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MUN 11 ADM. ESTABLISHED 1839 LIBRARY Reg. U. 8. Pat. Office Volume 167 Number 4706 New Market Outlook By EDMUND Shields & Retiring 185-187, with im¬ technical correction to portant from come for This is devoted to the technical of the stock interpreted as graphs of from the and picture 1,500 over various in'divid-' ual market averages issues listed . " , mention vari- the rometer Edmund W. Tabell its thesis that best own ba- that the "varying supply of stocks (Continued on page 42) v *A talk June 2. See by Mr. Tabell before the Security Analysts, 1943.' " PICTORIAL to say to part want of Charles E. Oakes the But economy. to first I discuss briefly what the Institute has been doing and what it is accomplishing, especially in laying the foundation of fact, re¬ search and study for the steps we must take. 'Jy-.'" ]'/.% Institute Activities [f The past year has been a busy for the Institute, its depart- ■ Field Day of the Bond Club f relatively (Continued on 28) page : of New York. ♦Presidential Oakes before This is. readily and Our Defenses stood about communism and its threat un- because materials , for Chicago has this con struction to the United States: were still dif¬ subject during the war throughout the country and recently we have been hearing period, had built up liquid some people' say that the way to avoid the danger of com¬ as essential national PICTURES taken at the 24th An¬ purposes were to "The American people are ob-;; rightly concerned these days tain and many about the attack on our ideals by international communism. companies,, There has been a great deal of discussion on this re¬ sponsibility .■.v:'i,'■■■ issues, ficult meet¬ for — The President in his recent address in us, our ;/- SECTION We See It Communism one nual New scarce. we do an or N. Y. Society of for insure and demand enjoy it, you of what ing simple is comments on "Recent Markets" to the post¬ picture. During all of 1945 and into the late Spring of 1946, yields for all grades of public i utility bonds continued down and prices continued upward under the pressure of investors to put idle to refunding de¬ should is market hope devised to and techni¬ the and most hold r o u p on been As re¬ what the future may ratio work I will confine any war for other than customary say cal data. Tech¬ nical I us. what I have to studies and other has on <®>funds to work. ■..■! vote market studies, lines, g program address 16th Mr. of Annual Con¬ vention of the Edison Electric In¬ stitute, Atlantic City, N. J., June 1, 1948. - : reserves munism in which j the United States is to pass a law — a Jaw, for enabled, them to meet their cash example, to check certain kinds of political activity.- Some requirements without new finaftcpeople think you can combat communism by outlawing the (Continued on page 26) v . Communist party. "It seems to i me that such proposals miss the point, an idea by passing > "You cannot stop the spread of law against it." ' , \ ' ♦An address by Mr. Hopkinson before the 16th Annual Conven¬ •) tion a ; The degree or extent in which communism is a real threat to the United States at the present time we leave for the reader to decide for himself. That this threat, of the Edison Electric Insti¬ tute, Atlantic City, N. J„ June 2, 1948. This address was prepared about the middle of May and where "current" or "now" is used they relate to that date. » whatever its strength, can not be or ; successfully combatted passing foolish laws is obvious enough. eliminated by ' ; " : (Continued on page 36) ... " ; Slate and . Havana Municipal Franklin Custodian Lithographing Go. Funds, inc. - A Mutual Fund j COMMON STOCK SERIES PREFERRED STOCK SERIES Hirsch & Co. Membert New York , 25 Broad St., New York 4, N. Y. Chicago INCOME (BALANCE FUND) SERIES Prospectus on request London] (Representative) t 1 FRANKLIN 64 Wall Street, New York 5 Distributors of Municipal and request " ■: Gordon Graves & Co. 30 Broad NY Wires 1-395 NATIONAL BANK Connect OF Montreal THE CITY OF NEW YORK ! Toronto discount New CANADIAN on Public Service Co. bonds & stocks Railway Co. 1 England X ? PLAIN PREFERREDS ■ (when issued contracts) OTIS & CO. (Incorporated) Established Street, New York 4, N. Y. Tele. NY 1-809 Private j HAnover 2-0980 Corporate Securities INVESTMENTS Tel. WHitehal! 3-2840 N. V. 5 Teletype New York Central of Georgia Underwriters and INSTITUTIONAL will profits Analyzed and Appraised on Bell Bond Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708,. We PORTFOLIOS Information 52 WILLIAM ST., » THE CHASE THE NATIONAL CITY BANK HART SMITH & CO. - DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. BANK : Bond Department OF NEW YORK 5 Teletype NT 1-810 Cleveland ''Geneva J ^ UTILITIES SERIES Stock Exchange ana other Exchangee SLAnover 8-0000 BOND SERIES - SUTRO BROS. & CO. / 1899 Cincinnati Chicago Columbus Est. 1806 "> Members New York Stock CLEVELAND New York , Advises against preferred stock and cautions companies build up V sound financial structure. 1:.~ iK sinking funds EDITORIAL going am port, averages, breadth o f the Our course. f i President's moving ous future j Hopkinson contends greatest double taxation of dividends margin requirements. problems, its ' President, Investment Bankers Association problem is ability of utilities to market common stocks. Blames cap* ital gains levies for making common stocks unattractive, and scores plants installed. Cites need of $6 billion for expan¬ with equity capital comprising important percentage. the major questions which confront n d it <$>- cover the to not consider ^ Co., Philadelphia After reviewing utilities trends, Mr. The Institute welcomes you to this meeting. You have gathered here to consider the situation of our industry, ponder its and & to depart from the New York Curb, power sion program, I and based Federal . helpful. Ex¬ change Notes widespread growing demand for kept "the bargain offered today." Wants laws and regulations pre¬ venting useful power interchanges abolished and no additional York Stock record. greatest and the on New " on Past electric power and urges electric power and energy be selectivity, favoring specific side largest year, HOPKINSON, JR.* Partner, Drexel ; Mr. Oakes points to 4,600,000 kw. increased capacity in current industries that have given Dow¬ like bail confirmations, and those having formed "long potential base patterns." Copy Institute Reviewing conditions, problems and prospects of electric utilities, higher level. Looks a Edison Electric By EDWARD end at to President, a President, Pennsylvania Power & Light Co. de¬ any Price 30 Cents Present and Prospective Electric By CHARLES E. OAKES* Co. Market analyst expects cline The Electric Industry in 194B TABELL* W York, N. Y., Thursday, June 10, 1948 Denver Toledo Buffalo Exchangk Domithom Securities Grporatioti v 40 Exchange Place, New York 5,N. Y. 120 Broadway, New York 5 Telephone REctor 2-7340 IRA HAUPT & CO. York Stock Exchange Principal Exchangee v Members New and other 111 Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 Boll System Teletype NY 1-702-3 S Teletype NY 1-27QB Boston Telephones Enterprise 182Q Thursday, June FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL & THE (2522) 2 good look at ourselves what we are doing. and at a Irredeemable Money: Privilege Sunray Oil* The Without Responsibility Halliburton Oil Well Cementing Co. Common* "Prospectuses Regarding a — New York Hanseatic leads them lethargically to accept things as upon redeemability of paper tary system Lonsdale Company scription not Committee de- serves de- only Finance on Cur¬ and possible prepared in support of its Resolution occupies 11 pages and relative cannot rency because of the frjC pONNELL & CO. Members 120 Exchange REctor a is, r ently, Central States Elec. (Va.) Common p p a of the thoughts "Lonsdale Co. * Members 64 WALL 1923 of The New NEW YORK 5 HAnover 2-9470 erally is viewed as a form o| Legislation "Whereas, Equity Oil our tion the to standard same is that New York Security Dealers tee Ass'n in Teletype—NY 1-376-377-378 result of studies Finance and Currency, and the of mittee the and believes to such inadvisable it to standard at the a present time; now, therefore, be it "Resolved, That the In India, Burma, Ceylon, Kenya Colony, Kericho, Kenya, and Aden such of" the possible on the based in gold standard; and, be it "Resolved, Paid-Up Capital— Reserve system, .< one Fund £4,000,000 £2,000,000 —£2,500,000 Bank conducts every description banking and exchange business feels that should of Trusteeships and Executorships be ultimate world That every taken attain as that sense as justify; and, be of "Resolved, That as a step to¬ ward that objective the Chamber for the United States. urges legal sometimes are the thorizing an irredeemable paper money ' This irredeemable paper money provisions which interpreted as au¬ the United States Treasury and the Federal Reserve banks. In short, they issue prom¬ Secretary ises the Congress to revoke the existing a irredeemable in so far as gold is concerned. It is this domestic system that is the para¬ mount issue involved—the issue it further also undertaken The Parker have we currency that rapidly the international gold-bul¬ lion standard with our domestic the Chamber possible step to objective conditions We have "a form gold-bullion standard only system. a restricted Zanzibar Subscribed Capital The monetary which it believes to be We do not have tional relations. est Branches and of this nation should have the sound¬ 26, Bishopsgate, London, E. C. on gold-bullion standard is one gold bullion is used do¬ mestically as well as in interna¬ York reiterates its conviction that Office: operating in which of Commerce of the State of New Head in its sec¬ A Chamber Bankers to the Government in 1933 has been form nation's of INDIA, LIMITED Kenya Colony and Uganda a generally is viewed as a the gold bullion stand¬ ard." It is not clear what this meant to the authors of that statement or what it may mean to readers of that Resolution. interna¬ present situation return ■ j,-: what on view current fiscal condition, the Com¬ - ; "Whereas" that "The nation ond since tional NATIONAL BANK have The Chamber states by the Chamber's Commit¬ made all gold-coin or gold bullion system domestically. y could problem which have been of the people the for currency country despite the fact gold, $35 per ounce); and Members And has present type of of this that we publicly that at the time it approves of this being used before 1933 (but would retain the new price of a should said the of is issued to by pay which do not they It discuss in it such does any not concrete V manner. (a) The people in general have lethargic: The people in gen¬ eral seem to have accepted their been in situation present to respect irredeemable money somewhat as -iy/iy: ••/■ ;■ helpless, or when they do (Continued on oage 30) not ' of Privileges Freed the Corresponding Re¬ Granting From ' ■ only in an overvalued silver. Therefore, this Chamber was "Whereas, As /; tificates; and they are redeemable pending before the Congress (H.R. 5031, known as the Buffett Bill) which would return the na* in their effort banks a is irredeemable of silver cer¬ paper money even any see 2. The Chamber Acquiesces in the Domestically, that? fraternity, these banks, as repre¬ sented by the American Bankers Association, by their failure to make any concerted effort; tc bring irredeemability to an end in this country/ really join the Treasury ; and Federal Reserve to seem involved. question hw with the exception v• now is not does a as they accept taxes, dictatorship, :or standard] we and, death—when they find themselves it continue with what we have. what the > gold-coin [a present time." This means that "Whereas, The nation since 1933 sponsibilities. The Chamber does not explain the grounds, on which it justifies this departure from the commonly-accepted standards of integrity in respect to honoring one's promises to pay. In fact, it pq- money paper overvalued silver, and assume to maintain such to at the ard; and gold bullion standard; and return to standard has been operating on what gen¬ to create de¬ payable only in are without being called upon the corresponding re¬ to pay commercial irredeemable money. ;y "believes Chamber advisable always has insisted upon a sound monetary system for the nation based upon the gold stand¬ York York Curb Exchange New ST. Teletype NY 1-1140 State in, if not endorsing, the current policies which permit the Treas¬ ury and banks to issue promises this system of irredeemable paper deemable Paper Money of Chamber the of this has record as acquiescing Irre¬ Endorsed Chamber The 1. The "Whereas, Commerce a po¬ the Chamber, reads: Fiank C. Masteison & Co. not in consider care¬ fully just what it is, precisely, that the New York Chamber actu? ally endorsed. -v York The Resolution, endorsed by Established reveal to the person Chamber "Prospectus on request its sition to pause and The Resolution of the New Hoving Corp. a Committee's Report would hardly and businessmen among the casual reading 'of Chamber's * Resolution and today. others reasonable to suppose seems the Chamber York New The put itself on this country of posits which Endorsed " ^ that which seem wide¬ attitudes spread Detroit Int'l Bridge banks It Spahr E. Walter dollars is fabulous. sition. •f'. typical and ; (and dangerous) Similiarly, be¬ fairly this favored I. What the Chamber Really it cause and issued have outstanding in terms of and Both of them wish to keep have been fighting to keep significant features of each. this also but ises. ably clear by an analysis of the Chamber, 2-7815 But Report can be made reason¬ and document, from BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 Tel. the since it comes York Curb Exchange New here. reprinted be the nature of both the Resolution importance of redeem, do not intend to redeem, and, under existing laws, cannot redeem. In other words, the Treasury and Reserve banks have been given the privilege of such issuance, and, at the same time, they have been freed from all re¬ sponsibility to redeem these prom¬ have banks) commercial prices other than the established one of $35 per ounce." The Report of the Chamber's which Prospectus on Request people than any other two promise-issuing institutions in this country. The volume of nonredeemable promises which the Treasury and Reserve banks (and prepared by its Committee on Fi- Treasury to buy and sell gold at Currency, Bought—-Sold-—Quoted New York Stock particularly bad because it ap¬ plies to two institutions that have power and touch more and nance without is ' money "Currency Reform and the Gold Standard," on promises more of the State of New York, on May 6, 1948, endorsed a The Chamber of Commerce Resolution 1 required to redeem them. This case of moral degeneration human freedom rests are, not realizing in gold. they their issue being standards of integrity in Teletype NY 1-583 7-5600 to Spahr decries Chamber's justification of Treasury and banks' departure from commonly-accepted honoring promises-to-pay. Asserts people's miscomprehension of our mone¬ Dr. New York 5 120 Broadway, doing—for a period of 15 to permit two of our largest issuers of promises to pay years—is Vice-President, Economists' National Committee on Monetary Policy Executive Corporation BArclay One of the things that we have Economics, New York University Professor of ■ in Re¬ been By WALTER E. SPAHR QUOTED in deemable Promises to Pay the Chamber of Commerce of the State of Return by the United States to a Domestic Gold Standard Request on BOUGHT —SOLD New York Practice the Issuance of Irre¬ spect to Analysis of the Recommendations of An Metal & Thermit Corp. Current Acquiesces Chamber Our 3. i%% Cum. Conv. Pfd. 1948 10, sponsibilities A vitally here: arises * what Alabama & question important On defensible institution or individual claim the right to, issue promises to pay and at the same ground can time insist that it compelled be promises? i any or those redeem to ;\y:1■}' ■ Louisiana Securities he should not • Bought—Sold——Quoted We have built an intricate legal system in respect to contracts in this country, based upon elemental of standards common the , the very widely-accepted morals, ethics, and and honesty to the effect that maker of promises to pay correspond¬ must also assume the ing responsibility. We prosecute individuals and institutions when Steiner,Rouse&Co. Members New York Stock Exchange ". York 4V N. Y. 25 Broad St., New NY 1-1557 HAnovar 2-0700 New Orleans, La. -Birmingham, Ala. Direct wires to our branch offices they attempt to avoid the fulfill¬ ment of their responsibilities. Harry Scherman, President of the Book-of-the-Month-Club,once wrote The a penetrating book called Promises with dealt Men some Live It By. fundamental requisites of satisfactory and hon¬ Joseph McManus & Co. orable social and economic inter¬ When course. men's promises trade and pro¬ stalled, credit col¬ to be good, cease duction are lapses, people cannot buy, sellers cannot and will not sell, chaos and social degeneration follow quickly. These mentary suppose time to elemental are and ele¬ Exchange New York Curb Exchange Chicago Stock Exchange 39 Broadway, New York 6 Tele. NY M610 DIgby 4-3122 truths thaU one might need not take the discuss in this country. we present state of degen¬ respect to these basic standards of integrity is proof that we need to pause and to take But Members New York Slock our eration in Southern Production Appliance Company Common Stock Manufacturing complete line of We Maintqin pre¬ Active Markets in U. S. FUNDS for , cision couplings, fittings and valves, Company is in position to benefit Importantly from program. expanded aircraft Powell River Co., - Abitibi Pow. & Brown Co. Ltd. Paper ; Quoted t value (6-30-47) $19.44 Net current assets Current — y Canadian Securities Department Book Sold Bought r Noranda Mines Price about (6-30-47) $9.60 $8.00 per share United Kingdom 4 % '90 South African Mining Shares Established HODSON & COMPANY, British Securities Department 1856 H. Hentz & Co. Inc. Members New York Stock Exchange and other leading exchanges du Pont, Homsey Co. 31 Milk St., Boston 9, Mass. HAncock 6-8200 N. Y. Telephone Teletype BS 424 CAnal 6-8100 Goodbody & Co. Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges 115 BROADWAY Telephone BArclay 7-0100" NEW YORK 6, N.Y. N. Y. 165 Broadway, New York Cotton Exchange NEW CHICAGO YORK DETROIT GENEVA, Teletvoe NY 1-672 '! is: 4, N. _ Bldg. Y. PITTSBURGH SWITZERLAND * Volume Number 4706 167 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL INDEX »' and Articles Hopkinson, Page - Jr | Prominent banker analyzes behavior of utility earnings by compar- i j ing them v/ith those of other __Cover —Walter Investment Trends Affecting World Bank Temple 3\ Seeks Congress' Aid—Herbert M. Bratter__i._^ Who Are Our The Kuile„_^__--__-i—1 ter Oil Industry: * , servative The Copper Outlook—John A. Danaher__ investors in 9 : Looking Forward in Labor Relations—C. E. Wilson' W. stocks 12 _ ____ American 11 ____■ the 13 Babson_u; Rearmament Program and Money Market—Harold V. Roelse almost number choice that 14 only to - Smith_ E. ___ i ^ j 16 World Recovery and World Bank^-John J. McCloy The SEC Position ; World Bank; Bonds on ( : _ 1 •' ''';w dustrial is have p r e Winthrop W. Aldrich Urges Senate to Restore ERP: Funds*.-.;: 5 A of 12 .1 Retirement of Old Peru Bonds__a--_— r» 14 Convention Plans —.1— Capital ^ Outlays Into (Boxed) r?:. 7 ■* -XPl (■; Bank and Insurance Business Man's -1 24j 20 Bookshelf. 23 Indications of Business Activity.* .... 7 Bargeron.. million $900 •!, - NSTA .Notes- 47 News About Banks and Bankers.^ Wilfred * « fluctuations net and in which see much which Our Reporter's Report...... ..I.. satisfaction. see nothing which complacence, for the : to 47 .... :i,Prospective! Security Offerings.!!.^... Public Utility Railroad Securities Salesman's ....—..J.............. the needed the capital to favor if it is expendi¬ the meet 44 eternal vigilance, 48 ' Dominion ':v~% Twice Weekly Other COMMERCIAL The f - and WILLIAM B. COMPANY, ;>;/• Publishers | i 25 Park Place, New York 8, N. Y. '.f. '■ "'~f iREctor 2-9570 to 9576 vj j HERBERT DANA $25.00 ;;:7. SEIBERT, President and per per per year. year. > Publications . **, v Quotation Record—Monthly, (Foreign postage extra.) year. Monthly $25.00 » D. SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher WILLIAM b Other Bank- U. S. Patent Office; DANA $38.00 Canada, Copntriest $42.00 , FINANCIAL CHRONICLE •I..7-Reg. of Record Monthly, (Foreign postage extra.) Earnings per jyear. Note—On account of .the rate.of exchange, the fluctuations in remittances for'-fon- eign subscriptions and advertisements must be made in York New funds,. . . ' | WILLIAM D. RIGGS, Business' Manager' '■'A, Thursday, June 10, 1948 Every Thursday;/general news'and ad¬ vertising issue) and every Monday (com- ' and state ; . "Other city etc.h news; Offices: 135 8. Salle - 1926 privatelyutilities, as com¬ electric Bureau of BOUGHT — SOLD — QUOTED Internal Revenue. The FIRST COLONY marked; op the left side, while the scale for electfic utilities is right.:, the on CORPORATION . This chart brings out two'points. First, is the rapid rate of growth of the electric utilities. Their gross revenues in¬ creased from around $1.4 billion in 1926 to $3.5 billion kr 1947, a gain- of 150% over the 21 year period. The rate of growth was more long-term 52 Wall St. the Limestone Corp. period, total sales and receipts of all U. S. Corprations increased from about same billion^ in mated 1926 to an esti¬ billion in 1947, an $275 the chart is 5, N. Y. Tele. NY 1-2425 p Bloomington other $143 Hew York Tel. HA 2-8080 4.5%" a-year, compounded. During , Bond Units Approximate Price 54 * To Yield About Description on %%% request the greater stability of revenues of the electric utility industry relative to those of busi¬ ness in general. This was true not excellent an set of cline George Birkins Company 40 Exchange Place, New York 5 the four years of World .f;- *An address by Mr. Temple be¬ fore 16th of Annual' Convention the Edison- Electric* Institute; At¬ lantic City, N. J., June 2, 1948. war. WHitehali 4-8957 Tele. NY 1-1404 slump The de¬ the all business it > , A^nd of All U. S. Corporations Figure 2 LAMBORN & CO., Inc. ' 49%. was Net Income of Electric Utilities, go back to the 1926. They provide a broad 1930s, in utility gross during the great depression was 13%; in statis¬ background ,/ for studying the changes that occurred during the prosperous period of the > late 1920s, the great depression of the reconversion temporary 99 WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. the net in¬ compares after taxes of electric util¬ come for Which the scale is on right, with that, of all U. S. Corporations; having the scale on the- left.' /?■ "'■.■r'-," 'v' :'" : .'.f.Y*.This shows, in even more strik¬ ing fashion than" the first chart on gross revenues-;: the relative stability of utility net: earnings SUGAR ities, the K : (Continued on page Raw—Refined—Liquid Exports—Imports—Futures DIgby 4-2727 34) CERTIFICATES We are interested in offerings of . - ! r The St., f Chicago 3, 111. (Telephone: State 0613) r i 1'.Drapers' Gardens, London,, E. C., Eng¬ land, c/o Edwards & Smith. ' , ; / Bond & Mtge. Guar. Co. Publio & High Grade Public Utility and Industrial Lawyers Mortgage Co; National Bank - quotation clearings, .r .! * La since TITLE COMPANY + If- .:•{ plete statistical issue —-market ;! records, corporation news, bank Corporations compares U: S. Corporations in all lines of tics, most of which Published Broadway! Bell System Teletype N. Y. 1-71A revenues ;of gross owned , year 1 And of All U. S; Figure: f after the end of the is stitute i Security Dealers Assn.. 2-4500—120 ; only during the great depression 38 ! Washington and You...... REctor of the early 1930s, but also in the minor recession of 1938 and the 5 .J, I . Gross Sales of Electric Utilities con¬ Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte Says)......—_—._— ■ f increase of 92%. The annual rate leads to industry investors The? Slate: of. Trade and Industry!.^........... ( Established Members N. Y. of growth was 3:2%, compounded: The second point revealed by f Fortunately for the comparisons T; seek to present, the /electric utility ■ industry has- developed through the Edison Electric In¬ Corner_._.:i_l_._....!._!.__._l.._. 24: Securities Now in Registration, corporations^ may " ■> J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co. 1908 , figures which the - Na^tional City Bank of New York has compiled for some 25 years from the published reports of leading earnings tion 22 _....... Finishing Com. & Pfd. from growing demands of the people. > The price of maintaining the number one posi¬ 24 Securities.!....... Securities finance I American " : ac¬ stantly 46 'i ... ;<■ hold to conservative tures 14 ... continue must of 5 d__. Our Reporter on Governments..! . compiled Hope utility management feel deserved feo1 ... _.I May.. • counts for and justifies the favor which utility securities enjoy, and 23 ir; ^Observations—A. in — ■ ,. we ^ U. S. scale for all/U. S. Corporations is ties, We shall 41. . —_ Kingan Com. & Pfd. these the tax returns of all corporations in the. United States, and upon make-up of operating income, and pertinent-factors in the in¬ vestment rating of utility securi¬ 6 i ... Income," STREET, NEW YORK business, numbering over 400,000 and" compiled by the Treasury relative 8 Einzig—"Is Britain's Austerity Drive Slackening?" Mutual Funds in the other 16 _ Recommendations > From Washington; Ahead of the News—Carlisle 7%—or revenues 25 ..ri Coming Events in the Investment! Field Dealer-Broker—Investment tics- of off Federal Water & Gas Corp. Dorset Fabrics for or For us— it hands. figures we draw upon the Treas¬ ury Department's annual "Statis¬ conservative seen, this morning is to gam-what 'insight we can into the behavior of utility earnings by comparing them with those of other major divisions of business hi the different phases of the business cycle. Such comparisons bring, out the long-term growth, Coyer -.mt— whole. take for Comparative Behavior of Utlilities Regular Features'i i. hold industries a is in utilities; 24 Canadian Securities ; ties j Our purpose Joumal'L_._^^..:._^ Stocks. utility-securi¬ Temple> as Today the: total, is $51 billion. Only 6% is in railroads; nearly 15% *— or $71/2; billion — 60% of National Bank's Profits See It (Editorial) which n utilities. Appppp Capital FundSi.^....^. 'iPPP.:; As We attrac- in railroad securities and was only. 20 Wall Street Spoofed by "Bawl Street the major business will junk? of Texas Gas Trans, Corp. basic series will be compared, on liantern slides, with figures for other think Tennessee Gas Trans. Co. piled by the Institute, and of alf Equipment Costs_._.__^..._L.__.i.^_j:_. 20 Turned - example the 20% 19 I and made —-— the 19 Gordon Palmer Reports have that guys that you Telephone: WHitehali 4-6551 War II, and the postwar boom that still continues. A- number of these insurance companies. In 1926 these investments totalled $13 billion; Emil Schram and Benjamin Strong Honored by NYU-.u.^ 19 ... They the sell him &nd Obsolete Securities Dept. ' of the investment portfolios of life 18 National City Bank of New York Analyzes Rising Plant business. he forget 99 WALL £•'**• Off in* _______ Balderdash • investors is Elmo Roper Holds,Four Republicans Could Defeat Truman. .? Physiocratic your more 15 Jules BacUman Cites Wide Diversity in Wage Changes-__J_ '■>* or 16 — I Federal Reserve Bank of New York Predicts Falling i H. ■ Leness Elected'President off Bond Club of New York__J.._.._ . Alan National Association of Securities Administrators Issue- f erred. n t io ~ Economy—i_£l debt ahead of their -Y'-V Principles of American Capitalistic which no • New York State Chamber of Commerce Sets Forth i com¬ panies ^ —Edmond M. Hanraham_i:i,»i____ : s s u e s> o t a few prime in¬ 17 L__^ _pi________ _ in field, second * Profits Lost by Neglect of New By-Products —Harold one preferred^— one Values—Roger from Sees Stability of return, and a growth trend with which nothing seems to interfere, have made the fixed obligations of the operating utility companies during the past 20 years! the number one choice of con¬ 8 ____ Steel Supply vs. Demand—A Continuing Struggle —David F. Austin__ Land with growth of business. _____________ Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow —Gustav Egloff we're pace did Better factors, as: (1) rate increases;, (2) savings in operating, costs; (3) increase in sales under high load and larger capacity; (4) decline in level of fuel and labor costs ; and (5) reduced taxation. 6 State Why greater operating income needed i 4.J Stockholders?—Harold S. Sutton Hard-Boiled Utilities Regulation in New York —Curtis 4 Utilities—Lionel D. Edie..— "THE BIG CLUCK!" Notes electricity ating income has not kept 2 A Look at Utilities Earnings—Alan H. major industries. profit margins have been narrowing due to reductions in unit price services as well as to higher operating costs.' Accordingly, oper¬ Privilege Without Responsibility E. ADD COMPANY *Vrce-President," National City Bank of New York > Irredeemable Money: 3 Ttnsitii By ALAN H. TEMPLE* # > i__Cover Tabell W. B. S. 1 ____Gover The Electric Industry in 1948—Charles E. Oakes-__- Market Outlook—Edmund (2523) at News Present and Prospective Electric Utility Securities Markets —Edward CHRONICLE PREFERRED STOCKS Trust Company of New York Miles Shoes, Inc. Lawyers Title & Guar. Co. Analyses available on request Copyright 1948 by. William B. Dana 1 ■ Company •; . jit:'-' Reentered as I ary York, 8..1879,* v Act V .V ' Subscription Rates , Members office . at New of March : : Subscriptions in United States, U. Territories and Members Union, $35.00 per year; Possessions, S. of in Newburger, Loeb & Co. Members Pan-American Spencer Trask & Co. Prudence Co.- second-class matter Febru- at the post under the 1942, N. Y;f 25, N. Y. Title & Mtge. Co.- 15 Broad New: York St, N.Y, 5 Bell Teletype Stock, Exchange WHitehaU 4-6330 NY 1-2033 York Stock Exchange Members New York Curb Exchange Street, New York 4 135 S. La Salle St., Chicago 3 New 25 Broad Tel.: HAnover 2-4300 ^ Albany • - Boston - . - Tel.: . FINancial 2330 Teletype—NY 1-5 Glens Falls — Schenectady — Worcester C. E. Unterberg & Co. Members N. Y. Security Dealers 61 Broadway, New Ass'n York 6, N. Y. Telephone BOwling Green 9-3565 Teletype NY 1-1666 4 • •• , ' < . ' . ■, , CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (2524) ii«y • , .. ; World Bank Seeks Affecting Utilities Investment Trends Thursday, June 10, 1948 ; HERBERT By By LIONEL D. EDIE* President, Lionel D. Edie & Company, New York City Mr. Bratter recounts proceedings because of increasing mechanization, there is close relation between physical pro¬ sales of electrical power, but because of increasing output, along with technological im¬ Congress' Aid M. BRATTER before Congressional Committees Dr. Edie points out, relating to proposed legislation to exempt World Bank bonds from duction and requirement of registration with SEC. have been decreasing. Indicates increased electric output has been accompanied also by lower dollar value, thus requiring dynamic rate structures to cover costs and to invite capital investment. Holds higher dividends are required to offset decline in dollar purchasing power or sufficient new equity capital will be lacking. Foresees higher utility rates in offing. i provement, electric rates •: The It is remarks today is a controversial one. It is one that is pointed in a constructive direction at one certain broads : decade tiends require dynamic theory of util¬ ity rates, and by dynamic stalled power, a self, plus from the I mean only ia tneory not purchased power outside, the amount of worker, instead of increase for the deb- an ade, will be just about the same in 1949 as it was in 1939. For the recognition of first time in this generation, in the inability other words, even though the elec¬ tric industry < will have gone of the utility industry to through a great period of expan¬ operate satis¬ sion of facilities, the amount of factorily at a tinuously declining price trend con Lionel Edie D. ' available power American worker per be will industry in no bigger at the end of the decade than it was at the beginning of the decade. the unit product of that industry, I mean ; Now, that is a very remarkable not only that the down-trend circumstance and may seem in¬ in the unit price of the prod¬ credible to some of you, but I uct of this industry has got to assure you that that is substan¬ stop, but that the trend of the tially the fact. ./// i price has got to turn upward. Now, along with that fact, I other In nomic day for v , in broad eco¬ country to¬ the words, trends this and compel an in¬ in the rate structure of the dictate crease electric utility industry. Now, by trends I have several things in mind, but first I should like to speak about a trend in in¬ dustry generally which gives the great force of demand to the util¬ ity industry, and that*is the trend should like to another mention important phase of the de¬ mand for the product of utilities at this time, and that is the ratio of power purchased outside manu¬ facturing and other industry to very that, which is self-installed by in¬ dustry, and in that respect I find that in 1919 the power outside was normal. in- \ below by the industry it¬ the per showing ~ " ~ -the amount of power, economic power readers to and national banks to deal in and underwrite its purchased By 31% of the total. the means average lationship electricity payments. the and the relationship. ^ new pressure of on That trend rate turing and hearly all other lines writing Securities Act effort , follows: ;as The- Senate Banking and C struc¬ u C r rency i tt.ee o m m held wholesale. The dollar will buy at less than wholesale .•'?•' somewhat what half it bought before the It has changed at retail. The purchasing power of a dollar has war. shrunk at least 40% These permanent are money There since 1939. changes in the value of changes. people who still thought that at a given point here, we shall sud¬ denly see all prices corrected back to prewar levels, or if not all the are entertain some the back, half-way back. It is a hope. The price level has changed permanently and we are on a new plateau of prices. I Not in any of the years of the near future are we likely to see even remotely a return of the prewar level of prices; ,; ' way false M. Bratter hour ,-V, and f 1934/ and eligible for underwriting and dealing o be in by hearing majority vote the same day approved the proposed bill, containing an amendment offered by the SEC. In the Senate on the 1 over" was "passed objections from measure because of The House both sides of the aisle. and Foreign Commerce Interstate Committee held two long matter the on Exchange Act hearings June 4 arid 5, on Banking Act. be worker, man itself made available for each " horsepower per applied to manufac¬ more must be between the trend of duction of all physical goods and the trend of sales of power by the The index of produc¬ turing, ,transportation, and all tion by another year or two should other phases of American busi¬ be roughly double the pre-war ness. 1 level. In order to bring about a Now, over a long period of time doubling of the physical volume there has been a very close re¬ of production, it will be neceslationship' between the trend of ary to bring about a tripling of output per man hour, the produc¬ the amount of industrial power tivity of labor, and the amount of used in American manufacturing. power available per worker, and It takes triple the power to double in order to keep a steady growth the physical volume of output. in the productivity of American While these physical trends are industry, there has had to be a going on, there are certain finan¬ steady increase in the horsepower cial and dollar trends which are per worker. : perhaps even more important. Now, in the decade from 1919 There has been for a great many to; 1929 the horsepower per work¬ years a very striking relationship er increased horsepower. by one full unit of In the next decade, same in¬ industry. between the sales of electrical ergy to residential income which but in the present decade, from 1939 to the end of 1949—and people of this country. tio here I and crease. am year and a estimating for the last half, roughly, of that between the 16th by Dr. Edie before Annual Convention of the Edison Electric Institute, At¬ lantic City, N. J., June 2, 1948. the the received by the This residential ra¬ demand income distorted with f*An address was en¬ and users '29 to '39, there was the the payments has been during the war period result that domestic load ever even though is higher than before, the share of the sumer's dollar that is today con¬ being spent for electrical energy is 25% Stromberg-Carlson Com. 6 Pfd. Crowell-Collier Pub. Texas Gas A Trans.* contradiction between the price trend in the utilities and the price trend everywhere else has been building up an unbalanced situation which cannot last very much longer. We are nearing a point where a change has to come about, and the only place where that change could be effected is in the rate of structure the of utility industry. In the order indicate to of some practical phases of this should like to try to make a number of specific points. First, I would say that attention should be given to the dividend more problem, dollar. the I electric been a bursed affair amount was not been To was industry as of in dollar far as dollars has the power concerned. illustrate this, as far as of the divi¬ ^ ' - I have re¬ cently examined ten operating companies that I would classify as leading companies, well-known companies, and companies whose stocks common would command Portsmauth Steel enabling the Bank the more easily to market its securities in this countries, especially supplementing the direct aid by the European Re¬ covery Plan. aid to foreign in rendered executive terstate session shortly, seem¬ ingly with the object of working out a compromise that will give the Bank not quite all that it seeks," proposals, during the course examination of Bank's operations and pur¬ of Miich complete poses possible modifications of been Bank's World the tentatively bill have suggested from House committee sources, and one offered Mr. in hearing Friday's by Eugene Black, U. S. executive director of Bank the following conferences between him and the National Association of Securities Dealers' scribed Washington office, is de¬ as responsible for the fact that the NASD for a withdrew, at least (The object tion reported in the "Chron¬ was icle" of June 3, ment offered require Council how on National the to 17.) The amend¬ p. b.y Mr. Black would biennial reports make the legislation shall new have been working, lar reference securities to report with particu¬ the viewpoint of dealers Mr. Black said. Advisory and investors, That is, NAC will the effects of actions it on previously shall have approved. has advised jection to the proposed exemption, from its Acts on the ground that the National Advisory Council, comprising the Secretaries of State, Commerce, and the Treas¬ Wolverton Comments Following the hearings, Chair¬ man Charles A. Wolverton of the committee House "Chronicle" the gave following , the state¬ eration ercise alternate, different, control over the sale of Bank's securities in this the country. , "The International Bank arguments ad¬ vanced by the Bank in support of these exemptions and changes so as to facilitate its sale of securi¬ the ties. is also Committee The ex¬ ceedingly conscious of its respon¬ sibility loans to based foreign afforded to on securities which American investors by securities ent Committee are laws. well refer¬ with particularly abuses, ence safeguard the protec¬ repetition of past to from tions the pres¬ the While appreciates that argument can be made that the obligations of the Bank stand an the, of the same U. stead S. as obligations and, Government should be entitled to the same exemptions, it is clear that this is true only insofar as the total obligations and guar¬ antees do not exceed $3,175 mil¬ therefore, for mitment. "We are now studying what, if legislative assistance can be given the Bank in marketing its securities and still preserve ade¬ , x (Continued : r on page 40) Reconstruction Bought—Sold—Quoted at „ and Development Net Prices any, quate protection to American in¬ vestors." .' .' ' Rep. Bennett Summarizes Views hearings, Rep. John B. Bennett (R.-Mich.) stated First Mortgage 5s the position to the "Chronicle" as below. Mr. Bennett and Chairman were the only com¬ quoted the Central National Teletype NY Corporation ESTABLISHED 1927 105 West Adams St., Chicago , under "The Committee now has consideration lion, the amount of the U. S. com¬ ment: Quoted Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges Telephone BArclay 7-0100 and the Economic Coop¬ Administrator, could ex¬ though somewhat Banks, Following Goodbody <Sl Co. Member* N.Y. Stock the Chairman of the Board of ury, Governors of the Federal Reserve in Chairman *Prospectus on Request 115 Broadway, New York has been made. The Securi¬ Exchange Commission us that it had no ob¬ and ties two-year test period, its ob¬ jection to the bill. In¬ these the , Several on Foreign Commerce exhaustive hearings on and held has Committee House "The his - and thus allow it the readily to render financial country more Bank, SEC, the Treasury, and the NASD were heard; and at this writing it is preparing to have an Missouri Pacific Railroad Co. Tidelands Oil Sold Bought . , tary of the Treasury, and Federal Reserve Board support this bill as the dis¬ concerned, but it has stable affair a purchasing dends -■ utility stable nominal the dividend The ' Chas. A. Wolverton Secre- Bank, at which witnesses from the Texas Eastern Trans* Detroit Harvester That pro¬ Inter- "The national . must national National the by June Securities banks under one-wit- ness and 1933 per¬ functory Herbert of the one- a money 1939, 20 years later, the power purchased outside was 58% of the total. By 1951, assuming that the But in one direction there has of business. This trend of mechan¬ present expansion program ;is been an increase in the purchas¬ ization causes the great expansion carried out, 75 % of the total power of facilities on the part of the used in industry will be purchased ing power of money, and' that is over the services rendered by electric light and power industry, outside industry. : ■'■j'i* V} Xf the utility industry. The price which is now in process. It is the So that in 30 years, we have per unit of product for this in¬ only way by which the productiv¬ gone from 31% up to about 75% dustry has gone down while infla¬ ity of labor can be increased and in this important ratio. tion has ^prevailed universally can be caused to pursue a steady One consequence of this is that throughout the American economy trend of improvement from year a new relationship has established and throughout the world. to year. It means that more power of mechanization within manufac¬ is from provisions history of since late May is in the value itself. The value of money has changed since the pre¬ war period. It has changed at A t of the truth in this. \f the guarantees be exempt the •> ,.,' While this sub-normal position prevails, - there is a third trend which lays the groundwork for a ture. that its securities and securities it the this income by this bill (H.R. 6443) proposes Council. Twenty-five per cent below normal is the condition' in that f Advisory to total o National the of going dollar approval re¬ share the has Bank ~ historical between consumer's the " simply Normal securities, etc. In this the effort utility rate structure and the manner in which I speak of the subject of the long last. of the fina'neial pages are aware, the World Bank has been seeking legislation to exempt it from the need register its issues with the SEC, to permit state "member banks" As this year subject to which I am directing my that is in the middle of change. Gives views of members of Congress concerned with legislation and indicates bill (H.R. 6443) is not likely to pass in present form. 1-672 22 East 40th Teletype: NY 1-2948 who members listened to testimony June 4 and Representative Bennett distinguished himself as a per¬ sistent and inter¬ intelligent the 5 Street, New York 16, N. Y. Telephone; LExington 2-7300 mittee entire and rogator, evoking (Continued the on admiration. page 43) ^ Volume 167 Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE (2525) flldrich Electric Output The Carloadings Retail State of Trade Price Industry Index - In On the industrial front last week total production for the couri- . try , whole suffered as a shut-downs for slight setback due to the a Must Democratic Capitalism Always Appease? r Business Failures J. ; present worldwide struggle between freedom and col¬ lectivism, it still is only the latter's proponents that give the impres¬ sion of knowing specifically what it is that they want. Irrespective of the actual correctness of such impression, the believers in democ¬ racy and the free market persist in conveying a philosophy of appeasement and meaningless middle-of-the-roadedness. The latest example oi plant numerous Day week-end. Notwithstanding the wide-spread cessation of activities in observance of the holiday, bowk " this hybrid credo has ever, output in most lines held somewhat above that of the corresponding period one year ago. In addition to this favorable aspect • of industrial one of versed noted that both insured unemployment and claims for unemployment insurance continued to decline moder¬ ately, while payrolls on the other hand, were steady and at a ve^y high level. " ■ ' | The labor situation the past week continued to present a corM ; fused picture in that field, since the coal and rail disputes pose two big hurdles for industry, labor and the government To negotiate.,Mb the former industry; Justice T. Alan Goldsborough has ruled that : John L. Lewis and his miners must negotiate with the Southern coal activity, it The the Memorial the cerning By A. WILFRED MAY Auto Production and following statement ; con¬ the European Recovery Program has just been issued by Winthrop W. Aldrich, Chairman, Trade Commodity Price Index Food was the nation's group recently been furnished by influential most of industrialists, the and well- Chamber of Commerce of the State of New York. Last week , this issued its major contemporary credo under the caption, "A Statement of American Economic Principles,"! a document compiled after ' . , , " group . producers as ^ S order and the decision of months of . preparation and released for very wide and important national consumption. ; The Chamber declares that its Statement "is interpretation of the application of American principles to the economic problems oi this economic age!" Nevertheless, despite this high aim, the document contains the great num¬ ber of errors of commission and omission which really unit. Mr. Lewis has agreed to comply with the court's nation now awaits the outcome of these negotiations. j In the latter case a breakdown in rail negotiations has occurred In which the three railroad brotherhoods have refused to accept the ' A. Wilfred May are the President's fact-finding board after 19 other unions On Thursday of this week the government will seek injunction from Justice Goldsborough barring a nation-wide rail¬ an characteristic the of statements from those filling the position of leadership in the battle for democratic capi¬ talism. Like so many others who have strong convictions about the an all-around benefit of free enterprise, and unlike the collectivists. road strike. 'V the Chamber comes forth with a set of principles seemingly designed In this connection; it is worthy to note a statement made last Such is its indefiniteness, year by Daniel J. Tobin, General President of the International to please every one and offend no one. Brotherhood of Teamsters, Chauffeurs, Warehousemen and Helpers, that it would no doubt offend neither Wallace, Taft, Chester Bowles John L. Lewis, Harold Laski, Marshall Field, Premier Gottwald of ; to the local head of that union in the City of Oakland, Calif., in which communist Czechoslovakia; nor the NAM, CIO, or ADA. ^ In fact he stated in part:- ;:v \V v-/ "No general strike has ever yet brought success to the labor as will be shown below, much of the language is practically a replica of expressiohs of each of those sharply contradictory protagonists. ']■, movement. On the contrary, the only result of a general strike is to Expediency is perhaps excusable when used by a political can¬ persecute and inconvenience the public and seriously injure the didate out to garner votes. Individuals-running for office find it •; thousands of fair employers with whom we have contracts." necessary to nail together a collection of planks in a party platform to enlist the greatest amount of ballots and antagonize the least f:-:For the month of April, net railway operating income of Class I number of people. But why private citizens, presumably appreciating g railroads of the United States totaled $53,104,072, compared with the great issues involved in the world-wide struggle, must stultify $59,459,540 for the same month in 1947, according to the Association themselves by concentrating on doing a "public relations job" of P of American Railroads. Estimated net income, after interest and appeasement is incomprehensible as well as ominous. rentals, in April totaled $27,100,000, compared with $35,600,000 in the As is characteristic of such statements, most grievous of the like period of 1947. //;;•>;,■, \.'uf \.07!;..■-,,rjv. 'i\?; faults of the Chamber's pronunciamento are those of material omis¬ For the first four months of this year net railway operating sion. For example, there is not a word about the fundamental ques¬ income of the Class I carriers, before interest and rentals, amounted tion of what kind of monetary system we should have. The Cham¬ to $195,750,651, compared with $235,703,475 in the similar month a ber issued a statement concerning its feeling about a return to a year ago, while net, after interest and rentals, in the first four months domestic gold standard a month ago, which is criticized in detail \ of 1948 is estimated at $100,000,000, compared with a net income of by Dr. Walter E. Spahr on page 2 of this issue, in which it indicated $131,000,000 in the corresponding period of 1947. its satisfaction with our present monetary policy of repudiation. In the 12 months ended April 30, 1948, the rate of return on Irrespective of the Chamber's agreement or disagreement with the property investment averaged 3.24%, compared with a rate of return repudiation in which we have been engaged, surely some affirmative of 3.26% for the 12 months ended April 30, 1947. statement of what our system should be, is indispensable in a "state¬ Total operating revenues in the first four months of 1948 ment of American economic principles," bound up ds it is with the important concept of property rights and a free democratic system. amounted to $2,972,210,494, against $2,730,856,100 in the like period If leaders of opinion like the Chamber are loath to explain to of 1947, or an increase of 8.8%, while operating expenses in the first t four months of 1948 amounted to $2,406,596,014, compared with the people how their human freedom rests on the redeemability of $2,141,716,374 in the corresponding period of 1947, or an increase paper money in gold, and the wide social dangers implicit in de¬ of 12.4%. bauchery of the currency, who else will? V;v;Of:-\ In this case this is particularly necessary to give meaning to in¬ :S:' ?! definite expressions of principle throughout the Statement. The number of new businesses chartered during April declined slightly to 9,223 for all 48 states, as compared with 9,346 in March Profits Overlooked : S Dun & Inc., reports. The April count drop had accepted it. : , a Urges Senate To Restore ERP Funds Steel Production The 5 • " Bank: "AH • of us > who have fol¬ lowed the evolution the f o - European Recovery Pro^:'; begin-: gram, ning with the address of - Secretary Marshall ago, year a are dis¬ greatly turbed by the action the 5 of W. W. Aldrich House of Reo- resentatives • v" '• in reducing < ' ' ' ' t * substan¬ tially the funds available for re¬ lief and reconstruction, in is It imperative as Europ£. matter; of a good faith that the Senate restore the full amount called for by the Foreign Assistance Act of 1948. "The Foreign Assistance Ac < itself passed by huge majori¬ House of Representa¬ was in the ties tives in and Senate. the financial of amount The assistance stipulated in the Act was the re¬ sult of very careful study. Few pieces of legislation have had a comparable background of anal¬ ysis. The impact of a foreign aid program upon the American econ¬ omy was reviewed in great detail by the State Department, by the Harriman and Krug Committees and by the President's Council of Economic Committees Advisers. not only held ex¬ tensive hearings but also sought first-hand information in Europe of the Congress itself. "The - ■ inase N ational. Recovery Pro¬ European is an integral part of the foreign policy of the United States. It represents an effort to build up the nations of Western Europe gram so that they become may self- supporting and strong enough po¬ litically and economically to resist " all attempts cess at aggression. Its suc¬ should not be endangered." " .. reflected Bradstreet, of : 5.9% from it year, and the was so a the corresponding month a ; year ago, bringing the cumulative total for the first four months of the 0- year and -it ; to date to 37,442. This was was down 22.4% 9.3% from the similar less than the record 1947 period' with 41,272 number of 48,254 company organizations set in the first four months of 1946. Compared with last year, 31 of the 48 states reported fewer incorporations for the :-v':?£>■£ four months' period than a year ago. A month last same far this year has shown a drop in new busi¬ incorporations from ness the below the 12,469 for April, 1946. 26.0% Each month charters recorded in 9,802 second Economic Principles" is that of a forthright and the basic need for adequate profits. While vigorous affirmation it is indicated that sufficient "return on investment" is not sinful, there is no forth¬ right affirmative declaration that profits (as compensating for risk ventures) are necessary for the provision of the tools of production, making for our unprecedentedly high standard of living and the wellbeing of the laborer, democratically attained through decisions of the free market-place. This being part and parcel of the true American ideal in the two-world schism, why should businessmen shy away from its expression? of . . In the constitute Day buying of food and vacation specialties rose to a very high level the past week. Numerous promotional sales helped to stimulate the post-holiday demand for many , types of seasonal merchandise. The total dollar volume of retail trade The pre-Memorial slightly during the week and moderately corresponding week a*year ago. increased of the STEEL OPERATIONS s SCHEDULED important omission in this "Declaration of American exceeded that ' ' ! it is not sphere there is no explanation offered of what should "adequate" reward for either labor or capital. Likewise stated who it is that is supposedly obligated to pay the wage and to guarantee full employment and the security to which the workers are allegedly entitled. living HAST SMITH & CO Related to the economic H \nover 2-0980 52 WILLIAM ST., N. Y. 8 Bell Teletype Private Wires 1-395 NY Connect Montreal New York Toronto profits question is the characteristic neglect of And, making (Continued on page 46) : ' the reiteration of the unalienability of property rights. ■K: -Vr fFor detailed listing of these Principles, see p. 12 of this issue of the "Chronicle/' •• demand-supply balance is purely academic. Nowhere has "The Iron Age" found an abundance of steel in con¬ sumers' hands. Everywhere it has been found that inventories are not relatively large, they are not nearlnormal in many cases and customers are still screaming for steel supplies, states this national about argument MOTOR Dravo Corp. there will not be enough steel for those who say they need it. They will not be able to make all the things they say they have scheduled. • r: v third-quarter quotas become known . CORPORATION Time Inc. metal-working weekly. ■K.V- Sun Life Assurance of Canada same an • .'•V/'*'.. Buyers of steel are mainly interested in prices and basing points When Royal Bank of Canada AT A FRACTIONALLY HIGHER RATE FOR CURRENT WEEK and Bank of Montreal McGraw Cowmon $1 Per Price (F. H.) & Co. Stock Shar® Est , American Maize Products Co. answer to the big questions concerning the industry, "The Age" states that the steel situation this week looks as strong as it ever was. There is no sign of falling demand and things that looked easier a short time ago are tighter. Customers will still be In Iron - shouting for steel next spring and steel prices may be higher next year. FREDERIC H. HATCH & CO., IHC. . and longer, except for possible coal strikes and finally, when & fa.llfug off does come, it will come suddenly without any warning Production will be ties Bought—Sold—Quoted Established at peak levels the rest of this year MEMBERS 63 N. Y. SECURITY Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. DEALERS ' (Continued on page 33) BroodwuyrNeW t_i ASSOCIATION Bell Teletype NY 1-897 I"' ' ■ V TEL?^,.Vr°' 42 1888 Dea'ets' niaby _ 4-4500 . >: 6 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL & THE (2526) Thursdayr June 10, 1948 Who Ate Dux Stockholders ? ' '-;;v By HAROLD S. SUTTON* ' Treasurer, . ' •v'' V Consolidated Edison Company of New York, Inc. . . . . . • Urging regulators of utilities to consider well effect*, af. rate changes.on individual investors, Mr. Sutton points out stockholders constitute all classes and groups and their interests should be safeguarded. Notes lack of increased .utilities dividends to jcopf with* higher living costs, and, as a -result, stock¬ holders say industry is .too much regulated and too vulnerable to inflation. Concludes stockholders' inter- i f ests must be preserved if private enterprise is to enddrev • V^-.' - - JBy PAUL JEINZIG • " "■ , Noting /recent official optimistic statements in Britain on ; . economic prospects, despite increase in export deficit, Mr, Einzig sees nothing in situation to justify a reversal of austerity, drive.' Foresees possi¬ bility of exhaustion of gold .. * A / of v; paramount problem of the day is public relations. American business long ago mas-, by end of year, and adoption / resources series of austerity measures. / new ' tered the widely. ■ job of producing its goods in quantity, cheaply and well, and distributing them During recent yeafs it has come to realize that it now has another job—to de- fend own!' its place ' the social Scheme, to justify the private enter¬ prise system in - under which it operates, to tell the man-! agement side the of of Hence I owners. to ask you many well were interests and what about the aware attitudes, rest, the in¬ dividual stockholders? As to therh, we have wondered whether we shall have to bear with me in the references that must neces¬ re¬ their but ing to find out/something about the so- Public lations, called, is counselors—we has been»making «in the company field of' stockholder relations, try¬ labor- management story, and so on. LONDON, ENGLAND—The publication' of the foreign trade figures for April, showing a further increase of the import surplus, was followed by the issue of an explanatory statement by the '"1 :—"*—^ —:— in three successive stages—-first stockholders' letters, and try to Treasury, in which the significance of the increase of the trade the customers, then the employees do a lot of other little things we deficit during last two .mol orists, even in the absence of and now the owners. All of these think our job requires and whidh ,the months was any special /justifying are, of course, but segments of the we hope may help to make them eircurmf sought ; to be stances, is once more /possible general public—often overlapping. think well of us. j m in imized; From our contacts with the iiiwithin limits/ The import of films While I am reoorting to you, is being resumed. Clothing rations here are the results of recent in¬ stitutional investors—the banks, The official arc increased. No doubt in each vestigations and studies which our investment: t r u s t s, investment st a tern erit sarily be made to our company. our findings and conclusions have any value to the light and forts toward. This is almost We were like la too fundamen¬ power industry, or to business manufacturing concern trying to tal to bear repetition here. generally, it 'is by way of a case sell a product without knowing its ' : •market. If we could only know Lately an outgrowth of this study., .Therefore I shall proceed to give you the particulars of this more accurately the "nature pf public relations consciousness has appeared in the form of a stock¬ case study, and indicate some of stockholders," we could proceed the conclusions and lessons we much more intelligently, in ^ad¬ holder relations consciousness. dressing them. Business heads are coming to real¬ think may be drawn from it. Harold S. Sutton ize ^'.not only that the stockholders are entitled to consideration, but that their cultivation pays off' in loyalty* interest and cooperation. as though management It is almost had directed their attention to the sides of the well-known triangle *An address fore 16th ' lahtic by Mr. Sutton be¬ Annual 'Convention' of the Edison Electric Institute, At- City, N. J., June 3, 1948. BOSTON several Boston & Maine they do for they i / / Empire So. Gas. Gisholt Machine Prior Preferred Power Walter J. Connolly & Co., Inc.: 24 Federal were retired Byllesbv & Comoany PHILADELPHIA OFFICE think it they i Stock Exchange Bldg. Phila. Z Telephone Teletype RIttenhouse 6-3717 LOUISVILLE ST. LOUIS ^ !1 BANKERS BOND co; Incorporated SECURITIES// AOO;OL»VE STREET off the of a We on Members St. Louis Stock. Exchange the same e of A.M., Pac. Std. Time: j'.y' CORPORATION Wall Street Sp-82 at ///;■• / Members Standard Stock Exchange of WHitehall 3-7253 Private Wire System 'between and Los Angeles Brokers the - Dealers - and common were dyed-in-the-wool in¬ interested primarily ih Underwriters - Yakima, Wn, same :.. as the ///'.;Z common :;-///■ >',€*.' 0/ trate were pub¬ documents inclined to concen¬ the adverse factors, on some r or of speeches the and made it is certain that noth¬ has happened during the last months to justify its reversal in spite of the adoption ol Marshall Plan, the outlook &' British balance of payments wrong, ing few For seeks the - .• a \ • s does' ' " it // ~ the- optimistic views to. convey fact • Treasury Itself the noi share of payments •> is indicated by >/ that^some two months ' when the^ itrade balance be- ; deteriorate, the publicatibri of monthly figures of gold sales ' v by the Treasury was suspended.* / •>ago, gan -to This fact seems to indicate that, notwithstanding / the optimistic statement, gold losses must be rather on the heavy side. When in October, 1947 Mr. Dalton de¬ cided to publish the monthly gold figures it was in order to provide a simple indice showing the grav¬ ity of our position. Why then, it may well be asked, should Sir Stafford Cripps have decided to suppress this indice or at any rate to reduce its effect by pub¬ lishing quarterly figures instead of monthly figures? The public / is kept a little longer in ignorance of the This the for / extent of the gold losses. is not likely to help government in its campaign again ^ higher output and austerity. The too must government well that aware Marshall its aid be only spite of in gold / / resources approximately 124,000 which registered, 108,000 the common we found names stock was that about represented/ individuals— women or ness, brokers and other . . (Continued fiduciaries, on page 32) Allowing for all this, there be no reason for taking more- optimistic view than a seems a to f few months earlier, about the increase of the importsurplus. But for the re¬ assuring statement the ^effect oi the " figures might have been a salutary response to the govern¬ ment's campaign in favor of higher outputs, stable, wages and lower profits. Since, however, the Treas¬ ury-expressed the view that thing? not are so bad as would ple will tend to be less inclined to practice self-denial than they would have been, otherwise. / / / any of the case, U the relaxation of the balance must be over. now go of payments once is It as- perr : / Conceivably the change of policy. may be due to a desire to counteract the excessive pessi¬ that prevails abroad about mism the prospects of sterling. Possibly it may be the consequence of the improvement of industrial output, as a result of which the govern¬ ment may feel it can afford /to slacken its austerity drive. who try to see 12 months Those - ahead more, are tion of a new series of very strin¬ austerity measures avoided later, if the gold gent can be reserve declines below danger level. What, then, is the object of the govern¬ ment's present mism? "synthetic" • opti¬ . crisis British tourists abroad Plan. is disappointing that should choose to adopt the opposite .course, ! as inclined, however, to shake their heads with disapproval. For appear it is difficult to see how the adop- / from the trade figures, many pso- In plexmg; the government _ yet, the government ^weni out -of /its way to. tell the British public that .there is no need to worry the Marshall ;; -/ ' And austerity measures taken last year is liable to convey the impression that the worst of Bulk of Shareholders Are Of still/very gloomy. most .:•>/'/-///'/.■■ Z-v Individuals in is L'f- joint ownership. We assumed that the stock stand¬ ing in the names of bank nomi- Branches at Kellogg, Idaho actually wa$. concentrate stockholders only. best to ' men, Spokane Peyton Building, Spokane at v STANDARD SECURITIES CORPORATION 5 question^; what the: story thought stockholders'. , BUCKLEY SECURITIES answers be about the Quotes call TWX Sp-43 on Floor Exchange from 10:45 to 11:30 other hours, : these vice-president wil a income, and content a fixed return. We also feel that their reactions to our stock¬ holder relations activities would For Immediate Execution of Orders or . , with SECURITIES Company r vestors, safety and Central Illinois Public Service Co. Seminole Oil & Gas to \ ' dogmatic abou t that, for the present at least, we could take it for granted that the holders of the preferred NORTHWEST MINING oir We felt / SPOKANE, WASH. Portsmouth Steel Corporation Philadelphia, New York enclosure, the dro ? The troiible is that none hat. stock ' in was answers cover PHILADELPHIA New York lished the How did reel Bell Tele. LS186 44 official the the of them .agree. So we decided to make a conscientious effort to dis¬ /:■';/ 1 Kentucky Home Life Bldg. LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY ' Philadelphia 2 PEnnypacker 5-5076 of didnlt or have"any/inter¬ many 1st Floor, 1420 Walnut St. Indeed some austerity measures. the / otheri? they interested only in t and INVESTMENT * /; That ' / grave rifiees. the last.' Did they in the dividend the • Data bit Bequest prospects!, very canrml last.much beyond the/end The adverse, of this year if the dollar drain trade balance is much larger than should vcontinue at the present wa*anticipated. The drain through rate.. One /should have thought allocations to Sterling' Area coun¬ that v in ; the t circumstances the tries "is also very heavy. Export austerity drive would be inten-f prospects are growing worse. By sified, if only in order to offset the look of things, closer co-oper¬ the unavoidable unwarranted opation with Western Europe will timism .created by .the/adoption! of • involve -for Britain additional sac-' It is easy to be Bought and Sold £1 Paso Electric What did annual Debentures * How did the the bunk, was check that Ashland Oil & Refining Co. Long Plstance 238-9 ink people frighten working harder-and submitting tc and . were Bought and Sold . marw The volume of acknowledgements had been so small as to suggest PH 73 Ashland Oil & Refining Co. ; are reasons "Sir" Stafford care one way. pr velope? t view of the balance other too /gloomy picture oi economic prospects,' ir to a about the management? 1 Tele. BS128 Stock What did how or they think of the welcoming let¬ ter?' Did they like it or did they est Common public not to take , order - ally taken the trouble to tell the 'Dr.'Paul Einzig trier./ Various a government's decision. The y oi these decisions is';! a reversal of the gov- *>. ernbient's- whole austerity/ policy^//^; And now the Treasury has actiil / ,i»enGy. coun- Britain's good a hov/ever, ports come from soft cur- paint reversed total sum im¬ surplus been / meas^ be made out in support,/ can of the austerity they like o report? / Even, we might ask them, what • did: they/; think Street, Boston 10 Tel. HUbbard 2-3790 living, a stockholders like them? Traded in Round Lots ML M. ad¬ , Light & they fall, and into cations I mentioned. Stromberg-Carlson Wisconsin what of them didn't work at Dayton Malleable Iron • where have case bj Cripps . and . other all, because members of the government were living ok income? ;/: ■'■ ■;/*// v/// ///'/ ; inspired by a high degree of pes¬ For some time we had been simism./ Whether that /"strength sending out the various communi¬ through gloom" policy was right Co.!'. Botany Mills Com. & Pfds. BR. Into brackets? American La France Foamite B<m investments? ageigroups did what income Boxboard Bates Mfg.. /an mean / / of these instances and in other "arcs . . porations, Consolidated Edison has been practicing stockholder rela¬ tions quite intensively over the last decade. •/ For example, some years ;ago we adopted the wel¬ coming letter to stockholders and the quarterly dividend enclosure giving company news' and earn¬ the stock for income and how ings., We have gradually been How streamlining our annual report. many in hope of profit? We send to all-stockholders fairly many of them owned Consolidated complete stories on our annual Edison stock only? In how. many meetings. We carefully reply to cases was it simply one of their ; import - surplus does not given in order to reassure t/.e public. Nor is this statement ar isolated gesture. It is keeping What kind of people were these with- the series of Qptimistic state-, who had bought our stocky and mcnts and optimistic measure? why did they buy it? Had they thac,followed each other during in fact bought it, or how had they the. last month or two. It is inter¬ come -by it? If they had bought preted in many quarters as an it, who and what considerations, indication that the government influenced them to buy it? Were has slackened its austerity drive. Earlier this year the govern¬ they investors or speculators— how many of them were holding ment was accused of trying tc Like many other American cor¬ /American instances groping in the dark: We ditional/ d61-. didn't really know the kind if laf dr^in, for' people we were directing our ef¬ "m Os t of., tne; If tool. cne were the modern points out that the additional. can even With Fusz-Schmelzle & Co. (Special to The Financial Chronicle) " / : though they cannot go to every ST. LOUIS, MO. — Vincent P. country, and can only spend half Ring, Jr. has joined the staff of as much ,as- they could before the Fusz-Schmelzle & Co., Boatmen's allocation of exchange allowances Bank Building, members of the St. for travelers abroad was sus¬ Louis and Chicago Stock Ex¬ pended. The use of petrol fon changes. ; ' '■■■V/r'/ V" " Volume Number 4706 167 THE COMMERCIAL Ahead between Senate set-to of the President Arthur Vandenberg and have bear- a j tices i n g o n their, and the like. Presidential It is no mere impetuousness or1 deep concern over what might happen to Eu¬ rope that is *) ting romp But the | nominee. Varide nberg to make a a global minders < have taken the stand ftorn the beginhing that' not only did Congress have to authorize ' their^ plans fight that up to the last penny but the precise appropriation , would have to be made. ap¬ be¬ pearance Carlisle Bargeron fore Sen- the v-l-'vate Appropri¬ ations Committee to urge that the cut be restored. The • gentleman, in spite of his coyness of the past few months, is definitely an as¬ pirant for the Presidency. I don't suppose you could call him a "candidate" These Were estimates, it is claimed, worked out and to 16 European nations. They were not. They: were prepared right: in Washington by the State Depart¬ ment boys. '.V, /., /t;, y /y .? the bone ' pared the experts of by because of the strat¬ ^ withstanding accomplished festly, if money should be could be appropriated more it needed later—the authorization is already there. [ the convention by and of the Michigan delegation dis¬ couraging popular activity ih his behalf. ■/ /;//: ..//[/;/; //////i///;// /*' But work is being quietly done for him and money to put him over. /• // His is being raised ' purpose his new internationalism, his global thinking, and to emphasize to the global thinkers generally that un¬ less he -becomes President, the Marshall Plan is in jeopardy after the first of the year—and there is not much doubt in my mind that it would, in its present / high- falutin' state, be in jeopardy with Taft, Bricker, Joe Martin and probably Dewey Tin the White House. ' Aid to Europe would not be cut off, certainly not. But our whole foreign policy would be given a realistic approach and Heav¬ en knows, it needs 'to be; / //. more We would continue to "recog¬ leadership and the responsibility it entails/' but we would not completely subordinate our domestic problems to those of Europe. And you : would be i. nize world our amazed at how quickly the Euro¬ problems pean the and crises would dissipate. / In short, our thinking would shift more to the American / because / these men, Taft et al, have simply not scene, ascended to the international for Their' teau vnance. to thinkers into nee. As comes out, fight between Van¬ and John Taber. Back it is not just denberg of Taber is including a the House leadership, significantly Speaker Martin. Joe long know the His that have he nomination the convention lock. friends . is in have available the gets into event dead¬ a And when and if the leaders to go into the smoke-filled rest assured he will get <plenty of consideration. / . room you- can !• One thing I don't understand about how the fight developed at this late stage is .that it is'in con¬ flict with the previous strategy of like Taft and Martin./ Their men is doing is the global throw frenzy of demand¬ global thinker for the nomi¬ He is acting most unusually, a Chairman Of the Senate For¬ eign much issue done it without the of approval Martin; / It may be that a trap has been sent for Vandenberg with a view settling ; the question of his to nomination before the convention I notice that both Stassen meets. and Dewey immediately ran into the : global thinkers'' embrace. Stassen would be expected to do nothing else. Dewey may have made a mistake as he has in* the May¬ camps. ' be not. " v " • ,' , I But there is this thought: If a compromise candidate does have to be picked out of the hat at one closely with either side. who has !/.'[— mm identified been — the sums has for been the practice since time immemorial for the Appropriation Committees to then come along and make a how much spent at a detailed study of just of the money can be given time. It has long been understood that just because a certain passing group has succeeded in authorization U. G. Roman Joins Staff will for tion be There is, example, pending authoriza¬ for Of F. I. du Pont & Go. the spending ably $50 billion on to esoeclal of prob- dams, postof- this be an ex¬ treme view, a itudy of Com¬ mission *.'■ ■ .. cases / 'v. • delays in basis. au¬ Stubborn deci¬ sions and pro¬ its original plant account as an In 1918 the Public Service Commission segre¬ unclassified amount. gated the original figure, classi¬ as valid cost, among other items, $4,600,000v as water rights. In; 1943, however, the Commis¬ sion disregarded its 1918 findings, and ordered that $3,832,171 of the fying . ■ $4,600,000 water rights figure be charged off. On appeal by the company; the Appellate Division Of the New York Supreme Court, on July 8, 1946, annulled, va¬ to seek set aside the Commis¬ cated and sion's order, and the Commission filed appeal. no But when Rochester Electric applied in 1947 j Gas & to issue preferred stock, the Commission made approval con¬ tingent on the write-down not only of the water rights figure, as noted above, but also of some $1,007,843 of items having similar legal background. Again the com¬ pany was forced to resort to the courts (even though the needs for funds was'immediate), resulting in a decision by the Appellate Di¬ vision on Jan. 7, 1948/ annulling bonds '|1/ ment Its Own .» At its organization in 1904, Rochester Gas & Electric set up firmed up". The company has had Curtis ter Kuile cedures could to postpone indefinitely its origi¬ easily lead to ; nal plan to replace its $5 pre¬ mvf.btors' misgivings. If a utility ferred with a lower-dividend iSin New York State petitions for a SUe." "/ ' fate increase, or for authorization bf financing, the management Infringement on Management's functions knows in advance that the pro¬ '; ceedings will require a great deal ■\ Late last year New York State pf expensive detail work, a long Electric & Gas applied for author¬ period of time, and the possible ization to sell $10,500,000 first imposition, as a condition to the mortgage bonds and $6,000,000 Authorization, of onerous account¬ preferred stock, partially to fi¬ ing adjustments extraneous to the nance a projected three-year con¬ case at hand. It knows that, unless struction^ program of $45,000,000. it desires to be in position to go j The Commission, however, au¬ to the courts, it may as well dis¬ thorized issuance of only $5,500,pense with any arguments based 000 bonds and $3,500,000. pre¬ on the need for earnings to attract ferred. on the basis that only $8,equity capital. It can also expect 000,000 or $9,000,000 would be to be given instructions on how needed .during 1948, and that ad¬ to handle its affairs, and it had ditional funds could be provided better be able tp support its case as necessary. --/,• ■ On a short-term basis, as longj It might be maintained that the term plans Will likely be given scant.attention... >'■;///,•; N management of a utility company is justified in? planning as much as three years ahead. It would Case Histories Demonstrate In February, 1947, Brooklyn also seem logical for the manage¬ tJhion Gas applied for a rate in¬ Adherence; to Mandates companies considerable amounts in interest charges. It took Con¬ solidated Edison a long time to effect its wholesale refinancing; consequently a large part of it Was done after interest rates had may and the Commission's determination. to avoid the detail and expense connected with sev¬ have been granted, but creases all The Financial Chronicle)/■ CHICAGO, ILL.—U. G. Roman has become associated with Fran¬ cis J. du Pont & Co., 200 South La Saile. Street. Mr. Roman was formerley with Adams & Co. and prior/thereto for a number of i*ears with Enyart, Van Camp & Co., Inc. ,. ' , i Akin-Lambert Co. Adds (Special LOS to The Financial ANGELES, Stanley C. Northrup added to MR. PAUL A. LUDLAM "is a purvey. / While recognition of the in Us a our ... com¬ pany's need for higher rates is helpful, the management is ham¬ pered in its planning by the time limits on the increases,, and not knowing when the results of the study will be. All this comes at a time when the company is experi¬ encing associated with now trading department Tweedy, Browne & Reilly ; 52 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. , Telephone HAnover 2-4694 N ../ Teletype NY 1-2529 huge increase in demand Since no perma¬ is possible until' the rate study is completed, the company has had to incur heavy bank loans for expansion, and has suspended dividends on its com¬ mon stock—at a time when, it is doing -the greatest volume of busi¬ in its history. '■ ;/ v , Do you y " ; • • ' "■-/-: - wish to Sell merge your ' ' ■ or business? ,. / [ Brooklyn Union is not alone in predicament. Occasioned largely by a jurisdictional battle this the reorganization of the Long Island Lighting System has Chronicle) CALIF.— has been the staff of Akin-Lam- bert Co., 639 South Spring Street. INnumber of to our own interest, we well as addition clients, corporations as have a individuals, who SEC, All its We process finance its debt or to finance and inquiries will be are basis. this In case, too, interested in the outright without obligation accorded also invite out on your / part strictest confidence. inquiries from other principals considerable expansion on a per¬ manent; are purchase of sound businesses for cash. for more than three years. Because of this, the company has been unable to."re¬ in interested in the purchase |of desirable businesses/ large borrowings from banks have Purchases The writer is a Uni¬ engineer, versity* He has been engaged in engineering bus'ness for and Cornell the many involving $500,000 to $5,000,000 pref erred graduate me¬ chanical / /ip/li temporary basis, pending the results of the Commission's ;rate on been « forthcoming." , - .. several thorizations while minute details have been examined have cost the ju¬ between the Commission and the legislation, it does not follow that the money f While In financing only on the basis year's anticipated expendi¬ tures, then operations must ob¬ viously be on a hand-to-mouth, of one / —//.// authorization ing its risdiction/ ness . legislation; authoriz¬ expenditure of specific specific projects./ But it • • be ;■>/ Congress is frequently passing earned. companies between the so-called internation-. for its services. nent financing alist and isolationist too , i)f term sequently, no dividends have been paid On the company's preferred stocks', although they have been fo war d the earning power and he would not have now Philadelphia, he is not likely to , York e w / public Service Commission as controversy in the party lation through the Senate. narily, that would .constitute his jOb. • • ' ; , ' N conclusion may be drawn that the Commission will approve long- plete utilization of earnings. Con¬ as .Relations. Committee he piloted the Marshall Plan legis¬ Ordi¬ been necessary, as well as com¬ ttitudp of the In its decision, the Court pointed crease," to compensate for in-' out that it had already annulled creased operating costs. The Com¬ eral applications and registrations, the determination of the Commispossible,- to go along when their mission thereupon instituted an and to be averse to gambling on backs were up against the wail of (Continued on page 38) Exhaustive study of the company's changes in interest rates. If the agitation and propaganda, and entire rate structure. appropriate for this and that, in / This study is still in process. the expectation that after next Meanwhile. Brooklyn Union has January they would grab most of We take pleasure In announcing that had to revise its original request the money back. But Taber has upward, and to seek two addi¬ precipitated the global spending tional rate increases. These in¬ disposition has been to avoid past in switching back and forth Vandenberg designed a plasuste- , What ing political >/v^v//;/. Regardless of how it for in going before the Senate committee is to highlight / the spenders that pur global thinkers have become, they cannot possibly get rid of $6 billion in the 12month period prescribed; Mani¬ before ■ ^ / Senator Taft believes that not¬ he has pursued of not per¬ mitting his name to be placed egy , (imdet r personal' .A short time ago the public utility analyst for a large investment trust remarked that no securities of New York State utilities, and that under existing circum¬ stances he Would hot recommend any. He said he was forced into this decision by what ( the trust held * / y...-... , he termed the rivers and harbors projects /destructive" well^———-—>' very 7 utility r earnings • and. cites Chairman John Taber of the House Appropriations Committee over . (2527) equity, capital in New York utilities. Says Commission refuses to take long-term view of need for higher Cases in which Commissioit enforces stubborn adherence to its mandates. Reveals other State Public Service Commissions follow more liberal policies. i. the latter'? cut in Marshall Plan funds will point up a serious divi¬ sion -in the Republican ranks on the eve of their convention. It may . FINANCIAL CHRONICLE .//_ By CURTIS ter KUILE* ' Writer contends "hard-boiled" regulation by New York Public Service Commission is discouraging" By CARLISLE BARGERON The & investment years; is BONNER & BONNER, in*. investment Securities a member of the Cornell Engineer¬ ing Society and the New York So¬ ciety of Security Analysts. 120 BROADWAY, New York 5 REctor 2-8500 8 The Oil & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL THE (2528) Industry: Yesterday, Today and Tomwiow Dealer-Broker Investment By GUSTAV EGLOFF* Universal Oil 111. Products Company, Chicago, Recommendations and Literature rapidly expanding oil consumption and describes U. S. oil producing and refining capacity. Notes increased use of by-products and petrochemicals as well as synthetic fuel oils, and con¬ tends high subsidies would be necessary if synthetic products are to be put on the competitive market Contends, as an investment, "there is no better buy on market today than oil company stocks/' Dr. Egloff traces It is understood that the firms mentioned will be pleased to send interested parties the following literature: <S> in one every form having an area of over 40,000 square feet. the shore is also expansion in the next One company alone has announced expenditures of a bil¬ lion dollars in 1948 and 1949. Petroleum assumed the hew loads imposed by our rapidly increasing power present time the of barrels million The 5.5 oil being and has been, displacing' o u r primary en¬ ergy source. In the past 30 years coal has been a static Dr, Gustav Egloff industry, petroleum production has increased nearly six times. Coal output in 1918 amounted to 636,000,000 tons and about the same this year. Petroleum production, however, increased from 356,000,000 barrels in 1918, to 2 billion in 1948. Thirty years ago coal fur¬ while of 82% nished energy our re¬ quirements, and oil only 15. Now coal furnishes 49% and petroleum and natural gas-47. The use of liquid and: gaseous fuels in place of coal has become popular be¬ cause of convenience in handling, ease of control, and cleanliness. Oil the industry, 35 billion barrels of produced, and still proven- reserves are higher than they have ever been. The oil thus far produced would not fill a hole in the ground of two cubic miles, an insignificant portion of our lon U. S; re¬ of today are over 25 bil¬ for added to dicted, but actually the demand over 20%. Prewar there increased 34,100,000 motor vehicles in the United States, while in 1948 these have increased to over 38,000,000, despite restrictions and difficulties in production. Not only has the number of automo¬ were tive vehicles increased but they being driven longer distances are therefore consuming in¬ creased volumes of gasoline and lubricating oil. Commercial avia¬ tion is also showing marked in¬ creases. Prewar, our domestic airlines had 359 planes, with an average of 17 seats per plane. In 1947 they had 810 with accom¬ are and modations for 30 pasengers per be recovered with of certainly be derived from exten¬ sions of present known fields or at greater depths, nor do they con¬ sider new potential oil fields. The reserves are un¬ doubtedly much greater than the Petroleum geologists be¬ proven. lieve that in states there miles of continental are land United 1,500,000 square area favorable oil 7,000 square one-half of 1% about is creased from to 356,000,000 in 1947. Other de¬ mand trends are: increased mand for kerosene and de¬ distillate fuels instead of coal for heatirig, increased use of Diesel engines in busses, trucks, and locomotives, and increasing demand? for na¬ tional defense. gines and household heating units presents problems which are being met by changes in refining methods as well as increased oil output. Between 1941 and 1947 OH burning home heating units increased from 2,400,000 to 3,600,000.;'.. •• ,\.x Despite continuing high de¬ mands the petroleum industry faces the future with confidence, (liven, the proper economic and political atmosphere, the industry will meet all demands as it al¬ ways has. The industry is finding producing more oil, providing pipe lines, tankers and tank cars ana for transportation, enlarging its refineries, and expanding its mar¬ keting facilities as rapidly as steel be obtained for construction. The U. S. oil companies are spend¬ can ing $4 billion at home in producing. and abroad 1948, and $13 billion is marked ' * Address by Dr. Egloff at 57th Convention of Illinois Bankers with waves. One well in the Gulf, 10 miles from New Orleans is yielding 900 barrels of oil a day from depth of 1,700 feet, and indicates a reserve of 100,000,000 barrels of oil in this area. Another a well drilled five miles from land is down to 13,000 feet, and a well 30 miles out has encountered salt domes similar to those associated with producing wells on the main¬ land. It is believed that there are at least 2.5 billion barrels of oil un der the Cornia. ocean The off Southern Cali- continental shelf at this point is 100 to 600 feet under water but production engineers Association, Chicago, 111., June 4, 1948. in the are operations Gulf, which is a steel plat¬ Co.—Memorandum Metal G. Becker & Co., 120 South La Salle Street, Chicago 3* 111. Current Steel Acme Forming bulletin Corporation — First Colony;; Corporation, 52 Wall Street, Newt York-5, N. Y. — methods will add of barrels to our — New York 5, N. Also Y77'7x7 available is a leaflet Salle Street, Chicago 4* IlL V of 7-7 current Railroad Pacific American Investors, Inc. refining a ::7:!77.7 Refining 7 •• our 1 Wall crude petro¬ are now 369 refineries Foods, Inc.—Cohu Paraffine Companies, Inc.—An Co., investment study—Dean Witter & & Street, New York 5, N. Y. Co., 45 Montgomery Francisco 4, Calif. Street, Also available is a circular on Studebaker.. ■..77;/. 7 ■: 7 San 77' '7y7 daily Capacity of 6,000,000 Parker Appliance Company — Bloomington Limestone Corp.— circular — du Pont, Homsey Co., to the stills of Description—George Birkins Co., 31 Milk Street, Boston 9, Mass. which are pro¬ 40 Exchange Place, New York 5, ducing 2,400,000 barrels of gaso¬ N. Y. / Portsmouth Steel Corp.—Data— About 5,500,000 barrels a are charged these refineries, line as well household been stupendous since plat¬ forms for supporting drilling wind and amounts day nave equipment must be on piles ex¬ tending 30 feet above mean sea level; to avoid the battering of enormous in barrels. area nevertheless planning drilling on man made islands. These will be similar to one built ' For coastal waters, hurricane are leum there of Mexico 30 miles off the Coast of Louisiana. The engineering dif¬ this , .,, Best geologically have all the markings of oil producing fields. Drilling is under way in the Gulf in , world wide service. using science, is going on in the United States. The lreas being explored include not only land, but also the continental ficulties , ■. v'V-. -7:, Developments. produced is being trans¬ —Analysis—Kitchen & Murpftyv a network of 360,000 Bank of Manhattan Company— 135 South La Salle Street, Chi¬ miles of pipe lines, 170,000 tank Circular—Laird, Bissell & Meeds. cago 3, 111. cars, and nearly 2,000 tankers in 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. which Supplying fuels for the rapidly increasing numbers of Diesel en¬ — The oil ported exploration, our — ■ billions supply. all the tools of modern shelves under Plant - - manv . Widespread Calif. qil "secondary" The possibilities of future oil dis¬ coveries are enormous. ; > • 133,000,000 in 1941, continental the hold from 40 to 80% of the J. p. Adams Manufacturing Co. Data originally present. By represIndianapolis Bond & Ohio-Apex, Inc. — Circular — suring oil formations with water Share Corp., 129 East Market Doolittle & Co.,; Liberty Bank or gas, more oil is produced. Oil Street, Indianapolis 6, Ind. ^^ Building, Buffalo 9, N. Y, wells are frequently treated with acids to increase production. The Oil Alleghany Corporation — Study Exploration Co. — Data -— amount of oil recoverable by these •Vilas & Hickey, 49 Wall Street, Comstock & Co., 231 South La of the po¬ tential are & Blosser, 135 South La Salle Street, Chicago 3, 111. still coming from about miles. Thus only fields Publica¬ Straus our oil to plane. The miles flown have in¬ oil to genous pressure has declined; The sands and shales in su'ch fields the underground existence of oil. The entire current production of crude the still left in fields where normal production under indi¬ into account oil which will undiscovered — ness that barrels of oil under There present production methods. They do not take are doing—Busi¬ Development Department, Long Island Lighting Co., Mineola, N. Y. "...-7 ■ Memorandum — our reserves. These figures all refer to proven oil reserves, meaning those which can of and what they — . last year over barrels of crude oil At war's end mand size . certain .. and barrels, \ Consolidated Hearst* . tions Kingsburg Cotton Oil Company: Card Memorandum Locations—Map of area Bennett,; served! in Indiana, ■ Kentucky* Spanier & Co., 105 South La Salle Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Ten¬ Street, Chicago 3, 111. y ; nessee, Virginia and West Virginia Lone Star Steel Co^Analysfs showing; power lines of the com¬ Austin & Waggener, * pany and principal natural re¬ —Walker, rights for prospecting; Control of sources—American Gas and Elec¬ Republic Bank Building, Dallas 1,) oil lands by the Federal Govern¬ tric Co. System, 30 Church Street, Texas. ; '"-.f-V• 7'"77/.;7x:? ment has always slowed up de¬ New York 8,; N. Y. -7::' -7: 7; velopment. If ; they are in the Los Angeles Department off hands of private companies, ex¬ Three Ways to Make Money In Water; and Power—Bulletin onploration' and production would Wall Street—Discussion of Scien¬ current developments-in the met-; be accelerated. tific measurement of mass finan¬ ropolitan water district of South¬ ; *7. v Deeper drilling in proven areas cial opinion—W. E; Burnet & Co., ern California—Heller, Bruce & will also add to our reserves. >The 11 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Co., Mills Tower, San Francisco'4, ,v. x' • v.;:; * > • ('. „■ ' CfcUf7-'77r777:7777average well depth for 1948 is around 3,600 feet, hut there is one Abitibi Power and Paper Co., producer at 16,500, and many Ltd.—Data Oppenheimer, VanMaryland Casualty Co.—Analyt¬ wells with important production den Broeck & Co., 40 Exchange ical report—Geyer & Co., Inc., deeper than 12,000. 67 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y7 Place, New York 5, N. Y. by increased The about the are shelves,, which .was previously owned by. the States; The House of Representatives, however,-has voted nearly ten to one to nullify the Supreme Court's decision and return title to the States, many of whom had already granted oil have been earth's crust. oil the production and improved refining Since the founding of serves as Long Island Laboratories—Bro¬ chure describing various scienti¬ fic laboratories on Long Island ad¬ area Keyes 'Fibre 7- Description—A. G, Woglom & Co., Inc., 49 Federal Street, Boston 10, Mass. Oil Company Reserves and Pro¬ reserves. The Supreme Court re¬ .Also available is descriptive cently rendered a decision giving duction—Study—Elworthy & Co., material on West Point Manufac¬ the Federal Government rights to Ill Sutter Street, San Francisco, turing Co. and Moxie. men billion 100 methods. ohe shelf continental shelves will add over time the howl has been raised it has been answered were a 20% drop in de¬ oil products was pre¬ the About every five years in the history of the industry, dire prophecies have been made about an impending shortage. Every 700,000,000 Petroleum Demand in During States. continental square miles, Kentucky. this year total production will be about 2 billion barrels. With this enor¬ mous output the question may be asked—how long can it be main¬ tained without depleting our re¬ serves? 7'; daily produced an jacent to California is about 4,500 is quirements United as with its neck resting on the ocean bed where drillers could work. over crude well as Production and Reserves At re¬ coal as Curb Common Stock Issues Corporate Investors LimitedTunneling under With LoUg Dividend Records— Data—S. R. Mackellar & Co., 27 Street, Toronto, being considered, New York Curb Exchange, 88 Melinda Ont,, "inverted bottle" Trinity Place, New York 6, N. YV Canada. for world few years. Nation. has 1 Attractive Speculations—List of Crouter & Bodine, Packard Build¬ interesting low-priced stocks- ing, Philadelphia 2, Pa. Also available is a circular on Stanley Heller & Co., 30 Pine American Optical Company. Street, New York 5, N. Y. beginning of the oil industry 90 years ago it has grown to colossal propor¬ tions. It is providing over 5,000 products which are as essential to our mode of life as food, clothing, and shelter. The progress of the oil industry is a matter of primary concern to Since the our Thursday, June 10, 1948 as distillate fuels for heating and Diesel en¬ gines, residual fuel oils, lubri¬ cants, and special products. The extreme flexibility of modern re¬ fineries permits the output of various products to be adjusted to seasonal and> other varying de¬ mands. '-7,\ /. ■■'.'7."! Oil refinery research and. -der velopment are art a high tempo to utilize maximum quantities of oil Bullock's and refine it with loss. The industry is current scientific . a Buckley Securities Corp., 1420 Hill Walnut Street, Philadelphia 2, Pa. •<'' , minimum of or technical advance to improve its methods. Refiners are not wasting a drop of oil, even, some of the smell being -used to odorize city 'gases. '■ 7v\;. .-v;. .y One of the amazing develop¬ ments in oil refining is the Fluid flow catalytic cracking process which uses powdered catalyst. In this process the catalyst is carried along by the vapors of the gas oil on page 36) Illinois Public Service Co* 'Central Arizona Light & Power :'7r*-: Co. Electric CoT-Analysis—Eastman, Dillon & Co.; 15 Broad Street, New York ;5, ? Public National Bank' & Trust.. N7Y/7\'--^<77^7 77 ;7:, Co.-~-Analysis-~C. E. Unterberg & Also available. are< analyses lot Co* 61 Broadway, New York 0,♦ the Grand Union* Co.,and Rock¬ Jj. 77* "7 y ^ well Manufacturing Co. ; Also available is an analysis Off * :'y;''■■■. Miles Shoes, Inc. Champion Paper & Fibre Company^Memorandum-^Sutro .Bros; & Servel, - Inc. —Memorandum — Bendix, Luitweiler & Co., 52 Wall 77x7.' Street, New York 5, N. Y. Co., 120 Broadway* New York 5, N. Y. Clearing • • 7 .,77" Machine letin—Strauss • Corp.—Bul¬ Bros., Inc., bulletin. Co., 135, South La Salle Street, Chicago 3, Skilsaw, Inc.—Revised O'Connor 32 —Doyle, Broadway, New York 4, N. Y. & Illinois. : ■ Consolidated Rock Products Co. — Memoranum shall — Maxwell, Mar¬ & Co., 647 South Spring to be cracked and is maintained in Street, Los Angeles 14, Calif. Also available is a card memo¬ a, state of high turbulence in the reaction chamber. The catalyst randum on Clary Multiplier Corp. becomes coated with carbon, over¬ flows from the cracking zone and Continental Diamond Fibre Co. (Continued Also available are data on Cen¬ tral Seminole Oil & Gas, and El Paso utilizing every discovery — , . , Inc.—Analysis Richards & Co., 021 South Spring Street, Los Angeles 14, Calif. -Data—DeHaven & Townsend, South Carolina Electric and Gas Co.—Memorandum in "Fortnight¬ ly Investment Letter"-—H. Hentz & Co., 60 Beaver Street, New York 4, N. Y;V/7>;.. , - J In the Trend same in issue Bond (Continued are briefs Prices, on page on Illinois 10) l Volume 167 Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE »*'rT i 7'.- (2529) between 60 and 70%; 9 Of the creased availability the immediate 11 < years, .three were result;-'.*^. •; the 50's, and the average for Passage by Congress of the Eco¬ the other eight was 36.1%. By DAVID F. AUSTIN* nomic Cooperation Act of 1948, Further, these critics disregard together with President Truiriaii's Vice-President, United States Steel Corporation the normal relationship between message to Congress on March 17 domestic supply and demand in requesting additional funds' for Asserting free competitive enterprise is seriously threatened, prominent steel executive defends steel terms of per capita trends based defense, reversed this trend. The industry's accomplishments and notes its rapid expansion in recent years. Decries demands for fanon the same period, After making problem which the Industry faces tastic capacity increase, and points to cooperation with government in voluntary allocation program. a proper Allowance for export or; today' is no longer confined to Sees nn necessity for resort to government controls and outlines industry's program of voluntary co¬ ah historical basis, a projection domestic and normal export re-: of the normal trend of per capita quirements — it- has become', far operation to regulate production, distribution and prices. consumption for 1948 indicates a more complicated. We have tem¬ If the progress of our nation can be attributed to any single factor, that factor Is free¬ consumption of 565 pounds per porarily become the steel source dom: freedom of the individual, freedom of worship, freedom of government and freedom person. This figure, although for the whole peace - seeking is world, just as during the war the mathematically c o r r e c t, of enterprise. Free men have learned that wars of aggression are unprofitable, and that weighted by the low volume of United States became the arsenal human enerConsumption during the depres¬ of the Allies. ! Steel bidustry's Achievements time. production in the history; of gies are more sion years and excludes wartime .No further proof of the. inter¬ our nation. prod uc tive Much has been heard concern¬ influences. Against it set the national aspect ^ of our problem is when devoted ing the need for further increases figure of 846 pounds, the per cap¬ needed than the simple fact that Dangers of Over Capacity to the creation in capacity, but far too little ita productive capacity of, the in 1937 the United States ac¬ Qur critics today demand al¬ and exchange credit has been given to the Steel Steel Industry today. counted for 38% of world produc¬ : most fantastic, increases in of useful capa¬ industry for its truly remarkable tion of steely while in 1947 we city. It. is one of life's grim iron-/ gooas and Normal Trend of Steel production achievements. At war's ies produced more than 56%. Experi¬ that we find among them those services. Production end, the Steel Industry found it¬ enced analysts have placed this who, nine years ago, were equally Four years self with plant and equipment Restated, based on the last 48 percentage as high as 59% by dis¬ articulate in criticizing what they of global con¬ battered and worn by operation years, the normal trend kne of counting R u s s i a's questionable termed. the over-built condition flict—in wnich at forced draft for six long years; steel consumption' has risen at an claims. > 7 of the Steel Industry at that time, we took upon a battering hardly less destructive average annual rate of 5.4 pounds This increase has resulted large¬ If our objective is to our shoulders support per person, while the capacity tc ly from curtailed production, in than if it had been caused by an full employment at high wages, the major eco¬ produce steel has increased at an foreign countries enemy barrage. Yet without com-* and only r in. with production at the highest nomic burden annual rate of 8.2 pounds per per¬ smaller part from an increase of plaint, the Industry accepted the level in the nation's history, then of history's dual task of rehabilitation and of son, If we base our reasoning on 15% in our capacity since 1939. we are nearing the attainment ol costliest warthis premise alone, it would ap¬ continued capacity operation. David F. Austin Germany, with a prewar produc¬ that goal. If, inversely, our ob¬ made neces¬ pear that the Steel Industry has tion of 25 million tons, produced In the light of the foregoing, jective is to create a price struc¬ available today more sary the temporary sacrifice of an capacity but four million tons in 1947— average operating rate of 70% ture for steel products far beyond than is certain freedoms in order to as¬ required. But since there 16% of her prewar total. Japan, during the past two years would the sure average citizen's ability to continuing, all - embracing have constituted a creditable per¬ is considerable evidence to war¬ with a prewar production of eight freedom. This temporary sacrifice pay, vast unemployment and ulr. rant- an opposite conclusion, it million formance. To have performed <at tons, had dropped by 1947 timate we made with good cheer during lowering of our living beconies readily" apparent that we from fifth the actual) rate of 92% during place to fourteenth the war. x standards, the construction of; a must search further and examine r>7;7• "'.7 v,;v■. that period which was free front place among; the steel producing ^ greatly increased' capacity at toT the abnormalities in the present nations of the world. The distorted economy of the strikes, warrants the term *'miIn unpredictable postwar era; how¬ raculous performance" and the day's costs is the most certain way situation. •;>:; ,7;( contrast, England, with a •' to bring about such a result. ever, has led some men to believe public's highest praise of man¬ Today, any discussion of the re¬ prewar production of 14,500,000 Those of short ^memory fail to that a too-quick return to eco¬ lationship of supply and demand tons, achieved during 1947 a total agement and labor alike. was Steel Supply vs. Demand—A Continning Uiuggle . remaining in , , , ^ , < , ; . " . nomic freedom is dangerous. They believe that our ultimate' supplydemand adjustments can be fully attained only under some yet-tobe designed system of controlled Production records in industries such as the automotive, home ap¬ pliances, cans and implements, and farm tribute are a But economy. they to containers many others those industries take into consideration- the his¬ toric which fails lem in the light of the interna¬ tional situation ignores important sion that greatly factors increased capac¬ ity is warranted at this time. They ignore the fact that there was not a single peacetime year from 190C to 1939 during which the Industry was called upon to operate as still greater tribute to that industry which—in spite view. of worn tools; in spite of shortages But my concept of what should o£ manpower, scrap, coal and pig high as; 90% of capacity. There be done is not the unanimous con¬ iron; in spite of work stoppages, were but seven years, |n which cept of all American citizens. It slowdowns, and a host of other the production rate exceeded 80 % I & take 'issue are a with this point of is for this reason that I claim that retardants—turned the steel system of free, competitive enterprise, as we understand it, the out basic unprecedented employment and the largest peace¬ to support tq examine the prob¬ pattern of the demand for steel when they reach a, conclu¬ nine in which the rate was in the 70's; and ten more when the rate and erroneous inevitably conclusions. leads 15,000,000 tons. over If tc ! , output of 14,200,000, and is now producing at an annual rate; of t abroad nations devastated to be rebuilt are on sound eco¬ a nomic basis, ^without continuing practically all students ol subsidy from this country's aresupply and demand forecast a sources, then inevitably the Steel slackening Remand for many steel Industry must make a major con¬ tribution during each of the next products during the final quarter. several years. There is no option! Indeed, in late February, there On December 30, 1947, the Con¬ appeared unmistakable signs that the demand for many consumer gress enacted Public Law No,' 395. Within the Industry, earlier this year,. items was diminishing^ with in¬ (Continued on page 38) today seriously challenged, j is Tempo of World Affairs Today, as we look into the fu¬ ture, we find thq tempo of world affairs at a crescendo unparalleled our peacetime history. Unless prudently handled, the impact of coming events may well produce chaos. So that we all better under¬ stand and fully appreciate the This is not writers an Offering Circular. The Offer of these Bonds is made only by only in States in which such underwriters are qualified to act as of the Offering Circular which may be obtainedfrom any of the several under¬ dealers in securities and in which such Offering Circular may legally be distributed. means in NEW ISSUE June 9,1948 challenge, I should review for you the which the Steel Industry scope of this like to briefly $14,000,000 progress has made since war's end. Hardly had the tumult of vic¬ tory died away before the Steel Industry deleting The Kansas about the task of from its mill schedules items those' wartime no First longer required, substituting those prod¬ ucts best suited to speed the na¬ tion's return to a peacetime econr omy. ; ; ..... ~ Within month, peacetime pro¬ duction matched wartime's stride , Mortgage Twenty Year V/%% Bonds, Series B Dated June 1, 1948 ' The issue and sale of these Bonds , ; a Due June 1; 1968 • a shipments for the years 1946 and 1947 exceeded the total shipments of any like period in the Industry's peacetime his¬ tory. Discounting work stoppages in plants and mines, these two years constitute the longest peace¬ time period since the turn of the century during which the Industry operated in excess of 90% of ca¬ pacity. Had there been no work stoppages, or raw material shortages, this same period would have yielded an additional 20 million As > City Southern Railway Company set result, '" by the 7 are subject to authorization 7 : Interstate Commerce Commission. Price 100.35% and accrued interest tons of finished steel products, an impressive total one-third of a equaling almost full year's produc¬ tion, at capacity operation! Had this tonnage been added to. actual production, it might well have brought supply and demand into balance—if not in all products, certainly in many. — ; The First Boston Corporation i Dick & Merle-Smith Goldman, Sachs & Co. Laurence M. Marks & Co.' *An address by Mr. Austin be¬ fore the General Meeting of the Iron and Steel Institute, New York City, May 27, 1948. Stroud & Company Incorporated Kidder, Peabody & Co. . .. . V V _ F. S. Moseley & Co. Central Republic Company ' .■ (Incdrporated) Riter & Co. . . 10 COMMERCIAL THE (2530) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, June 10, 1943 t compared with $970,764, officers and $2.15 per common "share, for the employees entitled to participate year ended March 31, 1947. Cur¬ Illinois Brevities headed by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc $60,000,000 Illinois Bell Telephone Co. first mortgage 3% bonds, series B, due June 1, 1978, at 102.75 and interest, the net proceeds to be used towards repayment of advances by American Telephone & Telegraph?; William Blair & Co., H. M. BylCo., parent, which amounted to $99,400,000 on May 31, 1948. lesby & Co. (Inc.), Cruttenden & Other Illinois investment bankers Co., Paul H. Davis & Co., Dempwho participated in this offering sey & Co., Carter H. Harrison & Co., Mason, Moran & Co., Mc~ were Ames, Emerich & Co., Inc An underwriting syndicate Oil Common Stock A detailed and rata is ^ < position in Oil invite inquiries. book $45.97 will ceeds be added ' On June Co. Inc., award or before; July 1, share, and proceeds from the to % 1 icates, the $356,000 share maturing semi-annually Dec. 1, 1948 to June 1,1958, inelusive. immediately reoffered at prices to yield from 1.25% to 2.35%, Telephone Co. The Illinois Bell , is engaged in the largest construc¬ tion program in its history. The certificates # the on share , the on to the with or of number A banking syndicate headed tion, New York, N. V., and additional shares of Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.), and common stock at $13.50 per share including, among others, A. C. on or before May 24 was under¬ Allyn & Co., Inc., Central Re¬ written by a group of 46 invest¬ ment firms, which included, public Co. (Inc.), Julien Col¬ lins & Co. and The Illinois Co., among others, Central Republic on May 12 publicly offered 800,Co. (Inc.), Bacon, Whipple & Co. Dearborn 1501 Central Public Utility interest. and ; Illinois The Co. Corp. participated, together with five other underwriters, in this of¬ 1 Chicago, North Shore 8c * Co. Common Stock ■. •. ' ■ 4 •• '• -V\ *•: -v'-,''>;"••• • tf tf V announces Telephone that at the close of 208,S. La Salle Street CHICAGO 4 CG 95 — Nu Enamel Corp. Common " Nu Enamel Oil v : ; -i*. .. • • >• •••; _ Included Corp. Dairy William A. F uller & Co. Members of Chicago Stock Exchange 209 S. La Salle Street • Chicago 4 Tele. CG 146 Serving Investment Dealers specialize exclusively in' under¬ writing and distribution of securities, providing investment^ dealers with at¬ tractive issues for their clients. taining own, no retail department compete we dealers, but in serve no them Correspondence invited. Main¬ of way y Y' who the on group Boston 27 currently offering 150,000 shares of its class A common stock (par $30 million National Products Corp. 3% de¬ $1) to its employees, executives management personnel at our with exclusively. and $3.49 G. Becker inson & Sills, stock, Co.; Edison Co. at $26.25 dividends. and * , * .. F. Hall & serve three years. cellor Dougall Paidar, Goodbody elected serve solidated net The earnings, after Nominating Emmet G. nett & M.£ Payne, Barker, James E. Ben-' Co.; Lyman Barr, PauML & Co.; William Whipple Chapman, Farwell, T. Bacon, Co.; & Ralph Chapman ■ a decline in current net in¬ assets at March Dealer-Broker 1 Recommendations the Junior Kansas new Net operating revenue of Es¬ quire, Inc. (Chicago) and its sub¬ subscriptions, tising, newsstand sales, commercial calendar, Coro¬ of the common stock City mortgage issue. Southern r syndicate headed by Lehman Brothers and Blyth & Co.. Inc., publicly offered 680,000 shares of $5 par value common stock of $13,745,072 Buy-Products —* was ended March 31,1948, Halliburton Oil Well Cementing which is within 1V2% of the pre¬ vious year's revenue, the highest share. for the year repay . Street, Newark 2, N. J. Standard On May 12, an'underwriting ^ . " j share. per Films and Esky net Instructional * - * * Y ;\'■ in the company's history. V Net Link-Belt Co., Chicago, is of¬ profits, after Federal taxes, were fering 11,845 shares of its com- $342,388, or 76 cents per common ■ . ■ Co. of Duncan, Okla., at $25 per The Oil of New Jersey— Analysis and outlook—Ira Haupt ■A: Co., Ill Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. ' , Transcontinental & Western Air, — Analysis and summary — John H. Lewis & Co., 63 Wall Inc. Chicago bankers in this offering A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc., Bacon, Whipple & Co., A. G. Street, New York 5, N. Y. Becker & Co., Inc., Central Re¬ ysis—Crowell, Weedon & Co., 650 South Spring Street, Los Angelesi Altorfer Brothers Company • "« y Illinois & Kebbon, ser. The net proceeds will go to ! selling stockholders. (Continued on page Southern 14, Calif, Co.,; The McCor¬ . , Oil Co.—Anal¬ • ! Wisconsin , Arcady Farms Milling Company Booth Fisheries Corporation 'Capitol Records, Incorporated y\ :y % Colorado Milling & Elevator Company 1 Foote Brothers Gear & Machine Corporation Bowser Chapman Co., Utah mick & Co. and Straus & Blos- \ vs. Electric BRITISH Hart Carter Company Mac Whyte Company Common SOUTH AFRICAN Rath Packing Company Detroit Harvester Rockford Machine Tool Company BONDS—SHARES ./V Snap-On Tools. Corporation • : r ; Uarcp, Incorporated United Printers & Publishers, Incorporated Viking Pump Company. . MetalsDisintegrating ; . Bought — Sold — Quoted • • ..-*v , .Common BOUGHT — SOLD — QUOTED ZIPPIN STRAUS & BLOSSER New York Stock Exchange Membera Chicago Stock Exchange Associate Member New York Curb 185 South La SaUe St., Chicago 8, HL Tel. ANDover 5700 Tele. CO 650-651 . AC.AUSN«»CdMESNY & COMPANY Specialists in Foreign Securities 208 S. La Salle St., Chicago 4, Illinois Incorporated Chicago Telephone Randolph 4696 New York Boston Milwaukee Minneapolis Omaha Co. —Circular—Josephthal & Co., 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. 46) i Wisconsin Power & Light Co; v 1 . Power Gisholt Machine Company Common Central Paper j were: Farwell, INDUSTRIAL COMMON STOCKS - participating Co. (Inc.), Julien' Col¬ lins & Co., Paul H. Davis & Co., . Common .: Obligations, and public ■: - Common V (Continued from page 8) Central's 810 Broad $16.47 was .. Portsmouth Steel & $3.05 per common the previous year. Total - 1949 Harry or substantially to a new all-time high. "However," the company states, "because of increased op¬ erating costs and expenses, due largely to rising labor levels, come." ! ^ elected were Chairman, Webster, Marsh & Co.; year ended states that con¬ Sales for the year again increased was year.1 following Committee: shares outstanding, compared with there J. wfere members of the Board to one charges and Federal income fyaxes, Davis amounted to $2,703,836, or $2.70 Bacon, per share 9h 1 million common $3,047,084, share, for Co. Chi¬ Printing Co., 1948, 31, Leonard & v.. : in its report for March Sills, Messrs. Chan¬ and members of the ! , H. & Co., Inc., were elected members of the Board, to share per William Minton book value sidiaries from all sources—adver¬ bank loans, which at May 26, 1948 amounted to $13 million. Chicago Membera A* Southeastern Public Service Co," —Circular—C. D. Robbins & Co., capital. (Inc.), A. Co., Inc., William & Co., Kebbon, McCormick & Co., Ames, Emerich & Co., Inc., Bacon, Whipple & Co.,. Julien Collins & Co., The Illi- / nois Co. and Mitchell, Hutchins & Co. The net proceeds will be used to pay for capital expendi¬ & 120 South La Salle Street * Baird, Co.; John R. Burdick; Chapin Newhard, Newhard, Cook & Co. (St. Louis, Missouri); Samp¬ son Rogers, Jr., McMaster, Hutch¬ liabilities of $4,823,314, with; a re¬ sultant ratio of 2.93 to 1. The payable Central Republic Co. "■ n, in share, per G. Becker to cumulative - Blair and o 31, 1948 were $14,135,383, against total current and accrued ceeds will be added to working tures s monthly instalments over a pe¬ riod of 10 years. The net pro¬ Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.), A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc., were: FLOYD D. CERF CO. , Corpora¬ preference offered 162,435 shares Domestic Credit Corp. is also r reelected members were $25, of Southern California par W. of May convertible y'v-. cago, terest We : e (par $1) at $8 per share, for ac¬ bentures due 1970 at 102 and in¬ Tel. Dearborn 5G00 * of Bareco Oil Co. common stock loans amounted among underwriters offered Common » ... V '•* $1,800,000 and that "it is the count of Phillips Petroleum Co. intention of the company to prey* {f * 'J' pay the bank loans' by issuing se¬ i.JOn May 10, Domestic -. Credit curities of a permanent character at "a ' futurev date." At Dec.; 31, Corp.,; Chicago, entered into hn 1947, there were also outstanding agreement for the private sale of $5,750,000 of first mortgage bonds, $1,250,000 of its 4% sinking fund series A, maturing 3%% series, due July 1, 1974. It is debentures, planned to borrow additional April 1, 1958, the net proceeds to be used to replace an equivalent amounts from banks pending the amoiint of current bank borrow¬ permanent financing. ❖ % ryyy'^y'y ings. Brailsford & Co. —TRADING MARKETS First '■■■■ 1947 additional funds obtained by short term bank .'V publicly to Tel. State 9868 The 000 shares of 4.56% Kebbon, McCormick & Co. and associates, including Ames, Emerich & Co., on May 19 ;:.;y y Commercial Illinois Milwaukee Railway ; by 422,467 and Julien Collins & Co. fering. o Paine, Webber, : Jackson S. - and Mullaney, Wells & Co. also Income 5{4*^-l®52 & Curtis Andrew M. which pub¬ licly offered $19 million of first mortgage bonds, series B, 3%, due May 1, 1978, of The Narragansett Electric Co. at 102.39 Salle St. Hargrave & CHICAGO 4, yJL, Teletype CG 055 T h P. "' , common Comstock & Co. for and Reuben Homer 93 cents per stockholders of National Gypsum Co. of record May 10 to subscribe banking syndicate Hutch ins & Co.; George F. Noyes,; the Illinois Co.; shares, for the year of the Board, to serve three years. ended April 30, 1947. Current as¬ Mr. John J. Griffin was reelected sets at April 30, 1948 amounted to a member of the Board, to serve $11,232,024, while current liabil¬ one year.. y >.'■y':.; ;•. Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. also on June 3 headed an investment 231 So. La Robert A. now compares ities totaled $5,329,620. offering Exchange held, June 7. Gardne r, M i t c hell, shares same Annual the common were according to maturity. The the ■ common outstandings This a net of $1,419,226, each payment of advances from the company then out¬ « the Election of ended April 30, 1948, after charges and Federal income taxes, was $2,420,931, equal to $2.55 per Pacific & DD, June 3 year Chicago, 2% equipment trust certif¬ series * • of ernors Net profit of Peabody Coal Co and its subsidiaries for the fiscal Halsey, Stuart & Milwaukee, St. Paul RR. .v the Chicago Stock Exchange at share, which per of Board of Gov¬ invest¬ on Merrill Chairman General Motors Corp. -, won reelected was were of list of Lynch, Pierce, Fehner & Beane, offered for the account of were * $7,120,000 the share) at $12,75 pro¬ Working and associates of in Homer P. - partner ; publicly offered 1,000,061 shares of North American Aviation, Inc. capital stock (par $1 per * sub¬ net Julien Collins & Co. ment bankers which 31, 1947 was The standing. Approximate Market %Vi and included of American your Davis & Co., Bacon, Whipple & shares share. per value CHICAGO, ILL. Co., Central Republic Co. (Inc.) 31,1948. The expires The book value of the the shares as of Dec. capital. of such shares toward re¬ Glore, Forgan & Co., Paul II. of Dec. as sell April 1, 1949. to apply the Exploration. Company com-; and on for to 1948 at par, $100 per sale stock shareholders to scription to interested Investment Bankers. mon offer the Hargrave Heads Cgo Stock Exchange Board Hargrave, On all shares sold after than March 31, 1948 $4,460,027, asv against $1,275,220. amounted to 31, jl948 and prior to April 1,. 1949, the sale price will in no case less at assets current liabilities of Dec. be shares of its common stock pro ita River Oil Corporation, We maintain a Telephone rent Provisional Compensation Plans of the com¬ pany or its subsidiaries. The in¬ itial offering price is $46 per share, which price is subject to change by action of the board of directors. as or Additional the jCo., 99.31% owned by its parent, also intends to offer 389,995 Wich¬ its 'controlled affiliate available Bell infor¬ mation of this company, now Illinois The descriptive bulle¬ tin, giving up to date in Mul- the shares Co., laney, Wells & Co., Alfred O'Gara & Co., Patterson, Copeland & Kendall, Inc., Robert Showers, Welsh, Davis & Co. and 'F, S. Yantis & Co., Inc. Exploration Company , & Hutchinson Master selected group of a June 3 publicly offered on share, stock (without par value) to mon Teletype CG 451 f Volume 167 Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE ideas 1X1 >•: ■ i \ ...... ( i, ( , , . President of General Motors r i • lem t as (a) Leading auto concern executive lists as essentials for efficient production: (1) application of tecEnology; (2) cooperation of employees; and (2) uninterrupted flow of material and parts. Says indus^ ;* try faces, among other things, lack of clarity in labor laws and lack of recognized criteria by which' ; fair wages can be determined. Explains General Motors Wage Agreement and says inflation is current problem in . the The first is the effective It include better of ployment. prod¬ ages, this It cludes This is ootn tne prosperity resulting from the important, aftermath of the ma¬ with loses his hour of work will nation's increase industrial improves. • processes. These proposals are feel that only employees ployer lose. And the as . the what is /, hour's work; designee these objec¬ them. Strikes shortages ; pioyees and on retired persons living incomes and pensions. ' :, ; •„ > ( in guarantee ... , the years. are an effective of steadily increasing hourly buying power for GM em¬ ployees. .We make them with the full knowledge that we are placing our faith in the future stability and progress of America; ' consumer j What nation's - (c)-holding out higher liv¬ over ,These proposals ceed if more gains of productive effi¬ That is how the standard only we propose can we suc¬ be assured of sta¬ can ble and cooperative relations with, ous our l (10) The problems of bringing supply ; into line with.. demand nomic demands have been re¬ over the years. This trend has through greater production.^ In fused,. no solution reached, and given American workers the high¬ have to be such conditions as exist today, work is continuing under a more est standard of living enjoyed by C. E; Wilson done to destrikes are recognized. as • being or less temporary basis with labor workers anywhere.. His hour ol V1' u ^ v ; liver finished inflationary as they create addi¬ dissatisfied, or large and impor¬ work buys more things than an products to the tant strikes have been authorized customer, begin¬ tional ' shortages^:'^^-'/.^.; v hour of work anywhere »else Jr. ning with the raw materials. and are now going on. It is clear the world."v v.V-;-.' C;The second essential of efficient General Motors Wage Agreement that the men who represent in¬ j What must be questioned and production is the cooperation of The agreements recently con¬ dustry are risking much in their weighed quite carefully in the employees. Such ny to him of a ing standard out the doing all the things that prices; assurance During recent months in vari¬ ciency. bargaining sessions through-^ of living of workers has beer country either labor's eco¬ brought to new and higher levels, ,.t fluctuations" in (b) against consumer prices have rapidly than theii hourly earnings. .It has: been the record of the past that workers share in the advanced ana * Inflation Factors , the fact that protecting that standard contention that GM workers have been placed at a disadvantage' by more inflation. more em¬ real for¬ nomic position by (a) making up losses in the buying power of an j The facts, as reviewed, may be interpreted to support the Union's -country with additional result in and whole along create S they have won. relative matter as a a step. They would strengthen and improve the GM worker's eco¬ were deal with both of to is ward efficiency *' , worker time. The Union has indicated that its economic demands the years of an improved standard living; (4) That the relations between, management and labor be stabi¬ lized over a substantial period of consumer the . adminiso between as war elements of the popula¬ tion, workmen, farmers, stock¬ holders, businessmen,-'and- other self-employed, government em" includes ti a various.. improved org anization r a may bidding up of prices. ,(9) The distortion in relative which to make the parts. It and- period of short¬ better chinery In total purchasing power results in in¬ tools and industrial our hour an tives. v.". design the uct. t application of technology to all of power prices. The problem of assuring the worker that the buying power oi * s The problem of maintaining (b) ; The security, prosperity and well-being of Americans importantly depend on the effi¬ cient production of American industry. There 'are three essentials of such efficient pro¬ duction. of work—in in period of assured other words, pro¬ tecting the worker from increases settlements. Offers four proposals to reestablish, protect, improve and stabilize buying power of hour-of-work, and lays down formula for wage adjustments. < a dual one: purchasing of v/age yi of a 11 (3) Improve the buying power an hour of work so that over be prob¬ ■ ■ y * might The Union now ahd in the past has interpreted the worker's J • think we helpful. By C. E. WILSON* ■ that (2531) employees. ■ For. this reason proposals must hinge- upon our willingness to enter into your . an Agreement to remain, in force for a long-term period. Assurance of . cooperation and' stability over this, period is <• essential if our em¬ ployees are to realize the benefits . proposals represent. our : We sincerely eral cooperation <be expected the basis of on cluded can day's pay for a fair day's work. It also involves willingness On the of employees to accept and tools new and processes be other., .The third terrupted flow free parts essential of of . is material interference the use »> , prices am going to confine my re¬ marks today to the second essen¬ tial—employee cooperation. wages. the all A' complete • A2) The high cost of food to, heavy exports required to the peoples of Western ,,'V v . y sure our on food supply created mands .subjects You have listened of to de¬ your situation as you over point of view. ably presented labor's and your have We case. j carefully reviewed strikes such as spring of 1946. to thing for us "No" say demands to union and be leaving all of the we should share of, Specifically: our possible solu¬ a. as problems,, pro¬ cjv; worker has lost through in¬ in consumer prices during and since the a on sound to be made up Protect the buying power of an hour consumer of work against changes prices, by making cost-of-living adjustments peri¬ odically during the life of the con¬ the whole situation we-have some tion is If this sugges¬ adopted,- the committee representing General Motors will - consist of four people!- be met. t < :, ■. - agreement tinder the Taft-Hartley Law, and similar matters. *?&;'[* li* ;/r * r/- side was concluded with the in the early Tuesday morning, May 25, and with the electrical work¬ of about ers, noon on This announcement is not *'./;♦ - . Perhaps the most dramatic part of the settlement (Continued - . „. 'r . _ an offer to sell or a solicitation of an Was - - • ; > - . \ iaillllli'1 $2,500,000 ^ -fMiSffiS: ■ 1 other on -17) The importance taining and improving ciency of production. >'iU/(8) The problems main¬ of the effi¬ ; created by of ; < The excess accumulated the form of purchasing-power during war the war bonds and in other savings currently competes" for goods and services with the n»rchasing .power of workmen cur¬ rently created through their . ' ' em- disagreement. All of - • - labor k Commerce, Rochester, N. Y., June 2, 1948.; have us had experience with effect ; aftermath and power and strikes thorize a is the as we many war. be and of rieht and Likewise, V' ■■i'fi: f: ' v"' . ""'"K • ~ v-f A ilI* ,A"! J Clue June 1, 1978 ' i^. :?■•". £'•?'' ■ '•* '/t:r *:<■■■. . 'a" ■ v-.'» J "'•••v.. j •' .".1 :• ,v to au¬ necessary men f. J yy , . • . Price 100.99% and accrued interesty - "'r 7 *•' The Prospectus may be obtained in any State in, which this announcement is circulated only from ffyff.the undersigned and such other dealers as may .lawfully offer, these securities■ in such State. j 'j" •' ':Ms'' thing HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. know, of;, the over •' • ' know, that big strikes have Some •- the think that thisyou Dated-June 1, 1948 r' r f,- Bonds, 3% Series due 1978 strikes.. strike of General Motors you First Mortgage • f' have the responsibility employees if r: Company first-hand We know that you men to do. -,*An address by Mr. Wilson be¬ fore the Rochester Chamber of and ' * .- ' , California Electric ^ower the. economics on of the whole, nation.. This is true whether the next few days' delib¬ erations result in agreement : or , inflation and the necessity avoiding additional inflation. industries in fact, groups; same - aspects as a day the conflict wil) and one party or "the on page offer to buy these securities. The offering is made only by the Prospectus, - General?. Motors management on, the other) face some very important decisions not (6) The lack of recognized cri¬ teria hy which fair wages could only as they affe.ct-the.-equities be\ determined in collective bar¬ of General Motors and-Vthe em¬ gaining with unions, especially ployees you represent, but. through during a period of inflation. y.\' example, the effect of ours action Thursday, May 27. , the and • automobile workers * to the developments in our country in the last few months it is now clear that this group (you men representing labor on one over - Starting Saturday, May 22, and in continuing sessions, adjourning" only for a minimum of sleep, the " tract;; presentations and demands.]";; CWe realize that time is running Out, that you have dates that must UDue . • hours basis; in this responsibil¬ war orable settlement. future We creases ,1 (2) your all ; of tion of a (1) the careful review of a for ' future as Re-establish the, buying poicer of an hour of work on a fair basis—in other words, what , re¬ ity and after In order to expedite exploration of: these ideas towards stability, desirability the pose, ■■- We believe you.- and strength. 7 amine into these proposals as well progress. disastrous series of strikes.' This would of-Ameriea, * : a and the its members would be sponsibility with build the^ prosperity j realistic and practical ap¬ as^ other matters, with an equiva¬ proach to the problem as it af¬ lent small committee representing' fects our employees take into ac¬ General Motors, to see if they pro¬ count both the need for stability vide the. basis- foe a fair and hon¬ for patient and would not precipitate a Junt in progress. work to greater foundation position generally taken- by many other important (employers and 'hope that with better crops this sum¬ mer the cost of living would go down, that in the meantime your , ■ force great a The suggestions we have to offer is need -we. now economic your J be we suggest thf*t your group approve a much smaller committee to frankly, ex¬ What Perhaps the eas¬ to do would be following v sensitive to influences, of all types curred in 4he fall of 1945 and the iest the Problem . also type of industrial states¬ manship needed now when, in an uncertain world, it is the respon¬ sibility of all citizens to help ;j The war and its aftermath have made our economy extremely oc¬ gone such matters as union security, employee pension and insurance* plans, union liability jng ' disastrous UAW-CIO be the GM's Suggestions for Resolving mine not peacefully con¬ cluded during the next six weeks, of the - collective of the and problerp from by bargaining, for example, bargain-* the and and promoting economic stability and progress in the nation. It would „ . if who represent labor see the men food exports.- pulsory! also have presentation your Our national policies of col¬ lective bargaining. r . . , > ywfljj-The lackiof jclarity in our labor laws as to what are com¬ * the We . (4) / differences our point of view and dis¬ problems as we see our them. , v resolve cussed (3) The high cost of living re¬ sulting from the shortages of all kinds of goods and from the pres- J to sented due save . - living. We know that the negotiations just starting between the United ; to reached how it also Workers would this problem and have certain conclusions or might be resolved. A broad outline of these conclusion* follows: ' dy: .". J J.j. Vv - '■ eration agreement a contract that the relations be¬ tween your union and General Motors. ' We have frankly pre¬ Europe from starvation. At at1 controversy and agree : on would improve real shortages created by the lack of production during the ' groups—is time feel that if Gen¬ reach only be a tremendous forward step in industrial relations but as realization to in the increased cost of ; concerned- theapproach to a of. these objectives. I We have given, careful consid¬ labor same Mine all agreement based on these objectives that it would not well as demands, for increased We subscribe to the im¬ Owners, by of other economic workers employees face effort Wt.(D The i saying. "No" interests best reducing portance of this point of view. - which cases real problems the are understanding of what "occurred can only be obtained from this y iPresent Industrial ProblemsrvVstatement, so here it is. \ in developing the subject and We have had 37 bargaining ses¬ as a background for my further sions with your committee in an remarks, I will attempt to identify principal problems industry faces today. and their qn some infla¬ realize the very matters v" I the in further will affect adversely all industry of all and the nation. ; Perhaps jthis between about; the ylast the parties was made possible by group, here has Chance to reach a. fair and real¬ a statement by General Motors to istic agreement of the right thing the Unions, madeon \ Friday, to do and prevent another round May 21. A full appreciation and artificial ;. • me suffi¬ — prevent we ■*' of materials on and labor.: to seems agreements the; actions of the particular parties.:; t " J; W * •;y from Restrictions :yy It tion to influenced and or these can efforts ciently important to discuss them a case example of an effort to solve some of these problems at least in part, especially those problems that may be importantly ; industry-wide strikes workers, and as unin¬ an Motors by the impact these; 10 prob¬ on today. of that sibilities of both management and labor. It requires confidence of each "party in the v. have may lems and qualify for new and different jobs, y It requires a clear understanding of the rights and respon¬ , automobile fairly judged they to - General the electrical workers' unions part use the and fair a between Motors can - i 1948 the other t tr 1 ■T 37) new _ ' 12 THE (2532) The COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE The American Copper Outlook By JOHN A. DAN A HER* ■ New York ^ /■/, s Attorney, Washington, D. €. • ; ,-. Thursday, June 10, 1948 . American *-■' copper demand and consequent threatened shortages of metal, Mr. Danremoval of 4-cent import tax on crude copper be made permanent. Holds we should import as much copper as possible and thus conserve domestic supply for emergencies in case of interference with our shipping lanes. Decries subsidy proposals to stimulate domestic production. aher urges temporary " A of Commerce "Statement of American Economic Principles," designed to specific contribution to. understanding of the American capi¬ talistic economy, was adopted unanimously June 3 by the Chamber make a of Commerce of the State of New York at its 65 the situation confronting American industry had assumed most serious proportions. During the war, approximately 40% of all available copper had gone to munitions, in one form or other. Our domestic production fell far short of meeting over a year ago, to all American consumers would time demands, la production r.„e have the 1946, only taled million Serious work cents stop- pages had the tailed - ourselves/ Under his industry rallied to the support of his proposal. Mr. C. E. Wilson of the General Electric Danaher A. John cur- The govern¬ ment in 1946 from its own stocks the Committee Ways on House and informed Company^ , production. The leaders of pound. per American resulted in had leadership, legislation was intro¬ duced looking toward the repeal of the import excise tax of four in than less 1945. Means: is continued and the is forced up to made it available to industry. the world price, plus the present jHowever, commencing in Novem¬ excise tax, it will not be bene¬ ber of 1946, the Metals Reserve ficial even for the copper indus¬ Company ceased making new try, because it will cause substi¬ commitments, and what had been tutions and postponements of :a stock pile of 500,000 tons of projects which are urgently in American copper as of Jan. 1, 1946, by needed industry." March 31, 1947, had been reduced He continued in his statement: •supplied 657,000 some tons "If this duty and price of only 7,000 tons. Incidentally, particular residue still re¬ mains and is available, but un¬ copper to ". .that obtain the amounts required from will doubtedly utilized be as part of our national defense stock pile. With an anticipated demand for amounting 1947 to an ex¬ pected 1,400,000 tons and a maxitnum expected domestic produc¬ tion of it approximately 900,000 tons, obvious became that our na¬ . If we . . not are able to foreign sources it will mean cut¬ ting back prodirction-dn about the same ratio a£ our copper supply is to our copper requirements Shortage of copper would limit the manufacture of appliances for . the home such small and . . apparatus, controls, heating devices which motors, as units similar and tional deficit of 500,000 tons of are incorporated in* widely used popper had to be eliminated electrical products such as refrig¬ through imports. There stood erators, bil burners, farm freezer the barrier of $80 per ton which, units and machine tools. These added if would lowed to the have promptly by import been fol¬ domestic the price, are only which and a part of the disturbance would result from an in¬ adequate supply of copper." Offi¬ of theJTord Motor Company price. cials 31, 1949. . once It is for there should tion be rier to the availability for Amer¬ ican industrial use of an adequate supply of essential an mate¬ raw rial which cannot produced for domestically be quantities sufficient in needs. our * Danaher before meeting of the Na¬ Address by Mr. imported cop¬ per was suspended? The Metals Reserve Company in the RFC in March fixed a price of 21V2 cents the remaining cop¬ per held for sale. When the Sus¬ on pension $ Act became effective April 29, 1947, American import¬ ers began bringing in the sorely needed copper. With the excep¬ tion of a brief period when prices slightly/the prevailing price throughout 1947 and down to the rose present time has been 21V2 cents the annual tional Association of Purchasing Agents, New York City, June 1, of in the view the of fact that In maxi¬ our production of primary cop¬ per in 1$47 was only 871,000 tons, while we used 1,350,000 tons, it mum becomes of the that obvious four cents tribution the of suspension excise imports by Congress curtailment production of a million auto? mobiles. of 1948. result the The cumulative shortage of effect copper on and levy a was highest on con¬ order. will we faced be with the annual necessity of bringing into in the neighborhood 500,000 tons of foreign copper. this country for as will have consumers that foreign the tries to pay as much other coun¬ copper in consumers willing to pay for it. our major industries find it indispensable. The auto¬ motive industry, the building in¬ are Three Distributors of dustry and the electric industry simply must have copper, and the latter, of course, will include the production Dealers electric as transmission of and light as well and power the innumerable types of elec¬ and INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES American principles to the eco¬ problems of this economic age," he added. to 15% arises from "People safe¬ to development the of country consumers one of into goes a the to¬ unexpected decline, copper demand will remain high, ap¬ proximately 115,000 to 120,000 tons per month. tally A to Members New York Stock Exchange 115 Broadway • New York 6, N. Y. products and services, thus determining what is produced and the volume of production. (7) There should be able to factor second our of consideration importance of the con¬ tinued demand for copper derives from our participation in the Eu¬ ropean Recovery Plan. It is ex¬ pected that over the projected life of ERP, we will be called upon to provide at least between and 60,000 tons of participating copper. nations ..(Continued 55,000 abroad on page 39) made avail¬ the consuming public an ever-increasing variety of goods of the most acceptable quality at the lowest possible prices. ; (8) Government is the servant of the people—not their master. It should be used only to further (9) The cost of % government should be held at the lowest pos¬ sible level consistent with effi¬ cient and economical performance The statement set forth 10 below listed prin¬ the nation's sponsible for the standing economic which should which of only those functions which be¬ ernment. be re¬ out¬ and the nation's govern The points needed emphasis and that strong definite should abuses to be in corrected order strengthen it work make and The the statement following the even was system better in signed by of the members chamber committee: B. M. Grant, Oil Co., Chair¬ Coppers, President, National Biscuit Co.; Earle S. Thompson, President, West Penn Electric Co.; LeRoy A. Van Bomel, President,, National Dairy Prod¬ Socony ucts Vacuum George man; and/John E. Raasch, President, John Wanamaker, Inc. justice in sharing of the burden1, and use Statement of Principles* (1) Every American is entitled to the fullest and most least serious rewarding it does not contravene the broad (2) An adequate reward, wheth¬ it be wages, salary, or return on investment, is the most effec¬ tive incentive nomic continued to progress. /, : eco¬ ; / (3) The worker is entitled to . a fair should be able to look forward to economic security in his job, and when he through in view to the a economic sions upon overall repercus¬ functioning of the economic system. (10) : Except in time of war or other national emergency, govern¬ ment should not take regarded are over or en¬ in activities which generally gage within as the ex¬ clusive province of private indus¬ Government try. competitive limited sorted the regulation business to should and only in public tected in of should be enforcing rules of fair to competition, interest be re¬ in which cases be can pro¬ other way. no 7 : Mannheimer-Egan, Inc. In New Quarters /) ; ST. of his abilities and services by engaging in the business or occu¬ pation of his own choice, so long as especially with of those taxes which have the Co., The use view a greatest possible equity and progress economic life in the future. system's similarly should the population with upon committee felt that the American more Taxes maintained at the lowest pos¬ to the through educational processes." intimidation from any source. He major Langley & Co. different sible levels. They should be levied how guard the continued progress and activity, unless \ (6) Consumer preference should determine the relative values of is therefore, sue, are living wage, to be determined by individual or collective bar¬ gaining free from compulsion or but spon¬ inconsistent long within the province of gov¬ er 11% its or not interested in pure fundamental economics of the theory of demo¬ cratic capitalism; their interest lies in whether the system is the best system for them. The big is¬ mately 11% of our copper demand will go to the automotive lines, building needs, while nearly 50% of the copper demand is from the electric industry. The balance of our copper demand is widespread, and copper consumption is closely form wholly the general public interest. linked with the level of business W. C. is PAUL, becomes no unemployed fault of his own, and the most dustry productive results in in¬ in business. They and from Chamber are State of New of Commerce York, Street, N. Y. 5, N. Y. 65 of Liberty the beautiful quarters in the more honor of the is new distributing chain and In offices, the firm "Redipen"; key a ball point pen manu¬ factured by Brown & Bigelow; of Minneapolis, and also a combiMf tion key and nickel holder marked for "her" and The firm, lished in 1931, acts ing ' for "him." which 'was' estab¬ distributors as participat¬ dealers and ; ir]i railroad, public utility, industrial, issues and and investment bank tnist insurance and stocks. With (Special Dayton Bond Corp. to The DAYTON, The Mann¬ announce First National Bank Building. and ^Captions only of each section. Text of full explanation available — removal of their offices to larger municipal his old age. (4) Management, labor, and the government should do everything within their power to bring about MINN. , heimer-Egan, Inc., public interest. from its of sorship, in¬ terpretation of the application of nomic strict conflicts (5) Unregulated monopoly, irre¬ spective a believe. to "The statement is really an tric equipment and appliances for homes and industry, r Approxi¬ PUBLIC UTILITY, RAILROAD called "a was the future than it has in the past, stabilized. the foreseeable future there¬ after Our — been challenge of sound business thinkers to bury their minor dif¬ ferences in opinion and agree upon a broad statement of prin¬ ciples in which most forward looking business people have Throughout the balance of 1948 of Underwriters had first committee believed have been 40,000 tons per month. of copper was would the statement, about the Committee that the copper V that ciples, 20,000 of which said tee, whenever with the American way of life. a pound. Our imports over the intervening months have averaged informed tons Grant "declaration," to the ability cents excise tax on Not only were the needs of Amer¬ ican industry met but the price of the . lack Obviously, tjie cost of all copper M. -/ happened when the four per pound year's commit- the B. come What more a of subject. i my bar¬ no arise. study belief actually should repeal the excise tax rather than merely suspend its imposi¬ impartiality repre¬ / B. M. Grant, /Chairman Of the American economy. that Congress our government should maintain than ' Undoubtedly, date, to prevent can developing and to clashes of interest. The sented sus¬ before Congress will act again for the protection of that everything they reconcile ments, four cents per pound until March would find tons emergency Inter¬ on Improve- pended the import excise tax of been pointing American industry the straits in which we to out serious 604,000,. tons, nearly a quarter of a the of by Commit- nal Trade and Congress acted promptly in the face do conflicts from tee , actively in mini¬ mizing the stresses and strains on the economic system. They should the industry all but stag¬ the imagination, the uses oi being so widespread. for months some about Chair¬ Cop¬ Dallas, and Brass Incorporated, per to¬ sources Donald of the Board of Revere man t i c;s s C. Mr. from do me was — should cooperate sponsored ; American gers The statement, copper creased. of fined copper in¬ correspondingly been monthly meeting at Liberty^- which <$- war¬ our "Statement of a Principles", designed • to challenge business thinkers to bury their differences. Street. A little issues Economic Formerly U. S. Senator from Connecticut Forecasting continued heavy Capitalistic Economy State Chamber Spencer Dayton is was now Chronicle) — Otto affiliated R. with Bond tional Bank he Financial OHIO. an Corp., .Third Na¬ Building. In the past officer I Acceptance Corp. of the Estate - * Volume 167 THE Number 4706 COMMERCIAL & depression Land Values > She Commenting on rising land values, Mr. Babson gives as reasons r buying: (1) mortgage indebtedness is reaching danger i point; (2) threats of surplus farm and * industrial production; (3) decline in buying power of farmers; and (4) recovery of j European fma Action. ings year.; "• . .The facts are that Government'- "E" a bonds. / DON'T cost of living. - & j ; To HeW dif¬ in ferent sections of the .r try. farm val¬ fairly near ly their value but farms, divisions, etc. This to pasture land There seems to demand for also be in Montclair dent of the Golf your up debts. mortgages and so Then put and machinery you can go your other into buildings good Co., shape Inc., who is in charge Better than 75 of activities dinner in the eve¬ association, presiding.; will sport competition the be awarded winners at that time. The group will then enjoy of the Louis-Walcott fight by tele¬ vision. the day's in general arrangements. through the next younger The * ■ - - association sociated in partment. Mr. Ludlam j'. G. White & Co. and Rollins H. & Co. which .,/• y,;/ however, is being land Laboratory Of course, a value not it of farm raise can is penses, and this of the upon \r>-< crops which will pa.y a fair rate of in¬ terest on the land after all ex¬ •irt •'V. V', ?, t ? * -h't, * '* \ /• ' .}«, , > V / V ' /. / / Nation —Of The well as the wages and other expenses as v' •TV" depends course price received, .• t ■y, which must be paid. .. >/c a. City and Town Property The - Federal Reserve in Bank Washington is especially disturbed at the continuous loans gage on climb in mort¬ city and town prop¬ erty^,This is probably due in part to the activity of the Federal Loan and Savings Banks in soliciting mortgages. Certainly this should be curbed at the present time. /Is for wrong A to loans on climbing during be zoology—almost anything from,;'/ or Z—you 11 find scientists working in laboratories Island mortgage real estate to a It Whether it's airplanes, atoms Long on studying how and why things happen. ( period in which business loans dropping off steadily and are being reduced. ./ ;;'//■ are But these laboratories didn't just happen Long Island. They're on ... These ings Federal Banks Loan be must and Sav¬ careful be part of a vicious circle whereby some day the property, upon which they are now loaning anteed bv hands. a houses at government, into government policy will selling of will vided the right then —where the tempo now pays even of business routine is less wearing. genial suburban area ?|{ ' which four definite are people should consider before further prices for In this owners, con- there is ample opportunity for concentration on research.; . We are preparing tories located on a . , 5 « , brochure telling about Long Island and what they many are of the labora¬ doing. We think v. you Reasons for Beingr Cautious There of home $10,- estate in the '30s could, easily re¬ peat in the. '50s. will find it quite interesting, ; Send and we us your name and address reasons carefully bidding up will be glad to mail you a copy. kind of real estate. any These reasons are as follows: - (1) The upward trend in mort¬ gage indebtedness, which in some - localities is reaching a / . products and of even surplus certain */■ farm higher level of production. (3) The recent downward trend :in the buying power both of far¬ mers due to lower prices of farm BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT LONG ISLAND LIGHTING COMPANY manu¬ factured goods due to the present : ADDRESS: dangerous point. (2)> Threats * thinking is clearer, living is happier and healthier and be is entirely- possible that what hap/pened to city and small town real • pro¬ atmosphere for precise, reliable experimentation selling in the open market for $5,000 or even less. It // Along the Sunrise Trail is these auction, the houses for which the veteran 000 reason/ the government's the If adopts good in part guar¬ are the back come a not to and which loans located there for MINEOLA, N. Y., prior with thereto which they cannot pay cash, be¬ lieving that sooner or later a crash is coming,; due to am inevitable or was formerly with mortgage. They are very much opposed, at the present time, for farmers to buy land for ultimate withy in on whether ii trading de-y sub- decline in farm prices. d now as-/; them E. formed was lam is on the & A.,;Ludr\: of the Ag¬ with -, t h a»t nounce selling far above sensible price. has St.r eet,New?i York City, an-J Paul Prizes Montclair; New Jersey. The date was / announced by Stanley Russell, Jr.* of- Blyth & pay a transport ning with Philip Moore of Schro¬ der, Rockefeller & Co., Inc., presi¬ Wednesday, on the there will be Brokers r o v/ n e abnormal an The special concern riculture Department, connection earnings first to outing </• 23, 'at; the Club and Reillyv 52 IValH cities. for "bottom land" in many cases is June Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Following will hold its second annual .j of (formerly the Junior and 1947 . applies small near ////, H Association B as rather value your to Invest York Association) are bnorma 1 high. They are selling not on speculative /Use special event is being man¬ by Sydney Duffy of Blyth Co., Inc. Roger Gilmartin of Beane is taking care of tation to the outing. , large cities producing How Qtfiig; Investment Investment Bankers .coun¬ ues Babson New products and manufactured gopds in order to be independent of lis. Probably the a .The of Twee d y, A aged Merrill ' , Spring other games. of ' the industrial due to the increase big these same in children in KEEP THESE IN YOUR: HOUSE. (4) The fact that, a large pro^ increases in. portion of the money now being land [ values sent to Europe will be used to aid .are : not the Europe * to produce more.farnji bought your : and population , a bathroom. , May 3 of this products their education give the at festivities, which Vvill begin present about 220 members from 9.&0 in the morning, accord¬ some 90 Wall Street firms. Aver¬ ing to Mr. Russell. Golf will be the feature of the day for many of age age of the current member¬ those attending and there will also ship is 31, with approximately be tennis competition and other 90% veterans of World War II. games. Robert Baldwin of Mor¬ gan, Stanley & Co., is handling golf arrangements and Julian Hemphill of Hemphill, Noyes & Co./ is in charge of the tennis. Arne Fuglestad of White, Weld & Go./is handling the scheduling of Be liberal with your and in Wall Street will take part 13 at agriculture, mechanics or business. Above all, have a good savings bank account or a safe deposit box of U. S. against the purchase of more property at present prices.. Readers are disturbed by the chart which appeared, on page. 79 of "Time j. > Magazine" for<^ Roger much. so useful also . and church The Agriculture Department in Washington is putting out warnjas to the high prices of farm land. Their agents are advising .. kitchen (2533) in the patient, and thrifty for during the hard times; she is getting older; and cannot now do men was you -for cautious any mainte¬ this, give your by buying her a After break a modern ' ' ' By ROGER W.BAB SON wife without costs. nance CHRONICLE FINANCIAL * Paul A. Ludlam 14 THE (2534) COMMERCIAL and Rearmament Program FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE from business and other pri¬ vate borrowers; (2) effects on Money Market th£ supply of funds available thfe money And market from to banks v'V and monetary policy. on Effects be followed in rearmament program, if piling up of inflation is to be avoided, Reserve Bank official foresees need of must is and also restraints ! . - essarily base my discussion largely on the information that has so far been made public concerning the especially, ^Statement Round Table by Mr. Roelse at Conference on Fi¬ were fol¬ lowed at the beginning of the war, if we are to avoid piling more in¬ flation onTop of the inflation that immediate situation, the probable or possible effects of the rearma¬ Consequences of Rearma¬ ment program on the money mar¬ ment, National Industrial Confer¬ ket may be considered from three nancial ence 26, Board, New York City, May 1948. • angles: (1) effects for : funds from on the the demand government >-,C~\ -v * of . penditures and the probable level of tax receipts. The latter depends one's upon estimate the of specrive level of national I might be somewhat inclined take In any case, I think we . serve the increase borrowers for ply of centers, it is not expected to increase to " , . - • away any appreciable' * ! long-term obligations, '-tfvv Banks in other v/C- the intermediate- and the available ifrasand.when>therermightbe>weakness-in;thelongergin'eiTri^U^;- supr ment issues. V » V /•;/.*■ .• ": , . . investors volume to of avoid cash abnormal an attractive and more . . prices that-wfere higher than those quoted in the open market, because; enough bonds to complete their order. ££;•'' Although the government securities markets^were caught in the; cross-fire between the Treasury and the Federal Reserve Board, in their recent actions in the money markets, the general opinion of in- ' ; redemptions;/ If the buyers were able to get the holders of maturing securities should consider other investments present their securities for. cash redemption in large volume, new borrowing by the Treasury might become nec¬ vestors and traders seems either direction looked for in the next few months. are to be that no decisive price movements in . The Treas¬ .. required by the aircraft industry and other by keeping the certificate rate at 1%%, prevents any hardening o.f money rates, and this will mean a good demand for all govern¬ ment securities particularly the higher income obligations. The, Federal Reserve Board, by increasing reserve requirements of banks in New York City and Chicago will offset to some extent the June redemption of certificates and bonds, the June 15 interest payments concerns on ury, ; The next question that lias been raised is whether . considerable amounts of funds will be under thgt the receive contracts rearmament hand, there which no On the other are doubt that from the amount banks, or credit of is likely to be required at given time to finance an air¬ craft building magnitude <of the proposed ... , restraining influence a Insurance companies are still from of the smaller ones. some playing only connection quire likely to are . >... . Savings, banks continue to be fairly active wi^h buying ently now being done ible; obligations.'; ■, - rather concerns, of money than mar¬ There of these institutions in the bank bonds, with the proceeds going mainly into the 2V4S due 1959/62. Trust companies have been switching from governments into convertible corporate obli¬ gations, but these operations have not been too/large, yet. ... ' \ As for other businesses, it is to be expected that there will tinue to be 1956/59. for new :, capital to funds already available, or to be accumulated from earnings, meeting expenditures for sion and and equipment modernization industries. in But this of . among; the« most favored; are Switches are Bank Treasury * being made from the 214^ due 1956/58 bonds ;tion by institutions that continue to under be interested in income. are . accumula-^ ; ■.■/:-//*/ The | 2Vh% due 1955/60 and the 2%% due 1960/65 hold the spotlight in the partially-exempt list with buying in these is- % sues evidently coming from institutions in • in tax-free >nicipal expan¬ bonds. securities . ; Certain . that had and . of apparently - are putting are that are holders of other been because of the price decline plant number a . . strong demand still in evidencev?for the ^Its due;" 'The International < con¬ supplement . a . V" into the 2^s due 1956/59 and the eligible 2Vfcs due 1967/72. ;V., considerable demand a The 2s due 1952/54 , ■^issues; with ket conditions, which might be of little help to such concerns.; \ appar¬ in the restricted issues than in the elig¬ is evidence of some. profit-taking by more .. certain re¬ arrangements to meet the financial needs of a few general easing minor role in the a . dried up, and no sizable liquidation is expected unless there is a of attractive corporate securities. special individual U V . Selling, however, has pretty well flood On the other hand, the insurance companies could be back in the government market on the buy side' in an. important way, if there should be a revival of equity financing,with a strong stock market... 1 < *> . . this a the money markets;.. upon government market, with scattered buying appearing here and there during the coming Any problems that arise in year. be postponed for a time, and still can money . money market :n: Central prolong markets from easing too much. Income tax '^ payments due the middle of the month will likewise tend to have J can program far so hardly be large; enough to; be factor of great importance in the . , keep the concerns or to deposits with member banks - will the But the inflow of gold. as . . the period of effectiveness of the War Loan T< Accounts, since the tying >jup of close to. $500,000,000 of funds I, thattould fce invested or loaned, means that Oalls on government V Banks other require fi¬ nancial assistance, either from the well as Also the larger reserve requirements will enable the undertake financing. the national debt program. Some of the principal concerns in ttfip aircraft industry are well sup¬ any Railroad /.. ■ requirements of Central Re- during the coming pfcrtiall^exempt bbligations^ai:^ fiscal year. Perhaps that assumphfully and shrewdly by many banks, with these buyers not inclined tion should be qualified, however, to show too much of an interest unless blocks of bonds are actually - '" by pointing out that it will require available for sale: Prices of these securities have been quoted up/: the offering, in refunding opera¬ sharply in the past, by the trading fraternity when there were reports: ■ tions by the Treasury, o£ new>se¬ thai/ institutions were looking jfor^certain-pf the taxvprotected; secu^5^ curities sufficiently attractive to itiesv-. v*; Transactions, however, have recently been consummated at § both. v.* • . reserve extent-the floating supply of government securities, especially^1 ; funds government Public Utility in , tional Bonds and Stocks ldatrT'call City banks, will take loanable and investable funds ■/money working capital, and are-able a large increase in their operations without addi¬ Industrial.;'* represented liquidation could not be or war / , . large ;C from these institutions, and will keep the pressure on the large M//7. with State, Municipal and Revenue Bonds the ff- localities will not be affected by the new development and they assume it is unlikely that new '/have funds that are being put to work in the higher income U offerings of Treasury securities J" Treasury obligations. . . , As a matter of fact, very sizable com- > 1 (other than savings bonds-"and j/mitinents are waiting , to be made by many^ out-of-town baiiks;^ fc ; notes) will compete with private ■f:j to United States Government Securities of . ban plied with plant, and I understand Investment Bonds and Stocks requirements reserve take.care ; While receipts-duff ing the coming year, but it would not essentially alter the conces¬ sions. to ' & optimistic view of more order in ascertained. mcome. to the increased meet pror the prospects for lax back tb the more come • financing by the govern'"; hew requirements were well prepared for it, with cash or shortest-; The only room for differ¬ term 'government securities ample to meet' their needs-Tor higher' reserves-with the Central Banks. Some selling was nevertheless;' expansion in government ex¬ noted in the early bond maturities but whether this was done to'; essary, has already occurred. But to ! than were * of opinion relate to the rate ences considering what might be said about this topic, I soon found that it would not be possible to discuss at all adequately the effects of the rearmament program on the monetary situation without over¬ lapping the field of public debt management. In the existing circumstances, monetary policy and » debt management policy may be probable magnitude and rate of regarded almost as Siamese twins. growth of military expenditures I am glad, therefore, that Secre¬ during the coming .fiscal year. tary Wiggins has discussed debt £ /en though we confine our at¬ management aspects of the prob¬ tention mainly to the near-term lem first, and I shall have to ask prospect, however, we cannot ig¬ his indulgence if I find it neces¬ nore the possibility that subse¬ sary to invade, his territory to quent years may bring a further some extent. • t large increase in military expendi¬ It quickly became apparent, tures. In view of the fact that we also, that it would be difficult to no longer have the idle produc¬ segregate the effects of the re¬ tive capacity we had before the armament program from the ef¬ war, and in view of the possibil¬ fects of two other major develop¬ ity lhat-it may become necessary ments of recent months—the for¬ to devote a considerably larger eign aid program and the income pre portion of our produtive and "tax reduction. financial resources to Finally, I think I military should say at once that I claim no purposes in future years, we gift of prohesy with respect to in¬ should be preparing the ground ternational political trends and for very different policies, in the their effects upon the further de-; fields, of monetary and fiscal pol¬ icies A few thirty-seconds . ment. con¬ « \ , . ^off guard/ because of the sudden and unexpected tipping-of reserve ,' requirements.;,.. However, nearly all of the banks affected by the prospect for d" renewal of deficit on ironeces-i larger reserve requirements for member quotations of government securities. . expansion of credit and monetary supply. Holds monetary trols should play supporting rather than leading role. velopment of the national defense program, and therefore must nec¬ the of knocked off bids, with volume very light indicating a quoting down of prices by professionals, probably in the hope of catching investors (coupled with the-effects of foreign aid arid tax reduction) In . tary 'The announcement banks in New York City and Chicago had only a minor effect upon program higher taxation, stimulation of savings, diversion of materials and labor from less essential purposes, question that has been to the mone¬ effects of the rearmament raised with respect ! Governments on By JOHN X. CHIPPENDALE, JR. "• The first sary Reporter j; the Demand for Funds on Vice-President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Contending different fiscal and monetary policies from those of the war ' i : Our other sources; and (3) possible ef¬ fects By HAROLD V. ROELSE* last Thursday,. June 10,'1948 locked' in > ^ taking profits state those and mu- ^ f^ able to get out about even now funds these into * ■ obligations. partially- the • exempt Treasuries/ ; . • ■it's demand pre¬ f! sumably will be increased only to / Canadian and Foreign Bonds ~ the extent that business'planning fleliremet!! of Old Perti Bonds has been affected by the expected renercussions of the rearmament Bank and Insurance Stocks^ * ;{ > program, plus reduction, p■ 'if?:-.. *'" '' »\'v: •*' V'*""' * '..'i K "''"/A;- Uv «>*•?.'ri*?' outlook. the • Distributor • Dealer foreign aid and tax the general business So far there is not much evidence Underwriter on c f abandonment an - > The exchange of the various issues of policies that were by many business con¬ cerns earlier this year.K It is possible that, at some point, the diversion of ( New I J ryork Boston Francisco Cleveland ^ Pittsburgh Chicago Philadelphia San - y.m.yu* cities v I f Phil f > ,¥, , . Washington „ . . Springfield i seme Private Priv, wire r system other the materials to the may- - industries, and thus lessen financial requirements of those industries, but that does not seem In to be other an early prospect. fields (Continued of on credit, it is page 42) follows: Zs Retirement $59,000 April 6s-1960 Balance u ) Outstanding'/' . . fl „ 157,500 May 301,000 April $1,245,500 2,483,000 May 230,000 April 718,000 May / 8,060,500 : re¬ require curtailment of operations in program as Total Exchanged Issue 7s-1959__—— . armament are Bonds cautious adopted : According to latest advices received from the New York Stock1 Exchange, American holders of the old bonds of the Republic of Peru have exchanged $13,353,500 for the new bonds up to the end of May;. •' - $7,482,500 , . i - ' es-1961 — • The American ' - owners / > 40,322,500 4 20,422,000 / , 4,047,500 ,J of the exchanged bonds who have accepted of unpaid interest and to accept a re¬ Peru's offer to skip 16 years duced return of 1% for the first two years, 1%% for the second two . years, 2% for the third two years, and 21/2% thereafter;-represent* about 17% of the total outstanding issues when the offer by Peru in December, 1947. /" : ^ ; .V'Z . was v made - Volume 167 Number 4706 .(2535) all Securities Administrators Report Ghanges; National Association of Securities Administrators changes in securities administrators. Paul H. ' reports :r k •">.'/ Brown, Secretary of the State of Texas, announces the Darley as Securities Commissioner and the ap¬ resignation of Leo .-new Commissioner. t\ Stapp has been Mr. appointed to the and the named at the Licensing of Dealers, Brokers and vention. Salesmen Committee In of the Na¬ 77/y that State, replacing Wilfred J. Begnaud. Mr. Brock has been appointed as a member of the Oil Securities In ald the A. of became tion hours their Vermont, Don¬ Hemingway has been ap¬ pointed Commissioner of Banking in place of Charles E. Burns. Mr Hemingway has been appointed a to during the conven¬ carrying These work. facilitate to the to of on committees have been named at this as neces¬ their time duties so prior opening of the convention. has beCn all the of Julien men of dress is Frank for following is partial a on , helpful messages the in the subjects A in¬ . One the two or Securities curities, Virginia. Response to address of welcome. The Convention comprised of member of the Securities and ing Exchange Commission. Hon. John Hall, Governor of Ore¬ Trauerman, Secretary and gon. • . , . an effort .to "make outstanding tion. . . every meeting the ad¬ ministrators might arrange tc assemble in Chicago and take the same mittee. Association Convention July 19-22 There has been some activity to¬ In 7;y777 ■ the bert State ; of W.? James !" Delaware, Al¬ train , Attorney General, replacing C. J. Killoran. Mr. James has been appointed a ward' the member of the Membership Com¬ write mittee. to Association The \ is?; the following committees have been; appointed to carry out the work of the Association at the ! Nominating this Committee—Edwin M. Daugherty, Chairman, Cali¬ fornia; D. D/ Murphy, ViceChairman, South Carolina; Poyntelle Downing, Illinois; Clarence for the obtaining of special If any desire to joh it is suggested the Investment to of cars. party like that they a Bankers America, 33 South Park Street, Chicago, Illinois. It is recommended that travel be for arrival arranged land Portland meeting: Portland in Port? Sunday, July 18. This permit registration in the on will afternoon of the 18th and the get¬ acquainted, ting facilitate which would the starting of the pro¬ the first thing on the morn¬ gram H. Adams, Connecticut; Robert F. ing of the 19th. Brown, West Virginia, The tentative program of the Portland meeting is as follows: V Resolutions Committee—John F. Hueni, Chairman, Michigan; John L. Carter, Arkansas; Thad Eure, North Carolina; J. Myron Honigman^ Pennsylvaniai Ti C; Thomp¬ son, Wyoming. * •.J ' souri; Goorge F. Richardson, Kansas; William Cv King* Vir' ginia. the . V , -S 7 afternoon ' and in evening. Monday, July 19 Morning session will be devoted to the usual convention-opening proceedings for about one hour. This will be followed by about thr^e, prominent speakers. it is Nooxl-t- LuncheonAddress of the .Nominating welcome. Response. 7 An f out¬ „ Under 1 ; Sunday,; July IS Registration . ',!Auditing Committee.~rM.> D. Campbell, Jr., Chairman, Mis¬ j • Small «in size, but constitution mandatory that Committee of five members be convention. In ; The entire afternoon confined to open forums selecting committee due been given of the geographic location of the va¬ this consideration has rious members. cial and industrial will be covering all of the securities subjects de¬ sired to be discussed. A definite unusual opportunities to its citizens, its busi- this ' Brown Re-Elected ' ;' Evening—Social hour and din¬ "{ '•'( i. f ner. has been elected ident MD.-J. Mackubini Legg On "Tuesday- an be had re¬ A Stein J. & < J. Dorsey Brown Governing Committee for two-year terms. Governing Committee will June 14 for organization and of '' '• ■*»,/. ' *'/?'*• *'77..' •'**< 7 v * 1 » *«" '• v'*; 7 :L'>1 '.I. ings 4and other -officers of the new Loan public f'r-' / f !v r'. ,'j "• • ' < of servant / v t ''3 \ i/t s■' ; *v> - < ' 'i1 i \' - " ' V 4? • v.'v*^j••"v 1 . contributions to proud of its great state, is a '.-r-'. 1 the '7 • . ^ >■ •- *','.;.7:0'Air'•7."' 'i'V1:.)..:- k1...'y. *7' r-',\ •• '■ '* - ,v . -7 v:;' / ;''j • " •• 1 t -'-»#■/•*7*'-7 ,".--1 / v .*« residential, commercial r and industrial welfare of New Jersey. ' • Noon—-Luncheon torium of the the at audi¬ Equitable Sav¬ Association -as guests of Mr. Ralph Cake, Pres¬ There will be a luncheon ident. of speaker i : The election -y \ • Wednesday; July 21 portant messages. also re-elected meet - We late a [Morning-—Several very -good speakers will bring :.us some im¬ a n d Walter,- M. the salmon cannery. return to Portland in yjy &, C a., to 'r , ;' naval - Miller were the afternoon'or evening, 7 Boyce; W. Carroll Mead, Weilepp, include also base and Will Bros. 77 '^ ' \t *•. '•>T;"-.rv.'; ^" ,l • Public Service Corporation of New Jersey, the We will be addressed .:-*• tr ong, Mead, will This , r m s -' ' motoring to Astoria, Ore¬ will be taken on a conducted tour of interesting and historic places.' cutive (Edward i J a very able speaker at the luncheon program. After that we to third term. \ : ' r 4 ■ * i and its manufacturers. >r\ 7 " > ' by Ex- c o n s e .'*7"d' V * r ''l' '-V.'V* V/ 1 " gon. for lunch. the a ' We will be guests of the Astoria Chamber of Commerce Co- change, serve all-day trip will Dorsey Baltimore Stock V v.. jl*:v-;-c77777' 1'- & Pres¬ of /"• nessmen Tuesday, July 20 Head of Bait. Exch. BALTIMORE, commer- growth, New Jersey offers v program will be arranged for Brown, large in residential, standing speaker will address, the appointed prior to the convention. Mr. outstanding Cake will take ducted num tour of us their on new- ability. a con¬ alumi¬ building, the first of its kind ''' i- y ^ " ' Exchange. in America. Kenneth Johnson V.-F. be Of Evening—Social hour and ban¬ quet followed by a colorful pro¬ •Afternoon Indianapolis Bond and Share INDIANAPOLIS, Corp. IND. — Ken¬ S. Johnson has joined In¬ dianapolis Bond and Share Corpo¬ ration,* 129 East. Market Street, neth as Vice-President.. :=He; formerly conducted hisj^wh --investment business in Indianapolis under the name of Kenneth S. Johnson firm & Co. the Session executive This session!' will of Association for the members. gram. ■ „ ;. .; .v - the 7 '-! Thursday, July 22 - -77 This complete day will be de¬ voted to a trip to Timberline Lodge. K A conducted tour will be had. A luncheon will be served at the Lodge..- Each will then be given a ride on • the. ski .lift.' 1.;We will return to Portland in the late afternoon. ' - ' V , v 7". All guests are invited to attend Committee, Hudson, Maurice by some that representatives of the indus¬ member of the Membership Com¬ of Adminis¬ William C. King, Director of Se¬ suggested try in' the eastern part of country and also securities nom¬ Governorship trators. , Walker, ' volving the securities business. Carl J. Association for Oregon. t Oregon; Edwin Daugherty, Cali¬ Truslow, President, New fornia; E. F. Haworth, Idaho; Exchange. - ' \ Ralph Cake, President, Equitable John J. Holmes, Montana;, Law¬ Savings and Loan Association, rence Taylor, Utah, and George C. Portland, Ore. Starlund, Washington, are exert¬ speakers who will appear deliberations' of Bankers In¬ York Curb the program and bring impor¬ tant inee Collins, President, 15 Francis list the Douglas McKay, Republican Emil Schram, President, New .York Stock Exchange. and optional for the ladies. The Mining Asso¬ partner of Dean Witter & Co., San Francisco. W. G. Paul, President, Los An¬ geles Stock Exchange. ' to of the of America. social, informal H. vestment and dinner trips of ciation of Montana. Astoria and Timberline Lodge. con¬ that the committee members sary It Committee. State opening of the then devote their time Louisiana, J. S. Brock is the Banking Commissioner of new It attend functions,- including the Type Heretofore, the Resolutions and Auditing Committees have been Oil Securities Committee tional Association. to recreational; luncheon pointment of William E. Stapp as^ the Treasurer except the executive meeting on Wednesday vited ,The ' sessions afternoon which will be confined to members.All guests are in¬ Committees; Convention Plans several the of PVBLICEWSERVICE this conven¬ 16 THE (2536) COMMERCIAL Profits Lost by Neglect Of New By-Products management and the research de¬ partment are suddenly asked what has happened to them. When the furore is over they can always go back to that shelf with the clean bottles and say, "Well here it is, we knew about it, but we just By HOWARD E. SMITH didn't have the time." Director, Ceiitro Research Laboratories, Briarcliff Manor, N. Y. This present ma¬ could profitably mami-* will never see the light Personnel of industry's research organizations are too busy In the race to meet consumer demand, and improve jor lines, many new products that industry facture from by-products of their research, of day. to explore possibilities the is scientific ing chemicals could of the far-seeing industries turning over these chemicals are more and compounds to outside inde¬ pendent laboratories for research and development to determine their practical uses. However, there exists huge economic loss through failure to explore these by-products potentials. now a The oil and other industries fertile fields for are going urgently on specific problems and projects. They just don't have the time necessary to screen some of for usually they chemicals these for possible and uses. compounds A and its technicians can this much Y and > laboratory only do so for products. extra research might prove a boon to the industry often is slighted. It is at this this is development of the present side At due the to that fact the research laboratories and re¬ personnel on these unknown undeveloped chemicals. In these all shelved specific cides, probability: use chemicals such as insecticides, or of many have for or turned search personnel are so busy with immediate problems that they cannot always spare the time or a fungi¬ back to the client's labor¬ atory for further study, and the independent laboratory will once again go back to tackling the thousands of bottles Many on industries the shelf. have found, much to their chagrin, that sud¬ denly fa competitive company with emerges ing a about product new by-product a knew expellents, who have time and years which The ago. us¬ they top COMING as offering of Public Utility Securities Club, Montclair, outing at the Inverness Country ViV} .v, Club. : 'v;;. , Association of Securities Admin¬ 25, 1948 (New York City) Bond Club of New York Annual Meeting at Sleepy Hollow Country Club, Scarborough-on-Hudson, N. Y. glad to discuss the present market for such Investment Field June 10,1948 (Minneapolis, Minn.) Twin City Bond Club 27th An¬ National Security Traders Amo* station Convention. Investment Bankers Association 1948 convention at the Beach Hotel. i at the White Bear Yacht Club. June 11, 1948 (Atlanta, Ga.) Georgia Security Dealers Asso¬ ciation annual outing and dinner And V George Outing Held J. Leness on Merrill of June 4; Leness Elected Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane at the Druid Hills Golf Club. June 11, 1948 (Baltimore, Md.) Bond Club of Baltimore annual y outing at the Elkridge Kennels. June 11-12-13,1948 (Los Angeles) Security Traders Association of Angeles Annual Spring party at Arrowhead Lodge. « ; Los June 11, 1948 (New Jersey) * Bond .Club of nual New Jersey An¬ Field Day at the Montclab Golf Club. lune 11, 1948 (New York City) Corporation Bond Traders Clut Spring Outing and Dinner at the Wingfoot Golf Club Mamaroneck, N. Y. )i New York meeting held at the conclusion of the Club's Field Day at the Sleepy Hollow Country Club June 4. He succeeds T. Jerrold Bryce June 11, 1948 (Pittsburgh, Pa.) Club of Pittsburgh An¬ Bond of Spring Outing at the Chartiers Country Club.,. 12, 1948 Bond Club of Chicago Country Club. (Canada) Investment Dealers Association of Canada 32nd Annual Meeting at Richelieu, Murray Bay. ; of St. were you with position. Similarly, 4 glad to place at , your the Board Austin Brown of Dean Wit¬ & & Co. ;• t (St. Louis, Mo.) Robert Municipal Dealers Outing at the Norwood Trust E. \-v .>•,:; ;;>• v1 • ,v.*;; . Governors will be Broome of Guaranty the President's Cup of 73. C. E. Grasmueller (Lazard y Freres & Co.) won the Candee Cup with low net & Co.) score (Boston. Mass.) Forgan Christe match play against Co.) & in Cup the par. , record Street number to — attend deserted the Field Wall Day. (Philadelphia, Pa.) Lowshe, station Shields & Co.; Fred to wagon a Ford Brand!, T; Jerrold Bryce, President of the Dillon, Read & Co., a Pontiac to Philadelphia Securities Associ¬ Bond Club, and Charles L. Miorse, annual outing at Llanerch Louis D. Rieder, W. E. Hutton,&< Jr., Chairman of the Field Day Cb., and a television set to Ger-Country Club,. Llanerch, Pa. V Committee, headed the Wall Street aid B. West, Stone & Webster Se- <; June 21,1948 (Omaha, Neb.) '• Investment Nebraska Bankers delegation bound for Scarborough, curities Corp:y;Y*j. i')■}/■ Upon arrival at Sleepy Hollow, the guests were TRADING MARKETS IN greeted with free •copies of the "Bawl Street v Jour* ^ : nal," the Bond Club's famous pub¬ Public Utility Preferred lication lampooning , The Public Utility Stock Guide on request politics. Distributed nation¬ ally this year and also on sale in the Merrill Lynch. Pierce, Fenner & Beane set financial a new district, high mark lation. G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc. i 70 Pine Street, WHitehall 4-4970 New York 5, N. Y. Teletype NY 1-609 the outstand¬ ing events in the world of finance and and Common Stocks Offices in 96 Cities (Glore, the took F. Ken¬ Enos Curtain (Blair & Co.) and Stephenson of Goldman, M. S. Glidden, Jr. (Glidden, Mor¬ Sachs & Co.; Joseph A. Thomas ris & Co.) won the tennis doubles of Lehman Brothers; Clarence W. against Benjamin Buttenweiser Bartow of Drexel & Co.; Raymond (Kuhn, Loeb & Co.) and Marvin D. Stitzer of Equitable Securities L. Levy (Lehman Brothers). Corp. and G. H. Walker, Jr. of Willard Lynch, W. C. Langley & G. H. Walker & Co. Co., was awarded a Cadillac; a More than 500 bond men—a Mercury was awarded to Emmett j .'.V STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. of 65, and Paris Scott Rus¬ Jr; Co. of New York; v Underwriters and Distributors of Investment Securities Brokers in Securities and Commodities. won with low gross ation ^ I V . (Bear, Stearns neth Municipal Bond Club of Boston annual outing at the Country Club, Concord, Mass. To be pre¬ ceded by parties at the Hotel Statler on the evenings of June 16 and 17 from 9:30 p.m. until midnight. " 98 offices. < V. Theodore Low sell, Continuing Louis 18, 1948 of Co.; Harry C. Clifford of Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Thomas T. Coxon of Hallgarten Summer Party at the Plum Hollow Annual members of Governors to serve three years ter Detroit Y., for a full day of sports and entertainment., N. , Elected (Detroit, Mich.) Club Hemp¬ Several hundred members of hill, Noyes & Co., who was Chair¬ man of this year's Field Day Com¬ the club took part in the annual mittee, was elected Vice-Presi¬ golf tournament. Divided into dent, succeeding Alfred Shriver of three handicap classes, the play¬ Morgan Stanley & Co. C. Cheever ers competed for three Bond Club Hardwick of Smith, Barney & Co. trophies—the Ex-President's Cup, was elected Secretary and William the Candee Cup and the Christie B. Chappell of The First Boston Cup—and for more than a dozen individual prizes. Corp., Treasurer. ■ Annual Golf Party at the Acacia June 12-16, 1948 President for the past year. Charles L. Morse, Jr. of (Chicago, HI.) Traders Clark, Dodge & Co. who has^ been nual Tune C. Cheever Hardwick C. L. Morse, Jr. George J. Leness ' Hollywood. elected President of the Bond Club of New York at the annual was disposal the distribution V-'f facilities 70 PINE 5-10, 1948 (Hollywood, Fla.) Dec. Bond Club of New York Annual Field Day nual Golf Tournament and Picnic June 18, 1948 whatever information you need about our. Nov. 15-18, 1948 (DaHas, Tex.) New York Stock Exchange Golf ... *4" issues. securities, and provide ■of istrators at the Multnomah HoteL Association 49th annual golf tour¬ nament at the Winged Foot Golf Hills Country Club. municipals, railroads, and other £prporate •' July 16,1948 (Toledo, Ohio) Bond Club of Toledo annual Club, Mamaroneck, N. Y. In June ■ Golf June 29,1948 (New York City) EVENTS June 17, 1948 Underwriters and Distributors in the shall be Montclair of New Municipal ■ Golf Club. closely identified we Club, Haddonfield, N. J. 23, 1948 (New York City) Investment Association , apologetic shrug after it is too late. Golf have been their statistical June June an Bond with you Philadelphia Annual Summer Outing at the Tavistock Country the shelf before hand rather than with June 15,1948 We will lie at 1948 (Cleveland, Ohio) Bond Club of Cleveland spring July 19-22, 1948 (Portland, Oreg.) Annual Convention of National outing at Country Club. annual election. as Outing June 25, 14, 1948 (New York City) Municipal Forum of New York well Annual Woodland Golf Club. geared to do this work, then perhaps they will be taking down those bottles of opportunity from are June as of 29th N. J. Manoir We July 9,1948 (Philadelphia, Pa.) Investment Traders Association ciation which point that the out¬ independent research lab¬ time the majority of products oratory can come to the aid of marketed by oil companies are the industry. No longer is it used for the development of en¬ necessary to sacrifice time and ergy, both motor and fuel. In the personnel from the normal process The regular important process of improving their prod¬ of work. ucts there are developed many work continues but the indepen¬ chemicals and dent research organizations are compounds. In most cases these chemicals and patiently screening these chemi¬ cals. When a possible use is dis¬ compounds are placed upon a shelf in clean labelled jars and covered they can continue to ex¬ then forgotten. The main reason plore its merits or it can be new June 22, 1948 (Boston, Mass.) Boston Security Traders Asso¬ laboratories a kept are Cleveland Security Traders As¬ sociation summer outing. York second annual outing at the applied practically in industry, no doubt many new products could be developed and old ones im¬ Many of these unused chemical compounds are gathering dust in jars on laboratory shelves. Given at a more economical research attention and study by proved level. y;yj^ Qualified scientists many of them could be turned into profit-mak¬ Actually neither the research ing valuable insecticides, fungi¬ departments nor the research per¬ cides, medicines, dyes, etc. Some sonnel can be called to account, July 9, 1948 (Cleveland, Ohio) Club. used for and be and quite general prob¬ If industry will farm out such prob¬ lems to the independent research of& dyes, medicines, plasticizers, modifiers, etc. If time could be of taken to find out just what ^hese investigations frolic Field Day at the Omaha Country r thousands of chemical compounds, the by-products that accrue, dur¬ their main products. Thursday, June 10, 1948 annual Association lem which industry can meet. Mr. Smith points out industries are losing profits because of neglect to develop new by-products, due to present stress to supply con¬ sumer demand for existing goods. Sees outside independent re¬ search laboratories as aid in developing profitable by-products. FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & the in circu¬ y:";vYYYy. rY.Yy-y Frederick Peirce Dead Frederick Peirce, President of Co., Philadel¬ phia investment firm, as dead. Frederick Peirce & < paper ' THE 167 : Number 4706 Volume COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL (2537) have very large sums available to it, rums which far exceed any of these which are presently avail¬ World Recovery and World Bank able to the International Bank and they By JOHN J. McCLOY* used for to be devoted only to the are relatively small though important section of the world. It is naturally asked of recovery Asserting Europe's productive capacity, with outside help, is not far from recovery plateau, if present is maintained, World Bank executive contends chief war damage was paralysis of nerves and sinews of trade rather than property destruction. Says U. S. must assume leadership in remedying cooperation of World Bank in recovery plans. resulting from excessive nationalism. a even progress these ills, and assures cue- it is necessary to obtain in order to make good on the Bank's own obligations! It can never be President, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ; call must be met in whatever what role the International Bank intends Decries economic distortions tion fill during to of the the European opera¬ Recovery Program. rency lending there is Thus purposes.' great world a guarantee fund behind the obligations of the Bank, and in addition there, are, of course, as further security what¬ and capital the accumulate in the of its operations. Roughly reserves ever Bank may course speaking, the Bank has had avail¬ The question I am frequently asked is whether I believe the European Recovery Pro¬ end of the four-year period Europe gram will work; that is work in the sense that at the will be able to fend for itself without further appeals "Though in I position to answer this question not as it is /probably a many, -fair fects re is who If at farmer sponsible in¬ part of an ternational institution voted -Vto the figures which pur¬ I hav* seen to that the program will succeed and those which pur¬ prove port to prove that the sums are grossly inadequate. Personally, I ;do not believe either conclusion established be ©an statistics. On , his franc In by figures or other occasions I liave trade on and de¬ If restrictions for sale. removed, if borders are to man and cross ©f Europe ©ne as it was in 1945 that is encouraged to believe that aid continued be • as the progress could great in the next three years it has been in the past three the as me clime all hopes every attached were the to power and the influence of the United States. I said and felt then that the pres¬ be removed from ovbr Europe and what it can do The Interna¬ an institution whose stockholders consist at present of the members of 46 different coun¬ Its authorized tries. capital is $1G billion and its subscribed .capital to date is something over. $8 bil¬ lion. The capital subscription of of each into countries the three is categories. divided The those have who chief the re-; Europeans and Americans determined to make it gram, are work with what they have I No nation could / ture to predict it will work. and desires. this those transports have ven¬ With and uniquely external aid unprecedented form of generous boon there is a which its amount to as left within area no cavil mayproperly one either or as to minor crudities of administration. War's Chief Damage The war's chief damage was in destruction We I venture to suggest, of im¬ these all can all be sure that in the standard predetermined level or of living will ; not be achieved but end some is not this the an¬ Time alone, without any States, and elsewhere throughout swer. the world the production levels external aid, would probably bring which Europe can reach and sup¬ about some form of economic ad¬ port with the help of the Euro¬ justment but every indication * is Recovery Program are not vastly above her present levels as sometimes we are prone to think. I do not mean by this to pean £o imply that Europe is close to her production - figure maximum all time. for For to survive she must, that if all in dollars. or The next 18% may be paid at the option of the country involved in its own but it only be used for lending purposes with the con¬ sent of the subscribing country. The remaining 80% of the capital subscription including that of the currency, can United States is callable only if it should ever be necessary to meet left to time to ad¬ Since then erated; fortunately United States painful without disaster. the to endure I firmly believe Program European Recovery will greatly when an the time accelerate adjustment can be and signs accumulating that adjustment will reach a war level only endurable but one which will afford real opportunity for plateau if with outside help her present rate of progress can the continued economic and cul¬ be maintained. A moderate but tural development of Europe. But above all these, the displayed them. the and - of racial for those McCloy be¬ fore the Foreign Policy Associa¬ tion, Cincinnati, O., June 1, 1948. It is obvious that if the Bank is impression on the receive must its of most it world the of needs money capital subscrip¬ through the bonds in the various other than from This tions. of sale its it does capital markets of the world. Thus far the Bank has successfully sold 1 have indicated $250 million It has lent or com¬ as of its bonds. mitted to lend $513 million and it vy"; narrow, na¬ United States home at Electric Associated subsidiaries its the including pany prejudices^ in ;■ earnings v.. V..; ,_,V are of earnings and Company , Amount Amount ' •' unbalanced with what force $.61 $.64 deficit financing frequently deplore. If we rebuff international trade with what persuasion do we trade applaud Mr. Churchill's or crusade in support of a European economic and political union. : , In saying this, I. of course, asimprovement in the Ger¬ position so that trade with sume-an man the German area can be stimu¬ the next four years will as much determine ropean liable gauge. There eastern and western parts of Europe will, agairl take place and in the long run that we the as the was ; materials a are ills to were wise us any re¬ be through on national Bank. the Bank Very fortunately and also the world has been created public contemplation seems to occupy this hopeful role. This is the European Cooperation agency in Administration. It has and , and highest levels the realized later this year when generating stations total¬ new ing 100,000 KW. go into operation. rate increases ■i/h .•,}">i'' ■■ ■ ■ :' A temporary electric rate increase . has been York, Penn¬ obtained in rate whenever a case is apparent. will 1, 1946, has $5,351,200. to •' '* income after interest, expenses and taxes amounted to $1.02 per share in 1947. Of this, 80c per share was paid in dividends and the balance, together with other funds, was used for debt reduction Corporate or investment in subsidiaries. ~ " eighteen- Company has arranged an months' commitment with a total of $8,000,000. banks for f investments subsidiaries in Investments were 1947 and by $470,000 in the first four months increased by $3,095,000 in of 1948. * financing subsidiaries! ! The 1948 construction program subsidiaries the financing have sidiaries expected is of to $68,600,000. Several sub¬ to amount programs The proceeds of which together with additional cash invest¬ ments to be made by this Company under way. retained by them will and earnings construction the The program and part of 1949. 1948 i. stockholders preferred of Rochester Gas and Electric Corpora¬ approved have SEC the and tion financing by that com¬ by borrowing up to $16,000,000 banks. The SEC's order temporary pany from approving this borrowing requires this Company to increase its invest¬ ment in Rochester by the amount of dividends which Rochester may its common stock while sueli borrowing is outstanding. any pay on ("Aelec") Electric not may the SEC account and on Associated effect of certain indenture. markets. by the public the possible of Plans provisions for this debt have been pending dividends of the large debt held because also Company pay restriction imposed by a of debt aelec the Associated because of dividends requirements operating subsidiaries for ad¬ common stock equity, this ditional increases will be sought good April, in of indebt¬ January sincfe sylvania, and this is expected to be made permanent. Other gas and a distribution the part of the Inter¬ of loans for cured at fuel ihey have ever been and are still climbing. Substantial economies will electric time when people beneficient but of prices v: Eu¬ billions .' : and "Wages y; ';-v borrowed reduction net In order to meet the of the for 1': ,'t-"expenses felt that all the world's economic which the of course today cannot give ures another tween the recovery Congress will or can appropriate and here again we have one of the great imponderables of which fig¬ lated to something well above its that trade be¬ over edness finance alter the situation. we urge a revival of intra-Eqropean war course, Com¬ months was The 1948. $15,077,282 $14,443,432 depression conditions could easily or the $1,637,200 during of 1948, but by four amounted growth. Of satisfactory speak to the world whose we reduced first $1,050,000 $4,879,408 Ending March: — of , $4,602,384 Per Share-12 Months 1947 1948 , — reduction reduction net pany's debt amounted to $2,959,850 during 1947. Indebtedness was fur¬ ther shown below: Months: Three First and what dishevelled leader. come Stockholders debt , the abroad, in spite of all our own shortcomings, the United States remains today a mighty if some¬ do Corporation The Consolidated earnings of the Com¬ v. spite of the quite malicious propa¬ ganda regarding the motives of the (Continued on page 22) 1 the who in spite ol But re-emergence tional present levels and *An address by Mr. Bank. the working capital of the At the Annual Meeting May 3, 1948 three too not help. purposes been mod¬ both for as of some haviior of the United States be Europe is not far from her recov¬ An increase in east their of part but in the main it is the capital subscrip¬ tion of the United States Govern¬ ment which has thus far supplied for lending 18% Condensed Report of the President to would indicate that short of another isting gaps. available making General Public Utilities aspirations he improve. But I do mean that based upon sheer productive capacity and west trade would also greatly securities. of its obligations of the Bank itself. This The social, economic and political be- were reached substantial ; G e r m a n . recovery would contribute much to fill ex¬ Bank itself raised through recovery just the processes and the result like all the rest of us, expand and ery plus $250 million which the the sale There have been minor instances of other countries poses to make a real overwhelm¬ an accumulation., of the war. this amount having been the consent of the United States for lending pur¬ States, made available by in gold purposes capital subscription of the United 2% must be paid by all countries hope by it¬ ever self to fulfill such ing Judged in terms of out¬ however, that with production in¬ creasing in Western Europe, in Eastern Europe, in the United lending for it $1 billion. This is made up of the 2% capital subscription of all the countries plus the 18% first put and physical capacity, today's Per Share— / $1.98 $1.90 The role of world leadership figures show that Western Euro¬ ponderables, in the paralysis of the nerves and the sinews of trade The decline in first quarter earn¬ is not a happy one, particularly pean nations have, as a whole, ap¬ rather than in the -destruction of in an election year. It exacts a ings was due principally to January proached if not exceeded their prewar levels. They have done property. Property itself can certain behavior of the one who storm losses, to smaller hydro gen¬ this in the face of some very usually be replaced, repaired and occupies it. In this perturbed world eration in January and February, restored in a surprisingly brief of severe «handicaps; a much dis¬ inflation, restrictive trade regu¬ and to higher fuel prices and other turbed political condition, bad period, particularly if external aid lations, unsound government fi¬ operating costs. is at hand to help. As an example croos and an extremely deep cut nancing and fiscal systems it is sales of this I think one can point to in German production which prior extremely important that the the restoration of' the French United States with her predomi¬ Prospeets are good for continuing to the war was the hub of Euro¬ pean economy, indeed, far too railway system after the war. nant influence and leadership in sales of gas and electricity at a high forms of international aid level. Prices of coal and oil for much so considering the warped Throughout Europe there are ex¬ all amples of plants which though should continue to furnish an ex¬ domestic and industrial use have purposes to which Germany ap¬ rated as totally destroyed or near¬ ample of righteous economic con¬ advanced to a point which gives gas plied her economic position. With md electricity at even moderately the diminution of German pro¬ ly ao by our Air Forces were again duct herself. ;' The United States at full war capacity today does nothing which is not higher prices a very great competi¬ duction the levels of other Euro¬ operating within two years of the close of reflected in the chancelleries; of tive advantage and this will, we pean countries will probably have the war. to be higher than they were' be¬ think, further tend to sustain the every country. If our budgets be¬ fore the to around tige of the United States was terrifyingly high. Terrifying because so many looked to it for so much. if European future would look very healthy. I happened to un¬ war mission which took a as fear repair which the Marshall Plan affords his fortunes after disaster, coupled the obvious thing is to take hold of it and make it work. With such with some external aid, does bring great and very definite re¬ sults. If one could feel that with United Just at the around the entire world. At every man's indefatigable urge to very the of can If the pall of war 2 to 1. alike, from the rubble prestige shore, and in ■ habilitation since the close of the nificant advance At the close of the was enormous. dertake sponsibility for the recovery pro¬ These' represent such a sig¬ the close of the physical capacity, will contribute factors that no figures can faithfully ap¬ praise. '■ .' TV The moral is to the physical ex¬ affected by the power of are States which is the multiplier of emphasized the really amaz¬ ing strides which Europe has al¬ ready made toward her own re¬ war. tional Bank is or business, in every com¬ in every group we fpel every war trade recross, position and the the leadership. made easier for the business¬ are feature ample of the United States itself. and more Leadership the greatest influence of them all. munity, liver •: of other one I refer to the kets and he will produce objectives of world recovery such as the International Bank. port French is granted but it probably embodies goods will flow to the city mar¬ John J. McCloy de¬ the in dence Position element in this play of forces that I have rather ignored or taken for the actual material given moment the French again gains some confi¬ a S. There send to Western Europe. may a U. able in connection with the European Recovery Program. treble or to outline matter recovery. machinery which this country or question double well may worth of the to ask of any¬ one important ele¬ to both European and world ment imponderables which cannot be measured by statistics. There are forces or attitudes whose ef¬ well as , equipped extremely an other indeed and ing redevelop¬ a of Asiatic trade; the last be¬ ment Figures cannot gauge that confi¬ dence and there are many, many than others, many look forward to can growth of a sense of confidence in the European future would put us in closer sight of our objectives. better no for similar aid from this country. <S>- am World Bank The First, let me tell you a little something about how the Bank is organized, how it gets its money, and what its general policies and objectives are. For when these are known it is a rather simple of its of repayment held in abeyanee improvement in security COMMERCIAL THE (2538) 18 The SEC Position on From World Bank Bonds . questions asked Chairman of Securities and Exchange Commission 4 members the of committee yes¬ of interested are whether question the in bill before Congress would trans- j; National Advisory Council powers granted to SEC. -Opposes y in ' provision giving SEC discretionary power to exempt World Bank bonds from registration. yi making the sion representative has mittee bill R. H. to 6443 in troduced Senate the has anteed as bill been re¬ ported out favorably, with modi¬ a fication sug¬ gested by the SEC w E. M. Hanrahan hic h Ife*.- YYY v had the effect of providing for exemption issued securities of and only fully guaranteed by the International Bank as distinguished from any securities issued or only partially guaranteed by the Bank, as.. is possible under the Bank's Articles of Agreement. ; ; On May 6, a full 1948, statement letter a is letter was the will of signature record and neither are in Further, should form, become , of its fact nature that we rule-making is . clear from have the exercised bill both under power We our past have if it amended of the Exchange Act to facilitate distributions of its bonds. bill depends, guaran¬ teed by the Bank in the same Class with other securities 4 exempted involves Y;aY from relative sought by the reflected in bill approved by Senator Tobey's committee, would put se¬ curities issued the and fully Securities Act of 1933 weighing considerations standards of han on before the Interstate House Cimmittee and Foreign Washington, merce, D. Com¬ we the C., June 5,1948. our - the the bill the SEC discretionary erations Telegraph CompanyY would be cisions ■< ' May 1,1950 -1 ■ ; tween V'-f Notice is hereby given that The Western Union Telegraph Company invites tenders of Bonds of the above issues, for purchase by it, and that tenders will be received by the Company, at Hudson Street, New York 13, N. Y., until 12 o'clock noon, Eastern Daylight Saving Time, on June 30, 1948. 60 Copies of the Invitation for Tenders, which sets forth the terms relating to such tenders, and copies of the Form for Tender, on which all tenders must be made, will be supplied by the Company upon request addressed to the attention of its and conditions at the above address. ■;Y-'...''■■' HJ-' No price ceiling has been fixed by the Company, and accord¬ ingly tenders may be made at any price. .Y.YYY'Yt vcY Y By the terms of the Invitation for Tenders, Bonds, the tender of which is accepted, must be delivered on lor prior to July 20, 1948, against payment. Interest upon such Bonds Jo said date will be paid as part related that the foreign to the Bank's disclosure a any do •would industry: will for are have new - ful-* spent plant considerably ; costs, while-new equipment are valued spent manufacturing and other 1946, 4947, and early on facilities in 1948, the Federal-Reserve index of industrial production (season¬ ally adjusted) has risen only 6% from the 1946 peak of 183 in November (1953-39—100) to the peak of 194 (in February). Thus,, it appears that the very 1948 large output of the plants in postwar as with prewar much or the more country's compared has years been result of as the fuller utilization of productive capacity than additions to its in¬ dustrial facilities. "Judging for the Y YvV from data corporate available of sector busi¬ the bulk of the financial requirements of business organi¬ ness, zations have retention dends of and drawals, r been met through earnings, after divi¬ entrepreneurial from and allowances. with¬ depreciation According to esti¬ mates of the Department of Com¬ merce, retained profits and de¬ preciation charges of all nonfinancial corporations were about larger than external sources of financing or securities in 1946 and twice as/ through bank large in 1947.1 corporations loans In 1946, however, financed a larger part of their needs through the sale of Government securities (which represent in part retained earnings of the war years) than in 1947. and impressive total represents merely reconversion and replace¬ ment be¬ facilities. of ; wornout or obsolete the heavy reliance current on earnings, has been the large de¬ pendence on debt financing. When tion of can pro¬ already under guides study; with added such throw our Acts powers; issues in favor We refused exemptions, ments of the Secuirties Exchange To go further would Act of 1934. of require legislation yond us our to consider factors be¬ 'usual concerns which upon power, ex¬ perience, and information to make policy decisions in the field of foreign finance could we admin¬ might have to be made. " We any now have power to exempt the extent we ister such legislation with assur¬ that we could administer securities to ance deem it w-teoiv lic would consistent With the pub¬ interest under the Securities Wislative function delegate, : it ascribable stock primarily to the depressed condition which has prevailed in the stock most of the time since the market summer of 1946 and has severely restricted this source of funds. Since stock flotations tend mon crease tained substantially periods of com¬ during rising sus¬ stock market, if maintained, may even¬ tually increase the contribution of this source of corporate funds." ■ i 1YU U'\ . * , AA A-.- Y.Y* YY A ■ "A.".;' .A : . 'A :A- .-':A; Y-rAAVAY.;(vy.Y YY: YY'yUY- A5 t; ' s III. S. Department of Commerce, Sur¬ of Current Business, "Business Fi¬ nancing in the Postwar Period," by vey Friend, March 1948, p. -10. , ' ' in¬ to prices, the recent upswing in the Irwin u v is of example, from the anti-man¬ ipulation and margin require¬ con¬ field the for be done with Moreover, in the exercised both the Bank. we and of necessity in the staff or¬ ganization of the Commission Telegraph Company, York, N. Y„ June 10, 1948. plans for 1948 the Commis¬ might over-balance the provisions sion, .there -would Lave to be con¬ of the Acts we administer. Only sidered also the possibility that by making of the Commission an material changes in the nature, agency with sufficient . New it responsibility or association member making the acceptance in whole or in part of the tender of another person will be paid by the Company $2.50 per $1,000 principal amount of Bonds delivered. Y\ / < v business result in of this hope of procuring legislation nection securities exchange > not think in /this session. upon By W. P. MARSHALL, Treasurer. undertaken)— well may billion de¬ investors. set of association, arrangements must be made for the delivery /of ihe Bonds, in the event of acceptance in whole or in part of the tender, by a bank, trust company, securities exchange or association member, unless the Company waives such requirement. The bank, The Western Union the common To formulate such or delivery of original ■'The outstanding feature of the equipment in the first three cal¬ financing of corporate capital in¬ endar years after the war. Much vestment since the war, aside from pro¬ and would require care and a basis lower requirements operations United States tecting of the purchase price. trust company or $47 enforc¬ and Where the person making a tender is not a bank, trust company, insurance company or member of a national securities exchange" such filled, gov¬ make be to "If the op¬ conflicts program the ''A'A"/' 5% Twenty-five Year Bonds, due December 1,1951 Treasurer of part obligated to ing ; .. the Allowing for deprecia¬ bond issues and loans from banks plant and equipment (con¬ and insurance companies (includ¬ servatively estimated for 1946-48 ing the indirect form of debt we would be thrown into the field at roughly 18 to 19 billion dollars),financing whereby corporations of international financial policy. net additions to capital assets sell capital-assets to insurance That is not now our field, either appear to have been comparatively companies or other institutions and by law or by virtue of any spe¬ modest, * particularly in view of rent them on long-term leases) cial competence derived through the growth of population and reare taken into account, debt fi¬ experience or ready sources of nancing has far exceeded equity specific information. Exchange Act of 1934 to do so. We financing (including common and Furthermore, unless this sug¬ have a more limited rule-making preferred stock issues).; For all gestion is materially expanded power under the Securities Act. non-financial corporations net beyond its present apparent scope The -concept. of public ^ interest equity issues came to approxi¬ or intention, we would be with¬ under both of these laws gathers mately 20% of total external out any guides to the factors we its content from the provisions financing through security issues should weigh or the weight to and purposes of those laws and to be given to various possibly rele¬ and bank and other loans in 1946, the maximum extent we deemed vant factors in making the nec¬ it proper and consistent with the and to more than 15% in 1947. ; essary choices between facilitating standards of those Acts we have The dearth of new tyl% Funding and Real Estate Mortgage Bonds, " a overall equity fi¬ stimulate perhaps optimistic appraisal of future capital needs. <, To the extent that the SEC gram. of Invitations for Tenders of due are ernment's com¬ more consider Bank's rising (Which if main¬ facilitate and conditions Exchange Act The en¬ for sustained prosperous to Act unfortunate for reasons. of outweigh the unfavorable factors. The improved outlook to give power would we will otherwise seem or guaranteed Under present cir¬ provision a develop¬ capital projects that might some not of and stock prices nancing issued by the Bank. be may subsequent increases, wage which Securities Securities securities -, the latter be fense expenditures, reduced taxes, tained to was by should developments—enactment which ways problems the It On balance, the favorable- ments. is 1948. larged foreign aid, increased de¬ suggestions from several Notice changed Congress. is addressed the and such - and concerns alternative cumstances The Western Union on scope Provision Granting a to exempt they fall within competence, said, the after that and have heard and discussed with meeting explore the relevant consider¬ as of the all the Interests affected. We will be glad to help your Committee ations insofar by the Exempt Bank Bonds respect law,. That is a problem for the Congress in the light of to recalled, however, that these figures merely measure intentions mon One eign lending policy against those the decline To the SEC Discretion to present ♦Statement of Chairman Hanra¬ matter for the a the Decision have beyond statutory our relative to the government's for¬ to , the was bill. I as considerations Criticism of legislation with changes as broad issues raised guaranteed by it. The decision as to the wisdom of this legislation The objections to no is companion Senate the Securities Act and the Secur¬ ities the 1948 , of Bank, in law, some However, -the Bank h^s felt that broad legislative exemption is necessary for securities issued and my outlays .. goes present -statement. Bank capital strictly in the character of Amer¬ ican governmental securities nor are they strictly similar to the ordinary private and foreign se¬ curities which are subject to our statutes. We have recognized that and mining Undoubtedly the NAC would the- manufacturing the United States representative make such provisions as part of industries, while the rate of ex¬ on the Bank has full veto power its formulation of general policy penditures in all other industries over any borrowing by the Bank remain in guiding the United States' rep¬ will substantially unY in this country and over the changed, and the railroads are resentative on the Bank. making 'of guaranties on loans That would be emphasized fur¬ expected to spend more than in sought in this country and that ther by this very hearing—espe¬ any previous postwar half-year that representative cannot give cially in view of the questions period. • ♦ ' his approval except on instruction asked by you, Mr. Chairman, and "From the trend of estimated of the National Advisory Council, the members of your committee. outlays for the present year, it consisting only of representatives The record of this hearing would would appear that in a number of United States governmental constitute significant legislative of industries postwar capital ex¬ agencies. • ■ < background in considering the pansion plans may be approaching That we have felt the Bank en¬ purposes and effects of the ex¬ completion and that the demand titled to special treatment in view emptions provided for in the bill. for industrial capital goods may points it into greater detail on some than in views McConnaughey, with me today. yesterday made present of part sent to you our the over who we of Commissioner That bill, the foregoing. the by "Although the dollar volume of business plant and this is expected to exceed 1947 ex¬ -at the much higher prices of the penditures, both in the aggregate postwar period, it would appear I think it would be the NAC's and in most industry groups, it is that the net physical additions to clear obligation and exclusive expected to run below the rate for domestic capital equipment in the responsibility to provide substan¬ the fourth quarter of 1947. The tial equivalents to the protections rate of planned outlays in the postwar period have been of much smaller proportions than might be 1948 is in turn afforded under present law which second half of suggested by the ; gross dollar would be rendered inoperative expected to fall somewhat below second Y YY;Y " because of the exemptions pro¬ that for the quarter of figures. ': a-6;. YY;. "It is interesting to note, fur¬ vided in this bill which the NAC, this year. The decline in the last thermore, that despite the billions as well as the Bank, is sponsoring. half is likely to occur chiefly in decisions. The securities issued and guar¬ The 2636. S. Senate of mentality in¬ was the consider the including securities issued or guaranteed by the United States, any State or subdivision thereof or any instru¬ knows, that the NAC us to power "Monthly Review'-a. >, ;■< \ following conclusion duced investment the during regarding outlook for future ex¬ depression years. When further penditures on new plant and consideration is given to the fact equipment: f ; a Y Y-< that depreciation is calculated on to' the comes investor, not only from point of view of disclosure but also of safety, in making those Securities Exchange Act securities issued companion full the analysis, Luxford and American of 1934; As the Com¬ a the and Black have indicated to International Bank. Messrs. "Monthly Review of Credit'and Conditions" of the -Federal Reserve Bank of New York, analyzes the postwar capital outlays in domestic industry and present capital re-equipment and expansion programs. As a result of its reading of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act and the testimony of be approaching completion, may decline after 1948. may capital goods Business Our the Bank. on plans in number of industries The current June issue of the which own here at the invitation of your am Falling Off in Capital Outlays and demand for industrial guide the conduct of the American Committee to comment on H. R. 6443, a bill to amend the Securities Act of 1933, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the National Bank Act to provide exemp¬ tions from these laws for securities issued or guaranteed by the I 10, 1948 Federal Reserve Bank of New York reports postwar capital expan¬ National decisions the Thursday, June Predicts your Advisory Council will be con¬ cerned with tfte American investor Chairman Hanrahan says present fer to the CHRONICLE terday of Mr. Bladk it appears that some By EDMOND M. HANKAH AN* & FINANCIAL . [' i .Yv/;lJY t YY • • • .• Y c tY v i '.A: > Volume 167 Wide Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL strably Diversity in Wage Changes Found by ;>Backman k"'v<'' ■: " ;k: Free Economy I • "Uniform wage patterns . either Hali $ Town "An 3, Dr. of past changes in ——. A. ■■ ■■ 17%c hour. an Backman was. ;k, - poipted out that were im¬ more thanv wage increases "be¬ portant conclusively diversity cause everybody price reduction rather level of real purchasing is expanded. While some companies c o u 1 d - undoubtedly :aise wages without4 increasing that if u n than o r m have of c ;k:V' kk verse rise in and wages. fall in the inventions, changes in population, differing rates of gain in productivity, changing as price General mand, and with The de¬ impact upon differ¬ ent companies and different in¬ dustries.".; * ' •,, i A special study made of the postwar showed wage one movement 15.8 million production work¬ that in It showed only 3.7 million employees industries received an in¬ 43 of crease which I71/2C would to the cover national pattern. proximately 20c six There an so-called million ap¬ workers the 49 industries in which hw in creases hour ~ were .and wbrkers >a: in than more similar 20c an oi industries the 61 number ex¬ from the in Chancellor. Chase the marketing. . York chological side of the do pot yet surveys; we fully understand the which slight changes by wording of questions process in the the of Strong Honored by N. Y. U. New York Stock Exchange Presi¬ rising prices^ while. Other popularity, but there is no Association is the on surprising warmth of feel¬ ing for Eisenhower despite his dis¬ avowal 'of candidacy. There has been no such popular enthusiasm for a man in a long time; his sup¬ port comes from all / groups— The wide made by Mr. Roper's orga nization showed that young and Democrats, if the election we re borers. being held who today, Dewey, MacArthur,; Stas- would Republicans and businessmen is the get from la¬ only k per son more union and votes than labor. His non-partisianship is most popular with the public, who this time denberg would each ; to get old, He Truman and Van- sen Elmo to seem Roper be able better than 40% of the votes will desire a candidate who rise This above ' party politics. atitude also helps Vanden- compared with less than one-third berg, because of'his "statesman¬ for like Truman- and approximately 6% for Wallace; the remainder of the voters However, would still undecided. President Truman are get 41% of the votes in a contest against Senator Taft, who attract only 30% jOf the would votes. Similarly defeat 33%. >, A Governor /k-.; k Truman Warren would 36% to , factor likely to enhance the an extremely lively campaign is the tendency toward wide swings in Truman's popularity, both up and down. ' At the present he appears approach" to foreign policy, vote for Wallace is fairly constant for any combination of Republican and Democratic can¬ didates, running from 5 to 7% of the total, which would probably indicate 2 to 3V2 million votes. Surprisingly enough, his strength k The to seems come both interest in what promises to be President to be TJnited Voorhis * States. Trust Co. Harold Mr. Treasurer .O. Strong, the presented former Univer^ of , sity, for the degree with the- fol¬ lowing citation, v ; / k k A "Benjamin of umnus Strong, Exeter father, is United States dent received honorary degree of Doctor of Laws. Same honor also hand Trust less " of President bility officer as various affairs an of ' trustee and philanthropic, of public religious organizations, including chairmanship of the finance icommittee Board of of the National Presbyterian Missions. All this, and President of the Board of Union Theological -Seminary jtoo! Even so, to us and every¬ body else* he -is jut plain Ben Strong. Today, therefore, we - would reiterate our sense ify, for all time his status released ' John C. Montgomery Dead Colonel John Carter Montgom¬ ery, U. S. A. retired, ar)d a-for¬ mer Vice-President Boston Washington, D. illness, at the age of in was his imore needy missionary areas, First in Va. association Boston long a 66.. His home During with Corporation Wilson With Conrad, Bruce (Special ,LOS to The in work our ;,A 7. ' Financial Frederick J. with Wilson CALIF.— has become Conrad, Bruce 530 was Co. and R. F. Ruth & Co. IN A SYSTEM SERVING 2,193 COMMUNITIES declining in parties, were asked would vote fairly evenly from since, when voters which for if ticket they Wallace were not running, 38% said Democratic and 31% * On the said Republican. Schram nities in the States of Indiana, porkers and in bossing brokers. and schooled in Peru, In¬ Born diana, he advanced his education as handyman and bookkeeper in the local and and coal went kon training to - on a campus thousand acres postgraduate of some five where, in epic fashion, he gathered /. the waters 'into > one * and let dry land >'.<•-i Hi. Virginia, •-kz-kk'kkkk", 'k* '■ ; '% -■1 - ' I' • k> /' / •'":/■ - '•: .k'k .• ' ' apeer.' Confidential inquiries for information regard¬ Vk; ing; plant ^ites, I natural resources, labor supply, r housing facilities,, and other data desired for in- : kk dustrialists seeking favorable location should be addressed to: From this arable Eden, so created, he became head of the National Drainage commu¬ igan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia and k\. -West' of Illinois swamp¬ land place, 2,193 Kentucky, Mich¬ yard,1 lumber T t tp* X " w'A L, L. Davis Association, and was called to Washington in 1933 as chief of the drainage, levee and irrigation division of the Recon¬ ; . Director Industrial Development struction Finance Corporation. He to the overall chair¬ AMERICAN GAS AND manship of that Gargantuan Cor¬ poration in 1939, serving collater¬ ally several other important gov¬ ELECTRIC COMPANY succeeded offices, ernment later was and here and drafted he years SYSTEM '•V,/- An Yet, incredible merely the He that was changed, brought the here world's not the the market is man. incumbency, a winning public of his universal ' %■ ^/. «" ; . •' ' • -t V " map the .• ■ i\ - . • ... "kCOrtlandt 7-5920 :..k- , . New York 8, N. Y. ^ v ■ f 9 t t < ■ , On request, we conviction years \.j. • V 1 seven k ' . ? largest financial essentially utility, and in k . 30 Church Street v. job - by Wall Street, is. transmutation. two ; subject of election fore¬ casting in general, Mr. Roper said that such polls did not demon- Affiliates of this company serve Benjamin Strong - . ' ■ ' 1 -* 7 .. ■ ' principal natural our power resources • r •• C will send industrialists in eight colors showing & West Sixth Street. He formerly with First Califor¬ Co., nia Chronicle) ANGELES, PLANT LOCATIONS Etnil The which Bronxville, N. Y. one indelibly with the matrix of , after C. 7 Hospital, terminated last year he had lived - as by labeling him Doctorate of Laws." died June Alexandria, long associated for The Firtt of Corporation, at Walter Reed General who has simply been own Arnold of gratis jtude for his good deeds/and clar¬ oLour Vice- a & City. a |healthy musical,; educational and the of Kirchofer the is no civic responsi¬ in Arnold, Incor¬ as manager of the New York of¬ fice at 37 Wall Street, New York corporations,' and immersed 4- & porated, has been elected (variety of other financial and in¬ dustrial " , Associates, Inc.,- and will continue Co/," has' in .the Gleason W. ' Kirchofer al¬ President now Thomas with Princeton, zealous and who early mastered in the baok- k Another aspect of the campaign poll hon¬ telling Statistical - the Public opinion analyst evaluates significance :v of poljs. k k the 27, of ing realm the use of the "seventhe ! league boots of his distinguished or Schram and where he will be in November./ May - / recipient Vice-Ghancellor active ef¬ American nation Woodburn degree of Doctor of Laws, Benjamin Strong,. President Whereas several months ago it appeared that President Truman could defeat any Republican candidate, the latest poll results now show that four Republicans might be able to beat him, according to Elmo Roper, public opinion analyst, who spoke before the New York District Chap<$~ of that formerly the-degree with University." Another • ter made first, importance. It is a pleas¬ ure to admit "you today- to the de¬ gree of Doctor of Laws of New But continuing swings in Truman's popularity promise enlivening of k; - is Gleason, Schram, you have dis¬ charged your high office with a keen sense of public responsi¬ bility which "is an asset of the liiiiiiiiii Finds jiiiiwiisie ■ election, campaign, W. "Emil Four Republicans Gould Defeat Truman, Hoper k. Announcement ' At present statistical need for perfection is in the psy¬ ■ Harry conferred Thos. W. Gleason, V.P. Kirchofer Arnold Assoc. A Thomas ? following remarks: was this insulated torate of Laws." 19 orary through employee-attitude and'(4) they have many useful applications in the field of order in which they are asked can To the American economy. We would say more power to him with our Doc¬ and . hour, were management ployees,;; and many white collar given Benjamin Strong, President workers, must bear the full im¬ of United States Trust Company pact of any-inflationary spiral." k of New York. * Dr. Backman pointed out that "Canadian wartime Emil Schram, President of the experience with.the cost of living - bonus New York Stock4; Exchange, re¬ showed the danger of the wage- ceived the honorary degree of price spiral when such a bonus is Doctor of Laws at the 116th Com¬ mencement of New York Uni¬ widely used. In fact; it is like a dog chasing its tail. There is no versity on June 9. k ' A- Vice-Chancellor Harold A O. reason, why wages of all workefs should change together according' Voorhis presented Mr. Schram fdr to some common measuring, stick the degree with the following such as a cost of living index. .If citation; vk;k:. A • -Ak. this "Emil Schram, Indiana farmer principle 7 w e r e •> widely adopted, it would ignore the fact rand President of the New York that wage relationships are dy¬ Stock Exchange, he is equally namic and always changing." ideft and tender in butchering place, salaried workers. > groups, including those living on fixed < incomes, government em¬ actually there was a wide diversity of changes This study covered 153 industries ers or between responsibilities with most con¬ structive -insight,* to the unques¬ tioned enhancement of the whole labor policy is followed, group, namely wage earners,' becomes people believed uniform adjustments of 18 or >18%c an and k; - t recently announced by Motors has usually been that fects of conclusively that although took „ (2539) favor, he has discharged his high surveys; An speaker was tent many hour increase. • unacceptable to labor. uneven first man articulate;' (2) they blueprint the, areas of ignorance among the people and show which groups lack information or are pointed out that the tying of wages to living costs yield entirely different results. other factors fall many wage a those recently awarded." public New relationships, shifts in mon gap outstanding illustration would be the railroads if they had to-pay any wage increases in addition to by;■' di~ Indus¬ tured changes tries favor. accompany economy should be fea- Jules Backman /?, a i m through are It is in¬ a candidates, discouraging the • prices, the. fact remains that there techniques have been refined to many marginal firms and a point where further perfection marginal/ industries in which a would affect the results by only a price' increase would inevitably few percentage points. The great the 1 econ¬ d y n of misinformed; (3)-'they bridge the tiie ;• power been evitable that hence general i t y characteristic omy. \ shares * in-the and choioe .Public opinion polls in general, •Mr; -Roper said; serve' four useful functions:' (I) they make the com¬ A ■ postwar | increase "Price reductions shows wages this less than examina¬ tion < which 1943. vote. candidates whom the polls showed 1 might win instead of otherwise qualified men,; y " June popular select are free economy," Dr. Jules Backman, Associate a the candidacy of men whom early polls showed to be trailing, 01* through inducing conventions to : incompatible with the functioning Professor rof EcoA momics, New York University School of Commerce, Accounts^ and Finance, told the Society for the. Advancement of Management" at of affect the ence "';kk A . FINANCIAL CHRONICLE There might, however, be a ten¬ dency for election polls to influ¬ Uniform Wage Patterns Held Incompatible With l"' & a large lines and of the area served. I 20 COMMERCIAL THE (2540) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, June 10, 1948 for or Physiocrafic Balderdash Bank and Insurance Stocks "First, the Congress should provide a perma¬ system of flexible price support for agricul¬ tural commodities. This Week Bank Stocks — City bank stocks, this Four years ago, early in June, 1944, the index was hovering around the same level* In view of this it may be interesting to compare the earnings, divi¬ dends, book value and market prices for the two periods of a number of leading New York City banks. For this purpose the following The American Banker Index of New York first week in June, stability of farm income encouraging desirable adjustments in production. Earns, per Sh. Dividends —Dec, 31— "A 1947 1943 1947 1943 1947 Bank Manhattan $2.01 $2.06 $25.04 $32.24 $0.90 $1.20 , Bank of New York— 24.42 21.83 358.97 456.06 14.00 14,00 ; Bankers Trust *41.80 50.25 '1.17 1.80 M4% Central Hanover 4.00 105 ■ of *3,16 Corn National Exchange -—- 99.15 121.46 2.51 36.87 43.52 1.40 1.60 40'/a *2,73 2.61 *32.98 43.26 21.44 1.80 243% 3.66 49.10 58.81 5.03 49.34 58.12 2.40 2.80 87-66 1,246.60 1,367.46 80.00 80.00 3.61 4.63 106.16 ♦First National Guaranty Trust——^ Irving Trust —— *16.61 11 49 1.00 126 2129 Trust- 4.86 4.72 2.44 3.25 "Manufacturers 'National New. York Public i Trust—— ; 6.51 - fioao 42% 281 360.67 *10.80 12.00 *304 22.90 0.60 0.80 16 60.03 2.00 2.40 52% 48.18 1.00 1.60 37% 42% 96% "As 92 107/33 85,34 48.30 , 4.00 3.50 54.25 1.50 35.00 35.00 17 % ■> 42% 585 740 'Adjusted retroactively for 20% stock div. Dec. 29, 1944, for comparison purposes, "^Adjusted retroactively for 25% stock div. Dec. 24, 1945, for comparison purposes. "Adjusted for 5-for-l Split. V,< ,J. v ■■♦Total..'net, .earnings.,: I "Adjusted retroactively for 11.1% stock div, Feb. 15, 1947, for comparison purposes. "On 1,649,922 common shares in 1943 and 2,062,500 in 1947, after conversion of preferred; no adjustment made, " - City Bank Farmers Trust. "Adjusted for 2-for-l split Dec. 27, 1945. 1 1 • 'Includes . develop •;*: - - ; "The tabulation brings out a number of interesting comparisons. For example, net earnings, exclusive of security profits and recov¬ eries, were moderately higher in 1947 than in 1943 for 10 of the 16 banks, as follows: Bank of Manhattan, Central Hanover, Chase, Commercial, Corn Exchange, Guaranty Trust, Irving Trust, National V . , s ■ , ,5/ have grown substantially, except in the of U. S. Trust which, in 1947, transferred $1,600,000 ($40 per share) from undivided profits to the Employees' Retirement Plan. Inasmuch as this growth has been brought about, in the main, bv the plough-back of earnings, it bespeaks the conservatism of dividend policy in the majority of cases. The degree of this conservatism can be appraised by comparing in the table the 1947 dividends with 1947 earnings. In only two instances, viz. First National and U, S. Trust, is dividend coverage narrow. Dividends in 1947 were > earned more than twice by the following banks: National City and Public; and in excess of 1.5 times by: Bank of Manhataan, Bank of New York, Bankers Trust Co., Central Hanover, Chase, Commercial, Corn Ex¬ change, Irving Trust, Manufacturers Trust, and New York Trust. ^y£y;V';" to now prise total — y; y » corporations to offset higher replacement costs. in 1947, based annual averages, the year-end approximated four million. This represented an average investment in assets of $10,000 per employe. The capital stock was owned by more than five million registered sharehold¬ ers, a considerably larger number than the total of employees. ^ upon the article: : y "The sharp rise in plant and equipment costs has created in¬ creasingly acute problems for business* since the war in financ¬ ing the record program of repairs, improvements, replacements, and expansion of productive facilities. Many corporations in their 1947 annual reports devoted consider¬ able space to these problems, and cited figures showing replace¬ or around the above same rate for 1948. needed to build ■; INCORPORATED 67 WHircHAU. 3-0782 Walt Street NY 1-2679 BOSTON 9 CHICAGO 4 LOS ANGELES 14 SAN FRANCISCO 4 10 Post Office Square 231S. LaSalle Street 210 West Seventh Street Russ Building Michigan 2837 YUkon 6-2332 LA-1086 SF-573 1 PRIVATE WIRE SYSTEM CONNECTING: NEW YORK, BOSTON, CHICAGO, CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, ST. LOUIS, LOS ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO TELEPHONES TO: Hartford, Enterprise 6011 Portland, Enterprise 7008 Providence, Enterprise 7008 Detroit, Enterprise 6066 , holders or purchase simi¬ against earnings an causes, overstatement of in net a sense, income. What happens is that business is selling out piecemeal its low-cost productive assets and taking the 'profit' into operating income. "At the same time, the carrying of fixed assets in the balance sheet own in stock more than these of companies, many a registered shareholder is a fi¬ nancial institution or; nominee holding in trust stock for numer¬ one ■ lar assets today. This inadequacy of depreciation currently charged beneficiaries. ous "Although able for avail¬ means are no accurate an estimate of how present-day costs of plant equipment of a large group of companies such as this compare and with the book values which at they are carried on the balance sheets, an adjustment of the latter figures by changes in the index of industrial building costs com¬ piled by the 'Engineering NewsRecord' should afford proximation. a useful ap¬ ; v "This widely-used index, based at labor and material costs, ob¬ viously would not measure ac¬ curately the change in costs of all types of Book valuations original cost less accrued de¬ preciation, or far below prevail¬ ing costs, results in an under¬ ---the book ■Costs yy, ;,yy,; value of total less total liabilities and assets reserves, upon the diversified assets industries of in all used represented. fixed assets also with the dates, in some running back many years, at which they were originally ac¬ quired, as well as the rates at which they have been amortized. vary represented by capital stock and surplus account. Consequently, a high return of net income on net worth may be misleading unless consideration is given both to the Valuations often are affected by possibly inadequacy of deprecia¬ adjustments in connection with tion charges, and the fact that net purchase and sale of plants, dis¬ cases worth at book value is based to a extent upon costs before World War II, and in many cases going back to World War I or be¬ fore. Because of recent changes in the price level,, figures of cur¬ rent earnings and net worth are no longer strictly comparable, since the former is expressed in large current dollars largely in Provision for High Replacement NEW YORK 5: plications to the extent that many* individual and institutional share¬ valuation of the stated 'net worth' ranging 50 to original ; more largest, expenditures in their history in 1947 and are projected GEYEft & CO. holders of the group includes du¬ inflationary prices. T h em¬ bank estimates replacement costs ' versally accepted practice, upon now range from 50% to 100% original costs, they are in most above original costs. According to cases at a rate -far below that the v com¬ substantial portion of the production and employment a or . fiscal nearest or of all manufacturing corporations. Their total number of employees; . "In the manufacturing and min¬ ing industries, expenditures have been particularly heavy for de¬ ferred maintenance and postwar reconversion, followed by im¬ provements and increased capa¬ city to meet the unprecedented demands for steel, chemicals, petroleum, textiles, \ and many other products. Most of the rail¬ roads and the utility industries— electric, light and power, natural and manufactured gas, telephone and telegraph, water, traction and bus—have programs for growth and improvements that involved WHOLESALE MARKETS IN CG-105 calendar lion at the end of 1947 and from BANK and INSURANCE STOCKS FRAnklin 7535 statements of , y Th& June issue of the "Monthly Bank Letter," published by the National City Bank of New York, contains a review and analysis of provisions taken by leading American business corporations to ac¬ count for higher replacement costs of plant and equipment resulting costs. BS-297 the given in the accompany¬ ing list (Table I). There are of course other ways of measuring size, such as total volume of sales, capital funds, number of em¬ ployes, etc. "These companies, which in¬ clude the largest organizations in numerous major industries, had total assets aggregating $41.6 bil¬ National City Bank of New York reports provisions being taken by 100% Hubbard 2-0650 of present-day analysis has an year, as practical plan for safeguarding the diets of low-income families. We should have such a plan ready all the time on a stand-by basis, to be put into operation on short notice in case of need. We must never again allow Americans to go hungry while agricultural surpluses are going to waste." ment costs last year Truman Analyzes Rising Plant and Equipment Costs - case and While the total number of share¬ Dividend increases since 1943 have been made by Bank of Man¬ hattan, Bankers Trust, Chase, Chemical, Commercial, Corn Exchange, Guaranty Trust, Irving Trusty Manufacturers Trust, National City, New York Trust, and Public National. With Chemical and Guaranty Trust, the increase Was brought about by stock dividends, as shown in the footnotes to the table, but Bankers Trust increased the rate cases President ' stock dividend. made 1947 ma¬ farmer, of course, is always a court favor¬ voting time approaches, but really, had we better not come to our senses about agriculture before we "go broke" in pursuit of current physio- that, marketwise, Chase was 3V4 points ahead of National City, whereas today it is 4% points behind. ; Book values in all some manufacturing cor¬ porations, measured by the total assets reported at the end of the ite when It is of interest to note and also paid a assets fixed been a cratic balderdash? giving the 100 largest The City, New York Trust, and Public. Percentwise, the best gain was by National City (33.1%), followed by Public (28.4%) and Irving Trust (26.0%), Despite these gains, the market value today is higher only in the case of Bank of Manhattan, Corn Exchange, Irving Trust, National City and Public; Central Hanover, Chase, Commercial, Guaranty, and New York Trust are lower today than *" of should also start we view to replacement costs, * —President Truman. made four years ago. * third element of "I believe that r t ■ . a a general idea of the difference be¬ tween the balance sheet valuation jor importance to agricultural prosperity, we must take steps to maintain adequate markets for farm products and to improve the methods of distributing them to consumers. 53% 39% 2.00 731.82 • 758.75 * ,/ 1,385 Corporations "With 57 51% 1,610 higher replacement costs. V second extended. 44% 50% 2.00 38.29 4.25 36.56 1.60 38% . 41.74 6.51 3.31 43.54 National "U. S. Trust v-', - City 42% 93 6.68 2.33 & Tr. Chemical Bank ^-Commercial 4.00 338 6.54 National Chase 3.00* 25% 22% 410 the important pro¬ gram for the future of American agriculture is that of soil con¬ servation. Our present soil con¬ servation program must be vig¬ orously supported and rapidly 1948 1944 J£43 » small if any special provision for , The 109 Largest Manufacturing —Asked Price— June 3 June 4 Book Value of companies have thus far made while , Net Operating ; able 1948, is hovering around 41. tabulation has been prepared: , expected losses, etc. It appears, however, judging from the pub¬ lished reports, that the majority need price-support legis¬ reason- ear¬ may be applied to fixed assets as weir as high-cost inventories, un¬ For the benefit of farmers and of the whole nation, we lation which will assure and purposes, to be retained until the time for such replacements. Still other companies created or added to contingency reserves, which nent' By E. A. VAN DEUSEN other marked "Last and prewar year a latter the dollars. • number of com¬ principally among the "The increase in replacement larger manufacturing organiza¬ costs over original; costs of plant tions^ made special charges in and equipment creates not only their income statements to pro¬ the problem of providing the ac¬ vide for accelerated depreciation tual funds to finance such re¬ or for high-cost replacement of placements as they become neces¬ fixed assets. In some cases these sary, but also accounting prob¬ charges were made against oper¬ lems in the preparation of finan¬ ating earnings, and thus reduced cial statements to reflect this ad¬ the reported net income corre¬ vance. Since annual depreciation spondingly. In other cases the charges to amortize the value of charges were treated, not as de¬ fixed assets over their estimated ductions from but appropriations useful life are based, according to of net income, unavailable for long-established and almost uni¬ paying out in dividends, wages, panies, posal of government war surplus, reappraisals, recapitalizations, re¬ organizations, and mergers. Cor¬ responding reductions in capital and surplus account for many companies have resulted from writing down fixed assets as well as intangibles. ; "The 'Engineering News-Rec¬ ord' and similar indexes, however, trace the rising trend of costs, and , the effect if all fixed assets should be replaced at prevailing prices. They indicate the competitive conditions company under which a new would start in business. (Table 2.) - , "Total sales and other revenues of these companies, including es¬ preliminary figures for companies in which com¬ plete operating details are not available, increased from approxi¬ timated a or few mately $20.6 billion in 1940 to $39.9 billion in 1945 jand $50.6 bil¬ lion in 1947. "Net income after taxes totaled % ^Volume 167 to $3.7 billion in 1947. The in of widely-used rate earnings, the large year last income net was ex¬ pansion in volume of business and not to an • profit ceptions) in widening of which in most important ex¬ margins,, (with cases than unusual ported net income in 1947 repre¬ sents an average return of 8.8%, some were at should emphasized that be this attempt to adjust for changes in replacement costs should not be taken too literally, but is illus¬ trative of the upward price trends and the problems they have cre¬ ated. This matter of replacement expanded to $12.6 billion and were 7V2 times dividends. ' 4 costs is but one of the many fac¬ to tors actually narrower years of active The from the actually lower than in 1940. former apparent gain arises under-valuation of assets. A business. "Upon the book net worth to¬ com¬ parison between return as re¬ ported and as adjusted is given taling $26.1 billion at the end of 1947, the net income represented an average return of, 14.3%, com- ift the chart below: rise during Bureau to be replaced. By the same token, however, there is an obvious dan¬ companies, having expenditures from then and borrowed money for ex¬ pansion plant of have capacity, been criticized, in the same quar¬ REPORTED ters, 15 \ and domestic insatiable apparently meet the to order in still more for not spending foreign The retained earnings oi further. designated on prior years, though sheet balance in not are "surplus," as of cash but the form in invested been have already 1945 Worth Net of 100 "For this group 1947 v Largest Manu¬ upon Reported, ;' TABLE I i 100 Largest Manufacturing -/• ■ Corporations, Based on Total Assets •; Reported at the End of 1947 . ; Liggett & Myers Tob. Co.,—$366 Mid-Continent Pet. Corp 116 Aluminum, Co. of America— 430 Monsanto Chemical Co 199 250 business. Total approximated billion and were about 4% in ;; 1940 payrolls payments, dividend the Nash-Kelvinator Corp 138 National Biscuit Co Amer. Rad. & Std. San. Corp.. 153 Natl. Dairy Prod. Corp Amer. Smelting & Ref. Co.__ 256 Natl-. Distillers Prod. Corp American Sugar Ref. Co.—_ 133 National Lead Co — 647 American Viscose Corp American Woolen National Steel Corp 201 Ohio Oil Co 164 Owens-Illinois Glass Co Anaconda 162 251 i 439 Copper Min. Co.__ 637 Armco Steel Corp. i l 249 Phelps Dodge Corp Phillips Petroleum Co Armour & Co. 421 Pittsburgh Plate Glass Co.___ 207 Atlantic Refining Co Bendix Aviation Corp Bethlehem Steel Corp... Borden Company ,44Borg-Warner Corp. Burlington Mills Corp. Caterpillar Tractor Co.__ Celanese Corp. of America—. Chrysler Corporation 330 Cities Service Co. 900 Shell Union Oil Corp—— 534 192 Sinclair Oil Corp.—.—— 207 Continental Oil Co.—4.4™ 209 Skelly Oil Co Socony-Vacuum Corn Products Ref. Co Standard Brands, ______ Coca-Cola Co. 44._; Continental Can Co. ... Crane Company Curtiss-Wright Corp. Procter & Gamble Co 123 Pullman, Inc. '4 949 Pure Oil Co 222 Radio Corp. of Amer 4' 151 Republic Steel Corp.___—___ 125 R. J. Reynolds Tob. Co 4 122 Reynolds Metals Co..--.^.—4 212 St. Regis Paper Co — 487 Schenley Distillers Corp... 146 242 197 245 216 455 458 112 133 318 591 129 1,262 Oil Co Inc 135 Stand. Oil Co. of Calif 876 166 Stand. Oil Co, (Indiana)—.1,268 229 Stand. Oil Co. (N. J.)__. 2,996 129 ....... Deere & Co. tries con¬ A d ac- y - Distillers Corp.-Seagrams—.4 267 E. I. du Pont de N. & Co.—1,438 Stand. Oil Co. of Ohio.— Eastman Kodak Co. 360 Swift 324 by Charles E. Wilson, Chair¬ present earnings tained Sale of new business lead- ing will repre¬ sent investment the runs Benjamin F. Fairless, President of U. S. Steel Corporation, and Rob¬ ert L. Warren, President of Brockway Glass Co., have the Committee. The upon ness, and alternative of nance sources, to required earnings good justify the investment." ; Sales and net income >4 tising Council, to advise on Coun¬ cil campaigns affecting specific cil in raising its Results loan . 1945 1947 7.4c Committee have not as yet made their reports and not started soliciting 3.3c 4, Special impetus has been given by the Industries Advisory Com¬ mittee to the campaign for a bet¬ equipment, net worth, and rate based upon reported balance 4 , 4'rsheet book values of plant & equipment., 4 4 , , Plant and equipment, 1940 total..--— L 24,448 / 24,448 of return, Gen. Amer. & 242 Economic 3,748 1946-47 24,448 3,748 6,225 pledges of advertising support fromleading industries. This campaign will be launched in the Tide Water Assoc. Oil Co.—? Co.4.4—_1,027 Union Carbide & Car; Corp._ Union Oil Co. of Calif—4 General Motors Corp. 2,473 i United Aircraft , Corp.... General 263 649 272 160 Transp; Corp._4_ 132 Electric General Foods Corp.U-y—— 207 B. F. Goodrich Co— 247 United Fruit Co 24,448 11,701 28,196 16,145 34,421 17,745 Net total to date -4 12,747 Net worth end of year—18,701 12,051 22,227 16,676 26,093 8.7% 14.3% Total to date —— Less: Reserve for depreciation.— Rate of return—net income — to net worth._ 10.0% Street. 38,386 Members of the firm are: Presi¬ 3,990 5,386 7,140 dent, Dudley D. Rockwell; Treas¬ urer, Willard L. Gould. Both have had several years' experience in 24,448 32,430 11,701 16,145 50,912 17,745 ;j: Less: 929 U. S. Rubber Co __ 348 Hearst Cons. Publications—— 161 i U. S. Steel Corp ....2,163 Inland Steel Co.—..—44.—^— 244 Walker-Gooderham & Worts. 134 Inter. Corp Bus. .... Machines Corp.— 184 Inter/ Harvester Co.^4_44— u 620 International Paper Co.— Johns-Manville Corp. _ . —115 Jones & Laughlin Steel Cp.__ Kennecott Copper r 279 Corp 341 541 are Wheeling Steel Corp———4 158 for the years going back to 1940, including American Car & Foundry .Co., Crown Zellerbach Corp., Dow Chemical Co., > Ford Motor Co.r General Mills, Inc., Philip Morris & Co., Ltd., Publicker Industries, Inc., Remington Rand, Inc., Singer Manufacturing Co., and - • ' , ' business investment The in the territory., Elmira principally will sell insurance firm 16,285 26,461 33,167 stocks 42,584 curities. income to net worth— 10.0% 7.3% 8.8% —— Rate of return—net over-the-counter and se¬ Formation of the firm was pre¬ viously reported in the "Financial Chronicle"- of May 20, | *Plant and equipment adjusted by changes since 1940 in the En¬ of Building Costs (1913=100) from 242.2 in December 1945 and to 326.9 in De¬ gineering News-Record Index 208.2 in December 1940 to applied to the total plant and cost of 285.0. •' ■'-j . DonaM G. Babbitt With Keaie S Go., (Soecial to The Detroit Financial DETROIT, MICH. — Chronicle) } Donald G. associated Griswold Street, members of the De¬ troit Stock Exchange. Mr. Bab¬ bitt has recently been with Baker, Simonds & Co., specializing in Babbitt Wilson & Co.—______4_ 140 Youngstown Sheet & Tube... 260 year, or the 12,747 18,701 datei—— Net total to equipment in December Western Electric Co——— 771 Westinghouse Elec. Corp.44— 602 1940, plus the additions during 1941-45 at an assumed average cost Weyerhaeuser Timber Co 195 of 227.5, plus the additions during 1946-47 at an assumed average a number of large companies whose not yet available for the 1947 calendar or nearest fiscal J. P. Stevens & Co. depreciation. Net worth end of year———— cember 1947, The above list excludes statements Reserve for .____ mutual funds, bank and Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. 408 U. S. Gypsum Co.—.4—_ 132 Gulf Oil _JlU— Total to date f Rockwell- — 28,440 —————— Additions 1946-47 4 N.V-Y. ELMIRA, Gould, Inc., announce the open¬ ing-of theirs offices in the Rob¬ inson Building, 159-167 Lake equipment, net worth, and rate 4, of return, adjusted to approximate re- . ''1 , placement costs of plant & equipment.* Plant and equipment, 1940 total. —_ 24,448 1941-45 j Inc., Opens in Elmira Plant and Additions ~ Rockwell-Gould Co., '419 ______ « Fall. 444- 437 Co understanding of the American System by soliciting ter 189 — still others have their respec¬ tive industries. Texas Company—.-—1,115 _________ Firestone Tire & Rubber Co._ Sun Oil Co. the 1,668 •~r 3.0c 1941-45 $173,477 3,730 4 Additions to thirty industries represented Committee. Other mem¬ bers of the Industries Advisory Plant and Additions Committee the of amount $50,600 4.9c ._ . the $39,900 1,943 1,208 1940 > annual budget. the fund-raising ef¬ of to date received in or cash and pledges toward the $650,000 necessary for the '48-49 Coun¬ cil operation. This figure includes contributions from only nine of forts on __________$20,600 Net income after.taxes —4-4 1,875 Dividends (preferred & common) paid1,198. Net income per sales dollar :— 9.1c Dividends paid per sales dollar.. 5.8c i was if industries; and to aid the Coun¬ ,> Total sales and revenues Committee suggest new public service campaigns to the Advert to formed still .• the committee com¬ 36-top flight business The leaders. mainte¬ is busi¬ on of posed from these the will repre¬ members the rubber industry, the iron steel industry and the glass industry against Even funds are raised in part new joined sent the investment banking policies of the .authorities. monetary Collyer, Goodrich Co., John F. of B. President generally un- far credit control firms banking that announced Borrowing has the ef¬ and if carried too Harding throughout the country. ;• ■. At the same time,' Mr. Wilson increasing the debt ratio, of Charles B. Mr. Hard¬ ers, receptive market for new equity fect which of - flight 36 top preferred or common stock is limited by a Com¬ mittee, lower relied the is composed conditions, re¬ are member a of the chief source of new capital. as Co. Electric As food distribution costs, and so on. "Under General of of pub¬ to super-markets the President and mechanization of coal lic utilities, mines, of* man Committee petroleum produc¬ greater steel, t nounc e m e n Business is being called on to raise capital for financing the expansion of fa¬ cilities for increased output of tion and refining, growth joined the Indus¬ Advisory Committee of the e rtisirig an- needed. capital v cording to chasing power of their income. "If business is to continue its new senior Harding, Council payments (In Millions of Dollars) 292 118 Co.,__ ^ of "As the dollar total of TABLE II 4 154 277 210 163 American Cyanamid Co.— 207 American Tobacco Co index v::74>-4?-4100 Largest Manufacturing Corporations '•/ 202 American Can Co. paid to the share¬ holders owning the $5.5 wages proportionately than more have dividends j ■ Allied Chem. & Dye Corp.___$575 Allis-Chalmers Mfg. Co much of fact increased and salaries have in times (In Millions of Dollars) Y; of large corpo¬ payments the rations, '• Balance Sheet Book Values and upon Plant and Equipment Adjusted to Approximate Current Replacement Costs, facturing Corporations, Based Plant and Equipment as of same Labor securities. fixed and working assets. I I f on the of B. New York, has prices, amounting to 59%. dividend sumer rates also for not increasing wage the and products, their for demand Return than the period in the replacement costs long-term growth trend, to pro¬ wage rates and duce more goods at reasonable pricing policies. prices for; the American people "The 1947 earnings of many and to provide more jobs at high companies have been criticized, ir, wages, then good earnings are es¬ some quarters, as excessive; yet sential to build and attract the own of Charles partner of Smith, Barney & Co., ger in ignoring in determining made vast 20 Rate from $1,800 in rose Harding on Advisory Committee ;.! $3,100 in 1947, an increase of 72 %, which was more earnings. It is not an argumeni for companies* to write up the book value of their assets to cur¬ often the same PER CENT Average employe 1940 to considered in judging be annual compensation "Average per 21 Charles B. increased only 39% plying the changes since 1940 in from 1940 to 1947, despite an in¬ the general index of building crease of the same percentage in costs, the valuation would be rent costs as a new bas.s for com¬ Shareholders' equity from re¬ lifted by $16.5 billion to $50.9 bil¬ puting 1 earnings, since no one tained earnings arid new stock is¬ lion, and book net worth would knows what the trend of prices be lifted by an equal amount. may be in the future or at what sues, the shareholders as a group lost ground in terms of the pur¬ Upon this enlarged base, the re¬ dates the various assets will have corpo¬ enormous purcnasing power. plant and equipment, car¬ $34.4 billion (before de¬ preciation) at the end of 1947, had been adjusted to 1947 costs, by ap¬ dollar to-v tal chiefly to the dif¬ "If ried presenting of are "It 1947 total payrolls had while by Earnings and New Capital; 10.0 and income is expressed dollars, but net worth of much greater declined earlier this year when our annual tabulations due 1945 is based largely on prewar dollars measure of in the kinds of dollars in current from 9.1 cents per dollar of sales in in 1940 to 4.9 cents in 1945, and rose to 7.4 cents in 1947. As pointed out earnings, 8.7 In this comparison, how¬ ferent—net margin of profit, which to¬ gether with return on net worth the most 1940. ever, aver¬ age is with pared approximately $1.9 billion in both 1940 and 1945, but rose sharply (2541) FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE Number 4706 w has become with Keane & Company, 645 With First Cleveland Corp. - (Special to The Financial Chronicle/ CLEVELAND, OHIO—Jack K. is with the First Cleve¬ Elwood land Bank Corporation, National City Building, members of the Cleveland Stock Exchange. r A. Lepper (Special to-The & Co. Adds Financial 1 Chronicle) CINCINNATI, OHIO—A. Lepper National Bank Build¬ of the Cincinnati Exchange, have added Wil¬ & Co., First ing, members Stock liam D. Duble to their staff. municipal securities. In the past he conducted his own investment business in Detroit. . ! 22 (2542) THE COMMERCIAL CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, June 10, 1948 World Recovery and World Bank - i reconstruction is in great need of (Continued from page 17) I and there are other hay presently available some $470 financing very large areas, South million for lending purposes with¬ | areas, out further borrowing. In spite of America, Africa, and the Far and Middle &ast, wnicn are in need oi the fact that there are numerous One of the major forces working toward the restoration of railjroad credit over the past eight to 10 years has been the adoption of - the to properties largely merely the for refunding on refunded. or fi which has been, or will be, paid •Following the depression, when; very few roads failed to covertheir operating costs but many; found it difficult, if hot impos¬ sible, to support their debt; charges, there was a pronounced; change in policy throughout the industry. Most railroads, includ¬ ing some whose debt structures! off. of !!,.• .!• ;!!'!!.. Of far greater import than any the above is the reported in-; tention of & Nashville LouisvillO of selling $30 million of term debt to reimburse the ital treasury for made- cap¬ the oh industries, public and private, for the favor the capital mar¬ of It is bound by its Charter to ket. follow certain standards., Its loans must be productive which prove but except for new equip-! ment these and better-' additions have ments earnings financed been and out of! not capitalized. improvements ac¬ Heavy Capital companied by sharp cuts in out¬ standing debt, contrasted with the industry's earlier history of mounting debt, has been one ofi the most favorable aspects of the; railroad picture. It is small won¬ der, then, that evidence that some ■of the carriers are reverting to -the earlier policies is not being •viewed enthusiastically by rail-! xoad security analysts. ; : ; ; : Chesapeake & Ohio in recent years has spent substantial funds on extension of lines into new coal coal the a territory, improvement of its handling facilities, etc. At same time, it has maintained liberal dividend combination left This policy. the in road tight financial position. The - a man¬ agement has apparently not want¬ ed to capitalize the property ad-j •ditions and betterments with long! -term has mortgage debt. Instead, recently adopted selling equipment it policy of a trusts obliga¬ tions Up to practically 100 % of the, cost of the new usual equipment rather than 75%-80%. While this has the result of inflating the debt structure effectively to cover the non-equipment capital cost of ex¬ penditures it at least has the ad¬ fully pea red road'S tries n e e ds. of closei to and The issues and of providing for serial repayment. gations ments •The The equipment obli¬ mature over a in equal 10 year financing of instal¬ period. Kansas : City Southern earlier this week is in different category, as is the templated financing of phia, Baltimore & a con¬ Philadel¬ Washington Guaranteed Stocks no debt than-' regular ments -maturing until 1955. Last serial equip-; for the the loans of of the loans approved. As the have for making loans dependent the confidence upon investors, that is to investors, to are for which purposes were sources we are private the Bank is designed so stimulate investment the into say flow of private productive pur¬ throughout the world/ It is hope of its management, as poses well as have the Bank its definite and reports serve Special Securities of adopted the the objective, to as a bridge in is members As enormous deficits countries debt would offset a iarge part of Teletype New York 4, N. Y. NY 1-1063 9-6400 •' *, i postwar night, moots million of term: s world * devel¬ oped, due to many causes which it Is not necessary to recount to¬ the in United It de¬ each other. great luted that pends upon Western from The Europe during the the. of course it more things but the many European do can program the greatei will be the relief to the American Moreover.. I taxpayer. not am un. mindful of the lact that the extent to which the European Coopera¬ tion Administration makes grant and even loans to Western Europe of 3*ums to bg used for productive working capital;; and machinery, by! that much are the loans which the International Bank may make to- Westerp Europe better secured ;Wcu have loans. Four of struction were date these made five were recon¬ in Europe. loans They made to France, The Nether¬ lands, Denmark, and Luxembourg Another was made to Chile foi development purposes. To France many items of capital equipmen. were furnished, including 100 hew locomotives tional for the French Na¬ Railways, > bulldozers anc earth moving equip¬ arose Western ment is ships placed in-the were between! service* of; the Dutch 'merchant These deficits were so' marine as a result of the Bank'* may, produce economic distortions but the condition remains. I don't want to give you a trav¬ elogue of South America but ecoT nomically speaking my trip con¬ firmed fact which haVe us that both for its .area the the of most welfare of believe an welfare and own the 1 here is world should be brought as rapidly as pracT jticable to fuller productivity. It is encouraging to see so many men in the various countries of South America nomic conscious social and at work of the forces eco¬ that are in their respective coun¬ tries,, and the earnestness; with they approach their prob-. which lems.; The problems and complexv but there are 'serious are with them V all energies being many ap¬ plied to their solution. '/ !!;!•'-: ; v s — ■ We-found that those responsible were interested in many different types of productive! enterprises certainly / in the main they were not laboring under any fan¬ P:' but tastic consider¬ were ing seriously what needed to be done in the!way of sound agri¬ cultural improvement, port velopment, communication tems, power projects and . In some South serious * settlement to M de¬ I! sys¬ the f:!r: countries American '"; in i! Continent consideration "was to -schemes be ' v of the governments member, our the ' development schemes. 'Of¬ ficials and others of cargo and praise¬ and probably will, apparent worthy. It ment for the work on the GeneSiav States -and institution ing with a radio and a motion picture at hand. The desire to telescope the period of develop¬ like. Of Europe and tinent, steps have to be taken un¬ the intimate knowledge and pressure of what is going on else¬ where in the world. It is pioneer¬ der other types of pay-! Dam in the Rhone Valley, sout'r. between the of the City of Lyons. Fifty nev balance place in the North American Con¬ given immigration and for whose receive object ] wotild into their coun¬ mi-1--.' •* Mi loan. Agricultural machinery wag tries from the over - populated reduction z of $50yas the International Bank mbde available for Denmark; Luxareas of the European Continent 751,000 the company made in its could pqssibly cope with them and j em lourg is receiving new stee! immigrants and settlers of the mainly ' from type who could be relied upon to non-equipment obligations; More¬ have any funds available for re¬ mill- equipment, construction, an.d I development! Pittsburgh. Many machine tools carve out their homes and their over, during that period equip¬ either in Europe or in other parts, and: •ptfter.i equipment! are being Opportunities in new lands; ment debt increased almost $14 of the world. These deficits were' pur chared in Cincinnati out o! Schemes of this sort in these days million, • ■ * * 1! symptoms of fundamental ecQ~. funds received from the proceed require careful preparation and noni.ic disorders and represented of loans from the International organization and they also require !!!'! trends with which the Bank- was Bank: - There' is no limitaiior some financing. The North Amer¬ never designed to deal, at least placed" upon where* the proceed.' ican Continent could and did rely singlehandedly. If the Bank is to of the loans may be spent and our on the natural flow of economic maintain the confidence of its in¬ records" show that the proceeds forces to provide settlers.; Those vestors, to do, its duty toward v its are in'fact, spent in various parts who came to Cincinnati after 1848 1 -The Kansas City Southern Rail¬ stockholders, it is necessary that of!; the" world usv well as in the game largely" , UridCir , their own way awarded June 8 to an under¬ its energies and resources should United States. To South America, power.!! But! today ! dislocations y,v writing group'headed by The First be devoted to. the creation for example, we can trace some¬ arising from the war and other or; Boston Corp. "a new* issue of "$14",- maintenance of fairly definite! thing around $50 million of the conditions make it necessary and 000,000 first mortgage '20-year productive projects whose output, $300 million which have thus far desirable to assist these forces, it ;'!!!'■; bonds, series B> due June 1, 1968. in whatever form, Is something of been drawn down* on the Bank's is afield in which much can and The group submitted at competi¬ which the particular country- or loarr. Should' be dohe, in. my j udgment;; tive sale a bid of 99.40 for. a 3%% the. world stands in economic t shall leave any further quesf and is one in which the Interna* ;?;-v ! interest rate. Subject to approval ,!!! !;V !!■!* !!'!>! tional Bank with the cooperation] of the the 1941-1947 , no consti-j , v^li: Kansas City So. Bonds tions; regarding Interstate Commerce Com¬ mission, the group is offering the securities at 100.35 and accrued yield 3.60% to matur- Offsetting Economic Imbalance With the advent ditional sums - Proceeds will ;be from the financing by the company to from the; Louisiana & used purchase of the Euro¬ Recovery Program large ad¬ pean were made available which, if providently used, should substantially of some the check if forces not tending its first mortgage 4% bonds, series imbalance in the wo.rld. to!create alter which'.were Arkansas; Railway $14,000,000 of this economic In large May 1, 1969.!The latter part its funds are made available company will, in turn, utilize the* for the supply of "food,"fuel, raw D, due proceeds from its sale to redeem a like amount of its-1 % % ■ promis¬ sory notes due-May-28, 1949. issue, of Louisiana & The Arkansas first mortgage ; bqnds ;; will be pledged under the first mortgage of Kansas City Southern Railway, Associated with The First Bos¬ Corp. in the Offering are: Dick & Merle-Smith; Goldman, Sachs & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; F. S. Moseley & Co.; Laurence M. Marks & Co.; Stroud & Co. (Inc.); Central Republic Co. (Inc.), and materials* for the general rehabil¬ itation of Western European It will also have some funds available for the supply of capital goods and reconstruction items to Western Europe. It is in this lat¬ ter field that (8pecial LOS to The Chronicle) ANGELES, Oscar F. Sixth Street, rence Financial Kraft & have Go., CALIF.— 530 West added Strom to their staff. Law¬ organization European program to the question period but speaking of South America. I would like to say a word two about or America which from cently returned. from the trip to South a A have I small Bank; visited re¬ group Colombia Charter of the we spoke with representatives of number other of Latin Amer^ icaii countries including Paraguay and Bolivia while we Were on tile . way!„; !!!''!! > ^ tion and Europe world There is development. but which are one the other Bank in of from which another. If one can that all of the countries that .visited alert and of their With all Continent the serves. r- great; desire, countries of - most * of"' those at. least, for .technical assistance and advice in ^connec¬ largely seemed sensitive economic its as it can make available in this con¬ nection and it has many contracts which we are behalf on of prepared to utilize member coun¬ the tries, should they so desire. dare to generalize it would be to We Western part areas varied re¬ quires that its funds be equitably distributed between reconstruc¬ ;! Another phase ! of ! our South American trip brought to light the ! • It Economic Distortions of say - Bank .v.:, ■!; involved' may be Peru, the economically productive projects, of the countries ahie to help.- A discussion of this subject marked one .oL the mosjs interesting phases of bur trip. ;: 'f i Chile, Argentina, tion with their development. The" Bra2ily;;;Uruguiiy^,.y.enezuela and Bank has certain, facilities which Ecuador, International ! ;••!.;;*■Nationalism Bank wishes particularly to assist, is difficult, if not impossible, and supplement the efforts of the to generalize about a Continent, European Recovery Program. The and one of the chief impressions Bank, in the closest cooperation I received from our trip was the Wiih the European Recovery Pro¬ manner in which one country gram, will continue to search for . which meet its standards and the Oscar F. Kraft Co. Adds, the of the Bank or the types of loans it has made, or.its relation to the a econ¬ omy. The telephone BOwling Green which longer in need of its - the various countries needs. 25 Broad Street as¬ Charter, no services. i it reduced its non-equipment Riter & Co. 6BARAHTEED RAILROAD STOCKS-BONDS Con- the legislative at least due to the Bank by only $347,000. As a matter; ton Bonds debates gross and the other debt of fact^ sale of $30 degree, of exactness. that the proceeds used year ity, equipment has other terest of than $37 more road possibly cope with such problem." Bu.t the Bank can select the various throughout areas projects which give the Bank does not intend to withdraw het Working capital] (in part $41 million with cash efforts) equivalent of million. interest to typical Recent that could a any the- Bank balance? justifies its full existence precisely at the moment when the world sheets showed vantage of getting the lower in¬ cost for; the adequate ' institutions group of reasonable prospect of repayment and the Bank must be satisfied ap-; semblies years or definitely been sive debt retirement programs.! "This is particularly true Ambitious property improvements; week. have been undertaken in recent inasmuch as finances haye cahnot They must be for things greatest promise of wide economic value. How much 0f its funds wih benefit or im¬ be made available for Western the economy of the coun¬ involved; there must be a Europe it is impossible to say with loans. properties.! Press reports to this between the flow of government pared drastically in re¬ effect came as considerable of and private capital. As I read the a; organization, embarked on aggres-j surprise to railroad analysts last Charter, as well as the committee had The Bank and the expenditures development financing. institution obligations the Bank still to compete with the high grade obligations of governments, . be extended the has a through the issuance and sale of term basis of the bank loans of "bonds. Except in the case of the subsidiary, Louisiana & Ar¬ equipment securities there was kansas,, already existing. There rarely any provision made for the was no increase in the debt. The systematic repayment of the prin¬ purpose of the Philadelphia, Bal¬ cipal of this debt. Adequately timore & Ohio $17,570,000 issue is maintained the railroad plant was to pay in cash bonds held by the considered permanent so the debt lessee. Pennsylvania's need for thereon was treated the same way. cash stems at least in part from The bonds did Jiave a maturity the maturity this year of direct or; date but when that date arrived it guaranteed nOn-equipment debt was anticipated that they would in the amount of over $35 million behind guarantees finance all of the worthy projects that exist throughout the world.' Indeed there is no single Bank's The greatest weakness of the vast majority of railroads during the depression era was Jheir heavy debt structure. It had long been <i; the practice in the industry to (leased line pf Pennsylvania) on capitalize improvements and ad¬ June 22. The first of these was ditions and sums conservative financial policies. more "the development for here, unlike the ' developments * which took great a particularly to the needs development. advances the whole undeveloped. is There still is a certain impatience to get on with was !*!!;, encouraging also to meet 'w-'irrV with many who realized the lim¬ ited role that lending can play in the development of a Continent! Ceitainly in most, if not in all, countries we visited the greatest interest of was steps induce shown the discussion that the might be taken to of capital gen¬ flow erally into the area. No Continent be developed entirely by debt* can it as takes venture investment capital capital to as ^well make a To put it another way, I think one can say that no coun¬ country. try was ever satisfactorily devel¬ oped solely through class triple A investments. It takes some wijd- •' ■ . Volume 167 Number 4706 ...._THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL. CHRONICLE: . catting, some speculating^ the will" ihgness to take real risks. It re¬ quires equity as: well as debt finarvcing. - Moreover,, -sole- depend¬ ence -upon governmental; grants, oil keeping abreast of the accel¬ public agency lending, is bound in th*j long run to prove unsatis¬ factory. Trade and commerce gen¬ erally does not lend itself to the rigidities- of such, .procedures. A dependence upon legislative wills and political fashions is not a sub¬ stitute for a wholesome flow of attention erated developments of research." 28.5% st ; far oh how to invest $100,analyzed the' 801 entries that received indulged i.r considerable lending and some borrowing.. Early in its it career lias welcome with met a very competitor in terms of Cooperation Ad¬ the European ministration.. There ore many problems before it but T think it has already afforded to the world an of example international an institution which can apply itself objectively to the solution of some of its members' problems. It has day to day tasks to perform and I think if you visited the offiees of ch e Bank you would find little to distinguish it from the interior of other banks or insurance com¬ 10 •'= panies, enterprises which you would be apt to visit in the City of Cincinnati. I think you would he particularly impressed with the staff of the Bank and its di¬ or ; (3) General Electric. markets) 28.5% for the , an of the stocks above > ap¬ peared in 300" or more of the 801 entries analyzed — entries subr mitted for. the most part, by in¬ formed stiiclents of securities; prolersional cult Counsellors and the like. a was successful age, any \ , be to investment While analysts, ! "At Labor Party investor. share of failures, during this period' of vig¬ orous development, the amazing vestor. who attempts: to select in¬ progress of the many enterprises This index j The; difficulties besetting the in¬ dividual securities- are indicated tihat >y the results of an equal dollar nvestfnent in each of. the above did "succeed certain its of 181 level in for August errors request from or from deafer, A SECURITIES CORPORATION Conference last shows trial production 10% more above British RUSSELL BERG FUND •. INC. Capital Stock indus¬ Prospectus is running only 1938 ■. , , on Request with compared greater because U. S. pace of 94% above its '35general'and so '$9 average. Moreover, if '3T is it often compensated substituted for '38/ British pro¬ of individual judgment. duction today is only 2%; higher August 1939. Despite the Expansion {act that the "Dow" is currently. rapid that above the was upon investment NATIONAL and. the docks in 15% than offset more Success the losses. your 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Week, Minister Bevan applauded 'the fecundity' of socialism in the field of industrial production; fcjut, unfortunately the economic service (London & * Cambridge "Economic Service") released its index of today's production, com¬ pared with the prewar period. not diffi¬ its has Prospectus increased "Dow" lows: "In this young, vigorous rapidly ■ S, compared; with 14.9% during the same as- Seemed Impor¬ tant," published by Selected: In¬ vestments* Companyi quotes from the "Wall Street Journal" as fol¬ for the manufactured products of the East. growing country, if I. . "These/ Things » frontiers moved our May 15, the and of D British Production INVESTMENT ;MANAGER AND UNDERWRITE* was so 1939,' the widow's five "Ours is a more mature country. 'Blue Chips" have appreciated Our economy is still growing but only 11% on the average. Fur¬ gt the slower tempo that comes thermore, we know of no com¬ with age. When the fertile lands mon stock mutual fund that has Were settled; and the natural re¬ rectors. They are objective, ex¬ made as poor a showing during sources put to work, American perienced and knowledgable about |he past nine years - as the five Enterprise sobgftt new frontiers to economic and financial matters. most popular stocks- selected for, Conquer. Business is still grow¬ Their loyalties are to the Bank Lha widow-.. w ^.■. ,, ing, but its growth is often less and it is rarely that a purely na¬ and' more selective. tional point of view is expressed | A common error made by many spectacular conservative investors, is to Con¬ The frontiers of today exist in the in connection with the many in¬ ine their purchases of common research laboratories and in the ternational tra nsact ions with locks to the largest company in 'brain* and resourcefulness of the which they have to deal. ■ any given industry. Such: com¬ managers of our industries. / ■ issued RESEARCH westward, they saw the building of great industrial plants to meet the constantly increased demand (5) General Motors. Each ; As low asset value In August, 1939, "Barron's" ran a contest 000 for a. widow. "Barron's" J (4) International Nickel. '48 ruary The Widow's "Blue Chips . " but it has thus 4 J has Long diversified Industry Shares. It points Out that between the Feb¬ By HENRY HUNT ' The International Bank is still '■ ■ W. arresting folder citing tihe volatility of the portfolio of private capital between countries preferred ratings and published a list rof the common stocks that were and this is a generalization which most generally chosen. The top five .in order of 'popularity jwere: is by no means limited to La tin (1) Du Pont., ■' ' lantic and Pacific coasts as they America. ' ; (2) American Tel, & Tel. reached out to service these new very youngf 1 - ■ Hugh ■ > , ih 1937 there and lion fewer Tfhis were workers- Investment Counsel mil¬ one in Russell, Berg & Company Britain. 75 ::: Federal Street, Boston TELEPHONE LIBERTY 2-9550 „ : r means productivity per mantoday is about 13% below year ,'/■' ptea'^.y i Calvin V,' BuHockV Securities Natioh-Wide reduced1 its common sjtock position from 49% of assets March on 1948 31', May 20. to. 39% ■ . on - ■ National; .. You who are here are presum¬ ably Interested in the operation of foreign relations. 1 do not mean to ascribe loo much- to what- the Bank may contribute7 to the solu¬ tion of this world's ills but I do believe it has already afforded an example of international dealing which embodies real hope for the future/,; ' panies v potential ities growth the profit possibil¬ seldbm- offer or that smaller the selected However, carefully a company does. . it generally requires an intimate knowledge of. the smaller com¬ pany's-affairs and wide diversir ication of risk, to invest success- tully "off the beaten path." Many, mutual funds limate investment provide such in"know-how" alus wide diversification at mod¬ . erate cost "to the investor. California Elecfri* fids; ...* Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. on June 7 offered $2,500,000 Califor¬ nia Electric Power Co. first mort¬ , v King Merritt Sells for Keeps ^ 'Merritt, who! as sales Investor's Syndicate, trained: over 20,000 salesmen, has ( King manager for ' "From the brains of enlists have come suchas penicillin, nylon, atomic energy; Frorh the brafns. and industrial sci- j Securities and, Re¬ search Corporation has issued; a bulletin on its "Steel Shares." new products Ih vestment Commonwealth television, Company*, of San Francisco re¬ even cently declared a dividend of; 6c and many startling are certain to more our our come. a INC. share, its 62nd consecutive quar¬ k ;. ., ingenuity of terly dividend. leaders come new! manufacturing, ■" new j Wellington Fund's new pros¬ methods of operation, new sales pectus; includes illustrations and methods. As they -develop new Enjoys the unique distinction of feeing in keeping with the '"new Industries and spur the growth of lbok" age. * " ' existing enterprises, the achieve¬ ments of technology and manage¬ ment offer opportunities to the investor who is prepared to take advantage of them. ^ V V v'' ways , of , •{"The Investor Has been a Task Today HUGH W. LONG & CO. INCORfORAttb 48 Difficult' building, up a retail sales or¬ ! ' ganization of his own during the { "New industries are being born past 21 months, Offering only End established. industries are ihares of selected mutual funds, continuing to expand. But, with the firm on its bid of 100.2699%/ King Merritt's sales are currently older industries levelling off and, running in excess of $500,000 a in some cases, going into decline, The net proceeds from the sale month. Mr. Merritt recently told of the bonds will be used to re¬ the possibilities of profit are less, as that he expects to hit $1 mil¬ tire $2,000,000 notes, issued to as¬ while the hazards of loss remain. sist in completing the company's lion a month before the end of "Complicating the investor's 1947 construction program and to the year. Less than Vi of 1% of task today is the fact that poten¬ finance in part the Company's 1948 his sales have come back through tial growth is not always easy to That's what program, and the balance will be redemptions to date. recognize; It is difficult for the used to finance in part its further we call selling for keeps. average investor to obtain infor¬ construction program. < ; ' t > mation on the practical results of Frontiera v : 1 ' The company's total operating research. Even if the investor j One of the best written pam¬ does know the value of some dis¬ revenue in 1947 exceeded $8,500,phlets that has reached our desk 000i and after all operating ex¬ in a long time is "Frontiers" by covery; he cannot' be certain that another research group has not penses, including depreciation and Woodford: Matlock, President of all taxes, there remained $1,853,Broad Street Sates Corporation. already found a product to* sup¬ 000; maximum annual interest re¬ We plant it. -Technical research is quote, in part: quirements on all bonds now out¬ pot only a strong force, but in ; ■ "Our grandfathers and fathers standing, including this issue, will addition ? industry > continues1 to lived in days when it was easier total $555,000, ; step up the rapid pace at which . Prospectus from your Investment Deoler or; WALL SlfifcET, NEW lOft'K 5, N Y. bonds, 3% series due 1978, at 100.99%, yielding approximately ZM%. The bonds were awarded gage - Bretton Woods Eh ' . ionaal Monetair Itokvis—Debet ilet Bestel Interna— H. - J". eystone ; H. E, Stenfert aan Kroese's Uitg.-Mij n v., Breestraat vustooian i4, Leiden—paper-^irig. i: 11^-; JS:;:/;:/!-;;:/'. geb. f. 12.75. . '''irf; ■<r. ,V. ' ■/f. . to > The is engaged princi¬ pally in serving electricity in ex¬ company tensive areas in California and in sections of Nevada. factures and of It also manu¬ sells, ice in portions Imperial and Riverside Coun¬ California and through a subsidiary supplies telephone and telegraph service principally in the territory in'which it supplies electricity. Among the larger cities ties in served side and San Bernardino, River¬ Palm Springs. v • are be a successful is (Special Merrill Lynch Firm to The _> BEVERLY Financial HILLS, ChronIclrI CALIF. - • — Lowell L Hall has joined the staff of Merrill JLynch, sources—a period of? rapid growth years. the United States- a tional Bureau of saw: . of Mississippi. River: multiply million. wealth as they- developed 1948 is farming, cattle, lumber, gold,: oil lion to other valuable resources. They saw railroads link the At¬ alone. The similar budget for investing tkeir capital V" ; IN-:, j Issue Compulsory of Health and Lewis ver (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) Meriam —The Building, Atlanta, Ga.—paper. Two-Way - BONDS ; Insurance, The—George W. Bach- Street — History of $770 million plus $118 mil public relations—Eric F. Goldman be spent on atomic energy —Bellmari Publishing Co., Inc., 16, The investor today has a 83 Newbury Street, Boston difficult and additional task—that Participation in * INVESTMENT FUND5 23, N. Y.—paper. man that Certificates of Economic Re¬ search; 1819 Broadway, New. York whole. period than $25 million for this purpose the: vast; rich territory weit an<l in 1947 this had risen to $625 of the our as Fun Js Cumulation of Economic Knowl¬ edge, The—Arthur-F. Burns—Na¬ f, "In 1930 industry spent on rer Brookings Institution, Washington Naturally it required brains and search an estimated $116 million &, D. C.—cloth—$4.00. ingenuity to build this rich indus¬ and in 1939 $120 million, but the trial country. It was not accom¬ replies to a questionnaire, of the Southern Company, The—Book¬ plished without risks and losses. National Association of Manufac¬ turers indicate that ,$740 million let prepared for information of But they received substantial aid was spent in 1947. In addition, the the customers of the Southern from (the rapid growth that reFederal; government entered the system and others— suited as- our frontiers were, set¬ Research, field with considerable Company tled. • force. In 1930 it appropriated less Southern Company, William-Oli¬ of Pierce, Fenner and & Beane/j454J£o; Camden Drive. than today. investors V With investor our frontiers, through research, Theirs was :an era have been expanding in recent Df frontiers, and undeveloped re: it ♦j Mass.—cloth—$1.25; PREFERRED -1 STOCKS* (Sen.* K1-K2) COMMON STOCKS (Series Sl^S2-53-54) » | Prospectus from " your local investment dealer or Tke Keystone Company of Boston 50 Congress Street' Boston 9, Massackusette • 24 THE (2544) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursday, June 10, 1948 Into Securities Salesman's Corner for calendar years millions) (in Reports 60% of National Banks' Profits Turned follows: as $3.9 1947. Capital Funds 4.1 1946—_ Gordon D. Palmer, head There could has been never time a when chandise that the public needs at a time that in summer clothing in June, a bargain in they want it. A "scoop" housewares during the time when spring housecleaning is in full swing; moth proofing sup¬ plies in May, and plum puddings before Christmas; that is the way it is done, and the reason it is this way is that experience has proven that the time to sell people what they want is when they want it. People do not walk into a broker's office and buy securities just because they have some idle cash, or because the weather is lovely and they feel like putting some nice new paper in their safe deposit boxes. But the only difference between the advertising and sales promotion that is needed to stimulate business in' the investment business and that which is used by successful retailers in other lines, is that in the investment business STRONGER MOTIVATION is the key to suocess. A simple illustration of how this works can be compared to the department stores which inaugurated winter overcoat and fur sale£ during August some years ago.- The very thought that any one would be willing to walk into a clothing store on a hot sultry day and buy an overcoat must have been quite a hurdle for the first advertising executive who tried to convince his boss that he could sell overcoats during dog days. But when that first ad appeared illustrated by wind and snow swirling around a warmly coated fellow with his collar turned up around his neck, and it read "Winter is coming, get ready now and SAVE money by doing it," people stopped, looked, and bought overcoats in August. Today the August overcoat sale is a fixture with most successful department and specialty stores. * " j , . , . That is the way it is in investment advertising and sales pro¬ Most people know that they should save money. They motion.5 that idle dollars lazy are dollars. They know that money that brings them in little or no income at all SHOULD be working They know that money can grow if they buy stocks m companies that also have "growth" possibilities. They know that when stocks are low that they should be bought and that large profits can be made in this way. They know that the dollar has been losing its purchasing power for the past 15 years. They know that this depreciation in the value of their savings in the savings banks, life-insurance companies and their investment in United for 4.2 of national banks. them. 1943. per ciation, suit and President of these of changes was a de¬ Na¬ 1947 1.4% in the average volume of loans and discounts and tional Bank, investments, and their failure by the First 1.5% Alabama. the the Gross Earnings Up—Net Profits the tional Net Na¬ the national banks did members, Mr. Cordon D. not earnings, in spite of brought rate 000,000 by the year-end 1947. The shows further that assets improvement report he considerable a said, "in the in and the (which, any in are explained in Note 2 on page 70. ; of 11.3% penses. these funds. Average holdings of payments. The investments, based condition the three upon reports, recoveries decreased ties 10.4%, while loans and discounts advanced 26.8%. The overall re- losses and profits securi¬ on could LENT down with what is the most unattractive of interest charges and preferred dividends is about 1.64 times. Complete conversion of the new 5%% preferred (there is also an old issue of 5% preferred) were up of excess re¬ sharply." into IN WHAT NOT The IS CALLED HIGH GRADE BONDS—GOVERN¬ following advertisement illustrates the of use a sound and constructive investment idea, such as the effects of inflation upon boarded cash to MOTIVATE interest in the acquisition of securities. WHAT South Carolina Electric & Gas ABOUT YOUR DOLLARS? hold you surplus cash today? If have so, you Your 1948 dollars they did in as will a in in We have and compiled stocks that history has selected request. Ask for list a should deflation, which we our YOUR been followed stocks common Variations time the to offer cash to look, and sell of this campaigns. contracts ply of have of fare shall well be in pleased both to inflation send it good common buy^them THINK. now That is securities. is be can used there never stocks to in a more : J- : . . to other firms, which expense. Thus the drought forced to 310 and direct propitious have share earnings compared with 900 for doing when , we again dropped sharply to 370 vs. 970 in the previous 12 months' period. However, with a plentiful water supply in the latter part of 1947 and other favorable factors, earnings $1.13 in • quickly the rebounded 12 and months to Over-the-Counter Quotation Services liberal of signed of NATIONAL QUOTATION BUREAU, Inc. Established 1913 46 Chicago • « - v i" i ■ South company San Francisco all the outstanding Carolina Power stock Co., somewhat smaller adjacent prop¬ erty. Fron\ Street, New York 4, N. Y. 1 buy of the Due to local opposition and necessity of getting al¬ to be Com¬ on the ca¬ new steam near plant the the on Charleston, the was management joint opera¬ improve the earnings of the tem because benefits: ' of ; sys¬ the/ following erating the most efficient units 3. the ap¬ base operations of ' both systems will not necessitate any sion facilities use of of transmis- both com¬ panies, reducing power loss and improving service. The prospectus on the new se¬ proval of the State PSC, the SEC curities shows combined gross in¬ come FPC, the sale Each was not the year fun ing before Federal income taxes pok- foibles and This year's large insur¬ own clients. its of those its at satirizes Bawl its denizens, Street and the front page . -; tells how a company is going to make a charge each time a bond salesman ance phones to offer it securities; an-: other story relates how President Truman dedicates his new back porch with the aid of Dr. Kinsey„> Young Girl Should Know." the author of "What Every Advertisements make the 1948 Kuhn Loeb & Co. Bawl sparkle. proudly announce that its private elevator is older, smaller and> and Peabody's, of a Puritan man, Kidder than slower while a picture Indian girl advertise "the an operation research In America." in with the keeping current theatrical _• hit, Harris Hall advertises Co. Street a Named Desire to tie in its Car interest Chicago Transit financing. in ' and W. John Editor John A. Valentine Straley have- year's announced that sales of this Journal have generating capacity. More efficient pub¬ Club Chairman increase in the present reserve 4. Journal," connection with in York New the Club's annual field day.. loads. Combined Stock. 4 by The Bond Street "Bawl lished June & and the the* of ^ steam generating plants by op¬ million four and the other draft every youth of 18 for a period of two years which he must spend r selling securities — chances are thev got their information from / the hydro plants during good More efficient utilization of the bills new Exchange, A fuller utilization of water at on Street New- York the on oldest < two of volume shares - water periods. discussing trading placed in In the opinion tion of the two companies should Commonwealth & Southern Corp. to a operation Dec. 1. purchase agreement with a to generating first unit of which * the The prove company paid appears side. "Bawl passed by Congress—one of which would insure a minimum daily common should the price Ashley River 2. the moderate divi¬ October the pacity of South Carolina Power (the new subsidiary) has been re¬ cently increased by construction (500 in 1947) detracted investment interest in;,the Last to the monwealth dend rate from of acquisition though Spoofed of Sales If you've heard radio commen¬ tators ended stock. For 35 Years holders beneficial ings, as to stock, and the offerings were un¬ derwritten by Kidder, Peabody & Co. The preferred was offered at par and the common at 6V2. 1. well (par value $50) shares of common (par $4.50). Subscription for both stocks were of¬ rights fered (630 being earned in the first quarter of 1948 vs. 240 last year). This erratic trend of earn¬ March 31 as stock 404,293 The elsewhere) at considerable 1945 preferred stock supply have the company again. encountered low water, and in the 12 months ended /; Sept. 30 share earnings public—and they get paid sup¬ in the previous year; they recov¬ ered to 800 in 1946 (Standard & Poor's adjusted figures). In 1947 S. A. newspaper was your we wholesale higher too—you just have to make them stop, what the power upon Obligation V U. idea area, necessary to run its in¬ steam plants ■ (or buy efficient in No — for power made attractive(investment INVESTMENT DEALER Certainly It in times of low water ANYTOWN mail an principally hydro-electric property, with standby steam generating facili¬ ties. Unfortunately it has had bulletin Charge Gas Columbia, almost Carolina. down No & in the exact center of the State of always benefited during such periods. common served company South as --r;/;//.••' carefully Electric a prolonged inflation. Investors about 50% 1940. Every postwar period by buy only now Carolina centered around noticed how these dollars have been shrinking in value? much South cur-- Journal" at Bond Club Field Day was originally a subsidiary of General Gas & Electric in the Associated Gas & Electric System. On the breakup of General Gas it became a subsidiary of Associated and the shares were distributed to stockholders of the successor company, General Public Utilities, in 1946.<8>The stock was placed on the Big consummated until recently. The Board and has had a subsequent purchase - funds of $10,200,000 range of 5%-9 (1948 range 5%- were obtained through sale of m). 80,858 shares of 5^2% convertible The Do Record reduce ; earnings to around 820." Wall Street investment EXCEPTED. would common rent share they possibly hold today, and that is CASH AND ITS EQUIVA¬ MENTS con¬ com¬ coverage government securities has today reached the of about 50% of their value in 1940 when measured loaded seven 51^ to yield about 5.35%, and the is around 7. Over-all; States alarming rate by the purchas¬ ing power of the fiat dollars we now use in this country. They know these things just as they know that winter is coming and they will someday need a coat to keep them warm. But it is the secur¬ ity dealers' job to bring these well accepted ideas FORCEFULLY BEFORE the great mass of the people of this country who are stock, shares of preferred is currently selling around mon, considerably; and loans, in on little higher; common down were coveries, were a new vertible into salaries and wages increased 15%; Taxes dividend conservative continued in operating ex¬ of somewhat are interpret, but for the' to present it would appear a sound policy for the Company to build surplus to a higher level through 1944) employment restrictions difficult attributable largely to an in¬ crease change, too," de¬ are of the prospec¬ page 47 on These rate to in¬ rate tus, and the restrictions on use of surplus for dividends are lower was prior year the earned In¬ slight a loan nevertheless, than national banks expanded to $88,000,000,000, a exceeded only in 1945. "There was scribed steady gross a investments on nearly 4.2% sum net. no the restrictions dividend 8.4% lower. The reduced net were increases into over on to record 28 There is whether to as payable June 17. eventually be raised. Certain may improvement, however, carry the capital funds total to $5,407,- the dication stead, net profits before dividends Palmer dis- closes that the of national 1947, despite gross 1946. This which Division Palmer the in gross earnings. earnings, Mr. Palmer shows, "were 9.6% higher than in than 5,- are of holders June increase The Division to the 000 profits stock common banks went down in Bank more dividend of 250 has been declared Down President of In 1948. 31, A semi-annual an¬ nual report of ended months 12 the former period 810 a share was earned on the new common stock, and in the latter $1.01. of 76.5% to total assets." In the and March to maintain their 1946 ratio Tuscaloosa, 3.0 —" Complete pro forma figures are given only for the calendar year of crease 3.8 —— 1940—— s 4.6 —— 1941™ <?>- Bankers Asso¬ 4.6 — 1942— cent of the total net profits of the national banks of continental United States in 1947 were plowed back into capital funds to add strength to the banking structure, according to Gordon D. Palmer, President of the National Bank Division of the American Sixty campaign is timeliness. Watch your newspaper advertisements. Notice how the successful department store promotions present mer¬ know 1944 over good merchandising idea a The essence of every successful sales business. stimulate not 3.2 closes increase to By JOHN DUTTON 1945—— of National Bank Division of ABA, dis¬ $5.4 billion at end of 1947 in capital funds records, a passed all previous total of/ more having been sold. 25,000 than A few- additional copies, at $1 each, may be had from at Merrill & Beane, York 5. Mr. Norman Smith Lynch, Pierce, Fenner. 70 N. Y. Pine Street, New Volume THE Number 4706 167 COMMERCIAL 1889, has Avenue, 231 News About Banks Si« * Sanford REVISED at and Assistant of National The New York. Mr. has been Vice-President Bronx Bank b Coordi- e nator Company of New York announces the election rectors of H. of ner its to of Board Di¬ Clayton Smith, part¬ firm estate real the of Tankoos, Smith & Co., and George in 1907 to become President of the Banks he merged rector, Nov. on tional 16, 1914, to join The Na¬ he 1919 held 1932 from the bank Dec. Mr. Roberts has which he 1940. sobriquet by is perhaps long-time associates is "Father National the of H. Clayton Smith George C. Meyer, Jr. National City period the C. Meyer, Jr., Secretary and a director of Cord Meyer Develop¬ ment. Both were men directors of of Bank Boulevard the Forest Hills, L- I., the business of which as noted in our issue of June 3, 2434 was recently acquired by Sterling National Bank and is page its now Office. Boulevard Mr. semi During this nearly 25 years. - countries. traveled in 14 European Letter ■ became the most in which and other diplomatic positions he Conference, Economic Letter" which he edited for War I, and subsequently served as American Executive Secretary and Financial Officer of the Inter-Allied Dan¬ ube Commission of the Peace best known and that City to Director. He is an over¬ veteran of World seas widely read pub¬ 0:' i;.r >■: a notable stage of indus¬ development. It requires lit¬ tle imagination therefore to con¬ ceive the heights of industrial power that can be reached when Dominion the fully exploits untapped* reserves enormous * Federal its of in inadequate labor strength and the convenience of 1 wealth cessible arable of lands, and her forests, and pre¬ base cious metal mines. Moreover the great industrial provinces of On¬ tario and Quebec being lavishly endowed by unlimited with almost of nature hydro¬ reserves coal on oil or for founded in 1929. He also is Vice- President and director of Estate a of Bradish Johnson, Inc. and is a Leduc New York and Long Island. pioneer Hills, is Secretary and a director of DickMeyer Corp. and a Trustee of Kidgewood Savings Bank. The Boulevard Bank begap functioning as the Boulevard Of¬ fice of Sterling National on June 1. The arrangement gives Sterling four offices in Greater New York, developer which of Forest of two located in added Roberts, Assistant Cashier of Na¬ tional City Roberts Springett and children. v •' " ->'w ' 1 fy five grand¬ ' ... on June 18, 1948 to at the same agency v. and maintain a branch office Bay Parkway, Brook¬ open at application an • Bank Tru§t The .Corn Exchange an sistant by Richard A. Carl and Secretary, drain if * if of Bank, 34th Street and Broadway, station tional Bank. Peter Schwoebel and New York, Harry L. Durland, formerly offi¬ cers of Boulevard Bank, have been elected officers of Sterling ing of 3,750 shares of $100 par each, to $400,000, consisting of Co. of New York. ■ if and of the former will remain in charge of the Boulevard Office. ' Frank A. Klingsmith, and Ed¬ mund F. Ebert were elected Vice- Presidents Bankers of of Company Charles F. Salkeld Assistant who named on an Klingsmith, Mr. Assistant Vice-Presi¬ dent, became associated with the Bankers Trust Company in 1907. will He his continue present duties in the metropolitan division. Mr. the Ebert, title previously who of held Assistant Vice-Presi¬ dent, has been a member of the Banking Department staff for the past 20 will and years, assume direction of the Bank's business in the southwestern area. Mr. Salkeld has been ; years. He with was in Secretary the bank for 33 made an Assistant 1930 and 1941. He Assistant from $375,000, consist¬ 4,000 shares $100 par each. An application of Macy's Bank for permission to open branches at 1007-1009 Flatbush Avenue and Tilden 2145 also Brooklyn Avenue, filed with the New York was State Department. Banking '■'00' an it was June 2 by S. Sloan President. was was Banking State York New Department announced on June 4 and Vice-President, announced Colt, Trust York New The - jp' *••• Savings City Empire of Bank plans to increase to 2% the dividend rate on amounts New York of $300 or more which have been deposit for one or more con¬ secutive years, if its earnings con¬ tinue at currently satisfactory on levels, June on dividend creased President, Diehl, Charles announced it is stated is balances 1, 1948, which rate, to be paid on maintained after July expected would in¬ The 1. make Empire City the first Manhattan savings bank to announce plans for re¬ sumption of 2% a dividend on savings deposits. The 2% rate is the maximum now permitted for banks in New York State. The York New The State 1 144 Mount Mount Vernon Vernon.; :i:;; of Bank the Trust on of Company June Huntington since 1934, died Hunt¬ at his home in 5 and ington, L. I., in his 73rd year. ; Born in Huntington, a member of an old Long Island family, he graduated from Huntington High School and began working for the bank at the age of 18. He was a former President of was the Suffolk County Bankers ciation. :. iV"-- "■■ K Sammis, and a daughter, Frederic J. Albert Jr. W. * Mrs. State Bank :00 merged into the Manufacturers & Trust Company of Buf¬ of Park Avenue * i' :V;> will con¬ position Office. *■*. in v :;'0 George E. Roberts, former VicePresident and Economic Adviser of The National City Bank of New York died on June 6 at his home in In appointed Di¬ rector of the U. S. Mint by Presi¬ dent William McKinley; later he 1893, he was bank is a rate or more November Savings 1, on deposits of would take place on Empire City incorporated in next. Bank, tained there Merchants as a the serious ob¬ Unques¬ overcome. "Times Union" of June 3, Smith started to work Mr. the as Free the November Domin¬ redemptions. of With the demand for purposes widen November as a result of offerings. Stocks regard to the prospects of the con¬ tinuance of a bull market, espe¬ - for cially in 1914 and in messenger a Canadian throughout the list registered de¬ clines but the longer range opin¬ ion still remains optimistic with the old Traders National Bank in 1903 the market. a eries should which ■',v,"0 with of free paper the oil, base-metal and issues. • became Assistant Cashier. He held 1924 when he that position until was made Cashier of the National of bank was Union In Rochester. Bank 1928 with consolidated Trust. He that the named was CANADIAN BONDS a Vice-President in 1929. * * if ■: ' - The Howard Savings Institution of Newark, N. J., June on 1 Managers to larged its Board of GOVERNMENT en¬ by adding six members, ac^ cording to the Newark "Evening PROVINCIAL 21, the bank were MUNICIPAL : Frederick CORPORATION W. Birkenhauer, President of Wagner Baking Corp.; George A. Brakely, Vice-President and Treasurer of College of Engineering; Ralph R. Rochester, N. Y., in charge of the week some are be to stacles issues. The comparatively little affected by the spot rate is likely to display further strength but the margins on future deliv¬ branch nection with the merger a at dividend in bond tourist Princeton University; Dr. Allan R. rate which $300 fluctuations dollar intensification under the title and charter latter institution. Jn con¬ the in present steady and were the ion "Elected at the noon session at Ebenezer of Ebenezer, N. Y., was Traders falo, if im¬ exchange position would be revolutionary. Before this objective can be at¬ News," which added: Effective May 29 the provincial nadian Asso¬ Surviving are his widow, Mrk Kate S, Sammis, a son, Bertram in tion Sammis, President in his 91st year. his dollars, whereas added: W. Addison week there was in the external internals remained ports were replaced by exports of these items the effect on the Ca¬ Avenue, Larchmont, N. Y., following a lingering illness. Mr. Roberts was the in S. U. cially funds after reserves Central tionably the greatest impediment South West Street to Canadian economic progress at was established at Ebenezer. The present paying V/2%; foregoing announcement was made is expected to con¬ by the Board of Governor of the tinue on all accounts of $50 and Federal Reserve System on May over, which do not meet the re¬ 29. An item regarding the pro¬ quirements for the higher divi¬ posed merger appeared in our is¬ dend. After July 1, the bank will sue of May 6, page 2001. also change its dividend payment * it dates to November 1 and May 1 Chester J. Smith, Vice-Presi¬ instead of January 1 and July 1 as dent of the Union Trust Co.\of at present. The proposed increase in Treasurer tinue the Dominion's on of the New York Railroad to and the activity period of persistent strength weakened slightly under pressure of offerings in connec¬ 1936. since During greater vast virgin part. They now constitute a heavy Mr. Smith has Dengel, formerly Assistant Trust Officers, have been made trust officers of the Fiduciary; Trust for external expansion are becoming increasingly important. been with the bank the of of Brook¬ lyn, N. Y., it has been Clooney, formerly As¬ the south, maturity scope all efforts directed exploitation of her power the to nomic announced A. Brennan, President. been has Smith - Bank is retained by Sterling Na¬ staff this side section of the bond market espe¬ Brevoort Savings Bank J. John her toward ". ;■* . Vice-President elected lyn, N. Y. Street, and Lexington Avenue. The entire on riches of iron, oil and coal. Within the scope of the Do¬ minion's new policy of greater economic independence the cur¬ tailment of imports of these es¬ sentials can play an invaluable P. Terence 6629-33 maintain location." * « ^ its approval to a certificate of in¬ crease of capital stock of Macy's New York, and an office is also maintained at 42nd Street interest Canada's eco¬ will come ap¬ propriately at a period when this country is reaching a stage when external sources of supply and bor ■ "This Bank; a daughter, Amy Boulevard Queens. The main office of the bank is at Broadway and 39th Que¬ deposits alone enormous iron incited have group 1 Depart¬ ment of Banking on June 4, an¬ nounced that on May 28 it had authorized the County Trust Co., 169 Main Street, White Plains, to change the location of its branch office from the Mount Vernon are the and bec-Labrador motive-power, a , member of the Real Estate Boards of new Credit This situation however is rap¬ of the border sufficient to sug¬ States, if not in the world, with a Bank of Prague, Czechoslovakia idly changing. On the one hand gest its early solution. to maintain an agency at 67-69 the depletion of' U. S. reserves of circulation today of 150,000.: Thus the next and possibly Surviving besides his widow, William Street, was surrendered iron and oil is beginning to cause greatest era of Canadian economic on May 20, according to advices serious concern, and on the other development is now in the proc¬ Georgena Kirkup Roberts, are his made available on May 28 by the hand the world demand can no ess of materialization. sons George Bassett Roberts, ViceFollowing* President of The National City New York State Banking Depart¬ longer be satisfied on the basis of some 50 years later the similar Bank of New York, Henry Allison ment, which in its weekly bulletin the present supply. The point has course taken by her great neigh¬ license to the Prague A its kind in the United lication of May was settlement of Dutch, agricultural workers, and the ad->' mittance of a large number of European displaced persons. An¬ other vital prerequisite is the at¬ traction of fresh capital espe¬ cially from this country. Happily as far as this problem is concerned the spectacular oil discoveries at 2, with the New York State Bank¬ ing Department for permission to it the Isles, farms of border has concentrated on the development of the readily ac¬ thp York filed since Bank British the convey¬ air of immigrants from, by on Cord Meyer, founder and Boulevard director, of a tak¬ ply of these commodities south of Company, 13 William Street, New been is how this connection is the ance of sup¬ sources constructive the Government of would-be settlers. Notable? sage Canada hitherto mainly in view of immigration drastically relaxed, more ing active steps to assist the pas¬ iron, oil and coal. Mr. Meyer, a grandson of the late had on rigid The and what is that:.V*-'- 'k--. ' now been reached where plans license surrendered in for reconstruction and new devel¬ connection with merger of Prague opment have to be curtailed for Credit Bank into . Zivnostenska lack of adequate supply of these Banka National Corporation. New basic essentials. Canada also has license: issued to Zivnostenska now a further compelling reason Banka National Corporation on to stimulate by every means in Smith " policy. laws have been electric power do not have to rely * modem of trial "Home stockh older 31, a the and S. Sanford Model retired He of News"; also a when he became Adviser. Economic In Vicewhich he position a Credit and Bronx of dependence in this respect Canada has at last instituted a vigorous immigration Ed¬ itor York, appointed was President, until New President. the Assistant to as of B&nk City roots present tained Manager Business bulk her the present time is the Dominion's? population deficiency. Fortunately Promotion Di¬ reappointed to the Mint Director¬ for the sources the and power notwithstanding requirements of these essen¬ tials, has nevertheless already at¬ many ship by President William Howard Taft resigning four years later Canada, industrial her Adver¬ tising and was of country has been largely founded iron, oil and coal, which still consti¬ of resources life-blood external Officer, for the civilization. years Continental mercial National and National was 1910 .when the Com¬ Chicago. In tute Rela¬ tions of Bank National Commercial and its vast natural on Ac¬ Public resigned but Roosevelt Theodore The economic greatness of this New tivities President by reappointed of Business mm was By WILLIAM J. McKAY of Model, who will CAPITALIZATIONS Sterling National Bank & Trust Canadian Securities $ Model (2545)-. 2* Park Two Street, West 125th Street. S. Bankers and OFFICERS, ETC. at 33rd elected NEW BRANCHES CHRONICLE FINANCIAL offices at < CONSOLIDATIONS NEW & is East Ave. banker. office, this his 45 year Said the Rochester celebrating Cullimore, President of Newark CANADIAN STOCKS Layte, President of Purolator Products, Inc.; Jesse B. McCullen, Vice President of N. J. Bell Tele¬ phone Co., and Bernard M. Shan- ley, senior partner of Young, Shanley, Foehl & Fisher, Newark A. E. AMES & CO. INCORPORATED law firm. Savings, said Waldron Chairman, increased its board to 21 according to the pro¬ visions of the new banking code which fixes the limit at that Howard M. Ward, number." (Continued on page 39) TWO WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, WORTH 4-2400 N. Y. NY-1-104$f 26 THE (2546) COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL bonds, fell in Group A; Group B to the extent -rated, Present and Prospective Electric companies, of lxmole A crecins, wniie and Baa credits uniformly fell back to 1919, I commend this sur-> (Continued from first page) ing. Triple A bonds were selling close to the level of Governments, and the differential for slightly weaker issues was historically relatively narrow until you got to public utility pre¬ ferred stocks follow a generally similar pattern, reaching a peak in market price and a record low in yield in the early Summer of 1946 when, for a number of weeks, Moody's high-grade average stuck a 3.40% basis with the me* around dium grade average at 3.69, a dif¬ of less than .30 basis ferential points. The change toward higher yields started in the later months of 1946, and became particularly acute toward the end of 1947. The lowest prices highest yields came in February, 1948, when the high-grade average was 4.07%, and with the medium grade at differential of almost 50 points. been 4.56, a basis Since that time there has considerable improvement a in the preferred stock market and the same average, about the mid¬ dle of May, medium ential As of grade at almost matter a 3.90%, with the 4.48, a differ¬ was grade of 60 basis fact the points. medium reached average its high yield ooint in 1947 at 4.59. Utility common stocks advanced sharply in 1945, as a successful outcome clearer of the later and became war in when sold off 100%. low the Baa classification. High-grade quoted 99y2-100y4, to yield 3.11%. new offering was slow and syndicate restrictions were removed on April 6th, the bonds The the in anticipation of the repeal of the excess profits tax for the year year 1946. A strong equity market con¬ tinued until the Summer of 1946 when sharp declines on and were quoted 100%They continued down to a April 16th of lOOVs-%, a yield of 3.23%, but have since re¬ covered to 100-101%, a yield of 3.16%. Also in March, Power 40 million Ohio Company (rating "AA"), 3's due offered were compared 44 in with the a high of almost Spring of 1946. The present recovery has carried this average to almost 36. v;f\oK :■ The to averages referred which I have for all classes of utility securities, representing yields on seasoned outstanding issues,-, do not by any means reflect the prices of marketing new issues, particularly those of other than the very highest grade, after the turn New issues to be came. cessfully distributed had suc¬ to be of¬ at Securities and traded in provide sufficient market." the price syndicate restric¬ tions remained in force until their He expiration by limitation May 1st, by which time the general improvement in the market had bailed them out, and they are now quoted 101%-101%, to yield on 2.91%. the In there preferred given be can a stock field, number of illustrations: , , In July, 1947, Florida Power & Light attempted to market 150,000 shares Preferred Stock by com¬ petitive bidding, but no bids were received and the offering was withdrawn. In September, 1947, 100,000 shares Florida Power & Light 41/2 % Preferred was offered as a negotiated deal by under¬ writers at par. The price looked attractive at the time the month it and, during kept in syndicate was with price restrictions maintained; four-fifths were sold. On almost October tions the 30th price removed were 90-91. Y there stock re¬ day when were re¬ as low as sagged to is quoted 17% nine of much September, 1947, shares Gas Tennessee Transmission 4%% Preferred was offered by underwriters in gotiated deal at 103, to ne¬ a yield 4.13%.' 60 per cent as these of nine had same selling at 105, yield 3.90%. When price re¬ strictions were removed, the new 4.25% Preferred dropped to 93%, to yield 4.56%. The current mar¬ company was to: ket offering yield 4.36. is about 97 %, to 25% equity. books, and, much This ratio t 'water' was now per eliminated by regulatory action. : ; ; "In addition, the ratios, per the of 1935, were also over¬ pre* company. Examples of Price Trends Some of examples, both in the bonds and preferred point this up: market is was quoted The 101%-102%, as current yield to 4.11%. A very recent issue is Oklahoma case stocks, ' • April 1st, the stock low as 98%-98%. Gas & Electric company In Preferred. originally The asked for January of 1948 Southern California Edison Company sold at competitive bidding to under¬ competitive bids for 65,000 shares on March 30, but the date was postponed to April 5, and then writers 40 million cancelled. On April 8, these shares were offered as a negotiated deal, (rating "AA"). 3%s, due 1973 The underwriters purchased them at 102.02, with the intention of and with 102%, would very At dicate until April re-offering them which at represent a that time the Southern California Edison 3's of 1965 were 2.975 Even yield. selling to yield 2.83%. before the formal offering the underwriters found a chilly reception and the offering price was ing reduced to 102.187, represent¬ 3% yield. At that price the a bonds though were promptly sold, al¬ underwriters lost the deal, after expenses. the money on The current moved up to market has now a 5%% dividend rate, at 104, td yield 5.05%. While it sold slowly and remained in . . . 8.75% depreciation about average and much as 15% was reserve a was reserve of as rather excep¬ tional. Today the average com¬ in our 70-company sample has depreciation reserves amount¬ ing to 22.5% and the reserves of pany only seven even a companies fall below 15% level." same address MciLntire sioner Commis¬ satisfactorily stocks that the common of companies having the weaker capital ratios,; sell at a lower price earnings ratio and usually at a higher yield than the stocks of companies Of more con¬ same stock the price earn¬ course ings ratios of particular common stocks may be distorted by an unusually high or unusually low percentage of earnings paid out in dividends, as the yield factor is probably of more importance relation companies to the capital best are If electric going to utility to current market 104%-5%, an 105%-1053/4, constituted third and had new earnings * it equity with compared as agreed effort should be madeto encourage the letter as part of any long-run financial program. The increased flow of puolicV is generally that every insurance, the greater: saving into role played by the government—' reflecting in part a cnanged world- situation, and the related changes in the rates and structure of taxes, all help to intens-fy a problem of ' long standing, that of ra.sing risk capital. No workable solution to' this problem is likely to be reached which does not recognize these other and institutional] changes in our economy past few decades." V the upper median debt ratio a 37.5%, very little preferred stock, and common equity includ¬ ing surplus of 58.7%. At June 30, ;1947, the common stocks of these companies sold at an average of 16.4 times earnings and 20.5 times dividends. Group B showed only slightly higher ; debt ratios, the median being 40.8%, but due to greater use the of average 40.1%. Earnings average of 13.1 earnings at June 30, sold and of an stock, equity was this group common valued at were preferred at 17.5 1947, times dividends. Group C had the median stock less prominent than in was Group B, amounted, of a larger debt burden, being 54.2%. Preferred and common* the on equity average, to the capitalization. The average Group C equity was priced at June 30, 1947 at 9 times earnings and 15.4 times dividends. The used names by of the 70 companies Commissioner McEntire have not been average disclosed, but their market price probably corresponds pretty closely to those of the Dow-Jones Public Utility Averages, to which already referred. Common Stock I have t Commissioner McEntire-further demonstrated in the that sample > all companies Obv.ously pective to those the over the new form money Convertible Debentures and gen¬ Preferred Stocks /.-• the New * ! ;The of Capital Requirements United States Commerce , Department has recently made a study entitled "Business Financ¬ ing in the Postwar Period," in which it is pointed out that "capi¬ tal requirements amounting to $51 billion for non-financial corpora¬ tions in led to 1946 and business for in the of preferred stock convertible into the to stock direct over the Edison. the of worked- for years Telephone & Commonwealth 'and The principal disadvan¬ of mechanics involving of bonds in hundred: one dollar pieces, and the problem of the small stockholder who usually receives only fractional rights to subscribe and to the whom sub¬ many years on Two recent instances of the use' possible of convertible the form of the liquidity built war years, , ex¬ during the up but a-good deal of this disappeared in 1947, it as shown by the very substantial in¬ crease in security issues in that Over two-thirds, amount of net ing 1947 took the'form of bonds was with the distributed be¬ preferrec and common much former th( important of the two. The of net equity issues ir 1947, i.e^ both common and pre¬ more about the was 1946, but there was a same as ir much largei rise in bonded indebtedness. Life insurance companies absorbec nearly four-fifths of the increase in debt securities during 1946 anc individuals bought while stocks and sold bonds on 3%,s In each offered and par, in offered stantial March this of debentures case stockholders to at. selling for sub¬ premiums: Baltimore at are now 105%-I06%, and Virginia Electric The eonversioh'vift the Virginiaf casej & Power quoted at 109%-9%. the 'was. right of security issues dur-' the remainder were $16,677,100 Consolidated Gas of Baltimore 15-year 2%'s, offered in April; 1947, and the 11,753,800 Virginia Electric & Power 15-year were in cess debentures the year. 1947, period a one use alternative an This has American Telegraph tage is as marketing of their stocks. common sources investment ■ ferred, both of debentures and' use common available stock stock market has led' common to the deficiencies in th£ supply of capi¬ tal, particularly equity capital.' During .1946 a very substantial part of these requirements wa.< tween v suited with its low interest rates. the available upon year. . scription itself is probably hardly —focusing attention for the first had , inevitably- funds time , grow.ng pressure of de¬ a mand 1947 - The unsatisfactory condition of well volume of finance advantage their requirements, they must a yield of intermediate high make every effort to maintain or build up sound capital structures. a 2.80% yield. The cost of money has a direct In March, 45 million Columbia relationship to this factor. It can Gas & Electric 3%s, due 1973 (rat¬ ing "A") were offered at 101 y4, also be demonstrated that the to yield 3.18. At the time the harder the going in the money Columbia 3y8s, due 1971, were market, the more difficulty will 2.82%, after of A 34.2% Certain experiences of the past may be relied upon as some guide for the future. Group . Structure , * > of .In the times Must Build Up Sound Capital debt financing, both stated because of inadequate de¬ preciation reserves. In 1935 an addition in general. books syn¬ 20th, it is now currently quoted at a premium over the original offering price, 104%-105%. :v within industry itself through depreciation reserve ac¬ cruals, debt discount and other reserves and retained earnings. In this competition for the in¬ vestor's dollar, there is the tele¬ phone industry, the natural ga< industry and commercial business know, reflected as we in erated of nearly a third of these companies showed less than 70 Commissioner McEntire divided the 70 companies referred to, into three groups. The companies in was future books offered at 101 %, representing outstanding shares a yield of 4.15%. Only about 50% quality, and, in many cases, particularly preferred of the stock was sold, and when stocks, substantially higher than price restrictions were removed on comparable securities or "'Second, in view of the dangers in marketable at a better price. of the last year and only nine others fell under 25% in this re¬ spect. At the close of 1935 the With 1 may dressed up with various wrinkles in an effort to make them more preferred that common yields. the it investors' ap¬ stocks common debt; five 4.10% of that so favorable a praisal of its securities, whethei they be bonds, preferred stocks no servatively capitalized. The thing is true of preferred Stock balance sound way for some the pros-* offerings oi1 stock outstanding, so ? particular companies will take,! equity accounted for the remain¬ f. * ou are more familiar than any whether senior or equity financ-i one else with the huge sums oi ing, will depend on the situation 1 der of the capitalization. Only two of these 70 * companies had an money which must be obtainet. within the particular company. equity of less than 20% at the end from investors over the near-term as Immediately prior to the offering the outstanding issue of Preferred Baa realize stock and surplus. Only these companies carried demonstrates , A little later in 100,000 restric¬ and in com¬ prices than the times factor, v ~ the yields of outstanding ferred issues of the same improvement in the rating. * : ; foregoing it is obvious that it is enlightened self-interest for any utility company to keep its structure, as nearly as possible, averaged about 50% debt, preferred stock, and 33% common least From the to On March 22,1948, 50,000 shares at yields ; substantially West Penn Power 4.20% Preferred higher than those represented by of the panies "At the end of 1946 these 2.88, 2.98, 3.08 and May 13, to 2.74, 2.8-3, 2.93 ana respectively. You wjll note weaker reported: quoted 102%-103%, to yield 2.80%. These bonds proved sticky fered the averages of of are quantity reliable a stocks year 3.27 study "for a group of 70 companies, which con¬ stitutes nearly all the electric common tne respectively. The recent mod¬ improvement in the bond mar¬ ket nas lowered these yields, as SEC utilities whose At est in the Summer of 1947, de¬ veloped some interesting statistics a 3.05%. 3.29 ers, upon at end tnese were before the National Association of Railroad and Utility Commission¬ based Baa and Exchange Com¬ missioner McEntire, in an address were and basis; Double A on 2.60% basis* A on a 2.72% basis tne tnereoi, marks: average yield a capital structures. * 100.99, to yield 2.95%. At the time the same company's 3's, due 1971, occurred, ac¬ were 21,000 shares of counted for in part, at least, by maining unsold. On the the pressure of new offerings as the price restrictions the need for equity capital by all types of industry became urgent. moved, the stock traded 93% and subsequently This trend toward lower prices 88. The-current price reached a low point in February and March, 1948, under 32 for the Dow-Jones utility averages as 1978. be experienced by the companies with the weaker paragraph Group C. At June 30, 1947, Moody's Triple A sold on a 2.53% my the survey by quoting to A in reference' tne last) which paves of my later re-J I will conclude vey. weie Utility Securities Markets 1948 Thursday, June 10, balance on the market at time; of the offering.. The Baltimore conversion was some¬ the what under based on first the a the and market sliding scale by which conversions at were a attrative rate. Also, the con¬ more version privilege in the Baltimore case did not operate until some¬ a year from the thereby protect-, ing the outstanding common: against immediate dilution before the money raised through the de¬ bentures might have been put to work and begun to produce earn¬ ings. '' • • ** thing, date more than of offering, - in both 1946 and 1947. According to the Department o' Commerce half of issues approximately in security 1947 was attribut¬ survey, the increase during able to the industrial and miscel¬ laneous industries, primarily man¬ ufacturing, while the other hah is almost evenly divided betweer the telephone and electric and gas utilities. Manufacturing cor¬ porations, as a whole showed less dependence on outside sources of funds in 1947 than corporations billion of ne' issues raised through the capital markets in 1947 by cor¬ porations other than investmen' companies, seems to be above the new levels of the late 1920's and prob¬ ably was the highest in history Corporate bank loans increase*$3 billion in 1947, nearly as high as in 1946, and was equaled pre viously only, in 1919-1920 follow¬ ing the first World War. For any one interested in a com¬ parison of bond and stock yield and other data of convertible the having relation tc having Triple-A various types of securities going debentures during of 1947, were those of Public Service Company of Colo¬ summer rado Service Public and of * Inidiana, both of which were con¬ vertible slightly below the market for the common at the date of offering, of which both and are selling at premiums, reflect¬ the value of the conversion now ing privilege as related to the current market for the The generally. The estimated $4 Two other instances of the use most - common recent stock, offering of convertible debentures to common stockholders is. that of Consolidated New York Edison 3's. $57,382,600 Company of This offering to stockholders-was underwritten on the same basis as that of Public Service Company of Colorado: bidding took place 011 May 18 and only one bid, in the sum of $1,000 was received for the priv¬ ilege of underwriting the offer¬ ing and selling any of the con¬ The vertible debentures not subscribed for by stockholders, sharing any profit with the company over th$ original offering price on a .slid?. Volume 167 ing scale. The debentures are con¬ vertible into Consolidated stock common in the at debentures Edison of $25 rate each for THE 4706 Number common share. At the time of the offering the common stock was quoted 24 y*. the -The-possibility of profit for underwriters depends upon tutional purchasers, some believe of company, with that was electric an This for one reason another, do not rights. The rights not expire until June 8. In exercise do stockholders, or their view of the premium of over 6% immediately tures, the elight but, bid for the deben¬ risk involved seems the other hand; the on sinking fund Program oh the Almost on Dec. ($25 * ■- 10, nominal. ■ ' • - •••' • Several companies have offered recent issues of preferred stocks • convertible into In common. - January, Northern Indiana Public „ Service Company offered 272,694 shares .4 % % preferred stock <par $20). to its common stockholders fit 18. The common then was quoted 15JA-16V2, and the convert sion price was 20. Common stock¬ holders of Northern Indiana sub¬ scribed for 16,685 shares, the .rights, period,^ .the During under¬ offered - about writers publicly ,70% Of the" shares, or .190,893 Shares,, at Z the offering price to stockholders^ of 18- less 85 cents Obtained- through exercise of war¬ rants; acquired by them, leaving a balance; of 65,116 shares, which weired taken ,;.,up by the underwriters at the expiration: of the subscription period,and placed by -Ahem, also at 18, without organixzation of a , selling group. The-pre-; ferred,js-mow jquotfd fractionally hbov'e the offering price, to yield about 4.90%, * * r x 1 Two very recent convertible preferred issues are the 800,000 shares Southern/California Edi¬ son 4.56% (par $25), which was would retire 16,000 shares and annually beginning in 1949, provided they could purchase it at exceeding the original offer¬ ing price of 26.25; Three other Preferred Power z & \>k% (2%), Indianapolis Now tors the the offering the market was quoted 217* cently quoted at moderate pre¬ a mean inflationary of the one maximum some the national fiscal policy. One school of thought has more or less y consistently - advocated monetary and/or price controls tc inflation.-1 cure there is number of no In gas opinion my magic formula to hall for business activity and full employ¬ While some firming ir rates money be may President of The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, before the House-Senate Committee, I disturb need do Economk think not this considerably basic rates around present levels. As pointed out b> Mr. Sproul, "Prior to 1930 , short-term interest were rates long-term In . commonly above long-term than the reverse. . theory at least firm are in long so we as of the 2V2% rate for long-term govern-1 ment bonds demand a support our have we rate made there and that is the only opinion, the inclusion of which will create healthy a at¬ mosphere for business and stimu¬ a late greater production, so as to more nearly bring into balance the supply of goods with high demand, which is a. natural corol¬ lary of full employment at high gree a public wages. permanent enterprise will require expansion as long as the population of this country continues to grow. There¬ ing the trol * • 1 Great which the x' : a that or mighl course stop we dur¬ inevitable. supply One other factor might disturb rates and the prices of securities and that is the dislocation of the law of supply and demand by in¬ dustry pushing out securities faster than the market them. If of Qan- money/, is absorb can industry exercises restraint in its self- construction pro¬ does not flood the grams and have orderly an reasonable to finance;at and market chance for may 2 everybody reasonable cost a? now in the hands of our fiscal and he goes along. original offering fore, to obligate yourself to retir¬ If, on the other price, jxxx■}■*xx ing what should ; be permanent monetary authorities, not the com¬ hand, each fellow tries to beaf capital creates an obligation,; if mercial banks of the country. The the other to it, then you may pro¬ '(. On the same day, South Caro** balance between inflation and de¬ duce a chaotic situation in which jhna Electric & Gas Company of- you have the earnings, just as real flation will depend upon the wis¬ as any other debt but without re¬ buyers will hold back for ever? jfered to its common stockholder? dom with which the authorities ceiving eitjier the lower; interest greater concessions and a disor¬ X330,858 shares mium liie over • §xk%•preferred at $50 share. a ferred was Each share of convertible . pre¬ into 7 shares of common, representing a price of approximately $7.14 per share. At the time of the offering the• common was quoted' frac- tionally under this price. The rights period does not expire until May 25,fan& at the^ tirne; of pirei . paration tit this paper the result ; of the offeritfg was not available.* rate Preferred Stock To nssist ih Sinking1 Funds' friarketing preferred stocks, 'some ; utility companies have recently included provisions >for sinking or purchase funds. -'x-X •; sorhe IhduSfHat preferred stocks, particularly : in the Case of smaller and less known Companies, have had various types cf sinking or purchase funds. These have served ;X(1> to create dual purpose: a some market for the securities themselves, and (2) to gradually retire the issue. During the low-yield period in 1946, a number of large institutional pur¬ chasers, recognizing the unlikeli¬ hood of the permanent nance of yields, many mainte¬ such; preferred which of stock were as low as 31/2% began to insist on Sinking funds, particularly in is¬ sues privately placed or where the-market sufficiently ready was not broad likely to be to furnish a of selling. Some ex¬ amples of low dividend industrial having sinking funds brought out during this period arc: X';• XXV x::x: Xr" x g'.x ■ V-'x.0" ;/'x/: . ; , • ■ ••j H. J. Heinze Co._-._-. Borg-Warner Corp. Jewel Tea Co. £ irZ 3.65% 3V2% 3%% 'X Scovill Mfg. Co.___x____3.65% ?. Late in 1947, to meet this posi¬ tion of some of these large insti¬ X wisdom and not was cau¬ exer¬ cised in 1920, 1929 and 1937, with public utility company will be better advised to pay, if necessary, somewhat higher dividends with? cipitated the result that deflation a sinking fund because, after all, the rate of return in a regu¬ lated As financial stock . serve money. expense bearing rate, with a a having the half present the rates; would to a 2% action to - such be as ment and savings at this period, tion in an to create re¬ by consumers' disposable in¬ The food issue. our unemploy¬ indiscriminate reduc¬ come before it could approximately of the aggressive general credit restriction, it must tax to take essary to increase production. To bring about deflation sinking fund issue, and 47.2% or continue to disastrous check upon the expan¬ sion of business enterprise so nec¬ the over amount $3,541,000 As to the; Federal Re¬ System should duce the existing supply of avail¬ able funds; might well produce a net savings in service charges on the debentures after giving con¬ sideration firmly pansion of bank credit, but for it also of would retire am com¬ the a sinking fund: on the basis of a $7,500,000 issue in both cases; the operation that I preferred 4 V2%< dividend of of 2% sinking fund, and debenture bearing a a 25-year 3V4% coupon, pre¬ follow its present policy of modest action to restrain a further ex¬ illustration an was once history. convinced industry has relation to the cost Of and, started, was hard to stop, as has been proved in those disastrous episodes in our out most be effective. price situation is one of serious problems and alternative, if the annual continued high or rising prices savings resulting from the lower foi? food makes much more likely an servicing cost *. of the debentures were applied tc the further re¬ duction of the principal would while be retired mately amount debentures in 22 reduction in the agregate de¬ mand for food (or other consumer same "date Assumptions x';;,;';X:x;' As to there Business My greatest concern is in the ability of companies to marke' common stocks to keep the capi¬ talization morrow's money market. published by Of ance. of ratios the in bal¬ good return capital raised in the first of ,1948, approximately $2% billion, only about 10% rep¬ resented the proceeds of common stock financing. conscious stocks to common the as still out of the come public of asset in the world; securities, when on most other forms of wealth/not nearly so liquid, he can borrow practi¬ cally whatever the lender is will¬ ing to let him have, I cannot un¬ Schmidt Wins Pfcila. Bond Club Golf Match PHILADELPHIA, PA,—Walter Schmidt, Poole & Co# honors in the golf tour¬ Schmidt of took top portfolios requirements of companies them¬ capital. •vXxX'■,,/;/ new On new offerings of commor stock, the yield has had to be, and will probably continue to have to be, exceedingly attractive. The spread between the yields on sen¬ ior securities and stocks mon are of those com¬ probably now much wider than they have been most past periods. Indeed, at times the yields on common stocks been lower than those on have fixed return securities, re¬ flecting the hoped-for future growth factor. many The narrowness of the market for large issues of common stocks, over the recent past, can be well when you consider understood unattractiveness to ; their relative investors high surtax rates, the capital gains taxes and by reason of the The re¬ other factors. cent revision of the tax law may little way to improve this situation, but to broaden and go held nament Z3ra tne nual in conjunction with An¬ Field Day the. of Club Bond . of P Philadelphia held xii' 1 . the at I- Philadelphia- 3 M Country Club. Mr. Schmidt played with a m /1 handi¬ seven and cap¬ tured the Low cap Award with a Net was I 76. Low won by W i 11 a r d Walter Boothby of E. H. Rabbin* A. Schmidt *? .... Sons, Inc. The popular "Kicker's Handicap" was won by K. J. Huttlinger of F. P. Ristine & Co. * H. K. Lloyd of Drexel & Co. and Laurence A. Brown of Jenks, Kirkland & Co. captured the ten¬ nis honors in the round-robin with finals Norbert William and W. Fleming, Marcus of both Smith, Barney & Co., winning sec¬ place. ond A 1948 Dodge Automobile was jointly to William J. awarded Wright of Blyth & Co., and John H. Blye of Wurts, Dulles & Co.; A television set was awarded to and nated & Mosley of Stroud & Co., Playboy Automobile do¬ a by the Co. courtesy of Tellier York New of Francis to Kemble of W. E. Hutton & Co. activities These were followed some make stock some by an Aquacade at the Club pool featuring a diving exhibition and a water ballet by the lovely Aqua- delphians. featuring a The Annual Dinner variety show com¬ pleted one of the most successful outings in the Club's history. company large production and employ¬ ment, and, therefore consumers' disposable income. / Under present conditions, a gen¬ eral railroad strike would have been disastrous to the accomplish¬ ment of the necessary greater pro¬ duction to balance the attempted inflationary pressures. A coal strike could have the same result, shoe-string of the operating selves for are large blocks of divestment utility holding well Investors the of enforced at to new quarter as not speculation but why an individual can borrow only 25% on the most amount? enormous reduced Fiscal Policy government fiscal policy, both of are vital factors in any at¬ tempt at an appraisal of to¬ should a R. Victor •' credit, unless the policy were car¬ ried to a point that substantially and which " /' Federal Reserve sales to contract x /xxx Any "Look to the Future" must include certain assumptions as to business activity and, indeed, as to A recent bulletin dered market will result. years, (58%) of the 4Mj% pre¬ ferred issue. X of a goods) by^following a policy of al¬ lowing government security prices be remaining approxi¬ to seek their own level, or by $4,350,000 principal forcing security prices down by at, the would another round of wage increases, on. But we cannot expect and so debt, all but $93,000 amount means preferreds tion This advantage realized from interest paid. I think, in the long run, a parative -r exercise these controls. the important Federal tax or quirement. there is no 75% margin re¬ Of course I agree we mar- ket with securities destined to pro¬ duce cash way beyond current re-r we a prices, good reason for Gross Question of Supply of Securities quirements, then I think inflation monetary war was of require lower figure." suggest at theory of deflated ent nc why rates on shorter-term obligations could not approach thif figure. The facts as distinguishec the least the vestments without any substantial credit fqr losses. Certainly at pres¬ reason from at capital gains purchaser is not frozen in by the amount of the capital gains tax on successful in¬ money . that so be the derstand. anticipated, as indicated by the recent testimony of Allan Sproul Joint tax also of listed ment. short-term should modification 27 marketable therefore, ihis equilibriurr disturbed, we should look a continued period of higl not in greater enter¬ company preferred stocks do have prise and in greater production. sinking fund provisions,, but there If this is the right answer, then the measures which is definite logic in; should be providing a sinking fund on all senior issues of encouraged by government, and natural gas companies, by private enterprise^ are those x \ X distributing If, is There - real answer lies a in gradually make some reductions, may be justified by a decrease in the cost of living. rales inflation, and I believe electric reductions some as more standing. Most : of the natural utility is wages although these latter do importantly reflect themselves not important fac¬ shares at any time issued arid out¬ In my made and on It is com¬ prices, pressures. in handle commencing in 1949, at prices not exceeding the initial public offer* ing price thereof, not less- than an common rearm¬ is. is should be adopted only as a last resort. As far as can be foreseen, of own making any assumptions regarding future security markets how wisely the Treasury and a pur* Federal - Reserve effect of which, the System there share; and convertible into eomhioti at $28.50 per share: At the 27 V2. The offering was successful and the preferred stock was re¬ for issue of Consumers new the our production, increase in will be to require the company erideavorxto purchase annually, of total our 5% Preferred Florida Power Cor¬ fund, preparedness ament, while they do not repre¬ sent an important percentage of Convertible Light Power Preferred chase own Program and for (2V2%) and poration 4.90 Preferred (3%). In the ; goods required for the European - Service our war, if need be, is the best way to minimize the likelihood of war. True enough, the added foods and electric utility preferred - issues recently offered had a : sinking fund provision: Northern Indiana time • iidence in the future and certainly reconstruction of Western Europe not Public panies have held the line Presi¬ The adoption of these measures should strengthen our own con- sinking fund (or to a lesser de contingent purchase fund) is an expensive procedure and ior the the over , (2%) offered to the public at $26.25 per ! of the tax passage measure pro¬ by overwhelming ma¬ are all; in my opinion, sinking fund but the directors, by resolution, stated that they 2% rearmament Company 4.88% preferred jorities, offered.»Here the preferred, constructive steps forward.. was • non-partisan basis, dent's veto, Edison . r relief 1947, 800,000 shares Southern California a likely* be a corollary gram and the immediately thereafter, par)) although in a lesser degree. encouraging that the steel forecasters begins in 1948. writers will and maximum shares outstanding and ;r. more (2547) econ¬ in the current cost of living. Ex¬ thought cept to correct inequalities, 1 probable,until recently. The think we must have the courage adoption of the European Relief to hold the line on wages ana stock contract did not provide for get Slump That Never Came." I omists 4, 1947. 2% of the amount of stock which the under¬ may entitled: "1947: Year of was tivity during the year 1948 unlikely than some of our Dec. is CHRONICLE think recent events make any im¬ in business ac¬ palachian Power 4.50% preferred, on FINANCIAL portant recession utility a and some the sinking fund, 75,000 shares Ap¬ of & Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank the first publicly offered preferred which was offered that the electric utility companies adopted sinking fund or purchase provisions. I (1) that the offering is successful, (2) COMMERCIAL more active market the there elimination of common should the be double taxation, first paid by the corpo¬ ration on^ earnings and then by the individual on his dividends. Phila. Field : Ass'n Sees. Day Committee PA. —Com¬ PHILADELPHIA, mittees for the Annual Field Day Philadelphia Securities As¬ of the sociation, to be held Friday, June 18, at the Llanerch Country Club, Llanerch, Pa., are announced by Dudley R. Atherton of F. S. Moseley & Co., President of the Asso¬ ciation, as follows: Chairman General — Frank L. Ford, Jr., E. W. Clark & Co. Co-Chairman—D. R. Atherton,, Co. F. S. Moseley & Committee—Wm. A, Reception Lacock, E. W. Clark & Co.; Walter Hongler, John F# Brooke, Stokes & Co.; Macomber, First Boston, Corp. - • Golf—John D. Foster, Real Es¬ tate Trust. Entertainment—Lew W. Fisher, Sheridan, Bogan, Paul & Co. Prizes—Russell Stroud & Co.; W. Ergood, Wm. F. Jr., Crowell, Girard Trust Co. Publicity—E. Howard York, 3rd, Doremus & Co. FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (2548) 28 plants cannot augment the of power because then it power The Electric Industiy in 1948 supply will be a new of case government or investment rather than and, private invest¬ private capacity added dur¬ consumption. Constantly increas¬ ments and its committees. I com¬ ing the year. It now appears that ing wage levels calls for greater mend to your attention the many for the country as a whole the and greater use of electric labor -engineering discussions and pa¬ margin of reserve in December, saving devices. New processes re¬ pers which have been made avail- 1948, will be only slightly larger quiring electric power are being -asble to the industry through the than it was last year. The power developed. In the farm and rural classes Institute and by its publications. supply this year will be tight, but They give to all the benefit of adequate. The consensus of opin- of service the rapid expansion in¬ the special knowledge, investiga¬ inion seems to be that it will be creases. The farm customer is ex¬ tions and advanced thinking of three more years before normal pected to double his present use in a very few years. Residential the various utilities—constitute a reserves can be restored. forum for discussion and the ex¬ Obviously, we cannot add gen¬ consumption, averaging now about change of ideas so necessary if eration faster than the manufac¬ 1,500 kilowatt-hours per customer we are to keep abreast of our turers can make it. In the early per annum, is also expected to continue rapid growth. Household rapidly advancing art. part of World War II the Produc¬ New Industry problems having to do tion Board diverted to military help is prohibitive in cost. with accounting, rates, personnel, use 2,200,000 kilowatts of steam concepts of comfort and conve¬ sorb the (Continued from first page) Thursday, June 10, 1948 government ment. situation is not crit¬ it will improve the new equipment on and now, rapidly as is delivered. oraer >'/ Financing;" insurance, material supply, trans¬ portation equipment, operating methods, design, power sales and the many other matters which concern have had careful us sideration b.y the Ifae Institute. con¬ Committees of Committee members have been liberal with their time ■and skill in making the work they have undertaken successful fruitful, and I know and will all you join with me in expressing gratitude for their efforts. our As you know, the Institute con¬ ducts joint research and commit¬ tee with work ciations. other trade asso¬ Substantial and impor¬ has been made by these joint undertakings, - espe¬ cially in the heating field, and in tant progress standardization. The Institute is looking ahead towards the day when we must again sell electric service. is sponsoring sales training courses, planned a lighting pro¬ gram and a national sales program electric on in are kitchens. the You., will • Other steps making. to as from reports the,findings and - • ... turbine Steam booked to ahead. manufacturers capacity three to capacity is being in¬ 5V2 million kilowatts per annum for central stations and for kilowatts of of the results of their activ¬ aome ities during the talks which he made before you convention. -done during this much is being So these by forward will varied of groups looking and devoted the scope of a this In the single address such begin to cover it all. to narrow companies the are direct bene¬ ficiary of their activities, but customers—the ing the electric housewife efficient our enjoy¬ service the range, of an manufacturer increasing plant production with infra-red electric or furnaces, and the farmer who produces more with the aid of his electrical hired hands—these beneficiaries of the are of information the at ultimate interchanges the Load of and to the nation is supply power the business- managed, taxpaying utilities of the country. Last year they gencrated 81.4% of the power, and made 86% of the sales to ultimate exclusive consumers, the' of en¬ ergy not producedby industrial plants contributing to the public sup¬ ply. Their responsibility therefore Is great. • , at this tremendous before the a Other companies' suitable situation supply, but the improving steadily. is performance of the manufac¬ turers of power supply equipment, in my opinion, is beyond any com¬ parable achievement in peacetime industrial history and they are entitled to tion. hearty commenda¬ our I take this occasion to pay tribute to this, their latest of many achievements. .// . _ • The Growing Demand for Electric Power .v.';.:-/. I want to give We are continuing customers 1946 at record high 1924 to record a tomers added. The demand tinues Hew to and for electric rise power month expanded us. by uses con¬ month. of elec¬ tricity are developing, labor costs industry and in the home are placing a - constantly increasing b£ premium on greater applications of electric power. Last year's pro¬ duction of electrical appliances is illuminating on this point. It was three times the prewar production ia volume. Thus, despite the fact that additions of new generating capacity this year will be much larger by far than in any previous year in the history of our indus¬ try, the growth of power demand in 1948 is expected to nearly ab¬ case of present pro¬ and as to its adequacy in .there should arise a state ■'*' war. There to will be new The addition adequate out the present carry power rearma¬ ment program, although the high civilian consumption of aluminum plus the mand increased military de¬ possibly require some may adjustments of case again in that the war be ,confronted from production. regard. nation with civilian to In would a con¬ wartime We would again have around-the-clock operation > of much consumes a of man¬ shortage of materials, shortage of transportation. ' If I of customers topped the 1946 rec¬ ord, and the first quarter of 1948 view has of run last ahead of the first quarter year. We approaching saturation ings however, are, 93% are now programs far so establishments are as con¬ occupied dwell¬ of served, and service under Construction will close to way this carry latter figure 100% in another three to four, years so that further increase in customers must depend entirely tion growth and For the dustrial new- on popula¬ housing..; • use of electric power has This in¬ dicates that the available supplies of important materials and labor and economic considerations have for the present at least leveled off the general industrial expansion. other electrification of industry and continued expansion of electricity the basic supply. power for as outlook elements electric favor¬ more for of these wartime In other words, electric generally is-'not regarded the critical as ' limiting factor, of the capacity situ¬ or A summary ation may be reduced to the fol¬ lowing points: . The the /•"••• ; supply reserve has an-ade- at margins remarkably high de¬ of system coordination to get most out of all generating facilities within and between different areas, areas. Everything is being done that practically be done to add new capacity. can The turbine factories to are loaded capacity. Because struction curities obtain to terest rates of money market. this fact, additional the con¬ Federal the lower the The in¬ prevailing industry fi¬ nancially is in the soundest con¬ dition in its history. Fixed charges use cf capital in our indus¬ for the per. must be equity securities or year their these must equivalent, and of such attraction to investors be they will find a ready mar¬ it is impossible to, market utility equities without good earn¬ ings, present and prospective. In addition, the securities must be especially attractive if the indus¬ try is to win out in competition with other vestors' for business dollars. far So the in¬ have we done well with this problem. In the first five months of 1948, new capital funds in the amount of millidn have $646 been sold by utilities, bonds providing $513 million, preferred stocks $62 million and stocks common Reported $71 temporary fi¬ bank loans has $68 million. I believe our future prospects good. Electricity is a great bar-* gain, and gets to be a better one are relatively every for growing it is day. The demand rapidly. New for power are uses constantly be¬ The high cost of ing developed. labor in home and factory prompts use of cheap labor-saving tiie try have, over recent years, been electricity.>/•;/>;' 1"/r sharply reduced. Capital invest¬ ,/T e c h n 01 o gical improvements ment, financed largely from earn¬ and superior management are inings, increased $1.7 billion in the creasing efficiency and lowering 10 years ended 1947. Long-term relative qosts. Money * rates are debt reduced was Writedowns $2.7 for of billion count reserves million. account made. for accrual ol $580 plant were of Annual depreciation from 1.7% of plant ac¬ 2.4%, while depreciation on balance sheet our from 11% in 1937 to 22% in rose 1946. Long-term debt in relation to utility plant was reduced from , 50%' to 41^;;v^^Vr;:.;,^- //.//; The financing, however, of a $6 " billion an program in four years is undertaking of such magnitude that we must turn to the investing low. The proportion of our re¬ latively low when compared with many other businesses, So far We have coped with the we inflation which the are has taken place. in the only business country that has not raised prices' again and again. I fully appreciate that continue cannot we this on for long should the infla-» tion spiral continue or prices re-? course main at current levels. is danger that no ourselves out of we But there will price market, as doing. I am; our to the consumer in relation to his tained earnings and other sources other will probably exceed $2.1 billion four-year period, leaving $3.9 biliion to be raised by the sale of securities to the general public. - If we apply to our capital in the the needs theoretical but well balanced capital structure ratio3 of 50% bonds, 25% preferred stock and 25% common stock and sur¬ plus, the division of this $3.9 bil¬ would be ; debt and bank loans, $2.2 billion; preferred stock, $1.1 billion; stock/$600 and retained million would common Surplus earnings of $500 provide ; the remainder V equity capital. Let us relation billion $200 a these the re¬ whole. as a level of gross na¬ about $22 billion cash for capital expen¬ There this capital. are two sources earnings, sale of the reserves and new for One is cash genera¬ tion within business itself depreciation the through and retained second securities is and the bank At current business levels, of cash generation amount from $14 to $15 billion, so that approximately $7 billion must be provided by private the that sure are of cost is expenses electricity going to runs investors. Thus, the $1 - We have much greater of earnings than most industries. We have W3 sell inventory problem. no service essential in a and peace. the householder, Its cost and of consequence to most businesses. ; / / Our facilities and the greater built at pre-inflation prices. were Over the shown $4. 10 past account per of are long-lived portion of them years dollar of Even with an plant has our revenue from reduction a $5.50 prices, at the end of /'//'J revenue. A inflation would be runaway ruinous to all alike. Like every¬ else, I believe that further in¬ But if it is not, all business will be in one flation should be stopped. the same the utilities boat.- The businesses will not worse. On We local change for the ■ ///;/.'//• in the main local indus¬ are We can demonstrate character with great be -competition us. for serious There will the limited supply of capital to be available. our effec¬ tiveness. Every dollar of our plant investment is in the area we Every customer must a of other to the contrary it should improve., /-/v/ tries. situation in relation be have 1951 of investment per dollar of revenue should still be under $5 per dollar force we to increase by 40% plant account at present in¬ our area. Obviously- to minor total dustry. war is trivial serve. requirements of all in¬ , stability billion required by the electric utility industry each year is ap¬ proximately one-seventh of. the new con¬ tinue to be lower and lower. that to support us tional product will require ditures. industries some flated to quirements of industry Economists tell the • examine now in amounts of • ; ex¬ exposed to inflation is penses public to supply most of it. Cash generation within the companies frcm depreciation reserves, re¬ problem ahead of of of on by earnings. Fi¬ nancing operations were confined largely to refinancing existing se¬ within business a its on some-* than $400 million exceeded present,, loans. are nar¬ ■• There is gree r » States power quate row. • United although For the longer range, however, the prospects are for much greater outlook generally able vthan past several months in¬ remained about constant. the great task a The remainder of more nancing through am power is a sum cash generated from million. consideration—shortage thing of construction was carried would power, market. million. lion boil down to relative senior securities, of which approximately half a billion dol- electric greater volume of electricity with¬ out materially increasing the de¬ mand. The question of shortages soon business. is well known. During the period 1937-1946 the greater part ranks and correctly advised, gov¬ ernmental authorities atJ present " existing The pace. 1947 is available to 97%. of add broke the previously record for new cus¬ great all gram factories, which few figures to a own the country. years con¬ for carrying out the . version cerned. to ;■ in short The load and capacity situation has been, and promises to be, of concern estimates reserve. our in industry that stands an rate among Washington authorities as to the adequacy of electric power interruptions, any equipment and materials continue The however, it will be question in large for their capital programs. So will money The ability of the industry to finance the cash requirements of its construction program over past ditions and this country's adopted rearmament program have raised of child feet, without benefit of tax exemption or government subsidy. be eliminated, so The troubled state of world a manufacture, 1951, barring indicate rate convey a little more clearly the growth picture for electric service. Capacity Situation key the Even committee conference tables and the studies, the reports and handbooks which the committees produce. The by the utility companies and about 4V2 million by various governmental agencies. the electric sense, for Question of Rearmament-w'. service • • billion if 40% of the plant industry at the end 1947. It is $42 for every man, has risen kilowatts will have been into put men who are the backbone of the Injstitute that it is impossible within as million have own effective scale. , - Raising such */ •' plants and otherwise prepare; to integrate' and inter¬ change just as they did during the last war, but on a larger and more gen¬ utilities which is being during an inflationary and and the investment Our ket. way, woman both with other utilities and with . other that of -v industrial isolated industrial plants. From V-J Day to the end of 1951, the $6 limit useful power inter¬ or con¬ account of the as to permit the utilities to further improve their interconnections erating capacity will have been installed, of which amount 18V2 of ' ;V // • changes should Their creased committees. hear //; Coordinated Operation vent years recommendations of these various will SO. you obtain to period. orders, at a time when / It is gratifying to observe the they were struggling with recon¬ smooth running and well estab¬ version and shortages of material lished practice of interchanging and labor. Although deliveries power between companies of the are very slow, they are steadily same general region wherever sig¬ increasing in volume. The utility nificant advantage in the public industry expects to install about service can be gained. Many parts 4,600,000 kilowatts of new gener¬ of the country are served by soating capacity this year. Only called power pools, operating on once, in 1924, when 3,800,000 kilo¬ a basis which materially reduces watts were installed, did the rate the amount of reserve capacity approach anywhere near this formerly considered desirable. year's figure. Construction for the i In the interest of national de¬ first quarter of 1948 was 115,000 fense and of economy, it is im¬ kilowatts ahead of the schedule portant that restrictive laws and for that quarter. regulations which in effect pre¬ are how about carried out more of sums business-managed the greatest bargain offered today in these United States. We must keep it of one that all of you are sure under postwar about 23,000,000 You and more be calling 011 market at the same time for $6 billion that will be needed for the expansion program that the Electric power and energy is We have. to another one-half million kilowatts f receive time to time allowed for will annually, are especially attractive for insurance companies and will find a ready has financing recently. I every some cerned electricity. swamped the manufacturers with cnce It capacity were we call nience ordered for utility use. We have not yet re¬ placed the shortage of reserve ca¬ pacity caused thereby. During the conflict we put in every kilowatt generating Nearly done industry tne manufacturing industries lars must be placed , am telephone and gas and improvement The power ical The All our employees are local citizens who live and work in. the a resident of the per¬ area. Many thousands of our customers are holders of our preferred and common ing stock.. The list is grow¬ daily. When the divestment program of the Holding Company Act is THE Number 4706 167 Volume completed few short years a hence, over six-sevenths of all outstanding electric utility oper¬ ating will in stocks common company be hands the of in¬ the vesting public and the remainder will be holding companies set up on local a and rities have under long term contracts without of utility the the power could be wholesaled by the government to distributors „ investor. discrimination The elimination of dou¬ taxation dividends on ditions. would investment in our chal¬ encourage opportunity. We equity and would enlarge the base .should enco urage widespread from which equity money could / ownership in - our local areas of be drawn. our equities. To do so we must (3) The tax structure of the pursue a reasonably conservative country, as now set up, has dried policy to assure continuity of div¬ up the major sources of capital. idends at an established rate. This It has ended the savings of peo¬ will attract the permanent in¬ ple who ordinarily invest in bus¬ vestor. We may well consider iness. Insurance is the only form and an . sale of equities to our cus¬ instalment basis, our tomers an on the For just securities will re¬ attractive savings most people have today. We most earnestly hope that this situation to investors, and than hold our that we can more own in the competition for did not taxes may peace ness political and economic instability. We in the utility industry, as in all business, recognize the neces¬ sity for defense preparedness and pledge our facilities and organiza¬ tions to its accomplishment.. W We are called upon to aid Eu¬ rope while we are hard pushed to take care of the needs of On the present destroy Capitalism In to our country. Busi¬ recognizes the world-wide bring in the corrected be basis, of life our way more completely than would a revolutionary movement to the left.-;/ the funds of investors. > The end of hostilities will future. near have I reasons utility given, main local increasing thereby further ownership. of addition minds; a this we are battle for men's a struggle to prevent Com¬ munism from from within upon us win this or overwhelming us imposing its will conflict and ' The regulatory authorities hav¬ ing jurisdiction over the various utilities would, Of course, see to it that fees rates and fair, and are that whatever benefits may result distributed properly are where applicable, passed We must of the and, to the on The ment dams that is under way sections There is ing. of need no ' »■••• and (10) But of basis. in country. the the economic we or result failure The of industry finds itself today in a position which is truly amaz¬ ing. Each of us in our local areas other A job well done is If to meet a the boost part hurts every utility. customers. are detrimental changes in eco¬ our \ If we to think are success¬ the light of what it the industry should a hori^ the to We may mean the |VA 25% tax on the national prodi tict is not a tax on industry and business alone, it is a tax directly or indirectly million pro¬ walk of life. Ten on ducers in every 60 years hence the number will be 65 million. They will need jobs. New productive facilities must be pro¬ vided;; outmoded processes re¬ placed by new; new plants built to place new products and inven¬ tions oh the market. This means the investment of risk-money This industry cerned in two directions: someone. is, by con¬ (a) New production facilities is •Synonymous with • an market for electricity. ' ; ■ ' "v . centage of the total equity capital meeds. ' ;■ steady flow of equity capital iinto industry is the most impor¬ tant insurance of a high level of productivity. This industry should -align itself with other industries ;and other public spirited citizens "to remove the road blocks to the ;generation of equity capital, We -mention only a few of these road 1 blocks. V With government expendi¬ :(1) tures equalling one-fourth of the *penditures taking one-eighth, it is apparent that government ap¬ propriations in all other directions : should be stripped of all but es¬ sential spending, thus providing a 'base for the reduction of taxes. job. 7;7 v of cornerstone very its ilk. and . Communism So the utilities are in the forefront of the battle against companies have already been lost. Others are in the midst of the struggle. Still others while presently somewhat removed from actual contact will, if socialization of our industry Statism. • ; Some continues, maelstrom it as into drawn be nears your the door¬ step. In the end, we will win, lose or draw as an industry, not as in* dividual companies. " : All of us, I am sure, favor flood prevention and control and recla¬ mation, and that electric generat¬ ing facilities should be installed at the government dams where economically feasible. I believe that the public wants flood control and reclamation. It must be made clear to them that there is no cial or Federal economic need for so¬ the Government to enter the in competition utilities under supplying water to farm¬ ers or abating high water. The existing distributors of electric power in the area should market the power from government dams. business taxpaying power with cover /national product and defense ex: the Socialization of electricity is the increasing t (b) Our needs yearly for equity •capital are an5 important per¬ A do ' of There in are which handle several the practical distributors ways could the marketing problem. One of them, or a group, could build the power house and install the generating equipment at each government 'The incidence of taxation should Power ibe changed so that there will re¬ under pay least $7 billion per :year which will provide the nec¬ essary equity to insure the present high level of production with con¬ taxpayer at license, pay on these facilities, and also the government for the use of falling water and the dam.- The government in each case would retain full control over the dam, and operate it for its primary pur¬ of flood control, reclamation or navigation, or a combination of these purposes, as the case may tinued employment at present levels, and the insurance of em¬ ployment for those who are reach¬ pose ing the be. (2) age of wage Double earners. taxation of dends should be ended. discrimination works equity financing. divi¬ This tax against It tends to en¬ This method would afford the greatest relief to the taxpayers, and be of maximum aid to recla¬ no where for :• i larger daily. of employees joined our ranks during and postwar years and experience in peacetime : Our indus¬ local stand. growing operation.of the business. There is a great need for a pub¬ lic information program at the a cohesive phil¬ osophy, a creed, and a unified policy program to guide our acr tions so that everyone will know ,,i level inform to custo¬ our mers, employees and our invest¬ ors of the policies of the local cohnpany, its plans and prospects the future, and Suggested Policies I'outline May a ; ' of these few issues and policies. We should take our place beside others who are striving to bring about— [■ (1) A full understanding of the sociological effects: of government in business, the with¬ ering results of a planned econ¬ omy and the delineation between individual rights and statism. adverse (2) The sound tax allow and establishment tion of the ; a designed to the forma¬ capital needed for program encourage new free economy. our of J 7 (3) The elimination of tax ex¬ emption for proprietary busi¬ nesses, both public and private, and the other valuable and unfair special privileges enjoyed by gov¬ ernment of pense in business at the ex¬ else. everyone The utilities of the United should continue to accept (4) States full responsibility for meeting the present and future electric power requirements generally of the ter¬ ritory they now serve, and of such other areas to which they can ex¬ tend their power lines from time to time, "V . (5) Each utility should improve interconnections its both with of the it area serves. discriminatory, preferential taxa¬ tion. There is lack a of under¬ standing, as an industry, of our accomplishments in'.the postwar period and of/our plans for the future. We find ourselves, in com¬ mon with other businesses, but in the forefront, subjected to a drive for the socialization of industry. There is too little understanding than dur¬ ing the past war. / The (6) water the we resources control of of the of the nation and floods through projects soundly conceived, well engineered, economically justified and administered so as not to de¬ stroy private business, and includ¬ ing, where warranted, the instal¬ lation of generating facilities to utilize the falling water. (7) The promulgation of a structive power policy by con¬ the Federal Government which would define its functions in relation to mation, flood prevention and con¬ the trol, &nd navigation. its power business, 4 Bucher Heads Comm. On Foregin Banking The Committee ; Foreign. Banking, a group of officials rep¬ resenting 40 financial institutions in New on York, Boston and Phila*- delphia, announced today the National Bank, as Chairman. Alsp elected by the Committee for the ensuing year were Philip F~ Swart, Jr., Second Vice-President of the Guaranty Trust Co., as Vice-Chairman, and. Elzear E. Leger of the Americaa Express Co., as Secretary. This Committee meets monthly at the New York: Clearing House to discuss foreign banking problems and procedures. New York Stock Exchange Weekly Firm Changes The New York Stock Exchange has announced the following firm changes: standardize practices, delimit its activities - Interest of ... the late Arthur Broderick in Bache & F. Co., ceased May 31. Interest of the Guion in Scholle May 20. Interest of late the late Dickinson, limited Smith, Barney & May 28. John A. Philemon. partner, in Co., ceased - Boston *• Club Outing ; Have Large Attend. To of , Brothers ceased BOSTON, MASS.—The outing the Municipal Bond Club of parties June 16 and 17 at the on Hotel Statler. Joins Walston, ' . V to The (Special SAN John . Financial Chronicle) FRANCISCO, R. ciated A 3 Hoffman Staff CALIF — has become asso¬ Page with Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin, 265 Montgomery Street, members operation of the capitalistic particularly the benefits derived therefrom by the indi¬ vidual. f We //.,t"">?'•' : v/. facts are are on private by side. our We electric that demonstrate business is and best for the nation. must service superior the We must tell fact ized. a business-managed vital part of private cannot We hope public, busy with its will understand our the story social that own un¬ to every segment political struc¬ This is the way industry. to make friends for the Good service; abundant power; rates; improved public rela¬ tions; cooperation with regulatory bodies; security for employees and investors; improved efficien¬ cy; engineering advances; all these we expect to give in full low measure. But .we ' ' v 7 must do York and Irving Lee Adds to The Financial Chronicle) SAN JOSE, CALIF.—H. Irving Lee & Co., First National Bank Building, have added David H. Wilson to their staff. With A. E. Weltner & Co. especial to CORAL Florence The Financial GABLES, E. Brown ciated with A. E. of Kansas Chronicle) FLA.—Mrs. is now asso¬ Weltner & Co. City. Rotan, Mosle Incorporates GALVESTON, TEX. — Rotan, and Moreland, Inc., has Mosle been formed. Offices are located in the Anico and at Building, Galveston, 806 Rusk Avenue, Dallas; another office is also maintained in Beaumont, Tex. . Officers of the corporation are Arthur C. Cooper, President; Es¬ ter M. Hock, Secretary-Treasurer; Edward Rotan, J. Ludwig Mosle, and J. Marving Moreland, direc¬ tors. ' more than that difficult days. We must work with others to sell and resell in these capitalistic system and vent the spread of socialism. our H. fSpecial We must and again. over New Stock Talbot. the ture of this nation and do it over and the affairs, position tell it to them. less we of our ford & the retell that are of Francisco We must join with others to strengthen the opposition to socialism and com¬ munism. San Exchanges. V. He has recently been with Hanna- badly in need of a broad public information program at the grass roots i and on a national level. It has been too long de¬ layed. We have an excellent, even inspiring story to tell. Economic i tell should advocate— development industry think straight, wisely and talk effectively. system, business and should not be social¬ I think we as an act of the utilities manner if a larger number V'At the national level, this in¬ of out-of-town guests, including dustry, in common with other businesses, is facing the problem municipal men from New York City and Philadelphia. The out¬ of a shortage of investment capi¬ tal due to operation of our income ing to be held at Concord, Mass., on June 18 will be preceded by tax laws. We find ourselves sub¬ traditional two-a-day highball jected, as other industries are, to enter - into interchange agreements,* and otherwise pre¬ pare to fully integrate their oper¬ ations on an area basis, in an ever plants, effective principles Boston will have other utilities and with industrial more our free people. as can, we must, meet the challenge of these times. We will interde¬ the pendence of the local utility and Federal taxes main in the hands of the investor- dam Commission war had try badly needs we is who have We should keep towards them. list We have; thousands aims before us, and shape our courses of the word. do in a whole. objectives and local areas and on national basis. every sense of .• our stand fast to beliefs We Millions of shares of the securities our our We find ourselves fac¬ operating companies are held by thousands of stockholders and as outline policies in our we try, we should broaden zons, and revalue what nomic system, • our way of life, Taxes remain high. The and our standard of living. ;V: ol inflation rises. The This complex and bewildering need for huge Federal revenues situation is a challenge to every continues.' Federal expenditures one of us; to do our full duty and continue to absorb One-fourth of more, to think clearly, and to hold our national product and defense steadfast I to the principles upon expenditures is one-eighth. • The v/hich our, nation was founded, paramount problem in this coun¬ and which have guided us to our try is the maintenance of a high present position of strength, free¬ level of industrial production and dom and material prosperity. The business activity to insure the challenge is especially great to the continued working of our eco¬ utilities. Adequite electricity is nomic system, which still has the essential in peace; it is of vital maladjustments imposed on it necessity in war. The utilities <during the depression and war must provide it in abundance.' If years. How are we to insure con¬ they do not, the Federal Govern¬ tinued high productivity? ment must shove them aside and dustry in indus¬ an pressure ex¬ of our as people. vast a demands and needs ing the greatest need for financ¬ ing in any period of our history. The industry is today a local in¬ ideologies decisively; defeat fully the challenge of the times, we must think, act and talk as an our liberties; a compromise victory industry which is part and parcel in far-reaching and of American life.>V;: /v,: 7:: we with confronted are and pansion program to take care of utility one Information Program This an v our own taxpaying utilities. Public struc¬ are the end of half-way ex¬ isting regulatory bodies to Public Power, so as to place these gov¬ ernment enterprises as nearly as possible under the same rules -• country, our its do We must 2& election of L. Allan Bucher, Sec¬ ond Vice-President of the Chase th should advocate extension of the authority of industry. On national issues and policies, we will be judged by our accomplishments on a national to ' ■' in the main local utili¬ are ties. have as¬ the industry the be may area, surrendered. of this happen¬ • We the it any this of Government should stand ready to assume electric power, obligation to proposed means that under our present laws, socialization of our industry will spread to many other in sumed vast and widespread pro¬ of construction of govern¬ gram Federal responsibility consumers. for all. from without. cleanly means may all to confronted with " A ture Statism or to price or con¬ as the in¬ reassure dustry. ■ ■ ' (8) Our utilities should absorb and market power from new gov¬ ernment dams by building the generation and transmission facil¬ ities, or leasing the facilities, or purchasing the power output un¬ der long term contracts. (9) 'Should the Congress decide to halt the growth of any Federal power undertaking or to divest leased to the local distributors. Or appeal to the small an (2549) and stabilize and government power house generating facilities could be industry is generally to put their common stock on a sound, conservative dividend basis. Our equity secu¬ policy Thus is presented to us a lenge CHRONICLE The corporate borrowing. The courage ble basis. area COMMERCIAL/Sr FINANCIAL pre¬ We Hubert Brennan in NYC in Hubert H. Brennan is engaging a securities business from of¬ fices at 115 Broadway, N, Y, City* 30 (2550) THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE gold, Irredeemable Money: Privilege Responsibility Without (Continued from page 2) understand, know such or wnat spirit of develops hopelessness not abou» do tan 'there and i opponents to even proper ac¬ correc¬ entitled; the clear the of Reserve the both the Treasury banks set aside what is wrong with our monetary tive books gold the banks - gress that had these Federal should notes have issued been Reserve applied bank notes as right exchange to , . dom by the destruction of the right of private property in gold is not often that if world the \ ™\ to Chamber to suppose knew conditions return our redeemable a reasonable seems how the impairment, in a multitude of di¬ rections, of human liberty. The far-reaching ramifications of the impairment of human free¬ prop¬ It use fruits of one's labor for gold is a sacrifice that involves the serious It is almost incredible that this liberty-loving people could have apparently approved its government making it a criminal offense, punishable by confisca¬ tion and fine, for an American citizen to own or hold gold in his Reserve and other can one's of and hold own same as any put our currency on basis domestically.' against their gov¬ ernment to control its prodigal spending, and that the sacrifice the part of any on that such redeemability is only ; instrument which the people erty. tax law of Con¬ a right American citizen to $660,000,000 of fiat paper money, to which they were not entitled, to their reserves; and lethargic acceptance of things they are. Since the people in general do not quite unaerstanc they become docile and the on added t system, or believe it hopeless to try to correct the situation, or fear that they may be in error in proposing a plan for rectification, deposits Reserve banks to which they were tney do not wnen tney matters, of tne Thursday, June 10, 1948 just prevented redeemable a cur¬ it would have explained. It explanation to the pub¬ rency owed such lic. The fact that tion it such explana¬ no forthcoming suggests that was unable to provide it. was This suggestion rests upon good ground simply because world conditions provide no..." reason discussed today, and whatever to the effect that we it obviously is not widely under¬ should not or could not, return stood. The general public clearly, to a redeemable currency domes.- in possession, and this in spite of the examples of shattered econ¬ confuses the convenience of paper tically. Indeed the ..converse is omies, poverty and suffering di¬ money and of the checkbook with the -case. The widespread chaos rectly attributable to irredeemable the basic and most important, in world conditions provides ad¬ Currency notes outstanding (un¬ paper money." little-seen, and p o o r 1 y-under- ditional reasons why our mone¬ der the heading of "Federal Re¬ Mr. Frost is everlastingly right stood, functions of gold—those of tary system should be of the best serve bank in what he says, and there are a notes"). clearing agent, of a reserve —why jt should not involve the These fiat notes and all oui other 'outstanding bankers who against promises to pay, of a store¬ disease of irredeemable accordance with the law. On many March 31, 1948, there were still .*370,000,000 of these fiat National _ tion. is for these It reasons government dictatorship can that take hold so easily and, in a very short time, reduce the mass of people to state of general helplessness. a It is also for these that it reasons other irredeemable constitute domestic the paper great hold mone^ bulk of is and Chamber important that alert, vigorous, fearless leadership be pro¬ vided by those, such as officials Chambers of of Commerce, who should be able to understand what is happening and who should avoid drifting with a popular tide. (b) Our politicians in general have not been helpful: Most poli¬ ticians have given relatively little attention to this particular de¬ generation in nomic, moral, political, our eco¬ and social fabric. Most of them apparently have no clear understanding of it, and the of the essence issue involved ap¬ pears to have escaped their atten¬ tion almost altogether. • Their interest in it, like that of the mass of people, seems negligible. They tend to wait until great harm is done or untij a catastrophe pre¬ cipitates a political issue. Then they become active. But it must be a political issue first of all. A helpful, wholesome bill in the field of monetary reform, unless pushed by the Executive Depart¬ ment, can lie till doomsday in a Congressional Committee if its Chairman hapoens to be attuned solely to political pressures and if the bill does not seem to him to be part of important political an agitation. ; Our politicians in general have not provided the people of this country with good leadership in respect to the sin of issuing irre¬ deemable promises to pay. They have gone along with, and in fact have been responsible in great degree for, this soecies of degen¬ eration in the behavior. standards : '"/V; /' of our V'■ 5 The question is: How much in¬ fluence did the inactivity of the majority our or politicians respect to this issue have New Ycrk merce? Chamber of on in the Com¬ . (c) The responsibility of the Treasury and Reserve banks in this picture: The Treasury and Reserve banks/aided by the pas¬ cooperation of the commer¬ sive cial ; banks, have played an important part in leading a con¬ fused Congress zation of such into the a course. authori¬ And since they got the right to issue prom¬ ises to pay while being permitted to the escape corresponding re¬ sponsibilities, they have fought turn and in every way to keep these special privileges. at every ( They have gone even further: Some of the Reserve officials have argued that the Reserve banks should not be required even to maintain reserves. That is an attempt to reduce responsibility for meeting promises to1 a very low level indeed! Still further, and by way of the Treasury and Re¬ authorities have even failed in their responsibilities as to the example, Commerce (d) The wittingly such notes By Treasury were this gave authorized transaction, by the itself $660,000,000 are house The question as the New to the York of the Treasury, Federal Reserve au« the American of Chamber Bankers was American respect all nance of an the mainte¬ ment paper along with maintain to the money in this country. In other by their passive inaction and cooperation, they also in ef¬ ability of words, is fect - reveal meet the principle of responsibility Treasury. They themselves their paying out money just satisfied satisfied as liabilities deposit irredeemable as they apparently have to their pointed to an ex¬ tremely important danger in what the banking fraternity in this country has been, and is, doing. to paper have re¬ own banks paid to them in irredeefti- Reserve able paper. paper is 5. The Chamber Is Over coin able number of outstanding and greatly concerned bankers. As an example of the latter, Mr. J. H. Frost, Chairman of the Board, Frost National Bank, San Texas, in Texas address an Bankers lic on May 25 and Financial nity supporting irredeemable pa¬ per money, seeking special privi¬ leges for themselves while avoid¬ ing the assumption of the corre¬ sponding liabilities, and, as cus¬ Chronicle 27), said in part: "It would seem that bankers, as the cus¬ todians of the people's money, be the in more interested than maintenance of ' that are the liabilities of the bankers depositors or or of basic to step that terminate the obligation to at- of a was ings, that by rency redeemable in gold, with a gold. safe If the saver, place for his sav¬ he must an use this respect the supporters system. 6. silver one has or irredeemable paper, discovered -throughout cannot have. < !• the . :: Representative Howard Buffett of Nebraska, of the most penetrating commentators on the fundamental and far-reaching im¬ one The Chamber That able The or other commodity. But gold, of the safest investments man ages, he • in a nation Have An should states have the to be one jective ditions rapidly justify." ;; as as time prove us the the vague an Chamber should use "world conditions" as for excuse con¬ the not foreign through under same our we institutions; and, them, these allowing rights that some same foreigners, "world condi¬ tions," is not clear. *///;;; As a. part of this picture, .the question arises as to whether the;' Chamber considered the arresting fact that we tax our people ta give foreign banks on ">;> * and to foreigners, Is; Willing to Foreigners, but Not Our people which . and at mutually ad¬ People, Access to Our Gold soundest world detract from Chamber Why "this plications of the loss by the people /•Now just what, precisely, do of the United States of a domestic world conditions have to do with gold-coin standard, has brought the adoption domestically in the the matter down to the basic is¬ United States of a gold-coin or sues involved. He has correctly gold-bullion standard? The Cham¬ and repeatedly pointed out that ber does not explain what the human freedom rests upon the connection is, ,or just what world redcemability of paper money in conditions should be before we . The Give Irredeem¬ attain that ultimate ob¬ not better a same vantageous to with based no currency 7. Require that exercise people a the 'gold standard" and it "feels that every possible step should be taken to could accord monetary system, believes could as agents. merely give our the / Chamber possible it We Money latter lions for which they act govern- : given the same their claims In fact-it would Alleges, Without Reason, That Conditions the currency Good or be respect to rights given foreign institutions or foreign individuals or corporaT ;?/•//;: World irredeemable promise to some itself of . Proof overvalued an aligned the people of the United to maintain not rights than they have had. Giving our people a redeemable montally-managed economy and against the free private enterprise pay, a bank deposit which is re¬ deemable in nothing better than en-' finally effect a return this country to a sound cur¬ in should silver, leas* mand and this decide that he pre¬ ferred to invest in gold, he can¬ not do so. His government says the entrusted to him by the depositor. I don't think that this is too much of -eeking monetary system, the country are de¬ the right of private our of ■ gold the would free private enterprise system./: The New York Chamber has in known to the more a which to that and the economy and people. The advocate of an irredeemable paper money is a instrumentality Allowing not exercise rights belong¬ ing to'these foreign institutions^ the with not. could dictatorial ' government man. banks— that foreign treasuries and, banks have had ail the time. Our people It; perhaps instrumentalities, best could rights basic The Chamber Acquiesces in the property not be friend, wittingly or unwittingly, of governmentally-managed econ¬ omy. Conversely, a domestic gold-coin system is apparently the people prived to be able to* return money the same intrinsic value and as a per ounce and get gold from us at that rate. This arrange¬ ment' prevailed during the war, when the world was in turmoil, and it" prevails now. In other States governmentally- erty in Gold as power is maintained on «. that They could send gold to us held by the change in any rights of foreign counT tries and banks to get gold just as they have been getting it all along. The only difference would power to control Under make an effort to influence events purchasing money re¬ $35 at way governments use and abuse public purse. .♦ so-called "managed" irre¬ a (with been basis. access of the A- international an standard Treasury would over Continuation of the Destruction money. iSomehow, it seems to me that the custodian should feel an implied power of the People's Right of Prop¬ custodians, but the owners this of gives»/ 4. impossible to make during a period of rising prices produced by monetary in¬ flation. The people who suffer are the,, people depreciation'of the people's mon¬ restoration of the obligation almost money he Chamber, by its as being unwilling at this time to change a monetary system that deprives their went on Now the point is this: pay event we the people of the United States as well as foreign countries to have economy. most taken it: Ever since the devaluation " of4 our the . time States The New York all other all depreciated the of Treasury the/ United vote, has expressed itself ey—a losses from in managed the be dealt with treasuries and. central could get gold from our but " the people of question the free¬ to redeem "Another contributing cause for the bankers' complacency is that is • to above monetary and car be discharged by payment in the monetary unit no matter how fa1 the depreciation of its purchasing power may have progressed. it holds of promises fo pay. /; past indicates that bankers It. is also disturbing to see the have usually been quite compla¬ Chamber of Commerce of New cent—and often have cooperated York joining hands in this un¬ in producing monetary inflation! sound and dangerous enterprise. This seems to .be largely due to fact he reason requisite could the banks which sisting sound Curiously enough, how¬ ever, the history of most, if not all, of the disastrous inflations of some . re¬ demption of the promises to deemable paper money. the demand to power todians of the people's money, re¬ other class of the population any an ' this words, from 1934 up to date, for¬ eign / countries — that - is, their dom with which the Treasury and banks are issuing such promises. arresting and disturbing picture to see the banking frater¬ of May should the finds It is (published in The Com¬ mercial and crashing down on the heads of the bankers is something that they themselves are inviting. the Association Public '.Purse a and the retribution that may come Antonio, before can Willing to See monetary standard and sys¬ place in every individual's hands the general pub¬ become aware of the facts, deal. we Perhaps ; have tent depreciation. course which strictions), all our monetary rela¬ tionships with other countries It has been pointed out repeat¬ edly in this country that a gold- are. '/ In due economy becomes an Clement strength to other countries with of gold-bullion GovernmentallyManaged Economy to this Ex¬ the river of currency consider¬ the Supports banking fraternity in general; it is a of the People Deprived of Power tem of defenders Chamber acquiesces in the contin¬ uation of its destruction./ people down characteristic vigorous case of pri¬ property in gold—surely one of the most vital of all rights in private property—the New York to sell the American not might vate commercial of One the conventional rights in private maintain appropriate responsibilities, as Mr. Frost says, cus¬ todians of the people's money and, as .such they have been helping they tide money the to our gold-dollar price of an ounce of gold,/at which time' the rate of $35 was adopted, and at which their >. characteristic seeking understood. therefore the fact that they to can. ber privileges for themselves to be excused from fulfilling and This going-along with the irre¬ deemable been our it monetary system is of the ;; best; the resulting healthfulness of point deserves further attention; because of the manner in which the Chamr- special deposits the addition In are serve with easy Mr. Frost has by an money, to understand how invit¬ ing the Chamber apparently found without for banks and the . . it property. But in the it to drift with the tide. endorse domestic our •^ - as da te move-:; irredeem- the /'*'■■■• ' avoided, ber of Commerce of the State of New p York understanding and banks, and the Bankers Association, going - < be can weii expect to find in the Cham¬ and thorities in privilege our poorly in¬ by the general behavior banking fraternity. With the banks irredeemable this If of this destruction of this particu¬ lar object of property are but fluenced Association, has also gone along with the Treasury and Reserve to Commerce currency if That under arises which to extent irredeemable an cies .• of a standard of standard for deferred vaiue, a payments. in this country. banking fraternity also goes along: The commercial banking fraternity, particularly as revealed in poli* of of private property in gold, present monetary sys¬ tem, has been destroyed should be clear even though the implications to respect currency commercial type and nature of promises they to ask and expect from the men were authorized by law to issue. at the head of American banking By a sleight-of-hand manipulation and I believe that, if the bankers beginning in December, 1942, the of America really understood Treasury and Reserve banks, in what has happened and is hap¬ cooperation; issued 4660,000,000 of pening to the people's money, they "National Currency Notes." No would arouse themselves and de¬ law. and value, of unwittingly endorses. or so serve of views same in it is this type of money that the New York and money; the deeply disturbed over the general attitude of the banking fraternity oui they have , the and against us which right to convert into a gold while on governments claims our other abused taxpayers, hand, must accept j irredeemable paper currency .and'' silver in payment of. i overvalued their/claims. has New in escaped York effect That arrangement disapproval by the; Chamber.; That body insists that our people," but not foreign treasuries,. banks, and rpeople, should wait before their claims are made redeemable until/'world conditions justify". ' Let it oe emphasized: World .Volume 167 conditions have return 'our to THE Number 4706 no bearing cur¬ beyond providing additional reasons why we should rid our¬ selves promptly of irredeemability. If there is any reason why both foreigners and the people of the rency " r .United States cannot have to . their , claims of say, . runs should erence on banks—the our arises {question access in accordance with against it—because, gold our to why we people pref¬ as not The upon redeemable a give our over foreign treasuries and banks which have had the rights Report Committee of the Chamber's Finance on COMMERCIAL and Cur¬ sion & FINANCIAL that by Committee according to really have things stand Dr. is CHRONICLE we in dealing with these pow¬ a gold standard as the Secretary and of the and that therefore President to alter the weight of the Chamber had very good au¬ the dollar, reveals confusion. thority for urging that the present After mentioning the President's system not be changed. There are some things here that power to alter the weight of the gold dollar under the Gold Re¬ need to be set straight. Dr. Kem¬ rency, ers of serve Act of 1934, the Report says (p. "That authority has not used again since that time, 13): been and informed some tend that it sources con¬ has been revoked by fought merer present our irre¬ deemable paper money system to the limit of his capacity. He was president for ten his death of and until years the The Chamber's Committee then that Kemmerer Economist Na¬ (2551) reach this "The conclusion: na¬ denied our people ever since Jan. implications involved in the issues which they were endeav¬ on tion's present monetary standard oring to render is serving the purpose at the mo¬ ment." Who's purpose? And what 6. of the best interests of the of the United people what On States? defensible grounds can the Cham¬ ber's Committee insist that an irredeemable money paper can the people well? serve Because the banks and Treasury not required to redeem the are promises forced people, upon legislation, especially tional Committee on Monetary these. institutions have been able legislation ratifying the Bret- Policy which for the fifteen years to issue an excessive amount ol Woods monetary agreements of its existence has been dedicated ; 31, 1934—and under those "world such promises, interest rates have conditions" which the Chamber and that making provision for the to the restoration of the redeembeen driven to extremely low .would have the United States' participation in the ability of our currency in gold public believe levels, and the purchasing power coin or gold bullion. have some pertinent, or myste¬ International Monetary Fund. ' ' In of the dollar and of the people's Dr. Kemmerer's classification of rious, bearing on why our people the absence of clarifying legisla¬ savings has declined sharply. should be penalized still further tion, however, there still is room varieties of gold standard requires 1 as against foreign claimants. for doubt as to whether the Presi¬ an interpretation that differs 4. The Committee's Defense of Its The sole questions that arise as dent, and the Secretary of the greatly from that provided by the Action to our restoration of retieemabii- Treasury by delegation, do not Chamber's Committee. He, like The Chamber's Committee goes ; and subsequent the ton . 31 The an Serious opinion. Implications in Seeking Privileges and the Avoidance of Responsibilities The seeking and gainin'g of privileges without the willingness to assume the corresponding re¬ sponsibilities is a serious piece of business. bring It invites and tends to retribution. disturbing to see It is deeply the Treasury and banks engaging in the practice of claiming special, and most unde¬ sirable, privileges, while fighting to avoid their, corresponding re¬ sponsibilities. It will be surpris¬ . ing if , tunate policy. It also does serious day of reckoning a not is flow from this unfortunate unfor¬ that an • ity . (a) these: are Do have we enough gold to permit resumption *of gold payments, and (b) can we > ; yank ourseives back to the v ventional .and standards good sense of con- integrity in respect to ; dollar within We have enough gold to resume gold payments any time Congress the limits [50-60% weight]." is¬ promises to pay—that ; is, in respect to matching respon¬ sibility with privilege. of suance still have the power to make fur¬ ther changes in the weight of the The facts of the \ are of two the these: President to prescribed in accordance with the purpose to preceding be served—a thoroughly scientific procedure. One may characterize The power a gold standard in terms so broad alter the or so simple that it will include weight of the gold dollar expired July 1, 1943. His power to alter the weight of silver and other coins to the same degree that he ending irredeem-, altered the weight of the gold dol¬ ability of our money. The ratio of lar continues. The Bretton Woods 'Our gold stock to our paper money Participation Act of July 31, 1945, and deposits has been much can bear only upon the Treasury's I higher during the last , ; several power under Sections 8 and 9 of : years than it ever was during the the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 since ; will pass a bill - • 5 most authorities in the monetary field, classified in different ways all variations in which the word "gold" is used—just as one may say that the "constituting qual¬ ity" of an automobile is a motor- propelled vehicle with four or wheels. classification such a motor But as a a car broad "motor car with four wheels" will not inform one a as to whether the machine is Cadillac, Ford, a a sedan, or a in which we were on a gold the President's power had already truck. Similarly, the maintenance of a domestic currency at a par Standard. Indeed, we have heard expired. ; with much about our excess gold holdgold internationally is a 'ings, about being - flooded with II. The Report of the Cham¬ "constituting quality" of a gold gold, about the uselessness of our ber's Committee on Fi¬ standard, but it is a quality so broad and elemental in nature igold, and so on; but, if one raises nance and Currency ,the question of resumption of gold that it; provides one with very This Report is supposed to pro¬ payments, then there are protests, little information as to the nature years, , . of its non- its array of distinguished men 12): "With should see fit to endorse this the European Recovery Program course now being pursued by the It amounts (Marshall Plan) getting under Treasury and banks. effect to way, and with the International in participation in a Monetary Fund in operation, but national sin which promises to ex¬ still confronted with a number of act, some day, severe penalties for to say, in defense corrective program (p. on worked to be remain which problems to be out, the present appears most inopportune time to a take precipitate might complicate which an al¬ action further remonstrances, expressions of fear, vide the justification /allegations;;regarding scarcity of Chamber's ;gold, the argument that "world /conditions wjll not permit," the members contention . f that the "premature," and proposal so on. Resolution. of the for the In it the Committee say (p. 11) that "There is considerable is •difference of opinion as to the type of standard this nation has ivv'The authors of these conflicting been \ arguments rarely attempt to offer Gold Reserve Act of 1934." •factual data to support their then con- on since quote from R. G, of the They Hawtrey [the to the effect that "the nation teptions or observations, regard\Jess; of whether it is said that we United ; States] purposes to standard." permit redemption. But all rones T of observations these in among the prize opposition to resumption gold payments seem to be that proposal is "premature" or the must wait till "world for, all has been have too. much gold or not enough ' enactment on a of a nation's monetary -;C. the cumstances, is course to remain the for on most feasible United States its present monetary standard for the time used that gold-bullion is ( The preceding paragraph is in nature mere which words mean nothing and signify nothing be¬ yond the fact that the Chamber's Committee proposed to do nothing about correcting our irredeemable on provide an means , that well as currency), the gold exchange standard, the gold bullion-exchange standard, the gold coin-exchange standard, the gold coin-bullion-exchange stand¬ ard, the foreign exchange stand¬ can ceptance that of the correspond • responsibilities4 with our priv¬ ileges. Now Corporation a OAKLAND, CALIF. — An¬ nouncement is made of the forma¬ tion of Frank Knowlton & Co., a corporation, , , Frank Knowlton & Co. with offices in the Building, to take Bank of America over ness the general investment busi¬ formerly partnership Officers conducted by the the same name. of are Eugene V. Flood, President; Charles E. Jank; Hor¬ ace R. Williams; Edw. S. Goetze; the situation except to John W. Evans, and Dora McClel¬ additional reason why the Marshall Plan would have no bearing deemable domestic present standard in this country as a 'new type of gold-bullion standard <.*V which meets the situation. The Committee did not explain in¬ as , practical late "Dr. Kemmerer describes the paper money -the international standard (which a" country has irre¬ domestically ternationally) bullion gold we being." what bearing the Marshall Plan following have this com¬ has on ridding ourselves of irre¬ quality but each differs from deemable currency. If we want the others: the gold-coin stand¬ an honest currency in this country ard, the gold bullion standard means belief that damental verities in life as those involved in the importance of All the (which apparent complicated mon full gold They also state that the standard and system. our challenge with impunity such fun¬ maintaining standards of common international honesty, in the proper fulfillment financial situation. Under the cir¬ of our promises, and in the ac¬ ready . : organization such as the Chamber of Commerce of New York with we should not have able money. The out irredeem¬ v;(;'( Committee what an the did .-v"; £/• land. Frank B. Knowlton will be associated with the corporation. not operation point of the With Herrick, WaddelJ Monetary Fund has to do with a & Reed, Inc. resumption of gold payments. The Fund, they say, has problems. Presumably it will always have; "constituting quality" of a gold ard anchored to gold in a foreign standard.'" They then quote from country. (Special to The Financial CHICAGO, ILL. Chronicle) Wilfred E. Kleine and Vincent E. Schomaker — problems. Perhaps it might behave been added to the staff of ; ditions justify." Both, it may be pointed out that one of the Fund's Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc., Dr. A. W. Crawford and from this The differences in these varie¬ greatest problems is irredeemable I supposed, ; sound impressive to 332 South Michigan Avenue. | their authors; but when one at- author, producing what they seem ties of a "gold standard" are im-' paper money. The Fund's prob-' 1 tempts to find what substance lies to suppose are fundamentally dif¬ portant. The Chamber's Commit¬ lems should become less as hon¬ .behind such- words, he > finds ferent views as to the nature of tee missed the significant point, esty in the issuance and redeem-' With Nathan C. Fay & Co. our monetary standard and sys¬ and its treatment of this particular ability of currencies increases. i nothing-r-for the simple reason (Special to The Financial Chronicle) tem. matter that there is nothing to find. ; . probably would mislead The members of the Committee PORTLAND, MAINE — Philip the uncritical reader and give him It may be noticed that the New say that "the present appears to; H. 1. The Nature of Our Monetary Hansen has become associated York Chamber did not attempt to the impression that because our tbe a most inopportune time to Standard and System with Nathan C. Fay & Co., 208 demonstrate, nor did it even al¬ monetary standard has what Kem¬ take precipitate action." What Middle Street. He Now the was-formerly point involved is a merer called the "constituting would be precipitate action and lege, that the United States does with R. H. Johnson & Co. and J. matter of accurate description. In quality" of a gold standard we who is recommending it? Do the Arthur ^not hold sufficient gold to per- our r international relations Warner & Co. ' v I( we have all that is .'mit resumption of gold payments necessary or im¬ Committee consider it "precipitate in an easy way-—and under highly operate on a gold standard of 35 portant in a "gold standard"—and, action" to end irredeemable cur¬ I favorable circumstances. The eas¬ gold dollars per fine ounce of furthermore, that our present sys¬ rency in this country after four¬ Joins J. Arthur Warner iest year would, have been 1940 gold. But the restrictions thrown tem met with the late Dr. Kem¬ teen years of not taking "precipi¬ (Snecial to The Financial Chronicle) around the use of gold in inter¬ "when the'ratio of our gold to merer's approval, which Ss con¬ tate action"?:? It is never an in-i PORTLAND, MAINE —Albert national relations are numerous. our paper money and deposits was trary to fact. ; opportune time to terminate the; B. Collins has rejoined the staff of Domestically, all our paper and 'at its peak. It obviously needs to be em¬ issuance of irredeemable promises J. Arthur Warner & Co., Inc., metallic money is irredeemable in phasized that our monetary sys¬ to pay, when a nation has the Clapp Building. He was recently 8." The Chamber's Constructive so far -as gold is concerned. We tem involves an irredeemable pa¬ means with which to do it—as associated with K. H. Johnson & have a system of indirect conver¬ 'i i Reeommendalian we certainly have—and that Co. • per money domestically and that ■ , / ' sion which maintains the parity The New York' Chamber says Dr. Kemmerer fought it at every Committee provided no valid rea¬ of our domestic currency with /that* "as a step toward that obturn. That Committee's use of son as to why we should continue ; jective Wm. C. Roney Co. Adds [the : soundest possible gold. Thus our system is an in¬ Dr. Kemmerer's "constituting with our dishonest irredeemable ternational gold bullion standard (Special to The Financial Chronicle) monetary system] the Chamber quality" would seem to be com¬ money.. ; r..»\ ((; of a highly restricted type. ' 'urges Congress to revoke the exDETROIT, MICH.—H. Weston parable with an attempt of an ; isting legal provisions which some5. Did the Committee Understand Hoyt has been added to the staff 2. Varieties of a Gold Standard owner of an old model T Ford What It Was Endorsing? times are interpreted as authorof Wm. C. Roney & Co., Buhl and the "Constituting Quality" to convey the impression that he The members of that Committee Building, members of the •izing the Secretary of the Treas¬ New has the latest Cadillac because he The Committee- say (p. 10): had the and / Detroit Stock Ex¬ have chosen to put themselves on York ury to buy and sell gold at prices "constituting quality" of •? other than the established one of "There are three generally recog¬ record as defending irredeemable changes. a motor car. U, nized types of gold standard: (1) $35 per fine ounce." paper money for the people of the gold-coin or gold-specie stand¬ 3. What the Chamber's Commit¬ the United States, as defending The Chamber is to be comtee Endorsed, and Its Conclu¬ the granting of the privilege of With Jones B. Shannon Co. mended for this constructive rec- ard, (2) the gold bullion stand¬ (Special to The Financial Chronicle) sion '<Y'.V ? ommendation. Our safety regards ard, and (3) the gold exchange issuance of promises to the Re¬ standard." DETROIT, MICH. — Edgar W. They then go on to What the Chamber's Committee serve banks and Treasury without ing the fixed nature of our goldAverill is with Jones B. Shannon state that Dr. Kemmerer main¬ endorsed was not a good or a at the same time requiring them > standard unit would be increased & Company, Buhl Building. tained that gold coinage and re•if Congress to thorough-going gold standard and to assume the appropriate corre¬ that we con- ' • < _ . . ' ' . repeal were Sec¬ tions 8 and 9 of the Gold Reserve ' Act of ' power 1934 which repose the indicated in the Secretary (the approval of of the Treasury the President is required under • Section 8 which is applicable purchase of gold). 7 to deemability in gold are not neces¬ to sary a gold standard and that maintenance of the currency at a par with what he quality" of The internationally is the "constituting gold standard, v gold calls a implication of this discus¬ as as a domestic gold- sponding responsibilities, and gold-bullion standard and defending all the other implica¬ With Capital Securities system, but a domestic currency tions of an irredeemable paper (Special to The Financial Chronicle) mentioned above. The composed largely of irredeemable money, OAKLAND, CALIF. — Willard of course, is whether paper money with our gold put question, J. Hammel is with Capital Secur¬ at the disposal of foreign treas¬ that Committee understood at all well the fundamental principles ities Co., 2038 Broadway. uries and banks. system, such coin or & COMMERCIAL THE (2552) 32 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL "Under Who Are Our Stockholders? (Continued from page 6) in fact the property of indi¬ was pattern of whom would follow generally the pat¬ tern of the shares in individual the viduals, The insurance companies, investment trusts and other names., the so-called did not their so pose, investors, sophisticated us concern for this pur¬ too names were of that than adult from," nation's the population, as was to be expected. other The come is that the annual in¬ some the did un¬ facts and important surprising ones. Possibly the most interesting was that only the conven¬ they are accustomed to getting it. tional form in to get the in¬ wanted concerning The obvious way formation we which 5% stockholders are ours In answer to the question, Majority of Stockholders Are alone. another thing. Con owners other stocks beside Edison?" Ninety-five per cent Of these, 12% said they owned several (2 or 3), 37% a few (3 to 10), 51% over 10. say yes. We out-and-out investors. are have number a We this. convinced us of A majority of our asked of angles on the recognizable type of citizen, ceivably ence inertia known inherent in pferverseness human race. It the to prove people. goes holders and are answers to that stock¬ the questions to obtain stockholder opinion on our president's welcoming letter, our dividend enclosure, our annual re¬ stock¬ holder relations efforts, are not ol any particular significance here, but certainly the endorsement of each of these by the survey has and port other company have to come an con¬ influ¬ regulatory author¬ upon our ities? an The The survey has com¬ stock." such Investors of the of the Why, in the face of attitude, they continue to hold their stock can only be put down, I suppose, to the wellmon only some "Do you own left out. financial a toward holders tude people want and in is higher. On the other hand, we earth we must be sure information the conditions whatever, complete change in atti¬ no without the money to include "where and went," Thursday, June 10, 1948 Stockholders Are People These stockholders class apart. They have become a are are not people. _ a To stockholder in the first place, presupposes some de¬ gree of self-denial and saving ef¬ fort, and presupposes confidence in an make economic system that will self-denial and saving worth while. cated to the In a country dedi¬ individual private enterprise system, these citizens deserve all consideration, encour¬ agement and applause. They de¬ serve the right to be heard and^to question, stock¬ "Are you holding the stock pri¬ of the From this data alone it might marily for income, for apprecia¬ modern business tool, the public or both?" Of those who be deduced that our stock is owned tion, have their interests safeguarded. . opinion survey. We called in a been sufficient to convince us we answered this question, 64% said But consider the implications in leading firm to advise us, and by a group of wealthy investors. should continue them, substan¬ this quotation from a recent an¬ However, this is disproved when they were holding the stock pri¬ followed throughout the estab¬ tially as is. In certain cases we nual report of a State lished techniques of the public we turn to the income figures marily for income, 35% for both regulatory shall adopt recommendations and find that the median yearly and only 1% for appreciation. We body: '* opinion polls. made for changes. It was cer¬ of those reporting was were able to pursue this further, You may be interested in learn¬ income "During the year, the Commis¬ tainly gratifying to learn that 88% $4,700. But, as might be expected, too, for we had listed on the ques¬ sion continued its efforts to bring ing exactly how we, proceeded. tionnaire a number of suggestions of those-who expressed an opinion about further rate reductions toFor reasons of both speed and it was found that the greater the said that the company was giv¬ as to factors which mignt have the millions of utility consumers economy, we decided to use a mail income, the larger the holding of ing its stockholders, enough in¬ influenced the stockholders' de¬ our stock. ■' r;:;v:' in the state, with unusually sue— f; survey, followed up, for checking formation. j; v;.;, cessful results. The services ren¬ A look at the distribution by cision buy the stock. Some 33% purposes, b(y personal calls on a said they had been influenced by dered by the various utilities are :• number of those who did not occupations likewise disproves the .• The $64 Question the company's dividend record, essential to the life and activities respond. The experts told us that wealthy investor theory. The most I suppose the $64 question from 27% by faith in the public utility of nearly every individual in the if we mailed a questionnaire to frequently mentioned occupation our standpoint was the one, "How was housewife—this by 24% of industry,,; 18% by the company's state. The cost of these servicesabout 8% of the list, and tabu¬ would you express your opinion all stockholders responding to the financial condition and 12% by constitutes an important element lated the answers we received, ofv the management of the com¬ in the family budget as well as questionnaire. The next two the territory served. we would have an adequate sta¬ These answers all seem to boil pany?": As you sit there, try to in business and tistical sample of the mail re¬ classifications at 19 and 18% re¬ industry." guess how your own stockholders spectively were proprietors, in¬ down to a desire for stability of Actually, as we all know, thdsponses. The names were selected would respond to such a question. cluding managers and officials, income and security of invest¬ cost of these services DOES NOT by pulling every 12th name from What percentage do you think Professional ment. Of course, some will argue constitute "an important element the alphabetical list of common and retired persons. would say very favorable, what and semi-professional workers that no common stock should be in the family budget," or in the*stockholders, unless such name percentage favorable, what per¬ large majority, at any rate. Fur¬ happened to fall into one of the comprised 16%; clerical, sales and bought for stability of income and centage uncertain, what percent¬ Further¬ security of investment. Possibly ^eliminated classifications, in which kindred workers 13%. thermore, and again as we al^ age unfavorable, and what per¬ so. But the fact is that a tre¬ more, we knew the median hold¬ case the 12th following was taken. know, except for heavy industries,, mendous amount of it has been so centage very unfavorable?; How it is NOT "an To each of these names we sent ing of Con Edison common stock important element'* many would you think would re¬ to be 34 shares, representing capi¬ bought, in the case of this com¬ in business and industrial budgets^. a questionnaire in the form of a spond at all to such a question? I tal at today's market of about pany at least. Certainly there is But, aside from that, what about, four-page folder. The front page am going to be coy and not give the contribution of dividends td. contained a letter over the fac¬ $800, which again indicated mod¬ little or no indication of the spec¬ you our percentages now. If you ulative "in-and-outers" in our est means. * .■ the family budget of the stock-fsimile signature of the president are interested, see me after this Does not this fact, that only 5% group. holder? As far as our company isb of the company, explaining On one question we really stuck meeting. But I will say one thing of the stockholders are exclusively concerned, the typical (medianjf briefly that we were interested that probably will not surprise our chin out. Looking toward the individual in the opinions of our common ours, emphasize that we are in stockholder owns 34 j you: those who acquired the stock competition for favor with the future necessity of selling more shares. That means he is now stockholders on many matters, at market prices considerably securities, we asked. and asking for their cooperation stockholders of a large number of equity receiving $54.40 a year in div¬ higher than the present were gen¬ other companies? Does this not "Would you buy more common idends. We found that he is theby way of as complete and candid mean thatthe impression we stock in Con Edison?" We real¬ erally much less favorably in¬ owner of several stocks, so it isn answers as they were able to clined toward us than those who ized that this was a wide-open safe to assume that his dividend, give. We told them we expected make upon our stockholders may acquired th^ stock at prices under income to make use of the results in as¬ well determine whether, if they question and,; one om which we may be several hundredv the present market. This we were have to sell some of their holdings, would not get anything very defi¬ dollars a year. Surely dividendssisting us to better serve' their able to tell by relating the re¬ nite. We were looking rather for interests as stockholders. No place they decide—values, of course, be¬ make a far larger contribution tothe expression of an attitude. Ob¬ plies to the age of the account. ing equal—to sell someone else's was provided for a signature, but his family budget than his utility There had been some" feeling each questionnaire services cost him. bore a code and keep ours; or, conversely, if viously, if you ask a man if he before we undertook the survey would buy more stock in a given we and other companies happen to number to enable tabulation as to Says this same report: that it might turn out to be a hot be offering rights to subscribe for company, he is pretty likely to geographical location and size of "The reductions in the cost o£" ask you under what conditions it potato —that stockholders would new stock at the same time, they holding, service during the >. war say that we were prying into their utility will buy our stock instead of is to be offered.. If you mean to The experts said we should ex¬ affairs, and would take it as an years are of special significance^, someone else's? We think the issue rights to purchase jit at a pect around a 20% response. Ac¬ occasion to sound off on all sorts as they have been accomplished' answer is price under the current market, yes, and we have ac¬ tually we got over 27 %. in a period of rising prices of of grievances. I will not deny 'We trained a group of our pub¬ cordingly a new concept of our that is one thing. ; If you mean, that there has been some small practically all other necessities of lic-contact employees and, after competitive position with respect will you buy it on the market if Recent studies by various, evidence of this—according to the life. the mail questionnaires had come to securing funds in the invest¬ the price declines, that is some¬ poll experts we set off the normal governmental and private agen¬ thing else. ? V v ■ j: back, sent them out on a per¬ ment markets. number of discordant notes. Sev¬ cies indicate that the cost of liv¬ sonal canvass of enough of the Possibly the next most interest¬ ; Well, of those who answered the eral stockholders suggested, for ing since the start of the war has non-respondents to find out ing finding was how these people question in the form we put it, increased by about 30%." example, that the size of their in¬ whether or not their failure to happened to become stockholders. "Would you buy more stock in comes was knowledge for the in¬ What are the regulatory author¬ respond had been because of any Not all of them purchased their Con Edison?" ,74% said yes, and come tax collector and nobody ities doing to help the stockhold¬ prejudice. As it turned out, the stock—only 87%; 3% acquired it 26% said no. But of those who else; quite a few of the ladies ers to cope with this rising living results of these interviews fol¬ by gift, 9% by inheritance and 1% said yes, we were not at all sur¬ lowed very closely the pattern of by distribution from another prised to find that 38% condi¬ wrote, opposite the age blanks, cost—today far higher than 30% "None of your, business." But, over prewar at that time? Div¬ our mail responses, and bore out tioned their reply by.'indicating company. '.J*' ;',v at that, some 83% answered the idend increases have been fairly; How did those who bought it they would the conclusions arrived at from do so if they had common among the industrials, as . questions on age and income. the mail responses. happen to buy it? What influ¬ funds available. j :-i'-s. ' On the whole, I would say that our stockholders are quick to re¬ The results were carefully en¬ enced their decision? The replies A very interesting line of com¬ mind us, but very, very scarcetered on punch-cards and tab¬ show that some 58% acted on the ment was developed by those who the responses to the questionnaire ; • were candid and conscientious. among the utilities. ulated in accordance with the best basis of personal recommendation. these individual 108,000 holders was by the use • . , - . - - , . , . , , . said statistical techniques. of breakdowns was as were A number made. One to geographical location— These Brokers in the lead with 34% they came recommendations from many sources. Con Edison were the very logical reason that they would prefer to diversify—to and bankers that would NOT buy stock. Of these more 23% Friends and make their further investments is, whether in New York City accounted for 10%. or outside, and for the total U. S.; relatives, however, accounted for in companies other than this, or another, as to size of holding—one 23% and 22% of the recommenda¬ in stocks other than public utili¬ to four shares, five to nine, 10 to tions, respectively. We have no ties. A fairly substantial number 19, 20 to 29—and in blocks of in¬ way of knowing this from the sur¬ commented upon the fact that the creasing sizes up to 5,000 shares vey, but we think it is safe to industry was too much regulated and over; another as to income assume that some of these 45% by the government; that the regu¬ brackets—under $3,000; $3,000 to of friends and relatives may also latory bodies were not granting $4,999—up to $20,000 and over; be bankers, brokers or members prompt rate increases; that they another, as to age brackets, an¬ of the financial community. At any did not like the political situation rate, the 34% of brokers and 10% surrounding other, as to sex. utilities; that they of bankers—nearly half of those felt the industry was vulnerable Analysis of Questionnaire whose recommendations influ¬ Study of these breakdowns has given us a lot of angles, and from enced the purchase them cial people, and this points quite we have drawn clusions. of us number had that stockholders that our con¬ / Conclusion some our one, long are is, as suspected, people, and is, in the stockholder list were of the stock— surely identified as finan¬ clearly to the desirability of mak¬ ing friends within the financial community and keeping them. This information is extremely helpful in determining the format analysis, just a cross-section and content of our annual report. of the body politic, with two gen¬ It says to us that, however much eral exceptions. One is that the we may glamorize it with pictures, stockholder group is older, the charts and col<?r, and tables showmedian age being 40% higher : ing "where the money came final Many highly gratifying; a quite flattering. All in all, we are tabulations from these data. fact, it would look as if the- stockholder couldn't possibly win,, the if glad we did it.- We have made dozens of differ¬ ent In were number gave regulators had anything to- about it, for we read in thesame report:-. >;<•$: r ■ say "In the early thirties, wherjv for an hour giving you interesting sidelights. But it prices of commodities were going: all comes down to proving one down, the Commission insistedthing — stockholders are people that utility rates should also beThey come from all walks of life, reduced, and important savings, from all occupations. • Being were accomplished in those years~ I could go on Toward the close of the dec¬ of several stocks, people who are invest¬ ade, when the economic pendulurm ment minded, interested primarily began to swing the other way andl in security and income. That we many prices began to rise, the in¬ creased earnings of the compa¬ to inflation. On the; whole, the have proved. \ : j ■: '".j ry attitude expressed was fairly opti¬ On the other hand, admittedly nies, together with various oper¬ economies, made furthermistic, we feel, as to the sale of this is only a scratching of the ating reductions possible." additional common, stock to our • ; surface of a big subject. If these present stockholders... Now I am not naively suggest¬ findings are typical of our indus¬ But this question did give some try and further investigations ing that the regulators of our in¬ of them a chance to take a swing tend to corroborate them, and if dustry are going to throw over¬ at the management. their In the ex¬ they could be given circulation board "original cost less act words of one, "There is an and gain wide acceptance, they straight-line depreciation" doc¬ indicated exert a tendency to consider could profound ef¬ trine,/ or their "prudent invest¬ primarily the rights of employees fect upon the industry's future. ment" doctrine, or whatever doc¬ and management, and to let the For example,; could not the re¬ trine they may be basing their stockholders be the hindmost moval of the stockholder from the rate-making practices upon. I do- devil." Another sample was, mostly they owners . . . are misty haze of the unknown, into a not suggest, either, that they are 1 ■» Volume to be expected to adopt a light of the current money I certainly do not think feasible be relate the return (Continued from it industry, utility the in would attempt to the securities is But it does seem that there ample an tory in the regula¬ the exercise of scope for process enlightened judgment based upon a new look at the owners an of the properties, and who they are, and their place and their equities in the social scheme. To be specific, I am suggesting in all seriousness that the regulators should consider, and consider well, the effects of every rate change upon the war. ;, directly to the cost of living in¬ dex. the individuals whose money week at Already, least attention utilities have fact that the public duty to continue to ex¬ their facilities, even at present high prices, in order to provide adequate service for their customers, and that the consumers must be prepared to pay rates reflecting such high costs. This is progress Would in the right direction. it be too much to hope that some day, somewhere, some regulatory body, conscious of the owners that check holders faithful to ', its original conception as a quasi-judiciai body—would it be people, be but that, based upon recent studies by various governmental agencies, the of cost pany's tute service average no more to user that com¬ will consti¬ important element in the family budget than it did for¬ merly, considering the recent rapid increase in the average fam¬ ily income." That is the end of my imaginary quotation. Fantastic? Utopian? Well, may¬ be, so. But now that we are be¬ ginning to know who the stock¬ holders actually are, we ought to Bissell & Broadway, New York City, mem¬ bers of the New York Stock Ex¬ principal commodity and change exchanges, announce that Schuy¬ ler A. Orvis, Jr., has become as¬ sociated with its in firm the commodity department. J'-Richard B. rate a ■ and Exchange Commission for expire June 5, 1953. term to ingots and castings pacity name of N/ Ryan & . ^ ' „ J.-^-The Moss, 5 i firm Com¬ Street, has been changed Ryan, Moss & Co. Partners are John J; Ryan* George G. Moss, and R. EI L. Lewis, Jr. merce : Robt. C. Jones Co. to Admit ; ; r • WASHINGTON, D. C.—Charles C. Morgan will be admitted limited partnership in Robert to C. Jones & Co., Metropolitan Bank Building,, • members of the New York Washington Stock Ex¬ changes on June 17. year one Lewis B. Hall Dead B. Hall, Jr., partner in Dobbs & Co., New York City, died May 29. - Other weather against as Advances ized on \ : : v sponding in week coal and loadings were in of was .k which bidders. reduced by labor Day, and an week in 1946 when same troubles in both the railroad holiday. below 5,000,000,000 22 weeks that production fell due mainly to the observance of the However, when compared with the week was holidays. 7, 1947 (which did not include Memorial Day), the turn¬ out for the June 5, 1948, week showed an increase of 210,240,000 kwh., or 4.5%. The current figure is also the lowest reported since that for the week ended Jan. 3, 1948, when production totaled 4,868,011,000 kwh. (this latter period included the New Year's holidays).ended June Many of Production new a trucks in the United States and Canada of cars and low last week result of as a an 18,000-unit holiday loss Output 98,499 units and, in the like week of 1941, units. * .V - consisted of. 49,370 cars and 21,024 trucks in the United States and 3,450 cars and 2,115 trucks made in week's output This made a year ago was 133.645 was Canada. v ' „ . Commercial week and industrial ending June Dun - - ; 1 & to in 91 one-third to Dun & Bradstreeet, Inc. in its latest survey of trade. sought in many areas. Bradstreet, ; with .- and This concerns trade week's decline was off from 91 with nine, only manufacturing, where 21 preceding week, and in wholesale sharpest in failed against 38 in the half as many as a week ago. mortality dipped from 45 to 40; this compared with 29 increase in casualties appeared in both construction commercial service with 10. FOOD PRICE INDEX CONTINUES TO CLIMB Retail trade last year. An with 11 and v;; helped eager stimulate to post-holiday buying for bargains. print dresses continued to sell well with demand for lingerie, hosiery and fancy blouses remaining large. Moderate gains in the purchasing of some types of men's clothing were offset by declines? in the many demand for haberdashery in some stores. .Unit instances dropped below the level of a year ago. There volume in slight increase in the demand for food with picnic specialties, soft drinks and beer generally popular. was a While the buying of fresh meats decreased and processed meats were Fresh vegetables and somewhat, canned frequently requested. sold fruits along with canned well and Fresh fish, poultry and dairy products were steadilypurchased. The demand for confectionery and baked goods was somewhat below the level of previous weeks. Response to promotions of Summer furniture was favorable with slip-covers, draperies and bedspreads selling well. Nationally adver¬ tised furniture and major appliances remained in .large demand, though a slight decline in the buying of radios occurred. Used car dealers reported a slight increase in volume and a moderate increase in the buying of automobile supplies and accessories. Retail volume for the country in the period ended on Wednesday of last week was estimated to be from 8 to 12% above that of the a year ago. , * - . ^ increase of 14.4%, COMMODITY PRICE INDEX REFLECTS SLIGHT Regional estimates exceeded those of a year ago by the followering percentages: New England and South, 5 to 9; East, 6 to 10; Middle West, 10 to 14; Northwest, 12 to 16; Southwest, 11 to 15, and Pacific Coast, 3 to 7. : , CHANGE --v.-. change in the level of wholesale prices r>: Buyer attendance at the wholesale centers dropped substantially in the week, resulting in a slight decline in wholesale volume. Whole¬ sale dollar "volume continued to compare favorably with that of the- J similar period of last year, the 1947 level. - - • but unit volume in many lines was below , f; v While buyers continued to stress quality at moderate prices, . } they were generally less cautious than-a year ago. Department store sales on a. country-wide basis, as taken from ended May 29, 1948, the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week increased by '"18% with an This compared For the four weeks from the like period of last year. increase of 7% in the preceding week. May 29, 1948, sales increased by 9% and by 7%. The wholesale food price index, FOR WEEK sales shoppers Beach and- vacation apparel was sought by both men and women total clothing volume increased moderately. Cotton, linen and. ended - compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., gained another three cents last week to put the June 1 figure at $6.97. This marks the second consecutive rise for this index, following the slight downward movement of two weeks previous. The current level compares with $6.09 at this time last year, or an v many silk Inc., reports. Both large and small failures more Picnic foods and Summer sportswear were corresponding week mortality level in the past five years, casualties were only as numerous as the 279 in prewar 1939. > ' • ' or preparation for the long Memorial period ended on Wednesday of last week and continued to compare favorably with that of the corresponding week a year ago, according the holiday- Although down from the preceding week's 112, they were a third heavier than in the comparable week of 1947 when 66 occurred and seven times the 13 in the same week of 1946. Despite the sharp rise from the in . failures fell 3, • encouraged to increase their purchasing; were Retail dollar volume increased slightly during the Day week-end. frozen foods. DAY estimated at 75,959 units from 92,772 (revised) units the previous week, according to "Ward's Automotive Reports." The pre¬ vious low was 82,717 units in the week ended Feb. 7, last. its $27,871,000 for shipment to at SHOWS SLIGHT VARIATIONS consumers seasonal merchandise some ! AUTO, OUTPUT THE PAST WEEK ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY MEMORIAL valued cotton X WEEK Memorial included 44.3% above the or falling off Day reflected replacement . distributed by the electric light and power industry for the week ended June 5 was 4,845,458,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This was a decrease of 230,567,000 kwh. from the output in the preceding week and was This week Buying activity in the western range States was reported slower some manufacturers showing increasing resistance to higher prices for fine wools. Foreign wool sources reported still higher prices for all grades and types of wool with Russia one of the chief The amount of electrical energy kwh. the of persistent demand for fine grade wools from the Promotional Memorial half announcement by the ECA that it had author¬ an purchase There 9% ABOVE YEAR AGO coal industries and by the Decoration Day first week in latter the with ELECTRIC PRODUCTION OFF, DUE TO HOLIDAY OBSERVANCE the and RETAIL AND WHOLESALE TRADE ACTIVITY IN LATEST 1947, increase of 277,963 cars crop from the South and reports of some further cur¬ mills in the Boston market last week. •: ' optimistic included factors . , 1,730,400 tons last week, 1,- „ the ;t 1,695,700 tons, or 96.9% of the old ca¬ and 1,281,210 tons for the average week in . same Mill demand for the staple continued rather slack with buyers showing little interest for new crop cotton. ,The mid-May parity price for cotton was announced at 31 cents per pound, up 12 points from a month ago. Demand for cotton textiles remained relatively slow with a general weakening noted in prices of print cloths and olher gray cloth constructions. • Mon- ^ prewar year. smaller, totaling 38,00(5 was participating countries. ago, ago markets with 58,300 bales a week earlier, and week last year. depressing news buying following the indicated ago the tailment in cotton mill activity. Loadings for the week ended May 29, 1948, totaled 904,848 cars, according to the Association of American Railroads. This was an increase of 25,690 cars or 2.9% above the preceding week. «They also represented an increase of 74,643 cars or 9% above the corre¬ V.;:.v;r Here in New York inclement for the year to date ' V, weather and the Memorial Day holiday worked to cut into the sale of seasonal merchandise. Reserve Board's index, department; store sales in New York City for the weekly period to May 29, 1948, increased *23% above the same period last year. This compared with an increase of 8% in the preceding Week. For the four weeks ended According to the Federal May 29, 1948, sales increased by 10% and for the year to date by 6%. during ; *The large increases over last year reflect in part the fact that the past week. The daily wholesale commodity price index, com¬ this year stores were open for six business i days whereas in the piled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., finished at 285.53 on June 1, as corresponding week last year stores in most districts were closed against 285.30 a week earlier and compared with 255.71 on the cor¬ cn Friday in observance of the Memorial Day holiday. There on A month and Lewis 47,700 bales in the declined, with those involving a week ago to 77 and with those involving liabilities under $5,000 down from 21 to 14. to s month a CAR LOADINGS RISE - •k NEWARK, Sales volume in the ten spot week's operating rate is equivalent to 1,732,200 tons of ; liabilities of $5,000 "Ryan, Moss & Co. Cotton prices trended mildly upward last week following slight downward movement of the preceding week. bales for the week compared Institute announced 0.1%, from last week. 94.3%. f was prices averaged slightly lower with demand for cash larct Trading in cocoa was rise of the preceding week. , V Steel 0.1 point, or y, shortened v McEntire of Kansas .has been confirmed by the Sen¬ ate to be a member of the Securi- »l! ties consumption 94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry will be 96.1% June 7, 1948, an increase of -•v-jy''--' McEntire Confirmed > steel . FAILURES LOWER IN HOLIDAY WEEK ™ Lard with output 120 Meeds, other > limited and stocks reported on the increase. more active and prices continued the sharp of capacity for the week beginning touched Laird, Hog receipts at Chicago last week were more than twice the day of this week the operating rate of steel companies having try to make out a case for them. Laird, Bissell Co. Adds in con¬ number for the same week last year. industry is trying to fill is holding up deliv¬ American Iron and The 1940, the highest of stockholders have been receiv¬ wide area." Livestock markets were irregular with steers tinuing to trend higher, while hogs and lambs moved lower. a " equipment. ery on new reductions ing regularly for the past X-number of years, the commission per¬ mitted a prompt and substantial rate increase. But we would point areas. Harvesting of Winter wheat was reported under in Texas and Oklahoma and the movement of the new crop was gaining momentum. Weather advices from the corn belt were mostly favorable with planting said to be virtually completed over way were When changeovers are complete there will steel demand which the 699,700 tons dends which its X-thousands of southwestern truth in no oil port, "During the past year, this Commission brought about no rate the divi¬ made last industry is still hard put to get anywhere near what it says it needs. The freight rate advance has cut off hundreds of users from regular sources in the past two years. These customers are "industrial orphans" wandering around the country trying to establish regular sources—at any cost. ; V/yy-Vvay; -In answer to the steel industry's chance of easing things up a little, the magazine adds, it is running everything it has without thought of when it will break down. Overtime is freely paid to keep maintenance to the point where equipment can be held at maxi¬ mum output. Plans are being rushed for expansions—but the very J and hence the safety of . t . survey was failing, that inventories was on the Chicago Board of Trade, however, dropped to a daily average of 20,500,000 bushels, from 28,000,00(5 previous week, and 40,000,000 in the like week a year ago. Wheat and corn prices held in a narrow range, the latter grain leading if*, volume of sales. Trading in wheat was light and prices somewhat depressed as the week closed due to reports of unexpected rains if* of end 33 the reports of shutdowns-because of steel shortages. i steel pany- in the state, where rising costs threatened earning power, a this trade authority points out. The mission might say in its annual re¬ whatever, in view of costs of operations. Indeed, in the case of one com¬ the '' ' ■ since > Grain markets generally displayed a firm tone last week. Auto makers, because of the coal strike, will be steel hungry too much to hope that such a com¬ rising warning the steel situation on . by the editor of "The Iron Age" and he found groups, and are . been ably priced and is needed. ' What is true in appliances is true , the • . . have 5) page ■ (2553) Trading in grain futures being made which has picked up sales and created new backlogs, (4) the appliance field as a whole is roaring to a new high level, but only because makers and distributors have found that the public will not buy unless it can be shown that the product is good, reason¬ stock¬ the CHRONICLE were hard to make. What he found was (1) no appliance maker is getting the steel he wants, (2) there is no excess inventory in appliances except possibly hot water heaters and they are still moving, (3) sales forces are being used to sell the product of the business—realizing nature of FINANCIAL large and that sales the of one called has pand true who for months to come. commissions a those reports that the* appliance field utilities. to the ,, To double the shares of these is invested in from except to on & The Stale oi Trade and Industry markets. that, COMMERCIAL rate of unrealistic return wnich would be in the THE Number 4706 167 was responding date little a year ago. 34 THE (2554) COMMERCIAL A Look at Utilities relative (Continued from page 3) relative to all corporations. The latter into plunged as of earnings of all a cor¬ com¬ bination of the varying figures of all the innumerable kinds of busi¬ and that it also combines the ness, deficits of the corporations losing with the net those making money, incomes of money This chart shows another com¬ parison which is not so favorable to the electric utilities, and that is the relatively low rate of longterm growth in net income over the period, which will be referred to later. Worth of Utilities, Manufacturing, Trade And Transportation Figure 3 carries us net equity worth, after Use of this the „ of debts. enables to us make comparisons among industries, various the wide showing variations in the record. Most of these figures come from compila¬ tions made by our own bank. This chart summarizesfrom 1926 through 1947 the relative rate of ireturn on net worth of leading corporations in electric utilities, trade, and transportation. What two this chart show and the particularly other major simliar the the we compare turn the re¬ Figure completes 5 its 22 the fluctuations been for figure re¬ In all has not the utility years mind as you their net worth manufacturing and trade corporations. They have earned substantially more than transpor¬ tation corporations, and more than based on manufacturing on S. the upon The cor¬ latter Treasury fig¬ ures, including some 80,000 manu¬ facturing corporations, through 1945. The 1946 and 1947 plottings estimated from the published are reports of leading companies. For many the reasons lines obviously able. The not are utilities three compar¬ have much a larger investment per sales dol¬ lar,; or conversely a much lower rate of capital turnover, than' manufacturing, and hence must a substantially higher profit margin. The chart nevertheless is have interesting in indicating the trends in these different industries. Manufactluring in red, But has been utilities never. the would be hard to turing,'which is clearly the in utilities. Indexes U.S. of ' Vv.; ; Cost of Living as¬ and Cost of Electricity This narrowing of electricity margins has come about profit, reproduction of the re¬ from pressure calculation book on Labor on Electric Utilities, Railroads, and All <U. S» Manufacturing called the The • the utilities' the ; margin per living (now* electricity produced by private utility industry. Both indexes are based upon the 1935-: 39'average as 100. the income net had not increased proportionately with its gross revenues. This re¬ flects of hour of all previoqs charts showed that electric cost "Consumer's Price In-: dex") and the price per kilowatt- Corporations these charts show that the increases in return during At the present narrowing of profit sales dollar, as shown ALL us; GROSS SALES $ BILLIONS cost of time, the general living index is 68% above whereas the price of' the average, NET income: CORPORATIONS ELECTRIC i • • ELECTRIC $ BILLIONS « UTUTIES; x • ■ 20 ':-£m I ■ Z 4f. | — LECTRIC EST u TILITIES r M " ".r; ."•'•*"v. t , 300 v- " ; Est ' ALL 10. / US, CORPORATIONS Ylii 200 Hs 100 v -4 ' 4 * V ALl - ; . u.s. Y.v--. )RATIONS ; ^ CORPC * • \-' -J>i f :':;>v Y 1 1 , • • .IMI •. * • • » • * ••««• • • • • /• b • • « « . Jill -J- J 1 1 —Ft . I 1 Ht » • ••«•»•••# •10 -I 1926-30 J ♦ Dcncit * >•*•••••• » —i~] • \ . 1931-35 1936-40 1941-45 1946-50 FIGURE m jh?6Iarg! Pr°P°rtion of ■ r , ' P electric rate utilities would of return be lower FIGURE IV ; RETURN ON NET WORTH the form investment in on total property than that on net worth (PERCENT FIGURE V RETURN ON NET WORTH capital investment in only.) W, PERCENT 25 (Due of to funded electric the large debt^ utilities rate proportion of capital of return on total would be lower than investment on in the form investment property that worth net : ; in only.) vf; PERCENT I } , ' RETURN ON i rmt* of r»turn on total PER CENT 20 TRA DE -/ w V r I 1 i i / \ - PERCENT V / \y \ I A' EL ECTRIC "CITIES uj 15 f >'' rJ ' fundod ;•> dabt, oe . MmBi: 15 COTTON GOOOS ft electric 10 UTILITIES fi'T V \ \ / V V > JU-* Vi STEEL / \ \ , transporta TION :it W8&.DEF,C v PETROL .euM 10 V .* tha form of - =r % | . MANUFACTURE r ' 20 15 A/ * In etlr.) ■ KW ' Investment In oloctrle utilities aouli proparty loaoe tbu that oa-not oortb 20 NET WORTH i. 1. L i' * * "c 1 .-'v '> * *. (Du« to ths lore* proportion of capital invaetaant ' ' \ ' ' L \LL \ ~>'4 . I \l± 1931-35 KVn -„1 ELECTRIC UTILITIES f ■ 0£ * >>5 i-t -5 1926-30 , " J'.V -5 ; jp J EFiciT SjSpfSp K. V 10 f 1936-40 1941-45 case .t : FIGURE ALL it that there say is any long-time downward trend in the profit margins of manufac¬ FIGURE I CORPORATIONS the Profit Margin per Sales Dollar of ' by the manufacturing and trade corporations and not by the util¬ ities. The showing iri'manufac- com-* of based everything else. This is shown in Figure 7, showing indexes com*, puted by the U. S. Department of Shifting our viewpoint from the longer to the shorter term, how¬ big values is yW* chasing powersof the consumers! manufacturing. They also show greater stability than any of the ever, based all dollar. certain major industries included in groups listed. V ' book is for porations in the U. upon both sides of the profit-and-loss statement. Om values therefore ignores the rise in the "corporate the revenue side, there has been an reduction in cost of living," or the shrinkage uninterrupted the in purchasing power of the capi¬ average unit selling price of your tal dollar, which is as much of a services, despite the substantialproblem as the shrinkage in pur¬ upturn in the prices of almost i turn than a sheet The costs. in summary, show that the utili¬ ties have earned on the average on worth Figure 6, which gives also the margin for the railroads and gross understatement of the a worth charts, 3 4, and 5, somewhat less that net balance sent substantially greater. These three it must be borne in cases in average sets. These values currently repre¬ have see these boom years have been made period did it earn a rate of re¬ turn above that of the utilities. the the over rate of quite as good as average—6.9% against 7.3%—and utilities of the It operated at a deficit in 5 years, and in only 5. years out of the next is in been all manufacturing industries and for the steel industry specifically. Against the utilities' long-term average return of 7.3%, the manu¬ facturing industries have averaged 8.7%. But in five years of the pe¬ riod the manufacturing return was lower than the lowest point leached in any year by the utili¬ ties, and in one year, 1932, the manufacturing industries operated at a deficit. The steel industry ranks among the premier indus¬ tries of this country, but it aver¬ aged only 4.7% over the 22 years. from dollar deduction any net worth on with stockholders' measure Figure 4 turn figures of net income to percent¬ age figures of the rate of return on uations average In Net on brings into the picture the petroleum and industrial group. Leading Corporations in Electric and it cotton goods industries. The. fluc- that trade corporations gen earning less than .v.;.; Rate of Return turing and trade may be described roughly as the result of selling more goods at advancing prices, and reaping inventory profits. The utilities, selling electricity at de¬ clining prices, do not enjoy this source of profit. The point to be net worth on show Thursday, June 10, 1948 — porations it is important to keep in mind that this total is CHRONICLE earnings of these noted at this time is that the util¬ erally have earned more on the industries are truly feverish. Steel ities are competing in the capital markets with industries which stockholder's dollar 11.4% on is to as frequently referred the average over the 22 years "prince or pauper," but the ups temporarily at least are making a more brilliant earnings record. against 7.3 for the utilities — but and downs in cotton goods are Before leaving these charts we that the utilities have held their even more extreme, for this in¬ earnings rate much more consist¬ dustry has operated at deficits should remind ourselves of the ently. The range between their even in some, years when steel limitations of return on net worth as a measure of earning power. In best year and their poorest was and railroads made money. From roughly from 9% down to 5% and 1926 through 1940 its return was comparing utilities and manufac¬ back again. The transportation lower than that of the utilities in turing, for example, we must note .line consists principally of the every year. Since then it has been that the former have a larger pro¬ portion of capital in the form of Class I railroads, but includes also higher every year. But its average air transport, shipping, traction over the years is only 4.1%, and funded debt. The rate of return on total property investment is and bus. The 22 year average re¬ only since 1940 has it earned a therefore a more significant fig¬ better return than the utilities. turn of this industry has been only ure in the case of utilities, and of 3%. In four years in the '30s it The petroleum industry shows course it is lower than that shown had a deficit and in three others a deficit for only one year, and on net worth only. We have never it was almost on the line. In the of course it has made remarkable first two war years it earned more compiled such figures for groups earnings during the past year or of manufacturing companies. than the utilities but today it is two. But its 1947. When considering and total of return which I shall compared with other divisions Chart 3 it will be seen Treasury by the dotted line, indicate a soar¬ ing to establish new peaks in both 1946 parisons stock¬ the of business. In figures available are for the year 1945, but estimates made by the Department of Commerce, shown the of FINANCIAL Earnings holder's return in electric utilities deficit in 1931, 1932, a each of the three years and 1933. The latest stability & 1946-50 n M isI7 v Wimk wxjxjx •Xv//!vXvX DEViciT-&& ipli WWm 1931-35 1936-40 Wmm 1941-45 1946-50 Number 4706 Volume 167 electricity is 30% below. This re Electric Utilities- Expenditures for New. Construction, Compared duction in the price of electricity With Depreciation Charges is a stupendous achievement. It is a triumph of management, en¬ Figure 9 shows another, section gineering .skill," technological of the utilities financial picture progress and marketing policy. It that is directly related to earn¬ is both cause and consequence of ings, namely, the* heavy expendi¬ the growth of the industry. At -the same time, however, it must tures now being required for' ex¬ be viewed with relation to the de- pansion of plant, add' equipment. cline in profit margin just shown; It will be seen; that the annual to the effects of. that decline in depreciation charges, also shown, ; inhibiting improvement in 'net in*, come and in rate of return on on the slide, represent an internal , ; .utility capital. ■:,•'"r ■■■,;•;. ■ Major Expense Items of Electric ■ ■ ' ' •, Utilities '' * *.' source arid of fraction of the total Pressure c the to ing corporations. figures used-cover a 1.8 coyered increase/-has vbeen in doubtless surprises if • used in the changes. (1937-1947) as for the two making for and most in over Look first ht the right fof all the corporations. columns on call increased^-Iheir those equipment Rate of turn was maintained. represent • plant gross 48%; they the uses and sources: funds ren quired by these utilities;insl947; outside. your; . ■m The peak of taxes, -years... how- They, needed) $2; 100 • milliens, as simply growth in costs; (5) a decline in earnings record of the in¬ dustry over the past twenty re¬ is Meanwhile, years tribute to its engineering,, its a management, to its and success in de¬ / during margin of profit is in up sense a should cause of progress, period a effects of rising Costs and the industry requires overhead and as the declin¬ ; ; Fortunately, the growth is not ceasing need nor we hensive that it will is favorable terms, to support the increased They i increased their gross long growth. a attract this additional investment on as ing margins can be absorbed in high utilization 6f plant. Now real a very of strength and a source cause now industry done better of such covered rates'. reducing and Paradoxically, the decline in the possible, as should The concern. increased have and To put the volume trends; which Now lookiat the utilities on the of left. decline a efficiency matter sequence... * ; factor of use growth in business. normal and a sales electric high a veloping growth by increasing its electric,uaiteb with ;rising:prices, they increased control, and they are by con¬ electric sales;. income did not keep pace with the expected ~pf Ofit- showing, follow¬ were the principal cause of the .decline in margins-.during the war • in present high level of fuel The to outside recourse capital* taxes since •,;' case at taxes. manufacturing however, the growth of operating These <, shiouid what I of sources the and labor 1940 .-have pecatise. thefiguresicome-irom^he their total-revenues 137%. Their substantial amount of outside cap¬ 'been -larger than any other ex,-f Department of Commerce-a«d''di'f- ^efcrincome:'improved by nearly ital, perhaps $3 or $4 billion for vpense- item, even larger than total fer* in some: -details; > i Theyvshow- 300%* Thi$; I submit, is a logical a five-year period 1947-1951. To wages, -and salaries paid; Taxes : accompanied growth Plant has increased the added capacity; (4) ings without ing logically: upon certain given ' developments. These corporations .. be the may end to periodic rate further increase In Revenues grown. only moderately, groups.* • Figure 10 same Outside of the utility industry, do. gas utilities with the ; learn, that tinued address ourselves, now has ten-year pe¬ have grown. last,, because they includaUheir .physical output 66%; people most . (a's an decreases, only 31%. supply of the earlier; charts, and that the of the period it was financed out /new bars, simply^represent percentage q£ depreciation and retained earn¬ . not quite It taxes. billion. The figures "•bytheoharhthemostsensational : present) physical output, or Net income increased should Business riod father than the twenty years of slowfer rate. a we Note that the a creases or increased utilities the following; actual rate in¬ It is to the implications of de¬ (2) savings in operating costs aris¬ clining selling prices, rising costs ing from the replacement of less utilities and declining profit margins that efficient generating facilities; (i) compared with all manufactur¬ as account Per: the- entire period t of enues less than their own circumstances: rev¬ Finally,; Figure 11 is an attempt sum up significant aspects of the record of the electric - 'i its still less, or •- •J: rising; but at investor^ protect only 71%. expenditures at the current* rate. side other the on profit-and-loss to ing of its obligations. Looking back .at the period has 1926-1930, expenditures for new come from the rapidly mounting costs, which are shown in Figure construction average almost $800 8; r These, figures are shown not million annually. In 1947 expen¬ in index numbers^ but in millions ditures for construction were in •i of- dollars per year, and must, of the neighborhood of $1,3 billion, course, be considered in relation I;*, to total revenues, which were also and for 1948 are estimated to rise • need physical output the of crease capital deeded to finance * . , its in operating income have to come from one or more of the the in¬ creased twice as, much as of health and the investment stand¬ .substantial is steadily rising, yet is only small of of funds that mesaure to appeal to lenders and " property; and in its general relaf tion to the problem of raising new a its current problem, of its need , , That is it needed. • the revenues of manufacturers in¬ than one-half of the money more ; - CHRONICLE & FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL THE likely to stop it. may slow down or appre¬ Nothing" However, it even stop tem¬ Conservative investors porarily. capital feel cease. which $ 100 million was "to finance plant and equipment (as reported) charges, and to maintain a favor¬ are attracted by the industry's reached in 1943 and This is after write¬ ably credit position, operating in¬ growth and stability. But they .1944, and wages and salaries have increased materials .and supplies*- 'jOhly ;14%. f now caught up. The increases in $ 100 million for increased receiv¬ offs of intangibles, and the in¬ come for the industry as a whole cannot feel entirely free of con-* | ever, this • was item fuel during the ables, and $1,900 million for plant crease in generating capacity was have been sensa¬ and equipment. The sources of actually 26%. However, they had tional. Depreciation charges have the funds include $200 million of an 88% increase in total output. grown steadily, along with the in- /past two crease and in years in total plant and equip* retained earnings, $500 million of will have to increase. Plant addi¬ cern tions financed not from retained gins. earnings but from the sale of approach words, they made a much curities In other must show a se¬ induced declining by Should the industry mar¬ ever saturation point, a con¬ a tinuation of this long-term trend rate of return 1 ment, and, of course, must grow depreciation, $100 million through The more. reduction charges (at bankers and securities) if even crease the in minor, been in offset of new on security issues. The indus¬ • at to get a little been NET INCOME PER DOLLAR tive. To maintain the attractive¬ ness of utility securities for con-^ competition with the require¬ ments An of other industries. addition to net plant The selling utilities purposes, product REVENUE /CENTS 40 PRICE 1935-39=100 should and not of itself provide increased op- but such addition does erating income. margins would prove destruc¬ servative in* £F£ases the Base for rate making . investors, be made every effort, by the industry by regulatory authorities to check the decline in the profit Actual increases margin on sales. FIGURE VII Or GROSS FIGURE VIII MAJOR EXPENSE ITEMS OF ELECTRIC UTILITIES INDEXES 8 MILLIONS 200 1ST. QTR. i > PRICE INDEX : / TAXES I CONSUMER * UTILITIES ELECTRIC of in declining unit prices. Whereas FIGURE VI CENTS inten¬ their sharply. diverges have market more the showing of the two groups security penses. relatively sufficient to attract further capital ing corporations. From that point ahcT$l,000^ million try had to go to banks and to the in practically all other ex¬ — available of use sive than that of the manufactur¬ libilities, $200 million of-bank loans) in¬ the to creased tax utility welcome, a securi¬ capacity the ties, $100 million held against in¬ of expense investors has sale of V. S. government interest intensive more f ^ WAGES &, SALARIES 20 RAILROADS •" .« t ALL / " - :y.'- MANUFACTURING ■"'•i.V-VV.'v..'" " CORP - "* , ELE CTRICITY HOUR PER KIL OWATT INTEREST ETC. 4 / DEPRECIATION DEFICIT 1926-30 1936*40 1931-35 1 1946-50 1941-45 ,>• H II i 1 J LI 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 i II i i I 1926-30 1931-35 1926-30 i ' i 1931-35 1936-40 1941-45 1946*50 FIGURE XI FIGURE X FIGURE IX i PERCENT CHANGE 1937-47 V + 300 ■• 8 MILLIONS ELECTRIC ; UTILITIES :•• USES AND SOURCES OF FUNDS eY.iELEeTRIC-'yW^OAS UTILITIES IN 2,000, 1947 DOLLARS □ RETAINED NET INC. RECEIVABLES DEPRECIATION / + 200 PLANT & EQUIPMENT fill TOTAL OUTPUT HH TOTAL REVENUES IH INVENTORIES V NET INCOME U.S. GOVT. SEC. INC. TAX LIAB PLANT AND EQUIPMENT BANK LOANS CONSTRUCTION EXPENDITURES + 100 NEW. SECURITY ISSUES DEPRECIATION 1 1926*30 1931-35 « ' ' 1936-40 ' - 1941-45 ' USES CHARGES I ' ' » ' ' I 1946-50 SOURCES ' CLECTRIC UTILITIES ALL MANUFACTURING CORP. 36 (2556) THE COMMERCIAL dent As We See It • We are the (Continued from first page) which — CHRONICLE incidentally is nothing which would The income, and Upon Washington himself and undertake in providing for his vide for their is philosophy underlying all such reasoning. V prescription: agents the political activities of of menace communism a lies few isolated individuals. "If of some The - < ; v of some people are forced to work at substandard "wages and nothing is done about it, that is an invitation to our communism. "If to vote "If or in <, . people are arbitrarily denied the right deprived of other basic rights and nothing is done or about it, ., ,, of some our that is of some an invitation to communism. / "And an are : the "homes they need." program becomes merely would be a proposal that "with "Let by working together to improve the welfare of their strengthen themselves. If they can meet and on its own ground, surely we can do the adopt legislation that will provide us our citizens the homes they need, the opportunity for universal good health and universal free schooling, the extension of social security, the full rights of citizenship, for good jobs at fair wages and a brake "will hold the purchasing an on equal chance inflation that of these wages at :/|.Y\V':-Y > power level." high a 1 j Now, what is to be thought a defense against communism, abroad or boring from within? of warding off communism by ; of statism of all this? Is this really whether attacking from :| Or is it at best a means substituting other forms quite conceivably advance rather than retard the growth of communistic notions in this country? It is undeniable that totalitarian philosophies, yes, even are have for years / What the President a little more dent process has continuously the no having charging' capacities 2,500 to 30,000 barrels and being designed to process 42,000 barrels of gas oil a day. Sixty thousand tons of catalyst menace of communism lies around in units every have for a and year 20,000,000 gallons gasoline oil billion being are cracking barrels of • Today's primarily in those areas o^ fuel motor dreamed when motor of cars democracy promised only that neither individuals ' supposed government nor < other groups of individuals would restrict any cit¬ own affairs that, so far as government is concerned or as respects other citizens, each member of the body politic would remain free to work out his own salvation subject — only to such restrictions are to necessary members., ,/. ensure | the same • ing higher ratios. be that Fischer-Tropsch pounds of these of oxidation compounds. The annual products from yields of these the two plants is shown in the table: Estimated Production of Chemicals (000 Organic Z | • :j lbs. year chemical industries. For some and refinery gasses na¬ have provided alcohols, aldehydes, and I has spent over $35;000,000 in the past 20 years on synthetic fuel projects. Utilization of coal our oil and shale will naturally follow when, as, and if ✓ our petroleum reserves face de-* pletion, which is certainly not imminent. The known U. S. of reserves coal iii 3,200,000,000,00(1 are 98% Thus of fuel total our coal ulti¬ can liquid fuel supplies foh years. Utilization of us thousand process, coal is treated with oxygen and steam to produce mixture a monoxide and carbon of hydrogen which is then converted to liquid products Fischer-Tropsch process/; may be mined and processed above ground or the? gas mixture may be made by con¬ by the coal The trolled hydrogeneration, to and high pressures- are it convert to < synthetic » - , shale Our reserves constitute synthetic fuel It is estimated that they another enormous furnish can combustion." underground coal something like 300 billion barrels of oil. "V Good shales yield gallons 30 oil of per ton. The oil produced is low-grade fuel oil containing large amounts of sulfur nitrogen compounds, "secondary" refining • pro-* and and . must be employed to pro¬ duce gasoline and Diesel oil. ;:sv' At the present time large-scald units for converting coal and oil shale into synthetic fuel; as pro-^ posed by the government, are not justified. The U. S. Bureau of Mines has been alloted $60,000,000 to conduct fundamental research cesses study on pilot plant scale commercial possibilities of and to synthetic fuel froth production A number of It will Joe>a,>bum-t struction stage. before the projected by the Bureau pf and oil companies will bp pleted and it is logical-tp ber of -work years Mines '5,500 the attempting " .the construction., and operation of commercial V si^e plants. A $4,500,000 experimental Methanol > Methyl ethyl ketone__: Ethanol - 9,560 127,360 n-Propyl alcohol n-Butyl alcohol n-Amyl alcohol Acetic acid ; 49,400 . coal. These plants, 1 one this work ',•••/ 'j,:-;.v studies has at a the ' Reconstruction bill which would empower Finance Cor¬ poration to construct and operate one or more commercial synthetic Brownsville, Texas and the other fuel plants having ah arsregate are being capacity not to exceed 30,000 bar-i primarily for the pur- rels a day, using .a maximum of producing synthetic fuels i outstanding fund of $350,000,000. at Garden City, Kansas, constructed pose before and <;the operation of experimental pilot plants constitute the orderly and systematic method for developing synthetic fuel processes..; How¬ ever, Representative Wolverton 304,400 two . Fundamental Propionic acid_^____„ 17,400 Butyric acid / 8,400 Methyl propyl ketone. 1,200 " of rels 8,740 2,120 Fuels results corn? await plant will produce only .80 barr of synthetic fuel a day.frprq 28,800 founding time oxidation products from tural alone 22,400 1,460 3,860 ' and systematic fashion; One com¬ pany 18,200 Synthetic is oil car¬ orderly an Acetone General Motors industry in Acetaldehyde Propionaldehyde n-Butyraldehyde - Total oil reasearch others Estimated Petrochemicals The syn¬ and pilot plants are in operation and are in the design or con¬ /*' omitted) gine increases mileage 40%. new of coal our coal and oil shale. ' /:r - /r Production coming out with motor cars having engines with ratios of 8.5:1 '• out the v industry. In . greatly expanded by the en¬ an ; American estimated hav¬ aviation gasoline for fuel. This as illustrations ago which will increase mileage 15 to 20%. An engine with 12.5:1 ratio is undergoing road tests, using manu¬ - production of petrochemi¬ duction is privileges to all other President, Indeed, the program suggested by the Presi¬ as many * If this is the true promise of democracy, and if it has not been fulfilled, then the cure for the infirmity is radically different from any of those suggested by the <• be given. transportation stage. In 1905, 78,000 motor vehicles used 420,000 gallons of gasoline a day. Now that or izen in the lawful pursuit of his other any¬ on many products yearly from natural gai. This auantity represents about 9% of the total United States pro¬ crude years appeared basis plants, which will produce about American life where the promise of democracy remains un¬ more than 37,000,000 are consum¬ fulfilled." ing over j 100,000,000 gallons a WHERE THE PROMISE OF DEMOCRACY day of gasoline. Compression &EMAINS/ UNFULFILLED!! ! And what, - pray, is the ratios of engines have increased promise of democracy ? from 4.5:1 to 6.5:1 with We t had * always ried resource. surpasses 40 make is the - thing to industry for tetraethyl • lead 300,000,000 yearly by which more quantity and quality used whole w both in from gas years shale, the industry has also used two refined. closely at what the Presi thetic fuel 20 over production fuel. ' cals will than doubles the yield of gasoline from every barrel of crude oil Proposes the temperatures The saved processes, is polythene which has could to 80 in the last quarter of century, and because of the resulting increased mileage are saving the motoring public over $1,000,000,000 a year. Two arid of synthetic fuel production proceed by the v Fischer^ Tropsch process 1 or by hydrogenation, or both. In ; the most production. It many a one-half - producing natural can anti-knock compound in gasoline is based upon ethylene. There are from from coal for widely is ethylene from of f petroleum and It gas. facturing 50 - studying The have raised processes are five over of research by the oil In' day. a is plants: for fuel results compound for the manufacture of synthetic rub¬ bers such as GR-S and .Thiokol. a from catalytic crack¬ of the are a in radar and electrical insul¬ ation. It is the base over 30,000,000 tons of catalyst during that time, which has resulted in the production of 180,000,000 gallons of gasoline. At present 20% of all gasoline pro¬ ratings two uses circulated or The synthetic called half without shut-down and have comes gas preserves consumption for'anti-freeze -liquids such as Prestone. Polymerization of ethylene produces the new resin of the larger some day, a- Fischer-Tropsch of/the cracking entire 24 hours. Some units operated natural gas $100,000,000. over be our largest source of fuels. With increasing population and increasing con¬ sumption per cap.ta, coal could 100,000,000 gallons of ethyl alco¬ a year; which is half of'our is move The mately liquid hol tion one chemicals. natural reserves. chemicals natural in opera¬ are One used and oper¬ at.-a uniform temperature. Units of cost tons, over 8) page acids. internal moving parts, ates feet assure (Continued from off.> The and trillion annually.. Natural gas dis¬ the . been its most vocal advocates. carried by a stream of air to a reactivator where the carbon is Cracking apparently wants us as a nation to do to safeguarc ourselves against a particular form of statism, jL e., com munism. First, let it be noted that he feels* certain tha the us. The communists of Russia s octane . look are Industry: Yesterday, III Today and Tomorrow ing, communistic us Now either these . The Oil aurned by and /are V greater/ than. our consumption./;// * ♦' referring, and his entire the rest of This compares with 2% in 1941. notions, are much stronger in this country today than they were 15 years ago when the New Deal began to "save" the country from "revolution." A drop of blood on a tiger's tongue is said to do strange things to that animal. fH"v /; But let 1 silly type of social philosophy? duced but little if any less undesirable than com¬ munism itself? Or, again, would not such tactics by giving the notion of extreme paternalism a foothold ;- upon country, and the "we" who must provide them with their needed homes fuels Our the — since his program then the citizens provide themselves with the homes they need but which they are not able to provide themselves—or else they are only a portion of the citizens of the monoxide close to 170 trillion cubic feet and or from ;vv : v ~;V /;\ ' all citizens to which the President is depriving some of our nothing is done about defeat communism same. , na¬ coveries *'.*. , carbon to will and Where did the President and his advisers learn this checked the spread of communism build up their • • cubic security. This ' which is based carefully the trend of the President's reasoning: that "communism succeeds only when there is with //,m "Communism succeeds only when there is weakness, or misery, or despair. It cannot succeed in a strong and healthy society. The nations of western Europe, with our help, have so ■ gasoline and Diesel fuel. The gasoline and Diesel oils will be of high quality.\ The two plants will : process . about 200,000,000 ; fair field to look after his a natural gas. Together they will make 15,000 barrels a day of thesize planning and misery,' or despair. - It cannot succeed in a strong and healthy society/' So, says he, we must "adopt legislation that will provide, our citizens with the homes ;hey need." So? Who, may we ask, is "we"? He is saying oy plain implication that "citizens" can not provide them¬ people of the necessities of life and it, that is an invitation to communism. peoples, and own from oxygen invitation to communism. finally, if high prices economies, says weakness, our it, that is wants. _ people do not have proper medical care, opportunities for a good education, or adequate assistance time of sickness, or unemployment, or old age, and nothing is done about their 1943 hydrogen, and the catalytic Fluid Flow process is then used to syn¬ He would provide for the wants and own 10, tural gas is partially oxidized , our people are living in slum housing and nothing is done about it, that is an invitation to communism. "If future. own precisely the opposite of any the expectation that each individual will rely Note primarily in those areas of democracy remains un¬ selves ' American life where the promise of fulfilled. < ; line of action a program own He "As far as the United States is concerned, the menace of communism is not the activities of a few foreign or a fundamental questions about Here in the main is the President's < less than "underprivileged" by taking away from those who, despite it ail, have provided or are endeavoring to pro¬ are so closely similar to those the President now enunciates for home use, it seems to us that this is a specially the social wealth, the individual from excuse President, however, does not stop with eminently sensible comment on the subject. He has a cure, or cures, of his own. It is at these points that the thoughtful man will begin to have doubts, or so it appears to us. In very broad general terms, the procedures for combatting communism in Europe and elsewhere so ardently being promoted in some more or same redistribution of , appropriate time to raise Thursday, June tionally known it in this country. What he demands is not a fair field and no favor, but at bottom a forceful happy to give full support to the President when he tells the people plainly that such is the case. 1■': l."U ,V,|; , FINANCIAL old New Deal pot pourri — is the very antithesis of the prescription of democracy as we have tradi¬ than more & Volume If the THE Number 4706 167 of the Interior, Secretary 12 months after the passage of the bill, does not consider that private industry has taken the proper steps to assure the development of a synthetic liquid fuel indus¬ try, he is required to certify to the RFC "shall who undertake, tracts by promptly under con¬ and with private industry, the construction and operation of such plant or plants : . Not satisfied . , with the Wolver- ton proposals, our government is asking for the construction in the next five to 10 years of synthetic oil plants " to barrels produce oil of 2,000,000 day. a Although have re¬ COMMERCIAL cases for constructing .huge chemical plants for catalyst manufacture. An extremely important consider¬ ation is the need for establishing cities new sites, since much of oil shale is i'n the near the semi-arid economics of fuel shoes produc¬ tion from petroleum, coal and oil way shale should be carefully weighed. The actual cost of the proposed took plants for producing 2,000,060 bar¬ * The side government the of considered ; Bureau struct and in branches all until the oil industry pilot plants. exceedingly important: phase of v the ,; 2,000,000 barrels-a-day program is that it would require over 16,000,000 tons of steel which shale would ;"V" One of the chief obstacles in the of coal for liquid fuel produc¬ at the present time is the additional have to tonnage that would for synthetic * mined be To produce 2,000,000 bar¬ rels per day of synthetic fuel from coal 7 would require 470,000,000 plants. tons ; about three quarters of our present produc¬ tion. Furthermore, there is a of coal a year, Waste of 60% of the heating value in manufacture the he. used synthetic of Coal could still fuels from coal. mined wherever pos¬ as sible in order to utilize its, full more self. through high competition against it¬ t ' ;' * i > ;■ to , industries. ■ much be to Y contribute ing taxes most more expansion in all branches of tion the maintenance and aircraft engines, and production of aircraft The oil business stable sources of one and; well Its are is our organized raw material The industry large. is progressive both in its search for new sources of petroleum and its constant development of new products. Should shortage of petroleum and processes real arise, the Industry would pot col¬ lapse, but as a result of its inte¬ any research grated would program, supply liquid fuel requirements from other sources. As an investment, there is no bet¬ ter buy on the market today than the oil company stocks. They are at comparatively low prices. The records of steady dividend pay¬ be ready to ments over the years and the in¬ heating value instead of consum¬ creasing demands for their prod¬ ing 60% in the manufacture of ucts establish oil stocks among liquid synthetic fuel. , .'YY the top-ranking securities. The :!& There are other important oil industry deserves full support items to be' considered in syn¬ as a vital part of our national thetic fuel production. One is the economy. * questiop of technical and operat¬ the pressures competitive market. Such a program is hardly an in¬ centive for private industry; to develop and market low-cost products. The oil industry would be in the unfair position of hav¬ for use of later, ' the upon profitably be used by the i oil industry. ;; One of the reasons for recent spot oil short¬ ages: has been the lack of steel \( repair The An <■ first, over, The costly than fuels from petroleum. High subsidies would be necessary if the synthetics yrere to be put and the industry. billion. $20 oil vastly more information * is ob¬ tained from the Bureau c-f Mines could about is con¬ units commercial a It highly \ premature. unwise to design seems havfc parts. This was resisted by the management although all kinds of out¬ Mines of We plants would produce only about one-third of the total petroleum output of the U. S. Synthetic fuels from coal and - program Denmark. over ,. brought were Germaris deered the right bear, that of cost annual aircraft parts en¬ using lieve had in the same time selling our cars for Neither do they take the position that it is deflationary. hundreds of dollars less than they knew the market was willing to have been taken several years ago eight years for them? pay no An position a - talked to. ' the to again essentials this of up. had getting Danish repair the damage complete the tooling of the workmen and blew difficulty great to machines. It almost took a year uniform parexitly to forced follow them then in effect have national came out of Collective bargaining have failed ana like other Scandinavians are in¬ will have mining (2) v we the 1940 I sive resistance and sabotage. From experience our with Danish workmen I the same current that, if the Danes had wanted to do so, they could have learned as how to this extreme example of happen when the work men,are totally out of sympathy with'the policies and objective «qf the management. as what an can f wages of cost living per as a a 1940 a relation the war. base certain in and 1 Motors Agreement Not Prejudicing Other Wage Negotiations I realize the terms that with met ' ,'/• our the unions have immediate perhaps approval, of unani¬ in part formula they as are well not as the non-eco¬ the most-reliable and measure of the changing cost of living. (4) We thought it was reason¬ able to maintain the purchasing of power the hour's labor during an of the term desire of workmen ral as a as (5) If wages were permanently tied to the cost of living, then the of standard living of noting that agreements could only have bined effort of a great many peo¬ importance of cooper¬ the employees of a ple;; The been reached in an atmosphere of ation mutual confidence. corporation perhaps is underesti¬ mated by many people. It is a fundamental requirement of a successful business. For example, am sure that those of you who especially interested in unionmanagement- problems will find these agreements very interesting reading as much for what they leave out as for what they con¬ tain. J , <' ; ' . are u Copies of these agreements can be attained, as soon as they have beeii by request to Mr. H. W. Anderson, Vice-President in printed, Personnel the of Charge Staff, General Motors Corporation, De¬ ;> /• troit, Michigan. ; / f ;■ -We / that these agree¬ approval of involved but ments not only have the Union leaders among it is easy enough to define a wage terms of cents per hour or in in week. It is difficult to define the effective work done dollars per ficld and unwilling to deliver a and the management, it is very Indeed, or almost im¬ to establish efficient operation. As any of us who have difficult, possible, enthusiastically accepted by the workmen in our had the experience plants. We believe the whole Gen¬ with in manufacturing operations eral is that they "were Motors organization, includ¬ ing all employees, is now pointed •«0»" v.: ;• -r - - have been quite favorable, a few ness amount at all. critical. For example, "Barron's Financial Weekly" and the "United Mine Workers' Journal" both promptly objected to the "basis for deter¬ mining far wages adopted by Gen¬ eral Motors, the UAW-CIO and the UE-CIO. I am sure that they did not object for the same rea¬ V' >< been frankly Frankly, I am personally en¬ for the money. Quality as well as couraged by criticism from such extreme points of view, and I feel quantity is involved. This is espe¬ thrt perhaps we have found a safe cially true In .the case of progres¬ middle ground and have developed sive manufacture in mass-produc¬ workable criteria for establishing tion industries. If the workmen in collective bargaining in a particular plant are dissatis- wages day's work, if they are noncooperative with the supervision »Y' Motors believe settlement and £ clear understanding of both tbf* problems involved and the essence of the agreement: Y • "It would be a good deal less than accurate to say that, from standpoint of national eco¬ nomic yvell-being, the General Motors settlement has produced the perfect formula. The perfect workmen we are thinking in antidote for inflation, if an relate increases di¬ wage nroduction rather than to the cost of living. But as an instrument of company-wide eco¬ nomic and social justice it has a great deal to commend it." rectly to Union workmen would be frozen. have sons. agreements.;;-Y:';; I fair What Is Expected by General S> edi¬ an "Times" nomic . these a our York It seemed tomie to indicate ing. would of all other citizens. , New going to read it to you in clos¬ terms of natu¬ well paragraph in a the formula, agieement.;> Se¬ curity of earning power is periods of high, the provisions are understood, as well as others can properly ex¬ benefits will accrue from these determining fair wages for two agreements not only to employees it will be found that perhaps some pect to participate in the pros¬ years, and the current wage in¬ real progress has been made in but to stockholders, dealers and perity of America. The annual creases resulting from this for¬ mula. Perhaps what may ulti¬ customers. We expected to make establishing principles. Each cor¬ improvement factor of 3 cents an poration, each union and each in¬ hour (approximately 2%) we mately be the more important re- important progress in all direc¬ tions during the two years of dustry can apply if they wish though we could reasonably un¬ suit was the development of a these principles to their own par¬ derwrite for the people employed stabilized operations underwritten better understanding of the rights ticular set of facts and conditions. in our business for the two years and responsibilities of the parties. by these agreements. The principles should not embar¬ of the agreement. Others may We are hopeful that this under¬ Many people have talked about rass anyone. YY Y... .?W/.Y:YYYY.-Y Y; agree on a different improvement standing represents real progress. the importance of cooperation In While press comments generally factor as applying to their busi¬ The agreements-speak for them¬ any matter involving the com¬ selves but it is worth am. Price Index of the Bureau of La¬ available in referring to certain companies. As far as we were concerned, the Unions end our¬ selves thought it was fair as ap¬ plying to our situation. * Y (3) We adopted the Consumer ; read torial bor Statistics as General and employment. Perhaps the validity of might be challenged in industries food are so for such items in used was economists some reason one mal proportion of the total Na¬ tional income that is usually spent base for wage control during this produce quality parts and satisfactory aircraft engines in a relatively short time. I am citing average the - high is be¬ cause the production and prices of durable goods are relatively so low that expenditures for these items are not absorbing the nor¬ wages. Such convinced am and heard that clothing prices sound basis from which to project hour have state rela¬ dependent, determined people, had beaten the Germans by their pas¬ our Ap~ now too late to anything about it, especially in such a political year. of union workmen, wages prices. national policy coidd do deter¬ We adopted of costs and our Apparently it is means tion have war¬ The opposition of unions generally and of some manufac¬ turers prevented a clear under¬ standing of the merits of this idea. bargaining. will then be found for to could close to fect. will other some to- changed rapidly enough to put/such a practical plan into ef¬ through powerful union pressure, week not be through the years such patterns are set by a few of the large cor¬ porations and all industry is and nothing worthwhile the plant. The Ger¬ mans who were trying to run it became frantic. They finally gave The Danish workmen, who up. na¬ patterns. wage in creases cents We do not believe in national could time levels without important in¬ for* hour. - from the work been maintained at muJa. a war-time of' workmen power point out wage measure the pre-war 40-hour standard, la; this way the relative purchasing: Essentials of Wage Formula I would like necessarily infla¬ get back to years 48-hour anyone else I is effective eral reasonable and fair to the employeesY nor could it tq avoid the inflation that has oc¬ curred. We should have taken sev¬ I could think of of making such way appear that tionary. at were For me, this was $64 question. a we They accountably power the General Motors executives lowest standard of living they had If the of threats who negotiated the agreement be¬ per operate, and nor them to accept the asking ready plant un¬ to Neither the union leaders were was machinery strikes strikes. living, how could we explain to 275,000 Gen¬ comman¬ completely understood. I am sure that they have not unfairly prejudiced the collective bargaining in other companies and industries. If the direction and the in crease the time the because in . (1) It did not establish tional pattern of so many mous (Continued from page 11) so Danish workmen under the super¬ vision of Germans. Just about not Labor increased as 4#ie years when demand exceeded supply* that they reasonably would lead such a student of th& share in the prosperity of Amer¬ past to conclude that present high, ica? Can they only accomplish wages were more the result of this by strikes anc| threats of fundamental inflationary pressures strikes? created by the war than of un¬ ^3) If we said "No" to the re¬ reasonable pressure of powerful quest for wage increases at this international unions of which the time in face of the recognized in¬ public is as conscious due to the by go in equipment from Germany and attempted to repair gines and produce 37 real wages the new plant and moved settlements with formula adopted by the parties for to finally (2557) eral Motors workers that while we Germans Germans wanted the plant to take investment now $30 billion. the war rels per day of synthetic oil from and snale is greater than the synthetic as the their total coal is experts in the oil industry estimate the cost to be purpose/ much a about came plant in Copenhagen, and a new addition to it was just being com¬ pleted at the time of the war. The this as and unaccountably found into the machinery. During the petroleum industry, which officials shoe, the meaning the factories in France where they wore wooden shoes, the wooden re¬ of government from comes "sabot'* word from the fact that many years ago when the men were dissatisfied in gions of the West. The sabotage French and coal our word wooden plant quested from $8 to $9 billion for ■■ outright sabotage the effi¬ ciency of ' the operation is de¬ stroyed. As a matter of fact the ing manpower, of which there is a shortage. Another is the need whole CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & the most a difficult deliberate passive know, one things to slow-down. resistance and in of cope By some of would like to ask the editors these publications the same questions that I have asked many executives, both inside and out¬ side of General Motors, during the last few months. Only if these editors feel can answer that there their them would I is any validity in criticism. or been has not formalize the Something like this may going at on varying a rate for at least 100 years. Other¬ wise standard the workmen American of' living of would not for the past 10 with Bacon, Stevenson & Co., New York City, died at his home at the age of 52. Y Otto Culman, years Mrs. ^ Saul M Schwamm Dead rs,Y ElizabethLichten Schwamm, a partner in Schwamm Co., New York City, died at her & home Mrs. of a thrombosis. coronary Schwamm, the wife of Saul Schwamm, the senior partner, was 41 years old. , , have increased as it has and nor¬ working hours could not have mal reduced been 60 from vYY to 40. or ; It is well to remember that this annual on be- improvement factor based technology and better tools can dissipated featherbedding, by inefficiency and work made that it cannot also be paid out as It not addition to be overlooked that in the annual ment in real wages for improve¬ a particu¬ individuals have full op¬ portunity to further improve their economic status by qualifying for better and higher paid jobs. lar job Y In the absence of ments wages are than when they John J. Gerdau will become a partner in Schoile Brothers, 40 Wall Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange, on June 18/ so additional wages by employers. should Schoile Brothers to Admit more '■ union agree¬ flexible more determined (1) What is a sound basis for for definite periods by such agree¬ ments. A study of the past, particudetermining wages? (2) How do workmen get their Culman Dead Otto Y are ]y of periods of full employment J. S. Hope Partner SCRANTON, PA.—J. S. Hope & Co., First National Bank Building, is now doing business as a part¬ nership, with J. Stanley Hope and C. K. Hope as partners. Hamlin & Lunt Admit N. Y.—Thomas W. a partner in. Lunt, Marine Trust BUFFALO, Mitchell will become Hamlin Building, & members of the New York Stock Exchange on June 17. 38 (2558) THE bought |t at your profit points. This leaves you with Lock¬ heed bought at 15,'stop at 21* which is still okay; United Aircraft bought at 15 with a stop at 27 V2. In case the stop Markets Whyte Says— is Market points to mild broken important than This * * If there is act better market. * or With the States tified President to enter ages exist and meeting of A of yet lihood Commerce, Harriman. Mr. The W. Advistory Com¬ subsequently endorsed by the In¬ * 58. Dresser at should have half stopped at the bells 24^, buying it back at 22 or with the news that we A few weeks ago rang in were a bull market. new car better. requirements program familiar wired had at 32 the freight take it is under this better. or units be avoided is departmental of within steel the ; Third, obtained pro¬ allocating signed Government. that legal for to the the clearance whatever several If be profits buying. readers this To too More next take profits un¬ less you buy. Regular follow¬ ers were already long, so the talk of profits wasn't mysteri¬ ous. In any event the advice to sell was specific. Only trouble was the prices at which profits were to be taken were too optimistic. So later I changed a few by rais¬ ing the stops. : ; * you [The During the past week these stops This is what * a happened: had Douglas at 52. half at 61 and few taken. were You You sold bought back the half at 59. your gross In the first lot profit was to 55j When stock ■ subse¬ quently broke 57^ and you were stopped out the profit was a gross of 2 points. G. L. Martin also when it broke 18 V2. > - IBA Appoints Boehmler Dir. of Pub. Education CHICAGO, ILL.—The appoint¬ ment of Public Erwin W. Education Spring Boehmler was sold Having as Director of the Bankers of America Association announced at the Meeting of the Board Governors of the of Association by Julien H. Collins, Julien Collins Co., President. Prior to join¬ ing the IBA staff, Boehmler served director of training and public relations for George Fry & ment He as ture consulting engineers. ; was manage¬ and manager of the statistical department of "Chicago on the Journal of Commerce"'and staff of Sheridan, Farwell & Mor¬ rison, Inc., investment counsellors, Past President of the Invest¬ a ment Analysts Club of and has been admitted Chicago,1 to the Ill¬ inois Bar. Illinois Central R. R. part time / in college teaching administration in the Chicago sorial Due each October 1, and April 1. from October 1948-April 1956 1.35%-2.65% or area, and is Certificates To yield 'For the past 18 years Boehmler has been engaged either full time and 2%% Equipment Trust continuing lecturer Northwestern of of profes¬ as finance University Commerce. co-author in He a is text School editor on at and financial institutions that is, being prepared by members of the finance de¬ partment at Northwestern Univer¬ Schwabacher & Co. New Members New York Stock Exchange York Curb Exchange {Associate) Francisco Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade - 14 Wall Street New York 5, N Y. OOrttandt 7-4150 ' Teletype NY 1-928 Private Wires to Principal Offices San Francisco ; Mrnterej — — Santa Barbara Oakland — Sacramento Fresno sity.;,;,:; ,_.v. . alternative methods The first is the method which im¬ partment to of Public Law provides the in use tech¬ the De¬ Commerce, designed the out carry voluntary follows nique already in 395. provisions This of procedure channel through which a claimants may qualify for special assistance. It provides for study of individual programs, screening, authentication, certification and finally allotment on an equitable basis to all producers. This method is essentially fair. is practical first, where a lim¬ It ited tonnage is involved; second, tonnage is diver¬ as to product mix; and third, where the total sified the any one total requirement of product is well within the Industry's ability to produce that particular product. Just so long tonnage takemoff-the-top leaves sufficient for practical the as operation of civilian economy, be made to work. our the plan can Admittedly, there is always the possibility that the number and size of the programs may in time necessitate cutting of a large number of consumers of a product or producing single shutting down certain units semi-finished for in steel order may that be used The 1948 Convention of the In¬ vestment Bankers Association of will Beach Fla., Dec. 5 r 1 sixteen is sure. make < required to other that hand, it. becomes r might as a na-: our a decades, * must again be thrown against the; powers of aggression, I am certain, and I know each of you certain, that the .Our is equally Steel will again become forces of right. a ' Industry ; citadel of the \ : - <; stewardship carries 1 < . . grave responsibilities.' 'However early these sobering re-' sensibilities may be, they consti¬ following: nations tute ail; inspiring challenge. ; essential products. Then, and not until then, should we even consider the second • At present no method— ; be held Hotel, to 10. on tin, tin products, anti¬ at Holly¬ to control for mate¬ export; and to control materials necessary for the manufacture and delivery of Hollywood, materials, - and required required for export. These requirements must be cer¬ * trusion comment; „ . "The reasonable exercise of the of powers to seem the Commission require this wide arately it would pass variety of subject rather proper that than of request to depreciated on properties that since sep¬ grant utility a pany by the without proper I Markets will not or bonds, ned. in 1947. as permit plan¬ was It has had to Approval for SEC was granted on these stock dividends mon pany's parent to the com¬ com¬ cal be limited, while notes are outstanding, to the amount of capital contributions its parent might make. Contempla¬ further increase a secured in unsecured borrowing, of sets the management had In proceeding with the -Long case, the Commission has Island again run into an adverse decision. Practically points at are court the issue in the same of case Kings County Lighting, also un¬ dergoing recapitalization, almost on w,ithout all the that as planned to do. un¬ limits property in the Sys¬ that this factor be given con¬ sideration indebtedness necessitated charter - tem) has been demonstrated to be greater than that of the two sub¬ sidiaries. It would seem only logi¬ was the tion of * a the electric by the necessary, which the condition that determi¬ proper earning; power of; Long Island Lighting, it?e}i,(which has most of, incur substantial bank loarts for expan¬ sion/ a preferred stock¬ will /now; .be ex¬ of whose owned by In March stock common Long Island is Lighting. the U. S. Circuit Court ceeded. ;;• • 'ik; of Long Island Lighting, in its pro¬ posed reorganization,, has sought to consolidate its subsidiary com¬ overriding those of the Commis-1 . • on a to allocate new sionv earning value similarly, to power, termining; allocations, ingan iza tion.;;.. securities but' also to the but that earning power con¬ a fair value basis for de¬ stitutes ■ basis giving weight not only to;: property Appeals in New York ruled not that the SEC has powers only panies, Queens Borough Gas & Electric and Nassau & Suffolk pro¬ a -reor-. ' J.1.... ■ [ The opposing views of ;the and,the battle for layed .the Commission, »and « SEC their jurisdiction, have de¬ Long Island Lighting procedure approved by the SEC in reorganization to the point of other recapitalizations: ; haustion, of ./the preferred stock- r.: ? 1 : i |;.c1v * * property, where, under more set- •; tied market conditions, high rates / may encourage the use of com¬ petitive -/fuels. In this case the the company to refund some of its outstanding on prop¬ satisfactory rate of return, particularly in the casa of gas requests." now based' property, v earn punitive conditions attached to the granting of reasonable the argued that certain types of property cannot under optimum conditions borders coercive to recourse It Manifestly this contention gives no weight whatever to the fact" the performance utility ;of of cost, are nant of value. con¬ cerning an extraneous matter. The penalty in the statute seems ade¬ quate to enforce rates erty is the only only upon its consent to ob¬ the Commission's order original concerned. rate of return on a com¬ serve . in the case, and has insisted that new securities be al-v located solely on the basis of the ..... posed rials / qther intangibles, and made; this President the priorities ' • The Commission, however,has apparently resented the SEC's in- Lighting./ The management authority to assign the write-off of the water rights and holders, authority exists - (Continued from page .7) to; dirfect purporting consent to proceed in this manner, except that granted under Title III of the Second War Powers Act. - sion company's complete Government control of production and distribution. ; • , mony, and several non-metallic products. It also vests in the To Be HeH Dec. 5-10 wood the will tion, for the third time within period of less than four and approval of preferred stockholders at a special meeting, since the more controls IBA Convention America to an avoid- be Hatd-Boiled Utilities Regulation I In New: York Stale sfc'SS v> | This section of the Act provides # San Two where formerly financial fea¬ editor export Cooperation ^ mediately present themselves— the voluntary method and the method of complete Government & is was V control. reduced was Superiority of Voluntary j not 9 points. Associates, With the repurchase your cost of the entire lot eocpressed time Investment of Whyte in this necessarily at any coincide with those of the Chronicle. They are presented qs those of the author only.] do likely to make appearance includes the to may referred to the Steel Industry. ;. ; views article only those items war¬ special consideration are ranting —Walter sounded like double talk. For can In¬ to in¬ necessary Thursday, have • how in group any This is that sure casual must from or dustry. made in selling, were the not ment excuses. sacrifice the on essential < back and advised readers that nation our produce that state of preparedness »■ not too little nor too late.» as¬ tasks 1 —and clearance be given the That essential. wisdom, a by itself, preparedness, conflict, you Steel Industry the is certain to result in lost companies buy. Every¬ by whom these men are now em¬ motion from overlapping of func¬ thing was lovely. The only I If from the above, you ployed. tions and get duplication of effort. questions left were what to the impression that I'm not Another essential is to establish a Finally, that a Screening Com¬ mittee be established to pass on buy. wildly enthusiastic about the single qualified group capable of the validity of the claims for % >is * spe¬ studying, screening, authenticat¬ cial help. market, you'll be right. Tech¬ ing and 3 certifying each claim¬ It was all very easy. In fact nical A reactions are nice ex¬ ant's study of those programs request, be it submitted it was so easy that I stepped which have already appeared and cuses. But I like profits, not through departments of Govern¬ those most their clients to enable another defense, individual of shall staffed by experienced personnel. mul¬ a of all programs, care state foreign and domestic. ; Second,' that the Division, be procedure that other programs are being given similar assistance.^- averages ket; forecasters of ... Anaconda, bought at 32 V2 had What must penetrated the ; closely has an old stop at 35 for half tiplicity of If broken, repurchase watched high points; the mar¬ a lot. cedures and The pro-; new the 22, energy Who today dares predict the de-v mands the Industry will face to--, morrow? v If, in God's First, that the Steel Division, operating under Public Law 395, be enlarged to a size adequate to that freight car currently secure from steel producers, on a voluntary basis, the steel needed to meet atomic gas; grams are authentic and Secretary of Com¬ merce, Mr. Charles Sawyer,'that the following steps be taken: ' procedure at performed, the builders Stop half at 61 and buy it back * * the and The Industry long since ex¬ pressed its complete willingness to attack this problem. It awaits no further word than that the voluntary method must be used. In recognition of this fact the In¬ dustry has already recommended to quali¬ Army, Navy Commission; freight proximate four million tons. If the task is to be talk, I know. But any¬ Bethlehem, bought at 31, dustry, the procedure by which body who's been in the mar¬ should have half of it stopped deserving programs may be ap¬ proved and activated.- It is under ket for any length of time will at 32. Caterpillar bought at this 55. ; mittee caused to be prepared and double know it's true. ' , conditions, there necessity for such legislation. no so the uses is estimated at some 13 mil-' iion tons annually. Hence the total foreseeable dislocation will ap¬ of Under present is of mately 17 million tons, to be. shipped during the next twelve¬ month period. Total tonnage cur¬ rently flowing to the same end; no willingness to action, and political ob¬ recesses. Averell oil cars; believe there is little like¬ it before the Congress servers In¬ needs projects, and housing.; The total tonnage required for the foregoing amounts to approxi-" signified take such Committee was by the then Secretary appointed the advice applying to which that there is nothing certain them appeared here about it. This sounds like May 13 still goes. mover, Steel our basis November 17, 1947 and, again, on Jan. 7, 1948. The Congress has as Industry's willing¬ cooperate. fying; and Maritime economy to a requires legisla¬ tion. This authority has been re¬ quested by President Truman on two separate occasions—first on controlled The Department of Commerce, was delegated to carry out the provisions of the Act, was in¬ to qualifying for help under the European Recovery Act; export to nations other than those To- return ♦ emergen¬ which exception dustry Advisory Secretary of State by the Secretary of No Need for Government Control immediate and constructive action. of the the Commerce. whiph affect our national economy. The Steel Industry took formed by and approved into cies back Thursday, June 10, 1948 Demand—A Continuing Struggle vs. flation in those fields where short¬ of Avco, which will be a slow anything certain about the market it is the fact United ness the CHRONICLE voluntary agreements with Indus¬ try for the purpose of curbing in¬ than the worse Supply authorized the re¬ ever. FINANCIAL (Continued from page 9) Anaconda, Avco, Bethle¬ action. But it can become hem, Caterpillar and Dresser, more than that. Stops, now, are still alright. They don't more & Steel (it applies to only half your lot) you buy it at 25 with a stop at 24. By WALTER WHYTE= = 15 about ZV2 was Tomorrow's Waller COMMERCIAL «.. ) As, i.i > t ex- V , , rff, . Volume 167 THE Number 4706 holders. creased to the point where it longer fair and reasonable, we are required to see that the rates charged to the public are Recently; a new preferred stockholders group was formed to attempt to effect is separate re¬ organization of Long Island Light¬ ing itself because of continual dif¬ a ficulties encountered in solidation. the com Retroactive Depreciation Prior to 1938, utilities in New York State uniform carry were based given by by such the on on property As reserves. these after accounts as reserves for depieciation, basis same charges to that equity it is unnecessary and v; undesirable that many cases costs, since a slavishly other many Public Service cision last Commission's in year * there is . of proof to estab¬ no service classifications and the ous rate blocks in each the The Commission the is just and one question . . is . before not alone is entitled company to increased revenues but whether the schedules new propose able; . . which just are and they reason¬ The Commission has . no alternative but to provide for tem¬ which will rates porary produce and give (the further opportunity of meeting the statutory burden of proof and, through our own staff, increased revenues company) make an analysis of the company costs to determine to what extent the alleged increases prove to be in how the increased (Re Lynn Gas & Electric to de¬ case lish that the proposed distribution of increased costs among the vari¬ eration addition the Brooklyn Borough Gas Company (Case 12994. Aug. 6, 1947): costs." in that ing quotation from the New York needed rates viewpoint involves the incentive or premium price plan. On June 30, 1947, the subsidy program de¬ veloped during the war came to ts end, and Congress passed s citations from that of the follow¬ factors must be taken into consid¬ In¬ thereafter, dif¬ some by actual experience and be raised." revenues ;■ should ,v-.- decided never existed. The Rhodesian and African tations of domestic production oi set this up lated the stated (Continued from page 12) tons. mines "Unearned Sur¬ account, value of ( only down of some Of amount, this : *, ;V ■ needs seems they the ■■■ me the ■>the * historic United to na¬ token, we to to The Com¬ notice of ap¬ peal, and it is hoped that the final adjudication will settle the matter the thai needs may be met, and it seems to me that there are two New York utility terfered with in the event of war, retroactive and for all. depreciation once . Other Commissions Are Different ^ Jn contrast to the situation of State Electric & Gas, companies in many other States have been permitted to fi¬ plant expenditures in ad¬ sometimes investing in nance vance, Government bonds until the funds * arc actually needed. For example, I Public Service of Indiana has re¬ cently completed financing its esti¬ mated requirements through 1950. It is of interest to note, furtherin >re, a half that less than a month and elapsed between the date of its last application for approval financing and the actual offer¬ ing of securities. of • The comments of the Massachu¬ setts Department of Public Utili¬ ties. in various during cases the Ipast year, are interesting to ex¬ amine: ' " (i)' "In general, except in so far certain rates may be basically unjust or inequitable, it is not the function of a regulatory Commis¬ as sion to substitute its ideas of rate ; structure for those of the ment. . Within certain manage¬ limits, of the decision of those most course, familiar must be with final, so local long conditions as the over- there still will remain supplies. In the place, there is the factor of the need for an adequate de¬ fense stock pile. While the Stock¬ piling Act of 1946 made provision for stock-piling under the direc¬ tion of the Army-Navy Munitions Board- whenever practicable in the light of the needs of American industry, the Board until recently done little lating such has been accorded to civilian use. It is entirely possible that ArmyNavy stock pile needs will receive priority attention for a consider¬ able period ahead. In addition to the sum of $200 million in appro¬ priations available for stock-piling needs previously provided, the President in April sent a message to the House calling for contract authorizations of $375 million ex¬ tra. The message expressly stated: "This contract authorization is re¬ quired permit the Bureau of Supply to enter into long for strategic and to critical materials (2) 1 D. P. U. 7709. July 25, 1949.) "This quired to ■ a see Department If re¬ that capital receives fair return, and no more, property. is that return on is its de¬ accumu¬ stock pile of copper. The needs of industry and for consumption generally have been so great, top priority, so to speak, Federal v pany. toward a company's prudent investment." (Re Springfield Gas Light Com- ; to second all net revenues do not represent more than a fair return on the • access available copper had term the contracts so as to increase available for stock¬ piling and other essential needs." Testimony before the House com¬ supply mittees indicates of 67 the that the to end • important factors which jus¬ tify comment in this particular. In the first place, our own se¬ curity demands that we take steps to conserve copper resources in our hemisphere so that in the event our shipping lanes are in¬ of effective are such military secrets, bu, procurement will have be doubted. of own buying program will be and how urgently it will become have There our the which is a very delicate adjustment involved in European supply as well as in continuity of the flow of copper that sive How exten¬ its impact upon- the available sup ply from foreign sources cannot problem future. anties to producers in the Belgian from imports copper available, ever sources import same sources States important meet the participating continue provided most continue tions.* By should to the facts the Commission's deter¬ mination of a $10,669,749 "short¬ has served au¬ guar¬ greater stabilization be assured in mission stock-piling Congo and Rhodesia. through which have been met, sources Gas & Electric case, the Appellate Division annulled on the law and in depreciation. our to unreasonable to the that In its decision in the Rochester age" that not even demands of than $43,- represents retroactive de¬ preciation arrived at by an engi¬ neer employed by the Commis¬ '• expect is point of long-term contract and it 000 000 sion. it thorities will enter the world mar¬ ket and seek copper from what¬ European $70,000,000 be taken. more anticipated in¬ copper historic write¬ a the In view of the limi¬ sources. equipment purchased through the Recovery Plan. These are the given recently on the condition that meet ern Commission approval of Niagara Hudson's proposal to consolidate was to crease common stock by a corresponding amount. It is interesting to note that its subsidiaries undoubtedly be stimu¬ can eign in consumption in Europe by furnishing their properties and transportations systems with mod¬ reducing its ing to subsidize the output of cop¬ per, lead and zinc, and that we cannot regard this plan as a as and other are necessary at the time of the plan's termina¬ tion, whenever it occurs, can be more readily and with less hardship in a period of high em¬ ployment and business activity, such as the present, than at any time. Consequently, to the making be this best adjustment." can : ; be a supplies, there serious shortage. Viewed Washington, the is tight—and it from copper situation be can tighter. foi postwar ' con¬ this time inevitable lead will price to reduce available made other import If all factors remain well. stant, if all production continues on schedule, at best there will be just about enough copper to go around. At worst, if some un¬ foreseen circumstances shall occur He the adjustments which seems the to increases of the domestic price per¬ manent part of .our economy. concluded: "It is clear -that changes in employment that News About Banks , The House Committee on Public Lands has brought out a measure And Bankers to provide for a Mine Incentive Payments Division in the Depart¬ ment (Continued from page 25) Interior, to handle the premium price plan for^ copper, lead, zinc and other metals. De¬ critical of the directors of board The of ' minerals Lincoln Rochester Trust Company has promoted Assistant Vic6-President Luke T. Smith to the office of Vice-Presi¬ of Rochester, N. Y., of the Roches¬ dent and Manager that strategic materials required for some and 90% critical the national It is > ter Trust Office. It is learned from Board advise stock pile are obtained from for¬ plus-Special" The President vetoed the tion of the tax from four cents sill last August saying that there, per pound to two cents per pound is no adequate reason for continu¬ affords no adequate answer in except those which the Munitions In the certainly in a deficit status, esti¬ mated at something over 820,000 an certain is possible, as cheaply as pos¬ sible, as soon as possible. Out¬ right repeal or a long-term sus-. pension of the excise tax on cop¬ per imports is essential. Reduc¬ additional 2-yeai an One much copper as as pay¬ ments would be made by the RFC of in providing import we plan. for strategic and Consolidated Edison, for example, the engineer employed by the " Commission estimated ^.'shortages" in depreciation ex¬ ceeding $160,000,000; the company case bill price. 39 is open to us, and that is course velopment and conservation in? property sizable that the Commission has amounts now which its financial stabil¬ assure to follow vestors prior to 1938 were led by Commission sanction to consider as dividend a rate schedule be designed accruals appears pay (4) ". in been made with the Com¬ mission's sanction. ■*'■. \ it the (Re New England Telephone Telegraph Company. D. P. U. 7750. July 24, 1947.) had Therefore, finance to & despite earlier of ity " be ap¬ surplus, that the absence is here as capital to would plied retroactively to reserves ac¬ prior to 1938, causing siz¬ able the meet to appear find (2559) posal which currently may enter the scene from the Washington ferences in the tenor of the above whether crued the fact The reader will reasonable. pany straight-line" basis. that the In present acquisition of the new plant necto give adequate service to the public. Such relief is neces¬ sary in order to enable the com¬ However, the Commission then in¬ sisted its essaiy companies were required thenceforth to make accruals on "age-life not CHRONICLE May 19, D. P. U. 7642. venture such and the the Company. sought, the petitioner will be handicapped, in our judgment, in seeking new reclas¬ were , . that do such relief reduced Jan. 1, of such are needs. those rate of return earnings reservations, sified revenues retirements accounting. Naturally, they charged the public we«-e 1933 tioner for of the rates ;\ FINANCIAL & 1947.) "Future needs of the peti¬ (3) the "retirement reserve" on method 1947.)' required, by the of accounts, to system reserves based ... no correspondingly increased. These propositions are firmly imbedded in the organic law of this coun¬ try." (Re Worcester Gas Light Company. D. P. U. 7643. May 29, ;-.v <t, COMMERCIAL the not are needed for stock-piling, and the program include exploration pay¬ would ments in addition to development and conservation payments. Pay¬ ments would not exceed $80 mil¬ lion per year under this program, designed to terminate on June 30. 1952. Proponents of the bill point out that when a mine able to func¬ possible that such factors to operate. and brass mill and wire and cable mill products for domestic re¬ quirements and foreign aid. It is quitp likely that these will create a supply-demand require may position whicn the expansion of a series of controls. Controls, how¬ designed so as to sufficiently flexible in- order must be ever, be to permit prompt variance to meet export conditions. It is quite prob¬ able that the current price for copper will hold firm in 1948. Copper buying programs by dol¬ lar-enriched countries must be cost of event of a before a mine can be dewatered, be properly shored ana equipped with hoists, shaft houses, compressors and other equipment. Thus, it is argued, it is good insur¬ ance for the government to keep such properties in productive Sta¬ tus. However, the discovery and development will of new bodies in exten¬ known to ore most sion likely occur already As is so often the veins of exist. case would not exceed 5 or 6% of our rals,", ' dustry would not benefit from the Domestic industry, whether as producers, .fabricators or consum¬ ers will unquestionably insist that "controls" are not required in this country. The evidence would seem to justify opposition to domestic plan am confident that Congress contemplates no reimposition of powers in this field. Foreign controls, through export licenses or through other devices, over the beneficiaries of Ameri¬ can economic aid well be ; may considered appropriate. Free and unlimited use of our own funds in the hands of such nations could easily lead to derangement of the price structure. It is my personal belief that unmindful our authorities are not of this phase of the problem and that the needs of the peoples of many nations simply , survive to are much more cogent than the possibilities of their con¬ stituting us. One an economic cannot help threat to pondering, however, what the results will be over a gram period of years if our pro¬ really succeeds. The only other legislative pro¬ much so ernment other do¬ case, in¬ would the gov¬ as itself if faced by emer¬ conditions, and in any such event, we might sadly need pro¬ from available. whatever source production of primary copper will greatly exceed 875,000 tons or that scrap be available in amounts much greater than 120,domestic Our continued 000 tons per year. trial his He the started as In fense. While there have been technical advances in exploration takes years and and discovery, it large capital to improve output. the amount of Labor conditions, water available, and many other factors enter into production and as : April, 1942, he went with the Federal of Bank Reserve Phila¬ bank examiner, and in October, 1945, was elected As¬ delphia as a sistant Trust Officer of the Union Trust Company 1947, he here. In January, elected Vice-Presi¬ was dent and Trust Officer of the bank. Edward N. Stanley, 89 years of dean of bankers in New Britain, Conn, died on June 2. In age, a sketch of his career the Hartford "Courant" of June 3, said in part: "Since Mr. 1937, Stanley had been Chairman of the board of the Savings Bank of New Britain and until year ago, when he was ill, he had been active in banking institution which he rejoined in 1907 as Treasurer, a taken the "He began years his banking career 70 ago as a runner and office with the Savings Bank «f Britain left and there two later to become a book¬ keeper and later a discount clerk years at the New Britain National Bank He then made Cashier, hold¬ was ing that post for 12 years before repoining the Savings Bank as its Treasurer on March 1, 1907. In 1922, he became the bank's Presi¬ dent, holding that post until 1937 when he elevated to the board was as * * Thomas of The nounced C. Bank on the * Boushall, President Virginia, of bid offices in Norfolk, for the erection the building of The Bank ginia Charlotte at an¬ June 5 that Doyle and Russell, with won Noah Lucas be¬ President. increased because of possible ex¬ stock-piling needs of national de¬ in head now in October, 1927. He appointed Assistant Trust Of¬ was came the messenger a President, enough be certainly through as¬ about ficer Tn 1936. front will likely and duties will he bank Chairmanship port and 1. July the indus¬ deficit 3 the succeeds new on foreseeable June Addition Harry L. New no of Journal Mclninch "Mr. • , summary, respective in¬ which added: clerk - expert in gov¬ ernment or in industry with whom I have talked expects a slackening in the demand for copper for years to come. None expects that our In Hills¬ June 3 advices in the on "Providence gency duction the Savings Bank, of Manchester, N. H., at a stitutions on highly controverted matters of policy, there are arguments both ways on the subsidy plan. It seems to be the fact, so far as copper is concerned, that possible yield annual production from mestic sources. In any I of County meeting of the board of directors national emergency not safeguarded in order to forestall a recurrence of world price spi¬ controls and Co., Vice-President sumes enormous years certainty the order of magnitude and demand se¬ quence in 1948 for copper, copper Trust borough late The the of Providence, R. I., was elected President of the Merchants National Bank and timbered. cease of Officer Trust and Union It may be kept in a stand-by condition or allowed to deteriorate completely. If it be kept in a stand-by status, the mine -must be pumped and may forecast with Ralph A. Mclninch, Vice-Presi¬ dent and trustees of the subsidy, the mine a V * * prices without report in its Domestic Trade Digest: "It is too early to to 1 of " :.v-; ■' " 1 * both only could not be borne by the particular owner but, as a practi¬ cal fact, it might be a matter of merce 1. tion under the premium price pro¬ gram cannot compete at present dewatering various mines in the actuated the Department of Com¬ "Times-Union" Rochester June and of of Vir¬ Boush Streets. Erection is to as rapidly cupancy as gp forward possible and oc¬ is expected late in 1949. 40 COMMERCIAL THE (2560) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE — Thursday, June 10/1948 next six to twelve Investment Trends hear about (Continued from page 4) the interest and attention of any typical investor. I find that among ten operating companies those there and had their creased rate five that between 1939 were 1947 either slightly in¬ per-share dividend had held it at least or But there the ten dividend than it were in also which rate was five the of out per-share lower in 1947 For the in 1939. was even. en¬ tire ten companies, the average of dividend changes amounted these to a decline of 6% in the per-share dividends paid in 1947 over 1939. Now, if you take into account the fact that the persons who dividends these received were subject to the same change in the value of money as I have men¬ tioned previously, we find that in real value the stockholder in those operating companies to 50% was from 40 off in 1947 than he worse in 1939, although the actual number of dollars paid out in dividends, the nominal dollars, had not changed except to the ex¬ tent of 6%. The purchasing was power It is changed. was to in stocks common Well, if - practice in invest¬ refer to utility common circles ment r this manner: want a good steady you income, utilities are all right. Buy a good utility common stock for a steady income. You don't have to worry about income; they will keep on paying a dividend. That is fully true. I don't question it in the least. But there has not been been any stability in the purchas¬ of the dividend, and ing power hence the real value dend has lacked of the divi¬ this element of steadiness which is supposed to be fundamental to the utility com¬ mon stock. r. / That be all right for the past but it is not all right for the future. It is not all right when a utility undertakes to raise new equity money and goes out to the may stockholder the or in¬ prudent vestor today and tries to make an ■appeal to that investor to put new capital into a stock offering, be¬ cause that prudent investor has a right to ask some very penetrat¬ ing questions. He has a right to know whether ■« the in company question is interested in trying to give him a dividend over a period of years that will have stability, not only in the nominal sense but in the chasing The , sense of the real pur¬ power. time has believe, by the equity route. There are which severaal concepts and stand in the way of accepting this point of view, and one is the fact that for years now leaders in the utility industry have been pointing with pride, justifiably ord of this to lower and to the splendid so, rec¬ industry in being able the period of three or four years. I hear about all of the things that are being done bordering on a miracle of in¬ creased facilities for power of all kinds. But/' says the prudent in¬ gram over vestor show a "will you , please what extent all this today, to me expansion benefits me as a com¬ mon stockholder in an electric light and power dividend, but stable only in nomi¬ nal dollars, not in the purchasing power of the dollar. That is no longer enough to attract equity capital in adequate amounts in the utility field. ; ■/ ■ Who does get the benefit of this As great expansion of facilities? far fit, investor the as the I of the power. consumer has stockholder The see, can gets the bene¬ consumer had not an equitable share of the benefits of expansion period in the utility industry, and therefore the stockholder is ready to issue a kind this great unit price^ bf the product at a time when all other prices were going up; I say it has been a fine believe I that that because I believe that one be and faced be must from the that has prevailed during the different a answer last few years. Let us consider what //;///\///\ the question, the stockholder to expect to count on? What is fair for ought him to seek the future in order to feel that in utility equity attracts him if he is going to put a new capital for that utility? First, he ought to see a prospect up not only of a stable dvidend but increasing dividend to com¬ pensate for the risk of the chang¬ ing value of money. of- an , Second, he ought to see earn¬ ings sufficient in a utility so that the coverage of his dividend is a generous coverage and gives him confidence in the that dividend. continuity ■'/// of \ Now, the kind of earnings cov¬ erage that he has, has got to bear some relation to the earnings pro¬ tection that is found in other lines of industry.1 For instance, in manufacturing industries gener¬ ally today, the corporation is pay¬ ing out about 45% of earnings, but in many of the leading operat¬ the pay-out is 75 to 80% of earn¬ ings, and in than that tf.-ra higher cases some ^ S:///- //■•■;'// Now, the utility which seeks to new capital in the equity raise market is in competition with all these other lines of business, a of eration at of time when the value a has money been changing, industry brought affairs has us am criticizing the not way has Well, might one this bad when the generous than that which applies in a typical operating utility com¬ pany. And it is meet that very difficult to competitive situation unless the utility is permitted to earn more money so that the pro¬ behind the procession improvement is utility industry stop pointing with pride to this deflationary trend in the price of its product. The can on no that service come when the industry longer afford to operate basis, render the right to its customers and do justice and play fair with the in¬ vestors who put up the capital for the business. " , In other words, a change of at¬ titude has got to come with in the industry itself on this question of the price trend of the product of the industry. . To put this in a slightly dif¬ ferent way, I find among investors today a tendency to challenge the right of the utility industry to ask for new equity the investor will capital say, ■ because "This is jppriod of wonderful expansion. a I because I technologi¬ going to be sufficient to solve the problem for great a of many companies. the is more / I say that is what the stock¬ holder is entitled to ask for, that is what he is entitled to get, that is what he should receive, if an appeal is going to be made to him to put up large quantities of new equity capital.-' '•'/• -,, ■;.■■■, ;; ■! i;• Now/as against this I find many people are blaming the small amount of new equity financing on various scapegoats, of which the principal one is taxation. It is be attack an sole beneficiary of this great riod of light and // . tem, and the other faults with the tax sys¬ utilities can't raise equity capital because taxes are wrong. Well, I will happily join with any group who want to criti¬ cize the tax system. There is a lot of (truth hi blapiiqg the ^short¬ has to it. • been in trying balance," and violated to to where get back , if Now, the utility tive, I should be that others would companies much afraid very outside the industry criticize them and perhaps try to force such a lead on I noticed over last even operating /-'•/://;:,/ stop it, cut prices rather than in¬ with crease which the wages, fight line. But one inflation, hold leading auto¬ mobile company broke away from that pattern. It created a situa¬ suppose . more an industry, applica¬ increases, the feeling that "'one of the New to be faced and if it the a economic common is to protection to stock is entitled appeal to the prudent we must have in investor, and mind only not our ability to sell the stock but to keep it sold and to keep it sold to dent investor. to the a And satisfied, we have pru¬ come point in this great post-war period , rate increases are in order to give the investor the protection where I entertained, and believe it is fairly fair to say that if there is going to be a third equity which he needs if he is to put up. something rather dangerous in public relations if a round of wage increases following substantially the pattern now in the company goes to the Public Serv¬ ice Commission and explains the well-balanced financial position.*;; it necessitates the first round of rate reluctance tion for rate that there to make is why needs better always be is a smear public and people into that. I There can third industry, that the of round are campaign relations — problem timid about getting ' The industry absorbed the first round of wage increases and the second round of wage in¬ creases think utility took and it very Summer attitude one on the right now, in of 1948, going important transi¬ are rate question to of boldness and initiative and leadership think we on are transition 4, we Now,.ap the rate question. I in the middle of that now. we move, along .oyer, in stride efficiencies, growth and expansion of automobile absorbed industry, by the by by Diamond, Turk Co. Admits * Diamond, Turk & Co., 30 Pine Street, New York City, members of the New York Curb have the in of the those Detroit cannot / now be . are Thaler to ' (Special to The Financial Chronicle; * •" WILMINGTON, N. C.—Charles J. Bekaert is with Allen C. Ewing & Co., Murchison Building. - of estab¬ With Amos Sudler & Co, ; (Special to The Financial DENVER. COLO. — Chronicle) George S. will Casey is with Amos C. Sudler & pressure Co., First National* Banks Building. area, sppqd, PP apd ,.put great r Joins Allen C. Ewing & Co. utility industry assuming that they nature Exchange^ admitted Harry J. partnership, So the third round of wage in¬ creases, capital and to keep the industry in a sound and new utility revenues under present rates. lished tjie by necessary .increases wage counterattack—propa¬ increases for the utility industry. a ganda attack, it rates. automobile through a very tion from the timid and reluctant various it will be will¬ one part weekend „ There found his The ;• telephone the are do maintain that ing capital. what is in effect double taxation. are ing to taken quite a if it is to be similar in scope to the precedent now established in the that ciding that each management. I think that surtax from saving dustry just becoming conscious of the problem of balance and de¬ tion with rate structure and rais¬ equity capital. It is said that cor¬ porate earnings are- subject to individual be changed—not got to themselves don't take that initia¬ —they absorbed the first and the second rounds, but the third one, the has industry. ' r thing that has to hap¬ pen is a new kind of emphasis, that is, on the positive side; the emphasis has got to be in connec¬ power The next far or become very wide¬ spread up to the present time. But that that in any revolutionary way, but in the sense of leaders in this in¬ pe¬ expansion in the electric light and power industry and the price level, price structure, throughout all the rest of the economy. And of power should be the consumer economies, rates prevent people rate structure in the electric the idea that the on that explains why this movement has not 1 progressed said dustry the balance is being rather seriously challenged at the present time by the discrepancy between a tion that leaves us today in a very obviously uncertain frame of mind—the pos¬ there is another reason why this sibility of a third round of wage movement has not taken on a any increases, bigger/round than great force just yet, and that is seemed at all necessary, now has Now, I the dividend serves .. the present time. the it industry has York papers carried a statement— strong lead in* the this was a quotation from one of of an active trend toward a dif¬ development of this type of think¬ the SEC Commissioners—I assume The basis of application in this was correctly reported; I ferent style of rate adjustment?" ing. the telephone industry for rate in¬ haven't verified it; but the CormI think there are : several creases during the past missioner is reported to have said!, year has reasons why it hasn't happened very largely been the necessity of "The only reason investors did thus far. One of these reasons is such rate adjustments for pur¬ not take more common stock of because up to this point the econ¬ utilities in 1947 is that more was poses of capital raising. omies that management has ' ■ Now, the introduction of this not offered." *4 brought about in operation and new idea, this new logic, requires Now, it is possible that that is the growth factor, the expansion a great deal of imaginative and not merely an invidious remark. of revenues, have tended pretty creative thinking. I think that it It is possible that that carries a well to absorb the higher operat¬ is on the way in the electric light lot of implications that would be ing costs, higher labor costs, and power field, and I think the well worth exploring. I can well higher coal costs, and so on. So precedent that has been estab¬ imagine that more utility equities jiar these have been absorbed, but lished, the trail that has been could be 'Sold if more were being we are about at the end of that blazed by the telephone industry, offered, but I am not at all sure rope. Moreover, a great many is it would be a good thing to sell very important and will have a managements have been very re¬ very considerable effect on the more utility equities today be¬ luctant to make any move as yet mental processes employed in this cause I think that the investor has because they have counted on the industry. got to be considered not only as a technological improvements in the Now, if there was doubt about source of money but as a source new capacity that was installed to this, if there was some legitimate of good will. Of what avail is keep lowering their costs and reason for saying, "Oh, well, don't it to put over a deal, to say yes, keep them one jump ahead of the we get excited about this. After all, put out a hundred thousand inflationary trends that were al¬ this will get straightened out," I shares of common stock, we got ways worrying them on the cost think/ that v doubt was rudely away with it—then a year or two side. •:.v'-v brushed aside last week when one or three years later find that the Now, I pay a great respect to of the leading automobile com¬ people who bought that common the technological improvement in panies sort of shook the world stock are not happy with the deal the new capacity, but I think the with its wage deal, its wage set¬ they made? people who have been depending tlement. Up to that point a con¬ Now, I say that if we are going on that to save them from a siderable amount of very con¬ to try to sell more common stock wholly different attitude toward structive work had been done in in the utility field, we must do rate structure are going to be the electric equipment field and all within our power to make sure gravely disappointed. I think they the steel industry to hold the line that that stock has been sur¬ are going to find that they are on wages this year—no increase, rounded with proper safeguards, the natural inertia of in which the "Why started? Why hasn't it started more ob¬ viously, more aggressively? Why can't we see signs more generally tection- of better time has say movement thoroughly assured than it is at way point has been made in the past. But I say I think the time has come juncture of a in any has great, so to something has to And I say the rate to give way, way,. hasn't been now where accomplish¬ ment, and I at time when the expansion of the a cal more where regulation, and I believe kind of influence that accumulates that philosophy in op¬ at certain times—there has got to rate and; is under heaven has reached that with don't believe that this dividend number of a harmful where the earnings coverage over above would find a point negative and has the equity capital available, purpose in getting the but it is a question of whether utility industry to take a realistic be wants to put it in this partic¬ and constructive approach to the ular type of equity. It is a ques¬ rate problem of today and to mor¬ tion of the quality of the equity row. The second thing is that it is that is being offered. And I be¬ lieve that the shortcomings of the necessary to make an attack upon equity in the utility field today a school of thought that has more or less power in this country, some are due to the heritage of the last 10 years or more in the philosophy of the political power, some of the problem here is not merely question of whether the investor give must con¬ the structure sion is utility field would be with us and would be just about as acute as it is now even if the tax question were pretty fully taken care of and pretty fully solved. j ; of given alibi tax siderably overplayed, and I think the difficulty and problem of raising new equity capital in the new challenge that if he is to put up equity capital, the question of equitable sharing in the benefit of future growth and future expan¬ bad taxes, on but in the present state of affairs I say got to have some pretty definite sign that he gets a bene-r fit. Well, he has the benefit of the time-honored axiom, a stable think the of equity capital age company." He has ing companies in the utility field, I come, when this will prove to be a vital factor in the raising of new capital ideas Affecting Utilities six billion dollar pro¬ a months, I think on the trend toward a new and things dynamic theofy of rate adjustment developing which confirm this in the electric light and power in¬ new trend in the rate structure, dustry. and I shall mention just a few of Well, let me make very clear these things that I think I see in that I am not advocating this af¬ the offing. ternoon any reckless scramble for First, I think that management rate increases, and I certainly itself is going to change the whole don't want to suggest at all that public relations approach on this the electric light and power in¬ question of the trend of the price dustry should go out and add to of electrical energy; this boasting all the inflationary pressures that about the down-trend in the price exist—not at all—but there is of power as against the up-trend strong need to keep a great many in the price.+ of everything else things in balance, and in this in¬ we Volume 167 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4706 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & (2561) Indications of Current Business The following are Activity production and other figures for the latest week or month available (dates either for the week or month ended on that date, or, in cases of quotations, are as of that date) : statistical tabulations shown in first column #1 cover Latest AMERICAN Indicated steel Month Year Latest Previous Year Week Ago Ago Month Month Ago June 13 Equivalent to— and castings produced (net tons) Bteel ingots 1,732,200 AMERICAN ZINC INSTITUTE, INC.—Month 96.9 94.3 96.0 96.1 June 13 (percent of capacity) operations Previous Week INSTITUTE: STEEL AND IRON Slab 1,695,700 1,699,700. 1,730,400 zinc of smelter • Crude INSTITUTE: PETROLEUM Stock (bbls. of 42 gallons each) — Crude runs to stills—daily average (bbls.) Gasoline output (bbls.) , oil May May May May May output—daily average . „ Kerosine ' Gas oil ;> oil Residual fuel oil (bbls.) 5,570,000 14,956,000 BUILDING (bbls.) 2,144,000 2,129,000 2,236,000 2,066,000 ATION 7,106,000 6,932,000 5,774,000 —U. 9,508,000 9,284,000 9,343,000 8,953,000 107,185,000 106,934,000 111,632,000 95,326,000 15,250,000 13,394,000 12,509,000 May 29 38,641,000 14,885,000 37,333,000 55,146,000 54,452,000 . All at AMERICAN OF 45,550,000 CONSTRUCTION, ■7V '"RECORD: Total ' U. Public construction S. Private ./•; . • ENGINEERING ,• NEWS- 879,158 891,638 A. t^A' fo':.;,t v; 710,489 residential 698,067 722,781 689,318 Total U. '"A' 3 $135,055,000 3 June (U. S. BUREAU OF Beehive coke " 91,229,000 99,513,000 48,691,000 48,970,000 64,626,000 72,107,000 COKE 3 43,826,000 90,390,000 3 37,338,000 70,636,000 41,353,000 39,297,000 Oven 3 6,488,000 19,754,000 23,273,000 32,810,000 Beehive SALES May 29 13,815,000 *13,720,000 1,198,000 1,183,000 13,870,000 1,128,000 11,996,000 May 29 May 29 r-, RESERVE INDEX—FEDERAL AVERAGE=1<)0 138,100 *148,200 91,300 (net *5,976,748 5,652,540 5,820,509 4,490,766 246,146 *324,208 437,739 (net tons) 646,281 715,527 651,671 4,736,912 ' ; tons) (net FAMILIES 295 296 May 29 300 ■ 15: 169.3 V>A, A, products Eggs 4,635,218 ; , FAILURES (COMMERCIAL STREET, . INDUSTRIAL)—DUN AND INC. : & . BRAD- June —: A/.A' / ' ; AGE. COMPOSITE AA 112 91 108 June 1 Scrap steel Electrolytic (E. M. & S. 21.200c 21.200c 21.800c 21.450c:: June ... 21.425c 21.425c 23.000c Stocks 94.000c 94.000c 80.000c June 17.500c 17.500c 17.500c 17.300c 17.300c 17.300C 12.000c 12.000c 12.000C Crude 10.500C Cake *. 8 113.31 101.56 104.34 112.56 116.80 118.00 118.20 ;.v 100.88 113.31 101.50 8 .Tune , S. 117.60 122.29 Shipped 120.22 115.82 116.02 112.56 111.81 116.41 106.92 106.92 105.69 109.24 June 8 108.70 108.70 107.62 111.44 114.27 114.27 113.89 118.60 Shipped 8 Group 117.20 117.00 116.22 •<>V 112.56 ; V Stocks (tons) —June 8 June 8 June Bonds. -Z 2.39 8 ; ;• A-/,:'2.39 i 3.03 2.75 . '< ,V- ■ 2.84 2.85 2.86 8 3.03 3.03 —June 8 June 8 3.34 3.41 3.34 ' . ' Group— Utilities 3.24 June . — Group 8 2.94 8 2.79 —.——June £ * * j ■426,8 8 3.09 2.72 Stocks 2.61 Produced ft 2.84 ] 2.80 ;.y; t 426.4 ; . - V V It * 267.6 265.9 f 236.4 ' June June S Textiles.— Metals : —a— —— Building materials— Chemicals and drugs 266.6 1 materials.—<.—; 240.4 257.1 259.2 All groups 175.2 158.4 ,,h..213.7 214.2 213.5 216.4 ? 165.2 165.2 M . 229.9 134.2 t ft Orders ; 155.6 136.3 124.2 < , (tons) Percentage of 139.4 139.4 : 223.3 • 219.9 PAINT OIL, ; .... (tons) May 29 fl i / 352,013 .June ————L— 4 146.9 147.2 I 102 f ;• #i WHOLESALE PRICES—U. 98 511,918 ';tt 146.7 > .May 29 Hides and leather products...———.— —..— 163.5 193.0 .May 29 .May 29 products——_ 164.4 .May 29 commodities Farm 178© f Building materials. Chemicals and allied 187.6, ... materials Manufactured figure. 133.8 133.7 156.6 156.6 •ft 132.6 138.5 '104.1 157.2 196,6 195.2 178.0 135.6 133.7 126.4 144.7 144.7 144.4 121.0 121.4 121.3 , " ': 134.8 , A 116-1 — May 29 180.8 176.8 178.6 161.1 May 29 152.6 152.5 153.7 143.1 May 29 ^ 159.1 158.7 157.9 142.5 May 29 158.1 157.8 157.2 140.7 148.7 132.3 May 29 149.3 v 308 *303 291 297 *287 280 1935-39 Average=l«0) May: v variation—™ adjustment (E. & M. J. ,r — QUOTATIONS)— month of May: ■ , , , 22.105c 21.534c 17.212c 17.300C 17.012c 14.800c 74.625c 72.512c ' York (per ; 21.200c 21.554c ; 21.200c 17.500c domestic refinery— export refinery—— pound)— : v! / 23.591c 15.000c — London per ounce) (Checks) pound)— ' — 45.000 44.143 $4.02738 $4.02614 $4.02500 - Straits York 74.625c 45.000 (pence Exchange, 93.500C 80.000c 94.000c 94.000c : York,. Chinese or 99%—,——. — Gold (per ounce U. S. price)—; ——— Quicksilver (per flask of 76 pounds)—, llAntimony (per pound) (E. & M. J.) — Antimony (per pound) bulk, Laredo— Antimony (per pound), in cases, Laredo Antimony (per pound), Chinese, Spot Platinum, refined, per ounce ' tCadmium (per pound)i—i——;—— XCadmium (per pound)—, ——— SCadmium (per pound)——, — Aluminum, 99% plus, ingot (per pound) " 93.500c , *, 78.900e $35,000 $35,000 t>35.00© $74,160 $75,462 $84,462 36.120C 36.722c 35.940c 33.560 33.000c 33.000c 34.060C 33.500c 33.500c Nominal Nominal $98,000 $92,923 $59,260 $1,750 $1,750 $1,775 $1,775 $1,775 $1,800 $1,800 $1,800 15.000c 15.000c 15.000c 20.500c 20.500c 20.500c 12.000c 10.500c 9,223 9,346 9,803 $728,968,958 ingot (per pound)—pound)—East St. Louis —„ Magnesium, Zinc (per NEW INCORPORATIONS—DUN & Of April-—. BUSINESS BRADSTREET, INC.—Month 149.2 -• EARNINGS—CLASS RR. OF Total AMER. RRS.) operating — I ROADS Month of $776,616,109 618,759,345 $690,334,954 585,625,470 80.34 79.67 78.74 $75,356,189 $82,163,688 $72,741,743 53,104,072 27,100,000 60,724,331 59,459,540 35,200,000 35,600,000 Nominal : $1,750 12.000c (ASSOC. April: revenues—— Total operating expenses Operating ratio—per cent-.———_— " —— 24,089 (FEDERAL RE¬ 129.5 196.9 36,039 29,379 142.3 . .May 29 products— All commodities other than farm products and foods All commodities other than farm •Revised —-—-— 38,866 33,746 166.5 148.1 " articles products— 147.4 . .May 29 -- . Semi-manufactured 162.6 r 186.9 188.0 149.5 .May 29 A'/" A A.; v • / »; 143.6 .May 29 .—— products goods..——i— commodities.. Bpecial groups— Raw ; 188.6 . .May 29 ; Housefurnishings Miscellaneous 144.6 A; ; 178.4 ■'■tA-A 161.6 177.2 .May 29 materials— — products ——-— and lighting Metal and metal x 177.5 189.2 : .May 29 Fuel !• S. DEPT. OF LABOR—1926=100: '"'■Y' 13,680 41,748 r.:—— 30-. SALES seasonal for Sterling 177,998 ; 397,407 , "J .. to Apr. 1 30 20,.000 18;515 — 1 to Apr. •. Tin 181,398 -* 192,731 V 100 ^ 363,959 PRICE* INDEX—1926-36 AVERAGE—100 All 16,518 17,611 (per pound)— Silver, 196.7 201,340 , 189,359 100 May 29 REPORTER 170,701 i 191,650 May 29 — —-—■— at. DRUG AND 180,297 17,758 15,455 —— :—^_ Silver and Sterling Exchange— Silver, New York (per ounce) —•• 125.3. 138.9 224.0 —.—May 29 15,867 bales)— (500-lb. etc. New « activity. Unfilled orders for Louis St. 134.6 143.7 143.8 143.8, 650 713 466 STORE of iper New 154.7 136.1 .- Lead ASSOCIATION: ' (tons)...— Production 842,995 16,683 Electrolytic, 187.2 232.2 158.6 June combined PAPERBOARD received 911,741 1,019,293 30————— Electrolytic, 150.6 163.5 .. 232.9 - 158.6 ?. * *4 f New NATIONAL 161,285 1,100,834 — Apr. 1 to Apr. 30 Aug. PRICES Copper 172.2 177.2 228.6 t June — 103,800 149,342 1,166,425 1,096,827 —-—— to SYSTEM Average ' 228.6 175.5 ' machinery Farm METAL 259.2 ,231.4 June June — 646,080 • 227.6 ' June —— ' Fertilizer bales) 1 seasonal Without 347.7 349.4 263.4 June June —June commodities Miscellaneous 666,024 785,822 245.4 358.5 ; Livestock Fuels i—.— 43,100 793,114 833,192 30— 30 Apr. Adjusted 214.6 254.9 - , 216.3 290.7 238.0 279.2 ' \ 266.1 I Apr. to 30 grabbots, Motes, DEPARTMENT -.'if 357.5 5 45,860 42,084 839,468 —— 398.3 415.0 , • 238.8 '7 v ''285.4 June products J : June Fats and oils .* 1,252,316 1,156,773 ' Aug. —Month June Farm 1,630,288 1,591,169 to Apr. 30— 1 1 to Apr. 30 to Apr. 30— 1 Shipped Aug. 3.21 f 2.96 ? COMMOD¬ : Foods 4T to Apr.. 30 1 127,171 86,060 92,080 1,725,662 1,680,523 30_—— bales— (500-lb. Apr. Produced *' 2.83 ' c Stocks 2.64 SERVE t 804,679,000 GROUPS—1935-39—100; BY INDEX ITY ASSOCIATION—WHOLESALE FERTILIZER NATIONAL 211,855,000 933,610,000 30 Aug. 1 Shipped Aug. INDEXt^AAiAA-AA..— MOODY'S COMMODITY 182,206,000 1,024,431,000 ————— to Apr. 1 30 Aug. 3.30 ' 3.24 2.94 June i Group. Aug. Aug. Aug. Fiber Hull 2.54 3.07 - 2.81 •;« 2.77 8 June Industrials 887,523,000 ' 2.74 June Public 48,039,000 890,605,000 168,750,000 30 Aug. (tons) Apr. Shipped x.-'./. 2.21 2.44 ,;-vfvW- 7';2.99 2.99 v.. •' —. 87,096,000 1,149,107,000 1,066,578,000 30— 1 to Apr. 30 Aug. Apr. (tons) Produced . ._ 58,472,000 1,156,619,000 1,089,080,000 i to Apr. Hulls— Llnters—running — Railroad 139.2 120.84 corporate Baa 146.2 COM¬ OF Aug. 1 to Apr. 30 Apr. (tons) Produced 8 Group Aa i 182.5 147.8 Apr. 30— (tons) 116.22 8 —June z- 194.9 — PRODUCTS—DEPT. (tons) 8 Group Govt. 1434 194.7 — I (pounds) Produced Stocks U. 92.5 166.0 —— Meal— and Stocks MOODY'S BOND YIELD DAILY AVERAGES: Average 93.8 w (pounds) 8 Baa X Aaa ice — (pounds) June Utilities 1184 93.9 Oil— Stocks -June Public and (pounds) Apr. 30 (pounds) Aug. 1 Shipped DAILY AVERAGES: _.June Industrials 130.3 Oil- Refined _ Aa Railroad 109.© 130.7 14.800c June at Bonds corporate 1844 116.3 —_ Produced 15.000c 103.000c June at BOND PRICES Govt. 179.3 196.3 — — : SEED 21.200c 8 U. Average 227.4 166.7 Ice electricity fuels \ Produced MOODY'S and Miscellaneous ■ June (East St. Louis) 191.7 174.4 MERCE— at (St. Louis) Zinc 1.—.—— Housefurnishings $31.17 $40.42 and Other COTTON 'A v-,A''AAf,: i at Export refinery at (New York) Lead (New York) at Gas 8 $40.66 $40.66 1 electricity Fuel, $33.15 QUOTATIONS): AA;' 189.5 191.4 19C.4 2.85664c ( $40.11 ..$40.53 $40.53 1 "3.24473c *3.24473c 3.24473c 1 June Btraits tin f Lead J. ^r.fAA copper— Domestic reiinery f June (per gross ton) METAL PRICES »: June — 204.4 173.6 — 66 PRICES: Z Finished steel (per lb.) f: Pig iron (per gross ton) 200.4 204.4 —— a — 176.3 206.9 -.*116.3 A:Af. 3 - IRON 178J9 186.3 217.4 :——— sweets and Sugar 202.6 201.1 184.7 oils and Fats 153,& 224.7 — vegetables A. Beverages v AAA •' AAA* AA AA aaaA'A' ; — and 188© 171.0 205.8 — . 156.2 202.3 171.0 233.8 bakery products J 66.9 207.9 — — and 250 - 5,087,264 April foods Dairy 5,076,025 4,845,458 5 CITIES LARGE IN of 5,382,83© FOR MODERATE t. \ 159,373,000 — tons) 1935-1939=100—As SYS- ..June ■. 223,644,000 64,522,000 — - PRICE INDEX Fruits _ $535,184,000 247,018,000 288,160,000 i (net tons) INCOME 835,000 ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: ;L: 72,642,00© JA.-a- t Municipal coke Cereals — ^ Electric output (in 000 kwh.) 232,015,00© 114,886,000 —- 124,500 • EDISON 282,328,00© 385,891,000 271,005,000 Month of — , coke CONSUMERS . STORE TEM—1935-3«j $514,343,000 391,268,000 64,924,00© CONSTRUCTION—EN¬ - Production All DEPARTMENT $777,159,000 111,004,06© (BUREAU OF MINES)—Month of April: June (tons) 207,987,000 81,406,000 $121,077,000 MINES): Bituminous coal and lignite (tons) Pennsylvania anthracite (tons) i f $384,815,000 212,728,000 141,188,000 60,423,000 221,840,000 1 Oven coke stocks at end of month OUTPUT $414,339,000 S. construction and June i municipal Federal COAL $627,942,000 ' of ._ construction Federal $113,317,000 U. — construction State V $189,903,000 THE OF LABOR —Month alterations, etc. S. Private June and 51,418 : ENGINEERING A June : construction 71,691 May: 830,205 * construction State AREAS OF non-residential Public ENGINEERING 71,018 VALU¬ PERMIT GINEERING NEWS RECORD 904,848 ._May"2g May 29 of cars) 166,86* (tons) — period construction building Additions, RAILROADS: Revenue freight loaded (number of cars) Revenue freight rec'd from connections (number CIVIL URBAN DEPT. New 34,120,000 35,224,000 50,829,000 IN S. New CIVIL ASSOCIATION 70,803 42,910 : — March: May 29 at of 72,649 43,934 324,696,000 end at 71,718 .... (tons) CONSTRUCTION 7,054,000 29 pipe lines— — lbs.) 2,000 5,034,000 16,681,000 29 May 29 — distillate fuel oil and 5,587,000 17,248,000 orders May 29 (bbls.) (bbls.) Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and ip Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at Kerosine (bbls.) at Gas 5,715,000 17,827,000 Unfilled May 29 output (bbls.) distillate fuel oil output and Residual fuel oil output 5,024,350 5.413,450 5,439,200 5,451,650 29 29 29 73,97© 70,330 72,742 (tons of end of period at (tons grades all output, lbs.) 2,000 Shipments AMERICAN of May: T&X6S Net Net ' — — Income railway operating income after charges before charges (est.)—— 543,564,82© tBased on the producers' quotation. fBased on the average of the producers' and platers' quotations. SBased on platers' quotations. ^Domestic, five tons or more but less than carload lot, packed in cases, f. o. b. New York. *Revised figure. 42 THE (2562) COMMERCIAL Rearmament Program and sary likely that the principal effects of ances with the Reserve Banks, the rearmament program, for the wh.ch in recent weeks have variea near term, will be more largely between about $1.1 billion and a result of the programs effects $1.6 billion. When the Treasury on public psycnology than of balances in the Reserve Banks tangible effects on the production are drawn upon to meet govern¬ and distribution of goods. For ex¬ ment expenditures, the result will ample, a number of people appear have to been curtailment duction is in have used believe that to automobile pro¬ early prospect be¬ of the rearmament program, cause and led of rushed to buy new or anticipation of later sort of spending may result in a more rapid ex¬ pansion in instalment credit than otherwise may sumers' durable goods will not be materially affected, so that there need be no rush to buy, or if sup¬ plies of such goods actually are reduced substantially. stimulation any or But, again, dampening of the demand for instalment credit is not likely to be of such magni¬ tude as to be a very important factor in the money market. Fur¬ thermore, the income tax reduc¬ tion should, to duce extent, some the need for other credit. consumer / re¬ types of ■ In the field of state and munici- pa1 borrowing, also, it seems likely that the rearmament un¬ pro¬ gram will have material effects in the near future, the only question being whether the program will later be expanded to such an extent that possible projects must j post-] be for the Federal bility of importance some of funds available on was the money interest rates—that be the to that funds, bank of so be absorbed credit. of only in facilitated rise in as to * the interest if . were indefnitely at current lev¬ it is ' highly questionable whether it would be possible for the Reserve System to carry out an effective credit policy. No has yet been found to restrict the availability of credit in a pe¬ way riod active of without demand making it somewhat more ex¬ pensive, Qn the other hand, if the Reserve System should press greatly changed budgetary situa¬ tion outlined by Secretary Wig¬ gins, there is little prospect ,of carrying forward the TreasuryFederal Reserve program of the past two years, which has been based largely on the use of sur¬ plus cash receipts of the Treasury for its sible se¬ to achieve regardless of the necessary purposes, on security prices and it would become impos¬ yields, for the Treasury to conduct reduction. be may drain The expected on the gold first to of have relieve the eign countries, and therefore, will undoubtedly mean a reduced flow of gold to this country. Gold in¬ flows affect the money supply in two ways: th£ expenditure of the down hold interest rates, harmonized be to on a which, unless offset by reductions drains or to its meet re¬ reserves, provide multiple expansion of bank credit and deposits. Thus by reducing gold inflows, the for¬ eign aid, program may be ex¬ the basis for a continue the process of funds added to a since count on net facilitate our in supply foreign far this year, the gold So sources. from inflow has been less than half the amount in the corresponding riod last year, and for it fell to a trickle. a pe¬ few weeks Recently it has increased, somewhat, but it is rea¬ sonable to expect that it will be substantially less, for indefinite period ahead, than if the European recovery program an and other for¬ eign aid had not been approved. The tax reduction should . to tend have may the opposite effect. It be expected to result in some increase in the amount of sav¬ ings available for investment, and it will tend to relieve pressures the incomes of taxpayers, and thus lessen the need for dissaving. on At the will same time, however, it increase the purchasing power of the to public and may tend increase the rate of turnover of the money supply. •Ck- bank we longer as can Treasury receipts to the Increases process. requirements have been suggested as a mechanism for off¬ setting such additions to bank reserves. But, aside from the fact that the System is now without authority to do much along that line, it is questionable whether that procedure would constitute a reserve rearma¬ the and resistance tendencies in to inflationary fields. some Looking farther ahead, if gov¬ expenditures ernment greatly expanded should be the levels over contemplated, either for na¬ tional defense or for any other now strong additions the bank be reserves. feasible to be It in change requirements reserve . no the of be for required to prevent an active inflationary tendencies, slack such before was economy as the The war. new country presumably would then require curtailment of other de¬ prevent credit the increases in mands, and would point to reserve re¬ such quirements would have to affect ures whole classes of banks stimulation (if not all shared in the reserves increases in additions or not. reserve essential to aid expenditures, and the tax banks, of require¬ In while at the same time in higher taxation, savings, diversion and labor from less state of a part to play resisting inflationary than a a pressures, supporting, rather leading role. V / the were bear never machinery, biles and coppers. automo¬ During the pe¬ riod from September to December of 1946 the industrial average formed a sufficient base to indi¬ element. carried to highs of 184.96 and 53.65 in February of 1947. It will be Of course, the over longer term, this is not true. Stock prices ultimately reach their ap¬ proximate true value. However, the distortions due psychology mass , possible rally to the 185-195 a level, The v next rallying phase noted that the industrials reached" the logical resistance point, the* temporary bottom of the 213-185 distribution sometimes to area, are but the rails failed to reach1 the quite fantastic, In order to understand the equivalent 59, the bottom the 68.59 distribution area. •,? - pres¬ of" . • ent market 93 and the rails market had been of by the 1946 around 23, the high the rails on average 68.42. This Feb¬ was decline with the averages reaching lows of 184.05 and 59.86. the the lagging. This per¬ formance.., ' the market in to ^previous was-*-contrary -"Since ral¬ averages industrials rails in had inception of the bull early 1942, the rails the leaders in each ad¬ been 40.43, 3.57 During ; issues new were These issues new issues immediately bid up several points above their origi¬ nal offering price. During this were same period the advanced age industrial.aver¬ with but much a smaller rate of volume than in the first the ber to three and bull of one-half market. highs reached new keep pace rate and years Also, the with the of num¬ failed previous the number of advances and declines began to show an un¬ favorable pattern. The industrials penetrated their February high in late April but the rails failed to conlirm. It - other \ was f this *. accessories, chemicals," ficompanies and oils held at their previous lows. volume indications above, that prompted textreme caution to advise me and and noted to predict, in my talk to this group in July, 1946 that the potential distribu¬ tional area built up in early 1946 there the on lows and new between advances was better ratio a f-j declines.: and enlarged the base on the industrial average to indicate potential a 210-215 if both the industrials and rails succeeded in - Divergence in Julyl947. The third instance of divergence.^ at the July, occurred 1947, highs. penetrated of 184.96 to The industrial average the February reach failed high 187.66. to rail The average confirm,, however, by attaining a high of only 51.92 against the February high of 53.65. A subsequent decline car¬ ried the averages to lows of 174.02 for the industrials in September cember, 1947.J , in De- divergence January of this year at 54.17. The industrial average failed to reach 1947 high of 187.66 by-. July, 5.84 points at 181.82. Thus, in 17 i months, on three widely separated occasions, the industrials declined"; to trial bounded area an 160-165 in the by roughly Dow-Jones indus¬ 1948 brings out some interesting points. As noted before, the tech¬ stressed this nical action in the a major proven same buying to be 170-160 area as range. such for It', has the past the decline that continue with the action of above the February high of 207.24. The rails, however, could do no of the market during the May,. 1947 was more favorable than of October, 1946. This ten¬ dency continued in the third de¬ Volume decline 1948 the market in early 1946, the in¬ dustrial average reached a high of 213.36 in late May, 6.12 points A averages. action cline. Market in Early 1946 To * *" - - that, the fourth instance occurred in early After of rails for. the 46.00 and industrial possible decline in the area average. • v penetrating their February, 1947,: highs. Ever since the Septem¬ ber, 1946 break I have consistently 170-160 a V reaction, comparison- of during, tiiese declining periods of October, 1946, May, 1947 and February, indicated - Also, during decline second The decline the divergence, technical of Other groups, such as auto¬ in the consumer goods field, companies which had enjoyed un¬ precedented prosperity during the war period due to high incomes and the inability to purchase hard jgobds such as automobiles, refrig¬ grabbed for by an optimistically minded public. All sorts of frozen foods, distilling, merchandising, costume jewelry . tiles. smaller etc. phase mobile fewer avidly second aircraft manufacturing, building, coal,- electrical equip¬ ment, household products, invest- 1 ment trusts, > machinery, officeequipment, paper, steel and tex-V brought out. Most of these issues were this rails, this erators, below the Oc-t a large number of groups reached their ultimate lows. In-* eluded in; this category were the dous were points decline nance of di¬ by holding above the previous October low of 160.49. The May. -1947 low was 161.33. ; * ' vancing phase. During this period, the early part of 1946, a tremen¬ amount of average, however, failed to con¬ firm a renewal of the downtrend by the sharp the instance In May, 1947 the rail average declined to a new low at vergence. In February high of 207.24 and the followed second decline- tober low of 44.00. The industrial■■ upswing occasional only a the was intermediate an in industrial reached was The next it is necessary to go back to January, 1946. Ever since April of 1942, when the industrial average reached a low of around unnecessary those circumstances,, monetary for cate 20 months.\ purposes, on but probably , meas¬ a of controls would have some they would create hardships for the in low investing and specu¬ lating public is the predominating and also re¬ expansion j credit and the money supply straints Thus, of reserves as of materials banks), whether they individually had our there is becoming the basis expansion. Further¬ to from total bank in that expanded government demands on the productive- capacity of the desirable more, measures view of the fact there banks from week to week, or even from month to month, as would reserves that be to approached" in the subsequent" 18 months. Among these groups were mind of the might renewal of to not additions to the aid purpose, would security and 44.00 which • ereater and the rearmament program, foreign re- of use But there doubt that the no satisfactory instrument for offsetting current effective very the neces¬ the restrain together with for¬ tax reduction already ' had a ' powerful influence on public psychology, so that it is not safe to adopt a complacent attitude, on the strength of the leveling off in the commodity price index during the past few months and the signs of eign has absorbing reserves no to call for strong or ment program, Finally, the combined effect of ments might not fully offset the ductionJs_likel.y_to_make it program in other fields. be can lower result of gold inflows and other factors, pected to reduce the additions to money certain, that the will neces¬ yet future near credit interest rates undoubt¬ But the problem now is how to other bank on not measures than they were two years ago. in Federal Reserve credit is rearmament market flooded with gone even in evaluating the price ol factors con-, and proved lows lows agricultural and System the edly would have of At times, it seems that earnings and balance sheets are but minor lead It money been psy¬ factor to averages phase of the decline..phase some groups - thL market, chology. Reserve not have public important with outstanding has been reduced by approximately $4 billion since the end of 1945, and that, if that had funds and very lied sarily have ;strongly inflationary effects, at least for some months nor that it will necessarily involve heavy demands for bank credit in would the Subsequently, both appar¬ proceeds results in direct addi¬ tions to bank deposits; it also re¬ sults in additions to bank reserves into consideration takes 59.86 160.49 for the first the basis that will permit the Federal ently do not realize that the vol¬ ume": of Federal Reserve credit occurred, the over continue these holdings of for¬ a ruary , Reserve is This reached' their valuable That means, then, that monetary policy and debt management must partly (and recently solely) to redeem securi¬ it aver¬ February, The downtrend. a both the and That technical corrections. System has been sponsibilities for credit" control any appreciable and early direct able, not only to offset the effect and the Treasury -v to meet its effects, although it is conceivable of its purchases of Treasury se¬ responsibility for managing the that it might have indirect effects curities for market stabilizing public debt. An uncoordinated of considerable but also to absorb a importance. The purposes, monetary policy coul^ make the principal direct effects are likely large part of the additions to bank management of the debt very dif¬ reserves that have resulted from to come from the other two major ficult; and an uncoordinated debt developments of recent months gold inflows and other factors. management policy cbuld inter¬ which will affect the budgetary Incidentally, our critics who seem fere seriously with monetary poli¬ position—the adoption of the for¬ to believe that the main effect of cies, having as their chief aim the eign aid program and the income Federal Reserve operations since promotion of economic^stability. ,. the end of the war has been to tax will program to October. refunding operations success¬ fully, unless it adjusted interest rates on new issues promptly to the levels resulting from Federal Reserve operations. into the banking system. Through As for the supply of funds1 this procedure, and through sales available in the money market, if in the market of particular securi¬ ties that were in demand, the Fed¬ see no reason to expect that the rearmament declined Briefly, this world. interrupted its Supply of Funds eral was effect least at sale whatever amount of curities 184.05 of firm During In other rates . lows num¬ aver¬ extremely, change in. i Subsequently, penetrated speculators country but all past two and one-half years because it future of interest rates. trend-. ticularly interest rates, the two proved ta be an important signal of a method of approach has been par¬ at least by penetrate the Febru¬ petween vergence and study of supply and demand. funds, risk, liquidity maturity considered. That be investors the over that makes banks' moderate a in ages ber basis than ages not a the ingness to sell of countless ex¬ be on study of technical data of evaluate that If nigh of 68.42 by only a small fraction to reach 68.77. This di¬ ary strength of the buying and selling pressures which cause the fluc¬ tuating willingness to buy or will¬ into come surplus to better moves. future the amount accomplished, the Re¬ System must be able to sell to els, ties held by the Reserve Banks, so that the funds would not get back the of 1948 govern extent, relative a well may banks mat the reserves can frozen most poned because, of unavailability of on to possession important aspect of the whole matter. Obviously, in view of the prove materials. Effects System words, general almost ; vast Course situation—the size of supply and the course monetary of the of requires order uncertainty rearmament, together with foreign aid and the tax reduc¬ tions, may affect materially the ability of the Federal Reserve System to carry on an effective monetary or credit policy. From viewpoint It circum¬ especially for short-term securi¬ ties, and the maintenance of some that the these large a market's the sale of government would money What I had in mind market. the more appro¬ by the Federal Reserve a the supply the in to securities the to method 10, (Continued from first page) will, stances is and that the rearmament pro¬ might have indirect effects gram addi¬ them competitively attractive, as against other alternative uses of earlier to the possi¬ referred priate Thursday, June Market Outlook obtain not opinion, the securities Policy I In my serve Credit or did reserves. pansion government Monetary on that tional is securities from its holdings. Effects banks before they result in further to absorb the re¬ selling by serves That have occurred, later result in less de¬ mand for such credit, either if it appears that production of con¬ but is it in cars scarcities. would be to add to bank reserves, unless Reserve System FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Money Market before many months for the Treasury to draw down its bal¬ (Continued from page 14) & number of ing the was new in in 1947. ; the The lows reached dur¬ declining much lower was than phase in 1947 than those greater reached in the February, 1948 de¬ cline. The number of daily de¬ clines in the 1947 period was , Volume 167 much Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL February, it would be about the smallest 1948. On the other hand, the percentage rise in any bull market number of daily advances in the lor the past 50 years. The ob¬ face of a falling market was jective in the rail average is some¬ larger in February, 1948 than in where between 75-85. In terms of May, 1947. These signals indicated the other averages, it would mean that the market was losing its about 165 to 170 in the New York momentum on the down side and "Herald-Tribune" and 185 to 190 than greated lation was phase- that lowed ^ would by fluctuated in New York "Times" of other committee ernment One mented that - a compara¬ in a 187 will occurs to 185. Any from come a skill To ability and "shooting from the hip,' in the "Chronicle" How¬ Act of 1933, and groups and, ual issues. February, 1948. All during this Standard face a tremendous barrage of bearish prognostications on the business weekly over outlook. These forecasts, it turned prices out, a highly V. inaccurate. Neverthelcss, " these dire ; predic¬ tions so dampened public specula¬ tion, in-securities that stocks sold ?'at were • fantastically low prices - to \ earnings: ratios. Seldom in modern 'financial history did stocks sell high, a yield basis in relation on as to bonds they did during this relatively easy to lind stocks to yield 6% or more. The public* psychology was just the was of the unbounded reverse opti¬ mism of early 1946 when all types of new issues were unloaded on :_-the public::"- ' the industrial of six formed averages weeks. Then March on a period a 20 the market broke out of this long line formation with a "gap" open¬ ing. This proved to be a very im¬ portant change in trend signal. In April, the rails penetrated their previous highs and in May the industrials firm did -likewise a new to this inject -Dow be - point I word a would like to two about the or theory? I do not pretend to expert an this on theory and it is only -many tools that I famous of the one in my tech¬ use nical work. However, I do want to draw attention to the popular fallacy, that all followers of the Dow theory entered the market when the industrial penetrated this 187. at sort ficial 75 price ' - Poor's price figured publishes indexes of groups are stocks. on The the basis of on percentage; of 1939 range. show a knowledge average was Statements rather of of Dow prices. For example, the long line formation between, roughly, 165 and 170 in the Dow-Jones industrial' average in. February and -March of this while the rails were holding considerably above their previous lows,-was an indication that the probabilities favored that the year, market This v turning point. confirmed by the pene¬ was tration near a was by "both averages. Even ; ; ., of the tech?' - mittee merce about legislation cant. In rail aver under The Banks a b i r c a t i con¬ fact powers 50-Year back : Going years, . » 14th. over the vance from average mar¬ makes price confirmation 50 past have had 13 bull The . History This present market kets. the we to ad¬ bull market peak was 69 % . This, case of the present market, mean a price of industrial over average. in the would 300 in the The smallest rise in the 50-year period was 9Vz% in the short-lived 1939 bull market. That would be about 205 in terms the of present.^market. The largest advance was about 1923-1929 market. 300% in the That would worthwhile My ultimate Dow-Jones indicated. somewhere average between 250 and is 260. Percentagewise this would be a comparatively small rise in rela¬ tion to past bull markets. In fact, is National given Advisory certain with respect to the of the veto issu¬ Bank's se¬ quire spending , . I . so ." . argued Loss said issuer to peg an cipal Congress sought in the SEC the protection of "Yet from -the stand¬ point of the public it's been a most satisfactory piece of legis¬ lation, so when you come to change it we're anxious to know basically good reasons for chang¬ ing it/' Thus he voiced the House legislation the public. was evident Committee's distrust of ficult sell will it be for the Bank to debentures beyond the limit of the U. S. $3,175,000,000 commit¬ ment in the Bank, because the officers of the banks and others to whom the debentures must be of¬ fered "hard are Wolverton boiled," Rep. whether asked the not were these "hard boiled" same bankers who had dealt in the for¬ eign which had cost in¬ heavily in the 1920s and bonds vestors so This Mr. Black admitted. 1930s. cited Black Mr. ,4 theoretical a study by the Bank's research department to show that, had the Bank '20 been existence in '30s and in in investors would "They wouldn't have lost have lost the foreign bonds nothing. in¬ as vestors, but they would have lost taxpayers," Rep. Bennett inter¬ "That's right," Black was again forced to admit. And Wol¬ as jected. verton wanted to know about the wisdom of substituting NAC for saying: "The certainly don't surpass in hardness of the boiling" the bank¬ ers cited by Mr. Black, who Rep. Wolverton was saying are the same ones who sold the foreign bonds of the pre-depression period. Inescapable Fact SEC in this matter, NAC At the bill (H. R. 6443). this time, when the World get easier ac¬ the private savings of Bank is seeking to Contrast Between Senate and . House Hearings to cess Americans entrusted to insurance Persons interested in the details companies and savings banks so will do well to that it may make long-term loans in distant places, it may be worth request copies of the printed transcripts from the Senate Bank¬ pondering again just how the risks ing and Currency Committee and should be divided between the the House Interstate and Foreign individual and the Government. of the hearings It will be Commerce Committee. noted at hearing once : that was very the Senate perfunctory, be¬ illuminated only by Mr. faux pas in alluding to Ohio's supposed atti¬ ing Black's unfortunate While Mr. Black has testified that the Bank will not lend more than, $500,000,000 a year and that it must make only "sound" loans, say, the Bank under pressure to which, in fact, cannot otherwise floated. That is, the be rin Bank ways," an indiscretion which gave Senator Bricker (R., O.) offense; (Bricker refused Mr. Black's request to strike the inter¬ change from the transcript.) is make loans tude toward "furriners" and "fur- feel that such securities needed regulation. . "Passage of Since the World Bank is cials. Congressional intent, the NAC would naturally the .7' ; • no . legislation would also give the International the unregulated right to created is risks. to unusual take Not only must it lend to Governments with bad defaults like records bigger Chile. It face must dangers international body, this was most contrast the House hearings revealed close interest by the few Committee of their national incomes prepar¬ ing for the next war." unusual procedure. In ... ... an members who were The S. U. needs water Engineers, estimated Army Washington's planning the in 2000, year rightly makes allowance for the deal of fact that "there's been a war every work by the Committee's staff. deal in its own securities. This 20 or 25 years.". World Bank Unfortunately for attendance, the right to manipulate the market in loan director Iliff, in a speech, June 4 hearing coincided with the its own securities is a dangerous makes the same point and links it Bank ad¬ This, may re^ more able to attend, and a good House debate on the ECA appro¬ priation. Other facts are that the Senate Committee is headed by Chas. Sen. "Brett on Senator," himself a delegate to that 1944 Conference and .an active supporter of the Fund and Bank; and the: filing Woods' Tobey, own Ifabilitating ? our foreign policy. Apparel, • Auto Tires this Bill is Rubber; Banks, Brewers, y.Con-r Therefore, :yunless tainers, Drugs, ?; Baking, Dairy drastically modified, I shall op¬ of the above-mentioned NASD pose it in the Committee and on Products, Foods, Leather, Print¬ May 26 telegram of protest only ing and Publishing, Sugar, Motion the floor of the House." after the Tobey Committee had Pictures, Tobacco, Utilities, Tele¬ acted. The delay is explained by SEC Was on the Spot y? cation: . to defaults. Bill Still ; 7 Must Pass v Hurdles Mr. Black, in answer to a ques¬ tion, said the Bank must have not part but all of the changes sought in the bill. Congressman Wol¬ verton and members of the committee some seem in a mood to "clean up" the bill, give the Bank part ' phone and Telegraph. . The hearings were attended by - ing issues in these groups for the last 18 months in the 1704160 buy¬ ing range in the industrial aver¬ age. For new purchases for those who missed tunities half, of it be oppor¬ year that seem concentrated is and a they in classifications. two selectivity buying past would should first the the the Some required at this stage because some of the stocks in ; the groups fication in the first classi¬ have reached already their intermediate objectives. This is particularly true of some of the issues groups. in the oil and However, there aircraft are many groups that indicate considerably higher price levels. industrial securities extension of power—even if- pro¬ time around perly /used. ,1 refuse to deny the the fullest present price levels while other Auierxciari ' investor nrptectipn of our security laws for groups move ahead. The foilawfhg Rje' purppse of expediting or groups are in this?jthird classifi¬ is vance objective for the 745 such Bonds.? Following that have relatively un¬ favorable patterns as compared issues in this first classification of about present market. and Mr. Black tried to show how dif¬ . Railroad Trade, Shoes, g, in mean terms of the 43 in putting out curities is little more than a sub¬ for a quarter century. The Senate Committee's report money terfuge because if Congress passes Thus, Sir John Boyd Orr of the was largely .-the work of Mr. Ansel this legislation it automatically FAO says: "The whole human Luxford, of the World Bank, the places the securities of the Inter¬ race is rumbling on to destruc¬ writer has been informed by three national Bank in the same pre¬ tion. The nations are in¬ diffirent U. S. Government offi¬ ferred category as Government sane, they are spending one-third The third classification consists a. the and Sale ance of groups of that Council Equipment, Retail Soap & Vegetable Oil, Woolen. indication in deal denies the investor the ; protection to which he is now entitled. The following n to nook and corner of the United States. Thus, while it pro¬ vides for a more widespread dis¬ tribution of such securities,1 it tillers, Soft Drink, Confectioners, Building Materials, • Chemicals, Finance, Meat Products, Gold Mining, H o u s e h o 1 d Products, F Ex¬ every groups are in this classification: Air Transport, Auto Parts, Dis¬ Metal and Bank to channel its securities into sists of groups that have formed long potential base patterns but have not yet given an upside confirmation. Securities ;and thus enable the International • classification the change Act, and in the second place, it would permit National Machinery, Aircraft Man¬ ufacturing; Automobile Compa¬ nies, Coal, Copper, Cotton, Elec¬ tric Equipment, Fire Insurance, Fertilizer, Investment Trusts, Lead & Zinc, Marchirtery, Office Equipment, Paper, Oil, ? Radio, Rails, Rayon, Shipbuilding Ship The >second particularly signifi¬ place, it would are the first denying to the American investor the protection now afforded him cultural ping, Steel, Textiles. . before the NAC. permit, banks to sell securities Based upon foreign loans while The following groups have such a confirmation: Agri¬ fication. I have been recommend¬ '< "Two things the JJ of groups that have already given a bull market confirmation simi lar to Dow-theory confirmation and for two days. The first classification (consists ages. and Foreign Com¬ -John B. Bennett given In¬ on chart patterns fall into three gen* eral classifications. ?';? .; .4/• , ' ?;;???.<* Specific " Conclusions the Com¬ terstate firmation. „ the Bill stock the over . .,My;' recommended list consists largely of stocks in the first classic V1*' advice their that it is bad for House in the past the sub¬ profits have resulted in waiting for a Dow theory con¬ so, stantial Securities before theory. Ther,p is a great deal more to the theory than just the prin¬ with the general market. In most cipal of confirmation. True : stu¬ instances, they may have already dents of the Dow theory had reached their lows but they need to form base patterns before any numerous indications to enter the market at much lower Bennett price-indexes of individual groups and have found that, roughly, ;tbe: super¬ the the on the <19354 •:?;'?% 4,. .1; have checked iiical implications con¬ bull market. * At & stock by the industrial > Following the February decline, long line " formation for for asked Mr. Loss to give at Exchange 1934, is prices; that the Bank wants to be an extremely free to buy in its own bonds and dangerous have no question raised. Price proposal in pegging and price raising is un¬ my judgment. lawful and "I would as a member I say th is of Congress oppose it." after listening This prompted Mr. Wolverton to testimony to say that the fundamental prin¬ as period. It agencies Act of further, into individ¬ A Mr. and it is not possible to buy the ever, downside objectives as late to had said: higher 200-205. about : demonstrated unusual im¬ cated had com¬ Bennett Congress looks to the Government have .exemption been averages and so it is necessary to break down these averages into market privately Mr. SEC's testimony pointed out that that is all well and good, but that Bank to circumvent the Securities has early as October, 1946 and other stocks? reached their indi¬ the gov¬ otners "This proposed legislation which would, permit the International market level-—say as. period and prominent gov¬ more ernment witnesses aver¬ members, witnesses the of least his personal advice to Congress. Mr. Loss, commenting that he could not speak for the SEC, said with reference to the anti-manipulative provisions of the law, "there's no justification for any issuer to The support-at narrow range between 167181. Some stocks made their lows ' (Continued from page 4)/ it ~ 1 tively as (2563) World Bank Seeks Congress' Aid consolidating phase for the past 15 trading days in a range be¬ tween, roughly, 192 and 188. I would expect any decline to meet during these 17 months the averages CHRONICLE portant technical correction when fol¬ be sharply ; the age. Bearish Barrage v All in 17 accumu¬ an eyentually •higher prices:*; v FINANCIAL in that the long trading range of months .duration & Individual classification issues in of the second groups should turn out to be advantageous pur¬ chases although some may not be time may or required until they battery of SEC members and staff, ! including Chairman Edmond Hanrahan, Commissioners a NASD's Wallace Fulton as due to the fact that the NASD had no of what it seeks, but without quite escaping supervision. SEC The opportunity to formulate fact that only about half a dozen its position. Mr. Fulton expects committee members made any that the pending bill will be modi¬ appearance during the hearings McConnaughey and McEntire, So¬ fied by the House Committee as licitor Roger Foster, Chief Coun¬ Will slow up matters. Beyond the a result of consultations this week sel Loss of the Trading and Ex¬ by the staffs of the Bank, SEC, committee, there is still the House change Division and Special NASD, etc., as suggested last Sat¬ as a whole to be "sold"; and on Counsel on Corporation Finance urday by Chairman Wolverton. the Senate side opponents such as Michael Mooney; as also by World If legislation is to be passed this Senator Bricker. Bank, Treasury, Federal Reserve lose. staff members. The position of the year, there is no time to It might have been wiser for the But no early offering of World SEC all along has been that mat¬ Bank debentures is looked for. In Administration to have made the ters of high foreign policy are not fact Mr. Eugene Black, who's job desired exemptions in the original within its assigned duties and it is at the Bank as he describes it is Bretton Woods Agreements Act, not equipped to determine or im¬ to sell the debentures, will be for in 1945 the skeptics in Con¬ plement them, but that this is abroad for about two months com¬ gress were less numerous. something for Congress to decide. mencing June 8, since the Bank is sending him on a trip around the Chairman Wolverton during the world. The past two weeks have With Herrick Waddell earlier - the uptrend. They have potentially favorable technical patterns and appear to be behind confirm the kept Mr. Black busy, visiting Con¬ gressmen and others, in connec¬ & Reed, Inc. (Special tion with H. R. 6443. to The GRAND market. Would avoid cation until a the third classifi¬ larger base pattern has been built up. Ilard-Boiled Bankers The hearings were noC humorous moments. without Thus, when Financial Chronicle) ISLAND, is Stanley Gross Waddell & Reed, with NEB.— Herrick, t- Inc., 55 Liberty Street, New York City. 44 (2564) THE COMMERCIAL Securities • • Aircraft Radio Corp., Boonton, N. J. May 25 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price (approximately), $4% per share: Stock will be offered by F.'Eberstadt & Co., Inc. selling stockholder. - ceeds to • Pro¬ Alabama Textile Products Corp., Andalusia, Ala. (letter of notification) $150,000 first preferred Price—$100. Debentures in amount of $71,500 will be exchanged par for par for preferred and cash June 2 .Stock. realized from the balance will be used to retire current Bosch $78,500. Corp., Springfield, Mass. ($1 par) common by com¬ Glore, Forgan & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc., and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly). The Attorney General (successor to the Alien Property Cus¬ todian) as holder of the stock, directed the sale. • • American June 1 (letter stock (no par). To furnish • Probable bidders: Minerals, Inc., of notification) Price—$100 capital for American Plan Midland, 312 share. per of corporation of above new common stock. No underwriter. paper, making of For small expenses. name. com¬ incidental and Manicuring Co., Oakland, Calif. (letter of notification) 29,000 shares of common per share. In addition 29,000 shares •will be. issued to Merrill Kessler for patents. "writer. No under- Bankers Fire & Marine Insurance Co., June of each t 30. Barlow & 24 record two March 31 on basis of one new shares held. Rights expire 5 p.m., To increase capital and surplus. No under¬ writing. May \V.'." Seelig Manufacturing Co., Ripon, Wis. (letter stock. common of notification) 8,820 Price—$8 per share. shares ($1 par) Underwriters— McMaster Hutchinson & Co. and Charles W. Brew & Co. Beneficial Industrial Loan Corp. (6/17) (no par) cumulative pre¬ ferred stock and an unspecified number of shares of ($10 par) common stock with scrip certificates to cover the conversion by July 1, 1958. Underwriter — Eastman, Dillon & Co., New York. Price and dividend rate by •amendment. Proceeds—General funds, v ' May 27 filed 100,000 shares . Berry (D. N.) Co., Denver, Colo. v;. May 27 (letter of notification) 133,000 shares of common stock. Underwriter—John G. Perry & Co. For working capital.: :;•/ Borderminster • ,, Exploration Co. Canada •> June 2 filed 500,000 common Ltd., Ottawa, shares ($1 par). Under¬ writer—Mark Daniels & Co. Price—40c per share Cana¬ dian funds. Proceeds—For exploration of properties. • British Outlook, Inc., June 7 Washington, D. C. (letter of notification), 1,500 shares $4.50 noncumulative preferred ($10 par), 2,250 shares of class A (par $1) and 500 shares of class B common stock $1), and transferable option rights to purchase • (par 750 shares share in next two years. Offering—To public in units of one share of preferred of class A common at $10 per and one share of common for $100 but number of units -offered will not exceed 1,500. No underwriter. For ex¬ penses. • stock will be purchased from Ralph C. Roe, controlling stockholder, and sold to employees of company at exact price paid therefore to Mr. Roe. Central Vermont Public March 30 filed $1,500,000 Series and an Service E first undetermined Co., Cincinnati — Television, Inc.. * (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of pre¬ 100,000 shares of common stock. Price unit of one share of each. Underwriter—H. B. 18 ferred stock and —$3 per Burr & Co. is exclusive selling agent. The selling agree¬ ment requires Burr to sell 40,000 units within 90 days, an additional 30,000 units 180 days thereafter and a fur¬ ther 30,000 units within 210 days thereafter. Proceeds— Will be to used manufacture (100 par). number1 of common shares (no Underwriters of common—Coffin & Burr. Bonds placed privately. Common stock will be offered to common stockholders through subscription rights and to common and preferred stockholders through Duesenberg, Mining Co., Salt Lake Offering—1,303,733 shares Indianapolis,. Ind. 2,499 shares of participat¬ Price—$100 per unit. No under¬ writer. To develop the Duesenberg marine engine, the Duesenberg automobile and an automatic transmission for use together with and for licensing separately from the.marine engine and the automobile. ■, \ Equitable Gas Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. May 6 filed $14,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1973. Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co.; Weld & Proceeds to be accepting, the offer. Underwriting—None. exploration and development work. For — White, Co. Proceeds—$14,000,000 Community Loan Finance Co., La Crosse, Wisconsin /;•. ./ June 1 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of 5%. cumu¬ lative first preferred (par $100) and 731 shares of com¬ mon stock (par $100). Price, par for each class. No un¬ To reduce bank loans and loans from others. derwriter. Consolidated Edison Co. of N. Y., Inc. ' v:iT March 1 filed $57,382,600 of 3% convertible debentures, due 1963. Convertible into common stock at $25. Offer¬ ing—Common stockholders of record May 20 were given right to subscribe for debentures in ratio of $5 of deben¬ tures for each share held. Rights expired June 8.; Un¬ derwriters—Unsubscribed ($4,322,500) debentures under-* written by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. and ^associates. Proceeds—To redeem 273,566 shares of outstanding $5 cumulative preferred stock and to expansion expenditures, etc. for reimburse treasury Consolidated Vultee Aircraft Corp. May 5 filed 1,159,849 shares ($1 par) common stock, Offering—Stockholders of record May 28 are given the right under a firm subscription to subscribe for the stock at rate of share. per share for each share held at $9 Rights expire June 14. In addition stockhold¬ one Gas Co. • Feez Manufacturing Co., Spokane, Wash. May 28 (letter of notification) 20,000 shares of common stock ($1 par). Price—$1 per share. No underwriter. For company expenses. • stock ($25 par) stock. will be given the for any shares ers right to make contingent subscrip-/ not subscribed for by exercise of subscription, subject to allotment. Atlas Corp., holder of 11.4% of outstanding consolidated stock, will exercise its subscription rights to purchase enough stock tions firm to assure stock Consolidated of $7,000,000 from the Underwriting—None. Proceeds—Added offering. to general return a funds for manufacture of commercial trans¬ 'v A. port planes.- Consumers Power Co., Jackson, Mich. (6/22) May 18 filed 200,000 shares of cumulative (no par) pre¬ Underwriters — To be determined under competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Harriman Rip¬ ley & Co. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Morgan, Stanley & Co.; White, Weld & Co. and Shields & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—To acquire property, construct and expand facilities.; Bids—Bids for the purchase of^the stock will be received up to & 11 a.m. (EDT) June. 22 at (N. Y.),- 20 Southern Corp. Mines Nevada Co., Virginia City, May 14 (letter of notification) $100,000 first lien sinking fund mon convertible •' 5% bonds shares reserved for $1,000 per . 'a due 1953 conversion bond with 1,000 of common and of 300,000 bonds. shares. ' Flotill com¬ Price— Underwriter I../!-• ,1 . shares common to preferred.) ($1 par) reserved be Underwriter—None, com¬ / »V Products, Inc., Stockton, Calif. (par $1). Underwriter — Floyd D. Cerf Co., Chicago. Price—preferred $10; common $6. Proceeds Stockholdefs will sell 260,000 preferred shares and 250,000 shares common and 75,000 used for and common Private Exchange Honolulu Stock Exchange 14 WALL and 5,000 shares of Class B stock Exchange * LOS ANGELES ' treasury stock ($1 par) offered to members of the selling Price to public—Class A, $2.50 per share; Class B, 1 cent per share. Underwriters American Trustee Share Corp. and Young & Co., Inc., Pittsburgh. To pay note, for construction and working capital. - « — • General Telephone Corp., New York (6/30) ) ; • (par $20). Under¬ common writers — Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis, Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and Mitchum, Tully & Co. Of¬ fering—Holders of common stock and 4.40% preferred stock of record June 16 will receive rights to subscribe on before June or one share new at the rate of for 29 to the each six new shares at the common rate of shares held and share for each 4Vfe preferred shares held. Proceeds—To make additional investments in the common stock equities of its subsidiaries. • Glass May 28 common Ariz. one new Fibers, Inc., Waterville, Ohio of notification) 3,500 shares (letter stock on ($1 par) behalf of Home-Ship Corp. of Tucson, Underwriter—Kebbon, }VlcCormick & Co., Chicago, • Gyrodyne Co. of America, Inc., N. Y. (letter of notification) 204,000 shares of common stock, class A (par $1) and 24,000 shares of 5% cumula¬ tive convertible participating preferred stock (par $4); Price, par for each class. To be offered through direc¬ June 3 tors, officers and others. Proceeds for development, ganization of corporation, etc. /'■,/ v" ;• A' • Hastings (Mich.) or¬ Manufacturing Co."-./A-j"A June 4/(letter of notification), 750 shares common ($2 Price—$11.25 per share. Underwriter—First of Michigan Corp. Proceeds to selling stockholder. par). • Holan 4 common (J. (letter stock. H.) Corp., Cleveland, Ohio r notification) 29,723 shares ($1 par) Price—$3.25 per share. Underwriter—* of Cunninghajm & Co. For construction and • Household Service, new machinery^ Inc., Clinton, N. Y. A 7 (letter of notification), $8,400 5% sinking fund 10-year serial debentures, series C, due June 1, 1958, June DEALERS :• UNDERWRITERS HONOLULU ($1 par), reserved for group. BROKERS STREET, NEW YORK shares conversion of Class A shares in ratio of 20 shares of Class A for one share of Class B; and 3,000 shares of Class B Exchange Los Angeles Stock preferred general corporate purposes. Co. San Francisco Stock 125,000 Company's proceeds will be Form Wires Telephone BArclay 7-4300 SAN FRANCISCO company shares. Effective May 5. /i Moulding, Inc., Marion, Ind. June 7 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of cumu¬ lative convertible participating class A stock (par $1) • . MEMBERS the March 6 filed 385,000 shares of 60 cent convertible pre¬ ferred stock (par $5) and 325,000 shares of common stock v.'v Dean Witter Offices in other Principal Cities cumulative convertible 172,000 a share for the preferred and $10 for the Business—Investment company. " PACIFIC COAST New York Stock to and Price—$25 mon. June Dayton Consolidated Direct Private Wires Corp., New York City (72,000 shares of conversion HAWAIIAN SECURITIES Chicago ' / First Guardian Securities new I, Pittsburgh common June 4 filed 208,260 shares of and Boston new — • - New York of proceeds, plus stock, will be delivered to the Philadelphia Co. in exchange for natural gas properties now under lease, outstanding capital stock of Equitable, notes and other claims owed to the Phila¬ delphia Co. and to the Pittsburgh and West Virginia 563,000 shares of common common cur* ing preferred stock. for are To receive Inc., June 4 filed 36,000 shares of 5% exchange for a like number of shares of Utah Ophir Mines Co. on a share-for-share basis plus one cent per share to be paid Commonwealth by Utah Ophir par). subscrip¬ • offered in mortgage bonds to be purchase sets, City, Utah May 27 filed 2,000,000 shares of non-assessable stock 1948 June 3 (letter of notification) preferred Lead office of Commonwealth Pine Street, New York. Corp. television test and production equipment for plant. ferred stock. -A.;, Burns & Roe, Inc., New York June 3 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of class A common stock (par $1). Price—$2.75 per share. The / May stockholders Birmingham, Ala. April 27 (letter of notification) 25,845 shares of common stock. Price—$8. Offered—Offered for subscription to share for Electric May 21 filed $15,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1978. To be determined by competitive bid¬ ding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Mor¬ gan Stanley & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Union Secur¬ ities Corp.; Lehman Brothers; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Glore, Forgan & Co. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—Construction program. Underwriters Commonwealth Price—$10 stockholders | Columbia purchase of loans : '• & Cunningham & Co., Pittsburgh. obligations, working capital, etc. rent Fund, Gas —S. K. , Inc., New York June 4 filed 669,975 shares of common capital stock, ($1 par)." ; '• : Aristocrat June 3 Chemical common No underwriter. Discount mercial stock. • 10, ISSUE construction program Underwriter—Edward D. Jones & Co. Texas shares Corp., Baltimore, Md. June 4 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of Class B non-voting, non-convertible common stock, ($1 par) 10,000 shares of 6% preferred cumulative, non-convertible ($10 par) stock and 25,000 shares of voting ($1 par) • a Thursday, June Registration PREVIOUS SINCE Champion Shoe Machinery Co., St. Louis, Mo. May 26 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of common stock and 200 shares of preferred stock. Price for com¬ mon $3.50 per share, and for preferred $30 per share. Cincinnati Underwriters—Names to be determined petitive bidding. ADDITIONS privileges. Proceeds—For repair of flood damages. and No underwriter. June 2 filed 535,882 shares of class B stock. in CHRONICLE . bank loans in amount of American Now INDICATES tion FINANCIAL & Volume 167 THE Number 4706 1948 Chicago Rock Island & Pacific RR. 11:30 a.m. __Equip. Trust (CDT)r June ■ June Kansas Kerr-McGee Oil Ctfs. —. —Common Industries, Inc. and Straus Price—$15 each. Durham, N. C, (6/16) expansion, etc. ness ——Bonds Kool-Aid ferred stock ($25 par). Underwriter—Names to be de-, termined under competitive bidding. Probable bidders Proceeds—Com¬ include Blyth & Co., Inc. Offering—Holders of preferred ' and common stockholders of record June 15 will be given- rights to subscribe Montana-Dakota Utilities Co.— ferred Common Kerr-McGee Oil Industries Inc.-—— ; June Price—$6.50 per share. Underwriter—Loewi & Co., Milwaukee. For working capital. 1948 Southern Natural Gas Co.— June 22, Consumers Power Co., 11 June 25, Underwriters —For '.y// June 29, unsubscribed shares Blair & Paper Art Co., Inc., Indianapolis, Ind. May 27 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of 5% con¬ vertible sinking fund debentures. Price—100 and, inter¬ est, Underwriter—City Securities Corp., Indianapolis. To pay in full outstanding bank loan, construction cost of an addition to present plant and the remainder for working capital. Co., Illinois June . • ---Common Telephone Corp.—— • Pepsi-Cola Bottling Co. of Memphis, Tenn. 1 (letter of notification) 58,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Price -r- $5 per share. Underwriters— Leftwich and Ross and Bullingtori Schas & Co., Memphis. Proceeds—To retire notes, to purchase stock of whollyowned subsidiary (Bottling Co. of Greenwood, Miss.), and to purchase equipment and supplies. 3 (letter of notification) 1,335 shares ($25 par) common stock. Price—$35 per share. No underwriter. For additional working capital. ; Bonds /" Masco Screw Products Co., Detroit, Mich, June r (letter of notification) 141,600 shares ($1 par) common stock. Price—$1.75 per share. No underwriter. June 4 To repay a loan and for working capital. ^nd 420 shares of common stock (par $10). Price—$150 unit of $100 of debentures and five shares of com¬ mon. Underwriter—Mohawk Valley Investing Co., Inc., JJtica, N. Y. Expansion of gas distribution system. - ; Airlines, Inc., Kansas City, Mo. May 19 (letter of notification) 6,000 shares of common stock ($1 par).' Price—Market ($8.to $9). Underwriters —Kitchen & Murphy. Chicago. For working capital. , ♦ Hunt Foods, Inc., Los Angeles Montana-Dakota Utilities Co. , Idaho-Montana Pulp & Paper Co., Poison, Mont. May 17 filed 100,000 shares of 4% cumulative preferred stock ($100 par) and 500,000 shares ($10 par) common stock. Underwriter — Tom G. Taylor & Co., Missoula, Mont. Price—$300 per unit, consisting of two shares of preferred and 10 shares of common stock. Proceeds—To •erect and operate a bleached sulphate pulp mill with a 200-ton per day capacity. Iris Oil Co., Denver, Colo. ^ • '*• •June 4 (letter of notification) 20,000 shares ($1 par) cap¬ ital stock. Price—$2 per share. No underwriter. For •drilling expenses, equipment and supplies and general operating expenses. v <• Irwin-Phillips Co., Keokuk, Iowa -June 1 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative participating preferred stock ($10 par) to be sold on behalf of three stockholders. Price, par. * Underwrit¬ ers—Slayton & Co., St. Louis, Mo., have been employed ias agents to sell the issue. Joy Manufacturing Co. (6/21) filed 51,500 shares of common stock (par $l7, of which 36,200 shares are being sold by Adams Express June 1 Co. and 15,300 shares by American International Corp. ^Underwriters—Hallgarten & Co. and R. W. Pressprich «$C Co. Kansas City /■/ //•'"/' (Mo.) ""r.-1"-.!'1 V-';. ■'/^ Power & Light Co. (6/14) may 14 filed $12,000,000 first mortgage bonds due 1978 •'and 80,000 shares o£ cumulative preferred stock (par i$100). Underwriters — Names will be determined by •competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart '& Co. Inc. (bonds only); The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Xoeb & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler and Union Secur¬ ities Corp. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Glsre, Forgan & Co. and W. C, Langley & Co, (jointly); Shields & Co., "White, Weld & Co. and Central Republic Co. (jointly). Proceeds — To acquire and construct additional prop¬ erty and retire $3,860,000 of 1%% notes issued for in¬ terim financing. Bids—Bids for the purchase of the securities will be received at Suite 2200, 105 W. Adams Street, Chicago, up to noon (CDT) June 14. Kearns Gold Mines Co., Auburn, Calif. June 1 (letter of ' notification) 150,000 shares of common capital non-assessable stock ($1 par). Price — $1 per share. No underwriter. For mining business. ? • Republic Aviation Corp., Long Island, N, Y. general funds, • National capital, Fuel shares of United Natural Co. Gas common additional shares 'v'-'.• National Homes Corp., Lafayette, Ind. June 1 (letter of notification) 2,500 shares of 6% cumu¬ lative preferred stock, series A of 1948. Price—$100 per share. Underwriters—Kiser, Cohn & Shumaker, Inc. and Raffensperger, Hughes & Co., Inc., Indianapolis. For working capital. ///:,'////v/://.'; /;.'v.// i..< • National Securities Series, New York City stock ($25 par), and to purchase 48,500 of Iroquois Gas Corp. , < -///^ . June 4 filed 21 series of securities. Underwriter — Na¬ invest¬ ment manager. Price—To be based on the value of the net assets applicable to each series. Price is to be de¬ termined twice daily. Business—Investments. tional Securities & Research Corp., New York, • / New Jersey Power & Light Co. June 8 filed $6,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1978. Underwriting—Names to be determined through com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Harriman Ripley & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—For construction and improvement of prop¬ erty.. v."" /, Telephone Co. (6/29) May 28 filed $90,000,000 refunding bonds series F, desa July 1, 1981. Underwriters—To be sold through com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. Proceeds—To reimburse the treasury for capital expenditures already made, to retire bank loans incurred in plant expansion and to finance future construction. Expected June 29. Northern States Power Co. (of Minn.) June 3 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due July 1, *1978, and 200,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (no par). Underwriting—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only)! Smith, Barney & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—For con¬ struction and to pay off bank loans. , Nuera Products : / , /Reynolds Brothers, Inc., Sturgeon Bay, Wise. May 28 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares Of 20 cent non-cumulative preferred stock ($5 par)* Price—$5 per share. No underwriting. For working capital. : :• Riley Stoker Corp., Worcester, Mass. June 3 (letter of notification) mon stock. Price—$11% per rahan & Co* • Co., Denver, Colo. May 10 filed 100,000 shares ($10 par) preferred stock, and 20,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Underwrit¬ ing—None named. Price—10 shares of preferred and two of common will be sold for $100. -Proceeds—To 7,000 shares ($3 par) com¬ share. Underwriter—Han- No purpose given. Savoy Oil Co., Inc., Tulsa, Okla. (250 par). Under¬ writing, none. Offering—Stockholders are to be given rights to subscribe to 100,000 new shares at the rate of . June 8 filed 150,000 common shares of two-thirds a share for each share held. The other 50,000 shares will be issued to officers and others upon the exercise of warrants. An unspecified number of shares may or may .not be offered for sale to the public; Price by amendment. Proceeds—To be added to the general funds of the company. (6/16) convertible sink¬ ing fund debentures, due 1963. Underwriter—Floyd D. Cerf Co., Inc. Price—95 (flat). Offering—Offered to stockholders of record May 4 on basis of one $100 deben¬ ture for each 100 shares held. Rights expired May 28 Proceeds—For repayment of two notes and general cor¬ Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc. March 24 filed $2,000,000 15-year 6% porate purposes, • Schuyler-Wilson Co., San Francisco May 26 (letter of notification) 15,000 shares of ($10 par) preferred A stock (with warrants) and 90,000 common shares (par $1), reserved for warrants. Price, par for each class. Underwriter—Hannaford & Talbot, San Francisco, \yill act as selling agents. Each purchaser of one preferred share entitled to buy six common shares at $1 per share. For working capital and expansion. • ' New York • • , petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co.; Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Leh¬ man Brothers (jointly). Proceeds—To purchase 320,000 additional stock, exercisable at $7.25 per share, are held by eight individuals and the estate of another, now deceased. For '//V,1/'■■/'•.' '■//.' ' Gas Co., New York ; June 4 filed $13,500,000 sinking fund debentures, due 1973. Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬ ■June 4 filed 389,995 < Salt Lake City, Utah, For working capital, , (6/15) June 4 filed 42,000 shares ($1 par) common stock, issu¬ able upon the exercise of stock options. Options for this For working ■ shares of capital stock (par $100). "Underwriter, none. Offering—To be offered pro rata for subscription by shareholders of record June 2. Ameri¬ can Telephone and Telegraph Co. (parent) will purchase 387,295 shares. Proceeds—To pay advances from Ameri¬ can Telephone and Telegraph, its parent; any remainder of proceeds will be used in improving telephone plant. (letter of notification), 400 shares capital stock ($1 par). Price—$27 per share. Underwriters—Ralph S. Young, Colorado Springs, Colo., and J. A. Hogle & Co., property. ^:>/;.■./// • Musser Marimbas, Inc., Chicago,< III. June 7 (letter of notification), 500 shares of 4% cumula¬ tive preferred (par $100). Price, par. No underwriter. |>% preference stock ($10 par). To be offered in ex¬ change to holders of common stock of Harbauer Co., {Ohio) on the basis of two shares of Hunt for one share pf Harbauer common stock. No underwriter. To increase istock ownership of Harbauer. ///.- /y/./'</;./ Illinois Bell Telephone Co., Chicago, III- Realty Co., Denver, Colo. June 3 May 18 filed 150,000 shares ($5 par) common stock. Un¬ der writers—Blyth & Co., Inc., and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, New York. Price, by amendment. Pro¬ ceeds—To be used in expanding electric and gas utility June 2 (letter of notification) 30,000 shares of Series A «• • >, ; Mid-Continent per ' • Marquette Cement Manufacturing Co., Chicago, 1948 Telephone Co.——— ;June 30, 1948 General on the floor of the New, York Stock Exchange, specific persons, firms or corporations," in sales outside the Exchange. ' % "to or v --Preferred • New York to time Inc., and Maxwell, Marshall & Co., New York. Price— $3 per share. Proceeds—To be applied to the purchase price for an existing textile firm known as Lonsdale Co., a Textron subsidiary. - 3y'/ 1948 Offering—To be offered by the own-; er, J. Paul Getty, President of the Company; from time May 24 of Textron, Inc., at 'rate of one new share for one held. Rights expire 3 p.m. (EDT) June 10. An additional 100,000 shares are offered to officers, certain directors and employees of the newly organized company. a.m..(EpT)-j; —Preferred Southern Union Gas Co.—-- derwriting—None. each -Bonds —— 1948 ( I. (6/11) April 26 filed 1,132,631 shares ($1 par) common stock. Offering—Offered to holders of common stock of record Joy Manufacturing Co.—- --Common share per shares of pre¬ Proceeds—To retire bank loans Pacific. Western Oil Corp., Los, Angeles May 21 filed 450,227- shares ($10 par) capital stock. Un-: Lonsdale Co., Providence, - R. 17, 1948 June 21, 4 Laboratories, Inc., Milwaukee, Wise. (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of common stock. Beneficial Industrial Loan Corp—— —Preferred y Lakeside June Common Segal Lock & Hardware Co.——..Debentures. before July 7 at $100 share for each six held. Pacific Telegraph & Telephone Co., San Fran* May 28 filed *601,£62 shares ($100 par) common stock. Underwriting, none. Offering—To be offered for sub-; scription at $100 per share by stockholders on the basis of one new share for each six shares of preferred or ~ common held. Proceeds—To reimburse company's treas¬ ury for additions, etc. , • on or one or common and finance further construction. ($1 par) common stock. Underwriter—Heronymus & CO., Sheboygan, Wis, Pro¬ ceeds—To open and equip bottling plants in California cities. Price—$1 per share.. ! June 16, 1948 the extent of to , Bottling Co., Inc. of Calif., Sheboygan, March 22 filed 1,500,000 shares -Equip. Trust Ctfs, purposes. Pacific Gas and Electric Co., San Francisco June 4 filed 1,000,000 shares of redeemable first pre-; Wisconsin June 15, 1948 Underwriter—First Securities Corp.* Proceeds—General business • term notes and remainder will be used to finance busi¬ — , Old North State Insurance Co., Greenville, N. Cm March 15 filed 100,000 shares of capital stock ($5 par). will use part of proceeds to retire its secured short' Blosser. 45 build, furnish and tool a factory and apply close to $500,-* working capital. Brothers & (2565) 000 to pany City Power & Light Co. Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. Noon (EDT)-™-; . CHRONICLE man 14, 1948 Noon (CDT) FINANCIAL May 28 filed 300,000 shares ($1 par) common stock, of which 200,000 shares is in behalf of the company and 100,000 shares for selling stockholders. Underwriters—Leh¬ 11, 1948 Lonsdale .Co.*rr.T,«r— & Keller & Co., Inc.,. Boston, Mass. May 28 (letter of notification) 9,300 shares Of cumulative participating preferred stock and $200,000 of 20-* year 5V2% debentures, due 1968. Underwriter—General Stock & Bond Corp. For working capital and other corporate purposes. NEW ISSUE CALENDAR June 10, COMMERCIAL Shackleton Piano Co., Louisville, Ky. (letter of notification) 10,000 shares ($10 par) common stock. To be offered first to stockholders and June 2 any per unsubscribed shares later to the public. Price—$10 share. No underwriting. For additional working capital, ; Sierra Pacific Power Co. March 26 filed $3,500,000 first mortgage bonds, due Underwriters—To be determined by competitive 197*. bid¬ ding. Probable bidders include: Halsey, Stuart & Co* Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp. Proceeds—^Construction costs and the payment of $650,000 to National Shawmut Bank of Boston for construc¬ tion notes. On May 15 company asked California P. Ua 60-day extension of time in which to securities due to a possible revision of the ; Commission for issue the amount of bonds to be issued. Southern Natural Gas Co. (B/2JL) May 19 filed $28,000,000 first mortgage pipe line sinking fund bonds. Due 1968. Underwriting—Names to be de-*. (Continued on page 46) iJ 46 (Continued from page 45) by competitive bidding. Probable bidders in¬ Blyth & Co., Inc. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp, Proceeds—$14,000,000 will be applied to the payment (exclusive of accrued interest) of 1%% notes due 1956; balance for construction purposes. Expected • Virginia Iron, Coal & Coke Co., Roanoke, Va. shares of 4% preferred stock ($25 par) stock, to be sold by Mrs. Esther Buchman of New York City. Underwriter —To be filed by amendment. Business—Iron, coal and coke. 7 '' .7 '7; V- "■'/•' . :■ 25,000 • tive Standard Oil Co. of stock mon • no par International Petroleum value Underwriting—None. national, Tube Class B at Co., Chicago, III. * May 24 (letter of notification) 22,000 shares common stock (par $1). Underwriter—Wm. C. Roney & Co. Price by amendment. common shareholders of record June share of one Corp. of America, and an option to purchase 101,112 shares. * ■ $5,340,000 May 5 (letter assessable of common half at 40 cents. Underwriter The under¬ United 8,888 shares General cor¬ & Inc., Chicago * ent comomn ' each five now ment and Offering—To be made to pres¬ stockholders on the basis of one share for held. Proceeds—Expenditures for equipfacilities, retiring bank loans and debentures. shares * June 8 reported & new • / com- £ com* f Ohio Prob¬ Hall & Room 501, Transportation Richmond, Va., ders: the same / (Continued from : mistake as do page Communists of the Kremlin or the collectivists of contemporary India, when the promising of greater material; benefits, of neglecting the crucial question of the preser¬ vation of freedom. Surely, this problem of the rights of the indi¬ vidual should at least be recognized and stated. -ivy-,; ■■/ Likewise is the Chamber's document appeasing in its treatment of the labor problem^ There is no valid reason for businessmen to soft-pedal their advocacy of an open shop, nor to be unspecific about how far they would go toward subjecting unions to anti-trust legis¬ lation (such as forbidding to noon & 28 California company the rate of one has applied Gas Texas over well plans under consideration for a definite position them, as are corporations foresworn, from engaging in joint, collective, industrywide, nationwide action). ' 7 ' Even, more important than the Omissions cited above as well as others (such as tariffs and other basic elements of foreign economic policy), is the Report's pervasive vagueness, characteristic of so many middle-road pronouncements. Section 7, in full, states: "There should, be made available to the consuming public an ever-increasing variety of goods of the most acceptable Quality at the lowest possible pricest* Surely, this is no more than a pious hope for "the wel¬ fare state," and adeptly follows both the precepts of Mr. Laski (as restated in his new work, "The American Democracy"), as well as the typical slogan of one of our industrial corporations whom he is so fond of excoriating, "more goods for more people at less cost." But IIow Much Intervention? reaUy significant vagueness, which justifies the writing of this column, lies in the characteristically ambiguous conclusions the proper role of government and the necessary degree of planning. For here the Chamber's credo exemplifies the stultifica¬ tion characteristically attending efforts to follow the supposedly about innocuous "middle-road." Government should be caption of is Throughout it the run such expressions their master. as servant of the people—not It to further the general public interest" (the 8); "Except in time of war or 'other national emer¬ used> only sec. gency the government should not and the government should do take over"; "management, labor everything within their power to bring about the most productive results in industry and in business"; and there should be resort to governmental intervention only in those cases in which it is found necessary for the safeguarding of the public interest Surely such breadth of statement, as reflected in the lack of defi¬ ' f our own- 7 (Continued from page 7 10) 7 For the fiscal year ended March 31, 1948, Hammond Co., Chicago, showed pleasing the moderates like Morrison and socialist, extremists, Hugh Dalton and Aneurm Instrument net profit a of $1,381,909 after Federal income taxes/ This equal, after pre-' ferred dividends requirements, to $3.67 per common share, and com-| pares with $2.30 per common' t ,i course, assume that these compromise thoughts are part of the current "middle-of-the-roadism" by which believers in democ¬ racy sincerely think they can avoid tyranny and dictatorship of both the "right" and "left." The tragedy is that although believing they are thus fostering social, justice and capitalism, their embracing of share year. was for ; the .preceding 77/ 7.',7*-1:/:,/7Z /,.. - .;//•■ On fiscal' A:/;7/ /:/7?7*7v77:v m this "fantasy of the middle" can only lead to the tearing down of what they are trying to preserve. Actually,, as is being demonstrated throughout the world* the indefinite and disguised interventionism? they advocate produces a state of affairs to which they are funda¬ mentally opposed. As we are seeing in- Britain, if a government* / ~ Illinois Brevities subsidies, in :."7r'7-;^ '7/7;777 •/■>">■ -7- -7 We, of ' 7 shares would be issued in series when necessary. - • Pacific Light¬ is 2,000,000 shares of capital stock, of which 1,265,383 shares are outstanding. It is proposed' to use 1,265,383 shares of new common for exchange for exist¬ ing capital stock outstanding and to sell privately at $8 a share 625,000 shares under an arrangement already: made subject to shareholder approval./ The preferred . the P/ U. authorized Co., Inc., Indianapolis, Ind., as California Transmission Corp. * as well as Chamber of Commerce members and other complacent free-enterprisers. Such statements are all too often facing two? ways*- like the British Cabinet,' which >: is * simul¬ as the to 99 % of outstanding shares. New Deal planners Be van. v.: Co. June 28 stockholders will vote upon an increase in the authorized stock to 100,000 shares ($100 par) preferred' and 3,000,000 shares ($5 par) common. Existing capital the what-and-when of price controls, allocations, and catch the votes of the British Labor Government and Bevin Gas share for every three held. ing Corp. owns RR. engaged . Commission for authority to sell 384,000 additional com»-' mon shares to present stockholders at $25 a share, at / taneously Building, 201 W. Broad Street, (EST) June 22. Probable bid¬ Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & . Southern May asked SEC permission to sell 60,000 ad¬ ($10 par) common stock at $12.50 per > share,, the proceeds to finance, in part, a construction program. Prior subscription rights are due to be offered1, to existing stockholders, entitling them to purchase one 7^ 7 5) 77777:. ;7: o • company the up Halsey, / Stuart Hutzler. nition of "national emergency*? and the absence of ' 7 fj. ^ RR; < Bids for the purchase of $2,400,000 equipment trust cer¬ tificates will be received at office of H. S. Wood, Treas., ; ditional shares of can & potomac /v.';'/; (6/22) 7Y;l7/77/ -777-7 *77/7 • money purposes. on Richmond Fredericksburg . „ , • bonds, the proceeds to be used, for Indiana Gas & Water June 4 cumulative petitive bidding. Proceeds will be used to finance pany's business. /.v./,:, 7* v.,7U ,* company sale of $7,000,000 of Reclaiming Co., Inc., New York May 25 (letter of notification) $300,000 4%% subordinate convertible debentures, due June 1, 1962. Price, par. Underwriter—Ladenburg, Thalmann & Co. Offering— Offered for subscription by stockholders at par. Rights expire June 22. Complete new plant facilities. Gulf Mobile asked SEC permission to sell 200,000 ; preferred stock. Dividend rate;7 company of offering price and underwriting terms will follow (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley; Co., and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Kidder, Peabody, Co., and Dick & Merle-Smith (jointly). • Business—Air line. U. S. Rubber J- Co/ :f Public Service-Electric and Gas June 8 (6/10) 77,.— equipment trust cer¬ tificates, dated July 1, 1948, due semi-annually Jan. 1949-July 1, 1963, will be received up to 11:30 a.m. (CDT) June" 10, at office of company, Room 1136, La. Salle Street Station, Chicago. Proceeds will be used in connection with the purchase of equipment to cost $5,733,220. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.;Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Har¬ riman Ripley & Co., and Lehman Brothers (jointly). ^7 June 7 filed filed 369,618 shares ($10 par) common stock. Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc., New York. Price—By amendment. • \ ^ Bids for the purchase of $4,590,000 notification) 50,000 shares of non¬ stock (par 100) half at 25 cents and- Lines, Corp. , Chicago Rock Island & Pacific RR. Corp., Denver Underwriter—Forbes and Co., Denver. Air Metals equip¬ its first Co. To drill mining claims. • \ Proceeds will be usedito meet 80% equipment trust certificates, of the cost of 1,000 box cars and 500 hopper cars. able bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harris, & Minerals Permanente • Chicago & North Western Ry. May 28 company requested approval from the ICC of ment trust of 1948. common porate purposes. Uintah Corp. Philadelphia Baltimore & Washington RR. /7r The company has issued invitations for bids to be re¬ ceived up to noon (EDT) June 22 at. office of Geo. H. Pabst, Jr., Viee-President, 1811 Broad Street Station. Building, Philadelphia* for $17,570,000 in general mort¬ gage bonds, series F, maturing May 1, 1979. Probable v bidders: Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Halsey,- Stuart & Co. Inc.; I The First Boston. Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Mer- ; rill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Harriman f Ripley & Co. •^ « ' 1 | (6/15) receive bids until noon (EDT) June 15 at 3400 Terminal Tower, Cleveland, for the sale of $3,500,000 of equipment trust certificates. The certificates will mature from July 1, 1949 to July 1, 1958. Probable bidders include: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. y/ Philadelphia stock (par 15c). Price—$1.50 per share. —Wm. O. Duntze, 60 Wall St., New York. writer has a firm obligation to purchase Securities registration or some 500,000 to 700,000 shares/ Expected at early date, with Dean Witter & Co. and The First Boston Corp.; as underwriters. Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. per Sterilseat Union • 10, in the May 26 (letter of notification) 110,000 shares of and common The company will stock for each three shares held new Hutzler June 5 reported Detroit share. Rights expire 3 p.m., June 25. Fort Industry Co., owner of 122,757 shares of Standard Tube stocky expects to buy $250,000 of the new stock, with the purchase price to be credited against the $250,000' loan previously made by Fort Industry to Standard. $3 • Zonolite May 14 filed 136,667 shares of Class B common stock (par $1). Underwriting—None. Offering—Offered' to ratio of Bros.., & (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White, Weld & Co.; (jointly). Purpose—To gain control of Inter¬ Co., England Power Co., Boston, Mass. Salomon Canadian corporation. a Standard New i Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston ' Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lehman Brothers; Mer¬ Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Proceedsr—Retire $400,000 of bank loans, and for construction purposes. Business—Utility. Co., Ltd., at the '-TV■'"" RR. rill each. rate of three Standard shares for 20 International shares// Nashville bidders: Charleston," June 7 filed 8,000 shares of $5 preferred stock (no par). Underwriters—To be filed by amendment. Price—$100 com¬ & due 1978, the proceeds to be used to purchase the utility assets of Bellows Falls Hydro-Electric Corp. Probable West capital stock. s June 4 company asked SEC authority to sell at competi- ' tive bidding $11,000,000 first mortgage bonds, series B, r , Virginia Water Service Co., Virginia , Louisville • Inc., Walla Walla, Wash. preferred ($10 par). Price—$10 per share. No un¬ For development and expansion of the news¬ business. .; West Indiana Gas has hidders include Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. vy,.,v '7- •..vi paper (New Jersey) par) • • , held. June 3 reported company plans- the sale, possibly before 4 the end or June, of $30,000,000 in new bonds. Probable derwriter. Feed & Supply Co., Inc. ■ Farmingcfale, N. J. May 24 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares $5.50 cumula¬ tive preferred stock (par $100). Price, |>ar. Underwriter —Fidelity Securities & Investment Co., Inc., Asbury Park, N. J. Working capital. now 1948" „ June 3 (letter of notification), 10,000 shares 6% cumula¬ Squankum May 11 filed 1,265,255 shares ($25 Offering—To be offered holders of Walla Wallan, share for each 10 shares new and 15,000 shares ($10 par) common Gas Co., Dallas (6/25) shares of 5% cumulative preferred stock ($100 par). Underwriter—E. H.-Rollins & Sons, Inc., New York. Price—By amendment. Proceeds—To repay bank loans and finance additional construction. Business—Utility. filed Thursday, June 10, 600,000 shares of outstanding common stock, of which Public Service Co. of Indiana, Inc., its immediate parent, holds 267,010 shares. The company is a subsidiary of Middlewest Corp. • Southern Union 4 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL June 7 filed 3,750 about June 21. June & Upson Co., Lockport, N. Y. May 24 (letter of notification) 250 common shares (par $10). Price—$16.50 per share. Underwriter—J. W. Gould & Co., New York. Proceeds to selling stockholder. termined clude: COMMERCIAL THE (2566) > May 25, A. G. Becker & • Co. * Inc., Central Republic Oft. (Inc.), Cruttenden & Co., Keb- bon, McCormick Co. & - and Mullaney, Wells & Co* partici¬ after its first intervention, is not prepared to undo its interference pated in the public offering of 7 and go back. to a free economy, it alternatively 120,000 shares of Gambie-Skog- » must unceasingly and cumulatively keep on piling on ever more mo, Inc. 5% cumulative preregulations and restrictions, finally, all the economic freedom of 7 ferred stock at par ($50 per I" individuals disappears ,7. 7 7-7/ with the market .. 7/ "limited" price control as satisfactorily in a market economy. Take an share) and dividends. example. It cannot work - Either the" government must abstain entirely from the temptation to keep a ceiling on prices-or it inevitably must go on to substitute complete and all-over planning for the free market economy. Either prices are set on a free market by a free public, or else they must end in being arbitrarily deter¬ mined by some government central board of production management. Any half-baked in-between compromising can only lead to confusion and social and political strife. / 7. 7 r 7 :7;;\.7;'v^7 ; '/7'7 —7/7. The issue. oversubscribed.. Vas shares are convertible July 31, 1958. * These prior to- The net proceeds / used to reduce short-term were bank loans which aggregated $14,550,000 at April 30, 1948*'the : spring seasonal peak, i : > • ,7: ; The Russian. course of experience with planning is relevant and highly significant.. It was begun, by Lenin in 1920 in the form of separate disjointed moves in separate parts ot the economy and: intended for the improvement of particular industries or'the fulfill-* ment of limited aims. But it was only a, question of time when the The balance Coe &. iaries sheet of Faber, Gregg, Inc., and its subsid¬ as of Feb. 29, 1948 shows- Policy (NEP), marking a current assets of $3,107,311, com-' continuous struggle between complete nationalization and apoeasepared with current' liabilities of ment of the peasant, must, as it did, would give way to complete $1,295,872. Surplus amounted to planning on a global scale.* 7 " $2,323,061. Total assets were $3,period of the Soviet's New Economic - p. *Cf. E. H. Carr, "The Soviet Impact 25 et seq*, Macmillan, 1947. on the Western World," 107,311. 2,203 There shares df are outstanding preferred stock,* THE Number 4706 Volume 167 COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE each, and 30,000 shares $2.54 per common share, com¬ which also was reported in good pared with $1,753,536, or $3.50 per demand, though not entirely sold value common stock. * * * oh thb first day. common share, for the year ended Feb. 28, 1947. There are approx¬ A. G. Becker & Co. Inc. also Five banking groups bid for imately 3,500 stockholders. this issue which was sold as a participated in the public of- end that the par $100 of no par 11 • fering . of 32,834 cumulative /stock, preferred \ Lake Superior Co, at was an $20.75 issue of share. 52,800 Co. Power shares at the pre- , common : price. pany ; to subscribe expired " i-.'. ;; ' United - same * * Bights May 3. on * Printers & 3%% Inc. and associate ified Publishers tion (Inc.), Joliet, for the year ended Feb. 29, 1948 reported net sales of $14,443,743, as against $14,142,443 [ in the previous fiscal year. Net income amounted to $1,271,482, or ; rights to the expired The coupon paid group gram. the More Stock Equities Moving to on in which bank¬ manner able were ers to Public Co. place the huge blocks of North American Avia¬ tion, Inc., brought out late .last Sponsors share of block, this sold the latest proposals, projects ac¬ of 000 count of General Motors, were 10,000,- bonds, plus 200,000 new announce over the week- Hudson Bay and A / Tryouts for the STANY team will be held at Richmond County X Country Club, Staten Island, on June 23 (boat leaves at two o'clock). i one dollar ($1.00) s; Stock of this & York New record of 15, - ' request our members to assist Honduras us Board . of E. W. June 30. 1948. W. •Will this be 1X "if we you?—-Via f V *':X' 'V' * :'X * J ATKINSON, Treasurer HAROLD B. SMITH, Chairman ' . r • GAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY The Board of Directors of Louisville Gas and Electric Company (Delaware) at a meeting held June 4, 1948, declared a quarterly dividend thirty-seven and one-half cents (37%c) per on the Class A Common Stock of the Company for the quarter ending May 31, 1948, on of share payable by check July 20, 1948, to stockholders els of the close of business June 15, of record 1948. At the same Meeting a dividend of twenty-five per share was declared on Common Stock of the Company, (25c) B quarter W. KNOUREK, Treasurer second New York 5, N. Y. - share or three per value of the shares of The Texas Company has been declared this day, payable on July 1, 1948, to stockholders of record as shown by the books of the company at the close of busi¬ ness on June 4, 1948. The stock transfer cent (3%) on par L. H, Lindeman Treasurer I91$i Consecutive Quarterly Dividend Treasurer The Directors have declared share THE from the Stock, payable the Common on June 30, 1948," to stockholders of record at the close of business on June 14, COLUMBIA ••• ROBERTSHAW-FULTON CONTROLS COMPANY Youngwood, Pa, will be mailed. COMMON STOCK a c, ALLAN, Secretary and Treasurer PREFERRED STOCK share the following regular quarterly dividend: 'A; ?A'- ■ payable on No. 54,15^ per share . RADIO : - Dividend Dividend Notice of the issue, or At the meeting COMPANY entered orders for that ^amount,; ot Directors Board Western have X The Gas cents per i City Southern ' good powers .of absorp¬ The only other sizeable offer¬ tion 'although^ of course, it was ing involved $14,000,000 of first not* called upon this week to take up any substantial amount of of¬ mortgage, 20-year bonds of the ferings. ^-a a-!'' ./;■ ■■■<"'■ ' ;. "Kv Kansas City Southern Railway to new issue market continues Kansas show ; be for sustained cheer in underwriting circles. ■*. of what illustration pricing and yield means at the ' moment, with institutions proving the major outlet for highgrade bonds, was seen in the cir¬ proper 30, 30-year bonds Bankers paid the 102.10999 or company for a years' experience doing order work trading listed and unlisted secur¬ Desires position with Stock Exchange House. Box B 610, Com-, mercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8. 20 and ities. L. L. thinking same cessful group terms. in pretty The suc¬ reoffered the issue Familiar with listed Canadian Write, giving full and un¬ details, to At a held one Saieway Stores, Incorporated on Stores, Incorporated, on 1948 declared quarterly dividends on the The dividend Series A of the Com¬ payable Aug. 2,. 1948,"to stock¬ New York 6. . Stock Is and ■ Company, payable Aug, 2,1948, to stockholders of record ot the close of business July 6, 1948. Checks will be mailed, RICHARD ROLLINS June 1,1948. Company's $5 Par Value Common Preferred Stocks. and 5% Convertible 4% Series B of the N T 10 Drive, Chicago were declared by the Board of Directors May 27, 1948, as Secretary the on the Common of 25c per share is payable July 1, 1948 to stock¬ at rate holders of record at the close of busi¬ ness Cumulative Preferred Stock ; Stock is and is at the on rate $5.00 Par Value Common . payable June 30, 1948, to stockholders of record a* the close of business June 18, 1948. Both dividends the 5 % Preferred are Bankers Trust Company of $1.25 per share Vice President and Treasurer June 17,1948. MILTON L. SELBY, Secretary. of New York. Robert P. Resch payable July 1,1948 to stock¬ May 28,1948. Stock Regular Quarterly Dividend of Forty Cents (40c) per share. holders of record at the close of busi¬ ness Regular Quarterly Dividend of One Dollar ($1.00) per share. Checks will be mailed by the June 17,194$. The dividend on follows: 25th Consecutive Safeway May 28, meeting of the Board of Directors June 1, 1948, a dividend of . A R ★ Dividends 4% Stock Dividends DIVIDENDS dollar ($1) per snare was declared the Cumulative Preferred Stock Charles King & Co., 61 Broad¬ way, o 20 North Wacker BAXTER, President At the same meeting a dividend or ninety-three and! three-fourths cents ($.9375) per share was declared on the Cumulative Preferred Stock 3.75% securities. P General Offices ■>'..; July 6,1948. WANTED OR about June holders of record at the close of business HELP WANTED listed MINERALS & CHEMICAL c 1948 1948. ; pany, a 31/s% TDTTLE, Treasurer New York, N. Y., June 4, The Board of Directors of ARBITRAGE TRADER with the first four bidders apparently much the Chicago on PREFERRED of the Florida Power & Light Co. coupon, A. B. 15, 1948. Checks will the First National from Trader Available cumstances that attended the of¬ of of June 14, 1948. Preferred and Common fering of $11,000,000 of new first mortgage, of record) at the close of business ers made A'forceful price mailed Bank with equities share, for the period April J, Stock, payable July 1, 1948, to hold¬ declared" quarterly dividend of twenty cents (20c) per share, payable June 30, 1948, to its holders of common stock SITUATION WANTED the apparent renewal of strength in the field of seasoned Secretary & Treasurer » June 2, 1948 the $3.50 Cumulative First Preferred THE ATLANTIC REFINING CO, But, those that reached mar¬ ket encountered good reception and the overall results, along 87 V2 a of record June The will not be closed. The transfer books 1948 to June 30,1948, was declared on of Arkansas Company has at June 15, 1948. of the Board of Direc¬ held today, a dividend of tors Common Stock at least to the close of business WAITER H. STEFFIER ance 000 record stockholders of on First Preferred Stock ARKANSAS WESTERN companies reported to have taken down a total of $10,000,- Con¬ Stock both payable July 1, 1948, to 102.4613 to yield the buyer a return of 3%.A-A;; ^AA "-'•&> tion with three of the big insur¬ Preferred have been declared, OF AMERICA at CAS 20$ per Common regular Cumulative vertible CORPORATION Secretary Meeting the yield ideas of in¬ stitutional buyers this proved a real "out-the-window" opera¬ the quarterly dividend of 2911/16$ per share on the Dale Parker p." of the and 4 3A% August 14, 1948, to holders of AAA on Stock A record at close of business July 20, 1948. dividend A Philadelphia 32, June 4,1948 The Board of Directors has declared this day June 3,1948 > Its A dividend of 75^ per » " " - paid and predecessor.^ of quarter LANGLEY, COMPANY TEXAS > - payable OFFICE OF LOUISVILLE Common Stock * i T 1948, 15, dividend of seventy-five cents ($.75) per v Yearbook. Committee, NSTA V Collin, Norton & Co., ; r %}.XXp,pXXP'X'■ VXX120 Broadwayi: ,X-AA';V ; ,p June P. L. BONNYMAN. Treasurer. company GAS SYSTEM, INC. , on the Common Stock stockholders of record at May 27, 1948 of this Company; day, declared an Accumulated Surplus of the Company a "■* With the above in mind let's not be like the pessimist who says, don't try, we can't fail." < Let's be the optimist who says, "if don't try, we can't win." ? >■. ^ to business June 30, 1948. Transfer books will not be closed. the Electric Storage battery 1948. Checks * ; we «-» C. of books will remain open, 1948. 383 would suggest our members discussing this type of business with the partnersof their firms or with directors they may p- bp acquainted with. We would indeed consider it a privilege to an¬ nounce in these columns the member securing the first corporate ad. ["■V:t'V the Company per share Company The Rosario 1948, of Sixty Cents ($.60) a share on the outstanding capital stock of this Company, payable on June 26, 1948, to stockholders of ■record at the close of business on June 16, 1948. • we cents close the stock' stock transfer books will remain open. June 9. NO. Directors this at a Meeting held interim dividend for ads. We think this type of advertising would get, plenty of recognition in-our issue and the 183rd Consecutive Dividend to 129 Broadway, New York 5, X. Y, The in securing corporate advertising for our 1948 "Chronicle" NSTA Convention Year Book. Many of our members are close to companies, either by financing or trading and this year your committee is most desirous to obtain such < 50 of by The Texas Company 1948, Mining Company DIVIDEND *AD LIBBING" we above of THE fioK 8. 1948 .A A "May The Com' payable July holders H. E. DODGE, Treasurer, Those wishing to try out should contact Gerald Kane, Luckhurst & Co., Inc., or Theodore piumridge, J. Arthur Warner & Co., Inc. Co. DIVIDEND No. 97 has declared a dividend the for ending May 31, 1948, pa>ao.e uy cneck July 20, 1948, to stockholders of record as of the close of business June 15, 1948. ;■ - • ital pany, and Boston started some years ago. V ^However, it is hoped a second foursome can be arranged with [Philadelphia which would not have anything to do with the STANY Cup,' which. New York won last year, pacific ft STOCK been declared on the Cap' shareholders of record at the close of business on August 13, 1948. Unfortunately, this year the team will consist of four members only, getting back to the original competition with Philadelphia NOTICES Mountain Raton, Now Mexico, May 25, 1948. COMMON the divi¬ hast A regular quarterly , to ,j Rocky dend of. 7 5 d per share (Canadian) per share has been de¬ on the Capital Stock of this Company, pnyabto September 13, 1948, ^ sell, stock of the total, and COMPANY Mining clared The team will compete against Philadelphia and Boston at Philadel¬ phia on July 9. * f Louis, G. Smelting Co., Limited Dividend of to This HON OIL DIVIDEND NO, 35 f St, Class DIVIDEND NOTICES DIVIDEND NOTICES SECURITY TRADERS' ASSOCIATION OF NEW YORK plans mid-July. naturally carries control. cents NSTA Notes able to are & Gas Electric Service Office around N. J. has filed to market States Power Co. of Minn., in its 1,000,061 for of a 200,000 shares of cumulative, pre¬ ferred to finance, in part, its ex¬ pansion plans. And, Northern week. ; General's DIVIDEND portion of their capital needs through preferred stock once again. are nancing took real encouragement from the at least raise looking forward broad revival of equity fi¬ a underwriters shares of common stock of Ameri¬ can Bosch Corp., which Attorney Appearing Spurred by the apparent change in the investment situation, cor¬ porations, particularly public util¬ ities, are inclined to attempt to ly early placement for the loan. stockholders par pre¬ represents 77% yield 3.60%, Those who no ■ Meanwhile making ready to bid for 535,882 99.40 and reoffered the at 100.35 to bonds laney, Wells & Co. . that with demand indicating relative¬ Dempsey & Co. and Mul- were winning shares of cumulative ferred. company June 8. Other Chi¬ cago investment bankers partic¬ ipating in this underwriting , Two payer. 3%% rate. a completed Marketing of this big secondary naturally, enjoyed a propitious "backdrop" in the shape of re¬ vival of activity in the aviation industry under the impetus of the while the remaining three spec¬ under¬ offering, at $12.75 share, had been and books closed. a 47 country's vast new defense pro¬ interest bid for groups were awarded the priv¬ ilege of underwriting an offer¬ ing by Consolidated Edison Co. of New York, Inc. to the latter's common stockholders of $57,-. 382,600 of 3% convertible de¬ bentures, due June 1, 1963. The group bid $1,000 for the under¬ writing privilege. The subscrip¬ of stockholders, of the utility com-* ; ♦ writers, : This the unsubscribed portion * On May 18, Halsey, Stuart & of $20, District per ❖ 5% second par viously offered to the j of shares convertible (2567) ★ . Mining and Manufacturing Phosphate * Potash * Fertilizer • Chemicals 48 COMMERCIAL THE (2568) FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & could If A Interprelitions be must asserted "isolationist." general consider would was that he iso¬ It was would not accept if Senator Van- GOP nom¬ the became denberg the an not revealed. nomination the an whom Just lationist stated nominates party Republican inee. ; • condition Second that Mr. candidate renomination. * The general hower's for is acceptance "Truman withdraw as a against his former will not fight for of in¬ this that subject to the two "ifs." r 1 for one of establishing house for a one-half of But if even double a on a only costs plus overhead—hardly a paying • > house. There the move is probably not a capable contractor in the vicinity willing to undertake the job. Even if contractor a would be were required found, to he undertake specific items, from bulk mate¬ rials to number of farm tractors would have to negotiate with tele¬ and and number of variety the job. will not It for be ready communities. who of ' has been veterans buy take double two weeks. they have to the • 20 plunge. pre¬ Then; they have to deposit 10% with wide pretty who have about to pare a single houses and In two weeks foreign aid. There buy houses, habilitation phase core tape of for themselves*'12 veterans ness even beginning to the industrial re¬ which is the a - going into the real estate busi¬ will have to sift and confer and cor¬ be ... To arrange all the red where ECA can veteran authorities, to lift telephone and lines and obtain permits to get. the house moved through all Then the whole business will be relate before there the power couple of weeks. a bodily, phone companies, power compa¬ nies, county road authorities, town and types of steel. OEEC is at present moment in the midst of tools, to quantity anyway moved were This word was obtained after a belief that the scale which Europe the government. If they are not within the last suggested last September for her able thereafter deal, then conference secret of Democratic bigwigs industrial rehabilitation exceeded with the Columbia University any realizable physical possibili¬ President. These Democratic ties. OEEC will come up for the few days leaders say has been a Truman's western trip flop. He will be beaten first time (officials hope) the first, concrete, coordi¬ schedule of just what with badl.y, and his defeat will threaten nated the Democratic party Europe wants and for years. FIRST: is Now the good all of what the Washington, for, at least so far as the Congressional open forum is concerned, this is most intense in period the regular quadrennial political sea¬ To swipe a little of the lingo of the bill-drafting lawyers, pol¬ son. iticians this for to include construed foreign retaries, trators, foreign i d a sec¬ adminis¬ Senators and be may purpose Even pol¬ iticians say in the since plan talk. for time beware to men * <! « running covertly for President as well as thundering herd of President, Cabinet members, and Congres¬ sional politlcos. nomic tion) Marshall -'T V- granting unusual speed the upon this part ECA of (Eco¬ 0 then, it and still is rials. ECA's Until just fuel, fertilizer, plus Here food pur¬ less than $300 million. * * : vid outpourings from Washing¬ ton over the weekend on foreign aid, it is suggested that no one, In reading official statements, be without sign. such What little a "beware" are supposed you to believe is that Johnny Tabei% aided and abetted by a House majority, snipped Uncle Sam's boys streaming while over something Railroad Congress * Other' down. any time same Congress, or at least the House, in making the "cut," has committed itself morally to consider raising the appropriation if the actual need develops Hence, for the Europe shows if profitably and use industrial S. shows more can it can machinery materials it money. and spare the same, more. was disposition Certainly if the Reds break again on a binge of taking over countries, a larger appropri¬ ation is a certainty next Winter. loose ■ . alarm 1949. At the until Congress in effect says it will authorize, or rather appropriate, ■ It might be added that outside those who professionally view with 30, expenditures Thus to model, age payments. then all Europe or June U, suspenders and in effect invited Uncle Joe to send his unwashed the tax for vignettes of the government of the 1 runs. Congress has appropri¬ : . for cut a management in the unemployment workers, its railroad among credit" with Treasury for this is ing accumulated to $934 million. Congress worked out provided railroad of the workers from creased per that a a bill. pensions should $120 in¬ $50 of Increased buy unemploy¬ compensation credit tions, between now and the time Congress returns next January and boys who foreign aid are concerned with not worried are and here is why: First, it to is openly acknowl- check again. Senate the Herbert H. Blizzard & Co. into That is is There is the a a factual "full" period of an of years a ^ double house. Weddings has been or High School Graduations Cause you to neglect Your market operations. dough. his basis to the If he is able to buy or thru—Montgomery, Scott & Co. New York St Philadelphia has maintain actual been trying control . Thus when the ERP (as a a lot as¬ that zoning particular lot. Y. 1-1397 house on all the myriad of local govern¬ fore he knows he deal.; ahead* r /. No can swing the '■: bank Oregon Portland Cement Riverside Cement A & R Spokane Portland Cement the ment and union regulations be¬ • Ralston Steel Car ; He must satisfy could ■'/>.• lend him T LERNER & CO. " , Investment Securities 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9, Mass. Telephone Hubbard 1990 Teletype BS 99 the Teletype—NY 1-971 Empire Steel Corp. Firm Trading Markets On the other free from strings possible. tion Teletype N. Susquehanna Mills FOREIGN SECURITIES ' likewise as j'1; HA. 2-8780 Exchange PL, N. Y. 5 some of to All Issues distinguished as •, Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. FOREIGN SECURITIES ... ... ■, authoriza¬ 50 Broad Street SPECIALISTS 1 ; the * New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO from . fARL MARKS & pp. Inc. much * , ex¬ penditures whereas the Adminis¬ 123 South Broad St., Philadelphia 9, Pa. 1919 Secutity Dealers Ass'n double house which to put it. He must HAnover 2-0050 tration has been trying to get the Ciear 40 arrangements to own "demountable" railroad emanagement drops an ;! hand, it is also true that the House money ESTABLISHED Members AT, Y. , trying to chip off of the ERP , M. S. WlEN & Co. Trading Markets: assertion that the House all along Don't let June Co./"-*'*"- Seatex Oil must veteran a regulations will permit the location of this 3% indcter- a certain From $200 rate Vz of 1%. For Lonsdale to single on in present minate kick to higher. up the situation sure $450 million. million can minimum. The pretty amount than buy single house, he must find this,fund to $450 million, the tax varies between above $5.9 billion, more ; he bliys. remains be spent under optimum condi¬ less than 5 sale move the Ms of 1% until the unemployment the ciphers Tidelands Oil tvt heater and fixtures. Looks a make allowed to reduce pensation tax to as ■ . for For $500 or $600 a vet¬ However, the rate of unemployment com¬ such time few a ; Dorset Fabrics , In this compromise bill man-i was U. S. Finishing T like a good buy. For $800 he can ment compensation was denied.1 v: agement - offered (are can with $144; with the lump sum death restoration of single "demount¬ able" home of small living room, two bedrooms,, kitchen and bath* to payments. matter a offering for sale. eran month to $60, and a maximum from ¬ 2 veterans. [of of T. Texas Gas Transmission h;;i These It be minimum is enactment "demountable" houses which PHA the hav¬ purpose $4 billion the deal a Adjacent to the national capital is the Naval Powder Factory at Indianhead, Md. At that installa¬ tion are 12 single and 40 double, the not of is That is the law. /■/, 3% to pays over one this to veterans and to sell them fast. vignette concerns the Publics Housing Administration, which sells used war housing. Federal Government to support ated even that veteran probably couldn't swing short of three months. PBA a Sorry. public or investors have any stake in this issue, one way or another, is beside the point. When both management and labor agreed, Congress moved with alacrity to pass it.; Its final No. asked from the foreign aid blank check, snitch which net gain except for days, ; : management < Congress has appropriated $5.9 billion for foreign aid, a figure available are*two Congress this year demand¬ ing increased pensions, higher old chases cleared since April 7 total government. knows Whether the /'rv" • a corporation taxes. upon mate¬ raw authorized revenue, No. 1: Railroad labor descended small a i$», ij; U. S. A.,, 1948, bulk. amount of industrial lettuce a annual tax of $100 million on its appropriation) was up, the Administration asked for $6.8 billion for 18 months, or from April of this year through way in again—everybody's ordering a glars of water!" and current begin move as is told by Congress to offer them pending, ton's bureaucracy, it will be fall of this year before ECA goods the After listening to the perfer- leaf and the rest of Washing¬ to the the to PBA "It's income tax week June of next year. Cooperation Administra¬ swing lose their 10% "liquidated dam¬ ages" handle, the can all to they deposits soon to submerge , a he by contract not to discriminate against Negroes or Communists in moving the house. If. the house and Commerce Department indicated house, double a European Economic Cooper¬ to compile estimates of needs for thousands of ination. was he the actual sent to Washington, It on find to Then the veteran must ation) Commander in Chief for the nom¬ telligence may be quickly denied, for the new prospect was not said to be a firm commitment, but an indication of what would happen bid proposition. Organization the to order of a veteran he sold to job of the (executive the is committee Paris committee machine Eisen¬ for It guesses. nomination, is that the cept the in veteran. 5% little better than informed were chieftan would ac¬ Former Army Most separate lot, he could charge the edged by most In authority that the estimates for foreign aid before the met lots. located ^ condition which it is double house, a two second specified conditions, it was asserted here by political authorities highest level who, nevertheless, insisted upon remaining first he Then the veteran is in the busi¬ ness LUNCH — the The that themselves. B0SIA)€ SSMCAJS JL Cr U WASHINGTON, D. C.—General Dwight D. Eisenhower will be¬ the Presidential candidate of the Democratic party under cer¬ anonymous. buys find forced are come tain he house — of knew veterans, in order to buy V/iji XjL I f/U * - it swing the deal. must Washington... from the Nation'* Capital before money BUSINESS BUZZ Behind-the-Scene I Thursday, June 10, 1948 Markets and Situations for Dealers 120 Broadway, New Tel. REctor 2-2020 York 5 Tele. NY 1 -2680 ; *■ Volume 167 Number 4706 ' _ THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE . , l Pictorial Insert I Bond Club of New York 24th Annual Field Day Hal Murphy, Financial Chronicle; Geo. J. Leness, Merrill Lynch, Fenner & Beane, incoming President of the Bond Club; William H. Long, Jr., Doremus & Co. Jansen - ■■ Russell Lea, Reynolds & Co.; Russell Welles, Central Hanover Bank & Trust Co.; Richard Newell, Dillon, Read & Co.; David L. Skinner, Harriman Ripley & Co. Noyes, Jr., Hemphill, Noyes & Co.; H. C. Clifford, Kidder, Peahody & Co.; Willard I. Emerson, Hemphill, Noyes & Co. r.'iyim , -'-v ■ 1 William P. King, Harris, Hall & Co., Inc., New York; Durwin D. Algyer, Goldman, Sachs & Co.; John C. Maxwell, Tucker, Anthony & Co.; Allyn W. Maxwell, Central ■••■Tr,--.1':^v Hanover Bank & Trust Co. . Walter E. Sachs, Goldman, Sachs & Co.; Robert E. Broome, Guaranty Trust Co Co.; J. F. Burns, Harris, XJpham & Co. V. Theodore Low, Bear, Stearns & Frank E. Gernon, Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Chauncey L. Arrowsmith, Arrowsmith, Post & Colket & Co., John Arrowsmith, Cohu & Co.; Don ; . Co.; John P. G. Moran, Irving Trust Co. Waddell, Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc.; Welch; J. A. de Camp, Penington, New York ' Edward Glassmeyer, Jr., Blyth & Co.; Paris Scott Russell, Jr., Glore, Forgan & Co, Edwin H. Herzog, hazard Freres & Co.; Clarence Goldsmith, White, Weld & Co. Gurden B. W. Pizzini & Co.; J. W. Rutter, Rutter & Co.; B. W. Pizzini, Co.; Col. Oliver J. Troster, Troster, Currie & Summers; Everett T. Tomlinson, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane Halsey, B. W. Pizzini & V1 Pictorial Insert II THE At COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL H. . ,, / Edward Vollmers, Morgan Stanley & Co.; Gordon Duval, Guaranty Trust Co.; Charles L. Morse, Jr., Hemphill, Noyes & Co. : W. Grindal, Reynolds & Co.; Louis Fetzer, Hayden, ,' James D. Topping, J. D. Topping & Co. . Marks, Smith, Barney & Co.; T. J, Bryce, Clark, Dodge & Co. , Stone & Co.; R. Inslee Clark, Spencer Trask & Co. Paul Si?P> First of Michigan Corp.; Walter Dempsey, B. J. Van Ingen & Co.; Dlck Rand> Rand & Co.; L. Eugene Marx, Salomon Bros. & Hutzler;, r Edward H, Nelson, Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Arthur W. M. B. Stitzer, Hill & Co., New York; Lester Powers, Dominick & Dominick; Walter Cooper, F. S. Smithers & Co.; John J. Nolan, G. H. Walker & Co., New York 1 ■- H. Thursday, June 10, 1948 Sleepy Hollow Country Club June 4th Robert L. Harter, First Boston Corp.; E. H. Robinson, Schwabacher & Co.; Reg Jarvis, McLeod, Young, Weir & Co., New York; Ted Hawes, Wertheim & Co. . CHRONICLE John C. Cheever Hard wick, Smith, Barney Leverett F. Hooper, First National & Co.; Bank; Francis P.'Gallagher, Kidder, Peabody & Co. John J. Clapp, Jr., R. W. Pressprich & Co.; R. W. Pressprich, Jr., R. W. Pressprich & Co.; W. Manning Barr, Barr Bros. & Co.; Ernest J. Altgelt, Jr., Harris Trust & Savings Bank Straley, Hugh W. Long & Co., explaining jokes in "Bawl Street Journal" to Terry DeDeo Harold W. Davis, Laird, Bissell & Meeds; Elmer Dieckman, Glore, Forgan & Co. Volume 167 Number 4706 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Pictorial Insert III CHRONICLE Drew Record Attendance Arthur H. Kiendl, Guaranty Trust Co.; F. A. Krayer, Harriman Ripley Theodore W. Hawes, Wertheim & Co.; Charles E. Robinson, & Co.; William B. Chappell, First Boston Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co.; William L. Canady, W. L. Canady & Co. T. Holsapple, Holsapple & Co.; Taylor, Bankers Trust Co.; Hubert F. Atwater, J. G. White & Co. Louis A. F. J. T. Foster, Lee Higginson Corp.; M. G. B. Whelpley, New York; Allen Du Bois, Wertheim & Co. Veit, Shields & Co.; Charles Hazelwood, E. H. Rollins & Sons, Inc. G. H. John Mahoney, Geo. Darnall Wallace, Coffin & Burr, Incorporated; Robert T. Hawley, Lionel D. Edie & Co.; Eugene Scarborough, Central Republic Co.; Starring, Jr., Graham, Parsons & Co.; Paris Scott Russell, Jr., Glore, F org an & Co. Mason B. Vanderhoef & Robinson; Alfred Shriver, Morgan Stanley & Co. Earle Arthur Wilson Jones, Linen, Chase National Bank; James G. Couffer, B. J. Van Ingen & Co., Inc.; Geo. Holzman, Chase National Bank Federal Reserve Bank (retired); Adolph E. Gehrung; Frederick Clarkscn, Auchincloss, Parker Walker, Jr., G. H. Walker & Co., New York; Joseph A. W. Iglehart, W. E. Hutton & Co.; James Lee, Lee Higginson Corp. H. & Redpath; W. Murray Lee, Hannahs, Ballin & Lee Clarence E. Goldsmith, White, Weld & Co.; Geo. J. Gillies, First Boston Corp.; Edwin H. Herzog, Lazard Freres & Co. THE Pictorial Insert IV VH M V V For Full F. A. John COMMERCIAL MP" ^M| & FINANCIAL m ' V Valentine, Harris, Hall & Co.; F. Kenneth Goldman, Sachs & Co.; Lee M. Stephenson, Fred C. ■■ Thursday, June 10, 1948 _ a H Day of Sport and Entertainment Willard, Reynolds & Co.; Grosvenor Farwell, Hitt, Farwell Associates; Geo. W. Bovenizer, Kuhn, Loeb & Co. Limbert, Blyth & Co., Inc. CHRONICLE " B. C. Eustis, Spencer Trask & Co.; M. D. Hall, L. A. Mathey & Co.; A. Stanger, Jr., Riter & Co.; J. L. Richmond, Reynolds & Co. W. John McMaster, Great American' Insurance Co.; Herbert W. Marache, Granbery, Marache & Co.; Egerton B. Vinson, De Haven & Townsend, Crouter & Bodine Rummel, Burr & Co.; Jim Colthup, Freeman & Co.; Reitenbaugh, Goodbody & Co. W. Arthur Frank Wood; John S. Adrian M. Massie, New York Trust Co.; Egerton B. Vinson, De Haven & Townsend, Crouter & Bodine; David L. Skinner, Harriman Ripley & Co. /•••<-•■ Grotz, Geo. H. Reeves and A. D. Lane, all of Chase National Bank *" y J. William Smallwood, Carl H. Pforzheimer & Co.; Walker W, Stevenson, Jr., Hemphill, Noyes & Co. \v*# %. Arthur Nelson, Burnham & Co.; Jacob C. Asiel & Co. Stone, ^r' y \ William S. Geo. P. ; - -v*• WilsonMontgomery, Scott & Co.; Rutherford, Dominion Securities Corp. • *