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ESTABLISHED 1S39 Reg. U. S. Pat. Office Volume 169 New Number 4804 Mandate To i Price 30 York, N. Y., Thursday, May 19, 1949 a Copy Our Economic Position Exceptionally Strong Congress Poll conducted by "Chronicle" indicates widespread dissatisfaction with NASD, its policies and method of operation. Large majority of returns by both j NASD members and nonmembers oppose "5% i mark-up yardstick," inquisition by questionnaire Cents By HON. JOHN W. SNYDER* . , ■ . Secretary of the Treasury I Contrasting present with previous recessions, Treasury Secretary holds current situation is exceptionally strong due to: (1) absence of excessive speculation; and (2) gradual postwar adjustments to normal conditions. Says consumer buying is supported by high income and savings backlog and we are only at beginning of peacetime growth. Says credit and urges and field examinations, prohibition of discounts to 1 abolition. NASD Returns constitute mandate to Savings Banks is the first to be held in meeting here repeal Maloney Act. intensified savings bond drive. This annual conference of the National Association of Mutual Favor nonmembers, and the present trial system. i ; main objective should be to maintain confidence in national our are Washington since 1931. The 18 years that have elapsed since your last years in which broad and far-reaching social and economic changes have <£taken place For many years the COMMERCIAL CHRONICLE has sincerely believed that AND FINANCIAL EDITORIAL ; in our coun~ try. the National Asso¬ In 1931, the ' ciation of Securities Dealers has been a great deal less than economic out- look was a blessing to the securities industry. .It has likewise felt dark. And we that in consequence of the policies and methods of operation know nowFiscal Policy as Things Now Stand of the NASD, vital harm has been inflicted on other seg¬ that the natu¬ ments of the nation's economy. : Prominent in the latter Since Candidate Truman was visiting all the "whistle ral forces of category are the smaller business enterprises whose ability stops" of the country last summer and autumn, indeed since recovery were helpless to to raise capital via the securities markets is being adversely he submitted his budget and other annual messages early operate in the affected by the policies laid down by the NASD. this year, conditions have changed considerably. It is the en vironment We See It As ^ As might have been expected, the reaction to our policy was not uniform. Indeed, efforts were made in some quarters to propagate the belief that the great majority of those in the securities field were in opinion of probably a good majority of seasoned observers that these changes are destined to go a good deal further in the months ahead. It was inevitable that such develop¬ favor of the NASD and its method of conduct. v It . editorial ) part, we was reverse dowed with in the For our good reason to believe that the exact true. However, knowing we were not en¬ had infallibility, we decided to obtain the facts case. Accordingly, we made a decision to conduct a poll among both members- and nonmembers of the NASD in order to ascertain the true sentiments of the industry with respect to the so-called voluntary organization and its poli¬ cies and practices. To this end, one questionnaire was sent to all firms these latter not are except floor brokers and municipal bond dealers, having been excluded for the subject to the jurisdiction of the NASD. (Continued on page that they reason This ques- 42) See page 17 for pictures taken Southern Pacific ments these raise many questions about equally inevitable that regarding fiscal policy. diverse opinions as to at least push themselves to as was what ought to be done arise, or the forefront of current discussion. which ate d at Annual Meeting of Texas IBA good thing if the (Continued on powers page r e- by the Jobi W. Snyder specul ative the boom recall to rate of neriod. It is startling today that the interest call money went as on " that be would face this issue of the relationship between public spend¬ ing, taxation and enlarged borrowing, on the one hand, and the general state of business on the other, and come to a definite and sensible conclusion. Indeed, it will be a* very bad thing if no such action is taken. At the mo¬ ment, two opposing "lines" are developing among the politicians. One is to the effect that public spending must be reduced, economies effected, and governmental activities at least temporarily narrowed in scope in order to permit reduction in taxes without enlarging the pub¬ lic debt. The opposing theory of fiscal policy holds that at times such as these, public spending certainly must not be reduced, ought, as a matter of fact to be ina c excesses in 20% as It would be had been the stock high in market 1929; and that brokers' loans dur¬ ing that year reached over the 8i/2 billion a figure of dollars. Today, comparable figure is less than Vz billion dollars. Even continued on page *An address by more in- 32) Secretary Sny¬ der before the Annual Conference of National the Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Washing¬ ton, D. C., May 12, 1949. 28 stot© chld Group. Company ' ■ 2%% V * , ' ri r. • Equipment . Trust Due April 1, 1957-63 Prices from to A Mutual Fund yield 2.30% to 2.60% Municipal Canada across Funds,we. ..... Bonds Monthly Commercial Letter upon request COMMON STOCK FUND (Accrued dividends to be added) f 540 Branches Franklin Custodian Certificates, Series AA PREFERRED STOCK FUND THE Bond Department CANADIAN BANK THE CHASE OF COMMERCE NATIONAL BANK BOND FUND White,Weld&Co. Members New York Stock Exchange Prospectus * 40 Wall Street, New Boston Chicago Amsterdam London ® Philadelphia THE NATIONAL CITY BANK UTILITIES FUND t INCOME (BALANCED) FUND on OF NEW YORK request York 5 Providence FRANKLIN DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. 64 Wall Montevideo Bond Street, New York 5 Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708 Head Office: Toronto OF THE CITY OF NEW YORK Exchange PI. New York Agency: 20 NATIONAL BANK PACIFIC of INDIA, LIMITED Bankers to the Kenya Colony and Uganda Head Branches Office: Underwriters Bishopsgate, London, E. C. in 26, Distributors of India. Burma, Ceylon, Kenya Colony, Kericho, Kenya, and Aden and Zanzibar Subscribed Capital Paid-Up Reserve The ». Capital Fund- Trusteeships and Executorships 'i Corporate Securities £2,500,000 also undertaken Established 1899 DejjnWitter Cincinnati Chicago Columbus Francisco Analysis Co., & Honolulu San Francisco Denver Stock Toledo Buffalo - Dominion Securities Stock Exchange upon request (oRPORATIOTi Stock Exchange * BA 7-4300 Los Angeles Direct Wires T . Members New York Stock 111 WOrth 40 Exchange Place, New York 5»N.Y. 1 '3 M * ■ > . ! ' Exchange Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 4-6000 Boston Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 V Private Wire to: Honolulu Seattle IRA HAUPT & CO. and other Principal Exchange 14 WALL ST., NEW YORK CLEVELAND New York San Los Angeles (Incorporated) of Public Service Co. SECURITIES Municipal England and OTIS & CO. £2,000,000 conducts every description banking and exchange business bonds & stocks and Members New York Stock Exchange £4,000,000 Bank • ' ... New CANADIAN COAST Government in ,Bell SysleniTeletype NY 1-702-3 Hendricks & Eastwood, Inc., Phila. 2 The Kentucky Utilities Co. i ■ Central Public 1948 report \ . , By SUMNER H. SLICHTER* ' ; V'V'Y;'' / ' Points out debts despite recessions, our economy is in strong position. 1949 Alabama & V Professor; Harvard University Lamont University Dr. Slichter maintains that Analysis and Comment on : y v Utility 5V2/52* * Readjustment roi ; Business "_ , Thursday, May 19, FINANCIAL. CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (2158) Louisiana Securities are spending is not excessive in relation to cash and demand deposits, and , accumulated demand for housing. Favors industry lowering prices by sacrificing profit ; low in relation to income and available. < there is still BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED an margins in order to maintain employment and contends wage increases under present ! not be effective in sustaining consumer demand. conditions will Bought-^Sedd^Qaoted. 7 New York Hanseatic, Corporation number of Teletype NY 1-583 BArclay 7-S660 down are by <$>- ing since Oc¬ tober. Person¬ on huge accumulated The c e backlog of demand which during the war. A second is the increase in supply, partly of many raw materials and to partly of fabricated goods which had been limiting output. A third 1948. personal incomes spent is f Brokers, Institutions holdings consumer o r o o frjC PONNELL & Co. Members New Tel. REctor 2-7815 TRADING MARKETS IN were of period slightly STOCKS the below • Priced Industrials Stocks STOCKS Removed from the about Members Nat'l Ass'n of Securities Dealers, 27 William St., N. Y. C. Inc. 5, N. Y. Montgomery St., Jersey City 2, N. J. 1 Tel. DIgby Tele.: NY 1-1055 4-2190 9.5% of last year, starts in the first three months were down to period responding and 300 housing new in comparison with 177,same period last year. 158,000 STEIN & COMPANY three first were New York Exchanges Contract awards in months of 1949 below the cor¬ below. 11% the INACTIVE in Until the the number of em¬ ployees holding jobs has been slightly higher than last year, but average hours worked per week has been less. In April employ¬ ment for the first time since the April end of the war was Air American Filter Co. the same slightly below month of the preceding year. Common major questions on every¬ are: (1) How severe readjustment likely to be? (2) How long is it likely to last? Corp. is the Kentucky Stone Co. Preferred 5% THE BANKERS BOND CO. Incorporated 1st Floor, Kentucky Home Life Bldg. 2, KENTUCKY LOUISVILLE Long Distance 238-9 Bell Tele. LS 186 Miimiiiiiiiimimimiiiiiiiiiiiiiimun condition of the economy. are, I think, fairly clear. It jmay like a truism to say that sound American Furniture Co. Moore-Handley Hdwe. Co. Dan River Mills —★— Scott, Horner & Mason, Inc. Lynchburg, Va. LD 33 Tele. LY 83 llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllh Southern of true was also hundreds durable and we and houses was cars of true durable which dwelling less rapidly families. What than the number of of semi*goods for do not have reliable sta¬ enterprises,, as accumulated tistics. Business well individuals, as big backlog of demand. Indeed, wartime restrictions even pre¬ a vented the starting of new busi¬ concerns ness in drop during that there was a so the business population the war followed by a 1947. rapid rise in 1946 and goods became available, buy¬ bid - eagerly for them. The As ers demand eager for mani¬ goods fested itself througout most did the readjustment is to due a changed relationship between sup¬ demand, because such a change is the explanation of every readjustment. It is useful, how¬ ever, to examine just what has brought about the changed rela¬ ply and tionship supply and de¬ There are three principal mand. address *An Slichter tional between before Professor by Federation, Millers' Na¬ Chicago, the that of 1945 the war with Japan end until August. In not year sumer goods increase readjustment The causes of the Trading Markets increased also of number The - units index industrial of tion,-. for example,'rose from 1946 in 187 to to 1947 111., outlay in consumer was Between cant 1947 and 1948 a change occurred began to outrun consumer goods. — signifi¬ incomes expenditures on Between these expenditures went cents for every gain in incomes after taxes. years consumer up only dollar by 68 A second reason May 11, 1949. for only $1.47 for every dollar rise in incomes after taxes —indicating some drop in the urg¬ ency of demand. Between 1946 and 1947 the urgency in demand continued to drop with the result that expenditures for consumer goods increased $1.21 for every dollar rise in incomes after taxes. goods STATE AND MUNICIPAL units started rose from 896 to 1947 and 928,was also a 853,500 in in 1948.- There considerably better balance in production, with large increases in items., The in<iex, of iron and steel production, for example, was over 38% great¬ er'in 1948 than in 1946, and in some the first of months two fan more than 13% above 1949 \" i was ply of goods has been aided dur¬ ing the last year by a drop in mer¬ chandise exports and a rise in merchandise net imports, which was $9.6 billion in 1947, dropped to $5.5 billion in 1948. J Finally, the change in demand of excess holdings to three but the years Index of cash consumer ing NEW CHICAGO The smaller purchas¬ of cash and bank de¬ the less inclined individ¬ are to reduce obtain them in order YORK 4, N. Y. PITTSBURGH DETROIT HEAD OFFICE—Edinburgh Branches throughout Scotland LONDON OFFICES: 3 Bishopsgatc, E. C. 2 8 West 49 Smithfield, E. C. 1 Charing Cross, S. W. 1 Burlington Gardens, W. 1 64 New Bond Street, goods. time, the more some - Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727 changing relationship between demand and supply simply caused prices to rise at a decreasing rate. As a matter of fact, there was only a 1.8% rise in the index of whole¬ sale prices between January and For ■ Royal Bank of Scotland 23%, power uals Inc. Trade GENEVA, SWITZERLAND personal holdings of cash and denosits have risen only posits, to < Y. Cotton Exchange Bldg. bank about 12%. of And other Exchanges -.•» price about advanced has and During the last demand deposits. Exchange Exchange, New Orleans Cotton Exchange N. ; Exchange Board Chicago - over jand supply relationships has been brought about by the rise in prices relative Curb Cotton York Commodity • •. Exchange York New v. Stock The imports. exports members York New it The sup¬ almost 23% above 1946. V:' New the cor¬ 1948 in metals non-ferrous 1856' H. Hentz & Co. responding months of 1948. Like¬ wise the index of production of Consequently the index of all prices began to decline. :i As price declines spread and became more general, there oc¬ curred a very important change in business conditions. Buying in W. 1 TOTAL ASSETS £ 155,175,898 Associated Banks: Glyn Mills & Co. Williams Deacon's Bank, Ltd. Whether It's Hot rising. of anticipation ceased and some ers began fall. The higher prices prospective buy¬ wait for prices to voluntary accumulation to of inventories ceased and new or¬ ders dropped. months after In less than three the decline in the general price level started, indus¬ Or Gold Be to sure Reporter's umn every "Chronicle" those new read "Our col¬ Report" week in the see how issues are to going. production began slowly to Furthermore, there soon a drop in new contract trial drop. set in (Continued on page 34) Firm Trading Market: Over-the-Counter LOCAL STOCKS COMPANY Quotation Services for 36 Years Common Properties Tlie Robinson-Humphrey Company National Quotation Bureau zippin & company Specialists in Foreign (Established 1892) Established 1894 Established very scarce CORPORATE BONDS Teletype SPBG 17 branch offices our 776,200 in 1946 AND SPARTANBURG, S. C. Mobile, Ala. Direct wires to in Textile Securities L. D. SI NY Maai HAnover 2-0700 New Orleans, La. - Birmingham, Ala. dwelling FRESNILLO A. M. LAW & COMPANY St., New York 4, N. Y. 170 192 non-farm New. ,r for the changed BONDS York Stock Exchange Members New 25 Broad produc¬ expenditures for con¬ were $11.3 bilHon more than in the year before, al¬ personal incomes after (3)What can be done by business though and government to limit the se¬ taxes were only $4.7 billion more In other verity of the readjustment? My than a year before. July, 1948. Eventually the chang¬ remarks will deal with these words, for every dollar gain in ing .relationship between supply three questions. incomes after taxes,, individuals and demand, however, brought increased their expenditures for about a slow decline in prices. II consumer goods by $2.62. In the Some prices began dropping early As a foundation for answering next year, between 1945 and 1946, in 1948. By August and Septem¬ these questions one needs to an¬ expenditures for consumer goods ber the number of prices which alyze (1) the causes for the read¬ again increased faster than in¬ were falling was large enough to This time, however, the justment and (2) the fundamental comes. offset the prices which were still minds one's Common 22%. —although The Black Star Coal meantime the number of families had increased the In Harbor. the orders for non-durable Low the at example, was time, >of Pearl sales first by about 2.5 million and the aver-, New orders age real income per f capita"{by retail 1948, period in 1948, and new goods, were same than less the correspond¬ automobiles of in the country, for quarter of last year. for durable goods in the first two months of 1949 were 4.7% below STOCKS OIL Prof. S. H. Slichter number the 1945 months were accumulation of demand By the end of huge during the war. first 1949 of a about 4.7% above ing MINING p e r- the to Everyone knows thai there-was incomes three NEW YORK 5 BROADWAY, 120 Exchange Curb sonal in Stock Exchange York though relative prices of cash and bank de¬ Let us examine briefly these three reasons. al¬ example, in rise the posits. d sis dropping. For g Bought—Sold—Quoted York s' been have of Trading Market for been the increase in particularly since 1946. supply has the proportion RIGHTS New up supply, o m e nc falling sin y8 % due 1959 Net catching urgent parts of the more relationship between demand and December ancl Amer. Tel. & Tel. Banks, the the is One reasons. al i Steiner,Rouse&Co, Industrial production 9% and the consumer price index by nearly 3%; over has been fall- 3 '■"< '• -r:i I ; .. going through a readjustment. This is made plain by a steadily increasing facts. Prices have been falling since last August and September. Wholesale prices Business is York 5 120 Broadway, New -//i;:.-? v' RHODES-HAVERTY BLDG. Teletype AT 288,^ 208 South La Salle ATLANTA 1, GEORGIA Long Distance 421 Tele. RAndoIph 6-4696 Incorporated Established Securities St., Chicago 4 Tel. CG 451 46 Front Street CHICAGO 1913 Hew York 4, N.Y. BAN FRANCISCO 'Volume 169 THE " COMMERCIAL Number 4804 INDEX r , Our Economic —Hon. Page' Position John Exceptionally. Strong Snyder W. Cover j The Readjustment of-Business—Sumner II. Slichter . Selling Investment Company Shares—William C. Cusack.... 4 The Great 4 Stock Market Divergence of 1949—A. J. Messing Certain Aspects . How of the Bond Market—George J. Lettess Revive the Stock Market— William Gum pel to During the past several weeks the Broadening the Utility Equity Market—A. F. Tegen 8, 9 j Market Stagnation—Edrnond M. Hanrahan Legislative Program of the SEC—Louis Loss. 12;* *. Boosting Federal Expenditures Now and Later—Sen. Harry F. Byrd 13 Broken Government 18 Let Railroads Be Bank Capital—Not Joseph Stugg Lawrence — Socialism—The Inflation and Heimann De-Regulated!—Robert B. McColl Adequate American , 19 [ the 21 j Pattern—Emerson P. Postwar Profits—W illiam J. Schmidt.... final . At 25! Kelly •- « ;• •;; • •['/;/. .• General Comments No .7 7 ' •: , ' * .. (Editorial) by Dealers Anent NASD............ A Breath of a time not Fresh to Air 1.4 ,.... Meeting of Texas IBA Group Szymezak Opposes Move Comments Action of the does business. elected Payment 22 Allan Sproul Backs Thomas Panama Interest Coupons of 194-3 Instalment Credit Graham Opposes Bill Authority Bonds Housing Camille Gutt Controls Authorizing Banks Abroad..;.. permit LRegular Features As We [Bank See and .Insurance Business "... : (Editorial! It *. Stocks 25 reasons Coming Events in the Investment ; Dealer-Broker—Investment Field...., •; Id. r-. Recommendations• 18 K Einzig—'"Britain's Stake in U. S. Deflation'" Mutual of Business pay a routine examinations. possibility of two examinations 7 Funds Activity. business from 16 , Established 1899 Bell ever heard. It is just, Notes News About Banks "and Bankers. %pbservalions—.'l.; Wilfred Our Reporter's Report.... Our Reporter on i LAMB0RN & CO., Inc. WALL 99 W;hy doing an SUGAR should' we ai year be subjected to the by two different bureaus? ' . awfully good job and dealers we owe \ - you Raw—Refined—Liquid Exports—Imports—Futures a Prospective Security DIgby 4-2727 < the NASD and the 5% mark-up fule. ' s; * 47 BOSTON, MASS. Governments.. ....-'20 Offerings.-. . 7 I resent the pontifical attitude of NASD in general, particularly^ in the method by which the 5% rule was crammed down will say, we .r,.45 * STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. campaign against the NASD and 5% mark-up rule is not in best interests of the security btiyer. Please remove our name from your mailing list for further propaganda in your efforts to abolish 5 . City 1 Your 24 May... SU 464 Salt Lake vote of thanks.* i 10 ...;.. Teletype 160 S. Main St. BOSTON, MASS. NSTA request 8c COMPANY Sad, isn't it?* BOSTON, MASS. You're 40 | - upon ■ my ' Indications Amalgamated Sugar dues paid to the NASD are nothing more or less than a fee, the same as we pay: the state.- Why should we have to license fee to the NASD? Regarding examination, the SEC makes 27.1 From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bergeron Specializing in Our license 8 ' DIgby 4-2370 6 Teletype NY 1-1942 BOSTON, MASS. 46 '. "Broadway, N. Y. Edward l. burton co.uid be prejudicially condemned-before he is plain wrong.* • ; f 9 ;• SIEGEL & CO. 39 Analysis I CV/j. Securities our prefer to exercise your option to remain anonymous. The basic principle of judicial procedure is impartiality. It is impossible to have this prevail in. any industry where competitors sit in judgment of each other. Ijt is just contrary.to human nature.. The real danger in a situation of this type would be wherein a broker 15 •. Corp. while With respect to the former, BOSTON, MASS. "'7 . Lithium signatures, signed, because of necessity of protecting : .Cqver c. their possibilities of government retaliation for views held; 25 • Man's. Bookshelf...... Canadian affix to or the dealers in this In my opinion there is no reason at all for its being. For obvious ;: to BOSTON, MASS. Not Approves Limited Sale of South African Gold..".... referred slightest benefit to the security business 24 i . comments BALTIMORE, MD. Local Sell to Puget Sound Pr. & Lt. •The only reason we belong to NASD is that we are a small firm and it is a must. In our opinion it is a "Union" that is worse than 1he CIO.* ; 23 ' Investment reproduce the text Southern Production matter of fairness not to reveal their 22 Final Outlines Basis for Capital us? BALTIMORE, MD. 20 Chairman Thomas B. McCabe Urges Broader Federal Reserve Powers August Maffry on Obsolete Securities Dept. In all the years the NASD has been in existence I do not recollect single act of this so-called voluntary organization that has been 21 on But, statement. 20 Establish Free Gold Market to and the present we 17 (Boxed)... Reserve Amends Margin Rules—SEC on ballots identity obtaining specific permission do so. Where*the comment was made anonymously., this indicated by the symbol (*) appearing at the end of the 9 a Federal the replied anonymously. consider it as 3 - Seasoned Stocks Best Purchase, Says Edwin J. Schlesinger Annual stock. Why not dump it you! regard mention should be made of the fact firms we is at that Petroleum Ht. & Pr. point In this some.; others • ....Cover .' Depression in the Offing, Says W. W. Townsend Pictures Taken of # Congress to tabulation this above. 27 : ' Mandate when thought you ch the heartache it has caused of the ballot itself. that i bought to the editorial on the cover page of today's CHRONICLE bearing the caption "Mandate to Congress." Therein we not only analyze in detail the results of the poll but also present Serious Problem a what you operation. These statements dealt with the impact of the 99 WALL STREET, NEW YORK "5% mark-up" philosophy on the market for securities of Telephone: WHitehall 4-6551 small business enterprises. Starting with this issue we are reproducing remarks made by dealers concerning other phases of the NASD set-up. L \ ACTIVE MARKETS 7 In connection with the subject, we would call attention 11 the industry regarding the National As¬ policies and methods of Stimulating the Securities Markets—Francis Adams Trusloiv.. II. of the securities was sociation of Securities Dealers and its 7 ' Promises—Henry TO HAVE AND TO HOLD poll conducted by the CHRONICLE to ascertain the atti¬ tude 6 ( The Business Outlook and Bank Investments—Marcus l\adler The SEC and the Equity AND COMPANY have published hun¬ we 3 llCHTEIlSTEIII B. & dreds of comments received from dealers in connection with 6' \ : (2159) Expressions reveal marked discontent with respect to over-all policies of Maloney association A 2 ' CHRONICLE Comments by Dealers Anent NASD • i FINANCIAL General 777 Articles and News & the throats Public Utility Railroad Securities. Securities Securities State in 46 /.... Industry, 'What to 44 • if there anything? .iv... . I -43 FINANCIAL • . t - Drapers' Gardens, London, Edwards & Smith. and, COMMERCIAL The and Reg. U. S. Patent Office WILLIAM B. DANA Park - v.> - ary Place, New York 8, N. Y. VO to 9576 WILLIAM WILLIAM SEIBERT, .Vj . ; ' " • .. * Commented Anonymously. '• ? Other Chicago Offices: 3. 111. ' In < United Territories Union Canada, Other of 135 S. (Telephone: ; La Salle 8tate and $35.00 We Members $25.00 year: Note—On Quotation year." year> St., —* of the ' made in New interested in offerings of *•. York Monthlj, fluctuations "■*"*' ' v telling , -l ,J* - ' - your story to bank¬ cials, professional and institutional security buyers — and individual investors. You reach all kinds of investors Times. Spencer Members 25 ' New York Stock Exchange Broad Street, New V - HAnover 2-4300 in remittances for for¬ funds reach all? ing executives, corporation offi¬ „ r in - eign subscriptions and advertisements must be you can in The New York year. (Foreign postage extra.)' account when . PREFERRED STOCKS Record—Monthly,1 Record the rate of exchange, 0613); ; rely Members New (Foreign ^postage extra.) Earnings ONE 36) High Grade Public Utility and Industrial Other Publications and per Monthly $25.00 per are of per WHY MISS means S. per ' on page New tT. $38.00 I (Continued r 'States, • Covering the financial market "March1 Countries, $42.00 per^year. -v Bank etc.). ; at of / t ( Possessions, v city news, Act Subscription! Rates' . Evwy Thursday (general news and ad¬ vertising issue) and tevery Monday, (complete "Btatisticai issue — market quotation records, corporation news, bank clearings, and the business • •' :: r- •tate under office amount BOSTON, MASS. much matter Febru¬ post don't Eng- 8, 1879. Thursday, May 19, 1949 J the Dominion President BIGGS, Business Manager i V „ at Pan-American DANA D. 1942, N. Y., Subscriptions KERBERT D. SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher second-class as 25, York, '[ r C., .. COMPANY, Publishers REctor-2-9570 - E. c/o ,v;:Copyright 1949 by William B.'Dana Company '.I < CHRONICLE Reentered •■•A 25 Weekly decent way; a I also resent their attitude of infallibility.* t Twice that < 77 Published violations prkfor to have thejover^the-counter security self-regulaled rather than herrrfthe government do it. \ : 38 v occasional technical are 7*^7;:; pf 5 (Wtdter Whyte Says).....; Washington and You... ; 19 let decent members alone to conduct their business in and Market of the members withdut as much as a by your leave. I particularly resent their right (asfeumed or otherwise) to snoop with¬ out cause. If there is a complaint—yes—otherwise why don't they 22 Corner!............ Registration...............;..... of Trade Tomorrow's 7. .V. i. Salesman's Securities -Now 'Tlie V..'. • Albany - Chicago - York 4; ' " ! Glens Falls Hubbard 2-8200 1 " ~ . . the newspaper they upon. York Curb Exchange 50 Congress Street, Boston 8 Teletype—NY -1-5 . " '.. • / Schenectady w ? ' Worcester Sljr iNrto fork Simcjs "All the News That's Fit to Print" ■ COMMERCIAL THE (2160) 4 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, May 19, 1949 Stock Market By WILLIAM C. » , CUSACK* Keystone Custodian Funds T ; ^ i Divergence of 1949 * Cusack, setting down as fundamental principles for salesman: (1) knowing his subject; (2) hav- i ing confidence in it; (3) knowing when to go; and (4) knowing what to say when he gets there, places j emphasis on cont.nuous and uninterrupted services to clients. Cites example of life insurance companies in stressing service idea, and advocates salesman working out investment programs for customers. Urges I v salesman not to neglect existing accounts in eager search for new ones. V i By A. J. MESSING Mr. * * r it.is selling fundamental into play. One of them—and the first one—is that a My interest is in the field of the investment company, and whether investment company shares or selling securities of any type, there are certain principles of salesmanship that come man m u tS>- s business, how the idea Belgium about 1815, and through Europe, taking deep root in both England and Scotland, later spreading to the United States in about 1890—the know his sub¬ h Social of these principles be¬ fore, but I am going to re¬ peat about ten bx tnem.) Sec.ona, he must iirst Reference ... Security ; Now; I think the suggestion I to make, and this is one of first, sales-wise, with ref¬ to erence one the -. younger • growth in the 1920 era, growth of die management investment trust, die so-called fixed trust; and then die had reaction, of go, Act, and the development of the class theory of securities as in the Keystone setup; and then a convic¬ to fourth, he gets And, v.hen of the '30s when we and the inauguration the SEC, the 1933 Act and the period in later there he must lation say. equally hard to retain them. And point, he must have ability to place himself in the person's position, so as to vestors that securities. Today, where there is legislation in certain Legislatures making in¬ vestment trust shares legal invest¬ ments for savings banks; making investment trust shares legal in¬ vestments for trustees; and an¬ other State making investment trust shares legal investments for lem. : pany v .. And then there is something ielse sales-wise, that I always bring info play, and that is this: a man not must only know the words, but he must know the music that .goes along with them. That comes ifrom trial and error. That comes, , j 'planning. He must there stop in his efforts to obtain those objec¬ tives. I am going to take a little never this as such an extent that special examinations for want to participate in points that sales- Now I have just two poetic license with the poet who talking about the heights of great-men, and I am just going wise, was like would I and for one bring out the younger men older men, and the for one to use ries the Were j not attained by Companies flight, But they, while their companions slept, ,? • j Toiled ;y/ y-y yy:yy.y,-.. , A few weeks , the shores-"of in there ago came America he talked about the lesson a of the in his of course talk to the Connecticut Mutual Insurance Company and I noticed the word here "service" technological are Boston repeated in there again dozen times. 7 and 28, to 12.) The 5 May the great was - here, and he said it interesting to him to observe that ; the Great leader Britain formerly industrial in was develop¬ ment, but that today Great Britain is second and leader. America is the the at est contain all of the respective lectures;Inquiries in that re¬ should be addressed to Douglas Bellemore; Chairman, Economics and Fir H. Department, Boston University, Boston, Massachuf nance ♦ ill If our a speaker shores (group were today of security security salesmen, to and talk to investors and to come if he a and re¬ years the in or more they sold; peo¬ in and buy it. true in securities as it selling of insurance. presentation, also, in their do what Then of most know us who man England was little financial worry and uses in¬ is !But we won't but we take too gained a tremendous' know-how on how to sell and how to use vestment company shares. in¬ You may" know the historical background of the investment :of *A lecture by Mr. .Cusack, one two, the 12th of a series in a pn Investment Salesman- course ship, sponsored by Boston Univer¬ sity and the Boston Investment ; |Club, Boston, Mass., to educate picture of the with And his . child, who has man a reference to that point, you may have seen an ad the paper the other day about in Socrates. paper; It in was a commercial I wasn't reading anything "Socrates or historical. took a walk It into said: thousands place, and on his return he found so many things he didn't want." If there is one thing in America that the ica as ^ people of Amer¬ want, and where you and I security salesmen have an op¬ ^ the present time group as Some cynics or definitely do have have cannot a will argue that you bull market in a period of business recession. The entire history of the stock market disproves that theory. And to might add: Except for the short bull market in 1948,' why them I the huge increases were in profits 1948 and 1947 in dividends and translated into much higher never stock prices earnings? don't Gap," we "Island Reversal an we are pers , at the time of rising ' ', ,' ■ Black to Succeed some¬ thing else which, in my opinion, just as dynamic, in last year's 30-point rise, the divergence between time, as namely, industrial the McCloy prove I ages. and the rail ready to am now Top as aver¬ The Executive Directors express the definite opinion that the lows of the year struction have been made, be¬ opinion, the diver¬ for Bank International of The Recon¬ Development and on . to my out spell social is men secur¬ worry. can meet salesman of major reversal a ' of the trend. . , Frankly, I don't know whether advance Will Earlier months. start tomorrow, month this in three or I year ex¬ pressed the opinion that the mar¬ ket would do nothing for several months while Congress decided such matters .as taxes, labor, anti-inflation, etc. I think that we already know just about where we stand on those matters.. And, upon in my opinion, those matters mean and build a . Eugene a him that financial you rendering part of are And service. means that will be vpry glad to explain operation of Social Se¬ you to him the curity the and information in order that to collect, namely; the proof of birth, the proof of death, the marriage cer¬ necessary tificate. talk And then you go on and about the Social Security number, and from there talk about financial planning. And as mation, of in you convey this infor¬ will find that you many blockade or are of. the Berlin part of our cold war with Rus¬ In saying that I do not know sia. this advance will start, I am perhaps acting some¬ what prematurely. As yet no up¬ when exeictly has trend established. been But between-the' two averages is, in. my opinion,, of sufficient importance and has lasted long enough by far to war¬ rant the presumption that the the the of witnessed. decline have witnessing such as thatr important -reversals As so been It is out of divergences we are now occur. frequently mentioned in the past, the rails broke their Novem¬ ber lows as far back as February; the up industrials have not to this time; done so and with every less day that passes are less and likely to do so. And thus, a di¬ vergence in the averages has been created at a point sufficiently low to generate an important bull phase from these levels. people who participate Social Security have a few Favored Groups government bonds, have some in¬ count. same and All people have this is may a savings sound. ac¬ These be interested in At early stage it is difficult to predict groups ex¬ the of The of in what I International Chairman Black on page 35) be the coming believe bull will Bank and Di¬ elected Eugene R. President of the bank and of the Executive Di¬ Chairman rectors. Mr. . resignation and Black's assumption of duties Mr. will take July his 1, utive effect duties continue to as act of The Mr. as will Black Executive Di¬ International Bank for the United States. he has tendered his Senior than later he assumes President and the Board of Exec¬ of Directors, rector not Until 1949. new Chairman a /•' ' .... McCloy's Meanwhile, resignation Vice-President as the of Chase National Bank, effective on before July or President on been of 1. Truman May 18 that Mr. announced McCloy had appointed Military Governor the U. S. occupation replacing zone in retired Gen. Luicius D. Clay. Mr. McCloy will facilitate transfer of control of the zone from the Army to the 7 (Continued . Executive the of ,and rectors which will have the best advances J .V 18 Germany, this tremely " .V accepted the resignation John J. McCloy as President May divergence lows John J. McCloy Black . . these surance, R. lift¬ to the market than the more . the market portunity to service them, it is in April 20, 1949. the field of financial security, and the as It clientele by going to see each man who is in this Social Security and is to relieve him. classical r y ^ like surance much in the industry, will say that America has us You in? ing, the picture of the America .Credit, those of thing he is one that financial service the first but that today the lead. , they do, they paint pictures; the picture of the man who is retir¬ ferred to the investment company, he might say that at one time possibly in And what is tell would but a interested as 1948, in the industrial averages has.not been closed.) March, ing ity, freedom from financial come other other similar incidents which . ple just don't That is Shares i 100 theory signal given by May, 1948, and conclusions, all of transpired. (The gap of few the potential inter¬ for copies of a brochure to that insurance must be -; Investment Company of Dow next week, next ^ is M end market ment Club is anxious to learn lems, not what you are trying to sell, but his problem. about bull Invest¬ Boston 125,000 service transactions. And, second, they drew the conclusion talked aver¬ substantially. again, and between the averages has sufficiently long duration setts.—Editor. 1 fcchievements just below the at the time would not be closed "perhaps for years," that a ages as And in analyzing their report, I'found two things: One, that in the calendar year of 1948 they had and he scientific 1948," advance been of Institute Technology, of gence issues of Mar. 3 to 31; our development of the Massachusetts of that the gap Reversal in about a Island lectures appeared on page 4, Dr. from report a "Great in ice." obtained was under cause, gard I unduly depressed. This has not formed any base yet; but the probabilities are that the lows have been witnessed. 1948, the rise (Previous made reference to the word "serv¬ :;•? Winston was selling Danser yyy --yy1. Churchill, and when he the take can we securities from the insurance companies. Harold through ! the night." • , upward think I just as way, I wrote a market letter pre¬ dicting that the formation just preceding would be known as the the maximum Lessons From Insurance Selling sudden se¬ transcripts of being published in CHRONICLE. and •"Heights of salesmen reached and kept an the in and Investment Club April use give we lecture University, them. can Messing J. getting have Investment Salesman¬ on older men, opinion, Arthur At ship, sponsored by the Boston both younger men and the word "salesmen": And, finally, 1 think that the cop¬ 29, . could in my to page additional which career. a this On who one Under One Cover? • to are those the Do You Want Articles portant contribution of the invest¬ ment company to the financial picture and they are going to get, and should their little man, who is buying man greatest enjoying 30-point were which Exchange has recognized the im¬ 'points and also knowing the weak points'of the subject, he is going to miss part of successful sales about the the show probably percentage appreciation. The oils have probably had all the reaction rise. On March a today the New York Stock And Now, unless a man takes into •play all these things, plus one or itwo more, knowing the strong . companies. insurance what to do with ref¬ Security. We on from present will the industrials accu¬ aircraft The areas. I are, to enjoy important ad¬ levels. I think rails, if judiciously chosen, position vances 48 to deflated and* important manufacturing stocks should be in that the would be . ;too, from experience. mulation about specific sug¬ a securities who partici¬ pates in Social Security. A spe¬ cific sales suggestion that I would offer to the younger men is this: Meet the prospect, the working man, on common ground; go to see him about one of his probthe dollars' worth of investment com¬ understand the other man's prob¬ offer to talked today about two billion own ad¬ airlines; amuse¬ liquor ..issues : are thoroughly believe,'• in from about 65 while - to this Social erence that other ? gestion pany another want have formula plan, obtain accounts, but he must work j average and when they get there they know what to say, and the I Com¬ Investment the rail the and ments vanced going is rough. Federal regu¬ with 1940 and The rise. don't Act, and the development in period, too, of the so-called until today we have arrived at a position where .there are approximately one million in¬ Another point is, he must work and diligently, not only to hard the spectacular < 1934 go. ore m - Certainly, ' he must know to even men where know what - especially. You heard Harold Dan- subject. Third, Cusack • ap- peared to want at any price, e n j o y e d an - the' tion about that C. rails, which<£- ... , A Social to .f i' During the early part of March, 1948, nobody seemed to want Within a few days thereafter, a dynamic and major bull mar¬ ket -started which carried the Dow-Jones Industrial Averages up about 30 points within a matter of a few weeks. In the interim, the stocks. have starting about. 1894 and in 1904—then the one another Security. Maintains entire market history disproves occur during business recession. theory that bull market cannot ser say-that some of them are getting out of this business. Why? They can't, make a living, they say. They, don't know where to have still important bull phase. nobody spread a v e. some by that I mean the use of Federal company started in -( Y o u heard ject. & Stern Market technician asserts present divergence between industrial and railroad averages indicates early reversal of the market into an ; : William Herzfeld • market. Department. State Volume 169 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (2161) 5 University of Idaho Steel Production The : . Electric Output Carloadings > Retail Trade State of Trade > ; By A. WILFRED MAY Index Tenders Auto Production Industry ' V 1 J rIn the past week industrial total decline both for the week and the There production showed difficulties '> the lighted corresponding period in 1948. • Be was a one proceeds A. Wilfred May widely in the past three months—due largely to administrative factors, such as the beginning in some States of new benefit periods. controversial "analysis the of fore claims data for the past 12 weeks shows that the volume of continued claims is now at about the same level as in early March." The May 7 figure of 1,980,800 compares only $1.2 The subject offering by the University $650,000 not to exceed 4% interest coupon building con¬ struction and improvement bonds. Sealed bids for the purchase of the The credos. main fault to it that in this is avoided be cure. is issue will be received by Kenneth Dick, Bursar, until 2 p.m. on May 31 at the Administration Bldg., Moscow, Idaho. ture semi-annually 1950 to the single- particular full-dress discussion before This, in turn, closely parallels the trend last year, when continued claims were running 900,000 below this year's level. their and administration the for trouble. (The full text 1, from 1970. 1, Oct. bonds The have been approved as to legality by Chapman & Cutler, of Chicago. With Slay ton & Co. to The Financial CHICAGO, ILL. Chronicle) V. Harold — Ryan has been added to the staff of Slayton & Co., Inc., 135 South La Salle Street. most a audience, the Chairman of the SEC confined himself almost entirely to showing the affirmative benefits of the Commis¬ sion, together with disclaiming the responsibility of regulatory laws ; Oct. (Special Disappointing there¬ The bonds will be dated July 1, 1949 and ma-; authoritative with 1,978,000 in the week ended March 5. an of Idaho of of explanation with the single-cause cause said absolute amount, the offerings last year improving Stock Exchange volume and liquidity and of the capital-financing depression habitually brings forth a variety of approaches and highly claims which have fluctuated bureau, an stock Official notice appears on page 11 of Single-Factor Thinking below the figure for the previous week This is the first drop in three weeks in continued Goodwin, head of the as common of the $22.5 billion total devoted to the nation's expansion of plant, equip¬ ment and working capital—this having the effect of accentuating unbalanced debt structures and unduly curtailing the stockholders' dividends. The May 7 level is 57,000 30. Expressed of provided claims pre¬ or more in the proportion of equity to total years financing. Employment Security announced last week that filing claims for jobless pay who had filed viously. ■" ' •: ''': " ■ 1 ' v C. not at community, is evidenced in the sharp drop during 'recent on A. all confined to the self-interest of the Wall Street Bureau of Robert out of the con¬ significantly high¬ way Stimulated?", was participated in by three men in the fields of stock exchange trading, top so-called continued claims for jobless pay in the week ended May 7 totaled 1,980,800. These claims refer to the total number of persons ' a were utilities and government regulation. * ' - • The wide importance of the question^ at nearly twice the levels of the comparable period of last year, but it seems to be following closely last year's pattern of ups and downs ended April discerning capital markets staged by the New York Financial Writers' Association last Thursday, May 12. Discussion of the topic officially programmed as "How Can the Security Markets According to the latest report of the Federal Security Agency's Bureau of Employment Security, unemployment among the 33,000,000 persons covered by the government's jobless pay program is running The our in the forum at week. same involved tinuing stagnation in slight a The slight rise of about 2% in total claims for unemploy¬ ment insurance in the week ended April 30, establishing a new post¬ war peak. On the other hand, initial claims dropped almost 6% in . be opened May 31 to INQUIRY IN A VACUUM Business Failures Issue on Of $650,000 Bonds s Commodity Price Index Food Price and ; Asks Bids Observations 4 of With Nehring & Ricketts (Special to The Chronicle) Financial ELGIN, ILL.—Andrew L. Fer¬ Mr. Of broader interest, ris has been added to the staff of y..'-P;*-'■■■:"'"V however, was the complete overlooking by this government official of those roots of our market troubles which lie in governmental poli¬ Demand for farm products, according to the Department of Agri¬ culture, continues to hold at a "high level, although there are evi¬ cies—truly a "material omission" be he a member or not of the Nehring & Ricketts, 4 South Grove * ,v ■ * * • , Hanrahan's talk political party in dences of i weakening." Until 1949 crops are harvested, it adds, prices will be subject to changes in crop prospects. Commodity prices again a lower trend caused by "sharply lower" wholesale prices for farm products and foods. ^ show $8,000,000,000 or an amount only slightly below that of 1948. The Agriculture Department said larger marketings offset the price declines. In April, farmers received $2,000,000,000 from farm marketings, about the same as March, and slightly under a year 000,000, From the sale of livestock in a 4% increase y\ ' ■ ,'••• Shopping in many March, over ' ❖ «•;: parts of the nation in the week was ■ -• favored Goods at noticeably reduced prices continued to be offered in many sections. Increased wholesale orders the past week reflected largely a rise in the demand for seasonal merchandise. Total wholesale dollar vol¬ moderately below that of the similar week last year. Sea¬ sonal goods suitable for promotions were sought by many buyers and deliveries showed general impfovement over a year ago. 95.6% OF CAPACITY contracting ]r on the downgrade and order volume little, the effect of f.o.b. selling of steel will stand out a soon- Areas which easily operated at a high rate may are rolling along at a rate under the national average points lower than those steel producers in dense "-/con¬ they ' and tonous ever several suming a states * The Iron Age," national metal working weekly in its current summary of the steel trade.' r y: • areas, or not such situation a subsidy else the votes warrant a are We needed. and dollar-depreciation may switch from the rentier class into equity securities as the actually deficit-financing evils, such reasoning is "too academic" for the average nearly all investors during times of industrial recession and stock price stagnation. : " ° small investor—and perhaps for about The easiness in steel supply will able to get most of their steel mean ; ; ; . that many customers will supplies within their The danger from the present f.o.b. method of ducers who are in areas which consume far Another relevant vital cause of investor-inhibition is the govern¬ ment's taxation of private industry resulting in the undermining of of plant, and subsequently pro¬ fessing the need for itself stepping in to provide the capacity and its resources for until steel leaders are ---■•> . certain that buyers, the trade paper declares, v.- own areas it stock upon policies. How can Mr. the plan of reorganization the of 'com¬ pany. . Citizen develop appetite for share-ownership an in property when he sees his government leaders (including the TVA-ers) following in the footsteps of Great Britain with its nation¬ This study is available $2 at per copy. KALB, VOORHIS & CO. Registered Investment Advisers Members New York Stock Exchange Members N. 25 Broad For Y. Curb Exchange (Assoc.) Street, New York 4, N.Y. Attorneys, Bankers, Investors and selling faces steel less than The contrast between the destructive investment "climate" that being fostered at home, and the government's stated attitude in proposing ,adequate safeguards for protecting the investor's pros¬ pective dollar abroad, was tellingly cited at the same meeting by President Truslow of the New York Curb Exchange. Brokers, Operators S E RV I C E is • Petroleum Engineering. • Geological and Scouting De->, • Evaluations pro¬ •••. ... •.- v ■ . . ' ' seems a to me that the pricing of securities in competitive problem-of the bidders and not a bidding is problem of government regu¬ dip sharply before the middle of July, but notwithstanding this, it lation.^ v .• !V" '.. vy • y • ; keeps going down slowly. It has already dropped 7% from therpeak Cutting through the-great :mass> of argument, in formal briefs reached early this year. This week the steel ingot rate is off one half and otherwise, it seems to this writer that, in addition to the substi¬ a point to 95.6% pLcapacity. However, eyes in steel are no longer tution of price for quality of servicq, there remains the fundamental . (Continued on page 33) ' ' 1 '< ;V (Continued on page ~qo yi& ft: c i >. i. • ,v. rj u 10) ;:/ Lao iVBd ar..v,% nam tjt.i .r:->a /S'.oy qi'vii.)*<y )a;;,rv.yy <J Ai>-;/• ,*■ K partments. is is real evidence that the steel, operating rate will possibilities common consummation of and • h Non-Productive Foreign • for * Productive of Drilling" Contracts. Materials Areas. Drilling Domestic use. and 1 Royalties, Working Interests and other Petroleum Equities Appraised. • no the y •. ' Mr. Hanrahan depicts our equity security. markets as being currently financed by the consumer. This characterization is valid, but it must be realized that the situation is directly in line with the Administration's adoption of overall Keynesian consumer-spending . Inventories arg still large among some firms, normal in others Typical of the competitive-bidding protagonists, Mr. Hanrahan and small in still other groups,-presenting the picture on: a tonnage iadvanced this tenuously-worded denial of the over-pricing danger: basis. While the cases, are still considered isolated, many lasge steel I"—[It does not follow that]—over-pricing is the: result of the pro¬ users are attempting to sell in the open market fairly large bundles cedure established by the Commission. It is the parties to the deal of steel they don't need but are mot having an easy- time finding Who determine the price; we pass om it when it is arrived at. It There is still enhancement of com¬ with special reference to pany the 1a compre¬ of this its self-provision ; y The Compulsory Competitive Bidding Question produced. | legal to absorb freight Chairman Hanrahan in the same talk saw fit to enter into a there is little chance of wholesale freight, absorption in meeting spirited defense of the compelling of competitive bidding in security competition, observes this trade authority. distribution.: While this question seems irrelevant to the affirmative ; Incoming steel business is not as bright as a lot of steel people stimulation, of markets it is important in exhibiting the government's would like to see it with a current of unrest among .steel ;sales anxiety about monopoly in every conceivable field. ^ Moreover, the people. Customers are still paring down inventories, but this week, regulatory body's contentions are important in manifesting its in¬ states "The Iron Age," it looks orderly and bears no semblance to consistent shift from its professedly basic concern of protecting the the sharp and painful process of mid-1937. security buyer to the seller. , , But prepared a y be have hensive analysis . will third of total steel shipments showed that 87.2% favored the old basing point method of selling steel. Only 12.8% favored f.o.b. without freight absorption. * consume Corporation security state; the White House's continued fundamental speed clarification of the legal right of steel firms to absorb freight in a practical manner re¬ plants which & Southern to alizing, its controls, and its capital levies; and with almost every major effort (witting or unwitting) moving us further to the wholehog of a Labor—not a "property"—government. How will Mr. mains to be seen. Steel users are opposed to f.o.b. selling of steel Citizen become eager to put his money into stocks when he can see but are not vocal enough to speed Congress or the Supreme Court that over the past score of years the shareholders have been shoyed on the matter. y ' ! ' down to the bottom of the ladder of community groups competing A special survey by "The Iron Age" taken among metalworking in the maintenance of their living standard? Whether Commonwealth private property with gratuitous diatribes against "glut¬ Wall Street" and grain speculators at election time or when¬ While tools. • -Vith the ingot, rate slowly spending cuts); his constant pressuring toward Special Analysis attacks oh was STEEL OPERATIONS IN CURRENT WEEK TOUCH LOWEST '.r. LEVEL FOR YEAR AT r are lesser of two : ume social and :'.:yy; y■ * Street. The Political Key we recommend : by warm, clear weather. Consumers bought moderately more than in the previous week, although total retail trade was slightly less than that of the similar week in 1948. 9 of this issue.) coniidential— of his Council of Economic Advisers' report reputed April, farmers received $1,300,yr p. {. talking in a vacuum if we talk about' investor inhibitions without even recognizing the existence of the' current newspaper headlines which confront him, such as President Truman's re-insistence on a tax rise; his stubborn unwillingness to recognize the justice of property owners' protection from labor unions beyond the bounds of the Wagner Act; the Chief Executive's ever-repeated attempts to emasculate the country's monetary system through budg¬ etary raids (again evidenced in his pigeon-holeing—as suddenly income, the Department states that notwithstanding the 10% drop in farm prices during the first four months of 1949 earlier. on power. ; Surely As for farm under that of last year, farmers received appears - • Tax and Oil Accounting Spe\ cialists. • Estate Consultants. PETROLEUM EQUITIES CORP. Member American Petroleum Institute 595 Madison Ave., New York 22, MUrrav Hill 8-4441 N.Y. 6 (2162) THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & Certain Aspects of the Bond Market Thursday, May 19, 1949 m By GEORGE J. LENESS* ' t Partner, MerMll Lynch, Pierce^ Fenner & Beane By llflLLIAM GUMF^L* Ascribing ; current ii>vestment f . apathy tp lack of familiarity of public Members, New York Stock Exchange | • | with, securities, as welF as burdena placed on stockholders, writer j i Reviewing bond market situation, and outlook, Mr. Leness expects no rise in long-term interest rates in % i|,jcontends greater investment demand for stocks'could be secured 1 j advance of another boom period* Notes narrowing spread of ihcome yields, on, medium and lower grade f |tax reKeF; (2) permitting life insurance companies" to in- H bonds during recent ■dvest in high grade common stocks; (3) reduction of brokerage fees and reduced volume of n?wissues. Sees savings banks holding own in com¬ and commissions; (4) new methods of securities salesmanship andurges intensified activity of mutual savings banks to ^ Favors broadened investment field for savings banks, along .with higher, dividend ^ advertising; (5) closer and better relations between, corporations payments to depositors. '-'.'ZC. ? and', stockholders; and (6) simplification of corporate financing. years petition with other investment institutions, and promote thrift. * - In this paper I have two definite topics to cover. One is the present state of the market and its future outlook] and the second, which is to me even more important, One • > for the mystery of why the market has not reflected bpnci the, period of record earnings and dividends-. in,recent years .is-, theis the apathy pf the public in coming into the market. Not only is the stock" part that mutual savings banks play in our economy and what the outlook seems to be fo^ [market business hurt, but the urgently needed risk capital is lacking!/ them. PleaSv^ V* Whatever^ :—\ bear in mind oe said of yield relationships be¬ count has become so standardized the causes for garded them as "not safe—a that, invests tween government and corporate that again in this respect; publid :. the fear, psy- gamble," and. 6% for other rea¬ ment bankers issues. Here again I want to d.is- u t i 1 i t y operating companies? This proves that least at¬ (; c h o 1 o g y it sons. make their iclaim prophetic insight, but there credits have arrived at the point of J the four types } of §}; prevents the tractive where differences in values are living by buy¬ lare trends in the demand for new |;,.:A.m e r i c a n investments w^s common stocks'. ing and selling (capital, i.e., supply of securities, expressed in minute basis, point I jvp u b lie from Its high returns; were considered : : securities for iand in the supply of savings, i.e., differentials. V e/investing- its only a mindf advantage as com¬ In the industrial field, inden¬ a modest prof¬ ithe demand for securities, which s a v i ngs and pared to the: disadvantages occa-, it, at least can be recognized and whose im¬ ture and sinking fund provisions reserve - pursioned by lack of familiarity and have also become quite standards most of the pact can be weighed, ■ch a sing lack of;}safety. In other words: time. Our day ized, with the result that indus¬ j During periods of comparatively power, which the majority/of ? all people are to day living .stable bond markets there has trial credits, even though in wide¬ are greater against investing in common; is based upon jbeen a traditional / relationship ly different -industries, bear -a stocks because .they are not fa¬ than ever. the trends in i between the yield on government close yield relationship -to one; The unwil- miliar'with them or consider them the bond mar¬ isecurities and the yield on corpo¬ another. The. effect has been the¬ not safe—a gamble. lingness to ;./■•) ket and for rate issues. During different nar rowing of the price gap, be7 These. facts throw light. upon the part with sav¬ William Gum pel this reason George J. Leness cycles in the bond market, his¬ tween A and Aaa bonds in this, ings for risk whole problem. f » can not speak torically this relationship has va¬ field as well. There is little on the //ventures is \, Millions of Americans are blind to you as a profound economist or ried. It also has varied greatly horizon to form a basis for prom¬ hindering a continuing prosperity to the fact that they can buy an economic prophet, but rather during important changes in bond ising a change in this direction. . „. reason . . . , . • - as manual a laborer in the market levels. vineyard. It is clearly basic in both ever, Eventually, how¬ it usually has stabilized it¬ to within reasonably stable your business and in mine that itaanagement of the Federal debt appears to constitute the base of self all thinking corporate bonds ture interest with individuals $ome thought that As calculated by Moody's Investors Service, a composite of to fu¬ respect rates. limits. There 13%, were currently yields taxable Treasuries of while a year basic maturities ago who rates money provide a of 15 years yield of 2.40%. and over The ad- . porate bond holdings as issups, fording a of nation iu relatively good epmbi-, yield and quality are Reserve Banks, the question of a possible imminent break in the maturities. peg was not unreal. yields over low 20%. the . thought There also was that a an as During 19.45, at times average corporate governments was as of excess I think it is safe to expected change in the Adminis¬ tration might carry with it modi¬ that during recent years the yield relationship between high fications in debt management pol¬ icies. However, no change took place in the Administration here ernment Washington and, more Prospective Supply of. New Issues say grade corporate closer tangibly, years. bonds and securities than it hat; has been gov¬ been in- many The closeness of the spread prospective sup¬ issues, the outlook is Concerning, the new contraction! C inthe for of amount corporate new offer¬ our so was was- the of Exchange, " wrote:"There af-? offered. ply of clearly President tp;. be* Stock deferring expansion pf cor¬ from • | vantage in rate of return from corporates, accordingly, more of¬ With heavy sales of government ten than not provides from-40% issues in progress between finan¬ to 60% more in yield than gov¬ cial institutions and the Federal ernments with comparable in appears anything to be gained': New Mr. never York Schrarq * without such . and those of medium to lower grade has During the heavy purchases of 1948 by the banks of ;narrowed during recent years. the Reserve system, there never Bonds which are rated A on the was any question of the financial .average provide, a 13% higher rate ability of the System itself to of return than bonds rated Aaa absorb enormous quantities of and, bonds rated Baa afford a government bonds, rather the de¬ 28% yield advantage. The his¬ bate was as to the wisdom of so torical yield advantage provided doing. by A bonds over Aaa bonds has It » looks now the- been though as more like 20% and the yield problem of advantage obtainable in terest bonds those Aaa any general rise in in¬ rates has been postponed to at least the later stages of some new business boom. Currently, leeway for a new expansion of business loans by commercial banks ;is being made by conver¬ sion of short-term borrowings, in an important number of longer-term cases, into obligations over approached 50%. ■ ... rated V - ; Baa has addition - ; to bond in¬ sold to insurance companies and other dentures. As a result of the Pub¬ lic Utility Holding Company Actfenders. The recent reduction in Reserve requirements is another and the increased powers given by law to various state Public step in this direction. i 'I - . No Rise in Interest Rates , indentures from coast to coast to¬ Expected • Because of the testing period Which the government bond mar¬ ket has experienced during the past 18 months, it is difficult in¬ deed to envision for some extend¬ ed period of time any sizable rise in rates on- government obliga¬ tions. j If this be true, what can *An address by Mr. Leness at 29th - Annual Conference of Na¬ tional Association of Mutual Sav¬ ings Banks, Washington May 13, 1949. D. Utility Commissions utility bonds C„ day are pretty Much standardized. The bondable property ratios, improvement funds, withdrawal provisions, etc., are all so. similar that the prospective purchasers of public utility company first mort¬ gage bonds expect, to see nearly identical provisions for each mort¬ gage regardless of the size or lo¬ cation of the company. Further¬ more, as the results of actions by the Securities, and Exchange Com¬ mission and the various local state commisions, the ratio of debt to equity and of' debt to plant ac¬ that York the. New Exchange and its member. begun; a nationwide,; firms have . . . unit have, of course, been greatly in¬ flated by the postwar rise in con¬ i, /This article expresses the per¬ struction costs and commodity, sonal views of the writer, t it is npt presented as the opinion of prices. Depreciation charges and rein¬ Tiendix, Luitweiler & ' Co., with whom he is .associated. / vested earnings have supplied: - of Investors" will than An aggregate of $8.2 billion annually $13.9 billion half the of year, or more funds time accumulation government of securities, accounts payable J: terest • holders the tion of lation last of •:'/. and the obligations chases are i: • - 0F ASSETS, EARLY: 1948 ; — ; For and Against * • or // . above) ————Type of Asset Bank ... ——■ Savings s- Deposits Real Common Bonds Estate Stock j satisfactory or return i% .18% ' .37.%.-, 4% tiz.18 , ;54 Safe, not'a gamble [ Interest rate 12 4r • •: j. .2, • J: Familiar with / t» Help country 32%-, 60% 9% 5% new Against— r 1 are sales. democracy for all peoole of world, occupies - only 6% of (Continued on' page 30) For— the same as those involved in the current easing of general business, activity. In doL lar figures inventories have about regained a normal relationship with American indus¬ ; ' , , / America, that has accepted the leadership in the fight for freedom ' issues, particularly.: in re¬ to the high total reached year, stock¬ try. ; Holding Various Types of Assets and borrow/ the total amount and the market, stock industry, v the ^—Reasons-. and- increases ings money the of investment (Spending units with incomes of $2;000 -- war¬ cash ' . -REASONS FOR AND AGAINST HOLDING- VARIOUS TYPES ; required. provided by drafts on was in a only be success- in the lpng' run. if we use aggressive: marketing tech¬ niques, adopt better methods of salesmanship, fight for more lib¬ eral (tax) laws in the mutual in¬ ful, more ■ from banks. After adjust¬ supply and de¬ ment for debt maturities and other mand, another factor has affected capital retirements, an average of corporate bonds which, in my more than $3 billion annually opinion, has tended to bring the (with nearly $6 billion in, 1948) yield relationship between Aaa was supplied by new issues. and A bonds closer together, i.e., The facts pointing to contracf the standardization of In Stock The $14.4 billion of ne.w money issues - marketed during 1946, 1947 and 1948 has been ^art of the postwar replacement boom just as much as steel industry op-, ; and with erating ratios of 100% of capacity pressed by people with incomes oi busi.nessmen or more,.. the majority these people lies both the future have been part of that boom. As $2,000 prefer [assets' with fixed valuf of our own-business and the fu¬ compiled by the United States De¬ (bank deposits and government ture of private finaneing of Amer¬ partment of Commerce, the .com¬ b'ondk) to assets with, changinr ican industry . . <!." This great posite investment account of all business corporations during the jvalud;;(real estate and securities.); program to. create the ■ "Nation ings. end grade corporate issues (No wonder flow of pri¬ a vou ment securities. of campaign in order "to teach the 1 investors with large incomes or. substantial savings that they can \ vate capital the government may. participate in sharing the coun¬ in the end, have to take over the try's. industrial progress." ; Who task of financing business. That are the stockholders of tomorrow? would be the first major step in Ai, financial 7 writer states: "We the nationalization of industry." have developed a new crop of According to a Federal Reserve potential investors. The farmers, Survey of v Consumer Finances for instance, have surplus funds Part-3,. July, 1948, which reported which should be made available; (the reasqns for and against hold¬ to industry and so have a great ing various types of assets, ex¬ many wage .earners' and small ; . has, of Holdings of all XJ. S. Govern¬ serve securities greater shortage of such from individual ' sources a course, made it difficult for past three years has been, some¬ [only 5 % '■ favored investment in savings bankers to earn a very what as follows — additions to pommon; stocks: 9%. favored .inhigh rate of return for your de¬ plant and equipment $14,5. billion, yes'tment in real estate; 60% pre¬ ferred ' savings Banks have been able to reduce positors. bonds, and 32% ///' increase in inventories $6.7 bil¬ their holdings of U. S. Govern¬ ifavojred bank deposits. 62% of lion and expansion in receivables Narrowing of Income Yields ments .by more than $2 billion .those, who. expressed themselves $5.0 billion, or a total of $26.2 bil¬ since the end of last November. i Another trend that has become lion annually. The sums required were against common stocks. 30% Approximately the same contrac¬ quite noticeable is that the yield for expansion of physical capacity because they were "not familiar" with them, 26% because they retion has been accomplished jn Re¬ differential between the highest increases in inventory, deflation is the order of the day. tn contrast to heavy purchases during 1948, the Federal Reserve income-producing the foremost American companies. time a was history when equity capital necessary, and there never capital . should be increased more sharply to counter inflationary trends. plausible if The there Therefore, little - r Not ;safe,> a or 4 t 3 l i t $ _ _ .familiar with Price too of to buy high, capital loss expected money 4 4 f : 1 19 return low--. Not liquid Takes lots : ^amblei------i,- Interest rate ;r Not . »• , I 12 1 26 f "• r' ? " 307 4 3 ' 3 34 - Installment payment on still but 23% automobile pur¬ abnormally low and receivables expansion generally should §No . be checked reason All units as ' 58% 9% 44 given 30 100% 33 100% 100% 62% 33 - 100% dollar sales volumes level off and even in "The questions were: "Suppose a decline from figures reached put it in 1948. Expenditures for new plant and equipment also appear TLesstthan passing the peak. A survey by our firm last October uncovered a prospective 13%- demade on page 38) J bank or in bonds It; 'invest it in real estate; to be ^ontinue a thing for him to do with the , V: • crie he can nowadays—put it in the bank; buy s.avings bonds with buy common stock with it? Why do you make that choice?",. money or one-half of lc/r. SMost of the respondents , gave . • ; . • ' . - -; ' " / / for or against .holding one of the four indicated by this line, did not discuss each ^ / reasons aisqts. b.ut some respondents, ;types';ot-assets. ■ ^ of- the ;fonr '*/ / - • tNot applicable, not coded. types, of; ■ or decides not to spend his money. He can either invest it. What do you think would be the wisest, man as »•/« • •' .;y ■»•••} • \ • t Volume 169 4804 Number From THE -> r t t * •) * ' \ v * t COMMERCIAL t & The Business Outlook and Bank Investments Washington By MARCUS NADLER* University Professor of Finance, New York Ahead of the News arewncw receding and nation is returning to more normal for commercial bankers to review and analyze their individual positions carefully so as to adopt investment policies they can follow under changed conditions. Says principal aims of investment policy should be: (1) maintenance of adequate degree of market stability; (2) sufficient liquidity; and (3) satisfactory earnings from investment portfolio. Dr. couple of years ago the House Un-American Activities Com¬ mittee Veterans' found out that the Bureau paying GI benefits California, two in New York State. There was no question at all about the Communists ' operating the^ schools with an unusual breed. They are ter¬ straight out ribly sensitive and their having to ■ students Communist schools, three of be Communist to curricula. was in one would screened of not one It a case two or sion that they have delicately tuned being on the faculty. It goes or without s a y- ing that if the benefits k i n d the , number Bargero* in this of cases colleges of a n d institutions studious the to heroes would be very these limited, indeed. But three schools openly were ;opefated for improving the minds of Communists. . You would think that when the * House this Committee matter came called and across it to the attention of the Veterans' Bureau, its bureaucratic would face have been quite red and it would have expressed indignation ;„that wool been had kindly pen. pulled over the its But this did not hap¬ eyes. instead, the Bureau said with shrug that it had impatient an known about the three schools all the time. But law read that the if the . a state government certified school as O.K. the Bureau had to accept it. ; Do you know tee had several and to hound months the. state officials were stopped? erans' the Bureau letter benefits Assuming the Vet¬ was acting within before ■the > the of law, was attention situation to the President or there of are studying the in¬ atomic science under •scholarships given by the Atomic to be they see this The fact. slightest jar is liable to • throw their thinking came Committee,; as .a father might explain to a tiny tot, that there is no telling where genius to that use genius don'tknow education. am the Day up to the is just about on the only thing, I am quite sure, that he doesn't want the Federal Gov¬ ernment to run. Strangely enough, Congress is getting ready to too, Federal aid to education bill.; Modified by Senator Tafti it is supposed to have safeguards pass United the a discovery by members of hit the headlines and of the "broadest" minds emerging, are therefore, sale V-J prices rose from 105.5 around Day to 169.5 in August, 1948, increase of 66%. an constant ing decline power in There the was a purchas¬ of the dollar, at a time at the dis¬ when the liquid assets midst of a readjustment used delib¬ rolling amounted people to had any the sellers' to the buyers' This writer is inclined to agree, however, with the viewpoint that Communists won't get posits and to government bonds, and $298 billion. If the erately. of the United States had experience with runaway inflation in the past and had been scared about the future purchas¬ of the dollar and spent freely, this country could have witnessed an outburst ing power these funds * An address^ by Dr. Nadler be¬ of course, why. they get any sort of education fore the Convention of the New or training on taxpayers' money. Jersey Bankers Association, At¬ But there is little doubt in my lantic City, N. J., May 13, 1949. mind that the hush-hush nature is* no increase unemployment. in reason, Oak Ridge - were considerable amid these words are an apt word conversion from "Rolling" is describe the market, which did not hit the entire econ¬ disappears, failures has In many increased. Instances, profits have been con¬ verted into losses, and those workers who have lost their jobs have been forced standard of living. to lower their - . ; not affected mobiles, This announcement is neither heavy steel or auto¬ although it is { more willing to buy because of the (Continued probable thrown on page 14) as offer to self nor a solicitation of an offer to the Prospectus. open fanfare an buy securities. The offering is made only by the gates of if were new issue new era had arrived.- The sev¬ semi-official Wash-i eral thousand residents of the shocked. "This,"?they) community could come- and • go a was going too far. Steps, without i. showing passes to the promptly taken in Congress guards and visitors' no longer towards having the applicants for were to be screened. these fellowships screened by the; It so happens that'last October fbi. ;■ j I had not the slightest difficulty But the flurry of anger or ingetting a pass, along with about 'dignation was short lived. Mr. 20 politicians, to go in and conduct Dave Lilienthal, head of the AEC,j a political rally which some 10,000 appeared before a Congressional persons attended. And at that Committee with his usual selftime it was explained the pass assurance. Nothing to get excited monkey business was to be elimi¬ about, he Scqd. In the first place nated soon. The delay was not to 80,000 Shares agreed, 1 were ' _ . it wasn't his fault. , . United Biscuit Company of America $4.50 Cumulative Preferred Stock w (Without Par Value) The Commis¬ permit the hiding of the plants and the secret material. It was applicants to the National Re¬ just to wait for an auspicious.oc¬ search Council,and he would casion when. a celebration could sion had farmed out .the selection of much r a t her a n occasional be made of-it. J If there was one thing on which most*strongly it was that he felt the ' Federal Government ; *..s . a should its hands off of education. It wouldn't be doing this if the keep cepted.; It that was A copy of the Prospectus Underwriters as may may case Share of deliveries after date of gress. It is be obtained within any State from such the FBI, in fact, about them. an open ton that J. secret in Washing¬ Goldman, Sachs & Go. Edgar Hoover doesn't May 19, 1949. issue) of the regularly distribute the Prospectus within such State. tipped off members of Con? applicants had to undergo screen? like many things that are going ing... ,y y::,,;.. ..." ; .. on and. not infrequently his FBI v! ';A scientist accompanying Mr. ;t- li a t these slips a hint of this ^or;Hhat; to -fnrCrififihi' fart- nre searchers ;lorv1 ScientificIfact! are proper influences. imCongress.:,, or<s Price $103.50 Per (plus accrued dividends in the v-;.\ Commy get by than to hurt this And to get back to Mr. Liliencouncil's feelings.. Thesd students thal's objections to the scholarship "were not permitted to get to the being screened, they atomic secret stuff, he explained applicants have been screened all along. The 'suavely, and as to the suggestion two known Com m i e s ; were that the applicants should ' be screened, but nevertheless ac¬ screened—it was unthinkable. - The readjustment has been ag¬ industry after another. So far, the gravated by two important psycho¬ readjustment has occurred in many logical developments. The decline in commodity prices has created soft goods lines, in household equipment, and in food and farm more buyers' resistance. Just as in products.' As yet, however, it has periods of rising prices people are at once but has affected one omy of official and ington Thet all of the Commission is for the pur¬ ago , practical purposes competition makes both manage¬ ment and labor lazy and slack, and results in decreased efficiency. the country, a too, rapid increase The recent decline in profits is in the volume of loans was pre¬ bound to lead to an increase in the vented. The deposits created efficiency of management, while the rise in unemployment will through loans were to a large ex¬ lead to an increase in the efficiency tent counteracted by the refund¬ of labor. These factors will reduce ing operations of the Treasury, which redeemed maturing obliga¬ the cost of production and lower the break-even point and lay the tions held primarily by the com¬ foundation for sound business in mercial banks. the future. The readjustment is Where are we today? Today the painful, however. The number of United States finds itself in the of of 1948. But here, too, thanks to there followed a swift ac¬ the" activities of the American celeration of the spiral of prices Bankers Association and the good and wages. The index of whole¬ common sense of the bankers of 1945, tide. the young industries, a Lilienthal. What is being passed is a con¬ cession, a bending to the Leftist A few weeks Congress from against the Federal Government posal Of; the petople were at record encroaching upon the administra¬ levels.' tion of the fund. But eveh if it At the end of 1948 the liquid has these safeguards .' now, the assets in the hands of individuals educational aid proposal didn't and corporations in the United have them when advanced by-the States, consisting of currency, de¬ AivM even some We these ; ; middle of 1948 that before many peal of controls in the summer getting its hand It eco¬ amazed observed Mr. Lilienthal in opera¬ I and . long the American people will have to put up with this sort of stuff. Having Government's social Federal without how tion for many years, at his concern over are V-J From the inflation, readjustment is wholesome, and period of inflation, which States was for a time threatened the entire while painful to many, is probablythrea tened economic and social structure of one of the best things that could have happened to the economy. with probably the United States. In this process Or. Marcus Nadler one of the of inflation, the banks played a ; The great progress made by the most serious United States economy in the past part. The volume of bank loans economic dangers that^ever con¬ increased from $28 billion around has been based on free competi¬ fronted this country. With the re¬ V-J Day to $48 billion at the end tion: A sellers' market, where for letting it do any harm, I we today. may how we from and where the be found, and the real smart executive such as he is, knows know where Lilienthal gently explained Mr. to of nomic consequences of which are are must we first of gear. out we heading. To do imperceptible Nevertheless, it is essential to months are over also, will be in horrible to contemplate. Fortu¬ the midst of a buyers' market. "Readjustment" is a better word nately for the United States, the people maintained confidence in to describe the situation than de¬ By read¬ the dollar, and instead of reck¬ flation or depression. lessly spending their current in¬ justment is meant the conversion come and savings they continued of a sellers' into a buyers' market^ to save. This prevented a really which is usually accompanied by; disastrous inflation from taking an increase in competition, a de-f cline in prices and profits, and ar^ place. ; of idea where is always clear, and after It is an what should and what should not have been done. see leasts at some very can readily have Energy Commission and paid for, pose of not letting Congress know of course, by the American tax-i how it spends its funds. payers. The can should learn that at least two we tricacies of the to Congress? Now one entirely different matter, however, to look into the future. nobody among its .vast and un¬ any secrets that are not known wieldy personnel with enough en¬ to everybody that wants them ex¬ ergy, or indignation to call the! cept the American- people.. This Communists It is always easier to look backward than forward. The past ; the event that the commit patriotic groups | Leftist friends of Mr. involved and the Bureau for sev¬ eral so most the hear scientific were withheld discourage of them from applying for scholarships. You get the impres¬ Communists available Introduction many was Carlisle Nadler, pointing out forces of inflation pattern of business, holds time is ripe By CARLISLE BARGERON A 7 (2163) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL 8 (2164) COMMERCIAL THE FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE the cites ferreds. ployed to handle the distribution. Of course steps may have to be taken to stabilize. Under this plan By A. F. TEGEN* President, General Public Utilities Corp. Utility executive depressed market and academic terest i in that this in reasonable want tors n- earnings our assurance be increased can proportion to the increased cap¬ and that dividend policies Vigorous action market is soft another tate rective should be liberal. through by issuers on this front will go a long way to stimulate and broaden the security markets. subject to the of pri- fields v a t and capital, e free enterprise ahd taxation. Oh However, Where The do We Recommendations and Literature but i : saying that those in the security business are making too much money for we know they are not. But we think that new selling techniques and tech¬ niques for minimizing risks should be developed. We point to the thought that for the pose pur¬ Of forum this it A. F. Tegen was " better to be pragmatic. dur business, that is the public utility business, is in a substantial growth cycle. There are going to be 10,000,000 more people in the United States in 1960. New York State deal creasing commercial tinue to we at customers We mechanize. We are sure con¬ our own brings about Act under the Holding Company had least at one to be home owned! can to able in social be home If it owned be home owned is desir¬ and even financial Competitive writers to direct their attention to While broadening the base by reaching people who now turn the financial pages as if they were meant only for professionals. We expect them tt) reach the popular magazines. Some people tell us there is a shortage of equity capital. I am inclined to doubt that but I am we are on if com¬ the subject of bidding, do not need the protection of the rule. ter We think deals on we make bet¬ can negotiated a and therefore urge its as to commons and basis elimination preferreds Certainly if broadening the equity market is desirable, competitive bidding is no help. We would not whole will not need object to a great deal of equity capital be¬ yond that which our industry will seek. Our concern is that the rent rule which a would be invoked if, in a given transaction, there seems to be a violation of the for equity capital is too high. Stated another way, the prices of public the investor interest of or nature which ostensibly prompted the present rule in the equity securities are too low and I suppose the object of broadening the security markets is to firm up first place. The registration and prospectus technique has become so much a the demand and, hence, prices. nart of have been saying, until recently, that the utility in¬ dustry could not earn enough to attract tus our security issuing picture that Said we would not expect to change it, except that the prospec¬ an¬ our end of the is Up to earnings. Toward or than November of showing. to That succeed is we now our a are subscribe to the view that inves¬ writers can help in Coverage of financial is often too brief and some¬ news times not many articles wholly accurate. How about some articles in the popular magazines? If the equity market is to be rights. Based the prospectus. was not am offerings pre-emptive that in the best interests of are rights have Of where the course value and the stock¬ a holder sells them he gets a capital dividend and he undoubtedly likes that but that doesn't alter the fact that his gain often is more appar¬ than real. I am glad to note ent that the SEC has of around come constructive view a to the matter on pre-emptive rights. It has equity been The said before about $10 down is arrangement and days of the 20's in minds our Drug Industry Hirsch & Co., Circular — $10 month still too fresh are for a to us want to of Open-End Selling But there may be another way to reach small investors or new accounts who in the future may be a considerable funds. as a have equity not interpret this Please do latent,plan of GPU since pre-emptive rights in charter and could not we 25 Broad Street, Ero Economic speculative appeal — Straus & Blosser, 135 South La Salle Street, bonds Belgium, of Great Sweden, Norway and Britain, | ing when either the earnings do 1 not warrant it or when the equity Chicago, 3, 111. Netherlands, Denmark New — Also study—Zippin & Co., 208 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. "tap issues" of the U. S. Treasury. The idea might work out something like this: A company would calcu¬ late its equity needs, say for 12 months ahead or other some ap¬ propriate time, and determine the number of shares approximately which maximum would amount have to be the Of would to desired course be fixed Statements 34 of 4% that presumably would be only enough: cover capital needs for a given: period and would have to bear a to reasonable relation the to Toll Road Revenue Circular—Allen TVA Broad Area—Illustrated —Equitable brochure Securities - Tenn. St., Nashville 3, Wall Street, New 2 and York 5, N. Y. Over Stock the - - Index Company, 30 Street, New York 4, N. Y. Food Fair Stores, Inc.—Circular —Sutro Bros. & Co., 120 Broad¬ New York 5, N.Y; way, Industrial Counter — Bonds— & Corpora¬ 322 Union tion, Booklet Marlin-Rockwell recording Corp. — Cir¬ cular—Barnes, Bodell & Goodwin, 10-year performance of 35 indus¬ 257 trial COnn. stocks—National Quotation Church Street, Haven, New Bureau, Inc., 46 Front Street, New York 4, N. Y. Middle * Alaska Dermott ,■ ■ ■ New York issue current Survey" & Co., "Fi¬ of South Utilities, Inc. — Analysis—G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc., 70 Pine Street, New York 5, N. Y. - Airlines Incorporated— Study—in nancial * * Peter P. Mc- — Wall 44 Missouri Street, Pacific Circular — — Sutro Bros. & Co., 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. 5, N. Y. Amalgamated —Edward South City . L. Main Sugar—Analysis & Co., 160 Street, Salt Lake New Burton 1, Utah. Hanover Bank & Trust Co.—Analysis—Blair & Co., Inc., 44 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Also available are Wisconsin Power and studies Company and a Oregon ,'v review of Cement—Late Co., 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9, Mass. of Petroleum Heat & Power Com¬ the pany—Analysis—Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Also Electric Utility Industry. Central Public Utility 5^&/52— Analysis and comment on 1948 report—New York Hanseatic Cor¬ poration, 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. V available are leaflets on Irving Trust Company and Central Hanover, and a discussion of the current situation in Texas Crude Oil. Ryder Analysis 16mm Services, Write — Inc. copies for — to H. R. O'Neil, Jr., Dempsey-Tegeler Co., 210 West Seventh Street, Los Angeles 14, Calif. Chicago Daily News, Inc.—Cir¬ cular—Swift, Portland data—Lerner & Light Com¬ and National Fire Insurance pany, Service Public England Co.—Analysis—Ira Haupt & Co., Ill Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. & Henke & Co., 135 Street, Chicago, 3, Safeway Stores, Inc. Commonwealth & Corporation—Comprehensive M. randum—A. Southern — Kidder Memo¬ & Co., 1 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. spe¬ cial analysis of the company with special reference to the enhance¬ ment possibilities of the common stock upon consummation of the Southwest Airways—Circular— Marache, Sims & Co., 458 South Spring Street, Los Angeles 13, Calif. plan of reorganization of the company—$2.00 per copy—Kalb, Voorhis & Co., 25 Broad Street, A. New York 4, N. Y. Commonwealth Corporation Faroll York — • & Circular Manufacturing Co. — Newburger & Company, 1342 Walnut Philadelphia 7, Pa.■/. ~ Southern — V E. Staley Memorandum • the offered and analysis of an Fernandina Port Authority, Fla. Operating Municipal Electric Systems in the — bring amount of proceeds. available is Kerr-McGee Oil Industries, Inc. in. "open end" idea of the the Manufacturing Company— and the ultimate effect upon gov¬ ernment This suggestion is borrowed the and of Cor¬ Analysis of low priced stock with of South La Salle from trusts study a Cement Europe Recovery our plan. investment is New York 4, N. Y. the use available poration. of source Y. Pennsylvania-Dixie — participate. Extension Co., 15 Broad Streef, New York 5, N. Also Central suggested that be sold in in¬ securities stalments. of Bank Commerce, Toronto, Ont., Canada. recent on sure Canadian Too written for the are sophisticated. tical comment—Eastman, Dillon & Monthly commercial — The — Street, Joseph ■ & Co;, 29 Broadway, New 6, N. Y.* ' " ' " " out¬ Consolidated Paper Corporation, Limited—Analysis—James Ricli^ sell such shares to accounts in a ardson & Sons, 367 Main Street; given area or to new accounts Winnipeg,. Man., Canada and 80 generally — through established King Street, West, Toronto, Ont., Suburban Propane Gas Corp.— Analysis — Amott, Baker & Co., Inc. ,150 Broadway, New York 7, N. Y. . ' . standing shares. Jt would offer to up on purely theoretical concepts. I was referring to the fetish of sales outlets. The price to the Canada. • equity ratios. This is not a plea purchaser could be the closing for debt financing nor is it a plea price of the previous day. Doehler-Jarvis Corp.—Circular The for thin equity ratios but it is a sales outlet would get a commis¬ Auchincloss, Parker & Redpath, 52 olea not to insist on equity financ- sion approximately twice the com¬ Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. We ~ four pages and regulatory Commissions get¬ ting off their perches and easing contrary sociation, May 12, 1949.- over it the beginning *A talk by Mr Tegen before the New York Financial Writers' As- comprehensive, group. Something deter¬ apparent. too a sales talk by the Why kid ourselves —the sales talk is more important last year—there was evidence that thftt might be the case. However, yOU underestimated mination to make still should include selling the inflationary cycle—that October is should not be other way, you expected that an increase in equity caoital would dilute Financial this job too. The Bidding let me say that for my money it is "no go" as to commons and preferreds. We saying that equity capital isn't coy about coming out. I am told that, in the years just ahead, capital. wish well fine if the issuer is kept out of it. competitive lidt equity organizations, to join the effort. An orchid to Merrill Lynch on this subject. it in part, just how do you do it under petitive bidding? last year's Federal Reserve survey of investors' attitudes. you dealers' very may stockholders. gain in that it enabled the local utility the Many of security rights replaced almost of Pened preferred 6,700 accounts in the terri¬ When Jerome Frank was gram shoulders to the wheel and unsell as a \^th them. Any other interested parties, such as the securities Chairman of the SEC, he said that he regarded the divestment pro¬ security security dealers' associations will put their industry This reported familiar accounts—only 84 of which in the Penelec territory! like amount with We hope that the exchanges and possibly the shares. our is I tory! (4) expect them it letter of July 1948 that 62% of a sample of people With liquid assets said they were against com¬ mon stocks because (a) they were not safe and (b) they were not wherein really broadened, it may be neces¬ sary to do away with pre-emptive a expect We of some like we'd and up my special complaint competitive bidding—that it were regulatory com¬ missions to help and in some cases come off their perches and ease up on purely theoretical concepts. (5) we areas speaking of old ownership. We are find equity investors areas These our¬ reflected the Bulletin Reserve to 838 selves into the selling effort. result of the We hope that they will in the territory we serve. As an example, I cite the case of Penelec when it sold competitively 101,000 shares of preferred stock in 1945 (2) We expect people who are in the business of seeking out such CSpital to do a better job for us. unhappy more substantially ignores the investors mtist pay. (3)We You not am you can to (1) We will need equity capital inject I in sure irt each of the next several years at ft lower rental than we now should that into reach serve. going to grow and we will lieed equity capital to finance such growth. Stated directly: we exam¬ done. firms mentioned ivill be pleased the following literature: interested parties send to Canada made to the expand their effort to change the picture presented in the Federal time customer are Possibly wish also would and will as an be can selling effort for equity securities in¬ an Industrial what know, of course, that established sa]es outlets did the job. Customers sell we rate. of ple Will live longer. Our standard of livihg- calls for home conveniences which use up the kilowatt hours and cubic feet not are It is understood that the circumstances when Exchanges' Part securities. this let's regula¬ Dealer-Broker Investment cor¬ Exchanges can play in broadening the market for equity should like to us and necessary, the part Many of cern. are Reference was also feel that it costs too much to sell equity securities. occasion, I regulations, or change? have another con¬ we notions ■ with a senior issue reconsideration by the a Commissions Selling Costs other some measures to usually do not come on change the notions single date. The idea might tions. ,: '•/ ;'r ■'v'"'"" fV; what's wrong subject If it does violence workable idea. which dic¬ reasons course. ital meander re¬ given day wouldn't purposes when there may or other good be pre¬ on into pre-emptive rights and quite possibly into the Securities of 1933, Stock Exchange reg¬ ulations and the Holding Company Act. However, it strikes me as a where that is necessary but " an a plan the possibly work a One with Of course, it bumps head capital requirements for expansion My part in this program is to present the views of an issuer on the matter of broaden¬ ing the market for equity securities, on the assumption, I suppose, that such broadening will assure issuers of equity securities of getting the necessary equity capital on more attractive could take guarantee of no ceiving proceeds on financing problems well 1949 Act the issuer has of the utility industry, among which is that present level makes the "rent" for equity capital too high. Calls on regulatory commissions to "get off their perches" and their "fetish" of equiiy ratios. Suggests open-end and tap issue technique for distributing new offerings. terms. especially manager Broadening the Utility Equity Market i work be appropriate. A dealermignt very well be em¬ might ; Thursday, May 19, mission if transaction it or were an Exchange whatever amount „ Time With Collin & Blood CANTON, Montis with Dresser Industries, Inc.—Analy¬ Incorporated—Analysis- William A. Fuller & Co., 209 South Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. La has Collin OHIO — become and Harlan H. associated Blood. He with Otis & Co. in the past. was Volume 169 Number 4804 THE COMMERCIAL No Depression in Offing:Townsend Economist points to absence of over-extended private credits precluding repetition of the business collapse of 1921. result of the publicity given sporadic lay-offs in the country, the profits of industry may be somewhat less than they were in 1948, but there is no present rea¬ son to anticipate their disappear¬ the to at Chicago, on May 12. "No Equity Maiket Stagnation Chairman, Securities and Exchange Commission .... diversion of financing into private placement. Maintains Commission in lieu of either encouraging or discouraging speculation, Commission performs constructive function in making information available. Association's- Beach Hotel ance." In spite of short-range and short-sighted temptations to finance with excessive debt, advantages of sound equity capitalization are obvious. I think I can safely assume that our problem is not to educate ourselves to the need for equity financing, but to find the of stim¬ ways viduals to whom direct investment recently is ulating it. Industry consumer novel adventure added about according to sound proportions of equity and pression which $22.5 debt. everyone to - one ever heard of de¬ a billions its is about three- quarters averted. To¬ long-term debt ex¬ as any danger clear¬ ly anticipated issu W. W. Townsend undermargined po¬ group wage a re¬ It in calls income financial our is there of excess no optimism, no commodities, no expansion and any depression that may over¬ take us will be largely emotional and probably of very short dura¬ tion," Mr. Townsend pointed out. Continuing, Mr. Townsend speculation Current in unwarranted inventory tion American "It is important to recognize the between a recession depression. A recession is a return from an abnormally high level of activity to a normal level a Recovery Programme, Volume I— Organization for European Eco¬ nomic Cooperation, Paris, France —Paper. of activity and is healthy. A de¬ pression is a retreat from a normal level of activity to a subnormal level of activity and is unhealthy. "A large part of the troubles beset the which of Enterprise Association, Interim Report on the European difference world today traced to confusion be Hutchinson— P. Inc., 4 East 41st Street, New York 17, N. Y.—Paper—500 (special prices for quantity orders). stated: and Problems of Immigra¬ Policy—E. can for laws economic search some Goodyear, The—The Story' of the Rubber Industry in America—Hugh Allen—The Cor- & Gross Co., day 1771 East 25th Cleveland, Ohio—Cloth— Street, $3.00. " ■ ■ and the Utopia in which Goldman Sachs Group can be provided at no Offers United Biscuit moved well into the recession There is no evidence, as yet, that an actual depression is in the offing. pretty "Thrift is being deprecated and production is supposed to be the consequence, not the cause, of purchasing power. Democracy means one thing to us and another thing to the Russians. The basic laws economic can be circum¬ cannot be repealed they vented, Sachs & Co. heads underwriting group that is of¬ Goldman, an fering publicly today (Thursday) 80,000 shares of United Biscuit Co. of America $4.50 Cumulative Pre¬ ferred Stock (without par value) share. Proceeds from be applied to the payment of $3,000,000 of shortterm bank loans, and approxi¬ mately $4,000,000 will be required at $103.50 the construction and in Nature there are neither re¬ wards March nor penalties, only conse¬ of quences. "Prices and profits both depend "upon the public's capacity to spend and their willingness to spend. At no time in our previous history have we had so much purchasing in this country as we have had during the past few years, as power result credit war, has in of the monetization of order to implement the and later to win the Deal and at no time in our history much of this credit-created so resulted from the moneti¬ zation of government credit. "In practically every previous period of credit expansion the proportions have been approxi¬ mately 10% government credit and 90% private credit. Today's proportions are 57% government credit and 43% private credit, and because the government can print the money if it is demanded, that much of its purchasing power is noncollapsible. We have literally put a floor under about $70 bil¬ lion of excess purchasing power. money "Under these bargains when they ap¬ pear to be definitely bargains practically guarantees against any such experience as we had in 1921, 1929 up or "With 1937. volume in process on 31, 1949 and the acquisition equipment author¬ additional ized for purchase billions to plant and equipment and over $4 billions to net working capital. It is obvious that the vast part of this increase in our productive capacity was provided by the American con¬ $17 over reasonably well assured, with material costs de¬ creasing, with the threat of a fourth round of wage increases practically lifted from our shoul¬ ders and with the productivity of the worker himself increasing as not the investor. sumer and Provision is vestment tinue to July 1,600 1973, 1989, shares ignore that to our to ap¬ a year Co. always Financing manufacture in the distribution by delivery system of varied lines of crackers, cookies and biscuits. The territory served includes most of the trading areas of the United States, except the Pacific Northwest, certain areas its own in and truck New York in districts City, and certain California and in the to Group to Study Bigelow Brown & A of security analysts headed by Stanley Heller of Stanley Heller & Co.. Members of the group New will leave York on Stock Exchange, May 21 for St. Paul, Minnesota where they will make a survey of Brown for is those balanced justed choose between according It of group covered, is good for morale—but wonder whether the should not fool ourselves about of equity as changes potential many our in middle know that. are Not ous. but only con¬ can the real problems that we stood. face. What keeps the small investor from The buying Federal equity theories that securities? Reserve However, are under¬ be "Bulletin" understood were all if even that (Continued would be on page these would neces- 36) This is under no circumstances to he construed as an offering of these securities for sale, or as an solicitation of an offer to buy, any of such securities. The offer is made only by means of the Prospectus. ■offer to buy, or as a NEW ISSUE May 18, 1949 costs some¬ extent obvi¬ some the are 800,000 Shares expenses shareholders existing consider also what must they get in ex¬ Southern California Edison change for sharing their position with new stockholders or adding the charges Company on earnings ahead selling senior securities. of them in ' & none¬ is well-satisfied retained; earnings lack Saving Trend The war trend in emergence wage so on Bonds Price $32.25 per a toward the share the one hand of a earning enough to make large segments of pur pop¬ ulation a potential source of di¬ rect of investment, and and rapidly stitutional ings. the other, growing in¬ on vast accumulations Into channeled these vast of sav¬ institutions funds and, Copies of the Prospectus are may be obtained from any of the several Stales in which underwriters, including the undersigned, only in be¬ such underwriters of custom, law and economic necessity these funds tend to find their way into investment in and in which are such qualified to act Prospectus may as dealers in securities legally be distributed. bonds. With must we this emerging pattern corresponding adjust¬ ways of finance, if come in ments are the not to kets a source miss the oppor¬ securities mar¬ constant and adequate of capital. The challenge tunity to keep our The First Boston Corporation Harris, Hall & Company (Incorporated) ■ - - ■ ' 1 . Dean Witter & Co. ■' Blyth & Co., Inc. is to direct the resources of indi- Bigelow, manufacturers of calendars, play¬ value) than accentuated economy group par satisfied. Tied to years our ($25 his misfortunes rather income high taxes is not see Common Stock but the small whose of to i - real, are the costs of in¬ ternal financing. For it can take place only as a result of with¬ holding dividends. The large stockholder whose income must be shared liberally with the govern¬ ment *A talk by Mr. Hanrahan before forum-dinner ing cards, and other remembrance Finahcial advertising novelties. May 12, 1949. of I potentialities hedge a and I wonder how Healthy griping, as the army dis¬ investors ad¬ be stocks to market conditions. to complain rather than to construct. we appraise. portfolio should as bonds convenient a who of distribution taken into account cause Gulf States. Heller Commission target understood, and the a issue is floated a new America of principally engaged difficult to Exchange Commission in helping business to have access to these pools of saving for the building of productive capacity. can the costs are is not are familiar theory to all in the financial community that a wellis capital mar¬ safely as¬ economy thing. When ginning at $108.50. For the sink¬ ing fund the shares are redeem¬ able at $104.50 prior to July 15, 1959 and at $103.50 thereafter. Biscuit are risks equity capital issues. shareholder United rules us can prosper, tion of the company at prices be¬ V in¬ goods and employment without a broad and receptive market for new to to is and The deterrent, there¬ fore, is probably not so much that a gamble is involved, but that it is a gamble in a game where the perhaps con¬ our of none the role of the con¬ not afraid of are The Securities make can gamble. a pertinent most I was theless the redeemable at the op¬ are could new Somewhat less obvious but sinking ending 15, as follows: 1951 to 1961, shares per year; 1962 to 2,000 shares per year; 1974 to 2,400 shares per year. The plication of shares during each fund needs for our we kets. But the there we guarantee that these in¬ ternal sources in earnings would continue to be sufficient to satisify for made If had any that date. on circumstances prices may decline a little further, but the ability of the public to pick a will sale for New $5.6 billions came from The re¬ mainder was internally produced from accumulations of earnings. At the same time industry added outline continue to replace and improve the produc¬ tive facilities that provide us with Preferred at 103V2 stage. a securities. sume cost. ' "This country has merely equity the sale of long-term debt. tinue 'security' Perhaps contribution from the sale of came the bulk of in the use words, misrepresentation of the basic of House tions that Americans The SEC's Role E. M. Hanrahan brackets stocks, and the vast majority of feeling was that common were a gamble in unfamil¬ iar territory. I think it obvious munity of the opportunities we missing for promoting sound direct investment by vast num¬ bers of our people. of these addi¬ shows stocks are earnings. Only $1.2 billions which this com¬ retention of day, of study a finances siderable feeling against common part for re-examination by our industrial managers and published that, in a survey of thousands of people at representative sampling points, only 5% were in favor of owning stocks. Even in the higher small and earner businessman. a and equity se¬ curities, and through the sitions in the security markets, no requires in part education of the American middle of a n c e a To do this plant, equipment and working capital in 1948 through the pected, 9 SEC Chairman points out consumer in lieu of investor is financing increase in productive capacity. De¬ fends SEC's role against charges of responsibility therefor. Denies Commission's responsibility for great National Machine Tool Builders' Association at dinner session of the Spring (2165) By HON. EDMOND M. IIANRAHAN* as evidence as yet that an actual depression is in the offing, W. W. Townsend, nationally known economist and partner in Townsend-Skinner and Company, New York, told members of the Meeting in Edge water CHRONICLE The SEC and the There is np annual FINANCIAL & the Writers' New York Association. William R. Staats Co. Weeden & Co. 10 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (2166) CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, 1949 Shareholders' Trust of Boston at Missouri Brevities ;the net asset value in effect at the Joseph Light & Power Co., in the company's annual report for the year 1948 stated in part as follows: "To finance the construction program for the years 1949-1951, inclusive, additional capital funds will be required. Plans are in Charles A. Semrad, 'President of St. progress to secure all or stantial part of this new money by the middle of 1949. through the sale of additional common stock the to parent, company's to the public." sale of bonds the Conti¬ Corp., and Gas & Electric nental of the common stock of the St. Joseph utility firm is owned by Continental al¬ most all of whose stock in turn is At The United Light and Co. During February, 1949, a policy of. liquidation of the parent companies was an¬ owned by Railways nounced. :■ connection with the liquida¬ In St. Joseph's common stock will be distributed, probably during the latter part of 1949, to the com¬ tion stockholders mon parent Joseph firm reported a net income after charges and Federal income taxes pf $574,432 calendar year 1948, com¬ pared with $283,712 for the year 1947. Current assets at Dec. 31, 1948 amounted to $1,868,820, and current liabilities $996,363. underwriters, including A. G Edwards & Sons, A of 78 group Cook Newhard, Rein- Co., & holdt & Gardner, I. M. Simon & " Cov Stern Brothers & Co., Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. and Stix & , and Co., others, April' on 26 publicly offered, for the account of United Gas Corp. 435,282 shares of stock common (par $10) of Mississippi River Fuel Corp., St. Louis, at $30 per share. In River Fuel ers of scribe for common record on Mississippi stockhold¬ April 1949 12, the right to sub¬ before May 9, 1949 or additional 327,610 shares an of addition, given were stock common at $27.25 per share, the proceeds of which are to be used in the company's Carroll Hochwalt, A. Vice-President, santo will and devel¬ through the lab¬ opment work of Monsanto and Vis¬ oratories William cose. Mon¬ a and its research pursue ley New of Ewing affiliate. sales of $5,773,493, Of the 56,000 shares of com¬ program. Of these 327,610 shares, the stockholders subscribed for shares, 326,216 remaining 1,394 shares be¬ ing taken by up (par offered Co. $1) the to * The of for. The remaining 47,095 shares publicly offered, after the rights expired on May 7, 1949, at the same price, by a group of were which underwriters cluded in¬ Prescott, Wright, Snider Co. of Kansas City. The St. Louis and net proceeds defray part are to be used to of the cost of ex¬ additions tensions, im¬ and provements to the utility firm's properties. *. * ■ . Included in * „ .• nationwide the syndicate, which May 4 pub¬ on licly marketed 1,500,000 shares of Pacific Gas & Electric Co. 5% series $26.75 at Dempsey-Tegeler Newhard, Smith, $25), (par A share and dividends, following Missouri per the bankers:, Co., preferred first redeemable stock, Cook Moore Simon & & * . Century Electric Co., St. Louis, for the three months ended March 31, 1949 reported net sales of $3,343,511, and net profit, after charges and income taxes, of $26,572, equal to five cents per share. This compares with net sales of Corp. Co., & dividend to the Among * who on Co. & Were participated of 1974 due j;i 5j» f at , ' , the nine underwriters May 6 publicly offered Kansas. P o w e r & first mortgage bonds, 101.50% and interest, was Stern Brothers & Co. of Kansas City. M. v M. D. was those among Carl together 104,000 the public 21 of 70,000 shares of Merck Co., offering cumulative $4 Inc. April on & con¬ vertible second preferred stock, without par value, at $102.75 per and accrued dividends. share April with 18 shares 30 of The Teletype-SL 486 Missouri firms reported earnings per common share for latest fiscal year as follows: MidContinent Airlines, Inc., 27 cents City Security Traders Association announces that Fishbite," which will be held the weekend of June 10, entirety. Gull Lake itself is a beautiful lake in the heart oi the Paul Bunyan territory. There are hundreds of lakes within a 30-minute this big one, and all abound in fresh water, fighting fish, Walleyed Pike, Great Northern Pike, bass, and many other species of the finny tribe. There is still some question as to whether the fish, or the stories about them, are the biggest whoppers; but such the of as local group assures everyone that comes that they will receive fish, fun, food, firewater and fellowship, to say nothing golf, boating, etc. ' before giving effect to retroactive adjustment of mail revenue equal to 34 cents); Midwest Piping & Supply Co., their limit in Inc., ities (against 13 cents, $6.21 (against $4.91); Mis¬ (against $1.04); St. Louis-San Francisco Ry. souri Edison Co., 93 cents and Subsidiaries, $3.25); Stix, $3.46 (against Baer & Fuller Co., of As and hosts, the Association would like to invite and the reservations must be in early. men; aries, $6.52 to The With H. Hertz Do. FRANCISCO, (Special CALIF.— John W. O'Neill has become affili¬ ated With Dean Witter Montgomery Street, A. G. Becker & Co., Inc. Chronicle) Financial & Co., 45 members of the New York and San Francisco South Becker associated & Co., with* 120 Inc., La Salle Street. Mr. Boy¬ & H, Hentz lan the in the past was manager of municipal trading department for Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. associated will He with organize and direct a re¬ previously with Frank Knowlton Mr. . 'fly?-"- ' ■ '• -A;' •; v . tail Investment Trust Department. & Co. With Merrill Lynch (Special LOS to The Financial ANGELES, Co. Chronicle) staff L. of Ingles Merrill Fenner & has C A L I F.— . joined Lynch, Wilson previously with First Securities Company of Chi¬ cago in charge of research depart¬ ment and with Swift, Henke & was Herrick, Waddell Adds Four (Special The Financial Chronicle) LOUIS, MO.—James R. AlThomas G. Bell, Jr., Co. Prior thereto he was with sobrook, John G. Duckworth, and Miles O. Da vies & Mejia and other Pacific King are now associated with Her¬ Ccasl firms. rick, Waddell & Reed, Inc., 418 Locust & Harvey Brown (Special Beane, 523 West Sixth to The and Brown in MAINE Ernest B. Brown & King Merritt Adds John — (Special Harvey to The Financial Chronicle) * ST. LOUIS, MO.—W. D. McGee Harvey to is securities business. a Street. Open Chronicle) Financial GREENVILLE, Street. to ST. the Pierce, now with King Merritt & Co., Inc., 408 Olive Street. Spinning Observations (Continued from page 5) incontrovertible fact that o Eastern Transmission objects, junk, or real in tial new-issue buyers. Bought — Sold — SL 456 St. Louis 2, Mo. trusts he has SEC—nor to any t- * made it clear that he attaches to other "single cause"—the onus tor our capital financing difficulties. To the contrary, it must be appre¬ ciated that they are the result of a combination of elements running Landreth Building Teletype writer neither the Quoted i Bell selling of all objects—be they art auction technique introduces a . «s* SCHERCK, FIGHTER COMPANY ^ the estate—the psychological element inevitably increasing the price. Thus, in lieu;of stimulating security marketing, the government's competitive-bidding attitude actually is likely to deter many poten¬ Mfg. STREET become has G. A. Co., 120 South La Salle Street. become Southwest Gas Producing SECURITIES Louis Stock Exchange Boylan With CHICAGO, ILL.—John T. Boy¬ lan CHICAGO, ILL. — Arthur J. Wilson, well known in La Salle Street for the past 20 years, has This t Financial Chronicle) The to Stock Exchanges. Mr, O'Neill was Southern Union Gas Members St. within John T. Commonwealth Gas Stix & Co. . ye bury at the Minneapolis First National Bank for your reservation in the Land of the 10,000 Lakes," is the call of Twin Cities. Arthur J. Wilson Now (against $5.94). Dean Witter Co. Adds Rockwell St.Louis l,Mof "Please, all reading distance, drop a note to, or call on the teletype, Bob Pills- Mississippi" River Fuel Texas : key pusher $3.53 (against $4.08); and May De¬ partment Stores Co., and subsidi¬ Delhi Oil OLIVE every partner in the United States, but unfortunately the super facil¬ of this amazing resort are limited to 150 investment minded Black, Sivalls & Bryson MO. ' 509 Co. 11 and 12, is the most ambitious of the famous summer parties yet given by the Group. For this occasion, Grand view Lodge, on gor¬ geous Gull Lake in Northern Minnesota, has been taken over in its drive Other Berkshire Fine L.D.240 INVESTMENT & Twin "Operation engage BUILDING William S. Hunter Hartwig Hartwig, Treasurer—Link, Gorman, Peck & Co. S. Hunter, Secretary—Lee Higginson Corporation. have formed ST. LOUIS 2, Carl TWIN CITIES SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION H. LANDRETH I Becker William participating in $271,580, share. on Peltason Jenenbaum Co. William Sachnoff, President—Straus & Blosser. William Becker, Vice-President—L. F. Rothschild »i* *»* Sachnoff D. Co. Smith, Moore & Co., St. Louis, per other underwriters in the public •offering '• v V sinking; v also the =.,* public series due 1979, at Robert Stix , $10,000,000 (Special requirements equivalent to 76 cents LITHIUM CORP. the and accrued interest. $;? 355,787 shares of stock in debentures 101.31% Stern preferred stock, of $53,979, equivalent to 15 cents per share on the 355,939 common shares out¬ standing. During the three months ended March 31, 1948, the profits common of to¬ & the available the winners April 26 of $40,000,- on 25-year -3%% fund Co., & McQiiay-Norris Manufacturing Co., St. Louis, for the quarter ended March 31, 1949 reported a net profit, after Federal income and Morrison Hotel, May follows: as nation-wide group 000 National Distillers Products SAN on a underwriters, offering Brothers & Co. and Stix & Co. taxes officers new M. I. participated, Inc. Co., of 12 investment * league and install its Co, and Barret, Fitch gether with houses. * of the Bond Traders Club of Chicago will hold its annual dinner at the Hollywood Room, 26, at which time it will distribute prizes to . . Gardner, & of Co. Walker & H. G. ....The bowling league .. $1,- company's April 20, 1949 at $10 per share, 8,905 shares were subscribed five !■: Reinholdt stockholders of record common and net profit 894,926 and net of $866,553, or $2.88 per common share, for the same period a year ago. Telephone States Southwestern .1 BOWLING LEAGUE OF BOND TRADJERS GLUB OF CHICAGO 306,308, equal to $3.26 per com¬ share, as against sales of $3,- Light stock six months reported net after Federal income taxes of 2%% mon Corp., Inde¬ the for ended March 31, 1949 Co., & were expansion the have Corp. joined in the formation of a new company to engage in research and development work in the field of synthetic fibers. The new corporation, as yet un¬ named, will be headed by Dr. and a Director of American Viscose, will be a member of the board of the new The St. . and Co. Joseph stock will be held by a St. the large number of public investors. for the Chemical Viscose American Harvester Gleaner NSTA Notes p.m. May 18. on pendence, 4 at mon * ^ Monsanto expired (EDST) This commissions. and offering Fork, partner of Morgan, Stan¬ Upon distribution common the of * * completion of companies. this that is "contemplated it $5,664,540 and net after taxes of $541,748, or $1.04 per share, for the corresponding period of last year. Current assets at March 31, 1949 amounted to $7,809,802, and current liabilities $2,732,947. all present, counts sub-f* a orders were underwriting dis¬ purchase time received plus Garfield 0225 L. D. 123 the gamut ranging from the constant international threats to domestic political attack to the changed flow of savings and thesr institutional growth to lack of knowledge about companies or investment to taxa¬ tion to fear of illiquidity—and even to the psychologciaL foibles of the investors must not gators or be themselves. But in this array the politip^l elements singled out for overlooking, either by private investi¬ the government's experts. Volume 169 Number 4804 - THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE fiscal Stimulating the Securities Markets 1 By FRANCIS ADAMS TRUSLOW* V President, New York Curb Exchange . , adequate equity capital financing. Suggests following factors as inhibiting indi/idual's stock buying: (1) lack of knowledge or money; (2) lack of confidence in a company or business in general; (3) fear of disproportionate tax impost; and (4) doubt about later resalability. Advocates more Intelligent security-selling efforts, and tax reforms devised through joint committee of Congress and representatives of farmers, industry,; •! finance, labor, and the Treasury, as s^eps to improve "investment climate." V: There . and not are turn local problem affecting a Plans First: to $55 spend billion country a re<« these now projected - the during fiv next try a up substan t i a 1 - . the to buy in ex¬ ume for the owner - use -:-r ■ Second: the last '^.- few centage of all new capital raised by selling new stock issues has dropped from over 50% to less than 20% of the total. Third: the In last ■ three years is Stimu¬ Be the more same question manageable size. people who want X stock increases, the vol¬ transactions, and probably of price, the we can problem even questions: • \ . - - (2) How makes a: man what it takes to can make him buy a stock be supplied and what prevents him be re¬ * moved? dropped somewhat tially lower than they . Out experience can't the sell of were stock new volume .and changes long- know we three when levels - the stock on ; , four years of that you issues falling. are -From these , price established stocks , and substan¬ ago; Fourth: „ 30% are Obviously this reduction to size of consideration which there wouldn't be But for the purpose of market. a this stimu¬ sellers they will find them for a at price. of "What The Suggested biggest single boost give to the confidence could we: of potential buyers would be to put a responsible committee (repre¬ Makes Buy Man a a Unfortunately, the biggest of part this job overcoming is the work of misinforma¬ current tion and old prejudices hung over from another generation which but from never saw, suffer. us Stock?" ' manship. a Bill de¬ Morton A. Cayne rather than discourage equity investment and engage in the securities business would press its enactment, wc under the firm name of Cayne & would move a long way toward Co. Mr. Cayne, who has recently stimulating the Securities Markets been Vice-President of Cunning¬ signed and the to that fact going to out and business wakes our business is up a knowl¬ con¬ If to rate must ing. be sure Hall & Co., 70 Pine Street, New City, dealers in New York municipal bonds, announce the as¬ York reduced, the final require¬ of adequate markets to as¬ resale would be supplied as sociation with them of William P. the incidental results; but important still, the securities New York office of the Trust Co. sure of that sure needless and We • the bar¬ of the H. ings, Rollins a served Fishing!I! & the previously with Co. Mr. Hutch¬ graduate of Yale in 1941, for five years with the "money mainly of his Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, New York in the Pacific area, and senior partner .held the rank of major at the time Marcus Goodbody, • moment needed and Army Air Force as a combat pilot, Gone ••• not raised against sales¬ manship. which Georgia, E. equity capital cannot be obtained. without ulation with formerly Hutchings, of one more and do the work of find¬ persuading potential buyers. Hatchings With Hail & Co. markets would receive that stim¬ are At William devoted ment that informing, riers are gives adequate people to meet the; be edge and the money. Second: He must have the will¬ byi structure inducement to expenses fullest efforts our creating widespread knowledge were make, and those who the rules of securities approve, our inquiry Co., in the past was a prin¬ is program tract from its soundness. who markets.J We a ricades of badly designed taxation requires informed and ham & better "investment a Such and the confidence to use it in the in unless they go. purchase of stocks, and if the bar¬ come those creating , not bring it in. stant, Congress encourage cipal of Cayne, Robbins & Co. and neither very bold nor very new,; Cayne & Co. ' but its lack of novelty doesn't de¬ receive or be persuaded to this prerequisite of knowledge, unless every partner j and em¬ ployee in to climate." not must ;:Vr First: He must have the and present to straight sales¬ Potential buyers will servicing ex¬ state¬ the lating discussion, I think we can assume that if buyers are looking . simple ment. Part of this work seller's side of the market without over A Joint Committee j " eliminates years | use ; buy stock and what stops him? and, What on our own ) "underdeveloped areas." Part of this job is actually reduce further to two little (1) little checking up on our own "in¬ vestment climate" and widely and accurately capital formation. If this commit¬ spread to supply this first require-' tee were instructed to prepare will also increase. To many of us which all of our question, the the volume, of transactions in thb public securities markets has average stock prices Knowledge of what the words of Perhaps around OHIO —Morton A. Cayne has opened offices in the Union Commerce Building to •must; "be: "market will be stimulated." In the per¬ years Truslow ■r - process, "How Can the Stock If the number of of ship. It •' • peeling X CLEVELAND, our this! sentative of the Treasury, of farm¬ ers.. of industry, of labor and of stock finance) to work with a joint com¬ market is.« Basie knowledge, which mittee of Congress*on the sub¬ we seems unparclonably simple to us,! ject ^of~ taxation and its effect on particular tion. any ourselves in only cut to cost stock this ask can part change in - After and for foreign consumption on ourselves. Let's do a industrial improvement- and growth in on markets get Market who lated?" can partners will put A. j : stock. e if Indus-' years ; Francis j subject is of national moment' limited number of pocketbooks. a telescopes our 11 Morion A. Cape Forms Own Investment Firm expropriate, confiscate or discriminate against-those who risk their money. I suggest that 1 speeches four simple statements whicb indicate that our merely policies will be sound, that that its fax policies will be fair, it will not we Mr. Truslow asserts increased stock exchange volume is prerequisite to (2167) separation from the service. City, members of the with which people could, if they New York Stock Exchange, and Reynolds & Co. . ingness to exchange. his cash for would, buy stocks seems to be in Thomas A. Larkin, manager of the (Special to The Financial Chronicle) «be able to raise the It is scattered equity capital a share in a company, in the hope ample supply. WINSTON-SALEM, N. C.— it needs for its than it trading department of the firm, programs, unless that the share will increase in somewhat more widely there is a rise in volume and prices has been in the past;*,but it is a have left for a two weeks' fishing Sergius Koltz has become asso¬ vaLue or< will pay him income or on the public stock markets. requirement which probably rep¬ rlrip in "the Laurentian" Mountains ciated with Reynolds & Co., both. resents the least of our problems. I don't believe there can be Third: He must be assured that of Quebec. any Reynolds Building. It is not, however, a requirement doubt that the question: "How he will have a market in which ments draw a fairly safe Industry isn't going to can we conclusion. Adds . . • Can Securities Markets Be Stimu¬ he lated?". i& losses, take his profits,, or recover question of national a importance. Unfortunately, it isn't the usual $64 question. No like knows the one answer. However, sell if he wants' to cut "his can cash for other purposes.. that We we may that we completely can be must a twealth Man From in this forget. our the reach who represent the "What Prevents in wrong belief people Notice of Sale of University of Idaho great base of Perhaps country. Ejoxids of Regents of Student Union Building — Negotiable Coupon Bonds Stock?" ^.. .. v ^ ■„ equity capital can only come from: NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that The Regents of the University of Idaho will sell knowledge or the minority of the population at" the office of the President, Administration Building, University of Idaho, Moscow, with higher i incomes. Perhaps Idaho, on Tuesday, May 31, 1949, at 2:00'P.M. the negotiable coupon bonds of the cial Writers' Association has done money. "" " '. ■ * taxes and expenses have rested so said Board in the principal amount of $650,000.00. us Second:' Lack of confidence in all a service in staging this Said bonds shall constitute an obligation of The Regents of the University of heavily on this 20% of the popu¬ a company, or in business or. the hunting party. ' Idaho, and will be issued pursuant to Chapter 55 of the Extraordinary Session JLaws lation whose nominal incomes ex¬ of future in generaL Idaho, 1935, as amended. Bonds will be secured by a pledge of revenues received If we assume that some answer ceed $5,000 that they are already from a fee of $7.50 per semester to be charged each full time student for this purpose Third: ,Fearf must be found because of the im¬ thatrtaxes5wiH take •and-a-summer session fee of $2.50 per each regular student, beginning with the second too crippled in their ability to buy semester of the school year 1949-50. portance of the question and if we away too much of any increase in Punas received from the sale of this bond issue value or earnings which he might ..stocks. Only time and our efforts! will-ce-used-for the construction of an extension to the present Student Union Build¬ assume that there are probably to reach the largest but most scat-; ing, remodeling the present structure, and for equipment including utilities and related obtain. "several right answers and count¬ : Fourth: A dim view of his abil¬ tered sources of money can answer appurtenances.-: less wrong answers and no one can Said bonds shall be dated July 1, 1949, with interest payable semi-annually on ..this question. be sure which are right, how is ity to resell when arid if wants April 1 aiid October 1 of each year beginning with October 1, 1949. Principal and The requirement of "willing¬ interest shall be payable at the First Trust & Savings Bank, in Moscow, Idaho. the best way to get at the prob¬ 'to do .so. Bonds shall mature semi-annually on April 1 and October 1 of each year as hereIf these are the requirements ness to buy" and the obstacles lem? ' "ittaftcr set forth: v' .'v.,,;,. and the obstacles to stock pur¬ which stand in its way—lack of 812,000—October 1, 1950 to and including. April 1, 1954 : Narrowing the Question chases. as I think they are, the confidence and confiscatory taxa¬ $15,000— October 1, 1954 to and including April 1, 1961 the conditions which I think the first thing for me to more these requirements are met tion—are $18,000—October 1, 1961 to and including April 1, 1370 $20,000—Octobfl' 1, 1970 do is to cut the question down to and these obstacles reduced the are, in my judgment, the hardest ; • we must search answer , diligently for the and the New York Finan¬ Baying a Lack of First: . ~ ... ■ . . . • T - .. a size which I understand. can we more will stimulate the pur^ to ' One of the troubles with the prob¬ lem is that it seems so big and of stock and the chase Markets in which those complicated that trying to think will be made.\ about it all at once just results in fuzzy thoughts and generalities. ; ; ,;,Our problem certainly be reduced to something much more simple than the question, of how can , to stimulate the "Securities Mar¬ kets." Let's forget all about the stock exchanges that are many lumped in that phrase and con«sider only one exchange—prefer¬ ably of course,: the let's recognize, that Curb. Then 1jhe Curb, hundred in the separate markets . question will be found in seeking ways to generate these requirements and diminish these obstacles at the grass roots level of the individual who could be¬ be dealt in on its floor. us reduce the problem 'down to the level of amy one of ,.*A talk by Mr.' Trtislow before forum-dinner of the New York Fi' • ? ^ extraordinarily - - - easy to ings. It the statements i securities - confidence is to be restored it is ' essential that voicing policies be avoided. 5! and dated from. July any irresponsible half-baked 1, shall be Bonds on be submitted providing for a twenty-five year amortized (providing for approximately equal payments of combined a thirty year amortized schedule of maturities; both and/or ' 1949. Prior to October date, October!, 1952—not callable 1352 to and including April 1955 to and including April 1955—callable at 1, 1958—callable and thereafter—callable at 100 at 1, October S, October 2, . » . V V to maturity on 30 days' notice, in whole or in part, in inverse order of maturity and number as follows; callable prior interest payment is If may principal) ;j to de¬ proposals maturities stroy confidence—the kind of con¬ fidence it takes to risk your sav¬ that can only be supplied by the combined efforts of the-people in where to obtain reliable informa¬ can let stimulation greatest can extraordinarily diffi¬ cult to built it up again. If men in " positions of responsibility come a buyer. make irresponsible promises as to what government can and will Let's look at these requirements and obstacles and what might be spend and give away to special done about them: r( groups in the population it will ~ " take a lot of action and not merely Investor Knowledge other statements by other men in ? "Knowledge" is a requirement high office to restore confidence. 12,1949. Then we schedule" of" interest • the securities markets. I believe that our answer to the :; It is big nanciat Writers' Association, May which I ■, Alternate But here remove. within which area purchases give the business, govern¬ ment officials,: corporate officials educators, and perhaps most of all by financial writers. Knowl¬ edge of how corporations are put together and how they operate. Knowledge of what a stock is, how it can be • bought and sold, hundred securities many supply and is the „ i which is only one of many securi¬ ties markets, is also divisible into many ;; Securities ... 1958 1, 102 101 .Provided however, that in case alternate proposals are made for a twenty-five year or thirty year schedule trf maturities, ihe last 8100,000 of maturities shall be callable at par on and after October t, 1952. On the 31st day of »— tion Building, consider all Moscow, bids for (PST) at the University Administra¬ of Regents will meet to receive, open and sell the same to the best and highest 1949, at 2:00 P.M. May, Idaho, made the said Board bonds, and bonds will not be sold at an interest rate in excess of four bidder; provided however, per annum. The Regents reserve the right to reject any or all bids, to waive formalities, !to determine in their sole discretion the most favorable bid received .and to sell said bonds at private sale if deemed to the best interest of the University. percentum i or * All bids spall be sealed/ and1 shall specify the lowest rate of interest, and premium discount at which the bidder will Each bid is purchase said bonds. cashier's check amount¬ of Idaho. Such certified provided however, that such amount is to be forfeited by the successful bidder in event of failure to make ing to 5'/o or required to be accompanied by of bid, payable cashier's check' shall a certified or to The Regents of the University be returned" to all unsuccessful bidders; payment for such bonds upon date of delivery. We a lot of time, in and government, these days try¬ ing to find out how to improve spend out of th& "investment climate" derdeveloped countries. in un¬ We say the .foreign government must give assurances to our capital that its Approving legal opinion of Messrs. Chapman and Cutler, Bond Attorneys of Chicago, Illinois, will be furnished the successful bidder. Bid shall be mailed so as to reach the undersigned or be delivered to the under¬ signed at the address slated below prior to- 2:60 P. M., May 31, 1949. ! ! - • - ... By order of The Regents of the University of Idaho KENNETH A. DICK, Bursar Administration „ . ._ Building University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho 12 (2168) THE COMMERCIAL Connecticut Brevities The annual net sales for Spring- Corporation was 1948 ■/■•,■■/■ _1, 1 1 FINANCIAL By .— Associate General without 1958, for a total of $1,284,031. plant which was in full op¬ The suit alleges that the company by the year end will im¬ has failed to pay certain excise prove the efficiency. Two of the taxes, certain creditors "punc¬ older Bristol plants are being va¬ tually^ and failed to provide for cated and will be sold. its sinking fund obligations which : •' • ■ « ft due April were -! ft has Company 15, 194&. New York . purchased Henry & Wright Manu¬ to the suit, a protective committee facturing Company, producer of had been formed to represent the high-speed automatic machinery bondholders. for forming and stamping parts, ft with other types of auto¬ machinery. The purchase price of '$1.2 million included $500,000 cash obtained on a bank loan. Mr.- Wollhiar, President of Hartford-Empire, states that the ft along purchase the broaden to Frank of retiring for Mr. the field ft a* recommendation of directors ft to « increase capitalization to enter consolidation. a The the the author¬ tion The additional capital will be used to enable the company to increase used its production wants present and schedule above the additional ' , * * spare ** * parts. ~ ft on April 18, 1949, provides for the separation of the gas and elec¬ tric properties and the stock of the New York, New Haven & Hartford Railroad Co. from the transportation business by trans¬ ferring them to a new corporation. The plan also provides for reduc¬ tion in the ferred and ent $100 par value of the pre¬ common from the pres¬ share to $50 and $5, respectively. Stock of the new corporation is expected to be of¬ fered short-term ft ft be first ft Hartford Gas Company has been authorized by the State Public its Commission rates which by to 6%. The into went effect 1949, is expected to add increase advance, May 1, approx¬ ft ft Of the 49,850 shares of 4.30% preferred stock offered by Scovill common New York and Boston (Special Stock to SAN Exchanges The Financial FRANCISCO, CALIF.— M. Dickson has become affiliated with Hannaford & Tal¬ Exchange bot, Primary Markets in 519 California Dickson Hartford and was liam Staats R, Street. formerly with Co. and Mr. Wil¬ Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin. Connecticut Securities /With Waldron & Co. ii (Special New York: SAN BArclay 7-3542 Bell to-The added Financial FRANCISCO, William H. System Teletype: HF 365 with respect to ties." The "truth next year in flotations. staff CALIF.— of Waldron & '/■ V "' ' The year enactment the of new 1935 brought Public Company Utility with its Act "death sentence" which experience has shown rather new lease on a was life for pri¬ vate power under public control. In the next few years there were amendments to 1938 and tective the 1934 Act. In 1939, following the Pro¬ Study which Committee by William O. Douglas, first Chapter X of the got court and Commission, and then the Trust Indenture Act. passed Act the Investment INDUSTRIALS Write for specific recommendations of issues with records unbroken of dividend payments. MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK & not may these statutes amiss be to point are adpinistered by independent bipartisan agency, and indeed that in large measure they were prompted and are sup¬ ported by both sides of the legis¬ aisle. The investigation of Banking and Currency which a 1934 Acts had its genesis Senate resolution adopted in 1932—although of a harder a EXCHANGE New Haven 6-0171 New London 2-4301 New 7^2^68-. York Canal NH 6-3662 194 the a subsequent reso¬ Congress did fresh set of teeth with bite. new The monumental mission which produced the Pub¬ lic Utility Holding Company Act *An address by Mr. Loss before Waterbury 3-3166 Danbury 5600 in But late 1941 Pearl important more nothing a bit technical, explain how this I shall try about came why it is vital that the job begun 16 years ago should now finished. If in the telling of this story a moral is drawn about the application of orthodox laissezfaire principles in this field, you be consider may it not altogether accidental. In 1933 Congress subjected most offerings of securities to the light of full disclosure. Under that Act alone, of course, a company new continue to operate in the long as it manages to avoid going to the public market place for its financing. In 1934 can dark so similar disclosure requirements problems that of came and Harbor pro¬ are three interrupted by the war, program except that it is our present plan to bite off a little piece at a time rather than to attempt wholesale review of the 1933 and 1934 Acts. most immediate this regard in concern is to find statutory a The 1934 Act, in making registration a of Exchange listing, condition provided also for annual and other reports to keep the information up to date; and in a 1936 amend¬ ment similar reporting require¬ applicable to registrants of substantial size made were future Separate Proposals legislative proposals in which we are vitally interested. One is es¬ sentially a continuation of the Our Exchange. an addition to ments Three offering securities under the Securities Act of of whether list on 1934 two other 1933 introduced also Act provisions. holders of listed sential regardless not they chose to Exchange. or an The One assures securities of information es¬ their when proxies are solicited. The other is designed to protect security¬ holders against trading abuses by insiders — that is, of¬ directors, and principal formula which will make for the corporate highest degree of real disclosure investors in the offering of se¬ ficers, to curities without at the hamstringing dealers filing same underwriters time and during the period between and the New York Young Republican '•Club;* New 1949.. Securities effectiveness of the stockholders. Such insiders must promptly report any trading in which they engage; they are for¬ bidden to sell short; and their short-term trading profits, result¬ Act registration state¬ The problems presented by ment. making progress. Our years second set of ticular proposals York* City, April 28, In the Investment Advisers since we sent to Congress a case. the Public Utility Company Act of applied much the 1935 same Holding Congress reporting, insider-trading provi¬ registered holding com¬ and two major cases of em¬ bezzlement of clients' securities proxy and funds panies and their subsidiaries. And in the Investment Company Act report on together by investment advisers, with recommendations sions to 1940 for amending the Investment Ad¬ of visers spect Act in order to subject registered advisers to the same inspection powers i|Ow applicable to registered brokers and dealers. resulted in the 1933 and provide Co. Foreign Com¬ Act of 1940. It has now been four study of the Federal Trade Com¬ Chas. W. Scranton 1942. concerns lution long hearings before as and At the moment there Company an in — a view to of agreement gram. the Investment Advisers and Committee UTILITIES ting ing from going in and out of the market within a period of six that dual aim are formidable and months, are automatically recov¬ Finally, in 1940, as a result of we are not erable by the corporation without yet certain that we the Commission's Investment Trust the necessity of proving any abuse see their solution, but we believe of inside information in the par¬ Study, a unanimous Congress we are between the Senate Connecticut Securities 1934 Committee of the House of raised and legis¬ distinct from as far Interstate early securi¬ came areas Representatives so-called of Fowler, Jr. has been to the explore and industry with gram got as lation with respect to the securi¬ ties markets lative SPECIALIZING IN , enact out, particularly to' this audience "the loyal opposition," that Chronicle) Co., Russ Building. PUBLIC to Act. 7-3191 impor¬ provision of both Acts was were extended to all companies carefully reviewed and the pro¬ desiring to list their securities on necessary It Hartford but every world had found Bankruptcy Act, with its inter¬ esting experiment in cooperation Chronicle) In 1941 the 1933 of are disagreement and presenting comprehensive amendment pro¬ gram to the Congress. Virtually merce we Russell Associate Members New York Curb Acts into went that they say and the mission Russell M. Dickson Joins Hannaford & Talbot which perfect. means basic the financial had been conducted for the Com¬ convertible1 debentures, due April Tifft Brothers skill securities legislative single year forholdingcompanies—a provision ft stockholders, 42,739 shares, equal Norwalk Tire & Rubber Co. is to 85.7%, were subscribed. The being sued by New York Trust remaining shares were purchased Co., trustee [for the company's 4% by the underwriting group. Members major taken every was Holding ft over¬ And it does not with representative groups of the turning no one much publicized Manufacturing Co. to its \ ft Some stay. annual revenues. * is 15 per¬ a imately $279,000 to the company's per to preferred stockholders. there "blue-sky legislation" of one kind or another, the Federal Govern¬ ment got > around to legislating expansion. Utilities by no the it Connecticut Proceeds would be used to pay off $400,000 in notes and finance plant or the Commission undertook to things, in bonds, privately to savings banks. * of during that period. In 1933, after 47 States and most for¬ eign countries of any importance mortgage ❖ drafting to working out to be sold eight and adopted by successive Congresses in the years 1933 to 1940 are here ❖ 10 to fromj the tremendous ef¬ fort their back—that the half dozen statutes bank but would lookholes. or proposition scheme our that agreed experience us. government agency should be. But it seems to be pretty generally action which that no The Connecticut Public Utilities Commission has authorized New 200,000 ■ The reorganization plan of Con¬ necticut / Railway & Lighting, which was approved by stockhold¬ ers would laps Loss detract debate In financial our after found were of of fectly coordinated, without Louis but not with critics. facets many years The SEC itself is not without its has Haven Gas Light Co. to issue $1,- machinery materials and to build up raw Proceeds reduce of five helicopters, to runs inventory of an to to he may, loans. stockholders. we d dogma. If any 'one still mon and 90,000 shares of class B fil<ed a registration statement with voting stock to 810,000 shares of the SEC for 36,000 shares of $20 class A and 100,000 of class B. par common stock to be offered to fortuitous a tant residuum. At the risk of get¬ life take Co. remains to as ft unregistered and much regarding possible mergers, but that nothing definite had developed. of having at least $3,- 000,000 of assets and 300 security¬ These safeguards have been applied to various categories of companies step by step. There so companies Hydraulic so securities holders. many different steps and covering That Bridgeport present-day our series of statutes adopted in a economic sys¬ management 1 make to corporations tem remain or an ft Taft and our healthy. ft And, to go the Federal statutes look mild by comparison. It would be truly remarkable if regula¬ free from tape. even further, incorporation proposals advocated by Presidents Theodore Roosevelt by the is that will ticker back through of adopted in 1928, the of the twin chickens and the elastic - meeting that it had been approached by other 210,000 shares of class A non-voting com¬ purchase t a proper meas¬ ure com¬ merger — only char¬ t s adminis¬ tered a permit the into Act SEC Stockholders of Colt's Manufac¬ pany istration, reporting, proxy and insider-trading provisions of that year utes ft a of 1935 dates from another Senate resolution several ex¬ stated at the annual * Stockholders of Kaman Aircraft ized in and — osophy of the par ter amendment to elected personnel Corporation met Saturday, May 14 on belief 2,400,000 stock been other ft issue par turing Co. have approved planned. are to $25 of health and has No of personal the basic phil-* change for 600,000 shares of $100 stock. The four-for-one split became effective May 9. of and Henry & Wright, is Wollmar to act Commission Simmons, K. reasons President. changes facilities further operations. President Tele¬ supplement was made to manufacturing those < England phone Co. has been authorized by the Connecticut Public Utilities shares general text which was suggested to me when I was invited to talk to you today enterprise" versus a "controlled economy." If the caffein can be taken out of phrases, I suppose the short answer is that we at the Commission favor both. My "free ft New f The was firm Southern v. . Trust asks that the debentures be declared due and payable. Prior matic LOUIS LOSS* Counsel, Securities and Exchange Commission ;"-V . Hartford-Empire Thursday, May 19, 1949 Asserting SEC statutes are here to stay, but require amendments "a little piece at a time," SEC!* legal counsel reviews proposals for: (1) changing disclosure to investors in securities offerings without hamstringing underwriters and dealers^^2) strengthening the Investment Advisors Act; and (3) extending controls to safeguard investors in unregistered and unlisted securities. Says absence of applying SEC controls over unlisted securities creates-disparities, and urges universal application of prox^rufes, restrictions on ^"inside trading" and requirements of adequate corporate financial data. : new eration CHRONICLE Legislative Program of Securities And Exchange Commission total was moved from the Bristol plants— loss of prouac'cion. The 15, was lists at $30,459,543, the highest in any peacetime year.i equal to $3.41 per share. During the year construc¬ completed on the new plant at Forestville and machinery Net income tion of Associated report & a ted third proposal—first submit¬ by the gress in Commission to Con¬ 1946 in a report entitled suit with re¬ registered investment companies, thus bringing still an¬ other category of companies under the umbrella. The What I want to talk about today is it followed to is that, if public a today, happen you stockholder or * situation of a therefore, to be at listed company utility holding com¬ subsidiary of such a "Proposal to pany in or an investment com¬ you have access to current financial statements and other in¬ Safeguard Investors Unregistered Securities." That proposal is intended to eliminate a double standard of investor pro¬ which has resulted, more tection by accident than by design, from the piecemeal adoption of the sev¬ eral statutes now on the books. or a company pany, formation about the company, you are and assured of certain information rights solicited, Our proposal, against the amend formation the in a nutshell, is to Securities Exchange Act of 1934 by extending the reg¬ when use your proxy is protected of corporate in¬ and * you are bf' insiders o for ii their (Continued on page 41) Volume 169 THE Number 4804 FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE (2169) penditures of the future will range Boosting Federal Expenditures Now and Later proposal, this program may ultimately cost the Federal Gov¬ ernment $20 billion. v- Actually there were some 40 expenditure items in the President s original U. S. Senator from Virginia on the recommendations which required new substantive legisla¬ tion.. If approved, these items in budget1 increasing Federal expendi- ever budget commits govstupendous future outlays, from which it cannot renege. /Says all social programs, as well as Federal 'Subsidies and public works undertakings, mean unavoidable heavier future government costs. Warns, if business suffers slump, Federal deficits will result, since nation cannot bear higher taxes. Urges unifying all Congres¬ sional appropriations in one bill. tures, contends trend will continue, because • ernment to - 1950 , . ers, or . It tremendous in terms of taxes it siphons from our pocketbooks through the revenue side, is it and tre¬ in mendous terms of mon¬ it ey out pours through gigantic bu¬ reaucracy o n the side. Harry F. Byrd spending It of "fmS°L13? tho1sai?d1 s1u.are,inc,hes. of printed material. And, fre¬ quently, the more significant lan¬ is in extremely fine type. guage To • analyze the budget is borious task. I know a la¬ of some our sessions in this meeting have been devoted to discussion of well-in¬ formed U. S. conclusions Chamber based analysis. the on analysis. I with my own But there is one phase budget of steadily importance to which I the Federal of growing should like tion, and invite to thought and It is this: Analysis of judgment. all recent Federal that every Federal tied year expenditures MENTS which on Treasury may fall grams COMMIT¬ responsible no renege—no can the what more being are LONG-TERM to government ter and condition be. v All social into this mat¬ of long-term commitment category if they are sincerely conceived. The same is veterans' true of Interest on the debt which will run to nearly $51/2 billion. (1) has gram subsidy developed into a hospitalization (ex- elusive of construction) which will approximately $5 billion. to run (3) Federal contributions to re¬ tirement funds, including expen¬ ditures for railroad retirement— of exclusive but social and ment recommendation the to by authorize participation in con¬ struction of the proposed St. Law¬ rence Seaway. This is in the 1950 budget for a mere $8 million, but the* ultimate cost is estimated at more alone— than a half- dollars. type «of commit¬ which there is from turn is illustrated no re¬ by the pending proposal for Federal aid to ele¬ mentary and secondary education. military retire¬ security pay¬ item diture in is the 1950 expen¬ budget for $290 million to (or subsidize) teachers' In the opinion of many this may be a very meritorious pro¬ posal. But will it stop here; or is it just the beginning for Federal pay. aid to other tional phases of the educa¬ system in years to come? And in this connection there is in has ment of Federal commitment the as budget is illustrated type outside the ise run to costs —or 1950 "survey budget of million educational needs, and study and $1 for ligations. cost. The first of scholarships is in the nature of (4) Direct Federal The verse base my the excluding but which ects, will to run nearly $21/2 billion. place These five items costs than one year. We even tie foreign relief and aid to five-year programs. Every time we indulge in deficit spending we assume long-term debt financing. Reducing public expenditures is difficult. But reducing involved. It is too much expect that appropriations will withheld from programs, proj¬ to be alliance and ized in be addition than just Some of these promises difficult. more to pay—such as public works con¬ struction and production of mili¬ tary the equipment—are form of such as ans' payments—are grants-in-aid V' gations. actually, in Others— contracts. and veter¬ moral obli¬ y.'; '• from year The extent promises to of pay these may long-term be seen by „up <sf to year, such as: Agriculture subsidies (2) Business subsidies (3) Merchant Marine subsidies (4) Losses by Federal Corporations . (5) Postal ®0r * L e°W'6s etlOrb * fWoCerf Cs 0r' to 4 Br,.. . °W Si will . ****** ****** ****** ******* adopted, and that the pres¬ ent agriculture subsidy formula will be continued, the cost of these not be only Payroll costs; (2) adminis¬ foreign economic (4) foreign military aid (1) aid costs; costs; (5) our own military estab¬ lishment costs, and exclusive of (6) payments from trust funds, we are annual Federal ex¬ penditures running to $18 or billion will § $| bring you the financial laughs of tliej Win new friends and please old year. tomers Illustration of Housing Program Housing Program recently The cus-> adopted by the Senate is a good example by which to demonstrate how these long-term build sage 1950 commitments from a relatively minor in the budget for the first copies of the Bawl Street Journal (at $1 apiece) now to ensure delivery June 3. on up Send checks to In his January budget mes¬ the President estimated that expenditures for the new housing rent by sending them copies, too. Order; legislation he total, slightly Manager, c/o Lehman Brothers, proposed more than Yet, under the lowsubsidy feature alone, the Government lation Myron F. Ra teliffe, Circu¬ will l^William Street, NewJJTork, N. Y^ !*, »'i 1. •I; T? enter • Over more. Federal b;>- Br "•'Cr-t trative costs; (3) Annual f# ' 8'9 domestic ci¬ vilian commitments in fiscal year 1950 may be estimated at consid¬ erably more than $1V2 billion. Thus, exclusive of: $200 million. States, Washington, D. C., May 4, 1949. H „ additional long-term would of Commerce of the United """'ejorf -"on , deficits, etc. Assuming the Brannan plan *An address.by Senator Byrd at a luncheon session of the 37th Meeting of the Chamber enlist 42) these (1) year. 1 to on page DON'T MISS the"BAWL STREET JOURNAL". domestic there are fluctuate widely to which others item Major Categories of 1350 Budget is reason (Continued commitments, civilian mitments—to pay—is something third The commitment to rearm North At¬ rejected. In public expenditures when they in¬ govern¬ leg¬ islation. than more volve the integrity of the policies already author¬ previous substantive $2y2' billion. total Social Security obligated—by long-term domestic civilian com¬ ment—in the form of promises to Federal expen¬ inception of the cut ditures is at the program costs virtually impossible of reduction at any point except the remote possibility that Federalized education might more always on contention that $16 billion in fixed manent commitment. operation cite Grants-in-aid and shared programs, including Fed¬ (5) eralized education, per¬ are permanent. Once a State grant-in-aid program is inaugu¬ rated, it cannot be disturbed with¬ out upsetting 48 State budgets. Most major defense projects re¬ quire expenditure commitment for to to evidence revenue works and I is reason and which 1 maintenance second chapter public works, veterans' construction, Federal aid proj¬ including pro¬ Huge public projects require capital out¬ lay expenditures over a period of years and, in addition, increased is to show why reason virtually impossible to reduce Federal expenditures substantially insofar as they implement vast programs, projects and policies already authorized. indefinite an attention to reasons: it is , The proposed military building fellowships." This direct Fed- . * I have invited your them for four and service—for whatever it may producer- would be—committed to huge ects the Government a continuing expenditures under long-term contracts or moral ob¬ medical adequate care underwrite which the Federal Government is an payroll as provide own utopia. The author of the piah admits the cost of the plan cannot be estimated. These are- only examples of scores of Federal programs4 by high as $10 billion a year. It is disposed of in the 1950 budget with the recommen¬ dation for a levy totaling $260 million in payroll taxes to finance the program through the trust fund technique outside the reg¬ ular budget. But it must be understood that once employees (and employers) contribute through payroll taxes to this pro¬ gram, the Federal Government is committed to make good its prom¬ gram our distributor-consumer general fund on this pro¬ Estimates for Federal the would taxes which would go into a trust fund and be financed to some ex¬ tent material and which by the supposed to be paid from additional Federal levy in this involves program The most horrible example of long-term commitments would be the adoption of the so-called Brannan Agriculture Plan by proposed socialized medicine pro¬ gram. In this case the program are dollars even military services. which is compulsory and part of the But giving military stock, neavy transportation costs, and highly expensive replacement of equip¬ levy. In - the pending this type of long-term commitment billion a away reserve operates outside the general fund budget—but it costs money just the same and it requires another Federal an would appear to oe low inasmuch Program another still is over no been* fixed. State Depart¬ estimaie of trie maue something ment Medicine has for the first year. buy. there But budget. another Still ment United the construction States—for billion to we Socialized nations for which dale Under pressure which services Pact expiration ments, $1 billion. programs. agriculture Veterans' pensions, adjust¬ (2) ment aids and • Our illustrated augment the pro¬ is type United States long-term domestic civilian com¬ mitments. These include: budgets reveals more Another This atten¬ your best your ' lantic the 1 examples of tiny acorns big spending oaks grow which I have cited to this point all affect the general fund budget, the cost of which is met largely by straight Federal taxes on personal and corporate income, and by excise taxes on things and com- multi-billion- The First there are payments to be made on what I choose to call staff shall not burden you morally bound to make next year. covers thousands a authorization. run-down of the major categories in the pending budget for fiscal year 1950 beginning in July; and bear in mind the figures I shall give you first do not in¬ clude payroll and administrative costs. They are merely payments which the government is legally and long-term / These from $2 billion. Housing Program was an example of one. type long-term quick a of was dollar program. • businessmen, union members, farmis terms mitmefits; 'it GI stu-^ dents. in about cost would But 'JThe Federal budget of the United States is a tremendous thing. It is tremendous in its effect on the course of world events. It is tre¬ mendous in its effect on the freedom of thought and action of individ¬ uals at home—whether they are pandora box.- trie By HON. HARRY F. BYRD* Senator Byrd, commenting eral aid to education will open nearly a half-billion dollars a year,/ Depending how sound the loans are under other features of up to 13 into 40-year contracts with local¬ ities under which the Federal ex- J-,,.? -.".si.'JtiMShr's . . 14 (2170) THE COMMERCIAL LETTER Michigan Brevities Exchange reports that trading volume in April 224,229 shares, having a dollar volume of $3,096,965. This com¬ pares with March trading of 272,914 shares with a dollar value of $3,376,662, and with 213,597 shares, having a dollar value of $2,805,213, which changed hands in February.^ — 1 The 10 most active traders during sary to defer payment on the cou¬ April were: Detroit Edison Co., pon due June 1, 1949. McClanahan Oil Co., Goebel Brewing Co., Gerity - Michigan First of Michigan Corp. and and General Motors The of approximately 200 a un¬ dends Trading in Rudy Manufacturing change commenced May 11, Co. at which time registration of 201,041 shares of its common stock be- effective. c a m e The 5% stock mon fluctuations vide from stocks made strong current demand for commodities and the fact that, a decline —————1 allowances a to on Smith used to products include metal and chains. on and derwriters who They year exclusive an t.ures First license of dividend 15 to a of 40 cents per share on stock, common holders of payable record July July 1. Previously, distributions of 25 cents per share were made each quarter, and, in addition, a 2% % stock dividend was paid on Dec. 15, last year. The unaudited for ed Feb. dend 28, consolidated 1949, after was providing the of share on the after high to $750,000 received from were associated during company & 22 Co., an De¬ publicly 31, 1949 amounted to $55,204, was 5 cents per or share, against $648,344, cents per share for the quar¬ 67 or March 31, ter ended II. Schneider mazoo, included was in investment bankers group of April 21 publicly offered 70,000 Inc. shares $4 second cumulative of¬ dharter $102.75 Chem¬ ical Co., Detroit, was amended on March 1 to increase its authorized common stock, par $1/ from 1,250,000 shares to 1,450,000 shares; reduce authorized the prefer¬ $1, from 250,000 shares to 200.000 shares; and change the conversion rate of stock, common par Inc. class B preference common stock, stock (par $1) at share, the net proceeds common of which will be used for addi¬ par $2, to two Plywood's price, and for other corporate pur¬ convertible * * * to price, W the:3%-41/k% of Wolverine bonds Power change but not from the redemption liquidation the $2.25 $2.40 to due Corp., Bay stock time. The directors, however, found it sale class 1979 any of B $1) registered with of common the SEC there will be out¬ B common 175,000 stock shares of preference 'stock (par 6% (par $2). It is expected that Carr & Co., Common Stock Detroit, together ; w i t h Straus & Blosser of Chicago and Lester & Co. of Los Angeles will publicly offer the B PRECISION CASTING and class L. A. DARLING and shares standing 882,063 shares of com¬ mon stock, 192,937 shares ; of neces- DISPLAY FIXTURES 131,841 preference March 30, preference ; per 777v posed on City, will be paid at com¬ After giving effect to the pro¬ The Dec. 1, 1948 interest coupon on one share for each class B share, mon share. poses. shares for common each class B share from and ; business cumulative 6% tional working capital to finance inventories and operations of expanded factors 1946. were to for expansion, pay . the ' / Member Detroit Stock DETROIT 26, MICII. Bay City —- Lansing — (Special Exchange 1051 Penobscot Building ST. to The etc. Chronicle). PETERSBURG, „ FLA.— Joseph R. Healy has been added to the staff of Muskegon Heagerty & Co. Financial Go., Florida W, H. Heagerty & Theatre in money • popular. 7 (4) The law of supply and de¬ were < The (5) Dollar unit (6) volume contrasted sales. The cost of doing business degree with which any the decline in volume affected the net profits. (7) The j purchasing power of tion from and when, Building. terminated sible matter. * a 41 of which up to do in as . pos¬ reduction is in another the immediate fu¬ the present painful readjustment is the re¬ the inflationary orgy in we indulged from V-J Day the end of 1948, so the sit¬ uation in 1951 and - depend largely therafter will how on handle we economic and political affairs our in the period immediately ahead. ' We must learn that taxation our system should be coordinated to business activity and should take into account the need for a new cap¬ ital, formation, since capital ex¬ penditures by business is one of the important factors in the eco¬ nomic picture. the SCHLESINGER. of sidering York We must learn that government billions East 4?nd Street, 17, N. Y. May 16, 1949. the will happen then large extent depend on Just sult While it is true common stocks, slump, never ap¬ proach their former prices. In fact,, under certain conditions, many weaker common stocks fade completely out of the picture. in once increase, all hope, an im¬ international we in What we ture. move low-grade when to process of together in the general direction, many of same as competi¬ expenditures will what than the speculative variety. However, it should be pointed out, that-some-students of the subject differ, with these conclusions. Tney unison. de¬ may and substantial a military years in outlook. political situation will make common stocks, if purchased at the right prices, give a much bet¬ ter account of themselves over the they is will Europe provement ~ New The making of appropriate corporations demand The-study, which has now been completed, reveals that seasoned much failures of materially, when the ERP 7-777VVv (17) The filling of the pipelines. that a be short-range a by • EDWIN' J. dollar. is be world-wide should number will The scarcity of merchan¬ 7 (16) dise.' the mand. This tures (15) The influence of Russia. " - where or hand cannot dollars from come out without con¬ money will the how taxes may af¬ fect business conditions and in¬ . dividual initiative. We must learn how The Business Outlook And Bank Investments that prices will soon be in a period of declining higher, so prices people hold back because they anticipate lower prices and better quality. Moreover, in a tight labor market where the em¬ ployee knows he a job, there is freely. Once readily find tendency to spend a degree of unemployment- sets in, however, even those still on the job become careful more habits also in because of find may their the spending fear they themselves out of work. operations clearly reflect the readjustment in business and employment. The volume of mercial a high level and will be satisfactory. conclusion and agricultural loans of of 1948 to April 20, 1949, decline. a This billion on rather substantial $14.3 reduction in loans reflected primarily the.liquidation of inventories, and also in part at a cautious attitude more on the part of the banks. The decline in loans was accompanied by a in immediate the occur long so islation is the on as the future cannot the present leg¬ the statute books and under obliga¬ government is tion to maintain farm farm prices at a Therefore, while during the next level. certain income lengthening in the during 1948, it is bound to remain at a high level. maturities of Construction is also being main¬ tained at a building high point. private of decreased, the materials and a tendency for high-grade bonds to increase in price and for Now rates to- soften. the inquiring comes , of here difficult where the we go business of the commercial banks. ditions are at', As con¬ sharp activity or a serious deflation is. not likely to take place. While the readjust¬ break. in ment will many business the continue men to country would roll apd will continue labor. if were It would the cost of to decrease. again construction for all, we learn must that stimulate a be con¬ A de¬ private number of years So long as the European Recov¬ Program lasts, in exports cannot is quite a answer the United States make to those who attack our can of life and way tem* is to our economic sys¬ that our demonstrate system not only guarantees the in¬ dividual all the liberties for which mankind fought and died for centuries, but also is capable giving the people the highest standard of living possible and at many of the same time eliminating big swings in the business cycle. Once have- we dictions demonstrated of a that but on wishful War will tacks of on life come our will pre¬ pending coll?pse of the economy are not based on fact thinking, the Cold to an end system and and our at¬ way abate. The Approach to Investment Policy of and contribute materially to the country's economic welfare.. ery future. has cline of anywhere from 15 to 20% present,a business homes construction favorable development for struction more how and very agricultural our While the public works and public housing has increased. It may be expected that a housing bill will be passed by Congress, which should set in motion large-scale construction of multiple-dwelling buildings in the larger cities. The construction in¬ dustry is an important one and creates a large demand for raw investments of commercial, banks , on further break in farm prices A and by a task based is following considerations. com¬ the reporting members banks de¬ creased from $15.6 billion at the least at twelve months will be lower than Bank end remain employment can moderate a complain about reduced sales and profits, in general business This solve the best to will to problems without the need for the Government to guarantee an im¬ portant segment of the population a high income for the indefinite Above (Continued from page 7) pattern will affect the investments Moreland & Co. (14) for American goods. /'■ into , • of the crease consid¬ The. degree of confusion in market. The amount (13) The personal income. • It What will happen in the more dis¬ tant future, when capital expendi¬ ' ■ (2) The type of propaganda- fed to the investing public. £ maintain that common stocks, re¬ (3) The length of time during gardless of quality, move pretty from With W. H. national < v in¬ those of increase, and that there is a likelihood of still larger un¬ employment than at present. circulation. This brought general situation. money 131,841 class shares, the net proceeds to be used the . living bound to until Among the more important fac¬ tors influencing the situation dur¬ ing the period covered by the study may be numbered the fol¬ lowing: v 1 7 ~ 7* 7 (1) (12) it re¬ beginning w as share per Trenton of of . population. ered necessary inordinate fimount of un¬ an and accrued dividends. The size Co., & convertible preferred stock, without value, at par Merck of The •-**-. level. that v-p ■■ the who on na¬ Co., Kala¬ & the per since the 1948. fered 150,000 shares of Plywood, $2.75 Edwin J. S c hie singer (8) E. to Simonds April on months common ence Baker, of es¬ the not the fear nine months' period. troit, three the period after Federal income taxes at Dividends amounting and sumed and timated Federal and Canadian in¬ taxes. for Detroit-Michigan the in of income noted, however, that the readjustment, is not yet over, that the decline in prices has not yet come to an end, in¬ (11) The increase in the nation's this was 1949 out¬ deducting $13,580,257 for come < net arrived was rupted with $21,393,730 for divi¬ stock common net- income Co. of ended March standing at the close of the period. The and deflation cost real business activity will remain at • —— waves rates.,'/77;7. debt. by inter¬ study $2,234,773, compared with $6,054,264 for the corresponding period of last year. Net profit for the classes of preferred equivalent to $3.81 per was sales Stove both on stock, Corp. and (10) during in turn which the various classes of stocks income of The Dow Chemical Co., Midland, for the nine months end¬ which, ; agreement. May 3 declared on Michigan Miller^ Kenower '& Co, The directors of Dow Chemical Co., Midland, 25- 'Z%% sinking fund debendue April 1, 1974, at Net the Corp. were manufactured are Products employed, one must reach that, on the whole, are the the conclusion • v-' April 26 pub¬ on the who (9) The effect of pegged interest followed the j. •" • 101.31% and accrued interest, Watling, "Lerchen & Co., roller automatic machine under an Distillers al mould¬ bicycle # licly offered $40,000,000 Nation-1 bicycle fenders uses, braces, # v* ings and trim for household and industrial flation threat the war, usual Included in the group of un-. and for additional working capital. The Smith firm's present . common six shares for each basis of a be liabilities current pay The preferred share. Manufacturing Corp., Roseville, at par ($2 per to capital. stock will be held for conversion in creases tional economy. war 1841, additional for used be working Bailey & Co., De¬ May 9 publicly offered 125,000 shares of common stock proceeds of filed was $1) of Pioneer Fi¬ nance Co., 901 National Bank Bldg., Detroit. The net proceeds on net The stock (par mon Charles E. the p e ' 7 Exchange Commission covering 22,654 shares of 6% cumulative convertible preferred stock (par $10) and 135,924 shares of com¬ are share), show¬ than the c ulative variety. May 2 with the Securities and on Manufacturers National Bank, De¬ D. s pre¬ (par $25). A letter of notification company, troit, is transfer agent. II. better ing adds the one still January 1928 through> July 1937. giaae common^ , stimulus to the economy. a If to these'factors com¬ Editor, Commercial and Financial Chronicle: Electric 7 machin¬ will probably aggregate over $15 billion, and this too will pro¬ Says Edwin J. 1,500,000 first less request more and equipment. Military ex¬ penditures during the next fiscal Investment Counsel reveals conclusions drawn from study of . condensers and a diversity of products. It has 250,000 shares of $1 par common stock authorized. of of redeemable * water heaters, refrigeration troit, issue an ferred stock, series A formerly known as Rudy Furnace Co., manufactures residential fur¬ naces, of shares of Pacific Gas & the Detroit Stock Ex¬ on will products and ery ' Co. stock Europeans year derwriters, in the public offer¬ ing at $26.75 per share and divi¬ Corp. Thursday, May 19, 1949 TO EDITOR: Shortly after the big break in the stock market in August 1937, a study was started by me of the course of common stock prices from January 1928 up to the present. The object was to see whether high May on 4, participated, together with group CHRONICLE Seasoned Stocks Best The Detroit Stock Watling, Lerchen & Co. FINANCIAL farm was Corp., Commonwealth & Southern Corp., Warner Aircraft Corp., Wayne Screw Products Co., United Corp., Scotten, Dillon Co., & sharp break place. It take possible, however, that during the current year there will be a change in the type of exports. The changed economic situation has an important bearing on the investment policies of the banks, and to policy. a is the time for the banks now lay down a sound investment The investment bank should be policy of based on an analysis of (a) its deposits, (b) its capital resources, and (c) its as¬ sets. It should aim toward a satis¬ factory return, an ample margin of safety, and a high degree of liquidity. Investments based only on earnings tion grief. may cause the institu¬ An investment program based only on liquidity, unless the and type of loans make policy imperative, neglects one of the important functions for which a bank has been established. volume such The a investment must take into assets structure it cannot be policy of account a the bank entire of the institution; from the dissociated Volume loan portfolio. 2- the toward less Where the element mand 3-year ma¬ or FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 169 which deposits should in risk loans is turities. rather;'great, kept in assets readily , Bank and Insurance Stocks into also must into take ratio of capital to is essential. It the account definition risk assets. This also advisable to consider the ratio of'capital to total deposits because many large depositors pay attention to this factor. Finally, the investment policy of a bank should be adapted to the of facilities the management also to bank, Trustees. - The Composition The first Deposits of consider is element to the composition of deposits. I con¬ separately deposits. Although savings deposits are not always more steady than demand deposits, I consider them separately because a bank has to pay interest on sav¬ ings deposits and must therefore sider savings from of nature risk a given by any super¬ vising authority. The usual prac¬ tice in computing risk assets is to take total assets and deduct cash of the bank, and of the Board of attitude to the of the asset has been is By H. E. JOHNSON deposits, and on the type of loans, that is to say, whether the bank has a large of volume term loans or mostly This Week—Insurance Stocks lower. I mention present these entirely on the good credit of the United books at par or this because bonds rest faith and at States Government. of their total of deposits, ating record of ment income, Federal taxes and net earnings. even less. After this interest cost. earn banker has made analy¬ a of the future and this in turn leads to however, ■ savings. greater indications • capital to risk not easy to determine and will depend on the should it may There are, in certain be is be 1 to 6 or even 1 to 8. factors, he can choose between two principles in sis let do can .bank I of the on however, mercial is bank far compete as I do, the com¬ position to be wrong. may believe that in a service is as con¬ cerned. < (3) The whether should savings How ing the savings deposits of a commer¬ cial bank be invested in long- can term assets, depending on the ratio Most of capital to risk assets. deposits, ' in industries, few a (4) deposits be Broadly speaking, as a general proposition, up to 60% of of . rela a tively few large accounts embrac¬ scattered. invested? type concentrated or 1 The - widely bank and the sist of mortgages, risk These deposits cap¬ and to factors should be care- The In considering tax-exempts, the they are not as liquid as Govern¬ ment obligations. The return on tax-exempts and other obligations should be large enough to make up for the inferior marketability and for the Where a it greater risks. bank has hold few mort¬ principal aims of an invest¬ ment policy should be: (1) To maintain an adequate degree of market stability to pro¬ tect the bank's safety position. most expenses meet operating and to pay dividends but also set exclusively securities. case, gages To a of take Government extreme an where ja bank has no mort¬ and ho corporate or tax- exempt securities, in my opinion that particular institution can in¬ vest up to about 75% of its sav¬ ings deposits in long-term ernment Gov¬ obligations. The remaining 40% of the sav¬ ings deposits could be invested follows: 10% short-term in tions and the issues years. er or pend and due or as very obliga¬ remaining 90% in a well-balanced securities cash Government or list of other Government high quality callable within 10 The percentage in the short¬ longer maturities will de¬ on the composition the of 60% of the assets described above. Where gages ties a are lieve wards bank has only few mort¬ or none, a where the maturi¬ already diversified, I be¬ bank the can lean more 10-year rmaturity . to¬ and $ —1.10 American 2.13 8.60 —4.52 8.45 —0.83 Federal 2.93 3.42 5.44 5.21 0.04 —5.55 —0.19 1.46 1.03 L27 —0.02 —0.37 0.82 2.36 0.43 4.00 3.54 3.19 —0.11 3.97 7.08 2.17 4.47 3.61 4.13 —0.28 —1.14 5.50 7.46 4.31 6.70 2.28 2.53 —1.31 —2.51 5.28 1.91 5.00 i 4.18 4.64 —0.23 —1.20 5.86 8.44 1_ 0.94 7.63 < 4.63 4.67 —0.15 —1.98 •>• 5.42 10.32 3.13 8.03 4.63 4.17 0.35 —1.62 8.11 10.58 ____ Insur. (Newark) Insurance Insurance ._ Fidelity-Phenix Fire 6.28 8.79 ___ Insurance "Boston - Association '•Fireman's Fund Fireman's Insur. THome 2.28 —0.01 —0.59 1.54 4.55 21.39 20.90 5.40 6.09 —0.67 —5.60 11.87 2.29 1.97 2.15 —0.33 —1.34 3.48 0.25 —2.53 7.71 —0.20 —2.14 9.80 . " 13.66 9.12 6.21 7.07 6.23 3.79 3.77 2.20 2.89 3.23 —0.01 —0.59 1.72 4.84 0.06 1.16 1.67 1.79 —0.02 —0.50 1.71 4.61 4.97 —0.12 —0.95 6.03 2.45 ' 9.2/ 1.80 2.22 0.24 1.71 4.57 , 1.54 5.25 —0.09 2.11 5.59 9.81 3.80 —1.55 . 6.79 2.52 Marine & i " 4.40 —0.32 —2.69 9.07 11.52 2:45 ■: 0.42 —1.47 1.39 7.7? 0.35 3.84 2.20 2.55 —0.82 2.55 5.57 0.78 ! Marine Fire States 3.99 3.27 3.43 •—0.07 —1.16 3.98 6.26 tData change in August, 1948. comparable because of merger of nine affiliates into Home. effect to capital to give •Adjusted part of the a 3.10 ■ 1.25 i, Insurance As 4.60 2.23 i. Security Insurance Springfield Fire & not 5.51 2.13 i —1.16 Fire Providence-Washington United 4.30 2.89 7.14 Hampshire York Fire 2.34 4.44 —0.54 —5.93 New Paul —0.19 —1.76 0.01 2.86 Co. of No. Amer. New St. 0.02 —0.03 2.43 2.71 - Fire Phoenix 1.72 2.50 1.84 Fire National 1.43 2.25 —0.68 ___ Insurance. Insurance 2.77 4.77 0.75 Fire Hartford • 6.72 0.89 ___. American Great Hanover ■ 2.22 (Newark) Glens Falls investments for in¬ on $ $ $ 0.03 of two years tabulation by the firm, certain figures same relating to liquidating values at the end of 1947 and 1948, dividend rates, current prices, approximate yields and the 1948 price ranges are included. ' securities should opinion, banks in high-grade These same figures for the above companies taken from the obligations, irrespective of the at study are shown below. The current price,has been brought up to titude of the bank supervising date and the yield computed on the basis of the current price. authorities. A bank operates with Liquid. Value DiviApproximate Price Range What types of bank buy? In my invest only other people's money and should invest it in high-grade obligations. A December 31, , small too only buy except than the when ment which A are $49% $41% 23.83 0.70 17% 4.03 81.98 76.30 2.40 66 3.64 67.91 72.85 $54% 2.20 61 % 3.58 61'/a 3.01 61 2.40 67'/a 3.56 69 84.93 92.02 2.50 61 4.10 61 Fund 86.17 :89.05 Insurance Great they National se¬ 3.05 ,.49% 4.06 ' 49 31% 4.16 31 4.52 32% 122% 100'A 4.48 30% 23% "65 11% 40% 26% 33 York 1.40 2.50 38.46 1.30 118.36 3.50 105% 3.33 109% 84.74 . 43.22 156.56 109.24 North America Fire i 24% 1.99 1.30 46.36 3,31 ; 37 91 _. Hampshire New :90.58 2.00 53% 3.74 50'% 41 % 49.85 51.92 2.00 42% 4.71 45 40 125% 29 92 27.99 28.95 0.80 15 10% * 114.86 121.48 3.00 84% 3.55 90% 73% 1 45.72 48.23 1.40 33'% 4.18 35% 30'% St. 75,70 85.18 2.25 82 2.74 81 66% 47.75 53 54 1.40 33% 4.15 32 23% 55.69 59.35 1.90 44 4.32 74.15 78.10 2.4C 59 4.07 Phoenix obligations of comparable Government securities Paul Fire Security Fire States "On lated.' Marine & Insurance Springfield United '__ Fire Insurance new The & : Marine____ Fire tStock stock. $2.90 includes on regular payments on $2.60 annual old stock in basis, 14% ■:* Providence-Washington govern¬ highly hiarketable and they protected. Tax-exempt se¬ 16% 2.00 12.90 41.40 New yield 0.50 55.92 43.69 Insurance Co. of bank 24.50 "83 15% , 137.89 Fire Insurance Home 53% 45f 21.30 American Hartford 47% - 52.58 (Newark) Hanover Fire are 48'/a 63% 1.85 81.03 Falls < *54- 74.23 78% , 15% 18 % *72 75.46 _ t 51, 67 5.00 60 70.22 Insurance Insurance Glens maturity. are 3.29 3.00 Fireman's net- income-after from $1.80 102.64 Fireman's good a tax-exempt obtainable taxes $71.91 Fire Association it "should character. not curities more support securities in riskless should to department Low Fidelity-Phenix Continental . In my is High 22.48 (Newark) Insurance Boston • statistical % T Insurance American in Federal acter. Yield 5-16-49 97.93 Agricultural certain con¬ may: under be invested Price Rate $65.14 Fire Aetna portion of the bank's own re¬ -1948—^- dend 1948 1947 5.33 on 47 *60%" • 40 46 yield is calcu¬ which 1948. curities, as a general rule, are not These comparisons are useful in several ways. They-provide a highly marketable, nor are they ready reference of certain important statistics on individual com¬ protected. I also believe that there panies. Also, they make it relatively easy to compare the results of should be a definite spread be¬ a particular company in which a person might be interested with the where it has to sell medium- or tween yields on corporate other companies in the same industry. In addition they provide an long-term bonds in order to meet bonds and yields on governments opportunity to compare on'a statistical basis the'relative attractive¬ of the same maturity. Convertible its liquidity requirements. :: can $ (2) To have sufficient liquidity to meet the requirements of the depositors and customers. A bank should never bo in a position larger per¬ centage than 60% of savings de¬ posits in long-term assets, particu¬ larly if these assets consist al¬ gages, $ should "hold "relatively small proportion should fully analyzed by the bank in be invested in corporate bonds formulating its policies for the in¬ vestment of its demand deposits. and tax-exempt securities of high fact should be borne in mind that primarily Fire Continental bonds a of inter-bank shade below the high-grade char¬ assets. to $ —10.00 Aetna come. sources relationship of 1948 1948 1947 1948 1947 $ opinion, banks should not time. ■ vv: buy obligations with a maturity of (6) The capital position of the more than 25 years. Where a bank accounts quality. is financial center in its deposits approach suitable for banks which rely ditions, volume ital government which bank a be great. The second ■_ deposits. (5) The possible swing in de¬ posits within a short period of these long-term assets should con¬ term loans and obligations. Only a is a loans. a commercial (2) The location of the bank, in a large financial compete with a savings whether the basis of the rate of center or in a small community. -interest.;. I of character believe that not bank Personally, dividends. of for the swings where can posits. The investment of the de¬ shift of savings deposits from com¬ mand deposits should be guided mercial banks to savings banks, by the following considerations: (1) The composition of all other primarily because of the fact that the latter institutions pay a higher assets, notably the amount and rate fnand located in a large de¬ to demand turn us Net Earnings Taxes— 1947 1948 above the of advisable Investing Demand Deposits Now parts of the country, particularly in New York City, that there is a ? —Income— Loss or 1947 What the ratio of assets Gain Federal Investment Adjust, Undwrtg. investing the balance of his dedeposits. He can either Demand deposits, on the other adopt a policy of spacing his ma¬ hand, aside from the assessment nature of the risk assets. We turities fairly evenly over some of the FDIC do not cost the bank know, for example, that there are given period of years, or he can any money. 1 adopt a policy of investing to ob¬ some loans such as life insurance In considering savings deposits, loans and loans to brokers and tain a certain return, which usu¬ dealers secured by government se¬ ally means some concentration in a careful analysis should be made of the trend of these deposits. In curities and other high-grade col¬ medium- and longer-term issues. my opinion, the trend of savings lateral, which can be considered A spaced maturity policy is par'deposits is influenced to an im¬ riskless. I believe, and I say may ticuarly advisable where a bank be wrong, that a ratio of 1 to 4 portant extent by the cost of liv¬ has a good income from its loans ing. In addition, many people, I or 1 to 5 is a satisfactory ratio. If and is less dependent on invest¬ believe, are somewhat uncertain the risk assets-are of high quality, ments for its .income. It is also endeavor to determining the consolidated earnings and oper¬ As the data for the various fire and casualty companies are now self-liquidating commercial loans. available, several of the large investment firms specializing in these It will also depend on the earnings securities have issued comparisons and analyses of last year's results. and government securities. To my position of the bank, whether the The Bank & Insurance Stock Department of Laird, Bissell & way of thinking, FHA insured bank depends largely on loans or Meeds, one of the large brokerage houses, have prepared such an mortgages and high quality corpo¬ on its investments for earnings. analysis of 40 fire companies and 13 casualty companies. It is fairly rate and municipal securities due For example, there are some detailed and presents comparable figures covering the operating within a year — in certain banks in the country loaned up to results of the past two years. instances, 2 years, if the credit is 50% to 60% of their deposits. Ob¬ Because of the number of companies covered in the tabulation particularly high—should be de¬ ducted as well. In my opinion at viously, these banks derive their by this firm, only figures for some of the larger and better known the present time the obligations of principal income from loans. They fire insurance companies have been taken from this study and are are not as dependent on income presented in the following comparison. the International Bank for Recon¬ from investments as banks which In addition to the operating results for 1947 and 1948 the table struction and Development can are loaned only up to 25% or 30% also shows per share figures covering adjusted underwriting, invest¬ also be deducted if they are on the demand deposits 15 be convertible cash, how about the rest? The this must be counteracted by an I have spoken about risk assets. answer, in my opinion, will de¬ utter lack of risk in the invest¬ It is ^therefore necessary to ana¬ pend in part on the size of. the ment sector of the portfolio. lyze what a risk asset is. loan portfolio whether large or The investment policy of a bank To my knowledge, no adequate small in relation to of (217L) CHRONICLE (3) To obtain satisfactory earn¬ ings not to amount only to to aside a increase reasonable capital re¬ should bonds where own and not 'they be can only their bought stand on - of various issues. r - f While they should not take the place of detailed investigation and reviews of the long-term records of insurance companies, they feet on the basis of quality are useful in supplementing such investigations and comparing the yield and where the price is statistical position of individual companies. dependent primarily on the conversion feature. sources. Average maturity is sometimes j The cited as a test of investment pol¬ about question has been partially tax-exempt which asked se¬ selling at a icy. This, to me is not a good test. The average maturity that is sat¬ premium. Premium; in my opin¬ isfactory for one bank may not be ion, is not of any real importance satisfactory for another. A bank because of the amortization. A which has a large volume of loans bank should buy its securities on outstanding can afford to have the basis of yield, not premium. a much shorter maturity. A bank It is, however, quite evident that which has only limited opportuni¬ the premium account should have ties for making loans can well a reasonable relationship to the afford to have a longer maturity. capital resources of the institu¬ Otherwise, it may cause The first consideration is to as¬ tion. mental anguish to the officer him¬ certain the liquidity require¬ curities ments. This ness can be ascertained by self as well as are to the directors. bank is often in a tion to buy local curities because favorable posi¬ it local credit conditions. It also a has responsibility to assist the com¬ munity where it is located, (Special the knows pro¬ Rosenthal Opens J, tax-exempt se¬ to DENVER is thal The Financial Chronicle) COLO. —Joe engaging in business from offices at gan Rosen¬ securities a 1269 Lo¬ Street. vided the credit factor is there. To sum the forces of infla¬ up, With E. T. Andrews Co. (Special tion are now returning to tern of time is mercial receding and a more business. I believe to sit The Financial Chronicle) • j ■. * j HARTFORD, CONN.—Elmer C. normal pat¬ the ripe, therefore, for com¬ bankers to we are down and Burgdorf has E. T. joined the staff oL Andrews & Co., 49 Pearl; Street, members of the Boston and. Chicago Stock Exchanges. speaking, however,,, in analyze their positions as care¬ With Income Funds bond, a bank should what future fluctuations in de¬ buying a fully as possible and to lay down consider the quality, the maturity (Special to The Financial- Chronicle) posits may be and by estimating sound investment policies which and the yield, and not the pre¬ NEW HAVEN, CONN.—John EJ how large the volume of- loans mium. they will be able to follow so Hotchkiss, Jr. v has been added to may be. Fully tax-exempt securities are long as conditions remain more the staff of Income Funds, 152.J Having made adequate provi¬ Temple Street.-. 1 sion for that portion of the de¬ suitable investments for banks. A or less normal. analyzing the type of deposits and . - - • . . Generally 16 (2172) THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & 19, 1949 Thursday, May CHRONICLE Corporation also uses this plan as a guide in the over-all pat¬ 'balanced' funds, i.e. funds permitted to own both bonds search tern of its and stocks. Mutual Funds : ^; both institutional and in¬ single investment the two-fold Fund- enables Trust Mutual "First dividual investors to obtain through a benefits of: By HENRY HUNT = the longer-term. "(1) Formula plan investing over Excessive Legal Zeal y We recently ran across Prospectus your upon request from investment dealer, NATIONAL RESEARCH or of leading a in a sales folder opportunity to share The "if any" was ob¬ the following sentence "Mutual funds olier an (if any) of American business." viously inserted (and insisted upon) by the sponsor's legal counsel. This type of excessive legal zeal, caused b,y fear of the SEC, strikes us as being both unfair and unnecessary. In the first place, the "if any" implies that one of these days American industry as a wholemay operate at a loss, a most unlikely occurrence. In the second place, it suggests that the mutual fund described might eventually from sponsor, in the profits SECURITIES & CORPORATION 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. be forced to seem to pass its dividend, an utter impossibility. Spme lawyers their duty to remove as much of the "sales appeal from mutual fund sales copy submitted to them for regard it 1 A * as possible businesses advertising SPEND Sunshine! PUTNAM Goose pills) FUND were copy, we YOUR forced might VACATION to see IN such hamstringing submit to ads similar to these: FLORIDA ; And SUFFER Down FROM Mattresses .yyAbibU;- VISIT INSOMNIA? (especially yUv.Av;"'' . STATE THE SMOKE of Doctors! OF y You >>; 'Uiuy ""'V- MAINS If Can after taking OLD HACKLE (each doctor Set (seldom ruins You CIGARETTES was the Really your Wellington Fund in Endorsed a DELMONICO'S RESTAURANT Television year) Riches . . an "National" "National wall Securities & Research Corporation has used its investing plan since Jan. 1, 1948 specifically in determining the investment pattern of First Mutual Trust Fund, one of a number INCOBROSAlfO 48 recently issued a three-color folder complete with investing plan. The following is an excerpt: formula HUGHW. LONG & CO of funds which it manages STREET, NEW YORK 5. N;Y. 2 Fried or Hash . . . or A merican Business Im Shares, Inc. 1st Custodian 5 5 Stew 5 Fried Eggs Ham and and Cabbage Eggs V 10 . 10 Roast Chicken Fish . 10 Beef Steak ) Regular Dinner 12 Cents Smith & Handford Printers, and 25 Dey St., N. Y. 23 . "Says the 'Book of Indices': In these If week. a (of the menu) an excellent wage was $6 a with this income ate the regular dinner at evenings a week he would be paying 84 cents a days person Delmonico's seven 14% of his wages, for his night meals. Today an equiva¬ lent meal, in New York undoubtedly could not be had for less than or $1.50, if that. Seven times this figure is $10.50, and if this sum be as 14% of the weekly wage, then his current income every taken days would be $75. • in roughly 110 years wages have advanced from $6 to $75,per week for the same work. This is ah inflation of the dollar which averages out to 100% per decade for 11 successive decades. .!" 'If the value of the dollar in the year 2060 bears the same pur¬ chasing relationship to the present dollar that the present dollar bears dollar,'then the progression of wages for the same will-have been from $6 in 1934 to $75 today to $938 per week in the 1834 •" to 'Those investors whc that the think progress work 2060. of inflation is end had better consult the record of the last century find out how fast and steadily the value of the dollar has depre¬ an as by this means the mass of chronic have-nots, always in the voting majority, help themselves to the savings of the productive minority. Those investors who think that the present Administration will not find ways and means of carrying much further forward this upon request "All Chicago on had better go out in the and there in the unrelieved profitable, politically boils down another think.' to the simple fact that so far as we can past experience there will continue to be a basic advance structure of the country; and also if past experience is any criterion, common stocks have amply demonstrated their ability to progress to increasing values in line with the continuing devel¬ opment cf American business enterprise."—From Vance, Sanders in — Los New Orleans the price "Brevits." Market Comment Angeles "The Cert ificates of Participation in in in a Diversified Investment Company IN market continued to adjust calm the and sedate manner during itself to our changing economy April with only small changes averages. Underneath the surface, however, there evident trends with defensive issues continuing to attract general more were A so the coldest night of the year this tell from COMPANIES — trend, darkness think themselves Prospectus INVESTMENT FUNDS most buyers. During the last five weeks we find that 18 groups of the year while 19 have sold at stocks have moved to new lows for • 1949 new BONDS highs. This extreme selectivity has been evident ever of 1947 when the postwar lows were made by the com¬ averages. Since then there have been such extremes as a since May (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) PREFERRED 5 . . Fried basic Lord. Abbett &. Co. New York investing their capital Mutton Chicken Mutton Stew woodshed LORD-ABBETT INVESTMENT Funds 5 ciated, Pl/| : Roast 5 . Veal or Hamburger Steak to THE Beef Pigs Head and Cabbage and sponsors. National Securities & Re- r Keystone 4 4 . , 4 Veal Cutlet; ... Corn Beef . Roast . Half Pie Beef . . . Pies . Liver and Bacon Stewed Heart coming to 9 Sausages Puddings Chops "{"'Thus its formula on 1 . Stewed Liver seven The "National" Formula Plan charts Pork and Beans A- or week, to riches but there is a sound way to pro¬ savings for your future security through a program. Let your investment dealer show Pork 2 Fried , 4 1 . . FARE OF BILL Cup Tea or Coffee Bcwl Tea or Coffee Crullers your planned investment you the best way!" Pearl Street 494 by Thousands easy road no increase and accustomed disappointed) vestments to meet your needs and objectives. "There is than ... Enjoy Good Trout and eyesight in less than with less meal his approached have certainly -'AC ,/U attractively illustrated new folder called "Which Way?" discusses speculation vs. investing for security. An excerpt follows: YOU are the captain of your fate! You alone can decide whether to risk your savings in speculating for a fortune or, assure your future; security through careful planning. You may hope a lucky speculation will bring you a fortune some day. Perhaps—but the chances are slimmer than ever of making a fortune this way because of present high income taxes. If you should lose your savings, present taxes make it almost impossible to get them back. So why risk your savings in speculating? "If you're sick, you call a doctor—if you're in legal difficulties, you call a lawyer. If vou want to accumulate a fund for your future security, why not consult your investment dealer who is a specialist in investing. Your dealer can show you the best way to protect and increase your savings. He can select the types of in¬ tect Stock Values who contemplated this menu just prior to the Civil War in what then was, as it still is, one of New York's prime res¬ taurants could have foreseen the prices on a 1949 menu, he would Soup nrw common Rising Prices and Common Sleep paid $100 for his endorsement) No Easy Road to Putnam Fund Distributors, Inc. 50 State Street, Boston in three sleeping SAVE YOUR MOVIE MONEY! Enjoy a Midget Home 'Prospectus upon request Formula Plan, holders of Nor will they pattern based on a scientifically developed formula investing plan. It is designed for institutions or individuals who are seeking en¬ hancement of capital during periods of rising stock prices, and pro¬ tection of their capital during periods of declining stock prices." relish Bass Fishing (expect to catch nothing and you won't be cJ <Me&ten in Bask (if any) YOU DO on 'First Mutual' will never stocks at the beginning ,of a bear have too high a percentage of bonds at the beginning of a bull market. "'First Mutual' is the largest mutual fund with its investment the "Under over-invested be market. "If the guest If other of their the under¬ as approval. £7/e Sewae "(2) Careful selection and continuous supervision of lying securities by professional investment managers. | bined STOCKS I I I I (Series K1-K2) EATON & HOWARD (Series S1-S2-S3-S4) INVESTORS S EATON & HOWARD BALANCED FUND COMMON STOCKS STOCK FUND Prospectus from jour local investment dealer PROSPECTUSES OF THESE TWO MANAGED INVESTMENT FUNDS MAY or BE OBTAINED BY BEQUEST TO Tke Keystone Company of Boston 50 EATON Prospectus Congress Street Boston 9, Massachusetts >'] ;rhif/J your • ;t- may local investment dealer, ' THE be obtained from PARKER YOUR INVESTMENT DEALER OR TO & HOWARD INCORPORATED , INVESTMENT MANAGERS or CORPORATION ONE COURT STREET. BOSTON 8, MASS. BOSTON Established 1924 24 Federal St. 333 Montgomery St. .oil BOSTON , SAN FRANCISCO if Volume 169 45% Number 4804 gain in the aircraft "May has often its mind. the war This market level not was bull year It far It when decline the the in true in in postwar 1946 1947 when when it it Formed in the levels port market is of 160-165 to move for: industrials it will up offerings in the 179-183 have rails. If ability to its prove .rails. Closing levels for April were 174.16 and 47.27, "Lifting of the Berlin blockade will help relieve Houston Ship Channel Broad Street. The new firm, like predecessors, is a member of the Philadelphia-Baltimore Stock Exchange. V:,K,X its sup¬ the . absorb Heading the leigh P. Hess, for industrials, and in the 52-55 area for area on Pictures taken aboard ship during Annual Meeting & lowest three-year for 41-42 and to the are Group 17 PHILADELPHIA, PA. — Hess Co.,- Inc., and Woodcock, McLear & Co., have announced the formation of Woodcock, Hess & Co., Inc., with offices at 123 South bull period. Underneath that (2173) Texas" IBA Philadelphia four- a its reached CHRONICLE HGSS CsS April's trading gave few clues as to the near-term trend but at least there was good defensive action which could encourage a recovery movement. For six months the market has met support in the 170-171 area for industrials and in the 46-47.area for rails. FINANCIAL up evident was reached & leather made has market COMMERCIAL true in 1942 when it started was true was the 35% a 1940, when it declined after it was in seen and month a 'phoney.' market. high, and it so stocks been true in was THE firm new Ar- are Chairman of the Harold P. Woodcock, respectively. of the Board, and during the, President. Other officers are Wil¬ last year. At the same time there is no assurance that Russia will liam Z. McLear, Executive Viceso change her long-term objectives that we could feel safe in re¬ President; Daniel J. Taylor, Ralph moving the prop of defense business that has supported our economyi E. Hendee and Russell M. Dotts,; in recent ,years. Such news should enable; the market to move; Vice-Presidents; and Warren HJ further away from the critical support levels of the last few years.: Bodman, Secretary and Treasurer. tension .that nervous has existed around some world the Ability to act well this month would probably give the market a breathing spell until the fall business trend is more clearly defined. The months summer have not been a time when the In has market joint a Hess statement, Woodcock and Messrs. said: "The big decisions as to the business outlook. Perhaps this is the reason why no bear market has ever started in June, July or combining of the two firms will bring into one well-balanced or¬ ganization the officers, partners August, and why the and September companies. investment made majority of them have been delayed until November."—Written by Ralph Rotnem of Harris, or Upham & Co. , . sales departments of bothOur activities in the field will be broad¬ in the public ened Range of available yields. Dif¬ Reynolds Co. Sponsors j ferences and similarities between Investment Course vestment ( PHILADELPHIA, PA.The Philadelphia office of Reynolds & Co., 1528 Walnut Street, mem• bers the of New York other and leading stock and commodity ex¬ changes, has been conducting at 'the Bellevue - Stratford Hotel : there, interesting and popular an • Investment Course for Women. "Though none of their customers "were solicited; and, in fact, the whole solicitation through newspaper advertisements, approximately 600 applications were •made and tickets issued for this was • • series which May 4, began Wednesday, is continuing each and "Wednesday through June 8. In Co. its advertising, Reynolds & invited the preference of the "scholars" for securities and Department Reynolds & Co. of individual investment counts. Sheets I ;> Income and Drexel New York Stock Exchange film objectives set for 8:00 p.m. Neces¬ Trust Funds—Albert far Trusts. around the 500 June the sessions held run thus mark. The is wide in program but the treatment is i . • scope intentionally rudimentary and in simple lariguage with careful avoidance of the highly fratern ity technical investment j argon, except where unavoidable. Each student at the opening night was given a note¬ similar; to the type used in book the average school, with which to ■ ' - • make notes marks. the of lecturer's It has been re- impressive to the of group women is and how many of them make seri. ous of their notebooks. In ad¬ use dition, .. each closed student found en- sample forms to some be used at any . v of ture speakers was of a a variety in the because conceived in the the na¬ civic enterprise as well for the very practical purpose as of disseminating information about, and taking some of the mystery from, the securities busi¬ ness. The topics of the discussions already given and those scheduled together with ers list of the speak¬ a follows: May 4: Introduction to and scope of course. (a) Regulations for Protection Benefit and of Investors; SEC; Security Commission, Penna. NASD; Federal Reserve and Stock Exchange Rules—John A. Mur¬ phy, Partner, Reynolds & Co., and William K. Barclay, of Jr., President Philadelphia-Baltimore Stock • Exchange, Partner Stein Bros. & with curities. How definitions to buy of and se¬ sell. Financial Chronicle) Robert and have become J. Hen¬ associated York Los Angeles and changes. Stock Ex¬ Mr. Bourbequ was for¬ merly Vice-President of Bourbeau Douglass, with which Mr. Hen¬ & derson Bruns, Nordeman & Co. Add Three to Bruns, Street, members of & New the Co., -30 City, To Head Men. Forum Robert T. Salit have joined their rayon department which is under the Rosenthal and with was stylist Haas production for many Bros. the same candidate stylist production tion at the held of the York annual June on 8 meeting to be are: man¬ Albert J. of Dansky Tripp & Co., Secretary and Rudolph J. Harper, of Fiduciary formerly asso¬ brokerage firm of was ciated with the Counsel, Inc., to succeed himself Treasurer, as Arthur Cohen & Co. Both he and Mr. Salit are well known in the T^V ': ;-?J Nominated Board rayon trade. for members of the Governors to serve of three-year terms are: James J. Carpenter of Bankers Trust Co.. Ziftpin & Go. Move To Larger Quarters and Otto H. Coettert, of Central Hanover Bank The & Trust Nominating Francis Co. South be in La address), their May 18. Salle new Also, "The Bawl Street Journal" Bawl Street Journal will deal with the present state of Now in Production Committee Street, which surprised at anything, for its annual flood of large banking institution in New claims the title of the orig¬ inal Pyramid give details of investor can Club—and a will it plan by which put $2 out at an com¬ pound interest, have frozen for.. 200 years and ice (their and expects to quarters about brought life' million¬ Lehman and Bros., Glenn ' National State David D. M. Ellin- Thompson-; of Bank, Newark. underwriting busi¬ the first will time plan to replace the two- sur¬ wood, of Moody's Investors Serv- Street a is rarely is getting for story building at 23 Wall Street with a 20-story hotel, using the present edifice as a penthouse. prises when "The Bawl Street Advertisements in this year's Journal" comes out on June 3 as paper cover fields is as diversified a feature of the Bond Club Field as the plunging neckline, the Day. latest goings-on in Washington, The financial burlesque edition the outlook for the Long Island will tell how Billy Rose is going Railroad and the activities of spe¬ to take over the Stock Exchange cialists on the New York Stock and run it not only profitably but glamorously—it will reveal which Exchange. set is P. and ness disclose Wall York Gallagher, of Kidder, CHICAGO, ILL.—Zippen & Co., Peabodv & Co., Chairman; Charles specialists in foreign securities, F. Aufderhar, of Savings Banks have taken much larger space at Trust Co., George T. Ragsdale. of 208 Rex Cromwell, Dallas Rupe & Son, Dallas; Robert E. Moroney, Moroney, Beissner & Co., Houston; Jack Taylor, University of Texas, Austin, Texas. (Standing in background)—Eugene Bashore, Blyth & Co., Inc., New York City; Robert Brown, Blyth & Co., Inc., Houston the investment Milloy. of the First Boston Corp.; Vice-President; C. M. Haight, Jr., ager. Mr. Presidency Other officers selected for elec¬ capacity and for the and for Municipal Forum of New for the fiscal year 1949-50. Fabrics past seven years has been with the Ben Mann Fabrics Corp., also as Veit, Manager of the Municipal Department of Shields & Co., has been selected by a Nominating Committee as the Corp. Prior to that, he was asso¬ ciated with A. S. Rosenthal & Co. in associated in the New York Stock ton years also Robert Veil Nominated York Exchange, announce that Frank Rosenthal, Allen Dansky and Mil¬ Mr. was trading department. Dept. Nordeman Beaver present Simple The Reeves & Co., 271 Beverly Drive, Bevdrly Cal., members of the Nefy Hills, Timing—W. Linton Nel¬ Investment Counsellor, Pres., Delaware Fund, Inc. son, • (b) Washington, D. C. Daniel South vestment ' Boyce. to Bourbeau derson June 8: Forecasting and analy¬ The Business Cycle and In¬ manager course ' J. sis. The program was developed in the Reynold's office and an effort type : (Special management of Leonard D. Stertz. made to have Exchange Commission and Eugene Bashore, Blyth & Co., Inc., New York City; Claude T. Crockett, Moroney, Beissner & Co., Houston; A. S. Wiltberger, Blyth & Co., Inc., Chicago LOS ANGELES, CAL.—Edward E. Welch, Executive Vice-Presi¬ dent, Wellington Fund, Inc. time they wish to ask specific questions, was return E. Moroney, Moroney, Beissner, & Co., Houston; Robert K. McConnaughey, Securities & Wllh Daniel Reeves 1: Investment Companies —Periodic payment plans—Joseph observers of these classes how attentive since his Robert Bourbeau, Henderson Whitt¬ but at of acting head of the Rail¬ Division since August, 1947. road lesey, V.-P. and Trust Officer, The Pennsylvania Co. for Banking & attendance has leave on Savings Funds, Insurance, Com¬ mon sarily, this made it impossible for of the applicants to attend some was has been and methods of of and, therefore, the courses was He Department Individual 25: appointed Manager of Lieutenant in the Navy. He been attached to the Buying a has Reynolds & Co. evening ' as "Money at Work"—L. S. Warren, May that T. Herbert Shriver absence from 1941 to 1946, during which time he saw active service of portfolio planning —Diversification—Relative places time Wall partment. Administration, Technology; Institute ! Ripley Mr. Shriver has been with Har¬ riman Ripley since January, 1937, when he entered the Sales De¬ tive quality—W. A. Nagele, Asso-f ciate Professor of Accounting, School of Business to past." ing Department. Ac¬ indexes of rela¬ as the the Railroad Division of the Buy¬ Statements; Dividends; Interest; Book Values. Ratios in Ripley & Co., Inc., Street, New York City, II has been ; Financial we even Harriman 63 courses. sessions. The great preponderance of opinion was for r •. announces 18: than at Harriman Sources of financial information— May an comprehensive ' service William M. Bennett. Balance render Shriver Heads Div. of \ value determination and to believe we Manager, Methods measurement able customers our Bennett,! May 11: Further definitions inJ eluding basic, growth, and cyclical industries. be other forms of in¬ William M, —- will more Research morning, afternoon, evening or i particularly utility field and (Facing camera, left to right)—Arnold J. Kocurek, Rauscher, Pierce Co., San Antonio, Texas; Robert R. Harmon, Shields & Co., Chicago & aire.^' ' back to a himself be .Advance orders for copies Journal" ered also on be being taken are "The Bawl Street (at $1 each) to be deliv¬ June on financial cliffe of of 3. sale district. The that paper day will in the Myron F. Rat- Lehman Brothers is Chairman of the Circulation Com¬ mittee. 1949 Thursday, May 19, CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (2174) -18 Broken Government Promises 1 ' 1 .... 1 Mr. Heimann, asserting By WILLIAM J. McKAY . at currencies clusion commerce toaSlS. ' In face of a on gain than in try leads the to the any of event of abandonment other coun¬ a taken civilization To. do progressed; as they were broken and; of citizens in. their have this strong resurgence an is action any elec¬ fail to important bearing on the event not can A Conservative situation. victory it is will bring the lifting of all exJ that authoritative change restrictions; a C. C. F. suc¬ quarters in Canada have at last cess will result in imposition of abandoned their reticent attitude still more rigid exchange re¬ towards this subject. It is frankly straints; the most likely result Of admitted that a wave of currency all—no party with a clear major-i adjustments in Europe would com¬ ity, could lead to a reversal of pel official reconsideration of the many of the policies pursued by parity of the Canadian dollar vis- the long-entrenched Liberal re¬ a-vis the U. S. dollar. The most devaluationary sentiment of surprising inot ! ' : gime. popular conjecture concerning the logical level of the Canadian dol¬ lar is midway between the rate During the week there was a minimum of activity in the ex¬ and a were also quiet fairly firm undertone. Free funds showed a disposition to following a long period of persistent strength, but the cor¬ porate-arbitrage r a t e remained steady in the neighborhood of weaken the favorable trade statistics of 1948 and early 1949 continue to cling to the belief that the Canadian dollar could adsituation the internals with i Only the rapidly diminishing ■f' few who still base their appraisals 'of the of the bond market ternal section pound and that, of the U. S. dollar. * of the • on 11%. Stocks were mostly dull and Cvantageously maintain its present slightly easier. Golds and Western f level in the event of a devaluation oils, however, continued to attract of sterling. Even in the absence investment demand and the baseof increased competition in export metals after touching their lowest markets as a result of European level since early 1948 finally -currency devaluations, future Ca¬ showed some improvement as* a nadian foreign trade figures can result of the rise in the price of V hardly fail to register the recent copper-scrap. change in world economic condi;k]] tions. In these circumstances in order to maintain the official dol¬ ■ -•>' • • • • #- m e We in de¬ state of than we ise. little more Henry H. promise be may ~ i ~ oral or - it. is essential that it be treated as a pledge, and that.it be assumes, can material. It can but means more no | be spiritual or be good or bad promise; is a of deceit and should find bad a . . .. promise false or acceptance than a lie. ; Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin all promised their people Vmuch bet¬ ter way of life but these promises were false; they knew they were false and they proved to be false. Even in the fulfillment of some Rodney Darling Joias. I parity Canada would be obliged to revert to an unrelieved system of exchange control and trade restrictions. lar its at Such present BOSTON, MASS.—Rodney M. Darling has become associated Moors & Cabot, 11, Devon- directly policy would be a Moors & Gabot, Boston world The multi¬ of currencies, lateral convertibility i and trade with ing the currency deadlock has also condemna¬ not received summary as reluctance to bear to on Dominion's bring wards exchange which has been attitude soul-satisfy¬ and lifted their arms in wor¬ that if they sincerely sought spiritual comfort, there was inherent in their very act a promise of peace and happiness they could attain in manipulation on Canada's vital We of this York and Boston Stock Exchanges, Manager of the Trading De¬ partment. Mr. Darling was for¬ as merly in the trading department Pont, Homsey Co. GOVERNMENT of du PROVINCIAL MUNICIPAL CHICAGO, ILL.—Barclay In¬ Co., 39 South La Salle Street, will remain open Tuesday nights until 9 p.m. to serve their vestment CORPORATION clients who their offices ness hours. CANADIAN STOCKS may enter Monroe find Street building side at on 122 the West ringing the bell and being admitted by the night watchman, since the 39 South La Salle Street is entrance closed The firm also announces that it will. be during WALL STREET closed June, promise is a to or forbear to do a specified act—a covenant—to iafford reason expect—to cause assurance." to In all day Saturday August and July, our daily life we have had yardstick by which or weigh our transactions in work, agriculture, to develop we a evaluate can trade and commerce. Some people call it money but more frequently it is credit expressed in terms of money. this after 6 p.m. * INCORPORATED "a - Monroe Street, by A. E. AMES & CO says It is evident therefore that yardstick must be stable, un¬ varying, and that the government, whether it so expresses itself or not, has a sacred pledge of honor basis. to maintain it on a stabilized September. NEW YORK 5, problems we face difficulty of over¬ results of broken promises in the field of money exchange and credit. You cannot of One the transact business with any assur¬ when ance *Keynote address of Mr. 'Robert Crookstont Dead WORTH 4-2400 NY 1-1045 evaluate must you . and commerce in a currency or exchange that has little stability. or certainty of trade your for rewarded are Robert R. Crookst'Ort, partner in ( Singe, Deane ' burgh, died on & .S:cribn;er, May 121 * Pitts- mann Hei¬ at the 53rd Annual Conven¬ tion of the National Association of Credit Men, May 16,1949. Atlantic City, N. J., in right or wrong their puzzlement in trying to doubt the understand of our people is beside the point. However, there can be no question as to why many people doubted. They doubted because of the fail¬ government to fulfill prom¬ of ure ises in the past. Not but many times our once if your dubious You cannot farm would or living successfully a labors mankind. welfare of people have been promised a bet¬ ter way of life and a more peace¬ ful world atmosphere if they . value. the for Whether they were today is the coming the in work only accept this that or valueless currency. This prob¬ or lem is for the than more a financier or plan. But though the plans were problem "adopted, the fulfillment of the 'the cen¬ promises was never realized. banking authority. tralized is It problem of the working man and woman, of the farmer and busi¬ nessman and the people living on fixed incomes. It seriously affects a plan for the future. It. is hard to potent force for- unrest, since gives dictators the chance to win a following. a it We of this nation are not blame¬ less in the situation. present world monetary We deliberately de¬ You will recall in the our posts for peace and happiness. were soon continued vised for the monetary yardstick. a This promise made by our govern¬ ment and fulfilled by our govern¬ ment in most of our history was broken. forgotten and the world in its misunderstand¬ These promises were mere of paper. Next we had the treaty of Versailles. Scarcely had the ink been dry before it was realized that instead of this docu¬ ing. scraps made upset No can question or did question their idealism. But the 14 points one ment to the 14 points. They were the command¬ ments that were to be the guide only gold history of times we were given sound standard man had ever de¬ valued insuring for peace, It unrest. it was a really false promise to victor and vanquished, The Dawes and Young plans fol¬ told, lowed. These plans, we were rebuild time permit o.ther would enable Germany to Many questioned the right- and at the same government when it did nat^ons to rest secure in the this. Expediency is never an ex-- knowledge such plans would pre¬ cuse for broken promises. vent a return of militarism. Irres¬ of our You have throughout the world of exchangeand monetary values that is pre¬ venting a sound world recovery and delaying a return to peace. Arbitrary values that are unreal¬ today istic confusion a been have placed on the of different nations. These values are a fraud upon their own money pective of how well conceived by the authors of the plan, the plan failed. / The agreement to scrap arma¬ ments was presumed to be in¬ controvertible evidence of the ar¬ rival of all but an understanding world—assurances proved and we faced the fact these erroneous people. They are a bold-face lie; that in acting in good faith we they time and again shatter* the made ^ourselves ridiculous in a faith and liquidate the industry world of militarism. and thrift of men and women. The League of Nations, nobly resort to a managed conceived, went the way of other efforts to establish peace. With economy in which you regiment people and defraud them of their due ceremony we celebrated the savings' through' constantly de¬ signing of the Kellogg-Briand valuing managed currency, either Pact. Our celebration was fol¬ directly by government edict or lowed by gathering war clouds. by the inflationary consequences, Before and during the recent of your program, you reap a har¬ war we told our people that Lendvest of social unrest, class hatred Lease would tide the war victims When you and national-animosity. You build faith for wars and for the loss of in promise is a a broken pathway that leads to government. Your lower standard of living life N. Y. there how understand not possibly be any skepticism a plan they contend is so obviously in the interest of peace and / Money and Credit upon our declaration, verbal or written, which binds the promisor to do it hard to visit during regular busi¬ Tuesday night Visitors the In Webster Barclay Open Till 9 generation rely nation we are promised freedom and oppor¬ tunity if we conduct ourselves so as to be worthy of it. In some na¬ tions no such promise is implied, but rather, the lying assurances of a better way of life through a state-controlled society. promises. CANADIAN BONDS well other way. no shire Street, members of the New full knowing ship, Rodney Darling TWO the attributes of religion as we it now, primitive man and woman previous occasions, provides suf¬ ficient explanation. knew we know to¬ demonstrated of Field in Promises Broken is before interest of the world. Some leaders of government about their daily life and it makes for such chaos and confusion that it ing Perhaps the sterling. realistic tories with his sinister motives in to the long range could to mind. Of course he kept them em¬ wholesomeness pressure any false premise. Long might have been expected I in view of the Dominion's natural tion a promises of Mussolini and Stalin were equally vicious. Stalin and his gang, are today offering their own false promises. Canada that suggestion these promises, on Other might take the initiative in break¬ con- Pact. peace the suffer people- will continue throughout the world. ployed, but that wasn't the kind of employment he promised them. contrary to the Dominion's inter¬ ests and its own avowed objectives —freer they operated Hitler assured his people that he would keep them fully employed. He did so by preparing for war. He em¬ ployed them in armament fac¬ of was the could . v have we Atlantic North the of is there this by comparison. more honesty in protection of inviolable rights, the given action or set of con-j ditions. Irrespective of the form ill A recent weeks In eluded people tortured and respect it. to avoid a have en¬ of a fulfilled. way Many people were not convinced written, expressed or implied, oit it may be a natural consequence of govern¬ Until Heimann than broken ot false promise. A A horrors seem' mild , tragic a respect. through broken promises in a way that would make the medieval . is a Nations conflict. slaved prom-, There seeking are third society a respect, it must by its earn the worst wars in history and now sacred civilized, a conduct Mankind has a right ment, like an individual, must be to expect governments to labor careful in its promises. It must for peace but- broken and false Tealize it is expected to fulfill promises have brought us two of them if it wishes its people to veloped. There is nothing more taken be not pledge that should a and must be fulfilled. If a govern¬ ment seeks broken promises of yesterday. misunder¬ standings should and lightly. It is world today a promise by government can¬ not government. living in are that reflects the and s A otherwise is to cheat and defraud and to destroy the faith forgotten, the world's prob1 by per- promises." As these promises were respected1 and followed through on and Canadian the before sound tions, this ' not or has relied ! over - ,f ormance, trade restrictions. Whether who ruled universal; exchange live by, points out this generation relies on promises, and promises are what we days of the early Romans, when they erected temples to Jupiter as the god oaths, vows,! conscience and the sense of obligation and.right dealing, man Since the con¬ stands the Dominion that to more port prices as a result of currency devaluation would also place U. S.¬ European inevitable over artificial the principal stumbling block in the path of freer intra-European trade. In turn it is now generally believed that the lowering of European ex¬ constitutes ; <' field of money-exchange and credit. Attacks devaluation of gold dollar as "upset of only sound standard man has ever devised as monetary yardstick," and cautions time has arrived for government to be careful of its promises. Denounces farm support program, managed econ¬ omy and present socialistic trends as depriving people of just fruits of capitalism. ; matter of timing and degree. Competent authorities both here and in Europe now no longer hesitate to state that the maintenance of wartime exchange controls and* — . V;': trade restrictions designed to dependence on foreign trade more¬ levels " " : ' 1 . Association of Credit Men broken government promises in burning question of devaluation of certain European cur¬ rencies has reached the stage where it now appears merely to be a The maintain By HENRY H. HEIMANN* Executive Manager, National , i are of fear levying | confiscatory would, if and what and suffering. amounts to capital tax a You a that immediately realized by over bring on a rebellion. enable them to move ceased. It did no such thing. We next de¬ vised UNRRA. That was to be the final effort but it proved to be but the beginning.'. Then we were told a British loan would help gallant ally to effect a com- our pl ete recovery. The. loan was made but when the - money nvas ex• the people, and forward once the war had ; (Continued on page 26) Volume 169 COMMERCIAL THE -Number 4804 FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE (2175) Let the Railroads Be 19 De-Regulated! By ROBERT 15. McLOLL* - Lehigh Valley Railroad In • dull and a largely static market'the bonds'of Lehigh Valley Railroad have been jumping < around rather erratically in recent "Weeks. Interest in this situation has centered around progress being made toward consummation of a voluntary debt readjustment plan. This is the first test of the Mahaffie Act passed last year in an effort to expedite railroad reorganizations. The plan has the approval of the Interstate Commerce Commission. On May 10 it was an¬ nounced oy C. A. Major, President, that the terms had been ap¬ proved by more than the necessary 75% of each class of security affected. This naturally fostered hopes that consummation of the plan would not be long delayed. i;77 It new I would like this -7 try, of which that there evening to explore with you the possibility that the railroad indus¬ all a part; may be approaching a significant new period in its history— reasons for believing great things may lie ahead—always providing we work we are are for fectly tion is taking place today in now appears the tive -who concerned the over , •putting the plan into effect. analysts who remember only too; well the harmful affect on Balti¬ more & Ohio of the extended litigation with respect to its voluntary readjustment plan a few years ago. al¬ de- no m a n for d steam locomo¬ tives. Approx¬ imately of a 11 today Robert McColl B. i d few who fear that the plan are is most 96 % orders are for s e 1 e electrics. The is not hard reason It has been ization to find. estimated that dieselAmerican of railroads — ft had generally been conceded that on consummation of the costing something like $3V2 billion -plan, Baltimore & Ohio would be able to. refund its senior mortgage —can cut U. S. railroad operating bonds at a considerable saving in interest costs. By the time the costs at least half a billion dol¬ suit of junior bond holders had gone through all of the courts, mar¬ lars a year, and perhaps as much ket conditions had changed so drastically that the refunding was as three-quarters of a billion dol¬ no longer feasible. Prospective refunding of senior liens is obviously lars a year. The diesel-electric is not a factor in the Lehigh Valley picture at this time. Nevertheless, a powerful economizer. the prospect of a possible long delay under present conditions of Diesel Revolution Spotlights uncertainty has tended to unsettle the market for the company's securities. • " •' Possibilities „ the readjustment plan was, 'As of the -end of last; year the company had maturities, exclusive of equipment obligations, of $45,354,000 falling due in the years 1949-1957, inclusive, of which more than $32,500,000 was payable in the three years 1949-1951. There was not enough cash in the till or in prospect to meet these obliga¬ tions. The only alternatives were the present Mahaffie Act volun¬ tary extension of the maturities or the much more expensive and lengthier process of a thorough reorganization under Section 77. On the basis of past history it is safe to, pay that had Section 77 been resorted to the end result would have been- far more drastic treat¬ ment for at least the junior security holders. ; : Obviously senior bond holders are not going to accept an exten¬ / There can be no question but that and still is, essential to Lehigh Valley. > „ . . concessions, and without some sion of their maturities without some the part of junior security holders. The latter after benefit the most, from avoiding a drastic judicial ^reorganization. sacrifice on all, "As the % diesel But revolution is doing something more. It has al¬ ready turned the spotlight on the potentialities for mechanical which gress exists today pro¬ in the railroad industry. It's like shilling pulse Scotsman a to 7 You finding a the sidewalk. The im¬ look fdr more becomes on strong—very, the work being done to improve rail¬ road equipment today. The draw¬ ing boards are covered with de- iigns,7Equally; important is the work; being done to improve handling facilities. The economies which may be possible through sinking funds were established for the senior bond 757c of the interest on the road's junior mortgage bonds is to be put on a contingent basis. This latter will minimize i m p r o v e d materials-handling the danger of the company getting into difficulties over, meeting its methods are getting a great deal charges in the future. The sinking funds will help to solve the ques¬ of attention everywhere. tion of future principal maturities. : Even with the possible delays But the moment we start talk¬ concession, a holders. Also, the whole present process ing about cost-reducing improve¬ materially to the road's credit stand¬ ments through equipment and fa¬ ing and, thus, to the market appeal of its various bond issues:," ' cilities, we come up hard against of litigation there is no question but that is constructive and should add the problem of money—of capital M. J. Dodge, Well- of Doyle, Marshall Jewell Dodge, former¬ with it—comes problem. Co., now from while returning .7; "77");■,7. '77 ■ f ^Following his connection with Bertron,' Griscom & Co.,' which engaged in the operation and fi¬ nancing of public utilities,Mr. Dodge became a partner in the „; 1932. - " •',"-*7: - v•: > it It General in Grant's cabinet. President the get Henry • Co., Inc., was T. Mathews elected ■ • •"7;v7 director a of the Missouri Pacific RR. at the annual meeting held St. Louis. May- 10 in 77\:77^;: <-'7*:7;" ■ ———— —i l—i—. - A, A. Winner Joins Hettleman Sc Co. ^ •; - 7 " Hettleman & Co., 1 Wall Street, New York City, members of New York Stock and Curb Exchanges, announce has firm. that Arthur become •' A. Winner with associated " 7 " 7>' •'i ' 7 in in the lowest year '20s. The refusal people the *"'•'7 "■ Stake I would like to suggest that the of risk to their American savings are about 1,300,000 in who any company or industry is not evidence that they are either fool¬ ish or anti-social. It is simply when getting they it and can; from equip¬ : - certainly not getting through the securities markets. is doubtful whether amounts any con¬ of roads at reasonable rates todayeven if it were wise for them to the lies much closer to home. answer There in this railroads and as a who stake today country and men employees are women America's of have in least at the growth* survival, vigor and security of the evidence that, a basic situation railroad industry as any other isn't right and needs to be fixed. group in the country. After all, Risk capital will be attracted to 60 7c of the costs of operating a any industry—and create jobs and railroad are wages. Furthermore, security. when, earnings, divi¬ these men and women are or¬ dends and When ing them of spite are good. stocks two-times at some prospects railroad are are.selling to yield 10% in of large coverage; when whole railroads are great ganized and vocal. sell¬ earnings — as when railroad are; In addition, stockholders there and 900,000 are the bondholders who have 1,000,000 equally important stake in the welfare of the railroads. It has an seemedi never priced in the possible to organize shareholders market at less than their cash and behind industrial projects, but rolling stock — so that plant is we must not underestimate their being thrown in free — a funda¬ potentialities. mental situation needs fixing. And there are other groups Two Sources of Funds Are Not It have is certainly not. satisfactory only two sources of funds when available. Equipment trust good only for buying equipment. Earnings—the only other source of money for progress — are today under con¬ stant threat from a variety of sources. For example— Rising costs which are not off¬ set promptly by rate changes; Competitive conditions — which are certificates are - often mean that rate change isn't a solution to any problem because the business will which can program. Enough survivaJ roads. certainly help in any Shippers and suppliers substantial a stake and progress of Certainly all of railroad equipment in in us the the industry have big stake in a sound and perous railroad industry. a With the rail¬ our pros¬ help of employees, I believe wonders may be achieved; I say some this against a background of experience. We at our com¬ set a very high value on the cooperation, and under¬ standing of all our employees. We pany help, want stand them the to know problems and" of under¬ the com¬ elsewhere if pany. We don't ever want it said higher rates are actually put into that they failed to help the com- > effect. pany and themselves because they .Taxes — .part of which go to didn't know the facts. The same go subsidize competing forms of thing is true of shareholders. : transportation; These Objectives Are Important Wage increases if they are not earned—no matter r how To All well- deserved they may seem. If we are to have the help of Only recently, as you know, the large groups of people, we must railroads of this country accepted have objectives important to them. the recommendation of the Presi¬ I think we have such aims for dent's Emergency Board, created under the Railway Labor Act, and will, establish a 40-hour week for a employees, on top of a 907o increase since 1939. It will cost railroads something like $640,000,000 tober, a got First, greater security; Second, better earnings: Third, greater opportunity for growth and advancement. But these things can be achieved Last Oc¬ only by giving customers of the operating railroad faster and better service wage increase a $95,000,000. The wage, increases three-quarters of a of these approaches two 1948 the railroads of this country had a net dollars, income of only We Have holders ' year. to billion security railroads— remember, you amounting total for and for all associated with Ameri¬ can ,20yo increase. It comes employees present time, mortgage bonds could be sold by most rail¬ , Postmaster railroad are siderable was , the They V■ j: > active in the formation of the Todd Shipyards Corpora¬ tion, becoming a director in 1917. Resigning" his directorship .in -1936, Mr. Dodge beeame -the European representative • of > the Todd Shipyards Corp. ■. 777-7 V ; Mr. Dodge, a native of Hartford, Conn., and a graduate of Yale in 1898, was a grandson of William Earl Dodge of New York, philan¬ thropist, publicist, and founder of Phelps, Dodge & Co., now Phelps, Dodge Corp. Mr. Dodge was a grandson of Marshall Jewell, four -times Governor of Connecticut, American Minister -to Russia and .-He a constantly improved ment trust certificates. • Exchange firm of Palmer & Co. until its dissolution in At earnings they are NeW York Stock s. can American railroads are getting money al¬ most exclusively from only two sources. They are getting it from - England, after an illness of six weeks. "Where financial a equipment? Berfron & Co., Inc., died last Sunday - money to buy ly a member of the New York banking firm of Bertron, Griscom & the dividends of the '40s equal to the year fect . 1 pay 1,300,000 Employees Have Great a ization, problem—or at least right & O'Connor not as non-operating employees, begin¬ ning September 1. This is in ef¬ CHICAGO,' ILL. -4' /Henry; T. along Mathews aid railroads investment. Ahead of the mechan¬ Henry T. Mathews, Dir. Known Banker, Dies of L . the but dividends paid a strong. familiar with very all are any bonds "vanishing race." The whole - reciprocating steam locomotive is a the of mo¬ power. There Announcement of the, litigation naturally dampened speculative enthusiasm that had begun to appear when the results of' the voting by bond holders had been announced a couple of days before. While might be upest, there are those prospect of possible long delays in In this connection there are many field railroad- constitutionality of the Mahaffie Act. Close students of the his¬ tory ol railroad reorganization legislation see little danger that the Lehigh Valley reorganization will be upset by the courts. Similar voluntary reorganization legislation has withstood the court test of constitutionality in the past. are clear revolu¬ a : '40s, <$ is per¬ that the there them. 11 that these early hopes for speedy consummation .of the readjustment were at least premature. On May 12 a ^ small holder of one of the underlying liens filed suit in New York Supreme Court attacking the plan. This action may well be carried through the highest courts and presumably in the long run will determine ?. President, American Locomotive Company railroad financing, despite need for additional improvements, Mr. McColl lays cause to inadequate return on railroad capitalization and unfair national transportation policy. Says -V railroads are barred from good competitive practices granted to other carriers, and calls for releasing them from shackles which are holding back their development. Noting absence of and in $70$ million. Job to Do with People a at lower costs—because if not first take of we the do cus¬ competition trucks, buses, planes, water transportation and pipelines, we from can't take anyone care of employees or else. Our aim must be to given investors prosperous, It appears there care tomer in face of hard a strong, solvent, dividend-paying rail¬ is some other road industry — one that is at¬ job to be done before we can do tractive to risk capital—because either the financial or the me¬ if we don't attract money, we can't chanical job. What is it? I would like to suggest that we have modernization and low casts; we can't compete successfully with other forms of transportation; we business; and em¬ ployees cannot have security, good a human problem. 7 7 We Have a Financial Job to Do earnings and opportunity. The I certainly agree with all who basis for 7 security for all must be They are certainlly not doing any financing — although what say that we want a sympathetic a dynamic, strong, aggressive, for¬ they really need more than, any¬ understanding on. the part of the ward-looking industry. American people. The railroads thing else is more risk capital. The Nationalization Proved Failure in trouble is our railroads have been are important to America—-tre¬ World War I Try to able, to distribute only about 257c mendously important. At this point, let's take a look an America without of their earnings in the form. of visualize at. the whole broad question of dividends in recent years. Their railroads.. But I think that we cannqt government ownership, national¬ earning power recovered during count on the general public to ization, regulation. increase their debt. first have a —that have first and foremost we job to do with people ^ "5 *An address by Mr. McColl ber fore Meeting of American Society of Mechanical Engineers,. Chicago, 111., April 27, 1949. can't get the , Do these offer roads to security rise up .and solve our railroad problems fpr us.—qr even to take for all—to a dynamic, strong, ag¬ time out from their busy'lives to gressive, forward-looking indus(Continued on page 31 study the railroad situation. .. 20 COMMERCIAL THE (2176) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, 1949 be transferred to the general together with any remain¬ may A Breath el Fresh Air Our Reporter Governments on ''There is send of short-term low coupon secur¬ ities in the mid-year operation has again put off changes in debx policy which seem 10 be inevitable, especially in the not too distant future.. The demand side of the eligible market has been strength¬ ened and will most likely be further bolstered, while the supply side : Treasury through the . use If Federal' and all taxables . . other holders of the three longest eligible continue to to operations. . . for shorts substitute in longs lations. We send ly acceded to United in the government bond market. ECONOMY AT BANK'S EXPENSE to keep debt payments the to "■ deposit banks despite not the slightest semblance of budget. still down goes registered . . among holders many of 1 its once Robert A. Taft proposed the June 2s. . . ^ iA'" PRICES BELIEVED the 1934. Federal Reserve Amends . to keep the last three maturities, the 23/2S due 1956/58, the 21/4s due 3956/59 and the 2^s due 9/15/67/72 from getting out of hand tem¬ porarily. ... However, the substitution of low for higher income obligations cannot (i easy coupon on go market conditions, because the money short-term issues indefinitely under deposit banks which losing other earning assets, must sooner or later seek those longer-term higher coupon bonds in order to bolster declining are ; Since the supply of the latter obligations is limited being further reduced by refundings, the enlarged demand revenues. and is for . these tations. SAVINGS . . securities will in time be reflected in higher quo¬ ... BONDS Purchases AND MONEY MARKETS of savings bonds in the Opportunity Drive by com¬ mercial banks, to make it a success, probably mean much to the monetary authorities, but would that be the best thing for the money markets? To be sure, investible funds would be absorbed and ... there would be shift from marketable non-marketable debt, eligible taxables would be temporarily taken out of the market, despite the lack of enthusi¬ asm for non-marketable securities by most institutional investors. and some a to of the demand for the three longest Nonetheless, it is believed in many quarters that the most effective method of offsetting the increasing demand for eligible obligations is by at least maintaining, if not adding to, the floating supply of marketable securities, with maturities and rates that need not be -as costly as would be the opening up of the Savings Bonds to commercial banks. * . . . ing syndicate or group. However, Section 11(d) (1) does not pro¬ hibit an extension of credit by a it de¬ as most likely be rolled over into 1%S; September 2s, a small issue, will be the next high coupon obligation to come up for consideration. Too many things can happen between now and then to master-mind what the monetary the . authorities could do. situations, and the the authorities maturities tions. . . . . are . Nevertheless, here is another . one of those in which it is handled might indicate how going to take are which . way . sizable of the December and the 1950 care and involve this obliga¬ coupon • AND CREDIT CONTROLS The chances of the Federal Reserve Board or 30, do not seem reserve to be any too good. and . . . getting an extension on June Declining business conditions, margin requirements and more liberal terms under Regulation W, the latter three at the initiative, of the Board, do not , make convincing arguments for the extension of inflationary trols when there is no inflation to be controlled. if it to by exercising a one con¬ to h<ve the reserve . ... If thsi provision had been e'imiffa'ed, there would most likely not have been pcTJcn to the extension of the interim legislation. stock right to acquire such stock which is evidenced by warrant certificate issued or to expiring within 90 days of issuance, provided that (1) each such acquisition under this and subsection shall treated be loan when made shall not exceed 75% of the separately, the and current market value of the stock so acquired as determined by any method, (2) while the borrower has anv loan outstanding under this subsection withdrawal or substitution of be permissible, except that when the loan has become eaual to or less than the maximum loan value of the stock tion 1 in as the prescribed for sec¬ supplement to this regulation the stock and indebted¬ thereafter be treated as ness may . requirements of the member banks anplv to all banks in the country. a subject to section 1 instead of this . of the most potent forces working against the request by the Federal authorities for these controls, is the attemot enable is to acquire subsection, and (3) Probably of stock used to make such loan shall broadening of the temporary credit controls that expire lower regulation borrower at the bank BOARD SEC comments as much op- or group, ly pro¬ direct¬ indirectly arranged for by a subject to Section 11(d) (1). or person The Commission's Rule X-11D1- change. on syndicate selling no loan shall be made under this subsection at time when the borrower has any such loan at the bank which has been outstanding more than any nine the Federal Reserve System an¬ now from Section 11(d) on reasonable higher Governors of the no RESERVE than exempts certain securities (1). Paragraph May 19, that effective Monday, May 16, 1949, the Board (d) of that rule provides an ex¬ of Governors has amended Regulations T and U (margin require¬ emption from the credit prohibi¬ ments), increasing from 50 to 75% the loan value for securities ac¬ tions of Section 11(d) (1) for the quired through the exercise of-^ benefit of original holders of sub¬ subscription rights, whether ex¬ to section 1. In order to facilitate scription rights. Certain other ercised by the original holder or the exercise of a right under this exemptions are contained in the by a purchaser of the rights. The subsection, a bank may permit the other provisions of Rule X-11D1amendments specify that such right to be withdrawn from a loan 1. By reason of these existing transactions shall be set aside in subject to section 1 without regard exemptive rules of the Commis¬ to any other requirement of this a special account and that substi¬ sion, a member of a selling syndi¬ tutions i or withdrawals may not regulation." cate or group is not prohibited be made in the account. No new The Amendment to Regulation from extending credit to original credit may be granted to a cus¬ T is as holders of rights, but the existing follows: tomer on the preferential terms under the Commis¬ Effective May 16, 1949, Regula¬ exemptions if such a credit has been outstand¬ sion's rule are narrower than the tion T is hereby amended by ing more than nine months with¬ amendments just adopted by the striking out section 6 (I) of said out being changed to the 50% ba¬ Board of Governors of the Fed¬ regulation and by adding the fol¬ sis generally applicable under the eral Reserve System in that the lowing subsection at the end of Commission's rule does not ex¬ regulations. section 4 of said regulation: The text of the Amendment to empt extensions of credit to trans¬ "(h) Special subscriptions ac¬ ferees of rights. Regulation U reads as follows: count.—In a special subscriptions The Commission requests com¬ Effective May 16, 1949, Regula¬ account a creditor may effect and tion U is hereby amended by finance the acquisition of a reg¬ ments and suggestions* on the changing section 3 (p) of said istered security for a customer question whether, in view of these amendments and the purposes of regulation to read as follows: through the exercise of a right to Section 11(d) (1), it should adopt c<(p) A loan need not comply acquire such security Which is with the other requirements of evidenced by a warrant or certifi¬ a similar amendment to its ex¬ nounced Board stockholders The July certificates will so purchaser. by any broker or dealer a member of such a or vided that the credit is not securities 1 The a JULY AND SEPTEMBER MATURITIES , warrant broker- participated within the preceding six months as a member of a sell¬ area acquired through subscription rights from 50% to 75% and extends same privilege to subscription . . lk % certificates.... Sales of the longer-term higher yielding eligibles by the Central Banks along with switches and swaps out of them by non-bank holders of these obligations may be substantial enough Section credit for a customer on any security that is part of a new issue the. distribution of which he Margin Rules a 1 to in We hope it is received on Subject dealer to extend credit to or ar¬ other Increases loan value Exchange certain 11(d) (1) Securities of of any 11(d) range INEVITABLE Easier credit conditions that will mcst likely get easier, do pose problem to the eligible section of the government bond market, despite other controls the monetary authorities have, such as the opening up of the non-marketable F and G obligations to the com¬ mercial banks. The supply of higher coupon marketable bank issues will be further depleted when the June 2s are refunded into Section makes it unlawful for any 1 be. to serves exempt to from limitations, glaring inconsistency and shake loose for many a moon. a operate Act % Here is the first breath of fresh air in this . not do transactions understand. bank HIGHER to by the Securities required for the acquisition of registered securities through the exercise of short-term warrants philosophy which seems guided its Spanish policy up to this time." to have Accordingly mild disappointment is being . weak¬ —Senator Robert A. Taft. Although not entirely unexpected, it was believed in many spots that the maturing 2s would be given a somewhat longer, higher coupon obligation than is being offered to them in the coming operation. statement re¬ and Ex¬ change Commission, the Federal Reserve Amendments of Regula¬ tion T and U to reduce the margin According leased from the Communist-front on, ... > SEC Issues Statement "Certainly, the State Department should rectify at in the rest of the economy tion." (1) t. v. . . Nations any requirement of this regula- other ' : to-4 regard without account resolution in the a sistent and difficult to Refunding of $5,315,135,000 of June bonds and certificates with one year 1%% maturities keeps intact the refinancing pattern +h' Treasury has been using, which increases the short-term floating debt of the Federal Government. Nothing new has been added to the picture so far, and the apparent obsession of the money managers . provisions of this section,'£ may permit the right tp be transferred from a general ^cfcourit to the special subscription^; the by Poland calling on the members of the United Na¬ tions to withdraw recognition from Spain, and since then the Administration's policy has been incon¬ price stability as violently disapprove. "Several years ago, we right in accordance With a creditor government we dxei'r facilitate the "In order to cise of . Commercial bank ownership of higher coupon bonds that are callable in the next year or so is so far in excess of the total avail¬ able supply that unless they are given something other than low going to be any such thing becoming eligible for transfer to general account. the other dicta- tors whose form of Vy income shorts there isn't curity which has been held therein",, more than nine months without present Ambassador an to Stalin and many refunding . of the l there would s<ill not bs enough to go around, if the Treasury is going Whether the Amer¬ bearing on the question of diplomatic recognition. ! "The United States policy has never demanded that foreign governments conform to Amer¬ ican political principles before we will establish diplomatic re¬ to sell all of their bonds to the commercial banks, were ,■ "(3) No security may be ac¬ quired in the account at any time when the account contains any se¬ no by the retirement of the higher coupon marketable issue in this refunding. Stop-gap and temporary measures by the authorities may be sufficient to keep prices of longer eligibles within the limits of a stable market, but this will not work too long unless the supply of higher income bank obligations, preferably marketable ones, is increased. ... Ambassador to Madrid. an people approve the policies Spanish Government or not, has has been reduced . reason no ican . . ing portion of such debit; and in the world why we should grant full diplomatic recognition to Spain and not By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. The account months eligible to be without treated becoming as issued cate and stockholders to emptive rules under that section. expiring within 90 days of issu¬ ance and such special subscrip¬ tions the shall account would be subject if it eral account except * subject to which it New Orleans Bond Club were a gen¬ Holds Annual Field Jay be conditions same to that—". ; f "(1) Each such acquisition shall be treated separately in the ac¬ count, and prior to initiating the transaction the tain creditor shall ob¬ deposit of cash in the a ac¬ count such that the cash deposited plus-the maximum loan.value of the or securities so exceeds the giving effect to acquired subscription price, a maximum loan so acquired of 75% as sonable of their current market determined by any rea¬ method; V "(2) The creditor shall not per¬ any withdrawal of cash or securities from the account so long mit as there is account, a debit balance in the except that debit connected with when the given ac¬ quisition of securities in the ac¬ a count has become equal than the maximum such securities as to or less of — The Orleans will New field annual their hold .LA. ;ORLEANS, Club day on May 30 at the Metairie Country Club. man W. of announces Hildebrand, Chair¬ C. the equals value for the securities value NEW Bond Field Day program, that tickets may be ob¬ tained from Charles Lob. A feature of golf the tournament. tree, Steiner, are ment-—Louis and a a . Mine- Joseph Co., is in Rouse & charge of this event. agenda / day will be a Also horseshoe on the tourna¬ Chairman; Klien, swimming meet, of which George Riviere is Chairman. Claude Derbes, Couturier and Derbes, is in charge of the drink loan value of committee, and Arthur Keenan is prescribed for Treasurer of the Finance Commit¬ subject1 general accounts, such securities tee.. • V- Volume COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 169 Szymczak Opposes Oold Legislation gold is stability. monetary policies than aid in maintaining economic proper Quoting frctn 1947 Annual Report of Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, in which inadequacy of ■ In address before the Delaware Bankers Association Conven¬ an tion at Wilmington, Del., the Board himself ■ j on May 12, M. S. Szymczak, a member of Federal Reserve System, expressea opposed to legislation which aims to restore a free market ana free cir-<$ jAi; A- A-VTA1;'.,—1 as • bank - of the Governors of of culation capital is called - Federal Reserve banks to acquire government securities, together with interest Reserve notes paid to the Treasury, constitutes a penalty on sound banking. • ments, used by " would "It appear that major objec¬ tive of a dangers would be re¬ duced, but the existence of a free gold market would cause serious foregoing of their mercial banks impairment of the functioning o w e r e leg- the 6V2% assets' only and less than the ization of 21% of their t i a on o n gold min¬ ing industry in United which with the basic needs of the coun¬ United been sub¬ try, without the disturbing effects S. has Szymczak ject rising to costs while the the of speculative movements oi cash and than States gold into and out of try would benefit, of course, only in case the free market price of free gold market. Demand for gold for hoarding is not a reason¬ the gold should rise above the present able or satisfactory guide to gen¬ eral monetary policies. In pe¬ riods of depression, as was the case for example in 1933, there surance be a strong public demand gold, the withdrawal of which from monetary' reserves might call for restrictive monetary policies, although policies of monetary ease are required to combat deflation¬ in mention at It the may outset, be well to therefore, that it is not certain that the mar¬ ket^ demand for gold would be adequate least price, at extended period, or to maintain the ex¬ raise to for ah the perhaps even isting price except as official Moreover, purchases. result of a as¬ suming that the mining industry would be benefited, it would seem questionable policy, considering tne welfare of the general econ¬ re¬ capital account to assets from to 6.6% is almost entirely the result of a disproportionate increase in holdings of cash and which would result from a serves may for ary pressures. On in a period when the other hand, prices of. com¬ modities and other earnings "There are, however, much more objections this to proposal. By removing controls over gold ownership and gold "In period of a flation, such more serious in¬ develop dur¬ as may ing or after a war, there may be trading, the proposed legislation a strong demand for gold as some would deprive the government of people lose confidence in the a key instrument in the mainte¬ maintenance of official parities of international of nance stability, control monetary ability its namely, settlements gold to between relative currencies Should other currencies. then gold to a or change free would have bene¬ in such parities, a occur this country and market for gold and fited those who had deserted their foreign countries thereby to eliminate capri¬ cious and speculative gold move¬ obtainec gold, but meanwhile, the free tually resulted in a premium mar¬ availability of this gold would ket for gold in this country, the hinder the financing of the war oi resulting uncertainty as to the reconstruction on as sound a basis gold value of the dollar would as possible. seriously impair the usefulness of International the Monetary Fund to develop ex¬ mechanism a as country's and currency Also, if the legislation ac¬ ments. concluded, therefore, circulation of gold is "It may be that free more likely to be a hindrance tc stability, and the effects the adoption of proper monetary of the legislation would be incon¬ policies than an aid in maintaining sistent with the efforts of this stable and prosperous economic country to promote exchange sta¬ conditions." bility by participation in the Fund. By leading to greater international monetary instability, the proposed action might have serious adverse effects upon international trade. change Chicago Bond Club To Hear Emil Schram In¬ t i Jos. Stagg should be com¬ dividends and the from sale society that goes far beyond the immediate gratification of bank stockholders. Diminished earnings reduce the amount of self-generated capital that may be plowed back into banking. The static or declining trend of earn¬ ings makes it difficult to obtain new capital from outside invest¬ During the same period the 30 companies whose secur¬ ities comprise the Dow-Jones In¬ paid earnings. in 1947 and assets quoted value. growing vestors in 6.45% substantial at asset of the degree that is disturbing, and larger in¬ stitutional funds under competent Mez¬ zanine Floor, of the La Salle Hotel ize value monetary the their of national currencies, and thus might retard economic recovery in countries this where concern is a matter of vital to the United States. mand for from countries gold uncertainties may be where De¬ expected political prevail "and where the value of local currencies is in be held in the Illinois Room, on Monday, May 23. at 12:15 p.m. What Emil Schram, York New President of the Exchange. His Stock will be: "Taxation With Reference to Equity Markets." subject Association The of Stock Ex¬ change Firms is having a meeting in Chicago on this date. Harold E. Goodbody, President of the Or¬ The use of dollar ex¬ change in foreign countries to ganization and its Board of Gov¬ purchase gold would reduce the ernors will attend the Bond Club ability of those countries to pur¬ meeting. In the afternoon Stock question. chase goods from us and tend to increase the needed 'would thus demands for foreign aid under Economic "While to countries the United benefited gold Cooperation in if the States market this country the present efit would need which the program. sell gold would be price for rose-above official price, the ben¬ bear no relation to the and, in general, the countries which would benefit the most are Brokers tion Associates, with other in coopera¬ Salle La Street organizations, are conducting - a meeting at 3:00 p.m. at the Chi¬ cago Stock Exchange where Mr. Schram and Mr. Goodbody will make a dress special, off the record, ad¬ the securities industry. Guests for., the luncheon a Co., Inc. has Wiltberger of Blyth & which thereupon reserves the dominant wholesale lose all A ket. for influence the in government bank is which rates not able properly crease mar¬ to reflect supply and demand of funds. Why should we commit our capital in an industry which is always subject to price control, government competition, and the tions of substantial por¬ of its assets?" Character of As.„.*s The alleged disparity between the increase in capital accounts of insured banks and the growth of *A report given by Dr. Lawrence Spring nomic Meeting Council Bankers of the of American the Association, French Lick Springs, Ind., April 26, 1949. "' Eco¬ " -.AAA . ' '.AA a.AAvrrf • period banks. The assessments 1947 were one-third the of index 74.9 No that insured to the 152.1, Losses the is assessments In to student believes this decline was the result competent natural to be, market government policy. During the riod forces. on and gone creased war and postwar pe¬ up. from Income taxes in¬ 1941 $50 million in $302 million in 1947. Salaries and wages;. increased from $514 million no $947 million. In 1941 salaries and wages accounted for to ft'T'Ml .intj;;! rf'.r -x FDIC and deposit insurance amounted to expenses one-seventh of 1% of deposit in¬ Here assessments. surance insurance business is an which in the premium is equal to 700 times the annual loss. Private enterprise 'could hardly do In worse. total 1947 v ^ of the FDIC including the administrative expenses and losses were covered times The expenses by assessments. income of the FDIC, aside from assessments in 1947, amount¬ riod losses 1933-47 million. the entire amounting pe¬ $26.8 to at the end of fund of accumulated than more total deposit in¬ for The FDIC had 1948 This should million. $43.3 a $1.1 billion. This cov¬ ered all the losses since organiza¬ tion of FDIC the Ac¬ times. 41 cording to the FDIC total losses borne by depositors in commercial banks closed because of financial difficulties during the to 1865 entire pe¬ amounted 1940 to $2,230 million. The FDIC already has on hand an accumulated fund equal ap¬ proximately to half the total losses sustained in this period. ; of v 75 FDIC is further as¬ statute of power to bor¬ billion from the Federal The years. sured by $3 row in Government emergency. an aggregate of accumu¬ fund and borrowing power the gives the FDIC an established capacity to meet losses equal to twice the total of losses incurred during three-quarters of a century checkered American financial of history, including wars, inflations, depressions, booms and extended financial and monetary experi¬ mentation. This would seem adequate pro¬ vision for anything within the possible limits of actuarial probability. widest itself estimate place "During AjA of Risk Estimate FDIC What the other hand bank costs of losses actual total 1947 losses lated rates Risk and relation risk? USBLS an 'dis¬ dividend banks. What Thus The dominant determinant of this de¬ cline in the rate received for bank services has been and continues of paid to the roughly equal bursements to those who own' the the 1934-47 charged customers by banks in principal cities de¬ clined from 3.45% to 2.22% and the average yield on government securities from 3.18% to 1.95%. have at to attention? secular declin¬ is the ing' power of the dollar declined 40%. During the same period the average ask risk and the sterilization growth in¬ of 103%. The general buy¬ from rose the of money calls FDIG the During earning power. The rates which banks charge are subject to the the the equities" "capital ing trend of money rates. These constitute the price which banks receive for the service they sell immobilize large frac¬ to retarded first The their are fee of $3.50. Reservations may be made with S. which business is no an investor. Government Federal The power to cordially invited at Alfred banking savings banks and approximately to 1% capital funds of all riod Capital Growth on has those of develop¬ will lead. Brakes tions of bank assets in the form of speaker will be: Guest "The can ments ; , capital to risk As¬ allegedly necessary. be no doubt of the goal are toward which these twin longer attractive for maintain authorities to confidence in, and stabil¬ would - which There professional management are re¬ ducing or liquidating entirely their position in bank stocks. In¬ quiry has brought forth this an¬ A-- government in estab¬ those ratios of sets individuals CHICAGO,' ILL. — A luncheon of the Bond Club of Chicago will eign insured to net profits after commercial and compared to by assess¬ total be lished banks in order to maintain a swer: under the of insured of mutual surance capital to maintain capital mar¬ trade in (gold present circumstances impair the ability of for¬ "Moreover,;- free were million taxes to government to borrowers. The second will be the investment of assessments These $114 million in 1947. equal to 13.1% of the ed the adequate levels. gins at the growing needs of American busi¬ This inability to serve will two consequences as imme¬ diate as they are clear. The first will be the provision of credit by capital which the FDIC implies is necessary provide to banks FDIC ness. in¬ and stocks of have measures indifference of ability 1948. in attracting the added difficulty To They 20 ■ promoting ments totaled Stagnant capital will impair the discounts This bank to ors. banks with highly find their stocks Well-managed liquid 62.1% Dividends out of market val¬ amounted to 5.25% structure of Ameri¬ can industrial Average a in weighed. Actual cities—car¬ threat to the banking sys¬ tem and the stock of be FDIC in ries of 56.3% added insignificant. Dividends dur¬ 1947 amounted to 3.3% of astute burden must of confined to the great ing capital account. the the amounted system policy labor income. $870 diminishing appeal of bank stocks to investors—by no means earnings, $3,414 million, to capital account. The additions "to capital their in¬ of declining rates of return for bank¬ ing service and rising costs that The only 42.7 % of their earnings dustrial , It is against this background such strength. During the 10-year period 193847 insured commercial banks paid from rising than the institutions which compose that system. Only adequate earnings permitting ac¬ crual of capital and attraction of new equity money can assure pleted. ue a margin of safety ing The Rest of the Story of ! ; relative and crease service of clients and the of the public, no group or agency can have a greater con¬ cern for the strength of the bank¬ million while total assets increased b.y $121,655 million." account 47.8%. absolute welfare $4,624 were 1947 The proper all insured banks increased by out . which bank capital provides for risk assets. In terms of direct interest, the to note that the ratio of capital to assets on June 30, 1934 was 14.3%. During the interven¬ ing period "total capital accounts context real deterioration in the Lawrence FDIC The securities. not reflect o n 1947. The IF does government Oor- p o r a in this kind of price rise. 14.3% Federal Deposit assets generally to rise, omy, to encourage a shift of pro¬ there may be a shift toward such ductive resources of this and other assets; demand for . gold would countries into gold production to tend to be small and a free gold provide gold for hoarding. market would not act to dampen fundamental An¬ nual Report of tending are the says in government The decline in the ratio of goes on official price. monetairy the in personnel costs has been due in pait to a tight labor mar¬ ket, in part to a rise in the cost of living and in part to deliberate surance. obligations," price of its product has been fixed. The mining indus¬ Of represented loans covered by Fed¬ eral Government guarantee or in¬ Government States, states unueu assets. these in 42.3% of total operating expenses, $121,655 million asset increase in this period, $85,036 million con¬ sisted of government securities or cash items. Another $5 billion other assets tne M. gold in official hands in permits tnose agencies to operate in accordance me the crease assets, the period 1934-47 character of the in¬ during ignores of their gold is to help 1 / - capital equities of banks remains a serious problem. Nearly 4,000 capital accounts, when examined in 1947, amounting to less than 5% assets; 54 had less than 21//2 %. At the close of 1947, total capital accounts of all com- total s < ''The smallness of the government agencies respon¬ sible for monetary and credi'. nolicies. At present,, the central¬ i Federal on insured banks had the proposed serious problem, Dr. Lawrence points out large holdings of U. S. Government a obligations by banks provide sufficient margin of safety which bank capital provides far risk assets. Lays inability to increase bank capital to low bank earnings and criticizes FDIC ratios measuring extent of its risks,. Claims its assessments on banks are excessive, and contends higher bank reserve require- * not those most in need of financia gold. Accord¬ assistance by the United States. ing to the Fed-' "If the price of gold did not gt ■ eral Reserve to a premium, but stayed i'irmlj member: at the official level, some of the AvA-A,;. A Vice-President, Empire Trust Coippany, New York City ; . 21 Serious Problem a ■A'; By JOSEPH STAGG LAWRENCE* likely to be hindrance to adoption of more (2177) Adequate Bank Capital—Not Federal Reserve Governor tells Delaware Bankers Association free i circulation of CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & does the FDIC upon the risk? the examination made in 1947 examiners found that less than 1% the assets of insured of the commercial banks standards set were for vestments."—Annual (Continued below bank in¬ Report of on page 32) 22 THE (2178) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & ; CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, 1949 McCabe Upholds Broader Fed. Reserve Powers Chairman of Federal Reserve Board tells Senate Banking and Cur¬ Utility Securities of ; Utilities Middle South controls, greater "elbow a new sub-holding just being company further description may be of interest. The stock is currently traded over-counter "when distributed" at set up, a 15 V2. The company will own the common stocks of the fol¬ ments / using ALMNO, initials of the operating first the and of quests In company powers. testi¬ his Chair¬ McCabe mony, million cash in the Middle South system. It now likely that the amount will be increased to $18.5 million. Assuming that the additional money is capitalized at a price around 17, this would mean issuance of an additional 500,000 shares, bringing the total to 4,900,000. However, the exact number of shares will be worked out in conferences between Electric Power & Light and the gerate the role SEC and it is assumed that a from 4 ' ■■■71 '■/ Net Income after Preferred Div. and Minority Interest Percent —(000's Omitted i —' 1949 *2,622 — and expenses holding 33 1,5-34 14 tary deduction "After of taxes 800 — $8,621 $1.76 $7,024 23% '$1.43 23% • Arkansas Power & Light operates under a rate for¬ whereby the Commission permits the company to earn 6% on the rate base (approximately original cost). The company's earnings last year were affected by a sharp increase in depreciation accruals resulting from an order of the State Commission. Hence the Com¬ mission permitted them to take $1,089,000 out of earnings reserve (previously set up out of earnings, considered surplus under the rate formula) ana reinstate this as revenues. This amount, after adjust¬ ment for Federal income taxes, would amount to- about .14 cents a it Middle South stock. However, there are several reasons why- apparently be disregarded: (1) Arkansas earnings this year are can running comfortably above last year's (January net income was up 27%, February 12% and March 1%). (2) The company has a very good summer-load because of air conditioning, water-pumping for the to make year had reserve a fields, cotton-ginning, etc., and this year's load is expected a favorable showing. (3) New Orleans Public Service last rice special charge which is presumably nonrecurring—$600,000 civic improvements. It is understood that this reflected for some special maintenance work. , a for reserve "take down" as parent company earnings about $1.20 or $1.25, which would be ample to sustain .the proposed $1.10 dividend. Considering the fact that with minor exceptions the Middle South companies produce electricity by burning natural gas, and are protected by contracts running about eight to nine years (after which prices for gas will increase rather sharply) the system enjoys a good advantage over coal-burning com¬ panies, similar to that enjoyed by Central & South West, Southwest¬ ern Public Service anct some other southern companies. In view of It estimated is that Middle South seasoned, "integrated" holding company equities. should sell in line with other Following are some comparisons: Price Indie. Approx. Price Div. imate Recent Previous In- Earns. About Rate Yield Period Period crease Ratio Share Earnings and that effort Utils.. South 44 Central & South West 12 England El. Sys. New England G. & E. TWhen !:8.8 3 9.8 1.25 11 8.7 1.18 5 1.20 20 1.76 *1.43 5.7 4.49 4.18 0.80 6.7 1.39 0.80 8.0 1.23 0.80 6.7 1.44 12 "Estimated. 23 ::7.1 10 New = *1.10 *2.50 tl5V2 s we have made take into fact to and relevant veniences : 8.0: 8.3 distributed: It incon¬ or those on } . satisfaction take from the fact that the many of the country are foundation sub¬ require¬ and ^ all can every circumstance, imposed _ earnest an account regulations to Final Payment Interest CHICAGO, ILL.—D. Dean McCormick, partner of Kebbon, McCormick & Co., becomes a director of Glass Inc., Waterville, Fibers, Ohio, to succeed his late partner, Richard A. Kebbon. mick is a past Mr. McCor- Governor of the Investment Bankers Association of America and Exchange and the a Chicago Stock past President of The Bond Club of Chicago. on Panama Coupons of 1943 National of New York, as fiscal agent, is notifying holders of Republic of Panama 35-year 5% external secured sinking fund gold bonds, series A, due May -15, 1963 that The there is City available at Bank the bank account of in¬ terest represented by the May 15, 1943 coupon and partial payment on account of the Nov. 15," 1943 final payment coupons. on Distribution will made at the office of the bank. be a had the unanimous - ... approval of the -... was prepared and submitted nearly four months ago, which inflationary- four months in and govern¬ have situation economic the gen¬ has changed in many- re¬ spects. In view of these develop¬ ments I come here today with erally changed ^recommenda¬ -We now feel that we will somewhat tions. have adequate powers on a more than now riod ; immediately se¬ ever • ahead plicable to all insured commercial banks. * our credit the Reserve essential to an is room such Federal the as the condition. At time, we must recognize existing banking strength same that our is in.part the product of national economic and day financial develop¬ since the mid-thirties. ments commercial our To¬ with banks, conditions in nomic this in country of high-level eco¬ interest the To carry out that stability. We must take into account how much latitude exists to move either direction in tion that near future. spective, ample for investments in government secur¬ the ities limited. tional excep¬ liquidity. capital yet at to an unprecedented Their result a accounts, while not desired level in relation a deposit growth since prewar "Not only banks but as do Federal unit strength, many unusual possess the our Reserve System, result of the Banking Act of a discount rate open gree to assist member during a Our powers in either of the operations in the market to exert the same de¬ of influence that they did thev or To war. extent an hitherto not on to contemplated, we are greater reliance requirements as a de¬ place reserve fense against inflationary trends. We are at the moment, however, very close the to of limit that power. "We 1935, is in far better position than before needs our trend. count On use cannot forced the are direction, however, are long as we have the huge Federal debt to support we large part a steady plowing back of earnings. before of powers System So before over are the other 50% greater than war, representing in years, present the for in this per¬ Viewed Federal 'Reserve the the posi¬ from correct seems downward as to and private enterprise re¬ pointed out that the mone¬ tary authorities should at all times be in position to carry out their traditional function; of exerting effective restraint upon excessive credit expansion in an inflation¬ a period and conversely of eas¬ ing credit conditions in a time of deflationary pressures. He asked be if present we do want reduced further But. concept System have all the underlying Reserve to at deal . is that it Congress should times residual power with changing flexibly situations, not that it should come Congress whenever an emer¬ gency at the exists. backward Looking I feel it would have been better for the economy if • we had-, been in a position situation, applicable The to President all insured asked banks. that the au¬ thority for the regulation of con¬ sumer instalment tinued in credit order to exert be a con- becomes the potential basis multiple credit expansion., ; J "Of course, the Federal Reserve is not always be may involved. balance of a There- buyers and sellers in the market and orderly conditions may exist without Feci-. eral Reserve participation. But if there at sellers than buyers are more time, the Federal Reserve any must enter the market. makes It thereby available -reserves the to banking system regard 1 ess of whether such reserves are needed for the If stability of the economy/ money supply (deposits is already ample the plus currency) vices for the goods it which changed, the and ser¬ be ex¬ can further increase serves mainly serves inflationary to exert ini¬ The pressures. on re¬ tiative in all such operations rests with the market and not with the Federal tem Reserve. Thus the cannot/.always Sys¬ the control availability of bank reserves. -It accordingly be equipped to vary the required amount of re¬ should neutralize the in¬ to serves so direct effects as its of government security transactions. "I ; come to now , most our con¬ troversial request. The nature of problem compels us to plead the that the authority supplemental in respect applicable to all insured cial Federal the Failure System. such than rather banks, members of banks will to made be reserves commer¬ only to Reserve to include all seriously impair the effectiveness of national mone¬ tary policy in a critical period. It will work to the detriment of our whole time banking when the structure at a situation calls for consistency and uniformity in na¬ tional monetary policy. No cate¬ gory of com m e r c i a 1 banking should be exempt to that call. "We are not suggesting that the riods commercial insured the carry reserves same as In normal pe¬ they would be unaffected by We are proposing that to the extent supple¬ this legislation. only mental be or increased may reserves required under the provisions of this Act the percentage would be the amounts for both same mem¬ ber and nonmember insured com¬ banks. mercial Under maximum an our pro¬ at the very mean increase over exist¬ ing State requirements of no more on demand deposits and than 4% 1 %% on "With time deposits. debt, it unrealistic to have no means of steadying or supporting the market. We have would that huge a be public wholly in means the Federal Open , authority to the Board authority should not be confined to member banks, but should be re¬ cheated a to earlier provide bank so then of Federal posal this would to restrain consumer in¬ continuing stalment credit expansion and to to require banks to hold supplemental re¬ increase reserve requirements. serves up to the limit we had re¬ / "You understand, I am sure, quested'in August, 10%; against that the ability of the Federal Re¬ demand deposits and 4% against serve System to influence credit time deposits.- He stated that this developments is alWays subject to that in reserve banks the powers in case an emergency situation should arise. The basic Report to the the the member banks. trends continue. dent increase an and before you, therefore, quires encouragements rather than Congress last January the Presi¬ of nonmember you restraints. his Economic billion.'4 security winch is this $130 billion is the Federal Reserve to maintain come ask what wf banks, and through them all regard as the minimum operating banks. Its greater experience en¬ leeway that is needed in view of hances its ability to meet the our responsibilities. We, do not credit needs of a time when sur¬ plan to uses those powers now. In fact, reserve requirements may pluses rather than scarcities pre¬ ever invest-1 performing cen¬ through bank credit expansion Congress the basis of the new bank System has made the System -responsible for the maintenance of sound about 50% of their total loans and largely acquired of war finance, enjoy se¬ any, by is of dent an part serves billion Non bank public additional $70 hold bought a $60 tral. banking. functions. great deal of flation. a this for curities. ors in relation to "Elbow institution history. The bankers deserve pressures, about government Whenever abated abruptly nave; pressures hold marketable there f ' "That report banks credit ary D. Dean McGorraick Dir. most careful and of the situation with the Board and the requests after responsibility we must always' be themselves, as a result of their in a position to operate flexibly, voluntary efforts to restrict loans counteracting trends as they set in the face of strong inflationary in," either toward inflation or de¬ "In American Gas & Elec. now . economy. these re¬ made for the pe^ if the Congress will extend the two temporarily granted authorities voted by the special session last August that we used the powers which and make the authority to in¬ Congress entrusted to us flexibly, crease reserve requirements ap¬ vail Recent Middle are emerging. the last year of upsurge especially, it exerted some restraining influ¬ ence. We think we may fairly say may growth potential it would seem that the stock, when the which is fair to say, however, that in cure of Josephthal & Co. has pointed out in that in period we I before in interest. mula on McCabe B. ments.. company's study, earnings reports of the subsidiaries for the calendar 1948 contain some special items which might be of a nonrecur¬ share played the ject year ring character. has "We minority Truslow Hyde 20% $7,824 800 and policy including the hardships company Amount per share (4,900,000 shares) As *2,292 1,441 $9,421 estimated 14 1,918 _ Total Deduct 22% 1,789 New Orleans Public Service Mississippi Power & Light Louisiana Power & Light Gain 1948 $2,527 $3,092 Light- Arkansas Power & exag¬ mone¬ credit t for not do to which fhomas - the 12 months ended March 31' (the estimated expenses and taxes of the holding company are, of course, subject to adjustment): earnings market greatly complicated the problems faced by exhaustive survey Board. - "We wish price will be fixed which will not dilute system / the on President The serve only $10 the bond banks influence izing Federal Re¬ appears are ment Further^ a broadening man Following orderly conditions in the Chairman! of the Board of Governors of the adjust the supply of money and before the Senate Banking and credit to the needs of a stable, Currency Committee on May, 11 to support a continuation of Federal high-employment economy. At Reserve supplemental credit controls granted by the last Congress the present time our commercial stated; earnings. Defends price support of gov¬ reserve require- System, appeared Reserve Capitalization of Middle South will consist only of common stock, and it was originally proposed to issue 4,400,000 shares. However, this was based on the assumption that Electric Power & Light would the on itself. the System in adapting policies to names. invest carried are Government "As members of this Committee all insured commercial banks. on that the realize, the existence of our huge Vpublic debt and- the need to assure per- Thomas B. McCabe, Federal lowing companies: Arkansas Power & Light, Louisiana Power & Light, Mississippi Power & Light and New Orleans Public Service (there is a minority interest of about 5% in the latter). Before the title "Middle South" was selected the proposed company was nick¬ named institution an bonds, and asks for authority to impose The dissolution plan of Electric Power Since Middle South is is essential to room forming central bank functions.") ernment & Light was discussed in this column last week. The stocks of United Gas and Middle South Utilities will be distributed to stockholders when the plan is consum¬ within Committee, despite easing of credit situation and relaxation rency By OWEN ELY around many activities Public mated. In part they reflect the different types of financial ours. limitations, even when our resid¬ ual V authorities give us much Market Committee. could be one ket of Without it no a of the rates that or vail." sure ' ready mar¬ might pre-, ;; support of his requests for continued control of consumer In credit, Mr. McCabe argued: "As you . know, associated this type of particularly greater elbow room than we have credit at with the sale of what are known present.:. In limitations arise large out part li:these of the com¬ plex organization of finance in a stabil-. highly developed country such as as is consumer durable goods, in¬ cluding automobiles, refrigerators, radio and television: sets,, washing - Volume 169 machines, articles much furniture which and have of part a sections our of the cause latituae time in can buyer exercise so of quantitative controls as Also much both the selection and Committee credit Bank related directly or indi¬ rectly to their ownership is con¬ sequently extremely volatile. "Appropriate In can helpful during times when more purchasing power serves only to bid up prices. In periods when production and demand approach statement a of on New | of text field credit, of lows: more Board has done twice recently asked to its authority, present the Board will have no hesi¬ and in tancy suspending all of the tions The any part or regulation should condi¬ make such testify Joint because to me 87 to ex¬ tend the au¬ the Board of Gov¬ is that at hand to exercise re¬ straint when necessary to main¬ the war convincing. the of ernors practice, sumer "instalment credit was re¬ vived, is too brief to be entirely thority of the power be on think do. not draw must fair test, and because the experience of the past year, since thq power of the Federal Reserve System to control con¬ Resolu¬ tion I now are you I years were a on action desirable. thing important have "You which Here theory than on instalment consumer with balance, such regulation can be relaxed considerably. This the in of "I Allan Re¬ Sproul the made permanent. - however, •the that mine con¬ review sional ministrative scribed should say, The at FEoyd Allen Dept. development, about exten¬ am - T. Cass With will associated become Floyd A. Allen & Co., Inc., favor of the second. sion of economic of the large volume of current income the " administration of To the repayment of old debts, could powers by the Fed¬ dangerously reduce cur¬ eral Reserve System. By this rently- available consumer pur¬ means a pervasive influence may chasing power. I do not wish to be brought to bear on our econ¬ be understood as condemning consumer instalment credit; it is omy, without intrusion upon specific transactions between in¬ a necessary part of our financial dividuals, which is likely to be the ^machinery. But it operates in an consequence of more detailed area where special restraint may physical controls, and which ^ould be necessary. In a sense, it is mar¬ spell the end of democratic capi¬ ginal credit in a particularly talism as we have known it. volatile part of our economy, and processes fixed prices, changes in reserve requirements are pretty futile as an anti-inflationary weapon, and ; credit broad 650 South Grand Avenue, as of ager the Trading June 1. Man¬ Department Mr. Cass was formerly trading manager for Gross, Rogers & Co. Prior thereto he was with Morton Seidel & Co. and Quincy Cass Associates. System Have it this Heeling to the "When ago, IBA was was Federal Reserve established 35 years best could Special Forums exercised controls our powers to by lend funds, reserve • of America meeting May 38 to 21 at The Greenbrier, White will Association hold 136th its Sulphur Springs, West Virginia, v In addition to the customary in¬ national IBA committees, a Merchandising For¬ um, under the leadership of Mil¬ terim ton reports Trost S. by Stein of Bros. & Louisville, will be a fea¬ the Spring Meeting, ac¬ cording to Hal H. Dewar of Dewar, Robertson & Pancoast, San An¬ tonio, President of the Associa¬ Boyce, ture tion. banks raise clude:,-,-,.. • • ;v .; in¬ .-v' -.V of or to the or the were the instruments of ..credit tion. They still now use in of withhold from the country, and price of lower accommodation are, to our principal administra¬ although we market operations open securities and, at times, changes in reserve require¬ ments, more largely than dis¬ government counts our of Discussion leaders will be reason or . Bankers ; and re-discounts, to make policies effective. how¬ ever, that such quantitative credit controls need to be supplemented by qualitative credit controls in certain areas. A specific example is the experience of the decade "Experience has taught us, measure some of control over it is desirable. generally believed that influence brought to bear through overall quantitative credit controls. Such CHICAGO, ILL.—The Board of Governors of the Investment it seems to me, b§ exercised in which is consistent with our "Fortunately, of the twenties. Laird, Rissell & Meeds, New York tion-. of City; died credit in that on May 8. w,-- several We then billion- afea, at a time when I better as flationary weapon. "On balance, I favor of T continuance the supplementing for believe of require¬ First, reasons. if the power for the Federal System to use, clumsy serve the respect to reserve three that one clumsier In use. think other is I a Re¬ even an Congress I do not present re¬ words, reduction a it is for the power in out come present authority with ments anti-de¬ an in gold. banking deposit banking system, a decreasing reliance gold, much of the need for requirements and reserve economizing in the by commercial In these circumstances there may well be a balance of advantage in higher, reserve requirements, as a means of reducing the dangerous expan¬ sibility and, at times, destructive contractability of a money supply consequent provision of banks based on money has disappeared. low too in ratios reserve commercial banks. There of be may great an element of leverage present system to be left our at the disposal of 14,000 banks.' "This ment, is however. long-term improve¬ a not device, short-term suggests a a It general overhauling of the present anti-. quated system of assessing re¬ serves, not an immediate credit control program. "My suggestion, therefore, be that you continue the would present powers of the Federal Re¬ System, serve S. contemlated in as 1775, leaving it to administra-, action tive to bring about what¬ reductions ever quirements reserve situation credit and in re-, business present the seems to re-, quire. Such a course can do no present harm, as I see it, may have some future usefulness, and should fit into the longer range of consideration the problem of requirements, which I have advocated. The latter, I urge reserve most strongly. I think it is high time that shifted the basis of we classification from type of reserve city to type particularly deposit. This is if we are now of so, requirements should be brought about by Congressional going to bring within the appara¬ governmental sys¬ tem, and which is administratively refusal to extend this authority. It quirements, thousands of insured should nonmember banks. It would be too practical. The terms of the control can be made clear qnough and appropriate, by administrative precise enough to do the job, interfering too much as buyer and seller, and without trespassing upon individ¬ taken without this argument that a control way economic can and serve determinations ual to as to who is who isn't. The concern of such regulation is the aggregate volume of credit in use get credit and in this field, as related to the gen¬ eral state of our economy, not the credit worthiness of the individual buyer or borrower nor the trade practices of the individual or seller creditor. "I have cited two specific ex¬ rate, open operations, and " even changes in reserve requirements^— brought 30, of would fall. reason occasions when when should June "My second are about, action such before ac¬ be course, is that there bad to which the Federal distinguished from short-term or cyclical flucuations. Such a long-term trend might be a renewed large inflow of gold to this country, such as occurred during the thirties when that you in this excess lars. of the banks reserves up remember that, in 1941, in order to try to this situation, the meet were to several billion dol¬ You may January, as Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Advisory Council, and the Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, jointly urged that statutory reserve re¬ quirements for demand deposits be increased to 26% (central re¬ serve cities), 20% (reserve cities) and 14% (country banks) and 6% for time further deposits; and that they urged that the Federal Open- Market powered to quirements double mittedly Committee be increase to these not more the situation member several banks billion do dollars the System portfolio could be sold to offset flowi banks: adopt it. applicable to you not merely to mem¬ bers of the Federal Reserve Sys¬ banks, tem, if it is to be capable of hav¬ ing its maximum effect, if it is to fair be which banks the to are members of the is System, and if it protect the System against to unwarranted withdrawals from its voluntary membership. Whenever action is taken under this author¬ ity, you be sure that it is in may terms of the national situation and national all That needs. insured banks that means should feel its restraints, when restraint is neces¬ sary, and should have the en¬ of its relaxation, couragement when relaxation is in order. That that means its use whatever temporary of earnings and profits sacrifices may entail, should be by all of the banks, and by whole national community, are action taken. excess which gold inBut it is not inconceivable a made be should such which reserves, and we do have large holdings of government securities in legislation if than Ad¬ which ^not have of It insured borne existed then does not exist now— the as Sys¬ going to in¬ are nonmember clude re¬ reserve percentages. em¬ least at Reserve was assume long-term trend outdated was as established 35"years ago. "When 1 make this statement, I tem requirements may be an appropriate method of combatting a reserve re¬ perpetuate for long, with a reserve classification them, increase in an nationally fixed tus of soon reserve driven amples of the need for qualitative market be If tion. between found dollars of much not to credit controls to supplement our quantitative control powers. There Columbus;George W. Davis, that even a vigorous use of gen¬ is a further general argument for Davis, Skaggs & Co., San Fran¬ eral instruments of credit ^control these powers, which may be more cisco; Robert A. Magowan, Mer¬ might not prevent excessive ex¬ persuasive than either of the other rill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & pansion of credit in particular two, at least to those who rebel areas, and that this expansion against all special controls. Our Beane, New York; Reginald W. might be dangerous to the whole general control powers have been Pressprich Jr., R. W. Pressprich economy. That experience led to greatly weakened in recent years, & Co., New York; Norman P. those provisions of the Securities by the emergence of a tremendous and Exchange Act which gave the public debt, and the obstacle Smith, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Board of Governors of the Fed¬ which that has placed in the way Fenner & Beane, New York; Ed¬ eral Reserve System power to of a vigorous use of our general ward H. York, Jr., Drexel & Co., regulate margin requirements on control powers. 1 am not going to Philadelphia. v -■ security loans. I do not think you argue here the case for our sup¬ Major Forum topics are: Sales¬ would want to revoke that power. port of the government security At the present moment, I believe market. I think that support has manship, Advertising, and New we can all be thankful that there had the approval of the Congress Methods and New Sales Ideas. has not been unrestrained specu¬ and the country. Otherwise you lation ; in securities during the would have done something about > Clinton T. Revere Dies postwar years, and that we do not it. But it has interfered seriously, during the recent past, with the face the possibility of the liquida¬ ■x' Clinton; T. Revere, partner, - in use of the discount I Ewing T. Boles, the Ohio Co., con¬ inflationary tendencies. sumer instalment credit. Person¬ question of whether con- i It cannot increase production, but ally, I believe that as a means of trol of consumer instalment credit it can contribute to a spiral of I combatting short-run or cyclical sftould be extended, is part of ;'a price and wage increases. And in inflationary or deflationary pres¬ much broader question, namely, a,; period such as we are now sures, increases or decreases in what you expect of credit control, going through, a swollen volume reserve requirements are, at best, as a consumer instalment credit, pretty clumsy for effective and whole, in terms of its con¬ of tribution to economic stability at which has to be liquidated, might equitable use. At worst, or so long high levels of production and em¬ well accentuate deflationary ten¬ as the Federal Reserve System ployment. I take it as established dencies. With some slackening of continues to bear responsibility American policy that a principal business and some reduction of for support of the government means of government intervention employment, the diversion of a security market at something like the of central with low centuate country "is on to control powers "The in Robert T. Cass our inflow modern a upon two the handicap of undesir¬ reaction^ by those controlled, to the possibility of early expira¬ tion of the authority. "When I come to S. 1775, re¬ lating to reserve requirements, I must repeat what I said about this legislation when it was being considered last year. I am not so I substantial and able as am system operating in a highly de¬ have fixed is, I the minimum to per¬ clear about it be can Reserve could veloped you administrative mit of I this With pre¬ a limit Federal and ad¬ new a the of inclined to believe be a progressive step in our monetary-banking or— ganization, especially if there should continue to be a persistent System. Congres¬ a such power, time. which years of banks requirements the by that generally accepted view, and p[ can see advantages in those varied be not commercial the which recognize, may reasons country, and of the limits within credit be I be of credit, System to control such , continu¬ this authority. I again something I said at your " I would prefer, in that the authority to the Federal Reserve granted funda- more the not of , taking the long view, for an in¬ crease in the reserve requirements instrument. an some ad¬ are and control a toward hearings last August. 'There may well in the legislation, is such this bias repeat economic system. instalment Of time, of ance policy is to be feasible, our believe sumer "Finally, I have without "I think it is generally admitted, howdver, that instability in our serve System tain sound credit conditions." national economy may well be in¬ to exercise consumer credit con- creased by our ability and propentrols until June 30, 1951, and on sj^y purchase consumer duraS. 1775 to provide supplemental uie goods on credit. In times of reserve requirements for all in- ,maximum production and high sured commercial banks. I am m .employment, such as 1948, an unfavor of the first of these pro- restrained expansion of consumer LOS ANGELES, CAL.—Robert posals and, with qualifications, m instalment credit can and will acFederal ministratively repugnant to future some mental shall need to have the those supplemental in¬ struments of control which at 23 similar need might arise. principle, "Another specific example is in the Sprout's concerned. a al- are ready in the ascendant. ■ The tendencies deflationary | credit that, we of terms by the Congress. Mr. Reserve controls on instalment credit and on up last help reserve requirement set possible, in favor of continuing the expressed himself York, if effective Senate Banking and Currency presented to the May 11, Allan Sproul, President of the Federal statement fol¬ respect Senate tells are temporary and supplementary Dams regulation of in¬ be especially credit York New required by Federal Reserve Board. favors changing cash reserve requirements by administrative rather than by Congressional action. well his purchase, sales are subject to wide fluctuation. The • of Rank Reserve Banking and Currency Committee experience proves qualitative as Be¬ of stalment Federal of President large economy depend prospective (2179) are the ordinary means of quantitative credit control—and it may do so again. If the scope of action open to the Federal Re¬ serve System is to be narrowed by public debt considerations, and very their production and sale. these articles CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Sproul Backs Instalment Credit Controls so American our living that COMMERCIAL which similar become standard of on THE Number 4804 the the beneficiaries of the If the insured non- member banks are now to be per¬ mitted to continue share small in to avoid national this credit policy, I would let the legislation lapse, and await the outcome of the more fundamental study of requirements suggested." reserve have which I - 24 COMMERCIAL THE (2180) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, 1949 I according to the May 9 Bulletin of Under this proposed plan j the Office of the Comptroller of will tne News About Banks . Pescatello has Notable been recent acquisi¬ among coins 1949 tions of the FLst Na.ional Bank of New Britain, which omit the previous reference to the King as Emperor was foimerly Viceresident r and are The ! nvest m e n t assembles museum Central special traveling exhibits and regular hibits . It is learned Bulletin of ex¬ The Ensworth Cincinnati, O. various school and college groups, and Cincinnati, Mr., Pescatello lo Invest¬ wrs Officer ment Assistant nd t-v Charles „,_r New of ). Ya k +'or the vc * Directors of Thach were the of Board National City appointed Assis¬ tant Comptroller. Mr. Pinkus was formerly Assistant an Cashier, arid Mr. Thach has been Chief In¬ spector of National City's Foreign Branches. A. elected to has Stretch the Board been of Trustees of the Title Guarantee and Trust Company, it New York, was an¬ nounced on May 17 by Barnard TOWnsend, President of the bank. * Trust Company, Ave- has been promoted to Assist¬ Milner and ago' Company Trust turers was Secretary in Manufac¬ to came 15 years appointed Assistant 1946. Ninety (90) years ago, on May 18, the Union Dime Savings Bank for its 75.000 specimens'of riidney spanning almost 5,000 ye&rs, from the ring money of anfcient Egypt to 1949 notes of th€ new Republic of Burma, the Cltgse National Bank Collection of Moneys of the World May 13 marked its 20th anniversary as a public exhim'f at 45 Cedar Street, New York City, on small building at the corner Canal and Varick Streets. a of went cents long a way in those days, and even would open a savings account at Union Dime. Perhaps that was one reason for the bank's being known then as the "Children's Bank." It of the first year has visitors attracted opened to the since public some it the 1926 $100,000,000 mark in deposits was passed, and now— 90 years after the bank opened for business — deposits aggregate $232,000,000, and the number of depositors has grown to more than 143,000. Dime rate of 2% per year. May r The col1 ec ion was The Dry Dock 13, begun; pri¬ vately in 1880 by the well-known Savings Institute, New York, at a meeting of direc¬ tors, held on May 17, elected Wil¬ liam B. Given, Jr. President and Director American the of Shoe Co., a Trustee. Mr. Thurman Lee, President of the Dry Dock 1928. Institute, Zerbe was until his retirement in he was succeeded the curator 1939, when by Vernon makes exhibit ■ modern and historical and ancient, coins, notes checks, odd and curious mon¬ eys, and a great variety of com¬ director of Brooklyn, Jr., President of Savings Bank, announced Y., N. Nw * si: * 1 Roosevelt the on May 16 the election of William J. Evans Trustee. as a modity moneys, such as wood¬ pecker scalps and tiger claws.' thfe Pine Tree the Home ! National Bank of Brockton, Mass., it is learned from the May 9 issue of Massachusetts; the FugioU Cent, first coin authorized by the United States; "Pieces of Eight" of Span¬ Main renown; the wooden ish a capital of $50,000 went into voluntary liqui¬ dation effective May 2 iand .was the Virginia, Rich¬ May 16 announced on appointment of Rowland A. by Office of the Bulletin Richard C. Huelsman, Controller the Central National Bank of of Vice-President a the of bank, ac¬ cording to the New York "Times" of May 16. * * * land, of Reserve Chairman directors of Bank announced the of the Cleve¬ of election Charles L. Austin/Executive VicePresident of the Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp., Pittsburgh, Pa., to the board of directors of the bank. Mr. Austin was ► the unanimous choice of the larger banks of the Fourth Federal Reserve District to fill the unexpired term ending Dec. 31, 1951, of the late Lawrence Federal Reserve Bank. who Mr. Lund, Vice-President was Treasurer and the of Westinghouse Electric Corp., died March 14. i',- 4: * ; . ■■ ..* Mich.; the celebrated 1804 silver dollar; a -copy of Henry Ford's check for one cent; a check for $225,000,000 issued by the Metro¬ politan Life irisi'ranee Co. for the puixhase of U. S. Treasury bonds in 1943, largest check ever drawn on the Chase National Bank, and the 100 quintillion pengo inflation note of Hungary issued in 1946. May 13 National pany, K. a s$t ' 1 if ; Daly of the Bank of De Soto, 111., to increase capital stock from $15,000 to The Auditor said that the bank was organized Dec. 21, 1920. The increase, he said, was voted by the stockholders and represents a capital stock dividend from ac¬ cumulated earnings. $25,000. ' 4s " of Ward are George Schultz Vice-President of the Detroit, Mich., was ^ as a City Bank, announced pn Joseph F. \ by President. and Trust Com¬ sj: * The National Bank board Crocker San lar Verhelle, of for capital and technique c a n First of of the Bank of Francisco, Calif., at its regu¬ monthly meeting held on May 12, approved the calling of a spe¬ meeting of stockholders for Thursday, has been Manager to be Gen¬ 1949, adopting an June 9, ; ; < International Chambei of Accord¬ Mr. favorable 'climate' for such in¬ tries. , of all a no mere financial ex¬ pedients will, in the view of the private business community, stim¬ ulate any large or sustained flow of private capital between coun¬ backward areas. outlined York, vestment, of opment of New Maffry August . . . "Under conditions which discus- prevail private investor against arbi¬ foreign investment and trary acts of government and not nomic development in business, the reverse. The private business circles, the whole emphasis is on community recognizes the indis¬ the creation of a favorable 'cli¬ pensable - role of government in of mate' for ment— the of private of eco¬ private foreign invest¬ 'climate' which will at¬ a equity capital—venture ital. This favorable cap¬ 'climate' for private foreign investment in¬ volves among other things relief from discriminatory treatment of foreign investments. It involves relief from the threat of seizure confiscation or arbitrary private of investments without adequate and effective volves compensation. relief in¬ It burdensome from taxation, particularly double tax¬ ation of foreign investments. It involves assurances regarding the transfer of earnings, if any, and the orderly repatriation of capital, if desired. Such a favorable 'cli¬ mate' for ment can private foreign invest¬ created, as I have al¬ either through bilateral agreement, agreements between capital-im¬ porting and capital-exporting countries side who needs protection these through unilateral by countries seeking out¬ or in assistance technical der-developed the knowledge form of capital. and "Because of tude of vate some che unfriendly atti¬ countries toward pri¬ investment, the private busi¬ community ness that this time ous is is disposed not to to a for Code of Fair Foreign Invest¬ development could be pushed forward much more rap¬ idly under present circumstances by bilateral or reference unilateral to Of the world, the "By ment same token, govern¬ and credits must be loans regarded at best as temporary and marginal measures which are likely to play a declining role in economic development in the ' future. "The ; private , business commu¬ nity Submits also that if there is private en¬ reliance primarily on terprise the and related assistance private problem investment, of technical will largely solve it¬ self, at least insofar as industrial technology is concerned, because, is well known, private invest¬ ment brings in its train the most up-to-date and scientific knowledge applied technology." auspici¬ an It is inclined to think that economic areas accomplished effectively, all, only by private, enter¬ prise and private investment. If for no other reason, this is be¬ cause governments do not have the resources of capital or tech¬ nical knowledge to carry out a broad-scale program, whereas pri¬ vate capital does. at or to multilateral seek how¬ believes, be can as :• It matters. that the further development of both the developed and the un¬ ever, be indicated, action it is the today, problem Acquire NYSE Membership . Transfer of the New York Stock Exchange membership of James F. Durand will change lin to be will McLaughlin the Ex¬ May 26. Mr. McLaugh¬ John R. considered on continue as by a action. unilateral ac¬ partner in Neuberger & Berman, New York _ directors National the a devel¬ the in i for the amend¬ Pittsburgh, Pa., with a capital purpose of $250,000, was voluntarily liqui¬ ment to the Articles of Associa¬ dated effective April 29, and y/^s, tion, whereby the -capital stock absorbed by the Commonwealth •will be.split 4-for-l. Par value of Trust Company of Pittsburgh, Pa., the present stock is now $100. of i With M cial of America appointed who General for the past two years, eral Manager. Gen¬ elected "As I say, the emphasis in the private business community is oil a favorable 'climate' for private foreign investment. There is much less: emphasis, I believe, on the various financial expedients which have been put forward for stim¬ ulating private international in¬ vestment, because unless there is Amer- of use ments. 12 Assistant Company President Truman , The on Philadelphia, Pa. S;S in ' elected was Irving Trust new Albon, Sr., President, and Ar¬ agreement thur Albon, Cashier. 'y Treatment 'F'.WNVv,:* NYN'vN"7 May Frost, Sydney an was board Capital investment Abroad N. Election The spokesman for a multilateral Benjamin O. Cooper announced approval had been granted to the Albon State Ajc, director of Tradesmens Bank "bold ready SH';;:.. Auditor State meeting tract George C. Brainard, board as the of program" sions Federal special menting and financing the the June 1. the an¬ general policy for i m p 1 e- "In ' Edwin President operations division, effective Comptroller of the Currency. nickel of Blaine. Wash.; the buck¬ skin "One Buck" of Enterprise, Appearing ing to Maffry: of will $4 Enman, as Commerce before the Economic and Employment Commission of the United Nations at Lake Success on May 12, August Maffry, Vice- think Bank, Whitman, Mass., with absorbed of Officers of the bank National Whitman Among the thousands of items on display are the Biblical "trib¬ ute penny" and "widow's mite"; shilling of colonial Boashall, President Bank mond, Va., the a L. Manager in 1945, President. C. on H. . Radford of Atlanta, Ga., as VicePresident in charge of the bank's if if The C. its J;r Adam Sneider, includes Given Mr. sixteenth the bank. Brown. 'The that said the L. (Secre- iaiy-Manager, Baltimore Clearing House, Baltimore, Md.); Assistant Secretary, William B. Elliott (As¬ sistant Manager, Baltimore Clear¬ ing House, Baltimore, Md.). Brake numismatic, Farran Zerbe, and had grbwn to 40,000 items when the Chase acquired it from him in Mr. retary, Matthias F. Reese K. Lund, a class B director of the * * was 1929. Bank, Balti¬ Md.); Treasurer, Charles R. Arnold (Cashier, Birnie Trust Company, Taneytown, Md.); Sec¬ Cleveland, Ohio, has been made " In National more, the bank boasted $201,000. # 220,000 dent, W. R. Huey (President, First Bank, Chestertown, Md.); /ice-President, Harvey E. Emmart, Vice - President - Cashier, The the board. 1 . National of of of the who succeeded Mr. Burns August Maffry, Vice-President of Irving Trust Company, as spokesman for International Chamber of Commerce, stresses "favorable political climate" as key to implementation of President Truman's i "bold new program." Scores unfriendly attitude of some coun; tries to foreign private investment and urges bilateral accords assuring American capital freedom to carry on legitimate activities without maze of artificial regulations, v City May ,, Thomas stock $14 which annum, new from Outlines Basis for > At the end During these 90 years the Union has weathered periods of Among the largest and most destruction and depression — our comprehensive displays of its kind, own Civil War, two World Wars, and several financial panics. It the collection trday represents nearly every political and geo¬ has paid dividends regularly each graphic subdivision of the world, year—and at the board meeting and nearly every medium of ex¬ on May 18 the trustees declared change emDloyed bv mankind in a dividend for this period at the history. 4". \ ' concluding session on May 10, the convention elected the ollowing 1949-50 officers: Presi¬ business increased per Notice its Baltimore be basis. nual capital of Association in Atlantic City, opened its door in "Old New York" York New in 3,074 depositors, with deposits of With $16 place the of the Maryland Bankers /ention At ant Vice-President. Ten David to rate f 9-10. at 386 Fourth office Mr. tJhhk cf New York, held May 17, Alexander E. Pinkus and Girault T. eral bankparticipated in the 53rd con- As James York, announced that Philip Milner, who is in charge of the nue, * The man More than 400 Maryland New oank's meeting of of President, will recommend to the board of directors that the divi¬ April 30 and was ab¬ First National Bank * (. Harvey D. Gibson, President of arid currently working on a book on rhodern economic prob¬ lems which will be published soon. effective Assistant as * Ylanufacturers H. a Chandler # "Chronicle" and other publications is ■•'y* and Treasurer City. He ar- _ Trust Secretary, at its Brussels office. has written numerous :J; if Company 6f New York announces the appoint¬ ment of Fernand L. G. Demol 3s Assistant Carnegie club speakers.: for if Guaranty the At a Bank "" ' voluntarily liquidated was and educational groups. Treasurer of . 9 the of National of Erie, Pa. for provides par , sorbed by The Frier to going ■ May Office Waterford, Pa., with $25,000, Company, Pescatello the from the correspondent banks, offers tours of the collection for Trust $25 dend rency. Jomptroller of the Currency that India. of Officer of the * of Great of mSde Investment Advisory Officer Michael Bank capital stock effective May 2 from $150,000 to $200,000 by sale of new stock, according to the May 9 Bulletin of the Office of the Comptroller of the Cur¬ CAPITALIZATIONS He National common Bankers and ETC. REVISED Ybirk City. i? V-> to • First Barnesboro, Pa., has increased its NEW BRANCHES Michael 4^ iji' ,/.>■:$ The CONSOLIDATIONS NEW OFFICERS, :: Currency. t the stock and proxies will be mailed to the value 'stockholders shortly. The capital of the bank will re¬ per share. There are presently outstanding 60,000 shares of $100 main unchanged at $6,000,000. 4: if 4s par value capital stock which when At a meeting of the board of split will become 240,000 shares with a par value of $25 directors of The Bank of Nova per share. Scotia, Toronto, Canada, on May If this plan is approved by the 10, H. D. Burns, President since shareholders, W. W. Crocker, Oct. 30, 1945, was elected Chair¬ be reduced tion, I should like to mention in passing a Constituent This 1949. was in of in India Assembly statement intended to among on the April 7, b,y Nehru inspire confidence potential foreign investors investment possibilities in India and I dare say the statement will pose. go : City. ' " • statement made by the Minister Prime far to achieve that v- pur¬ Theodore Ludlum in Boston BOSTON, MASS.—Theodore T. Ludlum State has opened offices Street to curities engage business. at 53 in the se¬ That Mr. Lud¬ lum would form his own firm was previously reported in the "Fi¬ nancial Chronicle" of April 28. . Volume 169 Number 4804 THE Louisville Broker Opposes Banks ; & COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL Selling loeal Socialism—The American Pattern Mousing Authority Bonds Director of Economic Research, Chamber of Spence Bill which proposes to implement Administration's "pink" variety of socialism and a drive toward controlled econ¬ omy. Lays happenings in Washington to attack on our economic system and recounts socialistic trends in recent legislation. Concludes struggle against movement is not lost and urges as off sets: (1) keep your house in order; (2) support sound fiscal and monetary policy; (2) step-up the educational process; "Fair Deal" Program. to have their own customers buy these securities from pressure them Appearing they did before crash. as May 13 at a hearing of the House Banking and Currency Committee on Sec. 502 of the Housing Bill, Thomas Graham, General Manager of the Bankers Bond Co., Inc. of Louisville, Ky. • on few had sell the Hous¬ that port of the banks. Authority "Ol bonds. "I f M r. said, Graham not do the 500 the of I in avail end," Thomas is "Just possible that there might be two, but I doubt if there are any." Representative Patman (D., Texas) interrupted to cite that a statement filed in the names of the First National Bank of New York; J. P. Morgan & Co. In¬ corporated, New York; First Na¬ tional Bank, Boston; the Califor¬ nia Brnk, Los Angeles, and the First National Bank, the Harris Trust and Savings Bank and the Northern Trust Co., all of Chicago. "It has listed about 25 or banks 30 supporting the amend¬ ment, Representative Patman re¬ as marked. Mr. Graham also said that while majority large a dealers are commercial deal and in to allowing to underwrite opposed banks bonds of local hous¬ understood he authorities, ing investment of and in Graham as one of these banks. if it is not know a pay thorized prices, until just I year. Camille Gutt, ment in has had sary. In this bill of some 40 pages, we find, way." or . . mately ". African ernment "As Gov¬ result a is gold. of our discussions of semi- has his been previous occa¬ sions, the pol¬ icy of the In¬ Camille Gutt sales of gold in this form from becom¬ ing a means of feeding the de¬ mand for gold for hoarding pur¬ prevent and thus diminishing the production of newly mined gold which finds its way into monetary reserves. The Fund is also con¬ cerned about the fact that an in¬ poses amount of gold in pre¬ that of' countries trying to prevent the illicit of gold into their terri¬ import tories. ate avoid such export articles device solely for which kets Africa South for the in of feeding the Fund discussions have .with all its achieving the the be policy formed referred .to, while at the same permitting the South African mining industry to have a to members." Thl Financial with offices Street curities W. shortage of any ma¬ . practicable will, within a effective, and and reasonable period "... in his opinion . ". . . in his discretion y, . . mines I. to at engage business. 606 South in the Officers Hollingsworth, se¬ . (used - unless it is determined by . (used twice) . . where the President deter¬ ... ", . . . . (the President), shall make adjustments for such relevant fac¬ tors as he may . . ... . . are President; relative shrunk in Due agricultural to of array surpluses, Federal Reserve Bank Conference urer. V-"- neapolis, Minn., April 23, . of the 9th District Bankers, Min¬ 1949. • it Does ably, in not Prob¬ socialism? mean but only the is try the short-run.' - labor important movement in the world that is not Private socialistic. is property deeply entrenched and respected. The labor leaders are for private property. They have some reser¬ about turning everything over to Washington. vation this Yet, mean that their political not does leaders and believe in market free a economy. A Market Free What is It is Economy and free market economy? a is indi¬ the which under one vidual within his means free, to become self-em¬ job-maker or a jobThis provides much free¬ ability, ployed, a seeker. dom choice. of is It one under which the instrument's of produc¬ tion privately owned by mil¬ are lions individuals. of which under mately the one is It consumer and governs duction. It is directs onc> ulti¬ pro-1 under which the expectation of profit—self-gain—• directs both the worker and capi¬ tal. It is one under which scarcity in itself reflects which in turn prices, rising additional lures and resources into the government pro¬ interven¬ themselves from believers in a free into believers in partially controlled economy. Today, capitalism of backlog is living on and beliefs more.s built up in an early and backlogs not replenished, are must all Like environment. different this one out in time. run the march of technology, and the shift of population into the great urban universal centers have franchise, fostered the rise of translates output itself per curs one only once every two or three hundred years. richer likely to "labor" true a the at into standard the for example, in people. and local levels. state will trend but experience Wholesale prices, 1930 were at the 1840, 90 years earlier; but mean¬ time, average wages increased by 700%. Labor unions were few and No relatively weak in that period. one in ment planned for this improve¬ the standard of living. But this rise in real income for all groups is the end product of short-lived setbacks. must learn to live with learn to adapt our¬ must and our thinking and our ; l This list taken from "The Drive for rnntrolled Economy Chamber ington, of a free, dynamic, progressive society. Under this system, we have some 4 million separate business estab-' lishments, outside of and most of agriculture, anxious them each of them survive to anxious to When added to the 6 mil¬ separate agricultural enter¬ grow. lion have some 10 million business centers where ideas, new methods and new products may be tried. We have prises, we separate 10 million centers of initiative and enterprise. inconceivable is It other system via Pale Pink Bills, Commerce D.G^-1949, 17 of U.S.A., Wash¬ pages. effort could system. that such stagnate a for that for organizing our stop this trend. Indeed, it is likely to be accelerated. We higher living for level, according to the offi¬ cial price index, as they were in oc¬ Organized labor is likely to be a dominant political force from now on. There is nothing in sight to If so, we of a same man This greater- ever new government. If not in name, it will be so in fact. This is true of the Federal gov¬ ernment and is likely to be largely have antitrust manhour and all the through effective with legislation, the march "■ of science and new technology inevitably and a government and grams importance. Schmidt, before Carter, Vice-President, and Swan, Secretary and Treas¬ G. agriculture remains, to a degree, a fortress of individual¬ ism and petty capitalism, it has selves "Address by Dr. D. H. E. While it. . any are guide. coupled revalidated. deem to be of general applicability lands economy. casional the President shall, so far practicable, ascertain and give .. due consideration Chronicle) . other progressive element areas where wages are best and. In this environ¬ profit anticipations are strongest, ment, both the institutions and the ethics of capitalism found thereby overcoming scarcities. 1't is a system under which, when firm root and were continually our From now on, we are 1 • President the as ... economy, our in edents manpower the dynamic . re¬ LOS ANGELES, CAL.—W. I. Hollingsworth & Co. has been Hill a facility is affecting ad¬ ". W. I. Hollingsworth Co. Special They were its leaders. They were intellectual The twice) view values set the standard for community. of the great trans¬ formations of history, such as oc¬ to "The Fund will, of course, con¬ to keep this whole matter • (used twice) or . tinue taken . appropri¬ . . mar¬ premium gold sales under the political power of the urban masses. Our society is passing ". agreement with the Fund on of ;; na¬ practicable-and appropriate ... which in his opinion will ^ limit. of (used four . . a wage-workers. versely or threatening ... ". to the extent that he deems a desires of moral that terial to becoming . "Whenever the President deter¬ gold order . he may deem as mines that v.' place in a very cordial atmosphere and I have been impressed by the evident desire of the South Afri¬ can Government to reach an methods in . . determines become have In the early days, the outlook, values and customs of capitalists, busi¬ ness proprietors and farmers set the tone of the political life of the country unchallenged. Their . to the extent that the Pres¬ . . safeguards will also be adopted in the case of the manu¬ articles tion a . of times) "Certain facture judgment the . . ident of genuine man¬ v To¬ self-employment. We earners. a . will reserve ufacture. from income national the of market economy . that the demand is lor the purpose mium markets serves to aggravate "Our not satisfied are economy. shifting to the urban As recently as 1850, over tions has transformed the farmers President the strengthen will not if pree-' which changes ahead, greatly accel¬ is rapidly is "laboristic" a one-half the in . . ". right to decline permission for export in any case in which they to difficulties and four times) very economy is masses. President (used seven times) ". if the President finds the make to the Monetary creasing business the on terna t i o n a 1 is authorities own to vast . . . . ", purchase for this purpose. More¬ over, the South African Govern¬ ment will keep a careful watch made clear on Fund finds achieve the the President deems nec¬ as . procurement help to essary . i . (used "W henever gold has the prior permission of processed gold. Federal necessary ".. gold is sold only to manufacturers for purposes of genuine manufac¬ ture and that the importer of the secure . quantity goals semi-fabricated that to questions relating to the . that mines business marily to dis¬ cuss . "Whenever the President deter¬ certain safeguards will be adopted pri¬ the President deems nec¬ as essary semi-fabricated in such terms and condi¬ on . ... tions which he to Cape¬ legitimate the in President the whenever . . (used three times) Fund, made the following state¬ share of Our being transformed from a capital¬ in . determines that it is necessary... Executive Managing Director and Chairman of the South the gold . President) finds . . he shall determine approxi¬ the invitation time of some objective standard, words like these: with respect to which (the instead rule Capetown, S. A., on May 11 following conferences since May 2 with South African officials. "I came at town . things if the Presi¬ done only (the bureaus) finds it neces¬ dent am relating to sale of semi-processed metal to manufacturers. are these All retailing. to be new some fundamental changes in the years' ment, revolution becomes change erated. came even Approves Limited Sale of So. African Gold Board of the International Monetary when go are means spokesmen, in and out of govern¬ Shifting Is into ordinary private busi¬ including not just manufac¬ day, four out of every five gain¬ fully-occupied people are wage turing but also wholesaling and to Managing Director of International Monetary Fund explains attitude the may to private businesses 1 labor Power Power . Gutt As It . ness, ". sale business. steel the year society? our istic and to state and local government, little tired of getting pushed a around that increases kind of business—nor money . . the and year, Evolution Government may go into loan They will try au¬ finding. The a next It this to What is behind these trends of lower to price delay to just I offer prices, board makes a almost any in New York at a $50,000 a of fix to Federal . salary after. He is for free market forces. the the next week again itself. is bill the shelved this Spring. govern¬ the when die not means wide discretionary authority and power to sub¬ stitute their ideas and opinions not, but I think it is. I think people are entitled to know why these various persons, after they get to be Assistant Secre¬ tary or Secfetary, should turn up or give President ment bureaus) that "it amazes me to see every key job in the Terasury filled up with these Wall Street bankers, and they just kind Of ferry back and forth. One time they are Assistant Secretary of the Treasury and next they are do would (which Schmidt E. P. Dr. mar¬ economy. the stated President of free a ket It know we the Will structure The labor movement in this coun¬ Mussolini. Spence Bill pass? Probably not, but even, if killed, it will rise again and again . . . because the people behind it will what his of it, these are the same type of wide barn doors which were available and to Hitler and Representa¬ that: course as Probably they did before the crash." Mr. ary ted, em en in the purely discretion¬ as economic situation. neces¬ would, destroy they would then be pres¬ suring their own customers to buy these securities from them, just testimony 1 p The Insur¬ Is it the Welfare State? deems these quotations from the bill strikingly suggest.1 While the President probably doesn't know R. fully im- could this up, as Presidency is Spence (H. he sary . . ." Thus the power centered way, 2756),if passed they brought pressure as our Bill the investment brokers to back on the of favor contained amendment with ..when We're The But that is when agreeing needs and strivings of people. on State, or®— but where to? banks tive Muller (D., N. Y.) Graham these It did I on that "the banks will use any of pressure to gain their kind of privilege n g bonds. it (4) keep watch over-all Planned Economy? an ance what? always like to do something." Mr. Graham stated in his testi¬ mony uncierwrit- i going Socialist? Is it use in New would be just as not appear before big this committee. some themselves if well Kentucky would these that York be¬ banks sup¬ the banks will course, of two lieve that any of in out any be to were passed," come kind of pressure," he added. "As a matter of fact, I was ad¬ vised by two Louisville bankers who have correspondence with this amendment "I a a Many people are still confused as to the meaning of Nov. 2. Since the 81st Congress has opened, to this confusion has been added uneasiness and apprehension. Is the country and ing Intimates it is • and sharply criticized the proposal to allow commercial banks to underwrite> : j,- Commerce of the U. S. A. Dr. Schmidt analyzes provisions of the ville, Ky., tells House Banking and Currency Committee banks will use j. /r'-'"'' -' By EMERSON P. SCHMIDT* ; Thomas Graham, Manager of The Bankers Bond Co., Inc., of Louis¬ - 25 (2181) CHRONICLE ever any hu¬ outproduce It is inconceivable system could ever length any of time, given a favorable political climate. Furthermore, under such a sys¬ tem there is a greater diffusion and any dispersal of power than under other system. Yet, Why is why is it it in the under process attack? of de- struction? What, incidentally, does this prospective destruction mean (Continued on page 28) 26 THE (2182) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Honest Broken Government Promises (Continued from page 18) .1., pended, Great Britain still was in need of help. The Bretton Woods agreement of the To blame all of these situations two our on is wars putting the cart before the horse. What caused Who the two wars? was in charge of cost of their going to lead out us to insure peace and would not prevent a rabble-rouser our from harmony with neighbors to the south. Our neighbors to the south have never quarrelled more violently. The China Aid Plan China from the to was Eastern save hordes. The Farm a look in direction. is It said that another when Houdini product and the died, he left the world understanding that if he spirit he would on a specified been gone con¬ course is ernment an not We world, a plan is for a must in the program a peaceful world, Finally, v a such Pact, and we once have the Atlantic again we are being key world's I i to the solution not am the contending these plans without value. were of problems, As a matter of fact, they may have made a partial contribution to the solution occasions or back to come communicate with certain friends. each On assured and reassured that this is the occasion occasions these of his have friends gathered awaiting his message, but to no avail. One might conclude he found no spiri¬ tual world from which he, the great magician and spiritualist, could communicate. But a short time ago I am sure he must have come back to earth. I know of no else who could have devised one the world's problems. I am contending it was wrong to tell our people they were sure-fire the pay the farmers more and sell to cure-alls. These the consumer of assurances cannot be justified with the statement we had to propagandize and oversell the people to enable the govern¬ ment to put these plans into ef¬ fect. Any program that cannot be honestly placed before the people so that they may evaluate it on facts should be rejected. Time for Government to Be Careful of Promises Little wonder, then, our people becoming progressively du¬ are bious. It is time for our govern¬ ment to be careful in its promises and to be more concerned with the fulfillment of less it wishes to the un¬ faith of people in their government completely shattered. our We have today in our nation millions of patriotic, thrifty people who have invested their savings in government bonds. Now, was there any promise made to these people when they invested? There certainly was. The people had a right to expect a sound fiscal policy from our government so that at the maturity of the bonds they would be repaid in dollars as nearly-like purchasing power as the dollars they invested. But will they? What is their situation today? Have they not been in¬ of at This less. is an economic feat worthy of only his wizardry. The announcement stated the would give the consumer a I'm wondering whether didn't spell "break" incor¬ rectly. The. added taxes he pays will surely prove a brake on his initiative. What is the promise plan break. they implied in this program? The im¬ plication is very clear that it is a magician's plan that is not going duction the most powerful ment in the world govern¬ must resort to this sort of chicanery in trying to help the farmer? Why deceive anyone? Why not the truth? The truth may not get votes but it will get respect, government and respect for our is more important than all of the votes a ever cast. discussion of whether not a farmer should get a sub¬ sidy. It is a question of being frank; of how, if you give it to him, you intend to do it and who will pay for it. or A frank statement would be as "We taxes tween lower market ket is the government honest when it be of such a double-talk policy to or is it keep a lot people's minds off their plight? How can the government expect its people to have faith in government credit when everything it does tends to destroy that faith? Isn't it time the government gave serious thought to keeping its promises? propose than you are now receiving. You will sell your product at the thepurchasing power of the dollar? In plain, understandable language, pursues and This of where that competitive a known. False promises and do weaken nations. written We if on help on corirpetitive The had they free • They wished to escape class, prejudice and class limitations of\ opportunity. It is a tragic com¬ ment or enterprise to hardy pioneers that they are plan-, ning or acquiescing in a form of being promised security government their forefathers- are risked their lives to escape. est break-even thus and making point in people them have We secure. nation this the not to incentive great. made that why And before put our of a representative form of government. tage nation have they lar Men de¬ but .what he the near from the money may do you to pay know come around in future and collect money to give someone else a check, so we better be prepared and keep it in the bank." us am not saying there should port. I am saying, if it is to be, and above be honest, open board in our promises. us who How can the government prom¬ cradle-to-the-grave security when it knows the only teal se¬ ises of cannot an out of trouble than you by plans? is It will make and very tear simple. down the It and a courageous fight promises are fulfilled is important, you will be contrib¬ uting greatly to the struggle of your fellow men and your.nation.. Somewhere, somehow, there must whole nation of it has the credit of stored a that halt broken to false and promises unless we are to return thrifty industrious people into the world's largest group of mendi¬ cants. It will survive only so long as see be in nation representative form mockery. It will a promise by performance. If will clearly understand that insistence on a respect for a to of government a a You analyze your kept. promise earn." And what is the effect of all these time are accounts to evaluate the sincerity you more good as*his bond. You engaged in the field of charged with the re¬ are sponsibility of seeing that promn. curity is that which people earn? It was Lincoln', who said, "You keep live by prom¬ as are credit ise transform I word is they make will be garnered by spending and women ises—promises that are performed.The highest mark of civilized man" is to have it said of him that his the government. ' Europe, had better take hteed we lose that priceless heri-: of when now decided have in¬ more reached Our government, already at the high¬ point of any nation in world's history, now owing a; debt twice the size of all of that; forth the extra effort—that added Southern farmer How the descendants of these, on na¬ does the government intend to pay for this? By taxing its people banking he had to get check. away they opportunity at. limited best. couldn'i capitalistic from They wanted to get but from the cradle to the grave. By whom? By the government. How you this a; it from the old countries where tions. I know he doesn't make anything. He just collects things. He collected taxes some¬ and. knew opportunity, fullest freedom, most real security and highest standard' of living the world has ever rely do, "Mary, you better put this in the bank and keep it there. Let's don't use it. It comes from Uncle Sam They hardships andlong and tedious hours of labor, lonesomeness, sickness- and dis¬ As he opened did what little country. meant sacrifice and a ton. strike out for to nation that gave man the greatest are more to the dark ages. < Despite what some people tell have today many states-*' you, we an people who have gone men who are keenly aware of the long crisis we face. They are states^ men equal to the best in our his¬ as competitive free enterprise will port one group, other groups .continue to supply the fuel to tory. They are men who have kepf equally affected by inflationary stoke the socialistic boiler. In their promises faithfully and who forces should not be subsidized. either have continually insisted their} case, the experiment may How about giving the bond holder be of short duration, but the con¬ government do so. We should up¬ a hold them and strengthen theit check to make his interest a sequences may last a century. hands. legitimate interest and not an arti¬ The whole objective of the ficial return? Why not give the world is peace. Much has been Credit executives have never I should be frank in saying that why, if you sup¬ I see no reason price. the set price, The difference be¬ price and the mar¬ assuming it is lower than the price we guarantee, will paid to drawn United the directly by a check on the Treasury of tlue States. The Treasury of you United money annuitant industrious before us to rely upon, or so States will get the to pay by taxing all of the extra check to bring an dodged facts. Above all else, they If a problem people must be realistic. power of his dollar when he in¬ that everything we are doing is in is a difficult one, they recognize vested his hard-earned money? the interest of peace. We sin¬ it for what it is and proceed cau¬ How about a subsidy for white cerely believe it to be so. But tiously and constructively towards his receipts up collar workers In to the purchasing or underpaid school fact, if you wish to all the way in a socialistic regi¬ mentation, why not subsidize go In the end that may be the most effective way of de¬ everybody? flating the socialistic balloon. It is said and written about it. We have have we promised said our anything to its solution. our They know the great potentialities of people about the fact that if peace came tomorrow, it would not be without its problems? If over¬ realize faced each that we many occasion our nation. have in They the past crises we and that op have met these night we could have a peaceful world, everybody would welcome situations and moved on to furtherit. It would be a Lord's blessing. progress. However, they also real-* But temporarily, there would be ize that in these situations people interesting to note that if not afraid- of the facts. exceedingly successful quite a readjustment and it would were and have through thrift not be easy to go through. It Knowing the facts, they were That is why I and industry grown to be a big would be so worth while that stirred to action. farmer, you are out of luck. Your Heaven knows everybody hones it feel justified in presenting the scheme of life doesn't fit into the comes because no suffering is too matter as I do. socialistic philosophy. Your great for a real peace. But when You, too, in your own daily father and your grandfather prob¬ you eliminate your armament ex¬ work can be a statesman, for re-r ably told you that one of the great penditures and your big Federal •member, you as a group havei things about this country was budget for your world-aid pro¬ next to the government, the great-* there was no end to what you could grams, you would have a read¬ est responsibility of any group, in accomplish if you applied your¬ justment that would bring about the United States to see that prom¬ self. Have the However, we are sorry— some unemployment and quite a ises are lived up to. times have changed—new era, you bit of hardship. These sufferings courage to measure up to your know—and don't you dare tell would be temporary and well task. A promise made good is like your child or grandchild he can worth while; but if they should a prayer—it strengthens the soul by hard work get ahead and ac¬ come, then over the longer-range of men and restores faith in man-* It is and will.. always. be complish most anything. Tut-tut period of time the nation would kind. —you tell him Uncle Sam will really move forward on a sound the hub of the whoeh of ciyilizar you are an farmer people—you, the working men and women, the pension people and everybody having a taxable in¬ come will have to pay a part of the money we give you. We can't It has made a similar implied get it from the rich alone be¬ promise to every holder of a life cause there aren't enough of them. insurance contract, every bank de¬ We can't get it from the middle positor and all other groups. Is class alone because they haven't it to continue its deceitful,.camou¬ enough to pay it. We will really care flaged program of soothing its in the end get none of it from take of him—he; needn't creditors with a socialistic lullaby business concerns because, if they worry except to be sure he gets score? pay it, they have to .add it to the his place in the beggar's line. pioneer cided not to do so? Because the check for not planting, cot¬ it and looked ; government will take the cream it over, he said to his wife who of their crop and every added dol¬ got It took great cour¬ for them age promises of a socialistic govern¬ ment aren't worth= the paper they irreligious plan, but it occurred in our own life time. trolled nation. presumed to be opportunity in a'i They could see militarily con¬ free can planting livestock. a by are important. in the days, you when we were de¬ a of is not only used consist¬ ently to prime the socialistic pump, but it is a necessity to keep it pumping. The promises we live was recall, stroying crops can't imagine teachers? follows: more further not the effect a knew • This isn't of their savings? Is the government keeping its promise when it spends and spends, and to will for the They economy. regimented state. economy a let ing taxes check That cooperate much will avoid much so¬ Our forefathers chafed under today. of worth will we the limitations of course reminiscent were well ease. But they had the courage partially fulfilled by taking away to attempt it and they made world; the fruits of capitalism. The pro¬ history in the establishment of a given anything. Such a promise is false. Now, frankly, isn't it too bad flated out of half of the purchas¬ and first his cotton. time was is we bar¬ cial unrest. times and Of is it a present our people know these our they to the promises of socialism are often collect to cost the farmer or the consumer to guarantee you a certain price for your farm prod¬ uct. This price will be slightly power of the me new ioned in the early thirties. It is an interesting thing give it to not be some measure of farm sup¬ that its pledges see proposed farm plan. Surely it a magician extraordinary to takes This reminds Southern cotton farmer facts, yes— different are this era If better and enjoying in 1929. That new era, however, became rather old-fash¬ you." have that of all new that economy managed living in are conditions so we to Yes, however, is such compared while. rugged body and he a Don't you know that? producer; a administrator, taxes and we propose from other groups and and hundred years a independence." but Abe had it is don't have any money of our own. All we have is what we collect by just with Plan about could take it. know the gov¬ you found in the great beyond a Eastern gain and get it out of the country. old nation by the throat. It is now suggested we Far people at the same time there is a price for peace that must be paid? That price, It will be paid and he would be old-fashioned in sthis era. He also said, "You can¬ number of ways. When anyone buys a suitcase, he will not build character and courage pay part of it. If you commute by taking away a man's initiative Today communists have that fine an "You any "Of Support Programs take us that will pay it. sumer in taking hold. Let said once cannot help the poor by destroy¬ ing the rich,'f but Old Abe has government when the two wars Who were the ones to your job each day, you will be monetary confusion. It has done developed? nothing of the kind. The Inter¬ responsible for the plans and pro¬ paying a part of it. If your wife national Monetary Fund was to grams? Who permitted Hitler, for buys a piece of jewelry, she will he the real savior of the world. instance, to get organized? You will pay a Who pay part of it. The world is in confusion still. permitted Mussolini to get a head part of it when you buy the neces¬ In fact, it will work start? Who rescued Stalin when sities of life. The Marshall Plan was widely proclaimed as the last act to in¬ ne was all but liquidated? What into the price of everything you sure a peaceful and cooperative Were the programs that made for buy one way or another. unrest? You will find, whether "Now to get this check from world. We are more worried to¬ day than we were at the close of you like it or not, that most of your government, you will have the responsibility for the condi¬ to agree how much to the war. plant, what tions that gave The United Nations at last was these people a to plant, when and what to sell the answer to a world in distress. nearing and enabled them to put and you will have to farm as you Thus far, aside from its settlement rorth their irreligious philosophy are told." of minor misunderstandings, In addition, if you looked ahead its and brutal plans for conflict', rests principal use has been the estab¬ on the Administration in charge and wanted to be honest in your lishment of a world broadcasting of governments which failed to statement, you would add: "If you system in which the communists keep their promises to their own should grow more than the mar¬ can expand their philosophies to people, by failing to act in time, ket will buy, although we are not the millions of the world's down¬ or to the people of the enemy, saying so, we will under these trodden and underprivileged. by failing to see that any program conditions try" and get up some The Good Neighbor policy was they directed for these countries global plan to distribute it and was Abe Thursday, May 19, .1949 - basis. we Isn't promise it more honest when peace by programs-we have, . tion and the Gateway of Peace. the various It is in keeping with alt .the-j-eto tell- our ligioas precepts God has given usi. , Volume 169 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 - & Inflation and Postwar Profits Britain's Slake in U.S. Deflation By WILLIAM J. By PAUL EINZIG Dr. develop into disas¬ trous slump is disturbing Britain, and, there is grave concern whether Britain's .economy could be isolated from it. Says it may result in Labor Government's reluctant revaluation of sterling and relaxation of prevailing austerity policy. . , Einzig reports fear American deflation Chicago industrialist, deploring myth of high corporate profits, asserts inflated dollars earned and re¬ tained by American corporations are not adequate to finance normal improvement of productive facili¬ ties, and impedes technological advances. Cites statistical evidence on inadequate corporate earnings, , v movement fears of the by a im¬ prices of to when . the-fall of Am¬ offset it. This to how¬ ever, the feel¬ ing ; of relief is, would Britain be in a position to isolate her economy if deflation in the United States went too far? gave It is true, progress, Sir Stafford Cripps him¬ self would be in favor of a mod¬ way gradually t uneasiness. concern grave prices continued o erate U of degree The deflation. it a tive influence for either the long-term tal goods dustries. In¬ it adds up that the trend portunity for exhorting British in¬ dustries to cut down their profits ful affect untavoraoly the British ex¬ might and Dr. Paul Einzig prices. reach should deflation But stage that would neces¬ a it would be¬ port sitate cuts in wages tive power of American industries and through reducing the absorb¬ politically and industrially impracticable in existing condi¬ tions of Socialist rule and full d ri ve, through increasing the competi¬ ing capacity of and American force pel pro¬ in us the direction which William J. Kelly and employment. unable be then to resist special affect accept new drifted risk, to conscious an Nor this is There all. is now pressure even , true ernment able was to check the slump in 1933, it would be all the easier to check it now with the aid of those devices. Nevertheless, there would then be an Autumn Budget for that purpose, though even chasing the is ruled out by all but Communist and crypto-Commu^ hist "wishful thinkers," in many Stafford British quarters it is* feared that prices, once started, the decline of would proceed is necessary much further than advantageous. It or a Budget it would be possible to release pur¬ while the possibility of a complete collapse without utmost Sir cases that would resort to to the weapon of devaluation. He would only resort to it when termination all of (b) that has caused paper profits on inventory values; (c) that has created more paper profits from underdepreciation of fixed reluctance Cripp s this weapon, or power of American dollars; It would be with power. a timely American defla¬ hopes of tion have been abandoned. : and assets, resulting in many in under-costing of products failure ment-cost to value recover of replace¬ capital con¬ sumed; (d) paid So when in that has caused taxes to be these paper profits; and on (e) that has brought to serious questioning the mechanics and conventions of accounting practice and corporate financial reporting. the April 1947 it opened second phase to the fog, clear ness world, and practically all of profession. If you bear in mind that 82% of the accounting will of of American — sibly capital consumed. level . in the absence of E. R. P. and re¬ armament the United States Gov¬ paper public affairs with the your customers told us through a of profits and savings survey we made that they give corporations in the orders to you and other capital postwar period. The true story goods manufacturers only when needed to be expressed so that na¬ they have plenty of cash in the tional policy might be based on till, and not otherwise, you will fact and not on fiction. So, as understand why we believed it part of our work in the public most important to expose thor¬ interest, we decided to take on oughly the effects of underdepre¬ the research job ourselves, and in ciation on true profits. To that dents in favor of checking and reversing the movement. The back. growing apprehension over here You will also recall that a year question is, would this be possible, on account of the possibility of a if deflation in the United States ago, and two years ago, led by world-wide large scale deflation. continued? labor spokesmen seeking second And in some quarters it is even and third round wage increases, There is reason to believe that feared that the American deflation the British Government is envis¬ we heard that profits were exor¬ a few minutes I want to give you plight develop into a disastrous bitant, that wages could be raised a preview of some of the illumi¬ slump. The United States has aging the development of such a situation. It would then have to without increasing prices, indeed nating facts that this extraordi¬ come to be regarded in Europe take measures to isolate the Brit¬ that; prices might even be sub¬ nary MAPI study nails down. as the one remaining stronghold ish economic trend from the stantially reduced, and that cor¬ I may add here that the new of economic stability and prosper¬ American economic trend. This porate taxes should be drastically pamphlet, which will be entitled ity on which theh restoration of could be achieved partly by hiked. What the labor leaders left "Inflation and Postwar Profits," stability and prosperity in Europe a devaluation of sterling and out, certain political leaders put is assured of an exceptionally must rest. The possibility of a rep¬ in and the same tune goes on and etition of the experience of the partly by a relaxation of the pre¬ wide audience in every important on. 5 policy of austerity. At 'thirties is now feared to threaten vailing group in the United States. In¬ Unfortunately it must be ad¬ this foundation stone of European present Sir Stafford Cripps cer¬ deed we are hopeful it may be the tainly does not envisage a devalu¬ mitted that American business it¬ basic instrument—not necessarily reconstruction. ation. He really means what he self is guilty of unwittingly add¬ the sole instrument, but the basic Among Communists and their says in this respect. But, should ing noise to this attack on profits. instrument that will lead our Left-wing Socialist sympathisers the fall of American prices con¬ Month after month during 1948 policy makers to avoid mistakes the symptoms of deflation are tinue beyond a certain point, it is quarterly reports emphasized rec¬ in national policy which if made greeted with undisguised satisfac¬ conceivable that he might recon¬ ord profits, and day after day this would swell the rolls of the unem¬ tion. They now claim that these sider his attitude. Indeed one of Spring we have read and heard ployed with alarming rapidity. symptoms foreshadow the eco¬ the arguments against an early annual reports telling of new Now before I list the highlights nomic collapse of the Western devaluation of sterling is pre¬ profit levels. to which I have referred, let us jPowers which has been freely cisely the possibility of a situation Now, we should be proud, and forecast by Communist propa¬ arising in which the devaluation I am sure we are proud, that look back at what has been going ganda during recent years. Even weapon could be used more bene- new profit highs can be attained on in this general area during the few years. This allthose Communists who, like Pro¬ ficiajly than it could now. Under in the operation of the American past attack on businessspecific, was profits fessor Eugen Varga, of Moscow conditions prevailing in Britain system of private enterprise. They out launched Dec. 11, 1946, when the refused until recently to endorse a devaluation would lead to a rise augur well for the future living such prophesies, are now in¬ in British prices. Should the fall standards of all the people of CIO-Nathan report was issued. In clined to change their attitude, of American prices continue, how¬ this country and of other coun¬ that report, under the title "A under the influence of the reports ever, it might become possible to tries as well. But with respect to National Wage Policy of 1947," the of the progress of deflation in devalue without causing a rise in profits reported in terms of Amer¬ CIO made four major claims: (1) the United States. British prices, solely in order to ican dollars we have had, post¬ that corporate profits had become avoid a corresponding fall of war, a very special situation which fantastically excessive; (2) that Apart from Communists and British prices. Premature devalu¬ has had only a fraction qf the they were responsible for a rise Left-wing Socialists, however, in the cost of living which eroded ation would lead to a rise in prices study it merits. This special there are very few people in Bri¬ followed by a painful process of situation has been inadequately the purchasing power of wages; tain-who really expect a collapse deflation. It would of course be pointed up in corporation reports, (3) that the excessive profits comparable with that of 1933. industrial collapse it has been weakly dealt with by threatened British experts realize that the preferable to wait, and not to de¬ from lack of consumer purchasing value until it could be done in a our business organizations, it has United States today has much bet¬ power, and (4) that the high level ter weapons to resist a slump than way as to avoid both a rise and been ignored by labor organiza¬ of profits would permit industry a deflation. tions, it has been misunderstood they had during the 'thirties. In Should American deflation af¬ by many -legislative leaders and to absorb wage increases averag¬ addition to the New Deal devices British business, whether policymaking bodies, and it has ing 25%, without price increases, which existed then and exist now, fect and still have left enough to yield there is now the Marshall Plan through its material influence or not been comprehensively treated a return on net worth equal to psychological influ¬ by the press. with the aid of which exports through its The-special situation to which I that of the prewar period 1936-39. the British Government could be maintained. And there ence, Of course, this was utter nonsense, js also the rearmament drive might conceivably seek to main¬ refer is, of course, the price in¬ but it is unwise to laugh off a which could maintain employ¬ tain full employment by the re¬ flation that— (a) has changed the purchasing document, however fallacious, that ment. It is felt that, since even lease of purchasing power. Pos¬ *. distinguish to industry profit from real profit, to differen¬ tiate between historical book costs and the current dollar value of urgent need to acquaint American businessmen and stu¬ of France, h a ve during the past several decades, namely, down that road to technological stagnation which I discussed with you some months Government industry was American Thus MAPI has been Eng- 1 and The of of of its campaign MAPI found it undertake new plans, to equip necessary to take on for debate and re-equip their plants and not a labor organization alone, but properties. many representatives of the busi¬ ex¬ to seriously ability businesses to to a bale¬ erted could this in inherent future the come would other markets. tialities understanding on the part itself which in turn due to failure on the part of quate industries. Other poten¬ situation deed confused abruptly slow down the capi¬ and of capital goods indus- the Government never misses an op¬ now or prospects this concerning price, infla¬ tion is a positive threat—which if not removed from the path of American business will hit first thinking the immediate in Inherent construc¬ feared is employment. <3>- system. Nor is possibility is-viewed with in many quarters in London. The question that is asked more and more frequently erican peacetime production under high equipment replace¬ previous period of Along with speculation on the 1949 business outlook, nothing is more discussed in the and becau.se Britain hoped to benefit United States today and seems as little understood as the level of business profits. Much of and rearmament would be unable this discussion, unfortunately, is not intended to be complimentary to the private enterprise goods. and As world-wide inflation, lower ported costs, have been lower in relation to in London. At its initial stages the down¬ with relief, because it removed the welcomed was profits, when corrected for higher inventory and national income and sales than in any and contends postwar corporate United States LONDON, ENGLAND.—The fall of prices in the ward Products Institute may ment ;v. KELLY* President, Machinery and Allied . is causing growing concern 27 (2183) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL in April end, therefore, we issued pioneering study, "De¬ preciation Policy and the Postwar Price Level." Copies of it were so eagerly sought by leading mem¬ bers of the business and profes¬ sional worlds that a second print¬ 1947 our was made, arid finally a third printing was required in January, 1949. The influence of. that study ing has been beyond most our san¬ guine expectations. Since its re¬ lease the issue of under-depreciawhat an to due tion do to price and inflation it has become about busi¬ executives but of the account¬ active interest not only of ness ing profession as well. While the battle for realistic depreciation and full recovery of the purchas¬ ing-power-value of consumer cap¬ ital is by no means won—it is in¬ deed in its early stages—it has aroused so much thought and dis¬ that it promises sooner or constructive result; cussion later a It goes without saying that nat¬ Institute is with the main¬ tenance of a dynamic economy through the expansion and im¬ provement of our industrial facil¬ ities. Nothing, in our judgment, would more gravely impair this the Machinery urally deeply concerned process ardize in the long run, or jeop¬ seriously the main¬ more of tenance economic high-level activity in the immediate future, than an attempt to reduce, by ad¬ ditional taxation or otherwise, a volume of business subnormal by profits already reasonable any standard attempt would Such of comparison. curtail incentive for new risk and the funds an the both investment for fi¬ available nancing it. Neither can be pru¬ promises to be supported by mil¬ dently curtailed. polls. Rather This reasoning made inevitable it is simple wisdom to deal with our third weapon in the warfare it with alertness and thoroughness. of education, namely, our forth¬ did by lions of voters at the You will remember we so coming study, "Inflation and Post¬ issuing the MAPI analysis of the war Profits." In it we measure Nathan report on Dec. 19, eight the overstatement of postwar cor¬ days after its release by CIO. porate profits from the use of his¬ Many of you used the documenta¬ torical or book costs, rather than tion in that analysis in your 1947 current or replacement costs, not wage negotiations. So influential did that MAPI bulletin become simply for fixed assets, but for that 6,000 of a weekly for copies of it. readers newsletter asked fixed bined. assets To and be inventory more com¬ specific, we for comparative purposes, the profits Spiral might get out of control, of earlier years, by charging re¬ on profits continued — but the Richard A. Kerbon Dead and 'that; its psychological effect placement cost for all physical as¬ *An address by Mr. Kelly at the analysis did mighty well in battle. on American consumers and pro¬ sets used up in production. These Richard A. Kebbon, partner in 47th Spring Meeting of the Na¬ That the defenders of profits did ducers might assume such propor¬ recomputed profits are then comKebbon, McCormiek & Co., Chi¬ tional Tool Builders Association, not gain ground more rapidly is tions that even the employment due in no small degree to inade¬ (Continued on page 30) > Chicago, 111., May 12, 1949. cago, died on May J. v-• provided by New Deal, E. R. P. is feared -that the deflationary - Note, though, that the MAPI reply to CIO won no wars—for the war recompute postwar profits and, 28 COMMERCIAL THE (2184) creased. (Continued from- first page) Whether taxation penditures thus envisaged, for that t is purpose, sufficient to the meet ex¬ the debt is to be increased or usually subject a "advanced" opinions differ, but for the about which most part this phase of the matter is regarded by these Keynesian fol¬ > lowers - of as secondary importance.." Standing Pat .. The President pat" the at moment , is said , boom of the sort a on But must of we movement likely to breed its course this appears as the Chief Executive effect of this Thus, it so ..... have to us come fully in the past, but forward with good some time, sets forth the President's program a our by very regards these matters in these words: as the world has ever seen. "If the government continues so directions at many sequences to of action. we is upon ". . addition In . in its not social we back to so far as ; , there as more than the two billion we our economy and will, we perpetuate a can politics ". of the CED are were handed and influence advocacy of really sound hill-billyism carrying these same fallacies imbedding them still deeper in the nerve structures of the rank and file; have created a situation in which considerable political courage is required for any ac¬ sound stand in these matters. So much pure economic nonsense has become household words today, that he who preaches common sense is at the outset these a very matters reached if we severe have are to handicap. But somehow, sometime, to be faced;, and correct decisions escaoe totalitarianism. ; ..bnt. rfdilu,. I What one and forms the con¬ the entire nation. s inconspicuous thousand the key intellectuals out of national body politic and the nation will, within have completely a as Just cut these plexion. The a few changed circulation years, com¬ of an author's book is unimportant (not for him, of course, nor for his publisher), depends the on and 2,000 but of its has made which teachers 3,000 on alters the national being journalists of essence number importance book a impression an effectiveness the on social readers; its for not our, appreciably and enduringly more 4 -4v- belts of MacLeish sys¬ • high moral and economic rationale has been evolved to the way for this revolution. What, ' Within the ten and ; mean? generation, dozen a have leveling •- this does past or weapons The y then, been at powerful for forged socializing incomes. important of most these, of is the progressive income This tax, based on the so- called "ability that means to theory", pay. long so Brown has as income left after taxes than more could ." . of incomes. all Checks on cians vote themselves some . self-reliance individual and ridiculed been tent attack. seemed and The under have persis¬ depression The ever bigger "expense" accounts. We tax-free have just given the President, of the United States another $50,000 annual income, salary in¬ It will be just a matter crease. policy-makers will bounty Then, this is attack re-enforced the clergy, spread to check them. the on leveling of income will evaporate. The corporation income tax larger toll from a progressively the bigger corporate income than articulate from the smaller. After $50,000 of was by highly minorities vocal government to it that see natural likewise takes and a of time until the key this all from free in addition to taxes, give validity to these to attacks. drawn from annual net income all corporations sociologists, the pay 38% but the smaller incomes political scientists and most re¬ begin at a lower figure and only cently, the economists. The poli¬ gradually work up to 38 cents out ticians soon took up the scent. of every dollar? There is con¬ If the you the is so widespread, stant pressure for an "excess" then, perhaps our profits tax to "soak the rich" al¬ is bad and does though the poorer citizen is just survival. This is too as likely to own a few shares in a attack say, may economic system not merit facile a conclusion. The intellec¬ profitable corporation as in one by training and which is less profitable. occupation. 'They gain acceptance and Social Security recognition frequently only by being "agin" something, by Employees, generally, pay 1% of having "better" and "superior" the payroll to finance social se¬ tuals critics are established—and it must give way the to It is American people have never held •.■ • . i , . •, ' ) : :■ i ," :[■*'■! ■/'" * " ■ .. ' .'7 ;'• ; • •: :1 predict, however, get the society en¬ for by the in¬ pounce upon, criticize it, and destroy it by dis¬ solving cism, through the gether. the cement, cause They is that mystique, will their this—be¬ do occupational pay-dirt—unless by that time authority will have taken authoritarian those in them in hand, as all systems have intellectuals had in have to their take hand. daily we press, Almost taken from Moscow papers';: of accounts in our news¬ how the Soviet biolo¬ gists, the physicists, the poets, the composers, economists into line." week the dramatists "are A by week few and being brought are liquidated so as to set an ap¬ propriate example to others show¬ ing any dencies. undue individualistic ten¬ Every dictator and over¬ planner knows that when the is tends to inevitably it sapped in a corroding sapped,be proposed, will absorb from 20% to 23% as for ly of payroll. security social To is spreading income over ting a the ex¬ some a device even¬ more period of time—collect- premiums during em¬ ployment and paying out benefits when hazard hits. criti¬ fit formulas perpetual which might otherwise hold it to¬ faith the to we tellectuals, they will all of safe as tent, visioned and hoped nine-tenths cent the untried, and the ./ that when and per new, unproven. novel which is read by two million housewives. Ninety-nine V. •v by decades, now, begin¬ ning with professors of English and the literary crowd, our eco¬ nomic system has been under con¬ stant attack. This literary output was reflected through Hollywood, through the schools and the churches. Private property, profits a I ::oY .-■? . For than cr. I A destined authoritarian an . of it is overpowering. A., .filWEvdiiiO -»t among professors, writers and think, write, preach, is on by three hundred The process is as still further and a suc¬ thousand teachers, journalists, and ministers to the 130 000,000 .suasive economic fallacies, followed by President Truman's politician to take and character. and sciousness power among so bishops inclined to follow this lead bolder in their screen, Within . . Americans, any event among stu¬ monthly al¬ regularly remitted by is thousand fiscal management and policy. We must, of course, concede that a decade or more of President Roosevelt and his per- back-platform and writers ever tone Bold Men Needed in newspapers, every society, be democratic, there is a relatively small group of intel¬ lectuals who give that society its it certainly hope, always activity and thus only wish those in places of who( of staffs . We repudiate boom. , administrative appear parents, there is rela¬ tively fifty times more totalitarian ideas. They take a rationalistic curity while employers pay 3% lunacy (particularly of the Stalin¬ view of all things. All values, all to 6% or more, depending on how ist type) than among the povertyinstitutions and all ways of doing you figure it — covering work¬ stricken Okies, the needleworkers must be constantly questioned. men's compensation, old age and or unemployed miners ." The old and the established is sus¬ unemployment compensation. A Again he states: pect simply because it is old and full blown social security program remain so) than it would to stimulate under than in well-to-do through to completion if we are ever of really sound footing. Again, concerned, right now is as good a time will be to get at this task. stage lowance any sort are ever Archibald of statistical editorial the on cessful activity, the approaching or resembling it can be made permanent by fiscal profligacy. At this time, as at any other time, it will in the long run if not in the short run, do much more toward discouraging private enterprise (which, after all, is the main notion tive so serious A dents whose generous we force in in probably more Europe. of should do at the peak of feverish that prosperity or anything as We prevalent among intellectuals—in college teachers, among the stars taken and carried v America that so intimated or suggested by this Committee, we are certain, could be pared from the budget—and should be. We are certain in our own minds, moreover, that some¬ thing of the sort sooner or later will have to be under¬ now expressions of econom¬ underdogs, but well-fed find the chief weakness of the CED modesty. A great deal to get are distressed rather or . Bolshevism) especially (and fast and in this danger zone." part, our transmission the being the lengers, metropolitan Tor educated been educational apparatus. In de¬ our ess to problem child of modern civiliza¬ tion, the intellectual has also be¬ come one of its outstanding chal¬ diseases private economic effort and individual freedom or near tem. tion rather to expand so degree, in will suffer damaging con¬ we John Dewey in their by greatly for the ac¬ fending themselves, the opponents revolution that The committee feels there is much evidence that checkup would certainly disclose in are once, of our society, as ini°f his books. Though its mass this equalization are being made William S. Schlamm, may be relatively insignificant, in his important book, "The Sec¬ the catalytic agent will basically less and less effectual by the sim¬ ond War of Independence," states: Tilter the larger chemical proc¬ ple device of having the politi¬ ically ; in end least hands, but all Americans have, in and tivized pain that the of foreign relief, reconstruction and military aid the gram book a international position with the most extensive pro¬ ion, all brands of totalitarianism new to him, simply because the thoughts tax. this great pedagogue have ac- unemployed, indebted farmers "It is undertaking the greatest peacetime preparedness and underpaid toilers. Contrary program our country has ever known. And it is recognizing to the general consensus of opin¬ its system a directives, which of for it is simply untrue disintegration of democ¬ "It [the Administration] is racy is the result of merely eco¬ pushing its domestic pro¬ nomic dislocations. It is simply grams for social and economic betterment—in social insur¬ untrue that Nazism, Bolshevism, ance, education, resource development, agriculture and the and Fascism are the predestined ;like—well beyond their previous high water marks. reply to the appeal of hungry, well program society. any But such, of course, is far from the fact. The Committee Economic Development, with whose deliverances we have not always been able to to incomes; well-coordinated displace the free market as the guide to our economic activities, Black, Brown still has further us. But its roots go deeper. Tney scarcely have found a more su¬ ability to pay more taxes. The conclusion of this tax perficial argument than to point logical are found in our educational sys¬ to the relatively small circulation philosophy is the final equaliza¬ tem and in the role of the in- for seems to further socialize on (2) -A nomic Reports. Intellectual the 1930's account celerated tellectual which of Unquestionably, Off the Mark counsel at this are in the is This is found in the various Eco¬ suffering of the depression of the this in order to keep the nation "prosperous." agree is pave some Role The depart from sound principles of fiscal management by scares of a business depression, or by those smooth apologists for Keynesian nonsense who would enormously unbalance the Federal budget at such a time as for -we sown What to freely that no such basic to be getting under way in any in security Indeed, have we course, the unthinking perhaps, Presipermitting himself to be persuaded to : world? Washington, decades. hap¬ pening in Washington? Basically, things: (1) A powerful drive admit survival? appears to dent Truman is not national our in two (Continued from page 25) for tomorrow. two past Socialism—The American Pattern hostile Kerenskys of today liquidated by their suc¬ reaping what stand; by the Chief Executive is to give the impression in some quarters that in insisting upon higher taxes and adding nothing to his earlier expenditure schedules, he is clinging to a rather conservative position in which he insists upon a balanced budget, or rather a budget which gives hope of a surplus for reduction of debt. The be Today as implying a stubborn refusal to rec¬ influential political quarter. ognize changes which have taken place during the past half year, particularly during the past three or four months. One net lapses. cessors destruction. own world, then the leader goes, as go he must, and the experiment col-t will readjustment before the time arrived when what we should have to worry about would be a real "boom"— "standing his campaign speeches and his annual messages. There are those, of course, who interpret this position of stand at courageous a politically quixotic. It would be quite feasible, in cur view, to return to fiscal sanity at the present time without precipitating any serious or pro¬ longed depression. If such a return were accompanied by convincing assurance that private enterprise was being freed of the unnecessary burdens of controls and other interferences (including government competition) 'imposed since March 4, 1933, no one, in our judgment, would need fear more than a relatively brief period of . be to do not believe we Thursday, May 19, 1949 this time would be " . CHRONICLE FINANCIAL However, As We See It (wv' & are But, the bene¬ generally loaded in favor of the low income Nearly social all group. security pro¬ of the more productive, more efficient or more fortunate people to 'those less favorably disposed. The pro¬ posed expansion of social security suggests that this method of lev-, eling income may be still in its infancy. We have-covered only part of the distance between the grams also have the income transferring effect from womb and the tomb. Driving Down the Interest Rate Thrift were and savings formerly rewarded by annual interest earnings of about 5%. premiums the terest earned Insurance same in¬ accumulation. Today, interest rates have been cut in half by means called monetary and of what is fiscal policy, jVolume 169 a subject subtle, croachments little complicated and a something little more. but study a THE Number 4804 should we Estate unions. Ex¬ of collective bargaining to include numerous fringe and other benefits is another attempt to get for Tabor tending by the the areas earning of capital and sav¬ power This transfers a greater por¬ tion of the earnings of capital to low-income groups. FINANCIAL "euthanasia This "functionless investor." the was erudite way of an saying that point in paying there is really no anybody to save—adequate capital should and could be made avail¬ without able having to his about for it. pay he had While seemingly anyone own misgivings some brilliance on this point, his followers adhere rigidly to policies designed to make bor¬ rowing, cheaper even though the policy reflects itself in a steady dilution of the money supply and a steady deterioration in the value the of dollar. Perhaps Keynes, and especially his followers, did not notice that driving dowri the interest rate also creates a new problem (or should we say, op¬ portunity?) for the government, in the form of old-age depen¬ more dence, now that, with artificially low interact rates, the capacity of the individual to save for his old is made age This low more difficult! interest rate policy puts the government in competi¬ tion with all private lenders, forcing down interest rates all around—a leveling process affect¬ ing everyone. There is a growing conviction among thoughtful people, how¬ ever, that a society of personal and political freedom and a free enterprise market economy are integral parts of each other. And it is just beginning to dawn on these same people that a free money market—one in which the interest rate performs its historic functions of determining where to invest, and governing the demand and supply of capital—is also an integral part of the free society. spending and lend¬ ing for housing, for agriculture, for and other innumerable pur¬ all tied in with this fur¬ ther effort of leveling incomes. poses are The Labor Movement If one examines the President's economic reports and programs submitted to the Congress as well the several reports of the Council of Economic Advisers, one as discerns clear-cut policy of utilizing the labor movement to cut down the earnings from job; making to the benefit of the job¬ holder. While things are said on "all sides of this complicated issue, again talk of a (sometimes much discussion wage increases with the limitation While economists part and leveling incomes has support, lifetime the govern¬ your get when rigor mortis your executors begin what's left. can There "rich" the v slice of every a people's income or ways at least every four years? Why should the politician not lend his hand to from the this business limited of capita per in¬ thus states earlier for Federal grants, years the pay as blind and de¬ pendent children, were based on some uniform or equal-matching aged, the Today it is rare for a Federal grant-in-aid bill to be introduced in Congress without a so-called variable grant-in-aid, the amount of the grant varying inversely with the per capita in¬ come among the different states The pending bill to put the Fed¬ eral government back into the principle. relief direct the vise blind same business, and to re¬ for program children and the adopts aged, the pulling the teeth of Taft-Hartley the to labor strive larger come. unions more slice of are encouraged aggressively for a the national The employers are in¬ deprived of their natural resistance to en¬ need LOS and of prominent for the past 20 in the security business, as These weapons income-leveling but the relief to a and to trans¬ income to farm "orange and blue" allotment program ferring more groups, the food stamp adopted. committed to were the doctrine of the Later, this same set of ideas was commonly referred to as "equality of opportunity." We felt that if every child were educated, and there were no legal or other arti¬ ficial all discriminations, have this should each whatever the equal be he function would start. Then we entitled could of to earn. keep It was to government create conditions favorable to this equal start. In 1862, Act, passed the Home¬ for example, under which any citizen (or even a resi¬ dent alien intending citizenship) stead could we carve out for himself a 160- homestead, a place to get a start, a place where he could be acre himself and in his his make own living own In way. 1890, means we and the ability, busi¬ ;L;.v.V-.V-v*' ' ber, Jackson & Curtis, 626 S. goes would tergents. this revive program. equal have an inter¬ American brand Will it bring it does or a us mean our doom?* First, a reactionary nostalgia harking back to the good old days opportunity, equal, start, and preventing monopoly. The battle against inequalities, it is said, now needs additional de¬ an this opens could decide that all persons with less than much annual income so employment. What (1) can Keep order. for you us. get so many stamps en¬ titling them to so much free goods. out of World War I until 1927. The hold the which rent control has on American people today sug¬ gests that this method of redis¬ tributing income is likely to be difficult to remove even though all the evidence shows that it ac¬ centuates the desire and diminishes the Of housing especially in the of extending construction, face for supply of new the threat rent controls to new construction. " Public Housing and again it is argued private effort cannot provide adequate housing for the lowest income group. The government that must come to the rescue, and the government must tax the people with more income low-income new housing. groups so can that live the in profits ness It stream. and your affairs legitimate and your all criticism is re¬ moved. authoritarian system. an (3) Step - up process. Don't educational the become can promptly income to others and helps keep the economic machine rolling. George resident rest, Robert D. Diehl 1 :■/; Partner. Diehl Mr. has by- For¬ broad background of a with ence leading experi¬ investment banking firms in Los Angeles and He has been active in Cleveland. Associations Traders the cities is and renewed term as a Traders National both of serving presently a member of the of Committee Municipal Bondwomen To Hold Spring Meeting The Club of Municipal Bondwomen's New York will hold its ing in the interests of all groups which are companies to elect capable women to their Boards of Directors. basis that so in house own individual then was her support through in¬ foundations or otherwise the proj¬ comes above the consumption ects and the people whose aims levels are spent more slowly than or whose Rent Control policies and actions will wage, social security, and similar Rent control is a device for destroy our way of life. types of income. The worker and transferring income froin people (4) Deepen your own under¬ social security beneficiary spend who supply housing to people who their incomes promptly, thereby standing of how our economy has don't. New York State did not functioned during our history and returning the money to the income abolish the rent control growing what it takes to keep it function¬ would change, announced ly created considerable interest in strong efforts to urge large do? Conduct yourself business Although this into rests on tenuous ground, let's take a look at it. It is said that busi¬ Ex¬ A modern, Spring luncheon meeting at the Wall Street Club on Thursday, technological culture, 9, at 12:30 p.m. Guest such as ours, must make political June speaker at the luncheon will be and economic changes. Mrs. Wilma Soss, Founder and A reactionary resists all change. President of the Federation of A radical would tear things up Women Shareholders in American by the roots. A conservative is Business, Inc., and her subject one who believes there is some will be "Today's Woman in Fi¬ thing worth conserving. We need nance." intelligent and enlightened con¬ Mrs. Soss is a well-known pub¬ servatism capable of reading the lic relations counselor and pio¬ signs of the times right and mak¬ neer newspaper woman. In .her ing useful adjustments, but capable capacity as President of the Fed¬ of sticking to essential first prin¬ eration of Women Shareholders in ciples. Given proper information American Business, Mrs. Soss has and direction, the majority of made great strides in convincing Americans will still support sound large industrial companies that principles and most of them be¬ their annual stockholders meet¬ lieve that we have plenty that is ings be held in cities where the worth conserving. While time is majority of stockholders reside, running out, the struggle, is not rather than in remote places as lost and many good years may be heretofore; She has more-5 recent¬ (2) far-reaching of Stock dynamic, Support sound fiscal and The economic sanction placed monetary policy so as to remove avenues for the further redistri¬ behind this drive toward the the necessary elbow-room which bution of income and greater equalization of income runs in the over-all planners must have equalization. The law, or more terms of boom-bust problem and in order to convert our society likely the administrative bureau, full Clearly, St., ers is itself un-American. ahead for all of far beyond these earlier ideas of The the equivalent of good socialism. life, b the New York you pretation of the better Spring m e m the NASD. -rr Our present program, of course, stamps cash to those who got them. A bill recently introduced in Congress were extra desire, the the opportunity to set up in ness for themselves. Well, there An¬ Web¬ Paine, weapons Conclusion of equal start. to give any depression, with the During education. We* designed to prevent monopoly and and all, who had the Food Allotment view both Early in history we supported univer¬ sal, compulsory common school our Los geles office of . the feudal caste system. the Trading ' Dep a r t ment in capable of further sharpening are man¬ Corporate potent them, years of age r process or more plenty are ANGELES, CALIF.—Ap¬ of Robert D. Diehl, pointment they don't get themselves publi¬ cized very well. A's of equally, good There passed the Sherman Antitrust act, variable grant idea. justify the upward wage thrust. U Again By building up the labor move¬ through Wagner Acts and point to* the socialization taking number Paine, Webber Firm who would develop some stopping two years other Robert Diehl Joins , the hospital construction costs of the people in the "poor" states. In generally ment would counterarguments within the state, the bigger often utilized to so logician themselves slice going to those states where incomes are lowest. The people in in support of the bust which is the as or say, a rationale has been found. Those 10 29 :'.-r by which income is being equalized. This makes a pattern that is hard for the politician to resist. Why should the voters not vote have you wage average on comes pressure .v nomic process. over to the different states is based in that deficiency of mass pur¬ chasing power is not the causejaut the result of depressions, much is generated in Washing¬ unorthodox and generally unaccepted "underconsumption" theory of boom- highl> a to look hospital construction law, the amount of Federal grants agree ton of sets in ment the In "where they will not cause price ■increases"). . rationale, and handing it over to the more and intensifying. For the most numerous B's, • even though pri¬ part they are relatively new. law bars any vately he would not take a tire Taken together they- constitute worker from a job unless he can off A's car or lift a pumpkin from a formidable battery—a powerful find an employer who is willing his engine with ten cylinders. Adda garden. to pay at least 75 cents, $1, or It is not hard to find some few more cylinders and enlarge whatever the fixed hourly rate moral justification and perhaps the bore and stroke of each—then may be. Whenever the minimum historical precedents for such a we will have a different America. is raised, all the wage rates above Whether the fuel and lubricants program. the minimum also receive an up¬ Throughout our Anglo-Saxon to keep the engine going will dry ward thrust to maintain the his¬ history and traditions, there has up, remains to be seen, but the torical differentials of the wage always run a pronounced equali- experience of other lands that structure. Minimum wage law has tarian strain. The Declaration of have tried this same type of ex¬ become a device for hoisting the Independence emphasizes that we periment for some decades sug¬ whole general wage level. Here gests that it is easier and more are all created equal. The Con¬ is another way of passing money stitution prohibits class distinction popular to redistribute wealth and from one group to another. based on hereditary or other income than it is to add to the titles. We reacted strongly against total supply. Federal Variable Grants-In-Aid and again there is much a deficiency of purchasing power. There is of encouraging facile technical and interdependent' eco¬ Minimum Wage Legislation Minimum was Government too get (2135) X .'■■• Nevertheless, both on moral and economic grounds, the drive foi during . Keynes spoke frequently of the of the rentier" and ; CHRONICLE Inheritance Taxes and What the government can't In the past, periods of pros¬ perity and especially war periods a larger and larger slice of the always entailed rising interest national pie. By reducing the pre¬ rates to help check excessive de¬ rogatives of management and en¬ mand for borrowings and to stimulate the supply of savings. larging labors' voice in manage¬ ment, the earnings of investors World War II was financed with are steadily reduced. As investors a constant and low or falling in-i become more skeptical of future terest rate. This was indeed a earnings and the security of in¬ stupendous and far-reaching vestment, the way is paved for achievement. "government going into business" Lord Keynes was the father of because, it is alleged, private the engineered, artificially low capital won't come forth. interest rate which reduces the ings. & COMMERCIAL committed to freedom PhiEa. Securities Ass'n Field Day PHILADELPHIA, PA. — The Annual Field Day of the Phila¬ delphia Securities Association will be held Friday, May 27, 1949, Paul W. Bodine, of Drexel & Co., President of nounced. The Association, an¬ outing will be held Aronomink the at the Golf Club, Aronomink, Pa. Burr Eastwood Now With First California Company (Special SAN to The Financial Chronicle) FRANCISCO, and economic progress. CALIF.— Burr Eastwood, Jr., has become sensitivity and Savings, whether earned by a connected with the First Califor¬ feeling for the needs and striv¬ business or an individual, tend to nia Company, 300 Montgomery lie around in "stagnant pools" in ings, both psychological and eco¬ Mr. Eastwood was fort the banks or the treasuries of an nomic, of people so as to find Street. ways and means of attaining these insurance company for a time. merly with Franklin Wulff & Co. So (5) it is argued. When the business is dim, these funds are outlook Deepen your needs back home and in the com¬ munity. These help to take thereby deepening de¬ the pressure off Washington and pression. So, if we are to assure help to perpetuate our freedom full employment, full purchasing and economic progress. power and full production, we hoarded, should shave and a This off the big has sup¬ port among some economists. But (Special SAN to The Financial Chronicle) CALIF.— FRANCISCO, nearly all, if not all, would agree that business depressions are caused and influenced by far more Louis Nicoud, Jr. has been added complicated factors and that this New- York simple a James D. Kent With Dewar & (Special SAN JL Barth & Co. Adds some is altogether too and Conrad, Bruce & Co. may to Company The Financial Chronicle) incomes good slice of profits. argument steps view, a to the staff of J. Barth & California Street, and Stock Exchanges. Co., 482 members of the Francisco San ; : " D. DIEGO, CALIF. Kent has become — James associated with Dewar & Co., First National Bank Building. formerly and win. with Mr. Kent was Buckley Brothers Walston, Hoffman & Good¬ 30 COMMERCIAL THE (2186) FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursdays May 19; 1949 —i — How to Revive the Stock Market Inflation and Postwar Profits the corrected pared with profits as now re¬ ported to disclose the overstate¬ ment in the present figures. The late results national this of comparison are little less than astounding. Let me the summarize for study you ' (1) In the first section of the study we deliberately set aside the fact that earnings are understated. We of comparison 1910 to in billions of dollars, in per¬ simply present a corporate profits from 1948 of centage national income, and in percentage of sales. profits have been, indeed, unprecedented. When they are related, however, dollar the which on volume they business of earned, the were illusion of abnormality disappears completely, and recent profits are shown have been below average of full peacetime pros¬ perity in the past. The average of 10 representative good years, prior to World War II and back to 1910, is found to run about 9% of the measure a sav¬ income being shown is that impression, contrary to popular recent savings have been com¬ paratively low. 1946 is shown to oe but slightly larger than 1940, and, except for 1940, lower than any year since 1913 except for 1918 and the depression '30s. Even 1947 and 1948 show as well below for 3.5% of average the years. prewar prosperous 10 So again, when these corrected sav¬ or retained earnings are re¬ lated to a contemporary volume of business their unprecedented ings magnitude turns out to be another myth. (6) The study tests next whether available, now American business can criticism that ter that attack. and ■ . now coun¬ turn; back ■/;' . that fact had been taxes as¬ paid on true profits, corporations would have less and paid bil¬ in taxes—$8 lion less in taxes on the fictitious The effec¬ corporate tax rate on corrected profits of $19 billions. tive taxable income has exceeded 50% (3) avoid further any dorsement of the . obviously Businessmen should en¬ proposition that of corporate overstatement the profits is the On dam. the contrary, historical water now cost accounting does not for catch soon placement costing. over fixed assets up with re¬ It will lag for and even decades after sta¬ years bilization of the price level has At the present time the occurred. savings, postwar, replacement cost of corporate net were high in relation to net ex¬ fixed assets is above historical penditures for new plant and costs by about $60 billion. Were equipment. the price level to remain about Again the conclusion is in¬ where it now is, corporate depre¬ of national income and 6% of escapable that true postwar net ciation charges would fall short sales. Not one of the postwar corporate savings have been rel¬ of replacement costs by $60 bil¬ years 1946-48 made the average. atively low. For the three post¬ lions before the existing facilities (2) The study turns next to the war years 1946 to 1948 they which were purchased at lower much more striking picture when amount to only one-third of net price levels are entirely ex¬ the overstatement of profits is capital formation (expenditures hausted. And this means that at. eliminated. Here profits have for new plant and equipment), been recomputed, charging re¬ and this compares with an aver¬ present tax rates this continuing underdepreciation w o u I d cost placement costs -for the inventory age ratio of ]57 % for five good American corporations in the and fixed assets consumed, and years of the 20's, or an average of neighborhood of $24 billion addi¬ the profits for earlier periods sim¬ net corporate 72 % for ten good years extending ilarly recomputed for comparative farther back. purposes. When the replacement cost of the physical assets used up in pro¬ duction is charged against current profits, the reckoning of profits is materially and in some cases drastically revised. The change for the three postwar years 194648 is particularly conspicuous. Another .section of the re¬ (7) tional in Federal and state income port explodes the illusion that we have witnessed an unprecedented behooves It taxes. for its management, sake, and for the sake of its relations with stockholders, own withholding of earnings by corpo¬ employees and the public, to give this subject first attention. The corrected of profits of accepting finan¬ cial statements in dollar terms at rate management. basis On percentage the distributed in a 86% in 1946, 62% was 1947 and 56% in 1948, an aver¬ consequences face value, and of continued mis¬ understanding of the effect of in¬ the three years. flation on profits, prices, costs and overstated profits for these three This compares with an average of capital formation cut across our 61 % for the ten prosperous pre¬ entire economy and are of prime years were 8.3% of national in¬ war years. importance in influencing the ■; ; fcome, true profits are found to be economic health of the capital (8) Inflation and Net Worth: only 5.1%. Where before the Where before correction sales, on the correction the profits were 5.4% of the correct comparative age of 68% basis they are only 3.3%. Not only as national basis, the 10-year average of earlier perous years was pros¬ 8.9% of study pro¬ ceeds to relate profits to net worth do these figures show a reduction of well over one-third, but the relation between postwar profits and those of earlier years of full peacetime prosperity is also dras¬ tically affected. On a comparable for Under this heading the they were previously related to income and to corporate sales. shown is these that of 5.5% for average profits prewar pros¬ perous Not decidedly below the average, 1947 close to it, and 1948 moderately the even best of the postwar anywhere near these figures. (3) The to study the then conversion replacement a years. The year 1946 was explores of profits basis and cost gives the extent of the corrective changes. t This showing discloses at a (9) The final section of the study answers the question: "What does the picture look like in con¬ dollars?" stant If war the myth of abnormal post¬ profits needs still another re¬ glance the extraordinary margin by which replacement costs have exceeded the costs actually buff, here it is: True profits charged during the three postwar 1948 Profits years. basis cost are on a replacement actually lower by $19 billion. For one of 1946, the overstatement profits was almost 100%. It is of more than passing interest that of the $19 billion overstatement of 60%, or the years, of profits, $13 billion reflected undercosting of inventory and $6 bil¬ lions undercosting of fixed assets consumed in production. (4) Next retained corporate earnings are shown, comparing profits as overstated with true or corrected profits. •. * The transformation of ture retained in the corporate pic¬ earn¬ ings (not corporate savings) when corrected profits are shown is a striking one. Savings in the 194648 period reported on the over¬ stated basis as $30 billion shrink $19 billion down to only $11 bil¬ Taking the three years as lions. whole, all but this $11 billions the so-called "savings" are found actually to have been ab¬ sorbed simplv in maintaining each a of year the volume of the physical assets with which corporations be¬ gan the year. ex¬ pressed in constant age the dollars aver¬ 1946 to than for the period 1926 to the grass cream this partly ingenuity. We have because our system, so than now, en¬ developed creative talent, and partly because other nations did not, and some of their greatest scientists came here, where they could find more free¬ formerly more couraged and dom and incentive. Technological advancement (5) is born but it of It is try. science be must a brainchild of production into roots of America. Today we have in America of the world's scientific (4) lower for the period 1928, notwithstanding an increase of about 80% in the physical vol¬ corporate MAPI study filter down new the for need and inventive below it. further which present wage, price and tax proposals are .based, will disappear, and we will have a more constructive recognition of on savings, are no more than normal for a and for beneficial change in the conditions now hampering the period of prosperity. The average market for risk capital, if ;and for the three postwar years is when the facts put forth in this 5.4% of net worth, as against an It national income and 5.8% of sales. years comes goods industries. Gross misunder¬ standings, and reared invention by indus¬ long way from the of a scientist in¬ or in the interval. the best of the ventor to the practical products postwar years, the figure is only and services which make a high modestly above the level of 20 standard of living. years earlier, and is below that of (6) It is clear from the histori¬ 1929. Confirming the direct evi¬ cal record of this and other in¬ ume for Even dence 1948, other in sections of the study, it is clear that postwar profits actually have lagged well behind the growth of the economy. dustrialized countries that con¬ tinued technological advancement is the world's stitute 7% Americans area. primary requirement for weeks. The study number of possibilities use by thoughtful two a effective (7) We stand on the threshold greatest era of ^ . • . catch must of telephones, 80% of the world's automobiles, 35% of the world's railroads. We have $24 billion in gold. We produce 60% of the world's wheat; 60.% of its cotton; as clothing or food. ^ Words such "yields," "ratio" or phiases as "the stock is selling at a 22.25% discount from its quick assets value" or 50% of its copper; 50% of its pig iron. We have -36% of the world's able banking resources. Our purchas¬ ing power as individuals is greater than the total purchasing stood by obligations. is for the Such scien¬ used and under¬ insiders, is "abracadabra" general public, especially newcomers. (5) Better relationship between management and stockholders: Better recognition of stockholders stock The public. - natural wealth and creative power involve the for all the people of Europe the people of Asia. Such all the to tific vocabulary, power of or "the burden of proof is are not understand¬ the bulls" on by management is necessary. Div¬ idends ought to be proportionate to be the barometer of the economic condi¬ to tion of ting only about 40% market supposed essarily have weather" especially "good predict to during o' period a . . Stockholders are get¬ . The huge boom,' business "a or profits. of reported earnings against 70% in the past but living costs have gone up. country. This barometer —the stock market—does not nec¬ a are ers majority of stock own¬ interested in income more in than speculative transition and of economic uncer¬ advantages tainties. trading for profit possibilities. The barometer, how¬ country like ours must never be suspected of being an instrument out of order. Why has the American investor, the busi¬ in ever; Voting power ..of management special fees, exorbitant sala¬ ries, bonuses and pensions ought to be restricted. The same japplies with regards to the voting of opr tions to purchase shares at low prices. Shareholder meetings a working and the ness man for man so little confidence in the future of his great country, as indicated by the desolate status of the stock which market been has for years, or on should drifting tant Americans that they believe in their own great financial of life, th e it American "know-how" dominates world are nations The earth. the watching us, to of conditions, fears are our registered ometer—the hones socialism." and by the bar¬ Al¬ clear, easily understandable and convincing as in U. S. A., but in no country of the world are the methods to attract wider-spread participation and to en¬ courage speculation-trading in stocks. Furthermore, the great business, of corporate public as task has to be successfully under¬ sons the — acquiring stocks, There shudder. having ations only corpor¬ are common .1 have class A and with or without par value, then there are rights and warrants, preferred stocks, such as "First *• Preferred." "Second Prestocks, receive "the satisfaction of invest¬ ment financing so diversified in the U.S.A. The enormous va¬ riety of the capital structures of corporations makes untrained per- taken to convince millions of sav¬ that they, by against (6) Simplicity needed in cor¬ porate financing methods: In no country of the world is the madern method of bookkeeping so though there is nothing basically wrong with the stock market, something must be done to revive ers and it to each other economic democracy communisrp an bulwark and market. stock management owe owners develop as them hoping for our success, while some desire our failure. Our eco¬ nomic can "corporate stock the of most small dis¬ stockholder, is taking place. Or as Justice Ferdinand Pecora put and power. The American way at where large at¬ be accommodated. but Only lately a more cooperative spirit on the part of management toward the "forgotten man," the ought to give proof to the world economic held be not places, tendances what is everybody fearful of in America? some class B, some pride, the feeling of the extra income." people, those in the low¬ er income brackets, who describe; ferred" designated as A and B for corporation owners as "big busi¬ prior claims. Then there gre ness men," "bankers" or "society Bonds, Mortgage. Bonds, open- and narticipation, The olain oeople" of every community will that all "Main Street" leads to "Wall Street," the "much abused financial mother of the richest and most progressive nation on the face of the earth." ture Guaranteed ness, system of free enterprise. though This charge, Some Corrective be secured by: "the by corporations. of ! (1) Tax relief: reducing the capital gains tax and shortening or eliminating the holding period, (3) Brokerage fees should be possible in order bigger turnover in trans- i of what can be the kept as low as technological advancement, sus¬ employment and improve¬ to get a the customer who He finally concludes is for the un¬ more or less a sort science, which he considers a company mind himself unfit to study. The stock market—a the ; , • Conclusions • of needs himself. trained could , of experts and facts" is unable to get them that each Measures Greater demand for stocks army an analysts is at work studying each company from all angles, ready and willing to give advice free of system will become stronger the more people share in the owner¬ ship of American where he himself feels "lost? of understanding. Al¬ lack for buy and sell private property in an organized market is a priceless privilege." A wonderful act has to be done for our Convertible Bonds, Adjustment Bonds, etc. This mul¬ tiplicity of capitalization methods is for the average man a wilder¬ Indeed, it is the "Market Place of the Nation." Then they may real¬ ize "that freedom to bonds. Deben¬ Bonds, Bonds, Income and close-end mortgage better understand , days or suggests ;• Advertisements the eyelikqannouncements of sales of the world's popula¬ for higher living standards. It is the correcting the present double tax¬ ation on dividends. > v source of more goods and services, These are the principal conclu¬ and of more jobs at higher pay so •-.-(2) Life insurance companies sions of the new MAPI study, that the goods and services of a should get permission to invest a copies of which will reach your higher living standard can be ac¬ part of their huge surplus in high-; desk soon—within the next ten quired and enjoyed. grade common stocks. • r:" a 6) page facts. con¬ We have 60% of the world's tion. American sessed (Continued from will, it if There is food for thought in (2) the conclusion The study for used this purpose. the to to corporate contemporary volume of business, the In dollar volume postwar to ings figures in this way: proceeds to re¬ The study (5) (Continued from page 27) barometer country's economic condi¬ deplorable status. Turnover in stocks is at a record low ebb. - The foregoing tions—is in a- suggestions are merely six princi¬ pal points of an evolution that would change the present state of affairs. Many more improvements could easily, be mentioned... Ne\y venture capital is urgently .need¬ ed. "Wall Street" under the lead¬ actions. Premiums for traders all ought to be taken under consider- i ership of the New York Stock Ex¬ ation by refunding part of the change is on a crusade to persuade you today, I will point these out history. If we achieve our destiny millions of people to invest a^part quickly. it will not be as a result of build¬ commissions in ease buying and of their savings in stocks of the (1) Had American corporate ing myths and spinning illusions. selling of the same security is ef-; fected : within: a certain short great industries of their country. business shown its true profit of It will be because our economic These people declined up until r' -- -r • •: studies are thoroughgoing, objec¬ period.., businessmen throughout the coun¬ try, In concluding my time with tained ment in living standards in $32 billions rather than $51 bil¬ lions it did show for the postwar tive, and precise. If we ever thus period it would have saved itself' find the facts, and translate them no end of criticism and attack. into national policy^ our oppor¬ With the findings of the MAPI tunities are unlimited. N: ' ' now-to have anything to do with (4) New methods for salesman-1 stocks for :"lack .of familiarity" ship of securities and advertising:' with them; There has been and Utmost simplicity ^must be;i ob- > still is a great general ignorance served when telling or writing the . Volume COMMERCIAL THE: 4804 Number 169 most important,; development financial and minds by simplify¬ ing their methods, language and approaches totally, or these people will custom¬ Many of the "newcomers" do to mind risking even . not their become never ers. most of the trusts of attendance enormous by proved is which the de¬ capital, as usually in¬ tenting themselves- with furnish¬ new capital to those industries in which they are already share¬ the ing race¬ but they want to "under¬ courses, are vesting in a relatively small num¬ ber. of leading companies, con¬ seem losses, unsatisfied leave would mand for new venture declining but holders, issues of take to stand what it is all about" in order over :t0 be able to form their own judg¬ they have not already sponsored.. Such effects would, therefore, be ment in their decisions. They want deplorable simplicity. If we do not our appeal.to them, we content if they, at best, .utmost firms succeed in the daily increasing the merely join 'number of stockholders of Invest¬ stock and the future of private financing of American industry. Wall Street ought to Companies, if only for that they (the new¬ comers) do not want to have any¬ reason one it would lead to "freezing as regular general ment, Trust the brokerage the for company any market busi¬ ness.It would hurt the country's be must new. economy combat these facts and continue as thing to do with the management a militant crusader for venture of their own portfolios. capital. This is Wall Street's These considerations might ex-, greatest task. It may be Wall 'plain the fact that, according to a Street's last chance to preserve a 'statement of; the SEC, the Open End Investment Funds are "the free enterprise system. more earn by Now there is no producing more. cheap labor and i, try? Do they hold any promise of expanding security, of expand¬ an ing earnings, of expanding oppor¬ tunity for 1,300,000 employees— or anyone else? ' Let's look: * prise. It cost the American people little more than $2,000,000 a *a conclusions own it—except paid 51% mile under i government operation and shippers paid 80% more per ton mile. During World War II the more passenger per * * American * try let didn't again. We people tionalization na- the * railroads ;thev themselves run did job. magnificent a — and In- * of stead out $2,000,000 a day to operate the roads, the American peolpe took in $2,500,000 a day in the form of taxes ; ; having to pay ' mained at slightly. re¬ ' the gard and provide the drive neces¬ sary to build a dynamic social It been has is no In good. that argued will absenteeism fall and was pro¬ has the clearly argument the opposite fact, well be true. Miners who al¬ ways imagined that nationaliza¬ tion was somehow going to make them captains of industry are finding after about two years of nationalization that they merely work for the different a ernment, Gazette" of bosg—gov¬ good. "The Railway common 4]/2 about remarks: London million regret has worked own shares in a locomotive young man. I number of British a friends in the British Isles. I have than a passing interest the old and zest but a come feeling over they felt for the fray is gone." The idea tionalized become boards a are of tending date, nationalization in Eng¬ applied to the Bank Cable and Wireless men working I see Enterprise no American that evidence of Is Not on - - reason, on the basis of England, for any employee to believe in nationalization can have a good and beneficial effect for him. In me min¬ railways no Trial ing; transport—meaning fact, the assumption stronger than ever seems that to na¬ the rail¬ against It is their secur¬ ened. 4. A approach competitive to railroad services. Railroads today forced to perform services and maintain fa¬ are cilities which cut deeply into their earnings—into the pie which the employees must also consider his. .. V Let's . look at nationalization through the eyes of the worker. the to come out of earnings after taxes amounting to the Railroads We of reconsideration a things to do—take every do to kind of freight offered, for example^ Four-Point Is Program Suggested has money required are other carrier is required no All this of thinking. 19th is century We need 20th century thinking. Furthermore, depreciation rates unrealistic. We are in a fast- There a are improvements great many other which are called employees and 1,900,000 investors of, railroads penalized. When Now, how do we proceed? Any program, it seems to me, be taken care to are be as all know, came out we century public opinion. I believe it is time to start some of not : • 19th It's Essential to Have century thinking. regulators Railroad Return he can begins to get a monopoly, be certain, he's going to get regulation with it. Market Is Most Competitive in History the But railroads as century idea out-of-date as no longer have a transporta¬ tion monopoly—far from it. were never in a more market than they are In of the Pullman cars of that pe¬ The railroads of this coun¬ fancy riod. try is 19th the middle They competitive today. of the great de¬ industry suddenly grew up. Since the war, the number of "class one" interstate trucking en¬ terprises in this country has more before pipelines and The total volume of business done last year by all the competitors of the railroads was over $4% billion. waterways, air transport. There is no nopoly today. the reverse transportation mo¬ As a is true. adequate return. railroad employees If matter of fact, are to be earned and paid out risk-capital so that risk-capital has got will flow to the railroads and them become stronger—for the employee, the share¬ Money has got to be earned substantial amounts can that so re-invested be and in who modernization cost-cutting methods. big pumpkins and squashes at the county fair—evidence of good cul¬ 2. transportation policy fair 1,300,000 'railroad ers—if clearly There is no doubt that our pres¬ policy in this "loaded" against the railroads. That's part of the 19th transportation country is century thinking. Railroads get paid less for hauling 94% of the mail of this country than planes do for carrying 6%. we can employees— security hold¬ a plan work out the in and long-term of these interests short-term groups. 3. We begin to develop our case with employees, shareholders and all who have a stake in the rail¬ road industry. 4. We agree upon a plan and to substitute a 20th cen¬ proceed tury attitude toward the railroad for the 19th century thinking which restricts railroad managements is so many ways, and to release railroading from some of the shackles which hold back its development. Can we do all these things? Why not? story of the girl to marry You remember the Scot who asked his him. She said: "Yes, Sandy." silence she asked: "Aren't you going to say any¬ thing more, Sandy?" He replied: "No—I think I've said too much After to all. ent that we can count support and help of agree full backed by 1,900,000 It's the little shriveled- pumpkins that should alarm us. Nobody shows off the shriveledup pumpkins. A We the on up 3. in the railroad stake a us. That's industry to low transportation rates. Earning a good return is evidence of health. It's like the way tivation. have It involves me and you help holder, the shipper and everyone else. the involving problem thinking of large groups of people to greater security, greater earnings and greater opportunity, they—like everyone else—have got to help fight for a higher re¬ turn for their companies. Money good of the the problem is prob¬ We agree that and all of have to 1. industry. An the pression of the '30s, the trucking inland 2. at¬ were Adequate involves these elements: long a already." I think perhaps I have said too much already. But I can't help feeling that we living at in the railroad field are time when the materials for a We all know the tax story. The Today regulation is actually railroads, like most every other great achievement lie all about us_a great achievement based preventing railroads from achiev¬ business, pay their taxes' in ac-; ing their full efficiency in a icordance with Federal, State and upon the strong, successful, tested At .the same time, it is quite, highly competitive market by .local, government, levies « on all .method of free men getting to¬ .A, ... evident thatlarge s, numbers { of. .making them pay to run while i their facilities. The total tax bill gether for the good of all. waterways; electricity; gas. tionalization is essentially for the and steel are next on the ! desperate—and cannot be justi¬ list, but the legislation has not yet fied except in'desperation. It is a form of receivership. been put through.. and Iron, roads, Socialism, after all, is on trial, than doubled. Total revenues have not private eterprise—and there gone from $700,000,000 in 1939 to is no good evidence that it is bet¬ more than $2,500,000,000 today. ter for anyone, while there are In addition, American railroads still many reasons to distrust its face the stiff competition of buses, long-range effects. Company,' civil aviation; coal : op¬ portunity for them, I believe the to strong, good effect. experience land has been of Engalnd the loaded We often for—in the interests of employees ing the railroads of this country— moving atomic world. about de-regulating them. have 30 or 40-year depreciation and investors. Many of these im¬ If we can show the 1,300,000 em¬ rates in a 10 or 15-year world. provements can be obtained—per¬ That's 19th century thinking, ployees and 1,900,000 investors of haps promptly—with the help of too. U. S. railroads that de-regulation 1,300,000 railroad employees is the road to greater security, If the best interests of 1,300,000 backed up by 1,900,000 investors. anyone that political govern¬ groups Private in this whole subject. To against loaded is employees. ity which is threatened. It is their opportunity for advancement and increased earnings which is weak¬ are people against a transportation monopoly. In a democracy when I think railroads, and I have a good many more policy railroads road theory of depreciation based on original cost. Actually, the $4,000 box-car costs considerably more because tempting to defend the American a British in shops when I was need can't be done. It box-cars. ripe to talk about de-nationaliz- of of nationali¬ having its supporters, ought to'take by competitors. point is that a transporta¬ The tion about 38%. them has tionalization shows 'J'; look at what is happening in England. I was born in Scotland and I we facilities used goals of greater security, earnings and opportunity for all associated with the railroads, and about nationalization, the time may be I think instead of talking 20th Nationalization has not been a entirely' different direction can be moving in a different disaster as some expected it to be. direction if we keep everlastingly But the damning fact is that na¬ zation of time. have lost their former gusto for the day's work. They plod along or the idea by the railroads is devoted to the construction and maintenance of lem—a with an ■ We find therefore the tax money paid of some help anyone. noticed • ■ that first and foremost a human have we each for his own department or think we in division—whereas old-style boards have passed the of directors worked together for peak demand for government the most part. ,'.Z ownership and may be moving in Because going period the this country may at it. only modest rental or ice to turij matter of fact, I a carriers pay franchise fees. earnings are taken away from an enterprise, they are not there to a great achievement which has not been lost on the American people. As tax bur¬ by com¬ must we day—in favor of private ing boards will act more success¬ —- iand in favor of the fully in the public interest is also American people. not getting much support. Na¬ It is a remarkable story of dollars high shouldered not are American people are today fully higher prepared to accept such a course. grades in the commission's serv¬ Regulation of American rail¬ "When 'operation ■ a a community,Yor greater earnings and greater the or or even to run successfully over system, concern may frustration The difference between govern¬ ment operation and private op¬ ; eration But the socialistic short-sighted. conscientiously Day in World War II * * Proportionately dens petitive air, water and other sur¬ face carriers. They are, in the main, operating with municipal, county, State or Federal facilities that are paid for by taxes. The gov¬ worker, under socialism, will feet a great spirtual release — that levels and that quite a number of occupants advanced only of responsible posts appear to Private Operation Saved $4,500,000 A these— are pre-war fares passenger : Freight rates railroads. from through system has yet shown no evidence that it can do as well in this re¬ day—to run the railroads during ductivity rise. the two years of the first World Nationalization 'War. This was true in spite of demonstrated that -the fact that passengers Should Pay Their Way our Disproved My. railroads. It proved to be a very 'poor substitute for private enter¬ •- Carriers , of nationalization tried country go 1948 in billion dollars. over a They are services and facilities tives, backed by 1,900,000 security which the public does not want— ernment It is by no means cer¬ holders, could greatly strengthen as evidenced by its failure to use ; They are services and fa¬ tain they will get it that way their industry and advance their them. own interests by helping toward cilities which others can provide either. ■om page 19) better—and will provide when the It seems to me all the evidence such goals as these— Has it fulfilled his hopes? Has it 1. A realistic system of depre¬ railroads are permitted to with¬ points one why. The free enter¬ led to better things? Is there any draw them. prise system is vigorous, dynamic, ciation for railroads. good expectation that it will lead constructive and can do more for Railroads are barred from good I believe the current system is to better things? v employees than any other. It has entirely inadequate. Railroads competitive practices common to created' a tremendous productive are being asked to buy $4,000 box¬ every other carrier—things like Socialistic Arguments Are force. It has sometime been cars out of depreciation on 2,000 quantity rates for shipping. During World War I. we in this v to railroads 31 De-Regulated!j (Continued . had nation's well Other "through the wringer" of nation¬ better, faster, lower-cost service alization because they couldn't for the customer? I think 1,300,000 employees of compete. They haven't got the and their representa¬ money and they have no way of railroads, getting , have industries the the was be driven by ' Let Railroads I of railroad competition to improve their own services ano facilities? Regulation of the rail¬ v It is my own feeling, of course, that only our dynamic enterpris¬ roads is often not serving the bes interests of the public—it is actu¬ ing system can achieve the great goals the American people are ally working against them. I need not tell you what a stim¬ setting. It is my own conviction that nationalization and regula¬ ulating effect progressive de¬ tion: lack the living spark. They regulation of railroads might have will never get the results they not only in this country, but promise. They lack creative throughout the world. For Amer¬ ica to turn away from regulation force. would be a tremendous stimulant Which Is Better System for to freedom-loving people every¬ Employees? where. It would be a reaffirma¬ The industries of England have tion of the American belief in the nationalization today because they individual if we were to start dedid not keep their private enter¬ socializing our railroads. prise house in order. They did These Are Ways to Reach Our not provide machines to increase Goals the productivity of the worker. What are some of the steps by They turned to cheap labor in¬ stead of helping the worker to which we can begin to approach profit system to the achieve¬ ment of additional objectives, our . eyes, ears (2187) CHRONICLE people believe that our own sys¬ wearing leg irons. If the railroads tem needs to progress, which, I are not permitted to operate at top believe, is exactly what it is doing. efficiency, how can we expect We are now being asked to gear' other forms of transportation tc in history in the last, 50 not know and understand any¬ years." A failure of the "crusade" thing about these subjects, terms, would not only diminish greatly financial and brokerage methods. the number of brokerage firms, or Stock brokers must find a "way would make, them selling agents investment ■ trusts, but of all round simplicity" to attract for ,the prevailing about stocks and corporationsi but these, "newcomers" do FINANCIAL & a 32 COMMERCIAL THE (2188) Our Economic Position Exceptionally (Continued from first page) credible, in our present-day view, is the fact that such tion of the brokers' banks. from At small por¬ a loans came the height of stock market speculation in 1929, : three-fourths some tributable to it of was at¬ lenders—in¬ other dividuals, business corporations, tradiing companies, and investment trusts. ... The shaky foundations of the speculative structure of 1929 were revealed. soon can Looking back, we that speculation was more see decisive than single in impairing the economic factor other any synthetics affords un¬ limited possibilities for new prodducts. Developments in home construction and home equipment offer tremendous opportunities for Position Exceptionally Strong j Today,, in contrast, our position exceptionally strong; and we is : look to confidence the of future with the experience in our ability to maintain that strength. Speculation has been virtually ab¬ sent during our years of postwar prosperity. Each the of markets. new consumer efficient farm tilizers More machinery is being developed constantly and new fer¬ chemicals. for and coming farm the market. Up to now, our factories have been so busy supplying the goods are on which could be most quickly pro¬ in duced, order fill to .accumu¬ lated demands, that they have not had opportunity an to re-gear machinery to the manufac¬ new products. With the buyers' markets, producers are beginning to the new processes available of ture can importance. their health of the nation. Economic in growing The field of use - is loys recessions in our use opportunities The them. to are discoveries and The enormous. industrial developments of recent provide years new a springboard for a of progress. era When I spoke to you last City at Atlantic reviewed our I year, our 'the most striking element of con¬ ^ trast with : : factor; today which is in almost equally sharp contrast to the past, is the gradual process of the postwar adjustments to normal competitive conditions. Business recessions in the past "were largely unforeseen. They owed their severity to a simultaneous readjustment of many have problems by the Treasury since the istence of a large volume of issues maturing each sible But the very ex¬ has made pos¬ flexible debt policy. Dur¬ a the two year which in years we had Federal budget surpluses, we were able to select for retirement those portions retirement the make the of maturing debt, of which would contribution maximum in stabilizing the economy. During the past year, although we have not had- a budget surplus, we have able been nonetheless of maturing marketable the proceeds of the portions from issues sale of nonmarketable debt issues. Due to the change in the budget this past picture year, we have not been able'to continue the deht reduction lined that program to you at I out¬ last annual meeting. The total amount of debt outstanding has been re¬ duced by only $750 million since last year. During this period, however, we have continued to widen the distribution of the public your There has been debt. increase an debt management opera¬ of over of government securities held by $2 billion in the amount nonbank investors. increase of maintaining confidence in the ties held about $1V2 billion in the amount of credit of the United States by pro¬ government securi¬ by individuals.' Most of' this increase has been in holdings: moting stable financial conditions a situation moved to this 1947, vent the prices of government se¬ adjustment in the Spring of Summer and 1948. Others, such as rayon and crude petro¬ leum, have more recently fallen into line. curities has ation I have just the and readjustments place in the economy—are only two of the many elements of strength injpur present situation. which gradual have taken falling been the beginning pre¬ sharply by Since reversed. of the year, govern¬ ment securities have been sold by Federal the Reserve in to order government bond prices going up too sharply. need of flexibility is im¬ keep factors which The from we open-market purchases. The situ¬ ' cited—the absence of speculation from The portant in public finances, as it is in private finance. The fiscal problems changed of the nation have greatly from period to have the problems of private enterprise. The fiscal tools Consumer Buying Supported by of one period have generally High Incomes proved unsuited to a subsequent It is extremely reassuring* to period. mote that consumer buying, for I have just said that our most example, is being supported by continuing high income levels and by a backlog of savings which has reached an all-time high. Personal ; of this year— incomes in March the at latest figure an little available—were annual rate of $214 billion, a below the all-time peak of last December, but well above the a year ago. Liquid assets of individuals—which is just an¬ other name for stored-up purchaslevel of power—amount to $200 billion at the present time. I could cite more statistics. But ing . v all point 1 in one direction: There are powerful factors in our present situation making for stability and progress on a highincome, high-employment level. And there evidences other are than statistics. ; . - period, are as important postwar to do objective during the period has been to of the United States, One hundred and fifty years ago the main fi¬ nancial problem of the newly born nation was to establish that credit. savings banks is almost as as that of the na¬ tion—the first savings bank was The history of long established in 1816—and in many respects, the problems of your in¬ stitutions have paralleled the fiscal problems of your country. attempting to build up confidence in your newly found¬ ed institutions at nearly the same You were time that same the nation the faced problem. We have been able in our recent poli¬ debt operations to keep our the struc¬ ture of the debt has been adapt¬ flexible because techniques, and new types equip¬ ment. classes. the new discoveries wartime materials, — atomic revolutionize within use new wartime One alone products based on a new manufacturing — could economic life relatively few years. The of light metals and their al¬ • of short-term . debt, with the cessity of refunding lion some ne¬ $50 bil¬ of. maturing government se¬ curities each year, has been continuation successful the to Let savings have at the figures for of liquid assets held by individuals. In 1948, it is esti¬ mated that total holdings of liquid assets held by individuals rose by approximately 1 billion dollars, and at the end of the year stood at an all-time high. other types When the into look we one actual savings operations which went to make up this total, and carry the figures back over the three-year period following the end of the war, : develop¬ interesting some ments become apparent, / Holdings of government securi¬ ties by individuals rose nearly 4V2%. But individuals increased share their loan and in savings by about holdings associations 48%, the largest gain of any type of savings. Their deposits in mu¬ tual savings banks increased 20%, Savings accounts in commercial banks were up 18%. Postal sav¬ ings accounts showed an increase of nearly 14%. Checking accounts of individuals gained 11%. Of the of forms various savings record which I Have citing is one which I know is familiar to all of you here. In my however, its significance hardly be overemphasized. I can Americans look us The been belief, Liquid Assets of Public Growing liquid assets, are saving for the They have confidence in future. what the future will bring—for themselves, and for their children. The more mutual, savings, banks,': With than 19 million depositors, have been' a powerful factor in molding the thrift, habits of the nation. The savings drives of the war years, as well as those since, benefited immeasurably have from the backlog has which of long guardian of as a trusted people's savings. history the will good from come your . - In closing, I should like to thank you, in particular, for the constructive assistance times whic|i you the government at all during the 18 years since your conference have given last assembled I have wel-, interest in fiscal af¬ here in Washington. corned your since fairs I came to the Treas¬ and have found your advice value. Your, rec¬ ury of inestimable during these years is ample will continue to bulwark of financial strength ord evidence that you be a in the nation now and in the gen¬ erations ahead. Adequate Bank Capital— Not a The FDIC This is misleading for two rea¬ Our saving bond program, after year, has been carrying the most extensive campaign savings that has ever been year on for known. bond advertising reaches into every city and vil¬ Savings lage. It searches out remote farms. It goes into homes and factories. It is in the newspapers and maga¬ zines, on the radio, and on tele¬ vision. must have been You I struck, as have been, by the interesting and persuasive angles which have been used to present the case for savings. Regular savings have been urged to provide for the fu¬ ture. That is the theme of all the advertisements, and the carefully chosen keynote of the advertising campaigns. And, all of the adver¬ tising is freely contributed. Our It compares banks and other tutions carry on. financial insti¬ Your group re¬ film short "as part of a program to improve pub¬ lic understanding of the function a savings bank in its nity" which is entitled, 'Achievement'." our an savings I bond commu¬ " 'A' believe program for that rates "A" for "Achievement" in pro¬ moting thrift. smaller The total, As I told you last year, it does seem to me that we are sell¬ other believe savings that the expense institutions. Treasury's I con¬ tinued campaign during the years since of latter, a much is the measure of risk and not the former. failure The FDIC the of ratio to rise is great increase in de¬ to the posits during the war with most the increase occurring in de¬ of posits in excess of $5,000. repayment in 1947 of $139.3 million of capital stock subscribed by the Federal due to the Reserve FDIC a Banks at the time of organization together with repayment of $47.4 million, part of original FDIC capital, sub¬ by the United States Treasury. Had this capital been left in the FDIC the ratio of cap¬ ital funds to total deposits of in¬ sured banks would have been scribed 0.77% instead of 0.65%. decline in the deposits banks With the of insured which has occurred during 1948 and the payment of another year's assessments, this ratio is now higher than it has been at any time since the establishment the five argument of "limited val¬ idity is the allegation that busi¬ ness failures during the period since the formation of the FDIC normal, that the period 1934-47 does not provide a true test of the risks to which the banking system is exposed over a longer period of time. Citing the compilation of Dun & Bradstreet, end of the war has o£ brought far greater gains in all rate of failure among terprises prior to business 1934 business all which was under circumstances favorable enterprises The extraordin¬ have operated. arily low business of rate and bank failures of recent years can¬ expected to continue in¬ In the past, severe business depressions and crises have come swiftly and without much warning. Estimates of fu¬ ture disbursements or loss by the be not cannot, therefore, the experience of Corporation the past upon few years." Although plies some this statement im¬ skepticism of the. fu¬ outlook ture as three-quarters of a century, it is nevertheless proper to explore other methods of maintaining that annual increment in the capital of the FDIC which the management Corporation deems desir¬ \ ' \ | of that able. , Blocked Assets of Member Banks 12 Federal Reserve Banks owned in* toto by the member banks. The stock 85 to 110 per year per 10,000 con¬ the average of the annual rates during the 68-year period, 1866-1933, was 99 per 10,000 con¬ latter Banks have paid of the an in Federal Re¬ amount equal to 3% of their own capital. On this paid-in capital they have quad¬ ruple liability while their return is limited to 6% of the amount actually eral paid in. Reserve These 12 Fed¬ Banks have been profitable, particularly during the last two years. This is largely due to Reserve ary en¬ from painted by other government agencies assume that it has merit. If the actuarial evi¬ dence of the past must be dis¬ carded on the ground that futurerisks are greater than those which have been incurred in the last for the Depressions Crises" have been below and prosperity and the recovery serve A final in¬ years, is attributable chiefly the prevailing conditions of are and ■ num¬ auguration of deposit insurance, and especially during the past The of the FDIC. "Severe Business small ber of bank failures since the be based The failure of the ratio to rise is further .. remarkably "The definitely. cap¬ ital-bank deposits due eraged 40 per year per 10,000 con¬ cerns. " ■' the FDIC states that "The normal not of deposits total motional campaigns, which savings a capital advertising complements, rather than detracts from, the pro¬ of FDIC insured banks instead of total of insured with been to only 0.65%. the annual rate has never higher than 70, and has av¬ in 1934, table a showing that its capital and sur¬ 1934 amounted to 0.73% of total deposits in insured banks, whereas in 1947 it amounted to deposits. thrift. presents plus in flexible debt policy. But our savings bond cam¬ paigns not only sell savings bonds, they sell something else which is of direct and important signif¬ icance to you, That is the habit of insured banks, the first line of protection against losses, was more than 6.5 times these substandard assets. of a The capital of FDIC 1947. sons. taining Serious Problem (Continued from page 21) public debt management pro¬ gram. It is an important tool which we have for use in main¬ our ing savings bonds at the - The existence of a large volume development energy our in able to flexibility. This sav¬ to expect ended. war But other types of done even better. bonds, and we have had; selling job to achieve this a cently released is not ac¬ cidental. To a large extent it is the result of forethought—the re¬ sult of planning government is¬ sues to meet the present and fu¬ ture needs of the various investor developing Sales of reason success. maintain confidence in the credit cies only at the beginning of our peacetime growth. We have made a start only toward We after the had. of savings stable economy. It has been our aim to keep our and radios, ed their we the to nonbank investors has been an tions in the past year have been a continuation of our program of When I spoke to you last year I policies flexible so as to be in a But the situation is different position to deal rapidly with the asked your cooperation in the Se¬ now. changes in the financial picture. curity Loan Drive—a savings bond Adjustments to a more normal The desirability of such flexibility selling effort which we were un¬ Now, I competitive economy have actual¬ has been forcibly demonstrated in dertaking at that time. ly been going on since the very the year that has elapsed since should like to ask for your con¬ close of the war. Many have been your last annhal conference. Dur¬ tinued cooperation in the Savings practically completed. Some lux¬ ing the early part of the last half Bonds Opportunity Drive which ury industries were affected in of 1948 there were large market will start next Monday. Our sav¬ 1946. Machine tools, auto tires, sales of government securities. In ings bond program is important and others followed in Textiles, shoes, auto trucks, furniture, household equipment, and various other'industries start¬ realized. been ter than only currency holdings in hands of individuals" fell off. government securities from bank phases of the economy. ' individual otherwise ings bonds have been much bet¬ retire to principal sources of funds for effecting the switch of Flexibility in Debt Management Our Strong war. Thursday, May 19, 1949 major categories of savings than would management end of the ing CHRONICLE One of the economy. previous periods. A second debt faced return to normal public debt management opera¬ business history has been featured tions during the postwar period to by heavy liquidation of specula- show you how our fiscal and :five accounts;, and the absence of monetary policies were directed this feature today is, to my. mind, toward achieving stability in the . the FINANCIAL & the fact that the Federal Board, under discretion¬ statutory authority, has frozen portions of member substantial bank assets in the form of reserves against deposits. , cerns; During the 14 years since the beginning of deposit insurance cerns. The member bank reserves the Federal 12 Reserve Banks have invested in government securities, thus depriving the member banks 1 Volume 169 of any return posits THE these blocked dethe member banks nevertheless first established was These ratios credit control. have since These lost all when was Federal passed, $20 Reserve required to re¬ in actually are high. as Act reserves deposits than twice more Of the billion in member bank re¬ held by the 12 Federal Re¬ serves Banks serve at the end of than half represents more 1948 tons, an tification in y...Income sound banking the- Blocked Assets on banks become instruments wholly have own for imple¬ menting^"modern"doctrines economic control at equal to earnings According to the FDIC 160% in 1947. sterlized the invested of to at ceding week, 148,303,000 kwh. or in this rate, paid the U. S. Treasury $166,690,356 as "interest on out¬ standing Federal Reserve notes." What this amounts to is special a discriminatory tax upon the mem¬ ber banks of the Federal Reserve It constitutes a penalty membership in the system, a penalty which has no demon¬ strable relation to sound banking. Nothing in the discussions pre¬ ceding passage of the Federal Re¬ Act serve in or ever Congressional de.- contemplated the bitrary deflection of Federal Federal Reserve April, 1947 through strained 16 of The Re¬ earnings into the This was achieved by Treasury. the ar¬ Bank serve AUTO Board position Federal of SUCCESSIVE instrument most of WEEK OUTPUT LAST WEEK BY 1 > CONTINUED TO BE DISPUTES LABOR nishes ventilating windows, to Studebaker, Kaiser-Frazer well as Hudson, to instrument Last panels primary products. showed There of the Interest discriminatory a tax Federal Reserve Board would broad discretionary that manner the would banking system and pose it to socialization. Justice if use authority a blouses, also this would be week "interest on the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in lieu of assessments Such on an any insured further banks. arrangement would permit the banks to increase earnings, raise the ratio capital to risk assets, improve the appeal of bank vestors and of new sale stocks to promote bank successful equity smallness of the capital equities of banks" jeopardizes the safety of It deposits. would insure operation of • the continued banks under pri¬ management. It would re¬ vate our the suspicion of a calculated move conspiracy designed to undermine banking our mote its structure and pro¬ in member minimum reserve banksj-'effective requirements May Si" year Manufacturing, construction for most of the week's commercial and decline. In the trades, retailing failures Atlantic, East North Central Pacific States and re¬ while New England and the West South Central Region had the only sharp increases in casualties, reporting twice as many as in the previous week. Considerably more failures occurred a year ago FOOD PRICE Inc., in all areas INDEX except the Mountain District. TURNS DOWNWARD of remained volume approximately FOLLOWING The wholesale food price index, compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, moved slightly lower last week following the mild advance a week ago. The May 10 figure at $5.68, compared with week previous, and renresented comparative 1948 index of $6.93. a COMMODITY PRICE INDEX DEVELOPS LOWER TREND IN PAST WEEK Bradstreet, Inc., moved week and closed commodity price index, compiled by Dun & in a rather slightly lower than narrow a week tered 248.04 on the range ago. on May 10, compared with 248.54 corresponding date of last year. on during the past The index regis¬ quantities of meat. wheat contract recovered a and closed with tightening in that delivery. a moderate Cash wheat net was gain, rather year South corn market was under over a some wide pressure area with of the belt. prices in both the futures and cash markets reflecting slight declines for the period. corn from the country were comparatively light while the movement into the government loan was said to be increasing. Corn Receipts of planting and preparations were housewares and was country in the period, ended estimated to be from on Wednesday above to 3% 1% below that ago and by the Pacific Coast down 1 to down 5 and Northwest up 1 * Many merchants evinced in the week. The dollar increased volume of interest wholesale in seasonal orders rose was goods slightly, moderately below that of the corresponding week a year ago. The number of buyers attending many wholesale markets rose moderately in the week and was noticeably above that of the com¬ parable week in 1943. Department store sales on a country-wide basis, taken from as Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended May 7, 1949, increased by 1% from the like period of last year and compared with a decrease of 4% in the preceding week. For the four weeks ended May 7, 1949, sales registered a decrease from the correspond¬ ing period a year ago, Retail trade stimulus from the in and for the year to date New warmer York the past a decline of 3%. received week weather which tended demand for summer merchandise. sales again dropped below that of some to increase the However, dollar volume one year of ago. According to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department store New York City for the weekly period to May 7, 1949, de¬ clined by 4% from the same period last year. In the preceding week a decrease of 8% was registered below the similar week of 1948. For the four weeks ended May 7, 1949, a decrease of 5% sales in was reported under that of last year and for the year to date volume decreased by 5%. G. E. Opens in Miami Beach Hoffman & Goodwin MIAMI I. reported well under way in many BEACH, FLA.—Francis Co., members of the York Stock Exchange, have duPont & New rains furniture more to down 3. re¬ dull Moderate government buying of cash wheat was a supporting factor at times. The outlook for the winter wheat crop continued generous slightly Francis I. duPont Co. with price trends mixed. favorable, aided by bought May 3, and 284.82* Movements in leading grain markets were irregular with volume of trading below that of a week ago. After early weakness, the May flecting high level the past with that of the cor¬ a even the corresponding levels of following percentages: New England un¬ changed to down 4, East, Midwest and Southwest down 2 to up 2, drop of 18.0% below the The index represents the sum total of the price per pound of 31 foods in general use. The daily wholesale steady at popular. the RISE A WEEK AGO a by many apparel summer year ago. recorded $5.71 purchased were Interest in men's Regional estimates varied from but ported declines, than a a accounted dipped while wholesaling increased slightly. The Middle accessories gifts. slightly. Retail volume for the increased service other Among the best-selling home items in many areas were bedding, upholstered chairs, small tables and floor coverings. The retail vol¬ of china, gift ware, cutlery and kitchenware increased slightly. The demand for refrigerators rose moderately. Hardware, decorating materials and garden supplies were in large demand. when 81 ago $5,000 • temperatures as ume slightly to 38 from 35, doubling the number in the similar week 1948. The socialization. 1 Editor's Note: The Federal Reserve Board announced April ZS a slight reduc¬ tion a under last week last year. 1948. Housewives continued to purchase sub¬ Smoked meats, beef and pork products The supplies of fresh fruit and vegetables increased in many sections during the week. Interest in candy and. fancy baked goods rose moderately. stantial in in¬ issues. It would thus remove the grounds for FDIC apprehension that "The bank losses for apparel responding week in were declined to 133 cap¬ ital out of of with and volume of casualties demand noticeably rose unit of last week served outstanding were paid seven the Small the food with corresponding week of 1939. occurred. apparel for Mother's Day weeks, but exceeded the 100 and 98 which comparable weeks of 1948 and 1947. Failures re¬ mained far below the prewar level with a total of 321 reported in the MILD better Federal Reserve notes" to and industrial failures continued to decline in the ending May 12, falling to 171 from 193 in the preceding week Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports* This was the smallest number of more in than in the previous week. Commercial Failures involving liabilities of $5,000 or from 158 last week, but were higher than rise slightly below that of the similar summer slippers increased Retail week weaken predis¬ in moderate a was Shoppers in¬ im¬ was climbed in many areas and women's cotton dresses, lightweight suits, short-length coats andt sportswear increased demand. Hosiery, 1,892,000 in the Canadian production to date is 'estimated 92,000 units, compared with 95,000 last year. % in a Lead comparable week week, but it like period of last year. in pound, marking high of 23 V2 cents. slightly below that of a year ago with most shoppers continuing to largely upon the moderate-priced goods, states Dun 80 Bradstreet, Inc., in its current survey of trade. the week's casualties related a concentrate Production of cars and trucks in the U. S. for the year to date is estimated by Ward's at 2,169,000 units, compared with occurred and cents Stimulated by warm weather and by special promotions, shop¬ increased their purchases in the period ended cn Wednesday of last week. Total retail dollar volume was as BUSINESS FAILURES LOWER FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE WEEK 18 cents from the postwar pers output consisted of 89,534 cars and 20,374 trucks built in the United States and 4,190 cars and 2,465 trucks in Canada. at metals V2-cent to cut was AND WHOLESALE TRADE FAVORED LAST WEEK BY WARM WEATHER BUT CONTINUES BELOW 1948 VOLUME and 127,255 in year ago ' further drop of 1 cent and zinc V2 -cent in the week. a consumers a ' reduc¬ fabricated new RETAIL trim Chevrolet, Copper total decline of 5V2 V - metal ' ■ ADVERSELY and and the belt. Prices for nonferrous metals continued to sag with tions announced in both Chrysler, it added. The total compares with 83,275 units the like week of 1941. Act. never for its in from reports of new foreign allocations last-minute rush to enter cotton into the gov¬ Total repossessions for the season were 807,100 bales, leaving 4,364,500 bales under CCC loan as of April 28. Crop reports indicated excessive rainfall delayed planting throughout 2.8% details Section Reserve of the Act country's banks. Cer¬ they never believed the tainly a amounted to 5,171,600 bales. decrease of 115,905 cars, a This week's prospects were considerably brightened by set¬ tlement of the Motor Products Corp. dispute, which cut 8,500 units from Chrysler's output last week, Ward's said. This supplier fur¬ the upon comparative .. . Volume of sales reported in the ten spot markets fell to 95,400 bales, from 111,900 the previous week, but were more than double the 41,200 reported in the corresponding week a year ago. Loan entries from the 1948 crop during the week ended April 28 rose to 61,800 bales, from 35,900 the previous week; repossessions fell slightly to 51,200 bales. Total loan entries for the season through April 28 to 130,113 (revised) units in the week preceding, due to continued strikes, "Ward's Automotive Reports" states. in tended that the statute would be¬ an v. ernment loan. Production of cars and trucks in the United States and Canada for the past week declined to an estimated 116,563 units, compared special and a construction the authors come showed Firmness stemmed System. for bates livestock of developed irregular day-to-day trends but values of the period were slightly higher than a week ago. by the ECA and prewar year. V the Federal 1948 was stronger at the week-end, statistical position. Lard prices classes ■ at the end higher than the figure re¬ ported for the week ended May 15, 1948 and 640,993,000 kwh. in excess of the output reported for the corresponding period two years billion curious coincidence that Reserve Banks in a 12 all ,. distributed by the electric light and power industry for the week ended May 14, was estimated at 5,256,976,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This represented a decrease of 26,616,000 kwh. below output in the pre¬ AFFECTED av¬ operating earnings in 1947. It is Coffee improving but ; - , trading restricted Cotton markets The amount of electrical energy member $10 corresponding week in 1948 and 13.1% below the similar period in 1947. ELECTRIC OUTPUT FALLS FOR 15th member banks would have had an addition of $160 million to their the steadily a downward steadiness. Loadings of revenue freight for the week ended May 7, 1949, totaled 768,337 cars, according to the Association of American Rail¬ This was a decrease of 17,107 cars, or 2.2% below the pre¬ ceding week. It represented a decrease of 111,950 cars, or 12.7% below the Assuming assets amounting were turned roads. on erage rate of income on securities held by insured commercial banks banks reflecting and ago demand . , The domestic flour market continued slow with CARLOADINGS DECLINE IN LATEST WEEK BELOW PREVIOUS WEEK AND LIKE PERIODS OF 1948-1947 of cost to the a the not less than $10 billion of assets. these year manufacturer , to current and nearby needs. month ago, a 1,719,600 tons, or 95% of the old capacity one 1,281,210 tons for the average week in 1940, highest ago. Thus the institutions which the member was Africa. ar¬ ory.i owners 98.4% or and or bitrary isolation of member bank earning assets which finds no jus¬ ■ . slow vand large spot offerings, coupled with sizable arrivals from West . the relation . Depressing influences included This week's operating rate is equivalent to 1,762,400 tons of steel ingots and castings for the entire industry, compared to 1,773,500 tons a week ago, 1,814,000 con¬ banks are definitely liquid today than they were more Industry The American Iron and Steel Institute announced this week the operating rate of steel companies having 94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry will be 95.6% of capacity for the week beginning May 16, 1949, as against 96.2% in the preceding week, or a decline of 0.6%. tact with their orthodox function. Although 33 Oats displayed considerable steadiness with prices rising slightly, aided by good demand for the heavy varieties. '• Cocoa showed further weakness, with spot prices down IV2 cents per pound during the week. ;■ • that prevailed minimum liquidity was abandoned in favor of its use as an instru¬ serves (2189) sections. (Continued from page 5) < \ the current steel rate, they are on the probable outcome of labor negotiations and the outlook for steel business the last half of this year, concludes "The Iron Age." until Aug. 15, 1936. At that point the established character of a bank reserve as an assurance of ment of CHRONICLE on respectively 7, 10, and 13%. On time deposits required reserves 3%. FINANCIAL . reserve requirements for country, reserve city and central reserve city were were & The State of Trade and service. When the Federal Reserve Sys¬ i tem COMMERCIAL on which must Number 4804 opened a branch office at Avenue, under the man¬ agement of Benjamin Richards. Mr. Richards was formerly Miami with manager which he for Bache had been & (Special SAN to The Financial Chronicle) V.¬ DIEGO, CALIF.—Glen E. Gilpin has become associated with 2809 Collins Beach Gilpin With Walston, Co. Walston, 625 Mr. formerly assistant San, Diego associ¬ ated for many years. Sam Williams is also connected with the new branch. Hoffman Broadway. Brothers with ner and Merrill & Beane & Goodwin, Gilpin manager office prior of was of the Buckley thereto was Lynch, Pierce, Fen- ■ COMMERCIAL THE (2190) 34 employment than to, main¬ tain margins—particularly since the effect on profits in many in-< dustries is about the same in maintain The Readjustment of Business If (Continued from page 2) building starts. is there substantial a it will be be¬ fall in incomes origi¬ awards and in new these expenditures, Waiting for prices to fall became cause I do not believe that a sub¬ stantial drop in expenditures on housing or on industrial plant and equipment is likely in the imme¬ conditions. more, of individuals and enter¬ number a prises who wait for prices to fall, the more rapidly prices are likely to fall and the greater will be the number of persons who post¬ diate future. too conditions. buying are Consequently, decisions postponing of tages more limited. result is to be that noted condition of economy? Are there many weak spots, so that the economy is not in a good condition to resist means the in What future. near is willingness the is be¬ has is this. One and is more two ways other of the ing limited by large increases in Bringing out new and more at¬ expenditures by local and state tractive goods cannot ordinarily contraction easily becomes cumu¬ governments and by the national be done overnight. Changes in lative? government. In 1948 the con¬ goods take time, and need to be On the whole, the economy is sumption of goods by government tested out before the new goods in a remarkably strong position. will be $7 billion or $8 billion are offered to customers. Never¬ There are four reasons for this more than last year and the total conclusion. One is that debts are theless, much can probably be expenditures of government will done to bring out new and im¬ low in relation to incomes. Con¬ grow by even larger amounts. The proved models in the near future sumer indebtedness, for example, rise in spending by governments because many firms have antici¬ is about 8% of personal incomes has not been sufficient to prevent pated for several years an early after taxes, and mortgage indebtsome contraction of the economy. end to the postwar boom. Conse¬ ness is low in relation to incomes, Residential mortgage debt, for ex¬ Nevertheless, it has been an im¬ quently, they have been quietly portant limiting influence. All of preparing new models and new ample, is about 25% of personal these considerations lead to the incomes after taxes as compared products to put on the market as the contraction soon as sales need to be stimu¬ conclusion that with contraction with 35% in result the 1939. The will not be long or deep. slightly larger than,, their liquid assets; in 1948 liquid assets of ind i v i d u a 1 s and unincorporated businesses were What times their debts. In the second demand consider what The to deposits. made policy increases and demand deposits; in In the third place, inventories are low in rela¬ tion to sales—partly because of the skill of managements in learn¬ 1948, about 3.6 times. ing how to operate with small in¬ ventories. Finally, the backlog which of. demand during the accumulated has by war no means been completely eliminated. The age at which cars are scrapped is about .12.5 years. In midyear 1948 there were 5.2 mil¬ average lion passenger over 12.5 years of age and 2.6 million were within one cars year of this age. Fur¬ thermore, the scrappage of cars in 1948 was only about half of nor¬ mal. ress Finally, only limited has also been made in prog¬ catch¬ the accumulated mand for housing. >. ing on up de¬ long is the period of ad¬ justment likely to last and how it is likely to be? Is it that the contraction of might be fairly severe possible business and to us first government recommendation government is negative. The in President for taxes has increases which the These asked. would govern¬ make the to produce a tax sur¬ of cash receipts over cash expenditures. During a period of contraction such a surplus would aggravate the drop in the de¬ plus mand for goods. The fact that the and fairly prolonged? This would happen if there were a substantial drop in expenditures for durable this effect could be stances teracted by public or debt coun¬ paying off part of the held by individuals commercial banks — thus in¬ creasing the volume of funds avail¬ able investment. for investment when however, and need only very outside At a time contracting, when enterprises is limited funds, amounts of repayment way of getting the cash surplus The back President taxes creased This has would asked on reduce available funds government's in circulation. for corporations. corporate the for expenditure plant and equipment. To on in¬ some this effect might be offset extent goods, housing, or plant by corporations increasing the and equipment. For example, if amount of money obtained from expenditures by business on plant the outside. This offset, however, and equipment, which were near¬ would be quite incomplete. One ly $19 billion in 1948, were to tax increase, however, is neces¬ drop by a little more than one- sary — that is, the increase in third to about $12 billion (the taxes for the old age insurance level of 1946), there would be and annuity scheme. A regularly (other things being equal) an ad¬ scheduled increase in this tax is ditional drop in expenditures for due next January. It should not consumer goods (because of un¬ be postponed. Any possible defla¬ employment in the capital goods tionary effect can be offset by industries), and the gross national liberalizing the old age pensions product might decline by perhaps —a badly needed and long-over¬ twice the fall in expenditures on due step. . plant and equipment. the be not do The believe, however, that drop in business is likely to deep or prolonged. I either know when seded of no contraction by of way will expansion. be on may state with confidence, I think, that the postponement of the purchase of non-durable consumer goods important cause traction over an or semi-durable will not be an for business con¬ extended period. lending • borrowing. and The greater availability of credit will have super¬ government has already steps to encourage several taken predicting One main In omy. reliance a lion and 36 a the limited demand modities, which are immediate for thpse effect com¬ such as automobiles, in strong demand to¬ day. Eventually easier credit will have a more general effect—that is, when the demand for goods begins to pick up, easier credit will permit it to pick up faster. shifting from wartime produc¬ peacetime production, the country by tion the houses, and new The very fact that deci¬ have been postponed its of employment. do an prices of new and to discard more old ones. concerns cutting do like not prices. It is however, that the prices which were appropriate when in¬ dividuals were willing to spend $1.21 on consumer goods for every plain, increase of $1 in incomes are not when individuals expenditures for con¬ goods by only 68 cents for appropriate raise their sumer dollar increase in incomes. Many managers will argue that every they cannot afford to reduce prices—that their margins are too small. It is true that margins in many industries are small advantage the have the temporarily stimulate ponement of buying? because lower prices of for example, encourage people to buy more new things of relative to prices the same reducing prices relative wages? Would not wage in¬ and in managements should not decide 'against reducing prices without taking into account the cost of not reducing them. If prices are not cut, buying will drop and, as it drops, profits will also fall. On the other haM, if prices are re¬ duced, volume will be partly maintained, but margins will be cut—unless efficiency increases. purchases of goods and thus their standard of living by 5% over last year? Francis Gallaudei With this Jones B. Shannon & Go. Wages will rise somewhat in some industries, but wage under present condi¬ tions will not be particularly ef¬ fective in sustaining the demand year increases for In other words, goods. rais¬ ing wages relative to prices is not reducing to equivalent relative to prices There are two wages. It is be in profits would be less. plain, however, that it would sacrifice margins to better to Chronicle) Financial r with Jones the past was Co., & Shannon B. Mr. Gallaudet in Buhl Building. an- officer of Mc¬ Donald, Moore & Hayes, Inc. the purchas¬ Grimm & Co. to Admit cash and bank William T. Baker to Firm deposits which men hold. Con¬ Grimm & Co., 44 Wall Street, sequently, as I have pointed out, they encourage people to convert New York City, members of the part of these holdings into goods. New York Stock Exchange, will admit William T. Baker, a memiMore important, price cuts, as I have also pointed out, make new ber of the Exchange, to general goods cheaper relative to old partnership, and Alice P. Baird to goods, and thus encourage people limited partnership on June 1. Mr. Baker has recently been ac¬ to replace old goods with new. tive as an individual floor broker. I have emphasized that competi¬ On May 31, Lester Talbot, mem¬ tion between new goods and old goods is one of the most impor¬ ber of the Stock Exchange, will retire from partnership in Grimm tant kinds of competition in the cuts increase price ing power of the & Co. economy. Any rise in wages relative to prices (or drop in prices relative to wages) has some tendency to cause employers to drop the less profitable parts of their lines and some of their less efficient workers. crease under Hence, will reduce the incomes of business concerns. This will mean will have less to that enterprises spend, and the drop in business spending will be accentuated. Consequently, wage increases may fail to increase total spend¬ ing and may reduce it. The cause tendency for price cuts to employers to drop the less spend the drop to The (Special DETROIT, MICH.—Francis C. Gallaudet has become associated important differences. One is that and sacrificing margins and doing a better job of maintaining volume. No one knows under which policy * ' post¬ between (1) maintaining prices sacrificing volume or (2) its and products its salesmanship to induce the people of the country to increase their profitable parts of their lines or their less efficient workers or to Business, therefore, has a choice good enough job of a improving American Can year. business do present conditions, wage increases at the best will not produce much rise years. In fact, when corporate in consumer spending and they profits are properly computed, may produce no rise at all. Fur¬ margins per dollar of sales are thermore, if wages are increasing than efficiency, the in¬ only about 4.4 cents. Nevertheless, faster that, when costs are properly computed, margins have not in¬ creased during the last three last sessed force than it posr labor efficient comparison with price cuts that they do not arouse the expecta¬ tion of lower prices - and thus clothing, idea to as creases expenditures sumer wages goods, Business An increase in conr of 5% over last year will make it possible for the country to maintain full employment for a larger and more the problem. prices and thus enable workers to buy more goods. Is not raising kinds of semi-durable many relation in incomes sumer ability to maintain a high level Cannot business equally good job in 1949? Half of the job is seeing clearly the nature and the magnitude of bring about a rise in the purchases of consumer goods is to raise wages. Wage increases, say the unions, will raise con¬ houses to business surprised VII thing in Back 1946, when industry was Some of the unions believe that mil¬ insurmountable. 1945 and * to are means will pick up. business of in bank cash, that sooner or later demand means an well supplied with deposits, and other liquid assets, and indebtedness is small. The principal obstacles in the way of a rise in consumer buying are (1) that consumers, have satisfied a large part of theit* most urgent needs and (2) that many persons are disposed to wait for the quality of goods to im¬ prove and for prices to drop. Cer¬ tainly these obstacles are by no people its of spend¬ and employment? I do not know. Certainly conditions are favorable. As I have indicated, nature, cannot go on indefi¬ nitely. the, econ¬ country which has 34 automobiles million the because buying, • . production at¬ be ■ • stimulate ing sufficiently to produce early and vigorous upturn sions to buy kinds of competition in the vm business Can After all,, postpone¬ it. to of ment very stimulating cars was consumer I tached not should importance obviously taking away from the people more than it was have much to do with the rate at which people discard Old cars and giving back to them in the form The prices of new of expenditures would tend to re¬ old houses. duce the incomes throughout the goods affect the demand for all economy. Under some circum¬ kinds of durable goods and even government uncer¬ ing. There is no way of entirely avoiding this effect, but too much sales, however, will have to be price cuts. Price cuts have two advantages. One is that they increase the purchasing power of the cash and bank de¬ posits which men hold. Conse¬ quently, they encourage people to convert part of these holdings into goods. More important, price cuts make new goods cheaper relative to old goods, and thus encourage people to replace old goods for new. Competition be¬ tween new goods and old goods is one of the most important the public debt is not an effective How severe the about should, refuse ment of IV ■ the principal be about 5.9 times personal holdings cash limit might do. In 1939 expen¬ ditures for consumer goods were of by govern¬ to of hasten place, the rate of spending is low in relation to holdings of cash and done business the contraction the upturn? Let depth two and one-half be can or introduce cuts under present condi¬ preferable to wage in¬ method of stimulating business.— the way to The ment price tainties into the economy and in¬ duce some postponement of buy¬ lated. in of the present reluctance it not a mistake to cut Do not price cuts aggra¬ vate rather than cure the present difficulties of business? It is true ratio of liquid assets is also low. In 1939 the debts, both short-term and long-term, of individuals and unincorporated businesses were up prices? that are cuts is day, cuts tions is : and equipment Consequently, minimum. creases as a people and enterprises to spend is partly created by the expecta¬ tion that prices in the near future will be lower than they are to¬ that debts to its account When effect of price the to cut his expen¬ plant on a price to the ability of managements Since to buy. of doing goods, is by reducing prices. to good volume of orders a inclined less ditures maintain prices. by bringing out new attractive is sacrificing volume in order to to con¬ one getting efficiency, one sees price cuts are far preferable that confronting task plain. "It stimulating Business Finally, contraction of the economy The business a larger demand some time a the traction? of length and more of step to business do to reduce can severity for upon VI the position efficiency from organization. taken allowing 40% of the cost of new plant and equipment to be charged off in the first year after purchase. man¬ a advantageous an ask government of England—namely, drop in buying which results from a decision to postpone simply What is the general in position to lay off workers. Fur¬ thermore, the employer who is which has cut prices is agement equipment by adopting a de¬ vice employed by the Socialist to Furthermore, either case. and deferring purchases by than six, nine, or twelve It steps which the govern¬ might take would be to stimulate expenditures on plant in months. im¬ useful ment postpone buying usually do not to III still are great. Furthermore, the advan¬ buying. At the present time, waiting for prices to fall has probably become the most im¬ portant single element in business pone needs* The most the of mediate nating from other causes. Further¬ major determinant of business The < greater the a of One iri drop employment sacrifice 19, 1949 Thursday, May CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & ment less is plant on limited by and equip¬ the tendency bring about a volume of sales, and the employer who is selling more physical units because he has reduced prices is not in a of price larger cuts physical to Hexter & Co. Formed Financial to The (Specie.! & ter at to engage securities in the Officers are Richard K. business. tin J. Weil, Secretary. Mar¬ Richard K. formerly with C. B. was Abbett & Co. brey & N. President; \ Carlyn Hexter, Hexter, Vice-President, and Hexter l been formed with 8943 Wilshire Boule¬ has Co. offices vard Chronicle) CAL.—Hex¬ BEVERLY HILLS, and Carter H. Cor- In the past he was of Investment Fund Dis¬ Co. President tributors of Los Angeles.; Hamilton Keller Is With 1 Paine, Webber Firm (Special to The Financial LOS ANGELES, ilton C. Keller ciated with son & Street. was Inc. Chronicle) CALIF.—Ham¬ has become asso¬ Paine, Webber, Jack¬ Curtis, 626 South Spring Mr. Keller for many years with Wagenseller & Durst, Volume 169 Number THE 4804 (Continued from page 4) " planning to share in the profits of American industry. For the man who wonders cessful work work much average man take a peek at this type of operation, find out how the Social you units of sale the Security plan .works, Mrs. Brown, or Mr. higher than the who goes out just for to Jones, think whoever and else you can if you can't render a serv¬ see ice. see Because it is in service that • will find successful selling. you Advice to Now, getting what the older men on to do can to little gad¬ one get here to be very successful in closing of substantial orders, the and also on average orders. You know, in Keystone we have about 51,000 people who use these funds —more in to-day than at history—and Keystone is time average Vin high, higher the rather you can use any than the industry in general, more7 than $3,000 per person.- And one little time; you have to be a little patient. more the in lady lady tor You probably heard doctor and the of story the the community, and the talking about the doc¬ was and said, "What do you think of him?" and she said, "You know, he takes so much time with me that you would think I was his only patient, and yet he is the most successful doc¬ someone in .the tor community." Gentle¬ I he months, of, prospect calling on man told him a and in the prospect, that he had made about dollars in the always been who a man difficult as know this across came about was as different approaches to in¬ a three or million a market, that he had successful with se¬ curities; that he went to the Su¬ Court of the United States preme time the at in case the of Standard studied 1912 and oil Oil sub¬ sidiaries, and he bought oil stocks, and' time that from this to he spent his money buying more oil securities, the last thing in going to do was and the world he was take the advice of a broker. than more even that, he And wasn't this will take you a little going to pay 8% to buy any trust. •V: Welly that salesman, as every time, probably three or four of the reasons; I think! that salesman in Keystone is, was Key■calls, but your job will be done Stone has been successful is that trained .to leave a constructive intelligently, it will be done well.; we have a constructive suggestion And there is one more thing suggestion, regardless of the bar¬ to offer to about every prospect that is very important with refer-; rage that came about in opposi¬ we contact... ' tion. And here is the turning point ence to the planning of this type Now, if you think of what you oP-the $100,000 order in this case | of program, which I ana going to f r o can do with the man who said he money, you will find use in reference to another piece that you can do about four wouldn't buy, one simple question: things. of literature that I have found t6„ "Mr.-rBrown,. I don't think I can First, you can put money to work be very effective in the planning for reserves, second for help.you. As a matter of fact, I income, of this type Of sale, and it involves third for income and don't- think my firm could help growth, and one thing Harold Danser referred fourth for growth, or you make.a million dollars, and if appreciation, to, and the thing that every insure or speculation. we could, I- wouldn't be here sell¬ When you call on ance company talks about, and; a prospect, it is ing you, or trying to sell you. But important to find (2191) And 280 this man—and can't do it—this what out he wants. And the makes has he prefers to participate in. It may be income. If it is, don't try to sell him. Try to educate him, try to assist him. And if you just turn find classes this page, you over there for: income of securities wili certain available; point out to him the diversifica¬ tion possible in those different classes. If it is income and growth, fine. If it is growth, some classes. more is reserves, here is here And are if it class known a as B-l, B for bonds, and quality, where he can aside a portion of his funds for Government bonds and good corporation bonds. 1 set in pretty is service. The his closing business. \ Planning Investment Program ] Now. there is other thing I After you have one would like to add. like to And if back to go when prospect down. the it is see market is Monday and the a would like to ask you just one question, and the question is this: Do you think your wife and familyknow much about securities as and raining, type of presentation does three things. It causes a man to sell intelligently at the start in such a way talk to as three points. on is, going to go his with client First, the market second, it still, third .up; going to stand going to go down. "And I is it want you to know, Mr. Brown, that re¬ gardless of what happens to the market, I am going to come back to see you every three months as matter a of service just to check account." est?" Do you when know to ' - he And "What said, do you by that?" Well, the salesman the story and the man mean him told said, "Draw about it up interview the come Then he more." back. He little later and the and told came back of end two So at the hours the three or wanted man to know more about it. client at the time, said, "You know, it in¬ client, prospective the vestment program, the investor gets a check every month in the year. And if the market is up, the salesman Then the to the came clincher, and he said, "Why don't buy $100,000 of Keystone Funds today, and save about $25,you taxes?" And the 000 in said, man salesman goes to see him and sug¬ gests one move, if the market is that out?" And the salesman said, "Well, if you down—and were there is "How do you work to We down,- using the Dow Jones indus¬ have been talking about plans and methods up here. We have three trial average—he calls on him at this level, and if the market is specific, tangible tools standing still, will be about out what the wants, »then the next thing to try to find man out is what securities he has. or to obtain the final result. the second methods We have thing, to which I will refer as block a capital sheet, and again you have a repetition of the four points that I talked about (1) with or reference to And they all are capitalized up here. . . Take the man's list of securities and in put the different securities the different classes. If you don't do any reason know yourselves and you would we render. for like to a the man So holds. list of securities, what Then you come to the third one. Raving known what he wants what he to him has, then on ment his program, name with a plan, and with year. a you come and back the third visit and you point out to him and list in a planned invest¬ personalized, with with of your securities this a name, in particular check every month in the - market on it is it has been for as matter of on A second about a to look at this service sale point, take presentation'here, "Investment Program for These Times." It will cause you to an back to go see prospect will find the your regularly, and you by-product of this call, this ice call, will and of such nature a serv¬ that utes more,.! believe it off, as Harold Danser every other successful sales¬ pay closed. was tell could I others that or in that only point,—not but not, that And the turning it you instance dozens of principle,— with a man; try to find out his problem. And that is where learning the words as on as the music salesman was And he suggested the man took a in. comes That alert enough to turn was thing, $100,000 order in tax point reminds me of successful salesmen on* company shares in have in mind one investment this man area. I who* is about 50, who took time out to study :the investment company field, study its growth and devel¬ opment, and who decided to work on our particular phase of the in¬ dustry/ namely Keystone. He decided that he wasn't to go beyond one hour's distance of his home. that he was moder¬ consid¬ going driving He decided going to service those ful salesman who tax information and tax assist¬ ance to be a security the twin sister to selling. He success¬ told me he came in $4,500 order, that he got it through tax assistance, very sim¬ other, day, when with a ple tax assistance. He said he had 280 accounts, and 80% of them were obtained by rendering some kind of tax assistance. ~ And does is trustee was man of a probably 125 to churches and religious organ¬ 130 that izations he Then went service. their use and bank the to told the banker about it. certain a known as the Dow Jones industrial average, and that reflects the performance and price the of tive security And he goes and to another issues to on representa¬ the day. of another point, point until he makes sure that the prospect with whom he is talking understands other from that one radiation in words, there account I and you architect, used The use. looking was at the and such words other day, I by an report a architect had as encumbrance, easement, saddle, and all the other terms they use in building a home. Well, idea I but mean, much to of have what of of the things don't mean as painted picture Ithey me approximate an some as a home, and contentment, and independence. We have to paint the picture in terms of what the a other do, man understands, and if have we learned fundamentals I of don't want we of one the salesmanship. to take any more of Take Care of Existing Accounts was your time, except to mention two other things, one for the man who is having a little difficulty in getting who like started and asisstance. I would would to course, in 12 suggested to or 13 lessons, and in each one of salesmen that before they go out those lessons, which will not take looking for new accounts, that yqu too long to read, you will they take a look at the ones they find some of the suggestions I have on the books at the present I And directions. different five about have always time, because if they are sold well serviced well, they are the best additional for ones gible a little specific. and tan¬ more Some ature, because they been regularly, of my successful. a this liter¬ they have example, in use and For have say a have taken into consideration here, plus certain others. A. prospect who is a doc¬ tor, we use this little folder here, Kingston Ghegan With Edwin L. Tatro friends here know about this liter¬ ature we business. Now, in the Keystone setup we try to make these ; conversations that I talk about that you and A. Kingston Tatro p a Ghegan associated come n has with Edwin be¬ L. Com- 5 y, 0 Broadway, NewYork, City, as man¬ showing that 400 doctors already about $3 million worth of ager of the Keystone. If we are talking to a insurance woman, we show that some 25,000 stock departwomen use this service and they ment. Mr. own about $85,000,000 worth of Keystone Funds. If we are talking own with a ticle we use a little ar¬ dentist wrote about dentist, that a securities, of which I have here, this type of thing written by a copy dentist for dentists in zine called "Oral talking to ciary, wd have are trustees a maga¬ Hygiene." If we trustee or fidu¬ list of some 1,700 a a fiduciaries and that use the service. Ghegan formerly was man¬ the of ager bank and in¬ surance de¬ partment for Dreyfus & Co. and prior thereto was with Kalb, Voorhis & A. Co. and Kingston Ghegan Schafer, Mil¬ ler & CO. :■' Selling in Terms of Education and specifically, type of it this man two things. Once an in¬ vestor buys a particular fund, he sends out the arithmetic about his taxes and the line on which to re¬ port the taxes to the investor. And gentlemen, this must be sold, but company sold is in terms of education service, of making the other alert, of making him selfthe to suggestions CONCORD, N. H.—F. W. Home & have little bit about the little talking man. a You know, the little man, as well as big man, doesn't necessarily the understand you and I refer to average, all use Dow in this business. We but ask the mechanic of obtained recently terminology the Dow Jones industrial some have the the Jones know industrial to & Financial Co. has Chronicle) CAL.—N. been P. formed in the securities busi¬ are N. Peter Rath¬ engage Officers ness. von, President; H. H. Rathvon, Vice-President, and Norman Free¬ man, Secretary and Treasurer. or who what King Merritt Adds (Special the R. other Chamber does! larger with offices at 1041 North Formosa is. You and I do, the average inves¬ tor or does, but are we sure the man to The ANGELES, Rathvon substantial moneys they if investors removed and new N. P. Rathvon & Co. (Special LOS been to be associated with the firm. the average man on the street can we offices quarters at 18 School Street, an¬ nounce that Lewis C. Shaw will understand the terms. Now, recently which Co., their which you have to offer. And you have to make this so simple that ask all With F. W. Home & Co. Service I repeat to you, responsive - is another ers Now, if I may, I would like to give you two or three examples of the church, and he pointed out to him man That thought he 85% tax exemption an that Keystone has result Keystone. ately successful, and who knows. Case of Successful Salesman that and the corporation the ration, and the man looked at the problem and bought some bonds on that principle. He learned later that conversation his way, and the was Here is rule same don't try to argue well books. there or man for dividends received by a corpo¬ a $9,500." And at the end of about 20 min¬ him service, what is going on. so-called called the case the on So, gentlemen, I would suggest you that if you want to use serv¬ you come to the second point and have to when while, he calls a post him We assist you planning out his account. you as man how, it is part of the ice that in that little just that (2) income, (3) in¬ growth, (4) growth. and indicate some money; reserves, come to guide a accounts purchased it. talking to terests me." in this type of presenta¬ tion, in the so-called planned in¬ Now. die, the inheritance tax in your bracket, in the top $100,000, would be about $35,000, whereas if you gave the pnoney away to your family today, the gift tax found his on example of an chair and talk a little a short cut him to a buy market yardstick every single point. who has sold a business man the principle Make Your Terminology of a check every month in the Understandable! year. After the man had pur¬ I think, and I think your speak¬ chased that check every month in ers here on other occasions have the year, the salesman said, "Well, Mr. So-and-So, I understand that (Drought this out, that it is very important to make sure that the you are treasurer of this plant. new prospect as well as the old You know, in the investment com¬ understands the terminology that pany shares, you can use a profit- is In do? you the as think they would and sell oil market is down and the news is stocks as well as you do? Or do bad, that is the time he doesn't you think this idea of a check want to go back and wishes he every month, not for you but for were in some other business. This your family, would be of inter¬ morning, your gadget, called the Security Selector, to be very bene¬ ficial in establishing business and I security salesman average not We have found this little of most sharing plan." you point, show him this little gadget, the things you can do with money, and ask him which he other thing I would one like to talk about, and that is with reference to the salesman who that the security There is that to him, and look at it, and that if over them men, difficulty in getting to the does has accounts, and he obtained 80% through that tax ap¬ of i have sales¬ all man proach. more • 35 One of then, thereafter, he services him the most successful by just giving him an ordinary tax salesmen I know never takes any¬ card, the routine information. And thing for granted. If he goes into if he can, without posing as a tax a shop and the man is using a expert, he assists the investor in rule, he tells him that that rule is making out the account. If any the measuring unit that he uses real problem comes up, he doesn't to obtain 12 inches, or whatever touch it with a 10-foot pole; his other purpose he has the rule for. Then he brings into purpose is to assist the investor. play that in men And he so This takes And prospect. two start. many so securities, of types terest your prospect. little bit help, I have found different many Older Men a that scope it for was kind of rough going. It always rough going when you is this type of report. The interesting or thing is that of, 'Keystone itself is so varied in its go CHRONICLE and it of selling securities. rendering a service on purpose are the to person tried this report, You FINANCIAL & people regularly. He decided that every time he made a sale, he was going to deliver the securities in who salesmen this—have are this—suc¬ on security on that t where to go, I would suggest that who Men additional COMMERCIAL LOS average to Linch with The Financial Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Dick has King of become Merritt & Commerce affiliated Co., Inc., Building. 36 THE, (2192) General Comments ,: : ■ / by We has sufficiently familiar with the wording of the Maloney It has been our impression that the trou¬ the interpretation of the "intent and meaning of 7'77'7.;77.:.'777 7.7'■•'7 7'77/^ ;■ &7 § ■ v^7' any ■ small upstate could formulate SEC or new york keeping for all members alike or a We town simplied system of book¬ at least the small dealer so as cancelled to from statute we fear in Washington the better it will else in the country, is of high wages by larger com¬ run ' 1 I a ' 1 , utica, n. y. ' motivated to join NASD on the premise that it was to be was organization for Security Dealers, not a new "Police the style of decent, honest members. protective Force" to further cramp competition and in some cases the newspaper quotations, impossible to even approach 5%. What other business bases a the cost of material—business always adds all overhead and other costs to cost of material and then adds margin of profit. We are compelled to absorb all overhead and even a great many /taxes, social security, and contributions out of the 5%. which is regulated as to amount of business obeys of either wants Act, no in commission rates since the enactment of the happened to the 7-777. business. Maloney profits should be taken away from the Federal Government and placed in the hands of the individual states. Certainly the State of Connecticut, through the Securities Division of its Banking Depart¬ ment; has done an excellent job of governing the unlisted investment business-in Connecticut. hartford, conn. No honest investment firm need fear any of the bug-a-boos you do is too much to charge in some cases; think 5% not ought not be in it. attempt to highlight in this questionnaire. philadelphia, pa. baltimore, md. It We that the NASD spends most of its time as a police or seems regulatory organization, whereas, it should spend the greatest amount :of its time, energy and money promoting the interests of the industry and its members through advertising, study of mutual problems and are regularly their examiners, and have to make frequent reports. imposition on Member Firms of addi¬ not therefore favor the We do need have to itself with the elimination of increased taxes, elimination of double taxation of dividends, excessive regulation of the securities business, reduction of capital gains taxes, the failure of the securities business to attract young men, and other problems which are strangling the business. it should information 7 is It [NASD3 is an unnecessary providence, r. i. the investment business over 35 years—first as a salesman—then as a member of a substantial firm (partner) and now as a sole proprietor and he feels that there is altogether too much regulation and unnecessary detail and expense involved. Policing is not necessary to the extent is is developing.* expense.* providence, r. i. boston, mass. "protect" the industry from abuse by autocratic than the SEC. It might be of some value if it would work for the inclusion of good quality un¬ small new jersey town listed securities with listed securities for credit purposes and matters I think the NASD should devote its full energies to secure to ot that sort. Instead it seems to interest itself primarily in enforcing its members a part of the commissions on big board and curb busi¬ the 7-day delivery clause which seems to me of doubtful value. ness, placed by members with Stock or Curb Exchange members. We believe the SEC could do the least one-third of should be at That Such Exchange member. a The NASD was created to job better.* , 7777' new york city the commission charged by the situation would result in NASD members NASD is (over-the-counter dealers) going after listed business. It would pre¬ vent them or some of them from being tempted to talk a customer out of buying a listed security, and talking him into buying an unlisted security instead. aim the Box in wholly in favor of the right of the NASD to make such regulations governing its members tending to prevent frauds and other practices that may reflect on the honest conduct you." NASD and SEC, one can NASD The is a service or repre¬ parasitic body—dues without sentation—the hell with it.* new york Any restrictions on the freedom of markets has an unfavorable on the economy of the country. Keep up the battle effect affect your against the spread. understood your attitude. city Should it would always worked think advertising income because you have interests of the house trying to operate on a narrow 7:; "/ -7.-: "'7' ' 7777 . We would not be members were Question No. examine our shouldn't an regulatory body No. 4—An unfair and inaccurate question. Why industry regulate itself? philadelphia, pa. Do not approve vestor; and in so doing they pro¬ an essential condition for the vide stimulation of NASD.* philadelphia, pa. •every other business can go to 100%? Is this the American way *of is it the intention of the men behind the Washington Iron Or Curtain to put the capitalistic system on fhink answered some No. 1 the reverse ,: i Commented anonymously. reached a point where a concession was given to anybody who looked to see this practice resumed.* honest. I should dislike very much side Yes "with variations." I mass equity in- basic The principles of dis¬ closure and fairness embodied in have laws our become accepted of the working code of companies and people with whom we deal. Criticism continues; and part as it of we it is made in a welcome, because good faith attempt improve our service to the in¬ to and to vestor the economy. Commission Is EquityConscious First, one thing should be clear. respect to the generality of companies with which we deal, we do not pass on the merits of pro¬ posed financing, we do not tell companies what they can sell, or investors what they should buy. Only in certain limited fields are we charged by law with responsi¬ bility for passing on proposed fi¬ nancing plans. Our record in the field of public utility holding companies and their subsidiaries should dispel any notion that the Commission is either unaware of or indifferent to the problems of We have for 14 years been laboring mightily to increase the equity base of utility equity financing. under which debt and the electric utility industry groaned we began our work in the gas when field. Private Placement , heard regulations have dis¬ couraged issuers from seeking access to public markets and have forced them to finance through by the private placement of securities with insurance companies and other institutions. simple answer to this charge is to point out that last year over $6 billions of corporate securities were offered to the public under registration statements filed with the SEC and Subject to SEC juris¬ diction. 7/ 7'7 Vy7'7.'vy77 Against Big Stick :I see no possibility of repeal of the Maloney should work from within for improvement. What to in us case the Maloney Act were repealed? -- (Continued on page 37)7 400 separate deemed company our re¬ quirements fair and. simple enough to comply with, and did so suc¬ cessfully.. In only two cases did we find it necessary to proceed toward the issuance of an order preventing/ the financing from because of willful and omissions in misstatements Act, so believe we information given about would the SEC do pany. The whole matter of the requires careful thought—Am afraid of the Gestapo! * r Over managements taking, place new york city control should be placed upon the habitually "wide profit" nir * on large buyers, especially of municipal bonds. In order to meet competition all houses were forced to fall in line. In the course of time many buyers of five and ten bond lots claimed a con¬ cession as "large buyers" or "steady customers" and it finally the rocks.* small pennsylvania town I of vestment. . Question No. 5—In my judgment the one good result which the has accomplished is the discontinuance of granting discounts to non-dealers. Before the NASD it was common practice to grant a concession to Why should the investment firms be limited to 5% profit when life? "/'■'new york city NASD increase in overhead.* regulation. The aim of is to protect the in¬ laws The 3—We are willing to have any records and books. Question it not for the restrictions im¬ members but an unnecessary of their philadelphia, pa. posed, for certainly we gain nothing as ad¬ bring to impede business, inter¬ management, or to bring regulation for the mere these debt against this outfit and the SEC.* new york city philadelphia, pa. have laws Their purpose is that SEC newark, n. j. Never the SEC One of the charges I have new york city and business. of by the to not of appreciate the the early Christian martyrs, kneeling before the Royal arena chanting, "Hail Caesar, we who are about to die, And brother I ain't kiddin.* 7/7/7. 'J After all these years of are of brokerage . and Mass companies and to reduce the load salue rules superfluous. Not needed.* new york city feelings of newark, n.j. We It has become more the SEC. com¬ , Investments the is It With concern boston, mass. • about ' Investor Protection tional clerical work, and feel that we should be The sender of this has been in he the effective system an panies. exempted from NASD examination. However, we do believe that non-member firms should their solutions, and effective action in Washington. It should work be policed either by questionnaire or spot check. Our answer to ques¬ towards cooperation amongst all the branches of the securities busi¬ tions Nos. 2 and 3 should be interpreted in the light of the above. ness, about for the dessemination of adequate much members of the New York Stock Exchange, are examined by know in which he invests or competently advised about about the company. In either case, whether he gets his knowl¬ edge from available sources or is to be competently advised, we sake in other cases it is too much and, in still others not enough. We do not think that the NASD has justified its existence. Its annual charges ( to us far outweigh any advantages we have received. Its compulsion "you must join us or we will see to it that you share in no new underwritings" is unfair and stupid. Its assumed authority "has gone to its head." Much of the dishonesty which has come to light in this "Investment Industry" might have been avoided if more care had been exercised by the states in the granting of licenses to new houses and new salesmen. There are too many engaged in this businss who We to reasonable practice; fere with philadelphia, pa. We, therefore, feel that the Maloney Act should be abolished. "The responsibility of establishing a fixed ceiling of commission rates and the or transacts be to about consideration whatsoever has been given to dealers of unlisted securities whose costs of operation have doubled in the last ten years. broker he fair about these results. I believe the NASD is the best thing that ever Although the Stock Exchange firms have been granted several de¬ company ministered increases are feel-reason- the whom limitations profit which can be made.* PITTSBURGH, PA. NEW HAVEN, CONN. needed. prices to that with dealer Just don't like idea of being only industry in the country quate. wants certain ably truthful columbus, ohio. Generally speaking we believe a 5% profit on a "riskless transaction" is ample. However, there are instances where 5% is inade¬ on He ences. the fact that he could not tolerate this further.* any Due to profit books is markets, free of manipulative influ¬ artificial and of the Directors of the NASD resigned, union which, in years (especially) union members during inflation and is unconstitutional monopoly/5 is because who lives in Syracuse, due to hartford, conn. it Message" one petitors—cuts profits of its an the We understand that tries. situation a signing this "Personal More termined in open be for all concerned, not only securities dealers but all small indus¬ boston, mass. The NASD is not are it. be assured that his , repercussion of our opinion. It's about like doing business in Russia. In our opinion, the NASD is an organization brimming over with communistic principles and ideas. The sooner the "Maloney Act" is make record keeping easier. and salaries for everyone ' - doubt - First of all the investor ,i wants to rochester, n. y. for which I have to pay for in annual dues. The NASD » I be justified, but may form is bad, whether by government or private upstate new york town I do not object to the 5% as much as all the other useless red tape : among our in discourage and prevent fraud price fixing in stimulate an interest middle group investors equity securities? ' 7 *'v...; ; to sary , providence, r. i. Measures to purpose, association. small (Continued from page 9) in been Equity Stagnation Market not are the Act. worthy any SEC and the ! Act to express our opinion. not already covered by the authorized functions and processes of the SEC. serves Thursday, May 19, 1949 providence, r. i. ble newark, n. j. I don't think that NASD CHRONICLE dealer, but exceptions should be made for inactive issues and those extremely low-priced bracket. ;\ (Continued from page 3) ' FINANCIAL in the Dealers Anent NASD .' & COMMERCIAL in the the com¬ Our tradition is against use big stick. We have found ordinary case that informal conference and education are,.eft Volume • . THE Number 4804 '• " fective . 169 • . .V • - . of means • • • • • getting to . & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (2193) 37 los angeles, calif. the [investor full and truthful infQr- . COMMERCIAL >■ matign and at the same time not interfering with financing. ; General Comments by Have not answered beneficial to some questions 5 and 6 as we feel NASD may be limiting activities of SEC.* extent in . infer :To . that the Dealers Aneht NASD than more $2V2 billions of corporate secur¬ ities, which were placed privately in the same period, were sold in that feared lic the of pub¬ assume that consequences disclosure, the is to insurance companies and others who took these issues - foolhardy enough to risk were afraid to disclose the facts. for ■■ Other the development of -private f placements adequately explain them. I have indicated these reasons in commenting on | : ^ I believe NEW YORK CITY the public should be protected. Perhaps brokers and dealers could more frequently show the commission charged where the transaction is actually one where the security is not held by the dealer for any length of time. * ' j . and the necessity of institutions to • find investment outlets for their . . We feel the j accumulations of funds. I have often that heard *fact that securities markets our ! in economic activities and profits, j We are accused on the ground that have we discouraged specu¬ lation, and that it is the speculator who provides both the initial de¬ mand for equities and the pos¬ sibility of continuous and active markets in equity securities. First , ■ - . NEW YORK CITY cratic body. real demo¬ NEW YORK CITY the various States able SEC, NASD, to wonder a Blue and that the Sky Commissions securities business in or industry performs/ and this has become almost Our laws leave it to seattle, wash. an unmixed blessing, but they industry. Would not want to do away with it. Of course, T dislike the reports and examinations, but they must have some way of checking members so I guess we will have to put up with them. This is the price we have to pay to keep the crooks and unscrupulous dealers in this business in line.* a lot of good for our the im¬ possibility. The socialization of our country would be complete if government was the source of these equity monies. Perhaps this is the intent. I want to take this opportunity to congratulate your organization on its efforts to bring attention to some of these abuses our of power an committed by the SEC and NASD.* ' * . We believe will and not buy and vote his to the To securities provides j SEC' j which - purchases. assume a risks individual risk, the basis the taken. To the extent lation means is upon be can Commission does i get data to the investor. To the extent that anyone thinks of | speculation as garnished with a sprinkling of manipulation, he is right in think¬ ing that the SEC discourages it. Under i laws fraud and our ipulation these laws j are are based NEW YORK CITY on And the theory not • . . • need fraud : • -;:,v : , ... and - . V-':; ' \ there's was rife. We consider Recently cism to we have heard effect that the com¬ try to analyze this crit¬ I would the law icism like consideration ! received tive conditions in financing. One of the great problems we faced setting about to administer this law | was the traditional affinity of utility systems with affili¬ many ated whom banking houses, some of actually controlled the fi¬ nancial affairs of the | with as a waste would collapse, the as NEW YORK CITY particular banking particular* banking houses, houses re¬ par¬ ticular distribution groups, and as themselves banking houses to respect each others' spheres of influence. After admin¬ istering the statute for several years on a hit-or-miss basis the among Commission adopted a rule, com¬ monly known as Rule U-50, re- f quiring competitive bidding in the sale of securities of holding com¬ panies, and their subsidiaries un¬ der SEC regulation. The rule pro¬ vides for exemptions so that com¬ petitive bidding would not be re¬ quired whenever conditions make tt'sensible ^b 'bermit firiahcing by (Continue on page 38) reason no approach a 5% profit, object to it as a matter of principle. We are inherently to the how 15-year old trend toward totalitarian principles we opposed sired by FDR and his ilk.* NEW YORK CITY new york city Almost impossible for small firms to exist after paying salesmen The Maloney Act should be repealed. I am not opposed to a particularly in duller markets. Think rule voluntary organization of Security Dealers established for the pur¬ can be amended so "reasonable relationship to market" can be better pose of creating uniform practices. I think such an organization,^ defined. Think, hwever, industry should be regulated under Martin highly desirable. I want to compliment you for your aggressive and and Act all overhead or . . . similar one, but any act should work two ways. a sound work in our behalf. NEW YORK CITY Thank you for the fine work you are new york city doing in bringing these things out.* The NASD fluous. The in the does SEC interests nothing at all for does a us. Its functions are both money super¬ and manpower. have should NASD The excellent work. I personally see no the reason for the government connections and , NEW YORK CITY firm has had not no solely interests of its members. Rules should conform to sound business principles. The NASD should consider as itsl principal business the promotion and public understanding of the securities industry, listed and unlisted. P. S. — I compliment you on your the represent better job. The NASD should be abolished of economy of : < - > ' ■ new york city continuance of NASD. Our slightest help because of that organization. NEW YORK CITY Unconstitutional.* We believe that the NASD should confine its activities to the the public with the merits of investing. It should not embark on boondoggling projects in order to dispose of the members dues and thus justify higher rates of assessment of its business of acquainting members.* NEW YORK CITY The 5% rule adopted in 1943 when operating costs were This means about a 2%% mark-up comparatively today. Because the larger buyer no longer is in the market on account of taxes, concentration must be made on the small investor and in most instances, when small amounts are involved, these transactions are made at a loss. new york city was about one-half of what they are today. We have been members of the NASD since its inception and never did us a they bit of good. Dues are just money wasted.* new york city I specialize in not over one dozen situations where I carry sub¬ These companies i am in constant touch with and i cannot subscribe to the idea of having my competitors, who Personally I think the bitter opposition of your writer of the may sit on various committees of the NASD, dictate to me their ideas articles against NASD ought to have the support of every man in the of fair practice about situations they know absolutely nothing about. stantial positions;: NEW YORK CITY for one, investment business who is not directly or indirectly benefiting as well—if they are frank. from the NASD—and of the beneficiaries new york city spread" yardstick is sometimes too little merchandising of certain types of securities. We do, how¬ ever, realize the difficulty of enforcing restrictions where abuse might We feel that the PHOENIX, ARIZ. Believe you are wasting your time and ours. We have become very tired of having our mails cluttered up with reprints of your diatribe editorials. Who appointed ycu dragon slayer?* t "5% to permit be involved. new y ork city SAN DIEGO, CALIF. Some supervision of the over-the-counter industry is necessary, not believe the NASD is the answer. Membership is prac¬ My yes vote in most cases is because I believe'the good results but we do outweigh the evils involved. I am a Republican and dislike too much tically compulsory, which is wrong. As a whole, the individual mem¬ regulation in our business; however there is still room for much im¬ bers receive little benefit out of the amount they pay NASD in dues provement. ~ tended | If SEC influence could be removed from NASD, why the latter couldn't serve the purpose. We the NASD is making progress; that they are doing a much securities industry. 5% fiasco, while we find that we very seldom Salaries, expenses, taxes, together with devaluation of the dollar, makes the (5%) spread insufficient. no spected their affiliations with - pay systems. stretch of the imagination could it be said that, in the old days, competition prevailed in the marketing of utility securities. Is¬ suers respected their affiliations By we think pursuant by issuing companies for their securities and upon the maintenance of competi¬ in that better job. And, we wouldn't be surprised if your pounding away at the entire matter is bearing fruit, although we seriously doubt whether such an admission would be forthcoming. With regard to the to point out to which we regulate the financial affairs of public utility holding company systems requires that we pass upon the reasonableness of the that dues spawn of the New Deal smaller dealers would soon follow suit. criti¬ bidding Before I the NEW YORK CITY requirements of the Securities and Exchange Com¬ mission have tended to impair the market for equity securities. petitive I the < ■ resign, this little Competitive Bidding j different business. question No. 5, it doesn't make any difference. The rule is We are in favor of a self-regulating body within ther Re dictators) sound basis. . a of money. I believe that if some of the leading underwriters were to manipulation on a V, . profit better go into unenforceable. that the American economy does to maintain itself i man¬ punishable. com¬ to dealers.* Any dealer that is trying to do an honest job and is attitude. This organization is the result of the Roosevelt Era of "Regula¬ tion" when the mania (for red tape and the creation of little dish of trading a expense seattle, wash. not satisfied with the 5% that specu¬ I. > ■. seattle, wash. blind buying, the what it can to •' "approve of the NASD" period. how that speculation extent willingness to -. Frankly, I tl]ink you have been making an ass of yourself on your 5% argument, lf 'you were in the field and saw the benefits to the to determine for himself what he will •. IBA and NASD could be functions of the the bined, thereby reducing the your We don't the investor much of his assets he should de¬ ' seattle, wash. industry that have accrued as a result of NASD, ycu would change NEW YORK CITY speculation. encourage with do not believe the NASD is been has of &11 the SEC does not discour¬ age, bank and insurance stocks, with banks on the same basis as dealers.* member at all. In my humble opinion, the raising of risk capital is perhaps the most important economic function venture which is as We object to dealers trading securities, such function or it Re: Question No. 5. have done a Lets act like Americans, not Russians. Between portland, ore. ■ We Maloney Act should be amended to make the NASD the fail to reflect the amazing increase new york city nothing but a hold-up organization made to create jobs at the expense of Wall Street houses. What good it is doing is beyond us! If we must have a union lets have one for the good of the Street. Sorry I can't sign my name because of previous fights with the NASD who are out for my hide.* Commission is responsible for the j . feeling re the "5% mark-up" rule is that in most instances a 5% mark-up is excessive for a dealer to charge for what is, in a majority of instances, merely an agency transaction executed as a principal. However, in other instances when extensive research has been made, a bona fide position taken, and a real sales effort has been made we feel that a 5% mark-up may be too small. The circumstances surrounding each transaction should govern. NASD is the growth of institutional assets I • los angeles, calif. Our (Continued from page 36 ) ^ , money the company did not dare to get from the public because it was -reasons ; issuers because manner. r and assessments every SMALL CALIFORNIA TOWN We feel quite new york city these questions and regard the NASD The NASD uses the "5% spread"- yardstick as a fair margin of unfortunately dominated by elements profit for dealers in securites but the same dealers when selling not working for the good of the public. Investment Trust issues are compelled by the NASD to charge not as a sort of NAM strongly year.* or on trade union SAN FRANCISCO, CALIF. less than the hood of Keep up the good work. OAKLAND, CALIF. Keep up Mark-up is matter for each firm to decide on each transaction. Commented anonymously. public offering price which is usually in the neighbor¬ load. The 5% group are on a spot for exceeding the 9% yardstick and the 9% 9% load. the good work. LOS ANGELES, CALIF. * a These are group are on a new york Some cra'.; .v vouj. > protection must be given to issuers that their securities won't be kicked around.* * spot if they take less than the facts and not double talk. Commented Anonymously. . r. -lou*■. -v'r.'V ' r-." -r .. 38 THE (2194) This is in turn reflected curs. in certain stocks whose action Tomorrow's of dullness order of the day. stop at Sy2. It still that of the and can be counted looks good, so hold on. on to give a better than aver¬ More next Thursday. age performance once the •—Walter Whyte. market itself passes its initial precedes It is this latter group hurdle. that needs close Participation If watching. well the chances the rest of the market will fol¬ moves If it slackens, low suit. lends market that completely and of action cons article time noth¬ f In may other . few paragraphs back that come the in I be- trends relatively unimportant absence of timing. I we can get that down want to correct that. then all the rest—trends, ma¬ Trends always important though translated into profits must be accompanied by the are jor, minor and secondary, be¬ come relatively unimportant. be to going to give you any application of the time factor. an uptrend many stocks at once show you the way. First of all I don't know of selling at 100 are relatively cheap. In a downtrend. the any, and if I did I doubt if my same stocks even though sell¬ passing it on wholesale would enhance its value. Timing, I ing at 50 may be relatively hard and fast rule which will which on discovered, the con¬ to swers all of are in evidence daily stock tape and transfactors a recent magazine the bemoaned which article Boston were the on bargain counter but nobody was buying them. because people who see the things on the tape inter¬ pret them differently. * A * * be some fall factors these slots into such ridiculous of ease more in seen cent with pertinent applica-i timing can of trend and tion this column's recommendation to re¬ buy Cooper Bessemer at 28 and that tim¬ followed it with advice to sell ing becomes almost automatic. between 3(T and 38. Here was This is generally true of mar¬ a stock that acted better than kets with large public followthe market, though in itself ings. When this is absent the was hardly important enough indicators frequently become to move the market one way confusing except for short pe or another. Had there been riods. For example a market enough stocks like it, how¬ average will indicate resis¬ ever, the assumption could've tance at a certain predeter¬ been made that the entire mined point. Stocks forming market was headed up almost similar patterns to the aver¬ at once. Well, we know that ages will indicate the same wasn't so. Of course Cooper thing. When, as and if, the Bessemer subsequently had a market overcomes this resis¬ piece of news, a stock divi¬ tance a general advance ocdend, which to me, inciden¬ tally, is seldom bullish, and I immediately lowered my 1 at 36 Schwabacher & Co. Members New San York Stock Francisco (Associate) Exchange COrtlandt 7-4150 . New York 5, N. Y. Teletype NY 1-928 Private Wires to Principal Offices , San Francisco—Santa Barbara Monterey—Oakland—Sacramento j Fresnc—Santa Rosa '• Corp.-Harris, Hall Group. by The Harris, (Inc.), offered publicly May 18 800,000 shares of common stock, $25 par California Edison Co. composed East the of value, of Southern The group, this ripple. Inability to do it itself sufficient a was reason to get rid of the stock. As a mat¬ ter of fact you might well ap¬ ply a thought on any stock: Would you buy it back after you sold it? If the answer is that competitive statement secur¬ declines in securities the market; price of during the seasoning process. But. concerned, sufficient as • • , far as the Commission is statistical analysis is no to the par¬ as an answer bidding tends to result in initial ticular problems in the particular cases not be going therefore are into new equity wary issues that come before it derwriters for will wish go through market seasoning. A variety of suggestions has been with bankers; or made; the most radical has been bidding be flatly eliminated with respect to the is-f that competitive of suance used ferred stocks. Even if the stock sale to tely $254,800,000 riod 1946-1951. factual the premise of the enjoy may. rise ket during seasoning the We must, process. far as we as balance all the equitable in¬ terests concerned after the price I not wish to leave the im¬ do estimates pe¬ not a the ulation. about problem of government reg¬ There this $129,000,000 raised will have tion of any rule in the face of a demonstrable impairment in the ability utility of companies to capital. Whatever face in scaling bids in order to avoid the dangers of over-pricing the argu¬ the this are is "over-pricing"? many views about as there not thus far strated any of financing. principal generating plant under construction is at Re- dondo been has It Beach, in which two gen¬ erating units of 67,000 kw. capac¬ ity each are scheduled for com¬ financial community. To an un¬ derwriter whose mechanisms are ticipate in earnest pricing is caused by have been, a wish late crement that price in¬ any transforms of-the-window an out- distribution into a selling job. To the financial analyst demon¬ need for change in the mechanics of competitive bidding. segments of the are underwriters have ments what as raise necessary geared to rapid distribution over¬ completion upon Commission problems total during Of the that that the pricing of securities competitive bidding is in the main a problem of the bidders and me in 000,000 will be raised through the now it that , can, termine the price; we pass on it when it is arrived at. It seems to sale of securities of which approx¬ The order doubtful pride of seeing the mar¬ has been fixed. But this in relations its willingness to underpriced issue come out this argument were well-founded it does not follow that over-pric¬ $177,- been traditional respect see an would continue blind administra¬ finance, in part, construction pro¬ gram which will cost approxima¬ imately and pre¬ common rapid distributions; or the a particular management of established by the Commission. It is the parties to the deal who de¬ company's company utility to on proceeds of be free, un¬ risk- of assurance distributed after competitive bid¬ underwriters Coast, offered the stock price of $32.25 per share. the can¬ 66 the West a We swayed by the desire of pression pleasure to this forum. that of the some par¬ is my can we It trans¬ good ideas that and undoubtedly will be expressed, into effective action. will That never is made to happen unless it happen. We in govern¬ over-pricing is the excess in cost pletion in late 1949 to supplement above currently available yields of two similar units completed dur¬ equal amount and quality. As far ing March and April, 1948. The as issuers are concerned in general and financial communities to pro¬ construction program also vide includes hydroelectric plant on the new San Joaquin River with an the capacity of about 84,000 kw. around $19,000,000 and to completed in 1951. to higher the price the better the ment cannot do the whole job. is up to It the industrial, commercial the impetus and the skill. • ulti¬ mate Certain Aspects of the Bond Market cost Giving effect to this financing, company will have outstand¬ ing $203,000,000 of funded debt; (Continued from page 6) 2,613,429 shares of senior preferred cline in 1949, compared with 1948, that bond issues, whether sokl stock; 2,449,506 shares of convert¬ in new plant and equipment re¬ publicly or privately, are being ible preference stock and 3,986,328 placed in the hands of institutions shares of, common stock. Divi¬ quirements on the part of 172 im¬ and accounts which are limited by dends on the common stock have portant* companies,; A more, com¬ indentures or by law to- invest¬ been paid in each year since the prehensive survey made by McGraw Hill & Company" indicates ment in only senior securities. The incorporation of the company in 1909. Recently the board of direc¬ that manufacturing, mining, trans¬ high proportion of new funds be¬ and utility companies ing raised through debt issues and tors declared a quarterly dividend portation the of 50 cents per common share pay¬ able July 31, declaration, 1949. Prior to such the quarterly rate since 1942 has been ZlVi cents per share. The supplies electric¬ ity to parts of central and south¬ ern company California with estimated an population of 2,578,000. It operates 23 hydroelectric, four steam and one diesel electric generating plants with a total effective ca¬ pacity of 1,117,855 kilowatts. In addition, the company has avail¬ able 465,000 kilowatts from' certain of the electric generating units of Hoover River Dam on which the Colorado it operates of the United as connected with Fd- E. Mathews Street. Mr. DeLeuw was 53 State formerly Taunton Trusteed F manager declining scale for several years Co., for unds, Inc. (Special to Goodbody Staff The Financial CHARLOTTE, N, C. Maffitt. Jr. is & now Ben C. with Goodbody Co., 137 Brevard Court. - common of funds available investment stock is problem which I can not elab¬ orate on now. However, it should a plant and equipment, with the major part of the decline in the value second half of the current year. financing is undertaken Prospective contraction in busi¬ investment ness will offset be in in the amount earnings available for reinvest-; ment. Compilations of 1948 earn¬ ings reports set forth in the Na¬ part by shrinkage of in respect prospective stantial senior to current, and earnings scale, then equity and on the a sub¬ flow of securities available for in¬ vestment further institutions by will be curtailed. In considering possible rates of savings accumulated in the fu¬ City Bank of New York's ture,,, the high totals and percent¬ April demonstrate that ages of income saved during the years' must be moderate decline in sales com¬ war forgotten. bined with, relatively inflexible These reflect labor wage contrdl policies pursued by the govern¬ operating costs, produces a sharp runoff in net earnings. This prob¬ ment during that period, more ef¬ lem would be further aggravated fective price control and curtail¬ for a . if increased government spending should be accompanied by higher ment of production consumption. : earnings. other hand, So, if it is assumed that the post-i made that tax war rates on corporate inflation has been broken and will not be resumed, then do-t of shortage In the there new for. civilian on the 1948, point could be actually a funds 'available was for absorption of that year's new issues. Computed dis¬ mestic money panding posable income, not spent for corrsumers' goods and services.' the requirements for an ex-; economy imply lower an-" nual totals for new capital issues those witnessed past several years. during the - Institutional Buying The funds central fact on the side of available for investment is as United States Department of Com¬ merce . at Chronicle) — scarceness come. The Securities and Ex¬ be borne in mind that if equity change Commission has also fore¬ markets should revive to the point cast a 5% reduction in 1949, as where corporate managements be¬ against 1948, in outlays for new lieve they reflect more truly, fair than Joins the for to letter with net income of $14,600,765. ward will spend 5% less this year than they did last and that construc¬ tion programs are apt to be on a agent tional States. 1949, the company - reported operating revenues of $97,087,500 ex-dividend forms but most of them boil down reaches the point at which ity holders' confidence In the com¬ pany is impaired by unwarranted ing is the result Of the procedure — market — becomes a issuers when it for in For the 12 months ended March hand, Bristol have the Over-pricing underwriters 31, i«s Complaints about the operation the competitive bidding rule tended recently to center around the way it works in the is¬ suance of utility preferred. and Common stocks in other words, equities. The arguments take many of to deal,; problem 56 and Myers bought at 31 with a stop at 29, got under the 29 Edward E. Mathews Adds (Special to The Financial Chronicle) price by a fraction due to an BOSTON, MASS. Carl De ex-dividend date. In a good Leuw is now in Chicago Board of Trade 14 Wall Street was would be absorbed without Exchange- Stock better and that On the other Exchanges New York Curb Exchange or sje Orders Executed oil Coast as Hall & Co. that. Securities Pacific I suggested selling it sights. Pacific Coast through over-pricing of equity securities; presented are group, jointly headed First Boston Corp. and be same Sometimes They A nationwide investment bank¬ a that stocks fact If conclusions differ it is lux. This is one of the an¬ high. than rather competition. 37) page ding because they fear to suffer price declines when the securities In many the Southern Calif. Edison Net commented ing. If siders any of negotiation of at * * i-. .'.V or for that matter any day, has to do with tim¬ have long ago those stocks in dull markets) have ing major factor dominant I'm not necessarily at with (Continued from that investors present day and recent (strong A The today, P.*'. • this those of the author only.] . :V\ • not coincide Chronicle. markets the indicators provocative read¬ in themselves often been con¬ ing, though to me they are fruitless because they don't fusing. Swings seldom attain a full point in either direction point to anything that can be and participation in such mar¬ translated into a profit, at kets becomes a debilitating least not in the immediate and expensive process. future. • do in expressed 800,000 Shares offered by First make even views sji :|s reac¬ discussions Such tion. [The in the immediate future. interesting market for people who like to argue the pros and are academic ing of importance will occur to a backs itself and fills, the chances are this one, is an as ion 10 with be limited to minimum. so Vv, ■ averages seems Thursday, May 19, 1949 you're better off without it. You now have only one stock, Newport Industries at under such conditions should discussions CHRONICLE the it A then FINANCIAL often Whyte By WALTER WHYTE= Continued that to "No" & averages. There are still other stocks whose action Says— = forms con Markets Walter COMMERCIAL estimates personal savings $14.9 billion for 1948. Liquid savings, however, increased only a net $4.9 of $10 billion. The difference billion is accounted for pri- Volume 169 marily by purchases of It appears that housing. the marketing of $6 billion in new money issues during 1948 was made possible largely by the. fact that insurance companies were able and willing to sell large amounts of United States Government securities. r Investment Trends ; We - know, of investment of that the course, savings not does hold to rigid channels. Real estate mortgages, ties are bonds, securi¬ government municipal corporate, and alternate outlets for many institutions. The * total amount saved will always be employment affected by income levels. and Contractual savings in the form of additions to life insurance com¬ contracts are proceeding at the rate of about $3.5 billion per pany in Moreover, year. recent years personal contracts with insurance companies have supple¬ been The savings. whole securities of contributions these in are form of group life insurance the poli¬ cies but many ipore are indepen¬ dent trust funds set up in the large trust companies. Gross em¬ ployer contributions for such pur¬ poses, it is estimated, are now ap¬ proaching the rate of $1.5 billion annually. The current drafts on these funds i s still small; unions established by the clothing work¬ musicians ers, miners coal arid unions are some of the known examples of a movement. number A better growing volun¬ of tary savings channels, other than mutual savings banks, have been growing. rapidly. The thrift de¬ partment of commercialbanks, savings and loan associations and postal savings are three growing competitors of the mutual savings increase an security At year. the does new in government fiscal the trust about $8.8 billion year Scheduled expenditures to ficiaries bene¬ getting larger but it are should be borne in mind that em¬ ployees can not save what has al¬ ready been deducted from their wages and employers can not spend the money paid into the social security account. Role of Mutual With Savings Banks permission, I will now address myself to the second topic which I would like to cover this morning, that is, the part that mutual savings banks play in our economy and what the outlook seems to be for mutual savings banks. The American people have traditionally been accumulators^ savings funds in one form or an¬ other. As you know, deposits in your mutual of savings banks at the end exceeded 1948 $18 billion, a substantial figure even for days. This showing is less very these comforting when viewed com¬ paratively. I have prepared a table summarizing the long-term trends in some of the principal forms of savings which you can present read at your leisure in the printed proceedings of this meeting. The six forms referred to are deposits in mutual savings banks, esti¬ reasonable that issues by corporations appear money coverage billion for the current fiscal year. time, it appears that the volume pf funds going into housing has passed its peak. ' ■ 7. It of ending June 30, 1950 compared with about $6 system. Growth in mutual savings bank deposits is continu¬ ing at an annual rate of about $% a the and for other similar acts call for bank billion beyond extension the proposals for present social Labor exerting strong pres¬ sure for further expansion of these programs. Pension funds are is market of this discussion. It is pertinent to note, however, that for part of corpo¬ pension and welfare funds for their employees. Some to of scope tributions rations problem the Federal debt in relation to the funds receipts to the accumulations mated in 1949 and for some years to come life in in¬ surance marketed in 1948. vate savings in savings and loan associations, credits due depositors does course, This statement, not apply to refunding of bank loans forms new of the debt; it applies only to issues. On the other money hand, available., savings, particu¬ larly seeking those investments, than of the be of liquid savings last two are which possible be greater billion $4.9 year. must ments issues reflect have investors on United cial for such individual supply building programs point to annual issues exempt billion of new securities approxi¬ exceeding the $3 even marketed for pen¬ have not I for banks in the this total figures combine case and business funds. These figures are extremely in¬ teresting. During the decade end¬ ing with 1930, these six forms of savings increased more than $18 billion. Mutual savings banks high vbracket in¬ Correspondingly, .their lack of appeal to mutual savings Institutions has been understand¬ able. Proposals for veterans' bonuses, school, road and water tax Government States available with mating and totals and included time deposits in commer¬ comes. aggregate bonds sion and trust funds. govern¬ the attraction had the Savings There applied lower than those even pri¬ estimated qualifications personal to " this ; statement. The first is that capital spending programs of states and other political subdivisions point to a large increase in the amount of new tax exempt issues. Yields „ policies, postal savings system, in¬ dividual holdings of United States conservative should estimate in other or in 1948. Bond accounted for billion approximately $4.5 25% of this increase. In or the succeeding decade, that is, the period from 1930 to 1940, an ag¬ gregate for all six forms rose $21 more. . The mutual savings banks accounted for only $1.2 bil¬ billipn lion of the increase ing the there eight was a or Dur¬ ended years further 6%. 1948, enormous in¬ in the aggregate accumula¬ tion in these six funds amounting crease to $113 savings billion, of which mutual banks contributed about $7.8 billion or 6.9%. GROWTH IN SELECTED SAVINGS FUNDS (Millions of dollars) u. s. Bonds Trust Funds Postal Banks Insurance Assns: Savings $1,741 6,296 : 4,272 $166 13,690 24,663 1,342 2,700 8,669 52,264 47,500 11,000 3,300 47,500 37,369 165,069 1920— $4,806 9,384 10,618 18,400 1930- 1940- 1948- $5,488 . $761 $246 250 COMPARATIVE , Pension & Savings & Loap Dec. 31 $13,208 31,549 1,929 CHANGE 1 (Millions of dollars) u! v r ; Total L v- 1930-1940 1940-1948— i. Mutual Savings Banks $18,341 1920-1930 These figures are, of course, ap¬ 1930 from date to our Govern¬ policies have basic¬ ment's fiscal ally changed the economy of our pulsory The introduction of com¬ procedures such as the various social country. security is certainly an programs important contrib¬ uting factor to the decline in the rate of growth of mutual savings banks deposits. Ground has also been lost to other forms of pri¬ In 1920, accumula¬ policies of vate savings. tions in life insurance within the limits allowed and prudent investment to increase deposits. your has by law judgment, the rate of return on In recent years, it occurred to that me mutual savings banks are notoriously shy in advertising the services they render. In the Connecticut, various cities Massachusetts, of $4,578 20,715 112,805 1,234 : 7 7,782 Savings Banks ,. 25.0% 6.0 6.9 Advertising more aggressively appealing for business and even using promotional schemes does not cheapen the mutual sav¬ and ings bank bankers the handling large poster outside a stating the fact that the bank pays % of 1% semi-annual¬ ly less able you in conservative funds the of en¬ and • Field Broadened A find savings bank less trusted to your care. New York you are too apt to a make or or of Investment Needed The other method of attracting business and becoming more com¬ recently, % of 1% petitive is in the investment of $5.5 billion were only 15% greater quarterly on deposits. The ^.life-¬ your deposits. I quite realize you than the $4.8 billion of deposits insurance boys, in their promo¬ are at that time in mutual savings governed by* regulations as to tional literature and public adwhat you can invest, in. There is banks. The corresponding life in* vertisments, stress the picture of a surance increasing public interest in giv¬ figure for 1948 of $47.5 jolly, middle-aged man fishing in billion was 250% of the total sav¬ ing you the authority to broaden Florida, acquiring a good suntan your field of investment. Recent ings banks deposits of $18.4 bil¬ and smoking his pipe, all on an evidence of this is the legislation lion. In 1940, as nearly as we can annuity of $200 a month. • The passed in New York State permittell, approximately $2.7 billion rate of return on money paid in was invested ting the placing of surplus funds by individuals in on your insurance premiums is in non-legal corporate securities. United States Savings Bonds. At never stressed. The simple arith¬ If I were an investment officer in the end of 1948 this figure was metical principle of interest com¬ a New York mutual savings bank, $47.5 billion. The purchase of pounded quarterly, even at these instead of buying Aa or Aaa pub¬ Series E Bonds, yielding 3%, has low rates of return, could be lic utility bonds yielding from undoubtedly been the greatest dressed up to be quite alluring to 2.80% to 2.90% today, I would take competition mutual savings banks the average man. Such success a good look at the First Mortgage have had to meet in the history as my own firm has had in its 3%% Bonds of a company such of the industry. To make matters field of business has been due worse, mutual savings banks primarily to the appreciation of as the Interstate Power Company throughout the country have, on the fact that large fortunes are which you can buy around par. behalf of the Government, mar¬ gradually being taxed out of ex¬ With the new latitude afforded me by the recent legislation, I keted Series E Bonds to their own istence in this country, that wealth depositors directly on their own has been and probably will con¬ might well consider taking on a banking premises. This was a tinue to be redistributed for some small block of this issue for yield necessary and patriotic service time to come. Our policy has been purposes. My guess is that during the next 25 or 30 years, interest rendered by you to our Govern¬ deliberately planned to render the on these bonds will be paid as ment. It is clear, however, that best and cheapest service to the this act of public service is having man in the street who is the new regularly as the interest will be a permanent effect upon your capitalist. If we have a sufficient paid on the First Mortgage Bonds of the Kansas City Power & Light business. / number of these people doing > the or, more - mutual The savings banks of constitute a time country tested their individuals for method assure own security. to Corre¬ business with we believe petitive these us every our will and week, then firm will be endure com¬ under accumulations of becomes a matter In trying to appraise the future, it appears reasonable that if voluntary and general concern. individual efforts to make pro¬ vision against the contingencies of life are not adequate, the pro¬ ponents of more compulsory and centralized efforts will be quick to fill the We all gap. know, of course, there valid are beyond reasons control which has brought your about this state of affairs in the mutual savings bank industry. The easy money conditions of the past ten or twelve years has brought the rate of return on high grade bonds down to the point where they are unattractive individuals. investments as During the for 1920s is the along York, banks banks fact that savings with commercial closed on Saturday are morning. "One of earliest recollections is that of being taken by the hand to a savings bank in the city in which I was born in Massachusetts, and having an ac¬ count opened for me by my father. I was barely able to sign my own name. After this first introduction to the savings bank, whenever I my had any spare cash I would bicycle down to. the bank Saturday morning to make an important deposit. I got to be quite grown up before I ever real¬ on ized of that there banks than were other kinds pay an aver¬ savings of the It is server easy such Each of these boys in a neighborhood If for as an outside ob¬ I to be critical of the rate of return received today indus¬ trial private placings with insur¬ companies. Generally speak¬ ing, the yield is much better than you can get in the open market. ance without Almost issues funds substantial have which exception these sinking the average makes life' of the issue less than fifteen years, and the rate of return from 3 to ZVi runs 3%%, depending upon the type of credit involved. The rapid amortization features of or these industrial issues return your to money above the an pretty promptly have secured you and, meanwhile, you average rate of re¬ turn. If ket we that the bond not change agree levels mar¬ will stantially in the sub¬ foreseeable fu¬ going to be heavily taxed to keep this traditional source of savings on assets. business. particular pay of these some ture, then the ingenuity of the managements of savings banks is live 1948 total also I would banks. I Manhattan to to conduct their important busi¬ approximately 56% ness affairs. It is true the bank During this is open one evening a week, but period of decreased return on high that is the time they are getting grade investments the expense of ready for bed. If it is impossible doing business has increased sub¬ to change the Saturday morning stantially. It is evident that the closing law in the State of New depositor in savings banks has York, perhaps the banks can open been caught between diminishing one or two mornings a week at 8 returns on his deposits and the o'clock so that children can make banks' increased cost of doing a deposit on the way to school. of this. Island and have three young sons. happen has an account branch of one age rate of interest running from of the large savings institutions 4 to 41/2%. Today the great bulk in New York City. These boys of savings banks deposits bear an are rapidly losing interest in their interest rate of 2% or even* less. savings accounts because they can It is interesting to note that at never get into the bank to make a the end of 1931 United States deposit. Their school keeps them Government securities accounted until half past four each day at for only 6.4% of the total assets which time the bank is closed, and of mutual savings banks. At the it is closed Saturday morning end of 1946 they accounted for which is the normal time for them savings banks could Company. I am sure you are thinking of opportunities such as attention to changing conditions. Another point of interest to me, spondingly, their competitive po¬ sition in the process of savings primarily in the State of New end Total MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS vs. AGGREGATE OF SIX FUNDS , 39 proximate figures and 63% of the total assets and at the U. S. Govt. Savings Savings Life Mutual As of (2195) " will be smaller than the $6 billion of FINANCIAL .CHRONICLE & in a savings, bank. For what they morning, why don't you savings have been are worth, I would like to make banks get together and have the gathered from diverse sources. one or two constructive observa¬ law changed and stay open on They may be slightly inaccurate tions which may be impractical Saturday morning. in part but they are sufficiently in part, but perhaps they will It seems to me it is terribly well be that during the coming accurate for the purpose of dem¬ serve to stimulate your thinking important to conduct well thought about the problems in your own out years, yields on this type of se¬ onstrating a trend. This trend in¬ missionary campaigns among curity will rise to the point where dicates quite clearly that in the industry. the children of the country to they are attractive to mutual sav¬ period from 1920 through 1948, teach them thrift as exemplified More Active Effort Needed ings banks. The rise in yields on mutual savings banks fell way be¬ by deposits in mutual savings this type of security has been very hind in getting their pro rata There are two ways in which banks. This even might entail marked from 1945 to date and share of the new savings business the mutual savings banks of the setting up one receiving teller's much sharper than the rise in available. country can be more active in at¬ window which is only three feet yields on government and corpo¬ It is fair to say that not only tracting their fair share of new above the ground and not four rate bonds. First, a and a half or five feet, so that have you met increased competi¬ savings accumulations. more aggressive effort to get new even The other qualification involves tion young children can make during this period from other what might be called compulsory kinds of savings programs, but business; and the second is to try, their own deposits. proposals approvals to come be¬ 1949 state legislatures ap¬ proximate $3.3 billion. The aver¬ age yield of such securities in 1948 was about. 2.35%. It may fore mented by rapidly expanding con¬ on COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 the State commercial not necessary a banks in the of New York feel that it is public for them to render service on Saturday I hope that you will my remarks this morning have been entirely criti¬ competitive. not cal feel that because I don't intend them that way. — With (Special ST. Stifel, to The — Nicolaus"Co~ Financial LOUIS, MO. Chronicle) Edward J. Jilek, has become affiliated with Stifel, Nicolaus & — Co., Inc., 314 North Broadway, members of the Stock Exchange. Mr. formerly with the Mis¬ sissippi Valley Trust Co. St. Louis Jilek was With Samuel & Engler Co. (Special to The ^Financial COLUMBUS, Anderson has Chronicle) OHIO—Lloyd become with the Samuel' & C. associated Eogler Co., ,16 Street. If e,was formerly ian officer of Equity Investment Cor¬ poration. ..... Broad , 40 THE (2196) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, 1949 Indications of Current Business The following statistical tabulations shown in first column are either for the week or month ended Latest IRON AMERICAN Indicated steel operations Previous Week INSTITUTE: STEEL AND Week on that date, Ago , 98.4 95.0 1,762,400 1,773,500 1,814,000 49,749 53,356 45,699 15,101 17,310 9,354 125,428 110,034 159,109 7,783,807 *8,387,927 6,224,487 6,305,681 5,519,938 5,978,551 y,(in short tons)—Month of February—. Stocks of aluminum—short tons (end of Feb.) May May (bbls.) . —.May Kerosene output (bbls.)—— May Gas oil and distillate fuel oil output (bbls, May Residual fuel oil output (bbls.) . ..May Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in pipe lines — Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at May Kerosene (bbls.) at May 7 4,896,750 5,412,750 OF 7 115,172,000 5,273,000 5,067,000 §5,602,000 Total 7 7 17,530.000 17,969,000 17,176,000 1,831,000 1,837,000 2,040,000 §2,144,000 7 7 5,955,000 6,681,000 6,410,000 §7,126,000 7,895,000 8,185,000 7,954,000 §9,242,000 7 19,178,000 118,922,000 17,878,000 §109,313,000 §13,572,000 May May 7 51,373,000 49,959,000 48,920,000 §35,117,000 7 61,024,000 60,174,000 58,510,000 §51,868,000 WROUGHT (DEPT. PRODUCTS §16,963.000 output—daily average (bbls. of 42 gallons to stills—daily average (bbls.) Crude oil Crude each) runs . Residual fuel oil distillate and oil Gas oil fuel (bbls.) at at (bbls.) 4,916,050 COMMERCE)—Month of March: shipments Steel ingots 123,400,000 124,787,000 127,522,000 ASSOCIATION • „ AMERICAN May May (number of. cars) Revenue freight 768.337 785,444 757,784 880,287 621,801 7 7 624,740 606,908 729,781 ' of CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING — $158,193,000 $149,236,000 .May 12 $130,991,000 May 12 May 12 57,863.000 73,128,000 51,233,000 74,882,000 78,033.000 83,311,000 81,067,000 68,169,000 -May 12 63,148,000 56,865,000 71.436.000 56,640,000 May 12 construction $129,266,000 9,980,000 21,168,000 11,875,000 11,529,000 Private construction Public construction municipal and State zinc —_ Federal Unfilled BANK Bituminous coke Beehive STORE 7 7 7 11,200,000 982,000 Not Avail. *11,560,000 11.280,000 1.132,000 147,000 962,000 151,400 7 333 *286 320 134,600 5,256,976 5,108,673 .-May 12 171 193 184 100 13.705c 3.705c 3.708c $45.91 $46.13 $46.66 $23.08 $23.58 $40.66 - ' Export refinery at (New York) at Straits tin Lead Lead (New York) at——— (St. Louis) at Zinc (East St. Louis) 17.750c at 18.425c 23.175c 103.000c 14.000c 15.000c 15.000c 14.800c 17.3001 12.500c 15.000c coal BOND 12.000c U. S. Government Bonds May 17 corporate Average May 17 — 113.31 118.80 May 17 Aaa 119.00 119.00 112.19 117.40 A May 17 112.56 112.19 May 17 105.00 105.00 105.00 169.5 169.0 166.9 201.6 199.7 202.3 170.1 170.0 171.0 229.6 221.4 224.7 190.3 192.5 201.1 108.34 108.34 108.16' May 17 114.08 113.89 May 17 117.40 117.40 117.40 U. Bonds Government S. corporate- Average : — ■ Aaa ~ " Aa A "" Baa Railroad " - Group Utilities Group Public Industrials 2.39 3.00 2.70 2.78 3.05 3.45 3.26 2.38 3.00 2.70 2.80 3.05 3.45 3.27 2.96 2.78 2.95 2.78 2.96 <2.78 2.41 3.01 2.76 2.85 3.05 3.37 3.27 2.95 2.82 ; Group 174.4 119.9 116.3 138.9 138.8 130.3 96.1 96.1 93.8 192.5 192.6 175.5 _ 140.0 132.2 _ 140.4 Housefurnishings 193.8 195.6 194.9 Miscellaneous 154.4 154.1 146.2 287.1 286.1 300.1 (121.0 (120.1 125.2 $15,257 $15,142 16,939 $13,525 15,243 $32,081 16,687 $28,768 16,225 $27,438,926 $27,557,141 $27,780,953 £4,648,000 £22,088,000 £2,544,000 $739,058,115 $675,749,306 587,933,263 567,777,768 79.55 84.02 $776,616,109 618,759,345 79.67 $72,339,986 $65,466,386 $82,163,688 65,417,192 41,900,000 29,754,215 60,724,331 36,600,000 _ _ 343.4 343.6 353.2 __ —May 17 — — Fuel, electricity and refrigerators Gas and electricity fuels Other Ice _ . May 14 214.3 147.8 213.7 148.4 May 14 229.7 228.5 234.2 May 14 312.8 May 14 204.3 May 14 224.0 313.7 203.4 221.8 223.1 164.2 187.9 176.0 Grains 315.2 206.0 230.4 222.6 166.9 189.1 183.3 • Livestock May 14 Fuels Miscellaneous May 14 commodities Metals 187.4 172.1 May 14 212.8 213.0 213.6 of April BRADSTREET, 139.2 142.9 May 14 May 14 and 150.5 137.6 142.9 150.5 139.5 142.9 150.5 COMMISSION COMMERCE drugs 203.3 153.1 203.3 155.6 206.9 138.9 221.4 Fertilizers machinery All groups combined 153.1 Railway Employment at middle of (1935-39 average=100) ... (DEPT. INVENTORIES PAPERBOARD received Orders Production of ——May May PAINT AND at DRUG — REPORTER AVERAGE—100 PRICE 7 7 7 7 173.654 159,449 77 287,725 153.079 161,559 80 188.227 160,923 May —May (tons) 78 289,481 260,331 213,822 191,787 16,779 * of As March Midland OF Total operating operating NEW PRICES SERIES—U. DEPT. S. OF Farm ratio—per Net ; Net railway operating income before charges income after charges (est.) S. GOVT. STATUTORY DEBT LIMITATION U. of April —As at All Textile Fuel 163.4 146.9 May 10 —May 10 May 10 ——May 10 —May 10 138.9 139.1 130.6 130.4 169.3 and foods products- —— lighting materials— and Building All than farm metal i products materials other- - — ——— — — — 168.3 171.6 , 161.8 147.1 ' Livestock ; T Meats 7 years 1937 to 3.74583fi per pound. 252,239,912 24,083 75,418 $251,553,319 $251,665,598 $252,315,331 776,684 782,441 832,390 $250,776,635 $250,883,156 $251,482,940 24,223,364 24,116,843 23,517,059 $251,553,319 $251,665,598 $252,315,331 3:995,156 5,766,580 4,612,423 $247,558,163 $245,899,018 $247,702,908 by the public gross guaranteed debt and Obligations not ... outstanding subject 212.5 129.2 162.2 148.9 165.4 195.4 total debt obli¬ public debt limitation to outstanding Balance face 188.0 - - under UNITED amount above STATES ... — of DEBT of April Net DIRECT AND omitted): GUARANTEED—(000's As General obligation issuable authority GROSS 30 fund balance debt annual RYE 2.233% 2.235% rate interest PRODUCTION 199.6 198.9 206.1 229.2 PORTING 222.3 186.7 227.3 180.9 263.4 220.4 CULTURE—As ,>■ 1940 inclusive and 1946 to 1948 inclusive. tCorrected figure. • - •••: WINTER 220.4 186.4 • May 10 Ulncludes 424.000 barrels of foreign crud? runs. §Not comparable with other periods which are on new basis of reporting in California. Principal changes exclude cracking stock from distillate and residual fuel oils. (The weighted finished steel composite was revised for the years 1941 to date. The weights used are based on the average product shipments for the 251,641,514 22,851 Deduct—Other 150.1 132.4 156.8 195.9 135.8 162.1 May 10 May 10 i. skins figure, 251,530,468 , not owned obligations 178.2 140.2 132.5 173.5 196.5 131.0 168.1 195.3 May 10 - *Revised $275,000,000 2.174% • Grains Hides and $275.000X)00 Treasury Computed Special indexes— 'I ■•••' - v $275,000,000 . Total gross public debt Guaranteed 163.7 164.2 149.4 129.3 —- . and Metals 155.9 May 10 May 10 — commodities other ■■■' be outstanding may time one any that ' omitted): (000's 30 amount face 5,000,000 Outstanding— 0 146.5 -'157.6 171.1 155.2 May 10 —May 10 ——— —— ; LABOR— — products—— cent;. Taxes Grand Foods March: of expenses Operating 1926=100: All commodities (ASSOC. ROADS revenues Total gations WHOLESALE I RRS.)—Month AMER. >- April..— Ltd.—Month of Bank, DEPT. GREAT BRITAIN— ISSUES IN EARNINGS—CLASS RR. 16,303 ... (000's omitted) 31 NEW CAPITAL 101 418,994 133.3 132.6 $32,036 ; ... ... Total 131.1 May 13 Feb. • MONEY IN CIRCULATION—TREASURY * INDEX —1926-36 — of dollars): Durable v (tons) Percentage of activity Unfilled orders (tons) OIL. ASSOCIATION: SALES & COMMERCE)—Month OF (millions Total NATIONAL — Inventories: 155.6 136.1 143.8 May 14 I materials 196.3 (1935-1939= INC. March.: of MANUFACTURERS 232.2 May 14 —May 14 materials Chemicals Fertilizer Farm 222.7 163.9 • May 14 May 14 Textiles Building 238.2 299.4 258.5 360.2 269.8 242.7 228.6 176.6 215.0 164.2 218.8 144.2 Cotton _ ' PURCHASES OF COMMODITIES- & Index Sales Farm products _ 420.5 -May 14 oils and Fats __ .. ... _ INTERSTATE COMMOD¬ i Foods _ ... _ Total FERTILIZER ASSOCIATION—WHOLESALE ITY INDEX BY GROUPS—1935-39=100: NATIONAL ... _ Nondurable MOODY'S COMMODITY INDEX.: 204.4 120.1 sweets. ... CONSUMER 2.38 2.99 2.71 2.78 3.03 3.45 3.26 17 17 17 186.3 206.9 - 155.1. oils and 100)—Month 17 17 17 17 May 17 May 17 __ _ May May May May May —May May , 191.7 : ^ DAILY AVERAGES: 208.5 195.1 DUN MOODY'S BOND YIELD 179.6 *213.7 fe 209.0 214.5 vegetables and 116.61 Group bakery products Clothing 114.08 Group—Public Utilities Group ——— Industrials __ and and Rent 108.16 113.89 -a—-r-———-- -———---.-r — _ 174.3 106.39 May 17 ' —— Baa Railroad 15: __ 159.8 112.19 May 17 March 193.9 116.02 Aa CITIES LARGE IN 247,100 MODERATE FOR 100—As of = • *434,900 175.5 117.80 117.00 117.40 4,438,000 — 180.1 112.93 113.12 113.12 35,151,000 2,373,000 tons) —— INDEX foods Fruits 101.31 101.64 101.56 101.66 32,800,000 3,722,000 612,200 tons)— (net (net FAMILIES Sugar i lignite Beverages DAILY AVERAGES: PRICES and anthracite (net tons) _ Fats MOODY'S 46,703,000 28,984,000 Dairy products 17.500c 14.800c 81,691,000 Meats 94.000c 12.000c 109,691,000 109,937,000 (BUREAU OF MINES)—Month coke Cereals 21.500c 103.000c 13.850c May 11 May 11 May 11 — —— — 17.925c 103,000c 99,502,000 98,178,000 31,400,000 ; items 21.200c 22.950c 18.200c $51,213 129,620,000 26,422,000 110,996,000 CONSUMER PRICE All • May 11 May 11 ——-May 11 14,280 April: Beehive All at reiinery $54,484 101,839,000 138,777,000 (lbs.) (lbs.) 19.35-1939 Domestic 7,869 13,852 OF MINES)— (lbs.) Pennsylvania QUOTATIONS): Electrolytic copper— (BUREAU $29,064 .? of March: INCOME METAL PRICES (E. & M. J. 8,567 of $): $54,533 BLACK COAL OUTPUT $40.20 $22.75 10 May 10 gross ton) (per $32,065 8,453 COM¬ (lbs.) of —' May Pig iron (per gross ton)— $102,349,000 ... 14,533 Bituminous Finished steel (,per lb.) $109,735,000 SYSTEM— DEPT. OF of March (millions stocks 3.211c ; $99,697,000 RESERVE thousands) — Shipments IRON AGE COMPOSITE PRICES: Scrap steel (in Producers' 5,342,731 5,283,592 —May 10 INC. STREET, 71,691 Total BRAD- & 79,722 (tons) GOVERNORS Retail Exports INDUSTRIAL)—DUN 65,713 period OF Wholesale CARBON .May 14 AND (COMMERCIAL FAILURES 43,216 INVENTORIES, Production (in 000 kwh.)„ 73,915 28,204 of FEDERAL April Month Electric output end at 71,017 50.995 $31,728 orders of 71,500 78,121 75,941 53,150 (tons) period Manufacturing INSTITUTE: ELECTRIC EDISON (tons lbs.) 2,000 330 INDEX—FEDERAL RESERVE SYS- SALES TEM—1935-39 AVERAGE—100 317 3,284,271 ; of end THE OF 12,732,000 963,000 May (tons) DEPARTMENT V (tons)- *317 *2,954,041 Month lbs.) MERCE—Month May May May (tons) lignite anthracite — grades INC. all DEBITS —BOARD Month S. BUREAU OF MINES): and coal Pennsylvania output, (tons of at BUSINESS COAL OUTPUT (U. (tons)— INSTITUTE, smelter 2,000 Stocks Total U. S. ZINC 317 3,312,515 reporting— freight transported Shipments RECORD: ASSOCIATION— carriers motor of 1 April: of NEWS- ENGINEERING steel steel March: of of AMERICAN Slab CIVIL and TRUCKING Month Volume freight loaded (number of cars) received from connections Revenue pounds) for castings produced of April products, including alloy and stainless (net tons)—Month of March AMERICAN RAILROADS: OF of STEEL INSTITUTE: tons)—Month (net Shipments of 7 (thousands AMERICAN IRON AND Number . Ago' (BUREAU OF MINES)— Production of primary aluminum in the U. S. ALUMINUM Gasoline output ** Year Month ALUMINUM 1,719,600 4,922,050 : Previous Month 96.2 INSTITUTE: PETROLEUM AMERICAN of that date) are as Ago 95.6 May 22 and castings (net tons) month available (dates or of quotations, cases Latest" Equivalent to— 6teel ingots in or, Year Month May 22 capacity)- of (percent Activity production and other figures for the latest week cover been Tae composite vunder the old method this week would have - 'V *• ; " WINTER BOARD WHEAT PORTING of U. S. May — DEPT. BOARD of U. S. May OF — DEPT. 1 RE¬ frit 4 ~ AGRI- (bushels) 1 1,021,476,000 v *Revised figure, (Preliminary figure. 26,388,000 21,552,000 ... CROP OF RE¬ AGRI¬ (bushels) 1 PRODUCTION CULTURE—As CROP „V • 990,098,000 , Volume COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 169 FINANCIAL & of the shares, disposed past registration under one of the v holdings for upward of statutes. $16,000,000 before the company One Result of Program passed a dividend and later re¬ One result of this program if purchased them for about $7,000,- there (Continued from page 12) private ends. If you are the holder a security wnich does not fall within any of these categories of public and registered the under Securities Act since 193t>, you are likely have to informa¬ current tion, but you do not have the but which has been offered to the benefit of the proxy and insidertrading provisions. On the other hand, if you hold a security in an industrial corporation which has not done any public financing since 1936, this whole might just as series statutes 'exist far so except for as well of not concerned are you few fraud provisions a mind how large the cor¬ —never poration how or actively its se¬ curities may be traded. Dislocation Be¬ of result this illogical disparity has been a dis¬ location of the old relationship between the exchanges and the over-the-counter market. For, just from a wai ments top executives The remuneration the and usually absent. was financial of statements in were About woefully inadequate. 13% of the companies fur¬ nished no many cases the and many statements income more densed in income statement at all, highly of con¬ to be of limited value; as they did cases some so were not even whether there had been any earnings during the year. Some 20% of the companies fur¬ report nished Over analysis no half surplus. sneets materially de¬ judged by the ac¬ were when ficient of balance the of standards One company listed 95 % of its assets under the single caption, "Property, plant and equipment, including intangibles." In another "good will" item amounted to 60% of total stated assets al¬ case a . a number of delistings of se¬ curities which were admittedly firm does not of itself assure ade¬ as a would lose fession. the carry. may is It itself not be as important a factor or recommendations the making made Trade similar a few years ago in finding a longer be said in this country. no We up the modern corporation of course, two ways with its thousands and sometimes the situation—either hundreds of thousands of scattered down—and I am sure you stockholders. It is a device which are, equalize or used for will not be surprised when I say can that our studies have persuaded us stockholders the former direction. toward me tell you briefly what mision learned in Let the Com- the studies which formed the basis of its 1946 be affairs given an are their of If good or ill. informed of the corporations and opportunity to cast their intelligently, the proxy votes proxy device may well turn out I shall refer, to have been the salvation of our first, to the lack of available in¬ formation about unregistered com¬ present-day corporate system. On the other hand, if the proxy in¬ panies; secondly, to the habits of such companies:: in soliciting strument is no check, disclosure the more than a into the same heap.. Some follow than others. But we naturally must emphasize the case of abuse if they occur in substantial number.- For it is. part device in whole our A in writer mist" on the London "Econo¬ when he Christmas Day in 1937: put priee of living in a civilized securities listed of pany Act with the longer no alternative blank a Investment Com¬ or are check of faced giving disfrachis- or themselves altogether. They must be given prescribed in¬ formation necessary to an intelli¬ gent exercise of their voting rights; they must be given an opportunity to indicate their wishes separately with respect to ing all matters which will arise at the meeting; and, so that corporate meetings will not resemble politi¬ elections cal the in one-party given a reasonable opportunity to present their own proposals and views to countries, they their fellow must be security-holders. with this Contrast the proxy compa¬ affected by proposal. We traded during exceeding 5,000 The materials sent out in Exchange and in 1944 shares. were volume a connection with 89% of the annual said it well , elect directors. as connection In with 42% of the annual meetings the of one the be items stated was to and ratification management approval of all the acts of the About 95% of the companies afford not their stockholders opportunity for a "yes" or "no" on specific items through a vote convenient ballot-type of proxy. has quite recently come One case to attention in which our form a of proxy appeared on the back of the company's dividend check, so that the stockholder who endorsed the a single company mentioned retary ever lost sleep on that ac¬ whether it had had any material count; for shareholders simply do transactions with insiders, or not come trooping by battalions. whether insiders had traded in Contrary to all theatrical canons, Frequently to it that know the to of that assume exists. the We etc cases of by insiders which Commission's to the its in fraud work have unregistered securities. These are the considerations, in highly which form, condensed have prompted proposal that the various protective features 1 have been talking about be uni¬ formly applied to all companies our of certain size and public interest regardless of listing on an ex¬ change or any other fortuity. Surely this is true: that the last persons in the world who should determination the have whether requires the application of these provisions ir a particular case are the manage¬ ments on whom the burden of the interest public It is fair to ask what the impacl Commission's the of nation's urally we proposal quantitatively be corporate we can believe the on Nat¬ economy. only estimate, but are some 3,10( there companies with assets of $3,000,000 as well as 300 security-hold¬ shows draw the thinnest and insider-trading provi¬ Of the remaining 1,500 500 are already filing with proxy sions. about other government That leaves roughly Commission. a thousand not a companies which de public reports, anc file now number which somewhat larger subject to the proxy and insider - trading provisions. O' are not while corporations may be avoid death, they canno' course, able to avoid taxes, and probably 85% of those thousand companies already have certified financial state¬ ments, that so great burden on it would be nc them to register with the Commission. of Some these play companies prominent parts in the Americar Company Aluminum scene: America; Chemical Corp.; Pacific of The Potash & Great At¬ Tea Co.; American lantic enterprise unbridled. Technicolor, Inc.: American Ooti- thought that assume only vivid that The lawyer up—and 1 one lawyer would have an imagination—well a earned his fee. Insider cal Let in connection companies. As the Commission said ago in its Tenth Annual Report to a few years Congress: "Prior to the enactment of the Securities Act, Exchange profits from 'sure thing' specula¬ in stocks the was one of the Co.; of their • cor¬ manv instances of misuse of inside information— President of where the ration and his brother, who trolled the company with a a Cement Ideal Pitts¬ The Co.; Co.; Publishing Time, Inc.; Remington Arms Co.others I could mention. of these have turn now to the insider- us & Crowell-Collier an trading problem with unregistered exchange Some securities traded on on a so-called un¬ basis, but without any of the statutory safeguards I have been talking about, and the se¬ curities of other companies in the list are traded solely over the counter. I have yet to hear r listed logical argument for con¬ tinuing to exempt companies o/ this stature from the several stat¬ single utory safeguards which Congress has successively found to be es¬ are attendant exchange listing. Our pro¬ posal would put the exchanges upon over-the-counter and market on truly competitive basis and each of the markets would be allowed to develop "in accordance with its natural genius and consistently with the interest," public one as the of Congressional committees put it in 1936. Adoption of this proposal may also remove one of the incentives toward placements and, private result, toward excessive debt financing with its rigdifying as a effects econ¬ our on Although it is problematical extent the registration omy. what to and reporting requirements now applicable to public offerings are responsible for the private place¬ ment trend, it cannot be demon¬ premium of non¬ strated that the disclosure places ties which the law' now avoidance of the securi¬ on statutes has not been one factor in the situation. Most important of is posal the an essential all, this pro¬ capstone in whose structure statutory was effort an to laid 16 years ago make corporate democracy an integral part of our national life. Political democracy has long been .taken for granted in this country, and social and labor democracy is rapidly achiev¬ ing almost the same universal recognition in principle. Corpo¬ rate democracy is no less impor¬ tant an aspect of our national life. And, just as political democracy is imperfect to the extent that any segment of the population is disfranchised, it seems to me to be equally axiomatic that our enterprise system is vulner¬ free able to the extent that ..there are in our corporate important gaps democracy. Bond Club of Buffalo To Hold Annual Picnic BUFFALO, N. Bond Y.—The Club of Buffalo will hold nual its an¬ picnic at the Wanakah Coun¬ try Club on June 10. Two with Gross, (Special to The Financial Rogers Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Tony D. Bray have LOS Garat and James R. associated become with Gross, & Co., 458 South Spring Street, members of the Los An¬ Rogers Garat geles Stock Exchange. Mr. previously Wykoff & Co. was with Edgerton, Hulburd, Warren Adds (Special to present provisions; we do not say they are perfect. Our position is merely this: that whatever provi¬ the statute should apply to all compa¬ do sions books appear on nies of certain size and with a cer¬ tain number of. securityrholders little regardless of the happenstance of Financial Chronicle) Hulburd, Warren & Chandler, 208 South La Salle Street, members of Stock the New York and Chicago previ¬ ously with Shillinglaw, Bolger &, Exchange. Mr. Engwis was cc. Cruttenden & Co. Adds to The (Special CHICAGO, Miller is Co., now members Miller Financial • of the Stock v/as Chronicle) ILL. — Anton M. with Cruttenden; & South 209 cas/of the various Chicago of corporations now categories covered by the statutes. One may criticize certain aspects of the The CHICAGO, ILL.—Earl M. Engwis has been added to the staff of sential in the corpo¬ con¬ the put burgh & Lake Erie Railroad Co.: ?>->d Trading to I have indicated, trial is complicated by con¬ management which in contrary by marking an "X" in particular space! Here is free who be as foundation compliance would fall. automatically executed a Today, a a traditional laxity insider trading, most come that forced have still abuses market have extent safe problem unless he indicated to the check proxy Christmas. a company's stock. the respect think we the the agencies public meetings did not even name the reports which are basically com¬ persons whom it was proposed to parable to those required by the ... the in change with to statutes wpuld a best . except securities subject to the Hold¬ or ing Company tion the ad¬ involved holders • Not ing. rules "Company meeting procedure is fitting topic for the festival of poration were more or less gen¬ Outwardly, it is a con¬ erally accepted by the financial society that all of us must con- glomeration of paradoxes whose community as part of the emolu¬ -form to the laws which result superb unreason best suits the ment for serving as a corporate from the actions of some, more moment when paper hats are put officer or director notwithstanding often than not a minority. on and logic leaves by the chim* the flagrantly inequitable charac¬ No hall in England could ter of such trading." The Senate The Commission studied the an¬ ney. nual reports of 119 companies possibly contain the 150,000 ordi¬ report on the bill which became shareholders of Imperial the Securities Exchange Act re¬ with assets of at least $3,000,000 nary ferred to a case—which if said and 300 or more security-holders. Chemical Industries. But no sec¬ of the before ticker journment of the directors' meet¬ statutory arsenal. Under the proxy blank proxies; and, thirdly, to the need makes for for applying the insider-trading management and leaves the. door provisions. It should go without open, as the Commission said in saying that we do not mean to its 1946 report, "for executive ir¬ throw all unregistered companies responsibility and outright fraud." better practices think We will siderations of the restrictions upon stock the over attention whole device simply self-perpetuation, of report to Congress. our they are probably the single most effective an There rules. proxy did In the proxy field the possibil¬ ity of abuse is self-evident. The the minds of corporate manage¬ proxy instrument is an essential to particularly proud of are acts. Proxy Abuses device in can the course of its since the last meeting, with no amended specification of the nature of those the statutory scheme undoubtedly is an important consideration in ments. that enacted of the dividend should be sent out lating to 152 meetings of 76 com¬ ers; this figure excludes banks O' panies; comprising all the domes¬ which would be exempted. tic companies with assets of these 3,100 some 1,600 are already $3,000,000 or more whose voting registered with the Commissior securities have unlisted trading under one act or another anc privileges on the New York Curb most of them are subject to the to buttress accountants' standards by trading, over-the-counter rules'apply, a pro¬ to study leading to the of the corporation's investment Companies Act of 1947. bankers on the question of listing versus To the extent that the Commis¬ practice, a declared is question present sion's proxy board it question of exchange listing back on the plane on wnich it belongs. dividend, of insisting that notice his speech." his whenever the unfair not proposal were the desires as heard doing in making it was examined the proxy materials re¬ There is still the prob¬ though the effects of the statute have j00. Apparently Judge Gary oi United States Steel knew what he pro¬ condition of de¬ if the they . accounting unwilling or unable to pit their own opinions against the insist¬ lem, however, of the deterrent ence of management as to the effect of the present statutory degree of disclosure—and a com¬ scheme upon new listings. Al¬ mittee of the British Board of to before voting in chairman s policy the of favor given for Commission's of company no facilities the criticism a ulations uniformly applicable to all companies of certain size and has yet degree of public ownership. The seen fit to go to its shareholders Commission's experience has been with a delisting proposal on the that, unless accountants can point basis of complete disclosure con¬ to legal requirements of good ac¬ cerning the rights which they counting standards, they are often shareholders special which would be as time required a vote of listing, and meeting. angry nies intended the Commission's accounting reg¬ the Commission for year is usually an Shareholders who soliciting practices of the This is not tified. In first crowded meeting ments examined had been so cer¬ fession that or a reconstruction really pack the hall; can quate information to the investing public, because 85% of the state¬ motivated, at least in part, by a desire to avoid these provisions. the scheme cannot attend, however, are profit-sharing arrange¬ or surely as water will flow though the company had a sub¬ hill, trading will flow from stantial accumulated deficit. In a regulated into an unregulated still another case dividends on market. Why should corporate treasury shares were boldly rermanagements list their securities ported as income. on stock exchanges and thus volun¬ It is apparent that certification tarily subject their companies and by an independent accounting themselves to the registration and ally a dividend, passed a bonuses as Prior to 1944 there were actu¬ Only heavy loss economy to peacetime operations. Information witn respect to down reporting requirements, as well as the proxy rules and the insidertrading provisions? houses. a enforced un¬ der the Securities Exchange Act. Counter Market inevitable transition the resulting changes important from counting tween Listed and Over- One auequate disclosure no examined Relationship of of was their of Legislative Program of Securities And Exchange Commission " 41 10% over , (2197) CHRONICLE La Salle Street, New. York Exchanges. and Mr. formerly with Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc. French & Crawford Adds (Special to The Financial ATLANTA, Parker has with French & etta Street Chronicle) GA.—Lawrence become C. associated Crawford, 22 Mari¬ Building. 42 COMMERCIAL THE (2198) & in such kets Boosting Federal Expenditures Now And Later: Byrd Mandate To Congress spreads permitted in primary ^issues and certain other forms of investment were financially more attractive. included space recipient to spell out in detail the reasons why he or disapproved of the NASD and its policies. your support in a campaign to In accordance with the usual procedure, the recipient firm require that every bill reaching was afforded the option of either signing or not signing its the calendar of either house of return. With the foregoing as a preliminary, we now pro¬ Congress be accompanied by a competent estimate of its annual ceed witli an analysis of the replies to the poll. either favored ultimate cost I know Government. recent con¬ tentions that some programs, and ects are we ... with the all familiar Federal the to proj¬ policies either cannot or should not be considered in terms of cost. I In but agree, may with the only to the proposals would be far better promise which a And how do fulfilled. cannot be whether meet we know our requirements until know what the requirements can we financial we question vote of the members of a reservation that frank rejection of than the deceit of indicated are? We also held that a • - . , ! | . distinctly adverse effect on the market a industry • . received have been carrying ver¬ the CHRONICLE the answers that we have to this last question. These should be a clear guide to securities corporations of the country. our for the securities of smaller For the past batim the NASD. the . The answers were both illuminating, and The general trend, with few exceptions, widespread opinion that the "5% mark-up philosophy" had mark-up yardstick." relatively few cases a disturbing. on the ballot dealt with the "5% The CHRONICLE has consistently op¬ posed this attempt at price fixing by the Natipnal Association of Securities Dealers. We maintained that the 5% philosophy was in fact a rule which should first have been submitted The first _ our country?" , and , questionnaire we had a place for comments. One of the questions asked was, "What effect, if any, do , i you think the NASD's '5% mark-up' rule has on the j market for securities of the smaller corporations of, the ' ; On for the (Continued from page 13) returps to the I because of inadequate issues dealer and because the (Continued from first page) . tionnaire, which is reproduced below, also Thursday, May 19; 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL in several weeks, we legislators. poll also asked this sweeping question: "Do you believe that the Maloney Act which made possible the crem¬ ation of NASD should be abolished?" Abolition was favored was Our opposed to this rule and the correctness of our position is reflected in the official results of the poll which is presented in the accompanying tabulation. The replies - by over 64% of NASD member returns and by over 79% of to this question indicated that more than 75% of the nonmember returns. returned ballots were opposed to the 5% yardstick. With these results, can it ever again be convincingly Among men of reason and common sense, there can no claimed that membership in the NASD is voluntary, when longer be any doubt that the vast majority of the securities it is clear that a majority of the securities industry, both in and out of the NASD—a very convincing majority—are: for inviting industry is opposed to the NASD price fixing. * Expenditures in Foreseeable Future My fourth reason attention to these long-term your Our next poll question dealt with NASD questionnaires seeking reports on spreads. This method of inquisition was the foreseeable opposed by over 74% of the NASD members who voted and extended pro¬ by over 81 % of the nonmembers answering the ballot. 1. effect current and coming the on Federal budgets in these As future. under way they momentum which grams get of obligations the assume Here forces prospects which confront us now. And every day we are trying to more. These lows: the prospects (ending July 1, 1949) $39.5 billion Expenditures 40.3 billion Fiscal 1949 Income ___ million 815 Deficit' Fiscal 1950 (ending Income _! Expenditures Deficit . July 1, 1950) $40.9 billion 44.2 billion 3.2 billion .... Fiscal 1951 (ending July 1, 1951) $40.9 billion Income Expenditures ■ 48.4 billion _____ billion 7 Deficit ular projections of the reg¬ budget. They do not take into account side of These are , 4. 5. questionnaires constituted a part of such one Opposed to its system of prohibiting discounts to -nonr _ , . repealing the Maloney Act; that is, of wining NASD. ; . " • out the overregula¬ ... . . Can it be said that members who feel that v/ay the NASD compelling the preparation of unnecessary paper work while at the same time the very organization responsible for such increase was controlling prices by narrowing the margin on joined of their up of results The direction to this own poll constitute the Congress, about volition? mandate, a . j to abolish price control by : I a NASDy to wipe out its prying policies and. invasion? : of privacy through questionnaires and fieJdT examina¬ tions, to erase that trial system which places, in one entity % the possibility of acting in the multiform capacities of investigator, prosecutor, judge and jury, to expunge monopolistic discount practices*—to do all of these by : repealing the Maloney Act which gave birth to the Na¬ the spreads. question, "Do you approve of ; 6. In favor of were a On the third , Opposed to its trial system. members of the association. costly burden upon securities dealers. On hand, the costs of business were being increased by tion and calling ! - g%:j Opposed to its system of field examinations where there neither charges nor complaints pending. are industry unfettered should be preserved. Overregulation by administrative bodies has hogtied the securities markets. for fiscal years 1949, 1950 and 1951 may be sum¬ marized and projected as fol¬ These Opposed to its system of circulating questionnaires for reports on spreads. 3. gather again the CHRONICLE was steadfast in its edi¬ expenditure budgets up and up. torial stand against these prying questionnaires which we They are responsible in a large said constituted an invasion of privacy. It was our attitude measure for the serious fiscal that the American tradition of doing business by leaving terrific Opposed to its price control policies. 2. commitments is to show you their examination by NASD of the books and records of its members against whom there are neither charges nor complaints pending?" more than 76 % of the returns by members and more than 88 % of the returns from nonmembers voted "No." tional Association of Securities Dealers. opposition to NASD examination of the books and members, so-called field examinations, is too well known to need any elaboration or further comment. Our records of its Such the public interest by restoring corporations of programs, the proposed socialized We have inveighed against this practice. The claims that the country. It will create, faith in the securities field and medicine plan, or any other oper¬ no widespread opposition to this practice exists, that only enable those in it to operate freely, to express their opinions ations which are handled through a very limited few "on the fringe" of the securities field honestly without fear of reprisal. trust funds outside the budget. were the objectors, have been irrevocably shown to be The figures on the spending WE CAN ONLY POINT OUT THE DUTY AND THE these the Social Security projections are not appropriation estimates. They are expenditure estimates. There is a vast difference. Appropriations are not necessarily expended in the year in which mined expenditures—not by ap¬ propriations—against revenue. expenditure conservative light of the revelation by this poll, the truth CAN .EARN THE GRATITUDE. OF ALL THE PEOPLE BY S QUICK RELIEF. opposition to field examinatidlHi^^13]^1 complaints exist is now firmly established. when no The trial system Final Poll Results and Text of Ballot in which the NASD acts in the .ca¬ pacities of investigator, prosecutor, judge and jury also-came in for quite a flaying. The member returns showed more than 85% opposed and the returns of nonmembers showed more than 91% opposed to this trial system. For the record, we present now ' FINAL RESULTS OF NASD POLL Of the many f*®^RETURNS FROM NASD MEMBERS I Total ballots returned that— They include no more than a increase for agricul¬ tural ent subsidies under the formula; they do pres¬ not con¬ the- Brannan plan. They do not contemplate a 70group air force. They do not project any general fund ex¬ penditures for socialized med¬ icine. If vast projects like new valley authorities are under¬ template taken, they would be in addi¬ tion. esti¬ mates will decrease with any sub¬ stantial decline from the high level of the revenue side and yet up to now nothing has been my prosperity which prevailed at Favoring multiform No time the of the Joint President's January Committee (Continued on on page Inter- 43) j opinion 216 ____755 30 or 21.6% or 75.4% or (2) ' Questionnaire for Reports on Spreads: powers 3,0% ; : ■ ' can by be a pursued and get out of hand is best illustrated recent case wherein it took our Federal Courts to - stop the onslaught of the NASI} bent on a punitive expe¬ dition in a matter wherein honest contractual differences had arisen between private count to a > Neither giving a dis¬ 92% of the :_ Complaints nor % C Charges Are Pending: __207 or 20.7% __._765 or 76.4% Opposed No non- member returns. opinion — NASD Txial System: •(4) This indefensible rule, liquidity of markets, causing the relaxing of interest in secondary markets and often the complete failure of mar- 231 or 23.1% 742 or 74.1% 28 or < 2.8% Favoring^ nonmember of the association was opposed by 69% of the member returns and by over Favoring__v__ Opposed __■ No opinion Examination of Books and Records Where (3) parties. monopolistic in its nature, should never have been authorized by the Maloney Act nor should Budget Message was submitted. You are better judges than I am it have been adopted by the NASD. The schism it has V, as to whether we shall maintain created in the securities field is pathetic and unwarranted. prosperity at the high average of This rule and "the 5% spread philosophy"-have caused incaL (5) the 1948 calendar year. If we do culabie harm to small business by interfering with the not maintain that level, experts the : Opposed done about it. The insolence with which these 1001 | 5% "Yardstick": (1) there has been talk of revising this trial system. Those in charge of this organization's affairs know that dissatisfaction with the system is quite general The rule which forbids an NASD member The Revenue Side On In the NASD proper the final results of the polPSfcjd. then 'reproduce the text of the ballot. mistakes evidencing NASD decadence;-its estimates as ultra system and method of trial by the local Business District when you realize Conduct Committee is perhaps the worst. moderate , IRNfeATEr- THE JOB RESTS WITH CONGRESS, WHICH In the probably will regard these You serve that there is widespread they are ap¬ proved. Appropriations enacted in a high revenue year may actually be spent in- a low-revenue year. Deficits or surpluses are deter¬ * untrue. repealer will the market for the securities of the smaller - Favoring-__! or 2.9% ^ 116 or 11.6% 855 or 85.4% Opposed. No opinion— / 29. ^ Rule Forbidding Discount to ,Favorihg__^—-^_— Opposed A -No "opinion ji _ _——__— L 30 or 3.0% Non-Members: r •'% ; __274 or 27.4% _l1__w691 or 69.0% —— •• 36 • or f Volume (6) 169; THE Number 4804 < Should Maloney Act Be Repealed? ij Favoring ; y y, j___643; ______ or or 27.4% 84 or 8.4% Opposed No opinion ^__ (RETURNS FROM NON-MEMBERS OF NASD) Total ballots returned-- rial Revenue ,196 i t i/y (2) "Yardstick":; vi Favoring— Opposed No opinion 1. , a loss of $5 billion in Federal rev¬ under the ; 23 or 11.7% 152 or 77.6% 21 or 10.7% .1 ; ------ - — - ___________ FavoringL— ' Opposed No (3) or 16 10.2% 81.6% *8.2% or 160 ^__ or -j. I , ' , ment If returned to we level of pros¬ a perity which prevailed at the end of the war—and we did not regard in depression a would the be 20%.( In that event, by experts' formula. Federal would enue this 13 or 6.6% 7 or 3.6% NASD Trial System: $10 billion projected figures. 180 or 91.8% 9 or 4.6% y . Rule Forbidding Discount to Non-Members: Favoring 6 or 182 or 8 or r ^ less decline in business a if and year, a do we not re¬ recession from the peak of in¬ flated prosperity will strike Fed¬ eral finances in fiscal year 1951 which ___: "Opposed v No opinion rev¬ be begins from this fiscal year shall reach the C.O.D. delivery July. we year a And in the dates the on same huge military pro¬ duction contracts which (p)■ then— the reduction in personal incomes * 10 or 5.1% trench substantially in Federal ______—173 or 88.3% spending, the first full impact of __i_ FavoringOpposed No opinion gauge If there is Are Pending: No opinion •• (4) FavoringOpposed J_,_ sys¬ in the measure¬ of other principal factors.) as. a than my Examination of Books and Records Where Neither Complaints nor Charges income ourselves 20 , opinion existing tax tem, and rates. (They use personal Questionnaire for Reports on Spreads: l calculate Taxation a 10% drop in the aggregate personal incomes would mean of enue (!,)■•; 5%. \ the (Continued from page 42) that ' :— = . 3,1 % 92.8% 4.1% we have authorized; and it is then that we shall begin paying off heavily on the new long-term civilian com¬ mitments such as housing, educa¬ tion, nnd heavy construction proj¬ ects. (6) Should Maloney Act Be Revealed? (2199) 43 Boosting Federal Expenditnres Now and Later 64.2% 274 : CHRONICLE FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL. & As I it fiscal year degree necessary is virtually impossible. Actually President submits his after the recommen-. dations, again business. at Congress never sees the budget people, and the after it is enacted. a whole until And as we pass it in relatively small unrelated on as pieces over a period of six months, our action is on appropriations — not expenditures. years now I have trying to correct this situa¬ advocating the use of a single appropriation bill which would be capable of translation into terms of annual expenditures. I am encouraged this year by in¬ creasing support for this simple change in the rules. But we haven't got it adopted yet. With such a single appropriation bill we could consider the budget as"a whole and by knowing what it means in annual expenditures we could act in the light of revenue estimates. As long as this legis¬ lative handicap exists intelligent reduction in expenditures in any substantial degree—on programs, by projects and policies already au¬ thorized— must originate in the Executive Branch. headed we for regimentation equal to that which the British are are > suffering, if not worse. Our strength is the strength of the pri¬ vate enterprise system. Strike it down and you will shear Samson's Foster it and shall we con¬ earth—a free nation with capicity and incentive. why major should make a contribution to the requirement for retrenchment by rejecting new A nation in which 6% of the world's population can out-produce the rest of the world combined. Those who, wilfully or otherwise, would destroy the American enterprise system, would the freedom of everywhere. We, alone, are bearing the standard of free¬ dom today. Without the light of our torch, freedom and progress will perish in the world. destroy people Frankly, is situation we face critical and will the exceedingly crisis about a year from analyze our pending fiscal situation in detail come to on a I now. propose floor the this week. erous But there is every reason Congress pace. tinue to be the greatest nation on been tion our going forward Unless this trend is halted, locks. Budget Reform several For activities of It is still rapid a the Senate later If you would be gen-, enough to read what I have to say, a of to I should be pleased to mail copy of the remarks to you at 1951, be¬ home. And, I would be grateful Favoring ; :-i _156 or 79.6% ginning July 1, 1950, will be legislation which would authorize for your comment' and advice. critical in Federal fiscal affairs; more and more programs, projects Opposed _ ._ 22 or 11.2% and the prospects are bleak and No opinion 18 or ' 9.2% fraught with grave public conse¬ and policies requiring additional With W. E. Hutton & Co. expenditures. quences. With this crisis virtually (Special to The Financial Chronicle) COPY OF BALLOT It is with this situation in mind upon us there are three courses PORTLAND, MAINE — Laur¬ A PERSONAL MESSAGE TO THE SECURITIES INDUS, open: The first is drastic reduc¬ that I have taken your time to discuss the trend toward long- ence H. Staples has become asso¬ TRY PERTAINING TO THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION tion in public spending. The sec¬ government commitments ond is a substantial increase in term ciated with W. E. Hutton & Co., / ' : and their effect on the Federal % •; OF SECURITIES DEALERS, INC. taxes. The third is large scale Bank of Commerce Building. Mir. Budget; to suggest that no new deficit financing. We are anxious to learn the facts regarding the attitude was previously with I shrink from the thought of the program should be entitled to con¬ Staples of the Securities industry toward the activities of the Na¬ third course. -Under current cir¬ sideration by Congress until it is Sides, Morse & Co., Inc. cumstances another peacetime accompanied by a competent esti¬ tional Association of Securities Dealers, Inc., embraced'in mate of annual and ultimate cost; sortie into deficit financing would With Chas. A. Day & Co. this poll and are therefore mailing this questionnaire to? all shatter public confidence in Fed¬ and explain why sympathetic co¬ (Special to The Financial Chronicle) operation by the Executive Branch eral securities at a time when the dealers and brokers in the United States. BOSTON, MASS. — Harold W. debt stands at more than a quar¬ is necessary if we are to reduce expenditures on programs, proj¬ Stoddart has been added to the Please answer the queries where indicated either "Yes" ter of a trillion dollars. ects and policies already author¬ If we can't or won't run this staff of Chas. A. Day & Co., Inc., or "No." ized. government on a balanced budget Washington at Court Street, mem-, We know that costs on existing A business reply envelope is enclosed for your con¬ now, I doubt that we shall ever fcers of the Boston Stock Ex¬ return to sound financing. To you programs can be cut substantially venience. •".'"V • : and me that means our credit and we know that the Federal change. y r see " , - • • 7 " HERBERT D. SEIBERT, .i..v. ■ Editor and Publisher would be destroyed and our sys¬ government doomed. tem of What New Taxes Might Do ,1. Do approve you of the NASD's "5% spread" yardstick naires calling . 3. Do you books on spreads Do of examination by NASD of the records of its members against whom you of approve acts in the trial all of the system wherein following capacities: 5. .*■ Do^you %,%aiv ^ ? 6 of approve member giving • a the NASD discount to you ' made believe ■ that □ Yes. □ No forbids □ No be 1 7. □ No Is your firm a member of the NASD? economy when it is to on tional $8 in more □ Yes □ no NAME and ADDRESS OPTIONAL had permitted, 1. I would have written you a If time personal letter.. Do you do a retail business? □ No Do yon employ salesmen? □ Yes □ No Are primarily you Bonds? , t 3. U. in S. Govt, or Municipal Rule has on if ■>.- , do you think the the market for securities of the country? ,'v^ any, □ Yes □ No v Dp you .handle principally lis ted or unlisted securities?. 4* What, effect, : dealers !:u < 4,-, COMMENTS _________ NASD's; "5% Mark-Up" of thp smaller corporations : Federal payroll we find that one nine persons in the entire American labor force is on of out a every government payroll. if that the We know Executive Branch projects, and policies already au¬ even or taxes an $5 bil¬ without deal¬ it on incomes above $6,000 yearly, but to do so would be vir¬ thorized could be reduced full a impairment without 10% of a essential function. We know that the prevailing inclina¬ tion in the Legislative Branch is single to enact more and more programs, projects and policies involving to add long-term commitments. We know to our business progress than any that almost invariably these com¬ other. Confiscate every dollar of mitments are characterized by in¬ every income above $50,000 and creased regimentation and exthe Treasury will receive only $1.7 penditure^. We know that private enterprise is the foundation stone billion. Reduction in Federal expend¬ upon which this nation has built tual confiscation of payers who can are be a doing class of tax¬ more accomplished — but a public demand bureaucracy nate on with 16 the which denied by been excessive spending — a bureaucracy which knows and practices the tricks of buying off such a demand with more spending. Under existing legislative facil¬ ities and procedures any worth¬ while reduction in expenditures on existing Federal programs, projects and policies must origi¬ a raised □ Yes to the more than 2 million on the administrative costs of programs, for it which cannot be the printed presentation of this matter. nearly 300 enough. addi¬ raise we a itures excuse a day is evidence When State and local government employees are added of declining market. a only if there is P.S.—Please daily average rate chose to take the initiative the ad- shocking blow to our eco¬ nomic system? The President says ing a and taxes billion new never costs new could Where is to put □ Yes ~ abolished? substantial tax increase Business than it is lion which possible the creation of the NASD should the I sensitive V Act be cession. □ Yes Maloney the taxes are □ Yes non-member of a of the Association? Do which rule a business a new would What □ No the Investigator-prosecutor, judge and jury? i on whether answer. and waste increasing at already receding? By all the rules know, new taxes at such a time may easily accelerate a minor business decline into a major re¬ □ No neither charges nor complaints pending.? are NASD □ Yes approve and there, 4. its members for reports transactions? on • oil the result of "f 2, Do you approve of the use by the NASD of question- - I ask you □ Yes □ No is permeated with inefficiency. The fact that Federal employment has been Government years has of Administration the Executive Branch. In the in ar¬ its is freedoms and its progress. It good system, and in most re¬ spects it is tough and durable. a But, we know that it cannot sur¬ vive excessive regimentation; it cannot survive excessive taxation; and it cannot excessive survive government competition. To is a analyze the Federal budget terrific simpler. interest job. For, to it those I wish it were is of absorbing who have been conscious of the trend which, for some time, has been developing in toward greater and chaic procedures and confusing more powerful central govern¬ language which characterize the action by Congress on fiscal legis¬ ment; toward more all-inclusive lation, intelligent curtailment to control over the daily lives of our this country With Florida Securities (Special ST. to The Financial Chronicle) PETERSBURG, FLA.- Russell W. Danzer has become af¬ filiated with Florida Securities Co., Florida National Bank Build¬ ing. ■ 44 THE (2200) COMMERCIAL Securities • • American Consolidated Fork Columbia Brokerage Co., Salt Lake City. For mining development. American common stock (par $25). June (parent) plans of Amer¬ ican at $12 per share. Underwriter—None. The proposed sale is to conform with SEC order under the Holding American Telephone & Telegraph Co. April 21 filed between $393,000,000 to $400,000,000 tenyear 3Vs% convertible debentures, due June 20, 1959. Offering-—Offered for subscription by stockholders of record May 6 at the rate of $100 debenture for each six March Power Co. • f Consolidated Avco Manufacturing Corp., New York plan" or acquisition of executives under the company's "stock option the options assumed by the former assets its of Manufacturing Corp. on upon company American subsidiary, Central Bangor (Me.) Hydro-Electric Co. April 22 tiled 4,840 additional shares ($100 par) 4^4% preferred stock and 54,304 shares of common stock (par Offering—The preferred is offered to preferred $15). and 11 at rate of record May stockholders of common each 20 preferred shares held and preferred for each 80 common shares held at $98 Va per share. The 54,304 shares of common stock is One new one for share holders of common stock at the rate of one, share for each four shares held at $23 per share. Rights Dealer Manager—Smith, Barney & Co. Proceeds—For corporate purposes, including capital ex¬ expire May 27. penditures. Bowling-Lanes, Inc. May 11 (letter of notification) 2,500 shares of 6% cumu¬ lative preferred.. Price $100 per snare. No underwriter. To construct building. Office: Room 300, Marion E. Tay¬ lor Building, 312 South 4th Street, Louisville 2, Ky. W. Watson & (Conn.) Co. Hydraulic Co. Offering—To be offered initially to present stockholders on a 1-for-10 basis. Proceeds—To short-term bank loans. Expected June 6. reduce 2 in ^ April 27 filed 500,000 shares of common. Price—60 cents share. Underwriters — Name by amendment. Pro¬ ceeds — For working capital, exploration, development Turf Club, Inc., Denver, Colo. sinking fund debentures, due Jan. 1, 1965, and 160,000 shares of Class A ($5* par) common. Offering—To be offered in units of $100 of debentures and 10 shares of stock at $150 per derwriter—Brereton, Proceeds—To • Central Rice build and Fibre & Co., operate Products a Un¬ unit. Inc., Denver, Colo. horse-racing track. • Co-op May 6 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of non-voting ($5 par). Price, $22 per share. Underwriter— common Bosworth, Sullivan & selling stockholders. Co., Denver, Colo. Proceeds to Cincinnati Gas & Electric Co. Underwriting—None. Proceeds—To finance struction / /v/./'',V''-it V-!' May 13 (letter of notification) 300 shares 6% cumulative preferred stock and 300 shares (no par) common. To be Key Broadcasting System, Inc., Oyster Bay, N. offered No con¬ program. Y. units in of underwriting. 9 Phoenix, Ariz. > Funds, Inc., Boston shares Keystone Custodian Fund certificates of participation series BA.; UnderwriterKeystone Co. of Boston. Price, market. Proceeds—For 12. filed 300,000 investment. , Lawrence Portland Cement Co., New York 7,000 shares of common Underwriter—Hemphill, Noyes & Co., New York. Price-—$13.75 per share. Proceeds to estate of Marion S. Ackerman, deceased. May • (letter of notification) 16 stock (par $10). Leeds Northrup Co., Philadelphia, & surance • in Proceeds to be deposited accordance with the Benefit In¬ of Arizona. Stock Corporation Act of 1947 Eastern Cooperatives, Inc., New York May 16 (letter of notification) 5,000 shares of capital stock (par $5). Price, par. No underwriting. Working capital. 9 Horsemanship, Elementary D. Inc., sola b.y Initial offering To be writing—None. Liberty Loan Corp., Chicago, III. 9 (letter of notification) 3,600 shares cumulative 75% share. convertible Underwriter—Sills, preferred. Price, $15 per Fairman and Harris, Inc., Working capital. Chicago. • Liquid Carbonic Corp., Chicago, Ell. May 9 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of common. Price, market. Underwriter—Walston, Hoffman & Good¬ win, San Francisco. Proceeds to selling stockholders. Inc., Springfield, Mass. May 11 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of claSs B common (no par) stock. Price $16 per share. Underwrit¬ ers—'Tifft Brothers and F. S. Moseiey & Co. Proceeds to Oil and Drilling Co.- (par 5 cents). Price, par. No- underwriter. For drilling or equipment. Office: 615 Cooper Building, Denver, Colo.;; / V/'V stock Harwill, May 9 Inc., (letter of Price, Co., Detroit. • Airlines, Inc. 13,496 shares of common To be offered in exchange to stock¬ holders of Parks Air Lines, Inc., on the basis of one share of common for 2.4 shares of Parks Air common. Office: stock St. Charles, Mich. V/: notification) 3,000 shares of common Underwriter—Charles E. Bailey & i Inc., L. I. City, N. -- • • Inland Oil be per ^ — Names bidding. writers York & Electric State The — Wertheim • Beane. & First Co. Boston and Gas • Proceeds—To Pine Kansas Mining Co., Gas American to repay \ i >■ (letter of notification) u Inc. Mines, 162,400 shares of capital stock, of which 81,200 shares will be sold publicly at & Electric Power & purchase of mining claims. No underwriter. To develop mining properties. Office: 1011 South Fremont, Alhambra, Calif. „ . Oklahoma Gas & . , Electric Co. competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.] Har¬ Securities Corp. (jointly); Lehman Brothers and Blvth & Co., Inc. Proceeds—For construction and payment. of $3,500,000 of short-term riman Ripley & Co. and Union bank loans. Expected June 7. v.." of ttvXvXvXw (parent) will sell bidding probable bidders include: Union \ K. CO i * de<i mm. Corp., Huntsville, Sbo"°"s,oc * Ala. Under¬ Price— share. Proceeds—For plant facilities, equipment \86$ <i i ■-1 pay Motors \ (6/7) May 5 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due June 1, 1979. Underwriters—Names-to be determined through Co. Light Co. $1 share and 81,200 shares will be issued in consiaeration of the transfer to the corporation of contracts for the per Denver, May 10 filed 5,000,000 shares (30 par) common. writer—Greenfield, Lax & Co., Inc., New York. $1 per I presently ' Gold short-term Keller ' Brothers, $3,000,000 of discharge i t v s' ms? I'Uii (5/25); Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & ' American North May 5 Price, 50c per Co., New York. Chicago >i Corp. Lehman Corp., Merrill construction. for part of its construction program and bank loans from Guaranty Trust Co. of New York and eight Kansas banks. offices Proceeds—To outstanding $4,000,000 of short-term notes and for hew (25c par) the First Boston Corp., (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Kidder Peabody & Co. (jointly); White, Weld & Co. Proceeds—^ Kansas Gas will use proceeds of 100,000 Private IVires to all determined bidders: W. C. and Glore, Forgan The First Boston Corp.; Jack shares be to Probable applied to the discharge of presently outstanding $4,New Colo. 1 ' May 5 (letter of notification) not to exceed 23,420 shares ($1. par) common stock. To be offered in exchange for Consolidated Smelting & Metals Corp. stock. No under¬ writer. Office: Room 507. Boston Building, Denver, Colo. to Corp. cumulative pre¬ May 9 filed 73.333 shares ($25 par) common. Offering— To be offered stockholders on a l-for-12 basis. Under¬ share. Co., Salt Lake City 600,000 shares Underwriter competitive Gas ($100 par) 000,000 of short-term notes and for new construction. share. Underwriter—WeberOf the proceeds $35,000 will be used to validate the option contract executed by Aladdin Petroleum Corp., part will be for equipment and drilling expenses and the balance will go for work¬ ing capital. Office:.521 Felt Building, Salt Lake City, Millican 16 filed 40,000 shares stock & Electric State Langley & Co.; Lehman Brothers & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. Y. (letter of notification) May 12 •/'/';';/X;■'^fJ ferred Working capital, etc. [Registration statement relating to 480,000 class A shares at $1 per share became effective April 18, 1949, and application for withdrawal of same was made May 13. No shares of the above were sold.—Ed.] r Price—$1 Building, 102 East Ninth Street, Kansas City York New May A (par 250). Underwriter—Cantor, Fitzgerald & Co., York. par): 6, Mo. May 17 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of class New ($1 Waltower par. Hotelevision, Mid-Continent May 6 (letter of notification) , May 5 (letter of notification) 600,000 shares of common 9 only about 2,614 shares will be offered publicly at $100 per share. No underwriter. For general working cap¬ through selling stockholder. Range Oil Corp., Toledo, Ohio May 12 filed 8,000 shares (no par) common, of. which & Wallace, Forbes Maumee • capital stock (par $10). Price, par. No underwriter. For the print¬ ing and promotion of sales of a book entitled "Ele¬ mentary Horsemanship." Office: Mills Building, 17th & Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W., Washington, D. C. May 10 (letter of notification) 439 shares of Front • Securities Corp.; Bl.yth & Co., Inc. and Cleveland ($10 par) May ital. Washington, C. If competitive Pittsburgh partici¬ the trustees under the deed of trust. price of the employees' shares will be between $116 and $118 per share, while the participating shares will be offered at $100. Under¬ pating shares. 450,000 shares.r Underwriter—Exemption from competi¬ tive bidding is sought in connection with this offering. San Francisco Pa. Price, market. Underwriters—Chas. B. White Co., Hous¬ ton; First Southwest Co. and Rauscher Pierce' & Co., Dallas. Proceeds go to Bennett L. Wooley, a stockholder. which Bosto.v t with Association. operative • Philadelphia unit. per facilities.,, Mar-Tex Realization Corp., Dallas, Texas April 28 (letter of notification) 35,000 shares of common. May 16 filed 550,000 shares of common stock (no par) New York at $100 of each share one To expand operating Keystone Custodian May Utah. April 15 filed 249,334 common shares (par $8.50). Offer¬ ing—Offered for subscription by stockholders of record May 12 in ratio of l-to-9 at $22 per share;: Rights expire June 3. Co., Insurance wagon. May 5 (letter of notification) 25,000 shares of capital stock (par $1). Price, par. Underwriter—Arizona Co¬ common. Co., Inc. Boston pany's construction program. stock May 5 filed $1,600,000 of 6% First Corp., Alex Brown & Sons; John C. Legg & Co. Price— Expected about $60 a share. Proceeds—To finance com¬ per and other purposes. stockholders of record June Underwriters—The ratio. l-for-6 a (par $1). Carnegie Mines Ltd., Montreal, Canada Centennial for subscription by offered • (6/6) April 26 filed 36.000 shares of common stock (par $20). Underwriters—Smith, Ramsey & Co., Gaynor, Clemence & Co., Chas. W. Scranton & Co., Hincks Bros. & Co., T. Bridgeport Offering—To be May 18 filed shares of common stock. • • Power Co. Light & of Baltimore new offered to Electric Gas manufacture a low-priced, Expected latter part of to station June. • Consolidated • capital working medium-sized May 18 filed 2,200 employees' shares and 2,200 Engineering the State Treasurer Nov. 20, 1946. Offer¬ Calif. share of preferred and two April 22 filed 387,041 shares ($3 par) common stock. The stock is reserved for issuance to officers and supervisory per Corp. May 9 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of ($1 par) common. Price, $5 per share. No underwriter. For working capital. Office: 620 N. Lake Avenue, Pasadena, (5/25) shares of common for each $45 principal amount of notes. Underwriter—The First Boston Corp. Proceeds—To pay $700,000 of temporary bank loans, to provide $1,000,000 for current general corporate purposes and for construction. Inc. ing expected after June 3. poses. 10 filed $3,150,000 of interim notes, due Dec. 15, 1951, Notes are convertible after June 15, 1950, into one Mines, Proceeds—To develop mining properties. York. panies; for extensions, additions and improvements to its own telephone plant; and for general corporate pur¬ Arkansas-Missouri Silver filed 30 and • Caribou 376,250 shares (no par) common stock. share. An additional 50,000 shares will be sold to the underwriter at $1 per share for invest¬ ment. Underwriter—William L. Burton & Co., New offered May of .group Price—$2.50 associated companies; for the pur¬ for subscription by such com¬ and a Consolidated shares of capital stock held at par (flat). Rights expire 20. Underwriting—None. Proceeds—For advances stock Underwriting—None, but The First Boston agreed to use its best efforts to form and $61,958,000. June of ISSUE PREVIOUS security dealers to solicit stock¬ holders' subscriptions for the new shares. Proceeds— Will be added to the general funds to be used in con¬ nection with company's 1849 construction program, which will involve net expenditures presently estimated at Company Act which calls for United's sale of American subsidiary has manage Light stock holdings. chase 14. Corp. Offering—United Light & Railways Co., the sale to its stockholders of the 634,667 shares to SINCE Gas plus additional shares not taken up by 6thers. Price, by amendment. Subscription rights will expire about Light & Traction Co. May 13 filed 034,067 shares of ADDITIONS Thursday, May 19, 1949 Registration System, Inc. (5/24) May 6 filed 1,345,300 shares common stock. Offering— Holders of 13,452,874 shares of common stock of record May 24 will be given rights to subscribe to the new shares at the rate of one share for each ten shares held, City, Utah May 9 (letter of notification) 400,000 shares of capital stock. Price 25 cents per share. Underwriter—Cromer • in Now INDICATES Salt Lake Mines, CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & ,-roS Bos 9M fv York CvUc kpo 'i;l f; Volume COMMERCIAL THE Number 4804 169 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Sightmaster Corp., New Rochelle, N. Y. May 9 (letter of notification) 425,940 shares of common/ stock (par 50) and options for 107,562 common shares (owned by Michael Kaplan and sold for his benefit). Underwriter—Willis E. Burnside, & Co., New .York. * Price—500 per share. General fund to be used in ex¬ pansion of manufacturing facilities, working capital, etc. / May 23, 1949 _.—Common Raymonds Concrete Pile Co May 24, 1949 Columbia Gas System Inc Missouri-Kansas-Texas Noon Common Building, 320 South Main Street, Salt Lake City, Utah. ' ' " %" _■///';■•;//» ;■ Equip. Trust Ctfs. 1949 May 25, > .Interim Notes Arkansas-Missouri Power Co.__ South Delaware Lackawanna & Western RR. New York U. June 1, Public Service Equip. Trust Ctfs. Sperry Corp. Staten Island ; : ;- • Air RR. Line & A/'*■ 'A; June __Bonds • Bonds Bonds June • .Equip. Trust Ctfs. Pipe Line Co., Newcastle, Wyo. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of common. Plains May 13 Price, $100 of pipe Petroleum Public Service Co. of New Hampshire a competitive bidding. New England Public Service Co. (parent), holder of 58.88% of the outstanding common cancellation stock of Public Service' will surrender for warrants evidencing preemptive right to its sub¬ scribe for the additional common stock to which it is en¬ titled and will not subscribe to any of the new common stock. 1, shares in of excess the- company's preferred stock will be offered a similar opportunity to subcribe to the new, unsubscribed shares. Proceeds—For construction and repayment of short-term bank & borrowings. Probable amendment. Underwriters—Names by Kidder, Peabody underwriters: Public Service Co. Underwriters 1979. — Names to be • /Public Service Co. of Oklahoma (6/1) May 9 filed 50,000 shares of ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ Underwriters—Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders include: Glore, Forgan & Co. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co.': and Central Republic Co. (jointly). Proceeds—To pay the cost of property addi¬ tions and betterments. Public Service Expected June 1. Electric & Gas Co. (6/7) May 6 filed $75,000,000 first and refunding mortgage bonds, due June 1, 1979. Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly). Proceeds—To reimburse, in part, the company for past construction expenditures; and to pay at maturity $9,475,300 of Hudson County Gas Co. first mortgage 5% gold bonds/ due Nov. 1, 1949. Bids ex¬ pected to be opened June 7. • Puget Sound Seed Co., Inc. May 10 (letter of notification) 20,000 shares ($1 par) capital stock. Price, $1.25 per share. No underwriter. For additional working capital. Office: 1411 Fourth Avenue stock. stock June Edison Corp. shares ($100 • to one new Proceeds to Texas Sunny Hills Ranch, Inc. pre¬ . Oil & - Newhard, Cook & Co., as underwriters. Gas Bros. & Hutzler; Lehman Brothers. Lackawanna & Western * / ./ / RR. . (5/25) for bids td be re¬ Treasurer, at Room dated April 1, 1949, and are to mature $210,000 annually 1, 1950-64. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Freeman & Co.; The April First Boston Brothers • year , Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman (jointly). Iowa May Power & Light Co. 12 reported company may be in the market this with $7,500,000 first mortgage bonds and $3,000,000 common Rys. Co. stock, the latter to be sold to United Light & (parent). Bidders for bonds may include Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lehman Brothers; Blyth & Co., Inc.; W. C. Langley & Co., and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Glore, Forgan & Co., and \ G. A. Co. a S. stockholders, in the ratio of 2008, 140 Cedar Street, New York, before noon (EDT) May 25 for the purchase of $3,150,000 in l-to-15-year equipment trust certificates. The certificates will be Blosser, Chicago; Carr & Co., Detroit, and Lester & Co., Proceeds—To build chemical plant and to replace working capital used for capital additions. [Un¬ U. common The company has issued invitations ceived at the office of J. G. Enderlin, Co. previous registration statement (No. 7637),,which became effective Sept. 24, 1948, company sold 43.159 shares of 6% cumulative preferred stock for a total of $97,108 and removed 131,841 shares from registration March 21, 1949.] Public Service Co. market Delaware Los Angeles. der per-5 be & Beane and mon Trenton Chemical Co., Detroit, Mich. March 30 filed 131,841 shares 6% cumulative convertible class B preference ($2 par). ••Underwriters—Straus & Becker A;/ / & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & ■. ' • .Kansas City Power & Light Co. May 12 reported company will require additional pub¬ lic financing to complete its construction and expansion program. Details not available. Gas Corp., Shreveport, La. (5/25) April 26 (letter of notification) 800,000 shares (100 par) common. ;Price—37V20 per share. Underwriter—Stewart J. Lee & Co., New York. For drilling and equipping five wells and for working capital. Virginia Electric & Power Co. (6/6) May 4 filed $20,000,000 first & refunding mortgage bonds, due June 1, 1979. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: White, Weld & Co.; Union Securities Corp.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—For construction. Bids expected to be opened 6. working "/-/•'••••// , a of actual System, Inc. May 13 reported company has under consideration the sale early in September of $11,500,000 debentures. Prob¬ able bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Salo¬ Co.; Merrill Lynch/Pierce, Fenner & Beane Rauscher, Pierce & Co. > ; and on record according to M. S. Luthringer, contemplating offering 446,GOO shares of /Columbia & —Beer $14,625,000 leadership of The First Boston Corp. ner ' . of adequate Clinton Industries, Jnc. May 16 reported company plans sale of 150,000 common shares at an early date with Merrill Lynch, Pierce Fen¬ underwriter. / loan an • ^Engineering & Manufacturing Co., Inc., build necessary ; No as company, is upon the Dallas, Texas April 22 (letter of notification) not more than $100,000 ($1 par) common stock. Price, at market. Underwriters porate ''/• //. share. per - Depend¬ conditions, it is expected this offer¬ made about the middle of June and will be underwritten by a group of investment bankers under Underwriters—Wagenseller & Durst, Inc., and Lester & Co. To buy Antelope Liquid Gas Co. $15.95 ; share for each five shares outstanding. ing will $25 per share. Price, soon stock to common series B preferred and 20,000 shares ($1 par) common— issuable upon conversion of preferred. Price—Preferred stock. as Illinois the 12 President, determined be refinance bank basis Central May (6/1-15) cumulative par) Underwriters—Names *•" ■ ferred. 15. • Raymond Concrete Pile Co., New York (5/23) May 12 (letter of notification) 389 shares of common (treasury) stock (no par). Price, market (about $18.75 per share. Stock will be sold on New York Curb Ex¬ change through Kidder, Peabody & Co. General cor¬ ' Of the prefer¬ ent Y.) ' ' • Caterpillar Tractor Co. May 17 stockholders, among other thihgs, created an issue of 350,000 shares of new preferred stock. Company is negotiating with a nation-wide investment banking syndicate headed by Blyth & Co., Inc., for the public offering early in June of 250,000 shares of new pre¬ Gas Service, Jhc., Ontario, Calif. (letter of notification) 4,000 shares ($25 par) March 31 June Building, Seattle, Wash. purposes. (N. Brothers WA///-V/ /■'/ earnings and other conditions permit. Suburban determined for such purposes. stock. manent through competitive bidding. Probable bidders on bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Har¬ riman Ripley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Otis & Co. On Preferred: W. C. Langley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; The First Boston Corp. Proceeds—To pay off $1,500,000 of short-term notes and for construction; Bonds expected June 1 and ital series E, through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only); The First Boston Corp. and Coffin & Burr Inc. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Blyth & Co. (jointly); Smith, Barney & Co. and Harriman Ripley & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—For con¬ struction, including repayment of short-term borrowings ferred Island Lehman underwriter, Wertheim & Co.. intend to Texas common. Co./and & '///'A;/ 'A:;:y*V; A/A/'■ Brooklyn Union Gas Co. //May 12 Clifford E Paige, Chairman, states that directors Sunny Hills Mutual Water Co., Fullerton, Calif. May 11 (letter of notification) 892 shares ($1 par) cap¬ of New Hampshire May 18 filed $4,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due Dallas Ripley • e Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc. • Co.. Harriman tional South¬ registered 1979, and 40,000 ferred Common stockholders will be entitled to purchase of their ratable allotment; and holders Gas Halsey, Stuart on increasing authorized stock from 1,40C,560 shares to 2.500,000 shares Company has no plans at present for immediate dis¬ posal of any of the additional common shares. Tradi¬ May 9 filed $2,750,000 of first mortgage bonds, due May one-for- eight basis. Unsubscribed shares will be sold to under¬ writers, who also may receive compensation for solicit-, ing stockholder subscriptions. The company requests that the offer and sale of the stock be exempted from the being Staten (par $10). May 9 filed 104,804 shares of common stock be offered to stockholders on Offering—To Union Probable bidders: common construction in mar¬ • Bristol-Myers Co. July 5 stockholders will vote ex¬ 1-for-10 a '///. ;', $5,000,000 equip¬ Inc.; Salomon Bros.' & Hutzler; The First Boston (jointly)// • 'Sperry Corp., New York (6/1) May 13 filed $20,000,000 sinking fund debentures, due June 1, 1969. Underwriter—Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Hornblower & Weeks. Proceeds—To discharge bank loans and for working capital. April 25 filed 1,150,000 shares ($1 par) common of which, 1,000,000 on behalf of company and 150,000 by New York; Co., Ltd. Price—50 cents per share. Underwriters— To be named by amendment. -Proceeds—For adminis¬ tration expenses and drilling. ' on investment Co. Corp.; 18,378 shares will be used by Southern Union to pay for expenses of merger. Under¬ writer— E. H. Rollins & Sons, Inc. Toronto Canada Ltd., & subsidiary, Alabama Gas Corp. ence line. Power stockholders Proceeds—For stock common share of Texas Public Service For construction share. No underwriter. per offered to RR. ment trust certificates. Co. May 9 filed $3,679,464 of sinking fund debentures, due July 1, 1964, and 306,622 shares ($1 par) preference stock under a proposal to merge with Texas Public Service Co. Stockholders of the latter company will receive $12 of debentures and one share of preference for each 27, 1949 Atlantic Coast Line RR.__ Bids & ket about June 20 for the sale of about continua¬ a (jointly); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.), Ohio Baltimore May 18 reported company is expected to be in the Gas Underwriter—None. Southern Preferred Staten Island Edison Corp June ern's (6/27) • (6/1) Proceeds—To finance Natural Offering—To be 1949 15, RR. Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Co.; Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; Carl M. and for additional Equip. Trust Ctfs. Southern Ry._— Southern basis. 1949 June 8, Coast Line ders: Co., Birmingham, Ala. / May 13 filed 141,853 shares '($7.50 par) common stock. 7, 1949 Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co Electric Co. tion of the company's construction program. pected to be opened on or about June 1. Common Public Service Electric & Gas Co.—. < & Gas Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; White, Weld & Shields & Co. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Loeb, Rhoades & Co. " June Indiana Union Securities 6, 1949 Bridgeport Hydraulic Co.____ Virginia Electric & Power Qo Atlantic of construction finance Proceeds—To Office: 7904 Santa Monica Calif. 46, Lehman Brothers and c___Equip. Trust Ctfs. (EDT)__ June York. Southern __Bonds Edison Corp.__ New working capital. Hollywood May 9 reported company plans the sale about June 27 $8,685,000 equipment trust certificates. Probable bid¬ l-for-4 basis at $7.62% per share. 1., Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody a April 29 filed $3,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due June .1, 1979. Underwriters—Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart Debentures '/f ,tc•/' ■ June 2, 1949 /A/'/'' / Seaboard Noon —• Co., on program. ......Preferred ——Bonds Southern Indiana Gas & Electric Co v expire & Okla._..__ Co. of May 13 Rights 1949 Northern Pacific Ry._..— Boulevard, ^ Electric & Gas Co. Carolina record Common S. Oil & Gas Corp tures and for at April 11 filed 308,000 shares common stock (par $4.50). Offering-—Offered for subscription by stockholders of (EDT)__- ^-;—Equip. Trust Ctfs. State Electric & Gas Corp Common Noon offered Youth Films, Inc., Hollywood, Calif. May 9 (letter of notification) 500 shares of capital stock. To be sold privately at $100 per share. No underwriting. To defray costs of producing four feature motion pic¬ September, were (EDT)___. . • 1948, *99,000 shares of stock (par 250) $3 per share of which 28,010 shares sold. Unsold 70,990 shares split into 425,940 shares and now being offered;] ^ /- % «* 4 / *. J :/\ - * J / [In RR. 45 Darling . NEW ISSUE CALENDAR (2201) • Wasatch Combined Mining & Milling Co. May 13 (letter of notification) 500,000 shares of capital stock (par 10c). Price, par. No underwriter. j T6'"pur¬ chase necessary equipment for the mining of ore, to • Missouri-Kansas-Texas RR. (5/24) Company will receive bids up to noon (EDT) May 24 at its office, St. Louis, for the purchase from it of $2,550,000 equipment trust certificates, third series, 1949. The certificates are to mature 1949, through June 15, 1964. Stuart semi-annually Dec. 15, Probable bidders: Halsey, & Co., Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, &" Co./(Inc.); The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly). Hall • New England Electric System stockholders voted to increase common stockj from 7,500,000 to 8,500,000 shares and to reduce pari from $20 to $1. Expected sufficient stock, to raisej $6,000,000, will first be offered stockholders. Probable! bidders include Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, May 17 ■Kinder, Pegbody & Co, and White, Weld & Co. (jointly);! Harriman Ripley & Co. and .Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly). ' / - buildings, for exploratory work, and for capital and development work. Office: 307 . ;/// (Continued on page 46) / :H: 46 (Continued from page 45) • Northern Pacific Ry. (6/1) The company has issued invitations for bids to be re¬ ceived June for the 1 purchase from it of $6,450,000 in equipment trust certificates, to be dated June 15, 1949, and to mature serially June 15, 1950-64. Probable bid¬ ders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Lee Higginson Corp.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Pacific Gas & Electric Co. May 17 reported company plans the sale in October of $75,000,000 of bonds. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp. of common stock to its parent, American Power' & Light Co. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Kidder, Peabody, & Co. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co. and E, H. Rollins & Sons (jointly); Union Securities Corp.; DrexelCo. and Hemphill, Noyes & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; 000 Owen, Farr, Gallagher & Walton, 15 Broad Street, New York, up to noon (EDT) June 2. Probable bidders: Hal¬ sey, man Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harri¬ Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); The First Boston Corp. • South , Carolina Power Co. May 17 reported plans to sell •$4,000,000 of bonds this year to finance part of its 1949 construction program. Probable bidders include: The Thursday, May 19, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Salomon First Boston Corp.; Hal¬ V & Hutzler. Bros. Blythj • Union Gas System, . Pennsylvania Electric Co. May 9 reported company is expected to be in the market for $5,000,000 of bonds and $5,000,000 of preferred stock, when its parent, Associated Electric Co., has retired all of its indebtedness. Probable bidders for preferred: Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Smith, Bar¬ ney & Co.; White, Weld & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co. For bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Equitable Securities Corp. Rochester Gas & Electric Corp. new money requirements of the corporation for May 10 the balance of 1949 amount to $3,500,000, but no defini¬ tive plans for raising these funds have yet been de¬ veloped. In addition, company's management is con¬ sidering the advisability of carrying out the refunding of its series ci H, and I bonds, amounting to approxi¬ mately $8,000,000. • St. Joseph May 12 company Light & Power Co. plans to sell bonds to the public and additional Electric common stock to parent, Continental Gas & Corp., in order to tiannce its 1949-51 construc¬ tion program. Probable bidders for bonds: Blyth & Co., Inc.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); White, Weld & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; The First Boston ; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers; (jointly); Harris, Hall &. Co. (Inc.). company to construct and operate the Canadian part of the pipe line. It is expected, an American corporation J will be formed to construct andv. operate/ the American Corp.; : end of the line and that application will be made to the certificate of necessity. The completed line will, it is expected, cost about ;$175,000,000. The financing of the projected line wilTbe handled by Eastman, Dillon & Co. | Southwestern Gas & Electric Co. ® FPC in due course for SEC permission to sell com¬ petitively $4,500,000 first mortgage bonds, series C, due June 1, 1979, and $2,500,000 preferred stock. Probable I bidders include: Blyth & Co., Inc., and Stone & Webster Securities Corp.; Lehman Brothers; Halsey, Stuart & : Co, Inc. (bonds); White, Weld & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Glore, Forgan & Co. and W, C. Langley & Co. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. May Seaboard Air Line RR. (6/2) Bids for the purchase of $3,435,000 equipment trust cer¬ tificates series F, dated June 1, 1949, due in 15 equal annual and 12 May company asked • 11 Worcester County Electric Co. has petitioned the Massachusetts Depart¬ company . years, and bear interest not out because the of circular mailing By JOHN BUTTON mailed was to . The We a 14,960 Shares of $1.20 cumulative participating preferred stock was /underwritten by a syndicate headed by William M. Rosenbaum & Investment The day of the offering an advertisement appeared in the "Union News" which is a bi-weekly publication of the General Electric Com¬ Field Annual Field Day at Sleepy Hol¬ low Country Club, Scarborough, Springs, W. Va.) June 21-24,1949 (Canada). N. Y. • of Canada 33rd„annual the Board' of June 6, 1949 (Chicago, 111.) pany's Local 255. The evening before this advertisement was run in Chicago Stock Exchange annual the union paper, the Berkshire "Evening Eagle" also ran a two-column Governors at the Greenbrier. now come underwriters, included picture of the head of the loan company, and concluded by saying "that Berkshire County investors have had little opportunity to invest in local organizations through new issues of stock." tative of the a Mention was >' ■!K copy of this of the circular that low it the * > newspaper story was then reproduced on one side was sent to the" General Electric employees. (Be¬ usual the information top half of the page, there was printed a (Baltimore, Md.) Traders As¬ sociation annual outing at the Hillendale Country Club. June map of the territory served by the Federal Loan Company, and a reproduction of the offering advertisement. At the bottom of the page this legend apr peared: "If you are interested in further information with regard to this stock, it may be obtained from Harry B. Johnson, Tifft (Cincinnati, Ohio) Municipal Bond Dealers Group Annual Spring Party. Cocktail party for out of town guests June 6th; outing June 7 at the Kenwood Country Club. June 6-7, 1949 Baltimore Security May 23, 1949 Association (Chicago, III.) Stock Exchange of Firms' members assemble on route June (Chicago, 111.) Chicago luncheon meeting, Illinois Room of the La Salle June 9, 1949 New York ciation (New York City) Golf Security of Salt Lake May 26, 1949 Annual Tournament at Outing the and Weston June 24, 1949 (New York City) Investment Association of New York annual outing at the West¬ chester County Club, Rye, N. Y. (New York City) Municipal Bondwomen's Club spring luncheon meeting at 12:30 p.m. at The* Wall Street Club. ~ (Denver, Colo.) Stock June 10, 1949 V (Chicago, 111.) June Bond -Club (Buffalo, K. Y.) of Buffalo - 25, 1949 (Chicago, 111.) Bond Traders Club of Chicago outing at the Nor¬ Hills Country Club. / < June 28, 1949 (Detroit, Mich.) ' Securities Traders Association of Detroit and Michigan annual sum¬ mer City. > an¬ nual outing at Inverness Country Club. • : annual summer Weston, Mass. June 9, 1949 Exchange Firms spring meeting in Denver and Security Traders Association of Angeles annual spring party at the Arrowhead Springs Hotel. dic tion at Schwartz Restaurant. May 24-28, 1949 30th Golf Club, Analysts annual meeting and elec¬ Association (Boston. Mass.) Boston Securities Traders Asso¬ Society of : . (Los. Angeles, Los . Hotel. May 24, 1949 1949 8,-1949 (New York City) Municipal Forum of New York June 24, 1949 (Toledo, Ohio) Bond Club of Toledo 15th annual meeting and election. spring meetings. May 23, 1949 meeting >at Lodge, Ontario. 24-26, f/ .; Dealers Association Calif.) - " Bond Club of * * required by the Securities and Exchange Commission on all such mailings. This gave the number of shares offered, a brief description, price to public, underwriting discounts, proceeds to company, and the exemption and approval Or disapproval clause etc.) On the opposite side of the circular, on was Minaki Meeting of May 20, 1949 to also made that the Pittsfield represen selling group was Tifft Brothers, managed by Harry B. Johnson. Investment election. to Main Street in earnest The story was headed, "Loan Company Seeks Capital From General Electric Labor." The story of the Pittsfield Loan Company was (presented in the main highlights; its long record in business, how it had grown, the reason for the additional working capital, the (Detroit, Mich.) , Investment Bankers Association Spring ; . Hay 18-21,1949 (White Sulphur Co. 1949 ing at Wampanoag Country Club, June 17,11949 (New Jersey) West Hartford, Conn. Bond'Club of New Jersey Annuar Field Day at Rock Spring June 3,1949 (New York City) Club, West Orange, N. J. ' ; Bond Club of New York 25th EVENTS In 17, Bond Club of Detroit annual (Connecticut) outing at the Grosse lie Golf and Security Traders Association of Country Club. ; /... Connecticut annual summer out¬ COMING the General Electric In order to tell you about the circular we have to reconstruct what appears to be a well planned campaign. Recently the Federal Loan Company of Pittsfield, made the first public offering of its stock in its 22-year history. An issue of Security Traders As¬ Country'Club, June 3, 1949 the employees of Street had Cleveland (Cleveland, Ohio) sociation annual summer party > at Kirtland County June Company in Pittsfield, Mass. news item that Wall June 17, 1949 to find out more if you were interested. in the shop—the fellow who is circular that an advertisements. a directly working for wages. Burton M. Strauss of William M. Rosenbaum & Co., 285 Madison Avenue, New York, members of the New York Stock Exchange, has sent us a man as ' Municipal Bond Club of Boston Annual Outing at the Concord ad would stand Country Club, Concord, Mass. Such other financial of June 17, 1949 (Boston, Mass.) follow-up told the whole story and where 4° We would say that it was good job—paving the way for business and a strong personal follow-up either over the telephone or by additional mailings. go The trend toward selling the smaller investor is continuing. have just received an interesting campaign designed to go absence exceeding $0 Proceeds-would 314%. indebtedness to banks, incurred to finance temporarily a portion of the company's construction program. It is anticipated the sale of the bonds will be consummated in early July. -'-'"K'.. ■ In addition, it will sell $3,000,- ing for business/from this type of investor; over be used to pay Power & Light Co. reported company plans to sell $7,000,000 of 1 public in order to finance its construction Securities Salesman's Corner authority to issue $5,500,000 of first mortgage bonds, to mature in not to the expansion program. a ment of Public Utilities for Texas bonds " The mally offered. (This may have created interest among some other investors in addition to General Electric employees.) The advertise¬ ment in the labor paper was the right place to go if you were look¬ to the . 4 • installments, will be received at office of Willkie, ] i V • Inc. J Loeb,; April 18 stockholders "increased authorized preferred Rhoades & Co. ' * stock (par $100) from 5,000 to 8,000 shares and: author- } • Southern Ry. ■'S'm'-v*'" ized common (no par) from 80,000 to 100,000 shards.; Company proposes to offer 2,000 preferred shares 'in May 17 stockholders approved the creation of a newi June to residents of Kansas only. v first mortgage on the East St. Louis (Ill.)-New Albany. ; (Ind.) line, and with approval of the ICC to sell $12,- t • Wert Coast Transmission Co., Ltd. ' 474,000 principal amount of bonds in order to refinance , May 13 announcement was made of the initiation of a J the company's St. Louis Division first mortgage 4% project for the construction of a 1,400 mile 30-inch nat¬ bonds maturing Jan. 1, 1951. Probable bidders: Morgan ural gas pipe-line to run from northern part of Prov¬ Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Bos- / ince of Alberta, Canada, west and then south through ton Corp. passes in the Canadian Rockies to Vancouver, B; 0. and • Southern Railway (6/8) thence south through" Washington and- Oregon irito The company, has issued invitation for bids to be re-• Northern California. An act has been passed by the ceived June 8 for the purchase from it of $7,500,000 in Senate and House of Commons of the Canadian Parlia¬ H equipment trust certificates, to mature in 30 equal semi- < ment and sanctioned by the Governor General creating annual installments. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart the West Coast Transmission Co., Ltd., the Canadian sey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; & Co., Inc.; W. C. Langley & Co. and Carl M. Bros. & Hutzler. • COMMERCIAL THE (2202) , S party, at the Lochmoor Club, Pointe Woods, Mich. V Grosse annual June 28, 1949 (Omaha, Neb.) Nebraska investment dealers Bond'Club spring ; frolic ht the on Omaha Country Club, to bb pre¬ price of the stock at $20.00 was one that would have appeal to those lation of officers, June TO, 1949 (Los Angers, Calif.) ceded by a cocktail party June 27 Who might have some savings to invest in a local security that was Bond Club of Los Angeles field May 27, 1949 (New York City); at the Ohiaha Athletic Club in well town, and that offered a 6% return wth the further attraction Toppers Annual Outing at Rock day and outing at the Bel-Air honor of of a participating interest in additional earnings of the company. out-pf-towh gdesta. ' ;, ;}»1 Springs ' Country Club, West Country Club. : There Was also a total gross Spread of $2.40 in the business and it Sept. 9-U, 1949 (Oregon) Is'. Orange, N. J. ■ ■'./>. ,-•/ June 10-12, 1949 (Minneapolis, v would appear that this was large enough to allow for the expense Pacific Northwest Group of the involved in soliciting orders that might average out to be fairly May 27, 1949 (Philadelphia, Pa.) Minn.) Investment Bankers Association Philadelphia Securities Associa¬ Twin City Security Traders As¬ small. The publicity obtained in the Berkshire "Evening. Eagle" 1949 meeting at the Gearhart tion annual- field day at the sociation Summer Party at Gull practically told the highlighted story of the offering in itself, and Brothers," and t gave the firm's address and telephone number, that this type of advertising would pay if used situations such as was the case in this instance. First of all the It would appear Eowling League of Bond Trad¬ Club Of Chicago annual din¬ ner at Morrison Hotel, and instal¬ picnic ers Club.' at the Wanakah Country • . v ; the combined use of this reprint along with the original offering an¬ nouncement, when put together in a simple form (using both sides of the circular) we believe is an original and effective, yet inexpen¬ Club, Aronomink, Lake. Aronomink Golf ■Pa. May 30, 1949 "• •'■"// v }'/ • (New Orleans, La.) June 10, 1949 (New York City)' Hotel, (jearhart, Oregon., /; Oct. 5-9> 1949 (Colorado HpHng)s» •. Colo.) r :. National Security Traders As-* Municipal Bond Club of New Bond Club of New Orleans an¬ mailing. By sending it to the employees of the General Elec¬ York Field Day at Sleepy Hollow 80010:^611* Annual Convention at Company, there were no doubt quite a few who received it Who nual field day at the Metairie The Broadmoor Hotel. Country Club. / • v v , knew of the Federal Loan Company, .since it was a well established Country Club. local concern with whom they may have even done business at some Dec. 4-9, 1949 (Hollywood, Fla.) ^ June 3, 1949 (Chicago, 111.) / • ;VV, June 15,1949 (Minneapolis,Minn.) time or. other. Investment Bankers Association '.V/-... .^ Twin City Bond Club annual Bond Club of Chicago annual , sive tric - .. This campaign has the following good points to recommend it: Favorable publicity was obtained for the issue before it was for¬ field dav at Knoll wood Forest. 111. ■ Club, Lake picnic at the White Bear Yacht ' ' . Annual Convention at the wood Beach Hotel. Holly¬ COMMERCIAL, & THE Number 4804 Volume 169 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE by a v desire to help spur equity: big offering of 800,000 shares of new $25 par value common stock financing, or its equivalent. ; \ Was placed on the market yester¬ Gertairily - the reduction in f; day, May 18, at $32 Vi per share. requirements on such; ^ margin purchases from 50 to 25% should : '; for financing taking, which through its con- ' if version feature, is equivalent,to i 4^ i equity • financing.,: • 'V;V|:;';t: f ■ \ Telephone ' Underwriters graph' Go's new ten-year 3Ys% debentures now have convertible been ;trading on a "when issued" basis for the better part of:a fort¬ ing night Without arising ahythihg in the way of real trading enthusi¬ ! ica's In fact -dealers Putting It * ■*' more ■{.. He had recited the experience of Pennsylvania Electric Co. when it sold 101,000 shares of preferred, in 1945, to 838 accounts of which only 84 were in its territory, to replace about a like , amount of preferred held by 6700 accounts in its area. "If it is desirable 4o Major buyers, of course, are not particularly1 interested in the con¬ version privilege, which the de¬ bentures carry (as such) though they realize that with a good stock market this privilege could add handsomely to their, markets ability. ' home the if and owned 4 At the moment, keen observ¬ ers report that there is no ap¬ the course the tremendous undertaking, to up short. or of this issue will put the in funds to liquidate it can a held note by it could $395,000,000 run there- or abouts, is probably of retarding- a influence at the moment. RALEIGH, N. Ehringhaus is Merrill C. k Vice Pres. & Treasurer CONTAINER CORPORATION dend 1949, a regular quarterly divi¬ May 9, of 10c Common of of National the payable Corporation, was -declared on share per Stock 10, 1949 May 20, i PITTSBURGH all 1949. June record The Board of Directors of the Container ' to CONSOLIDATION HARRY GINSBERG, Treasurer Newmont Mining Haughton Pierce, Lynch, 302 South — Fenner, • a Checks will be mailed. Dividend No. 83 Charles £. Beachley, On May 17, 1949, a dividend of SEVENTY FIVE CENTS (75c) per share was declared on the Capital Stock of NEWMONT MINING Secretary-Treasurer May 16, 1949, CORPORATION; payable June 14, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business Salisbury Street. May 27, 1949. With Leo Schoenbrun 'i v-V U GUS MRKVICKA, -*• :; Treasurer. The Singer Manufacturing Company (Special to The Financial Chronicle) : LOS The ANGELES, CALIF.—Rob¬ e. i. du Pont de Nemours Sctioen is with Leo Schoen¬ ert L. & Company brun. .1373 Westwood Boulevard. The COMPANY RAILROAD New A' dividend ferred Stock Railroad of 1949. to the Pre¬ ScntfVrn has been declared payable 1949, to stockholders of record at the busmess ol May 1949. 28, of $4.00 per share on the Ordi¬ Stock has been declared payable June 29, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business May 28, 1949. A dividend J. of May pany's 2%s due in rently 1961 moving The -New l63%, to The issue traded initially new 101 Vs. 10914 and is It have would around now to move July 8, 1949; also $2.50 a share, as the interim dividend for 1949, on the out¬ standing Common Stock, payable June 14, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business on May 23. 1949. L. duP. COPELAND, Secretary REEVES BROTHERS, inc. indicated yield of AtlasCorporation Company Dividend on record that a'regu¬ June dividend of share has been declared on lar v is hereby given quarterly mon : Stock of 40^ per Walter A. Peterson, Treasurer May 12, 1949. AT the meetingAmericanBoard of of the Woolen Directors of Company, held today, the following were declared: THE COLUMBIA ac¬ GAS SYSTEM, INC. BRIGGS & STRATTON tion halving margin requirements securities accruing on Earning Statements' "rights," for Months Ended March HELP background markets offices Good and and statistical knowledge essential. are quarterly (25c) of Send par¬ the $4 Cumulative Preference Stock Realty & Construction Cq., Inc. DIVIDEND NOTICE The Board fifteen of cents an per (without less par Guaranty Trust Company on per Stock payable share this of June 25, of the close of business June ' CONNETT, 15, ' NORMAN TISHMAN, Treasurer. per tax, Capital 1949, to stockholders of record at 1949. F. S. de¬ Directors quarterly dividend of corporation, New York. of 2.81 dividend the a cents dividend share, privilege the capital stock declared has extra the on _ twenty-five of and (15c) Wisconsin cent Directors dividend share per a thirty-five cents (35$) Dividend checks will be mailed by The of Board clared June 15, 1949 to stockholders of rec¬ ord Jqne 1,-1949. Transfer books will not be closed. 89th DIVIDEND Corporation's Registration Statement for $45,000,000. principal amount of 3'/^% Debentures Dife 1973, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Upon request, ad¬ dressed to the Corporation at 120 East 41st Street, New York 17, N. Y., copies of such earning statements will be mailed to the Corporation's security holders and to othey interested parties. Such earning statements are made generally available to security holders in accordance with the provisions of Section 11(a) of the. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. ".iliST on Prior share July 1, 1949. A quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share on the Common Stock payable CORPORATION after the effective date of the Securities Analyst specializing in public utilities is wanted by a prominent non-mernber firm with facilities. Twelve 31, 1949 generally, available, to its security holdeqr corporate and consolidated earning state¬ ments for the period April 1, 1948 to : March 31, 1949, such period beginning ANALYST nationwide v branch the The Columbia Gas System, Inc. has made WANTED PUBLIC UTILITY wire per payable June 15, 1949 to stockholders of record June 1, 1949. A regular quarterly dividend of $1.75 per share on the 7% Cumula¬ tive Preferred Stock payable July 15, 1949 to stockholders of record ramws&SnwnoHl Spur to Equity Financing? OA TISHMAN regular quarterly dividend of A Financial Notice Reserve ' IN WOOLENS" Convertible moved, in its recent REEVES, Treasurer "THE GREATEST NAME of business May 27, 1949. $1.00 was J. E. May 16, 1949 of such stock of record at the close dividends around Evidently the Federal Company will not be closed. < Corporation, 1949, to holders business of 3, 1949. The transfer books the Com- Atlas payable June 20, close the at of the Notice 1949, to stockholders of 1, July Common Stock Annual 2.5°%. Board NOTICE quarterly dividend of 25c per share has been declared, payable JOSEPH M. O'MAHONEY, Secretary. in the vicinity of 105 14 to give an Railroad meeting, will be held at the principal office of the Company, Room 20, Union Depot, in the City of Albany, N. Y., on Wednesday, May 25, 1949, at 12 o'clock Noon. r Stockholders of record at 3 o'clock P. M., on April 22, 1949, will be entitled to vote at the meeting. 2.50%. around Central of Election and the transaction of such other business jas may be lawfully brought before the about yield York Meeting of the Stockholders of The New York Central Railroad Company, for the election of Directors and of three Inspectors to - A Albany, N. Y., April 16, 1949. The yield about 2.61%, and the latter around : stockholders of record at the close of business NOTICE ! cur¬ 101%, around ALEXANDER, Secretary. Southern California Edison Co.'s MEETING the and The former is H. D. 10, a. 2%s of 1957. quar¬ $1.50 DIVIDEND large way ,if the 3V8S should w;ork Mown around .the yield levejs now ruling for the com¬ a 1949. Secretary. MAHER, declared dividend of second nary J. has $1.50 per share and an extra per share payable on June 14, 1949 to stockholders of record at the close of business on May 25, 1949. terly dividend on 17, May $4.00 per share on The Alabama G^at. Company June 29, Ciose N. Y., York, of NOTICES GREAT SOUTHERN ALABAMA THE Board of Directors has declared this day regular quarterly dividends of $1.12)4 a share on the outstanding Preferred Stock—$4.50 Series and 87^ a share on the outstanding Preferred Stodk—$3.50 Series, both payable July 25, 1949, Directors Board of Wilmington, Delaware: May 16, 1949 DIVIDEND COMPANY COAL meeting held today, declared a quarterly dividend of 75 cents per share on the Com¬ mon Stock of the -Company, payable on June 11, 1949, to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 27, 1949. Corporation connected with now New Issues But the experts figure that in¬ stitutions would be interested in on CHARLES C. MOSKOWITZ bank a in rule, he argued that bet¬ ter deals can be negotiated for equities. "Certainly if broadening the equity market is desirable," he contended, "competitive bid¬ ding is no help." Company, payable will he mailed. NATIONAL (Special..to ..The Financial Chronicle)'; need the Of size even the June 30, 1949, to stockholders of record at the of business on June 9, 1949, Checks par no With Merrill Lynch Firm Declaring that utilities do not j preciable position in the deben- i tures, either long owned of Stock at part," he declared, "just how do you do it under competitive bidding?" ( k home quarterly, dividend of 37%c per on the outstanding Common share close , be a and increase its general funds. Tegen, nearly approach "investment basis," an may The Board of Directors lias declared "ROGER HACKNEY, Treasurer On Sale A., F. Assn. Writers Financial head of General Public Utilities Corp., declared flatly that wihe. seeming lack of interest at SEC's the. moment, but they are hope¬ competitive bidding rule ful that as. the time for delivery > "is no go as to commons and preferreds." ,/ of, '/rights" approaches the is¬ "v-nV sue of shares RECORDS MGM • stock. $3,000,000 the Line on dividend share on the Common Stock pay1949, to holders of record June 10, today offer¬ are THEATRES • May 18, 1949 May 31, 1949. value cumulative preferred easier for private industry." Giving his views at a recent forum sponsored by the New York traders and able PICTURES MGM DIVIDEND The Board, of Directors declared a •of 40*5 per con¬ new LOEWS INCUriPURATED rporation * stockholders little disappointed by are a 80,000 company asm." alike Co ing United Biscuit Co. of Amer¬ A .board .spokesman in explain¬ ing the action, said it aimed to re¬ store preferential credit terms for securities bought under subscrip¬ tion privileges and "make financ¬ Tele¬ & $24,800,000 its huge DIVIDEND NOTICES Johns-Manville m struction program. , American DIVIDEND NOTICES 47 JOHN3MANV1UI no ducts approximately ceeds, helpful to American Telephone's huge debenture under- prove r The company will use the pro¬ ), (2203) President May 18,1949. value) of the Corporation, payable June 15, 1949, to stock¬ holders of record June 1,1949. L. G. REGNER, Secretary May 17, 1949 . ticulars to cial Financial Box G 518, Commer¬ Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8. & THE COLUMtHA-CAS SYSTEM, INC. American Cyanamid by E. D. Bivens, * : May 14, 1940. [ Treasure? .V, Company , •' / ' ;> J ; ... WARD PREFERRED DIVIDEND The Board of Directors of SITUATION WANTED Ameri¬ Cyanamid Company on May 17, 1949, declared a quarterly divi¬ dend of eighty-seven and one-half cents (87 Vie) per share on the out¬ standing shares of the Company's 3 Vz % Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series A, payable July 1, 1949, to the holders of such stock of record at the close of business June 3, can SALES MANAGER 4 OR . WHOLESALE REPRESENTATIVE COMPANY BAKING The Board of Directors has declared the PREFERRED DIVIDEND— The j regular quarterly dividend of $1.371/2 Preferred 1949. following dividends: June Stock payable July 1, a share on the 1949 to holders of record 16,1949. COMMON DIVIDEND Executive, 25 years investment houses, seeks connection. veloping leads. Have from 15 with established to 30 built salesmen. securities expedience with good The Board of Directors of Experience in retailing/ wholesaling, de¬ large successful sales Quadrupled retail sales organizations gross in firm. :T of Capable Willing income to has of wholesaling travel. been HaVe over Mutual many $20,000 dealer for Shares Fund contacts. past five in territory. Average years. Commercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New .any Box annual P 519, Ameri¬ Cyanamid Company on May 17, 1949, declared a quarterly divi¬ dend of thirty-seven and one-half cents (.ZlVzO per share on the out¬ standing shares of the Common Stock can of one .yepf" COMMON -the 1949, of Company, to payable July A at the 1, L. T. TIP-TOP June 3, 1949. R. S. KYLE, share on the Common Stock Melly, Treasurer WARDS close of business York; 8, N. Y. a payable July 1, 1949 to holders of record June 16, 1949. the holders of such stock record DIVIDEND— quarterly dividend of 25 cents 475 Fifth Ave., New York City WARDS TIP-TOP Secretary May 17,1949 . f i i i ' in /■- ■ifititcxi ar-iu-YWJ- i; :ii di . i _v 48 (2204) & COMMERCIAL THE FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, May 19, kicked it second BUSINESS BUZZ unprecedented .v. law jTjL I Itt/ from the Nation's Capital JL of 1/ 11/ this W they the official to leadership that such things take all the / It is operate. Instead positively because the public announcement of the rev¬ enue estimate for fiscal '50 by the Congressional Joint Committee on so Internal This estimate is what the boys have been waiting for. It is the estimate upon which the Capitol places the What the the reliance. greatest Joint work staff committee, reflecting headed by said in effect was Stam, Colin standpoint alone $2.9 of for starting billion the July the Treasury 1. year Revenues, in the President estimated in Jan¬ It by $2.1 billion. is the not business of the Joint Committee staff to estimate expenditures officially, although they do this unofficially for the MC's on the Congressional taxing committees. Unless the scattered and undirected economy drive pulsing around in Congress actually gets somewhere, it is altogether likely that a deficit, barring higher taxes, will be en¬ dorsed by the probability of ex¬ penditures higher than Mr. Tru¬ now is business hiked bill tax a fact that of Congress has been liberal indeed, and the public has failed to catch this because of the attention given to the defeats ad¬ ministered to Mr. eral simple Utopia.; burdens tax will most tives. One :■ * the the three tax # faces A- choice of among unpleasant alterna¬ of rates. these The is other to is raise to cut expenditures. The third is to do nothing about either and antee the return of Budgetary a deficit. The deficit cash well as the as of excess outgo, guar¬ would be budgetary, for cash intake over estimated in the Jan¬ was All of Of "economizers" have got beyond thinking that by chiseling away at administrative expendi¬ tures or adopting a magic formula for saving something like $3 bil¬ lion, the job can be done. Con¬ gress won't save much by cutting which the guessing is most at there will be the no moment is pre¬ that boost in tax rates. For one thing, Congress is now pretty well satisfied that the vol¬ of business ume not secure activity ahead is enough for the risking of higher tax burdens. If the spring upsurge had been strong, then there might have been a dis¬ position to hike the corporation income tax rate from around 38% to 45%. The feeling now is that administrative the time when comes it makes a "You're sight. An average of 5% on such expenditures won't cut the pros¬ pective deficit by more than onethird by the most optimistic guess. What Congress do to avoid will to have deficit by cutting a expenditures to is cut the out the which lions. Congress These itself do "permanent" are statutory, and only by cut¬ ting out subsidies or beginning to cut out Congress subsidies adding achieve is to subsidy even clients small so an $3 billion. economy as It the can which this year has — not impossible that Con¬ gress will finally view the situa¬ tion so seriously that it will come to grips with this fundamental of the budget problem. But before that happens it will have to sink in to Congress that it has already committed to the Federal outlays than more forded without flation, or Treasury be can confiscation, af¬ in¬ something equally dire. * * least to worse—the upon revenues boost in the rates. The problem Truman's gress was some $2.1 corporation the • stymied, however, Of you these course side of steps and to the of will protect turn the their What * effect of the pears, of or taken economy. whether inciden¬ otherwise, this program, Nevertheless, tally the is further com¬ absence of Mr. try to billion of If Con¬ settle for additional income taxes, it tion of far Board's of this credit the of the took opening appearance Thomas B. to Federal two McCabe Reserve Board unusual quickly so and the One of these was in to such call Congress, or at least those Con¬ gressmen who are charged with framing banking legislation, were flexible be to that trols. the in Board Board its use views.) was of con¬ hardly bothered to tion of impressing Congress. so conceal their inten¬ the extending into serves authority of law Reed with 85 Financial J. has H. Goddard Staff Chronicle) — Francis associated become Devonshire & Co., Street, Inc., Boston, Mass. With G. A. McDowell & Co. (Special to The which the It Chronicle) Financial the points its re¬ are voice for proposition in sees national ate in have to powers view of upon bond pegs in long insis¬ power that so inflation and the of to it could view both flation," its having reserves "meet that last week, in and /filially at¬ an de¬ fact were House White "sold," the was circum¬ stances would suggest paying at mosphere in which the key Con¬ concerned the least disposed than more they had been months to continue the higher in re¬ - . (Special to The Financial service to X. associated become has & Co., Building, Huntington members York Stock of the with Bank New Exchange. Trading Markets: Ralston Steel Car ^Oregon Portland Cement Riverside Cement A & B Spokane Portland Cement ♦Latest Figures Available LERNER & CO. Investment lip osition. Chronicle) COLUMBUS, OHIO—Joseph S. more rigidly maintained. boost Banking Committee held hear¬ ings members of the Detroit Stock Ex¬ monetary little chance under voice when the a So subcommittee of the Sen¬ worked reserve conventional such loans. has Board policy. It the Neverthe¬ dead. was to get White House backing a Mc¬ A. Building, Buhl Co., Cecil P. Geo. With Vercoe & Co. that the Board could have of & with — on for taken higher is change. Lare so These laws expire June 30. a four and MICH. re¬ demand on Dowell Vercoe tence So points of Matthews granted that with the passing of the infla¬ tionary boom the 10 and 4 was for the Board installment it DETROIT, time deposits. less, being, and continuing under deposits, years Subsequently the Senate Bank¬ ing Committee was importuned to get a move on with legislation Board to call these additional percentage requirements this prop¬ 10 Post Office ■■■■: Securities Square, Boston 9, Mass. Telephone HUbbard 2-1990 Teletype BS 69 Instead Gov. McCabe publicly HAnover 2-0050 as it now Teletype—NY 1-971 the first Twice in Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Firm Trading Markets FOREIGN SECURITIES NEW YORK 5 Executive & Underwriting Offices ap¬ All Issues 70 wall Tel. street WHitehall 4-4540 f-ARL MARES & r.O. INC. part one , FOREIGN SECURITIES , SPECIALISTS margin requirements on stocks, nand The to during the escribed-for installment loans. It listed coincide with own PROVIDENCE, R. I. proposition meant spokesmen when being, deemed this necessary, 10 addi¬ tional convinced into that authority four-stage relaxa¬ campaign. con¬ to pub¬ proposal the Board should have serve gressmen month the Board eased the terms lowered re¬ with his circumspection toward fect of impressing Congress. ■ pi the steps Congress other impress dramatic speed, did have the ef¬ the Board has failed. The of * has happened so control licly climb off and abandon the last several weeks is that the Fed¬ eral Reserve Board has made a affairs—and In econ¬ omizing, to their acute political disadvantage. "L * loan consumer L. Chairman trols. were the Board-Truman condition govern¬ ment's fiscal situation by and serves control law. the on beneficiaries the spending efforts the on Joins J. H. Goddard ing those by fact that Mr. Truman is • leadership. to that beneficial Treasury plicated by do; the floors many taken in response to the chang¬ eight ball of what it sees as its impotence to deal with monetary or interesting! How buy and sell each day?" , the at or How $1.2 billion the $2.1 billion of ad¬ ditional member bank reserves caller into being last September under the law empowering the "Fed" to impose additional re¬ serves up to four more percentage points on demand deposits and 1 Vz points on time deposits. Sjt very are in (Special has and Broker? floor a fundamental attack upon adminis¬ trative waste, and that is not in dampening effect upon business activity might very well offset— safe establishing expenditures until the isn't to non-members for of "Chronicle's" the major, carefully planned drive to get itself out from behind the this not was small segment a and may or may not write out the maximum terms dominant Congress pretation from the nation's Capital consumer about the (This column is intended to can one to require¬ flect the "behind the sceneinter¬ of the banks reserve state banking system. seriously want to prevent a budgetary deficit from de¬ veloping by their inaction. They three which support requirements should sake horn So far not leaders who savvy the problem, the The reserve the alternatives and full of headlines. things Board's its insistence upon subject¬ of political issues, dramatic, these to non-member be applied Second of the alternatives is the the Congress, three hot the the convinced that billion reduction of expenditures. billion. are hearing stand precedent that the Board could budget at only about $1.5 uary of ments. as dicated at not less than $3 and perhaps $4 billion. — Congress, the upon Board's supplemental be little avail avoiding a budgetary deficit is involved, for the deficit without expenditure cuts is in¬ sev¬ achieving of • ing sharply—all to far so been is course, of ways * . What Truman's number - remarkable. was debilitated excise voted, myriads of subsidies for veterans, for farmers, for mil¬ the The The proposi¬ loan com¬ industrial bankers the One influence. bankers, and tear pub¬ committee Board's descended pieces, personal and has failed this session to- when a was if there So taxes will be cut and hundreds of expensive subsidies catch the thin. was who billion. be¬ Board's of those compara¬ major a for panies, schedule, and that he wants $4 Board for the before commercial "middle" the man estimated. As hasL been pointed out heretofore, the public to tion brackets and the inheritance tax de¬ a in is other words, will be poorer than uary in taxes hearings support personal than poorer the occasions insists still the up now one rare exercise that from the ficit works in able the revenue I income Revenue Taxation, has touched off .the budget issue as surely as the starter's gun releases the sprinters for the 30-yard dash. opening upon he the reason was tively and prestige of a politically peal of Taft-Hartley, broad exten¬ successful President to keep the sion Of the scope of wage-hour and social security legislation, and excise tax boys from simultan¬ eously nicking a billion off recompulsory health insurance, are dead ducks. .■'Lv'. % | ceipts. Mr. Truman will not co¬ effort, the of Regula¬ higher reserves before the failure cooperation and were And lic would as re¬ large its campaign in early March. gan Democratic * extension probably are WASHINGTON, D.C.—From now on to the end of the present session of Congress the overwhelming domestic issue can very likely become the Federal budget. This is so, negatively, because the Congress has finally demon¬ * rather chances for tion strated * . ',he reserves. Notwithstanding the investment ; V/^-v -m * gJ y* the step renewed were would not raise ..., A Behind-the-Scene Interpretations took of saying that if the 4 and iy2 re¬ serve on. and over, 1949 it - reduced "by 50 Broad Street Trading Department 120 New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO Tel. broadway REctor 2-2020