Full text of Economic Indicators : January 1962
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87th Congress, 2nd Session Economic Indicators JANUARY 1962 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1962 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) PRESCOTT BUSH (Connecticut) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JOHN MARSHALL BUTLER (Maryland) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) WM. SUMMERS JOHNSON, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Deputy Executive Director RICHARD J. BARBER, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WALTER W. HELLER, Chairman KERMIT GORDON JAMES TOBIN [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 20 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.00 per year (foreign, $2.75) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, B.C. Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $4.60 per year. The I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now available at 60 cents a copy. ii Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment Page iv 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 9 10 11 12 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Trade Sales and Inventories Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balance of Payments 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public 31 32 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. ill TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product rose about $10 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 2 percent, from the second to the third quarter of 1961, according to current estimates. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 ._ 1960: First quarter Second quarter. Third quarter,. Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter Second quarter. _ Third quarter. . Personal Disposable consumption personal expendiincome ' tures 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256.9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 3 351. 8 345. 7 352. 7 354. 4 354.9 354. 3 361. 8 367.7 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238.0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293.2 314. 0 328. 9 323. 8 329. 9 329. 7 332. 3 330. 7 336. 1 341. 0 International Business Persons Personal Gross Excess saving Gross private of (+) or retained domestic investearn-2 disinvestment saving ings ment (-) (-) 17. 7 18. 9 19. 8 18. 9 17. 5 23. 0 23. 6 24.7 23. 4 22. 9 21. 8 22. 8 24. 6 22. 7 23. 7 25.8 26.8 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. S 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 78. 9 74. 6 70. 5 65. 6 59. 8 68. 8 73. 2 31. 5 33. 2 34, 3 35. 5 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 50. 7 51. 7 52.0 51. 9 51. 7 51. 2 50. 4 53. 9 54. 9 — 24. 8 -16. 6 -16. 0 -13.4 21. 8 -24. 3 -20. 5 — 11. 9 — 21. 7 -20. 7 -26. 9 -22. 7 -18. 8 — 14. 4 — 9. 4 — 14. 9 -18. 3 Foreign Net exports of goods Excess of and services net transfers trans( + ) or fers by of net ImGovernNet Exexports ports ment exports ports (-)3 2. 4 1. 3 — .4 1. 0 1. 1 2.9 4. 9 1. 2 -.7 3.0 1. 8 2. 3 3.0 5. 1 5. 3 3.9 2. 6 2. 1 1. 5 1. 6 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 5 1. 6 1. 5 1. 6 1. 5 1. 6 1. 6 1. 5 1. 7 17. 9 17.4 16. 6 17. 5 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 23. 1 26. 7 25. 6 26. 7 26. 8 27.6 27. 6 26. 4 27. 0 15. 5 16. 1 17.0 16. 5 18. 3 20. 2 21. 3 21.5 23. 8 23. 6 23. 9 24. 4 23. 8 22. 4 22. 3 22. 5 24. 3 -0.2 .2 2. 0 .4 .4 — 1. 5 -3. 5 .1 2. 3 -1. 5 —. 3 -.7 — 1. 4 -3. 6 -3.7 -2.4 —.9 Government Surplus ( + ) or deficit Tax and TransPurTrans- (-) on nontax Total income fers, chases fers, Net and interest, of goods expendi- interest, receipts receipts or and suband tures and sub- product accruals sidies * services sidies * account Net receipts Period 1951 ... 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 . . ... I960 1 960 : First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1 or. 1 : First quarter Second quarter Third quarter 1 66. 6 72. 2 75. 7 68. 5 78. 4 84. 2 87. 5 82.0 94. 9 102.0 103. 5 103. 3 101. 5 99. 7 97. 1 100. 7 103. 0 85. 5 90. 6 94. 9 90. 0 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 129. 3 139. 1 139. 5 140. 1 138. 8 138. 3 136. 8 141. 9 145. 3 Expenditures 18. 9 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 36. 0 36. 8 37. 3 38.6 39.7 41. 2 42. 3 60. 5 76. 0 82. 8 75. 3 75. 6 79. 0 86. 5 93. 5 97. 1 100. 1 96. 9 99.6 101. 9 101. 6 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 I'IT n u n ] income (p. 3) ]ess personaltaxes and nontax payments (fines, penal- 1 i M i l l 1 i r l h t i t r d corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, I - i t ul cm IM mi i it ion allowances, and excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 1 - ' - ' i N ' l H r n Investment with sign changed. IV 79. 4 94. 4 102. 0 96. 7 98. 6 104. 3 115. 3 126. 6 131. 5 137. 2 132. 9 136. 4 139. 2 140. 2 144. 7 148. 5 151. 3 18. 9 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28.7 33. 1 34 4 37.1 36. 0 36.8 37.3 38. 6 39. 7 41.2 42. 3 6. 1 3 9 — 7. 1 -6. 7 2. 9 5. 2 1. 0 — 11 4 o o — £t. £t 1. 9 6. 5 3. 5 ™ .O -1.9 -7.9 -6.6 -6.0 Total income or receipts 327. 7 345. 6 364. 1 362. 3 396. 5 421. 6 443. 4 446. 0 484. 4 507. 1 502. 7 509. 5 509. 1 507.4 503.4 517.9 527. 4 Gross Statis- national tical product or discrepancy expenditure 1.2 1. 4 1. 3 .9 1. 0 -2. 4 — 6 -1.5 -1. 7 -2. 6 -1. 1 -2.9 -4.0 -2. 9 -2. 6 -1. 8 -1. 5 329. 0 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397. 5 419.2 442. 8 444. 5 482. 8 504. 4 501.5 506. 4 505. 1 504 5 500. 8 516. 1 525. 8 4 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. NoTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product in current prices (seasonally adjusted) rose almost 2 percent in the third quarter of 1961; when adjusted for price changes, the increase was about 11/2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 400 30O 200 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES IOO IOO SOORCE:. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period I961 I960 I955 COUKCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Government purchases of goods Personal Gross Total Net services Total congross private exports national gross sump- domestic Federal of goods tion product national and Total Total > National2 Other in 1960 product expend- investment services defense itures prices and State and local Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1960= IOO3 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 . ... . 1960 334. s 36%. 3 391, 8 406. 6 426. S 416. 6 449. 6 459. 1 467. 6 459. 9 491. 0 504.4 258.1 284.6 329. 0 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397. 5 419.2 442. 8 444.5 482. 8 504. 4 181.2 195.0 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 22.2 3. 8 33.0 40. 2 50. 0 19.3 39.0 .6 2. 4 56. 3 60. 5 38. 8 52. 9 76.0 49. 9 1.3 82. 8 50.3 58. 0 —.4 75. 3 47.5 1.0 48. 9 63. 8 45.3 75.6 1. 1 79. 0 45.7 67. 4 2.9 66. 1 86. 5 49. 7 4. 9 1.2 52. 6 93. 5 56. 6 72. 4 -. 7 53. 5 97. 1 72. 4 52. 9 3.0 100. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 13.6 14. 3 33. 9 46. 4 49. 3 41.2 39. 1 40. 4 44. 4 44. 8 46.2 45. 5 8.9 5. 2 5.2 6.7 9.0 6. 7 6. 6 5.7 5.7 8. 3 7.8 8.0 17. 9 19. 7 21. 7 23. 2 24. 9 27.7 30. 3 33. 2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 47. 2 77. 2 78. 6 84. 0 85. 3 85. 9 87. 2 88. 4 91.3 94. 7 96. 7 98. 3 100. 0 1960: First quarter Second quarter . _ Third quarter Fourth quarter.. 504. 5 507. 6 504. 1 501. 2 501. 5 506. 4 505. 1 78. 9 74. 6 70. 5 65. 6 1.8 2.3 3.0 5. 1 96. 9 99. 6 101. 9 101. 6 51. 8 52. 9 54. 0 53.0 45.5 45.5 45. 4 45. 7 6. 9 45.0 504. 5 323. 8 329. 9 329. 7 332. 3 99. 4 99. 8 100. 2 100. 7 1961: First quarter Second quarterThird quarter 496. 1 BIO. 1 518. 1 500.8 516.1 525. 8 330.7 336. 1 341. 0 59.8 68. 8 73. 2 5. 3 3.9 2. 6 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 54. 7 56. 6 57. 4 49. 0 47. 2 48.8 8.0 8. 3 8. 9 1 Less Government sales. 2 These expenditures correspond closely with budget expenditures for "major national security," shown on p. 31. s Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in I960 prices. 7.9 9. 1 7.9 46. 8 48.0 48. 6 50. 3 50.6 51. 6 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included hepJnntiiK 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 100. 9 101. 2 101. 5 NATIONAL INCOME National income increased $8.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter. creases were $6.0 billion in compensation of employees and $1.5 billion in corporate income. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS The largest in- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 300 £00 200 100 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME 1961 1955 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.. COUNCU/OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. [Billions of dollars] Proprietors' income Business and professional Rental income of persons 22. 7 23. 5 26. 0 26. 9 27. 4 27. 8 30. 4 32. 1 32. 7 32. 5 35. 0 36. 2 8.3 9. 0 9. 4 10. 2 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10. 9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 11. 7 Total national income Compensation of employees ' 217.7 241. 9 279. 3 292. 2 305. 6 301. 8 330. 2 350. 8 366.9 367. 4 399. 6 417. 1 140. 8 154.2 180. 3 195. 0 208. 8 207. 6 223. 9 242. 5 255. 5 257. 1 278. 4 293. 7 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 413. 5 419. 2 419.0 416. 5 290. 2 294. 6 296.0 294.0 10. 5 12. 3 12. 4 12. 7 35. 8 36. 4 36. 3 36. 3 11.7 11.7 11.7 11. 7 1961: First quarter Second quarter- Third quarter 412. 2 426. 0 434. 3 292. 6 300. 2 306. 2 12. 9 12. 9 12. 8 36. 0 36. 3 36. 6 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 Period 1949. 19501951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957- 1958 1959 1960 Farm 12. 9 14,0 16.3 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11. 3 12. 0 Net interest 4. 8 5.5 6. 3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11. 7 13.4 14.8 16. 6 18. 4 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 28. 2 35. 7 41. 0 37.7 37. 3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 46. 4 45. 1 26. 4 40.6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43.2 37.4 46. 8 45. 0 1. 9 5 0 -1. 2 1. 0 1 0 17. 8 18. 3 18. 6 18. 9 47. 4 45. 9 44. 1 42. 9 48. 1 46.3 43. 2 42. 6 -0.7 —. 4 .9 .3 19. 2 19. 6 20. 2 40. 0 45. 5 47. 0 39. 6 45. 2 47. 2 .4 .3 o 3 1 7 2 7 -1. 5 -. 3 5 .'o Seasonally adjusted annual rates 'Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 3.) NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income increased again in December but at a somewhat lower pace than in the two preceding months. Labor income continued to rise. Dividend payments reflected year-end payments. BILUIONS OF DOLLARS 45O 1 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ~ I 450 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 4OO 300 250 Z \ """""""""" 1955 FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME f— 1952 1953 1954 _ 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 .. - .. 1960: November. December. 1961: January... February. March April May June_-_ July_ August September. October. _. November. December-1 1956 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental Total salary disDivipersonal bursements Business income dends of Farm income and proand other persons fessional labor income)1 273. 1 26. 9 190. 2 15. 3 10. 2 9. 0 288. 3 13.3 27. 4 204. 1 10. 5 9.2 289. 8 202. 5 12. 7 27. 8 10. 9 9.8 310. 2 30. 4 11. 8 10.7 218. 0 11. 2 332. 9 32. 1 11. 6 12.1 235. 7 10.9 32. 7 351. 4 11. 8 12. 6 247. 7 11. 9 360. 3 32. 5 12. 2 12. 4 249. 2 13. 5 383. 3 11. 3 35. 0 11. 9 268. 8 13. 4 402. 2 282. 2 12. 0 36. 2 11.7 14. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual 406.0 12. 8 36. 4 282. 7 11. 7 14. 4 404.0 12. 8 36. 0 280. 9 11. 6 14. 1 403.6 12. 8 36. 0 280. 6 14. 2 11.6 403. 1 12. 9 35. 8 280. 2 11. 5 14, 2 3 407. 3 36.0 13. 0 281. 7 11. 4 14. 2 409. 8 12. 9 36. 1 285. 3 11. 5 14 2 413. 2 12. 9 36. 3 288. 0 14. 2 11. 5 417. 3 36. 4 291. 7 13. 0 11. 5 14. 3 3 421. 2 12. 9 293.4 36. 6 14. 3 11. 5 419. 4 294. 0 12.8 36. 6 14. 3 11. 5 421. 1 12. 7 36. 8 14. 4 295. 2 11. 5 425. 2 297. 8 37. 0 13. 5 11. 5 14. 5 429. 3 37. 3 300. 9 13. 8 11. 5 14. 8 431. 3 37. 4 301. 9 13. 5 11. 5 15. 5 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 2) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 2 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, (arm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. 3 Includes stepped-up payment of National Service Life Insurance dividends 50 ""TRANSFER PAYMENTS^ _,_,_,,,_r^,f,,_,„,/,_,„,—,.l--- .-• — -•-•-•• •"*' -•*••"'" """*_"^^^^m SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 20O DIVIDENDS AND PERSONAL INTEREST BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME Less: PerconPersonal Transfer sonal tributions interest payfor social ments income insurance 13.2 12. 1 3.8 14. 3 3.9 13. 4 14. 6 16. 2 4.6 5.2 17.5 15. 8 18. 8 5. 8 17.5 21. 9 6.7 19. 6 21. 0 26. 3 6. 9 27. 2 23. 6 7. 9 29. 1 26. 2 9. 3 rates 30. 7 9.3 26. 7 31. 0 9.2 26. 7 31. 1 9.6 26. 8 31. 1 26. 8 9. 4 3 33. 7 9.6 26. 8 32. 5 26. 8 9. 6 33. 0 27 0 9 7 27 1 33. 0 9 8 ! 27 2 35. 2 9 8 32. 5 9.8 27. 4 32. 7 9.8 27.5 33. 1 27.7 10. 0 33. 2 27. 9 10. 1 33. 4 10. 1 28. 2 Nonagricultural personal2 income 254. 3 271. 5 273. 8 295. 0 317. 9 336. 1 343.0 368. 1 386. 2 389. 1 387.2 386. 8 386. 2 3 390. 4 392. 9 396 4 400 2 1 404. 0 402. 4 404. 1 407. 2 410. 9 413. 1 of $150 million ($1.8 billion at annual rate) in March and $218 million ($2.6 billion at annual rate) in July. * Preliminary. NOTE,—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning i960. Source: Department of Commerce. Q DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income (seasonally adjusted) increased again in the third quarter of 1961. Since the rate of increase was slishtly more than in consumption expenditures, there was a small rise in the saving rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 350 350 300 I I I I I I I I l i l t I I I 1,600 1,400 1955 1956 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Disposable personal income: COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal consumption expenditures Total 1950 1951— . 1952 1953 . 1954.. 1955... 1956— 1957 1958 1959 1960 207. 7 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 3 351. 8 195. 0 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314.0 328. 9 1960: First quarter.- _. Second quarter Third quarter. Fourth quarter 345. 7 352. 7 354. 4 354. 9 323. 329. 329. 332. liMil: First quarter Second quarter. _ Third quarter. 354. 3 361. 8 367. 7 330. 7 336.1 341. 0 8 9 7 3 NonDurable durable Services goods goods Billions of dollars 30. 4 64. 9 12. 6 99. 8 29.5 70.2 17.7 110. 1 18. 9 29. 1 75. 6 115. 1 32. 9 81. 8 19. 8 118. 0 32. 4 86. 3 18. 9 119. 3 124. 8 92. 5 17. 5 39. 6 38. 5 131. 4 100. 0 23. 0 40. 4 137. 7 107. 1 23. 6 114. 3 24. 7 37. 3 141. 6 123. 2 23. 4 43. 5 147. 3 44. 3 152. 4 132. 2 22. 9 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 21. 8 44. 7 128. 6 150. 5 22. 8 45. 3 131. 2 153. 3 152. 7 133. 6 24. 6 43. 4 22. 7 43. 8 135. 4 153. 1 39. 4 42.0 42. 3 153. 7 154. 1 156. 2 ' I VriHuial income (p. 3) less person;*! taxes and nontax payments (fines, penaltli'fi, f i r . ) , • Inrmni' in current prices divided by the implicit price deflator for personal rnittiimpMmi expciHlStiirt'.s on a ItJW) base. * I ' n p i i i n t l o n of (hi* United Ktuto.s including armed forces abroad. Annual <trt( u n i t if J u l y | ; i t t i t i M c r l . v du(:i<i'Mlrrrd in the middle of the period. Interpolated f t u t n t i i n n f h i y flnm-i. Personal saving 137. 5 139. 9 142. 4 23.7 25. 8 26. 8 Per capita disposable personal income * Current prices 1960 prices 2 Saving as percent Populaof distion posable (thoupersonal sands) 3 income (percent) Dollars 1,674 1,369 1,474 1,690 1,520 1,706 1,582 1, 760 1,742 1,582 1, 660 . 1,820 1, 742 1,879 1, 804 1,891 1,826 1,877 1,934 1,905 1, 947 1, 947 6. 1 7. 8 7.9 7. 8 7. 4 6. 4 7. 9 7.6 7. 8 6. 9 6. 5 151, 154, 157, 159, 162, 165, 168, 171, 174, 177, 180, 1, 924 1, 956 1, 957 1,951 1,936 1,958 1,955 1, 941 6. 3 6. 5 6.9 6. 4 179, 690 180, 328 181, 084 181, 898 1,940 1,974 1,998 1,923 1,954 1, 972 6. 7 7. 1 7.3 182, 602 183, 292 184, 054 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960, Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. 683 360 028 636 417 270 176 198 060 076 670 FARM INCOME Gross and net farm incomes in the third quarter of 1961 were about the same as in the two previous quarters, and remained above the levels of a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME-1/ 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE-!/ 10 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 •"INCOME OF FARM OPERATORS FROM FARMING. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. vCOUNOl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Income received by total farm population Income received by farm operators from farming Realized gross Period 19521953195419551956. 19571958. 1959. 19601960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter From all sources ProducCash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ing in- ing net in- Current 1960 2 from ventory ventory3 prices prices " marketchange change ings Dollars Billions of dollars 22. 6 37. 0 32. 6 14. 4 15. 3 21. 4 35. 3 31. 1 13. 9 13. 3 2, 700 12. 2 12. 7 2, 903 21.7 33. 9 30. 0 2,572 33. 3 21.9 2, 766 29. 6 11. 5 11. 8 22. 6 12.0 2, 611 34. 6 2, 778 11. 6 30. 6 2, 724 34. 4 23. 4 11. 0 11. 8 29. 8 2,808 25. 3 12. 6 3,226 37. 9 13. 5 3,259 33. 4 26. 3 2, 760 11. 2 37. 5 2, 788 11. 3 33. 4 2, 990 34. 0 26. 4 11. 7 12. 0 2,990 38. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 36. 8 26. 4 2, 620 2,620 32.7 10. 4 10. 5 3,080 3, 080 26. 5 12. 0 38. 5 34. 4 12. 3 38. 3 26.3 3, 100 3, 100 34. 2 12. 0 12. 4 38. 7 26. 3 3, 180 3, 180 34. 7 12. 4 12. 7 Net income of farm operators from farming (including net inventory change) and1 wages received by farm resident workers. Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nomnoney income furnished by farms. ; Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. * The number of farms (based on 1959 Census of Agriculture definition) is held constant within a year. 78120°—62 2 Net income per farm including net inventory change 4 Net From From agricul- nonagritural cultural sources : sources Total 1961: First quarter--. Second quarterThird quarter, _ 1 1961 I960 39. 3 39. 2 39. 3 fl 35. 3 34. 0 34. 4 26.7 26. 7 26. 9 12. 6 12. 5 12. 4 12. 9 12. 9 12. 8 3, 310 3, 310 3, 280 Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by funiirrs fur family living items on a 1960 base. e Not yet available. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes are estimated to have risen $2.0 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), in the third quarter to $47.2 billion. This brings the total rise since the first quarter of this year to $7.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 —I 1955 I 1956 1961 1957 -^ EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS fBillions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment * TransManufacturing portation, Period All NoncomAll Durable durable muniother indusgoods Total indusgoods cations, industries tries and induspublic tries utilities 12. 0 1950 35. 7 20. 4 8 4 4 0 11 3 1951 41. 0 24. 4 13. 5 10 9 12 0 4 5 1952. 37. 7 21. 1 11. 8 9 3 4 8 11 8 1953. . - _ . 37. 3 21. 4 12. 1 4 9 9 3 11 0 1954 18. 4 4 4 10. 1 8 3 33. 7 11 0 1955. 25 0 14. 2 12 8 43. 1 10 8 5 4 1956 12 6 42 0 23 5 12 9 5 6 10 9 1957 22 9 41 7 13 1 9 8 5 5 13 3 1958 9. 0 37. 2 5. 6 9. 3 18. 3 13. 3 1959 24. 8 13. 2 11 6 15. 2 46. 4 6 4 I960. . 12. 0 45. 1 23. 3 15. 0 6 8 11 3 I960: First quarter 6.7 47. 4 25.5 13. 9 11. 5 15. 2 Second quarter. - 45. 9 12.0 23. 4 11. 4 6. 9 15. 5 Third quarter 44. 1 22. 6 6. 6 14. 9 11. 4 11. 3 Fourth quarter- - 42. 9 10. 7 6.8 14. 6 21. 6 10. 9 I 1 M 1 I : Find quarter 8. 5 10.4 14. 6 40. 0 18. 8 6. 5 22. 3 Second quarter. _ 45. 5 11. 2 7. 1 16. 1 11. 2 Third quarter 47.0 (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) 2 for Inventory valuation adjustment. Corporate profits after taxes Corpo- Corpo- profits before taxes tax liability 40 6 42 2 36 7 38 3 34 1 44 9 44 7 43 2 37 4 46 8 45 0 48. 1 46. 3 43. 2 42. 6 39. 6 45. 2 47.2 17 9 22 4 19 5 20 2 17 2 21 8 21 2 20 9 18. 6 23 1 22 3 23. 9 23. 0 21. 4 21. 1 19. 6 22. 4 23. 3 Total 22 8 19 7 17 2 18 1 16 8 23 0 23 5 22 3 18 8 23 7 22 7 24. 2 23. 3 21. 7 21. 4 20.0 22. 8 23. 8 Dividend payments 9 2 9 0 9 0 9 2 9 8 11 2 12 1 12 6 12. 4 13. 4 14. 1 14. 0 14. 0 14. 1 14. 3 14. 2 14. 2 14. 3 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Undistributed profits 13. 6 10. 7 8. 3 8. 9 7. 0 11 8 11 3 9 7 6. 4 10. 3 8. 6 10.2 9. 3 7. 6 7. 2 5. 8 8. 6 9.5 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Private investment increased $4.4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 1961. investment and inventories contributed to the increase. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS Both fixed BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1955 1961 I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955. 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 - 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter 3 Total gross private domestic investment New construction ' Total 33. 0 50. 0 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 36. 0 43. 2 46. 1 46. 8 49. 9 50. 5 58. 1 62.7 64. 6 58. 6 66. 1 68. 2 78. 9 74. 6 70.5 65. 6 68. 0 69. 3 68. 1 67. 4 63. 8 66. 0 59. 8 68.8 73.2 68. 7 Producers' durable Residenz equipTotal Othei tial ment nonfarm 9.6 18. 8 9. 2 17. 2 24. 2 14.1 10.1 18. 9 12. 5 24. 8 12. 3 21. 3 25. 5 12. 8 12. 7 21. 3 27. 6 13. 8 22. 3 13. 8 15.4 29. 7 14.3 20. 8 18.7 34. 9 16. 2 23. 1 17. 7 35. 5 17. 8 27. 2 17.0 36. 1 19.0 28.5 35. 5 18. 0 17. 4 23. 1 22. 3 40. 2 17. 9 25. 9 40. 7 19. 6 27. 5 21. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 40. 9 40. 7 40. 4 40. 7 39. 6 41.3 42. 7 Bevisions in series on new construction shown on p. 17 have not yet been Incorporated Into these series. 2 "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, -which are excluded from estimates on p. 17. Change in business inventories Fixed investment 21. 5 21.2 21.0 20.5 19. 3 20. 6 22. 1 19. 3 19. 5 19. 4 20. 2 20. 4 20.7 20. 6 27. 1 28. 6 27.7 26. 7 24. 2 24, 7 26. 0 Total Nonfarrn -3. 1 6.8 10. 2 3. 1 .4 -1. 6 5.8 4. 7 1. 6 -2.0 6. 3 4. 2 — 2. 2 6. 0 9. 1 2. 1 1. 1 -2. 1 5. 5 5. 1 .8 -2.9 6. 2 4. 0 10.9 5.4 2. 4 -1.9 -4.0 2.8 4. 5 10. 8 5. 1 2. 0 — 2. 2 — 4. 3 2. <t 4. 1 NOTE,—Data for Alaska and Hawaii Included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the October-November survey, business firms are planning to spend $35.9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) on new plant and equipment in the current quarter, nearly 3% percent more than in the third quarter of 1961. A further rise of about 2 percent, largely in manufacturing, is anticipated for the first quarter of 1962. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS Of DOLLARS SEASONALLY- ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES <^MANUFACTURING COMMERCIAL AND OTHER JL. PUBLIC UTILITIES \ TRANSPORTATION JJ 1955 1956 1959 1958 1957 I960 1962 1961 •" SEE-NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Transportation Manufacturing Period Total i Total 1951.-1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959-.1960-1961 3 -- _ -- _ . I960: First, quarter. ._ .. Second quarter Third quarterFourth quarter )',)(> 1 : 1'irst quarter Second quarter Third (junrtor. :1 l''oi:rl.li oiiarl.or l!M"i'J: K i r s ! q u a r t e r -1 25. 64 26. 49 28. 32 26. 83 28. 70 35. 08 36. 96 30. 53 32. 54 35. 68 34. 50 10. 85 11. 63 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14. 95 15. 96 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 72 35. 15 36. 30 35. 90 35. 50 33. 85 33. 50 34. 70 35. 90 36. 50 14. 10 14, 70 14. 65 14. 40 13. 75 13. 50 13. 65 14. 00 14. 55 Durable goods Nondurable goods Mining Public utilities Commercial and other 2 Railroads Other 5. 17 .93 1.47 5. 68 5. 61 6. 02 . 98 1. 40 5. 65 .99 6. 26 1.31 5. 09 . 98 . 85 5.95 . 92 5. 44 . 96 6. 00 7. 62 1. 24 1. 23 7. 33 8. 02 1. 24 7. 94 1. 40 5.47 . 94 . 75 5. 96 . 99 . 92 5. 77 6. 29 . 99 7. 18 1. 03 7.30 6. 27 . 67 7.45 . 99 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 7. 15 1. 00 1. 00 6. 95 7. 40 1.10 7.30 1. 05 7. 35 1. 00 1. 00 7. 30 6. 85 7. 55 . 90 1. 00 6. 50 . 95 . 70 7. 25 6. 20 . 70 1. 00 7. 30 6. 10 1.00 . 65 7. 55 6. 35 . 60 1. 00 7. 65 6. 70 1. 00 .70 7. 85 1. 49 1. 50 1. 56 1. 51 1. 60 1. 71 1. 77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 84 3. 66 3.89 4. 55 4. 22 4 31 4 90 6. 20 6. 09 5. 67 5. 68 5. 56 7.24 7. 09 8. 00 8. 23 9.47 11.05 10. 40 9. 82 10.88 11.57 11.71 2. 00 2. 15 1. 90 1. 80 1. 75 1. 80 1. 90 1. 90 1. 80 5. 75 5. 70 5. 60 5. 70 5. 35 5.50 5. 65 5.70 5. 50 11. 35 11. 60 11. 75 11.65 11.30 11.05 11. 85 12. 65 12. 90 ii'lc:. n n - l r i i l l u i v . ner f l u I n u t ( ni her Includes tnido, service, finance, communications, and -Mi.ii i m i r - , t . i i . - . f i j nti m i l If Ipnd'd c M p l t n l expenditures ns reported by business i r i n h i - j u t n l N u v c i n b i T l U f l l . h i f h i d f s adjustments when necessary f o r l I' 1 l' i i ' i i in Irr, in t i n t i r l j m i u i y diltu nt expense Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT,AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE In December, civilian employment dropped 800,000 to 66.5 million. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the employment fell 300,000, while the labor force fell about 400,000, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.1 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* NONAGRICULTURAL 55 IO MILLIONS OF'PERSONS* EMPLOYMENT •4 55 S 10 AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT ***•***"** UNEMPLOYMENT' •" "•*!••,*»*—»L«i•«.—»• "•«,»»" PERCENT OF CIVILIAN-LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) _- - p- "i™*-. '• f 1T #!• J—h-i « 1 1955 •> J 1956 -• ; » Tl T- '- 'i ?; - 1958 1957 r - -r : ^ -] », H *i •« : * f I9S9 -^, .^ T\ 5 ^S ,. Period 1953_ 1954. 1955_ 1956_ 1957_ 1958. 1959. I960- 67. 4 67.8 68.9 70. 4 70. 7 71.3 71. 9 73. 1 1960: November. December1961: January February__ March April May June July August September^ October NovemberDecember . 73. 7 73. 1 72.4 72. 9 73. 5 73. 2 74. 1 76. 8 76. 2 75. 6 73. 7 74. 3 74. 1 73. 4 "F * -* : I960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV15EM Civilian labor force Civilian employment Total Nonagrieultural Civilian employment Unemployment Civilian labor force Millions of persons 14 years of age 61. 9 55. 4 64. 5 60. 9 54.4 56. 2 65. 8 62. 9 67. 5 64. 7 58. 1 67. 9 65. 0 58.8 68.6 64. 0 58. 1 69. 4 65. 6 59. 7 70. 6 66. 7 61. 0 Unadjusted 71. 2 67. 2 61. 5 71. 4 61. 1 70. 5 66. 0 71. 1 69. 8 64. 5 59. 8 71. 5 59. 9 71. 9 70. 4 64. 7 72. 2 71. 0 65. 5 60. 5 70.7 65. 7 60.7 71. 4 71.5 66. 8 71.4 61. 2 62. 0 72, 4 7 4 3 68. 7 62. 0 71. 6 73. 6 68. 5 62. 2 73. 1 68.5 71. 8 71. 1 67. 0 61. 4 71. 0 71. 8 67. 8 61. 9 71. 3 62. 1 71.3 67. 3 71.5 70. 6 66.5 62. 0 71. 1 Total Agricultural Nonagricultural Unemployment and over Seasonally adjusted' 67. 0 61. 2 60. 5 66. 4 66. 6 60. 7 66. 8 60. 9 67. 1 61. 2 66. 5 61. 2 66. 6 61. 5 67. 3 61. 9 66. 8 61. 4 67. 0 61. 4 61. 2 66. 3 61. 3 66. 7 61. 8 67. 2 61. 4 66. 9 Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force) Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Percent 2. 9 5. 6 4. 4 4. 2 4. 3 6. 8 5.5 5. 6 63. 8 1 Seasonally adjusted totals may differ from sum of components because totals and components cave been seasonally adjusted separately. X 1 ;I s 4 i »j I j ai i- ' 1 1961 * 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Total labor force (including armed forces) r^'* 4. 4 4.8 4. 7 4. 9 5.0 4. 9 4. 9 4.9 4. 9 5. 0 4.8 4. 8 4. 3 4. 3 5.7 6. 4 7. 7 8. 1 7. 7 7. 0 6. 7 7. 5 7.0 6.2 5.7 5. 5 5. 6 5. 8 6.2 6. 8 6. 6 6.8 6. 9 6.8 6. 9 6. 8 6. 9 6. 9 6. 8 6. 8 6. 1 6. 1 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see Itrnyloi/ment and Earnings, Department of Labor. BeijinninK January UiGO, datu include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. v UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Insured unemployment averaged 2.5 million in December, or about 340,000 more than November. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) OCT SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. All programs Insured Total unem- benefits Covered ploypaid employment (milment (weekly lions of averdolage) ' lars) ! Period 1956 1957 1958 . 1959 1960 1960: November December 1961: January February March April May June July. August. September October November 3 December Week ended: 1961: December 1902: January COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS . _ __ 2 9 16 23 3 0 33_ _ _ 6 Thousands 42, 758 1, 318 43, 447 1, 567 44, 501 3,269 45, 727 2,099 46, 334 2,067 46, 270 2, 225 46, 282 2, 847 44, 756 3, 515 44, 467 3,638 44, 873 3, 403 2 3, 626 (2) 3, 290 (2) 2, 877 (2 ) 2, 678 (2) 2, 357 (2) 2,122 (2) 2,018 (2 ) 2, 172 (2) 2, 513 () (22) (2) () (22) (2) () 2, 313 2,367 2,460 2,530 3 2, 814 1, 540. 6 1, 913. 0 4, 209. 2 2, 803. 0 3, 022. 7 258. 6 332. 4 436. 4 435. 5 500. 9 419. 4 457. 2 403. 9 321. 9 333. 5 263. 4 255. 3 261. 4 305. 1 (2) (22) (2) (2 ) () (2) State programs Insured unemployment Exhaustions Weekly average, thousands 1, 212 226 20 1, 450 268 23 2, 509 370 50 1,682 281 33 ], 906 331 31 2, 039 396 31 2, 639 494 36 3, 266 541 44 3, 394 480 49 372 3, 168 53 2, 779 367 58 2, 328 297 54 1,991 279 53 1, 958 357 50 1, 744 271 44 1, 558 257 38 1, 502 277 35 1,662 34 320 2,000 400 37 1,796 1, 849 1, 944 2, 027 2,296 1 Includes Federal and State programs for temporary extension of benefits be'lunlng June 1958. 1 3 Not available. Preliminary. 10 Initial claims 347 359 380 410 457 467 (2) (22) () (22) (2) () Insured unemployment as percent of covered employment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Percent 3. 2 3. 6 6. 4 4. 4 4. 8 5. 1 6. 6 8. 1 8. 4 7.8 6. 8 5. 7 4. 9 4.8 4.3 3. 8 3.7 4. 1 4. 9 4. 4 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.7 6.3 6.4 6. 1 6. 3 6. 3 5.9 6.6 5.3 % O a? if. 5. & 5. 1 5. 1 5. 1 4.8 (22) (2) () (22) () (2) Benefits paid Total Average weekly (milcheck lions of dollars) (dollars) 1, 380. 7 1, 733. 9 3, 512. 7 2, 279. 0 2, 726. 7 231. 1 300. 2 397. 6 399. 3 461. 5 362. 5 320. 1 264. 4 224.0 237. 2 185. 0 180.9 190. 9 230. 0 (22) (2) () (22) (2) () 27.02 28. 17 30. 58 30.41 32. 87 34, 01 34. 18 34. 34 34. 45 34.37 34. 18 33. 46 32. 92 32. 91 33. 36 33. 12 33.30 33. 67 33. 75 (2) (22 ) (2 ) () (22) () NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators, Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods. Source: Department of Labor. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Nonfarm payroll employment of 54.5 million, seasonally adjusted, in December was about the same as in November. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS MANUFACTURING <? > DURABLE GOODS IP NONDURABLE . GOODS INDUSTRIES 6 Lj,-f J I IJLU 4 A ' CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION (ENLARGED SCALE) 1958 1959 I960 1961 K SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA, INCLUDING A L A S K A AND .HAWAII SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. I960 1961 BEGINNING 1959. COUHCH. OF ECONOMIC KIVKSK [Thousands of wage and salary workers '] Manufacturing (private) Total, unadjusted Total 49, 022 50, 675 52, 408 52, 904 51, 423 53, 380 54, 347 49, 022 50, 675 52, 408 52, 904 51, 423 53, 380 54, 347 16,314 16, 882 17, 243 17, 174 15, 945 16, 667 16, 762 9, 129 9, 541 9,834 9, 856 8, 830 9, 369 9, 441 54, 595 54, 706 „ 52, 864 52, 523 52, 785 53, 171 53, 708 June 54, 429 July._ 54, 227 August 54, 538 September 54, 978 October 3 55, 065 November 3 55, 121 December 55, 503 53, 995 53, 707 53, 581 53, 485 53, 561 53, 663 53, 894 54, 182 54, 335 54, 333 54, 304 54, 385 54, 517 54, 491 16, 351 16, 174 16, 021 15, 962 16, 023 16, 119 16, 275 16, 373 16, 392 16,381 16, 323 16,361 16, 469 16,521 9, 111 8, 988 8, 863 8,797 8, 820 8, 904 9,058 9, 114 9, 138 9, 131 9, 105 9, 112 9, 221 9, 265 Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 ,-1960 - 1960: November December 1961: January. _ February March _ April May Total Durable Nondura- Total 2 goods ble goods 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers In nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of non agricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 9, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes: and which are based on an enu- 7, 185 25, 957 7, 340 26, 879 7,409 27, 888 7,319 28, 104 7, 116 27, 585 7,298 28, 523 7,321 29, 065 Seasonally 7,240 29, 022 7, 186 28, 890 7, 158 28, 889 7, 165 28, 841 7,203 28, 826 7, 215 28, 810 7, 217 28, 845 7, 259 28, 988 7, 254 29, 108 7,250 29, 087 7,218 29, 045 7,249 29, 057 7, 248 29, 053 7, 256 29, 003 Nonmanufacturing (private) Government Contract Transporta- Wholesale (Federal, construc- tion and pub- and retail State, trade tion lic utilities local) 2,612 4,084 10, 235 6, 751 2, 802 4, 141 6, 914 10, 535 4, 244 2,999 10, 858 7,277 2, 923 4, 241 10, 886 7, 626 2, 778 3, 976 10, 750 7, 893 2, 955 4, 010 11, 125 8, 190 2,882 11,412 4,017 8, 520 adjusted 2, 832 3, 976 11,371 8,622 11,334 2, 757 3, 950 8, 643 11,347 2, 773 3, 931 8, 671 3, 922 8, 682 2, 765 11, 296 2, 792 3, 919 11, 252 8, 712 2, 766 3, 901 8, 734 11, 320 2, 742 3, 903 11, 355 8, 774 8,821 11,392 2,795 3,914 3, 942 2,776 11,437 8,835 2,770 3, 939 11,410 8, 865 2, 754 3, 939 11, 363 8, 936 11,365 2, 758 3, 929 8, 967 2, 720 3, 926 11, 368 8, 995 2,703 3, 908 11, 339 8, 967 meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining; finance, insurance, and real estate; and service and miscellaneous, not shown separately. 2 Preliminary. NOTE.—Revised series; see note, p. 13. Source: Department of Labor. 11 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK The average workweek of production workers in manufacturing was 40.3 hours (seasonally adjusted) in December, down from 40.6 hours in November. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 42 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 Ui 1958 1959 I960 I960 1961 44 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION RETAIL TRADE 40 38 36 34 32 1958 1959 1958 I960 Average hours per week: Manufacturing industries Period All 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 . ... 1960: November December 1961: January February. _ March April May _ June July August- _ September < Ictobcr N ovt'inlxT ° Dcri-inlxT » 40.7 40. 4 39. 8 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 3 38.5 39.0 39. 3 39. 3 39. 7 39.8 39.9 40.0 40. 0 39. 6 40.2 40. 6 40. 3 Contract Retail Non- construcDurable durable trade goods tion goods Hours per week 41. 3 39. 9 37. 1 41. 0 39. 6 37. 5 40. 3 39. 2 37. 0 39. 5 38.8 36. 8 40. 7 39. 7 37.0 40. 1 39. 2 36. 7 iSeasonoMi/ adjusted 39. 7 38. 7 36. 8 39. 0 38. 1 34.8 39. 3 38. 7 37.5 38. 8 39. 6 38. 1 39. 7 39. 1 36. 9 40. 0 39.3 35. 7 40. 2 39. 3 36. 3 40. 4 39. 5 36. 8 40. 5 39. 5 36. 9 40. 5 39. 3 37. 1 39.8 39.2 36. 7 40.6 39. 6 37. 2 41.2 39. 7 37. 5 41. 0 39. 7 (5) ll- to production workers or n on supervisory employees. Revised l f , p. III. n u t lot nl nonnprieuHural employment (p. 9), which includes persons i l tuit ill \vork for Kiicli reasons( as vacation, illness, bad weather, and .'-j'ttii-;;. 3U'f.'.lunii!jr January ] JGO, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 12 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEE SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 3 39. 6 39. 1 38. 7 38. 7 38. 7 38. 5 38. 5 38.2 38.3 38.4 38.2 38. 2 38. 3 38. 1 38. 2 37.9 38. 0 38. 0 37. 9 (5) Persons at work in nonagricultural 2industries by hours worked per week Under 35 hours Part-time for economic reasons Over 40 35-40 hours Total Usually Usually hours fullparttime 3 time * Millions of persons 14 years of age and over 27.0 8. 7 18. 0 ( ) (5) 1. 1 0.9 27. 3 9. 4 18. 7 1.2 1. 0 28. 6 9. 7 17. 6 1. 3 28. 3 1. 6 16. 6 10. 4 1.0 27. 7 11.7 1. 3 17. 3 1. 2 1. 3 28. 7 17.7 11. 5 5 17.0 18. 3 17.7 17. 4 17. 7 17. 7 18. 1 17.9 17.2 17.7 18.5 19. 3 19. 5 19. 7 24. 6 29. 3 29. 5 27.9 29. 6 29. 9 29. 8 29. 9 27. 8 28. 4 29. 0 28.4 29. 4 29. 1 18.2 11. 6 10. 9 12. 7 11. 4 11.3 11. 4 10. 5 9. 9 9. 7 1].2 11. 9 11. 3 11.3 1. 4 1. 5 1. 7 1. 7 1.5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 2 1. 1 1. 2 1. 1 1. 1 1. 1 n. i 1. 3 1. 3 1. 4 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 2. 0 1. 9 1.9 1. 4 1. 2 1. 3 '1.2 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. *fi Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. 6 Not available. Preliminary. r Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.2; usually part-time, 17.3. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were $2.37 in December, 1 cent above November. Average weekly earnings increased 17 cents in December to $95.99. AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 2.60 ZAO « 9O a.oo — 70 1958 1959 I960 1958 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Period Average hourly earnings— current prices Average weekly earnings— current prices Manufacturing industries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable structrade All goods tion goods Manufacturing industries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable trade strucAll goods tion goods 1951__ .. $1. 56 1.65 1952 1. 74 1953 1954 1. 78 1. 86 1955 1. 95 1956 2. 05 1957 2. 11 1958 2. 19 1959 2. 26 1960 1960: November... 2. 27 December 2. 29 2. 29 1961: January February 2. 29 2. 29 March. April 2. 31 May June July August September October 2 November2 __ December - _ 2. 32 2. 32 2. 33 2. 31 2. 33 2. 34 2. 36 2. 37 $1. 65 1.75 1. 86 1. 90 1. 99 2. 08 2. 19 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 43 2. 46 2. 45 2. 45 2. 46 2, 47 2. 48 2. 49 2. 49 2. 48 2. 50 2. 51 2. 53 2. 54 $1. 44 1. 51 1. 58 1. 62 1. 67 1. 77 1. 85 1. 91 1. 98 2. 05 2. 07 2. 09 2. 09 2. 09 2. 09 2. 10 2. 11 2. 11 2. 12 2. 10 2. 12 2. 13 2. 13 2. 14 $2. 02 2. 13 2. 28 2. 39 2. 45 2. 57 2. 71 2. 82 2. 93 3. 07 3. 10 3. 16 3. 17 3. 16 3. 14 3. 15 3. 16 3. 16 3. 16 3. 17 3. 22 3. 22 3. 24 (3) $1. 13 1. 18 1.25 1. 29 1.34 1. 40 1. 47 1. 52 1. 57 1. 62 1. 64 1. 61 1. 66 1. 65 1. 65 1. 67 1. 68 1. 69 1. 69 1. 69 1. 70 1.71 1.71 (3) 1 Earnings In current prices divided by the consumer price index on a I960 base. - Preliminary. Not available. 3 T812G"—62^-3 $63. 34 67. 16 70. 47 70. 49 75. 70 78. 78 81. 59 82. 71 88. 26 89. 72 89. 21 88. 62 89. 08 89. 31 89. 54 90. 78 92. 10 93. 03 93. 20 92. 86 92. 73 9-1. 5-1 95. 82 95. 99 $68. 48 72. 63 76. 63 76. 19 82. 19 85.28 88. 26 89. 27 96. 05 97. 44 96. 23 96. 19 96. 29 96. 29 97. 17 98. 31 99. 70 101. 09 100. 35 100. 44 100. 00 102. 66 103. 98 104. 39 $56. 88 59. 95 62. 57 63. 18 66. 63 70. 09 72. 52 74. 11 78. 61 80. 36 80. 52 79. 84 80. 47 80. 47 80. 88 81. 27 82. 29 83. 56 84. 16 83. 58 83. 74 84. 77 84. 99 85. 17 $76. 96 82. 86 86. 41 88. 91 90. 90 96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108. 41 112. 67 110. 98 108. 07 115. 39 114. 08 112. 41 112. 77 116. 29 119. 13 119. 76 122. 05 120. 43 123. 00 138. 26 (;i) $46. 22 47. 79 49. 75 51. 21 53. 06 54. 74 56. 89 58. 82 60. 76 62. 37 62. 48 61. 82 63. 25 62. 87 62. 70 63. 46 63. 84 64. 90 65. 57 65. 23 6-1. 60 64 64 64. 13 (3) Average weekly earnings, all manufacturing industries, 1960 prices ' $72. 22 74. 87 77. 95 77. 63 83. 65 85. 83 85. 88 84. 74 89. 60 89. 72 88. 59 87. 92 88. 46 88. 60 88. 83 90. 06 91. 46 92. 20 92. 00 91. 76 91. 45 93. 1 1 94. 50 3 () PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) rose 0.9 percent in December. The December index was 12.8 percent above the February 1961 low and 3.7 percent above the previous peak in January 1960. INDEX, 1957=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) ISO TOTAL INDEX, 1957 = 100 ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 120 110 100 90 80 70 1961 I960 70 70 1958 1961 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1000: November December 1001: January February . _ March.. . . April. Mnv ililiic Jnlv Hnntt'iiilx'r IWt'lln-1 ^MlVtstillH-r t$*W;ttt|il'r 1, , . .. - COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Manufacturing Total industrial production Total 80. 8 83. 8 90. 8 85. 4 96. 0 99. 3 100. 0 92. 9 104. 9 108. 0 104. 5 1 03. 0 102. 3 102. 1 102. 6 105. 6 108.3 110. 4 112. 0 113. 0 111. 0 112.8 114. 2 115. 2 81. 5 84. 8 92. 1 85. 8 96. 7 99.5 100. 0 92. 4 105. 3 108. 2 104. 1 102. 4 101. 4 101. 3 101. 9 105. 2 108. 2 110. 5 112. 2 113. 1 111. 0 112. 8 114. 2 115. 3 NonDurable durable 80. 3 85. 1 96. 0 85. 0 97. 9 100. 0 100. 0 86. 8 101. 5 104. 3 98. 0 95. 8 94. 6 94. 3 94. 7 98. 7 102. 7 105. 3 107. 3 107. 9 105. 1 106. 8 109. 1 110. 3 81.7 83. 3 86. 9 86. 9 95.0 98.9 100. 0 99. 9 110. 3 113. 4 112. 3 133. 2 110. 5 110. 8 111. 6 113. 9 115. 5 117. 4 119. 0 120. 2 118. 9 121. 0 121. 2 122. 0 Mining Utilities 87.3 86.5 88. 8 86. 2 94. 8 100. 1 300.0 91. 4 95. 3 97. 1 98. 0 97. 8 97. 6 96. 3 96. 3 97. 4 97. 1 97.6 97. 8 98. 7 97. 1 99. 5 100. 6 100. 5 60. 1 65. 2 71. 1 76. 5 85. 4 93. 6 100. 0 104. 5 115. 0 123. 1 122. 9 122. 9 124. 6 125. 1 124. 9 127.1 130.4 131. 5 131. 7 134. 0 135. 4 135. 8 136. 0 137. 0 Market Final products ConTotal sumer Equipment goods 79. 3 85. 2 90. 7 86. 5 94. 6 98.9 100. 0 95. 1 106. 5 110. 6 109. 0 108. 0 106. 6 106. 6 106. 7 109. 2 110. 8 112. 7 114. 3 114. 7 112. 9 llf. 5 117. 1 118. 2 80.6 82. 5 88. 1 87. 2 96. 5 98.7 100.0 99. 0 110. 0 114. 4 112. 7 111.7 110. 2 110. 2 •110. 6 113.7 115. 4 117. 8 119. 5 119. 8 116. 4 119. 5 120. 8 122. 2 75.0 90. 0 96. 1 85. 0 90. 9 99. 1 100. 0 87. 3 99. 5 102. 9 101.7 100. 6 99. 5 99.5 99. 0 100.1 101. 6 102. 4 103. 9 104. 7 105. 9 107. 4 109.8 110. 5 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Materials 82. 2 82. 7 90. 8 84. 4 97. 1 99. 7 100. 0 91. 0 103. 5 105. 7 101. 1 99. 0 98. 1 98. 2 99. 1 102.9 106. 2 108. 7 109. 5 111. 2 109. 2 110. 6 111. 3 111. 8 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Output of most manufactures—durable and nondurable—continued to rise in December, mstals and transportation led the increases. INDEX, 1957 = 100 ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Production of primary INDEX, 1957 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 140 100 120 120 - 100 1958 1959 I960 1961 I9S9 1958 I960 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV1SEKS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL 'RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 -1957 1958 1959 1960 1960: November December 1961: JanuaryFebruary March April May June JulyAugust September October November 1 December . 1 Preliminary. • Not available. Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, Primary cated Machin- tation and and petroapparel, beverery metals equipmetal prodand print- leum, and ages, and products ment ucts rubber tobacco leather ing _ .. _ -_ _ _ . 96.9 88.5 100. 3 81. 3 105.5 103.7 100. 0 78. 0 89. 5 90. 3 73.6 69. 3 71.2 72. 6 73.5 82.0 89.9 92. 3 94. 6 98. 2 98. 7 96.0 96.9 100 90. 0 87. 8 98.8 88.8 96. 9 97. 4 100. 0 91. 6 103.9 106. 0 101.0 100. 7 96.5 95.7 96.3 98.6 104, 8 107. 3 108. 1 111. 0 105.3 109. 8 111. 9 112 79.6 88.4 96. 4 84. 3 92. 6 102. 8 100.0 85. 2 102. 8 106. 4 102. 1 101.2 101. 3 100. 8 100. 5 102. 9 104. 3 107.3 110.2 108.5 107.8 108. 6 110. 3 112 59.0 68. 6 86. 2 78.7 95.9 91. 5 100. 0 84.2 97. 8 101. 7 96. 7 93. 3 88. 9 87. 6 88. 1 94.0 99.0 100. 6 102. 2 102. 7 94. 5 100. 5 105.9 109 102. 2 100. 9 106.7 103. 9 114. 2 109. 9 100. 0 99.7 113. 1 106.5 95. 1 95. 9 100. 2 99. 2 99. 8 105.7 106. 6 110. 6 111. 2 108.8 107.4 103. 4 104. 3 (2) 90. 1 92. 2 93.6 89. 6 98. 4 101. 1 100.0 99. 2 115. 2 114. 8 111. 1 107. 5 105.0 107.4 110. 2 111.8 113.3 115. 7 118. 2 120.3 118. 1 121. 7 120. 9 121 71.8 81. 1 79. 4 74 5 80.2 84. 5 79.3 86.9 94. 6 91. 8 99. 3 96. 3 100. 0 100. 0 99. 2 98. 8 107. 6 „_ 112. 7 111. 5 • 117.7 111. 9 116. 0 114. 6 110. 8 114.0 111.1 111.4 113. 4 111. 2 113. 3 118.0 113.1 113.6 121.7 114. 9 124.6 114. 8 127. 4 127.3 117.8 117. 1 125. 7 128. 0 117. 4 128. 1 118.3 121 130 88. 3 90. 2 91. 2 92. 8 96. 2 99. 8 100.0 102. 1 106. 5 109. 4 109. 5 110. 4 110. 2 110. 1 111. 2 111.9 112. 1 113. 1 113.9 114. 2 113.8 116. 1 116.2 116 Source: Board of Governors ol the Federal Reserve System. 15 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Steel production continued to increase during most of December and early January, slightly. The holidays curtailed December production in most areas. MILLIONS OF TONS MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS Auto assemblies dropped (DAILY A V E R A G E ) SOURCES: AMERICAN iRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC iNSTfTUTE, AMD WARD'S AUTOMOTJVE REPORTS. Period Weeklv average: 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 _ 1960: November December. 1961: January February March April May. 9. June July August_September October _ November 2 December _ \ \ r r k ended: 1901: December 2_9 16__ 23 22 . 30 2_3 1902: January 6 1 323 1 I );illy uvcrn^c. • ['rcliminm^ . ' N»l clurii'tl. 16 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Steel produced Cars and trucks power coal mined loaded produced assembled (thousands) Thousands distributed (thousands (thousands Index (thousands of net (1957-59 = (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of cars) of tons) tons 100) kilowatHiours) tons) ' 2,204 2, 162 1, 635 1,792 1, 899 1, 439 1, 321 1, 448 1,560 1, 600 1, 768 2,027 1, 993 1, 831 1, 955 2, 083 2, 071 2, 039 2, 165 118. 3 116. 0 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 77. 2 70. 9 77. 7 83. 7 85. 9 94. 9 108.8 107. 0 98. 3 104. 9 111. 8 111. 2 109. 4 116. 2 11, 292 11, 873 12,076 13, 206 14, 685 14, 394 15, 086 1 5, 098 14, 854 14, 473 14, 295 14, 223 15, 100 15,274 15, 917 15, 518 15, 146 Jo, 576 16, 287 1, 693 1, 644 1,380 1,380 1, 390 1,371 1, 273 1,303 1, 207 1, 081 1, 202 1, 288 1, 432 1, 288 1, 389 1,406 1,499 1, 504 1, 353 728 683 581 596 585 545 476 480 489 501 527 555 582 543 593 588 645 577 509 274 272 275 307 306 301 257 274 303 319 316 320 333 268 334 327 353 341 314 132.8 138. 6 98. 4 129. 5 151. 8 156. 3 136. 7 112. 2 113.2 109. 9 135. 8 141. 0 153. 1 118. 8 60. 3 103. 3 146. 2 174. 4 171. 2 111. 6 117. 6 81. 6 107. 6 128. 7 136. 1 116. 9 93. 8 91. 4 88.7 111. 7 118. 4 127. 5 97. 7 44. 6 83. 8 125. 1 149. 7 145. 4 21. 2 21. 0 16. 8 21. 9 23. 1 20.2 19. 9 18. 4 21. 9 21. 1 24. 1 22. 6 25. 5 21. 1 15.7 19. 6 21. 0 24. 7 25. 7 2,073 2, 158 2, 200 2, 225 2, 106 2,294 2, 300 111. 3 115. 8 118. 1 119. 4 113. 0 123. 1 123. 5 15, 16, 16, 16, 15, 16, 1, 478 1,404 1, 439 1, 435 1, 311 1, 479 574 561 533 520 422 469 332 339 342 335 241 163 190. 9 189. 2 193.4 174. 8 127. 2 139.6 168. 2 164. 161. 165. 149. 105. 121. 144. 26. 1 27. 8 28. 2 25. 5 21. 4 17. 6 24. 3 954 084 695 630 738 021 8 5 2 3 8 9 0 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Departnient of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION In December, outlays for new construction were $1.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) below the November level. The drop in public expenditures was partially offset by a rise in residential construction. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION so so T , _ , , , ,.[_i , , , , I !,,,,,! I,,.,,, I I !,,,,,! I I ! I I 1961 *SEE NOTE 3 IN TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Private Total new construction expenditures Period Total Residential (nonfarm) Commercial and industrial Other Construction contracts ' CommerTotal value, cial and inFederal, dustrial States State, and 48 (index, floor space local 1947-49 = (millions 100) of square feet) 2 Billions of dollars 1956 1957 1958 1959_. 1959 (new series) 45.8 47.8 49.0 54. 1 56. 6 55. 6 3 1960 . 33. 1 33.8 33. 5 38.0 40. 3 39. 6 17.7 17.0 18.0 22. 3 25.0 22. 5 6.7 7. 1 6.0 6. 0 6.0 7.0 8.7 9.6 9. 5 9. 7 9.3 10.0 12.7 14. 1 15. 5 16. 1 16. 2 16.0 Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1960: November, December 1961: January _ February March April May _ 56. 1 56. 6 56.0 55. 7 55. 8 55. 5 55. 5 57.2 57. 0 58. 0 58. 9 58. 9 61. 2 60. 0 39. 6 39. 6 38.6 38. 0 38. 5 39. 0 39.2 40. 3 41.2 41. 3 41. 7 41.8 42. 2 42. 7 22. 0 21. 9 20. 6 20. 0 20. 5 21.0 21.3 22. 3 23. 1 23. 3 23. 8 24. 0 24. 6 25. 2 June July AugustSeptember October November December 4 _ ' Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation. * Relates to 48 States beginning 1956 and to 37 Eastern States prior to 1956. Seasonal adjustment by National Bureau of Economic Research. 3 In addition to major differences between old and new series, data for Alaska and Hawaii are included beginning January 1959. 7. 4 7.5 7.9 7. 8 7.7 7. 6 7. 4 7.3 7. 2 7. 2 7. 3 7.3 7. 2 7. 2 231. 3 235. 4 256. 8 265. 4 265. 4 265. 7 10. 2 10.2 10.0 10. 1 10.3 10.4 10.6 10. 8 10. 8 10. 7 10. 6 10. 5 10. 4 10. 3 16. 5 17.0 17.4 17. 8 17.3 16.5 16.3 16. 9 15. 9 16. 7 17.2 17. I 19. 0 17. 3 * Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. "\V. noted). 280 302 273 239 262 261 257 281 277 293 2C.1 28!) 293 436 421 359 440 440 461 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 489 469 404 421 454 427 433 4 IS •123 'I'.l'.l •170 • I I Ir ) r>2. > 17 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housins starts decreased slightly in November to an annual rate of 1,350,000 units (seasonally adjusted). The number (unadjusted) of FHA applications and VA appraisal requests also decreased. MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) I96I I955 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION!FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION CVA). COUNCIL' OF ECONOMIC ADVISERET [Thousands of units! Total housing starts (farm and nonfarrn) Period Private Total private and public Total 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1959 ... _ 1960 1960: October November December. 1961: January February March April Mav... June_ Julv August September * October 4 November * 1 1 Units rcprascnted by mortgage applications for new home construction. Not nvntlalilo. • Kw Housing Starts, C 2O-11 (Supplement), Bureau of the Census, May HII-,O, for description. (Data lor Alaska and Hawaii included.) Private Government programs VA FHA Old series 1, 220. 4 1, 201. 7 (22) 1, 328. 9 1, 309. 5 (2 ) 1, 118. 1 1, 093. 9 (2) 1, 041. 9 992. 8 (2) 1, 209. 4 1, 141. 5 (2) 1, 378. 5 1, 342. 8 () New series 3 1, 553. 5 1, 516. 8 1, 531. 3 1, 494. 6 1, 296. 0 1, 252. 1 1, 274. 0 1, 230. 1 113. 2 110. 4 110. 1 107. 3 94. 5 92. 8 93. 5 91. 8 70. 9 64. 2 70. 4 63. 7 72. 5 71. 0 69. 8 68. 3 81. 0 77. 7 72. 5 75.8 109. 7 104. 6 107. 3 102. 2 115. 3 111. 0 113. 0 108. 7 130.7 128. 3 126. 6 124. 2 132. 4 138. 3 135. 3 129. 5 128. 5 126. 0 122. 7 125. 2 130. 1 127. 0 127. 3 124.2 128. 2 122. 4 126.5 120. 7 126. 0 128. 5 123. 8 121. 3 102. 5 105. 4 103. 8 100. 9 (22) (2) (2) (2 ) (2) () 1954 18 Total private and public Nonfarm housing starts 276. 3 276. 7 189.3 168. 4 295. 4 332. 5 307. 392. 270. 128. 102. 109. Private housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rates Proposed home construction Total farm and Nonfarrn nonfarm Applications for Requests for VA FHA commit- appraisals1 ments ' 0 9 7 3 1 3 338.6 306.2 197.7 198. 8 341. 7 369. 7 535. 4 620. 8 401. 5 159. 4 234. 2 234 0 369. 7 242. 4 18. 3 14. 8 13. 2 14.3 16. 9 24.0 20. 8 23. 9 23.4 20. 6 24. 4 19. 6 22. 1 17. 4 234.0 142. 9 10. 0 10. 3 10. 0 9. 4 12. 0 17.7 17. 5 14. 7 17.6 15. 1 17. 4 15. 7 16. 1 New series 3 332. 5 260. 9 22. 6 20. 2 13. 8 14. 0 13. 0 20. 1 20. 1 23. 7 22. 1 21. 3 25. 5 20. 9 23. 4 22. 9 109. 3 74. 6 5. 9 5. 5 4.8 4. 9 4. 9 6. 4 6. 1 8.0 7. 8 7. 3 8. 4 7. 3 9. 2 7. 3 1, 273 1, 220 996 1, 1S7 1, 169 1, 296 1, 166 1,291 1, 381 1, 343 1, 326 1, 383 1,432 1,SBO 1, 237 1, 20S 987 1,098 1, 115 1, 262 1, 143 1, 268 1, 351 1,318 1,301 1, 365 1,402 1,328 ia 5 ' Preliminary. Sources: Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), ^<^^~>. Department ^^^-. »uiw<. of w. ^w«^**i,*v and Veterans Administration (VA). TRADE SALES AND INVENTORIES Trade sales (seasonally adjusted) increased in November. Inventories of retailers rose while stocks of wholesalers dropped slightly. According to preliminary estimates, retail sales decreased 1 percent in December. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * 10 - I I ,- I INDEX, 1947-49'IOQ * 140 100 1958 1 1959 1958 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCES; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Wholesale Period Sales i Inventories 2 | Sales ' 3 Total COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Retail NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Department stores Inventories 2 Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1953 1954 1955 1956 ... 1957 1958 ... 1959 1960 1960: October November December _ 1961: January February March _ April May JuneJuly August September. October 6 6 November 6 December _ _ _ 9. 8 9. 7 10. 6 11. 3 11.3 11. 1 12. 3 12. 3 12. 2 12. 2 12.3 12. 2 12. 4 12. 5 12. 1 12. 8 12. 8 12. 5 12. 8 12. 1 12. 8 13. 1 10. 5 10. 4 11. 4 13. 0 12. 7 12.0 12. 6 13. 2 13. 2 13. 3 13.2 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13. 4 13. 5 13. 5 13. 6 13. 6 13. 5 13. 4 13.3 14. 1 14. 1 15. 3 15. 8 16. 7 16.7 18.0 18. 3 18. 5 18. 4 17.9 17. 8 17.8 18. 1 17. 9 18. 0 18.2 18. 0 18.2 18. ] 18. 6 19. 2 19. 0 1 Monthly average lor year and total for month. : Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 1 Beginning January I960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 4 End of period, except annual data, wbich are monthly averages. 6 Based on retail value. c Preliminary. 5.0 4. 8 5.6 5. 5 5.7 5. 3 6.0 5. 9 6. 1 5. 9 5.5 5. 4 5. 3 5. 5 5. 4 5.5 5.6 5. 5 5. 5 5.6 5. 9 6. 2 6.0 9. 1 9. 2 9. 7 10. 3 11. 0 11. 4 12. 0 12. 4 12. 5 12. 5 12. 4 12.4 12. 4 12. 6 12. 5 12.4 12. 6 12. 5 12.7 12. 5 12. 7 12. 9 13. 0 21. 5 20. 9 22.8 23. 4 24. 6 24. 3 25. 5 27. 2 27. 2 27. 4 27. 2 26. 8 26. 6 26. 1 26. 2 26. 2 26. 2 26. 3 26. 0 26. 3 26. 4 26. 8 9. 8 9. 3 10.5 10. 5 11. 4 10.7 11. 3 12. 3 12. 5 12. 5 12. 3 11. 9 11.7 11. 4 11. 2 11. 3 11. 4 11. 5 11. 0 11. 3 11. 3 11. 4 11. 7 11.7 12. 2 12. 9 13. 2 13. 6 14. 3 14. 9 14. 8 14.8 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 14. 7 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 15.0 15. 1 15. 2 15. 3 Sales ' Inventories * Index, 1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted 5 131 118 128 118 136 128 148 135 152 135 148 136 144 156 165 145 167 148 144 169 166 146 142 162 145 161 146 161 148 162 144 164 149 163 166 151 150 169 150 170 152 170 155 171 157 NOTE.—Series on retail inventories revised beginning 194G. See Survey of Current Business, December 1961. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 19 MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' sales and inventories (seasonally adjusted) rose again in November. from their October level. New orders were unchanged BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 60 SO 10 DURABLE GOODS \ _MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS. 30 NONDURABLE GOODS V NONDURABLE GOODS h „_,»«** ^nn**"^ * ^ 1 DURABLE GOODS 1961 ISS6 1959 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Manufacturers' sales l Period Total 1953— 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1960: October November December. 1961: January February March _ April May . June July._ August September. October 3 3 November __ _ 1 NonDurable durable goods goods 24. 5 23. 5 26. 3 27. 7 28. 4 26. 2 29. 7 30. 4 29. 6 29. 2 29. 1 28. 7 29. 0 29. 6 30. 1 30. 8 30. 9 31. 2 31. 4 31. 4 31. 8 32. 2 M o n t h l y average for year and total for month. '• Hook v i i l u r , end of period, seasonally adjusted. 20 12.4 11. 2 13. 1 13. 8 14. 2 12. 4 14. 5 14. 7 14. 1 13. 8 13. 6 13. 2 13. 3 13.7 14 1 14.6 14.7 14. 8 15. 0 15. 0 15. 3 15. 7 12. 1 12. 3 13. 3 13. 9 14. 2 13. 8 15. 2 15. 7 15. 5 15. 4 15. 5 15. 5 15. 7 15. 9 16. 0 16. 2 16. 2 16. 4 16. 4 16. 4 16. 5 16. 6 Manufacturers' inventories 2 NonDurable durable goods goods Total 45. 4 43. 0 46. 4 52.3 53. 5 49. 2 52, 4 53. 7 54. 4 54. 0 53.7 53. 7 53. 6 53. 3 53. 4 53. 4 53. 4 53. 6 54. 0 54. 4 54. 8 55. 0 26. 2 24. 1 26. 7 30. 7 31. 1 27. 9 30. 1 30. 9 31. 4 31. 1 30. 9 30. 8 30. 6 30. 3 30. 2 30. 2 30. 2 30. 4 30. 8 31. 1 31. 4 31. 6 3 19. 2 18. 9 19. 7 21. 6 22. 4 21. 3 22. 3 22. 9 23. 0 22. 9 22. 9 22. 9 23. 0 23. 0 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 3 23. 4 23. 4 Manufacturers' new orders Total 23. 1 22. 5 27. 2 28.3 27. 3 25. 9 30. 1 29. 9 29. 2 29. 0 28. 7 28. 5 29. 1 29. 9 30. 4 31. 1 31. 1 31. 3 32. 1 32. 3 32. 7 32. 7 Preliminary. Source: Department of Commerce. l Durable goods NonMachinery durable and goods Total equipment 3.3 12. 1 11. 0 10.2 12. 3 3. 1 13. 3 13. 9 4. 2 14. 4 4. 7 13. 9 14. 2 13. 1 4. 4 12. 0 13. 9 3. 9 14. 9 15. 3 5. 0 14. 3 15. 7 4. 9 15. 5 13. 7 4. 7 4. 8 15. 4 13. 6 4.7 15. 5 13. 2 4.8 12. 9 15. 6 4. 8 15. 8 13. 4 16. 0 13. 8 5. 1 5.0 16. 1 14. 4 16. 3 14. 8 5. 2 16. 2 14. 9 5. 3 15. 0 16. 3 5. 3 5.6 16. 5 15. 6 16. 5 15. 8 5. 5 5. 7 16. 6 16. 1 16. 5 16. 2 5. 8 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS Exports and imports (seasonally adjusted) both fell in November, but remained well above average levels earlier in the year. The monthly trade surplus exceeded $400 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS £.s BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED e.o MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING MUTUAL SECURITY PROGRAM SHIPMENTS X 1.6 i.o 1.0 I9SS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, AND DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Period [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports excluding Merchandise imports Mutual Security Program shipments Total (includGeneral 5imDomestic exports Imports for consumption 3 ing reexports)1 ports Indus- Finished Indus- Finished Season- Unad- Total » Food- trial manu- Season- Unad- Total Food- trial manually ad- justed ally adstuffs matestuffs facfacmatejusted rials tures > justed justed rials tures Monthly average: 1951 19521953 1954 .. 1955 . _ _ 1956 1957 1958— 1959_. 196CL 1960: October November December 1961: January February March... . . . . April _ May June July August September October November 1, 164 1, 100 1,022 1,071 1, 191 1,444 1,625 1,364 1,366 1, 629 I, 707 1,677 1, 621 1,649 1,764 1,687 1,655 1,554 1,591 1,707 1,670 1, 629 1,820 1, 706 1,690 1,724 1,743 1,539 1, 606 1,889 1, 647 1,671 1,644 1,558 1,598 1,557 1,817 1,759 1,151 190 345 1,088 175 300 1,012 143 254 1,060 131 310 162 1, 180 351 1,432 216 441 1,610 529 208 1,350 198 368 1,351 210 365 230 1,613 509 Unadjusted 1,676 246 524 1,710 247 569 1,724 250 580 222 494 1,511 1,594 245 492 1,859 283 525 1,629 242 454 1,653 262 474 1,623 239 457 1,539 446 231 1,579 226 493 1,540 225 453 1,794 309 522 1,740 288 513 ' Total exports less Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies ana equipment under the Mutual Security Program. 2 Imports for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVTStBS 914 893 906 851 949 1,051 1,082 1,070 1,267 1,221 616 612 614 620 667 775 872 784 776 874 905 894 894 795 856 1,051 933 917 927 862 860 862 963 940 1,196 1, 1S8 1,100 1,119 1,182 1,127 1,189 1,117 1,181 1,S71 1, S43 1,848 1,319 1,289 1, 157 1,161 1,157 1, 124 1,046 1,230 1,042 1,194 1,220 1,268 1,234 1,176 1,340 1,320 901 258 263 896 274 898 853 276 945 260 1,043 267 274 1,079 1,062 287 1,249 285 1,221 274 Unadjusted 1, 157 268 280 1,176 1,151 265 1, 112 260 250 1,037 311 1,235 251 1,046 264 1,188 1,189 287 1,241 275 1,250 285 266 1,176 301 1,335 1,315 295 485 459 441 394 468 508 511 450 534 509 158 174 183 183 217 268 294 325 431 438 463 465 474 470 438 502 428 497 492 511 511 495 555 541 425 431 412 382 348 422 367 427 410 455 454 415 479 479 3 Imports for immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from bonded warehouses. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. 21 U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS A sharp rise in imports of goods and services in the third quarter more than offset a rise in exports.The overall deficit of the United States, as measured by U.S. gold sales and increases in foreign dollar assets, rose to $3.4 billion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. BILL.IONS 40 OF DOLLARS * BILL 40 U.S. PAYMENTS i*^ "v / ^» »*»""^»fci»x ^s/ ^"^^ 20 TOTAL \ 30 U.S. RECEIPTS 20 U.S. PAYMENTS _^^*>* 30- i ^ IONS OF DOLLARS * , afffflnnt*. J! ^^^^^^^^^Slt«« Iftll^liiliisn'^poRTs^iF^G'o'oo^'iil^i^ll^ l l l l l l l | l | l i l l | l IO 0 10 L ' ! i 1 1 L i i 1 1 ! 0 20 40 U.S. RECEIPTS TOTAL IO 30 '/ ^fc_ O 1 1 1 |>g | | 11 1 1 | 1 ja \ ML»tJlrf8frtl_ -*3 20 I ' i l l l l l l i i l l i l l EXPORTS OF GOODS l l i | | i | l | | f l l l | | | | | i | | i | | | 10 -10 -20 r i i i 1958 *SE i i t i , , , 1959 1 1960 , , , , 0 196! 1958 1959 I960 1961 ASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. •^m CLUDES UNRECORDED TRANSACTIONS, EXCLUDES LIQUID DOLLAR ASSET s. s<JURCE'- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars) U.S. receipts (recorded) Period Increase in foreign Balance Unreon regold and corded Foreign U.S. grants and capital (net) corded recorded transaccapital transliquid Exports other Imports tions — U.S. actions dollar of Private capital of errors and Governthan (net pay- omissions assets goods goods liquid through ment ments ( — ) and and Total ' (net dollar services grants transacor receipts receipts) services assets Total Direct and tions with ( + )] (net) capital the U.S. 1954 1955 ... _ 1956 . 1957 1958 1959 1960 . 17, 949 20, 003 23, 705 26, 733 23, 325 23, 709 27, 300 210 351 576 428 -27 709 200 1960: 26, 260 27, 312 27, 416 28, 212 28, 464 27, 528 27, 884 724 372 68 -364 796 1, 100 -8 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1901: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter 1 1 li K lury Mi $74n ' l< in mi U.S. payments (recorded) 16, 088 17, 937 19, 829 20, 923 21, 053 23, 537 23, 327 23, 24, 23, 22, 22, 22, 24, 700 096 496 016 076 088 112 3, 788 664 1, 554 1, 619 -1,717 4, 007 2, 211 1, 211 779 - 1, 590 6,017 2, 362 2, 990 1, 859 -1,565 6, 451 2, 574 3, 175 2, 058 -213 6, 153 2 2, 587 2, 844 1, 094 -3,908 2 5, 152 1, 986 2, 375 1, 372 — 4, 271 7, 454 2, 750 3, 856 1, 694 -3,281 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 5, 896 2, 328 2, 776 1, 376 -2, 612 6, 072 -2,484 2, 780 2, 440 1, 040 7, 588 3 2, 420 4 4, 340 1, 624 34-3, 600 10, 260 3, 472 5, 868 • 2, 736 -4, 428 8, 468 3,476 4, 156 2,000 -1,284 3, 912 32 3,060 1, 320 2, 628 7, 700 3, 736 3, 120 1, 652 -3,936 :!uilcs remittances and pensions not shown separately. t- tides $1,375 million increase in U.S. subscription to International Monet nd. •! idt-s U.S. subscription to International Development Association of 1 Ion ($2SC million at annual rate). •! ides ttaRle direct Investment transaction of $370 million ($1,480 million i nl rate). 22 167 446 643 748 380 528 -648 132 -568 -848 -1, 308 -100 -1, 636 500 1, 550 1, 144 922 -535 3, 528 3,743 3,929 2, 480 3, 052 4, 448 3 * 5, 736 1, 384 5 -992 6 3, 436 6 Includes advance debt repayment and interest payments on U.S. Governrnent loans of $774 million ($3.1 billion at annual rate), 6 Belore adjustment for receipts of principal and interest on government loans paid in the previous quarter, ,T _ , , , , . * , ^ j NoTE.-Data exclude goods and services transferred under military grants. Source: Department of Commerce. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index declined in November as seasonal drops in food prices and a fall in the average of nonfood commodity prices more than offset the continued rise in service prices. INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 INDEX, 1947-49=100 130 H'^ar ' 1955 1956 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR _ All items Period 1950 1951-, ... ... _ 1952 . 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957__ 1958 1959 1960 1960: October November. _ December 1961: January February March April May JuneJuly August _ September October _ _ November Source: Department of Labor. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC UfffHK . 102. 8 111. 0 113. 5 114 4 114 8 114 5 116. 2 120. 2 123. 5 124 6 126. 5 127. 3 127.4 127.5 127.4 127. 5 127. 5 127. 5 127. 4 127. 6 128. 1 128. 0 128. 3 128. 4 128.3 [1947-49 = 100] Commodities Services Commodities less food Services All comAll Food Rent less modities Nonservices All Durable durable rent 101. 2 110. 3 111. 7 111. 3 110. 2 109. 0 110. 1 113. 6 116. 3 116. 6 117. 5 118. 2 118. 3 118. 4 118. 0 118. 1 118. 0 117. 9 117.7 118. 0 118.7 118. 4 118. 7 118. 8 118. 5 101. 2 112. 6 114 6 112. 8 112. 6 110.9 111.7 115. 4 120. 3 118. 3 119. 7 120. 9 121. 1 121. 4 121. 3 121. 4 121. 2 121. 2 120. 7 120. 9 122. 0 121. 2 121. 1 120. 9 120. 3 101. 3 ioa 9 109. 8 110. 0 ioa 6 107. 5 ioa 9 112.3 113. 4 115. 1 115. 7 115. 9 115. 9 115. 9 115. 4 115. 5 115. 4 115. 2 115. 3 115. 6 116. 0 116. 1 116. 6 117.0 116. 9 104 4 112. 4 113. 8 112. 6 ioa 3 105. 1 105. 1 ioa s 110. 5 113. 0 111. 6 110. 9 110. 7 110. 8 110. 2 110. 3 109.9 110.7 110. 8 111. 2 111. 5 111. 9 111. 9 112. 7 112. 6 100. 9 ioa 5 109. 1 110. 1 110.6 110. 6 113. 0 116. 1 116. 9 118.3 120. 1 120.9 121. 1 121. 0 120. 5 120. 6 120.7 120. 0 120.0 120.3 120. 6 120.7 121. 5 121. 5 121. 5 ioa 5 114 1 119. 3 124 2 127. 5 129.8 132. 6 137. 7 142. 4 145. 8 150. 0 151. 2 151. 3 151. 4 151. 7 151. 9 152. 2 152. 3 152. 5 152. 7 152. 8 153. 0 1 53. 2 153. 4 153. 7 108. 8 113. 1 117. 9 124. 1 12a 5 130. 3 132. 7 135. 2 137.7 139. 7 141. 8 142. 5 142. 7 142. 8 142.9 143. 1 143. 1 143. 3 143. 4 143. 5 143. 6 143. 6 1 43. 9 144. 1 144. 2 108. 1 114 6 120. 1 124. 6 127. 7 130. 1 133. 0 isa 6 143. 8 147. 5 152. 1 153. 4 153. 6 153. 6 154. 0 154. 2 154. (i 154, 7 154. 9 155.r 0 15. . 2 15f. -1 1 5.rr. (i 15. . 8 15C. 1 23 WHOLESALE PRICES The average of wholesale prices advanced 0.3 percent in December, led by processed food prices which rose 0.8 percent. Prices of farm products and industrials were also higher. INDEX, 1947-49*100 INDEX, 1947-49=100 COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS) 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1047-49 = 100] All commodities Period 1953 1954 1955.1956 1957. 1958 1959 19GO. I960: October.. . .. November. _ December.. 1 90 1 : January February _ March April.. May June July.. August September ( )ctobor Noveinber. Doermbcr. _ .. 110. 1 110. 3 110. 7 114 3 117. 6 119. 2 119. 5 119.6 119. 6 119. 6 119. 5 119. 9 120. 0 119. 9 119. 4 118. 7 118. 2 118. 6 118. 9 118. 8 118. 7 118. 8 119. 2 Farm products 97. 0 95. 6 89. 6 88. 4 90. 9 94 9 89. 1 88. 8 89. 5 89. 9 88. 7 89. 7 90. 0 89. 9 88. 5 86. 8 85. 1 87. 1 88. 6 87. 2 87. 1 87. 6 87.9 Processed foods 104 6 105. 3 101. 7 101. 7 105. 6 110. 9 107.0 107. 7 109. 0 109. 1 109. 2 109. 9 110. 5 109.6 108.7 107. 5 106. 7 107. 5 108. 1 108. 1 108. 3 107. 9 108. 8 ge of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage ol this index.. 'Kxeludcs intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured anirrml feeds; includes, in part, groin products for further processing. 24 Commodities other than farm products and foods (industrials) Consumer finIndusIndusished goods exAll intrial trial in- Producer fincluding food dustricrude termediished als 1 mate- ate maDurNon2 goods terials durable rials able 114. 0 108. 5 116. 2 123. 1 113. 8 106. 9 114. 5 103. 3 114. 7 116. 7 124 7 107. 2 117. 0 113. 4 120. 1 128. 5 115. 9 107. 8 122. 2 120. 0 126. 0 119. 7 138. 1 109. 9 125. 6 112. 4 118. 3 129. 3 146. 7 123. 3 126. 0 113. 7 129. 1 150. 3 125. 0 111. 7 128. 2 120. 0 153. 2 126. 5 131. 2 113. 4 128. 3 115. 3 131. 7 153. 8 114. 1 126. 1 128. 0 112. 7 131. 3 153. 4 125. 7 114. 8 127. 9 111. 8 131. 0 153. 6 125. 8 114 7 127. 9 130. 9 1 25. 8 111. 0 153. 8 114. 7 128. 1 111. 3 130. 8 154 0 114 9 125. 8 112. 1 128. 1 130. 7 153. 9 125. 6 115. 2 128. 2 130. 7 113. 3 153. 8 125. 5 115. 0 128. 0 113. 3 130. 6 153. 7 114. 2 125. 5 127. 6 113. 3 153. 7 129. 9 125. 5 113.5 127. 4 113. 6 129. 8 153.9 113. 8 125. 6 127. 4 114. 4 129. 6 153. 8 125. 6 113. 9 129. 5 127.4 115. 8 153. 8 125. 5 114 0 127. 5 116. 4 129. 8 153. 8 125. 5 113.9 127. 3 129. 6 117. 0 154. 0 125. 3 113. 8 127. 5 114. 1 129. 7 154. 1 125. 4 114. 1 114. 2 127. 7 129. 8 154. 3 114 5 125. 4 Source: Department of Labor. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended December 15, the index of prices received and paid by farmers increased. unchanged. The parity ratio was =ibo INDEX, I9IO-I4 INDEX, I9IO-I4»IOO 325 325 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 250 225 200 ZOO RATIO U RATIO -^ PARITY RATIO °""«.-.n,m.X, ,<••""""•«••«„. \,.«'""S, ..X1"'"""'"""""' "•""•>.,„„, «„„.••"""••»«>«."•" """"" ''"'" 75 75 t t t r I t 1 I I I I f 1955 1956 "" ""••„„„,*«•""•••«••' 1957 1958 1959 I960 •"RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WASE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by farmers Period 1951 1952 ... 1953 1954 1955 1956 . 1957 1958 .. 1959 1960 1960: November 15 December 15 1961: January 15 February 15 March 15. __ April 15 Mav 15 June 15 July 15 August 15 September 15 _ October 15 November 15 December 15 All farm products __ _ _„ _ 302 288 255 246 232 230 235 250 240 238 241 242 241 244 243 239 236 234 237 241 242 240 238 240 Crops 265 267 240 242 231 235 225 223 221 221 219 217 218 221 224 226 230 231 232 229 229 226 223 224 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. Prices paid by farmers All items, interest, Livestock taxes, Family Producand and tion living wage rates items products items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 282 273 268 336 274 287 271 306 269 256 277 268 277 255 249 270 234 276 251 270 274 250 226 278 286 282 244 257 264 293 287 273 297 256 288 266 299 290 265 253 262 297 291 260 298 263 265 291 301 291 267 261 302 267 263 291 302 268 259 290 302 267 290 251 302 266 241 291 265 236 300 290 264 300 290 241 290 265 301 251 266 252 301 291 252 301 265 291 291 265 250 301 302 267 255 292 Parity ratio ' 107 100 92 89 84 83 82 85 81 80 81 81 80 81 80 79 78 78 79 80 80 80 79 79 Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY The money supply increased more than seasonally in December. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ISO BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ISO 130 - - 130 120 IOO 100 80 80 U 1955 1956 1957 1961 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars! Money supply Seasonally adjusted Period Total 1953: 1954: 1955' 1956' 1957" 1958' 195^: 1960: I960* December December December December December December December December November December 1961' January February March April May June July August September __ ( )ctober November December 2 First half Second half 1 2 Deposits nt nil commercial banks. * I'rclUnlnury. 26 128. 1 131. 8 134. 6 136. 5 135. 5 140. 8 141. 5 140. 4 140. 2 140. 4 140. 6 141. 2 141. 5 142. 0 142. 0 142. 1 142. 0 141. 8 143. 0 143. 7 144 1 144. 9 144. 4 145. 5 Currency outside banks 27. 7 27. 4 27. 8 28. 2 28. 3 28. 6 28. 9 29. 0 29. 0 29. 0 28. 9 28. 9 29. 0 29.0 29. 0 28. 9 29. 0 29.0 29. 2 29. 3 29. 4 29. 5 29. 4 29. 6 Eelated deposits (unadjusted) 1 Unadjusted Demand deposits ' 100. 104. 106. 108. 107. 112. 112. 111. 111. 111. 111. 112. 112. 113. 113. 113. 113. 112. 113. 114. 114. J15. 114. 115. 4 4 8 3 2 2 6 4 2 4 7 3 6 0 0 2 0 8 8 4 6 4 9 9 Total 131. 4 135.0 137.9 139. 7 138. 8 144. 3 144. 9 143. 8 141. 4 143.8 143.7 140. 9 140. 1 141. 7 140. 0 140. 7 141. 1 141. 1 142. 4 143. 6 145. 3 148. 5 147. 4 149. 5 Currency outside banks 28. 2 27. 9 28. 3 28. 7 28.9 29. 2 29. 5 29. 5 29. 2 29. 5 28.8 28. 6 28.6 28. 7 28. 7 28. 9 29. 2 29. 2 29. 3 29. 4 29. 7 30. 1 30. 0 30. 2 Demand deposits ' 103. 3 107. 1 109. 6 111. 0 109.9 115. 1 115. 5 114. 3 112. 2 114. 3 114, 9 112. 3 111. 4 113. 0 111. 3 111. 8 111. 9 111. 9 113. 1 114. 2 115. 6 118. 4 117. 3 119. 3 Gross time 44. 7 48. 5 50.0 51. 8 57. 1 65. 1 67. 0 72. 5 72. 0 72. 5 73. 7 75. 1 75. 9 76. 9 78. 1 79. 0 79. 9 80. 7 81. 3 82.0 82. 0 82. 3 82. 1 82. 4 NOTE.—See note, p. 27. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Government demand 3. 8 5. 0 3. 4 3. 4 3. 5 3. 9 4, 9 4. 7 5.8 4.7 4. 1 4. 8 4. 7 2. 9 4. 6 4. 5 4. 3 5. 5 5. 2 6. 5 5.8 4, 9 4. 3 5. 5 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans increased ?3.5 billion in December, compared to a rise of $2.6 billion in December 1960. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 200 ISO 150 BANK LOANS \__ 100 INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commercial banks End of period » 1953 1954 _ _ 1955 1956 1957 1958-. 1959 1960 1960: November. December 1961: January February March ApriL_ _ _ __ _ Mav June-5 July 6 August _ 5 September - _ _ ._ _ _ October 5 5 November _ December 5 - _ Investments Total loans and investments Loans 145. 7 155. 9 160. 9 165. 1 170. 1 185. 2 190. 3 199. 5 195. 5 199. 5 197. 0 199. 3 198.0 199. 7 201. 2 201. 8 205. 1 205. 1 210.0 210. 3 211. 3 215. 6 67. 6 70. 6 82. 6 90. 3 93. 9 98. 2 110.8 117. 6 115. 0 117. 6 114. 2 116. 7 116. 6 117. 2 117. 9 118. 0 118. 1 118. 5 120. 8 120. 5 121. 7 125. 2 U.S. Government securities Billions of dollars 63. 4 14. 7 69. 0 16. 3 61. 6 16. 7 16. 3 58. 6 17. 9 58. 2 66. 4 20. 6 58. 9 20.5 20. 9 61. 0 60. 2 20. 3 61. 0 20. 9 61. 9 20. 9 21. 3 61. 3 59. 7 21.7 60. 7 21. 8 61.5 21. 9 22. 1 61. 8 64. 7 22. 3 64. 2 22. 5 66.0 23. 2 66. 6 23.2 66. 2 23. 4 66. 5 23. 9 i Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Beserve System. * Commercial and industrial loans and prior to 1966 agricultural loans. Series revised beginning January 1952, October 1955, July 1958, July 1959, and April 1961. 1 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. Prior to 1955, relates to 344 centers outside New York City. • Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. Other securities Weekly reporting member banks * Business loans 2 23. 4 22. 4 26. 7 30. 8 31. 8 2 31. 7 2 30. 5 31. 9 31. 7 31. 9 31. 2 31. 3 32.0 2 31. 7 31. 5 31. 8 31. 3 31. 5 31. 8 31. 9 32. 1 32. 9 2 Bank All member banks1 debits outside New York Reserves * BorrowCity (343 ings at centers) , Federal seasonally adjusted Required Excess Reserve Banks * annual rates * Millions of dollars 441 693 1, 126 19, 227 703 246 1, 148 18, 576 594 839 1, 277 18, 646 652 688 1, S8S 18, 883 577 710 1, 468 18, 843 516 557 1,481 18, 383 18, 450 482 1,656 906 769 1, 738 18, 514 87 142 756 1, 768 18, 248 769 87 1, 711 18, 514 1, 783 18, 570 745 49 654 137 1, 775 18, 310 1, 775 18, 263 546 70 1, 783 18, 266 56 618 549 18, 307 96 1,87% 612 18, 430 63 1,846 1,817 18, 482 581 51 604 18, 619 67 1,854 1,818 18, 783 589 37 507 1, 891 19, 153 65 614 1,918 19, 218 105 572 19, 545 149 1 Preliminary. NOTE.—Between January and August 1959, series for all commercial banks expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all member banks include Alaska and Hawaii for all periods. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 CONSUMER CREDIT In November, consumer credit outstanding rose about $5 50 mil lion, compared to a rise of $3 20 mil I ion in November 1960. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS Of DOLLARS END OF MONTH TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING NONINSTALMENT CREDIT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED ^••IINSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID 3 Li i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i 1956 I 1957 I 1958 1959 1961 1960 Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 ... 1955 1956 __ . ._ 1957.. ... 1958 1959 1960 1960: October ... November December _ 1961: January. February March April May ._ June July. August September October November [Millions of dollars) Consumer credit outstanding (end of period; unadjusted) Instalment NonAutomoTotal instal-3 Total ! bile 2 ment paper 22, 712 15, 294 5,972 7,418 27, 520 19, 403 8, 117 7, 733 23, 005 31, 393 8,388 9, 835 32, 464 8,896 23, 568 9,809 38, 807 28, 883 13, 437 9,924 42, 262 31, 648 10, 614 14, 348 44, 848 33, 745 15, 218 11, 103 44, 984 33, 497 14, 007 11,487 51, 331 39, 034 16, 209 12, 297 55, 757 42, 588 17, 444 13, 169 53, 979 41, 859 17, 553 12, 120 54, 298 41, 996 17, 544 12, 302 55, 757 42, 588 17, 444 13, 169 54, 726 42, 122 12, 604 17, 220 41, 662 53, 843 17, 017 12, 181 53, 641 41, 465 16, 922 12, 176 53, 756 41, 423 12, 333 16, 877 54, 196 41, 584 12, 612 16, 933 54, 602 41, 888 12, 714 17, 061 54, 505 41, 909 17, 063 12, 596 42, 090 54, 739 12, 649 17, 061 54, 757 42, 039 16, 902 12, 718 54, 902 42, 181 12, 721 16, 913 55, 451 42, 419 16, 960 13, 032 1 Also includes other consumer goods paper, repair and modernization Joans, mi iHsrsomil loans, not shown separately. •Consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and criirni by the items purchased. 3 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 28 I 1962 COUNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Consumer instalment credit extended and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Automobile paper 2 Total ' Extended 23, 576 29, 514 31, 558 31,051 38, 944 39, 775 41, 871 39, 962 47, 818 49, 313 4,034 4,018 3, 984 3, 866 3, 812 3, 894 3, 800 3, 907 3, 962 3,909 4, 038 3,942 4, 209 4, 317 Repaid 22, 985 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 629 37, 009 39, 775 40, 211 42, 435 45, 759 3, 862 3, 856 3, 866 3, 875 3, 889 3, 907 3, 907 3, 895 3,962 3, 937 3, 994 3, 956 4,028 4,017 Extended 8,956 11, 764 12, 981 11,807 16, 706 15, 421 16, 321 14, 069 17, 544 17, 408 1,399 1, 408 1, 351 1, 286 1, 216 1,255 1,225 1, 270 1,296 1,300 1, 302 1,271 1,405 1, 511 Repaid 9, 058 10, 003 10. 879 11,833 13, 077 14, 510 15, 451 15, 281 15, 411 16, 172 1,365 1, 358 1,348 1,356 1, 353 1,348 1, 356 1, 336 1, 354 1, 364 1, 362 1,350 1,372 1, 359 NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1955. For details, see Federal Reserve Bulletin, December 1961. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES The rate on 3-month Treasury bills and on most bonds averaged higher in December than November. bills rose further in early January. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 1961 1955 SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] V. S. Government High-grade security yields municipal bonds 3-month Taxable (Standard3 & a Treasury bonds bills ' Poor's) Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 _ 1958 1959 . . I960.. .._ 1960: November December 1961: January _ _ February _ _ March April _ _ May June July August September October __ November _ _ December _ Week ended: 1961: December 2 9 16 23 30.. 1962: January 6* 13*. 1 1 „- ._ . . 3.36 3. 89 3.79 4.38 4.41 4.31 4.35 4.32 4,27 4.22 4. 25 4. 27 4.33 4. 41 4.45 4.45 4.42 4. 39 4. 42 3.53 3.88 4.71 4.73 5.05 5. 19 5. 08 5.10 5. 10 5.07 5.02 5. 01 5. 01 5.03 5.09 5. 11 5.12 5. 13 5. 11 5. 10 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 1. 58 2. 18 3. 31 3. 81 •2. 46 3. 97 3.85 3.28 3.23 2.98 3.03 3.03 2.91 2.76 2.91 2. 72 2.92 3.05 3.00 2.98 3.19 4.38 4.39 4.42 4.44 4. 44 4. 43 4. 42 5. 10 5. 10 5.11 5. 11 5. 10 5.11 5.09 3. 10 3. 13 3. 15 3.25 3.25 3. 25 3. 25 Aaa ago a oe 4. 08 4.02 3. 93 3.88 3.89 3.81 3.78 3.80 3.73 3.88 3. 90 4,00 4.02 3. 98 3.98 4.06 4.01 4.05 4. 06 4.06 4. 07 4.06 4.08 3.50 3. 52 3.53 3.48 3.44 3. 39 3. 32 2. 55 2. 84 3.08 3.47 2.606 2.625 2. 579 2. 670 2.594 2.703 2.823 a 43 3 Corporate bonds (Moody's) 2.37 2.53 2.93 3.60 3. 56 3. 95 3.73 3.46 3.45 3.44 3.33 3.38 3. 44 3. 38 3. 53 3.53 3.55 3.54 3.46 3.44 3.49 0.953 1. 753 2.658 3.267 1.839 3.405 2. 928 2. 384 2.272 2.302 2.408 2. 420 2.327 2. 288 2. 359 2.268 2.402 2.304 2.350 2.458 2.617 Eate on new issues within period. Series includes: AprE 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after; April 1952-March 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; October 1941-March 1852, bonds due or callable after 15 years. The rate on Baa a 51 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. • Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. STOCK PRICES Stock prices averaged somewhat higher in December than November but declined in early January. 1955 1956 1957 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Period Weekly average: 1952 1953 ._. . 1954 _ 1955 1956 1957_ _ 1958 _ ... .1959 1960 I960- November December 1961: January... ._ February. March April Mav June July . _ _ August September October November December\\Yck ended: I'.MH: December 15 22 29 _ _ 1W2: January 5 22 12 Composite index ' [1957-59=1001 Manufacturing NonDurable Total durable goods goods Utilities Trade, finance, and service Mining 52. 3 51. 9 61. 7 81. 8 92. 6 89.8 93.2 116. 7 113. 9 112. 6 115. 2 120. 9 125. 4 129. 8 133. 0 134. 9 132. 8 132. 7 137. 4 136. 2 138. 0 144. 0 145. 8 46. 8 46. 7 57. 6 79. 5 93. 2 90.7 92. 5 116. 5 110. 9 108. 5 110. 3 115. 3 119. 2 123. 9 125. 8 127. 6 126. 0 125. 2 130. 1 128. 9 129. 1 133. 7 135. 6 42. 1 43. 0 54. 7 78.7 91. 5 88.5 90. 4 120. 8 117. 3 113. 0 114. 5 118. 6 121. 4 127. 8 128. 5 130. 6 128. 0 126. 5 131.3 131.7 132. 2 135. 7 138. 1 50. 7 49. 8 60. 0 80. 1 94. 5 92. 8 94. 4 112. 6 104. 9 104. 5 106. 4 112. 2 117. 3 120. 3 123. 3 124. 9 124. 2 123. 9 129. 0 126. 4 126. 4 131. 9 133. 3 74. 6 73. 9 78.6 108. 2 110. 6 93. 2 91. 0 115. 6 95. 8 91. 7 92. 6 100. 3 102. 6 104. 2 103. 4 107. 5 105. 1 103. 2 107. 0 106.8 110. 1 109. 9 107.9 65. 4 67.3 75. 3 84. 8 86. 4 86. 3 95. 8 117. 6 129. 3 132. 0 138. 5 148.7 156. 0 159. 2 168. 9 170. 0 164. 0 166. 7 170. 6 168. 9 173.9 186.0 188.4 60. 4 60. 8 69. 1 87. 1 89.9 82. 2 95. 1 122. 3 127. 4 129. 3 132. 4 134. 8 139.8 146. 7 150. 4 153. 1 156. 0 158. 4 164. 2 166. 4 176. 6 187. 7 188. 0 80. 7 70. 4 78. 2 91. 6 104. 6 107. 2 97. 9 95. 0 73. 8 74. 1 78. 2 85. 1 89. 0 89. 2 93. 5 96. 9 97. 0 93. 1 92. 8 87. 3 90.2 95. 1 101. 1 146. 5 144. 3 145. 7 141.7 141. 6 136.0 134. 6 135. 9 132. 0 131. 9 138. 9 136. 8 138. 7 134. 6 134. 9 133. 4 132. 7 133. 2 129. 7 129. 1 107. 3 105. 9 108. 0 108. 0 109. 6 190. 8 184, 9 186. 7 182. 9 182. 6 188. 4 186. 2 187. 3 178. 0 178. 2 101. 3 100. 3 100. 6 99. 7 105. 2 1 tm-luili^ :wm rmnmon stocks: 108 for durable goods manufacturing, 85 fornon< ! i i r » l ' i « ('(KH|.S nwMiifndurine, 18 for transportation, 34 for utilities, 45 for trade, f l i m m v , u i n i MTVItv, iinil 30 for milling. 30 Transportation * Not charted. NOTE.—Indexes are based on weekly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The budget deficit for the first 5 months of fiscal 1962 is $8.1 billion. deficit was $5.7 billion. BILLIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 NET BUDGET RECEIPTS OF D O L L A R S 1957 1958 For the comparable period of 1961, the 1959 I960 1961 1962 1957 HO MAJOR NATIONAL SECURITY EXPENDITURES 1958 I960 1961 1962 BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) (ENLARGED SCALE) JE22L 50 - -5 -10 I960 1962 I960 1957 1961 1962 FISCAL Y E A R S * ESTIMATE SOURCES:' TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal 1960: year 1956 year 1957 year 1958 year 1959 -year 1960 . year 1961 5* year 1962 October 4 4 November4 December 1961- January 4 4 February March 4 April44 Mav June 4 July 4 4 . August 4 September October 4 4 November Cumulative totals first 5 Fiscal year 1961 Fiscal year 1962 „ . _ _ - . _- - - - - - - months : 4 COUNCll OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net Major national security * budget Department Total receipts Total of Defense, military * 66.2 40. 6 38. 4 67. 8 69. 0 40. 8 70. 6 43. 3 71. 4 41. 2 44. 1 68. 5 80. 3 67. 9 46. 4 43. 6 76. 5 42. 8 45. 6 77. 8 81. 5 44. 7 77. 6 47. 4 89. 0 82. 1 48. 4 51. 1 6. 8 2. 8 3. 5 3.7 6.8 3. 6 6. 3 3.9 4. 0 6. 8 7. C 4. 2 4. 8 6. 5 3. 5 3. 7 6. 2 3. 6 6. 5 3.8 7. 0 4. 0 4. 3 8. 5 6. 5 3. 5 5. 1 3. 8 7. 2 4. 1 3.9 6. 5 7.9 4. 3 4. 6 10.7 6. 3 3. 2 3.5 3.0 7.6 3. 8 4.0 6.4 6. 8 3. 6 3.9 8.9 7. 8 3. 8 3. 1 4. 1 7.5 4. 0 6. 4 4. 3 27. 7 27. 9 1 Includes military activities of the Department of Defense (military functions and the military assistance portion of the mutual security program), Atomic Energy Commission, stockpiling, and defense production expansion. 2 Military functions and military assistance. 3 Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. 33. 4 36. 0 19. 0 19. 7 17. 8 18. 5 Budget surplus or deficit (-) 1.6 1.6 -2.8 -12. 4 1. 2 — 3. 9 — 6. 9 -4.0 —.5 .8 — 1.6 .3 1. 5 — 1. 3 -.7 2. 8 -3.3 — 1. 3 2.2 — 4. 7 — 1. 1 -5.7 -8. 1 Public debt (end ofa period) 272. 8 270. 6 276.4 284. 8 286. 5 289. 2 (') 290. 6 290. 6 290. 4 290. 2 290. 7 287. 7 288. 2 290. 4 289. 2 292. 6 294. 0 294. 0 296. 0 297. 3 290. 6 297. 3 * Preliminary. * Estimate (1962 Budget Review). Not available. NOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures have been adjusted to exclude certain intragovernmental transactions. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. ol B CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the First quarter of the current fiscal year cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $3.3 billion or, on a seasonally adjusted basis, by $900 million. The estimate of the cash deficit for the current fiscal year as a whole is $8.4 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) 30 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) 30 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS u U y EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS 1957 1958 CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. [Billions of dollars] Period Cash receipts from the public Fiscal year total: 1957 . 1958 . 1959 1960 1961 2» 1962 Calendar year total: 1957 _ _ 1958 . 1959. . I9601 Quarterly total (calendar years) : 1959: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter ! Fourth quarter * 1901: First quarter ' 1 Second quarter Third quarter ] 1 Preliminary. 2 Estimate (196S Budget Review ). 32 Cash payments to the public Excess of re- Cash receipts ceipts ( + ) or from the payments public (-) 82. 1 81. 9 81. 7 95. 1 97. 1 102. 8 80.0 83. 4 94. 8 94. 3 99. 3 111. 1 2. 1 — 1. 5 -13. 1 .8 2 1 -8. 4 84. 5 81.7 87. 6 98. 3 83. 3 89.0 95. 6 94. 7 Unadjusted 1. 2 — 7. 3 -8. 0 3. 6 24. 4 23. 9 -3. 0 4. 5 3.8 4. 5 —.8 -3. 9 1. 4 1. 2 — 3. 3 21. 4 19. 4 25. 8 28.5 23. 4 20. 0 24. 8 28. 4 23. 4 21. 9 24, 1 24. 2 24. 5 23.4 27.2 26. 7 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts ( + ) or payments (-) Seasonally adjusted 23. 2 23. 6 23. 5 25. 0 25. 1 24. 8 22. 5 24. 9 25. 2 23. 8 23. 6 23. 3 23. 6 23. 6 24. 2 24. 9 26. 6 26. 1 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. For sale by the Superintendent of Do.>cuments, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 20 ce.ents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.75 foreign U.S. G O V E R N M E N T PRINTING OFFICE: 1 9 6 2 -0. 6 .0 .1 1.5 1.5 .6 -2. 3 — 1. 7 -. 9