View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

101st Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
AUGUST

1989

(Includes data available as of August 30, 1989)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1989

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member-Designate
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the second quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.3
percent (annual rate) or $90.7 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 2.7 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 4.6 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600

5,600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

5,200

5,200

^
4,800

_
4,800

^\

—

—

GNP

4,400

4,400

IN CURRENT DC LLARS ^__^

^

—
4,000

4,000

S^-

^

,_-'"'

3,600

3,200

"" "~~ **«.

X>

*i

*-— ^—tf^

—

\
\
GNP
IN 1982 DO LARS

3,600

—
3,200

—

-^~~

2,800

2,400

2,800

1

1

1

1

1981

1

!

1

! 1
1983

1982

1

1

1

1

1984

I

1

1

1

1

1

1 !

1

1987

1986

1985

I

1

!

! 1

2,400

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
ment

Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

1980..
1981
1982....
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
-58.9
-78.0
-97.4
-112.6
-73.7

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
561.2
621.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.8
83.3

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
544.5
587.6

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,829.0
4,636.8
4,954.3

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8

14.1
-25.8
-67.9
-103.2
-108.9

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2

1987: III
IV

4,566.6
4,665.8

3,055.9
3,083.3

692.8
749.7

-115.3
-114.6

458.0
482.6

573.4
597.2

933.2
947.5

384.5
388.1

300.2
296.8

84.3
91.3

548.7
559.4

4,557.1
4,602.5

4,681.9
4,780.4

1988: I
II
UI
IV

4,739.8
4,838.5
4,926.9
5,017.3

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

-82.8
-74.9
-66.2
-70.8

521.6
532.5
556.8
579.7

604.3
607.5
623.0
650.5

945.7
960.1
958.6
1,011.4

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

297.4
298.0
296.1
300.5

76.7
79.1
71.4
105.9

571.6
583.0
591.0
604.9

4,709.8
4,809.2
4,882.3
4,998.7

4,822.5
4,913.4
4,993.1
5,088.1

1989: I
II r

5,113.1
5,203.8

3,381.4
3,446.8

769.6
774.7

— 54.0
-52.7

605.6
623.2

659.6
675.9

1,016.0
1,034.9

399.0
407.8

298.7
302.0

100.4
105.8

617.0
627.1

5,085.4
5,176.5

5,167.1
5,256.5

1

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and s




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment
Period

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
national
product

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Change
in
business
inventories

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050,7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1

57.0
-6.9
23.9
49.4
26.3
-24.5
-19.9
-6.4
62.3 -84.0
9.1 - 104.3
5.6 -129.7
23.7 -115.7
27.9 -74.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.2
261.5

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.4
67 .4

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3

-59.3
27.0
41.7
7.7
-20.8

11.7
-46.2
-94.8
-135.4

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0

1987: m
IV

3,872.8
3,935.6

2,536.5
2,532.3

472.8
472.7

192.1
191.9

6.8 -118.9
56.6 -109.8

461.3
484.1

580.2
593.9

783.5
792.1

340.7
344.9

270.6
266.7

70.1
78.2

442.8
447.2

3,866.0
3,879.0

3,991.7
4,045.5

1988: I

m
rv

3,974.8
4,010.7
4,042.7
4,069.4

2,570.8
2,586.8
2,608.1
2,627.7

483.6
497.8
501.0
492.7

189.1
194.2
195.1
198.1

34.3
21.5
37.5
18.3

-78.2
-72.6
-74.9
-73.8

517.4
519.7
531.9
551.4

595.6
592.3
606.9
625.2

775.1
783.0
775.9
806.4

323.8
327.9
319.8
343.9

263.0
262.5
258.8
261.6

60.8
65.4
61.0
82.3

451.3
455.1
456.1
462.5

3,940.5
3,989.2
4,005.2
4,051.0

4,052.9
4,083.3
4,117.6
4,143.2

1989- I
TLr

4,106.8
4,134.0

2,641.0
2,655.3

501.0
511.0

195.6
189.1

24.5
19.0

-55.0
-52.5

569.7
585.2

624.6
637.7

799.7
812.0

335.5
345.4

254.4
256.6

81.1
88.9

464.2
466.5

4,082.3
4,115.0

4,161.8
4,186.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
1984:
19851986:

IV ..
IV
IV ..
IV
IV ....

n

1

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

Gross
national
product

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Gross private
domestic investment

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
110.1

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
328.8

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0

1987- III

117.9
118.6

120.5
121.8

108.8
109.0

112.8
113.7

129.8
131.5

96.7
97.0

117.8
118.7

99.3
99.7

98.8
100.6

112.8
112.5

110.9
111.3

120.3
116.8

123.9
125.1

1988- I

119.2
120.6
121.9
123.3

122.5
123.9
125.1
126.5

109.3
109.6
110.2
111.2

114.0
115.9
117.1
118.2

132.7
134.2
135.6
137.3

97.7
97.8
98.4
100.6

119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4

100.8
102.5
104.7
105.1

101.5
102.6
102.7
104.0

115.5
115.0
114.9
118.2

113.1
113.5
114.4
114.9

126.2
121.0
117.1
128.7

126.7
128.1
129.6
130.8

1989: I
II '

124.5
125.9

128.0
129.8

111.2
110.8

120.0
123.3

139.0
140.4

100.4
100.3

122.1
124.2

106.3
106.5

105.6
106.0

118.9
118.1

117.4
117.7

123.8
119.1

132.9
134.4

1980
1981
1982
1983 ..
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IT
IV
IV .
IV

rv

n
Ill
rv

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysi




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
8.4
9.0
6.5
8.6
7.5
7.5
7.9
7.3

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
19841985:
19861987:
1988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
in
IV
I

n
m
rv

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

.

1989- I

n'.

-0.2
1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
5.3
6.6
4.0
3.7
3.2
2.7
3.7
2.7

Implicit
price
deflator

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.8
2.4
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.6

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
3.8
3.8
4.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.1

9.0
9.4

6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.7
3.3
3.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
4.9

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

02
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4

10.6

10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
9.2
3.6
8.7
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.1
8.0

5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
2.2
4.7
-.7
6.2
2.5
3.3
3.0
2.0
2.2

Chain price
index

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9
4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9
4.4
4.4
2.3
4.7
3.9
4.6
4.8
5.7

10.9
9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.1
4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9
4.4
4.3
2.6
5.0
4.3
4.8
4.7
5.9

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)
10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9
4.4
4.5
2.6
5.1
4.6
4.9
4.8
6.4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysi

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
HI
IV
1988- I

n
m ..
rv

1989- I p

n

1

Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) '

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Indirect
business
taxes 3

Net
interest

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax 4

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,520.7
2,731.3
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.4
2,408.7
2,556.2
2,598.4
2,648.1
2,705.9
2,754.9
2,816.4

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,282.6
2,419.5
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,309.2
2,343.3
2,381.8
2,408.9
2,434.1
2,453.2

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.107
1.109
1.112
1.123
1.132
1.148

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.123
.122
.122
.122
.122
.124

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.107
.106
.106
.107
.108
.108

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.726
.734
.732
.740
.746
.756

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.048
.050
.050
.051
.053
.055

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044

.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.103
.098
.102
.103
.102
.105

.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.044
.041
.041
.044
.044
.045

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.060
.057
.060
.059
.058
.061

2,842.7
2,884.5

2,459.1
2,469.2

1.156
1.168

.125
.126

.110
.111

.768
.779

.057
.060

.096
.092

.045
.040

.051
.052

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
3
Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
4
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Compensation of
employees

Current
dollars

lars,
3

Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Total

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars) *

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars) *

'18.524
r
18.643
' 18.704
'19.217
' 19.682
•"19.996
' 20.456
' 20.908
' 2 1.446
T
18.770
'19.423
* 19.783
r
20.117
'20.646
'21.090
'21.192
'21.418
'21.453
'21.528
'21.506

' 10.769
'11.777
'12.635
' 13.039
' 13.528
'14.069
'14.746
'15.252
'15.947

r

' 16.449

21.411

'12.865
'13.209
'13.735
'14.342
' 15.005
'15.319
' 15.546
'15.672
'15.871
'16.068
'16.259

* Data reflect revisions beginning 1986 of GNP and related items published July 27, 1989, and
revisions due to changes in the labor input series. See Note, page 16 for details.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982198319841985:
19861987-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
TTT
IV

1988- I

n
m

IV

. .

1989- I
II"
1

Kental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,473.1
3,694.8
3,799.9

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,709.8
2,778.7

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
33.6
48.4

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
271.6
280.3

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
11.5
14.3

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
313.0
308.2

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
261.5
255.8

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
281.0
276.2

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-19.4
-20.4

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
51.5
52.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
355.3
370.0

3,853.6
3,933.6
4,005.7
4,097.4

2.819.4
2,878.9
2,935.1
2,997.2

44.0
45.4
37.7
32.0

279.9
286.5
289.3
296.3

15.6
14.6
16.3
16.1

318.1
325.3
330.9
340.2

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

-20.7
28 8
-30.4
-20.1

49.9
48.9
46.9
41.5

376.6
383.0
396.4
415.7

300.3
304.2

r

11.8
9.7

316.3
309.1

279.7
276.9

318.0
297.6

4,185.2
4,249.9

3,061.7
3,118.0

r

r

59.0
50.7

T

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

T

-38.3
— 20.7

r

36.6
32.3

436.1
458.1

r

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)
Domestics

Imports

1982....
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984- IV
1985- IV
1986- IV
1987: m
IV

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,055.9
3,083.3

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
439.3
424.5

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
211.3
196.3

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.0
151.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
77.0
76.7

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,006.0
1,015.4

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
531.7
536.8

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
178.9
180.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.8
76.7

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
218.6
221.3

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,610.6
1,643.3

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
7.8
6.6

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.5
3.3

1988: I

n
in

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

446.4
454.6
452.5
467.4

210.3
212.5
208.4
215.3

156.9
162.2
162.7
166.1

79.2
79.9
81.4
86.0

1,022.2
1,042.4
1,066.2
1,078.4

542.5
554.5
567.8
574.1

180.8
183.6
188.9
193.9

74.3
76.9
78.3
77.6

224.5
227.5
231.2
232.8

1,679.5
1,707.9
1,744.7
1,778.2

7.7
7.5
7.4
7.5

3.2
3.2
3.0
3.0

n

3,381.4
3,446.8

466.4
471.0

211.7
212.9

172.1
173.7

82.6
84.4

1,098.3
1,122.0

587.3
592.8

195.0
199.2

77.9
88.8

238.1
241.2

1,816.7
1,853.8

7.0
7.3

2.8
3.0

IV
1989- I r

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $32.8 billion (annual rate) in July, following an increase of $20.5 billion in June. Wages and
salaries increased $25.4 billion in July, compared with an increase of $17.6 billion in June.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RAT1O SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000
4,000

4,000

--

r-r""'

.

3,000

1

3,000

TOTA L PERSONAL Ih4 COME

__

.

^

---*"

'

--""
2,000

2,000
"~"\
__----"""
. _ _ — • - • -

—

WAGE AS D SALARY DISE URSEMENTS

—

1,400

1,400

'
\"~'\"

1

C3THER INCOME
800

800

-'

•

—-

~"~T~"
TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

^""~~

400

_..-- — — • ,.

/ ——
|Illl|lllll

tmilmii

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

1981

1982

1983

1984

400

miilum iimhim iiii||ini| miilmti miilmu
1986

1985

1988

1987

SEASONALLY ADJUS TED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARIME IT OF COMMERCE

1989

COUNCIL OF

CONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981

2,258 4
2 5209
2,670 8
2 8386
3,1087

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

personal
income

3 325 3
3,526 2

3 777 6
4,064 5
July

..

Aug
Sent ...

Oct

.Nov
Dee
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr *
May r
July"

Wage and
salary
disbursements 1

1 3720

1 5103

1 586 1
1 676 6
1 8386
1 9754
20948
2 2494
24290

4079 8
4,094.2

2 443 4

4 118 6
4 1804
4 1689
4 206 3

2 465 6

4 273 1
4 319 5

2447 7
2497 1

1384
1503
163 6

173 6
182 9
187 6
199 3
212 8
228 9
229 3
231 1
232 9
234 7

2 '501 6
2 516 7

2365

2 5454

239 7
241 3
242 9
244 4

2 557 3

43607

2 5794

4 386 8
4 416 2

2601 3
2 603 5
2 621 1

4449 0

26465

43957

Proprietor ' income 3
Other labor
income l z

238 2

2460

247 5
249 1

Farm

205
30 7
24 6
12 4

305
30 2
347
41 6
39 8
41 0
386
33 4
47 1
19 5
29 4
48 0
65 9
63 0
56 1
53 7
42 3
36 1

1
The total ol wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
4
With capital consumption adjustment.




Nonfarm

160 1

156 1
150 9
1784
2040

225 6
247 2
2700
2880

288 5
288 5
2909
2958

295 7
297 4
299 6
3006

300 8
304 6
303 5
304 7
3074

Less:
income of
persons 4

66
13 3
13 6
13 2
85
92
11 6
134
15 7
15 6
16 5
16 7
16 4
16 1
16 0
13 8
11 8
99
97
97
96
96

dividend
income

interest
income

52 9
61 3

271 9

63 9
68 7
75 5
78 7
85 8
920
102 2
102 4
103 9
104 7
105 8
106 5
106 9
1084
109 4
110 3
111 0
111 4
111 8
112 8

369 7

3354

393 1
444 7
4780

493 2
523 2
571 1
570 1
576 0
583 0
590 8
598 6
6064

616 5
628 9
641 5
6484

655 2
661 8
6682

payments 5

324 7
368 1
410 6
442 6
456 6
489 8
521 5
5482

584 7
585 7
587 9
588 7
592 2
593 5
595 6
610 7
614 2
624 2
623 9
625 5
631 1
634 3

5

contributions
for social
insurance

88 6
104 5
112 3
120 1

132 7
149 3
161 9
172 9
1949
196 1
195 9
197 2
199 5
199 1
200 1
209 0
209 8
211 3
212 6
212 7
213 8
2150

personal
income e

2 215 8
2465 6

2 618 7

2 799 0
3052 1

3 271 3
3 469.4

3 714 7
4 003.7

4017 9
4 034.6
4064 1

4 112 3
4 1284
4 155 9
4
4
4
4
4

2040
2324
2765
3073
3205

4 352 3
4 391.1

Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Persona! income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other fa&or income,
and agricultural net interest.
B

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income was about unchanged in the second quarter of 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

1,400

1,400

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
1 6,000

16,000

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

^,-—

14,000

14,000
CURRENT DOLLARS
V.
_^— •
_—-

12,000

r~--10,000

'
1

-r

-—'"

__r
^

12,000

.....

•

\

10,000

982 DOLLAR'

'

8,000

8,000

6,000

1

1

1

1

1981

1

1

1

1982

1

1

1983

!

1 1
1984

<

1

1985

1

1

1

1 1
1986

1 1
1987

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Persona!
income

Less:
Personal

tax and
nontax
payments

i
Equals:
Disposable
personal
income

2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.7
586.6

1,918.0
2,127.6
2,261.4
2,428.1
2,668.6
2,838.7
3,013.3
3,205.9
3,477.8

1 1
1988

1

1 1
1989

6,000

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Less:
Personal
outlays I

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in

1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

Billions of dollars

1980
1981...
1982....
1983..
1984....
1985...
1986
1987...
1988

1

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures
Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars
1,781.1
1,968.1
2407.5

2,297.4
2^504.5
2,713.3
2^888.5
3,104.1
3^333.1

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
101.8
144.7

2,214.3

2,248.6
2^261.5
2,331.9
2469.8
2,542.8
2^635.3
2,676.6
2^793.2

8,421
9,243
9,724
10,340
11,257
11,861
12,469
13,140
14,116

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) "

Percent

— .5

7.1
7.5
6.8

2.1
4.9
2.0
2.6
.6
3.3

5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
3.2
4.2

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,322
241,660
243,985
246,378

9,722

7,607

8,320
8,818
9,515
10^253
10,985
Ili576
12,340
13,131

8,783
8,794
8,818
9,139
9,489
9,839
10,123
10,303
10,546

— 1.1

9,769
9^724
9,930
10^419
10^625
10^905
10,970
Ili337

.5

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579

1987: m....
IV

3,795.5
3,908.7

572.0
589.2

3,223.5
3,319.4

3,149.9
3,177.6

73.6
141.8

2,675.6
2,726.2

13,196
13,552

10,953
11,130

12,510
12,588

10,384
10,339

5.6
6.6

2.3
4.3

244,274
244,936

1988: I

3,948.5
4,026.6
4,097.6
4,185.2

572.2
590.7
585.9
597.8

3,376.4
3,435.9
3,511.7
3,587.4

3,244.4
3,301.9
3,362.1
3,424.0

131.9
134.0
149.6
163.4

2,151.2
2,773.3
2,806.4
2,835.9

13,154
13,966
14,235
14,504

11,232
11,273
11,377
11,466

12,824
13,028
13,229
13,439

10,413
10,515
10,573
10,624

3.1
1.5
3.7
3.2

3.9
3.9
4.3
4.6

245,416
246,008
246,685
247,343

4,317.8
4,399.6

628.3
652.6

3,689.5
3,747.0

3,483.8
3,549.9

205.7
197.2

2,881.7
2,886.6

14,884
15,081

11,625
11,618

13,641
13,873

10,654
10,687

5.7
-.2

5.6
5.3

247,890
248,456

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

n
m....
IV

1989: I r

n ....

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.




Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the first quarter of 1989, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $18.8 billion (annual rate) and
net farm income rose $21.5 billion.
BULKDNS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO S CALE)

240
200

,—
1

160

~^-

«__

'

"

-^*"

240
200

"^

160

f

/

120

GRC3SS

120

FARM INC(JMb

80

80
An

40

40

20

20

10

10

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income ot farm operators from {arming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total '
Total

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986 ..
1987
1988
1986: m
IV
1987: I

149.3
166.4
163.5
153.0
174.9
166.2
159.8
169.8
177.5

..

n
m

IV
1988: I

n
m

IV
1989- I
1

..

158.1
162.6
173.6
162.5
168.9
173.7
175.3
182.5
174.9
177.1
195.9

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.6
142.4
144.0
135.1
138.1
151.3
137.8
137.7
134.9
134.4
146.5
136.6
144.2
148.6
160.2
152.0
153.2

Livestock and
products

Value of
inventory
changes 2

-6.3
6.5
— 1.4
10 9
6.3
24
-2.8
6
-4.3
23
-1.9

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
76.2
78.8

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.2
63.6
61.9
72.5

77.3
73.0

60.5
64.7

73.3
77.0
79.6
75.1
81.7
75.2
78.2
80.2

61.6
57.4
66.9
61.5
62.5
73.4
82.0
71.8

4
-1.9
-3.2
-3.8
47
-5.4

70.2

4.7

83.0

Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

Production
expenses

3

Q

.1

Current
dollars

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.3
123.5
132.1
121.1
120.7
120.3
124.1
125.0
124.6
126.7
129.3
135.4
137.0
134.3

1982 dollars *

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.2
32.3
37.5
46.3
45.4
37.0
41.9
53.4
38.4
43.9
49.0
48.7
53.2
39.5
40.1
61.6

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8
28.6
23.5
12.2
29.9
29.1
32.9
39.4
37.4
32.3
36.4
46.0
32.8
31.3
41.3
40.8
44.1
32.4
32.6
49.2

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the second quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $20.4 billion
(annual rate) and after-tax profits fell $9.3 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

360

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320

320

\

/^
280

240

200

280

v

-f~\

^

f

120

\

s

*"'S0
i

S. ., ,

,r

^'''' s — --

,._>-.

../' s

160

-X

S~~"

120

X

rA — '

80

TAX LIABILITY

'

-v

'-"

\
\

40

-^

— -— -^

'

V

200

-^ PR :>FITS AFTER T/tf

'' ^,

\v
80

240

^

•

~\\

S

r^] S-^

/"

/

\
160

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

40

UNDISTI IBUTED PROFI" S
1

I

1

1982

1981

I

I I
1983

1

1

1

1

1984

1

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

1

1

I

1

1987

1

1

1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Period

Nonfinancial
Total 2
Total

1980
1981 .
1982
1983...

1984
1985...
1986
1987...
1988

Financial

Total 3

Manufacturing

Profits
before tax

liability

Tax

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
208.7
238.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0

19821983:
19841985:
1986-

TV
TV
TV
TV
IV

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4

-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0

1987:

HI
IV

261.5
255.8

222.6
211.8

30.2
29.9

192.4
181.9

87.3
84.5

43.2
41.2

281.0
276.2

132.7
127.3

148.3
148.9

100.0
102.8

48.3
46.1

-19.4
-20.4

I

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

225.7
235.8
239.0
252.2

27.7
29.7
31.6
30.1

198.0
206.1
207.3
222.1

94.6
98.2
95.1
105.5

42.2
37.3
39.2
41.8

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

129.0
138.4
141.2
143.2

159.9
166.9
173.2
175.6

105.7
108.6
112.2
115.2

54.2
58.3
61.1
60.4

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
— 20.1

279.7
276.9

233.1
228.5

29.3
27.9

203.9
200.6

96.5

34.1

318.0
297.6

144.4
133.3

173.6
164.3

118.5
120.9

55.1
43.4

1988:

n

m
TV

1989- I
H"
1
2

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

r

-38.3
-20.7

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the second quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment rose $9.5 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $4.0 billion. There was a $27.3 billion increase in inventories, following
an increase of $27.7 billion in the first quarter of 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC

600

/

500

/

/

r—^\^}

"^

600

-

NONRESIDENTI/ 1
Fl> ED INVESTMEh•JT

500

-"•'"

/
"^1
""*----..

—

'

..-

— \~."

--'"""

700

—

^—1

>l

400

^~l

/^\

INVFSTMFNT

700

800

'--"'

400

—

^ S*

RESIDENTIAL
' Fl>(ED INVESTMEh41

300

V

200

300

—-

~~

200

-

,*~~
+>*

CHA NGE IN BUSIN ESS
INVENTORIES

_.*-

100

/

100
..

X%.

^^%

'V

f*

0

r — --/

,/""
\f

-100

1 1 1
1981

1

1

1

1982

\

\

\

1983

1

1 I
1984

1

1 1
1985

i i i
1986

1

1 1
1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1 1 1

1 1 1

1988

1989

-100

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

Gross
private
domestic
investment

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986..
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
1984:
198519861987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
TTT
IV

1988- I
TJ

m
IV

1989: I

Hr

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Nonresidential
Total
Total

Structures

Producers'
durable
equipment

Residential

Total

Nonfarm

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
670.6
719.6

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.3
487.2

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.8
140.3

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
310.5
346.8

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.4
232.4

83
24.0
245
-7.1
67.7
11.3
6.9
29.3
30.6

-2.4
18.3
-23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
30.5
34.2

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8

469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9

354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8

137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2

114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1

-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-12.2

-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
-8.0

692.8
749.7

683.2
686.3

457.0
458.6

137.3
138.9

319.8
319.7

226.2
227.7

9.5
63.3

14.0
61.3

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

698.7
719.1
726.5
734.1

472.7
487.1
493.2
495.8

137.1
139.9
142.0
142.5

335.6
347.2
351.3
353.3

226.1
232.1
233.2
238.4

30.0
29.3
44.6
18.7

24.2
30.4
41.5
40.8

769.6
174.1

742.0
141.4

503.1
512.6

144.7
142.8

358.5
869.8

238.8
234.8

27.7
21.3

19.1
23.8

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 9.9 percent in 1989, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

500

500

400

300

200

40

40

1981
J/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
_£/'SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total 1

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

1980....
1981
1982....
1983
1984
1985....
1986
1987....
1988
1989 4 .

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
429.67
472.08

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179.35

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.12
82.13

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
87.58
97.22

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.67
12.00

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.35
24.86

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.51
50.77

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.44
205.09

1987:

394.54
406.82

148.20
152.21

71.96
72.28

76.24
79.92

246.34
254.61

11.81
12.32

19.19
19.34

45.29
46.38

170.05
176.56

148.20
152.21

246.34
254.61

1988: I

412.02
426.94
436.01
443.71

158.60
161.69
168.91
173.61"

75.70
76.87
79.48
80.42

82.90
84.82
89.43
93.18

253.43
265.25
267.10
270.11

12.59
13.26
12.47
12.35

20.43
20.72
22.17
22.10

44.61
45.43
46.70
49.27

175.79
185.83
185.76
186.38

158.60
161.69
168.91
173.61

253.43
265.25
267.10
270.11

1989- I 4
n4

457.64
467.50
478.79
484.38

175.83
177.10
182.70
181.79

81.71
80.21
84.08
82.54

94.12
96.89
98.61
99.25

281.81
290.40
296.09
302.59

12.12
13.08
12.21
20.60

23.24
23.11
25.85
27.24

50.26
51.42
50.18
53.24

196.20
202.79
207.86
213.51

175.83
177.10
182.70
181.79

281.81
290.40
296.09
302.59

m
IV

n
in
rv

m4

IV
1

Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.

10



314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
482.40

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179 35

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
316.70

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

Surveyed
annuallyS

31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in April-May 1989, corrected for biases.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In July, civilian employment fell 82,000 and unemployment fell 64,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
124

124

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
116

116

112

112

108

108

104

104

CIVILIAN "
EMPLOYMENT

100

100

96

96

X-

-^
-•*,

f*

12

12

8
UNEMPLOYMENT

1982

1981

1983

1984

11111(11111
1985

4

1987

1986

1988

1 1 1 M 1 1 1 i 11
1989

0

' ! 6 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986'
1987
1988

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669

99,303
100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169

95,938
97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800

1988:
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

186,402
186,522
186,666
186,801
186,949
187,098

1,673
1,692
1,704
1,687
1,705
1,696

123,331
123,692
123,688
123,778
124,215
124,259

116,707
116,895
117,074
117,260
117,652
117,705

121,658
122,000
121,984
122,091
122,510
122,563

115,034
115,203
115,370
115,573
115,947
116,009

3,060
3,142
3,176
3,238
3,238
3,193

1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854
187,995
188,149

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673
1,666
1,666

125,124
124,865
124,948
125,343
125,283
125,768
125,622

118,407
118,537
118,820
118,797
118,888
119,207
119,125

123,428
123,181
123,264
123,659
123,610
124,102
123,956

116,711
116,853
117,136
117,113
117,215
117,541
117,459

3,300
3,223
3,206
3,104
3,112
3,096
3,219

Period

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

Agricultural

Total

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) aa percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unemployment

Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

Total

15
weeks
and
over

4,064
4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9

59.2
59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3

111,974
112,061
112,194
112,335
112,709
112,816

5,102
4,972
4,862
4,727
4,819
5,033

6,624
6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

1,619
1,568
1,554
1,502
1,495

65.9
66.0
66.0
66.0
66.1
66.1

62.3
62.3
62.4
62.4
62.6
62.6

113,411
113,630
113,930
114,009
114,102
114,445
114,240

4,837
4,697
4,709
4,930
4,609
4,801
4,505

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561
6,497

1,512
1,304
1,310
1,426
1,313
1,258
1,472

66.5
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4
66.6
66.5

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.1
63.0

Total

Part time
for
economicl
reasons

1,636

'Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change w
estimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In July, the overall unemployment rate was unchanged, at 5.2 percent, and the civilian unemployment rate fell
slightly, to 5.2 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

10

1989
'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

..

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers *

All
civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5

5.9
6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3

By sex and age

By selected groups

By race
Both
sexes
16-19
years

Black
and
other

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4

14.3
15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

4.2
4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3

9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1

6.9
7.3
9.6

White

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6

7.9
8.5
11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3

1988:

July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

5.4
5.5
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

5.4
5.6
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3

4.5
4.9
4.6
4.6
4.8
4.7

5.0
4.8
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.7

15.1
15.4
15.5
15.0
14.1
14.8

4.7
4.9
4.7
4.6
4.6
4.6

10.1
10.0
9.5
9.8
10.0
10.0

11.5
11.4
10.9
11.2
11.2
11.6

5.1
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.1
3.4
3.1
3.1
3.3
3.1

8.5
7.5
8.1
7.9
7.7
8.2

5.0
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.1

8.0
7.4
7.4
7.4
7.1
7.0

6.4
6.4
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.3

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June....
July

5.4
5.1
4.9
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.2

5.4
5.1
5.0
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.2

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3
4.3
4.3

4.7
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0

16.4
14.8
13.7
14.4
15.2
15.6
14.7

4.6
4.3
4.2
4.6
4.4
4.5
4.6

10.6
10.6
9.8
9.6
9.5
10.3
9.6

12.0
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
11.9
10.9

5.2
4.8
4.7
5.1
4.9
5.0
5.1

3.1
3.1
2.9
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.9

8.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
8.3
7.9
8.7

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.9

7.9
7.3
6.2
7.2
6.9
7.7
7.2

6.2
5.9
5.8
6.0
5.9
6.1
6.0

1
Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
2
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons fta percent of potentially available labor force hours.

12



Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In July, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 5-14 weeks
fell and the percentages for 15-26 weeks and for 27 weeks and over rose. Both the mean and the median
duration of unemployment rose.

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT
60

- 50

JOB LOSERS

40

40

30

—

•=.

REENTRANTS

30

20

20

JOB LEAVERS

10

-

10

NEW ENTRANTS

1989

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Duration of unemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution

State
programs

Number of
weeks

Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12,9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1

6,624
6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

44.9
46.8
47.4
47.4
47.6
46.2

30.7
29.0
28.8
28.5
29.5
31.1

12.4
12.3
11.8
12.2
12.0
11.5

11.9
11.9
12.1
11.9
10.9
11.2

13.5
13.5
13.5
13.4
12.6
12.8

6.2
5.9
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.8

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561
6,497

47.0
50.6
49.4
47.2
47.7
50.4
48.1

30.7
29.1
29.4
31.1
31.7
30.4
29.4

11.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
11.0
10.0
12.9

11.1
10.0
10.7
11.3
9.6
9.1
9.6

12.7
12.1
12.4
12.7
11.8
11.1
12.0

5.7
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.5
5.6

Job
leavers

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) 1

Reentrants

New
entrants

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,056

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125

46.1
46.2
46.7
45.9
46.2
46.5

13.8
14.6
14.9
15.3
14.7
15.1

28.1
27.3
26.8
27.2
26.9
26.2

11.9
11.9
11.5
11.6
12.2
12.1

2,082
2,069
2,025
1,972
1,989
2,032

327
305
293
296
301
309

2,052
1,914
1,734
1,677
1,857
2,205

46.4
45.2
46.0
45.7
42.7
42.0
44.3

14.7
15.5
14.4
15.0
17.5
15.5
15.3

27.3
27.3
28.1
29.0
29.1
31.2
29.4

11.6
12.0
11.6
10.3
10.7
11.3
11.0

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063
2,134
2,216

293
309
323
300
317
335
339

2,685
2,695
2,567
2,221
1,960
1,941

Job
losers

Weekly average, thousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July
1

Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (OCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 169,000 in July.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

110

26
SERVICES

24

^s"

—

V1

100 -

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

^

f+**

^

—

1

90
22

^.-^'

.-'"

—

80
20

Rl ;TAIL

-

SERVICE-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

70

~

18

^-^

"

TRADE

\—

- OVERNMEN r

n*,H i| mill nit

•jwrifflfi 'iTfi MM 1 1 1

60

,—•

r

50

40

GOODS-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

30

20

fyiiiilimi
1985

Illlllllllll
1987

1986

1988

1989

1985

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted]

_

Goods-producing industries
Period

Total
nonagricultural
employment

Service-producing industries

Manufacturing
Total 2

Construction

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Total

Durable
goo s

Nondurable
goods
8,098
8,061
7*.741
7,702
7,873
7,770
7*,734
7,830
7*967

64,748
65,659
65,753
66,866
69 769
72,660
74*,967
77,492
8o',335

5,146

Total

1980
1981 ....
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

90,406
91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97^519
99,525
102,200
105,584

25,658
25,497
23',813
23,334
24,727
24^859
24,558
24,708
25,249

4,346
4,188
s',905
3,948
4,383
4^673
4*816
4,967
s',125

20,285
20,170
18,434
19,378
19^260
18*965
19,024
19',403

12,187
12,109
11*039
10,732
11,505
11,490
11*230
11,194
11*437

1988: July....
Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov....
Dec

105,768
105,954
106,207
106,475
106,824
107,097

25,323
25,303
25,313
25,384
25,460
25,513

5,150
5,153
5,163
5,162
5,191
5,213

19,448
19,425
19,431
19,505
19,557
19,589

11,475
11,462
11,464
11,509
11,545
11,565

7,973
7,963
7,967
7,996
8,012
8,024

80,445
80,651
80,894
81,091
81,364
81,584

5,557
5,572
5,581
5,596
5,616
5,634

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May r..
June r.
July".

107,442
107,711
107,888
108,101
108,310
108,560
108,729

25,626
25,629
25,646
25,671
25,672
25,651
25,680

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,279
5,283
5,281
5,318

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,672
19,667
19,655
19,658

11,605
11,594
11,604
11,600
11,594
11,567
11,549

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,072
8,073
8,088
8,109

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,638
82,909
83,049

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,700
5,716
5,739

18J81

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persona, domestic servants, and personnel of t\ie Armed forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p, 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



5,165
4,954
5 159
5,238
5J255
5,372
5',548

Wholesale
trade

Be tail
trade

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Government
Services

Total

Federal

15,035
15,189
15,179
15,613
16 545
17,356
17*930
18,483

5,160
5,298
5*341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6*283
6,547

17,890
18,619
19*036
19,694
20,797
22,000
23*053
24,236
25*600

16,241
16,031
15,'837
15,869
16,024
16*394
16*,693
17,010
11 ',31 2

2,866
2,772
2*739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2*899
2,943

6,038
6,051
6,071
6,086
6,104
6,125

19,139
19,182
19,188
19,229
19,282
19,328

6,678
6,686
6,695
6,710
6,726
6,744

25,683
25,784
25,888
25,986
26,111
26,280

17,350
17,376
17,471
17,484
17,525
11,523

2,958
2,967
2,985
2,986
2,983
2,981

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,206
6,222
6,229
6,234

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,489
19,528
19,548
19,600

6,746
6,763
6,774
6,776
6,790
6,801
6,812

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,651
26,711
26,923
26,997

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,626
17,687
17,692
17,667

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,982
2,999
2,994
2,976

5,275
5,358
5*.278
5,268
5 555
5,717

5,153
5,844
6J029

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours
Manufacturing
Total
private
nonagrieultural }

Period

1980
1981
1982

. . ..

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: July

1989:

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
May '

July"

Total

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6
34.6
34.9

39.7

39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.1
41.2
41.2
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.3
41.0
41.0
41.0

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural 1
Total
private
nonagricultural l

Overtime

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.9

Manufacturing

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9,19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.18
10.21
10.25
10.29
10.30
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.42
10.45
10.48

$6.66
7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.31
9.32
9.37
9.43
9.42
9.45
9.49
9.52
9.54
9.61
9.60
9.62
9.70

1
Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
2
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1977 = 100 base).

3

Current
dollars

1977
dollars "

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
323.99
322.47
325.14
328.16
326.87
327.92
330.25
329.39
331.04
335.39
332.16
332.85
338.53

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
168.39
166.82
167.68
168.55
167.28
167.39
167.55
166.44
166.44
167.53
165.01
165.10
167.51

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
418.40
418.61
421.28
423.95
424.36
422.71
424.56
426.21
426.40
429.52
427.22
428.45
429.68

$367.78
399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
493.29
492.53
494.05
499.66
503.04
497.07
496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
494.17
497.79
512.26

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
185.18
183.57
185.08
186.30
185.60
187.11
187.40
186.41
186.98
189.44
187.56
188.14
190.68

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars

6.9
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
4.1
2.8
4.2
4.1
3.3
3.9
4.2
3.5
4.1
4.5
3.3
3.5
4.2

1977
dollars
-5.8

-1.5
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
-1.0
-.9
.1
j2
-.0
-.1
-.9
-.5
-.3
-1.2
-.8
-.7
-2.0
-1.6
-.9

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1981 = 100)

12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Period

1980:

Dec

1981:

Dec....

1982:

Dec

1983:

Dec....

1984:

Dec

1985:

Dec....

1986:

Dec

1987:
1988:

Dec....
Dec....

1986:

1987:

Mar

Wages and
salaries

94.7
104.0
110.7
117.0
122.7
127.5
131.6
136.0
142.6

95.4
103.8
110.3
115.8
120.6
125.6
129.5
133.8
139.3
126.8
129.9
128.8
129.5
130.8
131.7
133.0
133.8
135.1
136.6
137.9
139.3
140.8
142.2

June...
Sept
Dec....

128.9
129.0
130.8
131.6

Mar....
June . . .
Sept
Dec....

132.9
133.8
135.1
136.0

1988: Mar

....

Dec

138.1
139.8
141.2
142.6

Mar....
June

144.4
146.1

June
Sept...
1989:

Total
compensation

Benefits

93.0
104.3
111.7
120.0
127.9
132.4
136.9
141.7
151.3
134.2
134.8
136.1
136.9
138.1
139.3
140.3
141.7
146.1
148.2
149.7
151.3
154.0
156.5

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




1

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.2
2.3
1.5
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.1
1.4
.4
1.0
.6

9.8
9.8
6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.9

9.0
8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.3
4.1

3.8
3.8
3.2
3.2

3.9
3.7
3.1
3.1

3.1
3.0
3.3
3.3
3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9

3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3

4.6
4.5

Benefits *

2.1
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
.6
.6
.7
1.0

2.0
1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.5
.6
1.0

1.1
.8
.7
.6
1.0
.7
1.0
.7
1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0

1.0
.9
.7
.5

1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0

.9
.9
.7
1.0
3.1
1.4
1.0
1.1

1.3
1.2

1.1
1.0

1.8
1.6

1.0
.7
1.0
.6

3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1
4.2
4.1

Benefits *

11.8
12.2
7.1
7.4
6.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
6.8
3.2
3.5
3.3
3.4
2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8
5.4
5.6

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output *
Business
sector

Hours of all
persons 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.4
101.0
100.2
102.6
105.2

99.0
100.0
99.1
102.0
104.2

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.3
107.9
105.3
107.2
113.3

107.8
108.5
105.9
108.0
114.4

131.8
144.1
154.9
160.8
167.4

131.6
144.0
154.7
160.8
167.2

97.0
96.1
97.3
97.8
97.6

96.7
96.0
97.1
97.8
97.5

132.6
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.1
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

107.3
109.8
111.1
113.1

105.6
107.7
108.9
111.2

124.2
128.0
133.4
140.0

123.9
127.6
133.1
140.3

115.7
116.6
120.1
123.8

117.4
118.4
122.2
126.2

174.8
183.8
191.0
200.4

174.0
182.9
189.8
198.9

98.4
101.7
101.9
102.7

98.0
101.1
101.2
101.9

162.8
167.5
171.9
177.2

164.9
169.8
174.2
178.8

162.2
165.6
170.0
174.9

163.8
167.6
172.0
176.5

IV r....
IV r....
IV r....
IV r ....

100.9
103.5
105.7
108.4

99.5
103.0
104.5
106.2

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5

104.1
109.7
114.3
116.2

104.7
110.8
115.5
118.1

158.2
163.2
169.9
178.6

158.0
162.9
169.6
177.5

97.9
97.8
97.8
99.3

97.8
97.6
97.6
98.7

156.8
157.7
160.7
164.9

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5

1986: m T....
IV '....

109.6
109.8

107.5
107.6

127.7
128.9

127.2
128.4

116.5
117.4

118.3
119.3

185.1
187.4

184.1
186.4

102.2
102.8

101.7
102.2

168.9
170.6

171.2
173.2

166.7
167.1

168.8
169.2

109.9
110.7
111.7
112.5

107.7
108.6
109.5
110.3

130.4
132.2
134.4
136.7

130.0
132.0
134.1
136.4

118.6
119.5
120.3
121.5

120.7
121.6
122.4
123.7

188.2
189.5
191.8
195.2

187.0
188.3
190.5
193.9

101.9
101.4
101.7
102.6

101.3
100.7
101.0
101.9

171.2
171.3
171.6
173.5

173.6
173.4
173.9
175.8

168.2
169.6
170.7
171.3

170.3
171.4
172.6
173.4

113.3
112.7
113.6
113.6

111.1
110.7
111.6
112.1

138.2
139.3
140.7
141.9

138.0
139.5
141.1
142.8

122.0
123.6
123.9
124.9

124.3
126.1
126.4
127.3

196.5
199.3
202.2
204.8

195.1
197.8
200.5
203.3

102.3
102.7
102.9
103.1

101.6
101.9
102.1
102.4

173.5
176.9
178.1
180.2

175.7
178.7
179.6
181.3

171.9
174.1
175.8
177.9

173.8
175.6
177.0
179.6

113.9
114.2

111.8
111.8

143.6
144.0

143.6
144.2

126.0
126.2

128.5
129.0

207.2
210.5

205.7
208.5

103.0
103.0

102.3
102.0

181.9
184.4

184.1
186.4

179.4
181.5

180.8
182.9

.. .

1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

1987: I rr

n r.
m r....
IV ....

1988:

I'

n r.r
m r ....
IV ....

1989: I r
HP

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

-0.3
1.5
-.7
2.4
2.6

-0.4
1.1
-.9
3.0
2.1

-1.1
2.1
31
4.2
8.4

12
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.6
-2.4
1.8
5.7

07
.6
-2.4
2.0
6.0

10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9

26
-.9
1.2
.6
-.2

26
7
1.1
.7
-.4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

1985
1986

1.3
2.0
1.1
2.1

4.2
3.1
4.2
4.9

3.9
3.0
4.4
5.4

2.2
.8
3.0
3.1

2.6
.9
3.2
3.2

4.4
5.2
3.9
4.9

4.1
5.1
3.7
4.8

.8
3.3
.2
.8

.5
3.2
.1
.7

2.3
2.8
2.6
3.1

2.8
3.0
2.6
2.7

2.5
2.1
2.6
2.9

3.0
2.3
2.6
2.7

2.0
1.6
.9
.8

-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5

-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.1

-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.7

4.1
5.7
3.5
6.3

4.6
4.4
3.5
5.8

2.8
1.6
.0
2.1

3.3
.3
.0
1.6

1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8

2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1

1987
1988

...

2.0
2.3
1.2
1.8

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV T ....
IV r ....
IV r ....
IV r....

2.6
3.3
1.5
1.5

1986:

HIr....
IV r ....

1987: I r r
n r.
r

m ....
iv

1988: I rr

n .r
ni
IV

1989: I r p

n

-1.7
.8

.3

.8
4.0

.7
3.7

2.5
3.2

2.5
3.4

4.6
5.0

4.6
5.0

2.2
2.1

2.2
2.1

6.4
4.2

6.5
4.7

4.9
1.0

5.1
1.0

.5
2.6
3.9
2.9

.4
3.3
3.6
2.7

4.7
5.6
6.7
7.1

5.2
6.1
6.6
7.0

4.3
2.9
2.7
4.1

4.8
2.8
2.9
4.2

1.9
2.7
4.8
7.4

1.4
2.7
4.8
7.3

-3.3
-2.0
1.1
3.6

-3.8
-2.1
1.1
3.5

1.4
.1
.9
4.3

1.0
-.6
1.2
4.5

2.5
3.4
2.6
1.4

2.8
2.5
3.0
1.7

2.7
-2.0
3.1
.2

3.0
-1.5
3.4
1.9

4.4
3.3
4.0
3.4

4.8
4.4
4.6
4.8

1.7
5.4
.9
3.2

1.8
5.9
1.2
2.8

2.8
5.9
5.8
5.2

2.7
5.5
5.5
5.9

-.8
1.3
1.0
.7

O

.9
.8
1.4

.1
8.1
2.6
5.0

-.3
7.1
2.0
3.9

1.5
5.1
4.1
4.8

1.0
4.3
3.2
5.9

1.0
.9

-1.3
.2

4.8
1.4

2.4
1.7

3.8
.4

3.8
1.5

4.8
6.6

4.8
5.5

-.6
.3

-.6
- .9

3.7
5.7

6.2
5.2

3.3
4.9

2.8
4.8

-1.6

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



NOTE,—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Data reflect revisions beginning 1986 of GNP and related items published July 27, 1989. In
addition, hours of labor input have been redefined as hours at the work site (rather than hours paid),
affecting all labor input series back to 1947 (1958 for nonfmaneial institutions); the labor input
series also reflect the regular benchmarking of nonagricultural establishment data in June 1989.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose in July and capacity utilization was unchanged; both had declined in June and May.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240
FINAL PRODUCTS
220

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)

160

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

140

SPACE
EQUIPMENT

200

-

r

180

120

BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT

160

100 I l l l l l l l l l l

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

160

140

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

140

DURABLE'

«—»_

I—',/"*

-"-„ „ ._

.,

— C"

120

—

^

^-

r^
.-'-"'

CONSUMER
GOODS

Illllllllll Illllllllll iiMiiniii IIIUllllll

120
100

100
140

..\ .-

"-'

^-"'

PERCENT*
100
CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)
90

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION

120

_

-—„—
80 M

H "^

1

^~~\

-

100

70

Illllllllll llll|l|l||l Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1989
1985
1987
1988
1986

1989

1985
•SEASONAUY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Period
Index,
1977 = 100

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

. ..
July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May r ..
June r.
July p
1

Output as percent of capacity.




Capacity utilization
rate, percent *

Industry production indexes, 1977 = 100

Total
industrial
production

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Durable

Total

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

-1.9
2.2
-7.1
5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7

84.21
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7

49.10
109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9

35.11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.8
143.9

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4

5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5

138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

5.7
5.5
5.7
5.2
5.1
4.9

143.6
144.0
144.4
145.3
145.8
146.3

142.9
143.2
143.8
144.6
145.2
145.7

144.6
145.1
145.3
146.3
146.7
147.1

104.3
103.8
103.7
103.1
104.7
104.9

114.4
117.8
113.0
113.9
113.7
115.4

83.7
83.8
83.7
84.0
84.1
84.3

84.0
84.0
84.0
84.3
84.4
84.4

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.7
141.6
141.4
141.7

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.7
4.0
3.6
2.7

147.2
146.8
147.0
148.0
148.0
148.1
148.3

146.2
145.9
145.8
146.9
146.9
146.8
146.7

148.5
148.1
148.6
149.6
149.6
149.9
150.6

103.0
100.9
101.5
102.4
101.6
100.4
100.7

114.0
116.5
117.5
117.1
116.3
114.9
115.8

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.2
83.9
83.6
83.6

84.7
84.3
84.1
84.5
84.2
84.0
83.9

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Equipment

Consumer goods
Period
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986 .
1987
1988.
1988:

July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May r
July"
1

44.77
112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144.3

25.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9

145.0
145.8
145.8
146.4
146.8
147.7

134.2
135.0
134.8
136.4
136.8
138.2

148.2
148.6
148.9
150.2
150.5
150.7
150.6

138.5
138.7
138.4
139.5
139.3
139.4
138.9

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3
125.3
125.7
126.3
129.3
129.2
131.9
131.5
131.6
130.1
132.2
131.2
130.5
127.2

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2

137.5
138.5
138.0
139.0
139.7
140.5
141.1
141.4
141.4
142.2
142.2
142.7
143.3

159.4
160.1
160.4
159.7
159.9
160.4
161.1
161.6
162.8
164.3
168.5
165.5
166.0

Total '

Business

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6
159.3
160.2
160.8
160.2
161.2
162.6

163.8
165.0
166.3
167.8
168.9
168.9
169.3

Defense
and
space
equipment

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8
184.9
184.9
184.5
184.0
182.2
180.5
180.0
179.3
178.7
179.9
180.7
181.1
181.7

Total

12. 94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5
151.6
152.3
152.9
154.0
154.2
155.0
156.6
155.1
156.1
156.5
156.2
156.1
156.4

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5

42.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
101.5

138.4
138.1
138.4
140.0
140.7
141.4

162.8
164.4
165.2
165.9
165.7
166.7

126.4
126.5
126.5
127.5
128.3
128.3

102.7
103.2
101.5
101.3
102.3
102.6

142.3
139.5
139.3
140.2
139.3
139.8
139.3

168.8
168.4
170.4
170.4
170.6
170.0

128.1
127.4
127.3
128.2
127.7
127.2
127.8

100.5
100.5
101.0
101.7
100.8
98.9
99.1

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals
Period
Total

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988.
1988:

July..

Aue
Sept.

1989:

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar .
Apr T
May r
June r
July11

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89.2
91.5
90.8
93.1
94.2
92.7
90.0
93.2
91.1
88.4
90.1
86.9
87.3
88 8

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18




Iron and
steel

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1
80.2
78.9
81.4
83.1
80.8
77.6
82.2
79.1
75.9
77.0
73.2
ISA

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7
170.8

121.7
122.1
122.5
122.6
124.6
125.1

173.1
174.1
174.8
173.8
175.4
177.8

124.5
124.5
123.8
123.1
124.7
124.6
124.9

178.7
180.8
183.0
184.7
186.5
186.6
187.6

Electrical
machinery

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1
181.5
182.2
181.8
183.0
182.2
180.9
180.9
181.7
181.6
182.2
181.1
181.1
180.9

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber
and
products

Apparel
products

ing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Foods

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7

131.9
131.8
132.7
134.8
135.2
136.8

116.6
117.5
118.5
121.7
122.9
125.5

136.6
133.8
133.5
137.5
139.4
143.0

109.4
108.9
109.9
109.5
110.1
108.8

184.9
186.7
188.0
188.1
188.5
188.0

153.4
154.8
155.3
156.7
157.5
158.1

143.3
143.3
143.2
144.0
145.7
145.8

136.7
136.4
134.8
136.4
135.5
134.3
132.0

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.0
119.7
116.5
110.8

139.9
132.8
133.4
135.1
134.7
135.6

110.2
110.2
109.9
111.3
111.6

193.0
194.6
198.5
200.1
199.4
199.5
200 2

159.0
158.5
159.2
159.3
158.4
159.1

146.6
146.3
145.4
146.6
147.4
147.6

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Federal,
State, and
local

Residential
Commercial
Total

New housing
units

Total '

and
industrial 2

Other

Total value
index
(1982=100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
253.0
252.8
261.3
248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7

1979...

1980
1981....
1982
1983.
1984
1985...
1986
1987....
1988

201.3
194.3
204.7
194.3
228.7
271.9
292.6
315.3
320.1
328.7

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8

42.8
47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8

109
97
100
100
124
136
150
158
164
161

51.7
58.5

56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9

Annual rates

Annual rates
1988- June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May '
June ".
July"
1
2
3

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
942

408.7
410.7
408.1
411.5
411.1
415.4
425.0

328.0
328.1
329.2
329.8
331.4
332.8
336.3

196.2
196.8
197.6
198.3
200.8
202.0
202.5

137.5
137.0
137.0
138.0
139.8
141.9
143.3

82.0
81.4
80.6
79.7
79.1
78.8
80.6

49.9
49.9
51.0
51.9
51.5
51.9
53.2

80.8
82.5
78.9
81.7
79.7
82.6
88.8

169
160
162
157
164
158
163

904
954
905
880
841
839
942

424.8
418.5
419.2
415.8
418.2
414.7

339.5
335.0
340.4
335.4
333.5
334.0

204.7
202.3
204.5
204.0
200.2
197.9

145.6
145.3
143.2
142.0
138.3
136.6

82.5
81.1
84.2
79.4
80.3
82.7

52.2
51.6
51.8
52.0
53.0
53.4

85.3
83.4
78.7
80.4
84.7
80.6

155
148
150
163
159
157
163

943
850
856
836
905
938
933

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information System
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.
Includes hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]

New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1

1 unit

1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3

2-4 units

122.0
109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8

5 or more units
429.0

330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0

Units
authorized

1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period i
3

397
337
275
253
301
353
346
357
365
366

1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676

701
712
691
718
650
669

365
363
361
353
364
366

700
621
555
r
607
646
646
739

369
375
377
377
381
379
371

1,870.8

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7

Seasonally adjusted annu al rates
1988- July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989-

Jan
Feb
Mar

July

p

1

1,478
1,459
1,463
1,532
1,567
1,577

1,067
1,076
1,039
1,136
1,138
1,141

50
59
62
63
68
65

361
324
362
333
361
371

1,425
1,466
1,432
1,526
1,508
1,518

1,528
1,539
1,536
1,516
1,429
1,539

1,678
1,465
1,409
1,343
1,308
1,419
1,430

1,199
1,029
981
1,029
977
979
1,041

66
62
50
62
42
56
59

413
374
378
252
289
384
330

1,486
1,403
1,230
1,334
1,347
1,308
1,281

1,537
1,610
1,459
r
1,552
1,441
1,332

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter, i eries beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.
2




r

7.8
7.3

7.3
7.3

NOTE. — Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In June, manufacturing and trade sales fell 0.4 percent and inventories rose $3.1 billion. In July, according to
advance data, retail sales rose 0.9 percent, following a decline of 0.1 percent in June.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

240

-

^_^—- -^

700

-

220

,^~*~1^

200

MAN UFACTURIN 3 AND
TR/kDE INVENTC>RIES

600

-

180

"RETAIL INVENTORIES

160

500

-

* *

y-\"

*

_ s~~~
140

-

M*NUFACTUR WAt -JD TRADE S/ UES

400

120

-

• RETAIL SALES-

100

Illllllllll

300

RATIO*
1.80

-

_ INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

1.60

r^vv '^z^^ ^T-

1.40

1985

miilum

1986

Illllllllll Illllllllll

1987

1988

1 1 11 1111 111

1.00

1989

iiiniiiiii
1986

1985

T 1 111111 11 1
1987

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade '
Period

x~~ -

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

-

1.20

imiliim iimliim

' * -'" .. -

»»

!TV..--V.'

200

RETA|L

1 1 111111 1j f
1988

iiii|liiiu
1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Eetail

Wholesale

Inventories 3

Sales 2
Inventories 3

Sales a

Inventories 3

Sales 2

348,747
368,813
407,869
418,151
423,700
449,536
485,756

574,491
590,358
644,306
655,066
653,853
700,761
753,718

96,290
100,244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361

128,196
130,334
142,380
146,745
152,447
162,648
178,313

486,226
486,102
. .. 492,491
492,478
498,846
501,400
506,186

724,515
729,903
737,562
744,054
743,544
746,756
753,718

132,285
133,833
134,726
135,332
138,087
137,239
136,170

172,079 135,060
174,581 " 135,571
176,368 136,050
176,972 135,751
177,408 137,842
177,060 139,529
139,189
178,313

511,881
507,328
507,555
517,745
518,088
515,769

759,803
763,051
765,504
771,340
778,093
781,171

140,356
139,547
139,991
142,290
142,474
142,046

179,761
179,810
179,681
181,226
182,615
182,737

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade '

Retail

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

61,093
64,754
68,985
72,434
74,802
79,077
83,384

134,468
147,377
167,159
180,825
185,224
206,981
221,242

61,469
68,984
79,257
88,608
90,477
106,271
114,994

72,999
78,393
87,902
92,217
94,747
100,710
106,248

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57

82,688
83,344
84,119
84,324
85,117
85,599
85,035

210,473
211,534
215,396
219,297
216,724
218,093
221,242

106,869
107,443
110,146
114,303
111,689
112,904
114,994

103,604
104,091
105,250
104,994
105,035
105,189
106,248

1.49
1.50
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.49
1.49

1.56
1.56
1.58
1.62
1.57
1.56
1.59

86,225
86,357
86,630
87,512
88,404
T
88,785
89,160

222,584
224,185
224,693
226,656
230,423
231,888

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,093
118,835
119,548

106,880
108,016
108,700
109,563
111,588
112,340

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.50
1.51

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.62
1.63

Nondurable goods
stores

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984.
1985
1986
1987
1988.
1988: June r
July

AUE .
Sept

Get
Nov
Dec

1989' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May r
June "
July ".
1
2
3

r

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period.

20



89,107
97,328
106,805
113,821
119,663
126,785
135,763

140,040
139,428
139,516
141,413
142,543
r
142,440
143,731

28,013
32,574
37,819
41,387
44,861
47,707
52,379
r

52,372
52,227
51,931
51,427
52,725
53,930
54,154

53,815
53,071
52,886
53,901
54,139
' 53,655
54,571
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In June, manufacturers' shipments fell while inventories and orders rose. In July, according to advance data,
durable goods shipments and new orders fell.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280
240

440
400
360

200
TOTAL

INVENTORIES

,—•—
"k
TOTAL

280

160

.— —

,_

DURABLE GOODS

200

120

^ GOO OS
DL1 RABLE

160

80

NONDURABLE GOODS

120

— v~

60

NONDURABLE C5OODS

Illllllllll

80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

60,

NEW ^PDEPS

240

MM, In,,,

^-^—i

200

-r \
|

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

Illllllllll Illllllllll

RATIO *
2.20

^^

TOTAL

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

160
1
DURABLE GOODS

120
__

A...^-''

•».^...

- ._--

J .-"'U--"t"1

2.00

-

1.80
1.60

80

r^^"

^

1.40 ^

60

Illllllllll

iiintiiiii imiimii

1985

1986 1987

Illllllllll Illllllllll

1.20

M 1 I 1 1 1 I t 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 [ H 1 1 M 1 1 I \ | | I

1985

1989

1988

1987

1986

mill
1988

SEASONALLY ADJ USTED
OURCE; DEPARTM ENT OF COMMERCE

.

Manufacturers' new orders 1

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Durable goods
Total

Durable
goods

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments l

Period

1 1 1 11 111 1 1 1

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860

102,648
103,765
104,203
103,348
104,304
105,118
106,737

443,357
446,536
451,830
453,103
457,281
460,802
468,860

107,596
107,199
107,634
110,535
110,229
110,021

473,450
476,403
481,366
487,231
487,913
491,884

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982 .
1983
1984. .
1985
1986.
1987
1988
1988: June
July
Autr
Sept

Oct

Nov
1989:

Dec
Jan
Feb .. .
Mar

Apr
May '
June '
July p
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
218,881
216,698
221,715
221,395
222,917
224,632
230,827
231,485
228,353
228,048
234,042
233,071
231,283

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
116,522
113,122
117,866
118,030
118,439
119,874
124,175
123,578
120,924
120,432
123,331
122,962
r
!21,771
118 161

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
102,359
103,576
103,849
103,365
104,478
104,758
106,652
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,711
110,109
109,512

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634

341,963
343,788
345,798
347,785
349,412
351,603
354,163
357,458
359,056
361,130
363,458
365,055
366,546

224,000
225,467
226,600
228,214
229,735
231,766
233,666
236,810
238,165
239,330
240,486
241,689
242,312

117,963
118,321
119,198
119,571
119,677
119,837
120,497

228,090
219,877
227,009
222,669
227,095
228,153
238,886

125,442
116,112
122,806
119,321
122,791
123,035
132,149

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
35,458
36,213
38,808
34,858
34,623
35,825
39,432

120,648
120,891
121,800
122,972
123,366
124,234

128,479
236,075
124,107
231,306
125,377
233,011
129,372
239,907
123,524
233,753
235,254 " 125,233
122,896

40,352
37,189
38,137
40,389
37,290
r
39,179
41,142

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period.




3

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.56
1.59
1.56
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.53
1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55
1.57
1.58

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In July, the producer price index for all finished goods fell 0.4 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.1
percent and prices of other finished consumer goods fell 0.9 percent. Capital equipment prices were unchanged.
INDEX, 1982=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)
120

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

FINISHED GOODS PRICES

120

/-|~>M«I UACD

CONSUMER
FOODS

/'>•..

CAPITAL EQUIPMENT

/**

/
110

_,--, •""'

&z£^\''^-^S../'-v
c*""l^S2«i
^^

—

100
"'

—/

/

/

*

^ *./

110

\

sf^

^C^ ^..

TOTAL ;

—

^ —r~~~

\

100

v

* "\ *..' 'CONSUMER
\ '
C»OODS

"*"

fS

—

EXCLUDING F OODS

/

90

90

—

—

80

80

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

1981

1982

1983

iiiiiiiiin niiiiiiiii
1984

Illllllllll

||||ll|llll Illllllllll Illllllllll

1986

1985

1987

1988

SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER:

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Total
finished
consumer
goods

Total

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Consumer goods
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- July

Aue:
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar r
May
July
1




Foodstuffs

Foods

and

Other

Total

and

Other

feedstuffs

feeds '

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5

108.2
108.5
109.1
109.2
109.5
109.9

112.9
113.6
114.6
114.7
115.1
115.2

106.6
106.9
107.3
107.4
107.7
108.2

103.3
103.5
103.7
103.8
104.1
104.7

113.9
114.5
115.1
115.0
115.0
115.4

97.6
97.6
97.6
97.8
98.3
98.9

114.3
114.7
115.7
115.6
115.8
116.2

106.5
106.8
107.3
107.4
107.8
108.2

107.9
108.2
108.6
108.6
109.0
109.5

115.9
114.9
115.3
115.1
113.2
112.3

107.4
107.8
108.2
108.3
108.8
109.4

96.6
97.2
97.1
96.6
94.8
97.8

108.3
110.9
113.1
113.4
108.8
110.8

85.2
84.4
83.1
82.0
82.1
85.6

111.1
112.1
112.6
113.1
114.1
114.0
113.5

116.7
117.8
118.8
118.2
119.2
118.2
118.3

109.3
110.1
110.5
111.4
112.4
112.6
111.9

106.0
107.1
107.5
109.0
110.2
110.1
109.1

116.3
116.9
117.0
116.3
117.2
117.4
117.1

100.4
101.6
102.2
104.5
105.8
105.6
104.3

116.9
117.4
117.5
117.4
117.9
118.7
118.7

109.5
110.6
111.2
112.0
113.2
112.8
112.1

110.8
111.3
111.9
112.5
112.6
112.4
112.2

115.2
114.8
116.7
115.2
113.6
111.8
113.6

110.5
111.1
111.7
112.3
112.6
112.4
112.1

101.8
101.5
103.7
104.2
105.1
103.0
103.2

113.3
111.7
115.2
111.9
112.3
109.4
108.2

90.2
90.7
92.1
94.8
96.0
94.5
95.4

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22

Durable

Crude materials

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In July, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally
adjusted. The index was 5.0 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

- CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS -

110

110

V

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

III

60
1981

111
1982

1983

1984

1985

Hill Illlll
1987

1986

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

60

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items *

Transportation

Housing

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Bner-

Total *

New
cars

gy 2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

6.4
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4

17.2
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7

4.3
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9

3.1
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9

6.0
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6

7.3
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3

48.7
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9

Shelter
Period

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

Rel. imp.3.... 100.0
1980
82.4
1981
909
1982
96.5

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:
July

Aue
Sept

Oct.. .
Nov
Dec....

1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May..
July ... .
1

996
103.9
1076
109.6
113.6
118.3

Food
Total '
Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

16.2
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2

42.3
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1

7.9

19.7

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

7.6
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4

118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

118.6
119.0
119.5
120.0
120.3
120.7

118.9
119.5
120.3
120.6
120.8
121.2

118.5
118.9
119.3
119.6
120.1
120.6

127.0
127.6
128.1
128.3
128.9
129.4

133.4
133.8
133.8
134.1
134.2
134.9

131.2
131.9
132.5
132.7
133.5
133.9

114.5
115.0
115.3
115.0
115.4
115.8

104.0
104.0
104.4
105.1
105.5
106.3

115.7
113.9
116.0
117.4
117.4
117.7

108.7
109.6
109.7
110.1
110.4
110.4

116.7
117.0
117.7
117.8
117.9
118.1

81.3
82.8
82.0
81.3
81.1
79.7

139.4
140.0
140.7
141.6
142.2
142.9

88.9
89.5
89.3
89.2
89.5
89.2

122.2
122.4
123.0
123.8
124.2
124.6

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
124.0
124.2
124.5

122.1
122.6
123.6
124.2
125.0
125.3
125.7

120.9
121.3
121.7
121.8
122.3
122.6
123.3

129.7
130.3
131.1
131.2
131.8
132.3
133.2

135.2
136.4
138.2
137.3
137.3
138.1
140.2

134.2
134.7
135.1
135.6
136.5
136.9
137.5

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4
118.3
118.4

106.9
106.7
106.9
107.4
107.6
107.1
107.6

117.7
117.5
119.1
119.4
120.4
119.1
118.1

111.2
111.9
112.6
115.0
116.1
115.9
115.2

118.9
119.3
119.7
119.8
119.6
119.3
118.8

80.5
81.8
83.6
93.0
96.6
95.4
93.3

144.0
145.2
145.9
146.6
147.6
148.7
149.8

89.9
90.4
91.4
96.1
97.6
96.6
95.9

125.4
125.8
126.3
126.6
127.2
127.4
127.6

Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1988.




Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Poods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
2.3
2.2
4.0

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
2

5.7

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6

Change, month to month
1988- July
Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Peb
Mar '

May

0.6
.3
.6
.1
.3
.4

0.7
.6
.9
.1
.3
.1

0.6
.2
.2
.1
.3
.6

1.1
.9
.4
.4
.9
-.1

1.3
.9
.8
-.5
.8
-.8
.1

1.2
1.0
.4
1.4
1.1
-.1
-.9

A

July

0.3
.3
.9
\
.2
.3
.6
.4
.1
-.1
.4
.7
0

4.2
4.2
5.7
3.7
3.7
3.0

8.6
8.9
9.2
6.5
5.4
2.1

2.4
2.4
4.0
2.0
2.3
3.9

3.2
3.6
6.1
4.6
3.9
1.7

3.4
4.0
4.4
4.0
3.9
4.3

4.6
6.7
7.4
7.6
7.1
5.6

3.2
3.2
3.0
2.2
2.3
3.9

2.7
2.8
4.5
3.9
3.7
3.9

2.5
2.6
2.7
3.0
3.3
4.0

7.1
9.8
10.2
7.4
7.3
5.1
1.4

7.2
9.7
13.1
5.2
4.8
2.0

8.8
12.0
11.1
11.8
12.1
10.0
.4

4.6
5.6
4.6
1.7
1.7
4.1
4.5

5.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
8.6
7.6
4.4

6.8
7.5
7.5
6.2
7.3
5.3
2.8

5.3
7.1
7.5
10.3
12.1
10.6
5.9

4.6
4.8
3.1
3.1
3.7
4.3
3.1

4.5
5.3
5.5
5.6
6.2
5.9
5.0

.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Housing

Transportation

Shelter
Period

All
items '

Food
Total '

Total1

Kenterg'
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total '

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Ener-

gy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter s

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2

13.7
10.2
3.6

July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

0.4
.3
.4
.4
.3
.3

Jan
Feb
Mar

.6
.4
.5
.7
.6
.2
.2

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0

15.0
9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7

0.9
.5
.7
.2
.2
.3

0.3
.3
.3
.3
.4
.4

0.2
.5
.4
.2
.5
.4

0.3
.3
0
.2
.1
.5

0.3
.5
.5
.2
.6
.3

0.1
0
.4
.7
.4
.8

-0.2
-1.6
1.8
1.2
0
.3

.7
.4
.8
.5
.6
.2
.3

.2
.3
.3
.1
.4
.2
.6

.2
.5
.6
.1
.5
.4
.7

.2
.9
1.3
-.7
0
.6
1.5

.2
.4
.3
.4
.7
.3
.4

.6
-.2
.2
.5
.2
-.5
.5

0
— .2
1.4
.3
.8
— 1.1
-.8

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
59
6.1
3.0

7.4
6.8
1.5
3.4
2.5
3.4
5.9
1.8
2.1

18.8
9.4
-6.5
-1.7
-2.4
3.1
30 7
18.7
-2.1

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
19 7
8.2
.5

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7

0.3
.8
.1
.4
.3
0

0.1
.3
.6
.1
.1
.2

0.5
1.8
-1.0

0.7
.4
.5
.6
.4
.5

0.2
.7
-.2
— .1
.3
3

0.3
.2
.5
.7
.3
.3

.7
.6
.6
2.1
1.0
-.2
-.6

.7
.3
.3
.1
-.2
-.3
-.4

.8
.8
.5
.5
.7
.7
.7

.8
.6
1.1
5.1
1.6
-1.0
7

.6
.3
.4
.2
.5
.2
.2

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1

Change, month to month
1988:

1989:

May
June
July
1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—-and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.
2

24



3

Q

2
-1.7
1.0
1.6
2.2
11.2
3.9
-1.2
-2.2

4.4

5.4
6.4

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

4.5
4.8
4.8
4.4
4.1

4.4
4.7
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.5

4.1
4.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
4.4

4.7
5.4
6.1
6.4
7.1
5.7
4.0

4.8
4.9
5.1
5.6
6.2
5.9
5.2

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.2
5.0

4.9
4.5

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in July were 0.7 percent below their June level. Prices paid by farmers in July were 0.6
percent above their April level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977 =100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

180

160

160

PRICES PAID
140

140

120

120

PRICES RECEIVED
100

100

80

80

Illlll

60
RATION
140
120
100

80
60

Ill

lll

lllll

lll

I II I Illlll II Mil 60
RATIO-^
140

-

120

r

~~—^^|—~~~-^-

-

Illllllllll
1981

100

KAIIU
— —-—11

—1

~

~

-

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l Illllllllll Illllllllll
1983

1982

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

80
60

1989

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986 ...
1987
1988....
1988:

July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989: Jan
Feb
M&r
Apr
MayJ
T

June
July

1

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
142
144
144
143
144
145
149
148
149
147
149
147
146

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
126
137
136
135
133
136
136
140
138
136
140
141
138
134

Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by fanners to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986. prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

Production
items

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
147
152
153
152
151
154

150
159
161
164
162
159
161
170
172

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
162

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
159

173

163

162

158
158
161
154
156
157
156

175

166

163

177

167

165

178

167

165

Ratio 2

92
84
84
87
79
77
79
81
83
84
84
83
83
84
85
85
85
83
84
83
82

NOTE. — The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes,
bource: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Ml rose in July after declining for four months; growth in the broader aggregates accelerated in July.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

4,000
3,600

3,200

3,200

2,800

2,800
2,400

2,400

M2
2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

600

400

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

• AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
KPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term EPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3
790.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9
3,069.4

1,991.1
1,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.6
r
3,914.3

2,327.8
2,599.4
2,853.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
4,137.1
4,340.2
r
4,675.0

3,882.5
4,258.0
4,642.0
5,176.0
5,923.5
6,733.3
7,596.9
8,310.7
9,052.1

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6
5.1

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5
5.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2
6.4

9.6
9.7
9.0
11.5
14.4
13.7
12.8
9.4
8.9

1988- July

782.5
782.4
783.7
785.4
786.6
790.3

3,023.9
3,029.7
3,035.0
3,042.2
3,059.3
3,069.4

3,839.1
3,851.1
3,860.5
3,877.2
3,897.2
r
3,914.3

4,565.1
4,583.6
4,591.7
4,612.5
4,638.4
P
4,675.0

8,718.8
8,784.3
8,850.0
8,912.4
8,988.6
9,052.1

6.5
6.0
5.3
3.7
4.1
3.6

6.5
5.4
4.5
3.5
4.0
3.8

7.5
6.4
5.6
5.2
5.4
5.2

8.9
9.0
9.0
8.9
9.3
9.3

786.3
787.4
786.3
783.1
773.3
770.3
777.3

3,065.7
3,069.2
3,078.2
3,080.0
3,070.7
3,086.0
3,118.1

3,918.7
3,927.8
3,948.9
3,956.2
3,951.2
3,969.0
4,000.6

4,678.3
4,690.4
4,724.4
4,742.1
4,737.6
4,739.2

9,107.2
9,172.3
9,229.4
9,285.1
9,344.0
9,397.4

1.0
1.3
.7
-.6
-3.4
-5.0
23

2.8
2.6
2.9
2.5
.7
1.1
3.4

4.2
4.0
4.6
4.1
2.8
2.8
4.2

9.1
9.0
8.8
8.5
8.1
7.8

Period

198019811982:
19831984:
198519861987:
1988-

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb ' ..
Mar '
May '
July p
1

Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinaneial sectors; data from flow of hinds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



L

MS plus
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinaneial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

Ml

er at an annual rate.
NOTE.-—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

DeCur- mand
rency
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(EPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars
NSA

Money market
mutual fund
balances
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

NSA

Savings
deposits

Small
denomination
tune
deposits 1

Large
denomination
time
deposits '

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(EPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8
105.8

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

1980: Dec
1981- Dec
1982: Dec
1983- Dec
1984: Dec
1985- Dec
1986: Dec
1987- Dec
1988: Dec

115.2
122.5
132.6
146.3
156.1
167.8
180.5
196.4
211.8

261.5
231.5
234.2
238.7
244.2
267.3
303.2
288.3
288.6

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4
282.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.3
78.3
78.3

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
221.1
239.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6
87.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.9
513.5
572.5
526.3
502.7

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4
431.3

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1
1,025.2

260.1
302.5
326.8
327.4
417.2
436.6
439.0
487.4
r
537.8

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
109.1
123.1

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.7
100.4
109.1

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5
275.2

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7
40.6

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.7
207.4
231.0
260.3
335.8

1988: July

206.4
207.0
208.6
209.7
210.5
211.8

290.4
289.9
288.8
288.9
287.7
288.6

278.5
278.3
279.0
279.4
281.0
282.3

77.6
79.9
77.3
76.0
75.6
78.3

229.6
230.8
231.0
231.3
237.4
239.4

84.8
84.0
83.7
84.6
87.4
87.6

522.0
517.7
511.4
507.5
506.7
502.7

429.7
430.9
430.5
429.2
431.8
431.3

981.0
988.3
998.7
1,009.7
1,017.8
1,025.2

514.0
519.4
526.7
532.0
534.4
r
537.8

125.6
97.1 106.8
123.8 102.8 107.4
122.3 ' 102.8 107.9
124.7 100.2 108.4
127.5 101.6 108.7
123.1 105.8 109.1

268.7
272.6
272.8
273.3
268.4
275.2

40.7
41.2
41.7
41.3
40.5
40.6

309.8
311.3
308.8
312.3
323.7
335.8

213.4
214.3
215.6
215.9
216.4
217.4
218.0

284.0
284.8
284.3
281.4
278.2
275.0
279.0

281.3
280.9
279.1
278.5
271.3
270.7
273.2

81.6
78.8
77.2
73.9
72.1
73.9
78.1

241.7
247.2
255.5
259.1
258.9
265.1
274.6

89.3
89.6
87.6
87.7
91.6
95.1
98.2

495.2
485.3
480.3
471.3
457.0
456.9
459.8

427.8
424.6
420.8
412.8
404.7
402.0
401.5

1,035.7
1,048.3
1,061.0
1,083.1
1,105.8
1,118.5
1,126.3

' 544.5
r
551.7
' 558.9
567.8
572.3
573.3
573.9

124.1 ' 100.5
127.1 r99.9
129.4 ' 105.3
127.0 101.1
127.2 100.3
99.0
126.9
99.4
120.9

109.7 ' 274.4
110.6 267.8
111.5 ' 273.5
112.3 278.0
112.9 278.8
113.8 264.7

40.6
39.9
41.2
41.5
41.1
41.2

334.9
344.2
349.2
354.2
353.5
350.5

Sept
Oc?
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
May '

July"

r

1

Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
1100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE.-—Travelers checks of nonfaank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown

here.
Source: Board of Governl)ra o( the Federal

Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

Nonborrowed

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,321
48,493
58,140
58,693
60,706

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,134
47,175
57,313
57,916
58,990

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,739
47,674
57,616
58,399
60,234

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,468
47,436
56,771
57,665
59,666

152,525
161,043
173,011
188,303
201,889
219,510
241,448
257,991
275,501

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

1988: July

61,058
60,903
60,824
60,862
60,853
60,706

57,618
57,663
57,985
58,562
57,991
58,990

60,157
60,316
60,043
60,343
60,314
60,234

60,051
59,950
59,852
59,800
59,733
59,666

270,308
270,979
272,420
273,659
274,380
275,501

3,440
3,241
2,839
2,299
2,861
1,716

376
423
421
332
186
130

2,538
2,653
2,059
1,781
2,322
1,244

60,370
60,260
59,854
59,463
58,740
58,350
58,699

58,708
58,773
58,041
57,174
57,019
56,860
58,005

59,754
59,822
59,376
58,880
58,217
r
57,776
58,111

59,226
59,106
58,896
58,686
57,709
57,445
57,733

276,784
277,553
278,615
r
278,675
278,329
279,056
279,984

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720
1,490
694

76
97
139
213
345
431
497

1,046
1,050
1,334
1,707
1,197
917
106

1980:
1981:
19821983:
19841985:
1986'
19871988:

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May
T 3
July".
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.




27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 1.1 percent in July; commercial and industrial loans rose 1.2 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800

2,800
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

2,400

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

200

200

T

160

160

OTHER SECURITIES •

120
1983

1982

1985

1984

Mill

l l l H l l l l l l

l l l l l l l l l

1981

1987

1986

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

120

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *]
All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July"...

Total
loans and
securities 2

U.S.
Government
securities

1,307.7
1,401.5
1,553.6
1,723.7
1,911.4
2,094.5
2,239.6
2,417.2

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.7
309.6
335.5
361.4
350.9
353.1
355.6
358.8
361.4
360.4
361.8
368.8
370.7
373.5
373.8
374.4

2,377.6
2,381.5
2,401.4
2,410.2
2,417.2
2,422.8
2,451.9
2,464.9
2,470.9
2,486.3
2,496.8
2,518.1

Other
securities

160.9
165.7
170.6
142.6
181.4
196.5
195.3
194.0
196.5
195.2
196.8
195.9
194.0
189.6
190.4
189.7
187.2
186.4
r
185.8
184.6

Total

2

Commercial
and
industrial

967.5
1,034.1
1,123.9
1,321.0
1,459.3
1,588.4
1,708.8
1,861.9

355.4
392.6
414.1
472.9
499.7
536.2
562.7
601.9

1,830.1
1,833.2
1,848.9
1,855.6
1,861.9

597.4
598.1
601.6
601.8
601.9
606.6
619.0
617.8
620.6
626.3
624.9
632.2

1,872.9
1,899.7
1,906.5
1,913.1
1,926.5
1,937.3
1,959.1

Real
estate

Individual

284.1

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.8
315.9
329.5
355.5
347.7
350.2
351.6
353.0
355.5
357.9
358.9
360.6
362.9
365.4
366.0
367.0

299.8
330.8
376.3
425.8
494.0
589.0
672.0
643.0
650.3
659.8
665.3
672.0
678.9
685.6
691.8
699.5
705.5
712.0
719.8

3
Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.

28



2

Securi-

ty
21.5
25.4
28.1
34.3
42.7
40.1
34.4
38.5
39.6
36.5
38.5
38.2
38.5
37.7
44.7
43.6
40.0
38.0
41.1
40.3

Nonhank
financial
institutions

Agricultural

29.9
31.3
30.5
31.4
32.5

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1

35.0
31.9
30.0
31.1
30.7
30.4
30.2
30.0
30.3
30.6
29.7
29.2
29.0
r
30.6
31.7

31.6
29.4
30.7
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.3
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.4
30.3
30.3
30.4

State
and
political
subdivisions
0.0
.0
3.3
46.0
56.7
58.4

52.5
46.8
48.2
48.0
48.5
47.7
46.8
44.4
44.5
44.6
44.6
44.6
44.5
44.3

Foreign
banks

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

7.2
5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0
22.3

18.1
14.8
13.4
11.1

r

9.7
9.6
7.5
7.6
8.0
7.2
7.6
8.1
7.6
7.8
8.5

8.2
8.3

r
9.4
r

9.3
8.9

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

r

5.9
5.3
4.9
5.1
5.0

4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
4.8

r
4.9
r

4.9
4.7
4.5

24.5
29.2
28.1
28.5
28.9
29.1
29.2
29.4
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.0
29.9
30.4

Other

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
36.3
39.4
42.1
r
44.8
52.2
49.1
47.5
r
47.0
r
44.8
44.4
r
42.7
r
45.2
r
42.9
r
43.1
r
43.8
49.7

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual ratesj
Uses

Sources
External
Period
Total

Internal

Credit market funds

1

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

326.0
324.8
375.8
298.5
420.3
492.6
459.2
519.8
482.9
467.5

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
357.5
352.8
366.8

128.4
124.7
136.4
56.2
134.6
156.3
106.9
162.3
130.1
100.7

60.1
70.7
90.7
49.8
77.9
95.8
50.9
121.3
68.5
63.8

9.0
34.5
29.4
10.3
52.6
51
5.0
59.0
38.2
-18.2

51.1
36.2
61.2
39.5
25.3
100.9
46.0
62.3
30.3
82.0

68.2
54.0
45.7
6.4
56.8
60.5
55.9
41.0
61.6
37.0

368.1
342.1
383.6
303.5
385.8
502.7
435.3
456.7
437.3
448.3

238.3
243.7
286.5
256.5
270.7
370.6
342.3
333.9
361.7
395.7

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
115.1
132.1
93.0
122.8
75.6
52.6

-42.1
-17.3
-7.7
-4.9
34.5
-10.1
23.9
63.0
45.5
19.1

n
m
IV

464.4
465.8
475.8
463.5

359.9
363.6
365.3
378.3

104.5
102.2
110.5
85.2

100.5
54.0
67.5
32.8

20.5
-20.0
12.4
86 1

80.0
74.0
55.1
118.9

4.0
48.2
43.1
52.4

433.9
447.3
459.6
452.2

387.8
386.7
398.6
409.3

46.1
60.6
61.0
42.9

30.5
18.5
16.1
11.3

1"

431.4

355.8

75.6

-5.4

81 0

75.6

80.9

425.3

406.6

18.7

6.0

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1988- I

1989:

Loans and
short-term
paper

Capital
expenditures 3

Total

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding 1

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

1980:
19811982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:
1988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec .
Dec
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Kov
Dec
NEW SERIES:
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May r.
June p

Other

Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Revolving

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
637,836
639,207
644,666
646,556
649,132
654,413
659,507

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
278,058
277,659
279,585
279,243
278,902
279,926
281,174

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
164,408
165,343
167,125
168,273
170,131
173,030
174,792

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
26,174
26,213
26,277
26,185
26,033
26,005
25,744

112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
169,196
169,993
171,679
172,855
174,066
175,452
177,798

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786
5,405
1,371
5,459
1,890
2,576
5,281
5,094

539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198
1,600
399
1,926
342
-341
1,024
1,248

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908
2,303
935
1,782
1,148
1,858
2,899
1,762

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
-643
-75
39
64
92
-152
28
-261

682,020
687,397
691,162
693,911
698,132
701,118

286,382
288,767
288,850
289,654
290,741
290,474

176,716
178,570
182,831
184,500
186,502
189,609

26,036
25,992
24,168
23,993
23,952
23,695

192,886
194,068
195,314
195,763
196,936
197,340

(2)
5,377
3,765
2,749
4,221
2,986

(2)
2,385
82
804
1,087
-267

(2)
1,854
4,261
1,670
2,002
3,107

<2)
44
-1,824
174
-41
257

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Because of break in series, net change not available.




Mobile
home

Automobile

Other

-329
1 529
— 344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323
1,577
797
1,686
1,176
1,211
1,386
2,346
(2)
1,182
1,246
449
1,173
404

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose in August.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PfR ANNUM

\6

-DISCOUNT —
RATE
FEDERAL
RESERVE
BANK OF
NEW YORK

SOURCE SEE TABIE a

COUNCIL OE ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S.
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) x

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

14.029
10.686

8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69

1986
1987
1988
19881 Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr.. ..
May
June
July

Aug

p

7.02
7.28
7.34
7.68
8.09
8.29
8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22
7.92
7.91

Treasury security yields
Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody' s) *

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

Discount rate

(N.Y. P.R.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged by
bants 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB) 6

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22
9.32

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19

8.77
8.57
8.43
8.72
9.11
9.20
9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.37
7.83
8.12

9.26
8.98
8.80
8.96
9.11
9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11

7.86
7.71
7.54
7.58
7.66
7.41
7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97
6.97

10.11
9.82
9.51
9.45
9.57
9.62
9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.10

6.00-6.50
6.50-6.50

9.50-10.00
10.00-10.00

6.50-6.50

10.00-10.00

9.06
9.26
9.10
9.43
9.39
9.52
9.82
9.99
10.17
10.18
10.42
10.48

8.95

8.36
8.23
8.24
8.55
8.97
9.02
9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.80
8.35
8.31

7.66
8.01
8.23
8.33

7.82
8.04
8.18
8.23

6.87
7.06
7.07
7.20

8.81
8.92
8.99
9.02

7.99
8.20
8.40
8.46

r

8.93

6.50-6.50

10.00-10.50

6.50-6.50

10.50-10.50

6.50-6.50

10.50-10.50

6.50-7.00

10.50-11.50

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50

7 00 7 00

11.50-11.50

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

11.00-10.50

7.00-

10.50-

7.00-7.00

11.00-10.50

7 00 7 00
7 00 7 00

10.50-10.50

11.50-11.00

Week ended:

1989:

Aug 5
12
19
26
Sept

2

1

7.65
7.94
8.01
7.99
7.94

Bank-discount basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.
2

30




7.00-7.00

7.00-

10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-

5

Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
6

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moodv's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in August.
INDE>(, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

jCALE)
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO!

240
220
200
180

Kjnpy

COMPOS ITF STOCK PRICE
(NYSE)

160

\

~

120

S

80

S~*~/~^~~'

\

140

^"^

120

r-^^

^~^r~J

100

S

160

.
(

r ~

140

240
220
200
180

100

1

80

^Vn
60

60

^J
] I I I I 1 11 I r l

40

ii i ill in ii

1 1 ni 111 i 11

1981

1982

1983

1984

1986

1985

1987

40

1988

1989

PERC ENT

PERCENT

20
15

NGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMM

10

^

f^
-

^ ---_-

(S&P)
\

~
^

5

>^

r

fA
1

0

1

1

i i i
1982

1981

1

1
1983

1

1

1

1

1984

1

1

1

1

1985

.
1

1986

/

p-——

~
\ i i
1987

1

1

1

1988

Common stock prices l
New York Stock Exchange indexes (E ec. 31, 1965 = 5 3)
Composite

Industrial

Transportation

1

1

0

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE A ND STANDARD & POC)R'S CORPORATION

Period

1

Common stock yields
(percent) 5
2

Finance

Utility

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143=10) 4

Dividendprice ratio

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987.
1988

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64

1988- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

149.25
151.47
156.36
152.67
155.35

179.72
182.18
188.58
183.79
187.75

132.53
136.27
141.93
138.60
144.07

70.67
71.83
74.19
73.83
74.81

130.77
133.15
134.66
129.61
128.83

2,051.29
2,080.06
2,144.31
2,099.04
2,148.58

263.73
267.97
277.40
271.02
276.51

3.75
3.69
3.61
3.70
3.68

1989' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

160.40
165.08
164.60
169.38
175.30
180.76
185.15
192.83

194.62
200.00
199.20
204.81
211.51
216.75
221.74
231.17

153.09
162.66
160.14
164.32
168.88
173.47
179.32
196.97

75.87
77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.95
90.40
92.89

132.26
137.19
137.91
143.26
146.60
154.08
157.78
164.84

2,234.68
2,304.30
2,283.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,494.90
2,554.03
2,689.01

285.41
294.01
292.71
302.25
313.93
323.73
r
331.93
346.39

3.64
3.59
3.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.38

188.17
191.86
193.55
192.14
192.40

225.74
229.48
231.94
230.41
230.84

183.91
187.06
195.58
196.97
199.16

91.26
93.57
93.48
92.33
92.33

1599.99
164.77
165.71
164.34
164.11

2,610.36
2,654.86
2,695.37
2,685.32
2,688.62

337.95
344.57
344.74
344.78
345.72

3.31
3.28
3.27
3.28
3.30

July
Aug p
Week ended:
1989: July 29
Aug 5
12
19
26
1

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-

2

3
4




Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01

8.36
8.56

8.46

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 10 months of fiscal 1989, there was a deficit of $123.8 billion, compared with a deficit of $142.2
billion a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DC3LLARS

BILLIOI-45 OF DOLLARS
1,200
RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!^

1,200
-""'

1,100
-

-"""" **"

1,100
^^^

1,000

1,000

900

900

^^

800
-~ff

700

800

RECEIPTS1'

—

700
600

600

A .

i

i

i

i -

—i—

—i

1

1

1

.N

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-V

0

-100

100
^^^

^\

200

A
^1981

i

^

I
1982

i
1983

I
1984

I
1985

-200

I

I
1986

1987

I
1988

I
1989

.._ IS
1990^

FISCAL YEARS
V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT Of THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

Outlays

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Eeceipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

1976
Transition quarter
1977
1978
,
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

-73.7
-14.7
-53.6
-59.2
-40.2
-73.8
-78.9
-127.9
-207.8
-185.3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

70 5
-13.3
49 7
-54.9
38 2
-72.7
73 9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

-3.2
-1.4
-3.9
-4.3
-2.0
-1.1
50
-7.9
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates) 1
1990 (estimates) l

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
995.9
1,080.1

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

-212.3
-221.2
-149.7
155 1
-148.3
-99.2

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
731.1
793.3

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
933.2
957.1

-221.6
-237.9
-169.3
-193.9
-202.1
-163.8

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
264.7
286.8

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
211.0
222.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
53.8
64.5

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,853.5
3,084.8

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,177.8
2,279.2

883.9
939.9

-142.2
123 8

540.9
595.0

716.5
766.5

-175.7
-171.5

200.8
221.1

167.4
173.4

33.4
47.8

2,548.5
2,810.2

2,013.6
2,147.4

Cumulative total, first 10
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989

741.7
816.1

1
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget, July 18,
1989. Data for 1990 include asset sales.
2
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for July 1989, issued August 1989.

32



NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 10 months of fiscal 1989, receipts were $74.4 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $56.0
billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500
RECEIPTS!'
400

. INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES_

400
300

300
SOCIAL IN
INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION.
INCOME TAXES

200

OTHER RECEIPTS

100

100

Tf.

0

0

900

900
OUTLAYS-!/

800

-NONDEFENSE

800

A,-

700

700
600

600

500

500

400

400
. NATIONAL DEFENSE

300

300
200

200

1981

1983

1982

1985

1984

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
J/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Pillions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Fiscal year
Total

1976
1977.. ..

1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates) *
1990 (estimates)1.
Cumulative total, first 10
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989
1
2

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3

517.1
599.3

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3

600.6
666.5

285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

734.1
769.1
854.1

334.5
349.0
392.6

909.0
995.9
1,080.1

401.2
445.3
484.6

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
105.8
117.0

741.7
816.1

327.5
363.7

72.1
81.2

617.8

See footnote 1, page 32.
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for July 1989, issued August 1989.




Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

209.0
239.4

361.5
387.5

277.3

301.7

National defense
Other

Total

Net
interest

Other

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
49.6
56.4

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
86.2
97.1

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.6
145.4

188.6
198.8

249.1

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
176.3

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.3
142.4

36.7
40.3

64.5
69.4

108.4
113.5

182.5
193.6

125.7
139.6

112.1
126.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7

209.9
227.4

204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

371.8

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
83.3
91.0

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4

245.2
265.5
274.0

301.2
296.3

292.7
286.9

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
10.7
16.4

64.9
69.5

883.9
939.9

243.9
248.9

237.1
241.8

10.3
7.9

851.8

Social
security

International
affairs

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3

Income
security

Department of
Defense,
military

Health

Total

281.9

Medicare

207.4

219.3
232.4

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the second quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $15.7 billion (annual rate)
and Federal expenditures rose $16.6 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

EXPENDITURES -

1,000

1,000

800

800
RECEIPTS

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)

v

-200

I

I I
1981

1

I

I

1

I

I

1984

1983

1982

I

\

I

-200

1

1985

I
|

1986

1

I

1

1987

1988

I

I

1989

CALENDAR YFARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
Calendar year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982: TV
1983- IV
1984: IV
1985- IV
1986- IV
1987- III
IV
1988- I

II

Ill

IV
1989- I r
II

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
Pa>'ments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6

340.4
357.0
401.2
408.0

74.6
81.1
97.7
108.3

55.9
50.9
53.4
55.8

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.4
1,104.0

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6

128.3
134.6
138.8
149.0

20.7
22.8
31.9
35.1

-0.1
.0
.1
— .1

-185.5
-212.8
-163.1
-145.4

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4
633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
921.5
937.4

346.4
361.4
405.8
413.0

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
53.8
54.5

310.9
332.1
350.8
391.3
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
352.2
359.7

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8
1,118.3
835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,065.5
1,101.7

355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
384.5
388.1

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
414.3
421.9

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
101.7
102.2

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
142.5
147.3

20.3
26.0
32.6
36.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
22.7
41.9

o
.0
.0
.0

-196.9
-206.9
-161.4
-145.8

303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
408.1
420.0

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
107.4
103.1

.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
.2
2

-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
-212.2
-189.0

944.7
973.2
977.3
994.6
1,036.2
1,051.9

402.7
417.5
411.4
420.3
446.8
465.0

104.2
111.6
114.0
115.8
117.0
108.4

55.9
55.9
57.4
57.8
58.0
58.2

382.0
388.2
394.5
400.6
414.3
420.2

1,096.5
1,114.7
1,099.8
1,162.1
1,183.7
1,200.3

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4
399.0
407.8

433.0
434.4
438.0
447.6
460.4
466.7

110.1
112.2
111.0
112.2
118.7
118.4

144.9
249.9
153.9
157.0
167.0
171.9

34.4
41.2
29.4
38.9
38.5
35.4

.0
.0
.0
.0

-151.8
— 141.5
-122.5
-167.6

.0
.0

-147.5
-148.4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34



-143.9
-164.4

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Industrial production (1977 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988' June
July
Sept
Oct..
Nov
Dec .
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

99.8
96.7
98.5
102.2
102.4
107.9
110.2
114.1
'118.2

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3

76.1
85.6
94.8
100.4
104.7
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7

72.2
81.9
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.3

86.7
92.2
97.1
100.3
102.7
104.9
104.6
105.0
106.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.0
128.5
134.4
141.1

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.2
114.9
119.7
125.6

Italy

United
Kingdom

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

104.8
106.9
96.5
102.7
115.2
121.4
123.2
129.6
137.2

119.0
120.3
120.7
124.5
136.1
141.0
140.8
145.7
159.1

107.2
106.1
105.0
105.0
106.1
106.1
107.2
109.4
114.3

108.0
114.8
105.9
113.0
102.7
109.5
103.3
105.9
106.2
109.5
111.0
110.7
113.0 '114.7
113.7 '119.3
118.1 '126.4

136.5
138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

137.9
137.4
138.7
138.8
137.8
137.1
137.9

158.4
156.4
160.8
161.6
160.2
165.0
166.1

114.9
116.0
116.0
117.2
113.2
118.0
117.3

118.5
116.1
121.3
120.0
119.4
119.1
121.2

'125.4
'128.5
'126.0
'124.1
'127.6
'129.1
'132.2

118.7
119.0
119.0
119.6
119.0
119.6
118.8

118.0
118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
129.3
120.5

123.0
123.7
124.1
124.2
124.8
125.1
125.1

105.5
105.3
105.6
106.4
106.9
106.5
106.2

124.2
124.7
125.0
125.3
125.6
125.8
126.0

106.3
106.3
106.3
106.3
106.4
106.7
106.9

140.5
140.9
141.5
142.2
143.3
144.5
145.0

125.2
125.4
126.8
127.4
128.7
129.2
129.6

118.2
137.5 167.3
'138.3 164.5 '117.4
'138.0 172.5 '116.6
'139.3 r 166.3 120.7
139.5 '167.3 118.0

121.2
120.5
121.3
124.3
'118.6
121.3

127.9
130.3
126.9
127.0

'118.1
'117.6
'117.8
'117.8
116.4
116.5

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4

125.7
126.6
127.2
127.6
128.9
129.6
130.4

106.0
105.7
106.2
108.1
108.7
108.6

126.5
126.8
127.2
128.0
128.5

108.1
108.4
108.6
109.2
109.5
109.6

146.1
147.3
148.0
149.0
149.6
150.3
1506

130.4
131.4
131.9
134.3
135.1
135.6

140.8
140.5
140.7
r
141.7
' 141.6
r
!41.4
141 7

May
June
July p
1

Canada

Consumer prices (1982-84=100)
United
States *

United
Kingdom

170.0

Data relate to all urban consumers

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) l

1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

May'
1
2

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

244.0
258.0
325.7
345.3
365.4
406.2
441.0

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9

6.5
6.3
7.8
9.4
10,4
12.1
12.8

4.0
3.5
3.4
3.6
4.4
4.0
3.6

37.3
35.1
37.6
36.8
37.1
38.1
39.7

1.9
1.9
2.2
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2

10.2
9.7
10.2
9.3
9.9
9.8
10.2

8.8
7.9
8.9
8.7
8.2
9.1
9.1

7.3
6.6
7.2
7.6
7.7
7.5
8.0

8.0
7.9
8.1
8.0
8.1
8.3
9.0

4.7
4.2
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.0

37.9
38.2
39.5
39.0
40.5
39.1

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.2
2.0

10.7
10.0
11.0
11.3
11.7
11.3

9.0
9.3
9.3
9.1
9.9
9.5

7.4
7.6
7.7
7.3
7.2
6.7

7.7
8.3
8.3
8.3
8.5
8.4

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other 2

H6.4
205.6
224.0
4
218.8
4
227.2
254.1
322.4

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2

15.7
16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4

26.7
26.6
27.5
27.6
27.9
27.5
28.9

2.7
2.8
2.9
2.9
2.7
2.6
2.8

7.1
7.1
7.1
7.2
6.8
7.0
7.4

8.8
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.1

2.2
2.1
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.7

1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.3

29.0
28.8
30,1
30.8
30.5
30.9

2.9
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.2
3.2

7.1
7.5
7.6
8.0
7.9
8.0

9.4
9.3
9.9
10.1
9.8
10.5

2.4
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.3

2.4
2.5
2.7
2.8
2.6
2.9

Total

1982
1983
1984

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Period

2

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada.
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
4
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical
3




Trade halance

Principal end-use commodity category

Principal end-use commodity category

Total

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
ft.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5

-27.5
-52.4
-101.7
-126.5
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1

1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2

38.8
36.5
39.2
38.2
38.6
39.6
41.3

-10.6
-8.5
-10.1
-9.2
-9.2
— 10.5
-10.8

-12.1
-9.9
-11.7
-10.6
-10.7
-12.1
-12.5

.9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1

39.5
39.7
41.2
40.7
42.2
40.7

-8.9
-9.4
-9.5
-8.3
-10.1
-8.2

-10.5
-10.9
-11.2
-9.9
-11.7
-9.8

NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the second quarter, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $27.7 billion, from $28.4 billion (revised) in the first
quarter.
BILL ONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLL/\RS*

10

10
5

5

r-'/O

^—--\'"1

0

0

IV

-5

A
'

\

A\

-5

V

—X

\

A

-10

\\

\\\

-15

15

\\ N
. t

-20

BALANCE ON GOODS
A Kin SFRUirpt;

'O-N

"X

V1

-25

%N

^V

-30

/\

v

-\\_
\

\ \/

-40

-25

x

'V-^-v.

-35

-45

-20

\\_.^jir.

X J*

)--30

"v^xS"
/

-35

BALANC E ON
CURRENT A

:COUNT
-40

ERCHANDISE

1

1

1 1 1

1

1981

1

1
1983

1982

1

I 1 1

BALANCE

1

1

1

1985

1984

1

1

I

1986

1 1 1

1

1

1

1988

1987

1

1

1

-45

1989

SEASONALLY AOJUSTED
OURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits ( —)]
Merchandise

Investment income 3

12

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986: I

n
in

IV
1987- I

n
m

IV
1988: I

n
m

IV
1989: I"
1
2
3

Exports

Imports

224,269
237,085
211,198
201,820
219,900
215,935
223,367
250,266
319,251
53,899
56,796
56,182
56,490
57,255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447
78,471
80,604
83,729
r
87,919
90,866

-249,749
-265,063
-247,642
-268,900
-332,422
338 083
-368,425
409 766
-446,466
-89,549
-90,812
-92,983
-95,081
95 916
-99^834
- 104,903
-109,113
- 109,893
- 109,882
-110,943
-115,748
r
- 116,297
— 118,584

Net balance

Eeceipts

Payments

-25,480 72,506 -42,119 30,387
52 329 34,083
27 978 86,412
-36,444 83,548 -54,884 28,664
67 080 77,251
52 376 24,875
-112,522 85,908 -67,419 18,489
122 148 88,832 -62,901 25,931
-145,058 88,615 -66,968 21,647
159 500 104,703
82 420 22,283
-127,215 107,775 - 105,548
2,227
-35,650 23,970 -17,357
6,613
-34,016 22,078 -17,533
4,545
-36,801 21,744 -15,729
6,015
-38,591 20,822 -16,350
4,472
-38,661 25,117
19 755
5,362
-39,819 22,744 -2o',554
2,190
-40,606 23,578 -21,904
1,674
-20,207
-40,414 33,265
13,058
-33,446 26,750 -23,955
2,795
-31,411 23,148 -25,613 -2,465
-30,339 24,720 -27,310 -2,590
-32,019 33,159 -28,670
4,489
r
-28,378 26,862 -30,370 -3,508
-27,718

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36




Net

Net
military
transactions

2 577
-1,523
474
-343
2 099
-3,557
4 576
-2,857
4 606
-1,411
-1,298
-1,089
-777
-176
-210
-1,031
-1,440
-964
-1,033
-1,006
-1,604
-1,482

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts
997

144
992
-4,227
-7,885
-9,832
-8,031
-7,324
-2,633
-2,452
-1,465
-1,874
-2,241

-2',088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
-464

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers *

Balance
on current
account

7 593
1,533
7,794
9,126
8,163
11,085
15,810 -7,647
9 188
-6,997
11,436
2,191
12,264 -34,510 -9/776 -44,286
12 468 -104,186
12,299 -91,718
112 682
12,351 -97,256 -15,426
15 778
133 249
18,547 -117,470
17,909 -129,488 -14,212 -143,700
14 656 - 126,548
20,335
111 892
4,620 -28,280 -3,068 -31,348
4,581
-27,653 -4,199 -31,852
4,539 -29,210 -4,376 -33,586
4,807 -32,330 -4,136 -36,466
4,250 -31,190 -3,137 -34,327
4,372 -35,555 -3,265 -38,820
4,555 -36,687 -3,225 -39,912
4,734 -26,055 -4,586 -30,641
4,787 -28,682 -3,364 -32,046
5,042 -30,586 -2,899 -33,485
5,126
-28,964 -3,376 -32,340
-23,659 -5,018 -28,677
5,381
5,823 -27,265 -3,420 -30,685

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $22.6 billion in the first quarter of
1989, compared with an increase of $30.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 1988. Liabilities to private foreigners
reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $10.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an
increase of $32.2 billion in the fourth quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD, NET

20

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

1989

1P81
'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period
Total

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
m
IV

1988: I

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
•
U.S. assets abroad, net
Foreign assets in the U.S., net2
Allocations
[increase /capital outflow (— )]
[increase/capital inflow ( + )]
of special
drawing
Other U.S.
U.S.
U.S.
Foreign
Other
official
rights
Governprivate
foreign
Total
official
(SDRs)
reserve
ment
assets
assets
assets
assets 1 z
assets

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

-8,155
5 175
-4,965
-1,196
-3,131
-3,858
312
9,149
-3,566

-5,162 -72,802
-5,097 -100,679
-6,131 -110,058
5006
43 576
-5,489 -13,685
2 821 -25,950
-2,024 -97,954
997
86 363
2,999 -81,543

58,112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
-1,083
35,594
45,193
38,882

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418

-15,401
-24,763
-26,078
-33,422

-115
16
280
132
1,956
3,419
32
3,742
1,503
39
-7,380
2,272
-4,000

-232
-238
-1,565
11

-15,054
-24,541
24793
-33,565

39,048
50,291
69,927
62,339

2,720
15,838
15,785
1,251

36,328
34,453
54,142
61,088

7,701
6,324
- 10,263
7,549

40
-195
308
843

6,763
-25,856
-26,316
-40,955

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

14,040
10,329
753
20,070

19,341
40,805
72,822
39,879

-7,813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

1 490
-885
1,961
3,413

4,528
-15,273
32 467
-38,332

27,027
65,334
46,179
80,759

24,631
5,895
2 234
10,589

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
-19,434

28 828

49,077

6,914

42,163

13,424

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

IV

4,540
-16,119
-37,886
-32,648

1989: I"

-31,816

1,012

Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Statistical discrepancy

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
49 777
-22,304
32 628
-99,665
76 218
-82,110

n
m

1

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

1,152
1,093

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net *
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

25,322
18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15,298
11,308
1,878
-10,641

3,515
3 306
-4,669
4,463
3,895
2559
-4,501
3,166
3,843
-3,714
-4,556
4,431
4,264

44,919
46,595
48,087
48,511
48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798
43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802
49,854

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfmancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
' Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.
38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1989 0—21-141