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 266.7 306.8 287.3 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.4 106.3 124.7 137.9 129.0 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 127.8 115.3 142.0 168.9 158.2 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 83.3 91.3 98.7 110.4 122.1 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 44.6 24.0 43.3 58.5 36.2 -43.1 — 24.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -18.9 -25.0 -18.5 IV IV IV IV IT IV 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 255.8 121.6 190.7 193.9 193.6 193.4 211.8 18.7 15.5 13.6 26.0 28.6 29.9 102.9 175.2 180.3 167.6 164.8 181.9 46.8 88.6 79.8 83.8 64.8 84.5 33.6 43.1 51.8 38.5 41.0 41.2 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 276.2 59.8 88.1 87.0 99.8 113.1 127.3 104.3 143.4 139.2 135.2 121.0 148.9 68.5 73.9 80.8 84.0 93.6 102.8 35.8 69.5 58.4 51.2 27.4 46.1 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -20.4 268.1 276.4 284.1 298.7 225.7 235.8 239.0 252.2 27.7 29.7 31.6 30.1 198.0 206.1 207.3 222.1 94.6 98.2 95.1 105.5 42.2 37.3 39.2 41.8 288.8 305.3 314.4 318.8 129.0 138.4 141.2 143.2 159.9 166.9 173.2 175.6 105.7 108.6 112.2 115.2 54.2 58.3 61.1 60.4 -20.7 -28.8 -30.4 -20.1 279.7 275.5 268.7 233.1 231.8 223.0 29.3 28.6 17.8 203.9 203.2 205.2 96.5 90.3 86.6 34.1 36.9 41.9 318.0 296.0 275.0 144.4 134.9 122.6 173.6 161.1 152.4 118.5 120.9 123.3 125.6 55.1 40.2 29.1 -38.3 -20.5 -6.3 -8.9 n m IV 1989- I n HI rv 1 Total 3 Tax liability 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 247.8 281.8 268.7 1988- I 2 Financial Profits before tax See p, 4 for profits w th inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. 3 Includes industries not shown separately. ^^^ Department of Commerce, Bureiu of Economic Aim\,SiB. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to advance estimates for the fourth quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment fell $4.8 billion (annual rate) and residential investment, rose $2.7 billion. There was a $35.2 billion increase in inventories, following an increase of $27.4 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 700 r ' -_^ ^ N X 1 FIXFr INVESTMENT 500 ,. - -*" - --- 400 s "* - ~~~ --•"" 600 - ~ 1 400 700 - NOr>JRESIDENTIAI / y ^V - ^~" \/ >». 1 600 500 /"l^^~^" "• / GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVFSTMFNT RES DENTIAL FIXED 1 -4VESTMENT 300 - 300 \ 200 -- 200 • - """""""—-» 100 / 0 ^.** \ %^ -100 1 1 I 1981 1 1 1 1982 / -~ .-''" i i i 1983 i ^ CHA NGE IN BUSIN ESS 100 INVENTORIES _ ,Y,•-x i i 1984 i i i 1985 I * "— 1 I 1986 \ \ \ 1987 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I 1 1 1988 0 I 1 1 1989 -100 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Change in business inventories Fixed investment Period Gross private domestic investment 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 19871988: IV IV IV IV IV IV I H HI IV 1989: I II. m IV .. .. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Nonresidential Total Total Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Total Nonfarm 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 750.3 777.1 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.8 652.5 670.6 719.6 747.7 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.9 435.2 444.3 487.2 512.5 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 153.2 139.0 133.8 140.3 145.1 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 289.7 296.2 310.5 346.8 367.4 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 188.8 217.3 226.4 232.4 235.2 -8.3 24.0 -24.5 -7.1 67.7 11.3 6.9 29.3 30.6 29.4 -2.4 18.3 -23.1 .4 60.5 14.6 8.6 30.5 34.2 25.2 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 749.7 469.5 548.8 616.8 646.8 660.9 686.3 354.9 383.9 435.0 451.3 435.8 458.6 137.6 127.4 146.6 155.9 133.7 138.9 217.3 256.5 288.4 295.5 302.2 319.7 114.7 164.9 181.8 195.5 225.1 227.7 -59.9 31.0 45.0 7.2 — 12.2 63.3 -51.1 21.3 41.3 23.7 -8.0 61.3 728.8 748.4 771.1 752.8 698.7 719.1 726.5 734.1 472.7 487.1 493.2 495.8 137.1 139.9 142.0 142.5 335.6 347.2 351.3 353.3 226.1 232.1 233.2 238.4 30.0 29.3 44.6 18.7 24.2 30.4 41.5 40.8 769.6 775.0 779.1 784.8 742.0 747.6 751.7 749.6 503.1 512.5 519.6 514.8 144.7 142.4 146.2 147.1 358.5 370.1 373.4 367.7 238.8 235.1 232.1 234.8 27.7 27.4 27.4 35.2 19.1 23.6 19.8 38.3 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department October-November survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 6.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 500 500 400 400 ALL INDUSTRIES 300 300 NONMANUFACTURING-1 200 200 T MANUFACTURING 100 100 I 1982 I I 1983 I i i i J_L I I 1984 1985 1986 I I I 1987 I I I 1988 I 1LZL I 1990 1989 _i/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY 2J SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE. DEPARTMENT Ot- COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Nonrnanufacturing Manufacturing All industries Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 .. 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 4 ... 1990 4 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 389.67 430.76 475.18 505.49 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 183.16 190.16 1988- I 11 III.... IV 413.34 427.54 435.61 442.11 1989- I. Period Total nonfarm business 2 Nonrnanufacturing Surveyed quarterly Nondurable goods Total i Mining Transportation Public utilities Commercial and other 55.36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 71.01 78.30 83.05 83.22 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.88 88.01 100.11 106.94 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 292.02 315.33 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.39 12.66 12.50 12.01 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.34 25.24 26.41 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 47.48 48.81 46.38 44.88 46.67 50.06 50.14 100.14 110.24 109.63 114.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.65 183.76 204.22 226.78 157.97 162.62 168.76 173.32 75.28 77.38 79.15 80.56 82.69 85.24 89.62 92.76 255.37 264.92 266.85 268.79 12.61 13.15 12.53 12.38 20.35 20.95 22.02 22.04 45.05 45.60 46.69 48.73 177.37 185.21 185.61 185.65 157.97 162.62 168.76 173.32 255.37 264.92 266.85 268.79 IV 459.47 470.86 484.93 485.45 175.22 181.53 187.66 188.21 81.26 82.97 85.66 82.30 93.96 98.57 102.00 105.90 284.24 289.33 297.28 297.25 12.15 12.70 12.59 12.58 23.13 24.26 28.53 25.04 50.81 52.01 49.57 47.86 198.15 200.36 206.59 211.76 175.22 181.53 187.66 18821 284.24 289.33 297.28 297.25 1990: I 4 II 4 503.46 518.27 193.76 198.70 86.84 88.43 106.92 110.27 309.70 319.57 12.23 12.83 26.61 27.56 51.89 53.11 218.97 226.07 193.76 19870 309.70 319.57 n III 4 Durable goods 1984 survey, are no 1 ally") for data for these industries. 2 "AH industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually. 10 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 440.66 483.48 Manufacturing 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 183.16 190.16 Total 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 294.77 317.17 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 292.02 315.33 Surveyed annually 3 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 ™ber 1989, corrected for Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In January, civilian employment fell 25,000 and unemployment fell 123,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 126 MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 126 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 122 122 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 118 118 \ 114 114 110 110 _ CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 106 106 102 102 98 98 \ X s •s 12 12 8 8 UNEMPLOYMENT 4 4 0 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 * 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces Labor force including resident Armed Forces Employment including resident Armed Forces Nonagricultural Civilian labor force Total Agricultural Total NSA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1988 1989 Unemployment Civilian employment Resident Armed Forces NSA 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 110,315 111,872 113,226 | 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119.030 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 121,669 123,869 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 3,368 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,169 3,199 97,030 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 111,800 114,142 187,340 187,461 187,581 187,708 187,854 187,995 188,149 188,286 188,428 188,580 188,721 188,865 1,696 1,684 1,684 1,684 1,673 1,666 1,666 1,688 1,702 1,709 1,704 1,700 124,961 124,801 124,929 125,299 125,224 125,777 125,679 125,758 125,725 125,857 126,192 126,246 118,336 118,441 118,731 118,768 118,805 119,208 119,102 119,238 119,121 119,294 119,540 119,588 123,265 123,117 123,245 123,615 123,551 124,111 124,013 124,070 124,023 124,148 124,488 124,546 116,640 116,757 117,047 117,084 117,132 117,542 117,436 117,550 117,419 117,585 117,836 117,888 3,268 3,196 3,185 3,144 3,137 3,138 3,217 3,275 3,219 3,197 3,160 3,197 188,990 1,697 126,094 119,560 124,397 117,863 3,134 Part time for economic reasons [ Total 15 weeks and over 1,375 59.0 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 6,625 6,360 6,198 6,531 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 1,499 1,300 1,335 1,391 1,331 1,295 1,461 1,338 1,359 1,378 1,422 1,362 66.4 66.3 66.3 66.5 66.4 66.6 66.5 66.5 66.4 66.4 66.6 66.5 62.8 62.8 63.0 62.9 62.9 63.1 63.0 63.0 62.9 62.9 63.0 63.0 6,535 1,430 66.4 62.9 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 4,657 113,372 113,561 113,862 113,940 113,995 114,404 114,219 114,275 114,200 114,388 114,676 114,691 4,831 4,722 4,720 4,855 4,643 4,738 4,583 4,567 4,605 4,526 4,552 4,554 114,728 4,729 4,965 Employment/ population ratio (percent) 2 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.. 9 66.5 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,70! 6,528 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 Civilian Labor force participation rate (percent) 2 1,610 1989: Jan r .... Feb r.... Mar r.... Apr r .... May r.... June r... July r... Aug r.... Sept '... Oct r Nov '.... Dec 1990: Jan 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In January, the overall unemployment rate fell slightly from its December level, to 5.2 percent; the civilian unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 25 20 20 A'V\V ,v \-J\ 15 S/ V 15 V- \ ,, ., TEENAGERS (16-19 10 10 WOM =N 20 YEARS AND OVER ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS \ ~~**=z~^- \ \ ""v*^-3*^1 \ MEN 20 YEARS AND OVER WHITE I 1I $ | p I 1 t !1 ; 1 I 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I ! 1 I 1 1 I | I1 p 1 1 1 I I M 1I 1 1986 1988 1987 1986 1990 1989 1987 1988 1989 f 1 1 1 11 1 1 1990 'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Unemployment rate, all workers 1 Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 7.5 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 r 1989: Jan .... Feb r.... Mar r.... Apr r.... May r... June r.. July r... Aug <-... r Sept ... Oct r.... Nov r... Dec 1990: Jan By sex and age All civilian workers Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over 7.6 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 6.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 16.1 14.8 14.0 14.6 15.0 15.4 15.1 14.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 15.2 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 14.5 4.5 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.3 4.7 12 Both sexes 16-19 Years Black White and Black other 4.7 4.5 Experienced wage and salarv workers Married men, spouse present Parttime workers (per- cent) 2 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 8.5 11.0 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 5.2 4.9 4.8 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 7.9 8.0 7.9 7.8 8.2 7.9 8.5 8.0 7.7 7.8 8.2 8.1 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 7.7 7.2 6.4 7.2 6.9 7.7 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 6.1 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.1 3.4 7.5 5.0 7.0 6.0 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 43 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 11.7 11.6 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.8 11.0 11.2 11.7 11.7 11.9 11.8 10.1 11.3 9.6 9.7 Fulltime workers 9.4 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 10.2 Women who maintain families 7.3 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.6 Labor force time lost By selected groups By race 4.3 6.5 6.5 4.6 10,4 11.7 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In January, the percentage of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks, for 15-26 weeks, and for 27 weeks and over rose. Both the mean duration of unemployment and the median rose. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 JOB LOSERS 27 WEEKS AND OVER 20 JOB LEAVERS \ 10 NEW ENTRANTS 15-26 WEEKS oLuull 1986 1987 1988 1986 1990 1989 1988 1987 1989 1990 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution State programs Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Number of weeks Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Median 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 11.2 7.9 6,625 6,360 6,198 6531 6,419 6,569 6,577 6,520 6. "504 6,563 6,652 6,658 47.3 50.1 49.1 47 8 48.0 49.8 47.9 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.8 49.5 30.1 29.6 29.6 30 8 31.2 30.5 29.9 31.0 31.0 30.5 29.8 30.1 11.5 10.3 10.7 10 2 11.1 10.4 12.7 11.7 11.7 11.4 11.5 10.9 11.1 10.0 10.6 111 9.7 9.3 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.7 9.8 9.5 12.6 12.3 12.4 12.6 11.9 11.2 11.9 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.6 11.5 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 6,535 47.5 30.7 11.8 9.9 12.1 5.1 Job leavers Insured unemplovment Initial claims Insured unemplovment, "all regular programs (unadjusted) ' Eeentrants New entrants 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 11.9 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 3,047 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,056 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 306 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,125 46.4 45.1 45.7 45.2 43.4 43.0 44.5 46.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.3 14.6 15.4 14.5 15.2 17.1 15.6 15.5 16.1 15.8 15.2 15.7 15.8 27.4 27.7 28.4 29.0 28.7 30.4 29.0 27.6 29.4 28.9 27.6 27.7 11.5 11.9 11.4 10.7 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.0 9.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 2,061 2,105 2,143 2,105 2,063 2,134 2,216 2,177 2,187 2,257 2,287 2,332 293 309 323 300 317 335 339 319 323 360 344 365 2,685 2,695 2,567 2,221 1^957 1,936 2,168 2,007 1 ,863 1,912 2,144 48.5 15.5 26.3 9.7 Job losers Weekly average, thousands 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Jan '. Fcb r . Mar r Mavr June r July r . Aug r Sept '. Get ' Nov ' Dec 1990' Jan NOTE.—In January 1900, st-a Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Kmployrnci tration). NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 275,000 in January. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) 110 28 — .x-'" 100 26 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS SERVICES 24 90 — ."^ .-* — ---"•" 22 80 — SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 70 RE TAIL 20 18 _ ~~ TRADE. — L^P~" GOVERNMENT 60 16 SnTflmii i Illlllllllll Illllllllll \ 50 MANUFACTURING X __. 20 40 ' 1- i J 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 niiiliini Illlllllllllllllllllllil 18 ru-i ^ 6 GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 CONSTRUCTIC 5N 4 20 1 11n ! 1 1 1 1 1I 1 1986 1987 1988 1989 Up 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1imituiii 1 1986 1990 1987 Minium niMliiui) 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of LABOR 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Goods-producing industries Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 Total nonagricultural employment Manufacturing Total 2 91,156 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,584 108,579 25,497 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 Construction Total Durable goo s 17,545 17,587 17,597 17,626 17,687 17,723 17,751 17,804 17,866 17,843 17,830 17,863 2,978 2,982 2,982 2,982 2,999 2,995 3,000 2,999 2,996 2,984 2,982 2,972 6,332 19,831 6,892 27,522 17,861 2,984 19,672 19,667 19,650 19,649 19,644 19,559 19,537 19,517 19,489 19,377 11,310 8,067 84,297 5,859 19,648 19,648 19,680 1990: Jan".. 109,823 25,526 5,409 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this tahle not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 26,318 26,434 26,520 26,651 26,711 26,931 26,973 27,058 27,159 27,188 27,345 27,416 5,654 5,667 5,666 5,682 5,700 5,716 5,736 5,618 5,709 5,729 5,753 5,832 5,267 5,270 5,252 5,279 5,283 5,283 5,314 5,321 5,325 5,335 5,355 5,305 Federal 6,746 6,763 6,774 6,776 6,790 6,808 6,815 6,836 6,852 6,851 6,871 6,882 81,816 82,082 82,242 82,430 82,638 82,959 83,098 83,193 83,482 83,568 83,843 84,015 25,626 25,629 25,646 25,671 25,672 25,648 25,669 25,694 25,614 25,603 25,609 25,533 Total 19,407 19,460 19,488 19,489 19,528 19,551 19,586 19,621 19,632 19,679 19,744 19,714 8,043 8,054 8,076 8,072 8,073 8,083 8,100 8,093 8,079 8,080 8,078 8,078 107,442 107,711 107,888 108,101 108,310 108,607 108,767 108,887 109,096 Oct r... 109,171 Nov ''.. 109,452 Dec ".. 109,548 Services 6,146 6,171 6,197 6,206 6,222 6,230 6,237 6,256 6,264 6,278 6,300 6,308 11,605 11,594 11,604 11,600 11,594 11,567 11,549 11,551 11,480 11,457 11,439 11,411 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May.... June... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Government 5,689 5,955 6,283 6,547 6,676 6,814 8^076 24,558 24,708 25,249 25,634 10,732 11,505 11,490 11,230 11,194 11,437 ll'537 8,061 7^741 7,702 7373 7,770 7,734 7330 7,967 Finance, insurance, and real estate 17,356 17,930 18483 19,110 19,574 5,358 5^278 5,268 12,109 11^039 Retail trade 18,619 19,036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,053 24,236 25,600 26,892 5,165 5,082 4,954 5*159 5,238 5,255 5^372 5,548 20,170 18J81 18,434 19^378 19,260 18,965 19J024 19,403 19J612 14 Total Wholesale trade 65,659 65J53 66,866 69J69 72,660 74,967 77492 80,335 82^945 4,188 3^905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,816 4^967 5,125 5^300 1985 .. . 1986 1987 1988 1989 p Nondurable goods Transportation and public utilities 5,555 5,717 5,753 5' 844 6,029 6J234 15,189 15,179 15,613 16,545 5,298 5,341 5,468 2,772 16,031 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,372 17,727 2^739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly earnings Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Total private nonagrieultural } Period Total Sept Oct ' Novr Dec " 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34 9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 34.8 34.6 34.7 34.9 34.6 34.6 34.8 34.6 34.7 34.7 34.8 34.5 1990- Jan " 34.6 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ' 1989- Jan Feb Mar Mav July Overtime Total private nonagricultural 1 Manufacturing Current dollars 1977 dollars 2 $170.13 168.09 171,26 172,78 170.42 171.07 169.28 167.81 166.52 167.55 166.44 166.44 167.53 165.01 165.10 166.85 165.89 166.90 166.85 165.80 165.60 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 41.1 41.1 41.0 41.3 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.8 40.7 40.7 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 ?7 25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.29 9.66 9.49 9.52 9.54 9.61 9.60 9.62 9.69 9.69 9.74 9.78 9.78 9.83 $7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.18 10.47 10.33 10.37 10.40 10.40 10.42 10.45 10.48 10.52 10.55 10.55 10.57 10.60 $255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.36 335.20 330.25 329.39 331.04 335.39 332.16 332.85 337.21 335.27 337.98 339.37 338.39 339.14 40.7 3.6 9.84 10.56 340.46 39.8 38.9 40.1 Current dollars Total private nonagricultural ' Manufacturing 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. 2 Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1977 = 100 base). 3 Percent change from a year ear ier, total private nonagricultural 3 Manufacturing Construction Retail trade $318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.40 429.27 424.56 426.21 426.40 429.52 427.22 428.45 429.68 431.32 432.55 430.44 430.20 431.42 $399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 493.08 506.72 496.89 498.39 501.23 505.21 494.17 498.17 511.30 510.73 510.16 514.75 521.87 509.39 $158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 178.70 183.62 189.01 187.40 186.41 186.98 189.44 187.56 188.43 190.97 189.22 189.50 191.69 190.37 190.86 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.2 3.5 4.1 4.5 3.3 3.5 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.1 429.79 520.65 194.01 2.8 Current dollars 1977 dollars — 1.5 -1.2 1.9 .9 — 1.4 .4 — 1.0 -.9 -.8 -.3 -1.2 -.8 — .7 -2.0 — 1.6 -.9 -.9 — .7 -.9 — 1.4 -.8 Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY [Not seasonally adjusted] Percent change from Index (June 1981 = 100) 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Period 1981: 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 19881989: 1986- Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Sept Dec 1987- Mar June Sept Dec 1988- Mar Sept Dec 1989: Mar Sept Dec Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits ' 104.0 110.7 117.0 122.7 127.5 131.6 136.0 142.6 149.4 130.8 131.6 132.9 133.8 135.1 136.0 138.1 139.8 141.2 142.6 144.4 146.1 147.9 149.4 103.8 110.3 115.8 120.6 125.6 129.5 133.8 139.3 145.1 128.8 129.5 130.8 131.7 133.0 133.8 135.1 136.6 137.9 139.3 140.8 142.2 143.9 145.1 104.3 111.7 120.0 127.9 132.4 136.9 141.7 151.3 160.6 136.1 136.9 138.1 139.3 140.3 141.7 146.1 148.2 149.7 151.3 154.0 156.5 158.7 160.6 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. Total compensation 2.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 .6 .6 .7 1.0 1.0 .7 .6 1.0 .7 1.0 .7 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 Wages and salaries Benefits ' 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .5 .6 1.0 .8 .7 .5 1.0 .7 1.0 .6 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2 .8 Total compensation 2.3 1.5 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 .6 .9 .9 .7 1.0 3.1 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 9.8 6.4 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.9 4.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.8 Wages and salaries 8.8 6.3 5.0 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.3 4.1 4.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.2 Benefits ' 12.2 7.1 7.4 6.6 3.5 3.4 3.5 6.8 6.1 3.3 3.4 2.9 3.3 3.1 3.5 5.8 6.4 6.7 6.8 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output J Output per hour of ail persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Compensation per hour 3 Hours of all persons 2 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Implicit price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 97.0 96.1 97.3 97.8 97.6 96.7 96.0 97.1 97.8 97.5 132.6 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 132.9 144.0 156.1 157.6 160.4 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 154.3 159.0 174.0 182.9 189.8 198.7 209.6 98.4 101.7 101.9 102.5 103.3 98.0 101.1 101.2 101.8 102.4 162.8 167.5 171.9 177.1 185.0 164.9 169.8 174.2 178.8 187,0 162.2 165.6 170.0 174.9 181.8 163.8 167.6 172.0 176.5 183.4 158.2 163.2 169.9 178.6 187.4 195.1 158.0 162.9 169.6 177.5 186.4 193.8 97.9 97.8 97.8 99.3 102.8 102.5 97.8 97.6 97.6 98.7 102.3 101.8 156.8 157.7 160.7 164.9 170.6 173.5 158.7 158.2 162.3 167.1 173.2 175.8 150.2 155.2 159.8 163.7 167.1 171.3 151.4 156.2 161.0 165.5 169.2 173.4 124.3 126.2 126.6 127.5 196.4 199.1 201.9 204.5 195.0 197.5 200.2 203.0 102.3 102.5 102.8 103.0 101.5 101.7 101.9 102.3 173.5 176.9 178.0 180.2 175.7 178.7 179.6 181.3 171.9 174.1 175.8 177.9 173.8 175.6 177.0 179.6 128.6 129.2 129.6 129.5 206.9 210.4 212.8 216.2 205.5 208.3 211.0 214.6 102.8 102.9 103.5 104.1 102.1 101.9 102.7 103.4 181.9 184.1 185.6 188.4 184.1 186.1 187.4 190.5 179.4 181.4 182.4 183.9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 99.4 101.0 100.2 102.6 105.2 99.0 100.0 99.1 102.0 104.2 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 107.3 107.9 105.3 107.2 113.3 107.8 108.5 105.9 108.0 114.4 131.8 144.1 154.9 160.8 167.4 131.6 144.0 154.7 160.8 167.2 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 107.3 109.8 111.1 113.0 114,2 105.6 107.7 108.9 111.1 112.1 124.2 128.0 133.4 140.0 144.8 123.9 127.6 133.1 140.3 145.0 115.7 116.6 120.1 123.9 126.8 117.4 118.4 122.2 126.3 129.4 174.8 183.8 191.0 200.2 211.3 100.9 103.5 105.7 108.3 109.8 112.5 99.5 103.0 104.5 106.2 107.6 110.2 105.0 113.6 120.8 125.9 128.9 136.7 104.2 114.1 120.7 125.5 128.4 136.4 104.1 109.7 114.3 116.2 117.4 121.5 104.7 110.8 115.5 118.1 119.3 123.7 113.2 112.6 113.4 113.5 111.0 110.5 111.5 112.0 138.2 139.3 140.7 141.9 138.0 139.5 141.1 142.8 122.1 123.8 124.0 125.0 113.8 114.2 114.7 114.7 111.6 111.9 112.6 112.7 143.6 144.4 145.6 145.6 143.6 144.6 145.9 145.9 126.2 126.4 127.0 126.9 -0.3 1.5 -.7 2.4 2.6 -0.4 1.1 9 3.0 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.2 1.7 1.1 p 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988: I n m IV 1989: I n.. ni IV".... r r 180.8 182.8 184.0 185.8 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1980 1981 1982 1983... 1984 08 .6 -2.4 1.8 5.7 07 .6 24 2.0 6.0 10.5 9.3 7.5 3.8 4.1 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.0 3.9 -2.6 9 1.2 .6 2 -2.6 2.1 -3.1 4.2 8.4 12 1.7 33 5.0 8.3 1.3 2.0 1.1 2.0 .9 4.2 3.1 4.2 4.9 3.4 3.9 3.0 4.4 5.4 3.3 2.2 .8 3.0 3.2 2.3 2.6 .9 3.2 3.4 2.4 4.4 5.2 3.9 4.8 5.5 4.1 5.1 3.7 4.7 5.5 .8 3.3 2 .6 .7 2.6 3.3 1.5 1.5 .8 2.8 2.0 1.6 .9 .8 .4 2.5 -.5 10.4 3.5 3.6 4.0 7.1 9.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 7.0 -3.0 6.8 2.0 2.1 3.2 4.2 -3.1 8.1 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.1 5.7 3.5 6.3 5.1 7.2 4.6 4.4 3.5 5.8 5.1 7.1 2.5 -2.1 3.1 .2 2.8 -1.6 3.3 1.9 4.4 3.3 4.0 3.4 4.8 4.4 4.6 4.8 1.9 5.5 .9 3.2 2.0 6.1 1.2 2.8 2.6 5.7 5.8 5.2 1.1 1.6 1.5 .2 -1.3 1.1 r 2.4 4.8 2.3 3.5 .0 2.4 2.8 3.7 — .2 3.7 .6 1.9 3.7 1.7 1.3 -.4 4.8 6.8 4.7 6.5 1985 1986.... 1987 1988.. 1989 p 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988- I n m IT 1989: I n m IV".... 1 2 r r Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. Hours of al! persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family employed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for ail urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 16 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 9.7 9.7 6.3 3.5 3.0 .5 3.2 .1 .5 .6 2.3 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.7 4.6 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.9 3.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.9 2.8 1.6 .0 2.1 2.2 3.4 3.3 .3 .0 1.6 2.2 3.4 1.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 4.2 4.3 2.6 2.8 2.6 5.0 4.7 4.5 2.4 4.8 2.7 2.6 1.0 1.4 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.7 2.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 10 1.1 1.0 .7 \\ .8 .7 1.4 .1 8.0 2.6 5.0 -.3 7.1 2.0 3.8 1.5 5.1 4.1 4.8 1.0 4.3 3.2 5.9 4.9 5.6 5.3 6.9 -.6 .4 2.3 2.4 -.5 - .7 2.8 2.8 3.7 5.1 3.2 6.3 6.2 4.5 2.8 6.7 1.1 .7 r r 3.3 4.6 2.2 3.3 r 2.8 4.4 2.7 3.9 NOTE. — Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are hased on original data; they therefore may PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in December. INDEX, 1977 = 100* (RATIO SCALE) 160 INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE) 240 FINAL PRODUCTS 220 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION :FENSE — AN D SPACE 140 200 180 120 160 160 iiinliiin iiiiiliiiii Illllllllll ,_^-"x" •- --""Ti BUSINESST 1 "— - N-, ^—\y EQUIPMENT -r™-^ r^ ---""' ~-^-" 140 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION NONDURABLE 140 120 CONSUMER GOODS 120 PERCENT* 100 CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE (TOTAL INDUSTRY) 100 140 m imiliimlimiliimlmiilimi 100 UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION 90 - UTILITIES 120 •" ""_"_ 80 - 100 Illllllllll 1985 1986 1988 1987 - 70 MINING Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1985 1988 1987 1986 1989 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM miilum 1989 COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period Index, 1977=100 1977 proportion Capacity utilization rate, percent l Industry production indexes, 1977 = 100 Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing ,5 ()g 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ". 100.0 108.6 111.0 103.1 109.2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 137.2 141.8 -1.9 2.2 — 7.1 5.9 11.2 1.9 1.1 3.8 5.7 3.4 108.2 110.5 102.2 110.2 123.4 126.4 129.1 134.7 142.7 148.2 49.10 109.1 111.1 99.9 107.7 124.2 127.6 128.4 133.1 141.9 146.6 35.11 107.0 109.7 105.5 113.7 122.3 124.6 130.1 136.8 143.9 150.5 9.83 112.4 117.5 109.3 102.9 111.1 108.9 100.4 100.7 103.4 102.6 107.3 107.1 104.8 105.2 110.7 111.1 108.5 110.3 114.3 115.9 80.9 79.9 72.1 74.6 81.0 80.4 79.4 80.7 83.3 83.7 79.3 78.2 70.3 73.9 80.5 80.1 79.7 81.1 83.5 84.0 1988: Dec 140.4 4.9 146.3 145.7 147.1 104.9 115.4 84.3 84.4 1989: 140.8 140.5 140.7 141.7 141.6 142.0 141.9 142.5 142.3 141.8 142.3 142.8 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.7 4.1 4.0 2.8 2.9 2.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 147.2 146.8 147.0 148.0 148.1 148.7 148.5 149.2 148.8 148.0 148.6 148.8 146.2 145.9 145.8 146.9 147.1 147.4 146.8 147.8 147.2 145.0 145.7 146.2 148.5 148.1 148.6 149.6 149.5 150.5 150.8 151.1 151.1 152.2 152.7 152.6 103.0 100.9 101.5 102.4 102.0 101.5 102.1 102.4 103.5 104.2 104.4 103.2 114.0 116.5 117.5 117.1 115.6 114.3 114.0 113.3 114.5 115.9 115.5 122.7 84.3 83.9 83.8 84.2 84.0 84.0 83.7 83.9 83.6 83.1 83.1 83.3 84.7 84.3 84.1 84.5 84.3 84.4 84.0 84.2 83.7 83.1 83.2 83.1 Jan Feb. Mar Apr ... Mav June Aug Sept r Oct r Nov r... . Dec p 1 Output as percent of capacity. 84.21 Source: Board of Governors of the Fedtn 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Products Materials Final products Intermediate products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988.... 1989 p 44.77 112.2 115.2 109.5 114.7 127.3 131.0 132.5 136.8 144.3 150.2 25.52 102.7 104.1 101.4 109.3 118.0 119.8 124.0 127.8 133.9 139.4 6.89 88.4 89.7 82.9 98.5 112.2 112.5 115.6 120.2 125.3 129.5 18.63 108.1 109.3 108.3 113.3 120.1 122.5 127.1 130.6 137.1 143.0 1988- Dec 147.7 138.2 131.9 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May .. .. 148.2 148.6 148.9 150.2 150.4 151.2 150.2 151.1 150.8 149.4 150.1 151.6 138.5 138.7 138.4 139.5 139.2 139.9 138.7 139.3 139.0 139.9 139.8 140.6 131.5 131.6 130.1 132.2 131.2 130.8 127.3 128.7 127.9 127.6 126.8 127.7 July Sept r Oct ' Nov r Dec p 1 Total > Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies 6.99 112.3 114.7 113.1 120.3 133.8 137.9 144.6 153.5 162.5 Total Energy 42 28 105.3 107.7 96.7 102.8 114.2 114.3 113.8 118.2 125.2 128.1 11.69 105.5 104.7 101.2 98.4 103.9 103.3 99.7 99.8 101.5 100.6 19.25 124.7 129.9 120.2 121.7 139.6 145.8 143.6 148.9 158.2 164.5 14.34 125.1 127.6 113.6 115.4 134.2 140.2 139.5 144.5 157.6 167.8 3.67 115.4 119.8 133.0 143.1 156.4 171.4 182.0 188.9 185.8 180.0 12.94 106.9 107.3 101.7 111.2 124.7 129.3 136.2 143.4 151.5 157.5 5. ffS 100.6 98.6 88.3 100.6 114.0 119.2 126.4 131.5 138.6 141.4 140.5 160.4 162.6 180.5 155.0 141.4 166.7 128.3 102.6 141.1 141.4 141.4 142.2 142.1 143.3 142.8 143.2 143.1 144.4 144.6 145.4 161.1 161.6 162.8 164.3 165.4 166.1 165.5 166.8 166.5 162.0 163.7 166.1 163.8 165.0 166.3 167.8 169.1 169.6 168.5 169.9 169.6 165.2 167.2 169.9 180.0 156.6 155.1 179.3 178.7 156.1 179.9 156.5 180.7 156.3 157.0 181.1 182.0 157.5 182.7 157.5 182.1 • 157.8 176.0 158.9 176.9 160.1 179.6 160.5 142.3 139.5 139.3 140.2 140.2 141.2 142.2 141.5 140.9 142.5 143.9 142.9 168.8 168.4 170.4 170.4 170.0 170.4 170.6 171.2 172.3 172.8 173.9 128.1 127.4 127.3 128.2 127.9 127.7 128.3 128.8 128.6 128.6 128.6 128.2 100.5 100.5 101.0 101.7 101.1 99.1 99.1 99.5 100.9 101.6 101.7 102.2 Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1977=100; monthly data seasonally adjust* Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures Transportation equipment Primary metals Period Total 18 7.15 130.3 134.1 128.4 143.8 170.5 168.3 165.7 172.3 180.1 181.8 9.13 96.9 95.1 87.6 99.2 112.2 122.8 127.5 129.2 132.1 132.5 5.25 71.1 71.6 66.8 85.8 104.4 111.9 111.5 111.8 117.2 116 5 2.30 92.9 90.1 82.8 100.2 109.1 114.3 124.1 130.3 137.3 Lumber and products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 2. 79 97.3 96.1 87.3 95.3 102.7 100.4 103.1 107.4 109.1 4.54 115.1 118.6 120.2 129.8 146.5 151.4 160.9 172.1 184.2 2009 8.05 106.4 112.6 103.8 114.0 121.6 126.4 132.0 140.2 151.9 7.96 111.4 113.7 114.9 120.4 126.9 130.5 134.4 137.8 142.7 Apparel products 77.6 125.1 177.8 180.9 136.8 125.5 143.0 108.8 188.0 158.1 145.8 93.2 91.1 88.4 90.1 87.2 87.3 89.2 90.3 89.2 88 9 85.1 89 8 82.2 79.1 75.9 77.0 73.2 72.9 75.4 75.9 75.4 76.4 72.1 124.5 124.5 123.8 123.1 124.8 125.2 125.4 125.5 124.4 124.2 125.2 124.6 178.7 180.8 183.0 184.7 186.5 187.5 186.7 187.8 188.2 184.9 188.5 189.4 180.9 181.7 181.6 182.2 181.6 181.9 181.4 183.7 182.7 181.8 181.5 180.9 136.7 136.4 134.8 136.4 135.5 134.2 131.3 133.2 131.9 123.8 125.0 129.7 124.9 123.4 120.4 122.0 119.7 116.4 110.4 114.2 112.7 110.1 1 10.5 110.4 139.9 132.8 133.4 135.1 135.5 137.2 136.9 136.5 135.7 137.6 138.9 110.2 110.2 109.9 111.3 111.5 111.9 111.4 111.1 111.2 110.8 110.1 193.0 194.6 198.5 200.1 199.0 200.5 199.9 200.6 203.1 203.8 205.6 206.6 159.0 158.5 159.2 159.3 158.2 159.9 162.2 161.5 159.3 161.5 162.8 146.6 146.3 145.4 146.6 147.2 147.9 147.3 148.3 148.8 150.1 150.7 1989- Jan Feb Mar Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Systei 9.54 123.3 129.8 115.6 118.3 141.8 146.2 145.0 152.7 170.8 185.7 Total Motor vehicles and parts 90.0 1988- Dec Sept r . Oct * Nov r .... Dec " Electrical machinery 6.46 101.8 101.6 86.6 89.1 102.6 107.1 108.0 111.0 120.9 124.6 5.33 90.4 95.0 65.8 73.0 82.3 80.4 75.1 81.3 89.2 88 6 May Nonelectrical machinery 3.49 86.3 92.5 57.5 66.1 73.4 70.4 63.4 70.6 78.1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 " July Iron and steel Fabricated metal products NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Construction contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total New housing units Total ' Commercial and industrial 2 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982=100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 252.8 261.3 248.0 282.4 329.6 356.6 387.0 397.7 409.7 414.7 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 igsg^ 194.3 204.7 194.3 228.7 271.9 292.6 315.3 320.1 328.7 330.7 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 195.9 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 137.8 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 76.5 79.8 82.0 47.2 50.5 50.9 49.3 49.4 51.4 50.2 48.9 50.8 52.8 97 100 100 124 136 150 159 165 166 166 58.5 56.5 53.7 53.8 57.7 64.1 71.7 77.6 80.9 84.0 Annual rates Annual rates 1988- Dec 425.0 336.3 202.5 143.3 80.6 53.2 88.8 r 1989- Jan Feb Mar 423.0 416.6 416.8 411.9 416.5 412.5 410.3 416.3 416.2 414.6 417.3 414.6 337.7 333.2 338.1 332.5 330.6 329.0 328.8 331.9 329.6 329.8 328.8 323.5 202.9 200.5 202.1 200.7 197.0 194.2 195.2 194.4 192.8 193.1 192.3 191.0 145.6 145.3 143.2 141.8 138.2 136.5 136.6 135.8 134.0 133.9 134.9 134.9 82.5 81.1 84.2 79.3 80.1 81.6 80.9 83.3 83.2 84.0 83.3 80.0 52.2 51.6 51.8 52.5 53.5 53.2 52.7 54.2 53.6 52.7 53.2 52.5 85.3 83.4 78.7 79.4 85.9 83.5 81.5 84.4 86.6 84.8 88.5 91.1 r May July '. Sept ' Oct '. Nov" Dec p 1 2 3 !78 942 !72 160 158 r !75 r !65 r !66 168 168 181 173 r !58 160 943 850 856 836 905 938 933 803 1,026 897 769 824 s (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Sources: Departn Company, F.W. Do Includes residential improvements, not shown separately. Includes hotels and motels. F.W. Dodge series. 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 '973 926 NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,374.3 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 *> 1 unit 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,001.9 2-4 units 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.3 5 or more units 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.2 Units authorized 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 1,340.6 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period 1 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 253 301 353 346 357 365 366 362 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 337 275 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1988- Dec . . 1,577 1,141 65 371 1,518 1,539 669 366 1989- Jan Feb Mar 1,678 1,465 1,409 1,343 1,308 1,406 1,420 1,329 1,264 1,423 1,342 1,235 1,199 1,029 981 1,029 977 972 1,026 990 971 1,023 1,003 904 66 62 50 62 42 55 57 56 57 60 47 53 413 374 378 252 289 379 337 283 236 340 292 278 1,486 1,403 1,230 1,334 1,347 1,308 1,281 1,328 1,319 1,356 1,342 1,376 1,537 1,610 1,459 1,552 1,442 1,355 1,372 1,439 r l,368 1,318 1,451 700 621 555 607 653 647 738 '723 r 640 637 696 629 369 375 377 377 380 377 369 r 364 r 364 364 363 362 May July Sept Oct r Nov r Dec * 1 Seasonally adjusted. 2 Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with earlier data. 7.3 'r7.2 r 7"l r 7.2 6.8 NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In November, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.6 percent and inventories rose $3.4 billion. In December, according to advance data, retail sales rose 0.2 percent, following a rise of 0.5 percent in November. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 800 •j.w -^~~- ^—' 700 ^_^x-^ 200 1 kun MANUF ACTURING ; ^ TRAD! INVENTORI ES — 600 - -"" A •* ~ 400 r*~'\ MANUFA — 180 ^~~^\ RETA IL INVENTO ^^ — ** /*- ;IES — 160 * — <- ** * - ^ — •~S 500 ^^^~— .^^•1 220 j- *" 140 - — :TURING - * ~* — A.'* , ^*" w^ 120 AND TRA DE SALES "" _„'*-- - r^'"* - 100 IIIIlllllll 300 iiinliiiii IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll mill, mi RATIO* - - 200 iiiulum IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll 1985 1986 iiinliiiii imiliim 1987 1988 1989 1985 1989 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufacturing and trade l COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Wholesale Sales 2 Period Sales 2 Inventories 3 Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Sales 2 Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Manufacturing and trade l 61,093 64,754 68,985 72,434 74,802 79,077 83,384 134,468 147,377 167,159 180,825 185,224 206,981 221,242 61,469 68,984 79,257 88,608 90,477 106,271 114,994 72,999 78,393 87,902 92,217 94,747 100,710 106,248 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.51 1.50 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.53 1.56 1.56 1.57 85,569 85,020 217,699 221,242 112,476 114,994 105,223 106,248 1.49 1.49 1.56 1.59 86,225 86,357 86,630 87,512 88,404 88,484 88,902 88,984 89,432 89,446 r 90,158 90,720 222,584 224,185 224,693 226,656 230,423 231,762 232,831 235,350 236,791 235,326 236,690 115,704 116,169 115,993 117,093 118,835 119,542 119,864 121,782 123,030 120,422 120,824 106,880 108,016 108,700 109,563 111,588 112,220 112,967 113,568 113,761 114,904 115,686 1.48 1.50 1.51 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.54 1.50 1.51 1.53 1.52 1.59 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.62 1.63 1.62 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.64 Nondurable goods stores Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988. 348,747 368,813 407,869 418,151 423,700 449,536 485,756 574,491 590,358 644,306 655,066 653,853 700,761 753,718 96,290 100,244 113,195 114,315 115,677 123,581 132,361 128,196 130,334 142,380 146,745 152,447 162,648 178,313 1988: Nov r Dec 501,333 ' 506, 142 746,363 753,718 137,140 136,170 177,061 139,561 178,313 ' 139,145 r 1989- Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July 511,881 507,328 507,555 517,745 518,088 515,695 511,144 526,290 522,760 519,975 523,317 759,803 763,051 765,504 771,340 778,093 780,802 787,584 790,368 790,572 793,157 796,598 140,356 139,547 139,991 142,290 142,474 141,959 141,667 143,280 143,905 144,554 146,307 179,761 140,040 179,810 139,428 179,681 139,516 181,226 141,413 182,615 142,543 182,548 142,500 143,555 183,950 183,529 144,860 182,891 145,293 186,119 143,426 187,095 ' 144, 184 144,440 53,815 53,071 52,886 53,901 54,139 54,016 54,653 55,876 55,861 53,980 r 54,026 53,720 Sept Get r Nov" Dec" 2 3 _ } 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. End of period. 20 89,107 97,328 106,805 113,821 119,663 126,785 135,763 28,013 32,574 37,819 41,387 44,861 47,707 52,379 53,992 54,125 4 r Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In December, manufacturers' shipments and inventories fell while new and unfilled orders rose. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 480 440 - INVENTORIES 400 360 240 -SHIPMENTS 200 DURABLE GOODS 120 \ 280 TOTAL 160 "TOTAL" 200 -\— .DURABLE GOODS, 160 80 120 NONDURABLE GOODS 60 iimiimi Illllllllll Illllllllll BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 200 -* ^" -*• 60 miilum _-'—-' -— -^\ NONDURABLE GOODS 80 RATIO" 2.20 TOTAL INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 160 120 ^ _ . -* ~ 80 DURABL : GOODS / ^._.--' A.^' - J .v--" _ *..-,_- '~\ 2.00 1.80 ' S ^VX1 1.60 NOS DURABLE G 1985 1986 A Illllllllll 1989 Illllllllll 1987 1988 1.20 Illllllllll 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1iiinliiiii 1985 1986 ,,,,,!,.,,, 1987 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1988 ' ill 1 HI 1989 Manufacturers' new orders l Manufacturers' inventories 2 Durable goods Durable goods Nondurable goods 163,350 171,242 187,869 190,016 188,360 199,170 217,632 231,798 79,352 84,956 96,623 99,019 99,989 105,291 115,684 122,629 311,827 312,647 334,767 327,496 316,182 331,132 354,163 371,468 230,827 231,485 228,353 228,048 234,042 233,071 231,236 225,922 238,150 233,562 231,995 232,826 231,759 124,175 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,996 88,371 93,879 101,948 109,169 106,652 123,578 120,924 120,432 123,331 122,962 121,720 117,114 128,347 124,393 121,840 r 123,209 122,098 107,907 107,429 107,616 110,711 110,109 109,516 108,808 109,803 109,169 110,155 109,617 109,661 357,458 359,056 361,130 363,458 365,055 366,492 370,803 371,489 370,890 371,712 372,813 371,468 Total 1 n COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' shipments l Period V' — 1.40 Illllllllll Illllllllll — /^^ 60 miilmii Illllllllll Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, nondefense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983. . 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p 1988- Dec 1989: Jan Feb Mar May July Sept Oct r Nov" Dec" 1 2 354,163 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as End of period. 200,825 200,406 218,771 214,066 208,313 216,598 233,666 246,470 233,666 236,810 238,165 239,330 240,486 241,689 242,295 245,813 246,378 245,621 246,427 247,610 246,470 111,002 112,241 115,996 113,430 107,869 114,534 120,497 124,998 162,273 174,122 189,791 190,918 188,663 201,966 221,627 235,828 78,338 87,600 98,581 99,843 100,166 107,770 119,634 126,700 21,661 22,098 26,243 27,067 26,551 29,707 35,028 38,946 83,935 86,522 91,209 91,075 88,497 94,197 101,993 109,128 314,270 349,419 372,586 383,181 387,065 421,243 468,860 517,194 120,497 120,648 120,891 121,800 122,972 123,366 124,197 124,990 125,111 125,269 125,285 125,203 124,998 238,886 132,149 128,479 124,107 125,377 129,372 123,524 125,137 122,031 126,766 125,227 124,262 r 130,175 134,351 39,432 40,352 37,189 38,137 40,389 37,290 39,146 41,445 37,130 35,341 35,975 ' 38,901 45,894 106,737 107,596 107,199 107,634 110,535 110,229 110,020 108,416 110,027 109,127 109,805 109.535 109,852 468,860 236,075 231,306 233,011 239,907 233,753 235,157 230,447 236,793 234,354 234,067 239,710 244,203 3 473,450 476,403 481,366 487,231 487,913 491,834 496,359 495,002 495,794 497,866 504,750 517,194 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.58 1.58 1.53 1.54 1.57 1.58 1.55 1.57 1.58 1.64 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.60 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In December, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.7 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.5 percent, and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.9 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2 percent. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982=100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 130 100 100 90 90 1981 1988 1982 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods Consumer goods Total finished consumer goods Total Foods and feeds l Tola! Durable Nondurable 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.7 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 Total 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 1988- Dec 109.9 115.2 108.2 104.7 115.4 98.9 116.2 108.2 109.5 112.3 1989: 111.1 112.1 112.6 113.1 114.1 114.2 113.6 113.2 114.1 114.6 114.5 115.3 116.7 117.8 118.8 118.1 119,1 118.4 118.3 118.6 118.0 119.6 120.5 121.1 109.3 110.1 110.5 111.4 112.5 112.7 112.1 111.4 112.9 112.9 112.6 113.4 106.0 107.1 107.5 109.0 110.1 110.2 109.2 108.1 109.7 110.0 109.3 110.3 116.3 116.9 117.0 116.3 117.2 117.7 117.3 117.7 119.1 118.7 118.5 119.1 100.4 101.6 102.2 104.4 105.7 105.6 104.4 102.7 104.4 105.0 104.0 105.2 116.9 117.4 117.5 117.4 118.2 118.8 118.8 119.2 120.2 119.8 120.2 120.5 109.5 110.6 111.2 112.0 113.1 112.9 112.2 111.5 112.5 113.2 113.0 113.9 110.8 111.3 111.9 112.5 112.7 112.4 112.2 111.8 112.3 112.3 112.2 112.1 115.2 114.8 116.7 114.9 113.6 112.0 113.8 113.4 113.6 112.7 113.2 112.4 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 p Jan Feb .. Mar Apr. . .. July Augr Sept Oct Nov .... Dec 1 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 Total Foodstuffs and Other staffs 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.5 1980 1981 Other Capital equipment Crude materials 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.7 96.0 103.0 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.1 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 109.4 97.8 110.8 85.6 110.5 111.1 111.7 112.4 112.6 112.5 112.1 111.7 112.2 112.3 112.2 112.1 101.8 101.5 103.7 104.5 104.9 103.2 103.4 101.4 102.3 102.3 102.7 104.5 113.3 111.7 115.2 112.1 112.1 109.7 108.7 110.5 109.1 108.4 110.2 113.5 90.2 90.7 92.1 95.1 95.8 94.7 95.5 91.2 93.5 94.0 93.4 94.3 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In December, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.2 percent not seasonally adjusted). The index was 4.6 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84 =100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 120 120 110 - CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS - 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 Illllllllll 1981 1983 1982 60 1984 1985 1987 1986 1988 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All items * Transportation Housing All Shelter Period Eel. imp.3.... 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1988: Dec 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Aug Oct Nov Dec Not seasonally adjusted (NSA) Seasonally adjusted 100.0 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 1096 113.6 118.3 124.0 Food Total 1 Total Renters' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) 7.9 19.7 16.2 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 42.3 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 27.8 81.0 90.5 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133.6 138.9 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114.7 118.0 Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep 7.6 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 6.4 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105,9 110.6 115.4 118.6 Medical care Bner2 gy 3.1 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 6.0 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 7.3 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 48.7 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 121.9 127.3 New cars Motor fuel 17.2 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 4.3 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 Total 1 120.5 120.7 121.2 120.6 129.4 134.9 133.9 115.8 106.3 117.7 110.4 118.1 79.7 142.9 89.2 124.6 121.1 121.6 122.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 121.4 121.9 122.5 123.3 124.0 124.2 124.5 124.5 124.7 125.3 125.8 126.3 122.1 122.6 123.6 124.2 125.0 125.3 125.7 125.9 126.2 126.7 127.4 128.0 120.9 121.3 121.7 121.8 122.3 122.6 123.3 123.5 123.6 124.1 124.7 125.3 129.7 130.3 131.1 131.2 131.8 132.3 133.2 133.5 133.7 134.4 135.0 135.7 135.2 136.4 138.2 137.3 137.3 138.1 140.2 139.6 138.5 139.3 140.1 141.0 134.2 134.7 135.1 135.6 136.5 136.9 137.5 138.1 138.8 139.4 140.1 140.7 116.1 117.1 117.1 117.3 117.4 118.3 118.4 118.5 118.6 118.6 119.3 119.5 106.9 106.7 106.9 107.4 107.6 107.1 107.6 107.5 107.6 107.7 108.7 109.7 117.7 117.5 119.1 119.4 120.4 119.1 118.1 116.3 118.3 119.5 119.6 118.8 111.2 111.9 112.6 115.0 116.1 115.9 115.2 114.3 113.7 114.5 114.7 114.8 118.9 119.3 119.7 119.8 119.6 119.3 118.8 118.5 118.0 118.7 119.6 120.8 80.5 81.8 83.6 93.0 96.6 95.4 93.3 89.5 87.6 88.6 86.7 85.1 144.0 145.2 145.9 146.6 147.6 148.7 149.8 150.8 152.0 153.0 154.2 155.0 89.9 90.4 91.4 96.1 97.6 96.6 95.9 94.0 93.2 93.8 93.7 93.7 125.4 125.8 126.3 126.6 127.2 127.4 127.6 127.7 128.2 128.8 129.3 129.7 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1988. Maintenance and repairs (NSA) items less food, shelter, and energy tolant, etc. NOTE.—-Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted hy NSA] Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Period Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 1980 1981 1982 1983. 1984 1985. 1986 1987 1988 1989" 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 _ 2 5.7 5.0 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 4.0 4.8 14.1 8.6 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 5.3 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.7 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.1 Change, month to month Dec 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 3.0 2.1 3.9 1.7 4.3 5.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1989- Jan Feb Mar 1.1 .9 .4 .4 .9 .1 — .5 4 .8 .4 -.1 .7 1.3 .9 .8 -.6 .8 -.6 -.1 .3 -.5 1.4 .8 .5 1.2 1.0 .4 1.4 1.0 .1 -.9 -1.0 1.5 .3 g .9 .6 .4 .1 -.1 .7 .5 0 .3 .8 -.3 .3 _2 7.1 9.8 10.2 7.4 7.3 5.8 1.8 -3.1 -.3 3.6 4.7 4.3 7.2 9.7 13.1 4.9 4.5 -1.3 .7 -1.7 -1.3 4.5 6.6 10.9 8.8 12.0 11.1 11.8 11.7 10.4 .7 -7.1 -1.8 3.0 4.5 2.2 4.6 5.6 4.6 1.7 2.8 4.5 4.9 3.4 4.8 3.4 3.4 1.0 5.4 6.7 6.5 7.3 8.6 8.0 4.6 2.0 2.7 2.7 .7 1.9 6.8 7.5 7.5 6.0 7.1 5.6 2.8 1.4 -1.3 2.6 2.4 4.6 5.3 7.1 7.5 10.3 11.9 10.8 6.1 1.9 4.1 1.8 -1.4 2 4.6 4.8 3.1 3.1 4.2 4.5 3.3 3.1 4.6 4.1 3.4 2.9 4.5 5.3 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.1 5.1 4.3 4.5 4.9 4.6 4.8 1988: May , 3 July Aug r Sept ' Oct NOY ' Dec Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted hy NSA] Housing Addendum: All iterns, percent change (annua rate) Transportation All Shelter Period All items 1 Food Total ' RentTotal ' Homeowners' costs ers' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep MediTotal i New cars Motor fuel cal care Energy2 items less food, shelter, and energy From previ- ous quar- ter 3 From e 3 months earlier months earlier From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 12.5 8.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 10.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 13.7 10.2 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 15.0 9.9 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 1988: Dec 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.8 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec .6 .4 .5 .7 .6 .2 2 0 .2 .5 .4 .4 .7 .4 .8 .5 .6 .2 .3 .2 .2 .4 .6 .5 2 .3 .3 .1 .4 .2 .6 2 .1 .4 .5 .5 .2 .5 .6 .1 .5 .4 .7 9 .1 .5 .4 .5 .2 .9 1.3 .2 .4 .3 .4 .7 .3 .4 .4 .5 .4 .5 .4 .6 -.2 o .5 .2 -.5 .5 — .1 .1 .1 .9 .9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 7.4 18.8 6.8 9.4 1.5 -6.5 3.4 -1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 1.8 18.7 2.1 -2.1 2.3 6.8 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 33 3.8 4.7 4.1 0.5 -0.3 0.3 18.0 11.9 1.3 — .5 13.5 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 Change, month to month 0 .6 1.5 — .4 -.8 .6 .6 .6 0.3 2 1.4 .3 .8 -1.1 -.8 — 1.5 1.7 1.0 .1 Y 1 Includes items riot shown separately. 2 Household fuels — gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, e also included through 1982. 24 0 0.2 .6 .6 2.1 1.0 -.2 -.6 -.8 -.5 .7 .2 .1 .7 .3 .3 .1 _2 -.3 -.4 -.3 -.4 .6 .8 1.0 0 -1.7 1.0 1.6 2.2 11.2 3.9 -1.2 — 2.2 -4.1 21 1.1 -2.1 -1.8 .8 .8 .5 .5 .7 .7 .7 .7 .8 .7 .8 .5 .8 .6 1.1 5.1 1.6 -1.0 -.7 -2.0 -.9 .6 -.1 0 .6 .3 .4 .2 .5 .2 2 .1 .4 .5 .4 .3 4.4 5.4 6.4 2.8 3.9 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., Sourcfi: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.7 5.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 5.7 4.0 1.6 1.6 2.6 4.2 5.2 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.6 6.2 5.9 5.2 4.3 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.4 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in January were 2.7 percent above their December level. Prices paid by farmers in January were 1.1 percent above their October level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) :ALE) INDE X, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO S< ... 180 180 - n 160 - S^rV ^ ^x^ ^-x 120 160 - PRICES PAID > —v 140 — /^ —^ UO — ^ V 120 \ PRIC ES RECEIVED - —< 100 100 - 80 80 60 M i l l M i l l iimliim mnlimi iimlimi Illllllilll Illllllilll HIM Illllllilll HIM 60 R/i •HO-!/ 140 RATI O-W 140 - 120 120 100 80 i ;^_-—_>^_ r ' 60 100 KAIIU —^ 80 "~ - iimmm IMIIIIIIII miilimi lllll||llll mimim 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Illllllilll Illllllllll 1987 1988 I M I I I I I I I I 1JI|| 1989 HIM 1990 60 T/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [1977=100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices paid by farmers Prices received by farmers Period 1981 1982 July Aug 1990- Jan 1 ... Livestock and products Crops 139 133 135 142 128 123 r !27 138 147 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989- Jan Feb Mar Apr May Oct Nov Dec All farm products 149 148 149 r !48 149 147 r !47 r !45 r !44 145 147 149 153 Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates 168 (3) (3) 167 (3) 3 < ) r !68 3 () (3) r !66 (3) (3) 169 168 85 151 158 159 161 156 150 151 160 167 !28 126 128 r !28 127 175 (3) (3) 177 (3) (3) 178 (3) (3) 178 (3) (3) 135 170 180 ui 138 r !37 r !41 141 r !37 r !37 r Katio 2 92 84 84 87 79 77 r 78 r 82 83 150 159 161 164 162 159 r !62 r !69 177 r Production items 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 157 165 r !64 (3) (3) r !66 (3) 3 ( ) r !66 3 () (3) r !65 (3) (3) 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 158 158 161 154 156 157 157 161 160 162 r !65 170 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 r !27 134 Includes items not shown separately. separately. *•2 Percentage ratio ratit ofr "index ' of' prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. Sec also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates * 85 85 85 r 84 84 83 r 83 81 r 81 81 83 84 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes have been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES In December, growth accelerated in Ml and slowed in M2 and M3. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,800 600 400 1987 • AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1988 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] L Debt Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 Ml M2 M3 Snm of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight EPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term EPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances Dec Dec Dec .. Dec Dec.. Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec * 412.2 439.1 476.4 522.1 551.9 620.5 725.9 752.3 790.3 797.5 1,633.3 1,795.9 1,954.5 2,186.0 2,367.2 2,567.4 2,811.2 2,909.9 3,069.6 3,216.4 1,991.1 1,236.9 2,443.8 2,694.3 2,982.3 3,201.7 3,494.9 •"3,677.8 T 3, 915.6 4,039.2 2,327.8 2,599.4 2,853.5 3,155.5 3,523.4 3,830.6 4,137.1 r 4,336.8 r 4,672.3 3,881.9 4,269.0 4,660.0 5,185.4 5,932.7 6,741.5 7,597.0 8,316.1 9,082.2 6.8 6.5 8.5 9.6 5.7 12.4 17.0 3.6 5.1 .9 8.9 10.0 8.8 11.8 8.3 8.5 9.5 3.5 5.5 4.8 10.2 12.3 9.2 10.3 10.7 7.4 9.2 5.2 6.5 3.2 9.5 10.0 9.2 11.3 14.4 13.6 12.7 9.5 9.2 1989: Jan Feb... Mar 786.3 787.5 786.3 783.2 773.4 770.3 777.2 777.4 781.1 787.7 789.5 797.5 3,085.9 3,069.4 3,078.5 3,080.9 3,072.6 3,088.2 3,116.8 r 3,135.8 r 3, 153.5 3,173.4 3,195.7 3,216.4 3,920.2 '3,929.5 3,951.0 '3,957.7 •"3,951.1 '3,966.9 3,993.4 ' 3,999.6 r 4,001.0 r 4,010.4 4,026.9 4,039.2 •"4,676.2 r 4,689.4 r 4, 724.6 r 4, 750.5 •"4,747.0 r 4,760.0 r 4, 792.0 r 4,807.5 •"4,813.8 4,826.0 4,838.3 9,138.9 9,207.0 9,269.2 9,327.6 9,389.3 9,444.1 9,494.4 9,558.9 9,615.3 ' 9,684.1 9,755.6 1.0 1.3 .7 — .6 -3.4 — 5.1 -2.3 -2.6 -1.3 1.1 4.2 7.1 2.8 2.6 29 3.5 .9 1.2 3.3 4.3 4.9 8.0 8.0 8.3 4.2 4.0 4.7 4.1 2.7 2.6 3.7 3.6 2.5 r 2.7 3.8 3.6 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.8 Period 19801981: 19821983: 198419851986: 198719881989: May.. July.. Sept Oct... Nov r Dec " M3 plus other liquid assets Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) l Ml r at a simple annual rate. NOTE. — See p. 21 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the F deral Reserve System. 26 M2 M3 r Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Demand deposits Currency Other cheekable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars NSA Monev market mutual fund balances General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only NSA NSA Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Small denomination time deposits ' Savings deposits Large denomination time deposits ' NSA 1980: Dee 1981- Dec 1982- Dec 1983: Dec 1984- Dec 1985: Dec 1986: Dec 1987- Dec 1988: Dec 1989: Dec* 115.2 122.5 132.6 146.3 156.1 167.8 180.5 196.4 211.8 222.1 261.5 231.5 234.2 238.7 244.2 267.3 303.2 288.3 288.6 281.2 31.3 80.8 105.3 132.2 146.4 179.5 235.8 260.4 282.3 286.7 28.3 35.9 38.8 53.8 56.3 70.2 78.3 78.3 78.5 72,8 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.2 167.5 176.5 208.0 221.1 239.4 309.1 15.2 38.0 51.1 43.2 62.7 64.5 84.4 89.6 87.6 102.8 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.9 513.5 572.5 526.3 502.7 486.3 400.2 344.0 356.9 305.6 285.4 301.6 371.0 416.4 431.3 411.8 728.6 823.2 851.0 784.0 886.3 882.6 853.9 914.1 1,025.2 1,135.3 260.1 302.5 326.8 327.4 417.2 436.6 439.0 487.4 537.8 554.4 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Get ' Nov r. Dec" 213.4 214.3 215.6 216.0 216.5 217.3 218.0 218.4 219.4 219.8 220.3 222.1 284.0 284.8 284.3 281.4 278.2 275.0 278.8 277.5 277.3 280.4 278.8 281.2 281.3 280.9 279.1 278.5 271.4 270.7 273.2 274.4 277.3 280.3 282.9 286.7 81.8 79.0 77.4 74.5 73.5 76.0 77.6 74.9 72.3 72.9 71.8 72.8 241.7 247.2 255.5 259.3 259.3 265.3 273.9 284.7 292.4 298.4 306.5 309.1 89.3 89.8 87.6 87.7 91.6 95.1 98.2 100.6 99.1 98.7 102.0 102.8 495.2 485.3 480.3 471.3 457.0 456.9 459.8 465.4 469.1 473.0 481.6 486.3 427.8 424.6 420.8 412.8 404.7 402.0 401.5 402.3 T 404.3 405.8 409.3 411.8 1,035.7 1,048.3 1,061.0 1,083.1 1,105.7 1,118.5 1,126.3 1,132.1 r l , 132.3 1,132.5 1,132.9 1,135.3 544.4 551.6 558.8 r 567.6 572.1 ••573.1 573.1 ' 569.2 r 563.9 560.7 559.3 554.4 Term repurchase agreements (RPs) Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA 34.0 50.3 36.0 67.5 34.5 81.7 51.8 91.5 61.9 82.9 65.6 76.1 84.0 84.9 109.1 90.8 124.1 ' 106.0 100.0 83.9 125.2 128.4 130.9 128.8 129.2 129.3 124.5 118.0 113.7 110.0 110.6 100.0 r r 100.6 100.0 105.6 100.2 96.6 92.6 91.3 89.0 84.9 80.7 81.3 83.9 Savings bonds Shortterm Treasurv securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 72.3 67.8 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.4 91.7 100.4 109.1 133.5 149.4 183.6 211.9 260.7 300.1 282.3 257.5 271.3 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.0 45.4 42.0 37.2 44.7 40.6 98.8 105.3 113.6 133.2 160.7 207.4 231.0 260.3 335.8 109.7 270.9 110.6 265.2 111.5 271.7 112.3 r 279.5 112.9 r289.5 113.8 ' 286.8 114.6 ' 290.7 115.2 ' 294.6 115.7 r 307.5 116.1 314.4 116.5 306.8 40.6 39.9 41.2 41.4 41.1 41.1 42.0 r 42.8 r 41.4 40.2 40.6 334.9 344.2 349.2 359.5 352.3 351.4 351.3 355.3 348.3 344.8 347.5 AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily (igur.es 1; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Reserves of depository institutions Period Total 1980: 19811982: 1983: 19841985: 19861987: 1988: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec' 1989- Jan. Feb Mar Mav July Sept Get Nov Dec " 1 Nonborrowed plus extended credit Required Monetary hase Total Seasonal Extended credit 33,401 35 315 37 388 39,184 42,321 48,493 58,140 58 693 60,706 59,991 31,711 34,679 36,754 38,410 39,134 47,175 57,313 57,916 58,990 59,726 31.714 34,827 36,940 38,412 41,739 47,674 57,616 58,399 60,234 59,746 32,887 34,996 36,888 38,623 41,468 47,436 56,771 57,665 59,666 59,068 152,525 161,043 173,011 188,303 201,889 219,510 241,448 257,991 275,503 285,222 1,690 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 3 148 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 60,370 80,260 59,854 59,463 58,740 58,350 58,898 58,753 59 223 59,621 r 59,566 59,991 58,708 58,773 58,041 57,174 57,020 56,860 58,004 58,079 58 530 59,066 59,217 59,726 59,754 59,823 59,376 58,881 58,217 57,776 58,110 58,120 58,552 59,087 59,238 59,746 59,226 59,106 58,896 58,687 57,709 57,445 57,733 57,869 58,285 58,602 58,621 59,068 276,815 277,598 278,676 278,753 278,427 279,060 280,014 280,288 282,045 282,703 r 283,001 285,222 1,662 1,487 1,813 2,289 1,720 1,490 894 675 693 555 349 265 76 97 139 213 345 481 497 490 452 330 134 84 1,048 1,050 1,334 1,707 1,197 917 106 41 22 21 21 20 Data are prorated averages of biweekly {maintenance period) averages of daily figures. Nonborrowed Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases fell 0.3 percent in December. Commercial and industrial loans fell 1.2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 LOANS AND LEASES 1,200 1,200 800 800 400 400 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES \ 200 200 160 160 OTHER SECURITIES 1981 mi 111 lilllllll 120 1984 1983 1982 1985 1987 1986 1 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 120 1989 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted M AH commercial banks Loans and leases Period 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec".... Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec ".... Total loans and securities 2 U.S. Government securities 1,307.7 1,401.5 1,553.6 1,723.7 1,911.4 2,094.5 2,239.6 2,417.2 2,577.4 2,422.8 2,451.9 2,464.9 2,470.9 2,486.3 2,496.8 2,518.1 2,534.4 2,544.1 2,575.5 2,583.9 2,577.4 179.3 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.7 309.6 335.5 361.4 396.9 360.4 361.8 368.8 370.7 373.5 373.8 374.4 376.6 378.8 391.7 397.5 396.9 Other •securities 160.9 165.7 170.6 142.6 181.4 196.5 195.3 194.0 181.3 189.6 190.4 189.7 187.2 186.4 185.8 184.6 182.8 182.9 182.7 180.3 181.3 Total 2 967.5 1,034.1 1,123.9 1,321.0 1,459.3 1,588.4 1,708.8 1,861.9 1,999.2 1,872.9 1,899.7 1,906.5 1,913.1 1,926.5 1,937.3 1,959.1 1,974.9 1,982.4 2,001.1 2,006.1 1,999.2 Commercial and industrial 355.4 392.6 414.1 472.9 499.7 536.2 562.7 601.9 634.2 606.6 619.0 617.8 620.6 626.3 624.9 632.1 637,3 636.9 641.1 641.6 634.2 Real estate Individual Security financial institutions Agricultural political subdivisions 284.1 299.8 330.8 376.3 425.8 494.0 589.0 672.0 754.8 678.9 685.6 691.8 699.5 705.5 712.0 719.9 729.0 734.4 741.1 747.7 754.8 182.5 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.8 315.9 329.5 355.5 378.1 357.9 358.9 360.6 362.9 365.4 366.0 367.0 369.3 372.1 374.4 376.9 378.1 21.5 25.4 28.1 34.3 42.7 40.1 34.4 38.5 37.8 r 37.6 44.7 r 43.5 r 39.9 38.1 r 41.2 r 40.0 r 39.3 r 39.9 r 41.4 40.6 37.8 29.9 31.3 30.5 31.4 32.5 35.0 31.9 30.0 32.2 r 30.1 r 30.5 29.6 r 29.1 r 28.6 r 30.2 r 31.2 r 31.1 r 31.3 r 32.4 33.1 32.2 33.1 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.6 29.4 30.7 30.5 30.7 30.7 30.7 30.4 30.3 30.3 30.4 30.3 30.2 30.1 30.3 30.5 0.0 .0 3.3 46.0 56.7 58.4 52.5 r 46.7 41.0 r 44.2 r 44.3 r 44.3 r 44.4 r 44.4 r 44.2 r 43.9 r 43.6 43.5 42.9 42.3 41.0 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations of States and political subdivisions are included in Joans rather than in other securities. 28 State Non- 2 Foreign banks 18.1 14.8 13.4 11.1 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.6 9.1 7.8 8.5 8.2 '8.4 9.4 9.3 8.9 9.3 8.5 r 9.7 9.0 9.1 Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Foreign official institutions Lease financing receivables 7.2 5.9 9.4 7.9 6.0 5.9 5.3 4.9 3.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.8 12.7 13.3 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.3 24.5 29.2 31.1 29.4 29.6 29.6 29.8 30.0 29.9 30.3 30.3 31.0 31.6 31.6 31.1 Other 23.1 26.6 31.8 31.2 36.3 39.4 42.1 r 44.9 46.5 r 44.8 r 43.1 r 45.6 r 43.2 r 43.7 r 44.5 r 50.8 r 51.1 r 50.2 r 52.3 49.2 46.5 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Biliions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Uses Sources External Period Total Internal I Total 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 ... .. 1988- I II Ill IV 1989: I II III p Loans and short-term paper Securities and mortgages Total 1979 1980 1981 1982 Discrepancy Capital Credit market funds Total Other 2 financial assets tures 3 uses) 323.7 323.3 377.4 303.0 419.2 495.0 457.3 510.7 486.3 508.3 197.6 200.1 239.5 242.3 285.7 336.3 352.3 344.9 352.6 372.5 126.1 123.1 137.9 60.7 133.5 158.7 105.0 165.8 133.6 135.8 60.3 70.7 91.8 50.3 78.3 95.1 50.9 123.0 69.0 77.0 9.0 30.5 25.4 -1.7 44.6 -9.1 -3.0 58.9 38.1 7.7 51.3 40.2 66.4 52.0 33.7 104.2 53.9 64.0 30.9 69.3 65.8 52.5 46.0 10.4 55.2 63.6 54.1 42.9 64.6 58.8 368.3 341.6 382.9 302.7 392.0 473.0 422.9 448.2 453.9 473.4 238.6 243.2 285.9 255.7 269.9 367.9 339.9 328.8 348.3 380.4 129.8 98.4 97.0 47.0 122.1 105.1 83.0 119.3 105.6 92.9 -44.6 -J8.3 -5,6 .3 27.2 22.0 34.4 62.6 32.4 34.9 507.6 508.3 528.5 488.8 369.0 367.2 372.3 381.6 138.6 141.1 156.2 107.2 95.5 109.4 82.0 21.0 38.2 28.1 38.7 -74.3 57.3 81.3 43.3 95.3 43.1 31.7 74.3 86.2 470.9 474.1 500.8 447.7 359.2 380.7 390.1 391.8 113.7 93.3 110.8 55.9 36.7 34.3 27.7 41.1 483.8 536.6 440.3 361.9 364.8 373.1 121.9 171.8 67.3 30.6 158.0 25.4 -52.2 30.5 22 8 82.8 127.5 48.2 91.3 13.8 41.9 445.5 505.1 415.1 376.0 388.8 386.6 69.6 116.4 28.5 38.3 31.4 25.2 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding l Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period 19801981: 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 19881988: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Nov Dec 1989: J a n 2 Feb Mar May July Aug. Sept Oct r Nov p Other Total Automobile Revolving Mobile home Other Revolving 297,566 310,682 323,536 367,868 442,538 517,755 572,047 607,721 659,507 654,413 659,507 111,936 118,956 124,218 143,799 173,704 209,636 247,313 265,976 281,174 279,926 281,174 54,894 60,838 66,243 78,667 100,212 122,013 137,013 153,884 174,792 173,030 174,792 18,621 20,302 22,833 23,704 25,795 26,834 27,355 26,387 25,744 26,005 25,744 112,115 110,586 110,242 121,698 142,827 159,272 160,367 161,475 177,798 175,452 177,798 1,083 13,116 12,854 44,332 74,670 75,217 54,292 35,674 51,786 5,281 5,094 -539 7,020 5,262 19,581 29,905 35,932 37,677 18,663 15,198 1,024 1,248 1,537 5,944 5,405 12,424 21,545 21,801 15,000 16,871 20,908 2,899 1,762 414 1,681 2,531 871 2,091 1,039 521 -968 -643 -28 — 261 -329 -1,529 -344 11,456 21,129 16,445 1,095 1,108 16,323 1,386 2,346 682,020 687,397 691,162 693,911 698,132 700,849 700,344 703,001 704,371 707,562 711,799 286,382 288,767 288,850 289,654 290,741 290,192 288,526 288,533 287,754 288,747 289,266 176,716 178,570 182,831 184,500 186,502 189,622 191,028 194,398 195,302 196,379 199,191 26,036 25,992 24,168 23,993 23,952 23,685 23,630 22,938 22,991 22,947 22,523 192,886 194,068 195,314 195,763 196,936 197,349 197,161 197,132 198,324 199,490 200,818 (3) 5,377 3,765 2,749 4,221 2,717 -505 2,657 1,371 3,191 4,236 (3) 2,385 82 804 1,087 -549 -1,667 7 -779 993 519 (3) 1,854 4,261 1,670 2,002 3,120 1,406 3,370 904 1,076 2,813 (3) -44 -1,824 -174 — 41 -267 -56 -692 53 — 44 — 424 (3) 1,182 1,246 449 1,173 413 -189 -29 1,192 1,166 1,329 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preeeding month. 2 Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in manv series between December 1988 and Januarv 1989. Mobile home Automobile Total 3 Because of breaks in series, net change not available. Source: Bo d of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates rose in January. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 . . 3-month bills (new issues) l Constant maturities 3-year 2 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor's) 3 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) 4 Prime commercial paper, 6 months l 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 Discount rate (N.Y. F.K. Bank) 5 r Prime rate charged bv banks 5 ' 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 r 8.21 9.32 10.87 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 9.52 9.82 9.99 10.37 10.18 10.42 10.48 10.22 10.24 10.11 10.09 10.07 1989: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r 8.29 8.48 8.83 8.70 8.40 8.22 7.92 7.91 7.72 7.63 7.65 7.64 9.20 9.32 9.61 9.40 8.98 8.37 7.83 8.13 8.26 8.02 7.80 7.77 9.09 9.17 9.36 9.18 8.86 8.28 8.02 8.11 8.19 8.01 7.87 7.84 7.41 7.47 7.61 7.49 7.25 6.97 6.97 7.08 7.27 7.22 7.13 7.01 9.62 9.64 9.80 9.79 9.57 9.10 8.93 8.96 9.01 8.92 8.89 8.86 9.02 9.35 9.97 9.78 9.29 8.80 8.35 8.32 8.50 8.24 8.00 7.93 6.50-6.50 6.50-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10.50-10.50 10.50-11.50 11.50-11.50 11.50-11.50 11.50-11.50 11.50-11.00 11.00-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 1990- Jan 7.64 8.13 8.21 7.13 8.99 7.96 7.00-7.00 10.50-10.00 7.57 7.68 7.66 7.77 7.83 7.95 8.19 8.28 8.38 8.04 8.24 8.36 8.47 6.99 7.13 7.26 7.25 8.92 8.98 9.05 9.15 7.89 7.98 8.02 8.04 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00- 10.50-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00- Week ended: 1990: Jan 13 20 27 Feb 3 10 1 Bank-discount, basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data arc Wednesday figures. 4 Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 2 30 New-home mortgage yields (FHFB) G 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 6 Effective rate {in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as i'ell as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Feder1 Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices fell in January. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS CALE INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 160 24C 22C 20C 18C _/~~~^\ LOMPOSITE STOCK PRICE IND -*-^S^\ ' 140 .S 16C \ s^s^^ 140 120 120 r^-S 100 / 80 60 1 100 ^S~ 80 ^rj 60 40 1 1 I I 1 1 I 1 I 11 I 1 1 M 11 I 1 1 1 1982 ,,,,,1 1983 ,,,,,!,,,,, 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 i 1 1 1985 1986 1984 I 1i I1t!I1 1 1 1' 1987 ' U 1 M\ \ ' 1988 I 1 1 t 11 1 11 ! 1 1989 40 1990 PERCENT PERCENT 20 20 15 NGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMW 15 (S&P) 10 'V- ^ I I \ -^ i I 1983 1982 i 1984 | t ^ t t 1985 t 10 , ~~ 1 1 1986 • "^ ^1 i i i 1987 1 \ ' 1988 i i i 1989 Common stock prices r 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Industrial Transportation i Common stock yields (percent) 5 New York Stock Exchange indexes (I ec. 31, 1965 = 5 O ) 2 Composite t 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD 8. POOR'S CORPORATION Period i Finance Utility Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143=10) 4 Dividendprice ratio 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 160.40 165.08 164.60 169.38 175.30 180.76 185.15 r 192.94 193.02 192.49 188.50 192.67 194.62 200.00 199.20 204.81 211.51 216.75 221.74 231.32 230.86 229.40 224.38 230.12 153.09 162.66 160.14 164.32 ' 168.89 173.47 179.32 197.52 202.02 190.36 174.26 177.25 75.87 77.84 77.66 79.69 84.07 r 87.90 90.40 r 92.91 93.44 94.67 94.95 99.73 132.26 137.19 137.91 143.26 r 146.59 154.08 157.78 164.86 165.51 166.55 160.89 155.63 2,234.68 2,304.30 2,283.11 2,348.91 2,439.55 2,494.90 2,554.03 2,691.11 2,693.41 2,692.01 2,642.49 2,728.47 285.41 294.01 292.71 302.25 313.93 323.73 331.93 346.61 347.33 347.40 340.22 348.57 3.64 3.59 3.68 3.59 3.52 3.44 3.38 3.28 3.29 3.29 3.39 3.33 1990- Jan 187.96 225.79 173.67 95.69 150.11 2,679.24 339.97 3.41 Week ended: 1990: Jan 6 13 20 27 Feb 3 196.68 192.38 187.31 182.05 180.79 235.47 230.99 225.19 218.85 217.92 181.00 177.20 173.56 170.40 164.21 101.19 97.67 94.81 92.62 92.19 158.02 154.74 150.07 144.66 141.54 2,797.30 2,752.18 2,673.08 2,588.11 2,575.22 356.58 347.84 338.50 328.83 327.39 3.22 3.33 3.43 3.52 3.54 1989- Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Sent Oct Nov . Dec r 1 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the\tocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. 4 Includes 500 stocks. 5 Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Eai lings2 3 Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 8.46 7.93 6.80 price ratios hased on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—Al! data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 3 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $69.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $67.6 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 — RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^ 1,200 1,100 1,100 OUTLAYS!/ \ ,-'-' 1,000 1,000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 qi ippi i K op nEFIHTf }" -100 •^ _____^-— "" ^\ -200 A _——~^_ \ 1/1982 \ 1983 ^^ \ 1984 -100 ^ \ 1985 \ 1986 -200 \ 1987 \ 1988 i \ 1989 1990 N 1991 N FISCAL YEARS V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES, DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Receipts 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 r 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Gross Federal debt (end of period) Off-budget On-budget Total Fiscal year or period Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Total Held by the public 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 -73.7 -14.7 -53.6 59 2 -40.2 -73.8 78 9 -127.9 207 8 -185.3 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 -70.5 -13.3 -49.7 -54.9 -38.2 72 7 -73.9 -120.0 208 0 -185.6 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 98.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -3.2 — 1.4 -3.9 -4.3 -2.0 — 1.1 50 -7.9 .2 .3 629.0 643.6 706.4 776.6 828.9 908.5 994.3 1,136.8 1,371.2 1,564.1 477.4 495.5 549.1 607.1 639.8 709.3 784.8 919.2 1,131.0 1,300.0 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 -212.3 — 221.2 -149.7 155 1 -152.0 — 123.8 63 1 547.9 568.9 640.7 667.5 727.0 788.0 855.7 769.5 806.8 810.0 861.4 931.7 971.5 997.4 — 221.6 -237.9 -169.3 193 9 -204.7 -183.4 141 7 186.2 200.2 213.4 241.5 263.7 285.4 314.5 176.8 183.5 193.8 202.7 210.9 225.8 236.0 9.4 16.7 19.6 38.8 52.8 59.7 78.6 1,817.0 2,120.1 2,345.6 2,600.8 2,866.2 3,113.3 3,319.2 1,499.4 1,736.2 1,888.1 2,050.2 2,189.3 2,298.7 2,357.3 221.6 228.8 289.2 298.5 67 6 -69.7 167.3 171.2 240.4 247.1 -73.1 -76.0 54.3 57.6 48.8 51.3 5.5 6.3 2,692.7 2,956.7 2,103.2 2,248.7 Cumulative total, first 3 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January 32 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 3 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $7.2 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $9.3 billion higher. BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 RECEIPTS / 500 —•"— " INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES \ . ._—-—""""" 400 —• —' —' 500 ' 400 300 300 SOCIAL INSURANCE TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 200 OTHER RECEIPTS CORPORATION INCOME TAXES \ 200 100 100 I 0 OUTLAYS 900 I | 1 1 1 I 1 1 ]/ — NONDEFENSE 800 0 " 900 --•''" \ 800 __.-"-""" 700 700 „--'"" 600 600 500 500 400 400 NATIONAL DEFENSE 300 200 300 I/I , V 1 1982 1 1983 ' T 1984 1 1985 1 '1986 1 1987 1 1988 1 1989 I 1990 N N 1991 200 FISCAL YEARS / INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS COUNCIL Of tcUNUMie ALJVISCIO [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget outlays On-budget and off-budget receipts Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 209.9 227.4 734.1 789.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,073.5 1,170.2 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 489.4 528.5 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.6 112.0 129.7 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 385.4 421.4 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.9 82.0 86.6 90.6 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,197.2 1,233.3 221.6 228.8 100.8 107.3 25.5 22.0 73.6 76.9 21.7 22.5 289.2 298.5 Fiscal year Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ' 1990 (estimates) 1991 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 3 months: 1 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990 .. . 1 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United State* 1990, except as noted. National defense Social insurance taxes and contributions Other Income security Social security Net interest 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 57.8 63.7 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 96.6 98.6 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 146.6 153.7 188.6 198.8 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.5 264.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 151.7 169.1 175.6 173.0 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 158.4 161.3 158.1 12.1 13.1 19.5 22.8 32.3 34.4 55.1 58.8 39.6 44.2 50.2 47.5 International affairs Health 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 296.3 303.3 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 286.8 292.1 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 14.6 18.2 79.6 73.7 77.3 71.5 .9 3.9 Total Total Department of Defense, military Medicare Other 82.8 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. timent, Fisc-a-l Year 1991, January 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to advance estimates, Federal expenditures rose $28.8 billion (annual rate); receipts data are incomplete. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 EXPENDITURES 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-) -200 -200 I 1981 I I 1982 1984 1983 1986 1985 I i 1987 I I 1 1988 1989 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Pur- Total chases of goods and services Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Fiscal year: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 776.8 815.2 897.3 958.6 1,046.4 340.4 357.0 401.2 408.0 457.3 74.6 81.1 97.7 108.3 115.4 55.9 50.9 53.4 55.8 57.6 305.8 326.1 345.0 386.4 416.1 962.3 1,028.0 1,060.4 1,104.0 1,175.6 341.5 368.6 375.5 378.6 400.5 374.0 394.6 411.2 432.7 461.6 97.8 107.4 103.1 108.6 115.8 128.3 134.6 138.8 149.0 168.6 20.7 22.8 31.9 35.1 29.1 -0.1 .0 .1 -.1 .0 -185.5 — 212.8 -163.1 — 145 .4 -129.2 Calendar year: 1985..." 1986 1987 1988. . 1989 p 788.7 827.9 911.4 972.4 1,046.8 346.4 361.4 405.8 413.0 460.6 76.3 83.8 101.0 111.4 104.9 55.1 50.5 53.8 56.7 58.6 310.9 332.1 350.8 391.3 422.6 985.6 1,034.8 1,072.8 1,118.3 1,196.7 355.2 366.5 381.6 •381.3 404.1 380.1 399.9 414.3 438.2 472.6 99.7 106.8 102.6 111.4 119.6 130.1 135.6 141.7 151.4 171.1 20.3 26.0 32.6 36.0 29.2 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 -196.9 -206.9 — 161.4 -145.8 — 149.9 IV IV IV IV IV IV 633.1 675.5 742.7 805.3 853.8 937.4 303.0 291.9 326.0 355.3 376.2 420.0 46.4 70.2 69.7 78.8 88.9 103.1 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.5 50.8 54.5 236.1 259.8 290.7 317.7 337.9 359.7 835.7 844.7 930.2 1,017.5 1,042.8 1,101.7 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.1 347.4 352.5 362.1 385.8 405.8 421.9 84.5 86.0 96.3 103.5 103.0 102.2 87.2 101.0 125.3 132.7 136.0 147.3 23.4 29.1 21.0 19.0 29.2 41.9 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 -.2 -202.6 -169.2 -187.5 -212.2 -189.0 — 164.4 1988- I II Ill IV 944.7 973.2 977.3 994.6 402.7 417.5 411.4 420.3 104.2 111.6 114.0 115.8 55.9 55.9 57.4 57.8 382.0 388.2 394.5 400.6 1,096.5 1,114.7 1,099.8 1,162.1 374.1 377.1 367.5 406.4 433.0 434.4 438.0 447.6 110.1 112.2 111.0 112.2 144.9 149.9 153.9 157.0 34.4 41.2 29.4 38.9 .0 .0 .0 .0 -151.8 -141.5 -122.5 -167.6 1,036.2 1,053.2 1,043.2 446.8 465.1 459.1 471.6 117.0 109.7 99.9 58.0 58.2 59.4 58.6 414.3 420.2 424.8 431.1 1,183.7 1,198.6 1,187.9 1,216.7 399.0 406.0 402.7 408.8 460.4 466.9 475.6 487.7 118.7 118.4 118.3 123.0 167.0 172.0 171.2 174.4 38.5 35.3 20.1 22.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 -147.5 - 145.4 — 144.7 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 1989- I II Ill IV Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Consumer prices (1982-84=100) Industrial production (1977™ 100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States Canada .Japan France 104.8 119.0 106.9 120.3 96.5 120.7 109 7 124 5 115.2 136.1 121.6 141.0 121.5 140.8 128.3 145.7 136.3 ' 159.2 107.2 106.1 1983.. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989' 108.6 111.0 103.1 109 2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 137.2 141 8 1988: Nov Dec 139.9 140.4 136.2 ' 164.5 137.1 ' 165.0 118.0 117.3 1989: Jan Feb 140.8 140 5 140.7 141.7 141.6 142.0 141.9 142.5 r !42.3 r !41.8 r !42.3 142 8 1980 1981 . 1982 Mar Apr Mav... July Sept Get Nov Dec p 1 105.0 105.0 106.1 106.1 107.2 109.4 114.3 136.7 ' 166.7 118.2 137.4 r!63.8 117.4 137.1 172.5 116.6 138.0 166.3 120.3 138.3 167.3 118.6 137.8 170.7 ' 120.0 ' 137.0 r 166.4 r !21.4 r !37.5 171.4 r !21.4 r !37.7 ' 168.7 rl!8.9 136.1 168.7 120.1 169 7 United Kingdom Italy Germany United States J 108.0 105.9 102.7 103.3 106.2 111.0 r l!3.2 113.7 ' 117.8 114.8 113.0 109.5 105.9 109.5 110.7 114.7 119.3 126.4 99.8 96.7 98.5 102.2 102.4 107.9 r r l!9.5 r 129.1 132.2 r 127.9 130.3 126.9 127.0 125.3 128.9 130.7 129.1 128.7 !21.1 !21.5 ' 120.8 r !21.4 ' 124.0 118.6 123.6 125.0 125.1 125.0 ' 124.4 124 8 Canada Japan France Italy Germany r United Kingdom 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 76.1 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 105.7 72.2 81.8 91.7 100.3 108.0 1 14.3 117.2 121.1 124.3 86.8 92.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.7 T 104.9 ' 106.3 109.2 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 ' 119.4 ' 118.6 129.3 120.5 125.1 125.1 106.5 106.2 125.8 126.0 106.7 ' 107.0 144.5 145.0 129.2 129.6 r 121.1 121.6 122.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 125.7 126.6 127.2 127.6 128.9 129.6 130.4 130.5 130.7 131.2 131.6 131 5 106.0 105.7 106.2 108.1 108.7 108.6 108.4 108.3 109.2 110.0 108.9 126.5 126.8 127.2 128.0 128.5 128.7 129.0 129.2 129.5 130.1 130.3 r 146.1 147.3 148.0 149.0 149.6 150.3 150.7 150.9 151.6 153.1 153.7 154.4 130.4 131.4 131.9 134.3 135.1 135.6 135.7 136.1 137.0 138.1 139.2 139.6 r r l!0.1 l!4.0 l!8.1 l!8.1 l!7.7 r l!8.6 '119.0 r l!6.8 r l!7.5 r l!8.7 r ' 120.4 119.2 120.2 r l()7.9 ' 108.3 r 108.5 r 109.1 r !09.3 ' 109.4 ' 109.3 r 109.2 '109.3 109.7 109.7 110.2 Data, relate to all urban consumers. U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) 1 General merchandise imports customs value) 3 Period Total 2 Foods, feeds, and Industrial supplies ag(,K als e 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986... 1987 1988 5 5 216.4 205.6 294 0 218.8 227 2 954 1 3224 1988: Nov Dec 27 5 1989: Jan Feb Mar 29 0 28.8 30.1 308 305 31.3 305 306 30.7 31 0 30.2 May June Julv Sept Oct ' Nov 28 9 Automotive vehicles, parts, and motive I engmes Capital goods except 61.7 56.7 61 7 72.7 67.2 79 o 73.9 24 3 39 3 58.5 57 3 66 7 85 1 2 6 28 29 2.9 3.2 31 32 3.2 29 31.3 30.9 31 5 24.0 22 3 28 2.6 9 7 2.7 Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive 13 3 75 8 86 9 109 2 20 6 22.9 9 17 94 g 29 3 17 7 23 1 24 0 27.3 35 9 34 6 43 4 70 74 94 10 1 25 27 20 40 23 36 7 1 7.5 7.6 94 9.3 9.9 10 1 98 10.6 10 9 10 6 11.7 10 8 9.8 24 2.4 2.5 94 47 2.5 4.2 4.2 44 46 4.0 7 9 8.3 82 78 7.6 78 7.6 24 2 3 2.3 2 2 2 7 2.3 9 6 2.5 27 98 2 6 29 2 6 27 2.8 27 2.9 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistanee Program grant-aid shipments. Foods feeds, and Industrial supplies Capital goods except motive 20.7 20.5 80 Total 2 14.3 13.4 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipment Other 15.7 16.8 12.6 Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category Principal end-use commodity category 36 40 3.7 4.7 4 4 engines automotive food) Other merchandise imports (c.i.l. value) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs vaiue) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (c.i.f.) -27.5 -52.4 — 106.7 r -117.7 -138.3 — 152 1 — 118.5 -38.4 -64.2 — 1224 33.3 39.7 6.5 254.9 40.8 53 5 66.8 78 9 85 2 87 7 44.9 600 68.3 6.3 78 9.4 79 4 10 4 118 3 40.9 59 8 65.1 71 8 84 5 101 4 88 7 95 9 12 1 12 8 269.9 3464 352.5 382 3 424 4 459 5 98 10 2 91 91 75 80 83 12 12 396 41 3 -10.5 — 10.8 -12.1 -12.5 10 7 10.0 11.0 113 11 7 90 9.3 9.3 91 99 9.5 91 74 7.6 7.7 9 1.0 1.1 11 11 1.1 10 12 1.2 395 39.7 41.2 -8.9 -9.4 -9.5 -8.3 -10 1 -8.0 -8.2 — 10.1 -8.5 - 10.5 -10.9 -11.2 -9.9 -11 7 -9.6 -9.9 -11.9 -10.1 -12.0 -12.3 17.1 18.2 112.0 107.0 21 0 123 7 336.5 21.9 406 2 441 0 94 g 24 8 113.9 101 3 38 1 39 7 21 22 37 9 38.2 39.5 39 0 2 2 2.0 21 20 2 2 2.0 20 21 1.9 93 2.2 Consumer goods 35.4 244.0 258.0 330 7 39.3 38 7 40 7 39.2 41 3 40.7 Automotive vehicles, parts, 11.4 11 4 11 4 102 10.3 118 11.0 9.6 97 10.2 7 3 72 6.7 66 71 7.2 71 7.0 90 8.3 8.3 83 85 8.5 86 87 9.0 90 9.0 14 1.2 40 7 42 2 40.9 404 42.4 40.8 43 1 42.5 r -102 - 10.5 -133.6 -155.1 - 170.3 -137.1 month hasis. NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the third quarter of 1989, the current account deficit fell to $22.7 billion, from $32.1 billion in the second quarter. BILL ONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 10 10 5 5 ^ "" **" ** L/\ 0 N fS\ s V X / 0 '\ A\ \ X.. .-' \ \ A \\ \\ V \\ -15 -15 \\ -20 \ -25 B GLANCE .V. , x ON G OODS AND SERVIC ES f -A o\ \ ^v -30 / S N \ /H ^^\ " \ " f* // -25 H ^J -30 35 -^sJ / A,\ERCHANDISE •RADE -40 11 A A -20 CURRENT A CCOUNT -40 BALANCE 1 -45 1 1 1 1981 1 1 1 1 i 1983 1982 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 1 1 -45 1989 * SEASONALLY ADJUS TED SOURCE: DEPARTMEN T OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits ( —)] Merchandise Investment income 3 12 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1986: HI TV 1987- I n ni TV 1988- I n ni TV 1989- I . np ni .... 1 2 3 Exports Imports 224,269 237,085 211,198 201,820 219,900 215,935 223,367 250,266 319,251 56,182 56,490 57,255 60,015 64,297 68,699 76,447 78,471 80,604 83,729 87,919 91,423 91,569 -249,749 -265,063 — 247,642 -268,900 -332,422 -338,083 -368,425 -409,766 —446,466 -92,983 -95,081 -95,916 -99,834 - 104,903 — 109,113 - 109,893 - 109,882 -110,943 -115,748 -116,297 -118,977 -119,320 Net balance Receipts Payments 25480 72,506 -42,119 -27,978 86,412 -52,329 36444 83,548 -54,884 -67,080 77,251 -52,376 112 522 85,908 -67,419 -122,148 88,832 -62,901 145 058 88,615 -66,968 -159,500 104,703 -82,420 127 215 107,775 - 105,548 -36,801 21,744 -15,729 -38,591 20,822 -16,350 -38,661 25,117 -19,755 -39,819 22,744 -20,554 -40,606 23,578 -21,904 -40,414 33,265 -20,207 23 955 -33,446 26,750 -31,411 23,148 -25,613 -30,339 24,720 -27,310 -32,019 33,159 -28,670 -28,378 26,830 — 29,246 -27,554 26,644 -32,765 -27,751 33,808 -31,197 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage, Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the 36 Net 30,387 34,083 28,664 24,875 18,489 25,931 21,647 22,283 2,227 6,015 4,472 5,362 2,190 1,674 13,058 2,795 -2,465 -2,590 4,489 -2,416 -6,121 2,611 Net military transactions Net travel and transportation receipts -2,577 -1,523 -474 -343 -2,099 3 557 -4,576 -2,857 -4,606 -1,089 -777 -176 -210 -1,031 -1,440 -964 -1,033 -1,006 -1,604 -1,498 -1,518 -968 -997 144 -992 -4,227 -7,885 -9,832 -8,031 -7,324 -2,633 -1,874 -2,241 -1,965 -2,088 -1,279 -1,993 -1,854 -719 -155 94 -297 91 193 Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers ' Balance on current account 7,794 9,126 -7,593 15,810 -7,647 11,085 11,436 2,191 -9,188 12,264 -34,510 -9,776 12,299 -91,718 - 12,468 12,351 -97,256 -15,426 18,547 -117,470 -15,778 17,909 -129,488 — 14,212 20,335 -111,892 - 14,656 4,539 -29,210 -4,376 4,807 -32,330 -4,136 -3,137 4,250 -31,190 4,372 -35,555 -3,265 4,555 -36,687 -3,225 4,734 -26,055 -4,586 4,787 -28,682 -3,364 5,042 -30,586 -2,899 -28,964 -3,376 5,126 5,381 -23,659 -5,018 5,725 -26,864 -3,526 5,886 — 29,216 -2,868 6,884 -19,031 -3,656 1,533 8,163 -6,997 -44,286 -104,186 -112,682 — 133,249 — 143,700 -126,548 -33,586 — 36,466 -34,327 -38,820 -39,912 -30,641 -32,046 -33,485 -32,340 -28,677 -30,390 -32,084 — 22,687 Other services, net 3 Balance on goods and services United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $20.7 billion in the third quarter of 1989, in contrast to a decrease of $27.2 billion in the second quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $25.7 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $21.4 billion in the second quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* -20 -40 -40 1989 1981 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, net [increase/capit Period Total 1980. 1981 -86,118 — 110,951 -121,153 -49,777 -22,304 — 32,628 -99,665 -76,218 -82,110 -8,155 -5,175 -4,965 1 196 -3,131 3 858 312 9,149 -3,566 HI IV -26,078 -33,422 280 132 n m I 8,759 -22,632 -25,976 -36,370 1,956 3,419 32 3,742 n m 4,540 -16,119 -37,886 -32,648 1,503 39 -7,380 2,272 -31,318 377 -47,156 -4,000 -12,095 -5,996 1982.. . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: U.S. official reserve assets x 2 IV I IV I 11 m".... Other U.S. Government assets Foreign assets in the U.S., net2 [increase /capital inflow ( + )] ] U.S. private assets -5,162 72 802 -5,097 -100,679 110 058 -6,131 5 006 -43,576 -5,489 13 685 2 821 -25,950 -2,024 97 954 997 86 363 2,999 -81,543 1 565 -24,793 11 -33,565 40 6,763 -195 25856 308 -26,316 843 -40,955 1 490 4,528 -885 -15,273 32 467 1,961 -38,332 3,413 1,049 -309 644 28 367 12,781 41 804 Total Other foreign assets Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy U.S. official reserve assets, net * (unadjusted, end of period) 26,756 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 25,322 18,663 34,404 9,194 23,869 15,298 11,308 1,878 -10,641 58,112 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,605 218,039 219,299 15,497 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 1 083 35,594 45,193 38,882 42,615 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 172,847 180,418 69,927 62,339 15,785 1,251 54,142 61,088 -10,263 7,549 -4,669 4,463 48,087 48,511 33,381 51,134 73,575 59,949 14,040 10,329 753 20,070 19,341 40,805 72,822 39,879 -7,813 10,318 -7,687 7,062 3,895 -2,559 -4,501 3,166 48,824 45,140 45,070 45,798 27,027 65,334 46,179 80,759 24,631 5,895 -2,234 10,589 2,396 59,438 48,413 70,170 479 -15,729 24,047 -19,434 3,843 -3,714 -4,556 4,431 43,186 41,028 47,788 47,802 60,007 1 789 72,482 7,478 5 201 11,246 52,529 3,412 61,236 1,702 33,496 -2,639 4,127 -2,311 -5,115 49,854 60,502 68,418 1 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. resen osition in the IMF. 2 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Foreign official assets Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDKs) 1,152 1,093 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign). Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1990 0—26-471