Full text of Economic Indicators : August 1959
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86th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators AUGUST 1959 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1959 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) JOSEPH C. O'MAHONEY (Wyoming) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) JOHN F. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) FRANK M. COFFIN (Maine) PRESCOTT BUSH (Connecticut) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JOHN MARSHALL BUTLER (Maryland) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) RODERICK H. RILEY, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS RAYMOND J. SAULNIER, Chairman KARL BRANDT HENRY C. WALLICH [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S. J. Res. S5] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled^ That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress," the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. 11 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income. . Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income. Per Capita Disposable Income Farm Income . Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment.. i . 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 , EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force . Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours—Selected Industries.... Average Hourly Earnings—Selected Industries..... Average Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries. 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures . Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing.. Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Merchandise Exports and Imports.. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Currency and Deposits Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves. Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures. Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. . 31 32 ill TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Current estimates show a continued increase in total income and expenditures between the first and second quarters of 1959. [Billions of dollars] 1958 Year Economic group ExRe- pendceipts itures 1959 Second quarter Excess of receipts (+) or expenditures (-) ExRe- pendceipts itures Excess of receipts <+) or expenditures (-) First quarter Second quarter Excess of reExceipts Re- pendceipts itures or<+) expenditures (-) Excess of reExRe- pend- ceipts ceipts itures or expenditures (-) (+) Seasonally adjusted annual rates Consumers: Disposable personal income 316. 5 Personal consumption ex293. 0 penditures Personal net saving (-J-) Business: Gross retained earnings Gross private domestic in- 327. 4 290. 9 303. 9 42. 9 44. 0 54. 9 49. 4 1. 3 1. 2 P) 77. 5 — 20. 4 1. 5 P) 1. 4 Q 1. 2 .l .1 24. 1 69. 8 — 8. 4 -10. 9 Excess of transfers ( + ) or of net exports ( — ) 311. 2 23. 5 51. 3 13 335. 3 22. 0 23. 5 Excess of investment (— ) International: Foreign net transfers by government Net exports of goods and 312.9 -1.8 2. 4 3. 2 Government (Federal, State, and local) : Tax and nontax receipts or 114 9 accruals Less: Transfers, interest, 32. 9 and subsidies (net) 112. 3 125. 2 P) 33. 5 33. 3 33. 5 82 0 78. 8 91. 9 P) Net receipts Total government expenditures Less: Transfers, interest, 125. 6 124. 6 130. 7 131. 2 32 9 33. 5 33. 3 33. 5 Purchases of goods and services 92 6 91. 1 97. 4 97. 7 Surplus ( + ) or deficit (— ) on income and product account. Statistical discrepancy -12.3 -10. 7 —2 I GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT.. 441. 7 441. 7 2. 1 434, 5 434. 5 i Not available. NOTE.—For explanation and use of this arrangement, see Senate Report No. 1295, Joint Economic Report, pp. 92-93, 99-105, and Economic Report of the President, January 1953, Appendix A. 1. 5 -1. 5 -5. 5 .0 470. 2 470. 2 .0 P) P) 484. 5 484. 5 Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. P) GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product rose $14 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the first and second quarters of 1959, according to current estimates. Increases occurred in all major components except net exports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 500 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES v. 200 200 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 100 I * GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC r \ I INVESTMENT NET EXPORTS OF GOODS ^ AND SERVICES I I I 1953 I I I J 1 1954 1955 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1957 I 1958 J I _L 1959 COUMOl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS " (Billions of dollars] Total Personal Government purchases of goods and services Net Gross Total gross conexports private Federal national gross sumpState Period product national tion domestic of goods Total and National and investin 1958 product expendTotal » defense 3 Other local services ment prices * itures 1949 181.2 25a 1 323.8 17.9 13. 6 33.0 as 40.2 22.2 352. 2 1950. 284.6 195.0 5.2 19.7 39.0 19.3 50.0 .6 143 1951 329.0 5.2 21.7 209.8 2.4 60.5 38.8 378.6 33.9 56. 3 1952 347.0 6.7 2a2 391.6 219.8 52.9 46.4 1.3 76.0 49.9 1953.. __ _ 408.7 365.4 232. 6 —.4 9.0 249 82.8 sao 49. 3 50.3 402. 1 1954 363. 1 48.9 a7 41. 2 27.7 23ao 1.0 47.5 75.3 434. 9 397.5 1955.... 39. 1 6.6 30.3 256. 9 1. 1 75. 6 45. 3 63.8 443. 6 419. 2 33.2 1956 40.4 5.7 269.9 45.7 67.4 2.9 79. 0 452. 0 86.2 1957 442.5 49.4 5.5 36.8 2848 443 66. 6 49 44L 7 441.7 52.2 92. 6 ai 1958 293. 0 1. 2 44 5 40.5 54 9 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 454. 2 1957: Third quarter 447. 8 5. 1 49. 7 44 9 5. 3 288. 2 36.9 86.6 67.9 Fourth quarter 447. 2 442. 3 28& 1 63.2 87.4 49. 1 5.7 3.5 3a3 43.9 433.2 1958: First quarter. 431.0 50. 1 ae 39.2 2.0 287.3 52. 4 44 0 89.3 Second quarter 434 5 290.9 435. 4 1. 2 91. 1 51. 3 44 3 7.5 39.7 51. 3 Third quarter 444. 0 444 0 8.9 40. 8 294 4 54 2 53. 1 44 5 1.6 93.8 42. 2 54 2 9.4 Fourth quarter... .2 4548 457. 1 96. 5 299. 1 61. 3 45.3 470.2 303.9 97.4 53.8 1959: First quarter 45.8 • as 43.6 465.5 69. 8 — 8 9 8.0 Second quarter 97.7 477. 8 53. 9 46. 2 311. 2 -1*. 43.8 4845 77.5 a9 1 1 Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Less Government sales. * These expenditures correspond closely with the "major national security^ category In The Budget of the United States Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO, 1959, shown on p. 31 of Economic Indicators. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). Compensation of employees increased $9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 1959. Business and professional income and net interest also increased but farm income dropped. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 400 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 300 300 COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES 200 200 PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME * NET INTEREST » 1953 1954 I CORPORATE PROFITS AND ^ INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT . 1958 1957 1956 1955 1959 C&UNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars] Total national income Compensation of em- l ployees _ 217.7 241.9 279.3 292. 2 305.6 301.8 330. 2 350.8 366. 5 366. 2 140.8 154.2 180.3 195.0 208.8 207.6 223.9 242. 5 255.5 256. 8 1957: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter . 1959: First quarter.. . .. Second quarter 371. 1 364. 3 355. 8 358.9 369. 5 380. 4 389. 4 (2) 258. 1 256. 0 252.5 253. 2 258. 5 262. 9 269. 9 278.9 Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 _ ... 1 __ Proprietors' income Farm 1 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) > Not available. Business and professional Rental income of persons Net interest 12. 9 22.7 8.3 14.0 23.5 9.0 16. 3 26. 0 9.4 15.3 26.9 10. 2 13.3 27.4 10.5 12.7 27. 8 10.9 11.8 30. 4 10.7 32. 1 11.6 10. 9 11.8 32.7 11. 5 14 2 32. 4 11. 8 Seasonally adjusted annual 12. 3 32. 9 11. 5 12. 1 32. 4 11.7 14. 6 31. 6 11.7 13. 9 32.0 11. 8 14. 2 32.6 11. 9 14. 1 33. 2 11.9 13. 2 33.7 12. 0 12. 1 34. 5 12.0 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 4. 8 5.5 6. 3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11.7 13. 3 14. 3 rates 28. 2 35.7 41. 0 37.7 37.3 33.7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 36.7 26.4 40.6 42.2 36.7 38.3 34. 1 44.9 44.7 43. 3 37. 1 1.9 -5.0 -1.2 1.0 -1.0 -.3 -1.7 -2.7 — 1.5 —.4 13. 5 13.8 13.9 14. 1 14. 4 14.7 15. 1 15.4 42.7 38. 5 31.5 33.8 38. 0 43. 5 45. 5 (2) 44.0 39.4 32.0 33. 6 38. 3 44 6 46. 5 (2) -1.3 —.9 —.4 .2 -.3 — 1. 1 9 Source: Department of Commerce. (2) SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income (seasonally adjusted) was about the same in July as in June. Labor income dropped about billion (annual rate) as a result of reduced payrolls in industries affected by the steel strike. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 400 350 350 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME L 300 250 LABOR INCOME 200 BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME FARM PROPRIETORS* INCOME 50 50 1959 1953 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1958: June July August — September. October November. December, 1959: January. _ February . March April . May „June4 July 228.5 256.7 273.1 288.3 289.8 310.2 332.9 350.6 359.0 8 3 8 357. 1 363. 5 362. 4 364.2 364.3 367. 5 366.9 369. 0 371.0 375.4 379.0 381.3 383.8 384.1 [Billions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental salary disDiviincome Business bursements of dends Farm and proand other fessional persons labor income)1 150.2 14.0 23.5 9.0 9.2 9.4 16.3 9.0 175. 5 26.0 10.2 190.2 15.3 26.9 9.0 27.4 9.2 204.1 10.5 13.3 10.9 12.7 202.5 27.8 9.8 218.0 30.4 11.2 10. 7 11.8 235.7 32. 1 10.9 12.1 11.6 247.7 32.7 11.5 12.5 11.8 14 2 32. 4 248.7 12.4 11.8 Seasonally adjusted annual 3 13.4 32.3 11.8 12. 6 247. 2 8 14.1 32.4 11.8 12.6 252. 5 8 142 32. 6 12. 6 250. 6 11. 9 11.9 12. 6 143 32.8 251.8 11.9 14 2 33. 2 12.6 251.4 11.9 14 1 12.6 33. 1 255.5 142 33.4 10.8 256. 4 11.9 12. 7 12.0 13.5 33.5 25as 12.0 13.2 12.8 33.7 259.8 12.0 12,9 340 12.8 263.8 12.0 12.9 12. 2 34 3 267.2 12.0 13.0 12.0 345 269.7 12.0 347 12. 1 13. 1 " 271. 7 12.0 13. 3 12.2 271. 3 348 1 Compensation of employees (sec p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 1 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. BOUNCE Of~KONOMJC>DVI5ERS 'Less: PerconPersonal Transfer sonal tributions interest paysocial income ments forinsurance 2.9 10.3 15.1 3.4 11.2 12.6 3.8 12.1 13.2 13.4 3.9 143 16.2 46 146 5.2 15.8 17.5 5.8 17.5 18. 8 19. 5 6.7 21.7 7.0 20. 4 26. 1 rates 7.0 20.4 26.4 7.2 20.4 26.8 7.1 27.2 20.5 7.1 27. 3 20. 6 7.1 20.7 27.4 7.1 20. 8 26.6 7.1 21.0 26.3 21.1 26.1 8.1 8.1 26.4 21.3 8.2 21. 6 26.6 8.3 26.9 21.8 a3 22.0 26.4 8.4 26.4 22.2 8.4 22. 4 26.5 Nonagricultural personala income 211. 3 237.0 2543 271.5 273.8 295.0 317.9 335.2 341. 1 8 3 3 339. 9 345. 7 344 5 346.1 346.3 349. 6 348.8 351.6 353.8 358.5 362.7 365. 3 367.8 368.1 3 Includes lump-sum retroactive salary payments to federal employees. At seasonally adjusted annual rates, these amounted to $0.2 billion in June, $3.6 billion in July, and $6.2 billion in August. 4 Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income rose almost $8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the first and second quarters of 1959. Total consumption expenditures rose about $7*14 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS .350 300 300 - 25O 200 - ISO - 150 100 1953 1958 1954 1959 COUNCa OF ECONOMIC AOVISBS * SOURCE! DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Equals: Personal Less: Disposincome Personal able taxes 1 personal income Period 1949 1950 1951 . 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 _•„ - - 1957: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1959: First quarter Second quarter -.. 208. 3 22a5 256. 7 273. 1 288. 3 289. 8 310. 2 332.9 350. 6 359.0 18.7 20.8 29.2 34. 4 35.8 32.9 35.7 40.0 42.7 42.6 354.5 352.8 352. 2 355. 0 363. 4 366. 3 371.8 . _ 381. 1 43. 1 42.9 41.9 42. 1 42. 9 43.4 44. 4 45.8 * Includes such items as fines, penalties, and donations. 44695°—59- Less: Personal consumption expenditures Total Saving Equals: as percent of disPersonal posable •Durable Nonsaving goods durable Services income goods Billions of dollars 189. 7 181. 2 246 96.6 207.7 195. 0 SO. 4 * 99. 8 209.8 29.5 110. i 227.5 29.1 219.8 23R7 115. 1 118. 0 232.6 32.9 252.5 238.0 32.4 256.9 119. 3 274.4 39. 6 124 8 256.9 292.9 269.9 3a 5 131.4 284.8 137.7 307.9 40.3 316.5 293. 0 37.6 141.9 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 139. 7 311.5 288. 2 40.9 309.9 28a i 39.7 139. 0 287. 3 310.3 36.9 139. 5 3d 7 141. 5 312.9 290. 9 320.4 294 4 37. 1 143.1 322. 9 299. 1 143.6 39.8 327. 4 41. 3 303.9 145.3 335.3 44 1 147. 7 311. 2 Source: Department of Commerce. as 60.0 649 70.2 75.6 81.8 86. 3 92.5 100.0 106.7 113. 4 19.8 18.9 17.5 23.0 23. 1 23.5 107.6 109.4 111. 0 112. 7 114 2 115. 7 117.4 119.4 23. 3 21.8 22. 9 22. 0 26.0 23. 7 23.5 24 1 12.6 17.7 ia9 45 6,1 7.8 7.9 7.9 7.3 a4 7.9 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.0 7.4 7.0 ai 7.3 7.2 7.2 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE INCOME Per capita disposable income, measured in both current and constant prices, increased in the second quarter of 1959. DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,800 1,600 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 J 1955 1954 1953 1956 1957 %E£ FOOTNOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total disposable personal income (billions of dollars) 1 Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 .. . 1953 1954 . . . . 1955 1956 1957. . 1958 _ 1958 prices 2 Current prices _ _ ..... .. . __ .. .. . . . . . .. -_ 189.7 207. 7 227. 5 238.7 252.5 256. 9 274. 4 292.9 307.9 316. 5 I 1959 1958 230.2 249. 6 253.0 259.8 272.7 276.2 296. 1 311.3 316.4 316. 5 Per capita disposable personal income (dollars) * Current prices 1,271 1,369 1,474 1,520 1, 582 1,582 1,661 1,742 1,798 1,818 1958 prices 2 Population (thousands) a 1,542 1, 645 1,640 1, 654 1,708 1,701 1,792 1,851 1,848 1,818 149, 188 151, 683 154, 360 157, 028 159, 636 162, 417 165, 270 168, 176 171, 196 174, 064 1,852 1, 829 1,804 1,799 1,833 1, 838 1,855 1,888 171, 612 172, 393 173, 054 173, 705 174, 460 175, 253 176, 104 176, 778 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter.. Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1959: First quarter.. Second quarter _ _ . __ . 1 Income less taxes. ' Dollar estimates in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1958 base. 1 Includes armed forces overseas and, beginning February 1959, Alaska. 311. 5 309.9 310.3 312. 9 320. 4 322.9 327.4 335.3 317.9 315. 3 312.2 312. 6 319.8 322. 3 326. 7 333.6 1,815 1,798 1,793 1,801 1,837 1,842 1,859 1,897 Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME Farm operators' net rncome (including net change in inventories and seasonally adjusted) was lower in the second quarter of 1959 than in the first quarter, but remained above 1955-57 levels. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES i30 30 20 NET FARM INCOME (INCL. NET CHANGE IN INVENTORIES)J/ \ 10 1954 1953 1955 1956 * INCOME OF FARM OPERATORS FROM FARMING. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Realized gross farm income 1 Period 1949 ... . 1950 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 _ 1955 1956 1957 1958 _- _ 1957' Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958* First quarter _. . Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1959- First quarter Second quarter 31. 8 32.5 37. 3 37.0 35. 3 33. 9 33.3 34.6 34.4 38.3 34.7 34.6 38.3 38.0 38. 4 38. 5 38.2 37. 3 1958 1959 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Farm operators' income Net income 2 Net income per farm including net change in Including Farm proExcluding inventories duction net change net change in invenin invenCurrent 1958 expenses prices tories tories prices 3 Billions of dollars Dollars 12.9 2,259 18.0 13. 8 2,658 13.2 14.0 2,479 2,883 19.3 22. 2 16. 3 2,951 3, 173 15. 2 2,829 14. 4 22. 6 15. 3 3,010 2, 502 21. 4 13. 3 13. 9 2, 662 12.7 21. 7 2,440 12. 2 2,596 2,313 11. 5 11.8 2,461 21. 9 22. 6 12. 0 2, 338 11. 6 2,461 2,426 23.4 2,476 11.8 11.0 14. 2 2,990 25. 2 13. 1 2,990 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2,530 11.4 12.3 2, 560 23.3 12. 1 23. 6 11. 0 2,490 2,520 14.6 3,070 24.9 13.4 3,070 13.9 2,930 2,930 25.2 12. 8 14.2 2,990 2,990 25.2 13. 2 25. 3 13. 2 14. 1 2,970 2, 970 13.2 2,840 25. 7 12. 5 2,840 12. 1 2, 600 25. 8 2, 600 11.5 »Cash receipts from [arm marketings, value of farm products consumed in farm households, gross rental value of farm dwellings, and Government payments to2farmers. Realized gross farm income less farm production expenses. Excludes farm wages paid to workers living on farms and any income to farm people from nonfarm sources, which in 1958 amounted to $1.8 billion and $6.2 billion, respectively. 1957 Number of farms (millions) * 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5. 1 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 4,7 4.6 4.6 3 Dollar estimates in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for items used in family living on a 1958 base. *The number of farms is held constant within a given year. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes in the first quarter of 1959 are estimated at $46.5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1953 1954 1955 1958 1959 •k NO ALLOWANCE FOR INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1949 . 1950 1951 1952 1953. 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 _•_. . Corporate tax liability 26. 4 40. 6 42. 2 36.7 38.3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43. 3 37. 1 _ 10. 4 17. 9 22. 4 19. 5 20.2 17. 2 21. 8 21. 2 21. 1 18. 2 Corporate profits after taxes Total 16.0 22.8 19.7 17. 2 18. 1 16. 8 23. 0 23.5 22.2 18. 9 Dividend payments Undistributed profits 7. 5 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.8 11.2 12. 1 12.5 12.4 8.5 13. 6 10.7 8.3 8.9 7.0 11. 8 11.3 9.7 6.5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1959: First quarter Second quarter . ... 440 39. 4 32.0 33. 6 38. 3 44. 6 46. 5 . ... . _. _ . .. . . P) i Not available. NOTE.—See p. 3 for profits before taxes and after inventory valuation adjustment. 8 21. 4 19. 2 15.7 16. 5 18. 8 21. 9 22. 6 1 C) 22. 5 20. 2 16.3 17. 1 19. 5 22. 7 23.8 1 C) Source: Department of Commerce. 12.8 12. 2 12. 7 12. 6 12.6 12.0 12. 8 13.0 C1) 9.7 8.0 3.6 4.5 6.9 10.7 11.0 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Grbss private domestic investment rose about $7% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the first and second quarters of 1959. Inventory accumulation and producers1 durable equipment accounted lor most of the rise, but residential construction also contributed. BILUOHS OF DOLLARS 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 -20 1953 1954 1958 1959 COUNgH. Of'ECONOMIC ADVtSfRS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars] Total gross private domestic investment Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 195S ... - . . .. - .-.._ .. . 1957: Third quarter _ Fourth quarter 1958" First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter.. 1959: First quarter Second quarter . New construction * Total Total Residential nonfarm 33.0 50.0 56.3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63.8 67. 4 66. 6 549 36.0 43.2 46. 1 46. 8 49.9 50. 5 58. 1 62. 7 646 58. 7 18.8 242 248 25.5 27. 6 29.7 349 35.5 36. 1 35.8 9.6 141 12.5 12.8 13.8 15.4 18.7 17.7 17.0 18.0 67. 9 63.2 52. 4 51.3 542 61. 3 69. 8 77.5 65. 2 63.8 59. 3 57. 2 57.6 60.5 63.6 67.0 36. 2 36. 1 35. 5 346 35. 4 37.3 39. 7 41. 0 17.0 17.1 17. 1 16. 9 18.0 19.9 21. 9 23. 1 Other Producers' durable equipment 9.2 10.1 12.3 12.7 13.8 143 16. 2 17.8 19.0 17.7 Seasonally adjusted annual rates I "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 19. Change in business inventories Fixed investment 19. 3 19.0 18.4 17.7 17.4 17.4 17.8 17.9 Source: Department of Commerce. Total Nonfarm 17.2 18.9 21.3 21.3 22. 3 20.8 23. 1 27.2 28.5 22.9 —3. 1 6.8 10.2 3. 1 .4 — 1.6 5.8 47 2.0 -3.8 -2.2 6.0 9.1 2.1 1.1 -2.1 5.5 5. 1 1.2 —49 29.0 27.7 23.8 22.6 22.2 23.2 23.9 26.0 2.7 —.6 — 6.9 — 5. 8 -3.4 .8 6.1 10.4 1.7 — 1.7 -8. 1 -7.0 —4 5 — .1 5. 4 9.8 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EOUIPMENT^ i ^ ! The April-May survey of business expenditures on plant and equipment indicates rising outlays-in the second and third quarters of 1959. Expenditures for the year 1959 have been raised above earlier anticipations, and are now r expected to be some 6.6 percent above actual outlays in 1958, r ^ -?; BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 40 40 30 30 20 • COMMERCIAL AND OTHER PUBLIC UTILITIES^ 1953 •"'SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars] Manufacturing Period 1948 1949. 1950_. 1951 1952 1953 1954... 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 » Total » Total ...... 22.06 19. 28 20.60 25.64 26.49 2&32 26.83 28.70 35. 08 36. 96 30.53 32. 56 9. 13 7. 15 7.49 10. 85 11.63 11.91 11.04 11.44 1495 15.96 11.43 12.40 1958: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter . 1959: First quarter Second quarter*........ Third quarter1 32. 41 30. 32 29. 61 29.97 30.62 32.29 33.39 13. 20 1L 53 10. 86 10. 58 11. 20 11. 95 12.82 _ NonduraRailroads Other ble goods 1.32 5. 65 1.28 3.48 0.88 1.35 .89 2.59 4. 56 .79 1.21 1.11 3.14 4.36 .71 1.49 1.47 5. 17 5.68 .93 6.02 5.61 1.50 .98 1.40 1.31 1.56 . 99 5. 65 6. 26 1.51 .85 5.95 .98 5.09 .92 .96 5. 44 1.60 6.00 7. 62 1.23 1.71 7.33 1.24 a 02 1.24 7.94 1. 40 1.77 5.47 . 94 .75 1.50 5.96 6.01 .87 1. 99 6. 38 . 98 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 6.62 6.58 1. 02 1.69 1.00 .92 .77 1.40 5.57 5.96 5. 16 5,70 .63 1.29 .88 5.72 4.86 .97 . 58 1.62 5.26 .63 1.71 5. 94 .95 1.02 .99 6.20 2.06 5. 75 .97 1.07 6. 31 2.06 6.51 Durable goods 1 Excludes agriculture. * Commercial and other Includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. * Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business between late April and May 1969. Includes adjustments, when necessary, for systematic tendencies In anticipatory data. Non,—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not neoes- 10 Transportation Mining Public utilities Commercial and other* a 90 2.54 3. 12 3.31 3.66 3.89 4.55 4.22 4.31 4, 90 6. 20 6.09 5.89 5.98 6.78 7.24 7.09 8.00 a23 9.47 11.05 10.40 9.81 10.44 5.87 5.97 6. 10 6.26 5.80 5.91 5.94 9.63 9.73 9.85 9.96 10.33 10.36 10.53 sarily coincide with the averaee of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Oommission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Total civilian employment reached 67.6 million in July, 250,000 higher than in June and 2.4 million higher than in July 1958. Unemployment declined by 240,000, somewhat less than is usual at this time of year. MILLIONS OF PERSONS-!/ 75 MILLIONS OF PERSONS-^ 75 *I4 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Insured unemployment2 Civilian employment 1 Unemployment * labor State pro% of civilian All proforce (in- Civilian laborl grams as grams Agricul- Nonagri- Number labor force cluding Total force tural cultural Unad- Seas, (thousands % of covered3 armedl justed adj. of persons) employment forces) Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over New definitions: l 1952 _ . 1953 „ . 1954 . 1955 - 1956 1957 1958 1958: June July August September October November December 1959: January February March April May June July 66, 560 67, 362 67, 818 68, 896 70, 387 76, 744 71,284 73, 049 73, 104 72, 703 71, 375 71, 743 71, 112 70, 701 70, 027 70,062 70, 768 71, 210 71, 955 73, 862 73, 875 62, 966 63, 815 64, 468 65, 848 67, 530 67, 946 68, 647 70, 418 70, 473 70, 067 68, 740 69, 111 68, 485 68, 081 67, 430 67, 471 68, 189 68, 639 69, 405 71, 324 71, 338 61, 035 61, 945 60, 890 62, 944 64, 708 65, Oil 63, 966 64, 981 65, 179 65, 367 64, 629 65, 306 64, 653 63, 973 62, 706 62, 722 63,828 65, 012 66, 016 67, 342 67, 594 6, 792 6,555 6,495 6, 718 6, 572 6,222 5,844 6,900 6, 718 6, 621 6, 191 6,404 5,695 4,871 4, 693 4,692 5, 203 5,848 6,408 7,231 6,825 i See Monthly Fttporti on the Labor Force, Department of Commerce, for definitions, methods of estimation, periods to which data pertain, etc. * Weekly averages. Beginning July 1959, includes Alaska and Hawaii. * Includes program for Federal employees for 1955-June 1959. 54, 243 55, 390 54, 395 56, 225 58, 135 58, 789 58, 122 58, 081 58, 461 58, 746 58, 438 58, 902 58, 958 59, 102 58, 013 58, 030 58, 625 59, 163 59, 608 60, 111 60, 769 1, 932 1,870 3,578 2, 904 2,822 2, 936 4,681 5,437 5,294 4,699 4, 111 3,805 3,833 4, 108 4,724 4,749 4,362 3,627 3,389 3,982 3,744 3. 1 2. 9 5. 6 4.4 4.2 4. 3 6.8 7.7 7. 5 6.7 6.0 5.5 5.6 6.0 7.0 7.0 6. 4 5.3 4. 9 5. 6 5. 2 6.8 7.3 7. 6 7.2 7. 1 6.9 6. 1 6.0 6. 1 6.8 5.8 4.9 4-9 6. 1 1,064 1,058 2,039 1, 388 1,312 1,560 2,758 2,847 2, 717 2,374 2,062 1,863 1,957 2,307 2,729 2,584 2,273 1,927 1, 586 1,408 4 1, 476 2.9 2.8 5.2 3.4 3. 1 3.5 6.1 6.3 6.0 5.2 4.5 4. 1 4.3 5. 1 6.0 5. 7 5.0 4. 4 3.6 3.3 4 3. 5 4 Preliminary estimate. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. 11 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Employment in nondgricultural establishments, seasonally adjusted, increased by 164/000 in July. Effects of the steal strike, which besan during the survey period, were reflected only to a small extent in the employment data. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS* MILLIONS OF WA6E AND SALARY WORKERS * 56 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 52 50 48 10 *sz~ 46 44 I95Y 1956 1958 1956 1959 12.0 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION -(ENLARGED SCALE) — WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 11.5 <**s*~*~~* I II i i I I 1956 195? 10.0 1959 7»SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 4 Period Total, unadjusted Total 1952.. 1953... 1954 1955 1956 1957 ...... 1958..... 48,808 49,681 48,431 50, 056 61, 766 52, 162 50,643 48, 303 49, 681 48, 431 50, 056 51, 766 52, 162 50, 543 1958: June ;.. July .. August. September. October November. December. 1959: January . February.. March April .. May...... June2..... July ...... 60, 418 60, 178 60, 676 61, 2S7 51, 136 61,432 51, 935 60, 310 60, 815 60, 878 61,430 61, 982 52, 680 62, 354 50, 315 50, 411 50, 570 50, 780 50, 582 50, 877 50, 844 51, 086 51, 194 51, 456 51, 887 52, 125 52,408 52, 572 1956 i i i t i I i t i t i 1 i i i i 1 i ill i 1957 1958 | 1 I I 1 1 f I 1Lf- 1959 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers *] GovernManufacturing ment Contract Wholesale Mining construc- and retail (Federal, Durable NonduraState, Total tion trade goods ble goods local) 6,609 9,340 2, 634 10, 281 16, 334 6,994 885 6,645 2,622 10, 105 7,133 852 10, 527 17, 238 9,122 6,751 6,873 2, 593 10, 520 15, 995 777 6,914 9,549 10, 846 7,014 777 2,759 16, 563 11, 221 7,277 9,835 807 2,929 16, 903 7,068 9,821 7, 626 11,302 16, 782 6,961 2, 808 809 8,743 7, 893 721 11, 141 2, 648 6,725 15, 468 Adjusted for seasonal variation 7, 877 8, 556 6,719 2, 698 713 11, 105 15, 275 7, 903 8, 596 6,716 709 2, 693 11, 121 15, 312 7,989 2,711 701 8,605 6,725 11,175 15, 330 8, 005 8,801 707 2, 698 11, 151 6,728 15, 529 7, 986 2,698 8, 625 6,733 708 11, 154 15, 358 7, 980 2, 690 8,937 6,756 708 11, 119 15, 693 8, 049 2, 550 8, 956 709 6,745 15, 701 11, 143 2,650 8, 028 704 11, 216 9,007 6,757 15, 764 8, 040 2,626 9,049 6,770 693 11, 279 15, 819 8,056 2, 719 9, 192 6,814 Yk, 263 688 16, 006 8,074 2,829 11, 333 9, 319 701 6, 863 16, 182 8,079 2, 787 li, 363 9,462 6,910 708 16, 372 8, 100 11, 420 2,793 6,954 708 9,568 16, 522 8,154 2, 797 11, 432 6, 946 711 9, 631 16, 577 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11 which include proprietors, self-employed 12 ^A 1 1 I 1 t 1 1 i 1 ~xv. \>*vsS Other 11, 563 11, 797 11, 795 12, 197 12, 629 12,835 12, 672 12,647 12,673 12, 664 12, 690 12, 678 12, 687 12, 692 12, 724 12, 737 12,724 12, 768 12, 816 12, 865 12, 901 persons, and domestic servants; which eount persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. » Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES , The average workweek of production workers in manufacturing industries declined to 40.4 hours in July/ reflecting chiefly the scheduling of vacations. HOURS PER WEEK 46 HOURS PER WEEK 46 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING J I M I I I M I- H 1 1 1 h nu 1956 1957 1958 1959 1 RETAO. TRADE •-—/V/i*-^-/i - /^'* : _u 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 H 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II l f l l H i l t SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1 1 1 1 t i n ill. COUNCK OF ECONOMIC ADVISEftS (Hours per week, for production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Manufacturing • Period 1949 1950 .. ._ 1951 1952 _. 1953 1954 1955.,.-. 1956 1957 1958. _ _1958: June July ,._. August September October November .. December . 1959 1 January February March April „ May June * July1. _ - Total .... _ -.- ._ . . . . .. -_ - - _. _ .. _ __ „ - _ ~ -- 39. 2 40. 5 40. 7 40.7 40.5 39. 7 40.7 40.4 39.8 39.2 39. 2 39.2 39. 6 39.9 39.8 39.9 40.2 39.9 40. 0 40.2 40. 3 40.5 40.7 40. 4 Building Nondurable construction goods 39. 5 41.2 41.6 41. 5 41. 3 40.2 41.4 41. 1 40.3 39. 5 39. 6 39. 4 39. 8 40. 2 40. 1 40.3 40. 8 40. 4 40. 3 40. 8 40.9 41. 1 41. 4 40. 8 38. 8 39. 7 39. 5 39.6 39. 5 39. 0 39. 8 39. 5 39. 1 38. 8 38. 7 39. 0 39. 4 39. 5 39. 4 39.4 39. 6 39. 3 39. 4 39. 5 39. 5 39. 7 39. 7 39.8 36.7 36. 3 37. 2 38. 1 37.0 36.2 36.2 36. 4 36. 1 35.7 36. 2 3a 3 36. 7 36. 5 36. 8 35.4 34. 6 35.0 34.0 35.0 36. 1 36. 4 36. 8 3 () T>rtf Q ;i trade 40. 4 40.5 40.2 39.9 39. 2 39. 1 39.0 3&6 38. 1 38. 1 3&2 . 3a7 3a 7 38. 0 37. 9 37.7 38. 5 sa i (3) 37.9 37. 9 37.9 37.9 3a 3 Source: Department of liabor. 1 Preliminary estimates, a Not available 44695°—59 Durable goods 3 13 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings ©(production workers in manufacturing industries were $2.23 in July, one cent lower than in June but 10 cents higher than in July 1958. DOLLARS PER HOUR 2.60 DOLLARS PER HOUR 3.40 2.40 3.00 1956 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 1958 PRICES II I 1 I I I I I i1 1.60 1956 1958 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. (For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Building Durable goods Nondurable goods All manufacturing manufacturing construction manufacturing Current Current Current 1958 Current 1958 1958 1958 prices prices prices l prices prices l prices l prices prices l Period 1949 _ . ._ 1950 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1958- June July August September October November December 1959: January February _ March. _ _ April May June 2 July 2 1 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. $1. 401 1. 465 1. 59 1. 67 L 77 . 1. 81 1. 88 _. _ 1. 98 __ . 2.07 ; 2. 13 2. 12 2. 13 2. 13 2. 14 2. 14 2. 17 2. 19 2. 19 L 2. 20 2. 22 L 2. 23 2. 23 2. 24 2. 23 -: „_ $1. 700 1. 761 1.77 1.82 1. 91 L 95 2. 03 2. 10 2. 13 2. 13 2. 12 2. 12 2. 13 2. 14 2. 14 2. 16 2. 19 2. 19 2. 20 2. 22 2. 22 2. 22 2. 22 (3) - $1. 469 1. 537 1.67 1. 77 1.87 1. 92 2. 01 2. 10 2. 20 2.28 2. 27 2.28 2. 29 2. 30 2. 29 2. 34 2. 36 2. 35 2. 36 2. 38 2. 39 2. 40 2. 40 2. 39 learnings in Current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1958 base. Preliminary estimates. 14 $1. 783 1. 847 1. 86 1. 93 2. 02 2. 06 2. 17 2. 23 2. 26 2. 28 2. 27 2.27 2. 29 2. 30 2. 29 2. 33 2. 36 2. 35 2. 36 2. 38 2. 38 2. 39 2. 38 (3) $1. 325 1. 378 1. 48 1. 54 1. 61 1. 66 1. 71 1. 80 1. 88 1. 94 1. 94 1. 94 1. 93 1. 95 1. 95 L 96 1.97 1. 98 1. 98 2.00 2. 00 2. 00 2. 00 2. 01 $1. 608 1. 656 1. 65 1. 68 1.74 1. 78 1. 84 1. 91 1. 93 1. 94 1. 94 1. 93 1. 93 1. 95 1. 95 1. 95 1.97 1. 98 1. 98 2. 00 1. 99 1.99 1.98 (3) $1. 935 2. 031 2. 19 2. 31 2. 48 2. 60 2. 66 2. 80 2. 96 3. 10 3. 06 3. 09 3. 09 3. 13 3. 13 3. 14 3. 19 3. 19 3. 18 3. 17 3. 17 3. 17 3. 17 (3) 3 Not available. Source: Department of Labor. $2. 348 2. 441 2. 44 2. 51 2. 68 2. 80 2. 87 2. 98 3. 04 3. 10 3.05 3.08 3. 08 3. 12 3. 12 3. 13 3. 18 3. 18 3. 17 3. 16 3. 16 3. 16 3. 14 (3) Retail trade Current prices $1. 137 1. 176 1. 26 1. 32 1. 40 1. 45 1. 50 1. 57 1. 64 1.70 1. 70 1.71 1. 71 1. 71 1.71 1.71 1.68 1.74 1. 74 1.74 1. 75 1.76 1.76 (3) 1958 prices l $1. 380 1. 413 1. 40 1. 44 1. 51 1. 56 1. 62 1. 67 1. 69 1. 70 1. 70 1. 70 1. 71 1. 71 1.71 1.70 1.68 1. 74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.75 L 75 (3) AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Avcra$c weekly earnings of production workers in manufacturing industries declined to $90.09 in July primarily because of the seasonal reduction of the workweek. DOLLARS PER WEEK DOLLARS PER WEEK SOU- RETAIL TRADE NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING CURRENT PRICES 1 L Il-ll I M I 1 i I I I II COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 _ 1953 -_ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1958- June July August September. October November _ December 1959' January February. _ _ M arch April May June 22_ July _ _ 1 2 [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Nondurable goods Building Durable goods All manufacturing manufacturing manufacturing construction Retail trade Current prices 1958 prices l Current prices 1958 prices 1 Current prices 1958 prices 1 Current prices 1958 prices l Current prices $54. 92 59. 33 64.71 67.97 71. 69 71.86 76. 52 79. 99 82.39 83. 50 83. 10 83. 50 _ _ „ 84. 35 85. 39 85. 17 86. 58 88.04 _ _ 87. 38 88.00 89. 24 89.87 90. 32 91. 17 90. 09 $66. 65 71. 31 71.98 73.96 77.42 77. 27 82. 55 85. 01 84. 68 83. 50 82. 93 83. 25 84. 18 85. 22 85. 00 86. 32 87. 86 87.21 87. 82 89. 06 89. 60 89. 96 90. 45 (3) $58. 03 63. 32 69.47 73.46 77. 23 77. 18 83. 21 86. 31 88. 66 90. 06 89. 89 89. 83 91. 14 92. 46 91. 83 94. 30 96. 29 94. 94 95. 11 97. 10 97. 75 98. 64 99. 36 97. 51 $70. 42 76. 11 77. 27 79.93 83.40 82.99 89. 76 91. 72 91. 12 90. 06 89. 71 89. 56 90. 96 92. 28 91. 65 94. 02 96. 10 94.75 94. 92 96. 91 97.46 98. 25 98. 57 (3) $51. 41 54. 71 58. 46 60. 98 63. 60 64. 74 68. 06 71. 10 73. 51 75. 27 75.08 75. 66 76. 04 77. 03 76. 83 77. 22 78. 01 77. 81 78. 01 79. 00 79. 00 79. 40 79. 40 80. 00 $62. 39 65. 76 65. 03 66. 35 68. 68 69.61 73.42 75. 56 75. 55 75. 27 74.93 75. 43 75. 89 76. 88 76. 68 76. 99 77.85 77. 65 77.85 78. 84 78. 76 79. 08 78. 77 (3) $70. 95 73. 73 81.47 88. 01 91. 76 94. 12 96.29 101. 92 106. 86 110. 67 110. 77 112. 17 113. 40 114. 25 115. 18 111. 16 110. 37 111. 65 108. 12 110. 95 114. 44 115. 39 116. 66 (3) $86. 10 88. 62 90. 62 95. 77 99. 09 101. 20 103. 87 108. 31 109. 83 110. 67 110. 55 111. 83 113. 17 114. 02 114. 95 110. 83 110. 15 111. 43 107. 90 110. 73 114. 10 114. 93 115. 73 (3) $45. 93 47.63 50. 65 52. 67 54. 88 56. 70 58. 50 60. 60 62. 48 64. 77 64. 94 66. 18 66. 18 64. 98 64. 81 64. 47 64.68 66. 29 65. 95 65. 95 66. 33 66. 70 67. 41 (3) Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1958 base. PreJiminary estimates. 3 Not available. JLu i i L 1958 prices 1 $55. 74 57.25 56. 34 57.31 59.27 60. 97 63. 11 64.40 64. 21 64. 77 64. 81 65. 98 66.05 64. 85 64. 68 64. 28 64. 55 66. 16 65. 82 65.82 66. 13 66. 43 66. 88 (3) Source: Department ol Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The index of industrial production (seasonally adjusted) dropped 2 points in July, returning to the May level. drop was concentrated in steel and related industries. The INDEX, 1947-498 INDEX, I947-49-IOO 180 160 140 120 100 1953 1954 1956 1955 1957 1959 1958 'COUNCIL or ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, {1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Manufactures Total f>t*vif\r\ Minerals production 1949..., _ 1950 1951 _ 1952. 1953 1954 1955 . 1956. . . . . 1957 . 1958.. .. . ... 1958: June..... .. July . . . . August September.. _ . October _ November _, -. ... December. .. .. _ . . . 1959: January. -.^ _ .. February ._ , . March April _ May , • . June . .. ... July*. ... .. ... _ _ _ 1 Preliminary estimates. 16 97 112 120 124 134 125 139 143 143 134 132 134 136 137 138 141 142 143 145 147 150 153 155 153 Total 97 113 121 125 136 127 140 144 145 136 134 136 138 139 140 143 144 145 148 150 153 156 158 157 Durable 95 116 128 136 153 137 155 159 160 141 139 141 144 145 146 151 152 153 157 160 164 169 172 169 Nondurable 99 111 114 114 118 116 126 129 130 130 129 132 133 133 134 135 135 137 139 140 142 144 145 146 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 94 105 115 114 116 111 122 129 128 117 112 116 120 123 122 123 124 124 124 123 124 126 125 119 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Production of most nondurable In July, output of all durable manufactures except primary metals increased, manufactures continued to rise slightly. INDEX, 1947*49*100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 240 f INDEX, 1947-49*100, SEA^>NALLY ADJUSTED £20 160 2OO 140 180 120 180 METAL PRODUCTS I I I I I I I I II M I I I I I II 1956 1958 1957 1959 ISO 160 1958 1957 1956 1959 CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM -*VRODUG 160 140 FOODS, BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 120 80 100 —TEXTILES AND APPAREl^?^-\]- 1956 1957 1958 if" y- -f f • I " "^Wfcjf &T**f i .mill 1 In hlTTlTmifi i 1 1 nil n 1958 1956 1957 1959 1959 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV1SEIS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE" SYSTEM. [1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles Primary cated Machin- tation and and prod- apparel metals ery metal equipucts ment products Period 1949... 1950 1951. . . . . 1952.. 1953_ 1954 1955 , 1956 1957 1958 1958: June _ July August . . September October 1 November December 1959: January February. . . . . . March. April ATA<*J . Mav . . . June1 . . . . July .. J Preliminary estimates, *Not available. .. 90 115 126 116 132 108 140 138 131 104 103 102 109 113 122 123 123 125 138 146 149 154 150 113 93 115 122 121 136 123 134 , 135 139 128 125 129 132 135 133 136 136 136 135 138 142 148 150 152 93 114 130 147 160 142 155 171 168 145 141 144 147 148 147 150 152 154 158 159 163 170 178 181 102 120 135 154 189 175 203 199 213 187 185 185 186 178 183 203 204 204 204 207 211 213 216 218 93 113 113 111 118 115 127 123 114 115 113 114 120 118 120 125 125 127 126 129 133 139 130 (2) 97 110 106 105 107 100 109 108 105 103 102 107 108 109 111 110 110 112 114 115 119 122 123 125 ConPaper Chemical Foods, sumer and and petro- bever- durable leum ages, and goods printproducts tobacco ing 101 114 118 118 125 125 137 145 148 147 146 148 150 150 153 152 150 153 155 156 158 161 160 161 100 118 132 133 142 142 159 167 172 170 168 171 174 174 175 177 180 182 184 187 188 190 193 193 100 103 105 106 107 106 109 112 112 115 116 116 116 116 116 117 117 118 120 120 121 121 120 121 Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 101 133 114 105 127 116 147 131 130 113 111 114 115 103 108 133 134 133 132 135 137 141 145 147 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Output of steel dropped sharply in July with the start of the steel strike. Fewer freight carloadings also reflected the strike. Auto assemblies decreased in late July and early August in preparation for the model changeover period. MILLIONS OF TONS MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) 3 STEEL 1957 1958 I 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 I t I I I 1 1 I 1 1 I I I 1 1 1 it 1 1 I 1 1 I I 1 1 1 I I I I 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 I J F M A M J J A S O N .1 I I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I I [. O J BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS THOUSANDS 14 25O F M A M J J A S O N D 10 SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Period Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Cars and trucks Steel produced l power coal mined produced assembled (thousands) Index Thousands distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands (1947-49= (millions of of net of short Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) tons 100) Tdlowatt-hours) tons) 2 Weekly average: 1955 1956 1958 ______ ........ 1958: June ........ July_____... August _______ September ____ October _____ November ___ December ____ 1959: January _____ February ____ March ______ April -------May ________ June 3_________ July _______ Week ended : 1959: July 11... 18... 25... August 1 3___ 8 .. 15334_. 22 _ 2,245 2,204 2, 162 1, 635 1, 661 1,458 1,650 1,783 1,995 1,998 1, 971 2, 103 2,401 2, 611 2, 630 2, 618 2,543 1, 184 139.7 137.2 134,6 101. 8 103.4 90.7 102.7 111.0 124. 2 124.3 122.7 130. 9 149. 5 162. 6 163.7 163.0 158. 3 73.7 10, 318 11, 292 11, 873 12, 314 11, 872 12, 051 12, 579 12, 214 12, 146 12, 386 12, 949 13,356 13, 170 12, 888 12, 583 12, 763 13, 402 13, 479 1,542 1,693 1,644 1,361 1,435 1,330 1, 306 1,458 1,470 1,445 1,514 1,374 1,407 1,339 1,357 1,351 1,513 1,236 724 728 683 581 623 553 631 642 682 615 531 569 573 600 633 686 703 559 269 274 272 275 272 234 296 286 311 304 262 272 304 312 311 320 319 275 176.7 132. 8 138. 6 98. 4 99.0 82. 8 53. 5 38.9 71. 9 149.7 1443 152. 6 144. 7 156. 1 157.3 157. 2 154. 7 145.6 152.7 111. 6 117. 6 81. 6 82. 1 68. 4 42, 0 29.0 56.7 126.2 1248 129.0 119. 6 131. 3 131.0 130. 4 127. 2 121.2 24 0 21. 2 21. 0 16. 8 2,252 1,097 365 345 318 335 337 140. 2 68. 3 22. 7 21. 5 19.8 20.9 2L 0 13, 502 13, 415 13, 577 13, 775 13, 675 844 1,212 1,214 1, 198 4 1, 140 554 585 536 544 532 180 275 313 331 337 148.9 154. 6 149. 6 142.6 119.4 4 84 6 123. 1 127. 5 124 4 122.5 108.2 72. 7 25.7 27.1 25. 1 20. 1 11.2 11.9 1 Weekly capacities (net tons) as of January 1 are: 2,413,278 (1955), 2,455,300 (W56), 2,559.631 W57). 2,699,320 (1958), and 2,831,486 (1959). 3 Dally average for week. 18 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ia 9 14 4 11. 5 9.9 15. 2 23. 5 19.6 23.6 25. 1 24 8 26. 3 26. 8 27.5 24.4 3 Preliminary* Not charted. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION Hv r Expenditures for private residential construction (seasonally adjusted) declined during July while outlays for private nonresidential construction increased; public construction expenditures remained the same as in June, BILlJONS OF DOLLARS 60 . . . . BILLIONS OF DOLL ARS 60 ~r^* SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES I 50 tin 101 AL NEVV CONSTRUCTION 1 * -^ L, +S ' '^—^ 4CT • 40 . ^^^^ -- ,--— So- ~*~~*f* W~*~ 30 - " ap 20 ">%,».... /PUBLIC ^,..L to f 1 1 1 1 1 ! f f f I 10 1 1 o' *».«M_.^(*»<*"»»* .—....-.» '^"" 1 1 I ! 1 f f f 1 If f If ! 1 1 I1 t t 1 PRIVATE RESIDENT! X(NONFARM) *L 20 -"--1 ^ . M . . . * " " " . . . . . ^ ^ a ******"* v* ..X""-"" 20 , •— '^~m. OTHER PRIVATE • 10 10 0 *l 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 U I ! I I I I'M f 1 1 1953 '' 0 tyM.wW.^m'**1*1** . , M i Ti 1 t i t M J i I ] ) 1 I t I l i i ( t t 1 f l i i 11 ! 1 I 1 f t ! ! I1I 1954 1 f 1 | 1 f 1 f 1 II l i l t 1 f 1 II II 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1993 1956 1957 - SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF* COMMERCE AND DEWIRTMENT OF LABOR ! 1 1 t ! ! I 11 t 1 1958 i I 1 1 1 1 i in I*lo 1959 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS {Billions of dollars] Period 1962 ... 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957-. 1958.. . 1958: June July August . .. September ... October November December 1959: January ..... . February _ _ . _ .... March April May June July* -LT-tCiJ . . . . . Total new construction 34.7 37.0 39.4 44.2 45. 8 47. 8 49. 1 _. 47.5 48.4 4a5 49. 3 50.4 52. 3 53.4 547 54.3 56.0 55.8 55.4 55.0 55.0 l Private Federal, Construction contracts State, and Eastern Total Residential 8 48 States1 37States Other local private (nonfarm) 16.8 11.0 23.9 12. 8 10. 8 17.4 11.2 12.0 25.8 13.8 19.8 27.7 15.4 12.3 11.7 23.7 32. 4 11.7 ia7 13. 7 31.6 »246 17.7 15.4 12. 7 3a i 32.2 140 25.3 17.0 33.8 16.8 18.0 35.4 33.8 15.8 15.3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 41.9 147 32.7 15.7 17. 1 sa9 33.3 17. 6 15. 1 15. 6 15.0 42.6 33.5 18.0 15.5 36.4 33.9 15.4 1R4 15. 4 15.9 39.6 34. 5 15.4 19. 1 36.6 15.5 35. 4 16. 9 19. 8 29.7 36. 4 15.6 17. 1 20.8 37.4 17.3 35. 1 15.8 21.5 15.8 37.5 16.8 845 21 7 38.2 15.8 17.9 39.0 22. 4 38.9 15.7 39.2 23.2 16. 9 23.2 37.1 39. 1 16. 3 15. 8 16.2 40.5 16.0 39.0 22.8 39.0 16.0 22.6 16.4 »Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation; seasonally adjusted by the National Bureau of Economic Kesearcb,. Omits small contracts, and coversmral areas less folly than urban. * Series begins January 1956. The 37 Eastern States data are probably indicative of the 48 States trend for other periods. ' Revised series beginning January 1056; not comparable with prior data. Series discontinued beginning January 1958. * Preliminary estimates. Nora.—Data on new construction revised beginning 1959. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and F. W. Dodge Corporation (except as noted). 19 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts (seasonally adjusted) decreased somewhat in July to an annual rate of 1,350,000 units. Both FHA applications and VA qppraispl requests declined. MILLIONS Of UNITS 1953 MILLIONS OF UNITS 1954 1955 1956 1957 1959 1958 I/SEE FOOTNOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENTS OF LABOR AND COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION <VAI [Thousands of units] New nonfarm housing starts Period Annual total: 1954..^ 1955 1956 1957 1958 Monthly average: 1954_ 1955, 1956. 1957. 19581958: June .„ July. August September October November . December. ... 1959: January February ... March ._ April .. May ^ . . June July* ._ Total 1, 220. 4 1, 328. 9 i, na i 1, 041. 9 1, 209. 4 101. 7 110. 7 93.2 86.8 100. 8 113.0 112.8 124.0 121.0 115.0 109.4 91.2 87.0 94.5 121.0 142.2 137.0 3 136. 0 126.0 Publicly financed 18.7 19. 4 24.2 49.1 67. 9 1.6 1.6 2.0 4. 1 5.7 11.7 4.2 9.4 10. 1 2. 1 2.4 1.7 2.9 1.0 2.9 4,8 3.5 3 48 1.5 Total 1, 201. 7 1, 309. 5 1, 093. 9 992.8 1, 141, 5 100. 1 109. 1 91. 2 82.7 95. 1 101.3 108.6 114.6 110. 9 112.9 107.0 89. 5 84.1 93.5 118. 1 137.4 133. 5 3 131. 2 124. 5 Proposed home construction Private, Privately financed seasonally Applications Requests for VA adjusted for FH A comGovernment programs annual appraisals2 mitments •* VA Total * FHAi rates 583.3 535. 4 276.3 338.6 307.0 620. 8 669. 6 306. 2 276.7 392.9 197. 7 270. 7 401. 5 460.0 189.3 159.4 296.7 168.4 128.3 198. 8 102. 1 341,7 397.5 295.4 234 2 2a2 44 6 48.6 23.0 25. 6 25.5 32. 7 51. 7 23. 1 55.8 38.3 22.6 16,5 33.5 15.8 16.6 13.3 24.7 140 10.7 19. 5 33. 1 24 6 8.5 2a5 33.4 2a 4 36.5 28.0 8.5 1,057 28.5 29.7 10.6 40.3 31.8 1, 174 43.6 33. 6 13.2 28.5 30.5 1, 228 144 36. 8 26.7 46.3 31.9 1,255 147 19. 1 49.4 34 7 31. 8 1, BOS 11.0 22.3 15.3 36.8 25.8 1, 4*7 23.0 340 25.0 9.0 148 1,43$ 25. 5 17.9 6.9 26.7 19.8 1,864 6.2 21.0 29.5 26.1 20.0 1,403 23.2 38.9 9.7 39.8 30.0 1,403 39.1 11.0 44.6 33.5 1,434 20. 7 38.2 10.3 446 343 1,S70 3 27. 2 60.2 11.0 347 1, S70 45. 6 26.0 10.6 29.0 41.7 31. 1 1,850 1 Excludes armed forces Housing: 2,837 unit in 1956; 18,723 units in 1957; 32,658 units in 1958; and 11,016 units in the first 7 months of 1959. Also excludes starts under Certified Agent Program: 473 units in May-July 1959. 2 Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. 20 COUNCR OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ia9 '* Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Labor, Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). SALES AND INVENTORIES—MANUFACTURING AND TRADE Manufacturers' sales and inventories (seasonally adjusted) continued to increase in June/ new orders resumed their upward trend, following a decrease in May. Trade sales and inventories showed little change in June/ retail sales were again unchanged in July, according to preliminary estimates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 100 i l l I I I I I I l I I I I I l I I I I I I I l l I I l I l I I I l l l l li I l l l l l I i l I l \ \ INDEX. J947-49* 100. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ml l I I l I i l l l l I l l l I I I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i l l j 1957 1956 1958 1959 MANUFACTURING, RETAIL TRADE, AND WHOLESALE TRADE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Manufacturing and trade Period Sales l Manufacturing Wholesale InvenInven- New l tories 2 Sales i tories 2 orders1 Sales n± "COUNOT OFECONOMIC ADVISlS" . Retail InvenInventories 2 Sales ' tories 2 Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1952 _ 1953 1954 1955___ 1956 1957 1958 1958- May June Julv — - _ August ._ September October November December 1959: January February _ . _ March April .__ May 4 J u n e4 July _ 45. 9 48. 4 47. 4 52. 3 54. 8 56. 3 54. 0 52. 4 53. 2 54. 0 54. 4 54. 8 55. 6 56. 1 57. 4 57. 4 58. 0 59. 2 60. 6 61. 5 62. 1 75.4 78. 6 75. 5 81. 7 89. 1 90. 7 85. 1 86. 9 86. 4 85. 9 85. 4 85. 0 84. 9 85. 0 85. 1 85.5 86.0 86. 6 87.6 88.3 89. 1 22. 8 24. 5 23. 5 26. 3 27. 7 28. 4 26. 2 25. 2 25. 7 26.3 26. 4 26. 8 27. 2 27.5 28. 1 28.1 28. 5 29. 1 30. 3 30. 7 31.3 43. 8 45. 4 43.0 46. 4 52. 3 53. 5 49. 2 50. 9 50. 2 49. 8 49. 4 49. 3 49. 3 49. 3 49. 2 49. 5 49. 9 50. 5 51. 1 51. 6 52. 1 » Monthly average for year and total for month. a Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. > Book value, end of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. 23. 6 23. 1 22. 5 27. 2 28. 3 27.3 25. 9 25.0 25.8 26. 4 26. 1 27. 0 27.9 27.8 28.4 28. 5 29. 7 30. 2 31. 2 30. 5 31. 1 9. 6 9. 8 9. 7 10. 6 11. 3 11.3 11. 1 10. 7 10. 9 11.0 11. 1 11. 4 11.5 11. 6 11.7 11.8 11. 9 12. 2 12. 4 12. 5 12. 6 10. 0 10.5 10. 4 11. 4 13.0 12.7 12.0 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 12. 0 11.9 11.9 12.0 12. 1 12. 2 12. 3 13.5 14, 1 14, 1 15.3 15. 8 16.7 16.7 16.6 16. 6 16. 7 16. 9 16. 6 16.9 17.0 17.6 17. 5 17.6 17. 9 18.0 18. 2 18. 2 18. 2 21. 6 22.7 22. 1 23.9 23.9 245 24.0 23.9 24. 1 24.0 23.9 23.7 23. 5 23.6 24.0 24.2 24.1 24.2 24. 5 24. 5 24. 7 Department stores Inventories 3 Index, 1947-49 = 100 seasonally adjusted 114 121 118 131 118 128 128 136 135 148 135 152 136 148 134 144 133 147 140 148 147 148 135 150 152 135 153 137 143 150 152 138 140 150 138 148 141 151 144 151 144 155 147 Sales » * Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board oi Governors oi the Federal Reserve System. 21 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS In the first 6 months of1959, commercial exports were 4 percent lower and imports 18 percent higher than in the corresponding period of 1958. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 2.0 2.0 1959 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF"COMMERCe. [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Period Total 1950 monthly average 1951 monthly average 1952 monthly average 1953 monthly average. 1954 monthly average 1955 monthly average 1956 monthly average 1957 monthly average 1958 monthly average 1958: May . June July August September October . November December 1959: January . . February March . April . May June . 1 . . . . _ ._ . _. . .. ... '. Grant-aid shipments l Commercial exports 24 89 166 293 188 105 146 113 129 131 99 129 113 122 181 188 135 114 97 81 125 141 78 833 1, 164 1,100 1,022 1,071 1, 191 1,444 1, 625 1,360 1,507 1,308 1,287 1,283 1,239 1,418 1,408 1,379 1,286 1, 184 1,375 1,343 1,411 1,348 856 1,253 1,267 1,314 1,259 1,296 1,591 1, 738 1,488 1,638 1,406 1,416 1,396 1,361 1,599 1,596 1,514 1,400 1,280 1,456 1,468 1,552 1,426 Figures include only Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. Shipments for the first 6 months of the program (July-December 1950) amounted to $282 million. 22 Merchandise imports 738 914 893 906 851 949 1, 051 1,082 1,069 1,061 1,031 1,049 950 1,074 1,142 1,089 1,253 1,154 1, 118 1,301 1,221 1,264 1,369 Excess of exports over imports Total 119 339 374 408 408 347 540 656 419 577 375 366 446 287 457 507 260 246 162 155 247 288 56 Excluding grant-aid shipments 95 250 207 116 220 242 393 543 290 446 276 238 333 165 276 319 125 132 65 74 122 147 — 22 Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in June. apparel recorded price increases. Food was the largest contributor to this result, but all groups except INDEX, 1947-49 -100 ISO INDEX, 1947-49-100 ISO 130 „„„„, 120 120 110 90f I I I I 1959 1953 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100] Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 _ 1953 1954 1955 1956 _._ 1957 _ ... _ _ 1958. 1958: May _. June July August September October November December 1959 1 January February.March ApriL . _ May June Housing All items Food 101.8 102. 8 111.0 113.5 114. 4 114.8 114. 5 116.2 120. 2 123. 5 123. 6 123. 7 123.9 123. 7 123. 7 123. 7 123. 9 123. 7 123. 8 123. 7 123.7 123. 9 124.0 124.5 100.0 101. 2 112. 6 114. 6 112.8 112. 6 110.9 111.7 115. 4 120. 3 121. 6 121.6 121.7 120. 7 120. 3 119. 7 119. 4 118. 7 119. 0 118. 2 117. 7 117.6 117. 7 118. 9 Total i 103.3 106. 1 112. 4 114. 6 117. 7 119. 1 120.0 121. 7 125. 6 127. 7 127.8 127. 8 127. 7 127. 9 127. 9 127. 9 128. 0 128. 2 128.2 128. 5 128.7 128. 7 128.8 128.9 Rent 105.0 108.8 113. 1 117.9 124. 1 128.5 130.3 132.7 135. 2 137. 7 137.5 137. 7 137. 8 138. 1 138. 2 138. 3 138. 4 138. 7 138.8 139. 0 139. 1 139.3 139.3 139.5 i Includes, in addition to rent, homeowner costs, utilities, housefurnistiings, etc. Apparel Transportation 99. 4 98. 1 106.9 105.8 104.8 104.3 103.7 105. 5 106.9 107.0 106. 7 106.7 106. 7 106. 6 107. 1 107.3 107.7 107.5 106.7 106. 7 107.0 107.0 107. 3 107.3 108. 5 111.3 118.4 126. 2 129.7 128.0 126. 4 128. 7 136. 0 140.5 138.7 138. 9 140. 3 141.0 141. 3 142. 7 144. 5 144. 3 144. 1 144.3 144. 9 145. 3 145. 4 145. 7 Medical Personal care care 104. 1 106. 0 111. 1 117.2 121.3 125.2 128.0 132.6 138.0 144. 6 143.7 144. 2 145.0 145. 3 146.5 147. 1 147. 4 147.6 148. 0 149.0 149.2 149. 6 150.2 150. 6 101. 1 101. 1 110.5 111. 8 112. 8 113.4 115.3 120.0 124.4 128. 6 128.5 128. 6 128. 9 128. 9 128. 7 128. 8 129. 1 129. 0 129. 4 129.8 129.7 130.0 130. 7 131. 1 Reading Other and goods recreaand tion services 104. 1 103.4 106.5 107.0 108.0 107.0 106.6 108. 1 112. 2 116.7 116.6 116. 7 116. 6 116.7 116.6 116.6 117.0 116. 9 117.0 117. 1 117. 3 117. 7 117.8 118. 1 103.4 105. 2 109.7 115. 4 118.2 120. 1 120. 2 122.0 125. 5 127.2 127. 2 127.2 127.2 127. 1 127. 1 127.2 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.4 127. 3 128. 2 128.4 129. 2 Source: Department of Labor. 23 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices continued to decline slightly in July, as lower farm and processed food prices more than offset the small average increase registered by industrial commodities. INDEX, 1947-49-100 INDEX, 1*47-49-100 130 OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIAL) 100 80 1953 1955 1954 1956 1957 1958 SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1959 COUNCIL OF -ECONOMIC ADVISERS ' [1947-49 = 100] All commodities Period 1949 1950 1951 _ 1952 . • 1953 1954 ' _ 1955 1956 1957 1958 1958* June July August September October November December 1959: January . Febru ary March April.... May . June ' July. — .„ - . .. . _ _ _ . — . - ... ---_ _ * « __- —- . - .___• • - . . . . ' Source: Department of Labor. 24 ' . . .. . _. •.. . ....... • ......... 99. 2 103. 1 114.8 111.6 110. 1 110.3 110. 7 114.3 117.6 119. 2 119. 2 119. 2 119. 1 119. 1 119. 0 119.2 119.2 119. 5 119.5 119.6 120.0 119. 9 119.7 119. 5 Farm products 92. 8 97.5 113.4 107. 0 97. 0 95.6 89.6 88.4 90.9 949 95. 6 95.0 93.2 9a i 92.3 92. 1 90. 6 91. 5 91. 1 90.8 92.4 90.8 89. 8 88.4 Other than Processed farm products and foods foods (industrial) 95. 7 101. 3 99. 8 105. 0 111.4 115. 9 113.2 108. 8 114.0 104.6 114.5 105. 3 117.0 101. 7 122.2 101. 7 105.6 125. 6 110. 9 126. 0 113. 5 125.3 112. 7 125. 6 Hi. 3 126. 1 12a2 111. 1 110.0 126. 4 109. 5 126.8 127.2 ids.* 108. 7 127.5 107. 6 127. 8 107. 2 128. 1 107.2 128.3 107. 7 128.4 108. 1 128. 2 107, 5 128.4 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The index of prices received by farmers fell 2 points in the month ended July 15. index) and the parity ratio were unchanged. The index of prices paid (parity 325 INDEX ,1910-14-100 325 300 300 275 275 250 250 225 225 goo! in M i l l 1 1 1 In in li in ill in ill in ih 1 1 1 1 hi ii ill i n ilin i 200 INDEX, 1910-14x100 PARITY RATIO-1/ 75 I I I I I I I M I I I I I I I I I I I II 1953 1954 1955 I I M I I II t II 1957 J956 RATIO OF INDEX OF R.RICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES,AND WAGE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 1958 1959 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by farmers Period 1949. 1950 1951 . ;. .... All farm products __ . 1952. . . 1953. . 1954 _ 1955 . 1956—. _ 1957. 1958... .. . . 1958: June 15 ._ July 15 . August 15. . _ September 15 . October 15....... ._ November 15 December 15 1959: January 15 ... February 15 March 15. . April 15 Mav 15.. _.. June 15 ... July 15 250 258 302 288 255 246 232 230 235 250 250 250 248 255 249 247 244 245 243 244 244 245 242 240 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. Crops 224 233 265 267 240 242 231 235 225 223 223 222 221 228 221 218 213 215 218 220 223 230 229 226 Prices paid by farmers All items, interest, Livestock taxes, Producand Family tion and living wage rates items products items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 238 272 251 243 246 280 246 256 282 268 273 336 274 306 271 287 256 268 269 277 255 249 270 277 251 234 276 270 250 274 226 278 282 257 244 286 264 273 293 287 272 265 294 287 265 274 293 287 264 272 293 287 294 286 265 278 274 294 287 265 263 273 294 288 287 265 270 295 268 270 298 288 297 265 267 288 267 264 298 287 261 299 269 287 299 268 258 288 252 267 298 288 252 289 266 298 Source: Department of Agriculture. Parity ratio * 100 101 107 100 92 89 84 83 82 85 85 85 85 87 85 84 83 82 82 82 82 82 81 81 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS CURRENCY AND DEPOSITS The total of demand deposits and currency rose more than seasonally in July. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 260 220 TOTAL EXCLUDING U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS 40 1959 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. End of period 1952 1953 1954 1955 ... . 1956 . 1957 . 1958 1958: July August September October .. November . _ _ December . 1959: January February March April44 Mav ... June * Julv* Total U. S. deposits Governand ment curderency posits ' 200. 4 205.7 214. 8 221. 0 226. 4 232. 3 247. 5 237. 2 238.7 238. 1 240. 7 243.8 247. 5 245.1 242. 6 242. 1 245. 3 244. 8 245. 1 247. 6 5. 6 4. 8 5. 1 4. 4 4. 5 4. 7 4.9 4.8 6.2 5. 0 4.3 6.4 4.9 5.3 4.9 4. 4 5. 1 5. 7 5. 2 5.9 [Billions of dollars] Total excluding U. S. Government deposits Demand deposits and currency Time de- 2 Demand Currency Total posits Total deposits3 outside adjusted banks 194. 8 27.5 101. 5 65. 8 129. 0 102. 5 70.4 28. 1 200. 9 130. 5 27.9 209.7 134.4 106. 6 75. 3 109.9 28.3 138.2 216. 6 78.4 111. 4 222. 0 82.2 28. 3 139. 7 28.3 227. 7 110. 3 89. 1 138. 6 28. 7 144.2 242.6 98.3 115.5 135.9 27. 9 232.4 96.5 108. 1 28.0 107.5 97.0 135.5 232.5 27. 9 233. 1 97.2 108. 1 135. 9 28. 0 236. 4 97. 5 111. 0 139. 0 237. 5 111.9 28.8 96. 8 140. 7 28.7 242. 6 144. 2 98. 3 115. 5 239. 8 27.6 141. 4 113. 8 98. 4 27.7 237. 7 139.0 111. 3 98.7 110. 3 237. 6 27.9 138.2 99.5 112.5 240.3 27. 9 99.9 140. 4 239. 1 28. 1 110. 7 100. 3 138.8 239. 9 28. 3 100.9 139. 0 110. 7 112. 4 241. 7 101.0 140. 7 28.3 'U. S. Government deposits at Federal Reserve Banks and commercial and savings banks, and U. S. Treasurer's time deposits, open account. 2 Deposits in commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and Postal Savings System; excludes interbank deposits. s Demand deposits, other than interbank and U. S. Government, less cash items in process of collection. 26 Demand deposits and currency, seasonally adjusted Demand Currency Total deposits outside adjusted banks 137.6 137. S 136.7 138. 1 188.8 139.4 138.5 139. 1 140.3 140.7 140. 9 140.9 14^. 3 109.5 109.2 108.9 110. 2 110. 6 111. S 110.7 111.2 112.2 112.5 112. 6 112.5 113. 9 28 28 27 27 28 28 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 1 1 8 9 2 1 8 9 1 2 S 4 4 < Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—See Note, p. 27. Monthly data are for the last Wednesday of the month, except the unadjusted data for June 1958, which are for the call date. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans rose $1.6 billion in July, compared with a decrease of $2.0 billion in July 1958. Borrowings at Federal Reserve Banks continued to exceed excess reserves by about the same amount as in June. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS T2OO BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 180 160 100 ~ 20 20 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Total loans and investments End of period 1951 1952 _ 1953 1954 1955 1956... 1957 ... 1958 ..-. _. 1958: June July August September October November December 1959: January February Marcn April44 May June44 July — 132.6 141.6 145.7 155. 9 160. 9 165.1 170. 1 185. 2 179.9 177. 6 180.0 179. 5 181.7 184.1 185.2 185. 6 183. 8 182.9 185.6 185. 5 185. 5 187.3 [Billions of dollars] All commercial banks Investments U. S. Gov- Other Loans ernment Total securities securities 74.9 61. 5 13.3 57.7 14. 1 64.2 77.5 63.3 14.7 63.4 78. 1 67.6 69.0 16.3 85.3 70. 6 16.7 61. 6 82. 6 78. 3 16.3 74.8 58. 6 90.3 58.2 76.2 ITT 9 93.9 66.4 87.0 20.6 98. 2 64.2 95.6 84.3 20. 1 84.0 64. 1 19. 9 93.6 66.1 86.2 20.2 93.8 64, 7 20. 6 94. 2 85.3 86.7 20. 5 66. 2 95.0 88.0 96. 1 67.7 20. 3 87.0 66.4 98.2 20.6 20,4 87.9 67.5 97.7 20.4 97.9 86.0 65. 5 20. 6 99. 2 83.8 63. 2 101.2 84.4 63.5 20.9 62. 4 102.4 83. 1 20.8 60.6 1043 81. 2 20.6 105. 9 81.4 60. 8 20. 6 1 Member banks include, besides all national banks, those State banks that have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. » Commercial and industrial loans and, prior to 1956, agricultural loans. Series revised beginning January 1952, October 1955, and July 1959. 3 Averages of daily figures on balances and borrowings during the period, «Preliminary estimates. Weekly reporting memberJ banks Business loans 2 21. 6 3 23. 4 23. 4 22.4 2 26. 7 30.8 31.8 30.8 29. 8 2& 9 29.3 29.7 29.7 30.0 30.8 29.7 29.7 30. 6 30.6 31.0 32.0 2 28. 6 All member banks l BorrowReserve balances 8 ings at Federal Required Excess Reserve3 Banks 0.8 18.5 0.3 .7 19.6 .8 .7 19.3 .8 .8 18.5 .1 .6 .6 18.3 18.4 .6 .8 18.5 .5 18 .6 18.1 .3 18.0 .6 .1 .7 18.0 .1 .6 17.9 ,3 17.9 .6 .5 18.0 .5 .4 18.0 .5 .5 18.4 .5 .6 18.4 .5 .6 .5 18.1 .5 18.0 .5 .6 18.2 .4 .7 .4 18. 1 .8 18.0 .4 .9 .4 18. 2 1.0 NOTE.—Beginning January 1959, data include all banks in Alaska (one previously included). Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System, 27 CONSUMER CREDIT Consumer credit outstanding rose about $925 million in June, compared with an increase of about $100 million in June 1958. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING - 2 |958 1959 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [Millions of dollars] End of period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ 1955 _ 1956__ 1957 1958 1958: May June July August September. October November. December. 1959: January.. February. March April May June Total consumer credit outstanding 17, 305 21, 395 22, 617 27, 401 31, 243 32, 292 38, 670 42, 097 44, 774 45, 065 42, 985 43, 079 42, 923 43, 128 43, 144 43, 164 43, 464 45, 065 44, 415 44, 071 44, 203 44, 916 45, 790 46, 716 Total 11, 590 14, 703 15, 294 19, 403 23, 005 23, 568 28, 958 31, 827 34, 095 33, 865 32, 910 33, 008 33, 074 33, 165 33, 079 33, 052 33, 126 33, 865 33, 768 33, 751 33, 943 34, 453 35, 029 35, 810 Automobile1 paper 4,555 6, 074 5,972 7, 733 9,835 9, 809 13, 472 14, 459 15, 409 14, 131 14, 613 14, 590 14, 567 14, 514 14, 332 14, 164 14, 066 14, 131 14, 155 14, 223 14, 375 14, 686 14, 991 15, 419 Other Repair and consumer moderni- Personal goods zation loans loans 2 paper l 3, 706 4, 799 4, 880 6, 174 6,779 6,751 7, 634 8, 510 8,692 9,007 8, 158 8, 190 8, 197 8,254 8,312 8,411 8,528 9,007 8,881 8, 767 8, 721 8, 777 8,911 9,077 J Includes all consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and other consumer goods and secured by the items purchased. " 8 Includes only such loans held by financial institutions; those held by retail outlets are included in "other consumer goods paper." 28 Non instalment credit outstanding Instalment credit outstanding 898 1,016 1, 085 1,385 1, 610 1, 616 1, 689 1,895 2, 091 2, 145 2,038 2,048 2, 061 2,091 2, 107 2, 128 2, 146 2, 145 2, 125 2, 116 2, 127 2, 149 2, 198 2, 240 2, 431 2, 814 3, 357 4, 111 4, 781 5, 392 6, 163 6, 963 7, 903 8,582 8, 101 8, 180 8,249 8,306 8,328 8,349 8,386 8,582 8,607 8, 645 8, 720 8, 841 8,929 9,074 Total 5, 715 6, 692 7,323 7,998 8, 238 8,724 9, 712 10, 270 10, 679 11, 200 10, 075 10, 071 9,849 9, 963 10, 065 10, 112 10, 338 11, 200 10, 647 10, 320 10, 260 10, 463 10, 761 10, 906 Charge accounts 2,795 3,291 3, 605 4,011 4, 124 4,308 4,579 4,735 4, 829 5,018 4,010 4,012 3, 927 3,956 4,033 4, 191 4, 297 5,018 4,504 4,004 3,883 3,997 4,220 4,318 InstalInstalment ment credit excredit 3 3 tended repaid 18, 108 21, 558 23, 576 29, 514 31, 558 31,051 39, 039 40, 063 42, 426 40, 497 3,371 3,477 3,483 3,385 3,297 3,475 3,338 4, 350 3,321 3,247 3,786 4,022 4,053 4,432 3 Credit extended or repaid during the period. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 15, 514 18, 445 22, 985 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 649 37, 194 40, 158 40, 727 3, 349 3,379 3,417 3, 294 3,383 3,502 3, 264 3,611 3,418 3, 264 3,594 3,512 3,477 3, 651 BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Rates on Treasury bills, after changing little in July, declined in early August and more recently have risen. on U.S. Government, municipal, and corporate bonds changed little in July. Yields PERCENT PER ANNUM J/ 1953 1954 1955 ±f 1953-58 DATA PLOTTED MONTHLY; 1959 WEEKLY SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW. Period 1952 1953 1054 1955 1956 1957 1958 .. 1958: July August September October .. . November.. December 1959: January _ _ February March April_ May June.... July... Week ended: 1959: July 11 18. 25 August 1 . . . 8 15 22 __ _ . . __ _ „ •_.. COUNCIL OF'ECONOMIC ADVISERS* [Percent per annum) U. S Government High-grade security yields municipal 3-month bonds Taxable Treasury (Standard & bonds 2 Poor's) 3 bills * 2. 19 1. 766 2. 68 1. 931 2.94 ' 2. 72 . 953 2. 55 2. 37 1. 753 2.84 2. 53 2. 658 2. 93 3.08 3. 267 3.60 3.47 1.839 3.56 3.43 .962 3.36 3.45 1.686 3.74 3. 60 2. 484 3.96 3.75 3.94 3.76 2.793 3.84 2. 756 3.70 2.814 3.84 3.80 2. 837 3.87 3.91 3.92 2.712 3.85 2. 852 3.92 3.76 2.960 3.84 4 01 2.851 3.97 4,08 3. 247 409 404 3. 243 404 4. 11 3. 266 3. 401 3.337 3.047 3.043 3. 150 *3.417 1 Kate on new issues within period. * Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after; April 1952-Mareh 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; October 1941-March 1952, bonds due or callable after 15 years. 4. 13 4.08 4 10 4 10 4 08 4 4 06 409 405 400 3. 97 3. 94 3.94 Corporate bonds (Moody's) Aaa Baa Prime commercial paper, 4r-6 2.96 3.20 2. 90 3. 06 3. 36 3. 89 3. 79 3.67 3.85 409 4 11 409 408 4 12 4 14 4 13 423 437 4 46 4 47 3.52 3.74 3. 51 3.53 3.88 471 473 4 53 4 67 4 87 4 92 487 4 85 487 4 89 485 486 496 5.04 5.08 months 2. 33 2.52 1. 58 2. 18 3.31 3.81 2. 46 1. 50 1. 96 2.93 3.23 3.08 3.33 3. 30 3.26 3.35 3.42 3.56 3.83 3.98 448 4 47 4 46 445 4 43 4 4 42 5.07 5.09 5.09 5.07 5.08 5.09 3.98 400 400 3.99 3.89 *3. 88 8 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. *Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (except as noted). 29 STOCK PRICES Stock prices reached another peak in late July and then declined. INDEX, 1939* 100 J/ 500 400 300 1953 1959 U 1953-58 DATA PLOTTED MONTHLY, 1959 WEEKLY SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Composite index * Period Weekly average: 1950 _ 1951 1952 . _ 1953 _ 1954 1955 1956 1957 -. 1958 1958: July—. August September October November December . . 1959: January February March April. May June.... July... Week ended: 1959: July 10.. 17 24 31 August 7 143 COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC -ADVISERS .. ... . . ... _._ _ .. . . . [1939=100] Manufacturing Trade, Trans- Utilities finance, Mining Durable Nondura- portation Total and service goods ble goods isas i4a 5 165. 7 206.8 220. 2 220.1 271. 3 374.4 438.6 422. 1 426. 4 423. 6 442.0 452.9 474.2 487.4 489. 8 507. 6 495.7 508. 5 514.4 527.3 520.9 542. 6 150. 2 17a 5 188.8 192.6 245.2 352. 4 409. 8 391. 2 385. 3 376. 5 399. 4 412. 9 437.2 448.0 451. 4 473.6 465. 6 475.0 480. 6 495.0 495.8 521. 8 180.2 233. 1 249.3 245.2 295. 2 394.4 465. 1 450. 7 458.0 458. 9 472. 9 481. 1 499. 2 514. 3 515. 6 529.0 513.8 529. 5 535.5 54a8 533. 9 551. 2 160.0 199. 0 220. 6 218.7 232.6 320. 0 327. 1 275. 4 270.2 268.8 282.6 292. 2 310.6 327.0 329. 8 349. 9 349. 9 353. 0 360. 0 357. 7 357. 1 364.3 112. 6 117, 9 121. 5 135. 8 152.9 155.8 156.0 173. 3 173. 4 173. 9 177. 5 183,4 189. 8 19& 7 212. 7 214.9 221. 0 226. 3 221.3 212. 8 217. 8 207. 9 206.0 207. 1 235.6 296.9 306. 3 277.5 314.5 311.9 324. 6 337.2 345.5 361. 9 374 9 393. 6 400. 5 405.0 405.2 408. 9 417. 5 429. 4 204.9 275.7 240.5 267. 0 312. 9 357. 5 342. 4 313. 8 330. 7 341. 1 340. 6 343. 9 341.4 339.0 348. 1 345.3 347. 5 340. 2 334.0 325.6 321.4 436.0 429.7 433. 1 441. 3 437. 5 433. 1 544. 3 536.0 540.9 554. 2 548. 3 541. 5 527. 7 516. 1 522.7 525. 2 520. 1 513. 5 549.0 543. 9 547. 1 570. 1 563. 6 556. 8 371. 5 360.5 359. 6 362. 4 352.9 347.0 218. 6 216. 7 218. 3 217.9 219. 3 219. 6 433.0 427. 3 427. 9 431.1 424.2 419.9 321. 2 315. 5 316. 2 332.6 328.6 325.8 1 Includes 265 common stocks: 98 for durable goods manufacturing, 72 for nondurable goods manufacturing, 21 for transportation, 29 for utilities, 31 for trade, finance, and service, and 14 for mining. Indexes are for weekly closing prices. 30 ioa 9 154. 1 184.9 195.0 193. 3 229.8 304. 6 345.0 331. 4 340. 9 339.2 351. 7 360. 5 376. 4 387.8 392. 8 409. 9 403. 9 4ia 9 419. 4 425. 3 419.0 434.3 2 Not charted. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES For the first month of the current fiscal year, there was a budget deficit of $3.3 billion. year, the deficit amounted to $3.7 billion. For the same period last BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 75 25 0 1954 1955 1957 •HO BUDGET SURPLUS (t) OR DEFICIT H MAJOR NATIONAL SECURITY 75 - EXPENDITURES (ENLARGED SCALE) +5 O 50 -5 -JO -15 1959 Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal year year year year year year year 1953 1954 1955 . 1956 „ _ . 1957 ........ 1958 3 1959 1958: May June July 3 3 August 3 September _. October3- 3_ November December 3 1959: January 3 3 February _ March3 3 April3 May _ _ June 3 Julv 3 4 1 _ 1954 FISCAL YEARS •* P R E L I M I N A R Y SOURCES:TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net Budget Major national security 1 budget Department surplus ( + ) Total receipts or of Defense Total deficit (-) military functions . ... 50. 4 43.6 74.3 64. 8 -9. 4 ....... 64. 7 46. 9 40. 3 -3. 1 67.8 -4. 2 . . . __ 60. 4 40. 6 64. 6 35.5 40. 6 4-1-6 66. 5 35.8 68. 2 69.4 71.0 38.4 + 1.6 43.3 44. 1 39. 1 -2.8 69. 1 71. 9 41.2 — 12. 5 46. 4 68. 2 80. 7 _ _ .. _ . . __ _ _ ._ ... _ 266. 1 271.3 274.4 272.8 270.6 276.4 284. 8 4.9 10. 8 2.9 4.8 7. 2 2. 8 5. 0 6. 2 5.8 6. 6 6. 6 6. 2 6. 6 7. 1 6. 2 7. 1 3.7 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.9 4. 2 3. 6 4. 2 3.2 3.9 3.2 3.2 3. 5 3.8 3.2 3.7 -.9 + 4.2 -3. 7 -1. 4 +.6 -4. 4 — 1.3 -.9 275.7 276.4 275. 6 278. 6 276. 8 280.3 283. 2 283.0 4.5 6. 6 8.4 4. 3 5. 4 10. 0 3. 2 6.8 6. 3 6. 5 6. 4 6. 2 8. 6 3.7 3. 6 3.9 3.9 3.6 4. 5 3. 8 3.3 3.2 3.4 -2.2 + .2 + 2. 0 — 2. 2 —.7 + 1.4 -3.3 285.9 285. 2 282. 2 285. 5 286.4 284.8 288.8 Includes military functions of Department of Defense, military assistance portion of the mutual security program, Atomic Energy Commission, stockpiling, and defense production expansion. 3 Includes guaranteed securities, except those held by the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. Public debt (end of2 period) 6.6 as 3.2 3. 9 3. 4 3 Prelim inary. * Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 31 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the second quarter of calendar year 1959, cash payments to the public exceeded cash receipts by $250 million. This compares with an excess of receipts of $1.4 billion in the second quarter of calendar 1958. BILLIONS OF BILLIONS DOLLARS OF DOLLARS O •H5 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS (ENLARGED SCALE) n ~L ' n BS*£51 V, EXCESS OF CAS H PAYMENTS "" -15 ' " " 1953 1954 1955 PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES SOURCES: BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AtsO TREASURY DEPARTMENT CALENDAR I958"17 1957 1956 1958 isss^ YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year total: 1956 ... 1957 1958 l .-1959 2 ... I960 Calendar year total: 1955 __ 1956 _ 1957 __ 19531 Quarterly total, not adjusted for seasonal variation: 1957' Third quarter . . Fourth quarter 1958" First quarter . Second quarter1 Third quarter Fourth quarter l _ _ .. 1959' First quarter 1 l Second quarter - - _. Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (+ ) or payments ( — ) 77, 088 82, 107 81, 893 81, 549 93, 502 72, 617 80, 008 83, 413 94, 556 92, 875 + 4, 471 + 2, 099 - 1, 520 — 13, 007 + 626 71,448 80, 330 84, 520 81, 729 72, 188 74, 807 83, 326 89, 015 -740 + 5, 524 4-1, 194 -7, 288 18, 653 16, 404 23, 618 23, 219 18, 274 16, 618 22, 628 24, 019 21, 099 20,839 19, 626 21, 850 23, 789 23, 750 22, 734 24, 271 -2,447 -4,435 + 3,993 + 1,368 -5,516 -7, 133 -107 — 253 1 3 Preliminary. Estimate. Sources: Bureau of the Budget and Treasury Department. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 20 cents per copy ; $2.00 per year; $2.75 foreign. 32 U. S. GOVERNMENT P R I N T I N G OFFICE: 1959