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, . . .. ■ . a .vy ' Reg. U. S Volume 178 UNlVg Number 5260 New York 7, P^irv ') OPMICH SAN AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION CONVENTION ISSUE *- ~ OCT 2 1953 Pat. Office N.Y., Thursday, October 1, 1953 Price 40 Cents a Copy EDITORIAL Excess Profits Tax Lapse And Tax Cuts in Offing We See It As We have apparently reached another of those stages when to some a depression appears "in¬ evitable." This is, of course, not the first time we Secretary of the Treasury After years, spending tion that in can case, be no says the been ques¬ distinct improvement in jof business during the particularly: difficult, if build up-a pretty good stantial of high to take the recession which moderate its hand, there has other lines r. is, however, Sienkiewicz, membership The American < Bankers Association ,held its 79th Annual Convention at Constitution Hall in am for going Washington, D. C:, from Sept. 20 through Sept. 23, few a trying to do sound, not is clear. If areas achieved goal our we over¬ size of the job itself but also because realize that our economy is a very sensitive I George mechanism and we Everett must proceed carefully, but always stead¬ ily, toward the goal we seek. Too Humphrey Continued on page D. President Ohio, 32 as Homer Reese and before drastic and precipitous action might react badly in many ways. We must approach our objec- 43 J. Livingston bnerman Lirawdy adjournment elected Everett D. Reese, of Park the National Bank, Newark, President of the Association to succeed W. Harold Brenton, President of the State Bank address American by Secy. Humphrey at the 79th Convention of the Bankers Association, Washington, D. C., Sept. 22, 1953. page on — 16, In addition to the material texts of the 79th Annual Convention of course ninety-eight we present in this issue, starting ^ Association's or over is working constantly to strengthen all three pillars. Our goal MORE ABA ADDRESSES IN THIS ISSUE Chemical herein. given night, it is not only because of the ♦An we others comprises 16,873, a in each of these gives us some concern. It inevitable outgrowth of the psychology and the philosophy from Which the so-called full empage and now tion have current on Burgess, percent of nation's banks. an Continued Jff. Randolph debt management. This Administra¬ | any state of affairs which is Secretary pillars—a proper budget properly functioning FedReserve System, and proper era! will be aspect of the an Deputy Federal Reserve Governor Robertson, Secy, of Agricul¬ ture Ezra T. Benson, Roy L. Reierson, Casimir A. every to achieve sound money. I say not hard but honest money. policy, : past. There Ad¬ Sound money is based upon three,: relatively short-lived. Periods of some uncertainty such as this—and periods in which we are regaled with forecasts galore—will doubtless come and go in the future as they have in the Drawdy is elected Treasurer. U principal for expecting sub¬ appearance intimately moments about what this Administration is and makes concerned are liberty this morning of talking some impossible to "prove" that Humphrey, tax system is under consid¬ Administration is dedicated to day with the money problems of this nation; I deterioration in business in the months ahead. Neither is it Sherman ► past half year. It is not one is inclined to it, to case President. dresses by President Eisenhower, Secretary of Treasury employment and production and policies toward that end. Since you as bankers about equally" clear that certain indica¬ seem to point to further decline in the a assurance President, and Homer J. Livingston, President as of the First National Bank of Chicago, becomes Vice- Humphrey indicates government on road to reduction, and the to be will pursue appears tions Brenton further adjustments in maintenance some volume of business. On the other the as proper appears eration. Gives segments of industry and trade, of activity has been reduced already. It the rate a Excess Profits Tax will expire at end of year; Foresees also an average of 10% reduction in income taxes, and of this sort have drawn warnings that we are in danger of "talking ourselves into a depression." to disclose. There (1) debt management, Secy. gloomy forecasts have proved correct; some¬ times they have appeared rather childish in retrospect. This time, as usual, continued forecasts 'l^iat the future holds in the instant Meeting held in Washington, D. C., from Sept. 20 through Sept. 23. Everett D. Reese, President of the Park Na¬ tional Bank of Newark, Ohio, succeeds W. Harold . principal pillars of sound budget policy; (2) a properly functioning Federal Reserve System; and (3) proper these futur^ will have designating money: and they were certainly previous times. Upon occasions, not unknown in Annual Convention By HON. GEORGE M. HUMPHREY* have been told that serious trouble is in store for us. On the contrary, we have often heard such predictions of late ABA Holds 79th of the other American addresses Continued on the made Bankers on page 44 cover page, during Association. the ' State and Bank Trust Company of INDIA; LIMITED Bankers Founded 1824 , Complete corporate and personal trust facilities the to Government Office: 26, Bishopsgate, London, E. C. 2 Branches In Pakistan, India, Coast to Coast Ceylon, Burma, Aden, Kenya, Tanganyika, Uganda, Zanzibar, and Somaliland Bond Department Protectorate. Capital Capital Paid-up £4,562,500 £2,281,250 Fund Reserve and ^ OF NEW YORK description of exchange and Active Net »99 WALL NEW YORK To Listed and Unlisted STREET Commission t. l. watson & co. MEMBER3 Raw — Refined — Liquid New York Stock . Telephone WHitehall 4-6500 Teletype NY 1-1843 DIgby 4-2727 PERTH AMBOY t ■ other Western Denver Spokane NATIONAL ( OF THE CITY BANK OF NEW YORK Cities Maintained and Brokers CANADIAN Central Vermont BONDS & STOCKS Public Service Co. COMMON Executed On All ' WIRES TO' MONTREAL Goodbody MEMBERS NEW NEW YORK available upon request DEPARTMENT Teletype N Y 1-2270-X 115 BROADWAY BRIDGEPORT ' 10 </ Booklet Exchange New York 4, N. Y. Orders CANADIAN DIRECT 50 Broadway, NEW YORK CITY '""N. Canadian Exchanges at Regular Rates - American Stock Exchange Exports—/m ports—Futures Banks SECURITIES Inquiries invited sugar Markets Dealers, CANADIAN SECURITIES 5, N. Y. • Salt Lake City Los Angeles Bond Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708 THE CHASE ESTABLISHED 1915 Members of All Principal Exchanges 50 BROADWAY business. Trusteeships and Executorships also undertaken LAMB0RN & CO., Inc. •I. A. H0GLE & CO. THE NATIONAL CITY BANK £3,675,000 The Bank conducts every banking ST^N.Y.C Direct Private Wires , Authorised Correspondents in all parts of the world Bonds in Kenya Colony and Uganda Head 30 BROAD Municipal NATIONAL BANK & YORK AND TORONTO a STOCK 1 NORTH Co. EXCHANGE Doxraox Securities Orporatiotj 40 Exchange Place, New Yoxjs 3, N. Y. Neu) and other 111 Teletype NY 1-702-3 WHitehall 4-8161 Boston York Stock Exchange Principal Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 LA SALLE ST. CHICAGO IRA HAUPT&CO. Members Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 admi BUS. LIBRARY 2 The Con (1214) WE POSITION The Security I and IN TRADE Like Best A continuous forum in which, each week, a different group ^Carrier Corporation in the investment and *New York State Electric & Gas for favoring reasons (The articles contained in this forum they to be regarded, are Alabama & Selections Their of experts Motor Co. White particular security. a L. intended are not be, to Spingarn, Heine President, nor offer to sell the securities discussed.) as an GEORGE HEINE L. MAX A. KU1INREICII Mutual Vice- Co.; & Shares Cor¬ Gulf Interstate Gas New Vice-President Mutual Shares Corp. tion—George A. Kuhnreich, In¬ Hyde Park, N: Y. of One oil American small the Counsel, vestment Hyde New Park, New York. (Page Big Horn-Powder River Corporation 5l/4% Preferred Stock White Motor Co. Counsel, Investment Partner, Spingarn, Heine & Co., N.Y.C. Members New York Stock Exchange Central1 Hudson Gas & Electric tain and include types, Puget Sound Power & Light heavy Southern Production Stromberg-Carlson New York Hanseatic line Corporation While overrid i ng by royalties to maker oming, contains over 11.000 acres the Com- Motor, of L. Max Heine utes and ices liner Specialists in units type axle the in unit serv- Freight- West. A new introduced in was 1952. Rights & Scrip accounted for 34% for commercial sales. Military trucks, trailers, and aircraft of 14% rect York New American 120 REctor through 43 dibranches and 470 distributors. 110 nual 1952 2-7815 capacity of some 25,000 units; shipments totaled 15,035. acquisition of The Co Autocar in fall of 1953 rounds out its line of heavy American Furniture Company Alabama-Tennessee Natural Gas Company shares of its 5 /4% The issue June 30, . Company is callable .... . A. at until 102 101 to June 30, a LD 33 . „. , of this the sinking fund of 10% featuie While the dividend is payable out profits whpn when «md and of Board fund the is the of Directors, absolute an company company, HPPlnrpH declared as lone as thp the hv by obligation of funds as are available or^ legaHv available f legally tor that DurDose purpose, charter The INACTIVE STOCKS that Industries sinking fund payments be met Wringer even ~ may if the company is in °m t6 Prr£en'ed diI-denf' Motors Co., according to White Apco Mossberg 2.60 York 4 Telephone 3-2340 WHitehall f natural gas. j th ■ Gordon Graves & Co. 30 Broad Street, New Successful-wildcatting is not a experjence new a completed 5 additional wells Creek 'area of LUNN LAMINATES, INC. Wyoming and now Manufacturer of the Big Horns acre— cast and south of age. . . unitized ' / • this the under field sportscar, River, Illinois and new "Corvette" • Company. direction of the Texas Uorns production moves Big Horn's total recoverable rethi P1?,1,n!. Pl8? Ll?® whlC5 serves at Fiddler Creek are estiat mated million barrels. Wood "Fiberglas" Chevrolet's body-for for Underwriters ... Laminates, Inc. Lunn - m0nth, drilling will be re- struc- Hovenweep in the sumed °th?r eastern refining centers. ture of San Juan County, Utah. °nly recently> the Plains Pipe Big Horn holds a 100% working Line found itself unable to handle in interest area.' this 5,000 some in must acres lease this While S. D. FULLER & CO. New York 6, N. Y. 39 Broadway Telephone WHitehall 3-0066 fr°m the Clareton field and it is classified as wildcat acreage, now asktng the Wyoming Public the salt strata and reef conditions S-erVif build to Commission for perm is- under the property are regarded line to its having £av0rable implications. a sion new Investment as Wyoming. Big Horn's high gravity date To j,een wiidcats twQ drj]'ied on Hovenweep. The £u0dne "?l^mmands 8 P"Ce °£ saturated sand in The Southwest Claret0n discov" has had a dramatic impact on ery was one Call not for commeTda5! SSLTte othe^blew force and in with Opportunities in Japan have our on considerable or current write publications Japanese securities YAMAICHI term Hpht h,ip thiough debt due farm Autocar will add an Roch. & Pitts. Coal Com.-Pfd. io^ 1956 The acquisition of $16,000,000. an excess of $9,- in net current assets above 000 000 Previews Inc. 'noKin+iflc a es. have been consist- ently profitable since the depresOBSOLETE SECURITIES am0unted to only $9,000. 1953, revenues By June, stopped the flow. At the present exceeded $44,000 time, this latter well is shut in and are expected to show further but not abandoned. substantial inci eases. 'With pipe The capitalization of the com— consists of 5,500.000 shares tion of the new line within three of capital stock and a 4V2% $348,or four months, it is estimated 000 mortgage note payable to the line congestion eased by comple- " . Gperations J. B. Williams Com. Pfd. Bds. pany that revenues could be eomVanywa^satS Brokers 111 compared with current liabilities > ears. may you six months period was Office&Tokyo & 1 1897 — 48 Branches Investment Bankers Broadway,N.Y.6 COrtlandt7-5680 N.Q. B. nn°n ™r°n llTr/wg ab0Ut De- anannUal rate0f $1'000'000- Crude n'" oil production, it 000,000 the last few be observed, in else¬ Established Home Empire Trust Co. As of April 30, running at fense product business in the last DEPARTMENT market Yield to maturity ^i'd "over ^dozen"weuT north .haL 16', producing weJ'S jn. Lhis pieted over a dozen wens norm, fieid. steps are now being taken City, interest SECURITIES CO., LTD. of Chicago Dock 8c Canal a and month May> 1952> Big Horn's substantial amount of oil before net interest in Sross revenues the use of too heavy drilling mud g find Price 78 the company's revenues. For the subsequently produced on swab a Inmx Bright Star Battery to 1% Dec. 1, 1970 working capital of $53 000 000 and Boorum & Pease Try this department when Registered the June 30, 1953 report, has a net Billings & Spencer fail oilrf provides terminal facilities at Lance Creek, expressly Massachusetts spacing per wen. AUerl Enterprises, Inc., is cur¬ sinking the rapidly expanding flow of oil the present Taxes Commonwealth of _ Pany 30 30, net '* acre 1958 -cheduled to retne 1958 scheduled to retire 71? ]01ns the Platte Pipe Line and the entire issue by June 30, 1967. connects with Denver, Kansas of Lynchburg, Va. . from Income offices $100,000 to Big Horn. In considerable portion of the „J948, the company brought in the acreage. Subsequently; the Com-i{jisc(Jvery well jn the Fiddler derlie to begin to operate before- year June Scott, Horner & Mason, Inc. . significant stock is Dan River Mills American , . Basin in several years." The preferred stock, 1955, at branch our exempt f()r this year. Also undery consideration are additional drillings in . ^ flnw Aq baS cently Pr°P°sinS the construction J™ JIiTnl2hoursAt of a natural gasolll}e plant for the ** £]Journal'' ProcessinS °,f Southwest Clareton Sin of the gas* Preserttly' gas 1S flared described the well as one of the in ^he field, and with the com™,°f '^-"^"thp^Powder °River Pletion of this plant, Big. Horn ?? Powder River should reailze additional earnings 1956, and thereafter at 100. Commonwealth Natural Gas Ambrook , tiin Wh?f.Ctl^.Mlthici11S/CBR jfnn sands which from believed to unthe Newcastle tion White Motor issued 86,500 is Produ^.edu are Trading Markets Tele. LY 62 duty vehicles d y u y verucie^ T George a. Kuhnreich discovered the Clareton^ field[in mid-January 1953. initial test There distributors. overseas to Federal pany's most important leases, lnis ^ j0jn^ ieases with Union Oil. consists of a 100% working intersjnce Bjg Horn has a heavy in ®00 f,reV.in in the du'y r'® under t'me contract, approximately 2,880 acres in me its drilling program should be ex?°~*kw©st Clapton fie , an a pe(jRed. The average drilling time ^0% interest in PP , required for a well is 20 days, and J'8?0 a^sr, J n/rnlifomia costs amount to abouta foot* Union Oil Company of Californ Drilling time and costs are conHi ihe. same tr^ ifni inintlv siderably less than in other areas. Thunder area. B^ There are no production restric™.lth an independent oil °Peratoi, tiong in Wyoming other than 40 The Cleveland plant has an an- Exchange BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 Tel. distri- Canadian and and also are Exchange Slock Stock * handled factory dealers Members ' is contributed parts, sales.- 1952 Domestic bution frfCpONNELL & CO. service Replacement parts and tank Since 1917, Interest ember, six additional wpllsAn the 50% owned leases are scheduled White distrib- York 5 Teletype NY 1-583 BArclay 7-5660 interests. Weston County, Wy- is it ion of Sterling qu Stock Exchange 120 Broadway, New Mobile, Ala. wires Direct being specialpurpose units, Associate Member 1951 NY 1-1557 New Orleans, La. - Birmingham, Ala. stantially, all 100% working from available fun^s are utilized to finance a stepped-up drilling program. Fol¬ lowing the - completion of, the E. W. Wakeman #1 late in/Sept¬ the Exchange Exchange St., New York 4, N. Y. Hflnover 2-0700 sharply in the past eight months, and cash flow has increased sub¬ ranging The was broadened Established. 1920 25 Broad have expanded revenues ac- units. ery leases American Stock Members and lighter-weight models, and city and sub- truck-tractors, in concab - over - engine Trucks and ventional buses. Stock York New Members ~ — urban deliv- Monterey Oil Polaroid Corporation leading a and trucks of producer Steiner, Rouse & Co. 2) independents, Big Horn-Powder production should show additional River Corporation has made rapid gains. progress in building up crude oil Results of this year's drilling production. It \« activity are summarized in the table below. Particularly notable also has ac- '! has been the Mary Wakeman #4, quired interwhich came in on September 1 for ests in some an estimated daily flow of 1,920 42,000 acres of barrels. ' Rocky Moun- i£ Co. Motor White Units, Notes & Common American Bought—Sold—Quoted Big Horn-Powder River Corpora¬ request Central Public Utility # Louisiana Securities 514% Preferred Heine, Partner, poration, N. Y. City (Page 2) Rights & Common — on Participants and Stock—Max ^Southern Union Gas Prospectus Week's This Forum advisory field from all sections of the ^country participate and give their ^Pacific Gas & Electric * erctal and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 h increased from 9.9% of to- approximately a daily average of 278 barrels for assets amounted to $139,000 as ' OVER-THE-COUNTER of $l3+3'<?10n°o n^h?ch+ INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDEX - where. Our slogan: A hid for talTnbevaie%bt that I • in believe ft, of the ■ view anything of slightest value. juiy>1952 to each barreis f°r juiy 875 new completion, 1, 1953. With 14-Year Performance 1953. large mandatory sinking fund and .i the 5Y4% George A. Rogers & Co., Inc. Our 26th Year present preferred stock Broadway, N. Y. 5 WOrth-4-6930 , of the White attractive than most other stocks ferred basis. on a similar . r :• - . yield ' j NoBbis. Date well Mary Wakeman £1__ Mary Wakeman #2__ Sedgwick A-l Sedgwick A-2 Sedgwick - . pre- . 35 Industrial Initial Flow— ,, , yield Motors Co. is comparatively more . 120 . . generous A-3 f #4" 9,.1953 589 Mar. 27, 1953 264 1 day 585 895 1 day 1 day 1 hr. Jan. . Test loS May 21, 19o3 June 7, 1953 July 13, 1953 35 12 hrs. Pipe size folder Stocks request on " of > < %-in. choke %-in. choke 2^nAubLne %-in. choke %-in. choke 27/a-in. tubing ^ / National Quotation Bureau? Incorporated 46 Front Street ' New York 4, N.Y. Number 5260 Volume 178 The Market The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ,.. (1215) Today and Tomorrow INDEX KENNETH WARD* By Articles and Newt AND COMPANY The Market Today while business machine is slowing falling apart at the seams; but in any event stocks at today's prices represent unprecedented amount of assets, dividends and earning power. Cites mar¬ ket's extreme selectivity, with long-standing bear movements in many groups. Specifies following bullish factors: (1) Mar¬ ket's conservative valuation of past high earnings; (2) Low Marked analyst asserts down, it is by . dividend (3) payouts; Pump-priming weapons —Hon Our : ; After hesitation some he lost, but once Iwas confused f o with the and markets ntly more news probable will not admit at other? or certainly have heard than am am no opinion more' expensive than in the stock market and any opin¬ today is with ion I express to you that humbleness the has devel¬ 99 STREET, NEW YORK 4-6551 I Market—Leroy M. Piser 13 We Socialistic Trends and Return to Solvency Styles Bridges.,-^. B —Hon. Faults Specialize in: 14 Tennessee Gas 15 —W. Randolph Burgess * feeserve Pipeline Board—J. L. Robertson 20 Sienkiewicz A. Transcontinental 18 Current Picture A Banker Looks at the —Casimir 16 : Rates—Roy L. Reierson Objectives of the Federal Transmission ....Cover Public Debt Virtues of the The Outlook for Interest Texas Eastern Offing George M. Humphrey. and 22 would Progress in Agriculture—Hon. Ezra Taft Benson be * of the stock Market Signal Registered variance in BURNHAM AND COMPANY * Members New York Stock Exchange Addresses Eisenhower Convention JOHN F. REILLY, Manager Unlisted 44 Acceptance Address of Everett D. Reese, New ABA Pres.. ☆ ; t 44 W. Harold Brenton Optimistic on Continued Prosperity._ Although the Dow theorists, of which I am not one, have been at considerable 24 American Bankers Ass'n Holds 79th Ann. Convention...Cover President Bear Out—Henry B. Arthur Excess Profits Tax Lapse and Tax Cuts in thought in I WALL Telephone: WHitehall ABA Addresses and Convention News a exception, for nowhere is" pride of Obsolete Securities Dept. 11 __ Transmission have recently seen penetration of levels witnessed at this stage market cycle. Kenneth Ward _ : quite frank which I did not believe I Biggs we downside a time some I as stating that confusion to bearishly rescue" fast! 10 Current Thinking at the SEC—Chairman Ralph H. Demmler. velopments of recent months much ta but , has interpreted de¬ averages, changing con s —Sen. uncertainty with which many bus¬ inessmen are viewing the future. The stock market, as measured by. erratic — 12 especially those which have stimulated by sizable mili-- good deal about the new business these past few such expenditures. We, we you 12 , been tary orders and days." Who of u s during years reduce wasteful been "three r budget in 1955 and witnessing signs of a letup in industrial lines of busi- never was R. We Must Stop have * Our cash will 6 Stop Competing With Business —Hon. Sinclair Weeks____ L____, The Government and Municipal Bond ness, replied, "No I Cobleigh The Boom Flattening to balance the ness. Chains—Ira U. 6 _ Investing for the Professional Man—Edmund Brown, Jr if he lost in the wilder¬ Because of obsoletes? Grandchildren—Roger W. Babson.i —William adopted by the Administration in Washington in its determination ever 4 con- the hills." was MAN ON A TIGHTROPE Depression Williams. Federal Budget and Corporate Profits in a Business Decline 'Just recently I felt a little like Daniel Boone when tie was asked , a 3 Government Will eludes "this is not the time to follow the crowd and rush for i Walter Links in the Food (4) Continuing defense spending; available to Administration—and and Tomorrow—Kenneth Ward Why I Am Not Looking for means no -llCHIfdSlfll page Stock Exchange Market Analyst, Hayden Stone & Co., Members N. Y. 3 Trading Dept. 44 Panel Discussion Uniform Commercial Code on ☆ 15 Broad 44 — recent oped through making many costly years, Texts of Resolutions Adopted at Convention unanimous in their belief that last Backgrounds of New Top ABA Officials 44 month's action provided a definite New Heads of ABA Divisions and Telephone Teletype DIgby 4-1400 44 mistakes. Street, New York 5 NY 1-3370 45 - task The never an of market a easy difficult sually analyst, has been unu¬ one, during of all past the market bear Dow they believe I signal. are now Under who use the gan in January, this year, but was part of our fore¬ not confirmed until August or casting tools, have made an unu¬ eight months and some 32 points sual number of errors, especially in the Dow-Jones industrial aver¬ when we have based the action age after it started. It is obvious, and year study of charts the %f us as market rather than the on the on averages of movements individual securities. Last the November Security suggested Analysts to their at Conference that the stock n^arket, as measured by the Dow-Jones averages, 273-275 and should level 101-102 vance 290-295 to in 108-110 the above the industrials rails the by January around and hold for on therefore, that if market it is and ad¬ or February to the industrials for the markets, have the on lookout horizon of a for signs letdown or on mild the over¬ all business readjustment, and an intermediate top in the market, but that I doubted see a reaction that would we below the 255-260 level on the industrials and on the rails. the 295 95-97 Remain High Editor) to Dan River Mills 24 Shull Replies to Philip Gans on Gold Frederick (Letter Awards 14 Empire State Oil Price 25 — Purchasing Agents Cite Softening Prices Great American Industries 43 Johnston Oil and Gas Co>0 theory, Dow 15 stocks before many bull market a Before some that I at any use the Dow or projected conclusion on the effect tors, some in of verbal. or the market Price reflect different fac¬ fundamental, some tech¬ many You will recall that nical and quite a few psychologi¬ topped cal. It has been my experience in January and that the rails over the years that a careful cor¬ reached a high above 112.50 about I pretty lucky in that forecast. Thereafter, the stock market be¬ was to decline to the accompani¬ relation of weighing all these of them in factors, balance one Bank and Business (Editorial) Cover Stocks Insurance —56 — Securities Canadian ♦ * — Investment Dealer-Broker Ultra Sonic Corp. 34 ... Bookshelf Man's 5 Recommendations Singer, Bean & MACKIE, Inc. 8 l Einzig—"Inferences From Lowered British Bank Rate".. From 21 Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargeron Mutual 9 Current Business Activity. Indications of Funds News About Banks and Bankers Observations—A. Our Reporter's Our Reporter Wilfred Teletype 42 Prospective May Public Utility 38 Securities Salesman's Now at time The Market the The of the final conclusions of not only on the course of the mar¬ long drawn otit Korean truce ket, but on the price of an individ¬ negotiations; of deflationary econ¬ ual stock. If I were picking the omy measures of defense stretch most difficult factor to judge with outs and foreign aid cutbacks any degree of accuracy, *An i by Mr. Ward before the Analysts' Society, Sept. 23, 1953. Continued on page * Column not 25 BROAD • Pan American Twice Weekly Drapers' Gardens, London,7 E. land, c/o Edwards & Smith. and B. DANA Company COMPANY, Publishers • Manchester, N. H. Boston • Chicago • Nashville • Glens Falls • 1, 1953 Every Thursday (general news and ad¬ issue) and every Monday (com¬ Schenectady • Worcester records, state corporation and Other city news, Offices: Chicago 3, 111. 135 —, market quotation news, bank clearings, etc.). 25, 1942, La STate 1 Oklahoma, Inc. - second-class matter Febru¬ as at the pest office at New Subscriptions in United States, U. S. Possessions, Territories and Members of Pan-American Union, $48.00 per year; in Dominion of Caaada, $51.00 per year. Other Countries, $55.00 per year. Salle and Quotation $33.00 per year. Note—On rate of Record — Monthly, (Foreign postage extra.) account of the fluctuations in exchange, remittances for for¬ be made in New York funds. INCORPORATED 39 BROADWAY NEW YORK 6 . •„ Direct Teletype NY 1-2380 Wire to PLEDGER & COMPANY 8t.,> eign subscriptions and advertisements must 2-0613); WM V. FRANKEL & CO. WHitehall 3-3960 Other Publications Bank the South (Telephone Sterling Oil of Subscription Rates WILLIAM DANA SEIBERT, President plete statistical issue ary to 9576 SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher Thursday, October Eng- York, N. Y., under the Agt of March 8, 1879. Place, New York 7, N. Y. HERBERT D. C., Copyright 1953 by William B. Dana CHRONICLE vertising Albany Sulphur Co. 1 , TELETYPE N. Y. 1-5 Sulphur Co. 5 Reentered STV NEW YORK 4, N. Y. TELEPHONE HAnover 2-4300 2 available this week. REctor 2-9570 York Stock Exchange Mexican Gulf 8 56 COMMERCIAL 25 Park New Johnston Oil & Gas C©0 50 Reg. U. S. Patent Office WILLIAM Members Hoffman Radio Corp., 33 and You—By Wallace Streete . 1-182G Hiller Helicopters 36 PREFERRED STOCKS Spencer Trask & Co. Corner Registration Like Best I FINANCIAL specialized in 39 __ The State of Trade and Industry The have . Security Published For many years we 52 Washington and You. I^would address . in NY 45 Securities other ment Detroit Offerings Securities inter¬ the & 5 Securities Railroad Exchange PI., N. Y. 5 1-1825 54 _ Governments Security 40 NY 46 , Report on HA 2-0270 47 .... vals, is about the best way to ar¬ rive at any definite conclusion, against 0 V. It theory, let a market, written the on moment and give background material in attempting to arrive movements Liberty Products ' See We As Coming Events in Investment Field further commenting digress you Regular Features months. Dow-Jones industrials two weeks earlier in December. gan the is resumed. me be would Contract Construction Bates Mfg. Co. 7 Business Taking Readjustments in Stride, says Murray Shields one as almost nine about averaged levels I bear a Therefore, under this Dow theory, we may have to have more time, five to six months, to consume, and we will see lower prices in the market reached, unusual now under also said at that time, that if these were is in NYSE to Consider New Commission Rates months late and the last five bear I rails. we are very a its bear signal I St^te Ass'n Section the theory, the bear market be¬ LOS ANGELES IN®., The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 4 1953 (1216) had Why I Am Not Looking Foi a Depression By WALTER which strength in the insatiable consumer There to factors ten are WILLIAMS* "Why I Am Not Afraid." Current Strengths in is my It he can To be will program discuss de¬ in night the ous barome- eters The basic. UULUUH of the by current number of productive determination unlimited t ngs the pro- limited only new discoveries and the applications of of above o ^ich ^ to satisfy ♦/wjo.-Ardi., television is ored our , . we noted have the insa- the spark _ . _ _ years, startling themselves have been. enormity of the Push being constantly given to the national economy by this one factor of growth alone. Imagine adding a population equal to two Canadas during one ten-year period or threeWestern Germany, or This factor growth enormous United Kingdom! a truly is and is one + x-n .v. an certainly not . L 1L Research in the technical field, ~ Diverse National Nature of the adult members of our pop- ulation thinks transaction) our business will find a rebirth of in (5) terms of how he b Th vea been morteaee booming. address Williams before the Sales Executives' Club of New Yorkf New York City, Sept. 22, 1953. by Mr. J. F. Reilly firm of as key of - & Co. T t, Research: In moo r 1932 I who we we could were were to to not possibly emerge tnrough announce we were time. He re¬ see how a de- the dissolution of their with, Burnham & how from the dede¬ which truggling at that viewed history to see September 28, 1953 and the association personnel 11 recall We are pleased to JOHN announce Company. that businpss ha« Today, the textile hut the increase to the of output possible to increase the standard of living of all of nation creased and people our individuals. as productivity us as as In- from: flows proved technical skills; (3) better management; ter following will be with him in this department: ROBERT W. PAYNE health that it at » . and business, better manage- all-around our our MEMBERS i t other and on. It is not reporting sys¬ place of the excellent machinery possessed by any the take different branches of Governmentr- gathering of important sta¬ These statistics as serve excellent barometers by which to is of Burns! na¬ of these economic reports either by phone, tele¬ econ- Am American to the pulse beat of business in own respective activity and upon reasonable the consult throughout the country who to be in position so that they have their fingers closely con- Recentlv eronomv our happen th^ ing upon the health of their naArthur F. of Rather it is the ple tngsthich haveTdire* bea* tinnal health economy. purpose decline will not the measure tional on cur¬ to their community. contacts edgeable, Dr. Chairman of the having By with objective-minded scattered sons regular responsible, knowl¬ per¬ the throughout it is believed that valu¬ can be had which, country, able information will complement other supplement or valuable information tained through statistics. ob¬ , then, Here, are • ten reasons "Why I Am Not Afraid." in his to No one right mind would endeavor forecast the future with any There are al¬ ways too many unpredictable and too: many imponderable factors. degree of accuracy. No can one God" may tell- what "Acts of come - right, but nevertheless health. But with a recognition of probably more prone to thg many basic factors of sound¬ act in a manner to'guard against ness and with alert ears, eyes, and unwise actions which ignorance would lead us into. Recently, there minds to those factors which may downs we all are has been ing an a that areas there extended American Stock Exchange 5, N. Y. of three are which in efforts toward the economic reporting system . purportedly being established by the Administration. have tended T eletype NY to exag- bear seem an adverse color, there to be no great would reason We good deal with other than sober, quiet con¬ fidence. pleased to announce a direct private wire connection to AMES, EMERICH & CO., INC. important are being do are Chicago, Illinois Effective October 1, 1953 with budget and deficit financing. Con¬ stantly deficits running auto¬ anced budgets are Bal¬ Eastern Securities, inc. essential to the 1-3370 120 BROADWAY having second of "honest area has to money." do with The the operation of the Federal Reserve BOSTON HARTFORD for measuring the foreseeable future our accomplish¬ to These reports somewhat money." The first areas% has these publicity concern- some . or¬ goes that will better matically result in inflation. 1953 decline h^resSect about ment of "honest 15 Broad Street, New York 28, well graph, letter, or by personal con¬ versation, with different key peo¬ tnart, increasingly me formed Secretary George Humphrey's "honest dollarSec¬ > September the somewhat and places communities, You have heard lately Burnham. and company DIgby 4-1400 ever that we expend reason wny - retary Humphrey has pointed out Telephone defined time as expected (10> Another reason "Whv 1 Am homes. (8) JACKB. WIELAR (4) relations; and (5) bet- working conditions in of Exchange becoming well dered doing except . ment-labor New York Stock is process more been 20, when to the rate _ goods and services per capita just to that extent do we make it Unlisted Trading Department. JOSEPH F. KELLY Jan. to and sudden impact upon (1) improved technology; (2) im- The have we since too exnected be mav hp our F. REILLY has become associated with our us to'htfntotperTod ^Tharp dSe afthe fame"toe ^San?' a Manager of * of some along to upset difficulty- Of course, if two or President's Council of Economic the very best of estimates. No m0re of our maior industries Advisers, whimsically stated that one can predict with any reason¬ we, as able degree of accuracy as to what becoming too our opponents in the presentlyi— ' j x i_ we might then be confronted with chart-minded, graph-minded, conducted cold war will do or say some serious difficulty in our curve-minded, and statisticwhich could; have a profound economy. Extra special effort on minded. Referring to the 1948-49 bearing upon the future. Never-: the part of business itself, govern- business dip, he drolly observed theless, despite a frank recogni-r ment, and in particular those in- that had we not had all of these tion of these imponderables and dustries which might provide such charts, curves, graphs, and statisunpredictables, there are some a team of disaster should be on tics, we might have gone through fields which can be assessed with guard against that sort of thing that period and never known that dispassionate judgment. We would happening. anything was going on. be unwise, indeed, if we were to (7) Productivity Gains: Tne ' The fact that we are a better put rose-colored glasses over our Alladin's Lamp of our economy is informed nation as to what causes eyes and refuse to see those fac¬ to be found in this word "proauc- our economy to tick makes us tors in our national economy tivity." To the extent that we more sensitive to possible ups and which do not point to complete learn 0 since ever was - je5»inRgef0Tspeech froV aTan Thould gression ♦An word a defense for KLP seller s market to a buyer s mar- stability. An illustration will sufket (already various segments of fice The textile business has had our economy have experienced «—u iu-i xi.. exactly that-trade. If each a ^u^nationaf de- Tn. n0ePo a economy meeting are we time a of presently live,' that not be obliged outlays for fiirPc Xenece rThe co^inuancego n; quaX at oT^h ch h~ has bee" strot naxionai economy. have sharoly laggedduring this lts do'drums w.h,ereas the mortstrong nation^etnomy nave siwipiy idggea uu mg i gage business, at least certain seg(3) The Wants of the People ?as1; c ecade^or so w^ en e se> ei . ments of it> is experiencing some Are Insatiable: The word "trade" ~ means what prospective buyer, move away economy 0Jt* ours> varied as it is 0my because of the decrease in from mere desire to actual pos- as to geography, pbpulation and government expenditures. Busisession. Here, then, is another kinds of business, nas in tne very ness will always adjust itself to reason Why I Am Not Afraid. fact of Wlde dlversity a strong gradual changes; it is the sharp, I believe that as we change from supporting factor for reasonable unexpected changes which hurt, this by Mr. myself an<^> Feb. 9. on Indeed, be such tnat 11 sharp an adverse !s not reasonaDie expect too ~ This gigantic Economy: back way Our to of That discussed. was * ' the part of government expendi- manufacturing and marketing provides another sound reason as to "Why I Am Not Afraid." ; i reach to fense L , way kind the to as likelv no. fa^ge _ - a ;s they as was Secretary attended Weeks, tistics. reasons world in which we *£ needed of others, at which meeting this matter of economic reporting in the realistic* ;nj? of developments meeting a office ... 1932,- even the least imaginative of us today would be the very "Why ofbest 1 Am Not Afraid (9) Defense Expenditures: Be- in There is stillj^ut-startle and genius of the last 20 Sinclair again restored to the once nation is one 01 pesi reasons shaI1 half of the picture. Growth: When salesmanship to cause me, the we stop to realize tjis great throb- possessor of insatiable wants, acbing nation bf ours gained 19 milually to go into action to satisfy lion in population during the ;hose wants. The desire to have 1940-50 decade and that estimates ^oods and services is there, but indicate a 28 million gain in the good promotional salesmanship is 4U 1950-60 decade one grasps the still necessary to make me, the two-thirds of „on, that position to have sound, honest can bon is one the next 20 years will - active na- economy. fourths of ™ xJ ^ fi tleman we m0nev „ ;. Population (2) In nnwpr the . approach where just starting. We ;.u,m.r. Co., knows, in tem w, imagination possessed by the gen- , _ The lie ahead...Col- *„«,* Pont held that ' years. threshold of the devel- barometers continue to point to an tional gradually liability- of the wants of each of safe in predicting that the devel- Williams Walter . man, be placed on a have been down there in Washbasis. Some gains are ington with our minds naturally already being had in connection atuned to the question of how best with the efforts to obtain "lion- to maintain a healthy economy, est money." Measured in terms of this matter of obtaining current prices, the long 13*-year rise in expressions of sentiment through¬ prices, which is the converse way out the country has been discussed of saying that the purchasing and informally acted upon. power of the dollar has been deAt the present time, therefore, dining for those 13 years seems there is no great departure from i debt enormous expansion may . long-term further be had in this field an wants to the maximum (4) Sales Promotion:!n number various that pected and imuteu xtent p possible. 1 ; all, most the stable economy that more of simply nothing capacity is ux . but were that are obtainable from our the ac¬ Suffice say that tivity. to could money of uuic s others duction ing the health most—not tional Thus, he concluded that we in for a long period of dark ages na¬ It is important for a debt. home be that he could further want and have. the huge the management of his there what wondered and of his ad¬ about looked those of others. for trade sure services measur¬ business he delivery before dress goods and services which them which have taken place dur- for those of others them vari¬ tail two jng the 20 years which have in- to be at an end. There has been is the means tervened since the making of this 5only a half a cent change in the negotiating these trades, but gloomy prediction. value of the consumer's dollar fundamentally it is the production in this great field of research during the past six months \as of the goods and services by each we have moved forward in the compared with a sharp decline of one of us and the ability to Trade of electronics. It is to be exnearly 20 cents over the past six this on The third area to which Secretary Humphrey refers has to do with lor standing that others But, he said, as he living room the his in sat had that much just himself for more of under¬ Economy: Kinsman, Mr. Weeks, because there was which might give our economy a lift out of the then decan produce the maximum amount pression. Compare that attitude of goods or services, he is storing 0j mind with the tremendous new up the (1) accompaniment of these policies, of the Federal ReInflation was an automatic domination serve. as today, J. tWarren Kins- / Vice-President of the Du- still sub- sequent lifts. as should I Actually, of my fellow members on this program tended to be established artifidaily because of the Treasury the to electricity of mobile and the radio as economy; discuss briefly as list and to gerate the real facts. one develophelp us emerge^M>m subsequent business dips; the development of the auto- panded research; (6) diversity of our national economy; (7) continued productivity gains; (8) the return to "honest money"; (9) probable slow rate of decline in defense outlays, and (10) an increasingly informed public. like of Government Bonds has value of out ourselves lift depressions; ment factors why he is not afraid: (1) (2) population growth; (3) wants; (4) sales promotion; (5) ex¬ Secretary Williams lists us to earlier Under Secretary of Commerce current given System without domination by the Treasury. In the past, the the steam engine bootstraps with of velopment - NEW YORK 5, N. Y. PORTLAND, ME. PHILADELPHIA Volume 178 Number 5260 ... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle <r Steel The COMING Production Electric Output State of Trade / Trade Auto Industry • • • . Field Investment In Commodity Price Index Food Price and V EVENTS Carloadings Retail 5 (1217) By A. WILFRED MAY Index Production Oct. 13-14, 1953 Business Failures Cleveland Analysts (Cleveland, Ohio) Society Great Introducing Keynes to the Consumer Security of A Regional Lakes book-of-the-week, with an extraordinarily lucid style and marshalling of colorful facts devoted to the doings of the consumer, will intrigue the investor and the businessman as well as the economic expert. omy n* a tv^auming nation can we re¬ main a producing one" is the keynote of The ordered Conference. The trend flect a week. of over-all industrial production continued to re¬ Oct. slight rise in the period ended on Wednesday of the past Compared with the like period one year ago, total output For the first tjme .since 1945„ it stated, , fall gain as much as senior ; Hollywood Beach Hotel. June 9-12, 1954 Investment Canada of However, in the current week reports coming to hand state V contribu¬ on a Dealers' save or invest. But whereas Keynes's reasoning stemmed from the .theory that unemployment and depression were caused by the withholding of large-scale sav¬ ings from capital investment by business and the large holders of capital; Mr. Mazur con¬ • (Canada) Association Convention Annual hinges cisions whether to of America Annual Convention at the number of other important books. • To this reviewer Mr. Mazur's varying of Lord Keynes's impact on the trade cycle from the business community's use of its de¬ Investment Bankers Association Nevertheless, the department declared, the nation's employ¬ ment siutation continued "highly favorable.' Jobholders in nonfarm lines totaled 49,400,000. This was 1,200,000 above August, 1952, and a newjiigh for the month. In most non-manufacturing activities, employment was at record levels. Brothers, long-time authority department store finance, arid author of a on tion (Hollywood, Fla.) good? industries expand production to payrolls, they added, failed to expected, or reductions were greater than normal. August Raise (Harper & Brothers, 164 pp., $2.50), b,y Paul Mazur, partner in the investment banking We York, theme of the crucial Nov. 29-Dec. 4, 1953 consumer But Standards firm of Lehman New York Beefsteak Dinner at the employment, officials noted, usually scores a healthy the late summer as factories reopen after vacation demands. (New York City) 10, 1953 Antlers. Non-farm meet Meet¬ Governors Security Traders Association of the than in June. in • Exchange a number of workers in non-farm lines last month was no higher increase Stock New Nov. Juty since the end of World War II, the United States Department close-downs, and of ing. Factory employment in August showed the smallest gain over reported.. (Louisville, Ky.) Firms Board of Employment in industry was high and steady with claims for unemployment insurance benefits lower and fewer than a year ago. of .Labor 13-16 Association moderately higher. was * at tends that abstention having tal Jasper Park Lodge. a from Wilfred A. May spending by the consumer is the key— multiple effect (at ratio of a to one) over seven capi¬ on expenditures, and thence spread-eagling throughout the econ- . that manpower supplies are easing. Recent surveys by the United Department of Labor showed the best balance between job opportunities and available workers in two years. It reclassi¬ fied seven areas as having more plentiful labor supplies, and only two as tighter. As a result, 18 areas of the nation are now classi¬ fied as having substantial labor surpluses; 85 as having surpluses; 76 as having a balanced supply, and three as having labor short¬ / States ages. Georges Lurcy, Stock the coming "correc¬ tion" period expected by economists is already here, states "The Iron Age," national metalworking weekly this week. This is because steel is a be only a the This deferred to the fourth quarter duction which had been planned for the third quarter. Several had his own months ago the M.S. page power at a a of and the United specialized in economics, the from Carolina gradu¬ University in with 1943 to continued his sity where he the 49 was Gamma a rate equivalent Sigma. , of inventories our and We Mx. Mazur vividly America's industrial and intriguingly spells out the power of astronomically high standard of living. our pleased to announce the consolidation of production miracles has feet ;r Hatfield Smith • r fyte ake :*• , /ilea^ed to Tlie following are now Herbert I. Markham St. Louis, Missouri Harold H. De Clarence E. Mailander Isaac C. Elston, Jr. Fort Atkinson, Wisconsin George II. Lough Indianapolis, Indiana Lake Ford H. Kaufman Arthur G. Lilly foregoing •' .W; are - Mahlon 0. Bradley Madison, Wisconsin ' ' . . Charles R. Dale Merton J. Davis resident in Chicago. ■ ' . • • Coldwaler, Michigan • Manitowoc, Wisconsin ' John F. Ellerman Ernest A. Froh Hornblower Weeks & " Grand Established 1888—Our 65th Year 40 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Madison Ave., at 47th St. (17) • Rapids, Michigan Members New York Stock „ BOSTON • PROVIDENCE NEW • YORK * • PORTLAND • « • DETROIT BANGOR • • Harold H. Emch, Jr. Dl 4-6600 pl 1-1900 . Exchange and other Principal Exchanges CHICAGO Milwaukee, Wisconsin J acob H. Shoemaker ClUJTTEpEN & CO. Members New . Geneva, Wisconsin Hiram C. Smith LaPorte, Indiana All of the Pere, Wisconsin Frank L. Wilcox Springfield, Illinois Stanley B. McFadden Franklin b. Evans * Giger Rockford, Illinois Carl E. Harris Henry E. Greene us William E. Davis Harry A. trees John J. Marxham dean d. Francis associated with Negaunee, Michigan William R. Davey John G. Coleman Arthur w. Wakeley l/iat Paul H. Gates Limited Partners Paul H. Davis announce Kaiamazoo, Michigan James H. Tolhuizen '' York Stock Exchange & 209 S. LaSalle Street CLEVELAND • PHILADELPHIA PEORIA • ROCKFORD Lincoln Denver Indianapolis *" Other Principal Exchanges CHICAGO 4, Illinois Milwaukee ' DEarborn 2-0500 " * Omaha St. Louis of page Registered Representatives O Clifton P. Walker, jr. on . following: Louis i. Cross purchase October 1,1953 Pekin, Illinois John S. Coleman Luther dearborn "Mass clay. 1944, Norman B. Baum General Partners Paul H. Davis But—this idol created by of Continued Walter L. Cole Paul H. Davis & Co. and Hornblower & Weeks and the admission of the of businessmen," capacity and the sensational results in our Chicago, Illinois are anxiety increasing the author's appealingly-stated thesis. October /, igjj ✓ tb^production, then the economy is headed for1 period of hesitancy, recession, or even depression as a result of as • How¬ is not being converted into purchases power an Beta im¬ result, the economy is likely to run with studies i; r: . a member of society honorary pur¬ further "When the conversion of purchasing of 1943 From between author well-operating eight-cylinder engine. a when purchasing rising is As power. smoothness of ever, is, that into purchases takes place, the process creates additional ^hasTng the — purchases—our actual and of economics at Columbia Univer¬ prediction took into account an expected decline in half* when it was estimated operations would average about 91% of capacity. Considering production deferred by strike, orders on on 1940 Lurcy in to came degree. Mr. This the second Continued in North tons of ingots. He study ating some pro¬ "The Iron Age" estimated steel produc¬ tion this year would be close to 112 million 1933. Honor, partner consumption and power .power plements and refines Keynes. 1920 senior States capacity. by about 4%. of Officer of banking firm in Paris from shade below the third quarter, this trade During most of September a wildcat strike at the nation's fourth largest steel plant shaved the national rate born in was and to rated Legion been Steelmaking operations in the third quarter averaged about of whoj international banker, an authority notes. 91.6% Lurcy chasing Hpspil aftefi a/short illness. City, Mr. the books and expected to come, fourth quarter steel business will aiT Roosevelt 62 Paris, France, was a well-known bellwether industry, often used to evaluate the Since orders of steel consumers are in anticipation of future needs, they already reflect the manufacturing outlook. Judging on Exchange firm of Halle & York general business future, it adds. by orders partner of the a Stieglitz, died Sept. 30, at the age of the steel industry is concerned as incontrovertibly pointing out the absolute schism between purchasing ; As far In Georges Lurcy 41 Chronicle The Commercial and Financial 6 Thursday, October 1, 1953 ... (1218) Many articles have been writ¬ ten about the continuing rapid U. of increase which is now population, over 160,000,000. They all read S. in bullish a and vein are presented as for cause a great future pro s peri ty. This week— however will I — present another side this story to namely, — the what mean Roger W. Babson / first that reason is fewer deaths Deaths among , fewer-Zwhile livin/longer, tw your and are now proportionately. babies are rquch almost is everyone due to better food, medical care. Also the statistics given me following the Editor tion" are of by "Mass Transporta¬ ' suggestive. which was real less. to re¬ These facts would appear quire more automobiles, will this hope could care take talk schoolhouses Present of ity present the ago, a new population by being operated on overbuilt. needed not persons. I was may now number depends on which The roads at born not Middle 58 of my ancestors prosperity. population large to alone does In may fact, make a had 21 chil¬ enjoy prosperity, much more at¬ tention must be devoted to spirit¬ Higher Taxes Possible ual Some Day training, the al¬ importantly placed in our scheme of things, since they pro¬ as retail, vital viands man at follows that It also managed, food chains, the necessities they best and leading, our of because our durable busi¬ enterprises,with a rather im¬ most stable and ness and by packing canned goods. of future The the chains is by of dull drab. or no means in the suburban to our kets areas, big cities, new supermar¬ blossoming in ratio to of myriad to in the year, day food of growth tainty. • , . , /. Safeway Stores A. & P. and So and almost a statistical cer¬ is chains development of homes; would seem to sug¬ the that gest new 9,500 more mouths in our country every feed built-in defense against vagaries of the business ^fycle. Especially peripheral are the addition of pressive the pastries, etc., their own brands ing their own bread, the cannot do without. of sorts chains be are today, reviewed rapidly us for sell, have tended to become among poverty. For our grandchildren to has million make Africa and and to chains, vide, Asia major food that Cobleigb Ira U. thought. We have only in agricul¬ a suggests to most our all industry, children to be train that population know in house travel to families, the In we Another of houses upon increased population" to (highly profitable) as chow mein, and meat pies. Some have gone vertical by mak¬ items ury frozen fish fillets, ture future prosper¬ pos¬ expanded sales of such lux¬ made woodlands less wasteful. be Street, Gloucester, Massachusetts, only 13 "public"' into being. Fourteen due food; which always made has incomes national sible has must especially be pro- about "great unless two shifts. Our Our trees. is better much first the note everything, of waste tected-j-yes, and even the fish of the oceans. It is utterly foolish to not but true; be necessarily. in "musts."You'll To have this large increase in population with a high standard of "living, we must conserve our natural resources. This means to to all 1953 permitted controls in price any change -v roads, avoiding more tele¬ from oil refrigera¬ and soils tors, television sets, etc., etc. I to Switching over from labor merchandising, the end of profit ratios in a Homo the number of lines, especially meats: and the sustained high level of Sap's Material trouble. schools, more houses, and even more suggest general manufacturing. in the at moment to Conservation and Character , the ho¬ on rizon cure a disease. These Funds will not remedy the minutes. I have be very much this will ing for by someone. is like depending it aspirin upon dren. years Wall Street" they are to goods paid be ways eight Otherwise, figures on the probable increase the number of families; but in one 1940, Since in results now addition, one immi¬ seventeen every no is there COBLEIGH Taxes should decline some¬ buy. grant enters the U. S. every two minutes and one emigrant leaves shorter hours, saner habits, and improved above the baby being born every 21 seconds. In that there births. The second more are now the for By IRA U. Author of "Winning in the phones, reason price §econds and someone dying every grandchildren. The been formed. than 150 million more in All one may children the people ex¬ Increase sky." All such benefits must be paid for by the younger people in the form of taxes or a higher have S. Links in the Food Chains "from the Some topical notes about a popular defensive type equity U. S. today, 63% what next year, but the decline —grocery chain shares. , will not be permanent. do not remember World War I. Until this year, 52% did not re¬ 71/2%, a1 particularly impressive Even the Welfare Funds which Food, shelter, and clothing in member a Republican Admini¬ organized labor is now demand¬ roughly that order, have been the showing. Add to this the fact that stration in the White House. ing will increase prices unless the basic economic priorities of man¬ grocery help, being usually rather workers increase their production kind for thousands of years, and unskilled, commands about 25 Don't Be Fooled by Figures there's noth¬ cents an hour less than is paid accordingly. "Security" must al¬ Of future pected U. the in the Security, come blue BABSON By ROGER YV. does not money Our Grandchildren Social even or background. much for Let's Grocery chains are big business. look at two or three specific com¬ and the arousing Together, they do, today, 38% of panies. Next to Atlantic and Pa~ population increase which good habits, old customers have died. More all the retail food selling in the within the souls of all people a cific, the big daddy of them all than 17 million marriages have comes from living longer presents United States with total sales, I (annual sales above $3V2 billion), desire to work and produce. taken place; More than 30 million a problem for our children. When believe, running now at above a comes Safeway Stores, Inc., which babies have been born. More than parents or grandparents receive Hence, the great importance , of' $13 billion annual rate. The most has parlayed a declining number / Old-Age Assistance, or Pensions, churches. impressive factor in their growth of stores into a substantial in¬ one-third of all present families (and gross) has been the-steady crease in business volume. For "Ijlossoming of supermarkets. Pri¬ 1943, Safeway net sales were $588 come The , depression marily - This is not an Offering Circular. Offering by means of the purchase of this Stock. The offer of this Stock is made only Circular, which should be read prior to any 313,200 Shares Right now, after two decades of with no frills, no deliveries, no weeding out little ones, and de¬ credit, and a minimum of person¬ veloping and adding big ones, alized service, the supermarkets Safeway operates 2,050 stores all numbered a lowly 300 in 1932; self-service (about 140 of them but V these shares which rights will expire at 3:00 P. M., Eastern Standard Time, on October 13, 1953, as more fully set forth in the Offering Circular. The issuance of these shares is subject to approval by the Comptroller of the Currency. Subscription Price $45 they in Canada) and it has just ar¬ To ranged with the construction firm card of Webb and Knapp for the build¬ annum. per things behind basket double wheeled four a and next the NYSE, pays cents quarterly, 60 and down of cookeries, and deploy up yielding over bl/z% on current quotations.. Safeway common has long files of frozen food freezers, paid dividends for 25 years in winding up in the groove at the a row^ and there was a 3-for-l cashier's counter. Believe it or split in 1945. If your preference not, the supermarket is far more runs to preferreds, there's a very important than Superman! good straight $4 pfd. selling between canyons , Share a 17,000. to $3 particularly, fine earnings for Think of 1953, perhaps even doubling the time you $2.01 earned in 1951 on each of sweep into a parking lot as big the 2,874,-351 common shares now as a ball field; then place yourself extant. This issue is listed on million Rights, evidenced by subscription warrants, to subscribe for these have been issued by the Rank to the holders of its Common Stock, since, years them gross well above among J ($10 Par Value) . 21 burgeoned qualify as a respectable, bearing supermarket, it should ing of 100 new markets, the last gross at least $250,000 annually. word in grandeur, design, and The average one sold $800,000 of efficiency. victuals in 1952; and the virtuosos Safeway should come up with Common Stock , the in have National Bank of Detroit designed gro¬ million; in 1952 they had almost trebled to $1,639 million. i. depots, to provide food to the masses at rock bottom prices, cery ratios of the big around 85, and a convertible $4.50 be of some in¬ pfd. which, at your pleasure, you Their average inventory is may relinquish, receiving in lieu, The operating terest. turned highest known price at which Common Stock is then being offered in the over-the-counter market by other dealers, plus the amount of any con¬ cession allowed to dealers. The may about 15 times over profit mark average a year. cur¬ up rently runs around 18%, and ^ i chains food of Common Stock at prices not lower than the Subscription Price set forth above (less, in the case of sales to dealers, the concession allowed to dealers) and not higher than the The several underwriters may offer shares op¬ appears to run near 3% of gross, income erating somewhere with varying shares three safe as may pretty good yield. a First Nat'l Stores, Inc. A more Labor Cost thing of note Low legally offer this Stock in compliance with the securities laics of the respective States. Another chains is the labor bite. knows MORGAN STANLEY & CO. BLYTH & THE FIRST BOSTON CO., INC. CORPORATION CO. HARRIMAN RIPLEY & IIOIINBLOWER & WEEKS Incorporated KIDDER, PEABODY & CO. LAZARD FRERES & MERRILL LYNCII, PIERCE, FENNER & BEANE LEHMAN BROTHERS CO. PAINE, WEBBER, JACKSON & CURTIS k SMITH, BARNEY & CO. 1 FIRST OF MICHIGAN CORPORATION M. A. t SCHAPIRO & ( CO., INC. are small Everyone price in our in labor relation to those com¬ outlays total are sales; sectional entry, and one most consistent the in industry Inc., Stores, performers is First National which operates 847 England, about 600 service. Because of outlets in New them of the self compact territory units can be supplied five central distributing rather served, from, plants. cellent trends all First National is an ex¬ example of the vertical mentioned above, since it in¬ operates its own bakeries and bot¬ creased labor costs won't dent tling plants, and sells some 170 net earnings too drastically. The items under it own "FINAST" chains we're discussing come off label. ' 0 •J and where, in consequence, well in this respect. Salaries generally fall between 12% of gross (as against 50% for railroads, 55% for gold and wages First National management is esteemed, and earning power here displays probably the fewest peaks and valleys of any mining); and Safeway, for 1952, major enterprise in the industry. got this ratio down to below In the decade from 1943/52 net 10% and September 25, 1953. one seeking panies, where very WATLING, LERCHEN & CO. the food economy - (except perhaps the price of gold) that shows no ten¬ dency to weaken is the price of labor. " Hence increasingly in¬ vestors GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. that of the in Quite durable performer is a pretty at territory served. Copies of the Offering Circular are obtainable from only such of the undersigned common. way way and management of to become a Safeway shareholder! At all events, Safe¬ a highly* Nn, - » , * . ' ' ' ' '■ . ' r Volume 178 sales Number 5260 from went $424 million $2.24 per $164 and million net share in The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... which 1943 to its bond of in succession Split 2-for-l in years $1.25. 1951, the shares now $2.00— pay below 50% of net; a schedule, which, if adopted, will require amendment to Exchange's Constitution. property. to and notice a sent submitted to members allied of promptly to the bership for balloting. the New York Stock Exchange on Present commission Sept. 25, the Board of Governors of the Exchange has set down for consideration the at next of established since policy Thursday, Oct. to adopt a proposed on schedule commission no 15, Fair Stores, the Food most Inc. to If the One of growth trade situations has been in dramatic the Food to new the make the rates as the Board an Consitution, were November, time there 1947, has been the proposed would be schedule, computed same manner as they today, but would produce an proximately revenue. 18% in sale of the commission the on same 50% for a odd commission Commissions would con¬ of tinue of be to be based money the on involved in amount a trans¬ + next $3,000 on plus 1/10% on involved Plus- $5.00 for a Plus for an $3.00 lot or $1.50 for as Commission about of 7V2%. charges be for the clearing of members' floor no trades. 1% + $i5.oo 1/10% + $35.00 Odd Lot The any The proposed schedule for each or odd lot is: minimum $50, with per minimum ever. — share. $42 million $300 over in million Sales per to 1943 for this supermarket of rate a an The offer to sell nor a solicitation of an per offer to buy any of these Bonds offer is made only by the Prospectus. year. king-size, averaging over $1,900,a year. This, mind you, is an 000 for the whole chain—not average just single unit performance. a $75,000,000 ' ; One-third ■ of owned, the rest type leases. ; The rapid . Stores has nancing zation the outlets are non-escalator on rise of evoked Fair Food fi¬ extensive that so today's capitali¬ of $25 million in consists International Bank debt, 75,185 shares of $4.20 pre¬ selling around 95 and 2,377,907 common shares quoted ferred and Development today on NYSE at 261/8.\ The in¬ dicated cash dividend is 80 cents a but there year; . dividend this of ' 5% stock was a declared Aug. on Three Year Bonds of 1953, Due October 1, 1956 of 27 A per share net figure year. around $2 seems reasonable a possibility for 1953.' Food Fair," over a 15-year stretch, has racked up fantastic market gains for its original and non selling shareholders, and forward motion here gives no in¬ dication of stopping at today's sales line of scrimmage. Food Interest Rate 3% . Interest payable April 1 and October 1, in Sew York, N. I". - Fair has been much better than a fair equity. Others We've field today, fits in Industry only skimmed selecting which display investment merit .... Price 99Vs% and Accrued Interest the over three out¬ considerable Safeway for yield, First National for stability and Food there Fair for growth. But lot of other good ones a are — —Kroger, Grand Union, National Tea, Penn Fruit, American Stores, and fast moving southern entrw a Winn and is for no Lovett. means If your search Copies of the Prospectus defensive sibilities shuts the door on may these Bonds in securities, you certainly ought to look this group over; and today's buyer here by he obtained from only such of the undersigned pos¬ MORGAN STANLEY & CO. THE FIRST BOSTON portfolio. J. P. MORGAN & Wm. L. Burton Adds William THE CHASE NATIONAL BANK CO. BANKERS TRUST COMPANY CITY BANK OF NEW YORK THE FIRST NATIONAL BANK L. Burton Street, New FIRST NA TIONAL BANK & Co., 25 members of the New York NEW City, MAN UFA CTURERS TRUST COMPAN Y CHEMICAL BANK & TRUST COMPANY YORK Stock Exchange, announced that Hamp¬ Sealy has become associated with the with Barmonde, and firm. He was formerly Gilliland & Co. Newburger, Loeb & Co. to The DETROIT, Financial Mich. Chronicle) — GUARANTY TRUST COMPANY OF NEW Robert BLYTH & CO., INC. IIARRIMAN RIPLEY & Kanney of Baker, have joined Simonds & the Co., Exchange. OF AMERICA DREXEL & CO. CO. GLORE, FORGAN & CO. KIDDER, PEABODY & CO. GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. LAZARD FRERES & CO. SHIELDS & COMPANY MERRILL L YNCII, PIERCE, FENNER & BEANE SMITH, BARNEY & CO. STONE & SALOMON BROS. & HUTZLER WEBSTER SECURITIES CORPORATION » J. UNION SECURITIES CORPORATION staff Buhl Building, members of the Detroit .Stock BANK Incorporated Cook, Eugene O. Hess, and Charles J. YORK N. T. & S. A. LEHMAN BROTHERS Three With Baker, Simonds (Special OF CHICAGO Sealy to Staff York ton S. CORPORATION Incorporated THE NATIONAL H. S. Broad legally offer compliance with the securities laws of the respective States. of higher dividends and higher market quotations. Chains may become expanding links in your as may September 29, 1953. commission a maximum transaction, really are $2 Less would be retained. Stores This announcement is neither 5.00 on WHITE, WELD & CO. of The present $6.00 Incorporated. Here the entire emphasis has been on big (11 to 20 thousand square feet) selfservice supermarkets of which the company now operates 165. Net sales have literally rocketed from + $ single transaction would not exceed $1.00 100 shares - mutually agreed y2 % $5,000 and above There increase in would As 100 to $1,999 over-all increase from present levels also . $2,000 to $4,999 brokerage rates would be revised to provide an or Amount Money Involved an $ floor lot, odd lot. follows: Under $100 and $5,000 above round The proposed schedule may be described grocery Fair • . money : of money invested lot. round approves woud first $2,000 of money involved on VzVo liquidat¬ ing transaction would be Clearance estimated over-all increase of ap¬ schedule and 7 plus the regular commission plus $2.50 rates, in much the are amendment it which commissions It is easy to see why which have been attached to the selling at 49 is "one of the notice. An amendment to the top quality equities among food, Exchange's constitution would be chains. effective. in mem¬ change. Under new rates FST necessary 1% less. There discount. security for one account are made on the Exchange within 30 days, new a purchase a the members thus continuing meeting long tradition of plowing back whether good slice of earnings into the a Funston, President of New York Stock Exchange, consider According a 1914; and I believe for these paid without or volume no special feature of the new schedule would provide that when or dividends miss since it might expect to find preferred. It has you cash a paid to be A gives members notice that Board of Governors will meet Oct. 15 of qualities 16 incorporated single security (1,637,138 common) a lot of the shares in has .would $6.74 was G. Keith First National action of 100 shares NYSE to Consider New Commission Rates was last year. into (1219) how¬ 8 and Financial The Commercial (1220) and lately the spot) strong Successful Bidders for Housing Bonds Awakening Rails there's been joy Then too, Recommendations & Literature the railroad issues have again asserted themselves as potential mar¬ for the Automobile Industry—Leaflet—Joseph New York 6, N. Y. way, a Co., 10 East 45th Street, New York 17, N. Y., The Exchange Magazine, 20 Broad Street, New York 5, Equities Higher Yield Broadway, How to Be • a — York New Tabulation — points above the mid-Sep¬ and would seem to have ho important- barriers by the just ahead. It is believed that the next important resistance N. Y. Sutro Bros. & Co., 120 $10 102 (on sale Oct. 2)— Rogers—In the Oct. 16 issue of "Collier's" upside is in the 99- the on Week—Donald I. a they would encounter level N. Y. 5, Wall Street Financier on area. * 15 cents per copy. Investment Opportunities in rities Co., Japan-^Circular—Yamaichi Secu¬ showing an up-to-date com¬ parison between the listed industrial stocks used in the DowJones Averages and the 35 over-the-counter industrial stocks Averages, both as to a 13-year period — used in the National Quotation Bureau yield and market performance over Quotation Bureau, Inc., 46 York 4, New York. National ♦ » American Wall randum on 60 Beaver American Co., are for Carpenter Corporation—Analysis—H. a Hentz Corporation—Analysis—Eastman, Street, Co., 44 memo¬ Co., & New York 5,, N. Dillon & available Also Y. Investment. Paper Co.—Memorandum—Central South La Salle Central Allyn & list of Common Stocks for Appreciation and Common Stocks 209 C. Also available is Street, New York 4, N. Y. Broad Vermont Republic Co., Street, Chicago 4, 111. Public Service Co.—Booklet—Ira Haupt & Co., Ill Broadway, New York 6, N..Y. Combustion & Engineering—Data in current bulletin—Abraham Col, 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. bulletin are Lorillard data Also in the same Continental Oil, Hercules Powder, P. on Phelps, Fenn of & Mitchell of John and Inc. (left to right): Orlando S. in picture Co., George Levind of the Mitchell. & Blyth & Co., law firm of Caldwell, Company, Revere Copper & Brass. * } ' - . • ' report—Gordon Graves 1 York 4, N. Y. Diamond Alkali—Memorandum—Auchincloss, Parker & Redpath, 52 Wall Street, New- York 5, N. Y. Emerson Radio & Phonograph Corporation—Analysis—Stanley Heller & Co., 30 Pine Street, New York 5, N. Y. Foremost Dairies—Analysis—First California Company, Incor¬ porated, 300 Montgomery Street, San Francisco 4, Calif. Also available is a progress report on American-Marietta, and a report on Southern California Water Company. In the cur¬ rent issue of "Views" are brief analyses of Arizona Public Service Company, Southwestern Public Service Company, Bank of America, Franklin National Bank, Permanent Ce¬ ment Company, Phillips Petroleum Company, Tennessee Gas Transmission Company, Kaiser Steel Corporation and White Commonwealth Oil Company—Progress & Co., 30 Broad Street, New Eagle Oil Company. Fuji Iron & Steel—Analysis—Nikko Securities Co., Ltd., 4, 1- Japan. Also avail¬ Interprovincial Pipe Line Co.—Memorandum—G. E. quality and growth we Co., Royal Bank Building, Montreal, Que., recommend and Land Louisiana Exploration Leslie & Canada. American Enka National Company—Analysis—Bruns, Street, New York 4, N. Y. ConWapon—Analysis—Aetna Securities Cor¬ Homes poration, 111 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Corporation—Bulletin—T. L. Watson & Co., 50 Steel National Company—Analysis in current issue Financial Digest"—Loewi & Co., 225 East Paper Nekoosa-Edwards of Troster, Singer & Co. 2400 Members: 74 N. Y. Security Dealers Association Trinity Place, New York 6, N. Y. "Business NY 1* analysis of Public Service Company of New Hampshire. Resort 376 Also in the same issue is Street, Milwaukee 2, Wis. Mason an & Airlines—Bulletin—De Witt Conklin Organization, 100 Company—Analysis—Lerner & Co., 10 Post Office Square, Boston Seaboard Oil 9, Mass. of Delaware — Slocks with the past three weeks Visking but several specialties came to the fore. Co. Bullard was issue, spurting more strong a than two points yesterday on news of a $1 cash dividend and a 10% stock dividend. It had partial¬ ly anticipated this move, in a al¬ rise which now measures points in little over most six a week. United made & Chemical gain for a low- Dye wide a priced issue. It was in demand reportedly on reports the pre¬ ferred (around 63 M>) was called. Another wide Wednesday was HeyChemical, also low- being den priced, it ran up almost three points at one time in heavy volume, on news of a new — Bache & Co., 36 Wall drifting lower yes¬ Before the terday, rails, industrials measured as & Standard B. Motter Corporation—Analysis—Cruttenden in lost from last & & Co., 209 South * * Aircrafts a Prop activity in the aircrafts, which carried over into and Tuesday Tuesday, as on Monday (and which on inc. 26% and of the the decline summer's highs. The burst of Street, Chicago 4, 111. and the 18%, respectively, * Corporation—Bulletin—O. by Poor's daily in¬ recovered ground Study Associates, 500 Fifth Avenue, New York 36, N. Y. Uptick Label! La Salle Ami Oil bit prices of the best the Street, New York 5, N. Y. Transcontinental 10 days of a steady climb for the utilities. A good number of dexes, Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. Riverside Cement in¬ antibiotic. Broadway, New York 4, N. Y. HA 2- on days of advance for the dustrials and rails, and stepper It Nordeman & Co., 60>Be£ver upswing ran Wednesday after six the leaders backed away a < chome, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, able is an analysis of Nippon Express. For Marshall, out from England Electric System. Viscose 15 a New Phenolic Brewer Housing $100,000,000 of New York Federal Others bonds. Authority that their group was the suc¬ • Street, New York 5, N". Y. American New cessful bidder for over Trimble Co.—Memorandum—A. Optical Street, Front to Investment Dealers nouncing * * The market's left), of Lehman Brothers, an¬ from (second Morse Frank Ltd., Ill Broadway, New York 7, N. Y. Over-the-Counter Index—Folder at than group 5 Exchange—12 issues, $1.00—Dept. B., The Stock York this index tember lows, Exchange—Pocket magazine issued once a month New runup around 95 is now more Dept. CF. Bay Street, Toronto 1, Ont., Canada. 330 Monday's generally by the rail Measured by the Dow- Jones outlook—Ross, Knowles & Co., Canadian Business—Analysis of in an uptrend — led issues. pre-packaged, balanced retirement program combining dollar annuities with equity securities—Kidder, Peabody & ing time. was Program—Booklet for employers describ¬ Balanced Retirement leaders this Faroll & Co., 29 Broad¬ Street, ket send inteirested parties tne to of another bullish corner in firmsfanentioned will b& pleased following literature: understood that the is oils. aircrafts and the Dealer-Broker Investment It October 1, 1953 Chronicle... Thursday, provided one of the of the advance) stemmed from reports that Friday Transcontinental Oil Corp. Gulf THE MARKET... AND Sulphur Corporation By WALLACE mainstays YOU Washington was readying some new important con¬ STREETE tracts. Sweet Grass Oils Ltd. The stock market extended its recovery on rotating lead¬ ership this past week. It was a good performance of stead¬ ily inching away from the mid-September low levels, L. D. SHERMAN & CO. Member: National 30 Pine St. Association of Securities WHitehall 4-5540 I Teletype NY 1-2233 and Dealers, Inc. New York City 5 for the industrial aver¬ index, the ered the so-called market first set encount¬ of several supply areas. (These reportedly 265-267—270272 and 275-280.) Coming up from a 254.36 low set on Sept. 14, the industrial section in are Apparently what was awaited was the decision an¬ that the allowing Boe¬ nounced late Monday Air Force was ing to establish a second man¬ ufacturing source for its B-52 jet bomber. Boeing and North American Aviation, which is also involved in the program, least, it was a smart the past week has had such stepped right out in heavy distinguished leadership as enough rise to approach an demand as a result. area considered to offeV some the electrical equipments ages, at , "sales resistance." ; * * * (mostly General Electric), the In climbing to around 265 chemicals (Allied and Du- Groups Ahead of the Market The aircrafts, along, with in the Dow-Jones Pont), the motors (Chrysler a industrial^ Volume 178 Number 5260... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (1221) such industries baking a$ tobacco, public and utilities, Of course, there has been a steady outpouring of propaganda From have fared far better of late than the general ; Washington market. "Some of the air issues (United Aircraft) highs have touched * stepped-up Bethlehem in the to the fore came ministration supposed steel group, some de¬ is mand being created by the suggestion of several advisory services that it was a good switch that in section. based or this gov- emment's Sharon Steel have into Bethlehem. cut¬ may caused too much ; J With the * * nomic in Washington spot¬ light turned At coun¬ any rate, the indi¬ packers, shares of companies cations are that the Ad¬ probably get ministration, a new going over. The aver¬ instead of age price of meat packing proceeding with in this trade will shares declined into 1942; there from 1938 followed sev¬ Carlisle Bargeron the cutback next year, may reverse itself and go for even larger in military spending, Neither i Mr." Wilson - Mr. nor profitable years with the Humphrey, so far as I know, has of shares up into 1946; changed his views about the ne- en group then since there have cessity of the budget being put in been order. unprofitable seven with the shares ' or to seems to have Pentagon military spending An cut. put dollars above secur¬ It is surprising how the press generally adopted this theme how little economizers press have the support had. The Ad¬ which has been the justification pouring out billions of dollars, has been soft-toned. It is for our if as we were prehensions wrong in our ap¬ that contingency, over but now we really are in peril because Russia will just drop the bombs directly over us, to such an be extent, indeed, that suffocated that so radical ' -■ - * * ■ * be come tremendously alarmed But their attitude towards different form. sweeping over Western Europe if any upset in employment. - Nevfr Issue * . textile In,,the turned grouping Woolen American shares •,500,000 strong and active this past week. Both the common r and. preferred chalked up good gains while some other ; * elements in the grouping {particularly, the ducers) big having were time of it. . a pro- Territory of Hawaii 1 / ^ ' 1 * 2.90% Public Improvement Bonds, Series A, Issue of 1953 bad Woolen made the- volume in ten rayon times in the Dated September 15, 1953 period. * , several * Due September 15, 1956-73, Incl. Principal and semi-annual interest (March 15 and September 15) payable in New York City at the Bankers Trust Company, or in Honolulu at the office of the Territorial Treasurer. Coupon bonds in denomination of $1,000. ❖ Foods' Good Performance Among selected groups vigorously resist¬ ed selling pressure in the re¬ In the opinion of counsel, exempt as to both principal and interest from all present Federal, State, Municipal and Local Taxes, except Estate, Inheritance and Gift Taxes *. which have cent decline, and which have found favor new in the In up- in fthe * Improvement Bonds, authorized in compliance with the acts of the. Congress of the United States, in the opinion of counsel will constitute valid and legally binding obligations, of the Territory of Hawraii, payable from the consolidated revenues of the Territory, and said Territory will have power to levy taxes upon of rate or the taxable property therein for the payment of the bonds and interest thereon, without limitation amount. * * - opinion, Legal Investment for Savings Banks and Trust Funds in New York State These Public has weathered several profit-taking sessions to keep its uptrend alive. Pet Milk managed a new high. group, . our « swing, is the food stocks. Gen¬ eral Foods, one of the leaders AMOUNTS, MATURITIES AND YIELDS OR PRICES Groups Vulnerable to ' Tax Selling ; $305,000 1956 1.85% sharp de¬ 305,000 1957 1.95 prices this year liquidation of "this type could 305,000 1958 305,000 1959 view * of" the In cline in share well be the heaviest in ers. common 1962 2.45% 305,000 1963 2.55 305,000 1969 @ 2.05 305,000 1964 2.65 305,000 1970 @ 2.15 305,000 1965 2.70 305,000 1971 2.95% 305,000 1972 3.00 315,000 1973 3.00 * 305,000 1960 2.25 305,000 1966 2.75 1961 2.35 305,000 1967 $305,000 2.80 ' 1968 2.85% 100 100 (Accrued interest to be added) stocks down 20 % or from more $305,000 : 305,000 some according to some trad¬ There's quite a list of years, their best 1953 The above Bonds levels. You'll find them in the and air transportation field, ' in chemicals, coal, farm equip¬ ments, metal, petroleum, rail¬ are offered when, as and if issued and received by us, and subject to prior sale approval of legality by Messrs. Wood, King 4" Dawson, Attorneys, New Yorlc, N. Y. The Chase National Bank road, rail equipment, rubber, Harris Trust and Savings Bank Salomon Bros. & Hutzler Direxel & Co. steel, sugar and textile cata- gories. This an other [The article time * * Incorporated tax selling gives an opportunity to profits he takes out of market operations. investor offset Mercantile Trust Blair, Rollins & Co. * views do not expressed Chronicle. in necessarily at Laurence M. Marks & Co. - They are Green, Ellis & Anderson Central Republic Company (Incorporated) this Andrews & Wells, Inc. any of the presented ai ~ Malvern Hill & Hayden, Miller & Co. Company Incorporated those those of the author only.] Equitable Securities Corporation Company St. Louis an coincide. with , ' we New York. may won't be change. present low levels. - we able to retaliate. undergoing, ministration, instead of citing the From my digging around in the They have be- economy as an accomplishment, Administration's ivory tower, try¬ over has been forced to defend it with ing to separate the realities from Russia's having the H-bomb, if such unconvincing statements to the fevered thinking, I don't be¬ she doesn't have it now, she will the effect that although^we have lieve men like Messrs. Wilson and have it by 1956. It seems that al¬ a less costly military we have a Humphrey share the fears which though we are way ahead of Rus¬ more efficient one. they seem to profess. I think they sia industrially at this time, Rus¬ It seems strange that in all the are more concerned over the eco¬ sia is fast' catching up with us. agitation no one has raised the nomic jitters which their econo¬ This on the part of a country that question of whether'the Military mizing caused. They didn't have next to China is the most back¬ can the very loyal support of the mil¬ assure this country of safety ward in the world.: from an atomic or hydrogen bomb itary in the allocation of the cut¬ It seems fantastic but the imattack regardless of how much backs. In the Air Force the re¬ -•portant thing to the American* money it is given. The answer is ductions and cancellations of or¬ taxpayers, inasmuch as we are that it can't. Former Chief of the ders were seemingly placed me¬ not living in world realities but Air Force, General Hoyt Vanden- ticulously so that the thud of re¬ in fancy and imagination, is that berg wrote in the "Saturday Even¬ duced business activity would be an Administration that seemed to ing Post" a couple of years ago the most pronounced. have been heading away from the ^ that regardless of what sort of It stood to reason that so much world tensions on which preced¬ protection we had the Russians spending could not be stopped ing administrations' had subsisted, could get bombers through. It is without its having a temporary is reversing its field and apparinteresting to note, incidentally, effect upon the economy, witjioui ently is going to embrace the same that practically all of the re'eent fears about Russia which, the Trusome business readjustments propaganda has been around Rus¬ man Administration so assiduously sia's ability to deliver a devastat¬ ing necessary.. But if the stock cultivated.; This - means* higher ing air attack on this country. The market is any barometer, the un¬ taxes, not lower ones, although the higher levies will come in a earlier propaganda about her first easiness is" being eased with* little a years, declining to the the . eco¬ alarm this try. to the meat on capabilities upon military * destructive military spending Ad- undergone, Russia's over feeling a that One back ; circles real fear that nation & or within concern any of suggested switch: from Jones Laughlin has and * since from omizers By CARLISLE BARGERON It is difficult to tell whether the Russia effective slogan was coined to the effect that the econ¬ ity. their best levels for 1953. * ever was Ahead the News new have moved close to or about 9 September 30, 1953 First Securities Company of R. L. Day & Co. Chicago Freeman & Company The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 10 1, 1953 (1222) of the diversified busi¬ which it has slipped in recent conducted by the years. The government was never Its Federal Government which pres¬ intended to be in business. one every Government Will Stop ently competes with the owners, managers and workers of private future business activities: judge each proposal as to its merits in serving the public. We do not want the Federal Gov¬ by bloated government to take over services better performed by private enterprise takes some¬ thing away from the people, Secretary Weeks discloses new Administration is carefully scrutinizing all activities conducted by Federal Government which compete with private industry. Promises, wherever feasible and as quickly as possible, to take Uncle Sam out of competition with private business. Terms it disturbing for umpire to judge himself as a player. ernment consider the strength us enterprise competitive private of possibilities for the ad¬ vancement of the well-being of its and Americans. One the of most impor¬ issues tant our of operations which should by private enterprise. In the case of major projects— such as multipurpose dams—the business in and earth on The of success that this: way every history, the American Eu¬ has won—and the Weeks Sinclair off instrument people have lost con¬ used and themselves to the by reward people themselves government, the for their "own individual effort government has taken more and and to give themselves the best in goods and services which only more control of their lives. Stand¬ ards of living have gone down. competition among producers can their of Human rights have been crushed. When Nazi the hoodwinked German people of Iron and Curtain countries awoke to their betrayal, it was too late. That must Last November people — the on less American freedom more bigness less and government happen here. never public decided for burdens in from government—less controls by gov¬ ernment— less into ernment intrusion of gov¬ the field of private business. Since has then been dom As far tion. no more I as can barge a run the for reason to Corpora¬ see, there is than there is for it to govern¬ line run today truck¬ a . the also Commerce whether to as Department examining the are of the functions ques¬ not or many performed by the Federal Government in mer¬ builders and bankers. Certain air¬ the Administration carrying out that free¬ mandate. We endeavor¬ are swiftly as Uncle take oosible. as Sam want to we out of and owners is to construct them. war no reason There for Uncle Sam to own and operate them now. competi¬ private business—whose workers can render tion with the The to *An give address fore Nat'l New York judge hijnself just can't be the player. It a as dono^ Let ^me give you a concrete ex¬ ample. A privately operate^ pub¬ lic service company, which, al¬ though by charter, by law and by regulation is in the public serv¬ ice, is held accountable for its acts government a commission. That commisison is the umpire. However, when the government itself organizes is a umpire no hand to on accountable. Once in be may to company the public in any field there serve hold Congressional a it while there a investi¬ gation. But there is little machin¬ ery for continuous scrutiny of the manifold actions ment business one but this of govern¬ enterprise by any¬ officials government themselves. -' The gentlemen ' running the government-operated company subject to the enterprises. They are human frail¬ same ties that beset managers of private frequently subject to an empire-building complex and too often are willing to take things easy and coast. that there the for was also more no Federal private by Secretary Industrial Weeks Conference City, Sept. 23, be¬ Board, not are with those in government- so business owned know that Administration felt reason Government to desirable economic services faster, take oil lands covered with water cheaper and better than ponder¬ ous bureaucratic government. away to lean on the So For example: can If—as do better than either to well-clothed, well-housed, and provided with those extras which give us here the really abundant It started to turn 1953. some critics now whine— give-away program, then I think the public will say, "Give us a lot more of such programs." that's a years, less directed scribed this still country less and is circum¬ by the limiting factors of central government other. *; \ ; than any ; to keep it prove that better Jan. 20. on not set up established to do business. It was for certain most im¬ by limited purposes but who wrote the Constitution. ment is the loom ahead. piles to up the public usually when business is en¬ a Fathers did by accident. not was own little faith State local and others. are peo¬ Business on earth until that time had experienced. ple Constitution The to preserve written was these unique liberties is .more more Federal Federal goods people, including freedom government inter¬ ference in the ordinary * business central affairs of their lives. It ers is of bureaucracy, more and taxes and Constitution that document as created result of their a experience with liberty for more than 150 that even maintain to unique liberty for more Constitution this functioned has is It years. interesting rapidly INVESTMENT BANKERS This Members New York Stock Exchange and Other National Exchanges [DISTRIBUTORS ' nomic more .a Of authorized by BROKERS of BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES • Phone LD-159 as better under the chief eco¬ much better government, past or by this course, not business any reason why success we for future people else¬ SECURITIES prefer special situations and large control blocks Harry & Myron Kunin that mean as a statement I segment every servant of the ftiiva/e tn 403 W. 8th ST. LOS ANGELES 'TU-5630 that despite human short¬ comings it has performed its func¬ tions infinitely better central government can. than that, central a that tries to do do its - set was would live and to up serve Executive branch baseball cans game play it. . story is one hope to take the \ But players ... Members ^ make the people each, other. was estab¬ American „ of life ' as Stock „ York New Cotton disturbs -V game if Exchange Exchange " Chicago New Board of Trade Cotton Exchange Orleans And Inc. Exchange, Commodity other N. Y. Cotton the . Exchanges Ameri¬ - considerably '* Exchange Stock York New United the Player it - H. Hentz & Co. well. the of which under 1856 more government functions Congress States rules Established any everything cannot primary The than And CHICAGO and every Exchange Bldg. NEW YORK 4, N. Y. Disturbing for Umpire to Turn Federal Government out of rpany the business activities into of 46 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA where in the world. That record con- page mean The the prospects on of public has. given the American people great¬ lished to administer these rules. two together umpire the opportunity, greater well-being The prosperity than • adoption of distribution services any of than 160 changing circumstances. 300-year experiment with servant Federal Continued • er and of INVESTMENT SECURITIES Home Office: Atlanta its private business Established 1925 UNDERWRITERS and after and can do • years Federal Federal debts more more public has always been perfect. I interesting that the writ¬ the development, more operation, present. for the from be served Federal ownership," gov¬ the American people in the production ; and than so free the public interest can charter, license, and by other laws serves They have American Business, in When the Constitution was adopt¬ regulations," to serve the pub¬ ed, the American people had en¬ lic. Under our statutes and under American conditions, business joyed more than 150 years of.r.a that no other the enterprise system that they think and kind of liberty in is still another. sense, ' affairs. their of several servants of one public. ernments Founding wise these What deficit served -only bv , It is those • if evidence Secretary As cent prise keep the average family well-fed, portant Private Wires who terprises are owned and operated was to take any other land that by the people themselves and not of belonged to the States. by the Federal or any other Gov¬ Government Belongs to People Commerce and, of course, with the We believe every one of these ernment. In America the government be¬ approval of the President, I sold acts benefits the public. But, as is always the case, when This Administration intends to longs to the people. So does the Federal Barge Line for nearly one suggests keeping Octopus private enterprise. Both should be 12 million dollars after it had been limit the Federal government to •Government out of competition money for the public in its essential functions and to in¬ with used for the people. The Federal losing private industry,. the wor¬ government can perform some 12 of the last 14 years. By remov¬ crease its efficiency in the per¬ shippers of Big Government weep services better than private enter¬ ing the Federal Government from formance of these functions. ' and wail and gnash their teeth, In spite of the fact that the wel¬ prise—postal service, for example. river transportation we think we These critics of decentralization benefited taxpayers, ship¬ fare clause of the Constitution has State and local government can have have no confidence in the ability run schools better than the Fed¬ pers, barge workers and the been stretched to distortion in re¬ of the American people to handle eral Government. Private enter¬ public. supply. The Administration is studying ( enterprises, they have the taxpayer from the States than there our purpose so. Public Benefits When Government competitive life. Itf is our aim to reverse the 20Stops Grabbing Jobs enterprise more opportunities and Every move by bloated, greedy ,year trend towards centralization. more incentives to make the lot Let us explore further why and government which takes over It is our determination to give a of everyone better. services better performed by how the public benefits when the break to the owners and workers For this uniquely American Federal Government stops grab¬ private enterprise takes some¬ of private enterprise. ^ competitive enterprise system is thing away from the people. The bing the jobs which competitive ;; Our reasons for ,thife change are the greatest instrument designed tide in that direction had been enterprise can do better. Our Federal Government was quite simple. The Federal govern¬ running strong for two decades. ing umpire grabs hitting the ball. disturbs now . . my to ing line. In the umpire's judgment of the rules if he tries by have sold we it And Waterways opment of the natural resources of by financing of ship construction the country. It is my hope and ' may- be worked out between continue under government op¬ the people. It is invented, devel¬ eration. But, where possible, and people, for oped before. Wherever extent the the people are trol that while a the bat and starts , after nation Big Government than Inland the tion with accord policy is in the considered belief that, trans¬ other lated into action, this policy will serve the best interests of all the person on is that in worse As I said earlier, ; we clared: not think do in once than any port control towerg have been re¬ turned to city governments where earth a combination of people of the United States." the criteria indicated insufficient powerful human rights. As for current government- national interest was involved. Among these American rights V; The necessity for profits: and business activities*' I • The are: freedom of religion, free operated Administration and the the pressure of competition con¬ elections, free speech, free press should expect that those which > Congress have decided to sell the tinually drive !the manager of a are justified and feasible and be¬ and free enterprise. government-owned plants for private enterprise. In private There business you make good or you Free, private enterprise is an yond the present means of states ." making synthetic rubber. or private enterprise to handle, to was a national defense reason in don't stay in business. But this is economic system of the people, by greater Free The tragedy of nation discussing the recent power "This I abol¬ Finance its death is mourned, .. . . Reconstruction Corporation. ment - . policy statement by the Secretary of the Interior the President de¬ of of life is that modern those justified economically are In < plan will feasible. and based on the fact American enjoys to a is Govern¬ rope - has Administration the arrangement where¬ tion vs. not principle that the states and with television antennas sprout¬ local communities, private citizens chant shipping and civil aviation and the Federal Government it-; can be ing from nearly every roof and returned to. private enter¬ 55 million automobiles on our self should cooperate in an effort prise or to municipalities. We are actively to encourage the devel¬ highways. hoping for an living B i g ment < Administration Americans the highest standard genera¬ People. This ished be handled by man to advance his own ma¬ terial well-being. It is giving is take. to embark on more any record goocL.lt should remain in business can perform neces¬ sary functions which private en¬ terprise cannot or will not under¬ shall we Asserting that every move business in only where it As for SINCLAIR WEEKS* Secretary of Commerce Let overall industry. Competing With Business By HON. activities ness . DETROIT GENEVA, , PITTSBURGH SWITZERLAND r. f 1 Number 5260 Volume 178 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... XI223) rate Federal Budget and Corporate Profits in a Business Decline Vice-President, The Bank of New York greatly later, Our v. In the Tin recent months of the likelihood reasoned of business decline in the United a .States. However, there has ..... been ,, little the more . the ef- 1 15 the years Federal has budget >ecome a r g e very 1 de- y jendent on lersonal and corporate in- taxes :ome 'or revenue. The William R. effects of Biggs nU^,oSir!f«S Federal profits It is • of most recent 1948-1949—to the 1953 activity. declines the of and mated those This tax rate roughly present 52% rate of months Board-Index The decline, year. the Tow, small which not is seasonal July the and allowance and been part, reflects in the .index, of vacations Some August. of the in assumed Revised projecting *This fall in for has also year ^T o® ,•;:!>*; estimating estimate The The is adjusted to June Federa. end assume in the as profits occurred as periods two have and corporate profits based are the above on * The Using base, has 0f a 1949-Type declines same as those estimates been taken to mean in industrial sw. 30, has 1954, for the from the are To of 1938. Excess a tax rates the were obtain cjines tion<, used as Tax effect come. decline Again in personal in- have 1954 frnm !n was an increase in rovpr other profits of grees of recession. subtracted tbp emphasized that no prediction is intended — we are merely applying the experience.of previous declines. We have no Federal 1 tax „i -i same ceipts the in in event of similar we have estimated IP take place, and duration this a tion. not way declines of the of knowing boom unreasonable Finally, the make expecta- timing in averaging each fiscal of any decline is certainly unpredictable. years ending after June 30, arises from the fact that be observed taxes in decline have the on net ; we have made an arbitrary in follows a inJ? Place the 10% perthe l neZrt higher on year official esti- will represent the net savings arisin£ hom the end of the Korean war> after allowing for increasec* Korean rehabilitation 1 S u.Xu • year. costs-* Otherwise expenditures have been left unchanged from ,the.offidal estimate1 June on the in¬ lowlng reasonlnS: the (a) The Administration has nounced that the Projection of » m ♦ « ru the s,affy. °1 . c.oun,try' ?n<J.tha.t ^i ^a^en* Only a major change in tha 1 and because most corpora- *Table tions have fiscal years ending 1938-type December 31st. Such corporations, cushioning because of the Mills plan to speed from a same corporate profits, tax corporate up payments, *Trf , will billion, . r == profits. Corporate course, are This advertisement is not an The offer to sell an offer to buy these securities. ■lJ New Issue rates, of higher in 1953 than in elimination of Excess Profits Tax porate solicitation of tax f the receipts or a offering is made only by the Prospectus. which profits reduces tax the accrued, 54% of estimated pre-tax cor- $15,000,000 Indiana & Michigan Electric Company from corpo- First Mortgage Bonds, 3%% Series Due 1983 a Due September 1, 1983 Dated September 1, 1953 1949-Type Decline (Dollar figures in billions) Actual Estim. . Estim. '1949-Type 1953 Decline 235 Industrial Production Index (19351939 = 100) ' Estim. Decline Decline in 1949 from 1953 from 1948 -215 8.5% Price 102.31% and accrued interest 8.5% Wholesale Commodity Price Index 109 (1947-1949 = 100) Income (before tax) $285.0 33.0 Personal Income Tax (Federal)__ - , Personal 103-4 5.0 5.0 $280.0 1.7 1.7 Copies of the Prospectus 28.0 15.0 15.0 the undersigned, 20.0 20.0 13.0 21.0 (before tax)_— 42.5 34.0 Corporate Profits Taxes (Federal) 23.0 may as be obtained from such of the several underwriters, including may legally offer these securities in compliance with 17.0 Corporate Profits Profits Corporate Profits Taxes) (after Federal 17.0 19.5 of the respective States, Union Securities Corporation Goldman, Sachs & Co. < (Dollar figures in billions) Actual Estim. Estim. Decline Estim. Industrial Production" Index (1935- the securities laws n Projection of 1938-Type Decline Calendar Years > v — TABLE 1938-Type Decline in 1938 1953 Decline from 1953 from 1937 235 185 21.0% 21.0% > . •White, Weld & Coo ' A. G. Becker & Co. Incorporated Francis I. duPont & Co0 ..." Equitable Securities Corporation T.'. Laurence M. Marks & Co. Wholesale Commodity Price Index 109 Income Corporate Profits Tax (Federal) (before tax) — — Corporate Profits Taxes (Federal) Corporate Profits (after Profits Taxes) 99 $285.0 Personal an¬ June 30, 1954, budget, as prepared, cuts defense and foreign aid expenses as much as they can be cut consistent with i tablei Calendar Years $2 after over year uaate, pn the assumption that this tnh1p„ declines There ^ veaFsTas^ sfnee Ml cor- earlier period. The Excess business decline will Profits Tax is now due to termialthough the extent nate on Dec. 31, 1953, It is the any whether any on any- production and prices. Neither do taxes 15% 1953 readjusting for the before 31, year). annual windfall to an the 1954 fiscal as deductions decline from estimated change in personal tax rates due one else whether declines in peron January 1. sonal income, personal taxes and Corporate tax rates were also corporate income before taxes will the same in 1949 as in 1948. But be like those in previous periods, tax liability dropped sharply with of knowing than It will income decreased only nominally, effect We have assumed the in It budget i in II below that 1948, although personal 0/2 ^°n the expenditures side of the from two made further ?i- as i personal 1949 from It should be better way However, 1954 their total Treasury 10%" each re- ratPrfof the from EVm i»l»n Tnnp iq<v> +n Tan 1Qr ouiie ou, iu jcui COm~ visions of the 1938 tax absence Joss carry-backs proNearl^ all of the d'ecline in per- payments declined nearly 15% 1, Dec. repein^the"redur- reduction of about $2 billion from receints SIS® J P 1938 There bave +n have assumed the we percentage decline from 1953 jn personal income tax receipts - We basis corporate Jan. pay 1955. rnrnorate Profits Tav anrl ripHvpH taxes of the rather sub- on stantial vnarc to 1.1 of as 1950. This windfall will be lost in to fiSc|l ye™ending and to of fiscal are revenues Profits periods have been modity prices, and 1.7% in in laws, ac- revenue will be reflected in the applied to the 1953 sonal incomes. These are the same counts for the fact that corporate on the June estimates. Then, by adjusting for percentage declines as in 1949 earnings after taxes showed a 30th after the precedingcalendar the present tax structure it is compared to 1948. larger decrease in 1938 from 1937 year. This is because personal possible to obtain some idea of Personal tax rates were the than corporate earnings before taxes are now on a pay-a^-you-go what will happen to the Federal same in the 1 Qtlft on/4 1 QdQ to.vnr ^ )a ' in years 1948 and 1949. taxes. ' after taxes under two varying de- as billion In- individual Income Tax receipts arbitrarily budget 10% resulted ending the estimates our we estimated" porate profits tax rates from 1937 production, to 1938. This increase, plus the now, Profits Tax Excess have Federal year been calculations. our of of ceipts under the two assumed de- decline a mViAineoin ^°Utr 5% in been as , slow-down of the 1949 type 8.5% m 1953 our ' 42.2 1.7 after 6-30-55 Budget eluded in this budget same in 1937 and 1938, and hence the reduction in the item of "per- same Decline $26.3 * 1954 income by June 15, 1955. official current basis - . so com- budget for the fiscal ype ec me recession would These comes. Personal estimates of production and prices, of percentage same in taxes taxes 1.5 .54.5 de- lev^ of personal incomeOur esti- sonal ,solely from the tax paid just over 110. and per-? arises Federal income leverage mates of and 2.0 in represent a decrease from the 1953 Dec 31 1953 Also it is assumed in the five-year period 50% of estimate of 21% in industrial pro- that the scheduled personal in- corporate income tax payments duction and 9% in wholesale com- come tax rate cut of 10% wm will have been pushed into an modity prices, and personal inbecome effective on Jan 1 1954 earlier fiscal year at the rate of the 109, compared with the current 2.0 reduction Receipts 1953, and Personal Income Tax reduction pared with 21% actual in 1949. < 10% year the for extractive on 1949-type a fiscal Loss of Mills Plan windfall fiscal yrs. \ for'the.A. 1938-type fully adjusted to the impact balance full $14.0 ones, on Tp be noted is the fact that corporate profits after taxes would has in dip summer for Individual Income Tax and Miscellaneous—— For .cline. 1953. which about 235 inthe Fed- Reserve adjust J-JT4. each* during 11.0 large corpo- carry-backs, rate $11.8 Corporate Tax Receipts the assumes on 30% loss To about of $6.0 ^ ■. Decline in $68.5 1.0 Deduct— average Federal cor¬ profits 1938-Type June 30, '54 $68.5 5.0 as of :i industries. , in production, average esti- level average The 1937- production, prices, personal incomes, personal taxes and pre-tax to sonal declines—those business an averaged abouE 240 for the first show a decline of only 13%, eral 1949-Type ^Official Estim. of Receipts for fiscal yr. ■ proposed here to relate the experience 1938 ^ • six as assumes half of the year, is expected to be lower in the last half, and thus at therefore, well worth iwrUnrintf P S* reduction last receipts legal termination, rations/and thl Wholesale Commodity Price Index budget are, prices, instance, (In billions) out 1953 produc-;^ With these considerations in though not as much tfe have assumed mind, let us examine Table I, bei949_type decline. v . pointed the 1949-type and in 1938-type recessions we have g 50%. - whole 1938-Type Declines both porate estimat(r)g^ In some specific ast 1953. tion and some appraise of to CAmD the Adjustment of Budget Receipts to 1949-Type and in decrease As TABLE in de¬ also Tax several .lower average of esti- an rate in Profits is to establish ,)makes' some f estimates • indices\for basic .. , . effort n"n,,oion step profits. estimated corporate and indi- v" initial the decline a Excess - - There has been much discussion in business, and hence in earnings, will eliminate vidual income taxes, receipts from which would be substan¬ tially reduced in event of business depression. Sees removal of excess profits tax cushioning corporate earnings in depression. ^ - to assumed ' surely revenue on 1953, the cushions after-tax Pointing out corporate profits in business recession are likely to be less jolted than the Federal Budget, Mr. Biggs reveals •heavy dependence of Federal in in 50% cline. This reduction By WILLIAM R. BIGGS i profits mated « 11 $263.0 33.0 9.0* 9.0 7.7 7.7 22.0 33.0 33.0 42.5 22.5 47.0 47.0 23.0 11.2 . — Folger, Nolan The Ohio Company Singer, Dealne & Scribner Bosworth, Sullivan & Conpany, Inc. Reinholdt & Gardner Incorporated — October 1, 1953 Federal 19.5 ' 11.3 42.0 51.0 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle.. 12 Thursday, October 1, 1953 . (1224) cates but it may prove Investing fox the Piofessional Man JR.* By EDMUND BROWN, Co., Planning Dept., Penington, Colket & Manager, Investment professional (1) men, are we investment up problem which the cerns Now to come we the question objectives will differ widely securities, or diversification, or so the plan must be ad¬ any other device because of the justed to the purpds^? of the in¬ magnitude of the risk. There are dividual. some managers of investment The first step is to determine companies who feel they, can best the size of the fund. It will not serve their shareholders by sell¬ sum include in¬ an dividual or money aside for special purposes, has how have we important than selection of more more intense competition, and recounts elements of both strength and weakness in looking ahead. Stresses valne of advertising in creating and maintaining consumer demand. It. surprises timing, or taking advantage of the swings of the market. There are some people who feel this is we a for realize securities set ing securities and going heavily such as into cash at certain periods. But college education, or a savings ac¬ the record is very much against set aside for count set up for emergencies, or this investments— procedure (with very few for a trip to Europe, or for Christ¬ whether $20,exceptions) and the better perEdmund Brown, Jr. mas gifts. The investment fund formance has been shown by those 000, $50,000, should be independent of these who $100,000, or kept invested in well selected things, except that the ordinary securities. more. We are not concerned with ' * which are still on top of a prosperity boom, "flattening out," with business outlook good at least until early part of next year. Says more attention should be paid by businessmen to trends in their own com¬ pany's condition and their own industry problems. Looks wide offer Fund —and con¬ Though stating Dr. Arthur finds Tri-Continental as their a period of years. It is a problem Economist, Swift & Co. The of requirements of Dr. "A" and his family will differ from those of Dr. "B" and Dr. "C"— without undue over of The portfolio, con¬ sistently and risks, Purposes Individual The V companies, and of investment of shares such stocks. these of Wellington to Adjusted Plan ment estate or , in concentrates which one one Question of Timing invest¬ an than and (6) the diversification. of time allowed attaining the desired results. for Flattening Out By HENRY B. ARTHUR* Texas period probable The Boom risk of portfolio any diversification, of the spread securities which includes du¬ Company, Mont¬ gomery Ward, National * Lead, Douglas Aircraft and Union Paci¬ fic is presumed to be stronger requirement of income; concerned with of the professional man. And this means, as I see it, the problem of building Today the to acceptable quality which represent distinctly a lists and discusses as factors (2) risks; (3) price fluctuations in stock market; (4) setting up of liquid reserves; (5) diversification, and lastly (6) the time element required for desired results. for considered: be to seeks Pont, analyst, in outlining plan for building up an invest¬ ment estate " among different fields of endeavor. Thus Members, New York Stock Exchange Investment tion to be very Diversifica¬ diversification: poor sometimes us short had an with ing and selling are probably striking that these, age. Business Cycle Analysis of In a business cycle was e x 35 years prior to World stories War I. neither I sup¬ that pose 1933 a-clear-cut, in though the even that numerous so success cited be can we have been haps I should say "doing," and then well-understood p henomenon is about as y°unS as what people has the past 25 or over are so dra¬ nor as in the case of advertising. By 1929 we were already learn¬ ing many things but we weren't doing .much about them. Since we could define as research cycle made its matic a business cycle which - > business of area contributions rience p e the analysis, rare a Recent a Development Thinking or talking event more problems that to us to be hoary with seem to experience "doing." Per¬ have been "learning" we afterward. In any event, there can be no question that we know more about the business H. B. Arthur did the cycle than we generation ago even though a , short-term stocks in individual income from the fund may be Now, how shall we set up a speculations, but employed as the owner sees fit. portfolio today, with the market The second step is to decide plan for administer¬ "plays" casual or rather with a how much income is needed from ing the total fund. ' The first essential is to adopt a plan for managing the fund. With¬ out plan a disastrous. better man his no of a any be may is plan plan. The profes¬ may savings shares results Almost than sional the decide to invest periodically well in the managed invest¬ the fund: now at or future some and -— needed is income the whether 6% ? 4%, 2%, date. An elderly widow will want the max¬ income imum of expense of value even at the instability in the now, some the fund. the At other extreme, the doctor with a good income and high taxes will be at 258 in terms of the Dow-Jones advertising business would acterize ing." Both of them than more Industrial arWManV nF; E stockfhave^dedtned stocks nave aeuinea 25 to 30%, or average In much more than the of leading industrials.) assumptions are 35 these: are char- advertisnot much old years even though experience with advertis- busings Iew. of. ,tbe ectm«mic Lng and experience with 1920, we "crises," inflationary Mississippi current will company be or an whiqh contemplates the broad field of investment and which and the re- "panics" show "bubbles," like Sross bubble ment one considers of (1) the require¬ income, (2) the risks in varying quality, (3) the price decline in the mar¬ stocks of risks of (4) That a business recession of except those liquid reserve. During some sort is in the making today, the past six years we have seen but that it will be cushioned by declines of 15 to 18% in long- government spending and tax re¬ in most used for term securities a government municipal and lief. measure- There was no reliable figure to such stand-by measures as national product, national or the inc(>me> personal income, disposagather ble lnc°me, farm income, and the heard about about (1) That EPT will expire and Squth Sea bubble, but I established primarily in building corporate taxes will not be much frbm the literature I have seen investment fund. That is one plan. interested excess of 50% in the years that the idea of economic gyraAnother man may decide to put up the fund and reducing his tax in This assumes no all-out tions wasn't more than one of the all his savings in Federal savings exposure. One individual may be ahead. minor hazards of life prior to bonds, from time to time, so long willing to hold a substantial war. amount of cash and invest it 1895, or perhaps 1873. Going back as he does not need an immediate (2) That personal and capital prior to 1900, it seems .clear that income from these savings. That gradually over a period. Another gains taxes will be no higher and the ravages of war competed with immediate return. is another plan. A third man may will want an probably lower. acts of God, famines, plagues, concentrate on a given security, This requirement of income is of (3) That the growth of popula¬ floods, and the like, for first place such as Gulf Oil or duPont and controlling importance. tion will have a tremendous effect among the large-scale risks of our Having decided the income re¬ buy the shares regularly over a on spending and employment, as ancestors. Business depressions quirement, we can turn to the period. And so on. the children born during the past were a minor consideration altype of securities to be employed. But the more successful plan decade tend to approach maturity, Tnere are risks to be considered though we must realize that for ment are al* pretty scared about whether we have the answer to the "$6.4 Question" of what to do shout it. 1 decided recently to look at a we depressions dates far back through ments that weren't currently centuries. available in the statistics of 1920. Before approaching this problem we to make certain assumptions. have Our only down Average: "scientific as like. These relatively are *nven**ons- much recent more sur- didn t then have a current index of industrial proAction, of building construction, of employment and payrolls, of corP°rate profits, investment, re¬ Pr*s*n£> we tamed ear«i«gs, consumer credit, or the balance of international payments. An economist measurements like meager these would minister without a "The people there without today feel a Bible. : measures did we was a chronic, have in 1920 included such items cyclical, condition of de¬ as individual commodity prices in pression. the market reports, stock and It was only 25 years ago that an bond prices, a few records of advocate of scientific advertising many not a bonds. That is to say, a change in (5) That the present trenas of wrote that research and scientific ba"km£ data» commodity exports inai tne oresent trends oi whole, (4) the advantage easilv add a great and imports, gold stocks, governthe interest rate presents a risk interest rates and business activity ^ of setting up liquid reserves from ° ^ U1® easuy aaa a sreat receints and expenditures which may be almost as serious are on tne deflationarv side- and deal to the effectiveness of adverthe aeiiationary siae, ana ™ receipts ana expenditures, are on time to time, (5) the advantages because of anv miracle and the various data from the deas the fluctuations in sales and that further inflationary price u;ing no* Pfcf"f3 OI aa? miracie cennial Q auinauennial census *An address by Mr. Brown before the movements tS' 7u Tj earnings of an industrial company. movements will he slow to de- of researcb, but (t° USe his words) bf . j will be slow to deCentral Pennsylvania Dental „becausg of the nearly complete During World War I there had Society Turning to the common stock Bedford, Pa., Sept. 24, 1953. ' ' darkness in which advertising is be?n inauSurated a cost-of-Irvmg list, there are wide variations in (6) That because stock prices forced to operate." "Consumers do lndex' supplementing the wholequality. One would expect a are not greatly inflated in terms noYknow ~wha~t"they^wa^or*why sale price index that had been in steadier income from an estab¬ of earnings and current dividends, they act" he said. TRADING MARKETS "•* existence since around 1900. But lished utility (such as Philadel¬ they will not be so vulnerable as \ Anyone of us could cite h good aSAde *rom a few Price indexes, we phia Electric) or a food processor weIe' Jpl examP*e> in 1929, many instances to demonstrate ™ere ,f®ktiYeIy* .devoid' ■ "fefcSouthern Advance Bag & Paper (such as General Foods) than 1937, and 1946. how advertisers have emerged Dnagme'it—-only 253 years from a producer of heavy machin¬ (7) That many enterprises in fr0m the darkness of a generation 1 fAnd Grinnell Corp. become a part ery or a fluctuating commodity America arc still canahle of subaarKness oi a generation Qf an index of birth rates when we such as copper or sugar. One stantial growth in the creation of ago> helped by the accumulation are born, of IQ when we go to Kalamazoo Vegetable would expect more growth in new products for a growing popu- of knowledge, and research in the of Nielsen, Hooper, Gallup, Parchment earnings and dividends from Gen¬ iation; and that improvement of techniques. I" ket, as a , _ , . _ Keyes Fibre Co. eral Electric worth. You than can from Wool- plan for consistent income large, BOENNING & CO. . Philadelphia 3, Pa. or for growth. By and the company with a long dividend record and holders, in due course, will benefit accordingly , The company a whose record is erratic of moderate of retirement is as Penna. RR. 4y4s 1984 American Dredging Com. Bethlehem Hotel Units Leeds & Lippincott Units Walnut Apts. V.T.C. Phila. be safer to buy Dow Chemical, yielding less than 3%, than U. S. Steel which appears to yield The Memb,er$ Phila.-Balt. Stock Exchange Pennsylvania Bldg., Philadelphia Teletype PH 375 N. Y. Phone COrtlandt 7-6814 Investment Stocks 40 5.00 IV Other 30 a next diversified a step of is to set a and misunderstood. The man who "buys a few shares ^ggjesraan who eventually from a "tasteless." what the cynical friends says, housewife more wants, for this plan is to him who power radical every (Special ' to The LOS M. Financial Chronicle) as change and serves years. has become affiliated —-— our knowledge ~ sbould- The advertising as we man, I am sure, would have something simiiar say about his own business., many more facts, He even baby s diet as a tbam- But the problems don't stay put. New problems keep cropping ™ ™r — up The only tMng sure js tbat when the sales manager has an two ulcer, it always perforates the ad- Your own examples of out- ^^tising budget , wherever -the few weeks, instead of ANGELES, Calif.-Joseph standing jobs of Durikel we are doing as good a job of ap- brought about in knows what to do with some of infants where meat the enters a know any economist who believes Another instance is the He has ^he feeding of now - apparently Plying This • is - -■ credtiye[advertis--. 4 along will With California lot of certifi¬ South Sunsmuir Avenue.niv?September 21, iss3. comes, have the selec- remark, of securities With Calif. Investors be misused can to 5% primary importance. is principle which of my one substantial item at ages as young up Diversification list. Return Needless Diversified List as her well. Over-all of predominance of want enough blind spots left to smiiea over xo a pieaunuxiance ux necessarv nlitX v/Vum products which are now almost expectations but j don,t 6V2 % Stocks exp^nVJ^Tnf rate when we die. We do have the knowledge and iar(j flavor completely the measurements. Of course, we savory , tion Setting Up 2039 .Samuel K. Phillips & Co. 4V2% Bonds & Preferreds (Tax III nearly 9%. Who knows? Transportation 3-6's 2V2% exempts, if desirable)___ 20 II 10 de|th ening which used to be valued for Yield Liquid Reserve have seen short- — 11— universally colorless, odorless, and Approx. I case, we means follows: and operates in a highly competi¬ tive market. Consistent growth of earnings will offset many other risks, if this can be found. It may 0ur own present plan, therefore, for investor an strong com¬ with a business or professional inpetitive positipn will rate higher come and no immediate prospect (regardless of the stock yield) than a school, "their st^re- • •. bombardment nf 'fact<stn hUrtS ct^tQi1 anri 41 Volume 178 Number 5260 ... The Commercial and Financial Chrojiicle (1225) with their The Government and a offered Municipal Bond Market or Otherwise, By LEROY M. PISER* government securities in come to keep rather with respect the to each importance to a given is "The Municipal would to like to I have talk Another, factor is that the relative and supply of various types of bonds add but few a title also about "T h has Money Mar¬ ket." The security market. and the nicipal ket of Jointly which try to analyze the Gov¬ ernment security market in our own shop, I would like to describe to you how the Government mar¬ best with municipal market op¬ They are both dealer mar¬ kets, and a dealer market, of course, is quite different from a erate. In fact, shorter- term Govern¬ Leroy M. Piser broker market. securi¬ ment constitute the of ojpe The main differ¬ is that dealers ence ties we ket and the money market. Market Before I get into the manner in mu¬ considered the Bond are Most bills are most empt tax, In from are ex¬ Federal now amounts income 52% to of corporations. case Another is, reason the which the The that municipals thing to bear in mind tomer the at don't principals will call around to yield buyer. We vidual is issue. the with One credit each factor rating that indi¬ in is this given to the issue. not are All municipal bonds alike. Those with the in that have clined by dealer had long a riod would one position continuously throughout that have found it a original an nine points. Any some who and maturity five longer-term issues. pe¬ restricted are very nonbank of to as investors between Bonds years. art Some of them As a matter of for dividec are . and a short position1 values to size acquire municipals, such Some New as City and New York State issues, a greater marketability than a little known school district in another part of the country. Also, over a these factors period of time. will vary When busi¬ ness is good and credit ratings are generally considered high, the differentials among individual municipal issues will be relatively small. credit the When business is bad and ratings less are differentials will out York have favorable, larger. be ^American Securities Business sponsored because when in an considerable issue is size in find that one factors. mar¬ ket the price of that issue is fre¬ may quently temporarily depressed in relation to ottier government The long-term dominated be principally called nonbank institutions. The se¬ This announcement is not market by A transactions market, of that sometimes days or financia largest single offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer offering is made only by the Prospectus. Worcester Gas the therefore, versity, Ne\r York-jCity^^ept. 2, to First work * Since the end assets 1945, the companies by $31 holdings of increased have total All the of $41 the on Dated part of dealers are net; that is, we; charge no commission for execut¬ ing a transaction, as they do on a stock exchange. The means by which we pay the overhead of the business the make and difference a profit is between the balanced their During the past year their sell¬ ing has been at a much smaller than rate it in was past the year total bid may case, offer if we we at are transaction that 99 4/32 it at of for an issue/ 8/32,- in which able to execute those 4/32 make transaction. 99 on On is prices, the that actual assets dealers are As I mentioned have sold government end of earlier, total of $10 a securities since During this same period sales by mutual savings banks totaled $1 billion. These sales the were started the an decline important factor in in bond prices shortly after the bond market is these funds continue to grow, we expect them to be of in¬ creasing importance in the long- may term market. Corporate and Individual Bondholders Nonfinancial corporations, gen¬ erally business corporations, hold principally savings notes and short-term marketable govern¬ ment securities, principally bills, which, as I said earlier, are gen¬ erally issued, to mature in three months. Corporations Continued hold on to buy these securities. Due September 1, 1973 HALSEY, STUART 4 CO. INC. transac¬ BROS. 4 HUTZLER DICK 4 MERLE-SMITH STROUD 4 COMPANY INCORPORATED September 30, 1953. . , , these paqe may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is-circulated from only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully' offer these securities in such State. SALOMON pur¬ chases by pension funds and State and local retirement funds. As Prospectus particular/ of Another factor in the long-term Treasury ■» . that end war. Price 101%% and accrued interest The the 1945. Corporation September 1, 1953 they billion of a continually/ in touch life companies have in¬ by $5.1 billion and their the more1 of insurance incomer tions, however, the spread is the During the the asked quotations that we have on each issue. For example,we of some earlier postwar years. and and have They investment in bid in¬ assets billion. Series B, Due 1973 transactions life billion,, but their private by of have Mortgage Sinking Fund 4% Bonds, the transaction. Uni¬ 1953. the end of the War. of Light Company A Massachusetts i^ may take longer & com¬ in government securities. That position was reversed after $3,000,000 a good in As funds if wha an The of - York War. insurance by somewhat different offered the . New the life cus¬ by the Association of Stock Exchange likely to be 1/64 or 1/32, insteadFirms, Investment Bankers Association of 4/32. ■ of America, National Association of Se¬ curities Dealers, American Stock Ex¬ The Dealers' Activities ' change and the New York Stock Ex¬ change at the Graduate School of Bust-" In order to establish a market, ness Administration of during the panies placed $14 billion of their creased different negotiated. A good them are of such large difference *An address by Mr. Piser at the Third 'Annual "Forum on Finance" of The Joint Committee on Education representing the mortgages and corporate that they were able to securities a In find can tne exceeded organizations,' issues.;, A dealer may; depending upon the value of tax- private assets by $5.4 billion. As long position, for in¬ exemption to the a result they have sold organization. only about stance, in a particular issue that ;. All of these different $300 million of government secu¬ segments has been offered in the market of the market are interrelated tc rities, compared with a peak of in large size. This may prove to $3.3 billion in 1948, $1.8 billion some extent, but each one is also be a profitable position to take, dominated in 1950, and $2.4 billion in 1951. in the other be several marketability of the issue. War period' government securities. a fact, in running' into those that are fully taxable position, a dealer, for the most* and those that are partially taxpart, will have a long position in exempt. The latter have different issues the the at ownership to ' position by selling $10 billion of The latter add other we particular issue. to entials. the may of the Government and will have the greatest differ¬ is of had we to position. to if see many many factor new they amor¬ from customers would be interested our highest credit rating naturally sell at a high price ami a low yield Another that beginning the tne words, maturities case, we will take only a portion of the amount offered and tomers vary and want our portfolio creased maturity of up to one and notes are issued with small buiiaing that in regard to municipals is that the will moment, particularly those securities to other and year, an / of course, In tization insurance Cer¬ adjust ernment securities. lion. original three montns. indebtedness have a plant and machinery holdings of private assets actually declined by $2 bil¬ from May 1952 to June 1953, long-term Treasury ■ bonds de¬ in of During such residential new tificates mature billion. was their issued holders of in most of the transactions long-term Treasurythey curity issues. The dealer also may through which bonds are mutual savings banks. handle. For example, when they acquire a short position in an is¬ their reserve posi¬ purchase a security from an in¬ sue that has been Running them a close second are tions in the money market. In this temporarily in life insurance companies. Pension vestor, they increase their inven¬ large demand and consequently talk I am going to try to give you funds and State and local govern¬ tory of securities; when they sell the some detailed analysis of the Gov¬ price of which has risen in to an investor, they decrease their ment retirement funds are large relation to other securities in the ernment security market and some and growing holders of govern¬ inventory. There is no market¬ market. ©f the factors that influence the ment securities. Other holders in¬ place similar to a stock exchange, money market. A great many types of govern¬ but each dealer is in clude fire, casualty, and marine constant The first point that I want to ment securities are outstanding insurance touch with other dealers, check¬ companies. make to you is that the rate on with the public. Nonmarketable ing the markets that other dealers These institutions generally government securities constitutes securities consist principally of are making, and is in constant consider government securities a? the basic rate for all interest-bear¬ the familiar savings touch with customers. bonds, sav¬ residual investments or invest¬ ing securities. The yields on other ings notes, and two investment The reason for a dealer market ments of last resort. This means bonds follow rather closely the series of Treasury bonds. In the instead of a broker market, I that they prefer to hold higher yields on Government securities. think, lies in the average size of government security market, we Differences arise because of dif¬ yielding mortgages and corporate the transactions and the fact that trade only in the marketable is¬ bonds. It is only if they have ferences in credit rating and the sues. Transactions in the nonmany transactions are negotiated. funds that they are unable to put greater marketability that Gov¬ For example, if a bank comes to marketable securities are directly into private loans and securitier ernment securities have as com¬ between the investor and the us and wants to sell $10 million or that they will usually buy gov¬ pared with corporate and munici¬ $15 million of a particular issue Treasury Department. ernment securities.... pal securities. of Government securities, we may Nonmarketable securities, how¬ For example, between the end not immediately have a buyer for ever, do have an influence on Municipal Bonds of 1941 and the end of 1945, the those securities, but we are very the government market. For ex¬ period of World War II, the net , I don't want to spend very much likely to purchase the securities ample, a few months time on the municipal market. anyway, take them into our posi¬ a^o.the amount of savings coming into "One important point, however, is Treasury increased the rate on the hands of life insurance com¬ tion, and hold them until such that municipal bonds almost in¬ time as we can sell them. Per¬ variably yield less than do Gov¬ haps we don't know of any cus¬ banks of that result media important and of acquire Bills the bills. ury amount to some mar¬ can be Government The market in a Government bond increase depressing a and in relation to the Government rea¬ ratti¬ marketable securi¬ ties the shortest issues are Treas¬ the market, and on l^ad the is that the son on savings this costly operation tand might very-' of years, and the remainder are effect on well have had his capital either* eligible for purchase by commer¬ municipal piarket as a whole wiped out or seriously impaired.' cial banks. come has e The Treasury a I in the market will also influence words their yield. In recent years a very large supply of municipal bonds Market," and was $12 period there illustrated by the fact that during period of a little more than a individual been Government Bond that and that issues, been reueemed in Among year, subject not panies tnis being able to judge the' market is investors and institutions. The did notes, rate other ueaier tne market. buying and selling prices that they quote. Trie savings time brougnt tnem into bettei relationship with the rest of tne the to that to large volume. er non- a tnereby f'avoramy witn those notes had are close Prior on compare continually back and forth, prices in marketable se¬ are security, anu relatively more attrac¬ relation to marketable se¬ yields that checking basis rate for all interest bearing obligations. Gives influencing municipal bond prices, and describes how the government security market and the municipal bond market operate. Illustrates different types of government marketable of their distribution among that notes, which tnem curities. the allow which enables all of the dealers to a manner bid for tnem. a may other dealers and consti¬ as tive tney Hold. Dealers also constantly in touch with are factors securities and the savings marKetat>ie< maae able to find securi¬ they transactions Mr. Piser discusses the government securities market largely in the light of factors that influence the money market. Stresses tuting that when so change the inventory of those curities on are ties wnen there is Vice-President, Aubrey G. Lanston & Co., Inc. importance of yield rate customers, possinie traue comes in, tney are to place securities tnat are auie 13 48 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle for Stop Socialistic Trends And Return to Solvency U. S. Senator from 1* House of business is the Ap¬ Committee . of the as what stons Bud^t the of could is a that the Shields> Vlce"™!1nitst "Sf ndlogitcaItgaifns oft|the past are,but to Econ°mist o f Bear us United States the Company had been levied by years of incomplex prob- flationary fiscal practices. In my Jems of econ- judgment, great strides have been thought to the nomic the accomplished less than candid if I deliberaof tions our leave «tr£neth _ fnd thP the Murray have to- far the between in new Business the past 20 invention labora- our use by our management become years professional in attitude, experience and education than greatest more the was case that is before. It has become minded growth long fact in has 12 offers the for lag something consumers. reassurance Shields technology we shall that tories and its effective during past the Administration nrpfprred time of busi- months management assurance research now - a n d convinced dividends. pays It highly skilled in using ad¬ -vanced techniques :of promotion, rather to take that budget, revise > Business, Mr. Shields stated, has u and im e upon:ktf/'Accord- * produced and sold more goods— the new heads'^'depart-tin dollar as well as in physical labor relations, production, conT and administration. It has a 0U-r pr<wlei?annotna°^id °thecon" ments and agencies df/the'Execu-^terms—to civilian consumers than new ^determination to -maintain of nnwise nolitical arid tive Branch of GovermrienUwere ever before. It has lifted its pro- sound financial; standards. It is sequences of unwise poiitical arid requested to re„examine -their"ductive,efficiency to still another careful to base capital expendir; ^ iv S a^surance however needs and to submit revised esti- new high. It has put in place more ^ure Programs on sound market ^ f Jal and SiS mates for the consideration of the new, capacity than Un any 12 research-a science which hardly ^nnin* has been made ' Congress. This was done.prompt- iiac months' period in our history. ^ existed more interested in merIt It is a quarter of-a century ago* ginning has been made. ^ rif /ov/rrment *» + Bridges Sen. Styles havp 1H Administr^ rfniih 1 i republi- niir our to sug- Congressional leadership had the magical quality of curing all of conthan uprevj0US ness entirely and begin anew, as we Q11C, were simple gest that the change in me more firmly ^ be to Committee vanced st0pped although there admittedly is mu today, lion of the nation's but well be able to reduce still further the power, of in provide eco-- accomplish- without impairment of necessary functi0ns. In view of omy which made toward-these goals by t e ^ese considerations, it was deface this na- Administration and the Congress dded not to discar^ the budget The gains as record ment be spending unnecessary sheer of monies, to remove the deficit tbat there are services which must the Appropriations Committee of from our public budget and to ^e perforrned without interrupIhe United States Senate, I have lessen the burden upon corporate ti0n. It was necessary then, that, devoted many hours of serious and individual taxpayers which an orderiy transition be made and capacity as Chairman of lie my less appreciated'fact, according to Mr. Shields, is that exhibition an ligations which must be met and In foretaste of vastly more produc- much as- that serted ob- fixed are a theManhattan live progress in the important Bank of Another vitally future. the HMHI the that wiil there than in past. our economy ^ an address before the Sales learn what our scientists are doing tremendously complex under¬ taking, rapid growth of flub of New York in in their laboratories will obtain New York Clty on S6pt' 22' Mur" dramatic evidence that the tech- available Government of more im- the budget situation .in you considerably general which portends power, taken to be time if demonstration of economic see short mind a to prove in a Represe^tives and my nilUor Chairman of the Senate Appropriations Com¬ mittee, he is giving serious thought to complex problems of economy, Sen. Bridges cails for immediate end of Socialistic trends which threaten nation's solvency.* Says Eisenhower Ad¬ ministration has made a good start towards that goal, and we can have a new era of prosperity by restoring a "sound dollar." Mentions his bill to restore gold standard as inflation curb. Stating that, Club the negligible impact of recent adjustments in budget, President Eisenhower re¬ propriations Taking Readjustments in Stride! Murray Shields, Vice-President and Economist of the Bank of the Manhattan Company, tells New York Sales Executives' the Senate Ap¬ when quested the Chairman of Appropriations Committee Chairman, Senate that recall chaos.. I financial to us propriations Committee was first confronted with the - Truman BRIDGES* New Hampshire ° Business which leading By HON. STYLES c bureaucratic mismanage¬ many believed was the ment We Must 1 Thursday. October 1, 1953 ... (1228) 14 .ecu ritv rity and wnll heint? of the neooles and well-being of the peoples i,, ^ of this great nation, depend in Let me full measure upon preservation of moment to the system of free enterprise nancial picture as we saw it on "determined that" the Govern-'tar than in which you, the leaders of New january 20th of this year, the Fneland industry so ably j A" 7^""+ ^meni oi tne united states snail year. It has England industry, so ablv reore- d repre PreSldent Eisenhower took operate Qn a businessIike basis, government, Q any'prior peacetime cerned not as much in a quick added materially toTJ1*0^ as in building, durable and business and con^ontinuing business institutions. without waste or corrupt prac- sumer inventories. And the sig- Pnvate business is, of theiefore, . we nificant done sure to "lvp "s a expansion jn the game manner that we ni(jcant fact is that it has do- s"rR tn give us 3 great evnansinn ing. America has reached the th congress Budget reauests tlces; m the same manner that we nmcant tact is mat it nas done b e and there g J would run a private enterprise, all these things simultaneouslylon8 run ana to leave itcrossroads of decision, and there crossroaos ot decisiondecision; ano tnere {otaline oveT$79"willon. Included would run a Private enterprise;, all these things simultaneously. totaling over *r $79 billion. Included A thpep rpvic^d estimate* 7 aa-h +u •+ self less exposed to trouble during is but one choice. We must rethis huge amount was an in- As soon as tkesc revised estimates -, In addition, the bank economist Deriods of economic readiustturn to the precepts which have „rprnpn4. pitcepis WlllLIl iicivt; „„ornpr.4. annrnvimatplv ^IftVo puiIllcU UUl, UUalllcab 111 llllb CI nf nnnroximatelv ^lOV? ™ere Presen.ted> the Appropria-,'■ pointed out, business in this coun- P J ments. raised our republican form of gov- hi11inn This does not mean, Mr. Shields nf DPr^anent aDoronria- tl0nS Committees took,.up their-try has during the past year acernment to the heights we know pl_?n iLnL iiciguis we iyu^w l "! whirh the work and Proceded to complete in commodated itself without serious warns, that we have reached the «nl1pd vvvyiIY "i commoaaiea lisen wnnoui seriou today. We must stop and stop im- pp^'rp ° h^ cnntrol• as in- less than four months what' difficulty to a iiuiiiuci of far ls —x—Congress had no control, as in~ normal'fl7rnmnfiVhpd" in sTy UIU1^1'f in * number of a depression-proof normally is accomplished in six reaching adiustments The l»l xpi- Utopia mediately the socialistic trends SS reaching aojusimenis. The mone^ economy for we c^uld experience reaching adjustments. ine money eluded in this amount were inter- to piffh: mnnth« interThP nf mone„ which have been insidiously en¬ est the national qloi, leiu iub !?• national debt refunds © ^ontkf- Jke.ins"PcessJ a± markets have shaken off the artimoderate denression or"a"fairlv est on tne t^ls is reflected the addimere there Let be ° ^lee' misundeistand misunderstand- no . " ?r{; had had , Admimstratinn Administration nresented presented XTL7rk r\r\ i T ,. nh/-\i nnf to to ttjces 0 manner j u t O i . turn IU lilt; . ciiinitiiii IU lilt: .. nvpr nn • q,,ppp^ veloping thjs ymwv/uj xxixk, ci creepwrvjt/Aiig nation, like a ing paralysis for the past 20 years. You may recall that a form of communism, the ultimate reflection of socialism was attempted mnk-ine- Of Of OOP , nmonntPd to billion, $68.6 was examined ... . vei , . „ j. .. miserable failure and nearly fended in the literal was a y , unless duce fruits enjoyPthe they could their of propnations incentive to pro- additional facp of incrpasinp snnnlips a some rendered wag $59 committees reduced cut *-ut the to made nmuc was wao nrices has hppn pliminatpH Tn ^ Lw tew at ai outlays and J a pause in business and balance store , consumer . purchasing to to re- inventories and "cudnce io inventories ana t0 permit demand to grOW up to our greatly expanded capacity. need 'or additional funds became; the highest importance that the The growth potential does over this $59 billion by another $4V2 the', cases,'where industries lnaustries retrenchment has retrencnmeni na^. been the order of the day. It is of f" ^ that1'removed°someaof eral> howeveri it was found substantial savings could be made wjthnnt imnairmpnt ^enS fuSn and nf danserous «iM the sources-of aa"fer"ul> purees oi Pnvern- billion. Thus the total appropria- labors, thp instances,. The post-Korean inflation in a thorough and precise ac- number of individual commodity counting mately $9% billion The Congress, principally through its two ap- no In . , committee, no v-wiiuuii-,'cc> liW al, In ,other Ad- long as they could be supported by the industry of others; the in- dustrious had # sliehtlv , so realized. wjjere TppYxi- saw ( Eisenhower A Fispnhnwpr thp roeiiit a, As result, the d fazy # « in be ncf6reason KS The m°aera^e aepression or a xairiy ; serious recession in the event that . a Agricultural prices have declined n]ation of the effects which would pooling the common wealth the Administration and the Con distribution among all gress with a severely critical eye, colonists, energetic and lazy ' the of U1 money by P^uunoi ine enecis wnicn wouia m tne race oi increasing supplies. r>™ A A equal alike, period pel 1UU w"hout full and serious contem- annrovirriatplv nies in for long lOIlg was , , wmtr:i <ainuunieu iu appiuAinidicx^ pnrlv polo- our the lllc numer- ,, "spending' The Truman penment oi one oi our early coio ficialities of liLldllUi ^10na^ cu^s ^kat ^ have described, arbitrarily enforced cheap 1 should like .to make it clear with credit now somewhat more it became necessary for our busithat this reduction in spending costly and moderately tighter than ness to accommodate itself to a not made caoriciouslv or has been the case for manv vears budget, "f >„{{ Q„^ " • i? f • I J years. Slmuitane0us cut back in defense into ., lniancy oi mis country wnn almost disastrous results. The ex- retire- debt , miscellaneous accounts. oug in thp infanrv of this country with in me ^primpnt for navmpnts , f fund into navmpnt r»nllor>toH voc n ta-CS volume jury to our security of economic' profound truth which was tion was something in excess of well-being. The formula which' learned by those early peoples is $14 billion under the budget re- 0ljr committee used in reducing one which deserves our earnest quests conceived by the prior appropriations was a basic, sensThe buslness volume- ., mean, which-however, that there is no possipotemialfy'bility whatever that we sha11 ex" imbalance porience "another 1929," that any imoaiance ^ COntraCt'°n °£ -° re?fUStment W'" ^ both brief and temporary and will Su.ch a demonstration of eco- but set the stage for another great nomie power, Mr. Shields con- perjod 0f progress and prosperity tended, suggests that we may be ^ nniip,v« thp dangers which America faces and the largest appropriations cut that has been made by a single Congress in the history of the United States or pf the world. It the edge of an historically sig- ana indl wun buunu policies me nificant period when the trends of long term trend of growth in the the budget practice each of us iong term growth in our economy future can be considerably more employs in the management of can be considerably more rapid -d than that of the past our individual households. than those of the past. There is 1 ; '. , every reason for confidence that Security of Nation the with genuinely stimulative poli- Sam Stallard Joins First Consideration i;., - cies on the part of government, Our first consideration was for business and labor the recent and will continue to face in the months it striking, by the security of the nation. No re- ahead, that the total valuation of my own ductions were made which would medical, metallurgical, industrial State of New Hampshire, is in have the effect of injuring our and management technology will consideration today. to a The An economy Administration. final figure strong must be nurtured in represented a reduction of nearly climate of free and unencum- $21 billion from the total amount be initiative. bered appropriated by the previous Con- Communistic totalitarianism has thrown and its the fore gauntlet at our feet challenge is squarely beWe must recognize the us. and bility which is responsi- the accept ours. Sress and, as a matter of interest, was the Strides Toward Eisenhower Goals President this economy; sive Eisenhower nation a return a promised dynamic and program ditionally free society systeni of checks and its progres- to be sure, but one within the framework of and stable to accent on our tra- balances individual this that sented a reduction repre- This huge saving, amounting ^ djd to about 20% as of the Truman en- Budget, was accomplished only His principal objectives through teamwork and cooperaunmistakably clear. They ti0n between EisenPresident - , to create and preserve a toP redP y dr ' m+rGfh unwarranted^vn^ndftn^nf6nnh expenditures pubNew N«^t"i'.n/c„unncifrpSum.ei°." Hampshire, Sept. i*8, 1953. ' In on some or consciousour homes the protection deliberately ly deny prospective gains keep the United States for years, for decades, at and perhaps near the top of the list of "growth countries" of the Dean Witter & Go. in agricultural, world. This or CHICAGO, 111.—Dean Witter & Co., 141 West Jackson Boulevard, announce now is , that Sam M. Stallard is associated with their munici, , , tmpnt w- neighbors. We can and should an- qUately financed by government J sls\ however, that the fire de- and business, and staffed with the Partl?\ent be so operated; as - to WOrld's most competent scientists, P[ovlde .us,^^ith the fullest.^possiprotection against ' potential wac. Eastern Securs. Wire Thus it is that hardly a day passes w|tbout the announcement of To Ames, a Emerich Co. danSer f°r the fewest number of. potentially significant new indusEastern Securities, Inc., real determinati°n on the psirt of dollcirs. That was precisely . our try or of a ' substantially new Administration and Congressional intention with respect to the de- source of raw materials, or of new Broadway, New York City, bower and the Cangress, and a leaderg tQ inyegt thig nation with a th. one. of our municipal fire department/ true because we have succeeded p department, ne was on the hopeful theory that; fire in organizing research into a pre- formerly Chicago Manager for the 20% Reduction of Truman Budget will never, threaten us or, our dictably. productive process, ade- White-Phillips Company, , were effective defense preparations. It must be agreed, I think, that none of us saving to the taxpayer of would amount which is 30 times that terpnse. were and respects it might be compared to valuation. its with of illustration, neighborhood of $750 million, and an way ible sound economy. substitute business Our orderly goal was fiscal and practices in government . Eisen- President ^ . ,, ,. . ' , hower told the nation in a recent, Continued on page machines and techniques capable of reducing real costs materially and of widening our nQunce . .. markets,. wire 120 an- the installation of a direct . connection to Ames, Emench 38 Anyone who takes the trouble to !8c' Co?, Inc. of Chicago. 4 Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1227) Let by eliminating any offices, are not clear. Autonomy punish fraud is no deterrent to the two pre- of regional offices represents de¬ legitimate enterprise. Eisenhower Commissioners—Paul sirable decentralization up to a The Acts provide for enforce¬ Rowen and Clarence Adams—and point. However, the independence ment via investigation, discipline, of action which .this permits has the three new appointees—Sin¬ criminal prosecution and injunc¬ clair Armstrong, Jackson Good¬ resulted in insufficient liaison be¬ tion. The enforcement machinery win and myself. The Commission tween the regional offices and is stirred to action either by pri¬ is in harmony as to all basic ob¬ Washington and among the re¬ vate complaint or Commission in¬ jectives. Its members have had gional offices. The reconstituted vestigation. Many violations are frequent informal, long and seri¬ Commission hopes to provide for turned up as a result of so-called ous discussions at which they have more effective coordination of re¬ broker-dealer inspections. When explored each other's thinking. gional office activities and for the Securities Exchange Act of Naturally, there are shades of core accurate knowledge in Wash¬ 1934 was under consideration in opinion, but I can assure you that ington of what is happening cur¬ Congress, there was some thought the Commission is composed of rently in the regional offices, and given to having regular inspec¬ five highly normal middle-of-the- to do these things without mak¬ tions analogous to bank examina¬ roaders. As such, we all have ing Washington a bottle-neck. tions. This idea was abandoned „ Current Thinking at the SEC By RALPH H. DEMMLER* In explaining the tasks sion is now being undertaken by the SEC, its "blckdrop" thinking and acting. against which the Commis¬ Says there is no ground swell of sweeping change in the Securities and Exchange Acts, and both Democratic and Republican members public demand for a of SEC are in harmony as to all basic objectives. Discusses legislative and reorganization programs now being studied.' De¬ cries suggestion SEC be supplanted by a fraud statute, and perform its statutory duties without adding unnecessarily to complexity of capital formation. concludes aim of SEC is The Securities and to Exchange SEC regulation. Business, start me distinction Chairman, Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman outlines the between considerable in blood Effective administration the of regional offices is the key to ef¬ Second, corpo¬ pragmatic veins. our to as legislative a pro¬ fective enforcement. And you may rest assured that the Commission Commission, as an administrative rate, legal, underwriting and ac¬ gram: body charged with the regulation counting In the hearings before the Sen-' proposes morality have improved' a sensitive, important and as a result of conformity to stand-. ate Banking and Currency Com¬ vigorous dynamic segment of our national ards imposed by the Acts and by; mittee on the confirmation of each economy as the capital markets, the Commission acting there¬ of the three new Commissioners, should keep examining and re¬ under. ; it was made quite clear that Con¬ 'of such enforce, the to program to law. detect and in its place provision a the for substituted was investigation premises. (4) not are Task necessarily t o d a y's. Stampeding buffaloes no longer bother the transcontinental traveler. its and staff. The legislative direction is such A Continued and on page .Wealth' bf' experience to bear the on problem. Commissioners new tial." been' of the • Commission colloquy - the not Commission speed also is , said: most "There is it inherent was between each in the nominee and the Committee that the Com-; ? mission,-because of the technical nature of the subject matter, could any Representative organizations in fields regulated by the Com-. essen¬ the are; of> mission formulating a definite for., legislation and for should; rule changes. Some items of the keep in mind the basic fact that., program have been forwarded to the Commission is an outstanding, the Commission. As programs are example of the 'independent com-,: formulated, representatives of the mission in bring to The It course V a three coming from has whole and gress the legislative arm of government. Com-} However,- administered,^ that critics tion .where The Commissioners who1 hold their,-appointments from the pre-, ^Administration,} have the the conscientious, and that the Com¬ properly act as a catalyst in mission r generally * conducts its legislative program. • work with dispatch and expedi¬ ; .Vioiis well that "concede that its staff is able and has a special responsibility to ap¬ praise the work and the attitudes agency found "on the the}: new national Administration the Force notably A five-man ;Commission with three Commissioners appointed by of Hoover ,Commission's," misison (" two The • weaknesses •!..•; some evaluating are but program them,1, one at its best."•? '■ vv-:'/.'' participating ' organizations will (5) The Commission in the Acts-,; confer with the Commission in an administered by it is given unusu¬ endeavor to It goes without saying that the determine areas of Commission as presently '"consti¬ ally broad powers to make rules agreement. The Banking and Cur¬ and regulations which have the rency 'Committee of the Senate tuted does not intend to sabotage' force of law. This the statutes it administers. rule-making and the Interstate and Foreign The power is characteristic of admin¬ Commerce Committee of the Federal securities laws are not in the outside should''}furnish some freshness of outlook; . the I ' : hands their of want to talk Commission istrative enemies. about how the approaching is its task and to indicate in fairly agencies, which! quasi-executive 'in ment functions, their their are enforce¬ quasi-judicial decisional functions spe¬ quasi-legistlative in their rule¬ doing. paint the back-' making functions. The ingenuity first, let drop me against which takes place: of action our the American business munity constantly creates new problems with which conventional legislation must necessarily deal ' ' (1) .The statutes administered by the Commission have not been ^ The Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, the Trust general the and of all. have This dation has the over leaving terms, sented by (2) of is public changing is in as There than more are 100 and the demand for regulations may prescribe- the Commission as as propriate in the public interest or for the protection of investors. The Public Utility Holding Com¬ Act provides that the Com¬ pany a mission order exempt both companies and There are more vocal some Commission. representative, The are representative, many sponsible informed and re¬ people who think that the Commission in certain time in powers zeal; by from beyond an staff; .Commission dominated both staff .high-handed; and that the Com¬ mission has been careless of other peoples' posing time on writers paper and money issuers useless and and work. There in im¬ under¬ duplicative are also many representative, responsible and informed people who think that some legislative changes are granted provide such power creates re¬ curring problems which will never be solved to the satisfaction of all: There (a) is here and literal of danger rules to old new rules, a adding revision revision a jungle there, until a regulations has of markets Calvin by Chairman Bullock case for spelling out statute a proper practice to the furnishing of a (See New • page is intended Third, to Can you page • • diversify by buying one listed stock? (See 9.) How to of your pro¬ use common stock investment as a basic part retirement plan. Which industry that have includes no less than 48 companies paid "non-stop" dividends for at least 20 years? be. • What's the revolution going on in food • regulations—forms to as Why the trend to employee stock plans? retailing? —details: It is recognized that a consider¬ able part of any program will be effectuated by rule changes and form a changes. Entirely apart from willingness to consider sugges¬ tions by regulated YOU'LL FIND THE ANSWERS to issue of the New York Stock -THE EXCHANGE. Commission Presidents of top ligation analysts, acknowledges an ob¬ own part to initiate steps to improve and simplify its its on regulations and own forms. This corporations, chairmen, editors, market authorities better informed—whether is easier to affirm carry out. Each change than to rule a or necessitate ment . that strong form a is and is likely change some or form. Each given usually up a in Commissioners meeting among you're logical been and This exchange jblished at so the newsstands on enclose a check agenda of specific and with below conferences such pocket magazine is not sold Guiding the discussion been to keep old at investing. 12 issues for $1 de¬ themselves staff members. exclusive way to have also had frequent conferences with write quick new or require¬ finds a have a an¬ fender. The investment on articles for THE EXCHANGE. It's responsibility of questions like these in this Exchange official magazine the groups, full strike down abuses as they There will always be room develop. (c) is detailed or on not both sides as to proposals. examine, ana for a dollar bill the with specific power back their respect to set under Demmler Forum, 1953. New before York or coupon year's sub¬ scription. the recommen¬ to specific matters. Out of these emanated some proposals a being abused. which discussions of the I shall have specific discuss THE EXCHANGE 20 Broad Street, Magazine, Dept. B New York 5, N. Y. Enclosed is $1.00 (check, cash, money order). Send me the next 12 issues of THE EXCHANGE. Name. Approach to the New Job and ac¬ — Certain Com¬ report Commission dations argument So much for the let me our customed to the pattern the think the "movies" are dead as an investment? 12 of this issue of THE EXCHANGE—the York Stock Exchange official magazine.) Do you later. capital corporate issuers have become City, Sept. 24, strong the to which talk • missioners have been delegated to shown to exist. *A a (b) Rule-making power imposes duty of restraint but it also imposes a duty to use the power a whether The speculate - for (3) to me have grown. to remedy defects, am¬ has a however, power, and experience from Securities The existence of this rule-mak¬ ing the in judgment of stocks will be offered to the Con¬ other rule biguities impracticalities the under from lations. necessary Act provi¬ exemption by its rules and regu¬ and have sometimes been exemption to the Commission to to statutory of regulatory been that time its excess it has that its has areas gone stems certain .or . $300,000 registration Act .regulation from sions of the Act. who advocate the abolition of the Commission and the repeal of the Acts administered by it. And there rule, transactions elements, perhaps than by it necessary or ap¬ ministered the for the Commission* spectus which will make that doc¬ expressly granted rule-making-, ument the medium of information power. For example, the Securi¬ for the prospective investor that repre¬ ground above. premature and in¬ to what kind of legislative pro¬ gram condi¬ sweeping change in the Acts ad¬ by appropriate as ing in contravention of such rules a be is approach there meet ties Exchange Act forbids stabiliz¬ which would instances in which administers. Neither swell Acts to that regulation the Commission basic Committees mentioned It to improve your of to of years number the securities Act foun¬ some the " ation. amended observation a accepted to been furnishes for Congress not advised cleared with the Chairmen of both tions and particular types of situ¬ Act of 1939, the Company Act of 1940 Investment Advisers 1940 at details Indenture Investment kept gress with or without the Com¬ the* mission's blessing. Certainly there as a quasi-- is room for some clarification in legislature the job of filling in the the statutes. For example, there in substantially amended since their administrative agency enactment. com-v. be This general method of has been informally progress. in- approach and cific terms what it is But will House job. First, , discuss Fourth, backdrop. Now our approach. to as to the philosophy to organization and programs: The Commission has under study the the present Commission: as Address_ organizational set-up of its of staff. Lines of command, particu¬ larly with respect to the regional City. at discretion of the Commission. - examining -its major Yesterday's problems 15 Zone. State. 55 and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 The Commercial 16 (1228) of the Public Debt Faults and Virtues The has a fine col¬ portraits of former Treasury of lection which Secretaries, banker, in discussing faults and virtues of the broad economic point of view the faults of present huge debt outweigh its virtues. Points out our ability to carry the debt depends on growth, nourished by a free dynamic economy. Reveals shape of the National Debt, and lays down as principles of debt management: (1) avoidance of inflation or deflation; and (2) avoidance of impairment of dynamic economic growth; Says debt reduction is traditional American policy. historic office, I asked the for por¬ Glass, of Vir¬ and hangs on he the behind looking my over If shoulder. I in him out eye with¬ quailing, I am satisfied. the W. R. Burgess sound believed in Glass Carter vigorously, tenaciously, and, at times, explosively. The Federal Reserve System, which he fathered, is this country's best money, sound for instrument money, as suggested Humphrey Secretary of two me constantly reminds principles. sound, honest money One is that always, is cherished and promoted by distinguished men of both parties. today, as The other is thc.t the role be realized only can Treasury's maintaining sound in in close and System. Retserva That servants than the men and women in the Federal Reserve Board Banks; they have proved more, and it once they have worked with in recent months. as the Treasury For I years, known have the public debt, but in the past nine months, since I became her slave, I have learned more of her tricks. one every of us as markets and dis¬ is a sorts of *An tough by however, remind ourselves that this character, like debt We the should, girl with the curl on her fore¬ can be good as well as hor¬ Burgess public part, a which of symbol we and is, in great war today debt a partners won. our in this room is the debt in the Savings Bonds or other Almost everyone holder of part of form of These bqnds most prized and satisfying possessions. In this un¬ certain world, they give us a Treasury obligations. are among sense of They may our and assurance fairly be security. the called world's best investment. The,.interest ernment debt paid is on not the just a gov¬ cost ican D. Bankers C.f Sept. Association, 23, > In candor before the 79th Annual Convention of the Amer¬ Washington, ever, point 1953. we would admit, how¬ that, from a broad economic of view, the faults of our Dealers in General of banks and millions and borrows, of indivi¬ to borrow duals. the If a it has no elbow room to it is constantly off year, turn Treasury has too often in the course of money longer-term of hands the in in¬ vestors. . run, the that so steadily around; Even balance. of Treasury borrow¬ stream uous the market off a contin¬ worse, . terest. itiative. ..." strength surely, the The as big. ^Tiat is lesson of history. There is a third course—to in¬ increase the national so b,y price inflation that the relatively smaller. That is a form of partial repudi¬ income Facts our and won't seem flate—to Our a men, grows head, rid. long depends on growth. If we a dynamic economy of free increase. Mr. than nourish She seems to be always under foot. peace. old people. address the debt investment turbs the to the people; it is income to mil¬ bird to han¬ lions of individuals, either directly dle. She pokes her way into every or through life insurance and sav¬ cranny of American life, and she ings accounts. When rates rise, goes around interfering with all the benefits as well as the costs She taxes collects dealing each time with thousands Past differences in policy ing leaves no space in the mar¬ the only real between the Treasury and the ket for the Federal Reserve Sys¬ solution is gradually to reduce the Federal Reserve Board have tem to opterate, when it needs to debt. That is the American way. rupts the flow of our economic to encourage inflation. make a policy move to resist in¬ We have always done it before, helped life when she gets out of hand. In Henceforth, I expect that their flation. The Reserve System can¬ the war, she and her wicked eco¬ and I believe we will again. Until single purpose shall be to serve not serve two masters at the same we live in a more peaceful world, nomic side partners caused infla¬ the whole Nation by policies de¬ time; it can't lend necessary aid tion, and, even since 1946, she progress in this direction will be to Treasury financing and, at the though we have started signed to stabilize the economy and they got out of control and slow, and encourage the free play of our same time, tighten n^oney to check moving in the right direction. put the cost of living up 35%. She inflation in the broad public in¬ Also, our ability to carry the people's genius for individual in¬ breaks into the money market and co¬ operation has been present in full measure this year. I believe there is no finer body of devoted public on In money daily cooperation with a free Fed¬ eral payments present huge debt far more offset its virtues. taxpayers. But her most serious misbehavior is the way she dis¬ the yesterday. Carter Glass public debt levies interest The and arojand look it Treasury out to pay its bills money out of the market money —takes as the which by balance and keeps turn can tions pumps a our ginia, e, that from Public Debt, finds trait of Carter wall prominent New York Former into y m of the Treasury Deputy to the Secretary I Wnen moved m retains a That apparently simple statement cov¬ ers a lot of territory. It is short¬ hand for a seething mass of opera¬ which money fairly stable buying power. available are offices. its furnish to honest RANDOLPH BURGESS* W. By of facts The debt are of the shape the matter a of public rec¬ inflation the Treasury has had to In 1953, finance tions redemp¬ and maturities billion and a billion. Thus, equal to one-fourth of the of $60 over deflation. or We want to both. avoid ord. the character, the amount, placing, and the timing of public debt moves add up to pressure for The second great of principle is that it should impair -the dynamic debt management aid and not deficit of $9 to $10 growth of the economy. It must not impede the free flow of funds a sum national debt had to be financed into business enterprise. Its poli¬ ation, a reduction of the real in a year. Before the end of the cies should encourage savings, for value of our bonds and our money. year, we shall have gone to the saving provides the capital basic That is what has been done—and market, either for refunding or to economic growth. what we are stopping. We want raising cash, nine times, exclusive growth and not inflation. Operations in 1953 of weekly offerings of Treasury Meantime, before we reduce the bills. In accordance with the fore¬ debt, we have to live with her.Nearly three-quarters of the going principles, our problem in The Program 1953 was not just one of finding debt matures, either definitely or out what securities the market In his State of the Union Mes¬ optionally, within five years. would take at what rate, but it sage on Feb. 2, President Eisen¬ A substantial part of the infla¬ was also one of making an ap¬ hower, in dealing with the na¬ tion, which doubled the price praisal of the economic situation tional debt, said: level and cut the buying power of to make sure that our operations It is clear that too great the dollar in half in 13 years, was would stimulate neither inflation a part of the national debt be¬ due to financing too much of the nor deflation. This meant, in fact* comes due in too short a time. debt at short-term; through the deciding our policy in cooperation The Department of the Treasury banks and so creating bank credit, with the Federal Reserve System, will undertake — indeed has un¬ in effect, printing money. The whose duty it is under the law to dertaken—at suitable times a total money supply, currency and administer the money supply with program of extending part of the bank deposits, swelled from less these same objectives. debt over longer periods and than $65 billion in 1939 to $195 B,y any objective test, the coun¬ gradually placing greater amounts billion in December 1952. This try 'was at or near the top of one printing press operation doubled of the greatest booms America had the price level—the cost of living ever known. The production in¬ —more than doubled the price of dex of the Federal Reserve Board a house—of a piece of beef, or a was* making new high peacetime suit of clothes. Every person in records month by month and was the country was hurt in one way 10% higher than the year before. or another and especially people The national income measured in who saved or who lived on fixed inflation dollars was steadily or sluggish incomes. The only climbing and was $20 billion gainers were the speculators or larger than a year ago. the pressure groups which kept There was full and overtime their own incomes a jump ahead employment. of the trend. Private bank credit was still These facts, with which you are rising, particularly in the fields all familiar, were the reasons for of consumer credit and real estate the President's program of ^debt credit, in a way that was giving debt seems . . - Obligation Municipal Bonds Municipal Revenue Bonds management. Two WATER • ELECTRIC • Now HOUSING which in lifted. as^td^the words few a framework TOLL BRIDGE Heavy deficit financing faced us, and direct controls were being Management SEWER to many careful observers. concern Principles of Debt debt man¬ It is not just a problem, nor is it just agement operates. mechanical • and problem of finding markets. The national debt is woven into every a corner can be of our done qALLEN & the impact of debt de¬ on the country but is related economic life. the a vacuum And I suggest that which form principles the objective and the framework for there New York 4 to in two are great decisions on the debt. Reserve judgment of the Federal there were still System, inflationary pressures; the Re¬ serve Banks raised their discount rates early in was What this all added up to was that the Treasury its deficit and the general the year and pursuing a policy of credit restraint. System ought to finance handle its refund¬ ing in such increase in stand a their own feet without Reserve support and on Federal which would non-bank be taken largely by investors. Accordingly, we made an anal- The first is to avoid inflation or deflation. diminished exports. In the wa.y as to avoid an bank credit through our operations. This meant financ¬ country's ing with securities that could management debt Therefore, cannot be conducted Established, 1922 with the "Whole financial and on the welfare of all the people. ous life 30 Broad Street economic life. What pends on the stream of incomes and expenditures and savings and investment. And, in turn, what is done with the debt has a vigor¬ Municipal Department offsetting ten¬ in some agri¬ due to large crops principal The dency was weakness cultural prices, That means to manage the debt in the interest of sound, lysis of the availability of funds. Continued on page 31 Volume 178 Number 5260... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle f (1229) * STEEL can many jobs well so Early skyscraper says goodbye. Pittsburgh's Carnegie Building, built in 1895, was one of skyscrapers. When it was recently dismantled, practically all of its America's very first structural steel framework in reusable condition . . . was found to be convincing evidence that U-S-S Structural Steel durable backbone for any provides a strong, building. MM 1\\ Ww -Ml 2 Going around in circles. Here you see a huge coil of stainless steel tubing being welded in a 15,000-gallon, stainless steel vessel which will be used by a leading pharmaceutical maker for the fermentation of penicillin. metal for a Corrosion-resistant, sanitary U*S'S Stainless Steel thousand vital jobs in almost every industry. Only steel can do proves an so many jobs so ideal well. Up she goes! pedestrian in Los Angeles busy Freeway This site When this final overpass was was span of a new for the Romona Freeway ready to be erected, the closed to traffic for 2 hours. huge 136-foot section was hauled to the by truck, then lifted by three the concrete cranes onto buttresses. United States Steel fabricated and erected it. '4'': ' : > t: y.: * j."-- ;• Transporter for "Atomic Cannon." 84 feet long, yet can Designed to transport the Army's nefo 280 mm. gun, the T-10 Transporter is make right angle turns at city street corners where streets are only 28 feet wide. With its two independently-powered tractors, it can move forward, backward or sideways. The generator-powered gun, the Army's largest caliber artillery piece having complete mobility, will fire either conventional or atomic shells. U. S. Steel furnishes carbon steel and a special alloy carriage steel for this equipment. For further information on any product shown in this advertisement, write United States Steel, 525 William Penn Place, Pittsburgh, Pa. This trade mark is your guide to quality steel UNITED STATES STEEL j AMERICAN BRIDGE..AMERICAN STEEL & WIRE and CYCLONE FENCE..COLUMBIA-GENEVA STEEL..CONSOLIDATED WESTERN STEEL..GERRARD STEEL STRAPPING..NATIONAL TUBE OIL WELL SUPPLY..TENNESSEE COAL & IRON..UNITED STATES STEEL PRODUCTS..UNITED STATES STEEL SUPPLY..OMm of UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, PITTSBURGH GUNNISON HOMES. INC. - UNION SUPPLY COMPANY • UNITED STATES STEEL EXPORT COMPANY • UNIVERSAL ATLAS CEMENT COMPANY J-UM-A J7 The Commercial and 18 Financial Chronicle Thursday, October 1, 1953 ... (1230) The Outlook lor Interest become has rates terest an By ROY L. in¬ Appraising the outlook for challenging task. As Government bond prices as were the by of range, possible /'e r - in assess¬ ing the future was limited by the determi¬ nation of the monetary au¬ thorities to support mar¬ ketable long- term Treasury at bonds on the bond market crisis, a money RoT u Reiers°n Even after the and '{rates reached Beaks bond not seen since the Treasury and between Treasury's peak of 2.42% early in June. The more funds helped restore confia 2%% Victory bonds, which had dence and reverse the trend. against any opened the year at about 95% and Despite the tight credit squeeze Federal Reserve to the refunding measure provided operations of assurance precipitous declines in prices of Government obligations. Some months ago, however, we really at the of the spring months, no signifiMarch, slipped to a low of cantly damaging effects have be8915/16 on June 2. At the same come noticeable in the economy. quoted around 93% were end of the sharpest time, corporate bond yields, espedally on new issues, rose spectacyears. This development was in- uiarly, and yields on municipal teresting, illuminating and in- obligations also moved sharply structive; in assessing the future, higher. experienced one of increases of interest rates in many it cannot The be ignored. Recent Bond Crisis rates and yields was wiHf^nrpnH hv The tightening of credit in the !^mgnnf only able not nn!S for of the advance in The rapidity Market fhf fact the accompanied mnrphpnsinn the financial markets. in It brought that to mind earlier instances of credit tightening such as in 1920 when of was cies would operate to bring about jgressively higher level of in¬ terest rafes. Beginning about April, the budget outlook began to •reasury deteriorate. The realization spread -fhat Federal receipts were not go^ng to live up to expectations, and expenditures that could not be reduced as rapidly as some had yields boom, or in 1937, when restricthe tive credit policies again contribearly 1930's but even more for uted to a substantial drop in bond the Federal Reserve in March, the rapic[ity with which this prices. Consequently, late in May 1951, and the subsequent with- SqueeZe developed. The average and early in June 1953, the mardrawal of support from the Gov- rate on new Treasury bills, which kets at times appeared distressed ernment bond market, the con- kad moved around 2.06% in the and disorganized, until effective tinued assistance rendered by the f jrst quarter of the year, rose to a Federal Reserve action to supply yield. 2Vz% accord squeeze probably even tnore importantly, the market was apprehensive that credit and debt management poli¬ ' . credit growing prospect of large Treas¬ ury borrowings. Secondly, and credit and rising Reserve, eral the rors which arose from the tightening of interest rates last spring, New York bank economist holds present indications are that demand for investment funds generally is likely to show some decline in 1954, but increased borrowing by state and local gov¬ ernments may offset this trend. Sees economic forces operating to produce moderately tighter credit, but holds course of money rates will be governed largely by the policy of the monetary authorities. Discusses debt manage¬ ment problems, and reveals difficulties involved in attempting to sell long-term Treasury securities in prevailing environment. Commenting pegged Fed¬ the crucial development probably in the realm of expectations. In the first place, there was the the creasingly long the in element New York City the spring, in yields REIERSON* Vice-President, Bankers Trust Company, .in¬ Rates tained in the face of a substantial outflow of gold in the first quarter of the year, contributed to the pressure upon the reserve position of the commercial banks. As a result, the member banks continued their large borrowings from the Federal Reserve banks, and credit remained tight. With funds scarce and loan demands high, the leading commercial banks in April raised the prime lending rate from 3 to 3V4%. Shortly thereafter, the au- Government obligations, the decline meant littie more than a book loss which by now has been partly recovered; some financial institutions showed sizable declines in the book values For most holders of thorities took the long-delayed step of raising the rates on FHA and VA mortgages. This action was belated recognition of the change in the level of long-term anticipated. Consequently, it became evident that the deficit for the fiscal year 1953 would be significantly larger than estimated, and that the Treasury would be required to raise more new money than had been generally foreseen earlier in the year. All this made the financial community highly sensitive to any prospect of a more restrictive credit policy and more aggressive Treasury funding operations. In this environment, certain pronouncements by the monetary and fiscai authorities injected additional uncertainty into the mar^et piace in April, the Chairman Qf the Board of Governors of the interest rates andwaS designedto Federal Reserve System discussed " funds ^nto guaranteed mortgages* the transition to a free market in stability, solvency and earning lunas into guaranteed mortgages, Government securities He reb P°wer werf. not+. jeopardized, it contributed to higher bond iterated a point he had already of ^eir bond . Throughout the entireinperiod, the volume of trading Treasury yieIds. sa™ peno^^ Treasury that instead of trying Federal Re¬ the made in earlier months'maintain Injhe to namely an "orderly" market, bonds . remaineddecline in indicat- entered The expectation long some an "orderlv" market Federal Remoderate, auoted funds. the market 101 that term policy should be directed by Mr. Reierson before ™ postwar . ,, omeriv marxei. reaerai xte Hie Annual Meeting of the Savings and brought to a in? Uldl j u chnrt form dpht would be refund- toward correcting "disorderly" Mortgage Division of the American Bankiqoo'c when pfforte heinu prices was not accompanied by snort-term deot would pe retund ^ Association, Wa.hinr.on, D. C, Sep.. m a t^ curb tne stock maAet any importantwere realized, Even ed into longer maturities, g™' phasized that/'only veryhe emliquidation. this that new long-term Treasury diti Furthermore rarely 2lCurD the stock; market where losses wnere realized,mis — ^, frequently done to achieve &°nds would De ottered in iyo^ likelv to be a disorderly tav qavinas and to reinvest tne over the market fy tax savings and to leinvest the had been hanging beginning of the situation ir lywould require Fedthat funds,at more remunerative rates. aI least since tne oeginning 01 tne Reserve intervention for reapolicy.' Nor do business activity, and emand had probably contribK^e than credit -5,"?., nWmentTnnear tn have heen nn- uted to the softer tendencies in sons other bond market in the early Probably an even stronger imof the *be fevoX affected; "most of th" months of the year. in the earlv Probably was created by remarks hnnH nwket Treasury of- pression Underwriter • Distributor • Dealer business indicators are still a* ficials a appeared cognizant of the made in May by the Deputy to the high levels. Because of the com- p^e^ilfng" unc^rtaM de- Secretary of the Treasury, who plexity Of the problem and the Prevailing uucei wmues,- l"e" u*. . offrepd that thp Treasury time lags involved we shall orob- clsl0n to offer a new 3/4% loi?g" ? iy agreed ™at.tne treasury term bond for cash subscription must finance itself in a free and ably never be able to say with April was preceded by a careful competitive market without Fed—TT" An address D Vf u U • thp < nnstwar . inflation intlation halt, 01* hpin« was being in the late wiq serve were and — was .... i i i a . ga?. market v . f§Securities of the United States Government and its Instrumentalities Ration'of^ the p^ospectWe eral Reserve assistance, but also nfthlinHm.nf icm »rtver.£iv market. ' Furthermore, the new indicated that somewhat more ae¬ ,thl i] nnf uf,in. money offering was limited to the tive Treasury competition for private investment funds would be in 1954 esneci^lv since even modest amountthof S1 WlHon and """ wholesome; while assuring that especially th t f . ro , in State, Municipal and Revenue had'^ome"1 to expect Pearedofattractive, issue announceThe was well _*?•.? ment the new observers 5 Securities decline in investment activ¬ some ity in the period ahead. small Bonds, Preferred and Common Stocks of premium Development of tKe Credit offering Squeeze Corporations in went to a trading on a However, the led basis. to some retrospect, the sharp rise in of outstanding long-term Governinterest rates appears to have ment bonds. . evolved out of a unique combinaThe enthusiasm for the new istion of circumstances and events, sue was short-lived, and was fol- Company Stocks Bankers' Acceptances The Reconstruction and Development 1 at work were activity and a major factors economic peak Securities of the International Bank for moderately restrictive credit policy. combined with forts to improve Treasury ef- the maturity dis- tributiop of the Government debt, but the effects were probably Canadian Bonds enhanced much Foreign Dollar Bonds the by growing anx- financial community iety in over the outlook for interest lates. the credit squeeze continued high and The stage for was set by the rising rate of economic activity in the early months of the year. vestment els, In- proceeded at boom lev- and although record savings being accumulated, bond were yields The rose FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION the somewhat in response sustained demands for Philadelphia Pittsburgh Cleveland of the or goais set forth by the authori- ties; members of the financial community generally recognized the basic soundness and desirabil¬ lowed by a further and substan- ity of these principles. Nor were tial weakening of the bond mar- the convictions expressed by the ket. Although the offering/was authorities'noVel or startling; the heavily oversubscribed, it soon Federal Reserve had been moving became evident that many sub- consistently toward these objecscriptions ha-d been entered by fives ever since the end of World speculative interests intent on a w,ar u indeed in December 1952, "free ride" to quick profits. Not- |nd again early in 1953, the Treaswithstanding this fact, the Treas- ury had successfully consummated ury- decided to allot in full all refinancing operations without the subscriptions of $5,000 or less, and to. make allotments to larger subscribers on a flat 20% basis, thus treating institutional investors and other firm buyers on the same basis a§ subscribers who were eager to liquidate at the first opportunit.y.' F u r t h e r m o r e, the support of the Federal Reserve, which fact was widely recognized, However, since these statements coincided with a period of tightening credit and large current and prospective demands for funds, they readily lent themselves to disturbing interoretations . r in- Treasury had offered to In addition, busi- ™rl0nainsa°J£ rates.0 ^ flrmmg 0f interest Boston asserted that "it be at the end queue."?*" * r he also not always exchange Th financial community was nonmarketable F and G bonds further troubled by certain com¬ ness requirements for bank credit maturing in 1953 for the new 3V4S ments made by the Chairman of failed to show the customary sea- at par, and sales by some holders the Board of Governors early in sonal decline. Economic forces who had accepted this exchange May on the subject of member were thus operating in the direeoffering added to the selling pres- »a/k s to vestment funds. New York. should - In Bank and Insurance Treasury would proceed cau¬ tiously, The unsettling effects of these downward statements cannot be ascribed to adjustment in the market prices any quarrel with the philosophy when-issued Industrial, Public Utility and Railroad received and the bonds the Chicago San Francisco At the same time, the Federal the money neutral additional reserves to market. This so-called policy, which was were in Jhe they May, ^ were already selling at a and this dealt quite a discount, to ^ anticipate normal seasonal re¬ quirements and be in a position to meet them by adjustments in blow to market confidence, liquid assets with a minimum reWhile all these factors help exContinued on page 29 main- plain the rise in interest rates and Reserve authorities refrained from providing bonds Ali r?Sali issued Volume 178 Number 5260 ... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle UNIQUE "DEPOT DELIVERY SERVICE" transit items to proper after final ment has been made transit speeds rail and air terminals, evening consolidated check ship¬ "plus" to — assure a real National City faster presentation of checks. NATIONAL CITY TIMES SQUARE BRANCH MANAGER, Walter J. Brotherton, right, talks depositor—operator of the nationally-known Times Square newsstand at the crossroads the world where hankers visiting New York buy their hometown newspapers. Brotherton's to a of intimate neighborhood is expanded by the knowledge of large and small businesses in his Bank's 67 other New York managers to encompass generates a the entire city. This city-wide coverage "know-how" and specialized knowledge of New York's business that is available to National "communities" City's correspondents for the asking. ALMOST THE credit files are NATIONAL CITY puts the personal touch into correspondent service When banker calls National City for ser¬ vice he knows he will receive the attention and a on personal interest of an officer who is intimately acquainted with his territory and its problems. To learn at first-hand of the needs of their correspondents, National City officers make frequent trips about the country. In addition, each district officer is a specialist in at least industry or line of business—an invaluable banking experience and knowledge on which National City correspondents may freely draw. And it goes without saying that our cor¬ HALF MILLION business firms all National City over the world being constantly revised and enriched by Bank men National on the scene like Johnson Garrett, City's Paris Branch Manager. respondents enjoy prompt, efficient handling day-to-day banking transactions. of their With 68 Branches in New York, 57 Branches and correspondents in every commer¬ overseas, cially important city of the world, National City has unmatched facilities to keep bankers in touch and with up, to world-wide economic conditions developments. Next time one fund of on call a difficult banking problem comes DELMONT We welcome the opportunity how we can help you help your on us. show you the customers. financing, is team that counsel THE NATIONAL CITY BANK K. PFEFFER, Vice President, one of country's top authorities on OF NEW YORK on a municipal key member of the National City can every: provide correspondents with banking problem. Head Office: 55 Wall Sfreet, New York Around-the-clock Transit Service Participation in Local Loans - • • . Collections Safekeeping • • Credit Information Complete Foreign Facilities MEMBER FEDERAL • • Bond Portfolio Analysis Personalized Service DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION • • Dealers in State and Municipal Bonds Complete Metropolitan New York Branch Coverage 20 Co-amercial and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 The (1232) Objectives of Federal Reserve Board Today I would like to talk with By J. L. ROBERTSON* trustee to another, something that seems very Member, Board of Governors of Federal you, one as about important thing the moment; at nature of common is the corpus trust. a is There a that deplores lack of understanding of efforts policy, and est rate says Federal even label of and trusts L. J. Your Robertson climate overlap. We both ours judg¬ obligated to exclude sound and prudence ment; we are prevailing tions a is that condu¬ cive to stable values, steady a national wealth, our maximum employment, to . a to and to rising standard of liying paral¬ primary objectives of the Reserve System. Conse¬ the in quently, I as you over am must be as concerned the widespread mis¬ perhaps understanding—or, more accurately, lack of understanding some of the efforts being of the Reserve System's trust— —of made to provide that sort of a trust that must be administered Money and credit are the corpus benefit the that trust has how on of all How peopjle. can activities Ameri¬ can distinct a bearing should scious than be contribution more con¬ businessmen most of Freedom exercise the essential values who to economic progress. Your unique from of responsibility providers funds — and to of users both Desired clear to both bank's a depositors and criticize lies at to its to that of cannot preservation. One accept benefit and criticism intelligent business. entitled has tially when the for them shrunk substan¬ rainy-day need Consequently, criticism to impartial appraisal. underestimate and source deteriorate and values You bank officers with trust re¬ substance. icy, and immediately found my mind dwelling on the new "hand" who, years agorv rode a vivacious pacing mule into the ranch on which I was working near Broken are acutely aware of vagaries of fluctuating values, Bow, Nebraska. To hear him tell sponsibilities the because which ity to those of the upon out carry who funds pronounced they have have to your the abil¬ wishes entrusted Each of of their safekeeping your management. effect and could you draw from your experience in the recent past examples of numerous trust accounts which now fall far •An address by Mr. Robertson before it—and I world's best still can—he the was cowhand. He said that, like the rest of us, he had always ridden horses until the day before when he had picked up this mule, but that no horse could compare with it. He regaled us with must its qualifications. admit intelligent the 79th Annual Convention of the Amer¬ ican Bankers Association, much D. dence so it was and that it an gifted 1953. in that it the mule. neces¬ berate to enough say the terms. bad He qualities he So, with the view of brought we in with praise when over it. It was underpinned that with tapered And I horse strong legs. It refused saddle even astride loudly as it, let him alone get to let suspicions be must Railroads and fairly criticisms apparent that based them of some of do so, we the most careful attention. ever, even under the partial be appraisal, based personal have pinch, been How¬ lights of im¬ others the on than twice loose the That seem told to which instilled interest or or Monetary Policy Not To Be Used Political Football Members New York Stock mon¬ political football, because it a perhaps his family the people of the is unfortunate itself well so that grasp—and, is to distortion. ever that even more a we longer Private wires to • are BOSTON ^ PHILADELPHIA' CLEVELAND HARTFORD CHICAGO SAN of FRANCISCO - been * from year as to government billions pay no more for the things it pur¬ happened when infla¬ swelling was costs? the The government superficial analysis finds it convenient to ignore those "the great corporations You I in are such that the most of group tion" investors of aware the result in "great is the companies, which corpora¬ insurance simply in¬ are larger a extent, millions of insured the American of realize rank very Our task, and mine—and yours Reserve policies rather to and action, but help the American ple get what they are peo¬ entitled to: fair a understanding of what is happening in the monetary field and why, and what the tives A are. know that be may alterna¬ who man does misled not by a "tag" applied for prejudicial pur¬ poses, a tag such as the "hardpolicy" money policy" or the "easy-money something else. But or Americans knowing — the and the choices—are not be misled by facts going to Federal anyone. Reserve Monetary Policy What is the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve System? Its policy—the only monetary policy it has—is to make the money and needs for much as as operation and growth—but not so induce to to inflation line is to it that to see do with so The the goal System,, boom-and-bust arise not or deflation. cause in purpose, all economy normal healthy little available credit the from money and credit causes, and to moderate cyclical from movements other should while the mind that must not underestimate one role will in borne be stemming (In passing, it causes. of policy, monetary do well not to he exaggerate it, either. Even in economics "money isn't everything." The whole mat¬ of credit supply is only one affecting the nation's wellbeing.) The eral is that credo Reserve our underlies policy conviction and that values—in the main will the buy same a stable dollar that amount goods and services from Continued Fed¬ purpose on one of year page 34 and people. The all know, will not windfall from the change as we a in interest-rate patterns; in addi¬ tion to being recipients of interest they also are $60 of payers billion of time interest deposits, and the percentage return on capitalization of the American banking system has not any startling increase as sult of high interest rates. shown a re¬ We also know—even if the de¬ our interest rates is are little fuzzy a in no themselves, but view of demands the are great higher sense an simply, volume of for credit, an inevitable accompaniment of a very honest effort to re-establish the dollar a dependable standard of Foremost in resources, experience, facilities. Located for more than a century di« as reclly opposite u.s.Treasury. value, Inquiries cordially invited. with all the resultant tremendous the benefits involved. Let me economy. a bit of recent to every That is, very segment of our roughly, the basic truth of the money-market situa¬ power nec¬ hope the critics will join us in it—is not to try to "sell" Federal individuals beneficiaries—the years employment pro¬ have tion in 1953. We know because it, but only understanding it is our business and we have laboriously thought about it—off and on—for been relatively stable. Credit has many years. But the American not been so easy to obtain, and people, generally speaking, do not when obtained it has cost a good know about it. It is difficult to at buying Edmund thing I between the borrower and tens of and with and As "The only for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." We important minds—that today's But the arguments. in pol¬ a factor and know file but be ready to accept essary and' ter the banks." vital, to attention may During the past two . that values real problems bad. one's phases the exemplify ; longer has the jit¬ no reasoning monetary apparently these real of task, perform—and consequences. for tailed history. . in year. come has every in results must cycles fact for es¬ complex prob¬ very difficult a the of the en¬ than the — con¬ Congress has set for the end in duction „ more difficult more effectively States. the subject topic I have no with United that that task constantly jumping prices? And what about any as single factor (other than war) af¬ the economic welfare of concentration Street, New York 5, N. Y. ° millions who wants to buy a home for ters on important as fecting icy Exchange every "banks," It would be unfortunate if missing Sixty Wall I—bear But what about the fact that the man modern economy. Unfortunately, too, certain of the superficial and Hutzler and heavier burden because govern¬ and on & costly today for a home for his family; a termediaries, to for the sake of appearing striking at a political adversary. wise obvious Salomon Bros. few a more buy gain, a ' paid taxpayers—you problems of money and credit in 1 it pretty bad! We are higher interest rates that that to who deal Acceptances Federal looks word, the fallacies fears the ago. years man what single to Bank of 4%; that when borrower"—the by a vocal consciously or uncon¬ sciously distort facts for personal few There is Preferred Stocks the on countered Canadians "big home, a his mortgage may instead 5% the buys on thorough study, close facts, and attempts to conceal the analysis of information, and rea¬ omission with talk about higher soned judgment. Those deserve interest rates providing a bonanza are lends Equipment Trusts be properly monetary policy. When It Industrials interest rate chases, pleased Public Utilities individual tion is Municipals instead of 3%; that when money brushed aside in order to appraise as U. S. Governments they may have to pay 4% for the an ment has to pay We suspected he was talking out of personal pique. is stressing aspect: that when public issue long-term bonds, the was animals. it constantly, made one utilities pre¬ bring about broader now—or coinci¬ been superficial anal¬ are a unusually animal—so there but it, he went off mumbling and bitterly about both Such financial our not 1950. others; no one of them happened alone. have Yet beauty, smart- make it a faced, finely in government—borrows for 91 days, said, none of it pays for that money at the rate had previously of around 2% per annum—more him, He bubbled saw in have lated to the could from pasture a young sorrel horse. he did about etary policy should be made the subject of demagoguery or used \ is It home to easy understanding task which It had, he showed evi¬ wasn't sufficient was uncertain no not As soon it him cause could Washington, C., Sept. 21, fact, a ca¬ the rider out of the saddle animal the For example, on returning from Similarly, you know firsthand the plight of my vacation recently, I read one the borrower who, when economic particular blast on monetary pol¬ decline, faces a far heavier burden in repaying his debts. was kind of horse he said he materializes? conditions dissatisfaction its intelligence and had been should people's looking for all his life. But when — funds Its breath. same small-necked, largeis chested, short-coupled, and well and freedom not be entrusted with the is criti¬ borrowers points up this rela¬ Sometimes this is not easy. Knowl¬ tionship. What does it profit the edge of a critic's past performance man who builds a savings account may lead one—at times unjusti¬ in your bank if the buying power fiably — to overemphasize the of his of satisfying the at base of democracy, very stable position of it make me cism. the Bankers Criticism Intelligent administer time your outset that I do not decry ours. and the raved about. Let same to get the climate. administer we you have the tremendous bear¬ a and at the yours lies of "harassed comprehend. to sentials dental. Each of the changes is re¬ di¬ one it changes situation only pacity; all subject to duty of complete loyalty in Those yses to are an than more simultaneously kneed in display we at objected It deal other, to being spurred and in the checked tribute trusts; speed. neck-reined in administering our respec¬ same for purpose too the time and same and Federal to the trust. the being rection lels the tive on to conflicting interests and pres¬ sures ing the at indeterminate ^ required to exercise care and expansion of skill, with concern bonomic your v form, — the right original objectives of with its new rider as he was with the grantors because of drastic it. It apparently objected to being contraction of the buying power ridden by one who seemingly wanted to go in of principal and income. opposite direc¬ benefici¬ aries to us: public of only Therein Stresses chief aim is "greatest good to short of the relationship. all is is Burke said: it dramatic— "struggling or and fronts greatest number." cp-fiduciary are carry Re¬ might The owner" System. One a being made to now behalf on taxpayer" the benefit of all, Gov. credo that underlies Federal Reserve sity of maintaining stable values. ex¬ ercised by the serve in sensational say lem. usteeship r trust which must be administered for a tears and credit money objectives of Federal Reserve System. Refers to criticism of higher inter¬ out ship between professional t of whom trustee, to as a sent Robertson close relation¬ and to not whereas the superficial appeal for Designating the Federal Reserve Board some¬ the in present these facts Reserve System high of the levels. dollar The has RIGGS NATIONAL BANK «/ WASHINGTON, D. FOUNDED 1636 C. . ' MEMBER Federal reserve system . federal deposit inslhance cowl v- r Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... 21 v (1233) freedom would Inferences From Lowered rfDrirooiotind The immediate Stock British Bank Rate By PAUL EINZIG extent, able. Commenting on reduction in Bank of England discount rate 3y2%, Dr. Eiuzig holds this action is indication 4 to British official circles do it is also calculated to ment intends t nMnnw t? • dispose of restore the mu anticipate The i_- t. Sept.ai17 surprise. as^a came For complete than more one rea- it son, was unexpe^t^d. Throuhout the nrst h 1 f a of beptember sterling^ was ye a J' declinbelow ing its for such circum- sterlingagS1 *VatG * G WGa nGSS ° Admittedly from purely internal point of view, the classical weapon against a trade recession js lowering the Bank Rate. If thfe authorities could the gard a afford international i0 t u c e w days the i o h a re- n; its e £ s n foreshadowed in fhe . the autumn seasonal usually in favor of the Bank Rate duction. of The wages of sence easier than in even spiral the the considered it Bank exped- Exchequer to authorize Butler considered re- a Rate, and Mr. it grant the request. expedient to Admittedly to large degree the reduction nominal than inore 4% was of bank period, Bate was bills. while was For the 4% the prepared was discount houses Bills at large holdings of 31/2%. that rate was the In Bank Bank to buy Treasury view of Treasury regarded the Bills the op- as erative Bank Rate, so that all that happened the duced Bank at to Bank the Rate. pains change did Sept. on nominal The to 17 that was Rate level of was- the actual authorities emphasize re- were that the purely technical and imply in any way a re- was not laxation of restricting the the policy aiming volume of at credit, Nevertheless, the banks reduced Uy Y4 % their rate allowed on deposits and those charged on certain kinds of loans. dined. This extent. some feet Bill rates de- should tend to en- private courage of the In borrowing to particular the ef- Bank Rate reduction on the market rate of discount should encourage foreign borrow- ers to make better of use the recently increased facilities for sterling acceptance credits. This may tend pressure to on afford the to do price any is Ripley & Maples & Goldschmidt Company, Incorporated, 63 Wall Street, New York City, announces that increase sterling the Admits J. SOUTH Morgan Glover has become a member of the company's Municipal Department. His duties will be concerned mainly with state and municipal revenue bonds. NORWALK, ... 0 in fall a the fall British in throughout the world Qf increased tion. In jj^g Street, members of the York Stock Exchange, on Oct. 15 will admit Fannie G. Safir in interests Sterling Heavy-duty cables undergoing cyclic-load testing at Anaconda Wire & Cable Company's Research Laboratory, Hastings-on-Hudson, Neiv York. At lejt is a partial result view competi- of Area gold is at re- United States in effect verse British that policy on The conditions." Rate might have to be raised to that end, instead of be- ing lowered, The the fact that Bank could the Treasury and England felt they of afford Rale at this interpreted British lower to stage as the indication an official circles do slump the tieipate a States. It is in in fact that not an- United understood received Butler Bank safely be may reassur- ing advice from highly placed official American quarters, and that the Treasury is now satisfied that the- Washington has elaborated fensive Administration far-reaching de- against measures a slump, which would be applied measures unhesitatingly if American trade were to show signs of a serious recession. What measures secret is are but it the is known cial circles in London about their On this able that have lower the that are offi- it basis the is authorities Bank it should justifiable Rate. This to ges- is government's tion to pound restore in the alleged the near inten- fluctuating future. As is well known the floating pound is part of the Commonwealth Eco- nomic Plan. The Commonwealth Finance Ministers' Conference of 1352 decided to adopt it simultaneously with the restoration of Years are compressed into minutes in the Cyclic Aging Laboratory of Anaconda's sub¬ sidiary, Anaconda Wire & Cable Company, at Hastings-on-Hudson, N. Y. Here, through rigorous 24-hour testing cycles simulating actual conditions but decidedly more severe, high-voltage insulated cable is tested for long life, stability, and other desirable character¬ istics. By such tests, Anaconda beats not only the on plays "BEAT THE understand- significant also from another point of view. It is calculated to dispose of rumors about the Anaconda satisfied effectiveness, considered ture here's where intended closely-guarded a that convertibility is not expected for at least another 12 months, it the over j stories high, which capable of testing long samples loads up to 200,000 pounds. spite of the ad- of business to due of the giant tensile testing machine, defend- serve, Britain would have to defiate in,sympathy with the downward trend of prices in the has been suggested in various ities felt justified in lowering the Bank Rate it is because they view American business prospects with- clock, but the calendar. Vital engineering 50 years of in-use operation available in a This research tomorrow this the author- to the government such out pessimism. The American business situation is at present by far the most important factor af- Rather is it fecting sterling. ate recession would gap Even in%he a moder- United States the Sterling Area and terpreted the drop in Wall Street as foreshadowing a trade reeession has d?u^tsKab?Jat inevitably widen the dollar of would reverse the inflow of gold, If the British authorities had in- of some severity they would not have 4hought of- taking a .step be disposed of by the Bank Rate f®ductl°n" "^"d5 rea,son tha| the authorities would not go out f their way to weaken the detenses of sterling if they intended to restore its freedom to fluctuate at a moment when iso¬ continuing policy of planning for a policy unmistakably expressed in Anaconda's company-wide pansion and improvement program of such a ex¬ being carried on at mines, mills and fabricating plants. This multi-million-dollar program is based on the premise that as the nation's need for metals now and metal sign, which would ordinarily take from 20 to should Anaconda's products continues ability to to expand, so produce them. 53273-C in- understood to be enwithout foundation. The never even been con1(?^a ^as, neXfr bee Any fjdered by tbe Treasury idea no typical of ... data, essential in the evaluation of cable de¬ f®ntl0ns tirely now less. geared to the future is lated "for instance." Anaconda's acquire, is to year or two, or irJ? convertibility. Rumors attrib- of limited u prices, a American the the as The American Brass AnacondA Company Copper Mining Company Chile Copper Company Greene Cananea Copper Company Anaconda Aluminum COPPER MINING COMPANY Company Anaconda Wire & Cable Andes — , ington New United quarters abroad that the government is inclined to proceed with floating pound without await- spite ___ oc — the convertibility of sterling. Now such credits. in Conn. _ Maples & Goldschmidt, 85 Wash- garded as an indication that offiMr. Glover, formerly with the and Carrie Goldstein to cial circles in London are not National City Company and partnership in the firm. selling recent relaxation of restrictions If Loans, Indeed, Unless so. level sponding Throughout that Mr. operation in England from real. only applicable to redis- counted Ihe at This Harriman of Division, of the Finance Corpora¬ ment, they would be inclined to adopt a decidedly inflationary policy to that end. In the existing situation, however, they could ill Bank request the Chancellor of duction of the Bank a by conditions. money to ab- encouragement England ient re- proceed- was Notwithstanding this the ©f are a inflationary unchecked, ing In increase of an increases ex- factors rather Britain. over from borrowing through the Treasury Bills. of Although, effects, it Office tion. Harriman Ripley Bank indica¬ Agency Reconstruction British exports would lose ground not only in the United States but increased pansion Public the states is accompanied by a corre- declined the volume of credit spreading opin- of many people a business rethe United States. Even cession in private J. with jn order to maintain full employ- d though _ nected der to Prevent the recession from s^arp three Li. ■ the an rate, a precisely because the decision is widely re- tone. 7 an American trade recession lowering the Bank Rate in or- a Bank Rate , of as material moment Brown, Harriman & Co., has for 7 number of years past been con¬ a of aspects +' Street before lon the United distinctly favor¬ confidence. its in the fog situation they would respond J?a~ fall C adi of slump disre- to wr}i W all *>r. been a * reduction interpreted steadier * in - afraid of States. tendency of sterling, through its psychological effects it inspired, fuiure. near , would a of the should have accentuated the weak that British Govern¬ rumor fluctuating pound in j tion is through slump in U. S. Says a Eng.—The reduction which B on to not iq any ca$e response Exchange and, to a lesser of the foreign exchange market has Rate from mean t^onri depreciating trend. Anaconda Sales International Company Company Smelting and Refining Company The Commercial and 22 Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 (1234) the Current Picture A Banker Looks at I indeed a vast economic panorama, and its elements are many and complex. To comprehend it and construct a President, Central-Penn take truly I reviews limit efficiency and and bank¬ an First, I shall make some the banking capital. more velop lion, or ents m C. and. outlook. Sienkiewicz A. Second, I want disci/ss to 13% Personal liquid assets $17 billion. of the some more sig- as respon¬ i.._ i banking and credit, or those vital parts that are affecting our activity now and will influence our policies and private investment increased to a $61 billion rate. New construction has continued at a record rate of $25 billion and pro- practices in the future. ducers' nificant of phases _ . durable equipment at almost $28 billion. Recently, how- ■ _ Business Gross Continues Boom ever, business The Activity this down continues, boom has been at summer some let- deferment of projects of general-construe- residential and tion the highest rate on record. Industrial or been has there New financing is at a type. U, We are of these symptoms. aware The overall that our picture, resources are now Corporate earnings in the first before and after is however, hajf 0f this year, em- pie at work. National output of increased in quarter to and goods the second record annual rate of a $372 billion, or almost 7% above year. This is a tremendous volume. It provides jobs and in-> come for over 63 million, or over 98% of our civilian workers. The last machine is certainly rolling full speed ahead, and its production in the This in- i X' 1 V* 1 r-7 ' rate consumption are of earlier running $230 this at billion last year. due primarily to larger year and a *n ad' 1S ai? amazin£ recordThe foundation upon ago! which this accomPlishment rests bil- bas a sounc* c°reIt shows that annual thar year Tax payments have taken $37 system of private industry and our *An address by Mr. Sienkiewicz and combined dedicated to the order, and stability of life. We hate war because it destroys life and property. It leads to oppressive debt and taxes, It is in peace that we create what Is finest in life—material and spiritual. Back of our past and recent accomplishments has been the abundance and efficiency of bank credit. It has furnished the sinews of business action. Without it, our modern system of production and initiative be- do can a form or another because this country to continue strong. World tensions are unabated, and genuine confidence among nations is still lacking. on in one we want As superb job for the atomic age, leader in this a United channels, that sustains our free and expanding economy and pro¬ vides j0b opportunities for our growing population. Qur banking system administers this tremendous afford with cannot States production nrivate to amazing willing are 1953. to work and cynical challenge. " No army will deny that as always one clouds some are We horizon. nomic \ on our must eco- watch these clouds and take steps to rethem move For whenever example: How Pdin^ aP. our SI°CKS 0 $77 billion our necessary. fast we are goods. At at inventories manufacturing, retail, and wholesale establishments are some $5 billion higher than they were a This rise, of course, accounts for a goodly portion of the year ago. increase in our national output. also suggests that any drop in sales would throw the present reIt it cutback in lationship out of balance; mean, in duction fact, a decline and in ment may pro- employ' -. setback would be disconeven if it lasted but for a short time. But, as in the recent past, the way would be cleared for a more stable relationship C. J.DEVINE &CO. 48 Wall Street, New York 5 Cleveland • Philadelphia Cincinnati • HAnover 2-2727 • Washington St. Louis • • Pittsburgh San Francisco of about credit us have tightness high interest rates. The story of credit terest tightness and higher in¬ is the story of war rates financing and economic disloca¬ tion, of inflation, of dependable money and its buying power. Our recent record ture if gives clear pic¬ us a look at it squarely and we honestly. - World plies of 1 lot a of At the end of that of checking deposits money. in 1945, the total volume currency and one and was incredibly was borrowed and created large new sup¬ money war II War We costly. one-half times as .> of our Recently, individual ready system, many more consumers property living iearned to millions of have entered makes sumers We have them and our ex- been honesty individual advance The inbusiness and producers and con- perience has herent and standards. serve good. of effective banking possible _ ' Bankers, of course, must assume heavy responsibility for their decisions and acts. They occupy a strategic and sensitive position in our industrial society. This position exposes rate, that the so amount of Other about at accumu¬ spendable funds truly enormous. Even though was productive plant our capacity, running was could not produce fast enough to meet the pent-up demand we the of market. Conse¬ quently, with the abundant supply of funds the on shortage hand and the one goods of on the other, prices for the available supply of goods were bid up, and inflation with followed ing usual its devastat¬ effects, particularly in Production increasing was the fixed. meantime flation was it not have would and caught^up with demand. down; those on whose incomes continued But in¬ permitted to die and perpetuated; was prices, wages, and costs continued to skyrocket. The most important them to constant fre°-uenlly t0 unjus iue<1 attacks, Bankers often are excoriated for their conservatism, lack of vision, force was offi¬ the maintain credit easy and money "cheap," primarily in the interest of Treasury financing and debt management. Such a policy may during the the have been appropriate but war, inflationary followed the in banking portals and found helpful means in bank credit to their increase. expanded assets same lated at the on liquid the product, as in liquidity was al¬ when perpetuating Bie aCqUire national gross 1939-1940 cial policy to 3 million economic some units in Any certing. Boston and animadversions Every dream just assaults on our heritage and decisions and assume varied risks. peaceful intentions. Until the lan- By far the largest number of loans guage of force is subdued, we- are to relatively small, individual must be ever ready to meet any borrowers who make up the vast there to come gamut of discordant a and volume of credit efficiency. R0JnUthnivt^rLMnfiinA^!^n Kwi a free.society. It shows that there not to have adequate protection business day individual bankers Association, Washington, d. c., Sept. 21, are still enough free people who against sinister ideologies and un- everywhere make innumerable Chicago Recently, large, relative to the current value n- creased sllSht1^u°ver a year aS°- expendian higher iiri4h . extended tures 4 olr An but if bold steps are taken with intelligence and promptness, larger excesses; can be avoided, find. " We are aware of all unbalancing Back of this record is good or- symptoms,- and this very awareganization and courageous man- ness is probably the best means agement. It reflects great strides of preventing serious economic in better cooperation and under- repercussions. We may not be able standing between labor and man- to eliminate business ups and agement. Both are beginning to downs entirely, but we may be realize that efficient production able to minimize their severity and fair exchange of-goods and and abate the cyclical fears of services are the real forces that boom and bust, make our free economy tick and R . CreAU Prnvifips sinews of help to sustain our high standard Feonomie Activity« and invest to keep our industrial concern going with the best modern equipment we can distribution could not attain the heights, that it has since the Civil volumes of sales, since the averWar. age net profit margin per sales rnrrwiinn iWrl Not Mean The Present high level of prodollar continued unchanged. In^orrecuon eeu w oi wieaii Auction and employment certainly creased costs required larger volim;u»wmu reflects the capacity of our bankumes and greater efficiency to The Korean truce has often ing system to provide funds for make reasonable profits. been singled out as the beginning business operations. Loans of all j of the end of the business boom commercial banki to business at ™1JL mainly because government ex- present exceed $65 billion, or al^ penditqres are likely,-to decline most four times the volume before 5 ® fni'tl nf and s0 dePress our activlty. But the last World War and two and \*s} 7aar/v iZrLf the imPact of the tru£e has been one-half times what it was at the +1 discounted long ago. Our defense end of that war. It is this credit, wlr^inProgram may be changed in form mobilized by private sources and corpoiate working capital has in- j^t not in substance; it must go was cisions and acts. tc going into next year. Personal nv»A its fulfill¬ unimpeachable and skill notes r great momentum is likely to keep us period crease are services were same' ployed almost at capacity and the maximum of our employable peo- than higher taxes closing months of the first quarter save manufacturers' high level, despite uncertainties sales, retail trade, personal in- and postponement of several large come, and employment have been offerings. ' close to the peacetime records. Government purchases of goods True, here and there new orders jand services, at all levels, inhave fallen off; inventories are creased to $83.5 billion, or 27% of living. larger than they need be; prices 0f national income. Outlays for Our individual for farm products have softened; national security represent about energies are now and collections have slowed down. 14% 0f total national output. search for peace, production, , to people unerring judgment, and in administering the They must be conservative, and practical in their de¬ funds. . 1 i-. have means the Their custody is awesome, utmost willing to tive economy are bound to occur; J i. that fidelity, Occasional bumps in a free, ac- products for the use of man. ~It shows that we are still continue large. also The they funds; trust demands firm, of personal income, and to make their dreams a real- ticipated in the But, even so, personal saving con- ity through discoveries and inven- this year and tinues to exceed an annual rate of tions of new methods and new next year. de¬ custody. in them. indeed serious recession ahead. no tliem entrust for bitterly what it the violate Important business, these ment Stresses good management sibility of bank directors. Sees social who banks learned difficulties faced Notes significant shifts in bank assets and for bankers have learned how to pro¬ tect abundance of bank credit, which provides the sinews of in efforts to increase com¬ ments people the repose economic activity. ing- zeal excessive thrifty phases of banking and credit which will influence policies and practices of bankers in the future. Points out boom is still with us, accompanied by my on vast and a us of justice, would lay their hands on the savings of the industrious, complex economic panorama, Mr. important business developments * and discusses some before responsibility fiduciary bankers to their depositors; or, in to .sketch to busi¬ of scene Sienkiewicz must ness National Bank, Philadelphia, Pa. a great artist. the their Calling the signi f ican t composition would Such critics either fail to realize SIENKIEYVICZ* By CASIMIR A. before us is The scene service debt The but charges the depreciation the en¬ of the dollar. of value that pennies losses in the billions tailed social through under never conditions It saved war. of easy credit was primarily through the official support of bond prices and the encouragement of mort¬ policy sustained The Federal Reserve, loans. gage with reluctance, ment securities bought govern¬ maintain their to prices and uphold the fixed pat¬ tern of interest rates in line with Treasury policy. released reserves, large As it did this, it of bank amounts high-power or money capable of expanding deposits or credit five or Moreover, six times. the practice of peg¬ ging prices of government securi¬ guaranteed the securities held by the in effect, ties, prices of investors. banks, as It was easy for the for others, to buy gov¬ cupidity, depending upon the ernment securities and sell theni, after the correction. Equally dis- source of censure. Some politiusually at a profit, in the con¬ turbing would be its effect on the cians, many promoters, and hosts trolled market. When more prof¬ consumer's buying attitude. He of do-gooders and crusaders of itable loan and investment op¬ would probably curtail his pur- untried notions and panaceas arer portunities appeared, government chases and add to his savings, as quick to strike at the bankers besecurities were sold usually to was the case some months ago. cause they cannot get the funds The market behavior current stock dication of is the probably of an readjustment or Federal Reserve the for their dubious projects or be- the in- the attack serves some ulterior purpose or gain. at prices and without loss an- cause ' I 'L i r\Ali/ixr nnn fixed Number 5260 Volume 178 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1235) 23 * tice kept-Aip until March, when the great harm of procedure was recognized. were 1951, this It also was recognized that the prime responsibility of our cen¬ tral banking system is not to manipulate bond prices in one segment the of but is whole economy, assist the economy as a to in maintaining orderly conditions, high employment and income within its the over influence and means supply and cost of credit. The problem of sustaining sound money and relatively stable buy¬ ing value of the dollar is tegral of this influence part be¬ facilitates economic it cause in¬ an growth and all protects of us— producers, savers, and consumers. Finally, it was recognized that to this do in the fixed income credit, it must be dis¬ to be borrowed. Nonbanking in¬ on those impartial, and courageous. vestors loaned $128 billion, while groups was truly impoverishing. us must commercial banks and the Federal appreciate the In a period of about six years, enormity of this responsibility and Reserve Banks furnished $86 bil¬ our volume of money supply, give support with wisdom, candor, lion of borrowed funds. The war measured by currency and ad¬ and the spirit of public service. had to be won; and in the win¬ justed demand deposits, expanded We all are in the same economic ning, our wh<ple economic and from $36.2 billion in 1939 to $102.3 boat. financial life had to be rearranged billion in 1945, or almost three from neaceful pursuits to destructimes. Holdings of government se¬ Significant Shifts in Bank Assets ^ve purposes. curities by commercial banks in¬ World War II wrought great It was the borrowing from the creased spectacularly from $15.6 dislocations in business and fi¬ banking system that meant the in¬ billion to about $90 billion, or nance. It produced significant flationary creation of money and 5.7 times. In addition, the Federal shifts in bank assets. the consequent disruption of our Reserve System increased its You will recall that to meet the economic relationships. Money holdings of governments from $2.5 financial needs of that war the supply rose from 45% to almost billion to $24.3 billion, or almost Federal government had to raise 75% of national income. This was 10 times. Bank loans also ex¬ inflation in its most ~ destructive panded from $16.9 billion to $25.8 some $383 billion. Of this stagger¬ All of ing amount, $169 billion, 40%, was provided by or and 60%, had $214 billion, almost taxation, or over job well the Federal Re¬ must have serve and cost of creet, form because when various ar¬ ""a that was cncuige entire our turned meant banking from over dividuals to a system of investing institutions. Moreover, the mag¬ nitude of financial figures was so blown up that former more modest patterns appeared and models Immediately strenuous after efforts readapt banking erations to flated the and market, level new flexible, and in other as have determined bitrary controls; were removed, was to enable the investors to buy prices skyrocketed and the effect government securities. Continued on mar¬ become by demand Securities, public and private, now are being tested as to their value and price in the This the crucible of the market. in harmony with form of our insti¬ is process spirit and tutional ( setting. Federal, state, ernments business supply now and local gov¬ competing with are for available funds.1 The these of less than The price the funds has demand of been for money, them. interest or has rates, risen, as is to be ex¬ The upward trend of in¬ pected. terest since rates the has war, been noticeable, not only at home but in most other countries that still have action. freedom Only of choice totalitarian and coun¬ tries deny this freedom and trol the life economic people with iron hand. an Higher interest rates, of lower mean bond official the control securities stantial Since bond over have govern¬ shown sub¬ depreciation. Many banks hold that course, prices. prices has been removed, ment con¬ their of large amounts of gov¬ ernments in their portfolios do not like it because of possible capital losses. Ironically critics of enough, some change refuse to the recognize this possibility and tinue to carp bankers sible as for the on they were respon¬ higher interest rates, relatively present of if though these rates even con¬ avarice 1 still are considering the of the business o w stage cycle. While •• inflationary forces seem subsided, we are not have to quite real is balance. in that sure danger. moment we Our in One state set of of at the uneasy of factors—rise prices, consumer out are economy a decline in farm income, drop in the stock market—suggests deflationary re¬ adjustment. tors Another record — duction, fac¬ of set employment, income pro¬ indicates — in¬ flationary strains. The have impelling no fact is that we peace. Outlays on security mav revive in¬ flationary forces at any time. We must be prepared for this eventu¬ just be and as we ready must to business major restrictive during the past interest acquired readiness ditions of to setback. the meet now Our credit year flexibility from anticipate with any cope serious the policy has been in public. Its should re¬ ury. and of harbor facilities, of in the world. docking year, at Ocean-going vessels, the rate of 12,000 a have made the Port of New York gigantic funnel through a which pours about half of Amer¬ ica's trade with the rest of the free changing con¬ world. and the transporter—all porter depend that commercial banks upon organized to are financial interests of a of the Treas¬ it ignore the de¬ business and the need can our growing population to have jobs and income. In using its com¬ manding powers over the supply It's Such with cial and accident that the finan¬ shipping districts cated side Manhattan: hand. The are lo¬ by side in downtown they work hand in "Big Three" of foreign commerce—the importer, the ex¬ the a maintains close working relation¬ ships with leading banks in the markets of the world. customers on I] you have a foreign trade problem; why don't you talk to the people bank is Chase National at Chase? headquarters in the center of New York's financial and ship¬ THE ping districts. From here, Chase service no serve national and international scale. reaches out forward. demands Neither mands provide New York with the greatest mean Looking at this picture broadly, we must recognize the fact that the Reserve System, however in¬ dependent in its policies, cannot ignore the overwhelming prob¬ lems Side, West Side—piers, hun¬ secure national ality, East dreds of them, through its correspondent banks extensive system all 48 states. branches and ces in (the most in the U. S.) into Overseas, Chase has representatives' offi¬ Europe, the Far East and Latin America in¬ were interrupted somewhat by the out¬ break in Korea; but the banking billion, but most of this increase system as a whole was not greatly forces. supply op¬ of figures. These efforts independence of rates war, made to credit interferences. Interest were the were IGradually, the procedure of pegging bond prices was modified and finally abandoned. We now have comparative freedom in our kets. dis-' completely new established. action and freedom from political money was system system of lending money to business and in¬ a and, in addition, NATIONAL OF HEAD THE CITY OFFICE: Pine OF Street BANK NEW corner Member Federal Deposit Insurance YORK of Nassau Corporation page 26 1953 Thursday, October 1, The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... 24 (1236) Progress in Agriculture This is i c immense duce quantities o f goods, includ¬ ing bountiful supplies of food and strengthen the agricultural fiber. Our fundamental Benson is reason that in for economic inadequate. people. n) They basic the lies system strength of the American In recent years our thinking peo- agreed that there is danger in the undue concentration is are proaucis government ownership. It toward . inadequate because they do not build markets ^ put products into use at fair pie have become more and more concerned about the rapid trend p generally (2) ^ ' Th do bedesir- inadequate are they se 10 not permit abIe adjliments should be willing for themselves. do Construction Contract L,nd Sueculation port of farmers, and all citizens source of our present strength. I presented by the Congress* urge you to continue to discourage °ur ent!re economy is in the borrowing based upon the expec- Awards Remain set is It that American old an the the private that tnat private iobs jobs Tiirprindpfe do by principle 7eaveto should we entermdse enterpi lse poused was President in Ws campaign ' high time we had this our fall. last is It .T y inade<l"ate " are in a period of neither peace c?us,e they fail to provide su f - nor war The adjustments to a 1"c«;n1t,ve ®elf-inrtiative peacetime economy must be met and self-help upon the part of the labor, agriculture,groups: industry, by all economic and finance. We gr0Wer, the handler, the processor, months could awakening to the dangers of ex- » governmental ^ greaUy upQn bank_ ^ making in farmers assist to ers # adventures (5) They are inadequate bein business, too great centraliza- cause at times they price such tion of power, and undue depen- commodities as wheat and cotton dence on public assistance. In our out of world markets, and dairy agricultural policy we seek to and other products out of domescessive outside-the-bank agricultural actWities conducted by full-time employees trained m agriculture, 1 understand that hundred of banks are now operating such adjustment You hold one o{ thg k' to the door of agricul. tb . year thus far„ Dodge said that i! ago monthly total for the last five the produce income year after year. It is m0re necessary today that it has been for some years that farmers accumulate reserves and safeguard cUfficient financial Admonition to Bankers month A the record for the top and the e"d distributors; must all work together to make feasible country W They are inadequate be- the change orderly and easily. banks have much to gain through £au.se they,do not enco"ragf the of our agricultural re- Reports" for "Dodge 37 eastern states? continued strong following July's in August , . , mu /0. in forth High awards contract Construction to . shoulders your possible the responsi¬ as grams. on to rural our I commend you for the bility for financing the farm pro¬ "ake place in ^ed conditions " in^Vrm la^l^ commodRy mentOWToonman% Americfnseare T fa/hm ,economy which ™iU In the past two decades we have prices. The real value of farm and calling Washington "o^ do for KJ.he farm6r °n 3 S°Under Passed to war again, and now v/e ranch land,its relative ability alfrom depression to war, to depends today as peace, ways, on to them what they wonderful oppor¬ a strengthen have done in the past. you much as Discourage Dana speculation Now mat land prices have leveled off, it is doubly lmportant for farmers and bankers alike that speculative land loans continue to be shunned. That you have done this m the past is a (8) It must square with American principles. The only program that can long succeed is one that is oriented toward sound objectives, that is workable, and that has the sup- a. Our desire is to work with you, „. create them. remain It is quite apparent to all of us enterprise that present farm programs are free our job nancial stability. (7) It must solve problems, not . . T Present Program Inadequate economy free with to economy. the you to give guidance to your farm clients in planning for balanced use livestock and crop production as a not means to increase income and fi- destroy markets. ing fruit. ' Our economy must is free. tunity and to place upon we , financial favored . Moreover, on footing. The rural banks of America are \ have had to cope tical. it will fail. Remember than that o f with a severe drought. We have potato fiasco? . any other na- attacked all these problems deci(6) It must be geared to t i o n The sivery—and our actions are bear- rather than storage — build, far by agriculture help to means solid economy. nomic order is Taft courage eco¬ better Ezra nancial inadequate, Secy. Benson lists eight guides in formulation of future farm policies. Says nation depends upon bankers to assist farmers in making their adjustments, and warns against aiding speculation in farm lands. Praises work of ABA Agricultural Commis¬ sion, and urges bankers give time and assistance to rural young people to Asserting it is apparent present farm programs are institu¬ 1 a part in the take tions. We pro¬ in every state to Foundation's fi¬ program. Continue to en¬ thrift, for this is one bankers urged We vital finan- cities, big industries, 4-H National of Agriculture Secretary kind tribute to the Foundation and which he paid EZRA TAFT BENSON* By HON. a ourselves build pride achievements. our on We land. choice nation, bountiful a $1,414,751,- average the year's total' would tie record-breaking 1952. The August 000, total $1,414,408,000, was finitesimal an * in¬ percentage under that average. less than although only August 1952. The August was 21% But the July 2% less figure, than eight-month total is now $11,115,588,000, up 4% over the first eight months of 1952. Last month it 5% at the seven-month stage- was W. F. struction Dodge Corporation, con¬ news and marketing: specialists who issue "Dodge Re¬ ports," pointed out that while the August figures seem low in com¬ parison with the swollen July We ProSrams. thoughtful and 1 am gratified to learn also that totals, it is significant that they held their own against the aver¬ constructive action in fulfilling many statebankers associations counteract this dangerous trend. tic markets; your vital role. are sponsoring credit schools in ages. A mid-year decline had been We believe in short that the expected and seemed to have (6) They are inadequate bestay with your farm customers, cooperation with their colleges principles of economic freedom cause they tend to hold a price even when weather or economic agricuIture. Surely this is a sound started in June until July went are applicable to farm problems, umbrella over synthetic and sub- conditions make debt repayment ™ove ,to foster better understand- sharply up. By classifications the August iprai prosperity and security. look to for you of ln. ri, Inherited Since had with deal to office ^ake have we serious many over our Plainl a inherited them. We inherited falling farm prices Wl11 Promote the welfare of all our The£?m credit ^?u kn.ow; farm credit have program needed. Essential Requirements , recently entered agriculture is and contracted large debts are finding it more difficult to repay loans now than when farm commodity prices were rising. Both farm markets. new problems. We did not create them; we to 95% of parity in the two years before last farm Since then, prices have averaged 93 month of checked the price decline. . We inherited declining stocks of tion of . , trade, of the address 79th excess American Washington, D. by corn. Secretary Annual Bankers Xhe urogram must nrovide economy ^ tul1/ Protect the . falling beef prices, foreign before the „. cotton, wheat, and •Summary Benson everv .... , (1) for( ^ coLfaX ^ imP™ved farm We 94% have ... oaritv or farmers freedom of choice. it be in the farmers' must interest. m yf milcf {n system 1S aSam be independent, This is in fulfillment of a pledge and borrower need to plan carefully in meeting the adjust- umana last year, ine legislation ments that have arisen because providing for greater farmer parof dr0USht and lower farm com" *tlclPatl0n "J tbe own£r?hlP and , Associa- tical. finnnninllv nrnr> ^ mUSl De Financially praCIf it modity prices' Bankers for the C°ntr°- °* fa£m mQst part have continued to carry was signed by the President on their farm borrowers and have Aug. 6. We are happy to see the gone to the limit in taking care credit system move back closer .s totals were: Nonresidential, $545,- 851,000, down 29% from July but up 5% 1952; resi¬ August, over dential, $507,560,000, down 22% from July and down 19% from August, heavy 1952; engineering (public works and utilities), $360,997,000, down 4% from July, but up 24% over August, 1952. Individual eight-m o n th 195$ with eight months Nonresidential, $4,- totals compared 1952 were: 262^75,000, up 13%; residential, of their recurring credit needs. I to farmers. $4,419,463,000, down 4%; heavy am sure you realize the necessity engineering, $2,433,850,000, up 4%•. of meeting these credit requireGoals of ABA Committee ments to maintain a sound agriThese aims that I have men- prospects The tioned are, I know, in close agreeagriculture ment with the goals Set Up by the ' culture. interest. Conven- c„ Sep,. 22, ,953. kn™ As guides in the formulation of banker declining farm income. Farm future farm policies, I believe the prices fell from 113% of parity following are essential: and January. of agricultural problems. It stitute products which in turn iess favorable. Many farmers who in* Prnh,Awe Problems took we for ic Fmnlnvmpnt „nnri Agricultural Commission ^ey are at Of the exTremefy fmpor! '^llnS aIT not financially prac- aims, not only for farmers but for the whole viding larger markets for the fu- country. In this period of adjustture. Our people want good diets, ment through which every ele- sheet is extremely ulation is even Consultants on ' Municipal Finance a financing service for Governmental units. rural role by Financial Planning • 20 Years' Public Relations Experience Inquiries invited effective sound con- an soil-building and their cornmuni- local . programs ' , . where farmers program can New York 5, N. Y. Telephone: WKitehall 4-3540 of ment our need we mutual the economy fullest is passing, of measure understanding and coop- of Agriculture, will not be outdone in extending a cooperative hand to all elements of economy our for the welfare of the entire nation. support We have been talking about improvement practices material things, but you and I have paid good dividends in the know that material possessions past, and will continue to do so. are not our greatest asset. The Credit plans designed to help greatest wealth we have in this farmers change over to a diversicountry is our youth—our boys fied, better balanced farming pat- and girls—-the future leaders of tern are urgently needed in many thjs choice land. T 70 Pine Street bankers and to soil sound .. Livestock production, Wainwright, Ramsey & Lancaster pro- the individual farms and in tant eration. We, in the Department play can Credit ties. Financial strengthen to encouraging servation ranches Financing The now. economy. Bankers grams on Revenue than opportunity derful • complete and unique municipal > • diets better rural banks are faced with a won- our We render favorable. Pop- increasing steadily, pro- be are One of problems right now is the ing of livestock numbers individual t the a g 7 T le_ . , I am most happy to know that s0 marW bankers are making it the big their concern to work with our balanc- young rural people. I was pleased on the to notice in the "Bankers Monthly" farm with the produc- of feed on that farm. I urge for more re»ource», facililiea. Located than a century di« rcctlvoppoaite U.S.Treaiury. Inquiries cordially invited. Give some time and assistance „ on of pasture development, greatly aided by wise lending practices. tion . especially embarked FOREMOST in experience, months ago an article by good friend Jesse Tapp, in some my RIGGS NATIONAL BANK ./WASHINGTON, D.C. FOUNDED 1836 member Federal reserve system • federal deposit insurance cokrl Number 5260 Volume 178 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... X1237) 2$ 1 . TO THE LETTER change paper-money for gold, at EDITOR: Shull Replies to Philip 6ans demand for "redemption" in gold was on Gold Price Takes exception to statement that he reasons gold expressed for keeping $35 v per i ounce are at "irrational." ; , do, let us revalue the price in keeping with today's price struc¬ ture"; but he names no specific "price.":: Let's assume he favors the face-value of the paper, went into effect on schedule; and the so light "to * occasion as $70 no Chronicle:, sufficient gold to restore the dollar to the "honesty" of the man—it - have vwould be interesting Mr. Gans' opening • sentence of Mr. Philip Gans' letter to the "Chron¬ icle"1 (Sept. 3) gave me quite a thrill, quickly offset by its closing ''/'.'" words. The reads:- "It always ; While of his expressing getting standard" — approval* each ? dollar on", the "back with which gold,; ounce fully; each we agree—Mr. Gans says, "before l/70th worth l/35th world FREDERICK G. 2009 New Haven 15, of payers this nation to Chapel St. : Conn, September 25, 1953. tax¬ demand . tion in rendering effective its 1952 campaign currency pledge convertible Gold of $70, an a to restore "a dollar to gold on basis" a — George A. Searight, member of the the National Association of Secu¬ to Standard, with the "value" the dollar fine ounce firmly fixed at $35 of gold. Opens New Office our Such forth¬ rities Dealers and of the has office at 115 new will do an Martin and more to restore confidence prevent further "inflation" the announced right action by the Administration of gold? and sociated Karl with P■ . sentence on $35 an G. Berg are Mr. Searight. why STATEMENT ounce —they are WARY OOE \2i>k MAIN STREET JOW OR so WARY OQe I2JH MA W STREET ANYTOWHV U.S.A. JOHN OR irrational." On carefully reading Mr. ANYTOWN, Gans' letter, however, I am strongly Frederick G. Shull re¬ checks CHECKS S AKAtVSiS cS«» I &OO0XO * $25X0 1 a««^us CHECKS CHECK: aST fOHwAso-^i minded of the i* 2 56 saying of the "pot calling the kettle black." Let's try to dis¬ cover just who is really the "ir¬ in one this tion the correctness ment that were 11X0- 33XQ- will ques¬ my state¬ of a 23.to- lb $00X0* . 30X0- 80X0- 70X0- —"a * UA813% 1*003X0 1,000X0*" 100X0- 2 0oaoo+ j' 600X0 ag¬ *0X0- 6oxc- 50*00- i ! 20X0- 10X0- $00X0 ■k "value" without causing all own¬ ers of dollar-assets to suffer loss heavy loss" in the 88X0- lliXO- 9?J0O~ very very mi i 77X0- the price of gold raised, all of us would heavy loss"; for you can't "raise" the price of gold without its automatically "lower¬ ing" the value of the dollar, it¬ self; and you can't lower that suffer 66XG- 55X0- 123^5+ to be "if 1Q0X0- 75X0- case: No informed person 5QX0~ E5-CO- old rational" 1 ; owt>sits 4 BAiAKCK - 2 8110 J zk \ &U3 $6 t*00 Z 26 j Mlo% I' gregate. Mr. Gans,asks: "Is he deluding himself is of the in was value same 1940?" that The (Shull)' the dollar today as it is: answer No, there is no delusion, whatever, in that view; for the dollar has never changed in "value" since it was set at be $35 an in ounce, the sure, 1934. outstanding of which the was ruthless "devaluation" of the dol¬ lar in 1933-34—and quite evident, like to see War which, Mr. Gans nomic to of would the to "supply mand"; but the dollar the the "purchasing dollar that shrunk—not had the 3 . Better being in favor "going on the Gold Standard," adding,-."but imagine if we were to do this, what would the results be." We regret that he didn't with us "rational" a ex¬ in Mr. Gans' letter are matters of chasing power"—which "value" versus largely "pur¬ we have already dealt with, herein. As his to fear that we support tory a can / swer: When we Gold jStandard the in "greenback" very a to the 1879, following era, there was $347 million of that paper-money I in circulation; and there about $130 million U. was only in gold in the . Neater records. Unaffected Cuts Costs. New standard other . . in clear . more Saves shortens training time productivity stationery. . . . . . . . . in experience of operator. or per not efficient obtainable under any of equipment . . . use machine. original .. . with original jour¬ eliminating all carbon records. use use of equipment of floor space ... ... in of personnel use in effectiveness of Proof-of- Posting Accuracy. * * * Savings vary according to system now in use but your National representative will gladly show you how much you can save in your bank with this advanced contribution to Checking Account posting. "Call him today ... for quick . realization of . mark #eo. w, a, i»at. ofv. . extraordinary savings. e/katumcU ACCOUNTING MACHINES S. Treasury. There were "doubters," predicting dire conse¬ quences, at that time; but the law re-establishing the right to ex¬ reduces Unusual savings in stationery... statement-ledger efficiency in . more combination form, both one nal by skiJI of economy, plan, through good an¬ returned . . personnel turnover. Maximum true gold standard—his¬ supply . simultaneous operation one simplicity of operation haven't sufficient gold, "in Fort Knox" to . , New planation of just what ."results" he had in mind, instead of leaving his readers to do the "imagining." The next few points elaborated all three in . t ever had before 7-way proof of post¬ ing accuracy ;gives CONTROL beyond any other posting plan. Mr. Gans admits of Unit Plan! Statement, Ledger and Journal proof than banks that of . new original print (no carbons). dollar. favor with never original records in 1 operation. of temporarily results specialized posting machine new de¬ devi¬ power" "value" ,.. . before possible—results you get only with National's new Unit Plan and National's can eco¬ and never Lower costs National's Now you can get ated from its "value" of $20.67 an ounce of gold. In other words, it was 50% V . it is from $1 rose $4—due law Neater records BANKS SAVE UP TO Back in Civil repeated. days, "wheat" bushel a Report better proof... To "purchasing power" of the dollar has shrunk, due to a combination of causes—the most AGOING MACHINES THE NATIONAL CASH REGISTER COMPANY, * ' a Broadway. E. S. gold should be . York, opening of is the price of Security Traders Association of New S hul l's r. J* fully esting to read M „> . . inter- letters SHULL Connecticut State Chairman Gold Standard League today—the be for the voters and devices Very truly yours, ($35), lowering the "value" highly-prized cur¬ the economic ob¬ most in other prompt action by the Administra¬ per¬ of the all would to of than lumped together. American Dollar—is not the prop¬ er solution. The best solution of gold, than he is with $35, dollar we? ounce worth But . rency . The Foreign Nations gold at the low price . of this to answer "Ironically says: can . Gold Standard, is to be very,"ir-^ question: Would the average rational," indeed. son be any better off with Gans govern¬ tain ounce—which is the "irra¬ an Mr. ments of strain, whatever, on the Treasury ! tional" price being strongly urged —the people wisely choosing rto;? by producers of gold, and others. keep their money in the bank, at That, of course, would, automati¬ interest, rather than "hoarded" as cally, * drop the "value" of the gold, at no interest. Today, we dollar from its present l/3§th of have a considerably higher ratio an ounce of gold to l/70th of an of gold to' circulating-currency i ounce—a loss of 50%. Gold being than in that earlier the one commodity recognized period—$22 by billion in gold, as against $30 bil- k the; world as a whole, as the best lion in currency;-and to say we, measure-of-value yet devised by haven't Editor: Commercial and Financial As enough, only the central * CASH MGISTW ' as¬ The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... i6 Thursday, October 1, 1953 (1238) of their loans—mainly long term comparison. During and for some rate., The exercise,of these powers affects all banks. Unless banks mortgages bearing relatively high time after the war, durable con¬ rates of income—and to the fact sumers" goods were not available have adequate reserves, they can¬ that their securities are of longer for purchase; but what was avail¬ not make loans of any type; and maturities yielding higher rates of able could be readily bought by their customers soon find it out. 23 Continued jrom page A Bankei Looks at the Cnnent Pictnre by this event except for affected pattern • indicate banks by classes assets of the return. of special signifi¬ a The character of loans at larger in spite of the turbance fact that plant capacity and skill were ample to meet the requirements of the, Korean War and those of our the the of consumers. the itself was It was original blow of World War II great has that our But the impact on banking structure no consequence. volcanic cut in craters social life. In spite of dismal predictions of depression and unemployment, the forces of our were economy quickly rearranged and redirected so that our productive activity turned up early in 1946 and has been going ever up ^ince. Com¬ banks also have met this mercial They gradually have investing institutions changeover. ceased to be and again business have become lenders to individuals. and loans Bank banks. national What this analysis shows is that banks in larger indus¬ cities have moved into the $26 billion at the beginning of 1946 to a large volume of $65.5 the larger billion in June, 1953. lending Their hold¬ ings of government securities, on the other hand, have declined steadily from $90 billion to $58 billion. This does not the national debt mean that trial business faster than the so-called country banks. More one-half than their of assets at present are in loans, while assets at country banks are still about is declining; on 60% in securities, chiefly govern¬ the contrary, if anything, it has ments, and only 40% in loans. Be¬ expanded further as the present cause of the heavy market de¬ difficulty in balancing the budget preciation, especially longer term indicates. certainly go Nor that the banking mean back to prewar it does system will of amounts governments, it is extremely dif¬ ficult to to switch investment from lending without taking sub¬ capital losses. This con¬ stantial government securities in their portfolios. A substantial part of dition in turn affects bank the national continue banks assist the in must the will bank public not be in to managing debt, particularly i n huge maturities—al¬ the next Changes but prepared $8 billion 5 of these within only portfolios, also Treasury refinancing most debt in 12 the are due months. structure and fective, 'A Rise The ef¬ well us j . . Debt of great monetary and credit expansion had war Equipment in to be replaced. very all of as Credit—Rise of homes. homes old indeed, know. number of new needed equipment to their stock System have been serve increasing families are period during and also has raised since the search¬ some New automobiles the assembly , for from An We going through just such a right now. The general during^ credit powers of the Federal Re¬ had began to roll off ing questions about our total in¬ lines; they were debtedness and its burden on the greatly needed because few of economy. Its magnitude is trulythem came on the market during colossal. The private and public the war. This was the beginning debt now totals about $640 bil¬ banks. When we go back to 1929 but only by borrowing from other of the rapid growth of consumer lion, or close to $4,000 for every and earlier years, of course we banks—a practice to be watched find that the proportion of loans credit, and commercial banjcs man, woman, and child. It is more by scrutinizing the borrowers' fi¬ to loans and investments was at or nancial recognized their own market po¬ than twice as large as out national positions. tential in financing time purchases income this year. well over 70%. Term loans, secured by real es¬ ; of consumers. The proportion of total invest¬ The Federal public debt on Aug. tate, mortgages and ground rents ment naturally gives us the op¬ In the second place, large as the 31, 1953, exceeded $273 billion as owned, chattel mortgages and posite relationship. At central re¬ dollar volume of instalment credit compared with the postwar low conditional sales, and leaseholds serve city banks, the ratio in 1952 of $255 billion in June, 1951, and as in the case of gasoline stations appears to be, it is only about 9% was 47%; at reserve city banks, of total personal income after the war high of almost $279 bil¬ and chain stores, are in the nature 52%; at country banks, 60%; and taxes. This is about the same pro¬ lion at the end of 1945. The total of capital loans and constitute at all national banks, 55%. In as it was in the late private debt since the war more intermediate bank investment, if portion 1945 these ratios were: for larger than doubled, rising from $155 they are amortized within 10 twenties, when the dollar figures banks, 73-79%; for country banks, were much smaller. The propor¬ billion to an estimated $330 bil-~ years or less, as is usually the lion. Obviously, this is an enor¬ 84%; and for national banks, 80%. tion of buying on instalment thus case. " Holdings of government securities has caught up with but not dis¬ mous rise of our total national Perhaps the most spectacular by all banks in both years consti¬ which was made possible torted the former relationship to debt expansion since the war has oc¬ tuted by far the greatest propor¬ through our large resources and curred in loans to individual con¬ to total expenditures by the con¬ tion of total investments—about an efficient banking and credit sumers. sumers. The total volume of con¬ 90%. In 1929 securities made up Finally, past experience shows mechanism. sumer instalment credit has in¬ less than 25% for larger banks, Some of us are alarmed by this creased almost five times—from that in time of any serious set¬ 33% for country banks, and 30% back in economic activity, the expansion, while others are $4.2 billion at the end of 1946 to rapidly expanded he sult of increased income city banks has become increas¬ war activities. But, with the end ingly diversified. Many of them of the war, goods began to flow no longer fall into the old grooves to the market which was hungry and classifications. Many soto fill up the deferred demands. called commercial loans are of violent, short-lived price infla¬ cance. In 1952 the proportion of tion, which was superinduced by loans to loans and investments at semi-capital nature in the sense frightened consumers and busi¬ central reserve city banks roughly that they are not paid out of the nessmen. Faced with the possibil¬ was about 50%, while at country proceeds resulting from the sea¬ ity of a third World War, they banks it was only 40% and at all sonal conversion and marketing rushed to buy everything, in sight national banks it was 45%. In 1945 of goods but continued on the to protect themselves against these ratios were about 25% for books over longer periods through shortages. The large amount of the larger banks, 16% for country constant renewals, with some re¬ liquid assets on hand enabled banks, and 20% for national ductions or even total repayments them to create a substantial dis¬ a with large amounts on hand as a re¬ consumer cash of earn¬ ings directly because the rate of return than on that This rent securities is much lower on of billion 1953. Commercial about had 42% banks of July, liquidation in July ment loans of these loans or instal¬ prompted to make a more sober ef¬ analysis of its true meaning. But of other all of us recognize the significance but that the de¬ of the swollen debt for banking of consumer goes on much fectively than in the more case was close to types of credit, 14% of their total loans. This was mand for new instalment billion, $8.7 an increase which almost of 460%, or five and one-half times since 1946. The tude expansion in this of magni¬ credit consumer has declines drastically. their buying curtail credit In and borrow¬ total ing. For that matter, commercial also cut down borrowers business. and Consumers their on its magnitude, the to national of spite relation in debt income does not appear to of line with be out previous records, ex¬ their business vol¬ cept for the last World War. Vir¬ tually all of this debt is internally mand for bank credit thus ag¬ held, so that there can be no sud¬ event of a serious business let¬ gravates the situation, and the den heavy drain on our resources down or recession, incomes will banks are helpless as they cannot from abroad. Barring another ma¬ decline and consumers will be un¬ extend where there is no demand jor war and inflationary excesses, able to meet their obligations. It for it the present volume of debt seems seems to me that this fear is based Some would have our credit to be manageable and digestable largely on rationalization rather authorities control the volume of if we can keep our economy and than experience. The facts cer¬ instalment credit at all times to income going in high gear. tainly indicate it to be the case. The management of the public its overextension. We In the first place, it is unreal¬ prevent is rapidly improving after have made two attempts at such debt istic to make comparisons with a control—one during World War years of ineptitude and bad plan¬ the volumes during the war or II and the other shortly after the ning. We are attempting to spread immediately after it. The figures outbreak in Korea. Both turned out our maturities in order to re¬ in that period were very low, and out to be rather unhappy, and duce the present inflationary vol¬ any contrast of the present figures ume of short term or floating debt. both were abandoned. naturally gives an exaggerated The basic reasons for this We are making strenuous efforts abandonment were: (a) the re¬ to balance the budget and, next, quirement of certain down-pay¬ to build annual surpluses in order created much quarters. It is concern in some feared that in the borrowings, as drop. Reduction in the de¬ umes . loans. is not to say ratio banks at the end $20.9 that the cur¬ earnings at country is .not as high as at larger banks; ion' the contrary, in some instances it is even higher, But this is due largely to the character proved to be to begin reducing the debt as we regulation of trade prac¬ should to lessen its burden and to tices rather the selective control prepare ourselves for any unforemergencies. To service al of credit; (b) the administration seeri of the regulation was cumber¬ public debt of the size we now have and to meet defense require¬ some, and the enforcement of its ments means large tax revenues, violations was wellnigh impossible ments and maturities a Hcmca de New York Agencies better without setting up elaborate ma¬ chinery and a large corps of Fed¬ eral agents; and (c) purchasers producers objected to the and regulation vigorously that Con¬ so therein and lies the and individual for real burden business tax¬ It goes without saying that taxes must continue at high payers. our rates if we to service the debt are properly and make the necessary finally cancelled the author¬ provisions for its gradual reduc¬ ity for this control, thereby re¬ tion. There is no escape from these storing a free market for con¬ gress stern sumers' goods. in specific controlling credit of economic ac¬ instalment pur¬ areas such tivity, as chases and real estate, have been extensively debated. Call to expedite arguments. In ... your controls "your letter of or economy and end of the war low level was at the that the rate of so its expansion since then is greatly overstated, particularly in relation, to overall productive activity. But business ings individual and could borrow¬ be IN NEW YORK CITY all Dlgby 4-1140 153 Eost 116th St.—Phone: can be ef¬ lated the to legitimate needs of business, it sustains the economic It seems to me that the existing growth, enlarges job opportuni¬ general control powers over bank ties, and makes higher living credit are adequate to influence standards possible. If loans are transactions. 51 Brood way—Phone: regulations or fectively enforced. collection anco ENright 9-3425 de A once Ponce, Son luon, Moyaguez, Arecibo, Guoyomo^ayey, Utuodo, Sonturce, (oguos, (obo Roio, Arroyo, Aibonito, Aguirre ability and Federal YOUR LINK WITH PUERTO : : • Member ' ■' /*! - ■: Federal Deposit RICO ; :V : insurance Corporation of types these powers PONCE, FUE1TO HICO IN PUIftTti RICO free relatively a disturbing if they should expand faster than the controls are distasteful to the total economic activity or ability people. Without full acceptance to repay these borrowings. If and cooperation of the people, no credit is properly used and re¬ credit requests credit a at its markets, all specific and direct Puerto Rico Market or is, at There present, little use in rehashing the on us in New York requirements. private debt The volume of The merits of expand ' . bank situations. Broadly, deal with the avail¬ cost Reserve or of credit. authorities The can contract the volume of credit through open-market operations and changes in bank reserve also requirements. tighten of credit by \ or They can relax the control changing the discount efficiently uidated in administered and liq¬ a systematic manner, there should be no ous of cause for seri¬ let alone alarm, be¬ concern, cause the rate at which our credit has expanded since the war. Perhaps the most disconcerting feature of the private debt struc¬ ture has been proportion of the continued business dis¬ equity vNumber 5260;.. The Commercial and Financial Chronicle Volume 178 (1239) 27 indus- though , . . . capital issues . 1946 has-been since . , .j « ■ - ■ basic considerations. — . banks reasonably well capitalonly about 13%. Such a small- The primary purpose af capital ized, there are undoubtedly many proportion of equity. financing accounts is to provide a cushion banks whose capital structures means that our business is buildGf protection to the creditors of are low in relation to their deing inflexible debt service charges banks. Since bank liabilities are posit liabilities and risk assets, that may be unduly burdensome payable in a fixed amount of dol- The solution in such cases obin the event of any prolonged iars> the burden of fluctuation in viously is to increase capital funds business recession. Whatever the asset value falls on capital struc- or reduce the volume of risk astemporary advantages of debt fi- ture. Capital funds must be suf- sets. Since no bank would want nancing, it seems to be a dubious fjcjent t0 absorb losses without to withdraw from lending acpolxcy not to seek proprietary or un(iue strain and yet not so large tivities and hold a lot of idle cash, Tisk capital and thus achieve flexas unduly reduce earnings. This the alternative is to raise its able positions to meet the uncerjs the core 0f the problem under- capital through (a) the retention -7 Y^ture. -In the changed pout- iyjng bank capital acal climate, it is hoped that sound ^ ™^dSSsh?rt?vCind Continued' in adequacy"oi - -^ith a ^relatively stable price orderly production and levei; ^ marketing ■ an e^ate, am ine stocK mantel, tne iyzu s, mgn incomes ana tjonaj ratjos tjve . _ are apt to be defec- because standards added protection to banks, m re- stockholders, the concept of these *ssue to its /rt\ tUn own nnlA : I.. 1 _i. or j_ _ have no its are not large enough to acsatisfactory celerate the growth of capital in really we or earnings after taxes. At best, prof- even nliiHc tVia nQoanroc n tr> n Kit maono The fact structure • - posits had to be abandoned when , Finally, . national wealth, in our than the debt, Pnvate financial positions of consumers and businesses, while less a little while ago, con¬ tinue strong. If the economy is to ^ lt i0 grow, we should expect even further growth in private debt or The secret of this growth lies in prudent handling of credit by the lenders the and of the borrowers to capacity liquidate their obligations. this growth a pot Under of signify economic trary, credit condition, debt or serious any stability; need threat the on it should indicate nomic growth potential to con¬ the eco¬ and pros¬ Tensil Strength of Banks Commercial banks deficient from the strong and in a the tomers. of on page 7 : their capital struc- Efforts to find other measuring devices were then switched to ratios that related to assets which reflect gains and losses rather fban a flxed liability as deposits do* a resuffi we now have ^veraJ. approaches. One is to use 5 ? ? capital funds to total a^sets. A bank is supposed to lack adequate funds if its ratio falls below the national average. But how good is the national average as a guide? There are likely to be great extremes in such an av¬ of Their assets of the United last war Another emphasis is on the im- portance of the relationship tween capital funds and risk beas- sets, which are defined as "assets whold" other than cash and government their the on .cus- in the obliga- securities." The assumed ratio is $x of capital funds to every States Treas- $6 of risk assets., Query: is there high quality. are ratios. position to good demands investments still tions in Most of their no risk attached to government securities with fluctuating market 15%—are wholly or par- values? Is it prudent to count guaranteed or insured by them as substitutes for cash re- A goodly proportion of their Joans—estimated at $10 billion or xtry. about tially the Federal Government. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insures a maximum of $10,000 for each sured depositor in an in- most tections is surance important of all of System. sort," of the Federal "lender under the existence the As Federal and as- Reserve of modified FederaL pro- last re- provisions Act, the Reserve Reserve Banks provide broad discounting facilities so that under stress obtain member funds asset that meet the them. As banks against they any may demands hold made and upon constituted, the Re¬ provides a great credit bulwark against the uncertain future. Many of its parts can serve be its now System and should be improved, but unique framework, independand philosophy should be ence, foundation of any com¬ rating, loans or guar- Government or its agencies, or toans secured by government securities or by cash surrender value °f life insurance. Used as a standard, th*s ratio obviously would be misleading and would produce spurious results, According to still another test, commercial bank has adequate hasis if it has $1 of capital funds f° $14 of total assets and $1 of 3 capital funds to $4 of risk assets. Other ratios also are The services of main office, branches, and correspondents of Guaranty Trust Company are at your disposal. Complete facilities available to meet every are banking need. used to sup¬ plement this test. But what if one Please feel free to consult with us. ratio is favorable and another unfavorable? The use of ratios, singly °r in combination, cannot produce a reliable standard guide because vigorously guarded. The grade anteed or insured by the Federal can sound determined a standard degree of risk in other earning assets? — for example, short term municipals of the highest bank. But Or is there serves? be relations in each different. ratio may Guaranty / The central difficulty with these bank, of course, lies in its capital structure—capital, surplus, attempts at measurement is that we have no uniform definition of undivided profit, and reserves. mercial : Total capital accounts of all mercial banks on June 24 com¬ this • year were lion, estimated at $13.2 bil¬ or over 8% of deposit liabil- Trust sets. But even formulate if it were inclusive of New York possible concepts ities.' These accounts have grown and contrive new ratios, we wouldi substantially in the past 14 years, be using mechanical gadgets chiefly from the retention of prof- t° measure fluid situations, its, but their growth has not kept The problem- of bank capital: pace with that of other factors. , adequacy seems to be a matter of While- total capital funds in- judgment, reached after a careful! creased 91% between 1939 and 1953, deposits expanded 181% and loans and investments 237%. Con- study of assets. and their Capital Funds $380,000,000 140 Broadway, New York 15 Fifth Ave.«t 44th St. - - broad national averages at 60th St. New York 21 Rockefeller Plaza 4it 30th St. New-York 20 haviour under strained conditions, No Madison Are. New York 36' be-j - LONDON 32 Lombard St., B.C. 3 can sequently, the relationship of cap- resolve this problem. Only each ital to deposits and earning assets individual bank, with intelligent has. declined., Similarly, the ratio guidance, can solve it; and it; of capital funds to total assets has* sKould ' b< be the responsibility of Company the adequacy of bank capital and no uniform definition of risk as¬ to vBusb House, W.C. 2 ' PARIS BRUSSELS 4 Place de la-Concorde - probre- Responsible now. ^ure generally have emerged are it Continued erage, and these extremes may impair the validity of the average perity. meet - doing are have Investors are banks bank deposits became greatly inflated. If that standard had been liquid than credit. . continued, some of the strongest prices, has banks would have appeared to be real terms and current m°re evprv^inVrip l cently have increased their capital structures through successful flotations of stock, and many of them With respect to selling bank stock, there are, of course, many difficulties, though they are not SmS?™ to a 3 and assets- National banks and been slow to buy it because it does *Yiuirttain that means -Tx withholding so much idle cash the selling of bank stock under changed conditions. ably exaggerated. Many relation to the growth of deposits insurmountable. ga°ni stocks, rate, the less desirable is the stock. reserves has been changed to in- years canftai°funds outstanding now because bank liquid earning assets, i stocks is based primarily on earnWhile originally the purpose of ings. The higher the rate of earnrequired reserves was to| give ings, the better; the lower the bencb marks for reference. The credit act their own vaults without earning low anything. This reduces their creased capital dilutes stockworking substance and limits holders' equity, reduces earnings earnings. Many nonmember banks, per share, and increases the divion the other hand, are permitted dend burden, to put a part of their reserves into The market appraisal of all should support good business and private bank - not most part, are selling betheir book values, and in- cent ^ in —s „ pust carry large amounts of cash ate as in the form of reserves immobil- slow to *ze<J at the Reserve Banks and in for the additional stock of goods; absence of, ^ national averages. But even on earning assets, it is difficult to imduespeculatiori in inventories, ^ Qr individual banks,'.the tradi- add much to capital funds from real as ~ strong capital strong equity is ' capitef finds" should (c) the sate of capital stock to elude the reserves as a means by often ignored by many stockbe handled on the individual case- the public, or (d) a combination of which the Reserve System can holders who buy shares on the by-case method because variations these methods. control the supply of bank credit, basis of high earning rates rather |n sj^ g^gj.gpjjicai i^jcations " Even with conservative * divi- Perhaps jt is high time to take than on equity, ban^s impair the significance dend policies and higher returns an?,^e^ flt this subject of But the difficulties incident to ~ > of profits, (b) structures. The problem of adequacy or in- • are deprecifast either. Bankers also are - , :^ y 27 A*venue des Arts Memfar Mwl Deposit 4m*twtc*Xo*p»f*tia» 28 28 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (1240) Continued jrom paid 27 page aI tlflfe Cheap help is the most expensive supply the funds ■ , managements cordingly.- tors Bank an must management know the to board officers and and interests to of community every risk direc¬ the public in expect the of their legiti¬ assets. and ors protect their serve structures low are in rela¬ tion to their deposit liabilities and They Business and individuals well. to do it; in other words, pr0p0ses look both what it is trying to do and how it . , . important part ot banK assets. The underlying idea such tablish and operate a bank. Bank ital necessary to es¬ directors should recognize this truism and act ac¬ help. Current Picture directors and "This is the essence of sound and individuals. They are rea¬ most efficient sonably well capitalized, although builder of banking policies and practices." there are many banks whose Stockholders and good will. cap¬ depositors help and the greatest public confidence and Cll llftV A Bankei Looks at the bank the is help Thursday, October 1, 1953 ... „ steps such direct¬ cases, managements should take increase to funds In through profits, their the capital retention of stock issues to their new stockholders or the sale of stock banks to take care increase risk musj- dearly know what its obif, in ,their pf such an extension is that banks, jec^ves are ancj what policies it mate financial requirements to the public, or a combination of Only a all these methods. Accumulations judgment, the strength and ca¬ as quasi-public i n s 111 u 11 o n,^sbQUid follow. Probably no one promptly and efficiently. of valuation reserves help to pacity to serve the public should charged with sensitive responsi- ^as se^. f^^ this task more clearly competent management can meet bilities, should be permitted to ^an cushion of pro¬ be raised. £-rsj. Comptroller of the these demands and follow the ad¬ strengthen the In addition to capital funds, supplement their capital strength Currencyj Hugh McCullough, in vice given by Hugh McCullough tection, and the present formula for establishing reserves for pos¬ there also are other ways to or cushion of protection in every 1863> in his letter to all national 90 years ago. sible loan losses should be revised banks. What strengthen the capacity of banks. way possible. Good management will Hugh McCullough should hesitate not to their capital structures The most important method is to ■accumulate 1 v a u a t i o n reserves possible loan losses. A policy should be to certain pro¬ against bank sound Some the could or portion of earnings in the form of term for bad loans. the Under Dec. 8, 1947, on Com¬ Revenue on banks were per¬ accumulate tax de¬ loss at limited of losses fixed a and use experience, knowledge, wisdom, and foresight that are so ma^e sound loans, tire in uc- to feave of made this loan for reserves losses. posits relatively greater use of it would be to strengthen capiOver eightstructures of or tal many smaller prosper, method. in dollar of these banks of all such the of reserves represents over 70% tant «h you shall bave you (1) in view the of of size maturities the arid ultimate outmoded. It is based on the 20-year moving -average of loans and losses. As we •frrirn banks for its successful financing. Jhowever, move is away becoming Good Bank „ of the 1930's and move toward the , , Banking , Problems of capital funds, valuation reserves, quality of assets, of large loans and relatively email losses, the ceiling for valua¬ personnel, efficient operations and years tion declines. reserves The for¬ and -welcome the establishment of a result formula, This also could valuation be re¬ extended to investments, which make up serves bank of men It and will to women run Pay them compensate them the sound well on principle that the well- is not in highest as truce. market A them of man dubious accordance banking their cession. a But We in be in in of are a will (2) credit Bank sinews the for the bank credit have is credit the tight that though rates they are stage same of the and business cycles in the past. Federal Reserve policy has The procedures. been flexible, and its general ef¬ the on thus far has economy wholesome. It conditions. ness the total its be can now in Influence volume primary be of credit should Within task. its maintaining the integrity of the dollar. CORRESPONDENT their assets World War during II. in since and During ex¬ the HAMILTON NATIONAL... valued association which became less furnish the best the than The loans. further, of volume character and their diver¬ but overall the sustained, despite creased costs and high taxes. ings trial! well In (4) consequence monetary our credit and in¬ national debt, public and pri¬ The bur¬ den of servicing this debt is heavy but manageable if we can main¬ tain our production, employment, and income at high levels. Our HAMILTON , NATIONAL BANK more has wealth national than the debt, increased strong. MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT RESERVE SYSTEM INSURANCE CORPORATION The task is difficult, but escape from it if our is no individual banks ing system as a vide financial the and whole bank¬ to pro¬ are leadership and the credit necessary sinews for the growth and prosperity of our pri¬ vate economy and of the people. Ralph W. Davis Go. Formed in and 111. CHICAGO, with — Chicago A firm new address starts business new a today (Oct. 1) in Chicago's finan¬ cial district. Ralph W. Davis & Co. its opens doors Street Adams York and changes West commences Dealer in the New Stock Ex¬ on Midwest 45 over listed known 180 at and Registered Specialist as Odd-Lot and nationally securities. General partners of the firm Ralph W. Davis, New York man Barr merly member Stock and Exchange; Scott are of Davis, partners of Paul H. the Ly¬ for¬ Davis & Co., and Mr. Alfred E. Turner. Together, these partners have a cumulative total of 87 years of membership on the Midwest Stock Exchange. Mr. Leon Wheeler is a limited partner. Ralph W. Davis has been close¬ ly associated Stock with Exchange is He it he is from 1945 and Board to 1947, the as Exchange. Stock cago years. of the known was Midwest many Governor Chairman as Governors when the for former a served Chi¬ Currently Regional Governor of the a Association the of New, York Exchange Member Firms. Barr is Governor a Chairman of the the mittee of E. Turner, ernor, is mittee on many and ViceCom¬ Midwest Exchange. a former Gov¬ member a of the Com¬ Floor The -firm cialist Stock Lyman Executive Alfred is Procedure. registered Odd-Lot and as Spe¬ Dealer in stocks, including: American fi¬ Copper, Bastian-Blessing, Bendix Aviation, Continental Motors, General Electric, General Motors, Illinois Central, Oak Marshall Manufacturing. Pennsylvania Field, Packard, Railroad, Pure Oil, Thor Corporation, Trane and U.S. Steel. The large growth of debt need not signify any Two With credit or serious FEDERAL there nancial positions of businesses and individuals in general continue " MEMBER ployees. Telephone & Telegraph, Anaconda of great expansion, vate, has risen greatly. CHATTANOOGA, TENNESSEE Bank operations, serv¬ customers, and goodwill of public depend upon the qual¬ ity of personnel, officers and em¬ to the quality has been relatively high and earn¬ a the selection and training of bank sity of their loans have changed in individualized service. invite di-' should war, investing institu¬ tions; and even their loans were largely made to help war financ¬ ing. But since the war, they again have turned to lending so that their holdings of securities, in¬ cluding governments, now are they We bank bank objectives and They should work out definite policies and programs for of (3) Commercial banks have perienced significant shifts RELATIONSHIP AT THE to good crystallize over and ability it should assist power THING AS A ROUTINE challenge Both management long result still lower than at the the THERE IS NO SUCH a and means build policies. exceeding interest and even The de¬ and been with risen activity war. has supply, provided economic of funds term • offers is responsibility directors. bank rectors operations services. has during and since the mand be is to be expected in free as markets for goods and been a of To is the management re¬ easily adjusted to changes in busi- account is management financing. the serious any Competition good. strong, fect Every Good busi¬ a buyers' mar¬ ket; and upon completion of the correction, business again should integrity standards it inven¬ the turn over not in result may but year of extrav- with present'form foreshadow adjustments setback ness are bank, a pro¬ somewhat Korean stock justments making method defense changes in prices, decline the of "Pursue a straightforward, upit possible responsible for bank management. right> legitimate banking busi:for them to continue building this An effective management will ness. Be not tempted by prospects additional protection and strength. mobilize an effective corps of of large gains to do anything that inew income, peacetime in farm income, and the behavior people, directors who the of certain g^llc Relations are the responsi- boards of bank The changed be may and ioyaity should not be tolerbility of bank management. Upon ated as aQbank officer or an emapplicable over a long period of the quality of management depi0yeee. yearfe within certain limitations pends the quality of the bank, its "Through capital funds and regarding the total of such re¬ growth and development. This otherwise, make your institution serves. I understand that consider¬ point is so self-evident that it str0ng to protect your depositors ation is already being given to need not be belabored here. But and stockholders; to secure for it this subject; and banks should it should be driven hard with the j.be confidence of the mula should be revised and made at tories, prices, costs, as well as in productive processes. These ad¬ require habitS) been develop bank of£i. enHre services. agant employment, must go on, though its form gram Juc£ salaries as will and respectenable them to live comfortably abiy; shows corrective and (6) sound ice influences sense of responsibility. i „ picture current levels. record reservation high character, ability, and cers Management Means Sound from the heavy losses npirti^fln ..SelPect dependence of the Treasury upon under on business boom continues. Production, our this ruling, formula The depends Conclusions and and trade have prosper, some The that the "Protect your independence of public debt, its lopsided schedule judgment and action. Keep aloof of reserves. system Summary banks, and to encourage more about the integrity of a customer, $50' million stable and fluid market for gov- s^0p dealing with him and close ernment securities. This is imporreserves; and the bis account. amount banking en¬ its becoming obsolete. personnel. of excess bad-debt reputation of the and thus would be mine-tenths of the banks with de¬ bave The turn, depends upon the quality of the management. investments. market with cordance action. performance of individual banks—14,000 of them; and the quality of that performance, in changes, "Diversify your loans and inself-adjustable, vestments to avoid undue concenBut not all banks have taken ad¬ The formula could be first ap- tration. Control your discounts, vantage of this ruling. At the end plied to government securities in- and do n0^ permit borrowers to of 1952, only 45% of all insured asmuch as their depreciation haa eontrol your policies, -commercial banks had established been relatively large and beyond "Work with your customers such reserves. The larger banks the control of banks. The effect ci0sely and intimately. If they mitted ductible and the capacity, and way 0f repayment. Avoid These speculative plunges in loans and fluctuate and success and be sure the borrowers have the will, judgment, in because for sound credit analy¬ necessary sis, percentage depreciation. or would reserves develop is "Learn to know your customers, time, could one any to bankers early thoroughly applicable to us of the out to include present day. Let me brief you on based on losses some of his admonitions: depreciation of longer securities. The total of such be those to reserves, the reserves, ruling of the of Internal missioner worked be valuation reserves set aside each year a reserves loan of in said formula, as practical case ity. threat to economic stabil¬ It should indicate the growth potential of (5) InnnrA (Special our economy. Commercial oonoAiTv Tn banks SAN C. are to now ment Managed Inv. Financial FRANCISCO, Schick possess The and with Homer Chronicle) Cal.-^John D. Managed Wilson Invest¬ Programs, 41 Sutter Street. Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and (Financial Chronicle ... (1241) from are 18 page at work. be Continued settling New starts may thus somewhat lower to levels, and at the The Outlook fox Interest Rates liance upon borrowing at the FedReserve" era! this, ed particularly was with the Many bankers regard- payments steadily increasing. reflected also the summer lull in are tov^avl are of the basic functions of the Fed- in eral Reserve demands seasonal mg Their the concern fact that for credit, increased by was member Reserve was in- expected was the second half of the year. in firming of yields especially to Not ate borrowings expected to new 1953 this financial some Federal the fostered that the quarters Reserve in belief bent was on on stantially, that it w a s almost completely disinterested in the problems of the Treasury, and that the latter a The Treasury's cash requirements may also be lower in 1954, eiate. Because of the increasing substa^ al but huge o«ermgs by the Treasury s borrowing requirements through the first prospect. in of competition af rising private borrowers 2? authorities with With heavy in- ^t b>ond prices will be und AUythei six months of calendar 1954 will probably be less than in the corre- engendered increasing contributed the evaporation market confidence. to Furthermore, led to these increased funds, downward demands for in pressures costly, more manage- perhaps or wholly unavailable. Marginal borrowers were encouraged to enter the security rowers^ • markets, bor- many sought to anticipate their their banks with a view to cover- ing possible future needs. Para^ • 11 , i„> ■doxieally enough, therefore, high„ interest rates had, at least tern- •er move ip,!pu. Jreasu^ in below 1953 levels, factor, age st that business J*™ su™eys suggest thabu w 11]iena 10 exoand soending pa*! , remain a substantial Yu savings for rerentmonth^aT a mpmnb^dw th t t ' ^a^', Wllll.„ wnn.ii tivitv u In |■ - .w hp t-u contributed L-uiiLiiuutuu nf nificanr^ the Treasury The lower prices of agricul- ably result in less of a seasonal pected even to net remain ;n at PVPnt nf large may. be oorate Obviously, if a decline in personal income should nronortions some g j kely to decline, and in the Fnr however, inflow of Qnme de- no funds the major savings institutions pears in sight. Weighing these corporand to ap- " the Qf jnvestment demands yields However the however, ine in fact pro- imim be surPrising f°r oet demands ?or ?^a"ds for if funds m 1954 moderately moderately nomic a^tivity remains levels. If Ff® conditions forU!f protraJ^ v°jum^ of funds is accruing "o buXess "o'ut'TVpVciation 6and other noncash charges ^"nnfnf and out of the next 12 months reinvested for comes more and bond establish- estaonsn- Market the to if it even even de- eeo- eco- rash avniiahie in short- credit. The large growth of busiquar- 19J52 is. not expected to be repeated this year. Nor is the exPansion in consumer and real estate lQans likely to aggregate as much as in the closing months of & 10(_0 financing will «««££ were bills totaling offered. This $4.5 pros- pect reflects the recent failure of Congress to raise the statutory debt limit. The Treasury may be able to meet its requirements through the end of 1953 by drawing down its cash balance. How- extremely tight conditions ever, it will probably prefer to avoid an excessive drain on its ket in the second quarter, me in- xunas ana xnereiore kci in me secona quarter. The in- funds and therefore may raise new vestment of liquid funds, by cor- money with: vestment of within the limit of the norations and in the money others in mar- short- term Governments further helped around reduce business enr- have obligations or to reduce their reliance upon bank anticipation The Outlook for the Money 0f more investment New Treasury clearly evident. he term Governments billion , Business 'therefore ter tod1 if waM either should ron cSnSeems"o be?ha'twea?e invest- may crease aftermath ness inventories in the last passing through the cvclical peak somewhat of crease its eco- various nom;c trends and factors some further rise in 1954. that prevailed long-term and substantiallv exneeterf in year, when versely affected by the steel strike ;s ahead likelv are last porations he the second half of they were, ad- H Start balance, however, it would not nwi dwindiinff sja_ profits diminution in the rate of savings +n about higher than in the over the next year The measures adopted by the Borrowings by state and Federal Reserve and the Treasury governments and authori- in June and July were soon re?iesV on the other hand' are not fleeted in a significant relaxation anv in oftheirtaxes more some de- owners borrowers 10% ex- incomes. assume means mnHpratP a business contraction and cline in ments under the Mills plan that corporations have naid first half of. the year than was the high levels ease in 1952. Furthermore, corbe may ' or so. On amortization has nab j harbinger eLtoment^neat^vear gidin, business, home tf the 1954~ ment funds deoline ^ a equipment ^cal for capital orders institutions the investment, markets ^AeAQi5- .In Usur?mary .therefore, a^e ?smaller ^^av^eTnprospect p :? p the bond Many corporate in continue to increase. Furthermore, the exnerience of 1949 smmests the flow of funds available may be show^ome ^rSrpro^^is^to'be^made^in the ments, as well as some state and local authorities, apparently hastened to expedite them borrowings lest new financing become even some time they may f101 conditions intensifying thereby market. of amount of new financing ,, Looking beyond the turn o in prospect also for the second present lndications are that half of 1954, compared with the ^man(^s f01, inv®fi ® ??me Pen°d of the current year. *be aggregate will remain larg However, it is clear that the inter- anxiety regarding the future and make progress toward balancing budget, a somewhat lower piessure iuture- o°fnth°e intenUons been as vestment demands concentrated spending period of 1953. Furthermonths over a short penod it is kely more, if the Treasury continues to about to undertake was program * Personal income has tors. tural commodities and greater use of Government loans, will prob- . aredci,reC/iptS in be he first half of the calendar year, f tightening credit further and sub- these of half-year periods. crease All both • states, municipalities, turnpike auare in ly to be restrained by several fac* ide^fal^gage^fbTntxTy'ear ^^g^th^r^d'pS 'the I^financTcrop moTme^ * be SOmeWhat bd°W —' *^ ^ prospe^ ln1t^d^101^hst a^ad' borrowings is expected to be modalready led to some although any reduction in market borrowings, substantial seasonal a in bank loans crease bor- encouraging banks to reduce these and that bank high, that the Fed- rowings were eral meet- in amounts same Consequently, and this has to assist was insurance companies, on the other hand, have risen by about the The new still higher toy have statement as conflicting been for a good many yeais.. A prevailing view that one large volume of new financing is disturbing amortization gage time mort- same 29 helped money offset market rates; it also part of the squeeze debt ceiling .. At ?.Tng" the present time subject to the limit the debt is'around $3 on o£its. These factors should deteriorate in next l2 months or S0, requir so, requireor ments for investment funds wou be nJaterial!y sr"a"erJ the normaTseasoLrexpansio^in JiaMssues11^ Government5, SSd "Z! UnZZTnS X trust ra^S fe faLPreciabaly, be" Presumably, of savings bonds"and investment funds, low their levels of May and June, notes. Qn balance, therefore, the the other hand is likely to be and in fact have averaged some- Treasury may be able to raise wel1 maintained. Current savings what lower than in the early perhaps $2 billion, but not much are at record levels a"d the sav- months of this year. However, more jn new money over the re. Tl?e fl°w expected to reduce corup* borrowings in 1954. security financ- y ings institutions are accumulat- medium-term rates are only mainder of 1953- thi<? would hp ing in the aggregate. This spurt Housing starts have shown some jng funds rapidly. Mutual savings slightly lower than at midyear about one-half the amount borin new financing was a further ^akn.e,s® mo" ..-S bank deposits have increased 15% and so far show a rise for the year i„cf e 10{-0 ■cause of the rapid drop in bond difficult to determine whether this more jn tbe first half of 1953 than as a whole. rowed in the last quarter of 1952. prices. ' reflects the relatively high level d-d jn tjie same period of Business needs for bank credit B: the Treasury decides to underAs the squeeze in credit condi- of starts last winter, congestion in 2952; for savings and loan associa- tend to rise seasonally in the take a new offering, it will pretions showed signs of assuming the secondary mortgage markets, ^ons> tbe figure is close to 25%. latter part of the year, but the insumably favor short-term obligamajor proportions, the Federal or a real easing in the demand for Time deposits of commercial crease in commercial bank loans .Reserve departed from its previ- housing: probably several factors banks and admitted assets of life over the next few months is likeContinued on page 30 ous neutral attitude, and early in 'May it began to provide reserves 7 ~ " porarily, stimulating effect a the volume of on ^ , , , . ~T to the July market. money By billion had $1.1 over 'furnished in this dramatic ure -bank .about in and the significant Board late more meas¬ in reduced June, WINSTtD ■nut member requirements reserve $1.2 been A manner. announced was when early '*■ OFFERING .r by A WIDELY ACCEPTED billion, effective early July.. Around the to remove ties same time, in order of the some CORRESPONDENT uncertain¬ the credit overhanging mar¬ SERVICE kets, the Treasury announced that -it raise would new money of tax some billion of $6 through the issuance anticipation certificates PANlELSON TO NEIGHBOR BANRS ma¬ FOR THE OVER-ALL turing in March 1954, and not through longer term issues, as had thought likely. some duction in reserve closely was The BENEFIT OF re¬ requirements correlated with CONNECTICUT the "Treasury financing operation; ap¬ parently it was recognized that the BUSINESS and INDUSTRY of the large Treasury bor¬ rowing could be assured only through the assistance of the com'mercial banks, and it was besuccess ilieved that quirements tious large way lowering reserve of amounts various stimulate ment in bond and a reserves the ;the serve Shippee President of in ) recovered the THE HARTFORD-CONNECTICUT TRUST COMPANY the Market in the from response Federal to Re- - , Lester E. to markets.- Factors lows measures in both money prices June was pronounced improve¬ Bond Bond which The effect measures sentiment Economic "their Chairman to provide promptly the 3the banks would need. of these John B. Byrne re¬ the most expedi¬ was to relax tight credit. In part, the improved tone of the market 760 MAIN STREET, HARTFORD Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation The Commercial and Financial Chronicle .;. 30 ThursdayOctober 1, 1953 (1242) economic, downturn .will an 29 Continued from page lowed tions, which or is usually at a it be forthcoming may the next month ing" of'credit.'♦ 1953 this of Debt Problems The seasonally low in the Management ly substantially upon depend to the measures authorities, monetary the whose ac¬ the they probably would not authorities have given assurance that the needs of the Treasury will be met "without un¬ due strain on the economy," and have demonstrated their readiness applied by the authorities in (tie period ■ ahead. The Federal TReserve, like the monetary authorfcies in most major countries world, free the is trying crease to The of in¬ seasonal that is It bills This effectively dis¬ squeeze. the essence of a flexible policy that the authorities ever alert to changes in the credit be 1953 1953, when production and busi¬ were moving to new peaks, ness "they did not aggressively contract ^credit, but were unwilling to pro¬ vide . through 4tl a bank additional open-market pursued beyond the period when a change is appropriate. However, the authorities are engaged in a continuous nomic reserves operations time when the need for cred¬ may of reappraisal eco¬ trends and conditions; one predict with a relatively high degree of 9-month and of distribution the debt rather than )to achieve maturity the in any poljcy vigorous more record appears to volume of private in¬ and the Treasury requirements finance large \ period of strong demand the Treasury some disadvantage in com¬ ing. In at snap of risk the its inserts; Dynamatic drives, to • Ohio a investors prefer to maintain enhance Bottle to In tion. to community financial the rather than Hayden Memorial Trophy Tourna¬ ment at the Baltusrol Golf Club, of the aims Federal Reserve and in its wake there followed a clarification and reaf¬ firmation of the sound, sensible the and Treasury; standards responsible policy had authorities the Pierce, Fenner & Beane. ning score was a the two teams. representing banking A total of 35 teams investment York New participated in this year's houses Hemphill, tourney. The team consisted of: Noyes Jansen Noyes, misconstrued. come period the For (3) ahead, the experience of a from basic conclusion to be drawn and Arthur S. is tinuing to follow a flexible predicated upon the the economy, activity the Three The (4) Federal to continuing out men shared for honors gross Corporation; William E. McGuirk, Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; and Joe Lee of Reynolds & Co. Jr. of R. H. Co. won score Washer, Dean Witter & the individual low net with 72, and William Dun¬ low senior Of a Merrill Lynch was winner kak of with net honors a V 75. Gross, Rogers Co. the of the Reserve funds supply seasonal credit needs and meet edged with scores of 80: Charles Glavin, The First Boston low rate and requirements borrowing teams place team from Kuhn, Loeb & Co. which netted 318. condition of including investment of winning The con¬ credit Laundon. the third recent months is that the Federal Reserve E. Thomson, liam Dunkak, James (Special to The Financial Chronicle) .LOS ANGELES, Calif.—James E. is Edgerton, Eli Goulden, Herman Lofgren, and R. C. Williams, J. to any reduce the permitting Jr. is become have associated with Gross, Rogers, Barbour,. Smith & ties deviate from this basic unwarranted. may course the money the ployment levels and business of in high sustained the Treasury However, the authorities may be expected" to be alert* to avoid a repetition of the earlier credit the squeeze and the attendant unset- to finance tlement An energetic .funding some risks of program a broad¬ in economic ities will the In markets. downturn, almost the an author¬ certainly were formerly partners Edgerton, Lofgren & Co., with which Mr. Goulden activity in the likely to display a mildly restric¬ tive attitude toward the market. how market also entails Lofgren (5) Under conditions of full em¬ event, it is difficult a from Exchange.1 Mr; Edgerton and Mr. appear aggregate, the Federal Reserve is a deficit. 7 Lynch, The win¬ net of 315 for Co. and Merrill & Noyes been endeavoring to follow, but vigorous funding policy as long as it must borrow large sums . N. J. The winning represented Hemphill,. Springfield, teams The (2) liquid posi¬ maintain perceive sue Kenosha, Wisconsin < London, Ontario Charles 25th Annual the win to golf teams tied four-man Two seeable future. under current conditions can pur¬ PLANT! OPERATED BY SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES: Hayden Trophy and policies in effect, suggests certain conclusions which may be fiscal supply to grow commensurately with the Co., 559 South Figueroa Street, large volume of liquid assets; economy. Fears that the authori¬ members of the Los Angeles Stock of short-term Government obligations, and ris¬ ing interest rates may for a time Creek} Lowton, Detroit, Marshall, Saginaw, Vat tar, Michigan ; and money in Treasury. competitive < attractiveness of obligations. Furthermore, American economy is geared desire PLANTS: Cleveland, Munition, Ohio rise substantial holdings * General Offices: Cleveland 10, a own many -4 precipitating yields throughout the bond mar¬ materially increasing dynamometers; and other similar products. • by ket without turbo-jet engine blades, tappets, hydraulic the brakes and attractive more marking up the coupon rate. How¬ ever, if the Treasury raises the rates on its offerings, it runs the rings, cold drawn steel; sodium cooled, poppet, and valve lifters^ valve seat a issues their gray Free valves; the markets, and of the monetary and heater-defroster units; leaf spring washers; in peting with other borrowers. State policy. Since this policy presup¬ local governments have the poses a keen alertness to eco¬ advantage of tax exemption, and nomic developments, Federal Re¬ corporate borrowers can make serve action is likely to remain important industries, including motor pumps; Two Teams Tie for operating investment which sell long-term they had permitted at times to be¬ involved attempting to Treasury securities in the pre¬ vailing environment pertain to the technical aspects of new financ¬ is ades. Conclusions which in 'erving the automotive, aircraft, castings; rotor cer¬ retard the deteriora¬ to been tion a dec¬ two past the in market of characteristic conditions Jr., Blancke Noyes, Harold C. experience, however, Strong, Jr. and W. Halsted Taft. of the Merrill Lynch served to dispel some of the exag¬ Members real improvement.^ However, gerated anxieties regarding the team were Caryl H. Say re, Wil¬ has of interest rates that were gen¬ low erally This review of factors among result unlikely to lead to a repetition of excessively easy credit and the terest rates. for investment funds, springs; stampings; permanent mold an recognized that the were soon corrected, and are not this careful approach likely to be repeated in the fore¬ Some of the difficulties iron vent so be must It need and coil un¬ vigorously as to pre¬ easing of long-term in¬ program dence. deficits. truck axles and axle parts; is Treasury again in maturing and vestment s the downward, likely to proceed with its funding certainty that signs of precluded, at the present time, by EATON MANUFACTURING COMPANY if September, summarized as follows: holders of obligations (1) The credit squeeze and bond were given the option of exchang¬ market debacle in the spring of ing them for 1-year certificates 1953 reflected largely the exagger¬ or for medium-term securities. In ated fears of sharply restrictive the September refinancing, the re¬ credit measures, which greatly sponse to the medium-term offer¬ magnified the effects of basic The conditions ing substantially exceeded expec¬ economic forces. tations, which is an encouraging that combined to bring about this and apprehension sign of improved market confi¬ uneasiness the marine and other investment demands fall off and economic activity moves tempted to "force" the market in its refinancing operations; in Feb¬ ruary With large personal savings Thus, requirements. money even Nor has the Treasury at¬ show the actions that economy and be prepared to adapt may be expected when production their position accordingly. Even is at high levels and the labor then there will be unavoidable Yorce is fully employed. Under time lags between the application ihese conditions the authorities of credit measures and their ef¬ look a moderately restrictive posi¬ fects upon business. Hence there tion. Even in the early part of is a risk that any course may be early new wholly tificates. some economic forces will operate ire then, however, the task is likely the direction of higher bond prices remain formidable, since any in the course of 1954. However,, material reduction in investment the problem of funding the debt and business activity is likely to will be a market influence for a confront the Treasury with con¬ As a result, a tinued budget deficits and further long time ahead. moderate business downturn is the Treasury has relied al¬ upon the issuance of date, most high, from to problem been avoided. For the balance of its new money requirements to 3-month the the credit ities until riding" in the latter part fears to the contrary had contributed so much to pelled and 1952 the bonds was apparent¬ "free the the current, year. levels of matur¬ relaxation of in¬ a n ds gives the in 1954 may de¬ funds somewhat cline continuing,, it is probable that we are moving, vestment d e m through the cyclical trough of Treasury an opportunity to move Government bond prices and that somewhat more rapidly. Even ly within the potentialities of the and probably would have been absorbed without difficulty the in¬ (8) Aggregate demands for vestment intensive effort to extend market had the latter be unmind¬ can overly zealous. these risks problems. The recent record suggests that the authorities are not likely to embark upon a more debt, is mindful of all The offering of a $1 bil¬ lion of 3x/4% neither and operations have been charac¬ terized by caution and circum¬ spection. Federal the it must be. as should not dominate Reserve System but repercussions in the econ¬ ful of the problems of the former.' omy. Furthermore, if Treasury (7) Efforts by, the Treasury to operations take too large a share fund, the debt, have so far been, of current savings, they may well temperate and. restrained,, and contribute to a downturn in pri¬ while the goals of the debt man¬ vate investment and hence in agers remain unchanged, they are economic activity. aware of the many hazards to the There is every indication that economy, and are not likely to be the Treasury, in managing the the Treasury's 1953, in far So it should be and as verse debt the credit requirements the year. of economic downturn. experiences in of the economy out a flexible credit pol¬ icy. Such a policy involves re¬ straining credit in periods of boom while discouraging credit liquida¬ tion and facilitating credit expan¬ an for provide to carry sion in the more, jwovides some clues regarding the -credit policies that are likely to *sf relish a rective action months recent year; proportions, they undertook cor¬ promptly. Further¬ Prospective Credit Policies of of the repetition of this experience. Once the deterioration assumed major the economic scene. record quarter second Treasury and the Fed¬ continuing. This is The Treasury have less management eral Reserve is period, they would doubt¬ caused substantial ad¬ tracted toward these goals. sentiment tions, in turn, will be governed importantly by their appraisal of The the deterioration in financial and in bond prices in by by employed tween the for to debt and that effective cooperation be¬ ance present environment, the second quarter of this year been interest rates, espe¬ allowed to continue for a. pro¬ In the outlook eas¬ j; ^ aetiori in* June-July give reassur¬ the credit markets in the dent in pronounced a coordinated " decisions The credit on business de¬ cisions concerning future capital investments. Had the trends evi¬ during likely are (|>X have sub¬ assumed to generally cially bond yields, depends not the balance tighten the money market. In an aggregate economy operating at or near peak only upon the factors operating in levels of employment, production the economy and the response of ^substantially less than in the cor¬ and income, the Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve, but also upon responding period a year ago, the debt funding activities of nevertheless economic forces will is likely to continue to lean to¬ the Treasury. Public statements ward moderate credit restraint. t»e operating in the direction of However, the general pursuit of by the Treasury authorities have -moderately tighter credit condi¬ stressed three main objectives of tions. Currency in circulation is a basically restrictive course does debt management policy. These •rising to its seasonal peak in De- not preclude rapid and sensitive are (1) achieving a more bal¬ -ccmber, and there is a sporadic modifications in response to shifts anced maturity distribution of the outflow of gold which, if con¬ in underlying conditions, and the Federal debt; (2) avoiding reli¬ tinued, will add to the pressure Federal Reserve in the past sev¬ •on bank reserves. A decline in eral months has amply demon¬ ance upon Federal Reserve sup¬ business activity, if modest, is not strated its willingness to alter its port in the Treasury's financing The easing of credit operations, especially when such likely to have any important ef- position. <fect upon this outlook for some around mid-year apparently rep¬ support would increase bank re¬ serves and thus impede credit re¬ reasonal tightening in the money resented in large part the reaction (3) market through the end of this of. the Federal Reserve to the ac¬ straint; and, as a corollary, evidence that the having the Treasury compete free¬ year; however, a business down¬ cumulating followed earlier in the ly in the security markets and pay turn would accentuate the sea¬ course sonal easing of credit in early year was having unduly restric¬ competitive rates for its funds. important question is how €.954. The course of money rates tive effects. Doubtless the author¬ The under these circumstances is like¬ ities were surprise and disturbed rapidly the Treasury may advance Uie Treasury •«£ rates, . spring of 1953 remained large, permitted economic forces to Although the demands for bank on the part of business and <<s*edit rapidly toward interest of stantial effects upon conditions. ing of credit Since credit demands ebb. so. by a The levels their behavior and their prospective trends are economic character. er straint in favor of a decided eas¬ The Outlook lor Interest Rates Within be rapidly fol¬ shift from credit re¬ either accompanied or liams werei and Mr. Wil¬ also associated. • P r :■ i~.'» . V ' Blyth Co.: Add* to Staff •?■' (Special a to * The Financial Chronicle) - - ^SAN FRANCISCO, Cal.—James A..; Sanfprd^ ;has ated with shift Buildings become associ¬ Blyth & Co., Inc., Russ v • . Volume 178 Number 5260... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (1243) Continued :' - J from : < • * 16 page » - ■ 1953, dropped below 90 early •} >-■ t i i >> , June and t are in mow.back up above 931/2. Faults and Virtues of Public Debt ■You can't tionary move from financing greatly aided in our nation-wide committee were study by a of the American Bankers Associa¬ tion, similar committee a Investment Bankers the of Association, in crease ernment bank holdings of Gov¬ securities hence, and, without any increase in inflation¬ due to that ary pressures From time time to cause. the ment. not infla¬ an policy sound one without some We to a readjust¬ Sound, honest be some achieved price, and money can¬ without paying it is worth the price. companies and potential buyyields. (e) Individual buyers of Savings Bonds ing are at present have this year, been buyE and H Savings Bonds more than they are cashing in. We believe, with your cooperation, these sales be can increased tially. banks and committees representing the have been most helpful in the savings banks, life insurance com¬ initial sale of new issues both panies, and by other groups and through their own purchases and individuals. handling purchases for their cus¬ (d) Insurance savings banks ers Looking Ahead The steps taken so far in fund¬ substan- ' sire to cooperate with their Government in this effort... The speed with which the national debt can be re-distributed .. will of have the ing the debt hardly show in the long-term bonds, especially .ft totals. With this huge debt, get¬ times when other financing is It was clear from this analysis tomers. Steady absorption of bills ting shorter day by day, you have lighter. that there were two pools of funds and certificates by business and to run fast to keep even. In 1954, Lengthening the debt can apwe shall still have to refund a which we could draw upon out¬ other buyers has, in turn, reduced ply to the banks, too, as well as quarter of the debt. side the commercial banks. There bank holdings. to mon-bank investors. In 1939, In addition to the financing for But it is not as oad as it looks. before was a limited amount of longWorld War II, the average to depend flow of the on savings; the f. * rate pres- of demand for funds from, other sources; and the state of the sure market. money free A steady flow of funds such as these will, over a period of years, absorb substantial amounts of 3* markets, has no took a a can't the force Treasury intention of doing so. I1» long time, a huge war, and huge defense where to You and we to get us program It are. will take timer* re-adjust. ~ *• fn this process we shall have as objective, our and money always sound stability,- economic avoiding either inflation or deflation, and encouraging and not new term money, a short and modest money available in the First, the budget picture is maturity of Governments held by impairing the steady, forward hands of insurance companies, step has been made in stretching greatly improved. The newly re¬ the banks was nine years. Today, growth of the country's activity. ; out . savings banks, pension funds and other private and instituational by maturities in refunding issues leased figures discussed yesterday by Secretary Humphrey mean that one-year and somewhat there is real investors prepared to buy a prop¬ tween hope that we may be erly priced long-term Government longer maturities. We should have nearly through with raising cash bond. We, therefore, offered such liked to have moved further in to finance a deficit. Without new this direction, but market condi¬ cash to <a bond in April at the going marraise, we and the market giving holders a choice be¬ will be freer to deal with refund¬ yield,4 which was'the lowest tions did not justify it. As it is, the few steps we have yield at which it could be sold— staken toward spreading out the 3Y4%. The bond*; was " substan¬ Second, the market has now tially oversubscribed but, for two debt, together with other pres¬ shown evidence that it has weath¬ Jket and half a months after its is¬ for sures funds and the Federal ered it is three years. It of The only other substantial pool non-bank funds was ; in the hands of corporations non-bank, We short-t provided would attract investors. securities that money of Treasury bills anticipation certificates. The net result able to was and that finance huge deficit without any to freer markets and tic rates tax ago more realis¬ begun several was the spring of 1951. For example, have the longest 2V2% bonds were sell¬ ing above 106 in April 1946, they pet in¬ down were to 95 V2 in Government securities large a — part of which may be considered long-term funding, such as go into pension and insurance funds. years and especially year's we this Fortunately also, the adjustment since the ac¬ cord reached by the Federal Re¬ in the serve System and the Treasury in which form been other and e r m the normal risks of investment. January (b) State and local governments buy about three-quarters of a billion a ments, about year of U. S. Govern¬ half of it for pen¬ sion funds. (c) sion trust funds are though not large buyers. pen¬ steady sound a _ productive the use bank-held smaller were would be less, Government and better if debt distrib- uted over a period of years. The experience of the September re¬ credit the or markets. The stream of nation's larger than savings is hugebefore; the credit the banking system ever base is secure; is sound. With surance a reasonable sound, honest money of stable buying power there is no better investment than securities of the United States Government. bank's and other Washington dress: words of George in his Farewell Ad- "As a very important source strength and security, cherish' public credit. One method of of preserving it is to use sparingly as possioie; occasions of expense tivating ing that also quently it as avoiding by cul- >' but remember¬ peace, timely ments to prepare for prevent disburse¬ danger fre¬ much greater disbursements to repel it; avoid¬ ing of likewise debt, not occasions vigorous peace which have insurance companies, institutions, individuals have shown both their capacity and de- businesses, Hlan, *.° recal\ of the accumulation only by shunning but by time expense, of as¬ of The Individuals and other and that ,, suance, ."A'-* belief our - readjustment to higher dipped below par due .to Reserve policy of mild credit re¬ yields and is able to stand on its funding offers hope that, under a variety of c a u s e s, including straint, have caused' some jolts own feet without price suitable conditions, this can be props, especially the huge volume of new and bumps in the market. Some of Third, experience shows us that, brought about. these have been unpleasant, par¬ financing by corporations;, states over a period, there are substan¬ and municipalities, which put' in ticularly for holders of long-term Summary tial amounts of funds available for the market $7 billion of new secu¬ Government bonds, who have There is every reason to look investment in U. S. Government seen the rities in the first six months of the prices of their bonds de¬ long-term bonds at fair rates. Let forward with confidence to this year—a larger amount than ever preciate in the market. Most hold¬ me name a few sources. country's ability to put its finan¬ before. The 3V4% bond has now ers, including bankers, have taken cial house in better order with¬ (a) Government trust funds are the price change regained a satisfactory position in /in good spirit out any serious disruption of $3 billion a year of and with understanding, as one of absorbing the market. a is debt policy will itself make lor more orderly, the dangers of in- greater confidence, stimulate enf lation and deflation would be terprise, and contribute to - the' reduced; the risk of interfering well-being of all the people. * with the steady flow of funds into We can do no better at this time The Government debt would be to exertion in discharge unavoidable occasioned, wars not financial ously and the burden which throwing the upon we debts may ungener¬ posterity ourselves ought to bear." V- Steel, oil, or butter-and-eggs... you're still probably just a "man" in her eyes. oil, or name your Do it the easy that makes a a feel more gift of perfume. It's the kind of investment Leave it to l'aimant (the that takes care you're too tongue-tied to utter. magnet) to convince the lady of of attraction. If she's not drawn to you through this "irresistible force '.. .then she's and you a woman woman's "interest' grow! A gift of all the subtle flatteries y°ur powers bridge, boil her in way! Try something simple...like giving her large bottle of L'AIMANT. Nothing makes feminine than • a she wouldn't be impressed with any of the three. Chances are, a You could build her prize Aberdeen Angus after her. an "immovable object , might as w ell give the whole thing up! PERFUME 50.00 to 2.65 Compounded and Copyrighted by Colv, Ino., in U.S.A. ^ (plus lax} •» The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... Thursday, October 1, 1953 (1^44) 32 9 more potent weapon, 7 fmm first rinriP +' r Continued Jrom Jirsi paye curity is I Ml t ■ AftH VWIil IuA resolutely and dollars a toward it. programs, tive cautiously but always press margin Budget The All1 ■ . flute 111 tltilliCf TaY ftlfttl than it week. There are other mount too, where the relative milit is even greater military, al- of error is thd for pillar—and one which though there may have already made substantial dollars involved. The first we national se- substantial bearing upon the well- now appears to be is what road on the the being of our nation's economy. to reduction. ThaL matter of first concern, mean balanee between our and our economic Secu- A must be achieved ingenuity ^ not be so many me'nt pianning Take the Com- ^ Americans the The abil- manage- and experience of under the present budget pillar, well know, take not 0nly estimate the size of the jng stronger defense for leSS money more bor- vari0us crops but also just how . g t e which in times the farm price support program raDidlv as we would like but of high employment and incomes is g0ing to work out in the year murse is nlain our obie'etive lead to inflationary pressures and ahead and, even more important, . . ., wp will arhipve it unsound money. When a govern- how much of it will be handled ... , . ,. npppssarv be ment spends more than it takes b the banks instead of the Treas, , f f f actions in, it has to borrow to pay its In the last fiscal year (1953) °V"® f0wJrd u bills. When a government bor- ^be budget estimate was about ' rows from the banks, it creates million for Commodity Thp Fpdprai Rpcprvp cvdpm spending more than you is, in—means and more rowing and debts credit more the money increases supply, and thus helps cause inflation. This is what we are trying check. to • The midyear budget fiscal review of the 1954. showed some real being made in getting the budget in hand. Estimated expenditures have been reduced by nearly $6% billion under the snending estimates this Adminisspending estimates ims Adminisspending estimates this /vun s progress found tration was a taking office upon In addition, income overestimated by more than January. in So that the pro- billion dollars. from billion. than $4 Fiffhtv which were placed from the" government bv three years ago thp ripxt to one will come due in two and must be or vear inherited These make it1 impossible paid for. tions of dollars hillinn nnp orders COD billion to less $11 over really been has deficit spective cut obligato bal- overnight, but will be cut this year by more than $9 billion, according to present planbudget the ance these forward obligations even ning. Ac we cel. For few planning to spend are we years in time first eov- our in hand the past' finances ernment's the have turned the cor- aftpmntinff to in npr budget review midvenr nnr showed, less this year than in the year before. The sharply rising curve in Federal spending has now turned downward. This is If balance current a we in of this American people want and de-» rection back in April by putting dous amount of money to be curout a 30-year bond at 3y4%. That rently pumped into the economy. rate was higher than the rate for And furthermore it is the definite previous issues, but it reflected p o 1 i c y of this Administration, the going rate at the time of the through tax reductions, to return issue as determined by the daily to the people for them to spend current market purchases a n d for themselves all the real savings sales of outstanding government in government spending which securities. Earlier this month we can be reasonably anticipated, v' bad an encouraging response to a As I promised at the time, the proposal which allowed a choice between one and 31/2-year maturities in refinancing an issue of $7.9 billion. About $3 billion of the total exchanged was voluntarily P^ced in the longer term security, It is our firm intention to offer more intermediate and long-term issues at opportune times in the £redit but when the year closed ^eaerai neserve system -fut 0< Wg wm uge care> Qf ^ actually turned out to be about The second pillar of sound course> not to press the market in ^ billion more. That is just one , 1£La Pr°P^rly functioning competition with state, municipal illustration. There are many, Federal Reserve System. This is and prjvate financing which is at others. another way of saying effective a k Qf demand at the present * . , th , +h monetary policy. The balance beEvery M?wbsu^®{ ex_ tween the money and credit sup- Too rapid movement on our dRures further complicated ? a actual flow of goods t ^ t-me jn crowding jnf0 penditures is lurxner compuw u m commerce-ls best maintained this market and increasing the alby ZtribXnof Zse expendi- by let«n« the price of money rise ^adv enormous dTm a n d for °y the necessity for estimating by letting the price of money rise' read enormous demand for fbe distribution of those expcnui a^d faii with the demand for longer * cxpendir j • tne aistrinuiion 01 to month and and fall Wlth the demand for , J term x.-j- miaht vPrv . from month uio&e ^L ueuiaiiu iui funds might very tures tiom month to month and m0ney. At the same time orur Fedfrom monxn monxn aim money Af ,? ti]1 f1]rfbPr nndnlv nrcss nn ,f _fi11 flirthPr nnitiiiv nrp« „n even day by day in some instances eral Reserve System can and nn thp intprpct ratP^ fJ all ins Jo th intPrP<;t for ail loans —and preparing to have sufficient sbouid use its powers to keep the H dp manv nthpr anv funds on hand to be able to meet market for credit orderly and to prnmpntal anJ nHvJp hnrrnLrs current requirements. You all ap- avoid excesses jn either direction, ® nnnLnnHv tn nhSn Th p preciate that that is why we can- tQ ayoid either inflation or defla. a^ obtain the profits tax will expire or* Dec. 31, and there will be no request for renewal; At the same time an average of 10% reduction in individual income taxes is scheduled to go into effect, and it excess will become effective. ; Many fur-, ther adjustments in taxes are now under consideration by the Ways and Means/Committee and the Treasury for submission to the next Congress. _ ' : The great additions to producbig capacity irt several lines which have been stimulated by govern- m * * ment action over the. past few years are now becoming ^available- The volume of goods we can now produce is far greater now produce is far greater than ever before Lower levels of than ever before. Lower LUdn evei uciuxe. j-,uwei xeveis ux operation in some lines will devel°P m°re m^erial velop more material than we have ever had> and ** may wel1 be that in some cases this outPut may be a11 that the country needs for awhile But does his mean catas. not run our cash balances too tion. necessary tunas. trophe? Our volume of production l°w—a point we made in the ft is also our goal to move at and employment can be higher debt limit discussion. It is someIn theL.,years Pre^dln| ,th® opportune times a portion of the than ever and we may stiu have times hard to realize that if our parc / accord, e e era debt out of the banks into the some capacity in reserve. High eash runs down too much, a few ^^/ation ran'triblrted ^ubstan Private investors. volume but good supply — that days of unexpectedly heavy ex- aominauon, conirinuxea suDsian Randolph Burgess, who is means competition, efficiency and penditures, or an unpredictable tially to inflation by artificial known to most of you and who more value for the consumer's shift of a few days in tax'receipts, ™a^* a^^ °LP(.e ^Irfng f^d is the Treasury's chief officer in dollar. Surely we have not demight easily force the Treasury to JJ; , j w tt r a l this matter of debt management, teriorated in this country so that do borrowing at a time when con- atter world war 11, the Federal wdj talk ^.0 you jn more detail and all we can see is calamity if the ditions in the money market were Reserve System lost much of its more scientifically, I am sure, day of allocations and the ordernot propitious or in amounts that independence. It was used by the tomorrow about this very impor- taker is passing and we again have might substantially exceed our Treasury to raise unprecedented ^an^ subject. Before I leave it, to develop a salesman. estimated borrowings. Every amounts of money, and during the however> I wish to make known It cannot be that Americans bf'lk.er, knows that some real to you my very great appreciation can fear a free competitive econelasticity in such circumstances is oversnaaoweo monetary policy. for the worj5 that Mr, Burgess is omy. That is what we have thrived only prudent management. That As Iong as the war was on and dojn not on, for tt)e Treasury on. That is how we grew great, was the basis for our request for government controls kept wages but for the whole codntry in his xhe neeessity for a little more ac.raising the debt limit. there"/'/6/, ^mLi/trLhle R,?t very intell'gent. patient and wise tive selling never hurt anyone. A We were not seeking to remove //' „-/, / (/ii////i./re counsel in this very difficult mat- httle more quality, a little more any limitation on or deterrent to ///rv/H wfthnm a?// nL/nr ter of handling our public debt, value for the customer has given greater spending. We have demreleasing the Federal'Re- (Text of Mr. Burgess' speech on "snr m/e //d'/t n/ very encour- a development. aging reach Nearly three-quarters that hope of re- strengthening—is the modity Credit Corporation for ble ieadership° of our Defense As you gentlemen example. In order to figure its net Department I am sure will devise deficit financing—that outlays in advance you have to and provide'means 0f accomplish- in progress WAAA»»2| All a not duction in expenditures and taxes debt matures within less than five mand. But in spite of all we can must be abandoned. Quite the years or 1S redeemable at1 the do and all the savings we can contrary. But the necessity for holder's option. One of the things make, a relatively small reduction caution and planning and assur- we are trying to do is to extend is the most that we can hope to ance that reductions are justified ,/that average maturity gradually, accomplish—quickly. That means before they are made is paraWe took a f*rst step in this di- that there will still be a tremen- DvAflk TaV I aitCO II Villi iuA IlClVilV T\/#tAC(C* JjXvffSa do i we hope, to everyone insistent interest in and degetting our onstrated, can 0ur our mand for economy and ™ the excesses of the war berve> ine excesses or xne war Page shfp^oZmoV/ofiZericans 16.-Ed.] s/ml aZint^f human fg/men^Zen/tt?/nZd inven™Z" Horn the irom the same amount or numan The Current Outlook po'wef In the years from 1946 to 1951 Now 1 want to say Just a word ^bor and tools has given year, the Federal Reserve was a pris- aboat 'h? eurernt -us higher and we had dared to hone for six have +u i .,lcies wr *?ufl oner of l"e ireasury oolicv m , naa aarea xo nope ior six the elasticity required to ?ner,..01 the Treasurv policy in crystal ball is no bigger or brighter that we Surely we are againfearful y0urs Indeed the comoosite living. cannot do it not Tt is months or so ago. nla thp : thp hp t Th handling the national debt. In- , n inaeea Ine composixe tnat we cannot ao it again, it is p tnem in tne oest way. ine „otliro1 knowledge from so manyroom is the American part. Bankers, too, locali- can do their way. You too can The budget review we an- operation of the Mills Plan, with stead of .allowing the natural in- tieg reprsesented in this nounced a month ago also is a which you are all familiar, reR f , ' ■ far superior to anything we know, and should look forward with turning point because for the first quires the payment of 90% of the ReSPr^inl thP We are most anxious to learn from confidence. Your service can be time since 1948 we have total ap- corporate tax money in the first attention on making sure that the The decline in the stock mar_ improved. You can do that little tures bvZhe /"nd Cof this"?,"seal m°ney'S WOr/h' ,Ut th66""36 WC it will be much better than ZntV fZa? poUdes wf m/Tt higher standards of • x u mu outlook. My c half of th^ next calendar year. In accordance with the practices J ^ + reductl0ns established by our predecessors spending and taxation. when w Thi'fnn^tc ^ both tn f!ftnrP +hf .tS Thi^wf^nnMn ?he ?pi ^n[p^;c ^ best interests of the country as a whole. It resulted in the absence for your customer to help sisn of disaster. I cannot believe him do his share. And if we all tbat that .g go ^ may well be do all we shouidj America will ket is heralded by some as a sure extra ag tbe ^ear jnRaRon de_ clines> some switching is taking the accord of March 1951. place from stocks to bonds or cash As you gentlemen well know, which the holders have not dared march forward on sounder ground than we have had under our feet for some time, 1 can assure you that this Gov- the March 1951 accord, partly re- to make during the past period of stored effective monetary policy growing inflation It may also be to its rightful place in our econ- that, there is some fear of declin- ernment is dedicated to the maintenance of a high level of employment and production, and it will ?+^Cr!f^ii?rVe/!lrarfJioeS^ ^Sli following spring. This makes omy- It laid the groundwork for jng earnings as certain supplies believe tha^we Ivl a temP°rary increase in the gov- the policy which the present Ad- more nearly approach demand UnaHv Lr wavtowarH ernment debt a practical necessity ministration is pledged to con- and goods become available. That the budget underTonlro? Of for a short pe^iod even though a tinue. is nothing to shiver about. In our this is all based ecti casb balance in the annual exI should also note that the Fed- great and growing economy some mates—estimates which bene Penditure is achieved, and under eral Reserve System has no adjustment is constantly going on. realized but this business of Present laws there is no way to <4hard" money policy. It is a good Wherever adjustment is required, estimating how much the gotfern- avoid tt' ' J?oney policy It is free to allow let's, face it with confidence and ment is going to take in and pay The great and really important t.he demand ^or "10nfy ..to ,hava §et at 11 ' out has great many pitfalls. reason, however, why it is most !ts n0™al,and natural effect and I do not believe in blind faith. Estimating a year ahead in a difficult to cut expenditures radi- to supPly funds ta pace w,th Ii trouble is possible, just the opbusiness this size is more than tally and bring both a balanced d°r2aA 'nLv Zkes^ood P°S'te 'S indicted Keep your risky and a small percent of er- budget and a tax reduction into f.° t at good money makes good eyes open. Seek out the soft spot huge figures can mean quick being at the same time re- limes* ' and see what can be done about it. the difference of great deal of lates to our national security. Del)t Management For over two years now, from money. Without due consideration for it, The third and final pillar is Quarter to quarter businessmen For instance, over 70% of our the rapid reduction of expenses proper^ debt management. As of have been expecting^and predict- Pursue policies to foster that end. iug some downturn. It has not Because Americans have saved in For the this encouraging start, the Administration to the Congress is deeply indebted and to the various departments and agencies of govfor ernment cooperation. monev their wholehearted Unless some unex- plan was first inaugu- must be issued in the last half of the calendar year, when only 10% are received, against the 90% to be received in 0f corporate taxes tb . effective monetary policy un- rated, tax anticipation notes in the amount of several billion dollars on nnnn course we are . a ror in our a expenditures are - for national se- would be comparatively easy. But the moment our debt is more than •' r we T Conclusion conclusion I have described what I con¬ sider to be the three pillars of sound money. They are familiar ,a ! They are objectives ^ we 1.ave purs^ the months ahead The actdLet most f d money is one { th charees placed imPortan™ upon this Administration. It is important because sound money iies at the very base of our national existence. Sound money is fundamental for saving and the creation of jobs, billion—which is a terrific materialized in many lines be- we have developed our national latively small estimating error can atomic Pearl Harbor hanging di- amount of debt. The manner in cause government and private resources. We have the scientists mean hundreds of millions of rectly over our heads, and with which this debt is handled—that spending has been increasing the managers, and all the people dollars. For these programs alone the knowledge of the Russian is, maturing issues refinanced and faster thart new productive capac- who make possible the production we are spending about a billion capability to produce an even new issues placed — has a very ity came in. Government spending of complicated machinery, the curity programs, and even a re- with the real possibility of an $273 \ vJ Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... 11 • t 33 (1245) people who factories, put build and the .farmers great have equipment to the technicians, use, chanics made and our workmen in work who modern such me¬ who have ing and make possible further in¬ securities business when prudence which will develop dictates that customers should be more employment and even great¬ urged to act conservatively. Farer and better things for a more sighted salesmen over a year vestments ago fruitful life for all. great power plants and were Our national these things and the employ¬ they provide would not have been possible if the utmost security is also in¬ Sound money is of the importance to it. Without sound money people had not finance them. produces, transportation systems possible. All ment savings of the Then why been available to these millions Sound we keep on sav¬ is an essen¬ money tial to keep people saving money. Without assurance in the worth of their fnoney in the future, well as rate the ability to obtain of income saved, people save less will save if fair a when it is and at he all. No fears one that without the that sound money the great productive of America will deteriorate, it is two won the America's when power productive mobilized and wars greatest that to aggres¬ throughout the entire world. Sound money is the basis for both economic our and security. Sound for the future A of America. nation prosperous means military is essential our money which — continuing high levels of production—can the employment and money he saves will be worth less only be assured by sound money, and less as time goes on or may for prosperity that is not solidly even become worthless entirely. based on sound money is illusory, The great productive power that is in a pair of American hands today rests in the fact that Ameri¬ cans have . saved. With sound Americans will keep money, sav¬ fleeting and ter. We to end in. disas¬ sure shall counseling continue to press resolutely toward our goal of high employment and sustained pros¬ perity. their clients build up their reserves—we wrote a few articles in the ourselves at that time. never a was time, to even subject But there nor will there ever be one, when a resourseful salesman who knows his business has to sit on his chair in the office and can business around for the ways why excellent accounts some by using your knowledge of living trusts and the possibilities of pro¬ tecting families from the inroads of excessive inheritance This business for who make men taxes. today is wide a open profession of work man with his head and afraid of everything and are accounts new converted latter into investors. You Funds income for that can long-term sell can be and Mutual there are thousands of people in every com¬ munity who will buy if you get out and with good a low-up more income locate them advertising and fol¬ campaign. You sell can municipals to those who could tax-exemption who and use don't for shares, stock 19.732% payable Oct. record on of on Detroit a price of $45 per 313;200 shares now being offered to basis of one each five shareholders additional shares held shareholders to 22. 1953. being offered for sub-, now well as shares the on as outstanding^ bring the total number outstanding to 2,250,006. Upon completion of these steps total capital funds of the Bank: will be increased to approximately $92,000,000 from $72,998,687 as e* Aug. 31, 1953. Mr. Fisher has reported that the* directors expect continue to present dividend for share 1,566,- will presently the on of 370,800 to The stock dividend will be pay¬ on the 313,200 additional Sept. 24 set share per annum on the increased ber to record of shares of $2 be per num¬ outstanding. holders' expire rights Oct. subscribe to 15, wide group of headed by Morgan is to Stanley & Co. underwriting the cash offering REDWOOD field Aiken Financial CITY, has are part of 684,000 Chronicle) Calif.—Gar¬ joined of Avery L. Eppler shareholders. These shares (Special to The the staflf Company, 183fk Broadway. By JOHN DUTTON Leads Are What You Make of Them leads are good leads— that premise. But let's start with with clients if you don't calls; you can't sell any¬ unless you have something your make the among every 100 leads based upon thing inquiries received in to well are these •SO to planned advertising there just so many sales—no more less.: jno response Perfection leads sales. many in would only will produce Anything less will bring lesser results. man following follow A top sales¬ lead. every by pre-telephone and believe like work, only were and, securities in quite business is for ap¬ follow and he'll report. The best results obtained through the are systematic effort which is toased upon the conviction that in hundred overy just so many find them leads there are sales—and you won't unless •calls. the 1 Case History The following is < The Leads Were Good After the meeting two of got manager Both these and mer the agreed that the nor that had of market. The three several been the tion of what happens when sales a Enterprise They not were work¬ they thinking con¬ were over to¬ the table. on of the people in some structively. went Individual sales men were producing through the sum¬ bear organization ing, the his men right them of hundred sales force the out and mem¬ that had GOLD COIN STANDARD? excuses. them by returning to the leads assigned to made true illustra¬ a Stimulate any other for that matter. bers make you always In business of not "sunny sky" business, neither is a sonal application You sales weather frarikly, the gether and he put it he'll These in fair pointment, some by letter, some toy evening telephone call or per¬ visit—but it. others many salesmen addition, he will follow leads cor¬ rectly. Some by personal calls, some sell men, NO They sorted reassigned these GOOD leads which had been organization goes along from day rejected. to double-return cards that produced about 3% replies. Within three day doing the an the old same thing old way. As you prob¬ ably are well aware the past sev¬ same eral months have been high¬ weeks eral They those sent leads out some produced accounts and new sev¬ INDIVIDUAL enterprise sub¬ some lighted by declining markets and stantial commission checks. Every the person sold doldrums. summer Many ■sales organizations, such as the one I am going to tell you of this week have let things slide along, and instead of keeping on the job ■and going ahead with constructive •efforts have neglected as well. advertising Sorhe salesmen have taken the attitude that business is not good, that summer is the time when people are away, so why knock yourself out bucking a trend. This little a story deals with condition. «of the just such fact, when several In salesmen in the organiza¬ tion about which I you had dropped variety a Some so of reasons it people or was too the old oven that "the leads trotted which some out ble were were un¬ away, to work, .and shopworn classic were no at a good" sales to was meeting try and put into things. pep meeting adjourned it not caused was cumstances men build a office week;- you by outside cir¬ but by the attitude themselves. You can't business only showing once can't them or keep up twice in at a touch interested was income. more when the medium of measurement money — is unreliable. And re¬ wards—paid in curency of shrinking value—are as tenuous as the smokescreen created by the fire of in ob¬ None remembered that had ever anyone question. selves Leads can't turn The Federal administration was ises of will this same of group is will be made and also swer, do There so. about out such those who then routine. a up am small conditions same The President, ent rightness of return to the Gold Coin Standard.* Why, then, should legislative action on it be de¬ layed? The United States owns 65% of the world's gold—$11 in gold for every $100 of currency and bank deposits. an¬ Mailing or Returning to the Gold Coin Standard will demon¬ letters strate to simple discussing The jobs men are who those doing busi¬ keep at their day in the week. They follow up their opportunities, and their work is well done, because We must resume without devaluation or delay. every keep using it. their When razor you sharp * The right to redeem currency (or gold will help or anything else, you can be sure that the only one who is really at fault is that salesman. There are times when you have to coast—there are times in the your end find salesmen times, the markets, leads, the firm, the weather, keep Americo free by vote . . osk . Senators Congressman to work ond to restore Standard. that blame the the our mone¬ Inc. is a key organization, to contribute ever-increasing benefits to all our people. are who for metal many large organizations. ness citizens that its government has faith tary might—will encourage individual enterprise and stimulate American industry, of which Kenna¬ but the in our in them—will win the world's respect is one exist do important Cabinet members, Sen¬ ators, and Congressmen have recognized the inher¬ Excerpt from Republican The firm I is redeem currency for gold coin is free economy. It gives the people "Monetary Policy" Plank following this week shrinking value. For example, Kennametal —super-hard cemented carbide introduced in 1938; has tripled the output potential of metal-working and mining industries. But, it is a losing battle. a not who procedure. a the samelieriod fulfill these promises is by enactment nothing difficult some is few hundred cards a and on power dollar's sovereignty over government. When displeased with government financial practices, they can automati- be the purchasing Improvements in industrial productivity during helped to mitigate the effects of the prom¬ now. The right to fundamental in leads given several more mail¬ ings and then an additional follow up on of the Gold Coin Standard. The best time to do it that. Now elected years, of the dollar declined about 60%. sensible economics and sound money. The best way to them¬ into orders—you have to salesmanship in order to do use people. During those inflation. called upon them from the firm in currency For twenty years the recently deposed federal administration held this power away from the — of interested in following None had even were cally halt monetary inflation by cashing in for gold coin. retained. Calculation is impossible the stock market. they evident that most of the trou¬ of the an hot called was When the was (excuses). said, the markets favorable, or am now telling why their sales sharply they gave asked were taining flourishes only when risk' be calculated, and when earned rewards can be can Standard Po., for Gold the Write Coin The Gold to league, latrobe, further information. Latrobe, Pa. ' The of the o league patriotic common sound is an association citizens joined in couse of restoring monetary system. * Avery Eppler Adds will 1953. A nation¬ investment firms Securities Salesman's Corner all tho sharer Sept. 24, 1953, Charles T. Fisher, Jr., President, announced. Share¬ know their many advantages. You Not ' of shares Bank of Detroit Offer Bank au¬ spe~ able and Underwrites National National the Sept. 24, and tb«* on amounting 000 The were at Jare to be distributed as a dividend at the rate cf scription Morgan Stanley Group issuance meeting balanced shares the side lines. build cial at it. on Even if your profit this business is small, you can thorized of. it. uses additional shares which advising the proper investments, and who know that if you want to do business you have to work Today you can sell short-term municipals to those who are in open . bemoan his fate—there is al¬ provides who will now deterrent has sion either going to are not or it on as and sound economy power have of people saved and what must do so that they will ing? volved. w WORLD'S LARGEST to Independent Manufacturer Whose Facilities are Devoted Exclusively Processing and Application of CEMENTED CARBIDES v (1246) Arthur Henry This Week Greene, Franklin and Mahlon O. Bradley. Offices formerly 20 Continued from page B. Objectives of Federal . maintained by Reserve Board Paul H. Davis & Co. in Peoria and Rockford, Illinois, are being taken Bank Stocks — E. Evans II. E. JOHNSON By C. Isaac Wakeley, W. Elston, Jr., Herbert I. Markham, Dean D. Francis, Arthur G. Lilly, Bank and Insurance Stocks by .Hornblower over & Weeks. another—are to to aid living of many. You and I want no part of that either. Adherence to present Federal necessary 2.88% in the same Simultaneously the firm is open¬ the growth of the economy and ing a new office in Chicago's major banks will be issuing their month of 1953. improvement of the standards of operating reports and statements These changes in rates have Michigan Avenue, thus becoming living for the people as a whole. of condition for the period ended meant the banks have been ab e fjrs| investment firm to operPlease note, I said "the people as Sept. 30. to employ their earning asse s a ate 0ffjces jn the Loop area. a whole." We do not dispute that A total of 20 partners and 84 reg¬ The trends which have been in more advantageous returns. the Within the days few next against as . evidence throughout As a result, earn¬ ating conditions. ings for the third quarter are ex- volume. been the loan outstanding loans 1953 of half factor has In the first favorable Another the past year have continued to dominate oper¬ ago. While the expansion since July has been less than in 1952, Judg- loan volume has still averaged ing from the experience of the close to 8% higher than last year, two previous quarters the gains Thus despite some loss of deare likely to be modest as against posjits, earning assets have been quarter of a year ago. earnings in the previ- the level of period although substantially ous higher than those of a year ago. Of course there will be variations from institution to institution, with some banks because of conditions, actually profits below those of a year ago. The general pattern, however, should reveal a trend of gradually rising operatoperating reporting special ing earnings. the area, the New York City should gain average 5% and between somewhere employed at better rates. Also, since early in July, New York banks have benefited from the reduction in reserve requirements from 24% of demand deposits to 22%. Larger operating expenses have been easily absorbed and operating earnings before are substantially higher, taxes large extent reported earnings depend upon the treatment It account. this 0f is a known major banks in an extenof establishing tax and losses by switching of Governcharging security losses will dis- ments and municipals. These tort considerably the reported fig- losses enable the banks to directly ures. Indications are, however, reduce their tax liability and efthe operating earnings are cur- fect substantial savings. In many rently about 6.5% higher than a instances it is an effective method year ago. of minimizing the impact of the As in previous periods, the two excess profits tax. most important factors making If such savings in taxes are in_ for improved earnings were the pll]fipfi in thp Parnin^ statement It may be that differences 7M> %. the accounting policies and methods ' of accruing taxes in been engaged have sive and other western offices. For & years many has Co. served ity as program midwestern ple, but we must not forget that our responsibility is not to some, but to all of the people. When one is intent upon the welfare of the people as a whole, This activity will be it seems strange to hear arguments by Hornb lower & which, stripped of their camou¬ The correspondent func¬ flage, are against a dollar of stable being continued by the Fund. continued Weeks. is tion buying newly formed firm of Ralph W. Davis & Co., which will carry on and odd-lot activi¬ the specialists ties Midwest the on conducted previously change Paul H. Davis & Co. 1 ■ Joseph R. Carson With Hemphill Noyes ducte'd fact, actually declined in the general level have, in some instances, is still above For rate 1952 the York banks New at maintained was ? practically all of prime pffppf This 3.00%. at ' nnf>ratinfr +hp „nnn , . , . Lie- banks WhTeUSe0™lugme°of ments has not such have yields higher The better most rates interest the in important as Ca Merges are With Hornblower The consolidation (Oct. 1) of Certifioa+es of Indebtedness is of interest. month es the In August of 1952 the rate market open U. 1.94%. was clined 9- to 12- In August of 1953 index of yields was Admittedly rates have de- same 2.33%. on Government securi- S. in the oast month but the national organization of HornWeeks & Chicago's and u • 1TTTa _ • • Kidder & Co., . ^6 Florida Avenue. ig now with A Paul+ H' Davls & Co brings into George A. Winsor existence one of the nation s !argfst brokerage and underwrit¬ George A. Winsor, member of firms The consolidation repre?e?.ts tb? culmination of a close the New York Stock Exchange, relationship which has Paul H. passed away on Sept. 17. existed since the formation of Davis & Co. in 1916. During this a&°* Weeks The to - — x same pattern is municipals where applicable index on an high grade issues provided a re¬ turn of 2.22% in August of 1952, : been the & & today Co. as are Paul being and INSURANCE STOCKS three general or limited additional offices are being added to the ten previously operated by Hornblower & Weeks. The new Lynch Staff and Members Members II; New American 120 York Stock Stock Exchange partners include Paul H. Exchange BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Telephone: BArclay 7-3500 Bell Teletype—NY 1-1248-49 (L. A. Glbbs, Manager Trading Dept.) limited lowing Dearborn, A. P. and the partners: Louis J. Trees, Hatfield Cross, fol¬ Luther to The Financial CLOUD, Chronicle) Minn.—Georg^S. Knight has become affiliated with A. Lynch Company, Incorpo¬ some would-be borrow¬ who could not obtain as much credit as they would like. This is ers, Harrison the Even Act was un¬ popular with smugglers and ped¬ dlers of narcotics—although they were not in a position to vocalize their effectively. opposition age. be may "Greatest Good to Greatest evi¬ some worth of Number" policy, our When you boil it down, we sim¬ condi¬ tions certainly did not result from ply try to apply John Stuart Mill's utilitarian principle—the greatest monetary policy alone, and I would claim no more than this: good for the greatest number—al¬ ways bearing in mind that minor¬ conditions would hot have been ities also have rights, unless what so good over this period, or today, they want is unduly injurious to had the Federal Reserve desirable per¬ credit mitted created with¬ be to And others. trolled it is that the very so of benefits limited limit. out Alternative—a rated, 616 Germain Street. uncon¬ an supply money over¬ are whelmingly of Freeze to The Financial are: implicit, times to Bien is ^ ^ons now A. G. credit at fixed a the disregarding to level, This would it. reduce be fact that credit in¬ for money growing economy. This a that as- Manager of their Mutual Fund Department. stunt economic contraction employment,' and growth and lead to a production, power; I no one that the ensuing could be stopped guarantee any and point short of chaos. You no part of that. want The other alternative would be to create credit without bothering at Sheri^ and would alternative the extent absorbed and With Sheridan Bogan as would in be announces to crease J. St. Louis. Street, seem directions at both downward spiral Edwards — who time. to even about PHILADELPHIA, Pa. at alterna¬ very 'alternative "freeze" Chronicle) 111.—William with in go same One if critics from want the and BELLEVILLE, two are seldom openly stated, in criticism that has come from two directions, some¬ at Smith, Clifton Walnut partners tives purchasing A. G. Edwards Sons Add (Special Broadly—and extremes—there could sociated with them limited alternative. the of Walker, Jr., and John J. Mark- William Wilson Hewitt is now New and employment stable level of needs Harry dan Bogan Paul & Co., Inc., 1528 ham. Specialists in Bank Stocks status, general with and Speed-limit laws doubtless are have had, unpopular with those who would rather drive 80 than live to that high level policy, we these although mean Davis, who will have both general Laird, Bissell & Meeds That prices. dence of the or ad¬ partners of Hornblower & Weeks, and (Special ST. J. Fifteen former partners of Davis Joins J. A. York New the Davis firm. mitted , has correspondent and has cleared for H. BANK Hornblower period, 37-year the in¬ of the people as a outweighed by the evils not only unfairness to Credit or Its Uncontrol fixed-income groups and an arbi¬ A. M. Kidder Adds to Staff If one is to pass judgment trary and irrational redistribution (Special to The Financial Chronicle) fairly and intelligently on present of purchasing power but, even TAMPA, Fla.—Edward Buford monetary policy, he must consider more fundamental, the uncertainty x average,for the quarter is still substantially higher than a year *: belief that it is in the terest — Paul Davis blower in relatively a ^The operating picture and should be emphasized. As another example ,, xvF ivotoo of the change in rates, *ua return the the on °f Lieut- 1946 with the Colonel. the production and Carson one-half Federal Re¬ and two I said at the outset, a of Joseph & Co- J" yzinS s 1 a te m e n t s allowances ciose & Kerner, Inc. as Manager current prices. course, chosen have has been following its pres¬ ent monetary as improved the rate of return. the each less and less saved dollar today's which in serve and*? sucb nary, 1951, he Pr?blems differently and in anal- became associated with Rambo, S^est- ittfE&SSSr7 ^ which to entrusted—in were worth years S4, changed in most in¬ the stances, tVi not have if save year? During f ^ v institutions savings were Mr.. Carson , life insurance companies or other or to • yet received the full benefit from the the Thus in the first rise except" a nothing equipment that have simply inevitable. I would doubt the efficacy of any governmental helped achieve for America the decision that was not greeted with greatest production in history. What incentive would there be catcalls by some group or other. increased to 3.25%. was one reason accomplishes created thus credit the tools and ^llaaeipnia ^ Manager ot Vn >Pal banks their sb°"ld be made for such dlffer" 0f their Municipal Department. ences. Twin* thp war Mr Parson Regardless of such consideraDuring the war, Mr. s better rates now prevailing. At tions, however, the trend of oper- served with the Army bignal the same time rates on corporate ating earnings is upward and the Corps in the Mediterranean and and municipal bonds as well as reports to be issued in the coming European theatres leaving service spring it that You and I know Uarson !.s "°w associ;atea 7"1.!11 parn- ,. needs,- economic to attuned We of their savings? why this country has the highest standard of living in the world curlties exchanges, announce that J056?/1 R■ ff^ct upon the °Peratmg earn s der\ Peabody year ago. a rise—j rates fall—through the interplay of the demand for credit and a sup¬ and whole. Naturally, our choice has not PHILADELPHIA, Pa. — Hemp¬ is that many have saved, and their been, popular with some lenders, hill, Noyes Co., 1530 Chestnut who could not obtain all of the savings have been invested—if not Street, members of principal sefunds they would like to lend, ... , by them directly, then by the thefe is mt]e frQm the lo age, if not before. Will they helped by a cut in the buying power x 1 j interest letting (1) been not —pension be w 1 , and money sufficient to meet all demands. And this in turn -has meant that the cost of obtaining credit has risen. In other words, interest rates are higher. But let me emphasize that the Federal Reserve System is not. interested in promoting higher in¬ terest rates. The choice is not be¬ tween "high" and "low" rates.: Rather, the choice lies between. have lies of supply has credit Nearly all American fami¬ savings in some form ply year. policy has meant that the available — nf level fx u buy will that in favor of a less each and power doilar Reserve contributions, life in¬ and (2) on the other side, expand- '• surance, savings accounts, savings ing the supply of credit to driveby down or hold down —-interest bonds, or something else—upon even though the excess which they will be depending in rates, Ex¬ Stock IJd*u"eru- . interest rates and ciu,ae,a \n me earnings Statement Following interest rates ana an(j fhe losses are treated as capi- f \ vp vpar(?' 3 bAf ter ayera.ge voluma months tal• items, the reported earnings service in loatJf• Although in recent accordingly On the other 1^tt there have been sitfns that interest xu • • 1 World W^ar II, f nave oeen signs max interest jlan(j where the tax saving is de- Mr rarsnn rates have reached a peak and higher less would distributor of Fidel¬ western and Paul H. Davis that keeps buying less benefit some peo¬ dollars a and old will fact that most of the representatives will serve the two Chicago offices, Tax accruals will again cornmand considerable interest and to a . For banks in istered averaged 10% higher than a year pected to compare favorably with those of earlier periods and the same r\ 1953 Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, The Commercial and 34 a in to which normal it can operation growth of the economy. But time when virtually all work¬ plant, equipment, and natural resources are already employed ers, and instability that discourage the planning, the effort, and the ini¬ tiative on. which our economic depends. progress have would Some the Federal Reserve System support the prices Government of bonds at par—or II, when ^the Nation's survival was at stake, higher. we did The War that, as you know. thus put under Govern¬ bond prices did keep inter¬ just prop ment est World In rates low. sequence apparent in But it had. a con¬ that became painfully the postwar period. Marketable Government bonds not a decade or more reality, interest-bear¬ for maturing became, in ing cash; and their conversion into credit, at the own¬ Reserve Bank ers' the practical pumping into the a virtually unlimited newly printed dollars. option, equivalent economy stream of was of The number of dollars rose faster than the services, the volume of goods and price inflation was and inevitable result. Under the accord reached with the Treasury Department in March production is practically at two years ago, this pegging ar¬ presently-achievable maxi¬ rangement was stopped. The ar¬ mum, additional credit can only tificial prop under the prices of produce higher prices that benefit Government securities being re¬ and the few and lower the standard of moved, those prices declined. Con- \ currently, But of yields rose. course, the significant point is that lending institutions lost their eagerness to convert bonds into Federal Reserve business credit, and the turning promises-to- of pay-in-the-future cash into checked. was J>that had lendable So slump in the buying dollar of the power been the was going for on Now last or June yes¬ or popularity, or particular group, section. It simple benefit to any faction, or done in the was est of all the or inter¬ healthy cally would be no money induced I do bounds, there supply so overswollen bring to „ on not say, think, that the or Reserve undertaking. System We have of -quarter service chalked omnis¬ no One in — Rather century have I is over public encounter government. claiming "superior disclaim it. we claimer of In of to yet out or than wisdom, This dis¬ inherent in the policy Of It is of the "whole truth." difficult; it is consider¬ more ably duller, I am afraid; but it is the only salutary course open to and must take it. we freely functioning market,; b.v the forces of a supply that to meet economic needs Congress has made it clear that the guiding principle lying the Federal the of measure- which rise can source. for additions Plant Replacement expenditures made for to property, plant and equipment since Oct. 31, 1948. bonds credit the sinking fund at prices peat that rumors to twist an to statement. superficial, kind of of of many first must under¬ Reserve's ac¬ recent conditions," this talking principle, and sense honesty. utmost we who technically are whom should we hold in trust— We realize must the as the that v' * today's worthy of solution, somehow available \ when there is a detrimental overexten¬ sion of credit. We consider it our duty action our take within competence to aid in averting both inflation and deflation, while see¬ ing to it that the economy is aided expansion by ade¬ an quate but not excessive supply of lifeblood agriculture, and job is of industry, commerce. simple as is, might for differences of opin¬ matters. I In fact, occasions, that of decision infinite factual is enormous information, How¬ the pains on room somewhat crowded! gathering of of There final in the of masses the analysis that information, and the for¬ mation of judgments and policies. We make mistakes, but we do our honest best to make sions, irrespective of Even "thesis, .right thinking of the American When that the in the comprehend the that this is of could with possible in the centry. The complexity civilization our upon face the fact us not prob¬ man vote intelligence. Let twentieth simple average and they agora, few a of citizens the and deci¬ pressures. approach impossible on all of to contribute us impose and great responsibility a toward public en¬ The its American life, of way in factories, its transportation, its banks, complex. is t It takes master only phases. But this nism more is frighteningly almost lifetime a intricate than ues, operation, and its val¬ depend upon the intelligence, the determination, the spirit of individual human beings. Eternal vigilance is the price of the wonderful structure we call West¬ ern civilization, which will stand only as long as its people retain cultivate gave it the that qualities life—the simple virtues of energy, our pur¬ methods. When the Fed¬ System refrains from buying Government securities for rumors fly about that honesty, courage, and Halsey, Stuart Group : Offer Utility Bonds we have adopted a "hard money" pol¬ Halsey, Stuart associates & Co. offered Inc. and yesterday icy; and when we enter the bill *(Sept. 30) $3,000,000 of Worcester market again, a story gets around Gas Light Co. first mortgage that we have reversed our policy and out are 'conditions. •seemed for "easy (Sometimes there 'trading in the was more rumor money" ' it - has inspired market than 'in the bond market.) sinking fund 4% bonds, series B, Sept. I," 1973, at 101.%% and due accrued Award the The extent to which such mis¬ understandings .and rumors disquieting to the financial business the need trustees communities for to our is united proclaim interest, of are the at group Sept. 28 Of sale the of on to yield issue was competitive a net bid of 3.90%. won by sale on 100.439%. proceeds from the the proof of bonds, $1,394,000 will be used by the company to retire an unsecured 3%% serial note effort due the and as whole truth—and nothing but the truth. We have seen in our generation July 1, 1971 held by Cam¬ bridge Gas Light Co., an associate company; to retire tation, United Fruit Company has developed operations in the public interest $500,000 notes will payable ... transpor¬ many other its thirteen hospitals with their network of dispensaries... its grade schools and the Pan-American School of Agriculture, where young men from Spanish-speaking Republics learn the practical tech¬ niques of land-use... its land reclamation projects by which swamp its and jungle areas are converted far-flung radio-communications Americas . . . its extensive to productive system use serving the tropical payrolls and policy of large scale local purchases in Central America. Such basic are some of the factors involved in the Company's enterprise—the production of bananas and sugar for the markets of the world. All of them spell usefulness, which for more than fifty years has been the criterion of to machine. Its a mutually beneficial commercial mecha¬ continued and Hand in hand with its operations in Middle American agriculture and myriad its of one mutual trust. eral Reserve month, Co., Inc. , mag¬ problems make this our and in evidence of my there is considerable mis¬ poses and & Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Merle-Smith; and Stroud HEALTH ... nitude of so, understanding regarding a lems that— as precisely what form of action be. and the lightenment. in purpose. In practice, it is no simple thing to determine exact¬ ly when action should be taken, every dealers. & or met ever, Dick other participating in the offer¬ are: solve. to easy realization, had product Also ing and I (H distribution—understand¬ for usually seemed debt; common an Athens these of institution's cestuis que trust, but for all the American people, for economic recent shares this only In all trustees not are those to make credit less continued and room with will consist long-term stock. The sales 350,000 of and about, people. in cooperation and appliances, direct through through retail sells company know we our some both Census. States also the of $5,928,450 We years. sure be necessary or desirable for ion of the — other, must permeate the attitude say, United the company tion fi¬ capitaliza¬ truthful tem attempts to make credit more available whenever that seems to should an popula¬ in 1950, compared with 407,000 in 1940, according to outstanding speak out with utmost clar¬ This it having year-round current have been doing us in make Sys¬ and Massachusetts, approximate tion of 453,000 and $537,403. was the probably misleading deceptive the suant Our nancing, central income effect, to public serv¬ us, seldom the net Giving thinking and talking that increasingly ity a otherwise All are credit, and in 28 communities in eastern 30, $7,013,483 at and private citizens alike, reject the glib, the easy, the ants must too are give baseless, although in its steady rang¬ is engaged principally in the dis¬ and sale of natural gas tribution reported the June speak out against the spreading to talk carelessly and without due consideration, to re¬ problems to redeemable, were ended to Pur¬ a be 1953 Co. for revenues months .> Federal Reserve Act puts it. easily will Light Worcester twelve Although reluctant to play the role of Jeremiah, I feel obligated "sound . company's Fund ing of basic economic truths. threat of 31, Gas Operating ac¬ higher than its public interest, particularly through the maintenance of progress, Oct. plus case.. morality, public no and country's to par, each only in governmental actions and tivities is the advancement of the to improvement 1948. The balance of the proceeds will be used to reimburse the in respect for tr.uth and candor, not for rather than to fix interest rates. The than a renewed this country today then • The a is Nothing in is geared the interest crued Truth For what --web are a with ing from 101.38% to in¬ Renewed Respect at the option of the company, at and Candor general redemption prices rang¬ more important to ing from 104.875% to par, or for Importance of letting interest rates be deter¬ mined by the forces of demand; and in greater power, plant subsequent Boston, were tendency cient supermen among us. a the the long run, of connection company's program Bank 1954, which statements, but in those of private flawless achievement in this a in as in 33 citizens,, for there—ultimately—is bust. Federal up fidence lie ex¬ further shrinkage in the dollar's buying power—and eventually a boom- . little the one people and with to keep the purpose: pansion of credit within economi¬ of well; the slanted statement, the crooked emphasis. It is up to us to reaffirm our con¬ curred done to win votes not was National due Dec. 31, two and one-half years ago. was And it First "big lie," but—skillfully used—of January. or (1247) The remember, that wasn't terday, It only the awful power of the not us, years. - Chronicle Number 5260.. .The Commercial and Financial Volume 178 be to used The United Fruit Company GREAT WHITE FLEET General Offices: 80 Federal Street, Boston 10 Pier 3, N. R., New York 6 • 1514 K St., N. W., Washington 5 « 36 (1248) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle have both increased since 1950, hand, the utilities Continued from paue 3 ') has declined from 27 to 18 in this mm Ml « FP1 _ Marl/ftl TMA -A ill# Ifffl 1 IVldav Allfl %?UUJr ll&lZ&Jlvft if 'else. I going to try to break down these three factors into component parts and finally try to fit them am into JLet is where the technician comes in. He has devised literally hundreds of methods — a whole battery of tools that purport to show us the way that stock prices business releases from earnings, and yielding over 6%. will !n thepast, when the Dow was selling up in this area, stocks sold between 15 and 20-times "earnings no system of interpreting movements of the averages yet been formulated which com- and the over those including of country, the from Department Commerce and other departments in and addition read of most financial services, and the attend nu- analyst meetings in New "York, that I have specialized in ;and spent more time in studying inerous the technical and thus, srnyself the of side market coining new words, I call "securitician" or "tech- a jaalasyst." You Making fundamental much Iiave the debusiness pic- to current access forecasts than better what on I figures and the highly im- motor industry jportant planning for ing and You do. is thinkYou 1954. have also been reading, as I have, It is self-evident that move. and the continue to the rails. Today they selling are at about one-half those ratios. So, it seems to me that we have been passing thiough a relatively appraisal based era earn- on A*xall mar^e s aie drfferent, t at histoiy sa^ d°es not repeat, and t at you se ^01T1 „a.ve.a meeting of the s me fetors twice in the st c mar et. °nfth/8 1 Wl11 agr+ee' except to say that the speculative and investme+nt defeatism of today seems lusp a? ""reasonable as the blind j and have j two or trouble with those. This technical side of mar- kej. enough one anaiySjs should exclusively, for be used never technician the makes his greatest mistakes when be disregards basic fundamental statistics and long range factors vvbjcb affect our economy. The use f ^ technical ap'proach alone .makes the chartist an easy With respect to a few individual stocks, exactly a year ago today, was, the was selling at 31," now 3/; American Tobacco 56, now 72; United Aircraft 35, now 38; Carrier 28, now 36, Continental Can 43, now 52; General Foods 49, now 55, and yet Anaconda selling Stores then at 42 is 30; Celanese 41, now entirely that the' market top made ,at 295 D.J last January was the real top of the bull market. cannot give are why reasons it has been so hard for the analysts and f°r the technicians to discuss the market as unit and in ail a the benefit you after considering entered this business, my "Don't which and prophesy. If you ever prophesy wrong, nobody will forget it, and if you prophesy right, nobody will remember it." First, from studying the fundamentals, and I am not an economist, I very much doubt that we should expect serious recession, a While the F.R.B. Index will prob- ably decline to around 210-220, people will come to realize that business is not going to collapse in These 1954. and have been things know we hearing about for long time: a agree (1) That corporation profits will be down but since the market has 0ver-valued previous good earnings by the well-known yardnever sticks mentioned earlier this in talk, the market cannot have very far to go down if the business let— Up does not exceed my present market reports, both weekly and monthly, I have^ run the risk of boring my readers by my rePeate<J references to extreme seActivity. They are also reasons why it seems completely illogical to talk of a complete bear market (2) Dividend pay-outs have been extremely conservative for a jong time, about 60% overall, and they are not likely to be cut unless there is a drastic decline in earnings. The end of the E.P.T. ft thJs time w*?en of on the Exchange are sel*ing below their 1946 highs, for many corporations should tend to offset a g00d portion of any drop in earnings and thinning of why the stocks mark for the fundamentalist directs a continuous line of ridi- answering gas stocks started up almost eight years ago in 1948, and have been in a slow uptrend for most of that long period of time, These prefer using just in of rny best all the technical, fundamental and psyetiological'factors at my command, Let me say at this point, that I realize that I am going counter to the advice given me when I first the now 22; Chrysler 85, now 64; has Johns-Manville 74, now 59; Deere 32, is now 24 and Standard Oil of accurately reveal the true situa- New Jersey 76 is now 68. So, I other. this point on? All I can do this question is to from opinion can Iess than 5%. Even at the 1937 tion within the stock market and and J?46 tops, the earnings ratio precisely and without error forewas about 20 times on the indus- cast its movements. Too many trials and at around 11 times on theories tend to contradict each !pgs' all probably know retailed ture Alarm for This and never below 15 and at yields low Factors setback in up resisted ent substantially inflated dollar, qustnes and lower in others. In when the Dow-Jones industrial Today, hy all the traditional shop- fact, in the past 15 years there averages were selling at 270, it is wo™ measurements, analysts are were only three times when stock interesting to note that Safeway prices actually followed earnings. keep company all in- up-to-date with earnings outlooks, eco- to xiomic profits, some estimating earnings on the Dow- market literally thousands of deavor of rating earnings higher in Jones industrial stocks for 1953 at upwards of $25, even after higher taxes, with a dividend pay-out of $15 a share. Thus, the Dow.stocks are selling less than ten times of reports every year, and en- pany constantly action, say I read vesting public which changes its evaluation at the onset, that while forecast a me ais0 influenced by the underlying attitude on the part of the in- take into account our pres- we started strongly necessarily follow earnings,'but is natural * . the psychology of was recent have 1 AmATfnW These brief ^lustrations show indicate higher levels. AVlllVAIVn that the price of a stock does not Going back a little further, 4 physical assets per snare than the market place and this factor they ever have before, and are perhaps has more to do with shap- therefore relatively much cheaper ing security prices than anything than in former years, especially that it say 1949, same period. • Thursday, October 1, 1953 ... expectations. shslsfz mV&totatta pencils and have figured out .your what such setback should do a SB St £^S KR.R In- to •tl:.e earnings of companies in vari- pe"od of tl"le; merited. At any rate, when the complete history ol this stock market pe- nod is written and you probably have estimated rather generously what the tax I think that the conclusion will be that the long upward trend remained in force cushion regardless of the recent bear associated defense <ous would be industries, individual on companies operating under E. P. T. bracket when large a this in- ket Dow signal, mainly first there was because great no mar- over- speculation or period of over-valulation immediately prior to this commodity prices as recent setback, especially in the by a drop from 215 to second and third class securities, equitable tax expires on Jan. 1 as we expect. You have noted a big decline in xneasured 154-155 in the Dow-Jones index of and secondly because man^stocks commodity futures during the past were not carried to the high price two years. You have considered .times earnings ratios that prewith apprehension the increases in ^ vailed at previous bull market ratesjvthe risin^lnyentories ;tops. I was interested to note re<0*1 manufacturers' shelves, and the cently that one of our leading large amount of installment credit statistical services is estimating ^outstanding. You are aware of the earnings on 125 industrial stocks osoney .•fact that while defense our pro- jgram will continue at a -<that «aff and . high level big backlogs are falling the that equipment been for that plant and has purpose susbtantially completed. You *iave the additional been alarmed expansion in that this much of levels even serious decline the .cause and in that sales dividing line -profit and loss to grow In general, then, slowing avowing apart down a own, the at would between narrower. you but dui than last lost. fully are not not foiling ianing 1954 of year, Lower 1954 could panies so which is better all may not be projected for that many com- taxes mean might report higher earnings in 1954 than this net _ The Technical Side and seams, lies immediately ahead that liuiiieuidiexy; diieaa. ims xesx : Now let us discuss briefly the value of the study of the technical the Let years. miat bears we jsame in is 20 years have two in the equities Dividend ago past moderately two years, $225 on saying that high ■ statis- a dividends aiviaenas satisfaesatistac- are aie the whole storv our nrnhlpm<! w« uxeiwnuxe story our problems was >fleems that to .. . me in todav" - and are this rpnrpcpnt Tn iiincfrafo PiPariv an nL recently thp rpaHinctmPnt i tw he were We are still spending huge sums £or de£ense> about *50 b»lion even with the recently an" nounced reduction, and this will continue to be an important susthe 0verln inv^tment nTctnre i 1 fJJtlJ? Zhirh taining influence., ,ik f think nf the + ^ 1 V(4) We know that the AdminisDroacbes fundamental ami tech" JS h^ i"1 very c^ose y J tration has previously been comj ' f constant technical approach, but in a some- mitted to a hard money policy and k' You can nrittv 7n dlffef^nJ way.'Who can nght- a baianced budget, but we hope ith * . f . P ^ S S3y 11 w... they can encourage a rotating ret whv nnt'nw hnfh millions who buy or sell securities adjustment with this- honest ' both. will react to the many events that money program, and there is good Let me glve you one example, are likely to occur in the, fore- reason to believe that as experi^ ^ver seven months ago. there seeable future. We can use all the ence(j businessmen, those in ,the came across my desk a very ex- yardsticks of statistics and other Treasury Department! will haustive and excellent study on measurements of the past and promptly put into "use some of-the text"© industry with the con- some of the technical tools, but many devices at their command to cfusl0n that the stocks in this sometimes a bolt out of the blue forestan a serious business slump. fr°up were under-valued by all like the "Fall of France,' Pearl Tbe government certainly has a fuudamental statistics. Yet, tech- Harbor,' the Korean War, or reSp0nsible interest in prosperity, was no evidence at even the election results m 1948 especially for 1954. tlme that the bottom had give both the. fundamentalists and These things we know espemontb j still ' h believe that important The Psychological thev value in Finally there • Side the i« nsvoho- 1 see _ . , work with technician a might interpret in terms of mass inves- . b ^ t ^usiness been hfvae delayed publication of this tor psychology. In 1946 the fun- „eL s0 going to have recession which has well advertised that busi- men havrbeen cautious for a , , . stocks wjthin a • «-1S p0 w + bull in mariqo7 storm clouds Tune that gathering as While th^ vear early nuhl dS Wlt"es^d in 1937 as June that yeai. While the pub ',n eacb,o£ ™hl.ch y?a,rs bc ?an 6° ]° wlld ?x£remes of op- and t194® most a witnp„pH I ?PJU. made neriod nf their siv highs mnnthc in timism and pessimism, antiHnafpc t h n c p the market funriampntal UL"tr1 woius, , peupie «*xc pieny wel1 prepared for this recession, i and the hope that we ail nave is inai \nis ..\eLe" , beLDdCK. market will not have such U1 a u. sen- the present market wl"ch be'gan changes and often discounts them ous impact on business as to cause "s Primary forward movemenf m a long way ahead." Quite) often co^orate earnings to decline h many, St°CkS made thff- chl"gefs psycb°lo.gy are thelr hlfts over tw0 years ag0' not timed to fundamenta changes. others over a year ago, and often the stock market very Stee thin generally LSd We knnwEhmlftLl d'1 vet hnt rore „ 7q' • -i? . * mixineapuiis- time, going from a low of 32 ? ^ , aircraft and tobacco 5 stock* and sentiment this discounting from a study ter look and see if I can read into of all the factors, that this is pot them some of the story that is un¬ phase, it and seems to me --- e /Tev?rse textile stocks made their tops in the time to follow the crowd and folding before us. Sometimes the case of United February 1951 and have since rush for the hills. most logical interpretation of the lLpoints below the high level * the stocks started up in 1948 and have lo earnings aropped from not stopped yet. The steel ♦ i aJVipenasana.more; whose m PromIsed }°% cu£ individual .taxes •n?x-t year wblcb wl" tend to maintain and actually increase consumer spending power, IxampEes Sears' REeCck3 \°>discount it. This isT ,example' £h\ d™§ aad Fl what is carefully considered, from 40 to 62. whilf earnings fell l0^L^all,Ub.m.-19o4ith„iE.a„n a"d The Charts nrettv ^pij from eventual peace econintery ^v ^in ve^ iiuely eontfnue for as as to- don t know about that yet but it s and still others have been in a de- will anticipate a fundamental hard to think of any^ business more clining trend since January this change in the economic picture shock that we haven't pretty nn«mr rhVJHpnrie in onlv ^^ °"oncedinJ^ price levels n^Ll .fiU Established this P many sioned JS hPPn earnings is often eventually disillu- on 1As.ll11.ustrat®d irf the L] Airlines. Earnings have increased added from $2.90 to .$4.03 a share since hnnn^ini!' ye* the current Price of 23 nvprinrkL- mnrP r>: havp stocks earrhmx stocks earnings sides thev and value based tr manv but asset all ite the made such transition economy al1 characteristics of and ana Honeywell Unprecedented Values people loW have one country's the war-Deace ings It is tically provable fact that about 75% of the fluctuation.in stock we been the about past dealing valued during now the r pretation Lnvine f prices is caused by changes in earnings and dividends. If earn- side of the market. emphatically state misled not over traded low me are jay?outs over mistakes used ®tudy untd today when prices damentalists were predominantly nesa Deei^' daa"ous; ior a bear a much m,ore realistic rela- bullish both on business and the t„"Es 7IEca aied EEr Drof table tlon to Pr®se?t Prospects, after market, but the stampede in the tones, aiscaraeoi less p 01 iau over ? 20% decline during this fall threw The fundamentalists a tmra, nave eitected qperati g et per'od- Certainly this market as little off balance, but not the treie^cies and have put t a "h°le llas bad "one of the over- qualified technicians who saw the m oraer so ro speax in justmcnT pLod is gofngatoere" investor miking hisSklf com" iolvA the ifrgument of the bulls "0^^'on^SLTd and having teyhnical t®ols many years and d a This test- Actually these of +eei? re?, ,,lrl. thls ^roup of the technicians more than they stoc^s- Consultation and team- can immediately understand or year. tory and stay so, stock prices will testing period for industry take care of themselves, but if this severe aix-s any that the business machine is aware quarter productive capacity has been made at the ibighest cost in history; and at high break at the rate of $7.50 for the first Eome been in a declining trend. The metal stocks made their peaks in January 1952 and have been'in a very substantial-decline Dresser Industries, since. The oil stocks made earnings ; and dividends ever their highs in July 1952. On the other value of What Now? And now we come to the $64 question that you and everyone vance. else want to know the divergent What is the market answer to. a stock does not follow earnings, but discounts a declining trend for many months in ad- There is still mixed a very pattern widely in this goipg- to do market. As I have previously in- Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1249) dicated, find we evidence that stocks and good a deal of Aircraft, Republic Aviation, Boeing industry individual many groups of stocks and have Douglas. The television stocks to appear stocks should pretty well next hold year even up though be rebuilding a base lesidential building will decline. bear market for some for another upward swing this btocks favored are Armstrong time, a bear market within a bull fall. Several look especially at¬ Cork, Otis Elevator, Pittsburgh market. We also see evidence of tractive particularly, Admiral, Plate Glass, Rubberoid and weakened technical patterns in Motorola, Zenith and Radio. The Johns-Manville. If the economists many issues which indicate lower textiles, liquors, department stores, are right in telling us that con¬ levels, and then there are some airlines, automobile, auto equip¬ sumer spending power will reach stocks that are already showing ment, motion picture and mining a new high, especially when the signs of slowly bottoming out in and smelting are among groups 10% reduction in personal been in a preparation for The vance. renewed a price action of each stock tells its own story. The tim¬ ing of purchases and sales of in¬ dividual stocks is just as impor¬ tant as the selection of the stock. One thing from is result on of will take much imarket to go further a adjustment strong period and base for the next trend. It is also bound is Dry Goods Field cannot technical and ly looking well beyond the 1953 earnings results and would have to suffer some pretty sharp drops in earnings before making present prices look excessive. They would a upward A and Federated, the strong <of weakness. In this type of levels present and 100-102 continues which at mgs who are discuss At a I'm 292 in April, stared one in March to 22 points, the or from 281 270 only second J. the May, de¬ sistance levels, and while it is dif¬ clining to 261 in June, or 20 ficult to justify much lower levels points, and the third leg dropped even on a. further reduced basis from 278 in August to 255 in Sep¬ of operations, it is my belief that tember, a 23 point fall. By co¬ this group will prove unattractive incidence, the volume and extent for much price appreciation for each on the of one thrusts has these been A same. downward the present, approximately should fourth be downward being. leg of 20 points from the estimated doubt .top of the current recovery from the earlier September lows would take the Dow-Jones industrials to --approximately I not am at the all 240-245 sure that level. we are and From that Steel will sell much Bethlehem Steel below below the rubber stocks ing so far presented a pretty .strong "Maginot Line" on a sell¬ ing cliniax and strange to say actual -•some selling. As necessitous I see the margin rich below angle, I Republic 38-40, 41-42, 31-32 are time below U. level. speakers their in S. and I doubt of each of open firms. these • i_ -I pro- , , 1, will of finan¬ and below 55-57. on other groups. that is the big $64 question mark whether the 255 level will hold. the leading copper stocks were selling about 14 points higher than After the .again another setback in early 1954. ./great deal longer period of price ^readjustment and testing period before the bull trend renewed to six months. are which mf ^as many should -upward moves broader my In as a unit great any Unfortunately, this there switch Some Groups Considered Looking at the broader view, i:he' technical piattern indicates a to a is may the extent. take four meantime, groups have can of stocks worthwhile during this period reaccumulation. Just chart work during the past shown that various "two years has tobaccos. reversed from will coppers Stock be position of teresting Today, the and perhaps tobaccos chemicals again. I'd to look like to of the phase is the Investment buys. Merck 38-39 and utilities June at 16-17, Pfizer in lows at holding on the Abbott 26-28. above In at nounced. graduate of New York University purchases and sales of shares in the portfolio. These com¬ mittees meet every third Thurs¬ on School and B. Mr.^« Hoffmann of Business started J. in and Wall and New in York Chicago and 1937 Morris Mather & Co. and light income com¬ portfolios very carefully and pre¬ pare them for the next upward phase that place, I'm and that will sure M Your take presently is in a slow process of reforming. From timing phase, this unwinding or readjustment phase has good a chance of being concluded during the last quarter of the year. Cer¬ Heavy '' recession is reached. As I said be¬ fore, many stocks duty bearish ■I III! available at are f'J Horse- lii In* protect'0'' is unrealistic. now with the It is well to remember that booms generally end when everyone is <# t of this high¬ is shrouded gloom with it as is pessimism today. remember you don't ket averages individual any buy the more, Veedol and Above all, equipment stocks ap¬ favored. The building . » » f "Film of Protection" buy stocks. Great Forum Meet in CHICAGO, Finance Gliicago 111. —The Forum starts High - Detergency mar¬ you motor Oct. on cleaner after Women's its veedol oil resists High-Detergency blow-by horse-power! It leaves 19th . related It the was to the ts was a leading brokerage investment first in houses. operating Investment Again, it a Wom¬ Program—W.I.P. workshop experiment in which stocks are actually investigated, studied and then actually bought and sold. A portfolio of stocks engine properties hold contaminants in Don't meeting the seals in draining, because its deter¬ tive anti-corrosion film the first women's hold . ravages acid"engine sweat"by forming a to Exchange and in quarters of the —a is waste , on of protec¬ metal surfaces. horsepower! Use all the power your car can Trading Floor of the Chi¬ Stock and en's Forum organization whose was organization on The 1. . your . enlighten concerning finance and subjects for their own women cago pear - optimistic, not when the outlook benefit. 1952. are oi? 1947 he to bet the bankroll. Rather, it looks like the time to look over purpose 36-37 In to time women's The farm came general this is not the time to first than own joined Paul H. Davis & Co. sole net his Vice-President as pretty strong technical position to carry to new highs. I favor the The with. Company ij,' suspension. And it fights the power Finance he" organized firm, Hoffmann gent electric a Ingen & Co. 1923 In is Street Van ing ac¬ pretty well over-sold. Sor^jp following groups of stocks should out-perform the averages such as Case are down over 60% during the period ahead: aircrafts, from their 1951 high; Deere down television, food and food chain, from 37 between present price and drug and natural gas. Of these the ^aircraft stocks have recently 20; Allis Chalmers between pres¬ ent price and possible shown new low of outstanding strength. I Co., and tion than the industrials and rails. While slow, this group is in a least. especially favor Lockheed, United & Wells covers The have averages er at Davis get frightened and sell long term holdings. It is certainly not the their relatively better price •clearly that months H. Mullaney, year's program with its-first meet¬ shown panies. The Paul opera¬ Program ing ethical drug stocks look like good group is expected to be 10% "few buy Cyanamid at 40, Mathdu Pont at around and Dow at 31-32. The 90-92, CHICAGO, 111. — Arthur M. Hoffmann, formerly manager of municipal bond department of the then combine for reports and vot¬ ieson at 33-34, ;again technical studies show very facing a some¬ what similar period for the next in¬ American •groups of stocks have gone through •extreme divergent price action, so we are the profitable. prove the Mullaney, Wells Go. Chicago starting at will join Company. in "Workshop methods. South La Salle Members Street,, as meet in committees for Vice-President on October 1, Paul study and L. consideration of investments and Mullaney, President, an¬ price levels which offer and will .picture, I would expect a further The tobacco stocks strangely continue to offer sound values of backing and filling or enough appear in rather high ter¬ and attractive dividend base building for the next week or ritory and while yields. investment posi¬ Unless the business picture deter¬ 10 days, and then another upward tion should be held, this group :move until early or mid-October should have a moderate correction iorates much faster than antici¬ to 266-268 D. J. Then I would before new purchases can be rec¬ pated, a lot of this discounting has already taken place, and to •expect another testing period and ommended. Last year on this date, be too leading Z-UUt)D, Arthur Hoffmann With be John P. Chase, Investment second more in¬ high¬ banquet at the Mid¬ Hotel in If 9 135 period that, the inevitable strong .year-end rally into January, and un«n UUIU forum is held be¬ Oct. a group edur cational and worthwhile. Consultant will speak on the "In¬ ternational Situation and Securi¬ ties." tion tainly the market should be start¬ ing on its upward course not later 21-22, than April 1954. As often hap¬ Good¬ pens, prices will probably be ris¬ ing before the low point in any below 47-50 Brief comments investing will find this new ?d£ondi..ana wormwmie. uiose mausines. information is desired, call tmo« Dear- r an are interested m with current economic conditions and want to learn about fields industries and who up sell below 39- Switch From Tobaccos to Coppers short-term keeping some of the high¬ lights of various groups of stocks. a The gradually reach¬ an over-sold area, Firestone the technical a .-going to have that fourth leg, but that Goodyear will it is perfectly possible. The 255 40, U. S. Rubber level has for much very purchases new avoided and1 stocks few. a This have in estate 4 Women regular meet- guests and a panel vestment authorities from The Carrier under at name periods of weakness. The broken important re¬ on steels D. enrolled. of 24-26; Montgomery Ward at ket action all stocks will not make The oils show different patterns. 50-52; Continental Baking at 18their lows at the same time. Some are reaching 19, Bendix at 47-48; Freeport Sul¬ buying levels, day, starting Oct. 15. phur at 36-37; Climax Molybden¬ With this preamble, let's get particularly Phillips, Pure, Cities The third phase of the Forum Service, Socony, Ohio and Union um at 30-31; Vanadium at 28-30; down to cases and discuss the program is the holding of ten Oil of California. Others will have Aluminum Corp. at 39-40; WestDow-Jones averages, groups of sessions to on Personal go through a considerable inghouse at 36-37; Food Machin¬ weekly stocks and individual stocks. amount of work before going very ery at 30-32; Lone Star Cement at Money Management to give stuThe averages, the often mislead¬ dents a basic much higher and still other oil 23-24 and Columbia understanding of all Broadcasting ing, deceptive and outmoded Dow stocks phases of finance—banking, inat 36-38. If you're such as Warren looking for de¬ Petroleum, industrial average, which does not Texas Gulf Producers, Houston fensive issues, how about stocks hegin to tell the story, has sold such as Corn and Texas look a little lower. Products, American down in a series of three legs of This group of stocks, now yield¬ Tel. & Tel., Safeway, Scott Paper, ;about 20 points each during the General ing over 6% on the Foods, Colgate Palmaverage, .year with the third leg decline should be held for American long term, but olive, Stores, J. C. .•signalling a bear market under the additional purchases are advised, Penny, Borden, Swift, National Dow theory. The first leg down and Eastman especially in producing companies, Lead Kodak to .broke from mar¬ real surance, her leader- program selected leaders various i V end 6 p.m. issues four developments in those industries land Issues other are: under Pining phases. ^ three cial 30; Cincinnati Milling Machine at that there are many sound values not benefit under EPT expiration. 36-38; General Motors at 48-50; selling at depressed levels with They are entitled to some further Reynolds Metals at 38-40, Borg/good dividend yields that should recovery from present prices, but Warner at 60-62; Libby-Owenshe bought on any further periods should run into resistance between Ford at 31-32; Worthington Corp. apparent very club lighted by interested in buying some time in the period ahead if they reach in¬ dicated prices for tween Attractive of operatiop bonds, and wills and trusts. This many years of experience class, the first of which starts behind them under the able leadMonday, Oct. 5, is repeated from ership of Mrs. Lorraine Blair, the time to time as new students are grams overlook number in With department pattern of Marshall Gimbels at this time. Other the average are obvious¬ on been years. Stores, Asso¬ earnings, with yields re¬ lay in™™,* income pvppcq excess of this some seep through into stores. Favor Allied ciated and of 7% time for the more through place, then thrnncrh SPPn The rails, selling at less than five times current basis, as setback, it recent to to present time. A few comments on three of these groups is necessary. apparent overall an the tax takes marginal maiginai rails, and railroad equipment are not particularly interesting at the study of these charts, and a this is that a perfectly income which appear pretty well sold out and entitled to a good recovery from current levels. Steels, oils, ad¬ has 37 deliver. Fill your crankcase every 1000 miles with VEEDOL High-Detergency motor oil. , 38 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... (1250) Continued, from Reilly and Staff Our Join Burnham Go. Burnham Broad and Street, members of ■Exchange, John F. has New York the New York Stock announced that Reilly become their of De- follows the dissolu¬ of tion J. F. Reilly & Co. of Sept. 28, with Joseph F. Kelly, Rob¬ ert W. Payne, Jack Wie- B. other and lar F. John key personnel moving to Burnham and Company. Reilly 4 J. F. membership to reorganize Kelly and Wielar prior with Mr. J. Arthur Warner & Co. for approximately 17 years. Mr. Payne until recently was Trading Manager of the local to association with their Reilly, being were office of Courts & Co. E. T. Gernon Joins A. C. Allyn & Co. MADISON, Wis. — Edward T. has become associated A. C. Allyn & Co., 119 East Gernon with Washington Avenue. Mr. Gernon was formerly manager of the local office of Ames, Emerich & Co., Inc., which has been longer end of the government market continues to hold of buyers of Treasury issues even though there is activity in the intermediate and short-term The 3V4% bond, and the longer-term 2!/2S, have been in neck in the race for the market leadership. greater volume and obligations. neck discontinued. Einar Graff, and Roger A. Stefany have become associated with Francis I. du Pont & Co., 208 South La Salle Street. Mr. Graff was formerly with Link, Gorman, Peck & Co. Mr. Goldman in the CHICAGO, 111. — Charles., Goldman and Com¬ past was with Sincere pany. Joins White, Long Bonds in Strong Demand bullishness The favorable effect upon LOS ANGELES, the gains being shown in the longer end of the list. distant with White, derson was Calif.—Paul J. associated Weld & Co. Mr. An¬ formerly with Hemp¬ hill, Noyes & Co. and Sheilds & Company. It appears as repetition of moving up, everyone is a buyer and there are no sellers. However, this does not go on indefinitely because sooner or later quotations reach levels where profits will be taken and when this does happen it does not take too much time to take a good part of the profession¬ more has brought about exist when prices maturities, a conditions that always seem to are market. a of peril; securities some This is the changing hands. professional side of the situation which has been very instrumental in moving up quota¬ tions of these obligations. There does appear to be, nonetheless, a real feeling around that the peak has been reached rates and this goes for the long-term ones as well as in money the short and intermediate rates. Rate the most distant of the monetary authorities is looked upon as a factor that must be watched very carefully because this will have an influence upon what happens to long-term interest rates. If there are to be no repetitions of what happened earlier in the year, and there are strong indications there will not be, then the peak has quite likely concerned are been the debt management policy because in long-term rates, seen of the money according to many close followers markets. 3Y4s of 1983 Moving Higher Some of the holders of the 3V4S due 1978/83 believe that much higher prices are This opinion is based upon likely to be a reopening of the 3J/4% rates should tend to decline, as it is in store for this bond. the belief that there is not issue because if interest believed they will, then the Treasury in future refundings and financing will be able to use a lower rate than 3V4% for longterm operations. Such a development would have a very favorable Unfortunately, it is little under-f stood or appreciated that such it fense, The uptrend in the 2V2% as bonds, the restricted issues as well favorable effect upon the of these securities because there has always been a tinction go them that these bonds should not inclined to MUNICIPAL do when quotations Other Issues Reflect were lower. are still very even issues. Switches the come continue to be government market one with of the main not few to a a sources of activity institutions! close. anteed INCORPORATED housing bonds. Joins WHitehall 3-1200 HA 6-6463 of Jong-range needs; not only projection for the present but security for the fuI ture. certain-, that am aim our. accomplished land that /we a rigid bconomy without loss of strength. ^ was Secondly, the reductions were judged on the ba£is,:qf a dollar's worth of return for every one of the doHarjfcwhich taxpayers This spent. seeminfjy pletely. Yet, how among who us value full for escaped economists, Deal New not do With Ellis & Co. Slayton Staff (Special to The Financial Chronicle) ST. LOUIS, Grimmer with com- there insist on are many dollars our was evident to ,have concept appears the the in purchase of food, clothing and the ingly, that life. of necesities and Accord- tions be be insistent was be extravagance removed, end to such an the other many payrolls, has Slayton 408 Olive Mo. — become & Street. Walter (Special T. affiliated Company, Inc., to The Financial Chronicle) CINCINNATI, Ohio—Robert B. Shott has become Ellis & Building. Co., connected with Dixie Terminal encouragement drains be tolerated. against this or wen war can longer no is not launched by the Soviet Union in us the next few years, we may that suppose proposes to our 0wn paVe the way for There is but that destroy ' thereby own defeat. ' we and economy no Kremlin the wait while our question in my mind Russia would be pleased see this nation spend its way into bankruptcy. This will not happen if there is a reintroducto tion of vitai working partner in the nomic American a eco- of this country. The Administration proposes insure • . as life present to industry that , such done. be . , • . ... ]? \0S Ju . , business transaction . ( ^ in the public the ^turned to private enterprise and *° *he nation s tax rolls the Fed- upon crally-owned Inland Waterways Corporation a barge line opercharged ahog on certain rivers in the south ing the monies appropriated. _ an^ mid-west. This corporation ha<^ been a constant burden on of our formulataxpayers losing money m achieving sound reductions J2 of the last 14 years to the exa healthy atmosphere in govnearly $10 million. The third phase The and If ini- American interest- That department recently who, after all, are with the responsibility of spend- for of 1933, Administration of and since and allowances travel waged by this of capital and against the use . overloaded and heavy excessive has been government against the free flow ^ a5 e*amPle Je. "ew anc* on<~ which 1^u?" .ra economy to be found m ® veinment if only the effort is and that there ad6,ls m a recent transaction of matters as top- £ Department of Commerce; a committee our waste have but inhibiting the flow of in.- fare that eliminated, that overlapping of agencies and duplication of f'unc- ernment, and the one I should Secretary of to emphasize particularly to- a sales price Commerce obtained of $9 million for this day, was based upon the mandate Property, which represented the of the people as expressed last highest price that had ever been November that further encroach- offered. In addition to this amount, ments by the Federal'Government jre quick assets of the Corporainto the field of private enter- ll0n should net for the taxpayers prise should terminate; except in approximately $2.7 million in cash those areas where private enteranc* accounts receivable. The buyer prise was unable or unwilling to has agreed to provide rnore workfunction or where, for reasons of caS,1ua aiPoun^ing to $1 milnational security or national in- J1®11, Thus> the businessmen in like terestr private enterprise could operate. And even in these insisted that governoperations should be supwe plemented by contracts with private enterprise wherever possible, Eisenhower Administration an excellent business deal for the public They provided by contract for the purchaser to furmsh adequate services for the small, as well as the large, ship¬ , „ of m°st occuirences decades, or of • . . Perhaps the Socialism . the of . agic seriea past two entire history, our > - the per, for Planning Stop . they arranged for the buyer *° help the workers by over existing jn short they taking labor contracts and have removed the g0vernment from competition with £rivatp Pntprnrise have been those manifestations of thinking and Planning "New Deal" and "Fair the has cialism planning for begin planning and our enterprise capacity. 19 free system function The in its fact that people true in 1952 in this million country were on one form or other the public payroll is a sign of that should not be ig- Assuming that millions of this group who draw Federal salaries or pensions are heads of families, the total number of individual dirert Americans eovernmpnt mu an Easy Task . A The task of economizing is not so- of danger Economizing Not a small one nor is it easy to acto eomplisli., Speaking from my perof private sonal experience, I cannot recall to stop come make The time Administrations. who enjoy suh<?idv hp- that the Appropriations Commit*ee haa ever worked harder , or l°n&er hours than during ^ s recent session. Committee members, Republican and Democrat ahke, labored from early morning until late at night to ?c ,iev5 ? sound a*M economical budget for each department of government. The members of the Committee and its several subcommittees worked Without stint of their time and energies to pro^uce which, I am convinced, Dealers talk of the "welfare state." ]?aYe *ai(* the groundwork for efOur system of capitalism remains flcient anc* eoonomical operation as our strength only so long as it government for the fiscal years is permitted to operate ^t its full- t° come. a wonder ST 2-9490 terms dollars dustrial capital. The guerrilla war- tiative in of feet of think comes ST., NEW YORK 5 BOSTON 9 a millions what may be the more serious ef- had and nored. According to reports, there has been a fairly sizable amount of the partially exempt issues changing hands with a large part of the proceeds from the sale of these securities going into state and municipal bonds. It is also indicated that not a few of the tax sheltered treasuries have been replaced with the government guar¬ CHICAGO 4 ers dis- today, it was necessary and continues to be necessary that we over making important tax adjustments during the third quarter which has just 45 Milk St. the the President being .* an age of fleeting instant of confronts this na- It the Tennessee Valley Au- as thority not only cost the taxpay- tion in much though the more distant issues seem to have the center of the stage. Volume and activity is far larger in these obligations than it is in the longer term bonds which means there is a real close two-way market with size in the short and middle in 231 So. La Salle St. mind the bureaucratic excursions into busi* ness de- socialistic Confidence The intermediate and short-term securities in demand term 15 BROAD in bear which danger Deal" & Co. of spending for essential that which expressed. never down to the levels that they did reach. were Aubret G. Lanston our peril and not feeling have been allowed to The price betterment has enabled quite a number of the smaller banks who are the largest holders of these securities to make tax switches which they among SECURITIES multitude the bank obligations, has had a very owners ^ the was Congress ment Uptrend in !Vz% Issues and of arnount fields, STATE into not only real long-term treasury bond. the have only can digress problems which our national preparedness entails. However, in d etermining thje nature and leaders rates intrusions, wealth and sapping our initiative', President There is, however, a bit of a hedge ^as far as catory taxes to finance additional [tension and eventual effect of bankrupting our public treasury. In this program we had the fullest support of the Peak Reached in Long effect upon the JJ. S. TREASURE of time a watchfulness." I do not propose to other important buying of the longer term treasuries, which means these bonds have gone into strong hands, there has been, nevertheless, a great deal of "quoting up" which has effected the prices of these issues with practically no Although there has been Chronicle) become has the government market has had a very quotations of these securities, with the larg¬ in though the changed attitude toward the money market, especially Weld Co. The Financial radio address that "we live, not in an instant of peril bpt in an age introduced Three With Du Pont Anderson a attention alism out of (Special to is having substituted, Also, there seems to be strong opinions around that it will be purely a matter of time before reserve requirements will be low¬ ered again. est Reilly & Co., Inc. Messrs. is rate The started .on Wall Street in 1924. In 1934 he formed J. F. Reilly & Co., with branches in Chicago and Boston. He be¬ came a member of the Exchange in 1947, and three years later sold his lower the Reilly Mr. is going through, as well as the abrupt withdrawal of the Series "B" tax saving notes because the Series C issue with security prices. The demand for commercial loans as well as for mortgages and consumer's loans are expected to decline and this should make more funds available for government obligations. as Stop Socialistic Trends And Return to Solvency though the "cleansing process" which some believe seems as favorable influ¬ ence upon the thinking of a great many operators in the money markets toward government securities. The reduced rate for the new tax saving notes reverses the trend which has been in effect since the present Administration took over. This surprise action most likely indicates a more favorable rate for tax anticipation bills or notes which the Treasury will probably issue in the near future. The slow down in the economy is expected to bring with it lower interest rates which, in turn, means higher government partment, This It 14 page We Must the economy a Unlisted Trading Governments on By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. City, has Manager Reporter 15 Company, Thursday, October 1, 1953 shocking that we It is little one heard the New ^ est efficiency. sion terprise, What is the significance of the sweeping cuts in governmental confis- expenditures insofar as our na- Government intruof private en- in the realm compounded by The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October -a,y? . tional economy is concerned? Does of it shall immediately 2.4% balanced economy—that is, As that mean have a where by we expenditures receipts? immediate reduction in tax release more records for the quarter of 1953. further, we April-May-June These records established were in production, consumption and investment. This individual the of examine this we im¬ the burden shall thereby mediate of the working population, that mean optimistic taxpayer's income for savings and (1251) million and one-half—or only Republican a find that the nation set three new balanced are it Does 1, 1953 ■1 ' outlook sustained was Platform of 1952. It is essential, in my judgment, that a public confidence in the currency of this nation be encouraged if we are to realize our full economic strength. Such confidence can be had, if we fulfill our obligation to American citizens to prevent further depreciation of of consumption? Unfortunate¬ a for program management those will until 1933. "It is asinine that foreign interests should have the ing power, which necessarily is right to convert their dollars into translated into greater consump- gold freely, while American citition, has resulted from the fact zens are denied the same opporthat prices and taxes have re- tunity. I anticipate that hearings to fiscal sound which lead objectives in the end. is It budget is balanced and to do this by reduction of expenditures increase in spending This increase in purchas- real a power. to aim. of course, to see that the our to mained the this bill will commence late this year or in January of 1954. These hearings will provide the come. When that balance is Commerce Department concluded opportunity to reexamine pubachieved, further, reduction of its report by observing that con- licly the deleterious effects of non-essential spending will - in sumption so far in .1953 is running continuous deficit spending and turn reduce our requirements. 6% or 7% higher than in the first in due course to chart a fiscal the extent ^ bring to necessary of lessening any assure of in on cases, prices are much more stabilized than a year ago. The us half tax our although same, some those expenditures within our in¬ This, and only this, will 1952. of The unescapable burden. is observation that consumers are over¬ into come night? __ of not profess to be an oracle things to come, and least of all „ problem in the have have are relief few months? The the fact that not1 only but within the lies answer I do next in expenditures depend ances of appropriations from previous years. Unexpended bal¬ as ginning of to make than more this me, ent adhere _. , have I no that lies mentioned have made no ahead. than more but I think it is As previously, good a The own. of I we guess as or to what the three years the unsound New money policy Administration Deal order enter one manufacture. to three The a No actual money lies idle, but the appropriation contracts remains until fulfilled are stress, while drastically this Congress reduce may appropriations in note all of The spring decline in utility stocks appeared due to three major factors: (1) unusually heavy offerings of new utility stocks, either b,y direct sale or subscription rights, which had been sched¬ uled for some time and could not easily be deferred; (2) the sharp decline in the bond and preferred stock markets due to Washing¬ to end the period of abnormally low interest rates, ton's decision and reports that holders of utility equities were switching municipal bonds and other senior securities—which reports electricity and the earnings of the electric util¬ excellent showing this year. New high records for electric output were established in the summer, presumably due to the heavy demand for air-conditioning, TV, etc. Following is the record of increases over last year, for all the large utilities. ities have made Electric Net Revenues Income 7.1% January February 9.0% 13.2% 3.5 6.6 8.1 11.3 3.4 8.8 9.1 7.5 April 3.4 11.3 10.8 13.3 20.0' 3.3 11.1 11.4 June 3.3 14.9 12.2 9.6 We July 16.7 12.1 16.8 consid- Eisen- of the foundation and is doing the spade work required for good legislation. The work of the first session will bear fruit in the second session which begins *Not been robbed is true of this this worth because the dollar gress has laid in January of 1954. praisal cannot A final that in fiscal 1955 appropriations will have taken effect, expenditures will have been brought under control, and a balanced budget—barring national crisis—will be probability. Therefore, our distinct a as we put fiscal house in order, we justify individual tax relief. Long before this, however, and I think it has commenced already, a pub¬ fiscal policy created. the In most —that lic , of the honest dollar or, government's our will have been judgment, this is significant point of all my invite and we confidence in retain pub¬ financial our stability and in the wisdom of our government. "The real ap- Getting More stated "The "Wall quarterly dividend rate twice this year, and is now paying onefifth more than it did last year. Other electric utilities which have increased their quarterly rates include Pacific Gas & Electric, Detroit Edison, Pennsylvania Power & Light, Florida Power Corp., and not long dollar respectable." of -S °s»rS lit It it cans, cans must we in result that me all have and basic our must The York effects consumer serv- and to used cars, and from real estate to appliances. They found that the ing prosperity. A prosperity based upon a sound fiscal program, worth more in the that lead to a therefore, more our sider this if you will in the statistics United month leased of as States July by the light employment in to — the for the Commerce. The July total of sixty-three million gainfully Wants Gold which Standard will long Restored same recently Department as personal finances, is the type prosperity In support of my re¬ of over the convictions on necessity for a.return to na¬ solvency, I have introduced tional a bill in the average of Aug. 31 price-earnings ratio pay-out of 73%. average as / * - strong showing with respect individual companies reflect diffi¬ a growth, but earnings of some higher gas costs and delays in obtaining corresponding increases. In addition, the industry suffered from another warm winter which greatly curtailed the house-heating load. Fol¬ lowing are the percentage gains over 1952: culties with M.C.F. Gas' Sales Revenues Income 13.1% No. of Customers 19.2% 10.0% Net January February 5.1% 4.9 10.6 18.7 9.8 March 4.9 8.5 16.4 —2.0 4.7 13.8 22.5 3.2 April 1 4.5 17.6 28.7 37.9 June 4.4 15.8 26.9 18.3 30, Shuman, Agnew Go., 155 Sansome Street, memof New the Stock Joins York and San Exchanges, Eisele, King to The Financial ' revenues For the 12 months ended June gained 26.9% and net income 18.3%. This showing was realized despite an in¬ crease of 37.7% in the cost of purchased gas due to higher field prices. The gas figures are difficult to interpret, because they include wholesale indicate that the and if it had as received earnings would make There well industry as retail business. However, the results as a whole is still growing fair a break on weather and very rapidly, rates, share excellent showing. an number of complications and cross-currents, so to study each company individually in order to analyze current and potential share earnings. Thus for the 12 it is are a necessary ended June 30 American Natural Gas share earnings gained 33%, while those of Columbia Gas dropped 9% and Con¬ solidated Natural Gas declined 21%. Among the retail distributors Brooklyn Union Gas share earnings dropped 41% (not quite cov¬ to temporarily unfavorable factors, while ering dividends), due Pacific Lighting earnings gained 29%. Thus, it is hard to general¬ the gas utilities but there are probably a number of in the list where earnings are temporarily depressed. Yields average about 6.3% for pipe-lines, 5.4% for the integrated companies, and 5.5% for retail distributors. The average PE ratio ize about bargains is about 12.7%. Chronicle) last¬ pnrhirp of of & Calif.—Wilbecome Jr.,' has with more whether it be in government or in month of July of this year than at the same period a year ago. Con¬ an utility stocks rate that Chronicle) Agnew, H affiliated (Special and, Financial SAN FRANCISCO, iiam Francisco prove The to bers stable was (Special re- period of an The electric yield of 5.8%, average The gas utilities have also made months are porters compared the purchase price of all articles, from steaks Adminstration - & with Davies & Co. was However, time will the policies of this adjustment. were formerly Cn Mr Co.; Mr. cpher: Scher¬ Taylor Walston Shuman, Agnew Adds seems re¬ dollar Mr. Stock Dell'Orfanello Mr- ExchanSes^ Francisco San and re¬ stimulation a a Pine Street, members of the New only can the expect, undergoing, I commenced that reflected in We is an 12.7, and Chronicle) ^AN FRANCISCO,, Cal" W. Dee Scherman man It Financial The and Milton E" Taylor have become associated with Hooker & Fay, 340 consumption, savings. we return be now and to Dell Orfanello, ... and preserve. additional investment will more fought now (Special which with which for turn to the honest dollar I quote: "Journal's freedoms ancestors i Numbered numbe e is is properly the among our ices. getting The nfL lh l of our labors tw the benefits number of others. to Fay the as The ri°bt to work productively Journal" and ago, is / save a showed May Three With Hooker as iwlout, ; of Street and work of 1952. but nevertheless it should quite encouraging for holders of electric utility stocks. Moreover, the electric utilities have continued to announce frequent dividend increases. Consolidated Edison increased its you pre¬ armed gunman who enters a house that Is Respectable" The who showing is explained by the effects summer be made until the thief to millions of Ameri¬ a cans to Dollar if this remarkable be of work half fer, by inflation—which is just can lic confidence in approximately fiscal and available. of the steel strike in the of both sessions has been what it was worth 15 years ago. completed. I have every confi1956 these unexpended balances This loss in earnings and savings dence that the record will be a will have subsided, the current re¬ has been caused by the absence good one to look upon, duction in is is * Some of The first session of the 83rd Con- have — . May years. my 3.4% March tragic the President judgment, ered an Sales are its part effectively. In into were probably exaggerated; and (3) some bearish forecasts by a promi¬ nent utility analyst regarding the potential disastrous effects which a severe depression might have on utility earnings. „ of cheerful was still more than 5% below the August high and the rail 12%, while the utilities showed a net decline of only about 3%. age KWH they saved, or thought they had saved. It means that the earnings of the fixed income employee lags behind and often never catches up with the so-called cost-of-living index. All previously committed balances, will not change sub¬ stantially from those of last year. The means about half of what still, expenditures, be¬ year, cause It people who saved their money surance and this is the point I would like the utility average declined only 5%. 'Based on the prices of Sept. 24 after the partial recovery in stock prices, the industrial aver¬ No. of by putting hower has made remarkable progmoney into pension funds or in- ress toward better government, products have been paid for. Thus, to automobile. during Aug. 13-Sept. 14 dropped 15%, while the rail average decline approximated and Customers money to buy the same of goods—is just another or an 8% I ask —either in deposits or the and shirt that the about start, more amount funds The Dow Jones industrial average a deception, scandals and all the other debris of bad management, be provided in advance in way of saying that we do not have A new Administration needs time honest money. It means that you to clean up these conditions and that the departments may into the necessary contracts. need more money to buy a meal, a new Congress needs time to do to -must for decline in the stock market the utility showing, declining almost as much as in¬ dustrials; but in the recent decline (which started Aug. 14 in the Dow Jones industrial average) they made a much better showing. you time indeed to undo mismanagement of 20 spring mediocre a one. — years During the stocks made The output of ,„ a G°011 start illusions about the faced with an accumulation of unwise policies, excessive taxes, is earmarked largely for long brought hardship and suffering wasteful spending, a huge national lead-time items, such as aircraft, through inflation to millions of debt, subversives in government, Inflation the need influence peddling, secrecy and tanks, ships, and atomic produc¬ Americans. first fiscal year—amounted to $81 billion. This unexpended balance tions which take from EL^T Utility Stocks Make Improved Showing now. July 1—the be¬ to reap its reward and that the Administration's "honest dollar" has come into its last Utility Securities By OWEN to remember that there has been a Republican Administration However, it seems to and a Republican Congress in that the program of the pres- office for little more than six Administration is beginning months. Six months is a short from of There variable factors in- me educated picture will be two present appropria¬ also upon unexpended balances economics. of too many volved for an on tions, field can we We Have Made purchases. That is, why should the budget not be balanced immedi¬ ately and why should we not tax which to course with safety and morality, putting most of their increased in- ' Why cannot this be done Public " by wage and salary incomes run- the purchase value of their money, ly, the answer is no to both of ning about $15 billion a year more We can meet this obligation by these questions. Elimination of during this quarter than for the restoring a currency that is conquarter a year ago. The vertible into gold coin on demand, wasteful spending is not an im¬ same mediate panacea for all of our wages and salaries show an in- and thereby return a freedom encrease of about 8% and amounted joyed historically in this country troubles. It is only the formulation retail 39 Congress which will ST. PETERSBURG, Fla.—Rich- a.rc* S. . a.f b®conle as.s0" £iated with Eisele & King, Libaire, Stout & Co. Mr. Wessler was formerly with Barrios Investments Lamson Adds to Staff . (Special to The CHICAGO, Lehmann staff of has Financial 111. — been Lamson Harris With Cruttenden (Special Chronicle) William added Bros/ & J. to DENVER, The Financial Colo. — Chronicle) George R. to the Harris has become associated with Co., 141 Cruttenden & Co., First National and A. M. Kidder & Co; In the past he was with Geo. Eustis & West Jackson Boulevard, members Bank Building, as manager of the of the New York and Midwest corporate department. Mr. Harris Co. Stock Exchanges. was formerly a partner in Gray With Eldredge, Tallman (Special to The Financial Chronicle) B. With Coburn, Middlebrook (Special to The Financial Chronicle) Gray & Co. Joins H. L. Robbins CHICAGO, 111. — Arthur C. (Special to The Financial Chronicle) PORTLAND, Maine — Derrill Langry has become associated standard. with Eldredge, Tallman & Co., 231 deS. Trenholm has become asso¬ WORCESTER, Mass. —Harvey Act of 1954" will have the effect South La Salle Street. Mr. Langry ciated with Coburn & Middle- M. Grant has been added to the In the same breath, unemploy¬ of curbing inflation and restoring was formerly with Harris, Upham brook, Incorporated, 465 Congress staff of H. L. Robbins & Co., Inc., ment in the nation reached a low Street. ^ 40 Pearl Street. sound money, as pledged by the & Co. em¬ ployed exceeded by more than a million the figure of July of 1952. restore this to the gold "The Gold Redemption country 40 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... (1252) «Continued from the severest0 year-to-year declines in our economic history. The de¬ 11 page production from the high was about 33 Vh % and cline in to federal Budget and Corporate Profits in a Business Decline represent about $3 budget. (b) It would illogical for seem in the face of expenses in business without offsetting Conclusions decline a also especially interesting con¬ can be drawn from this Two making clusions reductions. tax analysis. The first is that the de¬ in corporate profits will be (c) Lower operating costs brought about by the lower price level, which would accompany a ^decline in business, could hardly be reflected in an important way jn the June 30, 1954 budget, since many items are ordered on longterm contracts, and adjustments in government costs are usually •slow. In the budget for the follow¬ ing year there would certainly be •some economies, but we are as¬ suming that there would be offsets to such expenditure reductions in larger costs for farm product price cline it probably will be Truman Administration in Janu¬ the decline in pre-tax earnings ary greatly overestimated receipts which, in any event, will reduce for the year ended June 30, 1953, other words, programs, in 1949 and ent time. that for Thus fluctuations deficit 1ban much are in the in the. cash post" extreme more budget deficit. 1938. Suffice it to say of a better guide- United want have we identical to assumed those of event declines the deficit -since this is, the the business amount and profits was United incurs ment in the times Official 1953 Estim. 1954 $65.2 that 1949-Type *$68.5 1938-Type *$68.5 *$68.5 14.0 26.3 ^Deduct Declines in Revenues $65.2 $68.5 $54.5 $42.2 74.6 $74.1 74.1 74.1 2.1 2.1 — Cash of deficit Plan of a end of Profits when a 1938- When occurs. $72.0 $72.0 the monetary authorities will have 17.5 29.8 little but 2.8 16.0 29.8 relatively 1.7 Dec. 31, 1953 and 10% 1.1 reduction in personal Income Tax on Jan. 1, 1954. fFrom Table III. tTreasury Secretary Humphrey recently estimated 1954 budget year expenditures at $72.1 billion instead $74.1 choice easy maintain to inflate money bank a policy and deposits. definite evidences begin to billion. appear. of a or 1938-Type Decline a on Federal Budget Sr0dUCtJ°.n <^5-39 ==100) Wholesale Commodity lndex Index (1947-49 = Price 100) Income Personal Corporate Income Profits (Before Tax Personal Income Actual Estim. Decline Expenditures (For Estim. 1938-Type in 1938 in 1949 1938-Type Decline from from 1953 from 1948 Decline from 1953 235 215 8.5% 8.5% 185 21.0% 103-104 5.0 5 0 99 0 9 0 9 0 $280.0 1.7 1.7 $263 0 33.0 28.0 15.0 15.0 22.0 33.0 33.0 42.5 34.0 20.0 20.0 22.5 47.0 47 0 17.0 _I_ 13~0 21.0 42 0 510 III *I_I 31.1 39.2 year following)... Estim. Deficit (Budget) (For fiscal year following) deficit (Cash) (For fiscal year following) Estim. • 19.8 23.0 19^ 19^5 17.0 65.2 ♦GS.S 74.6 *74.1 172.0 9.4 5.6 §17.5 5.3 2.8 _I_ t54.5 §16.0 ~ III 7 7 7 7 11.2 11 3 142.2 ___ 172 0 III 29 8 - III of June$ 30, 1954 receipts adjusted as 29.8 Profits Tax to Dec. 31, 1953. and 10% reduc- follows: 1949-Type 1938-Type 4 (Assumes end of Excess Profits • A Decline, in Corporate Tax Decline «n in Other decline in (in billions) Receipts.... r $6.0 $11.8 rates! | 5.0 1.0 11.0 reduction in Individual Income Tax and Miscellaneous 2.0 1.5 $14.0 $26.3 [on Income Tax Receipts..!-..—^—,__u. To adjust for full fiscal year 10% Estimated Tax 12-31-53) Receipts basis of present j revenues , SOfficlal Estimate of 6-30-54 adjusted as follows: ^orDorat^tft/nin^KI.9?,?' lofs of,MUls by about $1.7 billion In corporate earnings, a Reduced $2.1 billion to assume and $1J billion in 2.0 end of Korean War. plan windfall will increase deficit by 1949-Type Decline decline,; and such action might be suicide for the party in power. The Administration is in¬ new deed with'a confronted dilemma, and terrible clearly, not of its own making. It has inherited a tax system peculiarly sensitive declines to with the tem one, in business activity, from revenues that sys¬ quite inadequate in the midst great boom to meet the a rent inherited tures. There level has of been cur¬ expendi¬ dis¬ much removing elected Republican a on Congress, "balance the budget" a platform. It will take of stop great deal a to insight and and or $40 about the on the slow down the $30 billion billion annual increase in courage on the part of Congress to reduce tax rates in private debt merely to replace it the face of such deficits. debt. If, perchance, tax well as with However, reduction would be the quick¬ est and size cash to way of possible deficits in the budget event sumed declines matter of most serious in vest and of business is of and as¬ concern similar increase the in the bubble many the of the har¬ escapism extravagance in budget mat¬ ters. It is hard a to as be the budget on years public boom should would be devastating. Thus are we reaping conclude that one can a pricked, the effect decline. a Certainly the effective most fight such final indeed to forecast outcome. $75,000,000 World Bank Bonds Marketed Three-Year 3% bonds are priced at 995/s%, yielding about 3.13%. Morgan Stanley & Co. and The First Boston Corpora¬ tion head A 'new underwriting issue of group of investment firms and banks. $75,000,000 nancial institutions derwriting which $5,000,000 is un¬ principal struction to the 1956. bonds dicate maturity Five of date million of Oct. dollars being taken by are The financial bonds a inter-? 1, est, not the of but because of: its syn¬ institutions only because of» its isize^ significance, in/ relation to the "increasingly in have the of the shortest seven issues coun¬ inter-; , any • third to issue of World Bank bonds' be brought out in the United '* States on a, negotiated underwrit¬ ing basis. Previous; financing un¬ der are The present 3% non-callable prior to interest and will not be subject to a sinking fund. a over $2 billion at current levels of 1938-Tvpe Decline. such arrangements./consisted $50,000,000 in v 23-yearr:33/a% « bonds in May of 1952, and $60,000,000 in 19-year 3 V2% bonds of in October both Big Interest Abroad Foreign participation will substantial. of the same year, issues having been success¬ fully sold through underwriting groups headed by the same firms be managing the current offering. Total funded debt of the Bank, been received, giving effect to issuance of the originating in 12 foreign countries new bonds, will consist of $643,whose governments are members 008,673 expressed in U. S. cur¬ of the Bank, to purchase an aggre¬ rency. gate of approximately $21,000,000 Institutional Demand of bonds for special funds. An ad¬ have Requests ditional tto^tapeLonarfncome tax^of ^an^i31954 54, Assumes continuati<>n of Excess VOfficial estimate such might prolong and intensify any bubble. A hard money policy may of 21.0% 109 $285.0 Taxes) fiscal cline in business, since they tend to tions 1937 m.6 Corporate ProfRs Taxes (Federal) Corporate Profits (After Federal Profits Taxes)__ Government Receipts (For fiscal year following) Govt. Decline Decline Decline Tax)__ $269.7 (Federal) (Before 1949-Type 1949-Type 219 expenditures. It especially difficult to make such changes during a de¬ April 1, 1956, are callable on and after that date, at par and accrued • 1953 1952 lower and be bubble bonds Estim. 1 require boom" maturity of Estim. Personal eventually offering in 1947. Corporate Profits and the Estim. •, depressions) 'may both higher in ones taxes so depressions (in¬ big deficits in booms and stead of will expenditures surpluses in booms in try by the Bank since the initial (Dollar figures in billions) • deficits cussion about "the recession SUMMARY TABLE 1949-Type a we and it is previously marketed in this Effects of have that bigger national sales national character. of the In any market!/ Holland. Proceeds of the financ¬ for dollar securities; of the World! event, it would seem that they ing will be used in the general Bank. would be likely to inaugurate an ,T-.V''/.. I \ Tv operations of the Bank. easy money policy when and if The current v: offering is il the; to on with gear a and 5.6 Tax into as kind. To put revenues some . Windfall Excess estima/ed, 1949- $74.1 fiscal years after 6-30-55— •Assumes tax of budget/deficits magnitude system revenue difficult indeed to guess^what will of 5.3 Mills of income such of of event the be the attitude towartftax reduc¬ super-boom event the of will not be easy, politically, since it will involve finding new sources be small. the Govern¬ 9.4 Deficit Boss In of it finds $74.6 Budget Deficit Reform ac¬ 1938 large public works program, so the net expenditure. Recline would nearly twice that amount type recession (In billions) Estimated Economies is a amount of the issue. In London, and Development, gen¬ Morgan Grenfell & Co. Limited erally better known as the World is acting on behalf of five banking if this happens, what will be the Bank, was marketed on Sept. 29 houses in London who are tak¬ effect on the public's buying by a nationwide underwriting ing $3,500,000 principal amount5 habits and on its attitude toward group of 147 investment firms and for placement with purchasers* savings, past, present, or future? banks, jointly headed by Morgan who are eligible to buy them with The question also arises whether Stanley & Co. and The First Bos¬ dollar funds. In addition, Sweden deficits of the amounts mentioned ton Corporation. The bonds are and Belgium will each take $1,will not, in themselves, act as being offered in the U. S. at a 000,000. / .oi brakes on any decline in business. price of 99%% and accrued inter¬ The extent of the foreign partic¬ With such deficits to be financed, est to yield approximately 3.13% ipation in the/ loan is of Summary of Adjustments to Budget Actual a business. States under one amount June 30 of three-year 3% dollar bonds of the type decline, and one over three International Bank for Recon¬ TABLE IV — in budget a billion conditions, Fiscal Years decline the in economy decline a the $9.5 of one States of public will be when that in represents the symptoms that One wonders what the attitude of earlier The periods. It is appropriate to note, reality, more significant than the budget deficit, however, that the 1938 decline in cash that the quiring much cushioned by the elim¬ Under these conditions a decline ination of the Excess Profits Tax ing members of the British Com¬ in armament and foreign aid ex¬ and by loss carry-backs. Incident¬ monwealth, the percentage of the penditures could be expected in ally, it is obvious that should the budget raised from income taxes the year ended June 30, 1955. If Excess Profits Tax not be ended (personal and corporate) is near¬ a decline with unemployment of on December 31, the decline in er 50% than the 80% in the United eight million or more were de¬ pre-tax earnings in the event of States. Because of this dependence income either type decline would elimi¬ on taxes, revenues are veloping, it seems logical to ex¬ nate most of the receipts, so that especially difficult to predict. This pect that any cut in defense and the effect would be the same. In is illustrated by the fact that the foreign aid would be replaced by very receipts. Whereas, in 1949 profits and the Eisenhower Administra¬ higher in¬ declined more than tion, two or three months later,terest charges, and probably new after taxes those before taxes, in our 1949- again was too optimistic about public works programs or special them. aid to the states for such purposes. type projection the same pre-tax decline results in a considerably A decline in business and in It will be noted that in the fiscal smaller decrease in earnings, after profits finds the government a ^ears 1953 and 1954 there is a taxes, than in the comparable ear- deeply involved partner, so that •considerable difference between 4Jie budget deficit and cash deficit. lie^ period. This also is, to a lesser its tax receipts fade very rapidly. extent, the case in the 1938-type Thus it is that a relatively small Tbis difference tends to narrow decline of corporate profits. Here decline in business of the 1949and then disappear under our as¬ a 47% pre-tax percentage decline type, results in an estimated bud¬ sumed declines, since revenues in pre-tax profits results in a de¬ get deficit of nearly $18 billion, ifirom Federal payroll taxes will cline, after taxes, of only 42% in while the 1938-type decline re¬ ■decrease and unemployment com¬ our estimate, as against 51% de¬ sults in such a large shrinkage in pensation payments increase with cline in the 1938 period. revenues that the estimated defi¬ unemployment. We estimate 5 Good reasons can be given for cit becomes nearly $30 billion. million unemployed in a 1949These estimated budget deficits lype decline and 8.5 million in the expecting the decline in corporate 1938-type decline, compared with profits before taxes to be either are disturbing as an indication of greater or less than the decreases what a nominal 1.5 million at the may be in store for the pres¬ «&abilization a be drawn from affair the government is likely to this study is the vulnerability of take other steps to halt the de¬ the receipts side of the Federal cline. For instance, if it should budget to a business decline. In take the economy two years to the last twelve years the United reach a 1938 stage, one might as¬ States has built up a revenue sys¬ sume that the expenditures in the tem which depends to the extent budget in the year ended June 30, of nearly 80% of total receipts on 1956, would be increased by pub¬ corporate and individual income lic works expenditures. If a peace taxes. No government in the world, in Korea should be followed up by to our knowledge, raises such a a consistent Russian policy aimed large proportion of its budget to relieve world tensions, a real from income taxes (personal change in the international cli¬ and corporate) as the United mate might occur in the next year. States. In most countries, includ¬ the Administration to cut defense further of ing conclusion to and then to is certainly year likely that in the early the United States economy. If the decline the govern¬ long-term integrity of the dollar ment's efforts to reverse the trend is to be maintained, the present may perhaps be limited to mone¬ top-heavy dependence for revenue tary policy. But when there are on income taxes must be adjusted. seems stages evidences and most outstand¬ The second IV, the increase from billion for the 1954 fiscal to $16 billion, nearly $30 billion, startling. two-thirds of the over Table in -apparently justify further econo¬ in these major items, which mies twelve about just in place months. shown which must be financed. As thus international situation would the low took It Thursday, October 1, 1953 $20,000,000 bonds will be distributed publicly or privately in four other European countries, as follows: In Switzerland, the Swiss Bank At the a conference press offices of held in Morgan Stanley & Co. in New York City on Sept. 28, Hall Perry that Corporation, in of that addition to firm the stated demand Basle, from abroad, extensive absorption and the Credit Suisse, Zurich, are of the issue by savings banks, pen¬ taking just under $10,000,000 for sion and trust funds, is indicated that market. In Holland, the Nehere. derlandsche Handel-Maatschappij, Commenting on subsequent is¬ N. V. (Netherlands Trading So¬ sues, Eugene Black, President of ciety) Amsterdam, is heading a the Bank, said: "We won't need syndicate pf other banks ajid. f i- more money for. some months, but Volume 178 Number 5260... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (1253) extraordinary might strength market of elicit taking our of care in Union the Harris needs." ings of others: among America National Trust & Association. Bankers Blyth The New Co., Chase Inc. National Bank of Read Drexel & & & City Trust of National Bank of Chicago. First National Bank of the Republic Dodge & & E. Guaranty Trust Company of New York. W. C. Harriman Aubrey v.. Ripley & Co., Kidder, Peabody & Co. Incorporated. Lee Co. Manufacturers Trust Merrill Lynch, P. G. Morgan & Co. Incorporated. City Bank of New York. & Moseley Moulton E. Wm. Hutzler. R. W. Shields Smith, & Company. Barney Stone & Co. Webster & L. F. Corporation. Witter Wood, the to or vailed in up Business today is excellent. & Co., & Curtis. six next Co. forecasting in pre¬ business to services, advertising I think an would under¬ man what stand that I if mean I suggest that many firms might be just as effective and much more happy if they didn't have to look at wnat Hooper them Period of The show themselves. Boom the of phenome¬ cycles is worth business emphasizing because it enables back to look to and away at world take present our us another economic without being handcuffed set pattern which we might a this way: The Co. Co. let or it go at that, and take look at the longer future. This is a all of us into get Looking ahead, peak. new of wave We births, homcs, and pretty soon cling rings, autos and homes again. least ment of defense favorite rate-i^a-trpansion (4) \ ( of ex- surpluses materials. the tall under ment the it but heading of invest- does into channels which do not result in the immediate outflow of goods available for current sale to domestic the like represent, other investment outlays, a diversion of our present production list, other but should perhaps the only to which your attention one be called for present our purpose is the fear that psychology of retrenchment will replace the psychology of boom that has too low ready to - . position (1) through gone Some an unprecedented period of boom in us the years past 12 The great ini¬ years. tiating force of was, mobilization for the War II, course, World the of boom our factors the over the that of none past dozen no wants us and again the remobilization after future mid-1950. to negative considerations I have mentioned; the other relates, not gave longer present. With respect to other factors, I am sure are rely in the to engaged ments fact, in the we have been greatest arma¬ in the world's history. race (2) The second force which has stimulated the present boom was the tremendous advance in nology in various fields. large portion equipment is have had of since new A very 1940. We and races the The problem for going to be to find we the future ways is in which bring the great economic can fields in economic meant prevent clines. All of large capital this invest¬ ment. be (3) A third factor behind investment surge was lation of deficiencies over from the ages, both accumu¬ which sumer by held These short¬ in producer and goods, were made acute of 1930s. the, the our the enforced con¬ the balance factors I possible for us to dispose of the question of the immediate busioutlook more deferment buying during the war period. (4) A fourth factor has been the of population. Beginning million births in 1940, the upsurge at 2Vz birth rate reached an the armed demobilization the of forces. rate rate has held at near-record levels since 1947. In fact, the number of births recorded ceeded all last year ex¬ previous records, ap¬ proaching 3,900,000, and only the accumulation the base of new words, and unquestionably in the "flattening-out" area at the top of are boom. Assuming no great new other unforeseen clysm, it seems clear that catching up ages and a war or with catawe are babies over preceding 10 years made the so high that the ratio of births to,population did not jeach will have to pay more attention to our to company's business, and own our own a industry problems than great swing in general busiconditions. ness and of 1954 collapse In the will 1953 summary, year, be at least the won't of see a overall good a early part widespread employment You'll y/ill first category, (1) The therefore, continuing assistance grams. creation. that I (7) want pro¬ " Advertising & tool Some in demand people think it :i» thing. But I'm satisfied would get and< hungry that around would you Credit availability through to were The size very gov¬ can the major elements in the Ameri¬ of the budget as a factor in the economy which is probably more stable than private expenditures. Price supports confident I that contracts will are should we of some cause dealing are ferent phenomenon of but things do with pro¬ stick¬ if we be which push weaker an are of not escapable and sound our up gone has- dependence upon rising have prices the for well-being. Wages: nearly somewhere commensurate with increase pro¬ those ductivity, while prices have been unchanged across the board readjust¬ would not consequence main¬ can accomplishments end continually forces than toward we remain to solid been whole, is expansive us are stimulus to the con¬ busi¬ of a readjustment quite impressive. Even growing a conditions that our short-term decline and the list, as a am healthy but we ought to be wise enough to accomplish them with¬ out plunging ourselves into major and widespread liquidation. Dur¬ ing the past year or two one of in the longer produce to I continue to students if dif¬ a than the kind resistance or see of 1932. The last two they I among tain recognize cyclical contraction which duced 1921 and and continuing increase in our standard of living. Certain kinds the to us will ness resist sharp declines. These it of life- ways markets in this field. think fidence (10) Legal minimum wages, and foreign that its job do farm for economy which differentiates it from many It can create products. labor chair whether them on advertising or not. De¬ creation, however, is one of mand ernment (9) sitting the any meet emergency conditions. (8) padded seat in a you were government- agencies about This means a substantial increase through a liquidation. At in real income, in the standard of the minimum, this should be a living and in the market for the source of great comfort, but I am goods we can produce. It's our job carry our economy of process acute sure that very life is devoted to doing bet¬ ter this to audience an than year Continued from whose last, and to capture still that satisfied am potential that I and the have we equipment to do it. 5 page implied generation effects consequences. of tremendous a (2) for of youth A investment and de- demand new will undoubtedly have on a o to f put basis of be an competition. advertising the produce, rather than sales .on it the to Fiscal availability to support This I and of makes purchasing power nation, three of major items, you a fourth, will say ft force of competition which is going to lead every one of us to try to inaugurate improvements, to better ways needs, to locate of our grow. great new is a of markets; in assets. a one I'm it will continue to be. more one from which many things which should draw we be con¬ other productivity of the great machine is not automatic but is, dependent the upon purchase its of product." What to Do? a few tion of spending to keep version of reach and his ^ purchases up to the level of purchasing all-important goal purchasing 1 specific suggestions toward the activa¬ power of "realizing the into purchases at a con¬ rate equivalent production." He cites the importance of the stimuli of advertising, far be¬ of the national income, and yond its present 2% of installment selling to stimulate the public's desire for ever-higher standards of living, and to make that desire effective he suggests index of consumptionHike production. on He wants to enlarge the Council of Economic Advisers to devote its efforts to have to nessmen overall an the Federal Reserve Board's series analysis of consumption. He wants all busi¬ easy full access current' information statistical to facilities supplying covering the status of production, Above ment all take — whereas the up intelligence to take But recourse irrelevant con¬ is can feel will temper the changes that lie ahead, and includes many that advocated Mr. Mazur the govern¬ would rely on to be the consumption slack. up information to individual's contradicted and intelligence seems fixing of policies pursuant Furthermore reliance incentives. behavior the to Keynes investment slack, on the forecasting of to his consumers' As the author himself points out in another connection,o price cutting may- lead or either to buying versely, rising prices to psychological by curtailment are as to elements. stimulation; and con¬ likely to stimulate (scare) buying as discourage it. Avoidance of the Dirty Word Mr. Mazur seems to anti-stagnation expansion and to with an be leading toward us Keyserling-isb. (in lieu of that dirty word inflation)r enlargement of governmental controls, if not manage¬ Moreover, he inflation; may even as he be advocating may along over-obsolescence be over-emphasizing the power of independent decision by the individual in his venture spending. good deal of comfort. It includes very sure matter a leitmotiv "[We] have paid too little attention to the fact ment. defensive list of items we as cannot the key satisfying This has been national assumed assumption that the poli- is intangible, but I am sure you will agree that it is just as significant as the others. This item is the word, to dangerous more sumption and inventories. monetary like to add would •.. been pace known a prosperous suppose many find No a has goods assumption has made us so unwary of economic pitfalls and so blind to the sociological impera¬ tives of the American mass production system."—along with, to cies which the government has committed itself to employ, in order to maintain reasonable sure ceived. rec¬ outlay keep with technology already but not yet applied. v I and course, requires tion, schools, public utilities, etc., and of Continued (3) production's mass power, investment and Observations of rate increase with all of the ord The intensification across Veterans' Mr. Mazur makes incVudes* suchTartoT/asTlww- mand. There important an insurance. from having severe de¬ us mcluaes sucn lactors as mese- past short- our substantial part of our abnormal defense needs. 1947 To .be sure, the reflected, in part, the coming of age of the generation born during the prosperous 1920s. But surprisingly enough, the birth birth few a What happens from here on? In extremely the short run, I feel confident we high level of 3.8 million in with in then get back to the main ring of the circus. a on fall. a economic structure. on loans. will biggest problem, it should of some We hope we huge demands comprising both deferred needs, such as highways, public works, urban decentraliza- reasonable be ness The that have into of activity. very cushions ^ sweePs through the stages °* growth and education. machine develop¬ synthetics, of just mentioned recede in impor¬ tance. communication, of marketing, and Having stated what I believe to of many other aspects of our ments expecting an inanything, but rather to in. the birth ahead. when tremendous armament upon give-away programs. Therefore, we are faced with the question of what new kinds of adjustment or maladjustment lie tech¬ productive our (6) for reasons crease foreign In for optimism that offset reasons Adiustments Ahead Adjustments Ahead be for the future. may We have ease consumers. assume what the implications of our pres¬ to characterized the past decade, , ent a a prescribed a provides • ment, the fifth factor in 'the bbom A been both private plans. should of (5) Credit restraints, either by extremely liberaF^lenders or by the government, eign aid programs of our govThere are, of course, many more ernment. Perhaps this does not items that could be included in has credits personal it year, I have spoken a good deal about the importance of demand in our noontime and iness programs. raw and Unemployment ex- as- which eral run Reappearance various Amortized next innerspring mattress of them: some items may backfire Reduction off of foreign wed- sistance programs. little—^.(3) Catching up on plant more rate. (5) (1) thd^ntfest- of weakness. the penditures. larger (2) Falling more The birth first cousin a and of some more for need more elements we see strength are better runway and a takeoff point rather than an depres¬ severe the whole that sources of worry: this more bicycles, more schools, Here follow can more both of unavail¬ (5) Benefits to the aged and surviving dependents, both Fed¬ the Longer Outlook are estate (4) area. Before drawing conclusions These elements which from the specific sources of conmajor will fol¬ have generated our unprecedented cern that I groove. Let's have mentioned, it shed the idea that the ups and boom all add up to a tremendous seems well to present similar high downs of business are merely an force which kept the demand for spots on the constructive side, automatic sequence and try to goods ahead of our capacity to These fall into two categories, one examine where we are today and supply. of which includes the affirmative be (3) months level foi Unprecedented newness of non Nielsen would and about a diapers, referring 12 about Let's Struthers & to with would last our Here real I are likely moderately downward for the major indexes. be to Inc. Co. Flattening Out 1920. Without authorities either were insignificant in 1929, when (1) Insured bank deposits. (2) Insured mortgages. that grope around darkness the and "guessing" The Boom us recita¬ a it & sion. the whole The relative can can pay sum Company. Continued from page 12 confuse need we you monthly indexes Survey of Cur¬ Business. They look good on where the it, they probably & & If and try to keep in touch Rothschild & Dean Securities sell Co. & Pollock high. to Company. Pressprich ' all of rent , & Co., Inc. Corporation. Trust H. think buying published in the Lanston S. record a something don't tion Paine, Webber, Jackson Phelps, Fenn & Co. National Bros. Co. Co. Langley & Co. R. Pierce, Fenner <fc Beane. & Higginson F, Company. I Weeks. & Mercantile - Corporation. Noyes & consumer make people want for it. Co. Hutton " Brothers. have and at power Co. Co. & low, that or entered we peace¬ Dominick. Hornblower W. & (Incorpo¬ Incorporated. Securities Hemphill, Forgan & Co. Goldman, Sachs & Co. The & & Hallgarten Glore, Salomon Company Merle-Smith. Estabrook of City York. Freres But at the same time others will fare very well. The latest figures show unemployment at a Incorporated. Sons. Equitable Co. First J. & able business. Incorporated. Co. Co. Dominick The Lehman Company & & Childs and Co., Dick Company. Inc. Co. The Lazard may be replaced by rude awakening and hard grubbing for years time C. F. Clark, Bank Dillon, Co. rated). York. Chemical New Brown Central Company. and Becker Alex. Trust & Allyn Stearns G. Marjy of the enviable wind¬ situations of the past several fall Trust Company. Philadelphia National Bank. C. A. & items taxes. Company. and Savings Bank. Trust Bear, Sav¬ basis of how little it will cost after Co. Northern The A. includes, Bank Corporation. & Trust Ladenburg, Thahnann The The United States underwriting group Weld American future our Securities White, acceleration 41 However, service in in this, his latest book, he succinctly making temporay discussion agenda. an is rendering important addition to a useful our con- J 12 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle... Thursday, (1254) las SAN The to Financial Chronicle) dore R. Bullock is now with C. Devine & Co., Russ J. Dallas Commerce of and Chief and Executive shares Officer of the stocks q.j xracerlab STOCK SERIES week NATIONAL SECURITIES & RESEARCH CORPORATION Established 1930 120 Broadway board ^iave formed was all areas represented Inc., ' the investment portfolios tended to offset their speculative effect. foreign exchange twentieth century in problems type, Although the restrictions during of one — tinued growth is Mr. Sharp said. the Fund tact with to National Distributors j0jned the of aim direct | of Inc., Ig p .li- , Fisher Ames of Ames, Bynum d a n , board new are Daugherty, Oklahoma Black, *f||H the throughout Members of the sale l^rmerf V, ?fn of Dallas, known P mfe Utilities . WjMMM, '< wau P?k>TV- - >• JgAtvm Bullock ' -_J-'' JNEWYOUK GENTLEMEN: At me a no obligation please send prospectus on Canadian fund. r + dar board, jn RuPe Cornell is a •• • , ■ and'Son- * member of the The will group Houston to meet advise CTnri. .ono the management in regard to investments in the area's indus¬ tries. The invests which extends Arizona to Arkansas as in area York, has b e e n elected aspjG^. 0 *utaies, Inc., the f ';unA'' ' Stock is also Secretary and Treas- of Lazard Freres and head of the investment advisory department of the National City Company. . Mr; Texas roughly Fund from Louisiana, and includes Colorado, as well and The Fund, xivxw in no iiJLuii ycai u„u, now in its fifth year x. has shown phe- Although adopted only a' part of which I described we pattern earlier. For the were' typically made the conservative „ approach of the ■ - nv.ontl.nc the suffered. well to realize their that this to 60% account on below ac¬ of trusts of disastrous ex, of 1929, several efforts w.er,e made to develop. different kinds of trusts which would do a that see asset value. the . better job. can the Great Like any new in- Britain basic a development, Thus, the real devel- opment of the fixeci trust occurred after 1929. This reflected the dis- management, ;and trust of fixed trust was had its problems, and not one . effect, of portfolio, Penence that comingled developed to satisfy need. is of often . : vestment were, Common stock¬ "chain'' value Following I week. +h« severely dur¬ very 40 investments with WE pf _ Sk rthfunM leverage with market values often funds THUS, almost ^vestment . trusts,inrine unitea States suffered centuated the made up British had no appeal for speculatively-minded Americans in the twenties. Therefore, although they ment for the selection and super- were twenties entirely of common stocks. The reason for this, of course, was that reduced President, Commonwealth Investment Company of part,' the had leverage-type capital structUres, but the investment porfolios holders By S. WALDO COLEMAN vision most of the trusts 1929-1932 ;period. This meant, of course, that their stock¬ Investment Following is part one of n paper which was read before the Society of Mutual Fund Retailers in San Francisco by Mr. Coleman upon the recent occasion of the Society's first mutual fund training course. The second part will be given next looked to we izing investment trusts in Amer- ing Company History homa. operation, to middle , holders had the Texas, New Mexico and Okla¬ of , regularly with Fund's the idea of really management. no the based on A different forms of. investment an 0f ^be British and Scottish in- .specific list of securities was ap^orr\Panies' in<;iUi1-ri5 !?utua} vestment trusts succeeded. Out of proved in advance, and these were ncfnJioti diversification. usroaian -fl UHQiS nomenal growth since its foundCi -l ing-Assets have reached $11,600,- n.° new but has This principle }?n s'.F...on sto°d the test foundation JL c the Great Britain for ideas in organ- investment ——:—— Vice-President, Strachan Shipping in with "TIZLuI Co™mercial Resting P tv^Tv, fvl0u.sJ,y' ^ waf Dal- A Guide +r/Jv development of the idea in this . formerly until t y'J ; '• r.vrt 5? j3e_ was „ DalIas Company, Dallas; Ray O. Shaffer, President and chairman' of the board, Welex Jet Services, Inc., Fort Worth; Frank Strachan, Address. K, :ystOne and "fore that t twenties that there was any real ica, the CHILD, Service Name. f t, ^OVUS. STOCK, 120 Broadway, - ^ companies any, new trusts were formed in the Uniled States early in the twentieth cen- country. TT territory associated with the Dallas investment firm^ Public Chairman of PnmffiittPP staff. sim- ? Southwestern prpd p JOSIAH for Television Electronics, Company, New Orleans; Jay Tay¬ lor, President, Baker & Taylor Drilling Company, Amarillo. CHy— a tries few, if * UUN PHY, Vice-Presiderd' was appointed Director-of Researc"- He Th!^Co!S^r w r . the %' n v i appointed was Finanpp thp formerly covered interactiongeologist nnt' n dent whole- Dallas. Company, Beaumont; Herbert L. Nichols, chairman ol of the STMET - P parkfr j ■■EHzSH with head- Stone and Webster in New York, H|K|quarters: in has been added to the research w li 0ar^' public amorV \ Group for National bodies soon- Southwest consulting rnwai^M TvjpiLn a s Inc., represta- ^ve City; John M. Bennett, Jr., chairman of the board,'National Bank DeGolyer as The to as Association of Securities Dealers, have been formed lately. Cn nH i ! THOUGH A FEW investment Securities, ^ industries and economic Southwest. 0f sor company Association- of Companies, ment nauonai spon con- development Group, national invest- the is maintain high personal taxes in those cou- Com- *** IT'blur lait,er. sia0^ 'waJ trusts Invest- Administrative tionship of the Scottish and with the Chair- mittee which supervises the rela- sufficient not "It con- of man the created capital structure and the very broad diversification of their investment portfolios, remains the same. However, on account of the appointed was have upon in making foreign inthe basic pattern of English the largest companies e n g a g e d in in geophysical exploration for oil invpst- conventional research ment and rrmvpntinnal boutnwest, ONE world's (he p^ent in the rapid industrial vestments, __, Chemical, and Seismograph ServCorp. op- erations. , added to holdinSs durlnS the Past th of Polaroid, y > ice capital leverage Vice-President in charge of American General Texas 1ua ; ' Fund's management, Dudley C. PERSONAL PROGRESS Sharp, President of the Fund, said. joHhf^B. CORNELL, Jr., h Southwest "Because of New York 5, n. Y. • of Banks, M. Holcombe, New Yofk representative for the new nrdprto 1 announced this was Morton & wholesale The dealer or it by Banks Prospectus from your of company in Houston MUTUAL INVESTMENT FUND: Inc., mutual investwith headquarters Fund, ment the of appointments: ; JAMES E.GIBBONS, Vice-President, was appointed Exectuive securities, including sist Texas shares: the although structures were . such of eight lead- ing Southwestern businessmen and industrialists has been named by NATIONAL preference common after a meeting of the Board" of Directors, the following Incorporated Investors, announced By ROBERT R. RICH An advisory board the the and Therefore, of today Building. with true was Club. Bond WILLIAM A. PARKER, President Mutual Funds Cal.—Theo¬ FRANCISCO, Chamber the Joins C. J. Devine (Special October 1, 1953 is of their early experience, however, the only ones that could be owned of these trusts developed basic pat- a by the trust; Once the selection 9,000 shareholders in 40 states and ?ime various foreign countries. Texas Fund is unique u some centuries by insurance companies in their un- tern which, in turn, had a bearing: of securities was made, there upon the investment trusts which could be no substitution, regardwere later formed in the United less of changes in economic con- dejwnting. States. OOO, BOND, PREFERRED AND COMMON STOCK FUNDS and there are mutual investment that limits it now around among companies in investments its to stocks The Keystone 50 Congress Company Street, Boston 9, Mass. of companies operating principally in the Southwest, and offers investors everywhere Please send your me prospectuses describing Organization and the shares of your Funds. ten Sly" "growin^fndustries' a''ea'S UNUSUAL CONCENTRATION of investments in growth industries Name... Address. City rap U-75 an is .. ..... State. reported in the quarterly mes- sage recently holders Stock of mailed Diversified Fund. share- to Growth Approximately two- thirds of the Fund's assets are in the electronic, chemical and drug and oil and gas industries. :*•— issues, .sparrh many xxxv-xuLic reflecting fnr Equally "unlisted" management's generally agreed that the « is I might mention "Inetee"^ century''the. 1880^ trusts Um" SMXSK SMSnTSthSSLh*^ land. They organized pri- ISp J^tnrf'rff f^nd« were made in foreign Britain and it was an countries. ioaay. TTTF exporter of capital, of thp Cpnt+ich faced with the problem was oPrihpH of making foreign investments on a sound basis. Through an invest- th in prnnhasis inpnmp rp<=pr,7PC; whiPh wnxni the'bMfen tSot'^ situations of£ t]?eir investments abroad. It was Ahont ,u-' ? P°SSI')ie them as a group About one-third of assets to employ professional manage- a!rn;nct wprp tn Luiibiutueu Sometimes, lu even hp ue con- a por set £or aside this purpose. very Vti-Y few ,eVCT" open- . ^ was Continued was on vaae Sec- ' NVESTORS they followed ondly, from owned A Mutual Fund Investment Fund ' may Stock Investment Fund be obtained from investment The Parker dealers or U- upon request- Corporation 31 1925* They 1,500 ican Thirdly, they had company. more their than dlass of one capital security in Usually, PUTNAM structure. shares ence investment to outstanding in common New York — Chicago — Atlanta — Los Angeles the bonds its the or in turn, with the In other words, trust same would own proportion debentures capital The portfolio, investment about FUND addi¬ shares. . oJ -ffjoitotl correspond capital structure. Lord, Abbett & Co. .Oeorrje ■ than any present-day Amer¬ more tended Berkeley St., Boston, Mass, FOUNDED or ■ individual securities—a good deal tion to their Prospectus 200 500 to_l,000 of they had debentures and prefer¬ A Common Prospectus policy broad diversification. very Affiliated a structure. as it had The of in same " end comPanies were formed durtiueintioe it nnt until ing the twenties, it was not until inin j,on o7 jbe investment income , a a agc' lnssps f,,tnrp mnsidprpd vyeLt; evitable. Pains ^ere set'aside other Although there age. but wprp nf nrimarilv was Ganital distributed, large number of investors to combine their funds and diversify hp First mv end companies. Their distinguishHping feature, of course, was the all" redeemability of their shares and on the facl that .theY had 01?ly one not class 0^>fiecurity outstanding. In Fntriich mav this est in the management-type, open- . pattfrn Sos'e^end'tust,[ i,tnn 1 knnwtndnv Great THE EARLY thirties after fixed trusts' and semi"fixed trusts, muiudl lunas there devei0ped a growing inter- thp pn marily to provide a sound means by which investments could be tl a ditions, or developments relating to the individual companies. The COmpS n™ that 1 am intentionally referring popularity of this type of trust Jornjed in Belgium in 1622 pc- tQ these companies as investment was short-lived, mainly because it tually> veiy little is known ot the trusts not as investment com-"soon became evident that its insubsequent development of the panies or as mutuai funds. The Hexibihty was a great handicap crrnxxrLh r.no parenthetically Putnam Fund Distributors. Inc. 50 Sute Street, Boston 54 Volume 178 Number 5260 ... The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (1255) With Interstate Sees. Corp. (Special The to Financial Jr. is Park H. — should the excess profits revenue disappear and individual income tax collections fall sub¬ Commer¬ stantially. We See As Interstate Corporation, Securities with now would be still greater Continued from first page Chronicle) CHARLOTTE, N. C. Dalton Evidently, Building. tional taxes. Such of course be must revenue found to take the down dreamers ment compared as of that since that time THE FULLY other some ployment act emerged. Although there was much debate at the time, and the law as finally passed was somewhat watered cial Bank 43 with day wanted, seems what many to assert a of some the public statement that the Federal Govern¬ accepts responsibility for the general state of busi¬ place of these taxes. There is, it hardly need be added, opposition to the levy of any sort of addi¬ of fear of reason talking of are These ness. a opposition is gaining strength daily by depression. There are those already who large deficit next a forces same are busi-. year as a prop to acting to prevent at the or developments which would result in extensive unemploy¬ very least to reduce the extent of any freeing of our for¬ eign trade. The list might be extended still further without difficulty. We must hot permit fear of depression to lead us ment. into action which would further undermine ness ADMINISTERED FUND and' in effect may deem pledges itself to take such steps as it and sufficient to prevent untoward necessary our economy. of Depression Fear of In any event, lar A Balanced fund - a prospectus on from your investment Distributors 63 Well statute, or or prising publicity organization of the Democratic Party and to the sad experiences following the collapse of 1929. The Democratic fParty long suffered from some such designa¬ Group, Incorporated Street, New York 5, N. Y. tion, and itjwell knows its . V ; Practical politicians and out of • v Program We have available a new booklet for employers describing a carefully worked out, pre-packaged, bal-,. v . anced retirement program, business even profit by the advantages of a quali¬ fied retirement plan. can heart or the on Rightly your free copy, mail this advertisement with your personal to be certain in what any part of its members are of the Federal Reserve authorities. or out for themselves would result in business card. pression. There is Kidder, Peabody & Co. those reason a serious business de¬ to believe that at least some of who help shape Federal Reserve policy were not convinced of anything of the sort. It may not be too wide of the mark to guess that there were those who believed that the real, perhaps the only, road to ultimate sound¬ ness in the business structure lay along the route of what may be regarded as reasonable caution in expanding money supply. Founded 1865 Exchange Uptown Office 10E.45thSt.,N.Y. 17 MUrray Hill 2-7WO CF not, is not without wrongly, these officials were told by many, some of them quite influential, last spring that a continua¬ tion of the "independent" course they had apparently laid For Members New York Stock or than half convinced of many degree the Ad¬ responsible, if at all, but one can scarcely doubt that considerations of basically this kind were and arfe behind the change of tax or difficult ministration small a are more of the sophistries of the Roosevelt and the Truman years—or else are of the opinion that failure on their part to follow New Deal and Fair Deal prescriptions would be more than ordinarily hazardous, politically speaking. It is combining dollar annuities securities. It with equity shows how grows a very serious danger. steps may be taken which not only fail Party, whether it likes to admit it members who chasing Agents finds situation tesembles that of 1948, "when stage for recession was set, but holds there is now a better inventory position. A composite opinion of purchas¬ Money Market Retreat Treasury needed large sums which it had to borrow somewhere, and when signs seemed to be growing that a tight money market situation was in the making, very large open market operations were under¬ taken, and on top of that member banks' reserve requirements were reduced. There also appeared thinly veiled promises of further easing up of the situation as indica¬ tions seemed to suggest it later in the year. All this has had obvious effects in the investment and money markets. Whether it has made any great difference in the general rate of business activity appears open to much more ques¬ tion. All in all, it would seem that any notion formerly entertained of getting the national debt into longer and more workable form has been forgotten, possibly aban¬ doned for may *STCAabout F get the ... ' or recession. ness siderations Exchange Place, N. Y. 5, N. Y. -*For Prospectus convenient season which, one suspects, arrive. Uneasiness about endlessly growing supply and continually mounting volume of credit to have yielded to a greater uneasiness about a busi¬ There is FUND, INC. 20 more never money seems CAPITAL VENTURE a refornls. - great danger too that the will get in the way set of con¬ badly needed same of other One of them is in the field of taxation. tional lack Association - . C-2 •moment there appears to be no likelihood at all of continuation of the Excess Profits Tax Address. or any any further delay reducing individual income taxes after the turn of the year. These changes The fact & , .State. •: aty > 2m m mmmmmmmmmmrn mmm wTTfrni'—' spending may of themselves be constructive. remains, however, that the government is still more Purchasing availability Chairman is Over-all, Robert C. be Di¬ contribute in to in conservative the investment. material on stocks believed are balance better materials, prices, all of confidence of view . chases, W i chester in and to im¬ proved turnover position. than it is collecting in taxes. The deficit Employment n- Re¬ peating layoffs than new hirings, a most unusual condition for September. The principal reasons: production curtailments, Company, New Haven, Conn., reveals no significant improvement in students it situation high employment was reported returning to school The the is and not bad, 78% report holding to previous as August, when report strikes. September over More ' Arms rolls. Overtime adding to or is pay fast some disappear¬ plants have cut under 40 hours to hold their peo¬ ing Robert c. Swanton and fall and winter ple. Productivity is improving, as upswing might be is books Order conditions and pro¬ only inched up. The to be almost has duction slow starter. a lower are seem parallel with those of September, the when 1948, stage time all when layoffs Several occur. of labor types short and report areas available better selectivity. Other ing for skilled help. Buying is inven¬ Unworked exception: one usual and look¬ are being was set for the 1949 recession. There Policy Future commitment range shows tories, which have been under¬ practically no change from the go i n g reducing treatment for previous cautious view of the several months, are much lower markets. Seventy-five percent re¬ and better balanced than in Sep¬ port holding to "hand-to-mouth" to 60 days in the bulk of their tember, 1948. Prices are softening, led by cop¬ purchases. This policy is sup¬ zinc, and lead per, month. this Employment is lower, with slight¬ ly layoffs than additions re¬ more ported by falling backlogs, price instability, ready availability, and tight inventory control. which is a very rare for September. Buying ported, condition policy is predomin¬ short-range, McConihe Partner in antly 60 days and under. The pressure survey for business, the reports is sharpening in line. Foreign competition noticeable. more Purchasing Winslow, Douglas Co. Winslow, 120 members off American during the fourth quarter but still be at uation for is a not caution October spurt high level. The sit¬ alarming but calls and close watching. will have to show for a business industrial to Commodity Prices industrial The purchased ma¬ terials price tember again shows weakness and Price instability. more the for Sep¬ increases balanced than creases, structure out by are of that partner of the Mr. Mass City, York and Exchanges, have Malcolm S. Mc¬ general a firm. McConihe Vice-President McEvoy, York New Stock announced & New the Conihe, Jr. has become real equal the fourth quarter of 1952. Douglas Broadway, agents expect business will taper and formerly was Treasurer of Market Publications, Inc., publishers of "Better Living" magazine. Prior to that he was. as¬ sociated with the investment firms of Dillon, Read & Co., Inc., Winthrop, Mitchell & Co. and Harri& Keech. man de¬ nonferrous metals taking heaviest decline. The long- expected drop in copper and brass prices has occurred. Still pending is the disposition of the large Rejoins Reinholdt, Gardner (Special ST. Shaw to The Financial Chronicle) Mo. LOUIS, William L. — has rejoined the staff of Gardner, 400 Locust The declining order backlog condition of many fabricators has Street, members of the New York and Midwest Stock Exchanges. intensified competition. Foreign Mr. Shaw has recently been with producers are stepping up selling the Mercantile Trust Company. activity in this country. Chilean copper surplus. Reinholdt & Inventories Unworked Name- in of Agents Business Survey Commit¬ tee, whose At the write your dealer mail coupon. of schedule. Lagging order books, is Yet when the Wait A Minute! ahead ing agents, who comprise the Na¬ most all t : National Association of Pur¬ rector of Pur¬ much impressed by all this, to lay a basis for sounder business conditions but which will, like so many of those of the New Deal and the Fair Deal, lay up more trouble for the future. The Republican Retirement Business Survey Committee of Swanton, power. are |heir uneasiness ..That hazard? is that A Balanced! Purchasing Agents Cite Softening Prices any few years was an extensive business setback. The Repub¬ lican Partyjias, rightly or wrongly, now been well labeled as the Party of economic depression, thanks to an enter¬ request dealer quite without reference to any particu¬ particular statement by any politician or any candidate for office, it is well0known that the Party now in power fears a depression and unemployment as the devil fears holy water. The late Senator Taft is known to have said that his Party's greatest danger during the next Group Securities, inc. took material another dip the third month in more than 30% in succession that have reported lower stocks. Those having inven¬ tory increases comment it is due to seasonal pickup, production cut¬ backs, improved vendor deliveries, strikes, and With Milwaukee Co. inventories (Special September, suppliers shipping to The Financial MILWAUKEE, Wis. Bischoff staff 207 bers has of the East of change. been — Jack L. added to the Milwaukee Company, Michigan the Chronicle) Street, Midwest mem¬ Stock Ex¬ 44 The Commercial and (1256) Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 from first liens, page ABA Holds 79th Annual Convention urge receipts Continued taken to demonstrate to the world stock transfers, and trust and would bring within its scope many matters not now. covered by legislation. The Code was adopted this year of Des Moines, Homer J. Iowa. Livingston, President of the First National Bank of Chicago, was elected the that today, solved only Railroad Georgia Company, Bank of & ments of each Eisenhower Addresses Bankers our 1954. It and reach therefore are our 6n July Con¬ Mas¬ Hampshire, legislatures of California, necticut, Illinois* Indiana, but enacted. not was New and In to lead in cooperative effort to expand in¬ addition, an¬ Rhode and homa, have Island Backgrounds of New Top ABA the ternational trade for mutual bene¬ fits in 1, also introduced in the was determination our ranking officers of the American Bankers Association Performed Services by EVERETT Banks: tial follow: services which of all to in groups including munity, the com¬ Federal Gov¬ The overwhelming ma¬ bank loans represents extended home to owners, D. Everett essen¬ individuals, producers, and the credit are REESE D. President Banking consists of the perform¬ ance Officials sketches of the new Thumbnail prosperity and security. with the legislatures of Connecticut, ernment. each Massachusetts, New York, Okla¬ jority of meet with that other, and economy political life, other, consult great elected Treasurer. was legislature, effective become to they are going to be as "we each, all seg¬ sachusetts, and the Trust President and doing going. These are interest America are we things Vice-President, and Sher¬ Drawdy, man where is it Pennsylvania the by what and scene that all practicable steps be who Reese, was elected President of the American Bankers Association at the closing session of the Convention is Presi¬ dent of of The Newark, Reese National Park Mr. from the advanced was Bank Ohio. Newark, American, made provision for study of the farmers, consumers, and small Vice-Presidency of the Associa¬ vention was President Eisen¬ all American, not representative .Code by interim committees business. It is the responsibility tion. of any particular class or group which hower. The President, in address¬ Mr. Reese was born in Colum¬ willN make recommenda¬ of every banker to intensify his tions concerning the desirability ing the First General Session of alone, but for all of us. efforts within his community to bus, Ohio. He was graduated from the Convention on Sept. 22, ex¬ of enacting it within the next two Ohio State "So, for all these reasons, so University in inform the 1919, public continuously pressed his appreciation for the haltingly expressed, I assure you years. about the services which his bank after which he served as an in¬ The panel which discussed the splendid work done by the na¬ that this and I Administration structor in the School of Com¬ performs. tion's bankers in "helping sell are delighted that you are here. Code and its effect on the banking merce at Ohio State University, Savings Bond Program: The and distribute the Government's business are Robert Brome, Resi¬ We consider it a great honor and 1919-20; Georgia School of Tech¬ members of the American Bank¬ savings bonds to all our people." a privilege to meet you, to extend dent Counsel, Bankers Trust Com¬ nology at Atlanta, 1920-21; and ers Association have continued His Administration, he said, "is greetings, and to exchange ideas. pany, New York City; Carl Funk, (part-time) at Denison Univer¬ their efforts to encourage individ¬ not one that sits up in an ivory Drinker, Biddle and "Now, my every sincere and Partner, sity, 1922-23. uals to buy and hold United tower of lonely isolation and gives best, wishes He joined the staff of The Park again for a most en¬ Reath, and Counsel, Philadelphia States Savings Bonds. The Asso¬ words of wisdom that all others National Bank in 1921 and be¬ joyable Convention, and hoping Clearing House Association, Phil¬ ciation renews its pledge of sup¬ must obey or be wrong." Rather, that you will come back again." adelphia, Pa.; Walter D. Malcolm,, came its President and a director port to this program in the public he said, "we are here not only to Partner, Bingham, Dana & Gould, in 1926. do our duty in government'Jaut to {EDITOR'S NOTE: Full texts of Boston, Mass., and Chairman of interest, Mr. Reese was President of the * * * addresses made by Messrs. the Committee on the Uniform learn, and through such meetings Ohio Bankers Association in The New President's as this we learn a Humphrey, Burgess, Robertson, Commercial Code of the Ameri¬ lot." 1942-43. Acceptance Address Benson, Reierson, Sienkiewicz can Bar Association; Emmett F. In the American Bankers Asso¬ The President's address in full appear elsewhere in today's Smith, Vice-President and Resi¬ Following the announcement of Among the speakers at the Con¬ follows: a great is, for me, opportunity. It is and of a myself, on W. and successful confident a enjoy¬ very able being here gives me opportunity to to you something their than the more ritu nhower Pres. 1 i stic a the welcome, no matter how sincere they may be, which they words of gives me an opportunity example, to thank you for It are. lor work splendid your sell Govern¬ all to of $50 billion worth of government obligations, we know that there is in and country the incentive our determination the incentive and a to save, determination responsible for that have been so 7 of the good things this na¬ many Of banks was in nation the cars ones. than more Mr. are Administration. issue with also took Brenton charge iise. the bers that realize I our Secretary Treasury and other the of mem¬ Administration ap¬ before you to give you thinking on certain of the important subjects that Interest you, but I want to assure of all that Administration the all answers. Administration this that is It is that sits not thinks not it an ivory tower of lonely gives words of wisdom that all others must obey or be wrong. here not-only to do our duty in government but to learn, are and through we learn a such meetings as this lot. Uniform Commercial Code people, with your fingers on the pulsebeat of the American economy, come here and, by your by discussed was by a at the Convention panel of prominent bank at¬ torneys. The discussion held came. ^ - "So come for this kind of before I the secret of learn which we which and what others. organization ourselves can an enables have we We should learned continue our crease ple. If usefulness our we serve to them the peo¬ creased required business to finance in¬ activity. the At time, its policy of permitting tightening of credit condi¬ has tions been couraging an effective in dis¬ excessive and infla¬ tionary expansion of credit. policy has been This important fac¬ an "It is essential that per¬ we bank¬ as provide financial leadership of the highest type and help to inculcate of the and clear a sound understanding finance. If the are Federal Budget: tribution can that make to the the depends peace The largely in those have preventing in much fur¬ any of balanced Federal sential to and the maintenance stable balancing the placed be is budget es¬ of economy. budget, upon a In emphasis improved Foreign Trade: A only it buys abroad. sell abroad as nation We believe that the United can the much gov¬ do to of course the country. However, position of world leader¬ enterprise a have our our production levels, charge of shaping our ship, record in who ernment moral, military, and economic strength. With employment and at must prove that we manage affairs our maintain in such good ment and we under a way levels can free employ¬ activity without war or the ABA's State meeting Legislation The is a Uniform Commercial Code on Conference of Com¬ Uniform State Laws world's nation Committee the of Small Advisory Committee Secretary of Commerce. to ness HOMER J. elected American the of ' , Livingston, Vice-President Bankers the J. LIVINGSTON Vice-President Homer and Busi^- Association, is President and director of The First National Bank of Mr. Chicago, Chicago, 111. Livingston Chicago and is native a of his educa¬ He was received an its public schools. School, Chicago, in 1924, with and in 1952 was L.L.B. degree awarded Washington and Jef¬ College, Washington, Pa. ferson Mr. Livingston * entered banking business with The National Bank of In 1930, attorney; 1944, counsel; and President. in 1948 He from eliminate of from enlightened and progres¬ sive banking system must play its part in maintaining full em¬ ployment and perpetuating a ever increasing pros¬ all our people. The and - for can 1950 to 1949 and Policy the of the a member Commission 1953.. He to of Bankruptcy on Credit member a "An 1940 the Federal on chairman and Subcommittee 1950. was a mem¬ Committee the director a in Bankers Asso¬ ciation, Mr. Livington ing to reduce democratic form of government. 1945, Vice- President and Legislation a in became In the American of the First Chicago in 1922. be became an assistant in 1934, attorney; in "We should support consistently those in government who are try¬ expenses, cut taxes, bureaucracy, and. foster L.L.D. de¬ honorary an from gree served as Legislative Committee and the Council of Ad¬ ministration of the Illinois Bank¬ ers Association in L Mr. the Livingston executive . 1944-45. is chairman committee chairman of the stock a n of d trustees of creditor by . freely, convertible currencies, and stronger economies in the United States free If enacted, it would replace exist¬ ing state laws dealing with such and other nations of the that has been ably carried undertaken on and so by those responsi¬ ble for the Association's affairs: tion Law Restraint member a a and producing be a large factor in making our the Monon Railroad, a director of continuing to open its efforts more effective. I hope that the Continental -f Casualty Com--, increasingly to foreign I may be able to make some con¬ pany and the. Continental Assur¬ goods. Such a policy will help to tribution in helping to accomplish ance. Company, and President of create a larger volume of world these the National Safe Deposit Comobjectives, as well as to trade, the eventual restoration of continue other important ' • • - — ; work pany. greatest Institute. American as as Voluntary markets proposed the Credit ber American Bankers Association the in Oct. 1952 he served member of the National government assistance. responsibilities Committee and Council. In 1951 and of perity as to as should live up to its international Hotel, and in the future Jersey, New Law will progress future our at Convention graduated from the John Marshall with upon City, ABA understand¬ and have such we world of Annual elected was the made ing, States United cause con¬ Commission 1952. He of member a Policy needs with The 1949 to 78th also was served well by us in their financial dollar tion. Com¬ itst in¬ tion in ther in of 1952. 1, money people He Credit Atlantic - principles of inroads of the government stabilizing the value of the and should help to sustain into the private banking field. future employment and produc¬ "We must work constructively tor ! the well, they ers time the Vice-President will appreciate the important .part Willard will be part of the annual to knowledge and tech¬ niques of banking in order to in¬ improve from to us sound was you and thank you subjects as negotiable instruments, for your help and for you patriotic .bank collections, chattel mort¬ interest in the whole American gages, accounts receivable, factors the is during the member of of this Commission from 1948 man of have a Credit ception in 1944 to 1952, and chair¬ 1952. we was Business from what Association is through period. He to States and thing progress in the Congressional Room of the the National Bankers This process. and the Federal on Council Small continue to put as we practice learned. the mission Federal and elimination of in banking practice efficiency operating procedure that waste in every phase of govern¬ would be brought about by enact¬ mental activity. We heartily ap¬ prove the progress being made in ment in various states of the pro¬ missioners Thanks the Changes your wiser than when you period and "comprehensive re¬ exchange vision of private commercial law," of thoughts among yourselves and drafted under the sponsorship of .with us, will leave us, we hope, and mone¬ System has properly should Discussed of -"You presence this strong * * flexible in an posed Uniform Commercial Code this direction. isolation up and We was high, * latest first you there and defended the Administration's monetary policy in tightening credit. unduly peared their that ac¬ the Execu¬ on three-year term a —1943-46—and lives. been some consid¬ now with of the to mitted such expansion of credit as same positions, Developments Reserve-Treas¬ importance welfare Reserve Administra¬ bankers' he served tive Council for policy—including flexibility that private banking plays in their bond prices and interest rates. has in D. youth for individuals and for or¬ ganizations. The American Bank¬ ers Adopted tary the Washing¬ that denied Eisenhower the into * Federal the to During period of and 12 to a new used Brenton of loans Federal erably the public Harold tion," and referred to the fact that during the Democratic regime there were some sixty odd bank¬ ers State "accord" of 1951 have demon¬ ury at Everett following develop, long transmit strated on "a as to Administration new ton on # Monetary Policy: Brenton Mr. just tions: by the throughout months the of Before adjourning, the Conven¬ adopted the following resolu¬ since Mr. educational an grow, tion opera¬ months 24 on is "Life Legis¬ Chairman Resolutions not "Beyond this, ypur coming here enough mortgage money available brings to the Government a very for home building needs, citing great opportunity for cooperative the large accumulations of savings work in this whole field of fi¬ in banks applicable for this pur¬ nances and the soundness of pose. He also denied the charge money and its circulation and its that current interest rates were has Committee is $ in 23, Reese delivered the We lation, served as moderator of the panel discussion. be¬ the tion enjoys. an who erity, restrict auto Pitts¬ Hazeltine, President of of Arizona, Prescott, Bank ABA's adoption SOrt Of a rule our With more than 40 mil¬ them owning more than people. lion bonds savings helping in the distribute and ment's Of Sherman the Ariz., He cited tions. Company, Sept. on Association ceptance address: of t ious c a u Trust burg, Pa. more come the same wealth Bankers of Legislative at was have ers express an Brenton, bank¬ mitted President as tion though he ad¬ "But election his the closing session of the Conven¬ Taylor, Partner, Taylor, Hurtt Weisel, and Director, Common¬ tinued pro s p tion. still he con Conven¬ began, the retiring plateau for you a very and of remain a National F. sessions Harold Chase American & business would wish to regular Counsel, Bank, New York City; and George of Prosperity conference, expressed the press view to the City and the President government in Before the Convention associates my Optimistic Continued • you, of behalf on Brenton Convention pleasurable duty to invite my dent before appearance happy very ciation, issue.] "My .brief this truly ■ „ text swers world. tending the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act and enacting the Custorfts;; Simplification have "You We endorse and approve the ac¬ of the 83rd Congress in ex¬ Act. We honor in your honor paid naming a great President of me ^ne Association. 1 He has long been active in Chi^; cago a civic affairs and is at present Hniversity of Chi-, trustee of the cago; trustee and sioner I accept with, humility this and,., deep treasurer/ The Commis¬ Art Institute of Chicago; of " the Center D i treasurer, s t r Chicago i c Medical and ty director Chicago Boys Club, Inc.; - and trustee '* of the Chicago. appreciation o .. f . i J Volume 178 Number 5260 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1257) Child Care Farm Society and of the Lcxob Foundation: /':• r.r'% i SHERMAN gust Drawdy, President of Georgia Railroad Bank & the Company, Augusta, Ga., elected Treasurer Bankers can of the at meeting of the Association's Executive close Council of Annual the held Henry A. Kugeler is President of Drawdy was born in Grove-, land, Florida, and attended schools • the newly ABA's as M. busi¬ clerk in the Bank a examiner an and position for 1933 he :posit continued seven jointed the Insurance -Reserve Federal Arthur, President State Cleveland Bank Y Analysts 13 Division; and R. Irby Didier, of State Association District for. the Henry A. Kugeler i and *' **•- ;>>•#: ''I'jyv and cashier .and later Vice-Presidentand to tive in fairs and The bankers' served : the -dent for tion W ml?>■! Bankers .*<■ jBP Jl' Jr •••• speaking will of N. Baxter Maddox R. Irby Didier . Asso¬ is made up of banks, 2,450 branches, and State the 1950-51. and United States of the Execu¬ tive Committee of the State Bank Division from 1950 to 1953 and of Columbia, the Division's Legislation Com¬ mittee from 1951 to 1953, Georgia state chairman of the ber of the Savings Bonds membership 1951 1953, In states, the Commerce mission in and from of zona,- Com¬ ware, member Marine 1952-53. ..Georgia Railroad and Banking Company; and a director of North Augusta Banking Company, Jack¬ * and the Section .Bankers State of the 100% Illinois as Central. the In years are once * Associa¬ 5s, 1955, all that is left of the formidable term near rity schedule. The trips are Alkali Corporation, and Rayon Corp. and A cock¬ all matu¬ company has a stocks and continue the in August that have doldrums earnings been state¬ attending the meeting coming out Chase National Bank the past two weeks have been somewhat mixed. It is indicated that for the Class carriers I as a Group Offers Bonds Of Territory of Hawaii whole August was probably better than last year. This is by jor true of roads. east New all of the even For York instance, no ma¬ in the Central reported year-to-year gain for the month while both Baltimore & Ohio and a Pennsylvania had declines. In the of Baltimore & Ohio the case drop quite modest but for Pennsylvania it amounted to in earnings are planned Tuesday and Wednesday. for both in means to on a special dinner. Special programs for the women the ments analysts planning Cleveland overnight The Chase National Bank heads syndicate offering $5,500,006 Territory of Hawaii 2.90% public improvement bonds, series A, is¬ a of sue 1973 was 1953, due Sept. 15, 1956 to inclusive. The bonds priced are to yield from 1.85% to 3%, according to roughly $2.7 million or nearly maturity. These bonds, in the 44%. Among the speculators who opinion of counsel, will constitute care of this maturity. However, had not been following results of valid and legally binding obliga¬ the company has continued to a year ago very closely the per¬ tions of the Territory of Hawaii, buy in the bonds and presumably formance of Pennsylvania in Au¬ * * Next Convention To be Held American In National Bank Division of the Atlantic the City will be able final Convention, President: John W. Kress, Exec¬ . Vice-President, The Howard of what care ex¬ gust quite came as There is a a payable shock. simple explanation in the maintenance accounts. Last emerging from the seriously a phenomenal job has adverse influence of the prolonged done, the management obvi¬ steel strike, and facing the pros¬ Bankers Association will be held ously considers it advisable, Or at in Atlantic City, N. J., Oct. 17-20, least prudent, further to pare the pect of labor disturbances in the coal fields, Pennsylvania last Au¬ senior 1954. capitalization during this gust continued a policy of cur¬ The last Convention of the ABA period of peak earning power. Convention J Savings and Mortgage Division to take adjournment balance may remain without the newly ercising the option. elected President of the ABA an¬ nounced that the next annual A. i Kugeler, Denver. National Henry Bank, Denver, Colo. utive Few, if any, railroads have done a comprehensive debt retire¬ ment job in the past 10 or 12 years such non- and Before President,'.:The mem¬ Alabama, Ari¬ 1941-1952, inclusive, non-equip¬ debt Arkansas, Colorado, Dela¬ ment outstanding in the Idaho. Iowa, Louisiana, hands of the public was reduced Association follow: President: with field Diamond Islands, Puerto Rico, Salvador and million of the road's new Consol¬ the Virgin Islands. idated Mortgage bonds to take . The officers elected for the four tion states a Brazil, Canada, Cuba, standby agreement with a group France, Great Britain, Hawaii, of institutions to purchase, at the India, Japan, Mexico, Philippine discretion of Illinois Central, $12 *' divisions a Bermuda, Inc. * The is The ABA has members in every state in the Union and in Alaska, Depository, Augusta Lumber Company, Castleberry's Food Company, and Cato Stores, ♦ .* bank one ming. Cash New Division Presidents bank is every the Oct: 14 to attend Illinois Central resources. District of Association; and in five only to in stay Michigan, Missouri, Montana, by $180,667,000, leaving a balance Nevada, New Mexico, North Caro¬ as of the end of last year of only lina, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, $151,234,000. This included $11,Washington, Wisconsin and Wyo¬ 899,000 of the old Refunding 4s Mr; Drawdy is President of the son the Clevite out-of-town 99% over banking states and member. Treasury a 20 and the Antique Auto Museum. Republic Steel has invited Included all the banks in of of the nation's member and branches. 98% over at tail party for both field trips will be held at the Thompson Products Railroad Securities During the past year, the Associa¬ membership increased by banks be Thompson Products Co. tion's 83 : and to the Industrial membership 14;253 will Wednesday, Co. ing Departments Committee of the to Dinner Statier, Charles M. White, of Republic Steel Cor¬ poration, speaker. President On are Committee boat, "Charles M. White/' ore planned of the Federal in for Hotel Harry M. Arthur Vice-Presi- Division Outlook two management confer¬ followed by cocktails aboard poration. af¬ and of the Ex¬ ecutive Council from 1949 to 1952, and a member of the State Bank¬ a rail¬ Cleveland, be the 170 members in foreign countries. was at¬ sponsored by Republic Steel Cor¬ to He to are a In the afternoon there y ences The Bank expected "The on Business." v in 1949, a member Legislative Council are Cleveland, Y,3 Georgia of the Organiza¬ Committee West and James M. Dawson of the Na¬ tional City Bank of . 1 1946-47, a regional Vice-President of the Organization Committe from 1947 - , ac¬ President state was \ 1947. association as American ciation, he • W$k yw. SPife ll^B. Georgia Bankers Association. -In Ajy- First Mr. Drawdy has long been , • cashier," he elected President in .was •' * it' - . ' Great Utility and Coal Forum; luncheon, with Paul A. Murphy of OglebayNorton Co., speaking on "The Outlook for Security Markets," m, mm • their Conference, Oct. at road tour of industrial Wffl Drawdy became associated Georgia Railroad Bank ,& Trust Company in 1936 as VicePresident and Comptroller. After ; being advanced to Vice-President hold The — Security Scheduled for Oct. 13 ; ■1 the will 14 of tend. |gg Federal Ohio Society Regional and Middle John W. Kress '. • Mr. with earned the Hotel Statier. Some 75 to 100 analysts, primarily from the eastern seaboard and Section. in De- Corporation, of Lakes Trust President In years. Reserve Bank of Atlanta;. ex¬ above so, (unconsolidated) CLEVELAND, shortly thereafter he became sen:ior examiner in the Sixth Federal : or Regional Conference of Division; N. Baxter Maddox, President Groveland, advancing to cash¬ ier in 1924. In 1926 he joined the Florida State Banking Department as $2.81 of of that $1.00, run Bank Savings and Mortgage Division; Harry in 1921 D6 Au¬ Cleveland Analysts elected National Division; John W. Kress, President V •**' there. ness in indicated the 79th banking snOUJLQ than further NEW ABA OFFICIALS new at Association's the baUWTIlg is in 1952. a Convention. entered it are the Mr. He and pected to was Ameri¬ Association uit: that earnings will hold up well in the final quarter. Thus for the full year share results Heads of ABA Divisions and State Associalion Section ,, Sherman Trust yxz<xiy considerably better DRAWDY Treasurer 45 of the American year, While been from of revenues will be the the exempt consolidated Territory, as to both and prin¬ cipal and interest from all present Federal, state, municipal and local taxes, except estate, inherit¬ ance and Also gift taxes. participating in the offer¬ tailed maintenance work. It was City was in Common stockholders have been ing are: Harris Trust and Savings not until September that such During the 1954 meeting of rewarded by successive increases work was resumed at the normal Bank; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; the nation's bankers, the New in annual dividends from the orig¬ Jersey Bankers Association will inal $3.00 rate to the current pace. In August, 1953 freight rev¬ Drexel & Co.; Blair, Rollins & Co. enues increased $4,896,056 over a participate and share in manage¬ $5.00 instituted at the last meet¬ Incorporated; Mercantile Trust ment of the Convention. ing, and many analysts feel that year earlier, to $71,187,821. Pas¬ Company, St. Louis; Equitable senger revenues dipped more than another to be held in Atlantic Savings Institution, Newark, N. J. 1952. State Bank Division President: Harry M. Arthur, President, Arthur State Bank, Union, S. C. Trust President: Division N. Baxter With Dean Witter Staff Maddox, (Special Vice-President and Trust Officer, The First National Bank of Association President: ecutive Bankers La. Section R. Irby Didier, Ex¬ Secretary, Louisiana * J. (Special * FT. Mann announced to the convention tjhat -16,873 banks, and branches-, to The Financial MYERS, Fla. has become A. M. Kidder & Ghiglieri, President of the Citizens National Bank, Toluca, 111., Chairman of the Asso¬ ciation's Organization Committee, Chronicle) — Chronicle) Denver G. affiliated with Co., 915 First St. King Merritt Adds - , (Special to The Financial Chronicle) cash left liberally more over for debt. there The ° is com¬ 10% but with mail, express, and other categories up the total rev¬ enues rose $4,271,882. The alltransportation costs are callable This was the reason for the de- only. The debentures feline in net. For the full eight months the were outstanding at $34,743,000 at the end of last year and the pre¬ picture is considerably better. Net as a whole ferred at 186,457 shares, $100 par. There is considerable question as to how many holders will tender their securities ered reasonable ment but at at to least prices the consid¬ manage¬ capital structure - appears As for the railroads as income for the 1953 interim assured, a whole, Securities Corporation; Laurence M. & & The gain of $10,338,674 was derson; more nearly be with Hayden, Miller rities Central Republic Com¬ (Incorporated); First Secu¬ pany Company of Chicago; R. L. Day & Inc.; and Freeman Co.; Andrews & & Wells, Company. With J. Barth & Co. (Special to The Financial LOS equiv¬ standing. As comparisions in Sep¬ will Co.; Co.; Malvern Hill & Company was alent to $0.79 a share of stock out¬ tember Marks Incorporated; Green, Ellis & An¬ $25,766,126 compared with $15,427,452 reported a year earlier. further some NOKOMIS, Fla.—Ernest D. Le- improvement in the already strong were May has become connected with members-of :the"ABA-on-Aug: 81; King Merritt and Company, Inc.- treated stock, both of which Membership Continues Upward Barney Financial Joins A. M. Kidder Staff Association, Baton Rouge, ; " * The with FRESNO, Calif.—Fred H. Kurz pany has called for tenders, which important has been added to the staff of may be made up to the close of were held under good control but Dean Witter & Co., Patterson business Oct. 15, of the debenture the aggregate of maintenance ac¬ Building. 1 4%s, 1966 and the 6% preferred cruals jumped almost $7 million. At¬ lanta, Atlanta, Ga. State to boost is not too far away. stockholders being Even S. ANGELES, Harryman ciated with J. has Chronicle) Calif.—Frank become Barth West Seventh Street. & He asso¬ Co.^ 210 was for¬ of merly with E. F. Hutton & Com¬ normal maintenance pany. . a period , Financial Chronicle... Thursday, October 1, 1953 The Commercial and (1258) 46 the tive of Sept. as Bank effec¬ 14. A branch was established in the former News About Banks and Trust Company. « BRANCHES NEW OFFICERS, ETC. NEW Bankers and REVISED % r»! . , The Board of Directors Company Trust cantile CAPITALIZATIONS location Germantown of National Bank of CONSOLIDATIONS tiirard of title and charter Trust Corn Exchange Balti¬ Md. and of Safe Deposit Company of Baltimore, Md. at regular meeting of the of Directors of The Na¬ Board of Bank City tional held York New Sept. 29, Leland S. Brown, on Vice-Presi¬ Vice-Presi¬ formerly an Assistant dent, was appointed a dent. Gillie, Robert P. Smith and John the New Rochelle H. Walsh. From Walter H. Stevenson, N. Holland P. Dr. Stein, C. Gervin Prezzano, Jr., Joyce, Edward Plunkett, J. Harold M. John Albertson, Lester J. be would board Trust Continued from page 10 and Trust the shares of Mer¬ of more, At and will bring the total number of outstanding to 2,250,000. The stock dividend will be pay¬ Upon completion of these steps able on the 313,200 additional total capital funds of the bank will be increased to approximate¬ shares now being offered for sub¬ scription as well as on the 1,566,- ly $92,000,000 from $72,998,687 as 000 shares presently outstanding, of Aug. 31, 1953. Stanley & Co. is underwriting the cash offering to shareholders. 4 held on proposal for institutions. meetings separate Sept. 25, approved a the merger of these The of form Government Will Stop agreement merger Competing With Business approved by, the Bank Commissioner of Maryland and has been proposal is being sub¬ the stockholders of the the merger mitted shackled trols free to Young and Ralph T. Tyner, Jr. The Rockefellers would be repre¬ people. of wrists the on r ■ buying Consumer sales. ment of services goods V and nondurable ; ; : ./ r;. to the respective institutions for their, "Sneak" Nationalization Should consideration and action at sep¬ So, in making your plans, take graduation Be Resisted sented on the new board by arate meetings to be held simul¬ the following factors into consid¬ from Northwestern University, Richard H. Mansfield and John Nationalization of industry may eration: : : ; has been assigned to the Fifth taneously Oct. 19, 1953. E. Lockwood. Avenue Branch since 1946. He will The (1) The ^momentum of current merged Trust Company be rammed down the throats of Directors of the banks would will be State chartered and will capital and labor in some parts of business activities.. ' ; v> now be associated with the Senior Management of National City's serve on an advisory board and be known as Mercantile-Safe De¬ the Old World. But every open (2) The expectation of certain or sneak move in that direction adjustments.^- Some of Branch at 42nd Street and Madi¬ 'all officers and employees would posit and Trust Company, Balti¬ these al¬ here should be resisted by the free ready have taken place without be retained, the banks said. Mr. son Avenue. more, Md. Safe Deposit was orig¬ Mr. who Brown, 1930, in Bank came upon both continue up.' . ■< _ United Company of surprise dinner bank's President, Benjamin States Trust York gave a New to the Strong, on Sept. 28. The occasion marked the 20th anniversary of Mr. Strong's association with the celebrat¬ ing its 100th anniversary. A large silver tray, inscribed with the signatures of all officers, was pre¬ bank, which this year is Trenary, M. by James Vice-President. sented . Mr. 5Strong represents the fifth generation of his family in direct descent to occupy prominence position a of banking and the in would Birckhead staff of the officer entire The ❖ * * v Chairman be the first, headquarters would be located in New Tyner, President. At and Mr. in later and Rochelle White Plains. !;! Joseph A. Kaiser, President of the Williamsburgh Savings Bank, Chairman, elected was Savings Bank Asso¬ ciation, at its Annual Meeting. Five Group Newly elected Chairman of the Group Five Executive Committee is John W. Hooper, President of the Lincoln Savings Bank. Elected to serve Com¬ that on President, * # * Bay Ridge Savings Bank. Eugene A. Colligan, Vice-Presi¬ Appointment of Charles A. dent, Long Island City Savings Becker as an Assistant ViceB. David McVean, i President of Manufacturers Company, nounced York, New Trust Bank. an¬ was C. Flanigan, by Horace M. Burns, President, Riverhead Savings Bank. George will This President. Mr. Becker came to the bank in successive Burns' Mr. be year as a third member Previously Mr Becker was the Executive Committee. Re-elected for the fourth associated with the Commercial Bank value of $50 per share) and 100,000 shares will represent the presently outstanding lpG^GQO the the Becker will be assigned to Out-of-Town Business Southern-Western partment, De¬ Di¬ vision. ant Trust and * si: dent of the value. the vate enterprise. new board of of The suc¬ Dime is composed of the become Chairman Company, will be the Mr. D. Luke Hopkins, of institu¬ Selected from the old Peoples Na¬ tional board would be Mr. Birck¬ nors tem of the Company, will occupy same stocke, John R. Crunkleton, An¬ thony F. Dempsey, Gordon E. Kel- 36 lenberger, John E. Arthur Motz, R. Levering, Opie and senior offi¬ C. S. tion, and Mr. Levering will, in ad¬ of Gover¬ of the Federal Reserve Sys¬ and National Bank of Ger- mantown and head, Oscar A. De Lima, Leslie B. Philadelphia, Board Trust Pa., Company, merged to tate dition, become Treasurer and Mr. Crunkleton will also become Sec¬ uted as a stock rate of 19.732% dividend A nationwide firms group headed 1953. of invest¬ by Morgan It tion. private conjunc¬ enterprise to old-fashioned depres¬ an sion. possiblities limitless (6) The for economic stability and growth. Among these positive factors are: national adequate defense; new the most important onljk will continue defense ^mobilization offer or Through fluctuations from appraising the business out¬ look, I have some rough estimates on the whole third quarter that In be next end will week. firmed up These It data and published in when complete returns for period are in. The picture that I give you is based in part on this advance information. That spend to sound shows health It has and has a strong limitless pos¬ about the future. out of Wall St. Riders income—is Reelect Struckmann going up. Personal consump¬ tion expenditures are expected to meaning that the con¬ market is still growing. sumer employment at 62 mil¬ Civilian lion "soft rise. still mount, to recognize growth. Basing my judgment on the facts, I am a realistic optimist sonal income—what the consumer has place time. per¬ picture income, continues means take they as to sibilities for per¬ to that disposable time is realistic constitution. the that adjustments. spots." It also is realistic to recog¬ nize all the facts, including the fact that our overall economy is later, This today We should not blink our eyes at ity in history. will minor of ber people enjoying the greatest prosper¬ sonal repeat: is me self enchances somewhat the num¬ competitive enter¬ our prise system the American are let climate In going from controls to more of the American econ¬ free enterprise, the transition it¬ its future possibilities.^ strength omy in good. Of course, a fluid economy is never static. Adjustments occur. the underestimate conclusion, economic The employment. industry and Never In stimulate to factor of all— Americans of themselves. 1but also it will services new confidence the functions of the old National Pro¬ duction Authority abroad; and—perhaps investment Services Administra¬ not necessary — seasonally adjusted — and hours worked per week have not changed much in recent average months. Business activity tinues at of the a generally con¬ high rate. As a result general expansion of sales, have expanded rates. Inventories are rising, according to our latest data, but we don't profits corporate over the year-ago expect this so large.&n accumulation as in the second quarter * quarter. equipment outlays have maintained an upward trend Plant G. H. Struckmann . and At the annual meeting the of Wall Street Riding Club, Inc., the the third quarter. Al¬ following were elected officers for though businessmen have indi-. the coming year: cated intentions „to spend some¬ Gerhard H. Struckmann was what less on new facilities in the again unanimously elected Presi¬ fourth quarter, the indicated 1953 dent. He has held this office for total is about 5% above last year. through the payable to share¬ holders of record Oct. 22, under ment at in Government with prevent re¬ the vast power of the use Federal special nepds and Defense President. share for each five shares held of member gencies. (5) The further assurance that the Administration will not hesi¬ of smaller products of research; new markets created by both migration and business concerns. In the Department of Commerce growth of population; wise poli¬ cies to stimulate world trade and we are launching a new Business position in the merged institution. Messrs. John K. Brig- :|! !j! !j! .; tion the for Executive President of the Safe Deposit and! Trust the new directors government. ~ ' : ; " • .. •: The assurance that the, Ad¬ ministration has plans for emer¬ (4) rectiorf tion; and Mr. Butler, now Presi¬ dent of the Safe Deposit and Trust Vice Group Five Savings Banks As¬ comprise fifteen members. of mstructive action in this di- Parrish & Co.; Thayer, Baker & record Sept. 24, 1953, Charles T. would be given to Co.; Woodcock, Hess & Co. In¬ Peoples National shareholders at corporated; Brooke & Co.; C. C. Fisher, Jr., President, announced following a special meeting. a ratio of 1.9 shares for each share Collings and Company Incorpo¬ Shareholders' rights to subscribe now held, while New Rochelle rated; Schmidt, Poole, Roberts & will expire Oct. 15, 1953. Trust shareholders would get one Parke; Suplee, Yeatman & Com¬ These shares are part of 684,000 share for each share now held. pany, Inc., and Wurts, Dulles & additional shares which were au¬ The Hills Realty Company, con¬ Co. ❖ thorized for issuance at the meet¬ ❖ ❖ trolled by the Rockefellers, would buy 36,800 shares at $32.50 a Girard Trust Corn Exchange ing and the balance, amounting to share. Bank, Philadelphia, Pa., a State 370,800 shares, are to be distrib¬ The also This Administra¬ Administration has of and finance and in the re¬ duction of the unnecessary costs tion has similar views and is tak- shares, 53,200 would segments they But confidence in prL supreme The the Board of the combined savings Of other several economy. have proved on Sept. 29 at special as of Sept. 24, are being offered retary of the combined institu¬ 125,000 tion. meetings of directors of both rights to subscribe to banks. In general the officers of each Meetings of stockholders shares of unissued capital stock at were set for Oct. 29 to vote on a price of $30 per share on the of the constituent Trust Com¬ the plan, with Nov. 2 the goal for basis of one new share for each panies will continue to hold the three shares held. A syndicate same position in the merged in¬ putting the merger into effect. headed by Stroud & Company, stitution and the personnel of both The new bank, to be known as Inc. has agreed to underwrite any institutions will be retained by the Westchester Bank and Trust unsubscribed shares at the expira¬ the combined Trust Company. Company, New Rochelle, N. Y., tion of the rights on Oct. 13. Banking and trust services will would be financed partly by the Sales of the stock will increase be continued at the three present five sons of John D. Rockefeller, the bank's capital to 500,000 locations: Calvert and Redwood Jr. They would acquire 20% of shares of $10 par value and give Streets; 13 South Street, and the stock, according to Oliver W. Central-Penn capital funds in ex¬ Charles and Chase Streets. Birckhead, President of the cess of $22,000,000. The''combined institution will Peoples National, and Ralph T. Other members of the offering have a capital and surplus of $15,Tyner, Jr., President of the New syndicate include—Drexel & Co.; Rochelle Trust. 000,000, with undivided profits of Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Merrill more than The bank, with eight offices and $2,000,000 and total re¬ Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; sources of approximately $100,$62,000,000 in assets, would be the Smith, Barney & Co.; Hemphill, second largest in Westchester. N'oyes & Co.; Janney & Co.; Bid- 000,000. ❖ Sponsors of the fnerger have been die, Whelen & Co.; Butcher & National Bank of Detroit, Mich. looking for other banks to bring Sherrerd; Newburger & Com¬ shareholders on Sept. 24 set a into the plan. pany; Yarnall & Co.; Battles & price of $45 per share on 313,200 The plans call for an increase in Company, Inc.; Hallowell, Sulz¬ shares to be offered to sharehold¬ New Rochelle Trust shares from berger & Co.; Blair, Rollins & Co. ers on the basis of one additional 100,000 of $10 par value to 190,000 Incorporated; Boenning & Co.; same the of Mercantile Trust Com¬ will pany, Stockholders of Central-Penn New Rochelle, N. Y. under discussion since July, was ap¬ National Bank of Philadelphia, Pa. the and ture field the in Administration money give adequate support to agricul¬ the par (of share). (3) The sound programs of the Americans want gov¬ provide prompt assist¬ ance in emergencies and, until other means may be found, to moved controls on prices and nonprincipal executive officers strategic materials. Trust Company will. It recommended and the Con¬ be Messrs. Fred G. Boyce, Jr. and gress set up a new Small Busi¬ Thomas B. Butler. Mr. Boyce, now ness Administration to provide Chairman of the Board and Presi¬ pany, of disturbing the overall picture. The of Savings Bank of Brooklyn. and the New Rochelle Trust Com¬ the of Of course, banks in Brooklyn, George Pausch, now A proposed merger of the Queens, Long Island and Staten cers of the Mercantile or of the representing deposits of Safe Peoples National Bank and Trust Island, Deposit, will be Senior ViceCompany of New Rochelle, N. Y. $4,781,445,000. Presidents of 'the merged institu¬ * people ernment to Deposit" Company value of $20 per Clinton L. Miller, Assist¬ Vice-President sociation par shares of stock of the Safe Secretary-Treas¬ as year urer was pany. Mr. cessive Com¬ Trust and shares of of the par value of $20 per 250,000 share, of which 150,000 shares will be issued in exchange for the 30,000 outstanding shares of stock of the Mercantile Trust Company (of 1951. National will capital The.merged Trust Company have independent and United States. 1884. in of the merged mittee were: commercial life of Wall Street. tile stock # i'f today inally chartered in 1864, Mercan¬ purchases are at level. Summer de¬ Durable goods a very high clines in passenger car and in sales are production offset by increases eauip- furniture and household many, M. years. also was many Butler Vice-President. Guire was Mrs. Mildred Mrs. reelected Helen as Mc- elected Treasurer, and Miss Ruth Bab, Secretary. I Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1259) The Indications of Current Business latest week Activity week Latest SlEEL AMERICAN IRON AND Indicated steel Equivalent Steel ingots operations INSTITUTE: (percent Oct. 4 or or month available. month ended Previous Month Week Ago Week capacity) of following statistical tabulations §94.9 *95.1 (net tons) Oct. 4 §2,139,000 42 oil and gallons condensate 2,040,000 ' ALUMINUM (bbls.) fuel oil Residual fuel oil 2,195,000 (bbls.) Distillate fuel Residual fuel ASSOCIATION at oil (bbls.) oil OF —_ (bbls.) - AMERICAN 2,334,000 freight loaded Revenue freight received from connections ENGINEERING (number of cars) 10,278,000 8,956,000 8,525,000 143,740,000 143,407,000 37,358,000 .Sept. 19 Sept. CONSTRUCTION 654,861 33,769,000 (no. of 50,844,000 710,554 817,431 cars) S. 667,774 , , Sept. 24 $341,242,000 "T State and municipal- 101,561,000 181,692,000 79,260,000 Federal Sept. ——Sept. 24 ■_____ OUTPUT (U. Bituminous coal lignite Pennsylvania anthracite ' * Beehive coke STORE SALES SYSTEM—1947-49 EDISON Electric output 8,115,000 609,000 480,000 88,400 80,200 AGE steel METAL PRICES INDUSTRIAL) J— (E. —_—J_ J. 11,574,000 550,000 891,000 96,800 90,900 102 - 100 t— 8,394,707 152 4.634c $56.59 $35.33 29.700c $37.17 83.750c Sept. 23 13.500c Sept. 23 Sept. 23 - 8,499,725 6,950,059 1,413,672 (tons of 83,241 end period of of & (tons) 1 • . 13.300c $41.67 ' 29.575c 24.200c 29.275c 121.500c 14.000c 16.000c 13.300c 13.800c COAL 35.425c 81,250c 15.800c 10.000c 44,522 148 * 164 109 71 60 316 64 58 49 number 73 380 92 43 51 700 594 $17,139,000 $5,056,000 *7,410,000 2,386,000 11,282,000 3,868,000 2,789,000 1,077,000 1,210,000 5,255,000 1,816,000 1,809,000 $28,529,000 "$39,830,000 $16,322,000 40,275,000 34,870,000 *34,171,000 2,353,000 *2,475,000 2,704,000 429,500 -> 724 $10,267,000 3,042,000 10,275,000 liabilities *418,800 220,500 liabilities service liabilities $42.00 13.500c 10.000c 32,327 • August: number number Commercial 81.000c ' 96,651 340 Construction $55.26 28.900c . 78,435 BRADSTREET, liabilities 4.376c $56.76 : , 78,167 74,204 103,906 32,988 (tons) 80,825 69,250 117,897 pounds) liabilities 4.634c 11.000c liabilities OUTPUT of (BUREAU OF MINES)—Month August: Bituminous-coal and 94.70 94.17 92.85 103.80 103.13 103.80 anthracite Beehive (net coke 107.62 108.34 113.70 95.76 Sept. 29 105.69 105.00 105.86 103.47 1Q2.80 103.13 97.94 97.78 98.25 Group Sept. 29 101.97 101.31 102.13 Sept. 29 103.30 102.63 103.13 106.04 105.69 106.21 coke Beehive ' tons) « MINES)—Month of July: tons) (net coke 6,759,085 *6,613,614 2,370,600 6,340,286 *6,127,421 *486,193 2,311,300 418,799 2,220,692 *2,129,468 3,297,471 $451,000 $429,000 $550,000 131.2 139.9 125.3 pounds)— _i—''" 82,705 ' tons) (net tons) Oven coke stocks at end of month 109.24 Sept. 29 OF (net (net tons)- (net tons) 59,300 108.88 Utilities Group— Industrials Group Oven 111.62 Sept. 29 Sept. 29 (BUREAU Production 109.42 108.34 lignite Pennsylvania 13.625c Sept. 29 112.75 Public MOODY'S U. S. BOND YIELD Government DAILY Average 2.87 2.91 3.01 3.52 3.56 3.52 _Sept. 29 3.30 3.26 2.97 3.45 3.40 3.08 3.23 ; . • 3.54 3.56 3.88 3.89 3.86 3.67 3.62 ____. 3.55 3.59 3.56 Orders received of Unfilled 3.41 3.38 __" (tons) at DRUG AVERAGE 100 = 417.1 236,069 199,338 199,211 215,865 264,379 201,235 261,470 In of period-—Sept. REPORTER PRICE -•. 76 of 552,959 507,572 105.62 105.77 106.00 100 467,535 > the on floor— As Other Total Total initiated 583,200 506,500 off the _ 440,690 Sept. 139,100 121,890 119,790 21,200 12,100 12,940 r~Sept! 114,960 141,480 109,360 sept. 136,160 153,580 122,300 91,700 214,895 222,050 213,250 173,320 26,070 ""3' ~~~ __ _ Total sales 39,850 40,950 230,783 332,995 271,733 384,855 1,041,425 992,630 913,625 ~ 163,160 137,920 175,240 109,010 ~«pnt Customers' short other 926,290 shares—Total (customers' total Customers' other value of by dealers— shares—Total Short, sales Other Round-lot Number TOTAL 15,954 20,429 18,799 219 349 129 252 _Sept Index 20,080 18,670 22,199 (000's 515,441 637,791 Member 4,343 8,926 628,865 $26,648,150 seDt 12 450,701 606,376 511,098 _Sept 12 $17,288,749 $23,640,404 $20,665,963 io 139,630 187,200 157,770 ultimate to (000's OF of — U. Cash 12 12 139",630 187,200 1~5~7~770 213,390 12 209,030 288,950 215,880 t foods 47,621,631 243,525 *220,669 252,849 250,507 *230,304 226,277 (AMER¬ INSTITUTE—Month cars) of 5,557 6,370 4,537 45,735 47,423 95,761 118.5 118.9 117.2 $1,682,105 27,022 $1,663,839 $1,338,244 28,648 48,188 285,220 286,289 342,050 640,535 649,685 674,753 —- __— (number — COMMISSION COMMERCE Employment at middle average=100) omitted): — of extended of , to accounts— margin debit balances—— net customers —-— and in banks in U. S hand on Aug. 31 , carrying customers' customers' value of Market credit free balances— value of listed on OF _ j? 5 bonds U. S. other collateral IN HOME — of * .__ U. S. Govt, issues-- FINANCING ESTATE 110,750,141 shares listed Member borrowings July and loan associations Insurance companies 349,460 254,110 229,500 139,470 6,481,710 6,208,960 5,423,840 4,410,560 Bank 6,831,170 6,463,070 5,653,340 4,550,030 Mutual OF and trust savings 115,885,633 114,506,240 100,009,822 100,279,485 100,536,928 129,436 1,203,892 141,345 103,577 1,193,868 959,518 $681,920 $585,995 NONFARM LOAN (000*s BANK omitted): $699,037 131,587 323,320 127,282 Savings . — companies banks 256,713 Individuals Sept. 22 110.7 ' 110.8 110.7 , ' ' ' 22 98.1 *97.8 97.5 105.6 105.1 109.8 92.4 94.7 95.1 114.7 104,994 245,535 institutions 259,821 262,814 223,196 $1,769,259 $1,590,319 — ' 112.5 .114.6 317,159 120,447 248,152 105.2 105.0 113,440 130,914 325,012 $1,797,760 lending 111.1 Sept. 22 Sept. 22 and 48,856,021 CONSTRUC¬ STEEL at end of month Market « REAL 777777Sept. 7__Sept. - UNITED __ 22 flncludes 723,000 barrels of foreign crude runs, against the Jan. 1, 1952 basis of 108,587,670 tons. 49,024,806 (AMERI¬ August: CAR (1935-39 Miscellaneous . 26,855,991 $488,551,100 305,890 DEPT. _ 30,991,366 $549,247,000 , at June STEEL OUTPUT—DOMESTIC Railway AREAS S. products Processed foods farm 31,358,370 of (tonnage)—estimated BOARD—Month commodities commodities other than consumers- omitted) customers—month ultimate — of Credit (SHARES): Farm as sales firms Total 213,390 SeDt ~ figure, *113 NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE—As of 12,205 Commodity Group— l, 1953 *121 (number of 618,581 —sept! •Revised 122 adjusted—— of orders 8,044 _______ of Jan. *109 (tonnage)—estimated— INTERSTATE sales— Other sales Total sales All 78 107 cars) 15,735 geDf . 80 118 Member borrowings on . , 103 RAILWAY 458,745 —leSt sales 76 75 August: 12 a. Meats. of Sept. 12 — by dealers— 77 . 22,451 Sept. 12 ; _. . PRICES, NEW SERIES LABOR—(1947-49 = 100): • *104 STRUCTURAL CAR ICAN Total sales—.: WHOLESALE 1947-1940 75 closed August ~ , MEMBERS FEDERAL — 27,361 760,597 STOCK SALES ON THE NEW YORK EXCHANGE AND ROUND-LOT STOCK TRANSACTIONS All FREIGHT shares OF Y. 99 TION)—Month $35,564,700 s Short 19,973 574,818 $26,929,242 ROUND-LOT Round-lot N. unadjusted— daily), INSTITUTE CAN Contracts —'—Sept. 12 .—___, FOR ACCOUNT Total 26,563 735,342 ' sales purchases of 19,608 > sales DISTRICT, OF ultimate customers of Deliveries Sept. 12 :_ 3,405,754 daily), seasonally adjusted— June of FABRICATED 759,535 $31,196,337 ___ Number 650,525 534,943 _ Dollar 948,855 1,124,095 $23,598,189 sales sales Round-lot Number sales)— sales sales— 2,947,554 r.. $555,797,900 Backlog ; short 955,463 ,093,383 Sept. 12 __ of 83,771 FED- June of sales Customers' BANK from Shipments —Sept. 12 sales Customers' 51,860 1,089,450 Sept. 12 ; orders—Customers' RESERVE seasonally Month — orders Number 127,910 77,100 ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: Revenue COMMISSION: purchases! shares of *104,481 663,160 ' qp;. " value Number - EXCHANGE (customers' Odd-lot purchases by dealers — SALES—SECOND unadjusted Stocks, 227,145 n 7777777sept.' of — STORE (average monthly), unadjusted EDISON 201,075 244,820 qAn* _ ~ of 75,540 ;• 204,970 e ~ Number 110,440 84,870 Sept 7~7 sales Dollar 16 (average 84,300 __ 7 EXCHANGE —SECURITIES Sept. Kilowatt-hour ^-777777 Number 106,985 (tons floor- _ purchases of Stocks, 7,400 STOCK TRANSACTIONS FOR ODD-LOT ACCOUNT OF ODDLOT DEALERS AND SPECIALISTS ON N. Y. STOCK - 95,366 78,825 of 2,000 pounds) stock at end of period (average 80,410 Sept. ~ transactions for account of members- by dealers 79,368 112,570 365,150 616,940 , sales sales 409,430 668,070 ____ sales Odd-lot 580,585 • 102,110 ——III—_1 sales Other 648,690 703,470 ____'_ — Short 687,430 606,360 : Total round-lot *88,063 106,749 pounds)— 2,000 pounds) RESERVE : •_ —' Short, sales ;• 2,000 of (tons copper Sales qpn<- initiated purchases A. Sales _Sept. transactions Total S. 2,000 Sales _Sept. sales Other August: fabricators— DEPARTMENT 109.21 IIII_ Sept. sales Total sales of Average—100—Month of August: Sept. _____ sales Other of (tons to ERAL - Sept. 25 Total sales Short August 93 ' 19 INDEX— sales transactions Total purchases of month COTTON GINNING (DEPT. OF COMMERCE)— 234,715 97 523,839 Sept. 19 end , Other U. Refined registered— Other (tons Refined TRANSACTIONS FOR ACCOUNT OF MEM¬ BERS, EXCEPT ODD-LOT DEALERS AND SPECIALISTS: Transactions of specialists in stocks in which Short INSTITUTE—For Crude 427.0 — purchases , INC.— BRADSTREET, Deliveries ROUND-LOT Total YORK— Copper production in U. S. A.— 3.02 411.6 — activity—_— orders PAINT AND 1949 3.39 405.9 _ — (tons)' Percentage NEW omitted)—: ASSOCIATION: (tons) Production Sept. 29 Sept. 29 —Sept. 19 INDEX OF (000's - 3.21 __Sept. 19 COMMODITY & COPPER 3.38 -'—Sept. 29 Group———— Group —1 ! Industrials OUTSTANDING—FED¬ BANK 31 (1947-1949=.l 00) —Month 3.53 3.63 . NATIONAL PAPERBOARD OIL, 3.58 Sept. 29 Sept. 29 — MOODY'S August of 3.20 3.26 3.41 Baa RESERVE As 2.79 Sept. 29 — Railroad Group Public Utilities PAPER ERAL DUN Sept. 29 ___' .— COMMERCIAL 106.21 (net tons) CONSUMER PURCHASES OF COMMODITIES- Bonds— corporate Aaa 103.64 . AVERAGES: ' as * 9,275,673 6,582,513 alloy July__ number 4 Sept. 29 Sept. 29 L____! -i Railroad .. 2,000 at Manufacturing 156 COKE ——: of . of service j : 29.700c 28.225c Sept. 23 — A , including tons)—Month number Construction Total ; 117,600 7,624,747 182 4.634c $56.59 —Sept. 22 Sept. Baa •* products, period INC.—Month Retail aU- 77,200 160,876 INSTITUTE: of Manufacturing 113 -.8,539,557 182 Sept. 22 — 3,021,200 65,770 castings produced FAILURES—DUN Total Sept. 23" at_____ 3,216,000 3,561,013 130,341 „ 8,353,541 Sepc. 22 ____, ____—— end Wholesale „L—_ 3,787,659 55,109 August output, all grades (tons Wholesale QUOTATIONS): corporate— Aaa \ Sept. 24 — ____ Aa 9,570,000 ; & 2—— MOODY'S BOND PRICES DAILY AVERAGES: I U. S. Government Bonds Average DUN .___1 Louis) for of (net orders BUSINESS " Lead (New York) at Lead (St. Louis) at— (East St. — —— ^ 15,759 3,320,467 Retail number 120 ——-Sept. 23 M. & Electrolytic copper— Domestic refinery at Export refinery at Straits tin (New, York) steel smelter Commercial lb.)^_— (per of at Unfilled ' Sept. 26 AND STEEL steel pounds) Stocks RESERVE Sept. 19 COMPOSITE PRICES: Finished 1 2,000 ' Pig iron (per gross ton)-— Scrap steel (per gross ton). Zinc * Slab zinc 134,783,000 9,665,000 (in 000 kwh.) BRADSTREET, INC IRON 20,697,000 15,991,000 AVERAGE =-100 (COMMERCIAL 78,368 J ; \' INDEX—FEDERAL 17,810 9,401,000 therms) AND and stainless Shipments ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: FAILURES (M tons)—Month Shipments 127,486,000 , 21,128,000 Sept. 24 (tons) 104,152 17,848 3,505,917 MINES): (tons) (tons)- DEPARTMENT > OF IRON ingots (net $317,149,000 61,850,000 152,481,000 131,784,000 _Sept. 19 Sept. BUREAU $214,331,000 58,132,000 165,701,000 Sept. 19 S. and Steel 189,663,000 54,880,000 Sept. 19 — ___, COAL sales gas AMERICAN and $180,321,000 159,550,000 Sept. 24 Public construction ; 109,285 end of July' 719,147 a. —_____Sept. 24 Sept. —: (short tons) . AMERICAN ZINC INSTITUTE, INC.—Month of August: construction— Private construction • July therms) 873,596 595,572 (M gas Mixed 112,472,000 53,484,000 NEWS-RECORD: Total U. ; of gas sales (M therms) Manufactured gas sales (M therms) 34,680,000 113,601,000 51,760,000 ;; ENGINEERING — Ago aluminum in the U. S. Natural 118,315,000 125,664,000 823,884 __Sept. 19 Sept. 142,334,000 36,799,000 126,189,000 52,164,000 — Year Month MINES): July: Total 2,728,000 10,324,000 8,816,000 ,- RAILROADS: Revenue CIVIL .2,215,000 10,244,000 Sept. 19 .. of that date: Previous AMERICAN GAS ASSOCIATION—For month of 7,075,000 8,529,000 sent 19 Sept. 19 u__ — OF (in short tons)—Month , 23,980,000 9,804,000 Sept. Sept! 19 —— at at 7,109,000 25,182,000 Sept. 19 -r-Sept 19 Sept. ' Kerosene 7,216,000 2,145,000 - Sept. 19 1 J 6,518,350 24,858,000 24,687,000 —Sept. 19 Sept. • (bbls.) 6,618,700 » " output (bbls.) output 6,506,100 116,992,000 Sept. 19 Stocks at refineries, bulk terminals, in transit, in pipe linesFinished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at are as ' 6,494,900 ___Sept. 19 Sept. ! Kerosene output (bbls.)——i Distillate (BUREAU of -Sept. 19 Sept. __ 4 (bbls. average either for the Month 105.7 Production of primary *2,144,000 of quotations, cases Ago 90.5 Stocks of aluminum output—daily each) Crude runs to stills—daily average Gasoline output (bbls.)— in or, are Latest AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE: Crude Dates shown in first column Year to— and castings production and other figures for the cover that date, on 47 114.6 §Based on new annual capacity 112.7 of 117,547,470 tons i ' ' ; ■ Lii STATES BUREAU (000's OF EXPORTS IMPORTS AND CENSUS —Month omitted): ! of July t. •$1,374,000 Exports Imports 907,900 *933,763 ' $1,027,000 839,084 .V 48 The Commercial and Financial (1260) 13 is there is the of year, float will increase rather liquid as and assets against their Federal income tax liabilities and any other need for they may expect in For example, a cor- that funds the future. Iporation sell may bond issue, a .acquire the funds ahead of the -expenditure for plant, and invest late funds temporarily in governwient securities. Corporations are large purchasers during the sec«ond half of the calendar year, their -when liabilities """ rapidly than their income * increase more tax will reserve balance has declined below its reserve requirement and generally replenishes its reserve balance by selling short-term government securities, Of course, when a bank gains deposits, its reserve balance increases by more than the increase in its reserve requirement, and it may invest these excess reserves in short-term government securi- place what in the net sellers. as individuals are con- are far corned, the bulk of their holdings are in the form of savings bonds. They holders also are the To hanl,. wh„„ serve balances tSities to^Individuals th„ir short-term rttL*to otheTingv™or would supply the of long-term securities to mutual provide for savings banks and life insurance £inancing both the Treasury def" companies., The main purpose, of icit and the Private expansion of course, is to sell as little as posreserves necessary to may secu- ^iefto^ rirelurtoer^d tothe t0 commerciakbanks- >J ■ ey ra*e would rise further and As near as we can see at this tbat tbe bond market would de" time, the possibilities of selling at important point here is that banks clme lu"aerlarge amount of securities to nonThe Fec(eral Reserve then bank investors who will hold Reserve Banks thev or mav bor- row concon from the Reserve Banks. The forced to from borrow will holcfi buying bills at an increas- them are not very great. The the The it e serve Federal either started unless Federal .Reserve loses .. _ .... . ~ bank „ eral Reserve rp_ less than their are have nave we another gahis bank it that tnai fu77" case that finri "are reaufrements thev eovernmenf reserve sell declined steadily and dividuals. V It also includes the m m At that time many in- sale m of;';-short-term securities to market resulting sharply. 4 increases*Tn ^he'ir deposit? vestors doubted whether the Fed- corporations. It includes the sale from Market the me In in usually of requirements, serve through largely I The Influence of the Money long- of marketable issues. tem telephone, affect will are provj^g for increases in their re- is dealers in government securities, commercial banks. At such times the Treasury should try to sell securities to nonbank investors, purchases or sales by cor- m rates on short-term governRight now we have a deficit in ment securities. " a period where business seems to fairiy minor importance. All of During the first four months of be more or less in balance. In tbese factors are continually inthis year, the Federal Reserve .that sort of situation, the program teracRng At any given time the followed a generally restrictive of the Treasury is to sell its secunet 0f aii 0f these factors may be policy. Member bank borrowings rities to nonbank investors who eRher to increase or decrease reaveraged about $1.3 billion, the will hold £ the securities, particu¬ baiances. In addition of rate on Treasury bills advanced larly to individuals. This includes course member banks need to from 2% to 2^4%, and the bond the sale of savings bonds to in- victual tax payments. During the known as the money market, half of the calendar year, This trading is usually done over As Thursday; October 1, 1953 may porations. Altogether they give us the background behind changes had not we that market money first they if case factors other tbe These transfers of ownershort-term government take been the had the snowstorm. of securities than easier much be have that its ties. ship large sharply, and the money market as a Municipal Bond Market securities whole would will find you that the mails are so delayed that : disappear during a prolonged depression. During a boom period the Treasury should have a surplus, which it should use to bring about a decline in the amount of government securities held by securities also will decline. If the Federal Reserve offsets losses only in part, borrowings will rise, and rates on short-term government securities will also rise. Of course, we also have to take into account other factors such as when example, bad snowstorm, which a little hard to imagine at this a time The Government and For rise. will Continued from page Chronicle.. tnen bank who investors nonbank investors or the Federal Jate' J™™^ tL* Feda^e^Sor?d<5laS Reserve Banks purchase govern- stentglwrd^ and to e Fed aaahist their 4n financing the current deficit, there are various other fac- ment securities in the open marTotal holdings by individuals tors that result in gains and loses ket. As you know, if banks bor- ^qmrement P^ce" a|ess^°^_ pei^ obta^a Jiave increased somewhat during of funds to all banks as a whole.- row for a long period, they are ings at the federal Keserve de .treasury could,^pernaps, obtain a* Ztr increasea somewiwt uunug w- a * v ^ likplv to take stens to reduce clined sharply, and money rates small amount from nonbank fi«xe past six months, but these We are part cularly interested in likely to. take steps to reduce *x.y y nancial institutions. If the long- that' will in addition to this continual flow tiave to sell to commercial banks of funds among individual banks, amount the reduce it purchases are only a fraction of market in the future monev Oemmercial Banks as Government Bondholders banks until connection with Federal Reserve Holdings by commercial are predominantly in *H>ltcy. 4>anks Federal second A is changes in the amount of money in circulation. A third is changes in stock, gold and fourth a is changes in float. Federal the Reserve deposits at the increase Banks Treasury has withdrawn commercial from __ . more securities. ndCommercial banks need liquid- «y for two primary reasons. First, they need liquidity to take care In Co another. our complex ^ econ- funds are continually shift ng among depositors and go from one «my C#ank another to of *>art commercial Second from and country the liquidity one another, to banks need order to meet the cus- in Comer demand for loans. If lrmauon, oi 11 there only were one com- have would bank no par- situation that af- a Wfc honiro donn.nih, fects commercial banks generally. second The commercial {actor banks that as af(ects whole a is trfhanCgeinatnheSamoSnrof°ceure circulation> in rency commercial bank vau^ cash, genera which Uy^repTe^Tsh from curren wh when out pays to a depositoi. rency its obtain„ a cur- it reduces its it will curities to tne reaerai Keserve or Resyerve Bank8 Currencv in from "pays for°U other words in market and the short-term government reflect effect it buys the currency from the Fed~ — — «c. The mirn!*' policies refunding The refund ng of the balances reserve hnldprs reflected erally Vjj if , ^ V/ at a considerable price aecnne tl0ns are between these two exfrom the t you have a more difficult finally ob- "I5,ket' are policy is gen- practical a as government purchases Reserve secu- the securities or whether the Federal Reserve forces member banks to bonol. If the Federal Reserve Purchases government securities freely, commercial banks can obtain reserves easily, and money A1-- a b°°"? ,C,a" an * ^ reserves, Reserve sell foten^al selfers who refunded should be sold as far as "t'ea. and potential sellers who possible to investors other than, af "nab£e ^ f'"d a ^ice decline f.ommercla> banks' When eondi- tatoed banks are short of by one mettodor.the other. When Federal to pndeavor whether security market will essentially then ^obtaining by Bank> it by reducing its own reserve bal- ance. w SS55E ?h0ulin0t-*2? ^°™co^'te15,"a ^ seCuritfes to dlffe.r.ent £rom,tbe PoI>«es already stopped, the inflation will have to ^PfnC'f0°DV|ev "^ the market from mentioned with respect to cash, be financed from existing de- be in sePPly '^ tbe ma^et trom financing..During a deflation the money the use —v. ^ impor^n^. factors in tne gov commercial. banks and if the;_increase in total bank credit can be by borrowing from the Federal Reserve. The condition of the 1 Cicular need for liquidity, b 'most^mporTa^r^c^ors^n^he^govmost uns ^ klnd of Pressure can be put on short-term government securities. may the Reserve «nercial bank in the country, that •one commercial banks funds to purchase Banks, .e penoas in Jj? periods of inflation, This, again, is to investment in long-term as term market is reasonably staple,. such institutions might be lnter- banks Af •ending policies and in their poll- term market is reasonahlv stahle ested in another offering of longterm bonds, such as was made to s*U securities or to curtail loans, requirements, borrowings and them last spring, provided the First, they are likely to sell short- ™oney ra*es have since nsen, hu size of the *fsue is not too largeterm securities. If a bank's hold- they have not gotten back-to the When ' possible ^purchases ings of short-term securities or former peaks. , v these sources and from jndiyidsecondary reserves are below the Qnen-Market Operations ™ I ' usua"y ™ J™?"]*}1?1 feelssituation of necessary From this discussion I think need to call upon^commerciaf to hold in view of the *r°m tnis discussion i ininx need to call upon commercial that Particular bank> it may sell ^at„ hanks for a considerable pajt of A. commercial bank, when its than it has paid out to them. At Kquidity drops below the amount such a time we find all banks wants to keep, may try to pretty much in the same situation, •raise that liquidity either by call- We find many banks in the mar«ng loans or by selling longer- ket to sell short-term securities torn securities and investing the and 0nly a few banks in the cies onlv was to « when Treasury Commer- these hold banks the at Bank. Reserve securities securities. *jhort-term jdal of last, be- I want to consider them in cause deposits Trpawrv ireasury was oniy reduce-temporary, and /since- later ontheir borrowing. In this event, the Treasury sold $6 billion of secommercial banks are likely to curities, which increased reserve a: Federal Reserve Bank One these factors is the change in 0f Treasury consideration left have I ■commercial their borrowing, or iney may get little suggestion from their dralt ot the these general factors in trying to forecast what is to happen in the deficit deficit. Treasnrv Ihe Treasury ' b situation, and a mixed policy is of oi expansion blf t some _ c+red!\ .J?ll£rJA01T„ ^ During a busiLss r^cession govcrnm^tsecurities ^ually wUl ^nvestorswm ha^e 1, gjjed private tethdr a wili T , . ' u Drobably ,fHthp , F re- hive Jdera, a Re. ' level *3 and the trend of busi¬ ness. Summary In conclusion, I would like to> try tQ bring alj Qf this together and indicate tbe fa^ors that I think are important for you to watchin studying toe government spcur,lty market- Wlth resPeat to the long-term AUA market, perhaps Caayments by one depositor would other have effLv-o no ^ Che total funds at the disposal of tnere erai reserve, wnen decrease in money in is ^ a circulation, iijjiw^ thereby £ and ernment securities i^nLTankUslaLwPnvkPr Si banks will generally depositFed- forces member banks to borrow. the banks, however, and some vault cash with their C4,000 excess t>anks always losing deposits are making loans, with the propaid out to some other tbank. The individual banker, ^consequently, has to keep a fairly large amount of short-term secu-•rities that he can sell quickly at eral or creasing ceeds The a minimum nnnn loss. The amount that thf Hp" tvnp nf ^ S p P 5® omnnrA ^ff lnfnc hint pvn^fc^ make. Up k pects to aw t e Chat thp ba As e know know you .funds on commercial ommercial tisually reflected 4o to a transfer bank •Wnen course, a banks reserve its reserve that bank very gains loses reserve ^toss in deposits. carry in drains are bal- excess reserves, losing deposits balances. reserve third reserves a of commercial whole, and their a banks as decrease reduces is Reserve bank aCin sent Bank that through ct Federal uuuugn a rcuciai for collection, the deposits the check re-' Ceives credit according to time schedule, but the bank on which the check is drawn is not charged until the check is of requirement deposits, amounts of a bank that is generally firids Pd actually collect- by the Federal Reserve Bank, When there is a delay in the col- lection of checks, which often , curs » , _ . , Federal *eaerai A 4 the problem vnHnn!e?nMnrl uncollected items, and or If ., float, reserve- will balances reserves stitutions, ui order to determine are tlmt Debt Management Problems . is inffnJupp p^ Federal Reserve the t. that securities maturing during - the government market, the most im- . . . more , The P°licy that the lQwg -n managing securities maturing in about five ties or by- forcing banks to years or less. when there xs bad weather, than offsets losses from these fac- increase, nuts second half of this calendar year, portant factors are the operations Treasury fol- of the Federal Reserve and of the cess reserves. If, over a period of debt will nonfinancial corporations. We several weeks, the Federal Re- baye an important effect on the have seen how various factors, i6Pti^ +1fpw government security market. As such as money in circulation, are i^uA^?ntr J' ,ar® .P™', V a matter of general principle, continually operating in the monVJC™1n? t« during a business recession the ey market to increase or decrease * ® fuL Treasury should sell securities to bank reserves. The condition oi f* commercial banks. This can be the money market reflects essenm »e money market and prob- accomplished principallv by sell- tially whether the Federal Reably in the short-term govern- jng '.short-term securities .and serve decides to supply reserves ment security market as well. medium-term securities, that is, by purchasing government securi- oc- , the ftf ® ® J . . Reserve to reserves. The final item °f importance in the money market is float, which is uncollected items. When a balances fraction. ^ Since most banks in- deposits c" limited their thereby important factor is changes in the gold stock. An increase in gold stock adds to the check of A bank that loses deposits ances. tias the the Bank, and commPereial banks, ^er likely to be net buyers or net sellers of long-term Treasury * ; The final subiect that I want bonds- A growing factor in this In trymS to interpret what 1^ f .. . thJT , dbt_, market is pension funds and State likely to happen in the govern- management nolicies The Treas- and local retirement funds. Their ment security market, it is 1mg faced with a sub- Policies also have to be taken Portent to watch, over a period of st/ntial cash deficit and a sub. into account. weeks, the reaction of the Federal stanRaj am0unt of refunding of With respect to the short-term TnfiUMirp Th Reserve invp^tor^ in tbe bands of tors, borrowings will decline, and rates on short-term-government These the types commercial are tbat banks, fer, as a such a can bor- Under boom conditions wc generally exoect governmen securities to be in supoly hr th< preference market, the Federal Reserve t( whole, generally pre- although row. Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1261) purchase only part of the offerings, and yields to rise. During business a securities recession will the market, serve at shorty I believe that the principal factors to watch with respect to the government security market are the flow of funds, in willing purchaser a rising prices. Federal Reserve policy, and Treasury debt-management policy. I have also tried to point out Finally, Treasury debt-management policy should be adjusted during a recession to selling the types of securities that that there retiring securities held owned by by different I vestors. am of types that sure you in¬ will f'"d ** ^udy of the government characterized budget deficit at a time of high business activity, is a particularly difficult. time_ for both by different types of securities that are are government commer- cial banks like and during a boom to 2,139,000 In government in- demand of capacity serve. and the Federal Re- be may be the Treasury and the Federal Re- security market to be of help in a analyzing the markets for other interest-bearing securities as jrorn the rate ago ating rate The State of Trade and the books, seasonal factors and opinions of was 90.5% and production 2,040,000 tons. A year placed at 2,195,000 tons and the was 105.7% of capacity. Car The percentage figures for the of Jan. 1, 1953, the rate freight for the week ended Sept. 19, 1953, increased 113,330 cars, 15.9% above the preceding holiday week, according to the Association of American Railroads. Loadings totaled 823,884 cars, a decrease of 49,712 cars, or revenue 5.7% below the corresponding 1952 week, and a decrease of 39,806 cars, or 4,-3% below the corresponding 1951 week. amount 70 to 90 working days about are double normal, that of kwh. the electric distributed energy preceding week, but increase of 728,794,the comparable 1952 week and 1,251,749,- over Of these course inflated inventories Automotive preceding troubles entirely acci¬ Competitive drive to big production race. Result: It has seemed wiser to Jiave too much scarce steel at some extra cost than to lose markets to competitors (or lack of raw materials, declares "The Iron Age." dental, reach do nor the they First reports optimistic. than Scrap of the .fell $3.83 with , $5 initial ton a from downward the trade the were threatened "The for to ninth the Commercial week they Corp. makes work their slightly this week way out of model certain as Chrysler changeover. living . government's costs month of ended 0.3%, Aug. 1947-49 average. The level year moved earlier 114.3%. was housing, transportation, food and medical responsible, it was reported, for the latest rise. fare boost on workers contracts months wage with to go up roads, three cents rates pay fluctuations and of $5,000 than less were concerns in or one-half succumbed. more mildly 119 in the decreased as numerous as a year Nine of the failing con¬ of $100,000, compared with excess 14 last . , The index represents 31 foods in general of eral trend of food to are wage the to clothes casual increase in volume were year ago. the strike a lowest year in which February of this adds. - * ■ . steel scales of 1,300,000 hour. an Under changed at above year, every prices at the wholesale level. their & Gains three irregular were the week. the - wise last summer, states with prices fluctuating widely during selling pressure Wheat drifted lower under considerable since ' \ f the "Steel," the ■ / " i Not year a an Activity week before. about j The plentiful These adjustment supply include in and Cattle largest5 in sharply some demand has put some products in carrying some others in that direction. products that a few months ago were the tightest in supply, the above trade journal observes. The " American Iron and Steel Institute , prices announced that the were a day, per soybean futures averaged against 35,300,000 the week year ago. easier a seasonal a and ago substan¬ a year higher than in the were week. Upholstered furniture and beti¬ ding in were most frequent de¬ mand. Small appliance volume continued to be noticeably higher than in the previous year. Pur-^ chases of television sets varied, Marked video were sales increases in noted in Wash¬ ington, Seattle and Portland. The forthcoming telecasting of major sporting events the listed was for reasons the Automobile one as increased volume slackened seasonally. purchases were Food ately and above the slightly moder¬ preceding above the week year-age^ level. Department . store country-wide basis, the Federal sales as Reserve on a taken froxfe Board's i»- dex, for the week ended Sept. 1% 1953, increased 6% from the level of the preceding week. In the pre¬ vious week. :!!Sept. 12, 1953, a de¬ crease of 11% was reported fronat of the For the similar week of four weeks 1952. ended Sept. 19, 1953, a decline of 3% was re¬ For the period Jan. 1 te» ported. Sept. 19, 1953, department stores! registered an increase odf sales 3% above 1952. Retail week, trade in New stimulated and York over las* as on According bearish factors Board's the the large which will move into the prospective sales in New York City for weekly period ended Sept. 1953, advanced 10% from the lilta period of last year. In the prece<*~ ing week, "Sept. 12, 1953, a de¬ the crease- of 12% from (revised) that of weeks decrease of 7% no was change was Wednesday of last week reflected marked increases over both also stimulated appetites and resulted in an upturn in furniture reported. For 1953* registered from thafe of 1952. ♦Lfibor Day in 1952 fell in the week Sept. 6, whereas this year it fell later. Therefore, the week emlk ing Sept. 5, 1953, had one more trading day than the corresponding week las* year, while the week ending Sept. 1953, had one less trading day than thai week ending Sept. 13, last year. ending one week p\m Wo sav the previous week and the previous year. Cool weather spurred purchases of Fall and Winter clothing. The lower temperatures re¬ similar the period Jan. 1 to Sept. 19, volume of cotton the nation for the period ended was 1952, while for the four ended Sept. 19, 1953, & loan. most parts of the of crop, Preceding Week and Year Ago sales in Re¬ department store Trade Volume Shows Marked Increase Above ; Federal index receipts for the week rose to the included promo¬ gain of abet# year. to Hogs were fairly steady but lambs dclined expanded marketings. limited export demand, and uncertainty over the Retail a coolwr the volume of the sim¬ period last serve by large some seven years. slowness in cotton textiles. on operating rate of steel companies having 93% of the steel-making capacity for the entire industry will be at an average of 94.9% bushels Spot cotton prices trended moderately downward under in¬ creased hedging pressure,*slackened mill buying and continued steel is Purchases of all grain and 56,700,000 Other Upturn in steel production in the week ended Sept. 26 stems settlement of a strike at the Lackawanna, N. Y., plant of Bethlehem Steel Co., it points out. Sept. 1 for milling, export or carry¬ the Chicago Board of Trade increased sharply the on before, and 44,500,000 , largely from on reported at about 1,400,000,000 bushels, compared with , of this high rate of capacity all all-time high, continues supplies of wheat were 1,225,000,000 a year ago, and 1,086,000,000 two years ago. Corn prices strengthened, aided by comparatively light country offer¬ ings and high premiums in the cash market. Rye and oats prices were relatively firm despite liberal receipts of Canadian grain. Soybean prices declined moderately reflecting larger country offerings of the new crop. f. output has been below 9,000,000 tons was when production totaled 8,900,000 tons, it only has output been at but the capacity is at this trade journal. v was furnishing sales reflected preceding week Total will be 33% greater than output in 1952's comparable period which was depressed by the steelworkers' strike. This greater" production is one of the reasons steel'supply is overtaking de¬ this year and ago ported Slightly Nevertheless, steel production in the first nine months mand. noted. only slightly above There a prompted by uncertainty regarding the Administration farm pro¬ year of apparel Accessories moderate increase above a 10% over production one ago •• soma formal tially above the preceding week weather daily wholesale commodity price index, compiled by Bradstreet, Inc., moved steadily downward in the past week to close at 277.35 on Sept. 22. This was a moderate drop from 280.89 a week earlier, and well below the 290.83 on the corresponding date a year ago. weekly magazine of metalworking, the current week. September output of steel for ingots and castings will total approximately 8,800,000 net tons. Since August oniv otner month more although increase in spending for fur pieces*: Shoe volume was moderately- ilar Dun in being preferences express was sales The the week ended Sept. 26 was the highest since the first week of this month but it probably won't keep the from clothing. Consumers continued Lower Trend Lower Rate month -f 1 per¬ back-to-school and were for total of the price per pound of sum and its chief function is to show the gen¬ use chiefly in Output Scheduled This Week steelworkers' increased back-to-work gram. Steel production Northwest sales Apparel Wholesale Commodity Price Index Shows Moderately Increased care were living costs. Officials said boosts will cost the railroads $90,000,000 yearly. Steel and —J— 5. tion sales showed the Final lifting of July 31 and the New York City subway mid-August index, will the match a Following the sharp advance of a week ago, the Dun & Bradprice index edged slightly lower last week, bringing the figure for Sept. 22 to $6.71, from last week's $6.72. The current number compares with $6.45 on the corresponding date a year ago, or a rise of 4.0%. factors. were On the basis of the railroad 115.0% to up costs of Federal rent controls to . index a the in street wholesale food price index showed a rise in establishing a further high record in the The +2 to +6; East and Soutk +7; Midwest +4 to-fO; +3 Southwest that consumer 15 Coast volume. to ,152 Wholesale Food Price Index Eased in Latest Week will be lost—due to this fire—before the cars . declined 1952. week. In the second quarter this year the total was 1,735,811 cars. third quarter total would have been, higher except for ^setbacks at Chrysler and among the independents and the General Motors fire which cost the loss of 50,000 G.M. cars. Ward's antici¬ The failures last of had liabilities cerns The 1952 by the following percent¬ England and Pacific New of Moderately preceding week, according While casualties dipped only slightly liabilities 157 when 37 small ago July-September, year's end. with from vious week September production is expected to decline about 9% from August, according to this trade agency, but it looks for total third quarter production to be about 1,594,000— a figure surpassed by only one other third quarter: the 1,898,783 in estimates comparable regionally. week, but remained above the On the other hand, small casualties, those involving liabilities under $5,000, fell to 16 from 25 in the pre¬ "Ward's Automotive Reports" states. pates 120,000 G.M. 136 similar week Industry production fell 8% last week due mainly to model changeover troubles and parts shortages which harassed Chrysler, 1951. last week, compared ago the weekly pro¬ year ago and the 1951 toll of 154, down sharply 42%, from the prewar level of 264 in 1939. were Failures to rise above the level of Regional ages: 182 in the Bradstreet, Inc. below the 156 which occurred Apr. 7, 1949. output will year 7,528 cars last week, compared industrial and ended Sept. 24 from to Dun and bottom to drop Age" steel scrap composite price per gross ton, being the sharpest drop than four years, when the composite fell more cars Business Failures Decline holders as the previous week and 6,220 in the like 1952 week. Truck production amounted to 1,261 units last week, against 1,180 the week before and 2,384 in the year earlier period. Iron 6% ago. Home below ? ' XwithCanadian the companies made 7,083 in consecutive panic, near cause 8% volume, due mainly to model changeover parts shortages which harassed Chrysler, "Ward's and better consumers fell ^rqq nn?!/ 56,1 a ton to $31.50 a on Car in material market. response week week's it reports. spiraled sources in scrap prices in = in latest United States truck production last week totaled 22,675, com¬ pared with 23,195 the previous week. A year ago truck output was guesses. resulted the 106,819 115,454 in the previous week. A duction was 103,925 cars. outlook for steel business early next year are a few mills have been opened on one on prices Some "distressed" of bad has had been expected, week. out first for with Order books of products more or . reflect customer Changeover and Parts Shortages output Automotive Reports" stated. The industry turned out not are Output Drops in Latest Week Due in Part to Model journal asserts. to levels an the like week in 1951. over U. S. Auto this trade 2 year demand Output Declines Moderately of kwh., or 9.6% two months. of by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., to be from ceptibly in the week. In greatest Electric . 000 example of inventory correction is the auto industry, which holds almost unbelievably overloaded stocks—especially when measured against cut back production. Current inventories trade a selves, this prediction still looks good, it states. Prime The total dollar volume of retail in the week was estimate*! ago oper¬ Loadings Rise 15.9% Above Preceding Holiday Week Loadings of 000 Operations this week are scheduled at close to 95.0% of rated capacity. Inventory correction, now at its peak, has been going on for some time. It should be pretty well completed in the next buying. The observance of thereligious holidays had little effect on consumer spending. varied from the below them¬ people was production by the electric light and power industry for the week ended Saturday, Sept. 26, 1953, was estimated at 8,353,541,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. ;; i a ' v* v\' The current figure represents a decline of 41,166,000 kwh. Industry steel of current year are based upon the capacity as this year being higher than last year. well. 5 page Sept. 28, 1953, equivalent to ingots and steel for castings as against 95.1% 2,144,000 tons a week ago. For the like week a month or the weekly The Continued, for the week beginning tons (revised), The Commercial and Financial Chronicle. 50 Thursday, October 1, 1903 .. (1262) if INDICATES Acteon B. C., Can. stock (no par). Gold Mines Ltd., Vancouver, April 22 filed 250,000 shares of common Price —$1 per share (net to company). Proceeds—-To Underwriter—M. H. B. purchase equipment and supplies. Weikel, Los Angeles, Calif. • Allied Credit Card, Inc., Spokane, Wash. Office—621 Columbia Bldg., Spokane Underwriter—None. American Independence • Carl M. Blosser Underwriters—Dallas Rupe & Son, Dallas, Tex.; Loeb, Rhoades & Co., New York; and Straus, & McDowell, Chicago, 111. Offering—Postponed California Central Airlines, Houston, Texas. July 14 filed 50,000 shares of preferred stock (no par) and 50,000 shares of common stock (no par) to be of¬ fered to commissioned officers of the uniformed serv¬ ices of the United States in units of five shares of each class of stock. Price—$495 per unit. Payment may be made in 36 equal monthly instalments of $13.75 each. Proceeds—For general corporate purposes. Under¬ writer—None. Statement effective Sept. 16. Hills, Cal. 100,000 shares of class A common stock. ($10 per share). Proceeds—To establish a cattle industry in Israel. Underwriter— Price—At par and develop None. if American Mining & Smelting, Inc., Spearfish, S. D. Sept. 22 (letter of notification) 190,000 shares of common stock (par 10 cents). Price—$1 per share. Proceeds—To purchase machinery and for exploration expenses. Un¬ derwriter—N one. ^ Anacon Lead Mines, Ltd., Toronto, Canada Sept. 28 filed 700,000 shares of common stock (par 20 cents—Canadian funds) to be offered for subscription by common the rate of stockholders at each five shares held. one new share for Price—To be supplied by amend¬ Proceeds—To develop mining properties. ment. due Sept. principal amount for certificates and 75 cents per share stock. Proceeds—To acquire five Martinliners and the spare parts. Office—Burbank, Calif. Underwriters— Gearhart & Otis, Inc., New York; and McCoy & Willard, if Cameo Oil Corp. Sept. 18 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—At market. Proceeds—To sell¬ Under¬ & Co., stockholders. Underwriter — B. G. Phillips No general offer planned. ing New York. • Carolina Telephone & Telegraph Co. Aug. 17 filed 33,320 shares of capital stock to be offered for subscription by stockholders of record Sept. 16 in the —At one share for each five shares held. new Price Proceeds—To reduce shortUnderwriter—None. Offering—Temporarily ($100 par term notes. share). per Carrier Corp., Syracuse, stockholders of record Sept. 22 on the basis of one rights to expire on share. Proceeds—For expansion program. Underwriters—Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Hemphill, Noyes & Co., both of New York. Oct. 7. Price—$31.75 per • Appell Oil & Gas Corp., Alice, Tex. (10/7) Sept. 16 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of common stock (par 10 cents). Price—$1 per share. Proceeds—For drilling costs. Office—Appell Bldg., Alice, Tex. Under¬ writer—R. V. Klein Co., New York. Applied Science Corp. of Princeton May 21 filed $750,000 of 6% guaranteed sinking fund 10year debenture notes due April 30, 1963, of this company and 75,000 shares of common stock (par one cent) of Bradco, Inc., to be offered in units of $100 of notes and 10 shares of stock. Price—$105 per unit. Proceeds—For acquisition of stock of two companies, who will borrow the remainder to. repay bank loans and for working capital. Underwriter — C. K. Pistell & Co., Inc., New York. Offering—Temporarily deferred. mon Underwriter—None. Bldg., Baton Rouge, La. Duquesne Light Co. Aug. 19 filed 100,000 shares of preferred stock (par $50). reduce bank loans and for new construc¬ Proceeds—To tion. Underwriters To be determined by competitive — Probable bidders: The First Boston Corp.; bidding. Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner Beane and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Kuhn, Loeb & &- & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; Bids—Originally scheduled to be re¬ Co. and Smith, Barney Lehman Brothers. but on Sept. 16 11 a.m. (EDT) on Sept. 17, ceived up to announced bids will be received within 30 days from that date, bidders to be advised at least three days in advance of new date. the company • Excelsior Insurance Co. of New York (letter of notification) 30,000 shares of capital stock (par $6) being offeree! for subscription by stock¬ holders of record Sept. 16 at rate of one new share for Aug. 26 Price—$10 OfficeUnder¬ held; rights to expire Oct. 5. each four shares writer—None. . " . Fairway Foods, Inc., St. Paul, Minn. May 8 filed $1,600,000 first mortgage lien 4^% bonds to mature $40,000 annually from 1955 to 1994,- inclusive. Price—At 100% of principal amount.' Proceeds—To con¬ struct new warehouse. Underwriter—None. ' Petersburg, Fla. (10/8) Florida Power Corp., St. if City Gas Co. of Phillipsburg, N. J. Sept. 28 (letter of notification) 240 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share) Sept. 11 filed 211,416 shares of common stock (par $7.50) to be offered for subscription by common stockholders and accrued dividends. about Oct. Proceeds—To two selling stock¬ Office—57 Main Street holders. Flemington, N. J. Un¬ derwriter—None. writer—None. if Deep Lake Gas & Oil Co. (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of com-, stock (par 24 cents). Price—$1 per share. Proceeds, —To develop leases. Office — Louisiana National Bank Sept. 24 being offered for subscription by com¬ (par $10) share for each four shares held; new ISSUE per Sept. 16 filed (by amendment) 278,422 shares of common mon REVISED share. Proceeds — For working capital. Syracuse Savings Bank Bldg., Syracuse, N. Y. postponed. stock PREVIOUS ITEMS • 1, for ratio of Aug. 24 filed trust 1957, and 400,000 stock, (par 50 cents). Price—100% of A, series Boston, Mass. Life Insurance Co., American-Israeli Cattle Corp., Beverly Inc. Aug. 24 filed $600,000 of 7% convertible equipment shares of common Sept. 24 (letter of notification) 2,500,000 shares of com¬ stock. Price—10 cents per share. Proceeds — For 4, Wash. capital. certificates, mon working capital. Registration Now in Securities ADDITIONS SINCE Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. of preferred stock, $4.50 series, no par value, and 50,000 shares of common stock, no par value, to be offered for subscription by employees Sept. filed 23 10,000 of the company and 8; rights to expire on Oct. 26. Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for new construction. Underwriters—Kidder, Pea- Fenner & Beane, body & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, both of New York. > shares its subsidiary, Ceico Co., under an Employees' Thrift Plan. if Courtesy Loan Corp., Hammond, Ind. Sept. 21 (letter of notification) $100,000 of 12-year 6% subordinated debenture bonds, series A, in denomina-; tions of $100 each (to be offered separately and in a package together with $20,000 in common stock, of which $8,000 is class A and $12,000 is class B). Proceeds—For working capital. Office—5324 Hohman Ave., Hammond, Ind. 10 shares held on or of one new share for each at rate Sept. 23 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common stock. Price—At par ($5 per share). Proceeds—For work¬ Underwriters — Woodard-Elwood Co., Min¬ and Harold E. Wood & Co., St; Paul, ing capital. neapolis, Minn, Minn. ' • .-ijA ^ . (10/2) ...'' General Credit, Inc. preference stock (par Aug. 24 filed 150,000 shares of participating stock Xpar $1) and 150,000 shares of common be offered in units of one share of each Price—$5 per unit. Proceeds—For work- five cents), to class of stock. Underwriter—None. Iron Co., if Flour City Ornamental Minneapolis, Minn., Armstrong Rubber Co. March 31 filed $4,000,000 of 5% convertible subordinated debentures due May 1, 1973. Price—To be supplied by Proceeds—For working capital. BusinessManufacturer of tires and tubes. Underwriter—Rey¬ nolds & Co., New York. Offering—Postponed. NEW ISSUE CALENDAR amendment October 2 Credit, Inc.____ Johnson Industries, Inc.__ (John lArAstor 3-D Films, Inc., Phoenix, Ariz. Sept. mon 18 (letter of notification) stock. equipment. Ariz. 100,000 shares of com¬ Price—At par ($1 per share). Proceeds—For Office—1018 Title & Trust Bldg., Phoenix, (J. R. Preference & Common Boland) M'arto R. Co.) (Offering to stockholders—no :• • underwriting) Kansas Gas & O* ★ Beneficial Loan Corp. Sept. 29 filed 355,976 shares of October 5 common to be offered to common stockholders share new with rights for each to expire 10 shares held on Oct. 23. on on stock (par $10) the basis of or about Price—$24 Proceeds—For general coi-porate purposes. —None. per Miracle Hinge, Inc 7, Preferred & Common (Walter one Oct. United States (Mortimer B. share. (Monday) Air Aronheim) Conditioning Corp Burnside & Co., 320,000 Underwriter Inc. Common Meeks & (Gordon & Co., Newark, N. J. 14-day standby). Certain stockholders have waived their rights. Price—At par. Proceeds—To repay $1,014,500 of outstanding notes and for drilling expenses and working - & , Mississippi Power (Bids 6 11 10:30 $4,000,000 (P. W. Bonds CST) a.m. & Co., Inc.) $550,000 Morgan Glore, '■ Iowa Klein Electric Light & Lunt and (Offering to Corp. & Co.) Weld to Co.) & by The 128,316 October (Bids noon Picture Florida Power Philadelphia San Francisco Chicago (Offering Peabody Cleveland • Private Wires to all offices (Offering & Co.) $300,000 211,416 shares Common stockholders—underwritten Fenner & invited) Bonds $40,000,000 (Tuesday) Beane) Preferred County Electric Co.— 11 a.m. by 210,721 Government EST) $7,500,000 (Offering to Merrill shares Lynch, (Tuesday) Debentures Employees Corp without underwriting) stockholders, December Light & Power Co to Pierce, be November 24 Common stockholders—underwritten by Kidder, Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner Beane) to ..Common Corp & Rockland • to & (Wednesday) 28 November 17 Worcester $1,500,000 Productions, Inc -(Alexander Reid * Bonds Co Equip. Trust Ctfs. EST) (Bids Burton shares Niagara Mohawk Power Corp (Thursday) Baltimore & Ohio RR underwritten by Union 100,000 invited) $30,000,000 (Bids may be First shares —-Common — Corp.) Public Service Electric & Gas shares (Bids October 8 (Tuesday) stockholders ..Common Companies White, (Offering Securities 198,500 stockholders—underwritten and $25,000,000 Illinois Light Co $300,000 Common Allen Debentures _ EST) noon October 27 Central Western Massachusetts Boston (Bids 230,000 shares Class B Common Strategic Materials Corp Pittsburgh (Monday) j. Corp Gas Common Power Co Casualty Co & and J $300,000 Co.) (The First Boston Corp. and G. H. Walker & Co.) (Hamlin Common Co Stanley & Co.; Drexel & Co., & Co.) 800,000 shares Forgan ■ -Common Appell Oil & Gas Corp V. Common (Wednesday) United (R. Preferred Co $750,000 Co,) & October 26 7 October (Floyd D. Cerf, Jr. Co.) Boston (Tuesday) Public Service Electric & Gas $8,000,000 (Probablv Brooks $8,000,000 Anchor Post Products, Inc : (Offering to stockholders) $247,148 Debentures & Common Inc —Bonds Co invited) be to (Geyer Bonds EST) a.m. shares 685,648 American Fidelity & Casualty (Tuesday) Co.— Petrolane Gas Co., State Fire & New York. Co.) October 20 October (Bids ing fund mortgage bonds due Nov. 1, 1962, to be offered for subscription by common stockholders at the rate of $100 of bonds for each 28 shares of stock held (for a *■ $94,500 Mountain States Power Co.. Byrd Oil Corp., Dallas, Tex. Oct. 22 filed $1,750,000 of 10-year 5%% convertible sink¬ . . . Common — Reid Bonds $10,000,000 ESTj noon Rockland Light & Power Co.) / George P. Breen) Corp. of America——— (letter of notification) $1,031,250 Long Island Lighting Co.. +—— Common (Offering to stockholders—underwritten by Blyth & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp:; and W. C. Langley , r (Bids Zirconium Picture Productions, Inc. (10/8) 300,000 shares of com¬ mon stock (par 10 cents). Price—$1 per share. Proceeds —For production of movies and TV stories. Office—246 Fifth Avenue, New York. Underwriter Alexander and shares if Burton Sept. 24 $220,000 Inc.) Co., Electric Co (Bids • (Wednesday) October 14 shares 400,000 •„ Line Co.—__Pfd. & Com. California First (Tlie Common Preferred J $5,000,000 Securities Corp.) (Union ' ^ r Electric Co.— Nevada Natural Gas Pipe $300,000 Southern New England Telephone Co Underwriter—None. Kansas Gas & : $750,000 —Class A Common & (Tuesday) October 13 (Friday) General 1 —Bonds Monongahela Power Cc (Bids to be $500,000 (Tuesday) invited) $10,000,000 Volume 178 Number 5260 ...The Commercial and Financial Chronicle A v (1263) ing capital. John R. Office—Washington, C. D. Underwriter— Boland, New York. * General Oct. Hydrocarbons Corp, Aug. 12 filed $1,010,800 of 20-year debentures and 66,424 shares of of $350 -stock. $1 stock common (par $1) principal amount of debentures and 23 shares of Price—$359 per unit ($336 for the debentures and Foil Hotel and land ★ Lunn Laminates, Ihc. 23 (letter of notification) Sept. new new ($20 per share). Underwriter—None. Inland Western Loan & : ■« ... i . Commercial's special participating contracts, the Cambridge, Mass. June 30 filed 131,784 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—To be supplied by amendment (between $8 and $9 per share). Proceeds—To pay mortgage debt and for equipment. Business Research and development and subsequent commercial exploitation in the field of ion exchange chemistry. Underwriter—Lee Higginson Corp., ; New York and Boston (Mass.). Offering—Date indefinite. Iowa Electric Light & Power Co. (10/7) Sept. 15 filed 230,000 shares of common stock (par $5). be supplied by amendment. Proceeds For Merritt-Chapman & Scott Corp., New York Aug. 20 filed 45,912 shares of common stock (par $12.50) being offered in exchange for 57,389 shares of common stock (no par) of Fitz Simons & Connell Dredge & Dock Co. on an eight-for-ten basis. It is proposed to acquire construction Corp. • program. Underwriters—The First G. H. Walker & Co. of New York. ana Johnson Industries, Inc. Boston j (10/2) " Kansas Gas & Electric Co. (10/13-14) Sept. 11 filed 50,000 shares of preferred stock (par $100). Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds—To re¬ pay bank loans and for new construction. Underwriters —Union Securities Corp., New York. May privately. be placed Kansas Gas & Electric Co. (10/14) Sept. 11 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds due Oct. 1, 1983,1 Proceeds—To reduce bank loans and for con¬ struction - < : : Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey., Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and program. Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Glore, Forgan & Co. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. Securities (jointly); Union Corp. and Stone & Webster Securities (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. to - - . - be received up to noon (EST) Corp. Bids—Expected Oct. 14. on • Kansas Power & Light Co. Sept. 24 filed 50,000 shares of common stock (par $8.75) to be offered to certain of the company's employees (in— eluding officers) pursuant to a restricted stock option plan. ★ Kay Jewelry Stores, Inc., Washington, D. C. Sept. 28 filed 672,746 shares of capital stock (par $1) to be offered in exchange for preferred and common stocks of 71 store corporations which operate 83 retail credit jewelry stores. Underwriter—None. Kenwell Oils & Mines Ltd., Toronto, Aug. 20 filed 1,400,000 shares of common Price — To be supplied Canada* stock by amendment. Kropp Forge Co., Cicero, III. Sept. 15 (letter of notification) 12,890 shares $3 (par 33% per share). cents). Price—At market Under¬ i ;« Roy A. Kropp, President. & Co., of New York! and Sincere & Co., of Chicago, 111. \ Underwriters—L- D. Sherman Lone Star Sulphur Corp., Wilmington, Del. May 8 filed 600,000 shares of common stock | common record stockholders of May 8 on a share-for-share basis "as a specula¬ Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds— For expansion program. Underwriter—None. of which 685,648 scription by Oct. 14 to shares common to common stockholders Oct. 29 at the rate of be Natural Gas common stock (par $14) to American Co., parent, for $3,010,000, to be used to repay bank loans and for construction program. A group headed Bids— jointly by Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc., Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Union Securities Corp. entered 100.125 been the only for 5s. planned banks bid This at on bid 101.875 June 15 for the securities— rejected. Reoffering had yield 4.87%. July 6 com¬ was to SEC authority to borrow $20,000,000 from 3%% notes pending permanent financing which on is presently ★ being given consideration. Miracle 14 — Hunter Securities Corp., New York. ' ' New York State Electric & Gas share. Proceeds construction. To repay bank loans and for — Underwriter stock offered (par $10), for sub¬ new share for dach new The First Boston Corp.; Brothers; Wertheim & Co.; and Merrill Lynch, Lehman — Pierce, Fenner & Beane; all of New York. North Idaho Mines, July 31 stock ) Hinge, Inc., Monticello, N. Y. (10/5) of notification) 200,000 shares of 7% preferred stock (par one (par $1) and 200,000 shares cent) to be offered in units of share of each class of stock. one Price—$1.10 per unit. plant improvements, payment of debt, inventory and working capital. Underwriter — Walter Aronheim, New York. Proceeds For — cumulative of $1.50 stock (no par), being offered to stockholders for a 30-day period from preferred company Sept. 21. Price—$24 per share. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—112 E. Locust Street DeKalb, 111. Un¬ derwriter—None. • Ohmart Corp., Cincinnati, O. Sept. 24 (letter of notification) 13,500 shares of com¬ mon stock (par $1) to be offered first to common stock¬ holders, then to general public. Price—$16.50 per share. Proceeds—For equipment and other general corporate Underwriter—Estabrook & Co., New York and purposes. Boston. (letter of common stock Mississippi Power Co. (10/6) Sept. 4 filed $4,000,000 of first mortgage bonds due Oct. 1, 1983. Proceeds — For construction program.V Under¬ writers—To be determined by competitive biodirig. Prob¬ able bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Union Securities Corp.; Equitable Securities Corp. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co.; The First Boston Corp. Bids To be received up to 11 a.m. (EST) Suite 2000, 20 Pine St., New York 5, N. Y. — on Oct. 6 at Orange Community Hotel Co., Orange, Texas Sept. 14 filed 8,333 shares of capital stock (par $20) and 8,333 registered 4% debentures due Jan. 1, 1984 of $100 each to be offered in units of $100 debenture. Price—$120 struct and equip hotel one share of stock and unit. Proceeds—To per building. Underwriter — one con¬ None. (Subscriptions to 4,949 shares of stock tures and 4,949 deben¬ held by a group of citizens of Orange formed the auspices of the Orange Chamber of Com¬ are under merce.) Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Aug. 26 filed 1,946,829 shares of common stock (par $25) being offered for subscription by common stockholders of record shares Sept. 15 at rate of held; rights to one new share for each seven expire Oct. 6. Price—$33.50 per share. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for new con¬ struction. Underwriter—Blyth & Co., Inc., San Francisco and New York. ★ Mon-Dak Oil, Ltd., Sidney, Mont. • Sept. 25 filed 7,800 shares of class A voting common stock (no par) and 685,816 shares of class B non-voting com¬ mon stock (no par). Price—$1 per share. Proceeds—For Petrolane Gas Co., Inc. (10/6) 15 filed $400,000 of 6% sinking fund debentures, series A, due Oct. 1, 1968 (with common stock purchase oil warrants and leases gas and to notes. repay Underwriter— None. ★ Motion Picture Laboratories, Memphis, Tenn. Inc., Sept. 21 (letter of notification) $50,000 of first chattel mortgage bonds dated Oct. 1, 1953, and 5,000 shares of common stock (par $1) to be offered in units of a $1,000 bond and 100 shares of stock. Price $1,100 per unit. Office—1830 Exchange Bldg., Underwriter — Gordon Meeks & Co., — Proceeds—For equipment. Memphis, Tenn. Memphis, Tenn. Sept. (par $1). equipment. Office—New Orleans, W. Brooks & Co., New York. units of Insurance Co., Phoenix, Ariz. one share stock (par $1) policyholders at $1.91 per share; policyholders as may elect to apply their common and to new coupon values to the purchase of stock at the initial sub¬ scription price of $3.93 per share. Proceeds—For expan¬ Underwriter—None. Nevada Natural Gas Pipe Line Co. (10/13) Sept. 21 filed 25,000 shrares of $1.50 cumulative preferred stock (par $21) and 75,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Of these shares, all of the preferred stock and 25,000 common stock share of each shares one of common class are of stock to be offered in units stock are at to $28 be per unit; offered for subscription by stockholders of record Sept. 21 at $6.25 per share; and the remaining 25,000 shares of common stock are to be offered publicly at $7 per share. Proceeds of per unit. Proceeds—To of 6% 100,000 (par 50 cents) to be offered in each class of stock. Price—$2.50 liquidate liabilities and for work¬ ing capital. Office—220 Miracle Mile, Coral Gables, Fla. Business—To process peat for fertilizer. Underwriter— Frank L. Edenfield & Co., Miami, Fla. Rockland Light & Power Co. (10/8) Sept. 17 filed 210,721 shares of common stock be seven Sept. 28 filed 900,000 shares of to be offered to charter stock common of record Oct. 7 Casualty Underwriter—P. Planter's Peat Corp., Coral Gables, Fia. 6 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares cumulative preferred stock (par $2.50) and to & La. Aug. termined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. Bids— To be received by company at 231 So. La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111., up to 10:30 a.m. (CST) on Oct. 6. Life t attached) and 75,000 shares of common stock Price—At 100% of principal amount for the debentures and $2 per share for the stock. Proceeds— To repay notes and for working capital. Business—Dis¬ tribution of liauefied petroleum gas, tanks and related shares of Mountain States Power Co. (10/6) Sept. 18 filed $8,000,000 first mortgage bonds due Sept. 1, 1983. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for property additions and improvements. Underwriters—To be de¬ of during the period f)om one Co. certain 215,000 shares of 25,000 shares of (10/14) are Gas Northern Illinois Corp., DeKalb, III. Sept. 4 (letter of notification) 12,500 shares sion of insurance activities. tion." Long Island Lighting Co. Sept. 24 filed 785,648 shares of Juan Natural Sept. 21 (letter of notification) 748,000 shares of common stock (par 10 cents). Price—40 cents per share. Pro¬ ceeds—To develop and maintain leases. Office—2135 Gold Avenue, Albuquerque, N. Mex. Underwriter • (par 5 cents) subscription by ★ New Mexico-San Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. May 15 filed $20,000,000 of first mortgage bonds due 1978, Proceeds—From sale of bonds, plus proceeds from sale of common (estimated at Proceeds—To to be offered for Oct. 16. Subscription Price—$13.75 per share. retire bank loans, and increase invest¬ ments in subsidiary, including Worcester Gas Light Co. Dealer-Manager—The First Boston Corp., New York. on Proceeds—To ★ National (par $1). Proceeds^—For working capital and general corporate purposes. writer—To be supplied by amendment.' stock privilege). Rights will expire rights may be mailed on Oct. 1. not less than 80% of said Fitz Simons & Connell shares. Offer will expire on Oct. 10. Underwriter—None. cumulative common • new ★ , Sept. Sept. 17 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of class A stock. Price—At par ($1 per share). Proceeds— To purchase machinery and equipment. Office—115 West Main St.. Millbury, Mass. Underwriter—J. P. Marto,- & .£ Co., Boston. Mass. .: one oversubscription Inc., Kellogg, Ida. (letter of notification) 400 shares of common (no par). Price—$125 per share. Proceeds—For exploration. Address—Box 298, Kellogg, Idaho. Under¬ writer—Robert G. Sparling, Seattle, Wash. — . holders of record Sept. 29, 1953, on the basis of share for each 10 shares held (with an per Representative—George Searight, 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Telephone BArclay 7- 8448. Offering—Date indefinite. pany sought Price—To - ★ New England Gas & Electric Ass'n • Sept. 2 filed 199,268 common shares of beneficial interest (par $8) to be offered for subscription by common stock¬ of proceeds of which are to be used to activate the company in the loan and finance business. — . Sept. 23 filed 100,000 shares of capital stock. Price—At Proceeds—For investment. Underwriter—None. corporate purposes. Underwriter—B. V. Christie & Co., Houston, Tex. Dealer Relations . * Mass. Corp. Aug. 28 filed 337,118 shares of common stock (no par) being offered for subscription by common stockholders of record Sept. 17 at rate of one new share for each eight shares held; rights will expire Oct. 5. Price—$30.62 y2 (par 25 Price—$2 per share. Proceeds—For drilling of exploratory wells, acquisition of leases and for general Finance Corp., An additional 300,000 shares have been and are in Arizona at $1 per share to hold¬ Ionics, Inc., (Glenn), Inc. cents). ex¬ being offered for sale of com¬ June 12 filed 10,000,000 shares of common stock — ers Boston, A. Proceeds—For plant July 2 filed 2,500,000 shares of class A non-voting com¬ mon stock (par $1) to be offered to present and future -holders of Special Participating Life Insurance Contracts issued by Commercial Life Insurance Co. of Phoenix. Price—$1.50 per share. Proceeds To develop and ex¬ pand company's loan and finance business. Underwriter —None. of (par five cents). Price—At market. Proceeds—To Raymond Macmillan and Helen F. Macmillan. Under¬ writer—Lester, Ryons & Co., Los Angeles, Calif. Phoenix, Ariz. ; shares stock share for each 5% shares held. Price—At par pansion. 75,000 ★ Macmillan Petroleum Corp., Los Angeles, Calif. (letter of notification) 11,500 shares of capital McCarthy pipe line system and working cap¬ Vegas, Nev. Underwrtier—The First Francisco, Calif. California Co., Inc., San market. common Sept. 21 ★ —For construction of ital. Office—Las ★ New England Fund, — development. Otis, Inc., New York.?: ★ Hawaiian Electric Co., Ltd. ;<1 -Sept. 25 filed 100,000 shares of common stock toie of¬ fered for subscription by common stockholders of record one C. (par 25 cents), represented by 75,000 war¬ presently outstanding. Price—$2 per share net to company. Proceeds — For working capital. Office Huntington, N. Y. Underwriters—S. D. Fuller & Co. and Vermilye Brothers, both of New York. of present financing. Office — South Oak# and St., San Angelo, Tex. Underwriter—None. 7^ Oct. 5 in ratio of W. stock mon cost er and rants ★ Gray Trailer Co., San Angelo, Tex. ;J Sept. 18 (letter of notification) 540 shares of corfimon stock (nc par). Price—$100 per share. Proceeds—To cov¬ .Allen Corp. — Grand Bahama Co., Ltd., Nassau & loans. Underwriters— — Feb. 3 filed $1,350,000 20-year 6% first mortgage cdfrvertible debentures due March, 1973, and 1,565,000 ihares of class A stock (par 10 cents). Price—Par for deben¬ tures and SI per share for stock. Proceeds —— 13. Proceeds—To repay bank stock. Price At par ($100 per share). Proceeds—For working capital. Office 603 Central Bldg., Seattle 4, Wash. Underwriter—None. Underwriter—None. Office—Oklahoma City, Okla. Business are employees. Price—To be set by company ★ Lundberg-Carlson, Inc., Seattle, Wash. Sept. 21 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of share for the stock). Proceeds—For general cor¬ porate purposes. Business — Oil and gas development. Underwriter—Gearhart held; and the remaining 100,000 shares Blyth & Co., Inc., The First Boston Langley & Co., all of New York. to be offered in units per construction. shares seven to be offered to > 51 offered for subscription by common the basis of new on shares held (with one (par $10) stockholders share for each oversubscription priviledge), To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds—To repay bank loans. Under¬ writer—Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, New rights to expire on an Oct. -21. Price — York. • Rockland Sept. due Light & Power Co. (10/14) 17 filed $8,000,000 first mortgage bonds, series E, Proceeds—To retire bank loans and for new 1983. construction. ment. Underwriters—To be supplied by amend¬ Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co, Inc.; First Boston Corp. & and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Corp.; Lehman Brothers, Bear, Stearns & Co. and A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Estabrook & e Co. Bids—Expected to be received about Oct. 14. Stone Webster Securities Continued on page 52 I 52 Continued from page /1 Royal Oil Co., Inc., Wichita, Kansas $5). development and drilling of leases. Office—1534 S. Mead, Wichita, Kansas. Underwriter—Sills, Fairman & Harris, • — Oil Neb-Tex Co., to Office—Northwood, None. Boston First Schlafly Nolan Oil Co., Inc. shares of comrrion stock (par stock (no par), offered for subscription , by common stockholders at rate of one new share for each eight shares held on or about Oct. 6. The remain¬ ing 6,000 shares are to be sold to employees. Subscrip¬ tion rights expire on Oct. 21. Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds—To be loaned to Western Mas¬ sachusetts Electric Co., a subsidiary, to be used to retire up to $4,000,000 of outstanding bank loans incurred for construction purposes. Underwriters—The First Boston Corp. and White, Weld & Co., both of New York. of which Securities Corp. (jointly); The Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Co. (jointly). Bids—Expected to be to noon (EST) on Oct. 26. Corp., received up 250). and sell to pros¬ pect for oil and gas and to develop and operate produc¬ ing properties. Office—Mt. Vernon, 111. Underwriter— X. H. Rothchild & Co., New York. Offering—Indefintely Aug. 26 (letter of notification) 1,700,000 shares of com¬ mon stock. Price—At par (10 cents per share). Proceeds postponed. Colo. United Mining & Leasing share. Proceeds—To purchase leaseholds, royalties and producing properties, Price—$4 per 122,316 shares are to be Working Capital, Inc. 148,700 shares of common Sept. 4 (letter of notification) purchase stock (par five cents) and 74,350: common stock warrants to be offered in units of 100 shares Colo. Underwriter—R. L. Hughes & Co., Denver, City, \ Corp. mining operations, equipment, etc. Office—Central —For •' • (10/7) Sept. 17 filed 128,316 shares of common Goldman, Sachs & March 25 filed 150,000 " Massachusetts Companies Western • Weld & Co. and Equitable statement may be Chicago, 111. Registration & Harris of revised. Pulp The offer will expire on share. (par $1). stock of ; Co;/another subsidiary. Underwriters — To be deter¬ mined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halpay loans and for working capital. sey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co., White, Iowa. Underwriter—Sills, Fairman April 23 filed 165,000 shares of common stock Price $5 per share. Proceeds — To acquire Westv Virginia of the basis of lVs shares stock for each Hinde & Dauch Nov. 18. Underwriter Dauch Paper Co. on of Hinde & replenish the treasury of United Gas Corp. and for other gener&l corporate purposes, including advances of such additional funds as may be required by Union Producing Production Co. Saint Anne's Oil Sept. 28 filed 1,270,344 shares of common stock (par $5) to be offered in exchange for common stock (par $10) construction; and to sidiary, to provide it with funds for Inc., Chicago, 111., and Wichita, Kansas. Pulp & Paper Co. ^ West Virginia — ' A United Gas Corp. (10/26) Sept. 23 filed $25,000,000 of sinking fund debentures due 1973. Proceeds—To purchase $10,000,000 of 5% sinking fund debentures of United Gas Pipe Line Co., a sub¬ 30,000 shares of common Price—$8.25 per share. Proceeds—For (par Underwriter Pa. Philadelphia, Street, None. Sept. 8 (letter of notification) stock Broad So. 51 1953 Thursday, October 1, The Commercial and, Financial Chronicle... (1264) of stock (each warrant will entitle the holder to purchase one share of stock at $1.25 per snare). Price— $125 per unit. Proceeds—To make loans. Office—55 Hilton Ave., Garden City, L. I., N. Y. Underwriter—None. and 50 warrants ■fa Scudder, Stevens & Clark Fund, Inc. i Sept. 23 filed 150,000 shares of capital stock. Price—At market. Proceeds—For investment. Underwriter—None. United States Air Conditioning Corp. Corp., Omaha, Neb. Securities Acceptance Sept. 14 (letter of notification) 6,000 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative Price—At par ($25 per share). working capital. Office—304 South 18th prefererd stock. .Proceeds—For Waehob-Bender coln (Neb.). shares O. writer—None. it United States Price Wash. 30 cents — Office—West Underwriter per 909 Mines — Proceeds—For share. Spokane, Financing, Inc., Spokane, Sprague Ave., "Wash. • Southern New England Telephone Co. (10/2) Sept. 15 filed 400,000 shares of capital stock to be offered for subscription by stockholders of record Oct. 2 in the ratio of one new share for each shares 10 then Universal held; Southern Aug. ' Union 10 filed Gas Underwriter—None. Co. 105,778 shares of common heing offered for subscription by -of record Aug. 31 stock on the basis of common - Ave., Miami, Fla. Proceeds—To increase -capital and surplus, for expansion and to retire certain preferred shares. Underwriter—Floyd D. Cerf Jr. Co • •fa Stewart-Warner Corp., Chicago, III. Sept. 23 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of common (par $5). Price—$17.50 per share. Underwriter— vertible Sept. 25 it was announced company & None. er • Strategic Materials Corp., Buffalo, N. Y. (10/7) Aug. 31 filed 198,500 shares of common stock (par $1) to be offered at rate of be for one and subscription by other indebtednesss, for pected in about 1 to iy2 the rate of $27 per Atlantic for other . Activators, weeks. general corporate ^ Welex J1' Nov. rosa Insurance Co., Phoenix, Ariz. (1?tter of notification) 4,244.37 6, 1953. Price—$3 per unit. Office—718 West GlenAve., Phoenix, Ariz. Underwriter—None. t'^r Turbo Corp. of America J^tock (no par). , equipment - . and Price—$100 per working capital. apd manufacture one Jet Services, . share of stock. ment. 500 shares share. of common Proceeds—For later . it was this announced proposed that debenture year used to $75,000,000 to $150,000,000. Pro¬ help pay for a $100,000,000 con¬ struction program for Underwriters—Smith, Bar¬ authorized ceeds—To re¬ & Co. debt be may from 1953. head group. Aug. 11 it was reported Price — one a Bids & — by*the company at 2 Wall St., 5, N. Y., up to noon (EST) on Oct. 8 for the Hutzler; Kidder, Peabod.y & Co. : ... ( . « • purchase properties in the: South.- . Underwriters—Probably Coffin & Burr, Inc., Boston, Mass^ and The First Boston Corp., New York.: Plan Opposed- ceeds—To * Of¬ Consolidated Textile Co., Inc., is opposing the proposed financing. (par 50 Blair Holdings Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds Underwriters . Manufacturing June 25 it was reported company planned to offer and sell 750,000 additional shares of common stock. Pro¬ fering—Postponed indefinitely. —Together with otht received , Bates tional shares of common stock and private sale of $55,000,000 first mortgage bonds, to be used to build a 1,030 mile crude oil pipeline. Underwriters—White, Weld & line. be * (10/8) purchase from it of $1,500,000 equipment trust certifi¬ cates, series FF, to be due in 15 equal payments of $100,r 000 each on Dec. 1, from 1953 to 1967, inclusive. Prob^< able bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros, 1,125,000 addi¬ West Coast Pipe Line Co., Dallas, Tex. Nov. 20 filed 1,125,000 shares of common stock will New York (par 50 $50 debenture and both of New York. proposed divestment plan. Baltimore & Ohio RR. To be supplied by amend- Co. and Union Securities Corp., company's common stock (held by Southern Union Gas Co.) may be offered to stock¬ holders of the parent company on a pro rata basis under due Dec. June 24 funds, to be used to build pipe¬ White, Weld & Co. and Union Se¬ it was Corp. " . announced company plans to issue and sell publicly $2,000,000 of convertible debentures. ceeds — For development of Stan well Oil & ^Gas Business—To curities Corp., JUpth of New York. Offering—Postponed develop a new type of jet engine.* Office—121 ►vindefinitely.•• 27 " Refining Co. •" will be around $60,000,000. The exact nature and timing of the financing are still to be determined. Stockholders voted May 5 to increase the Inc. Proceeds—From sale of units and cento). (letter of notification) Co., New York. construction. new issue (letter of notification) cents) to be offered in units of Wall stock units (par be issued under offer of rescission to expire on u Sept. 23 r... Office —14" Street, New York 5, N. Y. Business—A patent holding Underwriter—None. • . purposes. bonds. 17, March share. Underwriter— West Coast Pipe Line Co., Dallas, Tex. Nov. 20 filed $29,000,000 12-year 6% debentures 15, 1964,~ and 580,000 shares of common stock or purchase of stock of for development work and company. • Trans-Pacific ' Inc.; through 20-year City Electric Co. Atlantic 13,071 shares of common stock (no par) being offered for subscription by stock¬ holders of record Sept. 10 on the basis of one new share for each 12 shares held; rights to expire on Oct. 13. Price —$17.50 per share. Proceeds—For equipment. Office— 1400 East Berry Street, Fort Worth Texas. Underwriter — Thermal arranged B. L. England, President, indicated that the early next year expects to raise $14,000,000 to $16,000,000 through the sale of bonds and both preferred and common stock. Proceeds—To repay, bank loan and Aug. ney Sept. 8 .*or advances to, . has Aztec Oil & Gas Co. • further -fr Thermactor Co. Sept. 24 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of capital stock (par $1). Price — $100 per share. Proceeds To . Company company —None. • — place privately $20,000,000 of to The Empire Trust the basis of one-half share of pre¬ share of common for each 1 Puget share to holders who do not elect to Corp., both of New York. First Boston Placement ^Anchor Post Products, Inc. (10/20) Sept. 25 it was announced company plans to offer 32,953 additional shares of common stock (par $2) to its com¬ mon stockholders of record Oct. 20 at the rate of one new share for each nine shares held; rights to expire on Nov. 16. Price — $7.50 per share. Warrant Agent— None. exploration properties and for additional working capital. Underwriters—Hamlin & Lunt, Buffalo, N. Y., and Allen & Co., New York. W. C. Pitfield & Co., Ltd., of Montreal, Canada, has agreed to purchase 50,000 shares from the underwriters for distribution in Canada. Offering—Ex¬ - common shares of Underwriters—W. C. Langley collateral trust sinking fund one-half ceive cash at common stockholders share for each share held. Price—To amendment. Proceeds—To repay bank on The and bankers same stock and Co. Private preferred stock (par $25) and 1,088,939 shares of Light Co. Sound new supplied by loans & ferred plans to register soon public offering an issue of about 200,000 preferred stock (par $25). (no par) to be issued in connection with the proposed merger into company of Puget Sound Pow¬ common .stock ' Co., Inc. American Water Works for Finance Washington Water Power Co. May 7 filed 1,088,940 shares of $1.28 cumulative con¬ Inc., Chicago, 111., and Miami, Fla. 19 holders. ★ Wardenhoff Mining Co., Big Creek, Idaho Sept. 23 (letter of notification) 3,000,000 shares of capital stock. Price—10 cents per share. Proceeds—For equip¬ ment and working capital. Office — Big Creek, Valley County, Idaho. Underwriter—Jacob B. Vogel. 2nd Co., New York. Telephone & Telegraph Co. directors voted to recommend to stockholders authorize a new issue of convertible debentures in an amount not to exceed $625,000,000 at a meeting to be held on Oct. 14. Price—Expected at par. Proceeds— For advances to subsidiary and associated companies. Underwriter—None. Offering—To be made to stock¬ Aug. • 41268 N. basis, share-for-share that they common one new State Fire & Casualty Co., Miami, Fla. (10/7) Sept. 10 (letter of notification) 80,000 shares of class B .common stock (par $1). Price—$3.75 per share. Office— a 20; American Sept. 21 stockholders Oct. working capital. Underwriter—Geyer & of common stock (par 15 cents) to be offered in units share for each 18 shares held (with an oversubscription privilege); ; of one share of preferred and one share of common stock. rights to expire Oct. 7. Price—$18 per share. Proceeds Price—$10.15 per unit. Proceeds—For working capital. —For additions to properties. Office—1301 Elm St., Dallas, Tex. Underwriter—None. Underwriter—None. ; on rights to expire about Nov. 4. Certain stockholders have waived their rights to purchase the new shares. Price — To be named later. Proceeds — For ^ Universal Finance Corp., Dallas, Tex. (letter of notification) 29,000 shares of 70-cent cumulative preferred stock (no par) and 29,000 shares (par $1) stockholders common about Corp., Los Angeles, Calif. July 27 (letter of notification) 12,000 shares of 6% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price — At par ($25 per share). Proceeds—For working capital. Office—3460 Wilshire Blvd., Los Angeles, Calif. Underwriter—None. Tights will expire on Oct. 23. Price—At par ($25 per share). Proceeds—To repay advances from American Telephone & Telegraph Co. by stock (no par) to be offered in exchange for the 15,000 outstanding com¬ mon shares of Aspinook Corp. on the basis of 16 shares of Finishing stock for each share of Aspinook stock. The offer is conditioned upon its acceptance by the holders of at least 80% of the Aspinook shares. The stockholders of the Finishing company will vote Oct. 13 on approving the above proposal. Exploration & Development Co. Aug. 20 (letter of notification) 1,000,000 shares of com¬ •exploration. (10/20) is planned for between Sept. 25 and Sept. 30 of 150,000 shares of convertible preferred stock (par $5) to be offered for subscription Aug. 26 it was stated registration Finishing Co. Sept. 23 filed 240,000 shares of Silver Dollar ,/... Fidelity & Casualty Co. American 20%; and the option price to the underwriters for the 220,000 additional shares is the market price, less 17V2%. Proceeds—For working capital and general cor¬ porate purposes. Underwriters—Mortimer B. Burnside & Co., Inc., and George F. Breen, both of New York. personal property in New York State. Box 175, Canandaigua, N. Y. Under¬ and Address—P. & Prospective Offerings In addition the company proposes to offer 250,000 March 25, 1954 to holders of its common stock on less — stock. Co., Memphis, Tenn. stock, the subscription price under these warrants being $3.06 V4 per share. The underwriters have agreed to pur¬ chase the 100,000 shares at a price equal to the market, A- Segoyawatha, Inc., Canandaigua, N. Y. (letter of notification) 3,630 shares of common stock. Price At par ($5 per share). Proceeds — For working capital. Business—To buy, sell, manage or de¬ Bldg., Solon, O. Underwriter—Gordon Meeks Center purchase warrants which were sold on Feb. 26, 1953 in connection with the sale of 100,000 shares of common Sept. 28 Corp. of America (letter of notification) 18 new Co., Inc., to acquire an additional 220,000 shares of stock (also to be offered for sale on the Exchange or over-the-counter market at the then prevailing market principal amount. Proceeds—To repay loans and for working capital. Underwriter—None. Meeting—Stock¬ holders to vote Oct. 9 on authorizing debentures. mon has also been granted to Mortimer B. Burnside price). (10/5) 126 shares of common (no par). Price—$750 per share.;. Proceeds—For construction and working; capital. Office—Solon Zirconium stock & Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc., N. Y. -Sept. 4 filed $975,000 of five-year 6% convertible sinking fund debentures due Oct. 1, 1958, to be offered to common stockholders at rate of one $100 debenture for •each 250 shares of common stock held. Price—100% of velop real The remaining 60,000 shares, plus any of shares not sold, will be offered for sale on the Stock Exchange or over-the-counter market. An option • Sept. amendment). the 40,000 — • ' 28 American Cruttenden & Co.; Corp.; and The First Trust Co. of Lin¬ Underwriters St., Omaha, Neb. (10/5) filed 570,000 shares of common stock (par 10 cents), of which 100,000 shares will be underwritten (in¬ cluding 40,000 shares to be offered to employees and dis¬ tributors and dealers at a fixed price to be supplied by Aug. newly acquired subsidiary. ■ •i' Pro¬ Ltd., Underwriters—Blair, Rollins &'Co Inc.- and The First California Co. * yolume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1265) ★ Central Illinois Light Co.; (10/27) Sept. 26 it General Electric Co. announced company plans to offer to its was stockholders of record Oct. 27 the right to sub¬ scribe on or before Nov. 13 for 100,000 additional shares common of stock common on a l-for-9 basis (with oversub¬ an scription privilege). Unsubscribed shares to be offered to employees. Price — To be named later. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for new construction. Underwriter •—Union Securities Corp., New York. Jan. it 2 reported was plans company sale later thii of $10,000,000 common stock (in addition to $10,000,000 of 1st & gen. mtge. bonds sold March 10, 1953), after distribution by New England Public Service Co. of fits holdings of Central Maine Power Co. common stock. Probable bidders: Blyth & Co., Inc. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Coffin & Burr, Inc.; A. C. Allyn & Co., Enc. and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. Central-Penn National Bank of Phila. Sept. 28 the Bank offered to its stockholders of record Sept. 24 the right to subscribe for shares of capital rights to basis; additional 125,000 an stock (par $10) expire Oct. 13. on one-for-three a Price $30 — per share. Proceeds—To increase capital and surplus. Under¬ writer—Stroud & Co., Inc., Philadelphia, Pa. Central Power & Light Co. 2 it was reported company March sell to increase the authorized "capital stock (par $3.33Vz) from 360,000 to 750,000 shares. There are 328,839 shares outstanding. No plan has been announced for issuance of any additional shares. Under¬ writer—Probably J. Barth & Co., San Francisco, Calif. Gas System, Inc. announced company plans to issue and sell later this year $40,000,000 of new debentures. Pro¬ ceeds—To repay bank loans and for construction pro¬ gram. Underwriters—To be determined by competitive was bidding. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co. reported company plans was stock may financing some Sept. 21 it was stock op a of reported that plans offering to 232,520 additional shares of . competitive-bidding, bidders — If may be: de¬ W. C. ' Detroit Edison Co. March 24 it was announced company plans to issue an unspecified amount of convertible debentures due 1963 interest rate not exceeding offered for subscription by an stockholders. Proceeds—To retire bank loans and to meet construction costs. Meeting—Stockholders on ^authorized' the new debentures. April '-14 Underwriter—None. Eastern Industries, Inc. Aug. 20 stockholders voted to create \ J - an ' shares of preferred stock (par $10), issue of 200,000 100,000 shares of which are expected to be offered publicly. Underwriters '—Blair, Rollins & Co., Inc. and Cohu & Co., both of New York. Registration—Expected in September. Eastern Utilities Associates . .Feb. 20 it .000 was collateral shares Maine (3.89%) of the Co.; 45,690.45 Power stock common of Public Service Hampshire; and 20,730.20 shares (2.72%) of stock common of Central Vermont Public Service Corp. General Electric proposes to sell or otherwise dis¬ pose of such securities within a period of one year from the date of such acquisition (subject to its right to apply for additional time to dispose of such securities). Government Employees Corp., Washington, D. C. March 18 stockholders authorized an issue of 3,000 shares of preferred stock (par $100) to carry a cumulative divi¬ dend rate not to exceed 6% states that, under present issued as annually. The management plans, these shares will be the growth of the corporation warrants. ★ Government Employees Corp. (11/24) Sept. 23, Leo Goodwin, President, announced that the company soon plans to register with the SEC an issue of $500,000 10-year 4% convertible junior subordinated debentures (convertible into common stock at the rate share), to be offered for subscription by com¬ stockholders of reccrd Nov. 17 at the rate of $100 debentures for each 15 shares held; rights to expire on Dec. 9. It is expected that subscription warrants will be mailed on or about Nov. 24. Price—At par. Proceeds —For working capital, etc. Office — Government Em¬ ployees Insurance Bldg., Washington 5, D. C. Under¬ writer—None. mon of May $7,000,- the Estabrook & Co. and Stone & Webster Securities Corp. (jointly); The First Boston Corp., White, Weld & Co. and Kidder, Pea¬ and latter first loans. issue and $483,000 to P. U. sell Commission $200,000 value par stockholders). of of authorized first mortgage stock (the common Proceeds—To retire bank Underwriter—F. L. Putnam & Co., Boston, Mass. Hartford Electric Light Co. July 29 it was reported company plans to offer to its common stockholders 105,500 additional shares of com¬ mon stock on a l-for-8 basis before Dec. 31, 1953, prob¬ ably without underwriting. Stockholders to vote Sept. 29. Proceeds—For construction program. Idaho Power ' Co. the financing period, the company would repay $29,000,000 of short-term loans. Final borrow and financing details would depend market conditions. on ★ Illinois Power Co. Sept. 21 it was reported company is planning to issue and sell $20,000,000 of first mortgage bonds. Under¬ writers To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; White, Weld & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. Offering—Expected in November, Long Island Lighting Co. April 21 it was announced that company this Fall plans issue and sell an issue of about $25,000,000 of first mortgage bonds (this is in addition to 785,648 shares to to be offered in October to stockholders and Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for Underwriters—To be determined tion. employees).- new bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, ■ Blyth & Co., Inc. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co. Maier April Brewing Co., Los Angeles, Calif. 18 it announced was additional shares of rate of four share. plant. new common company will offer 400,000 stock to its stockholders at shares for each Prcoeeds — To share held. help finance Price—$5 new bottling a Underwriter—None. Manabi April 8 Exploration Co., Inc., Houston, Tex. it was announced company plans to issue and sell $1,000,000 of convertible debentures. Proceeds—To finance development of oil properties in Ecuador. Under¬ July 7 Milwaukee Gas Light Co. v May be determined by competitive bidding. Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Union Securities Corp. (jointly). bidders: Florida Sept. 11 it that the company plans to sell approximately $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds due the latter part of this year. be 1983 Proceeds—To pay off bank borowings and for construction —To purposes. Underwriter determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (joint¬ ly); Lehman Brothers; Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly); The First Boston Corp. ' " ★ Franklin National Bank, Franklin Square, N. Y. Sept. 24 it on was approving tional reported an offer to expected to be received company sought SEC approval of a bank loan $9,000,000 the mature Aug. 1, 1954.- These borrowings, plus retained earnings, are designed to finance expansion pending formulation of permanent financing prior to maturity of notes. Probable bidders for bonds: of Halsey, on of about $6,000,000 of bonds. termined by competitive stockholders stockholders shares will vote of 39,000 (par $10) on a one-for-ten basis. writer—Blair, Rollins & Co. Inc., New York. Oct. 6 addi¬ Under¬ Inc.; Glore, Forgan Co. & and Lehman Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc. Minnesota Aug. 3 it was Power & stockholders will vote Oct. 1 on increasing the authorized common stock (no par) from 2,000,000 shares (858,047 shares outstanding) to 3,000,000 shares and on approving a 2-for-l stock split. This will place the company in a position to proceed promptly with any new Immediate necessary. financing offer not that may contemplated. become Under¬ writers—May be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc. Sept. 9 it suance was and announced sale of that company is planning is¬ $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds due be de¬ Hal¬ company plans issuance and sale of about $7,500,000 of preferred stock some time during the first quarter of 1954. Underwriter—Previous preferred stock offer (in 1940) was handled .by The Boston Corp. If sold through competitive bidding, probable bidders may include The First Boston Corp.;/ Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Union Se¬ curities Corp. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc. (jointly); White, Weld & Co.; LehmanBrothers and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Stone & Webster Securities First National Bank of Sept. 24 company / . Detroit offered (Mich.) 313,200 stock (par $10) to its Sept. 24 on the basis of five shares Proceeds—To additional common one held; rights to expire share. per Corp. * (jointly). ★ on increase shares of stockholders of share for each new Oct. 15. capital Price—$45 and surplus. Underwriter—Morgan Stanley & Co., New York. New York State Electric & Gas Feb. 27 it Corp. reported that company may, later in 1953, $z0,000,000 first mortgage bonds. Under¬ writers To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); issue was and sell — Hemphill, Noyes & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); Kidder, Pea¬ body & Co. and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Brothers; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. Niagara Mohawk Power Corp. (10/28) Lehman Sept. 22, Earle J. Machold, President, announced plans to offer and sell an issue of $40,000,000 pany eral mortgage bonds due 1983. Proceeds—To loans and for new construction. com¬ gen¬ bank Underwriters—To be repay determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. Bids—Tentatively expected to be received on Oct. 28. ★ North Shore Gas Co. Sept. 21 it sale of was about reported that company plans issuance and $3,000,000 bonds. Underwriters—May be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Union Securities Corp, Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Lehman - ★ Northern Natural Gas Co. Sept. 23 it was announced company plans to issue and sell some additional debentures later this year. Proceeds bank loans. Underwriters—To be determined —To repay by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc. & Northwest Natural Gas Co. March 23 it reported that this company plans t© finance its proposed 1,300-miles pipeline from Canada te the Pacific Northwest by the issuance and sale of was $66,- 000,000 of 4V2% first mortgage pipeline bonds to insur¬ ance companies and other institutional investors and $9,000,000 of 5% debentures and 1,400,000 shares of common 6tock at $10 per share publicly in the United States and Underwriter—Morgan Stanley & Co., New York. Canada. ★ Oklahoma-Mississippi River Products Pipe Line, Inc. Sept. 23 it was reported this company, a newly organized subsidiary of Sunray Oil Corp., plans to issue and sell, both privately and publicly, some securities to finance the construction of a 475-mile pipeline from Duncan. Okla., to the Memphis, Tenn., area, at a cost of $22,000,000 to $25,000,000. Underwriter—Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. Registration—Expected in October. Offering—Probably in November. Ormond March with 10 ... Corp., Albuquerque, N. M. it was the SEC an announced issue of company plans to stock, which FPC 25 authorized register will be offeree Central Avenue, N. E., Otter Tail Power Co. Albu¬ »• company to issue a maximuD $4,000,000 unsecured promissory notes to banks, the to provide funds to temporarily finance the proceeds company's 1953 and 1954 construction programs prior t* arranging for long-term financing. Underwriters—Ma> be Glore, Forgan & Co. and Kalman & Co. '■ Pacific July sell 2 it to its Telephone & Telegraph Co. was share. None. announced stockholders capital stock owns Monongahela Power Co.(12/1) Underwriters—May bidding. Probable bidders- Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co. of Light Co. announced and sale ★ Narragansett Electric Co. Sept. 21 it was reported that June Co. (jointly); Smith, Barney & Co. and Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly); Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Kidder, Peabody /. plans issuance Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & ' Beane and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); Lehman nationally. Office—5003 querque. N. M. & Registration—Expect¬ sey, Brothers Stuart Dec. 1. ★ Mystic Valley Gas Co. Sept. 21 it was reported company & Power Corp. was announced Hutzler ed about Oct. 30. construc¬ by competitive Stuart & Co. Inc.; ★ Essex County Electric Co. — Sept. 21 it was reported company plans issuance and sale of; $4,000,000 30-year first mortgage bonds. Under¬ — Corp.; Union Securities Corp. and Salomon Bros. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. Bids—Tentatively & — writer—Kidder, Peabody & Co., New York. Probable curities mission to body & Co. (jointly); Glore, Forgan & Co. and Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc. (jointly).' writers ders: record Connecticut to bonds Under¬ writers—To be determined by competitive bidding. Prob¬ able bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; 7 company per announced company plans sale of trust mortgage bonds due 1973. Proceeds—For construction program. Underwritersby competitive bidding. Probable bid¬ Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; W. C. Langley & Co. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Kuhn, Loeb & Co.: Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly)* Glore, Forgan & Co.; Lehman Brothers, Equitable Se¬ To be determined common Throughout Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fen¬ ner & Beane (jointly). Price—May be set by directors, with bidders to name their underwriting compensation. Registration—Expected late ip October. Bids—Tenta¬ tively expected to be received late in November. (about $55,000,000 to carry 4%) which may first be 97,030.95 Central of the common Langley & Co, and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); White, Weld & Co. and Shields & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; . of (3.89%) common com¬ be Dillon, Read & Co. Inc., New York. one-for-seven basis. Underwriters termined by receive that this company plans to raise $184,550,000 finance construction of three hydro-electric projects on Snake River, Idaho. If approved, the financing will consist of $105,000,000 of bonds through 1962; $27,400,000 of preferred stock; and $52,150,000 of common stock. or ^ Delaware Power & Light Co. stockholders to stock Aug. 6, officials of Blyth & Co., Inc. and Bankers Trust Co., New York, testified before the Federal Power Com¬ later this year. Underwriter—For any preferred mon the Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; ★ Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric Co. Sept. 22 it entitled Greenwich Gas Co. ★ Clorox Chemical Co. Sept. 22 stockholders voted Columbia be of $20 per issue and may 60,000 shares of new preferred stock. Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Btone & Webster Securities Corp.; Lehman Brothers and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc., Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. April 6 it by New England Public Service Co. pursuant to tnat company's plan of liquidation and dissolution. By reason of its ownership of NEPSCO stocks, General Electric will Co. of New year ★ company received SEC authority to acquire its distributive portion of portfolio stocks being distributed shares Central Maine Power Co. 1983. Aug. 24 common 53 on a plans to additional issue company 1,004,603 l-for-7 basis. shares Price—At par (100 and oi pet Proceeds—To repay bank loans. Underwriter— American Telephone & Telegraph Co., parent, 91.25% Not expected of Pacific's outstanding stock. Offering— until the early part of 1954. Continued on page 5* * The Commercial and Financial Chronicle. .. (1266* 54 proposed issuance ..and sale of 800,000 shares of common stock (no par). Proceeds—To retire bank loans and for property additions and improvements. Underwriters— Morgan Stanley & Co., Drexel & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. handled common stock financing last March. 53 Continued from page III. Feb. 4 company filed an amended application with FPC for authority to construct a 163-mile pipeline system at an estimated cost of $40,269,000. Financing is now being done privately through sale of $34,125,000 bonds. Un¬ derwriters—Glore, Forgan & Co. and Stone & Webster Pipeline Co., Chicago, Permian Basin stock of this company, Natural Gas San Jose Water Works U. Com¬ permission to issue and sell 40,000 shares of convertible preferred stock (par $25) and for exemption from competitive bidding. Price—To be announced later. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for new construc¬ tion. Underwriters — Latest preferred stock issue was underwritten by Dean Witter & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Elworthy & Co.; and Schwabacher & Co. Sept. 15 company applied to the California P. issue and (convert¬ Underwriters — Probably Offering—Expected this Co., Dallas, Texas. fall. Aug. 11 it was reported company may do some public financing (probably in the form of debentures) before the end of this year. Underwriter—May be The First Delzell, Cnairman,;and James H. announced that financing of its 1953 construction program, which will range between $8,700,000 and $9,200,000, is being accomplished by means of bank loans under a credit arrangement which will mature in November, 1953. Repayment of the loans at maturity, plus the procurement of an additional $1,500,000 needed for the rest of the year, will be accomplished either by expansion of the credit arrangement or by the sale of first mortgage bonds. Previous bond financing was done privately through Blyth & Co., Inc. July 22, Thomas W. Polhemus, President, Electric Service Public Boston Sky Ride Helicopter Corp. announced that the company contemplates issue and sale of 1,490,000 additional shares of capital stock (no par), following completion of present offering of 10,000 Aug. it 6 be Wast Coast Transmission Co. an Sept. bid, 101.614, runners-up, more or New that and it 28 of offered was about the of 101.61. It has become bid out at least three digits after the decimal, but this occasion was one ond bidder let of where the ^ ^ out Four Public Service Co. plans to company issue first to stockholders on a Westpan Hydrocarbon Co. July 1 SEC granted Sinclair Oil Corp. an extension of, in which to dispose of its holdings of common stock in Westpan and the Southwestern Development Xo. Sinclair owns 384,860 shares six months from June 21, 1953, by the the sec¬ practice slide. five bids were and so reported plans company and fofe construction. new & and tative#;. — (EST)|pn Nov. Yal&s was reported crued Cruttenden & Co., 209 South La Salle Street, members of the New York Stock interest in feach This involves Indiana and the southwestern part of Michigan. The Company serves 148 an 230,000 shares of communities ill an area with estimated population of 1,078,- a lerman, Manitowoc, Wis; Harold Emcb, Jr., Milwaukee Not that it could not control such leelings if nGCGssity the rccjuirGd the moment a?^u aAe ?:vm? n,® of their attention to the it( rank impend- World Series and you can bet mg that the better part of the day unless something happens to filter prcsGnt plsns The issuing utility will new construction, part of it dignitaries. From what can hear around the Street the latter task has been almost Securities are the in end utilities Corp. and as¬ offering today (Oct. 1) $15,000,000 of Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. first mortgage bonds, sight until along toward 3/s% series, due 1983, at 102.31% of the month when two and accrued interest, to yield is not much actual busi- slated to bring new as as 3.50%. Award of the issue was won by the group at competitive , mn mand. bonas Veritable It is that comnetin* "banking groups come closer to an actual tie than happened to be the case in bidding for tV^1* x Michigan Electric Co 's $15 000 000 of new 30-year first mortgage bonds. muwuve pieierita siock, ^>ii,ouu, fhA the following day. 000 will be used by the in curities and Exchange Commis- (Canada) plans to issue and sell ment trusts actually it did not — recognize even their existence. - company idea and of the of is, all 1905, panies Act was, disclosure regarding issue. any new In Securities to assure full pertinent facts were gated life insurance com¬ investi¬ legislative committee thoroughly by a of the State of New York. Repu¬ developed from this in¬ vestigation was a big factor in the tation furtherance of remarkable their growth. The next step was a law designed to end manipulations on stock exchanges, and otherwise to control the activities of brokers and dealers. the Securities 1934. It lished was the This, of course, was Exchange Act of this law which estab¬ Securities and Ex¬ change Commission. or- as-rrfiitual mutual the market the , fund 1937-1938 period. Mutual funds ing this period a 50 suffered dur- Jfpm unfavorable typified the period prior to 1929, the investment trust industry had been subject to a great many abuses. were However, most of these to the industry being due publicity which si emmed from the hearings and inv< ligations which young and the lack of experienced personnel. were being cariaea i were uemg carijed on for the Out of the investigation of these niirnn(;A Hevel ming a Federal developing purpos.f. la which would Tegulate mvest- merd American Waterworks Co., Inc., construction purposes. The bal- THE contemplates filing with the Sen ance us®d *° pay *?r a po-J~ curmes and &xchan&e commis Inc. company to report its findings to Congress. funds. industry did Under this provision, there began not mushroom oyfernight. There a long series of hearings into the was moderate gjowth, both in problems which existed in the the number of filrids and in the investment company field. Partly size of individual funds during because the industry had been so the '30's, but this growth received new, and partly because of^the excesses which had a setback follow, ig the decline speculative Meanwhile it is indicated that to prepay bank notes issued for "Dead-Heat" seldom were ^ are difficult of accomplish- bond issues to market. sale on Tuesday on a bid of trying to get additional United Gas Corp. is slated t0 101.614%. quotas of some of the recent new open bids for $25,000,000 of debenofferings most of whirVi Of the net proceeds from the oiierings, most oi which have I*— tures on Oct. 26, while Public saip of +he bonds and from the Since pushed forward to command Service Electric Gas Corn is i 1 ca ? ? /S sizable nreminmQ nnHor cimb & uas corp. is sale of 60,000 shares of 4.56% cusizarne premiums under such de- »erv*c© fciectric due to market $30,000,000 of new mutative preferred stock $11 500 ment known The Looking to Future There a.m. ganized during 1932 and 1933, and came Electric Bds. Offered Union sociates ness one Michigan now [n progress. last has been spent in scouting desirable "ducats" for visiting Indiana & the proceeds from the sale to finance week up use its at 11 The next year, Congress adopted the Public Utility Hold¬ ing Company Act of 1935. One more were formefi as the decade provision of this law directed the progressed. Som^~.Qf them were Securities and Exchange Commis¬ trusts and some w|re corporations, sion to make a study of the in¬ but before long ill of them be¬ vestment company industry and Charles R. companies of thisf type gripped Electric Light & Power Co., slated different form of enthusiasm. for offering about next Wednes- common other lines of endeavor, is by Lake Geneva, Wis.; Dale, Madison, Wis.; John F. El- additional to up case. generation, distribution and sale of electric energy, throughout an area in northern ^nd east-central stock of Iowa most Bids—Ten¬ company Undef&riter—Tellier & Co., New York. Mutual Funds as by 2,000,(|&Q shares of common stock (par 1 cent). Price-— 15 ce||s per share. Proceeds—For working capital, etc. 42 same deter¬ 17. Uranium Co., Sept. mit received be to thin currently that industry, much the be Instead, the Securities Act of 193? was aimed at one of the culprits Indiana & Michigan Electric of the 1929 period—offerings of Co. is engaged principally in the questionable new issues. The basic Reg. Representatives CHICAGO, 111. scheduled can For the moment the underwriting Underwriters—To ipy competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Blyth, Co.,|Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, amount, and at sffiSblM redemption prices ranging from 102%% to the principal amount, plus ac¬ Cruttenden Announces a mined l-for-13 issuance H registration statement with the SEC shortly with respect to the issue and sale of 75,000 shares of cumulative pre¬ ferred stock (par $100). Proceeds—To repay bank loans, bonds. Underwriters—May be competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Exchange and other leading Stock stretched to three or four digits Exchanges, announces the associaafter the decimal. ^on wjth them as registered repEven though the Ridding was resentatives of Norman B. Baum, extremely close, the reoffering Walter L. Cole, and Paul H. failed to stir up anything ap- Gates, Chicago; John S. Coleman issue new (11/17) 1$ it was announced company proposes to file cal¬ 000. It also fui|iishes heating it proaching "out-the-window" per- and John G. Coleman of Pekin, service in limited .'areas in South readily be called anemic formance for the bonds. Priced at Illinois; Clarence E. Mailander, UT™ without over-emphasizing the 102.31 to yield 3.50%, the issue Rockford, 111.; Standley B.McFadFor the 12 months ended June situation. There had been some was reported attracting consider- den, Springfield, 111.; Ford H. 30, 1953, the company had total expectation that the New Jersey able numbers of small buyers, but Kaufman and Carl E. Harris, Inoperating revenues of $47,518,885 Turnpike Authority might bring with large institutions still hold- dianapolis; Merton J. Davis, Laand net income of $8;338,014. its pending $150,000,000 of reve- ing off. Porte, Ind.; Ernest A. Froh, Coldnue bonds to market to kind of water, Mich.; Jacob H. Shoemaker, fill the gap in the period, but Grand Rapids; James H. TolhuiLittle Business Ahead Continued from latest advices put that issue back Qage Next week will bring a con- zen, Kalamozoo, William R. at least another week. tinuation of the veritable dearth Davey, Negaunee, Mich-; Harold All things considered, however, of new issues in the corporate H. Giger and William E. Davis, it is perhaps just as well that the field. Right now only one offer- St. Louis; Frank L. Wilcox, De roster is not overburdening, as it ing is definitely scheduled, and Pere, Wjs.; George H. Lough, Ft. the thirties thaj^an appreciable threatened to be a few weeks ago. that by the negotiated route. Atkinson, Wis.; Hiram C. Smith, number were Tbrched. Several corporate is endar , (52.85^;) of the stock of each of the other two companies. $4,000,000 less custom these days to the carry River field to western Washington and 1 Oregon. Underwriter—Eastman, Dillon & Co., New York. : Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co. (10/20) application with the Canadian Peace office,£$41 Stuart St., Boston 16, Mass., sale ; 000,000 of 3% to 4% short-term notes to the National City Bank of New York; and about 3,500,000 shares of common stock for about $30,000,000. Proceeds—To fi-' nance construction of a natural gas pipe line from the- Fennek& Beane; Equitable Securities Corp. determined filed stated company may issue and sell $59,- was 000,000 of 4% first mortgage bonds to insurance com- "t panies (including Prudential Insurance Co. of America, New York Life Insurance Co.; Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Co. and several Canadian companies); $25,r J ^ Suburban Electric Co. Oct. 27. company April ,1 it Underwriter—Dillon, Read & Co., New York. Offering—Expected in January or February 1954. Jersey Board of Public Utility Commissions covering the The program. Offer¬ late in November or early December of * Underwriters—To be determined by competi- ; tive bidding. Probable bidders: Stone & Webster Securi- ~ ties Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fen¬ ner & Beane, and Kidder, Peabody & Co. " Worcester County Electric Co. basis). (jointly); Morgan Stanley & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); The First Boston Corp. If by negotiated sale, Morgan, Stanley & Co., Drexel & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. may head syndicate. Bids—Expected to be re¬ At 1 year. y|ar. Sept. $20,000,000 of securities (to consist of around $12,000,000 bonds; from $2,000,000 to $3,000,000 of pre¬ ferred stock; and the remainder in common stock, the latter to later this Underwriter—May be Union Securities Corp., New York. announced was stock common $14,00(^000. Proceeds—For construction this St., S. E., sell about by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Lehman Brothers 10 Office—1705—38th Westpan Hydrocarbon Co. below. Southwestern proposed issuance and sale of $30,000,000 first and refunding mortgage bonds to be dated Oct. 1, 1953 and mature Oct. 1, 1983. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and for new construction. Underwriters—May be determined Sept. December. or of current,, market price, the sale would amount to about * Southwestern Development Co. See the Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Offering—Expected in shares at $2 per share. Washington, D. C. 10 company filed an application with the New Jersey Board of Public Utility Commissioners covering on was November Sept. ceived Corp., New York. Sept. 3 it (10/27) Gas Co. & Finance Co. Seaboard Electric Co. Portland General shares additional ing—Probably Inc., New York Aug. 11 it was announced company plans future public financing to secure cargo transport aircraft.- - (Texas) Inc. stock). common & Garrett Virginia Electric & Power Co. Sept.^3 it was announced company plans to sell 558,946 mission for Aug. 4 it was reported company is considering sale of $300,000 of 6% debentures due 1963 into Riddle Airlines, Co. Petroleum Service, ible _ of New York. Of the common 83% is now owned by Northern both Corp., Securities __ Thursday, October 1, 1953 companies^lt: t . STOCK market break of 4eat speculative only^fpr investment bad burs^ a tipri of the cost of extensions, ad- bubble, not anions and improvements to the trusts but for the Securities busision of the necessary registration company's properties in 1953 and ness in general. <Xie of the first to cover a projected issue of 216,- 1954steps taken by^the new Demo000 shares of its $25 oar value Tbe bonds1 will be redeemable, cratic Administration in 1933 was problems there came a great deal of unfavorable publicity, but there was also developed the Fed¬ eral Investment Company Act of 1940. When this law was finally adopted, work it represented years of the Securities and Ex¬ Commission and the in¬ by change industry itself. a constructive factor of great importance in the subsquent development of the in¬ vestment company It also represented dustry. Volume 178 Number 5260 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ... (1267) 55 k Continued from 15 page to determine whether securities sold to in Cunent Thinking at the SEC that Commission- the much little as or determines/ As tical do can inspecting matter a as it as oi prac¬ fact, the extent of the bro¬ ity of Federal labors public the SEC. same banks. as der present The That isn't is Un¬ so. anxious so. that the investing public and the Con¬ The Commission and Others normal our own delegated the Na¬ engaged in cooperative study to determine the State and with over-lapping the Federal broker- both covers SEC Tne inspection financial condition and trading and selling practices. State inspections vary widely from State to State, and in some States are non-existent or nearly so. Since* neither the SEC the nor State Commissions have available funds make to inspections regular, of each there should be periodic registrant, coordination some designed to avoid harassing mul¬ tiplicity of inspections of some and long-time omission of inspec¬ tion of others. In official to inspec¬ tions by the State authorities and by the SEC, there are by Association the National has study inspections of of to not to our the Budget any activities .are the subject 30 the of of pro¬ Utility Holding Company Act to conduct size, type and location of public utility panies can which efficiently in economical tricity. in the most While the jurisprudence Chapter X was being devel¬ oped, the Commission and its staff, as a body of presumed experts, had a greater duty than at present to scramble which follows shorten the It deprive ever, some the by carry the would not, how¬ investors of any protection presently afforded. interest has the overall Commission may cir¬ soon comment a proposal to eliminate entirely with respect to companies of the the except This soliciting Form should issuers to 10-K not but all report statements. only be it pounds many proxies, annual financial cuts and relief a down by pieces the because the items ers which con¬ stitute the text of the 10-K report call for information which is al¬ available ready in 8-K current reports or proxy statements. It is also proposed to reduce the list of transactions in respect which of Form 8-K current report will be a mission already Act, the done any planning has proposal know, the Com¬ circulated a eliminate the 9-K to quarterly report of gross sales The revenues. have is report felt to misleading effect because a the current trend of company's a should contrary to the earnings. These steps its enable the staff to clear present Commission that terial and thereafter to keep cur¬ rent. exchanges, by such ex¬ changes. A public agency cannot, to of funds to make studies to which to private agencies members of port the a would the nor private agency sup¬ of their inspectors use as informers to the public authorities with respect to matters not in¬ volving defalcations >Considered in- or insolvency. the dealers in securities are aggregate, subject to less government, not more, it ask the Congress for be attention. pay since 1935. studies increased the - Now let Act me so passed was discuss briefly some multiple inspections but from the standpoint of the public,^ the simplify whole and forms. Please let it be under¬ - scheme is somewhat hap¬ hazard. This subject is receiving serious consideration. I hope that our Commission and the other in¬ specting authorities forward with " can come helpful some and stood that I zation and programs, let me men¬ tion the matter of statistics. The Commission statistical in some publishes bulletin monthly which a covers, cases monthly and other quarterly, the following sub¬ jects: ' /•''• cases New Securities Offerings for Cash Sales Securities on Indexes of Exchanges' Common Stock Prices Short Interest in NYSE Transactions in Stocks Round-Lots on the New York Exchanges for Members and Non-Members Transactions ;in Effective of Securities Underwriters of Registered Issues Managers Groups of Underwriting Company Transac¬ tions and Assets Special Offerings Exchanges Saving by Individuals Expenditures on also tions and ing by publishes Official on of Security Transac¬ Holdings covering trad¬ persons subject to Section of the Securities Exchange Act, 17(a) of the Holding Company Act and Section 30(f) Section the In Investment Company addition, there is financial as when. to Securities the under new * registration proce¬ Act of and shorter form for registration of investment com¬ pany securities is about to be The Commission has study the use of other sim¬ plified forms for registration of securities in certain special situa¬ adopted. under tions; for example; extended availability of Form S-8, the short form now available for only cer¬ tain types of offerings to employ¬ ees; the adoption of an abbrevi¬ ated form of registration state¬ ment for institutional grade debt securities of issuers already filing reports with the Commission; the all in registration requirement for filing contracts. As the adoption of a corollary to more simple a form of registration statement, the Commission is studying reduction of its examining procedures respect to registration with for institutional statements ities and the secur¬ consequent shortening normal period. effect a grade debt This of 20-day waiting should have the making public offerings competitive with private In addition, work is done on the subject of a more placements. being consolidation of forms. 16 of or 1933. A • New Plant and Equipment It dure of on Secondary Distributions Working Capital of Corporations Summary changes., report of a Act. quarterly the United A controversial item, however, has to do with security holders' mind proposals. that in Keeping solicitation proxy management represents by an ex¬ penditure of corporate funds from a The Division of Corporate Reg¬ ulation—formerly the Division of Public Utilities — under its new Director, Robert A. McDowell, is making a study, the result of which we hope will be to elimi¬ nate some duplication of filing as between the the Public pany Securities Act and Utility Holding Com¬ Act. A study is under way substan¬ intervention curtailment of The Commission's that budget fact that the Courts able to take are anticipated limitations care litigants of themselves will cut down somewhat the num¬ ber of interventions. tions this on sarily My observa¬ subject are neces¬ general more and than bankruptcy is constitutionally Federal fair it to choke off the submission of curity all, holders' the proposals. submission of se¬ After such tions point I have should subject is makers of that also some defeat of overwhelming an the the addition, posals matters the that management need print in its proxy material and address felt that the only way that the philosophy of the Commission can be of change the the not sup¬ planted fraud ing which are action by is rule out screen Commission Acta is administered were period of 20 years. a rule, regulation, enacted by security screen with holders being ther plausible both. or cutting we the public among staff and It do or work some with So long as our Acts are based market tal markets, I alertness the for its statutory protection in¬ of NOTICES DIVIDEND DAYSTROM Incorporated* h lhahcihf most of capi¬ Dl cutting will be our The Directors of Daystrom, that high-level staff September 22,1953, on Incorporated declared a regular quarterly dividend of 25 cents per share, Moreover, it must be borne in mind /. vT\ICE inclined to think am payable November 16,1953, to holders of record October 27, 1953. mem¬ bers and the Commissioners them¬ ★ Operating Units ★ ' selves in must the that rule such participate AMERICAN actively TYPE DAYSTROM changing process participation tvorked in to and must DAYSTROM be DAYSTROM FOUNDERS ELECTRIC FURNITURE CORP. DIVISION INSTRUMENT DIVISION fairly tight sched- a DIVIDEND NOTICES COMBUSTION OTIS ENGINEERING, ELEVATOR INC. Dividend No. COMPANY 199 A quarterly dividend of seventy-five cents (75c) per share on all the outstanding stock of the Company has been declared payable October the 29, close 1953 to business of stockholders of record October 15, 1953. OTTO W. Common Dividend No. 185 at A dividend of $.50 per the STRAUSS and of given to use declared, payable H. R. Fardwell, Treasurer New York, it a a r Quarterly Dividend Notice Vanadium Corporation The Board of Directors has de¬ clared a per to a share of common stock share¬ Sec.-Treas, Lexington Avenue, New York 17 420 Dividend Notice At meeting of the Board of Directors a today, L. L. HAWK dividend a declared on record the 1953. at Checks capital stock 3:30 o'clock will of the Corpora¬ stockholders November be mailed. September 17,1953 B. Dated held of sixty cents per share was tion, payable November 17, 1953, to of en¬ grind¬ America of quarterly dividend of by privilege as axes. September 23, 1953. -Bryan, Ohio stockholders. their the close of business at Checks will be mailed. The AR0 EQUIPMENT CORP. closer seldom propose of been October 2, 1953. on The Commission does not propose choke corporate democracy. own on value Common Stock of record to use share par no Vice President and Treasurer 1, 1953. abuse capital not simple. The aim of are vigor and with sickle and pruning shears. 30^ professionals by those who corporation of the duties the close courage modern mechanics the Commission is to perform with scythe but, keeping in mind at stone for their on and frequently by it The the and axe holders of record does a the on of business October Neither of is course, prophesy, however, that such leg¬ that in be may been run of it to general That, preventing standards islation is not likely to be enacted. through the brush our way can behind reason payable October 15 the of has its staunch defenders ei¬ requiring inclusion of security holders' proposals in management's proxy material has few that enforcing question for the Congress. I would Almost every or policy a A The rule of by disclosure. to \ availed namely, fraud form and proposals somewhat a of phy which underlies the present Act, which administrative directives to mesh. involves, over has not proper subjects for is This reversal of the philoso¬ a October 24, 1953, to stockholders of the votes cast. consideration literature. course, has higher percentage will proposed. The staff will con¬ to what amounts to a implemented per¬ filing with some Fed¬ by statute should somewhat be "customers." In of the permits non-inclusion of proposals which within one year received tinue Commission's is the problems of on propo¬ present less than 3% staff the Commission the the to fairly close check handling- of specific quench the ardor of the publicityseeker). Another intended sugges¬ tion communicated to keep a (this of proposal a be can effectively delegated—eventually. However, for the time being it is vestors without adding unneces¬ eight years, 1933 to 1941. Its rules, regulations, forms sarily to the inherent complexity and policies have grown up over of capital formation. period a are The Commission intends to sug¬ gest of It may be function direc¬ I think it only fair to the pace may be some pro¬ which obviously not proper subjects for action by security holders. name latter majority furn¬ submission. In nent this to up that The Commission proposals, and a proposal by ishes justification to deny the use of corporate funds for repetitive cover by the staff. "the that ments. said indicate which in traveling. pro¬ to the proxy rules. recognized, of course, that personal publicity motivates the It pounded field which is disclosure, there will be forms, allocated to the rules, details, problems and argu¬ a Government. What tion dictated are by budgetary considerations by philosophy. After all, that deem the and and Commission not pass haps by a the eral agency of unexamined offer¬ on this subject will be on a for case basis, as it has been in case which management benefits by prospective election to office, the dos day to dispose quasi-judicial matters and to upon policy questions pro¬ of dis¬ by the complex character of the > Investment rules, happen statements of the Registrations shortly to circu¬ changes in the largely clarifying comment thereon, are at worst a compara¬ tively inexpensive burden con¬ sidering the size of the corpora¬ on the New York Exchanges ^ ma¬ posals and the tabulation of votes curtailment Odd-Lots speaking in terms present intention and that what I say is neither a representation no a ' warranty as to what will First the subject of organi¬ on am unexamined of intelligent recommendations. While pending proposals ' to our rules, regulations currently of It is proposed late for proxy ^ . backlog no any of gas and electrictiy has use vastly to part by the fact that without such in bound This view is, of course, in actuated the part not would one suffer cretionary Commission. prophesy should not tially from slow. of curity functions would gross sales may be as a bene¬ the Courts and the liti¬ years, gants or the its 15 trend dedicated the several hours each conclusion, let me make a competence. Now that the juris¬ passing reference to the sugges¬ prudence under Chapter X has tion made from time to time that been developed over a period of the Securities Act of 1933 be predecessor proposed a pro¬ gram to initiate staff work under my. Administration Courts the past, but it may be exam¬ protection from security hold¬ no elec¬ economic the upon ule of day to day work. The Com¬ mission must necessarily sit for fit of their experience and special policy and never • amount of paper which the Com¬ mission staff must you the own motion. press culate for required. As administering of The the Commission's on under cases this Section, it is the view of the abandon Chapter X intervention at the request of the Court and for discretionary inter¬ nerve Securities Dealers and, in the case of the members of national se¬ course, Commission Bankruptcy Act. The stat¬ itself provides for mandatory contemplated by Section 30. While an the under of the ute the opening of bids and in more gas with Sections Commission of the vention and Except for studies made connection other public of use com¬ operate . further wider to of proceedings at¬ is would handle, Public studies to determine the as in our directed ine and file. The proposal removes pri¬ or grams, may I allude briefly to the Commission's authority under so intervention can un¬ to which being wracking and expensive la^t min¬ underwriters. been of duplicative on Section field is orders This of some of marily for private benefit. While eliminate tention without post-effective Commission. would determining of the Com¬ statistical unnecessary, of addition use Commission Bureau view or mission's dealer inspection programs can be eliminated. the Goodwin thorough witha of for the by a re-offer of Commissioner make for the of compiled in the keeping track of day-to-day operations. whether the extent to which Some are course tional Association of State Securi¬ a statute. made are ties Administrators are by statistical programs and to consult understand this fact. gress required ment. of a method whereby the out: can Another at ute r None of these statistical reports them budgets, it can't be Commission and other departments of the Govern¬ examined pretty much the are Commission the under impression that brokers and deal¬ ers Trade the Unfortunately funds. general manufacturing cqrporations cooperatively by the published is Worked derwriters waiting States ker-dealer inspection program de¬ pends primarily on the availabil¬ be of case underwriters competitive bidding, September 22, O. p. m., BRAND, Secretary. 1953. 8, 56 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle :". (1268) Thursday;. October 1; 1953 . V* * BUSINESS BUZZ Business • • • & from the Nation'* . WASHINGTON, D. C. aside for Put — or fears, as be, that the Administration will give serious ■consideration to pouring out hundreds of millions of Federal least, the f hopes your may case ■cash to spur the supposedly "lagging housing construction in¬ hit the head¬ lines ' the other day when he warned the bankers to give .sober consideration to the ques¬ tion of whether private finance Cole really A1 doing its was job, now free proper that there is more or less a Finance Home and the Cole, Mr. as . Housing and Administrator the Administration ' Is keep to it, of sees level proper a going. level of1 housing is around 1 million housing mortgage money The proper -construction ■ construction housing This unofficial com- level is still an * mitment, which is not writ on Federal statutes like parity infor basic farm crops come under price support program, the farm in fact rigid Administration nevertheless, this goal is almost an ' commitment. - it if And ' not were AdCon¬ an ministration commitment, probably would make it Its own, for the handling and broadening of the more or less original mild Administration approach on housing legislation gress * at of Congress Congress re¬ last session the is construction total it up, makes it clear that prospect of have be to which drop sharp a far will catch the fever the housing in¬ Garage Has Needs clear 1954. the home building indus¬ it make —paper—10c. session of of shows up vance commitment chase) months later. (to Treasury mortgage money will frighten a the in the neighbofhood of $5 billion but won't, because of the debt limit, forc¬ building out lot of builders into staying the of problems building houses. bloom, the middle class borne terms optimistic are the on construction outlook total next year. This year, according to official forecasts, total construc¬ grandilo¬ tion will reach a new quent high of $34.6 billion. Most officials said are expect to total in 1954—barring any basic onfy about $1.5 billion less than this last of the 'months, the each in four reported showed latest an of 970,000 units, or annual rate pretty housing declining been has starts of rate the to the holy political near goal. Officials have not seen fit ment of the ■outlook so rooming of construction strong, and with industrial building ; goal of housing units becomes less sacred. long the Federal criminal severely, of is a Emanuel M. the of of Na¬ Home a antitrust appeared, the Justice Department junked the criminal a suit but went with on civil suit. the out and perhaps willing to make kind of British, ment is a settlement with oil Iran's again to barrels something of Abadan Iran some would the trusts. 400,000 large have become entirely the number the FHA way, builders doing it of used FHA to Under way. papa once is FHA the set-up, the builder of both financing and sure usually also of He- Contribution . — Arnaud : Human to C. &r Brothers, Marts New York City—Cloth—$3.' .*> Report of the Tin Research Institute: 1952—The:-Tin Research crude foreign a year of British, Since was can produce like 600,000 day. The following the with refine between 500,000 oil off, barrels of output of Iran other however, agreements oil companies with interests are Justice the cartel The suit has obviously Department hanging over frowned which foreign on cartels, is said to be urging the ditching of the civil cartel suit. The Justice Department, on the hand, is worried ment of the demagogues of the the over producers among which of of Business Research Administra; tion, Atlanta Division, University of Georgia, Atlanta 3, Ga.—cloth —$7.50. Standards We Mazur East N. — Raise, The—Pau Harper & 33rd Street, Y.—cloth—$2.50. Stock Brothers, 41 New .York Exchange - . ' Official Book 1953: Volume 16 , Year II, incorporat ing Stock Exchange Official Intel ligence and Stock Exchange Year Book—Thomas flect the "behind the scene" inter¬ pretation from the nation's Capital not coincide with the "Chronicle's" own Division — School much so the suit. and may or may Store since 1867—Henry Givem a abandon¬ Democrats could make politically over Ohio—Paper. Rich's of Atlanta: The Story of them. State Department, not Columbus 1, Baker (This column is intended to re¬ by just the kind of collective foreign prob¬ output. the producers, which settlement a can and shut tough time to sacrifice themselves for Iran, the to on per refinery, this crude a not going to sign any agreement with Institute, 492 West Sixth Avenue such agreement have American oil production come world market. Iran up Depart¬ State the worrying about the time when Without gov¬ ernment of Iran is straightened the ease selling her oil. However, now that some and to areas, at farct that the, A to curtail Kuwait, Saudiperhaps other Iran back into \ ' • agreement production reaching views.) Skinner & Co Gresham House, Old Broad Streei London, E. C. 2, England & Broadway, N. Price, 2 & New York 6, volumes complete Canada) ' $33. 11; Y (U. £ . sale, for with a the easy money FHA has been throwing to "low cost" housing it a TRADING MARKETS much trouble to hook wasn't buyer with the down payment National money. Builders used to FHA way to are doing it the change over to as Seneca reluctant as change are to another if they only government for For the are producing Carl Marks & Co. Inc. Storage. FOREIGN SECURITIES 50 BROAD STREET the won't have to get out of builders no maybe" will. some is SPECIALISTS warehouses NEW YORK 4, N. Y. HANOVER 2-0050 C.: TELETYPE NY 1-971 as prospect of building gov¬ ernment • of There to store "B" Coplay Cement Pfd. LERNER & CO. Investment Securities TELi but Co. Machine Victoria Gypsum time being the tobacco rut, Falls Riverside Cement tobacco crop even yet as lective launch of one duction for their So late Truman Administration was Harper firms, will be required by col¬ returning to 'horse and financing?" He means with term mortgages and second materials the vote-catching stratagems of the that buggy' growers controls, the is recalled It lenders after the removal of credit and t million cost something Association farmers total the to year 1.1 million units. With oil the foreign producers, including the foreign oil activities of U. S. other easy / Freedom ably can't be put into full pro¬ construction total the official forecast of around ; favored mort¬ President tion:. Its and a f! C' Philanthropy's-Role in Civiliza¬ British Iran calling for New York Wall Street, return of Persian the world market, then between Companies edition-r^Farr ' & 5, N, Y.—cloth—$2.00. settlement is to be reached Builders, to view with alarm prospect, "Are mortgage to expect that the housing seg¬ picture will fall short this pending De¬ partment of Justice civil suit against the "foreign oil cartels." govern¬ approves year. While upper former caused the a the a change in the business scenery —of into restricting has Admin¬ Eisenhower over If •>. the market. "low more closing down of Iran. Administration situation by for the facile.:u I'i A of Sugar. Manual • Co.;: 120 from acute internal pains are istration might Spiegel, By and large Administration within * Giving Pain Arabia, through having tional officials There suit, 1952r1953—^3Qth against the so-called cartels. Then, when the Eisenhower and upon and credit gage finally This , Is cartel a pooled together and have sup- suit housing, for years pitched - the break. On Construction Oil Antitrust Suit by J.- N. ' plied the oil that was subtracted world production by the salable demand. a to coming middle down of the ment both through more Optimistic Are excess hit over is market regulations the be¬ insured mortgage. Under they have to consider the un¬ certainties of selling and credit with / be would by the Institute, In¬ 'Princeton,; corporated, Vice-Presidents!" and tail-between-the-legs housing" along issue real lenders industry free our v: ing the of one ' debt use Symposium conducted Tax^ Institute—Tax cloth. needs money breaching Cf the business next year, when "S.. he's undetermined new limit, for the quarter beginning this month. The Treasury could the hitherto easy no production-supported housing in the some amount of its Fike the absence of the —it's pur¬ " ;; Furthermore, of the try—if not quite as much so— Cole is worrying for fear here he is—27th floor wonder I didn't recognize his name— "Pipsnortel?—Hmm-mm!—Oh, would lead to two, three, or four disbursement Actually Fi¬ Street Wall Week—Donald I, Limits of Taxable Capacity, The — program handily a Rogers—in the October 16th issue could be pumped out quickly, and that is by direct purchases. An ad¬ of $10 a which mortgage money short A of "Collier's" (on sale Oct. 2) 15c. disbursement of cash. There is only one way by must borrow Be on nancier mortgages Mortgage Association as 3273 Mich. 11, r. To How by the Federal Na¬ purchased Street,; Detroit . Detroit Company, a spe¬ Congress. Every worth Garage—Strand Products limit, which it must stay under that he is worrying about Mr. Door. Division, Steel Better Griffin dollar's Ideas:; How and Plans a problem. It is pushing the debt cial no — request. on Garage Then, too, the Treasury has a pain of paper — to Build tween they Education, Inc., Irvington- prices than last, incidentally. until January on E. for Eco¬ charge for single copies; quantity the "drying up of mortgage money," a greater volume of mortgage funds overall this year 1984—Arthur for on-Hudson, N. Y. become delirious about cally sacrosanct. carefully, nomic dustry daily and twice on Sun¬ it to operate on a smaller than average cash balance. read Education Bestor, Jr.—Foundation causes days to University 27, N. Y.—paper. definite more Columbia — Press, 2960 Broadway, New York will gards a nice round figure of not less than 1 million units of con¬ struction as something politi¬ If A1 Cole's remarks are lished is pretty hard to get some impor¬ tant people unduly excited at this moment about housing. The tional units per year. ... Columbia University Press FallWinter 1953-54—books to be pub¬ job, proper Bookshelf, are Treasury finance's Private X 1/ IX Administration and serve market. money • y /||| trying to hold business expan¬ sion within some bounds, and before they dustry. gJ y* JTjL I l/VI/ Capital couple of months, at a Man's A Behind-the-Srene Interpretation* 10 Post Offica Square, Boston 9, Mas*, Telephone T7~~ V~'~ t y^-r a— j Teletype HUbbard 2-1990 BS 69