Full text of Economic Indicators : August 1950
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Economic Indicators AUGUST 1950 Prepared for the Joint Committee on the Economic Report by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1950 JOINT COMMITTEE ON THE ECONOMIC REPORT (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) JOSEPH C. O'MAHONEY, Wyoming, Chairman EDWARD J. HART, New Jersey, Vice Chairman FRANCIS J. MYERS, Pennsylvania JOHN J. SPARKMAN, Alabama PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois ROBERT A. TAFT, Ohio RALPH E. FLANDERS, Vermont ARTHUR V. WATKINS, Utah WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas WALTER B. HUBER, Ohio FRANK BUCHANAN, Pennsylvania JESSE P. WOLCOTT, Michigan ROBERT F. RICH, Pennsylvania CHRISTIAN A. HERTER, Massachusetts THEODOBB J. KEEPS, Staff Director GROVER W. ENSLET, Associate Staff Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (Created pursuant to Sec. 4 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEON H. KEYSERLING, Chairman JOHN D. CLARK ROY BLOUGH [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT BESOLUTION [S. J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Committee on the Economic Report be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Committee on the Economic Report; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce 11 Contents THE TOTAL OUTPUT OF THE ECONOMY The Nation's Economic Budget Gross National Product 1 2 PRICES Consumers' Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers Stock Prices 3 4 5 6 EMPLOYMENT Labor Force Non agricultural Employment—Selected Industries Average Weekly Hours—Selected Industries Work Stoppages 7 8 9 10 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Weekly Production—Selected Indicators Production of Selected Manufactures New Construction New Housing Starts Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment New Corporate Security Issues Inventories and Sales Merchandise Exports and Imports 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 PURCHASING POWER National Income Corporate Profits Personal Income Consumer Income, Spending, and Saving Personal Consumption Expenditures , Per Capita Income Average Hourly Earnings—Selected Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries Farm Income » Consumer Credit , 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 MONEY, BANKING, AND FEDERAL FINANCE Bank Loans and Investments Money Supply Federal Cash Receipts From and Payments to the Public 30 31 32 THE TOTAL OUTPUT OF THE ECONOMY THE NATION'S ECONOMIC BUDGET Consumer income and saving in the 1st half of 1950 were substantially higher than in 2nd half of 1949, due in part to payment of the National Service Life Insurance dividend. This payment ($5.2 billion at an annual rate) more than accounted for the Government cash deficit in the 1st half of 1950, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 50 100 I960, FIRST HALF BUSINESS 1949, SECOND HALF 1950, FIRST HALF INTERNATIONAL 1949, SECOND HALF I960, FIRST HALF GOVERNMENT (Federal, state, and lacot) 1949, SECOND HALF Tfdflsfif ( 1950, FIRST HALF EXCESS OF RECEIPTS (+), EXPENDITURES (-) {949, SECOND HALF 1950,-P'lRST HAUF -25 CONSUMERS BUSINESS INTERNATIONAL GOVERNMENT (Federal, stote.ond local !/ TRANSFER PAYMENTS ARE INCLUDED IN RECEIPTS OR EXPENDITURES Of THE SEPARATE ACCOUNTS-BUT NOT IN THE TOTAL GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT, NOTE: SEE PAGE 2 FOR THE NATIONS ECONOMIC BUDGET TOTAL (GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT) SOURCE: ECONOMIC REPORT.OF THE PRESIDENT, JULY i960, APPENDIX A. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT Gross national product rose $7.4 billion (annual rate) from 1st to 2nd quarter 1950 to a peacetime high of $268 billion, The chief factor in the rise was an increase of $4.4 billion, or about 13 percent, in gross private domestic investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 300 ANNUAL RATES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL TOTALS GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 'ERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT ***••»»•••••»•••••••••< GOVERNMENT" PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES' NET FOREIGN INVESTMENT" I I I I I I I 1 I 1950 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE , COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total gross national product Period 1939 1944 1946 _ 1947 1948__ 1949 91. 3 213. 7 211. 1 233. 3 259. 1 255. 6 _ Personal private Net foreign consump- Gross domestic tion expen- investment investment ditures 67. 5 111. 6 146. 9 165. 6 177. 4 178. 8 9. 9 7. 7 28. 7 30. 2 43. 1 33.0 0. 9 — 2. 1 4. 6 8. 9 1. 9 .4 Government purchases of goods and services 13. 1 96. 5 30. 9 28. 6 36. 6 43. 3 Annual r ates, seasonall 7 adjusted 1949: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter _ _ 1950: First quarter Second quarter * _ __ 258. 255 254 253. 8 2 4 8 262. 5 269. 9 4 4 o 6 37. 5 31 3 32 1 31 2 1. 0 1 3 1 —.7 42. 9 44 3 43 2 42. 8 182 4 184 5 40 5 45. 9 1. 9 —2. 0 41. 4 41. 4 177 178 179 180 * Revised estimates, based on additional data, became available after chart was prepared. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of roiuiding. Source: Department of Commerce, PRICES CONSUMERS' PRICES In June, consumers' prices continued the relatively marked upward movement begun in May. Food prices rose sharply and rents moderately, while other prices changed little. A partial survey indicates a further rise of 2 to 3 percent in food prices between June 15 and July 15. PERCENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE PERCENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE 220 22Q [ | 1939 40 .[ ( 41 42 t [ 43 | [ | ( I I I ! I I I I I I I I ) I I | K I I I I I I I t I I I f t I J I t ... I I I I It 44 1940 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1935-39=100] Period 1940 monthly average 1942 monthly average 1943 monthly average 1944 monthly average 1945 monthly average 1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1949: May 15 June 15 July 15___ August 15 .. September 15 October 15 _ November 15 December 15 1950: January 15 _> February 15 March 15 April 15 May 15 June 15 All items 100.2 116.5 123.6 125.5 128.4 139.3 159.2 171.2 169. 1 169 2 169. 6 168. 5 168. 8 169. 6 168 5 168 6 167. 5 166. 9 166. 5 167. 0 167 3 168. 6 170 2 Food 96.6 123.9 138.0 136. 1 139. 1 159.6 193.8 210.2 201.9 202 4 204 3 201. 7 202 6 204 2 200 6 200 8 197. 3 196. 0 194 8 196. 0 196 6 200 3 204 6 NOTE.—Prices are for moderate-income families injarge^cities. Source: Department of Labor. Apparel 101.7 124.2 129.7 138.8 145.9 160.2 185.8 198.0 190. 1 191 3 190. 3 188. 5 187. 4 187 2 186 8 186 3 185. 8 185. 0 184 8 185. 0 185 1 185 1 185 0 Rent 104.6 108.5 108.0 108.2 108.3 108.6 111.2 117,4 120. 8 120 4 120. 6 120. 7 120. 8 121. 2 121 5 122 0 122. 2 122. 6 122. 8 122. 9 123. 1 123. 5 123 9 Fuel, electricity, and refrigeration House furnishings 99.7 105.4 107.7 109.8 110. 3 112.4 121. 1 133.9 137.5 135.4 135. 6 135. 6 135.8 137. 0 138. 4 139. 1 139. 7 140. 0 140. 3 140. 9 141.4 138. 8 138. 9 100.5 122.2 125.6 136.4 145.8 159.2 184.4 195.8 189.0 189.5 187. 3 186. 8 184.8 185. 6 185. 2 185. 4 185. 4 184. 7 185.3 185.4 185. 6 185.4 185. 2 Miscellaneous 101.1 110. 9 115.8 121.3 1241 128.8 139.9 149.9 154.6 154.5 154.2 154.3 154.8 155.2 155.2 154.9 155.5 155.1 155.1 155.0 154.8 155.3 155.3 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices rose sharply following the Korean outbreak, with farm and food prices leading the trend at first. More recently, industrial prices have also shown large rises. PERCENT OF 1926 AVERAGE 200 PERCENT OF 1926 AVERAGE 220 i i 11 i i i i ! i i i i I i i i i i i i i i i I i i i i r I LATEST DATA PLOTTED : [1926=100] Period All commodities Farm products Foods Other than farm products and foods 1942 monthly average_ 1946 monthly average. 1947 monthly average. 1948 monthly average. 1949 monthly average. 98.8 121.1 152. 1 165. 1 155.0 105.9 148.9 181.2 188.3 165.5 99.6 130.7 168.7 179. 1 161.4 95.5 109.5 135.2 151.0 147.3 1949: June July August September October November December 154.5 153.6 152.9 153.5 152.2 151.6 151.2 168.8 166.2 162. 3 163. 1 159.6 156.8 154.9 162.4 161.3 160. 6 162.0 159.6 158.9 155.7 145. 1 145.0 145.3 145.0 145.0 145.4 1950: January February March April May June J 151. 5 152.7 152.7 152. 9 155.9 157.3 162.2 154.7 159. 1 159.4 159.3 164. 7 165.9 175.9 1548 156,7 155.5 155.3 159.9 162. 1 171.3 145.8 145.9 146.1 146. 4 147.6 148.8 150.7 159. 0 161.9 163.3 163.7 165.3 165. 5 171.3 176.3 176.9 177.0 179. 2 177.5 165.2 171. 9 175.4 173.8 175. 2 174.7 149. 0 149. 9 150. 6 151. 7 153.4 154.4 July _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Week ended: 1950: July 4 11 18 25 August 1 1 Estimates based on change in weekly data. Source: Department of Labor. 145.5 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers advanced 16 points from June 15 to July 15, as prices for most agricultural 'commodities advanced. Prices paid rose 1 point. PERC ENT 350 OF 1910-14 AVERAGE PERCENT OF 1910-14 AVE RAGE 350 MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICES RECEIVED % 300 300 ^'\. f'\ // 250 1 : —T^— % IL B ; ^ ^* c ^^^ PRICES PAID AND WAGE RATES) 250 200 200 (^ ISO 150 -^/^—^ ^> 100 N^*-*-*-^*^-^ —J**^ Jt 100 PARITY RATIO* 50 50 1 0 1939 1 40 41 I 1 1 1 1 42 43 44 45 46 1 47 1 48 i Mii 1iit it 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 L 1 i i j i j J_L_i_i_L_L_ 49 1950 1949 1948 •5 C UNC L EC [1910-14=100] Prices paid by farmers (includPrices ing interest, Parity ratio * received taxes, and by farmers wage rates) Period 1939 monthly average. . •„. 1 942 monthly average 1944 monthly average ....... 1946 monthly average 1 947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average .. 1949: June 15 ~ Julv 15 _ „. August 15 September 15 October 1 5 .. _ » _ _ November 15 _ December 15 ~ _ _ _ 1950: January 15 Februarv 15 _ March 15 April 15 May 15 June 15 July 15 _ _ _ 1 2 1946. 71131—50 . -_- _.. _ ... __ 2 2 196 234 275 285 249 123 152 182 207 240 259 250 77 104 108 113 115 110 100 249 246 244 247 242 237 233 252 250 249 248 246 245 246 99 98 98 100 98 97 95 235 237 237 241 247 247 263 249 248 250 251 254 255 256 94 96 95 96 97 97 103 95 158 Ratio of index of prices received to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates, Includes wartime subsidy payments paid on beef cattle, sheep, lambs, milk, and butterfat between October 1943 and June Source: Department of Agriculture. O STOCK PRICES Stock prices for industrials recovered, during July, part of the drop which occurred after the Korean outbreak. Railroad stocks rose to new 1950 highs while utilities fell to their lows for the year. PERCENT OF 1935-39 AVE RAGE 175 PERC ENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE 175 WEEKLY AVERAGE 150 A- INDUSTRIALS x ^X ,%/ UJA jfy\ VA /*\ \ ,a/tKAvL *\\ / / / InA^r r±J ^\ 125 ^ VW ..4 /A\A a / V \ 1! 100 \A ^ -.\i VT^ * r \ . - ' ' S RAILROADS \ U / '\s« \ vx^'x // W ^. ,'rfl ^y^Y %f v^x* s ***».> -0^X1^ ' UTILITIES 100 w \r f 75 125 f V-^v*. COMPOSITE INDEX A 150 75 50 50 .1 "i 1 1 I t 1 1 ! ? 1 I J 939 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 1 1 ! t 1_ 1 I 1 J, J 1 ' 1948 II t I ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 j 1 1 1 1 1949 1 1 1 I I I I 1 0 1950 SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S CORPORATION COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1935-39=100] Composite index l Period Weekly average: 1939 1942 _ 1946 -_ 1948 1949— _ 1949: June July August September October November December 1950: Januarv February March __ April Mav June July „__ __ __ _ __ _ . __ __ _ -LX«,J__ Week ended: 1950: July 5 _ _ 12 19 • _ _. ^_: _ „__ _ 26 ._ _.. Ansrnst 2 _ _ Industrials 94. 2 69. 4 139. 9 124. 4 121. 3 94 g 71. 3 143. 4 130. 6 127. 5 112. 0 117. 8 121. 8 123. 8 127. 3 129. 1 132. 7 135. 136. 138. 141 146 147. 138. 1 7 8 8 9 7 2 140. 9 134 3 138. 8 138. 9 143. 5 Railroads 74. 7 66. 1 143. 0 114. 7 96. 4 98. 6 61. 3 120. 2 96. 2 97. 5 117.0 123. 8 128. 0 130. 3 134. 4 136. 5 140. 3 88. 4 90. 6 94. 2 95. 1 97. 6 96. 2 101. 0 93. 0 95. 4 98. 5 100.0 101. 2 102. 6 104. 1 142. 6 144. 4 146. 5 150. 0 156. 1 157. 6 147. 2 107. 107. 108. 109. 109. 107. 109. 8 2 5 5 7 1 7 105. 107. 109. 111. 112. 111. 103. 8 4 6 0 8 5 0 150. 142. 147. 147. 153. 102. 104. 111. 120. 119. 5 7 4 1 0 106. 101. 103. 101. 102. 2 2 2 3 8 4 9 8 9 6 - - Utilities 1 Composite index prior to June 23,1948, was based on 402 common stocks, and included 354 industrials, 20 railroads, and 28 utilities; thereafter, 416 common stocks are represented, with 365 industrials, 20 railroads, and 31 utilities. 3 Data became available after chart was prepared. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. EMPLOYMENT ] LABOR FORCE Nonagricultural employment rose in July as school-age persons found jobs. Agricultural employment, however, dropped because of bad weather. There was a slight decrease in unemployment. The survey week ending July 8 was too early to reflect much of the impact of the Korean outbreak. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS 70 UNEMPLOYMENT \ B 60 50 " 40 " 30 _ B U %m % **t TOTAL LABOR FORCE >?*•- 60 mm^Mm%^%^^ « A6R cu ' <50 " " • m ~ - - 40 30 NONAGR CULTURAL EMPLOYMENT 20 - 10 - - i 1 ! 1 f ! I f t i i 0 PERCENT 20 - I $ i t t 1 i f t l i _L_U__1_1^L 1 i I 1 1 - 20 - 1 0 n PERCENT 2O i i i M r - M D i r>vft/irMT - nrnrriMT r\r r\\n\ I A M i A RAD pr»F?r-F 1 5 10 - 5 - r^m 0 1939 1944 mm - |11| |tij [;|ij 1947 1948 - . 1939 1944 1947 1948 1949 monthly monthly monthly monthly monthly average :_• average average average average 55, 600 65, 890 61, 608 62, 748 63, 571 S^^rr^-^ :::::::^:::::::ji:;::-:::i(::::::::j:;:::;:^;S;J;:> | 'Wmm/fMmMmmi/i/M:, A A s o 5 | | l949 Total civilian labor force Thousands of persons, 370 55, 230 54, 630 11, 260 1,440 60, 168 61, 442 1,306 1,466 62, 105 0 l950 Civilian labor force Armed forces ( | o l948 MONTHLY AVERAGE Period 10 -^^^^^^^ 1949 Total labor force (including armed forces) 15 - Employment 1 Agricul- NonagriTotal tural cultural Unemployment Unemployment as percent of total civilian labor force 14 years of age and over 36, 140 9, 610 45, 750 45, 010 8, 950 53, 960 8,266 49, 761 58, 027 7,973 51, 405 59, 378 50, 684 8,026 58, 710 9, 480 670 2, 142 2,064 3,395 17.2 1.2 3.6 3.4 5. 5 1949: June July _ _ August _ __ _ September October November December . 64, 866 65, 278 65, 105 64, 222 64, 021 64, 363 63, 475 1,468 1,463 1,468 1,459 1,445 1,436 1, 430 63, 63, 63, 62, 62, 62, 62, 398 815 637 763 576 927 045 59, 619 59, 720 59, 947 59,411 59, 001 59, 518 58, 556 9, 696 9,647 8,507 8, 158 7,710 7, 878 6, 773 49, 924 50, 073 51, 441 51, 254 51, 290 51, 640 51, 783 3, 778 4,095 3, 689 3, 351 3,576 3,409 3,489 6.0 6.4 5.8 5.3 5.7 5.4 5.6 1950: January February March April _ _ May " June _ July 62, 835 63, 003 63, 021 63, 513 64, 108 66, 177 65, 742 1,408 1, 366 1,346 1, 330 1,320 1,311 1, 315 61, 427 61, 637 61, 675 62, 183 62, 788 64, 866 64, 427 56, 947 56, 953 57, 551 58, 668 59, 731 61, 482 61, 214 6, 198 6, 223 6, 675 7, 195 8,062 9, 046 8, 440 50, 749 50, 730 50, 877 51,473 51, 669 52, 436 52, 774 4,480 4, 684 4; 123 3, 515 3, 057 3, 384 3, 213 7.3 ___ 7.6 6.7 5.7 4.9 5.2 5.0 1 Includes part-time workers and those who had jobs but were not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, temporary lay-off, and industrial disputes. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source; Department of Commerce. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Manufacturing employment rose by 230,000 in June, the greatest June rise since 1946 Employment in contract construction increased considerably more than usual, and employment in trade showed a larger than seasonal increase. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 9 0 80 DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 1948 r J F M A M J J A S O N D i J i F i M i A M J J A S O N D CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION I I 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 ~1 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Or LABOR [Thousands of wage and salary workers *] Manufacturing Period Total 1939 monthly average 1943 monthly average. 1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average. _ 1949 monthly average 1949: May-... _ June July __, August September October. _ November. December. 1950: January . February .__ „ March April 33 May 3 June _ 10, 078 17, 381 14, 461 15, 247 15, 286 14, 146 13, 877 13, 884 13, 757 14, 114 14,312 13, 892 13, 807 14, 031 13, 980 13, 997 14, 103 14, 167 14, 416 14, 645 Contract construction Durable Nondurgoods able goods Trade 5,394 6,304 6,722 6,874 6,970 6, 681 6,436 6,492 6, 502 6,812 •6,903 6,906 6,757 6,728 6,638 6, 673 6, 685 6,613 6,605 6, 684 6,705 7,322 8,815 9, 196 9,491 9,438 9, 342 9, 336 9,220 9, 213 9,409 9,505 9,607 10, 156 9,246 9,152 9,206 9, 338 9, 333 9,396 4,683 11,077 7,739 8,373 8,315 7,465 7,441 7,392 7, 255 7, 302 7,409 6, 986 7,050 7,303 7, 342 7,324 7,418 7, 554 7,811 7,961 1, 150 1,567 1,661 1, 982 2, 165 2, 156 2, 137 2,205 2, 277 2,340 2, 341 2,313 2,244 2,088 1, 919 1,861 1,907 2, 068 2,234 2,397 Finance and service Government (Federal, State, local) Transportation and public utilities 4, 610 5, 187 5,994 6,427 6, 515 6,544 6, 567 6,608 6, 631 6,616 6, 604 6, 561 6, 534 6,508 6,473 6, 473 6,499 6, 560 6,604 6,654 3,987 6,049 5,607 5,454 5,613 5,813 5,813 5,803 5,738 5, 763 5,893 5,866 5,783 6,041 5,777 5, 742 5, 769 5, 915 .5, 900 5, 832 2, 912 3,619 4, 023 4,122 4, 151 3,977 4,021 4,031 4,007 3, 992 3,959 3,871 3,892 3,930 3,869 3, 841 3,873 3,927 3,887 4,000 Mining 845 917 852 943 981 932 974 968 943 956 948 593 917 940 861 595 938 938 938 941 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked or received pay during the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force reported by the Department of Commerce (p. 6) which include proprietors, self employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Not available. 3 Preliminary estimate. • Source: Department of Labor. 8 AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek for durable goods manufacturing was 'X2 hour longer in June as record construction and automobile production continued. It was also X2 hour longer in nondurable manufacturing, chiefly because of seasonal expansion in some industries. HOUf *S PER W E E K HOURS PER WEEK NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING DURABLE MANUFACTURING 42 42 ^^K^A^V 40 _/ 40 \^^ 38 38 36 36 34 34 1 1 | 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 0 1947 1 II 1 1 II I 1 1 M 1 M 1 1 M 1949 1 I M 1 II I 1 1! 1 I 1949 0 40 40 v^N/1v-x TM , , 1 , , , , , 1947 r^rv h\X M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 U 1 LJ_L1 1 1 I 1 J L 11 1 1 1 1 1 I I 1948 1949 1950 1 1 .. M,M . . . 1949 1948 ^\^-S\^Sf ^<^sr— 38 / 36 \/ V 34 0 ^. RETAIL TRADE 42 36 iii 1iii i 1947 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION * i 1950 42 38 ^^^^ 34 M . MI , M ,7 1950 0 1 M 1 1 1 M 1947 M 1 M i l l M i l ! 1948 I l 1 M ! 1 1 1 1 1949 M M 1 1 M M 1 1950 •> [Hours per week, selected industries : Manufacturing f Period 1939 monthly average 1943 monthly average 1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average — 1949: May . _ June July „ August September... October . November December 1950: January . . .„ _ February March April 83 May June 3 1 Total _ . ._ __ For production and related workers. „_ _ 37. 7 44. 9 40 4 40. 4 40. 1 39. 2 38. 6 38. 8 38 8 39. 1 39. 6 39. 7 39. 1 39. 8 39. 7 39. 7 39 7 39 7 40. 0 40 5 Durable goods 38. 0 46. 6 40. 2 40. 6 40. 5 39. 5 39. 0 39. 2 38 8 39.3 39. 6 39. 9 39. 0 40. 1 40. 0 40. 1 40 2 40 7 40. 9 41. 4 * Not available. Nondurable goods 37.4 42. 5 40. 5 40. 1 39. 6 38. 8 38. 1 38. 5 38. 7 38. 9 39. 6 39. 6 39. 3 39. 5 39. 4 39. 3 39 2 38 5 38. 9 39. 4 Building construction Retail trade (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) 37. 3 36. 7 37.2 37. 1 37. 1 37.2 36. 5 36.9 36. 1 35. 8 34. 8 33.7 34. 5 35. 6 36. 8 (2) (2) (2) 40. 3 40.3 40.4 40. 3 40.5 40. 9 40.9 40. 5 40. 4 40. 1 40. 7 40.4 40.4 40.3 40.3 40. 4 ^ Preliminary estimate. Source: Department of Labor. 9 WORK STOPPAGES Work stoppages declined moderately in June. The number of workers involved in work stoppages decreased by 20 percent. MILLIONS OF MAN-DAYS IDLE 20 MILLIONS OF MAN-DAYS IDLE 20 MONTHLY AVERAGE 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1949 1950 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Workers involved in stoppages Beginning In effect Percent of during in estimated month period working time (thousands) (thousands) 1, 170 0. 28 2,360 .32 840 .05 2, 120 .09 3,470 .47 4, 600 1.43 2, 170 .41 1,960 .37 3, 030 .59 Man-days of idleness during period Period 1939 1941 1942 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1949: May ___ June July August September. _ _ October November. December 1950: January 1 1 February March 1 April i_._ May l* June 1 Preliminary estimate. 10 Monthly average (thousands) 1,483 1, 917 348 727 3, 167 9,667 2,883 2,842 4,208 Number of stoppages Beginning in period In effect during month 2,613 4,288 2, 968 4,956 4,750 4, 985 3, 693 3, 419 3,606 3,430 4,470 2, 350 2, 140 6, 270 17, 500 6,270 1,350 .49 .61 .35 .27 .87 2. 49 .93 . 19 231 572 110 134 507 570 57 46 309 673 249 232 603 977 914 417 449 377 343 365 287 256 197 170 678 632 603 643 536 475 388 323 2, 600 7, 850 3, 750 3, 150 3,000 2,750 .38 1. 27 .49 .47 .40 .36 185 75 80 160 325 260 300 515 530 300 500 400 225 210 260 400 450 425 340 325 400 550 650 650 Source: Department o^Labor. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production in July remained at the postwar peak reached in June, according to preliminary estimates of the seasonally adjusted index. Output of durable goods rose slightly^ mining fell. PERCENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE 400 [ 1939 40 41 I 42 PERCENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE 400 I 43 I I 44 45 I 46 I 47 48 I i i i I i I i i i I I i i I I I 49 C O U N C I L OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1935-39=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1943 monthly average 1946 monthly average __ _ _ 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average... 1949 monthly average 1949: May~ June July August September October November December _ 1950: January1 . February * March ., April-. . „ May 1_ _ _ June July 1 1 Preliminary estimate. Total industrial production 239 170 187 192 176 174 169 161 170 174 166 173 179 183 180 187 190 195 199 199 1Manufactures Total 258 177 194 198 183 179 175 168 178 184 176 179 188 192 192 194 199 203 207 207 Durable Nondurable goods goods 176 360 165 192 172 220 177 225 202 168 161 201 161 194 154 185 165 193 172 199 177 175 177 181 176 203 179 209 180 207 181 211 180 222 181 231 183 236 182 238 Minerals 132 134 149 155 135 145 133 123 129 119 112 141 132 130 118 144 140 145 151 148 Source: Board, of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 11 WEEKLY PRODUCTION - SELECTED INDICATORS Production of many industries dropped during early July because of the holiday and vacations. By the end of the month, steel and automobiles had recovered part of their drop but were below their previous record rates. Electric power exceeded its previous peak. MILLIONS OF TONS BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS 3 7.0 SOURCES; AMERICAN IROf4 AND STEEL INSTITUTE, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. St 3d Period Thousands of net tons Electric power, by utilities (millions of kilowatt-hours) Percent of theoretical capacity J Bituminous _,_ _i coal (thousands of short tons) 2 Cars and trucks (number) Weekly average: 1947 1948 1949 1 628 1 695 1 496 93 0 94. 1 81 0 4 821 5 300 5 500 2 058 1 948 1 418 92 163 82, 340 120, 350 Week ended: 1949: July 2 _ _ _ 9 16__ 23 30 August 6 13 1 473 1 128 1 434 1 444 1 502 1 499 1 517 79 61 77 78 81 81 82 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 410 982 342 462 518 466 530 217 983 1 151 1 213 1 276 1 254 1 328 137 111, 149 153, 136 142 140, 802 793 380 090 507 346 147 1950: July !.._ 8 15__ 22___ 29 August 5_ 12___ 1 929 1 765 1 830 1 895 1, 893 1 920 1.927 101 2 92 6 96 0 99 4 99 3 99 5 99. 9 6 115 5, 380 6 006 6 186 6, 190 6 247 1 708 322 1 550 1 868 187, 128, 184 181, 185. 171, 893 056 791 156 528 502 9 2 8 3 5 3 3 i Based on weekly not ton capacity of 1,749,928 for 1947,1,802,476 for 1948,1,843,516 for 3949,1,906,268 for the first half of 1950, and increased capacity figures, beginning July 1, 1950. * Daily average for week. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, and Ward's Automotive Reports. 12 ]PRODUCTION OF SELEC3TED MANUFACTURES June output of metals, machinery, chemicals, and pe troleum that in May. Lumber and cotton textiles de creasecJ. PERC ENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE (ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION) PERC ENT OF 1935-39 AVERAGE 250 250 r\ , AT T IRON A NO S*\ 200 150 A 0 350 ^TEXTILES AND PRODUCTS • i . 1 1 1 i 1 1 1T K l \XCHEM 300 300 H 1 ,, \f( ;\ M l 250 r' ' 200 / 150 0 1 / NONFERROUS METALS AND PROD 44 46 48 ! 250 / 1 200 /~* Aw 1948 t 11 1 I 11 11 1949 _" 40 J \\ L 42 44 iLlM,_m ^^s.--^*— ^ ^"MANUFACTURED FOOD PRODUCTS Ill 1 li 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 . i . i i n iTi 0 1 ^ i960 LM x/ V A —«XS/^f f / f ^ V \ ^ 150 IOO M r C (VL PRODUCTS 1 f f /" % N./ 1 \^ v-x 1 ^ . . . . , . i , n rr; , , , i , . , i, 40 42 ' / /»' ' I J IOO "-^N Kv / IOO L L JJL U~ i rrr. , 1 1 . , , i , M 1 0 n i i t . • i i i i 350 * 443 -^/"^/ t 1' ^jT\ y ^-v>> 150 \f ,,,,,!,,,,, p( PETROL EUN AND COAL*. y« 00 UCTS i AND PRODUCTS* ^ i i i i i i . i n rTTi n 1 1 1 1 1 1 •^ 1\ iV f V r^ £\ // \/ "• j:R IOO TT products exceeded and coa 46 48 1948 1949 1950 [1935-39=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1943 monthly average 1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average. 1949: May June__ _ _ July August _ _ SeptemberOctober November __ December 1950: January ~ February March AprilMay. June1 1 Preliminary estimate. 71131—50 Iron and steel 208 150 195 208 188 204 177 156 178 179 102 145 201 203 201 205 222 226 229 Nondurable manufactures Lumber Nonferrous Textiles Machinery metals and and and products products products 129 131 143 145 130 126 123 115 126 132 133 147 158 144 150 156 159 158 150 443 240 276 277 234 232 225 217 216 224 226 217 227 229 237 243 251 259 264 267 157 187' 193 160 145 133 127 141 157 164 163 165 179 188 199 196 195 202 153 162 163 170 147 123 126 120 140 155 169 175 173 178 179 173 174 175 173 Petroleum Manufac- Chemical and coal tured food products products products 185 173 193 218 209 207 202 198 203 208 198 205 219 211 205 207 206 216 220 145 149 157 159 163 163 165 161 166 167 165 160 160 161 161 166 164 164 164 384 236 251 254 241 234 233 228 229 236 240 243 246 248 247 247 252 256 261 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 13 NEW CONSTRUCTION New construction, continuing to expand in July, was over 2.5 percent higher than a year earlier. The July rise was relatively uniform in all categories of private construction. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2,500 2,000 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2,500 ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION 2,000 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION^ 1,500 1,500 1,000 1,000 PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NON FARM) OTHER PRIVATE ^^ FEDERAL, STATE, AND LOCAL 1949 I960 [Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Private construction Total new Total Period Residential Other construction private (nonfarm) 366 1939 monthly average __ 223 142 683 285 1942 monthly average 142 143 1, 173 182 1944 monthly average 114 68 438 803 1946 monthly average- _ _ _ _ 335 1,000 469 1, 094 526 1,386 1947 monthly average 568 1,389 1948 monthly average. _. 715 674 1, 798 1949 monthly average _ _ __ 1,350 691 659 1,883 1, 309 644 1949: June 1,838 665 1,319 July _. 1,834 666 653 1, 322 676 August 646 1,853 September 1, 333 706 1,897 627 752 1,375 October _ _ _ 1, 934 623 1,428 792 November. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1,985 636 December 842 1,471 2,039 629 1950: January _ _ _ 1, 506 2,068 863 643 February 1, 600 2, 127 956 644 March 1, 579 641 2, 167 938 April _ _ __ _._ 1, 604 2, 183 957 647 May 2 1, 649 990 2,209 659 1,686 1,022 June 2 _ _ _ _ 2,254 664 1.739 Julv 2. 300 1,066 673 1981 Federal, State, and local l 317 888 256 197 291 409 532 529 515 531 564 559 557 568 562 527 588 579 560 568 561 1 Includes public residential construction. Sources; Department of Commerce and Department of Labor, 2 Preliminary estimate. NOTE.— Construction data have been revised. See May 1950 Supplement to Construction and Construction Materials. The chart has not yet been revised to take account of the revisions. 14 NEW HOUSING STARTS Housing starts rose moderately in June to an a l l - t i m e record of 142,000. During the first half of this year there were 686,900 starts, compared with 449,000 in the corresponding period last year. THOUSANDS OF UNITS THOUSANDS OF UNITS 200 200 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL Of iOOWOMIIC ADVISERS New nonfarm units started ivioni/ii 1948 1949 1950 39, 300 42, 800 56, 000 67, 100 72, 900 77, 200 81, 100 86, 300 93, 800 94 000 79, 700 58, 800 53, 500 50, 100 76, 400 99, 500 100, 300 97, 800 95, 000 86, 700 82, 300 73 400 63, 700 52, 900 50, 000 50, 400 69, 400 88, 300 95, 400 95, 500 96, 100 99, 000 102, 900 104, 300 95, 500 78, 300 78, 700 82,900 117, 300 1 126, 000 1 140, 000 1 142, 000 849, 000 931, 600 1, 025, 100 70, 750 77, 600 85, 425 1947 January February _ _ March April _ May_ June July August September October November December. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Total Monthly average 1 Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Labor. 15 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Plant and equipment expenditures by nonagricultural business firms rose more than seasonally in End quarter of 1950 and were only 3 percent below the level of a year previous. Outlays in 2nd quarter by manufacturing companies and gas and electric utilities were considerably higher than the same quarter last year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 25 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 25 TRANSPORTATION AND ::: : : :ELEGTR1C AND GAS -x: UTILITIES 1939 £STIMAT£S BASCO OH PLANS REPORTED IN MA SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMW iSSION AND U . S . D E P A R T M E N T OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars, annual rates, not adjusted for seasonal variation] Total i Period Manufacturing Mining Transportation Railroad Other Electric and Commercial miscelgas utilities and laneous 2 5,200 8, 190 6,630 19, 230 18, 120 1,930 3,400 3,210 8,340 7,250 380 680 440 800 740 280 560 550 1,320 1 5 350 280 340 320 700 520 480 710 630 2,680 3, 140 1,850 2,490 1,480 5,390 5, 120 19, 320 21, 640 8,360 9,280 800 880 1,320 1, 640 680 680 2,760 3,400 5,440 5,760 1949: First quarter ._ _ Second quarter Third quarter. _ _. Fourth quarter _ _ - 17, 840 18, 640 17, 480 18, 520 7,400 7,520 6,760 7,320 760 760 720 720 1,440 1,520 1, 240 1, 200 520 560 560 480 2,720 3,120 3, 160 3, 560 5,040 5, 160 5,040 5,280 1950: First quarter _ 3 Second quarter3 Third quarter 14, 800 18, 120 17, 920 6,080 7,880 7,680 600 640 680 920 1,200 1, 160 320 360 400 2,600 3,400 3,280 4,240 4, 680 4, 720 1939 1941 1945 1948 1949 ___ _ 1948: Third quarter. Fourth quarter. _ _ __ 12 Excludes agriculture. Commercial and miscellaneous composed of trade, service, finance, and communication. * Figures for second and third quarters of 1950 are based on anticipated capital expenditures reported in the May 1950 survey. NOTE.—These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Figures for 1939-44 are Federal Reserve Board estimates based on Securities and Exchange Commission and other data. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because annual rates are based on quarterly figures rounded to the nearest 10,000,000. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce (except as noted). 16 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES Net proceeds from new security issues increased about $800 million in 2nd quarter. Over half of the increased proceeds was used for retirement of debt and stock. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 [Millions of dollars] Proposed uses of net proceeds Estimated net proceeds Period New money Total 1939 quarterly 1943 quarterly 1946 quarterly 1947 quarterly 1948 quarterly 1949 quarterly average average average average average average 1948: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1949: First quarter Second quarter— » Third quarter Fourth quarter . _, 1950: First quarter Second quarter „ , „. _ ._ ._ Plant and equipment Working capital Retirement of debt and stock J 529 287 1,689 1,617 1,740 1,490 81 77 820 1,148 1,482 1, 151 43 35 529 852 1, 055 931 39 42 291 296 428 221 448 210 869 469 258 338 1,321 2,051 1,056 1,870 743 1,469 314 401 264 182 1,210 2,441 1,009 1,299 970 1,986 788 861 784 1,675 669 596 186 312 120 265 240 456 219 438 1,398 2, 193 1,014 1, 275 777 958 237 317 384 918 i Includes small amount for other purposes. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Revision in data for 1948-50 became available after the chart was prepared. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 12 INVENTORIES AND SALES Manufacturers' and retailers' sales reached new postwar peaks in June. Manufacturers* inventories rose moderately but were still below levels of a year previous. BILL JONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS RETAIL TOTAL* AND MANUFACTURING x 60 MONTHLY AVERAGE j 50 /A'• SEASONALLY...,, .••'**' TOTAL 20 ADJUSTED v ....."*" .., I/A „: / / •• ,.» 30 | 1 .| 10 ^TO FAL SALES* 1 1 I I | i | | 1 0 1 M 11 t M I t1 40 42 44 46 48 ^^vv ^ ^••-......, ....-•"•""'"'" 1 1 i 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 11 ! t 1948 1949 1950 PERC ENT OF 1935-1939 AVERAGE DEPARTMENT ..„..,§•» *"* MANUFACTUR NG ^INVENTORIES -« ''"••., ..,f SALES /•-" /V INVENTORIES'^ : ; : : 1 40 SEASONALLY AC JUSTED MONTHLY AVERAGE 400 STORES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED MONTHLY AVERAGE INVENTORIES ^ SALES / /-** 20 10 0 300 / ^ ^^^s^\>~^ /If / 1 ! t 1! | | | f ifO 42 44 46 48 MANUFACT JRING SALES*' ^ 200 IOO It 1 i I 1 1 1 1 I F 1948 1 1 I M 1 i ! I M 1 1 1 1 1II It M 1949 1950 0 ,,l,l,-Li t I M I *Q 42 44 46 48 II I M I 1 f I t 1 1 M ! f 1 I i 1 1 ! 1948 1949 Period Sales 3 New orders 4 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1939 1943 .. 1945 . 1946 1947 1948 „ 1949 1949: May June July August September October November December 1950: January _ . February. March April 77 May , June 7 _„ 20, 172 31, 143 30, 571 42, 709 51, 692 58, 546 53, 628 56, 858 56, 435 55, 320 54, 631 54, 617 54, 356 53, 996 53, 628 54, 125 53, 932 54, 513 54, 756 55, 419 56, 475 11, 109 22, 372 24, 181 27, 800 34, 739 38, 190 35, 997 36, 039 36, 391 34, 820 37, 137 37, 239 34, 603 35, 496 34, 651 35, 678 36, 463 37, 946 36, 895 40, 039 41, 118 11,465 20, 098 18, 390 24, 818 29, 818 34, 066 30, 899 33, 566 33, 251 32, 367 31, 638 31, 076 30, 744 30, 547 30, 899 31, 136 31, 098 31, 103 31,219 31, 509 32, 200 5, 100 12, 822 12, 883 12, 841 17, 076 18, 998 17, 815 17, 741 17, 989 17, 114 18, 946 18, 865 16, 805 17, 313 16, 857 17, 650 18, 035 19, 144 18, 456 20, 695 21, 200 1 1 11 i 1 1 1 11 1950 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturing Inventories 2 ""f INVENTORIES^ EM Total business l InvenSales 3 tories 2 X/* '^^^^ I (6) (6e) () 14, 004 16, 768 18, 694 17, 189 15, 734 16, 300 15, 496 18, 697 19, 441 18, 359 18, 138 16, 775 18, 646 17, 983 20, 228 18, 594 20, 345 22, 600 Retail Inven-2 Sales * tories 4 5,532 7, '361 7,543 11, 226 13, 221 14, 969 13, 698 14, 139 14, 182 13, 862 13, 932 14, 355 14, 475 14, 336 13, 698 13, 998 13, 800 14, 282 14, 138 14, 416 14, 784 3,504 5,277 6,315 8,358 9,909 10, 837 10, 682 10, 759 10, 684 10, 549 10, 669 10, 856 10, 678 10, 630 10, 503 10, 855 11, 101 11, 125 11, 080 11, 328 11, 660 Department stores InvenSales 5 tories 5 1935-39=100, seasonally adjusted 106 102 168 155 207 166 264 213 286 255 302 291 285 270 291 273 285 265 280 256 283 253 289 263 276 270 277 273 293 271 282 272 280 279 274 285 292 286 290 285 295 276 5 Indexes computed from data on retail value of sales for month and retail 1 Total business includes manufacturing, retail, and wholesale (not snown book value of inventories, end of period. separately in this table). 8 Not available. 23 Book value, end of period. i Preliminary estimates. Monthly average for year and total for month. * Data for new orders not adjusted for seasonal variation. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System, 18 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS Imports rose again in June, bringing the average for the quarter to record levels. Since exports were also higher, the export surplus increased moderately over the May figure. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,600 1,600 - 1,200 1946 1947 1948 1950 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY, AND DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY. [Millions of dollars] Period 1936-38 monthly average 1943 monthly average 1946 monthly average * 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average. ._ 1949 monthly average ... 1949: Mity. *„ _ June*. „_-. -_July. ... _ August *...*» September * October.. , ; November December. 1950: January February «. . . March ..* ... April ._*._,. . _ _ _ _ > May . . . _ June- _ Exports * _ .. - _ . ^.._.._ *. . • . .. ___ -._ _. 247 1,080 849 1,278 1,054 1,000 1,094 1, 107 900 883 909 852 841 944 746 773 868 810 824 876 Imports * 207 282 410 478 592 552 541 526 456 491 530 557 593 605 623 600 664 583 659 686 Excess of exports 40 798 439 801 462 448 554 581 443 393 379 296 248 339 122 173 204 227 166 190 1 2 Recorded merchandise exports, including reexports, and civilian supplies for occupied areas. Recorded general merchandise imports. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of the Army, and Department of the Navy. 19 PURCHASING POWER NATIONAL INCOME Total national income increased by about $6 billion (annual rate) in 2nd quarter of 1950, according to preliminary data. The rise in compensation of employees was the principal factor. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 250 SOURCE;DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). L OF ECONOMIC ADVISCF [Billions of dollars] Total national income Period 1939. 1944 1946 1947 1948 1949 .. -- -- 72.5 183. 8 180. 3 198.7 223. 5 216.8 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Compensation of employees Proprietors1 (business, professional, farm) and rental income Net interest 47.8 121.2 117. 1 128. 0 140. 2 140. 6 14.7 35.5 42. 0 42. 4 47. 3 41.7 4.2 3. 1 2.9 3.5 4. 1 4.7 Total 5. 8 24.0 18. 3 24 7 31. 8 29. 9 Profits before taxes Inventory valuation adjustment 6.5 24. 3 23.5 30.5 33. 9 27. 6 -0.7 -.3 -5.2 -5. 8 2 **• 7o + 2.0 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted 1949: First quarter-. Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 218.8 217. 8 216.7 214.2 141.5 140. 5 140.0 140. 2 43.8 42. 2 40. 1 40. 7 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.8 28.8 30.4 31. 8 28. 4 28. 3 26.4 28.2 27. 6 + .5 + 3. 9 + 3.7 +. 8 1950: First quarter J Second quarter _ _ _ 217. 2 223. 6 142. 3 147. 6 41.5 41.3 5. 0 5.0 28.4 *29. 7 29. 2 i 32. 0 -.7 -2.3 i Estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Kevised estimates, based on additional data, became available after the chart was prepared. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department]^ Commerce (except as noted). 20 CORPORATE PROFITS Preliminary data indicate that corporate profits before taxes continued to rise in 2nd quarter of 1950, reaching an annual rate of $32 billion. Dividend payments were unchanged from 1st quarter an<f undistributed profits $1.7J)illionJii£her. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 ll NO ALLOWS* SOURCE : DE [Billions of dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1939 1944 1946_ _ _ 1947__ 1948 1949__ 6.5 24. 3 23.5 30.5 33.9 27.6 _ 1949 : First quarter. _ Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1950: First quarter _ 1 Second quarter _ . _ _ Corporate tax liability Corporate profits after taxes Total Dividend payments 5.0 1.5 3.8 13. 5 10.8 4.7 9.6 13.9 5.8 11. 9 18. 5 6.6 13. 0 20.9 7.5 10. 6 17.0 7.8 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted Undistributed profits 1.2 6.1 8. 1 12.0 13. 4 9. 2 28. 3 26.4 28. 2 27. 6 10. 9 10.0 10.8 10. 6 17.4 16.4 17. 3 16. 9 7.9 7.7 7.4 8.2 9.5 8.7 10.0 8.7 29. 2 32. 0 11. 4 12.5 17. 8 19. 5 8. 1 8. 1 9.7 11.4 1 Estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Revised estimates, based on additional data, became available after the chart was prepared. NOTE.—No allowance has been made for inventory valuation adjustment. See p. 20 for profits before taxes and inventory valuation adjustment. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). 21 PERSONAL INCOME The advance in personal income in June was paced by an increase in salaries and wages in manufacturing. The rise in proprietors' income was about evenly divided between farm and nonfarm. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS i/NATIONAL INSURANCE DIVIDEND PAYMENTS STARTEI SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Total personal income Period 1939 1944 1947 1948 1949 _ __ __- _ 72. 9 165.9 191. 0 209. 5 206. 1 1949: May June July. _ _ August September * October. November December. 207. 6 205.9 203. 5 204.3 203. 4 202. 4 205.7 208.4 1950:, January February . . March April May June 2 _ 214. 6 215. 4 219. 3 213. 8 214. 5 215. 8 [Billions of dollars] Proprietors' income Labor income Dividends (salaries, Business, wages, and professional, and personal Farm other labor interest and rental income) income 14. 3 9.2 45. 7 10. 2 116. 2 11. 8 10. 6 23.7 26. 8 122.3 15. 6 14.5 135.0 29. 6 16. 1 17. 7 13.4 28. 3 134.9 17. 2 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted 28. 6 14. 0 17. 1 135. 6 28. 4 134. 5 16. 8 13. 8 16.6 134.3 12.3 27.9 134.2 12. 8 16. 8 27. 9 134. 6 11.6 27.7 17.0 12. 1 17.2 133. 3 27.7 28. 1 134.4 13. 1 17. 2 12. 7 136.0 18. 9 27.9 135. 2 134. 5 136.9 138. 6 141. 1 142. 3 14. 6 12. 3 11.4 11. 0 12. 1 12. 5 28.9 28. 7 28. 8 28.8 29.4 30. 2 17.5 17.7 18.0 18. 2 17.8 17.4 Transfer payments 3.0 3. 6 11. 8 11.2 12. 3 12. 3 12. 4 12. 4 12.6 12. 6 12. 1 12.4 12. 9 1 1 18. 4 22. 2 *24. 2 1 17. 2 U4. 1 i- 13. 4 »Includes veterans' insurance dividend. During first quarter, the payment was at annual rate of $8.5 billion (or $2.1 billion, quarterly total) and during second quarter at $2.0 billion (or $502 million, quarterly total), a Preliminary estimate. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 22 CONSUMER INCOME, SPENDING, ANDSAVING Disposable personal income in 2nd quarter declined about § 2 billion (annual rate) from the 1st quarter postwar peak rate of nearly $ 1 9 8 billion when the bulk of the NSLI dividend was distributed. Consumer expenditures continued to rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 ANNUAL RATES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL TOTALS 2 3 1949 PER 2 - ^ 3 4 1950 I 2 1951 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Disposable personal income 1 Period 1939 1941 . _ _ 1942 _ _ ... 1944 1946 _ _ -- -- ... 1947 . _ 1948 1949—. — , __ 1949* First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter .. 1950* First quarter 2 Second quarter _ _ . ,_--. ' -_- • ... _- - 70. 2 92.0 116. 7 147.0 158. 9 169. 5 188. 4 187.4 189. 9 188. 2 185. 1 186. 8 Less: Personal Equals: PerNet saving as consumption sonal net percent of dissaving expenditures posable income Billions of dollars 2.7 67.5 3.8 82.3 9.8 10.7 21. 9 91. 2 25.6 35.4 111. 6 24. 1 12. 0 146. 9 7.6 3. 9 2.3 165. 6 10. 9 177.4 5.8 8. 6 4. 6 178. 8 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted 12. 5 177.4 6. 6 9. 8 5.2 178. 4 6.2 179.0 3,3 6. 2 3.3 180. 6 197. 7 195.5 182. 4 184.5 15. 3 11.0 7.7 5.6 1 Income less taxes. 2 Revised estimates, based on additional data, became available after the chart was prepared. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES Corisumer expenditures increased again in 2nd quarter, with nondurabies, especially food and clothing, registering the major gains, Expenditures for durable goods continued at a high level. B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS 200 ANNUAL TOTALS BILLIONS OP D O L L A R S 200 ANNUAL RATES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED TOTAL EXPENDITURES^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC A D V I S E R S fBillions of dollars] Personal consumption expenditures Period Nondurable goods Total 1939 19441946. 1947. 1948 1949_ 67. 5 111, 6 146. 9 165. 6 177.4 178.8 35.3 67. 1 85. 8 95. 1 100. 9 98. 5 Durable goods 6.7 7. 1 16.6 21.4 22. 9 23.8 Services 25.5 37.4 44. 5 49. 1 53.7 56.4 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted 1949: First quarter Second quarter-. Third quarter Fourth quarter 1950: First quarter. Second quarter * „ _„ 177.4 178.4 179. 0 180. 6 182.4 184. 5 99.4 99.2 97. 6 97. 9 97. 5 99.0 22.4 23. 0 24.7 25.3 26. 9 26.7 55.6 56. 2 56.6 57.4 58.0 58.8 * Estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Revised estimates, based on additional data, became available after the chart was prepared. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 24 PER CAPITA INCOME* Per capita disposable incorr e declined in 2nd quarter of 1950, both in terms of current dollars and in real purchasing power, as a result of the tapering off of the NSLI dividend. DOLLARS I 3 600 DOLLARS 1,600 ANNUAL ANNUAL RATES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AVERAGES 1949 DOLLARS-* 7 I, 200 1,200 I I 1948 2 I 3 1950 1949 SOURCES : DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPARTMENT OF LABOR I Per capita disposable personal income l Period Current dollars 1939 1941 1942. 1944 1946 1947. 1948 1949 $536 691 867 1,065 1, 125 1,177 1,285 1,256 1949 dollars * $912 1, 110 1,247 1,388 1,333 1,248 1,270 1,256 Annual rates, seasonally adjusted 1949: 1950: First quarter _.Second quarter Third quarter . _ Fourth.- quarter , First quarter Second auarter 4 _ _ _ _ _ __ . __ - „ _ _. Consumers* price index3 1949=100 58.8 62. 2 69.5 76. 7 84.4 94. 3 101.2 100. 0 Not adjusted for seasonal variation $1, 280 1,264 1,237 1, 243 $1, 275 1,261 1, 239 1, 249 100. 4 100. 2 99. 9 99.5 1,310 1,291 1,329 1, 294 98.6 99.8 21 3 Income less taxes. Current dollars divided by the consumers' price index on the base 1949=100. The consumers' price index has been roughly adjusted to take account of the understatement from December 1941-February 1947. This adjustment is in line with the report of the Mitchell Committee. The unadjusted index will be found oil page 3. 4 Revised estimates, based on additional data, became available after the cha,rt; was prepared. Sources; Department of Commerce and Department of Labor. 25 AVERAGE HOURLY EARmm GS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES r Hourly earnings in manufacturing passed the May p>eak to i each a new high of over $1.45 in June, The increases in durable goods manufacturing were greater than those in nondurables, DOLL*kRS PER HOUR 1.60 DURABLE DOLL ARS PER HOUR 1.50 MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 1.40 1.50 *^ 1949 DOLLARS* X"""^ , 1.40 I.3O 1.30 ^ ^ P \ ~ J 1.20 1949 DOLLARS' f r^^T^ y^ CURRENT DOLLARS CURRE NT S*^ DOLLARS 110 1.20 0 jS f^Zs* A—^ =iiii| , 1947 ,,,,,!,,,,, 1948 , , , , , ! , , , ,7 1949 0 7, , M 1 M , , , 1947 1950 2.10 I 1 ! I 1 J_ 1 L i I j 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 i 1948 1949 i 1 1 i 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1950 1.30 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION , RETAIL TRADE 2.00 1.20 S-s 1.90 1949 DOLLARS* / / ^—<* _rtf ^jry, i £»*^^ "*^ ^**«—%./ 1949 DOLLARS* / 1.10 ^•^^ KZ* ^»«*v CURRENT DOLLARS 1.80 1.00 * * r ^ * » CURRENT DOLLARS ^ .90 1.70 0 -,,,,,,,,, ,,, ,,i 1947 ,.,,.!,..., 1948 1949 i , , , ,7 0 "r, , , , i , , , , , 1950 i i i l i ' 11 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1948 1949 1947 . , i « i t . , i.7 1950 948 [Selected industries All manufacturing Period 1939 monthly average _ 1943 monthly average-1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average _ 1949- May June July August September October November December 1950: January.February March April44 May __ June 4 Nondurable goods manufacturing Building construction Retail trade 1949 1949 Current Current 1949 1949 Current Current 1949 Current dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 „ _ __ _ * Production and related workers, a Not available. Source: Department of Labor. 26 Durable goods manufacturing $0. 633 .961 1.086 1.237 1.350 1.401 1.401 1.405 1.408 1.399 1.407 1. 392 1.392 1.408 1.418 1.420 1.424 1.434 1.443 1.454 $1. 077 1. 286 1. 287 1.312 1.334 1.401 1.400 1.401 1.414 1.402 1. 403 1. 398 1.396 1.421 1.437 1.442 1.441 1.450 1.447 1.444 $0. 698 1.059 1. 156 1.292 1. 410 1.469 1.467 1.475 1.477 1.473 1.482 1.458 1.457 1.476 1.485 1.483 1.486 1.498 1.509 1. 525 $1. 187 1.418 1. 370 1.370 1.393 1. 469 1.466 1.471 1.483 1.476 1.478 1.464 1. 461 1.489 1.505 1. 506 1.504 1.515 1. 514 1. 514 (3) (3) « $1. 171 1. 278 1.325 1.323 1. 324 1.332 1.319 1. 328 1. 325 1.325 1.334 1.343 1.350 1. 353 1. 356 1.359 1. 364 (33) (8) () $1. 242 1. 263 1. 325 1. 322 1.320 1.337 1. 322 1. 324 1.330 1.329 1. 346 1.361 1.371 1. 369 1.371 1.363 1. 355 (3) (3) (3) (3) $1. 848 1.935 1.930 1.924 1.922 1. 932 1.938 1.944 1. 947 1.964 1.976 1. 988 1.995 1.986 2. 000 (3) (83) (3) () (3) $1. 826 1.935 1. 928 1.918 1.930 1. 936 1.932 1.952 1. 953 1.982 2. 002 2. 018 2.019 2.008 2.006 (3) (3) (3) (3) $1. 009 1.088 1. 137 1. 141 1. 147 1. 148 1. 146 1. 150 1. 140 1. 138 1. 126 1. 153 1. 145 1. 148 1. 153 1. 160 (3) 2 Current dollars divided by consumers' price index on base 1949=100. See note 3 to table on page 25. * Preliminary estimates. (3) (3) (8) $1. 070 1. 075 1. 137 1. 140 1. 144 1. 153 1. 148 1. 147 1. 145 1. 141 1. 136 1. 168 1. 162 1. 162 1. 166 1. 163 (3) USTIN AVERAGE WEEKLY EAF fGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Weekly earnings in manufacturing industries <Continue»d to rise for the seventh consecutive month, reaching a record figure of $58.89 in June. Fhe gain of almost $1.50 in durable and of about $1.00 in nondurable manufacturim3 was d ue primarily to increased hours. OOL LARS PER WEEK 65 DOL LARS 60 DURABLE MANUFACTURING 60 1949 DOLLARS'* 55 -^cr NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING *^V /"V^ ****/ 55 «-*?' y!949 DOLLARS* 45 = r\s^ w - - - ^^-S/^-- CURRENT DOLLARS 40 ,,,,l 1 ' ' ' ' Li 1 1 i i 1 1 I i 1 I l 1 1I 1 -1948 1947 1949 0 ~ 1 1 ! ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1947 1950 1 11 1I I ! 11 1 1 1948 1949 1 i 1 11I l l 1I 1 1950 50 80 RETAIL TRADE BUILDING CONSTRUCTION y, 1949 DOLLARS* 75 70 - DOLLARS 50 0 *S^ 2V >^>-«. 50 JRRENT 45 PER WEEK 45 / 1949 DOLLARS* y-^' 65 r^Y 40 V Jr^***^ ^.^j^^^ /+*' /"S\^.^^-^ ^"* DOLLARS 35 ^•CURRENT D OLLARS 60 30 0 7,, . . 1 . . , , , 1947 SOURCE : DEPARTMENT , l l I i 1 1! l l l l 1948 1949 • , ., . i , , ..r 0 T,,,,!,,,,, 1950 1947 i i l l l 1 l 1 l i i 1948 ! ' 1 ' 1 I 1 1 LJ 1 1949 , ,,, = 1950 OF LABOR [Selected industries All manufacturing Period 1939 1943 1946 1947 1948 1949 monthly monthly monthly monthly monthly monthly 1950: January-February March April 44 _ .... May June * Building construction Retail trade $23. 86 43. 14 43, 82 49.97 54. 14 54. 92 $40. 58 57.75 51. 92 52.99 53.50 54. 92 $26. 50 49. 30 46.49 52.46 57. 11 58.03 $45. 07 66. 00 55. 08 55.63 56.43 58. 03 (33) () (3) $46. 96 50. 61 51. 41 (33) () (3) $49. 80 50.01 51. 41 (33) () (33) () $68. 85 70. 95 (33) () (33) () $68. 03 70.95 (33) () (3) $40. 66 43.85 45. 93 (33) () (3) $43. 12 43.33 45.93 54.08 54. 51 54.63 54. 70 55.72 55. 26 54.43 56.04 54.03 54. 35 54.85 54. 81 55.55 55.48 54. 59 56.55 57.21 57. 82 57. 31' 57.89 58. 69 58. 17 56. 82 59. 19 57. 15 57.65 57.54 58. 01 58.51 58.40 56. 99 59.73 50. 41 50. 97 51.55 51. 31 52.59 52.47 52. 07 53.69 50.36 50.82 51.76 51.41 52.43 52.68 52. 23 53. 17 71.81 71.44 71.28 71. 95 70.69 71.80 70. 21 70.26 71.74 71.23 71.57 72. 09 70.48 72.09 70. 42 70.90 45.98 46.45 46.95 46.87 46.58 46.06 45. 63 45.83 45.93 46. 31 47. 14 46.96 46.44 46.24 45.77 46. 25 56.29 56.37 56. 53 56.93 57.72 58. 89 57.03 57.23 57. 22 57.56 57.89 58.48 59.40 59.47 59.74 60.97 61.72 63. 14 60. 18 60.38 60.47 61. 65 61. 91 62.70 52.91 53.06 53.04 52.21 52.87 53.74 53. 61 53.87 53.68 52.79 53. 03 53.37 68. 76 67.00 68.83 70. 70 73.60 (3) 69. 67 68.02 69.67 71.49 73.82 46. 58 46.26 46.26 46.47 46.86 (3) 47. 19 46. 96 46.82 46.99 47.00 (3) ._ . i For production and related workers. > Not available. Source: Department of Labor. Nondurable goods manufacturing 1949 Current 1949 Current Current 1949 1949 Current Current 1949 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 dollars dollars 2 average . average.- _ average average average average 1949: May June July August September October November . December Durable goods manufacturing (3) a Current dollars divided by consumers' price index on the base 1949=100. See note 3 tOi.tabMon page 25. «Preliminary estimates. FARM INCOME Farm income advanced slightly in J u n e but was 10 percent below the le^e! of J u n e 1949. 3ILLIONS OF D O L L A R S BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MONTHLY AVERAGE 1949 DOLLARS* I 1940 41 42 43 44 45 .46 47 48 49 I I 50 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. paid by Farm income Prices farmers (incl. Farm income (millions of (millions of interest, taxes, current and wage rates) 1949 dollars) 3 2 dollars) 1 1949 = 100 724 1,478 49 1, 851 981 53 .. 2, 195 1, 339 61 2,416 1, 764 73 2, 136 2, 573 83 2, 632 2, 527 96 . 2,468 2, 567 104 2,290 2,290 100 Period 1939 monthly average1941 monthly average 1942 monthly average 1944 monthly average 1946 monthly average 1947 monthly average 1948 monthly average 1949 monthly average.1949: May' June . JulyAugust » September October November December 1950: January February March April 4 May June 4 1 .. . . ...... __ .. _. ... .. - . - .. . - - _ . . . -- - . - - 1, 946 2,053 2, 177 2,417 2, 608 3, 139 3, 050 2,326 101 101 100 100 99 98 98 98 1,927 2,033 2, 177 2,417 2, 634 3,203 3, 112 2,373 2,254 1, 614 1,707 1, 594 1, 809 1,851 100 99 100 100 102 102 2,254 1,630 1,707 1,594 1,774 1, 815 Includes cash farm income from marketings and Government payments. 2 Converted from the reported base, 1910-14=100, to the base 1949=100. 3 Farm income in current dollars divided by prices paid by farmers, interest, taxes, and wage rates8 1940=100, * Preliminary estimates. Source: Department of Agriculture. 28 CONSUMER CREDIT Consumer instalment credit continued to rise sharply in June, reflecting a strong demand for both automobiles and other consumer durables. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 25 25 1939 1943 I94CJ N 1949 END OF YEAR 1948 0 I960 1949 END OF MONTH SOURCE : BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Total consumer credit outstanding End of period 1939 - . 1943 _ 1946 1947 . „1948 1949 1949: May . June July. August September October November December.. 1950* January February _ _ March April May June 2 - ... . . _ _ . _ _ _ __._ Instalment credit Total Automobile sale credit Charge accounts Other consume!1 credit * 7,969 5,378 10, 191 13, 673 16, 319 18, 779 15, 843 16, 124 16, 198 16, 453 16, 803 17, 223 17, 815 18, 779 4,424 2,001 4,000 6,434 8, 600 10, 890 8,888 9, 123 9,335 9, 622 9,899 10, 166 10, 441 10, 890 1,267 175 544 1,151 1 ? 961 3,144 2,386 2,499 2,610 2,761 2,876 2,986 3,085 3,144 3,157 1,826 3,456 5,283 6,639 7,746 6,502 6,624 6,725 6,861 7,023 7,180 7, 356 7,746 1,544 1, 498 3,054 3, 612 3,854 3,909 3,235 3,274 3, 123 3,064 3, 123 3,197 3,454 3, 909 2,001 1,879 3,137 3,627 3,865 3,980 3,720 3,727 3,740 3,767 3,781 3,860 3,920 3,980 18, 344 18, 126 18, 302 18, 620 19, 077 19, 627 10, 836 10, 884 11, 077 11, 322 11,668 12, 063 3,179 3,256 3,355 3,470 3,600 3, 761 7,657 7,628 7,722 7,852 8,068 8,302 3, 506 3,233 3,211 3,241 3,290 3, 399 4,002 4,009 4,014 4,054 4, 128 4, 165 »Includes single-payment loans of commercial banks and pawnbrokers and service credit. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Other sale credit and loans 2 Preliminary estimates. 29 MONEY, BANKING, AND FEDERAL FINANCE BANK LOANS AND INVESTMENTS Commercial banks expanded their loans by nearly $1 billion in June. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ISO 150 1939 1943 1948 1949 J F M A END OF YEAR M J J A S O N J O END SOURCE : BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL J A S O N D OF A S 0 N D 1950 1949 1948 MONTH RESERVE SYSTEM '. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, all commercial banks] np_xei End of period 1929 1939 1945 1947 1948 1949 1949: May _ June July August -•-.... . September-. October. November December 1950: January... „ February March, April ._ _ M a y1 ... _ June ._ lotai loans and investments Bank loans 49. 5 40. 7 124 0 116.3 114.3 120.2 113.4 113. 8 114.7 117.9 118. 5 119.5 119.7 120.2 121.2 120.6 120.3 120.4 121.2 122. 1 36.0 17.2 26. 1 38. 1 42.5 43.0 40.9 41. 0 40.5 41.2 41.7 41. 8 42.7 43.0 42.9 43. 1 43.7 43.8 44. 1 45.0 - „ ___ * Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 30 Total 13. 5 23.4 97.9 78. 2 71.8 77.2 72.5 72.7 74.3 76.7 76.8 77.7 77.0 77.2 78.3 77.5 76.7 76.6 77. 1 77.2 Investments U.S. Government securities 4.8 16.3 90. 6 69.2 62.6 67.0 63.2 63. 2 64.4 66.7 66. 7 67.6 66.9 67.0 68.0 67.1 65. 8 65. 6 66. 1 66.0 Other securities 8. 7 7. 1 7.3 9.0 9.2 10.2 9.3 9. 5 9.8 10.0 10.2 10. 1 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.9 11.0 11.0 11.2 MONEY SUPPLY The money supply was slightly higher in June. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS 200 TOTAL DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY (EXCLUDING U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS) 1939 1943 1948 1949 END OF YEAR 1949 1948 END OF M O N T H SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OP THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [Billions of dollars] End of period 1939 1943 _ 1946 _ 1947- . 1948-._ _ . .. 1949. 1949: May .. . .. ... June • ...... . July _ August , „„. September October November December.. 1950: January February.... . March . April 3 May . ... June 3 _ _ Total privately-held money supply 63.3 112.4 164.0 170. 0 169. 1 169.8 165. 6 165. 6 166.3 166.9 166 3 167. 7 168. 1 169.8 169.7 168. 2 167. 1 168. 5 169. 5 169. 7 Currency outside banks 6. 4 18.8 26. 7 26. 5 26, 1 25.4 25. 0 25,3 24.9 25. 1 24 9 24. 9 25. 1 25.4 24. 5 24. 7 24.6 24. 6 24. 7 24. 6 Adjusted demand deposits * 29. 8 60, 8 83.3 87. 1 85. 5 85.8 82. 5 81,9 83. 1 83. 4 83 1 84. 3 85. 0 85. 8 86.4 84. 5 83. 3 84. 5 85. 3 85. 4 Time deposits * 27 1 32. 7 54.0 56 4 57. 5 58 6 58 2 58 5 58.4 58.4 58 4 58 4 58 0 58 6 58, 7 59 0 59 3 59 5 59 5 59 7 1 Includes demand deposits, other than interbank and TJ. S. Government, less cash items in process of collection. 23 Includes deposits in commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and Postal Savings System. Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—-Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. 31 FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In 2nd quarter of I960, cash payments to the public were $1.8 billion larger than receipts. Receipts were larger and payments less than in the corresponding quarter of 1949. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS •CASH RECEIPTS CASH PAYMENTS 2 ,047 3 4 I960 1949 1948 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS m "~~ U EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS 2 1947 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE; BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AND TREASURY DEPARTMENT. [ Millions of dollars] Federal cash receipts from the public Calendar years Calendar year total: 1946 1947 1948 1949 _ .._ 1949: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 41, 372 38, 584 36, 954 42, 634 + 54 + 5,695 + 7,967 -1,288 10, 220 9,869 10, 257 8,536 + 1,331 15, 037 10, 238 10, 085 9,560 8,637 9,033 8,798 10, 486 + 6,400 + 1, 205 + 1,287 -925 ...... .. 13, 122 8,814 10, 143 9,267 9,964 11, 389 10, 528 10, 753 + 3, 158 —2, 575 -385 -1,486 1950: First quarter. 1 Second quarter _.. _ 12,235 9, 308 10, 760 11, 105 + 1,475 -1,802 _„ _ _.„ __ . __ _ _ i Preliminary estimates based on incomplete data. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 32 Excess of receipts (+) or payments (—-) 41, 426 44, 279 44, 920 41S 346 _ _ _ _ „ _ Quarterly total, not adjusted for seasonal: 1947: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1948: First quarter Second quarter .. Third quarter Fourth quarter Federal cash payments to the public NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. For sale by the Superintendent o£ Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Price 15 cents per copy; $1.75 per year; $2.25 foreign -37