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Mar BUS. ABi|i 9 1949 ESTABLISHED 1S39 LIBRARY Tk e an Financial j Chronicle Reg. U. S. Pat. Office Volume 169 Number 4782 New York, N. Y., Thursday, March 3, 1949 Economic Outlook fox Construction Asserting business and Professor Slichter to says consumers are more By BENJAMIN M. ANDERSON, Ph.D.* University reluctant crucial question is whether this :i to and business advises firms adjust investment to and reduce prices struction industry give better products at lower cost, and to maintain employment. in sees reducing securities trading by discouraging market transactions. present Urges on ing con¬ need as Lists severe margin requirements and restrictions as important thing about the present business situation is the growing reluctance of consumers and business concerns to spend money. Willingness to spend money has been dropping for several years, if one measures it by the ratio of recent income to present exp e nditures <§>• Nevertheless, explained the business crisis of 1937 as due primarily startling increase in wages which came in 1937 as the result of labor union activity by the CIO. This cut deeply into business profits. The severity of the crisis, however, led willing to spend faster lent We See It they re¬ ceived income, the re¬ ex¬ March, is penditures in¬ from creased mont h. V to month. Today, h o w ever, reluctance Prof. S. H. Slichter to spend has reached such ' a point that there is danger that the total volume of spending will drop. Let look at the figures on the incomes and us relation between spending. The best way to show the willingness of individuals to spend is to compare the relation¬ ship between personal incomes after taxes and expenditures for * The definite President was well in character Jefferson dinner address last week. to in his Jackson- Now, of a ex¬ *The ternal three weak- on, an individual of If he has somewhat more than average (Continued on page 30) of the attributes supposed to be characteristic of the mule *An address by Professor bred in his State that is merely a coincidence, and on the Slichter before the Associated whole not greatly to be held against him. All in all, one General Contractors of America, could scarcely expect him to rise above the level of thinking New York City, Feb. 28, 1949. and acting common among the politicians, great and small, or to be acutely aware of defects in customary logic which (Continued City of market transactions, an average sort of man and the elimination of informed He has the expedience, the traders, especially "insiders" of a background. on page 28) corporation. Exchange cised The Securities Commission for its failure to was and criti¬ carry out the purpose of Congress, by giving the exemptions contemplated by Congress, which would permit "insider" trading when this was for the benefit of the corporation and the public. We proposed a 1 The icle article is second the of the the nessin the stock adjoining chapters dealing with the operations stock market under the SEC and securities legislation which will appear in of The education, the traits ordinarily found in this dis¬ article continues the discussion of Mr. Truman is course, small town in Missouri. would trading by "insiders." The present general tenor of his securities remarks was also income respects precisely in political tra Jftarket. Due dition. The Chief Executive was definitely'Harry Truman.ltd a variety of the Harry Truman that he revealed to the whole world last governmental policies, the autumn and has repeatedly re-revealed since then. He is market had evidently quite convinced, notwithstanding a number of very grown ex¬ Benj. M. Anderson stubborn and inconvenient facts to the contrary, that he traordinarily "thin." This was due to extraor¬ received a "mandate" in the November voting, and that the dinarily high incomes taxes, and voice of "the people" has proved him right about everything the tax on capital gains, then part under the sun and all those who differ with him definitely of the general income tax, which tended to eliminate men of wealth and eternally wrong. -■ from which 1938) be from rule criminate between fair and unfair plained pri¬ marily by in¬ That Mandate !?! ' vio¬ collapse security prices (Aug¬ ust, 1937 to than that the vand in As been sult legislation is paralyzing and destroying marketability of securities. The first article of this series1 EDITORIAL prises have with short selling and floor trad¬ on Admits "Truth in Securities" the to enter¬ and further factor ARTICLE II I most consumers Exchange Acts, as a of wealth and informed individuals from engaging in men intensifying difficulties of 1937 stock market break. needed, but criticizes operations of SEC of tax reform to encourage more investment. The securities markets of the Securities and Dr. Anderson adds inquisitorial practices of the Securities and Exchange Commission be halted can situation Continuing his discussion of adverse effects spend, prevent recession. Holds President Truman misunderstands prob¬ lem, Copy a Inquisitorial Practices of SEC By SUMNER H. SLICHTER* Lamont University Professor, Harvard Price 30 Cents late Anderson's Dr. financial be Welfare" "Economics and to Nostrand & Co, in appear' forthcoming history from entitled to published by book to 1946 the Publta*- Van D. The remaining article WiU. Dr. issue of the Anderson, until his death Jan. 19, was Connell Professor of Bank-% at the University of California, Los Angeles, and Consulting Economist of the Capital Research Co., Los Angeles. He was formerly economist of the Chase Na¬ on ing tional Bank. At Anderson Dr. Economists' etary the time also was National of his President Committee death of on the Mon¬ Policy.—Editor. governmental policies contribut¬ ing to the "thinness" of the mar¬ ket. ''tifty-'-i V?-':".-f'-YXi Inquisitorial Practices of SEC A further important factor ducing trading by and men by informed men, re¬ of wealth was the fre¬ quent inquisitorial visits of agents (Continued page 28) on Commercial and Financial Chron¬ Feb. Page 24, 1. State and Philadelphia, Pa. 4% Bonds Funds, Prices to yield ' 1.45% -1.90% (When, as and Municipal Franklin Custodian Due January 1, 1955-59 if issued) inc. Bonds A Mutual Fund ' COMMON STOCK FUND PREFERRED STOCK FUND Bond Department BOND FUND White,Weld&Co. Members New York Stock Exchange INCOME (BALANCED) FUND Prospectus 40 Wall Boston on HART SMITH & CO. OF NEW YORK request 15 BROAD Philadelphia Providence Amiterdam Buenos Aires FRANKLIN DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. 64 Wall Street, New York S Bond STREET Bell Street, New York 5 Chicago London THE NATIONAL CITY BANK UTILITIES FUND Teletype Private Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708 New York Wires 1-395 Connect Montreal Bankers to the Government Office: Head DOLLAR BONDS Bishopsgate, 26, Branches Distributors of Municipal Burma. Ceylon, Kenya Kerlcho. Kenya, and Aden and Subscribed Paid-Up Reserve The • Zanzibar Capital £4,000,000 Capital—J Fund £2,500,000 conducts every description banking and exchange business Bank Trusteeships and Executorships also undertaken Circular Corporate Securities Established 1899 Members New CLEVELAND New York Cincinnati Chicago Columbus Dominion Securities & Prospectus available Denver Toledo Buffalo York Stock Exchange 120 Broadway, New York 5 Telephone REctor 2-7340 40 Members New 111 WOrth Exchange Place, New York 5, N.Y. York Stock Exchange Principal Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 4-6000 Boston Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 Private Bell System Teletype NY 1-702-3 request IRA HAUPT & CO. and other Grporatioti Est. 1896 (Incorporated) of sutro bros. & co. NEW YORK COMMON bonds & stocks Inquiries Invited upon OTIS & CO. £2,000,000 CITY OF Light & Power Co. and in India, Colony, CANADIAN Underwriters and London, E. C. THE OF Central Arizona ITALIAN in Kenya Colony and Uganda NATIONAL BANK Toronto NATIONAL BANK of INDIA. LIMITED THE CHASE IIAnover 2-0980 NY , subsequent a "Chronicle." be 1914 and Hendricks & Wire to: Eastwood, Inc., Phila. 2 & COMMERCIAL THE (958) : ■' . from recent extraordinary Analysis BOUGHT SOLD — panics, and mind hold¬ even touches them off. Corporation ing various types of assets York 5 <$>- to reason Of and demand liquidity, supplied by the —★— which to New Curb Exchange Tel. 5 TRADING MARKETS IN Com. Standard Gas & Eiec. Mining Copper Canyon except for a few Ventures Coastal Oil Gaspe Oil Vulcan Iron AND OIL STOCKS STEIN & COMPANY : 5«uritie* Daal*r»,lnc, Members N*t'l A«« nof $. X. '■[ Jersey City 2, N. J. Tele.: NY 1-1055 1 Montgomery Tel. DIgby St., 4-2190 (part-worn) existing Exports—Imports—Futures the bank That is the nature of That is the nature credit cycle. goods, the longer can * ought perhaps to mention self-stultificating nature of current purchases. ing . customer purchases dried their in They orders to up turn, will give the corporations Of Common Stock . Standard Oil Ky. Bought and Sold *; the Machine obvious, to any¬ one acquainted with the nature of the capitalist system that if con¬ sumers, through fear, or through demand for liquidity, or in the ex¬ Now it will be BANKERS BOND m Incorporated Floor, Kentucky Home 1st LOUISVILLE Life Bldg. KENTUCKY 2, Bell Tele. LS 186 Long Distance 238-9 Trading Markets ' pectation of lower prices, suddenly cease buying at retail at the shops, the retailers will cease giving or¬ orders, it takes Boston Railroad Pfd. Holding Pfd. New Boston Terminal Co. 3V$>s, 1947 75 Federal Street, Private New Boston York Telephone—- WOrth their inventories—could initiate the debacle. also 4-2463 as soon will and will happens, this start begin to discharge them. Their purchasing power shops will therefore fall. then will the paying out their employees, lower incomes to ers DAYTON HAIGNEY & CO., Inc. planning B.—Retailers—by to reduce producers England Lime Common for¬ than less sell the Retail¬ at since some of their cus¬ tomers have been wiped out, as a direct result of the retailers them¬ merly . . . fewer orders producers! By doing so they will have made things worse for themselves para¬ doxically. They will (partly) have 1856 namely — orders to brought giving in fewer producers—automatically cumulative. on their depression. own because Maintain Stock Exchange Curb Exchange Cotton Exchange York New Commodity Chicago 1 Board New Orleans of * tract. Re-Bound No ... Until Thru is that Wringer the new t vicious of whole circles tively so almost Then likely though market it were American CHICAGO j york 4, n. with DETROIT PITTSBURGH GENEVA, SWITZERLAND inflationary and people to Any or Markets For: the one new desire among retailers to re¬ and inventories might to unload. prior producers get 115 BROADWAY Telephone BArclay 7-0100 Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges NEW YORK 6, N. Y. Teletype NY 1-672 and in the for money . . . the busi¬ buying less in the FEAR. The It might fast. Every¬ need hardly of It All be said that if only one person out of (Continued Q ■ ■ Bb OVER-THE-COUNTER INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDEX 10-Year Performance of • 35 Industrial Stocks less, in buying falling prices, and Leverage N scared; very market bull consumers Goodbody & Co. Members N. Y. Stock bonds Truman's all of these eventualities, how trivial or appar¬ Orders with BRITISH SECURITIES savings s. matter therefore be cancelled OILS u. money due HOPE of y. Yakima, Wn. buy perhaps alternatively sudden war with Russia, the or bombs, etc., or to and then only is confidence election promises. revive, Spokane Branches at Idaho and rather been fear of - to Underwriters - support the bond ment's ceasing to impossible for things to get any to worse. Dealers Peyton Building, Kellogg, or economy as - all these vari¬ cumula¬ far down, until at last it the Exchange of Spokane Brokers last few years— everybody might thus join . at corporation is some sudden expectation of downward generally lower prices in Amer¬ spirals is to force practically the ica,- due perhaps to the govern¬ The net result of ous CANADIAN Exchange Bldg. 11:30 future—and have for the ness men y. Cotton I why cautious And other Exchanges I n. to Sp-82 * What I fear for the Trade Cotton Exchange 10:45 Time: Members Standard Stock about strict law any INDUSTRIALS Inc. Exchange, from Std. Pac. SlWlUltll securities it rather depends on suffer, and the more frightened do public psychology in each. cycle, they too become, and the faster do ^ they too act similarly, and con¬ tion. CANADIAN MINING CANADIAN Exchange all the others sequence: duce York of Orders Quotes call TWX Sp-43 on Floor other hours. ently serious, might touch off a cessation of buying at retail and We Immediate Execution A.M., I do not think you can the lay down it, the faster others Members York of Jcir,,,. fluctuate more than slump last. cumulative is It faster some do H. Hentz & Co. New or And they usually tion industries. no New SECURITIES For off the supply of money cuts looks selves having given to Established NORTHWEST MINING Spiral £ action and producers. As Boston Edison . ployed, they probably cease giv¬ ing orders to the industries which The tragedy of it all is that al¬ supply them with tools and more though the general wish was pru. . Th ... . . . dently to reduce inventories, the L/cj11TY1Tv, occur in th. construc¬ ous slumps the The Vicious Louis Stock Exchange St. Members in¬ (except a few super-luxuries). comes with which future inven¬ These constructional industries ders to wholesalers and the whole¬ tories might be reduced. It is thus "might," I agree, slump first. But salers will cease giving orders to quite tragically self-stultifying, it is also possible for them to N. Boston & Maine Prior St. Louis l.Mo« owing to the exist¬ course, of numerous forward from whom they obtain materials. in numerous industries, gathered that after a long re¬ They too will employ fewer men. some time for some industries to placement demand boom, such as Thus a change in general inven^ slump. Indeed their slumps may we have recently seen, the econ¬ tory policy leads to a reduction not occ.ur until' old orders are omy becomes more ripe for a panic in the national income . which worked off. than at other times! in its turn reduces the spending But if existing plant in one in¬ in the subsequent period. How Fear Can Suddenly Freeze dustry becomes not fully em¬ Bought and Sold STREET OLIVE 509 * * be Co. SECURITIES INVESTMENT much faster than at any 1932 slump. ence remarks it will Stix & Co. (probably) during the 1929- time orders to prior producers. new fewer : inventory without giv¬ out of his It also is the nature tion. dustrial panics. I meet 4-2727 inventory fluctua¬ of nature the household be the period of abstinence from new From the above Ashland Oil & Refining DIgby cyclical bad trade. That is the nature of "cumulation." That is of Curiously Self-Stymied Recovery ixs of condition the better the WiUlant St., N. IT. €. 6, 27 One can transportation. fuel and Works on end things like food, sugar Raw—Refined—Liquid of in¬ the The, oply d iffere nee between a .the easily do without clothes, caviar, adoption of a general inventory panic and a slump is that a panic furniture, golf balls, entertain¬ reduction policy, on the part of is\faster, and more furious ... a ment, luggage, new washing ma¬ the nation's retailers, wholesalers matter merely of degree. chines, etc;, for several months on and manufacturers as a whole. The last three months of 1937 end. • were a perfect example of a mild If any one of these groups thinks industrial And the richer the country, ami panic, where buying his inventory is too large, he will tion N. Y. NEW YORK 5, production will have been as STREET WALL 99 espe¬ while. (in Amer¬ geometric proportions. several months for . . . greatly reduced during such a slump and actual scarcity will be Indeed the more that some pro¬ developing "of commodities in ref¬ ducers cease producing, the more lation to money" „ . . even though Will other retailers suffer, knd the bank money itself may (will) have fewer will be the orders which been seriously deflated mean¬ their consump¬ ica) to cut off all Goldfield Deep Mines Kinney nearly all consumers !:or corner LAMB0RN & CO., Inc. ' Panics are therefore likely to be fiercer in rich coun¬ tries, than in poor countries. Amer¬ they give to yet other producers. ica is more prone to disastrous in¬ The disease of bad trade thus dustrial panics than China. tends to grow CUMULATIVELY Indeed it is perfectly possible AND PROGRESSIVELY, in rapid 2-7815 REctor • stop. can NEW YORK BROADWAY, 120 • - cially all paternal despite true, prove the around be in part the factor will pay, cushions. obviously greater than the extent to which a relatively (poor country Exchange York Major L. L. B. Angas itsbuy¬ ing at retail is stop Members York Stock doles are ment mal will, as a rule, get the gradually spreading, that things cannot get any worse, and that improvement will eventually feeling I have But if unemploy¬ smaller than nor¬ just mentioned. a suddenly can branch offices Then you ;■ cumulative which factor contractive country rich frfc PONNELL & CO. Mobile, Ala. wires to our Direct losses. government, then need not get this you extent The La.-Birmingham, Ala. New Orleans. gram, order. that in NY 1-1557 HAnovar 2-0700 unemployment benefit pro¬ til most industries, are selling far which will immediately re¬ below costs, and until most cor¬ place any incomes which produc¬ porations are making serious ers cease to pay out, with income for SCRIP St.y New York 4, N. Y. 25 Broad will not usually mature un¬ ever, lavish of fear, expectation of lower prices, ding New with a nign government in power mixed pud¬ a there is some be¬ if course Col York Members New preferring to invest in com¬ modities rather than in money. This condition of mind, how¬ start Repercussion Cumulative .' re¬ gard panics as Bought—Sold—Quoted And yet it seems more satisfy- Steiner, Rouse & Stock Exchange throughout a period of grave fear. one's to ing Teletype NY 1 -583 BArclay 7-5660 Louisiana Securities because of ' * begin soon Fundamentally it is, I suppose, the fea •' of lower prices which actuates For if there were not .this f ar .of lower prices nobody would New York Hanseatic 120 Broadway, New all the more vulnerable to recession possibility of government's paternalistic cushions sup¬ boom levels. Emphasizes production. Expects fall in profits- to outrun volume recession points. Nevertheless Major Angas expects major stock market revival to —perhaps two years before trade and profits reach bottom. high break QUOTED — Alabama & • porting income resulting from request on America's comparative wealth makes us Market analyst maintains Utility 5Vzl52 ANGAS By MAJOR L. L. B. . Thursday, March 3,'1949 jp-jcks Bear(on Business—Bull on Central Public ->/ FINANCIAL CHRONICLE : three stops on page 32) BOOKLET ON REQUEST « National Quotation Bureau Incorporated 4 6 Front Street New York 4, N. Y. Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (959) INDEX Articles and News Inquisitorial Practices of the { The Trouble Seeker' Page SEC—Benjamin M. Andersqn B. S. j NASD contemplates committee for study of public reaction to overj the-counter vis-a-vis the listed market. Its position incongruous in i view of variegated membership. No need for this study by NASD; j The dilemma of the NASD. The damage of its price control policy. Cover mm - Economic Outlook Hear for Construction—Sumner H. Stickler Business—Bull on Stocks—Major L. L. B. Angus. on The Market for Securities Cover 2 .' Today—Alfred C.Neal 4 Commodity Market Problems—Rep. Harold D. Cooley.. The Retail Pricing Situation Newspapers and Economic Illiteracy—James P. Selvage..... Price Outlook Portends Depression—Eivan Clague. no 7 17 ; Where and What Is Liberalism?—Donald R. Richberg This new proposed investigation emanated from olution of the Board of Governors, offered 19 -. "Paper Is Paper and Gold Is Go\<l"—^Neil O'Donnell. (Editorial)..'.."/i • r . . ; Financial 9 ' 10 14::* Spahr Answers Pleas for Gold Standard Pelay,.20; Harry Sears Objects Sumner H. Slichter NAPA ' Off SEC President Truman............. . . Hold to Hearing Reid "We Shall Arnold Defends Hope . Bernhard Offers Tux Retard to American Capitalism Emit Schram Reveals / ' World Bank Grants Loan of Regular Features .Cover Bank and Insurance Stocks.... 20 Dealer-Broker—Investment Recommendations....... 15' of the News—Carlisle Bargeron 6 -37 the . 18 Prominent Personalities in Mutual Fund Business—George Putnam 18 .. Our Reporter < steps to the promote Public Utility 42 Securities, 12 Railroad Securities 27 . 22 Securities Now in Registration The State of Trade and Industry 34 ;.. ' . Published Twice Weekly COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL / and Patent DANA York, 8, COMPANY, Publishers to DANA SEIBERT, RIGGS, Thursday Issue) plete statistical records, + Other Chicago 1 c/o issue every — 1949 ' and Monday market ad< 3. HI. (Telephone: Gardens, Edwards & London, $25.00 Quotation Salle 8tate E. Smith. r 06J3I: . and per Monthly St., C./ Eng• the office post under the in Act United Union . at. of per Note-^-On the primary wholly un-American doctrine is causes of the manifold adverse And for this the NASD is . LONG as far back then AND STEADY EARNINGS & year old managed companies. RECORD DIVIDENDS on Request 40 Exchange Place, New York 5 elements WHitehall 4-8957 industry. Tele. NY 1-1404 wholly responsible. the "5% on Carlisle Corp. Commonwealth Gas Delaware Pr. & Lt. Seminole Oil & Gas 'philosophy' * Southwestern Pub. Serv. 7./ *Prospectus on request industry." 1944, the Association, of which Mr. official, considered the 5% mark-up yardstick a hazard to the "continued existence of the overthe-counter industry," how much greater has this hazard New and George Birkins Company one as an 73 a insurance Data capacity as Secretary of the New York Se¬ curity Dealers Association, was appended to a resolution adopted on January 26, 1944, by the Governors of that As¬ sociation which, in addition to condemning the failure of the was of A SOUND INVESTMENT his name, in his of the over-the-counter stock controlled by: : several Now Mr. Carret should be very conscious of the feeling of the over-the-counter dealers with respect to this rule for If, (Continued on GIMBERNAT & SELLWOOD Members 111 New York Broadway Stock Exchange New York 6, N. Y. Tel. REctor 2-0678 Tele. NY 1-2805 36) page March and U. Quotation of per * year:- per in g of'.the fluctuations in York funds. Corporation of -j. Toledo, The a *i'■ **■' - ,■ Trask & Co. j . ^Members New Y6rk Stock Exchange .' 25 Broad Street, New Yprk 4 V//: \ i/*v Tel.: HAnover 2-4300 "' ■' ' Albany ; Rps,ton Glfe'ns ■ y ' '■ ■ ' 1 < Curb 135 S. La Salle St., - ' \ Falls 1-5 - •• C.." r.- • Exchange Chicago 3 Schenectady/,.,.* - acquired Connecticut corporation located Hartford, Connecticut. WM. I. MERICKA & CO. Incorporated 150 Broadway Member ^ has Circular upon request Tel.: Financial 6-2330 Teletype—NY . ' Members New York Ohio, Billings & Spencer Co. in encer extra.) (Foreign postage extra.)- Bingham-Herbrand 11 PREFERRED STOCKS Records-Monthly, Monthly, New The High Grade Public Utility and Industrial in fate of exchange, remlttances ipr fer-r made interested in offerings, of //<;•' (Foreign postage Earnings Record fCs account are year;- year/"/' year. year. We S. Members $38.00 per .■//"/ . eign subscriptions and advertisements must be capital company, over-the-counter which presently plague the entire over-the-counter 44 Febru¬ States, $35.00 Canada,- Countries, $42.00 Bank $25.00 8/ La / INSOMNIA-PROOF! T,he us because in stipulating the Committee might explore, no mention is made of the 5% spread yardstick which has wreaked havoc on both the industry and the investor. The stark truth ence //;'/'"/. .!*/ ■y■*'.Other Publications (com¬ news'f'bank clearings, Offices: v135 at Territories Dominion: of Manager news Exchange Place, New York 5 Telephone WHitehall 4-2250 the Dana second-class matter Y., Pan-American President city news, etc.);" 't Drapers' and, 3, (general and corporation Etate and 1942, N. Possessions, Other March as Subscriptions Business B. Subscription Rates 9576 HERBERT D. SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher Every 40 1879. Place, New York 8, N. Y. 2-9570 by William Company Reentered Office 1949 ' ary; 25, Vertising Young & Gersten Thjs observation intrigues Carret Copyright CHRONICLE S. Thursday, the which, in practice, constitutes a rule," described the limita¬ tion on mark-ups as a matter "vital to the continued exist¬ 5 / Washington and You................ D. of NASD to permit its members to vote 40 Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte Says) WILLIAM Net Markets OF the matter is that this 31 Securities Salesman's Corner. WILLIAM interests dealers." 42 Governments on Prospective Security Offerings... REctor RAILWAYS, Rights, W. I. larger of the 5 Our Reporter's Report Park UNITED LIGHT & might also explore with representatives 16 Bankers.. Observations—A. Wilfred May - UTILITIES 5V2'S Exchange and Curb the possibility of a co¬ operative effort to promote the ownership of securities rather than the narrower campaign to aggrandize one segment of 12 25 CENTRAL PUBLIC : of NSTA Notes News About Banks and WILLIAM B. - , Stock factors that Mutual Funds U. • currently a very thin and scrawny pie." It will be noted that the resolution called attention to the existence "of a duty of the NASD to take all practicable 8 Indications of Business Activity Reg. - . slice nf what is 9 Einzig—"Britain's Overseas Investments"....;... The - business at the expense of another. If we can enlarge pie to be divided among broker-dealers, it would seem a good deal better than to fight among ourselves for a 16 Securities Washington Ahead • . the Coming Events in the Investment Field.... From DIgby 4-2370 our 14 Business Man's Bookshelf Canadian G- Teletype NY 1-1942 strong and increasing?" legitimate competition?" "The committee 43 (Editorial) Broadway, N. Y. The release winds up with this statement: i . 27 Belgium to Bought—S.old—Quoted SIEGEL & CO. 39 and money to get the answers, and would the effort be worth to our members what it would cost?" 26 <*.• ../ / "Are listed markets superior in quality, other things being equal, to over-the-counter markets?" (d) " how much would it cost in effort 26 Generating Capacity Ample MARKETS Southern Production com¬ (c) of Design of NYSE Advertising Ernest R. Acker Sees Electric As WTe See It V . Liquidation that the committee will be counter securities is 25 ;...25 Changes YORK 4-6551 Petroleum Ht. & Pr. "Do the efforts of the Stock Exchange and Curb tc promote listed business exceed the bounds of 24 Commodity Speculation.,... NEW "Is.it true that public prejudice against over-the- .24 ." (Boxed).,... . ACTIVE (b) Cleveland Reserve Bank Doubts Spring Upswing William STREET, res¬ (a) Revocation of Broker-Dealer License....... pick obsolete ; 24/: on WALL posed of members primarily active as traders in over-theor as retail distributors thereof; Group, Headed by Robert C. Swanton, Sees Business Leveling .......: of Remind can for his '.Telephone: WHitehall By, this same medium, we aire informed that "the, field study" to be undertaken by the committee has not been specifically detailed by the Board. Then.it is suggested this field might embrace answers to the following: 23 .... he counter securities , Analyzes Taft-Hartley Act.22 "Special Interests My Fight": 99 of Spahr's Criticism of Gold Producers].;."20.. to The release indicates ; Says Louis W. Munro........ cost bonnet? office our quick cash some • Reporting Needs Substantial Improvement, "Yes, the Market Public Is Always Wrong,'* Says Grenville Gf Garceau at securities. a partner in the New York Stock Exchange firm of Gammack & Co., calling attention to the existence of "a duty of the NASD to take all practicable steps to promote the in¬ terests of the over-the-counter dealers." : 3 T. a that by Philip Carret^ 21 Rep. Joseph W. Martin, Jr., Sees Need' for Hastening New* Business. Ventures Business and up Easter new him this ' hubby worrying about the your over- committee is to be made to the NASD Board of Governors not later than January, 1950. " 13 Fair Deal—Donald V. Eraser The Trouble Seeker study of the particularly the various aspects bearing competition with the listed securities exchanges. A report of the findings and recommendations of 8 Business and the Reading Public—Edgar G. Bower find a WIVES Is upon Financial News Coverage and the American System—Enunett Corrigan Railroads Need LETTER TO ALL release,-^Wallace H. the-counter market, 7 ..* recent a as Executive Director, has announced that the Na¬ tional Association of Securities Dealers will soon appoint a committee of five members to undertake a 6 .......... of Fulton, 4 Q. Forrest Walker - /-Through the medium : AND COMPANY •. Worcester Cleveland New York ■: Stock Union Commerce Exchange Building CLEVELAND .. 4 THE (960) ■ . ,. • ■ . •. • : ■ . . . 1 • . Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL Commodity Market Problems The Market for Securities Today COOLEY* By HON. HAROLD D. By ALFRED C. NEAL* , Vice-President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Carolina Agriculture Congressman from North Boston Chairman, House Committee on Dr. Neal stresses im¬ vital to preservation and economic growth of nation. Sees increasing problem in getting savings channeled into equity securities, and warns excessive public savings are go¬ ing into institutional form. Cites data showing investors' general lack of interest in buying stocks, and ascribes it to lack of familiarity with this class of investment. Advocates investment trusts and labels as ? Pointing out investment is dynamo that keeps private enterprise system running, i Congressman Cooley, asserting commodity exchanges are * patriotism getting American I * asked to open was them,<^ perhaps musically and fundamentally it deI have pends upon the use of capital, the use of capital equipment. So that had to say the standard of living which we will have been success^njoy today is the product in very ful, but I can large degree of past investment activity. Further growth in our jetend mfel* of living will depend on most of standard upon' our current and future inwhat I am go¬ i.nge what to ng activity. vestment say. growth and progress in the private enterprise system, is that re¬ quired for new enterprises. We need new enterprises to bring new ideas and new products to the market. And it is particularly in the field of new enterprise that equity capital is both needed and scarce. The large corporation with | good earnings can, and has been Consider the fact that the ordi- able to> finance its own acquisi- and tear on tools and requires that very h°n °f replacement tools or new tools that have been developed, But the little fellow with an idea, who is fust getting going, is the nary wear equipment expenditures be made every for replacement, and that has to provide the funds to pay for those new tools which replace the old that are targe i Dr. Alfred /ear lie business which in you engaged, because it is a busi¬ ness which is highly essential in are a capitalistic'free enterprise sys¬ tem. We I cal of money But just keeping what we have, consider also the fact that year after year a considerable part of the tools— capital into physi¬ equpment—proyides which keeps a private plant and the dynamo comes ket. using am "investment" to mean tion invest¬ the term the transla¬ that realize must ment—and who has the hardest time from and I enterprise system running. of enjoy now a standard of living which is extremely high; it We that, beyond use beyond that Contrast tools here in the sense capital equipment that is used by business and industry of alj get a capital fund sufficient to buy the new, once that, new divice is j introduced, and if it saves enough the situation that, undeveloped economy like China, a country which 1; in ^cost, anybody in competition with those using that new device produces on the average a bare is more or less forced to buy the living for its people and has virnew device himself. He has to tually nothing over. you find in What is an makes the it that dif¬ ference? The difference, of course, depends in education part and upon raise the somewhere. In many cases, he has to resort to the capital market. And that is the money resources, hut'! way a new device, which cuts cost out terhnnlmw lecnnoiogy, and makeg possible . *The opening lecture, delivered I the into country's use thig growth in economy, gets, put generally, Neal, in a course sible for shall I embark nor to attempt in any way to threaten, to embarass or the exchanges of the the country de¬ same to busi¬ ness integrity and high pur¬ of gree is distress. find too late to grief and to < \' \ ,, , privileges have been abused, If to as only tread," that they have come ac- corded pose persons might have easily foreseen. Even big speculators are not al¬ ways righi, but too frequently "fools rush in where angels fear commodi¬ ty better-informed which of of unforeseen events because out the. operations if confidences have been betrayed, other business illegal or if there has been either unethical on Vestment . groups now integrity. the needs and indus¬ of business motives of and great business I shall not impugn the nor reflect upon the characters of the legitimate opera¬ tors commodity exchanges. on 1 practices on code of ethics under which it has long and well operated. so Futures trading is an essential part of our commodity exchange system. Hedging is a legitimate and ethical practice, but excessive of try for capital. And it is that side the business that I want par¬ desire, however, to emphasize the fact that you are engaged in the ticularly to talk about tonight, be¬ cause the people who provide this performance of services which are American definitely impressed with a public ford. interest. farmer bear the Important My first point, then, is that you are in a business which is vital to preservation and growthof enterprise system, If the the private not do we channeling in succeed equity capital, we "may have very great difficulty in maintaining our present standard of living and in keeping new en¬ terprise coming along in our econ¬ omy, bringing in the competition into savings which for In- !' Salesmanship, sponsored j Capital for New Enterprises by Boston Investment Club and But probably more important Boston University, Boston, Mass., than either of those sources of inFeb. 1, 1949. i vestment, from the standpoint of by Dr. or blackjack those responsible for the operations, manipulations or gyrations which take place on the commodity exchanges. I accord to you gentle<S>men and to changes often come to grief and have their little fortunes wiped those respon¬ character probably the highest standard j kintfs--that a considerable part of, capital—the people who save, living in the world. Our pro- those tools becomes obsolete, looked at another way—provide ductivity is so great that we are Somebody invents a new device the market for your securities. not only able to provide this which does the job better and And indirectly, they provide, of standard of living for ourselves, ! cheaper than the old. To get that course, the institutional market but also to spend billions of dol- ! new device into use, despite the for securities. Jars each year helping other! fact that the business may not Securities Business Vitally countries of the world to rehabili- : have earned enough on the old to themselves. tirade a it is And savings. of situation with upon morality, not here to deliver a lecture on am business, particularly, that provides the link between the savings of private individuals and your is tate I the com¬ getting extra capital.V And that, operating in modity exchanges, certainly some too, is a part of this whole prob¬ our national of you gentlemen are familiar with Harold D. Cooley worn out. In many cases, these lem, and a part of your business economy. the pertinent facts, and I am sure in one way or another. Those responsible for the proper that funds are provided out of the you will welcome an oppor¬ Well, the money that is needed performance of all of the func¬ tunity to correct such abuses and earnings of the business itself. In to buy these tools, for whatever tions of the commodity exchanges unethical practices many cases they have to be pro¬ and return may be required, are usually gentlemen of high vided by resort to the capital mar¬ purpose they your organization to the business somebody t h e C. Neal fellow on curb speculation, and warns to the sub¬ expressed some ideas on it which attracted your committee. I am of my conclusions in rather extreme form. If that causes you to chal- then President's proposals for greater authority commodity exchanges must conform accepted standards of responsibility. gressional hearings to ject, but because I have going to state some ethically operated, upholds futures trading and hedging, but denounces excessive and violent speculation. Promises full Con*,; public to buy stocks and thus support private enterprise. this discussion, not b2cause I am necessarily an expert on properly and portance of securities business as has the over progress that farmers have is an point, which is a discussion likewise vital interest operations. Not only the but likewise the con¬ of the nation have an in¬ sumers pains and penal¬ in the wake of ties which follow fluctuations wide Wide prices. tions cause in and much too commodity wild fluctua¬ distress. I realize, of course, that there is an element of speculation involved in futures trading and likewise in operate. hedging, and I appreciate the dif¬ ficulties in determining what is briefly excessive we operations of the commodity ex¬ changes there is a well-recognized degree of speculation, then obvi¬ ously it becomes a difficult task I therefore speak to you about a matter in which have a community of interest. markets The . be must from of intrigue this country suspicion, above free corrupt prac¬ and to determine the degree markets of this country must be operated in a manner compatible with the high code of American business ethics. lation The will which You excessive. be in If speculation. tices, and free from fraud and de¬ ception. of the specu¬ considered gentlemen, per¬ haps, know more about the com¬ modity exchanges than any other of men in America, and I that you appreciate fully effects and distress¬ group High Character of Commodity am Exchanges the harmful ing results of excessive specula¬ accompanying wide fluc¬ problem in getting sav¬ And that brings me to my sec¬ a terest in the businesses which you in¬ ties. nation this producers In ings channeled into equity securi¬ ond of are, vested and a in such raised the has standard of living. There creasing made years of course, vi¬ tally interested in the operations of the commodity exchanges. The You is a luxury which agriculture cannot af¬ Neither can the American speculation recent years the commodity sure exchanges have been operated in a manner which has reflected tion and character of the persons who operate such ex¬ changes. The fact, remains, how¬ ever, too little is known about the intricate operations which take derstand and credit upon the prices. You also un¬ appreciate fully the tuations in great complexities of the oper¬ ations of the commodity ex¬ I am changes. I therefore admonish going to give you now the facts which support that conclusion that you to keep your own house in I just gave you, that there is an place on these exchanges. The order. increasing problem in channeling public generally is not well-in¬ Certainly at the present time formed and are frequently/ misled. savings into equity securities. you have not been handicapped It may surprise you to know This business of yours is very unduly by Federal regulations. that currently the volume of sav¬ complex and is thoroughly under¬ You have, for all intents and pur¬ ings in this country is probably stood only by specialists. Small poses, regulated your own busi¬ larger than it has been in peace¬ ness. You sit in judgment upon speculators who are not familiar time in the history of the coun¬ of what has been happening to the savings of the country. the try. Certainly that is true within since the end of the war; the volume of savings that is currently becoming avail¬ able exceeds the volume that we with the operations of these ex- the last three years (Continued on page *An address by Congressman Cooley before the Commodity Club of New York, New York City, Feb. 24, 1949. 32) qualifications and character of who are permitted to par¬ ticipate in the performance of the those vital functions which are essential to the proper tain that you are in a better posi¬ tion to know what if anything should Amerex Portsmouth Steel Holding Corp. operation of these I am cer¬ commodity exchanges. sive be done to prevent speculation. eral control over exces¬ Whether Fed¬ margins becomes Central-Ill. Pub. Serv * Durez Plastics & Chent. INVESTMENT Texas Eastern Trans.* degree upon your efforts and upon the manner in which you perform Ideal Cement Co. BANKERS Potash Co. of Amer. Warren Bros., Class C the important services which you necessary are Members New York Stock Exchange UNDERWRITERS AND and Other Leading Exchanges DISTRIBUTORS OF INVESTMENT SECURITIES BROKERS Private Wires OF • , / BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES Home Office: Atlanta • Phone LD-159 ♦Prospectus on Request Bought — Sold — called upon by the investing public to discharge. Quoted Regulating While Goodbody & Co. Members N. Y. Stock Telephone BArclay 7-0100 105 West Adams St., Chicago Teletype NY it is 1-672 you of the Speculation not admonish you, I Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges 115 Broadway, New York will depend in no small fact my purpose to desire to remind that on Jan. 5, 1949, in his message on the "State of the Union," (Continued the President, on page 33) Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (961) Brown Observations to By A. WILFRED MAY communication a this to column the prominent Dow barometrician, Mr. Gaylord Wood, temporarily stepping role of market predicting technician, cites 12 non-market factors stock a alleged nomic "crash" market eco- por¬ tents from un¬ employment, e drop in of contin¬ a ued A. Wilfred May wages, a material decrease in sumer demand, plant new a and in sharp drop in equipment, de¬ corporate re¬ profits and dividends. This how columnist this does not particular know forecaster weighted these factors before the recent market struck with declines, but he is the general currently repeated discernible the on public's concentration bearish ele¬ ments after the market has de¬ clined. Seemingly the public never learns its psychology lesson! The Illogical This pre¬ now again manifested by the action of the short interest. During the month ended Feb. 15, while stock falling were short interest on by the 6%, New the York Stock Exchange grew by 16%, ex¬ cluding the odd lots which in¬ creased by 8%. This comprised a rise within the ratio the month of the of short 50% in interest to the average daily trading volume. Confirming this illogical pattern of intensification after of bearishness decline, which has been historically detailed on several a occasions in this column, "Bar¬ ron's" shows in its issue of Feb. 21 that during the past 15 years a rise in the ratio of the short inter¬ est above 1.5% of the volume of trading, has in seven out of nine instances been followed by a sub¬ stantial rise in share prices. The on concentration one set world, is of factors of conclusion a in emphasis to the similarly support securities practiced in general our economic thinking. being exemplified in controversy over inflation-versus-deflation. as in the citing of high personal incomes This is the now public and steel shortages by Messrs. Keyserling and John D. Leon Clark in their recent inflation forecasts before the Congress. billion $150 The misuse of the demand-and- money the and ties an as between available explanation market movements in tions was column a investors' fully both, detailed fortnight ago. terpreted being stock direc¬ in There various other individual factors which securi¬ for external are in explanation For of example, the Marshall Plan its ERP's billions during pe¬ production as the other hand, the aid Vice-President is of the organi¬ native of Ver¬ a the p. Sense A. M. "Chronicle" National of of the In¬ Bernstein Feb. in 24, 1949, divergent have reactions of well as political University Senate from special 1923 to 1930 for agent as the been bulls Col. Fink Director and bulls, to the domestic outlook. the and outbursts Election The results of as recurrent of Mr. socialistic Truman have of Col. director a Corp. Sol Paul of I The Fisk Omnibus announced March 1. was 1931 since and as an explanation for liqui¬ dation by "Wall Street's scared (temporarily) rabbits." On the other hand, particularly at times better market performance, in¬ & Co., members of Stock Ex¬ director a income. This $5,200,000,000 higher than in 1929, an increase of industry's payments in wages, salaries, social security, pensions and other compensations constituted nearly threeabout was 175%. The quarters of its contribution and also In the interval same 175%. rose ■ the industry's income taxes, the Institute than 10 times; net after taxes gained 118% more 11%. * * i * Noting that the United States Government has begun to tighten credit controls by law, "Electrical Merchandising," a trade publica¬ tion, recently advised dealers in the credit business to follow suit and take added precautions when making a sale on time. Three important points stressed by the publication were to obtain everybody you sell; not to fail to gpt the information the customer while he is in the mood and not to fail to impress him that payments must be paid when due or suffer the conse¬ reports from upon on 1 / ' , leading services even man¬ to comment on the Presi¬ It made extensive the large capital ex¬ penditures this country must make developing the of the more world. would, use of pri¬ involve the capital." And primitive This it is said, and rine a bulls S. P. Fink The Forces, beginning with his enlistment, at the age of 14, in the U. S. Cavalry, with which he the on 1912 to World Mexican border 1915, inclusive. War I, he served as ism since August, stands 10% 1945, and above the even its pre¬ election level. vision of the In see that basic flaws in are exclusion Corp., external elements which do not fit the public's mood of the moment, and the contradictory varying of popular interpretations of partic¬ ular factors in conformity preceding market action. with serving Command¬ as Back-to-normalcy this week, "The was Iron awarded the Legion of Merit a commendation. states in its current worried that it review might the steel of mean more trade. than Some a mere steel people trend to the regular way—competition—of doing business. However, there were signs that the bottom was ready to drop out of steel. no Signs firms that things are changing which had higher prices in steel than the follow: some majority have steel dropped, them to regular mill levels; cancellations although not too heavy becoming up more frequent; holes in rolling mill schedules oftener than a contracts and commitments are v month ago; some holders of non-can¬ cellable conversion are trying to buy their customers (Continued Hirsch & Go. modest coming to the steql industry at a fast Age," national metalworking weekly, these was and a Collections continued to be slower than they were pace opening and the holiday STEEL OPERATIONS EXCEED 100% OF CAPACITY FOR 7TH CONSECUTIVE WEEK Signal Regiments, to year ago. are Training was generally attributed Washington's Birthday. on total dollar volume of wholesale orders reflected, ing Officer of the 804th and 800th those of he again un¬ dertook active duty with the rank of Colonel in the U. S. Army Sig¬ nal we War II decline stores sizable volume. a were World many drop in the holiday-shortened week, but was fractionally above that in 1948. Spring merchandise was" ordered in a First Lieutenant and then Captain record. to most pronounced in the New England, of the similar week of Field of the Labor Government's social¬ faith closing of the Armed Artillery in the 92nd Di¬ AEF, and added 15 months of foreign service to his their was . The weekly ago. Col. precedent of the British market which rose during the installation pinned The decline Central regions. Advances over appeared only in the East Central and Middle Atlantic Although aided by favorable weather and promotional sales in sections, total retail dollar volume declined slightly in the was a trifle below the level of the comparable week a year service, from ago many has served a drop of 19.3% from the December level loss of 22.3% from the January, 1948, sum of a week and notable record with and States. salvage of represented ma¬ company. In post-election our tion year 1 .. speech may well produce hopeful, long-range mar¬ ket sentiment. & p ma n He dent's inaugural speech thus: in its firmness the reference to a It Pacific, South Atlantic and South Scott, leading ing construc¬ inflationary and consumerpropping implications, is used as a bull argument. In this vein one notes, that not more than 1% of people buying on time are poor risks, nevertheless, these delin¬ quents can cut the margin of a dealer's profit. Experience tables have shown that if a customer will resort to deception once, he will do it again. A lot of dealers suffer by accepting contracts that their :redit agencies have warned them against. t 4 •286,513,248. Merritt- its So first in 1929 and-in six later years. % industry's contribution in 1947, according to the Institute, totaled $8,186,000,000, or 4.99% of private, nonagricultural 3f $275,532,434, of Ch now thirties, steel has been in first place or very consistently than any other manufacturing more steel nonths. change, also is tensified New Dealism because of have 1929, the the New York vate as compared with currently reports. Building permit valuations for January fell rather sharply from December level, and from the volume recorded in January a year ago, according to the latest compilation by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. Total value of permits issued in 215 cities last month amounted 0 $222,489,796, the smallest monthly figure reported for the past 20 with importantly cited as the har¬ binger of lower securities Values, in was other any Its produc¬ nearly tripled was Colonel Fink, who has been as¬ sociated Hirsch areas It than more to the national income in 1947. quences. Co. & the bullish bears been aged top The the of Investigation, where he remained until 1938, when he resigned to join Braun last November's Presidential Elec¬ of the the middle the to industry. While States * industry contributed While it is estimated, the magazine Similarly of close Law 3). tion Since points out, increased the Bureau Good steel and dividends of a by and George Wash¬ ington University and is a gradu¬ Federal the iron the American Iron and Steel Institute He attended pointed on of steel firms are way out of getting as page 33) Open Time Inc. Two New Branches Hirsch Gimbernat-Sellwood New Gimbernat & Sellwood, Broadway, New York City, bers of the New York we are 111 timore, ment 1624 Exchange, opening of in¬ of Eye under John S. the a an¬ Continental Airlines branch McGraw (F. H.) & N. W., and Bought—Sold—Quoted at Wash¬ FREDERIC H. HATCH & CO., INC. manage¬ ment of Oscar Coolican. . Mr. Hardin was formerly , manager of the Baltimore Co. Y. SECURITY DEALERS ASSOCIATION office 63 Starkweather & Established 1888 coMEMBERS N. of Co. manage¬ Hardin, Street, ington, D. C., under the merly with Sherwood & Co., and own the Md., mem¬ vestment firm in New York. Kingan & Co. Co., members of the Stock office in the Keyser Building, Bal¬ Stock Ex¬ in the past conducted his & York nounce Dept. Under Bennett der the management of F. Lawson Bennett. Mr. Bennett was for¬ domestic the producer of billions of national income. Dpring our re¬ cent periods of market recessibn, on Co., national firm of business and public relations con¬ sultants, and, since 1941, has been earnings yields (cf. " 'Disinflation' lant our York office of & extraordinarily high dividend and change, announce the opening of a municipal bond department un¬ to New capacities. Upon gradution in 1930, Mr. Brown was ap¬ riods of market optimism last year were welcomed as a major stimu¬ and manager the Of «it * The are both bull and bear markets. and been Mr. Brown decline in aggregate output, employment fractionally in many sections of the country. has in various this successively in¬ self-contradictorily in offered years>Mr- of pprice softening on corporate inventories, and cite inventory vulnerability to justify the present the market community's analytical Two-Way Market Explanations pull ten Ralph D. Brown mont. keeping with the tiesmanufacturing industry For the past tion of national income ; Brown Braun a rela- School, Washington, D. C. attending school in Wash¬ ington, he worked in the United and In last week dropped activi- Now, however, 'midst a bearish market period, observers direct attention to the injurious effects vestor," Index industrial ate optimistically was emphasized then. processes supply IHl |BL 1 HBk market and bearish casting in conformity with ceding stock market action is the bl i c tions a bears, of fore¬ to zation. the Short Interest traditional basing prices Pu consumer con¬ creasing exports, and marked duction forts economy. down¬ will ftcompany's A ucts, a process inciting broadened demand throughout the The filip to industrial trend in real estate, a moderate activity from the resulting broader rise in taxes, a leveling off in use of consumers' cash savings of of Production Business Failures production in the United States the past week slight falling off as compared with the week preceding. It was, however, mildly higher than the level prevailing in the corresponding period of 1948. devote his ef- H prices would permit reduced sell¬ ing quotations for finished prod¬ and expectations Industry indications of gave Mr. Brown selves with the thought that lower d i t y prices; Total new position, explanations. During recent periods of market stability the bulls comforted them¬ lent drop in wholesale com m o na¬ commodity price de¬ represent another factor bear and vio¬ Auto and company. his which has been used for both bull produc¬ tion, the * Price f the exports from the aided clines o In These The recent prospec¬ steel President the basis for and as a major cause continuing punitive taxation. bankruptcies, tive his lows. as 1932 tions, the increase in t h of Trade Commodity Price Index Food is announced by A. W. Hughes, Theory out Output Carloadings Retail State of Trade organization, store extending to Europe was pessi¬ mistically envisaged as the har¬ binger of increased competition indicat¬ ed rise in partment Production Electric • Co., nationwide de¬ 3>- include —the the to down C. Penney Steel The Appointment of Ralph D. Brown an executive position with the J. Economic Interpretation Still Follows the Ticker In Appointed by Penney & Co. J. G. Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Bell Teletype NY 1-897 - ■ <; (962) THE The Retail COMMERCIAL Pricing I Situation Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & i From By Q. FORREST WALKER* Economist, R. H. Macy & Co. Washington Ahead Retail specialist, in commenting on confusion and d'siurbance in'business because of current low- eco-1 visibility, points out.high level of business activity cannot continue unless v/e have price structures > support and increase flow of goods. Says it is jjint responsibility' of government, organized labor! management to promote both production and d slributicn and criticizes heavy government costs and of the News nomic that and high taxes as handicap to proper Sees public's Ispending pattern changing and price structure. cautious and selective retail We are in buying. ivisibilit.y Every time Mr. Truman talks about think of a story I heard down |c h is e evidence growing that i m really p o r t a n corrections t of economic the distortions the of postwar boom now are under way. Prices are sensitive b a- of iomeiers economic change. There Walker j haV 6 A constable laid his defeat Street "Wall '.-V "How been share be would The Wall Street and the "Inter¬ in Tennessee a few months for reelection to Wall Street. me," he would 'presented itself. beat say * This is joint responsibility of a government, organized - 4 abor, management and all who play a in production and distribu¬ part when that goods they offer prices- rapidly into move "Well, broaden increasing our markets cannot by burdens. " our been plate banquet with this sort 50 of the down¬ dinner, smoking big a trodden labor leaders at the and cigars as well fed and comfortable as the capitalist. The way these labor caricatures of the spending the hard earned money of their subjects these days is a caution. A. F. Wbitnev, head of the' trainmen, thinks nq more labor of High production costs still im¬ pede the return of better qualities recent $100 of stuff. Incidentally, there were Carlisle Reductions exercise of its government can only spend what it takes from the peo¬ powers, at. the Bargeron High Costs Impede Price v was # s; > tax - Within the proper getting. Wall -';: it ~ • We tell you ... "They barked," he insisted. 1 Nevertheless, Mr. Truman made the office¬ holders and the labor lobbyists deliriously happy It is a fair guess thati few tion. While this discussion is tion. expect to satisfy their primarily concerned with prices at people the retail level, it may be desir¬ needs at prewar prices because able to comment briefly on some they recognize cthat basic, changes aspects of the impact of govern¬ have occurred which make the re¬ mental costs on the price struc¬ turn to such levels a practical im¬ ture. High governmental costs are possibility. But they want more a substantial part of the cost of for their money than. they have living. here." night." could how Street?" consump¬ he Street? them?" "No, they came at bettei lower can somewhat values at occasion that asked. "Did you see universal experience of merchantr every on know it was Wall do you "Oh, they came down is because low BARGERON ests"! igo. period of low economic visibility. The year-end forecasting season has but the great outpouring of fact, sound opinion and mere wishful think¬ ing in these annual reviews has not dispelled the fogginess of the business outlook. Q. Forrest . a and gone, come more By CARLISLE tossing away a are $10 bill than he would a dime. Mr. Truman—it But birds is doubtful if demagoguery has ever been least, prices. In the coined some new declines in the prices of; basic ple by taxation, or borrows direct¬ expressions such as Economic Royalists. Truman dismal thirties, we added quality commodities. Our official index ly or indirectly from their savings. has taken us back to the vocabulary of the Bryan times. Yet it is many refinements to mer¬ numbers of wholesale and retail Moreover, except within narrow and doubtful if any President ever had so many Wall Streeters in posi¬ '"any at several ward for We are because confused we these ous burden months. disturbed and do not know how seri¬ readjustments may how long they may last. nor be, Early chandise to maintain price structhe war, most of tional government because the these disappeared; and at the end the war retailers liquidated burden really comes to rest on the of whole people. These costs are part large quantities of merchandise of the prices we pay for every¬ that were acceptable only under prices have been drifting down¬ limits, it is not possible to shift the from local to state to na¬ tures. tions of During it than worse attractive more is Washington in these at Roosevelt, days. high influence. that he might find it neces¬ The President told his worshippers to make another one of his trips around; the country and they; nodded at each other to the effect that this would certainly fix sary things After all, look what he accomplished in the up. campaign. I would give a pretty penny if he would essay something of quali¬ It is my conviction he would be in for the surprise of his We know what we pay directly, ties and more reasonable prices the sort. there were but we do not always realize that began to reappear, out the im¬ life because this time he. would have Bob Taft going right along traditional pattern of postwar with him or closely behind. Indeed, if some of Taft's friends prevail these governmental costs are provements were soon checked by economic changes would be re¬ In pyramided through the w h o 1 e rapidly mounting costs and what he would challenge the President to make it a joint debate. peated, but they did not occur. appeared to be an insatiable de¬ either event, a joint debate or with Taft following closely on his Replacement demands were un- j §amut of production and distribu™ mand. Satisfactory quality,* for heels, Truman would come back a very much shrunken figure. He's derestimated and a combination Itlon- XJnder the American theory, many types oi goods became i ob¬ feeling his oats now, the President is; seems; tb be getting cockier of fortuitous circumstances* gave | government is not something apart tainable only at prices beyond the every day. I can't imagine anything that would more deflate him the postwar expansion renewed1 from the people. There are limits reach of the ordinary customer. than a set-to at close range with Taft. vigor. But we cannot now foresee to what we may do in our collective capacity without destroying Somehow we must find ways to No one would want to see him get the hang dog expression he any fresh impetus to the ebbing the initiative that got us where produce goods to meet this new had in his last term but a good chastisement just now would do him boom. In the press and over the demand that grows more insistent we are. and the country immeasurable good. A few weeks after his reelection radio, we shudder at some abate¬ he told a private gathering that there were thousands of men in this The narrow, and often purely day by day. ment of our economic fever. We At times it is surprising how country who could make 5s good or even better President than he. accept with enthusiasm new high political, approach to the taxation But after all he happened to be the President, he pointed out. manufacturers and mer¬ is not only a serious long records, however unsound and question chants will cling to prices- and artificial the means by which they handicap to larger markets for This was a trace of the humility that has characterized him. are attained, but we take a dour particular types of goods, but it qualities that have outlived their Brit he seems to be loosing it fast. He is coming more and more to productive possibilities despite look upon himself as a great leader. It is hard to think, too, of any¬ attitude toward the signs of a re- carries deeper threats to longer fresh advertising expenditures turn of more normal times and run economic stability. There is a body more out of character. vigorous sales promotion. the unlimited opportunities such vast difference between the politi- and Even the opposing Senators used to have a sneaking admiration Many producers are still nibbling a return offers to build a stronger cal and the business approach to for Roosevelt but they make little effort to disguise their contempt long established trade and better economy. We gravely the problem of producing more away at for Truman. After all they served with him. They had an intimacy need a positive, not a negative, income. In industry, we pay in- discounts that have always been which makes them scoff at talk of mandates. attitude toward healthy economic! centive wages, or grant merit in- figured in the original pricing Everything considered, Truman's increasing belligerency and the creases, to raise production so that and that are powerful stimulants read just ments. attitude toward him on the Hill, the prospect for any sizable portion to continued dealer interest. They The war saddled us with very j cosfs may be spread over a broader base. In government, we do not jump to the easy conclusion that of his "program" being accomplished is far from bright. The Con¬ high governmental costs. High servatives, Republicans and Democrats, seem to have entirely re¬ all the merchant needs to do is to Jevel business activity is needed to j \ax generate a larger flow of raise his price to a public that has covered from the shock of Truman's reelection. They are becoming carry the very minimum of neces- mc°roe ^nd spread our. governrepeatedly shown its lack : of in¬ less and less impressed with it every day. sary and prudent governmental m^ntal costs. We do not reform terest in higher prices. A group of business friends was telling me about the depression Most of expenditures. That level cannot antiquated, make-shift and punimeans of raising in the offices of the NAM as the Taft-Hartley hearings got underway. tive methods that set up powerful these indirect be maintained unless we have obstacles to the creation of new prices can result only in throw¬ According to these friends, the NAM had completely thrown up the price structures that support and and additional income; and there ing prices into retail zones that sponge on this particular Act. They assumed it would go through increase the flow of goods. During is perennial search for new de¬ are not acceptable to the customer as the Administration wanted it. Put out by the NAM's attitude, the past two years, the official in¬ vices that often result in still and that are injurious to the pro¬ these men got busy toward perfecting an opposition to repeal of the in 1947 and again early in 1948, expectations that the thing eat, drink, we wear or use. wartime conditions. Better ,, of the dex physical production of goods has increased only slightly, while prices have moved substan¬ tially higher. In the department store trade, we have achieved new high record of sales, but the phys¬ volume ical moved come sidewise. of trade. Our has gains have prices, not from greater quantities merchandise. prevails trade our from rising sale the of A similar of situation in many other lines of Squeezed by high food costs, sharp rises in new housing costs, and urgent needs for many types of durable goods that now cost much more than before the the typical customed has cur¬ tailed his buying of the vast range war, of ordinary goods. When custom¬ cannot afford to pay prevailing believe them to be too high, lesser quantities are bought and fewer people are needed to produce them. That is why we need price structures that will ers prices move or more goods into consump¬ tion. !i':An address by Mr. Walker be¬ greater burdens for constructive a ducer well as the distributor. Act, is, as what it wants. There solution either of for in do tion; but good five cent lieve that costs we here are more immedi¬ down production or distribu¬ it is impossible to be¬ we have exhausted After all, functions But easy no coarse, getting possibilities. * Consumer Attitude Toward Prices volume. of are Many ex¬ be avoided by kind the price levels. pre¬ testing that capitalizes what of we may do to change them. We may as well recognize that the declines in prices of many impor¬ tant food products have focused considerable on the consumer prices attention other merchan¬ of on dealer knowledge of the most productive mation does than sults studies and ing. tomer Buying is more cautious and selective, whether the pur¬ entertainment is smaller size preparation. of a or toilet favorite There is an the increas¬ It yields better re¬ multiple correlation costly consumer sur¬ The dealer veys. customer. more not kind of infor¬ require expen¬ is close to He knows what the wants and what he the cus¬ will are are months, near record levels, sav¬ increasing, and liquid as¬ still very large. For some it has been the almost that the Administration will get nothing like appears or none His henchmen of the Roosevelt gang's finesse at seem Truman's to fumble the ball at every turn. of Agriculture, Brannon, has been placed in charge that is, he is directing the strategy. You that when he was elevated to the secretaryship he was in¬ The Secretary of the domestic program; recall troduced as a man who had worked up the from ranks, just an The fact is he is a professional here with the Roosevelt gang. He had to start honest, hard working civil servant. politician who came at lower level but he is far from the a He did a civil servant type. the farmers in the last campaign, played strictly political basis. good job of hoodwinking them on a hasn't he But the ability political of Roosevelt's hatchet men. Capitol Hill who are going along with Truman are those who are for the program. They are, in fact, leading Truman not following him. Conversely those who are against the program pro -ot being frightened by Truman's big words or any axe he might The only ones on wield. ' ■ . The first thought of a mer¬ after looking at goods is pay. chant he what can get for them. often, products Too designed and adequate consid¬ are ing disposition to wait for better costed without values and lower prices. If figures eration of what the ultimate con¬ mean anything, the trouble does sumer is willing to pay. We know that not seem to be lack of quality, style, buying power, because the flow of income "eye appeal" and utility are often remains now There is little sive research. dise. Spending patterns are chang¬ chase This It command. the costs pensive mistakes in pricing could ately interested in consumer atti¬ tudes toward prevailing prices and ings City, Feb. 25, 1949. than us will effort cigar. sets York for more American New productive ef¬ Government, as well as pri¬ vate industry, can price itself out of revenues. Higher net rewards fore the New York Chapter of the Marketing" Association, on forts. much more important than mere price. There is still a vast range of opportunity to improve the (Continued on page 39) With Frank Knowlton Co. Schwabacher Adds Three (Special SAN to The Financial FRANCISCO, fred P. Otto, Chronicle) -j CAL.—Al¬ Jr., Frank S. Sperry (Special to The OAKLAND, Chichester has Financial CAL. Chronicle) — Paulding become associated and Ernest Stent have been added with Frank Knowlton & Co., Bank to the staff of Schwabacher & Co., of America 600 Market the New Stock Street, members York and San Francisco Exchanges. Building. In the past of Mr. Chishester conducted his investment business Cisco. own in San FranV;;. Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL-& Newspapers and Economic Illiteracy By JAMES P. general readers' Predicting overall cost-of-living would ments will not be + ; The general topic of the and interpretations. many ning tossing dead cats I have might spend at each other under the where cnosen UiC to of stop" h oulders have her sought I con¬ be able to he James P. Selvage faced irate corporation presidents explain why a wrong conclu¬ drawn from a release or was why I did not control your head¬ line. It could be a rollicking eve¬ ning of fun. But, with your per¬ mission, I trust, I choose to delimit rhy part of the discussion tonight arid to something vital than the more purely basic occu¬ pational relationships between public relations and the gentlemen of the press as represented by the My broad premise is—There is way through the daily press of the nation to get across to the great, unknowing masses the simple verities of our industrial system—the answers to the poli¬ ticians, to the radicals, to the radical politico-labor leaders who, either through ignorance or de¬ liberate distortion, seek the Glory through economic confusion. The immediate response to that statement might be three¬ broad fold: (1) No institution believes than in the the capitalistic newspapers as more system a group. (2) The newspapers carry, pro¬ portionately, each day more news about business and industry than any other subject, except, per¬ haps, sports. Business does not package its news and tie it up with pink (3) ribbon so it will be attractive to the average newspaper reader. Business Confined But, agree. rape to Financial demagogue, businessman as widows and unions, and America. fathead with children, establish Research Service sports and 21% Among the its ment whatever the ducer. line It is its eight The news. makes become column know I am wading even expounding the thesis 15 and that it was over-ex¬ 18 years ago pansion the industrially that depression; that we Today they have com¬ pletely contradicted themselves. millions to whom Mr. Truman addressed himself remain just as economically dumb the time they finished President's messages. Let's take a couple of at as two I from (Continued jts on more ex¬ on Board, page the economy be low of 44 from cents, and pound to isolated They are parts are the of financial the most the written for Labor to that the threshold of you 38) Now let the record us D. pages? the can nor incalculable We take MR. a would that commerce time in Past dry up more quickly than imagine without the fi¬ all looking for, but in the of Mr. Selvage fore New York Financial Association, March 1, 1949. be¬ Writers summer crpp|lbf bread grains abroad is seriously by which created age of damaged a go grains both for food past. Our prin¬ foods. At the same time and steel-making, (Continued P. Graham, on page MURTHA Parsons & long-time measure of the general price level is the Bureau's Co.) INCORPORATED Wholesale Price Index, which has been compiled nearly 60 past 35 years. years continuously Investment Securities for The record of the is on this clearly the two 25 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK 4, N. Y. chart, war¬ March 1, 1949 Dlgby 4-0770 time peaks, separated by a valley s;:An address by Dr. Clague be¬ fore the Economic Club of Detroit, Detroit, Mich., Feb. 21, 1949. ARE PLEASED THE ANNOUNCE TO ADMISSION THAT OF CERF, JR. C. FRED RICHARDS MEMBER.OF THE NEW YORK the formation of OUR STOCK EXCHANGE FIRM AS GENERAL PARTNER. MEMBERS OF THE YORK NEW -AS general investment OF THIS WE STOCK HAVE OFFICES HAVE DATE BEEN One Wall Street, 120 South La Salle Street MOVED New TO York 5 TELEPHONE WHITEHALL 4-5850 CHICAGO Telephone Financial 6-2277 • HENRY Teletype CG I 363 March 2, 1949 MARCH 1. 1949 HERRMAN & BECOME EXCHANGE CO. and 35) Vice President a in¬ in costs and prices in coal Homer O'Connell & Co. cipal and feed, This stimulated a new spurt in prices of farm products back and look at of the were drought, world -wide short¬ for JEROME with as of that year our corn crop and the can ^Remarks appeared Record OUR America it though we might be reaching that plateau of stability that we were pleasure in announcing that (formerly of by rapid price rise of 1946. short a securities business state¬ period to people. a a a economic damage to a great many I think it is not too broad ment a In the spring uncertainties generated very mining ex¬ us 18 We war. have very com¬ audience. of readjust¬ bring The lasted end ques¬ selectly conduct the For the postwar highs in 1948. Except FLOYD D. CERF, JR. COMPANY, INC. to of the to 1939 than momentary con¬ traction in the economy, in view and in 1920. months we hesitation and creases lows in to very severe tests. of 1947 there was the from war then the post¬ longer the In the past two years the price has been several times put ments. The same chart shows the MR. announces and prolonged rise half level prevent a repetition of this? Let us look at our present situation in the light of the recent develop¬ WITH FLOYD f present price much of to ask: What situation may our 42 this beyond V-J as yet en¬ nothing approaching a general liquidation of prices. op demand, broke simultaneously iff'almost all industries. in latter that ended boom now Day, examples of what happened a speculative inventory boom, without firm underpinnings Now the first. countered cal there the lasted end that postwar typi¬ are has the rise are in notice months from a has been elected The the not are will rise war 12 cents second uie in r beyond when period of stable price-income rela¬ healthy tionships. 9 These n. was in the Statistics leads that treme, and that it a its from instances; they post-depression ment need not be violent and You the to ' it as controls of 1946. 1921, cot¬ pound a cents. WE A single sentence wrongly written, or with a few misplaced facts, do lead 4 in newspaper. a business-financial might cents now They comprise edited 42 con- was particularly true of the spurt that followed the lifting of dropped from bushel in 1920 a cents in price 1946 analyses our of a to steep War price relative came firm This aim They point in same Then Corn high of $2.00 TO What we rather a them. pact lifted, speeds and in to answer believe the seem¬ trying to propel thinking. I have an orchid or in my kit, but I am saving am but to spectacular. we out which shows The NAM works for weeks statement ing to impugn the value of these But bear with me, I am not. tion, us a panaceas. the of reasonable dogmatic prices same as World was The declines in prices of individ¬ ual commodities were equally a aoout together. 1920. caused were mature economy; that we needed a 30-hour week, and other But were certainly premature to give Bureau pages. our It is a You were divided violent readjustment? the financial know, and no doubt some of you have told your public, that many of the people who are now demanding industrial expansion controls turn may head¬ industry similarly eco¬ phrasing and implica¬ on be the right direction, or are we passing through one phase of what steel tions, but it lands will approaching a plateau from which we can pro¬ at rise of 1943 (which plateau the chart), the price rise was 011 although farm prices hit a lower floor before they bounced back. ton Are larm from appears as an all-too-brief within the span of a few months, and fell almost at the same rate, product is: ceed pro¬ pages. an nearly normal. question in everyone's mind now in to the more about quantities, and how the machinery The reply, nomic in its of since appears to be more govern¬ steel a "governor" economy, started to race, and only recently has it begun to return to what read business has to say appears on the financial and business pages. treacherous waters in the happens almost daily? job and that the the various producers. During When industry is falling down should Clague war the governor was "rigged" through price control to keep prices at predetermined levels. financial 76% women, Ewan the Mr. Truman tells the world that on what this period a trol, cjollapse. It was spectacular, and nothing escaped. Farm prices and nonfarm prices started down, all when among the gravure, 57% the ritdin news, 65% the society section and' 7% the financial. the steel next, they are so influential in determining what things will be produced and in for although farm prices rapidly for a time, they reached sense, in and position will prices are enterprise a readership that, among men, 71% read the rotogravure, 51% the main news section, 66% the t a understand why there is so much interest in prices. In a real newspaper pages. 1914, rose happens. It is e asy to its surveys of Sunday on h at that of the remark-: started at about the it break Fascism on other national Publication reports the happen a who a swept up nonfarm prices and what will illiterate prey for portrays a is amples. reason, it does not deny the fact that almost invariably, whatever I w economically he that it 1920, we wondering ire can reading the Pages I we more So what no firmly on big bay window, a top hat, and a consuming desire to starve financial and business editors. Road the nappen think more any story or two having sion and judges—some rimes read him. is, the a of to or the re¬ with to eye look us interruptions. One able things about current wages accept thf seqUitur that the less this guy is likely to read the financial pages, ceivably might taliate women s even And I to misuse your pages. be hapnin g to prices. With pe one Let wartime peak. It represents the accumulation of a 6-year price rise with only occasional and brief may in¬ Story on the front page—who think tha the financial pages are not foi public rela¬ tions on their s varying !• Yet, there are millions who turn to the sports pages, to the comics, g tne epaulets tying terests together. men in - of depression. first fulof what center nerve instances self and half-fear- nancial and business pages as the many bear topic. a <$>- _ everyone is half - hopeful no doubt you can recite aegis of such price readjust¬ more consumer, eve¬ happy and exciting a recent than usually, everybody is concerned about prices—hoping for drop in the prices of things that he buys and fearful of a drop in the prices of the things he sells. Whether it is the farmer, the businessman, the purchasing agent, or the ordinary pages. We steady in immediate future, and a discussion here tonight is Public Rela¬ This is a broad question subject to, our Financial remain or product between consumption and investment. These days, even ; preservation of capitalism. tions violent " talking to itself. Recommends doings of industry indispensable for to / extreme, leading government statistician looks upon recent developments as promoting stable and healthy price relationships. Points out lower farm prices have been offset by higher metal prices, and says there is no likelihood of price collapse experienced after World War I. Stresses importance of balance between prices and income, and a healthy distribution of national of business exposure 7 By EWAN CLAGUE* given to the demagogic attacks by government and labor leaders. situation (963) Commissioner of Labor Statistics Public relations expert decries the relegation of business' stories io the financial page in contrast to the general news publicity commonly This entails CHRONICLE Price Outlook Portends No Depression SELVAGE* Partner, Selvage & Lee, Public Relations President, French & Preston, Advertising i FINANCIAL a 8 how much Financial News Coverage and American System the The progressively lower volume of space devoted to financial news, for which he finds publishers and owners at fault. Concludes this is importantly undermining American Way of Life. We hear the that say far as Gene.' told is progressive decline in the volume of space given finan¬ cial and business news. I know to that that him field of any endeavor susceptible improvement but that I had fault no find with to the in manner which public relations and financial news writing b i e n was g he Corrigan Well, persuaded me as that in the few words I tonight thoughts that say will not be with I you see, I and some hope the the is fellows that you single piece of every send you, sent out." I, do not I as you lot a of the little, if say reache: and any, space That perhaps is a weak¬ of the public relations sys¬ anyway. ness tem, but I don't going to change are so how see it is as long as there public relations many people with clients who want to get into the news columns on the slightest provocation. The ideal of public relations people would be that every single story they send would be of such tremendous interest that you folks would wait breathlessly for them to come in, and couldn't afford without them. to the papers to go press Unfortunately, I don't think any of us will live to see such an Utopia. And yet, with to label me like the candidate for office in agricultural county in State. He said over an Southern a and "I again in his campaign, in favor of the State giving over am seed to every farmer free stand don't I and county care in this if my this issue beats me for on election." York ing these aims is for the publisher to neglect their most important section. In my opinion this is not even good business because most of the leading metropolitan papers throughout the country have at¬ tained their leadership by appeal¬ Atomic Atomic is sufficient not curities and interest in very The the that reason laws, illustrate To a I When say business and that the financial sections of news¬ Building, Cleveland 14, Curtiss-Wright Oil rent Priced Low I Stocks—List One of York there the is something financial press thousand 5, N. Y. instanci The i'fjnancial section^ tend eda^orate into thin air. Two three years which a I am survey in 29 ads, of 184 papers in 84 cities The circulations states. ranged from five thousand to one million. Here are the results: carried 60 financial no news whatsoever. 18 carried 18 carried 12 of carried 18 carried Vz of one a a column. column. column. Only 23 papers carried 2 or more columns. 1 pointed out made during newsprint shortage but I feel the situation has not greatly It this should study be was that the that im¬ paper cbnciudld tot "very feMf those with appealing, illustrations, equal even City Banks—Break¬ are like would to this subject, I on much three to finance space it as does to times as and busi¬ sports. In this magazine, issue of Feb. 21, the publisher said in his usual letter, "Among the favorite-de¬ partment-first of male readers the same first i favorites seven in order National Affairs,^Finance and Business, Medicine, Foreign News,;'. Science, People, Inter¬ were: have of which course, through letters to the editor. come repeatedly to the factor of non-recurring profits and losses, picture is not shown. curity a se¬ Banks—Tabula¬ distribution of banks—First Boston 17 On based rald The to Current prices offer yields of about 6% to 9% Chronicle) Financial ANGELES, CALIF. Stubblefield W. with connected the Over Counter Industrial . El Paso Electric Co. " 10-year per¬ formance of 35 industrial stocks— booklet—National Quotation Bu¬ Inc., 46 Front Street, New York 4, N. Y. * reau, Northwestern Public Service Co. Gulf Public Service Co. Portland General Electric Co. Kentucky Utilities Co. Public Service Co. of Indiana Mobile Gas Service Corp. Puget Sound Power & Light Co. of possibilities for G. (Special The to FRESNO, Co., 115 Broadway, New York 6, ; Also available is a Street, New York 5, N. Y. Southern Union Gas tabulation of commissions, taxes, fees and mar¬ gins on purchases and sales of se¬ curities and commodities, analyses South 208 cago Salle La Co.—Cir¬ Fairman W. cular—Fred Co., & Street, Chi¬ 4, 111. of Shamrock Oil & Gas and Camp¬ bell Red Lake Mines, and Air Reduction, on lines, Mobile leaflets American Air¬ Granite City Steel, Gulf, & Ohio, Inland Steel, In¬ Inc.—Circular Products, Sport ; —Cruttenden & Co., 209 South La Chicago 4, 111. Salle Street, Tucson Gas, Electric Light & Circular — Ernst & Co., Indiana, Power Yisking, Victor 120 Broadway, New York 5, N, Y. ternational Shoe, Monsanto Chem¬ S. U. Service Public ical, Gypsum, of — Chemical Works. industry—Vilas & Hickey, York 5, N. Y. Descriptive Birkins Com¬ Co. Fuel Victor Railroad Prospects—Outlook for ~ — literature—George 40 Exchange N. Y. ? : > pany, Place, New York 5, & Beane, 70 Pine Street, New N. CALIF. Co., Davidson Financial — Chronicle) with Bailey & Davidson, FultOn Fresno Building. Mr. Brown was former¬ With Cohu Corp. win and G. H. Chance & ((Special LOS YORK 5, N. Y. to The Financial -Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Allen the staff of Sojuth Spring Street, members of the Los Rogers Angeles Stock & Co., 458 Exchange. Mr. Henry J. KirWilliam V. Hewitt have Gordon R. Moon, by and become associated with The Cohu Corp., 1 Wall Street, New York City, in the retail distribution of Mutual Funds.- Central Arizona Light & Power; Paul R. Flynn Co. (Special LOS Co. Walker has joined Gross, Inc., 150 Broadway, New Union. Commerce Build-! —Analysis—Ira Haupt & Co., 111! Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. ly with Walston, Hoffman & Good¬ Tube— & Co., Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. ; * * ing, Cleveland 14, Ohio. Alexander 1 H. York 5, York. 7; v Circular—G. Y. * Sheet & Walker Youngstown Security and Industry Survey— Quarterly guide for investors— Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & has become ; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane H. Y. N. , Brashears Brown has become affiliated L. Offices in 96 Cities Mason Gas Company— Rothchild & Co., Jersey 52 Wall Bingham Herbrand Corporation J. Mericka & With Bailey & Trading Department > South liberal & Do- — Walker With Gross, Rogers \ of Digest"— East 225 Co., Review—L. „ PINE STREET, NEW & yield plus tax shelter—Goodbody - 7U "Business and Financial Loewi Inc.— issue current Railroad Income Bonds—Discus¬ sion change. England Gas & Electric Assn. Light Co./'- Products, Steel Safway Analysis—In Street, Milwaukee 2, Wis. Co., 510 South Spring Street, mem¬ bers of the Los Angeles Stock Ex¬ Northern Indiana Public Service Co. Wisconsin Power & Racing Association, Inc. Revere —Descriptive circular-—William S. Baren Co., 42 Broadway, New York 4, N. Y. Index—With Stock —Circular—Wm. New Northern States Power—Memo¬ Corp., figures for 1948. the (Special Common Stocks Light Co. Cement Portland Co., The., Alamo National Build* ing, San Antonio 5, Texas. Insurance company upon preliminary 49 Wall Street, New LOS Atlanta Gas State G. Brashears Co. Adds PUBLIC UTILITY Atlantic City Electric Co. Railroad—Anal¬ Valley Lehigh ysis—Raymond & Co., 148 Street, Boston 9, Mass. Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. randum—Sutro Bros. & Co., 120 Also available are comparative Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. true Trading Markets in the following Y. 100 national." He arrives at this corn- elusion, of N. Longhorn point out that the almost Company— government securities in portfolios current issue of "Time" magazine devotes Utilities Kentucky „ maturity of stocks proved. I ' figures we — New York City tion this record." While La — Fuller & Company—New analysis—Russ & human interest ness only % of a column; than half of the noticed the ted, and the firm which made the purvey back, the firm with connected conducted the of Analysis — Wil¬ Co., 209 South Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. Company A. Analysis—G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc., 70 Pine Street, New York 5, Laird, Bissell & Meeds, 120 Broadway, New York responses, letters, tele¬ phone calls and personal visits. An independent readership survey readers Utility Common 10 issues—A. M. government bond port¬ folios and sources of growth in¬ come 1948 on 19 New York City the rule. However, if you gentlemen think you are not get¬ ting enough space, I would like more International Cellucotton Prod¬ ucts of Bank' Stocks designed and We l,a ve of New York downs to produce bulk inquiries but > the firm received approximately five securities the not Ohio. Co., 1 Wall Street, New market. showed that Danciger Sterling 5, N. Y. fundamentals attention to the con¬ which exist outside of Co., and developments in Railroads. are not accorded enough I am not referring to every newspaper. There are exceptions but it is the exception which to call your Corp., Refining & Drug, Inc., and a bulletin on cur¬ This shortage of space, to which called the I have referred, has other disad¬ you are not to blame. The attention of publishers, both here vantages. Very often when a story fault lies with the publishers and and out-of-town, to this sad con¬ is abbreviated too much it be¬ owners. For two decades there dition and their replies invari¬ comes misinformation. If the ably have been "We don't get earnings of a bank for 1948 are *A talk by Mr. Corrigan before enough financial advertising." merely reported at $3.50 a share the New York Financial Writers' They do, however, give ample as against, let us say, $3.00 for Association Forum, March 1, 1949. space to the sports pages, and 1947, and attention is not called wrong Russell & Co., Union Commerce space, proves Industrial Brownhoist—Circular —Gottron, Also clients, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, & Beane, a few months ago ran a full page, 6,000-wor<i all-type advertisement in a morn¬ ing newspaper here, explaining of insurance 1948 — Street, New York 5, N. Y. available are analyses of Fenner was on and 15 Broad Kidder & It Analysis of Dillon & Co., Industry Copper outlook—Eastman, of interest, case: leaflet a stock earnings. - liam this should like to cite is of tabulation a Street, New York 5, N. Y. — available Also — & Co., Inc., Street, New York 5, N. Y. Blair Security Insurance Company, know. as you Company Insurance 44 Wall the stock market is because of the tax Analysis companies now making use of radio-isotopes—Cohu & Co., 1 Wall is for the low volume Street, Chicago 4, 111. Salle Atomic Energy—Industrial pos¬ sibilities of atomic energy and little in-and-out trading and reason Circular— South La — 231 Co., & Comstock In there Inc. Fibers, Glass an , my opinion that is a mistaken viewpoint. People are just as in¬ terested in business, finance and the securities market as they ever were. for Boenning & Co., Street, Philadel¬ Home se¬ financial. things 4, N. Y. New York Stocks — — Walnut 1606 told that there am Age Age ' phia 3, Pa. ing to the business community. Sometimes I Street, 25 Broad 4, N. Y Co., our Declining Allocation of Space New York. In too many del. in %hp and often arrives late newspapers want to hear it. I don't want you material ditions '"news," which hasn't much merit serves to know better labeled you, we it is as intend don't run that copy word for word that because, than this are & Diana Stores Corp.—Analysis— New Newborg & Co., 30 Broad Street, Transport—Review—Hirsch Air on papers a simple matter for "the trouble with you say right. I don't say merely because I think you you the following literature: lot these days about a of educating the the American System, American way of life. And of the surest ways of defeat¬ public have writers financial you think which to It would be to a waged and are still waging a con¬ stant battle for more space and I leave can you, topic. me been has going am irrelevant too con¬ , ducted. to And I said that I know, there is nothing wrong. as to Emmett natural reaction was to mentioned will be pleased the firms interested parties send to American the to necessity one When your President, Gene Dickhuth, invited me to appear be¬ fore this group for a discussion of the subject "What's Wrong with It is understood that Injury System Public relations executive points to my Recommendations and Literature Or Aqueduct? Or Jamaica? By EMMETT CORRIGAN* Press," Dealer-Broker Investment How does Belmont run? Chairman, Albert Frank-Guenther Law, Inc. Public Relations in the Financial baseball, hockey clubs big ad¬ much advertising or vertisers? the Are this from emanates classification? football and how much revenue advertising Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL. & THE (964) ...Central National Bank of Cleve¬ land—Circular—Prescott Co., Guardian Building, Cleveland 14, circulars H. to Financial The Adds Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—James has been added to the Shaw R. Paul staff of West Seventh Flynn Co., 411 on Street. Ohio; Also available are Cleveland Trust and National Bank City of Cleveland. Central Public Walker'was previously with Floyd —N'ew York A. Allen & Co. Broadway. Utility—Analysis Hanseatic Corp., 120 New York 5. N. Y. Parmely Herrick Opens (Special co The Financial ; Chronicle) BOSTON, MASS.—Parmely W. has opened offices at 84 Herrick State Street to engage curities business. in the se¬ Volume 169 Number 4782 at Martin Sees Need their to leader Representatives tion instead of business pressing for controls should taxes, constructive of Administra¬ says and devote to create itself to encour¬ jobs.' new Speaking at Fairfax Court House, Va.r on Feb. 22, Joseph W. Martin, Jr., Republican leader of House of CHRONICLE terms power. of Representatives, warned "the economic weather had changed ab¬ ruptly" and March 15, 1949 (Cleveland, O.) Cleveland Security Traders As¬ sociation Annual Spring Party at EVENTS measured In Investment Field less retreat to fiscal chaos." March 16-17, 1949 March 3, 1949 Central (Chicago, 111.) Stock Brokers Associates of Chi¬ States (Chicago, m.) Group of IBA Spring Meeting at Drake Hotel. educational program, 3 p.m. Floor, Chicago Stock Exchange. (Special LOS to The Financial Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF. Charles W. Flesher has , — become associated with Floyd A. Allen & Co., Inc., 650 South Grand Ave¬ Mr. nue. Sales and Flesher previously was Manager for Bartling & Co. prior thereto Webber, Jackson was with Paine, & Curtis. April 22, 1949 (New York City) Security Traders Association of March 8, 1949 (New York City) National Federation of Financial Floyd A. Allen & Co. June 17, 1949 (Boston, Mass.) Municipal Bond Club of Boston New York dinner at the WaldorfAstoria. Analysts Societies Second Annual Convention. May 14-15 San March 11, 1949 Bond nual Club (Detroit, Mich.) of Detroit Dinner in room, the 33rd Crystal Ball¬ Book Cadillac Hotel. Diablo Outing at Mt. over-counter 5-9, 1949 Colo.) National (Colorado Security Dec. 4-9, 1949 f (Hollywood, Fla.) With Spring Meeting of the Board Edgar P. Hetzler Co. (Special of Governors at the Greenbrier. to The Financial ton is with 10 South La Salle Street. o r for taxes, more spend¬ ing and bureaus, more the Administra¬ Hon. J. W. tion should be Martin, Jr. devoting itself to constructive to measures en¬ business, expand private courage investment, and to hasten new business ventures which will pro¬ jobs. We simply cannot af¬ vide ford the luxury of a depression effort must be made to and every avoid it. "This is time no to American people for ask the taxes, spending on things we can't afford," Congressman Martin stated. "Our thoughts and en¬ ergies inust be devoted to keep¬ ing the people at work and main¬ taining the national income." Con¬ tinuing he remarked: "During the two years of the Republican Congress, this coun¬ try enjoyed the highest level of prosperity and business activity, and the highest level of employ¬ for more more ment, ever experienced peacetime history. "Now that business not the has immediately of inflation, the problems but of rather possible business recession, which must be handled ous with purpose we and vigor¬ to head off are further unemployment. "I hope the Administration thinkers and planners catch up with the business picture as it ex¬ ists today, before it is too late. The Republican 80th Congress passed a made a tax reduction bill which real beginning cutting back the cost of ment to ple can afford; "Today, in millions of Ameri¬ homes, can there the is are wider a work the as 1948 of the final tax re¬ being prepared, appreciation 80th of Congress in its tax-reduction program. one, Every¬ he makes out his tax re¬ as turn and realizes the tax cut given by the 80th Congress, must con¬ clude it was a pretty gooll Con¬ gress. "I predict tonight that if the present Administration has its way with its fabulous new plans for At Saltville, Virginia, more than a half century CHEMICAL CORPORATION the first alkali plant in the South. Forty years later, Mathieson established another large alkali plant at Lake Charles, Louisiana. An extensive postwar expansion program at these two plants, in¬ volving the expenditure of nearly 120,000,000, has recently been completed. publican bill passed 80th facilities These ated in given the 20th "This further need is1 to New Orleans. In recent the months, the company has purchased from Administration the ammonia plant War Assets Lake Charles which at ammonia, facture are essential materials raw in the from Saltville, Mathieson Chemical manu¬ that Corporation Southern states. economic development in the featuring Equitable of welcome South gas and Lake at other published for by- supplying will fertilizers in the as become great Delta manu¬ increasingly agricultural . more industrial and opportunities nitrogen products Charles area. outstanding will the series ammonia important Corporation This is another advertisement natural factured operates one of the largest carbon dioxide plants in Securities no time to increases. to capital than 10 years commercial contribute funds to by Equitable concerns to sound the in the further enterprises. people consider The great is for less gov¬ spending, lower interference and taxes ob¬ struction to the normal American instincts Tor business NEW L A HARTFORD CHATTANOOGA BIRM INGHAM NEW new" economic ventures. A stimulant to employment could be given by reducing the excise taxes YORK S KN OX VI LLE GREENSBORO ORLEANS MEMPHIS Securities expansion and NASHVILLE DAL Corporation AND JACKSON. MISS. Brownlef. O. Currey, President. 322 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE 3. oper¬ to produce pure anhydrous am¬ production went entirely into the making of explosives during the war, it is anticipated or at built ajicl monia. While this processing of rayon, paper, textiles, metals, [fertilizer, soap, plastics, glass and petroleum. Also were by Mathieson for the Government during World War II. Here, by a process similar to that pioneered by Mathieson at Niagara Falls 25 years earlier, nitro¬ gen from the atmosphere is combined with hydrogen For Mathieson chemicals, including caus¬ tic soda, soda ash, bicarbonate of soda, chlorine and will American of this hour less York century. tax ernment and owned-and-operated warehouses extending from NeA\r Southwest. b,y the Re¬ Congress the producing dry ice and carbonic gas. These products are distributed through 16 company- two plant facilities, coupled with the company's electrolytic operations at Niagara Falls, New York, have been an important factor in the development of many basic industries, especially in the South and go down in history as the last tax cut ever INDUSTRY the world, ago, MATH 1 ESC)N started operation of government spending, the tax reduction FDH toward govern¬ levels the American peo¬ turns for CHEMICALS a wisdom if BASIC shortages prices, runaway with our strong tide of halted, we are faced with the been problems and in TWO WALL STREET, A. Pel- Edgar P. Hetzler & Co., steel plants, Chronicle) CHICAGO, ILL.—Lura government- more at Investment Bankers Association Convention at the Holly¬ wood Beach Hotel. business owned As¬ Annual pressing for controls, Traders Annual Convention The Broadmoor Hotel. "instead of more Springs, sociation Investment Bankers Association Security Traders Association of on Outing at the Concord Country Club, Concord, Mass. Country Club. May 18-21, 1949 (White Sulphur Springs, W. Ya.) March 11, 1949 (New York City) New York forum (San Francisco, Calif.) Francisco Security Traders Association Annual An¬ Annual Oct. cago Charles W. Flesher Joins 9 Twin City Security Traders As¬ sociation Summer Party. the Allerton Hotel. 1940 purchasing We must stop this sense¬ (965) securities, 4 p.m. at Schwartz's June 4-5, 1949 (Minneapolis, Restaurant, 54 Broad Street. Minn.) COMING have the as more business, and expand private investment in we today, higher to measures That is why years. 60 cent dollar House in FINANCIAL levels. prewar are killing some businesses depriving people of jobs. The government at Washington has been over-spending for 16 long Hastening New Republican & They Business Ventures the least COMMERCIAL and For age THE NEW YORK 5. 10 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (966) - Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE Pennsylvania Brevities F. S. Yantis & Co. to (Special Chronicle) Financial The CHICAGO, ILL.—John G. Shel¬ has become associated with don 135 South La Salle Street. Mr. Shel¬ don was with Television Shares F. Yantis S. and prior representative for Corp. Management thereto Inc., Co., & was Vance, Sanders & Co. in the Mid- on approving increases in the authorized indebtedness of companies. These firms and the date of the scheduled meetings Armstrong Cork Co. on April 13; Pittsburgh Consolidation Coal will vote their are: indebtedness Herrick, Wad dell Adds Chronicle) Financial The to CAL. — Frank Searle has been added to the staff of Herrick, Waddell & HILLS, BEVERLY Wilshire Blvd. Reed, Inc., 8943 nothing burgh at authorized its debt Aluminum from $150,000,000 to $200,000,000; Jones & Laughlin by $62,266,000 to $150,000,000; and Lehigh by not more than $9,000,000. Jones & STEEL from shares. The latter firm in a $260,000,000 post¬ expansion and improvement 2,472,502 is engaged war Bought Sold — — 2,500,000 shares, of which are currently outstanding there Quoted in connection with approximately $104,000,000 already has been spent. program, which BUCKLEY BROTHERS Members York Stock Exchange New Exchanges and, Other Principal 120 Broadway 1420 Walnut St. New York 5 BArclay 7-7835 Philadelphia 2 PEnnypacker 5-5976 Private Philadelphia, between Wire System and Los Angeles York New A nationwide group of under¬ on Inc. Co. & Chicago, of Feb. 16 publicly offered American La France sylvania in Bausch and Lomb this offering Applegate Dayton Malleable Iron Haskelite Manufacturing Hydraulic Press Manufacturing Stromberg-Carlson Co. strange & Klima, Fauset, Steele & Co. and Pittsburgh, inson Thomas and & Co., Bioren & Co., C. C. Collings DeHaven Co., —★ — ^ • Rob¬ Aspden, Inc., end, Crouter & Towns- Bodine, Halld- & weil, Sulzberger & Co., Harrison H. M. Byllesby & Company OFFICE PHILADELPHIA Phila. 2 Stock Exchange Bldg., Teletype Telephone RIttenhouse 6-3717 , PH 73 . . & Co., E. W. Close Rambo, Co., C. Miller & R. & & Kerner, Co., Walter Stokes & Co., and Wurts, Inc., Edw. Dulles The to & Lowber of Co. Stokes Philadelphia. construction pro¬ gram, reports a net income, after charges and Federal income taxes, of $866,767 for the month oF Jan¬ uary, 1949, against $772,746 in the corresponding month last .year. its iour-year 12 months ended Jan. 31, $7,126,731 for the preceding months' period. as to the character of the for construction, etc. serves. Cambridge Bldg. 3s 1953 5s 1963 N. E. Walnut & Juniper Phila. Warwick Common Pittsburgh Railway 5s 1953 Lehigh Valley Coal 1954-64-74 5s Kent-Moore; Organization Common Philadelphia Teletype , ? . in the The & Co. Exchange Stock Bldg., Philadelphia 2 Packard participated public offering on. Feb., 25 of $20,000,000 Beneficial Indus¬ trial Loan Corp. 15-year 3J/4% sinking fund debentures due Feb. 1, 1964, at 101V2 and accrued in¬ both of Philadelphia, - N. Y. Phone ' of fected Feb. 24 the paving poses. City Elec. Com. Atlantic and Drexel banking other various & group Co., pur¬ headed the better of two curities, which mature from Nor. a submitted bids for the' se¬ Interstate Power Co. Com. $126,780,255, and $7,260,000 bonds for various municipal improvements. 1944, Oil with of Pittsburgh 600,000 in which 524, 1950 : Co., Koppers $9,648,592, $2.69 per common share, for the year 1946. Current supply has assets the at 1948 of close $47,646,510, and cur¬ rent liabilities $14,935,011. Eugene C. Baldwin Is With Sutro & Co. (Special LOS to The Financial Chronicle) ANGELES, CAL.—Eugene C. Baldwin has become associated fields amounted to issue of $21,938,000. $25,000,000 under Bell Lee Board of to that Presidents been proceeds to be used to an¬ following Vice- the the Charles have board of di¬ company A. Capek, Chi¬ office; George J. Gruner and Richard de La Chapelle, New had reached cago $16,156,250. York office, The year 1948 was Corp. Corporation the of elected rectors: borrowings which by the end of last year Co. Higginson nounces competitive bidding next to pay off Co., Van Nuys Baldwin was for¬ Lee Higginson Co. of Pennsylvania month, the & Mr. Elected 1 25-year debentures will be sold will Sutro Building. significant in son, and Henry S. Roger- Boston office. ;.; Business and Financial Inc., Pittsburgh; will take over stantial Improvement, Reporting Needs Sub¬ Says Louis W, Munro Public relations leader holds his profession has not adequately J explained business to the press. only by prospectus E. H. Rollins & Sons City of Philadelphia York Dining City, March 1, Louis W. Munro, Vice-President, Doremus & in speaking on the subiect, "What's Wrong With Public and and them major prem¬ ises: ' — Sold — Western tions Pennsylvania Wire to New and York City : PITTSBURGH 22, PA. Incorporated ness how System Teletype—PG 473 ALLENTOWN • PITTSBURGH NEW YORK SCRANTON • public Finally, Louis W. Munro is a worthwhile commercial ad¬ relations departure he suggested that a from established methods of business and financial men were responsible for having many cor- LANCASTER paper for vertisers. fi¬ press. the market outlined He PHILADELPHIA 9 NEW YORK, N. T. that . 61 Broadway WHitehall 3-4000 invest, and the resulting volume of financial advertising is proof ex¬ and nancial builder for their as a good financial section readers with money to A attracts sighted greater. detail to. the busi¬ STROUD & COMPANY COMPANY Pitts. Stock Exch. publishers seem to un¬ their financial and busi¬ sections papers. plaining their business in New York Curb Exch. (Assoc.) 10th Floor, People* Bk. Bldg. - not in Members N. Y. Stock Exch. been short Issues ness counsel has he stated that many Secondly, derrate public rela¬ Trading Department Active in supplying corporate information. with newspaper First, that Quoted effort and financial editors in three forth continuing public rela¬ could assist business how tions Press?",; set Chicago Bought York Financial Writers' Forum in Rockefeller Center, New Room Financial the Bonds Philadelphia 2 Boston Executive Company, Relations PEnnypacker 5-0100 1528 Walnut St., dinner meeting of the New a Schraftt's at York Incorporated Bell or amounted to the At Grant 3900 1948, of net a Dunbar & Bought—Sold—Quoted CHAPLIN year $6.41 per common preceding year, and or share for the $4,402,705, common per ditionally intangible development expenditures for the proving and development of prospective oil Ind. Pub. Serv. Com. Direct $7.54 merly with Cohu & Co. and prior thereto was an officer of John B. that it announces to during 1948 to replace and expand totaled $54,292,000; ad¬ on - equal share, for the calendar which compares with facilities in • Cork Co. reports a profit after taxes of $11,567,- Armstrong Co., with $4,000,000 general improvement bonds at a net interest cost of 1.99%. with $5.28 per share earned during 1947. Capital expenditures March 17 for $6,general public im¬ provement and funding bonds, its first bond sale since April 1, 1948. At that time the city sold bids open in 1947, and $98,894,858 for 1946. in 1946. market a $5.47 totaled $160,100,318, $133,570,590 for and compared net in common with only in the war year of ceeded sales and revenues per in 1946. Sales the second best, being ex¬ $1.48 and compared to 5.6% in 1947 and 6.95% Sun S8.01 compared share, 1948 in highest in its history, equaling revenues totaling $95,277,573. The ratio of earnings to sales was 5.4% in An City the were were as National Sup¬ Pittsburgh, Co., more 1948, to Net earnings of ply 1947, resulted from 1948 31, $16,274,946, againist current liabilities of $7,172,484. $106,783,183, and $234,038 than the previous record in when earnings of $6,599,346 1946 the Dec. at assets * amounted totaled Richmond Cedar Wks. Com. New rent and net earn¬ sales when 002.657 Phila. Elec. Co. Common ^Offered Corp. for 1948 earnings were the highest in the company's history, being $830,727 in excess of 1947 earnings of $6,- which Merchants Distilling Com. revenues ings for the year were $6,833,384, equivalent to $5.05 per common share after providing for divi¬ dends on the preferred stock. The Telephone Philadelphia ef¬ competitive sale in the capital market of a new is¬ sue of $44,200,000 of its munici¬ pal bonds for sewers, ^streets, City sales and of President Iverson, Ludlum Steel Allegheny said "However," year. . total '• COrtlandt 7-6814 PH 375 * ' ' County, of which Pittsburgh is the county seat, has issued a call for sealed bids until March 8 on an offering of Allegheny The Samuel K. Phillips Members Stroud & Co. and Yarnall & Co., terest. Lorenz Mesta firm, "orders on hand fluctuate periodically, coincident with the entering of large contracts." Cur¬ $20,000,- to up After deduct¬ earnings and cash from other re¬ pet proceeds are to be used pay & Power borrow to 000. to $35,000,000, compared to $46,000,000 carried over '• the previous a approve the end • of approximately at company amounted 1948 financing, the amount arid the caught up with demand. Sun's timing will be made about the record volumd of business brought middle of this year. Charles E. record profits for 1948. On a gross Oakes, President of the utility operating income of $447,309,191 firm, estimated the total cost of for the corporation and its sub¬ the four-year program at ap- sidiaries, net earnings totaled $42,7 of the four-year program at ap¬ 853,839, or $8:61 per share on the proximately $91,000,000, of which 4,928,5917 full; shares of common $41,400,000 will be raised through stock outstanding at the year-end, the sale of new securities. The or $9.37 per share on the 4,528,remaining $59,600,000 will be 532 full shares outstanding on taken from cash on hand, retained Dec. 31, 1947, which is comparable Biddle, Whelen & Co., Pennsylvania The decision of Co. & firm were Light Co. of Allentown, which is expected to be in the market later this year for funds to help finance to asked be the of Philadelphia, re¬ ported that 1948 was the biggest year of oil operations in its his¬ stock totaled $5,863,067, against tory and at the same time fore¬ $5,146,731 for the year ended Jan. cast for this? year a return of 31, 1948. It is expected that- the "spirited, wholesome competition'' G. Le- Geo. were: books. the 12 The Penn¬ Co., Arthurs, & 2.90%, according to maturities, and announced at the close of the day that demand had made it possible to close of the com¬ resolution authorizing the Heinz ing dividends applicable to the preferred stocks for the 12 months net available for the common participating bankers reoffered be proceeds will The pany's properties in Pittsburgh. On March 24, the stockholders 0.75 to with 2~/h% series due 1979, at 101.31% and accrued interest. group securities at prices to yield 1949, net after charges and taxes amounted to $8,017,932 compared III., $40,000,090 of Duke Power Co. first and refunding mortgage bonds, art of cost expenses, provisions for depreciation and taxes was $5,025,281, equal to $5.02 per share, compared with $3.03 per share for the previous year. Uncompleted business carried over on the boPks after all Co., used for expansion will Drexel The the For the writers, headed by Halsey, Stu¬ interest net a people. Net income for the year, Pittsburgh, has arranged to borrow $15,000000 from five institutional in¬ vestors at an interest rate of . $50,000,000 to ■from $20,000,000; Laughlin stockholders also will vote on increasing the authorized common stock to 3,500,000 shares PORTSMOUTH equaled 2.607%. service years industries. At Dec. 31, 1948, the company was owned by 7,100 shareholders and pro¬ vided employment for 3,350 ( 2.90%. 50 of to world-wide s-t Heinz J. II. Bank of New a bid which City submitted York present; Pitts¬ Consolidation to increase from (Special National to authorize of $25,000,000, plans completion be dissolved. on Armstrong Co., Pittsburgh, as it marked the will then City, 111. The latter firm April 20; Aluminum Co. of$> to 1999. The bankers paid 100.019 America on April 21; and Jones for a combination of IV2, 2%, 3 & Laughlin Steel Corp. and Le¬ high Coal & Navigation Co. on and 4% coupons, equal to a net annual interest cost of 2.577%. | April 26. Co. an die West. | : firms located in Pennsylvania The stockholders of five industrial of the Mesta Machine the history the properties, liabilities and obligations of Missouri-Illinois Furnaces, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary, which owns a blast furnace and coke plant at Granite all Job G. Sheldon Joins : porations release figures and I at regular intervals to the facts press reporting might be found refresh¬ ing and readership ume likely would and increase advertising to the paper vol¬ that initiates it. Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL & UNION CARBIDE AND CARBON OPERATING IN FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (967) 11 CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES UNITED STATES AND CANADA un: CONSOLIDATED IK A LANCE SHEET December 31,1948 ASSETS LIABILITIES Current Assets Current Liabilities Cash n..:..'.'......!.. United States Government Securities (Cost Other Marketable Securities (Cost or $102,136,913 Market, whichever lower) or Accounts Payable 54975,562 Dividend Payable . Market, whichever lower) Accrued Liabilities Income and Other Taxes. Trade Notes and Accounts $ 59,015,301 Other Notes and Accounts or Raw Materials and < 36.204,242 2.70% Promissory Notes 41.627,230 Total Current Assets...:...... 126.141.987 ; $631,729,639 for Contingencies Capital Stock 301,435,529 330,294,110 Carbon and Including 409,947 shares held by the Corporation 6,288,107 Foreign Subsidiaries Union Carbide of No Par Value-Not $ 6,541,043 Corporation less) Affiliated Companies \ 27,877,314 shares 24.046.204 $194,468,771 930,000 shares held by the Corporation 30,334,311 as collateral under the Stock Purchase Plan for Em- Deferred Charges ployees (See Note 3), Patents, Trade-Marks, and vr< .-.a Goodwill ....... Less present ,4,626,691 ' ■ 4,44/,538 ; Excess Profits Tax (Canadian Subsidiaries) of 32.889.684 28,807,314 shares etc,.:,.. , Postwar Refund Payable December 1, 1967 150,000,000 Reserve Deduct—Reserves for Depreciation and Amortization Prepaid Insurance, Taxes, 79,175,620 $124,949,443 (Sec Note 2) less) or 8,168,620 $355,989,883 Land, Buildings, Machinery, and Equipment.... Investments (Cost ...i $ 48.310,515 . or 337,500 Other Accrued Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Finished Goods . 71,478,260 Market, whichever lower) Supplies Fixed Assets (Cost $ 70,369.500 Interest- 12,462.959 AYork in Process • 14,403,657 1,257,161 receivables (After Reserve for Doubtful) Inventories (Cost 31,370,166 January, 1949 > amount of Agreements 32.660.376 •„ ,;Wi'■ & J 1 - ' A* > 194,698,079^ % Earned Surplus 1 .... 227.358,455 .V >,• 246,50.3.969 $722,692,534 CONSOLIDATED INCOME $722,692,534 AND SURPLUS Year Ended December INCOME ^ 441.202.048 STATEMENTS 31, 1948 STATEMENT SURPLUS STATEMENT Income Earned Surplus Gross Sales—Less Other Income Discounts, Returns, and Allowances January 1, 1948.., at $195,195,110 $631,619,557 (Net).. ' 8,394,899 Additions $640,014,456 Net Income for the Year Deductions Cost of Goods Sold, trative Selling, General, and Adminis¬ Expenses on 57,180.998 , for the Year to Dividends Declared 52.690.759 $3.55 Financial Statements -1948 operate in the United States and Canada, are consolidated. Current assets, deferred charges, current liabilities, and income of exchange. Other assets and converted at the official rate liabilities of Canadian subsidiaries are consolidated are converted at the prevailing rate at^thne of acquisi¬ assumption. Foreign subsidiary companies, one hundred per cent owned, and affiliated companies, less than one hundred per cent but not less than fifty per cent owned, are shown as investments. As-of the date of latest financial statements, some of which are unaudited, the Cor¬ poration's equity in the net assets, of these companies exceeded the tion or amount at which these investments are carried by $13,846,954. The Corporation's equity in the net assets of these companies increased Y $3,558,412 between January 1, 1938 (or date of acquisition, whichever is later), and; the date of latest financial statements. :Of this increase, $3,220,387 is applicable to .the current period. ; 1 ; Income includes dividends paid by foreign subsidiaries and affili¬ ated companies out of surplus earned since date of acquisition. . i i. . Earned Surplus 122,050 - 2—Promissory Notes provide for annual payments; of principal in the amount of .$10,000,000 beginning on December h 1953, 3—During 19-18 the Corporation entered into Agreements with 318 employees, including 6 directors, all of whom devotte their full time to the Corporation, and 5. officers who are not directors, covering shares of Employees 1940. - ?. ~ • pftest-o-llte Acetylene Preston e-and Trek Ami-Ffeeaes"- Pykofax Gas * December 31, 1918 its rate of two per cent per annum will be paid on the unpaid balance. The Board of Directors may take such action from time to time with respect to extension of time of payment as in the discretion of the Board is in the best interest of the Corporation, Stock covered by the Agreements is pledged by the participating employees as collateral security for payment. Shares in blocks of 25 are released from the pledge to the participants as payment therefor is completed. Each participant has also agreed to apply against the unpaid balance the amount, if any, by which the dividends paid to him on the pledged shares exceed .the interest. The Plan provides thai if a participant Corporation will offer, for a period of six months follow¬ ing his death, to repurchase the unpaid-for shares at the price to be paid by the participant..After giving effect to the tliree-for-one stock split on April 21, 1948, the shares covered by Agreements entered into since the adoption"of the Plan in 1946 aggregate 973.950 shares shall die the of which 930.000 shares are held by the Corporation as collateral. 4—No final settlement of the refund to the Government for the year 1945 under the-Renegotiation Act has been made. In 1947 the Accrued Provision for Wartime Adjustments was charged with $271,190. resenting the estimated cash refund * additional as to the Government. Should • required upon settlement it will Electromet Alloys and Metals. * • be Carbon Corporation lias agreed to maintain the assets held by the Trustee of the Savings Plan for Employees in an amount sufficient to permit the distribution of the Trust Estate to the persons entitled, thereto. AUDITORS' • TO REPORT DIRECTORS AND STOCKHOLDERS OF UNION CARBIDE AND CARBON CORPORATION: We have examined the balance sheet of Union Carbide and Carbon Corporation and its hundred per cent owned subsidiaries oper¬ ating in the United States and Canada, as of December 31, 1918, and one the related statements of income and surplus for the year then ended. Our examination was made in accordance with generally accepted auditing standards, and accordingly included such tests of the ac¬ counting records and such other auditing procedures as we consid¬ ered necessary in,the circumstances. Jn our opinion, the "* accompanying balance sheet.and statements surplus present fairly the financial position of Union Carbide and Carbon Corporation and its subsidiaries consolidated at of income and December 31, 1918, and the results of its consolidated operations for the year then ended, in conformity with generally accepted account¬ ing principles apfilied on a basis consistent with that of the preceding year. HURDMAN AND CRANSTOUN rep¬ an final for Contingencies. 5—Union Carbide and New York, N. Y., February 20, 19 to Certified Public Accountants of Divisions and Units of UCC include- Bakelite, Krene, Vinyon; and vinylite Plasties Agiieson Electrodes *V be amount $246,503,969 ; ; charged to the Reserve The Agreements set forth Trade-marked Products Linpe Oxygen at capital stock under the Stock Purchase Plan approved and authorized by the stockholders in.., a price of $104.50 per share, which was the closing quotation on the New York Stock Exchange on the date preceding the offering. Under the terms of the Plan' the price or prices; shall be such price or prices as shall be fixed by the Board of Directors in its discretion, but not lower than seventy-five per cent of the market price. The Agreements provide that each par¬ ticipant has five years to complete payment, and that interest at the for 1—The principles used in preparing the accompanying CotisoJidated statements for the year 1948 are as follows: All subsidiary companies that are one hundred per cent owned, and Canadian subsidiaries consolidated $299,194,728 Deductions $102,335,053 ing December 3.1, 1948.....,,......,.......;................. Notes Relating 103,999,3,18 537,679.403 Net Income Per Share—On 28,807,314 shares outstand¬ of 1,648,144 ............ Income Taxes Net Income 11,375 Cancellation of Deferred Liabilities Under Government Contracts ,> :. 4,050,000 , 4,746 the year 21.742.995 ........ 2.70% Promissory Notes $102,335,053 at Reduction of Valuation Reserve—Securities sold during $454,705,410 Depreciation and Depletion Interest Increase in Market Value of Marketable Securities December 31, 1948 National Carbons TJaynes Stellite Alloys - * • eveready Flashlights and Batteries Synthetic Organic Chemicals 12 Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (968) Floyd D. Gerf Jr. Go. Public Cerf, D. Floyd By OWEN ELY Director Power, securities firm with total assets of about with offices at 120 South La- the i w h i requirements through hydrogeneration and only 8% from steam, but was forced in 1947 to use steam plants to supply 25% of output, thereby reducing net income. During the years 1943-47 earnings fluctuated between $1.34 and $1.45. The number of common shares was increased nearly 30% in 1946 through issuance of rights, and the company is now again offering rights on a l-for-6 basis. Further stock financing may be under¬ taken later in the year, in order to balance bond financing. 85% its of England Public Service Company, a holding company New in of dissolution, owns a substantial part of the stock, which will probably be distributed when a dissolution plan is worked out. NEPSCO will not subscribe to the stock to which the current rights would entitle it. compared with $1.35 in 1947. The company was successful in obtaining a rate in¬ crease from the Maine Commission, and has also increased the use of fuel adjustment clauses in its industrial rate structure. Water conditions are now more favorable, and the new unit at the Shelton hydro station will improve the outlook for 1949. Moreover, the Dead River Project—creating a lake 26 miles long—will impound nearly 12 billion cubic feet of water and add to the existing storage in the Kennebec River; thus; helping to stabilize hydro operations iin the to $1.49 per share 1948 advanced in Earnings event of future droughts. " * f <M vestment business cial i zi spe¬ n in g and industrial i t i c u r power process * in the chemical produced e se- is s, Floyd D. Cerf, Floyd Jr., Co., Inc. Cerf, Jr. D. C i n g his nrf ment- o establishment of company at this time, the on own Mr. Cerf, Jr., who will serve as and Treasurer, stated that in his opinion ownership of common stocks of many Ameri¬ can corporations affords an ex¬ President cellent opportunity for profitable participation in the gains result¬ ing from scientific research and development. He said: ; "The industrial leading chemical corporations and annually in research and develop¬ ment of such discoveries as pen¬ 1949): Dec. Dec. March 31, 31, 31, radar lophane, 20 28 30 stocks 100% __— Formation of the previously . .100% . • $1,400,000 increased revenues per annum, plus any benefits obtained from the additional fuel clauses during periods of low water about not The stock is currently selling around 16 over-counter, to yield 1948 Low May, 1946 30-cent record have been paid at 15% the of, George terer, Hornblower & Weeks, Secretary, James Russell, Gottron, Russell & Co.; Mr. Opdyke, and Quigley, Quigley & Co., Inc., are National Committeemen, NATIONAL dividend will new of Feb firm the Na¬ appointment of Chicago, President of the Association, announces the following National Committee Chairmen: Traders Security 5 0 Y Harold B. Jay Smith L. Phillip Quigley P. Jackson was the in reported 10. be 19% , issued. to' The (Special Financial' Chronicle) PASADENA, CAL.—F. Thomas Kemp has become associated with Cosgrove & Co., 234 East Colorado Street. Mr. Kemp was son & Prior thereto own Curtis. The current to The Leydecker ciated with has Harold B. Smith, Pershing & Co., New York. J. L. Quigley, San Francisco. Financial SAN FRANCISCO, O. O'Kane, Jr. Quigley & Co., Cleveland. Phillip P. Jackson, Jackson & Smith, Gastonia, N. C, Municipal: Russell M. Ergood, Jr., Stroud & Co., Philadelphia. Public Relations: Collins L. Macrae, Jr., Wulff, Hansen & Co., Publicity: (Special J. Membership: he business in Pasadena. John Collins L. Macrae, Jr. Jr. Ergood, Legislative: investment his conducted M. Advertising: previously with Edgerton, Wykoff & Co. and Paine, Webber, Jack¬ since paid March 31, to holders of. R. Jones, Leydecker With Walston, Hoffman Co. 24y4 -v.,v March 21. SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION Edward H. Welch of Sincere & Co., tional J. L. of many T. 0. 1946 > annual rate of $1.20 when the stock was first publicly quarterly projected 1949 since the stock 23% uy2 • 1947 19% - — Dividends the rate base The rate of return on 7%%; the price-earnings ratio is about 11 but on the earnings would approximate 9 times. The price range came into the hands of the public was as follows: High Co., Vice-President; F. Opdyke, Ledogar-Horner Co., Treasurer; and Don W. Plas¬ Kemp Joins Jones, Gosgrove & Go. t—1 o o Average electric revenues per residential customer in 1948 were 3.68 cents per kwhi. and residential usage averaged 1*260 kwh. The rate increases received in August, 1948 were expected to produce does Wm. J. Mericka & F. Thomas ____ industrial demand. appear excessive. Don W. Plasterer Opdyke 19 26 _ and heavy F. television, propulsion. and atomic energy and j et "Chronicle" 52% 22 Bonds Totals George Carl H. Doerge, 51% 52% —_____ are icillin, streptomyacin, nylon, cel¬ "Common 1949 1949 1948 Ratios— Equity the club Inc., President; George Placky, L. J. Schultz & Co., balance for common these companies, which undoubt¬ .stock was $2,784,000, equivalent to $1.41 per share on the increased edly will produce even more spec¬ number of shares (1,976,911) td'be outstanding by March 31; and for tacular products and services .in the month of January, earnings were 22 cents per share compared the immediate" future, are avail¬ with only 5 cents last year. The management estimates potential able to investors today on a rela¬ tively low times-earnings basis share earnings of $1.79 for the calendar year 1949. -(This does not, however, make allowance for another possible increase in common and an excellent dividend yield.'1 shares which might occur later in 1949.) A projection has also been Mr. Cerf, Jr. entered the in¬ made for 1950, indicating an increase in the balance for common stock vestment securities field in 1935 to $3,800,000 compared with $3,547,000 estimated for 1949. However, upon graduation from the Uni¬ since the management may continue its practice of selling common versity of Illinois and has been stock along with bonds, it is difficult to work out a per share figure on La Salle Street continuously, for 1950. In any event, the $1.20 dividend rate now seems to be well with the exception of four years in the Coast Guard, during which protected even under drought conditions. I; Capitalization rations have been estimated as follows (the 1949 time he saw active service in the figures reflect two stages in the company's financing, $5 million bonds European Theatre as a Lieutenant and 286.496 shares of common stock to be issued in March, and $3 j.g. He participated in the D-Day million bonds and about $4 million worth of common stock late in invasion of the continent. _ George Placky Doerge Officers of spend¬ are ing hundreds of millions of dollars H. Carl 31, 1949, the In the 12 months ended Jan, Preferred Stock hold their an¬ Hotel. general in- conditions 1945 on h will c March 15 at the Allerton or- t i z a engage The company wa$ handicaped in 1947-48 by drought which for some months were the worst in 110 years. The company • new g a n nual spring party on of name ASSOCIATION Security Traders Association will Cleveland The Salle Street. The SECURITY TRADERS CLEVELAND " ucts. in of opening of his own investment the $123 million, serves the central, southern and western parts of Maine, with a population of 560,000 and some 262 cities and towns. Industries served are as follows in order of electric sales: pulp and paper, textiles, shipbuilding, metal trades, lumber and woodworking, boots and shoes. Agriculture and the resort business are also important. While there is a general impression that New England is losing ground with respect to manufacturing, in 1937, 25 new industries located in the area served by the company,.-The trend toward decentralization of industry has brought additional large national concerns into Maine for branch operations and development of new products. New meth¬ ods of food processing, etc., have helped to diversify industrial prod¬ Maine formerly Jr., Vice-President and Floyd D. Cerf Co., Inc., announces Central Maine Power Central ft Opens in Chicago Utility Securities John J. O'Kane, Jr., John J. O'Kane, Jr., & Co., N. Y. C. SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION OF NEW YORK The first of series of forums being sponsored by the Security a Traders Association of New York will be held Friday. March Schwartz's Restaurant, 54 Broad Street (third Chronicle) 11, at floor).'The subject of CAL.—Theo become asso¬ Walston, Hoffman & Co., 265 Montgomery Street, mem¬ bers of the New York and San Francisco Stock Exchanges. Mr. in the past was an Stephenson, Leydecker Co. of Oakland. »' '• Leydecker officer Central Maine Power Co. & of • Col. Otto Miller Retiring Common Stock From Investment Business Prospectus available to Dealers and Banks Col. Otto Miller, Cleveland in¬ vestment G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc. Teletype 70 PINE ST., N. Y. 5 • * in the securities business in L. first WHitehall 4-4970 the later in 1903 established the firm of "Tlayden. Miller & Co. with Market." years Warren S. Hayden. E. R. Victor Walker Mosley 1899 with Lamprecht Brothers and four NY 1-609 ~ banker, is retiring at the age of 75 after more than 45 years in business. He began his career forum will be "New Speakers will be L. E. Index for Oldest Securities Walker, President of the National Price Quotations Bureau, and R. Victor Mosley, Stroud & Co., delphia, past President of the National Security Traders Inc., Phila¬ Association. Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL Similar talks in Chicago and Philadelphia have been most successful. The long histories of local industrials going back over the years and the size of many over-the-counter idustrial companies is a sur¬ which I have talked with one, one company having assets of over $200 million. Ail members of STANY, their partners, and salesmen are invited It is felt that the talks will be particularly attend. and interesting instructive to salesmen. brochure All the over-the-counter on those who attend will be given a Francisco Security Traders Association will hold their 'The Twin City Security Traders Association will hold their an¬ nual summer outing June 4-5 at a northern Minnesota summer resort. Cars will leave Minneapolis about 3:00 p.m. June 3 for a weekend ol fishing, golf and other entertainment. Business and the Reading Public By EDGAR G. BOWERFIND* writing is news financial pages develop can It would enlighten In these space far greater if the business and from the financial pages av/ay sarily treat tbe sorics differently ^* more you deal with tant of the one segments in tials our away civilization, to our of all nonessen¬ business and livelihood. our to language, financial matters can be impor¬ treated in a similar way. society — I have some slight familiarity another, depend or commerce if or, for either We earn some form living directly in business we are of one those fortunate few (and they are decreasing In number), our living comes ings I of business. to business. on has if little always the stories stories say were that from is the police beat, we might have more of them and they could be equally interesting. When you call the roll, even who have reasonably funda¬ mental knowledge of what makes business Any view tick. reporter are interest able to add that spice which comes from a thorough grounding ground in business. So, while I be desirable columns is, I these have on extra 5, in business, possible to write believe, financial even that it would agree to news It was that only or that so few a it matter a years ago fact of one early writers in this field of was one-time newspaper associate of mine. He has built up a very large a following and does it not by writ¬ ing of scientific accomplishments achievements in scientific lan¬ or guage in or discoveries in describing the medical technical lan¬ lay person: This reporter is not unique in the in all have science writ¬ You who have developed great skill making the obscure interesting. Science Has So it would a scientific or Been seem the of talk fore Writers' 1949. . , financial and ' prbdnction the and it's not make need of (Special more up today little of me Co., business business think — become Sutter for Hutton thereto Street. He many years & Co. and with Mitchum, was with prior Tully & (Special to The Seligmann Financial Chronicle) moment at a MILWAUKEE, WIS.—Harold E. Detzer has rejoined Seligmann & Co., 735 North Water Street. Mr. Detzer has recently been with Bell & Farrell. Inc. important big play a within found Albert H. Bickmore Dead. Albert the radius. same is consolidated be Ill F. national welfare whose will CAL. has Co. industry you who Chronicle) this the of people our Schaeier G. formerly E. night's ride of New a Think York. Financial Detzer With Look for have within The associated with William R. Staats suggest to this group that you think seriously about procedure. with was which stories the concentration of he FRANCISCO, Charles cen¬ buried. are So let lot a to SAN business knowledge but you'd your thereto With William R. Staats Co. point to a Prior Webber, Jackson & Curtis in Chicago. people, I'll lay you dollars to doughnuts, you'd not only expand H. Bickmore, head*, of A. H. Bickmore & Co., New York City, died at the of 79. age • ? me that if discovery York Association, - Financial M a r ch 1, Subsidiary Companies ASSETS That's And while U. S. well to have. it from remember stockholders numbered in the t h today millions. there result business ades is — Market millions ____ Add: Non-Operating Income: $21,219,903 Dividends and Profit and financial 1949 news few a of these Payable Dividend for Reserved Cash (Contra)—— January 40,078 5 1,111,boa $26,440,178 Deduct: 185,564 Cost $ Oil Stock Held bv Subsidiary Owned, at Par—(4,500 Shares Company Company Not Wholly 1948)—(4,800 Shares in in search Profit Fixed and audience for Reserve 26,87.9,617 Depreciation-—.— Deduct: capitalists, and Oil Leaseholds, Gas . Developed and Unde¬ and imagination fraction $29,348,473 Deferred Charges Prepaid There is no should Advances, Expenses, etc 247,826 — —■— — the of Accounts in not same - to with Accrued Taxes, State and Federal Total Dividend business : • • v " 12, S — 1949 (Contra) ment is worth third to Ended .Dec. 31, 1948, 13,473,629 Paid—$2.50 per Payable share January .50 per share 12, $5,558,268 1949— 1.111.653 — 8,580,307 Portion Less: Subsidiary ol Dividends paid to Company—________ 10,504 -j Capital Stock — 6,659,417 $ —__ _l. 28,664.; Income Retained in Business December 31, 1948_ $27,113,301 22,041 : — Net $ Capital Surplus 50,705 Capital STOCKHOLDERS' INVESTMENT Shares .Authorized culti¬ with ,i (4,000,000 to _______ 2,258,779 sh. __ Held in Treasury Dec. 31, 1948____l_ Treasury Dec. 1947____i. 35.472 in 31, 31, 1943— Outstanding Dec. sports, Dec. 31, 1947 Capital Surplus Oil $ 4,154,519 - /:' realization dall > Oil over Company subsidiary v ;—$ Company cess sh.^v 2,223,307 sh. _ I947-. * . 35,472 sh." Held Outstanding 31, - / Realization of Assets previously charged Barnsdall > habits ... December Add: i: Issued Surplus, not portion par stock of of 1,642 ex¬ Barns¬ sold by a wholly owned 10,857 $11,116,535 12,499 2,223,307 sh. $ Capital Surplus , and readers seems the Year Minority Interest in Subsidiary Company: financial Net Incdme ber 4,163,424 Retained 31, 1940 in the ___ Business Since ____________________ to a me . one Investments news¬ the experi¬ trying. idea., is Stockholders' ^ about Barnsdall 27,113,301 . Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Investment-- $42,393,260 $52,135,925"- 4,167,018 $ 4.163,424 Deduct: Decem¬ cess Oil cost < Company over not Total of Income for $ 1,111,653 section, simply written, might at¬ lot $20,299,089 3,988,676 Liabilities Current Payable January V they cul¬ books. 1940 $6,669,921 business connection 31, ' Dividend get the .The the Business from.. Dec. 194X__ ■. Dividends $ 4,489,155 102,476 Capital Stock, Par Value $5.00 per Shard readership connection 1, Business a news¬ attempt and financial section that or Jan. in Deduct: — Expenses. Surplus why reason business' life. It 3,764,072 $13,473,629 $33,772,718 Payable Accrued ingenuity promoting Certainly-readers would paper. Tax. $52,135.923 Current Liabilities: which tells, the story of the good Income Retained to readers for that part of the a Income Ycar__ Net Income Retained in Net Operations: to Net readership for their financial that they use in promoting readership for, let us say, thensports section, it would also be a great help. " ' - A the LIABILITIES pages in Federal for * veloped and .Add: a tivate for Income Net word only in 5,649 $17,237,701 $29,343,472 newspapers would devote the 4,865,219 Minority.—.. $56,223,089 at Cost___ I brings me to the next point of my thesis. If the people vate 2,612,800 to 9,202,477 Equipment, Promoting Readership nation's Re¬ Assets: Plant dec¬ Total Assets——.±~~ run Geophysical Expense Applicable Provision of and Intangible Development Cost? 22,500 $ 1947)—_______ 1,697,339 , Purchases 21.470 $ ; _ Depreciation Lease Barnsdall pages. paper 55.700 (15,022) 12, — —- Investments in Securities of Other Companies, at Less: instead the paper Interest (Loss) on Sale Capital Assets Interest "capitalists" ad¬ visedly, do not follow the finan¬ who 2,036,162 $26,400,100 1,166,267 Assets Current Total say "potential audience" because it's obvious that literally cial Market—. at Products, Oil 939,624 343,520 at Market-— Oil, Supplies, etc., at lesser of Cost or ago. use $8,714,042 General Taxes, audience an unknown was Perhaps I - I- ' Costs, Operating and General Expense Fifty ago that was not the case today many companies have more stockholders than employees. which "UV T:• 4i 5,925,478 Receivable Crude but for "T~T i.». . v Operating Charges: 271,868 3,517,000 1 a are years a $37,150,304 _^__ ' — r.:. an American As s w" Y^pr Ended December 31, 1948 Income * Deduct: Income Statement 10.750,204 we interesting experiment to work toward the same end we do, only on a broader scale. It's Operating , Notes, at Cost-— Treasury Tax Accounts partisan viewpoint which you cannot, I still think that you would it ••; Securities, at Cost—— S. Government U. a find •••••;• the Inventories: jobs approach we u ,v x- a-~~--- cash < of the one For V> Gross Current Assets: profit and why for a business to profit. Consolidated 31, 1948 Consolidated Balance Sheet—December of unholy a drama Simplified to medical New Co. Paine. around and visit and talk to and particularly financial. They're trying to explain profit by Mr. Bowerfind be¬ the it just made 530 Coradine BARNSDALL OIL COMPANY problems, tract *A in the country ness by that 1 writing down — the story of the companies for which they work. They're trying to ex¬ plain to the employees, something understandable to the ers and Mr. mean more the profession, but rather by translating the technical words into words which are simple and guage of field. ters roam Street. previously with Gross, Rogers Co. and Carter H. Corbrey & & If you went to Pitts¬ industrial j''' Chronicle) CALIF.—Reese Co., of part our Iwnancial was many desirability midwestern other their bosses, seemed part in offices the idea that all the busi¬ to have the The West Sixth per¬ burgh, Cleveland, Detroit, Cincin¬ nati, Chicago and two or three largely Which began dealing seriously with science and medi¬ As it's good a pecting trip out into and month after about to about the country. found they are writing month, through a week or so at regular intervals and just making a pros¬ stories pick They or their bosses, and I not taking off they a know to T. Coradine has become associated with Oscar F. Kraft & you telephone calls, but talked writers language—and don't is newspapers cine. to me should or I've As I talked to some week after week should interesting and informative. the nary back¬ and page 2, 3, 4, to tell a story of which it inter¬ can company official and come with a "factual story, but back led trying to do is to inter¬ pret business to employees. They are trying to tell in plain, ordi¬ a too few of a good then, work are of metropolitan papers, you find rel¬ atively few skilled business writ¬ ers first that whom people They should know you. That's equally important. operate. me (Special LOS ANGELES. with this subject because one of the things that men in my line of same importance business on placed It that me of measure placed in devote newspapers seemed earn¬ the always felt that all but to space result investments on have few a the as English space from our modern-day we find that all of us, degree one upon strip you to occurred There most namely, business. When be translated into the can one seen never It of these writers I days of short paper stock, however, that might require I think it's a good idea not because you mignt neces¬ in tne two parts of the paper but it would give had broader field. bit of selling. a I River. 13 R. T. Coradine Joins Staff Of Oscar F. Kraft & Co. lot of business sonally. tied to their desks in New York operation newspaper writers were allocated when amazed was That, readership. financial Know Business talking to business and financial writers, to find out how few of them knew very much about steelmaking, beyond what they had read or gotten second - handed from steel people. I was amazed to find that many of tnem had never been in a steel plant. They had seen pictures of a blast fur¬ nace and open hearth but they neces¬ to make business and finance understandable to general public. newspapers' writers might perhaps write better about steel if they knew about the steel business. Public Relations Director, Republic Steel Co. Steel company official holds humanizing of Should matter of fact, a a lot of big and important people west of the Hud¬ ,a son—business tation of facts about steel. Reporters As There is the Hudson business coming to New York at reasonably regular intervals and outing May 14-15 at the Mount Diablo Country Club. Maintains is I TWIN CITY SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION sary are know, I am with Repub¬ Steel Corp. My great interest steel and the proper interpre¬ started SAN FRANCISCO SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION annual As you isn't. west of letters Forum Committee of STANY. San it ers—in lic (969) in New York. great a market. Henry Oetjen, McGinnis, Bampton & Sellger, is Chairman of the The CHRONICLE business and financial writ¬ New York particularly. ; many prising to FINANCIAL & wholly purchased Capital Surplus, par owned por'ion to of i— -a its of ex¬ subsidiary own stock 3,594 . December 31,.. 1948 14 Thursday, March 3, 1949 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (970) TO LETTER, EDITOR: THE Halsey, Stuart Offer Bank and Insurance Stocks Halsey, By H. E. JOHNSON fered Worcester Gas Light Co. sinking fund 3%% the uncertainties surrounding the business and political outlook have increased. Bonds, Series A, due Feb. 1, 1969 at 101.47% and accruedi interest. The firm months there has been a growing number of indications that the postwar business boom as well as the accom¬ panying inflationary pressures were leveling out. Readjustments in the past several For prices and production have become more numerous as the pipelines filled and inventories mounted. Unemployment has increased as output has eased from the previous high Actually Federal present the Board Reserve level Indbx level. of business of Industrial is still very high. The Production for January just released last week was put at 191% of the 1935-1939 average. This was only down one percentage point from the previous month and compared with the postwar high of 195 marked last Octo¬ of this year ber and November. However, January was over the moment at cern a month ago and the principal con¬ since that time and the has happened is what in your issue of 17, 1949 will produce considerable comment, I for one would like, to get in my thoughts. Major Angas has again brought to light his interesting and independent thinking. There are far too few of Anticipating that the article by Major Angas immediately payment of outstanding notes amount, thereby termi¬ the that in Feb. proceeds, $750,000 be applied > to net the Of will a 1954; $250,000 will be applied due the to rect, of payment short-term a promissory note to the First Na¬ tional Bank of Boston; and the should Everyone answer. and read ponder on his article. Is it not almost Series A Bonds, of first mortgage take the facts of life ^ can put them together in another way and come out with a new, but cor¬ to retirement be applied will 000 who ■us loan agreement existing, since Dec. 11, 1947 with the First National Bank of Boston; $1,000,nating Chronicle": Editor, "The Commercial and Financial awarded the bonds was its bid of 100.517. on Angas for Citing recent market history, reader commend* Major citing misguided mass psychology. first mortgage particularly since the first of the year Since last November and & Co. Inc. of¬ public March 2 $2,- Stuart the to 150,000 This Week—Bank Stocks uYes, the Market Public Is Always Wrong" Worcester Gas Lt. Eds, that always the truth public is always wrong? the — stocks. This group only ap¬ preciated 100 times in the same period. Major Angas says: "A charming' living delicatessen—this over-in¬ fested canyon of Wall Street; pany the buck; passing the correct that them that Passing Do not the leaders al¬ stock; finding some hick to hold the sinking baby." Well, seems ways come out on top? Yes, they like as if we, had found the hicks always do. And they do so by all right. How about the Invest¬ being ahead of the herd. it Is not has gits? balance, with funds from work-^ ing capital, will be repaid to the the current ment Trusts, Mutual Funds and company's plant replacement We don't have to go back many situation is. For this purpose weekly department store sales are Managed Funds. Seems as if they fund. ' years to see how well the unor¬ are always willing to buy them useful. While they are but one factor in the total business picture, The bonds will be redeemable thodox have1 dbne. In 1938 and when retail sales and the trend they indicate are a good general indication they look good, earnings-ar'e at general prices ranging from- 1939 most railroads. were in re¬ of what is happening in the economy. First of all they reflect pur¬ high and they are at the top. The 104.47% to 100% and at sinking ceivership and their bonds selling trees chasing power in the hands of consumers and their willingness to fund nev^r grow to the skies and redemption prices scaled for 20 cents on the dollar. The it always has worked out well to spend. Second, they indicate how goods are moving through distri¬ from 101.43% starting on Feb. 1, indicated. trend important to get some idea of what it is Therefore orthodox channels. bution disappointing December and only a fair January which was aided considerably by promotional efforts, department stores sales in February were down considerably. The decline continued throughout the month of February and for the four weeks ended After 1950 to 100% on Feb. a Saturday sales of New York department stores were approxi¬ mately 5% below a year ago. On this basis the present outlook may not be considered too last favorable. When viewed along with such other indices as declines 1, 1968. sell pally in the production, distribu¬ either direct¬ those ly or by sale to its associate com¬ the tion and sale of gas Marlborough-Hudson Gas Co., Milford Gas Light Co. and Dedham and Hyde Park Gas Co. panies, communities in central and 26 prices, a further slackening in busi¬ eastern Massachusetts, having an ness activity is indicated. The major uncertainty at the present time approximate year-round popula¬ would seem to be not so much, whether, but how far the decline tion of 425,000. The territory in carloadings and lower scrap r". '\-.o will go. Some people see in the present situation a similarity between previous periods of declining business—1920 and 1937. From this they project a decline of major proportions. Others believe that the decline*has already ran its course and that from here on there will be a period of only minor adjustments.1 t < V < " • * *(4 Still others, principally those prominent in the Administration, believe that the major concern at this time is still inflation and that the present declines in business activity are temporary which will later be effected by a resurgence of inflationary pressures. ,As usual there is a difference of opinion on this question. Worcester and cities the includes served intention to attempt to resolve these differ¬ opinion, I believe that some of the recent statements by Administration officials have been inspired for political reasons in While it is not my of ences of Framingham. on an controls. effort to impose the Truman program of Certainly, it is not possible nor in many ways desirable to main¬ tain the high rate of business of the past year. Possibly the readjust¬ ment is to a lower but more secure level. : If such is business as the case, it may be well considerations one Even if such controls month the part of governmental This opinion additional restraints for though we From this point of level, one in the form of active in credit by can in which he indicated • that the eventual relaxation of credit restraints an reducing required reserves. The monetary authorities using this power last year to restrict the increasing expansion of at New York and Chicago banks three reserves points each time. to Co. Power March 1, 1979 at 102.75% and ac¬ The interest. crued awarded bonds the group- on was its bid cf 102.20%. the sale of the provide part required to construction 100% and for the sinking fund at from ranging 100%. The company 102.75% to ' their original pur¬ But the unorthodox Public'Utility Holding Com¬ is engaged prin¬ in supplying electric en¬ in west central Wisconsin in continguous territory in ergy and of its gross 1948 derived was from the sale electricity, 10% from the sale of gas and 3% from heat and other miscellaneous services. Among the large communities served by the LaCrosse, Eau Claire Chippewa Fails in Wisconsin Winona and Red Wing in In "In year's report," states, "we noted last ■ year. "In our in¬ the business own in debt financing was par¬ Meetings marked. ticularly to bonds, or authorize mortgages, debentures were 10 with only sistance compared 1947. in 3 ized in in 1948. author¬ compared with greater far was Additional common two cases in both instances the for of conversion purpose of in the offering are: Merle-Smith; Otis Co.* (Inc.); Wm. E. Pollock & Co., Inc.; Auchincloss, Parker & Redpath BANK and INSURANCE STOCKS and Laird, Bissell & Meeds. stockholders to ferred restrictions modify additional debt or BANK remove or permit to preferred stock NEW YORK 5' / BOSTON 7 10 Post 67 Office Square CHICAGO 4 generally rec¬ ognized as unsound, has come to be regarded as a necessary evil in INSURANCE 221 S. La Salle Street Wall Street HUbbard 2-0650 WHitehall 3-0782 BS-297 CG-105 LOS ANGELES 14 STOCKS FRanklin 2-7535 NY 1-2875 SAN FRANCISCO 4 CLEVELAND 15 Schofield Building 210 SUperior 7644 CV-294 PRIVATE WIRE CLEVELAND, TELEPHONES SYSTEM : CONNECTING ST. : LOUIS, NEW LOS ■ YORK, BOSTON, ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO Portland, Enterprise 7008 Detroit, Enterprise 6066 the of more a evidently no lack of available for equity investment, as is funds deposits, life insurance and bank savings bonds purchases. In searching for reasons and reme¬ dies there is one factor which is to beginning just New York Stock Exchange 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Collins, retiring President of the Bankers Association, Investment lem in said he when Bell Teletype—NY 1-1248-49. Dept.f to address It can be met by be met. can his 'Fortunately,.this prob¬ that body: expanding of at 4 7 to times earnings met be liquid by assets.' job. As 'sell' the market out of its With Reynolds (Special . to The .CHICAGO, "The state as reasons of the Robert. F.:/ 208 advanced for this, Mead affairs remedies are as numerous proposed. Lack was Dillon Chronicle) ILL. —Richard B. Mead Shields, have with Reynolds La South slump." & Go. Financial associated . in reported 'Time,' Mr. Schram thought it was for the Exchange to try to time porations and their bankers hesi¬ tate to bring out,, new equity ... Schram; York Stock Exchange, also looks upon it as a Cooley,. Donald financing. Emil President of the New investor continued sales our today's broader market. reach equities. F With well-seasoned stocks selling in the Telephone: BArclay 7-3500 (L. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading be realized as perhaps the controlling one. This was well expressed by Julien H; yielding from 7 to 9%, it is hardly surprising that both cor¬ Laird, Bissell & Meeds savings proved by the volume of toward and Members CHICAGO, view apathy market Building YUkon 6-2332 SF-573 Hartford, Enterprise 6011 Providence, Enterprise 7008 ■ LA-io86 PHILADELPHIA, TO Russ W. Seventh Street Michigan 2837 financing toward through debt, while and gains tax, cooperative spirit be¬ tween Washington and business interests would be helpful. There and selling trend "The INCORPORATED material effect a revision of the capital can financing. GUER & CO. has had war retarding market stability. The elimination of double taxation, in effort to It introducing im¬ "Among the more interesting proved methods of business solici¬ proposals were those of several tation which are designed to reach operating utility companies which the thousands of individuals who required the consent of their pre¬ hold these unprecedented amounts purchase programs for offi¬ and not for public offering. and & of was in 1947, but one convinced the Associated Clients," Georgeson & booklet, entitled "A Report to Cur a Report cers Dick in Debt Financing tions, recapitalizations and new financing, calls attention to the more pronounced trend toward debt ti—-—~— —— — ■ nancing by corporations requiring of confidence due to the uncertain course of legislation and the fear new capital and Minnesota. 25, 1949, Feb. Co., 52 Wall Street, New York City, specialists in services for cor-, oorations, attorneys, and underwriters, in connection with reoganiza- exercise similar v; i GARCEAU. G. GRENVILLE Georges on & Co., in a report to clients, says tendency of corpora-. tions to obtain capital out of earnings and through..creation of debt became more pronounced during past year. Preferred 87 %. authorizations were the same in operating revenue in each year, but stockholder re¬ of grab not a South Hanover, Mass. Notes Heavy Increase Approximately Minnesota. Why ranging yields slice of the gravy that is being handed around rignt -now but won't last long, I'll bet. 1947 and 1948 at two prices. crease cipally with 20%. to yourself the the tendency for corporations to Ob¬ of the new capital tain new capital either out of finance the 1949 earnings or through the creation budget of the company. of debt rather than by the sale of The bonds will be redeemable, This trend has become other than for the sinking fund, at equities. more pronounced during the past at prices ranging from 105.75% to from Proceeds bonds will be used to 8 from the orthodox the unortho¬ going to hell in a hang¬ are ing-basket stock to lower requirements as soon as they were business outlook had changed. procedure dox times five on deiensive issues, but Well, the bonds are still there and Stocks could have been company are reasonable to believe that they would seems powers anti-inflation purposes may not be thought they should be enacted. States (a Wisconsin corporation) First Mortgage Bonds, 3% Series due orthodox sold in 1946, which is offering $10,000,- Northern reflected in; a recent prices view and providing business is moving to a see times by two percentage It was "Thomas B. McCabe, Chairman of the Board of Gover¬ necessary even lower officials controls. enacted, which seems less likely than the Federal Reserve System of business activity might the monetary authorities might hesitate to use them ago, statement of nors of were were such circumstances. under use on respect to taxes and new legislative with a most important factors in the present of the cautious attitude more a In the first place political A decline in the level of economic outlook. mean banking operations. as are significant from the standpoint of group the oif heads their open issue possibly lose. the: War Offers Northern States a Today most investors and their half-cousins are buying wives' buy RR bonds at 90 cents the dollar and War Stocks. Halsey, Stuart Group | (Wis.)|Bonds! not last the have else someone 10%. to was chase Halsey, Staurt & Co. Inc. heads let was. an could one 1943 In to the But attempted the unor¬ made a fortune. Yet, all while, it and was 000 was was many who thodox - Power And is engaged princi¬ bank and investor who did. The company in follow to course them. Salle R. and become & Street; Co., Mr. formerly with Eastman, & with Bear, Co. ' Mr. Shields Sterns & Co. was Volume .169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL vested Britain's Overseas Investments XffE By PAUL EINZIG of British foreign investments since World War Dr. Einzig looks for its continuation due to further I, abroad in Russia's satellite nations as well as in the Far East. J Calls attention, also, to deliberate liquidation under, auspices nf Labor Government of some valuable ow¬ This demand is - figures are available about the present value of the remaining investments. Even before the war the detailed* — "V"-.statistics of. partial expropriation, can; claim only the moment assume of native compiled v t a to as¬ pri- 1 y e Lord In and on prospects of of the in¬ in the case some restrictive of South been devised. It is a one as The railroads year's grain Africa where measures thrift. in natural result as from the barely supply mittedly, in have The of of the Leopoldina Railway, the of foreign full list of the new ernment na s made is Paul Einzig countries. But on B in China should result in the in that country j severe blow it will deal on ! tional capital position. overseas time cial capital $44,200,000 position. to From City of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to time, official or unoffi¬ information indicates further liquidations assets. losses or of overseas ; The . reduction of seas investments lowing forms:' British assumes 4%, 3%, 2M% and VA% Bonds over¬ the fol¬ Dated March 1, 1949 (1) Direct sales by the govern¬ of stocks acquired compulsorily from private investors. This practice was very much in Due in ment during the war, but of $1,000, registerable as to principal only. Registered Bonds in denominations of $100 and multiples thereof. denominations, of the same loan and maturity, are interchangeable, at the option of the holder, from registered to coupon Principal and interest payable at the office of The Philadelphia National Bank, Fiscal Agent of the City, Philadelphia, Pa. payable semi-annually, January 1 and July 1, except that the first interest payment on January 1, 1950 will be for ten months. Non-callable. Bonds in authorised even form and vice-versa. though the government still has the power to commandeer private¬ ly owned (2) Interest stocks this right is not exercised Legal investment, in now. Sales negotiated by private under the government. interests 000 was such the hu'spices o? The sale of the outstanding example transactions. present moment Government At the i (3) loans is Repayments or may Brazilian i negotiating the ! purchase of the Leopoldina Rail- ! way and the Great Western of I Brazil Railway. of Stock Exchange. enabling ordinances, will, in the opinion of Counsel, legally binding general obligations of the City of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and the City will be obligated to levy ad valorem taxes upon the taxable real property within the City without limitation as to rate or amount, sufficient to pay the principal of such Bonds when due and the interest thereon. maturing j The sales best known example. (5) of Privately private negotiated assets. cial It is offer these Bonds, if, as and when issued and delivered to us, and subject to a favorable joint legal opinion by Counsel, Messrs. Townsend, Elliott & Munson and Messrs. Morgan, Lewis t(* Boclcius, Philadelphia, Pa. expected that temporary bonds in bearer form, in the denomination of $1,000, will be delivered on or about March 10, 1949. It is expected that definitive bonds, as described above, will be available for delivery before November 1, 1949. $10,740,000 4% Bonds due serially 1950 to 1959, inch, priced to yield 0.75% to 1.90% $ 4,080,000 3% Bonds due serially I960 to 1963, jncl., commer¬ undertakings in India for in¬ stance, sold out the whole or part their assets to Indian interests. of We our 'sales Many British or I of South African gold mining stocks to South African investors is the firms with industrial any tax or taxes, except gift, succession or inheritance taxes, which the City of Philadelphia he required to pay thereon or retain therefrom under or pursuant to any present or future law of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, all of which taxes, except as above provided, the City of Philadelphia assumes and agrees to pay. constitute valid and repurchases of bonds by I (4) Re pa tr iation of stocks through private buying on the in the opinioH of counsel, from Federal Income Taxes under existing law. These Bonds, to be issued for various purposes as set forth in the the overseas debtors. < opinion, for Savings Banks and Trust Funds in Pennsylvania and New York. Principal and interest payable without, deduction for | the our IntereHt'%xempt9 • the Argentine railroads for £155,000,- of varying amounts January 1, 1950-1999 inch Coupon Bonds in the denomination evi- dence ; (6) Plight of capital through loopholes in the exchange control. Internationally negotiable $ 4,500,000 securi¬ ties have found their way in circumvention of the $24,280,000 priced to yield 2.00% to 2.3.0% 224% Bonds due serially 1964 to 1990, inch, priced to yield 2.35% to 2.85% 1^2% Bonds due serially 1991 to 1999, incl., priced to yield 2.90% abroad (Accrued interest to be added) restriction measures. vv- ■ (7) Defaults liabilities by or repudiation of overseas debtors. Bankruptcy or depreciation of as¬ sets of British-owned foreign firms. Drexel & Co. The Chase National Bank Smith, Barney & Co. Bankers Trust Company Harriman Ripley & Co. Chemical Bank &«Trtjst Company Kidder, Peabody & Co. incorporated (8) Nationalization of British compensation to the (•:' This latter particular too to not owners. heading is likely to assume the importance last three years more or less Negotiations confiscatory terms. with the some agreements under which the own¬ receive fraction of in the vestments. compensation value The weak owing to of their in¬ moral the Seattle-First National Bank SciIOELLKOPF, HuTTON & POMEROY, INC. Graham, Parsons & Co. founda¬ The Eastern European Governments, in their Coffin & Burr White, Weld & Co. F. S. Moseley & Co. measures Central Republic Company incorporated The Marine Trust Company Reynolds & Co. of Buffalo Trust Company of Alex. Brown & Sons Georgia (incorporated) American Securities Corporation Laurence M. Marks & Co. of A. G. Becker & Co. incorporated Ira IIaupt & Co. C. F. Guilds and Company incorporated Geo. B. Gibbons & Company incorporated fact that in Britain, too. compensation paid for nationalized industries is far from adequate. •* bargaining posi¬ tion of the British Labor Govern¬ in these negotiations has very Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane a ment tions, Bear, Stearns & Co. govern¬ ments concerned resulted in ers Lee IIigginson Corporation much British property in countries behind the Iron Curtain has been nationalized on Yarnall & Co. in distant future, owing developments in Asia. During the The First Boston Corporation Moncure Biddle & Co. property abroad without adequate February 28, 1949. Heller, Bruce & Co. R. S. Dickson & Company incorporated' W. H. Newbold's Son & Co. the con¬ a very Britain's interna- i n's a certain fiscation of the large British assets NEW ISSUE figures i t r a balance any relating are declining trend continues. If, as is feared, the Communist victory effort to bring out Dr. invest¬ British investment the gov¬ un¬ re¬ Foreign a of Admittedly,, there Ad- instances, such Council amount amount of Ar¬ Argentine. the in the Colonies and also in other and some of in default. paid for meat is and ments in British hands which with many quarters. an instance of sale marketable, Bondholders gives way gentine the Sterling prevented, except Area cannot be re¬ concern regarded easily large of invest- viewed are port auspices of the are depre¬ government what is left consist largely of realizable assets. The annual in which the Socialist regime is living on wealth accu¬ mulated by capitalist enterprise propa¬ overseas within the very much years, the not the -Repatriation vestments ♦ is and left-wing sets held liquidation overseas are that the 15 right in realizing them. But gen¬ erally speaking only valuable as¬ of their still so com¬ for last ten Burma ; example set by the compensation for the £200 000,000 of British capital in¬ sley.. These statistics have plied the Government. under the ganda. by- ceiving Kinder- not been follow British were deliberate valuable much It some are sold ciated, hands and occasionally loans are issued in London. government full control. Expropriation and other foreign in¬ by loans assets British ments governments terests will then be forced though even pre-war The • sets Britain, old some British government - overseas change of the economic and financial balance of power within the British Commonwealth. Most dominions are large creditors of new Indonesia and French Indo-China (971) of the in it very firmly. The same situation is bound to arise also in LONDON, ENG.—Britain is rapidly losing the remainder of her investments, left over after the inroads made into these No Government position, naturally very popular, and it is politically impossible for the government to investments. by the two World Wars. Burmese favor¬ oppose overseas reserves too none CHRONICLE . assets overseas are very difficult sation. uncompensated > nationalization of British The a FINANCIAL ing to Communist propaganda de¬ manding the expropriation of foreign capital without compen¬ . Recounting losses there able. is in & W. H. Morton & Co. incorporated E. W. Clark & Co. News About Banks NEW March 2 board of election the of made was directors Suisse of Maurice relations Nestle in Alimen- has years as board. the also protecting the as power in interests States United Japan, Mr. Straessle went to Mo¬ zambique representative of the as Government Swiss transfer the American served as the of Ambassador charge of repatriated to Japan he financial adviser to the During the his staff. and in war ,/. * appointed . * * Sewall S. Bank National Chase New of and will serve as associate York legal counsel, it is announced by Winthrop W. Aldrich, Chairman. Mr. Sewall has been a partner in the law firm of Milbank, Tweed, Hope & Hadley. He was a member the of was N. Y. City Council, Mayor, 1944-47. He Rye* 1940-43 and President, of also the Rye Community Chest in? 1949. fh .=»'* /• the New York Trust Company, at 100 Broadway, New York, an¬ nounced on March 1, the promo¬ tions of John Degnan and T. Al¬ from Assistant VicePresidents to Vice-Presidents. Mr. fred Hayes associated with the division, will be in charge of the new office of the company at 39t.h Street and 7th Degnan, now banking Avenue upon Feb. 24 its completion and the foreign, value assume E. newly created position on March 14, according to Linwood P. Harrell, Union Trust President. A Missouri banker for 20 years Mr. Bowersock is now of Nov. 18, page . Marine Midland banks. . : l" Effective _ 1 26 January •' ' the .. ' >; Cos¬ Auffinger had been with the Marine Trust Company since 1927 mopolitan National Bank of Chi¬ cago increased its capital from with the Marine Midland Group Inc. when $400,000 to $500,000, this having been accomplished through a stock dividend of $100,000. Mr. and it became organized was new associated They 1930. Two elected. in have been directors County Na¬ Trust Company, tional Bank & Lockport and President Irving Skeels of Trust Company, In division. Elmira. ❖ :!: accordance T. & Bank Elmira the * plans pre¬ with City Bank of Reporting that the Eaton of the Niagara Detroit, Mich., recently organized, its doors on March 1 in the Penobscot Building, the Detroit "Free Press" of Feb. 25 stated that the institution is the first new bank to open in that would open city in 10 years. As noted has been Vice-President of the National City Bank of Dallas, effective March 15, it is announced in our a by President De Witt T. Ray. This is learned from the Dallas "Times- which said that Mr. McGee, son of W. B. McGee, President of the First Na¬ Lampasas, of Bank the in Bank Examiner Federal Reserve National Dallas District, becoming Auditor of the Wichita bank in 1937, subse¬ quently advancing to his post. * * new stock, Commerce of * .. present Feb. on 3 $4,000,000 to $5,000,000 it is weekly bulletin from learned from the the of Chesapeake and Ohio Railway Second Equipment Trust of 1949 $515,000 on Paso, Texas, to Trustees: endorsement The >:« Jy * officers, George Morgan C. Penn, Hayden, Miller & Co. Stock Brokers Assoc. To Hold Meeting CHICAGO, ILL.—On Thursday, March 3, the Stock Brokers Asso¬ ciates will present a special edu¬ cation program at 3 p.m. on the trading floor of the Chicago Stock curities Club and Dealers, Bond Street Club. Traders Hon. Harry A. McDonald, SEC Commissioner, will make a spe¬ cial address on "1949 and the Securities Business." meeting will be a closed for the personnel of security commodity firms and banks. The one and Business Valley to of its capi¬ Bank National $3,000,000 from Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any state in which this announcement is circulatedfrom only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such state. The a recent Office bulletin issued by the of the Bookshelf $3,250,000 through stock dividend of $250,000 effective Jan. 14, it was reported in Man's stock. * Phoenix, Ariz, increased subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce The Currier; Ralph Elam, Sweney, Cartwright & Co.; Fred B. Paisley, Freeman & Paisleyt Inc.; and brought about through the sale of new yield 1.35% to 2.40%, according to maturity Issuance and sale of these Certificates are F. reports a capital tional $150,000 was tal Priced James T. $1,250,000, enlarged Jan. 18 $1,000,000. Of the $250,000 increase, $100,000 represented a stock dividend, while the addi¬ each March 15, 1950 to 1959, inclusi/e unconditionally as to payment of par value and dividends by by The Chesapeake and Ohio Railway Company Joyce, B. National Bank of Paso *;y■ To be guaranteed Secretary-Treasurer: from (Philadelphia Plan) mature John Joyce & Co. of 2%%'Serial Equipment Trust Certificates To El ij :j: !s The Co. B. Crum, W. M. Zuber & Co. Comptroller Office of the of the Currency. El elected: Linder, The Exchange, with the cooperation of the National Association of Se¬ y-; '..."v. the National Bank of Houston, Texas capital its increased ' sale of $1,000,000 Through the C. Tex. began his career in his father's institution. He later served as As¬ sistant were Bert 20, Feb. of Herald" of $5,150,000 * Crum Club the follow¬ Vice-President: Wichita Falls, Texas, elected tional W. George President are: Ohio John Officer of the First National Bank of F. officers new President: Cashier and Trust W. K. McGee, "Mr. Auffinger, has been an As¬ President of the Union National sistant Vice-President. The comA Bank of Kansas City, Mo." ' • s;i % t'.t ' i 1 pany is the service organization "f ■{V"' /'V ing 2085. * Vice- a 110,000 shares of the par of $10 each, and a surplus $1,700,000. Plans for the con¬ solidation were noted in our issue James Stock and Bond of y will be associated with Mr. Hayes will the also quote: we capital stock of $1,100,000, divided into Bowersock "Mr. York on George President by Jackson-State National Bank the consolidated bank has a common Goodman Washington "Post" of Feb. Oliver 24, who said: Midland Group Inc. Becker, said the Buffalo "Evening News" of that date from which for the 19 * John E. Bierwirth, President of in the Na¬ (capital $500,000) and the Capital National Bank of Jackson (capital $600,000). Ef¬ fected under the charter of the Washington, D. C. was an¬ nounced on Feb. 23, it was made S. Jackson, tional Bank of by of Bank the First Miss, effected on of name of the Jackson-State Feb. 21 y;y.:■!' dent of the Union promotion of George H. Auffinger, Jr., to Vice-President in New y : ■ ,v\. the the consolidation was Executive Vice- Presi¬ Trust Company sock 3pd as The announced • . National * # * The election of Justin D. Bower- known was /' * ❖ background of cotton fabrics woven by Avondale and of the Marine Feb. 24. "Post Gazette" of include January 24. effective Under has in¬ $750,000 capital was* capital from $1,000,000. The new made Pittsburgh learned from the art exhibit inside, tention to the "Saturday Evening Post." been has Vice-President of the a is it its creased to 1923, serving as a teller until 1942 when he entered military service, quarters there. The bank's outside window displays, which call at¬ Simmons of Pine Bluff, Ark., Bank Pittsburgh, with associated since of Company head¬ sales have firms Joyce of National dividend stock a the $250,000 been elected which he has been and Avondale Mills and numerous other cotton textile B. John Linder C. Bert of the Peoples Bank & Trust National First of section Comptroller of the Currency. joining the Girard Harry J. Wood has City York New 1, according to a re¬ cent bulletin of the Office of the Feb. fective Assistant Secretary that cotton downtown the in try ef¬ Empire National Bank became Pennsylvania the to the Company of St. Paul, Minn, Through important territorial indus¬ an Empire Trust staff in 1925. reproductions of the paintings as used in advertisements in the Swjss Legation in Washington. Grenville is of department 2, change in the name of the National Bank & Trust A Philadelphia and service de¬ customer Railroad before Vice-President. It is noted incidentally 1942 In Assistant Smyth, European Swiss Government was when the acting American Corporation. Securities for is Straessle Mr. of appeared in these columns Dec. page 2299. partment died on Feb. 24. The Philadelphia "Inquirer" states that Mr. Shinkle was in the treasury view series of exhibits representative indus¬ tries in the bank's neighborhood. The exhibits are a part of the bank's community relations plan under the direction of George A. of Nestle Co., now Nes¬ Company, S. A., at Switzerland, and was re¬ elected Vice-President of President a of the merly Assistant Secretary of the French Mortgage and Bond Co. An earlier reference to the bank T. its the French was for¬ "Free Press." Mr. $1,000,000 to $1,200,000. of said Cashiers, Assistant as OHIO —At meeting of the Columbus McAskin Lawson and John H. N. increased Company COLUMBUS, annual 26, and appointment of Seward the also Shinkle, Assistant of the Girard Trust head Club Elects Officers directors. the of James M. French by Mr. Verhelle on Feb. result of which a similarly Treasurer featuring tle Alimentana cently employee the first of as is Albert depicting the s*ory relations at Avon- dale Mills of Alabama are on director Vevey, paintings of managing been from Broadway office. Ten original oil Straessle, many art latter have resulted exhibit at its 291 S. A., and of J. Vice-Chairman of the Swiss 'American Corporation in New York City. Mr. Paternot for Company, tana unusual an surplus the human remote programs the two that announces geographically Credit Paternot, Vice- the of President the to of York New of meeting Vice-President was announced as plans regarding the enlarged capital we reported that an addi¬ tional $200,000 would be trans¬ ferred from undivided profits to Bank of The East River Savings on The election $1,000,000, to $1,200,000 by a dividend of $200,000 effec¬ tive Jan. 14. In indicating in our issue of Dec. 30, page 2761, the CAPITALIZATIONS Announcement initial stock Bankers and OFFICERS, ETC. REVISED at the first President of the bank capital has been increased Columbus Stock & Bond was from CONSOLIDATIONS NEW BRANCHES Verhelle F. Lincoln National Bank of Newark, N. J. its 17, page 770, Joseph named as the issue of Feb. the by known made viously Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (972) 10 Comptroller of the Currency. Centennial History of the Penn¬ < sylvania Railroad Company 18461946—George Burgess and Miles C. Kennedy—The Pennsylvania Co., Philadelphia, Pa.— Railroad Cloth. inactive HALSEY, STUART A CO. Inc. R. W. PRESSPRICH A CO. ; INCORPORATED FIRST OF MICHIGAN CORPORATION , r and CO. HIRSCH A CO. Saving American Capitalism— A.i A. Berle, Jr., Chester Bowles, Alvin H. Hansen, Leon Keyserling and others—Edited by Seymour E. Harris—Alfred A. Knopf, New York j Security Dealers of North Amer¬ 1949 Edition—Entirely revised edition of complete directory of stock and bond houses in the United States and Canada—fabrikoid—$9.00—Herbert D. Seibert & Co., * Inc., 25 Park Place, New York 7, N/Y. „ ,• ica JULIEN F. S. COLLINS A COMPANY YANTIS A CO. V City—Cloth—$4.00. STOCKS McMASTER HUTCHINSON A CO. -INCORPORATED March 2. 1949 INCORPORATED FREEMAN A COMPANY ' ALFRED O'GARA A CO. , bank insurance CO., INC. MULLANEY, WELLS A COMPANY . . L. F. ROTHSCHILD A HORNBLOWER A WEEKS WM. E. POLLOCK A GREGORY A SON A. G. BECKER A CO. Kenney & Powell NEW YORK Volume 169 I Number 4782 THE Railroads Need COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE tion point and sees relief from higher operating costs in new labor-saving improvements that require additional capital expenditure. Lays high railroad costs to unreasonable labor demands and practices together with high taxes, and urges railroads be permitted to earn a minimum return of 6% be nation— and I were the on Diesel power, only 18% of freight train-miles. trip. Saturation Point Reached in Rates along 1946 Those who of you were these and locomotives, more than 500 freight cars, and other new equipment involving capital new have the charges of almost $10,000,000. As new equipment is placed in service," we will benefit by still Southwest in this recent will years, further substantiate of any claims I might k e about with of the years, familiar sustained this the an of We the be¬ problems Railroad that it our best insurance for earnings in the future. immediate and fact are ap¬ Katy the of have some of needs confronting The country. are too, particular serve our Southwest preciation, because of who you Katy Railroad lined to you, which have been set into motion during the past three rapidly growing section Those the on lieve that the policies I have out¬ D. V. Fraser . _ operating our convinced are that of source the only additional income, other than increased vol¬ ume of traffic, ings territory. in of course, is sav¬ Katy Railroad, in common nation's our difficult readjustment to peacetime stabil¬ ity, involving rapid changes in our economic pattern, continued to complicate railroad operations and management functions during the In order to keep pace with year. traffic demands, and to effect efficiency and produce economies, it has been greater greater necessary to adopt some methods of operation, provide motive power, rolling stock, new tools, The cost of on This is demon¬ treasury. our tinued with concrete forward strides of aimed economies During for structures totaled a this period, maintenance and 554,500,000, $18,000,000 im¬ at greater maintenance and in expenditures way, capital of equipment or more This year. applying it a location is! plants in this area, example, since our 1940 eco¬ 12.5% tion I to analyze and scene can be expected to the national business this year. I tell you frankly, my own opinion in this respect is not a pessimistic one. We have continued since the end of the in a state of capacity produc¬ tion, full employment, and a highwage plateau. Commodity prices are now levelling off and we are experiencing a slight recession. Adjustments are taking place in war changing. to say, I would be the last however, that this is not a whole. a ment, and the na¬ Southwest and remarkably, with no expansion and diversifica¬ this tion in sight. To illustrate, since 1940 the production of cattle and duction has increased factors same for peacetime varied business concerns ings have hand, been some warn¬ sounded 62%; wheat ceived government policies agricul¬ more government con¬ trol of business, or an additional tax-bite on corporate income. supply in the past has been a deterring factor in industrial and agricultural ex¬ pansion in the Southwest. Today remains, however, that compiexion of the Southwest changing to one of great and continuing industrial growth, which has progressed to a healthy well ture as increase an in production. The fact Adequate water the is great damsites and artificial lakes, in existence and proposed, at and now Denison, Wichita Falls and Whit¬ ney, Texas; Altus, Vinita, Fort healthy situation. Gibson and Eufaula, \ gation. the Not to continuing be use overlooked and ures heavy have a which experiences of past years intangibles that will are bearing on our future, and is keep are pace. Government Regulations and re¬ Competition The third external influence to which I referred was government promoting (Continued we on page These included $2,150,000 in re¬ principal of collateral and equipment obliga¬ modernization of roadway and than money went for new, heavier rail, cross ties, ballast, strengthening bridges and modernizing buildings and addition, current funds to were $12,300,000 of In the . and settlement in -:.L^ New York Central Railroad used $1,100,000 of Federal in¬ excess profits taxes for years 1942-1944 and $872,000 pay come claims of of Second the United States Government for re¬ funds of over - collections of to that extent, of such anticipated income and excess Equipment Trust of 1949 2%% . freight charges on war traffic. We also deposited $1,500,000 with the Collector of Internal Revenue at St. Louis in payment, additional other facilities. total a purposes. Equipment Trust Certificates f (Philadelphia Plan) To mature To be profits tax liability for the years During this period we also be¬ 1945 and 1946 as might be de¬ a program of new equipment termined as a result of the audit purchases, which was necessary to annually $820,000 on each March 15, 1950 1964, inclusive to guaranteed unconditionally as to payment of the par value and dividends by endorsement by The New York Central Railroad Company. gan bring property up-to-date in order to meet present traffic de¬ our mands, nomically. we 000 in order and to operate efficiently more and more In the past three eco¬ years freight and passenger cars, capital improvements. new other The wisdom of this moderniza¬ tion has already been proven in the performance of our Diesel locomotive equip¬ ment. It is conservatively esti¬ mated that the operation of seven Diesel road locomotives, which were in service throughout the program amount least one at million dollars after in- taxes—a 'come in splendid and con¬ tinuing return' on the investment in this ing than note 31 To of slightly that our of gross more ton-miles *An address by Mr. the Securitv New York Analysts,, Fraser be¬ Society of New York City, Feb. 25, 1949. to yield 1.50% to will additional 2.90%, according to maturity Issuance and The taxes. sale'of these Certificates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated from only of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. such Railroad Problems lems, as well as the possibilities, pertain to the generally, ( and they as industry HALSEY, STUART & railroad particu¬ R. W. PRESSPRICH & CO. CO. EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION HARRIS, HALL & COMPANY major factors that affect the prog¬ busi¬ ness or industry, particularly the railroad industry. These two and fate of almost any factors are the influences that can be controlled internally and those influences that are controlled by external forces.; So internal influences they are far as the concerned, up in one be summed sentence—the decisions that can of facts and probabilities they can be external broken OTIS & CO. MERRILL LYNCH, PIERCE, FENNER & BEANE L. F. ROTHSCHILD & (INCORPORATED) GRAHAM, PARSONS & CO. WM. E. POLLOCK & FREEMAN & CO. HIRSCH CO., INC. FIRST OF & MICHIGAN CO. WILLIAM BLAIR & COMPAN Y COMPANY IRA HAUPT & CO. principal necessarily as CORPORATION THEJLLINOIS COMPANY BURR & at its CLAYTON SECURITIES CORPORATION COMPANY, INC. HAYDEN, MILLER &. CO. McMASTER influences, down not & CO. ALFRED O'GARA &. into categories, HUTCHINSON JULIEN COLLINS & COMPANY MULLANEY, WELLS &. COMPANY CO. F. S. YANTIS &. INCORPORATED three insofar (INCORPORATED) HORNBLOWER & WEEKS man¬ disposal. the BLAIR A CO., INC. INCORPORATED We all know that there are two ress INC. A. G. BECKER & CO. larly to the Katy Railroad. As. to fore Priced now It is interest¬ agement makes from its analysis equipment. to years deposit Let's look at some of the prob¬ well year 1948, produced a savings overall transportation costs of these This made. stop the accrual of interest at the rate of 6% per annum on that have invested almost $20,000,in new Diesel locomotives, and for returns of being chronologically, the Katy is concerned. March 3,1949. perma¬ TeflectedMn the rapid development with which we must mois¬ Southwest, essential purposes. and —there and irri¬ ture the whole Southwest has the development, uate the future of the Katy Rail¬ road with a cold analysis of fig¬ Oklahoma, on the Colorado River near Aus¬ Economic Trends After all, little is known about tin, Texas, are just a few of the how our economy behaves under> developments in this direction that conditions of full employment. are and will provide ample water supply for industrial stable nent in scope. It is for this reason that I admonish you not to eval¬ In our experience in the growth of the to lead¬ ing toward ceived in the past 60 to 90 days. of that venturesome spirit and private ini¬ tiative may be stifled by ill-con¬ corn pro¬ 85%; rice 122%; peanuts 222%; grain sorghums 175%, and so on. This indicates a diversification as past two or three months? by our requirements for Is the slight decline in commodity during the year 1948 for prices; the signs of some unem¬ capital expenditures and other ployment; the slackening in the duction in area. On the other cash trust notes pur¬ being recognized by in¬ dustrial leaders not only of the Southwest, but throughout the nation, by the location of heavy industrial plants and many smalt grown hogs has increased 30%; of which others reconvert¬ ed into peacetime production. The many poses are • Agriculturally, has end of predict what on against 8.9% for the as as many have been retained by the govern¬ the four great states During this period the increase of population in Texas alone was busi¬ were by military and gov¬ authorities, through the of great military estab¬ ernment separate entity— strated equipment, or during the three years begin¬ ning with 1940, the Katy has con¬ $8,223,000 for capital and policy lishments and wartime industrial as population of all industry, and every individual. • I repeat that you gentlemen are in a far better po¬ than in recognized ness, sition The' these abundance, and in addition, it has a progressive spirit and plenty of I confidence in the future. These favorable factors For puttings these new policies in motion, along with the necessity of liquidating income Isn't it a little early to make pre¬ tax and other obligations of prior dictions for the future on the years, has placed a heavy demand trends that have developed within and operation. all of tions, and $6,076,000 for additions Since my last meeting with you, its affect is new facilities and other innovations. provements conditions in probably higher freight rates—and relief with other railroads throughout from high expenses will be slow the country, enjoyed in 1948 the in coming, if at all. I will have benefits of a year of full employ¬ more to say about these high ex¬ ment and generally good business. penses in a few moments. However, nomic our national economy and the general pattern of doing business operations—we that all considered ex¬ have reached the saturation point does thought one has predictions of the national economic trends to the Southwest en toto. The Southwest must be natural handicaps and National and international happen We m a this savings in costs. the is necessarily in that order. Southwest —Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and advantages, and third, government Texas—has increased 15 % million.' Diesel others seen our not may your are the national and international economic conditions; second, thinking our by First, there Orders have been placed,; for regulation and uncontrollable delivery in 1949, for 18 additional penses. on trips, who by operated in-' You cannot evaluate the future of the Katy Railroad be made available for cost-saving tools. for handled were which you clear and should like to stress at this point. <$>- believe of some major factors—ample fuel and seen. providential. There Today, as in 1946, this invitation to talk with you comes in the wake of another Katy tour through the Southwest. A number of you were aboard the special train last October, which carried financial analysts and writers to the scenes of the greatest development in the be — saturation can to all, we have moved at clip during and since the telligent labor; good Market out-; lets; proximity of minerals and war, and a "breathing spell," with raw materials; favorable climate opportunity to appraise our posi¬ and good transportation though "Katy" executive, in recounting railroad progress and prospects, contends, if given a fair-competition basis, rail transportation can hold its own against other forms of transport. Sees freight rates reaching that surplus earnings That remains after fast a so activity; an have found that when industry leveling off?— plans to expand or establish new precipitous drop plants, it considers a number of, more a occur? But President, Missouri-Kansas-Texas Railroad capital will or 17 industrial adjustment?—a By DONALD V. FRASER* on of pace Fair Deal a (973) CO. 39) 18 THE (974) & COMMERCIAL Thursday, March 3, 1949 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Prominent Personalities iational (Eighth of a Series) SECURI ;';r7;By IIENRY HUNT your upon request from investment dealer, Should the prudent investor now stay from or & CORPORATION RESEARCH 120 SECURITIES broadway, new york 5. n. y. with his stocks? Does the before These seems In are Inflation appears probable, recession questions. hard possible. this period j , multitudinous of and conflicting uncertainties Bullock Fund, Ltd. Shares, Inc. Nation-Wide Securities Co. taxes most of these things might happen.) hard to pick up. Steel, year's earnings of about $12 per share, to yield about 8.33% from the $-3 dividend. Steel earnings could recede to $9, which would still reasonably cover the $6 divi¬ dend, and with an improvement in sentiment, the stock could easily sell at ten times earnings to yield 6.66% at a price of 90. Investment or General Motors at 60 is also CALVIN BULLOCK Established 1894 mate Cunq , of the dividend; and were the stock to coverage Straws in the Wind—Like stock funds common (under the operating more guidance of along the principles his of family monies. Late in inception of his idea in The George Putnam was first applied the term "balanced fund." saw 1937 the to which Fund tions was he expressed it, "That the test of a cook's inten¬ whether or not he ate his own cooking," Mr. Put¬ nam has invested Feeling, priced at close to six times our esti¬ earnings, the price would be 80 to largest ancestors had used in the care own year's earnings of $9.50, to yield 8.33% from the $5 Earnings reduced to $8 per share would still afford fair dividend. the trustees) George Putnam last of "The as (still in operation in Boston). As he saw the picture unfold, however, he became more interested in a particular type of fund which he visualized as a mutual • 72, is selling at six times last around of one - Supporting Evidence for this idea is not available from Dealers 7 increased importantly—IF labor not are widely known and Prudent Man Rule." present Mr. Putnam's initial interest in the public type investment trust was in 1925 when he was an organizer of little but clouds. production pick£ up—IF commodity prices recede (but do not break) to a "rea¬ sonable" level—It would not be surprising to see stocks sell higher on lower earnings. (And ther.eVat least a,reasonable possibility that all or Prospectuses see tions—IF become to was The Peering long and earnestly into our crystal-ball, we IF the recession is held to minor propor¬ If—If—If! could what accepted the perplexed investor. management appear well fitted to serve enced field—for ing- appears to be a habit among the Putnams for Mr. Putnam's great great grandfather, Mr. Justice Samuel Putnam was a pioneer in his own right as was so well proved in 1830-when he jolted some of the more staid minds of his day with ; trends, investment companies with their wide diversification of in¬ vestment risk and their continuous watching by competent, experi¬ Dividend - of money for others has been the heritage of, successive Putnam generations. Pioneer¬ the investing impending,recession-depression materially marks down the an rather naturally into this He fitted is still active. certainty of inflation make equities still an attractive hedge against further loss of purchasing power? Or should he turn a substantial portion of his holdings into cash value of his stocks? . * George Putnam is one of the pioneers in the mutual fund movement as we know it today—one of the few in fact who long-range NATIONAL <• Chairman, The George Putnam Fund Time to Retire? Prospectus- ~ GEORGE PUTNAM as than more a half million dollars of his family money in The Putnam Fund. sell at ten times In • yield 6.25%. he is one of the most active men late fifties, his the investment field. Never in arm-chair executive, he has an if not more, dealers than most His thirst for knowing what invest¬ ment-minded people think and want has been insatiable— even to the extent of meeting many of the Putnam Fund met and talked with as many, all weather forecasters and students of management executives. have our pet indicators that may—or may not—be infallible. Anyway, for what they are worth, here are some of the small things that we believe have been fairly reliable barometers in the market, we shareholders. the past. When you meet him you think of him as a big man physically — unhurried, kindly, soft-spoken — sparing witn words, like many Bostonians—self-effacing. Yet, let occa¬ sion demand it and he can erupt with tremendous force and in uncertain market weather, has been favorable. Action of government bonds in rising above official supporting prices is another frequently reliable straw. This market turned down as early as January, 1946. Other favorable indications: recent sizable odd-lot sales; a group of sensitive stock that we call early birds has been on the firm side.—From Arthur Wiesenberger's "Investment Company News." Action of utility stocks, frequently a reliable vane logic iri support of his thoughts. :.v? His hobbies and outside interests the of He is himself. man are few—characteristic lives at fond of the ocean," and Here, in con¬ (his five children are married or at school) he devotes his odd moments to the breeding and raising of poodles. Dog show devotees throughout the coun¬ try are well aware of Puttencove Kennels, and their propen¬ sity for collecting blue ribbons. Only last week a Puttencove poodle was judged "Best in Show" among more than 1,400 dogs at the Eastern Dog Club show. He likes an occasional game of bridge—is considered an excellent player by his Manchester-By-The-Sea just north of Boston. An Investment the For Opportunity ? characteristic of the steel industry is investor the basic quite simple—for a steel company of steel. Except in wartime, when ings down, the earnings of junction with his wife to make money it must make a lot high excess profit taxes kept earn¬ steel companies have always followed And except for the present period, stock prices and earnings. It is this exception provides the investment opportunity in steel stocks today. production. always followed production Steel production begins 1949 at about 100% their have that associates. of the industry's rated His In actual tonnage, production is breaking all records. The probable future course of the production line is indicated by the cur¬ rent estimate of the United States Department of Commerce that for 1949 as a whole the demand for steel will exceed its supply by some¬ capacity. HUGH W. LONG & CO. iNCOSPORATfp 48 WAll lOi STR£ET. i NEW YORK 5, N Y. CHICAGO ANGUtS thing under 5,000,000 tons. ("Steel" Market Survey, From a bulletin issued by Distributors Group. When Does "A K e yston e of all expert in the ills which afflict all parts of the purposes—the opportunity to . . "there is much . that the most informed can economic discusses problems like a help their be helped— learn." He philosopher—but one tenacity and the strength of purpose to translate philosophies into positive action. . y / who has the his know about less, many businessmen have turned their investment problems over to an investment company. Again, this is not because they know nothing about investments—we have shown that on the contrary they' devote much time to investment problems to run their own business. Once again, it is because they do not have the tools—re¬ search facilities, investigations in the field, a full-time staff, etc.— that an investment company possesses; nor do they have the long must experience in evaluating securities which is essential to the staff of Corporation bulletin. good investment company."—From a Parker tlieir capital STEEL BONDS SHARES PREFERRED STOCKS A Letter to the Column "Dear Henry: 1RTtST this is As Walter ffs SSA® Prospectus from investment dealer or . 6e»«al Keystone Company of Hoston - a prospectus on request : Congress Street Massachusetts from your Distributors investment dealer or Group, Incorporated 63 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. FIELD Street, San Francisco 4 Coast Representative: DANFORTH 315 Montgomery 2500 Mutual Funds column you intro¬ Philadelphian from way back.' While your 'a I am sure that failure to birthplace and early years might have disturbed Walter slightly as it did me. "Both the President of Wellington and myself were born and raised in Wilkes-Barre. I think it is that independent spirit as well as intense concern for the problems of the smaller fellow, supposedly bred into natives of mining communities, which in part has been anthracite the area of Pennsylvania, locality of his responsible for our mutual absorption in the rapidly 0.sUtbul°i *®,T!»i?ffs as true, the family moved away from that city over 100 years ago.* natives of the picturesque Wyoming Valley in the north¬ mention COMMON STOCKS in ago Morgan proud eastern Group Securities, inc. (Series S1-S2-S.O-S4) weeks "Several duced COMHtU of (Series KJ-K.2) 50 their find themselves in much the same in (Series B1-B2-B5-B4) Boston 9, with ance practising dentists. brought into existence through their flotation. They have to know about dividends and interest because their companies have to pay them. Neverthe- IN Tlie for hospital service at low cost. He became its through his efforts it was founded, and, when shareholders in the way they teel they want to a your local outside interest is The Blue Cross a nonprofit means of filling the as fancy, he is chary of too much regimentation of funds into one groove of thought. He believes that the various manage¬ ments should have the right of individual thinking in accord¬ body. INVESTMENT FUNDS investing fostered serving without compensation has helped to guide its growth. While he feels that mutual funds are still in their in¬ Jan. 17, 1949.)— position in regard to their investments. They have to stocks and bonds—their own company may have been Funds important has great need Expert Need Advice? "Many successful businessmen Custodian Certificates of Participation an most he President Nevertheless, if a patient cpmes to him with a tooth¬ ache, he will generally advise a trip to the dentist. This is not because the doctor knows nothing about teeth; on the contrary, he spent long hours studying teeth in medical school. But he does not have the tools —the drills, cutters, fancy mirrors and so on—which the dentist has; nor does he have the long experience and special training required human : doctor is an which developing insti¬ tution of the investment company. e»- "Walter's father and my dad are old friends and have reached of four score years with grace and honor. From time to time they can be seen greeting each other on Public Square in Wilkes-Barre as they, say 'hello' to their unfortunately too few con¬ temporaries still remaining in the community. "I am sure you will like to acquaint our readers with this little the worthy age personal postscript to your 'Philadelphia story.' "Henry Ansbacher Long." Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE own The By DONALD R. RICHBERG* that Presumably and liberal hundred days. ment plus the m- - street, is politically - the licensed offi¬ cial guide in a the world or bedtime a story of horror and crime. better a- us better ideas and philosophy of govern¬ democr acy. ment. He must instruct But ing the function of government in a modern society, which should develop more and more centrip¬ and now then the even average ma n becomes dis¬ trustful of his wisdom own in approving a Donald R. by Richberg of program rich getting spen ding money, of or making money by doing less work. In such a moment the beneficiary more of higher education may get a hearing. The economist may be permitted to guide editorial writers. In the recent complexity of world-wide economic problems columnists even then followed have and now scientific thinking and occasionally caught up with it. The political scientist, has .however, yet received little encour¬ agement from the practical world. as In this era when the improvement of the processes of government is almost everywhere essential to the survival of ruling class, it a is only the occasional, and usually the unsuccessful, politician who will share the platform with a political scientist, in public meet¬ ings or private gatherings. Per¬ haps scientific aid is rejected be¬ there is such cause small quan¬ a tity of political science available that when it is poured into the seas of political controversy it im¬ mediately disappears. Of course learned etal force to hold men together against those multiplying centrif¬ ugal forces that drive men apart. Then, when this adult education and ture. Students of crammed as with * modernized and free multitude to a Is it not clear ficult to techniques new without of so scientist has which to follow little citizens are and do public them your at ticed when I j the are an humanitarian who is paternalist liberal. giving a amateur deception prac¬ as calls These promoting himself miscalled a liberals pay employees and an watch 10 them make announcement is not These men true any They are liberals not meaning of that paternalists are themselves liberals they know that the American people are not yet reconciled to a pater¬ nal control of their lives. They know that the American people still cherish the illusion that they can remain free men and yet be protected by government from all burdens free man and must hazards it because difficult But how voting is not operate than he can for sell disguises dom purpose nis thought Could idea (Continued on page 34) Company (a Wisconsin corporation) of with a political scientist have a Northern States Power use more First Mortgage Bonds, 3% Series due March 1, 1979 persuaded tpe German people ,;to accept the principle of leadei^hip (which has scientific merit) with¬ out the aid of organized terror and military control? Could a political scientist have persuaded ; Dated March 1,. 1949 ' i .2 ' ** '• ' :* • - V . * '• .•/' . ' . ' • ■ , : " ■" ■■ -'i .'•;¥* .. •/"'• • >•'. ' ' p, ice 102.75% and accrued interest the Russian people to accept the of socialism (which have scientific merit) without the organized terror and ruthless rule principles of communist a The Can immediate fu¬ Prospectus may be obtained in any state in which this announcement is circulated from only of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such state. such dictatorship? Self-Govcrnment Be Made politics are being food; just political economy stuffed with statistical HALSEY, STUART & CO. INC. Effective? How, let us ask ourselves, can political scientists persuade the American people to accept new ideas of self-government and ex¬ periment with new techniques in carbohydrates order many DICK & MERLE-SMITH OTIS &, CO. WM. E. POLLOCK & (incorporated) , AUCHINCLOSS, PARKER & REDPATH LAIRD, BISSELL CO., INC. &, MEEDS March 2, 1949 effective, without resort to meas¬ ures of compulsion which them¬ and proteins for decades. But science makes great contribution to human welfare, not by research into the past and mere accumulation of its reliable records. is It to selves make would research Perhaps this task. If experimentation, that nourishes the higher education from which may come the honorable, devoted leadership that humanity so needs in this intricate, bewildering unorthodox In possibly more else, the people anywhere guidance to understand and need settle wasting issues. big issues and their energies In to the to leave it to the chemists, and the tools with which we can enjoy and exploit it. The radio is developed; and under our hands is placed an instrument which is utterly beyond our untrained powers of construction or even comprehension. But it is so fabri¬ cated that, after brief simple in¬ struction, a child can use it to produce orchestral music, news of that by Mr. Richberg at the American University, Wash¬ ington, D. C., Feb. 24, 1949. Mr. Richberg is a member of the law Davies, Richberg, Beebe, Busick & Richardson, Washington, D. C. periments fail, but the amateur be .1 l i i i t is not offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer offering is made only by the Prospectus. an The >. c. to buy these securities. $7,500,000 ex¬ and then upon that now stumbles later competent exploited by of science men Rockland more and For the First reasons indicated I Dated December 1, 1948 scientist, to suggest the desirabil¬ ity of research to develop a few ideas new and be techniques useful Mortgage 3H% Bonds, Series C due 1978 I am venturing on this occasion, as a penitent politician and amateur might Light and Power Company of commerce. Due December 1, 1978 Price 102%% and accrued interest that ambitious to statesmen, and might eventually improve the government of the United States. One idea mental is that The the division of funda¬ political Prospectus may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated from only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. thought in tween our country is not be¬ conservatives, liberals and radicals. Indeed the word "liberal" has been given so many HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. meanings of we one The who sort all be or called believed above others. for He OTIS &. CO. was all believed a man things in himself individual liberals another. original liberal freedom in can unnecessary < announcement permits him to spend sleep¬ impossible. Thousands of such that *An address ,i This is challenge to be picked up first by an amateur, because it is the happy ignorance of the amateur tech¬ physicists and the engineers our physical world of it a can improve firm Indeed petty ends. can impossible an challenge to the on niques necessary to achieve their We is a scientist. "clue to the Treasure-house" that the use it is avoid government and so to especially, the people need guidance to un¬ derstand of less nights seeking to achieve the government, than to us. destructive self-government? into the unknown, and courageous world that lies around self-government be and GREGORY &, SON (incorporated) incorporated BYRD for BROTHERS R. L. DAY &. CO. ROGER S. particularly freedom government from all February 25,1949 restric¬ ^ ». * * * ... i i.». •'a. > -.i A >M('i and by announcing that he is $10,000,000 radio. a the government a to much principle? new y it to a So the politician who is en¬ gaged in taking away your free¬ persuade it; and persuade the voters that assume. his facturers and politicians to install call because offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities. offering is made only by the Prospectus. a people to guidance. He may in¬ vent a voting machine and per¬ suade commercial-minded manu¬ , in word. who an The authority with of over happy and and This hard¬ army Paternalists Are Not Liberals paternal govern¬ a against all can virtuous. the scoff, and government tyrannical abuses of power? The political political humanitarians admirable insurance ships, dif¬ ideas new in I scientist, most is with them. use why it is advance and you modernised men. But a for am neighbors than those greedy makers who destroyed the felloV association. liberal money experimentation, develop techniques of government and teach These more I operating them with a ruthless disregard for the welfare of their original liberal*wanted to your right to make and spend your own money, and other ancient rights of free enterprise, speech these that freedom of private enterprises by The free think money personal preserve The not at liberals. far better conduct and activities. notably liberal in spending political on factual of students have been their on ernment that collects a large share of the earnings of its children so that Uncle Sam can provide them have volumes of we discourse present man do •scoffing angelicize weak hu¬ beings with all necessary restrictions sur¬ your dependents, and for any¬ earn enough for his own insurance. Please to bold ^movements and programs of the past, and away govern¬ earnings, and with this provide insurance for you to pay strong government to liber¬ a alize the its children are employed and properly housed and fed and have no fear of want, a paternal gov¬ else who doesn't one things in freedom has been accomplished, the politi¬ cal scientist must, by research and new more regard¬ us for unemployment modernized that 19 ment that is to make sure that all and your The modernized liberal be¬ lieves above all Unhappily the political scientist must create for tions. for dependents, in¬ the hazards of The age. thinks should tax money man, man old provide, to his against disease, accident, major objective of higher education is to develop a leadership of trained and well-informed persons who may guide their fellow men toward a better world. It is not expected that this guidance will be always welcome or frequently followed. The idealized or money and surance thought liberal should be free to make enough a average original man a himself Deploring misconceptions regarding "liberalism," NRA Chairman under Roosevelt Administration points paternalistic trend in governmental policies under false guise of "liberalism," and proposes a coali¬ tion of Democratic and Republican leaders to fight paternalism and to support the "liberalism" of local self-government. Says this is essential to preserve constitutional government and its success could to a your rights to control your business and social relations. away Where and What Is Liberalism? be achieved in (975) PALMER CO. 20 (976) THE & FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE ducers Standard Delay Sgtahr Answers Pleas for Canadian Securities By WILLIAM J. McKAY Denies would be able paper. = The opening guns have just been fired in the forthcoming Cana¬ dian election campaign. The Liberal incumbents in a bid for the reserve now was on Farmer vote have announced that the initial price for wheat for the five-year period ending Aug. 1, 1950, has been increased from $1.55 to $1.75 per bushel. The initial pay-^ ment covers deliveries to ttie lar to parity with the U. S. dollar, Canadian Wheat Board since Aug. the. Conservative opposition is at¬ the Liberal regime at 1, 1945 and applies only to wheat tacking grown in the Prairie provinces. points where it is the most vulner¬ able. It has long been a source of This attractive bonus to the Prai lie farmers is estimated to total general discontent and a certain $214 million and the distribution bewilderment that, at a time when is will commence March 31. Whether Canada passing through a this gesture will suffice to lure the period of unprecedented prosper¬ disgruntled Farmer vote away ity, the Canadian individual is from the CCF and Social Credit subject to so maqy personal re¬ Also al¬ party lines back into the Liberal strictions and controls. though valid .reasons can be ad¬ camp is highly debatable. On the other side of the political vanced to justify the July, 1946 fence the Progressive Conserv¬ currency move, it unfortunately atives have commenced their of¬ coincided with international de¬ the at change Control Board Act is pre¬ time same to restrictions wartime all remove would like¬ , Executive V i c posits e-P resi¬ dent bonds Economists' i 11 e feared Monetary Pol¬ icy, in on a state¬ "The ques¬ of quacy "The ade¬ of gold reserve com¬ claimants would be withdrawing that argument are we practically at war as a basis for opposition to a gold standard war¬ rants a reminder that we fought the first World War without sus¬ gold payments domesti¬ cally. Today, while our people are denied access to our gold stock, it been .made statement has "The that of because Communism we the are danger from safer with an irredeemable currency. This argu¬ ment have should rency down comes like to irredeemable Socialist We this: cur¬ England or value true the as a leader also had built up U. S. its possible and within the and Western oils, Base metals despite further Bretton ever had during est resistance to downward the the period when the Canadian was trend. advanced the in¬ ternational position then, more than at any period in Canadian history." at 90 cents, and Halsey, Stuart Offers In raising the issues of onerous restrictions on the freedom of the individual, and the government's action in raising the Canadian dol- Calif. Electric Bonds Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. offered the to Feb. public $3,000,000 25 California Electric Power Co. first bonds, mortgage June the its 3% series due 1; 1978 at 100% and accrued interest. CANADIAN BONDS bonds bid firm The of .was ' awarded Harry Sears, President of Calaveras Central Gold Mining Co., in letter to Dr. the demns the MUNICIPAL recent ) CORPORATION bonds sale of A. E. AMES & CO. INCORPORATED • TWO WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, WORTH 4-2400 N. Y. NY and 100,000 the sale from/the" shares of stock, together with company funds, will be used to retire a bank loan of $500,000 and to finance the company's esti¬ mated construction requirements 1-1045 producing gold mine is a fac¬ the gold deposits its raw Newly mined gold is its factory-processed product. The A tory, stock. mine, or operated by private capital. with the ness same freedom en¬ joyed by every other industry. Gold in its natural state is ex¬ empt few government control regulations, but from under Treasury gold producers have much their product in of this form as they to process it to gold producers, who* contribute most by to their valid¬ require that the gold tions which in at $35 per ounce, a turned be price picked out of the atmosphere and established some 15 years ago. I mines Gold owners by held Whether government. location these are their by direct grants from the or as grants are by valid claim ground patented contracts, specifically conveying the gold, and they are property. Rights acquired against the United States, arising out of a contract with it, are^ protected by the Fifth Amend¬ the ment of holds that "Shall without shall no Constitution be deprived of due private which person process of property property law, be nor taken in¬ search for for of But de¬ profit." producers to to then say: you narrow your of the extinguishment of private miners' problems are ownership and enterprise, within simple ones basically. Their un¬ a national industry, and the sub¬ put to the Treasury" at a fixed dertaking requires that they keep stitution therefor of government price. their costs below the fixed selling for 1949. authority. The text of the letter, which has price of $35 per fine ounce, or Regular redemption prices of' been furnished "The Chronicle" If it be claimed that '.he Treas¬ close down. Today, they contend the new bonds are scaled from ury acts in the interest of public follows: that they cannot keep their costs 1041/s% to 100%, while the spe¬ policy, then, having denied the Dr. Walter E. Spahr, below $35 per ounce and, of course, cial redemption prices range from producer "just compensation" it New York University, they do not wish to close down. 101% to 100%. is still a violation of his rights. New York City, N. Y. As a consequence, they are em¬ California Electric Power Co. is The principles of constitutional ploying a variety of arguments in My Dear Dr. Spahr: engaged principally in the genera¬ their efforts to obtain a higher law involved have been directly Although you are an ardent tion, transmission, distribution and decided by the United States Court price for gold. None of them can sale of electric energy/The terri¬ supporter of gold and clearly rec¬ of Claims which ruled in 1946 that have validity since a higher price tory served covers extensive areas ognize that without it our mone¬ private property cannot be "taken for gold would impair our mone¬ in California, including San Ber¬ tary system would be impotent, for public use without just com¬ tary standard." nardino, Ft i v e r s i d e and Palm part of your remarks published pensation." The governinent had Aside from the impertinence of Springs and also sections of Ne¬ recently in the "Commercial & Fi¬ requisitioned 125,000 pounds of vada. The company, through a nancial Chronicle," New York, on your words in thus airing your meat for the Army, and insisted views from the ivory tower of the subsidiary, sells ice in portions of the subject of a free gold market that the packing house accept the ardent economist, you seem to Imperial and Riverside Counties, seems to indicate the necessity of OPA price in payment. The pack¬ have overlooked several facts and Calif. Other subsidiaries of the reminding you that we are still ing house said it would lose mon¬ citizens of the United States and speaking as an owner and oper¬ company supply telephone and ey at the OPA price. Admitting ator of a California gold mine I telegraph service in California and that we still have our .Constitu¬ (Continued on page 38) would remind you that gold pro¬ tion. . CANADIAN STOCKS gold government and stocks for monetary use. gold at a price fixed by the gov¬ ernment, and is denied the right nying a free thinking, discard justice and equity to seek another purchaser and re¬ market for and speaking of gold producers, ceive a higher price, it is clearly processed the very ones who can contribute a violation of his property rights most effectively to the beneficial gold and com¬ guaranteed under the Fifth pelling gold effects you outline, you have this Amendment. It is a direct instance justice preference PROVINCIAL modity, public use without just' com¬ pensation." All gold mines contain gold in In a letter, dated Feb. 22, written to Dr. Walter E. Spahr in refer¬ its natural state, that is the con¬ ence to statements made by the latter published in "The Chronicle" dition in which the government „(see issue of<*> granted it to the owners and that You have pointed out the very Jan. 27, p. 24), is the condition in which gold economic producers find it. In or out of the Harry Sears, advantages for world President of uplift which a free market for ground it still remains the private the Calaveras newly mined gold will produce, property of the owners. This is Central Gold when you say: equally true whether the gold re¬ "Foreign trade will open up and mains -in Mining Co., its natural state or Ltd., Angels expand when individual traders whether it is processed. Camp., Calif., can get gold and other good money When a producer is compelled severely con¬ and go where they will in their to yield up any of this processed 99.515. new says regulations that are unconstitutional and doubtful as ity. Scores denial of free gold market. competitive sale on at Spahr, Ltd., effectively to beneficial effects of gold standard, are hampered The net proceeds from of GOVERNMENT rights, if they will assert them. are Objects to Spahr's Criticism of Gold Producers York. New in tone The dollars she have wide popular appeal. Woods spectacular drilling results in Al¬ Conservative berta, were the heaviest losers in stated "that Canada the decline. The gold issues oh the highest reserve of the other hand showed the great¬ of terms Agreement." near they that and Canada is non-gold asset cash is as being robbed, important realize that they are compelled funds, others would be making de¬ Communist Russia because they posits, thus enabling banks to might throw us into an irredeem¬ some extent in order to extract it. perhaps the only coun¬ This processing brings most gold operate on the principle of aver¬ able currency should we try to try in the world still operating producers under Treasury regula¬ ages and to economize in the use make our currency redeemable. under wartime wise make , dollar They never had it. Their propaganda over the years, how¬ ever, has been so effective that even some gold producers do not gold factory, is owned or Grants or title to mining properties are issued by the government which is at the disposal and mercy of having granted the full constitu¬ foreign central banks, some of tional rights to own and hold which are dominated by Socialist thereafter denies the or other authoritarian govern¬ property, equal right to operate the busi¬ ments. pending restrictions, which "If our Federal Reserve banks of their gold. shortly in the House of could take this step with favorable "There is never "enough of any¬ were able, under a gold coin Commons, it is certain that it will chances of success. thing to go around if it has value. standard of 35 paper dollars per be strongly contested by the Con¬ : ^During the week th|re w&s litoe There arb not enough bridges, ele¬ ounce, to pay out gold against servative opposition. The debate change in the external section bf vators, subways, ships, or trains their note and deposit liabilities, on this bill will also provide the the bond market but there was a for use if all who might demand they could pay out," points out Dr. Conservatives with an opportunity fractional rise in internal Domin¬ their services demand them at to criticize the action Of the Cana¬ Spahr, "over $23 billion, or 70ions in sympathy with the strength once. dian 100 times as much as they could government in raising the of free funds which rallied on "During 1915-1932, when we Canadian dollar to its present par¬ light trading to 6%%. The cor¬ were on a gold standard, the aver- j Pa3r out ity. porate-arbitrage rate was steady age ratio of gold to money and de- recent months." In the cou'rse of his last weekly at 14y2%-14%. Stocks after touch¬ press conference Mr. Drew prom¬ ing in most instances the lowest ised "that a Progressive Conserv¬ levels of the year finally rallied ative Government would revalue in sympathy with the improved Canadian der, rule or practice, under pre¬ tense of authority. V -An essential part of the New Dealers' drive against gold was their claim of exclusive right to control it. They possess no such quarters, the There is a vast legal difference gold stock to money between newly mined gold, a comf certain our deposits and such E bonds would still be as much as 10.5% for 1948. Feb. 25. tion considered the equiv¬ deposits and utilsubversive purposes'as in of ratio released ment for izable on e 8.6%. In 1948, the aver¬ If $32 billion of E 12.3%. were alent to demand National Comm was age was the of sented the Deal planners of action this achieved by a department or¬ was stressing dangers from the Liberal gov¬ by their new and Parliament, to adopt New its give subversive elements through holdings of E bonds or from alleged inadequate gold supply as back¬ ing for our monetary system under a gold coin standard at 35 paper dollars per ounce of fine gold are challenged by Dr. Walter E. Spahr, right. Statements against arbitrary controls over agricul¬ ture, industry and finance. When therefore the bill that provides for the extension of the Foreign Ex¬ laws in the desired freedom gold standard. velopments, notably the British pared with lia¬ ernment led .currency crisis, that were largely bilities and virile Party Leader George Drew. instrumental in throwing a heavy demand Walter E. Spahr In a recent speech at Montreal the pressure on the Canadian ex¬ against it," Dr. Conservative spokesman casti¬ change reserves. Spahr says, gated the government for its at¬ It is thus no difficult task to "is linked since the 17th Century tempts to obtain extensions of its convince a large body of the Cana¬ with the introduction of the frac¬ wartime emergency powers, which, dian electorate that -the unpopular tional reserve system when the in his opinion, have no place in austerity measures were the direct world began to depart from the the peacetime administration of result of a grievous error on the 100% reserve of the goldsmiths any democracy. Mr. Drew pointed part of the government in chang¬ and when banks created note and nut that under wartime orders still ing the parity of the dollar. The deposit liabilities in excess of in force the Canadian government proposal to permit the Canadian their metallic reserves. The as¬ is empowered, without reference dollar to find its "true" level and sumption was that while some to sweeping fensive not and dethan during period when nation Says ratio of gold to money posits is greater . Congress was. told to pass spite of'doubts -as to their validity 1 or constitutionality. If the law did is insufficient and that nation safer from Communism under irredeem¬ gold hampered by regula- are Tions-'dating back to that'era when Nevada. Harry Sears sell their out¬ "The gold Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL Is the impossible. In this case, mak¬ ing the dollar redeemable in gold Paper is Gold Is kets, We - and Answering Dr. Spahr's criticisms of gold mining industry for seek¬ ing higher price for gold, mining executive denies this is a case of in I: gold. < Says making the dollar redeemable in gold at $35 impossible and undesirable unless we go back to 1939 gold market. Free Gold Market" by Dr. Walter Spahr, Executive Vice-President has taken Monetary Policy. Dr. Spahr on $35 of supply and demand affecting both gold and paper." mining task lorces to (a) for asking for believe I above is state¬ a which gold miners and ment with an the "increase in economists would oe in full agree¬ the of ment. price gold," (b) asking for the out the Value of we market p u r p o s es Spahr demption of (c) asking for subsidy a the industry. He the of sick 1939-. taking ther when agitation, creating rapidly becoming mine goia people (Italics the United Dr. explain States be the most part represent per¬ opinions on what has ap¬ highly a contro¬ versial subject. In the second place, the gold miners are willing to concede a voice to anyone who has anything to contribute to such discussions, but they will fight for their right to do the same. In the third place, Dr. Spahr's arguments will not stand up under searching analysis. The tenor ticle leaves sion that Dr. of one he Spahr's statements by the gold miners will lead to great about of deal the the value a confused thinking relationship between of gold and our paper and that gold miners will money use some sinister power to in¬ fluence people to "raise the price of gold." First j, of all, the gold mining has no more power to industry "increase the price of gold" than they do the price of chickpeas and perhaps even less. 'The forces which in determine these variations price quote from his article: "Whenever the fixed rests direct the link cline terms be¬ terms the of paper itals or in¬ of gold will de¬ price of gold in will rise. This is IS GOLD (the cap¬ mine). Under such con¬ ditions, the paper money price of gold will be determined by the are recognized. dollar with gold. This applies rencies. tions When one reads not relative spective values currencies if mankind na¬ their one sented before on in re¬ wonders be order that determined against gold "It questing for that the where value dollar industry free a is market normal miner will gold, whether pounds, pesos give his that be or dollars. be Nelson does,not change. the that is currency essential in when a . gold . Can you Now imagine that! he has just about reached the conclusion that he will not be pushed around anymore guided theorists. He is of have his say whether it is found in palatable They to stick believe that this market should be or as will He can. not and he serve his miner could trade his product for gold becomes less confused rather currencies, than the will In China, buy the they same say a amount This announcement is not market, established in the but where only the currencies his country's seeing that interests the reverse. ; : offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities. offering is made only by the Prospectus. $3,000,000 California Electric Power Company First Mortgage Bonds, 3% Series due 1978 worth Dated June 1, 1948 Due June 1, 1978 Price 100% and accrued interest HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. result of cutting our dollar free gold has been to decrease its purchasing power. How and why of the In part February 25,1949 by the increasing of wages and in part by the high increase in taxes, both of which are reflected in the selling of price increased type of Wages were every part as of This announcement is not political a offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer offering is made only by the Prospectus. an The taxes; were increased program and to buy these securities. partly because of the war, partly because of a political program and partly because of changing world The paper dollar has $2,150,000 conditions. value in itself, its sole value is no in what it will buy, and today it will buy only 50 cents (in gold) of goods. Dr. Spahr pro¬ posed to sell everyone who brings in a paper dollar 1/35 of an ounce of gold when the paper dollar worth will of only buy 1/70 of an Worcester Gas First Mortgage ounce If any fraud has been proposed by any¬ gold worth of goods. Light Company Sinking Fund 314% Bonds, Series A, Due 1969 Dated this is it. one February 1, 1949 Due February 1, 1969 Pursuing this type of thinking to its ultimate with must selves it as one program, We find Price 101.47% and accrued interest our¬ price in a new goods twice as high our was new have? establishing gold for as conclusion every we in 1939. Every exporter of will markets, a find himself perhaps of program losing forever, making the The Prospectus may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated from only the undersigned and such other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. under dollar redeemable with our present wage HALSEY, STUART & CO. INC. and tax rates. Redeemable Ounce The of gold Currency at Gold miners $35 per Impossible are practical March 2, 1949 best thinking an The from power he and tionship. dollar free Tne only the amouni goods it will buy. Today's dollar will buy about one-half oi wnai it would in 1939, so the net decreased? as own United States where not measureu? purchasing going a of been is close to the facts measurement left is by the by mis¬ going to rious ideas pertain as to that rela¬ If one cannot measure the value dollar pe- > of currency against gold then how has a In various parts of the world va¬ experience of centuries. be that . envisaged for the postwar gold it drifts to lower and lower This has been the it 19, mining should levels of value. can Dec. on He says, and rightfully, that currency is cut loose from pre¬ follows: as riod." as trade ounce price be ' re¬ will determine the price at which the is reduction the proper the Donald 1944, in part to be. testimony House Committee a which Mr. Milo Perkins wrote Mr. A Free Gold Market Desirable In nearly three years under the He has read in the is really as intelligent it is purported as of govern¬ infamous Limitation Order L-208. resorting to barter because they cannot reach agreement the for cur¬ of the seen plants, or taxes, or paying for keeping water pumped from his mines, not fox days or weeks, but relationship only to the dollar, but to all curren¬ goods direct a be existing has arbitrarily close his mines short notice with no provision made for paying insurance on his gold miners only ask that present » on in value, irredemeeable in GOLD decrease the of i ing power of He ment an a automobiles, of industrial ma¬ chinery and of manufactured a simply because PAPER IS PAPER AND Actually, or 1 redeemability and paper is of upon process value Gold Spahr talks of increas¬ Dr. what do tween paper money and gold is broken regardless of whether the link new he does for 1/35 of done lowered. or measured. but much stronger than they. In fact, Dr. Spahr makes this quite clear himself and I are is to he most being is goods and services. ar¬ with the impres¬ believes at¬ that goods for many of gold. The the as established would recognize relationship of purchas¬ gentlemen premise and price of gold can less. ' - between people wno profess to know something of the matter anq be billion others. are ing the price of gold he recognizes not that the gold is worth more, against the people of tne United States is pure balaerdash. In the first place these discussions are to $5 person procedure These why. that the the value of gold The statement that the agitation the gold miners is developing into a case of tne gold miners peared thinking raised When of sonal a the of some cies increase ket, but they do not advocate subsidies. Tney do not believe in for is are record increased price for gold" and they do advocate a free mar¬ > practical ounce standard against which currencies tne - to opposed that an subsidies. another increase start with the wrong The gold miners- do advo¬ cate is tne continuing further I matve re¬ We, the gold miners, the Spahr's.) to debt the to dollar a as or ,The gold miner, besides being a practical man, is also a patient find you 21 could be traded for currencies for gold. ideas man. should deliver War $5 billion per another is the in¬ of ounce the believes who anyone was to There per year. World an places vocate is versus of like clear. of case inteiesis are Before wouia a which amounting No of other but nowhere-can vary, of wounded care 1/100 of as Tn (977) by Dr. Spahr and others wno ad¬ such a policy, and I will consequently, situation a to he that confused says: "Their is and believe the money by gold for $35. a "price in¬ of opposed crease" he on- as paid One of these is veterans more; or terest gross tax same amounting year be¬ logical paper free market. far¬ goes 1939 have assumed new bur¬ the cost of the advocates ounce one is ne gold min¬ ing Neil O'Donnell gold, for than purely would < Not Gold Dr. and for tempt to get wages and taxes back to 1939 levels. Therefore, the Currency Changes, C free gold a and tax wage taxes lower be to assessed in and but nave I establishment of would ; /Aj.->;/■? governmental II, the^ industry ounce, per we so ' gold redeemable dens which would have to be On Jan. 20 of this year there appeared in the pages of the "Com& Financial Chronicle" an article entitled "The Question of of the Economists' National Committee dollar do fact, have and at to goods gold. as we back to 1939 go In mercial a gold cause Advocates free lax rates. order to rates. per ounce wage - in vs. the of goods at the had in 1939 our gold price make and People of the United States." Asserts, since gold is standard of value, its value does not change, but actually the currencies increase or decrease in value in terms of is procedure gold of our a is undesirable. such as keep can ' - . same "Gold Mine Interests such will double the cost in Mines Corporation, Grass Valley, Calif. - noted j As salable goods in the world's mar¬ Executive Vice-President, Idaho Maryland • • attempting the impossible. L have By NEIL O'DONNELL ,;; CHRONICLE FINANCIAL and they would not attempt men \\ & by about 22 (978) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Cruttenden & Go. to Securities Salesman's Corner Admit Robert CHICAGO, Podesta partner Confidence but and —that this and to is an that will survive as axiom create—that without this long as men Street, He household of out was furniture and came Podesta two small job. His sole assets consisted of some $75 in his pocket. It was in 1933, at the see the head of a things that his old friends were no longer connected with the investment house where he hoped he could get a job. Remember this was in 1933 (and if you think that business is a little bumpy changed so Anyway he asked for a job as a salesman. In those days drawing accounts just were NOT. So one of the first things he was asked was, "How much money have you got?" He told his prospective employer that all he had was $75 in his pocket, and that he also had his wife and two children at home that had to eat and have a roof over their heads. Of course he today you should have been around then). was told to forget about it—that it wasn't possible in times like at that time to do enough business to get a of a job such as he was attempting. But he said those which prevailed start and make a go could DO IT. He told his prospective boss to give him a desk, a telephone and some names to call on, and HE SOLD HIS FIRST PROSPECT. He got the job. He not only got the job but he went to work. He told me that he never even thought of the thought he he agerofthe trading de¬ partment f or Robert Podesta A. Julien & Collins most Co. of the due, Offers ferent Inc. and underwriting the Co. & Read Dillion, associates are offering by Southwestern Public Service of Co. common new to its common the stock may common the for stock new rate the share at share for holders of subscribe offer, company's the shares of 112,486 stock, $1 par value, stockholders. Under each $25 at of one per new shares held of 11 sub¬ scription warrants which will ex¬ pire at 4 p.m. EST, March 8, 1949, carry an additional right to sub¬ scribe, subject to allotment, to shares not taken by stockholders Feb. record The 1949. 23, grocery just went out and picked out a few GOOD SITUATIONS that we in with all our conviction and sincere understanding— and if we made up our minds that come hell or high water that this amount of believed of not going to the dogs—that people who bought good securities and received income from those securities would someday like to thank us for selling them—within TWO WEEKS AFTER from the was outstanding serial notes Cash proceeds the sale of the stock and the from company. private sale of the bonds and debentures are to be used for the construction of additions and THAT WAY, AND TO improvements to the company's WORK AGAIN WITH OUR HEADS AND OUR LEGS AS WELL— properties and to repay bank IF WE GOT UP OFF OUR CHAIRS AND WE STARTED TO MOVE loans obtained for such purposes. FORWARD FOR A CHANGE — WE WOULD HAVE A BULL Giving effect to the offering to EVERYONE OF US STARTED- TO THINK MARKET STARTED AGAIN. At least we can have one of our own. can work. stockholders if he is a man he does it— When a man has to do a job; and when he gets - We can believe—and we started doing it, the funny part of it is THAT HE BEGINS TO LIKE IT. pany debt Halsey, Stuart Group Offers Rockland Bonds i these bonds will be applied to re¬ tire $7,500,000 of short-term bor¬ rowings already made for interim financing of a major part of the company's General construction are program. prices redemption the series C bonds for scaled from Jerome Murtha V.-P. Jerome P. Murtha, sales demption prices 102 y4% to 100%. Graham Parsons & Rockland Light range from Homer and Power Co. is engaged in the business of gen¬ erating, manufacturing, and purchas¬ Broad O'Connell its (1) The Act has greatly in¬ vigorated the trade-union move¬ ment. It has made union leaders the and the Vice-President' and The Oklahoma Dividends on ended Nov. 30, the common stock share for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 1948. A regular quarterly dividend of 50 cents was paid Dec. 1, 1948, totaled $1.70 per another dividend of 50 cents importance public of good will or ill will. closed shop and has establish helped unions union the shop in plants where the only form of union security had been a main¬ tenance-of-membership clause. (3) Although the Act temporar¬ ily interfered with the organizing activities of some unions by caus¬ or defective in a number of ways, including the ridiculous requirement that a government agency conduct a vote on whether safety are the not or failure to report of the the on imperil the safety, and the or provide settlement a shall men national health dent to (2) The Act has demonstrated the overwhelming desire of union members for the union shop or health national the threaten for any final dispute beyond case by the Presi¬ Congress. provisions the Among should be included in to the Taft-Hartley accord¬ the fol¬ Act, Slichter, ing to Mr. lowing: which successor a are (1) Protection of the right to organize, against the use of eco¬ nomic coercion by either em¬ ployers or unions. ing them to devote their organiz¬ Protection of the right of workers to pick their bargaining ing staffs to union-shop elections, it has not halted the rise in union from any source. which increased during the first membership about much as (2) agents interference from free (3) Authorization of closed shop contracts, but protection of year of the Act as during the year preceding its passage. the right of workers to (4) The Act has greatly stimu¬ lated interest in political activities tion trade unions and has helped unions to increase their political power. (5) The Act has had no lasting effect on the number of unfair among practice brought charges against employers. About one un¬ fair labor practice charge has been brought against a union for every five brought against employers. The Act has weakened the (6) of influence Communists in the movement, but other conditions have contributed to this trade-union result. reasonable union of join unions and terms protec¬ from members ar¬ bitrarily being deprived of mem¬ bership or being disciplined. (4) over Provisions making strikes jurisdiction of unions an the unfair labor practice. (5) Workable provisions dealing with disputes which peril the national health or for im¬ safety. Lovejoy Admitted to Partnership Bache Donald M. Lovejoy, member a of the New York Stock Exchange the Among Professor the law on provisions Slichter finds which good since in 1933, has been admitted as are: agents gaining without coercion or restraint from either employers or unions. (3) Removal of the ambiguity in the Wagner Act as to whether supervisors are employees within the meaning of the Act. (4) Requirement that both em¬ ployers and unions bargain in good faith. Donald a M. Lovejoy genergl partner of Bache & Co., 36 Wall Street, New York City, Limitations on financial effective March 1, it is announced. payments by employers to union Mr. Lovejoy was formerly a representatives — especially those partner of Jenks, Kirkland & Co., provisions designed to protect of Philadelphia. He is a resident health and pension funds against of Greenwich, Conn. (5) abuse. formerly of Co., Inc., 25 Director the unions provisions of the Act for with disputes which gaining representative. (2) Protection of employees in their right to choose their bar¬ 1948, were $15,316,343 and net in¬ come was $3,674,116. Marx Co.* as a of Opens Branch SPARTANBURG, Co., has joined & and months letting of organizations become too dependent upon the government and has demonstrated to trade their The dealing union other than the certified bar¬ company 12 dangdr the by demonstrating strong desire of workers for a union shop but they are no longer needed and should not be required by a new law. useful purpose op¬ Service the territory served by includes the Texas Panhandle, the South Plains region of Texas and the Pecos Valley region in New Mexico. Operating revenues for tricity. the or generation, sale of elec¬ Public is business supporters of ■ the ponents of the law. Among the most important results have been the following: aware w i shop elections served The union y Slichter, have dif¬ anticipated by those than either prohibit the closed (1) Protection of employers against strikes and boycotts de¬ signed to compel them to violate the law by bargaining with a is payable March 1, 1949 to stock¬ holders of record Feb. 15, 1949. manager Street, New York City, ing, transmitting, distributing and the firm. syndicate com¬ stock. common transmission and Of Homer O'Connell 105^4% to 100% while special re¬ of Southwestern a e 1,349,832 stock, and preferred Co.'s the will have outstanding funded of $44,133,000; 94,600 shares shares selling sale of the the and debentures and bonds of electricity and gas for lighting, heating, industrial and general utility purposes. The com¬ pany serves two areas in New York State, the Eastern Division An underwriting group headed comprising practically all of Rock¬ by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. on land County, and the Western Di¬ Feb. 25 offered publicly $7,500,000 vision comprising parts of Orange Rockland Light and Power Co. and Sullivan Counties. The area first mortgage bonds, series C, served is about 625 square miles. 3%% due Dec. 1. 1978 at 102y4% Associated in the offering are and accrued interest. The group Otis & Co.; Gregory & Son, Inc.; was awarded the bonds at com¬ R. L. Day & Co.; Byrd Brothers; petitive sale on its bid of 101.58. and Roger S. Palmer Co. Net proceeds from the sale of ing the right of workers to obtain or retain union membership shop altogether. keen very Utility Stock we country therefore, is to protect the closed shop against abuses by safeguard¬ Professor Prof. S. H. Slichter labor was gravely disturbing em¬ ployer-union relations in many industries. The wise procedure, A c t, a ccording to Dillon, Read Group well-es¬ a which is the without rather than to 1 is shop institution outgrowth of American conditions and which cannot be prohibited the Taft-Hart- to that impor¬ closed tablished tant results of that date. on The em¬ Some of the will retire from Tuerk Conrad the firm - good and bad points in the present a n d the proposed legislation. bills unpaid, of the clothes that upon the exercise of their pre¬ had to be bought. He never even thought about what would happen emptive rights. if he didn't do business. He just went to WORK. He worked day An agreement between the and night. He worked-until 1Q at night for a whole year. HE PUT jcompany and Dillon,- Read & Co. 93 ACCOUNTS ON THE BOOKS IN ABOUT NINE MONTHS AND Inc. provides that the investment HE MADE MORE MONEY IN ONE YEAR THAN HE HAD EVER banking firm will act as dealerMADE BEFORE IN HIS LIFE. He told me he finally had to quit manager of a group of securities such intensive effort because he couldn't keep it up. But the point dealers in soliciting the exercise is that he believed he could do it and he worked, and worked, and of subscription warrants. worked ' V^ -■::>-V"/., ■; Prior to issuance of the stock, I do believe that work is the best antidote for worry. I am sure the company will sell to three in¬ that it is the greatest tonic that anyone can ever find, and if you stitutional investors $4,000,000 believe in yourself no^one or anything can keep you from success. first mortgage bonds, 3V4% series This may sound trite—in fact I know that it is—but if you want a due 1979, and $7,500,000 deben¬ classic example of the power of supreme self-confidence in the face tures of 3V2% series due 1974 in of what everyone said was insurmountable odds—Harry Truman's accordance with a contract pre¬ campaign and his eventual election is living proof that the greatest viously negotiated by Dillon, force in life is SELF-CONFIDENCE. I also believe that if those Read & Co. Inc. payment for of us in the securities business threw all thoughts of failure out of $2,170,000 of the new debentures our minds—all pessimism about the future completely aside—all in¬ is to be made by delivery for hibitions regarding the market and the future course of prices—if cancellation of a like principal rent em-<s> on points out the was formerly man- certain firm where he thought he might be remembered, but had on March 15. Mr. a down to Wall Street and he went to and ployee rela¬ tionships and Exchanges, of Eco¬ nomics," published by the Department of Economics of Harvard Uni¬ versity, discusses the effects of the Taft-Hartley Act on trade unions Chicago Stock depths of the depression and he was out of a job. He mem¬ noted Harvard economist, in an article published in the February issue of the "Quarterly Journal plo.yer and He had been a securities salesman back in the twenties but he got out of the business in 1930 and then he tried several other lines, but like many others he just could not make a go of it. Finally, he decided that he ought to go back to the investment business. He remembered that he had done fairly well in the good years, and after all there was little else that he hadn't tried. He was really up against it—like many others in those days. So possibly out of desperation he figured out that the securities business might offer him the chance to make a living that he could not seem to find in other lines. very shop contracts. bers of the that if you have it, eventually success is a certainty. Some years ago I knew a fellow who had a wife and children. of labor. Favors authorization of closed power New York and try to do spark real success cannot be, Salle La political Prof. Sumner H. Slichter, & Co., 209 South already certain column, be that as it may, there is one thing that bears repeating over over again. On this point I am certain that there is no substitute increased a in Cruttenden There is very little that is new that most of us do not know regarding the art of salesmanship. Sometimes I feel that I am saying the same things over and over in this little of "Quarterly Journal of Eco¬ nomics," holds law has invigorated trade union movement and has will become Analyzes Taft-Hartley Act Harvard economist, in current issue Robert — ========== By JOHN DUTTON Prof. Slichter ; Podesta ILL. Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE S. C.—Marx & Co., members of the New York Stock Exchange, have opened a branch office at 505 East Main Among the provisions in this act Slichter finds prohibition of the closed shop, the requirement of union shop elections, and the pro¬ visions for handling disputes which bad Professor are the To Be Walters, Effective name March Street; New York City, of the New York and which Stock Gerald or to Walters, Peck A. Fagan, Jr. 1 the of Stevens & Legg, 11 Street, under the management of imperil the national health safety. Peck Co. Exchanges, was & Co. firrp Wall members Chicago changed Volume COMMERCIAL THE 'Number 4782 169 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (979) ing and improving social security —but they call our proposals a "Special Interests My Fight": President Truman the American. at for They claim to be in housing—but they say price support. President ocratic annual Jefferson-Jackson Day Dinner of the Dem¬ Feb. 25 renewed his campaign attacks on the "special in- Harry S. Truman at the party at Washington on rent he long and glorious history. Through its founders and leaders, whom we obstruct¬ are ing the enact¬ ment back to honor tonight, its roots go his the proposals b y however Congress he to again tour p p o r t lor I s program. The of refusal "our Truman with his The full text of the President's address follows: Mr. Chairmfan, ladies and gen¬ tlemen: happy occasion for the a Democratic party. I know that all the gatherings of our party, throughout the country, are as cheerful of them I this one, and I give all as more from the same party has served its country so well that the people have indorsed it for the fifth consecutive time. I am aware that this was some¬ ters. I were even with surprise in certain quar¬ told that am some persons making elaborate plans, relish, to buy considerable the Democratic party and all that it stands for. were like certain friends of Andrew memory we are Jackson, whose honoring tonight. Once upon a time there were number of citizens who thought that Andrew have pense Jackson ought to suitable coffin. At great ex¬ a they went to Syria and chased a pur¬ marble sarcophagus. A as you know, is a big marble coffin with a sarcophagus, tomb—a marble lid. These citizens then shipped this marble box to Wash¬ ington, which was quite a job, as it weighed four or five tons. At last, they thought, resting place had been for ect suitable a provided Andrew Jackson. The only trouble with the proj¬ that Andrew Jackson-was was not dead. Moreover, he wasn't ready to die. He did not intend to be hurried to the grave. to is is to enact into that the people Courteously but firmly he wrote these well-meaning citizens, said, "I must decline the in¬ tended honor." what are we We are meeting determined op¬ position. The special interests are fighting just us as if had they of Nov. 2. For them heard never campaigns and elections just are preliminary exhibition -matches— the fight in Congress is the main bout. year days a a on the in and year out—-seven week, and twenty-four day. They work through their lobbies and pressure groups, editorial the through pages and columnists and commentators the they control. They twist and mis¬ represent the measures the people voted for. They are agairy trying with the old, wornout bugaboo that social¬ ism is taking over in Washington. to frighten the people This one-sided barrage of prop¬ aganda seems overwhelming at first. There are no full-page ads on our side. In fact—all side we our ment what their I think that this little story has It is this: Before you to bury a good Democrat, better be sure he is dead. There is another lesson you can derive from the you the cannot as more bury long as recent past: Democratic the it is working for welfare and the of the people advancement of this nation. People's Welfare Against "Special Interests" The central issue of the cam¬ paign last fall was the welfare of all the people against special priv¬ ilege for the few. When we for weak they can¬ collective so made it clear where the working men and this country and they of | will not rest until it is destroyed. After the would election, I thought have the I felt that sure the Re¬ publican party would be anxious throw to the Taft-Hartley faster than the the our The We and working for its repeal; the support of fairAmericans, regardless of we will continue to work with minded party, for its upon repeal until it is replaced our statute books with The same die-hard reactionaries who want to cripple labor unions have, also started, a campaign of confusion measures against for the people.. They say they all President, and the rec¬ Representatives and as they are now. This concern on the part of the people is a fine thing for the growth of democracy and respon¬ sible government, I proposed, to do all I can to help it along. In fact, I may even get on the train again these I ask facts interests another make around tour the country to tell the people how their government is getting on. If we to In price supports. further favor of support of nation¬ to in be favor of prosperity, I have submitted Congress proposals for maintaining full production and lull employment. the to The proposals I made are de¬ signed to aid business in increas¬ and propose. We will their be propaganda. efforts the not to their will enact we which to by Despite confuse, programs deceived are we committed. We can and we our will provide people. a heart of our program determination to preserve health of our economy. We our that the 'welfare the of whole nation depends upon keep¬ ing our economy well balanced —seeing to it that each group gets fair share produce. The special of the goods we have at¬ interests tacked every governmental meas¬ ure we These have devised to are being at¬ special interests who are making excessive profits out of present shortages. And keep an example, last a selfish blind try that they failed. We must not let to us special groups the common good. of success business every enterprise depends upon the pros¬ perity of the whole country. Your government is pledged to use all its our health means must A j'jf other of the ■.. that government must and ests using are to This announcement is not an government able and willing to a<?t in the interest of the whole nothing government ready to let 20s, the collapse on a better friend of free (Continued de¬ a is competitive enterprise than on page 24) offerof securitiesfor sate or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. February 28, 1949 112,486 Shares Southwestern Public Service Company Common Stock Par Value $1 per Transferable subscription warrants in bearer form shares have been issued Share evidencing rights to subscribe for these by the Company to holders of its Common Stock, which warrants expire at 4 o'clock P.M. Eastern Standard Time, March 8,1949, prospectus. Common Stock may be offered by the underwriters as as is more fully set forth in the set forth in the prospectus. * • Subscription Price to Warrant Holders $25 per share our Copies oj the prospectus Right now the special interests are using every trick they can think of to defeat our labor policy. map he. obtained from such oj the undersigned (u'ho the underwriters named in the prospectus) as map Icgaltp these securities under applicable securities laws. are among ojjcr Calls for Taft-Hartley Act Repeal After election, hardly any¬ good word to say about the Taft-Hartley act. But now, when I ask the Con¬ gress to repeal the Taft-Hartley act, exactly as I said I would in the campaign, there are great out¬ cries from the special interests. "He can't mean it," they say, "re¬ peal the Taft-Hartley act? Repeal that beneficent, charitable, kindly old a statute—the charter of the and workingman's Why, it's unthinkable!" labor friend! And issue the people made it clear that the they stood with us. act they keep this up night day in an effort, to convince people that the Taft-Hartley is a good law. But it's no use. All Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. the had body the oratory in the world It act, economy be aware of special inter¬ obstruct act judiciously—but -These farm-price supports are actually supports for our entire for extend¬ of farm prices brought special interests. It is important that the Amer¬ should eco¬ the of country and prevent depression. To do this —wisely coun¬ to maintain the resources nomic am people the demands of The some good thing for the to easy group resentation. selfish groups tried to destroy our farm pric^-support program. It is those be misled by a of special interests engaged in a campaign of misrep¬ to year is It small economy on an even keel. As proposals by the usual outcries about regimen¬ tation are now filling the air. Health of Our Economy its to prevent shortages from, driving certain industrial prices higher while farm prices are lev¬ eling off. tacked better life for the production and eliminating bottlenecks; they are designed to keep price movements balanced, keep the people fully in¬ tactics that the the raise their usual hue and cry about the cost of confident that they will support the Congress and the President in our fight against the the to you when begin Senators and and from economy. In the our welfare are claim a labor law that is fair and decent. farmer protected program. special we know are the are ing the party, in its platform, is solemnly committed to work for repeal of the TaftHartley act. time collapse by the farm price- support our great river basins they raise the old cry of "super state" every practical step should Democratic in are developing lies follow is clear. this a remember re —but Republicans party is coun¬ wide they say They At course control good wages—but they argue that the minimum wage should be held a starvation level. about that. do, rent whole dragged the economy such en¬ down to got rid of Jonah, I am beginning to think that maybe I was wrong No matter what the until They act sailors they pealed. we cooperation of friends in this Republican our But the mistake ords of their and to women tenants was the and the Democratic party stood on that The Democratic party has had a rnlt of low- courage landlords to lock out their about programs. Smithsonian Insti¬ tution. party device but — which the govern¬ doing. Make no mis¬ it, there has never been a time when the people were so well informed about Congress, take in front of the you "a home J> try down to bread lines and bank failures. They make speeches about the American and economy to is the in terested And they never did get Old Hickory into that thing. You can still see it, if you're interested, out moral in it. it a agriculture spread have people. enough—because the people are aroused. I did a lot of traveling around the country last fall, and I found that the people were vitally in¬ on ican offer a effective on overboard exactly formed, I and a called carry effort. But that is These persons a now of doing. hours Incidentally, this is where I expected to be. What I feel tonight is not per¬ sonal pride or elation; it is a deep satisfaction that our a Convention forthright. The special interests are old stand. thing of job That happy to be here talking job to you once firmly dedicated to a in the interest of all the The platform adopted at law the programs need and deserve. greetings. am say Democratic the Our cooperate party in repealing the Taft-Hart¬ ley law. This is to 1948 is clear and publican to Senator making unions more people. President Re- friends" into Taft-Hartley act was before the Congress, a Republican not that never has the Democratic party program critical the it law When the end in itself. The only an proud am been particu¬ larly of glorious bad a party is not and never our before President was and change justification for the Democratic bargaining." That was true then, and it is party is its usefulness to the American people in achieving the true now, The Taft-Hartley act is an ingovernment they desire. gain popular h i ancient has been the country to s u be, may and tnreatened But Revolution. American of won't good law. ultimately because it does too much for lowincome families. terests" which, claimed, housing program is favor our in pression system that will character of every destroy Jefferson-Jackson Day Dinner, calls for enactment of his measures and threatens to tour support. Calls for Taft-Hartley Act repeal, for broader social security and continued farm President, nation bureaucratic i. E. H. Rollins & Sons Eastman, Dillon & Co. Blyth & Co., Inc. Incorporated Goldman, Sachs & Co. Harriman Ripley & Co. Incorporated Stone & Webster Securities White, Weld & Co. .«■ Corporation Union Securities Corporation G. H. Walker & Co. The Milwaukee Kidder, Peabody & Co. V'' Rauscber, Pierce & Co. Inc. Company a do- THE (980) 24 COMMERCIAL Purchasing Agents See Business Leveling Off Inventories industrial became more in noticeable December and January, has continued through ruary there Feb¬ but , def¬ are inite signs that its month, over 40% of the members i n level may prices, reported are in February. schedules showed of increasing ing for rate the few a Production, commodity inventories and employ¬ all levels business maintain and lower present months. ment off lower Back-order indication some commitments February, increases at 16% as 33% and are dur¬ reported holding satisfactory demand positions. The general conditions reported forecast a strengthening the committee. A production requires compounded adjustments in in¬ may trend, says downturn in ventories and ments. forward 15% A commit¬ lower production schedule may temporarily warrant the reduction of purchases by 30% to 40%, to reduce all inven¬ tories and work-in-process to meet turnover targets at the new level. Making such cumulative adjustments abruptly, under a reduce-everything policy, may ac¬ count for the recent sharp shrink¬ in suppliers' backlogs. Such curtailment, however, delivery difficulties for buyers later, when, having ages a drastic can create worked off overstocks, it becomes to secure full require¬ to meet the new produc¬ necessary ments tion schedules. uncomfortably low. Overdue com¬ mitments are frequently being expected that ef¬ forts to maintain and increase turnover ratios will continue. Overall, the recession has been and orderly —< the re¬ ports indicate no panicky situa¬ tions have developed. A com¬ petitive market is gaining momen¬ tum, with many sellers unpre¬ pared to cope with it. Purchasing "Business comment: will probably face a series of mod¬ erate setbacks before stability for the Buying Policy pull is attained." The opinion is expressed that capable and cautious could at with¬ interference, management, probably stabilize business these levels lower few months. will depend on in the next Commodity in the Prices belief that lower will slack clauses in take the Escalator future. the up getting little consider¬ are ation from buyers. particularly can be had. market is on protection, items, fabricated Right evident now, in a buyers' most com¬ modities except steel and metals, and may they be softening. of The future world the ability depends upon our master that problem. to in previous years. as is questioned whether Station WGAR, Cleveland, on Feb. 26, it over relieve the current upward swing in employment will entirely "seasonal" unemployment. Accord-<e>absorbing ing to the statement: an "Prior the to its dis¬ and war unprecedented an purchasing power to the probable detriment of current business. The passage of a few of amount ruptions; a certain degree of slug¬ the last 16 years this gishness in both midwinter and country has made great progress midsummer was instinctively ac¬ months' time will not alter this toward finding the solution. This i* [ cepted and recognized as a routine situation. progress has been made over the development in many types of "Another aspect that bears protests of selfish and shortsighted business. And on the basis of that watching is the trend in the mon¬ people. We have not let them precedent, it has been only logical ey supply, which has been either stop us in the past. to assume that long-established sideways or slightly downward for We will not let them stop us seasonal habits and patterns would some time. The rise in checking During now. eventually reassert themselves in In 148 first his inaqgural address, Jefferson Thomas ago, years said that this country was in "the full of tide successful experi¬ ment." He called our government "the world's best hope." Today we are again in the full tide of a successful experiment—the ex¬ periment of achieving economic abundance and basic human rights in a society of free institutions and free men. Today this experi¬ ment is again the world's best hope. Today it is the hope of a a con¬ world confronted by greater dan¬ account the postwar period. and "There is precisely no why should irend self at this have of last mer, or even Presumably of it chance. simply not was Nor can it a pronouncbd as it had been a or two earlier, and the shrinkage thus far in 1949 has been somewhat more noticeable as year production has finally caught up with current demand. Perhaps demand itself has receded somewhat ahead of schedule. What year ago even though in¬ tax payments are a little a lighter this year. be evidence that as individuals of balances corporations last fall was not sumrrier, next sum¬ than a year from now. come explained solely industrial it¬ manifested particular season, in¬ stead matter of ascertaining this traditional way months business has "For some under conditions been functioning virtually static money supply which is in strong contrast to the of a steady and persistent inflationary is being widely described as only the first in time months following: With the understanding and en¬ acids, alcohol, ergy of this mighty people, our that savings deposits in leading cities ^of this District increased bolts, bottles, brass and brqnze nation can Ynove confidently ingots, burlap, carpets, aromatic toward the goals of prosperity and more than in the same interval a year earlier. The transition was' chemicals, gray market chromic peace. not abrupt, nor has the trend been acid, cocoa butter, all containers, uniform in one direction, but by copper scrap, buffing wheels, household January the margin had become appliances, fractional to much more noticeable. Last month H.P. motors, ethyl acetate, pipe the increment in savings deposits fittings, foodstuffs, fuel oil, coal, in this area was the largest in coke, furniture, glue, greases, pig the late postwar period iron, cast scrap iron, secondary lead, hides, leather, lumber, ma¬ Another"external t cto s Another external factor is the chine shop products, mercury, slowing down in the rate of ex¬ Dale set as March 22, in New steel scrap, vegetable oils, paper pansion of instalment credit. At York City to determine whether and paper , products, phenol, various times during the past year plumbing goods, propane, quick¬ F. H. Winter & Co.'s brokerthe growth of instalment credit, silver, rope, rosin, rouge, rubber, either through the purchase of dealer registration shall be re¬ soap, soda ash, starch, gray mar¬ appliances or furniture on time, voked or suspended. ket steel, cotton textiles, light or in the form of personal loans guage copper wire, caustic soda. The Securities and Exchange seemed to ease up, but the real month includes the SEG Hold Hearing Registration Dealer the above plus: Gap of All supply, in are easier Commission announced hose, that screws, will it hold a on on Feb. 25 hearing on grades of lumber, nuts, March 22, in its New York Re¬ procelain items, lead, steel gional office, 120 Broadway, to good pipe, wire. determine in diamond A few items are reported up Brushes, February: powder, permachlor, pigments, silver, sulfa drugs, turpentine. The item supply tightest aluminum. is Next copper, is but powder, several tight but easing; also, diamond redwood, nails, nickel, sizes steel steel, pipe; easing; tin, zinc. dealer ter the whether broker- registration of F. H. Win¬ & should be revoked Co., or suspended. The SEC in 1946, partner of F. H. Winter & Co., induced a customer to sell to it securities, and with the proceeds to purchase Frank H. certain alleges that Winter, while a There¬ securities. other after, it is stated, Mr. Winter de¬ livered to the customer certain of Employment December. in is in the shares substantial A layoffs that Others elimination of the report overtime week. work part considered are temporary. shorter by Labor a labor skilled able. Both \ _ is skilled and non- not business gone holding Canada is backorders off to the extent firmer; inventories are down; employment is off, but not as much as ordered and deliver paid for, others, delivery con¬ would be tending that delayed because they were pur¬ chased would from be estate an and time required to have them transferred out of the estate. SEC contends that intended deliver the Mr. Winter did and to The not securities, but used the funds received from the customer for his own use and in the U. S.; buy¬ ing policy remains the same. has firm become as Counter was G. Hough with associated the Manager of its Over-the- Trading-JDept. Mr. Hough formerly Warner & Co. with J. estate outstanding—or the amount owed lending likewise to have run into some dull¬ in recent months. Borrowing for the construction of homes for owner high is holding to a occupancy level residential but struction for sale of sence con¬ has de¬ rent or clined considerably, and in the ab¬ revival in that type of a buildinS> real estate loans will hardly regain the vailed until that pace gold imports, which occasions have been cant factor in dwindled to pre- few months ago. a "Moreover on a signifi¬ deposit growth, have bare trickle. a Many nations which had been buying American products beyond foreign their means conserve "This now are obliged to their gold resources. deflationary trend in the for supply, money by consumers—is still rising month reasons just be modified or even reversed in some degree as soon noted, as may of concentrated in¬ the period come tax collections is past and by month, but at a much slower when government expenditures rate. The readoption of restric¬ tions on consumer credit late in begin to run ahead of receipts September may be the primary again. Yet unless the Federal cash cause of this tapering off, but other as resistance to high deficit proves to be larger, than is now contemplated, and unless there is a resumption of aggres¬ prices and the fact that the most sive lending and borrowing for urgent needs have been filled like¬ commercial and real estate pur¬ wise have been retarding influ¬ ences. In any event, the slacken¬ poses, there is little prospect that the money supply will show any ing in the growth of instalment gains during the re¬ debt has not been a seasonal de¬ striking factors such velopment, and therefore it can¬ not be expected that a predeter¬ mined date the calendar auto¬ on bring matically will vival instalment of a brisk re¬ buying and "This leads directly to the con¬ which third adverse fac¬ a is not causes, high mainder level in attributable within of probable is it weeks few spring upturn no turn to more normal that that sea¬ bring some business, in assurance supplemented it there will be by a re¬ liberal spending out more once to of current income, by another dose of form a influences will sonal instalment namely, the rec¬ tion of consumer in¬ the of this year. "Although is borrowing. debtedness of the New York Stock Exchange, Clinton closing to carry products. "Real seems ness materials and raw linished home of last credit, by a repeti¬ year's real estate lend¬ ing boom, and by a resumption of Such debt in the ag¬ the upward trend in the money gregate has risen much more rap¬ supply. If production, sales, and idly than salaries and wages, out employment should respond as mortgages. Schafer, Miller & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York City, members that the and presum¬ "The volume of-instalment debt ord Hough With in year moment. present sideration of profit. Schafer, Miller & Go. announce came stock ably had persisted right up to the seasonal Clinton ! in reported by U. S. business. Prices are to avail¬ generally '1 ' /' better than in the States. Produc¬ have so failed slow-down months of the tor Canada General but neither pro¬ ductivity is again reported on the increase. many fatty Acetone, tion is slightly up and price Long-term lem of boom and bust. supply a expansion of the preceding decade. That long-term growth has come servatism in procurement policy gers and greater possibilities for seasonal dullness undoubtedly has to a halt, at least temporarily, be¬ is expected to continue until good than were dreamed of a cen¬ been accentuated by certain fi¬ cause of a combination of events. finished goods, work-in-process tury and a half ago. nancial developments which bear Great as our responsibilities are, For one thing, there was less new and raw materials inventories are little, if any, relation to changes commercial borrowing last fall back in balance with lower pro¬ we have nothing to fear if we rely in the seasons. duction schedules and than in several preceding seasons, general upon the energy, the resourceful¬ "One of these developments is business shows more definite signs ness and the common sense of the and the probability of renewed American people. So long as the the increase in personal savings. of stabilizing. expansion of commercial lending As early as last August consumers people understand the issues of has not been enhanced by the Specific Commodity Changes the day, the special interests can¬ began to reveal a more conserva¬ decline in commodity prices. In¬ tive attitude toward the expendi¬ The long list of commodities not prevail against the general dustrial and trading enterprises ture of current income. That was reported down in price this welfare. may need less working capital to Extreme bracket. this of material costs and increased labor productivity 90 to Employment is off sharply from January—59% showing this as compared to 47% in January, 34% Many report price declines dur¬ ing February but few mention very sharp cuts. There is a general trend to taper off. Some over¬ stocks are being offered at liqui¬ dation prices. There is much evidence of sellers' testing mar¬ kets to determine buying levels. Business is being taken at lower prices at the expense of current profits, coverage days"—97% reporting within that range. More and more buyers are finding it possible to satisfy re¬ quirements in the lower section Therefore, much developments in Washington. commitment Forward continues—"hand-to-mouth long out government is It canceled. moderate executives in reduction a purchased inventories. With eas¬ ing prices and supply, there is little need for large, protective stocks and some are, admittedly, force d i cations that report surveyed is diminishing and there are Robert C. Swanton consecutive third the For Bust and Boom being supplemented liberal spending out of current spending or up¬ more statement, entitled "Business Trends," prepared by the Re¬ search Staff of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and broadcast In of by ward trend in money slide into a depres¬ great problem of the free Western democracies is the prob¬ composite opinion of purchasing agents who comprise the Busi¬ Survey Committee of the National Association of Purchasing Agents, whose Chairman is Robert C. Swanton, Director of Purchases, Winchester Repeating Arms Corporation, New Haven, Conn., indicates the decline & in (Continued from page 23) economy Problem ness this year ti..,' ,K" 'A,• The A activity which began in No¬ vember, and ■' ■ Spring Upswing Sees return from seasonal unemployment not sion. sellers' market. , \ the of National Association of Purchasing Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton, says reports indicate no panicky situations, but many sellers are unprepared to cope with Business Survey Committee Cleveland Reserve Bank Doubts "Special Interests ^ My Fight'': Truman r Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Arthur of which that debt has to be serv¬ iced. and The incurrence of that debt the subsequent disbursement of the funds borrowed were vigorously out the as last spring, but with¬ support of inflationary high¬ tendencies heretofore inherent in ly stimulative to business in gen¬ the situation, then the internal eral, but the debt has reached a magnitude where scheduled in¬ strength of the economy has been terest and principal payments are greatly underestimated." Volume 169 Defends taMfJarman & Commodity Speculation •William Reid, President of New York Commodity Exchange,^.and ^ partner of Bache & Co., also upholds organized commodity ex¬ . changes - beneficial to people and as of / our Exchange Stock with the admission of C. Fred Reid, President of the Commodity Club of New York, Richards into the firm as a gen¬ and a partner of Bache & Co., members of various commodity and eral partner. Mr. Richards has .security exchanges as well as of the New York Stock Exchange, in been an indpendent floor mem¬ introducing the Hon. Harold D. Cooley, Chairman of the House Agri¬ ber of the New York Stock Ex¬ William <♦>■ cultural Com- juittee; at • change since 1938 and is a former Distinguishing speculation from a .dinner of N e.w York C o m modify "Club the gambling, Mr. Reid remarked: "Speculation futures market has often been re¬ the at the commodity on ferred Waldo r.f- to vqry wrong. There is a vast dif¬ The speculator on the fu¬ Astoria Hotels ference. New tures Feb. on strongly defended the functions o f d i t y comm/o exchanges as a of segment our • were Reid William on '• is dealer unwilling to horse a race, liberately there was a Congressional investigation into •futures trading ' caused by high •prices. Now there is one due to the recent decline in prices. Other a ago year commodities which in ilar not traded are futures exchanges on or tions, have sim¬ wider price fluctua¬ even has underwriting business in on fu¬ to be tar¬ but those traded wide creating of difference, is course, based mainly on the fact that the commodity futures markets serve a very important and valuable necessity to the community. When you come to speculation, practi¬ cally everything in life is a spec¬ ulation if you want to character¬ ize it such. as the tory and Columbus When Honorable Alben Vice-President W. of rehabilitation :i: on Feb. 25, which the shattered * * , covers exchanges seem the generous and unselfish efforts of the United States to contribute to the brotherhood of nations peoples and to preserve and maintain the peace The United States will continue upon of the world. this lofty and worthy conception of international We shall hope to attain these noble obj ec- affairs. tives."—Senator Tom The i 'v ' Connally. 1' , , "j carried out, that every¬ are gets one trades derived changes. Let United take us or ex¬ our a local grain cotton dealer South in the harvest season down cotton by farmer. The dealer keeps posted j grain or the prices prevailing on the exchange and buys the grain or cotton figuring his profit at what¬ ever margin he thinks he should make. Thereafter, he sells the t>n cotton grain to equivalent or sells the a mill or he the futures on exchange..Now let us suppose that for open. guide no the the exchanges The dealer who has to prices, has to take reason some cannot as buying mill. He of risk market full when he cannot sell to a is certainly going to allow much a larger margin of profit than when he insure can against fall a in price by hedging on the Ex¬ change. In fact, he may not be willing to buy at all. The flour or cotton mill by sales of futures contracts can similarly operate on a safer business and a smaller mar¬ gin of profit. Therefore, the pro¬ ducer can get a better price and the consumer buy at a lower price because turer the margin futures dealer and manufac¬ operate can profit of at smaller a because of the Committee means value of commodity futures mar¬ is break were the of I would like to men¬ fact the that at recent the out¬ there war, in warehouses in this coun¬ questionably barked of true men merely to recount what this ing been facilities which there if of would the hedg¬ futures changes had not been ex¬ available." This is under that a have who vast no well advised to await concrete results. circumstances to be construed as an offer to buy, NASD Dislricl No. 11 Elecls New Officers District No. Association of 11 of the National Securities Dealers, Inc. has elected J. Murray Atkins, R. S. Dickson & Co., Charlotte, N. C., Chairman. John C. Hagan, Jr., Mason-Hagan, Inc., Richmond, Va., was chosen Vice-Chairman. Charles Watts & H. Pinkerton, Co., Baltimore, Governor from District 11. offering of these Shares for sale, or as an solicitation of an offer to buy, any of such Shares. made only by means of the Offering Prospectus. or as a The offer is New Issue em- 286,496 Shares characterizes those people started a grocery business as gamblers. The near¬ est analogy to our commodity futures markets in my mind is Lloyds of London where you can insure your ocean shipments, or any one of the myriad risks in daily life, but I don't believe that Lloyds is characterized as a gam¬ bling institution. The main dif¬ anyone who who ference between Lloyds futures markets is the and fact Central Maine Power Company Common Stock, $10 par value Holders of the Company's outstanding Common Stock and been issued subscription warrants expiring on above stock. Rights to subscribe to an 6% Preferred Stock have March 14, 1949 to subscribe to the aggregate of 219,196 shares have been waived. our that Subscription and Public Offering Price at Lloyds only the members can the opposite side of your risk, whereas on the futures ex¬ changes, not only members, but the outside public can share to the extent they wish in carrying your risk. Anyone who trades on these exchanges whether they are professionals or amateurs, earns any profits he makes because, while substantial profits can be made trading in commodities, there is a very great risk of sub¬ take stantial losses. part Our large $1578 Copies of the Offering Prospectus undersigned are an as may per may share be obtained from only such of the legally offer these Shares in compliance with the securities laws of the respective States. Harriman Ripley & Co. Incorporated Goldman, Sachs & Co. Exchanges tant Stone & Webster Securities Corporation Lehman Brothers impor¬ our economic life. harvests could not be advantage of pro¬ of Estabrook & Co. Hayden, Stone & Co. Hemphill, Noyes & Co. W. E. Hutton & Co. marketed to the ducers consumers or as well them. As long as free enterprise continues in this coun¬ without try,' there is still business, and I commodities coun¬ was pre¬ in the grocery business ber, cocoa, pepper, hides, silk and have 1 ty Is doing or has been doing in recent years, it is one thing; if he is boasting about it, he would be during the life of the A. & P. have their money. I don't know growth not " , lost try valuable stocks of cotton, rub¬ other as gambler, or the Hartfords, when they started the Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea Co.; yet it is un¬ number . Foreign Relations Ford when -he a "Our "Another feature of the hedging tion anyone started his small machine shop commodity markets. kets which that ' r,\," 11' Yet I do not would char¬ ing such industries. believe acterize say Henry from West out who is offered a all brief example of benefits dealer and made public. are will give a "I deal, square a i', If the Chairman of the Senate gets for such attention. trades Connally of some sailed for America, he was taking sided over by J. Earle Jardine, Malon C. Courts Director The rea¬ a risk and might be considered to Jr., Wm. R. Staats Co., Presi¬ Of Genuine Parts Co. be speculating on discovering a dent. son may be that the vast major¬ In addition to members of At a meeting of the board of ity of people do not understand New World. When our early set¬ the Bond Club and their guests, much about trading on Commod¬ tlers "came over here and went out many of the leading civic and directors of Genuine Parts Co., the wilderness and settled business leaders of the Southland Malon C. Courts was elected a ity Exchanges. I doubt that many in director. Mr. Courts, a graduate people know that these exchanges among the Indians, they were cer¬ were in attendance. do no business whatsoever for tainly taking chances and might the University of Georgia;'is a their own. account, but merely be said to have been speculating partner of Courts & Co., invest¬ provide a place where members with their lives. The vast indus¬ Rogers & Tracy Celebrate ment bankers, and is a director can handle business either for try which has been built up in Silver Anniversary of the Atlantic Realty Co. He is their own account, or for non- this country and which played so CHICAGO, ILL. — Rogers & also Chairman of the Federal member and member customers vital a part in the winning of the Tracy, Inc., 120 South La Salle war was under rules which clearly define unquestionably started Taxation Committee of the In¬ Street, observed its 25th anniver¬ just exactly what is being con¬ in a small way by men who spec¬ vestment Bankers Association. tracted. The rules insure that all ulated their savings in commenc¬ sary Feb. 25, 1949. tures Tom Sen". States, made an exclusive Los Angeles address before the Bond Club of Los Angeles at a luncheon meeting at the Cocoanut Grove in the Ambassador Hotel, Los An¬ geles, of Europe. "This record Barkley, the Eighteen billions of to be devoted to the are economies in Angles Bond Club Hears Alben iarfeley — gen¬ his¬ embodied in the Mar¬ was dollars and ANGELES, CALIF. gigantic and act of its kind in all shall Plan. in Los LOS extended. erous previously re¬ "Chronicle" of was United con¬ the contrary, on situations out "Trading in commodity futures of which risks develop artificially, has had a good deal of publicity for the express purpose or hope of since the war," Mr. Reid stated. effecting a hazardous gain. The "About City. York New an brokerage as¬ joins with other gamblers in de¬ gambling institutions. ' ducted partnership sume. The gambler such as the ported in poker player or the man who bets Feb. 10 denied they Street, war "The most markets finds an ever pres¬ the or economy and Wail was industrial, public utility, railroad and mu¬ ent economic condition of fluctu¬ nicipal securities since 1939. ating prices and endeavors to take Other partners are Henry Herr¬ advantage of it by anticipating man, William O. Gay, Jr., and price trends. He assumes a risk William M. Cahn, Jr. which the producer, the converter Admission of Mr. Richards to York 'City, 2 4, * Major in the United States Army. The company also announced the removal of its offices to One is Henry Herrman & Co. which gambling, as the n Hope States has given to approximately $2,000,000,000 for relief. Our country has also extended generous loans to numer¬ ous other countries. In Greece, to preserve its free¬ dom and prevent its absorption by totalitarianism, $400,000,000 was authorized by Congress. To preserve the integrity of Tur¬ key, more than $100,000,000 1 became members of York New "Since the ahead when I call it it is just as for a a tremendous those mean business. much a in this what I Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co. Graham, Parsons & Co. F. S. Moseley & Co. Maine Securities Company Townsend, Dabney and Tyson The Milwaukee Company say Newhard, Cook & Co. as merchants handling any commod¬ ity." ■ I think business March 1, 1949. 25 China of Henry Herrman & Co., March the economic life. (981) "We Shall Admits NYSE Member The firm constituting important part as & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL THE Number 4782 H. M. Payson & Co. Baker, is the Offers Tax Value 28 Feb. the Arnold Bernhard & Co., Inc., Investment Advisers, a number of remedies are proposed "which would have the virtue of at least retarding the liquidation the of meeting Hartford last week, held in Wil- According liams only $1,000 a year for five from his income, if he has years to the survey: "One remedy The would ognized for tax purposes at all. to be exempt taxa¬ tion that por¬ tion of cor- a they p o<r ati^on's income which in plant or it standard Arnold Bernhard working capital neecis that indeed be set up the Treasury working for capital was requirement of the busi¬ a ness. remedy would be to exempt from taxation all earnings distributed as dividends. This eliminate would remedy 'double tax' the corporation prof¬ on (Corporation income is first taxed to the corporation at the corporate tax rate and then the portion that is distributed to stockholders is taxed again at the its. personal income tax rate.) "If these two remedies were put into effect, corporations would probably pay little in income taxes, for what they failed to invest in plant and equipment and work¬ ing capital, they would distribute It would be to their stockholders. more,than right. A cgrpo^ar ticrt should not be taxed, bepause a corporation is not a person. A P-o corporation is business organi¬ a zation and the burden of taxation should lie upon the from those who benefit business in accordance with the benefits they receive and in accordance with their lose some much but revenue, not many pay cases a nificance system if the Tiie loss free enterprise reinvigorated were the trend to flotation costs may over the life of a bond bond, but the expense of an equity cannot be amortized at flotation It remains a all. ital permanent cap¬ outlay. but offers that one definite would cure of hope a be to rescind and monopoly reversed. ' holds sistently. enable a that to rate con¬ Such a system would small corporation to ac¬ cumulate lic Haven, tion income taxes altogether levy their place in spending tax. Such allow exemptions, a to and graduated tax would as does the a branch the the to Robert C. Pearl J. of Board Everett Gov¬ Hartford; F. Griggs & Co., Waterbury; and Charles W. Gould, G. H. Walker & Co., Hart¬ spendings the under ity is tax Spending during the year is equal to the total income less simple. between difference the the bank in of class the Advertising procedure will pretty well discard drab eco¬ nomic phraseology. On the other hand, the intent is to be directed toward the potential investor's na¬ tural desire to gain a solid bene¬ fit for himself and his family investing, he is putting his shoulder to the wheel while, has 1916, for the i ries on ness balance at the in effect would be to place the and his uses on for money comforts who capital in the form of old tax tax. A the man better, than any new radical innovation like the spendings tax would require some time for the public to become ac¬ plant equipment and more rapidly than under the longer life-of-theproperty rates recognized for tax to an > • purposes in the United States. "A fourth remedy, which would individuals, would be to permit personal incomes to be averaged over a period of be applied Assume, for example, that years. has an income of $50,000 in a man one year following tax to and income no Under year. in the existing schedules, he would pay a tax of approximately $23,500 for 1948. Under the remedy, he would be able to average his in¬ over come duce suggested the two years and Henry Christman Joins LOUISVILLE, KY. — Christman, Jr. has become saving of $5,000. The longer the period over which individual in¬ comes could be averaged, the The Henry asso- chances of its being adopted gressive income taxation. The spendings tax can do anything the income tax can do, and do it bet¬ it allows an producer and small business to would permit grow. BOSTON, fifth permit remedy would Cabot, 111 members income MASS. Devonshire Boston Stock in are whatever amount incurred. At capital losses the extent of At present if can the present, be deducted to only $1,000 per year. a man capital loss during a mit E. nership was of the Ehlbeck formerly part¬ Vice-President $25,000 du year, he can sales and research. to of Pont, Homsey Co. in charge of The fact that a whose citizens tional is the at A nation a bulwark welfare that they of investors. investors the na¬ time same participate in industrial vigor and growth." Petlif A. Myer Joins Cohu Inst. Cohu Dept. & Co., City, that nounce Street,' Wall 1 members of the Stock Pettit Exchange, A. Myer an¬ has become associated with the firm's Institutional Department. Mr. Myer in the past with Van was Alstyne, Noel & Co. New York Stock Exchange Weekly Firm Changes The New York Stock Exchange firm has announced the following William E. Bebee O. William to Wilson to Theodore Wechsler will in invention, of rewards and risks the skills, ingenuity, aggressiveness. The will be evi¬ accompanying sat¬ ownership ciated with O'Neil, C. telligently acquired interest in in¬ was formerly To "The — Faroll & 208 South La Salle Street, members of the New York and Chicago Stock Exchanges, admit limited Warren partnership March H. Gray, general part¬ Talcott, Potter & Co., on became 1 Exchange's a limited part¬ ner. Walton W. in Robert Cox, general partner Winthrop & Co., on March 1 became a limited partner. R. Swinnerton & Co. dissolved 28. of in Adee the late Mallory, T. George Adee & Co. ceased Jan. 31. design the task of draw¬ public attention directly availability and function to of As part of the pro¬ gram the Exchange hopes to en¬ courage more corporations to broaden stock ownership among Interest Rice in ceased of the Daniel Feb. late F. Joseph Rice & J. Co. 8. good equities. Company, will Stock extends beyond ing Faroll & Co. to Admit ILL. Employee Ownership the CHICAGO, Encourage with effective March 1. in Interest Alden & Co., Willson & Co. which is William ner Feb. Market Street. Mr. being merged with O'Neal, Alden & Co., in¬ dustry. and March 10. Mr. Ehlbeck a has Street, York Exchanges, will ad¬ Richard on New never isfaction which branches from Christman & of • pride James Moors — nation upon nation a of dent, with an Inc., 421 West E. Richard Eblbeck merits. and American Henry Christman, Jr. Moors & Cabot to Admit as standard our largely from our develop¬ Mr. to place be considered on March 10. is a partner in Hay, before readers of the advertise¬ Wechsler ments a series of mental pictures Fales & Co. of fulfilled ambitions inher¬ George W. Ullman retired from limbed ent in all enterprising Americans. partnership in OppenThe pictures cannot be seen with heimer, Vanden Broeck & Co on the They will be impressed, Feb. 28. we trust, upon the inner vision Carl PI. Langenberg, general and made more personal than they partner in Reinholdt & Gardner, may have been before. The pic¬ became a limited partner on tures will be of owners of worth¬ March 1. of It could reverse the trend state socialism." toward onward now ment of depends stocks on the New T. Baker will be considered. York Stock Exchange have en¬ Transfer of the Exchange mem¬ viable dividend records will be bership of the late William L. list sharers the to living, stocks while, valuable property; partici¬ pants in productive industry; addition, In incentive capital losses to be deducted from .losses inci¬ so ter. foundation very of Exchange firmly believes advancement, the economic ... slight that it is mentioned here only to inform investors that there is an alternative to pro¬ are "The that "The design will also be it is a sounder tax by any standard than the income tax. equitable the tax would be¬ come. "A its moral and or emphasized. O'Neal, Aides? & Go, re¬ his taxes to about $18,500—a more effect nomic vestment long Still, in its eco¬ it. arise. changes: dence. ■ common skepticism, in records, which show simply that On March 10, transfer of the a great many well-selected equities possess recognized in¬ Exchange membership of the late of investors as well as brokers and dealers. considered deep much thought. The be further rounded out by using facts and figures, taken from undisputed corporate his is customed been country, national difficulties given them design will important factor in the setting and creature maintenance of standards of prac¬ to relieve the man tice by the industry in Connecti¬ income to invest in cut and functions in the interest dence of the tax spends inci¬ who lias have in outruns economic progress nothing is more effective interest thanVthe with capital engage any York will, we believe, be appre¬ ciated by people who may either ago. ress York stimulating contem¬ Such even years will progress New we believe, large amounts, and it must be re¬ membered that when social prog¬ New As ment general investment busi¬ Association few a all are well design! sight of other people doing well lor themselves. The pictured doc¬ umentation of satisfactory invest¬ with The "By referring to the power of example I have edged over into the second part of the theme— aware, served Williams, Inc., which car¬ a safeguarding of the Amer- the professional career in the investment field and was a founder of the firm of Day, Stod¬ dard & through it than progress plated | ican way of life. entire his program example. eliminate Barney & Co., Hartford. the need for income taxes, the Mr. Williams, a Yale graduate incentive to invest would be far greater than it is today. The method for computing tax liabil¬ its large degree by the power of in completely would of in ways understandable to many people who have not con¬ sidered equities for investment." Continuing, Mr. Schram writes: "This intent is to be forwarded ship Buell & Co., Skilton, R requirement that an essen¬ is to stress common stock owner¬ Miller, B. that the advertising will contain thought- we provoking material. The nation is entering wider phases of social Schram after long study grown out of the conditions tial were: Emil aftermath of war, urer. Elected For however, profitable of equity in¬ with them vestment. which Exchange has been persuaded, Judd & Co., Hartford, elected Secretary and Treas¬ Brainard, present income tax, and it would ford. O t h e r Governors are levy on the amounts spent by in¬ Charles P. Cooley, Jr., Cooley & dividuals according to a graduated Co., Hartford; B. Rush Field, scale. The effect of this tax Eastman, Dillon & Co., Hartford; would be to discourage high living S. Jackson Steiner, Jackson Steinand to encourage saving and in¬ er & Co., Inc., Hartford; George vestment. The high living would L. Austin, G. L. Austin & Co., be discouraged because the more Hartford; W. Thurston Rowley, a man spent, the heavier would be Conning & Co. and Ballard, Hart¬ his tax. Such a tax could be espe¬ ford; Harold E. Faust, Equitable cially useful during a period of Securities Co., Hartford; Andrew inflation, at which time the rates L Tackus, Putnam & Co., Hart¬ could be so regulated as to virtuford; E. Holbrooke Bradley, E. M. ally" prohibit " extraVcfganCe. Off Bradley & Co., New Haven; and the other hand, because such a E. Greenleaf Stewart, Smith, tax f pulses among the magazine who are no already familiar corpo¬ operation. The of Breummer Howard and dent part, will stir readers of this messages o of some "Now, the foregoing is, ad¬ mittedly, a discussion which, in the histories have Smith-Ramsay & Co. Bridgeport became Vice-Presi¬ of a participa¬ rations coming forward; are the corpora¬ tions, themselves, to funds in¬ vested by workers; others provide special features to interest em¬ ployees in the stocks of their com¬ panies. is in plans involve additions by pub¬ lished and meeting, DeWitt C. same Ramsay of as¬ see to speed power <£- equities of long - estab¬ in Middletown. At to broader Hartford, ernors productive goods. "The great disadvantage of a Sweden under which a corpora¬ spendings tax is that it is un¬ familiar. Among tax experts tion is allowed to charge any rate of depreciation it chooses so long there is an old saying that any it Street, Derby Marshall H. Williams was radical remedy much more "A third remedy would be to adopt the tax policy in effect in as Elm New equity of 95 offices the monthly maga¬ Exchange, Emil Schram, its President, of the new advertising campaign. particularly eager is with Stock on purpose into change os e ' of¬ at Stock and scope serts. "TheEx- fice larger, tax would be of small sig¬ revenue non¬ a h w principal York Exchange desires to do all that lies in its Schram particular attention to year-end and at the securities issued by Connecticut the recipients would beginning of the year. Credits are taken for income invested. The corporations and municipalities. Phan the corporate rate. in as distributions would in¬ and crease ability to Treasury would might first be supposed. as Dividend in The taxes. pay Inc., incentive to an amount amortized be "A "A second the lations, could assure retention of earned sur¬ the as •financing in preference to bond financing. Under existing regu¬ of plus might provide increase nable which would capitalized be capital Day, Stoddard & Williams, asset, as is the case with new equity financing now. If this last proposal were adopted, working capital. A xe a s o to be depreciable reinvested is would remedy permit flotation costs of new se¬ curities to be regarded as an expense instead of requiring that New of issue of "The Exchange," York industry," Mr. f o New the "The the firm President in addition to educating public the flow of Wjl- of dent Design of NYSE Advertising Exchange," purpose, February the revealed liams is Presi¬ $20,000 loss is not rec¬ sixth "A from income other says the of Presi¬ dent. Mr. income in each of the five years. zine was elected deduct capitalism." In Mar¬ H. shall "The in Ex¬ change's functions, is to speed flow of capital for industry and to encourage employee stock ownership. — Association Bankers vestment article Exchange At a Connecticut In¬ CONN. HARTFORD, American of In Elect New Officers "Fortnightly Commentary" of "The Survey," published by Investment Line of the issue Thursday, March 3, 1949 Schram Reveals Conn. Inv. Bankers Changes So Retard Liquidation of American Capitalism In FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (982) 26 G. Hamer to on March 10. employees. The employee stock principle is gradually Jennings & Co. Formed (Special to The Financial CLEARWATER, Chronicle) FLA.—David H. Jennings has formed Jennings ownership & Co., to engage in the securities finding wider acceptance among corporate employers. A variety business. • Volume THE Number 4782 169 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL (983) capacity going in is expected a substantial improve¬ new Sees Electric installations sufficient reserve as indicating were Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe The heavy snows in the western section of the y and February have must service as The electric companies of country in January been as! highway travel had level the companies traffic and also added substantially to their <• i preparation expenses'. "** ' 194580 the financial community r'yr'-.z Compared with some of the other transcontinentals Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe held up quite well in the opening month of the year. Car loadings for the month were off about 15% but gross revenues declined only 5.3%, from $39,686,000 to $37,572,000. A part of the drop in revenues was offset by a cut in costs. Net income for the month amounted to $2,107,000, off $1,839,000 from January 1948. Net was off the equivalent of only $0.76 a common share, a negligible decline in relation to last year's earnings of $23.33 a share. For the seasonally low 1949 month the company still reported a balance of some $0.66 a share for the junior equity. With nothing more than this slight recession in January earnings to feed the bearishness, the stock last week dropped to 87 % compared with the high of a few earnings declines. y able. than more 50 years, it has been able to the rectly after the war. noted Ernest Acker 1947 priceand a reserve during the year the that indicated corner and Old Colony MASS. —The Direc¬ tors of the Boston Insurance Co. and the Old Colony Insurance Co. have elected Richard T. DavidBOSTON, head of the the -two of Investment Dept. companies, Assistant to 1941 Mr. engaged in .the securities business as head of the firm of R. T. David¬ son & Co. and of the to compiled by the Institute: increase 0.4% 206,000 1,895,000 4,253,000 Spare and Growth Reserve 10.1 — *10 *6.3 *16 lows: The gins outlook for mar¬ margin of estimated by power system engineers, is now 12 to 15%, depending on the degree of as interconnection a group and adaptability of power systems to operate advantageously in a pool. There has been a marked increase in The load was grow¬ fast, the idea of a Mar¬ ing very shall Plan the reserve operation over recent with a resulting sharp de¬ pool years crease in the of amount the operating problems in many sections of the United States in caused q rapid demand, an extraor¬ spell caused many and rise in power reserve This announcement appears there were throughout hold took country 1949, The desirable normal reserve, the many a time when scheduled out¬ generating units for their regular overhauling. The reserve problem was generally better in ages of 1948 than nia There 1947. was a month, a severe shortage in Wisconsin and for water in water shortage in Califor¬ severe about northern a Minnesota for a few weeks, and some drouth in upstate New York and New England for a few weeks. The 1948-49 winter peak has mer Before the next hot sum¬ weather and the next Decem¬ ber peak gone by. demand come for purposes of record only. Accounts, and Finance and Graduate School of Busi¬ Instructor, Administration: of 1928-32; Associate Pro¬ Professor Assistant of Finance, 1932-47; Pro¬ Banking, since 1937. around, Commerce, nance, Investment Dept. of devoted the greater the two com¬ panies. ♦ Mr. Davidson is the Boston Security a member for several of School Graduate on Brooklyn as Rodgers is co-editor of "Money and co-author Banking," a. standard text in the banking, and co-author of "Consumer Credit and Its Uses," field of an authoritative sumer he credit. was treatise editor of the Robert D. Bowers & Co. COLO. —Robert engaging in a se¬ business from offices at Bowers curities is Hamilton Institute. His work and experience in business have been field he has been Assistant Advertising Manager of Alexander Taylor Co.; has been an Assistant Underwriter at National Surety Co., foreign correspondent the National City Bank, and for Office Manager and national Finance. being offered to the public, Equipment Trust Certificates, Series 44 serially to November 1,1968 1302 Sixth Avenue under the name this and the Old Colony Insurance Co. formerly an investment counsel. Kuhn, Loeb & Co. March 2,,1949 Executive Assistant at the Institute of Inter¬ Transportation Due & in finance, he Corporation Dated November 1, 1948 Canadian varied: in the marketing LONGMONT, D. con¬ years Monthly Letter of the Alexander of Society on several For $12,879,000 Analysts So¬ ciety and the New York of Security Analysts. visiting finance. Professor and of Institute Polytechnic lecturer he served the Newark and the years, University NEW ISSUE General American and Fi¬ Accounts having been appointed its in 1931. In addition, Secretary These securities were placed privately through the undersigned, and have not been and are not Since April, of the holds also Rodgers , , worst according to the dinary hot survey, is for a substantial equipment failures at for latest of • York Professor The lack of reserves created 6 1948 27 York New to administrative rank in the School August, 1947. peak of war demand. "At service. his awarded was University. He came University in 1921 and has held the following aca¬ demic titles in the School of Com¬ New fessor of continuity * of assure 5 t 1947 _*20 1945 12% 1946 22% to he degree from.the Graduate School of Business Administration of *13 *5.5 in 1921, Kentucky of 1925 Master of Business Administration Finance, *7.3 11.9 9.2 8.8 heeded Margins *- Margins of reserve and spare capacity in past years are as fol¬ 1943 in and of Reserve 1941 University fessor -3,700,000 5,800,000 6,060,000 his Rodgers received Professor Bachelor of Arts degree from the 1925-28; ' . is entitled "It Can't Hap¬ Now." pen ness 6 Co., an¬ speaker will be His topic in 5 6.8 3.8 8.1 & Raymond Rodgers, Professor of Banking, New York University. merce, 12% 13.8% Shannon, B. Jones Shannon B. 1943 he has been Manager 12-year period to of Robert D. Bowers & Co. investment and economic research. In the early part of 1942 he be¬ Kirt M. Chapman With came affiliated with Burr, Gan¬ John G. Kinnard & Co. nett & Co., of Boston and was put MINNEAPOLIS, MINN. — Kirt in charge of the Investment Re¬ search Dept. When this company M. Chapman haS joined the staff of John G. Kinnard and Co., was dissolved on June 30, 1942 he Baker Arcade. Mr. Chapman was joined the Boston Insurance Co. part Electric Edison made Investment Assis¬ was tant to the President. Davidson Secretary. From 1930 Jones 1949. Davidson Asst. Sec. Son, as "Estimated. as a major Class I carriers. earnings of $23.33 a share on its common stock. This was apparently a gain without drawing down any dividend income from the profitable wholly-owned subsidiary, Western Improvement Company. Including earnings of that sub¬ sidiary it is probable that actual earning power of the Santa Fe common was somewhat above $28.00 a share in 1948. It seems hardly likely that direct earnings this year could drop below $18.00 a share. The regular dividend of $6.00 a share may be considered as very well protected. Last year the company paid an extra of $2.00 and similar action, or perhaps an increase in the regular rate, would additions the of supply Kilowatts Capacity: — Scheduled: Debt was reduced among the report Margins or 1947___ amortization, was whole. In line with the experience of the western roads generally its showing during the war was materially better. What has not been so general in the west, however, is that Santa Fe has continued in the pastwar era to do better than the Class I car¬ riers as a whole. In 1947 Santa Fe carried 19.3% of gross through to net operating income before Federal income taxes, compared with a carry-through of 12.4% for the industry. Reports for the industry as a whole for 1948 are not yet available but Santa Fe individually witnessed a further widening of the pre-tax profit margin to 20.7%, early the following year. or Load improvement in nearly every sec¬ equipment, particularly diesel power. The property expenditures and acquisition of new motive power tion of the country. Normal re¬ have naturally been reflected in the road's operating efficiency. For serve will be restored in nearly a number of years prior to the war the profit margin of Santa Fe all sections of the country by late had been running consistently, but not substantially, below that of 1950 or early 1951. Boston and achieved in many parts Following is the latest summary power 5%. of 1946 It was the severe to roundly Net work¬ ing capital has been built up to nearly $134 million. Large sums have been spent to improve the property and in the acquisition of new logical expectation in under operations pooling country by the end of next of the margin of reserve Additions to New materially—fixed and contingent charges are now down S8.6 million compared with over $13 million 10 years ago. a capacity of reserve day - should be December, 1948 peak period aver¬ aged 6%, on the basis of total in¬ stalled capacity, as against the $146.00 a share. During that period dividends were distributed in amount of only $47.00 a share. The balance of $99.00 a share, seem of Friday, March 11, 1949. nounced the guest is envisioned by the end of present capacity generating the placing it well up toward the top Last year Santa Fe reported A margin , Crystal the in Dinner Ballroom, Book Cadillac Hotel, on Chairman 1946 and 1947, di¬ in high rates 10% industry's ^ the industry the abnormally down from come calculations, depression of the 1930s when western roads were additionally plagued by a series of droughts. . Added to its favorable long term record, the road's fundamental status has been improved materially in recent years. For the 10 years through 1948 aggregate earnings on the common amounted to around together with cash released from depreciation and retained to strengthen the position of the company. kilowatts; and the rate of increase in demand has o n t h e basis Of final report net income. reported earnings even during scheduled instal¬ a of 6,700,000 by power system engineers that, This of the minority that lation Acker yield basis- of 6.86%, based merely on the regular $6.00 dividend rate, appear almost inconceivably conservative. One might think that the long term record of the Santa Fe was such that there was some question as to its ability to maintain earnings under what might be considered normal business cycles. Far from it. The road has an excellent record. In every year of its history, going back one during 1949 by DETROIT, MICH. — The Bond of Detroit will hold its 33rd Club AnnilhT 1949; and the desirable normal margin of 12 to 15% as estimated months ago of 120%. Considering the basic investment status of the road, a earnings ratio of less than four times, based on 1948 results, 33rd Annual Dinner Mr. Acker said, last As specific evidence, Mr. v flatten¬ a Bond Club of Detroit year's record-breaking installation of 4,253,000 kilowatts will be topped by more than 50% had had, the range sales ef¬ forts to make appearance of the reports of such roads as Southern Pacific and Union Pacific brought on another wave of selling with a consequent sure that the capacity sharp break in prices. The good reports of a majority of carriers in new other sections of the country were completely ignored. Illinois will be suffi¬ uti¬ Central, for instance, reported January net income more than double ciently that of a year earlier and still the stock acted just as poorly as the lized as it becomesavailshares of some of the companies reporting substantial year-to-year the been turned, since long- noticing — has intensifying margins. This to¬ fact that many the are their sales of electricity. the United States are successfully cop¬ are extended Despite 1948, when 4,253,000 kilowatts over with ing off of demand has prompted electric utility companies gener¬ ally to launch large sales promo¬ tion programs to try to increase made available. r that for has been turned in providing Looks for a 50% in¬ generating capacity are being maintained at such a high tions of new been>disrupted completely, periods, in many sections. It could hardly have been expected that the affected, railroads or theij: connections could be impervious to the severe weather. The storms cut heavily into and gether companies ing with their generating capacity problems, Ernest R. Acker, Presi¬ dent of the Edison Electric Institute, says in announcing that installa¬ fully publicized in the nation's press. It certainly well known to speculators and'investors that rail were well corner make ment in reserve increased demand.. to meet in installations in 1949 crease to Acker, President of Edison Electric Institute, points to Ernest R. new Generating Capacity Ample 27 THE (984) £8 COMMERCIAL large-scale Federal program housing introduced Jan. 5. The status: Bill approved last week by Senate Banking and Currency Committee; now ready for floor debate. escaped most, if not all the others similarly placed, since memory of man runneth not to the contrary. liave whatever should not, the can or for himself and set all of it, supplies any reason informed and thoughtful citizen not, appraise the general situation down in his own note book what he v River implications. The truth is that President Truman did not receive House River specific mandate last fall at all. If the voting were so construed, it must at once be added that the voters at the same moment, and in the same balloting, denied him the conditions under which he could reasonably into office on on a of course, them. In short, it was obvious that Mr. speak for his party as that organization was represented in Washington in the 80th Congress, or as it was scheduled to be and is now represented in the 81st as regards some of Truman could not Congress. And, generally speaking, it must be recalled that the President ran behind, not ahead of, Congressional can¬ didates. At most, it seems to us that the President coqld claim a real mandate merely to try to see what he could do get his program through a Congress the leanings of which were well known and understood by the electorate which .sent it to Washington. . / - issued a challenge to the Congress which his party controls, and .scarcely takes the trouble to conceal a threat to visit the "whistle stops" again to marshal support for his program He ignores the fact that such tactics as this on his part could succeed only on the basis of an implied threat of a wholesale party purge (which even Franklin Roosevelt could not ef¬ the President has now fect)—and the further fact that his remarks would have to foe directed at individuals' elected more often than not with President, roaring about as gently follows: Labor the Securities and Exchange Commission to brokerage houses when large transactions appeared on the ticker. These agents would demand full information not only as to the name of the customer for whom the transaction put was through, but also the details of all other transactions by that cus¬ tomer for a period preceding, and in some cases would then go to the customer himself. In any case, the broker would feel obligated to one tor of in visit. of the customer 1937, agent of an execu¬ large estate to inquire why he had sold a quarter of a a million dollars worth of securities in single morning. a informed was The agent the that executor selling to get cash with which to pay the United States Treasury the estate tax! A great many men Legislation. simply withdrew from the market rather their than • and Public Welfare Wednesday. completed open hearings last Schedule for further action uncertain. Minimum Wages. Bill to raise minimum wage from 40 cents to 75 cents introduced in both Houses on Jan. 6. The status: Public and hearings completed by House Education Labor Committee. No hearings held yet in Senate. Social Security. Bills to enlarge social security pay¬ ments and expand coverage and to set up permanent sys¬ tem of Federal aid for public relief introduced in House last Monday. The status: Hearings open tomorrow in House Ways and Means Committee. Health. and Bills to public health provide program a national health insurance introduced Jan. 5. The status: Hearings not yet scheduled. Education. Economic The status: No stabilization. broad powers to control some wages Bills of inquired a shift in the hearings held yet.. J.. ^ market high inflexible the was margin re¬ quirement. The Congress, desir- f regulate the use of credit ; ing to before in the stock much enthusiasm Conditions have changed up Federal trol market, had given the authorities Reserve 1 con- margin requirements—a « control that had previously been J over in the hands of the banks and the .» brokers. Federal The Reserve authorities had raised margin re- 15 quirements to a very high level. { they calculated margins, it was ; called a margin of 55%. As the As brokers calculated, it was a gin of suckling dove. as a ^ the intensifying the dif¬ and and . If 122%. a mar¬ bought man $10,000 worth of stock, the rule > required that he pay in cash $5,500 <"■' that and he borrow only $4,500. of the cost stock, but it was 122% of the $4,500 loan. In ordinary times, bankers and brokers had usually considered that 20% to 25% of the His of margin 55% was the loan was from the standpoint of the margin safety of the loan, assuming that the loan was well diversified, though they always reserved the right to raise the margin if special circum¬ stances called for it. Very much higher margins had been required satisfactory a bankers the in brokers and • ■ This in margin requirements from 20% to 25% of the loan to 122% of the loan there has been occasion of these Besides these dom selection meant individuals, a ran¬ (Italics mine) of 450 buyers and sellers, together with a miscellaneous number firms of . . "The investigation ordered was September 23, when the SEC on said would it the cause all ing the attempt learn to of the market's decline September on by 3 reconstruct¬ roundlot transactions on Exchange on that date. Stock At the stock time, it was stated that irregularities in the sale of or if any pool operations were uncovered, ... if any was the SEC was prepared to take swift actions against such manipulators." (New York "Times," Feb. 23, 1947, page 2F, col 4.) We have here apparently a pure individuals sums of capital' formerly. His capacity to act than greatly a very high margin standpoint of the loan, he could not buy any more stocks on moderate declines he withdraw any This account. ^ •: .s from his factor very/ last individuals had to their large use margins with the brokers for the of paying the September' purpose income 15 necessary tax, and this made it for them to sell a great shares of stocks in order to many bring the margins up above the that cash could be with¬ so drawn for income tax purposes. In in 1929 break, who the the stock >; market and brokers margin require¬ and placed "loan value" far ments below bankers raised had market values the while promptly reduced margin requirements in the -midst of the crash as a means of easing ing was them to ever on, situation,.always keep¬ high enough, how¬ they Reserve have done the same thing when, the continues to deter men from tak¬ loans. The authorities the protect Federal should Action of this kind by the SEC could nor cash decidedly intensified the break in September of 1937, because many the credit tions! receded. the might turn up. A Federal Grand Jury would be much more re¬ spectful of the rights of people to privacy in their personal transac¬ frozen was market with Even from boom a the moment further It reduced. meant that his account the 7 purchasing margin must employ anyone on investigated suspicious manner but merely on the chance that somewhere something suspicious had acted in increase much larger very 122% fishing investigation, digging into the private affairs of a large num¬ ber of people at random with¬ out even the pretext that the par¬ ticular that securities was throughout the country, was asked to give information on the sub¬ ject. . sharp 1937 did break began, but until after the nothing ing part in the stock market, and is no small part of the explana* break had gone very far, and until after the Chairman of the Chase tion of the "thinness" of the mar¬ National Bunk had made Feb. single day—which in turn start the SEC on a new in¬ As late New as York elaborate 23, 1947, reports investigation made the Securities and the an by Exchange Com¬ mission of the stock market break of 1946,-involving such voluminous detail that the report, Sept. 3, on data in the Commission's hands by Oct. 7, 1946, been completed. "In data obtained interviewed buyers that day in 100 a member Exchange, the of the of largest stocks nationwide also on canvass. makes which possible wide a on vestigation! the de¬ mand that they lower the margin requirements, and the Chairman of the of Committee Rules the House of the At instance of the Securi¬ Commission itself had adopted complicated rules sharply restricting the activities of spe¬ ties and the Exchange Stock cialists Exchange and created certainty as floor a to and floor traders often when necessary traders. These great deal of un what specialists might do. It was at critical times quick actiqn by specialists and floor traders, was needed, for Representatives had re-,;) inforced Specialists and Floor Traders rules investigators sellers and had not yet addition to from Stock ket breaks "Times" firms of the prices of critical commodities and can go i . ticker tape, and they come more frequently when transactions ap¬ pear at a substantial change in price. to the President upon bad. In inquisitorial visits. They come less frequently upon the appear¬ ance of a large number of shares in a particular transaction on the the give The effect was very receht years Commission's The status: No more hearings held yet. and to deal with production bottlenecks intro¬ duced Feb. 15. the stock market based Bills to authorize Federal aid to education introduced Jan. 6. thus However however legitimate their transactions, men do not welcome governmental in¬ Bill to repeal Taft-Hartley Act and revive 1935 Wagner Act with "improvements" intro¬ duced in Senate Jan. 6. The status: Senate Committee on quiry into them. Labor details the have transactions into by the government. innocent their purposes, ... else, V area uncertainty, paralyzing action. ■ ficulties of the 1937 break (Continued from first page) of was as immense an The Margin Requirements Inquisitorial Practices of SEC case they are essentially economic in their nature) were listed along with their then existing status on Sunday last by the New York "Times" , was • We find it difficult to be¬ or any one • wild stock market of 1929. the Commission visited the as was man There by In major components (so far of People Becoming Tax Conscious may Program and Its Status a him. People are now becoming tax conscious—as Governor Dewey can testify. They are slowly beginning—at least we hope they are—to become interested in profligacy and its consequences. Controlling prices and wages begins to take on a different appearance with quotations declining and unemployment moving upward. It may be that the Presi¬ dent can reverse popular thought on these subjects, but we certainly hope that he can not. The trend of political thought is in reality bad enough in all conscience, but we hope not bad enough to give "the Fair Deal" a green light. his ingly, of first rate importance regardless of the flimsy polit¬ ical ground on which the alleged mandate for it rests. such black, the 81st is hardly white—for which was the implied if not expressed approval last November. He do precisely what he now rather plainly threatens to do. Indeed such a course would be quite in character. The nature of the program he would then champion is, accord¬ a to act quickly with burden of proof against for,a easy compilation it is evident that if the 80th inform The - made even A further factor narrowing people of this country and stir to be to it may, beneficial. It is not ist's action early last November, just how profoundly remains but the changes are sufficient to give a good many of the rank and file of the people of this country considerable pause. They have quite evidently given many of the labor union leaders pause. Some of them who were so loudly proclaiming what they were going to do if the Taft-Hartley Act was not repealed, now seem that the President again and again again outlined in vague terms an impossible program in which was included something for virtually everyone except the' successful businessman. It is likewise a fact that he promised action. Unfortunately for those who would Like to make a good deal of all this, it is likewise beyond contradiction that many legislative candidates of Mr. Tru¬ man's party were not and never had been in their public lives in step with the President on many of these questions. A number of them had been the bitterest of his enemies as > to be seen, and But be this all Bill to go status: since campaign All Things Unto All Men It is true, The program for this "fair deal" program. last November. v:-; j i lieve that the the Exchange rul- The President outlined in White thank kind Providence. we and putting the burden of proof upon the specialist, requiring af¬ firmative proof that the special- for development of Columbia along TVA lines. The status: Bill not yet basin Congress President who vetoed it, of the veto throughout the statement From this a the coattails of and made much development. introduced, massive scale with any such command or directive. A Congress, a majority or more of whose members helped to override a veto of the TaftHartley Act, can scarcely be said to have ridden back, forward go strengthen Federal Banking and Currency Commit¬ House; hearings to begin in the Senate on March 3. tee in Securities The ing Bill to continue and 24. action called for. before executive session of any hope to up low-rental and controls introduced Jan. rent finds to be the facts and their of the matter clearance slum Rent control. of this, nor why Commission had for (Continued from first page) none specialists to confer with members » of the Stock Exchange Commit- j tee instead of taking the prompt ; Housing. Bills setting As We See It But Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & this demand. mental regulation market in and 1937 of Govern-j the stock by the Securities, Exchange Commission and by- the was Federal not The a Reserve brilliant authorities 1 performance. requirements for; high, but the margin requirements were made.1 still higher for specialists and margin customers floor were traders very on the floor of the Stock the Exchange. In May of 1937 rule was promulgated that floor traders and other Stock Ex- •W ^Volume 169 change partners must have gin of 122% their on a mar¬ maximum obligations during the course of the day, whereas customers need notput up additional margin until their net position ascertained was £t the end of the day. It was esti¬ mated at the time that with mar¬ gin THE Number 4782 requirements at regular way, exchange, effected on (2) at such price unless such price is above the next preceding different price at of, which regular way, exchange." This the and though specialists to carrying stocks was rule reduced the by floor approximately 70% from what it had been under the old 20% rule, and that this was still further reduced by the rule promulgated in May. Stock Exchange [ Selling— Rules, 1931- May, 1935 A further factor the thinness the restrictions These late had 1931 of involved the market in was short on selling. operative from been through been concerned with mar¬ ketability in examining the stock security, effected such on than the prevailed in 1937, al¬ a first forbade rule impressive fact is that so men kept ,sane and re¬ mained responsible rather than the securities at "short sale of any keep the stock mar¬ ket good many failed a failed to and sane responsibilities. There is intoxicant and money trol than mental cheap credit. But lay with institution, Federal with the Reserve System, rather than But Actual Legislation and the None less, legislation com¬ "truth in securities" was pelling under the 1938 be made garding rule, short sales only at rising whereas, under the rule 1944 short sales could financial matters, with of the Securities Act the purposes of 1933. On other the hand, ter of New York Exchange since 1935 ferent drastic that it would recommenda¬ inated an which would in action, and matter of SEC a tion action., or We have noted discussing the decision to keep the Stock Sept. Exchange 1931, when 21, open on England abandoned the gold standard, that a rule . was forbidding short selling adopted by the President and Governing Committee of the the New to York the Stock Exchange, due emergency. On Sept. rule was rescinded. But 23 this on Oct. 5, 1931, the Business Con¬ duct Committee of the Stock Ex¬ change ruled that before execut¬ ing any sell orders on the floor, members notify such should floor members orders and that ascertain XVII, which of of the covers be held Section the short, or would responsible under ticle whether long were members and 4, Ar¬ Constitution, bringing about condition of demoralization in a prices. At that time practice a of order? to giving preference to sell for long account. On Nov. 23, 1931,.: the duct Committee, in conjunction other committees, decided grew up with that stock no short lor sale, and Business could be "stopped"2 below account Con¬ the last Jan. 22,1932, the Busi¬ on Conduct Committe ruled that ness identification of orders applied to bonds as well as stocks. So far restrictions have we created itself on voluntarily by the Stock Exchange short selling. SEC Itules Short Selling Begin on May, 1935. On May ^ . 27, 1935, however, a by the SEC led Stock Exchange rule that no recommendation to a of the Exchange should facility of the Exchange effect on the Exchange a short member use to any sale in the unit of trading below regular sale price. Ex¬ emption was provided for "odd continued at unchanged an price had been lower. The rule in effect in 1937 elim¬ in effective short interest, bring about rallies declining market. It was a a rule prevented the short sellers from initiating a down¬ ward move in the market. Short could operate only on a market. rising This was a very "bulls," super¬ ficially viewed, but it did not help if the purpose was to create nice a rule the for steady market for investors. short seller is extremely prices are breaking. He must cover (i.e. buy) then to take his profits. It is perfectly legitimate that the short seller The useful when active be should of stages in break, a desirable that the he early indeed, and, should be, in ade¬ quate short interest in the market to cushion the bottom, in order that the magnitude of the tbrq^k may be lessened by short cover¬ ing, and in order that there may be frequent strong rallies in the Now, all of this legislation and all of these rulings were benevo¬ lently designed to protect in¬ vestors and in cesses tition of the wild prevent stock market. stock such events rise market the to designed to prevent were of market crash 108.C4 190.38 then dropped of the 1929. to of 1 14 of But rose 1935 97.46 by to and 1937, is not 1938. This of record for stock and Industrials Aug. on They repe¬ the as June on ex¬ a 1924-29, Dow-Jones from March brilliant a governmentally con¬ trolled, daily inspected, con¬ stantly managed stock market, de¬ signed to give protection to in¬ vestors and designed to eliminate wide fluctuations in security prices. a last lot" of the dealers prices and for Securities" rule Legislation Needed equalization other exchanges. This on in "Truth The Securities Act of 1933, de¬ went into effect on June 3, 1935, and remained in effect until signed by the Congress to compel 1938. closure It under was growing out of this rule, "truth in securities" all of and full material dis¬ in facts Ex¬ sues, change felt obliged to accept, that the great smash of 1937-38 oc¬ pose. with new security is¬ had a very laudable pur¬ We had had an orgy between 1925 and of the curred In SEC on a recommendation which the the Stock 1938 Stock Feb. the SEC began to make direct regula¬ tions which took the place of rules on 10, Governing Committee of the Stock Exchange. The rule of the SEC as it appears in General Rules and Regulations as by the . . . amended to and including Feb. 15. 1944, "Rule X-10A-1 Short Sales," reads in part as follows:3 "(a) own No person account or shall, for his for the account of other person, effect on a na¬ tional securities exchange a short any sale of any security (1) below the price at which the last sale there¬ 2 A "stop loss order," is an given price, lower than the.prevailing price, is reached, or to buy if a given price/ higher than the prevail¬ ing price, is reached. Such orders be¬ order come price is "stop," to sell the a obtainable, the market," i. e.. at any if the designated price reached. date of the promulgation of this rule is not stated in the document, j latter part of 1929 security issues, many of which ought not to have been is¬ sued, and many of which could new not have closure been had sold been if full dis¬ made regarding them. Prior to the middle of 1924 investment bankers had shown for real sense investors. of on great a their cern our the whole deal of reputations con¬ and a responsibility toward There were occasional lapses, notably in the period 1897 1903, which was like the 1924- to 29 period in that there was a great of money and credit avail¬ excess able, and too a very eager much anxious cash to or if orders "at 3 The exact connection of Exchange. But with money cheap in its speculate public with hands in and stocks. the appalling excess of and credit created by the money read the men bill there as The — functioning abuses. law but of associated and fered of became issuing very Taking standard the "Chron¬ pure 1923 year a as should not make the comparison with the wild years, 1925-29—we find no year in the new period, corporate amounted to 1933-45, in security much as which issues 50% as the issues of 1923. In 1934 15%. In the years porate se¬ new more prosperous of 1936 and 1937 new issues were higher, cor¬ but then they were only 46% of those in 1923, while in 1938 and even 1939 they fell to 33% and 14%, respectively, of the 1923 levels. SEC Does Much Than More v Harm Good Securities ^and. .Exchange Commission has done than harm more curities Act of 1933 much Se¬ very good. The itself in¬ was wholly stock share. per the At within its and to by stockholders under the subscription offer which expires up The (EST) stockholders March 14, 1949. on the of terms offering for are: standing share of each and southern and 255 other cities, plantations. This ter¬ ritory has a population of 560,000, two-thirds company of the State's. operates now four manufacturing plants, but ii plans to discontinue its gas busi¬ in Rockland and its sell to other gas properties this year. J. McCrea French Admits to out¬ stock, common of electric and ness will purchase any shares not taken at 3 p.m. State an gas share. The underwriters per of which includes the towns The 6% preferred for subscription, also at $15% central about utility additional common the primarily an area Rockland the shares of will centers of Portland, Portland, Westbrook, Lewiston, Auburn, Brunswick, Bath, Biddeford, Saco,* Sanford, Gardi¬ ner, Augusta, Waterville, Fair¬ field, Skowhegan, Belfast and of¬ is offering an of the common company 67,300 time same proceeds South ($10 par), at $15% V; :,,f C-\' , net industrial Inc., 219,196 1, in mers Maine,, Co., March Allen Crawford as Partner common ATLANTA, GA. — J. McCrea French has admitted Allen Craw¬ stock; for each outstanding share ford, Jr. to partnership in J. Mc¬ one-sixth of 6% of a of share a of preferred stock, five-sixths share of French Crea Street The 219,196 common shares be¬ underwriters which New England Public Service Co., pa¬ rent company, has waived its pre¬ emptive rights under the offering ing offered the by shares represent 286,496 Power's to on Co.. 22 Marietta of common shares, Nepsco^ Central Maine will be reduced Building. Mr. Crawford has associated been Now LITTLE L. of Mr. French, Proprietorship ROCK, ARK.—Eugene Villareal is E. West 66.53% from 77.8%. with in the firm for some time On the sale of the common ownership & common. to stockholders. The entire the applied to further reduction utility, serving about 199,000 do¬ mestic, commercial, industrial, ag¬ ricultural and municipal custo¬ shares of Central Maine Power Co. of curity issues were less than 7% of the 1923 levels, while in 1935 they were be Central Maine Power Co. oper¬ underwriters publicly, holders one — & ex¬ proposes short-term bank loans. Power Go. Common prevent as business sterile. very company and con¬ Ripley & Go. Ripley made bonds, series R, due 1979, at com¬ during March, 1949, Offers Central Maine Harriman short- help finance the company's petitive sale was stop normal well as The securities new to applied of were to sell $5,000,000 of first and general mortgage series the of three will appear in the icle" of March 10.) was so limitations them. issue of virtually as is It the on securities the to credit as new L. now sole proprietor Villareal Second and Co., 117 Street. 253CJ gsssg x stop to of the Securities and Exchange Commis¬ sion, constituted as that it aided that at investment date, bankers in getting from the Congress cer¬ modifications of the extreme tain restrictions of the original Act. legislation, as adminis¬ tered by the Securities and Ex¬ change Commission, has radically But the limited ties as stock issue the well as market of jtJST thep?^ REVISED 1949 EDITION OF securi¬ new orr contributing to the situation just "SECURITY DEALERS OF NORTH AMERICA" re¬ viewed. SEC Versus Congress On Marketability The as concept of the stock market broad a which men and active who need market in to sell can find buyers and men who wish to buy can find sellers, in which the spread between the bid price and asked price is narrow, a market in which securities can be marketable, encountered definite hostility upon the part of the Securities and Exchange Commis¬ The Commission questions sion. the value and importance of liquidity in the securities market pages 98 to 102 of its Report on Segregation of June 20, 1936. In this, the Commission runs definitely counter to the inten¬ tion of Congress which, in the Banking Act of 1935, legislation America's in more and than recent now its reasserts phasis on sential long standing marketability attribute securities. Banking over em¬ 308 vestment 1935 securities' marketable daily reference. 6,000 cover to cover—containing important changes in data indispen¬ in the investment business. the of Bound in durable "As used in this section, the term 'in¬ of your sable to anyone es¬ an of stock directory investment of Section Act as ready for Entirely revised from Securities the only COMPLETE and bond houses in the United States and Canada Exchange legislation of 1934, says, shall obligations." limp fabrikoid SQ.00 mean This ENTER is YOUR ORDER TODAY in harmony with long established banking law and long established practice of the Comptroller of the Currency in dealing with National banks. The bank HERBERT D. SEIBERT & ex¬ policies of the Fed¬ aminers, in examining a bank's Banks, particularly bond portfolio, have been con¬ after the renewal of cheap money stantly concerned with market¬ in the autumn of 1927, credit ability as measured by frequency standards broke badly; financial i of quotations and by number of eral NOTE article be its allowed Congress, to guide its policy in dealing with the stock market. (EDITOR'S will reduction tensive construction program. The of cluding the Ex¬ and theories rather than the own proceeds term bank loans which credibly drastic and imposed such of the break. course Commission change common that there may be an order 31 such that sellers Securities The bank behind called general recognition that it as loans. Harriman Administration Paralyzing was price, provided that the last dif¬ voluntary Net toward ates could be al¬ Maine and is for, and there was sym¬ pathy (which the present writer shared) among men informed re¬ prices, have private finance. between in effect in collateral exchange con¬ govern¬ a smash of 1937, and continue operative today, originally as a mat¬ Stock meet no worse prolonged excess this of they below the price at or effected." The dif¬ the rule quoted above which was in effect in 1944, and the rule promulgated in February of 1938 seems to be that way, ference fact that and ways . many to stricter , 'The which the last sale thereof, regu¬ Short oil transactions came. 29 (985) abuses little less strict than the promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commis¬ sion effective Feb. 8, 1938. That lar Restrictions which rule CHRONICLE judgment went haywire; and great of. such is FINANCIAL was was rule 122%, of sale a. & or such traders ability COMMERCIAL REctor 2-9570 aa: CO., INC. New 25 Park Place Reserve RS York 7, N. Y. THE (986) 30 COMMERCIAL & Many managements will argue place than ever before, but its that tney cannot afford to reduce is abnormally high. • prices —that their margins are in Economic Outlook and the Construction (Continued from first page) goods and consumer to order snow tween l»4o trend trie you increased taxes $9.8 billion, but expenditures for sumer con¬ goods increased $14.4 lion. Tnis dollar that meant for by $1.47. for tures next and consumer the m be¬ expendi¬ goods again Between 1946 and dollar increase m after come raised 1947, for their outlay individuals for consumer Between 1947 and 1948, however, the story different. taxes in¬ consumer taxes, goods by $1.21. every was very Personal incomes after by $16.8 grew expenditures billion, but consumption in¬ on creased by only $12.0 billion. In other words, for every dollar in¬ crease in taxes, individuals expenditures Even only by between the incomes consumer in crease raised and in¬ con¬ of 1948. Between the second and is that 1949 from peacetime maintaining in becoming production production had has to busi¬ that real a problem employment. of Back 1945 and the first half of 1946 business did magnificent job of maintaining employment during the conversion from war production to civilian a production. be able to do an ness job in 1949? Let problem and Will busi¬ look us what see the at be done can To begin with, it is important the does government aggravate the problem. not not President understand the problem. He that the country is still thinks primarily problem confronted with the of preventing inflation, he has and advocated substantial in received This taxes. is likewise advice from his and, if the published statements of the reluctant to spend Secretary of the Treasury are to and are bringing the amount of their be 'taken at face value, from this as well. spending closer to their incomes. official Fortunately, All nonagricultural business con¬ Congress sees the situation more more their increased cerns tures expendi¬ plant and equipment by billion between 1945 and on $5.4 by 1946; 1946 and $4.2 billion between 1947, and by $2.6 billion between 1947 and 1948. business more, and less Further¬ concerns inclined to money in order to their incomes. In ample, out of less are seek outside spend beyond 1947, for ex¬ dollar spent by corporations, cents was provided by in¬ ternal funds, such as depreciation allowances or plowed-back earn¬ every investment on 54.4 ings, and 45.6 cents outside. In of cents 1948, from the however, 66.9 came dollar of invest¬ ment expenditure was provided by internal funds and only 33.1 cents by outside money. Put in another way, corporations spent 89.9 cents of outside money on investment in 1947 for every dollar of in¬ ternal funds spent in that way. In 1948, however, they spent only 54.5 every cents of investment outside for internal funds money dollar of With the every spent. so rate of saving by on plainly than the President advisers and increase taxes future. taxes is not in his or likely to j have advocated higher have submitted and memo¬ interests have of are submitted un¬ contrary union to which memoranda on withdraw them, and all unions, in the interest of their members, should oppose magnitude the of and prospective in government increases spending. the second half of During 1948, total cash payments of local, State and Fed¬ eral Governments to the public running at an annual rate $4.6 billion above the first half were of of 1948 and cash receipts from the running at an annual billion below the first During 1949, the cash pay¬ were ernments can and individuals to spend be halted before it produces a drop in total spending and a re¬ ments of the local and State Gov¬ will rise People to spend a little ing. ever, sonal By the of 1948, how¬ the rate of increase in per¬ end incomes slow—it was had become less than 1% very (at the seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the third quarter and the fourth quarter of 1948. Hence, a small further drop in willingness to spend would produce an actual drop in the volume of spending. What a drop can in business do to prevent the spending—or total volume of given volume of spending produce a larger volume of production and employment? Under the Amer¬ to make in relation incomes after taxes. 1948, total 8.0% of taxes in to personal In December, credit consumer after billion. $8 the was Federal The cash budget, approximately $8.3 which billion would produce surplus. The taining task of a moderate cash (4) The. boom has with 12.0% three- year postwar resulted not in any ^reat accumulation of inventories One take. ment business and in main¬ employ¬ policies to present conditions and the other is to inventories actual are (1), Adjusting investment poli¬ 1947 for the conditions of 1948 and business portant which in been inventories in¬ no relative to and only small relative increases wholesaling and retailing. In in all the ratio of inventories cases to sales is substantially less than in 1939 or 1940 when goods were obtainable when it small notice short on feasible was to and carry inventories. relation product. tures For plant on national gross example* expendi¬ about $22 were the the to equipment billion or 8.6% of and national product. gross Be¬ tween 1919 and 1923, expenditures plant on about 9.3%. in of Gross . 1926-1929, private of 15.4% was national the between land 1948 equipment were gross national and 8.8% in product 17.6% needed urgently did im¬ an expenditures not comparison 1909 between and 18.1% between 1919 • and 1923; and 17.1% between 1923 and during the last eignt that proiits per dollar of remained about the Before managements decide they cannot afrord to adjust to the growing reluctance prices spend money, they should con¬ sider the consequences of not re¬ to them, ducing reauced, to spend comes. prices if (6) The demand backlog still is of consumer in many places. It is true that consider¬ able progress has been made in increasing the number of auto¬ mobiles in the large country. present time passenger there are At . about the 34 registered in comparison with 27.4 million in cars The average age of auto¬ has increased from 5.7 in 1940 to about 8 years at the beginning of 1949. Hence, an abnormally large replacement de¬ for automobiles still exists. mand not are people will begin many less man their recent in¬ This will mean that ex¬ penditures drop, and as they drop, profits will aiso fall. I do not know which drop in profits would be resulting from greater—a drop about tr.e same sold goods spread physical volume of smaller at direct between average costs and early I am afraid that most of the postpone¬ selling prices or a drop resulting from a smaller physical volume of goods sold at result a of the limited prices. rather as tnan ponement result a orders of the of post¬ business by Nevertheless, the rate investment in 1948, as I have pointed out, was not abnormally high in relation to the gross na¬ tional product. In 1949, promise an expenditures early which return the to should be carried out. concern In addition, however, greater weight should be attached to the long-run interests of enterprises, and should be not man¬ easily persuaded to postpone the execu¬ tion of long-run investment plans because immediate business pros¬ pects are^ uncertain. ways been the American al¬ of that economy decisions vestment It has major weakness a have in¬ been highly sensitive to the short-run business outlook. For many, il TiOj; most'firms, greajt attention to outlook run the which or to base their attempted plans too much upon long-run outlook have often an unchanged spread direct between capacity of the cap¬ ital goods industries to fill orders business whole the difference in prof¬ a its preserving between volume accepting smaller mar¬ gins and sacrificing volume in or¬ der to preserve margins is not through very great. Certainly it is better for business in the long run to in order to pre¬ employment than to sacri¬ serve in order to pre¬ Furthermore, if business adjusts prices to induce individuals to spend a higher pro¬ portion of their incomes on con¬ sumer goods, there is a good chance that the greater pressure for lower costs will stimulate effi¬ fice employment margins. serve ciency and help enterprises the serve pre¬ margins between aver¬ direct costs and selling prices. age Up to the end of 1948, as I have indicated, the drop in the willing¬ spend has net gone so far increase in spend¬ to ness halt the to as ing—it had Simply caused the vol¬ ume of spending to rise at a de¬ creasing rate. When the figures for early 1949 a^e available, they will probably show a more-thandrop in spending. Retail seasonal sales in below January, 1948 January, 1949 Furthermore, ume. were 1.9% in dollar vol¬ some of the present employment and the con¬ sumer spending based upon it are the result of investment decisions business concerns last year or even earlier. As the the hope of getting construction spending based upon these old de¬ done at a lower cost at later dates. cisions is completed, the total volConstruction costs are likely to ume of spending can drop appre¬ drop moderately as materials be¬ ciably. Hence business should act come more abundant, labor and promptly to stimulate the demand managerial efficiency improves for goods. People have sufficient and competition among contract¬ incomes to buy more consumer ors becomes stiffer. Managements goods than they are buying—in¬ which contemplate postponing in¬ come sufficient to permit them to be tempted, however, to cut or postpone investment programs in made by Although average real income per vestment programs, however, purchase at present prices nearly family is about 25% greater than should consider carefully whether 4% more than they bought last in 1940, the number of cars has the prospective savings in cost are year. Hence business has excel¬ not increased as rapidly as the likely to compensate the enter¬ lent opportunity to stimulate the number of families and- the -ratio- prise for being without improved demand for goods and to prevent of cars per family has scarcely facilities for about six months or the drop in the urgency of de¬ mand from changed. The backlog of housing a year. causing people to is still very great. demand ing the last three been increase an houses Dur-J Adjusting (2) of into roughly 2.5 dwelling dividing of old dwelling units. period, however, the more In the same families has increased of to the state present increase of $1.00 in in¬ after taxes of 7.7 And the rise million. family income, the of amount in real course, of in¬ dwelling demanded. (7) The backlog of business de¬ is also very large. The investment of the last three years has only restored the amount of plant and equipment per worker to the level of 1929. of plant worker and were required $60 be in private required. course, more trends, long-term investments billion would per raised to the amount by additional If the amount equipment of about industry There is, of a rise goods do not fit the situa¬ individuals spend on consumer goods only about 71 sumer tion when of cents of concerns prices years additional every income after as markable mand produced in expenditures for con¬ $1.21 a taxes. whole restraint showed in re¬ raising several when consumers were will¬ during the dollar Business last ing to spend more than their in¬ comes. Indeed, for three years prices remained below the level required to equate supply and de¬ mand, as the steady rise in most prices indicated. Hence the re¬ duction in prices needed to pre¬ vent a drop production plant and equipment great. is in employment and probably not very by so much less that the differ- erence cannot be offset by invest¬ ing ment. The needs extent to business which stimulate to '. ;; iv the prices which were appropriate come million and the throw themselves out of work spending too much less than their recent incomes—that is, by spend¬ ing and pricing policies. Certainly by 10.0 consumer goods in many lines requires modification of sell¬ more, about 3.0 million. Further¬ in the preceding 15 years, the number of families had in¬ of and concerns for an by selling The declining urgency of demand when creased the there has price policies of business the and houses number years < sacrifice margins encountered serious financial dif¬ Nevertheless, there are many concerns which do not need to adjust their investment pro¬ grams to the short-run business outlook. Some of these firms will selling and costs I suspect that for ficulties. 1929. years mucn as have an or about prices sales an promise the' short-run outlook has been a investment financial necessity, and enter¬ the gross prises which misjudged the short- . creases up postpone reduction in costs increase in output. tany In 1949. appropriate was not were agements (5) The rate of private invest¬ ment during 1948 was not high in space was to wnich and it investment of There has sales since 1946 in manufacturing of favorable circumstances: (1) Incomes have recently been outrunning prices. In December, 1948, personal incomes after taxes were running at the annual rate of 6.5% above December,. 1947, but the consumers' price index adjust its sell¬ ing policies, particularly its price policies, to present conditions. concerns. ment is made easier by a number , to adjust its invest¬ is fact, matter of a years so mat indicate. crease risen ment which occurred was comparison in 1940. number of dwelling units by only production so As have as same. the billion and cash surplus in dropping produces a decrease in expenaitures, production employment? Tnere aie two, principal steps which business can units from the construction of new between $7 from small. costs incomes, ment by pre¬ and was income personal to increasing reluctance to money cies to in-, very do that it demand. only 2.6%—a gain in the purchasing power of personal in¬ comes of about 3.8%, or $7.6 bil¬ lion a year at present prices. The ican system of private enterprise gain in incomes relative to prices the responsibility for maintaining has been particularly pronounced the volume of employment mid - summer. Between (or since a low spend lar million in the number of still willing are shori-Term the vent business can by about $1 billion to $2 billion above 1948 and those of the Federal Govern¬ during 1948, will virtually dis¬ appear—though enactment of the more than their recent incomes with the result much-needed social security pro¬ that total incomes have been ris¬ gram, if effective on July 1, 1949, cession. still 1940. prices is weakening. prises Consumer mobiles problem confronting business substantially limited by large half. confront¬ (3) debtedness, although consideraoiy larger than several - years ago, is is side money dropping, it is easy to see that the upward pressure on question than three years ago. the rate of $4.-3 crucial large—.about $10.8 bil¬ million higher taxes at the present time. Fortunately, since 1948. more members. unions the the this point to the President should recent risen nearly 5% very^ 1913; Higher taxes at time would create Consequently, mean¬ lion President. the the Consumer holdings of cash with present employment and In are randa favoring higher taxes to the ing and with the demand for out¬ The (2) immedfale product the Some trade union organi¬ zations individuals ris¬ public ing business in 1949 is whether the growing reluctance of enter¬ in¬ a The President has bad What probably larger than the figures Council of Economic Advisers are $191.5 an words, the pur¬ of consumer in¬ power has —thougn H that other the summer of equally good about it. major blunder. Business concerns The maintaining and war after taxes, goods by only 49 cents. of billion, 4.6%. In chasing business, and the year the first year since the is 171.4. comes its job. of increases their rate $200.4 of that do primary job of increasing employment, however, fourth quarters of 1948, for every dollar rise in personal income individuals increased expenditures on consumer to event the in fails to his recent statements that he does the annual an em¬ in for irom billion maintain to Truman has made it evident from goods during the latter part sumer business of ure cents. the dif¬ advance expenditures re¬ sponsibility of offsetting the fail¬ after their 71 marked was more ference income consumer MI i»48, personal incomes after taxes rose business, and it also has the ness smaller. was employ¬ Industry 1948, and December, time, the consumers' price index dropped sligntly from 171.7 to between two of June, crease shift the volume in¬ the responsibility of not aggravating the difficulties of faster than personal incomes after taxes, thougn the difference grew normal average age nas business goods the ment) is primarily the responsi¬ bility of business. The government ployment year, 1947, crease their consumer the In 1946 tween about after gain in income individuals increased expenditures lor bil¬ every of taxes 1 Be¬ years. 1940 personal in¬ ana after comes In services. going back several am bringing Thursday, March 3, 1949 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE consumer spending in order to prevent a rise in unemployment depends in the main upon work (1) the increase in the (2) the increase in forces; (3) the in¬ government spending output per manhour; in crease and (4) the change in investment expenditures by private business. This ignores the change in foreign trade balances which are likely to be small. If the labor force by the grows normal amount of 600,000 between 1948 and 1949 and output per manhour rises by about of about $10 gross will in 3%, an increase billion in the annual product be needed at to present prevent prices a rise unemployment.. I have already that' governments ex¬ indicated penditures are likely to rise by , Volume 169 from. $8 Number 4782 billion, to billion $10 a The accumulation of inven¬ year. tories by business enterprises is likely to cekfee. This would mean a drop of about $3 billion in busi¬ ness of the most fect competes expendi¬ equipment -is possible—perhaps $3 billion below 1948. These figures indicate/that a rise in of the of with old clothing, hats with old old volume hats, Let furniture new cars, with old expenditures' furniture, new houses- with old roughly $6 billion to $8 billion houses, new machinery with old machinery. ^ Price - cuts om new year atrpresent prices will consumer prob¬ ably be needed to prevent a rise in unemployment.'' There ' is,'" of course, a possibility that; the in¬ in crease force • the will than the size be the of greater labor smaller or normal amount of about 600,000. V Would -it not be preferable Tor business to attempt to "stimulate the ■; demand for goods by raising rather wages prices? than Some by reducing unions have al¬ ready been urging that wages should be increased to boost con¬ sumer buying Against power. price cuts may be urged two argu¬ (4) price if • the rates of taxation, the more important become reforms of taxes to industrial and for outside funds, new bank loans VI "v What can the construction in¬ dropping from $2.9 billion to $800 million. Less than one-fifth of the prices. Undoubtedly the price level of the United States, must rise relative to other price levels in order to enable this country to be paid in imports for the goods which it ex¬ ports. That is a problem which must be'solved but years, the it in immediate needed: to maintain of and dustry long, the of small. some in and the large or that hands consumers Furthermore, of are post¬ any today will larger sales tomorrow. Price cuts advantages a post¬ reason ponement which occurs mean postpone-, this be not simple- goods merchants business "sta¬ but would for stocks adjustments method have two are increases over wage as of equitable than wage move increases because all consumers obtain the benefit of lower prices whereas only small preferred obtain groups higher 1948 the proportion was little thanone-fourth. Only about funds used is by The corporations in 1947 (this excludes in¬ depreciation allowances) was for all other industries raised by new security issues. In as the this for same offer a better product price. The industry lower a more ijnay answer that it can not afford 22|%' of - all private domestic o1 do this. Implicit in this an¬ curity swer ent the qualification "at pres¬ is issues , in the last years-feave been sold efficiency." Efficiency is not a static thing. The quality and, the prices which an industry can offer at the efficiency of 1948 are not necessarily the quality and se¬ three to individ¬ uals, and- individuals have only about one-tenth of all sonal savings into curities.-...'/■>:••• ;.p put the Guts wages. -benefit in of non-agri¬ corporate ' ' prices, for example, help farmers who are ex¬ periencing droos in the prices of weak now tainly taxes after come , consumers' for goods than when they tions spend¬ upon are out of every increase of £l tor consumers' goods. y . I do not wisn to get into gument over whether dependent Outside funds for capital. The condition is partly the fault which an ar¬ not or become more present ing $1.21 little con¬ of.corporate managements by and large have made study of the problem of of¬ high." One fering individuals the kind of se¬ can defend them by pointing out curity which persons of moderate It is that per capita income after taxes means can afford to own. is up about 130% since 1940, and partly the fault of government struction costs that are "too construction about 80%, or a costs little are more - policies. ud make it than the consumers' to offer is be The SEC year construction industry, as well as month after unions nor .1945. effective two wage increases than tions for four (1) reasons. or rise no in pro¬ payrolls because they would encourage 'employers to lay off all workers usefulness doubt. might Hence even is low or in increases wage reduce payrolls. Price cuts would help maintain em¬ ployment in the companies mak¬ ing them by stimulating sales. (2) awards. month During the first first quarter of 2a|tqUhr. 1947; come during the $*1047 awards 20%' taxation below January 1948. New housing starts in the first half of 1948 taF backlog of demand for hous- Mg' °*c?urse.. is isstill Nevertheless, it . . Some . been appearing has . being remedied. market. jthe World . . . . The partially-exempts are still going out of . . . . BONDS IN DEMAND BANK WORLD bonds Bank again under accumulation, with some of are companies and commercial banks apparently bullish enough on these obligations to advise the purchase of them by the out-oftown institutions which they represent. ... It is being pointed out that the yield is satisfactory and the floating supply has been sharply curtailed because the bonds are moving into strong hands. ... For those that are interested in putting funds into intermediate matur¬ ities the 2%s due 1957 are being recommended while the 3s due 1972 the trust suggested for institutions that are desirous of obtaining a larger It is reported that fairly sizable amounts of both issues are return. are ... finding their way into portfolios of institutions that were now lukewarm on the World Bank securities. formerly rather switches obligations, Bank International the of . . . purchase In addition to the recommendation for the outright being sug¬ are bonds. ... In most instances income is improved, maturity shortened, and premiums reduced by the swap from corporates into the World Bank issues. . . The 3s due 1972 are shown to be in a particularly favorable position for . switches out of long corporate bonds. ... into goods. ..;y \ (3) Price cuts would help realize that the goods. new new effectively Competition be¬ more and the old is It enormous.] stantially to number of 23-million in 1946. In a the one drop in the mar¬ riages, the urgency of all The to sustain the of of present however, income help maintain level of will to invest in a assist "industry creases In Thus it would high and growing to make in its productive economy one ' needed case private" the in¬ capacity. short, it would help make the American expanding mar¬ available be drawn. - which is to enable rapidly it growing required the by to badly supply the quantities the obligations domestic policies. rapidly so which from conclusions accurate more be can peacetime rapidly disappearing In the interim the adjustment from a war to a ... goes economy the inflationary forces on, unless should continue this trend and . other rabbit out of the hat. the are Administration pulls an¬ information events, seems to be nothing on the horizon that would be adverse to government securities markets. . . Based upon the available . economic conditions, and the predictable future course of Gn there the ... A readjustment in business and the advent of economy curities. . . competitive a in the 1920s would be favorable to government se¬ as The return to normal conditions will be painful but . of the sting will be removed by the action of the monetary some authorities because they will see to it that credit is eased in order to prevent more serious happenings from taking place. removal of of the restrictions , . The . credit, which will eventu¬ ally come with the adjustment should have a stimulating effect upon the government market. If business were to have a some on ... more setback than is anticipated, there will severe easing of credit than would be the case of conditions. economic . . . Nonetheless, such be greater a orderly change in an course a should not be adverse to the market for Treasury of events obligations. . . , GOVERNMENT MARKET PROTECTED The government market trolled is of the major factors in one con¬ our and its well-being is of great concern to the Ad¬ protected and maintained in orderly fashion in the past and there is no reason to believe it will not be fostered economy ministration. in the It ... future. was A firm, orderly and buoyant trend in prices of a period of eco¬ nomic adjustment because this is one way in which confidence can ... government securities is evidently desirable during be restored. tions past. in . . This does not . quotations of ... mean that there will not be fluctua¬ Treasuries because • , It does nevertheless be major when the . will be, in the as that price changes will the underlying trend will be on the Quotations generally do not recede very and ones, constructive side. to indicate seem there 1 . . demand side is quite of the monetary likely to be strengthened authorities. ... sub¬ employment and it would industry, in order' international volume of . . through! action would, equity issues. is quite convincing, I believe,'that i goods the construction yield stimulate individuals of levels new 1947 there the demand housing will drop. corporate sev- high of number'of- must .. patternv is all-important and its future course will very closely because of the effect it will have on the money markets. Although inconclusive at this point, it seems as though the forces of deflation are gaining in strength. ... It will probably be another six weeks or two months before sufficient data business The watched be much the reduce taxes. has been dropping for reached for , goods to compete ^HE NATION'S ECONOMIC^; not important riages distributed of peo¬ ple to conyevt part of their hold¬ ings of cash and demand deposits tween the longs. in the taxable 2s because too many non-banking institutions all at once believed them less attractive than the higher income issues. This condition is indigestion not hfiVfn ab0Ve 1947' in the lat~ Price old purchases of both of and transfers from shorts into securities these profits on all non-refunding equity securities issued after the first of January, 1950. This would le/ half they were 8.9% below. I he believe that the government its policy is close at hand. beginning should be made in this year by eliminating the double cTorresP°nding over the A t In January 1949 were when reverse °t.1948' they were quarter of 1947. quaner I owners. time real many with of the market's action is the same as it has been, from ineligibles in taps, new money swaps customers. or discouraging individuals from becoming owners of corpo¬ rations to encouraging them to be¬ cuts would increase were 2 million marriages and in purchasing power of men's holdings of cash and de¬ 1948, 1.8v million. ■ In -1949f' the mand depositary Thus price cuts number is likely to drop down to would discourage men from at¬ about 1.6 million which will be' tempting to add to these holdings fairly close to "normal." -•••■ With and would encourage the . ... The pattern and from on con¬ 2™ of 1948, contract awards 23.3% larger than during the contract Wage increases would little whose the figures were likely to be more wage increases in are maintaining the volume of em¬ ployment under present condi¬ duce and there. after year to persons in the poration has plants ITS ascosts.whole, rate of a needs building The tract Price cuts . ... lower had r . Longer-term ... cities- and regions where the cor¬ organized workers who have or that taxable issues backed away from previous re¬ sistance levels, which is not unusual because this has happened in the past. A trading range or area is probably being established. If there wasn't some backing and filling of prices occasionally, traders and dealers would not be able to scalp a few 30-seconds here The expensive for corporations a tap issue which might sold impressive are one 15 income tax payments. . . . These are temporary conditions should' have only a passing influence upon the Treasury market. regulations price index, which up about 70%. There is, how¬ ever, persuasive evidence that the un¬ since minor shading a gested from corporate an the only activity, along with in volume and decrease prices, has been taking place in the government market. . . . Con¬ solidation of gains would be healthy after about two months of an orderly advance in quotations. . . . Part of the demand has been sat¬ isfied, dealers have inventories in the shorts and intermediates and commercial banks are cautious because they are preparing for March se¬ Furthermore, double taxation of private construction is tapering distributed corporate profits and their own products whereas wage Durmg the first quarter of high progressive rates of taxation increases would not help farmers. 1948, private building, in dollar mean that even large corporate The groups most likely to win volume, was 33.3% above the cor¬ profits offer little return by the wage increases are the strongest responding quarter of 1947; dur¬ time they reach the investor. unions which have already had ing the last quarter of 1948, it was Sooner or later government three rounds of wage increases— only 4.7% above 1947. Even more policies will have to be changed the Governments on of ■ as> a whole do? not appear to be than a year ago Cer¬ improvement in effi¬ very much interested in becoming owners of American corporations. ciency is more important when individuals are spending 71 cents This, is £ serious situation: Which out of every dollar increase in in¬ will become acute when corpora - needed cultural would not Reporter By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. A per¬ It is plain that American cor¬ which it can offer at the efficiency of 1949 provided there porations'are not able to rely upon direct investments by individuals is an improvement in efficiency. to meet a very large part of their ls .f.vi.dent that improvements in eificiency y are more badly capital needs, and that individuals important maintaining a high level of employment in 1949—(1) they are more equitable and (2) they are more effective. Price cuts at investment employment during 1949? answer Our • buying, ponement few prevent It is true that price might induce ment next not price bility in 1949. cuts the should new dustry do to stimulate production accentuating deflationary; —namely of still lower enterprise. on a influences by encouraging people to postpone buying in anticipation discouraging equip¬ higher price level in relation to. the price level of other countries in order to obtain more imports in avoid During 1947 and 1948, a moder¬ ately satisfactory rate of invest¬ ment, encourage new investment. ment was sustained by corpora¬ If wage increases have any bene4 tions by plowing back substantial ftciaheffect, it is much more lim- amounts of earnings. Industry had Ued beGause Wage increases stim¬ only moderate success, however, ulate investment ~ only indirectly in raising funds from the outside by possibly raising consumer in¬ market. It is true that in 1948 pri¬ comes and by eneouragingb the vate security issues (exclusive of substitution of machinery for la¬ from $4.4 bor. Price cuts produce both; of refunding) .-increased billion in 1947 to $5.9 billion and the above effects and also a third that corporations relied to sub¬ —they encourage the replacement stantially less extent upon banks of old equipment with new. buildings ments: (1) the United States needs payment for exports; and (2) price cuts might have the immediate ef¬ fect of for more taxes, he did not reforms in taxes. The stiffer urge % made- consider reforming system to encourage in¬ vestment. Although Mr. Truman, quite unwisely in my judgment, the. tax asked goods help- sustain employment by encouraging people to discard- old things and to buy new things. 31 (9871 these remarks ment needs to with" •°f a conclude me '//vA/;!//':: • by asking whether the time is not approaching when the govern¬ new new cars CHRONICLE f|,;/: y:• ^ yjj hence and FINANCIAL their,.;.mbney. goods upon the volume employment. New clothing tures plant and of upon sold & building ih 1949 at the levels of 19,48, must offer buyers more for pervasive and impor¬ competition in the economy and the outcome of this kind of competition has 'much ef¬ tant, kinds expenditures. A small addi¬ tional drop of business on COMMERCIAL THE INSIDE THE MARKET The bonds are down have demand its 1952/54 attracting are now attention at been not around available in these issues. . . . are move. these . . very successful because there is a sizable that becomes very real when prices look as though bonds a bit. . . The eligible 2V2S . are still being edged away slightly from their highs as large for the . Large orders the these satisfied The longest tap supplied by savings banks, although offerings have not been since levels present well taken and attempts to quote these securities being they might be coming off and and due with the return of country's 2s along with the 2Vis due 1956/59 because many investors 2%s due two bonds securities have are still in the market for the 2%s due 1955/60 1960/65. has been . showing again under accumulation by . Only a part of the demand for " filled, because very few of thesk ; . been up. . some . , The 214s due 1959/62 are of the savings banks. COMMERCIAL THE (988) FINANCIAL & Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE think there is The Market for Securities Today 4) page had in peacetime probably for any been I units going into institutional form. recite this as necessarily bad thing, and I don't mean to criticize the institutions that have these or savings. They are enterprises in the American But the fact that an proportion of savings has been going into institutional form does raise problems and does raise More Savings Going into as these you of net available our tion to about 39%. rose was during fell. the But in Obviously, people with but few a are it accounted 14% for made by 75% that not are a the of net their income. a few various into come really the this discus¬ of meat forms: United States business, stocks, and bonds except United States Government Bonds, Now, in the income group of $5,- 1000 to $7,500, 69% (States Government United own 67% Bonds; of give you just | illustrate that | I will figures to point. of _ spending units. spending A emit consists of people who lated, live in the and pool their are re¬ dwelling, same incomes for the of making purchases. Spending units are precisely—al7 though it isn't the term you are purpose used to—the kind whom you These figures would of sell are units to securities. derived from made by a research or¬ ganization Under contract with the surveys Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and lished in the June, and investment in stocks and bonds, other than United States Govern¬ ment pub¬ were July, August September., 1948 issues of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Of the Now you see spending units with un¬ $1,000 a year income, for ex¬ ample, more dissaved than saved. Dissaving means spending more than your income. Let Spending between 40% of the And with incomes $1,000 and $2,000, spent than more units so their incomes in over up the line until you get to the $5,000 to $7,500 a year bracket; almost 80% of the spend¬ ing units in this income group able .•'savings. to make Only during the year some 21% than their incomes. Here group. positive spent more And this 1947., was For spend¬ find we 86% own¬ ing government bonds; 73% sav¬ ings accounts; 86% having check¬ ing accounts; 81% having life in¬ surance; 73% _ 36% owning a home; having investments in their business, and only 49% own¬ own ing stocks and bonds other than United States Government Bonds. The median or middle-size figures that only 21% of spending units in the $5,000 the to $7,500 income group owned any 49% in the income group $7,500 and over stocks and bonds, and only owned any. Unfortunately, we do not have the figures broken down by income groups as to how peo¬ ple felt about owning stocks and All know is what peo¬ we the they probably indicate why making $5,000 to $7,500 year and the 51% making $7,500 per year do not hold per over and bonds. stocks more units ing for reason the against were stocks. common or holding ; didn't give any against. Now, here thing that I interested am Out of that 62 who in. def¬ were against initely is rather reasonable sort of a they mean; wanted 30 out of every 62 against holding com¬ mon stock were opposed because they are not familiar with com¬ who were stock. mon Almost half of the stock—that the people who holding common why I mentioned against were 30 is 62 of out common stock weren't familiar — didn't because own just they holding is $4,200. Bi.it you get into the It to common on the basis of analysis that I have given you, that a very large proportion of people who could be expected to be in the market for corporate securities are not in the market. They can afford to buy them, but most of them are not buying them. seems this me, brief very Investment I holdings above is if Just median. the as count what The down third one quartile. from the third what is quartile. ar¬ biggest holding down to the smallest have of quarter the way alter you have these you is only have of that is what we known take you the holding, and known In the as other words, holdings are bigger than this figure and three- one-quarter of quarters smaller. For are the the group $7,500 of income, , . ( with $5,000 to the third quar¬ to wants compa¬ your as save regular prac¬ a much in the have something a whip over him which makes save. Because saving is not set to like up and budget, couple of people who ad¬ vertised that if you would invest a which have, followed the small news item tice, about insurance the and business lacks, is a regular savings feature. Today's typical saver probably I don't know whether ment trust. so to him $100 they would guarantee to re turn your principal in 10 years; easy. When he is buying life inand give you a chance to make a surance, it is very easy; he has substantial appreciation in the in¬ to meet the premiums or he loses terim. Well, the package was a the insurance; he incurs a penalty. purchase $75 share one venture. price in the who new in the name of small the of case the uses saver and savings loan is usually a small penalty attached for missing one of your payments. There is there associations, They took $100 for the Bond E the In and Bond E stock of package, and they put $75 of it in the the nothing like that, so far as I j know, in the business of selling deals securities. Maybe there needs to purchaser, and took the other $25 and used it for the purpose of the venture. the But able that is fact j be put the purchase they that of corsort of regular periodical payment plan. porate securities on some were sell to people because they appeal to people who hold bank deposits and savings bonds. A majority of the people in favor had something developed misrepresentation.: would the basis of on those Now, stopped, but I think largely were Government securities an on sold are is it and basis that working pretty well, which is another ar-< holding savings bonds and bank gument for it. deposits favored them because | In view of the size of the marthey were safe. Well, these fel- !ket, and the relatively small lows who got up this combination : amounts that the small saver has of of . Series E Bond and a available for investment—and in shaye one playing upon that { view of the fact that you are safety motive. They said, "We going to have to get down, really, will give you at least your prin¬ to selling a large volume of cus¬ cipal back in 10 years." There tomers, your method of selling is a wrinkle here that has a good can't be entirely on a personal basis. I think you are going to deal of interest to it. stock of were have Expanding Investment in Equities Patriotism in securities sell to people the which books, to many the publishers sell way is circular by and "getting religion" about the private enterprise system, and that is also something that works in your fa¬ vor. The private enterprise system is now in a position of encirclement, because we are vir-i tually an island of private enter- by advertisement. And that means an appeal which is reasonable, ap¬ socialism and greater! consciousness today of the values j of, and the dangers to, a private enterprise system than we have able, but you are not getting your share of it. Competitors of one think in prise people tractive, pull in out for what they are worth. You have a tremendous market avail- kind or another are getting an increasing share of the market. That is the problem that you are up against. How well you lick that problem may well determine There is almost patriotic motive, in other words, to this business of get- America's future. Business—Bull on will Well, those are just a few small suggestions. I have thrown them attached Beat which and the business. There is a before. had ever are of sea a totalitarianism. Stocks on (Continued from page 2) buying for tioned which argues that in order to get of the reasons menthat the total vol decline 33%. however are likely to any in above, Profits the near lows, out- must you cycle all the other cyclists, and pre-forecast the actions of other sales will of ume since there is intelligent cyclical forecasters. decline much more, Trust usually Indeed discussion. It I have point of an industry is at 80% ofjR FIRST STARTS to skid, capacity, and if sales drop j R ^^y sound to many a LUfrom 100% to 70% which is! NACY policy . . . irresponsible, . so clear making $5,000 or more probably needs more in¬ on what corporate think he needs to know, if he has a small investment; how the risks can be pooled. fairly investment trust idea is it has been going less to any extent. I don't think that the typical poten¬ than tial years small much trust new; 20 investor about is, and what how knows an very investment you pool risk and how you combine safety with risk, and trust so on, share.,. In in an other . ^rash, and illogical. it. net . . investment words, I what habitually, in (1) one For mass production in¬ fall 80 the crowd. One buy and sell when it looks too (to soon the crowd). One must pursue a policy which most say is crazy. And the clev¬ the erer Profits in investment success beat must must almost happens, But 1 favor You Daren't Do It! or crowd becomes, earlier must YOU act! the ' more. And that what is I half (2) see All my readers will admit this in theory. But ahead. than more Eccentric se¬ ing them, what the risks are in holding them, and particularly I is dustries. curities are, how to go about buy¬ The . much That far that the person per year . profits will! completely disappear, declining over 100% into the red, and per¬ haps showing losses of $5 or $10 per share whereas formerly there were profits of $10 or more per 33% only share. Idea seems a total am formation really large nies a possible market for new packages put up by the invest¬ you the of future argued that you geared equity or lev¬ should plan to make your buying erage in most forms of industrial stock. That's a challenge for the not when trade is at or near its production. | investment security salesman! For instance if the break-even expected bottom; but rather when with from what I have said median am But safety. ting between $5,000 to $1,760. And in this income group getting $7,500 and over, the banks savings institutions. not at all sure that there isn't safety, and they probably bought the kind of asset that gave them and is I a I sponse. deposits and bonds—for the income group get¬ $7,500 with the prod¬ uct of the re¬ going to make a few sug¬ gestions, just from the standpoint government of encouraging your own thought bank be able to compete the in private enterprise system. Something that the savings small investor which may the to investment something to sell rnent trust share I Well, 62 out of every 100 spend¬ is j ting people to invest in an equity your 79% holding of liquid assets—that is, ranged cases. on to the $7,500 and over us go measure • where competition is. your ! der were Bonds. ' These figures'are given in terms We know from these Thirty-three we very part we stocks and bonds. 14%. Bonds, savings accounts, checking accounts, life insurance, home, a a summary big {have savings accounts; 69% have ; source of savings. And obviously checking accounts; 93% own life also, people with substantial in¬ insurance, 53% own a home; 21% comes are likely to be able to save I had some investment in their own | business; and only 21% have an each year a considerable income will turn to this same survey which tried to find out why people didn't hold more Well, holding common And this, I am afraid, gentlemen, stocks, what reason did they give is a sad story from the standpoint for being against holding common of the security business. stocks? Well, 26 out of the 62 were against it because it wasn't Various Forms of Savings People hold their savings in safe; it was a gamble. Now, that i small particular forms of assets which they have decided to hold? bonds. you sion: "What form does the saving take that these people make?" I am going to go on now and { talk about the personal savings of ( your to what as these that Now, form. major part of That ' give interesting the represents market. year stocks and bonds rather than own the country. savings is going into institutional which per more. pretty good idea a These 40% of the current volume of net (individuals, or payings of, tulls^pep4inS upit^Jn bonds proportion the year coming to the next question, which must surely have arisen in your own minds, and that is, Why don't more people am ple generally thought, why peo¬ ple generally didn't hold stocks and bonds, but I think that these reasons are important enough so of during the last three is estimated that about it years, saved gives a looking .for people with income, and you have a good slice government war, $7,500 over You 20's. Then, of course, in the 40's with the introduction of the small denomination more , The pro¬ higher even the little a or more per year in 1947. This 14% gets 40% of the income before taxes. That is important. 1920, portion go—in Than Stocks I Now $5,000 about 15% Bf the net savings went into institutional form,, In the 1920's, the propor¬ prior to to bracket People Buy Bonds Rather Why About 14% of the spending units, 6% million in number, got Just economy. want $7,500 low as figures: 1930, becoming savings in per ,year earn¬ To in terms of total current vol¬ ume to curities. figures some $500 income group you can shoot at in terms of a potential market for se¬ like 19% of the national wealth. cite at least or you Now, they amount to something me as And 69% of those $500 proportion of institutional savings accumulations had grown to 12V'i % of the national wealth. Let much as ing this now between per year. savings held By incomes one-half saved $500 over represented institutions. with will you $5,000 In 1900, about 5.3% of the by the accumulated in units over —and T think that is about Institutions was $1,000 Only 37% of the spend¬ who helved savings go into institu¬ form, they go into life in¬ surance, into savings bank de~ posits and the deposits of other banks, and into savings and loan associations. Let me give you an idea of how this volume of savings going into institutional form has wealth saved thousand dollars per year. If you take the break in terms of people When grown. them a tional national a and saved, $5,000 and $7,500 saved real challenge for you. a of them of most per year. ing increasing $7,500 in the year 1947. In other more most economy. over spending units saved $1,000 words, vital earned find that roughly 64% of we those a attracted who year, don't educating what you have to ing units with incomes of $7,500 tile holding of. liquid assets was and over, 83% made positive sav¬ $6,290, almost a year's income. In the case of the $7,500-and-over ings and only 17% dissaved. year in our history. Now, here is an important co¬ income group the third quartile Even the proportion of income was $15,260. In other saved in these last three years has rollary to go along with tjiose holding indications that I just gave you as words, concentrating on the upper been running higher than it ran, to how much per year people in quarter of the liquid asset hold¬ for example, in the year of great various income groups saved. I ings, you get into some sizable ac¬ prosperity, 1929. The potential should think that people who cumulations, since at least 44 of market for securities is larger in saved less than $500 a year were the people in the income group number of dollars and in propor¬ of $5,000 to $7,500 have holdings tion of income even than it was in probably not good prospects for your business, and people who in excess of $6,290, and in the in¬ 1929. saved over $1,000 a year are prob¬ come group of $7,500 and over, 14 But what has been happening to of the people have liquid assets ably reasonable prospects. these savings? An increasing pro¬ in excess of $15,260. Well, if we take the spending holdings portion of the public's savings has (Continued from tremendous need a market on! in the private enterprise system, sell. Your great- j They may wanf safety and secur¬ est potential market is the small jjity, but they have never been ofinvestor. You have in the invest- fered a combination of safety plus for Of it course great now looks majority stocks Conclusions to crazy start act. . . and actual decline in trade j profits (in 1948-49). i The above ance They lack the They . the prefer markets . . action. .• (3) buy when on rising the crowd ■■ stock market. One feels is it rash not to follow the crowd. (4) I prefer back) the crowd my to , . buek . am on bullish next stock trade bearish stocks. boom to on I so. trade, but expect occur slump.^^;-^-,;. (not and to lose reputation in doing (5) I j investment | to . :''■■■ j of so the That is the nature of the thought is in accord- theory will courage, with the! wisdom of their agrees with my (rather new) super- cyclical probably hot 1,000 per hilarity, and the faith. They feel it might turn out to be wrong. to the buying that trade has started slumping. But it is quite possible for the now cyclically sophisticat¬ ed investing public to stage a re¬ vival in common stocks perhaps two years before they expect trade j and profits to reach their bottom J just as they staged the decline! in stocks (in 1946) two years be— fore 4 ^. . the in the ,;:; Volume 169 THE Number 4782 COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (989) A The State of that and • .. . .v , cautious other things, recommended enact legislation— Congress credit as inventories To managers of finished offset COMMODITY (Continued from page 5) / • foods in general use. • Industry * (Continued from page 4) among these goods. hard their over The Secretary of Agriculture on February 9, directed the Com¬ modity Exchange Authority to ob¬ tain of the steel market. grant authority to regulate speculation on the commodity ex¬ changes—and of the further fact that the full counts information all on trading in wheat, ac¬ and soybeans during the recent grain price decline. The Administrator of the Commodity Exchange Au¬ on that day issued a spe¬ thority cial call bers Trade Chicago Board report each account books of on contracts as closing of business on Feb. of the 1949, Feb. mem¬ the to their 7, requiring clearing of 8 on and and open transactions on on . nation following these drastic de¬ clines in commodity prices. appointed House and Be¬ of my own great concern, I sub-committee of the a Committee directed Agriculture on that committee to obtain all available and pertinent information leading up to the de¬ In all says ' steel week material. people studying were the drive is cases level, states the trade to on supplies own get stocks down to Some steel firms paper. a of lower are carried in stock by suppliers. This drive in the steel industry to keep stocks down has extended to steel in and there is no reason to look for heavy scrap buying scrap near future. Most firms have large stocks and are cutting As to coal, no one in steel is too worried about the probability the them. strike. Coal stocks above the ground and ahead of coke larger than they have been for years .It would have to be a long strike to seriously cut steel output, the above trade author¬ ity adds. Steel sales people are checking sales of their customers wherever of coal a are possible without placing too much reliance on steel backlogs. The test, say steel sales officials, is "How are orders to customers of steel firms?" A check on that part of the steel picture, "The Iron real Age" concludes, shows the same sense of caution, but no sign of .things falling apart. Makers of things fabricated and processed from steel are just as alert as anyone else and they are watching their inventories, their sales and are prodding their salesmen into action cline in prices of farm commodi¬ American Iron and The Steel Institute PRICE the price per pound of 31 INDEX SLIGHTLY LOWER AT CLOSE OF level of wholesale prices held fairly steady during The daily wholesale commodity price average most oMhe past week. compiled by the of close with 258.61 the on Dun & the this week announced index, Bradstreet, Inc., period week earlier. a Movements week. turned slightly lower toward on Feb.21, as compared The current figure contrasts with 275.76 finish to corresponding date in Trading character. Most grains and nervousness a a 257.41 at year leading ago. grain was somewhat : their trying to get raw materials and other items down to a 30 days' supply. Especially in cases where they have been carrying items which prewar were ovens 9, 1949. 41 need not tell you of the distress and distrust which permeated the cause This corn of their and ' facts, total sum , LATEST WEEK orders new "The Iron Age," here are a few that show things are not going to ruin so readily: (1) steel orders are still heavy and backlogs—even when dried out—are not bad, (2) government spending is still heavy and may be bigger if. unemployment continues to increase, (3) exports in steel may be expanded now that domestic demand is no longer in the emergency class and (4) back-to-normal doeg not mean the bottom falling out to index represents the The Commodity Market Problems: Cooley 33 irregular were slower and largely finished continued • markets for lower of lack the week, confidence last professional in by reflecting traders. Increased buying of cash wheat by the government was a steady¬ ing influence in the early part of the week, but best prices were not maintained. Applications for loans on corn continued in heavier vol¬ ume, with farmers' offerings of cash corn reported to be approaching the vanishing point. The flour market was featured by substantial purchases of hard and soft wheat flours for export out of Gulf ports by the PMA. Domestic trade in flour remained very quiet, with bookings and directions disappointing. Bakers generally continued to show caution due to lagging bakers' sales and fears of a possible reduction in bread prices. The cocoa market continued weak, with prices dropping to new lows for the season as the result of liquida¬ tion and lack of manufacturer interest. receipts, all classes of livestock staged following recent also showed marked declines. further slight a a Meats Under brisk were sharply curtailed upturn in the week, also stronger. Lard rise. Cotton price movements were irregular, but day-to-day fluc¬ tuations held within a narrow range. Early strength was attrib¬ uted to short covering in the futures market and a firmer trend in outside markets, together with replacement buying and trade demand. Another sustaining coupled with influence favorable more was export foreign some pricefixing steel-making capacity of the industry will be 100.5% of capacity for the week beginning Feb. 28, 1949, as against 100.3% in the pending before the House Committee on Agri¬ culture which provides authority to regulate margin requirements Japan was said to have 50,000 bales of cotton for near-by shipment. It was also reported that the ECA will permit the immediate re¬ sumption of shipments of cotton to Shanghai, China. Domestic preceding week. consumption with 1,860,100 ties. I am duced that sure know that bill a and is already you has been intro¬ now view of am sure is not unreasonable to legislation carrying recommendation of steel companies having 94% reentered the market for the of The institute reports the schedule of operations of the staple during January was placed at '674,000 This brought the total for the season to date to 4,204,000 bales, compared with 4,645,000 in the same period last season. On a daily bales. rate is equivalent to steel ingots and castings'compared tons to 1,852,700 tons of 1,849,000 tons a basis, consumption in January 32,400 in December and 41,000 in January average week ago, 100.9% a month ago, and 1,705,100 tons, or 94.6% of the old capacity one year ago and 1,281,210 tons for the average week in 1940, highest prewar year. on or out is CARLOADINGS that it such FOR LATEST PERIODS WEEK 1948 IN AND AND Total 1947 freight for the week ended Feb." 19, 1949; totaled 697,335 cars, according to the Association of American Rail¬ Loadings'of a being now LOWER COMPARABLE that assume revenue drafted in the Department. In this roads. connection, ceding week, and a decrease of 107,602 cars, or 13.4% under the cor¬ responding week in 1948. It also represented a decrease of 79,354 cars, or 10.2% below the similar period in 194-J1 and Chairman as the House Committee I ture, of Agricul¬ want to extend to repre¬ on sentatives of your group a cordial invitation to appear before the ELECTRIC Committee in event the uled Agriculture on hearings are sched¬ legislation affecting com¬ on Deeply imbedded in the Ameri¬ concept of liberty is the idea markets—freedom can competitive to choose with whom and on basis 'we will bargain in what the ex¬ ceding for what "give providing what might be auction .for world a which basic greatest continuous the flow out of ket have we a to scoreboard of prices erly functioning, the futures mar¬ kets represent the widest kind of competition and are a protection against mohopoly-made prices. believe in markets free and free enterprise. But to me free enterprise has a larger meaning than just being left alone. The law of the jungle is not the law of organized society., The com¬ modity exchanges, if they would serve ' the public, must; conform to accepted standards of respon¬ . Self-regulation sibility^ is responsibility is concerned.free a ing that the rules - " of fair play markets, in if the enterprise and they would re¬ really important main so sense, must be open to review and subject units in for the in the to the week total according to the from Chrysler divisions although losses at showing, ac¬ a reasonable regulation by public bodies. through the year ago, 10 TRADE were amounted *to ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY states Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its current review spring nation; interest in.seasonal sales generally showed moderate declines. Apparel volume demand for navy of frequently. erately. The response to promotions of men's that of a wear remained below year ago. Retail were close to that of the previous week. The spring suits increased in many sections with blue especially popular and jacket dresses purchased was women's The demand for cotton washable dresses continued to The number of requests for nylon hosiery declined mod¬ food volume numerous for dipped requests for slightly beef and poultry remained high. attracted vegetables, considerable were sold in a during pork the week. at reduced Canned attention. substantial foods, The There prices; the meat, fruit Frozen quantity. bakers' goods and confections expanded agency Feb. season Clearance sales of winter wear and promotions of apparel and household goods continued over most of the juices Kaiser- season holiday-shortened period ended on Wednesday of last bought slightly less than in the previous week with volume slightly below the level of the corresponding dollar week 116,176 units compared preceding, a of trade. demand output improved In and fruit particularly iales volume of slightly. Although seasonal promotions Output in the similar period a year in the like week of 1941, 126,550 units. week's Last consisted output of ago Commercial and REMAIN industrial 89,213 cars and 26,963 trucks when th number when 93 the of number same failures and HIGH HOLIDAY WEEK IN occurred. It considerably exceeded in the corresponding weeks of 1948 and respectively, were reported. 1939, casualties totalled 267. but were rose 79 week while slightly. except failures An in increase manufacturing, wholesale trade The Pacific wholesaling and States other above with casualties industry the declined trade and prevailed sharpest relative more year in rose increases 2 to up and to up 3. but moderately surpassed that of the in failures for the week than in decreased no Feb. 19, North Central areas States were and in the West North Central; creased the heaviest since 1942. FOOD PRICE INDEX EXTENDS FURTHER MILD PREVIOUS The RISE OF by 8% from the like period of last year. This compaj-ed change in the preceding week. For the four weeks-ended 1949, sales decreased by 5% and for the year to date de¬ by 1%. ■ • ', rv/■■ an Individual price movements were irregular during the past week. Dun & Bradstreet wholesale food price index which struck a 28-month low two weeks ago, showed a .further mild rise to $5.78 as of Feb. 22, from $5.76 a week previous. The latest figure represents a rise of 2.1% shows a year ago. drop as of compared 12.6% with the from $6.61 Feb. 8 index recorded of the on . $5.66, like in New York the past week held to its downward preceding week with department store sales registering estimated drop for the period of close to 6%. course WEEK but it date _ . . a trade of the According to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department City for the weekly period to Feb. 19, 1949, by 7% from the same period last year. In the preceding week a decrease of 4% was registered under the similar week of 1948. For the four weeks ended Feb. 19, 1949, a decrease of 7% was re¬ store sales in New York declined corded creased • holiday-shortened week, corresponding week last year. Department store sales on a country-wide basis,! as taken from the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended Feb. 19, 1949, in East 2, East and Northwest down 4 to unchanged, Mid¬ Coast down 3 to up 1 and Southwest down 1 Pacific total dollar volume of wholesale orders declined slightly in the week, but it was fractionally above the level of the comparable week a year ago. The number of buyers attending many wholesale markets dropped sharply during the current lines all west with the above that Regional estimates varied from the corresponding levels of a ago by the following percentages: New England and South down the preceding week and one year ago. In the Middle Atlantic States and New England States casualties declined, while increases occurred failures in these two Wednesday ago. The construction. reported a , the in groups levels 1948 of year ■ slightly to 31 from 29, reaching their highest level since 1943. and last the comparable In involving liabilities of $5,000 or more dipped to 149 from remained almost twice as heavy as last year when there in this size group. Small failures with liabilities under $5,000 Manufacturing Retail volume for the country in the period ended on week was estimated to be from 3% below to 1% of 1947 Failures 151, demand for occasional tables and chairs, kitchen sets and coverings was high,- but it was below that of the similar week Consumers did not display as keen an interest in electrical appliances as they had a year ago. The demand for used cars con¬ tinued to decline in many sections. last year. failures totalled 58, week of prewar The floor 180 in the holidayshortened week ended Feb. 24, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports. This represented a higher casualty rate per day than in the preceding week slightly last week. built in the United States and Canada. BUSINESS FAILURES were continued in many areas, the retail volume of furniture and household goods dipped 120,130 units and was / Retail a fore, I say that free free the United States and Canada the , week consumers V truly free society no one is free to disregard the rights and sensibilities of others. There¬ In trucks in and cars against HOLIDAY-SHORTENED WEEK • be sizable. CHRYSLER for Withdrawals Tor RETAIL AND WHOLESALE suits \ said. Even being observed all along the line. 1948 and 762,108,000 kwh. in corresponding period two years Frazer and Willys largely offset the potential gains, the •; need polic¬ we AT Improvements fine services and we need/ assur¬ ances are America 28, ,v (revised) counted but; it is not the complete answer so far as the discharge of public in GAINS 114,207 mar¬ which all may see and read. Prop¬ I Feb. bales, a year ago. placed at 155,209 net stock in the hands of the CCC of 4,408,000 bales. bales. bales, leaving the interest. Through quotations which active futures an LATEST WEEK IN "Ward's Automotive Reports." com¬ is there ended , Production of . in week for the past week advanced to an estimated The commodity exchanges per¬ a real function and fill a real modities week; BY form need in LOWER AUTO OUTPUT ADVANCES FURTHER IN LATEST WEEK AIDED we /called 0.3% below the pre¬ or entries 4,564,000 decrease of 91,072,000 kwh. below output in the pre¬ 307,272,000 kwh. or 5.9% higher than the figure re¬ ago. the opportunity to choose would have. up .what a ported for the get than we MOVES excess.of the output reported for the abhor monopoly. We would rather more cars, distributed by the electric light and power industry for the week ended Feb. 26, was estimated at 5.559,207,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This change of services and goods. We pay of 2,107 decrease a OUTPUT AGAIN represented modity exchanges. of was The amount of electrical energy • House This 32,100 was Entries of cotton into the government loan stock declined for the third successive week, while repossessions continued to expand. President's the recommendation, I rate This week's operating commodity exchanges. In operating is up 0.2 point from the previous week. respect to speculative trans¬ actions/on commodity future : the that news. below that of last year and for the year to by 3%. date volume de¬ i 34 (990) COMMERCIAL THE would show that best advance will emanate an from here, Markets moves the inconclusive break Whyte was re¬ ized ture. Oddly enough the rails, the sheep of the market going on that various groups family for so long, give as By WALTER WHYTE= began showing little indica¬ much promise as any other Downside penetration of in¬ tions that the much heralded group. In fact they give signs dustrial now give paradoxical break was not under way. of being able to make the signs of rally rather than The public was apparently grade even before some of the convinced that a rfeal reaction widely accepted reaction. It while this break was was = industrials. was certainty. What is indicated one day loses its value the Indications of certain day one or up down movements that seem so swept are More next during such times that foundations real often laid for are And while advances. doesn't it necessarily follow that [The expressed views article do not coincide time in this necessarily at any with those of the Chronicle. They are presented as the author only.] those of and replaced by entirely away different ones There is switch; no the next. sleeping at the security. The only no ernment take Historically local in r self-government the Democratic Republican party; and the should be the fortress: of Federalism. But, clang¬ ing economic conditions and shifts party population have forced each an inner coalition antagonistic elements. Both of Where and What Is Liberalism? (Continued from page 19) against may even go fibre of logic. Last and dictate every called liberal institutions. Again I a week, for example, the market indicated much lower didn't I prices. know the pretend to for it. In reasons I had and fact all the reasons could read pointed the other Then came the highly publicized break in the Dow Industrial averages and what way. existed bearishness latent surface the to arose spread like oil and the water. on column too, In last week's I said that market trading is a Mass deci¬ sions are wrong so often that to even approach success one lonesome thing. am to under¬ you not arguing that government should not welfare addition of its to its citizens, accepted responsibilities for public health and safety. That which is called a state" "welfare long is obvious the mfja'gMi sridfcessdFtd wfETat ihay called bility of "protective state" of past decades. The protection of society now calls for more than protection against foreign oppres¬ world. tion domestic and But there is disorder working their low point and in doing it the already exist¬ confirmed ing bear trend long apparent in became scale conclusion The rails. the elementary: bear market full A had been question was, had it? Mass opinion agreed it had. But a trials close look at the indus¬ would show downside break cents.; A was look at that the about 10 the past Pacific Coast Securities j Orders Executed on Pacific Coast Exchanges Schwabacher & Co. Members , New York Stock Exchange New York Curb San Exchange (Associate) Francisco Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Tra.de New York 5, N. Y. 14 Wall Street COrtlandt 7-4150 Private Wires to Teletype NY 1-92& Principal Offices San Francisco—^Santa Barbara Monterey-w^Oakland—Sacramento Fresno regula¬ living and the that daily cpnditiqns of millions only practical through is officials, petty ing demand of two To what extent and at what should speed of local government and of undertake government or desirable economic and of instrument to social should be utilized, wherever possible, to do the job? state is There between in progress, or local and governments affiliation natural a paternalists who believe and rapid reforms extensive federalists the who would administered by the national gov¬ ernment. There can be little doubt that with nues the its national command government, of huge reve¬ arid its remoteness from the of pressures prejudices interests local can and Police one Lies Power It was in States —that general and authority to protect the public health, morals and welfare- promote safety, should reserved be No such power was controls ternalistic zens as to the states. granted to the Government. Federal Such over our pa¬ citi¬ became necessary must exercised be governments, which, being close to the people, could be readily restrained from interfering unduly with their in¬ dividual freedom to pursue happi¬ local by according to their individual ness ambitions and abilities. There is enact and enforce should be and always deep-seated conflict of opinion ments. local between maintaining by believe in individual freedom liberals, strengthening who our powers of self-government, and pa¬ On the other hand those who ternalists, who believe in hasten¬ advocate more gradual reforms ing social reforms by increasing know that local government will- the powers of the centralized, not usually act except under the national government. According¬ pressure of a local majority opin¬ ly, it might be expected that the ion. Thus there will be the sanc¬ two major political parties would tion of prevailing opinion for a be in opposition on this great political experiment, and the op¬ issue. Instead, we find that both the Democratic and portunity for a prompt revision Republican if the experiment should prove parties are internally divided on: unwise. When we observe the this issue, and potent segments. q£ continual adjustment and read¬ each are bitterly opposed to manyL state and municipal laws to meet and changing conditions changing public sentiment, in contrast to the slow of revising and difficult major Fed¬ official policies. Within ' the • - Republican .»:•* party^ large numbers of Western liberals, who do not want to be and have all their governed earnings ex¬ eral law, we can see many strong pended in Washington, are qt odds arguments in favor of local self- with large numbers of Northern government. / State government, paternalists who want to extend: in regulating the liquor traffic and the reforms of the Roosevelt era process any ficient North the the for liberals na¬ 1952 and 1950 elections of o|| groups profound issue be¬ liberalism democratic tween paternalism. Surely they should be offered a political technique whereby, instead of be¬ ing asked year after year to vote for incoherent and evasive candi¬ on incoherent and evasive platforms, they would be choice between dates, running given two simple a parties, two candidates two distinct philosophies and forms of will be, overwhelming Riglv'.s majority of in the advocates that have been, eternally in conflict. government Isn't it about time against the Urban paternalists who are largely concentrated in the in¬ Americans centers be figured from a Kuhn Loeb Places effected it were Equip. Issue Privately large majority. is tion Corp. coalition of liberals that it such a difficult not to devise, but it to develop against the opposition of the Ad¬ might difficult be ministration in power. now Administration its owes That power its strategy of cap¬ primarily to from immediate of farmers supporting a bene¬ national eventually, paternalism which, will destroy that independent way of life which is the chief most and satisfying farm that the It labor. will that situation incentive product of be assumed it can compels retain to March negotiated 1 through & Co., the sale of equipment trust cer¬ tificates, Series- 44, to a small group of institutions. Of the to¬ tal, $6,480,000 principal amount Kuhn, Loeb was delivered Nov. on 1, 1948 and the balance of $6,399,000 amount March principal 1949. The certificates will mature serially in on 1, quarterly installments to and in¬ cluding Nov. to and Maturities 1968. 1, including Nov. 1, 1953 bear dividends at the rate of 2%%, the balance at a of rate 3%%. The trust cars domestic sup¬ by those who may be deep¬ to its domestic pro¬ The need for a strong na¬ opposed gram. has equipment covered by the of 1,892 new tank and 92 new hopper cars. consists international port of the national administration ly Transporta¬ announced $12,879,000 Administration present all do may this farm support. Furthermore, the even American General political technique to bring about a chance to choose? A Coalition Proposed The given were of the North and can might win by a that "America years choose." that But it and We have been warned repeated¬ ly in recent must dustrial and platforms that represent two West, would join with and West and undemocratic independent, self-suf¬ and women in the men States sentation of the South to swing a national election fits of the fundamental principles of our constitutional government that the police power regulatory laws, against minority opposition with greater speed and often with more efficiency and less partiality than local govern¬ of other large and essentially the a justment sionals turing the farm vote by assuring state. sworn to uphold.. : From this beginning, the nation¬ wide coalition of Democratic and Congress, is those who have had the advantages for the democ¬ of higher education—a clear pre¬ one whose speedy and fundamental divi¬ a maintain the; Constitutional gov* eminent which every: member of real vitality in the uncompromis¬ alition of liberals of the to; necessary a cratic regulations to be applied by multitude regarding action ;l of engineered. Only paternalistic ex-, one thing would make this coali¬ tion impractical, the absence of pansion of Federal powers that left liberal devotees of local self- vision, the principles and the government no clear choice be¬ courage that inspire and compel tween Truman and Dewey. The men of great responsibility to do condidacies of Thurmond "and great deeds in times of great and Wallace, despite the small emergency. votes naturally cast for candidates Surely the American people are who could not win, demonstrated entitled to receive from their the important fact that there was leadership—and particularly from paign promised election returns that if such a co¬ a convictions 1948 cam¬ could be easily the issuance of volumes of bureau¬ process of law," cannot be main¬ thought in our .country on tained, In a word, a comprehen¬ major political issues. First: sive welfare state must be a police have all welfare laws enacted and The in the it has been sion of and signaled. only not their course ; Republican and justices and provide economic security? Second: Is the national government the most competent broke the of is throughout Particularly, evident made eliminate social and economic in¬ Industrials but people necessarily ar¬ bitrary decisions must be enforced crime and pestilence. It calls for by the hurried prosecution and more than merely laying down harsh punishment of offenders. the rules of fair play in a free The traditional protections of the competitive economy. This will individual against abuses of ofbe generally conceded. cial authority, which we call "due sion regard to popular beliefs; in fact even flouting them. So Dow million 150 America democratic a centralized govern¬ a of ment W oi: people the must make decisions without the retaining of control The impossi¬ responsibility for the being- demonstrated some economic in I modern accept of beg that stand government. No man leave his to party,, to. break a pie dge, or to betray his constituency. It would, only be necessary for men to vote tional racy tional days. required of thing about the stock going to set you free from fear labor relations, has demonstrated the other for the autocracy of market is change. It means and want and insecurity and in¬ a flexibility in response to public national socialism. In contrast, opinion which has been notori¬ how uninteresting were the. argu¬ A program that participants have1 to justice. seem to be ato set you free would "liberal" pro¬ ously lacking in the national gov¬ ments of the two major parties, move nimbly and frequently gram. Yet it might be noted that ernment. both advocating an expedient without apparent cause. What the best example of such freedom There is, however a more pro¬ marriage between a democracy of is perhaps equally important from the burdens and worries of found reason for maintaining the easy virtue and a socialist seducer. No one can tell whether the self-support which is provided by authority of local governments is that decisions frequently government today is found in gov¬ against the constant pressure to farmers, the small business men; have to be made against every ernment prisons, which are not extend the authority of the na¬ the skilled workers, the profes¬ sense be party' to attempt certain common and the control of Congress hundred , stronghold of should be the achieved be could a would only be can support of the local self-gov¬ • of. over within all-powerful an party platforms in the Thursday. Whyte —Walter drew to the sidelines. It is by national government, black coming and either sold One of the exciting things much of its holdings or with¬ about stock markets is its un¬ which economy developed In and • liberalism . examined. Says— next. nalism by more and; more Federal ex¬ penditures and controls. Within the signs are suspi¬ the Democratic party Southern freshly broken* test points cious, and indications point 'liberals, 'clamoring for States that everybody was following. to up rather than down mar¬ Rights, are at odds with Northern It was only in retrospect that kets, for the. immediate fu¬ paternalists whose aim is a social¬ Tomorrow's Walter of the such some have started from Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Halsey, Stuart Group Offers G. & 0. Stuart Halsey, & Equips. Co. Inc. and tional associates any $5,150,000 Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. second equipment trust of 1949 21/8% serial equipment trust and government to stand against foreign aggression is so great, may become so much more urgent, that any present effort to revitalize local self-government be criticized as untimely and impractical. Nevertheless, to any¬ one with a clear understanding of may the Federal a is of recent trend authority, to anyone with vision of not extensions of our future if that trend checked, it is evident soon that unless the effort is made soon, it may soon be too This is presenting for detailed program for a the salvation of liberalism and the of democratic gov¬ let me dogmatize surviving factotum of the,.great insurgent campaigns of preservation But ernment. briefly, as a 1 an¬ nually March 15, 1950 to 1959, in¬ clusive. Issued under the Phila¬ delphia plan, the certificates were immediately re-offered, subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission, at prices to yield from 1.35% to 2.40%, ac¬ cording to maturity. The occasion March awarded certificates, maturing $515,000 late. the not were to certificates will be issued provide for the following new standard-gauge railroad equip¬ estimated to cost approxi¬ mately $6,507,838.30:' 725 70-ton ment, Hopper Cqrs; 150 30don Caboose Cars; and 10 Freight Locomotives. Associated in the offering were R.V W. Pressprich Co.; A. G. retired staff of¬ Becker & Co. Inc.; Gregory .& ficer: .of the original New Deal, Son,-Inot; Horablower & Weeks; and as an -active participant in L. F. Rothschild & Co.; First of every national; campaign since Michigan Corp.; Freeman & Co.; 1900. Not as. an amateur scientist, Hirsch & Co.; Wm. E. Pollock & Theodore Roosevelt and Robert M. LaFollette, but. as cian,. I as a weather-beatenpoliti¬ a venture coalition of to pablican, leaders . assert that Democratic and against . a Re- Co., Inc.; McMaster Hutchinson & Co,.; Mullaney, Wells & Co.; Ju¬ lian Collins'& Co:; Alfred Q'Gara pater¬ & Co.;,and F. S. Yantis & Co.;- Inc. Volume 169 4782 Number COMMERCIAL THE & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE An Piice Outlook Portends No Depression (Continued from page 7) sharp rise in petroleum prices, led corresponding up-surge of non- a farm prices. You can see rise through 1947 was though not so steep through 1946. 'These ter of as of set 'in 1947 reactions nated the' price 1948. The most the steep, the rise ' ' 1 developments in the lat¬ half chain that the very motion a domi¬ which movements immediate of was from scarcity of meat animals following heavy liquidation of the pre¬ year. vious the heavy demands and persistent the winter. products in index The of farm almost touched June shortages stock decline in prices of live¬ to bring about a convergence remainder of the year a saw continued and almost uninterrupt¬ ed decline in farm prices. As of of February 15, farm and food prices Price were Farm Price adjustment in farm prices price movements of 1948, but toward the end of the year other back far More as such cloth fell to less than rate a as to that ever cause of the one month's occurred in the decline Whole¬ sale Price Index. In a of period the year-end. days spot weeks, a small. often the of . At that time a lot of stopped to ask ourselves the us awe¬ of 12 million war on shown agreement. This recently, in the past few we have seen some signs of by a softening of is widespread, but The first half of it brought oil, lard and tallow to a the end of the notice are spot prices for barley, corn, cottonseed war prices of winter wheat fell from ing in cotton textiles. This also $2.93 to $2.37 a bushel, and the was an overdue recognition of an spot price of corn from $2.60 to accomplished economic fact. With $2.0^.. in Nevertheless, proved to be the general weaken¬ this forerunner these February of this year, at last, was the occa¬ sion of a sharp drop in farm prices, which was neither so deep no so prolonged as that of 1948. 16 cents by so will You lows, new below even the post¬ levels which prevailed before the decon¬ trol of prices in June, 1946. Hog prices dropped to the lowest point since October, 1946. and and the return steer from the armed men that the question, "Is this it?" retrospect, we might services, there was a are conspiciously lacking one thing, consumers' purchasing power is vastly greater. The real weekly earnings of fac¬ tory workers in 1949 are about 50% higher than in 1920. Employ¬ ment is very high, and loss of purchasing power from unem¬ ployment is partially offset through unemployment compen¬ was sation. for Government exports assured for the and establishment the military important are of sources contrast to expenditures and In demand. heavy speculative after 11 years of absolute price Nevertheless, is doubt that the existence of the support program offers strong resistance to a broad and prolonged decline January highs,, but in- the stability, were increased twice in spring and summer of 1948 four months; and lead went from average prices of farm products 15 cents to 21.5 cents, and zinc rose again, because of the relative the to there late of farm no One of the the going are encouraging things is that they on are not indiscriminate (as they would be in a the of case tion). They cific to are general liquida¬ selective and spe¬ commodity and certain market situations. Shortages, those as we metals, many such facing in still are provide a market World The farther July —-1920 High—. Month 1949." in to This the to sensitive more extreme and the price fluc¬ are find. we go from materials we raw the In highly 2.9288 2.7475 1.4710 Nov 1.0830 9.2188 *Jan. 15.9375 14.4000 9.8400 June 8.0938 organized commodity markets, the risk-taking functions make prices very sensitive to changes in sup¬ ply and demand and much less dependent on costs. Conversely, as .100 lb. 8.7563 fSept. 17.0688 12.1400 8.5000 Nov. 6.8688 goods lb. Cotton, 15/1-3-in., New York__i.____ lb. Cottonseed oil, New York..... lb. Cowhides, native packers, Chicago._ Print cloth, 38.5 64x 60, New York.-—yd, Steel Scrap, *1 melting, Pittsburgh....Aon lb. Lead, pig, New York_____,___^_—_ 0.1313 Apr. 0.4238 0.3930 0.1214 Mar. 0.1178 stages of processing and fabrica¬ 0.0721 :j:Jan. §Feb. 0.2163 0.1926 0.0840 Apr. 0.0598 tion, 0.4100 0.3500 0.1200 Apr. 0.0700 and Apr. 0.2581 0.2300 0.0659 June "0.0653 Commodity and TJnit.___bu. $0.7100 .__.bu. Wheat, -2 hard, Kansas City.. Steers, good to choice, Chicago.......100 lb. Com, *3 yellow, Chicago. Zinc, pig, Western, New $2.0069 0.0485 High $1.5625 1 Year -7—1921 Low— after High $0.6100 Oct. Price Month $0.4444 with the price become 24.0000 13.2000 July 12.0000 0.0923 0.0856 0.0405 Mar. 0.0405 partly for this 0.0505 Jan. 0.0967 0.0892 0.0591 Aug. 0.0468 because services World War II 1949 Low Commodity and Unit— 1939 A;7 ' bu. Wheat,, *2 hard, Kansas City— bu. Steers, good, 900-1100 lbs., Chicago-100 lb. Hogs, good-ch., 200-220 lbs., Chic._1001b. Cotton, middling 15/16; 10 mkts._ lb. Cottonseed oil, New York——. lb. Cowhides, light native packers, Chic.—lb. Print cloth, 38.5-in. 64x60, N. Y lb, Steel scrap, heavy melting, Chicago. Aon Lead, pig, New York— -lb. Zinc, pig, prime Western, New York.Ab. Corn, ' *3 yellow, Chicago 1946 Date Price $0,445 $1,448 1-15-48 $2,808 0.636 1.871 11-28-47 9.051 17.000 7- 6.486 —Postwar High— 2 Months aft. — (to Feb. 17>— .. •• sluggish. It is and partly more sluggish of rent and consumer Consumers' the that risen has Index since prewar and since Date Price $2,328 $1,440 2- 8 $1,129 3.115 2.900 2.308 9-48 36.375 35.000 14.850 8-19-48 31.200 26.125 0.092 .0.310 7-16-47 0.394 0.327 0.338 2- 8 0.318 high 0.055 0.143 3-13-47 0.412 0.265 0.258 2- 8 0.140 war, 0.113 0.155 10-31-47 0.378 0.320 0.270 2-17 0.248 they were 12- less, both decontrol, and 0.047 0.114 18.750 0.050 0.082 0.051 0.087 t$22.3875 in July, 1919. ULess Price aft. High 13.866 High 1 Year than one Wholesale the Price Index. Whereas primary market prices, measured by the Wholesale 2.075 (f 2- 8 21.500 Price ff 2-9 19.750 summer as Index, as were at their more peak last than twice they were just before the half again as high as under price control, 8-47 0.282 0.240 0.158 2-16 0.151 the Consumers' Price Index at its 42.500 39.000' 41.750 2-14 35.000 peak had risen by three-quarters 11- 1-48 0.215 11-16-48 0.182 Unchanged since 11- 1-48 Unchanged since 11-16-48 since the peak. §$0.6100 in August, 1919.; the to middle wartime from the prewar the of economic "Hold-the-Line" 45 months, about stabilization Order. the tight price of In index rose by about 7% per the period or was from the to these these rose control 1943 1946. In index one-fourth, Then there year. war 1943, when the began in earnest with the program three less than the middle years, 7%, or a of the little 2% per year. Then followed/ the "decontrol year" in which the over index 18% rose in the first post¬ price the boom; only to be fol¬ by another rise of 11% in second touched boom, off by which was the short corn of 1947 and carried the index crop its peak in the late summer of to 1948. Compared to dinary increases, these the extraor¬ declines of the past four months seem almost trifling. At the rate the index has been falling since it reached its it would take about five to the increases that erase in occurred the two after years decontrol! If look at the components of we the Consumers' find, as Price might we Index, we that expect, food prices have risen further and faster than any others. This is than more tion of the anything else a reflec¬ enormous purchasing the of power our consumers during and since. Our studies of war consumption habits in the United States the past 50 years have over demonstrated quite clearly that people when they money will buy food, and good food. The high levels of con¬ the American have sumers' incomes in recent years have generated unprecedented de¬ mands for the high quality foods meats, — fruits dairy products, fresh vegetables. This has and itself expressed vigorous broken as demand only resistance a peak and foodstuffs, then and now to steady for prices. food prices have much by Thus, more than doubled since before the war and increased by nearly one-half from the time controls were lifted to the peak last summer. Since they have declined The average retail in American cities then, significantly. prices of foods was about 5% lower in in January than at the peak August, and some decline has occurred since then. Prices of apparel house and furnishings are about double what they were before the war and about one-fourth higher than they under price control. The in¬ were creases of the past two and a half years have reflected the great restocking when or in boom that occurred goods that had been scarce absent during the war returned increasing volume. How far this increased demand may carry over on a permanent stable basis is one of the big fronting sumers vast the con¬ con¬ well today, there is always a reservoir which are long as questions now Even though us. on stocked average of are unfilled wants translated into demand as purchasing power is available to sustain it. It is parti¬ cularly for this reason that the price adjustments now going on in some clothing and house fur¬ nishings lines are especially significant, since they may be de¬ cisive in determining whether we can find permit as 10-22-47 J$0.2713 in July, 1919. year than 9 2- ' *$18.5750 in March, 1919. . June 28 in reason the of movements labor more movements tend more Sept. 28.6000 successive invested costs Mar. August and more overhead them, to through pass 0.0390 12.0000 lb. York. May May 0.1925 2 Months after 0.8155 . Hogs, good to choice, Chicago— Price long first was rise from the outbreak of the is collapsing a back goods tuations 1914 well market. more War I con¬ years reaction reflects four i war There ages have beCn overcome, indus¬ try-by-industry adjustments have been made in recognition of a new supply-demand relationship. Far from being alarming, this is healthy. This is nowhere better illustrated than in the relationship between farm prices and the prices of nonfarm products gen¬ erally. As we have seen, farm prices dropped very sharply dur¬ ing 1948. We can all remember the time when a drop of this mag¬ nitude would have been the signa for an "agricultural depression." the movement of the ; Price Index since the > ditions. peak, relatively peaks phases of economic basis for high prices. Where short¬ not wartime distinct lowed price adjustments that a a price level which will steady volume of buying. The importance of the so-called "miscellaneous" segment of the index is often overlooked because because of its nondescript name, but it carries a very heavy weight the index—its relative impor¬ level and by less tance is about 25%—and it con¬ than one-third from mid-1946. Except for these differences in | There 1 The Consumers' outbreak of the war about , intermediate same troughs. middle No General Price Reduction two same the of inventories today are prudently and conservatively managed. And the stock market! Surely no one could suggest that share prices offer much room for price collapse. markets, PRIMARY MARKET PRICES the and inventories accumulated after the finished prices. Index for the past closely resembles that for the Wholesale Price Index. first World War, ' ') Grain prices never did recover Price which Spring wheat was 26c below the rush to buy bottom of the market break of In say cotton clothing and cotton house¬ February, 1948. Print cloth dethat if a general decline had been hold textiles, which bid up the lined a little further. There were in the offing, this violent price prices and margins to phenomenal the first signs of weakening in drop might well have provided levels. Once the stocking, by con¬ petroleum prices. Even in the the pusn that would* have started sumers and retailers, was complet¬ metal markets, where the prices it rolling down. It was particu¬ ed, textile markets began to take generally are firm and near their on a more nparly normal aspect. peaks, there are signs that buyers larly significant that nothing of the sort happened. Cotton dropped This return to normal required, are no longer so eager that they 3 cents; steers dropped $3,00; hogs among other things, very sub¬ willingly pay premium prices. stantial declines in prices. Since dropped $3.50. But if you look Still it does not now look as if It has hot been this time because at the prices of such ".commodities consumers were no longer avid to this is the beginning of a price it has not been accompanied by a as copper, strap steel, sugar, tin, buy at high prices, this readjust¬ collapse like that of 1920. If there corresponding drop in farm in¬ wool, lead, and cotton print cloth ment culminated at the end of are some points of similarity, come. The rise in farm prices in during those two weeks, you 1948 in widespread (if not so there are- more points of differ¬ the latter half of 1947 was the would never have suspected that very sharp) price declines of result of short crops. Farm in¬ ence between 194.9 and 1920. In anything unusual was at work on many cotton products. As of to¬ the first place; price supports. It comes did not increase propor¬ the commodity markets. In other day, it appears that cottons have would be a mistake to think that tionately because farmers had less words, the drop was localized, pri¬ come back more nearly into line support prices set a firm floor to sell. The situation in 1948 was marily in grains and secondly in with the prices of other goods, and below which prices cannot fall. just the reverse. Although prices livestock, which are affected by other textiles in particular. Indeed, we are seeing many quo¬ fell, the large crops gave farmers 'grains; and it was specific to cer¬ The other maj or characteristic tations at less than support prices. more to sell, so that net farm in¬ tain market conditions as we of 1948 prices Y^as the steady and This is possible (among other come in the fourth quarter of passed from a price level bid up comparatively large increase in reasons) because the Department 1948, though less than in the by shortages to one "sold off" in metals prices—about 15% over the of Agriculture has certain stand¬ earlier quarters, was greater than recognition of good crop prospects. year. Prices of various iron and ards for products which they will in the same quarter in 1947 and This is very nicely illustrated steel products were repeatedly buy, and on which they will make greater than the average for any by the behavior of the Bureau's increased and were on the aver¬ from 11 cents to 18 cents over the earlier year. Thus, even in the index of spot prices for 28 basic age 18% higher at the end of the support loans. If the corn has too face of a sharp price decline, it commodities. The agricultural year than at the beginning. The high a moisture content (and was possible for the Secretary of in nonferrous metals much of its component of this dropped in one increases does), or if the wheat Agriculture to say several weeks month by 15%. The nonagricul- were even greater: more than 20% is not properly stored, farmers ago that, "Although the peak may tural dropped only 6%. be passed, agriculture will do on the average. Aluminum prices, must sell it in the open market. some sumers' 35 years in 1920. For 35 amplitude, the chart of the Con- supported by a volume of pur¬ chasing power from many sources, mild let-up in economic activity accompanied prices which with the. prices of basic com¬ case modities, ten As is Wholesale The Let-Up in Economic Activity January, 1948 the spot price of print cloth as recorded in the Bureau's index began to decline from the extraordinary levels it had reached in the postwar buy¬ ing rush. From a high of 28 cents in early January, the price of print sharpest" single the prices, level of 1926. adjustments, which may turn out to be equally significant, began to appear. The first of these was in As in that changes nonfarm and that closely these necessarily as a sign that a stable relationship has been reached. Literally in¬ terpreted, it means only that they are equally above the average the dominant characteristic of textiles. Index. chart notice to of should not be taken * The farm again Dominant was result measured the Adjustments year. interesting the as about 17% below their peak. cotton a metals was The is It until mid-July. peak price structure based on very short supplies of grain, in the face of prospects for at least normally good crops in 1948. Apparently they all "came to" at once, because the prices of grain fell precipitously in the first two weeks of February, 1948 at up all net were holding nearly of the their which appeared in the very early months of 1948. About the same time—just year ago—the grain traders suddenly woke to the fact that they up meats, of result reach the and the were throughout the liquidation of livestock in the porary These the over the level of the January peak, and the prices of livestock did not winter of 1947-48, because of the short supplies and higher prices of feed grains. This caused a tem¬ 11 cents to 18 cents important differ¬ economy now is more even is ence (991) in tains many of the most important (Continued on page 36) 36 (Continued from page 35) items All in the consumer's budget. through the pages of the most re¬ cent mail catalogs, you will realize transportation is in this group: streetcar and bus fares as well as automobiles, tire and gasoline. It also includes most personal serv¬ ices (such as beauty and barber shops) and medical services (in¬ that the down those same prices have that inventories greatly outnumbered by that have remained the or even risen. This is par¬ are high, and both retailers and manufacturers are very sensitive to the need for meeting consum¬ ers' demands for acceptable qual¬ still price for the Consumers' Price We Index. for have occupation with prices and effects On the other hand, costs and break-even points are high, setting limits on the amount of price reductions. There is the inevitable temptation to ity at lower prices. years many about 25% der cluding doctor, dentist and hospi¬ had detailed specifications and tal fees) as well as many items explicit instructions for the guid¬ household operation (such as ance of our price agents, so that laundry and dry cleaning serv¬ hold prices and reduce production they would be pricing the same ices, and telephones). The rela¬ to reach an equilibrium point, items from month to month and tively slow rise of these prices under the same conditions. The even though it may be at a lower on the average is in marked con¬ level. This, of course, is the items we price are those cus¬ trast to the price changes for food, tomarily purchased by moderate- greatest danger that we face, be¬ apparel, and housefurnishings. cause it is precisely this course income families in large cities. Because most of these miscellane¬ which will lead to a downward The specifications are drawn in ous commodities and services are spiral o'f contracting production, terms of the physical characteris¬ only indirectly affected by purchasing power, tics by,which an agent may iden¬ employment, changes in the commodity mar¬ and demand. V^;. tify the items. Our pricing prac kets, and because they include I think our experience in the tices require that we record the inany regulated and institutional¬ past shows that engineers and prices of merchandise available to ized prices, they tend to move sales managers can be very in¬ moderate-income consumers gen¬ more slowly on the average. The genious in redesigning production accumulated rise in this group erally. Price reductions are quick to maintain essential quality and since August, 1939 and the post¬ ly reflected in the index if they still meet the demands for lower apply to items of standard quality war rise since June, 1946, has been These changes may on sale long enough and in full price tags. only about two-thirds as great as not always lead to lower prices in for the index as a whole and only enough assortment to be available the economic sense—that is, price to moderate-income consumers about one-half as great as for food. reductions on identical quality. In That is, we record and But by the same token, this is a generally. many cases, such true reductions use in the index reduced prices of, group which tends to keep on ris¬ are possible through closer con¬ say, bed sheets if the sheets fall ing after other prices may have trols on costs and the economies within our specifications, if they turned down. Where food and that arise from availability of ma¬ are of standard quality and if. the clothing prices have dropped, the terials and stability of prices. In prices of automobiles and other prices are in effect two weeks or many other cases, prices will be longer. On the other hand, if the transportation, and the rates for engineered and merchandised to sheets are of "off quality" or ir¬ medical and hospital care have meet consumers' ideas of what continued up under a momentum regulars, of if the reduced price is If I had to in effect only a day or two, the they can ana will pay. that may carry them higher long guess, I would guess that the end after other prices have dropped. price is not used in the index. This of 1,949 will see both prices and is important to bear in mind when This, you will notice, was the case price tags rather lower than they you try to use the newspaper ad¬ after the First World War. are now, without sacrificing es¬ vertisements or store windows to Rents present a unique case be¬ sential quality and without foretell the movement of the in¬ cause, alone among prices, rents marked declines in production It will come as no surprise are still under control. Up until dex. and employment. to many of us who have closely the revision of the Rent Control It is characteristic of such ad¬ the movements of this Act of 1947 rents had risen less followed justments as these that they are index, if the changes in January than 5% since the beginning of no longer dominated by broad and February are less than the the war. In the past year and a casual observer might have ex¬ sweeps of economic changes such half they have risen nearly twice as those of 1919-20 and those of as much. Although our rent in¬ pected. 1946-48. On the contrary, they dex includes over-ceiling rents as What's Ahead for Prices? are specific and selective in re¬ they are reported by tenants, they What may we expect from here sponse to the market, conditions do not reflect the full effect of the It is on? I am no prophet and proph¬ of individual commodities. higher rents for dwellings built the characteristic of such a mar¬ ecy is not one of the functions of during the war and since. If these ket that some prices will be going my Bureau, but we can draw on were taken into account, the rent up while others are going down, common sense and common knowl¬ index might be 2% or 3% higher edge to forsee something of what while we grope toward that elu¬ than it is shown, but it still would goal, "the balanced price lies ahead. In the first place, we sive be much the most stable of liv¬ have observed seasonal changes in structure." ing costs. There are some kinds of prices food prices. Typically, these prices reach their seasonal low point in which are more likely to move up A Contrast With World War I of These show charts between the marked what happened following the end War and the two and a half that followed the end of the second. Here again we encounter the question: Will con¬ sumers' prices be deflated as they were in 1920? Again, I must unswer, "I think not," and for very in the two years first the of World rise which seasonal plateau March and begin a slow tion from the culture more Department of Agri¬ permits us to be a little specific. The experts in , agricultural prices in the Depart¬ ment of Agriculture have pointed tinent today because during the out that the demand for meat has declined from the unusually high past three months we have seen a wave of price reductions, not level of last summer and is now about the same as in late 1947. only in foods but in various items Under present demand conditions o'f apparel and housefurnishings and with a seasonal decline in as well. The drop in food prices, much the same reasons. The which question is particularly per¬ we look upon as a result of production, they foresee slightly higher, rather than lower, prices ahead. Fruit and vegetable prices of 1948, has been responsible for the have been rising because of the declines that have occurred in the weather damage to the winter index up to now. The reductions These may be expected to in apparel and housefurnishings crops. fall again as the new crops come prices, though in some instances in. We are still waiting for the they have been spectacular and have attracted wide attention, lower grain prices to be reflected in the prices of bread, and fol¬ have affected a relatively small lower feed prices in the price of number of commodities, concen¬ milk. On balance, we might ex¬ trated in a relatively small nuniber of price lines. The decline pect that the seasonal upward movement will occur, perhaps a in cotton textiles has been re¬ little modified. And, of course, flected in some general price rewe must never forget the fact that the fine crops almost entirely ductiqns in items of cotton cloth¬ A rather in men's clothing has led to lower prices, ing and housefurnishings. disappointing as manufacturers their inventories. Lower retailers cleared season and prices of hides and leathers has brought about some reductions in the prices of shoes. Some of the household appliances and some items of furnishings have been sporadically reduced. But if you will go through any of our great stores or thumb than the weather can have mendous effect on food crop failure send food summer prices higher; could crops next a push tre¬ prices. A could bumper them down further. difficult to foresee what may happen in the next few months to prices of ap¬ It parel is a and little more housefurnishings. The declines leads us to wonder how far it will spread and how far and how long it will recent flurry of to expect may see rents Note that even what national stable rela¬ a steadily rising level of living; and on the other hand, investment in¬ come sufficient to expand capacity and demand, and with supply, a postwar price level would above the level of 1939, should we somewhat hope of 1947-48. What is more important than the level itself' is the economic en¬ below the peak levels in which vironment ex¬ may to is how many of the last 35 years have been years of rapid price change and how few have been years of that kind stability of think of as which like we reason tinue too, 14—about twofifths of the total — when there a total of about approximating stability. There is the first post¬ war plateau from 1923 through 1929, when the fluctuations were comparatively minor; then there is the post-depression plateau from 1935 to 1940. For the rest of the time prices were moving either was very something rapidly up or very down—certainly more required to satisfy the of a dynamic economy. rapidly than are functions Consider¬ think now the rate and there is every believe that it will con¬ increase. There is - no why level of living, our cannot continue to increase, provided that we find the means expanding production and vigor¬ ous competition. It will reward to share it. The Trouble Seeker (Continued from page 3) light of the tremendous increase since then of doing all types of business? The question, become the in cost in of obviously furnishes its own answer. course, When it to the comes suggestion that representatives of Exchange, Curb and over-the-counter market sit down and devise some formula so that one segment of the the Stock does business the expense of another, anti- not benefit at monopoly and other laws must be taken into considerations In any event, so far as the other specific subjects men¬ tioned that might be explored are concerned, it must be borne in mind the NASD members are variegated. Some are Exchange members. Others are not. Some operate ex¬ clusively in the auction market, others in the over-thecounter market, and many in both. So when you reflect on this fact it is obvious that any conclusions drawn from a re¬ Stock port based on the instant study would place the NASD on the horns of a dilemma. Tf the ultimate report favors the over-the-counter mar* will be incensed, and vice versa. ket, the Exchange members For and part, we feel that Mr. Fulton is too shrewd and tactician not to have given this considerable thought our snide a consequently another new we feel his is a desperate attempt to create venture for the purpose of giving the impres¬ interested, along with the NASD, in the financial welfare of over-the-counter dealers, by and large. he that sion As is matter of fact, we a feel that the difficulties experi¬ enced by the over-the-counter in small measure, as a no of the NASD and industry have been occasioned result of the actions and activities will not be eliminated unless and until that and a free economy once prevail in the securities industry. organization has been dissolved permitted to more With State Bond & Mtg.Co. Pacific Co. Adds The to (Special Financial ANGELES, LOS neth Barsamian (Special Chronicle) Chronicle) Financial The to MINN.—Paul C. Maras has joined the staff of State Bond & Mortgage Co., 26 l/z NEW CAL. —Ken¬ has been added to ULM, North Minnesota Street. With Turley & (Special Exchange. to Tegtmeyer Chronicle) Financial The ILL.—Thornton B. Stearns is now with Turley & Tegtmeyer, 120 South La Salle CHICAGO, Dempsey-Tegeler Co, With to (Special "normal." If we pace the years on the chart of the Consumers' Price Index, there are to to reason glut of goods. It will be characterized by full and steadily to off I a of 3 % per year, look at these them) by learned ductivity has increased at age nor a rising economic level. without rent con¬ we find it. I think we will recognize the approach of price stability because it will be neither clearly a buyers' market nor clearly a sellers' market; it will be a market with neither a short¬ pect provide to that if consumers real incomes rise too fast and too far, in relation to increases in production and pro¬ ductivity, inflation will follow. But if profits and investment out¬ strip real incomes, we accumulate capacity and production in excess of purchasing power and deflation will follow. Historically, our pro¬ have we well and hand, consumer productivity. raise and costs Certainly competition. stable be the one sufficient on income the staff of Pacific Company of charts, the most striking thing about California; 623 South Hope Street, them (aside for the similarities members of the Los Angeles Stock between con¬ This re¬ quires, of we between product sumption and investment. tell. Even when it is comparatively stable, our price structure is dynamic, with prices constantly moving in response to the miscellaneous goods and services have probably not run the course of their rise— for example, hospital bills and the rates of many utilities. The rise in these laggard prices must al¬ ways be kept in mind when we assess the effects of the declines that may be in prospect in some commodities and services. When distribution of the healthy can anyone trol, rents, after the first war, con¬ tinued to rise through 1923. Many At find stability in the between prices and in¬ comes? Personally, I do not think more a we tionship only rise. toward Dynamic asked: price structure and Rents, of course, can down. often are level will How fast and how far in the fall. If there were no they rise will depend on the kind other factors affecting food prices, of rent control we have, but over we might expect an increase of a period of years, as the housing about 2% to 3% between now and shortage is gradually eliminated September. The latest informa¬ and as controls are taken off, we carries them to a tionship Our Price Structure Is . contrast Equally important is the rela¬ between prices and in¬ comes. No price level can long re¬ main stable unless it results in a their the economy. on We and by the same token it will produce its crop of failures among the inefficient and the marginal enterprises. profits, separated by a difference of in level, it is no won¬ that there is so much pre¬ are hand there are one signs of healthy conditions: are low, demand is many come ticularly true of the items which we On healthy enterprise with efficient ing that the years of stability were so few and that the two plateaus Price Outlook Portends No Depression continue. Thursday, March 3, 1949 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (992) E. mond affiliated & The Financial ' Street. Kubitschek has become Kubitschek (Special Seventh Street. was with Conrad, Bruce to The COLORADO —John M. Financial of - has formed COLO. —Frank R. added to the staff Peters, Writer & Christensen, National Bank Building. (Special to The DENVER, the , Johnston Financial COLO. Chronicle) — has become Floyd .! F. connected offices 1 with Sidlo, Simons. Roberts & Co., [ First National Bank Building. - * North Tejon Street. Investment Co. with at 325 - Sidio, Simons Co. Adds Chronicle) SPRINGS, COLO. Kirk Co. Chronicle) DENVER, Kirk Investment Co. (Special Financial The Button has been previously & Co. to Inc., U. S. Kirk - With Peters, Writer Dempsey-Tegeler with Co., 210 West Mr. Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Ray¬ LOS Volume 169 Number 4782 THE COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL (993) Indications of Current Business 37 Activity The following statistical tabulations cover production and other figures for the latest week or month available (dates shown in first column are either for the week or month ended on that date, or, in cases of quotations, are as of that date) : AMERICAN 11 steel Equivalent Bteti v IRON Indicated AND STEEL operations Crude (percent of capacity) Mar PETROLEUM (net tons) Mar. output Kerosene oil Gas (bbls.) (bbls.) and 5,404,000 17,754,000 5,399,000 16,984,000 :i7,961,000 2,485,000 on foreign 1 19 distillate 2,354,000 2,520.00C 7,000,000 7,617,000 7,944,000 8,127,00( 8,117,000 8,561,000 8,744,000 AMERICAN Total 109,886,000 119,780,000 111,587,000 20,066,000 20,524,000 22,125,000 9,731,000 61,517,000 68,746,000 34,004,006 New 80,591,000 82,340,000 85,075,000 49,782,000 122,533,000 BRADSTREET, January: — ENGINEERING Feb. 19 697,335 699,442 709,585 —Feb. 19 625,844 618,248 631,290 South 804,937 722,622 Central West U. Public construction Feb. 24 $146,604,000 $212,157,000 27,485,000 112,754.000 64,829,000 49,139.000 Z_ZZZZZZZZZZZIZFeb! 24 33,850,000 147,328,000 24 31,190,000 71,797,000 27,712,000 24 1,552,000 2,660,000 75,531,000 51,890,000 ^ municipal Federal _ — — York Outside S. BUREAU OF BUSINESS States Retail | 10,755,000 ♦11,440.000 11,460.000 SALES INDEX—FEDERAL 698.000 748.000 860,000 1,229,001 152,800 ♦153,800 158,100 131,700 RESERVE output Total . 239 Retail 24f 230 (in kwh.) 000 (COMMERCIAL 5,650,279 5,810,034 5,251,935 AND INDUSTRIAL)—DUN 180 136 93 ERAL & (E. & M. J. 3.75628c $46.74 $37.25 $37.58 - $46.74 _ ("*-/■,;vy 21.200c 23.450c 23.425c 21.425c 103.000c 103.000c 21.500c 21.500c AND 21.300c PRICES DAILY 17.500c 17.500c 12.000c 101.63 113.12 :: NEW OF DEPT. OF 680,670 860,704 1.649,284 2,229,229 8,811,476 5,105,433 123,038 113.854 363,665 348,667 101,850 232,443 88,501 69,091 73,902 §0,927,000 20,716,000 21,471,000 public storage Jan. of as spindles active SPINNING Active spindle 674,463 YIELD DAILY (DEPT. hours COMMERCE) OF (000's STORE RESERVE OF 111.07 Sales (average monthly), (average daily), 119.00 119.00 116.22 Sales 116.80 114.85 Feb. 28 191 1935 — - Stocks 108.70 109.06 113.50 113.50 112.93 117.20 117.20 115.04 : - seasonally adjusted 2.38 2.41 FACTORY EARNINGS AND AVERAGE 3.00 All 2.45 3.00 3.11 2.70 2.70 2.81 of Feb. 28 3.05 3.05 3.14 ' 3.46 3.44 3.53 3.24 3.22 3.42 . . 2.98 2.98 2.79 Durable Hourly 2?90 37G.1 373.6 387.2 All , goods YORK Credit 162.2 171.5 239.1 Cash 234.8 230.7 237.4 250.1 Total — carrying 307.9 extended hand 011 of and customers' 312.5 310.3 Market value of listed 197.7 202.5 263.2 Market value of listed 237.2 242.3 Stock 238.1 240.1 '228.6 Member borrowings 166.3 170.9 172.7 Member borrowings cri 191.1 195.7 index, 190.4 163.5 217.9 232.8 NUMBER —U. 157.0 TURE 146.3 142.9 143.4 150.5 151.3 155.6 155.6 138.C 209.5 213.1 Feb. 143.0 155.6 211.3 216.1 137.6 August, All 152.291 155.095 182,892 177,390 191.306 86 92 99 295,474 319,066 327,700 ' DEPT. S. ; -... OF v'• ; ■ grain ■'!>-;.c 147.0 Meats Hides . 158.5 158.8 168.9 167.9 183.6 2t:9 412 412 374 235 236 181 180 126 285 282 320 244 274 333 and products — ... 160.8 crops. 159.2 170.3 152.9 153.G 147.5 143.0 143.6 148.3 Feb. 22 135.9 138.0 138.0 130.1 178.1 178.1 177.9 155.C 201.3 201.3 200.8 193.0- Savings and Loan 131.2 131.0 133.5 134.9 Insurance 158.6 164.0 REAL ESTATE AREAS AND 331 307 240 218 206.5 217.5 219.1 20§3 218.3 224.2 181.1 190.3 200.4 187.7 runs. OF U. 4 •♦ Total — FEDERAL - , : $267,274 $302,275 SAVINGS $267,922 ... 85.114 77,580 79,345 205,556 198,182 253,110 1 *;n - Companies.!——;— 67.915 61,581 176,437 institutions..; , : 231 ' CORPORATION — • 235 ■? 143 (000's omitted): Associations—1 lending ♦Revised figure, 300 NON-FARM Savings Banter Miscellaneous ' S. IN companies Individuals , 273 264 231 INSURANCE Trust 241 258 of December and 197 .245 FINANCING LOAN -—Month 213.5 198.4 Feb. 22 crude 160.3 203.7 Feb. 22 , 300 330 275 218 Poultry and eggs 159.0 152.2 ^eb.,22 337,000 barrels of foreign 248 315 — 142.2 Mutual skins. 257 264 • products Feb. 22 ; 295 280 . animals • .Feb. 22 — Feb. 22 193 ... Feb. 22 —— —. 261 ,— Dairy 159.9 169.6 ' I Includes 187 hay 189 —.— — figure. and ' .Feb. 22 — ———. and -•Revised 251 173 •_« — grain Truck 158.5 Feb. 22 .', \ —— 232 INDEX Dairy products —L____.... Poultry and eggs—————.—..... Seasonally adjusted— Banks — 279 238 221 — AGRICUL¬ crops—..'——... Oil-bearing crops i. 436,430 .Feb. 22 ; -ii , 268 233 OF ..... Feb. 22 Special indexes— 258 FARMERS DEPT. Truck v ' Fuel and lighting materials— Metals and metal products—-—— Building materials—————_ 222,255 grain Meat .Feb. 22 farm and foods- $63,062 250,591 174 BY Cotton LABOR ;—,— 73.9'i. $170,896 218,073 Z >/./-.-Z ;— — 66,090,349 136,232,016 73.0'/* $120,973 products Livestock 141.5 67,048,278 131,306,126 72.9'/* issues Fruit 6 140.1 67,478,248 collateral.. other Tobacco 171,191 86 , Govt, S. 623,307 131,896,587 i. Crops 160.330 175.628 Z U. 587,310 15: farm Feed \ shares...—— 56,409 415,294 573,205 balances- 351,963 Unadjusted— ASSOCIATION: 140.1 $568,61*3 52,218 347,492 S 1909-July, 1911—100—As of Feed .Feb. 25 $551,440 55,882 U. in bonds on S. Food 192(5- $537,264 1.355 accounts— 12-31-24—100—.. RECEIVED PRICES 190.1 217.9 150.5 —• 1.210 $1,285 v 211.1 190.1 —• ♦1.286 ' 217.4 INDEX ♦1.457 1.296 balances. credit iree 229.1 price debit banks in 191.6 PRICE ♦$1,376 1.463 customers 167.2 ________ $1,308 __ margin net to 237.0 ..Feb. 19 40.9 40.0 : - •. 234.1 -Feb. 19 40,5 ♦40.8 ♦39.3 _ - goods 202.5 142.9 48.45 STOCK EXCHANGE—As of Jan. 31 firms 227.0 162.3 .Feb. 26 55.46 40.5 cf customers' Total 219.7 143.3 ♦40.0 'f ' omitted): 216.7 142.7 $52.07 ,' ♦59.40 ♦50.51 38.6 goods manufacturing goods Member Fuels — 413.4 ASSOCIATION 308.8 59.26 49.98 39.6 — earnings— (000's 220.2 products ♦$55.10 OF ______ji manufacturing Nondurable 3.01 2.79 All GROUPS—1935-39— 100: All commodities other than 233 Hours— NEW products_ I)EPT goods Nondurable 'SERIES^U.*/•;."'; S. goods Durable v 205 236 January: manufacturing Durable 2.91 2.98 • 215 HOURS—WEEKLY ESTIMATE —U. Month — Nondurable 2.84 2.79 2.80 PRICES 'NEW 211 201 31 105.52 2.38 3.47 commodities- of Jan. as ♦193 247 $54.77 110.52 103.64 ♦197 414 228 112.19 422 195 243 unadjusted 105.17 3.26 1926==?10©: 39 January: unadjusted— 112.19 3.06 REPORTER 4f4 of 104.83 2.71 „ 383 (average daily), seasonally adjusted Stocks, unadjusted as of Jan. 31— 2.80 . - PAINT." AND • DRUG AVERAiGE1—100 10,802.000 376 „ FED¬ Sales 3.01 PAPERBOARD 21,450,000 8,544,000 Earnings— . BY 23,786,000 20,776,000 8,425,000 FEDERAL Y. N. 113.12 23,751,000 20,927,000 place, Jan. DISTRICT, BANK 23,754,000 -— omitted), Jan.— SALES—SECOND AVERAGE—i00—Month AVERAGES: Aaa FERTILIZER ; 31— Jan. of as Jan. 31— Active spindle hours per spindle in LABOR : $290,000 BALES— 100.72 113.50 Grains $269,000 COM¬ 104.66 Livestock $12,965,000 1,627,055 117.20 108.52 „ 711,000 $31,731,000 YORK— month of January establishment as of 101.32 117.00 , 924,000 $268,000 — 112.000 Textile 820,000 1,174,000 „ 8,213,189 118.80 -Farm 2,396,000 thousands) — RUNNING — ERAL Baa All 2,837,000 1,892,000 31 117.00 '• 1,705,000 4,247.000 public AVERAGES: Aaa afOLESALE $6,892,000 2,184,000 ... Spinning spindles in place on Jan. 31 Spinning spindles active on Jan. 31 14.800c- 112.93 - $21,980,000 OUTSTANDING—FED¬ (in LI.NTERS RESERVE ID, 356 .. . _ BANK 31 consuming COTTON 15.000c 21.300c 101.61 NATIONAL 531 $8,625,000 .... _ liabilities. PAPER DEPARTMENT INDEX 29 566 108 storage as of Jan. 31 Linters—Consumed month of January I11 consuming establishments as of Jan. 31 94.000c 17.500c ITY 36 _ * 23.200c 21.500c * 23 41 _ _ .. — January Cotton ■ 23.200c 21.300c NATIONAL 153 64 4,841,000 _ _ .. service In $40.00 23.425c Aa 217 $19,159,000 _ liabilities In $40.37 $40.58 103.000c BOND 43 267 . Lint—Consumed 3.27585c ^ '7,. 23.206c MOODY'S 59 2,627,000 _ _ liabilities RESERVE of As QUOTATIONS): copper— BOND 155 53 _ . In .Feb. 22 MOODY'S number. liabilities MERCE 3.75628c $46.74 Electrolytic 129 ... ... liabilities Total 5,559,207 COMPOSITE PRICES: PRICES 44,144,030 242,369,218 INSTITUTE: 3.75628c METAL $286,513,248 46,214,077 - _ liabilities COTTON AGE 938,448 5 693,485 229,326,357 ... service COMMERCIAL IRON $275,540,434 10 65 ,176,659' • 76 number Wholesale 228 180 FAILURES 59,809,331 BRADSTREET & _ number Commercial Electric 6,436,683 196,738 812,073 64,741,267 _ number Commercial SYS AVERAGE=10I) ELECTRIC 50 506,031 14,371,187 number Construction EDISON 33,366,499 58 157,748,529 . City. of January: number Manufacturing STORE .. _ York FAILURES—DUN Construction 12,900,000 .Feb. 19 .Feb. 19 TEM—1935-39 __ „ New INC.—Month MINES): .Feb. 19 DEPARTMENT — City of Wholesale (U. — ; ; Manufacturing COAL OUTPUT 36 77,846,990 79,602.00C ZZZ—ZZZZZZ—Feb. 48,137,000 46,585,000 New $128,741,000 24 iFeb. and $75,622,000 Z-ZZPeb! ; construction State ; Central Total .United S. construction 36, 557,830 48,167,799 35,898,427 __ NEWS- RECORD: Total Private $22, 631,977 21,478,565 4,077,857 ! Central Pacific CONSTRUCTION $14,063,380 CITIES—Month Atlantic Mountain ENGINEERING $262,031,000 & ^ Atlantic East freight loaded (number of cars). Revenue freight received from connections (number of cars). $258,776,000 37,346,113 DUN — , CIVIL $262,487,000 $222,489,796 INC.—215 England Middle RAILROADS: Revenue 12,537,000 of 58,574,000 VALUATION 12,465,000 between —— PERMIT 1,450,000 13,093,000 10,110,942 ; 15,657,000 529,000 30.713.329 shipped 11,081,000 11,474,000 9,199,006 South OF and 53,198,000 9,567,000 15.833,000 76,958,642 21,146,483 stored 56,633,000 9,661,000 countries — ————■ BUILDING $168,108,000 15,832,000 —: __ goods Ago $163,749,000 56,568,000 —— credits exchange Based Year Month 56,238,003 ———— shipments_ Dollar Previous $155,859,000 warehouse 15,807,00C 2,189,000 Feb. 19 IZ_ZZZZZZZZ"Feb! ' 5,342,325 5,418,950 5,556,000 5,330.050 5,361,100 115,322,000 __Feb. 19 . fuel oil output (bbls.)_^_ iFeb. 19 Residual fuel oil output (bbls.) Feb. 19 Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in pipe lines— Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at Feb. 19 Kerosene (bbls.) at Feb. 19 Gas oil and distillate fuel oil (bbls.) at Feb. 19 Residual luel oil (bbls.) at— Feb! 19 ASSOCIATION Latest Month ; — Exports OUT¬ BANK RESERVE January 31: Domestic Feb. 19 —, output ACCEPTANCES YORK—As of NEW Imports 1,705,10C 1,860,100 1,849,000 DOLLAR STANDING—FEDERAL OF Domestic output—daily average (bbls. of 42 gallons each) runs to stills—daily average (bbls.) Gasoline 1,852,700 6 BANKERS 94.6 100.9 100.3 100.5 Ago Ago INSTITUTE: oil Crude fi Week . Year Month Previous Latest Week to— ingots and castings AMERICAN INSTITUTE: . ... 176,000 165,973 135,789 132,680 ■i144,342 $938,938 $919,631 $1,006,625 ' — 38 (994) THE COMMERCIAL & Objects to Spahr's Criticism of Gold Producers (Continued from this true, the government in¬ was sisted that the business at packers must loss if necessary. The a the and people in this country placed a higher price on many packers refused, there nave The gold and are willing to pay that price in dollars. Gold producers, was a suit and the government lost the case. Court ruled that where the government is the buyer it cannot inerefore, iix the price either by act of Con¬ rights to gress or bureaucratic decree. public demand Court The that held demanding the meat at the OPA price amounted to the taking of private property by the government, denied the tutional confronts where thereby consti¬ right of freedom of sale. We have here the that and their packers the compel the gold producer, regulations Treasury him to situation same in turn his the seek only and satisfy this open free gold in an which government's of gold. their free to it it it no of gold producers in law. contention your our that the Treasury regulations moderate dustry will . stride have toward made control great a its of own affairs. We not concerned here with are our monetary pol¬ icy. Congress has price of $35 per purchase of livered to else. set for the ounce foreign gold de¬ If foreigners do not $35 we their take can fit to seen all us. the want them pay gold they somewhere The Treasury does not deny them the right of a free market, but when we as producers are compelled to turn in any part of private our when gold take and $35, could get a higher we price for it elsewhere, it is not the act of a good government to maintain such a man who sticks and supply of newly mined gold in this country can upset it, if placed in private hands, or is it merely that gold producers are swindled, and that ernment must the wisdom of a national to be rule, but that of "give says This a up conduct doned highway¬ gun in our ribs a to deal with basis than our gov¬ us that upon all of other business? Otherwise it would that in seem rights commenting gold miners in of the on future remarks, you should deal with the facts and realities of the situation and hot express immature theories. It also seems, Dr. Spahr, that ability your as economist an is rather limited if you can think of no better course for the gold miner than to close down. Almost anybody could suggest that. If we apply your thinking to all other industry and merely eliminate them because they ask for their rights to be respected, we come rather close to the methods of Russia. else." or seems different a be If this is the best the economists con¬ and applauded by you in disregard of our Con¬ stitutional" rights. It should occur complete do, the world would certainly can producers there rights. gold not paid the that further violation a by price present for the government price was ferent is The fixed by law, is for price in dollars of dif¬ a purchasing gold producer is The power. now compelled to accept a different dollar. If it their fully are duties of conscious good of dustry, Congress through us, the shock of provide, can the means of easing readjusting the cur¬ rency values of the world. These cannot be divorced from some gold. that the price to be paid to gold producers was to be $35 an ounce, public demand for gold, and price the public will pay for it, will be a safety zone to indi¬ and cate if make Congress such in was a had power law, then that law contract with the essence a industry. That law ruled purchasers vate and industry to out other compelled to sell its pri¬ private a property only to the government, thus the $35 was an implied promise and pledge of value at that time and having assumed the the would say If that us by us was at gold, but least $70 they an owe ounce for the Treasury Depart¬ ment is now administering the Gold Act the industry is only al¬ as lowed to $17 ounce. are an receive value of about And remember, we not allowed to seek other kets and sell our mar¬ product to higher bidders. The gold mining industry has thus been picked out as the sole victim of a particularly vicious swindle, perpetrated upon it under the power and majesty of the gov¬ ernment which controls and presumably stands acle of our on money the pin- integrity. . have failed to fight (Special by is Cooney The Financial Chronicle) MASS.—William has become J. associated with Proctor^ Cook & Co., 35 Con¬ Street, members of the New gress York Boston and changes. Mr. Stock Cooney was Ex¬ for¬ merly with Paine, Webber, Jack¬ son & & Curtis, and Whiting, Weeks Stubbs. manager a the and re¬ financial being near leader of single he the America A man. delivers few a the address into the addressed his to which, he to friends. To Murray Can take economic springboard jump backward from the other end, spraying dubious facts and figures, and he hits the front page or the general news section. the Chamber In the past of the bond he was department Soucy, Swartswelter & Co. in Here is one another in of those the front pages with fectly political economic of billion $800 an (there that. to for are a lot of namely into propaganda frighten the controls. to government most of have you swered Keyserling. But how people saw these analyses with pared those an¬ many com¬ who read Keyserling? Let's take couple of you take The quick a examples more over peep the at a before bombardment. greatest Attorney General since Biddle, Mr. Clark, has made two speeches recently charging industry with trying to create a depression. Mr. Emil Rieve, Pres¬ ident of the CIO Textile Workers Union, ernment course, A that announces employment is worse statistics national than gov¬ show—and, of wants government action. purely political approach with indication of where Mr. Rieve gets statistics that are better than government. or sus¬ to The Financial Chronicle) PORTLAND, MAINE—Philip J. Hansen, Jr., is now with Nathan C. Fay & Co., 208 Middle Street. Mr. Hansen was previously with Clyde F. Frost & Co. time two other same statements emanated. Lewis also Brown spoke pression. Reader of on I In one, Mr. Johns-Manville the think danger of de¬ Mr. Average might accept him as at least comparable to Mr. Rieve as an authority. The NAM issued statement assertion a labeling as a "hoax" the industry rhakes a that our press great¬ to man baseball a economics and an un¬ intertwined are would add To these I more one general premise.- There is no lack of belief on the part of publishers that people increasingly in¬ are economic terested in financial and after the front would show that story story is devoted to matters that 15 A matters.' pages of survey years ago would have considered Chinese to the been front page reader. Also, the columns emanat¬ average half about ing from Washington are no dif¬ ferent from those you write, using But these often and authored are at men governmental affairs but' you would completely be¬ whom fuddle in discussion intensive an Inter¬ for Bank finance—the of by political interpreting national Settlements, for instance. The only conclusion with which I built having left, am tionalized this is argument, that ra¬ you gentlemen have been departmen¬ talized away from your natural, modern-day audience. In other words, the audience of people interested in economic af¬ fairs is no longer your, compact business-finance is It group. Business, finance, economics is everybody's business. Your gar¬ age mechanic or housewife is de¬ bating the subject over the monirev-wrench the or Politics has become tea cup. cost of op¬ a existence as a ; free peo¬ the burden of economic The common for vote of our without penditure ex¬ thinking that they are paying for it. Now I have been thoroughly and completely negative. I can't even that I know all of the answers. I am not contending that business and industry itself has not failed lamentably to suggest to .you translate itself even to those who should be staunch allies, the em¬ ployees. Neither the am I contending that should become a business and in¬ dustry, instead of being an ob¬ jective critic and teacher, what¬ ever the issue. They should not newspapers mouthpiece for thesis that business accept a do wrong. no can contend (2) You more objective for group gentlemen probably about the system in an way than you are any other immersed in its vitals every day. There are, places where (4) difference?), It appears as a your are on more the whole readership has your it. at one It may shot a tear the guts out of wrong that Perhaps you so disturbed that you write a terrific piece the next day an¬ alyzing its fallacies—-for me and my clients to read and applaud. is It ironic an fact, however, that just as Mr, Sloan, the CED, NAM or John Hanes of the Tax Foundation endeavor to write for public consumption, most of columns are written so reader your that the comprehend. You, too, assume you are talking to him and not to Kuhn, Loeb. What do I propose? average I went to can Paul Garrett of Gen¬ eral Motors, one of your former colleagues, for consultation as to whether I dared far as as I have put my neck out tonight in sacred a field. Maybe Paul won't appreci¬ my laying his neck on the chopping same up block. he But conclusion, my say¬ ing: "Today field is financial the broader be commentator a with the field and stock He should and analyst an entire as economy for his such he deserves a better platform page." cial writer's the than and investment market. than the finan¬ Carrying through that summa¬ tion, I suggest for consideration by newspaper management— (1) That the financial and busi¬ interpretive columns be ad¬ to the public and printed regularly on Page 2 or 3. ness dressed son between nancial cial rule, just stories hit page on in the general news pages and (2) That there be (3) As a result you intelligently articulate subject. two business. or summed that the press, in¬ advertently through departmen¬ talized traditions, has given those who attack the capitalistic system and industry access to the public mind that is largely denied pro¬ ponents of the system. Let's take some premises lead¬ ing to a conclusion: (1) The newspapers as a whole believe in the capitalistic system. They carry the torch for it, but not in the right places. know the economics, probably do not cover the story, although it may be pure ate Unwitting Sabotage of Capitalism I do (what's labor leader talks a industry, it may be knowledg e you ooze outrage. people will are so governmental any or en¬ lightenment, who will? Obviously, we are not reaching the masses. millions derson you And if the newspapers don't as¬ sume j that You similar think I our Proof? Patently, the free ple. depres- I Keyserling's Nonsense his 6 or 12. America. learning. A goes commerce with per¬ sion. pages 2, through Today, forecastj is not enacted program face will derstanding of business, industry and Senate Committee that if a Truman's we a year a find writer interpretative I erations for any commercial es¬ columns. You can learn to play \ tablishment. It is woven into our golf through instructional columns.! daily lives. And you, the group The newspapers teach you how presumably trained through study to wash the baby, take care of r and experience to. interpret fi¬ your health, not to eat peas with | nance, profit, depression dangers a knife, and even advise on your j in terms that people can under¬ love life. Winchell will tell you stand, are carefully shielded from when you are going to become a your audience, as shown by read¬ father and if the time is ripe for ership surveys. buying stocks. If a politician, or a Leon Henr Washington, Leon Keyserling, hit never change minds great sins can continue to know every quirk of the game and every rule On February us. his knows game example more slightly closer to 8 he America, have been who pages. those of the Nathan Fay Adds (Special of business and quack will insane state¬ make to est institution of preceding day financial com¬ reach where the afraid The newspapers, would, most likely, have arrived the in we tively, "That ain't so." had forecast full employment for three years following the war it on his position because Wallace, Robert Nathan and the CIO, predicting 8,000,000 unem¬ ployed within a year after the end of the war. It was equal in news value to a good triangle divorce involving a model and a the of quickly find him out; that mil¬ lions of people will say, instinc¬ You will recall that famous document sprung, full-blown from the statistical tables of Henry if il¬ ments in his quest for a headline same 6n we in financial a on skillful be and But off does stuff subject matter as a yardstick. a financial Phillip the Series permitted to speculate modity futures? How do it goes. Yet World's to they own personal ex¬ perience that the government be of hopes, the edi¬ used am posing is how people of economic our breadth is the people—not just pages I when self-seeking politician we get across to them knowledge enough so they can comprehend the irony of Senator Elmer S. (S. for Specula¬ tor) Thomas proposing out of the year preparation long tells them? How do speech. We know the thought, time and effort that gone Richmond. times that' few guess what every a has re¬ sports was the financial pages, or occasion¬ ally page one. There is no inter¬ mediate point. I would hazard the literacy—how do you help? How do we stop them from believing other any times I the I commerce. and even cure industrial as in loud question I once I suppose Alfred P. Sloan comes as am of my pages for the front. But all of that is incidental. The and pages of when down took com¬ again their mem¬ bership constituency will advise them, "You are talking only to yourselves." no for back. various agreements the on know that About the evidently by their theory of money, to set hopefully through They find their Holy papers. nation at confusion. government the is so dently intended to perpetuate this bound to BOSTON, Your remarks, Dr. Spahr, are evi¬ Our tor bawl looks reasons, SEARS, William J. Cooney Now With Proctor, Cook & Co. the hands of their government that they HARRY Boston. Gold producers have been bewildered by this treatment mittee and as government our now a $35 today. pledge of value to date answers President, Calaveras Central Gold Mining Co., Ltd. misunderstand that I center nerve Finally, the baby is born, lease devaluation Very truly yours, Don't have brains some tions under nice headlines. criticizing financial pages. As I said, I think they are the They might might just our own say Keyserling was talking non¬ currency. to scare Congress. You There is a strong flavor in your sense langague which harks back to the might say he was stupidly talk¬ You divine right of kings. It has been ing*- us into a depression; my view that we tossed that might even be nasty enough to suggest that the same people theory overboard many years ago. along with the tea, in Boston har¬ helped Keyserling who dreamed up that 8,000,000 unemployed — bor. that the $35 of stretch of imag¬ 1934 could by any ination be construed further steps may be made with responsibility, > as to value, the government should make it good. Who what in¬ Talking to Themselves as¬ The level of to 15% return on its investment, ob¬ viously addressing itself to the public for the information was in¬ consequential to the financial public. Mr. Brown and NAM hit the financial pages; Mr. Clark and Mr. Rieve the general news sec¬ member before the sentences great from my profession.'" citizenship. In protecting the rights of our in¬ sociation with the intent of Congress was in banker. theories. But call even Commerce " some and semantics. over have Dr. Spahr, that our Con¬ stitution is an inherent part of our economy and it is your public duty to only advocate constitutional of labor be better off without them.^Let's straight " American thinking and talking for a change. A free market for newly mined gold can have deeper significance than just the profit motive. Gold to you, for some that they are simple enough the -man on the street. They Writ that monetary policy is so precariously balanced that the are sure or words over and price fixed by the govern¬ ment, so therefore if we establish invalid when applied to all newly mined gold, the gold mining in¬ committee, with the idea that it might regis¬ ter with the public its concept of the sound economic approach to some current problem. They argue gold, it will be buy it, but longer be allowed to from defiance Is of part no monetary stock new bid for it should take is President, If the Treasury wishes to purchase this gold at the now meet market, selling only their newly mined (Continued from page 7) $35 gold price, but the peoples of the rest of the world do Newspapers and Economic Illiteracy 20) page tain Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL one desks and editor column tered news be of through closer liai¬ a desks that allocated space the a and fi¬ the finan¬ at least day scat¬ general news Volume 169 Number 4782 THE section," exclusive of his own col¬ umn to put in neWs stories which hurt he deems most constructive whether it be Mr. Sloan's speech, if the NAM statement which 1 have used as my guinea pig tonight, or COMMERCIAL what — human a with interest some I phase of contend readers story mat • dealing commerce. general your . entitled to regular ex¬ are lo what industry is doing saying just as much as to ship.' and CiO tne is doing, without death by seeing a being scared to lot of statistics right alongside the things in whicn he of might be interested. ^ This ing be done without hurt¬ can financial your reader¬ page it would not even of your regular patrons they have to turn through the comics the sports pages to find or they want to know; to find your column. Maybe you would write two columns a day—one for finance and one for general read¬ ership. And how, do you like hat for making you work? M , posure what Maybe some is This I radical- no merely proposing am and modern more suggestion. a changed perspective toward industrial news. I know of will never happily aceep"t-'unfair labor demands and simple—act Railroads Need .(Continued from > , and public opinion, or a depression, both, makes an issue of it. .Regarding Taxes: The railroads believe that fair tax payments, an long-range future of American Regulations and uncon¬ expenses affect every thetic more action and a sympa¬ appraisal by all concerned phase of railroading—even to the —the status the government, the shippers and the public. Such a plan can be and strength petition. .. In this liest of our com¬ ■ respect, forms of the cost¬ competition the one of railroads, the employees, "Gypsy" truck operator. These operators have no substantial investment in equip¬ ment. They have personal prob¬ no lems—no overtime, no vacations, interruptions due to labor prob¬ lems, and no paid holidays. They no have complicated no problems, insurance unemployment com¬ pensation and social security taxes, no employee benefits. They run no excessive hours with loads, and apply for their Motor fixed charges no vices sei excessive The Bureau of Carriers, are idle dream. It can be brought by ordinary common sense* teamwork, and the- courage to¬ ri ght a fight! about to regulating inequitable tions, government regula¬ in terms of return on mean railroad capital investment For example, in 1948, with the largest peacetime gross revenue in the history of the Katy Railroad— $83,293,000—the Katy had a net .railway operating income equiv¬ alent to 3.7% its on vestment—far short capital of in¬ what generally considered to be a is fair No shipper can lower rates desire only it way American more than The^ we. enjoy an industry earning . would allow tradition of , & Katy nor any otherrailroad is responsible for present levels. rate relation basis, But Rates to in as • costs simple too are that reason control them all high* have can't we Those costs fixed at the discretion of railroad agement been man¬ well so re¬ duced that "Fortune" magazine recently said editorially, "The per¬ formance is marked" should that remarkable (meaning There that but un¬ "unnoticed"). vantage of to technological im¬ too long to has It capitalize Diesel of taken much the econ¬ locomotive oper¬ on ations, because of the large in¬ vestment requirements. We must be able to adapt ourselves to new tools and new ideas, and who but knows the future motive of power into develop may a gas-tUrbine, or even jet or atomic Experimentation is being energy. with made types of rolling 'equipment—such as the Spanishnew type "Talgo" train of the Amer¬ ican Car and Co., Foundry the efficient should operations, the railroads in be position to take ad¬ vantage of them. All of them will, however, require great outlays of cash ? and The no and much nothing can matters. state has too- been taken, But generally, the Commerce that current Inter¬ Commission perimentation with one, re¬ new "bold ex¬ methods" possible cure for some of the problems confronting all rail¬ a partial Goal—Cheaper and Better Transportation that the pursuance of a plan, aimed for a fair and agree equitable transportation policy in other Ulesels ana results.^ As I pointed out, made with waterways of out labor itself in the Only those paid by which tax provided for the use of are money other forms of commercial trans¬ portation with which the self-sup¬ porting railroads must compete Operating Costs: There are that could be cut, if the railroads had the money with many which to buy other any what business The railroads ulated " that is in saving called "cost and lower rates will fol¬ low. cutting cosl culun& closely are so a reg¬ difference be¬ outgo is family living so up whole paycheck every week, nothing in a savings account with for an important, gentle¬ well know, that money in¬ men should vested as you receive fair a and return. A Minimum 6% Return on fairness the to investors in fairness to the pub¬ lic which looks to the railroads for its basic the transportation railroads should the 6% per annum regarded return service— at least earn which is gen¬ a reasonable investment. on reached as that It figure only once in The railroads do not want gov¬ subsidies they are proud of their accomplishments as self-supporting industry. They only want relief from subsidized competition; from unreasonable, so-called "featherbedding" We must have the sup¬ labor port of the public in our effort to provide the kind of railroad transportation to which the public is entitled—and demands. is problem which can be shipper, the trav¬ a eler— the democratic form of government, the people ultimately get what they want. When they find out sound an what and economically all, they exert irresistible force called Public Opinion. Their elected pointed representatives respond. The States and are people can of have ap¬ quick the lower freight rates when and if they de¬ cide to have them. Here is how: Regarding Labor: do not woman begrudge a fair wage. The railroads any man or But railroad the on street — realizes that its correction will be direct benefit to him—in lower transportation costs which will be reflected in food every is fair to man and The almost every item of article he buys. margin between costs and income of the railroads is of It is easy to "get off the beam" place too much attention on and lowness mere and of found price. boom post-war The war made pro¬ changes in the middle class markets. Large segments of the population moved up into more comfortable income brackets. This middle class is market not taste of the better They will more effective their buy needs such a things of life. if more and find we methods to desires. meet From class diagnosis of the middle market, if follows that the most productive price ranges will a be found somewhere off the pre¬ vailing higher ranges where above the ranges. We will find them by re¬ and some¬ lowest price ' • so thin "fair Exact Science an This matter-of correct pricing is an exact science. The mer¬ not chandisers who know most about it do not write books the why on when, what and how of pricing They are too busy practicing the art. They are not afraid to take "calculated risks" and experiment with new Without prices to build volume specific recognition attempted calculation of direct or and any indirect successful expenses, merchants often cut prices to en¬ sales larger volume contributions costs. Other obtain and to overhead things being equal, always pre¬ fers to sell 1,000 items at an 8c margin instead of 500 items at a 12c margin. In manufacturing we the skilled merchant often chained costs that have to deeply imbedded in our price thinking that we are unwilling to attempt any venture pricing. But it is venture pricing that always opens up markets new way to We have and so that but less keen as limited very knowledge of the psychology of pricing. The late Paul Cherington once is remarked that the consumer generally central by "one always present, 'good trade'" and a he added that ". . . superimposed all the chological influences, urges, psy¬ com¬ plexes, inhibitions and habits that account for human behavior."!.We know that for any given range of established prices, there are al¬ certain psychological "break¬ ing points" at which slightly lower prices will produce greatly in¬ ways creased sales. If merchandise fails sary, and clearance a is neces¬ advertised, will not goods. It takes a dra¬ matic price reduction in the neighborhood of 20% or more to the attract interest. Customers like to have a minimum But solve the problem alone—it must have the assistance of men like yourselves, who mold public opin¬ ion; of they must have an enlightened ally, and some the public support gener¬ quick action. in are prices they quality often lingers when the price is forgotten." When a new private brand is introduced, it be cannot priced too low in rela¬ tion to the established after time a other and it brand; but priced against private brands is competing not brand. against These the established merely a few of the many psychological aspects of productive pricing. Perhaps general are there is comment further one the pricing question that should be made. The on has left us with a vastly ex¬ panded monetary supply. No problems can be solved by fresh additions to that supply. As in the past, we will undoubtedly war meet the situation by growing up to the residual monetary supplies which we must continue to with live. That that will price means expand structures domestic our and foreign markets and provide adequate rewards for increased productive effort. It not only re¬ quires hard work and straight tell but the also new economic to ways facts of life to a badly confused and somewhat bewildered citizenry. There is no reason take believe in of the intelligent that we stride any of our corrections necessary cesses to now cannot ex¬ postwar the boom. By team work, we can meet these problems without too serious disturbance It omy. is task a ernment, industry, plain people have terest. The stakes of in our econ¬ which gov¬ labor and the a in¬ common high. They are the preservation of the abun¬ dance which the American system, are has created and liberally so which with we less share fortunate peoples. With (Special Daugherty, Cole to The Financial Chronicle) PORTLAND, ORE.—James L. Cox, Jr., is- with Daugherty, Cole & Co., 729 Southwest Alder Street. Sloan & Wilcox Adds to The Financial PORTLAND, staff of Chronicle) ORE. —Karl McAllister has been Sloan & D. added to the Wilcox, Cascade Bldg. McDougal & Co. Formed (Sneclal of three a given type of to The CHICAGO, Co. has been Financial Chronicle) ILL.—McDougal formed with & offices at 208 South La Salle Street. Part¬ are Alfred L. McDougal, Jr., Mary G. McDougal and Emily J. McDougal. Mr. McDougal was ners formerly President and Treasurer of McDougal & Condon, Inc. U. G. Roman Rejoins Staff of Adams & Co. small reduction, however a fre¬ memories to the last the (Special effectively move bought are their for low-priced articles that bought less often. For higherpriced articles, "the memory of top of this on are sell in dominated idea namely to get to done product. The price must be paid (Special formal has are the paves well- one his the quently, sales and profits. more ranges management cannot of price never as advertiser trading" articles standard become $299.95, within the range of acceptability. Customers remember the prices of to The Financial Chronicle) CHICAGO, ILL.—U. G. Roman has rejoined West has Adams Adams & Street. Mr. Co., 105 Roman recently been with Francis I. du Pont & Co. price chandise to permit the values. Too railroad at thinking, Pricing Not that their ability to continue as private enterprises is in jeopardy. item known only larger than it was before war, but it is likely to hold perhaps improve its position. — a It result tive design and appeal. has the past 25 years. ernment natural long period of easy selling and of the fine arts of crea¬ are Investment In them make neglect large emergency. It is will the Millions of customers have had and it's like small a our a that This is an solved when the Under sell. and have heretofore savings can be such equipment. the income tween machinery." reason, attributes all demands. for business. (3) ucts with the best combination of much more more properly seasoned, but we always "season" our prod¬ Tools cost omer is do not the equipment, the Katy and other rodds^Have shown some amazing erally ones. United bold even the railroads which go to support the highways, the airports and the to roads today. Ultimate not pay (2) Taxes: Not the fair and im¬ be done about these port to Congress suggests that the I DidM'Cd its functional design, or they over-emphasize the peated "trial and error." Cost-Saving railroads—in Bring these costs down within railroads attempt some as Regarding They long pull. financing. position rates. scales alone, but "make work" and other non productive practices that benefit these experiments produce op¬ portunities for economy and more high (1) Labor: Not C&O's "Train X," and others—and if tax con¬ and shippers! sengers high costs and are: new this for the railroads, but more^important to the public, the three important items are contribute consequently provements. the and allows Reasons for High Operating Costs power- financial structure a today, which revenue business;. other any railroad for the have must cost-of-production a that constantly; With'Tfie limited amount of in¬ a steadily come lit could spare for buying Neither the flexible enough to take quick ad¬ the exists structure reasonable railroad omies maintaining their rights-ofwhich are paid for with tax money. We all know this condi¬ ~ be done is in can return. The Certain forms way, tion good functional design to the detriment of other appeals. We like food of long-term results would be better servieer-r,better equipment, and earnestly' lower.-r^ates for the nation's pas- prove. view air¬ equals unsubsidized basis and the entire country will benefit. Railfreight rates would ben¬ roadsj' on a fgir-comnetition basis, efit every business and citizen of can more-"Than hold their own. our nation, now and for the year$, The immediate result would be ahead, and the possibility is no increased freight and passenger tions a highways, Lower improving service at lowering cost,, as volume- grows, and performance techniques img With of or why: Interstate Com¬ merce Commission, is now making an investigation of truck opera¬ this form of competition. You, gentlemen, know what untrollable expenses, along with the finance construction to of the reasons some rationale. For instancerthe some good merchant would oddity tax present Pufe competition between types,'' of transportation on and here so-called or We cost. of the because The the ated of tributed. dition to exist is not impartial. railroads face is the owner-oper¬ reduction always take full advantage Odd prices have definite psychological ap¬ peal, but the odd price must have lack achieved if it is made known that ultimate goal is cheaper ahd better railroad transportation— cost, or with an and only of actual do not to explainable. possibilities of color, or we use it very inexpertly. Many good products fail to sell because they concerted not addition 6) page easily impartially distributed, are an ob¬ ligation-of citizenship. I repeatfair payments, impartially dis¬ maintenance be productive favorable earn¬ attributes of merchan¬ dise, often with little or no sub¬ non-price stantial ing power, but actually of a lower freight/rate structure. It will take expenses, and herein lies the som¬ ber note that has a bearing on could 39 Pricing Situation (Continued from or structure is unfair! nation, lailroaas. aroused an transportation not only fail to carry their share of the tax bur¬ den, but at the same time are re¬ lieved 'of the cost of providing our the before abuses correct will leaders ports, rivers or canals—subsidiza¬ tion, if you please—then the tax 17) page uncontrollable trollable labor enlightened that Fair Deal a The Retail payments* and frankly hopes that structure, as could do more to curb economic applied to all carriers of trans¬ illiteracy. It would be worth mil¬ portation, is neither fair nor im¬ lions poured into pamphleteering partial. When tax monies in pub¬ by various business organizations. lic coffers, to which the railroads contribute, are taken from those single—and no (995) management coffers regulations CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & mer¬ With Lee Higginson comparison of many price ranges hinder effective selling. Differences in price ranges for a Herkes has become affiliated with given Lee plainly 1 type of evident Cherington, product to Paul the T., must be buyer or The People's Wants and How to Know Them, page 132. Harper & Brothers, New York, 1935. (Special to The AURORA. Financial ILL.—E Higginson Chronicle) u g e n e J. Corp., 231 South La Salle Street, Chicago. Mr. Herkes was formerly for many years with William H. Flentye & Co. 40 COMMERCIAL THE (996) • Telephone Engineering Corp., Fairbanks, Alaska Feb. 18 (letter of notification) 28,000 shares of Class A common non voting stock. Price, $10 per share. No underwriter. Purchase and installation of outside plant and Feb. equipment. dial telephone American Light & Traction Co., Chicago Jan. 10 United Light & Railways Co.' filed 634,667 shares of American Light common ($25 par). .Underwriter— None. Offering—Offered at $12 per share to holders of "4,;.' ,.• .. ' , • Mining Co., (loe) Dandy • construction and from its Colorado Springs, Colorado (letter of notification) 8,308,834 shares (Id par) stock. Price, 1.5c per share. No underwriter. 18 common For • stock will capital Underwriting—None. Ex¬ Jan. • expire March 9. Black Lake Oil & Washington, D. C. (letter of notification) 39,900 shares of 4% non- Feb. 21 cumulative preferred ($1 par), to be sold in units of 100 shares at $100 per unit; and 50,000 jfhares of common to be sold in units of 500 shares at $500 per unit. No under¬ writer. To purchase leases and drill for oil. Centra] Feb. Maine Power Co. (3/14) filed 11 $5,000,000 30-year first and general mort¬ gage bonds, series R. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Salo¬ Bros. & Hutzler; Kidder, Pea body & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Shields & Co.; Otis & Co. Proceeds—To reduce notes payable to The First National Bank of Boston. Expected about March 14. mon • Chiapas 16 (letter stock common plant . notification) of Investment Co., & Plantation Francisco San Feb. Rubber Price, (par $5). shares of class B No underwriter. To 750 par. crops. Cleveland Feb. 15 Electric outstanding basis of common share of one ■ 2 filed $11,000,000 Corp.,"Denver, Colo. and collateral trust 15-year sinking fund 4% bonds, due 1964. Under¬ writer—Allen & Co., New York. Proceeds—To prepay $7,250,000 of bank loans, to pay Assets to Administration and $1,600,000 due the War construction finance Beane and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Lehman Broth¬ Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler, The First Boston or used to finance part of the program. Bids expected to be opened about March be 15. Connecticut (3/7) alternative to issue either 163,133 shares (no par) common stock at $50 per share or $8,156,650 of 3% convertible debentures, due 1959. Offering— Stockholders of record Feb. 16 are given the alternative to subscribe for either, (a) one share of common at $50 per share for each eight shares held or (b) $50 of deben¬ tures at par for each eight shares held. Rights expire March 4. Underwriters—Putnam & Co.; Chas. W. Jan. 31 filed Light & Power Co. an Scranton & Co. and Estabrook & Co. Proceeds—To be applied to the payment of $2,570,000 of bank borrowings and future to construction Continental Jan. 28 stock Engineering Co. 50c). Price Dallas Power & • each five Under¬ 21. Market Mar. 3. Nuggets, Inc., Denver, Colo. Denver Feb. (3/22) trust bonds. bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co. Inc.; White, Weld & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly). Proceeds —For construction and to reimburse the company for mined competitive through (3/10) Expected about March 22. (letter of notification) 40,000 shares of capital Price—$5 per share. No underwriter. For organic • Land notification) $250,000 6% 10-year notes with income participation (with warrants to purchase 40 shares of common stock and 20 shares of preferred Feb. 24 (letter of warrants to purchase 80 shares of common). Under¬ writer—Hugh J. Devlin. For working capital and gen¬ $100) nancing of residences and dwelling units. • Feb. Legore (Md.) Lime Co. 23 (letter of notification) $150,000 first mortgage No underwriter. For plant improvements and bonds. liquidation of debts. • Gearko Inc., New York March, 1 (letter of notification) 20,000 shares of* 6% cumulative preferred stock (par $5) and 100,000 shares of common stock (par 10). Underwriter—Gearhart, Kinnard & Otis, Inc. Offering—To be offered in units of one Corp., San Francisco, Calif. Feb. 18 (letter of notification) 7,500 shares common stock (par $10), to be sold privately at par to warrant holders; and 30,000 shares of 6J/2% preferred to be sold for $10 per share. Underwriter—A commission will be paid to Hannaford & Talbot for public sale of 28,400 shares of the the preferred and five common shares at $6.25 per unit. working capital. Investors Trust, Boston, Mass. Price —At market. Underwriter—A. E. Weltner & Co., Inc., Kansas City, Mo. Proceeds—For investment. 100,000 shares of beneficial interest. 18 filed Empire Mining Co., Searchlight, Nev. Feb. 21 (letter of notification) 80,000 shares of stock. Price—500 per share. No underwriter. To instai a re¬ © Golden • Great Jan. 25 filed 204,000 shares of common record Feb. Farm agreed to purchase subscription new one by stock (par $10)j stockholders of share for each two' unsubscribed shares, but have nor public offering thereof. Pro¬ increase Manuel Copper Corp., a subsidiary, any ceeds—Provide funds with which company may Merchants Acceptance Corp. (3/15) Feb. 23 filed 40,000 shares (no par) $1.50 convertible preferred stock. Underwriter—G. H. Walker & Co, Proceeds—To expand business. Minnesota Power & (3/7) Light Co. filed 28 $4,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due Underwriters—Names to be determined through 1979. com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Shields & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; Otis & Co. Proceeds—For con¬ struction or to pay off short-term bank borrowings. Bids—Bids will be received by the company up to noon Harriman Ripley & Co.; (EST) March 7 at 2 Rector Street, New York, for the purchase from it of $4,000,000 bonds. , • Feb. deposit with Beech Aircraft Corp. a performance of contract and for working filed 18 due H. Drew Ripley & Co., Inc. Proceeds—To facilities of company's Mobile, Ala., mills. England Tel. & Telegraph Co. (3/23) Feb. 18 filed $35,000,000 25-year debentures. Underwrit¬ ers—Names to be determined through competitive bid¬ ding. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. Proceeds—To redeem 011 June 1, 1949, innovation. • * Feb. York New Feb. expand held filed 11 Power Company, filed —Shares will March Interstate Telephone Co., Spokane, Wash. 28 filed 5,000 shares of $5.50 cumulative (no 11. * : | | | | par) | Underwriters—Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis; Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and Pacific Northwest Co. Proceeds—To pay part of bank loans. brokers • dealers preferred stock. Pittsburgh Chicago • Israel-American New San* Francisco 1 . Private Wires to all - - offices Cleveland 4 y ' - ' Feb. stock None. 18 . Production Studios, Inc., York (letter! of (par $100). Purchase of shares of capital share. Underwriting— motion picture equipment, etc. notification) Price—$102 per 2,941 ($25 par) be 10 offered at the to stockholders rate of one (3/10)! stock Offering common share of G.P.U. of each 10 for Rights will expire April Underwriters—A fee is to be paid by G.P.U. to' par¬ cumulative pre- . shares Gas Corp. ticipating dealers who have been instrumental in obtain- about Underwriters—Names to be determined by 880,000 & shares of G.P.U. common held. Decatur, III. 200,000 shares ($50 par) ,f State Electric by General Public Utilities Corp., parent. record Expected bonds, 10. loans. bank 5% about March 23. Un¬ York. Proceeds—To develop, exploit and television a first mortgage 35series A, due June 1, 1952. Expected their principal amount $35,000,000 year 160,000 shares ($1 par) class A stock. Cantor, Fitzgerald & Co., Inc., New Price—$3 per share. Capital requirements. New (3/10) Hotelevision, Inc., L. I. City 2 (3/4) York. Offering—To be offered in preferred share and 2V2 common shares at $25,625 per unit. 1, 1969, and 61,510 shares (no par) common & Curtis Illinois , New York & Co., New units of one Manufacturing Co. and Harriman distribute Un¬ Co., New York; of notification) 4,000 share of 6% cumula¬ preferred stock (par $25) and 10,000 shares of common stock (par 250). Underwriter—Charles Underwriters—Paine, Webber, Jackson — & tive non-convertible 23 derwriter by amendment. Feb. 24 (letter Underwriter—First of Michigan Corp. Nov. 3 filed Sachs Neilsen Television Corp., © (letter of notification) 552 shares ($2 par) com¬ behalf of E. Dorris Fletcher. Price, $7.50 per March convertible pre¬ ($50 par) dividend, Temporarily deferred. to guarantee capital. Hollingsworth & Whitney Co. (3/15) filed $8,500,000 3J/4% sinking fund debentures, Feb. Price and stock. Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood, Minneapolis. Proceeds—To retire $3,000,000 of bank, loans and general corporate purpose©. Probable bidders: Equitable Securities (Mich.) Hastings on 65,000 shares 14 filed derwriters—Goldman, Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Otis & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Union Securities Corp.; Proceeds-—For con¬ struction. Expected about March 22. • ' — petitive bidding. Feb. 21 (letter of notification) 975,000 shares (100 par) Price—300 per share. No underwriter. To 24 National Battery Co. Pensacola, Fla. (3/22) $2,500,000 30-year first mortgage bonds. Names to be determined through com¬ Underwriters Inc., Tulsa, Okla. develop leases. Gulf Power Co., Feb. of Oklahoma, Oil common. Chicago Feb. 17 (letter of notification) 2,030 shares (no par) common stock. Price, $100 per share. No underwriter. For Mission ferred Probable bidders include Blyth & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp.;. W. E. Hutton & Co. Proceeds—To pay off about $10,000,000 of short-term any intention of making Implement Corp., competitive bidding. ■ for in ratio of 15 shares held at $16.75 per share. Rights expire March 8*' Lazard Freres & Co. and Newmont Mining Corp. havd July American ferred stock. ' r Magma Copper Co., New York duction plant. March .4. preferred—but no commission will be paid shares being sold to McCormack & Co< 1,600 For working capital. Increase • v # McCormack Jan. eral corporate purposes. March i Wash. or stock. Light Co. Boston* Tekoa, notification) 500 shares of capital stock and not more than $250,000 of first series No underwriter. For construction and fi¬ bonds. at Co.; Union Securities Corp.; Lehman Brothers; Salo- Philadelphia Corp., Development Feb. 18 (letter of its investment in San Industries, Inc., New Haven, Conn. Eastern common Underwriter—William C. For equipment and expenses. bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Kidder, Peabody & Co., Blyth & Co., Inc. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); The First Bos¬ ton Corp; Equitable Securities Corp.; Harriman Ripley NewYork working additional 23 Offering—Offered $12,000,000 25-year first mortgage and- col¬ Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ 18 filed lateral Fuel Associates Gas and Eastern provide Kinego Rand Enterprises, Inc., Denver, Colo. on Feb, 25 (letter of notification) 120,000 shares of common (par $1). Price, par. No underwriter. To maintain a professional basketball team. mon Feb. 24 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1979. Underwriters—To be determined through competitive & March for received by the company at its office, 600 Street, Wilmington, Del., up to 11:30 a.m. (EST) share. par. Hitchman Co., New York. ® outlays. (letter of notification) 500,000 shares of (par share and loans , ers, 1949 construction expire will Rights new Probable bidders: General System, Inc., New York (3/15) Feb. 14 filed $20,000,000 25-year debentures. Under¬ writers—Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Hal¬ sey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & on one be Feb. Gas Corp,( Proceeds—To of The First Boston Corp. and Blyth & Co. (jointly); Morgan Stanley & Co., Harriman Ripley & Co., White, #Weld & Co. and Shields & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Otis & Co. Proceeds—For construction. Bids—Bids for purchase of the stock will bidding. of corporate purposes. Columbia held. ratio • Feb. 5% (3/3) Co. writing—Unsubscribed shares will be sold at competitive • construction. first mortgage in 28 retire • shares of record March 14 on the stock for each five held. Rights Iron Colorado Fuel & other shares • new Proceeds—To pay off loans and for • Feb. bank (letter capital. (par & Light Power past expenditures. Illuminating Co. will expire April 5. In addition company expects to offer shareholders the right to purchase at the same price any shares not taken on the original offering to stockholders; March ord filed 464,912 shares of common stock (no par). Underwriting—None. Offering—To be offered to holders of Delaware 31 filed 232,520 shares ($13.50 par) common stock. Offering—To be offered to common stockholders of rec¬ Inc., Development Co., Price, par. pansion of business. (par $100). Yo 23 zational expenses. Delapenha (R. U.) & Co., Inc., N. J. 2 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of record at the close of business Feb. 7, on the basis of one share of American Light com¬ mon for each five shares of United Light common. Rights United Light common of of notification) 500 shares ($100 par) Price—$200.11 per share. No underwriter. Feb. stock. equipment, repair and operating expenses. March Columbus, O. Kaufman-Lattimer Co., • common. obtained off pay ISSUE PREVIOUS • Proceeds—For Hutzler. & short-term borrowings parent Texas Utilities Co. to central office ■ ■ Bros. mon SINCE ADDITIONS INDICATES ,.. Alaska Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE Registration in Now Securities • FINANCIAL & .Volume 169 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4782 FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE March 3, 1949 Delaware & Hudson RR. Noon be offered in units of Corp., • March Television 7, 1949 y scribed shares. • 8r 1949 10, 1949 Co.__ Hotelevision Inc. • Island Edison Wabash RR., Noon (EST)_._v_ March 14, Bonds March tional 22, for share. Gas • per share. Debentures ..Preferred Common /Talisman 25 Feb. Underwriting—None. of held. notes Bonds 1. New England • Bonds & Common Equip. Trust Ctfs. March 23, 1949 Tel. & Tel. Co 24, 1949 Corp.___ March 25, 1949 March Pacific 30, 1949 Equip. Trust Ctfs. RR._, May 5, 1949 Public Service Electric & Gas Co ing subscriptions. Bonds i The First Boston Corp.; Lehman Bro¬ thers; Wertheim & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, will act as dealer managers. Feb. Expected Mar. 10. investment. • Co., Inc., New York. Ohio - , Public Service Co. 1,000,000-shares Service Cities ($5 par) would Co. bonds, due 1979, stock of which 638,160 shares and the common 361,840 shares. Underwriters — Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable company bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only); Blyth (both); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Kidder Peabody & Co. (jointly on stock); Otis & Co. (bonds); Salomon Bros. & Iiutzler (bonds); & Co., Inc. Lehman Brothers proceeds temporary (bonds). Proceeds—Ohio would use for construction and to repay a $3,000,000 bank loan. Cities would use proceeds from reduce its outstanding 5% deben¬ sale of Ohio stock to 1958. tures due Oklahoma • 25 Feb. filed Expected about March 22. Gas & ($20 18 stock. common share for each 10 shares of Gas & Electric Co., parent, common Standard held. plans—if the Commission per¬ mits;—to subscribe for 50,002 shares of the proposed issue. Underwriter—None. • Proceeds—For construction. Osco Drug, Feb. Inc., Chicago, III. (letter of notification) 750 23 stock (par operate a shares of common $100). Price, par. No underwriter. To open and new store and to retire some outstanding per shares 17,391 share. ($1 new Dec. • stock 40,000 shares be to to be be offered share and 10,000 sold to public offered to on at trade behalf of options at Id a $3 Corp., Chicago, III. notification) preorganization subscrip¬ tion agreements will be submitted to stockholders pro¬ viding for not less than 1,800 of common stock of (per unit) $25. Walthall Natural Gas Corp. Co., Inc., Tylertown, $30 per units La. of To Washington (D. C.) 24 issue Commissary Association, (letter of notification) cumulative preferred non- (par West indies Sugar Corp., New York 14 filed 74,880 shares ($1 par) common stock. Of¬ fering—To be offered in exchange for 16,000 shares ($100 Feb. common A. or stock of Compania Azucarera Boca Chica, Underwriting—None. Penn Power Co., at $3 Under¬ writer—Willis E. Burnside & Co., Inc., New York. For working capital and payment of taxes. • Feb. Pioneer 16 Inc., Bluefield, W. Va. 1,200 shares ($100 par) (letter of notification)) Price, working capital. capital stock. For Enterprises, $110 per share. No filed $10,000,000 underwriter. Pittsburgh, Pa. 30-year first par), and 70,000 shares (no par) mortgage common. bonds, ($100 Underwriters (parent) and to public holders of outstanding common at $28.50 per share. Proceeds—To pay off bank loans and to finance construction. Bids— Bids for the purchase of the securities will be received by the company at Room 901, 50 Broad Street, New York up to noon (EST) March 8. ® Western 21 common Solvents Inc., (letter of notification) and 1,738 shares of convertible Telegraph Co. meeting April 20 debentures later but is not to exceed six each number authorize which would a new be offered of shares shares of $100 of convertible debentures stock held. outstanding at On the Feb. basis of the the amount of the issue would be approximately $391,000,000 if the maximum offering of $100 of debentures for each six shares of stock outstanding is made. // ////// 15, 1949, The is new debentures would be dated June 20, 1.949. It contemplated that they would bear interest at a rate of not more than 31/2%, would mature not later than June 20, 1964, and would be convertible into A. T. & T. stock at a (3/8) —Bonds and preferred to be sold at competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co Inc. (bonds Feb. annual conversion price or prices not exceeding $150 per share. 27,500 accounts; share. 11 their rata to stockholders. The amount is to be determined pro for 1,500 shares of 5% $100) and 1,000 shares (no par) common. Price—$100 per share for each class. No underwriter. To acquire plant fixtures and stock for the operation of a wholesale and retail food commissary. par) at ers gas Inc. Feb. first-consolidated Feb. 16' directors voted to recommend that the stockhold¬ - • the . West Penn Electric Co. stockholder per American Telephone & one construct gas line/ and natural capital and contingencies. ' of geheral-uiiified-mortgagebonds the Pending approval by stockholders, the company said it had no plans for the offering of the general and ,26,000 in retirement the become unified bonds to the public. shares ($1 par) common. To be preferred and two common at unit. Underwriter—T. J. Feibleman & Co., New offered the bonds, that (letter of notification) 6,500 shares ($25 par) 5% preferred With would right determine the interest rate, conversion, sinking fund, prior redemption provisions and maturity date, except; that the maturity date may not be later than June 1, 2014. The change would not affect the series A and series B general-unified-mortgage bonds outstanding. Mississippi Feb. 4 general-unified-mortgage, dated April to corporation to be organized. Price No underwriter. To purchase real es¬ a tate from Universal Wheel & Abrasive the the unified bonds, the management would have the than 2,120 shares nor more share; per of first and only lien, excluding equipment trust certificates, on all the company's lines. Under the proposed amendment to the indenture of Universal Wheel & Abrasive Feb. 25 (letter of only); Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lehman Brothers; The First Bos¬ ton Corp.; W. C. Langley & £o.; Smith, Barney & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co. Common stock will be sold to Pepsi-Cola Bottling Co. of Wash., D. C. (letter of notification) 31,500 shares (10£ par) shares to per Pro¬ 21 common Corp. Proceeds would be At present, there are outstanding $50,724,000 of firstconsolidated-mortgage, 50-year, 4% bonds in the hands of the public and $465,000 are pledged by company. To provide for the maturity of these bonds, the road has in its treasury $100,479,000 of general-unified-mOrtgage bonds. series N, 50,000 shares of preferred stock, series C (par $25). stockholders of record share for each 10 shares Rights expire April 8. Underwriting—None. ceeds—For extensions, iadditions, etc. & Webster Securities lines. then Feb. one road (letter of notification) 800,000 shares (10c par) Price, 15 cents per share. No underwriter. West held. Co.; The First Boston Corp.; 1, 1914, to include about 705 miles of unmortgaged rail¬ par) Underwriter—Company accident Offering—Offered to stock to Electric Power and to market White Weld & April 13 stockholders will vote on approving the author¬ ization of $25,000,000 of indebtedness. Company plans no immediate, borrowing but, wfshes. to avoid any- long Hughes Tool Co. Jan. 28 filed 754,038 shares of common stock par holders, adopt these plans to sell later this year $4,- construction. mortgage Pacific Gas & Electric Co. at Feb-. 25 at the rate of common indenture of notification) Price, $7 C short-term loans. | company Armstrong Cork Co. machinery, equipment and development of mining Offering—To be offered for subscription by stockholders. The subscription offer will be made on the basis of one new for used (3/8) system; for working par) ma¬ If company's preferred (jointly); Equitable Securities Corp. For Orleans, Electric Co. shares 89,000 indebtedness which would Lehman Brothers and Stone properties. (3/22) sell unsecured able bidders: capital stock. < r Feb. 23 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage and < of secured publicly about $8,300,000 in long-term debentures. Prob¬ U. S. Grant Mining Co., Butte, Mont. •y Feb. Proceeds—For , unse¬ indebtedness, capital stock Company would like to eliminate this 10% amendments, as underwriter. To set up a health and insurance department within the company. (par $1), 23 series. Each series represents a separate industry or business. Price, at market. Underwriter— Long & (letter common. Stocks, Inc., New York Feb. 25 filed 1,500,000 additional shares of special stock Hugh W. and than 10 years. more amendment. Colorado 18 lists self New York • change its (owner of 74% of outstanding shares} will exercise -sub¬ / waiting period should it wish to borrow in the future. scription rights to purchase 297,304 shares. Rights will Traditional underwriters: Smith, Barney & Co.; The expire March 7. Underwriter—Merrill Lynch, Pierce, First Boston Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. Fenner & Beane will' head a group of underwriters pur¬ ® Atlantic Coast Line RR. chasing any unsubscribed shares of remaining 106,808 In' anticipation of the maturity on July 1, 1952, of its shares not taken by stockholders, Proceeds—For gen¬ first-consolidated mortgage bonds, stockholders will be eral funds. asked at their annual meeting April 19 to amend the • United American Life Insurance Co., Denver, Wisconsin Electric Power Co.___.Common & Bond's Missouri share for each share held. Light Co. Company's parent, Electric Power & Light Corp., has vote its holdings of 1,780,000 shares of out¬ standing Arkansas common in favor of the proposed Run new & agreed to retire To Power sum on 000,000 of Trail one-fifth surplus. ture in Jan. 28 filed 404,112 shs. ($5 par) com. stock. OfferingOffered stockholders of record Feb. 16 at rate of Preferred 10% of the and general mining Transcontinental & Western Air, Inc. Debentures March Staten Island Edison to Mines, Inc., Idaho Springs, Colo. Feb. 17 (letter of notification) 40,000 shares of common (par $1). Price par. No underwriter. For repair and operating expenses. .......Bonds Co..__ underwriter. carry on ex¬ which may be issued under the present charter is limited, 23. programs. Eastern Gas & Fuel Associates.. Pacific No payable and to capital indebtedness. Company wants to increase its au¬ thorized ($12.50 par) common stock from 2,000,000 to 3.000.000 shares. The amount of unsecured indebtedness limitation the Proceeds— for cured Mining, & Leasing Co., Inc., Spokane, current accounts co-managers of a group subscriptions. 14 company asked SEC for authority to charter to increase its common stock capital (letter of notification) amount are Feb. Proceeds— Feb. Effective Co. solicit Prospective Offerings Arkansas stock. common $37,500 of 6% two-year notes. These notes are convertible into the 250,000 shares of common capital stock at the rate of 15b per share. Noteholders may purchase this stock up to the prepaid 1949 Ohio Public Service Co par) betterments.- • Southern ($1 Wash. 1949 Delaware Lackawanna & Western RR., Noon (EST) Equip. Trust Ctfs. Gulf Power Co common Co., Dallas, Tex. shares 107,430 & will the company's treasury Expected about March 25. penditures. working capital. Union Baird which reimburse shares is an offer of No underwriter. To 31,476 per For construction and 16, March which dealers To held, plus the privilege of subscribing for addi¬ shares not purchased by other stockholders. Price —$12.50 .Debentures Acceptance Corp Northern States Power Co. (Minn.) and filed 16 shares 15, 1949 Chicago Rock Island & Pacific Ry., 11:30 a.m. (CST)___ .Equip. Trust Ctfs. Hollingsworth & Whitney Co of held, plus additional shares not taken byby other stockholders. Lehman Brothers and Robert W. of . 10 shares subscription Underwriting— 69,996 shares of * Hutzler each common Offering—To be made to holders of outstanding stock of record Jan. 3, on basis of one new share for each 10 March Merchants $1) Price—$1 mill Dec. 1949 Columbia Gas System Inc Price—$20 per share. product, etc. Southern .Equip. Tr. Ctfs. Central Maine Power Co (par erect Common Bonds Corp Proceeds—To reduce bank loans. (letter of notification) recission. -___Class A Stock & Snake River Mines Inc., Denver, Colo. Feb. 24 ...Common New York State Electric & Gas Corp Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Equitable Corp.; Lehman Brothers and Salomon Bros. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Union Securities Corp.; The First Boston Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co. Stock will be offered to existing holders at the rate of one share for * Securities for Production of stock March offered Pivot Window, (par $1). None. 9, 1949 Southern Ry., Noon (EST)__^.___Equip. Trust Ctfs. Continental Engineering be Inc., New York (letter of notification) 14,000 shares of 28 stock Pfd. & Bonds March Staten Smith Feb. Missouri-Kansas-Texas RR., Noon__Equip. Tr. Ctfs. Transcontinental & Western Air, Inc .Common (EST) Offering—To able bidders include subscription by common stockholders of record March 22. Under¬ writer—Morgan Stanley & Co. will purchase unsub¬ Connecticut Light & Power Co._ Debs, or Stock Minnesota Power & Light Co., Noon (EST)__Bonds West Penn Power Co., Noon stock. ferred Preferred & Common 14 filed and 266,093 Manufacturing Co., Waterbury, Conn. March 2 filed 49,850 shares ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ 4, 1949 March Power Co. (3/25) $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1979, shares ($10 par) common stock.. Underwrite ers—Bonds will be sold at competitive bidding. Prob¬ Feb. Scovill • .....Common Co March Wisconsin Electric Price—$3V2 per capital. Delaware Power & Light Co., .11:30 a.m. (EST) ,i Neilsen share each. one unit. Proceeds—For purchase of equipment and working .Equip. Trust Ctfs. (EST) 41 preferred. Price—common $1.50 per share; preferred $20 : per share. No underwriter. To complete payment for buildings and plant machinery, to pay for plant ex¬ pansion and to use for operating capital. Playboy Motor Car Corp., Tonawanda, N. Y. 1,000,000 shares of class A 20-cent prefer¬ ential dividend series ($3 par) common stock and 1,000,000 shares of class B (5d par) common stock. Under¬ writer—Aetna Securities Corp., New York. Offering—To Dec. 29 filed NEW ISSUE CALENDAR (997) Longmont, Colo. 100,000 shares ($1 ($20 par) 5% par) cumulative Bell Telephone Co. of Pa. filed with the Pennsylvania Utility Cornapplication for authority to issue $25,000,000 Jan. 3 company mission an 25-year debentures on a competitive basis. Proceeds will, applied to the payment/of advances from the AmerS-! Telephone & Telegraph Co. for expenditures on additions and improvements to plant. Probable bidders:! be can Co. Inc.; The! Corp.; White, Wela & Co. and Union Seen-', rities Corp. (jointly). Registration expected in Marchj with offering scheduled for April. ; Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & First Boston (Mass.) Electric Light Co. asked SEC authority to sell $2,750,000, 25-year noles," series A, due 1974, through competitive! bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co: Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Kidder, • Feb. Cambridge 24 company (Continued on page 42) 42 (Continued from page 41) • •! & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE tc Mississippi Power Co. SEC authority to issue„and sell competitive bidding $2,000,000 30-year first mortgage bonds and 100,000 shares of common stock (no par), (3/15) Company will receive bids at its office, Room 1136, La Salle St. Station, Chicago, up to 11:30 a.m. (CST) Mar. 15, • (parent) for. $2,000,000. Prob¬ able bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co.; Equitable Securities Corp.; Union Securities Corp. purchase of $2,808,000 equipment trust certifi¬ cates, series C,* dated April 1, 1949, due in 24 equal 1, 1949-April 1, 1961. Stuart & Co. Inc., Salomon Hall & Co. (Inc.), Harriman Missouri-Kansas-Texas RR. .(3/8); tificates, second series of 1949, to be dated April 1, 1949 and maturing semi-annually Oct. 1, 1949, April 1, 1964, will be received until noon, March 8, at company's office, St. Louis. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). Bids will be opened March 8. Delaware & Hudson RR. Corp. until noon (3/3) March 3 at company's office, 230 Park Avenue, New York, for the purchase from it of $4,800,000 equipment trust certificates dated March 1, 1949, due $240,000 semi-annually Sept. 1, 1949March 1, 1959. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Salomon Bros. & Hutzler, Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Harris Hall & Co. (Inc.) Date for opening bids expected to be March 3." • Missouri 900,000 equipment trust certificates. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Har¬ riman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers -(jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. RR. Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Harriman Ripley (jointly); White, Weld & Co. Brothers (jointly). April 14 stockholders will vote on increasing authorized from 500,000 Shares to 1,000,000 shares. Com¬ advisable to do seems does not plan issuance of additional stock at this time. Traditional underwriter, Baker, Simonds & Co. pany Northern their annual meeting March 31 to the certificate of reincorporation to provide for increasing the authorized preferred stock from 80,000 to 120,000 shares; increasing the authorized common stock from 1,210,000 to 1,600,000 shares and, restricting the issuance of additional in¬ debtedness maturing more than 12 months, or additional shares of preferred stock unless after such issuance the aggregate amount thereof shall be less than 75% of the total capitalization. Traditional underwriters of stocks: will consider proposed amendments Staten Pennsylvania Power & Light Co. Oakes, President, stated that be in the market for rities few next over 1948-1951 Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & total a of to years help defray bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp;; Ripley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Otis Langley & Co.; Kidder, Pea¬ body. & Co.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly);. Lehman Brothers; The First Boston Corp. Bids on bonds are to be received by & Co. • (H. J.) company's (Ore.) Gas & Coke Co. tion whereby the company could incur sion for to notes and to • Feb. 25 reported company expects to open bids May on its proposed issue of $75,000,000 first and indebtedness up $20,000,000. Company has arranged to borrow $15,000,000 at 2.90% from five institutional investors. • Indianapolis Power & Light Co. March 1 company has asked the Indiana P. S. Commis¬ sion for permission to issue $8,000,000 first mortgage bonds and 107,226 shares of additional common stock. The new common would be offered for subscription by the present stockholders, in the ratio of one new share for each 10 shares held. Company has previously asked permission to sell the bonds privately to Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. However, Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. said it would be interested in bidding for the bonds. .permission to sell the bonds privately. To part of prepay pay Public Service Electric & Gas Co. stock. (5/10) 10 funds to added the company's to (Inc.); Lehman Bros.; Blyth & Co., Inc. plans for sale of $20,000,000 Competitive bidding is expected bidders: White Weld & Co.; Union Securities Corp.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co. pro¬ Gas & Electric Radio-Keith-Orpheum Corp. will be necessary to provide funds for contemplated plant additions aggregating about $3,000,000, according to the annual report, but the form and amount of the financing have not yet been determined. Of said amount, approximately $1,900,000 will be spent independently of one another. lic utilities. The involves phone & Buyer's Market 000 or foot up to thereabouts if it is all taken. this any Tele¬ Co.'s huge project $391,000,- debenture could Stockholders on undertaking virtually clear American Telegraph convertible which big will first have call but it is expected that unsold balance will be under¬ one written. The current month holds An prom¬ large pros¬ banking business, that is the new pective stock offering embraces more than a million shares of issue dol¬ Ohio Public Service lifting end drums of that it, the out have the gripped things on the basic trend the month visible moves widening of business along, since of the as vision projected of corporation's plans. re¬ to a revival derwriting activity, not small equity market since the Potomac part of the potential this month * Edison and next taking the shape will launch 100,000-share preferred stock of¬ un¬ of a Pacific Lighting Corp. fering which should give bankers their first real feel of the senior But at the moment most signs point Act. Within the next several weeks. a - compliance with the Holding Company recent bring of offering of last year. Halsey, ® toward the end f & Co. Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co. and 23 Osgood Co., reported are The will shortly be asked to issuance of 170,000 shares (par $5) of cumula¬ preferred stock and 150,000 shares of common, the proceeds to be used to provide additional tive convertible working capital. to underwrite Securities Commission welded -while are the Sills, Minton & Co., Inc., is expected: offering. natu¬ and nance Exchange appears to have extension to its "arm's an length bargaining" rule from This developed all indications. rally cheered by the better picture connection presented, are inclined to greater caution in bidding for new issues. in financing. As far cerned, the as their latter despite and spirit number, are the of "buyer's a "bureaucrats," are that is mar¬ and the That portfolio to found big of automatically the Street could the on under¬ the. contention that association with the advisory be quite determined in. -firm ^ in syndicates marketing their stand against yields of much: less than 3% even .on best names, I other non-conneeted issues ren¬ latter and this condition in current States bidding. reflecting in- issue for ex¬ the winning bid for the $10,000,000 bonds was 102.20 for 3s with the reoffering price set ample, dered. it ineligible. Triborough .The Tunnel Bridge Triborough an ad¬ or so. Officials are said to be confident that the debt could be refinanced and the funds new raised at a substantial saving through a pub¬ lic offering of new securities. They point, of course, to the stiffening of the tax-exempt market sincethe RFC agreed to take the bonds last Summer.' - Industrial Loan " Bankers who brought out Bene- 1 ficial Industrial Loan Corp.'s $20,- 000,000 of hew 3 Vi %. sinking fund debentures, due in 15 able to place that in short >. order. The years, were issue opportunity fication, plus the 1 for diversl- „ attractive yield, 3.12%, and the relatively On the Northern Power'Co. $25,000,000 Beneficial a second poten¬ tial bidder for the business was ruled out Corp., and raising of ditional the stand. But then ^ « have was recent the capacity of adviser to issuer in setting up the deal. situation. Underwriters firm a in of in command of the with ruled out of the running by rea¬ son of the fact that it had acted con¬ more some One Tacoma, Wash. stockholders approve re¬ who, & Bros. Wheeler, Feb. are bankers March first Stuart Salomon as there so the Extending Arm's Length far so even buyers, of the stock in any slack could conceivably some now But ket" prevails currently 638,000 for the account of Cities Service Co. which is disposing recently. Naturally much depends re¬ Lehman Brothers. corporate offerings new concerned. junior stock, including 362,000 new shares and investment of cent venturesome exceptionally • - 1, 1964. Present offering will instalment of a proposed issue -of $9,690,000 equipment trust certificates. Probable bidders- Mr. Hughes has elected The shelves of underwriters really ahead . has issued invitations for bids to be 1, 1950, to constitute government last year, which requires that on or before Nov. 8, 1949, the theatre business and the motion-picture operations of RKO be operated wholly Probable bidders for (jointly). (310) noon (EST) March 10 for the'purchase of $3,165,000 equipment trust certificates, to be dated March 1, 1949, and to mature in 15 annual instalments from the and stock will include Otis & Co. RR. company March equity offerings, chiefly by pub¬ of Wabash ceived before reorganization plan for the parent organization to be considered by RKO stockholders at a special meeting on March 28. The reorganization is pursuant to a con¬ sent decree in an anti-trust action, entered into by RKO New financing ise W. C. Langley & Co. The theatre company which will acquire RKO's theatre bus¬ iness. The new theatre company, in which Mr. Hughes will hold 929,020 shares of stock, will result from a Co. in 1948 and the remainder in 1949. Probable and (jointly). and The First Boston Corp. to receive proposals from prospective purchasers of his stock holdings in a new 000,000. At same meeting stockholders will vote on in¬ creasing authorized common stock from 2,500,000 shares to 3,500,000 shares. Probable underwriter if securities sold: The First Boston Corp. common 1. Hughes, owner of 24%, or 929,020 shs, of RadioKeith-Orpheum Corp. stock, announced March 1 that he has designated Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane Laughlin Steel Corp. April 26 stockholders v/ill vote on increasing authorized indebtedness so that company may borrow up to $150,- oy mtge. bonds. June Howard Jones & subscription Probable bidders: The First Boston • • Co. & 18 directors approved around First Boston & Co. and Lehman Brothers Stearns The stock will first be offered for 1st & ref. general help finance its construction and expansion Bear, Virginia Electric & Power Co. - Feb. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The Corp.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb gram. and Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. retire remainder will be Brothers present stockholders. $28,455,800 prior lien bonds and to pay off $20,000,000 2% and 214% bank loans, due Sept., 1950. The Lehman First Boston Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Otis & Co. Company is expected to raise new money through sale, probably in May, of 148,000 additional shares of common refunding Proceeds from the sale will be used in mortgage bonds. part to by March 24. & The off instalment note. an the preferred stock on Power (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; White, Weld & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc:; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Other investment houses who may bid for the bonds are Madison 10 and Light Co. Jan. 21 reported company is expected to sell $3,000,000 bonds in April to finance its plant expansion. Probable SEC authority to sell $3,500,000 25-year first mortgage bonds. Company asked Commis¬ Hines Co. March 24 stockholders will be asked to approve a resolu¬ Otis & Co. On preferred: W. C. Utah secu¬ Feb. 24 company asked Portland stock. Harriman bidders: • preferred March new (3/10-24) from preferred stock would be used by company to carry out its plan- of recapitalization. Probable bidders on construction program. Beane. in/.new will company $31,400,000 of Corp. Proceeds" from the bonds would retire the company's short-term indebted¬ ness and provide funds required for expansion. Proceeds Power Co. Stone & Webster Securities Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce. Fenner & Beane; Shields & Co. Expected about Mar. 15. • Island Edison mortgage bonds and $4,000,000 Feb. 28 C. E. Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Jan. 28 New York P. S. Commission authorized corpora¬ tion to issue $2,750,000 30-year first (Minn.) ' (3/15) Feb. 21 Standard Gas & Electric Co. plans to offer its holding of 364,684 (no par) common shares of Northern States for sale through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Otis & Co., Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Smith, Barney & Co.; Florida Power Corp. bidders: Spokane, Portland & Seattle Ry. •• --s authority to issue $4,500,000 certificates in connection with proposed pur¬ chases of equipment. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers. so. States Probable • wishes to be in a position to sell additional to finance the- system's expansion program, if it stock 9. Feb. 25 company applied to the ICC for company at Bids expected March 22. Ry. March • New England Electric System w May 17 stockholders will vote on increasing the author¬ ized capital stock by 1,000,000 shares, also in reducing the par value of the stock to $1 from $20. There are no plans at present, for sale of additional common stock, but Corp. stockholders Southern (3/9) Bids for the purchase of $11,850,000 equipment trust cer¬ tificates, series QQ, will be received by the company at Room 2018, 70 Pine Street/New York, up to noon (EST) common The f • & Co. and Lehman Brothers Inc.; Freeman & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Ex-Cell-O ■■■■■- Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. & • (3/22). Feb. 24 company asked ICC for authority to issue $15,- (3/30) plans sale of $4,250,000 equip¬ certificates, probably about March 30. Prob¬ able bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. Delaware, Lackawanna & Western RR. (3/16) company has issued invitations for bids to be re¬ ceived by noon (EST) March 16 at Room 2008, 140 Cedar Street, New York, for the purchase of $3,807,000 equip¬ ment trust certificates. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart Co. Co. ment trust • & Pacific Southern Pacific Feb. 25 reported company The Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Ry., Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutz¬ ler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). • & Hutzler, Harris, Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly). Bids will be received Francisco ders: Bids for the purchase of $2,500,000 equipment trust cer¬ Bros. Louis-San St. and Lehman Brothers -... Halse.y, bidders: ' while vV"Y:-\\C' V-.tf • semi-annual instalments trom Oct. company, - Feb. 23 reported company plans sale of $4,250,000 equip¬ ment trust certificates later this month. Probable -bid¬ to be sold to Southern Co. the dispose of his interest in the theatre retaining the film activities of RKO. at Chicago Rock Island & Pacific RR. Probable Thursday, March 3, 1949 Feb. 28 company asked Peabody & Co.; Otis & Co. For the purpose of funding presently outstanding borrowings. for COMMERCIAL THE (998) Prospects Bridge and short maturity brisk demand. brought \ out a '/■ And it proved the-point again Authority is reported ac^ lively discussing -plans • for: refW that v prospective buyers'?' these yield 2.86%. The low=est of 'eight bids was: a full half nancing $101VQOQ,000 of its bonds days have a special-eye-for satis-!--' held by the Reconstruction Fi¬ factory point under the best. yields. : at 102.75 to Volume 169 Number 4782 THE World Bank Grants Loan io COMMERCIAL V& "FINANCIAL With Bourbeau & Douglass Belgium . LOS Proceeds of $16,000,000 credit will be used to finance construction of steel mills and power • dred Olson has been added to the plant. Soujth Spring Street. ports that of Belgium. The purpose of the loan is to finance imports of equip'merit for the construction of two steel mills and of a power plant 4n the industrial district of Liege.<$>- Proceeds of the loan will be util^ ized by two private Belgian steel corporations and a private electric company. The loan is for and carries years term a $9.8 million, of which approxi¬ is Nuveen & by the An company amount of the loan DIVIDEND NOTICES of $5.8 million out is to for the be used 4V4%, including 1% commission purchase abroad of equipment for which, in accordance with t h e a blooming mill by S. A, d'Ougree Bank's Articles of Agreement, is Marihaye, the second largest Belallocated to its special reserve The total fund. Amortization payments, cal- &lan steel corporation, culated to retire the loan by ma- cost of this project will also turity, will start in the fifth year. amount to the equivalent of $9.8 ing the European Recovery Pro¬ gram by financing projects which involve additions permanent million, HOMESTAKE Irving Trust loan, $4.5 million has been allo¬ purchase abroad of fifty will be by with cold rolling mill a facilities tinplating Compagnie Toles des Fers established subsidiary John; Coekerill, the ect will amount to the equivalent DIVIDEND NOTICES GUARANTY TRUST COMPANY OF NEW YORK B-'Vitti of Directors TV March York, New ; 2, stockholders of to 1.- bu*»u-rs cf March record at 25 DIVIDEND The Board of 163 NO. Directors of Maieh shares 3 '• share SHREVEPORT. the capi¬ on 1949, 30, record of at the Dividend Notice the close (25d) of business March 7, 1949. STEPHEN G. of Directors per the share February 24,1949 77th Consecutive March 10, 1949; Quarterly Dividend Secretary .• This dividend of 20c per from Electric of has NOTICE The Board of Directors has this this day declared dividend of $1.50 declared a share the $6 Preferred Stock on UNITED FRUIT COMPANY day per and DIVIDEND the Preferred Stock of this Corpora- dividend of $1.75 per share on a $7 ness March 10, share and extra an WestPenn dividend dollar per share on the capital stock of this Company have been declared payable April 15, 1949 to stockholders of record March 10, 1949. of 1949. Hi F. Sanders, Treasurer. February 24, 1949 THE TT T 199 NO. dividend of fifty cents per A payable April 1, 1949, to stock¬ holders of record at the close of busi¬ tion, one EMERY Electric Company (INCORPORATED) PREFERRED The Treasurer \ j y OTIS Vanadium Corporation ELEVATOR COMPANY of at 1949. Company have declared quarterly divi¬ share on the stock common (35c) per payable April 15, 1949, to stockholders of record at the on March 15, 1949. J. EGE&, Preferred A share No. 201 per payable March 21, the close of business at on March Bruce H. Wallace, Treasurer INTERSTATE POWER Common Dividend No. 95 five cents r New York, February 23, 1949. March the Board of Directors dividend of twenty-five cents declared on the common stock of the Corporation, payable March 22, 1949, to stockholders of record at 3:00 o'clock p. m., March 10, 1949. Checks share will be a was Penn Electric a dividend Company has also declared on the Common Stock of the Company in the amount of twenty-five cents (25(1) per share, payable on March 31, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business on March 16,1949. mailed. B. O. February H. D. BRAND, Secretary. April 1, 1949 to holders of record at' the close of business on March 11, 1949. Transfer books will not be closed. ^ DUBUQUE, IOWA declared payable CARL A. SUNDBERG Secretary February 24, 1949 McDowell, Secretary 1949. 28, Stock of this Company have been Common : The Board of Directors of The West meeting of a 18, 1949. COMMON DIVIDEND Dividend Notice At Dated COMPANY share on the Preferred Stock and (35(0 per share on the thirty five cents on per Checks will be mailed. Penn Electric Company has declared regular quarterly dividends on the pre¬ ferred stocks of the Company as follows: $1.75 per share (134%) on the 7% Cumulative Preferred Stock and $1.50 per share (1J4%) on the 6% Cumula¬ tive Preferred Stock, for the quarter ending May 15, 1949, payable on May 16, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business on April 18, 1949. $1.75 per share on tfie Class A Stock for the quarter ending March 30, 1949, payable on March 30, 1949, to stock¬ Lexington Avenue, New York 17 420 held today, 8, 1949. Board of Directors of The West holders of record at the close of business the Preferred Stock has on been declared 163 dollar seventy Dividend quarterly dividend of $1.50 1949, to stockholders of record Secretary New York 8, N. Y. PREFERRED DIVIDEND NO. America The Directors of International Harvester dend No. 134 of thirty-five cents DIVIDENDS LEONARD N. . COMPANY such President Philadelphia L. duP. COPELAND, Secretary 1949 of pay¬ 1949, to stock¬ holders of record, March 11,1949. Corporation HARVESTER business share ordinary net income is able March 31, , holders to close 30 Chttrcb Slrrcl pet on Irving Trust Com¬ AMERICAN LOCOMOTIVE COMPANY ($1.75) FUND the Common Stock J. H. Mihacle, February 28, 1949. GERARD one on Corporation, payable April 1, close of business regular quarterly dividends of ;$1.12}4 a share on the outstanding Preferred Stock—$4.50 Series and 87)4tf a share on the outstanding Preferred Stock—$3.50 Series, both payable April 25,1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business on April 8, 1949; also $2.50 a share, as the first interim dividend for 1949, on the outstand¬ ing Common Stock, payable March 14, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close otbusinessr close of business of WELLINGTON dividend of twenty-five cents a 1949, to stockholders of record at the KENT, Secretary declared dividend INTERNATIONAL ■-C., EAIii'E MOP,AN, Secretary & Treasurer. Dividends LOUISIANA declared at the the Anaconda Cop¬ ^>'CloCk P.M., on March 8, of BllllllillH,! per per Mining Company has declared a dividend of Seventv-five Cents ($0.75) per share on its capital stork bf the nar value of $50 per share, .pavitble February 28, 1949. The Board of Directors has this date Broadway N. Y., February 24, of Twenty-five cents >(25^) per paid April 15, 1949 on the Com¬ quarterly dividend DIVIDEND of Board CO. MINING dividend Joseph L. Martin, Treasurer UNITED CAS 1949. 9, COPPER York 4, New A share will be 1949. Wilmington, Delaware: February 21, 1949 The MATTHEW T. MURRAY. Secretary. ANACONDA MERCK, President. Stock of the Corporation, to stockholders of record at the close of business March 31, 1949, payable on March 31, the qwu'terHiding W. 1949. X}ie Capital Stock of this'Company for shaie on AprU ($3.) Corporation & Company has this day declared ÷nd of Three Dollars Treasurer, WALTER L. MORGAN on 1949 a of 20 cents per E.I. du Pont de Nemours A. The total cost of this proj¬ SCHALL, Dividend No. 12 Power & Light and largest steel manufacturers in Bel¬ . 17, M. Wichita River Oil Street, New York day declared et S. of oldest 1, The Board of Directors has this the by Blancs GEORGE March February 24, 1949 Disbursing Agent. , HAMILTON, Secretary. 1949 Froid (Ferblatil), a newly a gium. February 1968. quarterly F. Company One Wall JOHN W. equipment for 1, day declared dividend of 50c per share on the value 8(i Preferred Stock outstand¬ ing; and a dividend of One Dollar per share, on the outstanding Common Sloe*; au pa^aoie on April 1, 1949 to stockholders of record at the c.ose of business on March 14, 1949. a Dividend pany, COMPANY has this the $3.50 Cumulative Preferred Stock of this cents mailed SUGAR $25.00 par corporation, for the quarter ending March 31, 1949, has b?en declared payable on April 1, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business March 14, 1949. A quarterly dividend of 75c a share on the Common Stock of this corporation has been declared payable on April 1, 1949, to stockhold¬ ers of record at the close of business March 14, ($.50) per share .of $12.50 par value Capital Stock, payable March 18, 1949 to stockholders of record 3:00 o'clock P. M., March 8, 1949. Checks for the cated of RICO Board of Directors mon 871 No. Board of Directors has 871 PORTO March The CO., INC. stockholders of record COMPANY MINING DIVIDEND The of the on & SOUTH regular quarterly dividend of 87a share tal stock of this Company, par DIVIDEND NOTICES No. amount DIVIDEND NOTICES $10., payable April 1, 1949, to which give reasonable prospects of of the total in Belgian francs. company Europe's productive capacity, and •Out approximately 40% will therefore be met by the to repayment. which of MERCK A 43 Chronicle) 1949. of The loan is in accordance with the Bank's policy of supplement¬ Co., 135 South La Salle Street. in Belgian francs. Financial DIVIDEND NOTICES John with Connected now The ELGIN, ILL.—Raymond J. Kelley has been added to the staff of Heath & Co., Tower Bldg. John Nuveen Adds y.T to CHICAGO, ILL.—Joseph Schnur mately 55% will therefore be met 20 of interest rate an of t V . (999) With Heath & Co. (Special ANGELES, CALIF.—Mil¬ staff of Bourbeau & Douglass, 510 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development re¬ on Feb. 28 it granted a loan of $16 million to the Kingdom . CHRONICLE /v5®x Notice of Dividend r\ The Board of Directors has de¬ clared dividend of a 15^ TEXTILES per share on the outstanding ComStock, payable March 25, 1949, to stockholders of record V PLASTICS mon GENERAL March 15, 1949. The transfer books will not be closed. TIME Mining and Manufacturing Phosphate * Potash * Fertilizer * Chemicals on American Bank Note CELANESE Oscar Solberc, Treasurer 180 Madison Preferred Dividend No. . A THE Boardthe Directors has this day of following dividends: declared 161 quarterly dividend of 75d per share on the Preferred Stock for the T/uBonl&n FIRST PREFERRED STOCK dividend of 40o per 31, 1949, and a share on the Common Stock have been declared. are The Both dividends record 1, on Secretary February 23, 1949 counter March 22, able far capital - -new old standing, avail¬ partnership with small outlay unlisted house. and vote trader of small over-the- house Financial of or will go with other Box O 33, Commercial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8, N. Y. be held Wednesday, April .20, stockholders close of the Partner and will a.m. (Eastern Standard Time) at 43 Park Avenue, Flemington, Hunterdon County, New Jersey. Only AVAILABLE meeting of 1949, at 11:00 o'clock books win remain open. W. F. Colclough, Jr. annual stockholders 1949, to holders of March 7, 1949. The stock transfer payable April PREFERRED STOCK per Annual Meeting March ending quarter The regular quarterly dividend for the current quarter of $1.1834 per ing at any of business on record at Tuesday, 1949, will be entitled said payable holders of record subsequent transfers of stock. not April at 1, 1949 to the close of busi¬ The regular quarterly dividend for quarter of $1.75 per share, payable April 1, 1949 to holders of current record at the close of business March 31, 1949 the close _ The Borden Company share, payable March to of holders of business record at March 11, — - March 1, 1949 4% Cumulative Preferred Stock 28th Consecutive Regular Quarterly Dividend of One Dollar ($1.00) per share. on the Both dividends STOCK of 40 cents per Common Stock, payable April 1, 1949 to share¬ holders _ of record March 14, 1949. Secretary-Treasurer are payable March 30, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of business March 18, 1949. Checks will be mailed Bankers Trust by the Company of New York. Robert P. Resell Vice President and Treasurer March 2, 1949. westcl0x - big ben seth thomas R, O. GILBERT Secretary •** "• k THEODORE D. WAIBEL, Secretary A dividend share 1949. be closed. March John H. Schmidt per on follows: as Regular Quarterly Dividend of Fifty Cents (50c) per share. record _ COMMON STOCK cents February 24, 1949, $5.00 Par Value Common Stock of 14, 1949. 11, 1949. 60 declared by the shareholders COMMON 7% SECOND PREFERRED STOCK the cent Cumulative Preferred were Board of Directors Stock, payable April. X, 1949 to March 11, 1949. ness to meeting, notwithstand' The stock transfer books will share, following dividends: Regular quarterly dividend of $1.0634 per share, on the AM 84,75 SERIES (1 Vi'fc) Dividends The Board of Directors has de¬ Avenue, New York 16, N. Y. clared the 172 Dividend No. Common CORPORATION Dividends CORPORATION OF AMERICA February 24, 1949 Company ; INSTRUMENTS international minerals / , str0mberg recorders " haYdon motors & chemical corporation General Offices: 20 North Wacker i. Drive) Chicago 6' 44 COMMERCIAL THE (1000) ' FINANCIAL & ' , » Thursday, March 3, 1949 CHRONICLE * * , western BUSINESS BUZZ Washington... approved from the Nation's Capital if xJL f of three but j either and j by the four or weeks debate. JL Ir 19/ 9/9M/ indi- committee, disapproved or short Senate yJ already considered be cannot of out get may Behind-the-Scene Interpretations is Europe cated. The public health program Mr. will be lucky to Truman get two or three important parts benefit. financial ing oil transport sions Co., Oil required 1,067-mile pipeline. had and Government of the United steel, domestic tons of commodity, in one of the broad gaps about how the increased industrial capacity deal would operate. Mr. to put the government into production, processing, trans¬ portation, or storage of any com¬ modity the production of which he adjudges is not sufficient to meet whatever national goals the possible a but go, resump¬ tion of work in building the trans- Arabian pipeline. in stood that shipment in the Administration plant ponents ca¬ pacity bill. softening in their are asked how the industry of complying . factors dominant officials own, going if doubt they build to on will any plants. any We * needed," be * if 4 • to will certificates issued be provide for not more than 80% actual the of estimated cost, at $15,996,085, of the following new didn't Congress get move a and make good on the campaign Tru¬ the promises, President would go arousing country that was motives; people switching Diesel 13 locomotives; 38 sleeping loco¬ freight road cars; (>00 hopper cars, and 500 gondola cars. Associated in the the around the Diesel 25 equip¬ railroad standard-gauge ment: man It develops that the proposed appropriation of $300 million for 2.90%, according to maturity. The can on '6 sawdust trail to Mr. Truman's threat ■ to dinner Day Town. say. ' his out for his "Fair Deal," practically take it for granted that before long you will he seeing the President in Your kiss just the Commerce Commission authoriza¬ ( carries evangelize you by be¬ or to hit threat the Interstate to tion, at prices to yield from 1.50% * Truman Jefferson-Jackson Presidential goals for expanded capacity by of any Mr. If could country the be given a chance of with private * # ........ When op¬ position. immediately were subject W. R. Pressprich offering were: & Co.; A. G, The President is bound to have funds would be distributed to the proposition without the formal¬ Parsons & Co.; ity of committee hearings, com¬ Illinois Co.; Wm. E. mittee Inc.; William Blair & Co.; Burr & the After production is goal proclaimed and productive capac¬ ity of private industry is found to be insufficient, then under the ically would be given a period of all Furthermore, the of time in which gov¬ be recommended, Services, deal with this Secretary Sawyer delayed the license. As the Secretary officially ex¬ plained, it was his department Commerce Oil (Arabian-American share with the ment if struction of would companies of in in of the in the the each stall shortages domestic the some area, States the of conversely, in the the Under the the antitrust concerted Govern¬ stood favorable no be¬ of and action. Establishment begun com¬ National Military on late this in question November, On the or the only enacted in 1949 would program to dissolve the be for re-appoint Congress and with Congressmen brown shirts who would all rise unison in already, and his aye consideration, every floor or debate* The shortly to back large-scale, direct government lending to finance socalled private home construction. This will be added as an amend¬ ment to the "private housing" funds 40-year period, say Federal ponents. greatest The consist will this April. The rights infinite of Congress, will until sideration not late relief home ing with will not get for to in this housing. This bill was a more ponents of public expected units to more clear. than con¬ April. sniffed an Federal Otis & (Inc.); L. F. Rothschild & Co.; First of Michigan Corp.; Graham, Inc.; Haupt and Co.; & Securities Collins & & Co.; Co.; Corp.; McMaster Mullaney, Alfred O'Gara & Co., F. S. Yantis & Co., Inc. out of com¬ op¬ Trading Markets: Ralston Steel Car Oregon Portland Cement Riverside Cement A & B form. Congress inferential Spokane Portland Cement OK of the Reciprocal Trade LERNER & CO. Invesment Securities Agreements will 600,000 under tion act extension, give this quite position to a and rumble. Op¬ lend-lease arms Teletype—NY 1-971 HAnover 2-0050 "dominating" 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9, Mas#. Telephone Hubbard 15)90 Teletype DS 65) for Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Firm Trading Markets - industry. the '30s, both industry and terials allocations. j Ira Hayden, Miller & Clayton Co.; Pollock & Co^ Freeman Co.; & Hirsch & Co.; The weeks, except the International Trade Organiza¬ housing were Conservative several emasculated has favorable expecting until recently. They had not get in Social security expansion, includ¬ of mittee subsidize Co. Merrill Lynch, Weeks; delay. The control funds, year en¬ will program of a Fenner & Beane; bill, if it does get to either floor of instalments million & Wells & Co.; civil running for 40 years at the rate $300-odd blower Pierce, Julien cause op¬ part the Corp.; (Inc.); Horn- Hall & Co. Hutchinson tire alone in a form Securities Equitable Harris, be achieved before bill not less than $15 over the & Co., pected by seasoned legislators to ing and slum clearance bill will billion in even Co., Inc.; Blair President doesn't want, is not ex¬ sponsored by the Administration. cost probably "repeal" of the Taft-Hart¬ bill ley Inc.; Co., look for the Administration & Becker other "conspiracy" to do what the gov¬ ernment wants, must be protected by statutory immunity. Hence this immunity has been written into law, as in the case of the voluntary agreements for ma¬ steel. the out trip, FOREIGN SECURITIES government have recognized that price, "Negotiations between the come the Congress. NEW YORK 5 Ever since the Madison oil case and it got the steel. No bargain price, hasn't it 81st the he could get his legislative way two classes of institutions. If his, make to "compromise" than even the pro¬ hand, should one company go for the proposition, it would risk later prosecution for becoming an capitulated. Its prob¬ very simple. Give the a against run¬ • the increased capacity, they would risk antitrust prosecution for tween Aramco and its steel, the government the might application of laws, if the pro¬ the was of one past Line," Mr. Sawyer stated. company plants. ducers themselves divided up transportation Sawyer fore¬ industry alleged monopoly Mr. risk) to government-built savings which would result from completion of the Trans-Arabian Since (and shoulder the entire risk. Department of Commerce sug¬ gested to the company that it consider the possibility of sharing ment get to economy, Mediterranean United have undertake would leaders of [view of the requirements military agencies for oil the would investment this be were Or, of view installed steel together to determine how much built. "In a new con¬ capacity of 10,000,000 tons. Presumably the steel Co.) pipeline the is snag. production transporta¬ the which savings achieved is to For instance, suppose that the Federal govern¬ of some tion education to a question. government called for the before suggested aid into The compromise public hous¬ the license be granted, that Aramco which in¬ The gap is that no provision made for industry collectively ment, "in fact everybody." Only the construct ment loan. did the State depart¬ so decide whether to without the help of a govern¬ or granted, ECA so so did the Armed to production capacity, with creased that recommended Sawyer license wanted it except Commerce Secre¬ ernment ning proposal private industry theoret¬ hibit. .were plan, Heretofore it had been thought that this pro¬ position would pass with relative ease. Disagreements between the parochial and public schools were thought to have been ironed out. It is now reported that there is new disagreement over how the was government has the power to regulate and the power to pro¬ pany delphia Federal President thinks are desirable. the way of the OK of the government, an OK necessary to authorize shipment since the All actual lem for asked has Truman The cer¬ the all was to ready and make would question in pipe fabricated with Again?" reoffered, their Officials tacitly refuse to fill 1964, inclusive. to power The steel Here off the question. "Oh, we aren't shipment of scarce materials "Iron Cur¬ and 1950 coming law. der the old to countries behind the the pipe, however, came un¬ certificates, ma¬ tificates, issued under the Phila¬ reaching agreements, other The economy. tain." tary au¬ to jeopardize the as is to promote the nation's foreign policy. Thus the govern¬ ment would restrict or prohibit : much thority, too sweeping discretion. The instant release of 25,000 purpose the too vested 2%%' 1949, turing $820,000 annually March 15, "You the bill made in the House was it : . had completed continuing materials. The chief criticism of that - bill the of V came power the power ;• application this of government, through the Secretary of Com¬ merce, to license the export of the regulate and prohibit, if neces¬ sary, the shipment abroad of any supposedly scarce materials. The purpose of this legislation is two¬ fold. One purpose is to prevent the exportation of such a large as second RR. of trust equipment trust i an¬ AFTER Congress to such Central York New $12,300,000 Wednesday awarded was The own. regulatory on better a government for Sawyer's of States, under an act of Congress, has the power to license and hence volume of any scarce the deal Mr. nouncement get to power action The underwriters were associated export of using the idea The license paid for same. A great deal of the steel, and every pound represented in this license, was all ready for shipment to the area where the pipeline is being laid. steel, Equip. Issue Stuart & Co. Inc. and Halsey, equipment contracted for the fabrication of this Central use stated Mr. Sawyer. had Oil Arabian-American Halsey, Stuart Offers Gulf to the Mediter¬ for a period of 10 years completion of the pipeline. of the pipeline, instead of tankers, is expected to result in a substantial financial savings to the United States Government," tons of for the 260,000 that is wiRJbe Establishment, at cost, quantities of oil from after The views.) own for ranean, of steel. The latest official esti¬ mate, "Chronicle's" the . has now agreed the National company Persian the Mediterranean. This takes a lot steel pretation from the nation's Capital and may or may not coincide with Secre¬ substantial to the in;. Saudi-Arabia, 18, 1949," Feb. Commerce transport Military steel pipeline to from its conces¬ 30-inch a to subsidiary, is build¬ a flect the "behind the scene" inter¬ tary. "The Arabian-American (This column is intended to re¬ In the first case on the explained Here is the story: through concluded and plied, it will save a vast sum, per¬ haps millions, but just how much, officials do not divulge. adopted before program summer. applied broadly by all government regulatory If agencies, it could benefit the government by billions. to which this device has been ap-<S> his of WASHINGTON, D. C—Commerce Secretary Sawyer has adapted use of the Federal government an^ancient device for obtaining to the ]^0 suc}1 immunity from the Department of Justice is proposed All Issues Executive & 70 Underwriting Offices WALL STREET Tel. WHitehall 4-4540 T.ARL MARKS & P.O. INC. FOREIGN SECURITIES SPECIALISTS f 0 Broad Street Trading Department 120 New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MAFKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO BROADWAY Tel. REctor 2-2020 .1