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101st Congress, 2d Session

15!
BANK ©p CHICAGO

Economic Indicators
FEBRUARY 1990
(Includes data available as of March 2, 1990)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1990

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—S!ST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary. Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a singie copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:




SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

WASHINGTON. D.C. 20402

TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 4.4
percent (annual rate) or $56.6 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 0.9 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 3.2 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

5,600

5,600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

—
5,200

•^
4,800

^

^\

5,200

4,800

4,400

4,400

^
GNP
RRENT DOLLAR

4,000

s

^

4,000

\^

.^

3,200

-

GNP

^^

IN 19 82 DOLLARS

^xT ^

'"*--

3,600

\

^.— "*~~

"

—

,.--•""'

...
3,600

_ — — =~

-^

-^"^

3,200

-^-

—

2,800

2,400

2,800

\

1 1
1981

M"
I

1

1

1

1

1

1

1983

1982

1

1

1984

1

1
1985

1

1

1986

1

1

1

I

1987

2,400

1988

SOURCE' DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980 .
1981
1982
1983
1984.
1985
1986..
1987
1988..
1989
1982:
19831984:
1985:
1986:
1987-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1988: I
II

m
IV

1989: I
II
III
IV '
1

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6
5,233.3

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3.235.1
3,470.8

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3
774.3

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
-58.9
-78.0
-97.4
-112.6
-73.7
-47.7

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7
625.3

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.8
493.8
561.2
621.3
673.0

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9
1,036.0

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
402.9

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0
302.2

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
86.0
88.7
86.8
83.3
100.7

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4.107.9
4,297.3
4,665.8

2.117.0
2',315.3
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
749.7

14.1
— 25.8
-67.9
-103.2
-108.9
-114.6

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4
482.6

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3
597.2

671.8
676.1
764.5
858.7
888.9
947.5

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.1

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7
296.8

4,739.8
4,838.5
4,926.9
5,017.3

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

-82.8
-74.9
-66.2
-70.8

521.6
532.5
556.8
579.7

604.3
607.5
623.0
650.5

945.7
960.1
958.6
1,011.4

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

5,113.1
5,201.7
5,281.0
5 337 6

3,381.4
3,444.!
3,508.1
3,549.3

769.6
775.0
779.1
773.6

-54,0
-50.6
-45.1
-41.2

605.6
626.1
628.5
641.0

659.6
676.6
673.6
682.2

1,016.0
1,033.2
1,038.9
1,056.0

399.0
406.0
402.7
404.0

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases *

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465. 6
505.7
544.5
587.6
633.1

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0
5,205.4

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,636.8
4,954.3
5,281.1

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1
91.3

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1
559.4

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4
4,602.5

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2
4,780.4

297.4
298.0
296. 1
300.5

76.7
79.1
71.4
105.9

571.6
583.0
59 1 .0
604.9

4,709.8
4,809.2
4,882.3
4,998.7

4,822.5
4,913.4
4,993.1
5,088.1

298.7
301.3
307.8
301.2

100.4
104.7
94.9
102.8

617.0
627.2
636.2
652.0

5,085.4
5,174.3
5,253.6
5,308.1

5.167.1
5,252.3
5,326.1
5,378.8

Federal
Net
exports

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
national
product

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Source: Department of Commeree, Bureau of Economic Analys.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
Exports and imports of
goods and services

Gross private
domestic hives ment
Period

1080
1981
1982

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

Net
exports

Exports

57.0
49.4
26.3
— 19.9
-84.0
— 104.3
-129.7
— 115.7
-74.9
— 52.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1
588.9

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0
641.8

620.5
629.7
641.7 |
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1
805.8

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5
484.1

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9
593.9

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0

Imports

Total

80.3

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2
469.0

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5
4,120.8

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3
4,196.5

241 .4
255.8
266.7

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6
78.2

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6
447.2

3,218.6
3,338. 1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4
3,879.0

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0
4,045.5

National
defense

Nondefense

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9
336.8

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0

201.4

Total

State
and
local

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8
509.9

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1
188.6

-6.9
23.9
-24.5
— 6.4
62.3

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6
3,935.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8
2,532.3

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7
472.7

115.8
159.9
169.6
1 79.4
200.3
191.9

-59.3
27.0
41.7
-20.8
56.6

11.7
-46.2
-94.8
-125.3
-135.4
-109.8

792.1

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4
344.9

n
in
IV

3,974.8
4,010.7
4,042.7
4,069.4

2,570.8
2,586.8
2,608.1
2,627.7

483.6
497.8
501.0
492.7

189.1
194.2
195.1
198.1

34.3
21.5
37.5
18.3

— 78.2
-72.6
-74.9
-73.8

517.4
519.7
531.9
551.4

595.6
592.3
606.9
625.2

775.1
783.0
775.9
806.4

323.8
327.9
319.8
343.9

263.0
262.5
258.8
261.6

60.8
65.4
61.0
82.3

451.3
455.1
456.1
462.5

3,940.5
3,989.2
4,005.2
4,051.0

4,052.9
4,083.3
4,117.6
4,143.2

1
II
Ill
IV '.

4,106.8
4,132.5
4,182.9
4,172.4

2,641.0
2,653.7
2,690.1
2,692.6

501.0
511.4
517.9
509.4

195.6
189.3
184.8
184.5

24.5
19.1
21.9
26.2

-55.0
-51.2
-57.1
-48.2

569.7
587.5
593.1
605.4

624.6
638.7
650.2
653.5

799.7
810.3
805.3
807.9

335.5
343.6
336.1
331.9

254.4
255.8
260.1
255.6

81.1
87.8
76.0
76.3

464.2
466.7
469.2
476.0

4,082.3
4,113.5
4,141.0
4,146.2

4,161.8
4,183.7
4,220.0
4,220.6

IV

1984: IV
1985: IV

1986: IV
1987: IV
1988- I

1

Residential
fixed

Final
sales

Federal

[

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2^446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4
2,669.4

1982: IV

1989:

Nonresidential
fixed

Change
in
business
inventories

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4
4,143.7

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 r
1983:

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
national
product

Government purchases of
goods and services

9.1
5.6

23.7
27.9
22.9

7.7

GNI' less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

252.1
265.2
261.5
256.5

211.6
225.3

74.4
67.4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982—100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Gross
national
product

.
r

Gross private
domestic investment

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

dential
fixed

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3
126.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5
130.0

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
• 110.1
111.3

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3
122.5

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9
141.2

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7
100.3

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7
124.5

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3
106.2

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7
104.9

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9
119.6

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0
117.8

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6
125.4

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
128.8
135.0

19821983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
TV
IV
IV

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1
118.6

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8
121.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2
109.0

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
113.7

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9
131.5

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0
97.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
118.7

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0
99.7

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4
100.6

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
112.5

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7
111.3

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7
116.8

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0
125.1

1988:

I
11
III
IV

119.2
120.6
121.9
123.3

122.5
123.9
125.1
126.5

109.3
109.6
110.2
111.2

114.0
115.9
117.1
118.2

132.7
134.2
135.6
137.3

97.7
97.8
98.4
100.6

119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4

100.8
102.5
104.7
105.1

101.5
102.6
102.7
104.0

115.5
115.0
114.9
118.2

113.1
113.5
114.4
114.9

126.2
121.0
117.1
128.7

126.7
128.1
129.6
130.8

124.5
125.9
126.9
127 9

128.0
129.8
130.4
131.8

111.2
110.8
111.4
111.7

120.0
123.3
122.9
124.0

139.0
140.4
141.8
143.4

100.4
100.2
100.3
100.4

122.1
124.2
125.6
126.2

106.3
106.6
106.0
105.9

105.6
105.9
103.6
104.4

118.9
118.2
119.8
121.7

117.4
117.8
118.3
117.8

123.8
119.2
125.0
134.7

132.9
134.4
135.6
137.0

1989: I
II
III
IV '

Source: Department of Commerce, Bui




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
Gross national product
Period

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

1'ersonal consumption expenditures

Chain price

Fixedweighted
price index

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

weights)

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
198''198319841985198619871988-

-0.2
1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
r
3.0
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
6.6
4.0
3.7
3.2
2.7
3.7
2.5
3.0
.9

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
7.2
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
9.0
6.5
8.6
7.5
7.5
7.9
7.1
6.2
4.4

1980
1981

..

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I
II
Ill
IV
1989- I
II
Ill
IV '

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
4.1
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.4
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.6
3.2
3.2

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year anil quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

weights)

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.5
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
3.8
4.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.0
2.9
3.6

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.2
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.3
3.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
4.9
2.8
3.5

Fixedweighted
price index

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9
4.4

10.9
9.2
5.7

5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
2.2

4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9
4.4

4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9
4.3

6.2
2.5
3.3
3.0
2.0
1.9
5.6
.4

2.3
4.7
3.9
4.6

2.6
5.0
4.3
4-8
4.7
5.8
2.1
4.3

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
7.3

-0.2
1.2

10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
3.6
8.7
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.1
7.6
7.6
4.8

1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4
97

10.5

5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3
4.7
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9
4.5
2.6
5.1
4.6
4.9
4.8
6.3
2.2
4.4

3.9
3.5
2 7
4.7
4.1
4.5

4.8
5.7
1.9
4.4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period
Current
dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982198319841985198619871988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I
II
Ill
IV
1989- I
II
III
1

..

..
..

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,807.9
1,738.4
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,782.2
1,914.2
1 ,866.0
2,146.7
2,036.5
2,267.1
2,117.4
2,367.1 2,173.9
2,520.7
2,282.6
2,731.3 2,419.5
r
2,903.8 '2,478.9
1,779.4
1,760.2
2,012.5
1,940.5
2,201.8 2,069.5
2,309.4 2,137.7
2,408.7
2,198.5
2,598.4
2,343.3
2,648.1 2,381.8
2,705.9
2,408.9
2,754.9 2,434.1
2,816.4
2,453.2
2,459.1
2,842.7
2,887.2
2,471.3
2,936.2
2,497.2

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Indirect
business
taxes 3

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
r
l.!71
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.109
1.112
1.123
1.132
1.148
1.156
1.168
1.176

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123
.128
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.122
.122
.122
.122
.124
.125
.126
.129

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.111
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.106
.106
.107
.108
.108
.110
.111
.112

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

lars.
2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

3
4

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.782
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.734
.732
.740
.746
.756
.768
.778
.783

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.060
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.050
.050
.051
.053
.055
.057
.060
.061

Total

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103
.090
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.098
.102
.103
.102
.105
.096
.093
.091

Profits
tax
liability

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044
.039
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.041
.041
.044
.044
.045
.045
.041
.038

Profits
after
tax 4

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.051
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.057
.060
.059
.058
.061
.051
.053
.053

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.908
21.393

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.252
15.907

18.770
19.422
19.784
20.116
20.650
21.176
21.382
21.401
21.469
21.446
21.356
21.364
21.522

12.866
13.208
13.735
14.341
15.008
15.535
15.645
15.833
16.024
16.213
16.407
16.625
16.843

Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employeea1'

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 r

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits wi h inventory valuation
adjustme it and without capital
consu mption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
8,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
4,264.9

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
3,144.3

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
46.4

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
305.9

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
7.8

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
299.2

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
269.9

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
288.5

-10.4
- 10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
- 18.9
-25.0
-18.6

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
29.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
461.1

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3 473 1
3,799.9

1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2571 2
2,778.7

28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
48.4

159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
280.3

15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
14.3

146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
308.2

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
276.2

-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-20.4

-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
52.4

266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
370.0

1988- I
II
Ill
IV

3,853.6
3,933.6
4,005.7
4,097.4

2.819.4
2,878.9
2,935.1
2,997.2

44.0
45.4
37.7
32.0

279.9
286.5
289.3
296.3

15.6
14.6
16.3
16.1

318.1
325.3
330.9
340.2

268. 1
276.4
284.1
298.7

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

49.9
485)
46.9
41.5

376.6
3B3.0
396.4
415.7

1989- I
II ... .
Ill
IV ' ....

4,185.2
4,249.6
4,287.3

3,061.7
3,118.2
3,171.9
3,225.6

59.0
51.3
36.1
39.5

300.3
304.2
307.2
311.9

11.8
9.8
5.4
4.4

318.3
307.8
295.2

279.7
275.5
268.7

318.0
296.0
275.0

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3
-9.4

36.6
32.3
26.5
22.0

436.1
458.4
471.5
478.4

19821983'
1984198519861987-

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 '

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)

Domestics

Imports

2,050.7
2,234.5
2 430 5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
3,470.8

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
473.1

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
213.8

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
173.6

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
85.8

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
1,123.5

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
594.9

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
200.1

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
84.0

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
244.5

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,874.1

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
7.1

22
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.8

6.0
7.4

198219831 984198519861987-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

263.8
31C.O
346.7
373.2
422.0
424.5

115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
196.3

99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.4

49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
76.7

786.6
837.9
879.C
932.7
952.1
1,015.4

407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
536.8

126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
180.6

89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.7

163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
221.3

1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,643.3

7.0
7.7
6.6

2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3

1988'

I
11
III
IV

3,148.1
3,204.9
3 263 4
3,324.0

446.4
454.6
45' 5
467.4

210.3
212.5
208.4
215.3

156.9
162.2
162.7
166.1

79.2
79.9
81.4
86.0

1,022.2
1,042.4
1,066.2
1,078.4

542.5
554.5
567.8
574.1

180.8
183.6
188.9
193.9

74.3
76.9
78.3
77.6

224.5
227.5
231.2
232.8

1,679.5
1,707.9
1,744.7
1,778.2

7.7
7.5
7.4
7.5

3.2
3.2
3.0
3.0

1989-

1
II
Ill
IV r.

3,381.4
3,444.1
3,508.1
3,549.3

466.4
471.0
486.1
469.1

211.7
212.9
225.6
204.8

172.1
173.5
173.9
174.8

82.8
84.6
86.7
89.5

1.098.3
1,121.5
1,131.4
1,142.8

587.3
592.2
598.1
601.8

195.0
198.9
202.2
204.3

77.9
89.5
85.2
83.5

238.1
241.0
245.9
253.1

1,816.7
1,851.7
1,890.6
1,937.4

7.0
7.3
7.9
6.2

2.8
3.0
2.9
2.6




SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $35.9 billion (annual rate) in January following an increase of $22.7 billion in December. The
January increase was boosted by cost-of-living adjustments to several Federal transfer payment programs and by a
pay raise for Federal Government employees; it was reduced by an increase in personal contributions for social
insurance programs and by a decrease in subsidy payments to farm proprietors. The December increase was
reduced by decreases in subsidy payments to farm proprietors and in retroactive social security benefit payments.
Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $24.8 billion in January and $28.6 billion in December.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
:
5,000 I
4,000

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

OTHER INCOME
800

800

-"\~

TRANSFER
. PAYMENTS

400

1982

Illllllllll
1983

1984

I l l l l l l l l l l Mill
1985
1986

400
III

1987

1988

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981 . . .
1982
1983
. . ..
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 r
1989: Jan...
Feb
Mar..
Apr
May..
June
July..
Aug
Sept..
Get T
Nov r
Dec '
1990- Jan p

Total
personal
income

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5
4,427.9
4,273.1
4,319.5
4,360.7
4,387.1
4,396.3
4,417.5
4,443.7
4,456.9
4,467.1
4,501.8
4,543.9
4,566.6
4,602.5

Wage and
salary
disbursements 1
1,372.0
1,510.3
1,586.1
1,676.6
1,838.6
1,975.4
2,094.8
2,249.4
2,429.0
2,631.0
2,545.4
2,557.3
2,579.4
2,601.3
2,603.5
2,621.7
2,644.7
2,651.0
2,668.4
2,693.4
2,694.7
2,711.5
2,727.7

Proprietors' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

138.4
150.3
163.6
173.6
182.9
187.6
199.3
212.8
228.9
248.3
239.7
241.3
242.9
244.4
246.0
247.5
249.1
250.7
252.2
253.8
255.3
256.9
258.5

Farm

20.5
30.7
24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
46.4
48.0
65.9
63.0
56.4
54.3
43.2
38.8
36.5
32.9
40.0
39.8
38.6
39.2

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2
Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Nonfarm

160.1
156.1
150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
305.9
299.6
300.6
300.8
304.6
303.5
304.6
306.3
308.0
307.4
306.3
313.6
315.7
318.6

Rental
income of
persons 4

6.6
13.3
13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
7.8
13.8
11.8
9.9
9.8
9.8
9.7
9.3
8.4
-1.6
82
9.8
11.7
13.3

Personal
dividend
income

52.9
61.3
63.9
68.7
75.5
78.7
85.8
92.0
102.2
112.4
108.4
109.4
110.3
111.0
111.4
111.8
112.8
113.3
113.6
114.8
115.8
116.4
117.2

Personal
interest
income

271.9
335.4
369.7
393.1
444.7
478.0
493.2
523.2
571.1
657.8
616.5
628.9
641.5
648.4
655.2
661.8
665.0
667.9
670.4
674.9
679.5
684.0
688.2

Transfer
payments 5

324.7
368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.8
521.5
548.2
584.7
632.3
610.7
614.2
624.2
623.9
625.5
630.9
632.6
636.4
640.2
644.6
653.1
650.9
667.5

4

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
149.3
161.9
172.9
194.9
214.2
209.0
209.8
211.3
212.6
212.7
213.8
214.8
215.2
216.3
217.8
217.9
218.9
227.7

Nonfarm
personal
income B

2,215.8
2,465.6
2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,271.3
3,469.4
3,714.7
4,003.7
4,359.9
4,204.0
4,232.4
4,276.5
4,309.4
4,320.5
4,352.6
4,383.1
4,398.6
4,412.4
4,440.0
4,482.3
4,506.2
4,541.6

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
5

6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the fourth quarter of 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,800

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,800

,800

DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
16,000

r—

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME
3URRENT DOLL

14,000
12,000

r-

r^

10,000

1 6,000

—'

14,000

—•

12,000

[.

10,000

^^-.
\

j=»— •— =

1982 DOL ARS

_—-

8,000

8,000

1

6,000

! 1

1

1

1

1982

1981

1

1 1
1983

1

1

1

1984

1

1

I

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

1

1

1987

1

1 1
1988

1

1

1

6,000

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

.

Personal

Less:
Persona]

Erm-ilr
Disposable

Less:

Equals;

outlavs l

nontax

Disposable
personal

Per capita
disposable personal
mco no

Per capita persona!
cons imption
expenditures

dollars

dollars

dollars

7,607

8,783

8,320
8 818
9 515
10 953
10 985
11,576
12 340

8,794
8818
9 139
9 489
9 839
10,123
10 303

1 1 337
1 1 ,682

13,948

10.728

1982

(billions)

Billions of dollars

1980
1981
1982.
1983
1984
1985
198(5
1987
1988
1989 r.

2,258.5
2,520.9
2 670 8
2 838 6
3 108 7
3 325 3
3,526.2
3 777 6
4 064 5
4,427.9

340.5
393.3
409 '3
410 5
440 2
486 6
512.9
571 7
586 6
648.5

1,918.0
2,127.6
9 9(jl 4

9 498 1
9 068 g
•~> 838 7
3,013.3
3 905 9
3 477 8
3,779.4

Percent
ehange in
real per
capita

dollars

2,214.3
2,248.6
2 261 5
9 331 9
2 469 8
9 549 8
2,635.3
2 676 6
9 793 2
2,906.7

8,421
9,243
9 7'-*4
10 340
1 1 957
1 1 861
12,469
13 140
15,189

9,722
9,769
9 794
9 930
10 419
10 625
10,905

iri qf7ri

S

income
income.

Dollars
1,781.1
136.9
1,968.1
159.4
2 107 5 1 153 9
9 997 4 j 1 qn R
9 504 5
164 1
2 713 3
125 4
2,888.5
124.9
3 104 1
101 8
144 7
3 333 1
3,574.2
205.2

Saving as
ercent of

Population,
including
Armed
(thousands) 2

Percent

-1.1
.5
,~

68
54
61
44
4.1
3 '>

227,754
230,182
i) >
3' 549
934 gog
9
37 051
°39 32^
241,660
943 985

3.0

5.4

248,830

91

49
1

9 Q

2.6

7.1
7.5

33

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

2.729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3 I
1 3,399.1
3.597.8
3,908.7

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4
589.2

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3.063.4
3,319.4

1988: I
II
III....
IV

3,948.5
4,026.6
4,097.6
4,185.2

572.2
590.7
585.9
597.8

1989: T .
TI
III....
IV r...

4,317.8 |
4,400.3
4,455.9
4,537.4




628.3
652.6
649.1
664.0

2,174.9 I 143.1
2,382.5
145.4
2,571.3
157.3
2,787.7
111.7
2,961.4
102.0
3,177.6
141.8

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2
2,726.2

9,929
10,725
1 1,467
12,068
12,629
13,552

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909
11,130

8,904
9,068
9,825
9,299
10,479 i 9,587
11,240
9,935
1 1 ,825 10,214
10,338
12,588

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3
6.6

6.2 233,466
5.8 235,707
5.8 237,946
3.9 240,257
3.3 ! 242,579
4.3 244,936

3.376.4 1 3.244.4
3,435.9 i 3,301.9
3,511.7
3.362.1
3,587,4
3,424.0

2,757.2
131.9
134.0
2,773.3
2,806.4
149.6
163.4 j 2,835.9

13,754
13.966
14,235
14,504

11,232
11,273
11,377
1 1,466

12,824
13.028
13,229
13,439

10,473
10.515
10,572
10,624

3.7
1.5
3.7
3.2

3.9
3.9
4.3
4.6

245,476
246,008
246,685
247,343

3,689.5
3,747.7
3,806.8
3,873.4

205.7
200.7
195.1
219.2 |

2.881.7
2,887.6
2.919.2
2,938.5

14,884
15,084
15,280
15,504

11,625
11,622
11,717
J 1 ,762

13,641
13,862
14,081
14,207

10,654
10,681
10,798
10,778

5.7

5.6
5.4
5.1
5.7

247,890
248,456
249,143
249,829

3,483.8
3,547.0
3.611.7
3,654.2

for (lit 1 prrir

— .1

3.3
1.5

FARM INCOME
In the third quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income fell $8.4

billion (annual rate)

and net farm Income fell $13.2 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO S CALE)
240
200

BILUC>NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
240
200

n-.i,

160

"-~-

--»*

-*

160

7

120

120

80

80

An

60

40

40

20

20

10

10

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total '
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1987- I

n
m .. ..
IV

1988-

I
11
Ill
IV

1989- I
II
Ill "




Livestock and
products

Crops

Value of
inventory
changes -

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

1982 dollars 3

149.3
166.4
163.5
152.9
175.0
166.3
160.3
171.7
177.6

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.5
142.5
144.1
135.5
139.5
151.5

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
75.7
78.9

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
64.0
63.8
72.6

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
— 10.9
6.3
-2.4
— 2.7
— .4
-4.3

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.4
128.0
135.0

16.2
27.0
23.5
12.5
32.3
32.3
37.9
43.5
42.6

18.8
28.7
23.5
12.0
29.9
29. 1
33.4
37.1
35.2

170.4
172.4
167.8
175.9
174.7
182.0
175.0
178.6

131.3
143.8
144,8
138.1
144.4
148.8
160.4
152.2

72.8
76.4
77.8
75.8
81.8
75.3
78.3
80.3

58.6
67.4
66.9
62.2
62.6
73.5
82.1
71.9

-.1
.3
— .2
-1.7
-4.0
-4.4
-4.7
— 4.1

120.4
128.7
131.3
131.7
130.2
133.7
138.2
137.8

50.0
43.7
36.3
44.1
44.5
48.3
36.8
40.8

43.1
37.3
30.9
37.2
37.4
40.0
30.2
33.1

198.4
196.7
188.3

155.4
160.2
164.4

84.1
81.3
81.8

71.3
78.9
82.6

8.6
7.8
6.3

135.5
140.6
145.5

62.9
56.0
42.8

50.5
44.5
33.8

crop and 1

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the third quarter of 1989, corporate profits before tax fell $21.0 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits fell
$8.7 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

360

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320

/^

\

v

/

y

^
\
\

\

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

/

240

r_/
PO

/^

200

^
,'•""" "~v s

-..^ PR DFITS AFTER T; X
**.-

— — *.

\

s

s

160

"X.

/•

,•-"' ^--^..

*N

s

\

280

\

/'

X

,

120

''.'-

'~~\_.. ~<"~

V

'"-*V
'"•. —

- —.

\

/ s '

"

**\

»'"

y

1

1

1

1

1

1982

1981

\.

,--'

\

1

80

TAX LIABILITY

"""^^

1 1 1

UNDISTI IBUTED PROFI1 s^-— — "'
1 1
1 1 1
1 1 1

1

1984

1983

40

\

1985

1986

1

I

1

1

1987

1
1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

0

1

'1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment

l

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Period

Nonfinancial
Total z
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988..

1989 r
19821983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

IV
IV..
IV
IV
IV
IV
I
II
III
IV

1989- I
II
Ill
IV
1
2

Financial

Total 3

Tax
liability

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
269.9

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
208.7
238.2
223.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8
24.4

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4
198.9

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4
87.3

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1
37.0

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
288.5

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9
129.2

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9
159.3

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4
122.1

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5
37.2

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-18.6

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4
211.8

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6
29.9

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8
181.9

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
84.5

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
41.2

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
276.2

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
127.3

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
148.9

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
102.8

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
46.1

-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-20.4

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

225.7
235.8
239.0
252.2

27.7
29.7
31.6
30.1

198.0
206.1
207.3
222.1

94.6
98.2
95.1
105.5

42.2
37.3
39.2
41.8

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

129.0
138.4
141.2
143.2

159.9
166.9
173.2
175.6

105.7
108.6
112.2
115.2

54.2
58.3
61.1
60.4

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
— 20.1

279.7
275.5
268.7

233.1
231.8
223.0

29.3
28.6
17.8

203.9
203.2
205.2

96.5
90.3
86.6

34.1
36.9
41.9

318.0
296.0
275.0

144.4
134.9
122.6

173.6
161.1
152.4

118.5
120.9
123.3
125.6

55.1
40.2
29,1

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3
-9.4

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption E
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




Manufacturing

Profits
before tax

3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the fourth quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment fell $8.4 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment rose $0.7 billion. There was a $29.5 billion increase in inventories,
following an increase of $27.4 billion in the third quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

800

'
/~" ^^1

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
700

'_
700

•""~"~
""^1

/——— -—^

\s1

-

600

600

-_^
500

X

r- ONRESIDENTI/U
p|XED INVESTME MT

/

r~N

\

/

400

500
^ «.-..- - ""

J

-

.»-•"

400

""*"""-——.

— -~~

RFS DENTIAL
FIXED 1 NVESTMENT
\

300

-

300

_
200

200

-__

„**•' **'

100

"'

*~'

/

**s

1

-100

1
1981

1

>N

1 """\,
11
1982

t

s%

•"-

*"~~x«i.

CHANGE IN B USINESS
INVENTO «IES

,''

100

_

/%

^%^

/

•'sx_

,'

'

f

/

0

—. >

.•''"

1

1 I
1983

I I I
1984

1

1 1
1985

!

! 1
1986

1

1 1
1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1 1
1988

!

1 1
1989

-10(

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

1980

Gross
private
domestic
investment

.

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 r.
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986- IV
1987: IV.
1988: I

n
m
IV

1989: I

n
mr
IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Nonresidential
Total
Total

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3
774.3

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
670.6
719.6
746.3

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.3
487.2
511.6

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
749.7

469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9
686.3

354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8
458.6

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

698.7
719.1
726.5
734.1

472.7
487.1
493.2
495.8

769.6
775.0
779.1
773.6

742.0
747.6
751.7
744.0

503.1
512.5
519.6
511.2

Structures

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.8
140.3
145.0
137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7
138.9
137.1
139.9
142.0
142.5
144.7
142.4
146.2
146.6

Producers'
durable
equipment

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
310.5
346.8
366.6

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2
319.7
335.6
347.2
351.3
353.3
358.5
370.1
373.4
364.6

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.4
232.4
234.7
114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1
227.7
226.1
232.1
233.2
238.4
238.8
235.1
232.1
232.8

Total

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
71

67.7
11.3
6.9
29.3
30.6
28.0
59 9
31.0
45.0
7.2
12 2
63.3
30.0
29.3
44.6
18.7
27.7
27.4
27.4
29.5

Nonfarm

24
18.3
23 1

.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
30.5
34.2
23.1

-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
-8.0
61.3
24.2
30.4
41.5
40.8
19.1
23.6
19.8
30.0

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department October-November survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 6.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
600

600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

500

500

400

400
ALL INDUSTRIES

300

300

NONMANUFACTURINGJ/

200

200

T

MANUFACTURING

100

100

I
1982

I

I

J I
1984

1983

I I
1985

J

I

I

1986

I I
1987

I

I I
1988

i i r
1989

J/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
2j SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Oe COMMERCE

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Manufacturing
Period

1980
1981.
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 *
1990"
1988- I
II

III
IV

1989- I
11
III

IV4 .
1990: I 4
II4




Ail
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Nonmanuiacturing

Nondurable
goods

Total '

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Manufacturing

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
183 16
190 16

Total

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
317.17

Surveyed
quarterly
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
29202
315 33

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
430.76
475.18
505.49

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
183.16
190.16

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.30
83.05
83.22

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
88.01
100.11
106.94

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
292.02
315.33

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.66
12.50
12.01

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.34
25.24
26.41

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.98
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.67
50.06
50.14

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.76
204.22
226.78

413.34
427.54
435.61
442.11

157.97
162.62
168.76
173.32

75.28
77.38
79.15
80.56

82.69
85.24
89.62
92.76

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

12.61
13.15
12.53
12.38

20.35
20.95
22.02
22.04

45.05
45.60
46.69
48.73

177.37
185.21
185.61
185.65

157.97
162.62
168.76
173 32

255 37
264.92
266 85
26879

459.47
470.86
484.93
485.45

175.22
181.53
187.66
188.21

81.26
82.97
85.66
82.30

93.96
98.57
102.00
105.90

284.24
289.33
297.28
297.25

12.15
12.70
12.59
12.58

23.13
24.26
28.53
25.04

50.81
52.01
49.57
47.86

198.15
200.36.
206.59
211.76

175 '2
181.53
187.66
188.21

284 24
289.33
297 28
297.25

503.46
518.27

193.76
198.70

86.84
88.43

106.92
110.27

309.70
319.57

12.23
12.83

26.61
27.56

51.89
53.11

218.97
226.07

193.76
198 70

309.70
319.57

4

314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
483.48

Nonmanufacturing

Planned capital expenditures as reported by busm

Surveyed
annualIy3

31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In January, civilian employment fell 25,000 and unemployment fell 123,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
126

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
126

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

122

122

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
118

118

\

114

114

110

110
_ CIVILIAN

106

106

EMPLOYMENT

102

102

98

98

^
^

S

12

12

\
UNEMPLOYMENT

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

'16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons IB years of age and over, except us noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322
188,081

1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709
1,688

HO',315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378
125,557

102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677
119.030

108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669
123,869

100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968
117,342

3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169
3,199

97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800
114,142

Oct
Nov
Dec

187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854
187,995
188,149
188,286
188,428
188,580
188,721
188,865

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673
1,666
1,666
1,688
1,702
1,709
1,704
1,700

124,961
124,801
124,929
125,299
125,224
125,777
125,679
125,758
125,725
125,857
126,192
126,246

118,336
118,441
118,731
118,768
118,805
119,208
119,102
119,238
119,121
119,294
119,540
119,588

123,265
123,117
123,245
123,615
123,551
124,111
124,013
124,070
124,023
124,148
124,488
124,546

116,640
116,757
117,047
117,084
117,132
117,542
117,436
117,550
117,419
117,585
117,836
117,888

3,268
3,196
3,185
3,144
3,137
3,138
3,217
3,275
3,219
3,197
3,160
3,197

1 990:
Jan

188,990

1,697

126,094

119,560

124,397

117,863

3,134

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986*
1987
1988
1989
1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept




Unemployment

Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagrieultural
Civilian
labor force

Agricultural

Total

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(per-z
cent)

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

Total

15
weeis
and
over

4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965
4,657

8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528

2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610
1,375

63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9
66.5

59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3
63.0

113,372
113,561
113,862
113,940
113,995
1 14,404
114,219
114,275
114,200
114,388
114,676
114,691

4,831
4,722
4,720
4,855
4,643
4,738
4,583
4,567
4,605
4,526
4,552
4,554

6,625
6,360
6,198
6,531
6,419
6,569
6,577
6,520
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658

1,499
1,300
1,3,35
1,391
1,331
1,295
1,461
1 ,338
1,359
1,378
1,422
1,362

66.4
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4
66.6
66.5
66.5
66.4
66.4
66.6
66.5

62.8
62.8
63.0
62.9
62.9
63.1
63.0
63.0
62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0

114,728

4,729

6,535

1,430

66.4

62.9

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons 1

* Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
'stimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In

January,

the

overall

unemployment

rate

fell

slightly from

its December

level,

to

5.2

percent;

the

civilian

unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

25

20

20

A'^XV
15

15

'YA A -.. A ~
V

~

\/ —

TEENAGERS
(16-19

10

10

BLACK
AND OTHER

WOM 5N 20 YEARS
AND OVER

ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS
\

""Vcs^^

\

\

<.' — -

WHITE

11111111111
1988

1987

1986

ME N 20 YEARS
AND OVER

1989

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i p 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1,,,,,(,,,,,
1986
1987
1989
1988

1990

1 1 11 11! 11 1 1

1990

'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Lnemplovment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

Unemployment
rate,
all
workITS '

1981
1982
1983 .
1984
1985 .
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....
July

Aug
Sept

1990:

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan

By sex and age
civ an
workers

7.5
9.5
95
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4
5.2

7.6
9.7

5.3
5.1
5.0
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.3

A
.2
.0
.3
2
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3

5.2

5.3

12



By selected groups

Bv race

All

96

7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5
.3

"s,

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

Both
sexes
16-19
vears

Black
White

and

Black

other

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
1ft i
98
9.2
8.1
8.1

7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
4.9

9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.3

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

6.3
8.8
89
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8
4.5

8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9
4.7

19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3
15.0

6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7
4.5

14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4
10.0

15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
1 1.7
11.4

7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.0

6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4 !
3.9
3.3
3.0

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.8 |
4.5 I
4.6
4.6 j

4.7
4.6
4.6
4.7
4.7
4.8
4.9
4.7
4.5
4.8
4.8
4.8

16.1
14.8
14.0
14.6
15.0
15.4
15.1
14.8
15.0
14.9
15.3
15.2

4.6
4.3
4.3
4.5
4.4
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.6

10.5
10.3
9.8
9.7
9.6
10.2
9.6
9.7
10.2
10.2
10.3
10.2

11.7
11.6
11.0
11.0
11.1
11.8
11.0
11.2
11.7
11.7
11.9
11.8

5.2
4.9
4.8
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.1
3.0
2.9
3.2
2.9
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.3
3.0
3.1
3.0

7.9
8.0
7.9
7.8
8.2
7.9
8.5
8.0
7.7
7.8
8.2
8.1

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.9
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0

7.7
7.2
6.4
7.2
6.9
7.7
7.2
7.1
7.3
7.1
7.4
7.5

6.1
6.0
5.9
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.9
6.0

4.7

4.6

14.5

4.5

10.1

11.3

5.1

3.4

7.5

5.0

7.0

6.0

6.8

fi 9

4.3

8.5

11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3
5.9

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In January, the percentage of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks fell and the
percentages for 5-14 weeks, for 15-26 weeks, and for 27 weeks and over rose. Both the mean duration of
unemployment and the median rose.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

60

60

50

50

7W-V-

A

TA
JOB LOSERS

40

REENTRANTS

30

30

.•—V-J

27 WEEKS
AND OVER'

20

^

20

JOB LEAVERS

\
10

10

NEW ENTRANTS

15-26
WEEKS
0 111niIt
1986

1987

1988

1986

1990

1989

1988

1987

1989

1990

-SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment
Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

State
programs

Number of
weeks
27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

Job
losers

Job
Jeavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
'all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) '

Weekly average, thousands

1881
1982
1983
1984 ...
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 . .
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mav
June
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

...

1990: Jan




8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
(5,701
6,528

41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0
48.6

30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0
30.3

13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0
11.2

14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1
9.9

13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5
11.9

6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9
4.8

51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1
45.7

11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7
15.7

25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0
28.2

11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2
10.4

3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,056

460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125

6,625
6,360
6,198
6,531
6,419
6,569
6,577
6,520
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658

47.3
50. 1
49.1
47.8
48.0
49.8
47.9
48.3
48.3
48.4
48.8
49.5

30.1
29.6
29.6
30.8
31.2
30.5
29.9
31.0
31.0
30.5
29.8
30.1

11.5
10.3
10.7
10.2
11.1
10.4
12.7
11.7
11.7
11.4
11.5
10.9

11.1
10.0
10.6
11.1
9.7
9.3
9.5
9.0
9.0
9.7
9.8
9.5

12.6
12.3
12.4
12.6
11.9
11.2
11.9
11.4
11.5
11.7
11.6
11.5

5.6
5.4
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.0
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.8

46.4
45.1
45.7
45.2
43.4
43.0
44.5
46.2
44.9
45.5
46.3
46.3

14.6
15.4
14.5
15.2
17.1
15.fi
15.5
16.1
15.8
15.2
15.7
15.8

27.4
27.7
28.4
29.0
28.7
30.4
29.0
27.6
29.4
28.9
27.6
27.7

11.5
11.9
11.4
10.7
10.8
11.1
11.0
10.0
9.9
10.5
10.4
10.3

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063
2,134
2,216
2,177
2,187
2,257
2,287
2,332

293
309
323
300
317
335
339
319
323
360
344
365

2,685
2,695
2,567
2,221
1,957
1,936
2,168
2,007
1,863
1,912
2,144
2,517

6,535

47.5

30.7

11.8

9.9

1,1

5.1

48.5

15.5

26.3

9.7

2,367

359

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Adminis-

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 275,000 in January.
MIL LIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILL ONS OF PERSONS*
110

28

r-^

=L_^—

100

r"\
ALLr-JONAGRICU LTURAL

—

.s-'

^-^1

26

./'"''

SERVICES

E 5TABLISHME ^JTS

V-

24

90

—

^

.^*

80

—

—

_„---•
SE (VICE-PROD JCING
INDUSTRIE s

70

—

RE TAIL TRADE

20

^M—-

60 -

..~^f~~

16

iiinliiiiilniiihini
iT\\iln\i]
|f
'"

20

MANUFACTURING

50

40 -

—

GOODS-PF ODUCING
INDU 5TRIES

—

"""""(3OVERNMENT

18

30

—

22

18

X

iiimlmiiliiiMlmii

V""

miiliiiih\!

Illllllllll

'

>

lllllllHM imilllllllllllllmtik

i

6
•f
\

c ONSTRUCTIC)N

4
20

Ill

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 | | | 1 1 1 M 1 11 I11 1 1 1 M 1 1iiinliinlj.
I
1987
1988
1990
1989

Illllllll1ll

f ] ] | | | I I I

1986

" 1986

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 | | | H1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 If

1 1 1 ! 1 1 11 [ 1 1

1988

1987

SEASONALLY ADJ U5TED
SOURCE- DEPARTM ENT OF LABOR

1990

1989

COUNCIL OF EC 3NOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted]
Goods-producing industries
Period

Total
nouagricultural '
employment

Service-producing industries

Manufacturing
Total 2

Construction

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

Retail
trade

Government

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services
Total

Federal

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 ..
1988
1989 p

91 156
89 566
90 200
94 496
97,519
99 525
102 200
105 584
108 579

25 497
23*8' 3
23 334
24 727
24,859
24 558
24 708
25*249
25 634

4 188
3*905
3 948
4 383
4,673
4 816
4 967
5 195
5 300

20 170
18 781
18 434
19 378
19,260
18 965
19 024
19*403
19 612

19 109
11 039
10 739
11 505
11,490
1 1 930
11 194
11 437
11 537

8 061
7 741
7 70°
7 873
7,770
7 734
7 830
7 967
8 076

65 659
65*753
66 866
69 769
72,660
74 967
77 499
80*335
82 945

5 165
5 089
4 954
5 159
5,238
5 955
5 372
5 548
5 705

5 278
5 268
5 555
5,717
5 753
5 844
6 029
6 234

15 189
15 179
15 613
16 545
17,356
17 930
18 483
19 110
19 574

5 998
5 341
5 468
5 689
5,955
6 283
6 547
6 676
6 814

18 619
19 036
19 694
20 797
22,000
23 053
94 9%
95 600
26 892

16 031
15 837
15 869
16 024
16,394
16 693
17 010
17 379
17 727

2 739
9 774
2 807
2,875
9 899
2 943
2 971
9 988

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May....
June...
July....
Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov ....
Dec "..

107,442
107,711
107,888
108,101
108,310
108,607
108,767
108,887
109,096
109,171
109,452
109,548

25,626
25,629
25,646
25,671
25,672
25,648
25,669
25,694
25,614
25,603
25,609
25,533

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,279
5,283
5,283
5,314
5,321
5,325
5.335
5,355
5,305

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,672
19,667
19,650
19,649
19,644
19,559
19,537
19,517
19,489

1 1 ,605
11,594
11,604
11,600 |
11,594
11,567
11,549
11,551
11,480
11,457
11,439
11,411

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,072
8,073
8,083
8,100
8,093
8,079
8,080
8,078
8,078

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,638
82,959
83,098
83,193
83,482
83,568
83,843
84,015

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,700
5,716
5,736
5,618
5,709
5,729
5,753
5,832

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,206
6,222
6,230
6,237
6,256
6,264
6,278
6.300
6,308

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,489
19,528
19,551
19,586
19,621
19,632
19,679
19,744
19,714

6,746
6,763
6,774
6,776
6,790
6,808
6,815
6,836
6,852
6,851
6,871
6,882

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,651
26,711
26,931
26,973
27,058
27,159
27,188
27,345
27,416

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,626
17,687
17,723
17,751
17,804
17,866
17,843
17,830
17,863

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,982
2,999
2,995
3,000
2,999
2,996
2,984
2,982
2,972

Jan p .. 109,823

25,526

5,409

19,377

11,310

8,067

84,297

5,859

6,332

19,831

6,892

27,522

17,861

2,984

1981

1990:

hides ;ill full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricult
pay for any part of the pay period which flic-hides the 12th of th
'If-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Am
is table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employ
hown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed person
omit persons as employed when they are not at work because

14



5 358

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statisti

9 772

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupermory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Period

1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 p
1989- Jan
Feb

Mar

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec "
1990' Jan

p

Totil
private
nonagricultural 1

Total
private
nonagrieultural I

Overtime

Total

Manufacturing

Current
dollars

1977
dollars 2

Manufacturing

Construction "

Retail
trade

Percent change from a
year ear er, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars

1977
dollars

3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.6

$7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.66
9.49
9.52
9.54
9.61
9.60
9.62
9.69
9.69
9.74
9.78
9.78
9.83

$7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.47
10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.42
10.45
10.48
10.52
10.55
10.55
10.57
10.60

$255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
335.20
330.25
329.39
331.04
335.39
332.16
332.85
337.21
335.27
337.98
339.37
338.39
339.14

$170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
166.52
167.55
166.44
166.44
* 167.44
'165.17
165.10
166.85
r
165.98
'166.74
166.85
165.80
r
165.51

$318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
429.27
424.56
426.21
426.40
429.52
427.22
428.45
429.68
431.32
432.55
430.44
430.20
431.42

$399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
506.72
496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
494.17
498.17
511.30
510.73
510.16
514.75
521.87
509.39

$158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
189.01
187.40
186.41
186.98
189.44
187.56
188.43
190.97
189.22
189.50
191.69
190.37
190.86

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
4.0
4.2
3.5
4.1
4.5
3.3
3.5
4.2
3.7
3.6
3.5
S.I
3.1

-.7
-2.0
-1.6
-.9
-.9
— .7
-.9
-J.4
'— 1.4

3.6

9.84

10.56

340.46

164.31

429.79

520.65

194.01

2.8

23

35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6
34.6
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.7
34.6
34.5

39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0

2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.8

41.1
41.1
41.0
41.3
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.8
40.7
40.7

3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8

34.6

40.7

3

1

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
2
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban i
workers (on a 1977 = 100 base).

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural *

Manufacturing

iers and clerical

-1.5
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
-3.0
-.9
Q

-.3
-1.2
Q

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent eh ange from

Index (June 1981 = 100)

12 months earli ir

3 months earlie r
compensation

1981:
19821983:
19841985:
19861987:
19881989:
1986:

Dee
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec ..
Dec
Dec .
Dec
Sept
Dec
1987: Mar
Sept
Dec .
1988- Mar
Sept
Dec ..
1989- Mar
Sept
Dec
1

104.0
110 7
117 0
122 7
1275
131 6
1360
142 6
1494
130.8
131 6
132.9
133 8
135.1
136 0
138 1
139 8
141.2
142 6
144.4
146 1
147.9
1494

Wages and
salaries

103 8
110 3
115 8
120 6
125 6
129 5
133 8
139 3
145 1
1288
129 5
130 8
131 7
133 0
133 8
135 1
136 6
1379
139 3
1408
142 2
143.9
145 1

Benefits *

104 3
111 7
1200
127 9
1324
1369
141 7
151 3
160 6
136 1
1369
138 1
139 3
1403
141 7
146 1
148 2
149 7
151 3
1540
1565
158 7
160 6

Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free froir the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




Total
compensation

2.0
' 1 3
1.2
13
.6
6

.7
10
1.0
.7
6
1.0
7
1.0
7
1.5
12
1.0
10
1.3
12
1.2
10

Wages and
salaries

Benefits '

1.8

2.3

12

15

1.1

1.3

12

14

.6
5
.6

.5
6
1.0

10

11

8
.7
5
1.0
7
1.0
6
10

1.2
1.0
.6
.9
.9
.7
1.0
3.1

1l
10
10
11
10
12

1.4

8

12

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

9.8
6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
49
4.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.3
3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9
4.6
4.5
4.7
4.8

8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.3
4.1
4.2
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1
4.2
4.1
4.4
4.2

14

1.0
11

1.8
16

Benefits '

12.2

7.1
7.4
6.6
3,5
3.4
3.5
6.8
6.1
3.3
3.4
2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8
5.4
5.6
6.0
6.1

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period

Output '

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of 2all
persons

Real compensation
per hour 4

i. •
™ ess
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

1980
1981
1982
1983.
1984

99.4
101.0
100.2
102.6
105.2

99.0
100.0
99.1
102.0
104.2

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.3
107.9
105.3
107.2
113.3

107.8
108.5
105.9
108.0
114.4

131.8
144.1
154.9
160.8
167.4

131.6
144.0
154.7
160.8
167.2

97.0
96.1
97.3
97.8
97.6

1985
1986
1987

107.3
109.8
111.1
113.0
114.2

105.6
107.7
108.9
111.1
112.1

124.2
128.0
133.4
140.0
144.8

123.9
127.6
133.1
140.3
145.0

115.7
116.6
120.1
123.9
126.8

117.4
118.4
122.2
126.3
129.4

174.8
183.8
191.0
200.2
211.3

174.0
182.9
189.8
198.7
209.6

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

100.9
103.5
105.7
108.3
109.8
112.5

99.5
103.0
104.5
106.2
107.6
110.2

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9
128.9
136.7

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5
128.4
136.4

104.1
109.7
114.3
116.2
117.4
121.5

104.7
110.8
115.5
118.1
119.3
123.7

158.2
163.2
169.9
178.6
187.4
195.1

1988: I
II
Ill
IV

113.2
112.6
113.4
113.5

111.0
110.5
111.5
112.0

138.2
139.3
140.7
141.9

138.0
139.5
141.1
142.8

122.1
123.8
124.0
125.0

124.3
126.2
126.6
127.5

1989: I
II
Ill
IV P* ..

113.8
114.2
114.7
114.7

111.6
111.9
112.6
112.7

143.6
144.4
145.6
145.6

143.6
144.6
145.9
145.9

126.2
126.4
127.0
126.9

128.6
129.2
129.6
129.5

Bu

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit la )or costs

Implic t price
defla o r 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

96.7
96.0
97.1
97.8
97.5

132.6
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.1
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

98.4
101.7
101.9
102.5
103.3

98.0
101.1
101.2
101.8
102.4

162.8
167.5
171.9
177.1
185.0

164.9
169.8
174.2
178.8
187.0

162.2
165.6
170.0
174.9
181.8

163.8
167.6
172.0
176.5
183.4

158.0
162.9
169.6
177.5
186.4
193.8

97.9
97.8
97.8
99.3
102.8
102.5

97.8
97.6
97.6
98.7
102.3
101.8

156.8
157.7
160.7
164.9
170.6
173.5

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1
173.2
175.8

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7
167.1
171.3

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5
169.2
173.4

196.4
199.1
201.9
204.5

195.0
197.5
200.2
203.0

102.3
102.5
102.8
103.0

101.5
101.7
101.9
102.3

173.5
176.9
178.0
180.2

175.7
178.7
179.6
181.3

171.9
174.1
175.8
177.9

173.8
175.6
177.0
179.6

206.9
210.4
212.8
216.2

205.5
208.3
211.0
214.6

102.8
102.9
103.5
104.1

102.1
101.9
102.7
103.4

181.9
184.1
185.6
188.4

184.1
186.1
187.4
190.5

179.4
181.4
182.4
183.9

180.8
182.8
184.0
185.8

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1988
1989 p'
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980
1981
1982
1983

-0.3
1.5

~0.4
1.1
9
3.0
2.1

-1.1
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.6
-2.4
1.8
5.7

— 0.7
.6
-2.4
2.0
6.0

10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9

-2.6
— .9
1.2
.6
— .2

-2.6
— .7
1.1
.7
— .4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.S
3.5
3.0

4.2
3.1
4.2
4.9
3.4

3.9
3.0
4.4
5.4
3.3

2.2
.8
3.0
3.2
2.3

2.6
.9
3.2
3.4
2.4

4.4
5.2
3.9
4.8
5.5

4.1
5.1
3.7
4.7
5.5

.8
3.3
.2
.6
.7

.5
3.2
.1
.5
.6

2.3
2.8
2.6
3.0
4.4

2.8
3.0
2.6
2.7
4.6

2.5
2.1
2.6
2.9
S.9

3.0
2.3
2.6
2.7
3.9

1984....

2.4
2.6

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 p*

2.0
2.3
1.2
1.7
1.1

1.3
2.0
1.1
2.0

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

2.6
3.3
1.5
1.5
.8
2.8

2.0
1.6
.9
.8
.4
2.5

— .5
10.4
3.5
3.6
4.0
7.1

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5
3.7
7.0

-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.1
3.2
4.2

-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.7
3.3
4.3

4.1
5.7
3.5
6.3
5.1
7.2

4.6
4.4
3.5
5.8
5.1
7.1

2.8
1.6
.0
2.1
2.2
3.4

3.3
.3
.0
1.6
2.2
3.4

1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8
4.2
4.3

2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0
4.7
4.5

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6
1.0
1.4

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0
1.7

1988: I
II
Ill
IV

2.5
— 2.1
3.1
.2

2.8
-1.6
3.3
1.9

4.4
3.3
4.0
3.4

4.8
4.4
4.6
4.8

1.9
5.5
.9
3.2

2.0
6.1
1.2
2.8

2.6
5.7
5.8
5.2

2.5
5.4
5.4
5.9

-1.0
1.1
1.0
.7

— 1.1
.8
.7
1.4

.1
8.0
2.6
5.0

-.3
7.1
2.0
3.8

1.5
5.1
4.1
4.8

1.0
4.3
3.2
5.9

1.1
1.6
1.5
^2

-1.3
1.1
2.4
.2

4.8
2.3
3.5
.0

2.4
2.8
3.7
_.2

3.7
.6
1.9

3.7
1.7
1.3
— .4

4.8
6.8
4.7
6.5

4.9
5.6
5.3
6.9

-.6
_4
2.3
2.4

— .5
— .7
2.8
2.8

3.7
5.1
3.2
6.3

6.2
4.5
2.8
6.7

3.3
4.6
2.2
3.3

2.8
4.4
2.7
3.9

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

1989: I
II
Ill
IV "' ..

Q

9

benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the self

16



NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the
work site rather than hours paid.
' Data do not reflect GNP revisions of February 28, 1990.
Source-. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production and capacity utilization fell in January.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)

INDE X, 1977 = 100* (RATIO SCALE)
160
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

240
220

' — — •«

140

_--^

r~ v— ~--^ V.

180

120

imilimi

100
160

iiiiiiiiin

miiliini

BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT
-.^
^^

160

IIIIlllIIII

IllllllllII

^^CJ

•^iZ^—/~'

— ^ •'•"--'

DURABLE
100

imilum

Illlltlltll IIIIlllIIII

IllllllllII IllllllllII

100

itmlmn

IllllllllII Illllllllllllllltllllll IllllllllII

PERCENT*
100
CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)
90

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION
120

CONSUM =0
GOODS

120

120

100

^ —^

140

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIC
NONDURABLE
-L*f*^

140

HFFFM^F
AND SPACE
FOIMPMFNT

200

—1r^-^

•>

FINAL PRODUCTS

»

uFILITIES

vn..V'-"
mntiim IllllllllII
1986

1987

-NvX

A-' '

-

•

^ «.-**"

80 =>*-

•.

-~"1

70

MINING
IllllllllII IllllllllII ll|ll||||ll
1989
1990
1988

IllllllllII IllllllllII IllllllllII IllllllllII IllllllllII
1989
1987
1990
1986
1988

"SEASONAf.IV ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Total
industrial
production
Period
Index,
1977 = 100

Industry production indexes, 1977 = 100

Capacity utilization
rate, percent l

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

1977 proportion
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2
141.8

-1.9
2.2
7 -[
5^9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7
3.4

84.31
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7
148.2

49.10
109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9
' 146.5

35. 11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.8
143.9
150.5

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
11). 1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4
102.6

.5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3
115.9

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3
83.7

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5
r
83.9

1989:

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.7
141.6
142.0
141.9
142.5
142.3
141.8
142.2
142.5

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.7
4.1
4.0
2.8
2.9
2.7
1.8
1.6
1.5

147.2
146.8
147.0
148.0
148.1
148.7
148.5
149.2
148.8
148.0
148.5
148.6

146.2
145.9
145.8
146.9
147.1
147.4
146.8
147.8
147.2
144.9
145.5
145.9

148.5
148.1
148.6
149.6
149.5
150.5
150.8
151.1
151.1
152.4
152.7
152.4

103.0
100.9
101.5
102.4
102.0
101.5
102.1
102.4
103.5
104.4
104.5
102.4

114.0
116.5
117.5
117.1
115.6
1 14.3
114.0
113.3
114.5
115.6
115.5
122.8

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.2
84.0
84.0
83.7
83.9
83.6
83.1
83.1
83.1

84.7
84.3
84.1
84.5
84.3
84.4
84.0
84.2
83.7
83.1
83.1
82.9

140.9

.1

147.2

143.3

152.7

104.6

109.6

81.9

81.9

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
July
Aug
Sept
Oct r
Nov r

Dec r

1990: J a n "




iors c.l tlic Frd.-ral

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Final products

Intermediate products

Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 '

....
...

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Mav

July
Sept
Oct ' .
Nov '
Dec '.
1990-. Jan p .
1

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total >

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

44.77
112.2
115.2
109 5
114.7
127 3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144 3
150.2

23.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9
139.5

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3
129.6

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1
143.2

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2
164.3

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6
167.6

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8
179.8

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5
157.4

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6
141.5

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5
171.0

42.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2
128.1

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
101.5
100.6

148.2
148.6
148.9
150.2
150.4
151.2
150.2
151.1
150.8
149.4
150.2
151 5

138.5
138.7
138.4
139.5
139.2
139.9
138.7
139.3
139.0
140.2
140.5
141.4

131.5
131.6
130.1
132.2
131.2
130.8
127.3
128.7
127.9
127.9
127.4
128.5

141.1
141.4
141.4
142.2
142.1
143.3
142.8
143.2
143.1
144.7
145.3
146.1

161.1
161.6
162.8
164.3
165.4
166.1
165.5
166.8
166.5
161.7
163.2
164.9

163.8
165.0
166.3
167.8
169.1
169.6
168.5
169.9
169.6
164.8
166.6
168.8

180.0
179.3
178.7
179.9
180.7
181.1
182.0
182.7
182.1
176.0
176.6
177.7

156.6
155.1
156.1
156.5
156.3
157.0
157.5
157.5
157.8
158.6
159.5
160.3

142.3
139.5
139.3
140.2
140.2
141.2
142.2
141.5
140.9
142.6
143.9
143.7

168.8
168.4
170.4
170.4
170.0
170.4
170.6
171.2
172.3
172.3
172.8
174.4

128.1
127.4
127.3
128.2
127.9
127.7
128.3
128.8
128.6
128.7
128.4
127.6

100.5
100.5
101.0
101.7
101.1
99.1
99.1
99.5
100.9
101.7
101.9
101.7

148.8

138.2

119.7

145.1

162.9

165.9

m.i

159.9

144.0

126.6

100.0

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Frimarv metals
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983.
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

..

r

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar .
Mav
July

Oct r...
Nov '
Dec '.

1990- Jan "
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18



Iron
and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber and
products

Apparcl
products

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Foods

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89 2
88.5

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1
75.5

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9
124.6

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7
170.8
185.4

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1
181.8

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1
132.5

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2
116.5

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3
136.8

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1
110.7

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2
201.1

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9
160.2

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7
148.2

93.2
91.1
88 4
90.1
87.2
87 3
89.2
90.3
89.2
89.0
85.1
83.0

82.2
79.1
75.9
77.0
73.2
12.9
75.4
75.9
75.4
76.4
72.0
70.2

124.5
124.5
123.8
123.1
124.8
125.2
125.4
125.5
124.4
124.1
125.4
124.7

178.7
180.8
183.0
184.7
186.5
181.5
186.7
187.8
188.2
184.1
187.5
188.2

180.9
181.7
181.6
182.2
181.6
181.9
181.4
183.7
182.7
182.2
181.3
180.9

136.7
136.4
134.8
136.4
135.5
134.2
131.3
133.2
131.9
123.9
125.1
128.6

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.0
119.7
116.4
110.4
114.2
112.7
110.1
110.4
110.7

139.9
132.8
133.4
135.1
135.5
137.2
136.9
136.5
135.7
137.4
138.9
139.0

110.2
110.2
109.9
111.3
111.5
111.9
111.4
111.1
111.2
110.0
109.3
108.2

193.0
194.6
198.5
200.1
199.0
200.5
199.9
200.6
203.1
204.8
206.8
207.7

159.0
158.5
159.2
159.3
158.2
159.9
162.2
161.5
159.3
161.3
162.1
161.6

146.6
146.3
145.4
146.6
147.2
141.9
147.3
148.3
148.8
150.3
151.6
151.7

123.4

186.6

181.9

115.1

87.0

84.8

209.0

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

New housing
units

Total >

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
loea!

Total value
index
(1982=100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 '

252.8
261.3
248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7
414.7

194.3
204.7
194.3
228.7
271.9
292.6
315.3
320.1
328.7
330.4

100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1
195.7

423.0
416.6
416.8
411.9
416.5
412.5
410.3
416.3
416.2
414.6
416.9
416.6

337.7
333.2
338.1
332.5
330.6
329.0
328.8
331.9
329.6
329.8
328.0
321.7
333. 1

202.9
200.5
202.1
200.7
197.0
194.2
195.2
194.4
192.8
193.1
191.1
190.2

69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9
137.8

46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8
81.9

47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8
52.9

58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9
84.3

97
100
100
124
136
150
159
165
166
166

82.5
81.1
84.2
79.3
80.1
81.6
80.9
83.3
83.2
84.0
83.5
78.9
83.4

52.2
51.6
51.8
52.5
53.5
53.2
52.7
54.2
53.6
52.7
53.3
52.5
53.9

85.3
83.4
78.7
79.4
85.9
83.5
81.5
84.4
86.6
84.8
88.9
94.9
90.9

172
160
158
175
165
166
168
168
181
173
158
160
154

Annual rates

Annual rates

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

July

Sept
Oct

Dec r
1990- Jan p

424.0

195.8

1

Includes residential improvi ients, not shown separately.
2
Includes hotels and motels.
3
F.W. Dodge series.

904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
973
926

145.6
145.3
143.2
141.8
138.2
136.5
136.6
135.8
134.0
133.9
135.1
135.0
138.3

r

r

914

872
870
864
r
909
r
916
r
915
r
805
' 1,008
r
892
r
812
'805
r

r

883

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

1980

1981
1982.
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1 unit

1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1
r
1,374.4

852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3
' 1,001. 7

2-4 units

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8
r
55.5

5 or more units

330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0
r
317.3

Units
authorized

1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,631.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6
1,340.6

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period l

1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8
1,421.6

545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676
650

337
275
253
301
353
346
357
r
366
r
367
r
361

1,537
1,610
1,459
1,552
1,442
1,355
1,372
1,439
1,368
' 1,317
' 1,479
1,290

'704
r
623
r
o56
r
610
r
651
r
646
r
741
r
719
r
638
r
636
r
692
r
634

369
375
377
'376
r
,379
r
376
369
364
364
r
363
363
r
361

589

365

for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7

Seasonally adjusted annu al rates

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan "
1

r

1,188
' 1,026
'979
r
1,028
977
r
971
r
1,029
r
987
r
969
1,023
* 1,010
r
911

66
60
r
51
62
r
43
55
r
58
r
54
r
56
60
47
'55

405
368
375
r
251
r
288
'388
337
r
284
r
238
340
'290
288

1,486
1,403
1,230
1,334
1,347
1,308
1,281
1,328
1,319
1,356
1,342
1,376

1,625

1,137

54

434

1,745

r

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with
earlier data.
NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
2




r

' 1,659
' 1,454
r
1,405
T
1,341
1,308
' 1,414
r
1,424
' 1,325
r
l,263
1,423
r
1,347
r
1,254

r
r

7.2
7.1
7.2
6.8

are for 16,000 places.
Seasonally adjusted housing starts and new homes sold and for sale revised beginning 1987.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In December, manufacturing and trade sales fell 0.1 percent and inventories fell $2.6 billion. In January, according
to advance data, retail sales rose 1.6 percent, following a decline of 0.2 percent in December.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

240

,-^-

-

-r-<1

700

•

-

TRADE INVENTORIES

-_^--

.

,._-

^\r~~^\

~

-

1

RETAIL INVE NTORIES

sX^

-

180

600

--'"

^~s

~

200

^MANUFACTURING AND

500

—

220

—

-

160

-

--- \
MANUFAC TURING
AND TRAD E SALES

-

400

1

--- —

140

A /'

120

-.-"-'•

-

RETAIL SA .ES

-

-

-

100

iiiiilniii

300

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

)*

RATIC
1.80

_ INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

-

- ^ ^ N ^2/1

1

200

-

RETAIL

-

^v-A^-

-

"~

MANUFACTURING

-

AND TRADE

1.20

miiimti

|llllllll||

iiiiilniii ninlinii

1987

1986

1989

1988

IIMllllIII
1990

iiin!iiiii

J.OO

,

iiiiilniii

1989

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade 1

Wholesale

1990

Inventories 3

Sales 2

574,491
590,358
644,306
655,066
653,853
700,761
r
753,299
794,405

96,290
100,244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361
142,266

Inventories 3

Inventorv-sales ratio 4

Retail
Sales

Sales

Illllllllll

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Period
2

lllllllllM

1988

1987

1986

Total

2

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories
Nondurable goods
stores

3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

61,093
64,754
68,985
72,434
74,802
79,077
83,384
88,533

134,468
147,377
167,159
180,825
185,224
206,981
r
220,510
237,030

61,469
68,984
79,257
88,608
90,477
106,271
114,248
119,387

72,999
78,393
87,902
92,217
94,747
100,710
r
106, 262
117,643

Manufacturing
and
trade *

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1989 "..

348,747
368,813
407,869
418,151
423,700
449,536
485,756
516,646

..

1988: Dec r
1989: Jan..
Feb
Mar..
May .
June
Julv.

Sept.
Oct
Novr
Dec "

2
3




28,013
32,574
37,819
41,387
44.861
47,707
52,379
54,056

r

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50
1.51

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57
1.62

507,081

753,299

136,898

178,626

139,356

54,448

84,908

220,510

114,248

106,262

1.49

1.58

759,803
763,051
765,504
771,340
778,093
780,802
787,584
790,368
790,572
793,157
797,046
794,405

140,356
139,547
139,991
142,290
142,474
141,959
141,667
143,280
143,905
144,554
145,076
146,711

179,761 " 139,970
179,810
139,428
179,681
139,516
181,226
141,413
182,615
142,543
182,548
142,500
183,950
143,555
183,529
144,860
182,891
145,293
143,426
186,119
186,987
144,387
186,698 r 144,058

* 53 ,607
53,071
52,886
53,901
54,139
54,016
54,653
55,876
55,861
53,980
54,067
r
52,924

* 86,363
86,357
86,630
87,512
88,404
88,484
88,902
88,984
89,432
89,446
90,320
r
91,134

222,584
224,185
224,693
226,656
230,423
231,762
232,831
235,350
236,791
235,326
237,246
237,030

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,093
118,835
119,542
119,864
121,782
123,030
120,422
120,830
119,387

106,880
108,016
108,700
109,563
111,538
112,220
112,967
113,568
113,761
114,904
116,416
117,643

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.54
1.50
1.51
1.53
1.53
1.52

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.62
1.63
1.62
1,62
1.63
1.64
1.64
1.65

146,392

54,999

91,393

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average (or year and total for month.
End of period.

20

89,107
97,328
106,805
113,821
119,663
126,785
135,763
142,588

511,811
507,328
507,555
517,745
518,088
515,695
511,144
526,290
522,760
519,975
522,289
521,956

r

1990: Jan"
1

128,196
130,334
142,380
146,745
152,447
162,648
r
178,626
186,698

4

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In December, manufacturers' shipments and inventories fell while new and unfilled orders rose. In January,
according to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders fell.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280

480
440 - INVENTORIES 400
360

240 -SHIPMEN TS
200

TOTAL

160

r^~T~~~
1

—-i
V

'

•»>.

120

^—--«.*

280

V ..— /•-—

200

s..^.s-'
_--~J
80

DURABLE GOODS

160

1ABLE GOOC

120

60

iimlimi imihmi mimmi

iinilmii

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS1* (RATIO SCALE)

NONDURABLE GOODS

80
60

ZBO

NEW ORDERS

240
200

«^-~~—ir-~/S"~'

~

•~"

r TOTAL
v

"

•

r

RATIO *
2.20

160
120

W-S*

—_
„
80

-— *'
^* ^
^'
' -• —• "" •
\
N"NDI JRABLE GOC r>s

1.80

1.40
1986

llliiliini 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1
1987
1989
1988
1990

1.20

A

r~"

1.60

60
1 1 1 1 ! 11 1 1 ! t

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

2.00

-iv..-.V—1

^
1 1 t t 111 1 t 1 1

1 1 1 I 1t I 1 f f 1

1986

1 1 1111 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 111 11 1 1 1 1

1987

1989

1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments *

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders l
Durable goods

Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

hirers'
unfilled
orders 2

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1989 r
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
July
Oct
Nov

Dec

T

1990- Jan

p

1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
231,793

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
122,679

231,485
228,353
228,048
234,042
233,071
231,236
225,922
238,150
233,562
231,995
232,826
231,187

123,578
120,924
120,432
123,331
122,962
121,720
117,114
128,347
124,393
121,840
123,209
122,210

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
109,113
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,711
110,109
109,516
108,808
109,803
109,169
110,155
109,617
108,977

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
370,677

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
245,867

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
124,810

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
235,635

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
126,568

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
38,821

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
109,067

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
514,601

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.58

357,458
359,056
361,130
363,458
365,055
366,492
370,803
371,489
370,890
371,712
372,813
370,677

236,810
238,165
239,330
240,486
241,689
242,295
245,813
246,378
245,621
246,427
247,610
245,867

120,648
120,891
121,800
122,972
123,366
124,197
124,990
125,111
125,269
125,285
125,203
124,810

236,075
231,306
233,011
239,907
233,753
235,157
230,447
236,793
234,354
234,067
239,710
241,038

128,479
124,107
125,377
129,372
123,524
125,137
122,031
126,766
125,227
124,262
130,175
131,954

40,352
37,189
38,137
40,389
37,290
39,146
41,445
37,130
35,341
35,975
38,901
44,426

107,596
107,199
107,634
110,535
110,229
110,020
108,416
110,027
109,127
109,805
109,535
109,084

473,450
476,403
481,366
487,231
487,913
491,834
496,359
495,002
495,794
497,866
504,750
514,601

1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55
1.57
1.58
1.64
1.56
1.59
1.60
1.60
1.60

118,159

38,321

117,677

Monthly average (or year and total for mouth. Shipments are the same as sales.
End o{ period.




3

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In January, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 1.8 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose
2.1 percent, and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 2.6

percent.

Capital equipment

prices rose

0.2

percent. (Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1985.)
INDEX, 1982 =100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130
FINISHED GOODS PRICES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

~~

i

11 ZU
9(V

120

^
"'' '

'

«.--'
CONSUMER
FOODS ,—$

_

,-\7

CAPITAL EQUIPMENT

.

3

.

,'- \"'~~-

.'

,'
»

/^^/»rrf
„

/

100

Js^

*~jr^f

***^^

-*-

%

%

/

J

"^*

VxX-

\

*•

'

„

f

V

J

^s^^f

-^\
TOTAL
/-

\

•

*

110

^

'

_-^--*^^"™*^

t

^

»
/

S^

/^

-S£7*Jl'~

^^

.•^ ^-^
•t—<**/*"
+~"""' i

•4 -—'""

^..,' — 7^' *
/
-''
1/
t\ i"

r-S

^

_X*

100

\t

"

V

v

\ ••*

'*\
CONSUMER 3OODS
EXCLUDING :OODS

—

—

90 Illlllillll
1982

Illlllillll

iiiniiiiii

Illlllillll

Illlllillll

1984

1985

1986

1983

Illlllillll M l l l l l l l H
1987

Illlllllltl

Illlllillll

1989

1990

1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

90

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Finished goods

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
consumer
goods

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
103.8
100.3
101.4
102.0
104.4
105.5
105.6
104.3
102.7
104.5
105.1
104.3
105.4
109.5

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
118.7
116.8
117.3
117.5
117.4
118.1
118.8
118.9
119.3
120.1
119.8
120.3
120.6
120.9

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
112.1
109.6
110.5
111.0
111.9
112.9
112.8
112.1
111.6
112.5
113.3
113.3
114.1
116.9

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Consumer goods
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

-....

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 »
1989: Jan r....
Feb '
Mar ''..,
Apr '
May r...
June T
July T..

Aug r

Sept '..

Oct r
Nov r..
Dec r
1990- Jan
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
113.5
111.2
111.9
112.4
113.1
113.9
114.0
113.6
113.3
114.1
114.7
114.8
115.5
117.6

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
118.7
117.0
117.9
118.6
118.0
118.6
117.9
118.1
118.5
118.1
119.7
120.8
121.5
124.0

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
111.8
109.2
110.0
110.4
111.4
112.4
112.7
112.1
111.5
112.8
113.0
112.8
113.5
115.5

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1985.

22



87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
108.9
106.0
106.9
107.3
109.0
110.0
110.2
109.2
108.2
109.7
110.1
109.6
110.5
113.4

Durable

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
117.6
116.1
116.7
116.8
116.4
117.2
117.7
117.4
117.8
118.7
118.7
118.7
119.3
118.9

Intermediate materials

Crude materials

Foods

Foodstuffs

Total

and 1

Other

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5
113.8
115.5
115.4
116.7
115.4
113.8
111.6
113.2
112.8
112.7
112.6
113.5
113.0
113.3

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
111.9
110.5
111.0
111.6
112.3
112.5
112.4
112.0
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.3
112.3
113.6

Total

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
112.0
110.8
111.2
111.9
112.5
112.6
112.3
112.1
111.8
112.2
112.4
112.4
112.3
113.6

and

Other

feedstuffs

feeds

iource: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
103.0
101.9
101.8
103.5
104.5
104.5
103.3
103.5
101.1
102.3
102.3
103.0
104.6
107.1

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1
111.1

113.7
112.6
114.8
112.1
110.8
109.6
108.9
109.7
109.0
108.4
110.9
113.7
114.8

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5
93.4
90.1
90.7
92.0
95.1
95.9
94.7
95.5
91.3
93.6
94.0
93.5
94.3
97.6

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In January, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 1.1 percent, seasonally adjusted (1.0 percent not
seasonally adjusted). The index was 5.2 percent above its year-earlier level. (Seasonally adjusted data revised
beginning 1985.)
INDE)(, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO S CALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

^^^

120

CONSUMER PRICES— ALL ITEMS

^^

\
\_^^-

110

120

110

^~-^~

^^

100

100

_^"^

^~
90

90

80

80

70

70

60

nmlitui mnlum

\\\\\\\\\\\

1983

1982

mnliim nmlinii niiiliini nnilimi iliiilnni iiinl|iiii
1985

1984

1987

1986

1988

1989

SEE NOTE ON TABLE 8 BLOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVfSERS

[1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
1
Housing
Transportation

All items >

60

1990

T

[

All

Shelter
Period

Hel. imp.3

1980...
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:
Jan *
Feb r
Mar r
Apr *
May rr

June r .
Julv

Aug '.r

SeptT

Oct .
Nov r.
Dec r
1990:
Jan




Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

Food
Total

1

Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =

100;

100.0
82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103 9
107.6
109 6
113.6
118.3
124.0

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

16.3
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2
125.1

42.0
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5
123.0

27.9
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1
132.8

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6
138.9

102.5
107.3
1131
119.4
124.8
131.1
137.3
134.4
134.7
135.2

7.9

19.8

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

0.2
82.4
90.7

Fuel
and
other
utilities

7.5
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2

Apparel and
upkeep

6.1
90.9
95.3

MediTotal >

17.1
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106 4
102.3
105.4
108.7
114.1

New
cars

93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2

48.4
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9
127.3

81.3
83.0
84.1
93.4
95.3
94.6
92.9
88.4
87.1
88.4
86.8
86.3

144.0
145.0
145.9
146.7
147.6
148.7
149.6
150.8
151.9
153.0
154.2
155.1

90.2
90.9
91.6
96.2
97.0
96.4
95.9
93.8
93.2
94.1
93.8
94.1

125.3
125.8
126.2
126.6
127.1
127.4
127.7
127.8
128.3
128.8
129.3
129.7

93.4

156.1

98.9

130.4

106.8
106.7
106.9
107.3
107.5
107.3
107.8
107.8
108.0
108.1
108.7
109.4

117.6
117.7
118.8
119.3
119.5
118.9
118.3
116.9
118.6
119.4
119.4
119.0

111.3
112.1
112.6
115.1
1 15.8
115.7
115.3
114.2

113.9
1 14.5
114.6
115.0

118.8
119.1
119.5
119.5
1 19.5
119.3
118.8
118.5
118.1
118.8
119.8
120.8

111.6

119.0

117.4

121.6

121.0
121.2
121.6
121.8
122.2
122.6
123.3
123.5
123.7
124.2
124.7
125.2

129.8
130.3
131.0
131.1
131.7
132.3
133.2
133.5
133.7
134.4
135.0
135.6

135.3
136.2
137.6
137.1
137.4
138.0
139.6
139.1
138.7
139.8
140.5
141.0

135.6
136.3
136.9
137.6
138.2
138.7
139.4
140.0
140.6

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4
118.3
118.4
118.5
118.6
118.6
119.3
119.5

127.4

127.7

130.5

126.1

136.3

142.3

141.1

120.4

gy

86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3
94.3

104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4
107.8

122.2
122.7
123.5
124.2
124.9
125.2
125.6
125.9
126.3
126.8
127.4
128.0

Ener2

6.2
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.B
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6
149.3

97.8
100.2
102.1
105 0
105.9
110.6
115.4
118.6

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
123.8
124.1
124.5
124.5
124.8
125.4
125.8
126.3

cal
care

97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9
88.5

4.2
88.4

96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7
118.0

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

Motor
fuel

items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

3.2

7.4

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished
goods

Poods

Capital
equipment

Excluding- foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0
4.8

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989*

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1
5.3

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.2
5.7
5.0

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5
5.1

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6
3.7

Change, month to month

1989' Jan

1.1
.6
.4
.6
.7
.1
-.4
-.3
.7
.5
.1
.6
1.8

Feb
Mar
May

1990:

July T
Aug *
Sept r
Oct ''.
Nov *
Dec r.
Jan

1.1
.8
.4
1.6
.9
.2
-.9
-.9
1.4
.4
— .5
.8
2.6

1.3
.8
.6
— .5
.5
-.6
.2
.3
-.3
1.4
.9
.6
2.1

7.1
8.3
9.0
7.0
7.3
5.8
1.8
-2.1

0.5
.4
.2
-.1
.6
.6
.1
.S
.1
2
.4
.2
.2

8.3
9.9
9.9
11.8
12.1
11.3
.7
-6.4
-1.8
3.3
5.3
2.9
12.5

7.9
9.3
11.2
3.5
2.4
-2.3
.3
-.3
.7
5.5
8.0
12.0
15.2

3.9
5.4
5.0
10.5

NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1985.

5.6
6.2
6.1
7.1
7.8
7.4
4.4
2.5
3.0
2.8
1.6
2.6
7.2

4.2
5.3
4.6
2.1
2.8
4.5
5.2
4.1
4.4
3.1
3.4
1.7
3.7

5.3
6.7
7.3
10.1
11.0
10.6
6.1
2.4
4.5
2.0
7
.5
7.8

7.6
7.9

6.9
5.7
5.8
4.2
1.9
1.0
-.8
2.9
3.7
6.2
10.2

4.2
4.6
3.5
3.1
4.0
4.5
3.6
3.4
4.5
4.1
3.8
3.1
3.4

4.5
5.3
5.5
5.6
6.2
6.1
5.1
4.3
4.6
4.9
4.6
4.8
5.8

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Housing

Transportation

Shelter
Period

All
items l

Food
Total '
Total >

Renters'
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

Total *

New
cars

Motor
fuel

cal
care

BnergJ8

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annua rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

1980
1981
1982 ..
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2
5.6

13.7
10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0
3.9

15.0
9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5
4.9

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9
4.5

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7
5.1

0.6
.4
.5
.7
.4
2
.3
0
2
.5
.3
.4
1.1

0.8
.4
.7
.6
.6
2
.3
.2
.3
.4
.5
.5
2.0

0.4
.2
.3
.2
.3
.3
.6
2
2
.4
.4
.4
.7

0.4
.4
.5
.1
.5
.5
.7
.2
.1
.5
.4
.4
c

0.2
.7
1.0
-.4
.2
.4
1.2
4
-.3
.8
.5
.4
.9

0.4
.2
.4
.3
.5
.4
.5
.4
.4
.5
.4
.4
4

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9
3.2

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7
1.0

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0
4.0

7.4
18.8
9.4
6.8
1.5 -6.5
3.4 — 1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.1
3.4
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8
2.1 -2.1
2.3
6.8

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9
8.5

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5
5.1

0.7
2.1
1.3
11.1
2.0
— .7
-1.8
-4.8
-1.5
1.5
-1.8
-.6
8.2

0.8
.7
.6
.5
.6
.7
.6
.8

0.8
.8
.8
5.0
.8
-.6
-.5

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
43
3.6
1.9
3.6

9.8
9.4
6.1

5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7
4.1

4.1
4.8

Chs nge, month to month
Jan '
Feb '
Mar '
Apr '
May r.....
June r....
July r....
Aug '.....
Sept '....
Oct '
Nov r
Dec '
1990: Jan

1989:

0.6
-.1
2
.4
.2
2
.5
0
.2
.1
.6
.6
2.0

-0.2
.1
.9
.4
.2
-.5
-.5
19

1.5
.7
0
-.3
0

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.
3
Quarterly changes are shown in the ]ast month of the quarter.

24



0.6
.7
.4
2.2
.6
-.1
-.3
-1.0
g

.5
.1

.3
2.1

0.5
.3
.3
0
0
___2
— .4
3
-.3
.6
.8
.8
.7

.7
.8
.6
.6

-.6
1.0
-.3
.3
5.1

0.6
.4
.3
.3
.4
.2
.2
.1
.4
.4
.4
.3
.5

NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1985.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

5.4
6.0
2.9
3.9

4.7
5.4
6.1
6.4
6.4
5.3
4.0
2.3
2.3
2.9
4.2
4.9
7.5

4.8
4.9
4.9
5.6
5.9
5.7
5.2
4.3
3.8
3.4
3.3
3.6
5.2

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.2
5.0
4.7
4.3
4.5
4.7
4.6
5.2

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in February were 0.6 percent below their January level. Prices paid by farmers in
January were 1.1 percent above their October level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

INDEX, 1977 =100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

---

__ '""~

160

160
140

>

^X

*"~

\
PR CES PAID

-

/^

-

^

-

•^

K^-x

120

100

140

^

^_

^

/
"
^

120

k
\
PRIC :S RECEIVED

100

-

-

80

80

60 m i n i m i
RATI D.!/
140
-

IllllllHU I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

60

RATIO^
-

I4U
120

-"

-

RATIO

_

ni

r,

^

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1982
1983

^n
'
iiiiiiiiin Illllllllll
1984

1985

100
!_

_X—,~

-, ,— i

1

-

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986
1989
1988
1987

II

1990

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[1977=100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1989: Feb
Mar..
Apr
May

!49
!50
148
149
r
!48
147
145
144
145
147
149

June .
July

Aug ..
Sept

Oct ...
Nov
Dec...
Jan...

Feb

r

r




r

r

!54
153

All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
160

150
159
161
164
162
159
162
169
177

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
167

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
165

158
161
154
156
157
157
161
160
162
165
170

(3)
(3)
177
(3)
(3)
178
(3)
(3)
178
(3)
(3)

(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)
168
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)

(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)

!72
171

180
(3)

169
(3)

168
(3)

Livestock and
products

Crops

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
r
!26
r
!35
r
!39
r
!38
r
!42
142
r
!38
137
128
126
128
128
127

139
133
135
142
128
123
127
138
r
!48

1986
1987
1988
1989

1990:

All farm
products

Prices paid by farmers

!36
135

r

Production
items

Ratio 2

92

84
84
87
79
77
78
82
r
84
85
86
84
84
r
84
83
81
81
81
83
84
r

r

86
85

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977—100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
In January, Ml fell slightly and growth slowed in the broader aggregates. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

M3

3,200

3,200

2,800

2,800

'\

2,400

M2

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,*00

600

400

1983

1984

1985

1986

1988

* AVERAGES Of DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Ml

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
EPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9

1988- Dec
1989- Dec

787.5
794.8

Period

1980:
19811982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

....

1989: Jan
Peb
Mar

....

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec ....
1990- Jan

p

1




M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfmancial
sectors
(monthly
average) l

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

M2

Ml

M3

Debt

1,991.1
2,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.8

2,327.8
2,599.4
2,853.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
4,137.1
4,336.8

3,881.9
4,269.0
4,660.0
5,185.4
5,932.7
6,741.5
7,597.0
8,316.1

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2

9.5
10.0
9.2
11.3
14.4
13.6
12.7
9.5

3,072.4
3,221.7

3,918.4
4,043.3

4,676.1
4,866.0

9,082.2
9,801.3

.9

4.9

3.2

9.2
7.9

785.8
786.7
785.5
782.1
776.2
773.7
779.1
780.4
782.9
788.1
789.4
794.8

3,073.6
3,078.1
3,086.9
3,089.4
3,085.3
3,101.6
3,127.0
3,146.7
3,163.3
3,181.5
3,200.8
3,221.7

3,926.1
3,936.8
3,956.6
3,965.1
3,965.6
3,984.9
4,007.2
4,012.0
4,012.0
4,016.6
4,029.8
4,043.3

4,682.8
4,699.9
4,732.1
4,757.1
4,756.7
4,778.9
4,804.1
4,818.1
4,823.4
4,830.4
4,845.8
4,866.0

9,138.9
9,207.0
9,269.2
9,327.6
9,389.3
9,444.1
9,494.4
9,558.9
9,615.3
9,684.3
9,756.0
9,801.3

.6
.6
.2
-.8
-2.5
-3.5
-1.7
-1.6
-.7
1.5
3.4
5.5

2.7
2.7
3.0
2.7
1.4
1.9
3.5
4.5
4.9
6.0
7.5
7.7

4.1
4.1
4.6
4.2
3.2
3.4
4.1
3.8
2.8
2.6
3.2
2.9

8.8
8.8
8.7
8.6
8.2
8.0
7.8
7.6
7.5
7.6
7.8
7.6

794.7

3,232.0

4,051.7

4.0

6.7

2.2

Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes arc from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.

26

L

C

Money stock series have been revised to incorporate the annual benchmark and seasonal factor
view, as well as fl minor adjustment to the composition of M2. Data prior to February 1988 are
revi
not yet a ilable. For further details see Federal Reserve Statistical Release II. 6, Money Stock
Revisions, February 15, 1990.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutual fund
balances
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Small
denomination
time
deposits '

Savings
deposits

Large
denomination
time
deposits 1

NSA

1980: Dec
1981: Dec
1982: Dec
1983- Dec
1984- Dec
1985- Dec
1986: Dec
1987- Dec

115.2 261.5
122.5 231.5
132.6 234.2
146.3 238.7
156.1 244.2
167.8 267.3
180.5 303.2
196.4 288.3

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4

28 3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56 3
70.2
78.3
78.3

1988- Dec '
1989: Dec '

211.8
221.9

287.0
279.7

281.3
285.7

83.3
76.9

240.9
313.1

87.1
102.3

Jan r
Feb r
Mar r
Apr r
May '
June
July '
Aug '
Sept '
Get r.
Nov '.
Dec '

213.2
214.1
215.3
215.7
216.6
217.2
217.8
218.6
219.3
220.0
220.4
221.9

284.5
284.9
283.9
281.3
279.6
276.3
279.6
278.5
278.1
280.0
278.8
279.7

280.6
280.2
279.1
277.9
272.8
273.0
274.5
276.0
278.4
280.8
282.8
285.7

86.5
83.3
82.0
78.5
77.8
79.6
80.9
78.3
74.8
75.3
74.9
76.9

243.9
247.2
253.4
257.8
261.2
268.3
277.7
287.8
295.9
302.7
309.1
313.1

Jan"

224.6

277.3

285.3

81.0

320.8

1989:

1990:

NSA

NSA

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Com-

mercial
paper

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
109.1

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.7
100.4

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7

1,031.0
1,142.1

541.1
558.1

121.7
94.8

106.0
82.3

109.3
117.5

272.2
316.2

40.6
41.2

335.6
347.9

424.2
421.0
417.9
412.0
405.4
403.4
403.3
404.0
405.5
406.1
407.9
409.0

1,042.7
1,054.2
1,066.4
1,084.1
1,103.0
1,114.0
1,122.4
1,130.0
1,132.6
1,135.9
1,138.5
1,142.1

546.7
553.3
560.1
568.3
573.1
574.9
574.7
570.5
565.6
562.7
560.9
558.1

123.0
126.7
128.9
126.3
127.5
128.4
123.8
116.9
112.9
108.3
107.2
94.8

100.6
100.1
105.7
100.3
97.2
93.4
91.8
89.6
85.3
80.4
80.3
82.3

109.8
110.7
111.5
112.2
112.8
113.6
114.3
115.0
115.7
116.2
116.8
117.5

270.7
268.2
274.3
280.2
288.3
289.7
291.3
294.2
304.4
307.6
307.4
316.2

40.6
40.6
41.4
41.5
41.2
41.2
41.9
42.6
41.0
40.0
40.5
41.2

335.7
343.6
348.3
358.2
348.8
349.4
349.5
354.3
350.3
350.0

410.3

1,142.4

554.3

91.3

77.7

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1

500.3
483.8

427.8
409.0

87.1
86.9
86.3
88.3
92.1
96.3
99.0
101.4
101.6
101.1
101.1
102.3

492.6
485.6
479.9
473.2
463.1
460.9
463.9
468.2
471.9
475.3
480.8
483.8

103.3

484.9

Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

260.1
302.5
326.8
327.4
417.2
436.6
439.0
487.4

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4

1

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.7

207.4
231.0

260.3

351.3

347.9

here.
See Note pg. 26
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures *•; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1980:
19811982:
19831984:
1985:
19861987:
1988-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1989: Dec '
1989:

Jan '
Feb '.
Mar '
May '
July '
Sept r.
Oct '
Nov '
Dee '

1990:

Jan <>




.

Nonhorrowed

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

285,105

265

84

20

276,767
277,561
278,472
278,398
278,712
279,210
280,137
280,923
281,970
282,944
283,381
285,105

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720
1,490
694
675
693
555
349
265

76
97
139
213
345
431
497
490
452
330
134
84

1,046
1,050
1,334
1,707
1,197
917
106
41
22
21
21
20

287,692

440

47

26

33,401
35,315
37 388
39,184
42,321
48,493
58,140
58,693
60,706

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,134
47,175
57,313
57,916
58,990

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,739
47,674
57,616
58,399
60,234

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,468
47,436
56,771
57,665
59,666

152,525
161,043
173,011
188,303
201,889
219,510
241,448
257,991
275,503

60,033

59,767

59,787

59,110

60,358
60,363
59,980
59,351
58,826
58,597
58,867
58,906
59,289
59,640
59,646
60,033

58,696
58,896
58,168
57,062
57,106
57,107
58,173
58,231
58,596
59,085
59,297
59,767

59,742
59,946
59,502
58,769
58,304
58,024
58,279
58,272
58,618
59,106
59,318
59,787

59,214
59,229
59,023
58,575
57,796
57,692
57,901
58,021
58,351
58,620
58,701
59,110

59,897

59,457

59,482

58,880

Special Notice, March 1, 1990.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.2 percent in January. Commercial and industrial loans were about
unchanged from their December level.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
2,400

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600
LOANS AND LEASES

1,200

1,200

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

200

200

160

OTHER SECURITIES-

160

III

120
1982

1984

1983

1985

III
1986

1988

1987

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

120
1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *]
All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

Total
securities 2

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dee
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dee
1990: Jan"....

1,307.7
1,401.5
1,553.6
1,723.7
1,911.4
2,094.5
2,239.6
2,417.2
2,577.4

U.S.
Government
securities

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.7
309.6
335.5

2,422.8
2,451.9
2,464.9
2,470.9
2,486.3
2,496.8
2,518.1
2,534.4
2,544.1
2,575.5
2,583.9
2,577.4

361.4
396.9
360.4
361.8
368.8
370.7
373.5
373.8
374.4
376.6
378.8
391.7
397.5
396.9

2,585.8

404.6

Other
securities

160.9
165.7
170.6
142.6
181.4
196.5
195.3
194.0
181.3
189.6
190.4
189.7
187.2
186.4
185.8
184.6
182.8
182.9
182.7
180.3
181.3
178.0

Total

2

Commercial
and
industrial

967.5
1,034.1
1,123.9
1,321.0
1,459.3
1,588.4
1,708.8
1,861.9
1,999.2

355.4
392.6
414.1
472.9
499.7
536.2
562.7
601.9
634.2

1,872.9
1,899.7
1,906.5
1,913.1
1,926.5
1,937.3
1,959.1
1,974.9
1,982.4
2,001.1
2,006.1
1,999.2

606.6
619.0
617.8
620.6
626.3
624.9
632.1
637.3
636.9
641.1
641.6
634.2

2,003.3

634.5

Heal
estate

Individual

Security

Nonbank
financial
institutions

284.1
299.8
330.8
376.3
425.8
494.0
589.0
672.0
754.8
678.9
685.6
691.8
699.5
705.5
712.0
719.9
729.0
734.4
741.1
747.7
754.8
759.2

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.8
315.9
329.5
355.5
378.1
357.9
358.9
360.6
362.9
365.4
366.0
367.0
369.3
372.1
374.4
376.9
378.1
380.7

21.5
25.4
28.1
34.3
48.7
40.1
34.4
38.5
r
37.7
37.6
44.7
43.5
39.9
r
37.6
r
40.8
r
40.1
39.3
39.9
41.4
r
40.5
r
37.7
36.5

29.9
31.3
30.5
31.4
32.5
35.0
31.9
30.0
32.2
30.1
30.5
29.6
29.1
28.6
30.2
31.2
31.1
31.3
32.4
33.1
32.2
32.2

2

Agricultural

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.6
29.4
30.7
30.5
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.4
30.3
30.3
30.4
30.3
30.2
30.1
30.3
30.5
30.7

State
End
political
subdivisions

0.0
.0
3.3
46.0
56.7
58.4
52.5
46.7
41.0
44.2
44.3
44.3
44.4
44.4
44.2
43.9
43.6
43.5
42.9
42.3
41.0
39.4

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

18.1
14.8
13.4
11.1

7.2
5.9
9.4
7.9

9.7
9.6
7.5
7.6
9.1
7.8
8.5
8.2
8.4
9.4
9.3
8.9
9.3
8.5
9.7
9.0
9.1
8.8

6.0
5.9
5.3
4.9
3.8
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.9
4.9
4.7
4.5
4.3
4.3
4.0
3.8
3.8
3.4

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0

Forbanks

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securitiei

28



22.3
24.5
29.2
31.1
29.4
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.0
29.9
30.3
30.3
31.0
31.6
31.6
31.1
31.8

Other

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
36.3
39.4
42.1
44.9
r
46.7
44.8
43.1
45.6
43.2
r
44.2
r
44.9
50.8
r
51.0
50.2
52.3
49.2
r
46.7
46.2

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources

External
Period
Total

Internal

Capital
expenditures 3

Credit market funds

]

Total

Securities
a,nd
mortgages

Total

Loans and
short-term
paper

Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985..
1986
1987
1988

323.7
323.3
377.4
303.0
419.2
495.0
457.3
510.7
486.3
508.3

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
344.9
352.6
372.5

126.1
123.1
137.9
60.7
133.5
158.7
105.0
165.8
133.6
135.8

60.3
70.7
91.8
50.3
78.3
95.1
50.9
123.0
69.0
77.0

9.0
30.5
25.4
-1.7
44.6
-9.1
-3.0
58.9
38.1
7.7

51.3
40.2
66.4
52.0
33.7
104.2
53.9
64.0
30.9
69.3

65.8
52.5
46.0
10.4
55.2
63.6
54.1
42.9
64.6
58.8

368.3
341.6
382.9
302.7
392.0
473.0
422.9
448.2
453.9
473.4

238.6
243.2
285.9
255.7
269.9
367.9
339.9
328.8
348.3
380.4

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
122.1
105.1
83.0
119.3
105.6
92.9

-44.6
-18.3
-5.6
.3
27.2
22.0
34.4
62.6
32.4
34.9

1988: I
II
III
IV

507.6
508.3
528.5
488.8

369.0
367.2
372.3
381.6

138.6
141.1
156.2
107.2

95.5
109.4
82.0
21.0

38.2
28.1
38.7
-74.3

57.3
81.3
43.3
95.3

43.1
31.7
74.3
86.2

470.9
474.1
500.8
447.7

359.2
380.7
390.1
391.8

111.7
93.3
110.8
55.9

36.7
34.3
27.7
41.1

1989: I
II
III ".

483.8
536.6
440.3

361.9
364.8
373.1

121.9
171.8
67.3

30.6
158.0
25.4

-52.2
30.5
-22.8

82.8
127.5
48.2

91.3
13.8
41.9

445.5
505.1
415.1

376.0
388.8
386.6

69.6
116.4
28.5

38.3
31.4
25.2

1979

1

Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capita
allowances, and foreign branch profit

2

Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S

3
Plant and [jiiipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Govi lors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding 1

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

1980:
1981:
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
19871988:
1989-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 2P

1989- Jan 2
Feb
Mar
Apr
June
July
Aue

Oct
Nov r
Dec p

Other

Revolving

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
717,074

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
289,459

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
203,301

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
22,602

112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
201,711

682,020
687,397
691,162
693,911
698,132
700,849
700,344
703,001
704,371
707,562
712,160
717,074

286,382
288,767
288,850
289,654
290,741
290,192
288,526
288,533
287,754
288,747
289,200
289,459

176,716
178,570
182,831
184,500
186,502
189,622
191,028
194,398
195,302
196,379
199,240
203,301

26,036
25,992
24,168
23,993
23,952
23,685
23,630
22,938
22,991
22,947
22,567
22,602

192,886
194,068
195,314
195,763
196,936
197,349
197,161
197,132
198,324
199,490
201,154
201,711

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988




Mobile
home

Automobile

Mobile
home

Automobile

Revolving

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786

-539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
-643

-329
-1,529
-344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323

5,377
3,765
2,749
4,221
2,717
-505
2,657
1,371
3,191
4,598
4,913

2,385
82
804
1,087
-549
-1,667
7
-779
993
453
259

1,854
4,261
1,670
2,002
3,120
1,406
3,370
904
1,076
2,861
4,062

-44
-1,824
-174
—41
-267
-56
-692
53
— 44
-380
35

1,182
1,246
449
1,173
413
-189
-29
1,192
1,166
1,664
557

Total

and January 1989. Because of breaks in series, net change not available.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Other

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose in February.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

II OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: SEE TABLE BELOW

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) l

Constant maturities
3-year

2

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard3 &
Poor's)

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) 4

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months '

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.K.
5

Bank)

Prime rate
charged r by
banks '

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHFB) 6

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69
8.12

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26
8.55

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85
8.49

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76
7.24

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71
9.26

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68
8.80

13.42
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20
6.93

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.21
9.32
10.87

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19
10.13

1989: Feb
Mar .
Apr
May
June
July
Aue
Sent
Oct
Nov
Dec

8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22
7.92
7.91
7.72
7.63
7.65
7.64

9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.37
7.83
8.13
8.26
8.02
7.80
7.77

9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19
8.01
7.87
7.84

7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97
6.97
7.08
7.27
7.22
7.13
7.01

9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.10
8.93
8.96
9.01
8.92
8.89
8.86

9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.80
8.35
8.32
8.50
8.24
8.00
7.93

6.50-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00
11.00-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50

9.82
9.99
10.17
10.18
10.42
10.48
10.22
10.24
10.11
10.09
10.07

1990: Jan
Feb
Week ended:
1990: Feb 3
10
17
24
Mar 3 "

7.64
7.76

8.13
8.39

8.21
8.47

7.13
7.21

8.99
9.22

7.96
8.04

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.00
10.00-10.00

9.91

7.77
7.83
7.65
7.80
7.72

8.38
8.38
8.30
8.49
8.44

8.47
8.48
8.39
8.58
8.50

7.25
7.22
7.13
7.24
7.24

9.15
9.22
9.21
9.27
9.26

8.04
8.04
8.00
8.05
8.07

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-

1981
1982 ..

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

1
Bank-discount basis.
2
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

30



5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of iO years.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices fell in February.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOSCALE)

INDEX DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO SCALE)
240
220
200

V—*•"!

180

240
220
200
180

s.

s-/
APOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX ^^/ \
(NYSE)
_j|
(
\ S^^^

160
140

\T

120

160
140

~

120

/

/^^~

100

100

^-^~

/

80

60

1

80

^J"

60

,,, ,,!,,,,,

40
1983

1982

1

11 i 1 1 1 11 M i

1984

1986

1985

1987

1989

1988

40

1990

PERC ENT

PERC ENT
20

20

15

NGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMA(S&P1

!5

10

10

.

-—
5

^

0

1

|

1983

1982

|

i

|
1984

\

.

^

i

4
1985

^1

r

i t
1986

^-~

1

1

f

1987

5
i

i

i

1988

1
OURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE At •ID STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION

f

1

1

1989

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985... .

1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

Feb
Mar
Apr

Mav
Julv
Sept
Get

Nov
De'1990: Jan
Feb

Industrial

Transportation

|

0

1990

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

New York Stock Exchange indexes (T ec. 31, 1965 = 5 O ) 2
Composite

i

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Common stock prices *
Period

i

Utility

Finance

Dow- Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10) 4

Dividendprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
180.02

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
216.23

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
175.28

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77
87.43

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
151.88

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82
2,508.91

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79
322.84

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64
3.45

165.08
(64.60
169.38
175.30
180.76
185.15
192.94
193.02
192.49
188.50
192.67

200.00
19,9.20
204.81
211.51
216.75
221.74
231.32
230.86
229.40
224.38
230.12

162.66
160.14
164.32
168.89
173.47
179.32
197.52
202.02
190.36
174.26
177.25

77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.90
90.40
92.91
93.44
94.67
94.95
99.73

137.19
137.91
143.26
146.59
154.08
157.78
164.86
165.51
166.55
160.89
155.63

2,304.30
2,28,9.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,494.90
2,554.03
2,691.11
2,693.41
2,692.01
2,642.49
2,728.47

294.01
292.71
302.25
313.93
323.73
331.93
346.61
347.33
347.40
340.22
348.57

187.96
182.55

225.79
220.60

173.67
166.69

95.69
92.15

150.11
142.68

2,679.24
2,614.18

339.97
330.45

3.59
,9.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.38
3.28
3.29
3.29
3.39
3.33
3.41
3.54

180.79
183.69
183.41
180.52
183.00

217.92
221.97
221.87
218.29
220.92

164.21
167.28
166.85
164.83
170.56

92.19
93.14
92.62
90.42
91.99

141.54
142.80
142.56
142.08
144.27

2,575.22
2,632.30
2,630.54
2,579.84
2,628.56

327.39
332.37
332.14
328.38
331.82

3.54
3.50
3.53
3.58
3.54

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01

8.46
7.93
6.80

Week ended:

1990:

Feb

3
10
17
24
Mar 3"




31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 4 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $59.8 billion, compared with a deficit of $64.8 billion a
year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

1,200 — RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^
1,100

1,100

OUTLAYS!'

V.--'

1,000

1,000

900

900

800

800

700

700

600

600

— SURPLUS OR DEFICIT H-^ -100

-100

-200

1

1982

1983

1984

1985

^

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

199l

vT

-200

FISCAL YEARS

!/ INCLUDES ON-BUOGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

-4.3
20
-1.1
50
— 7.9
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
210.9
225.8
236.0

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
52.8
59.7
78.6

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,866.2
3,113.3
3,319.2

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,189.3
2,298.7
2,357.3

66.3
69.9

12.1
13.0

2,706.2
2,973.8

2,110.6
2,260.4

1976....
Transition quarter
1977....
1978
1979....
1980
1981....
1982
1983 ..
1984

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

73 7
-14.7
53 6
-59.2
40 2
-73.8
78 9
-127.9
-207.8
-185.3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

-70.5
13 3
-49.7
-54.9
-38.2
-72.7
-73.9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

32
-1.4
39

1985
1986 .
1987
1988
1989
1990 (estimates)
1991 (estimates)..

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,073.5
1,170.2

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,197.2
1,233.3

-212.3
-221.2
-149.7
-155.1
-152.0
-123.8
-63.1

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
727.0
788.0
855.7

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
931.7
971.5
997.4

221 6
-237.9
-169.3
-193.9
204 7
-183.4
141 7

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
263.7
285.4
314.5

310.9
328.3

375.7
388.1

-64.8
-59.8

232.5
245.4

309.4
318.2

769
-72.8

78.4
82.9

Cumulative total, first 4
months' J
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990

. ..

1
Data from Monthly Treasury Slatemeni.
NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United Statet Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January

32



1990, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 4 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $17.4 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $12.4
billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

—RECEIPTSi/-

500

500

- INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXESV

400

400

300

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
"TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS '

200

CORPORATION
INCOME TAXES"

200

100

100

0
900

—OUTLAYS-!/ -

900

800

800

NONDEFENSE

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

NATIONAL DEFENSE
300

300

200

200

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1991

1990

FISCAL YEARS
_!/'INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Corporation
income
taxes

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

298.1 131.6
355.6 157.6
399.6 181.0
463.3 217.8
511. 1 244.1
599.3 285.9
617.8 297.7
600.6 288.9
666.5 298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980 ..
1981
1982
1983
1984 ,
1985
1986
1987 ....
1988
1989
1990 (estimates)
1991 (estimates)
Cumulative total, first 4 months: *
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990

Other

Total
Total

International
affairs

Health

Medicare

Income
security

Social
security

Net
interest

Other

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.1
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
8S.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9

85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

Department of
Defense,
military

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.7
1,073.5
1,170.2

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.7
139.4
528.5

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.6
112.0
129.7

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
385.4
421.4

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.0
86.6
90.6

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,197.2
1,233.3

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
296.3
303.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
294.9
286.8
292.1

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
14.6
18.2

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
57.8
63.7

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
96.6
98.6

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.0
146.6
153.7

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.5
248.5
264.8

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
175.6
173.0

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.4
161.3
158.1

310.9
328.3

149.4
163.4

28.7
25.1

105.3
109.8

27.5
30.1

375.7
388.1

99.5
95.7

96.6
92.6

1.9
5.2

16.0
17.7

26.0
30.7

43.0
46.4

74.3
79.2

54.4
58.5

60.8
54.7

1
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States
1990, except as noted.




National defense

Individual
income
taxes

Fiscal year

Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

wnt, Fiscal Year 1991, January

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, Federal expenditures rose $22.9 billion (annual rate);
receipts data are incomplete.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1,200

1,200
EXPENDITURES

1,000

1,000

-\

800

800

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT {-)

\[

-200

-200
1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Personal

Period
Total

tax and

nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and

nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Pur-

Total

chases
of goods
and

Transfer
payments

services

Grantsin-aid to
State
and

local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Surplus
or deficit
Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

(-),

national
income
and

product
accounts

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6
1,046.4

340.4
357.0
401.2
408.0
457.3

74.6
81.1
97.7
108.3
115.4

55.9
50.9
53.4
55.8
57.6

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4
416.1

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.4
1,104.0
1,175.6

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6
400.5

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7
461.6

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6
115.8

128.3
134.6
138.8
149.0
168.6

20.7
22.8
31.9
35.1
29.1

-0.1
.0
.1
1
.0

-185.5
212 8
-163.1
145 4
-129.2

Calendar year:
1985
1986
1987...
1988
1989 r.

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4
1,046.7

346.4
361.4
405.8
413.0
460.4

310.9
332.1
350.8
391.3
422.5
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
359.7
382.0
388.2
394.5
400.6
414.3
420.2
424.8
430.6

355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
402.9

1,183.7
1,198.6
1,187.9
1,210.8

399.0
406.0
402.7
404.0

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4
171.1
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
147.3
144.9
149.9
153.9
157.0
167.0
172.0
171.2
174.3

20.3
26.0
32.6
36.0
29.2
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
41.9
34.4
41.2
29.4
38.9
38.5
35.3
20.1
22.8

.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
2

1,096.5
1,114.7
1,099.8
1,162.1

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.1
374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4
119.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
102.2
110.1
112.2
111.0
112.2
118.7
118.4
118.3
122.1

196 9
-206.9
161 4
145 8
-148.5

835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,101.7

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2
472.6
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
421.9
433.0
434.4
438.0
447.6
460.4
466.9
475.6
487.6

2
.0
.0
.0
.0

303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
420.0

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7
58.7
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
54.5
55.9
55.9
57.4
57.8
58.0
58.2
59.4
59.1

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8
1,118.3
1,195.2

633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
937.4
944.7
973.2
977.3
994.6
1,036.2
1,053.2
1,043.2

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4
105.1
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
103.1
104.2
111.6
114.0
115.8
117.0
109.7
99.9

-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
212 2
-189.0
164 4
-151.8
-141.5
-122.5
167 6
-147.5
-145.4
— 144.7

1982:
1983:
1984:
19851986:
19871988:

1989:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I.

n
in
IV
I.
II

m

IV r

402.7
417.5
411.4
420.3
446.8
465.1
459.1
470.8

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

34



.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES

118.1
117.8
118.8
119.2
116.9
117.8
118.8
120.5
119.7
120.8
120.2

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Cieneral merchandise imports (customs value) ft

Merchandise exports (f.a.s. viiUie) '
Principal end-use commodity catogorv

Period
Total z

1982
1983
1984
5

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

5

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Copta!
goods
except
automotive

216.4
205.6
224.0
218.8
227.2
254.1
322.4
364.3

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3
35.0

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1
92.8

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2
123.7

1988:

Dec

28 9

2.8

7.4

10.1

1989:

Jan
Feh
Mar

29.0
28 8
30.1
30.8
30.5
31.3
30.5
30.6
30.7
31.0
30.4
31.1

2.9
29
3.2
3.1
3.2
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.8

7.1
7.5
7.6
8.0
7.9
8.3
8.2
7.8
7.6
7.8
7.7
7.5

9.4
9.3
9.9
10.1
9.8
10.6
10.9
10.6
11.7
10.8
9.8
10.8

May

July
Aug
Sept ...
Oct
Nov r
Dec




Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
en-

15.7
16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3
29.3

2.4
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.7
2.3
2.6
2.5
2.7

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Total
Other

2

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1
32.8

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4
50.7

23

3.6

2.4
2.5
2.7
2.8
2.6
2.9
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.7
29
3.2

4.7
4.2
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.0
3.6
4.0
3.7
4.4
4.8
4.1

4
4

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
plk's
and
materials

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
gincs

Consumer
goods
(iionInod)
except
automotive

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4
114.1

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7
85.6

6.5
39.7
6.3
44.9
TO.O 1.8
68.3
9.4
79.4
10.4
12.1
88.7
12.8
95.9
13.5
102.5

Capital
goods
except
automotive

472.9

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8
25.1

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3
132.0

39.7

2 2

10.2

9.1

8.0

9-0

37.9
38.2
39.5
39.0
40.5
39.3
38.7
40.7
39.2
41.3
40.7
38.3

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.2
2.0
2.0

10.7
10.0
11.0
11.3
11.7
11.4
11.4
11.4
10.3
11.8
11.0
10.4

9.0
9.3
9.3
9.1
9.9
9.5
9.1
10.2
9.6
9.7
10.3
9.2

7.4
7.6
7.7
7.3
7.2
6.7
6.6
7.1
7.2
7.1
7.0
6.7

7.7
8.3
8.3
8.3
8.5
8.5
8.6
8.~
9.0
9.0
9.0
8.7

244.0
258.0
330.7
336.5
365.4
406.2

441.0

1.9
2.3
22
2.0

Other

General
merchandise
imports
(e.i.f.
value)

Exports
(f.a.s) less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

-38.4
-27.5
-64.2
-52.4
-V22.4
- TO6.7

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5
492.9

-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
-108.6

-155.1
-170.3
-137.1
-128.5

1.2

41.3

-10.8

-12.5

.9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
l.l
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.2
1.2

39.5
39.7
41.2
40.7
42.2
40.9
40.4
42.4
40.8
43.1
42.4
39.9

-8.9
-9.4

-10.5
-10.9
-11.2
-9.9
-11.7
-9.6
— 9.9
-11.9
-10.1
-12.0
-12.1
-8.8

- 133.6

-8.3
-10.1
-8.0
— 8.2
-10.1
-8.5
-10.2
- 10.3
— 7.2

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
!n the fourth quarter of 1989, the merchandise trade deficit rose slightly, to $28.8 billion from $28.6 billion in the
third quarter. (Data revised.)
SILL ONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

10

10
5

5

:;:::

0

"

\:I/

-5

s
-10

Vv
\

-

0

A*

x A^

^\

\

\>
\%
\ \\
\

V

v

N \

\

-20

-15

X

-25

\

B 4.LANCE ON GOO DS

AND SERVICES

-20

X

•^

\

\

/^ «^ V

-- -.

\ ^"

\\

\ ^
'^...
&^ERCHANDISE TRADE.
BALANCE

\

;T
*°

w

/

/"^

-40
-45

,

I I I
1981

1982

1983

1

,-, !i
it
; ^ ><f-

'v^-'\

\^

L_L-_L_L_
1984

\
1986

1985

/

-25
-30

p ALANC

-35

CUR RENT A CCOUNT

40
I

1

1

1987

LJ

1

1 I !

-45

1989

1988

"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)]
Merchandise ' 2

Investment income 3
military
transac'

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

— 2,577
— 1,523
— 474
— 343
— 2,099
-3,557
— 4,576
— 2.857
—4,606

— 997
144
— 992
— 4,227
— 7,885
— 9,832
— 8,031
— 7,324
— 2,633

-1,089
— 777
-176
-210
-1,031
-1,440
— 964
-1,033
-1,006
— 1 ,604
-1,498
-1,518
-968

-1,874
— 2,241
- 1 ,965
-2,088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
— 297
91
193

Net

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988

. .

1989 p....

Exports

Imports

224,269
237,085
211498
201,820
219,900
215,935
223,367
250,266
319,251
361,872
56,182
56,490
57,255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447

— 249,749
— 265,063
— 247*642
— 268,900
— 332,422
— 338,083
— 368,425
— 409,766
— 446,466
— 475*120
— 92,983
-95,081
-95,916
-99,834
-104,903
-109,113
- 109,893
— 109,882
-110,943
-115,748
r
-116,138
r
- 118,813
'"-119,249
-120,920

1986: III
IV
1987: I
II
Ill
IV
1988: l
II
I 78,471
III
80,604
IV
83,729
1989: I
''87,783
r
II
91,284
Ill ".... '90,691
IV ?.... 92,114

36



Net balance

Receipts

Payl
'

Net

— 25,480 72,506
— 42,119 30,387
— 52,329 34,083
— 27,978 86,412
_ 36*444 83*548
— 54*884 28*664
— 67,080 77,251
— 52,376 24,875
— 112,522 85,908 — 67,419 18,489
— 122,148 88*,832
— 62*901 25,931
— 145,058 88,615
— 66,968 21,647
— 159*500 104*703
— 82*420 22,283
— 127,215 107.775 — 105,548
2,227
— 113*248
-36.801 21.744
6,015
-15,729
4,472
-38,591 20,822
— 16,350
5,362
-38.681 25,117
-19,755
2,190
-39,819 22,744
-20,554
-40,606 23,578
-21,904
1,674
— 40,414 33 265
-20,207
13,058
-33.446 26.750
2,795
-23,955
— 31,411 23.148
-25,613 -2,465
-30,339
24,720 i -27,310 -2,590
— 32,019 33,159
4,489
-28,670
-28,355 26,830
-29,246 -2,416
-27,529 26,644
-32,765 -6,121
r
-28,558 33,808
2,611
-31,197
-28,806

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers *

7,794
9,126
— 7,593
— 7,647
11,085
15,810
2,191
— 9,188
11,436
-3,776
12,264
— 34,510
12,299
— 91,718 — 12,468
12,351 — 97,256 — 15,426
18,547 — 117,470 — 15,778
17,909 — 129,488 — 14,212
20,335 — 111,892 — 14,656
4,539
4,807
4,250
4.372
4,555
4,734
4,787
5,042
5,126
5,381
5,725
5,886
6,884

-29,210
-32,330
-31,190
-35,555
-36,687
— 26,055
-28,682
-30,586
-28,964
-23,659
-26,864
-29,216
-19,031

-4,376
-4,136
— 3,137
-3,265
-3,225
-4,586
-3,364
-2,899
-3,376
— 5,018
-3,526
-2,868
-3,656

.Balance
on current
account

1,533
8,163
— 6,997
-44,286
-104,186
-112,682
— 133,249
— 143,700
— 126,548

-33,586
-36,466
-34,327
-38,820
-39,912
-30,641
-32,046
-33,485
-32,340
-28,877
-30.390
-32,084
— 22,687

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $20.7 billion in the third quarter of
1989, in contrast to a decrease of $27.2 billion in the second quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by
U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $25.7 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of
$21.4 billion in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

1989
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOLIRCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as notedl
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/eapit
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 4 5

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase /capital inflow (-f-)] 4

]

U.S.
pnvate
assets

Foreign
official
assets

Other
foreign
assets

58,112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
-1,083
35,594
45,193
38,882

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418

Total

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

Total (sum
of the items
witli sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 5
(unadjusted,
imii oi
period)

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
-32,628
-99,665
-76,218
-82,110

-8,155
-5,175
-4,965
-1,196
-3,131
-3,858
312
9,149
-3,566

III
IV

-26,078
-33,422

280
132

— 1,565
11

— 24,793
-33.565

69,927
62,339

15.785
1,251

54,142
61,088

-10,263
7,549

-4,669
4,463

48,087
48,51 1

1987: I
IT
Ill
IV

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

1,956
3,419
32
3,742

40
-195
308
843

6,763
-25,856
-26,316
-40,955

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

14,040
10,329
753
20,070

19,341
40.805
72,822
39,879

-7.813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

3,895
-2,559
— 4,501
3,166

48,824
45.140
45,070
45,798

1988:

I
11
Ill
IV

4,540
— 16,119
-37,886
-32,648

1,503
39
-7,380
2,272

-1,490
-885
1,961
3,413

4,528
-15,273
-32,467
-38,332

27,027
65,334
46.179
80,759

24,63!
5,895
— 2,234
10,589

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
— 19^434

3,843
-3,714
-4,556
4,431

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

1989:

1
II
III"....

-31,318
377
— 47,156

-4,000
-12,095
-5,996

1,049
-309
644

93 367
12,781
-41,804

60,007
-1,789
72,482

7,^78
-5.201
11,246

52,529
3.412
61 233

1,702
33,496
-2,638

4,127
-2,31!
-5,115

49,854
60.502
68,418

1986:




-5,162
-72,802
-5,097 -100,679
— 6,131 -110,058
-5,006
-43.576
-5.489
-13,685
— 2,821 -25,950
-2,024
— 97,954
997 -86,363
-81,543
2,999

Department of

1,152
1,093

26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

25,322
18,663
34,404
9 194
'3 869
15,298
11,308
1,878
— 10,641

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
.-...
Disposition of Personal Income
'....
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
;
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
-° Preliminary.
r

Revised.
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
c

For sale by ;,hc Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.O. 20402. Price $2,25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
SubRi'ription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.

38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

:

1990

0—27-194