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Jim Strader
(804) 697-8956

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Oct. 26, 2012

Richmond Fed President Lacker
Comments on FOMC Dissent
Richmond, Va.

"The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), decided on
October 24, 2012, to continue purchasing additional agency
mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month. The
Committee released a statement after the meeting saying that it
expects a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy to remain
appropriate for a considerable period after the economic recovery
strengthens, and that it currently anticipates that exceptionally low
levels for the federal funds rate are likely to be warranted at least
through mid-2015.
"I dissented for the same reasons that I did at the September meeting
. I opposed continuing additional asset purchases. Further
monetary stimulus now is unlikely to result in a discernible
improvement in growth, but if it does, it’s also likely to cause an
unwanted increase in inflation. Economic activity has been growing at
a modest pace, on average, and inflation has been fluctuating around
2 percent, which the Committee has identified as its inflation goal .
Unemployment does remain high by historical standards, but
improvement in labor market conditions appears to have been held
back by real impediments that are beyond the capacity of monetary
policy to offset. In such circumstances, further monetary stimulus
runs the risk of raising inflation in a way that threatens the stability of
inflation expectations.
"I also dissented because I disagreed with the characterization of the
time period over which the stance of monetary policy would be highly
accommodative and the federal funds rate would be exceptionally
low. I read the Committee statement as saying that the federal funds
rate will be exceptionally low for a considerable time after we observe
a marked increase in the growth of employment and output. I do not
believe that a policy conforming to this characterization would be
appropriate, because it implies providing too much stimulus beyond
the point at which rate increases will be required to keep inflation in
check. Such an implied commitment would be inconsistent with a
balanced approach to the FOMC’s price stability and maximum
employment mandates. I do believe that it is useful for the Committee

(804) 332-0207 (mobile)
Laura Fortunato
(804) 697-8196
(804) 698-0927 (mobile)

to characterize economic conditions under which policy would be
likely to change in the future, but specific calendar dates are a highly
imperfect way of doing so.
"Finally, I strongly opposed purchasing additional agency mortgagebacked securities, or MBS. Purchasing MBS can be expected to
reduce borrowing rates for conforming home mortgages by more than
it reduces borrowing rates for nonconforming mortgages or for other
borrowing sectors, such as small business, autos or unsecured
consumer loans. Deliberately tilting the flow of credit to one particular
economic sector is an inappropriate role for the Federal Reserve. As
stated in the Joint Statement of the Department of Treasury and the
Federal Reserve on March 23, 2009, 'Government decisions to
influence the allocation of credit are the province of the fiscal
authorities.'
“My views on the economy and monetary policy are also available on
richmondfed.org.”
The Richmond Fed serves the Fifth Federal Reserve District, which
includes the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, South
Carolina, Virginia and most of West Virginia. As part of the nation's
central bank, we're one of 12 regional Reserve Banks that work
together with the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors to
strengthen the economy and our communities. We manage the
nation's money supply to keep inflation low and help the economy
grow. We also supervise and regulate financial institutions to help
safeguard our nation's financial system and protect the integrity and
efficiency of our payments system.
###

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