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Moving Macroeconomic Analysis Beyond Business Cycles, No. 19-04

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Moving Macroeconomic Analysis Beyond Business Cycles, No. 19-04

DATE: April 2019

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ABSTRACT: When analyzing macroeconomic data, it helps to separate longer-term trends from business cycle fluctuations, which may have distinct causes and respond differently to policy. This Economic Brief presents research that uses a novel methodology to establish stylized facts for four key macroeconomic variables for cycles of different durations. This brief makes the case that research and policy should focus on four aspects of economic fluctuations: a short-term component (cycles of less than two years), a business cycle component (cycles between two and eight years), a medium-term component (cycles up to thirty-two years), and a long-term component (the trend).

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Haltom, Renee Courtois , Lubik, Thomas A. , Matthes, Christian, 1979- , Verona, Fabio and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. "Moving Macroeconomic Analysis Beyond Business Cycles, No. 19-04," Economic Brief (April 2019). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/6034/item/583983, accessed on May 25, 2022.

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