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E.15 (125) n AGRICULTURAL FINANCE DATABOOK Third Quarter 1995 Guide to internal tables of contents and notes on sources Amount and characteristics of farm loans made by commercial banks Page 3 Selected statistics from the quarterly reports of condition of commercial banks Reserve bank surveys of farm credit conditions and farm land values Division of Research and Statistics Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington, D.C. 20551 Nicholas A. Walraven and Douglas Carson 17 28 General Information The Agricultural Finance Databook is a compilation of various data on current developments in agricultural finance. Large portions of the data come from regular surveys conducted by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Federal Reserve Banks. Other portions of the data come from the quarterly call report data of commercial banks or from the reports of other financial institutions involved in agricultural lending. When the current issue went to press, data from the survey of terms of bank lending were available for the third quarter of 1995: the other data generally were available through mid year. Parts or all of the Agricultural Finance Databook may be copied and distributed freely. Any redistribution of selected parts of the Databook should be accompanied by the "contents" pages at the beginning of the corresponding section, together with the front cover identifying the Databook and date of issue, and this page providing subscription information. Remaining questions may be addressed to Nicholas Walraven or Doug Carson at the address shown on the cover. The Databook is furnished on a complimentary basis to college and university teachers, libraries of educational institutions, government departments and agencies, and public libraries. Others should enclose the annual subscription fee of $5.00. New subscriptions to the Databook (Statistical Release E.15) may be entered by sending a mailing address (including zip code) to: Publications Services, Mail Stop 138 Federal Reserve Board Washington, D.C. 20551 Notice of change of address also should be sent to Publications Services. the old address should be included. A copy of the back cover showing SECTION I: AMOUNT AND CHARACTERISTICS OF FARM LOANS MADE BY COMMERCIAL BANKS Estimates from the Quarterly survey of non-real-estats farm loans Summary charts Page 5 Tables: I.A I.B I.C I.D I.E I.F I•G I.H I.I Number Average size Amount Average maturity Average effective interest Percentage of loans with a Distribution of farm loans Detailed survey results Regional disaggregation of 7 8 9 rate floating interest rate by effective interest rate.... survey results 10 11 12 13 14 16 SOURCES OF DATA: These data on the farm loans of $1000 or more made by commercial banks are derived from quarterly sample surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve System during the first full week of the second month of each quarter. Data obtained from the sample are expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, which are shown in the following tables. Before August 1989, the farm loan survey was part of a broader survey of the terms of lending by a sample of 340 commercial banks. A subset of 250 banks was asked for information regarding agricultural lending, and about 150 typically reported at least one farm loan. Since August of 1989, the data have been drawn from a redesigned sample of 250 banks that is no longer part of the broader survey. In the redesigned sample, banks are stratified according to their volume of farm lending: previously, they had been stratified according to the volume of business loans. As before, however, the sample data are being expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks. In the August 1995 survey. 196 banks reported at least one farm loan, and the number of sample loans totaled 5321. In both the previous survey and the new one. the national estimates exhibit variability due to sampling error, he estimates are sensitive to the occasional appearance of very large loans in the sample. In addition, the breakdown of national estimates into those for large banks and small banks may have been affected somewhat by v new sampling procedures that were implemented in August 1989; apparent shifts in the data as of that date should be treated with caution. 3 SECTION I: (CONTINUED) More detailed results from each quarterly survey previously were published in Statistical Release E.2A, "Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers". Beginning in February, 1992 . the more detailed results are included at the end of this section of the Databook. and the E2.A has been discontinued. Starting with the August 1986 survey, farm loans secured by real estate are included in the data shown in the table of detailed results, whereas such loans are excluded from the tabulations in Tables I.A through I.G and the summary charts. Beginning in November 1991, several survey statistics are estimated for each of ten farm production regions as defined by the USDA. These statistics, which are presented in table I.I, should be treated with some caution. Although an effort was made to choose a good regional mix of banks for the panel, the panel has never been stratified by region. Consequently, the survey results are less precise for each region than for the totals for the nation. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: In the August 1995 survey, the estimated number of non-real-estate farm loans made by banks fell to about the average that has been seen since 1990. However, the average size of loans dropped to the lower end of the range seen during that period, reflecting, in large part, sharp declines from one year earlier in the average size of loans for feeder livestock and for loans that fall in the "other" category. The drop in both the estimated number and the average size of loans left the estimated volume of loans during the survey week at the lowest level since late 1992. In the August survey, the average effective rate of interest on non-real-estate farm loans edged up to 9-1/2 percent, roughly 150 basis points greater than in August of 1994. Since the May 1995 survey, rates on loans for livestock other than feeder livestock declined a bit. while rates on loans for all other purposes edged up. After dipping substantially in the May survey, the percentage of loans that were made with a rate of interest that floats rose to 73.4 percent, roughly in line with the proportion that has prevailed in recent years. Table I.G offers a historical perspective on changes in the dispersion of rates of interest for non-realestate loans, which suggests that the dispersion of rates in the August survey was somewhat smaller than the survey one year earlier. Since the May 1995 survey, changes in the average rate of interest charged for farm loans have been mixed across USDA farm production regions--while rates rose about 50 basis points in the Northeast and Northern Plains, rates declined by roughly a similar magnitude in the Appalachian, Southeast, and Delta States regions. As mentioned in the description of the data in the beginning of the section, these estimates are quite sensitive to the occasional appearance of large loans. m Chart 1 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Millions, Annual rate Number of non-real-estate farm loans 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 — Four quarter moving average 2.0 1.5 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 i . . • i . • . i 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Thousands of dollars Average size of non-real-estate farm loans 1.0 45 40 35 30 Four quarter moving 25 20 15 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Billions of dollars. Annual rate Amount of non-real-estate farm loans 10 110 100 90 Four quarter moving average 80 70 60 50 40 1978 1979 1980 I • i i i • » i I . i i I 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1 1987 1988 1989 1990 • • « 1991 1 1992 1993 1994 i 1995 30 Chart 2 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Months Average maturity of non-real-estate farm loans 14 12 - Four quarter moving average 1978 1979 1980 1981 10 I . . « I 1982 1983 1984 I ... I ... I ... I ... I 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 _L_ 1991 1992 I ... I ... I 1993 1994 1995 Percent 20 18 Average effective interest rate on non-real-estate farm loans 16 14 12 10 8 1978 I ... I ... I 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 _l_ 6 1987 1988 1989 I ... I ... I ... I ... I ... I 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Percent Share of farm loans with a floating interest rate 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 — Four quarter moving average 30 20 10 1978 I . . . I 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 l.i.l 1986 1987 1988 1989 i ... i 1990 1991 ' . . ' 1992 1993 i ... i 0 1994 1995 ESTIMATES PROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.A NUMBER OF LOANS MADE (MILLIONS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over 2 .32 2.42 2 .06 1 .71 1 .57 1 .42 1 .67 1 .70 1 .66 1 .67 1 .65 1 .55 0 .60 0 .53 0 .51 0 .46 0 .46 0,.43 0,.52 0..49 0..51 0..54 0..56 0,.51 0 .38 0 .40 0 .30 0 .29 0 .27 0 .28 0 .31 0 .35 0 .32 0 .37 0 .37 0 .35 0 .11 0 .09 0 .09 0 .08 0 .08 0 .07 0 .09 0 .09 0 .10 0 .11 0 .12 0,.12 BY SIZE OF BANK LARGE OTHER 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 .20 0 .18 0 .18 0 .20 0 .20 0 .23 0 .36 0 .44 0 .50 0 .SI 0 .55 0 .54 3 .21 3 .26. 2 .78 2 .34 2 .18 1 .99 2 .23 2 .20 2 . 10 2 . 18 2 . 15 1,.98 ANNUAL NUMBER OF LOANS MADE 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3.41 3.44 2 .96 2 .55 2 .38 2 .21 2.. 60 2,.63 2,. 60 2,.69 2..70 2..53 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 .37 0 .34 0 .34 0 .30 0 .39 0 .29 0 .30 0 .32 0 .35 0 .35 0 .36 0 .28 0 .32 0 .29 0 .23 0 .17 0 .13 0 .11 0 .20 0 .24 0 .23 0 .25 0,.27 0,.23 2 .00 2 .06 1 .77 1. 6 6 1 .54 1 .45 1 .73 1 .69 1 .64 1 .67 1 .62 1 .56 0 .39 0 .35 0 .36 0 .17 0 . 14 0 . 14 0,. 16 0,.19 0,. 17 0,. 18 0.. 18 0., 18 0 .32 0 .35 0 .27 0 .24 0 . 19 0 .21 0,.20 0,. 19 0,.21 0..24 0..27 0.,27 NUMBER OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1993 Q3 . . . 04... 1 1 2.68 2.49 1 1 0,.28 0,.43 0.,20 0,,32 1,.70 1 .31 , 0. 16 0. 14 0. 34 0. 30 1,.68 1..40 0. 57 0. 53 0.,33 0.,41 0.,11 0.,14 1 1 0.,63 0.,58 2,,05 1.,91 1994 01... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 2.44 3.18 2.66 1.83 1 1 1 1 0..28 0,.30 0,,21 0.,32 0. 33 0. 25 0. 16 0. 18 1..40 2 .06 . 1.,79 0.,98 0. 21 0. 25 0. 16 0. 12 0. 22 0. 32 0. 34 0. 22 1,,44 1 ,97 . 1.,72 1 ,08 . 0. 50 0. 65 0. 52 0. 36 0. 38 0. 42 0. 33 0. 28 0.,12 0. 15 0. 09 0. 10 1 1 1 1 0.,48 0.,66 0,62 0.41 1. 96 2. 52 2. 04 1. 42 1995 oi... 02... 03... 1 1 1 2.35 2.96 2.61 1 1 1 0.,29 0.23 0.22 0. 23 0. 22 0. 13 1. 33 1 .89 1. 68 0. 17 0. 23 0. 15 0. 33 0. 39 0. 44 1 .31 1 .80 1. 55 0. 56 0. 63 0. 60 0. 35 0. 40 0. 37 0. 12 0. 14 0. 10 1 1 1 0.54 0.74 0.73 1. 81 2. 22 1. 89 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.B AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE (THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 294.,2 291..2 254..7 280..4 320..4 320..4 272..1 487..7 539..9 468..2 490..3 480..7 92..0 88.,1 82..0 62..0 85..5 70..0 53..7 100..7 107..0 97..0 106,.0 101..3 15..2 13..8 13..4 15..3 14..9 16..3 14,.4 13 .9 13 .9 15 .8 15 .8 15 .4 ANNUAL AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 19..7 17..7 17..6 19..0 20..8 21..8 19..9 28.A 31..9 31..2 34..3 33..9 32..5 31..8 25..7 35..0 33..8 34..1 42..7 69..7 61..0 68..2 79..7 60..3 18..2 21..9 22..5 25..8 26..3 40..6 29..5 22..7 25..2 26..9 23..1 27..6 15..5 12..9 12..8 14..0 14..6 16..7 14..1 15..7 15..6 14..7 15..2 16..3 15.,6 12..5 12..4 13..6 16..1 13..9 12..1 11..9 15..1 15..9 13..9 17..5 37.1 34.8 42.1 32.9 44.6 34.7 32.2 94.3 129.3 108.7 112.0 123.6 3..6 3..7 3..5 3..5 3..6 3..7 3..6 3..6 3..6 3 .7 3,.7 3,.7 14..8 14..7 14..4 14..9 14..7 14..8 14,,7 14..8 14,.9 14,.8 14,.9 14,.6 46..3 43..8 45..5 44..9 46..5 45..2 45..9 46..1 46,.6 45..9 46,.1 47..0 AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1993 Q3. . . 04... 1 1 30..3 41..5 88..3 80..8 24..9 31..2 12..5 16..3 14..7 12..3 82..3 119..9 3..5 3.. 8 14,.9 14,.7 46..8 47..3 475..5 487..7 83,.7 119,.6 13..8 17 .8 1994 Ql... Q2. . . Q3... Q4... 1 1 1 1 34..9 28..9 31..3 45..0 72..5 57..0 72..3 44..9 27..3 27..9 24..0 30..7 19..9 15..7 14..2 16..3 21..5 19..0 12..1 14..0 106..5 97..5 108..0 202..0 3..6 3..9 3..5 3..9 14..7 14..4 14..4 14..9 48..5 46..0 46..0 47..5 445.,0 377.,9 588.,4 572..2 102,.8 77,.6 98..2 142..4 18,.1 16,.1 11..0 16..9 1995 Ql... Q2. . . Q3... 1 1 1 34..8 33..0 27..7 65..2 62..7 33..9 24,.6 28..1 26..4 20..1 17..4 14..6 15..4 18..7 14..4 83..8 101..7 79..5 3..6 3..8 3..6 14..8 14..5 14,.5 46..7 43..7 44..5 431. 3 466.,5 437..5 90..8 82..8 66..8 18..1 16..4 12.,6 # # # # # # # # # ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.C AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over 17 .5 17 .6 13 .5 13 .2 12 .6 12 .9 14 .4 15 .9 15 .1 16 .8 17 .1 16 .5 32 .4 26 .5 24 .0 22 .3 24 .5 23 .7 23 .4 45 .3 54 .0 52 .8 61 .0 56 .0 BY SIZE OF BANK LARGE OTHER 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 18 .6 15 .8 14 .9 12 .6 17 .1 15 .9 19 .6 44 .2 53 .7 49 .4 58 .8 55 .1 48 .7 45 .0 37 .3 35 .9 32 .5 32 .3 32 .0 30 .5 29 . 1 34 .3 33 .8 , 30,.6 ANNUAL AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 67 .3 60 .8 52 1 48 .5 49 .6 48 .2 51 .6 74 .7 82 .8 83,.7 92,.6 85,.7 | | I | | | | | | | I I 12 .1 10 .7 8 .6 10 .4 13 .2 10 .0 12 .9 22 .0 21 .4 23 .6 28 .7 16 .8 5 .9 6 .5 5 .2 4 .5 3 .4 4 .6 6 .0 5 .5 5 .8 6 .7 6 .2 6 .4 31 .1 26 .5 22 .6 23 .2 22 .5 24 .3 24 .3 26 .6 25 .5 24 .6 24 .7 25 .4 6 .1 4 .4 4 .4 2 .4 2 .3 1 .9 2 .0 2 .3 2 .5 2 .9 2 .5 3 .2 11 .9 12 .2 11 .3 8 .0 8 .3 7 .4 • 6.4 18 .3 27 .6 26 .0 30 .6 33,,9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 .4 8 .9 7 .2 6.0 5 .7 5 .2 6 .1 6. 1 6 .1 6 .2 6,.1 5,.8 9 .0 7 .8 7 .4 6 .9 6 .8 6 .4 7 .7 7 .3 7 .6 8 .0 8,.3 7 .4 AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1993 03... 04... 1 1 81.,26 103.45 | | 24 ,5 . 34..7 4 .9 , 10,.1 21..3 21..3 2 .4 1 .7 28.,2 35.,6 1 1 5.,8 5.,4 8.,5 7.,8 15., 2 51,.7 19.,6 70,.7 1 1 53..1 69.A 28.,2 34.,0 1994 Ql. . . 02... 03... 04... 1 I 1 1 85.27 91.99 83. 14 82.44 | | I I 20.,2 17 .2 15.,4 14. 5 9..1 7 ,1 . 3 ,8 . 5.,6 27.,7 32..3 25.,5 16. 0 4 .5 4 .7 , 2 .0 , 1,.7 23.,7 30.,7 36. 5 44. 6 1 1 1 1 5.2 7.7 6.0 4.2 7.,4 9. 3 7. 5 5. 4 18.,3 19.2 15. 0 13. 3 54.,3 55..7 54.,6 59.,5 1 1 1 1 49.,9 51.,5 60.,6 58.,4 35. 4 40. 5 22 .5 24. 1 1995 oi... 02... 03... 1 1 1 81.59 97.62 72.31 | | | 18. 9 14 .4 7. 5 5. 6 6. 3 3 .4 26. 8 33. 0 24. 5 2 .6 , 4 »2 . 2 .1 . 27. 8 39. 7 34. 9 1 1 1 4.8 6.9 5.5 8. 4 9. 2 8.7 16. 2 17. 3 16. 3 52 .2 64. 3 41 .7 1 1 I 48.8 61.3 48.6 32. 8 36. 4 23. 7 9 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.D AVERAGE MATURITY OF LOANS MADE (MONTHS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 8..1 7..5 7..7 8..0 8..1 9..2 8..3 9..2 8..3 9..7 10..0 11..6 8 .1 7 .7 9 .1 9 .8 9 .3 10 .2 9 .3 11 .9 10 .6 11 .1 11 .1 13 .5 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over ANNUAL AVERAGE MATURITY 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 .9 7 .7 8 .0 8 .0 8 .4 8 .7 8 .1 7 .5 7 .3 8 .9 9 .2 10 .3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 5 0 6 1 5 8 5..5 6..4 6..8 6..0 6.,7 6. 1 7. 3 7. 6 8 .1 6 .6 7 .8 6 .3 7..7 4..7 7,.4 8..8 8..5 9..5 9..6 9..8 10 4 7 8 7 3 7 6 7..6 8..5 7..2 7..5 7..2 8..6 8..3 8..6 10..6 12..6 13..4 21..0 22..8 19..8 18..7 21..9 24..6 20..1 30..4 36..6 7..8 8..1 8..8 8..8 12..1 10..9 11..8 6..4 5..3 9..4 9..4 9..4 7,.0 7,.0 6..7 6..8 7,.5 7..1 7..4 7,.4 7..7 8..3 8,.5 8..6 10 .0 8 .0 7 .9 7 .1 8 .3 7 .7 7 .1 4 .9 5 .8 7 .2 7 .4 7 .2 | | I I I | 1 | | I | I 6..1 7,.0 6 .9 5 .5 5 .9 8 .1 7,.8 4,.7 5..2 6 .4 6..4 5..8 9..9 7..9 8..4 8..8 9..3 8..8 8..2 10..2 9..6 10..1 10..4 12..6 MATURITY OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER,, ANNUAL, RATE 1993 Q3. . . 04... 1 1 9 .8 7 .4 1 I 9.2 7. 0 8..2 9..9 8..1 7..2 24.,5 29..0 11..0 3.,8 7..3 8..0 10..6 8..8 9 .8 10..3 9 .7 5 .1 | I 9..7 4..7 9..9 9..3 1994 Ql... Q2... Q3... 04... 1 1 1 1 10,.1 13..0 9,.3 8,.3 1 1 1 1 6. 9 8.4 9.4 5.7 8..3 9..4 16..2 8..2 8..9 10..5 6.,8 7. 3 32..0 45..7 32.,3 28. 2 6. 6 10. 8 7. 9 11. 3 8..6 9..5 8..1 7..6 12..7 13.,3 9..2 10..5 13..9 14..2 13..2 12..3 6..6 10..7 6..8 4..8 | | | | 4.,5 7..0 5..9 5.,8 12.,8 15..0 11. 5 9. 3 1995 01... 02... 03... 1 1 1 10..3 10..6 9..0 1 1 1 8. 0 7. 1 7. 9 9.,8 9.,2 10..4 10. 5 9. 5 6. 8 28. 4 24. 7 30. 4 7. 0 12. 7 10. 9 9.,3 10..2 8..0 11. 2 12. 1 9. 8 13..9 13..6 9..4 8..1 8..4 7..6 1 | | 5. 6 6. 9 6. 7 12. 3 12. 6 10. 1 # # # # # # # # # ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.E AVERAGE EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE ON LOANS MADE BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1, 000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 12.1 13.1 11.2 9.6 9.2 10.2 12.1 10.9 9.0 6.8 6.7 7.2 14,.1 14..4 13..4 12..1 11..3 11..6 12..7 12.,3 11..3 9.,4 8.,7 8. 8 ANNUAL AVERAGE INTEREST RATE 1983. 1984. 1985. 1986. 1987. 1988. 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992. 1993. 1994. 13.5 14.1 12.8 11.5 10.6 11.2 12.5 11.4 9.8 7.8 7.5 7.8 13.6 13.7 12.5 11.1 10.7 10.9 12.3 11.5 10.2 8.2 8.0 8.3 .8 .3 .7 11..9 10..2 1 1 ..9 12..4 12..0 1 1 ..0 8 .. 6 .1 .0 13 .5 14 .2 13..0 11,.5 10..8 11..2 12..6 11..7 10..4 8.,8 8.,1 8. 4 14 .3 14 .6 13 .7 12,.2 11..5 11..7 12..8 12..3 11..3 9..3 8.,7 8..6 12 .8 14,.0 12..1 11..2 9..5 10..7 12..3 10..7 8..6 6..3 6..2 7. 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 14 .2 14,.6 13,.7 12,.4 11,.6 11..7 12..8 12..5 11..5 9..7 9.,0 9.,1 14 .1 14 .3 13,.2 12,.0 11,.3 11..6 12..7 12..4 11..2 9..3 8..7 8.,8 14.0 14.3 13.2 11.8 11.1 11.4 12.7 12.1 10.7 8.8 8.3 8.6 13,.0 13,.7 12..1 10,.8 9,.9 10..8 12..2 10..9 9..2 7..1 6..9 7..3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 AVERAGE RATE ON LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1993 Q3... 04... 1 1 7..5 7..3 8.0 8.1 7,.9 7,.7 8 .2 7 .8 9 .0 8 .4 6.4 6.1 9.0 8.9 8.6 8.5 8.1 8.2 7.0 6.8 7.0 6.7 8.6 8.6 1994 Ql. . . 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 7..3 7..8 7..9 8. 3 7.7 8.1 8.7 8.8 7..3 8,.1 8..4 8..7 7,.9 8..5 8..4 8..7 8,.2 8,.6 9..0 9..5 6.1 6.6 7.0 7.8 8..8 8..9 9..2 9..6 8..4 8..1 9..0 9..4 8..1 8..5 8..7 9..1 6..7 7..2 7..3 7..9 6..6 7..0 7..4 7..8 8..3 8..7 9..2 9..5 1995 Ql... 02... 03... 1 1 1 10. 0 9.4 9. 5 10.9 9.6 9.8 9. 9 10. 2 9. 8 10.,3 9. 9 10. 2 10..4 10..2 10. 4 9.0 8.7 8.8 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.3 10.6 10.6 10.2 10.4 10.2 9.8 8.8 8.8 9.7 8.9 9.0 10.4 10.3 10.5 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.F PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE WITH A FLOATING INTEREST RATE BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 1 to 9 10 to 24 100 and over 25.6 23.8 27.6 40.6 48.5 49.3 50.4 53.6 52.0 57.3 60.1 58.6 29,.1 31,.3 31 .5 41,.8 45 .6 51 .5 49 .6 59 .2 59 .0 59 .1 61 .0 59 .8 34. 9 29.,0 42<,0 48.,2 54.,4 60.,8 58.,5 66..0 64,.0 61,. 2 64,.5 70,.4 55. 9 52.,7 56.,6 63.,7 68..5 67..0 69..1 67,.5 67,.8 78,.6 83,.9 80,. 2 LARGE OTHER 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 77.7 71.1 77.,1 71.,9 77.,6 79..1 83..6 69,.4 70,.0 82 .9 86 .9 83 .7 29. 9 27 ,6 . 32..6 47 .0 . 49,.9 52,.6 47 .2 , 59 .3 56 .1 55 .5 58 .9 59 .7 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE 1983 1984 1985 1986. 1987 . 1988. 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992. 1993, 1994, 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 43 1 38 9 45 3 53 4 59..5 61.,4 61..0 65.,2 65..1 71..7 76,.7 75,.1 I 1 I 1 1 1 I 1 1 I I 1 47.8 41.2 61.4 60.5 51.6 65.3 71.4 76.8 81.5 78.5 84.6 82.9 28.7 32.3 44.9 34.8 69.6 39.5 40.0 61.6 69.3 63.5 70.0 74.3 48.1 41.7 43.0 57.2 62.1 63.8 59.7 68.3 68.8 66.3 70.3 72.3 17.,6 24.,3 19.,6 30..9 55..5 54.,9 32..9 40,.0 40,.6 47,.8 48,,2 51,,6 44.3 39.5 47.3 50.6 62.1 63.2 73.6 51.2 50.3 75.3 78.1 75.7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 AVERAGE PERCENTAGE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER 03... 04... 1 1 79,.1 75,.6 1 1 89.6 77.9 77.8 74.9 74.2 72.7 33 .5 53 .9 78.0 76.3 1 1 62.7 60.9 57 .6 66 .6 69,.2 64,.0 87,.5 80,.9 1 1 88 .6 85 .5 61 .2 55 .4 1994 oi... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 77 .2 71 .7 78 .6 73 .1 1 1 I 1 89.1 78.3 91.3 70.7 78.1 74.4 79.8 64.3 76.6 73.9 65.6 72.3 66 .9 40 .4 51 .1 43 .3 69.6 70.0 83.6 76.5 1 1 1 1 56.6 59.6 58.9 58.9 59 .3 56 .8 62 .4 62 .2 72,.9 68,.7 70..2 69,.8 83,.1 77,.0 85,.3 75,.9 1 1 1 1 85,.8 81..8 86..8 80..3 65 .3 58 .9 56 .4 55,.1 1995 Ql. . . 02... 03... 1 I 1 79 .0 67 .3 73 .4 1 I I 88.3 82.8 76.3 76.1 79.5 51.1 84.3 65.7 65.3 55 .7 59 .7 50 .2 70.3 62.0 82.0 1 1 1 63.6 60.9 61.7 61 .4 63 .2 65 .1 79,.9 66,.1 72,.1 82,.9 69,.0 77,.2 1 1 1 83.,1 73.,7 83..3 72 .9 56 .7 53 .2 , Table 1.6 PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS MADE BY BANKS, 1 BY EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE Effective interest rate (percent) August 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Memo: Percentage Distribution of Number of Loans, 1995 Mav All loans Under 5 Percent 5.0 to 5.9 6.0 to 6.9 7.0 to 7.9 8.0 to 8.9 9.0 to 9.9 10.0 to 10.9... 11.0 to 11.9... 12.0 to 12.9... 13.0 to 13.9... 14.0 to 14.9... 15.0 to 15.9... 16.0 to 16.9... 17.0 to 17.9... 18.0 to 18.9... 19.0 to 19.9... 20.0 to 20.9... 21.0 to 21.9... 22.0 to 22.9... 23.0 to 23.9... 24.0 to 24.9. .. 25.0 and over.. 100 100 100 100 100 100 - - - - - " - - - - - - - - - - 5 7 11 24 31 13 7 1 - 1 6 12 11 33 22 13 2 100 1 11 30 17 9 22 8 2 11 13 18 23 17 10 7 1 100 100 „ - " 100 1 11 21 23 22 19 3 1 10 20 27 23 15 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 8 39 34 8 4 1 - 1 8 33 39 14 5 4 4 23 21 22 20 4 2 * - - - * - - - * - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4 14 22 18 16 20 5 1 100 - 5 15 8 30 30 10 1 1 100 - * 1 2 24 42 24 5 1 * 1 4 27 42 21 4 1 * „ - „ . " 100 Alio - - " " - „ - " ui xuuLxuii ui Lue et> Lj-maueu toiai Qoiiar amount ox non-real-estate tarm * . - v_i. loans of $1,000 or more made by insured commercial banks during the week covered by the survey, which is the first full business week of the month specified. Data are estimates from the Federal Reserve survey of terms of bank lending to farmers. Percentages may not add to 100 because of rounding. * indicates less than .5 percent. SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 7 - 1 1 , 1 9 9 5 Loans to farmers all sizes $1-9 Size class of loans (thousands) $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over ALL B A N K S 1 2 3 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 4 5 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 2 Standard error 3 Interquartile range 4 Bypurpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1,339,746 49,579 12.0 105,329 29,363 8.1 164,542 11,280 10.8 148,709 4,503 • 16.8 160,703 2,550 8.7 177,423 1,242 19.7 583,041 642 6.8 9.54 0.19 8.84- 10.47 10.65 0.06 10.18- 11.17 10.61 0.13 10.07 - 11.04 10.35 0.06 9.92- 11.00 10.14 0.11 9.47 - 10.75 9.72 0.04 9.11 - 10.25 8.61 0.35 7.38 - 9.65 9.79 9.84 10.27 10.37 9.98 8.83 10.40 11.19 10.67 10.67 10.21 10.55 10.21 10.74 10.71 10.40 10.71 10.46 10.18 10.72 10.51 10.18 10.29 10.06 9.80 10.41 10.33 10.03 9.98 9.96 9.52 9.70 9.78 9.42 9.82 9.75 71.5 79.6 61.1 59.2 65.4 64.9 68.0 69.3 71.4 74.6 72.4 71.2 75.7 93.9 10.0 4.8 34.1 2.9 2.5 453 8.0 5.5 64.8 6.3 1.1 14.3 7.1 4.3 60.3 7.7 2.9 17.8 9.2 5.8 50.0 9.3 3.8 21.9 19.0 7.8 48.3 1.6 0.2 23.0 15.3 7.3 35.3 1.0 6.0 35.0 7.3 2.9 12.8 0.3 1.8 74.9 • 820,176 12,927 10.2 25,073 6,609 6.8 42,133 2,825 9.4 47,681 1,425 16.2 55,854 848 8.2 98,106 660 18.5 551,329 561 6.0 8.96 0.33 9.92 10.47 0.06 9.92 - 11.02 10.25 0.06 9.75 - 10.77 10.04 0.10 9.42 - 10.65 9.88 0.06 9.25 - 10.25 9.52 0.07 9.08 - 9.98 8.50 0.35 7.38 - 9.65 9.55 8.85 9.58 10.39 9.68 8.67 9.91 10.63 10.51 10.74 10.54 10.56 9.80 10.11 10.24 10.23 9.86 10.40 9.61 10.08 9.94 10.34 10.01 10.22 9.83 10.15 9.85 10.03 9.98 9.90 9.43 9.75 9.49 9.42 9.65 9.55 9.41 8.27 9.04 12.19 9.61 8.34 82.6 92.9 88.9 85.7 89.5 85.3 93.3 87.8 92.1 89.2 88.0 92.7 79.0 94.6 8.6 3.1 18.6 1.2 2.1 66.4 10.3 2.1 48.6 2.3 0.4 36.2 9.9 3.3 40.1 2.8 1.7 42.1 13.7 2.8 31.8 4.1 3.0 44.7 22.0 3.2 35.8 4.6 0.7 33.8 16.4 3.7 32.4 1.8 4.5 41.2 5.2 3.1 10.2 0.3 1.9 79.2 519,570 36,653 12.7 80,256 22,754 8.3 122,409 8,455 11.0 101,027 3,078 16.9 104,849 1.702 8.8 79,317 583 20.2 31,712 81 9.8 10.46 0.07 10.01 - 10.94 10.71 0.07 10.25 - 11.20 10.73 0.16 10.23 - 11.19 10.50 0.08 10.03 - 11.04 10.28 0.16 9.76 -10.79 9.97 0.12 9.38 - 10.47 10.39 0.31 10.01 - 10.47 10.07 10.51 10.62 10.37 10.31 10.14 10.62 11.25 10.70 10.66 10.18 10.53 10.44 10.90 10.80 10.42 10.86 10.55 10.71 10.84 10.66 10.16 10.38 9.75 9.78 10.45 10.49 9.66 9.68 10.08 10.67 9.94 10.02 10.12 53.9 58.6 52.4 51.0 57.1 57.9 56.0 60.5 60.5 66.9 53.2 44.7 18.7 81.3 12.2 7.4 58.6 5.6 3.0 13.2 7.2 6.6 69.9 7.5 1.3 7.5 6.1 4.6 67.2 9.4 3.3 9.4 7.1 7.2 58.7 11.7 4.2 11.2 17.4 10.2 55.0 14.0 11.8 39.0 43.0 6.0 17.3 27.3 Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 9.60 8.27 9.43 12.19 9.61 * 8.34 LARGE FARM L E N D E R S 5 21 22 23 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 24 25 26 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 2 Standard error 3 Interquartile range 4 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other OTHER BANKS5 41 42 43 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 44 45 46 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 2 Standard error 3 Interquartile range 4 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 7.43 - Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other .. .. 10.01 - 57.0 — NOTES TO TABLE I.H m The Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 250 banks of all sizes. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured agricultural banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or residing in the portfolios of those banks. Loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. Beginning with the August 1986 survey, loans secured by farm real estate are included in the survey, and one purpose of a loan may be "purchase or improve farm real estate". In previous surveys, the purpose of such loans are reported as "other". 1. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude demand loans. 2. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loans and weighted by loan size. 3. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 4. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 5. Among banks reporting loans to farmers, most "large banks" (survey strata 1 and 2) had over $20 million in farm loans, most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $20 million. T a b l e I.I S u r v e y of T e r m s of B a n k L e n d i n g to F a r m e r s , (selected by U S D A Farm P r o d u c t i o n R e g i o n NE P r o p o r t i o n of farm l o a n s outstanding. May 1995 survey Sample Coverage May 1995 s u r v e y (%) A v g . Loan S i z e , May 1995 s u r v e v ($1000) Survey date: USDA Region quarters) LS CB NP 3 .0 10 .0 25 .0 17.8 6 .0 5 .0 5 .0 10 . 1 18 .6 5 .5 7 .3 14.9 13 . 2 9 .9 6. 1 8 .6 40 .5 17 .2 30 .8 22.6 Weighted Average AP 345 .0 SE 53 .4 DL SP 27 .6 Interest Rate During MN 26 .2 7. 2 PA 10 .8 24 .9 71 .7 43 . 2 69 .5 Sample Week Nov. 1991 9 .8 ( .23) 10 .6 ( 27) 10 .2 ( .38) 9.3 (.71) 7. 1 (1 . 03) 9 .4 ( .18) 9. 2 ( .33) 10 .0 ( .5 2) 9 .5 ( .58) 8 .3 ( .36) Feb. 1992 8 .4 ( 15) 10 2 ( .16) 9 .3 ( .21) 8.8 (.44) 6 .3 (1 .06) 8 .0 ( .33) 8. 2 ( .67) 8. 7 ( .5 7) 8. 2 ( .45) 6 .8 ( .21) May 1992 8 .6 ( 20) 9 .8 ( 19) 9 1 ( .13) 8.4 (.55) 6 .3 (1 . 29) 8 .0 ( .35) 8 .3 ( .53) 9 .0 ( .81) 7 .9 ( .43) 7 .3 ( .19) Aug. 1992 7 .7 ( 15) 9 3 ( 21) 9 .1 ( .10) 8.6 (.50) 5 .6 , (1 . .36) 7 .0 ( .17) 8. 1 ( .30) 8 .3 ( .94) 7 .5 ( .32) 7. 1 ( .27) Nov. 1992 7 .9 . ( .28) 9,. 2 (•- 18) 8 .3 ( .25) 7.9 (.56) 5,.5 (1 , .38) 7 .3 ( .39) 8 .4 ( .13) 8 .2 ( .50) 7 .6 . ( .47) 6 .9 ( .33) Feb. 1993 7 .8 , (..27) 9..0 (..28) 8 .0 . (..27) 8.0 (.47) 5. .6 (..90) 8 .3 (.22) 7. , 8 (,.41) , 7 .8 (•.61) 7,.5 (,.41) 6 .5 , (.. 44) May 1993 8 . , 1 (• 24) 8., 7 (. 21) 8 . , 1 (,.27) 7.9 (.32) 5. , 2 (..57) 8 .4 , (..29) 7.. 8 (..43) 8 .3 . (..48) 7, 7 (•.5 2) 6 .8 . (..26) Aug. 1993 8 . ,2 (..35) 7. 5 (. 69) 8 .2 . (•.18) 8.0 (.33) 5. 7 (.,94) 7 .3 . (..3 7) 7. .0 (.• 74) 7 . .7 (..6 2) 7. , 1 (. 34) 7. .2 (..39) Nov. 1993 8 . .3 (. 28) 8. 1 (. 19) .8 7. (•.22) 7.4 (.50) 5 .3 (1 .73) . 6 .3 (..07) 8., 2 (.• 12) 7. ,8 (..57) 7 .1 (• 36) 6 ,7 . (..49) Feb. 1994 7. 7 (. 32) 8. 6 (. 25) .9 7. (.,22) 7.5 (.39) 5. 2 (1. 09) 7.,3 (. 09) 7. 7 (. 3 3 ) 7 .6 (. 4 3 ) 7. 3 (. 69) 6 ,9 . (.• 31) May 1994 8 .7 (. 28) 9. 0 (. 26) 8 .0 (. 17) 8.1 (.23) 6 .1 (. 79) 8 .2 (. 29) 7. 8 (. 60) 8 .4 (. 3 6 ) 7. 5 (. 34) 7 .2 (. 26) Aug. 1994 9 .1 (. 19) 8. 6 (. 41) 8 .3 (. 40) 8.6 (.19) 6. 5 (. 83) 8 .6 (• 11) 7 .6 (• 72) 8 .6 (. 37) 7 .6 (. 35) 7 .5 (. 25) Nov. 1994 10. 2 (. 38) 9. 7 (. 18) 8 .9 (. 18) 8.5 (.39) 7 .1 (. 39) 8 .5 (. 37) 8. 8 (. 68) 9 .0 (. 17) 8. 0 (. 43) 8. 5 (. 20) Feb. 1995 11 .7 (. 65) 10. 7 (. 14) 10. 0 (. 14) 9.9 (.16) 8. 6 (. 79) 7 .2 (1 .79) 10. 4 (. 34) 10. 4 (. 21) 9. 4 (. 50) 9 .4 (. 25) May 1995 9. 0 (. 38) 10. 4 (. 29) 9. 3 (. 4 5 ) 9.4 (.42) 8. 5 (. 93) 10. 2 (. 31) 10. 7 (. 74) 10 .1 (. 18) 9. 3 (. 23) 9 .3 (. 34) Aug. 1995 9. 6 10. 3 9. 3 9.8 8. 1 9. 6 10. 4 10. 1 9. 4 9 .5 (. 21) 46) (. 31) f ,35) (. 22) M 6 ) f. 90) ft 10) f . 39) f .29) LS is L a k e S t a t e s , CB is C o r n b e l t , NP is N o r t h e r n P l a i n s , AP is A p p a l a c h i a , SE is S o u t h e a s t , DL is D e l t a S t a t e s , SP is S o u t h e r n P l a i n s , M N is M o u n t a i n S t a t e s , and PA is Pac if ic. (, S t a n d a r d e r r o r s a r e in p a r e n t h e s e s b e l o w each e s t i m a t e . Standard errors are r e p l i c a t i o n s of a b o o t s t r a p p r o c e d u r e ( r e s a m p l i n g of b a n k s ) in each r e g i o n . calculated from 100 e # e SECTION II: # e e e e • • # SELECTED STATISTICS FROM THE QUARTERLY REPORTS OF CONDITION OF COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLES: Page Commercial banks: II.A II.B II.C II.D II.E Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated volume of farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent non-real - estate farm loans at insured commercial banks net charge- of fs of non- real - estate farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks net charge- of fs of real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks 19 20 21 22 23 Agricultural banks: II.F II.G II.H II. I Distribution of agricultural banks by ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans Distribution of agricultural banks by rate of return to equity Loan-deposit ratios at agricultural banks Failures of agricultural banks 24 25 26 27 SOURCES OF DATA: The data in tables II.A through II.H are prepared using data from the quarterly reports of condition and income for commercial banks. Delinquencies and charge-offs of non-real- estate farm loans for the nation as a whole (table II.B and table II.C) are estimated from reports of banks that hold more than 90 percent of total non-real-estate farm loans. The incomplete coverage arises because banks with less than $300 million in assets have been excused from some reporting requirements. First, these smaller banks report delinquencies and chargeoffs of "agricultural loans" according to the particular bank's own definition, which may include loans that are secured by farm real estate. Furthermore, small banks that hold less than 5 percent of total loans as farm production loans are not required to report any information regarding delinquencies or chargeoffs of "agricultural loans." In constructing the data presented in the tables, banks that are not required to report these data are assumed to have the same delinquency rates as those that do report. Recently, banks began to report delinquencies of loans that are secured by farm real estate. These data, which are shown in tables II.D and II.E, are reported by all banks, regardless of the size of the institution or the relative amounts of farm loans that they hold. Because "agricultural loans" and loans secured by farm real estate may overlap for some small banks, it is unclear whether it is proper to add the data in table II.B to its counterpart in table II.D to obtain total agricultural delinquencies. A similar caveat applies to the data concerning charge-offs in tables II.C and II.E. Examination of total lending at banks that have a high exposure to agricultural loans provides an alternative perspective on the agricultural lending situation. Agricultural banks in table II.D through table II.I are those that have a proportion of farm loans (real estate plus nonreal estate) to total loans that is greater than the unweighted average at all banks. The estimate of this average was 17.1 percent in June of 1995. Information on failed banks (table II.I) is obtained from news releases of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, with agricultural banks broken out in our tabulation according to the definition stated in the previous paragraph. 17 18 SECTION II: (continued) Recent Developments: Loans outstanding: During the second quarter of 1995, the volume of non-real-estate farm loans rose about 8-1/4 percent. This increase was roughly in line with the seasonal increases that have been seen in the spring in recent years. The yearly change in this series was 2 percent, considerably below the substantial increases seen in the first half of 1994. The volume of farm real estate debt that was held by commercial banks at the end of the first quarter of 1995 was 7-1/2 percent greater than one year earlier--more or less the average rate of growth seen since the mid 1980s. Problem loans: At the end of June 1995, delinquent farm non-real-estate loans amounted to $0.9 billion, about 2-1/3 percent of such loans outstanding. Through the first half of 1995, commercial banks charged off, on net, $12 million of farm production loans. The volume of delinquent farm real estate loans outstanding at mid year was unchanged from one year earlier. On June 30, 1995, fewer than 1 of five agricultural banks reported a level of nonperforming loans that was greater than 2 percent of total loans, slightly better than the end of June 1994. Performance of agricultural banks: Through the first half, profits at agricultural banks were about in line with those of the last several years. The average capital ratio for both agricultural banks and other small banks, though already high when compared to the average over the past decade, edged up further in the second quarter. The ratio of loans to deposits at agricultural banks increased in all Federal Reserve districts in the second quarter. For all agricultural banks, the ratio of loans to deposits was 65.5 percent on June 30, the highest level since the late 1970s, when the liquidity of many agricultural banks was a concern. Failures of agricultural banks: No agricultural banks failed in the first three quarters of 1995. Given the strong capital positions of most agricultural banks and their low levels of problem loans, the number of failures seems likely to remain quite low in coming quarters. • • # e • # # e TABLE II.A FARM DEBT OUTSTANDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS, END OF QUARTER LOAN VOLUME, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER NONREAL ESTATE LOANS TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS 1987 Q3... 04... 1 I 44.8 43.5 14.1 14.5 30.6 29.0 1 1 1.2 -2.8 2.1 2.4 0.7 -5.2 1 1 -2.8 -0.9 13.7 13.9 -8.9 -6.9 | | 1988 Ql... 02... 03... 04. .. 1 1 1 1 42.8 45.4 46.1 45.2 14.7 15.2 15.3 15.4 28.1 30.3 30.8 29.8 1 1 I 1 -1.5 6.0 1.5 -1.9 1.9 3.0 1.2 0.5 -3.2 7.6 1.7 -3.1 I 1 1 1 2.2 2.6 3.0 4.0 12.1 9.6 8.6 6.7 -2.3 -0.5 0.4 2.6 | | | | 1989 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 44.2 47.0 48.0 47.4 15.8 16.3 16.5 16.6 28.4 30.7 31.5 30.8 1 1 1 1 -2.2 6.3 2.1 -1.2 2.7 3.0 1.2 0.9 -4.7 8.2 2.5 -2.2 1 1 1 1 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.9 7.5 7.6 7.6 8.0 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.3 | | | | 1990 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 46.1 49.0 50.5 50.1 16.8 17.1 17.3 17.2 29.3 31.9 33.2 32.9 1 1 1 1 -2.8 6.4 3.1 -0.8 0.7 2.2 1.1 -0.6 -4.7 8.7 4.1 -0.9 1 1 1 1 4.3 4.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.1 5.0 3.5 3.4 3.9 5.5 6.9 | | | | 1991 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 49.5 52.6 53.9 53.0 17.5 18.1 18.3 18.4 32.0 34.5 35.6 34.6 1 1 1 1 -1.3 6.2 2.5 -1.6 1.5 3.4 1.4 0.6 -2.8 7.7 3.1 -2.7 1 1 1 1 7.4 7.2 6.6 5.7 4.3 5.5 5.8 7.0 9.1 8.1 7.1 5.1 | | | | 1992 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 51.9 55.1 56.2 54.5 18.9 19.5 19.9 19.9 33.0 35.6 36.2 34.7 1 1 1 1 -2.1 6.2 1.9 -2.9 2.7 3.3 1.9 -0.2 -4.6 7.8 1.9 -4.4 1 1 1 1 4.9 4.9 4.2 2.9 8.2 8.1 8.6 7.8 3.1 3.2 1.9 0.2 | | | | 1993 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 52.8 56.0 58.0 57.7 20.0 20.6 20.8 20.9 32.8 35.4 37.1 36.8 1 1 1 1 -3.2 6.0 3.5 -0.5 0.5 3.1 1.2 0.1 -5.3 7.8 4.9 -0.8 1 1 1 1 1.7 1.6 3.2 5.8 5.6 5.4 4.7 5.0 -0.5 -0.6 2.4 6.2 | | | | 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 56.8 61.1 63.0 61.3 21.2 21.9 22.4 22.6 35.5 39.2 40.6 38.7 1 1 1 1 -1.5 7.6 3.1 -2.7 1.8 3.2 2.2 0.7 -3.4 10.2 3.6 -4.6 1 1 1 1 7.6 9.1 8.7 6.2 6.4 6.4 7.5 8.2 8.3 10.7 9.3 5.2 | | | | 1995 Ql... 02... 1 1 59.9 63.5 22.9 23.6 36.9 40.0 1 1 -2.3 6.1 1.6 2.7 —4.6 8.2 1 1 5.4 4.0 8.0 7.5 3.9 2.0 | | TABLE II.B ESTIMATED DELINQUENT FARM NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM PRODUCTION LOANS NONPERFORMING NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL MEMO: RESTRUCTURED LOANS IN COMPLIANCE TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL 9 .4 6 .5 4 .5 3 .7 3 .1 3 .2 2 .8 2 .2 2 .0 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.9 7..0 4..8 3..3 2..3 1..9 1..9 1..8 1..4 1..1 NONACCRUAL MEMO: RESTRUCTURED LOANS IN COMPLIANCE 1..1 0..7 0.,5 0..5 0..3 0..3 0,.3 0..2 0..2 5,.9 4,.2 2 .9 1 .9 1 .6 1..6 1..5 1 .2 0,.9 1 .4 1 .7 1 .6 1 .4 1 .1 0 .9 0 .7 0 .5 0 .4 PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING December 31 of year indicated 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 .9 1 .9 1 .4 1 .1 1 .0 1 .1 1 .0 0 .8 0..8 0..8 0..5 0..4 0..4 0..4 0..4 0..3 0..3 0..3 2,.2 1,.4 1..0 0,.7 0..6 0..7 0..6 0..5 0..4 0..3 0..2 0..1 0..1 0..1 0,.1 0..1 0..1 0..1 1,.9 1 .2 0,.9 0..6 0..5 0,.5 0..5 0..4 0..3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 End of quarter 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 3.3 3.0 2.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 2.2 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.7 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.9 2.7 2.3 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.1 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 2.9 2.3 1.6 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 Data are estimates of the national totals for farm non-real-estate loans. After 1984, estimates are based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of such loans. Earlier, only large banks that held about one-fourth of such loans reported nonaccrual and renegotiated farm loans; for other banks, estimates of delinquent farm loans are based on a study of delinquent total loans at these banks. TABLE II.C ESTIMATED NET CHARGE-OFFS OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* 1988 1989 199 0 199 1 199 2 1993 1994 199 5 I I I I I I I I TOTAL 01 Q2 Q3 Q4 128 91 51 105 82 54 69 ** 28 10 -5 12 14 7 10 -2 39 26 19 25 20 16 11 14 24 15 10 36 29 5 15 ** 37 40 28 32 18 26 33 ** TOTAL I I I I I I I | 0.46 0.27 0.20 0.32 0.24 0.15 0.19 ** Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0.10 0.03 -0.02 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.03 -0.00 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.03 0.10 0.08 0.01 0.04 ** 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.09 0.05 0.07 0.08 ** * Data are estimates of the national charge-offs of farm non-real-estate loans based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of the outstanding national volume of such loans. Additional uncertainty of the estimates arises because small banks report only charge-offs of 'agricultural' loans as defined by each bank for its internal purposes. Banks first reported these data on the March 1984 Report of Income. 22 TABLE II.D DELINQUENT FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONPERFORMING NONACCRUAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL 2..1 1..8 1..5 1.,0 0..8 0..7 0.,7 1..6 1..3 1..1 0..8 0..4 0..3 0..2 0..2 1.,2 1..0 0.,8 0..6 TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL December 31 of year indicated1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 0..5 0..4 0..4 0..3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0..3 0..3 0..2 0..2 0..1 0..1 0..0 0..0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 1 1 1 1 2. .6 End of quarter1992 Q2. 03. 04. 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.4 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1993 Ql. 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 02. 03. 04. 1994 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1995 Ql. 02. 0.1 0.1 All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. 0.1 1.8 1.6 TABLE II. E NET CHARGE-OFFS OF REAL ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTAL 1992 . 1993 . 1994 , 1995. 20 6 -1 * * CHARGE-OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4 0 -1 -0 7 1 -1 -0 4 2 0 6 3 1 ANNUAL TOTAL 1 1 1 1 0.11 0.03 -0.00 Q1 0 .019 0,.002 -0,.004 -0,,001 Q2 0,• 033 0,,003 -0..004 -0,,001 03 Q4 0,.022 0,.008 0,.002 0. 029 0. 015 0. 003 ** I I I 1 began to report these data in 1991. 23 TABLE II.F DISTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS BY THE SHARE OF THEIR LOANS THAT ARE NONPERFORMING* NONPERFORMING LOANS AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS TOTAL UNDER 2.0 2.0 TO 4.9 5.0 TO 9.9 10.0 TO 14.9 15.0 TO 19.9 20.0 AND OVER Percentage distribution, December 31 of year indicated 1 9 8 6 1 1 0 0 . 0 3 9 . 6 3 2 . ,2 1 9 .7 5,.5 1,.9 1 . 0 | 1 9 8 7 1 1 0 0 .0 5 0 . 3 3 0 . .6 14 . 4 3,.3 0,.9 0 . 3 | 1 9 8 8 1 1 0 0 .0 5 9 . 0 2 8 . .9 9 .7 1,.9 0,.4 0 . 2 | 1 9 8 9 1 1 0 0 .0 6 5 . 8 2 5 . ,1 7 . 6 1,.2 0,.2 0 . 1 | 1 9 9 0 1 1 0 0 .0 6 9 . 6 2 2 . ,7 6 . 4 1,.0 0, .2 0 . 0 | 1 9 9 1 1 1 0 0 .0 7 0 . 8 2 2 . ,3 5 . 8 0,.7 0 .3 0 . 1 | 1 9 9 2 1 1 0 0 , .0 7 6 . 2 1 8 . ,9 3 . 9 0,.8 0 .1 0 . 0 | 1 9 9 3 1 1 0 0 , .0 8 0 . 6 1 5 . ,9 2 . 8 0,.6 0 .1 0 . 0 | 1 9 9 4 1 1 0 0 , .0 8 5 . 5 1 2 . .3 1 . 9 0,.2 0 .1 0 . 0 | trtdJ-VcHLayc 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 i o •" v i Ki l •- I ' i snd of /-<n i —t v» f- z-\ v* 0 1 . . . 1 1 0 0 , .0 7 1 . 8 2 1 . ,8 5 . 3 0,.9 0,.2 0 . 0 | 0 2 . . . I 1 0 0 , ,0 7 4 . 5 2 0 . ,3 4 . 4 0,.6 0,.1 0 . 1 | 0 3 . . . I 1 0 0 . ,0 7 6 . 6 1 9 . ,1 3 . 6 1 0 0 . .0 8 0 . 6 1 5 . ,9 2 . 8 0,. 1 0,. 1 | 1 0,. 6 0,. 6 0 . 0 0 4 . . . 0 . 0 | oi... 1 1 0 0 . ,0 7 9 . 2 1 6 . ,8 3 . 3 0..5 | 1 1 0 0 . .0 8 1 . 1 1 6 . ,0 2 . 4 0 . 0 | 0 3 . . . 1 1 0 0 . ,0 8 3 . 6 1 3 , ,6 2 . 4 0 . 0 | 0 4 . . . 1 1 0 0 . ,0 8 5 . 5 1 2 . ,3 1 . 9 0,. 4 0., 3 0., 2 0,. 1 0,. 1 0,. 0 0,. 1 0 . 0 0 2 . . . 0 . 0 | 0., 2 0., 2 0,. 1 0.. 1 0 . 1 | 0 . 1 | oi... 1 1 0 0 . .0 8 1 .7 1 5 . ,3 2 . 7 0 2 . . . 1 1 0 0 . .0 8 2 . 1 1 5 . ,0 2 . 5 Renegotiated or restructured loans * Nonperforming loans are loans in nonaccrual status or past due 90 days or more. in compliance with the modified terms are not included. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. TABLE II.0 SELECTED MEASURES OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL AND OTHER BANKS* NET INCOME AS A PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE EQUITY AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS ALL BANKS NEGATIVE 0 TO 4 5 TO 9 10 TO 14 AVERAGE RATE OF RETURN TO EQUITY 15 TO 19 20 25 TO AND 24 OVER RATE OF RETURN TO ASSETS NET CHAROE-OFFS AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS AVERAGE CAPITAL RATIO (PERCENT) AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS 11.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 8.0 10.0 11.0 10.8 10.9 12.6 12.4 11.9 12.0 12.0 11.0 8.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 8.5 8.9 11.5 12.4 12.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 10 10 10 4 5 6 5 8 9 1 9 1 4 8 7 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.8 8.8 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.5 10.0 9.9 AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS •percentage distribution1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 7.0 13.0 18.0 19.0 13.0 9.0 5.0 4.9 4.1 1.9 1.5 1.5 7.0 9.0 11.0 14.0 13.0 9.0 7.0 7.5 7.7 5.0 5.7 5.7 18.,0 23 .0 22,,0 27,.0 31,0 30.0 29.0 33.4 32,2 25.5 27.8 31.3 36.0 36.0 33.0 28.0 31.0 36.0 38.0 37.6 39.2 41.1 40.6 40.2 24.,0 15.,0 13.,0 9.,0 9.,0 12.0 14.0 12.9 13.4 19.8 18.5 17.1 7,.0 3 .0 3 ,0 2,.0 2,,0 3 ,0 4 ,0 2.6 2.,5 5.1 4 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 o 0 0 1 9 7 3 9 I I I I I I 1 1 I 1 1 I QUARTERLY YEAR TO DATE 1993 Q2... Q3. .. 04... | | | 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.8 9.7 12.4 0,,7 1,,0 1,,2 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 10.9 11.0 10.8 10.0 10.0 10.0 1994 Ql... 02... Q3... Q4... | | | | 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.1 6.3 9.4 12.4 0,3 0,6 0,9 1,2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 11.0 11.0 11.1 10.7 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.9 1995 Ql... Q2... | | 3.1 6.1 0,3 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.1 11.3 10.3 10.4 * Agricultural end other bank# are defined in the introduction to section II; small banks have less than 500 million dollars in assets Total primary and secondary capital (items that are available at the end of the period specified) are measured as a percentage of total assets. Quarterly data in the lower panel are cumulative through the end of the quarter indicated and, for periods of less than a year, are not comparable to the annual data in the upper panel. 25 26 TABLE II.H AVERAGE L/DAN-DEPOSIT RATIOS AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS IN SELECTED FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS* DECEMBER 31 U.S. NUMBER 0F BANKS CLEVELAND ATLANTA CHICAGO ST. LOUIS MINNEAPOLIS KANSAS CITY DALLAS SAN FRANCISCO MINIMUM FARM LOAN RATIO LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 4068 3955 3854 3723 3550 0 .548 0..551 0,.555 0,.582 0,.625 77 71 75 67 56 0,.649 0,.642 0,.643 0,.660 0,.707 135 133 131 130 125 0 .595 0 .609 0 .607 0..618 0 .646 1009 969 948 912 860 0..563 0,.572 0,.574 0..600 0..643 477 470 456 432 402 0..566 0..567 0..563 0..590 0..629 743 725 694 669 658 0..559 0..569 0..579 0..615 0..674 1171 1135 1092 1063 1014 0..511 0..522 0..533 0,.566 0..618 385 378 384 378 366 0..460 0..438 0..422 0,.442 0..474 57 60 61 58 53 0,.699 0 .711 0 .708 0 .733 0,.747 15,.92 16 .56 16,.72 17 .04 16 .99 1993 Q2. .. Q3. .. Q4. .. 3820 3794 3723 0.,581 0..597 0..582 74 73 67 0..677 0..673 0..660 144 144 130 0..633 0..654 0,.618 925 925 912 0..594 0..609 0.,600 458 459 432 0..593 0..618 0..590 678 676 669 0..621 0..640 0..615 1076 1067 1063 0..556 0..564 0..566 389 377 378 0..439 0..463 0..442 57 59 58 0,.765 0,.756 0,.733 16 .97 17 .27 17 .04 1994 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. .. .. .. .. 3705 3689 3640 3550 0..586 0.,621 0.,643 0.,625 66 64 61 56 0..670 0,.704 0.,701 0.,707 132 138 131 125 0..620 0..652 0..669 0..646 894 886 889 860 0.,606 0. 634 0. 658 0. 643 421 431 432 402 0..590 0..626 0.,657 0.,629 672 668 664 658 0.,622 0.,677 0.,702 0.,674 1057 1046 1023 1014 0..570 0.,601 0..618 0.,618 387 379 367 366 0.453 0..476 0.503 0.,474 58 59 56 53 0..749 0..764 0..768 0..747 16 .88 17,.42 17,.55 16,.99 1995 Ql... Q2. .. 3484 3488 0.,634 0.,655 56 55 0.,718 0.,730 129 136 0.,653 0.,668 847 844 0.650 0.664 389 397 0. 634 0. 665 638 639 0.684 0.714 993 984 0.,622 0. 637 364 361 0.491 0.518 50 52 0..768 0..791 16,.75 17..12 The loan-deposit ratio is defined as total loans divided by total deposits, that shown in the last column, as described in the introduction to section II. Agricultural banks are defined as banks with a farm loan ratio at least as great as TABLE II.I FAILURES OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS* NUMBER OF FAILURES 1987..,, . . 1988..., . . 1989..., . . 1990 . , , .. 1991. . . .,. 1992. , , . . 1993 . . ,. . 1994..,, . . 1995..., . . 01 02 03 04 ANNUAL TOTAL 22 11 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 19 6 7 5 2 1 2 0 0 12 12 5 6 3 1 2 0 0 16 7 5 3 1 4 0 0 69 36 22 17 8 7 5 0 * * * * * Data exclude banks assisted to prevent failure. Industrial banks and mutual savings banks also are excluded. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. 28 SECTION III: F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK Q U A R T E R L Y S U R V E Y S OF FARM CREDIT CONDITIONS A N D F A R M LAND V A L U E S TABLES: III.A III.B III.C III.D III.E Page Nonreal estate lending experience Expected change in non- real - estate loan volume and repayment conditions A v e r a g e loan/deposit ratio, and other indicators of relative credit availability Interest rates Trends in real estate values and loan volume 30 32 34 36 38 SOURCES OF DATA: Data are from quarterly surveys of a g r i c u l t u r a l credit conditions at commercial banks. These s u r v e y s are conducted at the end of each quarter by five Federal Reserve Banks. The size of the surveys d i f f e r s considerably, as is noted in the information b e l o w . In addition, the five surveys differ in subject m a t t e r covered (as is evident in the tables), w o r d i n g of basically similar questions, and type of b a n k s c o v e r e d . Most of the d i f f e r e n c e s in wording are reflected in the use of different column headings on the two pages of each table. The states included in each district are indicated in the table headings; states that fall only partly within a given district are marked w i t h asterisks. Beginning in 1994, the Minneapolis Federal R e s e r v e Bank revised its survey considerably. Many q u e s t i o n s were changed and it w a s not always possible to m a t c h the data to the categories that we have shown in p r e v i o u s editions of the D a t a b o o k . Whenever possible, w e h a v e tried to fit the data from the revised survey into the older format. Series that w e r e discontinued show no data for the first quarter, w h i l e those that w e r e added suddenly appear. W h e n a significant b r e a k in the data occurred, we included the new data and added a footnote to highlight the changes. Research d e p a r t m e n t s at each of the five R e s e r v e Banks issue more detailed results; these reports are available at the a d d r e s s e s given below. quarterly reports on their survey Federal Reserve B a n k of Chicago. Box 834, Chicago, Illinois, 60690 The sample includes m e m b e r banks at w h i c h farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans as of June 1972 (a 10 percent standard is used for b a n k s in the state of M i c h i g a n ) . The sample has u n d e r g o n e periodic review. The latest survey results w e r e based on the responses of about 450 banks. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Federal R e s e r v e P.O. Station, Kansas City Missouri 64198 The sample chosen originally in 1976 consisted of 181 banks selected from banks at which farm loans constituted 50 percent or more of total loans, w i t h appropriate representation of all farm areas. T h e sample w a s redrawn and significantly expanded in 1987; m o r e than 300 banks responded to the latest survey. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. M i n n e a p o l i s , Minnesota 55480 Before 1987, the sample provided a cross - section of banks of all sizes that were engaged in farm lending. M e m b e r s of the Upper Midwest Agricultural Credit Council formed the core of the survey panel. B e g i n n i n g in 1987, the sample was redrawn to include only b a n k s at which farm loans represented 25 percent or m o r e of total loans. As outlined above, the Minneapolis survey w a s changed considerably beginning in the first quarter of 1994. In recent surveys, about 130 banks r e s p o n d e d . http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ # e Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis e # e # # e • • # # # Section III: # # # # # # * # # (continued) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. P.O. Box 655906, Dallas. Texas 75265-5906 The sample is stratified regionally and includes banks at w h i c h farm loans are relatively important or which hold a major portion of bank loans in their region. The sample was enlarged in the first quarter of 1985 and was redrawn in the second quarter of 1989. The results for the most recent quarter w e r e based on the responses from about 200 respondents. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Richmond, Virginia 23261 The number of agricultural banks in this district is much smaller than those of the other d i s t r i c t s . When the survey was initiated in 1975. the sample consisted of 43 banks of all sizes; banks w i t h larger amounts of farm loans w e r e sampled more heavily. More recently. the sample has consisted of about 30 b a n k s . roughly three-fourths of w h i c h typically respond to the quarterly surveys. RECENT D E V E L O P M E N T S : Bankers responding to the surveys indicated that the demand for farm loans remained fairly steady in the second quarter of 1995. The availability of funds, which may have tightened a bit in the first quarter, appears to have remained about the same in the second quarter. Compared w i t h one year earlier, the rate of loan repayment was about the same in the Chicago and Richmond districts, w h i l e it was lower in the other districts. The districts that reported poorer rates of loan repayment also reported a pickup in renewals or extensions. Consistent with the data from the Call reports shown in the previous section, the ratio of loans to d e p o s i t s was w e l l above y e a r - e a r l i e r levels at banks in all the districts that report. Furthermore, the p r o p o r t i o n of banks that characterized their ratio of loans to deposits as higher than desired grew as w e l l . Several b a n k s in the Kansas City and M i n n e a p o l i s districts reported turning down a loan b e c a u s e of a shortage of l o a n a b l e funds, although the level of this indicator remained quite low in both districts. Rates of interest on farm loans edged down in general in all districts in the second quarter of 1995. As noted in section I of the Databook. rates on agricultural loans probably began to move down in the last few months. However, the timing of these surveys varies across districts, and the average speed at w h i c h b a n k s pass along changes in costs of funds may vary across districts as well. Prices for agricultural land have been mixed through mid 1995. The rate of increase in prices from one year earlier slowed for all land in the Chicago and Minneapolis districts. The rate of increase in prices for ranchland slowed in the Kansas City and Minneapolis districts, perhaps reflecting poorer returns for cattlemen, yet prices for ranchland in the Dallas district surged. 29 30 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER III.A1 SAME FUND AVAILABILITY LOWER HIGHER SAME LOAN REPAYMENT RATE HIGHER LOWER SAME RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS HIGHER LOWER SAME COLLATERAL REQUIRED HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, HI* ) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 24 20 15 49 50 44 27 30 40 1 1 1 5 10 6 61 59 62 34 31 32 1 1 1 18 21 29 68 67 46 13 11 25 1 I 1 13 13 21 65 64 49 22 23 30 1 1 I 0 1 1 85 84 87 15 15 12 1994 Ql... Q2... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 12 10 13 21 41 41 42 46 47 49 45 33 1 I I 1 9 13 22 18 61 67 60 63 30 20 18 19 1 I I 1 28 20 20 18 50 69 66 53 22 11 14 29 1 1 1 1 18 10 13 24 50 65 68 60 32 25 19 17 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 86 89 88 90 14 11 11 9 1995 Ql... 02... 1 1 15 13 49 50 37 37 I 1 20 14 64 67 16 18 1 1 19 16 64 76 17 9 1 1 17 13 63 71 20 16 1 1 1 0 87 89 12 10 III.A3 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO*, HE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 02... 03... 04... 14 16 14 58 57 56 28 26 30 1 1 1 11 17 12 62 61 68 27 22 20 1 1 1 7 12 20 82 80 71 11 8 10 1 1 1 11 7 10 82 81 74 7 12 16 1 1 I 1 0 1 88 89 91 11 11 9 1994 oi... 02... 03... Q4... 9 10 10 9 59 53 49 56 32 37 41 35 1 1 I 1 10 19 28 26 72 67 62 65 18 13 9 9 1 1 1 1 16 16 18 25 76 78 74 65 8 6 8 10 1 I I I 7 5 8 10 78 84 77 69 15 12 15 21 1 I I 1 1 0 0 0 89 92 90 89 10 8 9 11 1995 Ql... 02... 10 11 51 58 39 32 I 1 21 18 69 69 10 14 I 1 28 32 67 67 5 1 1 1 6 2 69 70 25 27 1 1 0 0 87 88 13 12 III.A3 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX ) 1993 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 20 18 8 58 54 62 22 28 30 1 1 1 4 4 3 59 65 70 38 31 27 I 1 1 6 10 12 75 77 70 18 13 18 1 1 1 16 14 24 78 76 63 6 11 14 I 1 1 0 1 0 85 82 86 15 17 14 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... I I 1 1 11 22 16 13 62 56 49 54 26 21 35 33 1 1 1 1 3 3 10 7 78 79 72 71 19 18 18 22 1 1 I 1 9 14 13 16 78 75 76 72 13 11 12 12 1 1 1 1 17 12 10 13 76 77 75 68 7 11 16 20 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 86 91 88 88 13 8 10 11 1995 Ql. . . 02... 1 1 13 12 53 50 34 38 1 1 8 8 78 79 14 14 I 1 20 21 72 74 7 5 1 1 11 9 67 70 22 21 1 1 1 0 83 81 16 19 e e e e e e e e e e e FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A (CONTINUED) FARM NONRBAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH NORMAL CONDITIONS (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER III.A4 HIGHER LOWER SAME LOAN REPAYMENT RATE HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOWER SAME COLLATERAL REQUIRED HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI* ) 1993 Q2... Q3. . . 04... 1 1 1 9 9 3 1994 01... 02... Q3. .. Q4... | | *** *** 1995 Ql... 02... III.AS SAME FUND AVAILABILITY 12 16 18 | | | *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1 1 1 1 11 16 29 17 *** *** *** *** 1 1 21 20 79 75 79 *** *** 1 1 1 20 44 49 78 54 45 2 2 6 8 7 8 77 73 52 15 20 40 i | • *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *•* 61 64 54 66 28 19 17 17 1 1 1 1 30 25 28 36 59 71 62 47 10 5 9 17 7 10 10 11 63 71 74 64 30 20 16 25 I 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 83 86 93 86 16 13 7 14 66 62 13 18 1 1 43 45 51 53 6 2 10 7 55 63 35 30 1 1 0 1 81 74 19 25 FIFTH[ (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV* ) 1993 Q2... 03... Q4... 1 1 I 9 23 30 83 73 57 9 5 13 1 1 1 0 0 0 70 73 74 30 27 26 1 1 1 5 14 30 91 86 65 5 0 4 18 5 5 77 86 64 5 10 32 0 0 0 87 86 70 13 14 30 1994 Ql... 02... Q3... 04... 1 1 1 1 4 5 13 19 72 76 79 71 24 19 8 10 1 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 64 67 75 76 32 33 25 24 1 1 1 1 20 10 4 10 64 90 88 81 4 0 8 10 0 0 17 14 76 86 79 76 24 14 4 10 0 0 0 0 88 80 83 76 13 20 17 24 1995 Ql. . . 02... 1 1 20 20 66 76 12 4 1 1 16 12 72 72 12 16 1 1 12 12 84 88 4 0 12 4 84 88 4 8 4 4 80 84 16 12 31 32 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B FARM NONREAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH VOLUME OF LOANS MADE A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) TOTAL LOWER SAME III.B1 FEEDER CATTLE HIGHER LOWER SAME DAIRY HIGHER LOWER SAME CROP STORAGE HIGHER LOWER SAME OPERATING HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM MACHINERY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 02... Q3... Q4 • • • 1 1 1 18 13 10 58 56 43 23 31 47 22 18 19 69 68 72 9 14 8 | | | 16 17 16 77 78 75 6 5 8 | | | 24 18 28 67 59 59 9 23 13 1 1 I 14 12 7 51 53 36 35 35 57 1 I 1 33 30 21 47 47 43 20 23 36 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 11 13 23 18 42 55 48 52 48 32 29 30 22 48 44 31 72 50 50 62 6 2 5 7 | I | I 16 24 20 21 74 70 74 74 10 6 6 5 | | | | 28 19 12 19 64 67 45 58 8 14 43 23 1 1 1 1 7 8 21 12 38 50 49 46 55 42 29 42 1 1 1 1 15 25 17 16 48 54 50 54 36 21 34 30 1995 01... 02... 1 1 14 14 53 60 33 26 32 38 62 58 6 3 | | 19 21 71 74 10 5 | | 19 26 68 65 13 9 1 1 13 11 42 53 46 36 1 1 15 22 53 61 33 17 III ,B2 ELEVENTH (DALLAS FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1993 02... 03... Q4... 1 1 1 13 13 7 63 59 62 24 28 31 10 13 11 75 63 69 16 24 19 | | | 7 11 12 85 82 79 8 7 9 | I I 11 11 9 76 82 81 13 7 10 1 1 1 10 10 7 65 65 61 25 25 31 1 1 1 13 12 10 69 67 62 18 21 28 1994 01... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 7 18 10 6 75 67 62 63 18 15 28 31 14 38 28 18 74 51 55 68 12 10 17 13 | | | | 13 16 9 13 77 80 88 81 9 4 3 6 I I | | 17 15 8 11 79 72 74 84 5 13 17 6 1 1 1 1 7 5 10 5 65 63 63 60 28 32 28 36 1 1 1 1 8 15 15 12 74 69 66 69 18 16 19 19 1995 01... 02... 1 1 15 16 65 54 21 30 22 33 63 55 15 12 | | 13 20 83 78 3 3 | | 12 11 86 79 3 10 1 1 12 8 55 58 34 33 1 1 12 15 67 69 21 16 III ,B3 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC sc, VA, WV*) 1993 02... 03... 04... 0 10 11 96 80 74 4 10 16 1 1 1 10 11 11 85 84 78 5 5 11 1 1 1 5 17 18 95 78 82 0 6 0 1 1 I 9 23 30 82 55 70 9 23 0 1 1 I 13 9 4 78 64 70 9 27 26 1 1 1 13 27 18 83 59 64 4 14 18 1994 01. .. 02... 03... 04... 14 5 18 11 59 65 68 72 27 30 14 17 1 1 1 1 5 16 15 13 90 74 70 81 5 11 15 6 1 1 1 1 11 18 11 7 89 82 84 87 0 0 5 7 1 1 I I 14 10 9 5 82 86 77 95 5 5 14 0 1 1 1 I 13 10 17 5 57 62 71 71 30 29 13 24 1 1 1 1 23 10 13 0 59 67 67 81 18 24 21 19 1995 01... 02... 17 8 67 79 17 13 1 I 25 20 70 80 5 0 1 1 14 21 76 79 10 0 1 1 14 14 77 86 9 0 1 1 12 4 72 88 16 8 1 1 8 4 71 84 21 12 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B (CONTINUED) EXPECTED DEMAND POR PARM LOANS DURING NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL DEMAND (PERCENTAGE OP BANKS REPORTING) SHORT-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER LOWER III.B4 SAME HIGHER SAME DEBT EXTENSION OR REFINANCING HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1990 Q4. . . 1 8 69 23 1 9 81 10 1 11 68 20 | 1991 01... 02... Q3... Q4... 1 1 1 1 5 4 3 8 72 75 78 75 23 21 18 18 1 1 1 1 12 14 12 11 82 84 81 82 6 2 7 7 1 1 1 1 6 5 5 4 83 78 66 69 12 16 29 27 | | | | 1992 Ql. .. 02... 03... Q4... 1 1 1 1 2 8 10 5 86 78 80 86 11 14 10 9 1 1 1 1 3 11 13 14 90 86 82 80 7 3 5 6 1 1 1 1 2 2 8 7 79 86 78 68 18 11 14 25 | | | | 1993 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 5 3 7 3 84 81 62 69 11 16 32 28 1 1 1 1 8 13 15 7 85 82 71 75 7 6 14 18 1 1 1 1 3 6 6 6 84 78 55 56 13 17 39 38 | | | | FEEDER LIVESTOCK LOWER SAME OTHER INTERMEDIATE HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM REAL ESTATE HIGHER LOWER SAME OTHER OPERATING HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM MACHINERY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 33 39 31 31 63 57 55 61 8 4 14 7 1 1 1 1 11 15 21 13 71 71 69 77 17 13 10 10 1 1 1 1 24 27 25 33 58 56 61 55 18 17 14 12 1 1 1 1 3 11 11 3 65 63 66 66 33 26 23 31 1 1 1 1 18 20 22 24 60 65 62 61 21 15 16 15 01... 1 1 28 47 68 49 4 4 1 1 15 27 75 58 10 16 1 1 30 44 60 48 10 8 1 1 5 5 58 59 37 36 1 1 29 45 58 49 13 7 1995 02... 33 34 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT Ill .CI REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS LOWER AT DESIRED THAN DESIRED LEVEL HIGHER THAN DESIRED .. i 60 1 65 25 10 1 1994 01. Q2. 03. 04. .. .. 1 1 1 1 60 62 65 64 I 1 1 1 66 55 50 50 24 33 30 32 10 12 20 18 1 1 | | | | 1 1 III .C2 CORRESPONDENT BANKS NONE NONBANK AGENCIES COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER NONE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 04. 1995 01. 02. NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS 65 66 1 1 49 48 34 35 17 17 *** | *** *** *** • ** 1 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1 1 1 1 ** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** • ** *** *** 1 | 1 1 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *•* *** *** • ** *** *** *** | 1 *** 1 1 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** • ** *** • ** *** *** *** *** *** TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO*, NB, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 04. .. 1 56 1 73 7 15 | 2 72 1 77 12 83 5 1 69 13 78 9 1994 01. 02. • 03. # 04. 1 1 1 1 56 59 61 60 1 1 1 1 73 69 59 61 9 8 10 7 17 23 26 30 | | | | 2 1 3 4 76 76 70 72 1 1 1 1 75 77 74 75 10 11 11 12 84 82 81 81 6 7 9 7 1 I I 1 64 68 70 67 11 10 11 9 76 78 77 77 13 12 12 14 1 1 61 62 1 1 61 59 7 7 29 25 | | 5 5 70 65 1 1 76 78 9 11 85 84 6 5 I 1 68 70 8 9 79 81 13 10 *** 12 84 4 1 11 85 4 *** * * 11 13 12 13 83 84 82 80 6 3 6 7 1 j 1 1 *** ** * * 10 10 10 13 83 86 83 84 7 4 7 4 9 14 85 80 5 6 1 | *** 11 18 84 76 5 6 * * 1995 01. 02. III • C3 1993 04. .. 1994 01. 02. 03. # 04. .. 1995 01. 02. # .. ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX) 1 45 | *** *** | 1 *** 1 1 1 1 1 45 44 47 44 1 1 1 1 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** j j j 1 1 1 1 *** *** *** *** 1 1 1 1 1 1 45 47 | 1 *** *** *** *** 1 1 1 1 *** *** 1 1 e e e e e # # # * # # FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C (CONTINUED) AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT Ill . C4 LOWER AT THAN DESIRED DESIRED LEVEL HIGHER THAN DESIRED NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS CORRESPONDENT BANKS NONE NONBANK AGENCIES COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER NONE COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) | 5 *** 1 *** • ** *** *** 1 1 1 1 6 5 11 7 *** *** *** *** 1 1 1 1 *** *** 1 1 10 9 *** 1 1 1993 04... 1 56 1 36 1994 01... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 63 65 68 66 I 1 1 1 1995 oi... 02... 1 1 66 69 1 i III .C5 REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS 54 10 3 62 3 1 52+ 50+ 42+ 36+ 45 44 50 57 3 7 8 7 1 1 1 1 36+ 36+ 58 55 6 9 1 1 31 4 63 6 49+ 48+ 41+ 34+ 38 45 51 56 14 7 8 10 31+ 32+ 57 57 12 11 28 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 1993 Q4... | 68 1 53 37 11 1 0 65 1 71 0 29 0 1 65 0 35 0 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... | | | | 69 68 71 70 1 1 1 1 50 45 38 37 40 50 52 58 10 5 10 5 1 1 1 1 0 5 0 0 77 76 78 90 1 1 1 1 71 90 85 88 0 0 0 0 29 10 15 13 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 65 74 74 71 5 5 0 0 30 21 26 24 0 0 0 6 1995 Ql... 02... | | 75 76 1 1 42 36 46 41 13 23 1 I 0 0 76 83 1 1 83 86 4 0 13 14 0 0 1 1 70 77 9 0 22 23 0 0 •Beginning in 1994, Minneapolis omitted the response "none" for the number of referrals to either correspondent banks or nonbank agencies. The column that has been added combines responses that formerly would have been reported as either "none" or "low". 35 36 FBDBRAL RBSBRVB BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE XII.D INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D1 OTHER OPERATING LOANS SHORTTERM NONRBAL ESTATE 1 8.5 8.5 *** 1994 01. 02. • • 03. •. 04. 1 1 1 1 8.5 9.0 9.3 9.9 8.5 9.0 9.4 10.0 *** *** *** *** 1995 01. • 02. • 1 1 10.3 10.2 10.3 10.2 *** *** • III.D2 LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SHORT-TERM NONRBAL ESTATE1 LOANS INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER LOWER *** *** *** 7.9 1 *** *** 8.0 8.5 8.9 9.5 1 1 1 1 *** *** *** *** www www www www 9.7 9.6 1 1 ** *** www www HIGHER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER *** 1 www • WW WWW | www *** | I I 1 www www www www www www www www WWW WWW WWW | 1 | 1 www www www www www www www www www www www 1 www www www www WWW *+* 1 1 www www www www www www 1 www www www ; 1 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www *** , www TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, MO*, NB , NM*, OK) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 04. 1 8.7 8.9 *** 8.8 8.3 j www 1994 01. .. 02. .. 03. • » 04. 1 1 1 1 8.7 9.1 9.4 10.0 8.9 9.2 9.6 10.1 *** *** *** *** 8.9 9.2 9.6 10.1 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.7 1 1 1 1 *** *** *** *** 1995 01. 02. 1 1 10.4 10.3 10.5 10.5 *** *** 10.5 10.4 10.1 9.9 1 1 *** *** SAME LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI* , WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 04. # INTERMEDIATE NONRBAL ESTATE AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) *** *** *** *** *ww www www 1 www www 1 1 1 www www www www www www www www I 1 www www www www www WWW ... ... WWW | I FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D (CONTINUED) INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D3 OTHER OPERATING LOANS SHORTTERM NONRBAL ESTATE INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SHORT-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER LOWER SAME HIGHER 5 86 9 I I | 1 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** SAME HIGHER LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 3 88 9 1 | | | *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1993 Q4... 1 *** • ** 8.8 8.9 8.4 | 1994 01... Q2... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 *** *** *** 9.2 9.1 9.5 10.3 *** *** *** *** 9.2 9.2 9.8 10.4 8.4 8.4 8.7 9.7 | | | | 1995 01. .. Q2. .. 1 1 *** *** 10.6 10.8 *** *** 10.6 10.8 10.1 10.2 | | 7 85 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 8 1 *** *** *** * * | 1 *** *** *** *** *** 1 1 *** ** *** *** *** *** III • D4 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1993 04... 1 9.1 9.3 *** 9.4 9.2 I *** *** *** 1 I *** *** *** 1 ** *** *** 1994 Ql. .. 02... 03... 04. .. 1 1 1 1 9.2 9.6 10.1 10.5 9.3 9.8 10.1 10.5 *** *** *** *** 9.4 9.7 10.1 10.6 9.2 9.7 10.1 10.6 I | | | *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1 I | 1 | I 1 *** *** *** ** • ** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** | | 1 | I | 1 *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 11.1 11.0 *** *** 11.2 11.1 11.0 10.7 | | *** *** *** *** |I |1 *** *** *** *** ... | I | 1 *** *** *** *** ... 1 *** *** *** |1 *** *** *** *** • ** *** *** *** ** *** | 1 . *** *** *** 1 *** *** **• *** *** *** i | *** *** 1995 01... 02... 1 1 11.0 11.0 *** III • D5 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 1993 04... 1 8.5 8.3 *** 8.7 8.3 | *** *** 8.2 9.9 9.7 10.2 9.0 10.0 9.4 9.8 | | | | *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** | I | , 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.0 | | *** *** *** | *** 1 1994 01. .. 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 1 8.6 9.8 9.6 10.0 8.6 9.7 9.5 10.2 *** *** *** *** 1995 01. .. 02... 1 1 10.7 10.4 10.5 10.4 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 37 38 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III. E TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER ALL III.El DRYLAND IRRIGATED TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER RANCHLAND ALL DRYLAND IRRIGATED EXPECTED TREND IN FARM REAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) RANCHLAND DOWN STABLE UP LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*r IN*, IX, MI*, WI«) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1993 Q4... I 1 *** *** *** | 3 *** **« * * | 4 66 30 | 14 57 29 1994 01... 02... 03... Q4... I I I I 2 1 1 1 *•* * * *•* *** »** **« *** *** «*« *** *«* *** I | I I 5 6 7 7 *•• *** *•* *** *•* **• *** *** ••* **« *** *** | | I | 1 2 4 3 63 70 59 65 37 20 37 32 I | I I 13 16 17 19 57 66 64 63 30 18 19 18 1995 Ql... 02... I | 1 0 *** *** *** *** *** *** | | 5 5 *** *** *** *** *** *** | I 2 3 67 73 31 23 I | 18 18 60 69 22 13 1 5 91 5 1 19 71 10 1 88 100 92 95 8 0 4 0 1 1 1 1 13 10 17 15 78 80 74 80 9 10 9 5 96 96 0 4 1 1 17 26 83 74 0 0 * *** •** | 8 74 17 *** *** *** *** **« *** * *** *** *** *•* *** | I I | 12 17 14 11 75 73 72 79 13 10 14 10 *** *** *** *** * * **• | | 10 17 78 73 12 10 III.B2 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 0 *** *** 1994 Ql... 1 Q2 • • • I Q3.. . 1 Q4... 1 8 -8 4 -5 *** *** *** *** *** 1995 Ql... 02... 18 —6 *** *** 1993 Q4••• | 1 1 III.E3 *** *** *** 1 -9 1 1 1 1 1 -3 4 -1 *** *** *** 1 1 8 9 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1 1 4 0 4 5 *** *** , | 4 0 | ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1993 Q4... I *** 1 3 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... I I I I *** *** *** *** 2 1 0 1 2 3 1995 Ql... 02... I I *** *** -1 -1 *** - 2 6 I *«* 3 -3 3 -1 I «** I I * * * -5 1 *** 9 | * * * 4 5 4 4 -3 3 5 5 1 2 1 | * * * 2 I **• 1 -1 4 3 5 | 3 I 2 1 -0 1 3 | 6 8 | | • e # e e e e e e e e FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B (CONTINUED) TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER ALL III .84 1993 Q4. .. 1994 01. 02. * Q3 .• 04. • • 1995 01. 02. DRYLAND IRRIGATED 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 3 1 2 -0 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 6 6 4 4 6 5 1 1 2 1 2 1 3 -0 I I 7 7 4 4 *** *** 1994 01. 02. • 03. • Q4. | 1 1 1 *** *** *** *** ** A *** *** *** *** *** *** 1 1 RANCHLAND DOWN STABLE UP LOWER SAME HIGHER 2 | 3 2 I *** 1 *** 8 7 7 7 | I I I *** *** *** • ** I | l | *** *** *** *** 6 5 I I *** *** | | *** *** 1 7 79 14 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 7 *** *** *** *** *** •** NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SC, WI*) *** 1995 01. 02. IRRIGATED 2 1 • DRYLAND TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, MO*, NB, NM* , OK, WY) 1993 04. • . • ALL 1 III •E5 TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER RANCHLAND EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) *** *** *** | 5 3 4 | 1 1 1 1 6 7 6 4 6 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 I | I I *** i 1 1 | 1 1 4 3 4 3 3 2 | I *** *** 1 | 39