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M/' MAR 1 W -v. >t> ESTABLISHED 1S39 tfUS. UBRA«t Ike Commercial Reg. U. S. Pat. Office Volume 168 Number 4714 New The Stock Market | : | An Emphatic Word of Caution ;i By M. S. BENJAMIN * abandoning bullish position, calls attention to deflation¬ such plant the building of to meet this demand, the ar¬ capacity V if • , for demand the as goods, mament pro¬ and the have constructively gram, E R P, d i o m t ed n a common as •' .' v,. • \" "■ I'f.1','V ;?'?? ■, other which have But to high time the "new of meant • the into net; gross In the first that trans late to structure! place, it extent of to us threat to seems the new invest¬ in ment Walter. F. Hahn than ability prewar market the more less or road and equip¬ the third round of wage increases is ment in the past decade, which not sufficiently appreciated. may have meant a smaller rela¬ Last winter there were signs of tive v/age factor. But probably growing buyers' resistance, but more important than all other fac¬ the subsequent drop in farm prices tors combined has been the wage ^nd the effbrtsi on behalf of large and price spiral, which for the corporations, such as Ford and railroads, has meant higher hourly International Harvester, to lower wages, ; higher cost of materials their prices in order to bring down and supplies including fuel, and the cost of living, promised hope. higher freight rates and passenger our arising economy from (Continued 43) on page standpoint that * sev¬ plans is to generate this prosperity as 3 means to¬ securing mass . content- Perhhp$ the most slirprising step the never-predictable, ment and thus g Kremlin has taken for h good while past was the recent blocking ?a toward denunciation of Marshall Tito. We say the Kremlin advisr Com munism. edly, for although the action was taken by the "Cominform," an organization quite distinct from the Russian Soviet, no one who has cut his eye teeth has any doubt about the ultimate source of authority and power or about the origin of the action taken against the Yugo¬ which insists that it is slavian dictator. are guesses is putting on — just at the moment that Russia by observers to have some conclusion which may or may not the per yet as ceed tr has suc¬ d e William Chamberlain in anquilizing explanation of such things stand out with great a deep significance be sound. as on page (Continued *An lain address before Harvard on page 28) by Mr. Chamber¬ the Graduates of the Business Francisco, Cal., -School, San June 17, 1948. But what¬ these, certain facts clarity, and from these (Continued people, the Marshall Plan is predicated upon a simple premise: a major requirement is that of them better than guesses. none taken was its "big show" in Berlin with the outcome in doubt is taken —a meaning of this unexpected action, there without end The fact that it none which of the As to the real _ Like its pred¬ ecessors, a number of 32) State and 36) on page political purpose the ward , there does to . began the present inflation(Continued Havana of alone, the railroad Maybe They All Will Learn Curtain > ever the From the Iron prosperity essential #>t r a n q u ility, > of f fares. share earnings material general The 1 p < But now, as a result of these third that Am PFe See If total which have may is it of ency, consider and pause look" now exist eral less traffic; man¬ agerial effici¬ com¬ belief that within certain states outside not EDITORIAL may or share stocks. mon Maurice S. Benjamin more and Spokesmen for'the State Department have announced that the Department's plans for European recovery have their origin in the meant than;? pre-war accumu¬ lation of \\?t v,;b' '.'J'-. * factors#1 —location, advised the 1 A.- 7y.\ course,? been ■ continu¬ ally ;,-j The almost sensational differences in the earnings trends of in¬ railroad companies since the end of the war in 1945 to a large extent have been due to the upward spiral of wages and other costs and freight and passenger rates* There have, of bullish elements possibilities dividual im¬ pressed by have . share earnings occasioned by wage-price spiral. per ' v'rv;' v* fully these up basis? for calculating future earnings a been have Company Asserting false premise of Marshall Plan is assumption that under existing monetary and fiscal practices it is possible to create prosperity and contentment iit states to be aided, Mr. Chamber¬ lain holds, until an honest medium of exchange is adopted, pur¬ pose of plan cannot be successful/ Contends only honest ex¬ change medium is one based on a material of value, and cites orgy of spending, instability and gambling in times of inconvertible paper currency. ' Sees $1 billion of U. S. gold sufficient to put Western Europe on gold currency basis. common and the relative attraction of individual stocks. Stresses importance of basic railroad "arithmetic" in light of substantial changes in We scene. denominator the number of shares of and in this way 60 roads economic the / Former President, United Light and Power the important items of railroad income enables quick comparison of leverage position? of individual stocks. Gives table of comparative data on During the past 18 months boom durable as accounts activity, prices and profits* factors, Using stock, Mr. Hahn sets factors threatening industrial ary Copy Members of the New York Stock Exchange economist, numerous By WILLIAM CHAMBERLAIN * Railroad Specialist, Smith, Barney & Co. previous a Currency—Only of European Recovery Means |:v By WALTER F. HAHN Benjamin Hill & Co. Market Price 30 Cents Redeemable Measuring Earnings Trends in II Railroad Stocks Senior Partner, v • York, N. Y., Thursday, July 8, 1948 j. Municipal Lithographing Co. R. H. Johnson & Co. Established — * Bonds 1927 — INVESTMENT SECURITIES Hirsch & Co. Bond Department 64 Wall Street, New York 5 THE NATIONAL CITY BANK Members New York Stock Exchange and other Exchangee 15 Broad St., New York 4, N. Y. *Anortt t-0«00 Chicago * ' Teletype NT 1-010 Cleveland Geneva Londea (Representative) BOSTON Troy PHILADELPHIA Albany Buffalo Harrisburg Syracuse 52 WILLIAM ST., OF NEW YORK Scranton Wilkes-Barre Bell Woonsocket Washington, D. £. TENNESSEE Bood Dept. Teletype: NY 1*708 For Banks, Brokers and 4s of 1960-90 . BROADCASTING CO. Distributors of Municipal ' ACTIVE TRADING MARKETS Gordon Graves & Co. INSTITUTIONAL 30 Broad OTIS & CO. (Incorporated) Established Street, New York 4, N. Y. Tele. NY 1 -809 and . .. :: fl Cincinnati ■ Chicago Columbus Montreal OF BONDS & STOCKS Est. 1896 Analysis Grporation 40 Exchange Place, New York5,N.Y, Toledo Buffalo Telephone JtEetor 2-7340 111 New other ..r request York Stock Exchange Principal Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 Teletype NY 1-702-3 upon j , ira haupt & co. Members 120 Broadway, New York 5 Bell System NEW YORK OF COMMON and Denver CITY & Light Co. f Dominion Securities SUTRO BROS. & CO. THE Wisconsin Power CANADIAN ? CHASE NATIONAL BANK Toronto Members New York Sbock Exchange 1899 CLEVELAND New York - Connect Bought—-Sold—Quoted Corporate Securities INVESTMENTS Tel. WHitehall 3-2840 (Fundings) New York Wires THE HAnover 2-0980 Dealers UNITED KINGDOM Underwriters and N. Y. 5 Teletype NY 1-395 Private Springfield GAS TRANS. CORP. AMERICAN HART SMITH & CO. Teletype NY 1-2708 Boston Telephone: Enterprise 1820 2 THE (98) COMMERCIAL. FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & Thursday, July 8, 1948 not Ouit Economic System in the Unsettled World Time, Inc. Bird & Son, Inc. Memo By WALTER E. Request on Halliburton Oil Well BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED New York Hanseatic - Broadway, New York NY Teletype 7-5GfiO BArclay * " Corporation 120 ; . on • \ collapsed and prostrate■■ and his followers. Monetary "Policy Since the Keynesian philosophy philosophy of Socialism, Socialists naturally em¬ is in essentials braced the the the extreme forms of more so-called Deal, New which, after 1935, rested to such a great degree.. on the Socialist-Keynes theories; * and " even the Com¬ * 5 have have1 been- left by pursuing courses similar to that implied in the doctrines of Keynes . Spahr, in pointing out trend toward governmen'ally controlled economy since 1932, in line with the withering and blighting of economic science by ih; Keynesian-Socialist doctrines, deplores departure from competitive free enterprise system. Contends Socialism & road to retrogression and urges, in rela¬ tionship between U. S. economy and that of Socialist Britain, and Russia, we.keep ourselves economic¬ ally strong. Sees greatest danger in irredeemable naner, money,, byf which government can run away with peoples'purse. • " Request on SPAHR*'( /-Professor of Economics, New York University Dr. Cementing Co. Prospectus > Executive Vlce?Presldient, Economists' National Committee S:K , „' j ; . jn the history of the world. Governments nations found munists the ac¬ program ceptable and embraced it in prac¬ I. 1-583 tically all its forms.; The Present Condition of Our Economic System; The peace-time spending pro¬ Our economic system today reveals a relatively high degree of government manage¬ grams of our government, begin¬ ment superimposed upon, or mixed with, the elements of private enterprise. This becomes ning roughly late in 1933, and considerable portions of expendi¬ clear,if we view the present structure in the light of our past. We must, of course, ex¬ tures during, the war and since, Lonsdale Company cept the periof ods Bought—Sold—Quoted wars almost Prospectus tion ftfC PONNELL & Co. Members New York Curb Exchange and i s characteristic Rapid a move¬ toward ment govern- m e 11 nta y- managed Walter E. Spahr economy since 1932 Begin¬ ning in this country was taken rapidly by our Federal gov¬ — Joseph McManus & Co. ernment in the direction of Members Neiv York Curb - managed economy. policies adopted followed much more closely those recom¬ Exchange mended by the Socialist "Party in its Chicago Stock Exchange 39 gov¬ political platform of 1932 than they did the policies recom¬ mended by either the Democratic Broadway, New York 6 Republican or Tele. NY 1-1610 j Parties in political platforms of that their year. ;?The( reasohs 'for* this "develop¬ & ment probably cannot be 'sum¬ briefly and at the same The direction of the movement, however, is a mat¬ ter of relatively common knowl¬ marized —*r time accurately. Primary Markets in , edge. Gas-Oil This development & Transmission Company revealed, ap¬ parently, the first case in our his¬ tory in which a political party willing to use the wide¬ spread and deep distress of a pe¬ was ever —★- of riod means Troster, Currie & Summers Members New York Security Dealers can Ass'n Teletype—NY 1-376-377-378 a business recession as a of leading our people rap¬ idly from a highly-developed private' - enterprise - competitive system into a form of economy and political system characterized by such a high degree of govern¬ ment management. ment NATIONAL BANK oi INDIA, LIMITED the Government in to Kenya Colony and Uganda 26, Bishopsgate, London, E. C. In Colony, Paid-Up Reserve Capital £2,500,000 conducts every banking and exchange description business that we have had an irredeemable paper money is per¬ of the most noteworthy evidences of a highly managed economy, although it is perhaps £4,000,000 £2,000,000 Fund Bank sistency that human ingenuity can reveal, stand as one of the monu¬ ments to this development of the haps and Zanzibar The ated themselves with all the per¬ The fact India, Burma, Ceylon, Kenya Kericho, Kenya, and Aden Subscribed Capital variety of government agencies, that developed and have perpetu¬ last 15 years. Head Office: Branches rein a govern¬ on one the least understood by the of in general. An public irredeeemable Trusteeships and Executorships ernment's public abuse and use for wherever these reasons finds one a *An address b.y Dr. Spahr be¬ fore the Institute of International Relations, American Friends Service Committee, Whittier, Cal., July 6, 1948. ■ The Parker in position importantly from to 'Current vahie Price (6-30-47) about du Pont, 31 Milk HAncock N. Y. same time estab¬ the of over the . $19.44 public purse. $8.00 per St., Boston 9, Mass. There When 6-8200 Teletype BS 424 CAnat 6-8100 Teleohon# BArclav 7-01OO Birmingham, Ala. Mobile, Ala. so Direct wires to our branch offices are - ethics in CONNECTICUT RAILWAY with government manage¬ -There is one development & LIGHTING CO. ' science of Econo'mics been has people's monetary sys¬ withered by the blighting wind tem undergoes this fundamental of Keynesian-Socialist doctrines. alteration, another far-reaching and subtle change takes place: It Perhaps, the chief characteristics of these doctrines are the attacks is in that nation's standards of a / BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED Circular Broad 80 Phone promises to For • - Marx and others like him, appar¬ i ently goes back in no small degree to the book, "Economic Conse¬ - in this country, Treasury and Federal Reserve banks example, are now authorized to issue quences of the Peace," by John Mayngrd Keynes of England, pub¬ The more direct lished in 1920. which they do not and recent, attack was launched redeem, do not intend to redeem,1 by Keynes in full-fledged form in and under law cannot redeem. 1935tl936 when his book, "The One minor exception is the re¬ General Theory of Employment; demption of silver certificates in Interest, and Money," was pub¬ silver; but none of our currency lished. can be redeemed in gold. In these Following the appearance of the instances, it should be observed, latter book, this country was, and we have slipped down to a stand¬ still is, deluged with agitation and ard of behavior in which we now promises to pay activities in behalf of the Keynesgreat privileges—the right, ian-Socialistic • philosophy by the to issue promises to pay—without; too" followers of Keynes. at the same time requiring these "me, The Keynesian type of thinking issuing institutions to assume the corresponding obligations to re¬ appears to have been thoroughly grant "Privileges or sponsibilities" with, and perhaps an important factor contributing to, rights without re-s England's plunge into Socialism. been, has throughout concept that was African Teletype NY 1-492 ' not honor and does not intend to honor. St., New York 4 9-25JM1 BO on the private enterprise system. right of The groundwork for these at¬ institution to issue pay which he does tacks, aside from that laid by Karl respect to the , request upon Bittner, Edelmann & Co. any person or Southwest Gas Producing Commonwealth Gas Bought — Sold — Established Quoted 1856 H. Hentz & Co. Members New • > York Stock Exchange and other leading exchanges Cotton Exchange Bldg. N. Y. YORK 4, NEW Bowling CHICAGO Green DETROIT N. Y. 9-8420 PITTSBURGH GENEVA, SWITZERLAND in harmony supposedly our history, a, unacceptable to • The doer Keynesian-Socialist trines thoroughly permeated Federal our and they colleges and Government, reached into and our filtered the high schools, into and, in some degree, business circles*. the press even into These doctrines have gone into our Federal laws and policies in other, in a HEAD OFFICE—Edinburgh . Branches throughout Scotland , LONDON OFFICES: 3 Bishopsgate, E. C. 2 Burlington Garden*, W, /' || have in this nation. NEW YORK 6, N. Y. 1-672 been The TOTAL ASSETS manner and or otherwise blanketed 'by im¬ heavy mortgage is something new in the history of :;the United States but f £141,823,667 the neoplf taken by the Federal Government paired ■ • 64 New Bond Street, IV, I in which the savings of Principal Exchanges \ Charing Cross, 5. IV, 7 49 dissipation of our na¬ tional patrimony to a degree never Trletvue NY Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727 8 West Smithfield, E. C!» t % Securities Royal Bank of Scotland down tc multitude of ways. All of them have resulted, in one form or an¬ Goodbody & Co. _ MY 1-1557 HAnovor 2-0700 New Orleans. La.- the in¬ the Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other BROADWAY York 4, N. Y. 25 Broad St., New We people deprived of the closely related to our drift toward Statism which deserves brief de¬ right Of private property' in- gold, and, consequently, of any effect¬ scription because of its far-reach¬ ive control over the public purse, ing significance. It is the develop¬ ment of recent years in the field the government is free to issue its of Economics. promises to pay as it sees fit and to buy with them what it chooses ^ The State of Economic Science to buy. "—During the last dozen years, the : / With seen 115 York Stock Exchange Members New dividual is concerned. down share Homsey Co. Teleohone South Co! Steiner, Rouse & the multitude of ramifications in metallic money that is depreciated; at the will of the governments ment. British Securities and (6-30-47) $9.60 Bought—Sold—Quoted and use a Net current assets Louisiana Securities funda¬ far as the independence of 1 Canadian Mining Canadian Banks expanded aircraft ;this many other ways veloped governmentally-managed; some', obvious, some subtle, in also finds this par-' which the pr.vate enterprise sys¬ ticular essential element—an irre¬ deemable paper currency or a; tem has been curbed and loaded Canadian Industrials prografn. Book the at universities benefit ■ - . economy one We Maintain American Markets For ; is on lishing obligation to redeem.' We a - highly-de¬ Manufacturing complete line of pre¬ Company without soon fittings and valves, 30) Alabama & mental characteristic of a highlydeveloped governmentally > man¬ aged economy. We have acquiesced in the grant of power and priv¬ ilege to issue promises to pay abuse that Common Stock couplings, taken . Appliance Company cision have right of private of the. property in gold, a right that has in their own-hands. purse is It we gov*. have, ldst deem their promises, also undertaken on page . have lost control spending, and they can,-keep the ultimate control of the our The almost endless number and Bankers maintain a The Exchange DIgby 4-3122 a ernmental^ New York Stock gold-coin or gold-bullion system gives them, if- they: can convert into - gold upon demand the promises to pay issued by the Treasury and banks, they can put a sharp, brake, upon the volume of such; prom¬ ises that can be issued safely „.they dependence which govern¬ (Continued money a > ment. 2-7815 REctor is an integral pkrt :«s; -1 privilege and It is an ear¬ governmentally - managed dangerous power. mark of power to abuse and of economy. A domestic gold-coin or gold-bullion standard and a high dictatorship, ■ •• degree of freedom in a private With our abandonment of t enterprise system go together. A gold-coin standard and system, highly developed governmentally- and with the infliction upon'us o! managed economy could not.func¬ a system of irredeemable papei tion if the people .retained the in-- mortey and Ian overvalued silver, paper of lives, property BROADWAY, NEW YORK S Tel. . peo¬ oehavior, of York Stock Exchange New 120 ■ * com¬ of ple's v i plete domina¬ Request on - major when AMOclated Banka: ' Glyn Mills & Co. William* Deacon's Bank, Ltd. . COMMERCIAL THE Number 4714 168 Volume I NDEX Articles Redeemable and News Chamberlain Cover _ Measuring Earnings Trends in Railroad Stocks —Walter rF. Hahn FINANCIAL S. Benjamin— - Cover i Market E. Spahr ; y ;___ —August Huber IIovv to 2 ___________ _ 3 _____ Buy Stocks and Bonds ;—Donald L. Kemmerer and Burton C. Hurd ; Export Control: —J. Mishell 4 Instrument of Foreign Policy •| general business for George 4 —_ Prosperity?—Alfred C. NeaL~______ 7 is Status. o£ Fuel Oil Ayailability-^Jbhfi W: Boatwright-8; ' 'V I i, ft Relations—Earl Bunting & „ mount tion - 6 Monetary Fundi Official: Outlines ^teps. Toward Currency Stabilization and ..; and Multilateral payments. ' 9: 11;yy Bank for International Settlements Reviews Gold Black Markets and Hoarding NAPA Committee, More Headed by Robert ('. Confidence; in> Business, Outlook Swan ton, __ _ _ _ i _ _ Dollar 16.-. course, the- is . " C.orpQrat6\Prqfits.iIi:.^^ ; 21 __ First National Bank qt Boston Warns High Taxes* Are " vv' \ tially ! • , Hennessy Advocates Changes in Type of Stockholder Reports »'■ SEC Reports ' demand - v .-. /' effective Export-Import Bank Grants Credit to Swedish Concerns____ John Haskell Heads ECA Mission to Sweden " SEC Invites Views _ Securities Coming Events in the Investment Field v Dealer-Broker—Investment Recommendations Einzig—"What Price Marshall Aid?"___ Mutual NSTA * , IIIIIIII Our Reporter . £ 7 point balanced. 16 orices 22 tion Railroad 40, 40 Securities Securities able at Governments. Prospective Security Offerings Utility Securities. __j_ —I'll Registration.^ The State of Trade and mal the 36 reach 14 resent, demand 44 orice Industry the of would £ the United all-time an record level, 70% over 1939, equal gain over 1929. farm production has record - r ernment for New York, 5, N« % Tel.. IIA 2-8080 all, huge do much to ba-lance.available sup¬ We Wish to Buy Rochester & Pittsburgh Coal Ccm. Globe Autamalie Spiinkle: Davis Coal & Coke Cent. Gray & Wolfe Corp. FrM Corp. Pfd. money George Birkins Company 40 Exchange Place, New York 5 WHitehall 4-8957 Tele. NY 1-1404 goods and services for These purposes. not available to sumer Tele. NY 1-2423 Supply war goods satisfy con¬ nevertheless, the funds spent for them by the government went into the stream war QUOTED CORPORATION 52 Wall St. proportions. supply. This was created largely during the war years by heavy govern¬ ment deficits. During the war, huge sums were spent by +he gov¬ ;were — an has been the be 38 SOLD farm Forcibly exerting its underlying the domestic economy price In For pressure on avail¬ reductions to who rep¬ but atnthe lower at in Huge Money other buyers level, of some 48 __ been than there events of course start is Similarly, other things being equal, the price fluctuations 5 Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte Says) Washington and You___ h States peacetime people who can buy at that price. The next step in the nor¬ 46 production and shows are IIIIIIIIIIIIII—HI Corner ly produc¬ are price level .-IIIIII__ " Securities Now in a goods more 20 , _____.___._l Salesman's until 44%. is goods continues large¬ unabated and over-all indus¬ trial Eventually, high stimulate would advance Demand for the supply-demand picture is at Governments—: on (U. S, Bureau of Labor Statistics). Since June^ 1946, de¬ spite a decline early this year, prices out of reach. Giving effect to such price adjustments, the 5 Public : ; . — /FIRST COLONY i oL^ "by 110% usually 41 Observations—A. Wilfred- May^i____ on BOUGHT in the United States has increased that advance. on 12 Funds Notes- Our Reports 8 17;. News About Banks and Bankers. _ .> 10 From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargeron___ Indications of Business Activity - o eventually can Forming Corporation that largely, govern (the prpductiont thTopgh regulating effective demand. Yet oince 1939, the general price level diminishes as Each upward price! scale would normally result in the elimination of another group of purchasers who would like to buy but find orices notch 13; :y;;' t demand Metal mal conditions supply-demand factors. It elementary to reeognizev that demand 16; 47 Teletype N. Y. 1-714 nor¬ the .Cover Bookshelf____ 1908 Broadway Bell System products alone, prices generally have increased 185% since 1939. Business Canadian course established comparatively -epresent important equalizers of Bank and Insurance Stocks _ normal more been: under volume, U ■ under normal conditions effective See It (Editorial) Man's h,/-■ has basic ?s $ It 40 Regular Features As We Established Members N, Y. Security Dealers /sen, REctor 2-4500—120 This would be in contrast to prices prices get too high. Economic laws tell us that prices 27, J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co. success¬ are 31 Proxy Changes. on Com.; & Pfd. U,S. FinishingCom. & Pfd. accruing to over-all profits from a rising price, level.. be curtailed if 23 other-means Dorset Fabrics . the. substantial inventory profits of last year and the other benefits in goods indus- events experience has Shovfrn Listed Corporations' Sales in First 1948 ; on Quarter of - the •" United Piece Dye Works prices keener, it would result,, of ih- lower 1 corporate earn¬ or iies: goods—automobiles, the consumer In Finished finished products could mean nventory .losses to; many compa- / and wages, normally stimulates, turn, Texas Gas Trans. Corp. on sdtj($e^bii' ihdividu&J; employment t • ' token, a decliae in raw material prices and reduced selling prices August Huber tries.;^.vn;:;v;; ; Daniel J. 4-6551 fully effected to increase general operating efficiency. By the same indi¬ durable 100%. about. • ing'power. The alternative would be employee lay-offs unless labor productivity is increased substan¬ * housing, heavy electrical equip¬ ment, railroad equipment,-steel, virtually all kinds of machinery. 2tc.. Activity in these heavier in¬ dustries, which represent a majoi 19 HaroIdStonierStressesDy namicRanking Needy ■ comes toward .leavy ; i Tennessee Gas Trans. Co. getting out of reach of a portion of consumers and competition be¬ continued lor Henry C. Link of Psychological Corporation Holds Public ;• iv Exaggerates ^Concept':-0f ;Higb-' ; -y 18 Reports on •>-, STREET, NEW YORK. Telephone: WHitehall 1929. derh^hd-'b^edueed-through . still 3oint V Bonds WALL goods "prices at wholesale are- up If, at- some point, effective , J _ Ji Bolivia to Make Offer; for Resumption of* Service 99 96%. demand. cations __ ' Federal Water & Gas Corp. advanced sustained Present National City Bank of New York Warns of Expanding Federal Budget .--Ut, • 1*y, basic 14 Wall Street Committee, Headed by Amyas Ames, Launches Information Drive us!; on '■ . ; . sus-, Obvi- economy ' ^ be tained. o'us .'t : how foundation of a Finance_____-^_L______ ,, para-.^ ques-* i$ will 4 ^ FederaL Reserve Board. Reviews and Forecasts Trends in Business them off pass Obsolete Securities Dept. domestic long this rec¬ ord high level; of prices and produ c tio n 15 Dividend Policy International > % Roland Robinson Recommends More Liberal Bank mares, of change. Sees im¬ favorable. warns than twice the $104 billion of the boom year more The/ • World Trade and- World; Stability—Herbert V, Prochnow^L- .11. Financial Problems of Railroads—William T. Faricy 13 t If you have any dream stocks that have turned into night¬ tional Product is «' > time, but some DREAM STOCK economy continues at record levels. Gross Na¬ currently running at an annual rate of about $245 billion, compared with $123 Mlli6iT ii^3l94X;i $9b billion in 1937; and 6 The New Challenge in Industrial SELLS HIS mediate stock market outlook relatively The —William A. Kielmann Wages, Prices, Profits—What Formula Determines LlCHTtnSTfll - MR. BLANDINGS Co. & Says sufficient stimulus has been given to maintain expenses. ^Savings and Loan Associations Are Not Banks" . Spencer Trask Mr. Huber, after analyzing present conditions and economic laws relating thereto, lists as factors maintaining present high peak in American economy: - (1) greater resort to instalment buying; (2) expansion of credit and larger use of current income for cor¬ porate purposes; and (3) excessive government and foreign aid i Abnormal Factors Maintaining Business at Boom Level • Analyst, 3 AND COMPANY Member^, New. York. Stock Exchange .—Cover. Our Economic System in the Unsettled World —Walter Maintaining By AUGUST HUBER ____— _ (99) Business at Boom Level . The Stock Market—An Emphatic Word of Caution —M. CHRONICLE Abnormal Factors Page Currency—Only Means of European Recovery —William & desires but, LAMBORN&CO.,Inc.\ 99 WALL STREET ply and effective demand. of money supply.' Inasmuch as the government was spending far conjunction with the funda-. mental importance of price levels beyond its income, the deficit, fi¬ on basic supply-demand factors, nancing, in effect created huge the cost of production is a prime amounts of new moneys without determinant of selling prices. making available, by far, suffi¬ When wage rates and raw mate¬ cient goods to be absorbed by the increased* quantity of- -money. rial costs are high, selling prices Measured by money in. circulation are necessarily high. Since 1939 and private demand deposits, the NEW YORK 5, N. Y. In Published Twice Weekly Dominion ' The COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE . WILLIAM B. I 25 t V; Park 11. DANA Place, Bank y COMPANY, Publisher* New York 8, N, WILLIAM D. 125.00 $25.00 Note—On oe issue) dnd citv Oth<b (general and news, Offices: Chicago 3, 111. Copyright etc.). 135 Reentered ary 25, 8, "i as 1942, Y., fluctuations in exchange, remittances for for4 subscriptions and advertisements must made in New raw material., prices have in- supply money York funds. creased 150% and wage rates have La CERTIFICATES ad¬ Bond & Mtge. Guar. Co. We (Continued , is. DIgby 4-2727 about 32) on page interested in offerings of are *.3;.° ' w Winters & Crampton Corp. High Grade Public Utility and Industrial Common PREFERRED STOCKS Miles Shoes, Inc. Lawyers Mortgage. Co» Salle St., 0613); State Lawyers Title & Guar* Co. C:,-Eng¬ by William B. Nv Danaf J.; Act of Members March 1879. Subscription Rates , ' Newburger, Loeb & Co. • Subscriptions/ in * Unifc-d' Stf tes. ~tl.* 'S. Possessions, Territories and Members of Pan-Ameiican Union, $35.00 per year; in i Member$ 15 Broad New York St, N.Y. 5 Bel) Teletype Stock *"• 25 1-2033 • ~ "X r New York Stock Exchange Broad Street, New York 4 Tel.: HAnover V\". \^ v J;- Members New York Curb Exchange 135 S/La Salle Tel.: 2-4300 Exchange- WH'rtehaH 4-6330 NY " Spencer Trask & .Go. Prudence Co.' second-class matter-Febru¬ the post. office at New 1 - Analyses available Y, Title & Mtge. Co. • at under (the today Exports—Imports—Futures -i S. Conipanv York,;<N. extra.) • (Telephone: 1948 - i the Monthly,, SUGAR TITLE COMPANY news/and Drapers' Gardens, London, E. land, .6/0 Edwards & Smith. .> - of — postage Monday "(com¬ every 1 .' (Foreign account postage-..extra.) Record 5 Raw—-Refined—-Liquid Manager plete Statistical issue — market, quotation record?; corporation news, bank clearings, state - SEIPERT, President RIGGS, Business Thursday vertising cf - Record—Monthly, (Foreign Earnings year.. year. Publications Quotation year. per he.rate Jign .Thursday, July 8, 1948 Every and per Monthly Y. p. SEIJBERT, Editor & Publisher % WILLIAht ^DANA . ' REctor 2*9570 to 9576 -ft. HERBERT • Other R*g. U. s. Patent Office *. 5 of Canada, $38.00 per Countries, $42.00 per. year.'.*. Other and St., Chicago 3 FINancial 2330 *' Teletype—NY 1-5 I, Rnstnri - ! Glens Falls. : ■* C, E. on request Unterberg & Co. Members N. Y. Security Dealers Ass'n 61 Broadway, New York 6, N* Y, Telephone BOwling Green 9-3565 Schenectady: : - ' "Wofeestef _.,... ...Teletype. NY 1-1660 ' U- 4 COMMERCIAL THE (100) & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL ExpoitiControl: Instrument of Foreign Policy Stocks .and! Bonds* How f of Buy- By DONALD L. KEMMERER • Associate Economics, University of Illinois Professor of Thursday, July 8, 1948 and By J. MISIIELL GEORGE BURTON C. IIURD Investment Counsellor, Deputy Director, Export Program Staff, Champaign, 111. Office of International Trade, U. S. Commerce Department intention to reveal secret shortcuts to making a fortune in investments, outline pro¬ buying stocks and bonds and how and where to find information needed. Discuss investment Authors, claiming cedure in no After reviewing shifts in world trade resulting from war, Commerce Department expert gives basic role of export controls as: (1) pro¬ tection of domestic materials; and^2) directing of U. 5, materials problems of inflation or deflation, business and industrial trends/and intrinsic safety factors of vari¬ classes of slocks and bonds. Describe advantages and disadvantages of investment trusts and ous sum successful investment policy up on where economic recovery can (1) get all the facts; (2) exercise patient sludy; and (3) act your ment secret shortcuts to making a fortune in invest¬ ments. We do not know any shortcuts. Handling investments is not a black art but a mat¬ ter of taking a few precautions, exercising constant care, and then using your common sense. there is also an ele-<*> fuck involved, but it is Admittedly _ (4) Which are the best com¬ may offer low returns but good long-term growth prospects. But panies in those industries? (5) What should I know about again, if you are easily worried, who> use care and good judgment or would be helpless without the each of my investments? enjoy most of the luck. (6) What should I know about money, you should not consider You have worked hard to ac¬ this course of action, for even at cumulate the savings you are plan¬ ordering investments? the planning for (7) How should I watch my in¬ best capital ning to invest, or. at least your growth is difficult. Can you af¬ father or your husband has vestments? of ment that the observation You Investing? Why Are For what must do you want to invest this money? That will determine in large part the type of investments you will select. You probably fall into one or purpose basic of four more classes of in¬ vestors. First, order you cash in saving be may have to hand on for in tip or a hunch or be¬ intriguing name^ Make on a money cause the invest Don't hard. of an cheaply when others, were being forced to sell. Lest you find the analogy implausible though flat¬ tering, remember that anyone can mind now that you must do this on a modest scale. If you keep your savings. Use ! have such ideas in mind, you want the same precautions in buying an easily liquidated investment investments as you would if you and should put your money into a were buying a farm, a house, a savings account or short-term business site, or even a car. For government bonds. The interest example, if you were buying a return is low but that is not where farm you would have the soil you expect to make your profit. tested; you would find out what Second, you may be setting your crops the previous owner raised, money aside for your old age or what returns he got, on the aver¬ up your work to period of years, the age, over a condition of the fences and farm buildings, whether the land was llat or rolling, its drainage, and much making were loan to a information. other a similar If you mortgage-secured a farmer, you would make searching investigation of the property and character. If you the borrower's intend to buy stock, which is the same as buying a share in a business, or if you in¬ for your children's education. You be may widow and this is a your "all." In that eveht you want more than anything else to conserve the principal. You should therefore prefer safe and presumably low- sible course of procedure for you tell how to find the information you need. The basic questions to which you you where and should have the are: answers vesting (2) my Do purposes am money? anticipate I in¬ that I the price level will rise or fall? (3) What are the best industries in which to invest? ■ 1 ; decided you may somewhat less vestments. The clined more conservative more to worry, dependent income, the should prefer. you are you of investments and sort of indus¬ tries you should favor. risk of This is the changing noticeably a price level. Deflation Will is going have we rising to depression and ing prices such take? prices for period of fall¬ a has as followed war? Perhaps you reply that every expert, that better you are no than you that one, men to be guessing seem that and qualified to give feel you good a at un¬ answer. Unfortunately, you must make a decision, or at least you must de¬ cide whose to answer acccept cn this controversial question. all, it is After Mishell scale. American goods George was to Europe and Asia. and particularly Latin America, had formerly been largefrom their orders to further strain a A few United world States trade. in the In ol 1947, the dollar value of exports from all coun¬ tries, including the United States, was about twice as high as in 1938. The physical volume of world ex¬ ports about the was same in the two years, price inflation account¬ ing for virtually all the increase in dollar value. Before the war. will choose. think you ; prices prefer to hold cash and fore¬ income go are in order safe and liquid to position a in be as as pos¬ sible, reasoning that the increased purchasing power of the dollar will be ample return for you. You conclude that this is the surest to increase the value of way principal. You avoid your common was estimated than two- of total world exports in 1938 and Asia for 16%. in Since economic both areas has re¬ been too slow to permit exports in pre¬ volume, a disproportionately large segment of world demand war has been shifted to United States In 1947, the United States sup¬ plied over one-third of the goods moving in world commerce, as contrasted with only 14% before the war. In dollar value, the in¬ if you think Total rise was about more than fourfold. United States exports were lated, will on the market is ■*. increase. stocks. likely to If this is your chief con¬ tion, continue the tend are return to for will lean towards you Stocks to share in the a from rise dividends and dollar the value of your share in a thriving business will This $14.5 abnormally foreign Canada, except validated tion, OIT license.) requires a In addi¬ March 1, shipments of all on commodities to Europe were placed under export control. As result, the scope of export con¬ trol has now more than doubled. demand high level of been super¬ has value exports to than Canada total of destinations other rose from $2.9 billion in the third quarter of 1947 to $3.0 billion in the fourth quarter. Controlled exports showed a small change, from almost million, $712 to $706 which 90% were spite of a of food¬ stuffs, fuels and metals. In value will time, some investments. ties whose export to any destina¬ markets. times the prewar average. income prices is. the basic list of commodi¬ List The crease On the other hand less at Europe alone accounted for 49% covery Canada export: control during both the third and fourth quarters of 1947. During the first quarter of 1948, however, 38 iron and steel mill products, as well as some other items, principally mis¬ cellaneous grains, were addedt to the Positive List. (The Positive fifths. ; States to except to subject of United the from a total; in 1947, its share ownership of a company. Thus if prices rise and business is stimu¬ s^fer modest ' ■ approxi¬ the ship¬ value, destinations were pattern of on key statistics will indi¬ changing position of the the 1; one-fourth mately all United States supplies. cate terms ments backlog of de¬ Finally, you may be interested primarily in increasing your sav¬ ings by buying investments whose from a In geographic their American their European sources This shift, together with mand, placed exported, the amounts to be to be as the huge domestic application of controls exported, and distribution. Europe, billion in 1947, as against a 193-3-38 annual average of less than $3 billion. In volume terms, our 1947 exports were approximately two and one-half with The therefore plays an important role in determining the commodities Other areas, which importers advanced. effectively most gram. not confined the world stocks. be J. Corollary to this purpose, export controls can play a strategic part in the European Recovery Pro¬ pressure for large part what type of investment you in¬ this quired be contributed about three-fourths of ■If. the coun¬ re¬ the however, the Eastern Hemisphere Your decision will dictate in to aid dodge the responsibility for it. not assuring by materials of by the and where economic recovery can furnish and you can¬ your money the on States, flow1 of these distribution supplied tries where needs are most urgent The several more years, or do we face a country produc¬ on failed. Which direction do you believe the price level materials United resources to markets Ahead? international scarce adequate shifted or the the — only scale Is There Inflation to United with the sort on impacts of heavy foreign demand for goods in short supply. (2) They are used to influence economic States At the present important bearing or should for the are used to protect domestic economy from the the was assistance ~ (1) They . in time, however, another factor has an are you however, more in¬ world better position to a the of forced to turn buy and what sorts of industries may Third, much decide what sort of investments to risk. cannot afford the content f (1) For what paralyzed, <£— tive going down, you will lean towards highmoment permit the lure of higher grade short-term bonds, or you income to attract you away from may even consider keeping your the haven of safety. You simply funds in a savings account. Or you wish to support yourself wholly, or in part, from tend to buy a bond, which is the the income that your savings yield. same as making *a loan to a busi¬ If this is true, you will tend to in¬ ness, you should make similar vest some of your savings in some¬ thorough investigations. what higher-yield and therefore This article will outline a sen¬ and of Industry, agriculture, and the channels of trade crippled throughout the Eastern Hemisphere. With normal production of many critical commodities wholly or partially were taking these have you will be in you They al¬ ways kept sizable cash balances and were in a position to buy Kemmercr worked When industry. half years ago saw vast areas a the world laid waste. which of these groups you belong depression period. a before three and war risks. you bargains when some future oppor¬ tunity presents itself. Andrew Carnegie and John D. Rockefeller made some of their best purchases L. The end of the That is the question you answer adopted for compliance with Export Advocates full cooperation of foreign trade persons ford it? Donald and sets forth procedures Control Act. This article will not reveal to you any our be most effectively advanced. De¬ control policy before and after ERP program enact¬ scribes export conclusions quickly and boldly. as . 3 sharp reduction in the allocation of meat products for export, foodstuffs constituted nearly half of the licensed exports in the fourth quarter. Non- principally.coal metallic minerals, petroleum, accounted for 22% and of value total the and exports; of metals controlled and manu¬ factures for 18%. Western Europe Largest Recipient of Controlled Goods distribution The of licenses by of destination 'shows Western Europe as the largest re¬ country lished by the University of Illinois. your you will place some of savings in somewhat riskier investments or investments which that stock prices rise step by step with the price level—they do high output, employment, and in¬ come in this country. In spite of cipient, especially of controlled commodities, even though the fourth quarter reductions in the controlled export of certain com¬ modities—meats, coal, petroleum, but over a period of time they will tend to rise. Stocks are ^Reprinted from "Opinion and Comment," May 17, 1948, pub¬ sideration, record production, some require¬ ments of basic foods, agricultural heavily better than supplies and and tend American Hardware Detroit Harvester Art Metal Construction Durez Plastics & Chem. Cleveland-Cliffs Iron Co. Grinnell Corporation Crowell-Collier Pub. Bought Portsmouth Steel - Sold - Quoted Goodbody & Co. ; Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges* 115 Broadway, New York Telephone BArclay 7-0100 105 West Adams St., Chicago Teletype NY 1-672 to valuable rise also. That is not to say not j more — income cash, which returns and no whose imposed domestic the on demand unprecedented accompanying industrial materials are not yet being met. To pro¬ tect the, domestic economy; and to and ern products—fell most the countries pf West¬ and caused' their sawmill on Europe, purchasing share of the total to decline some¬ prices rise. what from the previous quarter. influence the direction of overseas The share of Latin America in the Hoarding or relying on a savings in the manner most total, on the other hand, increased account is, in reality, a bet that shipments compatible with American foreign from 21 to 27% of controlled ex¬ prices will not rise. policy, the export controls ex¬ ports in the fourth quarter; largely Perhaps you cannot make up tended under the Second De¬ as a result of the increased value your mind which way prices are control Act until Feb.; 28, 1949. going to move. At present, many of controlled .exports of grains, people think that this year will have been continued and in some power declines as edible usher in depression, which belief indicates they should invest in bonds. Yet they fear they may be wrong a and that the price level instances strengthened. Role The of role Export of Controls export controls is pean (Continued on page 24), basically twofold: and The oils, other and non-ERP Euro¬ nations received only 2% of licensed ' . fats foodstuffs. shipments in the fourth: (Continued on page 42) A Volume 168 Number 4714 THE COMMERCIAL M .'%A> ilv A &. FINANCIAL pr j'VVfr- • 'S CHRONICLE (101) Dr. Palyi to Speak At Kiel University b Steel Production Electric Output Retail Trade and Price Business Failures The J As in 'previous periods over-all industrial output" continued to hold at a very high level the past week with production in most lines exceeding somewhat that of the like period of 1947. ■■ : slight increase It was of the reported United on Companiesby Interest in - . __ Arthur Wiesenberger, 1948 edition, 328 Arthur Wiesenberger & Co., New York.) v - ? fective on W f JLJf ml*. * * v The most significant economic development of the past month, according to "Business Comment," monthly bulletin issued by the Northern Trust Company of Chicago, has been the confirmation of a third of substantial wage increases. The amount of increase be larger than can be absorbed without increasing prices round in most instances, says inevitable as a result of rising costs. Farm commodities have also upward price trend after the February break, led by live¬ stock and livestock products. The all-commodity wholesale price index is now virtually the same as it was in mid-January. Farm products are still below the peak reached then, but other commodi¬ ties an higher. In recent weeks only fruits and vegetables, grains, products, hides and cotton goods have failed to participate in the advance. One hopeful factor is the prospect of large crops in this of a more favorable agricultural outlook in country and important throughout the world. areas "The indexes of production and trade show no significant break in the fabric of good business. The public's income continues to ex¬ pand and retail trade responds accordingly, except for seasonal shifts in the pattern of spending. Nevertheless the inflationary aspects of the boom the boom is "An held are now ever the at cause end of off." to be and caution, the more so because exhausing liquid assets exhausting their credit. having similar experiences. Products that war, are and are a year or some less ago are are now abundant and there tendency for new orders for capital equipment to fall developments, the "Bulletin" concludes, "bear watching, generally optimistic implications of expanded defense foreign aid spending." a the sj: # The demand for many types of seasonal merchandise increased May arrival of hot weather in many areas. The dollar volume of retail trade increased moderately during the and continued to compare favorably with that of the corre¬ sponding week a year Budget and basement departments ago. tinued to be patronized by a very large number of V Wholesale order volume decreased slightly the high level stimulated many the of a week demand Favorable ago. for some in weather seasonable con¬ shoppers. goods. the in week many from areas High prices in lines caused There was a wealth of a full-length pany, Under charts, new trust carrying analyses tabulations the of of a quadrupling of 42 assumption funds, other that forward from Scotland sine# the 79 the 1880's some buyers to be cautious of long-term deliveries. considerable number of orders for Fall merchandise. and units. investment embodies an important instrument in today's market place, this book performs constructive service in a number of a the least of which included with unusual ways—not liberal number of A prolonged shutdown at steel company captive coal mines would shock to domestic steel consumers, the nation's defense program and the European Recovery Plan. Unless the National La¬ "be a severe bor Relations Board acts promptly on the petition of the steel firms they cannot legally, under the Taft Hartley Bill, sign a union Shop clause without elections the country again faces curtailment in steel production which this week is far below the total demand, states "The Iron Age," national metalworking weekly, in its current that . Chicago-;district where heavy melting steel is ton. up an average of To in to "turnaround" with sizable a block of an issue excepting the time of purchase of the open-end trust follows recognized business practice of incurring expenses in selling any merchandise, and is not excessive when related to stock exchange commissions and to the ordinary investor's incurrence of exchange ment bid-and-asked expense reflects prices. no Furthermore the annual between manage¬ Marshall on page 33) Plan in countries. Two With H. O. Peet & Co. (Special to KANSAS Graham The Financial Chronicle) CITt, MO.—Claude and William W. I. Hum¬ phrey, Jr., have become associated with H. West 10th Street, members of the O. Peet & Company, 2a New Brown Company Bonds-Preferred-Common using 15% up of from hart smith a go 52 WILLIAM ST., N. Bell undue extravagance. But these deductions for "the kitty" must be recognized and taken into account. If they are related to the attained real investment income instead of to fortuitous capital gains, in accordance with investment rather than speculative purposes,, then the loading charge must be looked on as New York Y. Teletype Private Wires 5 HAnovcr 2-0980 NY 1-395 Conned Montreal Toronto two years income and management expense as consuming ordinary income. At any rate, the Wiesenberger book the a useful service in clearing breaking down ordinary income capital gains for each fund. The Investment Income Item This brings up what is perhaps the greatest flaw in the invest¬ ment company system, namely the fact that because of both partial un-investedness and management expenses, the ordinary investment income is reduced to a level considerably below what a true investor can get from his own direct investment in the equivalent securities. From closed-end funds in 1947 the net income was 4.6% and from open-ends 4%—against 5.6% from the Dow-Jor.es average. Thus, the average investment fund is forced to seek the difference capital gains; which is all right if the trust-holder realizes it and makes allowances therefor by putting out other portions of Iris own capital for income. In the case of the closed-end fund, HODSON & COMPANY, Inc. 165 Broadway, New York the discounts at which they provide partial or customarily sell on the Stock Exchange complete relief from these penalties. Another wise caveat broached by Mr. Wiesenberger pertains to' cautioning against over-emphasis past performance, and in stressing instead the importance of other facts such as investment policy, income-return, and degree of the appraisal of management. In on (Continued on page 43) Oil CORPORATION Davis Manufacturing, Inc. Common Slock COMMON Price 37'/i<t per share Bought—Soldf—Quoted Orders will be executed by STEWART J. LEE & CO. bis paper states. (Continued flight problems at 750 The freight car program may run into an open switch bjr the Despite all the talk and bombast in Washington capital Pair! during rampant bull markets and then only by the special-offer method. Management costs compose one of the most important factors 10 be weighed in American investment fund practice. For the openend funds the average buying cost, or "load," is 73/2% and the annua1 management expense while for the closed-end companies the annual expense is averaging of the assets. The loading charge or premium uni vii Established MEMBERS first of next year. J; jL. Melchior columnist, continued examination of portfolios reveals unwieldiness as perhaps the paramount drawback in the present-day mutual fund technique—particularly under our contemporary con¬ dition of stock market illiquidity. Once the beaten path of the active stocks is left for actual or near special situations (which is really the raison d'etre for professional management), it is well-nigh impossible holding back scrap supplies. They don't have them. They can't get them. And they are doing everything they can to get something that at least looks like scrap, the trade . Dr. this This is one time the scrap brokers and dealers cannot be dragged into the scrap scramble on the basis that they are bulling the mar¬ ket or that they are : foreign exchange, and dalusia Avenue. Illiquid Markets 25£ • to finan¬ O'Connor, Weller & Co., 248 An¬ Unwieldiness This increase has moved "The Iron Age" steel scrap composite (a gross ton—the first change in months. The composite now stands at $40.91 a gross ion. a ex¬ cial, • Qne major problem still unlicked is scrap. Even with summer days when scrap is supposed to be moving fast this week supplies are dwindling, demand is high and the strait-jacket put on prices is crackipg open at the seams, according to the magazine. Heavy melting scrap prices are up this week for the first time in,months in a major market. The break-through happened in the up study survey of the steel trade. an , from STEEL OUTPUT SCHEDULED AT LOWER RATE DUE TO COKE OVEN CLOSINGS AND HOLIDAY July on for Yoi^k Stock Exchange. Mr. caveats which are objectivity. In addition to pointing out the advantages of investment Humphrey was previously with A. E. Weltner-& Co. companies, such as availability of expert management to the small lay investor, diversification, some tax favors, marketability (of open-end funds), Wiesenberger lists the following counterbalancing disad¬ vantages: possible deterioration of management through changes in O'Connor, Weller Co. Adds (Special to The Financial Chronicle) personnel, tax laws' obstruction to accumulation of capital reserves, CORAL GABLES, FLA.—Perry bad marketability of closed-end company shares, unwieldiness of L. Smith is now connected with portfolio holdings, and recurring management costs. is the considerably with the total week New tended trip salient last year's chapter on the open-end type of com¬ summarized renders :Js on continuing 20-year growth of. "leakage" consumers These despite and the firms, also, in short supply were concern larger number of Business appears for in its third year. data leading funds; detailed tabulation of portfolio holdings; and clear analyses of man¬ agement results, income and dividend records, price ranges and comparative operating details. contains are cereal 5 Dr. flew from of uses the movement in this country and the garnering of a million participants in the funds, this edition number shown Palyi features of the the Bulletin. Already, continues the report, of firms, particularly automobile companies, have an¬ nounced price increases, and the movement in that direction appears *'a on Europe." York In. line with the A. Wilfred * $15. years ago as a 69-page paper-bound pamphlet, it now appears as a 328page encyclopedia of information, including an ft Kennedy, Vice- Tuesday, and, in keeping with their threat to strike if the union shop clause was not made a part of their contract, some 50,000 of the nation's 400,000 bituminous coal miners left the pits on that day. The companies' current supply of coal on hand, the Association states, is only sufficient for a 41-day period, which will not permit the mills to operate at full capacity during a prolonged walkout. pp. pub¬ "Americ a's seven the investment company to the investor; the background, management policy and Sunday that the 35-member scale committee7 From latest reports of the National Coal Association on Monday of the current week, it appeared likely that the big steel companies would be confronted with a strike in their "captive" coal mines on issued a address explanation of the function and various contract affects 80,000 miners and becomes ef¬ new First * lic • July 16. appears to i; : already had signed the. The Palyi, Chicago economist, to deliver unanimously approved on that day an agreement reached late Saturday night by John L, Lewis, United Mine Workers President, and the anthracite coal operators. The set¬ tlement provides an increase in wages for the Pennsylvania hard; agreement. (Ger¬ invited Melchior continuing growth of the investment fund is found in the just-issued annual edition of Arthur Wiesenberger's compendium on investment companies. ("Investment Mine Workers coal miners of $1 a day. It is understood from Thomas President of the union, that the operators Kiel has Dr. in this country < . of Zone) Flowering "Investor Cooperative" * •!» * , University British many, A fine reflection of the in employment and payrolls was noted for the week with labor-management relations for the most part favorable. With respect to some raw materials, it was reported that they remained somewhat difficult to obtain, but most producers were able to obtain an adequate supply for current production needs. * . •The Auto Production Industry continued . By A. WILFRED MAY Index % A . Commodity Price Index Food ' Observations Carloadings * Stave of Trade 5 63 N. Y. SECURITY Wall Street, New York S. N. YI w uvij iiive 1888 DEALERS 60 Wall Street, New York 5 HAnover 2-0038 ASSOCIATION Bell Teletype NY 1-897 iS= * 6 (102) .THE Thursday, July 8, 1943 FINANCIAL jCHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL Savings and-loan Associations Are Not Banks1' Recommends More Libeial Bank Dividend Policy ;By WILLIAM A. KIELM^NN* Former President, New York State Bankers Association President, The Peoples National Bank & Trust Co., Lynbrook, L. I., N. Y. Holding it is misconception to consider savings and loah associations as New York State Bankers Association points /out distinctions > between these financial institutions, and deplores fact that Federal Savings and Loan Associations pretend to operate as banks. Denies oppo¬ sition of banks to savings institutions as such, but holds duty of bankers to clarify distinction between a bank of deposit and a savings institution. Federa 1. 1 '• .. "• • • " ■ <♦; and Loan Associa¬ tions which has been ing It c is in and ple, the customers of savings and loan associations, who think that shares i;ng siip.er-.. forms of by Act Loan Owners Home of 1933 The Home Owners Loan Act of deposit which William A. Kielmantt not. 1933 authorized the Federal Home Loan People generally are. also under to Board Bank organization, operation, anc the erroneous impression that the regulation of Federal Savings and insurance of these associations- is Loan Associations, giving primary comparable to that of the Federal consideration to the best practices Deposit Insurance Corporation and of local mutual thrift and home fi¬ is payable in cash. •' nancing institutions in the United clear that I, and I am sure all the Section 5 (b) of the Home Owners Loan Act of 1933 clearly bankers shows At the outset I wish to make it throughout York, believe the State of that savings and loan associations have a defi- States. that by Mr. of Convention Bankers Woods, N. Kielmann the New Association, H., June 14, 1943. was intended not Savings and Loan should operate as Associations banks of address it that Federal deposit, for it states "nc deposits shall be accepted." Char¬ ter "K," a portion of section 8, or deposits The American Bankers Associa¬ tion titled leaflet oublisned 'a ha« "The en¬ in¬ Customer Bank quires." This leaflet has been re¬ vised January, 1948. It clearly sets forth bank difference between the deposit and a Federa Savings and Loan Association and I earnestly recommend it t< any bank for distribution to its a of the public New of to nor some Fed¬ Savings and loan associa¬ but they do apply to sc] eral It shall many except for advances. York, afford to Botany Mills Com. & Pfds. Camden Forge Dayton Malleable Iron Gisholt Machine tion Stromberg-Carlson tutions Warner Co. 24 Federal Street, Boston Tel. HUbbard 2-3790 10 Tele. BS 128 H. M. Byllesby & Company PHILADELPHIA OFFICE Stock Exchange Bldg. Phila. 2 Teletype Telephone PH 73 RIttenhouse 6-3717 Stix & Co. lic to STREET language newspaper Louis Stock Exchange Bell Tele. LS 186 PHILADELPHIA SPOKANE, WASH. Then up You SECURITIES For Immediate or of Execution of Quotes call TWX Sp-43 Exchange A.M., Pac. other from Std. 10:45 Time: Orders Floor on to 11:30 hours. Sp-82 CORPORATION 44 Wall Street- Members Standard of Private Philadelphia, Wire New New York 5 Brokers - Stock Exchange Spokane Dealers - Underwriters WHitehall 3-7253 Peyton Building, Spokane System York between and a of Los Angeles Branches of these . . see can hese policies has been very suc¬ cessful. About five-ninths of bank since bers the been success. one-tenth of increase, probably much less, due to sale of new capital for this reason situa¬ tion is fairly evident. Except for diort periods Since the banking holiday bank shares have com¬ manded a market price generally from most of their and bid quotations are published, went above book value only during 1936-1937 and again, briefly, near the end of the war." Professor even the from contends Robinson that these two policies are contra¬ dictory. "It has not been directly recognized by the supervisory authorities that their policies of urging conservative dividend dis¬ tribution and of encouraging mar¬ ket sales of new capital shares are one with the large majority of bank come to enjoy an essentially in conflict other. A shares have investment in status market the which is influenced by dividends paid. But dividends have been conservative, not only as a pro¬ portion of earnings but also on the basis of value. book For the period since the banking holiday, well as included good Federal poor ones, Reserve regulation. can the capital sale policy be pushed with fair¬ ness to existing stockholders? The damage to them of this policy is clearly evident. These are ob¬ viously relative questions, to be balanced against such further questions as: (1) Are present levels of capital adequate for risks? (2) Could banks be trusted to follow sufficiently conservative dividend policies if left free to pay out more dividends if they so desired?" In answering the first question, Robinson examines the Professor history of banking difficulties in the past and comes to the conclu¬ sion that "inadequate capital has been ... ■hares. The and time, of banking difficulties. ... extent evidence is avail¬ The second Since banking holiday commercial bank capital has increased more han $31/2 billion. It appears he control same cause ... than At the never retained and added to more than dividend distribution? Certainly that would seem to be the one way in which they could make such a policy ef¬ fective, short of rather dogmatic generous mem¬ he not rather smile to more holiday banking capital accounts. jolicy has had little them years as the profits of member banks To leading a basic or the able, it appears that banks which have failed had neither more nor less capital than surviving banks. It also appears that ity was mate the proxi¬ of bank closings. cause The fact that which lack of liquid¬ common more so . banks very many closed at the time of were the banking holiday have paid out fully or almost fully to depositors is evidence that on 'going a con¬ cern' basis these institutions prob¬ ably did have adequate capital." Capital Position of Banks With respect present the to capital position of banks, Profes¬ sor Robinson argues that "Capital protection now enjoyed by banks is greater than it has been at any time in the past. The liquidity of the banking system has never been so great. The relative , . . of ! banking assets has never been so high. The whole economy has become more liquid so that all debt obligations have an improved position; i.e., the absolute quality of credit assets has generally improved. The ratios of bank capital, net of fixed assets, to customer loans and non¬ governmental securities are now quality ... far not 1920's. from the In ... levels addition, of the the ac¬ cumulation of earnings is increas¬ ing rate. capital at a very substantial Although during the year. 1947 bank than during loans increased more of record, the additions to bank capital from any year have averaged only about 7% of they retained earnings appear to have capital accounts, and dividends and loar, have been only about 3% of book equaled roughly 7% of' the in¬ associations endeavor to give the crease in loans. This is a substan¬ which passbooks that savings us'ng impression to their customers thaf are in the nature of a savings bank while as a matter of fact they customer is actually now an Is it lie is these the associations I j wonder that .the pub-? under shares that ; . - present face the additional be holders 'of dismal capital bank prospect in banks have impression are that banks of thousands Savings and seen tial risk coverage. "If this reasonable left to is the that choose , . -?■ . case, banks their iHseems might own be. "divw . policies with a minimum of -supervisory nagging; V If dend. spect:' banks differ greatly from banks were freed from supervis¬ other types of enterprise in which ory prodding, the past record does new caoital often can be expected not indicate that they would over¬ to contribute pro rata to earnings The and often will increase them more step prbpriety in the matter. than proportionately, So when profit and dividend record itself advertising.:; No- bahkss,i sell!' more capital; they suggests this conclusion. During (Continued on.page $3) ' (Continued on page 38) r.-:1. II dilute the earnings available to of inches of Loan "The expected to increase earnings appreciably. In this re¬ any deposit? value;, cannot Public Given False Impression at Kellogg, Idaho and Yakima, Wn. prodding or the natural :onservatism of banks, the first of which to $5,000. investor. CORPORATION PEnnypacker 5-5976 Ac¬ Ac¬ ends by say¬ Federally in¬ bank-like the STANDARD SECURITIES Philadelphia 2 Syracuse at BUCKLEY SECURITIES 1420 Walnut St. in are NORTHWEST MINING Central Illinois Public Service Request advertisement recites some it accounts "All advertising Maryland Drydock "Open e their services, and it ing Seminole Oil & Gas have "Systematic Savings "Ordinary Savings counts." sured Corporation as: association an counts." Members St. words They demand. on such reads: Incorporated Floor, Kentucky Home'Life Bldg. LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY < associations advertising has led the pub¬ feel that their accounts arc from St. Louis 1,Mo# 1st on passbooks savings account where your sav¬ ings are insured. Chartered and supervised by U. S. Government.' SECURITIES A BANKERS BOND m Data these though payable used INVESTMENT 509 OLIVE Portsmouth Steel policy. o their advertising they are in their Debentures Long Distance 238-9 a have not said so in so many Sold Bought and Sold m pursuing are forms similar to banks' Even Stock Ashland Oil & Refining Co. first The tional-stock. was using words and language which leads the public to believe that the share investor js getting a bank deposit payable on demand. ST. LOUIS Ashland Oil & Refining Co. Common policies, possibly get to the appearance of! banks. They are using forms similar book value. The share to banks' signature cards, forms below similar to banks' deposit tickets, prices of larger banks, for which and Bought and Robinson points out "the supervisory agencies have urged two specific fines'. 'Of action: (1) the retention of a large proportion of earnings; in other words, minimum divi¬ dends; and-i(2) the sale of. addi¬ We do, however, deplore these insti¬ economic operating just as close as they can LOUISVILLE I. Roland be ;hat a the fact that many of Corp. Traded in Round Lots Walter J. Connolly & Co., Inc. . furtherance of their in posi¬ life of oui entitled to are the in country. Prior Preferred Vinco ing has no quarrel with the Fed¬ eral Savings and Loan Associa¬ tions as such. I am certain that our banks believe that these as¬ sociations Kearney & Trecker RR. .and unreasonable. bave emphasize that bank¬ I want to American Phenolics Maine un¬ are realistic' not earnings of Federal Reserve of the latter that I do believe that banking can remain silent longer. & bank-y . tions, BOSTON B'm • policies1 has been continuously urged since the banking holiday; the second has had more promi¬ nence during those periods wher customers. j the market price of bank shares My comments do not aoply Uias approached or exceeded their State Savings and Loan Associa¬ book value. tions, which are under the super¬ vision of Hon. Elliott V. Bell, Su¬ "Whether because of super¬ evidence'of indebted¬ issue any ness from visors int« forced be really want more capital sold in the markets, would it not be wise .1 shall not perintendent of Banks of the State visory reads, "The Association accept cannot liquidation because of financia inability to promptly meet obli gations for repurchase of shares provide for the association, but - a.i an association them banks of Boston should supervisors pur¬ supervisory authorities ards. , contradictory two sue? If the on tionship asks: therefore the of policies • for led consider this weakness." author The "Which ship in such associations in con trast with a debtor-creditor relgv. frown been Bretton They represent .owner-1 points out that considering the .relative accounts. to compulsion of greatest overcome J" of has State the. Robinson" . cies bank these associations, York sor shaft ■ — - the poli¬ of the of * f. Aew," Profes¬ Saving: are policies" existing shareholders. The incen¬ tives, then, for market sales of added bank capital for going in¬ stitutions are weak. It would take age, ing at number tne <$> ' u 1 v ings and loan plan of operation provides for the repurchase o quired *An J tlw in are doing business with a whose resources are re¬ they New rlrnrl Policies dend Policies'', adequacy of b a n.k capital forrisk cover- advertis¬ are made Com¬ Divi- between bank and cus tomer of a savings bank or com mercial bank. The Federal-say¬ that the pub1 i c, through they- are by Roland I. Robinson, Professor of Banking, The School of merce, Northwestern University. Writing on "Bank Capital and Business' 'Re-1. Associations : plea protest against "forced-draft sale of bank stock" and a that "banks be allowed to liberalize their dividend deposit a Federal in Loan and as additional stock to bolster or sale of bank capital. by law to measure up to well-established banking stand¬ on the to Accounts make customers they are not banks. Our primary concern in this matter should be for the peo¬ firm my their which investments years. onvic t i thrift however, are, in tak¬ form recent They not represent itself institutions institution." unrealistic, unreasonable, and contradictory, policy of as 's-... A ————^;-v;' —.———-——--—»—-— nite place in our economy. zes - belief that as your president, I have a duty before turning over my office to; my successor to apprise this association of anything of sufficient moment which has come to my attention during my administration. Such a matter is the public's misconception Savings critic | requiring retention of earnings \ It is my of "Harvard Business Review," Prof." Roland I. Robinson, writing in i banks, retiring President of the Federal newsoaper Volurr>° 163 Number 4714 • THE COMMERCIAL 1 From ' • ' ''V FINANCIAL CHRONICLE •/ Determines f "ix / : same level, but profits as,prewar conglomera-'^ There is ^scaVp fajidito maintain prosperity, and — as same to discuss the , that .isn't! now to record on | iThey incensed ^ man. program. at-Tru- j iciyii rights:! are, of wages, short, • Carlisle ables " men the as astute Hague at least kept their mouths shut. However, under the of the recent .boom, even he joined those on •statement chance. that This Eisenhower spoke out record with Truman ' . make cannot be minimized. man posed sible for dent It had been their that father and hand and the at the as bona fide dele¬ This is what happened in gation. famous Taft-RoosOvelt set-to Chicago in 1912. That this denced by Hague's the plan was evi¬ was the appointment "man," Congresswoman Mary Norton of New chairman of of the Jersey, credentials as com¬ mittee. They don't make any more practical politicians than she. So it dous who was matter a importance had > been of tremen¬ when Hague, along with going Truman, threw in the sponge. The Eisenhower boom went into high His gear. the nomination seemed on way. Then he pulled the rug out from under the boys. More than two- thirds of the so-called Democratic party and practically all of the left looking silly. is amazing that the general leaders It are let the movement in his behalf go so far. He may not have felt it incumbent another public he But did. him upon to statement he could find the occasion to speak on certain subjects later is interest¬ told In this period that he nitely not available. As it festly these was, got some defi¬ was people mani¬ of form encour¬ agement. It It was seems would not to a me have pretty spectacle. that the General been check. Don't extent of his to a take people were attitude that these highly honoring him and to express his gratitude. They were simply using him to knife in the back his " former commander- which were tionary soft-pedaling eign policy the for¬ Republic of Haiti Bonds Called for Redemption regally than have these people for the past 15 difficult for a man years. of It is Eisen¬ hower's stature to consider it an honor that they should turn to him to bail them out. • Secondarily in the Eisenhower movement, and giving it the im- How has the we inflationary are the end of that infla¬ come for since all the July 15, 1957, that, through opera¬ tion of the sinking fund, $327,270 war. of these tificates the will Office be made a risen from 6£ June practical were of 1946 purposes the of Port-au-Prince, „ at or when price 111 the banks new of were it The per¬ were pre¬ only slightly i in was 1937 8.6% of and, the national income last year. Those are the basic considera¬ tions and facts upon which I think might agree before undertak¬ ing this discussion. Tlow the prob¬ we lem before in what us is what ingredients proportions will make this cake called prosperity last so that we can eat it and still have Question Is Vital This discussion far transcends the question of who or what group is right or wrong. The question to which have we been addressing ourselves is vital not just to labor, not just ot the manufacturer, not just to the coupon clipper, It is to the preservation of the private enterprise system and be¬ vital yond that to the preservation of that way of life which emphasizes individual freedom and the dig¬ nity of the human personality. If the American system of personal freedom, political liberty and pri¬ vate enterprise cannot outperform the other systems which have nearly to dominate the then we shall all be en¬ in some kind of planned totalitarianism. That is why main¬ taining prosperity is such an im¬ portant problem. come very world, gulfed I do not know whether all the members of this panel will agree on a program which slow down and will at least which the Presum¬ one. which is ARE TO PLEASED ANNOUNCE THAT MR. ARCHIBALD (JACK) vK. ROSE without removed unfilled a IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH US IN OUR large backlog both wants and of money savings which they had aecumu lated during the war. When con NEW YORK TRADING DEPARTMENT the removed pent-up demand, supported as it was by high level of current income and a backlog of liquid savings, was * were turned loose in a market in which scarcity and shortage was the rule Prices rose, Commercial In¬ a a ''Statement by Dr. Neal before iorum at the Summer Institute subsidiary. of C. I. T.^ Financial pf/ ! Social . Profits and cre¬ real wages began has joined Commercial Investment fall, wages were increased, and Trust Incorporated as. Assistant despite the rapid increase in Vice-President in the bank rela¬ " discovered WE incomes and bankers, Corp. 1929, than it money sufficient appreciation of the fact that 140 million people had high the Incorporated is as which were v., controls cer¬ A. Perry Waterman, for many years associated with A. G. Becker & Co., Inc., investment Trust never the part of labor, business, and When the war ended trols vestment in that consumers. head office of its New York agent, National City Bank of New tions department. below to pay for part of the cost of waging the on Fiscal' Agent, Haiti, same During the war, prices were held down by government controls and .by patriotism and self-restraint either at income The per¬ it. 65 points removed. the I bonds bond that behest of the Government in ating this amount is 129 cents, more- than 100%. A large proportion of the increase in prices and wages has controls . have about the wartime ratio. 1940. hourly earnings of indus¬ workers of price. a centage of profits in the national vailed prices to is income process cents form a as .before the war, although be¬ low higher far as doing their patriotic duty at the Commercial Inv. Trust more ex¬ neces¬ associated—we process. Haiti Internal Loan (5%) series A bonds and bond certificates, due 2re lived I of the institution with am emphasize Banque Nationale de la Republique d'Haiti, as fiscal, agent, is notifying holders of Republic of A. P. Waterman Now With frantic in the realization at not now. trial on may stop unhealthy inflationary spiral now whirling us around. high enough and not saving ably it is the pay for the things I think, however, that we should which the people who receive enough during the war. We fi¬ give serious consideration to the nanced too large a part of the profits do.' The proper measure following principles: war on the basis of a credit ex¬ is not the percentage increase in (1) There can be no lasting pansion arising from the purchase total profits before or after taxes, benefit to the people of this coun¬ of government securities by the a continuation of the nor is it the percentage increase try from commercial banking system with (Continued on page 35) newly created money. I want to in the ratio of profits to sales, noi issue. plunderbunders this country has experienced in my time and who now opinions ing the price for not raising taxes too far now, or Daddy will spank. I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't work to the go the greatest that their racket is .coming* to an end. No despots in any land have I not yet at York. Z Mainly they In my process. press-are my own and not The in-chief. in the middle are the : ment of the bonds and of name. It is nominees. the use is How Far Inflation? of little ridiculous for him continued We inflationary an opinion—and and bond 'certificates have been called by lot and will be redeemed at 100% on July 15, 1948. Pay¬ the It would percentage point rise ^'The inflationary process arises The in wholesale prices occurred after Republicans deliberated .in the [because people want to buy more light of, what the General might June, 1946. 36 points of the 70 goods than are available at exist¬ do or say. The p r o p a g a nd a ing prices and furthermore they percentage point increase in con«t sumer prices occurred after June throughout the meeting, appar¬ have the money to back up their 1946. And almost 21 cents of the ently authentic, was that if either desire to buy. Our friend repre¬ 66 cents increase in average hourly Taft, Bricker or Joe Martin be¬ senting the NAM will, I am sure came the nominee he would feel point out that logically, therefore earnings occurred after mid-1946 it incumbent upon himself to we must increase the production Some of you may wonder why warn" the country. This un¬ of the things that people are able I do not carry through with sta¬ questionably was a potent argu¬ and. willing to buy in order tc tistics showing what profits have ment against these three men. keep prices from rising higher done in this same period. I shoulc Now, seemingly it is the Gen¬ This would be altogether desir¬ like to, but in truth there is nc eral's intention to shape the.con^, able. However, when we explore measure of profits comparable tc met of the campaign. Dewey has the origins of this inflationary the measures of prices and wages said the foreign policy of the process we find that the principal which I have given. The price oi Administration will certainly be impetus to higher prices arose a package of cigarettes or a bar ?n issue. The global thinkers and from an expansion in the- supply of soap can be measured. The pay spenders had hoped this would of for a given hour of work of s money and of money income5 not be the case. It is a thing that ; which provide the wherewithal given kind can also be measured. can't stand full discussion, What is the measure of profits to bid up prices. The truth of the Presumably Eisenhower would matter is, we are now and have comparable to the measure o;' like to keep the Republicans in been for the last three years pay¬ prices and wages? Frankly I have fully justified weeks ago to express his resent¬ principal ment at we wages income erage of before those who communicated with him uncorrected. possible that and rather than was have gone so far? Wholesale have risen by 111% from 1939 to April of 1948, or to more than, double the prewar level. Consumer prices have risen dur¬ ing the same period by 70%. Av¬ V:^-; sarily "those ; would have been any better off than are percentage of return centage of wages in the national fundamental inflation- of causes the recent past. Eisenhower's statement that he make have reconveradd that hope I shall get the discussion off on the right foot by reviewing what has been happening in the may Vice-Presidential hasten to I V-J, Day, chasing I f committee are perity. he inherited from that father. could 1 -His shadow hung over; the Re¬ simply be denied their seats in publican convention. It had ;'a the convention. Rump delegations bearing on the Presidential^ and hastily organized recognized by the credentials Neal ward in the spiral may not be the one which results in lasting pros¬ , .they could have been C. A. that upper prices profits wages, except their father. ironic thing is that most trouble is due to the mess being since remained im¬ his the sion period. least each other up¬ ... war cies followed during the present for¬ mula in which : ting are Presi- today nanced the ( afraid that the Truman's cockiness ing.. Apparently he is determined getting the nomination to have some influence ?in the came from the realization thatAi| campaign. He has already had the dissentients seemed to be getr some., about many people the of his is the investment, all of which have fundamentally been variously cited as being which we fi- comparable with prices and wages. and from the poli- I will say this much about profits also, had the government controls been from tnis tine maintained through the period country as his No_ one is respon¬ Truman's pro- It it in way clear, the upon running mate. And it whom the is derives the from brought gram. profits increased also. Ir, the current inflationary process to into activities of .the Roosevelt 'iney have turned against uoya. the no The importance of Hague step¬ ping out from under the President assumed the the had to seems and unanimous. - to ' Frank spell at all. vari- need be hope, before; The-picture of this great debaVthe trek to cle, the complete collapse of the Philadelphia, so-called Democratic party would got underway.: not be complete without pointing But such Bargeron ' ' any; tered eco- nomi'c them: why, the GeneraL should;be flat- Jw i t h out of current in¬ budgetary surplus. a - whatever theref fect that; Sd we had the - spectacle of these Truman'. can't\ twd, diametrically «oppo*sed groups!;wi.n! There j mpying together in their eomihon '.were few, if; misery. It is difficult to see just any in national income is Holds it vital to end inflation wages 1940. us to make, sure that we are all. talking thing. ' From the title assigned to us it is clear that it was intended for question of what formula determines prosperity in terms of wages prices profits, and* /, ^ ' , ; and (3) other ^ ,« , or It is well at the outset of this discussion for , about the 1 y a the Philadelphia conclaveVap-i •leader qf: the,:proached^ a re the So uthermbolt-' e ers. of Boston (1) increased production; (2) less spending come; j petus. it en joyed, as - the time vf or • aggregationi Prosperity? ALFRED C. NEAL* still below level in 1929 are urges: succeeded in bringing together such a never ' tion. J|f®|By Vice-President, Federal Reserve Bank Whatever chances Mr. Truman had for reelection—undoubtedly! certainly been destroyed on the eve of the so-called Democratic conclave. I say so-called Democratic because-Barnum at' height of his career ; Pointing out inflation spiral is continuing, Dr. Neal finds percentage of -slim—have the 7 Wages, Prices, Profits—What Formula By CARLISLE BARGERON - (103) -i Washington Ahead of the News ' & i Progress, Mass., June 29, 1948. Wellesley MACKUBIN, LEGG & COMPANY ESTABLISHED MEMBERS NEW YORK NEW YORK CURB BALTIMORE BALTIMORE 1899 STOCK EXCHANGE STOCK f.' • EXCHANGE (ASSOC.) EXCHANGE NEW YORK 8 (104) THE Status of Fuel Oil COMMERCIAL Pointing out race FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Availability By JOHN W. BO AT WRIGHT * General & , , Dealer-Broker Investment , Manager, Distribution Economics Dept., Standard! Oil Co. of Indiana Recommendations and Literature between expanding demand and oil industry's effort to increase supplies is still nip petroleum supplies will be tight for next 10 months. Notes shift from It is understood that the and tuck, Mr. Boatwright predicts coal to oil for energy, and send to stock-piling of coal for national security and relief of growing demand urges Thursday, July 8, 1948 firms mentioned will be pleased parties the following literature: interested for oil. Today I shall discuss briefly what is happening in the petroleum supplies field, then problems apparent in the total energy requirements market/ arid then present a brief review of recent happenings in the fuel oil burner market. From these brief reviews, conclusions held The Economics Advisory Commit¬ tee to the Interstate Oil Compact interpretation Commission of the market. does not supply, but it does give sider first the to essary meet reduction an esti¬ anticipated supplied by coal means that oil and natural gas output has absorbed mands. supply This tion. Are the ucts John W. Boatwright thus Both be would growth brought to the market was creates both social The estimating needed. agencies oil all and processor, 1, Ont., try—Study—Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Also dum available on others is Niagara Corp., and Opinion. using Laboratories, Voorhis & Co., Inc. •— K a 1 b, Broad Street, appraisal 25 — New York 4, N. Y. a leaflet a of Power Market ment Electric Co.—Memo¬ 1, Texas. memoran¬ Hudson Paso randum—Rauscher, Pierce & Co., Mercantile Bank Building, Dallas Also available circulars are on Ideal Cement Co., Southern Union Gas Co., Southwest Gas Produc¬ ing Co., and Time, Inc. Insurance Stocks: Basic Invest¬ Characteristics Mid recog- Mont El eco¬ nomic problem arises from the termination of conditions wherein the Toronto Cigarette Manufacturing Indus¬ industry sought a market Co., Inc., 67 for its fuel oils» on a by-product York parently indicate that both esti¬ basis. 5, N. Y. Today the home owner, the mating agencies felt that at least diesel operator, the industrial this situa¬ supplies of pe¬ troleum prod¬ estimate shift Building, Du Investment Canada. tremendous This close concurrence would ap¬ Its approximately 95% of increased energy requirements of the nation. the Circular—Schaefer, Miller & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N.Y. ratio of require¬ and economic problems. de¬ 10.3%. petroleum in the ments estimate mate of the minimum supply nec¬ con¬ us in¬ availability of 10.2% during the first half of 1948 com¬ pared with the first half of 1947. the Let an of crease the to Bank of Bureau of Mines estimated nec¬ essary crude in excess of 80% of our total en¬ oil, natural ergy requirements. Today coal gasoline, benzol and imports, the supplies approximately 45%. This be to including domestic Companies-i-14th edition comparative brochure — Coch¬ ran, Murray & Hay, Dominion production as minimum Com¬ of most will and surance ' justified. The statistical de¬ tail Preferred Stocks considered eligible for investment by Canadian Life In¬ mon of the market, I shall attempt to draw such appear Canadian , review Geyer & Street, New — Wall Fifth Avenue * Corp.—Cir¬ cular—Seligman, Lubetkin & Co., 41 Broad Street, New York 4, New York, / „ Also Year Outlook —Discussion Of business 500 ? ,» available Graham-Paige data are Motors and on Ten¬ activity and economic fuel oil now compete with each nessee Products & Chemical Corp. in 1948 equal to or events and their possible future greater | nized that a greater expansion of other and with the gasoline con¬ than was anticipated? In what supply than of demand was necdevelopment — Bache & Co., 36 sumer for an adequacy of Fox Metal Products Corpora¬ supplies. Wall way has demand changed? Is it essary to restore industry stocks The obvious Street, New York 5, N. Y. tion answer is that the Memorandum — Frank <X behaving about as was expected? from the low levels reached at home owner, the diesel operator, Moore & Co., 42 Broadway, New Does the Natural Gas Pipe Lines — An¬ inter-relationship of sup- the end of the year. Our carry¬ and others using the York 4, N. Y. previously Ply and demand during the early over stocks were low because in¬ alysis of status of industry — H. classified by-product fuel must part of 1948 indicate that thus far ventories had been pulled down Hentz & Co., 60 Beaver Street, bid up the price paid for these Gary Railways, Inc. — Memo¬ the oil New York 4, N. Y. industry has properly adr sharply in 1947 and some restora¬ fuels Ho where they equal the randum—Collett & Co., Fletcher Vised the American public, the tion had to be provided. value to the refiner for production Trust Building, Indianapolis, Ind. burner industry, the diesel. in¬ New York City Bank StocksAgain taking actual data for the far — dustry, the farmers, and all others of what might be expected? The Bureau of Mines, on March 25, 1948, issued its forecast of probable total U. S. demand, do¬ exports, for the year mestic plus 1948. That agency expected the demand for the fouaf major prod¬ ucts—gasoline, kerosene, i*esidual distillate and fuels—to increase of gasoline. This is happening and, first three months as published Quarterly comparison of 19 stocks as we all know, during the past by the Bureau of Mines, estimates winter when —Laird, Bissell & Meeds, 120 supplies of fuel oils for the next two months based on Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. were tightest, some opportunists .American Petroleum Institute's in the oil industry charged even Railroad Developments reports, and my estimates for Leaf¬ more than this, \ let of current developments in the June, it would appear that the The shift of demand also creates oil industry will achieve an ex¬ industry—Yilas & Hickey, 49 Wall a social problem of tremendous pansion of supplies of 9.9% during Street, New York 5, N. Y. the first six months; of 1948. No¬ significance. The energy needs of this nation are being supplied in¬ tice that even- this rentarkable Realty Bond Price Averages— creasingly from a source with growtly'jJ^ieVement is -slightly more limited potentialities and by Index of 200 issues—Amott, Baker & Co., Inc., 150 below estimated minimum needs Broadway, New a fuel that fights wars and propels York 7, N. Y. based5 on the (estimated demand. of 0.4 the demand would be percentage point behind slightly higher for these products during the needs as estimated, and the this time period. That Committee demand is running approximately estimated that demand would be IV2 percentage points over that 7.7% higher than during 1947. foreseen. However, the oil indus¬ try has achieved a greater growth Now let us see what has hap¬ pened. Take the first months' actual experience lished the the Bureau by next two three months pub¬ as of Mines, estimated from data supplied by the Ameri¬ Petroleum Institute, and, for can the month of June, my estimate, and we have a preliminary ap¬ praisal of demand behavior for the first half of 1948. The results were: Estim. Incr. Over , Product 1st 6 Mos. of 1947 Gasoline 7.8% _ Kerosene 10.4 - Distillates 18.0 Residual A.- 3.6 - a (9.9%) than the expansion of de¬ mand (8.7%). Stocks of crude and products therefore have im¬ proved over last year but they have not as yet improved as much or at as great a rate as the need estimated by oil industry econo¬ mists. So clude far, I believe it fair to con¬ that the oil industry har properly advised the public con¬ cerning petroleum supplies. The race between expanded demand and the oil industry's effort to provide increased supplies is still nip and tuck. The race is not won, but some gain has been 8.7% The demand for the four prin¬ petroleum products will show an increase of approximately cipal 8.7% of over 1947. percentage mates 1V2 in the This first is points above anticipated over referred percentage demand six either over sounds or the IV2 esti¬ to. points that months 1 increase which like a was very close approximation. Actually, it economy where the sup¬ ply side of the market has excess capacity. In an economy, how¬ ever, where the supply side of the market has exerted every possible effort, a difference of this magni¬ tude becomes of real significance is in as it an can well mean dislocations of supply, unless the petroleum industry has been able to achieve expansion requirements. "*n over the anticipated still There achieved. Avg. Four Products for: Continuing appears (a) American to Turning advise to of consumer the petroleum readily available at the present no Coal stage of scientific and economic development cannot propel the planes, the automotive and diesel transportation arid the tractors. A tremendous, expanding market must be supplied by petroleum there and is no readily available This fact must be rec¬ y ' 1 ,* > substitute. ognized. . I have taken data published by the Department of Commerce on coal production, petroleum, natu¬ ral gasoline, and water power. Each of these has for 1948 mates and been These 1949. then were estimated esti¬ converted British thermal units. to to the supply side Boatwright meeting of National Heating Association, Chicago, 111., June 28, 1948. a Wholesalers Railway— Barney & Co., 14 Wall Street, New York 5, New York. sis, if the energy requirements of the country continue to reflect a close correlation conditions, in as industrial with has been the past, then there need be apprehension concerning the nation's ability to meet its energy (b) Continuing mightiest efforts the part of the oil industry tc bring greater and greater supplies to the market; on the To do so, however, increased quired. of load Television—Review and analy¬ Hirsch & CO., 25 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. sis fuel # troleum (c) Avoiding over - optimistic estimates about adequacy of pe¬ supplies for all possible wants. but Actually, in spite of an amazing expansion of the petroleum indus¬ try in a period of steel shortage the supply-demand relationship (a) The Haifa refinery was processing approximately 90,000 American Company der must continue to show considerabel improvement before we car the satisfaction of all pos¬ sible desires. As it is, petroleum assure supplies will probably continue be tight during the next ten to months at least. Eastern It has day. a the conflict started. Near This in greater demand upon the West¬ ern Hemisphere, which means ei¬ will be diminished. in Total Energy Requirements Now let look briefly at the problem of total energy require¬ ments. Consider sources ments 1918. us in In of our the the shift energy United that year, in or that States since coal supplied effect, how¬ readily be an im¬ pact upon the American economy of almost 90,000 barrels of petro¬ leum day. the require¬ net per troleum The domestic industry (Continued & Foundry Circular—A. M. Kid¬ Co., 1 Wall Street, New N. Y. American Woolen Company, & Co., 52 William York 5, N. Y. Street, New Associated Transport, Inc. — Memorandum—Homer O'Connell & Co., Inc., 25 Broad Street, New 4, N. Y. York Bird & Son, Inc.—Memorandum New York Hanseatic Corpora¬ tion, 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y, Central A. Illinois Public Service Memorandum—Wil¬ — Fuller & Co., 209 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. Also available are data on Wis¬ consin Power and Light Company. cannot on page & Co., 105 West Adams Street, Chicago 3, 111. Hydraulic Press Brick Co.— Jarnel E. Lumber Co. — Data — W. Hoy, 110 East 42nd Street, New York 17, N. Y. Also available is information City of Point Pleasant, W. Flood Wall Revenue Bonds. on Va. 1 Kingsburg Cotton Oil Co.—Data —Leason & Co., 39 South La Salle Street, Chicago 3, 111. Lakeside Laboratories, Inc. — Detailed analysis for dealers only —Loewi & Co., 225 East Mason Street, Wilwaukee 2, Wis. Also available International is circular a on Cellucotton. pe¬ Marine Midland Corp.—Analysis -Paine, Webber, Jackson & Cur¬ tis, 25 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. Metal Forming Current bulletin Corporation — First Colony Corporation, 52 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. — Michigan Chemical Corp.—Data —Prescott & Co., Guardian Bldg., Cleveland 14, Ohio. Muter Co. Memorandum — — Hicks & Price, 231 South La Salle Connecticut Railway & Lighting Co.—Circular—Bittner, Edelmann & Co., 80 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. Old Ben Coal Corporation—Il¬ lustrated brochure giving 13-year analysis—Comstock & Co., 231 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4. Continental Baking Company— Analysis Outlook—Eastman, Dillon & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y. Also ;S'. Illinois. ■ *> . . 1 £v- and available are analyses of Parker circular 31 Milk Appliance Company — du Pont, Homsey Co., Street, Boston 9, Mass. — Paramount Pictures, Inc., Rail Di¬ visional Liens, Southwest Gas Producing Company, Inc. absorb 39) R. Hoe & Co., Inc.—AnalysisAdams Street, Chicago 4, 111. the United increased The ever; can very — Machine . di¬ supplies of petroleum products for Europe, which results ther that exports from Street, Chicago 3, 120 Inc.—Circular—Emanuel, Deetjen minishes States & York 5, liam since down i'fi Corp., Company few of them. shut s*i Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. re¬ ready to absorb any abnormal im¬ pact on the total energy availabil¬ been — Air Products, Ins. — Circular— New York Hanseatic It will also have to stand barrels of crude oil Salle Illinois. ration, 100 Broadway, New York Circular—Dompsey-Tegeler & Co., St. Louis 1, Mo. 5, N. Y. ity of the nation. What are some of these possible impacts? They are infinite.We shall consider a South La case the requirements. Heyden Chemical Corp.—Circu^ G. Becker & Co., 120 lar—A. Tax Exempt Income — Memo¬ randum—The First Boston Corpo¬ On this ba¬ imports into this country will be *An address by Mr. *t which there is substitute. coal will have to take its share of conserve; Side of Market now certain forms of transportation for no every reason Shift Supply c Northern — by 7.2% during the first hSlf- Of 1948. The Economics. Advisory Committee to the Interstate Oil Compact Commission anticipated Supplies of petroleum are running that Great Memorandum—Smith, Philip Morris & Co. Ltd., Inc.— Memorandum—Sutro Bros. & Co., 120 Delaware Rayon Company — Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. (Continued on page 36) Volume THE Number 4714 168 COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Outlines Steps Toward Currency Stabilization and Multilateral Payments High official of International Monetary Fund stable international exchange until Western Europe f eliminated. Lists major steps required to enable European exports to compete successfully in world market* sees no is restored and its deficit in international payments v A high executive official of the International Monetary Fund, who does not wish his identity to be revealed, recently commented on the European payments problem and the j present impasse in seeking to restore stable convertibility and transferability of the lead¬ ing currencies of the world.; Despite the efforts and work of the International Monetary Fund, he did not foresee any achievement toward international currency stability, until Europe takes measures to prevent a wave of new inflation. "The European obviously not in are<S> countries position a to have their currencies made freely transferable now," the official re¬ marked. the "The balance war of has impaired payments of the countries of Eu¬ major trading rope with the rest of the world. tions on and by transactions, exchange discrimination in interna¬ tional trade and payments. less a new and Un¬ manageable in¬ vertibility, one must first make convertibility possible. system of multilateral payments, There is French no use, we as primary responsibility for taking the measure necessary to ments ity, there without that is just their international with rests the world European "The While they reasonably expect external the cooperation of other countries, it is they alone that can put into effect the national meas¬ crease may for expanding basic problem is to in¬ production in Europe. Ag¬ production in Western Europe in 1947 only the that production of was far below not level prewar recent establishing fi¬ nancial stability that will enable bad harvests account for much of the deterioration of European pay¬ them ments and trade and for to compete in world trial of the Hemisphere. The Europe must take of 10% increase their production; second, use more of their other dustrial major steps: First, they must in they must progress the Western countries during the past year. On hand, Europe's indus¬ recovery has made remark¬ able mar¬ kets, particularly in the markets It has pro¬ since the production „ • to conver- now reached approximate¬ no hope for workable a acting. it preach To restore con¬ could have been reached in 1947 Hemisphere; and fourth, I might well have - said first, (Continued must they on page of the war. They important part of th^f Ijf^^r^nings^from ices of an various kinds. The and -dislocation of de¬ war \ have made of Europe a deficiency dependent upon an imsurplus: from the: Western f Hemisphere. Furthermore, the 4 sharp rise in prices since the fend, economy I port of the has magnified consid¬ war erably their balance of payment deficit. Europe has carried through since the end of the war largely result of aid from the United as a -States and Canada, some use of the International Bank and Fund, and by very heavy drafts on monetary reserves. The internal tional payments of the countries of Western Europe still show a large deficit and their reserve po¬ is •? critical, This ; is the problem that must be mei before sition a ' system of multilateral payments Can be restored. "Just to indicate the magnitude of the problems faced by Europe: In - 1947 the countries of Western Europe had a deficit in their bal¬ ance of payments aggregating $71/2 billion. European payments with the world as the Western whole, other than a Hemisphere, balance. The Western were in Hemisphere, dificit with the therefore, the magnitude of both Europe's over-all payments prob¬ lem and its dollar problem. Some¬ how, during the next four years the European economy must re¬ duce its dependence on imports measures and increase its supplies of exports and services by an aggregate of $7^ billion; and this must be done in terms of dollar payments and receipts. "One of the major purposes of the European Recovery Program is to give the countries of Eu¬ opportunity to complete the rebuilding of their economies and to make the adjustments necessary in their international Cotton IsTheir BusinessfipHE name ANDERSON, CLAYTON & CO. has beI almost come ■*- synonymous with "cotton". With headquarters in Houston, its domestic and foreign branches, subsidiaries, cotton is grown or and spun. partnership in 1904/ and agencies extend The firm now is a was wherever founded corporation. as a For Europe itself, this will require a tremendous change in its and its relations with the rest of the world. Europe economy will be more fore the food war and raw populated than be¬ and will need To pay for flow of imports, the vol¬ of exports from Europe may a ume have to be about 50% world's largest merchandiser of raw cotton and the larg¬ Keeping field', the pace with its growth in the merchandising company has added steadily to its cottonseed oil mills and cotton warehouses both in this country and abroad. 145 It presently owns gins abroad; 2 vegetable oil refineries in the task. is obviously operative effort on than in the gram. > aid other the countries. It a great participating States and will world. But it must be done. Un¬ less Europe succeeds in restoring its balance of payments the world continue to be unstable' currencies, of its divisions oper¬ Subsidiaries California. branches also include and plagued by or insurance company and a tex¬ Some of the subsidiaries in Latin America and edible products such cooking oil, and which an one finished products are and cotton linters are shortening as of them makes the cans In marketed. important Oil seed cake by-products. Man's need for textiles ranks second only to his need States role in and 10 abroad; these warehouses are equipped Anderson, Clayton & Co. play an important filling both of these primary needs by supplying material for textiles^ and food in the form of fats with 37 compress machines and have a total capacity of raw 2,500,000 bales. and feed for cattle. table Securities published for more than 10 years by Equi¬ Corporation featuring outstanding industrial ay,d commercial concerns Equitable will welcome opportunities to contribute to the further development of the South by supplying capital funds to sound enterprises. co¬ the Western Hemisphere coun¬ tries, and of other regions of the will farm in where yields are more one impossible require the good will and cooperation of 1 acre and difficult, a United 57,000 for food. economic European Recovery Pro¬ It will require extensive from a States and 7 abroad. It owns 20 warehouses in the United to the part of the countries ates areas areas, greater ' European irrigated 84 United in the Southern states. believe, a not It will require some 16 cottonseed oil mills and gins in the United States, and 16 oil mills and proportionately greater other regions, v I in Egypt manufacture This is another advertisement in the series "This duction assumed than in other tile mill. est worldwide crusher of cottonseed. than before the war; and the in¬ crease in exports will have to be but Accessory to its cotton merchandising and cottonseed milling activities, Anderson, Clayton & Co. finances pro¬ more materials from the Western Hemisphere. such The World Their Market It is the rope an payments. by restric- In¬ about duction in export; third, consequence struction war. was greater in 1947 than in 1946. ♦ lost even The sold a great part of -their foreign investments and they have incurred large debts as a but years. * is They have have . n ricultural and ures ;;•/ Increased Production countries themselves. aid markets. pay¬ they must ly the prewar" level., Probably an convertibil¬ emphasize exports to the Western even higher > level of production slang, de beler la tibilite, to 'bleat' the ternational balance is established, say currency and financial policies that will enable their ex¬ ports to compete successfully in "The restore 9 pursue ' four : (105) NASHV I LIE DALLAS K NOX VI LLE T7 ATTTTV A ;T? TrT7 JC/ W. BIRMINGHAM NEW M E ORLEANS M P H I S U XX/x|D Securities NEW YORK HARTFORD CHATTANOOGA G REENSBORO AN Corporation D JACKSON. MISS. BROWNLEE O. CURREY, President. 322 UNION STREET/ NASHVILLE 3, TENN. TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. 39) - 1 10 COMMERCIAL THE (106) six months ended May Mill!! Illinois:: Brevitie On 15-year 6% convertible sinking fund debentures due May Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc., being the unsubscribed debentures The holders. will used be bank to $250,000 repay approxi¬ expend to loans, were] the' Sumter, The net proceeds ville due eral Bacon, Whipple corporate purposes..; Becker & Co. Ine.; underwriting; by Lehman Brothers, New York, and Straus &; Blosser, Chicago, offered to; the public 300,000 shares of : | analysis and $16.75 per share. Other Illinois bank¬ ers'.participating in this offer¬ ing' were: Bacon, Whipple &; Co.; William > Blair & Co.; Brailsford & Co.; Central Re¬ interested In-> to financial * vestment dealers and other ' Institutions on request. t, maintain We J. Coal - ) and stock invite purchase the for inquiries < scher your Co. of Chicago; Holley, Dayton Gernon; Kebbon, McCormick & Co.; Link, Gorman & Co.; Mason, Moran & Co.; Mullaney, Wells & Co. and Sills, Minton & & Approximate Price 14 Of Co. COMSTOCK & Co. 300,060 the Dempsey certain Another group of underwriters Gas-Co. first Income 5%—1952 On June 25, Co. headed Halsey, Stuart s&; a of group invest¬ ment banking firms which miK- licly Mobile & Ohio RR. Co. collater¬ of offered al trust 101 $7,000,000 Gulf, 3%% bonds due 1968 at interest. and share previously quarter. Demp¬ > Co., Inc. Halsey, Stuart & Co. IncM also over that for the due corre¬ A nation-wide derwriters Brailsford & Co. Co., by deemable CG 95 (par first $25) shares of Pa¬ 5% preferred $26.50 at & publicly cific Gas & Electric Co. CHICAGO 4 un¬ Blyth 30 June 1,000,000 of group headed Inc., on offered 208 S. La Salle Street 9868 per lowing Illinois C. — Allyn & Co., ment -5% Preferred Common lien Collins & CO.; * Included share ment on lis New an Tel. Dearborn 5G00 F, 10116 Farwell, Co., & & Inc., to in weeks last gram. 21.2%. Paul * • V. " * Galvin, * 1 ' the President of Motorola, Inc., reported that ?ales for the six months ended Serving Investment Dealers We specialize exclusively in under¬ May 29, 1948 were nearly $26,000,000, com¬ pared with $21,000,000 in : the comparable periiod in the previ¬ fiscal year. writing and distribution of securities, ous providing investment dealers with at¬ taxes tractive issues for their clients. $1,550,769, equal to $1.94 taining own, department -of in compete we dealers, retail no but Main¬ no them serve our with way ipon and Net profits, after amounted to reserves, share, per com- against • $1,379,774, as exclusively. Creased F. S. T- „ . ' ' Central increase of 38% fiscal ceding over income • Security Traders Association of and Michigan - Annual In July 16, 1948 (New York City) year, > J,' * ' *• included, Co. ; others, (Inc.); ;Kebbon, McCormick <& Co., Wil¬ Co. and Carter H. Harrison & Co., on July 1, puby- 0700 '■■000. ' :. > r:0 Republic tbarv $1); of •; Metals at $15 ?.the jqejt proceeds toj be used to. _» { ; « * Bond * underwriting An Mt. joint Annua! Sept. 10, 1948 (New York City) Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, among and Security Traders Association of including, others, Central Republic jointly, Co., and 15 The Illinois Co. publicly of offered and 150,- properties of the at c National Security Trader* AbbO- Dec. 5*10, 1948 (Hollywood, Fla.) Investment Bankers Association 1948 convention at the Beach Hotel., company. * ^ a Hollywood T ' f!'*? Utility Common Central british: Industrial Paper Common |r- Ra ilroad - Detroit Harvester ' , ; r Common i/'-f [ Portsmouth Steel Common ; south African • r Municipal -nut — Sold — Quoted Disintegrating Common . STRAUS & BLOSSER Members ■ V- 'i Bought \ Metals |i BONDS —SHARES ; New York Members Chicago Associate Member 185 South La Salle Tel. ANDover 5700 Stock Stock New Exchange Exchange York Curb St., Chicago 8, Til. >; Tele. CO 650-651 AjCAIXSfN«®COMEANY f zippin : ' II . - NEW york m boston' . omaha Incorporated philadelphia ;y.;vv: . CHICAGO milwaukee: Kansas city flint minneapolis ; 0 . , elation Convention. , utility gas Outing Nov.15-18, 1948 (Dallas, Tex.) Montana-Dakota electric the Summer on payment of the cost of additions to York Travers Island, r; Kebbon, McCormick Co.- (Inc.), shares New at $12.50 per share, the net proceeds to be applied toward SECURITIES IBA of headed by Blyth & Co., Inc., and f $5) Chicago Denver-Rocky of Club Group Party at Park Hill Country Club. syndicate Utilities Co. common stock, (par INVESTMENT Securities Admin¬ Aug, 27, 1948 (Denver, Colo.) augment working capital. • of istrators at the Multnomah Hotel ; 000 FLOYD D. CERF CO. Annual Convention of National Association share, per r July 19-22, 1948 (Portland, Oreg.) i stock Permanentef The Corp. offering of annual Toledo of Club. banking of capital Club buting at the Inverness Country .nation-wide a investment shares 600,000 Bond Co. participated 30 with o* group f'0 - L* group, among Republic '^ June on firms, in the public to $68381,993, as $55,587,819 in the Central together I sales in- year, (Inc.) against gain of weeks.of a and June Public f at addition, A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc. & Bowser Lochmoore at Country Club, Grosse Point, Mich. New York Curb Exchange Em¬ 1948 amounted to $19,ployees Quarter Century Club946,638, as against liabilities of Exchange dinner at Freeport, L. I. $12,278,027. ! corresponding the * Party Summer April 30, Co. ■ ^ " ' Detroit, the pre¬ Current assets taxes. STANY for (Detroit, Mich.) July 13, 1948 year. Net profit $3,484,515 after all tn (Philadelphia,«Pal) 1948 Tournament Cup at Philadelphia. charges and Federal and Canadian For- Correspondence invited. 120 South La Salle Street Golf ended year C. $11,706,615, * liam Blair & fiscal the A. were Glore, underwriting which July 9, i amounted compared to period last year;" ' An Club, Haddouf ield, N. J. Yantis &' Co., Inc. During an Co. Summer Annual Philadelphia Outing at the Tavistock Country Co., Mullaney, Wells & Co. and at same . of July 16, 1948 (Toledo, Ohio) fiscal 23.0% Investment Traders Association Martin, Burns 1981, 1, In the first 24 current July 9, 1948 (Philadelphia, Pa.) share and dividends, Corbett, Inc., Mason, Moran & & Jewel Tea Co.. Inc., sales in the four weeks ended June 19, 1948 of Party at Sleepy Hollow Club. G. Becker & Co., Inc.; Illinois Co., The Bond Club of Louisville Annual cumulative pre¬ (par $100); at $ amounted *;/w $90,000,- bon, McCormick &Co. £ July 9, 1948 (Louisville, KyJ Corp., Chicago, transacted a rec¬ ord volume of peacetime business amounting to $79,406 133. This was Co., Harris, .Hall, & $9,662,432 Tele. CG 146 4% per weje: A. (Inc.), The Illinois Co. and Keb■ Cleveland Security Traders AsBociation summer outing. ; on invest¬ 3% bonds, July and interest, Allyn gan due which April 30, 1948 the Zenith Radio Telephone refunding mortgage series in part, the Pacific; Gas Company's construction pro¬ ' issue of York July 9, 1948 (Cleveland, Ohio) V the among $12,000,000 bank loans and to fiMembers of Chicago Stock Exchange * NTpS each, of Chicago group stock $101.25 Bank bankers publicly offering June 30 000 Bacon, nance, 209 S. La Salle Street * Chicago 4 of proceeds and for other corporate * " - / purpose, stock proceeds will be used to retire William A.Fullcr&Co. net National. Shawmut re¬ Chapman & Co.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); The Illinois Co.; Kebbon, McCormick & Co. and Mullaney, Wells & Co. The net —A— a EVE j -bankers Co. Light including pay¬ of $1,000,000 of note issued purposes, Central Republic Co. (Inc.); Ju¬ ' 1 ❖ j;s houses Inc.; pe¬ a s COMING j publicly offered 80,000 ferred company, The to Co., Inc.; William Blair & Co.; , the 17 of Boston to obtain funds for such Whipple & Co.; A. G. Becker & Gamble-Skogmo, Inc. 1978, utility the participants: A. were among TRADING MARKETS banking > Commander. shares of Kansas City Power & which will be applied toward fi¬ and accrued dividends. The fol¬ — June publicly offered $3,- nancing construction costs of the i v!i:*®#:; 0 n-00- ;! Tel. State 24 first mortgage bonds, 3ys% series •v' i-,- June on sponding period last year. Common Stock investment - * Among the . paid , * Co. and F. S. Yantis & sey 1947 fiscal year. Income of $9,659,282 for the first six months of 1948 39% war; riod Co., Rockford, 111., a subsidiary of Keystone Steel & Wire Co., on July 2 declared a regular quarterly dividend of 25 cents per share on the capital stock, payable 500,000 Sierra Pacific Power Co. was Milwaukee Railway 60% the ' ' per Included this group were among approximately he during July 15 to holders of record July 8. vThis compares with 20 cents; sales for the first half of the over Chicago, North Shore & of served . company's properties. April 30, 1948 of $140,060,707, an increase 1942 which ' ;;(Inc;);Julien "Collins t!oV;f Since January Amesi' Emerich & Cdvlncy and: of 1947 he series due 1968, at 100.75% and D. M. S. Hegarty Rogers & Tracy, Inc. i The net has interest. Of the proceeds, $14 000,been as¬ proceeds will be placed in Bene- ; 000 will be used to repay a like sociated with Commercial Invest¬ ficial's general funds. ment amount of 1%% notes due 1949, Trust, Incorporated, as a * * * and the remainder toward cost of Vice-President. The directors of National Lock construction of additions to the y. Corp, in Navy in were: Inc;; ca¬ his joining the Loan A. G. Becker & Co.,; Central Republic Co. share , mortgage in similar a < or¬ pacity prior to preferred stock, $4 dividend series of 1948 [ (without par value) at $100 per :: pipe line sinking fund bonds, 3% Deere! &Co., Moline, reports Sales for the six months ended Central Public Utility Mr. 1 ganization cumulative Corp. Col Inc., on. Jiine>\24 '.qfferefl.to th? public&$28,000,000.' ol " SohtiierAi Industrial Beneficial of where' he was a member of the " headqcl. by .Halsey, Stuart, Natural Hegarty on writing the offering to the pub¬ lic on June 23 of 100,000 shares Co.; Inc., underwriting Included among those under- ;' Illinois & Sons Rollins Patterson, Copeland & Kendall,* # # The & activities. subscrip¬ \Co'.;l & Wells stocks. closed which period been Vice-President of E. H. a Rollins has Hegarty will devote his efforts to'corporate b u y i n g and ;! s June 29. William Blair Inc. and F. S. Yantis & Co., Inc. selling stockholders. * tion the during S. M. elected of¬ were D. ; common exercised | por¬ total of 152,654 shares "were a Hegariy V.-P. Of E. H. Rollins & Sons ; rep- ? 208,260 preferred w Warrants- for additional * Mullaney, y 4.40 % ' G. ac¬ count and 100,000 for account Dearborn 1S01 A. Collins Co.; & Co.; the Kerr-McGee Teletype CG 955 Julien Co.; Co.; of¬ shares 200,000 were for corporation's fered, CHICAGO 4, ILL. 231 So. LaSalle St. (Inc.); Dixon BretInc.; Farwell, Noonan Chapman & Co.; First Securities sale. or stock (par $1.) at public Co. position in Old Ben a common 13 a prepared by has been available is giving brochure Illustrated year us an headed Kerr-McGee Oil Industries, Inc. common An 16, and financing were:'* & of initially shares which April 1, 2003, at. 100% and; interest. Also partici¬ this shares issue new a D. M. S. " $25.12^) $20). at unsubscribed the of com- fered to holders of tne common refunding accrued in On June • Nash¬ & and pating syndicate CORPORATION first Segalock Fasteners, Inc. (a sub1 sidiary), and the balance for gen¬ & OLD BEN COAL RR. offered tion mortgage 3%%, bonds, series H,i of plant C., S. publicly % $30,000,000. Louisville amount of-<S> mately $300,000 for expansion of subscription to stock priced at par. which . resent of shares Corp. share. •'These per - * 55,606 Teicphone stock (par thon i; i July l, Halsey, Stuart & a banking syn- dicate principal for fered 1, 1963 of balance of ' ' General Co. Inc. headed vestment bankers, $2,000,000 ' Thursday, July 8, 1948 offered licly 29, 1947. _ .Floyd D. Cerf Co., Inc., Chicago, and a nation-wide group of in¬ on June 16 made a public offering of $1,943,800 CHRONICLE $1.72 per common share, .for the or - FINANCIAL & & company Specialists in Foreign Securities \ 208 S. La Salle St., Chicago 4, Illinois Telephone Randolph 4696 £'V * ■ /00:0 Teletype CG 451 ) \ ! 'Volume 168 Number* 4714 THE COMMERCIAL FRB Reviews and Forecasts & FINANCIAL and forecast of According to the article: y System, contains an business and finance, in country have now been operating ifor almost two years at practically full capacity and under conditions -of Contending each succeeding generation will witness greater international trade despite economic uncertainties, Mr. Prochnowr, after reviewing dependence of various nations on commerce, including U. S., asserts our dollars borrowed abroad must eventually be expended Jin American markets. Holds we waste our resources in exports unless we are wil ing to take raw materials and finished goods in re¬ turn. Attaciks economic illiteracy. : There is reasonably wide agreement that world trade is essential to world stability. requirements of world stability is that men should be able to ex¬ change the products of their skills, their energies, and their resources. A sensible utiliza¬ the past two has total years and their cost exceptionally low. The been tion used by business concerns undoubtedly exceeded that of any rising prices. Over-all business /expenditures have been in record previous -volume. In part this has reflected /the large ing reliance operating requirements for inventories, customer financ¬ ing, and the day-to-day expenses fthat are necessitated by an ex¬ ceptionally large volume of sales, dollar amounts and percentage-? wise, than in any other two-jyeai} period on record. "The financial position of busi-f programs under¬ taken costs at rising /increased facilities to — provide -plant and ^equipment —to meet large postWar demands. on — natural resouroes ' within varied, Britain sound philos¬ ophy withia a nation. men corporations as a group today is still strong.: This is frue;dOspit<4 the fuse since the- -end ctf the Wan continued import of- commodities flow; output quantities abroad. ; In which requirements, still are reduced 'large required from but 1938, Great Britain largest was the single importer in the food, raw materials and articles semi and fully manufac¬ world of tured combined. the it t the : in Great increased, resulting in There .is an almost^ irresistible temptation on an occasion of this kind to indulge simply in the easy But. find difficult upon was acreage between them and other peoples. some- times daily, is dependent and increased e life —________—__ our People living in other boundaries. jis accepted as ness j the * regions of the world, however, re¬ f f i-' quire no/ reorientation, no new ciently com¬ perspective to understand the? im¬ bined with portance of trade between nations, the for their general welfare, as well resources of the earth, as the food necessary to sustain men, the security mar*? •kets as a source of financing, al-t "though direct loans to businesses by banks and insurance compa* nies expanded more, both in pm part it has resulted from busi¬ of skills, .ener¬ gies and .im¬ aginations of two-year period. Over this period there has been increase ness investment By HERBERT V. PROCIINOW* One of the fundamental "The business enterprises of thc^ f > v Reserve developments 11 Vice-President, The First National Bank of Chicago The June issue of the "Federal Reserve Bulletin," published by ^analysis £ : , In its June "Bulletin," Board says 1948 profits are likely to be i larger than 1947 and cash assets of public are ample, despite in- > creased spending. Foresees larger outlays for plant and equipment. the Board of Governors of the Federal (107) World Trade: and World Stability Trends in Business and Finance ? CHRONICLE best Thereby, she customer countries of for some was 31 the world, the pros¬ perity of many of whom depended upon one circumstance-—their retailing ,pf platitudes regarding international trade, but in order power to find in Great Britain a H. V. Prochnow large volume of liquid-assets that this discussion may not be ready market for their sound p hi.Texports. for tax payments as well as -for osophy across mired in generalities, may we pro¬ Thus, the 2% of the population of available internal funds, and in financing inventories, accounts ceed directly to a practical consid¬ the world re-j national boundaries.. residing in, Great Brit¬ part by substantial acquisition of ceivable, plant, and equipment/ /There* is a profound heed to eration of international trade as ain accounted for about 20% of ■< funds from external sources. and despite a large volume of broaden our vision on these mat¬ it relates to various nations. the trade of the world, a per cap¬ (Funds obtained from internal debt financing. Business holdings ita figure of $80, compared with ters; for -in an atomic age with .sources averaged more than $15 of liquid assets in relation to sales Constellation Britain and International Trade a airplanes, television, $15 per capita figure in the (billion a year in 1946 and 1947, are still somewhat above the pre¬ and fast United States. global communication, it -or almost three-fifths of total cor¬ Great Britain, the greatest trad¬ war levels, and in relation to cur¬ is inevitable that world trade will The Netherlands and Belgium ing nation in the world, is a ; porate uses of funds. The internal rent liabilities they are substan¬ become increasingly important. classic example of a nation whose iare very similar to Great Britain, funds were derived primarily tially above such levels. The Times have for each country has a high dens¬ changed and the existence is from undistributed dependent upon world profits but building up of the shareholders' world has grown smaller than it also from the use of liquid assets equity through the- large volume :trade, for about 50 million peo¬ ity of population engaged an in¬ was in those days when Daniel dustry and trading. The Nether¬ —cash and United States Govern¬ of undistributed profits, together ple, better than one-third the Webster stood on the floor of ment securities with numerous stock issues, has accumulated population bf the United States, lands, however, differs in one im¬ Congress discussing railroads and live within an area of 68 thousand portant respect in that the dairy resulted in an equity-to-debt ratio during the war. J said it was ridiculous to think that square miles, an area about twice output is sufficient to supply do¬ J "The large volume of undistrib¬ for business corporations lnx the iman could breathe travelling 15 the size of the State of Indiana mestic needs and also to permit uted profits has reflected chiefly aggregate that is slightly above 'miles an hour. ' substantial exports. As a matter the (86 thousand square miles). With unprecedented volume of that of 1939. If there is any economic cer¬ of fact, during prewar years dairy cpal ^nd- iron ore the principal sales, but it has also been due to tainty in an Uncertain world, it is natural products accounted for about 20% Usesxjf Funds some extent to the reduction in resources, this highly in¬ the certainty that each succeed¬ of her total gxports. dustrialized nation has been ob¬ taxes from high wartime rates. i "The record rate of business op¬ Like Great Britain, Belgium is ing generation will witness greater liged to import great quantities flPrices have risen substantially, erations that has prevailed since international trade. of foodstuffs to feed her millions obliged to import food to sustain the dbllar volume of business has the latter part of 1946 has been ber population, While both the It is difficult for us fully to of people and also tons of raw been, higher than ever before, and the principal factor giving rise to comprehend the significance and materials for her processing in¬ Netherlands and Belgium import business profits, the residual 4«lethe large volume of business ex¬ importance of world trade be¬ dustries, much of the output of large quantities of raw and scmiinent of the business sales dollar, penditures. (Table I). Operations cause of the tremendous output of which is subsequently exported. iprocessed materials for complete have also risen sharply. our industrial machine and the In the average prewar years, for and final processing and reexport. "Funds from external sources at approximately full capacity and abundance of food, minerals, and example, Great Britain was the Thus, Belgium, in an average have been in large volume over at a high and rising price level largest importer of food in the prewar year, imported 1,285 thou¬ sand !:!An address by Mr. Prochnow (metric) tons of bread Table I world, importing about two-thirds before the Export Managers Club, of her foodstuff requirements. grains, or about 60% of her total I "Business expenditures of the past "two years have been financed in part by the large volume of of • apply o this a v * — - , • , CORPORATE ESTIMATED PRINCIPAL USES AND SOURCES OF •Chicago, 111., June 16, 1948. t U. ' ■ • - of Dollars • Internal, total ' ' ■ 5.4 19 20 2.5 0 9 27.0 100 100 16.8 56 62 14.4 10.4 54 •38 0.5 6.4 2 24 11.1! 9.0 42 33 3.3 11 12 —2.7 18 10 1.0 " 28 5.1 3.0 4 11 2.3 0.0 9 0 0.5 *" ' - 7.5 4.8 Total Sources— 43 6.7 25 3.0 of allowances 56 14.9 —__ 1.2 2 5 Louisiana & Arkansas Railway Equipment Trust, Series G ■ ________ ; ' V>. y.V,. . ' , ' 4 ' ' * fFunds retained from operations._— v Reduction in liquid assets—^— L_J__ External, total 37) on page 1946 11.6 0.0 Inventory accumulation Increase in customer financing -t-iFederal income tax payments in excess 1947 14:7 equipment expenditures (Continued diets became less of Total 1946 26.5 Plant and V' age 1947 Uses— war, As Bercent- In Billions . Item ' - During the X : i • v 0 2%% Equipment Trust Certificates (Philadelphia-Plan) | rv- - . / . * Bank loans } ^Security-issues-and mortgages Trade credit ' _ _ Federal Govt, for income taxes due__ Other net sources and statistical '27.0 100 100 banks and insurance companies. Also, in contrast to pertain figures quoted in later sections of the articles, excludes incorporated enterprises. ;£>ource---Department of Uonimetce. $88,000 semi-annually January 1, 1949 ' j ( " July 1, 1958, inclusive. to ' • , : * h" „js ' as to payment of par value and dividends by endorsement by Louisiana & Arkansas Railway Company | , . i and equipment to modernize operations and to ex¬ pand capacity for probable future has also ^ been - v - to cost approxi¬ ; ..... . v industrial groups were '.V I V The of these Certificates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated only from the undersigned and such other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. manufacturing durable have continued high, they are down season¬ ally from the level prevailing in the latter, part of 194,7. ness sales although /'Inventory accumulation:. In¬ $300 bil- ventory accumulation is a business fourth use of funds directly affected by or 1944, the volume of sales. The percent¬ wartime years." Sales last year in • Issuance and sale goods. Thus far in 1948 total busi¬ „ \ lion,' approximately alarger than those in 1946 the previous peak peacetime .and yield 1.45% to 2.70%, according to maturity ^4V industries af¬ high cost of such investment, r t "Aggregate corporate .sales in standard-gauge railroad equipment estimated new Priced to V''/.* * the largest on record. The largest increases over 1946 occurred in fected by the exceptional volume of postwar demand and by the 1947 probably exceeded be secured by mately $2,200,296. ' all broad a | tnent; in plant Certificates are to be issued under an Agreement to be dated July.J, 1948, which will provide 'for the issuance of $1,760,000 aggregate par value of Certificates to un¬ - large volume of } working; capital. Business invest- i mature . ^Profits, after income taxeg and cash divi¬ dends, plus depreciation allowances. i requirements r . #, • ? t To be unconditionally guaranteed , • 26.5: 'Total necessitated ' To These '-Excludes ! * , dis- 5/crepancy * * age increase in such accumulation (Continued on page 34}.: //y ^ HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. .. ■' i v / > y}/ i1 ."v - : I-V •••."' /:'V -:,v ft' :V/ To be dated July 1, 1948. Par value and semi-annual dividends (January 1 and July 1) payable in New York Cify. Defini¬ tive Certificates in the denomination of $1,000, registerable as to par value. Not redeemable prior »to jnaturity. These"' Certificates are offered when, ias and if received by us. Certificates in temporary or definitive form will be delivered at the office of Halsey, Stuart & Co. Jnc., 35 Wall St., New York, N. Y. The information contained herein has been compiled irom carefully sources considered reliable and, ? " while not guaranteed as to completeness -correct as of this date. - July 1948. . , , r , - . or accuracy, we j A c ' * believe it to bes rf , -t i . - COMMERCIAL THE FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursday, July 8, 1948 With Daniel F. Rice Co. PALM FLA.—Robert BEACH, If I Were A. Cannon is with Daniel F. Rice & Co., 246 South County Road. Retail Salesman a (Second of Series) a By ROBERT E. CLARK Vice-President, Calvin Bullock By HENRY HUNT youngest and best liked executives in the business, Robert E. Clark, Vice-President of Calvin Bullock, sponsors of Dividend Shares, that you were suddenly made a trustee organization or estate and were charged with the responsibility for investing several million dollars. Without doubt you would promptly seek professional advice and retain a competent investment organization to help you Nation-Wide Securities, Canadian Fund, Ltd., keep watching the securities which were selected. Aeronautical ities would, of course, be "If I Were Prospectus your request from upon investment dealer, National research or from this Retail Salesman" series written was for by one of the The Bullock Fund, and With combined assets of approximately Securities, Inc. us suppose an Such $100 million. a is course Where Will the "Dow" Go From Here? - corporation In 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5. N. Y. to Now, let Do as , On "A return to a Price-Earnings*Basis «• price earnings ratio comparable to the 1929 peak would result in a price rise of almost 100%.:^-/: J "A return to a price-earning ratio comparable to the 1937 peak would result in a price rise of over 75%. ' a "A return to follow the same do it—and it has been done shareg. ' " 1 ' ' Through ownership of these shares, investors, large and small, share proportionately in a broadly diversified in¬ price-earnings ratio, cpmparable to the high of price, rise of over 60%. a 1946 would result in can ment company . RUSSELL BERG FUND you You follows: have some money of your own conscientious? sensible investment formula? by almost onp mil¬ lion investors—whether you have a few hundred or many thousands of dollars to invest. It can be done economically, conveniently and' soundly' through the purchase of invest¬ earnings and dividends, Edward E. Hale of Vance, Sanders con¬ cludes Because it is time-tested, and sound. us suppose you Are you as careful and to invest. statistical discussion of where the "Dow" has sold in relation a The secur¬ broadly diversified. with wealthy individual or traditonal institutional investors. & securities in article second The a Let . vestment portfolio, carefully a selected by experts, and have equally at their disposal and services of agement, . \ professional man¬ , On Prospectus INVESTMENT on MANAGER Jv. v,-.:J./ • ■ AND Price-Dividend Basis Moreover,, the investment companies from which you, can choose emphasize certain specific objectives and are man¬ aged accordingly. ' Therefore, * if your need is for high in¬ come, you can select from companies giving priority to this feature. Other investment companies place greater emphasis upon capital gains; still others upon investment stability through a broad portfolio, including bonds and preferred stocks as well as equities. Their records are public information. Their manage¬ ments can be readily evaluated. Some are supervised by ;, "Stock prices would have to increase over 60% to equal the price-dividend ratio reached in 1929. Request "Stock prices would have .to increase about 20% to equal the price-dividend ratio reached in 1937. UNDERWRITER V,. • •..' i■L-". j a ''1, \\ to equal the "Stock prices would have to increase over 50% price-dividend ratio reached in 1946." Russell, Berg & Company Bank Loans of Affiliated Now Investment Counsel 75 Federal Street, Boston TELEPHONE LIBERTY 2-955O $17,000,000 As of June 28, Lord, Abbett's Affiliated Fund increased its loans from $15 million to $17 million. bank firms which have been that the company might maintain its effective leverage at amounts deemed appropriate by the management at this level of the market with the outlook for business favorable. < r ,1 of different industries and widely. These are facts which expose to high risk the Investors who buy but one or two stocks in the hope of so borrowing, total assets of the Company, at pres¬ ent market prices, are approximately $73 million, of which $17 mil¬ lion constitutes borrowings and the remainder, $56 million, the equity." new ' • ... ' high income solve new and says in part: 'smaller these funds had the responsibility of managing in¬ vestment accounts knows the difficulty of keeping a number of dif¬ ferent lists, of securities constantly in mind. It is not the dollar size of each list,* but the number and diversity of items that make it so difficult, Thus a single account of some millions of dollars, like Fidelity Fund, may be more easily kept in mind, managed and serv¬ iced properly than 10 separate accounts which might total a much "Anyone who has profit* is designed to help investors company in which different investors participate it offers peace of mind and opportunity for adequate investment reward. Why not follow the sound policy which you would adopt if you were charged with the responsibility of investing booklet called "Modern Investment Manage¬ ment" is laid out to catch the investor's eye, or investment problems. As a cooperative venture many Concentration Fidelity Fund's An . -V: \ . corporations. Seldom in recent his¬ tory has the market performance of different stocks varied , "After the serving investors for over 50 years. Never before has it been so difficult to forecast the future "The additional borrowing," it was stated, "was arranged so ever amount. for others? Your ■ tection. deserves equal own; money pro¬ ' That is why we recommend that you consider invest¬ ment companies as the logical and sound way to make your capital productive in these eventful years. Dow-Jones Industrials would be almost exactly 10 times earnings, which, historically, is abnormally low. "If, with such stability of earnings the dividend rate were to creep , The Fidelity Fund shareholder benefits by this concentration of theTurnis''iolimany-ipVestofs in one relatively. simple form of trust, rv. where sound Prospectus from your Investment Dealer or secure supervision and direction satisfactory investment results." 9 HUGHW. LONG & CO. 48 Dividends can be expertly combined to V : 1 ^^£^2 back to a conservative 'normal' of year. This would be INCORCQSATtD 48 WALL (OS STREET, NEW YORK 5, N Y. ANGUS CHICAGO Company - of Edwin P. Rubin, President of Selected s Investments as follows: "It ^interesting to observe that dividends last year were an abnormally low percentage of earnings. The following table gives • ?..**' Year ^ Earned • ,1929 1930 -k 1931 — T934'_1-:_-_l_: 1939 Certificates of Participation in FUNDS investing tkeir capital ^; " IN , - PREFERRED STOCKS f . 161 __ 3.66 94 4.55 72 7.05 70 .11.49 8.78 76 4.98 83 77 6.11 68 10.92 7.06 65 71 11.64 i: '1941 7.59 65 70 194? , 69 69 9.22 . _ l943.^:^U-wl-l-^r^I--Z,'V>9.74 "i; - — 6.40 6.30 65 66 6.57 •« 65 6.69 , 63 — "(arDeficit. 7.50 55 49 "In $ *Y. , , .. | t COMMON STOCKS . CSeries 5 1«S2-S3tS4) I ; Prospectus from - your local investment dealer or is, of course, difficult to say what a normal ratio of pay¬ ments in relation to earnings might be. It is obvious that the current low ratio of payments is the result of increased capital needs at a time when it was not easy to finance. This condition may continue. It is also possible that the ratio of payments to earnings will not increase until the trend of earnings has turned downward. "However, if ompany oston 6U Congress otreet f Boston 9, Massackusette one examines the table closely, he observes that in from 1941 to 1945 inclusive (the war years) the DowJones Industrials paid out, on average, about 66% of earnings. That was a period in which corporate managers were very conservative because they did not know what their postwar problems would be. We may, therefore, assume, with some justification, that managers of these corporations would normally consider the payment of twothirds of earnings as conservative. . •' the five years Stocks, Inc." writes in part some important respects Nov. as there investment outlook since the end follows; has been ■ , - " y improvement 1 in of your company's fiscal year Retail sales remain high; industry is continuing large expenditures to increase both capacity and operating efficiency. Contracts for new buildings have been averaging about 30% more than during the early months of 1947. The steel industry is oper¬ ating at capacity but is still unable to supply its markets. Although on 58 - _ The Investment Outlook the "It I „ Hugh W. Long in his semi-annual report to the shareholders of 63 9.21 ^ ; "V?* available at $15 a copy. f 328-page volume has again been considerably ex-* panded both in subject matter and in the number of individual com¬ panies reviewed," said Arthur Wiesenberger, its author. "This is the enly book in the entire securhy.field that details, not Phly the wide variety of securities available, but aiso details the many possible advantageous uses to which they may be put. AndL we have made every effort to write all of it in such a simple and clear way that it can be understood by people who are totally unfamiliar with the subject, and at the same time be most valuable to those who know a great deal about investing." now "New York 66 18.86 price level of 190." new , 66 10.56 13.63 1947 • , 10.07 1946 S. . • (Series K1-K2) i seriously, is 73 .. on a ^ Arthur Wiesenberger's ; 1948; edition pf "Investment Companies/? "must" for every mutual fund dealer who takes his responsibilities, 81 6.01 9.11 - — 1940 1945 BONDS " __ 3.40 10.07 —— "1944 (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) 205 yield of 6.6% „ 1938'J:_l_-_—i pi ' 8.40 4.62 3.91 _ 1937. £ % Paid 101 6.34 1936 {; INVESTMENT 11.13 2.11 . 1935 it 11.02 .51(d) 1933 i 5 Yr. Period % Paid 64 12.75 4.09 s - 1932 ustocuan Paid 19.94 a "The respect to the Dow-Jones Industrials: V - 36% improvement over last year's payments. New Wiesenberger Manual Available * : Chicago, recently wrote the essential facts with a It would also represent a Up 36%?>*■■> ■ *r 662A%; dividend payments would compared with $9.21 last then reach about $12.57 per index share; 30, 1947. a whole continues to exceed supply, bringing out new models which further stinhulate the desire to buy new cars. The petroleum industry is unable to meet fully the demand for its products and has launched ah. aggressive long-term expansion program. There are many other im¬ portant industries for which the outlook is equally favorable. Asia group, these industries have generally dominated the trend of business, ' ■ v.: the demand for automobiles as the auto companies are , "Enactment of the European Recovery Program and increased appropriations for armaments have strengthened convictions that the country's economy will continue to operate at a high level for an extended period ahead. Recent tax reductions not only leave mote of most people's income for saving and investment but also permit them to retain more of each dollar of investment income. "Your management and the staff of Manhattan Research Asso¬ ciates, investment adviser to the company, are constantly studying both the unfavorable and the favorable factors which affect invest¬ ments. At this time we believe that carefully selected securities "If earnings were to stabilize at last year's level for this year are available at prices which offer attractive opportunities for the and next; the present market level of approximately 190 for the -investment of money." kV- - i ^• v; , v . , .... . Volume 168 Number 4714 THE COMMERCIAL FINAN CI AL•'■■■ CHRONI CLE & (109) 13 Financial Problems of Railroads' Canadian Securities By WILLIAM T. FARICY* President, Association of American Railroads Mr. By WILLIAM J. McKAY A Canadian financial problem that probably ranks next in importance to the correction of the Dominion's imbalance of trade with this country, is Canada's indirect U. S. debt in the shape of Dominion of Canada internal obligations in the hands of U. S. Faricy, in pointing out three fold responsibility of railroads—to public, to employees and to invest¬ ors—contends railroad managers' cannot regard themselves as successful until their companies are in Cites rising operating costs, which in spite of greater use of improved equipment have been increasing faster than changes in railroad rates. Calls for larger margin of gross revenues holders. In view of the recent an-<£ nouncement by Abbott the that Finance and U. S. dollar in creased from the Minister Dominion's the last December gold have in¬ reserves six months low of level $461 millions to $742 millions, it would appear that Canada's ex¬ change crisis has now been suc¬ cessfully negotiated. Consequent¬ ly it is logical to suppose that the thorny subject of the Canadian Government internal bonds by non-residents should ceive more held now Canadian official quarters. !, Although the interest ■ securities is payable on Ronald Ledwell Joins vestment Hancock, Blackstock I (Special these on the basis to The ATLANTA, Financial GA. — Chronicle) Ronald E. associated at redemption date at *the and the nity for mine, to keep it that way. In the second World - War, the railroads were called upon to perform just opportu¬ rail¬ road about twice the the jobs; to employees as first World become man but least the to the investors un¬ and one-third fewer locomotives. Since the war, there not in William T. Faricy men, has been let-down in railroad no performance, riers "free" dollar market in this the bond holders. on its whenever resources matured of and the 11 c a interested. One important task" you and' i have before us, as I see it, is to keep the public and its legislative and regulatory representatives in4 formed railroad' of needs, and stressing at all ture of the ; problems' accomplishments^ times the vital naf service the railroads. Only rendered an sales proceeds of d internal e bonds. In turn the weakness of the free Canadian dollar on such occasions tends to give rise to though the car¬ adjust their operations to the needs of a record public lation, rates, Looking at the matter in this peacetime demand for service. But broad way, we have three part¬ this may not be enough for the ners in this railroad enterprise: next war, if we are so unfortunate the 145 000,000 citizens of this as to have one; past achievements country, whose economic welfare must and will be surpassed. and national security are so Railroad performance during greatly dependent upon an effec¬ the war was so impressive that it tive system of rail transport, the brought many persons to a recog¬ million and a third railway men nition of what they had never coun¬ considerable strain is placed effected This fewer who railroads, in¬ are in last has cluding both the stockholders and a War. as they did with one-fourth fewer freight and passenger cars, one-fourth official rate of exchange. In view of the narrowness of the Canadian try much service railroads, and Ledwell of the official rate which is tan¬ tamount to payment in U. S. dol¬ lars at par, the principal on the bonds is convertible at maturity or for investors. Railroad Management—of which the group I am addressing tivity, particularly in the pulp and today is an important seg¬ paper, machinery, agricultural ment—carries a continuing responsibility for the physical condition, the efficient opera¬ equipment, and retail food sec¬ tion, and the financial welfare of the properties entrusted to it for operation. That retions. Western Oils provided the principal feature of the market sponsibility lies in three war load without congestion and accorded the kind of hearing b> following the report of the discov¬ directions: to : delays, producing twice as much the committee members that w~ ery by Imperial Oil of a new oil the1 general l transportation per day as in the had hoped for, one in which -wpool about 30 miles southeast of first World War. The railroad were asked many questions, on. public, whose the Leduc field. patronage ere- < performance record, both in war that gave us an opportunity tc, ates the need cover and in peace, is an impressive one, the things in which th. of railroad in¬ and it is part of our job, yours and committee members really weij re¬ particular attention in : comfortable financial position. ments. informed Our first partner, . have even had to can such matters act as intelligently legislation, and wage i*j>; regu | adjust^ the pubr. lie, will act favorably in direct proportion as public opinion is kept informed of the facts about bur industry. The million and a j third rail employees, who are our sec¬ ond partner, have fared well in This has been this great enterprise. They worfe a and women who operate the plant, frequent cause of embarrass¬ Ronald E. Ledwell thought of previously—the basic hard but not onerously; they are ment to the Canadian administra¬ and the investors whose dollars character of railroad service, ahd well treated as the good Amer1*tion as the recurrent weakness of with Hancock, Blackstock & Co., provide railroad facilities and the importance to the public of icans that they are should be, the "free" dollar has been of con¬ Chandler Building. He was for¬ service. These are triple interests, maintaining that service in full and notwithstanding all the in¬ siderable propaganda value to the merly with Wyatt, Neal & Wag¬ each important in its own field. I vigor. Earlier this month this creases in the cost of living, rail¬ want to consider with you these minority interests in Canada who goner. subject was considered by one of way employees, taken as a whole, have persistently criticized the three aspects of the railroad man¬ the most important committees of are better,off in terms of real dol¬ .revaluation of the dollar to its agerial function. Congress, • the House Committee lars, that is, dollars of 1939 ptu> present parity. Railroads do not comprise sim¬ on Interstate and Foreign Com¬ ch a sing power, than they were ih To all intents and purposes the ply "another business" among the merce, as a part of its national that year. In terms of the purrlevel of the "free" Canadian dol¬ Busy as chasing power of the prewar dol¬ large and fundamental industries transportation inquiry. lar has become the principal de¬ (Special to The Financial Chronicle) of the United States. They are was Congress in the session just lar weekly earnings of railway terminant of the value of the Do¬ The rail¬ closed, that committee neverthe¬ employees today are about 10% DETROIT, MICH.—Donald M. much more than that. minion of Canada obligations in Woodruff has become associated roads not only embody one of the less devoted most of the first two greater than thby were in 1939. the hands of non-residents. The with H. V. Sattley & Co., Inc., nation's great industries, but, what weeks in June to hearings de¬ Their retirement system: is uh*situation is further complicated Hammond Building. Mr. Wood¬ is more important, they constitute signed Jo develop the facts as to paralleled any where .in the worfti by the fact that these securities ruff in the past headed his own one of the most essential elements the readiness and ability of the and Congress, with the concurf fall into two categories. The investment firm, D. M. Woodruff of the national economy, vital to nation's various forms of trans¬ rence of railroad management and bonds that were registered with & Co., in Detroit. any defense the approval of the President, rer peacetime progress and stability portation to meet the Foreign Exchange Control and indispensable in time of war. traffic load. That speaks well for cently voted railway employees .a Board while this privilege existed the foresight of the committee. In merited 20% increase in pensions. can be liquidated on the Canadian Deveureux Josephs Dir. Railroad Performance j ^ the course of those hearings, the market and the proceeds are dis¬ Responsibilities toj Investors J As t.almost everyone knows by principal emphasis was on the Of J. P. Morgan & Co., Inc. posable at the "free" rate. On the One of our greatest-responsibil¬ now, the railroads handled the railroads, their past and present At a regular meeting held today, other hand the unrecorded bonds performance, and their require¬ ities is to the railroad investor, the the board of directors of J. P. for all practical purposes are only Three representatives of third partner in our enterprise *An address by Mr. Faricy at ments. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, 23 the eligible for sale at the prevailing Accounting Division of the the Association of American Rail¬ It is he who is the first man ir, market for the bonds in this coun¬ Wall Street, New York City, Association of American roads outlined the railroad situa¬ the process of making: the wheels Railroads, try, Through the operation of elected Devereaux C. Josephs to tion to the committee, and were Cleveland* O., June 29, 1948. (Continued on page 40) 1 switches between recorded and the board. doubts concerning the official dollar. the standing of D|W. Woodruff Wilh H. V. way . Sattley & Co. unrecorded bonds the value of the Mr. Josephs is the President of latter category of securities in the final analysis is likewise deter¬ mined by the level of the "free" the New York Life Insurance Co. dollar. This announcement the standing in this country of the direct obligations /!!'* ""'t1 ' ject to the undesirable influence ;v.v ^ While market. this situa¬ v ' ' ' } v •/ . '2' * v a ' "f,- ' ' , NEW wise unblemished ord. Therefore that as financial $8,160,000 there soon is little it is as PROVINCIAL General American Transportation MUNICIPAL prac¬ CORPORATION au¬ thorities will take steps to remove Corporation I ,the; restrictions that now prevent the completely free movements of Equipment Trust Certificates, Series 43 capital between this country and .Canada. *f During the week both the ex CANADIAN STOCKS ternal and internal sections of the bond market with were little :price-level. Stocks and the undertone a were was current the firmer continuance July 1, 1948 Due serially to July 1, 1968 in the steady result of better sentiment cerning Dated dull and inac change w . rec¬ ticably possible the Canadian tive placed privately ISSUE GOVERNMENT fully take advantage of its other¬ ; were not being offered to the public. unofficial Canadian narrow tion exists, the Dominion can not doubt are CANADIAN BONDS of the Dominion of Canada is sub¬ dollar of record only. These securities through the undersigned, and have not been and In this way of the appears for purposes , as con¬ of AiE.AMES&CO. INCORPORATED the high level of business ac¬ TWO WALL STREET *In last week's column owing to a typographical error, NEW YORK 5, Kuhn>|Loeb & Co. N. Y. /V it inadvert¬ ently appeared that the principal as well able on as the interest was pay¬ the basis of U. S. dollars at' par. % WORTH 4-2400 NY-1-1045 July 8, 1948. ; }v i"''1' • • t; 14 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL; & THE (110) Thursday, July 8, 1948 Gold Black Markets! and Securities Salesman's Corner mined By JOHN BUTTON Foresees gold. thing that will waste more of anyone's time anct anything else—that is the inability to organize work. I man who keeps a loose-leaf notebook on every important is a piece of work in which he is engaged—sometimes his pockets are crammed full of them—and reminder and goes on to as he finishes a task he tears out each the next. good policy to spend the last 15 to 30 minutes of each day reviewing what has been done and writing out plans for the morrow. Any salesman who systematically cultivates a group of prospects and continually maps out his plans for calls, appoint¬ ments, telephone follow ups and letter writing, cannot fail to put in a good productive day's work, Another advantage of planned activity is. that, it leads to good solid work habits. Work that is planned is business pleasant because it has defined objectives. There is absolutely no better method of building up a productive clientele than to see a certain number of new prospects and old customers every day, This is true because the thoughts and ideas that you will get from neonle when you are talking with them about securities WILL GENERATE POSSIBILITIES FOR DOING BUSINESS. For example, one customer will ask you about a certain stock bond that he purchased from someone else a few years ago you just possibly may know something in the way of a new development (favorable or unfavorable) regarding either that particular security, the industry in which it lies, and there you go—if you can seize your opportunity. Or he may ask you for a quotation, and you pick up' his 'phone and obtain it for him. He says "Thanks very muchi maybe sometime next week I'll call you and have you sell that bond; I may need some money," But you have always been accommodat¬ ing and pleasant toward this customer even though you. have never done much business with him. Then the thought strikes you and you says, "You itnow, I wish you had a little extra money right now, in¬ stead of needing some, because we have a special situation in a most attractive common stock that I wish you could buy. Quite frankly we think it is an excellent purchase at this time." So your friendly bond seller thinks ai minute and says, "There is a fellow I know who has been buying quite a few securities lately and I think he might be interested." So you arrange to have your friend call him and tell him that you are going to give him a 'phone call tomorrow morning; which he willingly does. Much to your surprise you come to your office the next morning and you get a 'phone call from the new prospect—he tells you that his friend thinks so highly of you that he or would like to hear about what you have to offer. You tell him and (This isn't the sort of thing that only hap¬ pens in the movies; it actually happened last week to someone with whom we are acquainted.) : . .'-v-; he gives you a nice order. , Eighteenth Annual Report of the Ba nk for International Settlements of Basle, Switzerland, covering the year ending March 31, 1948, in addition to reviewing interna¬ tional trade, exchange rates &nd price movements, gives a clear cut analysis of gold hoard¬ ing and gold black markets since^- beginning of the last World this topic, of uni¬ War. Regarding interest in view versal forts the International the of of ef¬ Mone-i salesman a who sold a propositions Chamber of Commerce. Every gold bullion, the Report gives the following information: ' "The postwar world has seen a recrudescence the hoarding of 0$ which has been intensified monetary uncertainty and af desire to possess, for political or other reasons, durable and' easily* gold, by He set aside several for which he had offered to obtain certain week. When times improved he doubled arranged man that tell me that his success was- glandular—but it HE PLANNED HIS WORK AND HE DID IT. the was calls about made income. more He for $250 used than a to that— Texas Unioia Oil Sfock Stewart J. Lee & most any "In the circumstances.* oh June 30 publicly offered 800,000 10 shares of common stock (par cents) of Texas Union Oil Corp. (Del.) at'37% cents steady rise in prices, the being pushed up' by about 30% between, say, 1895 and 1914. cause a level But, when gold becomes scarce in relation to the value* of the: goods be to the moved and of balances the deficits payments in be to covered, then 'the sink in the East- puts strain on. the monetary (though it should not be a system "In the World of course the second War, the demand for gold The net to pay for for per share. proceeds will be used organizational expenses, equipment, for cost of drilling has been associated with. the In¬ ternational Statistical Bureau, Inc.. and prior thereto, he conducted his own investment security busi¬ ness additional wells, and working cap¬ ital. It is contemplated by the corporation to drill at least five six more of the in central KINGSTON, P. Smith has corporation, is also President of the Houston Real Es¬ tate Board. Pennsylvania. With Chilson, Newbery or test wells. :William W. Long, who is Presi¬ dent Stock Exchange. For past eight years Mr. Bassett the N. Y.— Frederick joined Chilson, New- of reserves. • end the, introduced by land in 1945 of a so- scheme' float 'export was the Bank of Eng¬ revive to order the i erably reduced in the latter half of 1947 as result a of general a pronouncement by the Interna¬ tional Monetary Fund against in¬ ternational dealings in gold at prices. "Private gold business has also other been than official handled in the New York London gold market to some ex¬ market, often in conjunction with tent. An initial quota of about' 50,000 ounces was put at the dis¬ posal of the market, the intention being that it should be- exported, London. but months, form processed manufactured gold, which only in the After pronouncement by the International Monetary Fund, the New York market continue wprp were was dealings able to for some until new regulations by the U. R Trpaciirv' S. Treasury; issnpH issued hv thp TT "The National Bank and the 100 000: scheme; Treasury Department in Switzer¬ increased to but the original ounces, was at revised with restrictive effect! the time the of convertibility crisis in August, 1947, and, by the the end of that year, a stricter system licenses in operation. By the1 Spring of 1948'the business trans¬ acted under the scheme is said a further Beirut have emerged as measure, the market , toward by such sales. Sw.fcs milliard 1 A little sold was up to the end of 1946 and a fur«? ther Sw.fcs 480 million was sold during 1947. ) "In Greece j also, the Bank of Eng¬ gold coins land began to permit purchases* have been released to the market and sales of gold against U. S.j as an anti-inflationary monetary the end: of 1946, dollars, provided that the London1 dealers acted intermediaries) as between In measure. its half-yearly re¬ view for January, 1948, the Bank of Greece stated that it would cer-7 principals outside the: Supplies for this tainly be preferable to meet mon¬ Mexico, etary demand by, offering goods from Central and South Apnerica and raw materials but that the sterling areas. traffic jcame largely from deposits country was going through a pe¬ by riod of acute shortage of goods non-residents, while most of the and, as long as the fear of ban* demand came from the Middle ditry was most intense and a feel¬ and Far East. It is reported that ing of mistrust left behind by gold could be bought from Central monetary devaluations in the past America at between 10 and 20%) persistedf the government had to above the U. S. Treasury price of! undertake the sale of gold coins as $35 per ounce, while the ultimate: a short-term means of stabiliza¬ It is admitted that inter¬ buyers in the Middle and Far; tion. and still from prewar gold in maintained London vention results bined can as with nomic, have long as no permanent it is not com¬ other essential eco¬ Without such measures. measures, the sale (Continued of on gold coins 43)! page - 1 CHARTI im¬ Price of Gold on Various Markets. Free-market price given at $ rate for bank-notes, . black have sold gold, mainly in coins, on the market and to in¬ dustry, as part of an anti-infla¬ over cof have: become almost negigible; "As land tionary monetary policy, funds in export1 Swiss francs being drained from allocating of was Eastern countries at times paid; governments in the West, which oremiums up to 50% on the U. S. found this a cheaper way of pro-: parity. .This traffic was consid-; curing local currencies than buy¬ 1 See an article on "The Traffic in ing them via the exchanges. Since the war, Hong Kong, Alexandria.! Free Gold" in- the "London Economist" for 1.7 th April 1948. , .1 Bombay, Manila, Tangier, Macao1 portant markets for gold,: most ofl them applying a more or- 4es^ highly developed technique of in¬ ternational arbitrage. & I) j "But, in the West also, gold has Charles W. Bassett has joined been sold to the public, and there the commodity department of have been regular quotations ioi Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, various1 kinds- of coins and^for New York City, members of the gold in bars op free, semi-free or New York disposal gradually East, hoarding of gold! (and silver) has been practised fori centuries. In the fifty years be-i fore the first World War, ship-1 ments to India and China usually; absorbed more than a quarter of the world's current production of gold—a welcome outlet when, af4 ter the discovery of the deposits! in the Transvaal, the output be-i came sufficiently abundant to! Goodbody & Go. Dept. j Co., New York, the transportable assets which can be and in sold without difficulty in almost! Would November, 1947, specifically yield' a return in foreign any market, and will thus retain' exchange beyond the bare value, prohibiting the export of gold at their purchasing power under ial4 of the bullion.1 increased prices. The 'float' was; and Slewarl J. Lee Offers have governments) markets out of their official -.jjs; night he would take out his prospect cards and set aside those which by Eastern countries began to in¬ had interviewed that day. He discarded those which' were un¬ crease, and some gold is reported promising. He designated those who were to receive follow up let¬ to have been sold at the time by ters. such called he favors; through his organization, and he TOMORROW. During the depression this gold -at to prevent' speculation id powers of the most difficult one know—memberships in and placed "At' are everyday examples of how planned work leads to forgotten that dishoarding of Easti Consistent day to day planning to'see the right oeople, ern gold in the years 1931-34? knowing your securities and your job, and following through with helped to ease the monetary con-s service and a pleasant and optimistic outlook on life and people in ditions in the West during the! general, will bring you business in ever increasing volume. I re¬ critical period). of which I banks tary Fund and the leading world business. member ' a balance in valuation of national currencies is established. These > inflation is stopped and currency The the It is also or a black markets until or , one effort than know end of; hoarding no true There Hoarding Bank for International Settlements holds, although it is not possible to describe all sources and centers of clandestine movements of gold, therV Is no doubt tHaf prfvafe markets Have been fed by newly JO in U.S. dollars per fine ounces 120 120 markets." "Chart I shows the quotations Switzerland, Belgium, France, Italy and Portugal, in addition to the prices quoted in a number of Eastern markets (Bombay, Hong-¬ Kong and Alexandria). Greece and Tangier are in a sense bor¬ derline cases: they serve partly as in links between East and West in the movement of gold. "It will be from seen Chart II bery and Co., 48 Main Street, and' that, will be identified with the Sales Department cooperating with E. A. Chilson and E. Graham in South¬ ern Ulster and Sullivan Counties. in the'European countries, quotations for gold fell steadily until the middle of 1947; the same was the ern markets, with the exception, case in many of the East * however, of Bombay, where prices stiffened appreciably in the Spring of 1947. Over-the-Counter Quotation Services "At this where point it the free, plies. from The movements of gold country to another were rarely on a larger scale than dur¬ ing 1947 and the early months of 1948, but during this period nearly all NATIONAL QUOTATION BUREAU, Inc. Established 1913 Street, New York 4, N. Y. Chicago '» 30 30 ill 20 20 10 10 black markets obtained their sup¬ For 35 Years 46 Front 40 may be asked semi-free and , San Francisco one the movements were on of- cial account, being the outcome of direct arrangements between central banks and governments, without in private markets. In some cases, however, the monetary authorities (central any 0 dealings 1 1 1946 II I Mill I 11 1947 - H'Sii t I 1 1 I 1948 1 1 Iq ; y Volume THE Number 4714 168 The New COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE state, trade and local industrial relations associations, - NAM is holding meetings and clinics all Challenge in Industrial Relations || j^ By' EARIr BtNTINO* . NAM leader pleads for teamwork! in^ lafcof-manage nent rclations and wants bothpartiexio be on "same sich of table Outlines plans of NAM to im irave labcwMnanagement relations, and to provide j more jobs for the handicapped, as well as to in:tall more effective communication with employees* with programs, /isions for steady employment. pro i-The . new. This is But it is ; To win of challenge in. industrial relations suggeste a ^ a fight to the finish. The greatest fight of our lives.: fight for—not a gues—must be.^ has . ■>?? life today. A: ) new/and hap- r/% pier -chap-ter.'g h n dft \ wage being started. and labor the go side Earl Bunting of the table—with all the members of industry work¬ ing together to serve invincible team as an our and greater new a way in which this can be done beginning to fire Americans creative imagination.' When tax policies are considered there is at .east a growing awareness that the way toward new industries and the expansion of existing con¬ The v big boss one the — American public. r < The job we face today . cerns'. productive . big to handle other way. V responsibilities have America's > grown any growing — enor¬ mously. Not just in our genera¬ are — through encouraging rather than confiscating the capital formation tion but hi these last few postwar years. . " The \XA> old .'''j/ concept of labor ahd management climbing wearily into the arena for one more of the round gladiatorial play to the grandstands never made sense. The two participants made monkeys of themselves by making holy show of the fact that they a didn't know how to- along still, the long suffering public really took it on the chin. The public has never had anything to gain with each from other. industrial sulted that But (1) get strife. That in less national much less re¬ income goods — more — hard feeling in the way of the teamwork that American progress takes, v " / ' No would one gesting that the dream of problem sug¬ of in¬ I the public already during the past there has been . The year rapidly growing understanding that the public ex¬ pects a very different type of per¬ formance from its industrial" team than the old gladiatorial combat. -Time generation seen an Our on. has too entire recently the whole world turned into to arena be entertained by muscle-minded gladiators mug¬ ging to the grandstands while the productive job that they ought be doing grinds to a halt and to progress hits the skids. of out us in this mess. i alibis any If that which happens the ment the from public sense — has a — tain other things will Such as: f , you hunch that cer¬ labor that you didn't have or simple humanity 1 : (1) If America. cannot and -good ing team which gets results. "Just one result when you come that A level of pro¬ get out of our can all that it's got to give., Which is plenty. economy "We don't want to wait for to make another miracle and top¬ 1 constructive power of American management have done outstanding job along these lines for handicapped veterans. And it a continuing job. The NAM has invited the U. S. ductivity possible. do it for war to — possible. spots has can can do it—and you can make You the If you two lasting peace do it to knock; been off of inflation which tearing at our pockettoo long. You can do it books that the American people's en¬ so terprise system eclipses its own best record—swings into decisive peacetime competition and serf and with the regimented of socialism and once com¬ and for that freedom is the mosj; valuable pos¬ session any land can borrow from us." v That; is '' no the challenge all we muster uncertain terms. It dwarfs united unite to do the great produc- The' National Association Manufacturers t believes;That ■*An address by Mr. Bunting at the 15th NAM Institute on Indus¬ Relations, Highland 111., June 21, 1948. Park, trial in us Commerce all join to " nation-wide a of resources dustrial more or And relations less than we nobody know ever * application of free¬ Personnel of - in¬ are. nothing human relations: .. blame got • well that anywhere Tec- must ingenuity and into employers the very who are tp rigid job requirements. ; Experience in the field of jobs the that policies / one's exists American industry. (2) The NAM is American ahead, people taking growing in their stride— educators must of give the American youth opportunity to find out how free enterprise works. And it is equally imperative for us to find every out how the American way of life works for the individual teachers out Upon any human heart, depends. (4) The of has . worked Upon their enthu¬ / most happy that we have ' distinguished educators with us ', today. For many years one cf NAM's important programs has been .to build better nmtual /un^ This group of people represents of the most valuable assets in one America. I long and hard far full opportunity for older workers in industry, 1 j NAM am r derstandirig between "education experience of older and industry at every level—from workers, their maturity of judg¬ the; communities of our land to ment, their' seasoned skill, and national leadership. We are in¬ loyalty, are priceless to American tensifying this overall effort. And in the field of industrial relations industry. we are especially concerned that Even: in depression land. The absolutely irre¬ years, our showed that the majority studies those who teach personnel admin¬ istration, industrial relations and of successful companies surveyed did not discriminate against old¬ er workers. They continued labor management relations should be given every opportunity to familiarize themselves with in¬ to employ them and to keep them as of dependability on the payroll. Whatever NAM does we dustry's principles, practices and towers achievements. r aire on going- td take never dustry ford a The programs licking conviction that neither in¬ our nor to loyalty. this country shelve We going only are a I have ' touched few of the many af¬ activities NAM has under way to and help meet the challenge that all can experience are on to keep (Continued CONDENSED on page 47) STATEMENT FIRST NATIONAL BANK IN ST. LOUIS At the Close the opportu¬ be made in will or leaders. enterprise to survive— whole forge under¬ relationship siasm for the opportunity system and their understanding of how it works the future of our land feet that mat¬ own If that exists, nity worked is on ters. be handicapped has shown the burning desire to it stand and through understanding in every community of our land. And no .aw ^can impose understanding physically handicapped. for the with in¬ building it is imperative that we opportunity for all citi¬ pro¬ | In its b ro a d.es t application, jpbs- for the handicapped means of Business, June 30, 1948 . convinced RESOURCES that sound human relations in in¬ . dustry will require still more effective communication with !•. f Communication street. talk It means with—not There never is a: two-way the: chance just talk to to at. could be mutual trust industry unless companies tell story directly to their em¬ ployees. Put yourself in their their shoes. Could you do your job in Could you do your job the dark? well if you did not know how it ties in with what the other people oh team your you are doing? Cash and Due from Banks $116,864,124, 85 U. S. Government Securities 150,810,702. 29 Loans and Discounts ; employees. 173,763,616. 06 Other Bonds and Stocks 10,000,251. 37 Stock in Federal Reserve Bank 612,000. 00 Banking House, Improvements, Furniture and Fixtures 308,153. 30 Other Real Estate Owned 857,002. 00 Customers' Liability a/c Letters of Credit, Acceptances, etc. .53 1,894,256. Accrued Interest Receivable .26 858,118. Overdrafts .17 54,215. Other Resources .30 3,103. Could $456,025,543. Vi put your heart and soul into it if you didn't know whether the LIABILITIES team was scoring or being scored against? Who would your natural human loyalty go to if the news of everything about the company which came see, , we of war pro¬ any challenge from without into understanding and insignificance. man-by-man self-discipline it The public believes in the in¬ takes to build this country's pro¬ dustrial team. Our one job is to ductive might in peacetime, the odds are very long that .aggression fulfill. thattrust-^in plenty; : in peace and:in.full? v.• ' would force belated unity upon us". I do not believe any American / Industrial understanding ^ and is content to wait 'till the world good will is the keystone of this is- again aflame with war before man-sized job. the Chamber in of face.; That is the American pub¬ lic, our big boss, speaking in happen too. "• manage¬ all, for all the world to and I and 145 million other Americans possess anything either munism—and shows adds up and often adds to whatever horse * heart flight will it takes to get along with eachother as a hard hitting, fast mov¬ economies > If stands in your way, let us knownow! But we don't want to hear slave Defense Outlays, Higher Wages And Inflation to industry and say: got what it- takes to get "You've better marches brains and . labor ar¬ a began Or it could turn to management '• duction had of it could tighten its belt, lower its that the free enterprise system living standards, and risk the exists for one purpose only: For danger of Soviet Russia's lumber¬ people. For every individual. Not ing ox cart economy pushing by just for run-of-the-mill people— and blocking the road of human if they exist. And not just for progress. people who can adapt themselves ' v \ the millenium defense reckon up the costs and found that it faced two alternatives. Either and day of. many placeable great; responsibility are handicapped. •, . for pro¬ underway. arid the European Recovery Pro-, adjusting more jobs to gram. Having made these com¬ real:; abilities of those right down to it. But. The gram to channel the dustrial relations has been settled. We wouldn't need to be here if rived. job. commitments question the of business and industry to pro¬ vide more jobs| for those who with their government in making worse to ment for all—not just for some Americans, but for all. There is no easy solution of this problem. our with mitments, by dom j Way that r nature What has happened is that the American people have gone along major , lies ajn power necessary to do the. the is educational For free for human Some -of these are;] ' is too to answer in its- — same grams which NAM has validate their the they to % . belong NAM Planis Under /. costs; tjevel of productive power; Even when management where rising lies' ijs to- rise to . only be can written . fijr gressis*" pro , . They are beginning fd sense: that the one way to. halfc inflation anc| a'-ni.;s- u m of round on day It followed; by increases * liouhd non- personnel provide opportunity and advance¬ fight against. t place 'v no in V American with practices. zens. jiope -for A peaceful world." vv-.. ing in and doing our own. share ; j (2) The American public knows of the job. what, the inflationary score is. J; Are we doing this? Or are we They have seen round on round just talking about it? toVvK the library. It; It is just what I m Ijive.jab that alone can put muscle turing the other fellow. Good huand- sinew and heart- into the man relations are built by pitch¬ returned discriminatory NAM's of standing which we face is sound , Another [ The test of democracy is.'the responsibilities through to America's goals for the whole American people, the ancient feud ;Monta-Vrt* I message to ter human relations dustry Another basic human problem r Capulets and i a (3) carrying this on broad-gauge programs of bet. their communities. j Points out dangers unsound in principle. mean. (5) country—to help indi¬ companies more perfectly team-up with their employees and vidual Managing Director, National Association of Manufacturers expand employee benefit right 15 America. the over f f^ j - and (111) ard? concerned your welfare to you from the shop stew¬ And how could we in man¬ agement hope to provide an atmosphere in which the dignity and importance of the individual ever employee is fully recognized if we Capital Stock $10,200,000.00 Surplus 10,200,000.00 Undivided Profits 7,890,061.15 Dividend Declared, and Nov. 28,290,061.15 Payable Aug. 31, 1948, 30, 1948 600,000. 00 Reserve for Taxes, Interest, etc. 1,545,752. 47 Unearned Discount 281,873. 58 Liability a/c Letters of Credit, Acceptances, etc. did hot find out at first hand what Other Liabilities the Demand Deposits 1,901,516. 55 hopes and fears of our em¬ ployees really are? Good neighborliness, from the grassroots up, is also as close to the heart of all human relations Time 5,028. 90 $358,552,456.03 Deposits 59,886,412.67 ' U. S. Government Deposits 4,962,441.78 Total Deposits 423,401,310.48 as^anythihg I know. This is also a definitely two-way relationship. 'It -is. up * to management to keep its community informed on com¬ $456,025,543.13 policy, practice, and accom¬ plishments. And it is equally up pany to management to i take whole¬ hearted part in community lifesensing local sentiment and mak¬ ing friends for the enterprise tem which In close sys¬ they personalize. cooperation with NIC St. Louis' v . ; V.• .... Largest . Bank Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation / 16 COMMERCIAL THE (112) FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE , . It will be observed that net Thursday, July 8, 1943 > operating profits were substantially A. vK. Rose With better in the first six months of 1948 over 1947 for Bank of Manhat¬ Bank and Insurance Stocks Chase National and Guaranty Trust, but that their total net profit, including securiy profits or losses, are somewhat lower. Total net earnings of Bankers Trust, Irving Trust, Manufacturers Trust, and Public National show improvement over 1947 first half results. Indicated six months' earnings of First National and United States Trust are above indicated for the similar 1947 period. In the case of tan, By E. A. VAN DEUSEN This Week Bank Stocks — writing the second quarter statements of most of New York City banks have been published. Comparative results are some¬ what mixed. Compared with the first quarter, and with 1947, com¬ mercial loans are up but investments in governments are down. Deposits are mixed, as also are earnings. Table I shows deposits, loans and discounts, government securi¬ ties and total earning assets for June 30, 1948 vs. June 30, 1947. Bank of' New York's deposits and assets are higher than a year ago as might be expected, due to its merger with Fifth Avenue; the same is true of Chemical in view of its merger with Continental. TABLE I Discs. Depos. Sec. Loans Earn. U.S.G. & U.S.G. Manhattan of Discs. Sec. Assets Depos. Bank of N. Y. & 5th Ave. Hanover 338 812 142 240 369 102 165 291 Chemical : 1,175 1,305 539 519 1,177 1,409 450 606 1,129 4,445 Bank & 1,203 2,169 369 464 959 42 126 171 1,118 1,633 529 440 formed to fellowships to educators for grant 98 at a press 153 Exchange 'ifX 52 76 145 •;"? t t t Corn Exchange 768 72 512 606 752 79 470 571 704 124 467 680 530 94 368 569 Club. 679 1,406 2,197 1,123 2,097 181 ■ 2,352 870 301 548 874 1,013 413 384 823 2.113 450 1,179 1,711 2,116 555 1,024 1,647 4,835 2,418 Irving Trust York New U. ____ 2,291 3,848 4,748 1,310 1,883 261 524 589 252 239 497 125 301 438 502 147 240 410 32 70 120 110 32 70 120 ect ■ 23,221 6,280 11,659 19,362 22,523 7,310 City Bank Farmers Trust."' tMerged with Chemical. Includes of Kid- Peabody ;der, 18,274 9,600 Co., com chair¬ of the mit tee, man ^ proj¬ Amyas ,Ames & TbTALS explain¬ the The table shows that aggregate Archibald now vK. associated ("Jack") with " is Rose their New York trading National Association ties In ing 3,636 241 108 ___ 1,182 625 520 Trust Trust S. Trust National Public f 1,036 _ Manufacturers Archibald vK. Rose Hogate. Luncheon National i__ all-out campaign luncheon by officials of the Joint Committee on Education /v. on June 30 at<Sv the Stock York Stock Exchange; Donald D. First Continental Corn educational institutions the general and detailed nature of the securities business. The specific plans were explained 1,084 51 178 Commercial, by make known to to 3,317 1,461' 4,155 1,361 195 __ 3.680 1,169 Trust National Commercial 603 408 683 505 1.431 . National . reported are The Wall Street Community has launched an 426 1,341 Central Chase that Assets 1,034 79 Baltimore and announce studying all phases of!security business. ; ($000,000) 817 328 earnings lower Committee Joint Earn. ($000,000) 415 i 356 1,005 New York Exchanges, Wall Street Launches Information Drive ' Bank, the Stock Exchange, National City and New York Trust. Factors which will affect the rate of earnings during the second half of the year include: moderately rising operating expenses and increased reserve requirements on the minus side, with stiffening interest rates and high volume of loans on the plus side. Total Total & Somewhat -June 30 , 1948- Loans possible due to mergers. last year are not > ' ; ' -June 30, 1947— Mackubin, Legg $ Co., members Of York, and also of Chemical, direct comparisons with of New Bank this At Mackubin, Legg & Co. department, 76 Bea¬ Mr. formerly with Fitzgerald & Co., Inc. of Securi¬ ver Dealers—L. Raymond Billett, National Dealers; Herbert F. Boynton, H. F. Boynton & Co.; Wallace H. Fulton, Executive Director, National As¬ sociation of Securities Dealers; Dean G. Rowland Collins, New ■York University. Street, New York City. Rose was Chairman of the Board, Association of Securities Kuhn, Loeb Places ; Equip. Issue Privately American General Transporta¬ deposits of the banks listed are said "the se¬ tion Corp. announced July 7 that only moderately below their totals of a year ago. Loans and discounts it has negotiated through Kuhn, curities busiare higher by $1,030,000,000 or approximately 16.5%; holdings of n e s s Loeb: & Co., the sale of $8,160,00(1 is con¬ governments are lower by $2,059,000,000 or 17.7%, and total earning equipment trust certificates, series stantly changAmyas Ames assets are lower by $1,088,000,000 or 5.6%. 43, to a small group of institutions. ing and adBetter than average gains in loans and discounts were made by The certificates will mature seri¬ ; justing to new Chase National (21%), Commercial National (21%), Guaranty Trust ally in quarterly instalments to conditions, the last five years hav¬ (28%), Irving Trust (37%), Manufacturers Trust (23%), and Public ing been a period of particularly Arthur S. Kleeman, President of and including July 1, 1968. Ma¬ National (17.6%). Bank cf New York's gain of 29% and Chemical^UgjJg^."Manv^Tthe nro'b- Colonial Trust turities to and including. July I, Company, has an¬ gain of 43% are obviously affected by their mergers with Fifth****** chanZe- MaiW 01 the Prob lems confronting the business— nounced the promotion of C. F. 1953 bear dividends at the rate of Avenue and Continental. • questions involving money mar¬ Meyer to Assistant Vice-President 2%, the balance at a rate of 3V8%, Table II presents 1948 earnings for the first and second quarters, kets, cyclic movements, type and from Assistant Secretary and As¬ The equipment covered by the and also for the first six months of the year compared with the simiavailability of capital, the effects sistant Treasurer, and Charles F. trust consists of a total of 1,246 Iar period in 1947. Also book values for June 30, ^taxation and government con- Bailey to Auditor from Chief Ac¬ new tank, refrigerator and hopper cars. froT on free markets—are prob¬ countant. TABLE II C. F. Meyer Promoted f By Colonial Trust Co. 1st 6 Mos. 1948 1st 6 Mos. 1947 * . ' ^ •' '■ ' ;c: ... > . , Bankers Trust Central Net Profits Oper. $1.38 $1.08 1.25 Corn First National .87 .76 50.98 1.50 1.50 122.46 1.27 1.06 1.59 .78 1.71 1.74 • .61 43.77 .81 .45 1.48 43.84 2.45 1.21 1.24 42.10 20.52 21.58 1,369.56 __—. 9.18 4.89 4.29 363.85 7.70 9.74 1.58 __. 2.01 8.32 — - — U. S. Trust- _ "Includes are .30 23.10 securities business. 61.42 of the 48.93 dertaken in the belief that it will 108.46 1.56 1.58 1.13 1.20 733,17 9.89 8.96 18.85 55.58, ; "v operating earnings exclusive of security a few cases. NEW JERSEY City SECURITIES Bank Stocks The Committee for program 1948 is of mutual benefit to be business and to colleges. The securities in¬ dustry will benefit from the re¬ search, the interchange of ideas and the relationships resulting . ,, . knowledge of the great financial This program is being started in a small way in its first year. We believe that it has farreaching possibilities." centers. different from been awarded scholarships. Laird, Bisseli & Meeds York Stock Exchange Established 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Telephone: Bell BArclay Teletype—NY 1891 18 Clinton St., Newark 7-3500 2, N. J. MArket 3-3430 1-1248-49 ft. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.) They Paul Lloyd Howell, Assistant Professor of Finance at North¬ N. Y. Phone—REctor 2-4383 Wisconsin; — Stock of Exchange Amyas Ames, Chairman, Association of Charles B. Harding, Smith, Barney & Co.; Walter W. Stokes, Jr., Stokes, Hoyt & Co. Vilas, President, Stock Exchange Firms; GEYER & CO. Investment Bankers Association INCORPORATED NEW YORK 5: WHlTKHALL 3-0762 NY 1-2876 BOSTON 9 CHICAGO 4 LOS ANGELES 14 10 Post Office Square 231 S. LaSalle Street 210 West Seventh Street HUbbard 2-0650 FRAnklin 7535 BS-297 CG-105 V —Julien H. Collins, vestment Bankers "Wall Street 67 Robert SAN FRANCISCO 4 Russ Building YUkon 6-2332 LA-1086 PRIVATE WIRE SYSTEM CONNECTING: Michigan 2837 SF-573 NEW YORK, BOSTON, CHICAGO, CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, ST. LOUIS, LOS ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO TELEPHONES TO: Providence, Hartford, Enterprise 6011 Enterprise 7008 . . W. Robert W. al Fisher, Blyth & Co.; Clark, Jr., Education¬ Director, i> York Francis A. Bankers Investment Association. New President, In¬ Association; . . Curb Truslow, , Detroit, Enterprise 6066 we are Exchange— President, New York Curb Exchange. New Emil York Schram, are * i'fi * % $6,000 gross and this has been accomplished through the untiring efforts of Messrs Beck, Murphy, Reilly and Strickland, who represent the "Commercial & Financial Chronicle." How about your being read as we ideas? We the committee know these notes are do get comments, now may we ask for ■ K. I. M. YOUR NSTA * -0 * . . . * Stock Collin, Norton & Co., 120 Broadway, New York President, New 5, N. Y. SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION OF NEW The YORK Security Traders Association of New York announces it will again hold a summer outing. It will be held on Friday, Sept. 10 at Island, home of the New York Athletic Club. A feature of the afternoon will be an all-star soft ball game which in itself should undoubtedly be worth the price of admission, Travers especially as there will be FREE BEER. highlights will include horseshoe pitching, golf, and a hatful of surprise contests. There will be prizes, prizes and prizes— for contest winners, contest loser, spectators and others. As the capacity of the club is limited, ST ANY members are urged to make their reservations before the public announcement appears in the "sheets." The Arrangements Committee the same as for the Other ■ STANY dinner. The price of $8 per person includes sumptuous a dinner, gratuities, use of lockers, etc., and FREE BEER before dinner. Members of the Committee are: Arnold J.VWechsler, Ogden, & Co., Chairman, Arrangements Committee. Horseshoes: Greene and Company. Co. and Joe Cabbie, Larry Wrenn, Allen & Co. and Frank McCall, Softball: Joe Eagan, Frank C. Masterson & Abraham & Co. Exchange— suggestions? .■.. "BUY ADVERTISING" > HAROLD B. SMITH, Chairman Yearbook Committee, NSTA ; Wechsler . Portland, Enterprise 7008 ; stop counts." We are over Finance at Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Homer A. ■ "You can't further advanced at this time. are: Association X great number of our membership a University of North Carolina. Firms .4J-H. Advocate," "Christian O'Neill, John T. and Assistant Professor of WHOLESALE MARKETS IN v certain University; Frank Max¬ Graner, Assistant Professor of Finance at the University of mittee INSURANCE STOCKS of the following quotation which was ad¬ you Wesleyan well The members of the Joint Com¬ BANK and the by people from thinking—but can you start them? That's what We think the above is most fitting at this time as western the 3^ vanced , „ Three educators J. S. Rippel & Co. LIBBING" We must remind not thinking about the work your Advertising Committee is endeavoring to do for them. To put it more frankly, this job is not an easy one and can only X'ur^5Psucceed when our membership looks upon this work as a necessary on the other hand, will be.in a adjunct toward the progress of our National Organization. While it position to acquire first - hand is true we have several months to go, nevertheless, we should be are: Members New "AD un¬ parts of the country have already Request on Edu¬ .80 QUARTERLY COMPARISON Circular on 1.29 However, this is feasible in only 19 New York "The Joint Committee cation represents all phases of the .30 3.14 NSTA Notes and to students. .78 2.33 18.12 shown. our entire economy. Accordingly there are many as¬ pects of the business that are of interest to economists, to teachers 1.30 City Eank Farmers Trust. Wherever possible, net profits m«a:bndn«8 jtseg^Jut advantage of 1.67 3.47 _ Meeting' them intelli¬ gently benefits not only the secur- 0.60 - 1.58 2.09 3.17 ccftfirfcry as whole. a 2.59 0.57 2.30 Trust Trust——. lems which affectethe; 59.18 40.59 City York New 59.52 .85 .86 2.49 Trust. Manufacturers 1.63 1.24 Irving Trust "National $32.73 569.67 3.00 1.73 National * _ _ 1.11 Exchange Guaranty $.56 1.63 1.32 1.39 Trust_ & 1948 Quar. ... $.52 ■SZ® 3.00 ___—___ Bank Commercial . June 30, 2nd . Quar 10.90 _ National Chemical Sec., Values Indie. or 1st Profits $1.10 Hanover Chase Incl. Incl. Sec. Book 1948 Total Total Net Y. & 5th Ave. Bank of N. or $0.94 ' f. Manhattan—.— of f or Total Oper. i! j Bank .* Indicated Indicated y- ridge, J. Arthur Postley & Co. Golf: Jerry Kane, Luckhurst & Co. and Ted Plum- Warner & Co. Cards: Sam .," * Gronick, Gilbert J. * - , THE Number 4714. Volume ,168, COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Francis Schanck Wilh J What Price Marshall Aid? CHICAGO, ILL.—Bacon, Whip¬ ple & Co., 135 South La Salle St., members of not to insist Chicago Stock European currency devaluations has had only tem¬ reassuring effect and there is growing feeling Britain will be forced to abandon principle of Empire Preference. porary on nounce the manager ,<$ was rushed — the revised was considered to be far Par¬ the text liament in from few wording of thought through a Moreover, the satisfactory. insistence of the American nego¬ on the right of the Admin¬ days without hav¬ tiators ing been con¬ istration sidered ade¬ deliveries 24 prefers to government signing of the pact postpone the until after the time limit of July 3, if even in of some doing so benefit the it will lose to allocated Marshall Plan. Britain under the the Jr., municipal Mr. ated dictate with First has been Boston associ¬ Corpora¬ negotiations. Rather than ac¬ cepting unfavorable terms the government is prepared to lose an amount of aid proportionate to the delay between July 3 and the signing of the pact, which will not take place until after it has been approved by Parliament. The publication of the terms of awaited with great interest in London. Many people the pact were to judgment reserve after they On have are the valuation absence is rather than future as it of the materially during the last few days. Until recently the main argument in favor of accepting the pact was stand trade deficit, and it impossible before ma¬ raw terial imports. now become This argument has powerfully rein¬ the threat of a war by with Soviet Russia over the Berlin conflict. Many Conserv¬ currency atives until who recently were opposed to concessions affecting Empire Preference are now in¬ clined to reconsider their attitude, "first the on first" things must come principle. The the likely to decrease United has argument influence, to however, a large number of the opponents of the pact. Their argument runs the Chicago office. Dur¬ ing World War II, he served four of active duty in the U. S. the to devalue sterling, vantages of such than more reason which aid have to aircraft Ernest Smith & Co., 2 Broad¬ New York City, members of way, belongs to League Club Bond Club of OF THE the and the Chicago. New have York admitted Curb Louis the United States grant in order to keep the carrier afloat." It CHASE CITY tages to the OF NEW YORK be derived aid. RESOURCES Cash and Due from Banks What is causing even more con¬ than the fear that Britain cern U. S. Government might be forced into devaluation contrary the JUNE 30, 1948 disad¬ the advan¬ from E.R.P. to her fear best interests that under the might have to is State and pact she abandon some of $1,203,034,945.43 Obligations Municipal Securities 1,632,762,060.73 . escape clauses embodied in Havana Final Act, with the result that she would have to give up and quantitative discrimination Empire Preference at a very . . • Other Securities 37,494,179.62 • * 126,899,161.59 Loans, Discounts and Bankers' Acceptances 1,461,069,553.89 early date. kind would Concessions provide of this the is ar¬ gued that the development of an acute conflict in Berlin should in¬ Accrued Interest Receivable • Stock of Federal Reserve Bank attacks American ment forced some of Loan Britain to avoid Agree¬ repetition Acceptance Liability . . . • . . 20,343,543.62 • . . 7,950,000.00 abandon the the 8,561,369.20 • 20,617,572.94 that the . Mortgages Customers' for • main against the pact. Opponents of the pact recall ground . this of Banking Houses 30,660,493.36 Other Assets 1,939,071.00 • $4,551,331,951.38 ex¬ perience. There is LIABILITIES growing feeling that, a purely economic point of view, Britain would now be in a a from much better position to terms demanded States than she in the reject the the United by in was 1945. For requirements, the rest, working and goods Britain classes stocks have is war-weary of become had a replenished. prepared, both on the terms of the pact is likely to be determined largely by the development of the conflict over Berlin. ease between resistance stiffen; Should now to $4,154,808,627.36 • 2,960,000.00 .... 8,291,321.26 Payable August 2, 1948. • • Reserve for.Taxes, Interest, etc. Other Liabilities 21,425,322.92 consumers' better now • * meantime British produc¬ tion has been converted for peace¬ time Deposits Dividend the tension Acceptances Outstanding $ 25,661,968.10 Less Amount in Portfolio Reserve for 4,238,300.52 18,482,323.76 Capital Funds: . .Undivided Profits . . $111,000,000.00 . . Surplus 154,000,000.00 . 58,940,688.50 and the debate, the should the would pact tension 323,940,688.50 grow resistance worse 21,423,667.58 Contingencies Capital Stock. duce the United States to moder¬ might become confined largely to the pro-Com¬ ate their demands instead of ex¬ munist elements in Parliament. pecting Britain to accept them for the sake of co-operation in face The ington statement issued in Wash¬ its original no a say of cies produced a But it did States longer insists on demand to reserve the right to have devaluation United the that Government not regarding the Peter last. On second P. McDermott & change, Cohn is announce now in that Sidney D, charge of the firm's investment service depart¬ ment. secure public and trust deposits and for other at purposes as $266,101,220.00 required Co., 44 Wall Street, New York City, mem¬ bers of the New York Stock Ex¬ European curren¬ reassuring effect. $4,551,331,951.38 United States Government and other securities carried Cohn With McDermott Co. of the common danger. Exchange, J. Newman to limited partnership in the firm. STATEMENT OF CONDITION, decision would a outweigh bate rier afloat. of Union and in stocks. Ernest Smith Co. Admits Cook and rather than lowered. It is felt that That being so there is why Britain should ac¬ cept costly conditions for the sake their aircraft carrier in conflict with Russia, it is to no the counties THE defla¬ The trend and outcome of the de¬ a as Dupage organization He is member of two School District of Education in that with preferred inflationary trend in States and their "If the United States want to use Britain ings and Loan Association. Board municipal depart¬ of connection near interests to keep the aircraft car¬ lines: following the on tivities increase in materially and mentally, to face a period of austerity. On the other hand, in the meantime the international political situation has grown incomparably worse. broadly director of the a and of the Hinsdale Federal Sav¬ manager of the some inscrutable reason the United States should force Britain British political failed Mr. Schanck is number a safeguards included meeting her in the Bretton Woods Final Act, would become' and the result had proved to be very long to disastrous. They are anxious to maintain vital food and forced Com¬ Transport Service. terms of chance no would Britain it without that Plans and Staff of the number The increased has 63 the many contained. as on Harriman, Ripley & Co., Inc., Wall Street, New York City, announce that Richard T. Kearns, formerly of the staff of Spencer Trask & Co.; became a member of their trading organization on July 1, 1948, and is conducting the ac¬ as ex¬ Transport result of the contrast a between the hand, opponents former mander Air cidedly undervalued in relation to the dollar, and that its under¬ become other the supporters and of the pact who had already decided to support it or oppose it, without knowing what there Officer Facilities a if, for the until Air Squadron Eleven and tion since 1930, recently serving as years foreign stations officer of do¬ on Municipal Bond Club of Chicago Schanck ment of the consisted activities States its government did not want to rush available. ecutive bond department. tionary trend in Britain. Conse¬ quently, it is argued, the gold value of sterling should be raised preferred as mestic and aid Owing to the delay in the negotia¬ tion of the pact, it became evi¬ dently impossible to debate its terms before that date, and the • the an¬ with of British experts have expressed the opinion that sterling is de¬ Dr. Paul Einzig that, the Exchanges, association service war various aviation 17 Kearns Trading For Harriman Ripley notice the 'United to During recent weeks on rather than do that, of and was Commander, in De¬ valuation. of Commons June York a specific provisions in the pact .about de¬ nnounced, House moment's a enable in even however, in the at Government of Council t he a would Lord The Marshall stop New as cember, 1945. has caused widespread uneasiness. It is felt that this trump card quately, would repeat itself. President to the firm of Francis R. Schanck, LONDON, ENGLAND—The British Government's decision to postpone the debate on the terms of the bilateral pact on EEP aid was welcomed with relief in British political circles. It had been feared that the experience with the American Loan Agreement, which released His Dr. Einzig notes some opposition^ in Britain to recent agreement with U. S. in the matter of Marshall Plan aid. Says policy7of U. S. (113) Naval Reserve from which he Bason, Whipple & Go. By PAUL EINZIG ""1 & Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or are pledged to permitted by law. 18 THE (114) COMMERCIAL City Bank of New York, in July "Monthly tetter/' perilous trend in new projects for Federal spending. sees "j when the money is defense To to5 the subtracted." ever turn partment for heads more pleas when that President the $40 a year wJl BROWN BROTHERS HARRIMAN & CO. The penditures for 1948 figure billion. $37.5 '49^ is that program of Condition, June 30, 1948 ditures cash ASSETS on Hand and Due from Banks. . . . . United States Government Securities _. Loans and Discounts Customers' Liability ... on • 42,918,093.01 4,939,273.87 . . .* . . Acceptances *. , *59,263,764.33 . .. 19,394^54.79 . Other Assets 1,092,426.92 $230,295,423.19 LIABILITIES ' Deposits—Demand . . \ Deposits—Time . . . . $192,768,435.64 _ * " " individual 725,531.59 Reserve for Expenses, etc. Contingencies $ Capital Surplus 1,500,000.00 13,885,283.54 crease IT Brown- billion Thatcher M. Brown Complete Facilities Deposit Accounts Ray Morris Louis Curtis the E. R. Harriman Knight Woolley - Brokers for of Purchase Credit and Sale Securities Investment Advisory Service Limited Partner—W. A. Harriman Managers L. Parks Shirley Edward Abrams Howard P. Maeder David G. Ackf.rman Edwin K. Merrill Donald K. Walker Joseph R. Kenny M. Dutton Morehouse John C. West Ernest E. Nelson Gale Willard F. H. Kingsbury, Jr. • Harry L. Wills Joseph C. Lucey Assjstant Managers William C. Horn Robert H. Chamberlin came John A. Knox Arthur K. Paddock Louis C. Farley, Jr. Thomas William F. Ray James Hale. Jr. Herbert Muhlert Arthur R. Rowe Laurence W. Siuonds William A. Hess evidence This were George E. Paul, Treasurer examination and regulation by the Superintendent of Banks of the State of New York and by the Department of Banking of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Subject to supervision and ex¬ amination by the Commissioner of Banks of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. '49 Fiscal Dramatic It is true today as it then. Elects New Officers Denind CLEVELAND, OHIO.—The fol¬ lowing officers were elected for the year 1948-49 by the Bond Club the biggest in ever proposed "The action majority a pres¬ is the of totally committee Rudford Wilson' K. 0rin Koeser inconsistent ing, certainly it should be for the purpose of strengthening our na¬ tional defenses against the threats of the totalitarian powers. Above all, it should not be used to chew up the very materials which, should they be needed, are so vital Outlook the year^ to Unofficial the tallies adjournment made of - ity favoring amount the President for headed the plus authorizations t < px military spending which, while appropriations i-) -v ■ -• >: , ■ -« > ' 4 • ••1 '■' '■ r if Stanley to $440 million a cut of the growing programs declared, "will in which taxes urer. Senator mean Byrd increase an will New governors chosen for year private enterprise system; to its very foundations." As Chairman Bridges of the Senate Appropri¬ ations same vote Committee debate, for stated takes and will tion it deserves in The real the budget MIAMI ; results for fiscal 3- Doerge, Co.; Harry G. to The Financial Chiionicle) BEACH, FLA.—Inves¬ tor's Service that Corporation has been formed with offices at 420 Lincoln attenT Koad. Officers 71' man,. danger is not in how Vice-President '49 are Manuel Hoff¬ President; R. H, Struthers, and Treasurer; Milton Feller, Secretary, and-Sid¬ budget to which new ney Wasserman, Assistant Treas¬ constantly being added urer. ■■■'■7-. ; will turn out. toward the a H. Investors Service Corp.; the forthcom¬ ing election campaigns. ■ hope Mericka & (Special . issue will receive Carl the in guts" tp in the face of propaganda.. citizens Many J. were Kraus, Ball, Burge & Kraus; Wm. H. Watterson, Fahey, Clark & Co. economy pressure this "it term Wm. the shake K. Stanley Eilers, Hornblower & Weeks, was re-elected as Treas¬ financial demands of requirements, R. Secretary: Wm. Watterson, Fahey, Clark & Co. programs already authorized or under way. The mounting reve¬ nue President Doerge Vice-President: Orin E. Koeser, top of on Cleveland: H. Blyth & Co.; to new Carl Eilers Wilson, Curtiss, House & Co. is not called to halt a drift sition ol' $2.8 employes, of bigger and bigger spending, through the superimpo- since Congress voted pay increases government floor He presented projections where the Federal budget is of January budget message, and in his subsequent supplemental requests. At the same time, how¬ ever, the on less. or aggregate sought in than* the debate Senator Byrd aligned himself with a Republican minor¬ show that direct and permanent appropriations for the fiscal year less the the Senate, Congress were national security." our In The Cbngress, under the not in the form of by Franklin D. the 1932 political Cleveland Bond Club an arena roi politics. lion and far and away Acceding to the recommendations of Air Force Secretary Symington, .the Congress has approved a 70group Air Force proposal which, .in the .first instance, commits the government to the expenditure of $3 billion oyer and above the President's original budget. } T-v for v•»., in appropriation narbors and tiooa figure balances:on fiscal new additional contract iff approval campaign. was $666 million appropriations m fis¬ cal '49—a 60% increase over the current year's figure of $41o mil¬ his Private Bankers and subject to docu¬ a durmg provided of tne Pig spending. President's budget included The from with the will of Congress as over¬ billion as anew was pressures the at ending June 30, 1949, Licensed the on rivers, "pork barrel" calling fdr a "legislative budget," voted to cut this by $2Y2 billion to $37.2 - billion. Now, already, practical observers i rec¬ ognize that this'legislative budget goal is lost—this time mainly by increased military expenditures. Arthur L. Nash Merritt T. Cooke J. McElrath deoate statement, signed by Alfred E. Smith Calvin Coolidge, was quoted Roosevelt control expenditures - control—traditionally 1946 of Loans -Acceptances of This with a organized of ment and bill for Congressional Reorganization Act and H. D. Pennington Commercial Letters carryback of $3 expenditures to fis¬ government aggregation an and selfish minorities." $8 billion the billion. Domestic to the demonstrated was starting point is the President's budget message of* last January which projected expenditures for fiscal "49 at a total close to $40 Foreign Banking Thomas McCance Prescott S. Bush tor billion might easily surplus, even How hard it is to get in them.# Inder pendence and liberty will be gone the general public will find itself in a condition of servitude moderate ECA take and and A Perilous Trend corporate and rates tax Treasury cash For FACILITIES Stephen Y. JIord from has taken charge 6t, held total action, i arise charge of their government they will find that their government cal '48. < Moueau expenditure a Unless the people, through unified level by The Required by Law $1,600,000 U. S. Government Securities are Pledged to Secure Public Deposits PARTNERS an to *$40 apart hand. $230,295,423 19 As favor. of government must be re¬ fear and without without . 2,000,000.00 11,885,283.54 based $210 billion and is gen¬ fore, spendthrift govern¬ "All the costs of local, State and national duced level a ment. rev¬ current of destruction personal sense of re¬ sponsibility and the dwindling value of the currency which goes and surplus; pro¬ whelmingly expressed in the reso¬ this tremendous flow lution finally adopted on Feb. 27, of revenue, approximately $6 bil¬ 1948, establishing the legislative lion yras applied to reduction of budget for the fiscal year 1949... the national debt, with the re¬ "If we must violate our pledge maining $2 billion going to in¬ for curtailed governmental spend¬ duced 383,614.87 .... ........ the Of 19,953,738.46 * Accrued Interest, nearer close wartime maximum. $ 20,679,270.05 Less Held in Portfolio. . locaT fiscal income The question whether Amer¬ the^ progressive was billion, is these ident's budget for these purposes. The House Appropriations Comt both 1945 when in 1,804,350-68 $194,572,786.32 ....... Acceptances $39 V2 billion. pay¬ all Notwithstanding this failure to achieve the hopedffor reduction in mittee cut the total back to $539 expenditures, the Treasury closed million—still allowing a 30% in¬ the '48 fiscal yeap with a Whopr crease. The Senate voted $640 ping big surplus, in the neighbor¬ milLon, nearly all the President hood of $8 billion (not couhting estimated. A conference between the charge of $3'billion reserve committees of the two Houses for '49 expenditures just men¬ resulted in a compromise on $573 tioned). Revenues, which the million, a 38% increase over fis¬ President in January, 1947, 'esti¬ cal 1948 and a 14% decrease from mated at $38 or $39 billion, actu¬ the President's figure. ally turned out to be near $45 A minority report filed in the billion, second only to the peak Senate minced no words: 50,929,969.91 . State,' Municipal and Other Public-Securities Other Marketable Securities $ 51,756,940.36 to for forecast "down year's cost when plans and programs are added to¬ gether and projected j into the future, the results raise the fun¬ along with government national a yield until fiscal '49. Cash of first But ican principles of life and govern¬ ment can survive the tax load, revenues substant.aily above $40 billion a year on pres¬ ent tax rates. Evidently, there¬ against 1948 expen¬ though the actual will not be made even outlay subject plan—the the of little. damental then, even and erating exclusive of the provision of Statement of oh is the European aid legislation charging $3 billion of the estimated cost of of ail are carefully is revenue $200 elsewhere— fiscal be The results, . level ury s within $1 billion of the President's PHILADELPHIA BOSTON NEW YORK figures can an¬ enues, in its turn, is subject to business fluctuations. The Treas¬ mainly in the area of foreign aid. The upshot was that total ex¬ PRIVATE BANKERS the and be European Recovery Program. eaten up by were outlays very fiscal generally broad, most notably perhaps in the case of the over directions increased ment" cannot tentative istrators by the appropriations ^com¬ mittees, spearheaded by Chairman Taber-of the House Committee, some until be payment" on bal¬ expendi¬ change under the force of events. The discret.on allowed to admin¬ work Business Established 1818 figure have the fatal charm of the "easy in actual the President's original available ago effected , whether to increasing billion swered proposed Ttis economies commit the and from which nothing much is appropriations ever subtracted. * New. projects, needed/ / T ; constantly put. before • Congress, as prevent from checked. $37.5 billion budget for the (fiscal year ended June 30, 1948, the Congress set out to trim expendi¬ tures by some $4 to $6 billion. Actually, despite much valiant substantial to '49 above money. recalled question tures passed and it is now possible to year. As a matter of fact, high Says the "Bank Letter": assess results, in at least a pre¬ Events of the past two weeks Treasury officials openly pre¬ liminary way. have raised new questions about dicted a deficit in the new fiscal The pressure for enlarged the trend of the Federal budget year when the tax bill was en¬ Since then, spending pro¬ spending—in almost every imag¬ and the country's capacity and acted. inable direction—has been in¬ willingness to meet its new obli¬ posals of so many different kinds tense. Yet Congress has made gations without inflation. With have been under discussion that the combination of the tax cut, many people have been led to cuts, some of tnem-running to substantial figures. For this no a much enlarged military pro¬ conclude that the budget has got proof perhaps could be more elo¬ out of hand. The gram, the enactment of the for¬ completely quent than the attacks;; levelled eign-aid program, and election- President's original budget pro¬ against the Congress for "parsi¬ year pressures to loosen the purse posals last January—which set a mony" and "penny-pinchipg.' strings, talk ( has been widely spending target of $39.7 billion— The experience bids fair to repeat swollen current that there will be a re¬ were by supplemental what happened last year—only at a higher level of spending. It be The ance adjournment of Con4 gress, June 19, all the major appropriations bills had been will nevertheless enough; nas tefen <cut out de-: of constituents or the At deficits in the 1949 fiscal to : a responded is bills, /international and lesser extent Congress itself has taken the initiative and "Monthly Bank -Letter" of the National City Bank of New York, the 1949 fiscal budget outlook is analyzed atid a warning sounded that there is danger to our stability and principles of government in the trend of adding new items of Fed¬ eral expenditures "from which^ much Thursday^ July 8; 1948 g o verhmeh t to aid. In the July issue of the never CHRONICLE tional |of Expanding Federal Budget National FINANCIAL requests that he filed chiefly for additional" appropriations- for • na¬ " Warns & a items are It lies in the trend _ 1 •'•i-'-vY ' ■/■{'■is;-" ■ ; Volume 168 Number 4714 THE; Report More Confidence (115) Bolivia's Plan to Resume Service - The In Business Conditions Business Survey Committee of National Association of Purchasing Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton of Winchester Repeating Arms Corporation, sees beneficial effect of recent wage agreements and brighter political picture. by purchasing Survey. Pro-3— duction creases agents the Business May sodas, sand, steel, heavy tin* titanium, _' tallow, die castings. ' acids, 4 zinc Executive Power. est lowing approval by that Congress, and upon completion of other formal requirements, an offer will be made to the bondholders which provide generally ammonia, brass fittings, cad¬ mium, chrome, coal tar products, coke, copper, ferro alloys, fuel oil, num, uary. Back orders con¬ tinue to • as to the w Febru- of conditions, agreement, coal Past Due Interest will be com¬ (b) new erally tion rider to 34% many will March 17% in noted advanced of employment in vacations even more It is believed that uates. over wide a spiral, but Production sharp holding generally upward ad¬ justment reflecting increased wage and transportation costs. With a many of the influences strikes stabilized employment worker create more Prices are and to been nan. 1 i The trend of reducing invento¬ ries has changed somewhat. While 60% report maintaining invento¬ ries at lowest n announced Cash, Gold Due and (Direct State is class past five price protec man or pening; rather, a this policy treme caution prevails. is of L. Mr. Curtis from served ing, railroad ties, rosin, salamo- $4,645,527,278 Accept¬ on Bills. and Stock 2,682,977 Ownership Portfolio in Transit .• . Branches. 28,128,039 ...... Capital 25,971,263 ......... Dividend 4,650,000 ..,...$ 77,500,000 6,115,385 . . 5,370,967 Interest, Taxes, Other Accrued Expenses, etc. 7,000,000 , Other Assets Total Other and Unearned Income Surplus 1,561,915 with 39,792,976 7,200,000 . .... .... . 10,424,319 for: Unearned Discount International of Bank Premises Items Reserves 37,020,477 Federal Reserve Bank in $50,217,295 . Undivided Profits '£4,995,679,834 Total are as . , . . . . 162,500,000 , 34,367,350 • . 274,367,350' $4,995,679,834; . of June 25, 1948 CORPORATION) Chairman of the Executive Committee of the Board President W. Randolph Burgess Jr. Howard C. Sheperd TRUST COMPANY Office: 22 William Street, New York Condensed Statement Detroit — the late (IN Colonel hav¬ west Airlines. was a First Lieutenant serv¬ Officer in Charge-of Flying Post Field, Fort Sill, Okla¬ as homa. ; In addition to preferred stock of con¬ the company was considered and it the sense of the meeting that no action be taken at this time. DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS OMITTED) Cash Due and Banks from . LIABILITIES *. -. $ 23,959,474 U. S. Government Obligations Fully Guaranteed). or Obligations of and in 1,077,004 « Municipal Securities . ..... and Securities Federal Reserve Bank . Bank Premises Other Assets . 7,926,361 , . Advances Real Estate Loans Stock 93,665,485 Loan Deposit Reserves Other Securities and $101,847,428 . $1,729,484) Other Federal Agencies State Deposits. (Includes United States War Hancock's tion of the dividend upon the of June 30, 1948 - Loans Mr. as ASSETS (Direct During World War I, Mr. Han¬ cock of Condition as * many chem¬ icals, coal, cocoa butter, diamond powder, fats, ferromanganese, frit, pig iron, lumber (mixed), mag¬ nesia, menthol, paper, pipe, print¬ OMITTED) for Acceptances , ... . 1 otal. . . . . (Includes Reserve of $310,652) . , for 4,441,191 . Dividend ' 101,038 1,085,986 1,373,869 Capital , « • • • $10,000,000 Surplus . , i \ \ 10,000,000 600,000 3,079,383 , was rachloride; castings, of June 30, 1948 as 1930 vertible Reported up: Acetone, alkalies, aluminum, ammonia, asbestos, babbitt,, .calcium carbide and tet¬ par, Grenville L. Hancock all price climb is not firmer tone in many par Sher¬ election, the matter of the declara¬ a Customers' Liability Adams from 1919 to 1930 and The number of commodities in in price far overbalances the decreases. established Securities 1918 ing played a direct part in the early financial history of North¬ Commodity Changes markets. and Head E. S. Evans of that company ing over¬ of below 1,308,134,577 Discounts CITY BANK FARMERS Hancock Co., ex large, it has purchase demption of bonds at 82,591,319 Wm. Gage Brady, • Though the for available Less: Own Accept¬ 245,222,036 , former director of Evans Products re¬ creased when fund the 1941. at Specific a-nd Chairman & hap of ances (MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE to are spot-checking frequently. Some that of Condition Undivided Profits , 9,008,433 29,008,433 2,428,452 $135,297,052 Total. . . , . . $135,297,052 $8,850,463 of United States Government Obligations are deposited to secure the United States War Loan Deposit and for other purposes required or permitted by law, Glidden, Morris to Admit (MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION) Glidden, Morris &. Co., 72 Wall Street, New York City, have ad¬ mitted John C. Glidden as a gen¬ eral partner. In the past he was with the firm as a limited partner. Chairman of the Board W. Randolph Burgess* on all constituting retirement Loan Deposit $37,481,988) Figures of Foreign Branches with Jackson re¬ political survey balance $302,660,341 of United States Government Obligations and $2,272,208 of other assets are deposited to secure $228,380,560 of Public and Trust Deposits and for other purposes required or permitted by law associated with developments may create a sec ondary boom and cause rash buy ing. There is no evidence in the current 3% at M. I. T. He was Buyers more ployed principal Liability . of in was the is expressed that the cent favorable labor and the Deposits 20,026,721 Real Estate Loans East¬ Mr. Hancock concern at Lumber Co., Lebanon, Ore¬ the three-month commitmen range which has governed for markets interest Sant'iam Buying policy continues within ported. new 1,788,510,291 Municipal Securities and per outstanding from time to (Includes United States War by Paul F. Col- gon. tion, to induce large quantity ders for longer periods, are of cumulative in¬ DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS Other Federal of total bonds stamped Office: 55 Wall Street, New York $1,461,486,097 Banks from Agencies Eugene, Oregon, and Buying Policy of the on for for any LIABILITIES Fully Guaranteed) or Obligations of satisfactory turn for date, plus ment during the 1954 U. S. Government Obligations Plywood Mills of increased production. Offers a 4% ice to be applied first to the pay¬ Service of required through (IN Mr. Han¬ sentative is being« obtained on higher inventories, because buying terest $1,500,000 balance ASSETS Repre¬ ern rate months. than Ihe Associated ments, 24% (slightly more than in May) indicate increases. Several ward not 1949 years than The monies, Chair- s, cock operating require¬ over Prices The election of Grenville L. Hancock to the Board of Directors of Northeast Airlines, Inc., has im¬ Inventories their less last Hancock Elected Director being watched closely. a less not Including Domestic and Foreign Branches Banking Corporation competitive markets. comment that orders with removed, productivity, of issued thereafter; this 4% serv¬ or provide each Condensed Statement .Loans back even rising; Inventories static. Employment unchanged. Buying policy hand-to-mouth to 90 days. purchasing executives look for in¬ creasing supplies, resulting from proved and about month. production-retarding of will ances in Canada commodities—no that time, not Head Other Securities Prices Republic, will provide service of service. June. scarce Summer areas. cut to is labor Commodity Prices range (c) Beginning with Jan. 1, 1955, THE NATIONAL CITY BANK OF NEW YORK reporting reduced dropped from employee loss through draft will be more than offset by June grad¬ con¬ Caution is still advised. cern. par, phepQl,' have than last year. Draft Act, is giving buyers much in Skilled to order¬ the Those employment ly procurement, contained in the powers' (2) bonds 22% report increased pay¬ as rolls. filling up; compe¬ tition is growing; a switch to a buyers' market in several lines is war Bolivia continuing high employ¬ 61% reporting this condi¬ ment, are approaching. The threat below par. year so long as any assented or hew bonds are outstanding a sum The June survey indicates gen¬ the prompt adjustment of other wage controversies, and a brighter po¬ litical picture. Purchasing agents point out, however, that material pipe lines market or the 1952; 2% for 1953 and 1954; and 3% for 1955 and there¬ to Dec. 31, 1948. arrears the after. promised by the issuance of interest in bonds, either (1) by purchase in by redemption through call at Employment a as of of methanol, Better available: Bearings, steel balls, electrical supplies, fasteners, several mill supplies. close More confidence is expressed in general business result lead, ; some papers, pipe and fittings, nylon, tin, zinc. level. ary steel, nails, nickel, rate last month, are iron, glue, about same and Robert C. Swanton build at up the . Minister for 1951 and follows: as On the down side: since Jan¬ its annum on the total principal of $61,905,800 of dollar bonds, .all bonds stamped or issued in ac¬ i (a) Bolivia will pay interest ceptance of the offer, and not re¬ semi-annually at the annual rates of: 1% for 1949 and or redeemed before 1950; iy2% purchased Fol¬ bonds in the principal amount of Alcohol, cot¬ while the ton and burlap bags, turpentine;- $5,627,800; thus the holder of each n umber re¬ some hardware, electrical supplies, $1,000 bond accepting the pro¬ porting pro¬ office supplies, tung, linseed, cas- posed plan will be offered a new duction drops nor and pine oils, cotton textiles. and additional $100 bond for all was the low¬ Continuing hard to get: Alumi¬ of the reports, ampupt of bonds covered by the offer, will be used for retirement Dollar Bonds on through a proposed plan of service for its four $56,278,000 outstanding publicly offered dollar bonds, fol¬ lowing discussions earlier this month between Foreign Bondholders Protective Council, Inc., and a<£Delegation of the Republic. The Current Service will begin as proposed plan will be submitted from Jan. 1, 1949, on the newto the Bolivian Congress by the principal amount of not more than will in-, niac, were shown in 28% in announced issues of Bolivian According to a composite opinion of the Business Survey Com¬ mittee of the National Association of Purchasing Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton, June business activity confirmed the trend of improvement reported Republic of Bolivia Finance, J. Ramono, on July 1 19 President Lindsay Bradford a em¬ bonds or * re¬ 20 THE (116) COMMERCIAL .& FINANCIAL CHRONICLE has enjoyed rapid growth in At the beginning of its history it entered this field through the Shawinigan Carbide Company, from which has been developed the largest carbide plant in the British Empire and also a large chemical industry based on acetylene. Shawinigan Chemicals Ltd. is now an impor¬ ness recent years. Shawinigan Water & Power Shawinigan Water & Power of Canada, one of the largest pro¬ ducers and wholesalers of hydro-electric power in the world, re• of achieve¬ The Shawinigan family includes Quebec Power, Shawinigan t^ptly issued ment. brochure to commemorate its 50 tant producer of vinylite, a tic material which is used a years cles. industry, under way, industrial then just The getting The power. has 1,250,COO more than 217,0C0 industrial, do¬ mestic, users in farm an serving h.p. tains of 25,000 square power >:Like most American companies, rapidly increasing capacity remained well in of the period, up when Carbide for The en¬ only construction system not work but investi¬ also sites power and builds hydro-electric and manufacturing that estimated is the gates St the care de¬ plants throughout Canada, and in other countries. horse¬ The developed on the company's ; (400,00C preferred shares and $1.63 $1.20 1.47 — 1945__ 1.00 1.06 1946 0.90 1944 , 1.07 1943 / 1.09 0.90 (the Trenche develop¬ shares of common) are 1.16 0.90 1941 1.07 0.90 1940 0.95 0.90 busi¬ Canadian. have years "hidden" should be included the drop to 12.4. Earn¬ ings figures for the Chemical company have not been regularly furnished, but in 1947 the com¬ pany grossed $13,166,000 and made a profit of $1,280,000, equiv¬ sidiary ratio would (There earnings of 270. some (the 1948 being 20%-16). nearly difference points earnings, but if the full equity in the earnings of the chemical sub¬ the on other subsidiaries, but plus price-earnings ratio would be 14.4% based on'published share share per hidden earnings for they would probably not be very significant in terms of parent share earn¬ ings.) Shawinigan sells currently on the New York Curb around 20 be may 23%, the yield based on the $1.20 dividend rate being 5.12%. The •1 1 Earnings in recent shown 590 The Public range from of price Montreal the reflects the 15% non-resident tax discount in Canadian funds. "As compared with most U. S. utility stocks, it does not afford a very high yield. How¬ ever, its investment caliber is supported by a 40-year dividend record, a very strong cash posi¬ tion (presumably for construc¬ tion), a 23% depreciation reserve, and a 41 % equity ratio. The com¬ pany's diversification in the grow¬ ing chemical business doubtless also carries investment appeal. the Exaggerates Concept of High Corporate Profits 20,000 stockholders of which 86% company's chemical to parent company stock; dividends of $703,000 were paid, equivalent to about 320 per share, leaving Shawinigan is currently selling on the Montreal Exchange at owned by are The 0.90 . 1942 2,178,250 in 1952. de¬ 1947 alent i stocks ment) is scheduled for completion to Divs. Earns. Year— a St. Maurice, and a 384,000 h.p. plant excess immediate requirements wartime upper be can join to of for Moun¬ additional million one miles in the Province of Quebec. Shawinigan's It Lawrence. commercial and area Quebec subsidiary takes miles 240 flows the gineering Maurice . Laurentian through of St. the on which River, company now are Union Chemical Monsanto velopment and research. company's principal hydro units was! the first to seek with controlled demands. war The alumi¬ developed 10,000 h.p. num in components of DDT and 2.4D (the new weed killer) plus many other products. Subsidiaries of the chemical company are jointly and 1946: wide range of everyday arti¬ The company also makes very Chemicals Ltd., and Shawinigan<$> Engineering, together with a mands became abnormally high number of smaller subsidiaries By forming a power pool of the including transport and hotel three great Quebec power sys¬ tems—the Saguenay, the St. Law¬ companies. rence and the i The Shawinigan—the company was incorporated was able to meet all in 1898 and five years later had company growth, due in part to the great activity of the paper industry, which supplied 41% revenues in plas¬ Thursday, July 8, 1943 .* Dr. substantial Henry C. Link of the Psychological Corporation reports, as pubile believes fact profits average under 10%. result of survey, only one-quarter of According to Dr. Henry C. Link, of the Psychological Corpora¬ tion, if large companies made profits as high as most people think they now make, most managers would consider themselves unscru¬ pulous profiteers. If companies made as much profit as most people thought they <?> should make, pared with the 1948 survey, we the managers would bankers Trust Company see ably profit companies are actual¬ ly making. Also, people's ideas of what they should make are slightly nearer the truth. This im¬ provement may be due to some of prof¬ as iteers. In a Psychological B a r o m e a more which large think of them¬ selves NEW YORK slight change toward a realistic appreciation of the prob¬ still ter the educational measures which ducted by companies have been taking with their employees and through their public service advertising. The with veys con¬ survey CONDENSED STATEMENT OF CONDITION, JUNE 30, 1948 The Psychological Corporation interviews ASSETS from Cash and Due from Banks $ ...... 379,251,082.75 coast New . . . 518,954,817.71 , York coast and by Loans and Bills Discounted Refining Company State and HENRY J. COCHRAN President, The Franklin Savings Bank 539,227,594.70 16,051,198.80 Municipal Securities Other Securities and Investments 30,391,763.48 .... President S. SLOAN COLT 13,769,525.14 Banking Premises tions asked Union Dime Savings Bank Accrued Interest and Accounts Receivable 4,073,052.38 .. one of the ques¬ was: of which iarge business companies take in, about how many cents do you think they keep as clear profit?" The same question was asked in a comparable Psychological Barometer survey made in May, dollar every The results in the two 1946. WILLIAM L. DcBOST Chairman, interviewers, "Out ELLSWORTH BUNKER Chairman, The. National Sugar of line with the facts." Henry C. Link to 393 U. S. Government Securities CORNELIUS N. BUSS in cities 148 DIRECTORS startling fact is that in both sur¬ people's ideas of the profits of big companies are so far out personal sur¬ veys were: President, American Brake Customers' Shoe Company Liability on Acceptances . . 13,000,205.85 . JOHN W. HANES $1,514,719,240.81 Chairman, Executive Committee, United Stales Lines Company New CHARLES D. HILLES May 1946 1948 13% 24% Capital ...... $30,000,000.00 Surplus ...... 80,000,000.00 And yet, New Jersey Undivided Profits . , . 42,941,767.67 $ 152,941,767.67 THOMAS A. MORGAN Chairman, The Sperry Corporation General Reserve 11,085,435.93 Dividend PHILIP D. REED Payable July 1, 1948 1,350,000.00 .... Deposits Reserve for Taxes, 1,305,093,022.87 Accrued Expenses, etc. Acceptances Outstanding THOMAS J. WATSON. JR. Vice President, International Business 4,372,252.42 . $15,510,425.73 Less Amount in Portfolio Corp. profits are six times to one 13,379,458.36 Other Liabilities President, The Commonwealth 26,497,303.56 Corporation 'How many cents out of every dollar Profit April May 1946 as 1948 Under 10c 17% 42 f 45 15 17 26 been deposited to method described in the secure deposits, including $16,318,991.57 of United States Government deposits, and for other f purposes. i * Member of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation I■ ... to Security Deal¬ succeed Philip t, & dent Presi¬ of Gey¬ Co., Inc., & er Geyer, is is Chairman of the National Quotation Committee the of National Association of Security Dealers, well as being as member a its New of George Geyer York District committee. Hermosillo to Attend Secur. Administrators Convention July 19 LINCOLN, NEB. has been Announce¬ — made that Prax- Reina General Hermosillo, Assistant Manager of Nacional Fi- 10 over_. Uncertain stockholders, dated January 20, 1948. Assets carried at $30,931,777.50 have Mr. who edes Dollar Companies Have York e r r Grammack Cents 30c and annual report to a ment 10c to 29c Securities in the above statement are carried in accordance with the C do. you think they should keep as a fair profit?' per New Association L. anywhere from great as they profits are entirely too high. Thehrefore, we asked them this question: Should $1,514,719,240.81 the ers as "Many people today think that " 2,130,967.37 JUSTIN R. WHITING Southern high profits like the present. A large majority, 68%, believe that company Vice President Machine* less than 10c on a dollar. according to government actually are. Chairman, General Electric Company GEORGE A. SLOAN , Chairman, Southern Agriculturist President, The Nutrition Foundation, Inc. B. A. TOMPKINS quarter of the people company profits figures, their profits are less than 10c on a dollar even in a year of these New Jersey DANIEL E. POMEROY 10 that average WARD MELVILLE PAUL" MOORE a believe President, Melville Shoe Corporation 29 26 Continuing, Dr. Link reports: LIABILITIES President, York University __ 37 32 over "Only Council of New 29 Uncertain WILLIAM H. JACKSON Partner, J, U, Whitney Jt Co. FRED I. KENT — 10c to 29c 30c and York of April Companies Get as Profit Under 10c s George Geyer, Geyer & Co., has been elected President Inc., Co. Cents per Dollar WILLIAM B. GIVEN, JR. GeorgeEsyer^ Pres. of NY Security Dealers * 28% nanciera will represent Mexico at the annual tional meeting Association of of the Na¬ Securities Administrators in Portland, Oreg., 62%, said July 19-22. companies ought to earn anywhere from 10 Two With J. A. Warner to 60 cents profit on every dollar of goods they sold. In other words, J. Arthur Warner & Co., Inc., these people think that companies 120 Broadway, New York City, ought to make much more money announce that Thomas M. Aberthan they are actually making to¬ nethy and Sidney Ornstil are now "A that large majority, they thought day. "When the 1946 survey associated with them in their New is com- York Trading Department. , ; Volume Number 4714 168 ; THE COMMERCIAL • Stonier Stresses Dynamic In the N. J., the need of the American " : : ^ of dynamic banking, always Harold Stonier, Director of the School and Bankers Association, stressed 2, Dr. Manager friends and neighbors to S. buy rations amid * Bonds. > Thisy.ha$ by. which, it i| said that many millions buy their share of liberty on the instalment changing plan. alert to suc¬ ceeding gene¬ nomic eco-■? • hold sibility ed out. ."It is they evolving vice in¬ bonds these the respon¬ years ahead become duel the weak receive lars inflated and before. lives, there¬ fore, as bankers you will have a responsibility to discharge. You busi¬ and dustry, in if, dollars back for the stronger dol¬ i ser- to ness when an in share to us g," Dr. Stonier point¬ thin undoubtedly will customers our - • static a In this activity we act a^ our government withouj On the other han<L compensation. - "Banking is not method a- agents of condi- ■ tions. Savings • been Dr. Harold For Stonier and beyond that, banking helps invested they .years the rest of your many millions of achieve economic sta¬ must take bility and satisfy their wants. To perform these services satisfac- interest in govern¬ and in the and women an local, state and national, general economic forces ment, which determine the value of your But American be¬ better is siphon¬ government (117) workers off than rewards incomparably workers for risk taking. of this progress tinuation abroad, ing the major share, this source drying up as is clearly by the accompanying chart. It is interesting to note that but also they receive by far the largest returns from industry. In pendent whereas the workers have capitalists preservation of American business enterprise. For that rea¬ son they should be. deeply con¬ vestment and in of money is shown for our U. - the cause Banking at Rutgers University in New Brunswick, of July on Executive higher income brackets. Banking graduating class of the Grad¬ of his address to the course School uate FINANCIAL CHRONICLE in which ... 1945—the this latest i information available t—national , consequence, income at stake than the more year is was the ing after taxes of those receiv¬ more than $25,000 coin before rich be shows adopt new methods, different approaches and advance with the gently and build one for himself thus by example insuring that his shall own be safe from when built.' "While , there is national leaders and should have | not enough funds capital ou; the worker? over to and over our that have followed this course. years, mains our type of banking reunique among all banking systems of the present day. "In recent years bankers have voluntarily assumed a new responsibility ral on behalf of the FedWe have urged government. Manufacturers The class graduated this year is composed of 244 bank officers 106 cities and towns in . Diplomas presented to were the men by the Chairman of the Board of Regents of the school, Loring L. Gelbach, who is President of the Central National Bank of Cleveland, Ohio. Condensed Statement of Condition High Taxes Are Drying Up Chief Source of Capital - In- the current issue of its "New England tional Bank of Boston sounds when levied on a Letter," the First Na¬ warning that high taxation, especially high income brackets, is threatening our it is stated. "The chief source was the most laggard in emerging from the depression. ress of this capital is the surplus earnings "The obsolescence and physical ploughed back into business, while deterioration during the past dec¬ most of the remainder ade the It from savings of the well- surplus to-do. comes this is money—used to purchase modern facilities which in turn lower costs, broaden mar¬ kets, and create jobs—that is the fountainhead of progress. Largely as a consequence in investment this of the capital country, each succeeding decade witnessed a higher level of activity and well- being until the near was flow 1930's, when the confiscatory taxation that imposed reduced the capital to a trickle. Without this supply of capital, business became unemployment stagnant, staggering proportions, reached and this and a half has U. S. Government Securities U. S. Government Insured F. H. A. State and Municipal Bonds . created Mortgages a equity stock, because of extortion¬ taxes climate. tion of the past has . . . . 21,078,705.28 . . 3,037,500.00 Acceptances 555.347,284.04 15,160.439.39 . 10,206,041.24 Other Real Estate Customers' Equities . . . . . , . 233.980.73 . Liability for Acceptances 5,891.554.86 Accrued Interest and Other Resources 6.932.883.73 .... $2,265,689,163.93 LIAR I CITIES $41,250,000.00 .... . .... Undivided Profits . . 60,000,000.00 .... , 25.425,176.07 126,675.176.07 Reserve for Contingencies 6,874,630.95 Reserves for Taxes, Unearned Dividend Discount, Interest, etc. . . busi¬ Liability 5,555,158.19 . Payable July 1, 1948 1,237.500.00 Outstanding Acceptances The largest propor¬ 6,669,342.90 . Deposits and ness . 18,769.921.37 Surplus ate . Banking Houses healthy basis. Last year most of the money for this purpose came from funds ploughed back into business, while the greater part of the remainder represented bank borrowings or the sale of bonds. Only a small proportion came from the sale of on . the estimated economy 2,938.264,45 . . Other Securities Capital our Mortgages ' . . . Stock of Federal Reserve Bank outlay of from $50 to $75 billion in order to place an unfavorable equity come 602.840,245.16 1,023,252,343.68 greatest deficiency in capital fa¬ cilities ever known, and will call for $ ........ Loans. Bills Purchased and Bankers' country which for decades had led the world in economic prog- system is dependent upon steady flow of fresh capital, which is the lifeblood of business," a close of business June 30.1948 economic system, which is dependent upon a steady flow of fresh capital. "The perpetuation of our eco-^ nomic as at It 12 S O U1I C E S Cash and Due from Banks Warns COMPANY TRUST 33 states and the District of Colum- bia. money in as Endorser on Acceptances and Foreign Bills . . 2,319,435.62 . 2,116,357,920.20 the $2,265,689,16353 from those in the United States Government and other securities carried at NET INCOME AFTER TAXES OF HIGHER INCOME GROUPS public funds and IN RELATION TO NATIONAL INCOME trust deposits and for other $62,616,384.25 purposes as required pledged arc or to secure permitted by law. (I» Billions of Dollars) 200 DIRECTOR SEDWIN J. BEINECKE FREDERICK CRETSCIf Chairman, The Spcrry & Hutchinson Co. ' EDGAR S. BLOOM ' West Indies ALVIN G. OSWALD L. BRUSH President, George A. Fuller Company CHARLES A. DANA of the Board President, Gcrli & Co., Inc. Higher Income Croups lo Mulimial Income HARVEY Products C. R. PALMER GEORGE J. D. GIBSON W. Corporation VAUGIIAN Corporation HENRY C. PATTERSON Chairman ALBERT N. VON ELM of the Board WILLIAMS President, Scranton & Lehigh President, Westinghouse Coal Co, President Air Brake Head Office: 55 Broad Street, New York MORE THAN 75 j President, Curtiss- Wright President, Cluelt Pcabody & Co., Inc. PAOI.INO GERLI Chairman, Trust Committee 1 L. A. VAN ROM EL GUY President, John P. Maguire & Co., Inc. President, United States Lines Company SMITH President, National Dairy JOHN P. MAGUIRE JOHN M. FRANKLIN V. President, Home Insurance Co, President, Emigrant Industrial Savings Bank President, Dana Corporation RICHARD City ERNEST STAUFFKN JOHN T. MADDEN HORACE C. FLANIGAN Kalirt of Net Income Aflcr Ta\c» of HAROLD MACLELLAN President, United Biscuit Company of America LOU R. CRANDALL « JOHNSTON F. C. New York Simpson Thacher & Bhrtlett KENNETH Corporation Vice-Chairman Vice President HAROLD President, Lambert Company Steamship Lines Chairman, American Home Products WILLIAM G. RABE President, Lincoln Savings Bank JOHN L. JOHNSTON Chairman, Atlantic, Gulf and •; OFFICES IN GREATER Company City NEW YORK European Representative Office: 1, Cornhili, London, E. C. 3 Member Federal Reserve System oo a O ~ cm m o r-* <x) c. n OM<MCM<M<MCMCM m ~ ^ CO £> cncncnmoiaicn a oi cn ■ econom; tick, and the vital role played b; capital and savings. Otherwise provide the tools that are indis¬ "The driving force behind our through ignorance and prejudicer pensable for new jobs and higher progress has been the spirit of the 'temple' may be pulled dowr. living standards. Not only are private initiative in response to upon our heads." are neglect." from violence better understand¬ a ing of what makes been , yet time, \ struggle^ by default or through changing times. Because American banking on the whole has been able to do this over a period of that enterprise. Let not him wht pull down the house another, but let him work dili¬ of to to That is houseless succeeding generations bondholders' dollars. In the area amid changing economic* condi- j of political action our fate as tions means that banking must; bankers may be determined. It ever be on the alert and willing i would be shameful to lose that torily work- and demonstrated again by countries has as should some 'soaking the rich' is like less, based upon data firing a shotgun into the crowd. furnished by the United- States It is a shortsighted policy as it Treasury. In 1929 the net income jeopardizes all interests. Experi¬ after taxes of this group consti¬ ence has indisputably shown that tuted over "8% of national income, confiscatory taxation chills the but by 1945 it had been reducec spirit of personal initiative, dis¬ toi.7%.;,;,.„ courages the accumulation oi "We need not feel sorry for the savings, " and forces capital into rich as they can somehow manage hiding. Carried to its logical con¬ to get along. Rather, our concern clusion^ confiscatoj^i taxation de¬ should be for the workers as they stroys wealth and distributes pov¬ erty, a others may become rich, and hence is just encouragement to industry "So the chief sufferers when there address an of capital in? safeguarding of As Abraham Lin-* positive good to the world. lays about 58% are prospect on the ingmen at New York in 1864 said: the golden eggs.' a year was in con^ is de¬ .'Property is the fruit of labor; that property is desirable, and is a about any action, 'kill the goose that would aggregate* amount of net in¬ come return property rights. the hearly 110%' more, thah^in 1929, cerned the upon reasonable A 21 . Member New York Clearing House Association . Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 22 (118) THE COMMERCIAL what its —he may As result of survey made by Controllership Foundation, its Presi¬ dent, Daniel J. Hennessy, presents recommendations for new type be issued to : to sent about j management relationships. these remarks Y'Y Y a on x*— stockholders, many if the his "For annual conducted the Founda¬ tion Elmo by Roper, Mr. Hennessy falls report between two the isv doing, whole and he lament The ~ , Corn On the other hand, most of 'the large investors covered in the sur¬ New York in its windows survey re¬ Avenue Americas the of type prescribes far a counting terminology, plus a fullscale annual report — designed as document source a consumer about the stock in," the owns of the exhibit is purpose tell Americans as the company — 810.899,655 .62,552,224 $ TRUST June 30, 1948 sophisticated large investors, financial experts, bank¬ ers more others and access to who in lack of in¬ a the part of both on information such ready cold statistical facts. The study also disclosed terest wish as groups company labor policy, government relations Total 1.435,711,400 1,305,093,022 Deposits Cash and 1,208,560,200 due banks_ from basic many needed in of America. these Samples materials raw * 325,483,500 482,045,500 539,227,594 551,268,000 42,941,766 42.428,000 U. of Govt.se- S. curity hldgs. Loans and bills are shown. * 379,251,083 518,954,817 Undivided prof. raw * if Manufacturers Trust of New York Company announces MANUFACTURERS TRUST COMPANY, NEW YORK that Car) L. Moehwart and Karl Wolff have been appointed taries. Mr. Assistant Moehwart June 30, 1948 Secre¬ is in Total department at the bank's head office, while Mr. Wolff makes his headquarters at' the 2,085,683,267 due banks from 602,840,245 558,277,393 1,023,252,344 1,080,513.835 555,347,284 496,448,941 25,425,176 24,005,172 Govt, se¬ S. hldgs. curity branch office located at 84 Broad¬ 2,231,881,921 „2,116,357,920 and Cash U. $ 2.265,689,164 resources Deposits loan Loans and bills Brooklyn. way, discounted— Undivided prof. the * M. Earl York bank Savings Bank that announces . BROWN of this month. FULTON —. of text pages de¬ "With be needs TRUST OF NEW BROADWAY 1002 Building) Condensed ,1 Cash York Cash U. Vault on MADISON (Bet. office 6th at 77th & Sts.) investors' reactions ____ Federal Reserve Bank ' „ 368,011.72] | *.12,590,122.73 ^$31,947,025.77 ... Deposit in other Banks Government Securities on S. State and Federal Other 846,255.44 18,142,635.88 Muhicipal Bonds Reserve Bank Securities Loans Secured Loans and of 531,715.49 Stock 120,000.00 L by Bills 2 446;196.59 Collateral-- ; Purchased— Overdrafts—Secured $2,717.63: Real and Estate York Bonds l Unsecured $493.50- 3,211.13 — ■ Real Estate (Branch Office) Accrued Interest and Other Resources 161,502.69 461,700.83 , Mortgages.. 83;503.19 50,000.00 __ —' 139,085.37 ; $38,943^941.06 LIABILITIES Due Depositors „ Dividend No. 175 Reserved for Taxes, Payable July Expenses 1, 1948 and :,i Capital —„— Undivided —_ $33,218;313.43 30,000.00 ; Contingencies 323,418.23 &00d;000.$0 • —— Y Surplus —- 1,372,209.40 _ giving out more information than they used to, and that this is all to the good as far as the cerned. the to investor is con¬ bank Avenue a considerable minority objects trend toward glossy new pictures and.expensive for¬ mat in annual report preparation, terming them a waste of money. A second group of about the same paper, size applauds the new format ten¬ —• perhaps not so much because of the added appeal to the respondent himself, but more Cash and due of a belief that it is ? thing for the less sophisti¬ from banks U. 51,756,940 Govt, S. • ity holdings CHASE THE John Adrian Larkin Chairman of the counted 59,263,764 13,885,284 Honorary Arthur J. Morris Chairman President Stanley A. Sweet Stephen C. Clark Charles J. Nourse Franklin Charles Scribner Charles S. McVeigh Henry W. B. Lord Bull > Charles.8. Brown E. Townsend Irvin , Walter Russell V. Crulkshank O'Donnell Iselin Frederick S. De Newbold Coursey Fales - & N. • Stillman Moseley, Jr. Morris Member Federal Reserve System and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 57,957.941 — Capital and surplus * CENTRAL TRUST * 13,865,284 tt HANOVER COMPANY, analysts and of the study stock brokers, trust with • Cash and Govt, S. curity 415,486,774 hldgs. 606,485,001 643,335,515 450,287,764 418,155,809 128.578,640 discounted..- 128,053,265 Capital, surplus undivid¬ and ed J. profits--- P. & MORGAN CO. NEW — Mar. 31/48 658.294,099 635,159,753 Ca»sh for stockhold¬ general is likely to satisfy their needs, the summary brings out. Nearly all the people inters in (Continued on-page 37) ♦. > 586,791,761 due Govt, S. secur¬ ity holdings— 143,282,710 Loans BANK 4,675,876,956 4,295,185,05„ Cash 1,725,308,801 U. S. bills 1,461,069,554 58,940,689 and ® 407,904,968 329,201,051 due se¬ hldgs. 440,410,477 415,757,180 529,393,201 432,570,769 9,610,356 8,855,503 bills Undivided prof. Sj! $ CITY NATIONAL BANK June 30,1948 *:■'*" NEW OF BANK YORK OF THE •$ •" .v o bonds. from U. S. 4,645,527,278 rill IP nd Total 1,461,486,097 Cash 1,289,461,435 ' ••• ' __ and Undivided prof. 1,275,144.519 32,010,807 * FARMERS Total TRUST $ banks. ; holdings * ■ - 23,959,474 —— U. S. *Govfc. security '23,344,322 Hi ''-Tr* CORN Si! tli EXCHANGE BANK June 30/48 Total resources Deposits . — fbanks U. 93,665,485 102,842,577 TRUST J , Mar. 31/43 S. Govt, 798,866,392 797,073,101 751,545,208 750,630,983 > 1 « 225,099,118 210,420,774 secur¬ ity holdings 470,252,197 486,340,985 Loans and bills dis¬ —_ Undivided .profits— , 14,937,213 Cash and due from ■ ' _.T—_ . 434.481,540 15,457,718 .... 142.413,048 Loans and bills dis¬ counted i <■;. COMPANY, NEW YORK a".,'"., du$ from. 342,789,239 hldgs. 425,865.413 CO., 101,847,428 109,656,253 Cash -and 338,121,358 - 30/48 Mar. 31/48 reserves——/ 135,297,052 Deposits 292,265,877 se- 'discounted—- YORK June \C 345,495,520 : 1.138,737.965 Undivided prof. 34,367,350 NEW 1,059,763*744 Loans-and bills Govt, • BANK CITY 1,169,109,532 1,088,388,999 Y due U. S. curity 1,308,134,577 $ banks- from . — 1,846,680,036 Loans and bills discounted resources Deposits hldgs. 1,788,510,291 ] , Mar. 31, 1948 $ > Govt, se- curity : COMPANY, YORK June 30,1948 4,507,009,250 ^f'och * MANHATTAN 4,850.380.fi2r Deposits s|: NEW Mar. 31,1948 $ Total resources 4,995,679,834 * 1,168,935,543 discounted— * $ " 1,317,248,763 banks- and Loans 1,405,956,363 57,389,075 v Mar. 31. 1948 1,360,694,693 Govt, curity COMPANY, YORK 1,515,183,172 resources from __ TRUST $> Total 1,257,487,343 profits. si: June 30, 1948 se¬ discounted Undiv. & NEW $ 1,203,034,945 & 18,382,864 * si: hldgs. 1,632,762,061 S.. Govt, curity 130,786,454 18,742,686 prof. Deposits banks. from U. 308,925,722 315,055,076 Loans and bills dis¬ Mar. 31, '43 4,551,331.951 - 143,930,630 from banks U. 504,159,814 166,453,828 Cash and due and in¬ nual preport issued resources— Deposits THE 4,154,108,627 resources Deposits including officers, Total * Total INCORPORATED, YORK June 30/48 CHEMICAL $ 410,236,261 se¬ Loans and bills YORK June 30, *48 $ 1.556.494,715 1,417,743,347 due banks from, U. fi¬ bankers .as vestment counselors and others in ten cities'.— prove that no an¬ ers OF • ; Mar. 31. 1948 1,554,241,363 1,403,010,546 Deposits Undivided BANK AND YORK $ fu¬ near BANK NEW June 30, 1948 Total resources *• NEW OF * nancial part DIRECTORS Edmund P; Rogers Board 59,302,764 Loans and bills dis¬ constructed in the * NATIONAL CITY - f > 50,929,970 counted ❖ 5,372,209.40 Interviews conducted OF 47,919,350 secur- and stockholders." cated $38,943,941.06 BOARD $ 230,295,423 234,396,113 194,572,786 198,452,741 resources Deposits ture. dencies because has and. will occupy However, vociferous and good 2,000,000.00 — Profits the ref are sophisticated : New annual to declares, "there seems to be gen¬ eral agreement that companies New of which port content and format, the study ___$ •___ in redesigned to meet the people who really want dig into it, and who know what like 'surplus7 and 'reserve' mean." Commenting on the large AVE. 78th of terms Statement, June 30, 1948 _• Deposit CO., Mar. 31/48 $ Total pub¬ lic in July 1833, it was the first savings bank in Greenwich Vil¬ lage which then was a separate community some distance re¬ this to YORK RESOURCES Cash in & June 30/48 the When HARRIMAN YORK NEW bank began its service to the other accountants can (Singer * BROTHERS the is observing its 115th anni¬ versary and then offering * Harkness, President of Greenwich New Mar. 31, 1948 $ the — 149 s 1,514,719,240 resources discounted— pile of arrangement," the 16th Street, is near the 14th Street and executive salaries the last scribing the company's products, Foundation's report observes, "a center, and a third office on 57th being labeled "least interesting" policies, problems, personalities self-selected public is left for the Street near 5th Avenue is op¬ full-scale annual report, which posite the new branch building COMPANY April 12, 1948 $ to — —for the COMPANY, YORK NEW large stock¬ materials a /-> I :- 63,848,493 BANKERS of the Union more of South Africa some V 870,076,684 doing in promoting world trade. The financial position and outlook for re¬ /. discounted— showing an exhibit by Farrell Lines in recognition of the work that steamship company is lining earnings, dividends, general com¬ 660,500,757 1,158,058,374 . interested in, or unable to under¬ stand, detailed statistics and ac¬ primarily avid an 680,832,855 1,123,217,847 se¬ hldgs. is Street port goes on to say, "since he has a complete financial report on ret moved from the northern bound¬ paid good money to get his stock quest." ary of New York City. From its certificates, he is naturally anx¬ Along with such a letter would humble beginning in a small vil¬ ious to get dividends, and he is go a condensed income and i sur¬ lage store, the bank has grown to interested to • know what * the plus statement arid a balance be k $265 million institution with chances are that 'his. company' sheet, in order to comply with three modern oifices in Manhattan will remain strong enough to stock exchange regulations. A sec¬ serving moie than 175,000 depos¬ safeguard his capital and become ond document advocated as a re¬ itors. "Throughout its history, the profitable enough to pay the same sult of the survey would be some-bank has endeavored to make sav¬ or a bigger — return on his thing in the nature of a company ing as convenient as possible for money. To him these are simple newsletter telling — again in sim¬ the public," Mr. Harkness said. He questions that can be answered in ple narrative prose — what the notes that "for this purpose, the a paragraph, and he says he will company i$ doing, -including new bank's offices have always beer, be satisfied if his company gives products, new personalities, new located at major shopping centers him these answers. » ■ problems, plus a running account of the city." The main office is the "If the company gives him.more of corporation's month-toat Broadway and 36th Street; an¬ complicated tables prepared by month history. simpler of summary for the 50 to of shareholders who are not 75% "not panies he Entitled "What People Want to Know About Your Company," the report is information of banks. Govt, Loans and bills 48th at due Undivided prof. the on S. 2,760,369,125 2,332;835,818 2,352,216,496 and curity The Colonial Trust Company of Foundation's holder Hennessy are be¬ ing published by the Foundation. 1 $ 2,799,933,625 resources Deposits from , findings of the Total U. u ferred to by Mr. to T : Mar. 31, 1948 1948 $ in¬ BANK ITEM ONE OF YORK June 30, Cash of 'overpaid corporation presidents' to talk his language." COMPANY TRUST NEW the .. - . GUARANTY Exchange Bank & of New York an¬ Hayner, Assistant Secretary, AssistantVice-President. may the 4:.: vV.i Bankers the promotion of Silas A. nounces went . * Trust Company vey asked for more details, and project, con¬ on to ducted by Elmo Roper, disclosed their individual requests for added information that they would like say, "Part of that tlfe average shareholder has to see included in annual reports the large sums little interest in corporation finan¬ embraced such topics as details on of money now cial, data, only 11% of those re¬ contingent liabilities; consolidated being spent on sponding in the survey mention¬ income statements and balance company an¬ ing balance sheet items as things sheets going back ten years; rec¬ nual reports they need to know about in order onciliation of the surplus and re¬ might well be to keep track of an investment. serve accounts; existence and ex¬ directed into V "A third of the respondents say other channels Danlel J' Hennessy they try first to find out about tent of hidden reserves; the back if we wish to overcome misunder¬ company earnings," the report history of the company's earnings etc. * standing and suspicion of busi¬ avows, "but another 27% can In order to satisfy the run-ofness. • : name nothing they first look for. the-mine stockholders who crave "This survey shows that the Asked about other things, beside present type of annual report earnings, which attract their in¬ simple, easy-to-read information should be replaced by a different terest, only about half the stock¬ and at the same time not to de¬ prive the more sophisticated in¬ method of reporting," said Mr. holders can name anything at all." vestors of the accounting facts and Hennessy, who in addition to serv¬ An appraisal of the value of re¬ figures that they prize, the reporl ing the Foundation as President ports brought out "no great en¬ recommends and that* the Chairman of the board is present thusiasm," the Foundation's report practice of sending all stockhold¬ Vice-President and a director of declares, revealing that 40% of ers the same the Jamaica Water type o-f annual reporl Supply Co., the total stockholder body profess should be reconsidered. "For at Jamaica, N. Y. "Otherwise it is to find no utility in the brochures least half of the stockholders, and impossible to meet the varying they receive from their current needs of small stockholders, large companies, .while 60%. accorded possibly 75% of them," the docu¬ ment advises, "it might be more investors, bankers, trustees, in¬ them a "moderately useful" rat¬ effective public relations tech¬ vestment counselors, financial an¬ ing. nique to send them annually or alysts, company employees and Concluding from such evidence semi-annually a one-page state¬ other groups." that the run-of-the-mjne, stock¬ ment The signed by the President, out¬ The 'tI j CAPITALIZATIONS know; thing into V'r> , and OFFICERS, ETC. REVISED- ability material." source NEW any simple and statements about what company j NEW BRANCHES find wastebasket stools," the Foundation's report on the findings observes. "It is nei¬ ther good reading matter nor good for can't throw present shareholders, he believable -Y,: —— by the bulk of respondents. among survey to find out what he wants to companies, t ionwide n a g'V-"";/ CONSOLIDATIONS questions answered, there may be some danger of 'report indiges¬ tion.' If he has to look too far according to Daniel J, Hennessy, Controllership Foundation, New York. Basing his President of the News About Banks or which he opens the annual report and his desire to get only two improve stockholder and worker- Most annual reports of the general type now being issued by cor¬ porations fail in their purpose of informing the people to whom they are Thursday, July 8, 1948 new factory looks like may not give these things a few brief., moments oi passing attention. But, remem¬ bering the limited interest with Reports statements CHRONICLE where the or of FINANCIAL charts and pictures, to. .shqw company's dollar goes and Advocates Changes in Type of Stockholder & - 1,085,986 9,008,433 1,165,976 counted 8,856,407 Undivided profits— 78,963,531 4,382,045 73,765,375 3,974,71^ ,' : Volume 168 :j THE PUBLIC TRUST r; Number 4714 NATIONAL CO. BANK NEW OF 1 „ , 539,509,389 549,381,107 Deposits —w 502,072,736 512,590,115 Cash and due from ,:, Cash j U. 8. 127,191,132 116,996,457 'j, ' 239,678,783,^268,882,604 iZf-C'i, jGovfc ' se- curity holdings , Loans and bills discounted . .. Undivided profits.-:' COMMERCIAL OF r.', t •> . BANK " . $25;par 'yalu^£poinihpn /stc^k/;:at; $5C) per/share,;Johnspn^S Co,, ,98,126,577 103,035.794 , of the First National Bank and; purchased the entire olfering of 4,000 shares of the bank's 214{274,323 the underwriters. were Loans and bills dis- % '•"•t coUhted \- v ' > STATES / " - TRUST June It".' J. Total Deposits • * OF '*'■ V; 'v' 142.608,437 20,904,201 27,883,839 69,716,247 — 69,894,524 Undivided 32.397.327 1,326,944 :)t GRACE 1,281,450 # NATIONAL BANK, NEW due 80,742,820 U. 29,157,010 44,888,820 1943 in TRUST "otal vided profits 4,061,951 c« s!s resources 3,972,581 Deposits Cash TRUST NEW COMPANY Total resources U. OF ity 30/48 $38,943,941 Deposits Cash and due ...banks S. Govt, $40,243,734 « secur-f THE 1,161,502 1,372,209 profits— 12,550,224 * PHILADELPHIA J ity holdings 75,872,684 12,663,274 33,992,837 profits I Loans "r>d discounts Undivided 76,547,948 Surplus and undivided 34,546,274 31,947,025 103,194,389 counted from| „_ U. 107,085,933 Loans and bills dis¬ Dec. 31/47 33,218,313 70,469,744 secur¬ holdings NATIONAL BANK, PHILADELPHIA, PA. 1,265,361 June 1,357,471 30/48 * Total resources Deposits Cash and due from «__ J. HENRY SCHRODER CORPORATION, BANKING NEW YORK banks June 30.'48 Total Mar. 31.'*P $76,867,743 $65,749.18«' 54,234,094 45,512,523 7,407,920 resources 6,689,437 Deposits Cash and G"""t. S. S. counted 38,266,979 NEW Cash COMPANY, Deposits YORK Govt, ity holdings 18,185,832 6,731,681 profits 2,622,339 CLINTON :Js 2,619,844 :■! TRUST NEW COMPANY, Mar. 31/48 $26,247,301 $25,835,927 24,396,344 24.010,803 resources — due from banks 7,257,230 6,664,167 10,697,023 6,854,572 6,431,350 842,846 834,008 $ ■ NATIONAL COMPANY BANK NEW OF v -ity holdings^;— .* 38,172,004 -« 79,271,234 74,799,856 30,951,010 profits— " 701,035 counted 25,389,428 685,272 * Cash and Apr. 12, '48 $57,501,545 $50,603,800 due from. 41.208.4C0 ^ : # ter of quar¬ 1948 and the first, second, third and fourth calendar quarters Net sales of these com-^—;/■- of 1947. panies for the first quarter of 1948 the first were 1.1%. 171,354,711 7,890,061 8,268,117 i\i • ;k of W. Turner H. Fred Wil¬ Vice-President, A, Swaney as Assist¬ Assistant Russel Cashier of of Bank nounced the Federal Chicago June $25,186,392,000, with $21,102,486,000 Re¬ was an¬ 30 of quarter 19.4%. W. Vice-President, and 1947, of 1947 was Mr. Turner has been Vice-President and is in charge of the check collection functions of the bank. He has been : with: the • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago since 1918, He been in charge of the credit of 711,695,000, reported 781 survey, were first increase responding 1947 of 1947 of $3,783,586,000, sales in the first over the When -an of 1948 decreased using these data indication cor- first quarter sales quarter 1.9%. quarter $20,438,179,000, 21.2% of first quarter of 1947. Compared the fourth quarter sales in with manufacturing with an increase of 13.6% sales of $3,268,375,000 in the over $25,566,992,000, decrease of 1.5%. a sales in 1948 of Assistant when quarter of 1948 decreased One hundred and seventeen other companies engaged in retail trade reported sales in the first quarter of 1948 amounting to $3,- the first Of the 1,070 corporations in the corporations on for an' increase sales amounted to there compared Compared with the fourth quarter by Clarence W. Avery, Chairman of the Board has business of some of these reports are for 1947 in having seasonal variations of sales. of $20,663,717,000, sales companies or industrial J. P. MORGAN & CO. INCORPORATED NEW YORK • ^holdings, —23,636,290 Loans and bilis ."-/pavable i_2—_ ' 2,180,559 Surplus • and undiv. profits'——Ll-—8,202,604 .. . 9,479,300 : -• - 23,526,000 ■; • 2,136,600 ' 8,180,500 Condensed Statement of Condition June 30,1948 President 22.032 0°8 21.618.80.5 15.333,774 ASSETS HENR Y C. AL EXANDER 15,260,367 R. AT KIN Vice-President - RAUL C\ CABOT President State Street BERNARD S. CAR TER President Morgan & Cie. Incorporated Philadelphia, CHARLES S. CHEST ON Cash Hand and Due from Banks. on State and H. P. DAVISON Pennsylvania Law School. He engaged in the active practice cf 308,925,722.32 Municipal \Bonds and Notes 12,266,008.61 Stock of the Federal Reserve Bank Other Bonds and Securities of Morgan Grenfell Sp 1,200,000.00 (including Shares Limited Co. and Morgan if Cie. Incorporated) 12,510,836.96 Loans and Bills Purchased COLLYER Company He attended $166,453,827.61 United States Government Securities Accrued Interest, Accounts JOHN L. President The B. E. Goodrich 143,282,710.41 Receivable, etc... Banking House 1,972,776.32 3,000,000.00 Liability of Customers on Letters of Credit and Acceptances $ CHARLES D. DICKEY until War World he served as I, RALPH IV. Re¬ Officer and after which he dent and men's Cashier National nounced the ;■ Deil-y, of of the Vice-President GUSTAV METZMAN a , Vice-President regret on July 2 of Herbert W. Vice-Chairman of the * - Vice-President JUNIUS S. MORGAN an¬ with as Company TV. A. MITCHELL , ALFRED P. SLOAN, JR. Chairman General Motors Accounts $586,791,760.83 3,951,891.63 Acceptances Outstanding and Letters'of \Credit Issued.. Capital. .. 8,807,759.74 .t 20,000,000,00 i.. Surplus . . — 20,000,000.00 18,742,686.39 - $658,294,098.59 E. TAPPAN STANNA RD President Kcnnccott * ■ Sj»v •• < • ' Copper Corporation ' '' yi/rjZ? »* K fr•' y- ;/;• >;•■>/ JAMES L. William J. Wallace has been ap- pointed an investment officer in the personal trust department of National Bank and Trust Company of Pittsburgh, it is learned from the "Post Gazette'1 of that city. 34,396,121.01 Payable, Reserve for Taxes, etc.... Official Checks Outstanding Corporation , • Mellon $552,395,639.82 Deposits. Undivided Profits. Director. ' ' Railroad resignation bank effective July 1. Mr, Goodall will continue to serve the bank LIABILITIES THOMAS S. LAMONT Trust Philadelphia 8,682,216.36 $658,294,098.59 Morgan & Cie. Incorporated Trades¬ and 125,543.38 Chairman Vice-Presi¬ Bank 8,807,759.74. GALLAGHER President New York Central E. Prepayments N. D. JAY j,oined the bank. He is President of the Edgemont Township School Board, a member of the Philadel¬ phia Club and other organizations: Howard Less Vice-President during Naval a Vice-President The paper indicated/, adds in its June 28 issue, that Mi;/ Wallace, prior to joining the bir,hfe THOMSON Chairman Finance v I United States Government securities carried at $18,953,877.54 in the above statement arc pledged to qualify for fiduciary powers, to secure public monies as required by law, and for other purposes. Committee Hartford Fir* Insurance Company JOHN S, ZINSSER \ jtMiriaafi- 'SkQtpt: or in Chairman 1. C. an possible profits, it should be noted in $16,866,992,000.. Compared that • 53,591,205 as trends with the fourth quarter sales DIRECTORS 22,120,193 53,464,033 , The Securities and Exchange Commission released on June 10, sales data for 1,070 corporations showing the net sales (including operating revenues) of these corporations for the first calendar 173,763.616 ♦ serve San on 118',065,032 profits— as with of Crocker , 1 37,352,283 bills — , Undivided son, cisco. 116,864,125 and •1 payable the He will, 150,810,702 Harvard, class of 1904, and is a graduate of the University of the . 16,803,261 U. S; Govt: security . 24,456,179 .• 47,914,055 - "banks ' 441,519,067 secur. Mar. 31/48 -« TRUST, COMPANY, June 30, '48 resources Deposits Apr. 12, '48 $ due from holdings Loans LOUIS 423,401,310 409,024,975 _• Govt, having at¬ tained the age of 65 retired on July 1 under the bank's pension plan. Mr. Brock has been with as COUNTY BROOKLYN, N. Y. Total ST. Vice-President funds Goodall ' KINGS S. secur¬ Company 35,278,309 Loans and bills dis¬ Undivided banks U. TRUST & : v, w"June 30/48 Mar. 31/48 Total resburcesuli/i-145,900,832 143,628,618 Deposits 137,966,394 135,634,656 .banks ————I. U. S. Govt; secur. IN 456,025,543 — John W. Brock, Trust Officer of Title Bank and Trust Com¬ YORK Cash and due from ' r Land serve and undi¬ profits— # , Sc June 30, *48 Deposits ; * BANK resources Cash and become the Listed Corporations' Sales During the First Quarter of 1948 27,856,775 Investment Corporation which counted STERLING 30,547,998 • . Bank First National Bank of San Fran¬ serving Reports 426,652.281 NATIONAL from counted law Loans and bills dis¬ vided SEC » . 1 of National merged 571,430,086 438,146,895 * total after Bank Crocker later National to started his Aug. 1, 1904 $ _• Govt, 10,991,007 secur¬ ity holdings and municioal bonds- Surplus bills payable —• Vndiv. profits—, FIRST National institution for 44 years. GEOR G E W'HlTNEY 30,'43 the bank since 1920. YORK June 30/48 Govt, 629,772,380 __ i 90,224,477 holdings pany, undi¬ and First Francisco which First on se- and Loans and bills dis¬ 19,272,319 6,266,280 * S. Govt, S. Francisco San $ secur¬ counted U, April 12, '48 curity. -hldgs-.. 1,125,745,357 1,097,986,763 Loans Crocker old 107.049,148 8,416.475 Loans and bills dis¬ Cash and ity Capital 9,706,294 Deposits I CHICAGO 30, '48 Bank The Murphy career the due banks from U. OF Mr* banking with On June 30, Daniel" J. Murphy retired as Vice-President of the 2,275,210,573 2,193,605,354 2,082,217,706 2,002,333,256 —_ and panies. war. * Chairman Executive Committee 94,597,034 — and due S. Mar. 31/48 due from banks Total Cash OF 111.333,405 resources banks $34,984,975 $35,169,650 29,973,233 30,207,733 COMPANY s U. vided resources- Deposits $ I NATIONAL $ • 8,791,615 3,275,853 Deposits June 30,'48 Surplus i 157.858.969 TRUST * TRUST resources S. June . * 4> ILLINOIS TRUST CO. AND charge of bond drives in in ury the Crocker Investment held for many yedrs. He will also continue his membership on the boards of directors of a number of San Francisco industrial com¬ Prior thereto he with the United States Treas¬ R. C. LEFFLYGWELL 9,103,788 June 3,280,070 SCHRODER U. it BANK PHILADELPHIA undi¬ profits and # .. in 1946. Michigan during the to Company, positions which he has $ 150,793.244 PROVIDENT Tofal Cash " CONTINENTAL . pany and Swaney representative Murphy will also continue 736,044,039 7-09,026,202 669,566,082 641,156,370 profits— 11,915,025 * Total '1 secur¬ — the Fidelity arid Deposit Co. since 1910. 30,736,005 9,897,939 counted and with He has Prior to of the Re¬ Mr. Committee ARTHUR M. ANDERSON ity holdings vided been associated secur¬ Loans and bills dis¬ Surplus was a mem¬ Maryland bar. Mr. Executive Crocker family as Vice-President of the Provident Securities Com¬ Michigan and has been with the Hoyt, who has resigned, is ber of the Loans and bills dis¬ Undivided Mr. Bank's bank since 229,846,169 246,264,191 Govt, 27. June in 1945. manager Department. the Smith, who succeeds Sidney M. ity holdings—— 295,568,929 251,995,942 from due banks U. U. of was the Mar. 31/48 s !.•! its organization of the bank. 72,951,493 Govt, S. YORK June $ from due noted in: the Balti¬ .was "Sun? member of manage the various interest of the ident, it ant Mar. 31/48 charge of the as a been manager of the Bank and Public Relations Department since is BANK 280,447,829 274,845,657 257,030,361 25U,xJo,»lo , and banks FULTON 30/48 Mary¬ nounced by Frank A. Bach, Pres¬ Appointment PHILADELPHIA $ -:,i ap¬ Mr. Mot- NATIONAL COMPANY, June undi¬ and present he of loaning officer however, continue was a 23 and the board of directors of the bank. search as EXCHANGE 4ND Company department, (119) for several * years, and was in charge of fiscal agency functions during the war. Mr. Wilson has that, he private trusts. 21,335,762 CORN counted capacity his Deposit land at Baltimore in * Loans and bills dis¬ Surplus Executive Vice- a * 42,407,282 1925. trustee of the War¬ Institution for Savings, Boston ren secur- of which President. as is also * contract department has been an¬ of :.{■ Bank Vice-Presi- a which until 22,856,788 24,728,853 Govt, S. ity holdings,— - v: . director in and a number of from banks • • ... Boston, a became served rey 92,519,756 Cash and he pointment $ 95,606,689 Deposits - has Mar. 31/48 105,966,154 resources 1929 -ient and in YORK $ . Total •.. Senior; Exec¬ National of elected President, * June 30/48 i Bank was In 25.599.807 profits,. r Motley, and Atlas he Loans and bills dis¬ counted : % ■. and - Vice-President of the Web¬ tional secur- ity holding—— $.■■ < Boston,. was appointed its Presi¬ dent onsluly I. In 1902, Mri Mot-' ley^^ joined^^ the ihyestnient firn^/of Curtis fc Sanger, Boston^ becom¬ ing a partner in 1911. He later joined the Webster a?id Atlas Na¬ «: • « • 30/481 Mar1.: 31/48 • due from G°vt. S. ster 110,043,506 111,511,340 and ibanks U. COMPANY J", . 141,322,296 *7' resources Cash '■ ;; ' NEW YORK-" »■» i -fr ' "f *"< ' * UNITED N ■i Edward | utive ♦ The- ejection of. E. Milton Smith as Vice-President of the Fidelity Total 5l;277{417 52,643,856 13;832^09r' I3V710;002 UndiVided^ijrofitSrt' , 4> , more ■ have secur-!Vi?.'^<..<y,•»-t%***■' holdine^—— « ^ru^Compan^ .of Bayshw/ei Mar. 31/48 . ity # . 31,455,454 V l,854,052 It is announced that stockhold-. ers 1 'tbanks U. -S;"-G-Tvt. ^ ,, 128,206,836 .28,754,785 1,735,531 — ( AND YORK Deposits —';/.■! 178.357,126 188,093,289 HCash and due from ' '/• ;\ '51,240,462^ 50,567,851 . ■■ Undivided profits__ 8,187,973 NEW resourcesdi;'ii:^06,723,750 Total; 62,590,067 ;57;277,948 128,027,889 i NATIONAL captain in the Army Air a , „ Govt^ secur- r June 30,'48 . S, ity holdings— counted * COMPANY TRUST ! FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Forces. Loans and bills dis¬ * I U> .. 8,567,038; ; Y, and due from banks i 146,573.439 135,597.267 —* N. was Mar.'31/48 I, ' I " y -1' ' , 'r ; .•» . - v "l J C>r /. Total resources^,* 230,418,156 229,830,132 Deposits 212,737,220 212,545,915 resources—— banks COMPANY, June 30/48 $ " - TRUST / BROOKLYN, , Mar<31/48 $ Total BROOKLYN AND YORK June 30,"48 COMMERCIAL & THE Member Federal Reserve System Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation groups THE (120) 24: COMMERCIAL continue' Stocks and Bonds How to Buy preferred stocks are more likely to be maintained than those on continue to rise, and to rise may into 4) from page (Continued stocks noticeably for several more years. the common stock. Even if not They would like an investment that would protect them against maintained, they will be restored before dividends on common stock. the? worst effects of either of these Thus Investments known convertible preferred stocks convertible bonds are. a partial possibilities. as* and the ferred much not does that of as value market stock of pre¬ decline as stock al¬ common though it will probably go below that of bonds. On the other hand, To understand the convertible if prices continue to rise, compion preferred' stock you must know stocks will tend to rise in value, how company earnings .are dis¬ and in that event the fact that the tributed. Owners of the securities stock is convertible into common of a company are paid in the fol¬ stock will raise the value of con¬ lowing order. Bondholders' in¬ vertible preferred. Convertible terest must be paid first or the bonds also perform the same func¬ company will be threatened with tion, although at present there are bankruptcy. The preferred stock¬ not hedge. The is stock of return resolving your uncertainty as to whether the price level is going to move up Last to generally fixed. but most favored when times are good and earnings are be> paid, are have stockholders ferred cared for. and it If do to courage hold¬ to whatever other provides partial two-way have you lest the will be proportion, or If you prices rise arid common in value, you can and put the money up some bonds cash. or , sell some of the bond and in¬ can vest the money in common stocks propitious level. Thus, again, as they eventually will, you will be among the first to profit. It takes courage, however, to follow such a program as this. It means you must do the opposite of what most investors are doing and you will be tempted to go with the crowd. Furthermore, it may take at more a when stocks start to rise even or waiting before of rather your of patient years you reap contrary policy. least year—until the one 1929 crash—before the wisdom of your action would have been manifest. Meanwhile you would have would action have become ap¬ parent. Invest In? to AND TRUST COMPANY STATEMENT CONDITION June 30,1948 RESOURCES . U. S. Government Securities State and • • t • . . . . . $127,191,132.24 . . Municipal Securities • I 239,678,782.93 13,330,001.68 7,231,439.78 Other Securities 146,573,439.01 Loans and Discounts Customers' 1,269,864.76 Liability for Acceptances. Stock of the Federal Reserve Bank • 660,000.00 . Banking Houses ..... • • • bonds, • 2,229,896.94 • 1,120,434.84 Accrued Interest Receivable 224,397.17 Other Assets in generalities aboutHhe merits stocks, and convertible preferred stocks and bonds. Now the question is: What the common industries best to invest $539,509,389.35 LIABILITIES in few a industry other you depress stocks. Finally, you may be interested in a good income regardless of some risk. Fairly consistent per¬ formers in the past have been the better companies in the utility, in¬ food, surance, soap, oil, propri¬ etary drug and tobacco industries. Investments in the steel, non-fer¬ metals, and railroad equip¬ ment industries may earn and rous investment trust of course The has few disadvantages. a Sizable and manage¬ included in the purchase costs for marketing ment are price. You will find also that it is expensive to shift your invest¬ ments from, say, the building ma¬ terials group to the oil group. And you do not have the fun of and watching picking investments; someone own your else is do¬ ing it all for you. If the investment trust idea ap¬ better dividends in good to you after you have times, but their earnings can fall peals off alarmingly fast if economic weighed the advantages and dis¬ pay even obvious that many have not been cata¬ It should be industries logued, but by looking into the records, which we shall tell you about, you can classify some of them yourself. The Advantages of general should you limit watch them 'more can you a makes yourself to investments in a few companies in a few industries, so that recommend panies with diversified interests. For example, duPont de Nemours chemicals, nylons, fertiliz¬ the Investment Trust In ask your broker to good one. You may gain some of the ad¬ vantages of the investment trust and still preserve your freedom to move' cheaply if you invest in one of the nation's really big com¬ advantages, conditions change. Possibly you will ob¬ ject to this idea of a few invest¬ ments bn the ground that it is gun-powders, and owns a quarter of General Motors. The big insurance companies also have their funds widely invested. Fire insurance companies have large holdings in common stocks and casualty companies favor fixeders, income investments. putting all your eggs into one basket. There of is, course, a What happy medium betweeri too great concentration and too great di¬ Should Know About the Bonds You Buy By now, you may have picked The dan¬ four or five industries and are in not being ready to look for one to three versity of investment. ger of diversity lies able to watch your You investments; companies in each industry to in¬ of concentration is that vest in. We shall also assume that you may be so unfortunate as to you intend to buy both bonds and choose an unprofitable or less stocks. Let us look at bonds first profitable company. If you are because they are usually consid¬ unwilling to try to strike this ered safer. Bonds are a debt, and happy medium - yourself, or are the stipulated interest must be in. aghast by this time at the number paid on them on pain of bank¬ All that can be done here is to of critical decisions you have to ruptcy. You will want some of make a few suggestions about the make, there is an easier way out your savings in bonds. The safest industries to choose. If you expect for you." It is provided by com¬ bond today is the short-term (one that the price level will continue panies known as investment year) government bond. A gov¬ up for some time, then avoid in¬ trusts. ernment bond of somewhat longer dustries whose prices are likely One kind of investment trust maturity that is especially recom¬ to be regulated or controlled. buys a wide variety of bonds, mended by trust companies be¬ Their profits may be squeezed common stocks and preferred cause of its many advantages is thin between rising costs and stocks and has a staff of experts the Series G. Although the in¬ price ceilings. Railroads had been to watch those securities carefully. come on these is low, remember having a difficult time until re¬ The investment trust will sell you that you are buying them for safe¬ cently, because the Interstate some of its own shares of stock. ty, not income. In fact, so long as Commerce Commission did not These represent a participation in you are buying bonds for safety, increase their rates as fast as their its broad list of investments* If buy only the best. There is no costs went up. Public utilities the trust's selection of securities substitute for quality, and quality faced the same problem. Choose alone provides the protection that is good, you should receive an instead industries the prices of adequate return. If the invest¬ you are seeking. whose goods or services may be We shall assume that the other ment trust makes poor choices, raised without delay and without the opposite will happen. Actu¬ bonds you buy are issued by in¬ curtailing the demand apprecia¬ ally it is more likely to do well dustries, railroads, and utilities. bly. The automobile industry is are certain other funda¬ than badly because it has expert There a good example. Oil is another. advice. Also, even if a few of the mental facts you should know If you expect the price level to securities held by the investment about any bond that you buy. Sev¬ be fairly stable, then choose in¬ trust prove disappointing, others eral of these will be named and dustries that make goods for will probably do better than an¬ discussed briefly. which there is now a pent-up de¬ (a) What does the company ticipated. You will thus have the mand, such as building materials, advantages of diversity. make? How big and how old is automobiles, and perhaps railroad the company? Has it a long his¬ A second type of investment equipment. Also desirable are in¬ Did it trust stock gives you the oppor¬ tory of financial success? dustries enjoying a rapid growth, come through the previous de¬ tunity to invest in one or more of such as the chemical and propri¬ satisfactorily? Is the several industries. Suppose you pression etary drug industries, or indus¬ believe that the building mate¬ management reliable and alert? Is tries whose raw materials are the company still growing? D» rials industry has a great future scarce, such as oil or non-ferrous not be misled by the company's ahead of it but have no idea metals. name. For example, duPont is far which building materials com¬ First of all, look over the economy of the nation. You should pick the businesses which are likely to do well in the future you foresee and which are not too risky for you to be involved Main Office, 37 Broad Street Cash and Due from Banks to this point in? i OF up of are of NEW YORK CONDENSED talked have Furthermore, you may place. invest to like The Public National Bank its carefully. What Are the Best Industries We you would; they would sell the stock and buy something else in uncertainty and higher taxes tend you you v i r t u a 1 ly have been in should actually riot ex¬ groups—say oils, tobaccos, auto¬ mobiles and chemicals—-and ob¬ pect too much in the way of war tain similar diversification, as profits. Stocks may be profitable as the benefit of expert in the preparatory period for war well but once war is under way, fear, guardianship, in each of these. and had day-to-day doubts. And bought stocks in 1932, would have waited about a before the wisdom of that men as the past. You should pick indus¬ tries whose plants are scattered many had be may "drafted" the gains Had you sold some of your stocks in 1928, you would have waited at industries 1948 Thursday, July 8, CHRONICLE Thus, if a crash takes you by sur¬ prise, you have saved some of the profits of the pleasant pros¬ perity.. • ' v ■ . pn the other hand, suppose that prices fall. While your high-grade bonds may decline, your common stocks will fall sharply. Later you year proportion rigidly. rather select, prices fall, the dividends on stocks you so, wise to hold to this assuming that it is high-grade, is thai; common rise. prices stock, in half and been preferred your into bonds lest prices fall, money Now the advantage of the convertible divide to ings between bonds and common stocks. You may put half your the common stockhold¬ ers;, They get a big share of what is left after bondholders and pre¬ large, is down or FINANCIAL short-term months Another way of preferred on from which ones to choose. earnings are large enough. rate good many paid be will dividends holders' next if to go then sell & the danger . $9,625,000.00 Capital 12,375,000.00 Surplus. 22,000,000.00 Undivided Profits Dividend . $30,567,038.28 8,567,038.28 . . 275,000.00 Payable July 1,1948 Unearned Discount • • • 862,576.71 • Reserved for Interest,Taxes, Contingencies I Less: Own in Portfolio Other Liabilities Deposits. . < 4,040,241.62 . . 2,263,034.91 1,458,117.39 233,679.18 . • • # • • • • ♦ • • 502,072,736.17 $539,509,389.35 United States are pledged to Government Securities carried at $8,933,338.89 secure purposes as to fall, keep stocks and invest in short-term high-grade bonds, pre¬ public and trust deposits, and for other required or permitted by law* If you see labor troubles ahead, such as occurred in 1946, it is wise to In of V. CLEARING HOUSE ASSOCIATION 25 Offices Located CORPORATION costs view of industries Throughout Greater New York ,, which relatively small. the growing strength some investors confine themselves such industries. fall the tobacco, drug, food, beverage, chemical, utility and oil industries. almost entirely to In this category you anticipate another war you should consider then such wartime favorites Y in are organized labor in recent times, soon, FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE in invest labor .If MEMBER: N. from sumably governments. $3,721,152.30 Acceptances If you expect prices away as airplane manufacturing, automobiles, steel, non-ferrous metals, oils and bear You should, however, in mind two probable char¬ chemicals. acteristics of the next war. Parts destro3'ed and of America may be panies have You may buy the best prospects. stock in the build¬ ing materials group of an invest¬ ment trust. This group may in¬ clude the stocks of 10 to 20 com¬ panies, say two lumber companies, interested more than in automobiles in gunpowder; Canada Dry Ginger Ale is not just a soft drink Bendix Aviation makes of automobile^ parts, and no washing machines; company; a wide - variety and Seaboard Air Line is a rail- plywood road. You cannot guess intelli¬ paint company, two or gently as to your company's fu¬ three roofing companies, a hard¬ ture, including its ability to pay ware company, a lock company, its debts, unless you know the an¬ two or three furnace companies, swers to some of these questions. and a few bathroom fixture com¬ three cement concerns, a company, a At this point you may be say¬ panies. Such an investment will give you more diversification than ing that all these questions are you could otherwise afford with very fine, but after all where cant the answers to them be found. your modest savings or watch You have only the vaguest idea over with your limited time and knowledge of such matters. If where to look. You do not know one of the cement companies, as the names of the best companies an example, began to experience earnings, v. the investment trust experts who are watching for such misfortunes would prob¬ poor ably spot the trouble long before in some chosen. of the industries you have You will find the answer question and others in pon¬ derous security manuals. These manuals are not so difficult to use to this • Volume as Number 4714 168 and imagine, may you you should learn where they are to be They found and how to use them. contain the most reliable informa¬ make available, readily information the Since or is that tion dollars, you many you save may should seek it out. There are two such publish that houses major One is Moody's Invest¬ manuals. Service; the other is Standard and Poor's Corporation. Moody's puts out a Railroad Manual, a Utilities Manual, an In¬ dustrials Manual, a Governments Manual, and a Bank and Finance Manual. Moody's manuals are published once a year but are supplemented with semi-weekly loose-leaf circulars that are alpha¬ betized and periodically indexed. The circulars carry quarterly earnings statements and any news ors item the company. world posted on what inter¬ ested financial experts think of it. Both Moody's and Standard and Poor's have rating systems for bonds. These ratings appear in manuals, and also in monthly pocket-sized bond booklets for quick reference. Although the ratings indicate the experienced judgment of the manual com¬ panies' experts, they should be taken only as a guide and not to the a up to loose-leaf sections to replace the old ones. these services are the your bond had no its yield of $50. But bonds usually do have a maturity. A bond due in 30 years paying $3 a year, and selling for $69 has a 5% yield. (Incidentally, although bonds are quoted in hundreds, they are best bought in $1,000 units.) The matter of yield is complicated, and the simplest thing to do is to consult one of 6%, since $3 is 6% be would expen¬ sold for $50, and year, "Barron's" ron's" bond's each does this. your com¬ large public library, it also may have a set. If you wish to look over the names of the companies in vari¬ ous industries, turn to the list of companies by industries in the blue-paged section in the middle of Moody's "Industrials." Next look up the company whose bonds you are thinking of buying. The manual will tell you when the company was founded, what it makes, what subsidiaries it has, or a the who officers are, when the company had its great¬ est growth, and how fast it is growing. The last can be deter¬ mined by looking at the com¬ pany's earnings statements for back years. The manuals contain a principal of facts by which you can mass judge the whether it what as you of the other facts some are and see good, better, or supposed. But company is than worse to know about the bond you want considering? (b) Does the company ever have difficulty in earning the in¬ terest it must regularly pay bond¬ are you holders? tion. That is To manual the •number of fixed times Notice earned. were crucial ques¬ a it, look up in the figure showing the answer charges especially this in bow well the company did If you check the last depression. this on in the older manuals for years 1929-33 and find the com¬ pany-did even moderately well, it is a good omen. a senior se¬ in case of bank¬ or receivership, it will have a prior claim on the com¬ pany assets. Since you are buying bonds .for safety, you will pre¬ sumably want only a senior se¬ curity, or at least a bond that is virtually that. You can determine (c) Is curity? ruptcy your If bond so, those facts from the manuals. In¬ cidentally, along with bonds you often see "debentures" men¬ tioned. A bond is usually secured may by mortgage a some on specific whereas property of the company, a debenture is merely the unse¬ of Thus debt cured any a company. given company's secured bonds tend to be debentures. better ' u. . than its .. Is your bond listed on the New York Stock Exchange's bond market? The investment manual (d) this market; you will be able to fol¬ low it more readily. The daily quotations of the bond market re¬ flect the judgment of the financial will tell, If it is listed on it ure various of recommend should be able to answer about the companies whose stocks you you arid for you from products men who they manage the yield of bond a — open tires (a) If rate. interest the > Trust Company the com¬ financial prospects are good, the yield will be low; if they are poor, the yield will be high. Since you are buying bonds for safety, you will be suspicious of a high yield. You know that top quality and high income rarely mix. At present (1948) you should hot expect more than 3% on safe corporation bonds of dis¬ ESTABLISHED 1833 pany's maturity, 2Vz% tant and governments, than 1% notes or government top-quality corpora¬ on other Cash in Vaults and Due from factor af¬ economic fecting the yield is the general in¬ terest rate. As a rule, when the price level rises, the interest rate In order for a 30, 1910 :: - ;■ *. $225,099,117.83 470,252,197.23 Banks U. S. Government Securities ($24,870,856.65 pledged to sceure deposits and for other purposes as required by law.) 1,200,000.00 Federal Reserve Bank Stock State, Municipal and tion bonds about to mature. The ASSETS more one-year on REPORT OF CONDITION At the Close of Business, June long-term on slightly 10,435,913.44 Public Securities 859,940.00 78,963,530.60 Other Securities Loans and Discounts First .* Mortgages Liability will likewise rise. Customers' $1,000 bond paying $30 a year to yield 4% to the investor, he must be able to buy it below $1,000. How much below depends, as al¬ 49 on 1,519,525.19 658,100.62 7,753,904.47 Acceptances Banking Houses Accrued 1 ncome 2,001,5 71.08 Receivable 102,591.45 Other Assets $798.866,391.91 indicated, on how near to maturity the bond is. As we all know, prices have been rising, and interest rates are now tending to ready If prices continue tc do likewise. bonds will tend rise, short, a Stocks, to be preferred in are In bonds on not bonds, such a pe¬ Certainly, if you are going some bonds, as of today, riod. to yield higher inflation. of to fall. days may be a danger sign these hold they should be the short-term va¬ to five years. Such give you greater freedom of riety—one bonds LIABILITIES $15,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 Capital Surplus 4,382,044.99 Undivided Profits Reserve for Taxes, Expenses, etc. (f) Is the bond near its matur¬ ity date? The newspaper quota¬ tion will tell you this. "Pennsyl¬ vania Railroad 3V2 '85" will pay $35 on .$1,000 each year and be paid off in 1985. If the bond has a distant maturity and for some reason its market value drops, you will be in the unpleasant dilemma having to sell at a loss or of having your funds tied up in that security until maturity time ap¬ economic proaches. When ditions uncertain, it is best to buy are one-year con¬ government bonds. (g) Does your bond have a call at which company may buy it back from you on short notice? If so, do not, as a rule, pay more than the call price for the bond. price, that is, a price 1,989,715.55 Acceptances Outstanding $ 1,328,230.75 Less: Held in Portfolio 378,807.42 Deposits • (Includes $11,733,815.89 U. S. Moody's or Standard and Poor's tell you at what will prices the bonds may each year. . be called 949,423.33 751,545,208.04 . - Deposits) ___ $793,866,391.91 OF BOARD DIRECTORS RALPH PETERS, JR. President ' > ' ' ROBERT A. DRYSDALE Senior Partner " HERBERT J. STURSBERG Treasurer, Livingston Worsted Mills, Inc. Drysdale & Company JOHN H. PHIPPS President, Capital City Broad- DUNHAM B. SIIERER Chairman JOHN R. MeWILLIAM Executive Vice President casting Corp., Tallahassee, Fla. EDMUND Q. TROWBRIDGE C. WALTER NICHOLS Retired Chairman, Nichols Engineer- ing & Research Corporation ~ ' ' " • BRUNSON S. GEORGE DOUBLEDAY Chairman, Ingersoil-Rand ; MeCUTCHEN Consulting Engineer E. MYRON BULL President, A. II. Bull & Co.> Inc. SIDNEY A. KIRKMAN Retired Company WILLIAM G. IIOLLOWAY HENRY A. PATTEN Chairman, W. R. Grace & Vice President the manuals $ 14,382,044.99 . action. of make, them. X Mail Order House re¬ all company's prospects and the gen¬ eral has com- must keep your ears for such significant facts as Corn Exchange Bank book a Street .you that the decide to buy. "Wall "Fortune," X also, big the the And the are fine write-ups of panies, about reported Your authors especially in these. some Week."" information companies Journal." of a stock guide, you should not rely on any¬ thing so inadequate in planning your investments, These are some of the questions so basic economic factors af¬ Two size "Business or kinds yields. of bond fect can "Stock follow develop¬ - Chronicle," All the employees at 60, or the Again, how big and how stocks. That would make you a old is the company? What does Y Manufacturing concern has had part owner of the company in it make? Is it still growing? How no labor troubles for 25 years. which you hold stocks, although did it fare in recent depressions? (b) Does your company also several bond issues out¬ you will have no actual share in The big manuals can answer all have the management. You should these. Another question that standing, has it obtained a large know many of the same things should interest you is whether loan at a bank, or put out several stock? The about the company in which you the management is reliable and issues of preferred hold stock as you should about alert. You must rely on your holders of all these prior obliga¬ the company whose bonds you powers of observation and your tions will have to be taken care have bought. Moody's manuals common sense to tell you that. of before you receive any divi¬ and those of Standard and Poor's Your broker, banker, or invest¬ dends. You are in the safest po¬ will provide you with the infor¬ ment counsellor may be able to sition if your company has no sizable bank debt and no bonds or mation. Another excellent service help you, too. You can pick up to consult is "Standard's Listed considerable information by preferred stocks. You will prob¬ Stock Reports." These appear pe¬ reading the financial page of your ably participate early in any siz(Continued on page 26) newspaper. More riodically,' one for each invest¬ metropolitan Or your broker can fig¬ out You Poor's Weekly," Financial and all yield of your local broker or investment counsellor, or of your local trust company. If there is a college or pocket be can and "Commercial section. bond has company Standard Copimerce" (New National Busi¬ Financial and but "aggressive" cap¬ and A sketchier of "Barron's such as "Bar¬ weeklies, financial the income, "Journal ments by means Lately stocks have yielded a better figured out for you. Standard and Poor's monthly bond guide also munity Guide.? savings invested in represent your "defensive" capital whereas savings put in the of from monthly Normally, are financial ness industry, and of the company had bonds ital. you will read them, are journals like the "Wall Street Journal," the Chicago "Journal of Commerce," the helpful, if York), within that industry. stocks broker or the the for market banker mar¬ ket over recent years, the trend of picture example, if a $100 maturity, paid $3 a For terest. these sets of manuals in the office * stabilize Your graphically the trend of the and tends the Common Stocks You Buy its nominal rate of in¬ than tant sive, but it is not necessary that you buy them. You can probably find one, and perhaps both, of f university library in certain more What You Should Know About What is the yield on your This is much more impor¬ (e) date by sending out new Both accepted. There is often time lag before ratings are bond? information its keeps bond long as without looking up the facts on prices continue to rise, they are in some respects the wiser invest¬ the company yourself, for it is market prices, not manual ratings, ment. In any event, we shall as¬ sume that you intend to buy some that pay off in dollars. eral loose-leaf manuals. This serv- * tell, r A will bond. changed to reflect changes of con¬ Do not accept them , % ice the ditions. company a manual sinking fund is a desirable fea¬ ture, for it makes repayment of blindly gets a large order or borrows from a | bank, that fact is promptly re¬ ported. v. Standard and Poor's lumps rail¬ roads, utilities, banks, and other companies all together, alphabe¬ tizes them by industrial groups, and publishes the material in sev¬ If vestment (121) 25 __ probably keeps them filed in his office. They tell of the company's earnings and prospects, show Your in¬ sinking fund provision? you ment. (h) Does the bond issue have a help and value its to as keep about interest financial of THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE \" Company The Corn JAMES A. FULTON President, Home Life Insur ance Company Exchange Safe Deposit Company operates vaults in throughout the City of New York. 56 of the 74 branches located Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 26 (122) THE How to Buy COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Stocks and Bonds (Continued from page 25) able profits Your the* company makes, will tell whether manuals your company outstanding. has other securities So will your stock (c) Is your stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange or the New York Curb Exchange? These the factors discussed here will vary with your purpose in investing. If you seek income, idends yield will ested guide booklet. of some consistently paid? When did the company last fail to pay any div¬ You on its stock? should in especially inter¬ stock's yield. A stock selling for $30 a share and paying $1.50 safety, be your in dividends Thursday, July 8,1948 Low-priced stocks are more-likely; would to bonds and convertible at the low and sell at the high."; to., be /;of poorer • qualityt^^^rf-)^ v'4% preferred stocks. Ask your broker The natural reply is: "True, if we: Of course the importance to you or banker to explain the terms of only knew when." You can at least of mean will count ' a steady lot; if you, What You Should Know About: Preferred Stocks each . behavior attempt ' Securities ■;-7 , You will - consulted industry, experienced in on it If your stock has a in bonds. If it is stocks will fall for the same rea¬ supply the cur¬ (e) What has been the market son that bonds will fall—in order Most companies behavior of yojur stock? Is it to give the buyer a yield to cor¬ report their earnings quarterly steady or volatile? If the prices respond with the higher interest about two or three months after vary a lot, your chances of both rates. Any ordinary preferreds the quarter is past. Such reports profit and loss are greater. Your will not participate in higher may: be published in the financial chances of loss are especially profits if good times continue. Be¬ section of your newspaper. What great if you are buying stock at cause convertible preferreds are were your company's earnings a price near its high. The blue more attractive at the time this is over the past years?, Consult your paper section in the middle of written, they tend to have lower big manuals for this information. Moody's "Industrials" is a handy yields—about Z\'2% for safe is¬ They will usually show you how place to look up the high and low sues whereas high-class ordi¬ the company fared in a depres¬ prices for all industrial stocks nary preferreds currently yield sion. Have the earnings been each year for the past 10 years. around 4%. consistently good? Does your Do not be tempted to buy lowIf you still decide to buy some company enjoy a feast or a fam¬ ine in earnings as the steel com¬ priced stocks because they appear preferred stocks, or some convert¬ ible preferreds, you should know panies do, or a more steady diet cheaper. Do not think that 80 cial section will rent information. — the as the tobacco companies do? the ing earnings increasing downward? Are or Are tend- dividends shares of low-priced necessarily shares of better a stock than high-priced are eight stock. to the'same questions for common answers have we stocks. outlined Be the- sure preferred stocks you buy are of top for you are buying them quality, largely for safety. You should not invest in the preferred stock of any com¬ pany which has sizable bonded a indebtedness, for interest this on know/ most broker also may advice. good he means is He give ' ports." at the the standpoint of tim-: They show the trend of the" market himself trend of ' recent "years,the over the industry,'/and of the I within that industry. A ' study of these three lines can be' company meaningful. very of all studying investments, his clients' financial needs, more rise. They have little chartstop of each which are help-: some business a company's stock: highest level: the from ing. student of invest¬ a the probable than a; We told you about "Standard's Listed Stock Re-' ful counsellor, it than just a makes is Your - you calls or cline the more broker—he is ment; them. If he investment ' an about near at further year income and high yield, that capital growth you want, seek it is a danger signal, for if specula¬ in common stocks. Preferred stock tors thought the dividends would is not so. safe as bonds nor so so listed. You would do well to continue they would bid up the profitable as common stocks. At limit yourself largely, if not en¬ price of the stock. You might do tirely/ to stocks listed on these well to ask yourself what the av¬ present, there seem to be good reasons for buying high-grade two exchanges. Your manuals or erage dividend was over the last convertible preferreds, as has althe stock guide will tell you 10 years. You can find this infor¬ realy been indicated. The ordi-1 where your stock is listed. mation in the big manuals. Then nary preferred stocks, however, (d) What is your company earn¬ see what yield this wo.uld give iri seem doomed to decline if a de¬ ing? Your stock guide booklet, terms of the present price of the pression comes or if inflation con¬ "Barron's," or the "Commercial stock. If it is good, you will tend tinues. If interest rates rise, these and Financial Chronicle's'- finan¬ to buy; if not, you probably won't. them, gen¬ erally speaking, you can sell it more readily than if it were not stock is listed that it has reached for years, then the: chances are excellent that a de-» the selection of securities, you has a yield of 5% — $1.50 is First of all, you: should have' should do so are the first and second most im¬ at this-point; wIf you 5% of $30. You can easily calcu¬ some good reason for buying any buy through a bank, consult the portant markets for stocks in the late the current stock yields your¬ If it is nation. No other exchanges com¬ self by dividing this year's esti¬ preferred stock at all. person in the bank's trust depart¬ safety you want, you should seek ment who buys pare in importance with them. If mated dividend by current price. securities; he will your or is . someone approximate If, when - you are.' buy, the market, or the- about to buy your securities through your bank or through a broker., < If you; have 'not already v to knowledge. IIow to Go About Buying you seek market heavily with conversion. ; three than and how best to He charges a fee for this service, but if he is skilled and experienced, his advice may If, for example,' rising and higher: before, beware; v It is?/ are ever obvious that you are not purchas- -' » -correlate them. ing .at attractive level. an side reverse ports of these On the Stock Re-: statistics; onr dividends, and price: the actual are be worth many times the cost. For earnings, example, he may be able to tell range for ten years or more. about the character of you more the management of a company than the manuals will reveal. can also interpret the may He the shown company's balance sheet for you. This may show, for example, that the com¬ pany's inventories may be dan¬ gerously high, that it may or have to resort to further (a bank loan or soon to secure adequate working capital. analysis is just as impor¬ tant to you as the company's pe¬ riodic earnings statements. Con¬ sulting with an investment coun¬ Such an sellor does not however, mean, the on chart you are ready to placeorder for stocks or bonds, do? your not be disturbed because others do member you vestigate the securities market. Someone buy, because that he knows finally the feel you than you more buying investments, timing is of the utmost importance. Timing refer whole to the market selection. your buying are investment else you is are - Re-: on a ;; selling" buying,1 do.' either because In may far* so When with you lost you are concerned;' as not agree to further, investment go up and your care¬ fully calculated gain that you must take all his advice or that you should neglect to in¬ decide and justify its present position in rela- > tion to past performance. When, you have finally decided to buy, hesitate no longer; buy promptly.; If you wait, you may have the painful experience of seeing the: financing bond issue) a We> to look at these. They.' suggest an explanation for; price behavior of the stock» urge you as he needs the money * because he thinks that invest-» or ment not as good as some other.1 think it is the best selection-', You a j\ to the or industry you have for your purpose. Such differ- li/ company's in- ences of opinion make the market. ferred stock gets anything. vestmeiits-you have-picked. There If everyone thought the same' There are other feaures of pre¬ is an old wheeze to the effect that ferred stocks you should know .making money on investments is about any investment, there would about. For example, is the pre¬ easy, "all you have to do is buy be no market. must be ferred paid before stock your cumulative? pre¬ that if earnings do not jus¬ tify dividend in any stock will pay you that back dividende later, before the common stock receives any dividend. That is obviously a desirable feature. Is the preferred stock partici¬ pating? In other words, if earn¬ ings are high, does the preferred stockholder share in additional earnings along with the stockholder? This common also is de¬ a sirable feature, but few preferred stocks are prefered participating. stock company? If Is the callable at so, by the what price? Is it selling above that price? Is sinking fund set to accumulate money to pay fci. 50*72 to be rated higher than those without sinking funds. Finally, is the preferred stock convertible? Of late, many new preferred stock issues have conversion been. are The usually terms of complex; therefore have your broker or in¬ vestment counsellor explain them to you. You should note especially whether the stock is selling above the conversion point—if so, it is virtually stock; or far below the conversion point—if so, a common conversion has little serve of also whether conversion has expired. Convertible debentures are even partial hedge than is the convertible preferred stock. If prices fall, the convertible deben¬ as set you may the price and wait for accept. In general, a seller to some former procedure is recom¬ mended, especially if the invest¬ ment is that one is actively you have bought, the broker or banker expects you to pay promptly. He will then register the investment in your traded. Once name, if it is a stock, and send in your address so that dividends earning statements directly to you. You should : ord . . of tions. - • keep your record you . ! - a. j and how to will use it. the serial number se- He prob¬ advertise¬ as an be a glad to show Record in this on your bond or a ture has the protected status of a debt, L"-st 56 561'2 56'/a The after that stock paid Net General each Change! —2>A .; Motors share of that ^ $3 in dividends the The "xd" stands for; year.. "ex-dividend," and that if means you buy it now, the former owner,. not you, will receive the impend¬ ing quarterly dividend payment. quotations are plain enough; each refers to the The sale next of four at least 100 shares. ■ - change of minus 2x/4 means that. today was at the rate $2.25 less per share than the last sale yesterday. For an ex¬ planation of other little signs, ; the footnotes the at end of the newspaper's stock quota-; I'l/Wi tion list. of . '7 -A After '''4:1 while a watching will M<\/\ y* i*" the fun, off, as it' will look only oc-: should, and you casionally to see curities still week. You what selling are should wear look at your for. least should be se¬ You *. once a interested1 the day you much you paid through whom you bought it. Plan to keep a record in this book of the interest or divi¬ dends you receive. Meanwhile,- in the month-to-morith and year- put ups and downs. stock certificate, bought for it it. how and your stock certificate or or bond • to-year behavior of your invest- ments, not their day-to-day flue-. tuations. If the investment is you can You some what you expect,1 largely forget these daily will receive quarterly re¬ your How to Watch Your Securities companies. You will be in-: terested at the financial page every day to see the latest market quotation in how their earnings* share this year compare with; those of last year, in their expan-: sion programs, if any, and in any. on your stocks and bonds. It is fun, like watching the day-to-day standings of yoqr favorite big they Once a; year your company will send you' At first you will probably look per securities may senior to tunately, market quotations that ent management want you them vote your'stock. It prominent bentures the market at convertible de¬ presents The near future, however, may see more of these companies is-rt suing this type of security. Apply* the same on tests to them that you league team. understand how to read the ordinarily in a newspaper. Let us interpret a typical common stock quotation for you. (See;above.) appear Thefirst figures indicate /Highest and lowest sales prices for 100 shares two or more for the year. r? 'vi/V; 7/7 proxy to fill out and return. > This simply means that the pres- this device their control cases < yours contemplate issuing. a few 7; ports and other leaflets from all' Since you will un¬ doubtedly do this, you might as have j?, sound and pays well very - of albeit an unsecured debt. And if prices rise, it can be con¬ verted into common stock. Unfor¬ companies . Net the last sale consult a i book. ably hands it out ment '. Ask your broker for curties be careful recinvestment transac¬ 'I'' . will Lew High 56 'A past The to all these questions can be found in the big manuals. Qnen o.> 22 pay—that is, "at the market"—or meaning. Ob^ in a safety deposit box the privilege other safe place, H- answers better xd means sent preferred stock? Pre¬ with sinking funds tend a Gen. Motors may tell the broker to buy at whatever price it is necessary to and ferreds Slock When you place your order, you up the Sales in Low there perhaps a off the 1948 High the year, to cr 'fty That means a chosen that, they. even cent of to let; is-bye perpetuatevi,77; though in many they owh only a ; small 'f - peyr ;thb/total' stock.•' analyze the' situation, yoti have" .Volume 168 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4714 &: FINANCIAL V CHRONICLE (123) Conclusion In most respects, the interest 40% white-collar, 16% factory — are inclined to think they tell the of the national labor union official do no bet¬ in corporation reporting is similar throw the proxy away, and thus ter than to quote the investment truth, and have few criticisms to not vote against them; *(3) jour¬ advice; of a man who has been make except that they are hard to to that of the financial analyst, the survey showed, although such understand in places, ;; ney to the stock holders' meeting, eminently successful as an in¬ three only choices: -let them vote it as (1) sign and they wish; (2) ] In conclusion stockholders. "The same 27 detailed reports prepared for large stock¬ holders and professional analysts would, with minor modification, we can suit union research directors and "The brief version of the annual leaders naturally desire informa¬ staff economists," the study con¬ vestor, who is famous the coun¬ cludes. with tables expurgated, tion anyway. Your helplessness may try over for his common sense, report, ; which will serve their special Local labor officials and shop /annoy you. Forget it. You are and who has probably given apparently appeals to employees viewpoint in collective bargaining, stewards, on the other -only hand, pro¬ discovering that a small America more good advice in the the same way it does to stockhold¬ ers* This type of report promises such as breakdowns of the wage ■stockholder is not really much of last fessed little interest in the annual generation than any other -Where you can have no influence of the company after all. an owner If you approve the policies of the ^management, so far as you are aware of them, do them the cour¬ tesy of signing the proxy and •sending it in; if you disapprove, •the best thing to do is sell the stock. . When dividend your' checks in, cosh them promptly and •come -enter the date and amount in the .'record book You you. broker' gave need this record your will "for income tax purposes. /have bond due date. or Your bank will cash it for you. - / refer We He sums investment Bernard more comprehensible answers to bill by separate bargaining units, report, other than to emphasize successful the few questions both groups data on depreciation and reserves, the need for broad information on under four have about company finances and complete cost breakdowns, and matters which bear on job se¬ to up policy headings: a policies." information • (2) Exercise patience in study¬ ing them. Use imagination in dealing (3) with them. •' ,J .. , (4) Be willing conclusions to boldly ,; . , v act on your and at once. Guaranty Trust Company of New York MAIN OFFICE Fifth Export-import Bank Ave. 44th at —6 140 FIFTH AVE. OFFICE V Broadway St. MADISON Madison AVE. OFFICE Ave. at 60th St. OFFlfcE ROCKEFELLER CENTER Rockefeller Plaza at 50th St. Brants Credit to BRUSSELS PARIS LONDON When You Should curity. dividends paid to on Get all the facts. (1) If you debenture, you 'will have to clip the coupon on the a citizen. Baruch. Swedish Concerns Sell Your Investments The You have been told repeatedly 'that you should investigate before invest. should companies Jand of general economic changes after you have invested. Read the you /watch for Likewise, 'financial you of your news section of your news¬ of Board Directors the of RESOURCES pation to the extent of $2,155,000 oy the Bank in a credit amounting in total to $3,330,000 to AktiebolaAerotransport (ABA) ; and Svensk Interkontinental Lufttra- get> perhaps a financial journal, fik Aktieboleg (SILA) to assist in the quarterly and annual financing the purchase from paper, ;and Condensed Statement of Condition, June 30, 1948 Export-Import Bank of Washing¬ ton on June 9 authorized partici¬ Cash .Hand, in Federal Reserve Bank, and Due from on Banks and Bankers U. S. Government Consult of companies. your issues of "Standard's new ^Listed Stock Reports." the Ask 'National City Bank of New York to send you its monthly letter on 'economic conditions. It is excel¬ lent it and /back is free. not Do sit Douglas Aircraft Co., Inc. of DC-6 transport aircraft. This credit is in accordance with the Bank's established policy of assisting American exporters to finance the sale of American equipment abroad particularly that your job when such equipment will direct¬ that you have in¬ ly assist the borrowing country to posted on current earn dollars and other "hard" developments. You will not want currencies. and assume Is done, 680,832,855.44 1,123,217,847.28 ........... Loans and Bills Purchased Public Securities 870,076,683.69 $ . Stock of Federal Reserve Bank ^to make - many changes, but changing conditions in the econ¬ omy or. in your company will 'sometimes indicate that you should make some shifts in your investearly that it was far easier to buy than ,il is to sell. If your stock or bond has risen, you are so pleased that .you will not think of selling. Yet the time to sell is after your stock will You discover very • had •old substantial a rise. An saying goes that "No one ever After and account a hope cannot you when it has . Credits Granted . . on Obligations Acceptances . Accrued Interest and Accounts its peak 'and then have the wisdom to sell it at just that point. The person ;who does - so is just lucky, and such luck does not often repeat The itself. who person makes .'some profit on his stocks is the one •who sells too soon; in other words, is he in¬ He sells after a substan¬ rise tial greedy for all the not crease. is and happy over his gains rather than unhappy over 7 any further rise. * On the other hand, if your se- > Receivable 7 7 Real Estate Bonds and Mortgages 7,726,124.16 . 1,321,660.50 Bank Premises . 120,908,322.68 4,858,969.78 / 38,946.40 .'••••• Other Real Estate United States the in Total Resources V $2,799,933,625.27 credit without re¬ the Export-Import on LIABILITIES Bank. Capital Surplus Fund Undivided Profits notes of a over will mature semi-annually period of four The rowers the bear interest at Swedish bor¬ will years, . the rate of 3lk%- and are to be unconditionally guaranteed by the Sveriges Riksbank. $ . . 100,000,000.00 200,000,000.00 63,848,493.22 .......... Capital Funds Treasurers Checks Outstanding . . 41,718,679.50 . Deposits. 2,352,216,496.36 Investment $ 20,367,441.68 ~$ Changes in 363,848,493.22 $2,310,497,816.86 Acceptances Less: Own Acceptances Held for Stockholder Reports $ ... Deposits Total Advocates . . Total per annum, know to reached . . got poor taking a profit." /all, . 78,525,795.32 9,000,000.00 10,294,152.93 14,040,589.77 commercial bank will also partici¬ pate course -ments. has Douglas Aircraft Co., Inc. for its own . Other Securities and now vested. * Keep • . . . ^statements : $ . Obligations 14,180,999.08 6,186,442.60 . (Continued from page 22) viewed within this class had va¬ a riety of other sources of informa¬ tion, and many were in a position to go directly to company officials and get special questions answered Dividend Payable July 1, 1948 Foreign Branches Accounts Payable, Reserve for Expenses, Taxes, etc. 3,000,000.00 967,691.04 .... Items in Transit with 65,719,945.57 . whenever the desired information 83,868,635.69 • was not available elsewhere. "Financial analysts ■ curit.y goes down, you must decide whether to sell, accept some loss, . and save hold or the rest of your the because on money, company is good and you think the security will recover. You will do best to * let your judgment the of com¬ pany's and the industry's sound¬ ness guide you and try to shut out any emotion emanating from the stock market, v /be continually buying and selling. 'While occasional purchases and ' sales may be desirable, you avoid shifts. frequent should Presum- ;abljr /you are an investor, not a If you shift often, it •speculator. ' becomes • • may costly If mount. lose -dividend •process, and your shift, you you may in payments feyery time you, losses I'ie shift,yov^ have to make two right decisions • instead of bought; one the as risk when of thus you first wrong,de¬ cision is thus multiplied. choose In shorty carefully at the outset and avoid most -for.shifting... the of the necessity . and are . 7.7 $2,799,933,625.27 "are Securities carried at $00,235,817.59 in the above Statement are pledged to qualify for fiduciary powers, to secure public moneys as required by law, and for other purposes. less likely to face They feel that many such and 7 . bank¬ declares, report sophisticated than the large investors take annual-report figures at value. reports paint to try progress and light possible. For them, the an¬ report is a document which and — as reference one to that routine a other must be matter, by of in-r sources formation, such as tax returns and SEC reports." Annual not rate channel reports high of as at an present . do important communication management; and workef portion of the survey devoted to weighing employee - reaction brought out.7 "Seventy-one per • of the laborers queried, and 41% of the whitecollar annual never employees, of report reaches state their them," that respectively, say read, them. the study they / see, 17%, but The relatively few whO'dO'SeeaflcFteadthefti^ CORNELIUS F. KELLEY WILLIAM L. 7/ DAVIS KLEITZ CHARLES S. MUNSON WILLIAM C. GEORGE E. President, POTTER STETSON Chairman, Executive Committee, Illinois Central Railroad Company THOMAS J. WATSON President, BerwindWhite Coal Mining Company 7 President, The J. Gw Engineering Corporation President, International Business Machines Corporation DUNLAP White of Roosevelt & Son EUGENE W. of Davis Polk Wardwell GANO "DUNN Retired ROOSEVELT Sunderland 8s Kiendl CHARLES E. /.President Chairman, Executive Committee, Air Reduction Company, Inc. / The Columbia Gas System, Inc, W. Company Chairman of the Board, The M. W. Kellogg Company CRANE, JR. ! 1 President, Crane & Co., Inc., Dalton, Mass. CROCKER Chairman of the Board, MORRIS W. KELLOGG American Telephone and Telegraph Company M. President, The Great Anaconda Copper Mining Chairman of the Board COOPER WINTHROP M. JOHN HARTFORD Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company Vice-Chairman of the Board, STUART A. CONWAY P. company the JOHN Chairman, Executive Committee, Union Pacific Railroad Company PALEN Vice-President, LEWIS GAWTRY CHARSKE CHARLES Executive The Pennsylvania Railroad Company President, American Cyanamid Company J. LUTHER CLEVEL AN D W. WALTER S.FRANKLIN Director, British- President, Duke Power Company BELL factory observes. "Another 10% and never and WILLIAM B. F. W. • American Tobacco Company, Limited, v tween cent., KLEITZ DIRECTORS ALLEN GEORGE G. be¬ the L. President Chairman of the Board presents a particular point of view toward company financial opera¬ checked WILLIAM LUTHER CLEVELAND J. company prospects in the best nual tions this suggests that .you may All ers," more Total Liabilities CHARLES E. WILSON . , . ; , ROBERT W. WOODRUFF c President, General Electric Company Chairman, Executive Committee, The Coca-Cola Company Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 28 THE (124) that Redeemable Curieitcy—Only | | d European Recovery Means (Continued from first page) supply of both conditions within these countries capital goods from are ripe- for the agitator* and pro¬ America; that for reasons of moter of revolution .• and; will re¬ state the money for the pur¬ main so until the causes. are re¬ chase of these goods should be moved. That the causes are the additional an consumers' and supplied promptly from the Treasury of the United States, for the most part free, in lesser part en long-time account. The - amount deemed required proximately $20 billion. is ap¬ is It position that these* plans for promoting tranquility within the recipient states are predicated upon a demonstrably false premise and will fail be¬ my of it. cause This false premise is the assumption that under their existing monetary and fiscal practices it is possible to create general prosperity and popular contentment states. within That the the aided true require¬ ment for general prosperity and consequent domestic tranquility within these from the not money our That is states Treasury to be used in purchasing goods from Americans.. true and indispensable requirement is an honest medium of exchange to be provided for the people of these their such medium a provided there never or countries by That until government. own will be of exchange never prosperity contentment. mass be and can general is That the law popular demonstrations dis¬ of content is the natural consequence of the irredeemable paper money be That the monetary own these govern¬ restrictions removed the and justices corrected by goods for sale. more honest medium which the of in¬ offering Only for tion shows lars in that which deludes them with pa¬ money." per • ; , " . to the Lenin and Webster theses that within modern society with great diversity of production its a and consequent wide and continu¬ distributions ous the of the essential as construction possess And at this point permit me to point out that the people of a rich and pro¬ as " of That without such tools in buildings. medium it is a impossible either to create or maintain general prosperity, mass contentment, quility. political Or tran¬ II honest become the medium of exchange as distinguished from irredeemable pieces of paper. I will digress a poor infla¬ readily as the people of a one. As witness of this, rich moment to tell you. By an honest medium of exchange I mean a me¬ dium which within itself possesses and productive ductive country victims of tion a can paper money as France and her neighbor Italy both suffer poorer from the disease. same And it is nancially stable ' and politically tranquil and require aid from no beauty. been one. Whether Time and experience have the truth of the aphorism of Leinin, founder and great apos¬ proven of overthrowing free capitalistic economy there is none stealthy in its approach and certain of success as so the emission irredeemable 'paper * moneys. And of; that of Daniel Webster in nuggets or because it is coins coins desired. minted other or metal or or from possess Come war repudiation, gold or any the value of their metallic content. tent bars dust, it possesses value revolution or Bolshevism, that of all the a so and To the tificates convertible into coin are not to be confused with irredeem¬ able slips of paper as all who held them the difference possessing MAIN OFFICE: NEW YORK-OFFICE: Montague Street 26 Broad Street Brooklyn 2, N. Y. New York 4, N. Y. Condensed Statement of Condition, June 30, 1948 RESOURCES Hand and Due from Federal Reserve Bank and Other Banks $ 62,590,067.66 U. S. Government Securities—— State and Municipal Bonds 128,027,889.82 5,516,185.09 — 2,296,326.22 -- Loans and Bills Purchased. 28,754,785.37 Bonds and Mortgages 106,826.17 2,500,000.00 — Other Real Estate 1,000.00 _ Resources : 625,076.13 : $230,418,156.46 it that LIABILITIES $ fashionable prophecies. There is now a free gold market in Paris. It is regulated by the Government of France. In this market there is trading in gold and the transac¬ tions Here reported. are of the most some recent. twenty-dollar gold pieces selling in this open market at from twenty to twentyhave been two thousand French francs. Upon same market and seven Now bear this in mind. twenty-dollar 896,491.17 Dividend payable July 1, 1948 205,000.00 Deposits 212,737,220.59 Reserves for Taxes, Expenses, etc 943,913.36 $230,418,156.46 at $18,180,726.27 and for other One of the Oldest Trust Member New,,York are pledged purposes, as to secure required law. Companies in the United States ^ were with francs. The U. S. pieces gold those are Americans forced to surrender to their government in exchange for the twenty-dollar bills. The twentydollar bills they day were 011 brings Clearing House Association. Federal' Reserve System and "Federal Deposit Insufahce'Corporatiba , identical French a are the identical bills forced to accept. So to¬ free market the U, S. French francs, while U. S. paper of the identical denomination public by thousand twenty-dollar gold piece brings twenty to twenty-two thousand United States Government and State and Municipal bonds carried are United States 5,700,000.00 Reserve for Contingencies ; the baseless nature of these prove 1,735,531.34 Undivided Profits v the people became aware of the blessings of managed paper money they would no longer desire gold coins. Demand for gold for minting would then disappear and as a consequence the nation's gold stock at Fort Knox would possess value only as demanded by the fine arts. Very little time has been required to once 8,200,000.00 Surplus ; was during the same days United States twentydollar bills have been selling at Capital , paper. value Not the fashion in high political as well as in some academic circles to belittle gold as a monetary metal. It was said the deposits between intrinsic irredeemable many years ago Other assume . , * '- A calcula¬ tion shows that persons wishing to dispose of U. S. twenty-dollar gold pieces upon this open market are seven. now able quick at "times to get three twenty-dollar bills for each of them, ana seldom * substantially' . . . when Russians refused to surrender them American Government could to the not who; she . . given tourists the impression be not and needs financial help. « . . compelled to do so; At present France offers a by American law. It is not im¬ strange picture. Her industrial possible, of course, that some of: production is equal to 1938, but them come from forewarned she lacks essential manufactured , American citizens residents or commodities. Her agricultural getting them output equals 1938 yet she goes out of the conutry. Had these begging for wheat and meat. The persons held American gold cer¬ cause is hoarding for black mar¬ tificates or American gold bonds ket prices. Her cities go short of they- would have been helpless food and the countryside eats as against the Act of Repudiation of never before." ' ' in succeeded , American the Government. But In Paris, during the month, same of the gold coin there could be no last October, the American repudiation. This fact and the prices quoted give answer to those fashionable prophecies ed . is that Natural Laws can My major premise, to which I return, is this: that prosperity and political tranquility will never return to Western Europe until honesty returns to its now In proof of this premise might with safety rely upon the money. I It is record. aster. of ruin and dis¬ one In it there exceptions. to be found are Not in the once paper Not money. festations daily filled to capacity diners, while the Riviera, the expensive gambling and resort center, had just closed its most profitable year. The reports are but two of many describing similar condi¬ different within the inflation tries and those inflations, I ridden tions. propose scriptions. to describe conditions in all the of report called British Church's a "The Public on sued year 1947, the in public gam¬ bling in Great Britain during that year $3,865,000,000. It was racing, pari-mutuel ma¬ was divided follows: as Horse chines: $84,500,000. Horse racing, bookmakers: Greyhound racing: fiscal character of practices, they best the the are countries of the WOrst. ' • their neither Football pools: $280,000,000. Assuming the population to be 40,000,000, this is approximately $100 per person and $400 per fam¬ ily of four. These represent in¬ creases the over They in show the of 1948. spectacular rise the wholesale This France. with hand of May, price rise index of hand in goes continuous emission a irredeemable francs paper in satisfaction of budgetary deficits. surprise no one when should It he is made the since Government these of the fact that aware liberation paper has the issued francs French more than of did the Vichy Government during the Oc¬ cupation. Taking the pre-war of fixed date at 100, wholesale prices in France in October, 1944, stood at 265; in December, '45 at 489; in December, '46 at 842; in Decem¬ ber '47 at 1217; in January '48 at 1456. These prices take no account of the enormous public prices a subsidies which held down the prices of certain necessities. Nor do they take account of the black market prices although during time that France the were black markets doing at least third of all the business. of one- Nor do they take account of the scarcity which was experienced in the cities than of and France not made purchase it desired more often impossible things at to the established prices. I by now lished in tober 24, had turn San a to a letter Franciscan the "Argonaut" 1947. This just ..returned written and pub¬ a the year causes increase in of ab¬ experi¬ are encing. Having trip called attention to now present day conditions, permit me to read a description of conditions in France during the great Assignat Inflation cf a hundred and fifty years ago. I read from "The Lectures of President Andrew and D. White," Professor His¬ of tory of Cornell University. The subject is "Fiat Money Inflation in France." These lectures were delivered in ing the the 1878. After describ¬ rise great in prices and confusion, discontent and dis¬ order among the French people, Dr. White said: "But these small were far deep-seated signs of dis¬ which now showed them¬ selves throughout One of these of evils, though great, compared with those more ease thrift from the country. the obliteration was the minds the of French people. The French arO naturally thrifty but with such of masses money and with such uncertainty as to its future value ordinary motives for saving the and care luxury diminished spread country. A still and loose a throughout worse the outgrowth the speculation and gambling. At the great metropolitan centers was grew a luxurious speculating, and gambling body which, like a ma¬ lignant tumor, absorbed into itself the strength of the nation. In the leading French cities now arose a luxury and license which was a greater evil even than the plun¬ dering which ministered to it." Let of Oc¬ gentleman from previous of senteeism the British r"-~>h: Review" one the nor The figures I am about to quote are taken from the "Harvard Business $1,800,000,* 000. tremendous to $1,- 700,000,000. reflect respect a covering the the In is total money spent and examples. This investigate the alarming increase in gambling in Great Britain. Ac¬ cording to its report recently is¬ Great as Committee Gambling." countries, I will take France and Britain '.nV: Committee committee of the Church set up to coun¬ Since it is impossible, ' ' . Now permit me to quote from a during certain past and contemporary de¬ French French than previous to read you were with have its mani¬ once been Marquis Child, report¬ expensive French restau¬ that rants troubled history of the world has succeeded as substitute for corre¬ spondent, except the early part of the last Ad¬ ministration know. money Buildings gold pieces. they do not Americans, since it must convertible into those to be observed today. That another slip of you may observe. the similarity paper. Nevertheless such con¬ between the conditions of today vertible certificates are subject to and although they appear Never, even in the hey-dey of the late twenties have I seen such spending, luxury, gambling, etc., as in France and broke. . no they are proof repudiation. Paper cer¬ against trate COMPANY Bank twenty-dollar One ex¬ of this value "These Europeans are not suf¬ fering Belgium. It's not like the old days the Americans, British and were the great spenders come from in Europe. Now it's the local would constitute a crime for ari people. The exhibition of in¬ American to own them. Supposed¬ decent riches I saw in French ly they come from foreigners who Summer Resorts have certainly these It is useful in the fine throughout all time has admired by mankind. arts Recent events graphically illus¬ Securities from for thirty-three cents each. You may be curious as to the sellers of answer BROOKLYN TRUST Other selling in .the thirty to now are minted own a in on our dol¬ paper noteworthy that both France and specified quantity of a thing of in¬ As example, gold neither be shouted down by mobs, Italy are richer than their neigh¬ trinsic value. argued out of existence by doc¬ bors: Luxembourg!,. Switzerland, coin of a given standard of weight and Portugal, yet these poor ad¬ and fineness is a medium of ex¬ trinaires, nor repealed by govern¬ ments. joining countries adhering to change possessing intrinsic value. honest monetary practices are fi¬ Gold is a ductile metal of natural Ill repudiation Cash S. alike in political and thing of in¬ popular trinsic value or at the option of academic circles within the mem¬ the owner is convertible into a ory Of all who are here. The given quantity of a nothing 177 U. of market who At this point you may wish to know precisely what I mean by an *A further calcula^: that terms gold coin open And for the purposes of this discussion I offer it as a corollary Thursday, July 8, 1948 less than that. of mankind effective than more an exchange in confi¬ people dence will remove them. Inflation from which they aresttf?* of fering and is caused by it.' abiding elements of That not upon the de¬ upon the population by practices of their methods in limitations inflicted cent and states itself contrivances masses fidence is tle of manifests the injustices general unhappiness within these which all has been production and trade and the cruel restrictions and will . , "Of cheating the none CHRONICLE things produced, a medium of exchange in which the people possess con¬ ments. I &'FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL of a me also read from the work distinguished French Scholar, Pierre work Gaxotte. "The It French is from his Revolution" through Europe, a continent with published in the United States in wKichTlie 1932. was familiar. He says: Describing the conditions in Volume tion of the 1790's he says: dustrious of res¬ taurants done such good business. While in the outskirts of the city bler and law violator. "Never had the keepers but emaciated, pale, and rag¬ none ged figures were to be seen, the coffee houses, and eating shops in the Palais Royal were filled with bursts of laughter, the glitter of diamonds, faces shining with good cheer, and women with next to nothing on. It was a case of over¬ fed bellies empty the on side one and the other; and preparing to hurl upon the former." bellies on the latter were themselves I have read these accounts de¬ scribing the reaction of the people of today and that of the people of a. century and a half ago under like conditions for the simple purpose demonstrating of the intensified , in¬ flations. They manifest a moral and intellectual disintegration of government spreading throughout fhe entire population. It is a dis¬ integration to be observed among the educated and highly placed as well as among the uninformed is It masses. Which feeds upon itself and grows steadily worse and never better the most drastic and far- until teaching reforms are effected. It manifests the refusal of the people their to obey the mandates of the through for own article an deem it right to pay as they Wage control believably receive his for service hold not their Both be and another ment which they the discredited up. law of human nature which causes from willing to pay employer the right an But it is impor¬ tant to bear in mind that ing the state owned power system of France at the expense of the United States Treasury adds each of these place in war destruction in Germany dur¬ the serious impli¬ understood country came down in ruins, pav¬ by informed persons throughout Europe and the world not exclud¬ ing the watchful rulers of Soviet ing the way for the Nazi seizure Russia. suggested that while the Marshall Plan does not of power. instrumentalities do not IV sound out, neither evidence a want of material possessions with¬ in the country nor result from it. They are a direct reaction to de¬ struction of the established me¬ establishment pointed of establishment the require which these infla¬ tion ridden states suffer, as I have exchange, of mediums make such possible. This is nevertheless the grants not suggestion The true. failure demonstrates of the now monetary in cir¬ reform lator, gambler and black market¬ If restoration of contentment' eer.' is required to combat communism ( within Western Europe the things; must be done which will restore contentment by rebuilding a pros-- society. perous Because indis¬ general and will require pensable, the first of these is the additional gold which can be sup¬ restoration of honest money.;-k; plied only by the United States RSMca either by gift or loan. It has been estimated by a competent bank authority and economist that $1,000,000,000 should prove suffi¬ cient. But more than gold will be required. A return to honesty, Paris Scott Russell, Jr., Glore, intelligence and sobriety in gov?' ernment is as essential as gold. Forgan & Co., was elected Pres¬ P. S. Russell, Jr., NY Without this,,waste and extrava¬ will continue. Correct fi¬ nancial practices will be rejected because in conflict with immedi¬ gance Municipal Forum the ident ' of Municipal Forum of New- to itself compre¬ tinue to duced, see real his wage re¬ in his increase despite chosen Vice- President; T. George Paris S. Russell, Jr. The owner of obli¬ Ragsdale, gations payable in money will be Lehman Brothers, Secretary; and forced to witness the daily de¬ Rudolph J. Harper was re-elected Treasurer. Frank Lucke, Laid- money wage. of struction his savings. Gam¬ bling will continue to be the interest of segments lation. chief of the popu¬ The decent and industri- law & were on Co., D. McTrust Company, and Edward Northern Grew, elected to three-year terms the board of governors. - now to supply them. This con¬ estates of the propose of the great sisted all and nobles the appraised were lands the of These estates and lands Church. and made pur¬ chasable at appraised values. Any purchaser was entitled-to pay for them newly issued as- the with Serving Savers Kings County Trust Company into every lives. While preserving the form it has altered ty and unhappiness phase of the people's the substance of every experience scarcity and must be This destruction confusion, uncertain¬ has brought to privation in the very sight" Assignat Inflation of France. The French Government had just be¬ come possessed ofproperty of of exchange and measure¬ ment of value. Western of paper This culation. become greater value than that we V been has It , The ills from dium countries content¬ within the tranquility Europe that honest money replace Except part of the purchasable wealth of at a steadily accelerating pace ing the first World War. the country. They add nothing to among the people of our own for the expenditures incident to the worth or purchasing ability Country. And it carries an omi¬ the war and some material repa¬ rations in the way of railway roll¬ of individual Frenchmen. The re¬ nous note when one observes that ing stock, shipping, and war ma¬ quirement for general prosperity our own paper dollar measured and contentment in France is not in terms of gold coins of our own terials, the Peace of Versailles new state owned electrical sys¬ minting is now selling in a free left the wealth of Germany unNotwithstanding this tems- or factories or-tobacco or market at 30 to 33 cents, with no consumed. quickly disappearing consumers appreciable reaction to the signif-, fact, because of a paper money deliberately practiced goods, but a medium of exchange icance of this grave fact upon the, inflation after the establishment of peace, of intrinsic and hence true and part of our own government But the economic and political struc¬ stable value. Clear demonstration no greater mistake could be made ture of this rich and cultured of this is to be found in the great cations of this are not and disturbed is think it is worth. observe this attitude building up than to suppose of reestablishment for expropriations can take a wealthy country as well nothing to the value of the over as in a poor one. And the disas¬ issued inconvertible paper franc. distrust, or to save it, and their trous effect upon the country's Neither does the rebuilding of the determination promptly to get w*hat they can out of it either in economy will be precisely the state owned Renault automobile same. factory with funds provided from things of material value or in As example there was no major the United States Treasury. These pleasure or excitement. One can manifests their refusal to honor a of exchange accumu¬ it to indispensable requirement an people of the cities will con¬ tinue York at the people to seek to dispose of a Budgets annual meet¬ thing of lesser value for a thing ate political interests. remain unbalanced. The ing held June to pay that which he believes the of greater. It is because people will 14. Mr. Rus¬ •service to be worth. Credit con¬ cannot be forced, either by law. printing. of money will be re¬ sell succeeds trol takes from the owner of or terror, to accept as true a sumed. Restrictions of every kind will be enacted in hope of forc¬ Leander L. money the right to loan it as he premise they know to be untrue;; of the govern¬ Shelley of the chooses and from seller and buy¬ It is not more state owned ing acceptance ment's printings at decreed Port of New er the right to arrange their own property that is required to tranYork Author¬ terms. Exchange controls take quilize the people of Western Eu¬ values. Capital will continue to ity. Robert T. frcjm all owners of money the rope. but restoration to the peo¬ flee the country. The wage earn¬ Veit, Shields right to dispose of it either at ple of an intrinsically valuable er and salaried person will con¬ & Co., was home or abroad for what they medium of exchange. Rebuild¬ which government which they know to be based upon false pretense. It medium the and reason ous 29 gaudy ostentation of the law vio¬ lated lessons of history prove This is because of that immutable that was ruined because of them. state value France and money, paper Even this un¬ totalitarian rich could much as worth. from the worker the right takes to valueless in trade. all others the from money disintegration a signats at face value. Yet the assignats of themselves possessing no value-> went the way of all ensuing government to still the complaints of its primary victims by expropriations from others. wealth of these countries adds Thus having robbed Tom, the nothing of value to their irre¬ wage earner or holder of obliga¬ deemable paper currencies. Pub¬ tions payable in money, and be¬ licly held wealth is not available ing alarmed by his outcries, the to the holder of inconvertible government makes hurried effort paper money. The government of to. rob Dick and Harry in Tom's Russia owns all the wealth within interest. These secondary expro¬ Russia and commands at its own priations take the form of price place and price the services and and wage and exchange controls trade of every Russian. In all the and rationing. Each seeks to take history of nations no government has ever owned such incalculable from someone a right to which under the customs and beliefs of wealth as is now owned by this the people he is rightly entitled, government. Yet its irredeem¬ Thus price control takes from the able paper rubles have recently Owner of property the right to gone to the ashcan, having be¬ a sell it to the highest bidder and come mockery because near a natural law. In them portrayed the economic and moral effect of paper to serve as money. What is required is »a medium possess¬ ing intrinsic value or convertible upon demand into such a me¬ dium. Increasing the publicly held Its ills are (125) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL of paper gam¬ efforts of working of are the rewards and & hend the true cause of the failure Assignat Infla¬ punishes the law-abiding and in¬ during the Paris COMMERCIAL THE Number 4714 168 OUR SERVICES INCLUDE STREET 342, 344 and 346 FULTON BROOKLYN 1, N. Y. long-time the sav¬ Since 1859 ACCOUNTS • SAVINGS • MORTGAGE LOANS • CHRISTMAS CLUB • G. • SAFE • MODERNIZATION LOANS contract. It has destroyed ings of masses of honest and de¬ serving people. It has reduced the real wage or salary of every -employed person. It has inflict¬ ed cruel and unmerited punish¬ ment upon the innocent and help¬ less. Every law-abiding individ¬ ual within the countries is its victim. As the price level rises with each succeeding act of infla¬ tion the people of these countries experience additional reduction of savings, wages and salaries. To suppose that contentment and po¬ litical tranquility are to be found ; among a people rendered contin¬ ually'unhappy through a great imposture practiced against them -by their own government is to abandon reason. of appreciation prompted ; words ■ Lenin It was a keen this which to utter the Capital . . Surplus ' . . . . business June 30, 1948 on on Cash in Hand Banks 1,267,098.85 15,535,562.47 23,636,290.12 City v.:. ■ Bonds and Mortgages Loans on Collateral, Demand and Bills 472,499.45 Time. 1,708.059.11 Purchased Real Estate Other Assets 615,000.00 -——~ ■ 341,042.37 57,501.544.93 ue Depositors hecks 47,914,055.17 for money LATEST DIVIDEND • Checks standing PAID FROM DAY OF SAVINGS BANK MONEY ORDERS Taxes, 778.998.70y Out¬ 75,386.66 57.501,544.93 FULTON STREET AND DE KALB Bensonhurst: 86th Street and Flatbush: Avenue J and Our main office is our only office and makes avail¬ depositors every facility and accommodationknown to modern banking. Make it your banking home. able to its Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation AVENUE 19th Avenue Coney Island Avenue BROOKLYN, NEW YORK MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE < DEPOSIT and Contingencies Official SAVINGS BANK LIFE INSURANCE 2,526.73 Discount— Reserves ' inflation is a practice under which a govern¬ ment, to advance its own imme! diate political interest, unjustly despoils one class of its citizens 5 and unfairly enriches others. It Paper • 27,973.36 Unearned Expenses 1% 702,604.25 a Certified to which your attention has >' been called. DEPOSIT BOXES 7,500,000.00 Profits Undivided 6,414.293.55 824,798.66 700,470.48 Stocks '. Surplus 5,985,829.87" Bonds Other Bonds 500,000.00 Capital — and State LOANS % Bonds..-; S. Govt. I. HOME LIABILITIES RESOURCES Cash Y. $702,000.00 . Statement at the close of •> N. $7,500,000.00 . Undivided Profits U. $500,000.00 . 31 CORPORATION 30 (126) COMMERCIAL & THE FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (Continued from page 2) have, in large degree, rested upon the Keynesian theory that saving is fundamentally anti-social in its effects and that spending is vir¬ pie's savings domestically, and in¬ general effort is to obtain the con¬ ternationally they seem deter*? ditions which competition pro'mined to give away our wealth, duces. This is because the great¬ tuous. nate the As a consequence, our spending*has been protligate and taxes -our debt have and become . until drained dry and lie The Keynesians domi¬ are we prostrate. est social good is obtained under competition and under regulations teaching of Economics in of other methods of procedure colleges, and it will, appar¬ designed to bring them into line our ently, require the with The tax rates methods of science can free U£ sharply progres¬ from the pestilential visitation. The distinguished French eco¬ sive, and the tax burden has be¬ come more characteristic of that nomic scientist and government tend extremely before years high. have been made under than totalitarian a that of a government basic purposes of these taxes has been to level down the large incomes of both official, Jacques Rueff, writing One of' "The repubhc. the individuals Fallacies General Lord of Theory" in on Keynes! Quar¬ "The terly^ Journal of Economics" (May, and 1947), ends his discussion with corporations. The tax programs this sentence: "Whom Jupiter the enforced distribution of wishes to destroy, he first makes corporate earnings have rested Aiad," That is an observation that upon the notion that corporate the Keynesians, and, of course surpluses and reserves represent a the people of this cpuntry would for withholding of purchasing from the needy. power These various tax do well to ponder with care. The departures in this country programs have had destructive ef¬ fects on savings and the accumu¬ A what competitive conditions to objective an are fact cies payers. When results government undertakes substitute its judgment as tc to a is proper for world the in the results economic that flow one. upon a naturally had reached economic matur¬ ity, no in it savers, longer was find investment claimed, could adequate outlets therefore, it was now necessary for the gov¬ ernment to step in,, take surplus savings; and invest them in ac¬ tivities to be provided by the gov¬ ernment. The assumption that government and, paternalism was su¬ perior to private enterprise was a companion notion of that of eco¬ nomic maturity, The profligate t ; ; : spending and the , wild accumulation .of debt were fostered in part by the notion propagated by these same econo¬ mists (and others) that'governdebt ment •: can do harm and, indeed, has many virtues because, they said, "we owe it to ourselves" no tion of wealth and income except as these matters are determined rights decision rests in matters of this subjective praisals; and these are always bitrary., upon , tendency this may be the result of the gradual group of economists, and others, evolution of standards which meet who embraced such notions, to social approval, or of formal law. give away a very large portion of But where law lays down stand¬ the savings of the people of the ards of fairness, these arfe presum¬ United States. among All sorts of reasons have been provided, and are still being provided, for the expropria¬ tion and exportation of our wealth. Our prosperity and the welfare of other people were said upon our upon the ably for the purpose of making competition work more smoothly, and they are of social plicable with sults presumably the and ap¬ to depend of competition with protection of the ill Examples are spending and gifts and children from heavy exports of approval re¬ equality to all. the sheltering of maintenance by us wealth. Pros¬ perity and degression were said to be "indivisible." This jargon spread as though it were a funda¬ mental truth, although it was merely another device employed by those devoting themselves, in part, at least, to the dissipation of the national patrimony of the peo¬ ple of this country, our iff Artificially low interest rates were instituted and maintained to make it easier for the government to borrow and spend, and because from adults, the and the ing aged, rules for horse and lation , of rac¬ athletic contests, regu¬ monopolistic practices and of what is deemed fair methods of to be un¬ competition,- re¬ pression of predatory activities of people, and so on. When there are departures from practices that give us our prices under conditions of free and fair competition, the extent and nature these departures should be of measured posed against what it is would be the sup¬ situation standards were anti-social held to be essentially people Any defender of a governmentally-managed economy must of necessity take the position that fixed if These Some the of thus far seen our other burden are a blanket of debt a on our people and national patrimony, reaching far beyond anything of which have we dreamed. The ever spect to petition. Being in the the absence of We cannot get, ex¬ . goods reveal. cept at unusually high prices, if all, a multitude of things that at would like to have. we ductive activities great and for must persist at Our pro¬ be very high level long time if we are to over¬ the nonproduction or under¬ a come a production of various commodities that characterized the years of the war and the preceding depression. We beginning to perceive a these sobering things, but are few of the real days not yet arrived. ligate of reckoning have We. like the prof¬ individual spender, borrower and. still in the stage of are intoxication, pleased with our spending and its results and, there¬ fore, wish use the our real it and devices to scatter wealth wish to the four to of the world. ners to prolong to same We still borrow to and to cor¬ seem mort¬ gage and to spend until the bitter end finally overtakes existent. undesirable, Our real prices arid high which or real wealth. our wealth is relatively scarce as our these are the only reliable guides known as to what is good or bad. seem we Since to us—an think are we is end non¬ acting a*, a self-regulating monop¬ economic world,, and that they are though we actually entertained olist, the government, like any the belief that God takes care of the best, possible guides'to pro¬ unregulated monopolist, is free to fools and the United States, and do whatever it pleases. There is ducers, consumers, buyers, sellers, that it makes no difference how savers, and investors, has permit¬ no standard of Tightness beyond foolish we be, we would do well ted tfiis country to go far astray what it wills if it chooses to cut itself loose from objective stand¬ ards. The departure of so many of our governmental officials and economists—particularly the Keynesian-Socialist brand — from and to drift into or to activities social far-flung are consequences u are But the desire to competitive system and the serious. depart from a is not con¬ fined to government officials and the Keneysian-Socialist econo¬ mists. Many people a fabulous Along almost with this has come an general acceptance of the that a ..government can notion markets market place. We obviously need to remind leadership are willing or ac¬ ourselves over and over today participants in those Federal that there is no sound basis for policies and practices involving the notion that the judgments of such departures. Pressure groups government officials are superior of almost every conceivable va¬ to the forces of the market place. of the taxpayers. Agricultural leaders, labor leaders, owners of mineral resources, heads of big business enterprises, heads of lit¬ tle enterprises, leaders in educa¬ tion, leaders in fields of religion, and so on and on seek financial aid from the Federal government. They When Sir George Paish, long Washington for alms looting speak proudly of getting nesian-Socialist doctrines which can in positions for "their share" of the The people of the United States sorely need to understand the na? ture and implications of the Key- an economy better than have afflicted this nation like a society acting collectively pestilence in recent years, and through the exercise of the judg¬ our distinct movement away from ment of all buyers and sellers private - enterprise - competitive operating freely and fairly in the manage of riety go to remind ourselves that the his¬ their wealth. sum. tive or to tory of the world is replete with, economic in nature and are cost¬ chapters on the wreckage of peo¬ ing the people of this country a ples whose governments dissipated these objective standards have af¬ fected this country most ad¬ versely. The ramifications of their embrace multitude of devices that are un¬ and toward governmen- tally-managed economy with its spending, waste, and destruction of our national patrir profligate mony. ii Socialism ; the private £ enterprise system—There are some versus close student of business fluctua¬ tions visited the United States in very important and basic things about a system of Socialism ver-r 1937, he put the matter accurately sus and well when he said: "Long ex¬ vate enterprise that the people of the United States need to realize. system of competitive pri+ a: perience has caused me to come the conclusion that the eco¬ crises of the world which come from time to time are the result rather of political action ture—politically, economically, in¬ economic action, and can become the standards of right and Socialism to nomic than of be avoided only men when the statesgreater of all nations have a understanding and have some consequences of economic law appreciation of the of their own actions. dividually. ards of is destructive in na¬ The subjective stand¬ the rulers of the people The objective standards produced by competitive private enterprise, Which are the only, wrong. ones that can reflect the combined judgment of all the people as to said that the states¬ what should be produced, ex¬ World, taken as h changed, and consumed, and as to whole, have, since the war, and what prices arid profits should be* especially in recent years, acted are scuttled by government rulers ... It may be men, of the. in such a manner as to bring the ilar or related fields where com¬ that they are attempting to force world machine almost to a stand Keynesians. and their petition in prices and profits and the helpless* taxpayers to subsid¬ still." philosophy, as thev have thus far operated chiefly through our Fed¬ losses prevails.' The standards for ize them. One of the basic tenets The widespread failure of the eral 'Government, have cost the the regulation of other types of of Marxianism is "From each ac¬ people of this country to under¬ people of this country billions stand clearly the nature and value .monopolies are implicitly ; the cording to his ability, to each ac¬ piled unon other billions of dol¬ of standards determined by comWhen the lars. And the end is not yet in same. proper concept cording to his needs." When. in¬ neb'ti^n. and the ? drift |to an sight. They have dissipated peo- of these matters is employed, the dividuals and groups go to Washincreasing amount of governmen*. development. of taxes and desirable would tend to prevail under com¬ Federal help. It is now a respect¬ such competition were operating. able thing to do. It is, according who did not Basically, the regulation of pub¬ to present, standards of behavior, need, or deserve, any appreciable lic utilities, if properly conceived, a manifestation of power and im¬ compensation in the form of in¬ is designed to provide prices and portance. terest when they loaned their sav¬ profits of a kind and degree that These, people* do not announce ings. The unfortunate effects on it is supposed would prevail under proudly that they are not believ¬ our hospitals, colleges, universities, competition. The standards used ers in the competitive system in and other endowed institutions are are the prices and profits in sim¬ so far as they are concerned, or painfully obvious. savers want bread." soon ap¬ that called for The element of fairness in com¬ they were impersonal petition means that the rules of objects—automatons—fit for noth¬ the game, as in all forms Of ri¬ ing except to be plucked^ valry, have been defined and ac¬ As a part of this widespread at¬ cepted, and are followed with titude, there has beeh an almost general approval. These rules uniform endless number of an would we . the objective the objective standards yielded by by competition. We have monopolistic powers in competition, in which all society records its j udgment, are inferior ar¬ some degree on the part of many to the opinion or desires of a few buyers and sellers. In time of men in assuring the general wel¬ In economics, let. it be empha¬ war, the Federal government puts sized, there is no objective stand¬ itself in the position- of a power¬ fare of the people of a nation Such a ard of fairness of prices and hence position cannot be de¬ ful monopolist, chiefly as a buyer. fended in science. of profits except where prices and As a monopolistic buyer it can fix There is no judgment that can profits are determined under con¬ the conditions under which it ditions of free and fair competi¬ will possibly equal the combined judg¬ buy. And since this monop¬ ment of all buyers and sellers tion. Prices and profits thus de¬ olist is also our Federal govern¬ termined are regarded as object¬ Producers, buyers, and sellers all ment;; there is no superior authorv, ive or natural in the sense that get their best and their proper ity to act as - a neutral regulator guidance from free markets. they are not controlled by the as between the helpless sellers act of any individual buyer or The widespread failure in this and the monopolistic buyer in an seller or by the direction of any effort to see. to it that prices and country to understand what objec¬ regulating authority. They are profits are fixed at a level that tive standards of value mean, that sort virtues or protection; of wheat say its mar¬ ket value is. by the operation of the forces of We have and fair competition. Any departures though that contention jus¬ the result of the competition of tified their policies. The alleged all buyers and sellers in the market virtues of public debt were ex¬ place. They are the result of that pounded vigorously by these econ¬ society's judgment; and there is omists. Practically none of them no other better, no other object¬ seemed to see any dangers in it. ive, standard in so far as that so¬ Taxpayers seemed to no have ciety is concerned. *^-as and buyers free other in occurred history. The impairment of our savings and the dissipation of our national wealth are parts of this from - we involving the welfare of thus nation that have competition, thai effects, that probably wilJ flow is substituting its from this exceedingly unhealthy type of appraisal of values that is government personal or subjective and, there¬ power and will for the obj ective situation appear not to be widely standards yielded by competition. understood. We seem to be in the fore, arbitrary, in nature. No When a government substitutes its same general situation as the in-, person need accept another's sub¬ jective standard as "right" or ob¬ subjective will for objective stand¬ dividual borrower: who has bor¬ jective. The science of Economics ards, the net results are artificial rowed almost to the limit and is' values, economic waste, and pos¬ busy spending the proceeds. becomes useless. feels prosperous and has a sense: Individuals cannot argue ef¬ sibly a disastrous destruction and of well-being. He sees the out-, fectively about the Tightness? of dissipation of a nation's wealth We have seen much in this worlc ward symptoms of prosperity—a prices or profits or losses that re¬ sult from free and fair competi¬ in rfecent years, and throughout large flow of money, large bank the history of the world, as tc. accounts, much buying, and great tion. The farmer's subjective happens to people when, activity. But there are some so¬ value of his wheat may be above what aspects of this picture; that indicated in the competitive governments presume to tell them bering what they may produce, what they There are the matters of debt and* market with the result that he may consume, and what prices taxes and.of the situation in re-: may decide not to sell. But his launches standard from objective standards of ap¬ praisal of what is proper or just-— In the light of the trend, of events Closely related to this anti-sav¬ in this country in recent years, it withholding will not alter " the may or must be. We would do well to weigh wit! ing, pro-spending, program of our obviously needs to be emphasized market price. Neither, he nor government was the ..concept of again and again that there are no care, and to consider the great anyone else can appropriately say economic maturity which some of objective standards by which we that in, Thomas Jefferson's the market price at that time wisdom our economists and others were can measure what is proper in "Were is not the correct price. It is the warning of 1821. He said: able to inject into our Federal production, prices, prof its,, savings, we directed from Washington proper price for the reason that when to saw; and when to reap, policies. Since, so it was alleged, investment, and in the distribu¬ that price reveals 'what all sellers lation of capital goods. ably the most dangerous tenden¬ demonstrating that they are no longer believers in the vir¬ tues of the competitive system but prefer the basic principle of Karl Marx. They want their needs met, as they see them, by the tax¬ what produce. departure from the tally-managed economy are prob¬ at of the taxpayers they expense in subsidies seeking ingjton Oar Economic System in the Ui Mettled Woild Thursday, July 8, 1948 under a system of Socialism. What Socialist or so-called eco-; nomic planner wants is to be able every to enforce his plans and to over-* rule the plans of all other peonle. The only freedom that he really advocates and is freedom for himself, friends, according to his own standards as to what he wants". THE "Volume 168 : Number 4714 COMMERCIAL the so-called; importance of the individual gives advocate oi way to the importance of the State. what he regards as his own wel¬ When Socialism becomes as thor¬ fare; he is a potential dictator.: ough-going as in Russia, freedom When people advocate govern¬ Of the individual disappears as ment dictatorship in some form it does freedom of speech and the is always dictatorship, by their press and indeed all freedom ex¬ own clique. cept to live and labor as a tonguej Perhaps no lesson of history is tied wage slave ordered about as Evfery advocate .Welfare of State is an . trogression. That is not what the other individual.. struggles of mankind throughout These concepts have brought tOj the centuries teach us is the .enligtened people the rule of law, proper course to take. with those of any guarded constitutions. These are the ear¬ marks of civilization. Socialism dictatorship based upon the will of the rulers., •This- fact is not altered by. the, ; tendency of many modern. Social¬ . ists means write to speak of "demo- or era^ie Socialism." We need to understand that no ded-; so-called help. One type of re¬ in this picture is that we are is properly ; action is illustrated by Socialist weakening our economy at an ap¬ organized and given the power—-! England, if a London dispatch in palling rate to aid governments military, naval, and air—to en¬ ■the New York "Times" of June 5 and "people that are inefficient, Ctradictiori in It terms. is ah ;attempt to sugarcoat bad medicine.1 'The importance of the individual' Jis in practice denied by the So* Economic •cialists. calculation by «the conventional standards of the market* place becomes ■unless there is a impossible competitive sys¬ tem in another country which I provides such standards. As a •consequence, results of past actions by the government planners cannot be measured by objective • • -standards derived from Socialism; iand plans for the future cannot -rest worthwhile calcu-i -lation. If'Socialism were univer-' •sal; there would be no objective : upon any which standards anywhere against -to measure results.. the Socialist ders scarce i and At the best, government squan¬ valuable wealth and produces wastefully and fool¬ Chaos and poverty for all Social¬ ishly; tend to be the final result. is and, that have, during the last 30 in their international troubles and With international Statism out of of peace—with reconstruc¬ evitable by government officials here today if the House of Repre¬ tion, : production, trade, consump¬ sentatives vote cutting funds for tion, and better living. Each nation should be allowed aid to Europe won Senate en¬ to have any type litical, and of economic, pti-! social organization our then to that we that the people desire or endure, any interference from any nation. from Press dispatch sovereignty invaded, and it should not be permitted to invade 'Evening News' asserted that 'Mr. Taber seems to be claiming the the right to should not be sovereignty of another nation. Just tion as free trade within a na¬ our fosters Constitution send to a operate relief with abroad. a We which Europe cannot .it added." What the Manchester "Guardian" seems to oe saying is that if Marshall Plan that irre¬ deemable currency. The govern¬ is, therefore, free to do sub¬ stantially as it pleases in diverting the resources of the people of the United States to foreign govern¬ ment should be ousted that result "this deemable regard to interference That is "world a - wealth our not owes tolerated. be to variation novel me-a-living" - the of doc¬ trine. It is that "the United States Britain owes a living to the people themselves so they can determine what Governments themselves as regardless of what their government may do or be like, and that to withhold aid under any circumstances is an they need to do is to return di¬ can run away with the people's purse and ruin a nation. That is what an irre¬ Europe cannot tolerate." In still other words, this 'seems to mean entitled a rind,; is the kind of interference which that destined have been they wish done. in matters of this government a as we purse Jpecause of her Socialist gov¬ if that the people are rect control over the government's use and abuse of the people's aid should be withheld from Eng¬ ernment and States relatively simple lesson in a very hard and expensive way. Perhaps the most basic thing tolerate,' land ex¬ with socialistic devices stifle enterprise and foster to learn what should 'This is the kind of inter¬ ference them in large they reduce their It would appear that oust—a ment.' also of system the Marshall Plan as to denounce—perhaps particular govern¬ use weapon even us demand support while of the United Manchester liberal "The adds: to waste and inefficiency. nection with the Its involve to even periment published in con preceding report, London, or hours of labor and continue to that Associated ways ask measure dorsement." An found years, arts economic, political, and social sys¬ tem so that we may be strong. The framers of report peace prosperity so should free trade among nations tend to generate and spread well-being. International exchange under competitive conditions, as within a nation, should determine what is justice. desired and not desired, and what III. should and should not be produced Foreseen Relationship Between for foreign trade. Each' nation Our Economy aiid Those of So¬ should be able to regulate its for¬ cialist Britain and Communist eign trade in accordance with its, Russia-^There would1 appear ■ to standards of fairness. be no way in which one may esti¬ Capital investments in foreign mate with any assurance as to countries and relief for foreign accuracy what the future rela¬ peoples should in principle be left tionship between our economy and to private enterprise; otherwise, those of Socialist Britain and governments engaging in such un¬ Communist Russia may be. dertakings can, by compulsion, Perhaps all that may be said dissipate a people's wealth un¬ appropriately in respect to this wisely, if not to the point of dis¬ matter is that we should keep ourselves strong in order that we aster, if, because of the use of ir¬ redeemable money, it has removed may be as able as possible to the public purse from direct con¬ meet eventualities which cannot trol by the people. be foreseen. There is, therefore, We have created government every reason why we should keep agencies to make investments and the undermining poison of. So¬ and That said in • the cialism reliable. as-' part: "A further drop in Britain's sured, each nation should then be living standard and the spread of in a position to proceed with the unemployment were seen as in¬ force its decisions. private-enterprise-competitive system in fostering the importance of the individual, in stimulating production, in providing a great volume, variety, and exchange of goods and services, in providing prices that are right, in distribut¬ ing income and rewards in accord¬ ance with objective standards of That fo a con* The one thing that would seem to be definite and beyond dispute icated to0 such peace, |and thus I order" of the dictator.: system of economy known to man without 'They have brought limited gov¬ can match or ever has matched other with the people safe¬ by bills of rights and 31 tional organization, earnestly than that we, »the dictators see fit. must begin, in our thinking, with, To- take the road to Socialism the importance of the individual is to take the road to>social re¬ and the equality of his basic rights' ernment, (127) But such, peace is unattainable, it; of reaction abroad as the result of would seem; unless an interna-l our help or threat to reduce our cmor^ fundamental in contrast with the "Thus I will, & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE regardless currency, paper with Dined com* government that wishes to rule a people, permits. need We a face to this basic fact and to get back on solid ground. be a Santa Claus for others, but there is no Santa Claus anywhere to save the United We may its from States foolishness if it dissipates its wealth, depreciates its currency, and weakens its so¬ cial fibre sufficiently to make it, finally, a prey to the poison of Socialism»or dictatorship in some other form, . of what she may choose to do po¬ litically or economically." The United States taxpayer is to pay what Britain requires, otherwise we are interfering with her socalled enlightened social experi¬ ments. That, it would appear, is symptomatic of the results of our profligate so-called aid to foreign John Haskell Heads Mission to Sweden , Emil Schram, President of>■ the New York Stock; Exchange, has as Ludwig von Mises has understood much better than do countries. said, planned chaos. the critics of the private-enter¬ announced that John Haskell, \r ; i.-;*:< \ The No economic and social system prise-competitive system the prop¬ question would seem to Vice-President, has been given a in "the world has- ever matched er functions of government, the ments, other institutions, and peo¬ arise as to why a people who mus year's leave of ple; and there is little that thrifty meet the standards of the private absence to ac¬ the private - enterprise - capitalist needs and importance of the in¬ and concerned people can -do enterprise system should be taxed ; system based upon free and fair dividual, and the freedom that is cept appointabout the matter. The reason, in to support a people who tolerate pointment by competition, with the government necessary if enterprise is to blos¬ addition to that involving the loss a Paul G. Hoff¬ government that is strangling .acting chiefly as umpire,, regu¬ som and bear its natural fruits. of their direct power over the private lator of monopolies', and tne pro- With recognition of the fact that enterprise. At least it man, Admin¬ public purse, is that a government, would seem desirable to leave lector of the general interests.; • istrator, Eco¬ liberty and general well-being so freed, can purchase the gooc each individual free to decide nomic : Coopcould not thrive except under a WBut when economic distortions will of pressure groups with suf¬ whether he wishes to e r a t i o n Adsupport private - enterprise - competitive occur, due perhaps to wars, or unficient votes to keep itself in such a system. m i n istration, wise governmental policies, peo- system, they wrote into our Con¬ power for a very long time. If as Chief of A free enterprise economy ob¬ pie tend, in recent years at least, stitutional system provisions for the government is sufficiently that Adminis¬ to forget these basic facts and to this liberty which embraced the ruthless it may not be possible to viously is so strong in its funda¬ tration's mis¬ i seek government help. Politicians, right? to private property, the mental nature that it can with¬ remove those in power except by sion to Swe¬ ^endeavoring to please, attempt to right to engage in enterprise, the stand -severe abuse at the hands revolution. den. Mr. Has¬ of bad government. The fact that £ meet;tihe demand s of these seekers right to exchange goods freely, kell will make It is possible that private enter¬ 'of governmental protection. .The the right to enter into. contracts. our economy continues to func¬ his headquaruse of irredeemable currency As a consequence, this nation, in prise would not have provided tion as well as it does in the face John Haskell ters in Stock¬ makes this easy. This procedure the 160 years following the adop¬ the capital investment and relief of the abuse to which it has been, sufficient to bring about a rela¬ Mr. Haskell has been and is being, subjected, is some holm. grows and grows. The new gen¬ tion of our Constitution, reached with the Exchange eration tends to pick up where the highest level of living of any tively rapid general recovery in indication of the virility of pri¬ associated ism is, : •:.% v ■ . . • • . . . . . 1938 and has been a left off because, country on earth. Our people ac¬ the war-devastated nations. On vate enterprise. .But although it since in these complished more and did it in less the other hand, private enterprise is powerful, it also contains, like Vice-President since March, 1939. matters, they have a very small time than any other people in the might have dorie a better and a large locomotive, many delicate, A graduate of the United States basis on which to reach independ- history of the world. In addition^ even quicker job-than our gov¬ and delicately - balanced, parts Military Academy in 1925, Mr. ernment may do. Apparently, which can be thrown out of bah? Haskell served as a Colonel in ent judgments. Thus a national it Is substantially accurate to say there is no way as yet to estimate World War II, drift of this type becomes easy. that it has been the great institu¬ entering active ance very easily if tampered with It is like the silent thief in the tions of individual freedom and with any accuracy what the net by inept hands. Still further, there service in October, 1943. He results of the activities of these is a limit as to how far our gov¬ night. Every college and univer¬ private enterprise in this country served with the 27th New York ! the preceding one with ineffective schooling • ; • f sity teacher can see the "on the present generation " lege" students ' to devoted . of one the effects of col- Presidency; development of % Statism, lastihg over a dozen years. These people lack experience with "the variations which generally characterize different Presidents; : they have V distinct aged inclination governmentallv - maneconomy because they un- toward ' a derstand0 little else. - As a consequence of this drift j of; bur country in recent years toWard Statism, we have reached a Stage in which; we dow1; think : we imustr have; government aid *pt ^ proteetiPh or management ^pf dhig and that, parity prices for aericulr ture, subsidies for the inefficient, • • " i . r • fixing to • cover up great scarcities, "social enterprise" piled price upon "social enterprise"—a steady, will be. judgment will ap¬ and nations of Europe from the parently be largely in the realm of subjective appraisal since the, onslaughts of autocratic govern¬ objective standards of attainment, ments. In the face of these facts, provided by competitive enter¬ we find vociferous groups urging prise, will apparently be largely that we replace these institutions lacking. There probably will be with those of autocratic govern¬ some objective standards against ments. which these governmental pro¬ There are no lessons in history grams can be measured, just as that justify autocratic govern¬ we measure the accomplishments ments or Socialism. And perhaps in a Socialist country against Obiall that can be said profitably as jective standards that exist in to our possible future relationship other countries. with such governments,'and* econ-f That there are prodigal waste omies abroad is that we; should and downright foolishness in¬ not permit ourselves to be con¬ volved in many of the activities taminated, any further with the. bf: some; if not all, of the governr diseases that have afflicted those ment agencies designed to provide countries. They have been op-? foreign aid seems beyond serious pressed,: weakened, and -sapped qf question. Although no one, ap¬ vitality byv dictatorial govern¬ parently, can do more than guess ments. * • ' v • that have been and .over again, and to make ourselves ' enterprises Even the final • IV. Policy Needed at,what the final results • to ernment can our the dissipa¬ national wealth. ital investment. We ices and served may be;, in Washington, living recklessly and in North Africa, Italy, the Middle a prodigal manner. Our govern¬ East, England, France and in Rus¬ ment are agencies, devoted to foreign investment and relief, do not meet the standards of the private enterprise system and fore wasteful of sia. our are there¬ His next assignment was seems the In people's sub¬ some reasonable costs to the been to suppose people that of the with General Omar Bradley as Deputy Chief of Intelligence with respects they are While on downright foolish. These insti¬ Army Group. tutions and their procedures rest assignment, in Germany, chiefly upon the sands of emotion, Haskell was wounded. guessing, and wishful thinking. It stance. awarded the the 12th this-last Colonel He has Purple Heart, Legion of Merit, the Bronze Star, results are, of course,, United States will be all out of French Legion of Honor and Croix known: We know of the exporta¬ proportion to the returns whether de Guerre, Order of the' British tion of our wealth abroad, of our these be measured in real wealth some Rehabilitate in go Division. in the Pacific as Chief Dur¬ of Staff and in the Logistics sec¬ ing World War II and since, this dissipation has proceeded at a tion of the Operations Division frightful pace, and it is not clear of the War Department General that we have yet learned anything Staff. He was subsequently de¬ of importance about the value of tailed to General William J. Don¬ economy and thrift, and the desir¬ ability of persistent and great cap¬ ovan's Office of Strategic Serv¬ tion of .. , understand, as we ob- the World — As to the policy needed to rehabilitate the world, do not, that -Socialism is an arbitrary, inefficient, anH de¬ apparently the first and most basic structive system; that under it the element required is world peace. • i viously government . subtle fnarch toward Socialism. We1 need to remind ourselves ; pver employed twice in the last 30 years to rescue peoples great debt and taxes, of our high prices. We also know of certain types ultimately sent us or in the satisfaction to be found in mere our ef¬ Empire, Czechoslovakian Cross and service ribbons forts! to -be helpful and generous. battle stars. War with six 32 THE (128) As We See COMMERCIAL It (Continued from first page) helpful truths should be deduced by peoples and governments. The first of these is the become now a wide variety of evident truth that to adopt communism — certainly if the country adopting it is within reach of Russia — is tantamount to accepting the role of vassal to the Kremlin. Even in those countries which are geographically distant from Russia, the communist elements quite obviously take orders from Moscow, and if they come into power, act accordingly. Communism and fealty to Lenin and Stalin have come to mean one and the same thing. It is, of course, conceivable that a country advantageously situ¬ ated for the maintenance of its independence could embrace communism and remain free of Russia, but or the feasibility of any such it is vulnerable to an eventual among its own peoples; it is quite another to proceed in a readjustment. However, underly¬ similar way with foreign peoples stretched across a conti¬ ing demand factors still continue nent in large numbers and possessed of an almost infinite strong, particularly in the durable variety of backgrounds and speaking a dozen languages not goods industries. After declining heard within the boundaries of Soviet Russia. We should moderately in January and Feb¬ ruary to 251, the index of new certainly not like to see the Kremlin reach out its deadening orders rose sharply to 264 in hand across the European Continent, but we believe that its March, with all the increase in the troubles would be only beginning when it Had done the durable goods group. New orders marching — and we should suppose the shrewd men who in the latter group reached a new sit the in Russian regime. Berlin. It can it has for as us on be little doubt that in a number of countries, some of them traditional lovers of liberty, the communistic countries argue that some such organization of society offers the best opportunity for advancement of the public welfare, and there are not so many, as in this country, who look upon these claims as ridiculousrTSut there are probably very few who would voluntarily and knowingly submit their economy, their belongings, their future, and indeed their lives to the whims of a body of foreigners sitting in high and secret council and claiming a monopoly of the knowledge of the real meaning of Marxian precepts. The Tito episode should, accordingly, place a, restraining hand upon the spread of communism westward across Europe—now that it has been made dramatically clear that the spread of communism is the equivalent of the spread of Russian dictatorship and tyranny. notion has taken real hold. are some elements in this situation which should and certainly afford some whole¬ some to those who seem to suppose that Russia is about to swallow up the rest of the world in one big gulp and suffer no inconvenience after doing so. It may be true, no doubt it is true, that there are substantial ele¬ ments in Yugoslavia who may,be willing for Tito to strut give Russia pause, too food for thought life out his or so collectivize are, foolish so in which we ment How are as sectors fact of Berlin, few — long as he does not attempt to communize them, but who would give trouble, once a extent, from the enlarged; foreign aid ex-?; penditures, and this year's income tax reduction. - will 1929. of The Kremlin, if it undertakes to "march across Europe to the Atlantic," either literally or figuratively, must expect to encounter hostility among the peoples some subjects and continuous difficulties throughout the to come. A Russia which extends in effect to the Atlantic could conceivably he a weaker Russia than the one that is now ruled from the Kremlin. It certainly would be risking a frittering away of its strength to try subjugating the hundreds of millions of people to the west of its domain. Of course, it will be said that Russia has its of dealing with individuals Into line readily and remain can be no denying that such to effect its purges within Abnoimal Factors Maintaining; of wage afford sufficient stimulus to main¬ funds on price structure for some time, longer, possibly throughout 1948* Business confidence may also be flected resented in necessarily a been Chase sharply higher price debt. new Chairman re¬ the highest since amount, 75% rep¬ or this Of 1929. the available goods pro¬ has duced 749,000,000, the of National Mr. Aldrich, Board of the in said Bank, and the (Continued from page 3) $110,000,000,000, or three times the figure of $37,400,000,003 in 1939. Thus, the pressure of these a heightened by the prospects of e Republican victory this fall. The accompanying table indi¬ concisely the relationship of today's economy contrasted with cates ; that of previous peak years. * ; recently: "Easy money means It is clearly debt,: Easy debt at a time evident that the> American economy is at a level prices means extremely burdensome debt when prices de¬ today which far exceeds the peak cline. A period of inflation is a established in past years. period in which debt should bo $ s|: talk' structure. easy of inflated Maintaining Prosperity Factors It be readily seen that the prices on pro¬ duction with regard to governing demand is upset by other circum¬ stances, or forces, which at times exert a potent influence. More recently other factors, such as the following, have been having their can normal influence of effect: prices go higher, with some incomes lagging, and many people unable to afford some of the things desired, they resort to credit and instalment buying. For As (1) a time this maintains demand at high level in spite of prices, although eventually leading to an unhealthy situation. Although not out of line with the present peak level of national income, consumer credit is now. at an all-time high a of $13.4 billion. (2) Record, industrial activity and high prices also mean corpo¬ rations must add to inventories, carry larger receivables, increase plant capacity, etc. Money is bor¬ rowed from banks, new bonds are issued or additional equity issues are sold. A larger proportion of The peak in 1937 was $4.8 billion. Last year total new reduced, are increased." not vital stimulant to the a particularly omy, at this econ¬ time. government spending arising from policy of military prepared¬ ness. This represents another case of goods being bought largely re¬ gardless of the relative price level a new because of the starting these apparent urgency the demand of a In this con¬ given to the basic position of the general economy. Record produc¬ tion, peak price level, full employ-* all-time ment, high wage rates, profits char¬ phase of a bull market rather than its inception. and record corporate acterize the latter The latter phase of a bull market, often the most dy¬ namic. If fanned by the fears of further inflation through a re¬ however, is newal of government deficits and hopes of greater market recogni¬ tion of current corporate earning power, extend believe this phase could at least through the summer. X it is important to keep program. factors Thus effectively strongly general economy the rate of production 1941 1937 $90.2 30.5 General Price Level '(B) 95.3 86.3 86.4 ' and the $125.3 $244.3 (F) 110.0 ''87.3 162.7 104.9 Industrial Production (C) „ Total Civil'n Empl'm't (G) 110 46.3 45.3 50.4 Average Weekly Wages— $25.03 $24.05 $29.58 113 1948 50.1 " Farm Prices (B) (E)__ the existence in mind, however, the position of the over-all and our present position counteract,, for a time at least, the in the business cycle. Sight should more normal economic laws such as effective demand diminishing not be lost of this important con¬ from a as the price level advances, thus sideration longer view;, standjoint. Meanwhile, eventually balancing effective market the outlook for the intermediate supply and demand. With this general situation cur¬ period continues relatively favor-*; of 27.3 Per Share confirms j perform¬ nection consideration must also be $103.8 — Outlook technical of public funds purchase Amer¬ ican goods, regardless of price, to be shipped abroad. Foodstuffs, steel, machinery, ad infinitum, are bought in this country out of American production and sent away, The normal equalizing ef¬ fect of the price process on de¬ mand factors is thus largely nul¬ lified. .Superimposed on the for¬ eign aid program is the added past, huge sums have been used to Money Supply (A) . ance recent primary bull market. 1929 — The Today, and for some time in the capital issues Gross National Product (A) Market Stock expenditures Government (3) price structure, is at an abnor¬ by corporations amounted to $4,-' mally high level. To that extent way Dividends is the case, but it is one thing its own territorial limits and change, together with the third increases initiated by General Motors and tax re¬ duction already granted, should Business at Boom Level Earnings Per Share (E)___ own to subject tain general business activity Prices (D) and groups which do not fall in their assigned niche; There plans for this year are, program, 82.4 162 381 $19.94 $12.75 194 $11.49 $8.78 133 able. |ft . ( Psychology plays an important role at this stage of the cycle, and confidence investment bolstered has outcome of the tion. The Presidential elec¬ general level of stock 187.0 prices is still 193 comparison with corporate 58.4 $52.0 188 $11.64 $20.00(F) $7.59 $10.70(F) been by the recent technical performance of the market in reaching new high levels. Current, prospects favor an encouraging ' Dow Jones Ind. Stock Dangerous Strategy plant and broadly, the impact of foreign aid spending and the preparedness round it years new general economic condi-; deteriorate, but viewed: tions of collectivation of the whole society is current income is used for cor¬ Yugoslavians may or may not be more porate purposes, which restricts difficult to convert than other peoples in eastern Europe, dividend payments in some cases. but one thing is certain beyond any doubt, and that is that Since August, 1945, when the •■war ended, commercial, industrial, and rently r:prevailing, it is fairly, well the people of that plucky little State do not want to be agricultural loans have increased recognized, or should be, that the slaves of any foreign regime. from $6 billion to over $14 billion. domestic economy, based on both rigorous program undertaken. The The course, should respects Russia needs as on This is 15% over the record expenditures of $16.2 last year and compares with only $5.2 billion in 1939 and $9.2 billion in equipment. we Perhaps the entir6 situation reappraisal. business, exclusive of billion in 1948 the good will everything in understand. The upon ever American agriculture, plans to spend $18.7, did so, and are now paying the price of the folly, but the outrageous behavior of Russia is certainly not adding either to her prestige or her popularity. is, however, that by defense program, and the whim of the Politburo for almost our recently ,is stimulated erable to enter into an arrange¬ dependent The placing orders been outlook arising, to a consid-*' ness and the British could we have to increased confidence in the busi¬ was Many in these Russian Troubles There We have been that the people of this side of the Atlantic. There said enjoyed gains in new orders dur¬ additional of folly of the same sort that kept us sitting idly for days on end to permit the Russians to enter year. minds indicates capital ing April and May. strength¬ of course, responsible for per¬ mitting ourselves to be found in a position in which Russia can deal with us as she has been doing of late in — suppose further come on respect, could not well strengthen respect for the ever would well peacetime high. be A later survey be added that the Tito episode has Berlin from the East. Italy and France would ponder the Marshal Tito epi¬ sode with great care. Communism as such, as is true of socialism, has not such terrors for many European would Moscow of the heels of behavior elsewhere which has not ened feat is yet to be established. of the European countries now appar¬ ently toying with the idea of adopting the Marxian system, as expounded by Lenin and Stalin, can scarcely expect to remain free of foreign interference, if not domination, should they proceed in any such way. This much must be plain as a pikestaff to every thoughtful man on that troubled continent now that the experience of Yugoslavia is before the world. Of course, most sensible men have long been quite aware of what Marshal Tito has now discovered, but apparently there have been a good many individuals and large elements in numerous populations which were not. That some such awareness is now beginning to take; hold of the minds of Europe is strongly suggested by the several defeats the communists have suffered in Europe in the past one rooms goods manufacturers have It may any Certainly smoke-filled of the fact. aware Communism Means Serfdom Certainly Thursday, July 8, 194S FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & relatively low iri earn-, ings and dividend payments. With improved, speculative and invest¬ ment sentiment, current corporate earning. power could be capital¬ ized at months a higher rate and it over coming that this (A) Billions of dollars; (B) 1926=100, Bureau of Labor Statistics; current phase of the market (C) F. R. B. 1935-1939=100; (D) High price for the year; (E) Earn¬ ings and dividends per share, on the Dow Jones Industrial Averages; movement should have further to run on the upside. (F) First quarter annual rate; (G) Millions of persons. appears Volume 168 THE Number 4714 Urges More Liberal Bank Dividend period ord of banks Policy s 1919 to 1929 the was not rec¬ bad one; a FINANCIAL & The State oi Tiade and (Continued from page 6)v;;'vV the COMMERCIAL exactly a third of memberprofits was retained.,; This true though supervisory this policy during that period apparently was mod¬ erate. The proportion of profits paid out by nonbanking corpora¬ tions during this interval was higher. was even pressure on begin. The corn belt substantial general rains during the week and the outlook corn and oats was greatly improved. 1 and other places over-the inability .to make 10,000 freight cars a month, some car-building shops are looking for orders for January of 1949, and, observes "The Iron Age," the voluntary allocation plan can be thanked for the smooth running of the freight car program. Closing prices for both grains were sharply under a week ago. was increased activity in export flour business last week. Domestic flour buying remained at a low level as bakers and . "Certainly flexibility among dividend policy would desirable, if it could be at¬ banks foe in tained. with Those ownership could close-knit follow; policies best adapted to the advantage of both the bank and its owners. Banks with wider distribution of December. prices. unless the cars, program next year because of steel. trade Cotton price movements were Spot prices at The American Iron and Steel Institute announced on Tuesday for points, or the for operating rate of steel companies having 94% of the steel-making pacity beginning July 6, 1948, A month ago the indicated rate 5.2%, from last week. the clos¬ The institute stated that the fall in the rate was due to ing down of beehive coke ovens and the Independence Day holiday. It said, however, was that there was no indication that any required this week as coal supplies are further curtailment would be ^Vhat Are Reasonable Dividends? Professor bis Robinson article with a concludes of discussion reasonable dividend standards for individual banks. banks, such as "(1) -Many those in nonindus- trial suburbs and in matured com¬ munities have limited loan oppor¬ ample for the present. ments. Once this sort of pro¬ ... gram has been adopted, a fairly high proportion of earnings over the long run can be paid out. (2) Banks with sizable loan op¬ , portunities . . be justified in following the policy of retaining a great deal of earnings. In a few cases they may even find it advantageous to sell additional shares. Any bank that has . may . . loan busi¬ (it must be admitted that this rarely hap¬ pens) probably could have earned a satisfactory return on the capital it needed to keep such loan busi¬ ness. (3) Equalization of divi¬ dends over the various phases of business fluctuations has much to merit it as a policy. Fluctua¬ tions in banking profits have been due more to nonrecurring losses than to changes in the net earn¬ ings from current operations. Since loan losses were greater than investment losses, and since loans are now relatively less im¬ portant, bank earnings should flucutate cyclically less than in the past.. actually turned ness away for lack of capital . . 1940, the highest ,. Transactions in . . industry for the kwh., according to the Edison of 90,873,000 kwh. below the however 976,001,000 kwh., or power growth of recent years has been almost wholly due to governmen¬ tal fiscal policy. This growth week-end. wool market remained the on high asking prices was noted in There was little interest shown in medium wo,ols and woolen wools, but scoured wools were in fair demand. Imports of foreign ap¬ parel wools received at Boston, New York and Philadelphia remained in good volume, totaling 6,124,900 clean pounds in the week ending by the electric light ended July 3 was 5,165,825,000 Electric Institute. This was a decrease output in the preceding week. It was week ported for the corresponding period two years ago. June 18, compared with 5,249,900 in the previous week. as RETAIL AND WHOLESALE CAR LOADINGS DROP 2% IN LATEST WEEK ' ■ • . , , *r ■/ •'"V.: v.- t jj - with Production of most of ! a the United States and in retail of ■ volume goods, though clearance sales were generally less frequent *;• \ year ago. " 1 A considerable Canada than^ ; V?:' % increase in the demand for beachwear and sport clothing for both men and and trucks in seasonal specialties. during the week, comparing favorably with that of types many lines year ago, according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its current survey of trade. There were extensive promotional sales of some types PLANTS cars in of increase moderate a dollar volume a AUTO OUTPUT UP SHARPLY IN WEEK DUE TO REOPENING OF ASSEMBLY buying consumer was ; weather in many sections of the country encour-; summer the aged There Loadings for the week ended June 26, 1948, totaled 888,582 cars, according to the Association of American Railroads. This was a decrease of 18,192 cars or 2% below the preceding week, but an increase of 42,441 cars or 5% above the corresponding week in 1947 and 9,038 cars or 1% above the same week in 1946. TRADE CONTINUES COURSE FAVORABLE ' Hot lose to 112,349 units from 95,027 (revised) units the previous week, according to "Ward's Automotive Reports." for the banking system as a whole may prevail. This prediction is made despite the fact that on a relative basis the share of business financing done by banks seems to be showing a long-term secular decline. (5) Finally, the char¬ acter of bank stock ownership . . . dividend affect policy. upturn noted the past week was due to the return to pro¬ General Motors' Chevrolet division after a v/eek's shut¬ The duction women Summer night- apparent. was r attracted considerable attention and women's cotton dresses and wear of Output in the similar period a year ago was 63,460 units and, in the like week of 1941, This week's it was 96,457 units. 78,438 cars and 29,643 trucks cars and 1,544 trucks made in V consisted of and 2,724 output made in the United States Canada. BUSINESS FAILURES LOWER IN WEEK Commercial occurred in both large and small failures; A slight decline dipped from 89 to 84, while those with losses under $5,000 declined from 22 to 19. those involving liabilities of $5,000 Retail trade and commercial this week, while mortality in steady or increased. ' ' twice the failures 16 was gions had more declined failures more States again reported than 10 failures during the week; New England had 12. Mortality was less heavy than a and East North Central had 19 year ago in the Middle Atlantic and East North Central States. A FOOD PRICE INDEX DECLINE FURTHER IN WEEK trend found, on one stock way relations." ownership may of improving public \ Irregular movements again featured leading food markets. The was generally lower and the Dun & Bradstreet wholesale food price index dropped 2 cents further to $7.14 on June 29, from $7.16 a week previous. The current level compares with $6.39 on the corresponding date for eggs, to The Financial Chronicle) i KANSAS CITY, MO.—Christo¬ pher T. G. Manners is with Goffe & Carkener, Inc., Board of Trade Building. In the past he was with Jierrick, Waddell & Co. potatoes and steers. WHOLESALE A rather the prices. to The LOUIS, Financial MO.—Donald E. IWaldemar is with Stix & Co., 509 Street, members of the St. Louis Stock Exchange. Dun Grain INDEX listed butter, on markets wholesale latter part commodity price June 29 from 290.45 a week previous. were lower in the closing days of and prices new and used cars remained in very large demand. There was a seasonal lull in the buying of conventional living, dining and bed-room suites and the demand for porch and lawn furni¬ ture was sustained at a very high level. . Retail volume for the country in the period ended on Wednesday was estimated to be from 7 to 11% above that of the of last week a year ago. Regional estimates exceeded those of lowing percentages: New England and a year ago Middle by the fol¬ West, 6 to 10; East, 7 to 11; South, 5 to 9; Northwest, 8 to 12; Southwest, 9 to 13, and Pacific Coast, 4 to 8. Favorable weather in many sections of the country the past week stimulated retailer buying of some seasonal goods, but the dollar vol¬ ume of orders was slightly below the level of a week ago. The vol¬ ume of trading in many wholesale markets compared favorably with that of the corresponding week a year ago. The Fall buying season has been prolonged in many areas and some retailers continued to avoid commitments high prices in many for long-term deliveries last week. Continued lines restricted retailer buying to some extent. on a country-wide basis, taken from, as the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended June! increased by 7% from the like with an period of last year. increase of 21% in the preceding week. 26, 1948, This compared., For the four weeks 26, 1948, sales increased by 6% and for the year to date «! 1 K - - r - stimulated by extremely hot days here in New York, in addition to the advantage of an extra shop¬ ping day this boosted year as the fourth of July fell on Friday in 1947, department store sales last week and retail trade in On M general. According to turned sharply the current period. Wheat prices sagged on hedge was accom¬ Vacationers evidenced considerable interest in luggage and at 258.25. irregular hair-waving kits moderate decline in volume at beauty, shops. sporting goods; both by 7%. REVERSES weakness in grain and cotton Bradstreet daily & a ended June sharp drop in the general price level in the past week largely reflected The panied by Sales of seasonal apparel the corresponding 1947 date it stood Chronicle) Lower prices were '!!! PRICE * The substantial demand; for home TREND index fell to 286.51 With Stix & Co. (Special . COMMODITY UPWARD of hogs and lambs. prunes, flour, wheat, corn, rye, oats, barley, beef, hams, lard, j; -With Goffe & Carkener | (Special raisins, ' , Department store sales Moving upward in the week were sugar, bellies, cottonseed oil, cocoa, a year ago. were steadily purchased with fresh fish and poultry continuing in large demand. Fresh fruits and vegetables were abundant and rea- t sonably priced and substitutes for high-priced meats and butter con- rise of 11.7%. a year ago, or a -► moderately Cold cuts, confectionery, soft drinks and beer were in very large demand along with other picnic items. Both frozen and canned foods held corresponding week and trade other industry was j; little a 30 business failures; almost in this area last year. The next largest number of 25 in the Middle Atlantic States. Only two other re¬ Pacific The or service all ;■ » above the level of July 1 dropped to 103 from the preceding week's 111, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. reports. Total failures were slightly more numerous than the 82 of a year ago; they were almost eight times as heavy as the 13 in the comparable week of 1946. Compared with the prewar level, how¬ ever, failures were only one-half as numerous as in 1939. shareholders. broadened apparel. tinued to be sought. in the week ended industrial failures and Men's lightweight Summer suits were heavily pur¬ chased along with slacks and sport shirts. Numerous weddings con¬ tinued to stimulate the buying of some types of jewelry and bridal Food dollar volume increased somewhat and bank with closely held shares can suit the convenience of these few Many banks have the other hand, that suits sold well. down because of materials shortages. lihood that rough deposit stability Olive raw various quarters. 23.3% higher than the figure reported July 5, 1947, which; included the Independence Day holiday and was 1,424,819,000 kwh. in excess of the output re¬ has ceased.... There is some like¬ VST. points for the week fended . "(4) Another factor to which Individual banks must look for¬ ward in framing dividend policy is their growth prospects. For the banking system as a whole, [: 79 quiet side last week as many mills were preparing to close down their plants for vacations until July 19. KWH.' LOWER IN LATEST WEEK The amount of electrical energy distributed . : be the Boston Some resistance to current and of demand cloths displaying a firmer tone at the prewar year. ELECTRIC OUTPUT 90,873,000 net drop a . . must - •. 1,627,600 tons of tons last week, 1,732,2Q0 tons a month ago, 1,380,700 tons, or 78.9 % of the oldL capacity one year/ago and 1,281,210 tons for the average week in This week's operating rate is equivalent to steel ingots and castings as against 1,716,000 tunities. The major employment of funds for such banks is in invest¬ " • New York showed was slow and market activity was limited mostly inquiries, light offerings and scattered sales. - The de¬ cline in values reflected heavy liquidation in the July contract, con¬ tinued delays in export buying, reports of further curtailment in. mill operations and selling induced by continued favorable advices as to the new crop. The market received some support at times as the result of price-fixing against recent sales of the staple to the CCC and expectations of good export demand early next season under the ECA program. Sales in the ten spot markets were reported at 31,700 bales for the week, against 48,200 last week and 23,600 a year ago,, ■ Textile markets were slightly more active with print 96.1%. was irregular last week with the trend vy.^' ' occasional to of 4.9 decrease a the result of good demand and the week. Mill of the industry will be 90.3% of ca¬ capacity week and refined markets displayed a cocoa continued firm. Lard as generally downward. authority concludes. of this week the raw Hog prices continued upward light receipts. their orders within the next five weeks or so, the will go far below the 10,000 goal and it won't be It will be—of all things—because of no orders, the railroads step up in both the Sugar prices firmer tone in the week and coffee and VS prices averaged slightly higher in relatively light trading. freight With all the talk about the need for more stock ownership could afford, other things being equal, to con¬ sider a more generous distribution of earnings." / other large users held to the sidelines in the hopes of lower wheat independent freight car builders or private car-building shops have no orders for delivery next January. The 90,000-car back¬ log at independent car shops is misleading. Of that backlog one com¬ pany holds 40,000. The rest of the industry has hardily enough busi¬ to carry them through received for both There Most ness 33 ;eports indicating larger-than-expected yields in the Winter wheat areas. Heavy rains over the week-end were reported in Kansas where the harvest is about to almost bank (129) harvest Indnstiy (Continued from page 5) < , CHRONICLE selling and liquidation, induced i by expectations of heavy receipts in the Southwest and continued the Federal Reserve Board's index, department store sales, in New York City for, the weekly period to June 26, 1948, increased 8above the same period last year.; This an increase of 18 % in the June 26, 1948,1 preceding week. compared with For the four weeks ended sales increased by 4% and for the year to date by 6%. 34 (130> THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, July 8, 1948 ip 1929. Thus far in 1948, undis¬ •turing' companies. A Federal Re-j tributed profits on artannual; basis serve compilation of financial data appear to have remained close to based on the published reports of' curred (Continued from page 11) the high 1947 leveL y\.v/' i' principally ;r in trade as I "Expenditures 200 of the largest manufacturing- Y for plant, as was about half as great in 1947 contrasted to manufacturing in¬ compared to those for "The rise in corporate profits corporations in the country/ in¬ equipment, as it was in 1940, but In the firstdustries. Throughout the past two have represented a larger propor¬ in 1947 resulted in part from? the dicates that the average (median)« quarter of 1948 it again became tion of the total in the 4ast.quar¬ increase i^thq years, but particularly in 1947, the ;(io^iv,yoiumeY of large. The sharp rise in inven¬ ter of 1947 and thus far in 1948 sales discussed earlier and in part profit after income taxes was 7.8 > rise in prices has accounted for a tories thus far in 1948 may prove than previously in the postwar from continued high profit mar¬ cents per' dollar of sales in- 1947 \:* to be an important factor in the large part of the increase in busi¬ period. For the postwar period as gins, particularly 'for" :manufac- as! compared with 6.7 cents in 1946 business situation, for it has oc¬ ness inventories. a whole, however, equipment ex¬ (Table II). Table III ; penditures have constituted r a Table II higher proportion of total expen¬ PROFIT MARGINS OF LARGE CORPORATIONS IN SELECTED' MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES ditures than in the prewar period, YY;/YY:YINDUSTRIES;-;* •" i (In billions of dollars) reflecting the substantial amounts Ratios of Profits after Income Taxes to Sales or Operating Revenues ;■ On Hand that have been spent to modernize (In per cent) Mar. Dec. Mar. Dec. Increase in existing productive facilities and —Manufacturing4 31, 31, 1st Quarter the expansion of plants in some 31, 31, Durable Nondurable Rail¬ Tele- Electric 1948 Industry— 1947 1947 1946 1948 lines 1947 during the war. Almost V'Y-v. Quarter— Goods Goods roads Power phone. Manufacturing: three-quarters of total expendi¬ 1947—1st y& 8.3 v: jDurable goods industries-17.8 -Y, 7.4 Y Y 11.0 YY 0,4.4 13.5 13.3 12.2 11.1 tures since the end of the war 0.2 1.1 Y,Y 2nd /—_ Nondurable goods indusY 5.7 ;• 6.8 16.1 4.4 lY 8.9 y FRB Reviews and Forecasts Business Trends . - Y . . • have dustries / 15.4 .. YyY y/y Total ■ | 13.2 12.3 0.7 0.9 28.0 28.9 14.7 25.4 23.4 0.9 2.0 been and vanced Trade: for equipment > equipment, new prices have Y ad¬ Y.: relatively less than plant Wholesale 8.2 7.5 6.7 5.9 0.7 0.8 11.7 9.9 10.0 8.7 1.8 1.3 "Business/plans caHf fpr a fur¬ expenditures in 1948 of ap¬ proximately 15% above the record and 7.2 cents in 1939. businesses,ate hotUdjusted'for inventory revaluation. groups as electric light and power, same sulted in of of the inventories has war re¬ a generally more bal¬ anced composition of such inven¬ tories If or peacetime purposes, even though some concerns have expenditures equipment, reached half of undoubtedly overextended their inventory positions. Stocks of dur¬ ably able plant on which had and already record level in the first- a 1946, has consider¬ grown to have goods generally creased relative to those of in¬ non¬ since then. Plans in the aggregate, nesses of busi¬ according Securities and Exchange Com¬ mission and Department of durable goods, and finished goods have increased relative to raw Commerce data, indicate expendi¬ tures for the year 1948 in excess materials and goods in process. of "Business inventories as a whole and in most lines, though high, are „ still not excessive in relation to the scale of current operations as compared with such relationships prewar years. Such relation¬ in ships, however, according to ex¬ perience are not in past business cycles, unequivocal guages of the adequacy railroads, "Plant and equipment expendi¬ tures: The dollar volume of busi¬ ness those 1947; this would not be true for all lines of business. The rate of growth during the past 12 months, after taking account of seasonal factors, has slowed up : "The Y .... plans of penditures tures of enter¬ prises to complete their postwar expansion possible programs have commercial levels sence to as been soon as facilitated ex¬ they will be addition, expendi¬ in rise and 1948 above are the ex¬ of restrictions con¬ tend to become excessive. More¬ over, the current inventory situa¬ tion differs greatly among indus¬ tries. vw In such manufacturing industries as iron and steel, nonferrous metals, and petroleum, for example, current inventories are undoubtedly low by whatever standard may be used, whereas in lines of metal products, rub¬ ber, and textile manufacturing in¬ some dustries they may already be high. equipment, such as in were effect in however, have been steadily increas¬ taxes as "The total dollar volume of new plant and equipment expenditures of businesses for the year 1947 as a whole, as shown Chart I totaled $16.2 billion, about twice the two expended than 75% prewar years expenditures increase in 1941 and above were 1929, the during which largest. Some in expenditures would probably be shown even if allow¬ ance were made for the rise in construction costs and equipment prices. was of declines. even retained and compared to 55% after reinvested, in also concerns undoubtedly for all group indicate favorable compari¬ more a today as led some companies contrasted in to years. "These data profit margins, it should be noted, relate to profits after all corporate much on costs and income higher taxes. Since tax ..rates are than they were before the war, the relationship between corporate sales and total costs now exclusive of income taxes has probably been more favorable recently than in most previous 1946 and. prosperous years. only 31% in 1929. The ready avail¬ ability of such funds in large volume not only facilitated busi¬ ness operations during this period but Estimates as unprofitable prior business profits factor affecting has been the crease in One important this smaller relative overhead as undistributed the measures 1943, the previous peacetime wartime peaks, and more than J* sharply rose approximately 10.5%, ;• 1% times the ratio in 1946 JJ about and double the compilation financial of data in rate 1929. s * A annual corporate •*prepared by the f National City Bank of New York and based on the published re¬ ports of panies profits in after taxes 1947 varied such in to from net worth 30% over manufacturing industries such tries as ~ 3,100 leading com¬ that the ratio of Y over shows \ in f.. as cotton goods, lumber, and household equipment to less than 5% ; : >, nonmanufacturing' indus- \ railroads and traction and ; bus transportation, and to deficits : for the manu- • factoring and air transport indus- , aircraft and parts tries. "Liquid direct costs during the period of rising prices. Many concerns may the funds operations, able assets: In retained addition from to ; current; businesses have been / during the postwar period to - CHART IH CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL cor¬ annual porate profits, as shown in Chart totaled approximately $11.0 billion in 1947, as compared to $6.9 billion in 1946, the previous annual high; $5.9 billion in 1943, the wartime peak; and $2.6 billion CHART I 1947 and in¬ against to increase their expan¬ "Aggregate worth, which relationship sion plans. II, extremely susceptible' to business by be course corporations, of profits since profit mar¬ have gen e r ally been maintained. A higher portion of these profits than in earlier years , to serious difficulties in the event. ment in panied by an unusually large vol¬ 61% of these of current with prewar profit margins; this is due primarily to the exceptionally small number "Undistributed profits: The very over for in high dollar volume of sales of the past two years has been accom¬ 1947, (Table III). data son of maim- , 1947 Internal Funds retained- profits corporations gins follows: as book value of the owners' invest- an has, been represented ar.e but have since recovered a good part, if not all, of their mid- the first-half of 1947. ing costs. more Y;; mer, tion expenditures in these indus¬ tries available only at amount 7 7.1 the first quarter of 1947, de¬ clined during the spring and sum¬ construc¬ on inadequacy ;y of in¬ since mid-1947 by high volumes management, and undistributed Inventory-sales ratios of new construction and of ma¬ profits, as in prior prosperous pe¬ have not increased substantially chinery and other equipment pro¬ riods, have provided most, of the recently, but this is only because duction. Such construction and new equity funds for business. In Generally speaking, it is only when sales level off, or actu¬ ally decline, that total inventories 6.6 15.5 in 1947 reflecting in part the ab¬ or tinued. 14.3 3.2 , service ventories. large increases in sales have 6.7 11.0 manufacturing companies of even moderate declines in 'the and for large corporations in other volume of production because of : selected industries, as are shown the lower profit margins that ac- Y in the / accompanying table, indi¬ company such declines. y Y* cate that profit margins, for most ;"For corporations in the aggre* V of these groups of large corpora¬ gate the ratio of profits after taxes tions at least, reached a high point to net before establishments pected Quarterly chemicals, still involve sizable completed. In ume business petroleum, and food of somewhat. 11.0 7.4 electric utilities (about 218 companies); 30 telephone companies. 1947 volume. The postwar expan¬ product tabula¬ expansion 4.9 factorings—105 durable goods companies and 95 nondurable goods f companies;. Class I railroads (about 130 companies); Class A landiB > sion programs of many companies in such important broad industrial since the end 13.2 6.8 . NOTE—The industrial groups . ther increase in plant and equip¬ NOTE—Monthly estimates of the Department of Commerce. For manufacturing and trade, figures are not additive since the former are on a revised, and the latter on an unrevised, basis of estimation. These figures, unlike those used in the gross national tions for all 5.1 ■ ment "The Y"' 4th YY 10.1 Y ,.6.7 —_ 1948—1st construction costs. Retail 3rd BILLIONS OF DOLLARS rate . • VOLUME BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4 4 COMMON STOCK CHART II PREFERRED STOCK UNDISTRIBUTED BUSINESS EXPENDITURES ON NEW PLANT AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL CORPORATE PROFITS EQUIPMENT BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 ANNUAL BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 12 12 20 ALL OTHER BONDS ALL OTHER 10 MANUFACTURING AND MINING 10 MANUFACTURING AND MINING 15 15 PER CENT PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION PER 100 - 10 CENT 100 6 10 75 75 (5 50 25 Co 1929 1937 1939 1946 194? 1929 1948 * * Estimates based on anticipated expenditures of business. Note.—Securities and ©I Commerce estimates. Exchange Commission and Department All other includes primarily railroads an.4 °tber transportation, electric and gas utilities, communiRations, trade, services, and finance, but excludes agriculture, 1937 1946 1939 50 25 1947 ?.}< Undistributed' profits in these years. Note.—Department were 'negative for "all other** * « .v. - Sil - « group . Y§ 1922-27 of Commerce estimates, except 1947. partly estimated by Federal Reserve. ; "All other'f primarily .-agriculture,, construction, trade, finance** Note.—Commercial and transportation, communications, other public utilities, and serv- Issues of investment trusts which . 1935- 39 july 1945 march is includes Financial are Chronicle, 1948 compilations excluded in 1926 and 1927. - Volume Number 4714 168 THE CHRONICLE FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL' & (131) on. liquid; assets <as a source; higher prices or to meet possible tained- by manufacturing compa¬ both the 1935-39 and 1922-27 pe¬ financing. These assets had. future contingencies. In fact, some nies dropped off slightly;; after riods; the years 1928 and 1929 .been accumulated during the war increase in such holdings may be 1946,; while that obtained by pub¬ cannot be compared because of years. In 1946 the liquid assets of! expected if sales and corporate in¬ lic utilities increased .very-sharply. the difficulty of allowing; pre¬ draw, 4of 35 Wages, Prices and f .business corporations In the case of the Utilities such fi¬ ;gregate decreased nancing was divided almost equally between telephone com¬ in the ag-J come taxes payable continue to; $6.5 billion.i increase, thus raising the require¬ .Since 1946, however, such assets ment for liquid funds for operat¬ have decreased only slightly, by ing purposes, and if the disburser* approximately one-half billion menfs of concerns that have com¬ (dollars in 1947. Most the of in 1946, it will be crease de¬ recalled,; liquidation of: tax notes and other government' securities to meet the high excess .resulted from the .profits taxes payable that .the previous year's year ons cisely for the numerous financial issues offered then. During the last quarter 1947 of the dollar panies* and those in the electric volume of new common stock is¬ sues totaled over $350 million, the light and power and gas group. "The* percentage of new corpo¬ largest quarterly volume of such peted their postwar expansion programs are substantially less rate security issues, excluding re¬ financing since the second quar¬ than their receipts. funding issues, represented by ter of 1930v The proportion of common stock, as is shown in new issues 'represented by com¬ External Sources of Funds Chart III, has been; larger since mon stock, however, as is shown j Table V has been smaller "As the period of practically the end of the war than it was in in prior periods of prosperity. Since mid-1945, the annual average capacity operations and of high excess profits tax was no longer!' prices has lengthened, business in the later Summer of 1946 than .leyied on 1946 corporate income. enterprises haver sought a some¬ ratio of the dollar volume of com¬ it was in the earlier part of the Since early 1947 corporate hold-j what larger proportion of funds; mon stock to total new issues has ungs of government securities have; from external sources, particularly been 16% as compared to 14% in postwar period. .declined less rapidly and holdings; from sales of security issues. Total Table V .of cash have increased somewhat.! external sources provided cor¬ CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL* "Changes in liquid asset hold-! porations as a group with 42% of ings in these two years,and es¬ their total funds in 1947 as com¬ (Dollar volume in millions) Common pecially in 1947, have varied con-r pared with 33% in* 1946. "Bank loans: Comniercial banks Stocks as a .siderably among different lines of; .business. This is illustrated by the! have: been important! sources of :iv-. Stocks Percentage data for large corporations in 14? business funds since mid-1946. of Total Preferred Common Bonds Total Quarter— •selected industries shown in the Outstanding total commercial and; 1946—1st 48 150 123 37 311 •article 'Industrial Differences in industrial loans of all banks in¬ 30 239 227 320 2nd 785 income. The? since in decline the stock prices n'l Large Corporation Financing,' pages 623-33 of the Federal Re¬ creased $6 billion during the two-year period, a much larger increase than had "No large additional reduction in the liquid asset holdings of [business enterprises is likely even curred in a time. The keeping a larger dollar volume of liquid assets on hand either to meet increased operating require¬ ments for funds resulting from 1947. Further increase in the seasonal a first-half of the V , a further in¬ NOTE:—Percentage changes computed from data in millions of Detailed .figures may not add to totals because of rounding. dollars. 'o.V , . 'Last year's new bank loans to business,' like those in* the pre¬ vious year, were extended to con¬ all of cerns sizes and in all in¬ dustries/ Although comprehensive data on not are the currently industrial and Size available char¬ acter of businesses that borrowed from banks, there are some in¬ available. dications mercial 'and Thus industrial bariks in various'classes of as com¬ loans of cities, is shown in the table, experi¬ enced approximately the same percentage increases last year, indicating that the business loan demands of a variety of differentsized borrowers; were involved. Petroleum, sales finance, and food, liquor and tobacco compa¬ nies were important borrowers from banks, large while many small retailers and service enter¬ prises borrowed from the smaller banks. ' „ year — continued in large volume 1947 but probably less important relative to new shortwere term loans than in either 1945 1946.; The | lower cost or bank of compared to security is¬ caused some concerns • to seek accomodations, at least tem¬ loans, the cies. "Security issues: as sues, Net the dollar volume of new issues less that of refunding issues and less cash retirements of securities much more important sotirce of: funds for business cor¬ —was a , , porations5: in 1047 and early' 1948 totaled $4.5 billion aS against $2.3 billion in 1946. the at 1947 this volume Thus far in 1948 volume appears to have been current 1,102 750 245 106 10 annual rate about 3rd 873 606 175 92 11 4th 1,994 1,470 1,526 1,222 115 352 18 particularly 89 159 11 1948—1st production. It folr expansion of con¬ sumer credit to buy automobiles Detailed fig-; and refrigerators and the like, dollar volume was slightly larger. Mrs. Aitken "Prospects are for sustained large business investment in fac¬ tories, machinery, and stocks of goods throughout the remainder of 1948 on the basis of orders al¬ placed. Business enter¬ prises anticipate spending more on plant and equipment in 1948 than they did in 1947, and aggre¬ gate business holdings of inven¬ ready tories and receivables still do not appear high relative to the volume of current and prospective sales although such is not the case In such distributed profits would continue all lines of "Business a activity. profits are also likely in 1948 than in 1947. case the volume of un¬ late from the end-of-1947 level. decline has been York City and The greater at New v Chicago banks than at the banks located in other leading cities. This decline has been in part of a seasonal nature; in part the result of the abrupt commodity price decline in Feb- than utility railroads on Sales companies each other . "Inr view* of their large planned Greenway & Building, an¬ that Mrs. Vina P. Aitken,. OMAHA, NEB. Company, nounce — Farnam who has been associated with the firm for some time, has been pro¬ moted to the Sales Department. Mrs. Aitken has had consider¬ able experience in the financial field having been in the Bond De¬ partment of one of the Omaha banks before joining Greenway & Co. Wegener & Daly To Be rapid rate It follows also that increased sav¬ ing in the form of savings bond purchases, or in any other form, inflationary pro¬ reduce the will Many of us forget that busi¬ ness is itself responsible for more than half of the total savings cess. in made the country, that and government is also responsible for a large part of it. Business sav¬ ings will "be; most, effective, if ac¬ companied by the postponement of business expenditures for plant and equipment which are not vi¬ , tally necessary, and' government savings will be more effective if accomplished by economies in government. * (3) It follows also that an in¬ crease in Federal Government spending for the European Recov¬ Program and for defense, both desirable from/ the standpoint of our national welfare, is not made ery less inflationary, but more so; by the cut in the Federal income tax. is essential to the management It of supply of our money, a func¬ with which the Federal Re¬ tion System is entrusted, that the maintain in a period serve Treasury such as this excess an of cash re¬ expenditures. Such an excess during the first part of this year contributed in my opinion materially to the slowing down of inflation. That surplus has now been used up and there is little nrosoect for any further surplus this year. : ) The preservation of prosperity in this country and the continu¬ ance of those institutions which ceipts over all we upon some cherish of depends recognition of dearly clear our these fundamental eco¬ nomic principles. It depends also upon our following the roads which they point out to us with¬ out detours dictated by political! considerations. NY Stock Exch. Member BOISE, IDAHO — Don F. Daly York Stock Exchange membership of the late Arthur C. Weil on July 15 and With Daniel Reeves & Co. will acquire the New First National Bank Building, will then become members of the Exchange. Part¬ Wegener ners & Daly, in the firm are Mr. Daly and Theo. H. Wegener. (Special to The Chronicle) Financial CALIF.— HILLS, :* BEVERLY Jr., has been added to the staff of Daniel Reeves & Co., 271 South Beverly Drive, of members Los Field, A. Joseph the York New and Angeles Stock Exchanges. \ \ received expenditures, business concerns roughly one-half of the, new may increase their bank loans rhoney obtained : through- cor-l and make additional private as porate security issues last year well as- public sales of securities and thus far in 1948. Railroads during the- remaining months of Public sales of stock issues as a group actually used!, more -1948; money "to retire outstanding may foe less costly as a result of securities than they obtained from the? recent rise in the stock mar¬ ket. The major part of business issuing new ones. "The volume of new money ob¬ external financing in 1948, as in . Staff of Greenway & Co* in large volume of purely financial public Mr. „ twenties, the high despite probable higher cash porarily;; through banks rather 1947 total. is probably by far - the dividends and corporate income than through public security -is¬ largest annual volume of net-new taxes; Business holdings- of liquid sues. money ever obtained by corpora¬ assets- in- the aggregate, however, ;* " : : tions through security issues. Will probably not be reduced fur¬ ; "Thus far in 1948 the business - - : loan volume of .the large member "Manufacturing companies and ther. banks of the Federal Reserve System that report on a weekly basis has' fallen off somewhat that understood "Life insurance companies have Wohlstetter will act as an indi¬ recently provided some funds to vidual floor broker. business corporations by actual Interest of the late Carl F. acquisitions of business plant and Boker, Jr., in Fahnestock & Co., equipment that are subsequently ceased on June 14th. rented to the seller on long-term Trustees under the will of Mor¬ lease.- The- legal power to pur¬ ton D. Hutzler in Salomon Bros. chase such property has generally & Hutzler, became a limited been acquired only recently, and partner in place of Estate of Mor¬ thus far has been used almost ex¬ ton D. Hutzler, limited partner, clusively to purchase stores, of¬ on June 30. fices, and factories- from large Interest of the late Russell A. profitable corporations. During Ballou in Schirmer, Atherton & 1947 life insurance companies in¬ Co., ceased June 30. vested in such property approxi¬ On June 30 Farr & Co., retired mately $125 million, bringing as a stock exchange member firm. their total holdings at the yearend to about $200 million. y rough allowance is made for the of' the by the Exchange July is It 15. proceeding, at the in history, adds only to the inflationary process. most 1946 and considered the that which has been not add to totals because of rounding. * the not contribute increased lows NOTE—Commercial and Financial Chronicle data. may of expansion the credit which 'does to *Excludes'refunding issues. to be larger issues additional the income spending which is supported by a expansion of credit and further equal to 1947. Strictly comparable data on net new financing are not avail¬ able for all prior years, but. if a an continue top of spending out of to add on new obtained attain* upward (2) We cannot stop the 9 Conclusion by corporations through issuing securities—that is, money new products, or the ment of greater efficiency. ery, 5 ;' : than in 1946. In ")NTew term loans to business— leaps with; a maturity of over one in j incomplete price recovery from those lows; in: part the result of some repayment of bank loans of large companies, particularly public utilities, with the4 proceeds from private and public placements of security is¬ sues; in part the result of high fourth-quarter profits of many Concerns; and in part the result of a more restrained lending pol¬ icy on the part, of bankers who were influenced by anti-infla¬ tionary fiscal and monetary poli¬ and ruary increased profits and increased production, the in¬ troduction of cost-saving machin¬ 68 when- during the first four months of 1948; people production per more upon hour, 82 * crease ill total loans of the income upon 62 , available, but available data for country banks indicate pend man 233 "Private placements of new cor¬ ^Figures for country banks not is responsible for- the in¬ crease in production. This means hat increased wages should de¬ 610 • ^Through June 2. pro¬ are 1,237 ~ .:^fEstimated. the crease who 740 IV). in responsible. Inflation can be stopped if we increase production ! proportionally more than we in¬ 1,552 ures increase an movement of prices if we 1947, would probably oc¬ porate securities, principally debt cur during the last half of the year \ • Table IV business issues placed with insurance com¬ when expenditures BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS panies, continued in large volume reach their seasonal peak." V in 1947; such placements reflected j Amount Outstanding * of substantial (In Billions of Dollars) Percentage Change itlie /availability amounts- of institutional funds New York Stock Exchange ^ v '< • June Dec. June Dec. 1 1st ' 1st ; 2. investment. Privately 31, 30, 31, Half Half Year seekingWeekly Firm Changes Type of Bank— 1948v 1947 1947 1946 1948^: 1947 "1947 placed-bonds- and notes, excluding The New York Stock Exchange term loans of banks but including All member, total * 17.0 13.8 13.2 * ' 5 \29 has announced the following firm refunding issues, totaled $1.8 bil¬ changes: lion in 1947-,- 38%' of total debt 6.4 3 .31 Central reserve city 6.8 5.3 5.2 Transfer of the Exchange mem¬ issues;.wthia represented the same 3 " 28 6.9 5.7 Reserve city 5.5 7.1 bership of the late John A. Salter proportion of the total as in 1946 to Charles Wohlstetter 13 '27 3.1 2.7 2.4 Country ! will be •J* is based 4th use in (Table upon for income duction for which that segment 1947—1st 2nd in segment of our economy must any be basis sound increase an 28 nature, year. which 258 by business appears likely in 1948 despite the decrease largely of The public. 159 of bank credit the in which wages chase prices upward without a gain in ;he real income of the consuming 490 part of the in¬ major half of 1946 and the last half of (Continued from page 7) process 908 took place during the lasf crease though current holdings are still large relative to those of prewar years. Business management is previously oc¬ comparable period of Prosperity Formula? 3rd over , "Bulletin." serve Profits-What Is the On King Merritt (Special LOS N. to The Financial ANGELES, Staff Co.; Inc., Chamber of Commerce He (Special was previously with Slayton & Co., Inc. to The J. Byrne Chronicle) Financial LOS ANGELES, CAL.—Albert Mougin is with King Merritt & Building. Byrne With C. A. Botzum Chronicle) has CALIF.—John v affiliated J become with C. A* Botzum Co;, 210 Seventh Street. Mr. West' Byrne was previously with Dean Witter & Co*T I 36 COMMERCIAL THE (132) In the & FINANCIAL of case Santa Fe, CHRONICLE the Thursday, July 8, 1943 1 Standard Oil Company of New Dealer-Broker "Load" is' made up as "follows: Taxes Recommendations Other than Federal Income (Continued from page 8) Portsmouth Steel Corporation— 1—.U——$33.0 Equipment and Joint Fa¬ cility Rents ————.£"1.1'" Bulls railroad securities had a happy time of it in the first The Dow-Jones average of railroad stocks ended the on half' of 1948. Miscellaneous —— period at 62.76, compared with 52.48 at the close of the year 1947. The six months' gain in the averages amounted to almost 20 %£ At Preferred Dividend the end of the half year the aver-^ Federal Income Tax Apage had advanced more than 50% first. six .months of the .current, v plicable < to > Preferred * the low of 40.43 from established in May, 1947, and was only six points below the June, 1946, top. Moreover, the second half year started off auspiciously, with the average at 63.94 at the close of business last week. Naturally, the action of the averages tells only part of the story. The rail market is almost invariably of individual per¬ one formances with cies "dm the wide discrepan¬ movements > various stocks. of the The market of the past six months, as in the last half of 1947, has been no exception. While the Dow-Jones averages going up 19.6% between Dec. 31, 1947, and June 30, 1948, •were a list of 40 representative and common speculative preferred stocks gains ranging all the way from little more than 8% to more than 270%. At the same marked up Dividend year. Out the of 41 stocks listed 1420 6.7 Charges Contingent Charges 2, Pa. ,s nole Oil Gas & Dryclock. * < Requirement-- data are and Maryland New which York Richfield on have Total Exchange followed, the" Less Other Income Oil been South 647 2.8 best Marshall & Ask Co., geles 14, Calif. close dum—Lee 1948 of to 27 Robbins (2,427,000 shares)-—-—$21* mid¬ the at of 272%, This, how¬ Thus, last year's income account special situation, cen¬ for Santa Fe on a per common tering around reorganization de¬ velopments, settlement of the New share basis may be' restated sim¬ & Myers — Higginson year, a gain South La Salle ever, was a 231 Illinois. Jersey tax claim, and the rumors many possibility of a merger offer by. Reading Com¬ pany. None of the other stocks as much as doubled in price dur¬ ing the six months. As a matter of fact, during June, Central Rail¬ road of New Jersey stock had climbed as high as 39 %, only to react ply as follows: T Per Share merger rumors Miles Shoes, Inc. Maintenance 65 62 ♦, - Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. From the figures below it is relatively simple to figure the ef¬ possible Conclusions regarding the rela-*. tive merits of individual stocks on changes 140 per in earnings share operating costs of and the Of showed 40 selected stocks that substantial 21 changes in share per Western common stocks. two named The last preferred dividend requirement. rises gains half Two of these averages. ferred the for year, were pre¬ (Chicago, & Pacific and Western Maryland 2nd) and two were the major eastern carriers, New York Central and Pennsyl¬ vania, which have been unpopular waukee, with St. the stocks mon Mil¬ priced stocks Paul speculative invest¬ and were the in were lowest- of rail equities so that sharp percentage gains were not too surprising. In the case of the Rio Grande common, however, group the sharp rise directly to the phenomenal oper¬ ating performance of the road in Freight rates ing. These figures may, however, be used together with more recent figures in attempts to calculate future earnings possibilities and payers. They were Atlantic Coast Line. Great Northern, Louisville & Nashville, Union Pacific and others 10 were Southern (2)__ it that had rise late last sharp nouncement dividend the of particularly Chic. & E. Illinois year on large an¬ extra and the proposed stockTwo other stocks, both now recognized as being in the invest¬ ment class, were just about in line split. with the Dow-Jones average. Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe and Southern Pacific were up 19.8% and 19.7%, respectively, in the Nickel Plate both of which have considerable a upward trend railroad of Erie — number a Under continue these to conditions speculative issues at for months of are — Ratio Ratio 190 of Common Stock 26 65 57 1 17 36% 35% 77%,' 62 ' 140 21 29 34 33 It ?! 27 156 66 59 137 11 8 141 61 47 117 20 4 43 4 86 26 33 63 12 11 38 42 10 2 40 14 130 44 34 83 30 39 74 ' 36 3 7 36 32 88 15 27 34 28 32 £ 27 u£ . 11 83 ; 37 27 71 15 D 3 44 3 89 4 40 24 70 22 D 3 v 45 r 18 D 3" : 80 33 24 65 109 45 35 88 30 216 95 72 181 35 1 44 100 16 126 48 36 93 20 13 68 1 85 31 80 ; 33 84 j 28 38 7n 82 32 £ 41 4 10 ; £ ' 74 ; 30 13 11 74 ; ' " 42 21 r "T 18 30 32 67 ? 1 '41 32 80 :j 75 1 68 6 78 23 24 52 8 33 4 "41 17 13 33 9 38 6 48 17 13 34 8 6 91 4 98 38 33 76 9 13 38 38 6 48 22 13 38 8 2 46 28 79 150 9 '167 62 51 125 32 10 37 30 75 44 28 79 ~ 55 53 27" 62 3 63 4 6 22 34 . 77 U ■ 7 80 26 27 60 16 .178 65 60 136 26 16 % 36 j i i £• £ 34 B 78 j 25 67 j 23 59 34 19 t , 74 36 33 66 £| £•75 10 33 4 I ;• 7 46 20 29 38 . 2 11 49 17 D 141 ' 6' 18 City Southern (7) Kansas City Southern (8) — — 3 24 8 16 4 4 '36 61 2 69 20 16 40 14 15 29 90 4 101 30 23 60 22 19 30 23 59 ; 53 stock come. the Ratio 161 the least Com. Slk. 70 — Great Northern Kansas prices will 21 "Load" Oper 88 All degree of fund amenta! merit. present indications are that 26 .79' that common, 75 63 — — _ and 7 .37 Chic., R. I. & Pac showed gains of 50% or more in Cinn., New Orl. .& Tex. Pac. price in the first six months of Colorado & Southern (4)the current year. For the most ern 62 106 Pacific a Maint. 78 - fact Trans. ) Oper. 117 Ft. Worth & Denver City (5) part, these were in the highly is, of speculative lower-priced group of The two outstanding ex¬ Del., Lack & West course, at least partially ex¬ issues. Den. & Rio Gr. Westernplained by the high price and the ceptions were Kansas City South¬ Union of j; ; ,f Maint. 122 .Western Pacific. Action indi¬ of Trans. expense: Total Pass. 153 Gt. — There attraction relative the vidual stocks. as Bal. for Per Share Alabama ing public for some time past. recent months, a factor that may Chic. Gt. Western Surprisingly, the other five that be accepted as contributing per¬ failed to meet the performance of manently to the worth of the Chic., Ind. & Louisv Chic., Mil., St. P. & Pac. the averages were among the con¬ company's stock. sistent and fairly liberal dividend knowledge a Revenues- • be attributed may exact as only on the since wages., and traffic have been chang¬ Pre Tax more up have railroadj figures, following the on than showed smaller percentage 90%Chicago & Eastern Illinois and Chicago Great Western com¬ than did the Dow-Jones nine ' three basic based not be should rates and to understand better the 50 the of "arithmetic." earnings produced in the past 29 list, all Balance time, one of the old investment of which were up more than 75% Federal Income Tqx* several years by the wage-price 12 favorites, Chesapeake & Ohio, de¬ during the period, were Chicago & Earned on Common17 spiral. As long as the latter per¬ clined from 43 M> to 37%, a drop Eastern Illinois, Chicago Great ^Except for tax applicable to sists, it will continue advisable to Of 13.2%. Western and Denver & Rio Grande The next •v . fects Passenger Revenues ' 21 Total Operating Revenues- 190?+ Transportation Corp.—» No. 74-^ Wisconsin Power & Light; CP'-"? Analysis—Ira Haupt & Co., Ill Scherck, Richter Co., Landreth Building, St. Louis 2, Mo. of Common the when > Freight Revenues ———$153 Operating Expenses Reading Balance proved unfounded. "Load" sharply Street, Chicago 4, Rudolph Wurlitzer Co.—Data— 0 to the as memorandum for Winters & Crampton Corp. -j-» Analysis—C. E. Unterberg 8c Co., 61 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y« Also available is an analysis oJ| Memoran¬ Corp., Crampton & ; Troster, Currie & Summers, 74 Trinity Place, New York 6, N,. Y« Spring Street, Los An¬ performance was that of Balance Central Railroad of New Jersey: ;. 50.6 The stock was up from 7% at the Per Share of Common Stock £.£££££££:££: Winters. Corp.—Memoran¬ dum—Maxwell, 53.4- Stock Co.—Analytical Mass. 3.8 • the , . description—A. G. Woglom & Co.; Inc., 49 Federal Street, Boston 10, ,v....... - — U, S. Finishing Cen¬ on &c Bennett — 6, N. Y. Philadelphia tral Illinois Public Service, Semi¬ 6.2 — Palmer, 165 Broadway, New York • Also available 2.0 Carbon Corp* Analysis — —Memorandum Securitiesx Corp., Walnut Street; 0.6 Deductions- Fixed Data—Buckley Cohu & Co.; York 5, N. Y, Union Carbide & 1 (Millions) Wall Street, New Jersey 4 -3 0 28 18 50 11 1 47 30 83 j 82 i ' D J 35 j 69 7 81 34 29 67 5 9 .42 162 more apt to con¬ 20 195 77 67 153 33 9 40 3. 5 33 30 74 6 3 42 34 82 1 4 40 30 78 1 34 35 • . . 78 Minneapolis & St. Louis 31 10 9 23 41 2 46 19 16 37 Missouri-Kansas-Texas Measuring Earnings Trends in 29 Minn., St. P. & S. S. Marie— tinue in the lead. 72 6 85 34 25 66 104 9 124 52 42 104 15 5 42 252 8 272 91 82 187 52 33 33 30 69 77 21 109 50 38 £ 94 16 1 45 34 86 ; 5" 274 105 78 199 38 29 73 j 52, ; 145 62 43 1 119 46 40 Nash., Chatt. & St. Louis New Orleans, Texas & Mex.New York, Chic. & St. Louis New York, New Hav. & Hart. Railroad Stocks (particularly low transportation by the transpor¬ tation ratio) has been the greatest beneficiary of the wage-price spiral. On the other hand, the railroad that had relatively high operating cost and low revenues per share tended to have its per cost measured as share earnings reduced by the in¬ flation of costs and rates. As between large a share per with and a high operating cost and a company with low cost ratio and small rev¬ enues share, the latter fared per better than the former, since the leverage does not operate to produce good re¬ sults except under conditions former's where greater the expands (due increased volume) and the- costs do not (as in the primarily years gross to 1941-1944). The cfolio wing tute an consti¬ attempt to help the rail- toad stock investor and speculator "arith¬ transportation maintenance charges, to¬ operating expenses for 1947 Pitts. & Lake Erie, 9 21 69 33 44 16 17 41 IT 73 Louis-San Francisco 76 ■ 31 66 1 36 36 79 i 7 2 48 34 87 £ i 4 12 37 82 } 76 j 78 j <1 36 Cr 6 9 17 2 3 26 38 33 29 65 12 6 39 35 6 89 37 27 70 15 4 42 £ 30 i £194 »:.£ 54 70 /£ 30 ' 25 USV-i 114 21 5 40 14 40 ;>.:V 12 39 : 96 140 56 47 Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe had 113 16 140 56 £ 41 107 19 1947 143 16 171 67 56 132 27 operating revenues of $462,699,000, i.e. $190 per share on the 2,427,000 shares of common stock hand from rail¬ and after Federal able to the come for preferred dividends income tax preferred applic¬ dividend Non-operating in¬ as are net cre'dits is credited equipment hire and joint fa¬ cility,r$nts. i! 21 49 14 5 34 48 126 28 13, 38 29i .75 ; 21 66 55 135 14 35 36 30 73 j 29 7 9 18 4 7 24 32 158 61 43 116 26 16 39 27 79 26 24 54 13 12 33 31 104 37 33 80 19 5 36 32 58 21 18 45 7 6 6 26 32 29" — 3 42 37 40 32 95 "~9 Ill5,.. 3 28 26 58 *3 24 10 9 21 114 (1) 90 19 Wheeling & Lake Erie. operations income 31 76 Pm 72 j 64 54 (operating rev¬ enues less operating expenses) and pre-Federal income tax net 32 81:4 23 28 revenue 1 68 "Load" per common share is the total "of all income account items net r: £29. 184 for themselves. way >' 34 167 75 between > 1 presumably speak columns 78 15 138 the ... 79 63 right in . 138 149 ratios c 39 * 83 22. •Sf5 318 three ; ! 30 5 The 82 86 7 18 per 30 34 io 111 a 43 39 5 302 on stock basis. ;£ 5 45 19 ££ share of been put common | 1 D 16 For example. have 54 1 ' St. j 60 £23 . 27 32 118 21 12 D -48 - •102 9 i; 57 ... 21 revenues, expenses, tal 29 3 51 Northern Pacific Freight revenues, passenger revenues, op¬ requirement. figures better-the metic" of railroad shares. erating 1 50 27 understand D 23 ■ outstanding. company revenues to 79 114 (Continued from first page) period with large revenues (particularly freight revenues) per share and low operating cost ary 263 . ; 16 140 56 45 110 86 D. & H. RR. Corp. figures; D. & H. Co. shares. (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 'mm 20 A,, £, £££■•■.■■£: Hudson Coal Co. excluded. Participating basis. Priority basis. Colorado & Southern Ry. Co. only. Fort Worth & Denver City Ry. Co. figures; Colorado & Southern shares. Figures not exactly comparable with the other roads, (7) Kansas City Southern Ry; Co. only.. / (8) Including Louisiana & Arkansas Ry. Co. .,. , ,, . . , £ ,160 | 73 69 £ £ I 75 1 -i££ } 65 63 II 1 ;38 | 168 Volume THE Number 4714 COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL one-third World Stability World Trade and on (133) the population depends this industry for its livelihood. The chief rural industries of (7) Copper and manufactures— 'our rice, 7% of our pork and 29% Australia are sheep-raising, dairy¬ ing and wheat. Australia pro¬ 562 million pounds imported in of our lard were exported, annu¬ requirements, as well as 971 ally, on the average. The farmers duces one-fourth of the world thousand (metric) Jons; of coarse 1947, valued at $159 million, of this country and the nations supply of wool, which is the ma¬ (8) Burlap—no production of grains, or about 55% of her total as a whole would have found it jor item of Australian exports. In requirements. In addition, Bel' jute fibers in the Unitted States. difficult to get along satisfactor¬ .recent years, 55 % of her total ex¬ 671 million pounds imported in gium imported on an average ily without this outlet -for their ports were accounted for by wool about 30 thousand tons of dairy 1947 valued at $131 million. agricultural production. Today and wheat. (9) Furs—about 50% of the do¬ we products. produce perhaps one-third Agriculture is the basis of the mestic consumption is imported. The Netherlands, despite the more farm products than we did Brazilian economy, with threeIn 1947, furs imported were before World War IX; export surplus of dairy products, Although fourths of the people directly en¬ is obliged to import some bread valued at about $130 million. we have increased our population gaged therein, and the output of (10) Raw hides and skins—im¬ and have raised our standards of her grains and substantial quantities agricultural products ac¬ of feed grains. In 1938, the ports in 1940 valued at $88 mil¬ living, our increase in farm pro¬ counts for 80% of her total ex¬ Netherlands imported 755 thou¬ lion. duction makes foreign markets an ports. The economy is charac¬ sand tons of bread grains, and (11) Tin—with practically no important part of our economy. In terized by the predominance of 1,294 thousand tons of coarse tin produced, we imported 103 1939 we exported 20% of our pro¬ export crops, such as coffee, cot¬ grains, the latter accounting for million pounds in 1947, valued at duction of industrial machinery ton and cocoa. At the time, there about 73% of her total consumpand implements, 16%% of our is a shortage in staple foods, such $58 million'. tion. (12) Raw silk—entire supply agricultural machinery and imple¬ at wheat," rye, barley and oats. v The need for raw materials and ments, over 20% of our motor Brazil is the greatest coffee-pro¬ imported, which in 1947 totalled manufactured goods is reflected about 2 million pounds, valued at trucks, more than one-third of our ducing country in the world, with lubricating oils, and nearly one- practically the entire crop exby the following table of impor¬ $23 million. fourth of our aircraft. In the same tant imports in the Netherlands ported. In cotton output, Brazil In addition, large quantities of year, approximately 15% of the ranks third in the world, with raw (1939): cocoa, rugs, bananas, fish and workers in the motor vehicle, in¬ cotton (In millions bulking large in the export other products are imported. of U. S. dustrial heating and equipment total. In the manufacture of steel, we industries were dollars) working in one ^/Argentina is one of the great are told over forty raw materials way or another on exports. The Iron, steel and articles (Continued from page 11) bad. But ever we forget that when¬ foreign nation sells goods a services or 37 in markets, for dollars, these eventually be used our which it dollars must in markets. our obtains That is sential, controlling fact. the es¬ There is no other place in the world for the expenditure of dollars finally. They to be shifted from can nation nation, but eventually the dol¬ lars must be spent here. That 1" employment for us, fac¬ tories in operation for us, sales for us of raw materials, farm, means products ply stated, then, every dollar we buy from foreign nations does not make thereof Implements, apparatus. _ Coal, coke, briquettes.* 64 57 from about takes 31 manganese, are ton of steel fourteen pounds of To make necessary. 32 Timber countries different a and about 1% million Dry goods and textiles.. 27 tons per year of 50% ore, are needed from abroad. Manganese Vehicles 24 comes 21 and West Africa and Brazil. ,29 Yarns Chemical _ products Mexico, a comparatively large fcouhtry, one-fourth the size of the United States, with but 22 million from Russia, India, South About 60% of our tungsten be imported, principally must from China and the Straits Settlements. Chromium comes from South following figures indicate the percentage of the workers in some other industries which were producing in engaged metals Nonferrous and exports: products, 23%; chemicals, 16%; rubber, 15%; business and consumer serv¬ ices, 11%; food, tobacco and kin¬ dred products, 12%. Britain, we have noted, is greatest single importer in the world. We have noted also that Great the people, most of whom obtain their Africa and the Philippines. Almost in the average prewar years 31 livelihood from agriculture and all of it must be imported. nations found in Great Britain mining, obviously differs from the Without imports the indus¬ their best single customer. Now, countries already commented on. trial to maintain such purchases, i.e., economy of this country Yet Mexico, too, in order to main¬ would be seriously handicapped. to pay for her imports of food tain a more balanced economy, is In minerals alone we are depen¬ and goods, Great Britain must ex¬ obliged to import some foods and dent upon large imports to keep port great quantities of commodi¬ substantial quantities of machin¬ our plants operating. We are net ties of which she has a surplus, ery and manufactured goods in importers of bauxite, antimony, and this she does as indicated by exchange for precious metals and the following exports; minerals found within her bor¬ cadmium, chromium, copper, lead, Mexi¬ manganese, mercury, nickle, tin titanium, tungsten and zinc. In can imports (1940) classified by addition, we are dependent upon commodity groups shows: imports of vegetable oil, hemp, (■'i-S-/ (In millions jute, industrial diamonds and ofU.S. many other commodities. ders. A list of the leading - dollars) Machines, apparatus and it- tools for agriculture, all In the countries we products. Iron and steel :i(§; Woolen and worsted yarn. Woven woolen . ; goods. of the total value have mining industry, the over pleased of her annual and subsequent export of the to their output abroad. foreign which credit, and finished entire world. goods We are goods. to sell the world our However, we do not wish to raw take materials or finished ductive capacity, in order to sell goods abroad. But under no cpn-f ditions do in sent Prosperity Dependent on Exports wish to take goods goods we have we the for return to away, that build have sources up the re¬ been depleted, to replace the manpower that has been used the or productive prosperity of the nations equipment that has been worn we have just examined is closely out. We wish only promises to dependent on the sale of goods "pay and gold. It is an unbeliev-* abroad. Thus, in fact, the wel¬ able philosophy for a great nation. fare of peoples everywhere is in It is easy to be prejudiced on an important measure determined these matters. Prejudice is a great by the extent and volume of The trade is there in Actually, trade. world world great fusion a of time-saver. into has That of mutual they a program common economic cooperation -helpful are to ligence. some not on The sometimes all. It enables to form one opinions without getting the facts. individual interest of nations the advantages, but the side of intel¬ destiny seems of a world at the mercy of economic illiteracy. The most ef¬ the more freely trade fective weapon that can be used more it will grow in against economic ignorance is not volume and the more efficient indignation but a wider diffusion will be the utilization of the abil¬ the men and the resources of is It world. the a fundamental examined, notwithstanding varied - areas, and make extend materials raw Incidentally, prior to the war, concept of economics that the the income Great Britain received populations, industrial de¬ more efficiently the factors of from investments abroad and velopment or the importance of production are utilized, the $22 the arts shipping and financial services agriculture and mining, imports greater will be the benefits ac¬ Machines and apparatus are essential. In some instances, amounted to about $1,720,000,000, cruing to society. Increasing the for other uses and which was sufficient to pay for imports of basic foods are neces¬ 25 volume, as well as freeing the vehicles about 35% of her total imports. sary to sustain life; in Others, they 21 flow of world trade,, tends to raise Mineral products — lerid a desired variety to diet. Raw During the war and post-war pe¬ the standards of living of all peo¬ Products of chemical inmaterials are needed by industrial riods, however, Great Britain was 16 ple. World trade not only makes i dustry. forced to liquidate the bulk of her nations; machinery and manufac¬ 17 good neighbors; it makes healthy, Vegetable products tured goods are required by agri¬ holdings abroad in order to pay richer and happier neighbors. for vital imports necessary for cultural and mining countries. In Position of U. S. victory arid subsequent recon¬ Conclusion all cases, however, imports of Despite the fact that the United struction and rehabilitation. As a In conclusion, let us consider States is the most richly endowed goods from abroad are the key to desired balances in the life and result, in 1947 her income from briefly some of the more general nation in the world, possessing investments accounted for but 3% economy of peoples everywhere, aspects of world trade, > natural resources in great abund¬ with the added by-product, as it of her total imports, which, in¬ When foreign nations borrow ance, wide climatic variations, and were 25% less (in were, of the most productive util¬ cidentally, a great industrial productive sys¬ from us, the dollars they borrow ization of the skills of men, and physical volume) than in prewar must eventually be expended in tem, we are dependent upon years. This fact makes it impera¬ ? and we enables other nations to buy our goods and services. We send our exports. The prosperity of Argen¬ tina is related to these industries ities of Spirits. be food-producing centers of the goods in return; We are willing world. Thus, agricultural, dairy to deplete our resources, use our and pastoral products, and their manpower and wear out our pro¬ by-products, usually exceed 80% flows, Cotton yarn. Woven cotton loans dollars must present procedure. our nation, a the receive 1 Consider As for poorer, nations spent here. Finally, goods. us other s $78 and finished goods. It good busines for us. Sim- means basic of knowledge such as this provides. We need io bring some new thinking into our trade relationships with other na¬ conference tions. as a ing Nothing in life is so sacred nothing is so the thing that jolts annoy¬ rut and as us out of it. *: , 5 .. the resources at their command. (1) to maintain our World trade, like a coin, has two standard of living and (2) to We have noted the need [maintain the efficient operation of sides. our economic system. Without and desirability of imports; the laboring over statistics, consider other side of world trade is ex¬ world a trade list merely of the more tant items, In other words, every time imports, or buys, there must, necessity, be someone who ex¬ impor¬ ports. and note how common Ahey are to all of us. one of ports or sells. This phase of world (1) Coffee—none grown in the trade is as essential and vital to States. 2,498 million some peoples and nations as im¬ •pounds imported in 1947 valued at ports of food are to Britain, for $600 million. i United example. tive that Britons produce more times than in pre-war in order to maintain im¬ ports even and export more at their present re¬ duced level. Thus, the production and export of commodities is essential in or¬ of de¬ sired imports of foods, raw mate¬ rials and other goods from abroad. Akin, but differing slightly, and der to maintain the flow the second reason for the import¬ the American markets. enable foreign goods, and farmers and The loans nations our to buy manufacturers, producers like to sell goods. Factories run, men are employed, and dividends are paid. tori, 35 % of our tobacco, 18% of world, and it is estimated tional trade are futile. If, how¬ ever, western civilization is now confronted with its *s.upreme op¬ portunity to organize its interests under manship for common economic states-* period of unprece¬ dented progress for all mankind, then this meeting becomes greatly a important. While the jungles of Africa may down tomorrow before an avalanche of Studebakers, Fords and Chevrolets, while the teeming millions of India may not eat a breakfast food tomorrow ^halsi not go borrowed money is finally spent, we may face some economic problems. ' Valued at $225 million. World War I| has brought "pops and crackles" as they pour the cream, and, while the peo¬ ple of China may go through life ignorant of the social advantages When a nation has spent its of using Listerine and Lifebuoy, dollars and gold, the internal eco¬ nevertheless, I believe we are nomic pressures in that nation agreed that world trade is imper¬ may become intense. In nations ative to a stable and peaceful dependent upon the exchange of world, where peoples can live and their goods for other goods they work and hope with faith in the need, the internal economic prob¬ future. ' ' lems may be very difficult of —«■■■■»•_solution. In the absence of loans But when the ance of exports, concerns those (2) Cane sugar—4,180 thousand There are two major reasons for fehort tons (one short ton equals nations whose prosperity is di¬ exports. First, the imports and 2,00.0 pounds) imported in 1947 rectly dependent upon finding a exports of a nation must be equal "Valued at $413 million. foreign market for the bulk of the in value. That is, what is bought ) Paper and manufactures— must be paid for; the two must be output of the principal industry. imports in 1947 totalled $345 mil¬ equal. Thus, in world trade, the This condition probably is found or credit, the way in which for¬ most often in mining or agricul¬ lion, goods a country buys from abroad tural nations where industry is eign nations can obtain dollars or (4) Rubber—no crude rubber or imports must be paid for by; relatively undeveloped or unim¬ gold in order to buy from us produced in the United States. goods they need desperately is to (1) Exports portant. 1,56,7 million pounds imported in sell goods or services to us, that (2) Gold The Philippines is one example 1947, valued at $312 million. is, for us to import from them. (3) Income from investments where agriculture is the principal Jt is said that when we buy (5) Wood pulp—imports in 1947 :; (4) Loans or gifts occupation. About one-third of goods from other nations, we help totalled 2,091 thousand short tons, (5) Services the cultivated land is planted in them to have employment and full Valued at $245 million. Imports We may obtain some idea of the cash crops, chiefly for export. In production. We help them to sur¬ of exports to the 1940, sugar accounted for 40% of vive. However, it is said we put usually account for about 25 per importance cent of our domestic consumption. United States by noting that dur¬ the total value of exports and co¬ our own workers out of work, we make our own factories idle, and (6) Unmanufactured wool—364 ing- the forty-year period from pra for 20%. The Philippine out¬ million pounds imported in 1947 1900 to 1939, over 57% of our cot- put of copra is the largest in the we injure .the American nation. , If nothing but world confusion, and if faith and hope are dead, theri these discussions on interna¬ that Everyone agrees that would tie on With Herrick, Waddell (Special to The BEATRICE, Financial J .} Chroniclf) NEB.—Willard P. Sherwood has joined the staff of Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc., 55 Liberty Street, New York City. Frederick Whitlock Dies 1 v Frederick , ] | Simmond./Whitlock, partner in Farr & Co., New York City, and a member of the New York Stock Exchange, died at his home at the age of 54. ; 38 THE (134) just the to Tomorrow's the market looks way me now. COMMERCIAL ' . i'fi 'i'fi # When I say Markets I don't know, merely sloughing it off. do know, for example, that I'm Walter I Whyte Says—| stocks certain have met and support in groups an area where if seems a a By WALTER WHYTE 55 Market about into its rest¬ over ing period. Expect renewal of bull trend in fu¬ immediate ture. * * ❖ Writing about the weather hardly ^appropriate for column theoretically given *>ver to ai discussion of a condition where the public the (determined by odd lot trans¬ :buy actions) was • buying and then CHRONICLE .there is nowhere (Continued from page 6) where have I seen to reference the fact that the Association is not obliged to i demand: their prodr pay money on nowhere have I seen advertised and nowhere have share as I accounts seen adver¬ tising. which says that the Fed¬ Savings and Loan Insurance eral Corporation insures :by: (a) Transferring the account to another Federal Savings and Loan Association be which required to also will not demand. (b) At the option of the insured pay on member, by paying 10% cash and 90% in debentures of the Federal Savings and' Loan Insurance Cor¬ poration, payable in one and three in equal proportions without .years interest. < Please bear these two very selling if moves didn't de¬ portant points in mind: everybody talking velop. This resulted in a gen¬ (1) The fact that a Federal about the weather, who am I eral milling around usually .at Savings and Loan Association is not able to pay its shareholder on to snub it? top figures where the public ; demand is no indication of insol¬ was most active on the buying s{s ❖ ❖ with ' • , side. Conclusion therefore The item-reads: "Savings vency. Let me give you a little evidence of the fact Even in the (2) the of approaching the Mr. Cramer pointed their nearest competitors, the savings banks, have $10 billion, and that only about two generations ago they were nearly equal. / 'Here is Associations-are mark, out that $1 more that "American the in New York State Savings and Loan the billion Where public considers these associations have we lived not up to commented. piece of ad¬ responsibilities,' he 'There is no reason why the sav¬ vertising material issued by a local radio station, the radio sta¬ ings and loan assets of New York tion listed its advertisers, one of State should not be as great as the which is a Federal Savings and "savings bank assets.' ///; -:V// banks of deposit. Loan In Association: listed a it was "To 'correct' that situation, he suggested, better and more adver¬ tising, more presentable and 'busi¬ ness-like offices, more intelligent handling of customers, higher paid personnel, more aggressive errone¬ either by the radio station or by the printer as First Federal Savings Bank of Blank. On Jan. 22, 1948 a ;hold-up of the South Brooklyn Savings and Loan Association place. I am Branch managing officers and 'many things along this line'." took quoting the head-lines from two New York of insol¬ case article Banker" goes on "Referring to fact that the total resources Ac¬ the U. S. Government." ;, consisting: of a account?) The ; Investment and City was Okay, now we've got the that stops were being distrib¬ Weather«out of the weyi we uted. It was the chief reason can go back to the market; why I kept hammering on what makes it tick and where stops and repeated warnings it's going from here. /.Now., not to do too much buying. share counts," $19,187,767.05. This rep¬ resents the savings of /pur mem¬ bers. The safety >of your invest¬ ment is insured up to $5,000 by the Federal Savings and Loan In¬ surance Corporation, an agency of ously im¬ indication as; ing £n investment an to:v;|the;'4exactv:,Mature /h£>thei7ac<-i' counts. and how to make/lose money. But Thursday, July 8, 1948 "Savings and Loan Associations Are Not Banks'' uct they weren't going tailspin, support was an urgency, When such a thing happens it means that buying of better than average quality is present. What was lacking in this picture was that this buying wasn't following stocks up. Instead there was 555 FINANCIAL & papers: What "Thugs Get $8,000 from Queens r to Do About •> • : • It is Bank." more It L ' v . ■ well to criticize, /but do about it is another very the Fed¬ what, to Insurance "Girl (Clubbed in $8,000 Bank matter. It would be most jtiffi-r Corporation in no manner places Hold-up" cult to convince these associations the insured in a position where Such illustrations can be found of our sincerity and of the valid¬ he can require more than 10% of frequently and they definitely ity of our fears. Their supervisory the amount of his claim in cash. what makes it tick? H-m-m-m. prove that the public actually is authorities have done 'I' *!• ❖ nothing br In an article written by George misinformed. That's a good question. There very little at best to curb the type This distribution is still go¬ A. Mooney in the New York of advertising that has been tak¬ Was a time when I could rat'Times" on Sunday, May 30, 1948, Misconception Widespread ing place. It is my conviction and tie off a dozen replies to that ing on. What softens its ef¬ he quotes George L. Bliss, presi¬ To show you that the miscon¬ fect is the accumulation going feeling that our banks are vcroly dent of the Century Savings and one, each one more erudite ception of which I speak is not seeking what is right and -fair and on during declines. It can best Loan Association of New York only present among our average that an uninformed than the other. Now all I can public is dan¬ be seen in such groups as City as saying that "Bankers, people .but also among those of gerous to all. do isj&tand: off ^ih^ dismays and faced with a slow-down in the higher education, I have in my axitos, auto accessories, tires, If Savings and Loan Assoeiaeither refer rate of growth of their instituyou to some posession a letter from a person tions at some time are unable to standard textbook or simply oils, coppers, steels and rails. tions, are embarking on a pro¬ who is a trustee in one of the out¬ pay on demand, and if the public On the opposite side, groups gram of harassing savings, asso¬ standing universities of the United shrug my shoulders. I've got considers them banks, as 1 betieVe like air lines, building sup¬ ciations by an attempt to belittle States and who, in writing to me it! Why don't you ask your, they do, the public can be hurt the value of the insurance of ac¬ about a certain matter, gives me and serious plies, gold mining and amuse¬ results to banks cotild broker? With market activity counts provided by the Federal the name of three "banks" in ments follow. When a day comes that predominate as poor Savings and Loam Insurance Cor¬ Whatit is,lie^should have lots; Nassau County. It, so happens a Savings and Loan Association risks. poration." He* made the assertion that two out of three of the banks l">' t)f time to give you the an¬ elects NOT to pay on demand* in a staff bulletin, copies of which quoted by the university trustee as it has swer. Alright, how ytfe?ve got a perfect right to do, All this leads to the stocks were made available to the press. are jSavihgs ahd Loan Associa¬ and John Q. Citizen walks down that taken care of, let's go to It would be my opinion that tions./ I hardly believe it neces¬ the street in the locality of your the next question. Where's it you still hold. As individuals nothing would be further from sary to further prove that the they act okay and so long as the truth. • Banks are however, Federal savings and loan group bank saying, "That BANK didn't going from here? pay me. I can't get my money they do, they should be held. worried because they realize that is representing its merchandise as * * * out," it will make more trouble Of course the stops still ap¬ the tide has been coming in, that bank deposits instead of invest¬ for banking than for Savings .qnd share the flow of money has been in¬ ment accounts. I would, Loan Associations C At point J jshouldr because you ply. For a1 complete list of creasing for various reasons. They however, like to quote a bit from arein al lot of technical stuff obliged to pay on demand. I holdings, purchase price and realize too, that there will come a an article which appeared in the also believe that, as bankers, we about dine cuts, radiant lines,; stops, refer to last week's time when the customer will draw "American Banker" on Oct. 16, come pretty close to having a. more than he deposits and they legs <not the kind you pay $10 column. 1947, and which quotes Mr. Floyd moral duty now to explain the realize that they must be pre¬ Cramer, President of Washington difference of the two to see), triangles / and other types of More next Thursday. Federal pared to meet it. With a high Heights Savings v and institutions to the public. terms familiar to chart read¬ Many concentration in mortgages it may Loan Association of New York —Walter Whyte people lean on banks for guid¬ ers. I would too, if I could not be possible for some of these City. Mr. Cramer, in addressing ance and they might well have a [The views expressed in this associations to continue to pay on the eonvention of the New Yprk place these words in their right to criticize us if we remain article do not necessarily at any demand, and this will hurt the State Savings and Loan League at proper order; I'm afraid/ quiescent. ■ / • time coincide with those of the public and shake confidence. It the Chateau Frontenac at Quebec, however; I'll put one of these Chronicle. react They are presented as will unfavorably against is quoted as saying: "We are the ; I hope that this talk will "be taken very seriously by our hanks; terms in the wrong-place and those of the author only.] banks as well as against Savings only type of financial institution * vency the insurance of eral Savings and Loan . - " * ^is . some /eager reader will hur¬ and Loan Associations. me to task. That will lead \to involved • coire* riedly take spondence Two With Peters, Writer (Special to The Financial Chronicle) discussions and DENVER, and I'm anxious to avoid both. Cranmer So I'll have I think the through resting, or just market is say and COLO. — Chappell Jack IS. Ormsbee become affiliated with Peters, Writer & Christensen, Inc., U. S. National Bank Building. whatever It has been going through, and will Tteasons? Max Nedwick now go up. I don't know. It's Opens With Schweickhardt-Landry (Special -to Landry & Co., Hibernia Building. on Phillip Lyon Opens (Special ' Members \ York Stuck. Exchnnae New York Curb Exchange (Associate) San Francisco Stock 14Wall Street COrtlandt V; 7-4150 — to The Chronicle) Financial ANGELES. C A LIF.— Phillip Lyon has opened offices at 325 West Eightth Street, to en¬ gage in the securities business. :• Teletype NY 1-928 Private Wires to Principal San Francisco r New York 5, N. Y. • LOS E. Exchange Chicago Board of Trade Offices Santa Barbara Monterey —Oakland — Sacramento :7/-/:-// Fresno banks National limited has United States to place none of their demand de¬ posits in mortgages and a maxi¬ mum of 60% of their time de¬ In New York State, banks charter axe similarly posits. under state 31, 1947, ciation in has possession a Dec. statement of an asso¬ my suburban district that a to $22 million in 11 years and whose growth has been from $9 million in 1945 to $15 million in 1946 and to $22 million grown the- financial world is known. but have the word 'banking' in even With Wm. (Special to WEST Claude Wm. Building. Financial PALM J. S. The " Beeken Chronicle) BEACH, FLA.— D'Angio Beeken Co. is now with Co.,; Guaranty it, invested 000 This in association first mortgages. shows $865,000 $2,851,000 in government bonds, but it also shows borrowed money in the cash sum Dec. on its and Its dividend on 31, 1947, was at the rate of of 21/2%. Jn hand $2,200,000. customers in the due to statement sense. . Banker": ican Federal is "It not ciations. date to be in Federal in in the association with which I so presently We connected. merely let the public know in lit¬ customarily employed by tle ways financial other we are institutions that public cial as Small to print statement banking our pn our tells the If anyone, inquires finan¬ ireaeier as .our the public the difference between bank deposit and a savings, end -share. If the public knows a ment is buying ex¬ and knows plains that the customer is buy¬ time /invest¬ the insufr is payable, the banks,- . . .... ' ■ v ;,// 7 :• , v/? ■ 7J/<7 '/'.V G. Brashears Co. Adds • (Special . to The Financial South - Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬ LOS of ex¬ a how there can be no danger to either the Federal' Savrings and Loan Associations:or to ance to Associa¬ (I wonder whether he ; that run dignified adver¬ acknowledging the place Savings and Loan Associa¬ tions in the picture of finance, but definitely and clearly -teeing staff tion." cus¬ , tising of Loan , Association A., Waitkus and bank of the liam Savings the recommend plain the purposes and functions a course is buying. would I gaged in, we tell him 'savings and banking,' and proceed to which vestment tomer what kind of banking we are en¬ loan Loan only clear under¬ and of standing of the nature of the ion- that we are a, -banking organiza¬ tion.' can be accompanied by a that- it is, for example, lettering the front doors which informs the. investment an loan in the banking business. "There position to suggest Savings shares but this tion am a their customers to neces¬ for example, that an -institu¬ even put in print the fact that it is in the 'saving and loan banking business.' ' We do not do banks of deposit «nd Savings and Loan Asso¬ I hope that our banks Willifind,^ sary; : listing the liability technical why- this in¬ dustry should not call its business 'savings ;and loan banking'/;/ I quote further from the *same speech published in the "Amer¬ hours. $18,775,- a I -can see no reason date in question showed $19,180,- though most of them not banks in are on 000 in share accounts and between All , name hope that it may ultimately by close cooperation be followed the. others »no.t only have such a 1947, a growth from $9 million to million in two years. This same association on the statement $22 1 also today .that does not have a /gen¬ eral name by which its section of in Pacific Coast Exchanges / Schwabacher & Co. / Financial Chronicle) ORLEANS, LA.—George Gagnet is with Schweickhardt, E. ■; The NEW P. New and a The Congress of the I have in Securities ; which cated. ' Orders Executed amount of mort¬ Federal Savings Loan Association may make. aggregate gages CHICAGO, ILL.—Max Nedwick restricted, the yardstick being has opened offices at 211 West' based on the population of the Wacker Drive to conduct a secjir area in which the bank is Lo¬ rities business. Pacific Coast the I know of in the law which limits nothing G. has joined the Brashears & Co,, 510 - Spring Street, members .of the Los Angeles Stock Exchange. & THE-COMMERCIAL Number 4714 -Volume 168 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL chased Outlines Steps Toward Currency : Multilateral v (Continued from ■ ►were , that the the increase in exports, must go to the Western Hemisphere, although part can go to other regions that may be able to pay in dollars. 9) page pected. problem! whi<±i resulted in a restriction of Imports. But this level of *pro«4 js iar from enough in thcj of Europe's needs. Industrial efficiency in Europe must be V/jducbon past year almost none of the 30%' increase in Western European exports went increased and output expanded if % Europe is not , to remain ciency economy. • v, ,, a defi-j 'A , to for increasing their efficiency and i modernizing < their production; \'.They have devoted a very large ; oi; • theiry current -output 'M capital investment in agriculfuira ». and industry. - Despite the fact .that the standard of living in most «.of Europe is below, and in some ,1 countries considerably below, the! i v prewar * level, •, restrictions havd been maintained on consumption , . J. in order-to give preference to in- Indeed, the exception - jvestment. .* 1 ally large -has been > volume of investment major factor causing a inflationary , pressure in most Eu- tVxopeaircountries. - In the past two .i the ratio of investment to years ^-national, income has been far ^greater in Western Europe than even in... such countries: as the! , 'United States and Canada. - Western In¬ . ^graun :should enable the European countries to do this. ;1 It remains nevertheless, for Euuse these resources in necessary, to rope J projects that will increase output promptly. must Preference be to investment that will decrease the abnormal dependence. of Europe on imports given, > . f first, the Western Hemisphere; second, to investment that Will provide exports to the dollar ."from ! and, J area or f parity to earn dollars may be ex¬ to :bther areas whose ca- ' pected* to increase* vj oVS:0. ■ p v * ^ ^ -3 < :;4 ' lowance t Increased Exports "Even a considerable increase In ^ductioh; if ft can be attained In the next few years, will not enable the European countries to raise significantly their present .' standard of living. [ Part of thd increased production will have to 1 replace their present abnorihal imports. The European countries must give consideration to sup¬ plying 'themselves and Cach other with'more- of the goods which they 'have recently been getting from v * >• J ' * the United States and other West¬ ern Hemisphere source On th£ other hand, most of the increased ■ will have to be ear¬ marked for export. There is no .doubt that Europe has a will to [ do ~this.' ~ In 1947 the volume or exports of the countries of Westf em Europe Increased by 30 % as compared with J9.4(3; it is now just below the prewar volume. Th$ ,-proportionr of. their exports to,ih+ [ dustrial production is slightly less production * - . i than before the war. . is the and To strength- price. This this for made factor in Europe p their ability: tosurvive. in the ffcf •;f|ure depends bn their capacity to * ; 1 export. The export drive in the United Kingdom has become something of a national crusade. And in other countries, top, the * importance of exporting is recog' by government and business alike and the expansion of exnized sports has become * ■ r a major objec- tive of national economic policy, is not to enough for Europe increase exports. The increase In exports imist be to areas, from •ii But it which dollar payments can be ex¬ in the period just when the United was war, and Canada the in were reconversion. of Every¬ enormous de¬ rather crestfallen. 'Business is be¬ fact countries the that European eager to restore were increase an in exports to these explained wholly by those facts. The higher-priced cannot be areas markets of Europe gions tractive and other re¬ undoubtedly were than the more at-* competi¬ more tive lower-priced markets of the Western Hemisphere. But it is no solution for the European pay¬ problem dollar deficit have to with the a large Western Hemisphere with and other with other large surplus the surplus a if areas must be financed areas terribly difficult here,' they told me. I replied: 'Did you coming think the former could situation last forever?' In my opinion many European industries, by cutting margins, by improv¬ technical, organization down profit their ing edy; con-1 and sometimes remedy at all. goods from European sources. But if European countries are to sell in the Western Hemisphere they nied a tive to their Western Hemisphere customers. And—as I mentioned is is not a accompa¬ . government their prices until they are attrac¬ it preceded by internal fis¬ credit reform. For if a or cal and will have to lower their costs and it Devaluation is not unless remedy devalues . without having been strong enough to stop the current inflation, its action will only add to the existing in*flation. It needs about as much earlier—if this should prove to be energy to make a 'good' devalua¬ exchange rates ought to be adjusted until they are ade¬ quate to induce the flow of Euro¬ pean exports to the American tion markets'. achieved toward international sta¬ necessary, ' v';. ' "Coming back to the subject, I that before anything can be say again, I would utter a Monetary ad¬ justment—devaluation—is not, in every case, the only possible rem¬ caution. of prevent thqlieed for one. "But here word to as bility, Europe must attain inter¬ nal financial take measures eration of new stability; it must to prevent the gen¬ inflation." Status of Fuel Oil (Continued from this.impact and still meet full restricted un¬ 8) inexorably requirements. ment domestic Availability page toward last of > improve¬ an winter's fuel oil ? (b) • The oil industry cannot problem. Competitive alertness is successfully assume the additional keeping the oil industry in the foreiront of this nation's industrial energy load that would be thrown expansion. The production, trans¬ upon it by another coal strike You know and I know that the portation, and refining phases of strike in the early months of 1946 of the greatest stimulants to installation of oil heating. The was one the industry have achieved mar¬ velous results;The oil burn& Jfi- dustry is facing more serious com¬ industry has struggled val~ petition from manufacturers of to utilize petitive prices than they now are. iently ever since, trying to catch equipment, designed ' ' ' other fuels. Other steps may in some cases up with that abnormal impact on The oil burner industry is mak¬ prove necessary but the first ones demand. have to be taken anyhow. (c) A war requiring substan¬ ing a direct contribution by de¬ "It has often been argued that tially increased drains of petro¬ voting its sales and advertising emphasis primarily to the replace¬ Europe can never sell enough of leum products from the civilian its exports for dollars, and the market would require not only a ment market. Burner repair men are attempting to reduce fuel United States is held up as the restricted American consumption oil consumption by introducing horrible example of a country that of petroleum, but would necessi¬ their and distribution could come much system, to nearer com¬ oil correspondingly forced greater efficiency in units previ¬ to the coal industry to ously installed. Further, :I am - in¬ formed that your engineers have with the Western Hemisphere ropean countries' to sell export meet energy requirements. made and are making strides in must be financed by credits from goods to the United States was I ask you to continue the list of achieving greater burner effi¬ the United States and Canada— less significant than their failure possible disrupting influences and The . results of these as has been the case too. to sell -export goods to Canada consider the effect of a railroad ciency. been the from Europe-Has case—while the has deficit Europe Export ior Dollars? wholly unwarranted in .some European pessimism countries on their capacity to ex¬ port, to the Western Hemisphere. Hemisphere provides The Western Actually, in 1947 the failure of Western Eu¬ and Latin Can I "There, is a far won't buy from Europe. -America.1; In 1947 the exports of six Western European countries (the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark and Norway) to the Western Hemisphere were only 40% of their prewar proportion receptive markets for in these same markets. If these six imports from all countries than countires had maintained their more 1947 the before. In ever United States, Canada and Latin America in vol¬ In fact, available easily, and in the case of imported about 30% if more than before the supplies more had war. been prewar proportion markets they could in the dollar have exported $625 million more of their prod¬ ucts to the United States and $975 million Canada to more America. Latin As you to and the see, Canada and Latin America if the failure of Europe to maintain ex¬ supplies could have been acquired ports without payment in U. S. dollars, the volume of imports would have Canada been greater. Such favorable even markets than to America Latin even was failure its to and to marked more maintain ex¬ ports to the United States. European Costs and Prices needed foreign exchange, for Eu¬ be found, no¬ where else iri the world. The task ropean exports can "I repeat, the big 30b for Eu¬ rope is to produce and sell more of European countries during the goods in the Western Hemisphere. next few years. is to get their; I do not say it is an easy job. A share of. these markets, to pro¬ great many things are produced duce the goods that can be sold, in the Western Hemisphere at and .to offer them at prices that very low prices, on account of the will attract buyers. abundance of raw material and "I believe it can be done. In the the five years before the war, 14; of the countries of Europe partici¬ pating in the ERR (Turkey and Portugal omitted), supplied 20.5% of the total imports of the United large volume of production. "What has made European com¬ petition possible, nevertheless, in the past? Specialization in some industries, and, in general, lower cost of production, due especially States. In 1947 these same coun? to low wages. A good deal of this tries provided only 10.8% of the advantage in costs has gone, for total. The experience in Canada reasons—shall we say political or Latin is America the much I social? elimination do of not advocate social these the serv¬ ices, we cannot go back in that, but other of means restoring Europe's cost advantage must be exports in found and I am sure will be found. 1947 would have been about $1.8 "If the European, countries .are billion greater than they were. I to achieve; their objective to ma,ke am fully aware of the difficulties of Europe a. Self-sustaining econto European exports as a conse¬ omy with internal balance be¬ quence of the building up of in¬ tween production and demand and dustrial production in Canada and the war their dollar . Latin America and of external with the ex¬ balance between foreign exchange receipts and payments, they will have to find States and of the lack of raw ma¬ some way of making their ex¬ terial in Europe itself. I do not ports competitive in the Western arguethat : there isanything Hemisphere. The United States magical in Europe's supplying has never been more willing to precisely the prewar proportion of buy import goods than today. WesternHemisphere imports.- I Neither Canada nor Latin Amer¬ panded production of the United do believe that Europe can do better in the next few years will concentrate on far ica has any special If it for importing- from producing the States goods that preference the can tate a stimulus strike tying up coal movement to markets, curtailed steel availabil¬ like that a': relaxation of export another disaster ity, Texas City, a limitations of petroleum, an un¬ usually severe winter as was ex¬ perienced last year, a maritime strike, ably rr^ean etc. reduced a growth* of demand of rate for distillate fuel oil in the future. Conclusion The conclusions in temporary suspen¬ discussion now sion, etc., changes, worked out in a freely competitive, market, tyill inescap¬ The oil appear • this "of self - brief evident. industry will provide al¬ My whole thesis at this point is most 10% more petroleum in the attention one ines¬ first half of 1948 than it did dur¬ capable conclusion—that the oil ing the same period of last year. industry has and is straining tc Thus far, demand has grown by its utmost to bring to the Ameri¬ a lesser amount so that some res¬ can public every possible barrel toration of abnormally low inven¬ to call to your of oil that can be made available. absorb cannot It abnormal any shock to the energy must, from" now balance. Coal on, take its full tories haS been achieved. inventory Further growth is needed to supply problems local eliminate at the peak of the winter season. in energy re¬ Supplies will probably remain quirements. Hence, it isn't only tight for some months to come.; important in terms of national se¬ Greater reliance must be placed curity that we stock-pile petro¬ on coal to carry its full share of leum but that we also stock-pile the nation's energy load in the energy sources that can be stored future. Coal today constitutes the in piles above the ground—coal. cushion which must absorb any share of the growth willing and able to pay [: eh ; their -balance of payments; ', European countries must not only same.. If these countries could have supplied the same propor? increase production, but raise contion of the imports of the Western Isidri*ably the prop orti on of output Hemisphere countries t as before •"that is exported. that the States «* there is Will to export; Nowhere '( are people more conscious that they could ex¬ as the On or their customary trade connections, it still remains true that so large and "I' much textiles port, I won't say at any price, but certainly at a very comfortable Europe. trary, their own dollar position predisposes them to seek these 39 • ume *- as Within areas. with active cope omy; and the flow of goods un- by credits * selling to the Western Hemisphere Europe, to where there was an latent infla¬ mand for everything, one of the sellers' market ever tion, some countries have found strongest This sellers' market has it desirable io keep goods at' home seen. and to attract imports from other been gradually disappearing. The areas as a means of dealing with awakening was bound to come. 1 the pressure of excessive demand saw these same businessmen in New York six months ago, looking at home. But even when full al¬ ciated ♦ J- tier the European Recovery Pro4 than two years had been more process . • for after ments "The - continued expansion of production in Europe will require •the completion of this program for rebuilding the European econ¬ i. Hemisphere. have myself seen business¬ Western Europe- who "I men irom in trade with dependent and asso¬ countries are conscious of the need extremely the the offering right export goods and right prices. them at the stead, the increased exports were used in trade within Europe and j "The / European '!■ y .t means of part "During light . This greater Winter -severe and the critical payments . ;- ^ ; it not for the Stabilization and in (135) United be pur¬ Petroleum Supplies ; and Domestic impetus abnormal upon energy requirements. Oil Burners i The oil industry is deeply con¬ scious of the fact that reports the hard facts of regarding petroleum supplies have a serious effect upon the market for domestic; oiLburp^ ers. The oil burner industry gen¬ Joins Pearson-Richards (Special to The Chkonicle) h Financial ANGELES, CALIF. — Charles A. Kent has become affil¬ erally has [ recognized the serious iated with Pearson-Richards & nature of fuel supply problems Co., 448 South Hill Street. He and has cooperated to a tremen¬ Your sales are reg¬ dous extent. what istering must declines serious be from both with respect to to last you year LOS was previously with Leimert- Krieger & Co. and First Califor¬ nia Company. central heat¬ ing installations and space heat¬ With Hayden, Stone Co. ers. The proportion going into William O. Pearson is now as¬ replacement of older, less effi¬ cient units is encouraging to an sociated with the New York Stock oil man. These obviously are Exchange firm of Hayden, Stone eliminating some of the worst oil & Co., 25 Broad Street, New York hogs in existence last year. I do not believe the oil industry can City, as a registered representa¬ advise how many stallations it can additional in¬ thafi it can advise all other manu* consuming much they should facturers of petroleum devices how tive. - • serve, any more Bateman, Eichler Adds (Special LOS to Th* Financial Chuonicl*) ANGELES, CALIF.—Rob¬ on. This is a responsibility ert VV Carey has been, added to beyond that which should be as¬ the staff of Bateman, Eichler & plan sumed I do in a competitive society. Co., b^eve^ however, that petitive conditions are 453. South Spring Street, members of the Los Angeles Stock working Exchange. 40 THE (136) Our Reporter on COMMERCIAL (Continued from By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. without could we not op¬ $20,000 in railroad plant and equipment for each man or woman employed. As representatives of the own¬ mid-year investment demand failed to firm prices of Treas¬ obligations because the psychological and technical position of one of uncertainty. The fear of lower prices . which He has invested erate. The . of 13) page He supplies the wheels, go round. ury FINANCIAL CHRONICLE . for Treasury obligations that came with the offering of Savings Bonds ers of the railroads, the investors investors, has not as yet passed. . The decline this in their securities, it is our task time is attributed to concern over "pegs" and the international to see that there is enough money situation. Quotations receded again on light volume especially in the till after paying .necessary in the eligibles. The market for government obligations is about expenses to compensate the own¬ as "professional" now as it has been in a long time and this means ers and lenders adequately for the use of the funds they have sharp movement on both sides on restricted activity. to institutional . . . . . . . some $23 million of bonds with a maturity of more than five and $7 million due in less than five years. . This is not . . for stability in the market, when the stakes in the Savings Bond drive may run a billion more or less. * . . mented in marketable of purchases issues might 'be augthe end of the period, so that the sizable way near a payments for market equilibrium may not be reports indicate. . . favorable as • first as ket through the Bonds 15th at least, so that subscriptions to an answer . . bids when practically were . . due in less than five years by the money managers. ried . . the gross expecting The election is a an ... revenues are of traffic is with for . inti¬ the securities that do not marketable let them the • ciation income net roads that In same . even looking for . of year, 14cents the . slightly firmer . money market. as no . , ♦ the rail¬ priceless important a an defense, to be eco¬ arm pre¬ 1942, the the railroads of prior peak, of the were It be / ; r will 0 be issued 2.70%, according to maturity. They motives, and eight sleeping cars. a thoughtful financially more an per last year, 1947, moved more confused They moved more tons more miles than in any year of peace—46% more than in the this, it as revenue with the investment. on prewar take in peak year of 1929. They moved more tons of coal than ever is not rate were and road as that the planned ting day by day cut¬ may leave too margin performs a signif¬ of cloth the small a icant service. fidence and has If he the con¬ backing of his chief executive quired will be officer, so that any re¬ cutting of expenditures done before the margin and narrows, afterwards, he not becomes one of the most effective in forces to the to a fair return who put up his money, the plant or buy .the securing man build tools. The margin for vestor must become greater than it is today. in¬ the To the' accomplish¬ objective, budgetary controls which really control cart constitute one of the most impor¬ tant steps. Your wise and experi¬ enced group can, and I believe will, do much to make it a real* Bennett, Spanier Go. i Contest Closes CHICAGO, ILL.-—The experiof Bennett, Spanier & Co., ment i 05 South La Salle Street, with a type of appeal to the trading new fraternity seems to have had very gratifying response. In an oversized postcard, a cir¬ culated generally among invest¬ ment dealers, they offered several prizes, totaling $200, calculated to make the statisticians thumb their manuals with renewed vigor. Up to this writing, no claimant appeared for the first prize prospects than Portsmouth Steel. Three other prizes were offered "Why Ports¬ mouth Steel, common, is an out* for: letters entitled standing purchase." number A of very interesting replies have been received, and a of the winning letter will be furnished on request after entries have been; judged. copy SEC Invites Views on | Proxy Changes moved before. rules has and invited comments and criticisms from all interested parties to July 30. The be submitted suggested before? changes of the?. a corporation SEC would permit a stockhold¬ proposal if it is determined such proposal was made merely for. personal motives. It management to reject er's that ■: They suc¬ would also relieve management of without loss or the requirement to consider a pro¬ spoilage, the greatest wheat crop posal if less than 3% of votes at a in the history of the world. And previous annual or special meet¬ right now they are beginning to ing favored substantially the same move the second greatest wheat proposal. Another proposal is an of cessfully moved, For every railroads the tons than were ever loaded before in any one year. audience dollar of gross be what they will do in The railroads the years to come. operating revenues each year, there must be maintained a permanent investment of nearly $3 in railroad plant and equip¬ / any record of the railroads is ir ance dollar to provide for not exceeding 80% Halsey, Stuart & Co Inc., on of the cost, estimated at $2,200,296, July 1 publicly offered $1,760,000 of new standard-gauge railroad Louisiana & Arkansas Ry. 2%% equipment consisting of two 4-1500 equipment trust certificates, se¬ ries C, at prices to yield 1.45% to h. p. Diesel, electric freight loco¬ above will mature. $88,000 The certificates to only transportation costs and still efficient service certainly Jan. . that earnest of to clusive. Equipments Offered is able come better evident plish low cost transportation, earnings must come first; lower is hardly necessary to point out that this 6V2 cents in net income year. semi-annually 1, 1949 to July 1, 1958, in¬ The accounting officer so to budget the in¬ expenditures of his rail¬ to detect the first sign outgo. who is railroads can earn them or attrac them as investments. To accom¬ But the return Louisiana & Arkansas and of $100, which was offered for the name of any steel stock with observer and the To such accounts largely for the better tone in these Some of these purchases have been made from part cloth has rest of this year. ... the proceeds of sales of intermediate and long eligibles that early national that The there will be cut that greater margin between intake a Stability Means Low Cost Transportation than 6 Vz cents per dollar of will carry through to net in¬ come, and this assumes that there will be no shutdowns in major traffic-producing industries the attractive , the fact constitute our gross imme¬ corporate loans and marketable obligations are available. This is the important reason why the ineligibles are not getting too much professional attention. On the other hand, Sav¬ ings Banks have been rather sizable buyers of the restricted bought the more . . long . further increase: or also . Insurance companies continue on the sale side and diate reversal of this trend is anticipated as that order of the accounts, a larger portion operating ratio will will the war levels, The Securities and Exchange follow.' probably exceeding 77%. On such Commission has made public sev¬ a The present peacetime perform¬ eral proposed changes in its proxy basis, it is expected that not they are of the opinion that the Cost of getting these funds is going to increase. They believe that greater pressure will be brought to bear on the inflation spiral which . de¬ em¬ into year war revenues 1948. . to obtain in the market and this of nomic asset and prior to the second have increased beyond high levels attained dur¬ ing the war, and, as previously stated, may reach $10 billion in v ;•" A rates in the future with short-term rates expected to go to iy4% by the fall. These concerns have substantial amounts . of $902 mil¬ stable industry can produce low Lower costs 12.1% of gross. In 1943, cost transportation. gross revenues increased to $9,100 can be attained only through im¬ million but net declined to $873 proved operating methods and million, or 9.7% of gross. In 1944, technological progress. These ben¬ gross increased again to $9,400 eficial developments can be had million but net. dropped to $667 only through plant improvements which cost large sums, and such million, or 7.1% Of gross. Since the close of the war, gross funds cannot be had unless .the money and classes the net income reached until out Financial officers of many American corporations are bonds, even faced with Here is where the public should be aroused to a recognition of the fact that the railroads are not gross revenues securities. are most Financial lion, although less weakness is looked for in these securities because subscriptions are limited to $100,000. . from in wage rates. With the present wide disparity between gross and net income, any addition to the close to come greatest During the the last minute in order to pay for the Savings Bonds.. . Again the bank-eligibles are getting most of the attention from this a operating cost not be the end increased costs. on railroads ployees for this year In 1941, translate exceeded They feel there should be selling of outstanding issues at that time, because of additional interest that can be picked up by will result in increase average this may the .story mands general of War. to gross . . higher come control gent ment of that And v The net. . AAA; to Such a relative increase in oper¬ ating costs means an addition to the operating costs of the railroads of more than $3% billion per of car¬ the year any able nature, are short-range buyers and sell¬ they too are giving greater consideration to near-term devel¬ opments. They are concerned at the moment with the period through July 15, since there may be an opportunity to make a fast turn in the market. Some of the "professionals" are selling on strength, believing they should be in a position to rebuild holdings the last three days of the subscription period. . . NOTES weighted years 1929, for each dollar of gross rev¬ served and permitted to prosper in enues taken in, the railroads were the public interest. Traders and dealers, by of of to low a World and . may 1923 million, INSIDE THE MARKET . several costs. a of the railroads amounted to $897 fall event that will probably not bring about any radical changes in debt management or money rates, but why take any chances at this time seems to be the attitude now, . , . for railroads ranged $3,100 million in 1933 to a high of $6,400 million in simply aii aggregate of private en¬ 1926. In 1929 gross revenues terprises to be1 regulated as a amounted to $6,300 million. But measure of protection to the pub¬ in that same year the net income lic. There must be public appre¬ not unmindful that another 1/4 % certificate rate in the not distant future. effect yet that traffic is railroads from are % of 1% which will remain in fact not are identified revenues increase in loans to maintain earnings (the last) upping of reserve requirements is probably just around the corner. *. . . Other mild credit restrictive measures are also anticipated such as They are Strin¬ of the railroads. revenues , with Volume . From \ . to $10 billion, the greatest" gross in history. How does this record present high operating costs will compare with the past quarter of aggravate the already serious fi¬ a century? nancial problem. difficult but also of rather questionable value. This applies mainly to the deposit banks, and it is resulting in a short¬ ening of maturities, especially among the larger institutions in the . pace factors has been calculated at 77%. 1948, the gross revenues of Amer¬ tions not only very group, rec¬ Comfortable economic conditions. Money market followers are giving more and more attention to short-range predicting in the government market because of the real¬ ization that the confused conditions make long-term prognostica¬ holders faced railroads ican ers services striving for these objectives, are mately V. . CAUTION but in Yet rates at which support levels of certain of the bank obligations have been revised, which might account for purchases of bonds . the . . have faster than have the rates for transporta¬ tion services. Since 1939, the aver¬ since 1939 in these Railroad It could be that group. for product of volume of traffic times non-existent. operation much a that annum., * A .'.AAs a partial offset to the in¬ in a comfortable financial position, creased costs, the Interstate Com¬ and until they are, you and I, as merce Commission has authorized management representatives, can increased rates and fares but they never regard ourselves as com¬ are less than $3 billion and fall short of offsetting the increased pletely successful. Accordingly there is considerable talk that shorter maturi¬ days at The ties of the eligible taxables were taken on by "the authorities in weak rail of You management. the to the purchase of $7 million of these securities matures in less than five years. the Costs increased broken down, and they going to break down, v accounting officers head the departments charged with the protection and conservation of the not not are so In . . to na¬ tional needs. have must be we . •of bonds due in less than five years, by the Federal Reserve Banks last week. Acquisitions were supposed to have been mainly in the tap bonds, since they were down to pegged prices, but none . improvements necessary keep themselves abreast of the railroad operation, Financial Position then there should be to continue to make are the the gloomy predictions uninformed, the railroads ; : Despite of the cost of railroad materials Not . invest¬ new wage rate of all classes oi railroad employees has risen 75% duty to effect our satisfactory ord of net earnings. A steady to buoyant Treasury market would seem to need no help from the authorities, since it is reported theyv come into the market only when support levels are approached. Assuming this to be so, railroads of day tbat by. goes age NEW SUPPORT LEVEL? . conditions. should have if the we each year with a Savings . . . attract the inflow ment which And they gaining in efficiency and car¬ are invest¬ rying capacity with every net on current This return will be insufficient to which the railroads render, all for the purpose of closing our books by institutions will not be affected by unfavorable price trends. under time of Pearl Harbor. and is in compensation It is believed in most quarters of the fi- . nancial district that the powers that be want a firm stable mar¬ v only- about 4*/4% ment revenues return of a onslaught on our traffic by com¬ and supplies has increased 94%, peting agencies of transport, many while payroll taxes are now about of which are subsidized by pub¬ 9% greater than they were in 1939. lic funds. It is our job, as owner after taking into account the re¬ representatives, to obtain from cent reduction in unemployment regulatory agencies fair rates of compensation tax rates from 3% support operations last week too much to pay However, gross reduce It economies . of represent debt and lessen fixed charges. It is our obligation to combat the invested. RESERVE BUYING bought dollar would in of railroad gross revenues will findl its way into net is the watchword of the day in .your great part in . years, each and . The Federal Reserve Banks in their Thursday, July 8, 1948 Financial Problems of Railroads Governments the market is still & in gross crop ever known. i>; extension of the data already in is not all. The rail¬ proxy statements regarding of¬ carrying through to net income roads now have a larger number ficers' and directors' remuneration 6V2 cents per dollar of gross, the of serviceable freight cars, more to include information on public net railway operating income, be¬ passenger cars, and better motive payments made to them for serv¬ fore fixed and miscellaneous' power—in short, greater carrying ices in other capacities by the corcharges, would be about 10 cents capacity—than .they had at the ment. , ; If in 1948 if/-*> t • . j <: we •' • do succeed in ' * ' > '» I And i this *■*■»■» * •« * «l »«*«••« ■*: » poratio.n,. . . * * ,M ■ li * , Volume 168 Number 4714 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (137) Indicationsf of Current Business Activity Year Ago ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS: Revenue i freight loaded (number of cars) j^venue freight rec'd from connections (number CIVIL ENGINEERING RECORD: CONSTRUCTION, • ■ ;*. Total U. S. construction———... I Private of cars) ENGINEERING NEWS • , • . construction Public construction State and Federal ZZZZZZZZ, ZZZZZZZ municipal —— COAL OUTPUT (U. S. . BUREAU Z I _______ OF MINES) Bituminous coal and lignite (tons) Pennsylvania anthracite (tons) Beehive coke (tons).. : . . BEPARTMENT f STORE INDEX—FEDERAL AVERAGE=100 TEM—1935-3!) EDISON output FAILURES (in SYS 000 kwh.) (COMMERCIAL STREET, BRON RESERVE ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: Eectric . SALES AGE INC, - AND INDUSTRIAL)—DUN & BRAD _ COMPOSITE PRICES Finished steel 1 Pig iron (per l Scrap steel (per gross ton) (per lb.) gross ton) METAL PRICES (E. & .June 29 M. J. 3.24473c 3.24473c 2.85664c .June 29 $40.53 $40.53 $33.15 .June 29 ___ $40.66 $40.66 $35.58 QUOTATIONS) Electrolytic copper— Domestic reiinery at I ..June 30 ! Export refinery at i Straits tin (New York) ..June 30 at ..June 30 f Lead (New York) * at————;L_—^ Lead (St. Louis) ; ! Zinc (East St. at ..June 30 ..June 30 _ Louis) at ..June 30 STOODY'S BOND PRICES DAILY AVERAGES I! D. S. Govt. Bonds Average corporate Aaa - Aa I Baa Railroad Public Group Utilities Industrials Group. Group MOODY'S BOND U. S. YIELD DAILY AVERAGES Govt. Bonds Average corporate——..—.,—;, - Aaa ; Aa , Baa . Railroad Public Group Utilities Industrials MOODY'S COMMODITY INDEX RATIONAL FERTILIZER INDEX ITY Foods BY ASSOCIATION—WHOLESALE COMMOD GROUPS—1935-39—100: ■ Fats Farm ■M Group. Group oils and products Cotton Grains Livestock Fuels.. I; Miscellaneous commodities Textiles— Metals— Building materials Chemicals Fertilizer drugs and materials — Fertilizers—_____ Farm All machinery groups RATIONAL Orders combined PAPERBOARD received (tons) Percentage of PAINT .June 26 .June 26 ; .June 26 activity Unfilled orders ®IL, ASSOCIATION (tons) Production (tons) AND .June 26 at DRUG PRICE REPORTER INDEX—1926-36 WHOLESALE PRICES—U. S. DEPT. OF LABOR—1926=100 All . * commodities— Farm a— products.———-T—- ;; products Fuel and lighting materials Metal and metal products : i • .June 26 .June 26 —, Textile f ——— , — -Fbods_—i»^.U———L--——ii-— Hides and leather products —-J,— — .June 26 !june 23 June 26 . June 25 ' — — Bluilding materials..——— Chemicals and allied products—— ————— .June 26 .June 26 .June 25 .June 26 Bousefurnishings goods Miscellaneous commodities-——-— .June 26 Bpecial groupsRaw materials —. Semi-manufactured Manufactured All ..June 26 . articles products ..June 26 : commodities other than farm products All commodities other than farm products and foods _ ■ •Revised figure. ■ ..June 26 ..June 26 ..June 28 41 42 (138) THE COMMERCIAL ' & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, July 8, 1943 protection of the Export Control: Instrument of Foreign Policy (Continued from page 4) quarter, exporters drop from 4% in the a for the who commodity: from previous three months. importers Export Control t; N , for European Shipments, . Even before the European ReProgram was maue law, t^e in firm orders a two single or List more European On June 22 the validity period of licenses for most non^ Positive List commodities for Eiil country. covery from shipments ropean Commerce < hold non-Positive same changed was 90 importer * in of European country a from omy domestic econ¬ unwarranted drain commodities. Second, an scarce conservation of limited dollar ex¬ h conventional ;export change abroad (much of it pro¬ license application to tne u. S. vided by the American people un¬ Department of Commerce snow¬ der the European Recovery and make will ing his evidence of order? irom tne European importer, including the number of authorization. the ECA Neither other aid programs), by prevent¬ ing exports at clearly out-of-line And third, the tendency import prices. tne-. n.CA to war d reestablishment of a competition in ; to and international situation are be effective, there must I be com¬ pliance with the control regula¬ Peacetime enforcement of export controls involves a num¬ ber of difficulties not present dur¬ tions. ing the war, when shipping con¬ trols, : the blockade?, the pro** claimed List of Blocked Nationals,, . and vent censorship all helped to pre¬ unauthorized diversion- of exports. * ' ; I days to six months. Fi* any other government agency greater degree of nally, " the Department has pub-i will guarantee the granting of an loreign trade.-Although controls and enforce¬ The use of price criteria, which ment were both minimized in the lished in Current Export. Bulletin export license simply | because an country Group, iw Procedure, incorporated in cur¬ No. 452 a list of commodities which importer in an ERP country has were applied to Positive List early postwar period, the exten¬ rent Export Buiifcun imo. received permission from his gov¬ commodities promptly after Con¬ sion of export controls to Feb. 28, This may be shipped to Europe under program, which became eliective general license, that is, without ernment to pay for a snipment gressional auxnorization, has un¬ 1949, made it necessary to develop March 1, iy48, is specifically o.e- filing a license applicat.on. These with dollars. In granting export questionably aided in the cam¬ procedures for more effective en¬ The licenses for shipments Department of It has forcement. signed to impieaiexiX our foreign are commodities in easy domestic to tnese paign .against inflation. policy in three important respects. supply whose export will not be countries, the Office of Interna¬ eliminated many gray market ex¬ Commerce is I developing proce¬ dures to: ,1 ii -i; f■ counter to the foreign policy or tional Trade will adhere to its port trarusactions* andihas retard¬ First, to prevent tne movement ed! the .ex-port of goods abroad at to any European destinat.cn oi the United States. established standards.v - (1) Provide a proper legal basis Typical com¬ for both administrative and crirpThe modities on this list are tobacco excessive prices. goods w.\" ose shipment would not European Recovery Pro Since price criteria became ef¬ inal action contribute to our national inter¬ ahd processed motion picture film; gram is more than a > plan ifof under the Export est; second, to speed to^ Wesief i. building tip the factories • and fective at the beginning of tne Control Act, by broadening tne Export Control Under the faritfs. and transportation systems year certain administrative diffi¬ authority of the Commerce De¬ Europe the materials neeaed for European Recovery have become clear. At partment and the Customs Bureau of Europe. >One of the purposes culties recovery in a manner calculated Program £ of this effort is to reconstruct the first it was believed that, other to investigate and dispose of al¬ to avoid the uneconomical use oi At the same time that policies network of international trade things being equal, price would leged violations^ .Sanctions of the limited European purcnas.ng 'rpower; and, finally, to insure an and procedures were being devel¬ that was in large part destroyed be a major factor in selecting li¬ export control law: may then be adequate flow of certain essential oped to handle shipments to East¬ by the war. International trade cense applications for approval. applied to many of the documents imports from Eastern Europe to ern Europe, the Department oi can be rebuilt only if private Administratively and technically used in the export trade, such as Western Europe and the United Commerce has been working ii; businessmen in all parts of the it has proved both difficult and export declarations, manifests, learn once States by arranging for specific close conjunction with the Eco¬ world again to dc burdensome to use price in this and bills of lading*. - »■ J \ '* manner. nomic Cooperation Administra¬ business with one another* (2) Establish more secure li¬ exchanges, of commodities. V At the same time, however, it censing practices by reducing the The licensing of all shipments tion to establish procedures whici The one sure way to delay the facilitate to Europe now subjects to control will shipments undei rebuilding of the structure of in¬ became evident that price criteria possibility of 'forgery or altera¬ trade would be to can be used very effectively to tions in the license document, and important additional segments of the European Recovery Program. ternational license our applications by keeping closer control of the export trade. Unlicensed While the administrative details place all the ERP business in the eliminate, have not yet been completed, the show .clearly out-of-line document within the Commerce hands of the participating govern¬ which shipments to Europe in the fourth After rejecting such ap¬ Department and the Customs- Of¬ quarter (which, if shipped now, proposed organization of exports ments. The Congress recognized prices. under the program. will permit the danger of this action, and the plications,. the Commerce Depart- fices. would be subject to the new pro¬ j-v (>.'■ ■ «f;;* (3) Establish an export "code cedure) constituted about a third and even stimulate genuine pri¬ legislation clearly calls for the ment' has used other criteria for of ethics." of our uncontrolled trade, and ac¬ vate trade. use of "private channels of trade'; determining which expo rters Export licensing priv¬ counted for about a quarter of our Exporters will continue to do to the greatest extent possible. should get licenses. Among these ileges may then- be denied tor de¬ criteria are the use to Fwhich the sperate violators of the canons oi ill; .total exports. The most important business in the same way as ir/< We must continue to avoid reli¬ commodity groups affected by the the past. The European Recovery ance on government procurement commodity will be put when-* it proper administrative practice. : (4) Develop > 3- more effective Country Group R Procedure are Program is not another Lend- whether by foreign governments reaches its destination and the lilfS textiles and machinery. On the Lease* with the Federal Govern¬ or our own. It sometimes appears historical position of the exporter system, of.-destination control * to in the trade. I 'v basis, of the fourth quarter export ment buying all the goods and to be the easy and efficient way prevent transshipment. Such ac¬ pattern, 30 % of our machinery shipping them to Europe. Nor is to carry on a grant-in-aid or a i A revised version of this reg¬ tion is particularly important ih and vehicle exports would now re-, it a plan whereby foreign, goy-j loan program, and for that reason ulation, published on May 19, connection: with' the European.Re¬ quire licenses, as against less than ernment procurement will be sub¬ it ' is insidiously tempting; The 1948, as Current Export Bulletin covery Program;* j 1} No. 457, states clearly and accu¬ 1% actually controlled in fourth stituted for private trade. ]$RB legislation is based on the Expand, v:insofar as funds Only q few commodities, such belief that the use and strength¬ rately to the trade the govern¬ permit, the enforcement activities quarter 1947. Similarly, the extent of control over textile exports as certain bulk foods and medical ening of private channels of trade ment's policy of preventing ex¬ of * both- the Commerce Depart¬ would be increased' from 0.3 to supplies, will be purchased by is an important-part of economic ports at out-of-line prices, and ment and the Customs Service, the U. S. Department of Agricul¬ recovery, not only for Europe but calls on the trade, for continuing and recruit trained enforcement •24%. : advice onwhat - constitutes a There are a number of other ture and the Bureau of Federal for the rest of the world. personnel Naturally, enforce¬ clearly excessive price. r ment of export control requires commodity groups, including rub¬ Supply and sent by these agencies Export Controls and Nondirect to Europe. the The rest will closest cooperation between ber, over which the Department Consultation With Industry European Countries of Commerce exercised little or be ordered by the private im¬ he Department of Commerce and In no control before March 1. preparing-. Current Exporl the Customs Service. Since porter in Europe and supplied by Although? this discussion has a Even with the limited facilities large share of our exports of the private exporter in this coun¬ been primarily directed to export Bulletin No. 457, as in the devel¬ -these items goes* to Europe, the try. All arrangements for the so¬ controls as they affect the eco¬ opment of its other policies and in the past few months a number Country Group R Procedure brings liciting of orders, the requesting nomic recovery of Western Eu¬ procedures, the Office of Inter¬ of serious violations of regulations the Department aciopiea iar-reacning control known nor inca>urt tne as - , , , . ? t . . .. ' . . ■ . - . . degree of control' of export and import licenses, and shipments "Of these Items, I exchange permits, the shipping amounting to over 40% of U. S. j and; storing of goods, and the payexports in the case of rubber. ment for individual shipments will ■ be initiated and carried through Country Group R Procedure jn private channels of trade. During the initial period of Exporters who have been doing Vlll; Country Group R control, most business with Europe in the past commodities in easy domestic sup¬ will continue to solicit business ply were permitted to move freely through their regular agents and a considerable overt . _ > to Western Europe. License applications for such destinations have been speedily processed— generally within a week or ten days after- receipt. • I At the same time, the Department Commerce trated , of on the control of shipments ■II ' ill concen- consult with the ECA and other agencies of the U. S. Government A newly es- and decide which commodities to Eastern Europe. tablished has subcommittee - of the be paid for with funds made Department's Interdepartmental available by the United States to Advisory Committee has reviewed stimulate European recovery. The license applications for Eastern European importer will obtain European exports on a case-by- permission from his government case basis. Its purpose has been to exchange his own francs, or to determine general working crikroner, or lira for U. S. dollars teria for licensing to Eastern that have been furnished by ECA Europe which will be flexible to his government for buying enough to meet any change in the goods from the United States uninternational situation. Although Aer the recoverv urogram rapidly as possime, many cases have necessarily been delayed pending major policy decisions.By the end of May, however, the log jam ern Europe Department trade—had major the European will the The details governments be enabled to keep account of licenses for East¬ funds that are spent. — disturbing . to the of this plan are now being worked no. less than to the out. The important thing to re¬ been policy a broken. issues shipments fied, and action at the Economic Cooperation Admmistration in the United States and on such continue can #The concerning have been clari¬ on licenses should rapid rate. In addition, the Department has several steps to simplify taken rest the of watched closely the Depart¬ by When exporl ment of Commerce. quotas are established for scarce commodities, the Office of Inter¬ national Trade acts as claimanl for the needs of the countries not participating in the European Re¬ In order to carry ances out the assur¬ given by the then Secretary Harriman at the Commerce of inter-American conference at Bo¬ gota, a new position of Special Assistant for Latin American Sup¬ ply Problems has been tary created in of Commerce. That official •v-wawvy'W tr V. b> indus- lected on to the advise the Department administration of By mid-May many panels were in process of formation, and meet¬ ings had been held by represen¬ tatives of about 20 commodity Additional panels groups. are be¬ ing organized in other To as problems develop commodity fields. equitable trade repre¬ the panels, nomina¬ requested from national assure sentation to are on for importance of bal¬ in the economic re¬ of the world. the phasizes anced exports covery Price Criteria in Licensing Another export of of inflation. Public Law in this year rising pres¬ policy control has resulted from the sure Policy major" innovation In Section 3(b) 395, approved on tional exporters/ ropean Recovery Plan fror4 his by this legislation. instituted independents, and exporters being loop- to the letter and spirit of the reg¬ ulations in the future. In the tion current unsettled condi¬ the of world, export control indispensable instru¬ ment for protecting the domestic economy from the pressures of abnormal foreign demand, and for systematic distribution of those scarce materials available for ex¬ port. I. remains an The full cooperation of the for¬ eign trade community is required to achieve the broad objective of export control — a balance: be¬ tween the needs of the domestic the requirements of economy and our foreign policy. Two With Herrick WaddeU (Special to. The .Financial .Chronicle) OMAHA, I. NEB.i—Albert^ D. Becker of Columbus and Clarence in various geographic areas of the H. Wittmann of Fremont country. nected made of to Every inform current cussed at effort the resentatives is entire problems the panels, and the to meetings names through Compliance as¬ First, now eliminate measures should loles in existing procedures, and •esnlt in more general adherence being trade be. dis¬ of these of the rep¬ whom the If the export control quired by the •». policies present re¬ domestic are con¬ with Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc., 55 Liberty Street, New York City. ,1,1 ;-.v' I '•"i 7 "I'IP' A. E. Weltner Co. Adds • (Special trade counter-inflationary The begun. well as new^ comers, trade association members and been uncovered, and prose*of such violations have •utions as may present its views. authorized These panels supplement but do member is that whatever method the use of price criteria in licens¬ of accounting and disbursement of ing exports, "either * by giving not. replace the long-established funds is worked out, the European preference among otherwise com¬ Export Advisory Committee, importer—not the U. S. exporter parable applications to those which which in recent months has met —will initiate the first action in provide for the lowest prices, or , with increasing frequency to dis¬ requesting permission to use EGA in exceptional circumstances, by cuss the broader aspects of export dollars to pay for a shipment. fixing reasonable markups in ex¬ control which cut across commod¬ 11; It should be emphasized that port prices over domestic prices." ity lines. Dec. 30, 1947, Congress Three nave export American tated benefited private be specifically responsible assisting members of other associations, regional bodies, and states in their efforts interested individuals. The panels to obtain material, equipment, are then, selected, in such a man* machinery,; etc. in short supply. ner that adequate- representation is given to merchant exporters as In acting as claimant for the well as producer exporters, small, non-European countries, the Of¬ fice of International Trade em¬ medium, and large firms, tradi¬ is pects of export control are facili¬ being issued to with dustry. Commodity advisory pan¬ els have been and are being es¬ tablished, from which small work¬ ing committees, on a commodityby-commodity basis, will be se¬ tions jippnses), now has Trade consultation the Office of the Assistant Secre¬ Country Group R Procedure. The licensing staff has been increased. the United States exporter who Single licenses (multiple consignee receives a contract under the Eu¬ are national controls in their respective fields Program. covery distributors abroad. The European importer will consult with his government, regarding the need for a particular product as part of the recovery program. Then jjjg European government will foreign trade needs ol the world are also the rope, . to KANSAS A. The Financial CITY, Chronicle) MO.~Charles Fordyce has. been added id staff of A. E. Weltner & the Co,., 21 West Tenth Street. Two^With Gill Associates (Special to The Financial Chronicle) TOLEDO, OHIO—Paul R. Hath¬ and Ray H. Miller have been added to the staff of Gill Asso¬ away ciates, Inc., Hotel Secor.1 (Volume 168 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4714 . currency, -una Observations (Continued from cies 5) page .«•' France availed itself of law by which, inter alia, dom in enacting, toreign curren¬ Indian Government imposed a ban ; ^Anri^nf^heveal- involved, he corrects what lias always seemed to the writer the as a miscomprehension by many security analysts. The very claborate detailed and clearly set-forth Wiesenberger data on man6 im of gold into the agement results should be particularly appreciated because of the Crowh'Colony, in ordlu to protect bECs pronouncement of last .April bllegmg that certain trust sales th forfeign exchange reserves and literature have been misleading in containing charts and graphs tQ prevent premium sales and which balloon the trusts real actual financial performance. ^ " smuggling of gold to China. t;sk dollar, the escudo and, later, the Swiss franc. By that law the LXriSriit®rtation Combining ® ♦ „ . . Copious planation of , , , , ,... . , ^. . devoted by Wiesenberger to a detailed exmechanical "systems" for timing in the buying space is two holding of, transport of, and trade in, gold was made free on French territory; persons who had con¬ travened previous regulation? move was made on asked wv,irh T?imfJ June 24, 194/, ment of Monetary international th h member all gnd selling of stocks: "Dollar-averaging" and "Formula-timing." count'ries to take steps to end hey a chosen are they because most suitable for use with in- are shares, in their aim to combine good timing with diversification in the choice of the securities bought. Dollar-averagvestment company transactions in gold at francs upon wage increases,-prices are going up sharply, and this is a bad sign. Salaries and wages are set, through bargaining, by con¬ tract. Once : set, they become the end of June 1941 \% free the "On market, of the Fund :ng is particularly suitable for the investor with regular rather than wori(j exchange stability and it irregular income. Formula-timing, apart from its many variations, js the considered opinion of the may be said to have as its main purpose the conferring of self-dis-. Fund that exchange stability may cipiine to avoid the great psychol6gical temptation to follow. the .be-undermined by continued and 'crowd in the up and down swings of the market. Space does not increasing external purchases and same markets. price? quoted which were wel above not only the official prices were "'A primary purpose At the time, the supply of money is tapering off, instalment buying and other forms of credit are soaring, and recent reports show that one quarter of our families are priced out of the „ premium to fixed, and may be impervious a shrinkage oi revenues. pay¬ (afterwards to be increased by per month). (Continued from first page) round charge which was fixed a at 25% up to a." prjces. French into it The Stock Market : their gold or convert could deposit "Furthermore, a most important System With Selection Timing a this free by a law of Feb 2,1948, the establishment of a free market for gold, side by side with a free market for certain currencies: prohibited. In March the was 43 (139) FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & expenditures, which bil¬ year, may suffer a sharp decrease, when costs that are triple prewar have to be faced. Ths upward rise in prices, neces¬ sitated by 'the third round wage increase, may well be the straw Capital have for gold but also the price corresponding to even the highes market quotation for the dollar. Moreover, different prices *ver< fixed at the rate of $23 been lion a quoted for different kinds oi )»ermit our detailing of the weaknesses of both of these techniques, gales ox gold at prices which di- coins and also for gold in bars to break the camel's back. someof wHicbiarecharacteristic'of all mechanistic systeihs for 'h^at- rectlyorindirectly produce ex- Chart II gives, however, an im¬ Deline in Commodity Trice Ing the markfet" by catching the swings. But it may be pointed out change transactions at depreciated pression of the general tendency Expected that they offer a wonderful psychological "escape" 'to theihany I rates. From information at its the increase in the quotations in This comes at a time when experienced investors and speculators who have " previously burned ] disposal, the Fund believes that March (at the time of the Czecho¬ their fingers in using the more usuaL methods. In fact one of the! unless discouraged this practice is slovak crisis) and the drop in the scarcities are disappearing, pipe¬ lines are filling up in more and greatest attractions of the entire mutual investment fund method is likely to become extensive, which quotations round about May 12 more categories, and when farm the offering of an "escape" in "letting George do it," that is, throw- 1 would fundamentally disturb the 1948, when it was believed that big one's realizedly difficult problems into the convenient laps of i exchange relationships among the negotiations would be resume! prices are about to extend further the experts. members of the Fund. Moreover, with the USSR, show to what an the break experienced last win¬ ter, as a result of the favorable these transactions involve a loss extent political events are apt tc 2 This writer's conclusion regarding the hiring of these world crop figures to appear this to monetary reserves, since much influence the quotations.2 j experts' services through the investment fund technique is that Fall. This may make people con¬ of the gold goes into private because of the sizable discounts at which the closed-end funds "In Italy the black market for scious of a lower farm income and hoards rather than into central , usually sell on the market, "the price is right." : gold, as well as the black markets of sympathetic declines in the holdings. For these reasons, the for foreign currencies, was grad¬ price of other commodities. Fund strongly deprecates inter¬ ually legalized; the price of gold Incidentally, the question of nomenclature should be considered Also, there appears to be a de¬ national by the profession. 'The traditional generic term of investment trust abandoned for investment company at the time of the institution in transactions gold at fell in the slimmer and autumn o: premium prices and recommends that all its members take effective 1947 by 25-30%, moving parallel with the quotation for the dollar. unfortunate, for there is little action to prevent such transac¬ This strengthening of the pur¬ question that to much of the public investment company denotes tions in gold with other countries merely a firm, practicing some indefinite role in the field, as perhaps or with the nationals of other chasing power of the lira in rela¬ tion to gold greatly helped to in¬ investment banking. A far more descriptive term would be invest¬ countries.' crease confidence in the national ment fund or investing company—or perhaps even investment coop¬ "This announcement by the In¬ currency; the public in more thar erative, if the word trust be frowned on. ternational Monetary Fund had an one country is inclined to place immediate effect on the policy of greater faith in the movements o was This Of SEC regulation. seems name , countries. several As already free—or even black—market quo¬ Gold Black Markets and Hoarding mentioned, the authorities in Lon¬ don placed a ban on dealings in tations than in any- official price lists. For that reason monetary (Continued from page 14) foreign ;gold at a price above the official parity: -7 • i .* .v authorities have often looked witt do nothing could ate economic superficial a London sta¬ been bility concealing an economic in¬ validism due to continuous gold sudden check America and sent has part to gone has other to probably in¬ markets, cluding New York. but intervention could rises in the price bleeding; Latin of than cre¬ more "The Reserve Bank of South "As tary . indicated, also authorities the the in i mone¬ United appealed to individuals, banks, etc., to assist in stopping speculation in gold on foreign markets and, in. the course of the Autumn of 1947, they introduced strict control over the movement States . Africa has emphasized its absten¬ . sovereigns—rises which would create a still greater demand for Of tion from sales of gold free on black markets; but some newly-mined gold may have been smuggled out of the country, the main destinations being India, and gold and further price increases. a certain amount of favor on sales gold on black markets, sue! sales helping to keep down the unofficial price of gold. of "The of Greece mentions Bank State Department S. U. the of into foreign The soldiers' corporate surpluses. past history. The coming change in the Ad¬ ministration at Washington is cor¬ bonuses will soon be as very opti¬ the long pull. But, in rectly interpreted mistic for benefit by a sound and Republican philosophy, the economy must suffer temporarily as the result of a promised thor¬ to order honest ough house cleaning. The curtail¬ ment of extravagant and wasteful expenditures will cut government spending." '.Even;in-our bi-partisan foreign policy, where the presently exist¬ ing course will be followed, there "Regulation of free markets is a probability that in attempting and, especially, bans on the flow to make this course straighter and of gold to such markets will, a more efficient, expenditures for best, only deal with a number of ERP might be somewhat cur¬ symptoms of the prevalent mone¬ tailed. The Russians, having lost tary malaise. To get rid of the the cold war with us, will prob¬ real causes of hoarding, it is im¬ ably dictate the extension of their gold from the United States markets; only semiprocessed refined gold could be perative to put a stop to inflation agreed to unfreeze $1.2 million Egypt and South-Eastern Europe* exported, and then only if the, and also to find a true balance in worth of gold ingots which had "It is not possible to describe country of destination permitted the valuation of the different cur¬ been given by Greece as a pledge all the sources and centres of 4he importation of such gold. rencies. Fear of war is a further against a loan granted by the Fed¬ clandestine movements of gold "In Mexico, the authorities sus¬ motive for hoarding but, as a rule, eral Reserve Banks. since, for obvious reasons, trans¬ pended export sale of gold, bars it is not too difficult to deal with : actions of this kind are not offi¬ and "The Bank of Mexico has sold coins, but manufactured gold once the fear of inflation is con¬ While in some (e.g.) in the form of statuettes gold coins at a high price in order cially reported. quered. to obtain 'foreign currencies countries gold sales, acting as an may be exported upon payment of "History shows that conditions antidote to inflation, undoubtedly a duty of 30 centavos per kilo (mainly dollars) relatively cheap¬ making for hoarding and dis¬ had a salutary effect, it was often ly. The gold sales were at first plus 5% of the value of the article. carding vary from time to time felt that the whole economy of Under direct or indirect pressure reported to be for domestic use, not only in the West but also in but much of the gold found its the countries concerned was suf¬ from the International Monetary the East. Especially in the pres¬ fering certain disadvantages from Fund, several smuggling centres way to the Near and Far East. ent abnormal situation, it is clear¬ the disappearance of the gold— (and among them Hong Kong and "Further, there is no doubt that especially when private hoarding Manila) imposed restrictions on ly impossible for any immutable private markets have been fed by rules to be laid down, and those of gold increased at the expense private movements of gold; such newly-mined gold. Part of the of more important imports, or steps made it more difficult to responsible for dealing with these current output of the Philipoines savings were sterilized instead of smuggle gold into and out of the is reported to have been sold at problems may, indeed, find it being put to more productive use. respective territories. premium prices and most of the necessary to adapt their policies "In a number of countries steps "As;a consequence of all these newly-mined gold in Ethiopia ap¬ to the circumstances of individual pears to have found its way 'to the began to be taken against sales of bans and abstentions, the current Thus, at the supplies of gold became more re¬ countries and the needs of the Alexandria market, to which gold gold to the public. * that and in cline in individual savings foot "one policy; backward" ih their peace offensive. This may cause a lessening of ar¬ mament; expenditures. England, rather than Russia, might furnish us with the surprise shock. The Labor Government, as a last resort to avert bankruptcy, other words, drastically devalue the pound. may repercussions throughout th$ world could be of catastrophic The proportions. Business Facing Squeezes From many sources we learn of . , also is >. * -■"* " of Government outout Part of the gold - beginning and Syria by exported Lebanon. 1947, Chinese the published a drastic CHART II Quotation of Gold Coins in Paris ' - In and Switzerland. , stricted. But the public's demand gold persisted, the result being a general upward movement in quotations for gold in free and black markets in the autumn of 1947. . French francs. / •" ^ an to -f''" A 6000 6000 - ^A 5000 W A 'Wm . / V; '4000 : 'i i * - ji \ V. _ A Price of Napoleon ' A/? - ' 4000 v \^in Paris y -v . 3000 Frice of Napoleon in Switzerland "• ; jr.- ; expressed in French francs -v : ... :L VW/' - W ... 200fo 2000 'I.-;:/ 1 • ■ >'•/';.';••• O" ' /•v..',;*. V:'"v ■ '.' ." :f;v;\ >■. • 1000 < 0 , 1 vl. .11 • 1->■'.! 1946 h'/il. 1 VI » ■-> .1 ■" 1 1 1 * ' ' 1 J 1947 1 .«f.v ... 1 J i.«"i » 1 ' • > 1 1948 i "i- either directly, of the in regulations, by musing such loopholesi as dealings in semi-manufactured or manufactured gold. Hence the need for further clarification of the position. Not of all the countries are International Monetary Fund, but non-members would seem to have generally fallen into line. It is important to note that the International Mone¬ policy statement in specifically directed against international transactions in, gold, thus leaving each country free to sell gold, even at premium prices, on its domestic markets. tary 1000 -0. contravention members ■ A 3000 ;■> •^ ,— I \J I . \ ' . ■ '■ smuggling, or 5000 . rr i higher prices represented increased temptation to resort "The 7000 7000 - times." for Fund's this matter is is usually impossible to give even approximate figure for the value of gold hoarded in individual countries. For France the Equivalent of $3 milliard has often been quoted as a likely figure for the amount of .gold hoarded -by the be¬ ginning of 1947. A close examination of available data would seem to show that the influx of gold from 1938 to 1947 cannot have been on a very large scale (but that there was some influx is certain, and it may well have amounted to several hundred million dollars in 2 It an The size of present-day hoards will thus de¬ pend upon how much gold was in fact in the two and a half postwar years). the French public before world war. Judging .from which has become available in connection with the settlement of es¬ tates and on other occasions, many hands the of second the information families France have been possession of gold. in standing So tion to far (May 1948) no great propor¬ the existing hoards would seem been sold on the free gold in France on 2nd with the restoration tary confidence, a part of hoarded may be expected to 1948 long¬ of have ket in set up but, markets. mar¬ February of mone¬ the gold reach the businesses that are un¬ numerous dergoing readjustments to lower operations. Costs of labor, of materials and of shipping .are becoming inflexible shackles to profitable operations. Break-even points are at so high a level that a decline in gross can create sub¬ stantial damage. A good markdown in record inventories could levels of have in effect similar a many times-earmngs ratios for stocks could disapoear. In citing the current readjust¬ ments that are taking place, and cases. Low attention to some of the in calling problems ahead, we are not at¬ tempting to time a stock market break. Maybe second and third quarter earnings, the confidence engendered by a Republican vic¬ tory and the undoubting faith of the chart followers will push the market higher. However, we do not think this will happen to any extent because many businesses need financing and would like to issue more stock or senior obli¬ , gations . prices. The us * reasons - stock. into convertible These issues will act as ceilings on . , '• - given above bring to the conclusion should accumulate that investors cash. 44 (140) THE COMMERCIAL Securities • .U American Bosch Corp. (7/19) June 2 filed 535,882 shares of class B ($1 par) common Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Glore, Forgan & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc., and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly). Bids— Bids for the purchase of the stock will be received up to 3:30 p.m. (EDT) July 19 at office of Department of Jus¬ tice, Office of Alien Property, 120 Broadway, New York. .American Fidelity Fire Insurance Co., New York - July 2 (7/16) (letter of notification) 20,000 shares 80c nonstock (par $5). Price—$14 perStockholders of record July 15 will be given the right; to subscribe to the stock. Rights expire Sept. 9, convertible preferred share. 1948i Expand fire insurance business., No underwriting. Ampal-American Palestine jfLpril 7 filed $10,000,000 10-year Trading Corp., N. Y. 3% sinking fund deben¬ tures. Underwriter—Name to be filed by amendment, 41 any is used. Proceeds — $5,000,000 in mortgage loans for-,construction • Armstrong Rubber Co., West Haven, Conn. June 30 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of 4%% convertible 2,000 shares of class A preferred common stock, stock. ($50 par) and To be sold at $44 and ,$11.75, respectively. This stock is being sold by James A. Walsh, President of the Company. Underwriter -—I?. Eberstadt & Co., Inc., New York. Batesville Telephone Corp., 25 ceeds—To redeem outstanding 5% first mortgage bonds and to pay for improvement program. © Bay Petroleum Corp., Denver, Colo. June 29 (letter of notification) 6,000 shares ($1 par) common stock for company and 3,000 shares of the same stock for Charles U. Bay, Josephine P. Bay and the First National Bank of Bridgeport £nd C. U. Bay as trustees. Offering to be made at $3Q each. Proceeds from the company's sales to be used for working capital. No un¬ derwriting. " / - * connection "Business • Exploration Canada , June. 2 filed Co. Ltd., Ottawa, v •• 500,000 common shares ($1 par). Under¬ writer—Mark Daniels & Co., Price*—40c per share Cana¬ dian funds. Proceeds—For exploration of properties. • Bowlsng Green June 29 common (letter of (Ohio) 1,000 stock of which 800 shares are shares (no to be sold at par) $100 per share and 200 shares are to be retained in company's treasury. To put meat packing plant into working con¬ dition and purchase livestock, j No underwriting. • Central Maine Power Co., Augusta, Me. July 1 filed $5,000,000 first and general mortgage bonds, series Q, due 1978. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders — Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Kidder, Peabod.y & Co. and W. E. Hutton & Coi (jointly); Merf rill;Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and White, Weld & Co.^(jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Rip¬ ley & Co., Inc. Proceeds—To reduce outstanding shortv term construction Bank of notes payable the First National Boston, the proceeds of which were used additional construction and to other corporate for purposes, ping—Expected in July. Central Vermont March 30 filed and an Public Service $1,500,000 Series E first Corp^ mortgage bonds undetermined number of common shares (no Underwriters of common—Coffin & Burr. Bonds to be placed privately. Common stock will be offered to par). common stockholders through subscription rights and to and preferred stockholders through subscrip¬ privileges. Proceeds—For a construction program repair of flood damages. Expected by mid-July. • .Chieftain Products, Inc., Brooklyn, N. Y. July 2 (letter of notification) 50,000 shares of common one 30,000 warrants common share of stock. common entitling the holder to pur¬ Price—$2.75 per unit consisting of and 1V2 rate purposes. warrants. General corpo¬ Underwriter—Dunne & Co., New York. ; Clinton (Mich.) Machine Co. April 15 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of stock to be sold at $5% each (market price), for selling stock¬ holder. Underwriter—Charles E. Bailey & Co.; Detroit. Opportunities." off bank loans and for at par. ^magazine called No underwriters. > FlotiKI Loan working capital. Price—Expected , Products, Inc., Stockton, Calif. , Commonwealth Edison Co., Chicago, 11 I.¬ $50,000)000 first mortgage bonds, series N, due June' 1, 1978. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders include Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; The and Missouri - $6,000,000 of 3V2% cumulative certificates of No common stock ($25 -. cer¬ Offering—Offered only to A. Feeder, Inc.^Chicago, III. June 30 (letter of notification) subscriptions for 240 4% cumulative preferred shares ($100 par) of the com¬ pany, which is still to be organized. To be sold at par. For; paid-in and working capital. No underwriters. Dayton Consolidated Mines Co., G. . Co., Virginia City, Glohe-Wernicke Nevada stock fund convertible 5% bonds due 1953 and 300,000 com¬ mon shares reserved for conversion of bonds. Price— of record June 18 six shares ferred stock. Dively (H. G.) Industries, Inc., Colorado Springs, Colo. ferred stock (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 7% cu¬ mulative preferred stock (par $10) and 10,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—-Par for both issues. Un¬ derwriter—Company is offering the stock in. its own behalf, listing underwriting discounts on both issues. * - j holders at the rate of 3% each seven case. shares one held common and additional one shares held. share for common share of preferred for Price—Par Underwriters—Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. in each and Dean Witter & Co. sory Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. May 6 filed $14,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1973. Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Smith/ Barney & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co.; White, Weld & Co. Proceeds—$14,000,000 of proceeds, plus 563,000 shares of new common stock, will be delivered to the Philadelphia Co. in exchange for natural gas properties now under lease, outstanding cap^al stock of Equitable, notes and other claims owed to the Phila¬ delphia Co. and to the Pittsburgh and West Virginia Proceeds—To pay off short-term promis¬ notes and the balance for construction. H " ' ) Heidelberg Sports Pittsburgh, Pa. Enterprises, June 25 filed 2,041 shares of class A 5,000 shares of class B common Inc., common stock stock and (par $100). Price —•Par ($100 per share). Underwriter—None, Proceeds —$600,000 to be used for spectator grandstand and bal¬ ance for related purposes. Heyden Chemical Corp., New York, N. Y. June 29 filed 59,579 shares of cumulative.. convertible preferred stock (no par) to be offered common stock¬ holders of record July 13 in the ratio of one share ,o£ preferred for each 20 shares of common stock held* Price—By amendment. Underwriter—A. G. Becker & Co. will acquire the unsubscribed shares. Proceeds— Sale originally planned for July 7 postponed. Exeter & Hampston Electric Co., Exeter, N. H. June 24 (letter of notification) 8,125 shares of common To be used in part for improvement and expansion of manufacturing facilities. 4 (par $20). Price—$33 per share. "Underwriter— None. Proceeds—For additions, extensions and improve¬ ments to plant and to pay Hunt Machine June 21 present short-term notes total¬ At par. First Guardian Securities Corp., New York City June 4 filed 36,000 shares of 5% cumulative convertible ester G. Furman preferred stock ($25 par) and 172,000 shares .($1 par) (72,000 shares of common to be reserved the preferred.) Underwriter—None. share for the preferred and $10 for the com¬ stock. conversion Price—$25 a of mon. Fitzsimmons Stores, Ltd., Los Angeles, Calif. 2 filed 10,000 shares of 6% cumulative first pre¬ ferred stock ($100 par). Underwriting—Officers, direc¬ tors and employees of the company will offer the stock to friends and associates. Price—$100 per share. Pro¬ funds used to retire 7% preferred short-term bank loans; to modernize six and ' for working capital. Business: "Super ceeds—To stock; to replace repay Markets" in Los nardino County. Angeles, Riverside, Colton and San Ber¬ Works, Inc., Greenville, S. C. 1 (letter of notification) $300,000 of 5Yz% serial sinking fund coupon debentures (convertible). Price— Underwriters—Frank S. Smith & Co., Inc.; AlCo.; McAlister, Smith & Pate, Inc.; H„ T. Mills; W. F. Coley & Co.; V. M. Manning; McCarley & Co.; G.1 H. Crawford & Co.; and Thos. L. Lewis. Pro¬ ing $130,000. stores, share for each stock (par $20) aad 100,000 shares of common (par $20). Offering—To be offered common stock¬ each Equitable Gas Feb. one new Electric Co., Ltd., Honolulu (8/2)-v i June 29 filed 50,000 shares of series D cumulative pre¬ , June 28 stock the basis of Hawaiian . Gas Co. on held; Rights expire July 22. Price—Par. Underwriter—None. Proceeds—To redeem part of pre¬ $1,000 per bond with 1,000 common shares. Underwriter —S. K. Cunningham & Co., Pittsburgh, To receive cur¬ rent obligations, working capital, etc. Being placed pri¬ vately. ' ' , • Co., Norwood, O. (letter of notification) 42,410 shares of common (par $3.50) to be offered to common stockholders June 11 May 14 (letter of notification) $100,000 first lien sinking „ Edwards & Sons, Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc.,, Hickey & Co., Mason, Moran & Co., O'Neal-Alden 8c Co., Inc., Wilson-Trinkle & Co., Inc. and Holton, Her** rington, Farra Co* Proceeds—To reimburse the company's treasury for expenditures made in connection with the building and equipping of their new veneer; and plywood plant at Savannah, Ga., the cost of which was approximately $1,650,000. Price—At par. Offering —Expected at end of July. ) and plant facilities. Belt Livestock A firm commitment has group of underwriters covering shares, and ^hese, together with the balance stock, will be publicly offered. Underwriters—F. S. Yantis & Co., Inc., W. .L. Lyons & Co., H. M. Byllesby & Co., J. C. Bradford & Co., Crowell, Weedon & Co.j Cruttenden & Co., Martin, Burns & Corbett, Inc., Berwyru T. Moore & Co., Inc., Mullaney, Wells & Co., William R, Staats & Co., Van Alstyne, Noel & Co., Dempsey & a half of the stockholders and patrons and members. Price—At face amount. Proceeds—For acquisition of additional office C6rn (par $20). been entered into with five-year and \xfi% 10-year indebtedness; apd $2,000,000 of underwriting. 125,000 preferred shares of the 1%% demand and 2J/2% 6 months cumulative loan tificates. company General Plywood Corp. (7/20-3O) 100,0Q0 shares of 5% cumulative convert¬ ible preferred stock <- Oct. 16 filed $3,000,000 non-dividend par); and common June 25 filed Assoc., Kansas City, - 75,000 shares. Company's proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes.: Effective May 5. )■ ■ First Boston Corp. Proceeds—For working capital to be used for construction. Consumers Cooperative shares common June 29 filed common chase Merchandise, Inc., Denver, Colo. (letter of notification) $300,000 of 5% serial de¬ bentures. Underwriters—Peters, Writer & Christensen, Inc. and Sidlo, Simons, Roberts & Co. Proceeds—To pay; Co., St. Joseph, Mo. ; * March 6 filed 385,000 shares of 60 cent convertible pre¬ (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of class A ferred stock (par $5) and 325,000 shares of common stock stock. Price—$100 per share. Underwriter— (par $1). Underwriter — Floyd D. Cerf Co., Chicago, None. Proceeds—To expand its net worth and working Price—preferred $10; common $6.\< Proceeds — Stock¬ capital. \. ' • holders will sell 260,000 preferred shares and 250,00© for and Flaks June 23 28 common stock ISSUE preferred tion and PREVIOUS Proceeds—For machinery and expenses. Provision Co. notification) Thursday, July 8, 1943 Registration SINCE with publishing a monthly Commerce June . Borderminsfer ADDITIONS mulative preferred participating stock. To be exchanged for non-assessable common stock two .years from date of issuance at $10 a share. To provide working capital in Price—Expected at par. ' in CHRONICLE Coleman-Chance Publishers, inc., Portland, Ore. June 29 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 6% cu¬ • Batesviile, Ind. (letter of notification) $200,000 of 4y2% first mortgage sinking fund bonds, due July 1, 1973. Under¬ waters—City Securities; Corp. arid Engineers, Inc. Pro¬ June Now INDICATES of housing in Palestine, $2,500,000 in loans to transportation and industrial cooperatives, and '*2,200,000 in loan to Solel Boneh, Ltd., for public works. cumulative FINANCIAL • itock. • & ; ceeds—To fund present unsecured and for additional working capital. bank indebtedness. ■ \ Idaho-Montana Pulp & Paper Co., Poison, Mont» May 17 filed 100,000 shares of 4% cumulative preferred stock ($100 par) and 500,000 shares ($10 par) common) — Tom G. Taylor & Co., Missoula9 Price—$300 per unit, consisting of two shares ot preferred and 10 shares of common stock. Proceeds—Tea stock. Underwriter Mont. erect and operate a bleached 200-ton per day capacity. Illinois sulphate pulp mill with Telephone Co., Chicago, III. h (par $100)» Underwriter, none. Offering—To be offered pro rata foF June 4 filed 389,995 shares of capital stock & m PACIFIC COAST nOV* -AND CO HAWAIIAN SECURITIES Direct Private Vbandc4 Wires Dean Witter Co. a BROKERS MEMBERS New York Stock Exchange Honolulu Stock Exchange 14 WALL San Francisco Stock Exchange Los Angeles Stock Exchange STREET, NEW YORK Telephone BArclay 7-4300 SAN FRANCISCO LOS ANGELES • r . * A J»4iRS-|2 UNDERWRITERS - HONOLULU .— a y Bell \S65 York yvu* P>D^ CkG° Cvu 1 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4714 [Volume 168 Price—By July 15, Preferred of for .Preferred June said preferred stock Manufacturing Co., .... ; Proceeds—No purpose . held. Warrants will be transferable and will expire Aug. August 4, 1948 Common August 17, 1948 subscription by shareholders of record June 2. Ameri¬ can Telephone and Telegraph Co. (parent) will purchase 587,295 shares. Proceeds—To pay advances from Ameri¬ can Telephone and Telegraph, its parent; any remainder of proceeds will be used in improving telephone plant. No are to be offered cumulative convertible preferred stock O to • Indianapolis, Proceeds—^For construction. Co., Ltd., Sherbrooke, Quebec Jan. 30 filed shares ($1 par) stock. common U. S. authorized agent and principal underwriter. —$1 each. Proceeds—To construct milling Price plant and purchase equipment. Irwin-Phillips Co., Keokuk, Iowa shares of 5% cumu¬ ($10 par) to be sold «on behalf of three stockholders. Price; par. Underwrit¬ ers—Slayton & Co. have been employed as agents to .sell the issue. Keller & Co., Inc., Boston, Mass. JVTay 28 (letter of notification) 9,300 shares of cumula¬ tive participating preferred stock and $200,000 of 20year 51/2% debentures, due 1968. Underwriter—General :Stock & Bond Corp, Proceeds—For working capital arid purposes. 1 . Kent-Moore Organization, Inc., Detroit, Mich. .June 29 filed 56,000 of common stock (par $1). Price— :$7.50 per share. Underwriter—George A. McDowell & <C6; Proceeds—To certain principal stockholders. / Kool-Aid Bottling Co., Inc. of Calif., Wisconsin Sheboygan, March 22 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Underwriter—Heronymus & Co., Sheboygan, Wis. Pro¬ ceeds—To open and equip bottling plants in California cities. Price—$1 per share. Kresge (S. S.) Co., Detroit, Mich. (7/19-20) June 29 filed 167,955 shares of common stock (par $10), -of which 27,955 are for account of the company and 140,000 shares for account of the estate of Anna E. Kresge. Northern Mines, Ltd. stock (par $1). common Mining Co., Ltd., Toronto. States Co. Power (of Minn.) (7/13) (no par). Underwriting—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only); Smith, Barney & Co. (stock only); Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly both issues); Merrill (Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Glore, Forgan & Co. (bonds only); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly on bonds). Proceeds—Fojr acquisition of not more than 60,000 additional common (par $100) of Northern States Power Co. (Wis.) off bank loans. Bids—Bids will bd received by the company at Room 1100, 231 So. La Salle Street', Chicago, 111., up to 10:30 a..m. (CDT) on July 13. • stock and to pay Nuera Products Co., Denver, Colo. May 10 filed 100,000 shares ($10 par) 6% preferred stock, and 20,000 shares (1 mill par) common stock. Under¬ writing—None named. Price—10 shares of preferred and two of will common be sold for $100. Proceeds—To O-Cel-O, Inc., Buffalo, N. Y. (3/3) (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of preferred (par $45) and 6,000 shares of common stock Jpar $1) to be issued in units of one share of preferred and two shares of Morning Glory Mines, Inc., Spokane, Wash. 23 (letter of notification) 250,000 shares of common stock. To be sold at 10 to offered pro rata to com¬ be Electric Products Corp., 24 and in¬ stock (par $50). Price—$37.50 per share. Underwriter— Singer, Deane & Scribner. Proceeds—To executors of an " '. • estate. Fuel Gas Co., New York (7/14) June 4 filed $13,500,000 sinking fund debentures, due 1973. Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Glore, Forgan & Co., Goldman, Sachs & Go. and Leh¬ man Brothers (jointly); and White, Weld & Co. Pro¬ 320,000 additional shares of United stock ($25 par), and to pur¬ 48,500 additional shares of Iroquois Gas Corp. Bids —Bids will be received by company at Room 2033, 2 common chase Rector Street, New York, N. Y., up to noon * (EDT) on New England Power Co. (7/20) June 22 filed 100,000 shares of capital stock (par $5). per share. Underwriter—First Securities company's receipt of Carolina. license to do business in a Proceeds—For general business pur¬ poses.:;-:. • common (7/22) filed Corp., Durham; N. C. Offering—26,667 shares will be initially offered on a "when, as arid if issued"; basis; 13,333 shares will- be purchase^ by underwriter for' pub¬ lic or private offerings; and the remaining 40,000 shares will be publicly offered on a "best efforts basis" on completion of the subscription of the first 40,000 shares and the Pittsburgh, (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of Gas Co. June North Pennsylvania National products; Old North State Insurance Co. each N. ft. ft. F. Associates, Natural Rights expire Aug. 2. Corporation will also offer pro rata common stockholders who exercise said right any units offered but not purchased by other stockholders. Price—Preferred at $45 per share and common at $2.50 per share; Underwriter — None. Proceeds — For expan¬ sion of plant facilities for the manufacture and sale of non¬ cents stockholders June 23 . common stockholders of record July 2, 1948, at $50 per unit. cellulose July 14. June 1 (letter of notification) 10,000 lative participatingpreferred stock «o^her corporate by -}v. T U June 3 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due July 1, 1978, and 200,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock Price—$15 ceeds—To purchase 1,500,000 Underwriter—Paul E. Frechette, Hartford, Conn., is the a underwriting. National new Asbestos repay Inc., New York July 2 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of capital stock (par $10). Price—$10 per share. Working capital. No Underwriting. additional common stock <$10 par) to be offered to its stockholders on the basis International sold for pur¬ Proceeds for exploration and development. bonds of only. For mine development stallation of machinery. No underwriting. / the record date, July 2. Proceeds—To working capital. Memphis Trust Co., Memphis, Tenn. 30 (letter of notification) 150 subordinated assessable June 21 filed 60,000 shares of share, at $12.50 per share, for each 10 shares mow held. The company's parent, Public Service Co. of Indiana, plans to acquire only 62 of the 26,701 shares to which it would be entitled, but has agreed to purchase .all shares not otherwise subscribed for by stockholders, stockholders, other than Public Service Co., will be en¬ titled to buy the additional 26,639 shares of Public Service at the rate of 9/50 of a share for each share held on public at current the Detroit Stock June stock and for construction. Inc., to Midwest Packaging Materials Co., St. Louis, Mo. June 25 (letter of notification) 3,500 shares of common stock (par $5). Price—At market. Proceeds—To selling stockholder. Undcrwriter—Edward D. Jones & Co. $52.50 per share and accrued dividends. Each preferred share is convertible into two common shares. Public offering is contemplated of the common stock not issued in conversion. Underwriting and offering price to be. filed by amendment. Probable underwriter: The First Boston Corp. Proceeds—To redeem the preferred <©i* being to the shares de¬ $1,000 each, 75 bearing 4^4 % interest and 75 bearing 5% interest. To develop loan business. <par $50) which the company intends to call for redemp¬ one Gold Underwriter—Transamerica mon benture tion at <of North Inca March 10 filed 666,667 shares of holders of record May 22 in ratio of one new share for each 2V2 shares held. Rights expire July 10. Unsub¬ June Decatur, III. June 30 filed 690,098 shares of common stock (no par Value), To provide for conversion of 345,049 shares of Co., shares stock • Power Co., -*i', Proceeds—875,000 June 24 loan and for Indiana (no par) common stock. Underwriter—F. H. Winter & Co., build, furnish and tool a factory arid apply close to $500,000 to working capital. market price then prevailing Exchange. Underwriter—None. Water Limited, Calgary, Alberta company and 28,572 by stockholders. Proceeds chase of property and drilling. scribed - Central Illinois Public Service Co.——Common & York. Oils 903,572 shares Masco Screw Products Co., Detroit, Mich. June 4 (letter of notification) 141,600 shares ($1 par) common stock. Price—$1.75 per share. Offered to stock- Pfd. & Com. .... Gas filed pansion. PfdL & Com. i McCall Corp. Indiana 11 Underwriter—White, Weld & Co. Price—By amend¬ ment. Proceeds—With a $2,500,000 20-year 3 % bank loan," to pay bank loans, to restore the working capital position of the company and to provide funds for ex¬ August 3, 1948 outstanding 5% given, 3. August 2, 1948 Illinois Mich. Corp. (8/4) June 24 filed 87,167 shares of common stock (no par value) to be initially offered to common stockholders of record July 20, 1948 on basis of one new for six shares Capital Stock ... Rochester, McCall ...Preferred July 22, 1948 the basis of 15 C. G. McDonald & Co. Preferred Bonds ...... on for each 2Vz (letter of notification) 7,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—$5.50 per share. Underwriter— ...Common Corp. of America O-Cel-O, Inc. of common ,, July 20, 1948 .Hawaiian Electric Co., Ltd. share of McAleer Julyr 19, 1948 Sy) Co.—— manufacturing facilities. shares of preferred. Price—At par for preferred stock. Underwriterr-Wagenseller & Durst, Inc.; Bingham, Walter & Hurry, and Lester & Co. all of Los Angeles. Proceeds—To retire bank loans. ' July 16, 1948 Old North State Ins. Co conversion one .Preferred American Fidelity Fire Ins. Co... Underwriter—None. Lawrence Warehouse Co., San Francisco, Calif. 18 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 6% cumulative convertible preferred stock (par $25), and 4,000 shares of common stock (no par), to be'reserved Debs. & Com. Westinghouse Electric Corp.. Shoe share. per June :_^_____Pfd. & Com. Plywood Corp.. New England Power Co Price—$100 $1,000. North Canadian March :v* , 1948 General manufactured Proceeds—For expansion of Tanner & Co.__ Kresge (S. credit of $100 against the purchase, of a new dining a by the company, or against repair work or alterations performed by the company for the purchaser. Credit certificates issued to any. one pur-, chaser of said preferred Stock shall be limited to a total 1948 Soya'Products Co feredar 101,75. certificate entitling him a 45 construction and improvement of property. Awarded July 7 on bid of 101.319 for a 3% coupon. Price—To be of- New car New Jersey Bell Telephone Co., 11:30 a.m. (EDT)^„._-...Debentures Kansas Of 27,955 Price—70 cents each. to National Fuel Gas Co., Noon (EDT)-Debentures Roosevelt Oil & Refining Corp r__..Pfd. & Com. — five shares will be entitled to Bonds July 13, 1948 July 14, Underwriters—Lehman Broth¬ (141) -■>Kuliman Dining Car Co., Inc., Harrison, N. J. June 21 (letter of notification) 1,500 shares of $5 cumula¬ tive preferred stock (no par value). Purchaser of each July 9, 1943 Northern States Power Co, (Minn.), 10:30 a.m. (EDT) _Bonds & CHRONICLE Watling, Lerchem & Co. Proceeds shares, for general corporate purposes. NEW ISSUE CALENDAR Power & Light Co amendment. FINANCIAL and ers New Jersey & Pacific June 29 Associates, Inc., San Francisco, Calif. * (leter of notification) tive prior preferred stk. ($25 upon, 8,000 shares 6% cumula¬ par); 16,000 shares ($1 par) common to be issued stock, and 16,000 shares of exercise of warrants held by common preference, stock. All stock owners of be to sold at the prior valu& par proceeds to pay off a. bank loan; make advances;to a wholly-owned susbidiary, Klamath Machine & Locomo¬ tive Works, Hannaford Inc., & and Talbot, for San additional Francisco, working capital. will be selling agents. • : Pacific Paper Materials Co., Portland, OreJune 29 (letter of notification) 122,459 shares ($1'pap) common stock. Price—Par. To current and past due accounts. retire a like amount of No underwriters. Pacific Telecoin Corp., San Francisco (7/12-1.6)' notification) $300,000 4^2% equipment trust certificates, series A, dated July 1, 1948, and due July 1, 1951. Underwriters—Gearhart & Co., Inc., and Paul D. Sheeline & Co. Proceeds—For equipment, to retire debt and for working capital. June 10 (letter of Pacific Telegraph & Telephone Co., San Fran* May 28 filed 601,262 shares ($100 par) common stock. Underwriting, none. Offering—Holders of preferred and common stockholders of record June 15 are given rights $11 million first mortgage bonds, series B, to subscribe on or before July 7 at $100 per share to due 1978. Underwriters—To be determined by com¬ | the extent of one share for each six shares of preferred, petitive bidding. Probable bidders include—Halsey, or common held. Proceeds—To j-eimburse company's Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Lehman treasury for additions, etc. Brothers; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Kuhn, Pacific Western Oil Corp., Los Angeles Loeb & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler and Union Secur¬ May 21 filed 450,227 shares ($10 par) capital stock. Un¬ ities Corp. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White, derwriting—None. Offering—To be offered by the own¬ Weld & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—To purchase properties er, J. Paul Getty, President of the Company, from time of the Bellows Falls Hydro-Electric Corp., to purchase to time on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, that portion of the New Hampshire section of the Bel¬ or "to specific persons, firms or corporations," in sales lows Falls-Pratts Junction line owned by the Connecticut outside the Exchange. Price—At approximate market. River Power Co. and for repayment of bank loans. Ex¬ (Effective June 23.) pected about July 20. Pennsylvania Industries Corp., Pittsburgh^ jPa. New Jersey Bell Telephone Co. (7/13) June 24 filed 214,987 shares, commori stock (par $10) to June 11 filed $55,000,000 40-year debentures, due July be exchanged for the stock of Pennsylvania Industries, 15, 1988. Underwriters — Name to be determined Inc. (old company), viz: 21,190 shares in exchange for„ through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, old company common stock (one for each 28 of old) and Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co. Proceeds—To 193,797 shares to the holders of outstanding $6 cumula¬ pay off advances made by American Telephone & Tele¬ tive preferred stock on basis of three common for one graph Co, (parent) for construction and general corpor¬ preferred. ate purposes. Bids—Bids will be receiced at Room 2315, .195 on Broadway, New York, N.Y., up to 11:30 a.m. (EDT) July 13. New Jersey Power & Light Co. June 8 filed (7/9) $6,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1978. Underwriter—Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. Proceeds—For Philadelphia Suburban Transportation Co., Upper Darby, Pa. v June 24 (letter of notification) 6,000 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price—At par ($50 per share)* (Continued on page 46) * - y 46 THE (142) ; - ' (Continued from page 45) • COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE writer—R. S. Dickson & Co., Charlotte. Proceeds to pur¬ real estate, construct warehouse, office and dis¬ ibasis of 4.4 play . no par value common stock (of which 249,930 shares will be issued to present conjistockholders on the' basis of. two additional shares for each share held, and 100,000 shares to be sold at $10 la share to holders of preferred stock warrants). Net proceeds ($2,854,570) will be used to retire outstanding loans, finance improvements and provide additional i working capital. chase Underwriter—Wright, Wood & Co. Proceeds—To Ac¬ quire common, stock of Philadelphia & Western RR. Plymouth Rubber Co., Inc. (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of Price—$5.12V2 Dunbar & planned. share. per common Underwriter—John • B. Co., Los Angeles, Calif.- No public offering, Proceeds—To selling stockholders. tive preferred stock Price-^25 cents. Hughes and Co., Denver. Underwriter participating Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders^ Morgan Stanley- & Co.; White, Weld & Co. and Union Securities Corp. (jointly.). • Real Proceeds—For property additions and Price—$100 per share. No underwriting. Aviation ments. Corp., Long Island, N. Y. ($1 par) common stock, issu¬ able upon the exercise of stock options. Options for this stock, exercisable at $7.25 per share, are held by eight individuals and the estate of another, now deceised. optionees may —For general • reoffer shares purchased. 1 funds. Research Cer¬ of notification) eight shares of common. share. New equipment and expansion. underwriting. .a ' < * Price-—$1,0CQ r , Coral Gables, Fia. June 30 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares 6% cumu¬ lative preferred stock and 15,000 shares of common stock. To. be offered at the rate of one share of preferred and five of. common for $100. Proceeds are to be used to inr • Riddle Aviation Co., crease No underwriting. physical properties. rahan & Co. .Michigan . June 22 filea ible defining Corp., Mount Pleasant, (par $12.50) and 242,000 shares of Offering—All of the pre¬ ferred shares and 44,000 common shares are to be of¬ fered for stock preferred common stock (no par value). publicly, 135,000 conversion shares to be resumed stock and the remaining common of preferred 63,000 common shares are to be purchased principally by officers and employees; Underwriter—F. Eberstadt & Co. Proceeds—Plus a $1,30.0,000 bank loan to acquire 168,422 shares of $1 par Roosevelt at $9.04 per share, 2,500 shares pfi capital stock, at $444.45 per share, L. Maguire, Inc., no par common Oil Co. common SimralLCorp., stock no par and 1,000 shares of C. stock, at $631.45 per $haref for a total consideration of $3,265,110. Expected about the middle of July. , . • Sangamo Electric Co., Springfield, III. June- 29 (letter of notification) 8,500 shares (no par) stock, (stated value $8 a. share). Price- — $33,625. Underwriter — Paul H. Davis & Co., Chicago. Proceeds will be used to partially reimburse the* treas¬ common ury 000 for expenditures in connection with plant at Marion, 111. a new $1,000,- Sanger-Bros., Inc., Dallas, Tex. June 25 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of common stock (par $2.50). Price-^At market (about $11.25 per share); Underwriters—Walker, Austin & Wagener and Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. Proceeds—To selling stockholder. Savoy Oil Co., Inc., Tulsa, Okla. shares (250 par). Under¬ Offering—Stockholders of, record June writing—None. 30 given rights to subscribe at $2.50 per share on or before July 16 for 100,000 new shares at the rate of are two-thirds of a share for each share held. The other 50,000 shares will be issued to officers and others at $2.50 per. share upon the exercise of warrants. An unspecified number of shares may or^may not be offered for sale to the public. Proceeds—To be added to general funds of (Ed.) & Co., Inc., Milwaukee, Wis. July 2 filed 15,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $100). ceeds—For Shoe be offered in Indiana Inc., Chicago, III. general corporate by amendment. Pro¬ (no par), with class A common attached and 25.000 shares of • Southern Radio Corp., Proceeds Charlotte, N. C. July 1 (letter of notification/ 2,500 shares of 6% cumu¬ lative preferred stock ($50 par);; Price—Par., Under¬ . I - reported 1 late in > Stanley 'gan • Offering — Inc., .New York. Temporarily post¬ To be made to common stockholders the basis of one share for each, five now U. S. Grant Mining Co., Butte, Mont. 21 (letter of notification) 70,035 shares June . ^ (10c par) June 16 (letter of notification) lu,uuu shares of common stock (par 500). Price—At market (about per parent. Probablebidders—Halsey, Stuart & (bonds only); Kidder; Peabody & Co. (alone share). Underwriters—Willis H. Burnside & Co., Inc., and Mercer & Co. • Victor Proceeds—For account of three Co. (on bonds preferred); Smith Barney & Co. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (preferred only). Proceeds—For construc- Products Corp., Hagerstown, Md. notification), 42,800 shares of common stock, of which. 21.,503 shares will be sold, to-single-holder of; the majority of, the outstanding voting, stock and 21,297 shares, will be offered publicly. Price—$7.50- per tion. • Proceeds—To increase word¬ . bidders—Halse.v Stuart & Co. Inc:; Salomon "Bros & Hutzler; Harris, Hall &-Co. (Inc.) .» ? > , common To pay bank loans and furnish No underwriters. July (letter of • -Public Service Co. - of New Hampsbiret asked the SEC for authority to bor.. notification) July 6 the company $5,500,0QQ by, Oct. • Richmond Water June and preferred 22.00(1 shares , stock. - * • V Corp..../' y. . r „ , , Go*/,t JStockholders will- vote/July 23 on; increasing: authorized^ common no par value,-from 150,000 shares to 250,r Company has no present plans for marketing stock, 000 shares. Prospective Offerings || American Buslines, Inc., Chicago company applied to ICC for authority to issue (a) $1,500,000 15-year debentures (to be sold privately to institutional investors); (b) 100,000 shares of new cumulative' preferre'd *stoc&,.~no. par value, "(of which July 2 45.817 shares will be offered in outstanding 10,413 shares of $100 exchange for present par preferred stock on ^' refunding of outstanding Traditional: uhde¥v)r-itev,; ;Taylor-Wharton: Iron & common 4., Co., By .tljat .dater it expect^ V Works 24, reported considering bonds W. C. Langley & Co., Chicago, HI; stock (par $.1), * Underwriter~-Wmi Ci Roney & Co. Price by amendment.' ' J, * • r 14 will vote on increasing the authorized capital stock (par $100) from 2,000,000 shares ;to 4,000,000 shares.' .f ^ on "to issue $5,000,000 of .bonds, Price—$100 each. working capital. 24 Stockholders . r ^ Tekgrapht Cffk England Telephone! r&w up, to. Young Brothers* Ltd.r Honolulu, Hawaii June 30 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of May New . • Zonolite • loans, stock proceeds for general corporate * - : " Mainiy; for development. stock. . able pany and its subsidiaries under an employees' purchase plan.; Proceeds—Of debentures to be applied to prepay¬ Oil Cq*, Alamosa, Colo. April 30 filed 10 000 shares of common stock (par $10). Underwriting—None, Price^r$10 pet' share. Proceeds^ - Proceeds would be used to finance part of cost of $6,279,730 for Diesel-electric freight locomotives.^ Prob¬ Underwriter—Kuhn, Loeb & Co. (for de¬ Stock will be offered to employees of cotrif . RR. icates. amendment. p . 1948, and to advertise for competitive bids. Court set' a hearing for July 29 on question of issuance of certif¬ We&tinghouse Electric Corp* (7/15) June 24, filed $80,000,000 of 25-yean convertible debs; and 900,000 shares of common stock (par $12.50). Pricer—By Yeakley - . Missouri. Pacific Guy A Thompson, trustee for the road, has been author¬ ized by the Federal District Court in St. Louis, Mo., to apply to the IQC for authority to issue $4,709,000 equip¬ ment trust certificates, series KK, to be. dated; Aug. 1, ing capital. ment of bank, Inc. bonds and June 28. (letter of; bentures). Co. on with group on preferred); Drexel; & and selling Statement effective. share. Underwriter—None. Corp. •fc* Metropolitan Edison Co. July 1 reported to be planning issuance of $3 500.000 first mortgage boncjs, 4.0,000 shares of preferred stock and $2,000,000 common stock. Bonds and preferred stock to be sold6at competitive bidding, and common stock to Mfg. Corp* $3 ' Manhattan Coil will vote July 16 and 17 on authoriz¬ issuance of 300,000 shares of new 6% cumulative convertible preferred stock at par ($100 per share) and on eliminating the present authorized but unissued em¬ ployees stock and 12,000 shares of 5Y2% cumulative con¬ vertible preferred stock, par $25. _ United States Television Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Mor& Co.; The First Boston Coro.: Shie'ds & Weld & Co. and R. W; Pressprich & Co. ing capital stock. Price—25 cents each... For machinery, •equipment and development of mining properties,,, No underwriting. Hicks possibly The stockholders Proceeds — Expenditures for equipment and fa¬ cilities, retiring bank loans and debentures. stockholders. Co. market, able bidders to include c",, Lines, Inc., Chicago June 22. on in be J, 1948; The comp&hy is, contrbjled. joinffy by New York Ceotrai RR, and Baltinioxe Qhio R^, and it is expected that the conlerripiated bond issue.; wiii bear the guarantee of the two proprietary roads. Prob¬ • on Terminal will dated June Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co., of record RR* company Offering, ex- July, with $9^50,000 first mortgage 20-year bonds Price—By amendment. • - additional stock. stock reserved for Underwriter—Lee Higginson Corp.' -^For general corporate purposes. warrants. * - - Lakefrout Dock & Co., White, (jointly). (7/20) share purchase warrants common r Van Sickle, Inc., Emporia, Kan, about-July 4-. &. ■ July > purposes. Corp. of America, Columbus, Ohio of record Aug. 2 will vote on class of convertible preferred stock to be a in series. * pected •\ , Underwriters—Name Hydraulics,: lncL stockholders only^Un-.^Kenneth June 7 filed filed 369,618 shares ($10 par) common stock. June 28 filed 25 000 shares of cumulative preferred stock • To Fund, United Air - ,j Schuster dividends. agement-Co. company. • :* - ? • j Greer issued ing price to the public. $48,927,375. Proceeds—To invest in securities of companies in .the field of television, radio and electronics. Underwriter—Television Shares.. Man¬ purposes. June 8 filed 150,000'common Glore, Forgan & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc., The Fir$t Corp. and Central Republic Co. (jointly); Leh¬ Lazard Freres & Co. (jointly); A. Q. authorizing held.. (7/44)? i35,uuu snares of 6% cumulative convert¬ for sae at com¬ Probable bidder^ in¬ up Brothers and Common June 24 filed 4,987,500 shares of common stock (par $1). price—At market. Proposed maximum aggregate offer¬ poned Roosevelt O*1 °- (8/17) (letter Television • " Riley Stoker Corp., Worcester, Mass. June 3 (letter of notification) 7,000 shares ($3 par) com¬ mon stock. Price—$11% per share. Underwriter—Han- Co. & cn Toronto, derwriter—City Securities Corp. ' Proceeds—To retire $225,000 of promissory notes and for working capital. per ,> 15 accrued 4 Inc., New York June 30 (letter No Service approximately 574,000 shares of by Halsey, Stuart & 'Co. Inc. and Co., Indianapolis, Ind. (7/15) of* notification) 3,000 shares of 5 Kansas Soya Products Co., Inc. (7/A'B) ' ~ ! cumulative preferred stock (par $100). Holders, of 492;;/ An offering of approximately 2,130 shares of $5 cumushares of presently outstanding 6% cumulative preferred- ; lative preferred stock and 78.000 shares of common stock stock will be offered in exchange 492 shares of the new 4 is planned shortly. Price^—$95 a share for the preferred 5te%; preferred: stock, share for share. Price^a^anfe^hd $1.25 a;:shate*:for the commotio Underwriter will/Me June Proceeds £ Foundation, Public that stock owned ^Boston Tanner & . June 4 .filed 42,000 shares tain Illinois 1. reported clude Canada. Proceeds—For mine develop¬ '• /V'' W'-" '' share. a Inc. approving the cre¬ $6,000,000 cumulative on of Middle West Corp; will be put petitive bidding around Aug. 17. * cents Central . common .• Price—60 issue preferred stock which will be convertible into stock for a period of approximately it), years. Issuance is planned in the late summer or" early fall. Underwriter—F. S. Moseley & Co. ' Proceeds—For plant man Co., authorized an common • Underwriter—Mark & of- fJuly offices. No underwriting. Daniels Bigelow-Sanford Carpet Co., | modernization and additional working capital.' .;\ Tabor Lako Gold Minos* Ltd.* Toronto* Canada April 2 filled 300,000 shares (par $X) preferred stock. To obtain capital to transact business. ■^Republic 160,000 Loan Co., Cleveland (letter of notification) 3,000- shares of class A preferred stock. Price—$100. To open three new 6% Estate lative preferred stock (no par). par), and 30 branch Equities, Inc., East Orange, N. J. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of $6 cumu¬ July 1 ($1 Sun Finance# June improvements. Bids—Bids were asked to be submitted July T, hut. company postponed sale for twp weeks. • stock, ' second ; preferred stock and $2.50*'for the common. This stock is being offered py stockholders' who* are member# of •the Belt family. ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ — preferred No definite plans have been made for utilizing Aug. 16 the stockholders will vote ation shares (50c par) common stock,, of which. 40,000 will be For working capital. June 11 filed 200,000 snares ferred stock. Underwriters I sold and the remainder reserved for conversion. Under¬ writer—White & Co., St. Louis, Mo. Price—$8 for the Public Service Electric & Gas Co. : • Steak 'n Shake,. Inc., Bloomington, III. Fob. 2 filed 40,000 shares of 50c cumulative Convertible R. L. — Products Co. the additional stock. j (par $100). Price, par. Underwriter —Fidelity Securities Investment Co., Inc., Asbury Park, N. J. Working capital. * Metal American shares, . Co., Co., Denver, Colo. May 11 (letter of notification)f 400,000 shares (100 par) stock. • June 28 stockholders approved an increase in the author¬ ized common stock from 500,000 shares to 1,000,000 Squankum Feed & Supply Co., Inc. Farmingdale, N. J. May 24 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares $5.50 cumula¬ Powder River Oil common To be offered in units of four preferred and one at $4 a unit. To purchase a tourist court, build homes and develop a dude ranch. No underwriting. Portsmouth, Va. June 23 (letter of notification) $25,000 of 4V2% 10- year income bonds, due June 1, 1958. Underwriter—Virginia Securities Co. Proceeds—For working capital. Price— par. Enterprises, Inc., Prescott, Ariz. (letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common shares of 8% non-cumulative preferred mon common Emery, Jr., selling stockholder. Expected at • Southwest stock. tixioaay n) iu,u00 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—$3.12 V2 per share. Underwriter —Baker, Simonds & Co. Proceeds — To go to John C. Finance ' stock and 240,000 vt Portsmouth space. June 29 Plywood, Inc., Detroit, Mich. June1 UitW j to a group 349,930 shares of additional 30, 1948, but the underwriter will not offer this publicly at this time.) vi stock. shares for each old share held, and the of underwriters); and (q) new fremainder sold (Company will also sell the underwriter $25,000 of its common stock at its book value as of June June 18 Thursday, July 8, 1943 • Texas Stockholders ization from value to 100,000 in one " Gas,Transmission Corp. June on 28 increased authorized 2.000,000 shares of capital stock of 3,000,000 shares of shares or ; more of preferred series. commqn stock There are stock (par no capital¬ no (par $5) par anj $100), issuable present plans for issuing the preferred stock. One share of new common was issued in exchange for each, of the 1,265,383- no par shares outstanding. "J . Volume 168 Number 4714 THE The New (Continued from 15) page the terms of industry faces—the fact that * collective bargain¬ ing agreement. That is sound and good. But to put any question of the American a and * , " Let us look at what this challenge means to individual Companies in the months ahead. nies individual your solve problems their make can relations break or the individual competitive enterprise system 'by- which all Americans industry is* whole¬ have dverall policy it is to take a positive and vigorous stand for the goals of the whole American one people—concentrating our efforts on the practical means to attain those goals. ;v *' But monopoly . is horse of a an¬ many times ment's responsibilities subjected arbitration as a result of out¬ to side pressures, misinformed pub¬ this issue if on the tasks We and branch. now And destroys bargaining. life shall of by replacing the flexible, adaptable system of free enter¬ prise by a government-controlled lastingly continue to do so. So stand convinced that every de¬ cision of management in the field of labor-management; relations we must on a stand the test of its effect competition. the' imperative need for increased productivity must not be allowed sound thinking • and a positive stand principles. fundamental on Muddled Thinking on Labor- # Management Issues recent years there has been good deal of muddled thinking and divided counsel^ on certain labor-management The gradual expansion of the area for collective its in closest our issues. ■ bargaining has brought wake heart of the results that demand examination. For Industry has made great strides in this direction. But there is much more that needs to be done. Individual companies have I refer to industry-wide and mass bar¬ gaining, Which have led to the shattering experiences of indus¬ try-wide and nation-wide strikes in industries that critically affect the public health and safety. This continuing responsibility of doing everything within their power to provide an ever-increas¬ ing degree of regular work and pay for their employees. Many ways have been worked out and used successfully by individual companies to eliminate or modify seasonal factors. Through this ap¬ proach many short-term layoffs have already been eliminated. I think of few greater contribu¬ tions that any company can make to America's greatness than to can study its demands public attention and the operations and rect every factor within its most careful examination. Should trol this trend continue and the public be left at the mercy of such, crises, and setady pay the year round. we can cal and results as: (1) Prohibition of the right to strike. Compulsory arbitration with government setting wages and imposing its decisions in the field of employer-employee rela¬ tions. And (3) Rapid extension of intervention ment economy.; and govern¬ control of , con¬ prevents steady work Another area trial management must take action is that of con^em¬ ployee behefit prbgrams and in¬ dustrial health measures. companies have done a Many fine and constructive job of providing pro¬ tection to their employees against the hazards of sickness, disability, old age and death. But you know as well as I do how much more . AH of these are dangerous. They threaten the very fabric of our economic life. To avert such dan¬ gers we must safeguard the of each individual right company bargain with its to people, or with the union that its employees have* chosen of their free will to own represent them. Another agement issue must devote headed 'thinking The fundamental arbitration as a which on is man¬ hard- arbitration. principle of device for resolv- ang\industrial disputes has much to contribute Bui"r to industrial peace. it. is. essential that manage¬ ment and understand the significance implications of arbitration. Properly safeguarded, and limited to the interpretation of an exist¬ ing labor agreement, it is a tool that has much to offer both labor and management. • Properly safeguarded, with the jurisdiction of the arbitrator clearly stipulated, it can clear up needs to be done. ;For one thing progressive man¬ agement is concerned with the welfare and health ployees. Plans are of its em¬ needed to help employees to weather their per¬ sonal emergencies. One of the fundamental desires of employees — one that looms very large in their thinking—is the quest for security in sickness, in old age, and for their families when death health and programs in individual and medical companies, attention to the conservation of employees' health are essential to good industrial operations. J These prompt handled are issues which attention. 'They need can be who took Sell Utility Issue Stuart & Co. planning of $30,000,000 Nashville & 3%% first and week's of RR.'s shares Louis¬ last offering ville Service Co. 55-year mand for the This which three it into the had Inc. to is market, firm is the Public stock. expected registration which for would opened indicated be Illinois common close to the on of the month that mean go block bids would probably be solicited and offering been would groups Central before de¬ obligations. was of The refunding mort¬ foi? gage bonds on their lone bid the issue encountered a brisk workmen's on com¬ can fluoroscope basic and for pay in about Aug. 17 next.! on or the imposed high position guard at a of management. we did We ing at sure did. we as all which that ment? soon as paid we base on me su¬ manage¬ on?" But one. "Whom formation from about any change in their rate of pay, hours and working conditions? Do they get it first from their foremen? Or from the I- can say now that we have an ironclad agreement with the union that change no centive plans in the hourly conditions, are or before the employee's announces them. I in¬ to be announced fore¬ own man > also point with most im¬ modest satisfaction to the front page of our little company maga¬ zine. There we list the directors, and the various arms of manage¬ can ment—including our foremen—all together. These that the can buckle that kind of things up—and American go the leadership requires today. spot. pace one big; boss. ex¬ and the "all only moved selling out group bonds" of reportedly more teamwork roots up. ' Leader's Guide—: E. .Fisher—Industrial Section, of in California Technology, Re¬ Insti¬ Pasadena initions, Interpretations, Construc¬ tions, explained and clarified— almost the pro¬ issue new to a Glenn L. Shinn—Simmons-Board- Publishing Co., 30 Church Street, New York 7, N. Y. man complete halt this week with only handful of a issues, including sev¬ railway equipment trust eral loans making Largest bids offering for due Co., 200,000 shares of $100 which Strange fact preferred stock, two bids were DIVIDEND NOTICES New Jersey utilities pretty much monopolized the new market, what with New Jersey Power & Light Co., open¬ ing bids for $6,000,000 of new 30year first mortgage bonds. AMERICAN; More Active v!:. June 29, 1948, quarterly dividend a seventy-five cents per share in the way of activ¬ ity, not so much by reason of the number of issues in prospect but because of their larger more COMPANY CAN COMMON STOCK On Week Next week gives promise of pro¬ viding underwriters with consid¬ erable D. of the Dynasty — M. Josephson—Chedneyr Press, 127 East 69th Street, New York 21, N. Y. • money Next Franklin of The—History Emanual scheduled. In Death Roosevelt, Roosevelt-Delano for up Public Service Electric was & Gas the roster. up declared was Of the on Common'Stock of this Company, payable August 1948, to Stockholders of record at the close 16, business July of Transfer books will 22, 1948. remain open. Checks will : EDMUND be mailed. HOFFMAN, Secretary. propor¬ tions. THE ATCHISON, SANTA Westinghouse Electric Corp.'s $80,000,000 of debentures, a negotiated deal, tops the list for the period with the proceeds to be applied to loans. plans to The offer receipts from added to also company to 900,000 shares of employees common which general of stock, would be The clared Cents 142, FE Board of ($1.50) AND COMPANY of One 1948. has this day de¬ Dollar and Fifty per share, being Dividend Common Capital Stock of the on Directors dividend a TOPEKA RAILWAY New York, N. Y., June 29, •• No-. this Company, payable September 1, 1948, to holders said Common Capital Stock registered on the books of the Company at the close of business July 30, 2948. of . Dividend of checks Common able orders will be mailed Capital Stock who have therefor at this office. D. corporate Close behind comes C. WILSON. 120 to holders suit¬ filed Assistant Treasurer. :i Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. New Jersey Bell Telephone Co. with its offering of $55,000,000 of 40debentures up for competi¬ tive bidding. At least two bank¬ year from It wants us the to grass¬ set the in, two ways. One: pace full steam ahead right through cumbersome, impersonal down the middle of the big road. — The Board of Directors Manufacturing Company has HELP WANTED wanted by high-grade, over-the-counter firm. man be with offered weekly basis. "ACF" a a Address our Room 2800, * clientele will drawing aeainst New York. well capitalized An experienced established an declared twelve TRADER-SALESMAN account of $150 liberal commission Advertising Agency: 55 Liberty Street, >' of Wentworth ing groups, headed by dyed-in- our more 4, Calif.—Paper—$1.00. Freight Rate Applications—Def¬ of our production, * ' , Conference tute Kans.-^ small market slowed down Lawrence, * lations out Relatively Quiet Week united, whole¬ The public is our And there is no land. It freedom—more freedom. It — have Rates—Mignon University of Kansas Publications, Waldo balance Evidently because tracted holiday the the teamwork, clear-cut responsibility and this Railroad — Paper. Friday. as a mistaking its voice wants only its hands Class Morton funds. public has put us on The American people times require hearted team. wants to was leaving bank are beyond—everlastingly hitting The had on prepayment we pace have Tuesday par, cumulative was: get their in¬ wage, working to Complicated ABC's of Changes in amounts held by dealers. two fixed that up—fast. His second question do your employees soon almost work that reported quickly — Or does their pay stop as there is a hitch in the de¬ off was the out in good long holiday selling group at the close of business on arms and like the $4,500,000 remaining said sent foremen your are livery of material to I was moved to and was said, "How many of you say with complete truthful¬ ness weekend off He pervisors issue prior on Then he asked more questions hotfoot home. can style ness did Bookshelf figure of 100 to yield the a buyer a return of 3.75% to matur¬ ity in 2003. treated were — Man's '■ i bonds in, proceeded with reoffer- meeting like this and thought bidders by the rail¬ on very me asked how many of us foremen and-supervisors of the restrictions With the resumption of busi¬ a took once Business syndicates Paying the company a price of 98.26991, the group, which bid the The sent the company. Someone who now holds two road. with obvious that it is that because ness lot a equipment so developed more Management pect both management and labor can help to provide this protec¬ to stop squabbling, get down to tion. It is & responsibility that workable human principles, for¬ management cannot Ignore.. get any petty differences and rise Closely allied to this problem" is to the new productive Expanded few for both issues. a reported $17,000 strikes. the matter of greater health pro¬ tection for industrial employees. already in the for bonds, some for some Halsey, than saved we shop stewards?" Ill be hanged if I wasn't caught which indus¬ flatfooted on that one too. But in preferred stock groups and had decided to forego the busi¬ alone . structive (2) our which cor¬ Employee Benefit Programs expect such drastic, radi¬ undemocratic own running, year cluding foremen and first line supervisors must be given the support that they need to repre¬ ment. five stock That principle management, in¬ . Co, through competitive bidding, soon, its entire noldings of 574,087 Bankers one This is the fudamental that all arms of sive campaign to help companies and eliminate wide swings in production and employ¬ Power running. But as time for open¬ ing of tenders rolled around it so two; years now the NAM driving ahead an inten¬ States no-par cumulative Report too often overlooked. has been Northern Bankers to use¬ something free enterprise system steady work and steady moderate proved its hilt. Why for the Let's close this list of manage¬ ment's next moves with our provide second Role of Foremen and Supervisors people's hopes and fears there is a question by which all that we believe in stands or falls. This is: Can the had we pensation. You American the In a the By that kind of money. pay? The dust kicked up by past in¬ stances .of industrial strife, and to obscure At fatigue erating of economy. ever¬ eyestrain and lead directly tc are) (Minn.) will open bids for its $10,000,000 of first mortgage 30year bonds and 200,000 shares of stretch of 275,000 hours of direct working time we operated with¬ out a single lost time accident. , It threatens Americans' way as accidents. fulness to practice. genuine collective It factors competi¬ one. Reporter's in¬ year in which our program of health examinations had been op¬ Concerning compulsory arbitra¬ Providing Steady Employment it root oppose we serious tion I need say no more than that: other color. We have always been against it. physical a^nd responsibilities demanded by principle. for since bidding made its debut, with remember rivals 47 expected to fight it out for this Our is progress I almost fired was even such bur nation. It is unsound in It has failed in This rapid. process industry is to unprecedented and — had any occupational hazards, we wanted to know it—at once. And I was convinced that in the very nature of a repetitive opinion, or government inter¬ Management must stand fulfill dif¬ dynamic republic and of our intensely human, free competitive enterprise system. augurating twice-yearly complete health examinations, including fluorscope equipment, for O'Sullivan employees. I felt that if we we basic issues of manage¬ seen and tive indiscriminate an progress. when I the reputation of being against. You will find that if this ever", was true, it is no longer characteristic of us. If we have trial ability to efficiently or business which the-wool our personalized, localized, hu¬ identification of their employees' well-being with indus¬ management's the run of a real firm it shows its ugly head. It is sometimes said, and. perhaps witn reason, that in the past the NAM earned staggering to the left or jib¬ ing, to the right, but in the full current legislation into (143)- Not manized vention. heartedly against monopoly wher¬ ever to destroy lic live and thrive. ■American ; successfully. Too compa¬ labor CHRONICLE grab bag. Or, two: through indi¬ vidual companies leading the way ward the business. This may well ring¬ ing restrictive ferences tration is to invite decisions by a third party who is unqualified by experience or responsibility to¬ , , Challenge to Individual Concerns How FINANCIAL lumps individual needs public' trusts industry to show the leadership it takes to management's responsibility, ob¬ lift productive teamwork to a ligation, duty or function in ques¬ great new levelof - human tion through the process of arbi¬ achievement.' & in Industrial Relations ' •• COMMERCIAL and a one dividend - half of cents (12V2c) per share on the out¬ standing common stock of the Company, payable on August 20, 1948, to stockholders of record ness at the close of busi¬ August 2, 1948. Checks will be JOHN E. mailed. McDERMOTT, ": Secretary. 48 (144) > THE ' COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursday, July 8, 1943 under the BUSINESS BUZZ V'V.'A •h f relatively conservative construction standards of FHA. .v. \ • ' . / v. Veterans still can GI get loait to make it possible for them to finance the guarantees, purchase of lenders will FHA WASHINGTON, D. C.—If one were prevented from having the slightest chance of winning the half mile race because he had a slight case of tuberculosis, the additional handicap of a broken ankle is too the the week that the Southern revolt, in opinion, is not serious. Should there develop a close election, his the revolt would be to prove the Southern something, perhaps that would actually thing his first elected term On the other business swing and hand, from toward not if the whole represents away New problem. their of trying policies, the Southern revolt could Eisenhower become left the and to tease the coup more the condemned man after the po¬ litical firing squad had finished, v It is too early, nevertheless, to write off the Southern revolt. tween Presidential^ nominated ready Alabama large and electors in that votes al¬ primaries in Florida prospect electoral Be¬ and the Mississippi will be for cast but Truman, there at this .anyone writing, to be 52 electoral votes pledged against Truman. If the appear Southerners next Philadelphia take inate a week walk and on General the life- have didate, the number of To those who pooh pooh the sig¬ nificance of the Southern revolt, knowledgeable a can¬ taking which circuitously in the be York the prospects to seem . where the' other On hand, should the election become of those big one Africa, in moment of weakness, a him back here as It would just'make the defeat greater. Southern which is revolt, far possible effect upon The significance than an is that If of Southern Democrats at Phila¬ delphia next nominate week their own and they "Southern Democratic candidate for Presi¬ dent," open stood. then the " split will be and unmistakeably under¬ The split is there, never¬ theless, even if there is no all four states, two or of three, and they more, my assistant.?'/ control means the course of voutly consummation a to be desired de¬ by the Democrats and much to be ab¬ . tribes against Congress. across two years of the Hoover Admin¬ istration, when controlled the House. members and San Mejia, Russ of the Francisco New Stoclc the Democrats Under the to The Financial \ Chronicle) 1 that maybe the the running mate for Mr. Truman next week. Former House Major¬ did not have superior judgment to the 500-odd men of Con¬ ity Leader John gress. FRANCISCO, CALIF. —» Olga M. Poulsen, formerly with Hannaford & Talbot, is now with Wilson, Johnson & Higgins, 30$ Montgomery Street. of C. W. McCormack Massachusetts, Senator Joseph O'Mahoney of Wyoming, Rep. Mike Illinois of Tydings of and Millard Maryland, Supreme Court Justice William O. Douglas, and former Senator Jackson of Indiana.- Belle Isle Mr. Truman is thought to taking with Texas Gas Transmission President the a same U. S. political chance kind of an of¬ main timers campaign recall Mr. lit • It is ing becoming clear that now was some war. lapse. 1932 ! Seatex Oil supports enacted since the Title VI, which provides for cost," was allowed M. S. WlEN & Co. to ESTABLISHED The secondary market by Congress for 1919 was Members N. again. < all but cut it clear of the retained Stopped, frustrated, and stulti¬ > Lonsdale Co. * ; what the Congress did with hous¬ Tru¬ strategy, Finishing fensive. sary current with Corp. Dorset Fabrics FHA insurance of loans at "neces¬ connection man's old be even only 40 Y. Security Dealers AsYn Exchange PI., N. Y. 5 those loans which finance housing Teletype N. Y. HA. 2-87S0 j 1-1397 leadership of one of the country's political artisans, John most able Nance Garner, then Speaker, the Democrats made the HAnover 2-0050 monkeys out of Administration by Hoover the He would nominally run for Pres- ! CALIF. —4 in 1932 In then President and candidate Trading Markets: Ralston Steel Car FOREIGN SECURITIES . - Oregon Portland Cement < Riverside Cement A & B All Issues Spokane Portland Cement ■ P.ARL MARKS & TO. INC. r FOREIGN SECURITIES - v n . / SPECIALISTS ■ > LERNER & CO. Investment Securities 50 Broad Siree! Also, when in opposition—up until selecting a new Presi¬ dential Teletype—NY 1-971 Firm Trading Markets substi¬ Democrats, the sanest tuting their own program. It was hope was that, anticipating defeat, John Garner's skillful maneuver¬ the Northern left-wing and the ing probably more than the late Southern conservative wings of Charley Michael son's political the party could get together on a propagandizing, which gave the leader. It was not so important impression Mr. Hoover was a man that this leader win th,e election as without a program and with no that he be able to bring. about ability to act—because Garner had some unity in the party so as to Hoover, as it were, hog-tied. develop its strength in opposition. Chronicle) Event¬ ually the idea got horred by the Republicans. Republicans remember the last by the Here is a list of those who have active hope for being selected as Lucas organization his programs Mr. Hoover took to writing dia¬ lic housing fight), Senators Scott the Senate, which is } Mejia Financial SAN Garner leadership of tjhe House, tees control and The FRANCISCO, (Special I promised I'd bring fied in all if con¬ tests in the/border states. burying everything requested by the even the that rump convention. For tie. If the a one or one Monroney of Oklahoma (leader in the House for the pub¬ This dis¬ party, but it will be a party in opposition. there is a rump convention member¬ out legislation in the 81st Congress. the disunited Senate up three losing Democrats would head commit¬ goes united won picked of the its " election. Democratic party not only into the 1948 election a come would however, greater the also significance to the! a some Should the GOP lose all three, Democrats nificance to the election would be in are jeopardy. seats then superfluous. There is seats in Virginia, West ship would for the GOP, then the sig¬ sweeps and three to defeated Wilson, Johnson Adds "In be somewhat larger. In a close fair that Democrats will hold seats this could be important. in Democratic States and Republi¬ Right now Democrats and Repub¬ cans in normally Republican licans alike don't think it will be States, barring a big sweep. The a close election, but Nov. 2 is too three border States are Kentucky, far away to make it a gilt-edged . the appears to Republicans have election security. cost,| commit¬ proposed or by done Exchanges. He was formerly with Schwabacher & Co. and Dean Wit~ ter & Co. i majority of six in the. Senate. Oklahoma, what at extensive to to Building, GOP In other than three of the border States, added it will be can Cyrus B. Johnson has become af* at this moment armor and the When Con¬ January filiated with Davies & led \ chink in idea what included SAN Mr. Roosevelt eventually to - take Harry Truman. the result a With Davies & opposition to again as Vice- Wallace President a the an (Special Southern was As housing bill. be President of It New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE; CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9, Mast. Telephone Hubbard 1990 Teletype B9 99 becomes necessary—Southern Democrats become quite united in op¬ can Herbert H. Blizzard & Co. WILBUR SUCHARD Chocolate Company Common land Preferred position. The first sign of this already has appeared. All the Democrats on the House Bank¬ orciusly of had the for they been in House, and its enactment. that Clear thru—Montgomery, Scott New York & Philadelphia chances not of as lose are the that control of & Co. If there they is may a GOP the the will Senate. Republican sweep pick up Susquehanna Mills BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED "I con¬ In the present the Empire Steel Corp. 4Cumulative Preferred (;y respon¬ main, however, the view here is St., Philadelphia 9, Pa. LERNER STORES CORP. who would have opposed it vig- sible 123 South Broad ' ing Committee backed the TEW housing bill, including some trol *; probably here past South¬ a revolt Henry Wallace would the U. S. today." ern be the Senate. votes which might be cast against incombent President, might Democrat said: "If it wasn't for unused with less rapid. building be until Construction: building until well fall. meets without Weakest electoral in felt be of are gress however, building costs will reversed, even if price be rises fi¬ home guarantees the not not year. housing sustain ments at nom¬ Southern Democratic a throw will VI into from i. , has bloom effects, the inflation wing¬ off Its rental will preserver.' important than de grace administered to no to in Title the Instead taken later . inflation the 'probably 1933. concentrated revolt in ers 1 past if not as high as nancing. wings, however, did on the recon¬ southerners Deal conservative more two in the been get together struction cyclical a the The , which : ' still insure 80 to 90 %] can Thus even to the Republican party after President. as — ! under Title VI. if defeated, but be the real active leader of the party. If he is defeated, Mr. Truman will be, while the titular leader, as lacking in influence in all prob¬ ability as Mr. Hoover in relation preclude Mr. Truman from getting 1 probably will be much higher than politicos^- ident, a loan, and the appraisal stand-* a ard serious—because he couldn't win anyway. way view Mr. Truman's statement last then of along go will not. many That without home a down payment, provided the price of the house isn't too high and FILING DEPT. wouldn't be however, Senate seats I iKobbe & Company INCORPORATED Members National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. 55 Liberty Street, New York 5, N. Y. Telephone BArclay 7-2663 : ^ : . , v• Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Markets and ; Teletype NY 1-277 120 Situations for Dealers Broadway, New York 5 Tel. REctor 2-2020 Tele. NY 1 -2660