Full text of Economic Indicators : April 1956
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84th Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators APRIL 1956 Prepared for the Joint Committee on the Economic Report by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 19S6 JOINT COMMITTEE ON THE ECONOMIC REPORT (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Gong.) PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) JOSEPH G. O'MAHONEY (Wyoming) RALPH E. FLANDERS (Vermont) ARTHUR V. WATKINS (Utah) BARRY GOLDWATER (Arizona) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) WILBUR D. MILLS (Arkansas) AUGUSTINE B. KELLEY (Pennsylvania) JESSE P. WOLCOTT (Michigan) HENRY O. TALLE (Iowa) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) GROVER W. ENSLEY, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ARTHUR F. BURNS, Chairman RAYMOND J. SAULNIER TOSEPH S. DAVIS [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S. I. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled^ That the Joint Committee on the Economic Report be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Committee on the Economic Report; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce 11 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Per Capita Disposable Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment. . . . Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment rage 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours—Selected Industries Average Hourly Earnings—Selected Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Merchandise Exports and Imports 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Currency and Deposits Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public 31 32 111, A 70-page Historical and Descriptive Supplement to Economic Indicators, revised November 1955, which describes each series and gives data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available for 40 cents a copy from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, D. C. Subscribers who wish to receive the monthly Economic Indicators at an earlier date after release may wish to take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. Information on charges for this service may be obtained from: Mr. H. Rutland, Chief of Mailing Lists, Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Preliminary estimates of total income and expenditures show a moderate rise in over-all economic activity between the last quarter of 1955 and the first quarter of 1956. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES CONSUMERS 300 250 250 DISPOSABLE INCOME^EXPENDITURES 200 200 Jpp ISO 150 nl i I I I I I I I I BUSINESS 100 100 GOVERNMENT-FEDERAL, STATE, AND LOCAL too EXPENDITURES FOR GOODS AND SERVICES too EXCESS OF EXPENDITURES RECEIPTS" (LESS TRANSFER PAYMENTS) 50 50 l 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 i i 1955 I 1 I 1956 J'NET FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT. * INCLUDES CORPORATE UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT, AND CAPITAL CONSUMPTION ALLOWANCES. ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES. NOTE: THE SUM OF THE THREE INCOME AND RECEIPT ITEMS SHOWN IN THIS CHART IS NOT EQUAL TO THE SUM OF THE EXPENDITURES, OR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT, BECAUSE OF STATISTICAL DISCREPANCIES. FOR EXPLANATION AND USE OF THIS ARRANGEMENT, SEE SENATE REPORT NO. I£95, JOINT ECONOMIC REPORT, PR 92-93,99-105, AND THE ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, JANUARY 1953, APPENDIX A. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. '• COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC:ADVISERS GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE According to preliminary estimates, gross national product rose $1.7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the fourth quarter of 1955 and the first quarter of 1956. Consumption expenditures increased $2.2 billion and government purchases rose $0.3 billion, while gross private domestic investment declined $0.8 billion. BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 400 400 . ,-—-1 300 - ~^~ ACROSS NATIONS iL PRODUCT 30O ***\ PERSONAL. CONSUMPTION EXPI:NDITURES .- • ^^ ^ — 200 4? 1 A 200 *- * • - GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AN 3 SERVICES < 100 ^. — — 100 * —* —"" "" .— - ^=^- ,-, ! , -— - GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT' 0 0 •NETFOREIGNI MVESTMENT \ \ 1 t 1950 1 1 1951 1 ! 1 1 | 1953 1952 | . i | ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). 1939 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951,. 1952 1953 1954.. 1955 ;, .... _ 1954: Third quarter.. ...* Fourth quarter.... 1955: First quarter . Second quarter Third quarter ... Fourth quarter . 1956: First quarter 3J I I I U i I 1955. t i 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Personal Gross Total conNet private foreign gross sump- domestic national tion investproduct expend- investment ment itures Period | 1954 91.1 232.2 257.3 257.3 285.1 32&2 345.2 364.5 360.5 387. 2 67.6 165.0 177.6 180. 6 1940 208.3 218.3 230. 6 236.5 252. 3 358.8 367.1 375.3 3848 392.0 397.3 399.0 237.9 241.0 245.8 250.5 255.7 257.2 259.4 Government purchases of goods and services Federal State .and Total* Total * National Other local security* 5.2 0.9 13.3 9.3 15.8 8.9 28.6 29.7 21.0 41.2 2.0 36.6 25. 4 .5 43.6 32.5 -2.2 22. 1 42.0 51.2 41.0 .2 62.8 56.9 -.2 543 77.5 49.6 -2.0 845 59.5 51.4 49.2 —.3 77.0 47.2 45.8 -.4 75.9 59.3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 47.7 -.7 75.8 45.9 45.7 .9 745 50.7 46.4 -.4 54 1 75.8 7 45.2 60. 1 749 .0 45.5 75. 8 60.5 77.2 46.3 63.2 -.3 45.8 -.3 62.4 77.5 8.2 12.8 15.6 37.3 48. 8 51.4 43.2 40.8 3.9 3.8 5.6 6.6 3.9 42 5.8 8.5 6.3 5.4 19.9 21.8 23.2 25.0 27. 8 30. 1 42. 1 40.5 41.2 40.4 40.6 41.0 40.9 6.1 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.2 28.1 28.7 29.4 29.7 30.2 31.0 31.7 1.3 13.3 16.0 19. 3 ias ia2 * Less Government sales. > Includes expenditures tor military services, international security and foreign relations (except foreign loans), development and control of atomic energy, promotion of the merchant marine, promotion of defense production and economic stabilization, and civil defense. For further details, see Economic Report of the President, January 1955 (p. 137), and National Income, 1954 Edition (p. 148). These expenditures are not comparable with the "major national security" category in The 3 Budget of the U. S. Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO. 1957, and shown on p. 31 of .Economic Indicator*. Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. .~Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). NATIONAL INCOME According to preliminary estimates, compensation of employees rose about $2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year. Business and professional income, rents, and interest rose slightly, while farm proprietors1 income declined. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4001 "^ """" BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 300 3PO COMPENSATION .OF EMPLOYEES' EMPLOYEES-N. 200 200 100 PROPRIETORS' AND > RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND—^. INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 1950 1951 -1—1—1- NET INTEREST 1953 1952 I 1954 I 1955 -'PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED), J I 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total national income Period 1939 1947 1948 .-.— 1949.. 1950 . 1951.. 1952, 1953 1954 1955, Compensation of em- 1 ployees . .. 72.8 197.2 221.6 216. 2 240.0 277.0 289. 5 303. 6 299.7 322.3 48.1 128.8 140.9 140.9 154.3 180. 4 195.3 209.2 207.9 221.3 1954: Third quarter.. ..-Fourth quarter ..... 1955 : First quarter . . Second quarter _ _ _ _ _ Third quarter .. Fourth quarter 1956: First quarter 2...... 29a7 303.2 311.4 320.7 325. 7 2 330.6 (3) 207. 8 209.8 213.1 219.5 224.3 228. 0 230. 1 . Proprietors' income * Includes employer contributions for social Insurance. (See also p. 4.) * Not available. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Business and professional Farm Rental income of persons Net interest 2.? 4.6 7.3 3.8 19. 9 6.5 7.2 21.6 4.5 5.2 21.4 7.9 5.9 22.9 as 6.8 9. 1 24.8 9.9 25.7 7.4 8.8 10.3 25.9 9.5 10.5 25.9 10.5 10.7 27. 3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 9.5 11.7 10. 6 26. 0 9.7 10.7 11.2 26.3 9.9 10.7 11.5 26.6 10.3 10.7 27.1 11.0 10.7 10. 7 10.6 27.6 11.2 10.8 10.7 28.0 11.6 10.4 10.8 28. 1 43 14.5 16.7 12.7 13.3 16.0 14.3 12. 3 12.0 11.0 3 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 6.4 29.5 32.8 2ai 26.2 35. 1 - 40.0 41.2 39.9 36.9 35.9 37.2 38.3 33.8 34.0 41.4 43.4 -0.7 -5. 9 -2. 2 1. 9 4. 9 -1.3 1.0 —LI -.2 -2. 0 33.5 36.0 40.9 43.0 44.5 245.0 (3) -.5 -.5 -1.3 -.8 -2.6 -3.1 -2.5 5.7 23.6 30.6 33.1 35.5 39.6 42.2 41.9 2 41.9 (3) Preliminary estimates by Council ol Economic Advisers. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose about $% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3501 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS i—; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES ^ 35Q 300 300 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME* 250 250 LABOR INCOM Ex. 200 ZOO 150 ISO FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME 50 [TRANSFER PAYMENTS 50 .BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME 'DIVIDENDS AND PERSONAL INTEREST 1 M 1 1 - 1 1 11 1 I 1950 1 1 i II 1951 1 1952 1 1 LI 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1953 • SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total personal income Period 1939 1948 1949 1950.. 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 * „__„ 1955: February March April May . June .. July.. . - .. August September.. October November December... 1956: January February 72.9 208.7 206.8 227.1 255. 3 271. 1 286.2 287.6 303.2 293.2 295. 7 298. 9 301.4 301.6 305.3 305.3 307.9 308.7 311.5 314.3 312. 7 313. 1 ' ' ' i1955 ' 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS millions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors1 income Less: Per(wage and Rental con- NonagriPersonal Transfer sonal salary disDivicultural income tributions Business interest paybursements of dends income ments for social personal9 Farm and proand other insurIncome fessional persons labor income)1 ance 46.6 43 0.6 67.1 2.7 3.8 3,0 5.8 7.3 18&6 16.7 2.2 137.9 9.0 7.2 21.6 7.2 11.3 137.4 2.2 12.7 12.4 21.4 190. 8 7.9 9.8 7.5 2.9 8.5 9.2 210. 5 22.9 10.6 150.3 13.3 * 15. 1 235.7 175.6 12.6 16.0 9.1 3.4 9. 1 11.6 248 190.5 143 253.1 9.9 3. 8 25.7 12.3 13.2 9.0 270.2 2046 12.3 140 3.9 13.8 25.9 10.3 9.3 271.9 12.0 45 16.2 202.8 10.0 25.9 10.5 147 11.0 11.2 5,2 17.2 215.5 10.7 15.6 288. 4 27.3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 10.2 5.0 207. 1 11.7 17.0 10.7 277.7 15.1 26.4 209.4 280. 9 5. 1 It 1 15.2 17.4 10.7 26.7 10.4 5.1 283. 7 10.6 10.6 11.4 15.3 26.9 211.5 17.6 5.2 286.6 15.4 17.5 10.9 10.7 10.7 27.2 2142 287. 2 5.2 27.3 10.7 10.8 2149 17.1 15.5 10.5 2§1.7 5.3 10.8 15.6 219.4 10.7 16.9 9.8 27.5 290.8 218.2 5.3 15.7 16.9 10.7 10.6 11.0 27.5 10.6 5.3 293. 0 11.2 15.8 16.9 27.8 219.5 11.3 2944 10.7 11.5 5.3 10.7 28.0 16.0 220. 4 16.9 296.6 16. 1 10.7 5.3 11. 1 222.4 11.5 17.1 27.9 299.9 223.0 5.4 16.2 10.6 10.6 17.4 13.7 28. 1 5.7 298.6 28. 1 10.8 11.6 16.5 17.7 10.3 223. 4 5.7 16.7 298. 8 10. 8 17.8 10.6 223.2 28. 1 11.6 * Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance. * Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividend"; paid by agricultural corporations, NOT*.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 1954 «Includes $2." billion National Service Life Insurance dividend, most of which was paid in the first half of the year Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Although personal income rose by about $2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter, disposable income increased only $1 billion, according to preliminary estimates. The difference was due mainly to year-end personal tax payments on 1955 income. Consumption expenditures increased more than $2 billion and the personal saving rate declined. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 300 250 200 £00 I 50 100 • .*>*• 50 I960 1956 -^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). Equals: Less: DisposPersonal Personal able income taxes1 personal income Period 1939 1947 1948 1949. 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ 72.9 190.5 208. 7 206.8 227. 1 255.3 271. 1 286.2 287.6 303.2 ... . 1954: Third quarter . Fourth quarter 1955: First quarter. Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1956: First quarter 2 _ _ _ .. .. 287.3 290.8 293.6 300.5 306. 1 311.5 313. 6 2. 4 21.5 21. 1 18.7 20.9 29.3 34.4 35.8 32.8 33.9 Billions 32. 8 33. 1 32.6 33.4 34. 4 35.4 ; 36.5 i Includes such items as fines, penalties, and donations. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to total because of rounding. 75789—56 2 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal consumption expenditures Total Saving Equals: as percent of disPersonal posable saving NonDurable durable income Services goods goods Billions of dollars 25.8 35. 1 6.7 70.4 67.6 93. 1 20.6 51: 3 169. 0 165. 0 22.2 98. 7 56.7 187.6 177.6 60. 1 23.6 96.9 188.2 180. 6 65. 0 100. 4 28.6 194 0 206. 1 111. 1 70.1 27.1 226. 1 208. 3 116.0 26.6 75.7 218.3 236.7 81.8 29.8 118. 9 250. 4 230.6 86.4 120.9 29.3 236. 5 254.8 125.9 35.3 91.2 269.4 252. 3 of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rates 29.4 87.0 121.5 254.5 237. 9 122.5 30.4 88. 1 257. 8 241.0 122. 4 89.0 34.4 245. 8 261.0 90.2 125.3 35. 1 267. 1 250. 5 91.8 36.9 127. 0 271. 7 255. 7 93. 6 128.8 34.8 276.0 257. 2 34. 1 130. 0 95. 3 277. 1 259. 4 2.9 4.0 10.0 7.6 12.1 17.7 18.4 19.8 18.3 17. 1 4.1 2.4 5.3 4.0 5.9 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.2 6.3 16.6 16.8 15.3 16.6 16. 0 18.8 17. 7 6.5 6.5 5.9 6.2 f>. 1) (1 8 'Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). a i PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE INCOME Per capita disposable income (seasonally adjusted) was practically unchanged between the fourth quarter of 1955 and the first quarter of 1956, accordins to preliminary estimates. DOLLARS 2,000 r~ DOLLARS —I 2,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,500 1,500 CURRENT PRICES ifpod I,OOO 1950 1952 1951 1953 1954 Current prices ...... 1955 price! * 70.4 169. 0 187. 6 188. 2 206. 1 226. 1 236. 7 250. 4 254. 8 269. 4 .... ..- _. . COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total disposable personal Per capica disposable personal income (dollars)1 income (billions of dollars)1 Period 939. 947. 948 949 950... 951 952 953 954 955 1956 1955 •^SEE FOOTNOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW, SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE , DEPARTMENT OF LABOR , AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. .. 135. 6 202.6 208.9 211.7 229.5 233. 3 238.8 250.7 254. 0 269. 4 Current prices 538 1, 173 1,279 1, 261 1, 359 1,465 1,508 1, 568 1, 569 1,630 1955 prices8 Population (thousands) * 1,037 1, 406 1,424 1, 418 1,513 1, 512 1,522 1, 570 1,564 1,630 131, 028 144, 126 146, 631 149,188 151,683 154, 360 157, 028 159, 643 162, 409 165, 248 1, 557 1,576 1,592 1,623 1,637 1,654 1,657 162, 806 163, 582 164, 262 164, 911 165, 628 166, 396 167, 074 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 954: TMrd quarter . .. Fourth quarter 955: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter . Fourth quarter. . . 956 : First quarter 4 . • __ ... .. 2545 257.8 261. 0 267.1 271.7 276. 0 277. 1 253.5 257.8 261.5 267.6 271. 2 275.2 276. 8 1, 563 1,576 1, 589 1,620 1,640 1,659 1,659 i Income less taxes. « Dollar estimates In current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1955 base. «Includes armed forces overseas. Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. * Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME Gross and ncf farm income, seasonally adjusted, declined between the fourth quarter of 1955 and the first quarter of 1956, according to preliminary estimates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 40 30 20 NET FARM INCOME INCL. ADJUSTMENT FOR INVENTORY CHANGE)^ 'X-.—-.*.,. ""•***»«--—«, 1950 1952 1951 1953 1954 1955 -^INCOME OF FARM OPERATORS FROM FARMING. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Realized gross farm income J Period 1939 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 — 10.6 34.0 346 31.6 32.1 37.1 36.9 35.2 340 33.2 1954: Third quarter. Fourth quarter 1955: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter. ... 33.4 33.3 33.9 33,5 32.4 32.8 1956: First quarter8 32.6 .... .. _ .... - . ---- 10 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Farm operators' income Net income per farm (inNet income a cluding adjustment for Including Excluding Farm proinventory change) adjustment adjustment duction 1955 for invenfor invenCurrent expenses prices 8 prices tory change 8 tory change4 Dollars Billions of dollars 1,584 697 6.2 4.4 45 3, 032 2,632 17.2 16.8 15.5 3,318 3,049 15. 9 18.6 17.7 2, 526 17.9 2,248 12.9 13.7 2,695 12. 9 19.2 13.7 2,428 2,973 16. 1 2,919 22.3 14 8 2, 798 22.9 14 9 2,778 141 2,472 13.4 2,445 12. 8 21.8 2,403 22.2 12.3 2,413 11.8 10.8 2, 192 2, 192 22.4 11.0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2, 327 12.0 2,353 22.0 11. 4 2, 342 22.0 11.3 11.9 2,333 2,330 11.2 2,320 22.7 11.6 2,230 22.5 2,240 11.2 11.0 2,060 2,060 10.2 10.3 22.2 2,160 22. 1 10.7 2, 160 10. 8 22.2 10.4 10. 4 2, 120 2, 120 Number of farms (millions)8 6.4 5.9 5.8 5,7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 * 5. 0 7 7 7 7 7 5. 1 5. 1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5. 0 4. 9 i Includes cash receipts from farm marketings, value of farm products consumed directly in farm households, gross rental value of farm dwellings, and Government payments to farmers. > Excludes (a) farm wages paid to workers living on farms and (6) any income to farm people from nonfarm sources. These items in 1954 were as follows: (a) 2.0 billion dollars and (6) 6.7 billion dollars. ' Realized gross income less farm production expenses. * Differs from farm proprietors' income on pages 3 and 4 because of revisions by the Department of Agriculture not yet incorporated into the national income accounts of the Department of Commerce. • Dollar estimates in current prices divided by index of prices paid by farmers for items used in family living, on a 1955 base. 8 • For the quarterly data, the number of farms is held constant within a given year. Preliminary estimates. * Estimates by Council of Economic Advisers, Source: Department of Agriculture (except as noted). CORPORATE PROFITS According to preliminary estimates, corporate profits rose slightly in tke fourth quarter of 1955. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 1956 1953 1950 I'NO ALLOWANCE FOR INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS fBillionsof dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1939 1947. 1948.... 1949.. 1950 1951 1952 1953.: 1954. 1955.. . *. . . ..... 6.4 29 5 32.8 26.2 40.0 41.2 35.9 3&3 34.0 43.4 ... 33.5 36.0 _. _. 1954: Third quarter Fourth quarter. .... 1955: First quarter.... . Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter .. ._ 40.9 43.0 44.5 M5. 0 Corporate tax liability Total Dividend payments 1.4 5.0 3.8 18.2 6.5 11.3 7.2 12. 5 20.3 10.4 7. 5 15.8 22. 1 9.2 17.8 18.7 9. 1 22.5 9.0 16.1 19.8 17.0 9.3 21.3 17.0 10.0 17.1 11.2 21.6 21.8 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 10.0 16.7 16.8 10.6 18.1 17.9 20.5 21.6 22.3 1 22. 6 * Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. NOTE.—See p. 3 for profits before taxes and after inventory valuation adjustment. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). 8 Corporate profits after taxes 20. 4 21.4 22.2 *22. 4 10.2 10.7 11.0 12.2 Undistributed profit* 1.2 11.7 13.0 8.3 12.9 9.6 7.1 7.7 7.0 10.4 6.7 7.3 10.2 10.7 11.2 1 10. 2 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment declined $0.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of this year, according to preliminary estimates. A rise of about $1% billion in business fixed investment was more than offset by reductions in residential construction and the rate of inventory accumulation. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 60 50 NEW CONSTRUCTION 30 20 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT \ V CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES V V -10 1950 1951 1953 1952 1955 1954 •^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1939 1947 1948 1949 1950. 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955..- Total gross private domestic investment 9.3 29.7 41.2 32.5 51.2 56.9 49.6 •51.4 47.2 59.3 Change in business inventories * Fixed investment New construction Total 8.9 30.7 37.0 35.3 43.9 46.5 46.8 50.2 50.1 56. 2 Total 4.8 14.0 17.9 17.5 22.7 23. 3 23. 7 25.8 27.8 32.4 Residential nonfarm Commercial and industrial l All other 2 Producers' durable equipment 2. 7 6.3 8.6 8. 3 12.6 11. 0 11. 1 11.9 13. 5 16.6 1.2 4.9 5.7 5.3 5.7 7.2 7.5 8.4 8.6 9.9 0.8 2.8 3.6 3.9 4.5 5. 1 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.9 4.2 16.7 19. 1 17.8 21. 1 23.2 23. 1 24.4 22.3 23.8 0.4 -1.0 4. 2 2. 7 7.4 10.4 2.8 1.2 -2.9 3.2 0.3 1.3 3.0 1. 9 6.4 9.0 2. 1 1. 9 -3.2 3.0 22.2 21.9 21.5 23.2 24. 9 25.5 26.8 -4.9 -.6 1.5 4.3 2.4 5.3 4.0 -5.4 -1.0 1.5 4.2 2.0 5. 1 4.0 Total Nonfarm Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1954: Third quarter.... Fourth quarter 1955: First quarter. Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1956: First quarter 3 45.9 50.7 54. 1 60 1 60.5 63.2 62.4 50.7 51.3 52.7 55.8 58. 1 57.8 58.4 28.5 29.4 31.2 32.6 33.2 32.3 31.6 i Includes public utility. 'Includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 14.2 15.0 16. 1 16.9 17.2 16.2 15. 2 8.6 8.7 9.3 9.8 10. 2 10.3 10.4 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.9 3 Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to a survey, made between late January and early March, business expenditures on plant and equipment are expected to continue to rise and reach $35.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. Outlays for the full year 1956 are expected to total almost $35 billion, 22 percent above 1955. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ~~ 40 n 40 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 30 30 20 20 COMMERCIAL AND OTHER PUBLIC UTILITIES , TRANSPORTATION • I960 1951 1952 1954 1953 1956 1955 J/ SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES; SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars] Manufacturing Total1 Period 1939 1947 1948 1949.. 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 » ...- Total 5.51 20.61 22.06 19.28 20.60 25.64 26.49 28.32 26.83 28. 70 34.89 1.94 8.70 9.13 7.15 7.49 10.85 11. 63 11.91 11.04 11.44 15.04 1 955 : Third quarter Fourth quarter 29. 65 31.45 11.97 12.48 1 956 : First quarter 3 3 Second quarter _..._ 33.21 35.32 13. 66 15.40 — ... _ _. Transportation Mining Durable NonduraRailroads Other goods ble goods 0.36 0.76 0.28 1.19 0.33 3.41 5.30 1.30 .69 .89 1.32 3.48 5.65 1.28 .88 1.35 2.59 456 .89 .79 3.14 1.21 4.36 .71 1. 11 5.17 5.68 .93 1.47 1.49 6.02 5. 61 1.50 .98 1.40 5. 65 6.26 1.56 .99 1.31 5.09 .98 .85 5.95 1. 51 5.44 .92 6.00 1.60 .96 1. 14 1.31 7.68 1.78 7.35 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 5.77 6.20 0. 99 0.96 1.60 6.00 1.08 6.48 1. 17 1.70 6.81 8.05 6. 85 7.35 1. 14 1.24 1. 18 1.30 1.71 1.67 Public utilities Commercial and other * 3.66 a 89 4.55 4.22 431 499 2.08 7.49 6.90 5.98 6.78 7.24 7.09 8.00 8. 23 9.47 10. 64 443 448 9.70 10.54 484 5.01 10.68 10.70 0.52 1.54 2.54 a 12 a 3i • Kxeludes agriculture. > Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. i Estimates bused on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business from late January to early March 1956. Norn—These figures do not agree with the totals included In the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the ver agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense, v!l will not necessarily acid to totals because of rounding. H«curifles and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE In line with seasonal expectations, total employment (inclusive of agriculture) rose by about % million between February and March. Unemployment, which usually declines at this time of year, did not change appreciably. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS 75 75 UNEMPLOYMENT J~Z_ I I I I I ! I I i I I I I I I I I I I I I II 1956 1950 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Unemployment a Insured unemployment 4 Employment J 2 labor Civilian Tempoforce (in- labor %of Thousands % of covered rary 3 Period Agricul- Nonagri- layoffs civilian of persons employment cluding Total force Number tural labor armed cultural (all pro(State proforces) grams) grams) force Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over 5 1939 9,610 36, 140 5. 1 9,480 17.2 55, 600 55, 230 45, 750 1949 _ 8,026 50, 684 63, 721 62, 105 58, 710 6. 2 5.5 2, 470 185 3,395 7,507 52, 450 92 3, 142 1, 599 1950 64, 749 63, 099 59, 957 5.0 4.6 142 1, 673 6,805 54, 488 66, 560 62,966 61, 293 1, 064 2.7 2.9 1952 1953 „ 6,562 167 1,602 55, 651 67, 362 63, 815 62, 213 1,058 2.5 2.8 1954 221 3, 230 6,504 54, 734 67, 818 64,468 61, 238 2,039 5.0 5.2 1,388 6,730 56, 464 133 2,654 68, 896 65, 847 63, 193 4.0 3.5 1955 5,692 54, 785 1,875 75 3,176 66, 840 63, 654 60, 477 5.0 4.7 1955: March6,215 55, 470 4.6 67,784 64, 647 61, 685 1,651 108 2, 962 4. 1 April.... 6,963 55, 740 133 2,489 1, 392 68, 256 65, 192 62^703 3.6 3.8 May.-7,681 1,226 56, 335 107 2, 679 69, 692 66, 696 64, 016 3. 2 40 June... 1, 202 7,704 57, 291 3.1 157 2,471 3.7 70, 429 67, 465 64, 994 July . 7,536 1,068 57, 952 173 2,237 70, 695 67, 726 65, 488 2.7 3.3 August ..... 951 September — 69, 853 66, 882 64, 733 7,875 56, 858 116 2, 149 2.4 3. 2 October 57, 256 864 7,905 117 2,131 3.2 70, 250 67, 292 65,161 2.2 956 3.6 6,920 57, 887 86 2, 398 70, 164 67, 206 64, 807 2.4 November 5,884 1, 238 124 2, 427 3.6 58, 281 December — 69, 538 66, 592 64, 165 3.2 57, 256 5,635 1,606 4.4 145 2,885 68, 691 65, 775 62, 891 4. 1 1956: January 5, 469 57, 107 134 2, 914 1, 651 4.4 68, 396 65, 490 62, 576 4.2 February 6 5,678 57, 400 1, 578 153 2,834 «4. 1 4.3 March. 68, 806 65, 913 63, 078 i Includes part-time workers and those with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacations, illness, bad weather, temporary layoff, and industrial disputes; eieludes armed forces. ^ See footnote 3. * Temporary layoffs are shown separately so as to afford a basis for further analysis of employment and unemployment. * Weekly average, 8 Data for 1949-53 (1953 revised series) based on 68area sample; beginning 1954, on 230-area sample. Starting July 1955, data are for week containing 12th of month; previously, for week containing 8th of month. * Preliminary estimate. Sources: Department of Commerce (labor force) and Department of Labor (insured unemployment). 11 EMPLOYMENT Employment in nonagricultural establishments increased somewhat less than seasonally between February and March. As is usual at this time of year, employment in manufacturing did not change appreciably. MtU-ICINS OF WAGE AND «JALARY WORKERS 10.5 DURABLE 10.0 MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING . 1906 ~~ MILL IONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 8.5 . ^ - , 1955 ^<***** 9.5 9.0 75 ---^'^^^^^ ^ x_^-- S.5 8.0 80 j 1 1 1 A F ' M 1 M J 1 1 J I A I 1 6.0 ^ D S O N /^Z jr • ^— ^ 1 J 1 F 1 .M 1 A I 1 i M J J 1 A 1 S 1 O 1 D N 12.0 3.5; CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 3.0 / 11.5 I95674 V // =ai: ^— t.5 ' ^ S 1956 11.0 '955-, ^**— ~ ^'955 2.0 10.5 ISH «*^. -*»*^X° ^er^ 1.5 ^— — 1954*^ 6.5 . - I . I |965 ^ f -^ J 1 1 F 1 M 1 1 A M 1 J J I - I A 1 S 1 O 1 N 10.0 ^ D J 1 1 F 1 M -^ S^\S .MJ^ *****^ ~° |Q54 1 A . 1 M 1 J 1 U SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Period L939 1949 1950.. 1952 1953 954 955 955: February.. March April. _.._ May ' June July . August SeptemberOctober... November.. December. 956: January 2 February . March2 Total adjusted for seasonal variation 48, 470 48,760 48, 882 49, 242 49,514 43,638 49, 718 49,885 49,950 50,135 50, 228 50, 287 50, 280 50,211 30,311 43, 315 44, 738 48, 303 49, 681 48, 285 49, 399 47, 753 48, 212 48, 643 48, 918 49, 508 49, 420 49, 858 50, 322 50, 471 50, 629 51,311 49, 615 49, 542 49, 783 I A I S 1 O 1 N D COUNCIL OF ICONOMIC ADVISERS of waee and Manufacturing Total I Total 10, 078 14, 178 14, 967 16, 334 17, 238 • 15, 989 16, 552 16, 060 16, 201 16, 255 16, 334 16, 577 16,475 16, 807 16, 915 16, 999 17, 049 17, 026 16, 842 16, 821 16,807 worker* ' Uuverument Contract Wholesale and retail (Federal, Durable Nondu- Mining construcState, trade tion goods rable goods local) Not adjusted for seasonal variation 4,683 7,473 8,085 9, 340 10, 105 9, 120 9,538 9, 220 9,323 9,418 9,501 9,624 9,511 9,578 9,645 9, 762 9,867 9,889 9, 814 9,775 9,761 5,394 6,705 6,882 6,994 7, 133 6,870 7,014 6,840 6,878 6,837 6, 833 6,953 6,964 7,229 7,270 7,237 7, 182 7,137 7,028 7,046 7,046 845 918 889 885 852 770 748 737 739 739 742 760 749 754 758 751 754 754 747 748 749 1, 150 2, 165 2,333 2,634 2,622 2, 527 2,507 2, 169 2, 255 2,399 2,526 2, 615 2,701 2,746 2,748 2,685 2,580 2,422 2,267 2,252 2, 316 6,612 9, 513 9,645 10,281 10, 527 10, 498 10, 729 10,309 10,408 10, 549 10, 534 10, 643 10, 633 10, 638 10, 824 10, 909 11, 126 11, 753 10, 833 10, 741 10, 804 3, 995 5, 856 6, 026 6,609 6, 645 6,751 6,921 6, 873 6,922 6, 927 6, 881 6,851 6, 696 6,717 6,911 7,054 7,074 7, 315 7, 020 7,061 7, 110 Other 7.632 10, 686 10, 878 11,563 11,797 11,751 11,942 11,605 11,687 11, 774 11,901 12, 062 12, 166 12, 196 12, 166 12, 073 12,046 12, 041 11, 906 11, 919 11, 997 i Includes aU full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period iding nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this ble not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force reported by the Department of Commerce (p. 11) which include proletors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are sedion an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. i Preliminary estimates. O NOTS.—Beginning with 1953. data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels. " Source; Department of Labor. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek of factory production workers declined from 40.5 hours in February to 40.3 hours in March. It usually increases somewhat at this time of year. The decline occurred in both the durable and nondurable goods industry groups. HOURS PER WEEK HOURS PER WEEK DURABLE MANUFACTURING 1953 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 1954 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION 3 0 Lii i i i I I i i i i i i t i I I i i ii 1954 1955 1956 1955 1956 RETAIL TRADE I I I 11I I I I I 1955 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Hours per week, for production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Manufacturing I Period 1939 . 1947 1948 1949 1950 _ 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955. . .. - . 1955: February _ March ... April _ . ... May June July August _ September October „- - -No vember~ December 1956: January 2 February _ . __ March 2 Total _._ _ _ -_. _ . . _._ - 37. 7 40.4 40. 1 39. 2 40. 5 40. 7 40. 7 40. 5 39. 7 40.7 40.4 40.6 40. 3 40. 8 40. 7 40. 4 40. 6 40. 9 41. 1 41. 2 41. 3 40. 7 40. 5 40. 3 Durable goods 38. 0 40.6 40. 5 39. 5 41. 2 41. 6 41. 5 41.3 40. 2 41.4 41. 1 41.4 41. 2 41. 6 41. 2 40. 9 41. 1 41. 4 41. 7 41. 8 42. 0 41. 2 41. 0 40. 8 » Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. • Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor. 75789—56 3 Building Nondurable construction Retail trade goods 37.4 40. 1 39. 6 38. 8 39. 7 39. 5 39. 6 39. 5 39. 0 39.8 39.5 39.7 39.0 39. 6 39. 9 39. 7 39.9 40. 1 40. 3 40. 3 40. 4 39. 9 39. 8 39. 5 32. 6 37. 6 *37. 3 36. 7 36. 3 37.2 38. 1 37. 0 36. 2 36. 1 34. 7 35.9 35. 4 36. 7 36.7 37. 2 36. 7 37.4 36. 3 34. 7 36 1 35. 1 35. 6 (3) 42 7 40. 3 40 3 40. 4 40 5 40.2 39 9 39.2 39.2 39.0 38. 9 38. 8 38 6 38. 8 39. 1 39 7 39. 6 39 1 38 7 38. 5 39 A 38 (5 38. (i (a) •Not available. 13 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were $1.95 in March, 2 cents higher than in February and 10 cents higher than a year earlier. DOLL-ARS PER HOUR DOLLARS PER HOUR 2.20 I 2.60 ~ ; DURABLE MANUFACTURING BUILDING CONSTRUCTION 1955 PRICES * 1955 PRICES^ 1955 1954 1953 1956 1953 1954 1955 RETAIL TRADE NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING r* CURRENT PFNOES. ^ ^ P^T ^r 1955 PRICES'7 ?*r"^ 1954 1955 O Ll 1956 1955 1954 1953 EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ON A 1955 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees) Durable goods Nondurable goods Building manufacturing manufacturing construction Current 1955 Current 1955 Current 1955 1955 prices * prices prices1 prices prices! prices prices * All manufacturing Period 1939 1947 _ 1948 1949 _ 1950_._ 1951 1952 1953— 1954 1955 . 1955* February March. April May June July _ August September October November December 1956: January. 3 February March 3 14 Current prices $0. 633 1.237 1.350 _ > - _ _ -.- 1.401 1.465 1.59 1.67 _ - - _ 1.77 1.81 -. 1.88 1.85 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.87 1.89 . 1.88 1.90 1.91 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.95 . $1. 220 1.483 1. 503 1.576 1. 631 1. 64 1.69 1.77 1.80 1.88 1.85 1.85 1.87 1. 88 1.87 1.89 1.88 1.89 1.90 1. 92 1.93 1.93 1.93 (4) $0. 698 1. 292 1.410 1.469 1.537 1.67 1.77 1.87 1.92 2.01 1.96 1.97 1.98 1. 99 1.99 2.02 2.01 2.04 2.04 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.05 2.06 $1. 345 1.549 1.570 1. 652 1.712 1.72 1.79 1.87 1.91 2.01 1.96 1.97 1.99 2.00 1.99 2.02 2.01 2.03 2.03 2.05 2.06 2.06 2.05 (4) $0. 582 1. 171 1. 278 1.325 1. 378 1.48 1. 54 1.61 1.66 1.71 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.70 1.71 1.70 1.72 1.72 1.74 1.74 1.75 1.75 1.78 $1. 121 $0. 932 1. 404 1.681 1.423 2 1. 848 1.935 1. 490 2.031 1.535 2. 19 1.53 1.55 2.31 1.61 2.48 1.66 2.60 2.67 1.71 1.68 2.65 1.68 2.63 1.70 2.63 2.63 1.71 2.64 1.70 1.71 2.66 1.70 2.67 2.69 1.71 1.71 2.70 2.71 1.73 1.74 2.73 2.74 1.75 2. 74 1.75 (4) (4) 1 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1955 base. > Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor $1. 796 2.016 2. 058 2.177 2.262 2.26 2.33 2.48 2.59 2.67 2.66 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.65 2.67 2.68 2.69 2.70 2.72 2.74 2.74 (4) 2 Retail trade Current prices $0. 542 1.009 1.088 1. 137 1. 176 1.26 1.32 1.40 1.45 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.52 1.52 1.49 1.54 1.54 (4) * Preliminary estimates.! < Not available. 1955 prices * $1. 044 1.210 1. 212 1. 279 1.310 1.30 1.33 1. 40 1.45 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.52 1.51 1.49 1.54 1.54 (4) AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS • SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average weekly earnings of factory production workers rose from $78.17 in February to $78.59 in March, reflecting the increase in average hourly earnings. DOLLARS PER WEEK DOLLARS PER WEEK DURABLE MANUFACTURING BUILDING CONSTRUCTION CURRENT PRICES NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING RETAIL TRADE 70 65 1956 EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE,INDEX ON A 1955 BASE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Building Durable goods Nondurable goods Retail trade construction manufacturing manufacturing 1955 l Current Current Current Current 1955 1955 1955 1955 prices l prices1 prices prices l prices prices prices1 prices prices $44. 59 $45. 97 $26. 50 $51. 06 $21. 78 $41. 97 $30. 39 $58. 55 $23. 14 48.75 40. 66 62. 90 59. 92 46.96 52.46 56.31 2 63.30 2 75. 90 48.83 43. 85 76. 67 50.61 63.60 57. 11 60.29 56.36 68. 85 51. 66 45.93 51. 41 65.28 79.81 70. 95 58. 03 57.83 61. 78 53.04 47.63 54.71 82. 10 70.51 63.32 66.07 60. 92 73.73 52.27 50.65 58.46 69.47 71.69 66. 78 84.08 60.33 81.47 52.67 53. 15 74. 13 60.98 68. 59 73. 46 88. 81 61. 53 88.01 54. 93 77.31 63. 60 54.88 71. 76 91.85 91.76 77.23 63.66 56.84 56.67 64. 74 76.95 93.84 94. 12 71.65 64.55 77.18 76.52 58.50 83.21 83.21 96.39 68.06 58.50 96.39 68.06 80.72 74.89 66.36 80.56 57. 69 66. 49 57.57 92. 14 91.96 81.72 66. 70 75.26 81.56 57.42 57.54 94.61 66.83 94.42 81.83 65.91 75. 19 66. 11 57. 68 93. 10 81.58 57.51 93.38 67. 32 83.03 76.53 58.38 67.52 82.78 96.52 58. 20 96. 81 76. 19 82.07 67.83 81.99 59. 10 96. 89 59.04 96. 99 67.90 76. 21 82.62 60.22 82.46 60.34 67.89 67.75 98.95 98.75 76. 33 82.61 82.61 60. 19 97. 99 67.83 60. 19 67.83 97.99 59.64 77.48 59.82 84.46 84.21 68.76 100. 61 100. 31 68.97 84.82 78.27 85.07 58. 64 69. 11 69.32 98.01 97.72 58. 82 70. 12 79.20 86. 11 58.29 85.77 58.52 69.84 94.04 93.67 86.52 86. 35 58.59 70.30 79.55 70. 16 98. 55 98.35 58.71 84. 87 84. 79 78.47 96. 17 69. 83 59. 38 59. 44 69. 76 96. 07 83.97 78.09 97. 54 59.44 84.05 97.44 69. 58 59.38 69.65 4 4 4 4 4 4 70.31 84.05 () (4) () () () () () All manufacturing Period Current prices 1939 .. $23. 86 1947 49. 97 1948 . 54. 14 1949 54.92 1950 .. . 59.33 1951 64.71 1952 .67.97 1953 ... 71.69 1954 71.86 76.52 1955 ... 1955: February.. 74.74 March 75. 11 April . . _ 74.96 May 76.30 June 76. 11 July . 76.36 August '. 76.33 September 77.71 October. .. 78.50 November. . 79.52 December 79. 71 1956: January 3 78.55 February 78. 17 3 March 78.59 1 Earnings In 1 current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1955 base. Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with1 those for earlier perkxli. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor. * Preliminary estimates. ' Not available. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The index of industrial production (seasonally adjusted) is estimated at 142 (1947-49=100) in March, 1 point below the January-February level. INDEX, 1947-49-100 180 INDEX, 1947-49= 100 180 160 I 60 140 I 40 120 I 20 100 -^ 100 1950 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period 1939 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952... 1953 1954 l 1955 . ___ _ .-_ 1955: February March April May . June *. July. August -. . . . . . . . ..... September . October November -December _ 1956: January 11 February March1 . * Preliminary estimates. 16 Manufactures Minerals Total Durable Nondurable 58 100 104 97 112 120 124 134 125 139 57 100 103 97 113 121 125 136 127 140 49 101 104 95 116 128 136 153 137 155 66 99 102 99 111 • 114 114 118 116 126 68 ICO 106 94 105 115 114 116 111 122 133 135 136 138 139 139 140 142 143 143 144 143 143 142 134 136 138 140 141 141 142 144 145 145 146 145 144 143 147 148 151 153 155 155 158 160 161 161 161 160 158 157 121 124 126 127 128 126 125 128 129 130 130 129 129 129 123 121 119 121 122 120 121 123 123 125 129 131 131 131 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES In March, production of most durable manufacturing industries declined slightly. factures was about the same as in January. Production of nondurable manu. INDEX, 1947-49 = 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED INDEX, 1947-49 = 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 240 180 220 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT ^ 200 180 CHEMICAL AND PETfiOLEUM PRODUCTS PAPER AND PRINTING FOODS, BEVERAGES, > AND TOBACCO 80 » TEXTILES AND APPAREL 1953 195.5 1954 1956 1953 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i 11 i 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 iii 1 1 1 1 1 1 1954 1955 1956 , COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. 11947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Period Primary metals 1939 1947.— 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 . 1953...... 1954 1955 l. .. ... 54 103 107 90 115 126 116 132 108 140 1955: February. . March . April May June -. Julv August September . . October. November _. December. . 1956: January !. J February March1 131 136 138 140 143 134 139 146 148 149 150 148 148 146 Nondurable Durable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles Paper Machin- tation cated and and and ery metal printprod- apparel equipproducts ing ucts ment 38 52 66 47 80 80 103 103 96 96 101 99 104 102 104 106 103 103 93 102 93 101 93 97 114 114 120 113 110 115 122 130 113 118 . 135 106 121 147 154 111 118 105 160 136 189 125 118 107 142 115 123 175 125 100 134 155 203 127 110 137 126 129 130 134 135 135 137 141 142 139 138 136 134 134 146 147 151 153 155 158 159 161 164 162 163 164 163 162 199 200 202 202 198 202 203 205 208 212 212 205 201 197 127 127 127 128 133 125 127 127 130 124 126 128 124 121 104 107 109 110 • 110 109 109 111 112 113 112 111 111 110 131 134 135 138 139 139 138 140 141 141 140 141 140 141 manufactures ConChemical Foods, sumer and petro- bever- durable leum ages, and goods products tobacco 49 97 103 100 118 132 133 142 142 159 65 101 100 100 103 105 106 107 106 109 98 101 101 133 114 105 127 116 146 151 154 156 159 161 160 160 163 162 164 166 165 166 166 106 107 109 108 109 108 107 107 111 111 113 111 112 113 140 142 144 145 144 150 151 154 152 151 149 H3 137 183 i Preliminary estimates. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Steel production increased during March to a new record. Freight carioadings also increased. Production of electric power and paperboard declined slightly, but remained at near peak levels. Car and truck assemblies dropped slightly. * MILLIONS OF TONS MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) 3 3 BITUMINOUS COAL 2 * 1954 J F M A M J J A S 0 N D THOUSANDS .250 ELECTRIC POWER 12 CARS AND TRUCKS 1955 ~t^—', ft / ft ¥ — V">V V/ ^TH to v^y^S ^^A 100 . 1 • S SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Period Weekly average: 1950 . . 1951 1952 1953 .... 1954 1955 1955: March. ... .. April May June July August ... September October . November December 1956: January Februarv March 3 Week ended: 1956: March 10 17 24 31 April 7 3 14 3____ O N D COUNOl CM= iCC»«WAIC ADVISERS Bituminous Freight Paperboard Mectric Cars and trucks Steel produced coal mined power produced assembled (thousands) loaded Thousands Percent of distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands theoreticall (millions of of short of net Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) capacity kflowatWiours) tons) a tons 1, 857 2,018 1,782 2, 141 1,694 2, 245 2,253 2,288 2, 331 2,272 2,059 2,166 2,309 2,370 2,389 2,376 2,444 2,444 2,465 96.9 100.9 85.8 94.9 71.0 93.0 93.4 94.8 96.6 94.1 85.3 89.7 95.7 98.2 99.0 98.5 99.3 99.3 100. 1 6,183 6,958 7,451 8,244 8,883 10, 318 9,796 9, 658 9,741 9,986 10, 386 10, 816 10, 540 10, 635 10, 993 11, 348 11, 421 11, 336 11, 115 2,462 2,477 2,449 2,452 2,406 2,414 100. 0 100.6 99.5 99.6 97.7 98. 1 11, 133 11, 202 ll, 134 10, 992 10, 846 . 1,687 1,772 1,548 1,521 1,304 1,560 1, 378 1, 360 1,503 1,593 1, 567 1,595 1,632 1,609 1,752 1, 787 1,820 1,673 1,596 748 779 730 735 652 729 651 693 766 756 758 781 792 826 757 672 678 692 701 214 229 213 241 236 269 270 263 275 278 232 282 274 290 291 270 267 291 286 1542 129.8 106.8 141. 1 125.6 176.7 19ai 207.6 2042 168.1 183.8 149.2 131. 1 142. 1 197.9 172.9 162. 6 157. 1 154.2 1,588 1,538 1,655 1,713 4 1, 662 698 686 697 725 685 285 282 286 291 277 157.0 154.9 155. 0 149. 9 157.7 4 159. 3 128.4 102.7 83.4 118.0 ioao 152.7 174 1 177.0 173. 3 141. 8 158.0 128. 7 110. 3 119. 4 171.4 151. 1 138. 9 132. 7 130. 3 132. 8 131.2 131.3 125.8 133.4 135.0 25.9 27.2 23.4 23.2 19.7 240 23.9 30.6 30.9 26.2 25, 8 20.4 20.9 22.7 26.5 21.8 23.7 244 23.9 242 23. 7 23.7 24 1 243 24.2 »Percent of capacity based on weekly net ton capacity of 1,906,268 for the first half of 1950; 1,928,721 beginning July 1,1950; 1,999,034 beginning January 1.1951; 2,077,040 beginning January 1,1952; 2,254,459 beginning January 1,1953; 2,384,549 beginning January 1,1954; 2,413,278 beginning January 1,1955; and 2,461,893 beginning January 1,1956. 2 Daily average for week. * Preliminary estimates. * Not charted. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. 18 NEW CONSTRUCTION Total construction activity (seasonally adjusted) continued in March at about the level of January and February. The rate of contract awards, which had increased sharply since last fall, declined slightly but was nearly 12 percent higher than in March of last year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS | 50 50 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 40 30 20 20 10 n I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I I I I I I I I I M I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I II I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I I M I I I PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) \^ f. '"is ^ 10 10 OTHER PRIVATE INN INN 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1951 1952 1950 Mill M i l l i 1 1 I1 1 1 11 I1 1 II 1 1 1 1 11 1 I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1| 1| 1954 1955 1956 1953 SOURCES' DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total new construction Period 1989 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ __ „ - __. -- . _ - - --— — 8.2 16. 7 21.7 22. 8 28.5 31.2 33.0 35.3 37.6 42.2 Private Total Residential (nonfarm) private 2.7 44 6.3 13.3 8.6 16.9 16.4 a3 21.5 12.6 11.0 21.8 22. 1 11.1 11.9 23.9 13.5 25.8 30.2 16.6 Other 1.7 6.9 8.3 8.1 8.9 10.8 11.0 11.9 12. 3 13.6 Federal, State, and local 3.8 3.4 48 6.4 7.0 9.4 10.9 11.4 11.8 12.0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1955: February. March. April May June.. July ----August . September October November December 1956* January February March 2; - -- --- . ; - - -------.• --------------------------- -__ 41.4 41.6 42.3 43.0 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.9 42.3 42.2 41.9 41.5 41.4 41.6 29.3 29.6 30.3 30.7 30.5 30.9 31. 1 31.2 30.6 30.2 29. 8 29.3 29.3 29.5 16.2 16.2 16.7 17.0 17. 0 17.2 17.2 17.1 16.5 16. 1 15.9 15.4 15.2 15. 1 13.1 13.4 13.6 13.6 13.5 13.7 13.9 14. 1 14. 1 14. 1 13.9 13.8 14.1 14.4 i Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation; seasonally adjusted by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Omits small contracts, and covers rural areas less fully than urban. L Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and F. W. Dodge Corporation (except as noted). 12.2 12.0 12.0 12.3 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.7 11.7 12.0 12.0 12.3 12.2 12. 1 Construction contracts awarded in1 37 Eastern States 3.6 7.8 9.4 10.4 14.5 15.8 16.8 17.4 19.8 23.7 Annual rates UnSeasonally adjusted adjusted 19.0 25.6 27.9 26.2 27.1 27. S 22. 7 *4*4 22.4 21.6 2S.O 22. S 22.3 28.6 a preliminary estimates. 25.6 26. 1 244 22.8 25.1 23.9 22.1 21.2 22. 1 25. 1 24.0 30. 1 30.2 29.2 19 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts in March increased less than seasonally and were at an annual rate of 1,140,000. Financing applications rose substantially for FHA loans but were almost the same as in February for VA loans. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS I960 J/ SEE FOOTNOTE I ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION ( V A ) . COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of units] Proposed home construction New nonfarm housing starts Period Annual total: 1948. .. 1949-.. 1950. . _ 1951..1952-.. 1953... 1954... 1955-.. Monthly average: I960— 1953195419551955: February.. March..... April May.... .-.June July August September.. October November December . _ 1956: January February M^rch * . Total 931.6 1, 025. 1 1, 396. 0 1, 091. 3 1, 127. 0 1, 103. 8 1, 220. 4 1, 328. 9 116 3 92.0 101. 7 110.7 89.9 113.8 132.0 137.6 134.5 122. 7 124.7 114.9 105. 8 89.2 76. 2 4 74.0 4 78.0 96. 0 Publicly financed 18.1 36.3 43.8 71.2 58.5 35.5 18,7 19.4 3.6 3.0 1.6 1.6 2.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 3. 1 .8 2.4 1.3 1.0 .8 2.7 4 1.0 4 1.2 1.6 Total 913. 5 988. 8 1, 352. 2 1, 020. 1 1, 068. 5 1, 068. 3 1, 201. 7 1, 309. 5 112.7 89.0 100. 1 109. 1 87.9 112.8 130. 5 135. 1 131.4 121.9 122.3 113.6 1048 88.4 73.5 4 73.0 4 76. 8 94. 4 Private, Privately financed seasonally Applications Government programs adjusted for FHA commitments l annual VA Total FHA rates 293. 2, 294. 1 (22) 327. 0 363.8 3 () 397.7 686.7 486.7 200. 0 192.8 148.7 412.2 263. 5 267.9 421.2 141. 3 279. 9 253. 7 252. 0 156.6 408. 6 338. 6 307.0 583.3 276.3 306. 2 392.9 669.6 276.7 33. 1 57.2 40. 6 16.7 21.1 34. 0 13. 1 21. 0 28. 2 25.6 23.0 48.6 25.5 23. 1 32.7 55.8 28.3 1, 370 45.3 17.2 28 0 35.6 1,367 29.9 53.6 23.8 33.1 34. 5 25.8 1, 350 60.3 30. 1 1,362 65.9 37.8 28.0 30. 8 1,371 32. 1 39.5 71.6 24.3 37.4 1,283 26.0 63.3 26.4 26.9 40.8 1,310 67.6 23. 1 34.4 1, 251 59. 1 24.7 19.2 1,221 53.4 34.8 18.6 16.3 1, 192 45.6 28. 1 17.5 13.4 21. 6 1, 208 16.2 37.9 4 15.6 23.0 1, 180 36.0 13.0 4 18.5 1, 200 13. 1 17.4 30.5 24. 9 1. 140 17.0 20. 6 37.6 J Units represented by mortgage applications for new nouie construction. OQ 8 *JMot available. Partly estimated. Sources: Department of Labor, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). Requests for VA appraisals I2a) (2) () (2) 164,4 226.3 251. 4 535.4 620. 8 21. 0 44.6 51.7 64.2 71.9 65.9 69.3 52.4 51.4 56.0 45. 1 43. 1 30.4 24.9 29. 3 37.1 37.5 'Preliminary estimates. SALES AND INVENTORIES -MANUFACTURING AND TRADE Manufacturers1 and wholesalers1 sales (seasonally adjusted) changed little in February, while retail sales declined about 2 percent. Total business inventories continued to rise, with manufacturers accounting for most of the increase. According to preliminary estimates, retail sales increased about 2 percent in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 30 '" ^ : ' " ~ ~ ~ ^ " " ~~ RETAIL (ENLARGED SCALE) TOTAL* AND MANUFACTURING INVENTORIES - 20 SALES 1, INDEX, 1947-49*100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DEPARTMENT STORES 140 —% ,*4 INVENTORIES • X Nj*^-**^-"?1 120 100 1953 1956 1953 •MANUFACTURING, RETAIL TRADE, AND WHOLESALE TRADE. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period 1939 1948. 1949 1950 1951 „ 1952.. 1953 1954... . 1955 1955: January . February March April May June .. - July August September October November. . December 1956: January 5 February March 5 1956 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturing Manufacturing Department stores Retail Wholesale and trade Inven-J Sales1 Inven- New InvenInven1 InvenSales i tories tories * orders * Sales i tories * Sales » tories * Sales tories3 Index 1947-49—100, Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted seasonally adjusted 11. 5 5. 1 20. 1 35 5.5 - 10.8 3.5 3. 1 5.4 36 2. 2 31.7 36.4 17.6 55.6 104 17.4 107 7.9 a i 10.9 15.8 52.1 347 28.9 16.4 15.3 10.9 98 7. 9 15.9 99 7.4 343 19.3 105 19.3 10. 5 4 12.0 21.0 ... 4 39.9 4 64 1 109 8.7 44 9 22.3 75. 2 109 13. 2 *21. 2 11. 1 42.8 128 245 9.4 45.9 76.7 43.8 13.7 22.8 21.6 110 11.3 23.6 9.4 118 48.4 24.9 80.3 112 45.9 142 22.7 23.4 126 11.7 9.3 23.4 76.9 46.7 111 43.3 22. 1 142 122 11.5 22.4 9.1 26.4 82.2 51.7 45. 9 23.9 27.2 119 12.3 127 15.5 9.8 43.2 243 76.9 48.7 22.2 120 149 11.5 124 246 9.5 43.3 77.3 24.6 113 22.4 24 8 14.8 11.7 -. 48.9 123 9.5 77.5 43.3 50.7 26.0 115 15. 1 22.6 11.6 124 26.5 9.7 43.3 26.0 77.7 50.9 124 22.8 119 26. 1 15.3 11.7 9.6 26.7 78.3 15.4 51.7 43.5 117 123 23.0 11.8 27.7 9.7 52.2 23.2 114 27.1 15.3 43.8 78.8 127 11.8 9.7 27.8 79.2 51.9 124 23.4 26.7 43.9 15.5 11.9 27.0 127 9.6 79.6 27.2 52.8 443 28.7 118 23.3 12.0 15.7 129 9.9 447 27.2 80.0 53.1 121 23.2 12.0 15.8 28.3 129 10.0 45.4 80.9 26.6 52.5 122 12.2 15.8 23.3 27.5 10. 1 129 53.2 45.7 27.3 81.6 122 23.6 12.3 28.3 15.8 10. 1 131 82.2 27.3 53. 2 45.9 123 23.9 12.3 29.3 134 15.8 10. 1 27 0 46.3 28. 1 82 8 52 9 24 1 124 15.7 12.4 10 3 137 27.2 24.2 83.5 52.9 46.8 15.3 27.8 118 10. 3 12.5 138 118 15.7 i Monthly average for year and total for month. fBevised series on retail trade beginning with 1951; not comparable with previous s Book value, end of period. data. * Book value, end of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. * Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 21 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS For fhc first 2 months of 1956, commercial exports were 10 percent higher and imports 25 percent higher than for the corresponding period of 1955. MILLIONS OF COLLARS 1,800. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,800 1,600 1,600 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING GRANT-AID SHIPMENTS 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 1950 II SEE "FOOTNOTES I AND 2 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS f Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Period 1936-38 monthly average . . 1947 monthly average - • 1948 monthly average... . 1949 monthly average. 1950 monthly average... 1951 monthly average.. 1952 monthly average 1953 monthly average 1954 monthly average 1955 monthly average 1955: January . February March April May _' June ^ July _. __ August . September. October November ~ December 1956: January .3 . _ _ .. February Total ._ .. „. .. 247 1,278 1,054 1, 004 856 1,253 1,267 1,314 1, 259 1,293 1,168 1,237 1,343 1,262 1, 322 1,319 1,268 1,235 1,254 1, 396 1,316 1,398 1,276 1,343 Grant-aid shipments * (3) (2a) ( ). 96 24 89 166 293 188 105 85 95 92 94 131 128 128 128 99 119 73 84 82 90 Excess of exports over imports Excluding grant-aid shipments «?.«, 8- 1,164 1,101 1,022 1,071 1,188 1,083 1,143 1,251 1,168 1,191 1,191 1,140 1,107 1,155 1,276 1,243 1,314 1, 194 1,253 Merchandise imports 207 480 594 552 738 914 893 906 851 948 870 850 1,019 870 958 936 885 960 945 1,010 1,064 1, 014 1,073 1,078 Total 40 798 460 452 118 339 374 408 408 345 298 388 324 392 364 382 382 276 310 386 252 384 203 265 Excluding grant-aid shipments (3) (8) (>) 702 95 250 208 116 220 240 212 293 232 298 233 254 255 148 210 267 179 299 121 175 i Beginning with 1950, figures include only Department ol Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. Shipments for the first 6 months of the program (July-December 1050) amounted to 282 million dollars. > Not available. * Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 22 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The average of consumer prices remained unchanged in February. increases in other major groups. Lower prices for food were offset by moderate INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 140 ~ ~"~~ INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 140 130 130 120 120 HO 100 1956 I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100] Period 1939 . 1947— 1948. 1949 1950.... 1951 1952...... 1953. 1954 1955...... _ 1955: January February. March April May "•»-**j June July August September October November December 1956: January February— . . ± . . All items Food 59.4 95.5 102.8 101. 8 102.8 111.0 113.5 114.4 114.8 1145 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.2 1142 1144 1147 1145 1149 1149 115. 0 1147 1146 114 6 47.1 95.9 1041 100.0 101.2 112.6 114.6 112.8 112. 6 110. 9 110.6 110.8 110.8 111.2 111.1 111.3 112. 1 111. 2 111.6 110.8 109.8 109.5 109.2 108. 8 Housing Total i Rent 76.1 95.0 101.7 103.3 106. 1 112.4 114.6 117.7 119. 1 120. 0 119.6 119. 6 119.6 119.5 119. 4 119.7 119.9 120.0 120. 4 120. 8 120.9 120. 8 120. 6 120.7 86.6 94.4 100.7 105.0 108.8 113. 1 117.9 1241 128.5 130.3 129.5 129.7 130.0 129.9 130.3 130. 4 130. 4 130.5 130.5 130.8 130.9 131. 1 131. 4 131.5 » Includes, in addition to rent, homeowner costs, utilities, housi^furnishings, etc. Apparel 52.5 97.1 103.5 99.4 98.1 106.9 105.8 104 8 104.3 103.7 103.3 103.4 103.2 103. 1 ioa3 103.2 103.2 103.4 1046 104 6 1047 104 7 104 1 104 6 Transportation 68.9 90.6 100. 9 108.5 111.3 118.4 126.2 129. 7 128.0 126.4 127.6 127.4 127. 3 125.3 125.5 125. 8 125.4 125.4 125.3 126. 6 128.5 127.3 126.8 126.9 Reading Other goods Medical Personal and and recreacare care tion services 70. 6 63.0 59.6 72.6 96.1 97.6 95.5 949 100. 4 100. 9 100. 5 101.3 1041 1041 103.4 101. 1 105. 2 106.0 101. 1 103. 4 110. 5 106. 5 111.1 109.7 117. 2 111.8 107. 0 115. 4 112. 8 121. 3 108.0 118. 2 107.0 120. 1 125.2 113.4 106. 6 115.3 128. 0 120. 2 106. 9 119.9 126.5 113.7 106.4 126.8 113.5 119.8 113.5 106.6 127.0 119.8 106. 6 113.7 127.3 119. 8 106. 5 113.9 119.9 127.5 106.2 119.9 127.6 1147 106.3 127.9 115.5 120.3 120.4 106.3 128.0 115.8 128. 2 116.6 120.6 106. 7 117.0 128.7 106.7 120. 6 106. 8 120.6 129. 8 117.5 130.2 106.8 117.9 120.6 130. 7 107.3 120. 8 118. 5 120.9 130.9 118.9 107.5 Source: Department of Labor. 23 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices continued to advance in March, as average prices for farm products, processed foods, and Industrial commodities increased. JNDEX,I947-49*IOO 130 INDEX, I947-49«IOO 130 100 100 70 1956 1950 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 11947-49= 1UUJ All commodities Period 1939 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951... 1952 1953 1954 1955 1955: February. March April May June July August September October . November December 1956: January February March... Week ended: l 1956: April 3 10 1 24 • . Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. Farm products Processed foods 50. 1 96.4 104.4 99.2 103.1 114.8 111.6 110.1 110.3 110. 7 110. 4 110.0 110.5 109.9 110.3 110.5 110.9 111. 7 111.6 111.2 111.3 111.9 112.4 112.8 36.5 100.0 107.3 92.8 97.5 113.4 107.0 97.0 95. 6 89.6 93. 1 92. 1 94. 2 91.2 91.8 89.5 88. 1 89.3 86.8 84. 1 82.9 84. 1 86.0 86.6 43.3 98.2 106. 1 95.7 99.8 111.4 108.8 104. 6 105 3 101. 7 103.2 101. 6 102. 5 102. 1 103.9 103. 1 101.9 101.5 100.2 98.8 98.2 98.3 99.0 99.2 113. 5 113. 4 88. 4 88,0 100.8 100.8 Other than farm products and foods (industrial) 58. 1 95.3 103.4 101.3 105. 0 115.9 113.2 114. 0 in s 117. 0 115.7 115 6 115. 7 115.5 115.6 116.5 117.5 118.5 119.0 119.4 119.8 120.4 120. 6 121.0 121. 2 121.3 Source; Department of Labor. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The index of prices received by farmers rose in the month ended March 15. the parity ratio increased 1 point. Since prices paid by farmers rose less, INDEX, 1910-14 «IOO INDEX,1910-14-100 : 5251 —' I3E5 300 300 275 PARITY INDEX (PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES) 225 225 20O II I I I I I M II I I I I I I I I II I I I I I I I I l l I II I I I I I M I I I II I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I II I 100 100 75 1950 1952 1951 1953 1954 1955 1956 JJRATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO PARITY INDEX. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE". Period 1939 1947. 1948 —- 1949.-.— 1950—. 1951. 1952 1953 . . — 1954 1955 1955: February 15 ... March 15 April 15 . May 15 June 15... July 15 August 15 . .. .. September 15 ..——.*.. October 15 .. November 15 .— December 15 -— 1956: January 15February 15 . March. 15 _ - _ •--: _ — — ._ _ — - ^ . ...; — .. . • - - " ... _ - - . - ... Prices paid by farmers Parity index for items used in (prices paid, Prices reinterest, ceived by Family Productaxes, and farmers living tion wage rates) Index, 1910-14= 100 121 123 120 95 224 237 240 276 251 260 250 287 243 238 251 250 246 246 256 258 273 282 268 302 274 271 287 288 270 253 279 258 252 274 281 249 250 273 281 237 271 255 283 244 256 273 284 243 254 274 284 247 251 282 274 244 274 282 250 243 274 248 281 237 247 273 279 233 272 246 279 235 246 274 280 230 244 279 273 225 243 278 273 223 272 246 281 226 272 245 280 226 274 246 282 230 ParityJ ratio 77 115 110 100 101 107 100 92 89 84 86 86 87 87 86 84 84 84 82 81 80 80 8J 82 i Percentage ratio of Index of prices received by farmers to parity index. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS CURRENCY AND DEPOSITS During February, demand deposits declined more than seasonally. At the end of the month, total deposits (excluding Government) and currency were 2.2 percent higher than a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 240 TOTAL DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY X 200 -i>«..-** 200 TOTAL EXCLUDING U.S.GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS C PRIVATELY HELD MONEY SUPPLY) DEMAND DEPOSITS ADJUSTED TIME DEPOSITS _ U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS 1956 1950 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [Billions of dollars] End of period 1948 1949 1950 _— 1951. ;.___ 1952.. 1953 , 1954 19555 _ . 1955: January February March . April. _. • . ... May. June8 i. July 5 August ..... .... 6 September 8 October . November88 . . December — . ... 8 1956: January 6 Febru arv 26 Total deposits and currency 172.7 173.9 180. 6 189. 9 200. 4 205.7 2148 220. 2 213. 4 212.1 210.6 213.0 212.6 213.5 214.6 214.2 214.8 216.7 217.2 220. 2 217. 1 216.0 U.S. Government deposits * 3.6 41 3.7 3.9 5.6 48 5. 1 45 42 5. 1 5.3 5.6 5.9 5.8 6.5 5.6 5.1 5.3 5.0 45 2.8 45 Total excluding U. S. Government deposits (privately held money supply) * Demand Currency Time deposits outside Total deposits * adjusted * banks 169. 1 169. 8 176.9 186. 0 1948 200.fi 209.7 215. 7 209. 2 206. 9 205. 3 207.4 206.7 207.7 208.1 208.6 209.7 211.3 212.2 215.7 214 3 211.5 26.1 25. 4 25.4 26.3 27.5 28. 1 27.9 27.9 26. 8 26.8 26. 7 26.7 26.8 27.4 27. 1 27.3 27. 2 27.3 27.9 27. 9 27. 1 27. 2 85. 5 85.8 92,3 98.2 101. 5 102.5 106. 6 109. 7 107. 0 1045 102. 4 104 5 103. 3 103. 2 103.9 103. 9 1049 106. 1 106. 9 109.7 108. 9 105.6 57. 5 sae 59.2 61.4 65. 8 7a4 75.3 78. 2 75.4 75.7 76.2 76. 2 76.5 77.1 77.1 77.4 77,7 77.9 77.4 78.2 78.3 78.7 »Includes TJ. 8. Government deposits at Federal Beserve banks and commercial and savings banks, and TJ. 8. Treasurer's time deposits, open account. a Includes deposits and currency held by State and local governments. * Includes demand deposits, other than interbank and U. S. Government, less cash items in process of collection. «Includes deposits in commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and Postal Savings System, but excludes interbank deposits. • Preliminary estimates. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. NOXE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because Grounding. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES In February, loans,of commercial banks increased by $0.6 billion, and their holdings of U. S. Government securities declined $1.7 billion. In March, business loans increased much more than usual for this time of the year. The average reserve deficiency of member banks (borrowings at the Federal Reserve less excess reserves) increased between February and March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 — 140 __ 120 1950 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] AD commercial ban'ks End of period 1949 Total loans and investments -- — . 1950.— 1951 • _ _ 1952 J 1953 .. „„, 1954 1955 4 1955: FebruaryMarch . April _ May June-.- July 4 . 4 August -4 ...September .--._ October4 4 November4 . December » 4 1956: January 4 February March 4 - 120. 2 126.7 132. 6 141.6 145.7 155. 9 161. 1 1548 isas 155.5 155. 6 155.3 157.0 156.7 157. 3 158. 9 159. 4 161.1 159.4 158. 3 Loans 43. 0 52.2 57.7 64.2 67.6 70.6 82.8 71.2 72.3 72.9 73.9 75.2 76.6 77.3 7a4 79.2 81.4 82.8 82.0 82.6 Total 77.2 74.4 74.9 77.5 78.1 85.3 78.3 83.6 81.2 82.6 81.7 80.1 80.4 79.3 78.9 79. 7 78.0 78.3 77.4 75.7 Investments U. S. Gov- Other ernment securities securities 10.2 67.0 12.4 62.0 13.3 61.5 14. 1 63.3 14.7 63.4 16.3 69.0 16.5 61.8 66.8 16.8 17.0 64.2 17.0 65.6 65.0 16.7 63.3 16.8 16. 7 63.7 16.9 62.5 16.9 62.0 62.9 16.8 16.6 61.4 16.5 61.8 16.5 60.9 16.6 59.2 Weekly reporting member banks > * Business loans a 13.9 17.8 21.6 23.4 23.4 22.4 26.7 22. 1 22.6 22.5 22.6 23.5 23.5 24.2 247 25.1 26.0 26.7 26.2 26.3 27.8 All member banks *8 BorrowReserve balances ings at Federal Required Excess Reserve Banks 17.0 15.6 18.5 19.6 ias 1&5 18.3 18.2 18.0 18.2 18.2 18.1 18.2 18. 2 18.1 18.3 18.4 18.6 18.6 18.2 18.3 .8 .8 .8 .7 .7 .8 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .5 .5 .6 .6 .5 .6 .1 .1 .3 .8 .8 .1 .6 .4 .5 .5 .4 .4 .5 .8 .8 .9 LO .8 .8 .8 1.0 »Member banks include, besides all national banks, those State banks that have taken membership in the Federal Keserve System. * Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans; revised series beginning January 1952 and again October 1955. Such loans by weekly reporting member banks represent approximately 70 percent of business loans by all commercial banks. . . . . . . . . * Data are averages of daily figures on balances and borrowings during the period. < Preliminary estimates. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. NOTE.—Detail win not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 27 CONSUMER CREDIT In February, total consumer credit outstanding declined about $325 million, reflecting the usual seasonal decline in noninstalment credit. Total instalment credit outstanding remained virtually unchanged, as increases in automobile credit and in personal loans were largely offset by a decline in loans for the purchase of other consumer durable goods. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING 1956 1950 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS (Millions of dollars] Total consumer End of period credit outstanding 1939 7, 222 11,570 1947 14,411 1948 1949. .. 17,104 1950 20, 813 1951 21, 468 1952 . 25, 827 1953 29, 537 1954 -- 30, 125 36, 225 1955 1955: January. „ 29, 760 February. - 29, 518 March 29, 948 April 30, 655 May . 31, 568 32, 471 June July 32, 896 August 33, 636 September- 34, 293 October— 34. 640 November- 35, 059 December. 36, 225 1956: January 35, 599 February. 35. 272 N oninstaimen t credit outstanding Instalment credit outstanding Total 4, 503 6,695 8,968 11,516 14, 490 14, 837 18,684 22, 187 22, 467 27, 895 22, 436 22, 508 22, 974 23,513 24, 149 24, 914 25, 476 26, 155 26, 699 26, 963 27, 247 27, 895 27, 769 27. 784 Automobile paper * 1,497 1,924 3,054 4,699 6,342 6,242 8,099 10, 341 10, 396 14, 312 10, 459 10, 641 11, 053 11, 482 11, 985 12,561 13, 038 13, 547 13, 929 14, 095 14, 172 14, 312 14, 314 14. 397 Other Repair and consumer moderni- Personal zation goods loans paper * loans * 1,620 2,143 2,842 3,486 4,337 4,270 5, 328 5,831 5,668 6,435 5,609 5,484 5,479 5,492 5,555 5,639 5,676 5,762 5, 848 5, 917 6,057 6,435 6,318 6. 209 298 718 843 887 1,006 1,090 1,406 1, 649 1,616 1,641 1,574 1,550 1,530 1,534 1,546 1,562 1,570 1,589 1,611 1,627 1, 634 1,641 1,610 1.599 1,088 1,910 2,229 2,444 2,805 3,235 3, 851 4,366 4,787 5,507 4,794 4,833 4,912 5,005 5,063 5,152 5, 192 5,257 5,311 5,324 5,384 5,507 5,527 5. 579 ' Total 2,719 4,875 5,443 5,588 6,323 6, 631 7,143 7,350 7,658 8,330 7,324 7,010 6,974 7,142 7,419 7,557 7,420 7,481 7,594 7,677 7, 812 8,330 7,830 7.488 Charge accounts 1,414 2,353 2, 713 2,680 3,006 3,096 3, 342 3, 411 3,518 3,797 3,225 2, 831 2, 735 2, 859 3, 01 1 3,040 2,991 3, 019 3,108 3, 218 3,285 3,797 3, 355 2. 974 Instal- Instalment ment credit ex- credit tended * repaid * 6, 872 12, 713 15,540 18, 002 21, 256 22,791 28, 397 30, 321 29, 304 37, 172 2,389 2,416 3, 159 3, 089 3, 206 3,443 3, 131 3,436 3,241 3, 051 3, 103 3,508 2,724 2,769 i Includes all consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and other consumer goods and secured by the items purchased. pQ * Includes only such loans held by financial institutions; those held by retail outlets are included in "other consumer goods paper." wu i Credit extended or repaid during the period. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 6,060 10, 190 13, 267 15, 454 18, 282 22, 444 24, 550 26, 818 29, 024 31, 744 2, 420 2,344 2, 693 2, 550 2,570 2, 678 2, 569 2, 757 2, 697 2,787 2, 819 2, 860 2,850 2, 754 BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Yields on long-term Government and corporate bonds rose during March/ and by early April they equaled or slightly exceeded the 1955 peaks. During March, yields on Treasury bills changed very little and the commercial paper rate was unchanged. PERCENT PER ANNUM 4 PERCENT PER ANNUM 4 1956 1950 •REVISED SERIES: BONDS DUE OR CALLABLE IOTO 20 YEARS. SEE TABLE BELOW. SOURCES-- SEE TABLE BELOW. Period 1948 1949 — 1950 1951 ... 1952 ... 1953 ... 1954 _ 1955.. 1955: May June .. . .. July August . -.-. September .. . ... October . .... November . . . December... .... 1956: January _ .. February. .... March Week ended: 1956" March 3 10 17. 24.. 31 April 7 14 [Percent per annum] High-grade U. S. Government security yields municipal 3-month bonds 2 Treasury Taxable bonds (Standard 3& 1 bffls Poor's) 2. 44 1.040 2.40 2. 31 1. 102 2.21 2. 32 1.218 1.98 2. 57 1. 552 2.00 2. 68 1.766 2.19 «2. 92 •3.16 1.931 2.72 .953 2.52 2.71 2.37 2.80 2.94 1.753 2.53 2.76 1.491 2.91 2.41 1. 432 2.91 2.48 2.77 1.622 2.88 2.62 2.96 3.02 1. 876 2.91 2.67 2.086 2.88 3.00 2.63 2.259 2.82 2. 96 2.56 2.85 2.225 2.96 2.55 2. 564 2.88 2.97 2.71 2.86 2. 456 2.94 2.64 2.82 2.372 2.93 2.58 2.90 2.310 2.98 2.69 2.409 2. 173 2.374 2.422 2. 173 2.397 2.497 2.84 2.86 2.89 2.93 2.96 3.03 3.05 i Rate on new issues within period. * First issued in 1941. The single series on these bonds (which continued through March 1953) included: October 1941-March 1952, bonds due or callable after 15 years; April 1952-Mareb 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years. * Weekly data are Wednesday figures. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 2.94 2.96 2.97 2.99 3.01 3.07 3.09 2.60 2.63 2. 66 2.68 2.77 2.81 2.85 Corporate bonds (Moody's) Aaa 2.82 2.66 2.62 2.86 2.96 3.20 2.90 3.06 3.04 3.05 a 06 3.11 3. 13 3. 10 3. 10 3.15 3. 11 3.08 3.10 3.07 3.08 3. 10 3. 12 3. 14 3. 16 3.21 Baa 3.47 3.42 3.24 3.41 3.52 3.74 3.51 3.53 3.50 3.51 3.52 3.56 3.59 3.59 3.58 3.62 3.60 3.58 3.59 3.58 3.58 3.59 3.60 3.62 . 3.64 3.67 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 1.44 1.49 1.45 2.16 2.33 2.52 1.58 2. 18 2.00 2.00 2.11 2.33 2.54 2.70 2.81 2.99 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3. 00 3.05 « Bonds due or callable from 10 to 20 years. Bonds due or callable 20 years and after. Sources: Treasury Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Besenre System (except as noted). ~ 8 STOCK PRICES The index of stock prices reached new highs in early April. INDEX,1939 = 100 500 INDEX,1939 = 100 500 300 300 200 200 I I I I I I I I I ' I I 100 1950 1951 1952 1953 1956 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Compositel index Period Weekly average: 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 ... 1952 1953_ 1954 1955 . 1955: April May June - July August September October November December 1956: Januarv February March Week ended: 1956: March 2__ 9 16 23-_ 29 April * 6 2 13 _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1939^100] M anuf act uring TransDurable Nondura- portation Total goods ble goods Utilities Trade, finance, Mining and service 130.9 132.7 127.7 154. 1 184.9 195.0 193.3 229.8 304.6 286.8 289.0 302. 9 318.8 315. 3 326.6 310.2 328.4 333.6 325.7 330.0 350.9 132.4 136.8 132.1 165.7 206.8 220.2 220. 1 271.3 374.4 347.0 349.6 370. 1 394. 6 390.0 407. 1 385. 1 410.6 418.7 407.8 413.3 443. 4 119.9 124.3 116.0 150.2 178.5 188.8 192.6 245.2 352.4 326.8 324.5 344. 4 366. 1 367.8 387.0 365.3 389.2 395. 9 378.6 382.8 412. 0 144.6 14&6 147.2 180.2 233.1 249.3 245.2 295.2 394.4 365.3 372.4 393. 4 420.7 410.0 425. 2 402. 9 429. 9 439. 2 434. 4 441. 0 472.0 149.1 158. 1 136.0 160.0 199.0 220.6 218.7 232. 6 320.0 320.5 326.0 336. 5 333.9 323.6 331.3 309.3 324.8 331.6 320. 2 322.8 343.6 105.5 99.3 98. 1 108.9 112.6 117.9 121.5 135.8 152.9 152. 1 153.5 154. 3 156.6 156.2 155. 3 150.9 154.2 154.3 153.8 156. 1 159.7 162.8 156.9 160.7 183.8 207.9 206.0 207.1 235. 6 296.9 277.3 280.5 294.2 304. 3 302.4 319. 7 307.0 324. 9 323.2 309.8 309.6 321.9 117.2 133. 0 129.4 143.5 204.9 275.7 240.5 267.0 312. 9 311.3 302. 6 313.8 317.2 311.4 317. 1 294. 1 312.5 326.2 330.3 350. 2 372. 9 340. 1 346. 2 354. 4 357.4 356. 6 360.3 353.9 427. 2 435. 8 448.3 453. 3 452. 6 459. 4 450. 0 395.3 407. 4 420.6 421. 2 415.7 414. 0 410. 0 456.2 461.6 473. 4 482. 5 486. 2 500. 8 486. 5 332.8 339.8 345. 6 349.2 350. 6 346. 5 344. 0 158.5 159. 4 160. 6 160.4 159.7 158. 8 157. 8 . 318. 1 323.8 325.5 322.9 319.4 320. 7 316.3 362.8 368.9 370. 6 382.5 379.5 379. 0 368.7 1 Includes 265 common stocks: 98 for durable goods manufacturing, 72 for nondurable goods manufacturing, 21 for transportation, 29 for utilities,31 2 for trade, finance, and service, and 14 for mining, Indexes are for weekly closing prices. Not charted. QQ Source: Securities and Exchange Commissioa. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The cumulative budget deficit for the first 8 months of the current fiscal year was $7.2 billion, due primarily to seasonally low tax collections. For the same period last year, the budget deficit amounted to $9.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS QF DOLLARS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 1951 75 1952 1953 1954 1951 1955 MAJOR NATIONAL SECURITY - EXPENDITURES 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 BUDGET SURPLUS {+) OR DEFICIT (-) {MAGNIFIED SCALE) 25 -10 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 *ESTIMATEO 1956 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 FISCAL YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. fBilHonspf dollars] Net budget expenditures Net budget Major Period receipts nationall Total security 43.6 95. 1 76.8 Fiscal vear 1944 -- -39.0 39.8 14.4 Fiscal year 1947 ..-_-_ 33. 1 11.8 41.5 Fiscal vear 1948 37.7 39.5 12.9 Fiscal year 1949 36. 5 39. 6 13.0 Fiscal year 1950 47.6 44. 1 22. 4 Fiscal vear 1951 - _.... 65.4 44.0 61.4 Fiscal year 1952 - -.. 74.3 50.4 64.8 Fiscal year 1953 67.8 64.7 46.9 Fiscal vear 1954 --.«. 64.6 60.4 40.6 Fiscal year 1955 64.3 64,5 39.5 Fiscal year 1956 (estimated) 5.4 4.8 3. 1 1955: February. 5.9 9.7 3.6 March.- - ... 5.2 3.7 3.3 April - - - « --May _ .. 4.4 5. 4 3.3 6.8 10. 1 3.9 June8 ' 5.4 2.8 3.0 July 6.2 4.7 3.5 August* 3 - - ----5.3 5.5 3.5 September - .- ----------3 5.4 2.7 3.3 October 3 _• 5.2 4.7 3. 1 November *3 . 49 5.7 3.4 December . -4.7 5.3 3.1 1956: January 3 3 - 5.0 6. 2 3.2 February Cumulative totals for first 8 months: 32.4 41.3 26.5 Fiscal year 19553 36. 1 43.3 26.2 Fiscal vear 1956 . COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Budget surplus (+) or deficit (— ) Public debt (end of period) f -51.4 + .8 + 8.4 -1.8 -3. 1 -1-3.5 -4.0 -9.4 3. 1 -4.2 +.2 + .6 + 3.8 -1.5 -.9 + 3.4 -2.6 -1.5 +.2 -2.7 —.5 -.8 -.6 1.2 202.6 258.4 252.4 252.8 257.4 255. 3 259.2 266. 1 271.3 274. 4 274.4 278.2 274.1 276.7 277.5 274.4 277. 6 278. 4 277. 5 279. 9 280.2 280. 8 280. 1 280.2 -9.0 -7. 2 278.2 280. 2 i Revised to include the items classified as "major national security" in The Budget of the United States Government for the Fiscal Year Finding June SO. 1957. These expenditure items are: Military functions of Defense Department, mutual military program, development and control of atomic energy, stockpiling of strategic and critical materials, and defense production expansion. * Includes guaranteed securities, except those held by the Treasury, ^ot all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. ' Preliminary. NOT E.—Beginning with February 1954, the reporting of budget receipts and expenditures is on a basis consistent with that used in preparing budget estimates. The figures shown above for fiscal years 1953 and 1954 are those published by the Treasury Department on the new basis. o -i Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 01 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC Federal cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $740 million in calendar year 1955, compared with $1.1 billion in the prior year. In the fourth quarter of 1955, there was a cash deficit of $3.8 billion, due primarily to seasonally low tax receipts. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 CASH RECEIPTS CASH PAYMENTS \ \ (ENLARGED SCALE) EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS I960 I95I I9541 1953 1952 1955^ 1956 CALENDAR YEARS J/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES SOURCES: BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AND TREASURY DEPARTMENT, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS . [Millions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Calendar year Calendar year total: 1948 1949 1950.. 1951 1952 . 1953 . . 1954*l 1955 Quarterly totals, not adjusted 1954: l First quarter Second quarter. Third quarter . Fourth quarter 1955:! First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter _ — - - Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (4) or payments (— ) 44, 922 41, 346 42, 419 59, 278 71, 339 70, 041 68, 562 71, 470 36, 897 42, 642 41, 969 58, 034 72, 980 76, 194 69. 643 72, 209 48, 027 -1,295 +450 41,244 -1,641 — 6, 153 -1,082 -740 23, 693 19, 115 13, 501 12, 253 21, 287 20, 795 15, 314 14, 075 16, 459 18, 431 18, 582 16, 172 17, 161 18, 633 18, 571 17, 844 47,234 4684 -5,082 3,918 44, 126 42, 162 — 3,258 -3, 770 for seasonal variation: .. . - - ._ i Preliminary estimates. NOTI,—Detail win not necessarily add to totals because or rounding. Sources; Bureau of the Budget and Treasury Department. 32 For sale by the Superintendent of Document!. U. S. GOTernment Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Price 20 centi per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.50 foreign.