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M/'

MAR 1

W
-v.

>t>

ESTABLISHED 1S39

tfUS.

UBRA«t

Ike Commercial
Reg. U. S. Pat. Office

Volume

168

Number 4714

New

The Stock Market |

:

| An Emphatic Word of
Caution
;i

By M. S. BENJAMIN

*

abandoning
bullish position, calls

attention

to

deflation¬

such

plant

the building of
to meet this demand, the ar¬

capacity
V

if

•

,

for

demand

the

as

goods,

mament

pro¬

and the
have
constructively

gram,

E R P,
d

i

o m

t ed

n a

common

as

•'

.' v,. •

\"

"■

I'f.1','V

;?'??

■,

other

which
have

But
to

high time
the

"new

of

meant

•

the

into net;

gross

In the first

that

trans late

to

structure!

place, it

extent

of

to

us

threat

to

seems

the

new

invest¬
in

ment

Walter. F. Hahn

than

ability

prewar

market

the

more

less

or

road

and equip¬
the
third round of wage increases is ment in the past decade, which
not sufficiently appreciated.
may have meant a smaller rela¬
Last winter there were signs of tive v/age factor.
But probably
growing buyers' resistance, but more important than all other fac¬
the subsequent drop in farm prices tors combined has been the wage
^nd the effbrtsi on behalf of large and price spiral, which for the
corporations, such as Ford and railroads, has meant higher hourly
International Harvester, to lower wages, ; higher cost of materials
their prices in order to bring down and supplies including
fuel, and
the cost of living, promised hope. higher freight rates and
passenger
our

arising

economy

from

(Continued

43)

on page

standpoint

that

*

sev¬

plans

is

to generate
this

prosperity

as 3 means

to¬

securing

mass

.

content-

Perhhp$ the most slirprising step the never-predictable, ment and thus
g
Kremlin has taken for h good while past was the recent blocking ?a
toward
denunciation of Marshall Tito. We say the Kremlin advisr
Com munism.
edly, for although the action was taken by the "Cominform,"
an
organization quite distinct from
the Russian Soviet, no one who has cut his eye teeth has
any doubt about the ultimate source of authority and power
or about the
origin of the action taken against the Yugo¬
which insists that it is

slavian dictator.

are

guesses

is

putting

on

—

just at the moment that Russia

by

observers to have

some

conclusion which may or may not

the

per

yet

as

ceed

tr

has
suc¬

d

e

William Chamberlain

in

anquilizing

explanation of such things

stand out with great

a

deep significance

be sound.

as

on page

(Continued
*An

lain

address

before

Harvard

on page

28)

by Mr. Chamber¬

the

Graduates

of

the

Business

Francisco,

Cal.,

-School,
San
June 17, 1948.

But what¬

these, certain facts

clarity, and from these

(Continued

people, the Marshall Plan is
predicated upon a simple premise:
a
major
requirement
is

that

of them better than guesses.

none

taken

was

its "big show" in Berlin with the outcome in

doubt is taken
—a

meaning of this unexpected action, there

without end

The fact that it

none

which

of

the

As to the real

_

Like its pred¬
ecessors,

a

number of

32)

State and

36)

on page

political

purpose

the

ward
,

there does

to

.

began the present inflation(Continued

Havana

of

alone, the railroad

Maybe They All Will Learn

Curtain

>

ever

the

From

the Iron

prosperity essential
#>t r a n q u ility, >
of

f

fares.

share earnings

material

general

The

1

p

<

But now, as a result of these third

that

Am PFe See If

total

which
have

may

is

it

of

ency,

consider

and

pause

look"

now

exist

eral

less

traffic; man¬
agerial effici¬

com¬

belief that within certain states outside

not

EDITORIAL

may

or

share

stocks.

mon

Maurice S. Benjamin

more

and

Spokesmen for'the State Department have announced that the
Department's plans for European recovery have their origin in the

meant

than;? pre-war

accumu¬

lation of

\\?t v,;b'

'.'J'-.

*

factors#1

—location,

advised

the 1

A.-

7y.\

course,? been

■

continu¬

ally

;,-j

The almost sensational differences in the earnings trends of in¬
railroad companies since the end of the war in 1945 to a
large extent have been due to the upward spiral of wages and other
costs and freight and passenger rates* There have, of

bullish

elements

possibilities

dividual

im¬
pressed by

have

.

share earnings occasioned by wage-price spiral.

per
' v'rv;'

v*

fully

these

up

basis? for calculating future earnings

a

been

have

Company

Asserting false premise of Marshall Plan is assumption that under
existing monetary and fiscal practices it is possible to create
prosperity and contentment iit states to be aided, Mr. Chamber¬
lain holds, until an honest medium of exchange is adopted, pur¬
pose of plan cannot be successful/
Contends only honest ex¬
change medium is one based on a material of value, and cites orgy
of spending, instability and gambling in times of inconvertible
paper currency. ' Sees $1 billion of U. S. gold sufficient to put
Western Europe on gold currency basis.

common

and the relative attraction of individual stocks. Stresses importance
of basic railroad "arithmetic" in light of substantial changes in

We

scene.

denominator the number of shares of

and in this way

60 roads

economic

the

/

Former President, United Light and Power

the important items of railroad income
enables quick comparison of leverage
position? of individual stocks. Gives table of comparative data on

During the past 18 months boom
durable

as

accounts

activity, prices and profits*
factors,

Using

stock, Mr. Hahn sets

factors threatening industrial

ary

Copy

Members of the New York Stock Exchange

economist,

numerous

By WILLIAM CHAMBERLAIN *

Railroad Specialist, Smith, Barney & Co.

previous

a

Currency—Only
of European Recovery

Means

|:v

By WALTER F. HAHN

Benjamin Hill & Co.

Market

Price 30 Cents

Redeemable

Measuring Earnings Trends in
II Railroad Stocks

Senior Partner, v

•

York, N. Y., Thursday, July 8, 1948

j.

Municipal

Lithographing Co.

R. H. Johnson & Co.
Established

—

*

Bonds

1927

—

INVESTMENT SECURITIES

Hirsch & Co.

Bond Department

64 Wall

Street, New York 5

THE NATIONAL CITY BANK

Members New York Stock Exchange
and other Exchangee

15 Broad St., New York 4, N. Y.
*Anortt t-0«00

Chicago

*

'

Teletype NT 1-010

Cleveland

Geneva

Londea

(Representative)

BOSTON

Troy

PHILADELPHIA

Albany

Buffalo

Harrisburg

Syracuse

52 WILLIAM ST.,

OF NEW YORK

Scranton

Wilkes-Barre

Bell

Woonsocket

Washington, D. £.

TENNESSEE

Bood Dept. Teletype: NY 1*708

For

Banks,

Brokers

and

4s of 1960-90

.

BROADCASTING CO.

Distributors of Municipal
'

ACTIVE

TRADING MARKETS

Gordon Graves & Co.
INSTITUTIONAL

30 Broad

OTIS & CO.
(Incorporated)
Established

Street, New York 4, N. Y.
Tele. NY 1 -809




and

.

..

::

fl

Cincinnati

■

Chicago

Columbus

Montreal

OF

BONDS & STOCKS

Est.

1896

Analysis

Grporation
40 Exchange Place, New

York5,N.Y,

Toledo

Buffalo

Telephone JtEetor 2-7340

111

New

other

..r

request

York

Stock Exchange

Principal Exchanges

Broadway, N. Y. 6

WOrth 4-6000

Teletype NY 1-702-3

upon

j

,

ira haupt & co.
Members

120 Broadway, New York 5
Bell System

NEW YORK

OF

COMMON

and

Denver

CITY

& Light Co.

f

Dominion Securities
SUTRO BROS. & CO.

THE

Wisconsin Power

CANADIAN
?

CHASE

NATIONAL BANK

Toronto

Members New York Sbock Exchange

1899

CLEVELAND
New York

-

Connect

Bought—-Sold—Quoted

Corporate Securities

INVESTMENTS

Tel. WHitehall 3-2840

(Fundings)

New York

Wires

THE

HAnover 2-0980

Dealers

UNITED KINGDOM
Underwriters and

N. Y. 5

Teletype NY 1-395

Private

Springfield

GAS TRANS. CORP.

AMERICAN

HART SMITH & CO.

Teletype NY 1-2708

Boston Telephone:

Enterprise 1820

2

THE

(98)

COMMERCIAL.

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

Thursday, July 8, 1948
not

Ouit Economic System in the Unsettled World

Time, Inc.
Bird & Son, Inc.
Memo

By WALTER E.

Request

on

Halliburton Oil Well

BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED

New York Hanseatic
-

Broadway, New York
NY

Teletype

7-5GfiO

BArclay

*

"

Corporation
120

;

.

on

• \

collapsed and
prostrate■■

and his followers.

Monetary "Policy

Since the Keynesian

philosophy
philosophy of
Socialism, Socialists naturally em¬
is in

essentials

braced the

the

the

extreme forms of

more

so-called

Deal,

New

which,

after

1935, rested to such a great
degree.. on the Socialist-Keynes
theories; * and " even
the Com¬

*

5

have

have1 been- left

by pursuing courses similar to that
implied in the doctrines of Keynes

.

Spahr, in pointing out trend toward governmen'ally controlled economy since 1932, in line with the
withering and blighting of economic science by ih; Keynesian-Socialist doctrines, deplores departure
from competitive free enterprise system.
Contends Socialism & road to retrogression and urges, in rela¬
tionship between U. S. economy and that of Socialist Britain, and Russia, we.keep ourselves economic¬
ally strong. Sees greatest danger in irredeemable naner, money,, byf which government can run away
with peoples'purse.
• "

Request

on

SPAHR*'(

/-Professor of Economics, New York University

Dr.

Cementing Co.
Prospectus

>

Executive Vlce?Presldient, Economists' National Committee

S:K

,

„'

j

;

.

jn the history of the world.

Governments

nations

found

munists

the

ac¬

program

ceptable and embraced it in prac¬

I.

1-583

tically all its forms.;

The Present Condition of Our Economic System;

The

peace-time

spending

pro¬

Our economic

system today reveals a relatively high degree of government manage¬ grams of our government, begin¬
ment superimposed upon, or mixed with, the elements of private enterprise. This becomes ning roughly late in 1933, and
considerable portions of expendi¬
clear,if we view the present structure in the light of our past.
We must, of course, ex¬ tures during, the war and since,

Lonsdale Company

cept the periof

ods

Bought—Sold—Quoted

wars

almost
Prospectus

tion

ftfC PONNELL & Co.
Members
New

York Curb Exchange

and
i s

characteristic

Rapid
a

move¬

toward

ment

govern-

m e

11

nta

y-

managed
Walter E. Spahr
economy since
1932
Begin¬
ning in
this country was
taken rapidly by our Federal gov¬
—

Joseph McManus & Co.

ernment in the direction of

Members

Neiv York Curb

- managed
economy.
policies
adopted
followed
much more closely those recom¬

Exchange

mended by the Socialist "Party in
its

Chicago Stock Exchange
39

gov¬

political platform of 1932 than
they
did
the
policies
recom¬
mended by either the Democratic

Broadway, New York 6

Republican

or

Tele. NY 1-1610

j

Parties

in

political platforms of that

their
year.

;?The( reasohs 'for* this "develop¬

&

ment

probably cannot be 'sum¬
briefly and at the same
The direction of
the movement, however, is a mat¬
ter of relatively common knowl¬
marized

—*r

time accurately.

Primary Markets in

,

edge.

Gas-Oil

This development

& Transmission Company

revealed,

ap¬

parently, the first case in our his¬
tory in which a political party
willing to use the wide¬
spread and deep distress of a pe¬
was ever

—★-

of

riod

means

Troster, Currie & Summers
Members
New

York

Security

Dealers

can

Ass'n

Teletype—NY 1-376-377-378

a

business recession

as

a

of leading our people rap¬

idly
from
a
highly-developed
private' - enterprise - competitive
system into a form of economy
and political system characterized
by such a high degree of govern¬
ment management.

ment

NATIONAL BANK
oi INDIA, LIMITED
the Government in

to

Kenya Colony and Uganda
26, Bishopsgate,
London, E. C.

In

Colony,

Paid-Up
Reserve

Capital

£2,500,000

conducts

every

banking and exchange

description
business

that

we

have had

an

irredeemable paper money is per¬

of the most noteworthy
evidences of a highly managed
economy, although it is perhaps

£4,000,000
£2,000,000

Fund

Bank

sistency that human ingenuity can
reveal, stand as one of the monu¬
ments to this development of the

haps

and Zanzibar

The

ated themselves with all the per¬

The fact

India, Burma, Ceylon, Kenya
Kericho, Kenya, and Aden

Subscribed Capital

variety of government agencies,
that developed and have perpetu¬

last 15 years.

Head Office:
Branches

rein

a

govern¬

on

one

the least understood by the
of

in

general.

An

public

irredeeemable

Trusteeships and Executorships

ernment's

public

abuse

and

use

for

wherever

these

reasons

finds

one

a

*An

address

b.y Dr. Spahr be¬

fore the Institute of International

Relations,
American Friends
Service Committee, Whittier, Cal.,
July 6, 1948.
■

The Parker

in

position

importantly from

to

'Current

vahie

Price

(6-30-47)

about

du Pont,
31

Milk

HAncock
N. Y.

same

time

estab¬

the

of

over

the

.

$19.44

public purse.

$8.00

per

St., Boston 9, Mass.

There

When

6-8200

Teletype BS 424
CAnat

6-8100




Teleohon# BArclav 7-01OO

Birmingham, Ala.
Mobile, Ala.

so

Direct wires to our

branch offices

are -

ethics

in

CONNECTICUT RAILWAY

with

government manage¬
-There is one development

& LIGHTING CO.
'

science

of

Econo'mics

been

has

people's monetary sys¬
withered by the blighting wind
tem undergoes this fundamental
of Keynesian-Socialist doctrines.
alteration, another far-reaching
and subtle change takes place: It Perhaps, the chief characteristics
of these doctrines are the attacks
is in that nation's standards of
a

/

BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED

Circular

Broad

80
Phone

promises to

For

•

-

Marx and others like him, appar¬
i ently goes back in no small degree
to the book, "Economic Conse¬

-

in this country,
Treasury and Federal Reserve

banks

example,

are now

authorized to issue

quences of the Peace," by John
Mayngrd Keynes of England, pub¬
The more direct

lished in 1920.

which they do not
and recent, attack was launched
redeem, do not intend to redeem,1
by Keynes in full-fledged form in
and under law cannot redeem.
1935tl936 when his book, "The
One minor exception is the re¬
General Theory of Employment;
demption of silver certificates in
Interest, and Money," was pub¬
silver; but none of our currency lished.
can be redeemed in gold. In these
Following the appearance of the
instances, it should be observed,
latter book, this country was, and
we have slipped down to a stand¬
still is, deluged with agitation and
ard of behavior in which we now

promises to

pay

activities in behalf of the Keynesgreat privileges—the right,
ian-Socialistic • philosophy by the
to issue promises to pay—without;
too" followers of Keynes.
at the same time requiring these "me,
The Keynesian type of thinking
issuing institutions to assume the
corresponding obligations to re¬ appears to have been thoroughly

grant

"Privileges

or

sponsibilities"

with, and perhaps an
important factor contributing to,
rights without re-s England's
plunge into Socialism.

been,

has

throughout

concept that

was

African

Teletype NY 1-492

'

not honor and does not intend to

honor.

St., New York 4

9-25JM1

BO

on the private enterprise system.
right of
The groundwork for these at¬
institution to issue
pay which
he does tacks, aside from that laid by Karl

respect to the

,

request

upon

Bittner, Edelmann & Co.

any person or

Southwest
Gas

Producing

Commonwealth Gas
Bought

—

Sold

—

Established

Quoted

1856

H. Hentz & Co.
Members
New

•

>

York Stock Exchange

and other leading exchanges

Cotton Exchange Bldg.

N. Y.

YORK 4,

NEW

Bowling
CHICAGO

Green

DETROIT

N. Y.

9-8420

PITTSBURGH

GENEVA, SWITZERLAND

in harmony

supposedly
our

history, a,

unacceptable to

•

The

doer

Keynesian-Socialist

trines

thoroughly permeated

Federal

our

and
they
colleges and

Government,

reached into
and

our

filtered

the high schools, into
and, in some degree,
business circles*.

the press
even into

These doctrines have gone into
our Federal laws and
policies in

other, in

a

HEAD OFFICE—Edinburgh

.

Branches throughout Scotland

,

LONDON OFFICES:
3

Bishopsgate, E. C. 2

Burlington Garden*, W, /'

||

have

in this nation.

NEW YORK 6, N. Y.
1-672

been

The

TOTAL ASSETS

manner

and

or

otherwise

blanketed 'by

im¬

heavy

mortgage is something new in the

history of :;the United States but

f

£141,823,667

the neoplf
taken by the Federal

Government

paired

■

•

64 New Bond Street, IV, I

in which the savings of

Principal Exchanges

\

Charing Cross, 5. IV, 7

49

dissipation of our na¬

tional patrimony to a degree never

Trletvue NY

Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727

8 West Smithfield, E. C!» t

%

Securities

Royal Bank of Scotland

down tc

multitude of ways. All of them
have resulted, in one form or an¬

Goodbody & Co.
_

MY 1-1557

HAnovor 2-0700

New Orleans. La.-

the in¬

the

Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other
BROADWAY

York 4, N. Y.

25 Broad St., New

We

people deprived of the closely related to our drift toward
Statism which deserves brief de¬
right Of private property' in- gold,
and, consequently, of any effect¬ scription because of its far-reach¬
ive control over the public purse, ing significance. It is the develop¬
ment of recent years in the field
the government is free to issue its
of Economics.
promises to pay as it sees fit and
to buy with them what it chooses ^ The State of Economic Science
to buy.
"—During the last dozen years, the
: /
With

seen

115

York Stock Exchange

Members New

dividual is concerned.

down

share

Homsey Co.

Teleohone

South

Co!

Steiner, Rouse &

the

multitude of ramifications in

metallic money that is depreciated;
at the will of the governments ment.

British Securities and

(6-30-47) $9.60

Bought—Sold—Quoted

and

use

a

Net current assets

Louisiana Securities

funda¬

far as the independence of

1

Canadian Mining
Canadian Banks

expanded aircraft

;this

many other ways
veloped governmentally-managed;
some', obvious,
some
subtle, in
also finds this par-'
which the pr.vate enterprise sys¬
ticular essential element—an irre¬
deemable paper currency or a; tem has been curbed and loaded

Canadian Industrials

prografn.
Book

the

at

universities

benefit

■ -

.

economy one

We Maintain American Markets For ;

is

on

lishing obligation to redeem.' We

a

-

highly-de¬

Manufacturing complete line of pre¬

Company

without

soon

fittings and valves,

30)

Alabama &

mental characteristic of a highlydeveloped governmentally > man¬
aged economy. We have acquiesced
in the grant of power and priv¬
ilege to issue promises to pay

abuse

that

Common Stock

couplings,

taken

.

Appliance Company
cision

have

right of private
of the. property in gold, a right that has

in their own-hands.

purse

is

It

we

gov*. have, ldst

deem their promises,

also undertaken

on page

.

have lost control

spending, and they can,-keep

the ultimate control of the

our

The almost endless number and

Bankers

maintain

a

The

Exchange

DIgby 4-3122

a

ernmental^

New York Stock

gold-coin or
gold-bullion system gives them,
if- they: can
convert into - gold
upon demand the promises to pay
issued
by
the
Treasury
and
banks, they can put a sharp, brake,
upon the volume of such; prom¬
ises that can be issued safely „.they
dependence which

govern¬

(Continued

money

a

>

ment.

2-7815

REctor

is an integral pkrt :«s; -1
privilege and
It is an ear¬
governmentally - managed dangerous power.
mark of power to abuse and of
economy. A domestic gold-coin or
gold-bullion standard and a high dictatorship, ■ ••
degree of freedom in a private
With our abandonment
of
t
enterprise system go together. A gold-coin standard and system,
highly developed governmentally- and with the infliction upon'us o!
managed economy could not.func¬ a system of irredeemable papei
tion if the people .retained the in-- mortey and Ian overvalued silver,
paper

of

lives,

property

BROADWAY, NEW YORK S
Tel.

.

peo¬

oehavior,

of

York Stock Exchange

New

120

■

*

com¬

of

ple's

v

i

plete domina¬

Request

on

-

major
when

AMOclated Banka:
'

Glyn Mills & Co.
William*

Deacon's

Bank, Ltd.

.

COMMERCIAL

THE

Number 4714

168

Volume

I NDEX
Articles
Redeemable

and

News

Chamberlain

Cover

_

Measuring Earnings Trends in Railroad Stocks
—Walter rF. Hahn

FINANCIAL

S.

Benjamin—

-

Cover

i

Market

E.

Spahr

;

y

;___

—August Huber
IIovv to

2

___________

_

3

_____

Buy Stocks and Bonds

;—Donald L. Kemmerer and Burton C. Hurd

;

Export Control:
—J.

Mishell

4

Instrument of Foreign Policy

•| general business for

George

4

—_

Prosperity?—Alfred C. NeaL~______

7

is

Status. o£ Fuel Oil Ayailability-^Jbhfi W: Boatwright-8;

'

'V

I

i,

ft

Relations—Earl Bunting

&

„

mount

tion

-

6

Monetary Fundi Official: Outlines ^teps.

Toward Currency Stabilization and

..;

and

Multilateral payments. ' 9:
11;yy

Bank for International Settlements Reviews Gold Black
Markets and Hoarding

NAPA

Committee,

More

Headed

by

Robert

('.

Confidence; in> Business, Outlook

Swan ton,

__ _ _ _

i

_ _

Dollar

16.-.

course,

the-

is

.

"

C.orpQrat6\Prqfits.iIi:.^^
;

21

__

First National Bank qt Boston Warns High Taxes* Are "

vv'

\

tially

!

•

,

Hennessy Advocates Changes in Type of
Stockholder Reports

»'■ SEC Reports

'

demand

- v

.-.

/'

effective

Export-Import Bank Grants Credit to Swedish Concerns____
John Haskell Heads ECA Mission to Sweden
" SEC Invites Views

_

Securities

Coming Events in the Investment Field

v

Dealer-Broker—Investment Recommendations
Einzig—"What Price Marshall Aid?"___

Mutual
NSTA

*

,

IIIIIIII

Our Reporter

.

£

7

point balanced.

16

orices

22

tion

Railroad

40,
40

Securities

Securities

able at

Governments.

Prospective Security Offerings
Utility Securities.
__j_

—I'll

Registration.^

The State of Trade and

mal
the

36

reach

14

resent, demand

44

orice

Industry

the

of

would

£

the

United

all-time

an

record

level, 70% over 1939,
equal gain over 1929.
farm
production has

record

-

r

ernment for

New York, 5, N« %

Tel.. IIA 2-8080

all,

huge

do much to ba-lance.available sup¬

We Wish to Buy

Rochester &

Pittsburgh Coal Ccm.

Globe Autamalie Spiinkle:
Davis Coal & Coke Cent.

Gray & Wolfe Corp.
FrM Corp. Pfd.

money

George Birkins Company
40 Exchange Place, New York 5
WHitehall 4-8957

Tele. NY 1-1404

goods and services for

These

purposes.

not available to

sumer

Tele. NY 1-2423

Supply

war goods
satisfy con¬
nevertheless,
the funds spent for them by the
government went into the stream
war

QUOTED

CORPORATION

52 Wall St.

proportions.

supply.
This was created largely during
the war years by heavy govern¬
ment
deficits.
During the war,
huge sums were spent by +he gov¬

;were

—

an

has been the

be

38

SOLD

farm

Forcibly exerting its underlying
the domestic economy

price

In

For

pressure on

avail¬

reductions to
who rep¬
but atnthe lower

at

in

Huge Money

other buyers

level,

of

some

48

__

been

than there

events

of

course

start

is

Similarly,

other things
being equal, the price fluctuations

5

Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte
Says)
Washington and You___
h

States

peacetime

people who can buy at that
price. The next step in the nor¬

46

production

and shows

are

IIIIIIIIIIIIII—HI

Corner

ly

produc¬

are

price level

.-IIIIII__

"

Securities Now in

a

goods

more

20

,

_____.___._l

Salesman's

until

44%.

is

goods continues large¬
unabated and over-all indus¬

trial

Eventually, high
stimulate

would

advance

Demand for

the

supply-demand picture is at

Governments—:

on

(U. S, Bureau of Labor
Statistics).
Since June^ 1946, de¬
spite a decline early this year,

prices out of reach. Giving effect
to
such
price adjustments, the

5

Public

:

;

.

—

/FIRST COLONY

i oL^

"by 110%

usually

41

Observations—A. Wilfred- May^i____
on

BOUGHT

in the United States has increased

that

advance.

on

12

Funds
Notes-

Our Reports

8

17;.

News About Banks and Bankers.

_

.>

10

From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle
Bargeron___
Indications of Business Activity

-

o

eventually

can

Forming
Corporation

that

largely, govern (the
prpductiont thTopgh
regulating effective demand.
Yet
oince 1939, the general price level

diminishes
as
Each
upward
price! scale would
normally result in the elimination
of
another group of purchasers
who would like to buy but find
orices

notch

13;

:y;;'

t

demand

Metal

mal conditions

supply-demand factors.
It
elementary to reeognizev that

demand

16;
47

Teletype N. Y. 1-714

nor¬

the

.Cover

Bookshelf____

1908

Broadway

Bell System

products alone, prices generally
have increased 185% since 1939.

Business

Canadian

course

established

comparatively

-epresent important equalizers of

Bank and Insurance Stocks

_

normal

more

been:

under

volume,

U

■

under normal conditions effective

See It (Editorial)
Man's

h,/-■

has

basic
?s

$

It

40

Regular Features
As We

Established

Members N, Y. Security Dealers /sen,
REctor 2-4500—120

This would be in contrast to

prices

prices get too high.
Economic laws tell us that prices

27,

J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co.

success¬

are

31

Proxy Changes.

on

Com.; & Pfd.

U,S. FinishingCom. & Pfd.

accruing to over-all profits from
a rising price, level..

be curtailed if

23

other-means

Dorset Fabrics

.

the. substantial inventory profits
of last year and the other benefits

in
goods indus-

events experience has Shovfrn

Listed Corporations' Sales in First
1948
;

on

Quarter of
-

the

•"

United Piece Dye Works

prices

keener, it would result,, of
ih- lower 1 corporate earn¬

or

iies:

goods—automobiles,

the consumer

In

Finished

finished products could mean
nventory .losses to; many compa-

/

and wages, normally stimulates,

turn,

Texas Gas Trans. Corp.

on

sdtj($e^bii' ihdividu&J; employment

t

•

'

token, a decliae in raw material
prices and reduced selling prices

August Huber

tries.;^.vn;:;v;;
; Daniel J.

4-6551

fully effected to increase general
operating efficiency. By the same

indi¬

durable

100%.

about.

•

ing'power. The alternative would
be employee lay-offs unless labor
productivity is increased substan¬

*

housing, heavy electrical equip¬
ment, railroad equipment,-steel,
virtually all kinds of machinery.
2tc.. Activity in these heavier in¬
dustries, which represent a majoi

19

HaroIdStonierStressesDy namicRanking Needy

■

comes

toward

.leavy

;

i

Tennessee Gas Trans. Co.

getting out of reach of a portion
of consumers and competition be¬

continued

lor

Henry C. Link of Psychological Corporation Holds Public
;• iv Exaggerates
^Concept':-0f ;Higb-'

;

-y

18

Reports

on

•>-,

STREET, NEW YORK.

Telephone: WHitehall

1929.

derh^hd-'b^edueed-through
.

still

3oint

V

Bonds

WALL

goods "prices at wholesale are- up
If, at- some point, effective

,

J _ Ji

Bolivia to Make Offer; for Resumption of* Service

99

96%.

demand.

cations

__

'

Federal Water & Gas Corp.
advanced

sustained

Present

National City Bank of New York Warns of
Expanding
Federal Budget
.--Ut,
•

1*y,

basic

14

Wall Street Committee, Headed by Amyas
Ames, Launches
Information Drive

us!;

on

'■

.

;

.

sus-,
Obvi-

economy

'

^

be

tained.
o'us

.'t

:

how

foundation of a

Finance_____-^_L______

,,

para-.^
ques-*

i$

will

4

^

FederaL Reserve Board. Reviews and Forecasts Trends in
Business

them off

pass

Obsolete Securities Dept.

domestic

long this rec¬
ord high level;
of prices and
produ c tio n

15

Dividend Policy

International

>

%

Roland Robinson Recommends More Liberal Bank

mares,

of change. Sees im¬
favorable.

warns

than twice the $104 billion of the boom
year

more

The/

•

World Trade and- World; Stability—Herbert V, Prochnow^L- .11.
Financial Problems of Railroads—William T. Faricy
13

t

If you have
any dream stocks
that have turned into
night¬

tional Product is

«'

>

time, but

some

DREAM STOCK

economy continues at record levels.
Gross Na¬
currently running at an annual rate of about $245
billion, compared with $123 Mlli6iT ii^3l94X;i $9b billion in 1937; and

6

The New Challenge in Industrial

SELLS HIS

mediate stock market outlook relatively
The

—William A. Kielmann

Wages, Prices, Profits—What Formula Determines

LlCHTtnSTfll

-

MR. BLANDINGS

Co.

&

Says sufficient stimulus has been given to maintain

expenses.

^Savings and Loan Associations Are Not Banks"

.

Spencer Trask

Mr. Huber, after
analyzing present conditions and economic laws
relating thereto, lists as factors maintaining present high peak in
American economy: - (1) greater resort to instalment buying;
(2) expansion of credit and larger use of current income for cor¬
porate purposes; and (3) excessive government and foreign aid

i

Abnormal Factors Maintaining Business at Boom Level

•

Analyst,

3

AND COMPANY

Member^, New. York. Stock Exchange
.—Cover.

Our Economic System in the Unsettled World
—Walter

Maintaining

By AUGUST HUBER

____—

_

(99)

Business at Boom Level

.

The Stock Market—An Emphatic Word of Caution

—M.

CHRONICLE

Abnormal Factors

Page

Currency—Only Means of European Recovery

—William

&

desires

but,

LAMBORN&CO.,Inc.\
99

WALL

STREET

ply and effective demand.

of money
supply.' Inasmuch as
the government was spending far
conjunction with the funda-.
mental importance of price levels beyond its income, the deficit, fi¬
on
basic supply-demand factors, nancing, in effect created huge
the cost of production is a prime amounts of new moneys without
determinant
of
selling
prices. making available, by far, suffi¬
When wage rates and raw mate¬ cient goods to be absorbed by the
increased* quantity
of- -money.
rial costs are high, selling prices
Measured by money in. circulation
are
necessarily high. Since 1939 and private demand deposits, the

NEW YORK 5, N. Y.

In

Published

Twice Weekly

Dominion

'

The

COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

.

WILLIAM B.

I

25

t

V;

Park

11.

DANA

Place,

Bank
y

COMPANY, Publisher*
New

York

8,

N,

WILLIAM

D.

125.00

$25.00

Note—On

oe

issue)

dnd citv

Oth<b

(general

and

news,

Offices:

Chicago

3,

111.

Copyright

etc.).

135

Reentered

ary

25,

8,
"i

as

1942,

Y.,

fluctuations

in

exchange, remittances for for4

subscriptions and advertisements must

made

in

New

raw

material.,

prices

have

in-

supply

money

York funds.

creased 150% and wage

rates have

La

CERTIFICATES

ad¬

Bond & Mtge. Guar. Co.

We

(Continued

,

is.

DIgby 4-2727

about

32)

on page

interested in offerings of

are

*.3;.° '

w

Winters & Crampton Corp.

High Grade Public Utility and Industrial

Common

PREFERRED STOCKS

Miles Shoes, Inc.

Lawyers Mortgage. Co»

Salle

St.,
0613);

State

Lawyers Title & Guar* Co.

C:,-Eng¬

by William B.

Nv

Danaf

J.;

Act

of

Members

March

1879.

Subscription Rates

,

'

Newburger, Loeb & Co.
•

Subscriptions/ in * Unifc-d' Stf tes. ~tl.* 'S.
Possessions, Territories and Members of
Pan-Ameiican Union, $35.00 per
year; in
i




Member$

15 Broad

New

York

St, N.Y. 5

Bel)

Teletype

Stock

*"•

25

1-2033

•

~ "X

r

New

York

Stock Exchange

Broad Street, New York 4
Tel.:

HAnover

V\".

\^

v

J;-

Members

New

York

Curb

Exchange

135 S/La Salle
Tel.:

2-4300

Exchange-

WH'rtehaH 4-6330
NY

"

Spencer Trask & .Go.

Prudence Co.'

second-class matter-Febru¬
the post. office at New

1

-

Analyses available

Y, Title & Mtge. Co.

•

at

under (the

today

Exports—Imports—Futures

-i

S.

Conipanv

York,;<N.

extra.)

•

(Telephone:

1948

-

i

the

Monthly,,

SUGAR

TITLE COMPANY

news/and

Drapers' Gardens, London, E.
land, .6/0 Edwards & Smith.
.>

-

of

—

postage

Monday "(com¬

every

1

.'

(Foreign

account

postage-..extra.)

Record

5

Raw—-Refined—-Liquid

Manager

plete Statistical issue — market, quotation
record?; corporation news, bank clearings,
state

-

SEIPERT, President

RIGGS, Business

Thursday

vertising

cf

-

Record—Monthly,

(Foreign

Earnings
year..

year.

Publications

Quotation

year.

per

he.rate

Jign

.Thursday, July 8, 1948
Every

and
per

Monthly

Y.

p. SEIJBERT, Editor & Publisher

% WILLIAht ^DANA

.

'

REctor 2*9570 to 9576 -ft.

HERBERT

•

Other

R*g. U. s. Patent Office

*.

5

of
Canada, $38.00
per
Countries, $42.00 per. year.'.*.

Other

and

St., Chicago 3
FINancial 2330
*'

Teletype—NY 1-5

I,

Rnstnri

-

!

Glens Falls.

:

■*

C, E.

on

request

Unterberg & Co.

Members N.

Y.

Security Dealers Ass'n

61 Broadway, New York 6, N* Y,
Telephone BOwling Green 9-3565

Schenectady:

:

-

' "Wofeestef

_.,...

...Teletype. NY 1-1660

'

U-

4

COMMERCIAL

THE

(100)

&

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

ExpoitiControl: Instrument of
Foreign Policy

Stocks .and! Bonds*

How f of Buy-

By DONALD L. KEMMERER

•

Associate

Economics, University of Illinois

Professor of

Thursday, July 8, 1948

and

By J. MISIIELL GEORGE

BURTON C. IIURD

Investment Counsellor,

Deputy Director, Export Program Staff,

Champaign, 111.

Office of International Trade, U. S. Commerce Department

intention to reveal secret shortcuts to making a fortune in investments, outline pro¬
buying stocks and bonds and how and where to find information needed. Discuss investment

Authors, claiming
cedure in

no

After reviewing

shifts in world trade resulting from war, Commerce
Department expert gives basic role of export controls as: (1) pro¬
tection of domestic materials; and^2) directing of U. 5, materials

problems of inflation or deflation, business and industrial trends/and intrinsic safety factors of vari¬
classes of slocks and bonds.
Describe advantages and disadvantages of investment trusts and

ous

sum

successful investment policy

up

on

where economic recovery can

(1) get all the facts; (2) exercise patient sludy; and (3) act

your

ment

secret shortcuts to making a fortune in invest¬
ments. We do not know any shortcuts.
Handling investments is not a black art but a mat¬
ter of taking a few precautions, exercising constant care, and then using your common sense.
there is also an ele-<*>
fuck involved, but it is

Admittedly
_

(4) Which are the best com¬ may offer low returns but good
long-term growth prospects. But
panies in those industries?
(5) What should I know about again, if you are easily worried,
who> use care and good judgment
or would be helpless without the
each of my investments?
enjoy most of the luck.
(6) What should I know about money, you should not consider
You have worked hard to ac¬
this course of action, for even at
cumulate the savings you are plan¬ ordering investments?
the
planning
for
(7) How should I watch my in¬ best
capital
ning to invest, or. at least your
growth is difficult.
Can you af¬
father
or
your
husband
has vestments?
of

ment

that the

observation

You Investing?

Why Are
For what

must

do you want
to invest this money?
That will
determine in large part the type
of
investments you
will select.
You
probably fall into one or
purpose

basic

of four

more

classes

of

in¬

vestors.

First,
order

you

cash

in

saving

be

may

have

to

hand

on

for

in

tip or a hunch or be¬
intriguing name^ Make

on a

money
cause

the

invest

Don't

hard.

of

an

cheaply when others, were being
forced to sell.
Lest you find the
analogy implausible though flat¬
tering, remember that anyone can

mind now that you must do this on a modest scale. If you
keep your savings.
Use ! have such ideas in mind, you want
the same precautions in buying
an
easily liquidated investment
investments as you would if you
and should put your money into a
were
buying a farm, a house, a savings
account
or
short-term
business site, or even a car.
For government bonds.
The interest
example, if you were buying a return is low but that is not where
farm
you
would have the soil you expect to make your profit.
tested; you would find out what
Second, you may be setting your
crops the previous owner raised,
money aside for your old age or
what returns he got, on the aver¬

up your

work to

period of years, the

age, over a
condition of

the fences

and farm

buildings, whether the land was
llat or rolling, its drainage, and
much

making

were

loan to
a

information.

other

a

similar

If you

mortgage-secured

a

farmer, you would make
searching investigation

of the property and
character.

If

you

the borrower's
intend to buy

stock, which is the same as buying
a share in a business, or if you in¬

for your children's education. You

be

may

widow and this is

a

your

"all." In that eveht you want more

than anything else to conserve the

principal.
You should therefore
prefer safe and presumably low-

sible course of procedure for you
tell

how to
find the
information you need.
The basic questions to which you
you

where and

should have the

are:

answers

vesting
(2)

my

Do

purposes am

money?
anticipate

I in¬

that

I

the

price level will rise or fall?
(3) What are the best industries
in which to invest?

■

1

;

decided

you may

somewhat

less

vestments.

The

clined
more

conservative
more

to worry,

dependent

income, the

should prefer.

you

are

you

of investments and sort of indus¬

tries you should favor.
risk of

This is the

changing

noticeably

a

price

level.

Deflation

Will

is going

have

we

rising

to

depression and
ing prices such

take?

prices

for

period of fall¬

a

has

as

followed

war? Perhaps you reply that

every

expert, that better

you are no

than

you

that

one,

men

to be guessing

seem

that

and

qualified to give

feel

you

good

a

at

un¬

answer.

Unfortunately, you must make a
decision, or at least you must de¬
cide

whose

to

answer

acccept cn

this controversial question.

all, it is

After

Mishell

scale.

American

goods

George

was

to Europe and Asia.
and

particularly Latin America,
had formerly been largefrom

their

orders

to

further strain

a

A

few

United
world

States
trade.

in

the

In

ol

1947, the dollar

value of exports from all coun¬
tries, including the United States,
was about twice as high as in 1938.
The physical volume of world ex¬

ports

about the

was

same

in

the

two years,

price inflation account¬
ing for virtually all the increase
in

dollar

value.

Before the

war.

will choose.

think

you

;

prices

prefer to hold cash and fore¬

income

go

are

in

order

safe and liquid

to

position

a

in

be

as

as

pos¬

sible, reasoning that the increased
purchasing power of the dollar
will be ample return for
you. You
conclude that this is the surest

to increase the value of

way

principal.

You

avoid

your

common

was

estimated

than

two-

of total world exports in 1938 and

Asia for 16%.

in

Since economic

both

areas

has

re¬

been

too slow to

permit exports in pre¬
volume, a disproportionately
large segment of world demand

war

has been shifted to United States

In 1947, the United States sup¬
plied over one-third of the goods
moving in world commerce, as
contrasted with only 14% before
the war.
In dollar value, the in¬

if you think

Total

rise

was

about

more

than

fourfold.

United States exports were

lated,
will

on

the

market

is

■*.

increase.

stocks.

likely to

If this is your chief con¬

tion,

continue

the

tend

are

return
to

for

will lean towards

you

Stocks

to

share in the

a

from

rise

dividends

and

dollar

the

value of your share in

a thriving
business will

This

$14.5

abnormally

foreign

Canada,

except

validated

tion,

OIT license.)

requires a
In addi¬

March 1, shipments of all

on

commodities

to

Europe

were

placed under export control.

As
result, the scope of export con¬
trol has now more than doubled.

demand

high level of
been super¬

has

value

exports to
than Canada

total

of

destinations

other

rose from $2.9 billion in the third
quarter of 1947 to $3.0 billion in
the
fourth
quarter.
Controlled
exports showed a small change,

from

almost

million,

$712

to

$706

which

90%

were

spite of

a

of

food¬

stuffs, fuels and metals.
In

value

will

time,

some

investments.

ties whose export to any destina¬

markets.

times the prewar average.

income

prices

is. the basic list of commodi¬

List

The

crease

On the other hand

less

at

Europe alone accounted for 49%

covery

Canada

export: control

during both the third and fourth
quarters of 1947. During the first
quarter of 1948, however, 38 iron
and steel mill products, as well as
some other items, principally mis¬
cellaneous grains, were addedt to
the Positive List.
(The Positive

fifths.

;

States to

except

to

subject

of

United

the

from

a

total; in 1947, its share

ownership of a company. Thus if
prices rise and business is stimu¬

s^fer

modest

'

■

approxi¬
the ship¬

value,

destinations

were

pattern

of

on

key statistics will indi¬
changing position of the

the

1;

one-fourth

mately
all

United States supplies.

cate

terms

ments

backlog of de¬

Finally, you may be interested
primarily in increasing your sav¬
ings by buying investments whose

from

a

In

geographic

their

American

their European sources
This shift, together with

mand, placed

exported, the amounts to be

to be

as

the huge domestic

application of controls

exported,
and
distribution.

Europe,

billion in 1947, as
against a 193-3-38 annual average
of less than $3 billion.
In volume
terms,
our
1947
exports
were
approximately two and one-half

with

The

therefore plays an important role
in determining
the commodities

Other areas,

which

importers

advanced.

effectively

most

gram.

not

confined

the world

stocks.

be

J.

Corollary to this purpose, export
controls can play a strategic part
in the European Recovery Pro¬

pressure

for

large
part what type of investment you

in¬

this

quired

be

contributed about three-fourths of

■If.

the

coun¬

re¬

the

however, the Eastern Hemisphere

Your decision will dictate in

to

aid

dodge the responsibility for it.

not

assuring

by

materials

of

by the

and where economic recovery can

furnish

and you can¬

your money

the

on

States,

flow1 of these

distribution

supplied

tries where needs are most urgent

The

several more years, or do we face
a

country
produc¬

on

failed.

Which direction do you believe

the price level

materials

United

resources

to

markets

Ahead?

international

scarce

adequate

shifted
or

the

the

—

only

scale

Is There Inflation

to

United

with

the sort

on

impacts of heavy foreign demand
for goods in short supply.
(2) They are used to influence

economic

States

At the present

important bearing

or

should

for

the

are used to protect
domestic economy from the

the

was

assistance

~

(1) They

.

in

time, however, another factor has
an

are

you

however,

more

in¬

world

better position to

a

the

of

forced to turn

buy and what sorts of industries

may

Third,

much

decide what sort of investments to

risk.

cannot afford the

content

f (1) For what

paralyzed, <£—

tive

going
down, you will lean towards highmoment permit the lure of higher
grade short-term bonds, or you
income to attract you away from
may even consider keeping your
the haven of safety.
You simply
funds in a savings account. Or you

wish to support
yourself wholly, or in part, from
tend to buy a bond, which is the
the income that your savings yield.
same as making *a loan to a busi¬
If this is true, you will tend to in¬
ness,
you
should make similar
vest some of your savings in some¬
thorough investigations.
what higher-yield and therefore
This article will outline a sen¬
and

of
Industry, agriculture, and the channels of trade
crippled throughout the Eastern Hemisphere.
With normal
production
of
many
critical
commodities
wholly
or
partially
were

taking these

have

you

will be in

you

They al¬
ways kept sizable cash balances
and were in a position to
buy

Kemmercr

worked

When

industry.

half years ago saw vast areas

a

the world laid waste.

which of these groups you
belong

depression period.

a

before

three and

war

risks.

you

bargains when some future oppor¬
tunity
presents itself.
Andrew
Carnegie and John D. Rockefeller
made some of their best purchases

L.

The end of the

That is the question you

answer

adopted for compliance with Export

Advocates full cooperation of foreign trade

persons

ford it?

Donald

and sets forth procedures

Control Act.

This article will not reveal to you any

our

be most effectively advanced. De¬
control policy before and after ERP program enact¬

scribes export

conclusions quickly and boldly.

as

.

3

sharp reduction in

the allocation of meat products for

export, foodstuffs constituted
nearly half of the licensed exports
in
the
fourth
quarter.
Non-

principally.coal

metallic minerals,

petroleum, accounted for 22%

and

of

value

total

the

and

exports;

of

metals

controlled

and

manu¬

factures for 18%.

Western Europe Largest Recipient
of Controlled Goods

distribution

The

of

licenses by

of
destination 'shows
Western Europe as the largest re¬
country

lished by the University of Illinois.

your

you

will place

some

of

savings in somewhat riskier

investments

or

investments which

that stock prices rise step by
step with the price level—they do

high output, employment, and in¬
come in this country.
In spite of

cipient, especially of controlled
commodities,
even
though
the
fourth quarter reductions in the
controlled export of certain com¬
modities—meats, coal, petroleum,

but over a period of time
they will tend to rise. Stocks are

^Reprinted from "Opinion and
Comment," May 17, 1948, pub¬

sideration,

record

production, some require¬
ments of basic foods, agricultural

heavily

better than

supplies and

and
tend

American Hardware

Detroit Harvester

Art Metal Construction

Durez Plastics & Chem.

Cleveland-Cliffs Iron Co.

Grinnell Corporation

Crowell-Collier Pub.
Bought

Portsmouth Steel
-

Sold

-

Quoted

Goodbody & Co. ;
Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges*
115 Broadway, New York
Telephone BArclay 7-0100




105 West Adams St., Chicago
Teletype NY 1-672

to

valuable

rise

also.

That

is

not

to

say

not

j

more

—

income

cash, which returns

and

no

whose

imposed
domestic

the

on

demand

unprecedented
accompanying

industrial materials
are
not yet being met.
To pro¬
tect the, domestic economy; and to

and

ern

products—fell most
the countries pf West¬
and
caused' their

sawmill
on

Europe,

purchasing
share of the total to decline some¬
prices rise.
what from the previous quarter.
influence the direction of overseas The share of Latin America in the
Hoarding or relying on a savings
in the manner most total, on the other hand, increased
account is, in reality, a bet that shipments
compatible with American foreign from 21 to 27% of controlled ex¬
prices will not rise.
policy, the export controls ex¬ ports in the fourth quarter; largely
Perhaps you cannot make up
tended
under the Second
De¬ as a result of the increased value
your mind which way prices are
control Act until Feb.; 28, 1949.
going to move. At present, many
of controlled .exports
of grains,
people think that this year will have been continued and in some
power

declines

as

edible

usher in

depression, which belief
indicates they
should invest in
bonds.
Yet they fear they may be
wrong

a

and

that

the

price

level

instances strengthened.
Role

The

of

role

Export
of

Controls

export controls is

pean

(Continued

on page

24),

basically twofold:

and

The

oils,

other

and

non-ERP

Euro¬

nations received only 2% of

licensed
'

.

fats

foodstuffs.

shipments in the fourth:

(Continued on page 42)

A

Volume

168

Number 4714

THE

COMMERCIAL

M

.'%A>

ilv

A

&. FINANCIAL

pr

j'VVfr- •

'S

CHRONICLE

(101)

Dr.

Palyi to Speak
At Kiel University

b

Steel Production
Electric Output

Retail Trade

and

Price

Business Failures

The

J

As in 'previous periods over-all industrial output" continued to
hold at a very high level the
past week with production in most lines
exceeding somewhat that of the like period of 1947.
■■
:

slight

increase

It

was

of the

reported

United

on

Companiesby

Interest in

-

.

__

Arthur

Wiesenberger, 1948 edition, 328
Arthur Wiesenberger & Co., New York.)

v

-

?

fective

on

W
f

JLJf
ml*.

*

*

v
The most significant economic
development of the past month,
according to "Business Comment," monthly bulletin issued by the
Northern Trust Company of
Chicago, has been the confirmation of a

third

of substantial wage increases.
The amount of increase
be larger than can be absorbed without
increasing prices

round

in most

instances,

says

inevitable

as
a
result of rising costs.
Farm commodities have also
upward price trend after the February break, led by live¬
stock and livestock products.
The all-commodity wholesale price
index is now virtually the same as it was in
mid-January. Farm
products are still below the peak reached then, but other commodi¬

ties

an

higher. In recent weeks only fruits and vegetables, grains,
products, hides and cotton goods have failed to participate in

the advance.

One hopeful factor is the prospect of
large crops in this
of a more favorable agricultural outlook in

country and

important

throughout the world.

areas

"The indexes of production and trade show no
significant break
in the fabric of good business. The
public's income continues to ex¬
pand and retail trade responds accordingly, except for seasonal shifts
in the pattern of
spending. Nevertheless the

inflationary aspects

of the boom

the boom is
"An

held

are

now

ever

the

at

cause

end

of

off."

to be

and

caution, the

more

so

because

exhausing liquid assets

exhausting their credit.
having similar experiences. Products that

war,

are

and

are

a year or

some

less ago

are

are

now

abundant and there

tendency for new orders for capital equipment to fall
developments, the "Bulletin" concludes, "bear watching,
generally optimistic implications of expanded defense
foreign aid spending."
a

the

sj:

#

The demand for many types

of seasonal merchandise increased

May

arrival of hot weather in many areas.
The
dollar volume of retail trade increased
moderately during the
and continued to compare
favorably with that of the corre¬

sponding week

a

year

Budget and basement departments

ago.

tinued to be patronized by a very
large number of
V Wholesale order volume decreased

slightly

the

high

level

stimulated
many

the

of

a

week

demand

Favorable

ago.

for

some

in

weather

seasonable

con¬

shoppers.

goods.

the
in

week
many

from
areas

High prices in

lines caused

There

was

a

wealth of

a

full-length

pany,

Under

charts,

new

trust carrying

analyses

tabulations
the

of

of

a

quadrupling of

42

assumption

funds,

other

that

forward from Scotland sine# the

79

the

1880's

some buyers to be cautious of
long-term deliveries.
considerable number of orders for Fall merchandise.

and

units.

investment

embodies

an

important instrument in today's market place, this book performs
constructive

service

in

a

number

of

a

the least of which
included with unusual

ways—not

liberal

number

of

A

prolonged shutdown at steel

company captive coal mines would
shock to domestic steel
consumers, the nation's defense
program and the European Recovery Plan.
Unless the National La¬

"be

a

severe

bor Relations Board acts

promptly on the petition of the steel firms
they cannot legally, under the Taft Hartley Bill, sign a union
Shop clause without elections the country again faces curtailment in
steel
production which this week is far below the total demand, states
"The Iron Age," national
metalworking weekly, in its current
that

.

Chicago-;district where heavy melting steel is
ton.

up an average of

To

in

to

"turnaround"

with

sizable

a

block

of

an

issue

excepting

the time of purchase of the open-end trust follows
recognized
business practice of incurring expenses in
selling any merchandise,
and is not excessive when related to stock
exchange commissions
and to the
ordinary investor's incurrence of

exchange
ment

bid-and-asked

expense

reflects

prices.

no

Furthermore

the

annual

between

manage¬

Marshall




on page

33)

Plan

in

countries.

Two With H. O. Peet & Co.
(Special

to

KANSAS

Graham

The

Financial

Chronicle)

CITt, MO.—Claude

and

William

W.

I.

Hum¬

phrey, Jr., have become associated
with

H.

West

10th Street, members of the

O.

Peet

&

Company,

2a

New

Brown

Company

Bonds-Preferred-Common

using
15%

up

of

from

hart smith a go
52 WILLIAM ST., N.
Bell

undue extravagance.

But these deductions
for "the kitty" must be
recognized and taken into account. If they
are
related to the attained real investment income instead of to
fortuitous capital gains, in accordance with
investment rather than
speculative purposes,, then the loading charge must be looked on as

New York

Y.

Teletype

Private

Wires

5

HAnovcr 2-0980

NY

1-395

Conned

Montreal

Toronto

two years income and management expense as
consuming
ordinary income. At any rate, the Wiesenberger book

the
a

useful service in

clearing breaking down ordinary income

capital gains for each fund.
The Investment Income

Item

This brings up what is perhaps the greatest flaw in the invest¬
ment company system,
namely the fact that because of both partial
un-investedness and management expenses, the
ordinary investment
income is reduced to a level
considerably below what a true investor
can get from his own direct
investment in the equivalent securities.
From
closed-end funds in
1947
the
net
income was 4.6%
and
from open-ends 4%—against
5.6% from the Dow-Jor.es average.

Thus, the average investment fund is forced to seek the difference
capital gains; which is all right if the trust-holder realizes it
and makes allowances therefor
by putting out other portions of
Iris own capital for income.
In the case of the closed-end fund,

HODSON &

COMPANY,

Inc.

165

Broadway, New York

the discounts at which they

provide partial

or

customarily sell on the Stock Exchange
complete relief from these penalties.

Another wise caveat broached by

Mr. Wiesenberger pertains to'
cautioning against over-emphasis
past performance, and in stressing instead the importance of
other facts such as investment policy,
income-return, and degree of
the

appraisal of management.

In

on

(Continued

on page

43)

Oil
CORPORATION

Davis

Manufacturing, Inc.

Common Slock

COMMON
Price 37'/i<t per

share

Bought—Soldf—Quoted
Orders will be executed

by

STEWART J. LEE & CO.
bis

paper states.

(Continued

flight

problems

at

750

The freight car program
may run into an open switch bjr the
Despite all the talk and bombast in Washington

capital

Pair!

during

rampant bull markets and then only by the special-offer method.
Management costs compose one of the most important factors
10 be weighed in American investment fund
practice. For the openend funds the average buying
cost, or "load," is 73/2% and the annua1
management expense while for the closed-end companies the annual
expense is averaging of the assets. The loading charge or premium

uni vii

Established
MEMBERS

first of next year.
J; jL.

Melchior

columnist, continued examination of portfolios reveals
unwieldiness as perhaps the paramount drawback in the present-day
mutual fund technique—particularly under our
contemporary con¬
dition of stock market illiquidity. Once the beaten
path of the active
stocks is left for actual or near special situations
(which is really the
raison d'etre for professional
management), it is well-nigh impossible

holding back scrap supplies. They don't have
them. They can't get them. And
they are doing everything they can
to get something that at least looks like
scrap, the trade

.

Dr.

this

This is one time the
scrap brokers and dealers cannot be dragged
into the scrap scramble on the
basis that they are bulling the mar¬
ket or that
they are

:

foreign
exchange, and

dalusia Avenue.

Illiquid Markets

25£

•

to

finan¬

O'Connor, Weller & Co., 248 An¬

Unwieldiness

This increase has moved "The Iron
Age" steel scrap composite
(a gross ton—the first change in months. The composite now
stands at $40.91 a gross ion.
a

ex¬

cial,

•

Qne major problem still unlicked is scrap. Even with summer
days when scrap is supposed to be moving fast this week
supplies are
dwindling, demand is high and the strait-jacket put on
prices is
crackipg open at the seams, according to the magazine.
Heavy melting scrap prices are up this week for the first time
in,months in a major market. The break-through
happened in the

up

study

survey

of the steel trade.

an

,

from

STEEL OUTPUT SCHEDULED AT LOWER RATE
DUE TO COKE OVEN CLOSINGS AND HOLIDAY

July

on

for

Yoi^k Stock Exchange.
Mr.
caveats which are
objectivity. In addition to pointing out the advantages of investment Humphrey was previously with A.
E. Weltner-& Co.
companies, such as availability of expert management to the small lay
investor, diversification, some tax favors, marketability (of open-end
funds), Wiesenberger lists the following counterbalancing disad¬
vantages: possible deterioration of management through changes in O'Connor, Weller Co. Adds
(Special to The Financial Chronicle)
personnel, tax laws' obstruction to accumulation of capital reserves,
CORAL GABLES, FLA.—Perry
bad marketability of closed-end
company shares, unwieldiness of
L. Smith is now connected with
portfolio holdings, and recurring management costs.
is the

considerably with the
total
week

New

tended trip

salient

last year's chapter on the open-end type of com¬
summarized

renders

:Js

on

continuing 20-year growth of.

"leakage"

consumers

These

despite
and

the

firms, also,
in short supply

were

concern

larger number of

Business

appears

for

in its third year.

data

leading funds; detailed tabulation
of portfolio holdings; and clear analyses of man¬
agement results, income and dividend records,
price ranges and comparative operating details.

contains

are

cereal

5

Dr.

flew

from

of

uses

the movement in this country and the garnering
of a million participants in the funds, this edition

number

shown

Palyi

features of the

the Bulletin.

Already, continues the report,
of firms,
particularly automobile companies, have an¬
nounced price increases, and the movement in that
direction appears

*'a

on

Europe."

York

In. line with the

A. Wilfred

*

$15.

years ago as a
69-page
paper-bound pamphlet, it now appears as a 328page encyclopedia of information, including an

ft

Kennedy, Vice-

Tuesday, and, in keeping with their threat to strike if the union shop
clause was not made a part of their
contract, some 50,000 of the
nation's 400,000 bituminous coal miners left the
pits on that day.
The companies' current
supply of coal on hand, the Association
states, is only sufficient for a 41-day period, which will not permit
the mills to operate at full
capacity during a prolonged walkout.

pp.

pub¬

"Americ a's

seven

the investment company to the investor;
the background, management policy and

Sunday that the 35-member scale committee7

From latest reports of the National Coal Association on
Monday
of the current week, it
appeared likely that the big steel companies
would be confronted with a strike in their
"captive" coal mines on

issued

a

address

explanation of the function and various

contract affects 80,000 miners and becomes ef¬

new

First

*

lic

•

July 16.

appears to

i;

:

already had signed the.

The

Palyi, Chicago
economist, to
deliver

unanimously approved on that day an
agreement reached late Saturday night by John L, Lewis, United
Mine Workers President, and the anthracite coal
operators. The set¬
tlement provides an increase in wages for the Pennsylvania hard;

agreement.

(Ger¬
invited

Melchior

continuing growth of the investment fund
is found in the just-issued annual edition of Arthur
Wiesenberger's compendium on investment companies. ("Investment

Mine Workers

coal miners of $1 a day. It is understood from Thomas
President of the union, that the operators

Kiel

has

Dr.

in this country

<

.

of

Zone)

Flowering "Investor Cooperative"

*

•!»

*

,

University
British

many,

A fine reflection of the

in

employment and payrolls was
noted for the week with
labor-management relations for the most
part favorable. With respect to some raw materials, it was reported
that they remained somewhat difficult to
obtain, but most producers
were able to obtain an
adequate supply for current production needs.
*

.

•The

Auto Production

Industry

continued

.

By A. WILFRED MAY

Index

%
A

.

Commodity Price Index
Food

'

Observations

Carloadings

*

Stave of Trade

5

63

N.

Y.

SECURITY

Wall Street, New York S. N. YI

w

uvij

iiive

1888

DEALERS

60 Wall Street, New York 5
HAnover 2-0038

ASSOCIATION
Bell

Teletype NY 1-897

iS=

*

6

(102)

.THE

Thursday, July 8, 1943

FINANCIAL jCHRONICLE

&

COMMERCIAL

Savings and-loan Associations Are Not Banks1' Recommends More Libeial Bank
Dividend Policy
;By WILLIAM A. KIELM^NN*

Former President, New York State Bankers Association

President, The Peoples National Bank & Trust Co., Lynbrook, L. I., N. Y.

Holding it is misconception to consider savings and loah associations

as

New York State Bankers Association points /out distinctions > between these financial institutions, and
deplores fact that Federal Savings and Loan Associations pretend to operate as banks. Denies oppo¬
sition of banks to savings institutions as such, but holds duty of bankers to clarify distinction between
a bank of
deposit and a savings institution.

Federa 1.

1 '•

..

"•

•

•

"

■

<♦;

and

Loan

Associa¬

tions

which

has

been

ing
It
c

is

in

and

ple, the customers of savings and
loan associations, who think that

shares

i;ng siip.er-..

forms

of

by

Act

Loan

Owners

Home

of

1933

The Home Owners Loan Act of

deposit which

William A. Kielmantt

not.

1933 authorized the Federal Home
Loan

People generally are. also under

to

Board

Bank

organization, operation, anc
the erroneous impression that the
regulation of Federal Savings and
insurance of these associations- is Loan Associations, giving primary
comparable to that of the Federal consideration to the best practices
Deposit Insurance Corporation and of local mutual thrift and home fi¬
is payable in cash.
•'
nancing institutions in the United
clear that I, and I am sure all the

Section 5 (b) of the Home
Owners Loan Act of 1933 clearly

bankers

shows

At the outset I wish to make it

throughout
York, believe

the State of
that savings

and loan associations have

a

defi-

States.

that

by

Mr.
of

Convention
Bankers

Woods,

N.

Kielmann
the

New

Association,

H.,

June

14,

1943.

was

intended

not

Savings and Loan
should
operate
as

Associations
banks of

address

it

that

Federal

deposit, for it states "nc

deposits shall be accepted." Char¬
ter "K," a portion of section 8,

or

deposits

The American Bankers Associa¬
tion

titled

leaflet

oublisned 'a

ha«

"The

en¬

in¬

Customer

Bank

quires." This leaflet has been re¬
vised January,
1948.
It clearly
sets forth
bank

difference between

the

deposit and a Federa
Savings
and Loan
Association
and I earnestly recommend it t<
any bank for distribution to
its
a

of

the public

New

of

to

nor

some

Fed¬

Savings and loan associa¬
but they do apply to sc]

eral

It shall

many

except for advances.

York,

afford to

Botany Mills Com. & Pfds.
Camden Forge

Dayton Malleable Iron
Gisholt Machine

tion

Stromberg-Carlson

tutions

Warner Co.

24

Federal Street, Boston

Tel. HUbbard 2-3790

10

Tele. BS 128

H. M. Byllesby & Company
PHILADELPHIA OFFICE

Stock Exchange Bldg. Phila. 2

Teletype

Telephone

PH 73

RIttenhouse 6-3717

Stix & Co.

lic to

STREET

language

newspaper

Louis Stock Exchange

Bell Tele. LS 186

PHILADELPHIA

SPOKANE, WASH.

Then

up

You

SECURITIES
For Immediate
or

of

Execution

of

Quotes call TWX Sp-43

Exchange

A.M.,

Pac.

other

from
Std.

10:45

Time:

Orders

Floor

on

to

11:30

hours.

Sp-82

CORPORATION
44 Wall Street-

Members Standard
of

Private

Philadelphia,

Wire

New

New York 5

Brokers

-

Stock Exchange

Spokane

Dealers

-

Underwriters

WHitehall 3-7253

Peyton Building, Spokane
System
York

between

and

a




of

Los

Angeles

Branches

of

these

.

.

see

can

hese

policies has been very suc¬

cessful. About five-ninths of bank
since

bers

the

been

success.

one-tenth

of

increase, probably much less,
due to sale of new capital
for this

reason

situa¬

tion is fairly evident. Except for
diort periods Since the banking
holiday bank shares have com¬
manded a market price generally

from most of their

and

bid quotations are

published, went
above
book
value
only during
1936-1937 and again, briefly, near

the end of the war."
Professor

even

the

from

contends

Robinson

that these two

policies are contra¬
dictory. "It has not been directly
recognized
by
the
supervisory
authorities that their policies of
urging conservative dividend dis¬
tribution and of encouraging mar¬
ket sales of new capital shares are
one with the
large majority of bank
come
to
enjoy an

essentially in conflict
other.

A

shares

have

investment

in

status

market

the

which is influenced

by dividends
paid. But dividends have been
conservative, not only as a pro¬
portion of earnings but also on
the

basis of

value.

book

For

the

period since the banking holiday,
well

as

included

good

Federal

poor

ones,

Reserve

regulation.

can

the capital

sale

policy be pushed with fair¬
ness to existing stockholders? The
damage to them of this policy is
clearly evident. These are ob¬
viously relative questions, to be
balanced
against
such
further
questions as:
(1)
Are
present
levels
of
capital adequate for
risks? (2) Could banks be trusted
to follow sufficiently conservative
dividend policies if left free to
pay out more dividends if they so
desired?"
In answering the

first question,

Robinson

examines the

Professor

history of banking difficulties in
the past and comes to the conclu¬
sion
that
"inadequate
capital
has been

...

■hares. The

and

time,

of banking difficulties. ...
extent evidence is avail¬

The second
Since
banking holiday commercial
bank capital has increased more
han $31/2 billion.
It appears
he

control

same

cause

...

than

At the

never

retained and added to

more

than

dividend
distribution? Certainly that would
seem to be the one way in which
they could make such a policy ef¬
fective, short of rather dogmatic
generous

mem¬

he

not

rather

smile

to
more

holiday

banking

capital accounts.
jolicy has had little

them

years

as

the profits of

member

banks

To

leading

a

basic

or

the

able, it appears that banks which
have failed had neither more nor
less

capital than surviving banks.

It also appears that

ity

was

mate

the

proxi¬

of bank closings.

cause

The fact that
which

lack of liquid¬

common

more

so

.

banks

very many

closed at the time of

were

the

banking holiday have paid out
fully or almost fully to depositors
is evidence that

on

'going

a

con¬

cern' basis these institutions prob¬

ably did have adequate capital."
Capital Position of Banks
With

respect

present

the

to

capital position of banks, Profes¬
sor Robinson argues that "Capital
protection now enjoyed by banks
is greater than it has been at any
time in the past. The liquidity of
the
banking system has never
been so great.
The relative
,

.

.

of ! banking
assets has
never been so high.
The whole
economy has become more liquid
so that all debt obligations have
an
improved position; i.e., the
absolute quality of credit assets
has
generally
improved.
The
ratios of bank capital, net of fixed
assets, to customer loans and non¬
governmental securities are now
quality

...

far

not

1920's.

from

the

In

...

levels

addition,

of

the

the

ac¬

cumulation of earnings is increas¬

ing
rate.

capital at a very substantial
Although during the year.

1947

bank

than

during

loans

increased

more

of record,
the additions to bank capital from
any

year

have averaged only about 7% of
they
retained earnings appear to have
capital accounts, and dividends
and loar,
have been only about 3% of book equaled roughly 7% of' the in¬
associations endeavor to give the
crease in loans. This is a substan¬

which

passbooks

that savings

us'ng

impression to their customers thaf
are in the nature of a savings
bank while as a matter of fact

they

customer

is

actually now

an

Is it
lie

is

these

the

associations

I

j

wonder that .the pub-?

under

shares
that

;

.

-

present
face

the

additional

be

holders 'of
dismal

capital

bank

prospect
in

banks

have

impression
are

that

banks

of

thousands
Savings and

seen

tial risk coverage.
"If

this

reasonable
left

to

is

the

that

choose

,

.

-?■

.

case,

banks

their

iHseems

might
own

be.

"divw

.

policies with a minimum
of -supervisory nagging; V
If
dend.

spect:' banks differ greatly from
banks were freed from supervis¬
other types of enterprise in which
ory prodding, the past record does
new caoital often can be expected
not indicate that they would over¬
to contribute pro rata to earnings
The
and often will increase them more step prbpriety in the matter.

than
proportionately,
So
when profit and dividend record itself
advertising.:; No- bahkss,i sell!' more capital;
they suggests this conclusion. During
(Continued on.page $3)
'
(Continued on page 38) r.-:1. II dilute the earnings available to

of inches of
Loan

"The

expected to increase
earnings appreciably. In this re¬

any

deposit?

value;,

cannot

Public Given False Impression

at

Kellogg, Idaho and Yakima, Wn.

prodding or the natural
:onservatism of banks, the first of

which

to $5,000.

investor.

CORPORATION

PEnnypacker 5-5976

Ac¬
Ac¬

ends by say¬
Federally in¬

bank-like

the

STANDARD SECURITIES

Philadelphia 2

Syracuse

at

BUCKLEY SECURITIES
1420 Walnut St.

in

are

NORTHWEST MINING

Central Illinois Public Service

Request

advertisement

recites some

it

accounts

"All

advertising

Maryland Drydock

"Open e

their services, and it

ing

Seminole Oil & Gas

have

"Systematic Savings
"Ordinary Savings

counts."

sured

Corporation

as:

association

an

counts."
Members St.

words

They

demand.

on

such

reads:

Incorporated

Floor, Kentucky Home'Life Bldg.
LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY

<

associations

advertising has led the pub¬
feel that their accounts arc

from

St. Louis 1,Mo#

1st

on

passbooks

savings account where your sav¬
ings are insured.
Chartered and
supervised by U. S. Government.'

SECURITIES

A

BANKERS BOND m

Data

these

though

payable
used

INVESTMENT
509 OLIVE

Portsmouth Steel

policy. o

their advertising they are

in

their

Debentures

Long Distance 238-9

a

have not said so in so many

Sold

Bought and Sold

m

pursuing

are

forms similar to banks'

Even

Stock

Ashland Oil & Refining Co.

first

The

tional-stock.

was

using words and language which
leads the public to believe that
the
share
investor js getting
a
bank deposit payable on demand.

ST. LOUIS

Ashland Oil & Refining Co.
Common

policies,

possibly get to the appearance of!
banks. They are using forms similar
book
value.
The
share
to banks' signature cards, forms below
similar to banks' deposit tickets, prices of larger banks, for which
and

Bought and

Robinson

points out "the supervisory
agencies have urged two specific
fines'. 'Of action: (1) the retention
of a large proportion of earnings;
in other words,
minimum divi¬
dends; and-i(2) the sale of. addi¬

We do, however, deplore
these insti¬

economic

operating just as close as they can

LOUISVILLE

I.

Roland

be

;hat

a

the fact that many of

Corp.

Traded in Round Lots

Walter J. Connolly & Co., Inc.

.

furtherance of their

in

posi¬
life of oui

entitled to

are

the

in

country.

Prior Preferred

Vinco

ing has no quarrel with the Fed¬
eral Savings and Loan Associa¬
tions as such.
I am certain that
our banks
believe that these as¬
sociations

Kearney & Trecker
RR.

.and

unreasonable.

bave

emphasize that bank¬

I want to

American Phenolics

Maine

un¬

are

realistic'

not earnings of Federal Reserve

of the latter that I do

believe that banking can

remain silent longer.

&

bank-y

.

tions,

BOSTON

B'm

•

policies1 has been continuously
urged since the banking holiday;
the second has had more promi¬
nence during those periods wher
customers.
j
the market price of bank shares
My comments do not aoply Uias approached or exceeded their
State Savings and Loan Associa¬
book value.
tions, which are under the super¬
vision of Hon. Elliott V. Bell, Su¬
"Whether
because
of
super¬

evidence'of indebted¬

issue any

ness

from

visors

int«

forced

be

really want more capital sold in
the markets, would it not be wise

.1

shall not perintendent of Banks of the State visory

reads, "The Association

accept

cannot

liquidation because of financia
inability to promptly meet obli
gations for repurchase of shares

provide for

the

association, but - a.i

an

association

them banks of

Boston

should supervisors pur¬
supervisory authorities

ards.

,

contradictory

two

sue? If the

on

tionship

asks:

therefore

the

of

policies

•

for

led

consider

this weakness."

author

The

"Which

ship in such associations in con
trast with a debtor-creditor relgv.

frown

been

Bretton

They represent .owner-1 points out that
considering
the .relative

accounts.

to

compulsion

of

greatest

overcome

J"

of

has

State

the.

Robinson"

.

cies

bank

these
associations,

York

sor

shaft

■ —

-

the poli¬

of

the

of

*

f.

Aew," Profes¬

Saving:
are

policies"

existing shareholders. The incen¬
tives, then, for market sales of
added bank capital for going in¬
stitutions are weak. It would take

age,

ing

at

number
tne

<$>

'

u 1 v

ings and loan plan of operation
provides for the repurchase o

quired

*An

J

tlw

in

are doing business with a
whose
resources
are
re¬

they

New

rlrnrl Policies
dend Policies'',

adequacy
of
b a n.k capital
forrisk cover-

advertis¬

are

made

Com¬
Divi-

between bank and cus
tomer of a savings bank or com
mercial bank.
The Federal-say¬

that the pub1 i c,
through

they-

are

by Roland I. Robinson, Professor of Banking, The School of
merce, Northwestern University. Writing on "Bank Capital and

Business' 'Re-1.

Associations

:

plea

protest against "forced-draft sale of bank stock" and a

that "banks be allowed to liberalize their dividend

deposit

a

Federal

in

Loan

and

as

additional stock to bolster

or sale of
bank capital.

by law to measure up to
well-established
banking stand¬

on

the

to

Accounts

make

customers

they
are
not
banks.
Our primary concern in
this matter should be for the peo¬

firm

my

their

which

investments

years.

onvic t i

thrift

however,

are,

in

tak¬

form

recent

They not represent itself
institutions institution."

unrealistic, unreasonable, and contradictory, policy of

as

's-...

A

————^;-v;'

—.———-——--—»—-—

nite place in our economy.

zes

-

belief that as your president, I have a duty before turning over my office to;
my successor to apprise this association of anything of sufficient moment which has come
to my attention
during my administration.
Such a matter is the public's misconception
Savings

critic

| requiring retention of earnings
\

It is my

of

"Harvard Business Review,"

Prof." Roland I. Robinson, writing in
i

banks, retiring President of the

Federal

newsoaper

Volurr>°

163

Number 4714

•

THE COMMERCIAL
1

From

'

•

'

''V

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

•/

Determines
f

"ix

/ :

same

level, but profits

as,prewar

conglomera-'^
There is

^scaVp

fajidito maintain prosperity, and

—

as

same

to discuss the

,

that .isn't!

now

to

record

on

|

iThey

incensed

^

man.

program.

at-Tru-

j
iciyii rights:!

are,

of

wages,

short,

•

Carlisle

ables

"

men

the

as

astute

Hague at least kept their
mouths shut. However, under the
of

the

recent

.boom,

even

he

joined

those

on

•statement

chance.

that

This

Eisenhower

spoke

out

record

with

Truman

'

.

make

cannot be minimized.

man

posed
sible

for

dent

It had been

their

that

father

and

hand

and

the
at

the

as

bona

fide dele¬

This is what happened in

gation.

famous

Taft-RoosOvelt

set-to

Chicago in 1912.
That this

denced

by

Hague's

the plan was evi¬

was

the

appointment

"man,"

Congresswoman

Mary Norton of New
chairman

of

of

the

Jersey,

credentials

as

com¬

mittee.

They don't make any more
practical politicians than she.
So

it

dous
who

was

matter

a

importance
had

>

been

of

tremen¬

when

Hague,
along with

going

Truman, threw in the sponge. The
Eisenhower boom went into high
His

gear.

the

nomination

seemed

on

way.

Then he pulled the rug out from
under the boys.
More than two-

thirds of the so-called Democratic

party

and

practically all of the
left looking silly.
is amazing that the general

leaders
It

are

let the movement in his behalf go
so far.
He may not have felt it

incumbent
another

public

he

But

did.

him

upon

to

statement

he

could

find the occasion to speak on
certain subjects later is interest¬

told

In

this period that he
nitely not available.
As

it

festly

these

was,

got

some

defi¬

was

people mani¬
of

form

encour¬

agement.
It

It

was

seems

would

not

to

a

me

have

pretty

spectacle.

that the

General

been

check.

Don't

extent

of

his

to

a

take

people

were

attitude

that

these

highly honoring him

and to express

his gratitude. They
were simply
using him to knife in
the back his " former commander-

which

were

tionary

soft-pedaling

eign policy

the

for¬

Republic of Haiti Bonds
Called for Redemption

regally than have these

people for the past 15
difficult

for

a

man

years.

of

It is

Eisen¬

hower's stature to consider it an
honor that they should turn to
him to bail them out.
•

Secondarily in the Eisenhower

movement, and giving it the im-




How

has

the

we

inflationary

are

the end of that infla¬

come

for

since

all

the

July 15, 1957, that, through opera¬
tion of the sinking
fund, $327,270

war.

of

these

tificates
the

will

Office

be

made

a

risen

from

6£

June

practical
were

of

1946

purposes

the

of

Port-au-Prince,

„

at

or

when

price

111

the

banks

new

of

were

it

The

per¬

were

pre¬

only slightly i
in

was

1937

8.6%

of

and,
the

national income last year.
Those are the basic considera¬
tions and facts upon which I think

might agree before undertak¬
ing this discussion. Tlow the prob¬
we

lem before
in

what

us

is what ingredients

proportions

will

make

this cake called prosperity last so
that we can eat it and still have

Question Is Vital
This

discussion

far

transcends

the question of who or what group
is right or wrong. The question to
which

have

we

been

addressing

ourselves is vital not just to labor,
not just ot the manufacturer, not

just to the

coupon clipper,
It is
to the preservation of the
private enterprise system and be¬

vital

yond that to the preservation of
that way of life which emphasizes
individual freedom and the dig¬
nity of the human personality.
If
the

American system of personal
freedom, political liberty and pri¬
vate enterprise cannot outperform
the

other

systems
which
have
nearly to dominate the
then we shall all be en¬
in some kind of planned
totalitarianism. That is why main¬
taining prosperity is such an im¬
portant problem.
come

very

world,
gulfed

I

do

not

know whether all

the

members of this panel will agree
on

a

program which

slow

down

and

will at least

which

the

Presum¬

one.

which is

ARE

TO

PLEASED

ANNOUNCE

THAT

MR. ARCHIBALD

(JACK) vK. ROSE

without

removed

unfilled

a

IS

NOW

ASSOCIATED

WITH

US

IN

OUR

large backlog both

wants

and

of

money

savings which they had aecumu
lated during the war. When con

NEW

YORK

TRADING

DEPARTMENT

the

removed

pent-up
demand, supported as it was by
high level of current income and
a backlog
of liquid savings, was
*

were

turned loose in

a

market in which

scarcity and shortage

was

the rule

Prices rose,

Commercial In¬
a

a

''Statement by Dr. Neal before
iorum at the Summer Institute

subsidiary. of C. I. T.^ Financial pf/ ! Social
.

Profits

and

cre¬

real wages began
has joined Commercial Investment fall, wages were increased, and
Trust Incorporated as. Assistant despite
the rapid
increase
in
Vice-President in the bank rela¬

"

discovered

WE

incomes and

bankers,

Corp.

1929,
than it

money

sufficient appreciation of the fact
that 140 million people had high

the

Incorporated is

as

which

were

v.,

controls

cer¬

A. Perry
Waterman, for many
years associated with A. G. Becker
& Co., Inc., investment

Trust

never

the part of labor, business, and
When the war ended

trols

vestment

in

that

consumers.

head office of its New York
agent,
National City Bank of New

tions department.

below

to pay for
part of the cost of waging the

on

Fiscal' Agent,

Haiti,

same

During the war, prices were held
down by government controls and
.by patriotism and self-restraint

either

at

income

The per¬

it.

65 points

removed.

the

I

bonds

bond

that

behest of the Government in

ating this

amount

is

129

cents, more- than
100%. A large proportion of the
increase in prices and wages has

controls

.

have

about

the wartime ratio.

1940.

hourly earnings of indus¬
workers

of

price.

a

centage of profits in the national
vailed

prices

to

is

income

process

cents

form

a

as

.before the war, although be¬

low

higher

far

as

doing their patriotic duty at the

Commercial Inv. Trust

more

ex¬

neces¬

associated—we

process.

Haiti Internal Loan (5%) series A
bonds and bond certificates, due

2re

lived

I

of the institution with

am

emphasize

Banque Nationale de la Republique d'Haiti, as fiscal, agent, is
notifying holders of Republic of

A. P. Waterman Now With

frantic in the realization

at
not

now.

trial

on

may

stop

unhealthy inflationary spiral
now
whirling us around.
high enough and not
saving ably it is the pay for the things I think, however, that we should
which
the people
who receive
enough during the war.
We fi¬
give serious consideration to the
nanced too large a
part of the profits do.' The proper measure following
principles:
war on the basis of a credit ex¬
is not the percentage increase in
(1) There can be no lasting
pansion arising from the purchase total
profits before or after taxes, benefit to the people of this coun¬
of government securities by the
a
continuation of the
nor is it the percentage increase try from
commercial banking system with
(Continued on page 35)
newly created money. I want to in the ratio of profits to sales, noi

issue.

plunderbunders this country has
experienced in my time and who
now

opinions

ing the price for not raising taxes

too far now, or
Daddy will spank. I wouldn't be
surprised if it didn't work to the
go

the greatest

that their racket is .coming* to an
end. No despots in any land have

I

not yet at

York.

Z Mainly they

In my

process.

press-are my own and not

The

in-chief.

in the middle

are

the

:

ment of the bonds and

of

name.

It is

nominees.

the

use

is

How Far Inflation?

of

little ridiculous for him

continued

We

inflationary

an

opinion—and

and
bond 'certificates have been
called by lot and will be redeemed
at 100% on
July 15, 1948. Pay¬

the

It

would

percentage point rise
^'The inflationary process arises
The
in wholesale prices occurred after
Republicans deliberated .in
the [because people want to buy more
light of, what the General might
June, 1946. 36 points of the 70
goods than are available at exist¬
do or say.
The p r o p a g a nd a ing prices and furthermore
they percentage point increase in con«t
sumer prices occurred after June
throughout the meeting, appar¬ have the
money to back up their
1946. And almost 21 cents of the
ently authentic, was that if either desire to buy. Our friend
repre¬
66 cents increase in average hourly
Taft, Bricker or Joe Martin be¬
senting the NAM will, I am sure
came
the nominee he would feel
point out that logically, therefore earnings occurred after mid-1946
it
incumbent
upon
himself
to we must increase the production
Some of you may wonder why
warn"
the
country.
This un¬ of the things that people are able I do not carry through with sta¬
questionably was a potent argu¬ and. willing to
buy in order tc tistics showing what profits have
ment against these three men.
keep prices from rising higher done in this same period. I shoulc
Now, seemingly it is the Gen¬ This would be
altogether desir¬ like to, but in truth there is nc
eral's intention to shape the.con^,
able. However, when we explore measure of profits comparable tc
met of the
campaign. Dewey has the origins of this
inflationary the measures of prices and wages
said
the
foreign policy of the process we find that the
principal which I have given. The price oi
Administration will certainly be
impetus to higher prices arose a package of cigarettes or a bar
?n issue.
The global thinkers and
from an expansion in the- supply of soap can be measured. The pay
spenders had hoped this would of
for a given hour of work of s
money and of money income5
not be the case. It is a
thing that ; which provide the wherewithal given kind can also be measured.
can't stand full discussion,
What
is the measure of profits
to bid up prices. The truth of the
Presumably Eisenhower would matter is, we are now and have comparable to the measure o;'
like to keep the
Republicans in been for the last three years pay¬ prices and wages? Frankly I have

fully justified
weeks ago to express his resent¬ principal
ment at

we

wages

income

erage

of

before

those who communicated with him

uncorrected.

possible that

and

rather than

was

have

gone so far?
Wholesale
have risen by 111% from
1939 to April of 1948, or to more
than, double the prewar level.
Consumer prices have risen dur¬
ing the same period by 70%. Av¬

V:^-; sarily "those

;

would

have been any better off than
are

percentage of return

centage of wages in the national

fundamental

inflation-

of

causes

the

recent past.

Eisenhower's statement that he

make

have

reconveradd that

hope I shall get the discussion
off on the right foot
by reviewing
what has been
happening in the

may

Vice-Presidential

hasten to

I

V-J, Day,

chasing

I

f

committee

are

perity.

he inherited from that father.

could 1 -His shadow hung over; the Re¬
simply be denied their seats in publican convention.
It had ;'a
the convention.
Rump delegations bearing on the
Presidential^ and

hastily organized
recognized by the credentials

Neal

ward in the spiral may not be the
one which results in
lasting pros¬

,

.they

could have been

C.

A.

that

upper

prices
profits

wages,

except their father.
ironic thing is that most
trouble is due to the mess

being

since

remained

im¬

his

the

sion period.

least

each other up¬

...

war

cies followed during the

present
for¬
mula in which

:

ting

are

Presi-

today

nanced the
(

afraid that the

Truman's cockiness ing..
Apparently he is determined
getting the nomination to have some influence ?in the
came from the realization
thatAi| campaign. He has already had
the dissentients seemed to
be getr some.,
about

many

people

the

of his

is

the

investment, all of which have
fundamentally been variously cited as
being
which we fi- comparable with prices and
wages.
and from the poli- I will
say this much about profits

also, had the government controls been
from tnis tine maintained
through the period

country as his
No_ one is respon¬

Truman's

pro-

It

it

in

way

clear,

the

upon

running mate.

And

it

whom

the

is

derives

the

from

brought

gram.

profits increased also. Ir,
the
current
inflationary

process

to

into

activities of .the Roosevelt
'iney have turned against

uoya.

the

no

The importance of
Hague step¬
ping out from under the President
assumed

the

the

had

to

seems

and

unanimous.
-

to

'

Frank

spell

at all.

vari-

need

be

hope, before;
The-picture of this great debaVthe trek to cle, the complete collapse of the
Philadelphia, so-called Democratic party would
got underway.: not be complete without pointing
But such

Bargeron

'

'

any; tered

eco-

nomi'c

them: why, the GeneraL should;be flat-

Jw i t h

out of current in¬

budgetary surplus.

a

-

whatever

theref fect that;
Sd we had the - spectacle of these
Truman'. can't\ twd, diametrically «oppo*sed groups!;wi.n! There
j mpying together in their eomihon
'.were
few, if; misery. It is difficult to see just
any

in national income is
Holds it vital to end inflation

wages

1940.

us to
make, sure that we are all. talking
thing. ' From the title assigned to us it is clear that it was intended for
question of what formula determines prosperity in terms of wages prices
profits,
and*
/,
^
'

,

;

and (3)

other

^

,«

,

or

It is well at the outset of this discussion for

,

about the

1 y a the
Philadelphia conclaveVap-i
•leader qf: the,:proached^ a re the So uthermbolt-'
e

ers.

of Boston

(1) increased production; (2) less spending

come;

j petus. it en joyed, as - the time vf or •

aggregationi

Prosperity?

ALFRED C. NEAL*

still below level in 1929

are

urges:

succeeded in bringing together such a

never

'

tion.

J|f®|By

Vice-President, Federal Reserve Bank

Whatever chances Mr. Truman had for
reelection—undoubtedly!
certainly been destroyed on the eve of the so-called
Democratic conclave.
I say so-called Democratic because-Barnum at'

height of his career

;

Pointing out inflation spiral is continuing, Dr. Neal finds percentage of

-slim—have
the

7

Wages, Prices, Profits—What Formula

By CARLISLE BARGERON

-

(103)

-i

Washington

Ahead of the News

'

&

i

Progress,

Mass., June 29, 1948.

Wellesley

MACKUBIN, LEGG & COMPANY
ESTABLISHED
MEMBERS

NEW YORK

NEW YORK CURB

BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE

1899

STOCK

EXCHANGE

STOCK

f.'

•

EXCHANGE

(ASSOC.)

EXCHANGE

NEW

YORK

8

(104)

THE

Status of Fuel Oil

COMMERCIAL

Pointing out

race

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Availability

By JOHN W. BO AT WRIGHT *
General

&

,

,

Dealer-Broker Investment

,

Manager, Distribution Economics Dept., Standard! Oil Co. of Indiana

Recommendations and Literature

between expanding demand and oil industry's effort to increase supplies is still nip
petroleum supplies will be tight for next 10 months. Notes shift from

It is understood that the

and tuck, Mr. Boatwright predicts

coal to oil for energy,

and

send

to

stock-piling of coal for national security and relief of growing demand

urges

Thursday, July 8, 1948

firms mentioned will be pleased
parties the following literature:

interested

for oil.

Today I shall discuss briefly what is happening in the petroleum supplies field, then
problems apparent in the total energy requirements market/ arid then present a
brief review of recent happenings in the fuel oil burner market. From these brief
reviews,
conclusions

held

The Economics Advisory Commit¬
tee to the Interstate Oil Compact

interpretation

Commission

of the market.

does

not

supply, but it does give

sider first the

to

essary

meet

reduction

an

esti¬

anticipated

supplied
by coal means
that oil and natural gas output has
absorbed

mands.

supply

This

tion.

Are

the

ucts

John

W. Boatwright

thus

Both

be

would

growth

brought to the market

was

creates

both

social

The

estimating

needed.

agencies

oil

all

and

processor,

1,

Ont.,

try—Study—Goodbody & Co., 115
Broadway, New York 6, N. Y.
Also
dum

available

on

others

is

Niagara

Corp., and
Opinion.

using

Laboratories,

Voorhis

&

Co.,

Inc.

•—

K a 1 b,
Broad Street,

appraisal
25

—

New York 4, N. Y.

a

leaflet

a

of

Power

Market

ment

Electric

Co.—Memo¬

1, Texas.

memoran¬

Hudson

Paso

randum—Rauscher, Pierce & Co.,
Mercantile Bank Building, Dallas
Also

available

circulars

are

on

Ideal Cement Co., Southern Union
Gas Co., Southwest Gas Produc¬

ing Co., and Time, Inc.

Insurance Stocks: Basic Invest¬
Characteristics

Mid

recog-

Mont

El

eco¬

nomic problem arises from the
termination of conditions wherein
the

Toronto

Cigarette Manufacturing Indus¬

industry sought a market
Co., Inc., 67
for its fuel oils» on a
by-product York
parently indicate that both esti¬ basis.
5, N. Y.
Today the home owner, the
mating agencies felt that at least
diesel
operator,
the
industrial
this

situa¬

supplies of pe¬
troleum prod¬

estimate

shift

Building,

Du

Investment

Canada.

tremendous

This close concurrence would ap¬

Its

approximately

95% of
increased energy
requirements of the nation.

the

Circular—Schaefer, Miller & Co.,
15 Broad Street, New York 5, N.Y.

ratio of require¬

and economic problems.

de¬
10.3%.

petroleum

in the

ments

estimate

mate of the minimum supply nec¬

con¬

us

in¬

availability of 10.2%
during the first half of 1948 com¬
pared with the first half of 1947.

the

Let

an

of

crease

the

to

Bank

of

Bureau of Mines estimated

nec¬

essary

crude

in excess of 80% of our total en¬
oil, natural ergy requirements.
Today coal
gasoline, benzol and imports, the supplies approximately 45%. This

be

to

including domestic

Companies-i-14th edition
comparative brochure — Coch¬
ran,
Murray & Hay, Dominion

production

as

minimum

Com¬

of

most

will

and

surance

'

justified. The
statistical de¬
tail

Preferred

Stocks considered eligible for
investment by Canadian Life In¬
mon

of the market,

I shall attempt
to draw such

appear

Canadian

,

review

Geyer &
Street, New
—

Wall

Fifth

Avenue

*

Corp.—Cir¬

cular—Seligman, Lubetkin & Co.,
41
Broad
Street, New York 4,
New York,
/
„

Also

Year Outlook —Discussion

Of business

500

?

,»

available

Graham-Paige

data

are

Motors

and

on

Ten¬

activity and economic

fuel oil now compete with each
nessee Products & Chemical Corp.
in 1948 equal to or
events and their possible future
greater | nized that a greater expansion of other and with the
gasoline con¬
than was anticipated?
In what supply than of demand was necdevelopment — Bache & Co., 36
sumer for an adequacy of
Fox
Metal
Products Corpora¬
supplies. Wall
way has demand changed?
Is it essary to restore industry stocks The obvious
Street, New York 5, N. Y.
tion
answer
is that the
Memorandum — Frank
<X
behaving about as was expected? from the low levels reached at
home owner, the diesel operator,
Moore & Co., 42 Broadway, New
Does the
Natural Gas Pipe Lines — An¬
inter-relationship of sup- the end of the year. Our carry¬ and others using the
York 4, N. Y.
previously
Ply and demand during the early over stocks were low because in¬
alysis of status of industry — H.
classified by-product fuel
must
part of 1948 indicate that thus far ventories had been pulled down
Hentz & Co., 60 Beaver
Street,
bid up the price paid for these
Gary
Railways, Inc. — Memo¬
the oil
New York 4, N. Y.
industry has properly adr sharply in 1947 and some restora¬ fuels Ho
where they equal the
randum—Collett & Co., Fletcher
Vised the American
public, the tion had to be provided.
value to the refiner for production
Trust Building, Indianapolis, Ind.
burner industry, the diesel. in¬
New York City Bank StocksAgain taking actual data for the

far

—

dustry, the farmers, and all others
of what

might be expected?

The Bureau of
Mines, on March
25, 1948, issued its forecast of

probable total U. S.
demand, do¬
exports, for the year

mestic plus
1948.
That

agency expected the
demand for the fouaf major prod¬
ucts—gasoline, kerosene, i*esidual
distillate

and

fuels—to

increase

of gasoline. This is happening and,
first three months as published
Quarterly comparison of 19 stocks
as we all know,
during the past
by the Bureau of Mines, estimates winter when
—Laird,
Bissell
&
Meeds,
120
supplies of fuel oils
for the next two months based on
Broadway, New York 5, N. Y.
were tightest,
some opportunists
.American
Petroleum
Institute's
in the oil industry charged even
Railroad Developments
reports, and my estimates for
Leaf¬
more than this,
\
let of current developments in the
June, it would appear that the
The shift of demand also creates
oil industry will achieve an ex¬
industry—Yilas & Hickey, 49 Wall
a
social problem of tremendous
pansion of supplies of 9.9% during
Street, New York 5, N. Y.
the first six months; of 1948. No¬ significance. The energy needs of
this nation are being supplied in¬
tice
that even- this
rentarkable
Realty Bond Price Averages—
creasingly from a source with
growtly'jJ^ieVement is -slightly more limited potentialities and by Index of 200 issues—Amott, Baker
& Co., Inc., 150
below estimated minimum needs
Broadway, New
a fuel that fights wars and
propels York 7, N. Y.
based5 on the (estimated demand.
of

0.4

the demand would be
percentage point behind
slightly
higher for these products during the needs as estimated, and the
this time period. That Committee demand is running approximately
estimated that demand would be IV2 percentage points over that
7.7% higher than during 1947.
foreseen. However, the oil indus¬
try has achieved a greater growth
Now let us see what has

hap¬

pened.

Take

the

first

months' actual experience

lished
the

the Bureau

by

next

two

three

months

pub¬

as

of

Mines,

estimated

from data supplied by the Ameri¬
Petroleum Institute, and, for

can

the month of June, my estimate,
and we have a preliminary ap¬

praisal of demand behavior for
the first half of 1948. The results
were:
Estim. Incr. Over

,

Product

1st 6 Mos. of 1947

Gasoline

7.8%

_

Kerosene

10.4

-

Distillates

18.0

Residual A.-

3.6

-

a

(9.9%) than the expansion of de¬
mand
(8.7%).
Stocks of crude
and products therefore have im¬
proved over last year but they
have not as yet improved as much
or at as great a rate as the need
estimated by oil industry econo¬
mists.
So

clude

far, I believe it fair to con¬
that the oil industry har

properly advised the public con¬
cerning petroleum supplies. The
race
between expanded demand
and the oil industry's effort to
provide increased supplies is still
nip and tuck. The race is not
won,
but some gain has been

8.7%

The demand for the four prin¬
petroleum
products
will
show an increase of approximately

cipal
8.7%
of

over

1947.

percentage
mates

1V2
in

the

This

first
is

points

above

anticipated

over

referred

percentage

demand

six

either

over

sounds

or

the

IV2

esti¬

to.

points
that

months

1

increase

which

like

a

was

very

close

approximation. Actually, it
economy where the sup¬
ply side of the market has excess
capacity. In an economy, how¬
ever, where the supply side of the
market has exerted every possible
effort, a difference of this magni¬
tude becomes of real significance
is in

as

it

an

can

well

mean

dislocations

of

supply, unless the petroleum
industry has been able to achieve

expansion
requirements.

"*n

over

the anticipated

still

There

achieved.

Avg. Four Products

for:
Continuing

appears

(a)

American

to

Turning

advise

to
of

consumer

the

petroleum

readily available
at the present

no

Coal

stage of scientific and economic
development cannot propel the

planes, the automotive and diesel
transportation arid the tractors. A
tremendous,
expanding
market
must be supplied
by petroleum
there

and

is

no
readily available
This fact must be rec¬
y '
1 ,* >

substitute.

ognized.

.

I have taken data

published by
the Department of Commerce on
coal production, petroleum, natu¬
ral
gasoline, and water power.
Each of these has

for

1948

mates

and

been

These

1949.
then

were

estimated

esti¬

converted

British thermal units.

to

to the supply side
Boatwright

meeting of National Heating
Association, Chicago,
111., June 28, 1948.
a

Wholesalers




Railway—

Barney &
Co., 14 Wall Street, New York 5,
New

York.

sis, if the energy requirements of
the country continue to reflect a
close

correlation

conditions,
in

as

industrial

with

has

been

the

past, then there need be
apprehension concerning the

nation's ability to meet its energy

(b) Continuing mightiest efforts
the part of the oil industry tc
bring greater and greater supplies
to the market;
on

the

To do so, however,

increased

quired.

of

load

Television—Review and analy¬
Hirsch
&
CO., 25 Broad
Street, New York 4, N. Y.

sis

fuel

#

troleum

(c)
Avoiding over - optimistic
estimates about adequacy of pe¬
supplies for all possible

wants.

but

Actually, in spite of an amazing
expansion of the petroleum indus¬
try in a period of steel shortage
the
supply-demand relationship

(a) The Haifa refinery was
processing approximately 90,000

American

Company
der

must continue

to show considerabel improvement before we car

the satisfaction of all pos¬
sible desires. As it is, petroleum
assure

supplies will probably continue
be tight during the next ten

to

months at least.

Eastern

It has

day.

a

the

conflict started.

Near

This

in

greater demand upon the West¬
ern Hemisphere, which means ei¬
will

be

diminished.

in Total Energy
Requirements

Now let

look

briefly at the
problem of total energy require¬
ments.

Consider

sources

ments

1918.

us

in
In

of

our

the

the

shift

energy

United

that year,

in

or

that

States

since

coal supplied

effect, how¬

readily be

an

im¬

pact upon the American economy
of almost

90,000 barrels of petro¬

leum

day.

the

require¬

net

per

troleum

The domestic

industry

(Continued

&

Foundry

Circular—A. M. Kid¬

Co.,

1

Wall

Street,

New

N. Y.

American

Woolen

Company,

&

Co., 52 William
York 5, N. Y.

Street,

New

Associated
Transport,
Inc. —
Memorandum—Homer
O'Connell
&

Co., Inc., 25 Broad Street, New
4, N. Y.

York

Bird & Son, Inc.—Memorandum
New York Hanseatic Corpora¬

tion, 120 Broadway, New York 5,
N. Y,

Central

A.

Illinois

Public

Service

Memorandum—Wil¬

—

Fuller

&

Co., 209 South
La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111.
Also available

are

data

on

Wis¬

consin Power and Light Company.

cannot

on page

& Co., 105 West Adams
Street, Chicago 3, 111.

Hydraulic

Press

Brick

Co.—

Jarnel
E.

Lumber

Co.

—

Data

—

W.

Hoy, 110 East 42nd Street,
New York 17, N. Y.
Also available is information

City

of

Point Pleasant, W.
Flood Wall Revenue Bonds.

on

Va.
1

Kingsburg Cotton Oil Co.—Data
—Leason & Co., 39 South La Salle

Street, Chicago 3, 111.
Lakeside

Laboratories,

Inc.

—

Detailed analysis for dealers only
—Loewi & Co., 225 East Mason

Street, Wilwaukee 2, Wis.
Also

available

International

is

circular

a

on

Cellucotton.

pe¬

Marine Midland Corp.—Analysis
-Paine, Webber, Jackson & Cur¬
tis, 25 Broad Street, New York 4,
N. Y.

Metal

Forming

Current

bulletin

Corporation

—

First

Colony
Corporation, 52 Wall Street, New
York 5, N. Y.
—

Michigan Chemical Corp.—Data
—Prescott &

Co., Guardian Bldg.,
Cleveland 14, Ohio.
Muter

Co.

Memorandum

—

—

Hicks & Price, 231 South La Salle

Connecticut Railway & Lighting

Co.—Circular—Bittner, Edelmann
&

Co., 80 Broad Street, New York
4, N. Y.

Old

Ben

Coal

Corporation—Il¬

lustrated brochure giving
13-year
analysis—Comstock
&
Co.,
231
South La Salle
Street,

Chicago 4.

Continental Baking Company—

Analysis

Outlook—Eastman,
Dillon &
Co., 15 Broad Street,
New York 5, N. Y.
Also

;S'.

Illinois.

■

*>

.

.

1

£v-

and

available

are

analyses

of

Parker
circular
31 Milk

Appliance Company —
du Pont, Homsey
Co.,
Street, Boston 9, Mass.
—

Paramount Pictures, Inc., Rail Di¬
visional

Liens,

Southwest

Gas

Producing Company, Inc.

absorb

39)

R. Hoe & Co., Inc.—AnalysisAdams

Street, Chicago 4, 111.

the United

increased

The

ever; can very

—

Machine

.

di¬

supplies of petroleum
products for Europe, which results

ther that exports from

Street, Chicago 3,

120

Inc.—Circular—Emanuel, Deetjen

minishes

States

&

York 5,

liam

since

down

i'fi

Corp.,

Company

few of them.

shut

s*i

Broadway, New York 5, N. Y.

re¬

ready to absorb any abnormal im¬
pact on the total energy availabil¬

been

—

Air Products, Ins. — Circular—
New York Hanseatic

It will also have to stand

barrels of crude oil

Salle

Illinois.

ration, 100 Broadway, New York Circular—Dompsey-Tegeler & Co.,
St. Louis 1, Mo.
5, N. Y.

ity of the nation. What are some
of these possible impacts?
They
are
infinite.We shall consider
a

South La

case

the

requirements.

Heyden Chemical Corp.—Circu^
G.
Becker
&
Co., 120

lar—A.

Tax Exempt Income — Memo¬
randum—The First Boston Corpo¬

On this ba¬

imports into this country will be

*An address by Mr.
*t

which there is

substitute.

coal will have to take its share of

conserve;

Side of Market

now

certain forms of transportation for

no

every reason

Shift

Supply

c

Northern

—

by 7.2% during the first hSlf- Of
1948.
The
Economics. Advisory
Committee to the Interstate Oil
Compact Commission anticipated Supplies of petroleum are running
that

Great

Memorandum—Smith,

Philip Morris & Co. Ltd., Inc.—
Memorandum—Sutro Bros. & Co.,
120

Delaware

Rayon

Company

—

Broadway, New York 5, N. Y.
(Continued on page 36)

Volume

THE

Number 4714

168

COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

Outlines Steps Toward Currency Stabilization and
Multilateral Payments
High official of International Monetary Fund

stable international exchange until Western Europe f
eliminated. Lists major steps required to enable
European exports to compete successfully in world market*
sees no

is restored and its deficit in international payments

v

A

high executive official of the International Monetary Fund, who does not wish his
identity to be revealed, recently commented on the European payments problem and the
j present impasse in seeking to restore stable convertibility and transferability of the lead¬
ing currencies of the world.; Despite the efforts and work of the International Monetary
Fund, he did not foresee any achievement toward international currency stability, until
Europe takes measures to prevent a wave of new inflation.
"The

European
obviously not in

are<S>

countries

position

a

to

have their currencies made freely
transferable now," the official re¬
marked.

the

"The

balance

war

of

has impaired

payments of the
countries of Eu¬

major trading
rope with the rest of the world.

tions

on

and by

transactions,

exchange

discrimination in interna¬

tional trade and payments.
less

a

new

and

Un¬

manageable

in¬

vertibility, one must first make
convertibility possible.

system of multilateral payments,
There

is

French

no

use,

we

as

primary responsibility for
taking the measure necessary to
ments

ity,

there

without

that

is

just

their

international
with

rests

the

world

European

"The

While they
reasonably expect external
the cooperation of other
countries, it is they alone that can
put into effect the national meas¬

crease

may

for

expanding

basic problem is to in¬
production in Europe. Ag¬
production in Western

Europe in 1947
only

the

that

production

of

was

far below not

level

prewar

recent

establishing fi¬
nancial stability that will enable

bad
harvests account for much of the
deterioration
of
European pay¬

them

ments

and trade and for

to

compete

in

world

trial

of

the

Hemisphere. The
Europe must take

of

10%

increase their production; second,
use more

of their

other

dustrial

major steps: First, they must

in they must

progress

the

Western

countries

during the past year.
On
hand, Europe's indus¬
recovery has made remark¬

able

mar¬

kets, particularly in the markets

It has

pro¬

since the

production

„

•

to

conver-

now

reached approximate¬

no

hope for

workable

a

acting.

it

preach

To restore con¬

could have been reached in 1947

Hemisphere; and fourth, I might
well

have

-

said

first,

(Continued

must

they

on page

of the war. They
important part of
th^f Ijf^^r^nings^from
ices

of

an

various

kinds.

The

and -dislocation

of

de¬
war

\ have made of Europe

a deficiency
dependent upon an imsurplus: from the: Western
f Hemisphere.
Furthermore,
the
4
sharp rise in prices since the fend,

economy

I

port

of the

has magnified consid¬

war

erably their balance of payment
deficit. Europe has carried through
since the end of the war largely
result of aid from the United

as a

-States

and Canada, some use of
the International Bank and
Fund,
and
by very heavy drafts on

monetary reserves.
The internal
tional payments of the countries
of Western Europe still show a
large deficit and their reserve po¬
is •? critical,
This ; is
the
problem that must be mei before

sition
a
'

system of multilateral payments

Can be restored.

"Just to indicate the magnitude
of the problems faced by Europe:
In
-

1947

the

countries

of

Western

Europe had a deficit in their bal¬
ance of payments aggregating $71/2
billion.

European payments with

the world

as

the Western

whole, other than

a

Hemisphere,

balance.

The

Western

were

in

Hemisphere,

dificit

with

the

therefore,
the magnitude of both
Europe's over-all payments prob¬
lem and its dollar problem. Some¬
how, during the next four years
the European economy must re¬
duce its dependence on imports
measures

and increase its

supplies of exports
and services by an aggregate of
$7^ billion; and this must be
done in terms of dollar

payments

and receipts.

"One of the

major purposes of
the European Recovery Program
is to give the countries of Eu¬

opportunity to complete
the rebuilding of their economies
and
to
make
the
adjustments
necessary in their international

Cotton IsTheir BusinessfipHE name ANDERSON, CLAYTON & CO. has beI

almost

come

■*-

synonymous

with

"cotton".

With

headquarters in Houston, its domestic and foreign

branches,

subsidiaries,

cotton is grown

or

and

spun.

partnership in 1904/ and

agencies extend

The firm

now

is

a

was

wherever

founded

corporation.

as

a

For Europe itself, this
will require a tremendous change
in

its

and its relations
with the rest of the world. Europe
economy

will be more
fore the

food

war

and

raw

populated than be¬
and will need

To pay for
flow of imports, the vol¬
of exports from Europe may
a

ume

have

to

be

about

50%

world's largest merchandiser of raw cotton and the larg¬

Keeping

field', the

pace

with its growth in the merchandising

company

has added steadily to its cottonseed

oil mills and cotton warehouses both in this country and

abroad.
145

It presently owns

gins abroad;

2 vegetable

oil refineries in

the

task.

is

obviously

operative effort

on

than

in

the

gram.
>

aid

other

the

countries.

It

a

great

participating

States

and

will

world.
But it must be done. Un¬
less Europe succeeds in
restoring
its balance of payments the world
continue

to

be

unstable' currencies,

of its divisions oper¬

Subsidiaries

California.

branches also include

and

plagued

by




or

insurance company and a tex¬

Some of the subsidiaries in Latin America and

edible products such

cooking oil, and

which

an

one

finished products are

and cotton linters are

shortening

as

of them makes the cans In

marketed.

important

Oil seed cake

by-products.

Man's need for textiles ranks second only to his need

States

role in

and

10

abroad; these warehouses

are

equipped

Anderson, Clayton & Co. play an important

filling both of these primary needs by supplying

material for textiles^ and food in the form of fats

with 37 compress machines and have a total capacity of

raw

2,500,000 bales.

and feed for cattle.

table Securities

published for more than 10

years

by Equi¬

Corporation featuring outstanding industrial ay,d commercial

concerns

Equitable will welcome opportunities to contribute to the further

development of

the South

by supplying capital funds

to

sound

enterprises.

co¬

the Western
Hemisphere coun¬
tries, and of other regions of the

will

farm in

where yields are more

one

impossible

require
the good will and cooperation of

1

acre

and

difficult,

a

United

57,000

for food.

economic

European Recovery Pro¬
It will require extensive

from

a

States and 7 abroad. It owns 20 warehouses in the United

to

the part of the

countries

ates

areas

areas,

greater

'

European

irrigated

84

United

in the Southern states.

believe, a not
It will require

some

16 cottonseed oil mills and

gins in the United States, and 16 oil mills and

proportionately greater
other regions, v
I

in

Egypt manufacture

This is another advertisement in the series

"This

duction

assumed than in other

tile mill.

est worldwide crusher of cottonseed.

than before the war; and the in¬
crease in exports will have to be

but

Accessory to its cotton merchandising and cottonseed

milling activities, Anderson, Clayton & Co. finances pro¬

more

materials from the

Western Hemisphere.

such

The World Their Market

It is the

rope an

payments.

by
restric-

In¬

about

duction in export; third,

consequence

struction

war.

was

greater in 1947 than in 1946.

♦

lost

even

The

sold a great part of
-their
foreign
investments
and
they have incurred large debts as
a

but

years.

*

is

They have

have

.

n

ricultural

and

ures

;;•/

Increased Production

countries themselves.

aid

markets.

pay¬

they must ly the prewar" level., Probably an
convertibil¬ emphasize exports to the Western even higher > level of production

slang, de beler la

tibilite, to 'bleat' the

ternational balance is established,

say

currency
and
financial
policies that will enable their ex¬
ports to compete successfully in

"The

restore

9

pursue

'

four

:

(105)

NASHV I LIE

DALLAS
K NOX VI LLE

T7 ATTTTV A ;T? TrT7

JC/

W.

BIRMINGHAM
NEW
M

E

ORLEANS
M

P H

I

S

U XX/x|D

Securities

NEW

YORK

HARTFORD
CHATTANOOGA
G REENSBORO

AN

Corporation

D

JACKSON. MISS.

BROWNLEE O. CURREY, President.
322 UNION STREET/ NASHVILLE

3, TENN.

TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK 5,

N. Y.

39)

-

1

10

COMMERCIAL

THE

(106)

six months ended May

Mill!! Illinois:: Brevitie

On

15-year 6% convertible sinking fund debentures due May
Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc., being the unsubscribed

debentures

The

holders.

will

used

be

bank

to

$250,000

repay

approxi¬

expend

to

loans,

were] the' Sumter,

The net proceeds

ville

due

eral

Bacon,

Whipple

corporate purposes..;

Becker & Co. Ine.;

underwriting;
by Lehman
Brothers, New York, and Straus
&; Blosser, Chicago, offered to;
the
public
300,000
shares of

:

|

analysis

and

$16.75
per share. Other Illinois bank¬
ers'.participating in this offer¬
ing' were: Bacon, Whipple &;
Co.;
William > Blair
&
Co.;
Brailsford & Co.; Central Re¬

interested In->

to

financial *

vestment dealers and other

'

Institutions on request.
t, maintain

We

J.

Coal

-

)

and

stock

invite

purchase

the

for

inquiries

<

scher

your

Co.

of

Chicago; Holley, Dayton

Gernon; Kebbon, McCormick

&

Co.; Link, Gorman & Co.;
Mason, Moran & Co.; Mullaney,
Wells & Co. and Sills, Minton &
&

Approximate Price 14

Of

Co.

COMSTOCK & Co.

300,060

the

Dempsey

certain

Another group

of underwriters

Gas-Co.

first

Income 5%—1952

On June 25,

Co.

headed

Halsey, Stuart s&;

a

of

group

invest¬

ment banking firms which miK-

licly

Mobile & Ohio RR. Co. collater¬

of

offered

al trust
101

$7,000,000

Gulf,

3%% bonds due 1968 at
interest.

and

share

previously

quarter.

Demp¬

>

Co., Inc.

Halsey, Stuart & Co. IncM also

over

that for the

due

corre¬

A

nation-wide

derwriters

Brailsford & Co.

Co.,

by

deemable
CG 95

(par

first

$25)

shares of Pa¬

5%

preferred

$26.50

at

&

publicly

cific Gas & Electric Co.

CHICAGO 4

un¬

Blyth

30

June

1,000,000

of

group

headed

Inc., on

offered

208 S. La Salle Street

9868

per

lowing Illinois
C.

—

Allyn

&

Co.,

ment

-5% Preferred
Common

lien

Collins

&

CO.;

*

Included

share

ment
on

lis

New

an

Tel. Dearborn 5G00

F,

10116

Farwell,

Co.,

&

&

Inc.,

to

in

weeks

last

gram.

21.2%.

Paul

*

•

V.

"

*

Galvin,

*

1

'

the

President

of

Motorola, Inc., reported that ?ales
for the six months ended

Serving Investment Dealers
We

specialize

exclusively

in

under¬

May 29,
1948 were nearly
$26,000,000, com¬
pared
with
$21,000,000 in : the
comparable periiod in the previ¬
fiscal year.

writing and distribution of securities,

ous

providing investment dealers with at¬

taxes

tractive issues for their clients.

$1,550,769, equal to $1.94

taining
own,

department -of
in

compete

we

dealers,

retail

no

but

Main¬

no

them

serve

our

with

way

ipon

and

Net profits, after
amounted to

reserves,

share,

per com-

against • $1,379,774,

as

exclusively.

Creased

F.

S.

T-

„

.

'

'

Central

increase of 38%

fiscal

ceding

over

income

•

Security Traders Association of
and
Michigan - Annual

In

July 16, 1948 (New York City)

year,

>

J,' *

'

*•

included,

Co.

;

others,

(Inc.);

;Kebbon, McCormick <& Co., Wil¬
Co. and Carter H.

Harrison & Co., on July 1, puby- 0700
'■■000.
'
:. >
r:0

Republic

tbarv $1); of

•;

Metals

at

$15

?.the jqejt proceeds toj be used to.
_»

{

;

«

*

Bond

*

underwriting

An

Mt.

joint Annua!

Sept. 10, 1948 (New York City)

Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner &

Beane,
among

and

Security Traders Association of

including,
others, Central Republic
jointly,

Co., and
15

The Illinois Co.

publicly
of

offered

and

150,-

properties of the

at
c

National Security Trader* AbbO-

Dec. 5*10, 1948 (Hollywood, Fla.)
Investment Bankers Association
1948 convention at the

Beach Hotel.,

company.

*

^

a

Hollywood

T

'

f!'*?

Utility

Common

Central

british:

Industrial

Paper

Common

|r- Ra ilroad

-

Detroit Harvester
'
,

;

r

Common

i/'-f

[

Portsmouth Steel
Common

;

south African

•

r

Municipal

-nut

—

Sold

—

Quoted

Disintegrating
Common

.

STRAUS & BLOSSER
Members

■

V- 'i

Bought

\

Metals

|i

BONDS —SHARES

;

New

York

Members

Chicago

Associate

Member

185 South La Salle
Tel. ANDover 5700

Stock

Stock
New

Exchange
Exchange

York

Curb

St., Chicago 8, Til.
>;

Tele. CO 650-651




AjCAIXSfN«®COMEANY f

zippin
: '

II .

-

NEW york
m

boston'
.

omaha

Incorporated

philadelphia

;y.;vv:

.

CHICAGO
milwaukee:

Kansas city

flint

minneapolis ;

0

.

,

elation Convention.

,

utility

gas

Outing

Nov.15-18, 1948 (Dallas, Tex.)

Montana-Dakota

electric

the

Summer

on

payment of the cost of additions
to

York

Travers Island, r;

Kebbon, McCormick

Co.- (Inc.),

shares

New

at $12.50 per share, the net
proceeds to be applied toward

SECURITIES

IBA

of

headed by Blyth & Co., Inc., and f

$5)

Chicago

Denver-Rocky

of

Club

Group

Party at Park Hill Country Club.

syndicate

Utilities Co. common stock, (par

INVESTMENT

Securities Admin¬

Aug, 27, 1948 (Denver, Colo.)

augment working capital.
•

of

istrators at the Multnomah Hotel

;

000

FLOYD D. CERF CO.

Annual Convention of National

Association

share,

per

r

July 19-22, 1948 (Portland, Oreg.)
i

stock

Permanentef

The

Corp.

offering of

annual

Toledo

of

Club.

banking

of capital

Club

buting at the Inverness Country

.nation-wide

a

investment

shares

600,000

Bond

Co.

participated

30

with

o*

group

f'0 - L*

group,

among

Republic

'^

June

on

firms, in the public

to

$68381,993, as
$55,587,819 in the

Central

together

I

sales in-

year,

(Inc.)

against

gain of
weeks.of

a

and

June

Public

f

at

addition, A. C. Allyn & Co.,

Inc.

&

Bowser

Lochmoore

at

Country Club, Grosse Point, Mich.

New York Curb Exchange Em¬
1948 amounted to $19,ployees Quarter Century Club946,638, as against liabilities of
Exchange dinner at Freeport, L. I.
$12,278,027.

!

corresponding

the

*

Party

Summer

April 30,

Co.

■

^

" '

Detroit,

the pre¬

Current assets

taxes.

STANY

for

(Detroit, Mich.)

July 13, 1948

year.
Net profit
$3,484,515 after all

tn

(Philadelphia,«Pal)

1948

Tournament

Cup at Philadelphia.

charges and Federal and Canadian

For-

Correspondence invited.

120 South La Salle Street

Golf

ended

year

C.

$11,706,615,

*

liam Blair &

fiscal

the

A.

were

Glore,

underwriting

which

July 9,

i

amounted

compared to
period last year;" '

An

Club, Haddouf ield, N. J.

Yantis &' Co., Inc.

During

an

Co.

Summer

Annual

Philadelphia

Outing at the Tavistock Country

Co., Mullaney, Wells & Co. and

at

same

.

of

July 16, 1948 (Toledo, Ohio)

fiscal

23.0%

Investment Traders Association

Martin, Burns

1981,

1,

In the first 24

current

July 9, 1948 (Philadelphia, Pa.)

share and dividends,

Corbett, Inc., Mason, Moran &

&

Jewel Tea Co.. Inc., sales in the
four weeks ended June 19, 1948

of

Party at Sleepy Hollow Club.

G. Becker & Co., Inc.;

Illinois Co.,

The

Bond Club of Louisville Annual

cumulative pre¬
(par
$100);
at

$

amounted

*;/w

$90,000,-

bon, McCormick &Co.
£

July 9, 1948 (Louisville, KyJ

Corp., Chicago, transacted a rec¬
ord volume of peacetime business
amounting to $79,406 133. This was

Co., Harris, .Hall, &

$9,662,432

Tele. CG 146

4%

per

weje: A.

(Inc.), The Illinois Co. and Keb■

Cleveland Security Traders AsBociation summer outing. ;

on

invest¬

3% bonds,

July

and interest,

Allyn
gan

due

which

April 30, 1948 the Zenith Radio

Telephone

refunding mortgage
series

in part, the Pacific; Gas
Company's
construction
pro¬

'

issue of

York

July 9, 1948 (Cleveland, Ohio)

V

the

among

$12,000,000 bank loans and to fiMembers of Chicago Stock Exchange

*

NTpS

each,

of Chicago

group

stock

$101.25

Bank

bankers publicly offering

June 30

000

Bacon,

nance,

209 S. La Salle Street * Chicago 4

of

proceeds

and for other corporate
*
" - /

purpose,

stock

proceeds will be used to retire

William A.Fullcr&Co.

net

National. Shawmut

re¬

Chapman & Co.; Harris, Hall &
Co.
(Inc.); The Illinois
Co.;
Kebbon, McCormick & Co. and
Mullaney, Wells & Co.
The net

—A—

a

EVE

j

-bankers

Co.

Light

including pay¬
of $1,000,000 of note issued

purposes,

Central Republic Co. (Inc.); Ju¬

'

1

❖

j;s

houses

Inc.;

pe¬

a s

COMING

j

publicly offered 80,000

ferred

company,

The

to

Co., Inc.; William Blair & Co.;

,

the

17

of Boston to obtain funds for such

Whipple & Co.; A. G. Becker &

Gamble-Skogmo, Inc.

1978,

utility

the participants: A.

were among

TRADING MARKETS

banking

>

Commander.

shares of Kansas City Power &

which will be applied toward fi¬

and accrued dividends. The fol¬

—

June

publicly offered $3,-

nancing construction costs of the

i v!i:*®#:; 0 n-00- ;!

Tel. State

24

first mortgage bonds, 3ys% series

•v'

i-,-

June

on

sponding period last year.

Common Stock

investment

-

*

Among the

.

paid

,

*

Co. and F. S. Yantis &

sey

1947 fiscal year. Income of $9,659,282 for the first six months of 1948

39%

war;

riod

Co., Rockford, 111., a subsidiary of
Keystone Steel & Wire Co., on
July 2 declared a regular quarterly dividend of 25 cents per
share on the capital stock, payable

500,000 Sierra Pacific Power Co.

was

Milwaukee Railway

60%

the

'

'

per

Included

this group were

among

approximately

he

during

July 15 to holders of record July
8. vThis compares with 20 cents;

sales for the first half of the

over

Chicago, North Shore &

of

served

.

company's properties.

April 30, 1948 of $140,060,707, an
increase

1942

which '

;;(Inc;);Julien "Collins
t!oV;f Since
January
Amesi' Emerich & Cdvlncy and:
of
1947
he
series due 1968, at 100.75% and
D. M. S. Hegarty
Rogers & Tracy, Inc. i The net
has
interest. Of the proceeds, $14 000,been
as¬
proceeds will be placed in Bene- ;
000 will be used to repay a like
sociated with Commercial Invest¬
ficial's general funds.
ment
amount of 1%% notes due 1949,
Trust, Incorporated, as a
*
*
*
and the remainder toward cost of
Vice-President.
The directors of National Lock
construction of additions to the

y.

Corp,

in

Navy
in

were:

Inc;;

ca¬

his joining the

Loan

A. G. Becker & Co.,;
Central
Republic
Co.

share

,

mortgage

in

similar

a

<

or¬

pacity prior to

preferred
stock, $4 dividend series of 1948 [
(without par value) at $100 per

::

pipe line sinking fund bonds, 3%

Deere! &Co., Moline, reports
Sales for the six months ended

Central Public Utility

Mr. 1

ganization

cumulative

Corp.

Col
Inc., on. Jiine>\24 '.qfferefl.to th?
public&$28,000,000.' ol " SohtiierAi

Industrial

Beneficial

of

where' he

was a

member of the

"

headqcl. by .Halsey, Stuart,

Natural

Hegarty

on

writing the offering to the pub¬
lic on June 23 of 100,000 shares

Co.;

Inc.,

underwriting

Included among those under-

;'

Illinois
&

Sons

Rollins

Patterson, Copeland & Kendall,*

#

#

The

&

activities.

subscrip¬

\Co'.;l

&

Wells

stocks.

closed

which

period

been

Vice-President of E. H.

a

Rollins

has

Hegarty

will devote his efforts to'corporate
b u y i n g and ;! s

June 29.

William Blair

Inc. and F. S. Yantis & Co., Inc.

selling stockholders.
*

tion

the

during

S.

M.

elected

of¬

were

D.

;

common

exercised

|

por¬

total of 152,654
shares "were

a

Hegariy V.-P.

Of E. H. Rollins & Sons

; rep- ?

208,260

preferred

w

Warrants- for

additional

*

Mullaney,

y 4.40 %

'

G.

ac¬

count and 100,000 for account

Dearborn 1S01

A.

Collins

Co.;

&

Co.;

the

Kerr-McGee

Teletype CG 955

Julien

Co.;

Co.;

of¬

shares

200,000
were
for
corporation's

fered,

CHICAGO 4, ILL.
231 So. LaSalle St.

(Inc.); Dixon BretInc.;
Farwell,

Noonan

Chapman & Co.; First Securities

sale.

or

stock (par $1.) at

public Co.

position in Old Ben

a

common

13

a

prepared by

has been

available

is

giving

brochure

Illustrated

year
us

an

headed

Kerr-McGee Oil Industries, Inc.
common

An

16,

and

financing were:'*
&

of

initially

shares which

April 1, 2003, at. 100% and;
interest. Also partici¬
this

shares

issue

new

a

D. M. S.

"

$25.12^)

$20). at

unsubscribed

the

of

com-

fered to holders of tne common

refunding

accrued

in

On June

•

Nash¬

&

and

pating

syndicate

CORPORATION

first

Segalock Fasteners, Inc. (a sub1
sidiary), and the balance for gen¬

&

OLD BEN COAL

RR.

offered

tion

mortgage 3%%, bonds, series H,i

of

plant

C.,

S.

publicly

% $30,000,000. Louisville

amount of-<S>
mately $300,000 for expansion of
subscription to stock

priced at par.

which

.

resent

of

shares

Corp.

share. •'These

per
-

*

55,606

Teicphone

stock (par

thon

i; i

July l, Halsey, Stuart &
a banking syn-

dicate

principal

for

fered

1, 1963 of
balance of

'

'

General

Co. Inc. headed

vestment bankers,

$2,000,000

'

Thursday, July 8, 1948

offered

licly

29, 1947.
_

.Floyd D. Cerf Co., Inc., Chicago, and a nation-wide group of in¬
on June 16 made a public offering of $1,943,800

CHRONICLE

$1.72 per common share, .for the

or

-

FINANCIAL

&

&

company

Specialists in Foreign Securities

\

208 S. La Salle St., Chicago 4, Illinois

Telephone Randolph 4696 £'V *

■

/00:0

Teletype CG 451

)

\

!

'Volume 168

Number* 4714

THE

COMMERCIAL

FRB Reviews and Forecasts

&

FINANCIAL

and forecast of
According to the article:

y

System, contains an
business and finance,

in

country have now been operating
ifor almost two years at practically
full capacity and under conditions
-of

Contending each succeeding generation will witness

greater international trade despite economic uncertainties, Mr. Prochnowr, after reviewing dependence of various nations on commerce, including U. S.,
asserts our dollars borrowed abroad must
eventually be expended Jin American markets. Holds we
waste our resources in exports unless we are wil ing to take raw materials
and finished goods in re¬
turn. Attaciks economic illiteracy. :

There is

reasonably wide agreement that world trade is essential to world stability.
requirements of world stability is that men should be able to ex¬
change the products of their skills, their energies, and their resources. A sensible utiliza¬

the past two
has

total

years and their cost
exceptionally low. The

been

tion

used

by business concerns
undoubtedly exceeded that of any

rising prices. Over-all business

/expenditures have been in record

previous

-volume. In part this has reflected

/the large

ing reliance

operating requirements
for inventories, customer financ¬
ing, and the day-to-day expenses
fthat are necessitated by an ex¬
ceptionally large volume of sales,

dollar amounts and percentage-?
wise, than in any other two-jyeai}
period on record.
"The financial position of
busi-f

programs under¬

taken

costs

at

rising

/increased facilities

to

—

provide

-plant

and

^equipment —to meet large postWar demands.

on

—

natural

resouroes

' within

varied,
Britain

sound
philos¬
ophy withia a

nation.
men

corporations as a group today
is still strong.: This is
frue;dOspit<4
the fuse since the- -end ctf the Wan

continued

import

of- commodities

flow;

output

quantities
abroad.
;
In

which

requirements,
still

are

reduced

'large
required from
but

1938, Great Britain

largest

was

the

single

importer in
the
food, raw materials and
articles semi and fully manufac¬
world of

tured combined.
the

it
t

the

:

in
Great
increased, resulting in

There .is an almost^ irresistible
temptation on an occasion of this
kind to indulge simply in the easy

But.

find

difficult

upon

was

acreage

between them and other peoples.

some-

times

daily, is dependent

and

increased

e

life

—________—__

our

People living in other

boundaries.

jis accepted as

ness

j

the *

regions of the world, however, re¬
f f i-' quire no/ reorientation, no new
ciently com¬ perspective to understand the? im¬
bined
with portance of trade between nations,
the
for their general welfare, as well
resources
of
the
earth, as the food necessary to sustain
men,

the security mar*?
•kets as a source of financing, al-t
"though direct loans to businesses
by banks and insurance compa*
nies
expanded more,
both
in

pm part it has resulted from busi¬

of

skills, .ener¬
gies and .im¬
aginations of

two-year period. Over
this period there has been increase

ness investment

By HERBERT V. PROCIINOW*

One of the fundamental

"The business enterprises of thc^

f

>

v

Reserve

developments

11

Vice-President, The First National Bank of Chicago

The June issue of the "Federal Reserve Bulletin," published by

^analysis

£

:

,

In its June "Bulletin," Board says 1948 profits are likely to be i
larger than 1947 and cash assets of public are ample, despite in- >
creased spending. Foresees larger outlays for plant and equipment.
the Board of Governors of the Federal

(107)

World Trade: and World Stability

Trends in Business and Finance

?

CHRONICLE

best

Thereby, she

customer

countries

of

for

some

was

31

the world,

the pros¬
perity of many of whom depended
upon
one
circumstance-—their

retailing ,pf platitudes regarding
international trade, but in order power to find in Great Britain a
H. V. Prochnow
large volume of liquid-assets
that this discussion may not be ready market for their
sound
p hi.Texports.
for tax payments as well as -for
osophy across mired in generalities, may we pro¬ Thus, the 2% of the population of
available internal funds, and in financing inventories, accounts
ceed directly to a practical consid¬ the world
re-j national boundaries..
residing in, Great Brit¬
part by substantial acquisition of ceivable, plant, and equipment/
/There* is a profound heed to eration of international trade as ain accounted for about 20% of
■< funds
from
external
sources.
and
despite a large volume of broaden our vision on these mat¬ it relates to various nations.
the trade of the world, a per cap¬
(Funds
obtained
from
internal debt financing. Business holdings
ita figure of $80, compared with
ters; for -in an atomic age with
.sources averaged
more than
$15 of liquid assets in relation to sales Constellation
Britain and International Trade
a
airplanes, television,
$15 per capita figure in the
(billion a year in 1946 and 1947, are still somewhat above the pre¬ and fast
United States.
global communication, it
-or almost three-fifths of total cor¬
Great Britain, the greatest trad¬
war levels, and in relation to cur¬
is inevitable that world trade will
The Netherlands and Belgium
ing nation in the world, is a ;
porate uses of funds. The internal rent liabilities they are substan¬
become increasingly important.
classic example of a nation whose iare very similar to Great Britain,
funds
were
derived
primarily tially
above
such
levels.
The
Times have
for each country has a high dens¬
changed and the existence is
from
undistributed
dependent upon world
profits
but building up of the shareholders' world
has grown smaller than it
also from the use of liquid assets equity through the- large volume
:trade, for about 50 million peo¬ ity of population engaged an in¬
was
in those days when Daniel
dustry and trading. The Nether¬
—cash and United States Govern¬
of undistributed profits, together
ple, better than one-third the
Webster
stood
on
the
floor of
ment
securities
with numerous stock issues, has
accumulated
population bf the United States, lands, however, differs in one im¬
Congress discussing railroads and live within an area of 68 thousand portant respect in that the dairy
resulted in an equity-to-debt ratio
during the war.
J
said it was ridiculous to think that
square miles, an area about twice output is sufficient to supply do¬
J "The large volume of undistrib¬ for business corporations lnx the iman could breathe
travelling 15 the size of the State of Indiana mestic needs and also to permit
uted profits has reflected chiefly
aggregate that is slightly above
'miles an hour. '
substantial exports.
As a matter
the
(86 thousand square miles). With
unprecedented
volume
of that of 1939.
If there is any economic cer¬
of fact, during prewar years
dairy
cpal ^nd- iron ore the principal
sales, but it has also been due to
tainty in an Uncertain world, it is natural
products accounted for about 20%
Usesxjf Funds
some extent
to the reduction in
resources, this highly in¬
the certainty that each succeed¬
of her total gxports.
dustrialized nation has been ob¬
taxes from high wartime rates. i
"The record rate of business op¬
Like Great Britain, Belgium is
ing generation will witness greater
liged to import great quantities
flPrices have risen substantially, erations that has prevailed since
international trade.
of foodstuffs to feed her millions obliged to import food to sustain
the dbllar volume of business has the latter part of 1946 has been
ber population, While both the
It is difficult for us fully to
of people and also tons of raw
been, higher than ever before, and the
principal factor giving rise to
comprehend the significance and materials for her processing in¬ Netherlands and Belgium import
business profits, the residual 4«lethe large volume of business ex¬
importance of world trade be¬ dustries, much of the output of large quantities of raw and scmiinent of the business sales dollar,
penditures. (Table I). Operations cause of the tremendous output of which is subsequently exported. iprocessed materials for complete
have also risen sharply.
our
industrial machine and the In the average prewar years, for and final processing and reexport.
"Funds from external sources at approximately full capacity and
abundance of food, minerals, and example, Great Britain was the
Thus, Belgium, in an average
have been in large volume over at a high and rising price level
largest importer of food in the prewar year, imported 1,285 thou¬
sand
!:!An address by Mr. Prochnow
(metric)
tons
of
bread
Table I
world, importing about two-thirds
before the Export Managers Club, of
her
foodstuff
requirements. grains, or about 60% of her total
I

"Business

expenditures of the
past "two years have been financed
in part by the large volume of

of

•

apply

o

this

a

v

*

—

-

,

•

,

CORPORATE

ESTIMATED PRINCIPAL USES AND SOURCES OF

•Chicago, 111., June 16, 1948.
t

U.

'

■

•

-

of Dollars

•

Internal, total

'

'

■

5.4

19

20

2.5

0

9

27.0

100

100

16.8

56

62

14.4

10.4

54

•38

0.5

6.4

2

24

11.1!

9.0

42

33

3.3

11

12

—2.7

18

10

1.0

"

28

5.1

3.0

4

11

2.3

0.0

9

0

0.5

*"

'

-

7.5

4.8

Total

Sources—

43

6.7

25

3.0

of allowances

56

14.9

—__

1.2

2

5

Louisiana & Arkansas

Railway
Equipment Trust, Series G

■

________

;

'

V>. y.V,.

.

'

,

'

4 '

'

*

fFunds retained from operations._—
v Reduction in liquid assets—^—

L_J__

External, total

37)

on page

1946

11.6

0.0

Inventory accumulation
Increase in customer financing
-t-iFederal income tax payments in excess

1947

14:7

equipment expenditures

(Continued

diets became less

of Total

1946

26.5

Plant and

V'

age

1947

Uses—

war,

As Bercent-

In Billions

.

Item
'

-

During the

X

:

i

•

v

0

2%%

Equipment Trust Certificates
(Philadelphia-Plan)

|

rv-

-

.

/
.

*

Bank loans

} ^Security-issues-and mortgages
Trade credit
'

_

_

Federal Govt, for income taxes due__

Other

net

sources

and

statistical

'27.0

100

100

banks

and

insurance companies.

Also, in contrast to

pertain figures quoted in later sections of the articles, excludes
incorporated enterprises.

;£>ource---Department of Uonimetce.

$88,000 semi-annually January 1, 1949

'

j

(

"

July 1, 1958, inclusive.

to

'

•

,

:

* h"

„js

'
as to payment of par value and dividends by endorsement
by Louisiana & Arkansas Railway Company |
,

.

i

and equipment to

modernize operations and to ex¬
pand capacity for probable future
has

also

^

been

-

v

-

to cost

approxi¬

;

.....

.

v

industrial

groups

were

'.V

I

V

The

of these Certificates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission.
Offering Circular may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated only from
the undersigned and such other dealers as
may lawfully offer these securities in such State.

manufacturing durable

have continued high,
they are down season¬
ally from the level prevailing in
the latter, part of 194,7.
ness

sales

although

/'Inventory
accumulation:. In¬
$300 bil- ventory accumulation is a business
fourth use of funds directly affected by
or 1944,
the volume of sales. The percent¬

wartime years." Sales last year in

•

Issuance and sale

goods. Thus far in 1948 total busi¬

„

\ lion,'
approximately
alarger than those in 1946

the previous peak peacetime .and

yield 1.45% to 2.70%, according to maturity
^4V

industries

af¬

high cost of such investment, r t
"Aggregate corporate .sales in




standard-gauge railroad equipment estimated

new

Priced to

V''/.* *

the largest on record. The largest
increases over 1946 occurred in

fected by the exceptional volume
of postwar demand and by the

1947 probably exceeded

be secured by

mately $2,200,296.

'

all broad

a

| tnent; in plant

Certificates are to be issued under an Agreement to be dated July.J, 1948, which
will provide 'for the issuance of $1,760,000 aggregate
par value of Certificates to

un¬

-

large volume of
} working; capital. Business invest-

i

mature

.

^Profits, after income taxeg and cash divi¬

dends, plus depreciation allowances.

i requirements

r

.

#,

•

?

t

To be unconditionally guaranteed

,

•

26.5:

'Total

necessitated

'

To

These

'-Excludes

!

*

,

dis-

5/crepancy
*

*

age increase

in such accumulation

(Continued

on page

34}.: //y

^

HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc.
..

■' i

v

/

>

y}/

i1

."v

-

:

I-V

•••."'

/:'V

-:,v

ft' :V/

To be dated July 1, 1948. Par value and semi-annual dividends (January 1 and July 1) payable in New York
Cify. Defini¬
tive Certificates in the denomination of $1,000, registerable as to par value. Not redeemable prior »to
jnaturity. These"'
Certificates are offered when, ias and if received by us. Certificates in temporary or definitive form will be delivered
at the
office of Halsey, Stuart & Co. Jnc., 35 Wall St., New York, N. Y. The information contained
herein has been

compiled irom

carefully

sources

considered reliable and,
?

"

while not guaranteed as to completeness
-correct as of this date.
-

July

1948.

.

,

,

r

,

-

.

or accuracy, we
j

A

c

'

*

believe it to bes

rf
,

-t

i

.

-

COMMERCIAL

THE

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

Thursday, July 8, 1948

With Daniel F. Rice Co.
PALM

FLA.—Robert

BEACH,

If I Were

A. Cannon is with Daniel F. Rice
&

Co., 246 South County Road.

Retail Salesman

a

(Second of

Series)

a

By ROBERT E. CLARK

Vice-President, Calvin Bullock

By HENRY HUNT

youngest and best liked executives in the business, Robert E. Clark,
Vice-President of Calvin Bullock,
sponsors
of Dividend Shares,

that you were suddenly made a trustee
organization or estate and were charged with the
responsibility for investing several million dollars. Without
doubt you
would promptly seek professional advice and
retain a competent investment organization to
help you

Nation-Wide Securities, Canadian Fund, Ltd.,

keep watching the securities which were selected.

Aeronautical

ities would, of course, be

"If I Were

Prospectus
your

request from

upon

investment dealer,

National
research

or

from

this

Retail Salesman"
series

written

was

for

by

one

of

the

The Bullock Fund, and
With combined assets of approximately

Securities, Inc.

us

suppose

an

Such

$100 million.

a

is

course

Where Will the "Dow" Go From Here?

-

corporation
In

120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5. N. Y.

to

Now, let
Do

as

,

On
"A return to

a

Price-Earnings*Basis

«•

price earnings ratio comparable to the 1929 peak
would result in a price rise of almost 100%.:^-/:
J
"A return to a price-earning ratio comparable to the 1937 peak
would result in a price rise of over 75%.
'
a

"A return to

follow the

same

do it—and it has been done

shareg.
'
"
1
'
'
Through ownership of these shares, investors, large and
small, share proportionately in a broadly diversified in¬

price-earnings ratio, cpmparable to the high of
price, rise of over 60%.

a

1946 would result in

can

ment company

.

RUSSELL BERG FUND

you

You

follows:

have some money of your own
conscientious?

sensible investment formula?
by almost onp mil¬
lion investors—whether you have a few hundred or many
thousands of dollars to invest. It can be done economically,
conveniently and' soundly' through the purchase of invest¬

earnings and dividends, Edward E. Hale of Vance, Sanders con¬

cludes

Because it is time-tested, and sound.

us suppose you

Are you as careful and

to invest.

statistical discussion of where the "Dow" has sold in relation

a

The secur¬
broadly diversified.
with wealthy individual or

traditonal

institutional investors.

&

securities

in

article

second

The

a

Let

.

vestment portfolio, carefully

a

selected by experts, and have

equally at their disposal and services of
agement,
. \

professional man¬

,

On

Prospectus

INVESTMENT

on

MANAGER

Jv. v,-.:J./

• ■

AND

Price-Dividend Basis

Moreover,, the investment companies from which you, can
choose emphasize certain specific objectives and are man¬
aged accordingly. ' Therefore, * if your need is for high in¬
come, you can select from companies giving priority to this
feature. Other investment companies place greater emphasis
upon capital gains;
still others upon investment stability
through a broad portfolio, including bonds and preferred
stocks as well as equities.
Their records are public information.
Their manage¬
ments can be readily evaluated.
Some are supervised by
;,

"Stock prices would have to increase over 60% to equal the
price-dividend ratio reached in 1929.

Request

"Stock prices would have .to increase about 20% to equal the
price-dividend ratio reached in 1937.

UNDERWRITER

V,. • •..' i■L-". j

a

''1,

\\

to equal the

"Stock prices would have to increase over 50%
price-dividend ratio reached in 1946."

Russell, Berg & Company
Bank Loans of Affiliated Now

Investment Counsel

75 Federal

Street, Boston

TELEPHONE LIBERTY

2-955O

$17,000,000

As of June 28, Lord, Abbett's Affiliated Fund increased its
loans from $15 million to $17 million.

bank

firms which have been

that
the company might maintain its effective leverage at amounts deemed
appropriate by the management at this level of the market with the
outlook for business favorable.
<
r
,1

of different industries and

widely. These are facts which expose to high risk the
Investors who buy but one or two stocks in the hope of
so

borrowing, total assets of the Company, at pres¬
ent market prices, are approximately $73 million, of which $17 mil¬
lion
constitutes borrowings and
the remainder, $56 million, the
equity."

new

'

•

...

'

high income
solve

new

and says in part:

'smaller

these

funds

had the responsibility of managing in¬
vestment accounts knows the difficulty of keeping a number of dif¬
ferent lists, of securities constantly in mind. It is not the dollar size
of each list,* but the number and diversity of items that make it so
difficult,
Thus a single account of some millions of dollars, like
Fidelity Fund, may be more easily kept in mind, managed and serv¬
iced properly than 10 separate accounts which might total a much

"Anyone who has

profit*

is designed to help investors

company

in which
different investors participate it offers peace of mind
and opportunity for adequate investment reward.
Why not follow the sound policy which you would adopt
if you were charged with the responsibility of investing

booklet called "Modern Investment Manage¬

ment" is laid out to catch the investor's eye,

or

investment

problems.

As

a

cooperative venture

many

Concentration
Fidelity Fund's

An

.

-V:

\

.

corporations. Seldom in recent his¬

tory has the market performance of different stocks varied

,

"After the

serving investors for over 50 years.

Never before has it been so difficult to forecast the future

"The additional borrowing," it was stated, "was arranged so

ever

amount.

for

others?

Your

■

tection.

deserves equal

own; money

pro¬

'

That is

why

we

recommend that you consider invest¬

ment

companies as the logical and sound way to make your
capital productive in these eventful years.

Dow-Jones Industrials would be almost

exactly 10 times earnings,

which, historically, is abnormally low.
"If, with such stability of earnings the dividend rate were to creep
,

The Fidelity Fund shareholder benefits by this concentration of
theTurnis''iolimany-ipVestofs in one relatively. simple form of trust,

rv.

where sound
Prospectus from your Investment Dealer or

secure

supervision and direction
satisfactory investment results."
9

HUGHW. LONG & CO.

48 Dividends

can

be expertly combined to

V

:

1 ^^£^2

back to

a

conservative 'normal' of

year.

This would be

INCORCQSATtD

48 WALL
(OS

STREET, NEW YORK 5, N Y.

ANGUS

CHICAGO

Company - of

Edwin P. Rubin, President of Selected s Investments
as follows:
"It

^interesting to observe that dividends last year were an
abnormally low percentage of earnings. The following table gives

•

?..**'

Year

^
Earned

•

,1929
1930

-k

1931

—

T934'_1-:_-_l_:

1939

Certificates of Participation in

FUNDS

investing tkeir capital ^; "
IN
,
-

PREFERRED STOCKS

f

.

161

__

3.66

94

4.55

72

7.05

70

.11.49

8.78

76

4.98

83

77

6.11

68

10.92

7.06

65

71

11.64

i:

'1941

7.59

65

70

194?

,

69

69

9.22

.

_

l943.^:^U-wl-l-^r^I--Z,'V>9.74 "i;
-

—

6.40

6.30

65

66

6.57

•«

65

6.69

,

63

—

"(arDeficit.

7.50

55
49

"In

$

*Y.

,

,

..

|

t

COMMON STOCKS

.

CSeries 5 1«S2-S3tS4)

I ;

Prospectus from

-

your

local investment dealer or

is, of course, difficult to say what a normal ratio of pay¬
ments in relation to earnings might be. It is obvious that the current
low ratio of payments is the result of increased capital needs at a
time when it was not easy to finance. This condition may continue.
It is also possible that the ratio of payments to
earnings will not
increase until the trend of

earnings has turned downward.

"However, if

ompany
oston
6U

Congress otreet f

Boston 9, Massackusette




one examines the table closely, he observes that in
from 1941 to 1945 inclusive (the war years) the DowJones Industrials paid out, on average, about 66% of earnings. That
was a period in which corporate managers were very conservative
because they did not know what their postwar problems would be.
We may, therefore, assume, with some justification, that managers of
these corporations would normally consider the payment of twothirds of earnings as conservative.
.
•'

the five years

Stocks, Inc." writes in part

some

important

respects

Nov.

as

there

investment outlook since the end

follows;
has been

■

,

-

"

y

improvement

1

in

of your company's fiscal year

Retail sales remain high; industry is continuing
large expenditures to increase both capacity and operating efficiency.
Contracts for new buildings have been averaging about 30% more
than during the early months of 1947.
The steel industry is oper¬
ating at capacity but is still unable to supply its markets. Although
on

58

-

_

The Investment Outlook

the

"It

I

„

Hugh W. Long in his semi-annual report to the shareholders of

63

9.21

^

;

"V?*

available at $15 a copy.
f
328-page volume has again been considerably ex-*
panded both in subject matter and in the number of individual com¬
panies reviewed," said Arthur Wiesenberger, its author. "This is the
enly book in the entire securhy.field that details, not Phly the wide
variety of securities available, but aiso details the many possible
advantageous uses to which they may be put. AndL we have made
every effort to write all of it in such a simple and clear way that
it can be understood by people who are totally unfamiliar with
the subject, and at the same time be most valuable to those who
know a great deal about investing."
now

"New York

66

18.86

price level of 190."

new

,

66

10.56
13.63

1947

•

,

10.07

1946

S.

.

•

(Series K1-K2)

i

seriously, is

73

..

on a

^ Arthur Wiesenberger's ; 1948; edition pf "Investment Companies/?
"must" for every mutual fund dealer who takes his responsibilities,

81

6.01

9.11

-

—

1940

1945

BONDS "

__

3.40

10.07

——

"1944

(Series B1-B2-B3-B4)

205

yield of 6.6%

„

1938'J:_l_-_—i

pi '

8.40

4.62

3.91

_

1937.

£

% Paid

101

6.34

1936

{; INVESTMENT

11.13

2.11

.

1935

it

11.02

.51(d)

1933

i

5 Yr. Period

% Paid
64

12.75

4.09 s

-

1932

ustocuan

Paid

19.94

a

"The

respect to the Dow-Jones Industrials:

V

-

36% improvement over last year's payments.

New Wiesenberger Manual Available

*

:

Chicago, recently wrote

the essential facts with

a

It would also represent a

Up 36%?>*■■> ■ *r

662A%; dividend payments would
compared with $9.21 last

then reach about $12.57 per index share;

30,

1947.

a whole continues to exceed
supply,
bringing out new models which further stinhulate the desire to buy new cars. The petroleum industry is unable
to meet fully the demand for its products and has launched ah.
aggressive long-term expansion program. There are many other im¬
portant industries for which the outlook is equally favorable. Asia
group,
these industries have generally dominated the trend of
business,
' ■
v.:

the demand for automobiles as
the auto

companies

are

,

"Enactment

of

the

European Recovery Program

and

increased

appropriations for armaments have strengthened convictions that the
country's economy will continue to operate at a high level for an
extended period ahead. Recent tax reductions not only leave mote
of most people's income for saving and investment but also permit
them to retain more of each dollar of investment income.
"Your

management and the staff of Manhattan Research Asso¬

ciates, investment adviser to the company, are constantly studying
both the unfavorable and the favorable factors which affect invest¬

ments.
At this time we believe that carefully selected securities
"If earnings were to stabilize at last year's level for this year are available at prices which offer attractive opportunities for the
and next; the present market level of approximately 190 for the -investment of money." kV- - i
^• v;
,

v

.

,

....

.

Volume

168

Number 4714

THE

COMMERCIAL

FINAN CI AL•'■■■ CHRONI CLE

&

(109)

13

Financial Problems of Railroads'

Canadian Securities

By WILLIAM T. FARICY*

President, Association of American Railroads

Mr.

By WILLIAM J. McKAY
A

Canadian

financial

problem

that

probably

ranks

next

in

importance to the correction of the Dominion's imbalance of trade
with this country, is Canada's indirect U. S. debt in the
shape of
Dominion of Canada internal obligations in the hands of U. S.

Faricy, in pointing

out three fold responsibility of railroads—to public, to employees and to invest¬

ors—contends railroad managers' cannot

regard themselves as successful until their companies are in
Cites rising operating costs, which in spite of greater use of improved
equipment have been increasing faster than changes in railroad rates. Calls for larger margin of gross
revenues

holders. In view of the recent an-<£
nouncement

by

Abbott

the

that

Finance

and U. S. dollar
in

creased

from

the

Minister

Dominion's

the

last

December

gold

have in¬

reserves

six

months

low

of

level

$461 millions to $742 millions, it
would appear that Canada's ex¬
change crisis has now been suc¬
cessfully negotiated. Consequent¬
ly it is logical to suppose that the
thorny subject of the Canadian
Government

internal

bonds

by non-residents should
ceive

more

held

now

Canadian official quarters.

!,

Although the interest

■

securities is payable on

Ronald Ledwell Joins

vestment

Hancock, Blackstock I
(Special

these

on

the basis

to

The

ATLANTA,

Financial

GA.

—

Chronicle)

Ronald

E.
associated

at

redemption date at *the

and

the

nity

for

mine, to keep it that way. In the
second World - War, the railroads
were called upon to perform just

opportu¬

rail¬

road

about twice

the

the

jobs; to
employees

as

first World

become

man

but

least

the

to

the

investors

un¬

and one-third fewer
locomotives. Since the war, there

not

in

William

T.

Faricy

men,

has been

let-down in railroad

no

performance,
riers

"free" dollar market in this

the bond holders.

on

its

whenever

resources

matured

of

and

the
11

c a

interested.

One important task" you and' i
have

before us, as I see it, is to
keep the public and its legislative
and regulatory representatives in4
formed

railroad'

of

needs,

and

stressing at all
ture

of

the

;

problems'

accomplishments^
times the vital naf

service

the railroads.

Only

rendered
an

sales

proceeds of
d
internal

e

bonds.
In turn the weakness of
the free Canadian dollar on such
occasions tends to give rise to

though the car¬
adjust their
operations to the needs of a record

public

lation,

rates,

Looking at the matter in this peacetime demand for service. But
broad way, we have three part¬ this may not be enough for the
ners
in this railroad enterprise: next war, if we are so unfortunate
the
145 000,000
citizens of this as to have one; past achievements
country, whose economic welfare must and will be surpassed.
and
national
security
are
so
Railroad
performance
during
greatly dependent upon an effec¬ the war was so impressive that it
tive system of rail transport, the
brought many persons to a recog¬
million and a third railway men nition
of what they had never

coun¬

considerable strain is placed

effected

This

fewer

who

railroads, in¬

are

in

last

has

cluding both the stockholders and

a

War.

as

they
did with one-fourth fewer freight
and
passenger
cars,
one-fourth

official rate of exchange. In view
of the narrowness of the Canadian

try

much service

railroads, and

Ledwell

of the official rate which is tan¬
tamount to payment in U. S. dol¬
lars at par, the principal on the
bonds is convertible at maturity
or

for investors.

Railroad Management—of which the group I am addressing
tivity, particularly in the pulp and
today is an important seg¬
paper,
machinery,
agricultural ment—carries a
continuing responsibility for the physical condition, the efficient opera¬
equipment, and retail food sec¬
tion, and the financial welfare of the properties entrusted to it for operation.
That retions. Western Oils provided the
principal feature of the market sponsibility
lies
in
three
war
load without congestion and accorded the kind of hearing b>
following the report of the discov¬
directions: to :
delays, producing twice as much the committee members that w~
ery by Imperial Oil of a new oil
the1
general l
transportation per day as in the had hoped for, one in which -wpool about 30 miles southeast of
first World
War.
The railroad were asked many questions, on.
public, whose
the Leduc field.
patronage ere- <
performance record, both in war that gave us an opportunity tc,
ates the need
cover
and in peace, is an impressive one,
the things
in which th.
of railroad in¬
and it is part of our job, yours and committee members really weij

re¬

particular attention in

:

comfortable financial position.

ments.

informed

Our first partner,

.

have

even

had

to

can

such matters

act
as

intelligently
legislation,

and

wage

i*j>;

regu

|

adjust^

the pubr.
lie, will act favorably in direct
proportion as public opinion is
kept informed of the facts about
bur industry.
The

million

and

a

j third rail

employees, who are our sec¬
ond partner, have fared well in
This has been
this great enterprise. They worfe
a
and women who operate the plant,
frequent cause of embarrass¬
Ronald E. Ledwell
thought of previously—the basic hard but not onerously; they are
ment to the Canadian administra¬
and the investors whose dollars character of railroad
service, ahd well treated as the good Amer1*tion as the recurrent weakness of with Hancock, Blackstock & Co.,
provide
railroad
facilities
and the importance to the public of icans that they are should be,
the "free" dollar has been of con¬ Chandler Building.
He was for¬ service. These are triple interests,
maintaining that service in full and notwithstanding all the in¬
siderable propaganda value to the merly with Wyatt, Neal & Wag¬ each important in its own field. I
vigor.
Earlier this month this creases in the cost of living, rail¬
want to consider with you these
minority interests in Canada who goner.
subject was considered by one of way employees, taken as a whole,
have
persistently criticized the
three aspects of the railroad man¬ the most important committees of are
better,off in terms of real dol¬
.revaluation of the dollar to its
agerial function.
Congress, • the House Committee lars, that is, dollars of 1939 ptu>
present parity.
Railroads do not comprise sim¬ on Interstate and Foreign Com¬ ch a sing power, than they were ih
To all intents and purposes the
ply "another business" among the merce, as a part of its national that year. In terms of the purrlevel of the "free" Canadian dol¬
Busy as chasing power of the prewar dol¬
large and fundamental industries transportation inquiry.
lar has become the principal de¬
(Special to The Financial Chronicle)
of the United States.
They are was Congress in the session just lar weekly earnings of railway
terminant of the value of the Do¬
The rail¬ closed, that committee neverthe¬ employees today are about 10%
DETROIT, MICH.—Donald M. much more than that.
minion of Canada obligations in
Woodruff has become associated roads not only embody one of the less devoted most of the first two greater than thby were in 1939.
the hands of non-residents.
The with H. V.
Sattley & Co., Inc., nation's great industries, but, what weeks in June to hearings de¬ Their retirement system: is uh*situation is further complicated
Hammond Building.
Mr. Wood¬ is more important, they constitute signed Jo develop the facts as to paralleled any where .in the worfti
by the fact that these securities ruff in the past headed his own one of the most essential elements the readiness and ability of the and Congress, with the concurf
fall
into
two
categories.
The investment firm, D. M. Woodruff of the national economy, vital to nation's various forms of trans¬ rence of railroad management and
bonds that were registered with
& Co., in Detroit.
any
defense the approval of the President, rer
peacetime progress and stability portation to meet
the
Foreign
Exchange
Control
and indispensable in time of war. traffic load. That speaks well for cently voted railway employees .a
Board while this privilege existed
the foresight of the committee. In merited 20% increase in pensions.
can be liquidated on the Canadian
Deveureux Josephs Dir.
Railroad Performance
j ^ the course of those hearings, the
market and the proceeds are dis¬
Responsibilities toj Investors J
As t.almost everyone knows by principal
emphasis was on the
Of J. P. Morgan & Co., Inc.
posable at the "free" rate. On the
One of our greatest-responsibil¬
now,
the railroads handled the railroads, their past and present
At a regular meeting held today,
other hand the unrecorded bonds
performance, and their require¬ ities is to the railroad investor, the
the board of directors of J. P.
for all practical purposes are only
Three representatives of third partner in our enterprise
*An address by Mr. Faricy at ments.
Morgan & Co. Incorporated, 23 the
eligible for sale at the prevailing
Accounting Division of the the Association of American Rail¬ It is he who is the first man ir,
market for the bonds in this coun¬ Wall
Street,
New York
City, Association of American
roads outlined the railroad situa¬ the process of making: the wheels
Railroads,
try,
Through the operation of elected Devereaux C. Josephs to
tion to the committee, and were
Cleveland* O., June 29, 1948.
(Continued on page 40)
1
switches between recorded and the board.
doubts concerning
the official dollar.

the standing of

D|W. Woodruff Wilh
H. V.

way

.

Sattley & Co.

unrecorded bonds the value of the

Mr. Josephs is the President of

latter category of securities in the
final analysis is likewise deter¬
mined by the level of the "free"

the New York Life Insurance Co.

dollar.

This announcement

the standing in this
country of the direct obligations

/!!'*

""'t1

'

ject to the undesirable influence

;v.v

^

While

market.

this

situa¬

v

'

'

'

}

v

•/
.

'2'

* v

a
'

"f,- '

'

,

NEW

wise

unblemished

ord.

Therefore
that

as

financial

$8,160,000

there

soon

is

little

it is

as

PROVINCIAL

General American Transportation

MUNICIPAL

prac¬

CORPORATION

au¬

thorities will take steps to remove

Corporation I

,the; restrictions that now prevent
the completely free movements of

Equipment Trust Certificates, Series 43

capital between this country and
.Canada.

*f During the week both the

ex

CANADIAN STOCKS

ternal and internal sections of the

bond market
with

were

little

:price-level. Stocks
and the undertone
a

were
was

current

the

firmer

continuance

July 1, 1948

Due

serially

to

July 1, 1968

in the
steady

result of better sentiment

cerning

Dated

dull and inac

change

w .

rec¬

ticably possible the Canadian

tive

placed privately

ISSUE

GOVERNMENT

fully take advantage of its other¬

;

were

not being offered to the public.

unofficial Canadian

narrow

tion exists, the Dominion can not

doubt

are

CANADIAN BONDS

of the Dominion of Canada is sub¬

dollar

of record only. These securities

through the undersigned, and have not been and

In this way

of the

appears for purposes

,

as

con¬

of

AiE.AMES&CO.
INCORPORATED

the

high level of business

ac¬

TWO WALL STREET
*In last week's column
owing to
a

typographical

error,

NEW YORK 5,

Kuhn>|Loeb & Co.

N. Y.

/V

it inadvert¬

ently appeared that the principal
as

well

able

on

as

the

interest

was

pay¬

the basis of U. S. dollars

at' par. %




WORTH 4-2400

NY-1-1045

July 8, 1948.
;

}v i"''1'

•

•

t;

14

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

COMMERCIAL; &

THE

(110)

Thursday, July 8, 1948

Gold Black Markets! and
Securities Salesman's Corner

mined

By JOHN BUTTON

Foresees

gold.

thing that will waste more of anyone's time anct
anything else—that is the inability to organize work. I
man who keeps a loose-leaf notebook on every important
is

a

piece of work in which he is engaged—sometimes his pockets are
crammed full of them—and

reminder and goes on to

as

he finishes

a

task he tears out each

the next.

good policy to spend the last 15 to 30 minutes of each
day reviewing what has been done and writing out plans
for the morrow. Any salesman who systematically cultivates a group
of prospects and continually maps out his plans for calls, appoint¬
ments, telephone follow ups and letter writing, cannot fail to put in a
good productive day's work, Another advantage of planned activity
is. that, it leads to good solid work
habits. Work that is planned is
business

pleasant because it has defined objectives. There is absolutely no
better method of building up a productive clientele than to see a
certain number of new prospects and old customers every day, This
is true because the thoughts and ideas that you will get from neonle
when you are talking with them about securities WILL GENERATE
POSSIBILITIES FOR DOING BUSINESS.
For

example, one customer will ask you about a certain stock
bond that he purchased from someone else a few years ago you

just possibly may know something in the way of a new development
(favorable or unfavorable) regarding either that particular security,
the industry in which it lies, and there you go—if you can seize
your opportunity. Or he may ask you for a quotation, and you pick
up' his 'phone and obtain it for him. He says "Thanks very muchi
maybe sometime next week I'll call you and have you sell that bond;
I may need some money," But you have always been accommodat¬
ing and pleasant toward this customer even though you. have never
done much business with him. Then the thought strikes you and you
says, "You itnow, I wish you had a little extra money right now, in¬
stead of needing some, because we have a special situation in a most
attractive common stock that I wish you could buy. Quite frankly
we think it is an excellent
purchase at this time." So your friendly
bond seller thinks ai minute and says, "There is a fellow I know who
has been buying quite a few securities
lately and I think he might
be interested." So you arrange to have your friend call him and tell
him that you are going to give him a 'phone call tomorrow
morning;
which he willingly does. Much to your
surprise you come to your
office the next morning and you get a 'phone call from the new
prospect—he tells you that his friend thinks so highly of you that he
or

would like

to hear about what you have to offer.

You tell him and
(This isn't the sort of thing that only hap¬
pens in the movies; it actually happened last week to someone with
whom we are acquainted.)
:
.
.'-v-;
he gives you a nice order.

,

Eighteenth Annual Report of the Ba nk for International Settlements of Basle,
Switzerland, covering the year ending March 31, 1948, in addition to reviewing interna¬
tional trade, exchange rates &nd price movements, gives a clear cut analysis of
gold hoard¬
ing and gold black markets since^-

beginning

of the last World
this topic, of uni¬

War. Regarding

interest in view

versal

forts

the

International

the

of

of

ef¬

Mone-i

salesman

a

who sold

a

propositions
Chamber of Commerce. Every

gold bullion, the Report gives the
following information:
'
"The postwar world has seen a
recrudescence

the hoarding

of

0$

which has been intensified
monetary uncertainty and af
desire to possess, for political or
other reasons, durable and' easily*
gold,

by

He set aside several for which he had offered to obtain certain

week.

When

times

improved he

doubled

arranged
man

that

tell me that his success was- glandular—but it
HE PLANNED HIS WORK AND HE DID IT.

the

was

calls

about

made
income.

more

He

for

$250
used

than

a

to

that—

Texas Unioia Oil Sfock
Stewart J. Lee &

most any
"In the

circumstances.*

oh June 30 publicly offered 800,000

10

shares of

common

stock

(par

cents) of Texas Union Oil Corp.

(Del.) at'37% cents

steady rise in prices, the
being pushed up' by about
30% between, say, 1895 and 1914.
cause

a

level

But, when gold becomes

scarce

in

relation to the value* of the: goods
be

to

the

moved

and

of

balances

the

deficits

payments

in

be

to

covered, then 'the sink in the East-

puts

strain on. the monetary
(though it should not be

a

system

"In

the

World

of

course

the

second

War, the demand for gold

The net
to pay for

for

per

share.

proceeds will be used

organizational expenses,

equipment, for cost

of

drilling

has been associated with. the In¬
ternational Statistical Bureau, Inc..
and prior
thereto, he conducted
his own investment security busi¬
ness

additional wells, and
working cap¬
ital.
It is contemplated

by

the

corporation to drill at least five
six

more

of

the

in central

KINGSTON,
P. Smith has

corporation,

is

also

President of the Houston Real Es¬
tate Board.

Pennsylvania.

With Chilson, Newbery

or

test wells.

:William W. Long, who is Presi¬
dent

Stock Exchange.
For
past eight years Mr. Bassett

the

N.

Y.— Frederick

joined Chilson, New-

of

reserves.

•

end

the,

introduced by

land

in

1945

of

a

so-

scheme'

float

'export

was

the Bank of Eng¬
revive

to

order

the

i

erably reduced in the latter half
of

1947

as

result

a

of

general

a

pronouncement by
the Interna¬
tional Monetary Fund against in¬
ternational

dealings in gold at
prices.
"Private gold business has also

other

been

than

official

handled

in

the

New

York

London gold market to some ex¬

market, often in conjunction with

tent.
An initial quota of about'
50,000 ounces was put at the dis¬
posal of the market, the intention
being that it should be- exported,

London.

but

months,

form processed
manufactured
gold,
which

only

in

the

After pronouncement by

the International

Monetary Fund,

the New York market
continue

wprp
were

was

dealings

able to

for

some

until

new
regulations
by the U. R Trpaciirv'
S. Treasury;

issnpH
issued hv thp TT

"The
National
Bank
and
the
100 000:
scheme; Treasury Department in Switzer¬

increased
to
but the original

ounces,
was

at

revised with restrictive effect!

the

time

the

of

convertibility

crisis in August, 1947, and, by the
the end of that year, a stricter

system
licenses

in operation.

By the1

Spring of 1948'the business trans¬
acted under the scheme is said

a

further

Beirut have

emerged

as

measure,

the market

,

toward

by such sales.

Sw.fcs

milliard

1

A little
sold

was

up to the end of 1946 and a fur«?
ther Sw.fcs 480 million was sold

during 1947.

)

"In
Greece j also,
the Bank of Eng¬
gold coins
land began to permit purchases* have been released to the market
and sales of gold against U. S.j as an anti-inflationary monetary

the end: of 1946,

dollars, provided that the London1
dealers

acted

intermediaries)

as

between

In

measure.

its

half-yearly

re¬

view for January, 1948, the Bank
of Greece stated that it would
cer-7

principals outside the:
Supplies for this tainly be preferable to meet mon¬
Mexico, etary demand by, offering goods
from Central and South Apnerica and raw materials but that the
sterling

areas.

traffic jcame largely from

deposits country was going through a pe¬
by riod of acute shortage of goods
non-residents, while most of the and, as long as the fear of ban*
demand
came
from the Middle ditry was most intense and a feel¬
and Far East.
It is reported that ing of
mistrust left behind by
gold could be bought from Central monetary devaluations in the past
America at between 10 and 20%) persistedf the government had to
above the U. S. Treasury price of! undertake the sale of gold coins as
$35 per ounce, while the ultimate: a short-term means of stabiliza¬
It is admitted that inter¬
buyers in the Middle and Far; tion.
and

still

from

prewar

gold

in

maintained

London

vention
results
bined

can
as

with

nomic,

have

long

as

no
permanent
it is not com¬

other

essential

eco¬

Without

such

measures.

measures,

the

sale

(Continued

of

on

gold coins
43)!

page

-

1

CHARTI

im¬

Price of Gold

on

Various Markets.

Free-market price given at $ rate for bank-notes,

.

black

have sold gold, mainly in
coins, on the market and to in¬
dustry, as part of an anti-infla¬

over

cof

have: become almost negigible;
"As

land

tionary monetary policy, funds in
export1 Swiss francs being drained from

allocating

of

was

Eastern countries at times paid;
governments in the West, which oremiums up to 50% on the U. S.
found this a cheaper way of pro-:
parity. .This traffic was consid-;
curing local currencies than buy¬
1 See
an
article on "The Traffic in
ing them via the exchanges. Since
the war, Hong Kong, Alexandria.! Free Gold" in- the "London Economist"
for 1.7 th April 1948.
,
.1
Bombay, Manila, Tangier, Macao1

portant markets for gold,: most ofl
them applying
a
more
or- 4es^
highly developed technique of in¬
ternational arbitrage.
& I)
j
"But, in the West also, gold has
Charles W. Bassett has joined been sold to the public, and there
the
commodity
department
of have been regular quotations ioi
Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, various1 kinds- of coins and^for
New York City, members of the gold in bars op free, semi-free or

New York

disposal

gradually

East, hoarding of gold!
(and silver) has been practised fori
centuries.
In the fifty years be-i
fore the first World War,
ship-1
ments to India and China usually;
absorbed more than a quarter of
the world's current production of
gold—a welcome outlet when, af4
ter the discovery of the deposits!
in the Transvaal, the output be-i
came
sufficiently
abundant
to!

Goodbody & Go. Dept. j

Co., New York,

the

transportable assets which can be and
in
sold without difficulty in almost! Would
November, 1947, specifically
yield' a return in foreign
any market, and will thus retain' exchange beyond the bare value, prohibiting the export of gold at
their purchasing power under ial4 of the bullion.1
increased prices.
The 'float' was;

and

Slewarl J. Lee Offers

have

governments)

markets out of their official

-.jjs;

night he would take out his prospect cards and set aside those which by Eastern countries began to in¬
had interviewed that day. He discarded those which' were un¬
crease, and some gold is reported
promising. He designated those who were to receive follow up let¬ to have been sold at the time by

ters.

such

called

he

favors; through his organization, and he
TOMORROW.
During the depression this

gold -at

to prevent' speculation id

powers

of the most difficult

one

know—memberships in

and

placed

"At'

are everyday examples of how planned work leads to forgotten that dishoarding of Easti
Consistent day to day planning to'see the right oeople, ern gold in the years 1931-34?
knowing your securities and your job, and following through with helped to ease the monetary con-s
service and a pleasant and optimistic outlook on life and
people in ditions in the West during the!
general, will bring you business in ever increasing volume. I re¬ critical period).

of which I

banks

tary Fund and the leading world

business.

member

'

a

balance in valuation of national currencies is established.

These

>

inflation is stopped and

currency

The

the

It is also

or a

black markets until

or

,

one

effort than

know

end of; hoarding

no

true

There

Hoarding

Bank for International Settlements holds, although it is not possible to describe all sources and centers
of clandestine movements of gold, therV Is no doubt tHaf prfvafe markets Have been fed by newly

JO

in U.S. dollars per

fine

ounces

120

120

markets."

"Chart

I shows the quotations
Switzerland, Belgium, France,
Italy and Portugal, in addition to
the prices quoted in a number of
Eastern markets (Bombay, Hong-¬
Kong
and Alexandria). Greece
and Tangier are in a sense bor¬
derline cases: they serve partly as
in

links

between

East

and

West

in

the movement of gold.
"It

will

be

from

seen

Chart II

bery and Co., 48 Main Street, and' that,
will be identified with the Sales
Department cooperating with E. A.
Chilson and E. Graham in South¬
ern

Ulster and Sullivan Counties.

in the'European countries,
quotations for gold fell steadily

until the middle of 1947; the same
was

the

ern

markets, with the exception,

case

in many of the East *

however, of Bombay, where prices
stiffened
appreciably
in
the

Spring of 1947.

Over-the-Counter Quotation Services

"At

this

where

point it

the

free,

plies.
from

The

movements

of

gold

country to another were
rarely on a larger scale than dur¬
ing 1947 and the early months of
1948, but during this period nearly
all

NATIONAL QUOTATION BUREAU, Inc.
Established

1913

Street, New York 4, N. Y.

Chicago




'»

30

30

ill

20

20

10

10

black markets obtained their sup¬

For 35 Years

46 Front

40

may be asked
semi-free and

,

San Francisco

one

the

movements

were

on

of-

cial

account, being the outcome
of direct arrangements between
central banks and governments,
without

in private
markets.
In some cases, however,
the monetary authorities (central
any

0

dealings

1

1

1946

II

I

Mill

I

11

1947

-

H'Sii

t

I

1

1

I

1948

1

1

Iq

;

y

Volume

THE

Number 4714

168

The New

COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

state, trade and local industrial
relations
associations, - NAM is
holding meetings and clinics all

Challenge in Industrial Relations
||

j^

By' EARIr BtNTINO*

.

NAM leader

pleads for teamwork! in^ lafcof-manage nent rclations and wants bothpartiexio be on
"same sich of table
Outlines plans of NAM to im irave labcwMnanagement relations, and to provide j
more jobs for
the handicapped, as well as to in:tall more effective communication with employees*

with

programs,

/isions for steady employment.

pro

i-The

.

new.

This is

But it is

;

To win
of

challenge in. industrial relations suggeste a ^
a
fight to the finish. The greatest fight of our lives.:
fight for—not

a

gues—must

be.^

has

.

■>??

life

today. A: )
new/and hap- r/%
pier -chap-ter.'g
h

n

dft \ wage

being

started.

and

labor

the

go

side

Earl

Bunting

of

the

table—with

all the members of industry work¬

ing together
to

serve

invincible team

as an

our

and greater

new

a

way in which this can be done
beginning to fire Americans
creative
imagination.' When tax
policies are considered there is at
.east
a
growing awareness that
the way toward new industries
and the expansion of existing con¬

The

v

big boss

one

the

—

American public. r <
The job we face today
.

cerns'.

productive

.

big to handle

other way. V
responsibilities have

America's

>

grown

any

growing — enor¬
mously. Not just in our genera¬
are

—

through encouraging rather than
confiscating the capital formation

tion but hi these last few postwar
years.

.

"

The

\XA>
old

.'''j/

concept

of

labor

ahd

management
climbing
wearily
into
the
arena
for
one
more
of the

round

gladiatorial

play to

the grandstands never made sense.
The two participants made

monkeys of themselves by making
holy show of the fact that they

a

didn't

know

how

to-

along
still,
the long suffering public really
took it on the chin. The public
has never had anything to
gain
with

each

from

other.

industrial

sulted
that

But

(1)

get

strife.

That

in less national

much

less

re¬

income

goods

—

more

—

hard feeling in the way of the
teamwork that American progress
takes,
v
"
/
'

No

would

one

gesting

that

the

dream

of

problem

sug¬

of

in¬

I

the

public

already
during the past

there has been

.

The

year

rapidly growing
understanding that the public ex¬
pects a very different type of per¬
formance from its industrial" team
than the old gladiatorial combat.
-Time

generation
seen

an

Our

on.

has

too

entire

recently

the whole world turned into
to

arena

be

entertained

by

muscle-minded

gladiators mug¬
ging to the grandstands while the
productive

job that they ought
be doing grinds to a halt and

to

progress hits the

skids.

of

out

us

in

this

mess.

i

alibis

any

If

that

which

happens the

ment

the

from

public

sense

—

has

a

—

tain other things will
Such as:
f

,

you

hunch that

cer¬

labor that you didn't have

or

simple

humanity

1
:

(1)

If America. cannot

and -good

ing team which gets results.
"Just one result when
you come

that

A level of pro¬
get out of our

can

all that it's got to give.,
Which is plenty.
economy

"We don't want to wait for

to

make

another miracle

and top¬
1 constructive
power
of
American management have done

outstanding job along these
lines for
handicapped veterans.
And it
a continuing job.
The NAM has invited the U. S.

ductivity possible.
do it for

war

to

—

possible.
spots

has

can

can

do it—and

you can

make

You

the

If you two

lasting peace
do it to knock;

been

off

of

inflation

which

tearing at our pockettoo long.
You can do it

books

that the American people's en¬

so

terprise

system

eclipses its

own

best record—swings into decisive

peacetime

competition

and

serf

and

with

the

regimented

of socialism

and

once

com¬

and for

that

freedom is the

mosj; valuable pos¬
session any land can borrow from
us."
v
That; is

''

no

the

challenge

all

we

muster

uncertain

terms.

It

dwarfs

united

unite to do the great produc-

The'

National

Association

Manufacturers t believes;That
■*An address by Mr.

Bunting at

the 15th NAM Institute

on

Indus¬

Relations, Highland
111., June 21, 1948.

Park,

trial




in

us

Commerce

all

join

to "

nation-wide

a

of

resources

dustrial
more or

And

relations
less than

we

nobody

know
ever

*

application of free¬

Personnel

of
-

in¬

are.
nothing
human relations:
..

blame

got

•

well

that

anywhere Tec-

must

ingenuity and
into

employers
the

very

who

are

tp rigid job requirements.
; Experience in the field of jobs
the

that

policies

/

one's

exists

American industry.

(2)

The

NAM

is

American

ahead,

people
taking growing
in their stride—

educators

must

of

give the

American

youth

opportunity to find out how
free enterprise works.
And it is
equally imperative for us to find
every

out how the American way of life
works for the individual teachers

out

Upon any human heart,

depends.

(4)

The

of

has

.

worked

Upon

their

enthu¬

/

most

happy that we have '
distinguished educators with us ',
today.
For many years one cf
NAM's important
programs has
been .to build better nmtual /un^

This

group of people represents
of the most valuable assets in

one

America.

I

long

and hard far full opportunity
for older workers in industry,

1

j

NAM

am

r

derstandirig
between "education
experience
of
older and industry at every level—from
workers, their maturity of judg¬ the; communities of our land to
ment, their' seasoned skill, and national leadership. We are in¬
loyalty, are priceless to American tensifying this overall effort. And
in the field of industrial relations
industry.
we are
especially concerned that
Even: in depression
land.

The

absolutely

irre¬

years, our
showed that the majority

studies

those who teach personnel admin¬

istration, industrial relations and

of

successful companies surveyed
did not discriminate against old¬
er

workers.

They

continued

labor

management relations
should be given every opportunity
to familiarize themselves with in¬

to

employ them and to keep them as
of dependability
on
the
payroll. Whatever NAM does we

dustry's principles, practices and

towers

achievements.
r

aire
on

going- td take

never

dustry
ford

a

The programs

licking

conviction that neither in¬

our

nor

to

loyalty.

this

country

shelve

We

going

only

are

a

I have ' touched

few of the many

af¬

activities NAM has under way to

and

help meet the challenge that all

can

experience

are

on

to

keep

(Continued

CONDENSED

on page

47)

STATEMENT

FIRST NATIONAL BANK
IN

ST. LOUIS

At the Close

the opportu¬
be made in

will

or

leaders.

enterprise to survive—

whole

forge

under¬

relationship

siasm for the opportunity system
and their understanding of how
it works the future of our land

feet that mat¬

own

If that exists,

nity

worked

is

on

ters.

be

handicapped has shown
the burning desire to

it

stand

and

through
understanding in every
community of our land.
And no
.aw
^can
impose
understanding

physically handicapped.

for

the

with in¬

building

it is imperative that we

opportunity for all citi¬

pro¬

| In its b ro a d.es t application,
jpbs- for the handicapped means

of Business, June 30, 1948

.

convinced

RESOURCES

that

sound human relations in in¬

.

dustry will require still more
effective communication with

!•.
f

Communication
street.

talk

It

means

with—not

There

never

is

a:

two-way

the: chance

just

talk

to

to

at.

could be mutual trust

industry unless companies tell
story directly to their em¬
ployees.
Put yourself
in
their
their

shoes.

Could you do your job in
Could you do your job

the dark?

well if you did not know how it
ties in with what the other people
oh

team

your

you

are

doing?

Cash and Due from Banks

$116,864,124, 85

U. S. Government Securities

150,810,702. 29

Loans and Discounts

;

employees.

173,763,616. 06

Other Bonds and Stocks

10,000,251. 37

Stock in Federal Reserve Bank

612,000. 00

Banking House, Improvements, Furniture
and Fixtures

308,153. 30

Other Real Estate Owned

857,002. 00

Customers'

Liability a/c Letters of Credit,
Acceptances, etc.

.53
1,894,256.

Accrued Interest Receivable

.26
858,118.

Overdrafts

.17
54,215.

Other Resources

.30
3,103.

Could

$456,025,543. Vi

put your heart and soul into

it if you didn't know whether the

LIABILITIES

team

was scoring or being scored
against? Who would your natural
human loyalty go to if the news
of everything about the company

which
came

see,

,

we

of

war

pro¬

any challenge from without into
understanding
and
insignificance.
man-by-man
self-discipline
it
The public believes in the in¬
takes to build this country's
pro¬
dustrial team.
Our one job is to
ductive might in peacetime, the
odds are very long that .aggression fulfill. thattrust-^in plenty; : in
peace and:in.full? v.•
'
would force belated
unity upon
us". I do not believe any American / Industrial
understanding ^ and
is content to wait 'till the world good will is the keystone of this
is- again aflame with war before man-sized job.
the

Chamber

in

of

face.; That is the American pub¬
lic, our big boss, speaking in

happen too.

"•

manage¬

all, for all the world to

and I
and 145 million other Americans
possess

anything

either

munism—and shows

adds up and often adds to

whatever horse

*

heart

flight

will it takes to get along with eachother as a hard hitting, fast mov¬

economies

>

If

stands in your way, let us knownow! But we don't want to hear

slave

Defense Outlays, Higher Wages
And Inflation

to

industry and say:
got what it- takes to get

"You've

better

marches

brains and

.

labor

ar¬

a

began

Or it could turn to management

'•

duction

had

of

it could tighten its belt, lower its that the free enterprise system
living standards, and risk the exists for one purpose only: For
danger of Soviet Russia's lumber¬ people. For every individual. Not
ing ox cart economy pushing by just for run-of-the-mill people—
and blocking the road of human if they exist.
And not just for
progress.
people who can adapt themselves
'
v
\

the

millenium

defense

reckon up the costs and found that
it faced two alternatives. Either

and

day

of.

many

placeable

great; responsibility

are handicapped.

•,

.

for

pro¬

underway.

arid the European Recovery Pro-, adjusting more jobs to
gram.
Having made these com¬ real:; abilities of those

right down to it.

But.

The

gram to channel the

dustrial relations has been settled.
We wouldn't need to be here if

rived.

job.

commitments

question
the

of

business and industry to pro¬
vide more jobs| for those who

with their government in making

worse

to

ment for all—not just for some
Americans, but for all.
There is
no easy solution of this
problem.

our

with

mitments,

by

dom

j

Way

that

r

nature

What has happened is that the
American people have gone along

major

,

lies ajn

power

necessary to do the.

the

is

educational

For free
for

human

Some -of these are;]

'

is too

to

answer

in

its-

—

same

grams which NAM has

validate their

the

they
to %

.

belong

NAM Planis Under

/.

costs;

tjevel of productive power; Even

when

management
where

rising

lies'

ijs to- rise to

.

only be

can

written

.

fijr

gressis*"

pro

,

.

They are beginning fd sense: that
the one way to. halfc inflation anc|

a'-ni.;s-

u m

of

round

on

day

It

followed; by

increases

*

liouhd

non-

personnel

provide opportunity and advance¬

fight against.

t

place 'v

no

in V American

with

practices.

zens.

jiope -for A peaceful world." vv-.. ing in and doing our own. share
;
j (2) The American public knows of the job.
what, the inflationary
score
is. J; Are we doing this?
Or are we
They have seen round on round just talking about it?

toVvK
the library. It;

It

is just what I
m

Ijive.jab that alone can put muscle turing the other fellow. Good huand- sinew
and
heart- into the man relations are built by pitch¬

returned

discriminatory

NAM's

of

standing

which we face is sound

,

Another

[ The test of democracy is.'the responsibilities

through to America's goals for the whole American people, the ancient feud

;Monta-Vrt*

I

message to

ter human relations

dustry

Another basic human problem

r

Capulets

and

i

a

(3)

carrying this

on

broad-gauge programs of bet.

their communities.

j

Points out dangers

unsound in principle.

mean.

(5)

country—to help indi¬
companies more perfectly
team-up with their employees and
vidual

Managing Director, National Association of Manufacturers

expand employee benefit

right

15

America.

the

over

f f^ j

-

and

(111)

ard?

concerned

your

welfare

to you from the shop stew¬
And how could we in man¬

agement

hope to provide an
atmosphere in which the dignity
and importance of the individual
ever

employee is fully recognized if

we

Capital Stock

$10,200,000.00

Surplus

10,200,000.00

Undivided Profits

7,890,061.15

Dividend Declared,
and Nov.

28,290,061.15

Payable Aug. 31, 1948,

30, 1948

600,000. 00

Reserve for Taxes, Interest, etc.

1,545,752. 47

Unearned Discount

281,873. 58

Liability a/c Letters of Credit, Acceptances, etc.

did hot find out at first hand what

Other Liabilities

the

Demand Deposits

1,901,516. 55

hopes

and

fears

of

our

em¬

ployees really are?
Good neighborliness, from the
grassroots up, is also as close to

the heart

of all human

relations

Time

5,028. 90

$358,552,456.03

Deposits

59,886,412.67

'

U. S. Government

Deposits

4,962,441.78

Total Deposits

423,401,310.48

as^anythihg I know.

This is also
a definitely two-way
relationship.
'It -is. up * to management to
keep
its community informed on com¬

$456,025,543.13

policy, practice, and accom¬
plishments.
And it is equally up

pany

to

management

to

i

take

whole¬

hearted part in

community lifesensing local sentiment and mak¬

ing friends for the enterprise
tem which
In

close

sys¬

they personalize.
cooperation with NIC

St.

Louis'

v

.

; V.•

....

Largest

.

Bank

Member Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation

/

16

COMMERCIAL

THE

(112)

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

,

.

It will be observed that net

Thursday, July 8, 1943

>

operating profits were substantially

A. vK. Rose With

better in the first six months of 1948 over 1947 for Bank of Manhat¬

Bank and Insurance Stocks

Chase National and Guaranty Trust, but that their total net
profit, including securiy profits or losses, are somewhat lower. Total
net earnings of Bankers Trust, Irving Trust, Manufacturers Trust,
and Public National show improvement over 1947 first half results.
Indicated six months' earnings of First National and United States
Trust are above indicated for the similar 1947 period. In the case of
tan,

By E. A. VAN DEUSEN

This Week

Bank Stocks

—

writing the second quarter statements of most of New
York City banks have been published. Comparative results are some¬
what mixed.
Compared with the first quarter, and with 1947, com¬
mercial loans are up but investments in governments are down.
Deposits are mixed, as also are earnings.
Table I shows deposits, loans and discounts, government securi¬
ties and total earning assets for June 30, 1948 vs. June 30, 1947. Bank
of' New York's deposits and assets are higher than a year ago as
might be expected, due to its merger with Fifth Avenue; the same is
true of Chemical in view of its merger with Continental.
TABLE

I

Discs.

Depos.

Sec.

Loans

Earn.

U.S.G.

&

U.S.G.

Manhattan

of

Discs.

Sec.

Assets

Depos.

Bank

of N. Y. &

5th Ave.

Hanover

338

812

142

240

369

102

165

291

Chemical

:

1,175

1,305

539

519

1,177

1,409

450

606

1,129

4,445

Bank

&

1,203

2,169

369

464

959

42

126

171

1,118

1,633

529

440

formed

to

fellowships to educators for

grant

98

at

a

press

153

Exchange

'ifX

52

76

145

•;"? t

t

t

Corn

Exchange

768

72

512

606

752

79

470

571

704

124

467

680

530

94

368

569

Club.

679

1,406

2,197

1,123

2,097

181

■

2,352

870

301

548

874

1,013

413

384

823

2.113

450

1,179

1,711

2,116

555

1,024

1,647

4,835

2,418

Irving

Trust

York

New

U.

____

2,291

3,848

4,748

1,310

1,883

261

524

589

252

239

497

125

301

438

502

147

240

410

32

70

120

110

32

70

120

ect

■

23,221
6,280 11,659
19,362 22,523
7,310
City Bank Farmers Trust."' tMerged with Chemical.

Includes

of Kid-

Peabody

;der,

18,274

9,600

Co.,

com

chair¬

of

the

mit

tee,

man

^

proj¬

Amyas

,Ames

&
TbTALS

explain¬
the

The table shows that aggregate

Archibald
now

vK.

associated

("Jack")
with

"

is

Rose

their

New

York trading

National Association

ties

In

ing

3,636

241

108

___

1,182

625
520

Trust

Trust

S.

Trust

National

Public

f

1,036

_

Manufacturers

Archibald vK. Rose

Hogate.

Luncheon

National

i__

all-out campaign

luncheon by officials of the Joint Committee on Education
/v. on June 30 at<Sv
the
Stock York Stock Exchange; Donald D.

First

Continental

Corn

educational institutions the general and detailed
nature of the securities business.
The specific plans were explained

1,084

51

178

Commercial,

by

make known to

to

3,317

1,461'

4,155
1,361

195

__

3.680

1,169

Trust

National

Commercial

603

408

683

505

1.431

.

National

.

reported

are

The Wall Street Community has launched an

426

1,341
Central
Chase

that

Assets

1,034

79

Baltimore

and

announce

studying all phases of!security business.

;

($000,000)
817

328

earnings

lower

Committee

Joint

Earn.

($000,000)
415
i 356

1,005

New York

Exchanges,

Wall Street Launches Information Drive

'

Bank,

the

Stock

Exchange, National City and New York Trust.
Factors which will affect the rate of earnings during the second
half of the year include: moderately rising operating expenses and
increased reserve requirements on the minus side, with stiffening
interest rates and high volume of loans on the plus side.

Total

Total

&

Somewhat

-June 30 , 1948-

Loans

possible due to mergers.

last year are not

> ' ;

'

-June 30, 1947—

Mackubin, Legg $ Co., members
Of

York, and also of Chemical, direct comparisons with

of New

Bank

this

At

Mackubin, Legg & Co.

department, 76 Bea¬
Mr.
formerly with Fitzgerald
& Co., Inc.

of Securi¬

ver

Dealers—L. Raymond

Billett,
National
Dealers;
Herbert F. Boynton, H. F. Boynton & Co.; Wallace H. Fulton,
Executive Director, National As¬
sociation
of
Securities
Dealers;
Dean G.
Rowland
Collins, New
■York University.

Street,

New York City.

Rose was

Chairman of the Board,

Association of Securities

Kuhn, Loeb Places

;

Equip. Issue Privately
American

General

Transporta¬

deposits of the banks listed are
said "the se¬
tion Corp. announced July 7 that
only moderately below their totals of a year ago. Loans and discounts
it has negotiated through Kuhn,
curities
busiare higher
by $1,030,000,000 or approximately 16.5%; holdings of
n e s s
Loeb: & Co., the sale of $8,160,00(1
is con¬
governments are lower by $2,059,000,000 or 17.7%, and total earning
equipment trust certificates, series
stantly changAmyas Ames
assets are lower by $1,088,000,000 or 5.6%.
43, to a small group of institutions.
ing and adBetter than average gains in loans and discounts were made by
The certificates will mature seri¬
;
justing to new
Chase National (21%), Commercial National (21%), Guaranty Trust
ally in quarterly instalments to
conditions, the last five years hav¬
(28%), Irving Trust (37%), Manufacturers Trust (23%), and Public ing been a period of particularly
Arthur S. Kleeman, President of and including July 1, 1968. Ma¬
National (17.6%). Bank cf New York's gain of 29% and Chemical^UgjJg^."Manv^Tthe nro'b- Colonial Trust
turities to and including. July I,
Company, has an¬
gain of 43% are obviously affected by their mergers with Fifth****** chanZe- MaiW 01 the Prob
lems
confronting the business— nounced the promotion of C. F. 1953 bear dividends at the rate of
Avenue and Continental.
•
questions involving money mar¬ Meyer to Assistant Vice-President 2%, the balance at a rate of 3V8%,
Table II presents 1948 earnings for the first and second quarters,
kets, cyclic movements, type and from Assistant Secretary and As¬ The equipment covered by the
and also for the first six months of the year compared with the simiavailability of capital, the effects sistant Treasurer, and Charles F. trust consists of a total of 1,246
Iar period in 1947. Also book values for June 30,
^taxation and government con- Bailey to Auditor from Chief Ac¬ new tank, refrigerator and hopper
cars.
froT on free markets—are prob¬ countant.
TABLE II

C. F.

Meyer Promoted f
By Colonial Trust Co.

1st 6 Mos. 1948

1st 6 Mos. 1947
*

.

'

^

•'

'■ '

;c:

...

>

.

,

Bankers

Trust

Central

Net

Profits

Oper.
$1.38

$1.08

1.25

Corn
First

National

.87

.76

50.98

1.50

1.50

122.46

1.27

1.06
1.59

.78

1.71

1.74

•

.61

43.77

.81

.45

1.48

43.84

2.45

1.21

1.24

42.10

20.52

21.58

1,369.56

__—.

9.18

4.89

4.29

363.85

7.70

9.74

1.58

__.

2.01

8.32
—

-

—

U.

S.

Trust-

_

"Includes

are

.30

23.10

securities business.

61.42

of the

48.93

dertaken in the belief that it will

108.46

1.56

1.58

1.13

1.20

733,17

9.89

8.96

18.85

55.58,

;

"v

operating earnings exclusive of security
a few cases.

NEW JERSEY

City

SECURITIES

Bank Stocks

The

Committee for

program

1948 is

of mutual benefit to

be

business

and to

colleges. The securities in¬
dustry will benefit from the re¬
search, the interchange of ideas
and
the
relationships
resulting
.

,,

.

knowledge of the great financial
This program is being
started in a small way in its first
year.
We believe that it has farreaching possibilities."

centers.

different

from

been awarded scholarships.

Laird, Bisseli & Meeds
York

Stock

Exchange

Established

120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y.

Telephone:
Bell

BArclay

Teletype—NY

1891

18 Clinton St., Newark

7-3500

2, N. J.

MArket 3-3430

1-1248-49

ft. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.)

They

Paul Lloyd Howell, Assistant
Professor of Finance
at North¬

N.

Y.

Phone—REctor 2-4383

Wisconsin;

—

Stock

of

Exchange

Amyas Ames, Chairman,

Association of
Charles B.
Harding, Smith, Barney & Co.;
Walter
W.
Stokes, Jr., Stokes,
Hoyt & Co.
Vilas,

President,

Stock Exchange Firms;

GEYER & CO.

Investment Bankers Association

INCORPORATED

NEW YORK 5:

WHlTKHALL 3-0762

NY 1-2876

BOSTON 9

CHICAGO 4

LOS ANGELES 14

10 Post Office Square

231 S. LaSalle Street

210 West Seventh Street

HUbbard 2-0650

FRAnklin 7535

BS-297

CG-105

V

—Julien H. Collins,
vestment
Bankers

"Wall Street

67

Robert
SAN FRANCISCO 4
Russ

Building

YUkon 6-2332

LA-1086

PRIVATE WIRE SYSTEM CONNECTING:

Michigan 2837

SF-573

NEW YORK, BOSTON,

CHICAGO,

CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, ST. LOUIS, LOS ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO
TELEPHONES

TO:

Providence,

Hartford, Enterprise 6011

Enterprise

7008




.

.

W.

Robert

W.

al

Fisher, Blyth & Co.;
Clark, Jr., Education¬

Director,

i>

York

Francis

A.

Bankers

Investment

Association.
New

President, In¬
Association;

.

.

Curb

Truslow,

,

Detroit, Enterprise 6066

we

are

Exchange—

President,

New York Curb Exchange.
New

Emil

York

Schram,

are

*

i'fi

*

%

$6,000 gross and this has been accomplished through
the untiring efforts of Messrs Beck, Murphy, Reilly and Strickland,
who represent

the "Commercial & Financial Chronicle."

How about your

being read

as we

ideas?

We the committee know these notes are

do get comments, now may we ask for
■

K. I. M. YOUR NSTA

*

-0

*

.

.

.

*

Stock

Collin, Norton & Co.,
120

Broadway,

New York

President,

New

5, N. Y.

SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION OF NEW
The

YORK

Security Traders Association of New York announces it will

again hold a summer outing. It will be held on Friday, Sept. 10 at
Island, home of the New York Athletic Club.
A feature of the afternoon will be an all-star soft ball game
which in itself should undoubtedly be worth the price of admission,

Travers

especially

as

there will be FREE BEER.

highlights will include horseshoe pitching, golf, and a
hatful of surprise contests.
There will be prizes, prizes and prizes—
for contest winners, contest loser, spectators and others.
As the capacity of the club is limited, ST ANY members are urged
to make their reservations before the public announcement appears
in the "sheets." The Arrangements Committee the same as for the
Other

■

STANY

dinner.

The price of $8

per

person

includes

sumptuous

a

dinner, gratuities, use of lockers, etc., and FREE BEER before dinner.
Members of the Committee are: Arnold J.VWechsler, Ogden,
&

Co., Chairman, Arrangements

Committee. Horseshoes:
Greene and Company.
Co. and Joe Cabbie,

Larry Wrenn, Allen & Co. and Frank McCall,
Softball: Joe Eagan, Frank C. Masterson &
Abraham & Co.

Exchange—

suggestions?

.■..

"BUY ADVERTISING"
>
HAROLD B. SMITH, Chairman
Yearbook Committee, NSTA
;

Wechsler

.

Portland, Enterprise 7008
;

stop

counts."

We are over

Finance at

Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Homer A.

■

"You can't

further advanced at this time.

are:

Association

X

great number of our membership

a

University of North Carolina.

Firms

.4J-H.

Advocate,"

"Christian

O'Neill,

John T.

and

Assistant Professor of

WHOLESALE MARKETS IN

v

certain

University; Frank Max¬
Graner, Assistant Professor
of Finance at the University of

mittee

INSURANCE STOCKS

of the following quotation which was ad¬

you

Wesleyan

well

The members of the Joint Com¬

BANK and

the

by

people from thinking—but can you start them? That's what
We think the above is most fitting at this time as

western

the

3^

vanced

,

„

Three educators

J. S. Rippel & Co.

LIBBING"

We must remind

not thinking about
the work your Advertising Committee is endeavoring to do for them.
To put it more frankly, this job is not an easy one and can only
X'ur^5Psucceed when our membership looks upon this work as a necessary
on
the other hand, will be.in a
adjunct toward the progress of our National Organization. While it
position to acquire first - hand is true we have several months to go, nevertheless, we should be

are:

Members New

"AD

un¬

parts of the country have already

Request

on

Edu¬

.80

QUARTERLY COMPARISON

Circular

on

1.29

However, this is feasible in only

19 New York

"The Joint Committee

cation represents all phases of the

.30

3.14

NSTA Notes

and to students.

.78

2.33

18.12

shown.

our entire economy.
Accordingly there are many as¬
pects of the business that are of
interest to economists, to teachers

1.30

City Eank Farmers Trust.

Wherever possible, net

profits

m«a:bndn«8 jtseg^Jut
advantage of

1.67

3.47

_

Meeting' them intelli¬
gently benefits not only the secur-

0.60

-

1.58

2.09

3.17

ccftfirfcry as

whole.

a

2.59

0.57

2.30

Trust

Trust——.

lems which affectethe;

59.18

40.59

City

York

New

59.52

.85

.86

2.49

Trust.

Manufacturers

1.63

1.24

Irving Trust
"National

$32.73
569.67

3.00

1.73

National

*

_

_

1.11

Exchange

Guaranty

$.56

1.63

1.32

1.39

Trust_

&

1948

Quar.

...

$.52

■SZ®

3.00

___—___

Bank

Commercial

.

June 30,

2nd

.

Quar

10.90

_

National

Chemical

Sec.,

Values

Indie.

or

1st

Profits

$1.10

Hanover

Chase

Incl.

Incl. Sec.

Book

1948

Total

Total

Net

Y. & 5th Ave.

Bank of N.

or

$0.94

'

f.

Manhattan—.—

of

f or Total

Oper.

i!

j
Bank

.*

Indicated

Indicated
y-

ridge, J. Arthur
Postley & Co.

Golf:

Jerry Kane, Luckhurst & Co. and Ted Plum-

Warner

&

Co. Cards: Sam
.,"
*

Gronick, Gilbert J.
*

-

,

THE

Number 4714.

Volume ,168,

COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Francis Schanck Wilh J

What Price Marshall Aid?

CHICAGO, ILL.—Bacon, Whip¬
ple & Co., 135 South La Salle St.,
members

of

not to insist

Chicago

Stock

European currency devaluations has had only tem¬
reassuring effect and there is growing feeling Britain will be
forced to abandon principle of Empire Preference.

porary

on

nounce

the

manager

,<$

was

rushed

—

the

revised

was

considered to be far

Par¬

the text

liament

in

from

few

wording of

thought

through

a

Moreover, the

satisfactory.

insistence of the American nego¬
on the right of the Admin¬

days

without

hav¬

tiators

ing been

con¬

istration

sidered

ade¬

deliveries

24

prefers to

government

signing of the pact

postpone the

until after the time limit of July 3,
if

even

in

of

some

doing

so

benefit

the

it will lose
to

allocated

Marshall Plan.

Britain under the

the

Jr.,

municipal

Mr.
ated

dictate

with First

has

been

Boston

associ¬

Corpora¬

negotiations. Rather than ac¬
cepting
unfavorable
terms the
government is prepared to lose
an amount of aid proportionate to
the

delay between July 3 and the
signing of the pact, which will
not take place until after it has
been approved by Parliament.
The publication

of the terms of
awaited with great
interest in London. Many people

the pact were

to

judgment

reserve

after

they
On

have

are

the

valuation

absence

is

rather than

future

as

it

of the

materially

during the last few days. Until
recently the main argument in
favor of accepting the pact was
stand

trade deficit, and it

impossible

before

ma¬

raw

terial imports.
now
become

This argument has
powerfully
rein¬
the threat of a war

by

with Soviet Russia over the Berlin

conflict. Many Conserv¬

currency

atives

until

who

recently

were

opposed to concessions affecting
Empire Preference are now in¬
clined to reconsider their attitude,
"first

the

on

first"

things

must

come

principle.

The

the

likely

to

decrease

United

has

argument

influence,

to

however,

a

large number of the opponents of
the
pact. Their argument runs

the

Chicago office. Dur¬

ing World War II, he served four

of active duty in the U. S.

the

to

devalue

sterling,

vantages of such
than

more

reason

which

aid

have to
aircraft

Ernest

Smith & Co., 2 Broad¬
New York City, members of

way,

belongs to

League Club

Bond Club of

OF THE

the

and the

Chicago.

New

have

York

admitted

Curb

Louis

the

United

States

grant in order to keep the
carrier

afloat."

It

CHASE

CITY

tages to

the

OF NEW YORK

be

derived

aid.

RESOURCES

Cash and Due from Banks

What is causing even more con¬
than the fear that Britain

cern

U. S. Government

might be forced into devaluation
contrary
the

JUNE 30, 1948

disad¬

the advan¬
from E.R.P.

to her

fear

best

interests

that under the

might have

to

is

State and

pact she

abandon

some

of

$1,203,034,945.43

Obligations

Municipal Securities

1,632,762,060.73
.

escape clauses embodied in
Havana Final Act, with the
result that she would have to give
up

and

quantitative
discrimination
Empire Preference at a very

.

.

•

Other Securities

37,494,179.62

•

*

126,899,161.59

Loans, Discounts and Bankers' Acceptances

1,461,069,553.89

early

date.

kind

would

Concessions

provide

of

this

the

is

ar¬

gued that the development of an
acute conflict in Berlin should in¬

Accrued Interest Receivable

•

Stock of Federal Reserve Bank

attacks

American

ment

forced

some

of

Loan

Britain

to

avoid

Agree¬

repetition

Acceptance Liability
.

.

.

•

.

.

20,343,543.62

•

.

.

7,950,000.00

abandon

the

the

8,561,369.20

•

20,617,572.94

that

the

.

Mortgages
Customers'

for

•

main

against the
pact. Opponents of the pact recall

ground

.

this

of

Banking Houses

30,660,493.36

Other Assets

1,939,071.00

•

$4,551,331,951.38

ex¬

perience.
There is

LIABILITIES

growing feeling that,
a purely economic
point of
view, Britain would now be in a
a

from

much better position to

terms

demanded

States than she
in

the

reject the
the United

by

in

was

1945.

For

requirements, the

rest,

working

and

goods
Britain

classes

stocks

have
is

war-weary

of

become

had

a

replenished.
prepared,

both

on the terms of the
pact is
likely to be determined largely
by the development of the conflict

over

Berlin.

ease

between

resistance

stiffen;

Should
now

to

$4,154,808,627.36

•

2,960,000.00

....

8,291,321.26

Payable August 2, 1948.

•

•

Reserve for.Taxes, Interest, etc.

Other Liabilities

21,425,322.92

consumers'

better

now

•

*

meantime

British produc¬
tion has been converted for
peace¬
time

Deposits
Dividend

the

tension

Acceptances Outstanding $ 25,661,968.10
Less Amount in Portfolio

Reserve for

4,238,300.52

18,482,323.76

Capital Funds:
.

.Undivided Profits

.

.

$111,000,000.00

.

.

Surplus

154,000,000.00

.

58,940,688.50

and the debate,

the

should the

would

pact
tension

323,940,688.50

grow

resistance

worse

21,423,667.58

Contingencies

Capital Stock.

duce the United States to moder¬

might become
confined largely to the pro-Com¬

ate their demands instead of ex¬

munist elements in Parliament.

pecting Britain to accept them for
the sake of co-operation in face
The

ington

statement issued in Wash¬

its original

no

a say

of

cies produced a

But

it

did

States

longer insists on

demand to reserve the

right to have
devaluation

United

the

that

Government

not

regarding the

Peter

last.




On

second

P.

McDermott

&

change,
Cohn

is

announce
now

in

that Sidney D,

charge of

the

firm's investment service depart¬
ment.

secure

public and

trust

deposits and for other

at

purposes as

$266,101,220.00

required

Co., 44

Wall Street, New York City, mem¬
bers of the New York Stock Ex¬

European curren¬

reassuring effect.

$4,551,331,951.38
United States Government and other securities carried

Cohn With McDermott Co.

of the common danger.

Exchange,
J.

Newman

to limited partnership in the firm.

STATEMENT OF CONDITION,

decision would

a

outweigh

bate

rier afloat.

of

Union

and

in

stocks.

Ernest Smith Co. Admits

Cook and

rather than lowered. It is felt that

That being so there is
why Britain should ac¬
cept costly conditions for the sake

their aircraft carrier in

conflict with Russia, it is to

no

the

counties

THE

defla¬

The trend and outcome of the de¬

a

as

Dupage

organization

He is

member of two School District
of Education in

that

with preferred

inflationary trend in

States and

their

"If the United States want to use

Britain

ings and Loan Association.
Board

municipal depart¬

of

connection

near

interests to keep the aircraft car¬

lines:

following

the

on

tivities

increase

in

materially and mentally, to
face a period of austerity. On the
other hand, in the meantime the
international
political
situation
has grown incomparably worse.

broadly

director of the

a

and of the Hinsdale Federal Sav¬

manager of the

some inscrutable reason the
United States should force Britain

British

political

failed

Mr. Schanck is

number

a

safeguards included
meeting her in the Bretton Woods Final Act,
would become' and the result had proved to be
very
long to disastrous. They are anxious to

maintain vital food and

forced

Com¬

Transport Service.

terms

of

chance

no

would

Britain

it

without

that

Plans and

Staff

of

the

number

The

increased

has

63

the

many

contained.

as

on

Harriman, Ripley & Co., Inc.,
Wall Street, New York City,
announce that Richard T. Kearns,
formerly of the staff of Spencer
Trask & Co.; became a member of
their trading organization on July
1, 1948, and is conducting the ac¬

as ex¬

Transport

result of the contrast

a

between the

hand,

opponents

former

mander Air

cidedly undervalued in relation to
the dollar,
and that its under¬

become

other

the

supporters and
of the pact who had
already decided to support it or
oppose it, without knowing what
there

Officer

Facilities

a

if, for

the

until

Air

Squadron Eleven and

tion since 1930, recently serving as

years

foreign stations

officer

of
do¬

on

Municipal Bond Club of Chicago

Schanck

ment of the

consisted

activities

States

its

government did not want to rush

available.

ecutive

bond

department.

tionary trend in Britain. Conse¬
quently, it is argued, the gold
value of sterling should be raised

preferred

as

mestic and

aid

Owing to the delay in the negotia¬
tion of the pact, it became evi¬
dently impossible to debate its
terms before that date, and the

•

the

an¬

with

of British experts have expressed
the opinion that sterling is de¬

Dr. Paul Einzig

that,

the

Exchanges,

association

service

war

various aviation

17

Kearns Trading For
Harriman Ripley

notice

the 'United

to

During recent weeks

on

rather than do

that,

of

and

was

Commander, in De¬

valuation.

of

Commons
June

York

a

specific
provisions in the pact .about de¬

nnounced,
House

moment's

a

enable
in

even

however, in
the

at

Government

of

Council

t he
a

would

Lord

The

Marshall

stop

New

as

cember, 1945.

has caused widespread uneasiness.
It is felt that this trump card

quately, would
repeat
itself.
President

to

the

firm of Francis R. Schanck,

LONDON, ENGLAND—The British Government's decision to
postpone the debate on the terms of the bilateral pact on EEP aid
was
welcomed with relief in British political circles.
It had been
feared that the experience with the American Loan Agreement,
which

released

His

Dr. Einzig notes some opposition^ in Britain to recent agreement
with U. S. in the matter of Marshall Plan aid. Says
policy7of U. S.

(113)

Naval Reserve from which he

Bason, Whipple & Go.

By PAUL EINZIG

""1

&

Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

or

are pledged to
permitted by law.

18

THE

(114)

COMMERCIAL

City Bank of New York, in July "Monthly tetter/'
perilous trend in new projects for Federal spending.

sees

"j

when the money is

defense
To

to5 the

subtracted."

ever

turn

partment
for

heads

more

pleas

when

that

President

the

$40

a

year

wJl

BROWN BROTHERS HARRIMAN & CO.

The

penditures

for

1948

figure

billion.

$37.5

'49^

is

that program

of Condition, June 30, 1948

ditures
cash

ASSETS
on

Hand and Due from Banks.

.

.

.

.

United States Government Securities

_.

Loans and Discounts

Customers'

Liability

...

on

•

42,918,093.01
4,939,273.87

.

.

.*

.

.

Acceptances

*.
,

*59,263,764.33
.

..

19,394^54.79

.

Other Assets

1,092,426.92

$230,295,423.19
LIABILITIES '

Deposits—Demand

.

.

\

Deposits—Time

.

.

.

.

$192,768,435.64
_

*

"
"

individual

725,531.59

Reserve for

Expenses, etc.

Contingencies

$

Capital

Surplus

1,500,000.00

13,885,283.54

crease

IT Brown-

billion

Thatcher M. Brown

Complete Facilities

Deposit Accounts

Ray Morris

Louis Curtis

the

E. R. Harriman

Knight Woolley

-

Brokers

for
of

Purchase

Credit

and

Sale

Securities

Investment Advisory Service

Limited Partner—W. A. Harriman

Managers
L. Parks Shirley

Edward Abrams

Howard P. Maeder

David G. Ackf.rman

Edwin K. Merrill

Donald K. Walker

Joseph R. Kenny

M. Dutton Morehouse

John C. West

Ernest E. Nelson

Gale Willard

F. H. Kingsbury,

Jr.

•

Harry L. Wills

Joseph C. Lucey
Assjstant Managers
William C. Horn

Robert H. Chamberlin

came

John A. Knox

Arthur K. Paddock

Louis C. Farley, Jr.

Thomas

William F. Ray

James Hale. Jr.

Herbert Muhlert

Arthur R. Rowe

Laurence W. Siuonds

William A. Hess

evidence

This

were

George E. Paul, Treasurer

examination and regulation by the

Superintendent of Banks of the State of New York and by the Department of
Banking of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Subject to supervision and ex¬
amination by the Commissioner of Banks of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.

'49

Fiscal

Dramatic

It is true today as it

then.

Elects New Officers

Denind

CLEVELAND, OHIO.—The fol¬

lowing officers were elected for
the year 1948-49 by the Bond Club

the biggest
in

ever

proposed

"The

action

majority

a

pres¬

is

the

of

totally

committee

Rudford

Wilson'

K.

0rin Koeser

inconsistent

ing, certainly it should be for the
purpose of strengthening our na¬
tional defenses against the threats
of the totalitarian powers. Above
all, it should not be used to chew
up
the
very
materials
which,
should they be needed, are so vital

Outlook

the

year^

to

Unofficial
the

tallies

adjournment

made

of

-

ity favoring

amount

the

President

for

headed
the

plus

authorizations

t

<

px

military spending which, while
appropriations

i-)

-v

■

-•

>:

,

■

-« >

'

4

•

••1 '■'

'■

r

if

Stanley

to $440 million

a cut

of

the growing

programs

declared,

"will

in

which

taxes

urer.

Senator

mean

Byrd
increase

an

will

New governors chosen for
year

private

enterprise system; to its
very foundations."
As Chairman
Bridges of the Senate Appropri¬
ations
same

vote

Committee

debate,
for

stated

takes

and

will

tion it deserves

in

The real
the

budget

MIAMI

;

results

for

fiscal

3-

Doerge,
Co.; Harry G.

to

The

Financial

Chiionicle)

BEACH, FLA.—Inves¬

tor's Service

that

Corporation has been
formed with offices at 420 Lincoln

attenT

Koad. Officers

71'

man,.

danger is not in how

Vice-President

'49

are

Manuel Hoff¬

President; R. H, Struthers,
and

Treasurer;

Milton Feller,

Secretary, and-Sid¬
budget to which new ney Wasserman, Assistant Treas¬
constantly being added urer. ■■■'■7-.
;

will turn out.
toward

the

a

H.

Investors Service Corp.;

the forthcom¬

ing election campaigns.
■

hope

Mericka &

(Special

.

issue will receive

Carl

the

in

guts"

tp
in the face of
propaganda..

citizens

Many

J.

were

Kraus, Ball, Burge & Kraus; Wm.
H. Watterson, Fahey, Clark & Co.

economy

pressure

this

"it

term

Wm.

the

shake

K.

Stanley Eilers, Hornblower &
Weeks, was re-elected as Treas¬

financial demands of

requirements,

R.

Secretary: Wm. Watterson, Fahey, Clark & Co.

programs
already authorized or
under way.
The mounting reve¬
nue

President

Doerge

Vice-President: Orin E. Koeser,

top of

on

Cleveland:

H.

Blyth & Co.;

to

new

Carl

Eilers

Wilson, Curtiss, House & Co.

is not called to

halt

a

drift

sition ol'

$2.8

employes,

of

bigger and bigger
spending, through the superimpo-

since

Congress voted pay increases

government

floor

He presented projections
where the Federal budget is

of

January budget message, and
in
his subsequent
supplemental
requests. At the same time, how¬
ever,

the

on

less.

or

aggregate
sought in

than* the

debate

Senator Byrd aligned
himself with a Republican minor¬

show that direct and permanent
appropriations for the fiscal year
less

the

the Senate,

Congress

were

national security."

our

In

The Cbngress, under the

not in the form of




by Franklin
D.
the
1932
political

Cleveland Bond Club

an arena roi

politics.

lion and far and away

Acceding to the recommendations
of Air Force Secretary Symington,
.the Congress has approved a 70group Air Force proposal which,
.in the .first instance, commits the
government to the expenditure
of $3 billion oyer and above the
President's original budget. } T-v

for

v•».,

in

appropriation

narbors and tiooa

figure

balances:on

fiscal

new

additional contract

iff

approval

campaign.
was

$666 million appropriations m fis¬
cal '49—a 60% increase over the
current year's figure of $41o mil¬

his
Private Bankers and subject to

docu¬

a

durmg

provided
of
tne
Pig
spending.
President's budget included

The

from

with the will of Congress as over¬

billion

as

anew

was

pressures

the

at

ending June 30, 1949,

Licensed

the

on

rivers,

"pork barrel"

calling fdr a "legislative
budget," voted to cut this by $2Y2
billion
to
$37.2 - billion.
Now,
already, practical observers i rec¬
ognize that this'legislative budget
goal is lost—this time mainly by
increased military expenditures.

Arthur L. Nash

Merritt T. Cooke

J. McElrath

deoate

statement,

signed by Alfred E. Smith
Calvin Coolidge, was quoted

Roosevelt

control

expenditures

-

control—traditionally

1946

of

Loans -Acceptances
of

This

with

a

organized

of

ment
and

bill for

Congressional Reorganization Act

and

H. D. Pennington

Commercial Letters

carryback of $3
expenditures to fis¬

government

aggregation

an

and selfish minorities."

$8 billion

the

billion.

Domestic

to

the

demonstrated

was

starting point is the President's
budget message of* last January
which projected expenditures for
fiscal "49 at a total close to $40

Foreign Banking

Thomas McCance

Prescott S. Bush

tor

billion might easily
surplus, even

How hard it is to get

in

them.# Inder

pendence and liberty will be gone
the general public will find
itself in a condition of servitude

moderate

ECA

take

and

and

A Perilous Trend

corporate and

rates

tax

Treasury cash

For

FACILITIES

Stephen Y. JIord

from

has taken charge 6t,

held

total

action, i arise

charge of their government they
will find that their government

cal '48.

<

Moueau

expenditure

a

Unless the people, through

unified

level

by

The

Required by Law $1,600,000 U. S. Government Securities are
Pledged to Secure Public Deposits

PARTNERS

an

to *$40

apart

hand.

$230,295,423 19

As

favor.

of

government must be re¬
fear and without

without

.

2,000,000.00

11,885,283.54

based

$210 billion and is gen¬

fore,

spendthrift govern¬

"All the costs of local, State and
national

duced

level

a

ment.

rev¬

current

of

destruction

personal sense of re¬
sponsibility
and
the
dwindling
value of the currency which goes
and

surplus; pro¬ whelmingly expressed in the reso¬
this tremendous flow lution finally adopted on Feb. 27,
of revenue, approximately $6 bil¬
1948, establishing the legislative
lion yras applied to reduction of
budget for the fiscal year 1949...
the national debt,
with the re¬
"If we must violate our pledge
maining $2 billion going to in¬ for
curtailed governmental spend¬
duced

383,614.87

....

........

the

Of

19,953,738.46
*

Accrued Interest,

nearer

close

wartime maximum.

$ 20,679,270.05

Less Held in Portfolio.

.

locaT

fiscal

income
The

question whether Amer¬

the^ progressive

was

billion,

is

these

ident's budget for these purposes.
The House Appropriations Comt

both

1945 when

in

1,804,350-68 $194,572,786.32

.......

Acceptances

$39 V2

billion.

pay¬

all

Notwithstanding this failure to
achieve the hopedffor reduction in
mittee cut the total back to $539
expenditures, the Treasury closed million—still
allowing a 30% in¬
the '48 fiscal yeap with a Whopr
crease.
The
Senate voted $640
ping big surplus, in the neighbor¬
milLon, nearly all the President
hood of $8 billion (not couhting
estimated.
A conference between
the charge of $3'billion reserve
committees
of
the
two
Houses
for '49
expenditures just men¬
resulted in a compromise on $573
tioned).
Revenues,
which
the
million, a 38% increase over fis¬
President in January, 1947, 'esti¬
cal 1948 and a 14% decrease from
mated at $38 or $39 billion, actu¬
the President's figure.
ally turned out to be near $45
A minority report filed in the
billion, second only to the peak Senate
minced no words:

50,929,969.91

.

State,' Municipal and Other Public-Securities
Other Marketable Securities

$ 51,756,940.36

to

for

forecast

"down

year's cost

when

plans and programs are added to¬
gether and projected j into
the
future, the results raise the fun¬

along with

government

national

a

yield

until fiscal '49.

Cash

of

first

But

ican principles of life and govern¬
ment can survive the
tax load,

revenues substant.aily
above $40 billion a year on pres¬
ent tax rates.
Evidently, there¬

against 1948 expen¬
though the actual
will not be made

even

outlay

subject

plan—the
the

of

little.

damental

then,

even

and

erating

exclusive of the provision of

Statement

of

oh

is
the
European aid legislation charging
$3 billion of the estimated cost of
of

ail

are

carefully

is

revenue

$200

elsewhere—

fiscal

be

The results,

.

level

ury s

within $1 billion of the President's

PHILADELPHIA

BOSTON

NEW YORK

figures

can

an¬

enues, in its turn, is subject to
business fluctuations.
The Treas¬

mainly in the area of foreign aid.
The upshot
was
that total ex¬

PRIVATE BANKERS

the

and

be

European Recovery Program.

eaten up by

were

outlays

very

fiscal

generally broad, most
notably perhaps in the case of the

over

directions

increased

ment"

cannot

tentative

istrators

by the appropriations ^com¬
mittees, spearheaded by Chairman
Taber-of the House Committee,
some

until

be

payment"

on bal¬

expendi¬

change under the force of events.
The discret.on allowed to admin¬

work

Business Established 1818

figure

have the fatal charm of the "easy

in

actual

the President's original

available

ago

effected

,

whether

to

increasing

billion

swered

proposed Ttis

economies

commit
the and from which nothing much is
appropriations ever subtracted. * New. projects,
needed/ / T ; constantly put. before • Congress,

as

prevent

from

checked.

$37.5 billion budget for the (fiscal
year
ended June 30, 1948, the
Congress set out to trim expendi¬
tures by some $4
to $6 billion.
Actually, despite
much valiant

substantial

to

'49 above

money.

recalled

question

tures

passed and it is now possible to
year.
As a matter of fact, high
Says the "Bank Letter":
assess
results, in at least a pre¬
Events of the past two weeks Treasury
officials
openly
pre¬
liminary way.
have raised new questions about dicted a deficit in the new fiscal
The pressure
for enlarged
the trend of the Federal budget year when the tax bill was en¬
Since then, spending pro¬ spending—in almost every imag¬
and
the country's
capacity and acted.
inable
direction—has
been
in¬
willingness to meet its new obli¬ posals of so many different kinds
tense.
Yet
Congress has made
gations without inflation.
With have been under discussion that
the combination of the tax cut, many people have been led to cuts, some of tnem-running to
substantial figures.
For this no
a
much enlarged
military pro¬ conclude that the budget has got
proof perhaps could be more elo¬
out
of
hand.
The
gram, the enactment of the for¬ completely
quent than the attacks;; levelled
eign-aid program, and election- President's original budget pro¬
against the Congress for "parsi¬
year pressures to loosen the purse posals last January—which set a
mony"
and
"penny-pinchipg.'
strings,
talk ( has
been
widely spending target of $39.7 billion—
The experience bids fair to repeat
swollen
current that there will be a re¬ were
by supplemental
what happened last year—only at
a
higher level of spending.
It

be

The

ance

adjournment of Con4
gress,
June
19, all the major
appropriations
bills
had
been

will

nevertheless

enough; nas tefen <cut out

de-:

of

constituents

or

the

At

deficits in the 1949 fiscal

to

:

a

responded

is

bills,

/international

and

lesser extent Congress
itself has taken the initiative and

"Monthly Bank -Letter" of the National
City Bank of New York, the 1949 fiscal budget outlook is analyzed
atid a warning sounded that there is danger to our stability and
principles of government in the trend of adding new items of Fed¬
eral
expenditures
"from
which^
much

Thursday^ July 8; 1948

g o verhmeh t to

aid.

In the July issue of the

never

CHRONICLE

tional

|of Expanding Federal Budget

National

FINANCIAL

requests that he filed chiefly for
additional" appropriations- for • na¬

"

Warns

&

a

items are

It lies in the trend

_

1

•'•i-'-vY

'

■/■{'■is;-"

■

;

Volume

168

Number 4714

THE;

Report More Confidence

(115)

Bolivia's Plan to Resume Service

-

The

In Business Conditions
Business

Survey Committee of National Association of Purchasing
Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton of Winchester Repeating
Arms Corporation, sees beneficial effect of recent
wage agreements
and brighter political picture.

by purchasing
Survey.
Pro-3—

duction
creases

agents

the

Business

May

sodas,

sand,

steel,

heavy

tin*

titanium,
_'

tallow,

die castings.

'

acids,
4

zinc

Executive

Power.

est

lowing approval by that Congress,
and
upon
completion of
other
formal requirements, an offer will
be made to the bondholders which

provide generally

ammonia, brass fittings, cad¬
mium, chrome, coal tar products,
coke, copper, ferro alloys, fuel oil,

num,

uary.
Back
orders con¬
tinue to
•

as

to

the

w

Febru-

of

conditions,
agreement,

coal

Past Due Interest will be

com¬

(b)

new

erally
tion

rider

to

34%

many

will

March

17%

in

noted

advanced

of

employment

in

vacations

even

more

It is believed that

uates.

over

wide

a

spiral, but

Production

sharp

holding

generally upward ad¬
justment reflecting increased wage
and
transportation
costs.
With
a

many of the

influences

strikes

stabilized

employment

worker

create

more

Prices

are

and

to

been

nan.

1 i

The trend of
reducing invento¬
ries has changed
somewhat. While
60% report maintaining invento¬
ries at lowest

n

announced

Cash, Gold

Due

and

(Direct

State

is

class

past five
price protec

man

or

pening;

rather,

a

this

policy

treme caution prevails.

is

of

L.

Mr.

Curtis from

served

ing,

railroad

ties, rosin, salamo-




$4,645,527,278

Accept¬

on

Bills.

and

Stock

2,682,977

Ownership

Portfolio

in

Transit

.•

.

Branches.

28,128,039

......

Capital

25,971,263

.........

Dividend

4,650,000

..,...$ 77,500,000

6,115,385

.

.

5,370,967

Interest, Taxes, Other Accrued
Expenses, etc.

7,000,000

,

Other Assets
Total

Other

and

Unearned Income

Surplus

1,561,915

with

39,792,976

7,200,000

.

....

....

.

10,424,319

for:

Unearned Discount

International

of

Bank Premises

Items

Reserves

37,020,477

Federal Reserve Bank

in

$50,217,295

.

Undivided Profits

'£4,995,679,834

Total

are as

.

,

.

.

.

.

162,500,000

,

34,367,350

•

.

274,367,350'
$4,995,679,834;

.

of June 25, 1948

CORPORATION)

Chairman of the Executive Committee

of the Board

President

W. Randolph Burgess

Jr.

Howard C. Sheperd

TRUST COMPANY

Office: 22 William Street, New York

Condensed Statement

Detroit

—

the

late

(IN

Colonel

hav¬

west Airlines.

was

a

First Lieutenant

serv¬

Officer in Charge-of Flying
Post Field,
Fort Sill, Okla¬
as

homa.

;

In

addition

to

preferred

stock

of

con¬

the

company was considered and it
the sense of the
meeting that

no

action be taken at this time.

DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS

OMITTED)

Cash

Due

and

Banks

from

.

LIABILITIES
*.

-.

$ 23,959,474

U. S. Government Obligations

Fully Guaranteed).

or

Obligations

of

and

in

1,077,004

«

Municipal Securities

.

.....

and

Securities

Federal Reserve Bank

.

Bank Premises

Other Assets

.

7,926,361

,

.

Advances

Real Estate Loans
Stock

93,665,485

Loan Deposit

Reserves

Other Securities
and

$101,847,428

.

$1,729,484)

Other Federal

Agencies

State

Deposits.

(Includes United States War

Hancock's

tion of the dividend upon the

of June 30, 1948

-

Loans

Mr.

as

ASSETS

(Direct

During World War I, Mr. Han¬
cock

of Condition

as

*

many chem¬
icals, coal, cocoa butter, diamond
powder, fats, ferromanganese,
frit,
pig iron, lumber
(mixed), mag¬
nesia, menthol, paper,
pipe, print¬

OMITTED)

for

Acceptances

,

...

.

1 otal.

.

.

.

.

(Includes Reserve
of

$310,652)

.

,

for

4,441,191

.

Dividend

'

101,038
1,085,986
1,373,869

Capital

,

«

•

•

•

$10,000,000

Surplus

.

,

i

\

\

10,000,000

600,000
3,079,383

,

was

rachloride; castings,

of June 30, 1948

as

1930

vertible

Reported up: Acetone,
alkalies,
aluminum,
ammonia,
asbestos,
babbitt,, .calcium carbide and tet¬

par,

Grenville L. Hancock

all price climb is not

firmer tone in many

par

Sher¬

election, the matter of the declara¬

a

Customers' Liability

Adams from 1919 to 1930 and

The number of
commodities in
in price far
overbalances
the decreases.

established

Securities

1918

ing played a direct part in the
early financial history of North¬

Commodity Changes

markets.

and

Head

E. S. Evans of that
company

ing

over¬

of

below

1,308,134,577

Discounts

CITY BANK FARMERS

Hancock

Co.,

ex

large, it has

purchase

demption of bonds at

82,591,319

Wm. Gage Brady,

•

Though the

for

available

Less: Own Accept¬

245,222,036

,

former director of Evans Products

re¬

creased

when

fund

the

1941.

at

Specific

a-nd

Chairman

&

hap

of

ances

(MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

to

are
spot-checking
frequently.
Some

that

of Condition

Undivided Profits

,

9,008,433

29,008,433

2,428,452

$135,297,052

Total.

.

.

,

.

.

$135,297,052

$8,850,463 of United States Government Obligations are deposited to secure the
United States War Loan Deposit and for other
purposes required or permitted by law,

Glidden, Morris

to Admit

(MEMBER FEDERAL

DEPOSIT INSURANCE

CORPORATION)

Glidden, Morris &. Co., 72 Wall
Street, New York City, have ad¬
mitted John C. Glidden as a
gen¬
eral partner.
In the past he was
with the firm as a
limited
partner.

Chairman of

the Board

W. Randolph Burgess*

on

all

constituting

retirement

Loan Deposit $37,481,988)

Figures of Foreign Branches

with Jackson

re¬

political

survey

balance

$302,660,341 of United States Government Obligations and $2,272,208 of other assets are deposited
to secure $228,380,560 of Public and Trust
Deposits and for other purposes required or permitted by law

associated

with

developments may create a sec
ondary boom and cause rash
buy
ing. There is no evidence in the
current

3%

at M. I. T. He
was

Buyers
more

ployed

principal

Liability

.

of

in

was

the

is expressed that
the
cent favorable labor and

the

Deposits

20,026,721

Real Estate Loans

East¬

Mr. Hancock

concern

at

Lumber
Co.,
Lebanon, Ore¬

the three-month commitmen
range which has governed for

markets

interest

Sant'iam

Buying policy continues within

ported.

new

1,788,510,291

Municipal Securities

and

per

outstanding from time to

(Includes United States War

by Paul F. Col-

gon.

tion, to induce large quantity
ders for longer
periods, are

of

cumulative

in¬

DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS

Other Federal

of

total

bonds stamped

Office: 55 Wall Street, New York

$1,461,486,097

Banks

from

Agencies

Eugene,
Oregon, and

Buying Policy

of

the

on

for

for

any

LIABILITIES

Fully Guaranteed)

or

Obligations

of

satisfactory turn

for

date, plus

ment

during the

1954

U. S. Government Obligations

Plywood Mills

of increased production.

Offers

a

4%

ice to be applied first to the
pay¬

Service

of

required

through

(IN

Mr. Han¬

sentative

is being« obtained on
higher inventories, because

buying

terest

$1,500,000

balance

ASSETS

Repre¬

ern

rate

months.

than

Ihe Associated

ments, 24% (slightly more than in
May) indicate increases. Several

ward

not

1949

years

than

The

monies,

Chair-

s,

cock

operating require¬

over

Prices

The
election
of
Grenville L.
Hancock to the Board of Directors
of
Northeast
Airlines, Inc., has

im¬

Inventories

their

less

last

Hancock Elected Director

being watched closely.

a

less

not

Including Domestic and Foreign Branches

Banking Corporation

competitive markets.

comment that

orders

with

removed,

productivity,

of

issued thereafter; this 4% serv¬

or

provide each

Condensed Statement

.Loans
back

even

rising; Inventories
static.
Employment unchanged.
Buying policy hand-to-mouth to
90 days.

purchasing executives look for in¬
creasing supplies, resulting from
proved

and

about

month.

production-retarding

of

will

ances in

Canada

commodities—no

that

time,

not

Head

Other Securities

Prices

Republic, will provide

service

of

service.

June.

scarce

Summer

areas.

cut

to

is

labor

Commodity Prices
range

(c) Beginning with Jan. 1, 1955,

THE NATIONAL CITY BANK OF NEW YORK

reporting
reduced
dropped from

employee loss through draft will
be more than offset by June
grad¬

con¬

Caution is still advised.

cern.

par,

phepQl,'

have

than last year.

Draft

Act, is giving buyers much

in

Skilled

to order¬

the

Those

employment

ly procurement, contained in the
powers'

(2)

bonds

22% report increased pay¬

as

rolls.

filling up; compe¬
tition is growing; a switch to a
buyers' market in several lines is

war

Bolivia

continuing high employ¬
61% reporting this condi¬

ment,

are

approaching. The threat

below

par.

year so long as any assented or
hew bonds are outstanding a sum

The June survey indicates gen¬

the

prompt adjustment of other wage
controversies, and a brighter po¬
litical picture.
Purchasing agents
point out, however, that material

pipe lines

market

or

the

1952; 2% for 1953 and
1954; and 3% for 1955 and there¬

to Dec. 31, 1948.

arrears

the

after.

promised by the issuance of

interest in

bonds, either (1) by purchase

in

by redemption through call at

Employment

a

as

of

of

methanol,

Better available: Bearings, steel
balls, electrical supplies, fasteners,
several mill supplies.

close

More confidence is
expressed in
general business
result

lead,

;

some papers,

pipe and fittings, nylon, tin, zinc.

level.

ary

steel,

nails, nickel,

rate

last month,
are

iron,

glue,

about

same

and
Robert C. Swanton

build

at

up

the

.

Minister

for 1951 and

follows:

as

On the down side:

since Jan¬

its

annum
on
the total principal of
$61,905,800 of dollar bonds,
.all bonds stamped or issued in ac¬
i
(a) Bolivia will pay interest
ceptance of the offer, and not re¬
semi-annually at the annual rates
of: 1% for 1949 and
or
redeemed
before
1950; iy2% purchased

Fol¬

bonds in the principal amount of
Alcohol, cot¬
while
the ton
and burlap bags, turpentine;- $5,627,800; thus the holder of each
n umber re¬
some hardware, electrical supplies,
$1,000 bond accepting the pro¬
porting
pro¬ office
supplies, tung, linseed, cas- posed plan will be offered a new
duction drops nor and
pine oils, cotton textiles.
and additional $100 bond for all
was
the low¬
Continuing hard to get: Alumi¬
of the reports,

ampupt of bonds covered by the
offer, will be used for retirement

Dollar Bonds

on

through

a proposed plan of service for
its four
$56,278,000 outstanding publicly offered dollar
bonds, fol¬
lowing discussions earlier this month between
Foreign Bondholders
Protective Council, Inc., and a<£Delegation of the Republic. The
Current Service will
begin as
proposed plan will be submitted from Jan.
1, 1949, on the newto the Bolivian
Congress by the principal amount of not more than

will

in-, niac,

were

shown in 28%

in

announced

issues of

Bolivian

According to a composite opinion of the Business Survey Com¬
mittee of the National Association of
Purchasing Agents, headed by
Robert C. Swanton, June business activity confirmed the trend of
improvement reported

Republic of Bolivia
Finance, J. Ramono, on July 1

19

President

Lindsay Bradford

a

em¬

bonds
or

*

re¬

20

THE

(116)

COMMERCIAL .&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

has enjoyed rapid growth

in
At the beginning of
its history it entered this field
through the Shawinigan Carbide
Company, from which has been
developed
the
largest
carbide
plant in the British Empire and
also
a
large chemical industry
based on acetylene.
Shawinigan
Chemicals Ltd. is now an impor¬

ness

recent years.

Shawinigan Water & Power
Shawinigan Water & Power of Canada, one of the largest pro¬
ducers and wholesalers of hydro-electric power in the world, re•

of achieve¬
The Shawinigan family includes Quebec Power, Shawinigan

t^ptly issued
ment.

brochure to commemorate its 50

tant producer of vinylite, a
tic material which is used

a

years

cles.

industry,

under way,
industrial

then

just

The

getting

The

power.

has

1,250,COO

more

than

217,0C0 industrial, do¬

mestic,
users

in

farm
an

serving

h.p.

tains

of 25,000 square

power

>:Like most American companies,
rapidly

increasing

capacity remained well in

of
the

period,

up

when

Carbide
for

The

en¬

only

construction

system

not

work

but

investi¬

also

sites

power

and

builds

hydro-electric and manufacturing

that

estimated

is

the

gates

St

the

care

de¬

plants throughout Canada, and in
other countries.

horse¬

The

developed on the

company's

;

(400,00C

preferred

shares

and

$1.63

$1.20

1.47

—

1945__

1.00

1.06

1946

0.90

1944

,

1.07

1943

/

1.09

0.90

(the Trenche develop¬

shares of

common)

are

1.16

0.90

1941

1.07

0.90

1940

0.95

0.90

busi¬

Canadian.

have

years

"hidden"

should be included the
drop to 12.4.
Earn¬
ings figures for the Chemical
company have not been regularly
furnished, but in 1947 the com¬
pany
grossed
$13,166,000
and
made a profit of $1,280,000, equiv¬
sidiary

ratio

would

(There

earnings of 270.

some

(the

1948

being 20%-16).
nearly

difference

points

earnings, but if the full equity in
the earnings of the chemical sub¬

the

on

other subsidiaries, but

plus

price-earnings
ratio
would
be
14.4% based on'published share

share

per

hidden earnings for
they would
probably not be very significant
in terms of parent share earn¬
ings.)
Shawinigan sells currently on
the New York Curb around
20
be

may

23%, the yield based on the $1.20
dividend rate being 5.12%.
The

•1

1

Earnings in recent
shown

590

The

Public

range

from

of

price

Montreal

the

reflects the 15%

non-resident tax

discount in Canadian
funds.
"As compared
with most
U. S. utility stocks, it does not
afford a very high yield.
How¬
ever,
its
investment
caliber is
supported by a 40-year dividend
record, a very strong cash posi¬
tion
(presumably for construc¬
tion), a 23% depreciation reserve,
and a 41 % equity ratio. The com¬
pany's diversification in the grow¬
ing chemical business doubtless
also carries investment appeal.
the

Exaggerates Concept of High
Corporate Profits

20,000 stockholders of which 86%

company's chemical

to

parent company stock; dividends
of $703,000 were paid, equivalent
to about 320 per share, leaving

Shawinigan is currently selling
on
the
Montreal
Exchange
at

owned by

are

The

0.90

.

1942

2,178,250

in 1952.

de¬

1947

alent

i

stocks

ment) is scheduled for completion

to

Divs.

Earns.

Year—

a

St. Maurice, and a 384,000

h.p. plant

excess

immediate requirements
wartime

upper

be

can

join

to

of

for

Moun¬

additional

million

one

miles in the Province of Quebec.

Shawinigan's

It

Lawrence.

commercial

and

area

Quebec

subsidiary

takes

miles

240

flows

the

gineering

Maurice

.

Laurentian

through
of

St.

the

on

which

River,

company

now

are

Union

Chemical

Monsanto

velopment and research.

company's principal hydro

units

was! the first to seek

with

controlled

demands.

war

The alumi¬

developed 10,000 h.p.
num

in

components of DDT and 2.4D (the
new
weed
killer)
plus
many
other products.
Subsidiaries of
the chemical company are jointly
and

1946:

wide range of everyday arti¬
The company
also makes

very

Chemicals Ltd., and Shawinigan<$>
Engineering,
together
with
a mands became abnormally high
number
of
smaller
subsidiaries By forming a power pool of the
including
transport
and
hotel three great Quebec power sys¬
tems—the Saguenay, the St. Law¬
companies.
rence
and
the
i The
Shawinigan—the
company was incorporated
was
able to meet all
in 1898 and five years later had company

growth, due in part to the great
activity of the paper industry,
which supplied 41% revenues in

plas¬

Thursday, July 8, 1943

.*

Dr.

substantial

Henry C. Link of the Psychological Corporation reports, as
pubile believes fact profits
average under 10%.

result of survey, only one-quarter of

According to Dr. Henry C. Link, of the Psychological Corpora¬
tion, if large companies made profits as high as most people think
they now make, most managers would consider themselves unscru¬
pulous profiteers.
If companies made as much profit as most people
thought
they
<?>
should
make,
pared with the 1948 survey, we
the

managers

would

bankers Trust Company

see

ably

profit
companies are actual¬
ly making.
Also, people's ideas
of what they
should make are
slightly nearer the truth. This im¬
provement may be due to some of

prof¬

as

iteers.

In

a

Psychological
B

a r o m e

a more

which large

think of them¬
selves

NEW YORK

slight change toward

a

realistic appreciation of the

prob¬
still

ter

the

educational

measures

which

ducted by

companies have been taking with
their employees and through their
public service advertising.
The

with

veys

con¬

survey

CONDENSED

STATEMENT OF

CONDITION, JUNE 30,

1948

The
Psychological
Corporation

interviews

ASSETS

from

Cash and Due from Banks

$

......

379,251,082.75

coast

New

.

.

.

518,954,817.71

,

York

coast

and

by

Loans and Bills Discounted
Refining Company

State and

HENRY J. COCHRAN
President, The Franklin Savings Bank

539,227,594.70

16,051,198.80

Municipal Securities

Other Securities and Investments

30,391,763.48

....

President

S. SLOAN COLT

13,769,525.14

Banking Premises

tions asked

Union Dime Savings Bank

Accrued Interest and Accounts Receivable

4,073,052.38

..

one

of the ques¬

was:

of

which
iarge business companies take in,
about
how many cents
do you
think they keep as clear profit?"
The same question was asked
in
a
comparable
Psychological
Barometer survey made in May,
dollar

every

The results in the two

1946.

WILLIAM L. DcBOST
Chairman,

interviewers,

"Out

ELLSWORTH BUNKER
Chairman, The. National Sugar

of line with the facts."
Henry C. Link

to

393
U. S. Government Securities
CORNELIUS N. BUSS

in

cities

148
DIRECTORS

startling fact is that in both sur¬
people's ideas of the profits
of big companies are so far out

personal

sur¬

veys were:

President, American Brake

Customers'

Shoe Company

Liability

on

Acceptances

.

.

13,000,205.85

.

JOHN W. HANES

$1,514,719,240.81

Chairman, Executive Committee,
United Stales Lines Company

New

CHARLES D. HILLES

May
1946

1948

13% 24%

Capital

......

$30,000,000.00

Surplus

......

80,000,000.00

And yet,

New Jersey

Undivided Profits

.

,

.

42,941,767.67

$

152,941,767.67

THOMAS A. MORGAN
Chairman, The Sperry Corporation

General Reserve

11,085,435.93

Dividend

PHILIP D. REED

Payable July 1, 1948

1,350,000.00

....

Deposits
Reserve for Taxes,

1,305,093,022.87
Accrued Expenses, etc.

Acceptances Outstanding

THOMAS J. WATSON. JR.
Vice President, International Business

4,372,252.42

.

$15,510,425.73

Less Amount in Portfolio

Corp.

profits

are

six times

to

one

13,379,458.36

Other Liabilities

President, The Commonwealth

26,497,303.56

Corporation

'How many

cents out of every

dollar

Profit

April

May
1946

as

1948

Under 10c

17%
42

f 45

15

17

26

been

deposited to




method described in the

secure

deposits, including $16,318,991.57 of United States Government
deposits, and for other

f

purposes.
i

*

Member of

the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

I■

...

to

Security Deal¬
succeed Philip

t,
&

dent

Presi¬

of

Gey¬
Co., Inc.,

&

er

Geyer,

is

is Chairman of
the

National

Quotation
Committee
the

of

National

Association

of

Security

Dealers,
well

as

being

as

member

a

its

New

of

George Geyer

York

District committee.

Hermosillo to Attend
Secur. Administrators

Convention

July 19

LINCOLN, NEB.
has

been

Announce¬

—

made

that

Prax-

Reina

General

Hermosillo, Assistant
Manager of Nacional Fi-

10

over_.

Uncertain

stockholders, dated January 20, 1948. Assets carried at $30,931,777.50 have

Mr.
who

edes

Dollar Companies

Have

York

e

r r

Grammack

Cents

30c and

annual report to

a

ment

10c to 29c

Securities in the above statement are carried in accordance with the

C

do. you think they should
keep as a fair profit?'
per

New

Association

L.

anywhere from
great as they

profits are entirely too
high. Thehrefore, we asked them
this question:

Should

$1,514,719,240.81

the

ers

as

"Many people today think that

"

2,130,967.37

JUSTIN R. WHITING
Southern

high profits like the present.
A
large majority, 68%, believe that

company

Vice President

Machine*

less than 10c on a dollar.
according to government

actually are.

Chairman, General Electric Company

GEORGE A. SLOAN
,
Chairman, Southern Agriculturist
President, The Nutrition Foundation, Inc.
B. A. TOMPKINS

quarter of the people
company
profits

figures, their profits are less than
10c on a dollar even in a year of

these

New Jersey

DANIEL E. POMEROY

10

that

average

WARD MELVILLE

PAUL" MOORE

a

believe

President, Melville Shoe Corporation

29

26

Continuing, Dr. Link reports:

LIABILITIES

President,
York University

__

37

32

over

"Only
Council of New

29

Uncertain

WILLIAM H. JACKSON
Partner, J, U, Whitney Jt Co.

FRED I. KENT

—

10c to 29c

30c and

York

of

April

Companies Get as Profit

Under 10c

s

George Geyer, Geyer & Co.,
has been elected President

Inc.,

Co.

Cents per Dollar

WILLIAM B. GIVEN, JR.

GeorgeEsyer^ Pres. of
NY Security Dealers

*

28%

nanciera will represent Mexico at
the

annual

tional

meeting

Association

of

of

the

Na¬

Securities

Administrators in Portland, Oreg.,
62%, said July 19-22.
companies
ought to earn anywhere from 10
Two With J. A. Warner
to 60 cents profit on every dollar
of goods they sold. In other words,
J. Arthur Warner & Co., Inc.,
these people think that companies 120 Broadway, New York
City,
ought to make much more money announce that Thomas M. Aberthan they are actually making to¬ nethy and Sidney Ornstil are now
"A

that

large majority,
they
thought

day.
"When the 1946 survey

associated with them in their New

is

com-

York

Trading Department.

,

;

Volume

Number 4714

168

;

THE COMMERCIAL

•

Stonier Stresses Dynamic
In the

N.

J.,

the

need

of the American
"
: :
^

of

dynamic banking, always

Harold Stonier, Director of the School and
Bankers Association, stressed

2, Dr.

Manager

friends and neighbors to
S.

buy

rations amid *

Bonds. > Thisy.ha$
by. which, it i|
said that many millions buy their
share of liberty on the instalment

changing

plan.

alert

to

suc¬

ceeding gene¬

nomic

eco-■?

•

hold

sibility

ed out. ."It is

they

evolving
vice

in¬

bonds

these

the

respon¬

years
ahead
become
duel

the
weak

receive

lars

inflated

and

before.
lives, there¬
fore, as bankers you will have a
responsibility to discharge. You

busi¬

and

dustry,

in

if,

dollars back for the stronger dol¬

i

ser-

to

ness

when

an

in

share

to

us

g,"
Dr.
Stonier point¬

thin

undoubtedly

will

customers

our

- •

static

a

In this activity we act a^
our government withouj
On the other han<L

compensation.

-

"Banking is

not

method

a-

agents of

condi-

■

tions.

Savings

•

been

Dr.

Harold

For

Stonier

and

beyond

that,
banking helps

invested

they

.years

the rest of your

many millions of
achieve economic sta¬

must take

bility and satisfy their wants. To
perform these services satisfac-

interest in govern¬

and in the

and

women

an

local, state and national,
general economic forces

ment,

which determine the value of your

But

American

be¬

better

is siphon¬

government

(117)

workers

off

than

rewards

incomparably

workers

for

risk

taking.

of

this

progress

tinuation

abroad,

ing the major share, this source
drying up as is clearly
by the accompanying chart.
It
is
interesting
to
note
that

but

also they receive by far the
largest returns from industry. In

pendent

whereas

the workers have
capitalists
preservation of American
business enterprise. For that rea¬
son
they should be. deeply con¬

vestment and

in

of money is
shown

for

our

U.

-

the

cause

Banking at Rutgers University in New Brunswick,

of

July

on

Executive

higher income brackets.

Banking

graduating class of the Grad¬

of his address to the

course

School

uate

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

in

which

...

1945—the
this

latest

i information

available t—national

,

consequence,

income

at stake than the

more

year

is
was

the

ing

after taxes of those receiv¬

more

than $25,000

coin

before

rich

be

shows

adopt new methods, different
approaches and advance with the

gently and build one for himself
thus by example insuring that his
shall

own

be

safe

from

when built.'

"While

,

there

is

national leaders and

should have

|

not

enough

funds

capital

ou;
the worker?

over

to

and

over

our

that have followed this course.

years,

mains

our type
of banking reunique among all banking

systems of the present day.
"In recent years bankers have
voluntarily assumed a new responsibility
ral

on

behalf of the FedWe have urged

government.

Manufacturers

The class graduated this year
is composed of 244 bank officers
106

cities

and

towns

in

.

Diplomas

presented to

were

the men by the Chairman of the
Board of Regents of the school,
Loring L. Gelbach, who is President of the Central National Bank
of Cleveland, Ohio.

Condensed Statement

of Condition

High Taxes Are Drying Up Chief Source
of Capital -

In- the current issue of its "New England

tional Bank of Boston sounds
when

levied

on

a

Letter," the First Na¬
warning that high taxation, especially

high income brackets, is threatening

our

it is stated.

"The chief

source

was
the most laggard in
emerging from the depression.

ress

of

this capital is the surplus earnings

"The obsolescence and

physical

ploughed back into business, while

deterioration during the past dec¬

most of the remainder

ade

the

It

from

savings of the well-

surplus

to-do.

comes

this

is

money—used

to

purchase modern facilities which
in turn lower costs,

broaden mar¬

kets, and create jobs—that is the
fountainhead of progress. Largely
as

a

consequence

in

investment

this

of

the

capital

country,

each

succeeding decade witnessed
a
higher level of activity and well-

being until the
near
was

flow

1930's, when the

confiscatory

taxation

that

imposed reduced the capital
to

a

trickle.

Without

this

supply of capital, business became
unemployment

stagnant,

staggering

proportions,

reached
and

this

and

a

half

has

U. S. Government Securities

U. S. Government Insured F. H. A.
State and

Municipal Bonds

.

created

Mortgages

a

equity stock, because of extortion¬
taxes

climate.

tion

of

the

past has

.

.

.

.

21,078,705.28

.

.

3,037,500.00

Acceptances

555.347,284.04
15,160.439.39

.

10,206,041.24

Other Real Estate

Customers'

Equities

.

.

.

.

.

,

.

233.980.73

.

Liability for Acceptances

5,891.554.86

Accrued Interest and Other Resources

6.932.883.73

....

$2,265,689,163.93
LIAR I CITIES

$41,250,000.00

....

.

....

Undivided Profits

.

.

60,000,000.00

....

,

25.425,176.07

126,675.176.07

Reserve for Contingencies

6,874,630.95

Reserves for Taxes, Unearned
Dividend

Discount, Interest,

etc.

.

.

busi¬

Liability

5,555,158.19

.

Payable July 1, 1948

1,237.500.00

Outstanding Acceptances

The largest propor¬

6,669,342.90

.

Deposits

and

ness

.

18,769.921.37

Surplus

ate

.

Banking Houses

healthy basis.
Last year most of the money for
this
purpose
came
from funds
ploughed back into business, while
the greater part of the remainder
represented bank borrowings or
the sale of bonds.
Only a small
proportion came from the sale of
on

.

the

estimated

economy

2,938.264,45

.

.

Other Securities

Capital

our

Mortgages '

.

.

.

Stock of Federal Reserve Bank

outlay of from
$50 to $75 billion in order to place
an

unfavorable

equity

come

602.840,245.16

1,023,252,343.68

greatest deficiency in capital fa¬
cilities ever known, and will call
for

$

........

Loans. Bills Purchased and Bankers'

country which for decades had
led the world in economic prog-

system is dependent upon
steady flow of fresh capital,
which is the lifeblood of business,"
a

close of business June 30.1948

economic

system, which is dependent upon a steady flow of fresh capital.
"The perpetuation of our eco-^
nomic

as at

It 12 S O U1I C E S

Cash and Due from Banks

Warns

COMPANY

TRUST

33

states and the District of Colum-

bia.

money

in

as

Endorser

on

Acceptances and Foreign Bills

.

.

2,319,435.62

.

2,116,357,920.20

the

$2,265,689,16353

from those in the
United States Government and other securities carried

at

NET INCOME AFTER TAXES OF HIGHER INCOME GROUPS

public funds and

IN RELATION TO NATIONAL INCOME

trust

deposits and for other

$62,616,384.25

purposes

as

required

pledged

arc

or

to secure

permitted by

law.

(I» Billions of Dollars)
200

DIRECTOR SEDWIN

J. BEINECKE

FREDERICK CRETSCIf

Chairman, The Spcrry & Hutchinson Co.

'

EDGAR S. BLOOM
'

West Indies

ALVIN G.

OSWALD L.

BRUSH

President, George A. Fuller Company
CHARLES A. DANA

of the Board

President, Gcrli & Co., Inc.
Higher Income Croups lo Mulimial Income

HARVEY

Products

C.

R. PALMER

GEORGE J.

D. GIBSON

W.

Corporation
VAUGIIAN

Corporation
HENRY C.

PATTERSON

Chairman

ALBERT N.

VON ELM

of the Board
WILLIAMS

President, Scranton & Lehigh

President, Westinghouse

Coal Co,

President

Air Brake

Head Office: 55 Broad Street, New York
MORE

THAN

75

j

President, Curtiss- Wright

President, Cluelt Pcabody & Co., Inc.

PAOI.INO GERLI

Chairman, Trust Committee 1
L. A. VAN ROM EL

GUY

President, John P. Maguire & Co., Inc.

President, United States Lines Company

SMITH

President, National Dairy

JOHN P. MAGUIRE

JOHN M. FRANKLIN

V.

President, Home Insurance Co,

President, Emigrant Industrial
Savings Bank

President, Dana Corporation

RICHARD

City

ERNEST STAUFFKN

JOHN T. MADDEN

HORACE C. FLANIGAN

Kalirt of Net Income Aflcr Ta\c» of

HAROLD

MACLELLAN

President, United Biscuit Company
of America

LOU R. CRANDALL

«

JOHNSTON

F.

C.

New York

Simpson Thacher & Bhrtlett
KENNETH

Corporation

Vice-Chairman

Vice President

HAROLD

President, Lambert Company

Steamship Lines

Chairman, American Home
Products

WILLIAM G. RABE

President, Lincoln Savings Bank
JOHN L. JOHNSTON

Chairman, Atlantic, Gulf and

•;

OFFICES

IN

GREATER

Company

City
NEW

YORK

European Representative Office: 1, Cornhili, London, E. C. 3
Member Federal Reserve System

oo

a

O

~

cm

m
o
r-*
<x)
c.
n
OM<MCM<M<MCMCM

m




~

^

CO

£>

cncncnmoiaicn

a

oi

cn

■

econom;

tick, and the vital role played b;
capital and savings.
Otherwise
provide the tools that are indis¬
"The driving force behind our through ignorance and prejudicer
pensable for new jobs and higher progress has been the spirit of the 'temple' may be pulled dowr.
living standards.
Not only are private initiative in response to upon our heads."
are

neglect."

from

violence

better understand¬

a

ing of what makes

been

,

yet time,

\ struggle^ by default or through

changing times. Because American
banking on the whole has been
able to do this over a period of

that

enterprise. Let not him wht
pull down the house
another, but let him work dili¬

of

to

to

That

is houseless

succeeding generations bondholders' dollars. In the area
amid
changing economic* condi- j of political action our fate as
tions
means
that banking must; bankers may be determined.
It
ever be on the alert and willing i would
be shameful to lose that

torily

work-

and

demonstrated
again by countries

has

as

should

some

'soaking the rich' is like
less, based upon data firing a shotgun into the crowd.
furnished by the United- States It is a
shortsighted policy as it
Treasury. In 1929 the net income jeopardizes all interests. Experi¬
after taxes of this group consti¬ ence has
indisputably shown that
tuted over "8% of national income, confiscatory
taxation
chills the
but by 1945 it had been reducec
spirit of personal initiative, dis¬
toi.7%.;,;,.„
courages
the
accumulation
oi
"We need not feel sorry for the
savings, " and forces capital into
rich as they can somehow manage
hiding. Carried to its logical con¬
to get along. Rather, our concern
clusion^ confiscatoj^i taxation de¬
should be for the workers as they stroys wealth and distributes pov¬
erty,

a

others may become rich, and hence
is just encouragement to industry

"So

the chief sufferers when there

address

an

of

capital in?
safeguarding of
As Abraham Lin-*

positive good to the world.

lays

about 58%

are

prospect
on

the

ingmen at New York in 1864 said:

the golden eggs.'

a year was

in

con^

is de¬

.'Property is the fruit of labor;
that property is desirable, and is a

about
any
action,
'kill the goose that

would

aggregate* amount of net in¬

come

return

property rights.

the

hearly 110%' more, thah^in 1929, cerned

the

upon

reasonable

A

21

.

Member New York Clearing House Association

.

Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

22

(118)

THE

COMMERCIAL

what its

—he may

As result of survey made by

Controllership Foundation, its Presi¬
dent, Daniel J. Hennessy, presents recommendations for new type
be issued

to
:

to

sent

about

j management relationships.

these

remarks

Y'Y Y

a

on

x*—

stockholders,

many

if

the

his

"For

annual

conducted

the

Founda¬

tion

Elmo

by

Roper,
Mr.
Hennessy

falls

report

between

two

the

isv doing,

whole
and

he

lament

The

~

,

Corn

On the other hand, most of 'the
large investors covered in the sur¬

New York in its windows

survey

re¬

Avenue

Americas

the

of

type

prescribes

far

a

counting terminology, plus a fullscale annual report —
designed
as

document

source

a

consumer

about

the

stock in," the

owns

of the exhibit is

purpose

tell Americans

as

the company

—

810.899,655

.62,552,224

$

TRUST

June 30, 1948

sophisticated large
investors, financial experts, bank¬
ers

more

others

and

access to

who

in

lack of in¬

a

the part of both

on

information

such

ready

cold statistical facts. The

study also disclosed
terest

wish

as

groups

company

labor policy, government relations

Total

1.435,711,400

1,305,093,022

Deposits
Cash

and

1,208,560,200

due

banks_

from

basic

many

needed

in

of

America.

these

Samples
materials

raw

*

325,483,500
482,045,500

539,227,594

551,268,000

42,941,766

42.428,000

U.

of

Govt.se-

S.

curity

hldgs.

Loans and bills

are

shown.
*

379,251,083
518,954,817

Undivided prof.

raw

*

if

Manufacturers

Trust

of New York

Company

announces

MANUFACTURERS TRUST COMPANY,
NEW
YORK

that Car)

L. Moehwart and Karl Wolff have
been

appointed

taries.

Mr.

Assistant

Moehwart

June 30, 1948

Secre¬

is

in

Total

department at the bank's
head
office,
while
Mr.
Wolff
makes
his headquarters
at' the

2,085,683,267

due

banks

from

602,840,245

558,277,393

1,023,252,344

1,080,513.835

555,347,284

496,448,941

25,425,176

24,005,172

Govt, se¬

S.

hldgs.

curity

branch office located at 84 Broad¬

2,231,881,921

„2,116,357,920

and

Cash

U.

$

2.265,689,164

resources

Deposits

loan

Loans and bills

Brooklyn.

way,

discounted—

Undivided prof.

the

*

M.

Earl

York

bank

Savings

Bank
that

announces

.

BROWN

of

this

month.

FULTON

—.

of text

pages

de¬

"With

be

needs

TRUST

OF

NEW

BROADWAY

1002

Building)

Condensed

,1

Cash

York
Cash

U.

Vault

on

MADISON

(Bet.

office

6th

at

77th

&

Sts.)

investors' reactions

____

Federal

Reserve

Bank

'

„

368,011.72]
|
*.12,590,122.73 ^$31,947,025.77

...

Deposit in other Banks
Government Securities

on

S.

State

and

Federal

Other

846,255.44
18,142,635.88

Muhicipal Bonds

Reserve

Bank

Securities

Loans

Secured

Loans

and

of

531,715.49

Stock

120,000.00

L

by

Bills

2 446;196.59

Collateral--

;

Purchased—

Overdrafts—Secured

$2,717.63:

Real

and

Estate

York

Bonds

l

Unsecured

$493.50-

3,211.13

—

■

Real Estate
(Branch Office)
Accrued Interest and Other Resources

161,502.69
461,700.83

,

Mortgages..

83;503.19
50,000.00

__

—'

139,085.37

;

$38,943^941.06
LIABILITIES
Due

Depositors

„

Dividend

No.

175

Reserved

for

Taxes,

Payable

July

Expenses

1,

1948

and

:,i Capital
—„—

Undivided

—_

$33,218;313.43

30,000.00

;

Contingencies

323,418.23

&00d;000.$0

•

——

Y Surplus

—-

1,372,209.40

_

giving out more information
than they used to, and that this
is all to the good as far as the

cerned.

the

to

investor

is

con¬

bank

Avenue

a considerable
minority objects
trend toward glossy

new

pictures and.expensive for¬
mat in annual report preparation,
terming them a waste of money.
A second group of about the same
paper,

size

applauds the new format ten¬
—•
perhaps not so much
because of the added appeal to
the respondent himself, but more

Cash and due

of

a

belief

that

it

is

?

thing for the less sophisti¬

from

banks

U.

51,756,940

Govt,

S.

•

ity holdings

CHASE

THE

John Adrian Larkin
Chairman of

the

counted

59,263,764
13,885,284

Honorary

Arthur J. Morris

Chairman

President

Stanley A. Sweet

Stephen C. Clark

Charles

J.

Nourse

Franklin

Charles Scribner

Charles

S.

McVeigh

Henry W.

B.

Lord

Bull >

Charles.8. Brown

E.

Townsend Irvin

,

Walter

Russell V. Crulkshank

O'Donnell Iselin

Frederick S.

De

Newbold

Coursey Fales

-

&

N.

•

Stillman

Moseley, Jr.

Morris

Member Federal Reserve System and Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation




57,957.941

—

Capital and surplus
*

CENTRAL
TRUST

*

13,865,284

tt

HANOVER

COMPANY,

analysts

and

of the study
stock brokers, trust

with

•

Cash

and

Govt,

S.

curity

415,486,774

hldgs.

606,485,001

643,335,515

450,287,764

418,155,809

128.578,640

discounted..-

128,053,265

Capital, surplus
undivid¬

and
ed

J.

profits---

P.

&

MORGAN

CO.

NEW

—

Mar. 31/48
658.294,099 635,159,753

Ca»sh

for stockhold¬
general is likely to satisfy
their needs, the summary brings
out. Nearly all the people inters
in

(Continued on-page 37)

♦.

>

586,791,761
due

Govt,

S.

secur¬

ity holdings—

143,282,710

Loans

BANK

4,675,876,956

4,295,185,05„

Cash

1,725,308,801

U. S.

bills

1,461,069,554
58,940,689

and

®

407,904,968

329,201,051

due

se¬

hldgs.

440,410,477

415,757,180

529,393,201

432,570,769

9,610,356

8,855,503

bills

Undivided prof.

Sj!

$

CITY

NATIONAL

BANK

June 30,1948

*:■'*"

NEW

OF

BANK

YORK

OF

THE

•$ •" .v

o

bonds.

from

U.

S.

4,645,527,278
rill IP

nd

Total

1,461,486,097

Cash

1,289,461,435
'

•••

'

__

and

Undivided prof.

1,275,144.519
32,010,807

*

FARMERS

Total

TRUST

$

banks.

;

holdings

* ■

-

23,959,474

——

U. S. *Govfc.

security

'23,344,322

Hi

''-Tr*

CORN

Si!

tli

EXCHANGE

BANK

June 30/48
Total

resources

Deposits

.

—

fbanks

U.

93,665,485 102,842,577

TRUST
J

,

Mar. 31/43

S.

Govt,

798,866,392 797,073,101
751,545,208 750,630,983
>

1

«

225,099,118 210,420,774
secur¬

ity holdings

470,252,197 486,340,985

Loans and bills dis¬

—_

Undivided .profits—

,

14,937,213

Cash and due from

■

'

_.T—_

.

434.481,540

15,457,718

....

142.413,048

Loans and bills dis¬
counted

i

<■;.

COMPANY, NEW YORK

a".,'".,

du$ from.

342,789,239

hldgs.

425,865.413

CO.,

101,847,428 109,656,253

Cash -and

338,121,358

-

30/48 Mar. 31/48

reserves——/ 135,297,052

Deposits

292,265,877

se-

'discounted—-

YORK
June

\C

345,495,520

:

1.138,737.965

Undivided prof.

34,367,350

NEW

1,059,763*744

Loans-and bills

Govt,

•

BANK

CITY

1,169,109,532
1,088,388,999

Y

due

U. S.

curity
1,308,134,577

$

banks-

from

.

—

1,846,680,036

Loans and bills
discounted

resources

Deposits

hldgs. 1,788,510,291

]

,

Mar. 31, 1948

$

>

Govt, se-

curity

:

COMPANY,

YORK

June 30,1948

4,507,009,250

^f'och

*

MANHATTAN

4,850.380.fi2r

Deposits

s|:

NEW

Mar. 31,1948

$

Total resources 4,995,679,834

*

1,168,935,543

discounted—

*

$

"

1,317,248,763

banks-

and

Loans

1,405,956,363
57,389,075

v

Mar. 31. 1948

1,360,694,693

Govt,

curity

COMPANY,

YORK

1,515,183,172

resources

from

__

TRUST

$>

Total

1,257,487,343

profits.

si:

June 30, 1948

se¬

discounted
Undiv.

&

NEW

$

1,203,034,945

&

18,382,864

*

si:

hldgs. 1,632,762,061

S.. Govt,

curity

130,786,454

18,742,686

prof.

Deposits

banks.

from

U.

308,925,722 315,055,076

Loans and bills dis¬

Mar. 31, '43

4,551,331.951

-

143,930,630

from

banks
U.

504,159,814

166,453,828

Cash and

due

and

in¬

nual preport issued

resources—

Deposits

THE

4,154,108,627

resources

Deposits

including

officers,

Total

*

Total

INCORPORATED,

YORK
June 30/48

CHEMICAL

$

410,236,261

se¬

Loans and bills

YORK

June 30, *48

$

1.556.494,715

1,417,743,347

due

banks

from,
U.

fi¬

bankers .as

vestment counselors and others
in ten cities'.— prove that no an¬
ers

OF

•

;

Mar. 31. 1948

1,554,241,363
1,403,010,546

Deposits

Undivided

BANK

AND

YORK

$

fu¬

near

BANK

NEW

June 30, 1948
Total resources

*•

NEW

OF

*

nancial

part

DIRECTORS

Edmund P; Rogers

Board

59,302,764

Loans and bills dis¬

constructed

in the
*

NATIONAL

CITY

-

f

>

50,929,970

counted
❖

5,372,209.40

Interviews conducted
OF

47,919,350

secur-

and

stockholders."

cated

$38,943,941.06
BOARD

$

230,295,423 234,396,113
194,572,786 198,452,741

resources

Deposits

ture.

dencies

because

has

and. will occupy

However,

vociferous

and

good

2,000,000.00

—

Profits

the

ref

are

sophisticated

:

New

annual

to

declares, "there seems to be gen¬
eral
agreement
that companies

New

of

which

port content and format, the study

___$

•___

in

redesigned to meet the
people who really want

dig into it, and who know what
like 'surplus7 and 'reserve'
mean." Commenting on the large

AVE.

78th

of

terms

Statement, June 30, 1948

_•

Deposit

CO.,

Mar. 31/48

$
Total

pub¬
lic in July 1833, it was the first
savings bank in Greenwich Vil¬
lage which then was a separate
community
some
distance
re¬

this

to

YORK

RESOURCES
Cash in

&

June 30/48

the

When

HARRIMAN
YORK

NEW

bank began its service to the

other

accountants

can

(Singer

*

BROTHERS

the

is observing its 115th anni¬

versary

and then offering

*

Harkness, President of

Greenwich

New

Mar. 31, 1948

$

the

—

149

s

1,514,719,240

resources

discounted—

pile of

arrangement," the 16th
Street, is near the 14th Street
and executive salaries
the last
scribing the company's products, Foundation's report observes, "a
center, and a third office on 57th
being labeled "least interesting" policies,
problems,
personalities self-selected public is left for the Street near 5th Avenue is
op¬
full-scale
annual
report, which
posite the new branch building

COMPANY

April 12, 1948

$

to

—

—for the

COMPANY,

YORK

NEW

large stock¬
materials

a

/-> I

:-

63,848,493

BANKERS

of the Union

more

of South Africa

some

V

870,076,684

doing in promoting world trade.
The

financial position and outlook for

re¬

/.

discounted—

showing an exhibit by
Farrell Lines in recognition of the
work that steamship company is

lining earnings, dividends, general

com¬

660,500,757

1,158,058,374

.

interested in, or unable to under¬
stand, detailed statistics and ac¬

primarily

avid

an

680,832,855

1,123,217,847

se¬

hldgs.

is

Street

port goes on to say, "since he has a complete financial report on ret
moved from the northern bound¬
paid good money to get his stock quest."
ary of New York City.
From its
certificates, he is naturally anx¬
Along with such a letter would humble
beginning in a small vil¬
ious to get dividends, and he is
go a condensed income and i sur¬
lage store, the bank has grown to
interested
to • know
what * the plus
statement
arid
a
balance be k
$265 million institution with
chances are that 'his. company' sheet, in order to
comply with three modern oifices in Manhattan
will
remain
strong
enough
to stock exchange regulations. A sec¬
serving moie than 175,000 depos¬
safeguard his capital and become ond document advocated as a re¬
itors. "Throughout its history, the
profitable enough to pay the same sult of the survey would be some-bank has endeavored to make sav¬
or
a
bigger — return on his thing in the nature of a company
ing as convenient as possible for
money.
To him these are simple newsletter telling — again in sim¬
the public," Mr. Harkness said. He
questions that can be answered in ple narrative prose — what the
notes that "for this purpose, the
a
paragraph, and he says he will company i$ doing, -including new
bank's offices have always beer,
be satisfied if his company gives products, new personalities, new
located at major shopping centers
him these answers. »
■
problems, plus a running account of the
city." The main office is
the
"If the company gives him.more of
corporation's
month-toat Broadway and 36th Street; an¬
complicated tables prepared by month history.

simpler

of summary for the 50 to
of shareholders who are not

75%

"not

panies he

Entitled "What People Want to
Know About Your Company," the
report

is

information

of

banks.

Govt,

Loans and bills

48th

at

due

Undivided prof.

the

on

S.

2,760,369,125
2,332;835,818

2,352,216,496

and

curity

The Colonial Trust Company of

Foundation's

holder

Hennessy are be¬
ing published by the Foundation.

1

$

2,799,933,625

resources

Deposits
from

,

findings of the

Total

U.

u

ferred to by Mr.

to

T

:

Mar. 31, 1948

1948

$

in¬
BANK ITEM ONE

OF

YORK

June 30,

Cash

of 'overpaid corporation
presidents' to talk his language."

COMPANY

TRUST

NEW

the

..

-

.

GUARANTY

Exchange Bank
&
of New York an¬

Hayner, Assistant Secretary,
AssistantVice-President.

may

the

4:.:

vV.i

Bankers

the promotion of Silas A.

nounces

went

.

*

Trust Company

vey
asked for more details, and
project, con¬
on
to
ducted by Elmo Roper, disclosed their individual requests for added
information that they would like
say,
"Part of
that tlfe average shareholder has
to see included in annual reports
the large sums
little interest in corporation finan¬
embraced such topics as details on
of money now
cial, data, only 11% of those re¬
contingent liabilities; consolidated
being spent on
sponding in the survey mention¬
income
statements
and
balance
company
an¬
ing balance sheet items as things
sheets going back ten years; rec¬
nual reports
they need to know about in order
onciliation of the surplus and re¬
might well be
to keep track of an investment.
serve accounts; existence and ex¬
directed
into
V
"A third of the respondents say
other channels
Danlel J' Hennessy they try first to find out about tent of hidden reserves; the back
if we wish to overcome misunder¬
company
earnings," the report history of the company's earnings
etc.
*
standing and suspicion of busi¬ avows, "but
another 27%
can
In order to satisfy the run-ofness.
•
:
name
nothing they first look for.
the-mine stockholders who crave
"This survey shows that the Asked about other
things, beside
present
type of annual report earnings, which attract their in¬ simple, easy-to-read information
should be replaced by a different terest, only about half the stock¬ and at the same time not to de¬
prive the more sophisticated in¬
method of reporting," said Mr. holders can name
anything at all."
vestors of the accounting facts and
Hennessy, who in addition to serv¬
An appraisal of the value of re¬
figures that they prize, the reporl
ing the Foundation as President ports
brought out "no great en¬ recommends
and
that* the
Chairman of the board is
present
thusiasm," the Foundation's report
practice of sending all stockhold¬
Vice-President and a director of
declares, revealing that 40% of ers the same
the Jamaica Water
type o-f annual reporl
Supply Co., the total stockholder body profess
should be reconsidered. "For at
Jamaica, N. Y. "Otherwise it is to find no
utility in the brochures least half of the
stockholders, and
impossible to meet the varying
they receive from their current
needs of small
stockholders, large companies, .while 60%. accorded possibly 75% of them," the docu¬
ment advises, "it might be more
investors, bankers, trustees, in¬ them a
"moderately useful" rat¬ effective
public
relations
tech¬
vestment counselors, financial an¬
ing.
nique to send them annually or
alysts, company employees and
Concluding from such evidence semi-annually a one-page state¬
other groups."
that the run-of-the-mjne, stock¬ ment
The
signed by the President, out¬

The

'tI

j

CAPITALIZATIONS

know;

thing into

V'r>

,

and

OFFICERS, ETC.

REVISED-

ability

material."

source

NEW

any simple and
statements about what

company

j

NEW BRANCHES

find

wastebasket

stools," the Foundation's report on
the findings observes.
"It is nei¬
ther good reading matter nor good

for

can't

throw

present

shareholders,

he

believable

-Y,:

——

by the bulk of respondents.

among

survey

to find out what he wants to

companies,

t ionwide

n a

g'V-"";/
CONSOLIDATIONS

questions answered, there may be
some
danger of 'report indiges¬
tion.'
If he has to look too far

according to Daniel J, Hennessy,
Controllership Foundation, New York. Basing his

President of the

News About Banks

or

which he opens the annual report
and
his desire to get only two

improve stockholder and worker-

Most annual reports of the general type now being issued
by cor¬
porations fail in their purpose of informing the people to whom they
are

Thursday, July 8, 1948

new

factory looks like
may not give these
things a few brief., moments oi
passing attention.
But, remem¬
bering the limited interest with

Reports
statements

CHRONICLE

where the
or

of

FINANCIAL

charts and pictures, to. .shqw
company's dollar goes

and

Advocates Changes in Type of Stockholder

&

-

1,085,986
9,008,433

1,165,976

counted

8,856,407 Undivided profits—

78,963,531
4,382,045

73,765,375

3,974,71^ ,'

:

Volume 168
:j THE

PUBLIC

TRUST

r;

Number 4714

NATIONAL

CO.

BANK

NEW

OF

1
„

,

539,509,389 549,381,107
Deposits
—w 502,072,736 512,590,115
Cash and due from
,:,

Cash

j

U.

8.

127,191,132 116,996,457
'j, '
239,678,783,^268,882,604

iZf-C'i,

jGovfc

'

se-

curity holdings

,

Loans and bills discounted

.

..

Undivided profits.-:'

COMMERCIAL

OF

r.', t

•>

.

BANK

"

.

$25;par 'yalu^£poinihpn /stc^k/;:at;
$5C) per/share,;Johnspn^S
Co,,

,98,126,577 103,035.794

,

of the First National Bank and;

purchased the entire olfering of 4,000 shares of the bank's

214{274,323

the underwriters.

were

Loans and bills dis-

%

'•"•t coUhted

\- v
'

>

STATES

/

"

-

TRUST

June

It".'

J.

Total

Deposits

•

*

OF

'*'■

V; 'v'

142.608,437

20,904,201

27,883,839

69,716,247

—

69,894,524

Undivided

32.397.327

1,326,944

:)t

GRACE

1,281,450

#

NATIONAL

BANK,

NEW

due

80,742,820

U.

29,157,010

44,888,820

1943

in

TRUST

"otal

vided

profits

4,061,951
c«

s!s

resources

3,972,581

Deposits
Cash

TRUST
NEW

COMPANY

Total

resources

U.

OF

ity

30/48

$38,943,941

Deposits
Cash and due

...banks
S. Govt,

$40,243,734

«

secur-f

THE

1,161,502
1,372,209

profits—

12,550,224

*

PHILADELPHIA

J

ity holdings

75,872,684

12,663,274

33,992,837

profits

I

Loans "r>d discounts

Undivided

76,547,948

Surplus and undivided

34,546,274

31,947,025

103,194,389

counted

from|

„_

U.

107,085,933

Loans and bills dis¬

Dec. 31/47

33,218,313

70,469,744

secur¬

holdings

NATIONAL

BANK,

PHILADELPHIA, PA.

1,265,361

June

1,357,471

30/48

*

Total

resources

Deposits
Cash and due from
«__

J.

HENRY

SCHRODER

CORPORATION,

BANKING

NEW

YORK

banks

June 30.'48

Total

Mar. 31.'*P

$76,867,743

$65,749.18«'

54,234,094

45,512,523

7,407,920

resources

6,689,437

Deposits
Cash and

G"""t.

S.

S.

counted

38,266,979

NEW

Cash

COMPANY,

Deposits

YORK

Govt,

ity holdings

18,185,832

6,731,681

profits

2,622,339

CLINTON

:Js

2,619,844

:■!

TRUST

NEW

COMPANY,
Mar. 31/48

$26,247,301 $25,835,927
24,396,344
24.010,803

resources
—

due from

banks

7,257,230

6,664,167

10,697,023
6,854,572

6,431,350

842,846

834,008

$
■

NATIONAL

COMPANY

BANK

NEW

OF

v

-ity holdings^;—

.*

38,172,004

-«

79,271,234

74,799,856

30,951,010
profits— "
701,035

counted

25,389,428
685,272

*

Cash

and

Apr. 12, '48
$57,501,545 $50,603,800

due

from.

41.208.4C0

^

:

#

ter of

quar¬

1948 and the

first, second, third and fourth calendar quarters
Net sales of these com-^—;/■-

of 1947.

panies for the first quarter of 1948

the first

were

1.1%.

171,354,711

7,890,061

8,268,117

i\i

•

;k

of

W.

Turner

H. Fred Wil¬
Vice-President,
A, Swaney as Assist¬

Assistant

Russel

Cashier

of
of

Bank

nounced

the

Federal

Chicago

June

$25,186,392,000,

with

$21,102,486,000

Re¬

was

an¬

30

of

quarter

19.4%.
W.

Vice-President,

and

1947,

of

1947

was

Mr. Turner has been

Vice-President

and

is

in

charge of the check collection
functions of the bank.
He has
been : with: the • Federal Reserve
Bank of Chicago since 1918,
He
been

in

charge of the credit

of

711,695,000,

reported

781

survey,

were

first

increase

responding
1947 of

1947 of $3,783,586,000, sales in the

first

over

the

When

-an

of

1948

decreased

using these data

indication

cor-

first quarter sales

quarter

1.9%.

quarter

$20,438,179,000,

21.2%

of

first

quarter of 1947.
Compared
the fourth quarter sales in

with

manufacturing

with

an increase of 13.6%
sales of $3,268,375,000 in the

over

$25,566,992,000,

decrease of 1.5%.

a

sales in 1948 of

Assistant

when

quarter of 1948 decreased

One
hundred
and
seventeen
other companies engaged in retail
trade reported sales in the first
quarter of 1948 amounting to $3,-

the first

Of the 1,070 corporations in the

corporations

on

for

an' increase

sales amounted to
there

compared

Compared with the fourth

quarter

by Clarence
W. Avery, Chairman of the Board

has

business

of

some

of these reports are for

1947

in having seasonal variations of sales.

of

$20,663,717,000,

sales

companies

or

industrial

J. P.

MORGAN
& CO.
INCORPORATED

NEW

YORK

•

^holdings,
—23,636,290
Loans
and
bilis
."-/pavable i_2—_ ' 2,180,559
Surplus • and undiv.
profits'——Ll-—8,202,604
..

.

9,479,300
:

-•

-

23,526,000
■;

•

2,136,600

'




8,180,500

Condensed Statement of Condition June
30,1948

President

22.032 0°8

21.618.80.5

15.333,774

ASSETS

HENR Y C. AL EXANDER

15,260,367

R. AT KIN

Vice-President
-

RAUL C\ CABOT
President State Street

BERNARD S. CAR TER
President Morgan & Cie.

Incorporated

Philadelphia,

CHARLES S. CHEST ON

Cash

Hand and Due from Banks.

on

State and

H. P. DAVISON

Pennsylvania Law
School.
He
engaged in the active practice cf

308,925,722.32

Municipal \Bonds and Notes

12,266,008.61

Stock of the Federal Reserve Bank

Other Bonds and Securities

of Morgan

Grenfell

Sp

1,200,000.00

(including Shares
Limited

Co.

and

Morgan if Cie. Incorporated)

12,510,836.96

Loans and Bills Purchased

COLLYER

Company

He attended

$166,453,827.61

United States Government Securities

Accrued Interest, Accounts
JOHN L.

President The B. E. Goodrich

143,282,710.41
Receivable, etc...

Banking House

1,972,776.32
3,000,000.00

Liability of Customers on Letters
of Credit and Acceptances
$

CHARLES D. DICKEY

until

War

World

he

served

as

I,

RALPH IV.

Re¬

Officer and after which he

dent

and

men's

Cashier

National

nounced

the

;■

Deil-y,

of

of

the

Vice-President

GUSTAV METZMAN

a

,

Vice-President

regret on July 2
of Herbert W.
Vice-Chairman of the

*

-

Vice-President

JUNIUS S. MORGAN

an¬

with

as

Company

TV. A. MITCHELL
,

ALFRED P. SLOAN, JR.
Chairman General Motors

Accounts

$586,791,760.83
3,951,891.63

Acceptances Outstanding and Letters'of
\Credit Issued..

Capital.

..

8,807,759.74

.t

20,000,000,00

i..

Surplus

.
.

—

20,000,000.00

18,742,686.39
-

$658,294,098.59

E. TAPPAN STANNA RD
President Kcnnccott

*

■

Sj»v

••

<
•

'

Copper Corporation

'

''

yi/rjZ?

»* K fr•'

y-

;/;• >;•■>/

JAMES L.

William J. Wallace has been ap-

pointed an investment officer in
the personal trust department of
National

Bank

and

Trust Company of Pittsburgh, it is
learned from the "Post Gazette'1
of that city.

34,396,121.01

Payable, Reserve for Taxes, etc....

Official Checks Outstanding

Corporation

,

•

Mellon

$552,395,639.82

Deposits.

Undivided Profits.

Director.

'

'

Railroad

resignation

bank effective July 1. Mr, Goodall will continue to serve the bank

LIABILITIES

THOMAS S. LAMONT

Trust

Philadelphia

8,682,216.36

$658,294,098.59

Morgan & Cie.
Incorporated

Trades¬

and

125,543.38

Chairman

Vice-Presi¬

Bank

8,807,759.74.

GALLAGHER

President New York Central

E.

Prepayments

N. D. JAY

j,oined the bank. He is President
of the Edgemont Township School
Board, a member of the Philadel¬
phia Club and other organizations:
Howard

Less

Vice-President

during

Naval

a

Vice-President

The paper indicated/,

adds in its June 28

issue, that Mi;/
Wallace, prior to joining the bir,hfe

THOMSON

Chairman Finance
v

I

United States Government securities carried at $18,953,877.54 in the above
statement arc
pledged to qualify for fiduciary powers, to secure
public monies as required by law, and for other purposes.

Committee Hartford Fir*
Insurance

Company

JOHN S, ZINSSER

\ jtMiriaafi-

'SkQtpt:

or

in

Chairman

1. C.

an

possible profits, it should be noted

in

$16,866,992,000.. Compared that

•

53,591,205

as

trends

with the fourth quarter sales

DIRECTORS

22,120,193

53,464,033

,

The Securities and Exchange Commission released
on June 10,
sales data for 1,070 corporations
showing the net sales (including
operating revenues) of these corporations for the first calendar

173,763.616

♦

serve

San

on

118',065,032

profits—

as

with

of

Crocker

,

1 37,352,283

bills

—

,

Undivided

son,

cisco.

116,864,125

and

•1 payable

the
He will,

150,810,702

Harvard, class of 1904, and is a
graduate
of
the
University
of

the

.

16,803,261

U. S; Govt: security
.

24,456,179

.•

47,914,055

-

"banks

'

441,519,067

secur.

Mar. 31/48

-«

TRUST, COMPANY,
June 30, '48

resources

Deposits

Apr. 12, '48

$

due from

holdings

Loans

LOUIS

423,401,310 409,024,975

_•

Govt,

having
at¬
tained the age of 65 retired on
July 1 under the bank's pension
plan.
Mr. Brock has been with

as

COUNTY

BROOKLYN, N. Y.
Total

ST.

Vice-President

funds

Goodall

'

KINGS

S.

secur¬

Company

35,278,309

Loans and bills dis¬
Undivided

banks
U.

TRUST

&

: v,
w"June 30/48 Mar. 31/48
Total resburcesuli/i-145,900,832 143,628,618
Deposits
137,966,394 135,634,656

.banks ————I.
U. S. Govt; secur.

IN

456,025,543
—

John W. Brock, Trust Officer of
Title Bank and Trust Com¬

YORK

Cash and due from
'

r

Land

serve

and undi¬
profits—
#

,

Sc

June 30, *48

Deposits

;

*

BANK

resources

Cash and

become the

Listed Corporations' Sales
During the First Quarter of 1948

27,856,775

Investment Corporation

which

counted

STERLING

30,547,998

•

.

Bank

First National Bank of San Fran¬

serving

Reports

426,652.281

NATIONAL

from

counted

law

Loans and bills dis¬

vided

SEC

»

.

1

of

National

merged

571,430,086

438,146,895

*

total

after

Bank

Crocker

later

National
to

started his
Aug. 1, 1904

$

_•

Govt,

10,991,007

secur¬

ity holdings and
municioal bonds-

Surplus

bills

payable —•
Vndiv. profits—,

FIRST

National

institution for 44 years.

GEOR G E W'HlTNEY

30,'43

the bank since 1920.

YORK
June 30/48

Govt,

629,772,380

__

i

90,224,477

holdings

pany,

undi¬

and

First

Francisco

which

First

on

se-

and

Loans and bills dis¬

19,272,319

6,266,280

*

S.

Govt,

S.

Francisco

San

$

secur¬

counted

U,

April 12, '48

curity. -hldgs-.. 1,125,745,357 1,097,986,763

Loans

Crocker

old

107.049,148

8,416.475

Loans and bills dis¬

Cash and

ity

Capital
9,706,294

Deposits

I

CHICAGO

30, '48

Bank

The

Murphy

career

the

due

banks

from

U.

OF

Mr*

banking
with

On June 30, Daniel" J. Murphy
retired as Vice-President of the

2,275,210,573 2,193,605,354
2,082,217,706 2,002,333,256

—_

and

panies.

war.
*

Chairman Executive Committee

94,597,034

—

and due

S.

Mar. 31/48

due from

banks

Total

Cash

OF

111.333,405

resources

banks

$34,984,975 $35,169,650
29,973,233
30,207,733

COMPANY

s

U.

vided

resources-

Deposits

$

I

NATIONAL

$

•

8,791,615

3,275,853

Deposits

June 30,'48

Surplus

i

157.858.969

TRUST

*

TRUST

resources

S.

June
.

*

4>

ILLINOIS

TRUST CO.

AND

charge of bond drives in

in

ury

the Crocker Investment

held for many yedrs. He will also
continue his membership on the
boards of directors of a number of
San
Francisco
industrial
com¬

Prior thereto he
with the United States Treas¬

R. C. LEFFLYGWELL

9,103,788

June

3,280,070

SCHRODER

U.

it BANK

PHILADELPHIA

undi¬

profits

and

#

..

in

1946.

Michigan during the

to

Company, positions which he has

$

150,793.244

PROVIDENT

Tofal

Cash

"

CONTINENTAL

.

pany and

Swaney

representative

Murphy will also continue

736,044,039 7-09,026,202
669,566,082 641,156,370

profits—

11,915,025

*

Total

'1

secur¬

—

the

Fidelity
arid Deposit Co. since 1910.

30,736,005

9,897,939

counted

and

with

He has

Prior to

of the Re¬

Mr.

Committee

ARTHUR M. ANDERSON

ity holdings

vided

been associated

secur¬

Loans and bills dis¬

Surplus

was

a mem¬

Maryland bar.

Mr.

Executive

Crocker family as Vice-President
of the Provident
Securities Com¬

Michigan and has been with the

Hoyt, who has resigned, is
ber of the

Loans and bills dis¬

Undivided

Mr.

Bank's

bank since

229,846,169 246,264,191

Govt,

27.

June

in 1945.

manager

Department.

the

Smith, who succeeds Sidney M.

ity holdings—— 295,568,929 251,995,942

from

due

banks

U.

U.

of

was

the

Mar. 31/48

s
!.•!

its organization

of the bank.

72,951,493

Govt,

S.

YORK
June

$

from

due

noted in: the Balti¬

.was

"Sun?

member of

manage the various interest of the

ident, it

ant

Mar. 31/48

charge of the

as a

been manager of the Bank and
Public Relations Department since

is

BANK

280,447,829 274,845,657
257,030,361 25U,xJo,»lo

,

and

banks
FULTON

30/48

Mary¬

nounced by Frank A. Bach, Pres¬

Appointment

PHILADELPHIA

$

-:,i

ap¬

Mr. Mot-

NATIONAL

COMPANY,
June

undi¬

and

present

he

of

loaning officer however, continue

was a

23

and
the board of directors
of the bank.

search

as

EXCHANGE

4ND

Company

department,

(119)

for several * years, and was
in
charge of fiscal agency functions
during the war. Mr. Wilson has

that, he

private trusts.

21,335,762

CORN

counted

capacity

his

Deposit

land at Baltimore in

*

Loans and bills dis¬

Surplus

Executive Vice-

a

*

42,407,282

1925.

trustee of the War¬
Institution for Savings, Boston

ren

secur-

of which

President.

as

is also

*

contract department has been an¬

of :.{■

Bank

Vice-Presi-

a

which

until

22,856,788

24,728,853

Govt,

S.

ity holdings,—

-

v:

.

director in

and a number of

from

banks

• •

...

Boston,
a

became

served

rey

92,519,756

Cash and

he

pointment

$

95,606,689

Deposits
-

has

Mar. 31/48

105,966,154

resources

1929

-ient and in

YORK

$

.

Total

•..

Senior; Exec¬

National

of

elected

President,

*

June 30/48
i

Bank

was

In

25.599.807

profits,.

r

Motley,

and Atlas

he

Loans and bills dis¬
counted :

%

■.

and

-

Vice-President of the Web¬

tional

secur-

ity holding——

$.■■

<

Boston,. was appointed its Presi¬
dent onsluly I. In 1902, Mri Mot-'
ley^^ joined^^ the ihyestnient firn^/of
Curtis fc Sanger, Boston^ becom¬
ing a partner in 1911. He later
joined the Webster a?id Atlas Na¬

«: • « •
30/481 Mar1.: 31/48
•

due from

G°vt.

S.

ster

110,043,506 111,511,340

and

ibanks

U.

COMPANY

J", .
141,322,296

*7'

resources

Cash

'■ ;;

'

NEW YORK-" »■»

i

-fr

'

"f

*"< ' *

UNITED
N
■i

Edward

|

utive

♦

The- ejection of. E. Milton Smith
as
Vice-President of the Fidelity

Total

5l;277{417
52,643,856
13;832^09r' I3V710;002

UndiVided^ijrofitSrt'

,

4>

,

more

■

have

secur-!Vi?.'^<..<y,•»-t%***■'

holdine^——

«

^ru^Compan^ .of Bayshw/ei

Mar. 31/48

.

ity

#

.

31,455,454
V l,854,052

It is announced that stockhold-.
ers

1 'tbanks

U. -S;"-G-Tvt.

^

,,

128,206,836

.28,754,785
1,735,531

—

(

AND

YORK

Deposits —';/.■! 178.357,126 188,093,289
HCash and due from ' '/•
;\
'51,240,462^ 50,567,851
.

■■

Undivided profits__

8,187,973

NEW

resourcesdi;'ii:^06,723,750

Total;

62,590,067 ;57;277,948
128,027,889

i

NATIONAL

captain in the Army Air

a

,

„

Govt^ secur-

r

June 30,'48
.

S,

ity holdings—
counted

*

COMPANY

TRUST

!

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

Forces.

Loans and bills dis¬

*

I

U>

..

8,567,038;

;

Y,

and due from

banks

i

146,573.439 135,597.267

—*

N.

was

Mar.'31/48
I,
' I
" y -1'
'
, 'r
;
.•»
. - v
"l J C>r /. Total resources^,* 230,418,156 229,830,132
Deposits
212,737,220 212,545,915

resources——

banks

COMPANY,

June 30/48

$

" -

TRUST

/ BROOKLYN,

,

Mar<31/48

$

Total

BROOKLYN

AND

YORK

June 30,"48

COMMERCIAL &

THE

Member Federal Reserve System

Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

groups

THE

(120)

24:

COMMERCIAL
continue'

Stocks and Bonds

How to Buy

preferred stocks are more likely
to be maintained than those on

continue to rise, and to rise

may

into

4)

from page

(Continued

stocks

noticeably for several more years.
the common stock.
Even if not
They would like an investment
that would protect them against maintained, they will be restored
before dividends on common stock.
the? worst effects of either of these
Thus

Investments known
convertible preferred stocks
convertible bonds are. a partial

possibilities.
as*

and

the

ferred
much

not

does

that of

as

value

market

stock

of

pre¬

decline

as

stock al¬

common

though it will probably go below
that of bonds. On the other hand,
To understand the convertible
if prices continue to rise, compion
preferred' stock you must know stocks will tend to rise in value,
how company earnings .are dis¬
and in that event the fact that the
tributed. Owners of the securities
stock is convertible into common
of a company are paid in the fol¬
stock will raise the value of con¬
lowing order.
Bondholders' in¬
vertible
preferred.
Convertible
terest must be paid first or the
bonds also perform the same func¬
company will be threatened with
tion, although at present there are
bankruptcy. The preferred stock¬ not

hedge.

The

is

stock

of

return

resolving your
uncertainty as to whether the
price level is going to move up

Last to

generally fixed.

but most favored when
times are good and earnings are
be>

paid,

are

have

stockholders

ferred

cared for.

and

it

If
do

to

courage

hold¬

to whatever other

provides partial two-way

have

you

lest

the

will

be

proportion,

or

If

you

prices

rise

arid

common

in

value, you can
and put the money

up

some

bonds

cash.

or

,

sell some of the bond and in¬

can

vest the money in common stocks

propitious level. Thus,
again, as
they eventually will, you will be
among the first to profit. It takes
courage, however, to follow such
a program as this.
It means you
must
do
the opposite
of what
most investors are doing and you
will be tempted to go with the
crowd. Furthermore, it may take

at

more

a

when stocks start to rise

even

or

waiting before
of

rather

your

of patient

years

you reap

contrary

policy.

least

year—until the

one

1929

crash—before the wisdom of your
action would have been manifest.
Meanwhile

you

would

have

would

action

have

become

ap¬

parent.

Invest In?

to

AND TRUST COMPANY

STATEMENT

CONDITION
June 30,1948

RESOURCES
.

U. S. Government Securities

State and

•

•

t

•

.

.

.

.

.

$127,191,132.24

.

.

Municipal Securities

•

I

239,678,782.93
13,330,001.68

7,231,439.78

Other Securities

146,573,439.01

Loans and Discounts

Customers'

1,269,864.76

Liability for Acceptances.

Stock of the Federal Reserve Bank

•

660,000.00

.

Banking Houses

.....

•

•

•

bonds,

•

2,229,896.94

•

1,120,434.84

Accrued Interest Receivable

224,397.17

Other Assets

in

generalities

aboutHhe merits
stocks,

and
convertible preferred stocks and
bonds. Now the question is: What
the

common

industries

best

to

invest

$539,509,389.35

LIABILITIES

in

few

a

industry

other

you

depress stocks.
Finally, you may be interested
in a good income regardless of
some risk.
Fairly consistent per¬
formers in the past have been the
better companies in the utility, in¬

food,

surance,

soap,

oil, propri¬

etary drug and tobacco industries.
Investments in the steel, non-fer¬

metals, and railroad equip¬
ment
industries may earn and
rous

investment trust of course

The
has

few disadvantages.

a

Sizable

and manage¬
included in the purchase

costs

for marketing

ment

are

price. You will find also that it is
expensive to shift your invest¬
ments from, say, the building ma¬
terials
group
to the oil group.
And you do not have the fun of

and watching

picking

investments;

someone

own

your

else is do¬

ing it all for you.
If the investment

trust idea ap¬

better dividends in good
to
you
after you
have
times, but their earnings can fall peals
off alarmingly fast
if economic weighed the advantages and dis¬
pay even

obvious that many
have not been cata¬

It should be

industries

logued,

but

by

looking into the

records, which we shall tell you
about, you can classify some of
them

yourself.
The Advantages of

general

should

you

limit

watch them 'more

can

you

a

makes

yourself to investments in a few
companies in a few industries, so
that

recommend

panies with diversified interests.
For example, duPont de Nemours
chemicals, nylons, fertiliz¬

the

Investment Trust
In

ask your broker to
good one.
You may gain some of the ad¬
vantages of the investment trust
and still preserve your freedom to
move' cheaply if you invest in one
of the nation's really big com¬

advantages,

conditions change.

Possibly you will ob¬
ject to this idea of a few invest¬
ments bn the ground that it is

gun-powders, and owns a
quarter of General Motors.
The
big insurance companies also have
their funds widely invested.
Fire
insurance
companies have large
holdings in common stocks and
casualty companies favor fixeders,

income investments.

putting all your eggs into one

basket.

There

of

is,

course,

a

What

happy medium betweeri too great
concentration and too great di¬

Should

Know

About

the Bonds You Buy

By now, you may have picked

The dan¬ four or five industries and are
in not being ready to look for one to three

versity of investment.
ger of diversity lies
able to watch your

You

investments;

companies in each industry to in¬
of concentration is that vest in. We shall also assume that
you may be so unfortunate as to
you intend to buy both bonds and
choose
an
unprofitable or less stocks. Let us look at bonds first
profitable company. If you are because they are usually consid¬
unwilling to try to strike this ered safer. Bonds are a debt, and
happy medium - yourself, or are the stipulated interest must be
in.
aghast by this time at the number
paid on them on pain of bank¬
All that can be done here is to
of critical decisions you have to
ruptcy.
You will want some of
make a few suggestions about the
make, there is an easier way out your savings in bonds. The safest
industries to choose. If you expect
for you." It is provided by com¬
bond today is the short-term (one
that the price level will continue
panies
known
as
investment year) government bond. A gov¬
up for some time, then avoid in¬
trusts.
ernment bond of somewhat longer
dustries whose prices are likely
One kind of investment trust maturity that is especially recom¬
to
be
regulated
or
controlled.
buys a wide variety of bonds, mended by trust companies be¬
Their
profits may be squeezed
common
stocks
and
preferred cause of its many advantages is
thin
between
rising
costs
and
stocks and has a staff of experts the Series G.
Although the in¬
price ceilings. Railroads had been
to watch those securities carefully. come on these is low, remember
having a difficult time until re¬
The investment trust will sell you that you are buying them for safe¬
cently,
because
the
Interstate some of its own shares of stock.
ty, not income. In fact, so long as
Commerce
Commission
did
not
These represent a participation in you are buying bonds for safety,
increase their rates as fast as their
its broad list of investments*
If buy only the best.
There is no
costs
went up.
Public utilities
the trust's selection of securities substitute for quality, and quality
faced the same problem.
Choose
alone provides the protection that
is good, you
should receive an
instead
industries the prices of
adequate return.
If the invest¬ you are seeking.
whose goods or services may be
We shall assume that the other
ment trust makes poor choices,
raised without delay and without
the opposite will happen. Actu¬ bonds you buy are issued by in¬
curtailing the demand apprecia¬
ally it is more likely to do well dustries, railroads, and utilities.
bly.
The automobile industry is
are
certain
other funda¬
than badly because it has expert There
a
good example.
Oil is another.
advice. Also, even if a few of the mental facts you
should know
If you expect the price level to
securities held by the investment about any bond that you buy. Sev¬
be fairly stable, then choose in¬
trust prove disappointing, others eral of these will be named and
dustries
that
make
goods
for will
probably do better than an¬ discussed briefly.
which there is now a pent-up de¬
(a)
What does the company
ticipated. You will thus have the
mand, such as building materials, advantages of diversity.
make?
How big and how old is
automobiles, and perhaps railroad
the company? Has it a long his¬
A second type of investment
equipment. Also desirable are in¬
Did it
trust stock gives you the oppor¬ tory of financial success?
dustries enjoying a rapid growth,
come
through the previous de¬
tunity to invest in one or more of
such as the chemical and propri¬
satisfactorily?
Is
the
several industries.
Suppose you pression
etary drug industries, or indus¬
believe that the building mate¬ management reliable and alert? Is
tries
whose
raw
materials are
the company still growing?
D»
rials industry has a great future
scarce, such as oil or non-ferrous
not be misled by the company's
ahead of it but have no idea
metals.
name.
For example, duPont is far
which
building materials com¬
First

of

all, look over the
economy
of
the
nation.
You
should pick the businesses which
are likely to do well in the future
you foresee
and which are not
too risky for you to be involved

Main Office, 37 Broad Street

Cash and Due from Banks

to this point

in?

i

OF

up

of

are

of NEW YORK

CONDENSED

talked

have

Furthermore, you may

place.

invest

to

like

The Public National Bank

its

carefully.

What Are the Best Industries

We

you would; they would sell the
stock and buy something else in

uncertainty and higher taxes tend

you

you

v i r t u a 1 ly
have been in

should actually riot ex¬ groups—say oils, tobaccos, auto¬
mobiles and chemicals—-and ob¬
pect too much in the way of war
tain
similar
diversification,
as
profits. Stocks may be profitable
as
the benefit of expert
in the preparatory period for war well
but once war is under way, fear, guardianship, in each of these.
and

had

day-to-day doubts.
And
bought stocks in 1932,
would have waited about a
before the wisdom of that

men

as

the past. You should pick indus¬
tries whose plants are scattered

many

had

be

may

"drafted"

the gains

Had you sold some of your stocks
in 1928, you would have waited
at

industries

1948

Thursday, July 8,

CHRONICLE

Thus, if a crash takes you by sur¬
prise, you have saved some of
the profits of the pleasant pros¬
perity..
•
' v ■ .
pn the other hand, suppose that
prices fall. While your high-grade
bonds may decline, your common
stocks will fall sharply. Later you

year

proportion

rigidly.

rather

select,

prices fall, the dividends on

stocks

you

so,

wise to hold to this

assuming that it is high-grade, is
thai;

common

rise.

prices

stock,

in

half

and

been

preferred

your

into bonds lest prices fall,

money

Now the advantage of

the convertible

divide

to

ings between bonds and common
stocks.
You may put half your

the common stockhold¬
ers;,
They get a big share of what
is left after bondholders and pre¬
large,

is

down

or

FINANCIAL

short-term

months

Another way of

preferred

on

from which

ones

to choose.

earnings are large enough.

rate

good

many

paid

be

will

dividends

holders'
next if

to

go

then sell

&

the danger

.

$9,625,000.00

Capital

12,375,000.00

Surplus.

22,000,000.00
Undivided Profits

Dividend

.

$30,567,038.28

8,567,038.28

.

.

275,000.00

Payable July 1,1948

Unearned Discount

•

•

•

862,576.71

•

Reserved for Interest,Taxes, Contingencies

I Less: Own in Portfolio
Other Liabilities

Deposits.

.

<

4,040,241.62

.

.

2,263,034.91

1,458,117.39
233,679.18

.

•

•

#

•

•

•

•

♦

•

•

502,072,736.17

$539,509,389.35
United States
are

pledged to

Government Securities carried at $8,933,338.89
secure

purposes as

to fall, keep
stocks and invest in
short-term high-grade bonds, pre¬

public and trust deposits, and for other

required or permitted by law*

If you see labor troubles ahead,
such as occurred in 1946, it is wise
to

In
of

V. CLEARING

HOUSE ASSOCIATION

25 Offices Located




CORPORATION

costs

view

of

industries

Throughout Greater New York

,,

which

relatively small.
the growing strength

some

investors confine themselves

such industries.
fall the tobacco,
drug, food, beverage, chemical,
utility and oil industries.

almost entirely to

In this category

you

anticipate another war
you
should consider

then

such wartime favorites
Y

in

are

organized labor in recent times,

soon,

FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

in

invest

labor

.If
MEMBER: N.

from

sumably governments.

$3,721,152.30

Acceptances

If you expect prices

away

as

airplane

manufacturing, automobiles, steel,
non-ferrous
metals,
oils
and
bear

You

should, however,
in mind two probable char¬

chemicals.

acteristics of the next war. Parts
destro3'ed and

of America may be

panies

have

You may buy

the

best prospects.

stock in the build¬

ing materials group of an invest¬
ment trust.
This group may in¬
clude the stocks of 10 to 20 com¬

panies, say two lumber

companies,

interested

more

than

in

automobiles

in

gunpowder; Canada Dry
Ginger Ale is not just a soft drink

Bendix Aviation makes
of automobile^ parts, and no washing machines;
company;
a

wide - variety

and

Seaboard Air

Line is

a

rail-

plywood
road.
You cannot guess intelli¬
paint company, two or
gently as to your company's fu¬
three roofing companies, a hard¬
ture, including its ability to pay
ware company, a
lock company,
its debts, unless you know the an¬
two or three furnace companies,
swers to some of these questions.
and a few bathroom fixture com¬
three cement concerns, a
company, a

At this point you may be say¬
panies. Such an investment will
give you more diversification than ing that all these questions are
you could otherwise afford with very fine, but after all where cant
the answers to them be found.
your
modest savings or watch
You have only the vaguest idea
over with your limited time and
knowledge of such matters.
If where to look. You do not know
one
of the cement companies, as the names of the best companies
an

example, began to

experience

earnings, v. the
investment
trust experts
who are watching
for such misfortunes would prob¬
poor

ably spot the trouble long

before

in

some

chosen.

of the industries you have
You will find the answer

question and others in pon¬
derous
security manuals. These
manuals are not so difficult to use

to this

•

Volume

as

Number 4714

168

and

imagine,

may

you

you

should learn where they are to be

They

found and how to use them.

contain the most reliable informa¬

make

available,

readily

information

the

Since
or

is

that

tion

dollars, you

many

you

save

may

should seek it out. There are two

such

publish

that

houses

major

One is Moody's Invest¬

manuals.

Service; the other is Standard
and Poor's Corporation.
Moody's puts out a Railroad
Manual, a Utilities Manual, an In¬
dustrials Manual, a Governments
Manual, and a Bank and Finance
Manual.
Moody's manuals
are
published once a year but are
supplemented with semi-weekly
loose-leaf circulars that are alpha¬
betized and periodically indexed.
The
circulars
carry
quarterly
earnings statements and any news
ors

item

the company.

world

posted on what inter¬
ested financial experts think of it.
Both Moody's and Standard and
Poor's have rating systems for
bonds.
These ratings appear in
manuals, and also in monthly
pocket-sized bond booklets for
quick
reference.
Although the
ratings indicate the experienced
judgment of the manual com¬
panies' experts, they should be
taken only as a guide
and not

to

the

a

up to
loose-leaf
sections to replace the old ones.

these services

are

the

your

bond had

no

its yield
of
$50. But bonds usually do have a
maturity. A bond due in 30 years
paying $3 a year, and selling for
$69 has a 5% yield. (Incidentally,
although
bonds are quoted in
hundreds, they are best bought in
$1,000 units.) The matter of yield
is complicated, and the simplest
thing to do is to consult one of
6%, since $3 is 6%

be

would

expen¬

sold for $50,

and

year,

"Barron's"
ron's"

bond's

each

does this.

your

com¬

large public library,
it also may have a set.
If you wish to look over the
names of the companies in vari¬
ous industries, turn to the list of
companies by industries in the
blue-paged section in the middle
of
Moody's "Industrials."
Next
look up the company whose bonds
you are thinking of buying.
The
manual will tell you when the
company
was founded,
what it
makes, what subsidiaries it has,
or a

the

who

officers are,
when the company had its great¬
est growth, and how fast it is
growing.
The last can be deter¬
mined
by looking at the com¬
pany's
earnings statements for
back years.
The manuals contain
a

principal

of facts by which you can

mass

judge

the

whether

it

what

as

you

of the other facts

some

are

and see
good, better, or
supposed.
But

company

is

than

worse

to know about the bond

you want

considering?
(b)
Does the company ever
have difficulty in earning the in¬
terest it must regularly pay bond¬
are

you

holders?
tion.

That is

To

manual

the

•number

of

fixed

times

Notice

earned.

were

crucial ques¬

a

it, look up in the
figure showing the

answer

charges

especially
this in

bow well the company did

If you check

the last depression.
this

on

in

the

older manuals for

years 1929-33 and find the com¬
pany-did even moderately well, it
is a good omen.

a senior se¬
in case of bank¬
or
receivership, it will
have a prior claim on the com¬
pany assets. Since you are buying
bonds .for safety, you will pre¬
sumably want only a senior se¬
curity, or at least a bond that is
virtually that. You can determine

(c)

Is

curity?
ruptcy

your

If

bond

so,

those facts from the manuals.

In¬

cidentally, along with bonds you

often see "debentures" men¬
tioned. A bond is usually secured

may

by

mortgage

a

some

on

specific
whereas

property of the company,
a
debenture is merely the

unse¬

of

Thus

debt

cured
any

a

company.

given company's secured

bonds

tend

to

be

debentures.

better

'

u.

.

than

its

..

Is your bond listed on the
New York Stock Exchange's bond
market?
The investment manual
(d)

this
market; you will be able to fol¬
low it more readily.
The daily
quotations of the bond market re¬
flect the judgment of the financial
will

tell,

If it is

listed on




it

ure

various

of

recommend

should be able to answer
about the companies whose stocks

you

you

arid

for you

from

products

men

who

they

manage

the

yield

of

bond

a

—

open

tires

(a)

If

rate.

interest

the

>

Trust Company

the

com¬

financial
prospects
are
good, the yield will be low; if
they are poor, the yield will be
high. Since you are buying bonds
for safety, you will be suspicious
of a high yield.
You know that
top
quality
and
high
income
rarely mix. At present (1948) you
should hot expect more than 3%
on safe corporation bonds of dis¬

ESTABLISHED 1833

pany's

maturity, 2Vz%

tant

and

governments,
than

1%

notes

or

government
top-quality corpora¬

on

other

Cash in Vaults and Due from

factor af¬

economic

fecting the yield is the general in¬
terest rate.
As a rule, when the

price level rises, the interest rate
In order for a

30, 1910

::

-

;■

*.

$225,099,117.83
470,252,197.23

Banks

U. S. Government Securities

($24,870,856.65 pledged to sceure deposits
and for other purposes as

required by law.)

1,200,000.00

Federal Reserve Bank Stock

State, Municipal and

tion bonds about to mature.
The

ASSETS

more

one-year

on

REPORT OF CONDITION
At the Close of Business, June

long-term

on

slightly

10,435,913.44

Public Securities

859,940.00
78,963,530.60

Other Securities
Loans and Discounts

First

.*

Mortgages
Liability

will likewise rise.

Customers'

$1,000 bond paying $30 a year to
yield 4% to the investor, he must
be able to buy it below $1,000.
How much below depends, as al¬

49

on

1,519,525.19
658,100.62
7,753,904.47

Acceptances

Banking Houses

Accrued 1

ncome

2,001,5 71.08

Receivable

102,591.45

Other Assets

$798.866,391.91

indicated, on how near to
maturity the bond is. As we all
know, prices have been rising, and
interest rates are now tending to

ready

If prices continue tc

do likewise.

bonds will tend

rise,

short,

a

Stocks,

to be preferred in

are

In
bonds

on

not

bonds,

such

a

pe¬

Certainly, if you are going
some bonds, as of today,

riod.
to

yield

higher

inflation.

of

to fall.

days may be a danger sign

these

hold

they should be the short-term va¬

to five years.
Such
give you greater freedom of

riety—one
bonds

LIABILITIES

$15,000,000.00
25,000,000.00

Capital
Surplus

4,382,044.99

Undivided Profits
Reserve for

Taxes, Expenses, etc.

(f) Is the bond near its matur¬
ity date? The newspaper quota¬
tion will tell you this. "Pennsyl¬
vania Railroad 3V2 '85" will pay
$35 on .$1,000 each year and be
paid off in 1985. If the bond has a
distant
maturity and for some
reason its market value drops, you
will be in the unpleasant dilemma
having to sell at a loss or of

having your funds tied up in that
security until maturity time ap¬

economic

proaches.

When

ditions

uncertain, it is best to

buy

are

one-year

con¬

government bonds.

(g) Does your bond have a call

at which
company
may
buy it back
from you on short notice?
If so,
do not, as a rule, pay more than
the
call
price
for
the
bond.
price,

that

is,

a

price

1,989,715.55

Acceptances Outstanding

$ 1,328,230.75

Less: Held in Portfolio

378,807.42

Deposits

•
(Includes $11,733,815.89 U. S.

Moody's

or

Standard and Poor's
tell you at what

will

prices the bonds may
each

year.

.

be called

949,423.33

751,545,208.04

. -

Deposits)

___

$793,866,391.91
OF

BOARD

DIRECTORS

RALPH PETERS, JR.
President ' >
'
'

ROBERT A. DRYSDALE
Senior Partner

"

HERBERT J. STURSBERG
Treasurer, Livingston Worsted

Mills, Inc.

Drysdale & Company
JOHN H. PHIPPS
President, Capital City Broad-

DUNHAM B. SIIERER
Chairman

JOHN R. MeWILLIAM
Executive Vice President

casting Corp., Tallahassee, Fla.
EDMUND Q. TROWBRIDGE

C. WALTER NICHOLS

Retired

Chairman, Nichols Engineer-

ing & Research Corporation

~

' ' "

•

BRUNSON S.

GEORGE DOUBLEDAY

Chairman, Ingersoil-Rand

;

MeCUTCHEN

Consulting Engineer

E. MYRON BULL

President, A. II. Bull & Co.>
Inc.
SIDNEY A. KIRKMAN
Retired

Company
WILLIAM G. IIOLLOWAY

HENRY A. PATTEN

Chairman, W. R. Grace &

Vice President

the

manuals

$ 14,382,044.99

.

action.

of

make,
them.

X Mail Order House re¬

all

company's prospects and the gen¬
eral

has
com-

must keep your ears
for such significant facts as

Corn Exchange Bank

book

a

Street

.you

that the

decide to buy.

"Wall

"Fortune," X also,
big

the

the

And

the

are

fine write-ups of

panies,

about

reported
Your authors especially

in these.

some

Week.""

information

companies

Journal."

of a stock guide,
you should not rely on any¬
thing so inadequate in planning
your investments,
These are some of the questions

so

basic economic factors af¬

Two

size

"Business

or

kinds

yields.

of bond

fect

can

"Stock
follow develop¬

-

Chronicle,"
All

the

employees at 60, or the
Again, how big and how
stocks.
That would make you a old is the company?
What does Y Manufacturing concern has had
part owner of the company in it make? Is it still growing? How no labor troubles for 25 years.
which you hold stocks, although did it fare in recent depressions?
(b) Does your company also
several
bond
issues
out¬
you will have no actual share in
The big manuals can answer all have
the
management.
You
should these.
Another
question that standing, has it obtained a large
know many of the same things should interest you is whether loan at a bank, or put out several
stock?
The
about the company in which you the management is reliable and issues of preferred
hold stock as you should about alert.
You must rely on your holders of all these prior obliga¬
the
company
whose bonds you powers of observation and your tions will have to be taken care
have
bought.
Moody's manuals common sense to tell you that. of before you receive any divi¬
and those of Standard and Poor's Your broker, banker, or invest¬ dends. You are in the safest po¬
will provide you with the infor¬ ment counsellor may be able to sition if your company has no
sizable bank debt and no bonds or
mation. Another excellent service
help you, too. You can pick up
to consult is "Standard's Listed considerable information by preferred stocks.
You will prob¬
Stock Reports." These appear pe¬ reading the financial page of your ably participate early in any siz(Continued on page 26)
newspaper.
More
riodically,' one for each invest¬ metropolitan

Or your broker can fig¬

out

You

Poor's

Weekly,"

Financial

and

all

yield

of your

local broker or investment
counsellor, or of your local trust
company.
If there is a college or

pocket

be

can

and

"Commercial

section.

bond

has

company

Standard

Copimerce"
(New
National Busi¬

Financial

and

but

"aggressive" cap¬
and

A sketchier

of

"Barron's

such as
"Bar¬

weeklies,

financial

the

income,

"Journal

ments by means

Lately stocks have yielded a

better

figured out for you. Standard and
Poor's monthly bond guide also

munity

Guide.?

savings invested in
represent your "defensive"
capital whereas savings put in

the

of

from

monthly

Normally,

are

financial

ness

industry, and of the company

had

bonds

ital.

you will read them, are
journals like the "Wall
Street Journal,"
the Chicago
"Journal
of
Commerce,"
the

helpful, if

York),

within that industry.

stocks

broker

or

the

the

for

market

banker

mar¬
ket over recent years, the trend of

picture

example, if a $100
maturity, paid $3 a

For

terest.

these sets of manuals in the office

*

stabilize

Your

graphically the trend of the

and tends

the Common Stocks You Buy

its nominal rate of in¬

than

tant

sive, but it is not necessary that
you buy them.
You can probably
find one, and perhaps both, of

f university library in

certain

more

What You Should Know About

What is the yield on your
This is much more impor¬

(e)

date by sending out new
Both

accepted. There is often
time
lag before ratings are

bond?

information

its

keeps

bond

long as
without looking up the facts on prices continue to rise, they are
in some respects the wiser invest¬
the company yourself, for it is
market prices, not manual ratings, ment. In any event, we shall as¬
sume that you intend to buy some
that pay off in dollars.

eral loose-leaf manuals. This serv-

*

tell, r A

will

bond.

changed to reflect changes of con¬
Do
not
accept
them

,

% ice

the

ditions.

company

a

manual

sinking fund is a desirable fea¬
ture, for it makes repayment of

blindly

gets
a large
order or borrows from a
| bank, that fact is promptly re¬
ported.
v. Standard and Poor's lumps rail¬
roads, utilities, banks, and other
companies all together, alphabe¬
tizes them by industrial groups,
and publishes the material in sev¬
If

vestment

(121) 25

__

probably keeps them filed in his
office. They tell of the company's
earnings
and
prospects,
show

Your in¬

sinking fund provision?

you

ment.

(h) Does the bond issue have a

help

and

value

its

to

as

keep

about

interest

financial

of

THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

\"

Company
The

Corn

JAMES A. FULTON

President, Home Life Insur
ance Company

Exchange Safe Deposit Company operates vaults in
throughout the City of New York.

56 of the 74 branches located

Member Federal

Deposit Insurance Corporation.

26

(122)

THE

How to Buy

COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

Stocks and Bonds

(Continued from page 25)
able

profits

Your

the*

company makes,
will tell whether

manuals

your company

outstanding.

has other securities
So will your stock

(c)

Is

your

stock listed

on

the

New York Stock Exchange or the
New York Curb Exchange? These

the

factors

discussed

here will vary with
your purpose
in investing. If
you seek income,

idends

yield will

ested

guide booklet.

of

some

consistently paid? When did the
company last fail to pay any div¬
You

on

its stock?

should
in

especially inter¬
stock's yield.
A

stock selling for $30 a share and

paying

$1.50

safety,

be

your

in

dividends

Thursday, July 8,1948

Low-priced stocks are more-likely; would to bonds and convertible at the low
and sell at the high.";
to., be /;of poorer • qualityt^^^rf-)^ v'4% preferred stocks. Ask your broker The natural
reply is: "True, if we:
Of course the
importance to you or banker to explain the terms of only knew when." You can at least
of

mean

will count
'

a

steady

lot; if

you,

What You Should Know About:
Preferred Stocks

each

.

behavior

attempt

'

Securities ■;-7

,

You

will

-

consulted

industry,

experienced in

on

it

If your stock has a

in

bonds.

If

it

is

stocks will fall for the

same rea¬
supply the cur¬
(e) What has been the market son that bonds will fall—in
order
Most companies
behavior of yojur stock?
Is it to give the buyer a
yield to cor¬
report their earnings quarterly steady or volatile? If the
prices respond with the
higher interest
about two or three months after
vary a lot, your chances of both rates.
Any ordinary preferreds
the quarter is past. Such reports
profit and loss are greater.
Your will not participate in
higher
may: be published in the financial chances
of
loss
are
especially profits if good times continue. Be¬
section of your newspaper. What
great if you are buying stock at cause convertible
preferreds are
were
your
company's earnings a
price near its high. The blue more attractive at the time this is
over the past years?, Consult your
paper section in the middle of written,
they tend to have lower
big manuals for this information.
Moody's "Industrials" is a handy yields—about Z\'2% for safe is¬
They will usually show you how
place to look up the high and low sues
whereas high-class ordi¬
the company fared in a depres¬
prices for all industrial
stocks nary preferreds
currently yield
sion.
Have
the
earnings been each year for the
past 10 years.
around 4%.
consistently
good?
Does
your
Do not be tempted to buy lowIf you still decide to
buy some
company enjoy a feast or a fam¬
ine in earnings as the steel com¬ priced stocks because they appear preferred stocks, or some convert¬
ible preferreds, you should know
panies do, or a more steady diet cheaper. Do not think that 80

cial

section

will

rent information.

—

the

as

the tobacco companies do?

the

ing

earnings increasing
downward?

Are

or

Are

tend-

dividends




shares

of

low-priced

necessarily
shares

of

better
a

stock

than

high-priced

are

eight
stock.

to the'same questions
for
common

answers

have

we

stocks.

outlined

Be

the-

sure

preferred

stocks you buy are of top
for you are buying them

quality,
largely

for safety.
You should not invest
in the preferred stock of
any com¬
pany

which has

sizable bonded

a

indebtedness, for interest

this

on

know/

most

broker

also

may

advice.

good

he

means

is

He

give

'

ports."
at the

the standpoint of tim-:
They show the trend of the"

market

himself

trend

of

'

recent "years,the

over

the

industry,'/and of the I
within that industry. A '
study of these three lines can be'

company

meaningful.

very

of

all

studying investments, his clients'
financial needs,

more

rise.

They have little chartstop of each which are help-:

some

business

a

company's stock:
highest level:

the

from

ing.

student of invest¬

a

the

probable than a;
We told you about
"Standard's Listed Stock Re-'

ful

counsellor,
it
than
just a

makes

is

Your

-

you

calls

or

cline
the

more

broker—he is
ment;

them.

If he

investment

'

an

about

near

at

further

year

income and
high yield, that
capital growth you want, seek it
is a danger signal, for if specula¬
in common stocks. Preferred
stock
tors thought the dividends would
is not so. safe as bonds nor
so
so
listed.
You would do well to continue they would bid up the
profitable as common stocks. At
limit yourself largely, if not en¬ price of the stock. You might do
tirely/ to stocks listed on these well to ask yourself what the av¬ present, there seem to be good
reasons
for
buying high-grade
two exchanges. Your manuals or erage dividend was over the last
convertible preferreds, as has althe
stock
guide will tell you 10 years. You can find this infor¬
realy been indicated.
The ordi-1
where your stock is listed.
mation in the big manuals. Then
nary preferred
stocks, however,
(d) What is your company earn¬ see what yield this wo.uld give iri
seem doomed to decline if a
de¬
ing? Your stock guide booklet, terms of the present price of the
pression comes or if inflation con¬
"Barron's," or the "Commercial stock. If it is good, you will tend
tinues.
If interest rates
rise, these
and Financial Chronicle's'- finan¬ to buy; if not, you probably won't.

them, gen¬
erally speaking, you can sell it
more readily than if it were not
stock is listed

that

it has reached for
years, then the:
chances are excellent that a de-»

the
selection
of
securities, you
has a yield of 5% — $1.50 is
First of all, you: should have' should do so
are the first and second most im¬
at this-point; wIf you
5% of $30. You can easily calcu¬
some good reason for
buying any buy through a bank, consult the
portant markets for stocks in the late the current stock yields your¬
If it is
nation. No other exchanges com¬ self by dividing this year's esti¬ preferred stock at all.
person in the bank's trust depart¬
safety you want, you should seek ment who buys
pare in importance with them.
If mated dividend by current price.
securities; he will
your

or

is

.

someone

approximate

If, when - you are.'
buy, the market, or the-

about to

buy your securities
through your bank or through a
broker., < If you; have 'not already

v

to

knowledge.

IIow to Go About Buying

you seek

market

heavily with

conversion.

;

three

than

and how best to
He charges a fee
for this service, but if he is skilled
and experienced, his advice
may

If, for example,'

rising and higher:
before, beware; v It is?/

are

ever

obvious that you are not purchas- -'

»

-correlate them.

ing .at

attractive level.

an

side

reverse

ports

of

these

On the

Stock

Re-:
statistics; onr
dividends,
and
price:

the actual

are

be worth many times the cost. For

earnings,

example, he may be able to tell

range for ten years or more.

about the character of

you

more

the

management

of

a

company

than the manuals will reveal.
can
also interpret the

may

He

the

shown

company's
balance sheet for you.
This may
show, for example, that the com¬
pany's inventories may be dan¬

gerously high,

that it may

or

have to resort to further

(a bank loan

or

soon

to

secure

adequate working capital.
analysis is just as impor¬
tant to you as the
company's pe¬
riodic earnings statements. Con¬
sulting with an investment coun¬
Such

an

sellor

does

not

however,

mean,

the

on

chart

you are ready to placeorder for stocks or bonds, do?

your

not be disturbed because others do
member

you

vestigate the securities

market.

Someone

buy, because

that he knows

finally

the

feel

you

than you

more

buying investments, timing is
of the utmost importance.
Timing
refer

whole

to

the

market

selection.

your

buying

are

investment

else

you

is

are

-

Re-:

on

a ;;

selling"
buying,1

do.' either because

In

may

far*

so

When

with

you

lost

you are concerned;'

as

not agree

to

further,

investment go up and your care¬

fully calculated gain

that you must take all his advice
or that
you should neglect to in¬

decide

and

justify its present position in rela- >
tion to past performance.
When,
you have finally decided to buy,
hesitate no longer; buy promptly.;
If you wait, you may have the
painful experience of seeing the:

financing

bond issue)

a

We>
to look at these.
They.'
suggest an explanation for;
price behavior of the stock»

urge you

as

he needs the money *
because he thinks that invest-»

or

ment not

as good as some other.1
think it is the best selection-',

You

a

j\

to the

or

industry you have for your purpose.
Such differ- li/
company's in- ences of
opinion make the market.
ferred stock gets anything.
vestmeiits-you have-picked. There
If
everyone
thought the same'
There are other feaures of pre¬ is an old wheeze to the effect that
ferred stocks you should know .making money on investments is about any investment, there would
about.
For example, is the pre¬ easy, "all you have to do is buy be no market.
must

be

ferred

paid

before

stock

your

cumulative?

pre¬

that if earnings do not jus¬

tify

dividend

in

any

stock will pay you that back dividende later, before the common
stock receives any dividend.
That
is obviously a desirable feature.
Is

the

preferred

stock

partici¬

pating? In other words, if earn¬
ings are high, does the preferred
stockholder

share

in

additional

earnings along with the
stockholder?

This

common

also

is

de¬

a

sirable feature, but few preferred
stocks

are

prefered

participating.

stock

company?

If

Is

the

callable

at

so,

by the
what price?

Is it

selling above that price?
Is
sinking fund set
to accumulate money to pay

fci.

50*72

to

be

rated

higher than those
without sinking funds.
Finally, is
the preferred stock convertible?
Of late, many new preferred stock
issues have
conversion

been.
are

The

usually

terms

of

complex;

therefore have your broker

or

in¬

vestment counsellor explain them
to you. You should note especially

whether the stock is selling above
the conversion point—if
so, it is

virtually

stock; or far
below the conversion point—if
so,
a

common

conversion has little
serve

of

also whether

conversion

has

expired.

Convertible debentures

are even

partial hedge than is
the convertible preferred stock. If
prices fall, the convertible deben¬
as

set

you may

the

price and wait for
accept. In general,

a

seller to

some

former

procedure

is

recom¬

mended, especially if the invest¬
ment

is

that

one

is

actively
you have bought,
the broker or banker expects you
to pay promptly.
He will then
register the investment in your
traded.

Once

name, if it is a stock, and send
in your address so that dividends

earning statements
directly to you.

You should
:

ord

.

.

of

tions.

-

•

keep

your

record

you

.

!

-

a.

j

and

how to

will
use

it.

the serial number

se-

He prob¬
advertise¬

as an

be

a

glad

to show
Record in this

on

your

bond

or

a

ture has the protected status of a

debt,

L"-st

56

561'2

56'/a

The

after

that

stock

paid

Net

General

each

Change!
—2>A

.;

Motors

share

of

that

^

$3

in dividends the
The "xd" stands for;

year..

"ex-dividend," and

that if

means

you buy it now, the former owner,.
not you, will receive the
impend¬

ing

quarterly

dividend

payment.
quotations
are
plain enough; each refers to the
The

sale

next

of

four

at

least

100

shares.

■
-

change of minus 2x/4 means that.
today was at the rate
$2.25 less per share than the
last sale yesterday.
For an ex¬
planation of other little signs, ;
the

footnotes

the

at

end

of the newspaper's stock quota-;
I'l/Wi

tion list.
of

.

'7

-A

After

'''4:1

while

a

watching will

M<\/\

y*

i*"

the

fun,

off, as it'
will look only oc-:

should, and you
casionally to see
curities

still

week.

You

what

selling

are

should

wear

look

at

your

for.

least

should be

se¬

You *.

once

a

interested1

the
day
you
much you paid
through whom you
bought it. Plan to keep a record in
this book of the interest or divi¬
dends you receive.
Meanwhile,-

in the month-to-morith and year-

put

ups and downs.

stock

certificate,

bought
for

it

it.

how

and

your

stock certificate

or

or

bond

•

to-year behavior of your invest- ments, not their day-to-day flue-.
tuations.

If

the

investment

is

you can

You

some

what you expect,1
largely forget these daily

will

receive

quarterly

re¬

your

How to Watch Your Securities

companies.

You will be in-:

terested

at the financial page every day to
see
the latest market quotation

in how their earnings*
share this year compare with;
those of last year, in their expan-:
sion programs, if any, and in
any.

on your stocks and
bonds.
It is
fun, like watching the day-to-day
standings of yoqr favorite big

they
Once a;
year your company will send you'

At first you

will probably look

per

securities

may

senior

to

tunately,

market quotations that

ent management want you
them vote your'stock.
It

prominent

bentures

the market at

convertible

de¬

presents
The near future, however, may
see more
of these companies is-rt
suing this type of security. Apply*
the

same

on

tests

to

them

that

you

league team.

understand

how

to

read

the

ordinarily

in a newspaper.
Let us
interpret a typical common stock
quotation for you. (See;above.)
appear

Thefirst

figures indicate
/Highest and lowest sales prices for
100

shares

two

or

more

for

the

year.

r?

'vi/V;

7/7

proxy to fill out and return. >
This simply means that the pres-

this

device

their control
cases

<

yours

contemplate issuing.

a

few

7;

ports and other leaflets from all'

Since you will un¬
doubtedly do this, you might as

have

j?,

sound and pays

well

very

-

of

albeit an unsecured debt.
And if prices rise, it can be con¬
verted into common stock. Unfor¬

companies

.

Net

the last sale

consult

a

i

book.

ably hands it out
ment

'.

Ask your broker for

curties

be

careful recinvestment transac¬
'I''

.

will

Lew

High

56 'A

past

The

to all these questions can
be found in the big manuals.

Qnen

o.>

22

pay—that is, "at the market"—or

meaning. Ob^ in a safety deposit box
the privilege other safe
place, H-

answers

better

xd

means

sent

preferred stock?
Pre¬
with sinking funds tend

a

Gen. Motors

may
tell the broker to buy at
whatever price it is necessary to

and

ferreds

Slock

When you place your order, you

up

the

Sales in

Low

there perhaps a
off

the

1948

High

the

year,

to

cr

'fty

That

means

a

chosen

that, they.
even

cent of

to let;

is-bye

perpetuatevi,77;

though in many

they owh only

a

;

small

'f

-

peyr

;thb/total' stock.•'

analyze

the' situation,

yoti

have"

.Volume 168

COMMERCIAL

THE

Number 4714

&:

FINANCIAL V CHRONICLE

(123)

Conclusion

In
most respects, the interest
40% white-collar, 16% factory —
are inclined to think
they tell the of the national labor union official
do no bet¬
in corporation reporting is similar
throw the proxy away, and thus ter than to
quote the investment truth, and have few criticisms to
not vote against them; *(3) jour¬ advice; of a man who has been make except that they are hard to to that of the financial analyst,
the survey showed, although such
understand in places,
;;
ney to the stock holders' meeting,
eminently successful as an in¬

three

only

choices:

-let them vote it

as

(1) sign and
they wish; (2)

] In conclusion

stockholders.

"The

same

27

detailed

reports prepared for large stock¬
holders and professional analysts
would, with minor modification,

we can

suit union

research

directors and

"The brief version of the annual leaders
naturally desire informa¬ staff economists," the study con¬
vestor, who is famous the coun¬
cludes.
with tables expurgated, tion
anyway.
Your helplessness may try over for his common sense, report,
;
which will serve their special
Local labor officials and shop
/annoy you.
Forget it. You are and
who
has
probably
given apparently appeals to employees
viewpoint in collective bargaining, stewards, on the other
-only
hand, pro¬
discovering
that
a
small America more good advice in the the same way it does to stockhold¬
ers* This type of report promises such as breakdowns of the wage
■stockholder is not really much of last
fessed little interest in the annual
generation than any other
-Where you can have no

influence

of the company after all.

an owner

If you approve the

policies of the

^management, so far as you are
aware of them, do them the cour¬
tesy of signing the proxy and
•sending it in; if you disapprove,
•the best thing to do is sell the
stock.
.

When

dividend

your'

checks

in, cosh them promptly and

•come

-enter the date and amount in the

.'record

book

You

you.

broker' gave
need this record

your

will

"for income tax purposes.

/have

bond

due

date.

or

Your bank will cash it

for you.
-

/

refer

We
He

sums

investment

Bernard more comprehensible answers to bill by separate bargaining units, report, other than to emphasize
successful the few questions both groups data on depreciation and reserves, the need for broad information on
under
four have about
company finances and complete
cost breakdowns, and matters which bear on job se¬
to

up

policy

headings:

a

policies."

information

•

(2) Exercise patience in study¬
ing them.
Use imagination in dealing

(3)

with them.

•' ,J

..

,

(4) Be willing
conclusions

to

boldly

,;

.

,

v

act on your
and at once.

Guaranty Trust Company of New York
MAIN OFFICE
Fifth

Export-import Bank

Ave.

44th

at

—6

140

FIFTH AVE. OFFICE

V

Broadway

St.

MADISON

Madison

AVE. OFFICE

Ave.

at

60th

St.

OFFlfcE

ROCKEFELLER CENTER

Rockefeller Plaza at 50th St.

Brants Credit to

BRUSSELS

PARIS

LONDON

When You Should

curity.

dividends paid to

on

Get all the facts.

(1)

If you

debenture, you
'will have to clip the coupon on the
a

citizen.
Baruch.

Swedish Concerns

Sell

Your Investments
The

You have been told repeatedly
'that you should investigate before

invest.

should
companies
Jand of general economic changes
after you have invested. Read the
you

/watch for

Likewise,

'financial

you

of your

news

section

of

your

news¬

of

Board

Directors

the

of

RESOURCES

pation to the extent of $2,155,000
oy the Bank in a credit amounting
in total to

$3,330,000 to AktiebolaAerotransport
(ABA) ; and
Svensk Interkontinental Lufttra-

get>

perhaps a financial journal, fik Aktieboleg (SILA) to assist in
the quarterly and annual financing
the
purchase
from

paper,

;and

Condensed Statement of Condition, June 30, 1948

Export-Import Bank of Washing¬
ton on June 9 authorized partici¬

Cash

.Hand, in Federal Reserve Bank, and Due from

on

Banks and Bankers

U. S. Government

Consult

of

companies.

your

issues of "Standard's

new

^Listed Stock Reports."

the

Ask

'National City Bank of New York
to send you its monthly letter on
'economic conditions. It is excel¬

lent

it

and

/back

is

free.

not

Do

sit

Douglas Aircraft Co., Inc. of DC-6
transport aircraft.
This

credit

is

in

accordance

with the Bank's established

policy

of assisting American exporters to
finance
the
sale
of
American

equipment

abroad

particularly

that your job when such
equipment will direct¬
that you have in¬
ly assist the borrowing country to
posted on current
earn
dollars
and
other
"hard"
developments. You will not want currencies.
and

assume

Is done,

680,832,855.44
1,123,217,847.28

...........

Loans and Bills Purchased
Public Securities

870,076,683.69

$

.

Stock of Federal Reserve Bank

^to
make - many
changes,
but
changing conditions in the econ¬
omy
or. in
your
company
will
'sometimes indicate that you should
make some shifts in your investearly
that it was far easier to buy than
,il is to sell. If your stock or bond
has risen, you are so pleased that
.you will not think of selling. Yet
the time to sell is after your stock
will

You

discover

very

•

had

•old

substantial

a

rise.

An

saying goes that "No one ever
After

and

account

a

hope

cannot

you
when
it

has

.

Credits Granted

.

.

on

Obligations
Acceptances .

Accrued Interest and Accounts

its

peak

'and then have the wisdom to sell
it at just

that point. The person
;who does - so is just lucky, and
such luck does not often repeat
The

itself.

who

person

makes

.'some profit on his stocks is the one
•who sells too soon; in other words,
is

he

in¬

He sells after a substan¬

rise

tial

greedy for all the

not

crease.

is

and

happy

over

his

gains rather than unhappy over
7 any further rise.
*
On the other hand, if your se-

>

Receivable

7 7

Real Estate Bonds and

Mortgages

7,726,124.16

.

1,321,660.50

Bank Premises

.

120,908,322.68
4,858,969.78
/ 38,946.40

.'•••••

Other Real Estate

United States

the

in

Total Resources

V

$2,799,933,625.27

credit without re¬
the
Export-Import

on

LIABILITIES

Bank.

Capital
Surplus Fund

Undivided Profits

notes of

a

over

will mature semi-annually

period of four

The
rowers

the

bear interest at

Swedish

bor¬

will

years,

.

the rate of 3lk%-

and are to be unconditionally
guaranteed
by
the
Sveriges Riksbank.

$

.

.

100,000,000.00
200,000,000.00
63,848,493.22

..........

Capital Funds

Treasurers Checks

Outstanding

.

.

41,718,679.50

.

Deposits.

2,352,216,496.36

Investment

$

20,367,441.68

~$

Changes in

363,848,493.22

$2,310,497,816.86

Acceptances
Less: Own Acceptances Held for

Stockholder Reports

$

...

Deposits
Total

Advocates

.

.

Total

per annum,

know

to

reached

.

.

got poor taking a profit."

/all,

.

78,525,795.32
9,000,000.00
10,294,152.93
14,040,589.77

commercial bank will also partici¬

pate

course

-ments.

has

Douglas Aircraft Co., Inc. for its
own

.

Other Securities and

now
vested. * Keep

•

.

.

.

^statements

:

$

.

Obligations

14,180,999.08

6,186,442.60

.

(Continued from page 22)
viewed within this class had

va¬

a

riety of other sources of informa¬
tion, and many were in a position
to go directly to company officials
and get special questions answered

Dividend

Payable July 1, 1948
Foreign Branches
Accounts Payable, Reserve for
Expenses, Taxes, etc.

3,000,000.00
967,691.04

....

Items in Transit with

65,719,945.57

.

whenever the desired information

83,868,635.69

•

was

not available elsewhere.

"Financial

analysts

■

curit.y goes down, you must decide
whether to sell, accept some loss,

.

and

save

hold

or

the rest of your

the

because

on

money,

company

is good and you think the security
will recover. You will do best to

*

let

your

judgment

the

of

com¬

pany's and the industry's sound¬
ness guide you and try to shut out
any emotion emanating from the
stock market,
v

/be

continually buying and selling.

'While

occasional

purchases

and

'

sales may be desirable, you
avoid

shifts.

frequent

should

Presum-

;abljr /you are an investor, not a

If you shift often, it

•speculator.
'

becomes
•

•

may

costly
If

mount.

lose -dividend

•process,

and

your

shift,

you

you may

in

payments

feyery time

you,

losses

I'ie

shift,yov^

have to make two right decisions
•

instead

of

bought;

one

the

as

risk

when

of

thus

you

first

wrong,de¬

cision is thus multiplied.
choose

In shorty

carefully at the outset and

avoid

most

-for.shifting...

the

of

the

necessity

.




and

are

.

7.7

$2,799,933,625.27

"are

Securities carried at $00,235,817.59 in the above Statement are pledged to qualify for fiduciary powers, to secure public
moneys as

required by law, and for other

purposes.

less

likely to
face
They feel that many such
and

7

.

bank¬

declares,

report

sophisticated than the large

investors

take annual-report figures at

value.

reports

paint

to

try

progress and

light possible. For them, the an¬
report is a document which

and

—

as

reference

one

to

that

routine

a

other

must

be

matter, by
of in-r

sources

formation, such as tax returns and
SEC reports."
Annual
not

rate

channel

reports

high
of

as

at
an

present
.

do

important

communication

management; and workef
portion of the survey devoted
to
weighing employee - reaction
brought out.7 "Seventy-one per

•

of

the

laborers
queried, and 41% of the whitecollar
annual
never

employees,
of

report

reaches

state
their

them,"

that

respectively,

say

read, them.

the

study

they / see,

17%,

but

The relatively

few whO'dO'SeeaflcFteadthefti^

CORNELIUS F. KELLEY

WILLIAM L.

7/

DAVIS

KLEITZ

CHARLES S.

MUNSON

WILLIAM C.
GEORGE E.

President,

POTTER

STETSON
Chairman, Executive
Committee, Illinois Central Railroad Company

THOMAS J.

WATSON

President, BerwindWhite Coal Mining Company

7 President, The J. Gw
Engineering Corporation

President, International

Business Machines Corporation

DUNLAP

White

of Roosevelt & Son

EUGENE W.

of Davis Polk Wardwell

GANO "DUNN

Retired

ROOSEVELT

Sunderland 8s Kiendl
CHARLES E.

/.President

Chairman, Executive
Committee, Air Reduction Company, Inc.

/ The Columbia Gas System, Inc,
W.

Company

Chairman of the Board,
The M. W. Kellogg Company

CRANE, JR. !
1
President,
Crane & Co., Inc., Dalton, Mass.

CROCKER

Chairman of the Board,

MORRIS W. KELLOGG

American Telephone and Telegraph Company

M.

President, The Great

Anaconda Copper Mining

Chairman of the Board

COOPER

WINTHROP M.

JOHN

HARTFORD

Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company

Vice-Chairman of the Board,

STUART

A.

CONWAY
P.

company

the

JOHN

Chairman, Executive
Committee, Union Pacific Railroad Company

PALEN

Vice-President,

LEWIS GAWTRY

CHARSKE

CHARLES

Executive

The Pennsylvania Railroad Company

President, American
Cyanamid Company

J. LUTHER CLEVEL AN D

W.

WALTER S.FRANKLIN

Director, British-

President, Duke Power Company

BELL

factory

observes. "Another 10% and

never

and

WILLIAM B.

F. W.

•

American Tobacco Company, Limited,

v

tween

cent.,

KLEITZ

DIRECTORS
ALLEN

GEORGE G.

be¬

the

L.

President

Chairman of the Board

presents a particular point of view
toward company financial opera¬
checked

WILLIAM

LUTHER CLEVELAND

J.

company

prospects in the best

nual

tions

this suggests that .you may

All

ers,"
more

Total Liabilities

CHARLES E. WILSON
.

,

.

;

,

ROBERT W. WOODRUFF

c

President, General
Electric Company

Chairman, Executive
Committee, The Coca-Cola Company

Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

28

THE

(124)

that

Redeemable

Curieitcy—Only | |
d European Recovery

Means

(Continued from first page)

supply
of
both conditions within these countries
capital goods from are ripe- for the agitator* and pro¬
America;
that
for
reasons
of moter of revolution .• and; will re¬
state
the
money
for the pur¬ main so until the causes. are re¬
chase of these goods should be moved.
That the causes are the
additional

an

consumers' and

supplied

promptly
from
the
Treasury of the United States, for
the most part free, in lesser part
en
long-time
account.
The
-

amount
deemed required
proximately $20 billion.

is

ap¬

is

It

position that these*
plans for promoting tranquility
within the recipient states are
predicated upon a demonstrably
false premise and will fail be¬
my

of it.

cause

This false premise is

the

assumption that under their
existing
monetary
and
fiscal
practices it is possible to create
general
prosperity and popular
contentment

states.

within

That

the

the

aided

true

require¬
ment for general prosperity and
consequent domestic tranquility
within

these

from

the

not

money

our

That

is

states

Treasury to be used in
purchasing goods from Americans..
true

and

indispensable

requirement is an honest medium
of exchange to be provided for
the

people of these

their
such

medium

a

provided there
never
or

countries by
That until

government.

own

will

be

of

exchange

never

prosperity

contentment.

mass

be and

can

general

is

That

the

law

popular

demonstrations

dis¬

of

content is the natural consequence

of the irredeemable paper money

be

That

the

monetary

own

these

govern¬

restrictions

removed

the

and

justices

corrected
by
goods for sale.

more

honest

medium

which

the

of

in¬

offering

Only

for

tion

shows

lars

in

that which deludes them with pa¬

money."

per

•

;

,

"

.

to

the

Lenin and Webster theses

that within

modern

society with
great diversity of production

its

a

and consequent wide and continu¬
distributions

ous

the

of

the

essential

as

construction

possess

And at
this point permit me to point out
that the people of a rich and pro¬

as

" of

That without such

tools in

buildings.

medium it is

a

impossible either to create or
maintain general prosperity, mass

contentment,
quility.

political

Or

tran¬

II

honest

become the

medium of exchange as
distinguished from irredeemable
pieces of paper.
I will digress a

poor

infla¬
readily as the people of a
one.
As witness of this, rich

moment to tell you. By an honest
medium of exchange I mean a me¬
dium which within itself possesses

and

productive

ductive

country

victims

of

tion

a

can

paper

money

as

France

and

her

neighbor Italy both suffer

poorer

from the

disease.

same

And it is

nancially

stable ' and politically
tranquil and require aid from no

beauty.
been

one.

Whether

Time

and
experience
have
the truth of the aphorism
of Leinin, founder and great apos¬
proven

of

overthrowing

free

capitalistic economy there is

none

stealthy in its approach and

certain of

success

as

so

the emission

irredeemable 'paper * moneys.

And

of; that

of

Daniel

Webster

in

nuggets

or

because

it is

coins

coins

desired.

minted

other

or

metal

or

or

from

possess

Come

war

repudiation,
gold or any
the value of

their metallic content.
tent

bars

dust, it possesses value

revolution

or

Bolshevism, that of all the
a

so

and

To the

tificates convertible into

coin

are

not to be confused with irredeem¬
able slips of paper

as

all who held them

the

difference

possessing

MAIN OFFICE:

NEW YORK-OFFICE:

Montague Street

26 Broad Street

Brooklyn 2, N. Y.

New York 4, N. Y.

Condensed Statement of Condition, June 30,

1948

RESOURCES
Hand and Due from Federal

Reserve Bank and Other Banks

$ 62,590,067.66

U. S. Government Securities——
State and Municipal Bonds

128,027,889.82
5,516,185.09

—

2,296,326.22

--

Loans and Bills Purchased.

28,754,785.37

Bonds and Mortgages

106,826.17

2,500,000.00

—

Other Real Estate

1,000.00

_

Resources

:

625,076.13

:

$230,418,156.46

it

that

LIABILITIES

$

fashionable prophecies.
There is
now a free gold market in Paris.
It is regulated by the Government
of France.
In this market there
is

trading in gold and the transac¬

tions

Here

reported.

are

of the most

some

recent.

twenty-dollar gold pieces
selling in this open
market at from twenty to twentyhave

been

two thousand French francs. Upon
same

market

and

seven

Now bear this in mind.

twenty-dollar

896,491.17

Dividend payable July 1, 1948

205,000.00

Deposits

212,737,220.59

Reserves for Taxes, Expenses, etc

943,913.36

$230,418,156.46

at

$18,180,726.27

and

for

other

One of the Oldest Trust
Member New,,York

are

pledged

purposes,

as

to

secure

required

law.

Companies in the United States




^

were

with

francs.

The U. S.

pieces

gold
those

are

Americans

forced to surrender to their

government

in

exchange for the
twenty-dollar bills.
The twentydollar bills

they
day

were
011

brings

Clearing House Association.
Federal' Reserve System and "Federal
Deposit Insufahce'Corporatiba
,

identical

French

a

are

the

identical bills

forced to accept. So to¬
free

market the U,

S.

French francs, while U. S. paper
of
the
identical
denomination

public

by

thousand

twenty-dollar gold piece brings
twenty to twenty-two thousand

United States Government and State and
Municipal bonds
carried

are

United

States

5,700,000.00

Reserve for Contingencies

;

the baseless nature of these

prove

1,735,531.34

Undivided Profits

v

the

people
became
aware of the blessings of managed
paper
money
they
would
no
longer desire gold coins. Demand
for gold for minting would then
disappear and as a consequence
the nation's gold stock
at Fort
Knox would possess value only as
demanded by the fine arts.
Very
little time has been required to
once

8,200,000.00

Surplus

;

was

during the
same days United States twentydollar bills have been selling at

Capital

,

paper.

value
Not

the fashion
in high political as well as in some
academic circles to belittle gold as
a
monetary metal.
It was said

the

deposits

between

intrinsic

irredeemable

many years ago

Other

assume

.

,

*

'-

A

calcula¬
tion shows that persons wishing
to dispose of U. S. twenty-dollar
gold pieces upon this open market
are

seven.

now

able

quick

at "times

to

get

three twenty-dollar bills for each
of them, ana seldom * substantially'

.

.

.

when

Russians

refused

to

surrender

them

American

Government

could

to the

not

who;

she

.

.

given tourists the impression

be

not

and

needs

financial

help.

«

.

.

compelled to do so; At present France offers a
by American law.
It is not im¬ strange picture.
Her industrial
possible, of course, that some of: production is equal to 1938, but
them
come
from
forewarned she lacks essential manufactured
,

American

citizens

residents

or

commodities.

Her
agricultural
getting them output equals 1938 yet she goes
out of the conutry.
Had these begging for wheat and meat. The
persons held American gold cer¬ cause is hoarding for black mar¬
tificates or American gold bonds ket prices.
Her cities go short of
they- would have been helpless food and the countryside eats as
against the Act of Repudiation of never before."
' '

in

succeeded

,

American

the

Government.

But

In

Paris, during the

month,

same

of the gold coin there could be no

last October, the American

repudiation. This fact and the
prices quoted
give
answer
to
those
fashionable
prophecies

ed

.

is that Natural Laws

can

My major premise, to which I
return, is this: that prosperity
and
political
tranquility
will
never
return to Western Europe
until
honesty
returns
to
its
now

In proof of this premise
might with safety rely upon the

money.

I

It is

record.
aster.

of ruin and dis¬

one

In it there

exceptions.

to be found

are

Not

in the

once

paper

Not

money.

festations

daily filled to capacity
diners, while the
Riviera,
the
expensive
gambling and resort center, had
just closed its most profitable
year. The reports are but two of
many
describing similar condi¬

different

within the inflation

tries

and

those

inflations, I

ridden

tions.

propose

scriptions.
to

describe

conditions

in

all

the

of

report
called

British
Church's

a

"The

Public

on

sued

year 1947, the
in public gam¬
bling in Great Britain during that
year

$3,865,000,000.

It

was

racing, pari-mutuel

ma¬

was

divided

follows:

as

Horse
chines:

$84,500,000.

Horse racing, bookmakers:

Greyhound

racing:

fiscal

character of

practices, they

best

the

the

are
countries

of the

WOrst.

'

•

their

neither

Football

pools: $280,000,000.

Assuming the population to be
40,000,000, this is approximately
$100 per person and $400 per fam¬
ily of four. These represent in¬
creases

the

over

They
in

show

the

of

1948.
spectacular rise

the

wholesale

This

France.

with

hand

of

May,

price

rise

index of
hand in

goes

continuous emission

a

irredeemable

francs

paper

in

satisfaction

of budgetary deficits.
surprise no one when

should

It

he is made

the

since

Government
these

of the fact that

aware

liberation

paper

has

the

issued

francs

French
more

than

of

did the

Vichy Government during the Oc¬
cupation.
Taking
the
pre-war

of

fixed date at 100,
wholesale
prices
in
France
in
October,
1944,
stood
at
265;
in
December,
'45
at
489;
in
December, '46 at 842; in Decem¬
ber '47 at 1217;
in January '48
at
1456.
These
prices take no
account of the enormous public
prices

a

subsidies

which

held

down

the

prices of certain necessities. Nor
do they take account of the black
market
prices although
during
time

that

France

the

were

black

markets

doing at least

third of all the

business.

of

one-

Nor do

they take account of the scarcity
which
was
experienced in the
cities
than

of

and

France

not

made

purchase

it

desired

more

often

impossible

things

at

to

the

established prices.
I

by

now

lished

in

tober

24,

had

turn

San

a

to

a

letter

Franciscan
the

"Argonaut"

1947.

This

just ..returned

written

and

pub¬

a

the

year

causes

increase

in

of

ab¬

experi¬

are

encing.
Having

trip

called attention to

now

present day conditions, permit me
to read

a

description of conditions

in

France during the great Assignat Inflation cf a hundred and
fifty years ago. I read from "The
Lectures

of

President

Andrew

and

D.

White,"

Professor

His¬

of

tory of

Cornell University.
The
subject is "Fiat Money Inflation
in France." These lectures were

delivered in

ing the
the

1878.

After describ¬

rise

great

in

prices

and

confusion, discontent and dis¬

order

among

the

French

people,

Dr. White said:

"But

these

small

were

far

deep-seated signs of dis¬
which now showed them¬

selves

throughout

One of these
of

evils, though great,

compared with those

more

ease

thrift

from

the

country.

the obliteration

was

the

minds

the

of

French

people. The French arO
naturally thrifty but with such
of

masses

money

and

with

such

uncertainty as to its future value
ordinary motives for saving

the

and

care

luxury

diminished

spread

country.

A still

and

loose

a

throughout
worse

the

outgrowth

the speculation and gambling.
At the great metropolitan centers
was

grew a luxurious speculating, and
gambling body which, like a ma¬
lignant tumor, absorbed into itself

the

strength of the nation. In the
leading French cities now arose a
luxury and license which was a
greater evil

even

than the

plun¬

dering which ministered to it."
Let

of Oc¬

gentleman

from

previous

of

senteeism the British

r"-~>h:

Review"

one

the

nor

The figures I am about to quote
are
taken
from
the
"Harvard
Business

$1,800,000,*

000.

tremendous

to

$1,-

700,000,000.

reflect

respect

a

covering the

the

In

is

total money spent

and

examples.

This

investigate the alarming increase
in gambling in Great Britain. Ac¬
cording to its report recently is¬

Great

as

Committee

Gambling."

countries, I will take France and
Britain

'.nV:

Committee

committee of the Church set up to

coun¬

Since it is impossible,

' '

.

Now permit me to quote from a

during

certain past and contemporary de¬

French

French

than

previous
to read you

were

with

have its mani¬

once

been

Marquis Child, report¬
expensive French restau¬

that

rants

troubled

history of the world has
succeeded as substitute for

corre¬

spondent,

except

the early part of the last Ad¬
ministration know.

money

Buildings

gold pieces.
they do not
Americans, since it

must

convertible into
those to be observed today.
That
another slip of
you may observe. the similarity
paper.
Nevertheless such con¬
between the conditions of today
vertible certificates are subject to

and

although
they
appear
Never,
even
in
the
hey-dey of the late twenties have
I
seen
such
spending, luxury,
gambling, etc., as in France and
broke.

.

no

they are proof
repudiation.
Paper cer¬

against

trate

COMPANY

Bank

twenty-dollar

One

ex¬

of this value

"These Europeans are not suf¬

fering

Belgium. It's not like the old days
the Americans, British and
were the great
spenders
come
from
in
Europe. Now it's the local
would constitute a crime for ari
people.
The exhibition of in¬
American to own them. Supposed¬ decent riches I saw in
French
ly they come from foreigners who Summer Resorts have certainly
these

It is useful

in the fine
throughout all time has
admired
by
mankind.

arts

Recent events graphically illus¬

Securities

from

for

thirty-three cents each. You may
be curious as to the sellers of

answer

BROOKLYN TRUST

Other

selling in .the
thirty to

now

are

minted

own

a

in

on

our

dol¬

paper

noteworthy that both France and specified quantity of a thing of in¬
As example, gold neither be shouted down by mobs,
Italy are richer than their neigh¬ trinsic value.
argued out of existence by doc¬
bors:
Luxembourg!,. Switzerland, coin of a given standard of weight
and Portugal, yet these poor ad¬ and fineness is a medium of ex¬ trinaires, nor repealed by govern¬
ments.
joining
countries
adhering
to change possessing intrinsic value.
honest monetary practices are fi¬ Gold is a ductile metal of natural
Ill

repudiation

Cash

S.

alike
in
political and
thing of in¬ popular
trinsic value or at the option of academic circles within the mem¬
the owner is convertible into a ory Of all who are here.
The

given quantity of

a

nothing

177

U.

of

market

who

At this point you may wish to
know precisely what I mean by an

*A further calcula^:

that

terms

gold coin
open

And for the purposes of this
discussion I offer it as a corollary

Thursday, July 8, 1948

less than that.

of mankind

effective than

more

an

exchange in
confi¬

people

dence will remove them.

Inflation from which they aresttf?* of

fering and is caused by it.'

abiding elements of

That

not

upon

the de¬

upon

the population by
practices of their

methods

in

limitations

inflicted

cent and

states

itself

contrivances

masses

fidence is

tle of

manifests

the

injustices

general unhappiness within these
which

all

has been

production and trade and the cruel

restrictions and

will

.

,

"Of

cheating the
none

CHRONICLE

things
produced, a medium of exchange
in which the people possess con¬

ments.

I

&'FINANCIAL

COMMERCIAL

of

a

me

also read from the work

distinguished French Scholar,

Pierre
work

Gaxotte.
"The

It

French

is

from

his

Revolution"

through Europe, a continent with

published in the United States in

wKichTlie

1932.

was

familiar.

He

says:

Describing the conditions in

Volume

tion of the 1790's he says:

dustrious

of res¬
taurants done such good business.
While in the outskirts of the city

bler and law violator.

"Never had the keepers

but emaciated, pale, and rag¬

none

ged figures were to be seen, the
coffee houses, and eating shops in
the Palais Royal were filled with
bursts of laughter, the glitter of
diamonds, faces shining with good
cheer, and women with next to
nothing on. It was a case of over¬
fed

bellies

empty

the

on

side

one

and

the other; and
preparing to hurl
upon the former."

bellies

on

the latter were
themselves

I have read these accounts de¬

scribing the reaction of the people
of today and that of the people of
a. century and a half ago under
like conditions for the simple
purpose

demonstrating

of

the

intensified

,

in¬
flations.
They manifest a moral
and intellectual disintegration of
government spreading throughout
fhe entire population. It is a dis¬
integration to be observed among
the educated and highly placed as
well as among the uninformed
is

It

masses.

Which feeds upon itself and grows

steadily worse and never better
the most drastic and far-

until

teaching reforms are effected. It
manifests the refusal of the people

their

to obey the mandates of

the

through

for

own

article

an

deem

it

right to pay
as they
Wage
control

believably

receive

his

for

service

hold

not

their

Both
be

and

another

ment

which they

the discredited

up.

law of human nature which causes

from

willing to pay
employer the right

an

But it is impor¬

tant to bear in mind that

ing the state owned power system
of France at the expense of the
United
States
Treasury
adds

each of

these

place in

war

destruction in Germany dur¬

the serious impli¬

understood country

came

down in ruins, pav¬

by informed persons throughout
Europe and the world not exclud¬
ing the watchful rulers of Soviet

ing the way for the Nazi seizure

Russia.

suggested
that
while the Marshall Plan does not

of power.

instrumentalities

do

not

IV

sound

out, neither evidence a
want of material possessions with¬
in the country nor result from it.
They are a direct reaction to de¬
struction of the established me¬

establishment

pointed

of

establishment

the

require

which these infla¬
tion ridden states suffer, as I have

exchange,

of

mediums

make such
possible.
This is

nevertheless the grants

not

suggestion

The

true.

failure

demonstrates

of the

now

monetary

in cir¬
reform

lator, gambler and black market¬
If restoration of contentment'

eer.'

is required to combat communism

(

within Western Europe the things;
must be done which will restore

contentment by rebuilding a pros--

society.

perous

Because

indis¬

general and will require pensable, the first of these is the
additional gold which can be sup¬ restoration of honest money.;-k;
plied only by the United States
RSMca
either by gift or loan.
It has been
estimated by a competent bank
authority and economist that $1,000,000,000
should prove suffi¬
cient. But more than gold will be
required.
A return to honesty,
Paris Scott Russell, Jr., Glore,
intelligence and sobriety in gov?'
ernment is as essential as gold. Forgan & Co., was elected Pres¬

P. S. Russell, Jr.,

NY

Without

this,,waste and extrava¬

will continue.
Correct fi¬
nancial practices will be rejected
because in conflict with immedi¬
gance

Municipal Forum
the

ident ' of

Municipal
Forum of New-

to

itself

compre¬

tinue

to

duced,

see

real

his

wage

re¬

in

his

increase

despite

chosen

Vice-

President;

T.

George

Paris S. Russell, Jr.

The owner of obli¬ Ragsdale,
gations payable in money will be Lehman Brothers, Secretary; and
forced to witness the daily de¬ Rudolph J. Harper was re-elected
Treasurer.
Frank Lucke, Laid-

money wage.

of

struction

his

savings.

Gam¬

bling will continue to be the
interest of segments

lation.

chief

of the popu¬

The decent and industri-

law

&

were
on

Co.,

D. McTrust Company,

and Edward

Northern

Grew,

elected to three-year terms

the board of governors.

-

now

to supply them. This con¬
estates of the

propose

of the great

sisted

all

and

nobles

the

appraised

were

lands

the

of

These estates and lands

Church.

and

made

pur¬

chasable at appraised values. Any

purchaser was entitled-to pay for
them

newly issued as-

the

with

Serving Savers

Kings County Trust Company

into every
lives. While
preserving the form it has altered

ty and unhappiness
phase of the people's

the substance of every

experience scarcity and

must be

This destruction

confusion, uncertain¬

has brought

to

privation in the very sight"

Assignat Inflation of France. The
French Government had just be¬
come
possessed ofproperty of

of exchange and measure¬

ment of value.

Western

of

paper

This

culation.

become

greater value than that we

V

been

has

It

,

The ills from

dium

countries

content¬

within the

tranquility

Europe that honest money replace

Except part of the purchasable wealth of
at a
steadily accelerating pace ing the first World War.
the country.
They add nothing to
among the people of
our own for the expenditures incident to
the worth or purchasing ability
Country.
And it carries an omi¬ the war and some material repa¬
rations in the way of railway roll¬ of individual Frenchmen. The re¬
nous note when one observes that
ing stock, shipping, and war ma¬ quirement for general prosperity
our own paper dollar measured
and contentment in France is not
in terms of gold coins of our own terials, the Peace of Versailles
new
state owned electrical sys¬
minting is now selling in a free left the wealth of Germany unNotwithstanding this tems- or factories or-tobacco or
market at 30 to 33 cents, with no consumed.
quickly disappearing consumers
appreciable reaction to the signif-, fact, because of a paper money
deliberately
practiced goods, but a medium of exchange
icance of this grave fact upon the, inflation
after the establishment of peace, of intrinsic and hence true and
part of our own government But
the economic and political struc¬ stable value. Clear demonstration
no greater mistake could be made
ture
of this rich
and cultured of this is to be found in the great
cations of this are not

and

disturbed

is

think it is worth.

observe this attitude building up

than to suppose

of

reestablishment

for

expropriations
can
take
a wealthy country as well
nothing to the value of the over
as in a poor one.
And the disas¬ issued inconvertible paper franc.
distrust, or to save it, and their
trous
effect upon the country's Neither does the rebuilding of the
determination promptly to
get
w*hat they can out of it either in economy will be precisely the state owned Renault automobile
same.
factory with funds provided from
things of material value or in
As example there was no major the United States Treasury. These
pleasure or excitement. One can

manifests their refusal to honor a
of exchange

accumu¬

it to
indispensable requirement

an

people of the cities will con¬

tinue

York
at
the
people to seek to dispose of a
Budgets annual meet¬
thing of lesser value for a thing ate political interests.
remain
unbalanced.
The ing held June
to pay that which he believes the of greater.
It is because people will
14.
Mr. Rus¬
•service to be worth.
Credit con¬ cannot be forced, either by law. printing. of money will be re¬
sell
succeeds
trol
takes
from
the
owner
of or terror,
to accept as true a sumed. Restrictions of every kind
will be enacted in hope of forc¬ Leander L.
money the right to loan it as he premise they know to be untrue;;
of the govern¬ Shelley of the
chooses and from seller and buy¬
It
is
not
more
state
owned ing acceptance
ment's
printings at decreed Port of New
er the right to arrange their own
property that is required to tranYork Author¬
terms.
Exchange
controls take quilize the people of Western Eu¬ values. Capital will continue to
ity. Robert T.
frcjm all owners of money the rope. but restoration to the peo¬ flee the country. The wage earn¬ Veit, Shields
right to dispose of it either at ple of an intrinsically valuable
er
and salaried person will con¬ &
Co.,
was
home or abroad for what they medium of exchange.
Rebuild¬

which

government which they know to
be based upon false pretense.
It
medium

the

and

reason

ous

29

gaudy ostentation of the law vio¬

lated lessons of history prove

This is because of that immutable

that

was

ruined because of them.

state

value

France

and

money,

paper

Even this un¬

totalitarian

rich

could

much

as

worth.

from the worker the right

takes
to

valueless in trade.

all others the

from

money

disintegration

a

signats at face value. Yet the assignats of themselves possessing
no
value-> went
the way of all

ensuing
government to still the
complaints of its primary victims
by expropriations from
others. wealth of these countries adds
Thus
having robbed Tom, the nothing of value to their irre¬
wage earner or holder of obliga¬ deemable paper currencies. Pub¬
tions payable in money, and be¬ licly held wealth is not available
ing alarmed by his outcries, the to the holder of inconvertible
government makes hurried effort paper money. The government of
to. rob Dick and Harry in Tom's Russia owns all the wealth within
interest.
These secondary expro¬ Russia and commands at its own
priations take the form of price place and price the services and
and wage and exchange controls trade of every Russian.
In all the
and rationing.
Each seeks to take history of nations no government
has ever owned such incalculable
from someone a right to which
under the customs and beliefs of wealth as is now owned by this
the people he is rightly entitled, government.
Yet its irredeem¬
Thus price control takes from the able paper rubles have recently
Owner of property the right to gone to the ashcan, having be¬
a
sell it to the highest bidder and come
mockery because near

a natural law. In them
portrayed the economic and

moral effect of paper

to serve as money. What
is required is »a medium possess¬
ing intrinsic value or convertible
upon
demand into such a me¬
dium. Increasing the publicly held

Its ills are

(125)

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

of paper

gam¬

efforts of

working of
are

the

rewards

and

&

hend the true cause of the failure

Assignat Infla¬ punishes the law-abiding and in¬

during the

Paris

COMMERCIAL

THE

Number 4714

168

OUR SERVICES

INCLUDE

STREET

342, 344 and 346 FULTON

BROOKLYN 1, N. Y.

long-time
the sav¬

Since 1859

ACCOUNTS

•

SAVINGS

•

MORTGAGE

LOANS

•

CHRISTMAS

CLUB

•

G.

•

SAFE

•

MODERNIZATION LOANS

contract. It has destroyed

ings of masses of honest and de¬
serving people.
It has reduced
the real wage or salary of every
-employed person.
It has inflict¬
ed cruel and unmerited punish¬
ment upon the innocent and help¬
less.
Every law-abiding individ¬
ual within the countries is its
victim.
As the price level rises
with each succeeding act of infla¬
tion the people of these countries
experience additional reduction of
savings, wages and salaries.
To
suppose that contentment and po¬
litical tranquility are to be found
; among a people rendered contin¬
ually'unhappy through a great
imposture practiced against them
-by their own government is to
abandon

reason.

of

appreciation

prompted
; words

■

Lenin

It

was

a

keen

this
which
to utter the

Capital

.

.

Surplus '

.

.

.

.

business

June 30, 1948

on

on

Cash

in

Hand

Banks

1,267,098.85
15,535,562.47
23,636,290.12
City
v.:. ■

Bonds

and

Mortgages

Loans

on

Collateral,

Demand

and

Bills

472,499.45

Time.

1,708.059.11

Purchased

Real

Estate

Other Assets

615,000.00
-——~

■

341,042.37

57,501.544.93

ue

Depositors

hecks

47,914,055.17

for

money

LATEST DIVIDEND
•

Checks

standing

PAID FROM DAY OF

SAVINGS BANK MONEY ORDERS

Taxes,

778.998.70y
Out¬
75,386.66
57.501,544.93

FULTON STREET AND DE KALB
Bensonhurst: 86th Street and
Flatbush: Avenue J and

Our

main

office

is

our

only office and makes avail¬

depositors every facility and accommodationknown to modern banking. Make it your banking home.
able to its

Member Federal Deposit

Insurance Corporation

AVENUE

19th Avenue

Coney Island Avenue

BROOKLYN, NEW YORK
MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

<




DEPOSIT

and

Contingencies
Official

SAVINGS BANK LIFE INSURANCE

2,526.73

Discount—

Reserves

'

inflation is a
practice under which a govern¬
ment, to advance its own imme! diate political interest, unjustly
despoils one class of its citizens
5 and unfairly enriches others.
It
Paper

•

27,973.36

Unearned

Expenses

1%

702,604.25
a

Certified

to which your attention has

>' been called.

DEPOSIT BOXES

7,500,000.00

Profits

Undivided

6,414.293.55
824,798.66
700,470.48

Stocks

'.

Surplus

5,985,829.87"

Bonds
Other Bonds

500,000.00

Capital

—

and

State

LOANS

%

Bonds..-;

S. Govt.

I. HOME

LIABILITIES

RESOURCES

Cash

Y.

$702,000.00

.

Statement at the close of
•>

N.

$7,500,000.00

.

Undivided Profits

U.

$500,000.00

.

31

CORPORATION

30

(126)

COMMERCIAL &

THE

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

(Continued from page 2)
have, in large degree, rested upon
the Keynesian theory that saving
is fundamentally anti-social in its
effects and that spending is vir¬

pie's savings domestically, and in¬ general effort is to obtain the con¬
ternationally they seem deter*? ditions which competition pro'mined to give away our wealth, duces. This is because the great¬

tuous.

nate the

As

a

consequence,

our

spending*has been protligate and
taxes

-our

debt have

and

become

.

until

drained dry and lie
The Keynesians domi¬

are

we

prostrate.

est social good is obtained under
competition and under regulations

teaching of Economics in of other methods of procedure
colleges, and it will, appar¬ designed to bring them into line

our

ently,

require

the

with

The tax rates methods of science can free U£
sharply progres¬ from the pestilential visitation.
The distinguished French eco¬
sive, and the tax burden has be¬
come more
characteristic of that nomic scientist and government

tend

extremely

before

years

high.

have been made

under

than

totalitarian

a

that

of

a

government

basic purposes of these taxes
has been to level down the large

incomes of

both

official, Jacques Rueff, writing

One of' "The

repubhc.

the

individuals

Fallacies

General

Lord

of

Theory"

in

on

Keynes!

Quar¬

"The

terly^ Journal of Economics" (May,

and

1947), ends his discussion with
corporations.
The tax programs this
sentence:
"Whom
Jupiter
the enforced distribution of wishes to destroy, he first makes
corporate earnings have rested Aiad," That is an observation that
upon the
notion that corporate the Keynesians, and, of course
surpluses and reserves represent a the people of this cpuntry would
for

withholding of purchasing
from the needy.

power

These various tax

do well to ponder with care.
The departures in this country

programs have had destructive ef¬
fects on savings and the accumu¬

A

what competitive conditions
to

objective

an

are

fact

cies

payers.
When

results

government undertakes
substitute its judgment as tc

to

a

is

proper

for

world

the

in

the

results

economic
that

flow

one.

upon

a

naturally

had reached economic matur¬

ity,
no

in

it

savers,

longer

was

find

investment

claimed, could

adequate

outlets

therefore, it
was now
necessary for the gov¬
ernment to step in,, take surplus
savings; and invest them in ac¬
tivities to be provided by the gov¬
ernment.
The
assumption
that
government

and,

paternalism

was

su¬

perior to private enterprise was a
companion notion of that of eco¬
nomic maturity,
The profligate

t ;
; :
spending and the
,

wild accumulation .of debt were
fostered in part by the notion
propagated by these same econo¬
mists (and others) that'governdebt

ment
•:

can

do

harm

and,
indeed, has many virtues because,
they said, "we owe it to ourselves"
no

tion of wealth and income except
as
these matters are determined

rights

decision

rests

in

matters

of this

subjective
praisals; and these are always
bitrary.,
upon

,

tendency

this may be the result of the gradual
group of economists, and others, evolution of standards which meet
who embraced such
notions, to social approval, or of formal law.
give away a very large portion of But where law lays down stand¬
the savings of the people of the ards of
fairness, these arfe presum¬

United States.

among

All sorts of

reasons

have been

provided, and are still
being provided, for the expropria¬

tion and exportation of our wealth.
Our prosperity and the welfare of
other people were said
upon

our

upon

the

ably for the purpose of making
competition work more smoothly,
and

they

are

of

social

plicable

with

sults

presumably the
and

ap¬

to depend

of

competition with
protection of the ill

Examples are
spending and gifts and children from

heavy exports of

approval

re¬

equality
to
all.
the sheltering of

maintenance

by

us

wealth. Pros¬
perity and degression were said
to be "indivisible."
This jargon
spread as though it were a funda¬
mental
truth,
although it was
merely another device employed
by those devoting themselves, in
part, at least, to the dissipation of
the national patrimony of the peo¬
ple of this country,
our

iff Artificially low interest rates
were instituted and maintained to
make it easier for the government
to borrow and spend, and because

from

adults,

the

and the

ing

aged, rules for horse

and

lation

,

of

rac¬

athletic

contests, regu¬
monopolistic practices

and

of what is deemed

fair

methods

of

to be

un¬

competition,-

re¬

pression of predatory activities of
people, and so on.
When there are departures from
practices that give us our prices
under conditions of free and fair

competition, the extent and nature
these
departures should be

of

measured

posed

against what it is

would

be

the

sup¬

situation

standards

were

anti-social

held to be essentially

people

Any defender of a governmentally-managed economy must of
necessity take the position that

fixed

if

These




Some

the

of

thus far

seen

our

other

burden

are a

blanket of debt

a

on

our

people and national patrimony,
reaching far beyond anything of
which

have

we

dreamed. The

ever

spect to

petition.
Being

in

the

the absence of
We cannot get, ex¬

.

goods reveal.

cept at unusually high prices, if
all, a multitude of things that

at

would like to have.

we

ductive

activities

great and
for

must

persist at

Our pro¬
be very

high level
long time if we are to over¬
the nonproduction or under¬

a

come

a

production of various commodities

that characterized the years of the
war and the preceding depression.
We

beginning to perceive a
these sobering things, but

are

few

of

the

real

days

not yet arrived.

ligate

of reckoning have
We. like the prof¬

individual

spender,

borrower

and.

still in the stage of

are

intoxication,
pleased
with
our
spending and its results and, there¬
fore,

wish

use

the

our

real

it

and

devices

to

scatter

wealth

wish

to

the four

to

of the world.

ners

to

prolong

to

same

We still

borrow

to

and

to

cor¬
seem

mort¬

gage and to spend until the bitter
end

finally overtakes

existent.

undesirable,

Our real

prices arid

high

which

or

real wealth.

our

wealth is relatively scarce as our

these are the only reliable guides
known as to what is good or bad.

seem

we

Since

to

us—an

think
are

we

is

end
non¬

acting

a*,

a self-regulating monop¬
economic world,, and that they are though we actually entertained
olist, the government, like any
the belief that God takes care of
the best, possible guides'to pro¬
unregulated monopolist, is free to
fools and the United States, and
do whatever it pleases. There is ducers, consumers, buyers, sellers,
that it makes no difference how
savers, and investors, has permit¬
no
standard of Tightness beyond
foolish we be, we would do well
ted tfiis country to go far astray
what it wills if it chooses to cut

itself loose from objective stand¬
ards.
The departure of so many
of

our

governmental officials and

economists—particularly the Keynesian-Socialist

brand

—

from

and to drift into or to

activities
social

far-flung

are

consequences u are

But the desire to

competitive

system

and the
serious.

depart from a
is not con¬

fined to government officials and
the
Keneysian-Socialist
econo¬

mists.

Many people

a

fabulous

Along
almost

with

this has

come

an

general acceptance of the
that
a ..government
can

notion

markets

market place.
We

obviously

need

to

remind

leadership are willing or ac¬ ourselves over and over today
participants in those Federal that there is no sound basis for
policies and practices involving the notion that the judgments of
such departures. Pressure groups government officials are superior
of almost every conceivable va¬ to the forces of the market place.

of
the
taxpayers.
Agricultural
leaders, labor leaders, owners of
mineral resources, heads of big
business enterprises, heads of lit¬
tle

enterprises, leaders in educa¬
tion, leaders in fields of religion,
and

so

on

and

on

seek

financial

aid from the Federal government.

They

When Sir George Paish, long

Washington for alms
looting

speak

proudly

of

getting

nesian-Socialist

doctrines

which

can

in positions

for "their share" of the

The people of the United States
sorely need to understand the na?
ture and implications of the Key-

an economy better than
have afflicted this nation like a
society
acting
collectively
pestilence in recent years, and
through the exercise of the judg¬
our distinct movement away from
ment of all
buyers and sellers
private - enterprise - competitive
operating freely and fairly in the

manage

of

riety go to

remind ourselves that the his¬

their wealth.

sum.

tive

or

to

tory of the world is replete with,
economic in nature and are cost¬ chapters on the wreckage of peo¬
ing the people of this country a ples whose governments dissipated

these

objective standards have af¬
fected
this
country
most
ad¬
versely. The ramifications of their

embrace

multitude of devices that are un¬

and

toward

governmen-

tally-managed

economy with its
spending, waste, and
destruction of our national patrir

profligate

mony.

ii

Socialism

;
the

private

£ enterprise system—There

are some

versus

close student of business

fluctua¬
tions visited the United States in

very important and basic things
about a system of Socialism ver-r

1937, he put the matter accurately

sus

and well when he said: "Long ex¬

vate enterprise that the people of
the United States need to realize.

system of competitive pri+

a:

perience has caused me to come
the conclusion that the eco¬
crises of the world which
come from
time to time are the
result rather of political action

ture—politically, economically, in¬

economic action, and can

become the standards of right and

Socialism

to

nomic

than

of

be avoided only
men

when the statesgreater

of all nations have a

understanding
and have some

consequences

of economic law
appreciation of the

of their own actions.

dividually.
ards

of

is

destructive

in

na¬

The subjective stand¬

the

rulers

of

the

people

The objective standards
produced by competitive private
enterprise, Which are the only,

wrong.

ones that can reflect the combined
judgment of all the people as to

said that the states¬ what should be produced, ex¬
World, taken as h changed, and consumed, and as to
whole, have, since the war, and what prices arid profits should be*
especially in recent years, acted are scuttled by government rulers
...

It may be

men,

of

the.

in such a manner as to bring the
ilar or related fields where com¬ that
they are attempting to force world machine almost to a stand Keynesians. and
their
petition in prices and profits and the helpless* taxpayers to subsid¬ still."
philosophy, as thev have thus far
operated chiefly through our Fed¬ losses prevails.' The standards for ize them. One of the basic tenets
The widespread failure of the
eral 'Government, have cost the
the regulation of other
types of of Marxianism is "From each ac¬ people of this country to under¬
people of this country billions
stand clearly the nature and value
.monopolies
are
implicitly ; the cording to his ability, to each ac¬
piled unon other billions of dol¬
of standards determined by comWhen the
lars.
And the end is not yet in same.
proper concept cording to his needs." When. in¬ neb'ti^n.
and
the ? drift |to
an
sight. They have dissipated peo- of these matters is employed, the dividuals and groups go to Washincreasing amount of governmen*.

development.
of taxes and

desirable

would tend to prevail under com¬

Federal help. It is now a respect¬
such competition were
operating. able thing to do. It is, according
who did not Basically, the regulation of pub¬
to present, standards of behavior,
need, or deserve, any appreciable lic utilities, if properly
conceived, a manifestation of
power and im¬
compensation in the form of in¬ is designed to provide
prices and
portance.
terest when they loaned their sav¬
profits of a kind and degree that
These, people* do not announce
ings.
The unfortunate effects on it is supposed would
prevail under
proudly that they are not believ¬
our hospitals, colleges, universities,
competition. The standards used
ers
in the competitive system in
and other endowed institutions are
are the prices and
profits in sim¬ so far as they are concerned, or
painfully obvious.
savers

want bread."

soon

ap¬

that called for
The element of fairness in com¬
they were impersonal petition means that the rules of
objects—automatons—fit for noth¬ the game, as in all forms Of ri¬
ing except to be plucked^
valry, have been defined and ac¬
As a part of this widespread at¬
cepted, and are followed with
titude, there has beeh an almost general approval.
These
rules
uniform

endless number of

an

would

we

.

the
objective
the objective standards yielded by
by competition.
We have monopolistic powers in competition, in which all society
records its j udgment, are inferior
ar¬ some degree on the
part of many
to the opinion or desires of a few
buyers and sellers.
In time of
men in assuring the general wel¬
In economics, let. it be empha¬
war, the Federal government puts
sized, there is no objective stand¬ itself in the position- of a power¬ fare of the people of a nation
Such a
ard of fairness of prices and hence
position cannot be de¬
ful monopolist, chiefly as a buyer.
fended in science.
of profits except where prices and
As a monopolistic buyer it can fix
There is no judgment that can
profits are determined under con¬ the
conditions
under
which
it
ditions of free and fair competi¬ will
possibly equal the combined judg¬
buy. And since this monop¬
ment of
all buyers and sellers
tion. Prices and profits thus de¬
olist is also our Federal govern¬
termined are regarded as object¬
Producers, buyers, and sellers all
ment;; there is no superior authorv,
ive or natural in the sense that
get their best and their proper
ity to act as - a neutral regulator
guidance from free markets.
they are not controlled by the as between the
helpless sellers
act of any individual buyer or
The widespread failure in this
and the monopolistic buyer in an
seller or by the direction of any
effort to see. to it that prices and country to understand what objec¬
regulating authority.
They are profits are fixed at a level that tive standards of value mean, that
sort

virtues

or

protection;

of wheat say its mar¬

ket value is.

by the operation of the forces of
We have
and fair competition.
Any departures

though that contention jus¬ the result of the competition of
tified their policies. The alleged all
buyers and sellers in the market
virtues of public debt were ex¬
place. They are the result of that
pounded vigorously by these econ¬ society's judgment; and there is
omists.
Practically none of them no other better, no other object¬
seemed to see any dangers in it. ive, standard in so far as that so¬
Taxpayers
seemed
to
no
have
ciety is concerned.
*^-as

and buyers

free

other

in

occurred

history. The impairment of our
savings and the dissipation of our
national wealth are parts of this

from

-

we

involving the welfare of thus

nation that have

competition, thai effects, that probably wilJ flow
is
substituting
its from this exceedingly unhealthy
type of appraisal of values that is government
personal or subjective and, there¬ power and will for the obj ective situation appear not to be widely
standards yielded by competition. understood. We seem to be in the
fore,
arbitrary, in nature.
No
When a government substitutes its same general situation as the in-,
person need accept another's sub¬
jective standard as "right" or ob¬ subjective will for objective stand¬ dividual borrower: who has bor¬
jective. The science of Economics ards, the net results are artificial rowed almost to the limit and is'
values, economic waste, and pos¬ busy spending the proceeds.
becomes useless.
feels prosperous and has a sense:
Individuals
cannot
argue
ef¬ sibly a disastrous destruction and
of well-being.
He sees the out-,
fectively about the Tightness? of dissipation of a nation's wealth
We have seen much in this worlc ward symptoms of prosperity—a
prices or profits or losses that re¬
sult from free and fair competi¬ in rfecent years, and throughout large flow of money, large bank
the history of the world, as tc. accounts, much buying, and great
tion.
The
farmer's
subjective
happens to people when, activity. But there are some so¬
value of his wheat may be above what
aspects of this picture;
that indicated in the competitive governments presume to tell them bering
what they may produce, what they There are the matters of debt and*
market with the result that he
may
consume,
and what prices taxes and.of the situation in re-:
may decide not to sell.
But his
launches

standard

from objective standards of ap¬
praisal of what is proper or just-—
In the light of the trend, of events
Closely related to this anti-sav¬ in this country in recent years, it withholding will not alter " the may or must be.
We would do well to weigh wit!
ing, pro-spending, program of our obviously needs to be emphasized market price.
Neither, he nor
government was the ..concept of again and again that there are no
care, and
to consider the great
anyone else can appropriately say
economic maturity which some of objective standards by which we that
in,
Thomas
Jefferson's
the market price at that time wisdom
our
economists and others were can measure what is proper in
"Were
is not the correct price. It is the warning of 1821. He said:
able to inject into our Federal production, prices, prof its,, savings,
we
directed
from
Washington
proper price for the reason that
when to saw; and when to reap,
policies. Since, so it was alleged, investment, and in the distribu¬ that
price reveals 'what all sellers
lation of capital goods.

ably the most dangerous tenden¬

demonstrating that they
are no longer believers in the vir¬
tues of the competitive system but
prefer the basic principle of Karl
Marx. They want their needs met,
as
they see them, by the tax¬

what

produce.

departure from

the tally-managed economy are prob¬

at

of the taxpayers they

expense

in

subsidies

seeking

ingjton

Oar Economic System in the Ui Mettled Woild

Thursday, July 8, 1948

under

a

system of Socialism. What

Socialist or so-called eco-;
nomic planner wants is to be able
every

to

enforce his plans and to over-*
rule the plans of all other peonle.
The only freedom that he really
advocates
and

is freedom for himself,
friends, according to his own

standards

as

to

what

he

wants".

THE

"Volume 168 : Number 4714

COMMERCIAL

the so-called; importance of the individual gives
advocate oi way to the importance of the State.
what he regards as his own wel¬ When Socialism becomes as thor¬
fare; he is a potential dictator.: ough-going as in Russia, freedom
When
people advocate govern¬ Of the individual disappears as
ment dictatorship in some form it does freedom of speech and the
is always dictatorship, by their press and indeed all freedom ex¬
own clique.
cept to live and labor as a tonguej
Perhaps no lesson of history is tied wage slave ordered about as

Evfery

advocate

.Welfare

of

State is

an

.

trogression. That is not what the
other individual.. struggles of mankind throughout
These concepts have brought tOj
the
centuries
teach
us
is
the
.enligtened people the rule of law,
proper course to take.
with those of any

guarded

constitutions.

These

are

the ear¬

marks of civilization.

Socialism

dictatorship
based upon the will of the rulers.,
•This- fact is not altered by. the,
; tendency of many modern. Social¬
.

ists

means

write

to

speak of "demo-

or

era^ie Socialism."

We need to understand that no

ded-; so-called help. One type of re¬ in this picture is that we are
is properly ; action is illustrated by Socialist weakening our economy at an ap¬
organized and given the power—-! England, if a London dispatch in palling rate to aid governments
military, naval, and air—to en¬ ■the New York "Times" of June 5 and "people that are inefficient,

Ctradictiori

in

It

terms.

is

ah

;attempt to sugarcoat bad medicine.1
'The

importance of the individual'
Jis in practice denied by the So*
Economic

•cialists.

calculation

by

«the conventional standards of the
market* place becomes
■unless there is

a

impossible

competitive sys¬

tem in another country which
I provides such standards.
As a
•consequence, results of past actions by the government planners
cannot be measured by objective
•

•

-standards derived from Socialism;

iand plans for the future cannot
-rest

worthwhile calcu-i
-lation. If'Socialism were univer-'
•sal; there would be no objective
:

upon any

which

standards anywhere against

-to

measure

results..

the

Socialist

ders

scarce

i and

At

the

best,

government

squan¬

valuable

wealth

and

produces wastefully and fool¬

Chaos and poverty for all
Social¬

ishly;

tend to be the final result.

is

and, that have, during the last 30
in their international troubles and

With

international

Statism

out

of

of peace—with reconstruc¬ evitable by government officials
here today if the House of Repre¬
tion, : production, trade, consump¬
sentatives vote cutting funds for
tion, and better living.
Each nation should be allowed aid to Europe won Senate en¬
to have any type

litical,

and

of economic, pti-!
social
organization

our

then

to

that

we

that the people desire or endure,
any interference from any
nation.

from

Press

dispatch

sovereignty
invaded, and it

should not be permitted to invade

'Evening News' asserted that 'Mr.
Taber seems to be claiming the

the

right to

should

not

be

sovereignty of another nation.

Just
tion

as

free trade within

a

na¬

our

fosters

Constitution

send

to

a

operate

relief

with

abroad.

a

We

which

Europe
cannot
.it added."
What the
Manchester "Guardian" seems to
oe saying is that if Marshall Plan

that

irre¬

deemable currency.

The govern¬
is, therefore, free to do sub¬
stantially as it pleases in diverting
the resources of the people of the
United States to foreign govern¬
ment

should be ousted

that

result "this

deemable

regard

to

interference
That

is

"world

a
-

wealth

our

not

owes

tolerated.

be

to

variation

novel

me-a-living"

-

the

of

doc¬

trine. It is that "the United States

Britain

owes

a

living

to the people themselves so
they can determine what

Governments

themselves as
regardless
of what their government may do
or be like, and that to withhold
aid under any circumstances is an
they

need to do is to return di¬

can

run

away

with the people's purse and ruin
a
nation.
That is what an irre¬

Europe cannot tolerate."
In still
other words, this 'seems to mean
entitled

a

rind,;

is the kind of interference which

that

destined

have been

they wish done. in matters of this

government

a

as

we

purse

Jpecause of her Socialist gov¬
if that

the people

are

rect control over the government's
use
and abuse
of the people's

aid should be withheld from Eng¬

ernment and

States

relatively simple lesson in a very
hard and expensive way.
Perhaps the most basic thing

tolerate,'

land

ex¬

with socialistic devices
stifle enterprise and foster

to learn what should

'This is the kind of inter¬

ference

them in large
they reduce their

It would appear that

oust—a

ment.'

also

of

system

the Marshall Plan as
to denounce—perhaps
particular govern¬

use

weapon

even

us

demand

support
while

of the United

Manchester

liberal

"The

adds:

to

waste and inefficiency.

nection with the

Its

involve

to

even

periment

published in con
preceding report,

London,

or

hours of labor and continue to

that

Associated

ways

ask

measure

dorsement."

An

found

years,

arts

economic, political, and social sys¬
tem so that we may be strong.
The framers of

report

peace

prosperity so should
free trade among nations tend to
generate and spread well-being.
International
exchange
under
competitive conditions, as within
a nation, should determine what is
justice.
desired and not desired, and what
III.
should and should not be produced
Foreseen Relationship Between
for foreign trade. Each' nation
Our Economy aiid Those of So¬
should be able to regulate its for¬
cialist
Britain
and
Communist
eign trade in accordance with its,
Russia-^There would1 appear ■ to standards of fairness.
be no way in which one may esti¬
Capital investments in foreign
mate with any assurance as to
countries and relief for foreign
accuracy what the
future rela¬
peoples should in principle be left
tionship between our economy and
to private enterprise; otherwise,
those
of
Socialist
Britain
and
governments engaging in such un¬
Communist Russia may be.
dertakings can, by compulsion,
Perhaps all that may be said
dissipate a people's wealth un¬
appropriately in respect to this
wisely, if not to the point of dis¬
matter is that we should keep
ourselves strong in order that we aster, if, because of the use of ir¬
redeemable money, it has removed
may
be as able as possible to
the public purse from direct con¬
meet eventualities which cannot
trol by the people.
be foreseen.
There is, therefore,
We have created government
every reason why we should keep
agencies to make investments and
the undermining poison of. So¬
and

That

said in

•

the

cialism

reliable.

as-' part: "A further drop in Britain's
sured, each nation should then be living standard and the spread of
in a position to proceed with the unemployment were seen as in¬

force its decisions.

private-enterprise-competitive
system in fostering the importance
of the individual, in stimulating
production, in providing a great
volume, variety, and exchange of
goods and services, in providing
prices that are right, in distribut¬
ing income and rewards in accord¬
ance
with objective standards of

That fo a con*

The one thing that would seem
to be definite and beyond dispute

icated to0 such peace,

|and thus I order" of the dictator.: system of economy known to man without
'They have brought limited gov¬ can match or ever has matched other
with the people safe¬
by bills of rights and

31

tional organization, earnestly

than that we, »the dictators see fit.
must begin, in our thinking, with,
To- take the road to Socialism
the importance of the individual is to take the road
to>social re¬
and the equality of his basic rights'

ernment,

(127)

But such, peace is unattainable, it; of reaction abroad as the result of
would seem; unless an interna-l our help or threat to reduce our

cmor^ fundamental

in contrast with the "Thus I will,

& FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

regardless

currency,

paper

with

Dined

com*

government that
wishes to rule a people, permits.
need

We

a

face

to

this basic fact

and to

get back on solid ground.
be a Santa Claus for
others, but there is no Santa Claus
anywhere to save the United
We

may

its

from

States

foolishness

if

it

dissipates its wealth, depreciates
its currency, and weakens its so¬
cial fibre sufficiently to make it,
finally, a prey to the poison of
Socialism»or dictatorship in some
other form,
.

of what she may choose to do po¬

litically or economically."
The
United States taxpayer is to pay
what Britain requires, otherwise
we
are interfering with
her socalled enlightened social experi¬
ments.
That, it would appear, is
symptomatic of the results of our
profligate so-called aid to foreign

John Haskell Heads
Mission to Sweden

,

Emil Schram, President of>■ the
New York
Stock; Exchange, has

as Ludwig von Mises has understood much better than do
countries.
said, planned chaos.
the critics of the private-enter¬
announced
that
John
Haskell,
\r
;
i.-;*:<
\ The
No economic and social system prise-competitive system the prop¬
question would seem to Vice-President, has been given a
in "the world has- ever matched er functions of government, the ments, other institutions, and peo¬ arise as to why a people who mus
year's leave of
ple; and there is little that thrifty meet the standards of the private
absence to ac¬
the private - enterprise - capitalist needs and importance of the in¬
and
concerned
people can -do enterprise system should be taxed
; system based upon free and fair dividual, and the freedom that is
cept appointabout the matter. The reason, in to
support a people who tolerate
pointment by
competition, with the government necessary if enterprise is to blos¬
addition to that involving the loss
a
Paul G. Hoff¬
government that is strangling
.acting chiefly as umpire,, regu¬ som and bear its natural fruits.
of their
direct power
over
the private
lator of monopolies', and tne pro- With recognition of the fact that
enterprise. At least it
man,
Admin¬
public purse, is that a government, would seem desirable to leave
lector of the general interests.; •
istrator, Eco¬
liberty and
general well-being
so
freed, can purchase the gooc each individual free to decide
nomic : Coopcould not thrive except under a
WBut when economic distortions
will of pressure groups with suf¬
whether
he
wishes
to
e r a t i o n Adsupport
private - enterprise - competitive
occur, due perhaps to wars, or unficient
votes
to
keep
itself in such a system.
m i n istration,
wise governmental policies, peo- system, they wrote into our Con¬
power for a very long time.
If
as
Chief
of
A free enterprise economy ob¬
pie tend, in recent years at least, stitutional system provisions for the
government
is
sufficiently
that Adminis¬
to forget these basic facts and to this liberty which embraced the
ruthless it may not be possible to viously is so strong in its funda¬
tration's
mis¬
i seek government help. Politicians,
right? to
private property,
the
mental nature that it can with¬
remove those in power except by
sion to Swe¬
^endeavoring to please, attempt to right to engage in enterprise, the
stand -severe abuse at the hands
revolution.
den. Mr. Has¬
of bad government. The fact that
£ meet;tihe demand s of these seekers right to exchange goods freely,
kell will make
It is possible that private enter¬
'of governmental protection. .The the right to enter into. contracts.
our economy continues to func¬
his headquaruse
of
irredeemable
currency As a consequence, this nation, in prise would not have provided tion as well as it does in the face
John Haskell
ters in Stock¬
makes this easy.
This procedure the 160 years following the adop¬ the capital investment and relief of the abuse to which it has been,
sufficient to bring about a rela¬
Mr.
Haskell
has
been
and is being, subjected, is some holm.
grows and grows. The new gen¬ tion of our Constitution, reached
with
the
Exchange
eration tends to pick up where the highest level of living of any tively rapid general recovery in indication of the virility of pri¬ associated

ism is,
:

•:.%

v

■

.

.

•

•

.

.

.

.

.

1938
and
has
been
a
left off because, country on earth. Our people ac¬ the war-devastated nations. On vate enterprise. .But although it since
in these complished more and did it in less the other hand, private enterprise is powerful, it also contains, like Vice-President since March, 1939.
matters, they have a very small time than any other people in the might have dorie a better and a large locomotive, many delicate, A graduate of the United States
basis on which to reach independ- history of the world. In addition^ even quicker job-than our gov¬ and
delicately - balanced, parts Military Academy in 1925, Mr.
ernment
may
do.
Apparently, which can be thrown out of bah? Haskell served as a Colonel in
ent judgments. Thus a national it Is substantially accurate to say
there is no way as yet to estimate
World War II,
drift of this type becomes easy. that it has been the great institu¬
entering active
ance very easily if tampered with
It is like the silent thief in the tions of individual freedom and with any accuracy what the net by inept hands. Still further, there service
in
October,
1943.
He
results of the activities of these
is a limit as to how far our gov¬
night. Every college and univer¬ private enterprise in this country
served with the 27th New York

! the preceding

one

with ineffective schooling

•

;
•

f

sity teacher can see the
"on the present generation
"

lege" students

'

to

devoted

.

of one

the

effects
of col-

Presidency;

development

of

% Statism, lastihg over a dozen years.
These people lack experience with
"the variations which generally
characterize different Presidents;
:

they

have V distinct

aged

inclination

governmentallv - maneconomy because they un-

toward
'

a

derstand0 little else.

-

As a consequence of this drift
j of; bur country in recent years toWard Statism, we have reached
a Stage in which; we dow1; think
: we imustr have; government aid *pt
^ proteetiPh or management ^pf dhig
and that, parity prices for aericulr
ture, subsidies for the inefficient,
•
•

"

i
.

r

•

fixing to • cover up great
scarcities, "social enterprise" piled
price

upon

"social enterprise"—a

steady,

will be.
judgment will ap¬
and nations of Europe from the parently be largely in the realm
of subjective appraisal since the,
onslaughts of autocratic govern¬
objective standards of attainment,
ments. In the face of these facts,
provided by competitive enter¬
we find vociferous groups urging
prise, will apparently be largely
that we replace these institutions
lacking.
There probably will be
with those of autocratic govern¬
some objective
standards against
ments.
which these
governmental pro¬
There are no lessons in history
grams can be measured, just as
that
justify
autocratic govern¬ we
measure the accomplishments
ments or Socialism. And perhaps
in a Socialist country against Obiall that can be said profitably as
jective standards that exist in
to our possible future relationship
other countries.
with such governments,'and* econ-f
That there are prodigal waste
omies abroad is that we; should
and
downright foolishness
in¬
not permit ourselves to be con¬
volved in many of the activities
taminated, any further with the.
bf: some; if not all, of the governr
diseases that have afflicted those
ment agencies designed to provide
countries.
They have been op-?
foreign aid seems beyond serious
pressed,: weakened, and -sapped qf question.
Although no one, ap¬
vitality
byv dictatorial govern¬
parently, can do more than guess
ments.
*
•
'
v •
that have been

and .over

again, and to make

ourselves

'




enterprises

Even the final

•

IV.

Policy

Needed

at,what the final results
•

to

ernment

can

our

the

dissipa¬

national wealth.

ital investment.
We

ices

and

served

may

be;,

in

Washington,

living recklessly and in North Africa, Italy, the Middle
a prodigal manner.
Our govern¬
East, England, France and in Rus¬
ment
are

agencies, devoted to foreign
investment and
relief, do not

meet the standards of the private

enterprise system and
fore wasteful of

sia.

our

are

there¬

His

next

assignment

was

seems

the

In

people's sub¬

some

reasonable

costs

to

the

been

to suppose

people

that
of the

with

General Omar Bradley as Deputy

Chief of Intelligence with
respects they are
While on
downright foolish.
These insti¬ Army Group.
tutions and their procedures rest assignment, in Germany,
chiefly upon the sands of emotion, Haskell was wounded.
guessing, and wishful thinking. It

stance.

awarded

the

the 12th

this-last
Colonel
He

has

Purple Heart,

Legion of Merit, the Bronze Star,

results
are,
of
course,, United States will be all out of French Legion of Honor and Croix
known: We know of the exporta¬
proportion to the returns whether de Guerre, Order of the' British
tion of our wealth abroad, of our
these be measured in real wealth

some

Rehabilitate

in

go

Division. in the Pacific as Chief
Dur¬
of Staff and in the Logistics sec¬
ing World War II and since, this
dissipation has proceeded at a tion of the Operations Division
frightful pace, and it is not clear of the War Department General
that we have yet learned anything
Staff.
He was subsequently de¬
of importance about the value of
tailed to General William J. Don¬
economy and thrift, and the desir¬
ability of persistent and great cap¬ ovan's Office of Strategic Serv¬

tion of

..

,

understand, as we ob- the World — As to the policy
needed to rehabilitate the world,
do not, that -Socialism is
an arbitrary, inefficient,
anH de¬ apparently the first and most basic
structive system; that under it the element required is world peace.
•

i viously

government

.

subtle fnarch toward Socialism.
We1 need to remind ourselves

; pver

employed twice in

the last 30 years to rescue peoples

great debt and taxes, of our high

prices.
We also know of certain types

ultimately sent

us or

in the

satisfaction to be found in

mere

our

ef¬

Empire,

Czechoslovakian

Cross and service ribbons

forts! to -be helpful and generous. battle stars.

War

with six

32

THE

(128)

As We See

COMMERCIAL

It

(Continued from first page)

helpful truths should be deduced by
peoples and governments.
The first of these is the

become

now

a

wide variety of

evident truth that to

adopt communism — certainly if the country
adopting it is within reach of Russia — is tantamount
to accepting the role of vassal to the Kremlin. Even in
those countries which are geographically distant from
Russia, the communist elements quite obviously take
orders from Moscow, and if they come into power, act
accordingly. Communism and fealty to Lenin and Stalin
have come to mean one and the same thing. It is, of
course, conceivable that a country advantageously situ¬
ated for the maintenance of its independence could
embrace communism and remain free of Russia, but
or

the feasibility of any such

it is vulnerable to an eventual
among its own peoples; it is quite another to proceed in a
readjustment. However, underly¬
similar way with foreign peoples stretched across a conti¬
ing demand factors still continue
nent in large numbers and possessed of an almost infinite
strong, particularly in the durable
variety of backgrounds and speaking a dozen languages not goods industries. After declining
heard within the boundaries of Soviet Russia. We should moderately in January and Feb¬
ruary to 251,
the index of new
certainly not like to see the Kremlin reach out its deadening orders rose sharply to 264 in
hand across the European Continent, but we believe that its
March, with all the increase in the
troubles would be only beginning when it Had done the durable goods group. New orders
marching — and we should suppose the shrewd men who in the latter group reached a new

sit

the

in

Russian regime.

Berlin. It

can

it has for

as

us on

be little doubt that in

a

number of countries, some

of them traditional lovers of

liberty, the communistic
countries
argue that some such organization of society offers the
best opportunity for advancement of the public welfare,
and there are not so many, as in this country, who look
upon these claims as ridiculousrTSut there are probably
very few who would voluntarily and knowingly submit
their economy, their belongings, their future, and indeed
their lives to the whims of a body of foreigners sitting
in high and secret council and claiming a monopoly of
the knowledge of the real meaning of Marxian precepts.
The Tito episode should, accordingly, place a, restraining
hand upon the spread of communism westward across
Europe—now that it has been made dramatically clear
that the spread of communism is the equivalent of the
spread of Russian dictatorship and tyranny.
notion

has

taken real

hold.

are

some

elements in this situation which should

and certainly afford some whole¬
some
to those who seem to suppose that
Russia is about to swallow up the rest of the world in one
big gulp and suffer no inconvenience after doing so. It may
be true, no doubt it is true, that there are substantial ele¬
ments in Yugoslavia who may,be willing for Tito to strut

give Russia

pause, too
food for thought

life out

his
or

so

collectivize

are,

foolish

so

in which

we

ment

How

are

as

sectors

fact

of Berlin, few

—

long as he does not attempt to communize
them, but who would give trouble, once a

extent, from the enlarged;
foreign aid ex-?;
penditures, and this year's income
tax reduction.
-

will

1929.
of

The

Kremlin, if it undertakes

to

"march

across

Europe to the Atlantic," either literally or figuratively,
must expect to encounter hostility among the peoples

some

subjects and continuous difficulties throughout the
to come. A Russia which extends in effect to the
Atlantic could conceivably he a weaker Russia than the
one that is now ruled from the Kremlin.
It certainly
would be risking a frittering away of its strength to try
subjugating the hundreds of millions of people to the
west of its domain.

Of course, it will be said that Russia has its
of

dealing with individuals
Into line readily and remain
can be no denying that such
to effect its purges within

Abnoimal Factors

Maintaining;




of wage

afford sufficient stimulus to main¬

funds

on

price structure for some time,
longer, possibly throughout 1948*
Business confidence may also be

flected

resented

in

necessarily
a

been

Chase

sharply higher price

debt.

new

Chairman

re¬

the highest since
amount, 75% rep¬

or

this

Of

1929.

the available goods pro¬

has

duced

749,000,000,

the

of

National

Mr.

Aldrich,

Board

of

the

in

said

Bank,

and

the

(Continued from page 3)

$110,000,000,000, or three times
the
figure of $37,400,000,003 in
1939. Thus, the pressure of these

a

heightened by the prospects of e
Republican victory this fall.
The

accompanying table indi¬
concisely the relationship of
today's economy contrasted with
cates

;

that of

previous peak years. *
;
recently: "Easy money means
It is clearly
debt,: Easy debt at a time
evident that the>
American economy is at a level
prices means extremely
burdensome debt when prices de¬ today which far exceeds the peak
cline.
A period of inflation is a established in past years.
period in which debt should bo
$
s|:

talk'

structure.

easy

of inflated

Maintaining Prosperity

Factors
It

be

readily

seen that the
prices on pro¬
duction with regard to governing
demand is upset by other circum¬
stances, or forces, which at times
exert a potent influence.
More
recently other factors, such as the
following, have been having their
can

normal influence of

effect:

prices go higher, with
some incomes lagging,
and many
people unable to afford some of
the things desired, they resort to
credit and instalment buying. For
As

(1)

a

time

this maintains

demand at

high level in spite of prices,
although eventually leading to an
unhealthy situation. Although not
out of line with the present peak
level of national income, consumer
credit is now. at an all-time high
a

of

$13.4 billion.
(2)

Record, industrial

activity

and

high prices also mean corpo¬
rations must add to inventories,
carry

larger receivables, increase

plant capacity, etc. Money is bor¬
rowed from banks, new bonds are
issued or additional equity issues
are
sold.
A larger proportion of

The peak in 1937 was $4.8 billion.
Last year total new

reduced,
are

increased."

not

vital stimulant to the

a

particularly

omy,

at

this

econ¬

time.

government spending arising from

policy of military prepared¬
ness.
This represents another case
of goods being bought largely re¬
gardless of the relative price level
a new

because

of

the

starting

these

apparent urgency

the

demand

of

a

In this con¬

given to the basic position of the
general economy.

Record produc¬

tion, peak price level, full employ-*

all-time

ment,

high

wage rates,
profits char¬
phase of a bull
market rather than its inception.

and record corporate

acterize the latter

The latter phase of a

bull market,
often the most dy¬
namic. If fanned by the fears of
further
inflation
through a re¬
however,

is

newal of

government deficits and
hopes of greater market recogni¬
tion of current corporate earning
power,

extend

believe

this phase could at least
through the summer.
X
it is important to keep

program.

factors

Thus

effectively

strongly
general

economy

the

rate

of

production

1941

1937

$90.2
30.5

General Price Level '(B)

95.3

86.3

86.4

'

and

the

$125.3

$244.3 (F)
110.0

''87.3

162.7

104.9

Industrial Production (C) „
Total Civil'n Empl'm't (G)

110

46.3

45.3

50.4

Average Weekly Wages—

$25.03

$24.05

$29.58

113

1948

50.1
"

Farm Prices (B)

(E)__

the existence

in mind, however, the
position of the over-all
and our present position
counteract,, for a time at least, the
in the business cycle. Sight should
more normal economic laws such
as
effective demand diminishing not be lost of this important con¬
from
a
as
the price level advances, thus sideration
longer view;,
standjoint.
Meanwhile,
eventually
balancing
effective market
the outlook for the intermediate
supply and demand.
With this general situation cur¬ period continues relatively favor-*;
of

27.3

Per Share

confirms

j

perform¬

nection consideration must also be

$103.8

—

Outlook

technical

of public funds
purchase Amer¬
ican goods, regardless of price, to
be
shipped abroad.
Foodstuffs,
steel, machinery, ad infinitum, are
bought in this country out of
American
production
and
sent
away, The normal equalizing ef¬
fect of the price process on de¬
mand factors is thus largely nul¬
lified.
.Superimposed on the for¬
eign aid program is the added
past, huge sums
have been used to

Money Supply (A)

.

ance

recent

primary bull market.

1929

—

The

Today, and for some time in the

capital issues

Gross National Product (A)

Market

Stock

expenditures

Government

(3)

price structure, is at an abnor¬
by corporations amounted to $4,-' mally high level. To that extent

way Dividends

is the case, but it is one thing
its own territorial limits and

change,

together with the third
increases initiated
by General Motors and tax re¬
duction already granted,
should

Business at Boom Level

Earnings Per Share (E)___
own

to

subject

tain general business activity

Prices (D)

and groups which do not fall
in their assigned niche; There

plans for this year are,

program,

82.4
162

381

$19.94

$12.75

194

$11.49
$8.78

133

able.

|ft

.

(

Psychology plays an important
role at this stage of the cycle, and
confidence

investment
bolstered

has

outcome of the

tion.

The

Presidential elec¬

general level of stock

187.0

prices is still

193

comparison with corporate

58.4

$52.0
188

$11.64

$20.00(F)

$7.59

$10.70(F)

been

by the recent technical

performance of the market in
reaching new high levels. Current,
prospects favor an encouraging

'

Dow Jones Ind. Stock

Dangerous Strategy

plant and

broadly, the impact of foreign aid
spending and
the preparedness
round

it

years

new

general economic condi-;
deteriorate,
but
viewed:

tions

of collectivation of the whole society is current income is used for cor¬
Yugoslavians may or may not be more porate purposes, which restricts
difficult to convert than other peoples in eastern Europe, dividend payments in some cases.
but one thing is certain beyond any doubt, and that is that Since August, 1945, when the •■war
ended, commercial, industrial, and rently r:prevailing, it is fairly, well
the people of that plucky little State do not want to be
agricultural loans have increased recognized, or should be, that the
slaves of any foreign regime.
from $6 billion to over $14 billion. domestic economy, based on both

rigorous program
undertaken.
The

The

course,

should

respects Russia needs

as

on

This is 15% over the
record expenditures of $16.2 last
year and compares with only $5.2
billion in 1939 and $9.2 billion in
equipment.

we

Perhaps the entir6 situation
reappraisal.

business, exclusive of

billion in 1948

the good will
everything in
understand. The

upon

ever

American

agriculture, plans to spend $18.7,

did so, and are now paying
the price of the folly, but the outrageous behavior of
Russia is certainly not adding either to her prestige or
her popularity.
is, however, that

by

defense program,

and the whim of the Politburo for almost
our

recently ,is

stimulated

erable

to enter into an arrange¬

dependent

The placing

orders
been

outlook arising, to a consid-*'

ness

and the British could

we

have

to

increased confidence in the busi¬

was

Many in these

Russian Troubles

There

We

have been

that the people of

this side of the Atlantic. There

said

enjoyed

gains in new orders dur¬

additional

of

folly of the same sort that kept us sitting
idly for days on end to permit the Russians to enter

year.

minds

indicates capital

ing April and May.

strength¬

of course, responsible for per¬
mitting ourselves to be found in a position in which
Russia can deal with us as she has been doing of late in

—

suppose

further

come on

respect, could not well strengthen respect for the

ever

would

well peacetime high.

be

A later survey

be added that the Tito episode has

Berlin from the East.

Italy and France would ponder the Marshal Tito epi¬
sode with great care. Communism as such, as is true of
socialism, has not such terrors for many European

would

Moscow

of

the heels of behavior elsewhere which has not
ened

feat is yet to be established.

of the European countries now appar¬
ently toying with the idea of adopting the Marxian system,
as expounded by Lenin and Stalin, can scarcely expect to
remain free
of foreign interference, if not domination,
should they proceed in any such way. This much must be
plain as a pikestaff to every thoughtful man on that troubled
continent
now that the experience of
Yugoslavia is before
the world.
Of course, most sensible men have long been
quite aware of what Marshal Tito has now discovered, but
apparently there have been a good many individuals and
large elements in numerous populations which were not.
That some such awareness is now beginning to take; hold
of the minds of Europe is strongly suggested by the several
defeats the communists have suffered in Europe in the past
one

rooms

goods manufacturers have

It may

any

Certainly

smoke-filled

of the fact.

aware

Communism Means Serfdom

Certainly

Thursday, July 8, 194S

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

relatively low iri
earn-,

ings and dividend payments. With

improved, speculative and invest¬
ment

sentiment, current corporate

earning. power could be capital¬
ized at

months

a

higher rate

and

it

over

coming

that this
(A) Billions of dollars; (B) 1926=100, Bureau of Labor Statistics;
current
phase
of
the
market
(C) F. R. B. 1935-1939=100; (D) High price for the year; (E) Earn¬
ings and dividends per share, on the Dow Jones Industrial Averages; movement should have further to
run on the upside.
(F) First quarter annual rate; (G) Millions of persons.
appears

Volume 168

THE

Number 4714

Urges More Liberal
Bank Dividend
period

ord

of banks

Policy s

1919 to 1929 the
was

not

rec¬

bad one;

a

FINANCIAL

&

The State oi Tiade and

(Continued from page 6)v;;'vV
the

COMMERCIAL

exactly a third of memberprofits was retained.,; This

true

though supervisory
this policy during
that period apparently was mod¬
erate.
The proportion of profits
paid out by nonbanking corpora¬
tions
during this interval was
higher.
was

even

pressure

on

begin. The corn belt
substantial general rains during the week and the outlook
corn and oats was greatly
improved.

1

and other places over-the inability .to make 10,000 freight cars a
month, some car-building shops are looking for orders for January
of 1949, and, observes "The Iron Age," the voluntary allocation plan
can be thanked for the smooth running of the freight car program.

Closing prices for both grains were sharply under a week ago.
was
increased activity in export flour business last week.
Domestic flour buying remained at a low level as bakers and

.

"Certainly

flexibility
among
dividend policy would
desirable, if it could be at¬

banks
foe

in

tained.

with

Those

ownership

could

close-knit

follow; policies

best adapted to the advantage of
both
the
bank
and
its owners.

Banks with wider distribution of

December.

prices.

unless the

cars,

program next year
because of steel.

trade

Cotton price movements were

Spot prices at
The American Iron and Steel Institute announced on Tuesday

for

points,

or

the

for

operating rate of steel companies having 94% of

the steel-making

pacity

beginning July

6,

1948,

A month ago the indicated rate

5.2%, from last week.

the clos¬

The institute stated that the fall in the rate was due to

ing down of beehive coke ovens and the Independence Day holiday.
It

said, however,

was

that there was no indication that any
required this week as coal supplies are

further curtailment would be

^Vhat Are Reasonable Dividends?
Professor

bis

Robinson

article

with

a

concludes

of

discussion

reasonable dividend standards for

individual

banks.

banks, such

as

"(1) -Many
those in nonindus-

trial suburbs and in matured

com¬

munities have limited loan oppor¬

ample for the present.

ments.

Once this sort of pro¬

...

gram has been adopted, a fairly
high proportion of earnings over
the long run can be paid out.
(2) Banks with sizable loan op¬
,

portunities

.

.

be justified in
following the policy of retaining
a great deal of earnings.
In a
few cases they may even find it
advantageous to sell additional
shares.
Any bank that has
.

may

.

.

loan busi¬
(it must
be admitted that this rarely hap¬
pens) probably could have earned
a satisfactory return on the capital
it needed to keep such loan busi¬
ness.
(3) Equalization of divi¬
dends over the various phases of
business fluctuations has much to
merit it as a policy.
Fluctua¬
tions in banking profits have been
due more to nonrecurring losses
than to changes in the net earn¬
ings
from
current
operations.
Since loan losses were greater
than investment losses, and since
loans are now relatively less im¬
portant,
bank
earnings
should
flucutate cyclically less than in
the past..
actually turned
ness

away

for lack of capital

.

.

1940, the highest

,.

Transactions in

.

.

industry for the
kwh., according to the Edison
of 90,873,000 kwh. below the
however 976,001,000 kwh., or
power

growth of recent years has been
almost wholly due to governmen¬
tal
fiscal
policy. This growth

week-end.

wool market remained

the

on

high asking prices was noted in

There was little interest shown in medium wo,ols and woolen
wools, but scoured wools were in fair demand. Imports of foreign ap¬
parel wools received at Boston, New York and Philadelphia remained
in good volume, totaling 6,124,900 clean pounds in the week ending

by the electric light

ended July 3 was 5,165,825,000
Electric Institute. This was a decrease
output in the preceding week.
It was
week

ported for the corresponding period two years ago.

June

18,

compared with 5,249,900 in the previous week.

as

RETAIL AND WHOLESALE

CAR LOADINGS DROP 2% IN

LATEST WEEK

'

■

•

.

,

,

*r

■/

•'"V.: v.-

t jj -

with

Production of

most

of

!

a

the United

States and

in

retail

of

■

volume

goods, though clearance sales were generally less frequent
*;•

\

year ago.

"

1

A considerable

Canada

than^

; V?:'

%

increase in the demand for beachwear and sport

clothing for both men and

and trucks in

seasonal specialties.
during the week,
comparing favorably with that of
types

many

lines

year ago, according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its current survey
of trade.
There were extensive promotional sales of some types

PLANTS

cars

in

of

increase

moderate

a

dollar volume

a

AUTO OUTPUT UP SHARPLY IN WEEK DUE TO REOPENING
OF ASSEMBLY

buying

consumer

was

;

weather in many sections of the country encour-;

summer

the

aged
There

Loadings for the week ended June 26, 1948, totaled 888,582 cars,
according to the Association of American Railroads.
This was a
decrease of 18,192 cars or 2% below the preceding week, but an
increase of 42,441 cars or 5% above the corresponding week in 1947
and 9,038 cars or 1% above the same week in 1946.

TRADE CONTINUES

COURSE

FAVORABLE

'

Hot

lose to 112,349 units from 95,027 (revised) units the previous week,
according to "Ward's Automotive Reports."

for the banking system as a whole
may prevail.
This prediction is
made despite the fact that on a
relative basis the share of business

financing done by banks seems
to be showing a long-term secular
decline.
(5) Finally, the char¬
acter of bank stock
ownership
.

.

.

dividend

affect

policy.

upturn noted the past week was due to the return to pro¬
General Motors' Chevrolet division after a v/eek's shut¬

The

duction

women

Summer night-

apparent.

was

r

attracted considerable attention and women's cotton dresses and

wear

of

Output in the similar period a year ago was 63,460 units and, in
the like week of 1941,

This

week's

it

was

96,457 units.
78,438 cars and 29,643 trucks
cars and 1,544 trucks made in
V

consisted of
and 2,724

output

made in the United

States

Canada.

BUSINESS FAILURES LOWER IN WEEK

Commercial

occurred in both large and small failures;

A slight decline

dipped from 89 to
84, while those with losses under $5,000 declined from 22 to 19.

those involving liabilities of $5,000

Retail

trade

and

commercial

this

week, while mortality in
steady or increased.
'
'
twice

the

failures

16

was

gions had

more

declined

failures

more

States

again reported

than 10 failures during the week; New England had
12. Mortality was less heavy than a

and East North Central had

19

year ago

in the Middle Atlantic and East North Central States.

A
FOOD PRICE INDEX DECLINE FURTHER IN WEEK

trend

found,

on

one

stock

way

relations."

ownership

may

of improving public
\

Irregular movements again featured leading food markets. The
was generally lower and the Dun & Bradstreet wholesale food

price index dropped 2 cents further to $7.14 on June 29, from $7.16
a
week previous.
The current level compares with $6.39 on the

corresponding date

for

eggs,

to

The

Financial

Chronicle)

i

KANSAS CITY, MO.—Christo¬
pher T. G. Manners is with Goffe
& Carkener, Inc., Board of Trade
Building. In the past he was with
Jierrick, Waddell & Co.

potatoes and steers.

WHOLESALE

A rather

the

prices.

to

The

LOUIS,

Financial

MO.—Donald

E.

IWaldemar is with Stix & Co., 509
Street, members of the St.

Louis Stock Exchange.




Dun

Grain

INDEX

listed

butter,

on

markets

wholesale

latter part

commodity price

June 29 from 290.45 a week previous.

were

lower in the closing days of

and

prices

new

and used

cars

remained in

very

large

demand.

There was a seasonal lull in the buying of conventional living,
dining and bed-room suites and the demand for porch and lawn furni¬
ture was sustained at a very high level.
.
Retail volume for the country in the period ended on Wednesday
was estimated to be from 7 to 11% above that of the

of last week

a year ago.

Regional estimates exceeded those of
lowing

percentages:

New

England

and

a year ago

Middle

by the fol¬

West,

6

to

10;

East, 7 to 11; South, 5 to 9; Northwest, 8 to 12; Southwest, 9 to 13,
and

Pacific Coast,

4 to 8.

Favorable weather in many sections of the country the past week

stimulated retailer buying of some seasonal goods, but the dollar vol¬
ume of orders was slightly below the level of a week ago.
The vol¬
ume of trading in many wholesale markets compared favorably with
that of the corresponding week a year ago. The Fall buying season
has been prolonged in many areas and some retailers continued to
avoid

commitments

high prices in

many

for long-term deliveries last week.
Continued
lines restricted retailer buying to some extent.
on

a

country-wide basis,

taken from,

as

the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended June!
increased by 7% from the like

with

an

period of last

year.

increase of 21% in the preceding week.

26, 1948,

This compared.,

For the four weeks

26, 1948, sales increased by 6% and for the year to date

«!

1

K

-

-

r

-

stimulated by extremely hot days

here in New York, in addition to the advantage of an extra shop¬

ping day this
boosted

year as

the fourth of July fell

on

Friday in 1947,

department store sales last week and retail trade in

On M general.

According to
turned sharply

the current period.

Wheat prices sagged on hedge

was accom¬

Vacationers evidenced considerable interest in luggage and

at 258.25.

irregular

hair-waving kits

moderate decline in volume at beauty, shops.

sporting goods; both

by 7%.

REVERSES

weakness in grain and cotton

Bradstreet daily

&

a

ended June

sharp drop in the general price level in the

past week largely reflected

The

panied by

Sales of seasonal apparel

the corresponding 1947 date it stood

Chronicle)

Lower prices were

'!!!

PRICE

*

The substantial demand; for home

TREND

index fell to 286.51

With Stix & Co.
(Special

.

COMMODITY

UPWARD

of

hogs and lambs.

prunes,

flour, wheat, corn, rye, oats, barley, beef, hams, lard,

j; -With Goffe & Carkener
|

(Special

raisins,

'
,

Department store sales

Moving upward in the week were sugar, bellies, cottonseed oil,
cocoa,

a year ago.

were steadily purchased with fresh fish
and poultry continuing in
large demand. Fresh fruits and vegetables were abundant and rea- t
sonably priced and substitutes for high-priced meats and butter con-

rise of 11.7%.

a year ago, or a

-►

moderately

Cold cuts, confectionery, soft drinks and beer were in very large
demand along with other picnic items. Both frozen and canned foods

held corresponding week

and trade

other industry

was

j;

little

a

30 business failures; almost
in this area last year.
The next largest number of
25 in the Middle Atlantic States.
Only two other re¬

Pacific

The

or

service

all

;■

»

above the level of

July 1

dropped to 103 from the preceding week's 111, Dun & Bradstreet,
Inc. reports.
Total failures were slightly more numerous than the
82 of a year ago; they were almost eight times as heavy as the 13 in
the comparable week of 1946. Compared with the prewar level, how¬
ever, failures were only one-half as numerous as in 1939.

shareholders.
broadened

apparel.

tinued to be sought.

in the week ended

industrial failures

and

Men's lightweight Summer suits were heavily pur¬

chased along with slacks and sport shirts.
Numerous weddings con¬
tinued to stimulate the buying of some types of jewelry and bridal
Food dollar volume increased somewhat and

bank with closely held shares can
suit the convenience of these few

Many banks have
the other hand, that

suits sold well.

down because of materials shortages.

lihood that rough deposit stability

Olive

raw

various quarters.

23.3% higher than the figure reported
July 5, 1947, which; included the Independence
Day holiday and was 1,424,819,000 kwh. in excess of the output re¬

has ceased.... There is some like¬

VST.

points

for the week fended

.

"(4) Another factor to which
Individual banks must look for¬
ward in framing dividend policy
is their growth prospects.
For
the banking system as a whole,

[:

79

quiet side last week as many mills were preparing to close down
their plants for vacations until July 19.

KWH.' LOWER IN LATEST WEEK

The amount of electrical energy distributed

.

:

be

the Boston

Some resistance to current

and

of

demand

cloths displaying a firmer tone at the

prewar year.

ELECTRIC OUTPUT 90,873,000

net drop

a

.

.

must

- •.

1,627,600 tons of
tons last week,
1,732,2Q0 tons a month ago, 1,380,700 tons, or 78.9 % of the oldL
capacity one year/ago and 1,281,210 tons for the average week in
This week's operating rate is equivalent to
steel ingots and castings as against 1,716,000

tunities. The major employment of
funds for such banks is in invest¬

"

•

New York showed

was slow and market activity was limited mostly
inquiries, light offerings and scattered sales. - The de¬
cline in values reflected heavy liquidation in the July contract, con¬
tinued delays in export buying, reports of further curtailment in.
mill operations and selling induced by continued favorable advices
as to the new crop.
The market received some support at times as
the result of price-fixing against recent sales of the staple to the
CCC and expectations of good export demand early next season
under the ECA program.
Sales in the ten spot markets were reported
at 31,700 bales for the week, against 48,200 last week and 23,600 a
year ago,, ■ Textile markets were slightly more active with print

96.1%.

was

irregular last week with the trend
vy.^'
'

occasional

to

of 4.9

decrease

a

the result of good demand and

the week.

Mill

of the industry will be 90.3% of ca¬

capacity

week

and refined markets displayed a
cocoa continued firm.
Lard

as

generally downward.

authority concludes.

of this week the

raw

Hog prices continued upward
light receipts.

their orders within the next five weeks or so, the
will go far below the 10,000 goal and it won't be
It will be—of all things—because of no orders, the

railroads step up

in both the

Sugar prices

firmer tone in the week and coffee and

VS prices averaged slightly higher in relatively light trading.
freight

With all the talk about the need for more

stock

ownership
could
afford,
other things being equal, to con¬
sider a more generous distribution
of earnings."
/

other large users held to the sidelines in the hopes of lower wheat

independent freight car builders or private car-building
shops have no orders for delivery next January. The 90,000-car back¬
log at independent car shops is misleading. Of that backlog one com¬
pany holds 40,000. The rest of the industry has hardily enough busi¬
to carry them through

received
for both

There

Most

ness

33

;eports indicating larger-than-expected yields in the Winter wheat
areas.
Heavy rains over the week-end were reported in

Kansas where the harvest is about to

almost

bank

(129)

harvest

Indnstiy

(Continued from page 5)

<

,

CHRONICLE

selling and liquidation, induced

i by expectations of heavy receipts in the Southwest and continued

the

Federal

Reserve

Board's

index,

department

store sales, in New York City for, the weekly period to June 26, 1948,
increased 8above the same period last year.; This
an

increase of 18 % in the

June 26, 1948,1

preceding week.

compared with

For the four weeks ended

sales increased by 4% and for the

year

to date by 6%.

34

(130>

THE

COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Thursday, July 8, 1948

ip 1929. Thus far in 1948, undis¬ •turing' companies. A Federal Re-j
tributed profits on artannual; basis serve compilation of financial data
appear to have remained close to based on the published reports of'
curred
(Continued from page 11)
the high 1947 leveL y\.v/' i'
principally ;r in trade as I "Expenditures
200 of the largest manufacturing- Y
for
plant,
as
was
about half as great in 1947 contrasted to manufacturing in¬ compared to those for
"The rise in corporate profits corporations in the country/ in¬
equipment,
as it was in 1940, but In the firstdustries. Throughout the past two have represented a larger propor¬ in 1947 resulted in part from? the
dicates that the average (median)«
quarter of 1948 it again became
tion of the total in the 4ast.quar¬ increase i^thq
years, but particularly in 1947, the
;(io^iv,yoiumeY of
large. The sharp rise in inven¬
ter of 1947 and thus far in 1948 sales discussed earlier and in part profit after income taxes was 7.8 >
rise in prices has accounted for a
tories thus far in 1948 may prove
than previously in the postwar from continued high profit mar¬ cents per' dollar of sales in- 1947 \:*
to be an important factor in the large part of the increase in busi¬
period. For the postwar period as gins, particularly 'for" :manufac- as! compared with 6.7 cents in 1946
business situation, for it has oc¬ ness inventories.
a whole, however, equipment ex¬
(Table II).
Table III
;
penditures
have
constituted r a
Table II
higher proportion of total expen¬ PROFIT MARGINS OF LARGE CORPORATIONS IN SELECTED'
MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES
ditures than in the prewar period,
YY;/YY:YINDUSTRIES;-;*
•"
i
(In billions of dollars)
reflecting the substantial amounts Ratios of Profits after Income Taxes to Sales or Operating Revenues ;■
On Hand
that have been spent to modernize
(In per cent)
Mar.
Dec.
Mar.
Dec.
Increase in existing productive facilities and
—Manufacturing4 31,
31,
1st Quarter the expansion of plants in some
31,
31,
Durable Nondurable Rail¬
Tele- Electric
1948
Industry—
1947
1947
1946
1948
lines
1947
during
the
war.
Almost
V'Y-v.
Quarter—
Goods
Goods
roads
Power
phone.
Manufacturing:
three-quarters of total expendi¬
1947—1st
y& 8.3 v: jDurable goods industries-17.8
-Y, 7.4 Y Y 11.0 YY 0,4.4
13.5
13.3
12.2
11.1
tures since the end of the war
0.2
1.1
Y,Y 2nd /—_
Nondurable goods indusY 5.7
;•
6.8 16.1
4.4
lY 8.9
y

FRB Reviews and Forecasts Business Trends

.

-

Y

.

.

•

have

dustries

/

15.4

..

YyY y/y Total

■

|

13.2

12.3

0.7

0.9

28.0

28.9

14.7

25.4

23.4

0.9

2.0

been

and

vanced

Trade:

for

equipment

>

equipment,

new

prices

have

Y

ad¬

Y.:

relatively less than plant

Wholesale

8.2

7.5

6.7

5.9

0.7

0.8

11.7

9.9

10.0

8.7

1.8

1.3

"Business/plans

caHf fpr a fur¬

expenditures in 1948 of ap¬
proximately 15% above the record

and 7.2 cents in 1939.

businesses,ate hotUdjusted'for inventory revaluation.

groups as electric light and power,

same

sulted

in

of

of

the

inventories
has

war

re¬

a

generally more bal¬
anced composition of such inven¬
tories If or
peacetime
purposes,
even though some concerns have

expenditures

equipment,
reached
half of

undoubtedly overextended their
inventory positions. Stocks of dur¬

ably

able

plant

on

which

had

and

already

record level in the first-

a

1946, has

consider¬

grown

to

have

goods

generally

creased relative to those

of

in¬
non¬

since

then.

Plans

in the aggregate,

nesses

of

busi¬

according

Securities and Exchange Com¬
mission and Department of

durable goods, and finished goods
have increased relative to raw

Commerce data, indicate expendi¬
tures for the year 1948 in excess

materials and goods in process.

of

"Business inventories as a whole
and in most lines, though
high, are
„

still

not

excessive

in relation

to

the scale of current operations as

compared with such relationships
prewar years. Such relation¬

in

ships, however, according to

ex¬

perience
are

not

in past business cycles,
unequivocal guages of the

adequacy

railroads,

"Plant and equipment expendi¬
tures: The dollar volume of busi¬
ness

those

1947; this would not
be true for all lines of business.
The rate of growth
during the past
12

months, after taking account of
seasonal factors, has slowed
up
:

"The

Y

....

plans

of

penditures
tures

of

enter¬

prises to complete their postwar
expansion

possible

programs

have

commercial

levels
sence

to

as

been

soon

as

facilitated

ex¬

they will be
addition, expendi¬
in

rise

and

1948

above

are

the

ex¬

of restrictions

con¬

tend

to

become

excessive.

More¬

over, the current inventory situa¬
tion differs greatly
among indus¬
tries. vw In
such

manufacturing

industries

as

iron

and

steel, nonferrous metals, and petroleum, for
example, current inventories are
undoubtedly
low
by
whatever
standard may be used, whereas in
lines of metal products, rub¬
ber, and textile manufacturing in¬
some

dustries

they

may

already

be

high.

equipment,

such

as

in

were

effect

in

however, have been
steadily increas¬

taxes
as

"The total dollar volume of

new

plant and equipment expenditures
of businesses for the
year

1947

as

a whole, as shown Chart I totaled
$16.2
billion,
about
twice
the

two

expended

than

75%

prewar

years

expenditures
increase

in

1941

and

above

were

1929, the
during which
largest. Some

in

expenditures would
probably be shown even if allow¬
ance

were

made

for

the

rise

in

construction costs and equipment

prices.

was

of

declines.

even

retained and

compared to 55%

after

reinvested,

in

also

concerns

undoubtedly

for

all

group indicate
favorable compari¬

more

a

today

as

led

some

companies
contrasted

in
to

years.

"These

data

profit margins,
it should be noted, relate to profits
after

all

corporate
much

on

costs

and

income

higher

taxes.

Since

tax ..rates

are

than they were
before the war, the relationship
between corporate sales and total
costs

now

exclusive

of

income

taxes

has

probably been more favorable
recently than in most previous

1946 and. prosperous years.

only 31% in 1929. The ready avail¬
ability of such funds in large
volume not only facilitated busi¬
ness operations during this period
but

Estimates

as

unprofitable

prior

business

profits

factor

affecting

has been the
crease

in

One important

this

smaller relative

overhead

as

undistributed

the

measures

1943, the previous peacetime
wartime
peaks, and more

than

J*

sharply

rose

approximately 10.5%, ;•
1% times the ratio in 1946 JJ

about

and

double

the

compilation
financial

of

data

in

rate

1929.

s

*

A

annual corporate •*prepared by the f

National City Bank of New York
and based on the published re¬

ports of

panies
profits
in

after

taxes

1947 varied

such

in

to

from

net

worth

30%

over

manufacturing industries

such

tries

as

~

3,100 leading com¬
that the ratio of Y

over

shows

\

in f..
as

cotton goods, lumber, and household equipment to less than 5%

;
:
>,

nonmanufacturing' indus- \
railroads and traction and

;

bus

transportation, and to deficits

:

for

the

manu-

•

factoring and air transport indus-

,

aircraft and

parts

tries.

"Liquid

direct costs during the period of
rising prices. Many concerns may

the

funds

operations,
able

assets:

In

retained

addition

from

to

;

current;

businesses have been

/

during the postwar period to

-

CHART IH

CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL

cor¬

annual

porate profits, as shown in Chart

totaled

approximately $11.0
billion in 1947, as compared to
$6.9 billion in 1946, the previous
annual high; $5.9 billion in 1943,
the wartime peak; and $2.6 billion

CHART I

1947

and

in¬

against

to increase their expan¬

"Aggregate

worth, which

relationship

sion plans.

II,

extremely susceptible'

to

business

by

be

course

corporations,

of

profits since profit mar¬
have
gen e r ally
been
maintained. A higher portion of
these profits than in earlier years

,

to serious difficulties in the event.

ment in

panied by an unusually large vol¬

61%

of

these

of current with
prewar profit
margins; this is due primarily to
the exceptionally
small number

"Undistributed profits: The very

over

for

in

high dollar volume of sales of the
past two years has been accom¬

1947,

(Table III).

data

son

of

maim-

,

1947

Internal Funds

retained-

profits

corporations

gins

follows:

as

book value of the owners' invest-

an

has, been

represented

ar.e

but have since recovered a
good part, if not all, of their mid-

the first-half of 1947.

ing costs.

more

Y;;

mer,

tion expenditures in these indus¬

tries

available only at

amount

7

7.1

the first quarter of
1947, de¬
clined during the spring and sum¬

construc¬

on

inadequacy ;y of in¬ since mid-1947 by high volumes
management, and
undistributed
Inventory-sales ratios of new construction and
of ma¬ profits, as in prior prosperous pe¬
have not increased substantially
chinery and other equipment pro¬ riods, have provided most, of the
recently, but this is only because duction.
Such
construction
and new equity funds for business. In

Generally speaking, it is
only when sales level off, or actu¬
ally decline, that total inventories

6.6

15.5

in

1947

reflecting in part the ab¬

or

tinued.

14.3

3.2

,

service

ventories.

large increases in sales have

6.7

11.0

manufacturing companies of even moderate declines in 'the
and for large corporations in other volume
of production because of :
selected industries, as are shown the lower
profit margins that ac- Y
in the / accompanying
table, indi¬ company such declines. y
Y*
cate that profit
margins, for most
;"For corporations in the aggre* V
of these groups of
large corpora¬ gate the ratio of profits after taxes
tions at least, reached a high
point to net

before

establishments

pected

Quarterly

chemicals,

still involve sizable

completed. In

ume

business

petroleum,

and food

of

somewhat.

11.0

7.4

electric utilities (about 218
companies); 30 telephone companies.

1947 volume. The postwar expan¬

product tabula¬

expansion

4.9

factorings—105 durable goods companies and 95 nondurable goods f
companies;. Class I railroads (about 130 companies); Class A landiB >

sion programs of many companies
in such important broad industrial

since the end

13.2

6.8
.

NOTE—The industrial groups

.

ther increase in plant and equip¬

NOTE—Monthly estimates of the Department of Commerce. For
manufacturing and trade, figures are not additive since the former
are on a
revised, and the latter on an unrevised, basis of estimation.
These figures, unlike those used in the gross national
tions for all

5.1

■

ment

"The

Y"'

4th

YY 10.1 Y

,.6.7

—_

1948—1st

construction costs.

Retail

3rd

BILLIONS

OF DOLLARS

rate

.

•

VOLUME

BILLIONS

OF DOLLARS

4

4

COMMON STOCK

CHART II
PREFERRED STOCK

UNDISTRIBUTED
BUSINESS

EXPENDITURES

ON

NEW

PLANT

AND

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

ANNUAL

CORPORATE

PROFITS

EQUIPMENT

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

20

ANNUAL

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

12

12

20

ALL OTHER

BONDS
ALL OTHER

10

MANUFACTURING AND MINING

10
MANUFACTURING AND MINING

15

15

PER

CENT

PERCENTAGE

DISTRIBUTION

PER

100
-

10

CENT

100

6

10

75

75

(5
50

25

Co
1929

1937

1939

1946

194?

1929

1948
*

*

Estimates based

on

anticipated expenditures of business.

Note.—Securities and
©I Commerce estimates.

Exchange Commission and Department
All other
includes primarily railroads
an.4 °tber transportation, electric and gas utilities, communiRations, trade, services, and finance, but excludes agriculture,




1937

1946

1939

50

25

1947

?.}<

Undistributed' profits

in these years.

Note.—Department

were

'negative for "all other**
*

«

.v.

-

Sil

-

«

group
.

Y§

1922-27
of Commerce estimates, except 1947.
partly estimated by Federal Reserve. ; "All other'f
primarily .-agriculture,, construction, trade, finance**
Note.—Commercial and
transportation, communications, other public utilities, and serv- Issues of investment trusts

which

.

1935- 39

july

1945

march

is

includes

Financial
are

Chronicle,

1948

compilations

excluded in 1926 and 1927.

-

Volume

Number 4714

168

THE

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

COMMERCIAL' &

(131)

on. liquid; assets <as a source; higher prices or to meet possible tained- by manufacturing compa¬ both the 1935-39 and 1922-27 pe¬
financing. These assets had. future contingencies. In fact, some nies dropped off slightly;; after riods; the years 1928 and 1929
.been accumulated during the war increase in such holdings may be 1946,; while that obtained by pub¬ cannot be compared because of
years. In 1946 the liquid assets of! expected if sales and corporate in¬ lic utilities increased .very-sharply. the
difficulty of allowing; pre¬

draw,

4of

35

Wages, Prices and

f

.business

corporations

In the case of the Utilities such fi¬

;gregate

decreased

nancing
was
divided
almost
equally between telephone com¬

in the ag-J come taxes payable continue to;
$6.5
billion.i increase, thus raising the require¬
.Since 1946, however, such assets ment for liquid funds for operat¬
have decreased only slightly, by ing purposes, and if the disburser*
approximately
one-half
billion menfs of concerns that have com¬
(dollars

in

1947.

Most

the

of

in 1946, it will be

crease

de¬

recalled,;

liquidation of:
tax notes and other government'
securities to meet the high excess

.resulted from

the

.profits taxes payable that
.the

previous year's

year ons

cisely for the numerous financial
issues offered then.
During the
last

quarter

1947

of

the

dollar

panies* and those in the electric volume of new common stock is¬
sues totaled over $350 million, the
light and power and gas group.
"The* percentage of new corpo¬ largest quarterly volume of such
peted
their postwar
expansion
programs
are
substantially less rate security issues, excluding re¬ financing since the second quar¬
than their receipts.
funding
issues,
represented
by ter of 1930v
The proportion of
common
stock, as is shown in new issues 'represented by com¬
External Sources of Funds
Chart III, has been; larger since mon stock, however, as is shown
j
Table
V
has
been smaller
"As the period of practically the end of the war than it was in in
prior periods of prosperity. Since
mid-1945,
the
annual
average

capacity operations and of high
excess profits
tax was no longer!' prices has lengthened, business
in the later Summer of 1946 than
.leyied on 1946 corporate income. enterprises haver sought a some¬ ratio of the dollar volume of com¬
it was in the earlier part of the
Since early 1947 corporate hold-j what larger proportion of funds; mon stock to total new issues has
ungs of government securities have; from external sources, particularly been 16% as compared to 14% in postwar period.
.declined less rapidly and holdings; from sales of security issues. Total
Table V
.of cash have increased somewhat.! external sources provided
cor¬
CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL*
"Changes in liquid asset hold-! porations as a group with 42% of
ings in these two years,and es¬ their total funds in 1947 as com¬
(Dollar volume in millions)
Common
pecially in 1947, have varied con-r pared with 33% in* 1946.
"Bank loans: Comniercial banks
Stocks as a
.siderably among different lines of;
.business. This is illustrated by the! have: been important! sources of :iv-.
Stocks
Percentage
data for large corporations in 14? business funds
since
mid-1946.
of Total
Preferred Common
Bonds
Total
Quarter—
•selected industries shown in the Outstanding total commercial and; 1946—1st
48
150
123
37
311
•article 'Industrial Differences in industrial loans of all banks in¬
30
239
227
320
2nd
785
income.

The?

since

in

decline

the

stock prices

n'l

Large

Corporation Financing,'
pages 623-33 of the Federal Re¬

creased

$6 billion during the
two-year period, a much larger

increase than had

"No large additional reduction
in the liquid
asset holdings of

[business enterprises is likely

even

curred in a
time.

The

keeping a larger dollar volume of
liquid assets on hand either to
meet increased operating require¬
ments for funds resulting
from

1947.

Further increase in the

seasonal

a

first-half of the

V

,

a

further in¬

NOTE:—Percentage changes computed from data in millions of
Detailed .figures may not add to totals because of rounding.

dollars.
'o.V

,

.

'Last

year's new bank loans to
business,' like those in* the pre¬
vious year, were extended to con¬
all

of

cerns

sizes

and

in

all

in¬

dustries/ Although comprehensive
data
on

not

are

the

currently

industrial

and

Size

available
char¬

acter of businesses that borrowed

from banks,

there are some in¬

available.

dications

mercial 'and

Thus

industrial

bariks in various'classes of
as

com¬

loans

of

cities,

is shown in the table, experi¬

enced

approximately

the

same

percentage increases
last
year,
indicating that the business loan
demands of a variety of differentsized

borrowers; were

involved.

Petroleum,
sales
finance,
and
food, liquor and tobacco compa¬
nies were important borrowers
from

banks,

large

while

many

small retailers and service enter¬

prises borrowed from the smaller
banks.

'

„

year

—

continued in large volume

1947

but

probably less
important relative to new shortwere

term loans than in either 1945
1946.; The

|

lower cost

or

bank

of

compared to security is¬
caused some concerns • to
seek accomodations, at least tem¬

loans,

the

cies.

"Security

issues:

as

sues,

Net

the

dollar

volume

of

new

issues

less

that of refunding issues and
less cash retirements of securities

much more important
sotirce of: funds for business cor¬

—was

a

,

,

porations5: in 1047 and early' 1948
totaled

$4.5 billion aS against $2.3

billion in 1946.
the
at

1947 this volume

Thus far in

1948

volume appears to have been

current

1,102

750

245

106

10

annual rate

about

3rd

873

606

175

92

11

4th

1,994
1,470

1,526
1,222

115

352

18

particularly

89

159

11

1948—1st

production. It folr
expansion of con¬
sumer credit to buy automobiles
Detailed fig-; and refrigerators and the like,

dollar

volume

was

slightly larger.

Mrs. Aitken
"Prospects

are

for

sustained

large business investment in fac¬
tories, machinery, and stocks of
goods throughout the remainder
of 1948

on

the basis of orders al¬

placed.
Business
enter¬
prises anticipate spending more
on
plant and equipment in 1948
than they did in 1947, and aggre¬
gate business holdings of inven¬

ready

tories and receivables still do not
appear high relative to the volume
of current and prospective sales

although such is not the

case

In such

distributed profits would continue

all lines of
"Business

a

activity.
profits are also likely
in 1948 than in 1947.

case

the volume of

un¬

late

from

the

end-of-1947 level.

decline has been

York

City

and

The

greater at New
v

Chicago

banks

than at the banks located in other

leading cities. This decline has
been in part of a seasonal nature;
in part the result of the abrupt
commodity price decline in Feb-




than

utility
railroads

on

Sales

companies
each

other

.

"Inr view* of their large

planned

Greenway &
Building, an¬
that Mrs. Vina P. Aitken,.

OMAHA, NEB.
Company,
nounce

—

Farnam

who has been associated with the
firm for

some time, has been pro¬
moted to the Sales Department.

Mrs.

Aitken

has

had

consider¬

able

experience in the financial
field having been in the Bond De¬
partment of one of the Omaha
banks before joining Greenway &
Co.

Wegener & Daly To Be

rapid

rate

It follows also that increased sav¬

ing in the form of savings bond
purchases, or in any other form,
inflationary pro¬

reduce the

will

Many of us forget that busi¬
ness is itself responsible for more
than
half
of the
total savings

cess.

in

made

the

country,

that

and

government is also responsible for
a large part of it.
Business sav¬

ings will "be; most, effective, if ac¬
companied by the postponement
of business expenditures for plant
and equipment which are not vi¬

,

tally necessary, and' government
savings will be more effective if
accomplished
by
economies in
government. *
(3) It follows also that an in¬
crease
in
Federal
Government

spending for the European Recov¬
Program and for defense, both
desirable from/ the standpoint of
our national welfare, is not made
ery

less

inflationary, but more so; by

the cut in the Federal income tax.

is essential to the management

It

of

supply of

our

money,

a

func¬

with which the Federal Re¬

tion

System is entrusted, that the
maintain in a period

serve

Treasury
such

as

this

excess

an

of cash

re¬

expenditures. Such an
excess during the first part of this
year
contributed in my opinion
materially to the slowing down of
inflation.
That surplus has now
been used up and there is little
nrosoect for any further surplus
this year. :
)
The preservation of prosperity
in this country and the continu¬
ance
of those institutions which
ceipts

over

all

we

upon
some

cherish

of

depends
recognition of

dearly

clear

our

these

fundamental

eco¬

nomic

principles. It depends also
upon
our
following the roads
which they point out to us with¬
out detours dictated by political!
considerations.

NY Stock Exch. Member
BOISE, IDAHO — Don F. Daly
York Stock
Exchange membership of the late
Arthur C. Weil on July 15 and

With Daniel Reeves & Co.

will acquire the New

First National
Bank Building, will then become
members of the Exchange. Part¬
Wegener

ners

&

Daly,

in the firm

are

Mr. Daly and

Theo. H. Wegener.

(Special

to

The

Chronicle)

Financial

CALIF.—

HILLS,

:* BEVERLY

Jr., has been
added to the staff of Daniel Reeves
&

Co., 271

South Beverly Drive,

of

members
Los

Field,

A.

Joseph

the

York

New

and

Angeles Stock Exchanges.

\

\

received

expenditures, business concerns
roughly
one-half
of the, new may increase their bank loans
rhoney
obtained : through- cor-l and make additional private as
porate security issues last year well as- public sales of securities
and thus far in 1948.
Railroads during the- remaining months of
Public sales of stock issues
as
a
group actually used!, more -1948;
money
"to
retire
outstanding may foe less costly as a result of
securities than they obtained from the? recent rise in the stock mar¬
ket.
The major part of business
issuing new ones.
"The volume of new money ob¬ external financing in 1948, as in
.

Staff of Greenway & Co*

in

large volume of purely financial

public

Mr.

„

twenties, the high despite probable higher cash
porarily;; through banks rather 1947 total. is probably by far - the dividends and corporate income
than through public security -is¬ largest annual volume of net-new taxes; Business holdings- of liquid
sues.
money ever obtained by corpora¬ assets- in- the aggregate, however,
;*
" :
:
tions through security issues.
Will probably not be reduced fur¬
; "Thus far in 1948 the business
- - :
loan volume of .the large member
"Manufacturing companies and ther. banks of the Federal Reserve
System that report on a weekly
basis has' fallen off somewhat

that

understood

"Life insurance companies have Wohlstetter will act as an indi¬
recently provided some funds to vidual floor broker.
business corporations by
actual
Interest
of
the
late
Carl F.
acquisitions of business plant and Boker, Jr., in Fahnestock & Co.,
equipment that are subsequently ceased on June 14th.
rented to the seller on long-term
Trustees under the will of Mor¬
lease.- The- legal power to pur¬ ton D. Hutzler in Salomon Bros.
chase such property has generally &
Hutzler,
became
a
limited
been acquired only recently, and
partner in place of Estate of Mor¬
thus far has been used almost ex¬ ton D.
Hutzler, limited partner,
clusively to purchase stores, of¬ on June 30.
fices, and factories- from large
Interest of the late Russell A.
profitable corporations.
During Ballou in Schirmer, Atherton &
1947 life insurance companies in¬ Co., ceased June 30.
vested in such property approxi¬
On June 30 Farr & Co., retired
mately
$125
million,
bringing as a stock exchange member firm.
their total holdings at the yearend to about $200 million.

y

rough allowance is made for the
of' the

by the Exchange July

is

It

15.

proceeding, at the
in history, adds
only to the inflationary process.

most

1946 and

considered

the

that

which has been

not add to totals because of rounding. *

the

not contribute

increased

lows

NOTE—Commercial and Financial Chronicle data.
may

of

expansion

the

credit which 'does
to

*Excludes'refunding issues.

to be larger

issues

additional

the

income

spending which is supported by a
expansion of credit and

further

equal to
1947.
Strictly comparable data on
net new financing are not avail¬
able for all prior years, but. if a
an

continue
top of spending out of

to add on

new

obtained

attain*

upward

(2) We cannot stop the

9

Conclusion

by corporations
through issuing securities—that is,
money

new products, or the
ment of greater efficiency.
ery,

5

;' :

than in 1946. In

")NTew term loans to business—
leaps with; a maturity of over one
in

j

incomplete price
recovery from those lows; in: part
the result of some repayment of
bank loans of large
companies,
particularly public utilities, with
the4 proceeds from private
and
public placements of security is¬
sues; in part the result of high
fourth-quarter profits of many
Concerns; and in part the result
of a more restrained lending pol¬
icy on the part, of bankers who
were
influenced
by
anti-infla¬
tionary fiscal and monetary poli¬
and

ruary

increased profits

and

increased production, the in¬
troduction of cost-saving machin¬

68

when-

during the first four months of 1948;

people

production per

more

upon

hour,

82

*

crease ill total loans

of the

income

upon

62

,

available, but available data for country banks indicate

pend
man

233

"Private placements of new cor¬

^Figures for country banks not

is

responsible for- the in¬
crease in production.
This means
hat increased wages should de¬

610

•

^Through June 2.

pro¬

are

1,237

~

.:^fEstimated.

the

crease

who

740

IV).

in

responsible.
Inflation
can
be
stopped if we increase production !
proportionally more than we in¬

1,552

ures

increase

an

movement of prices if we

1947, would probably oc¬
porate securities, principally debt cur during the last half of the year
\
•
Table IV
business
issues placed with insurance com¬ when
expenditures
BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS
panies, continued in large volume reach their seasonal peak."
V
in 1947; such placements reflected
j
Amount Outstanding *
of
substantial
(In Billions of Dollars)
Percentage Change itlie /availability
amounts- of
institutional
funds New York Stock Exchange
^ v
'< •
June
Dec.
June
Dec. 1 1st
' 1st
;
2.
investment.
Privately
31,
30,
31,
Half
Half
Year seekingWeekly Firm Changes
Type of Bank—
1948v 1947
1947
1946
1948^:
1947 "1947 placed-bonds- and notes, excluding
The New York Stock Exchange
term loans of banks but including
All member, total
*
17.0
13.8
13.2
* '
5
\29
has announced the following firm
refunding issues, totaled $1.8 bil¬
changes:
lion in 1947-,- 38%' of total debt
6.4
3
.31
Central reserve city
6.8
5.3
5.2
Transfer of the Exchange mem¬
issues;.wthia represented the same
3
"
28
6.9
5.7
Reserve city
5.5
7.1
bership of the late John A. Salter
proportion of the total as in 1946 to Charles Wohlstetter
13
'27
3.1
2.7
2.4
Country
!
will be
•J*

is

based

4th

use

in
(Table

upon
for

income

duction for which that segment

1947—1st
2nd

in

segment of our economy must

any

be

basis

sound

increase

an

28

nature,

year.

which

258

by business appears
likely in 1948 despite the decrease

largely of

The

public.

159

of bank credit

the

in which wages chase
prices upward without a gain in
;he real income of the consuming

490

part of the in¬

major

half of 1946 and the last half of

(Continued from page 7)
process

908

took place during the lasf

crease

though current holdings are still
large relative to those of prewar
years.
Business management is

previously oc¬
comparable period of

Prosperity Formula?

3rd

over

,

"Bulletin."

serve

Profits-What Is the

On King Merritt
(Special

LOS
N.

to

The

Financial

ANGELES,

Staff

Co.; Inc., Chamber of Commerce
He

(Special

was

previously

with Slayton & Co., Inc.

to

The

J.

Byrne

Chronicle)

Financial

LOS ANGELES,

CAL.—Albert

Mougin is with King Merritt &

Building.

Byrne With C. A. Botzum

Chronicle)

has

CALIF.—John

v

affiliated

J

become

with C. A* Botzum Co;, 210
Seventh

Street.

Mr.

West'

Byrne was

previously with Dean Witter & Co*T
I

36

COMMERCIAL

THE

(132)

In

the

&

FINANCIAL

of

case

Santa

Fe,

CHRONICLE

the

Thursday, July 8, 1943

1

Standard Oil Company of New

Dealer-Broker

"Load" is' made up as "follows:

Taxes

Recommendations

Other

than Federal

Income

(Continued from page 8)
Portsmouth Steel Corporation—

1—.U——$33.0
Equipment and Joint Fa¬
cility Rents ————.£"1.1'"
Bulls

railroad securities had a happy time of it in the first
The Dow-Jones average of railroad stocks ended the

on

half' of 1948.

Miscellaneous

——

period at 62.76, compared with 52.48 at the close of the year 1947.
The six months' gain in the averages amounted to almost 20 %£ At Preferred Dividend
the end of the half year the aver-^
Federal Income Tax Apage had advanced more than 50% first. six .months of the .current, v plicable < to >
Preferred *
the low of 40.43

from

established

in May, 1947, and was only six
points below the June, 1946, top.
Moreover, the second half year
started off auspiciously, with the
average at 63.94 at the close of

business last week.

Naturally,

the
action
of
the
averages tells only part of the
story.
The rail market is almost

invariably

of individual per¬

one

formances

with

cies "dm the

wide

discrepan¬

movements

>

various stocks.

of

the

The market of the

past six months, as in the last half
of 1947, has been no
exception.
While the Dow-Jones averages

going up 19.6% between
Dec. 31, 1947, and June 30,
1948,

•were

a

list of 40 representative

and

common

speculative

preferred stocks
gains ranging all the
way from little more than 8% to
more
than 270%.
At the same
marked

up

Dividend

year.

Out

the

of

41

stocks

listed

1420

6.7

Charges
Contingent Charges

2, Pa.

,s

nole

Oil

Gas

&

Dryclock.

*

<

Requirement--

data

are

and

Maryland

New

which

York

Richfield

on

have

Total
Exchange
followed, the" Less Other Income

Oil

been

South

647

2.8

best

Marshall

&

Ask

Co.,

geles 14, Calif.

close

dum—Lee

1948

of

to

27

Robbins

(2,427,000 shares)-—-—$21*

mid¬

the

at

of 272%,
This, how¬
Thus, last year's income account
special situation, cen¬
for Santa Fe on a per common
tering around reorganization de¬
velopments, settlement of the New share basis may be' restated sim¬

&

Myers

—

Higginson

year, a gain

South La Salle

ever, was a

231

Illinois.

Jersey tax claim, and the
rumors

many

possibility of a
merger offer by. Reading Com¬
pany.
None of the other stocks
as much as doubled in price dur¬
ing the six months. As a matter
of fact, during June, Central Rail¬
road
of
New Jersey
stock had
climbed as high as 39 %, only to
react

ply

as

follows: T

Per Share

merger rumors

Miles Shoes, Inc.

Maintenance

65
62

♦,

-

Broadway, New York 6, N. Y.

From the figures below it is
relatively simple to figure the ef¬

possible

Conclusions regarding the rela-*.
tive merits of individual stocks

on

changes

140

per

in

earnings

share

operating

costs

of

and

the

Of

showed

40

selected

stocks

that

substantial

21

changes in

share

per

Western common stocks.

two

named

The last

preferred

dividend

requirement.

rises

gains

half

Two of these

averages.

ferred

the

for

year,

were pre¬

(Chicago,
& Pacific and
Western Maryland 2nd) and two
were the major eastern carriers,
New York Central and Pennsyl¬
vania, which have been unpopular
waukee,

with

St.

the

stocks

mon

Mil¬ priced

stocks

Paul

speculative

invest¬

and

were

the

in

were

lowest-

of

rail equities so
that sharp percentage gains were
not too surprising.
In the case of
the Rio Grande common, however,
group

the sharp

rise

directly to the phenomenal oper¬
ating performance of the road in

Freight

rates

ing. These figures may, however,
be used together with more recent
figures in attempts to calculate
future earnings possibilities and

payers.
They were Atlantic Coast
Line. Great Northern, Louisville
&

Nashville,

Union

Pacific

and

others

10

were

Southern (2)__

it

that

had

rise late last

sharp

nouncement
dividend

the

of

particularly

Chic. & E. Illinois

year

on

large

an¬

extra

and the proposed

stockTwo other stocks, both now
recognized as being in the invest¬
ment class, were just about in line
split.

with

the

Dow-Jones

average.

Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe and
Southern Pacific were up 19.8%
and
19.7%, respectively, in the

Nickel

Plate

both of which have

considerable

a

upward

trend

railroad

of

Erie

—

number

a

Under

continue

these

to

conditions

speculative issues

at

for

months

of

are

—

Ratio

Ratio

190

of Common Stock

26

65

57

1

17

36%

35%

77%,'

62

'

140

21

29

34

33

It ?!

27

156

66

59

137

11

8

141

61

47

117

20

4

43

4

86

26

33

63

12

11

38

42

10

2

40

14

130

44

34

83

30

39

74

'

36

3

7

36

32

88

15

27

34

28

32

£

27

u£

.

11

83

;

37

27

71

15

D

3

44

3

89

4

40

24

70

22

D

3 v

45 r

18

D

3"

:

80

33

24

65

109

45

35

88

30

216

95

72

181

35

1

44

100

16

126

48

36

93

20

13

68

1

85

31

80

;

33

84

j

28

38

7n
82

32 £

41

4

10

;
£ '

74

; 30

13

11

74

;

'

"

42

21

r

"T

18

30

32

67

?

1

'41

32

80

:j

75

1

68

6

78

23

24

52

8

33

4

"41

17

13

33

9

38

6

48

17

13

34

8

6

91

4

98

38

33

76

9

13

38

38

6

48

22

13

38

8

2

46

28

79

150

9

'167

62

51

125

32

10

37

30

75

44

28

79

~

55
53

27"

62

3

63

4

6

22

34

.

77 U

■

7

80

26

27

60

16

.178

65

60

136

26

16

%

36

j

i
i

£• £ 34 B

78

j

25

67

j

23

59

34

19

t
,

74

36

33

66

£|

£•75

10

33

4

I

;•

7

46

20

29

38

.

2

11

49

17

D

141

'

6'

18

City Southern (7)

Kansas City Southern

(8)

—

—

3

24

8

16

4

4

'36

61

2

69

20

16

40

14

15

29

90

4

101

30

23

60

22

19

30

23

59

;

53

stock
come.

the

Ratio

161

the
least

Com. Slk.

70

—

Great Northern

Kansas

prices will

21

"Load"

Oper

88

All

degree of fund amenta! merit.
present indications are that

26

.79'

that

common,

75

63

—

— _

and

7

.37

Chic., R. I. & Pac
showed gains of 50% or more in
Cinn., New Orl. .& Tex. Pac.
price in the first six months of
Colorado & Southern (4)the current year.
For the most

ern

62

106

Pacific

a

Maint.

78

-

fact

Trans.

)

Oper.

117

Ft. Worth & Denver City (5)
part, these were in the highly
is, of speculative lower-priced group of
The two outstanding ex¬ Del., Lack & West
course,
at
least
partially
ex¬ issues.
Den. & Rio Gr. Westernplained by the high price and the ceptions were Kansas City South¬

Union

of

j;

; ,f
Maint.

122

.Western Pacific.
Action

indi¬

of

Trans.

expense:
Total

Pass.

153

Gt.

—

There

attraction

relative

the

vidual stocks.

as

Bal. for

Per Share

Alabama

ing public for some time past. recent months, a factor that may
Chic. Gt. Western
Surprisingly, the other five that be accepted as contributing per¬
failed to meet the performance of manently to the worth of the Chic., Ind. & Louisv
Chic., Mil., St. P. & Pac.
the averages were among the con¬ company's stock.
sistent and fairly liberal dividend

knowledge

a

Revenues-

•

be attributed

may

exact

as

only on the
since wages.,
and traffic have been chang¬

Pre Tax

more

up

have

railroadj

figures,

following

the

on

than
showed smaller percentage 90%Chicago & Eastern Illinois
and Chicago Great Western com¬
than
did
the
Dow-Jones

nine

'

three

basic

based

not be

should

rates and to understand better the

50

the

of

"arithmetic."

earnings produced in the past
29
list, all Balance
time, one of the old investment of which were up more than 75% Federal Income Tqx*
several years by the wage-price
12
favorites, Chesapeake & Ohio, de¬ during the period, were Chicago & Earned on Common17
spiral.
As long as the latter per¬
clined from 43 M> to 37%, a drop Eastern
Illinois, Chicago Great
^Except for tax applicable to sists, it will continue advisable to
Of 13.2%.
Western and Denver & Rio Grande
The next

•v

.

fects

Passenger Revenues
' 21
Total Operating Revenues- 190?+
Transportation

Corp.—»
No. 74-^

Wisconsin Power & Light; CP'-"?
Analysis—Ira Haupt & Co., Ill

Scherck,
Richter Co., Landreth
Building, St. Louis 2, Mo.

of Common

the

when

>

Freight Revenues ———$153

Operating Expenses
Reading Balance
proved unfounded. "Load"

sharply

Street, Chicago 4,

Rudolph Wurlitzer Co.—Data—

0

to the

as

memorandum

for

Winters & Crampton Corp. -j-»
Analysis—C. E. Unterberg 8c Co.,
61 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y«
Also available is an analysis oJ|

Memoran¬

Corp.,

Crampton

& ;

Troster, Currie & Summers, 74
Trinity Place, New York 6, N,. Y«

Spring Street, Los An¬

performance
was
that
of
Balance
Central Railroad of New Jersey:
;. 50.6
The stock was up from 7% at the Per Share of Common Stock

£.£££££££:££:

Winters.

Corp.—Memoran¬

dum—Maxwell,

53.4-

Stock

Co.—Analytical

Mass.

3.8

•

the

,

.

description—A. G. Woglom & Co.;
Inc., 49 Federal Street, Boston 10,

,v.......

-

—

U, S. Finishing

Cen¬

on

&c

Bennett

—

6, N. Y.

Philadelphia

tral Illinois Public Service, Semi¬

6.2

—

Palmer, 165 Broadway, New York

•

Also available

2.0

Carbon Corp*

Analysis

—

—Memorandum

Securitiesx Corp.,

Walnut Street;

0.6

Deductions-

Fixed

Data—Buckley

Cohu & Co.;
York 5, N. Y,

Union Carbide &

1

(Millions)

Wall Street, New

Jersey

4

-3 0

28

18

50

11

1

47

30

83

j

82

i

'

D

J

35

j

69

7

81

34

29

67

5

9

.42

162

more

apt to con¬

20

195

77

67

153

33

9

40

3.

5

33

30

74

6

3

42

34

82

1

4

40

30

78

1

34

35

•

.

.

78

Minneapolis & St. Louis

31

10

9

23

41

2

46

19

16

37

Missouri-Kansas-Texas

Measuring Earnings Trends in

29

Minn., St. P. & S. S. Marie—

tinue in the lead.

72

6

85

34

25

66

104

9

124

52

42

104

15

5

42

252

8

272

91

82

187

52

33

33

30

69

77

21

109

50

38

£ 94

16

1

45

34

86

;

5"

274

105

78

199

38

29

73

j

52, ;

145

62

43

1

119

46

40

Nash., Chatt. & St. Louis
New Orleans, Texas & Mex.New York, Chic. & St. Louis
New York, New Hav. & Hart.

Railroad Stocks

(particularly

low

transportation
by the transpor¬
tation ratio) has been the greatest
beneficiary
of
the
wage-price
spiral.
On the other hand, the
railroad that had relatively high
operating cost and low revenues
per share tended to have its per
cost

measured

as

share earnings reduced by the in¬
flation of costs and rates.
As

between

large

a

share

per

with
and

a

high operating cost and

a company
with low cost ratio and small rev¬
enues

share, the latter fared

per

better than the former,

since the
leverage
does
not operate to produce good re¬
sults
except
under
conditions

former's

where

greater

the

expands
(due
increased volume)
and the- costs do not (as in the

primarily
years

gross

to

1941-1944).

The cfolio wing
tute

an

consti¬

attempt to help the rail-

toad stock investor and speculator




"arith¬

transportation
maintenance charges, to¬
operating expenses for 1947

Pitts. & Lake Erie,

9

21

69

33

44

16

17

41

IT

73
Louis-San

Francisco

76

■

31

66

1

36

36

79

i

7

2

48

34

87

£

i

4

12

37

82

}

76

j

78

j
<1

36

Cr

6

9

17

2

3

26

38

33

29

65

12

6

39

35

6

89

37

27

70

15

4

42

£

30

i

£194

»:.£ 54

70

/£ 30

'

25

USV-i

114

21

5

40

14

40

;>.:V 12

39

:

96

140

56

47

Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe had

113

16

140

56 £

41

107

19

1947

143

16

171

67

56

132

27

operating revenues of $462,699,000, i.e. $190 per share on the
2,427,000 shares of common stock

hand

from

rail¬

and

after

Federal

able

to

the

come

for

preferred dividends
income

tax

preferred

applic¬

dividend

Non-operating in¬
as are net cre'dits

is credited

equipment hire and joint fa¬

cility,r$nts.

i!

21

49

14

5

34

48

126

28

13,

38

29i

.75

;

21

66

55

135

14

35

36

30

73

j

29

7

9

18

4

7

24

32

158

61

43

116

26

16

39

27

79

26

24

54

13

12

33

31

104

37

33

80

19

5

36

32

58

21

18

45

7

6

6

26

32

29"

—

3

42

37

40

32

95

"~9

Ill5,..
3

28

26

58

*3

24

10

9

21

114

(1)

90

19

Wheeling & Lake Erie.

operations

income

31

76

Pm
72
j

64

54

(operating rev¬
enues
less
operating expenses)
and pre-Federal income tax net

32

81:4

23

28

revenue

1

68

"Load" per common share is the
total "of all income account items
net

r:

£29.

184

for themselves.

way

>'

34

167

75

between

>

1

presumably speak

columns

78

15

138

the

...

79

63

right

in

.

138

149
ratios

c

39

*

83

22.

•Sf5

318

three

;

!

30

5

The

82
86

7

18

per

30
34

io

111

a

43
39

5

302

on

stock basis.

;£

5

45

19

££

share of

been put

common

|

1

D

16

For example.

have

54 1

'

St.

j

60

£23

.

27

32

118

21

12

D

-48

-

•102

9

i; 57

...

21

revenues,

expenses,

tal

29

3

51

Northern Pacific

Freight

revenues, passenger revenues, op¬

requirement.

figures

better-the

metic" of railroad shares.

erating

1

50

27

understand

D

23

■

outstanding.

company
revenues

to

79

114

(Continued from first page)
period with large revenues
(particularly
freight
revenues)
per share and low operating cost
ary

263

.

;

16

140

56

45

110

86

D. & H. RR. Corp. figures; D. & H. Co.

shares.

(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)

'mm

20

A,,

£,

£££■•■.■■£:

Hudson Coal Co. excluded.

Participating basis.
Priority basis.
Colorado & Southern Ry. Co. only.
Fort Worth & Denver City Ry. Co. figures; Colorado & Southern shares.
Figures not exactly comparable with the other roads,
(7) Kansas City Southern Ry; Co. only..
/ (8) Including Louisiana & Arkansas Ry. Co.
.,.
,
,,
.

.

,

£

,160

|

73
69

£
£

I

75

1

-i££ }

65

63
II

1

;38

|

168

Volume

THE

Number 4714

COMMERCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

one-third

World Stability

World Trade and

on

(133)

the

population depends

this industry for its livelihood.

The

chief

rural

industries

of

(7) Copper and manufactures— 'our rice, 7% of our pork and 29% Australia are sheep-raising, dairy¬
ing and wheat.
Australia pro¬
562 million pounds imported in of our lard were exported, annu¬
requirements,
as
well as 971
ally, on the average. The farmers duces one-fourth of the world
thousand (metric) Jons; of coarse 1947, valued at $159 million,
of this country and the nations supply of wool, which is the ma¬
(8) Burlap—no production of
grains, or about 55% of her total
as a whole
would have found it jor item of Australian exports. In
requirements.
In addition, Bel' jute fibers in the Unitted States. difficult to
get along satisfactor¬ .recent years, 55 % of her total ex¬
671 million pounds imported in
gium imported on an average
ily without this outlet -for their ports were accounted for by wool
about 30 thousand tons of dairy 1947 valued at $131 million.
agricultural
production.
Today and wheat.
(9) Furs—about 50% of the do¬ we
products.
produce
perhaps
one-third
Agriculture is the basis of the
mestic consumption is imported.
The
Netherlands, despite the
more farm products than we did
Brazilian
economy,
with threeIn
1947,
furs
imported
were before World War IX;
export surplus of dairy products,
Although fourths of the people directly en¬
is obliged to import some bread valued at about $130 million.
we have increased our population
gaged therein, and the output of
(10) Raw hides and skins—im¬ and have raised our standards of her
grains and substantial quantities
agricultural
products
ac¬
of
feed
grains.
In
1938,
the ports in 1940 valued at $88 mil¬ living, our increase in farm pro¬ counts for 80% of her total ex¬
Netherlands imported 755 thou¬ lion.
duction makes foreign markets an
ports.
The economy is charac¬
sand tons of bread grains, and
(11) Tin—with practically no important part of our economy. In terized by the predominance of
1,294
thousand tons of
coarse tin produced, we imported 103 1939 we exported 20% of our pro¬
export crops, such as coffee, cot¬
grains, the latter accounting for million pounds in 1947, valued at duction of industrial machinery ton and cocoa. At the time, there
about 73% of her total consumpand
implements, 16%% of our is a shortage in staple foods, such
$58 million'.
tion.
(12) Raw silk—entire supply agricultural machinery and imple¬ at wheat," rye, barley and oats.
v
The need for raw materials and
ments, over 20% of our motor Brazil is the greatest coffee-pro¬
imported, which in 1947 totalled
manufactured goods is reflected about 2 million
pounds, valued at trucks, more than one-third of our ducing country in the world, with
lubricating oils, and nearly one- practically the entire crop exby the following table of impor¬ $23 million.
fourth of our aircraft. In the same
tant imports in the Netherlands
ported.
In cotton output, Brazil
In addition, large quantities of
year, approximately 15%
of the ranks third in the world, with raw
(1939):
cocoa,
rugs,
bananas, fish and
workers in the motor vehicle, in¬ cotton
(In millions
bulking large in the export
other products are imported.
of U. S.
dustrial heating and equipment total.
In the manufacture of steel, we industries were
dollars)
working in one
^/Argentina is one of the great
are told over forty raw materials
way or another on exports.
The
Iron, steel and articles
(Continued from page 11)

bad.

But

ever

we
forget that when¬
foreign nation sells goods

a

services

or

37

in

markets, for
dollars,
these
eventually be used
our

which

it

dollars

must

in

markets.

our

obtains

That

is

sential, controlling fact.

the

es¬

There is

no
other place in the world for
the expenditure of dollars finally.

They
to

be shifted from

can

nation

nation, but eventually the dol¬

lars

must

be

spent

here.

That

1"

employment for us, fac¬
tories in operation for us, sales
for
us
of raw
materials, farm,
means

products

ply stated, then, every dollar we
buy from foreign nations does not
make

thereof
Implements, apparatus. _
Coal, coke, briquettes.*

64

57

from

about

takes

31

manganese,

are

ton of steel
fourteen pounds of

To make

necessary.

32

Timber

countries

different

a

and about 1% million

Dry goods and textiles..

27

tons per year of 50% ore, are
needed from abroad.
Manganese

Vehicles

24

comes

21

and West Africa and Brazil.

,29

Yarns

Chemical

_

products

Mexico, a comparatively large
fcouhtry, one-fourth the size of the
United States, with but 22 million

from

Russia,

India,

South

About 60% of our tungsten
be

imported,

principally

must

from

China and the Straits Settlements.

Chromium

comes

from

South

following
figures
indicate the
percentage of the workers in
some

other industries which were

producing

in

engaged

metals

Nonferrous

and

exports:
products,

23%;
chemicals,
16%; rubber,
15%; business and consumer serv¬
ices, 11%; food, tobacco and kin¬
dred products, 12%.

Britain, we have noted, is
greatest single importer in the
world.
We have noted also that
Great

the

people, most of whom obtain their Africa and the Philippines. Almost
in the average prewar years 31
livelihood from agriculture and
all of it must be imported.
nations found in Great Britain
mining, obviously differs from the
Without
imports
the
indus¬ their best single customer. Now,
countries already commented on.
trial
to maintain such purchases, i.e.,
economy
of this country
Yet Mexico, too, in order to main¬
would be seriously handicapped. to pay for her imports of food
tain a more balanced economy, is
In minerals alone we are depen¬ and goods, Great Britain must ex¬
obliged to import some foods and
dent upon large imports to keep port great quantities of commodi¬
substantial quantities of machin¬
our plants operating.
We are net ties of which she has a surplus,
ery and manufactured goods in
importers of bauxite, antimony, and this she does as indicated by
exchange for precious metals and
the following exports;
minerals found within her bor¬ cadmium, chromium, copper, lead,

Mexi¬ manganese, mercury, nickle, tin
titanium, tungsten and zinc. In
can imports (1940) classified by
addition, we are dependent upon
commodity groups shows:
imports of vegetable oil, hemp,
(■'i-S-/
(In millions
jute,
industrial
diamonds and
ofU.S.
many other commodities.
ders.

A list of the leading

-

dollars)

Machines, apparatus and
it- tools for agriculture,

all

In

the

countries

we

products.

Iron and steel

:i(§;

Woolen and worsted yarn.
Woven

woolen

.

;

goods.

of the total value

have

mining

industry,

the

over

pleased

of her annual

and

subsequent export of

the

to

their output abroad.

foreign
which

credit,

and finished

entire

world.

goods

We

are

goods.

to sell the world our
However, we do not wish

to

raw

take

materials

or

finished

ductive capacity, in order to sell
goods abroad. But under no cpn-f

ditions do
in

sent

Prosperity Dependent on Exports

wish to take goods
goods we have

we

the

for

return

to

away,
that

build

have

sources

up the re¬
been depleted,

to replace the manpower that has

been

used

the

or

productive

prosperity of the nations
equipment that has been worn
we have just examined is closely
out.
We wish only promises to
dependent on the sale of goods
"pay and gold. It is an unbeliev-*
abroad.
Thus, in fact, the wel¬ able
philosophy for a great nation.
fare of peoples everywhere is in
It is easy to be prejudiced on
an important measure determined
these matters. Prejudice is a great
by the
extent and volume of
The

trade

is

there

in

Actually,

trade.

world

world

great fusion

a

of

time-saver.

into

has

That

of mutual

they

a

program

common

economic

cooperation -helpful

are

to ligence.

some

not

on

The

sometimes

all.

It enables

to form

one

opinions without getting the facts.

individual interest of nations

the

advantages, but
the side of intel¬

destiny

seems

of

a

world

at the mercy of

economic illiteracy.

The most ef¬

the more freely trade
fective weapon that can be used
more it will grow in
against economic ignorance is not
volume
and
the more efficient
indignation but a wider diffusion
will be the utilization of the abil¬
the

men

and the resources of
is

It

world.

the

a

fundamental

examined, notwithstanding varied

-

areas,

and

make

extend

materials

raw

Incidentally, prior to the war,
concept of economics that the
the income Great Britain received
populations, industrial de¬
more
efficiently the factors of
from
investments
abroad
and
velopment or the importance of
production
are
utilized,
the
$22
the arts
shipping and financial services
agriculture and mining, imports
greater will be the benefits ac¬
Machines and apparatus
are
essential. In some instances, amounted to about $1,720,000,000,
cruing to society. Increasing the
for
other
uses
and
which was sufficient to pay for
imports of basic foods are neces¬
25
volume, as well as freeing the
vehicles
about 35% of her total imports.
sary to sustain life; in Others, they
21
flow of world trade,, tends to raise
Mineral products
—
lerid a desired variety to diet. Raw During the war and post-war pe¬ the standards of living of all peo¬
Products of chemical inmaterials are needed by industrial riods, however, Great Britain was
16
ple. World trade not only makes
i dustry.
forced to liquidate the bulk of her
nations; machinery and manufac¬
17
good neighbors; it makes healthy,
Vegetable products
tured goods are required by agri¬ holdings abroad in order to pay richer and
happier neighbors.
for vital imports necessary for
cultural and mining countries. In
Position of U. S.
victory arid subsequent recon¬
Conclusion
all
cases,
however, imports of
Despite the fact that the United
struction and rehabilitation. As a
In
conclusion, let us consider
States is the most richly endowed goods from abroad are the key
to desired balances in the life and result, in 1947 her income from
briefly some of the more general
nation in the world, possessing
investments accounted for but 3%
economy of peoples everywhere,
aspects of world trade, >
natural resources in great abund¬
with the added by-product, as it of her total imports, which, in¬
When foreign nations borrow
ance, wide climatic variations, and
were
25% less (in
were, of the most productive util¬ cidentally,
a great industrial productive sys¬
from us, the dollars they borrow
ization of the skills of men, and physical volume) than in prewar
must eventually be expended in
tem,
we
are
dependent upon
years.
This fact makes it impera¬

?

and

we

enables other nations to buy our
goods and services. We send our

exports. The prosperity of Argen¬
tina is related to these industries

ities of

Spirits.

be

food-producing
centers
of the
goods in return; We are willing
world. Thus, agricultural, dairy
to deplete our resources, use our
and pastoral products, and their
manpower and wear out our pro¬
by-products, usually exceed 80%

flows,

Cotton yarn.
Woven cotton

loans

dollars

must

present procedure.

our

nation,

a

the

receive

1

Consider

As

for

poorer,

nations

spent here.

Finally,

goods.

us

other

s

$78

and finished goods.
It
good busines for us. Sim-

means

basic

of

knowledge

such as this
provides. We need io
bring some new thinking into our
trade relationships with other na¬
conference

tions.
as

a

ing

Nothing in life is

so

sacred

nothing is so
the thing that jolts

annoy¬

rut and
as

us

out

of it. *:

,

5

..

the

resources

at

their

command.

(1) to maintain our
World trade, like a coin, has two
standard
of living and
(2) to
We have noted the need
[maintain the efficient operation of sides.
our
economic
system.
Without and desirability of imports; the
laboring over statistics, consider other side of world trade is ex¬
world

a

trade

list merely of the more

tant items,

In other words, every time
imports, or buys, there must,
necessity, be someone who ex¬

impor¬ ports.

and note how common

Ahey are to all of us.

one

of

ports or sells. This phase of world
(1) Coffee—none grown in the
trade is as essential and vital to
States.
2,498
million
some peoples and nations as im¬
•pounds imported in 1947 valued at
ports of food are to Britain, for
$600 million.

i

United

example.

tive

that

Britons

produce

more

times

than in pre-war
in order to maintain im¬

ports

even

and export more

at

their present re¬

duced level.

Thus, the production and export
of commodities is essential in or¬

of de¬
sired imports of foods, raw mate¬
rials and other goods from abroad.
Akin, but differing slightly, and

der to maintain the flow

the second reason for

the import¬

the American markets.
enable

foreign

goods,

and

farmers and

The loans

nations

our

to

buy

manufacturers,

producers like to sell

goods.
Factories run, men are
employed, and dividends are paid.




tori, 35 % of

our

tobacco, 18% of world,

and it

is

estimated

tional trade

are

futile.

If, how¬

ever, western civilization is now
confronted with its *s.upreme op¬

portunity to organize its
interests

under

manship for

common

economic

states-*

period of unprece¬
dented progress for all mankind,
then this meeting becomes greatly
a

important.
While the jungles of Africa may
down tomorrow before an
avalanche of Studebakers, Fords
and Chevrolets, while the teeming
millions of India may not eat a
breakfast
food
tomorrow ^halsi

not go

borrowed money is

finally spent, we may face some
economic problems.

'

Valued at $225 million.

World War I| has brought

"pops and crackles" as they pour
the cream, and, while the peo¬
ple of China may go through life
ignorant of the social advantages
When
a
nation has spent its
of using Listerine and Lifebuoy,
dollars and gold, the internal eco¬
nevertheless, I believe we are
nomic pressures in that nation
agreed that world trade is imper¬
may become intense.
In nations
ative to a stable and peaceful
dependent upon the exchange of
world, where peoples can live and
their goods for other goods they
work and hope with faith in the
need, the internal economic prob¬ future.
'
'
lems may be very difficult of
—«■■■■»•_solution. In the absence of loans

But when the

ance
of exports, concerns those
(2) Cane sugar—4,180 thousand
There are two major reasons for
fehort tons (one short ton equals
nations whose prosperity is di¬
exports.
First, the imports and
2,00.0 pounds) imported in 1947
rectly dependent upon finding a
exports of a nation must be equal
"Valued at $413 million.
foreign market for the bulk of the
in value.
That is, what is bought
) Paper and manufactures— must be paid for; the two must be output of the principal industry.
imports in 1947 totalled $345 mil¬ equal. Thus, in world trade, the This condition probably is found
or credit, the way in which for¬
most often in mining or agricul¬
lion,
goods a country buys from abroad
tural nations where industry is eign nations can obtain dollars or
(4) Rubber—no crude rubber or imports must be paid for by;
relatively undeveloped or unim¬ gold in order to buy from us
produced in the United States.
goods they need desperately is to
(1) Exports
portant.
1,56,7 million pounds imported in
sell goods or services to us, that
(2) Gold
The Philippines is one example
1947, valued at $312 million.
is, for us to import from them.
(3) Income from investments
where agriculture is the principal
Jt is said that when we buy
(5) Wood pulp—imports in 1947 :; (4) Loans or gifts
occupation.
About one-third of
goods from other nations, we help
totalled 2,091 thousand short tons,
(5) Services
the cultivated land is planted in
them to have employment and full
Valued at $245 million.
Imports
We may obtain some idea of the cash crops, chiefly for export. In
production. We help them to sur¬
of
exports
to
the 1940, sugar accounted for 40% of vive. However, it is said we put
usually account for about 25 per importance
cent of our domestic consumption. United States by noting that dur¬ the total value of exports and co¬ our own workers out of work, we
make our own factories idle, and
(6) Unmanufactured wool—364 ing- the forty-year period from pra for 20%. The Philippine out¬
million pounds imported in 1947 1900 to 1939, over 57% of our cot- put of copra is the largest in the we injure .the American nation.
,

If

nothing but world confusion, and
if faith and hope are dead, theri
these
discussions
on
interna¬

that Everyone

agrees

that would

tie

on

With Herrick, Waddell
(Special

to

The

BEATRICE,

Financial

J
.}

Chroniclf)

NEB.—Willard

P.

Sherwood has joined the staff of

Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc., 55

Liberty Street, New York City.

Frederick Whitlock Dies
1

v

Frederick

,

]

|

Simmond./Whitlock,

partner in Farr & Co., New York
City, and

a

member of the New

York Stock Exchange,

died at his

home at the age of 54.

;

38

THE

(134)

just the
to

Tomorrow's

the market looks

way

me now.

COMMERCIAL

'

.

i'fi

'i'fi

#

When I say

Markets

I don't know,
merely sloughing it off.
do know, for example, that

I'm

Walter

I

Whyte
Says—|

stocks

certain

have met

and

support in

groups
an area

where if

seems
a

a

By WALTER WHYTE 55

Market about

into

its rest¬

over

ing period. Expect renewal of
bull

trend

in

fu¬

immediate

ture.
*

*

❖

Writing about the weather
hardly ^appropriate for
column theoretically given

*>ver

to

ai

discussion of

a

condition where the

public

the (determined by odd lot trans¬
:buy actions) was • buying and then

CHRONICLE

.there is nowhere

(Continued from page 6)
where

have

I

seen

to

reference

the fact that the Association is not

obliged to

i

demand:
their prodr

pay money on

nowhere have I

seen

advertised

and

nowhere have

share

as

I

accounts

seen

adver¬

tising. which says that the Fed¬
Savings and Loan Insurance

eral

Corporation insures :by:
(a) Transferring the account to
another Federal Savings and Loan

Association
be

which

required to

also

will

not

demand.
(b) At the option of the insured
pay on

member, by paying 10% cash and
90% in debentures of the Federal

Savings and' Loan Insurance Cor¬
poration, payable in one and three

in equal proportions without

.years

interest.

<

Please bear these two very

selling if moves didn't de¬ portant points in mind:
everybody talking velop. This resulted in a gen¬
(1) The fact that a Federal
about the weather, who am I eral milling around usually .at Savings and Loan Association is
not able to pay its shareholder on
to snub it?
top figures where the public
;
demand is no indication of insol¬
was most active on the buying
s{s
❖
❖
with

'

•

,

side. Conclusion therefore

The item-reads:

"Savings

vency.

Let me give you a little

evidence

of

the

fact

Even in the

(2)

the
of

approaching the
Mr.
Cramer
pointed
their nearest
competitors, the savings banks,
have $10 billion, and that only
about two generations ago they
were
nearly
equal. / 'Here
is
Associations-are

mark,
out
that

$1

more

that

"American

the

in

New York State Savings and Loan

the

billion

Where

public considers these associations

have

we

lived

not

up

to

commented.
piece of ad¬ responsibilities,' he
'There is no reason why the sav¬
vertising material issued by a
local radio station, the radio sta¬ ings and loan assets of New York
tion listed its advertisers, one of State should not be as great as the
which is a Federal Savings and "savings bank assets.' ///;
-:V//
banks of deposit.

Loan

In

Association:

listed

a

it

was

"To 'correct' that situation, he
suggested, better and more adver¬
tising, more presentable and 'busi¬
ness-like offices, more intelligent
handling
of
customers,
higher
paid personnel, more aggressive

errone¬

either

by the radio
station or by the printer as First
Federal Savings Bank of Blank.
On Jan. 22,
1948 a ;hold-up of
the South Brooklyn Savings and
Loan

Association

place.

I

am

Branch

managing officers and 'many
things along this line'."

took

quoting the head-lines

from two New York

of insol¬

case

article

Banker" goes on "Referring to
fact
that the total resources

Ac¬

the U. S. Government."
;,

consisting: of a

account?)

The

;

Investment

and

City

was

Okay, now we've got the that
stops were being distrib¬
Weather«out of the weyi we
uted. It was the chief reason
can go back to the market;
why I kept hammering on
what makes it tick and where
stops and repeated warnings
it's going from here. /.Now.,
not to do too much buying.

share

counts," $19,187,767.05. This rep¬
resents the savings of /pur mem¬
bers. The safety >of your invest¬
ment is insured up to $5,000 by
the Federal Savings and Loan In¬
surance Corporation, an agency of

ously

im¬

indication as; ing £n investment

an

to:v;|the;'4exactv:,Mature /h£>thei7ac<-i'
counts.

and how to make/lose money.

But

Thursday, July 8, 1948

"Savings and Loan Associations Are Not Banks''

uct

they weren't going
tailspin, support was an
urgency, When such a thing
happens it means that buying
of better than average quality
is present. What was lacking
in this picture was that this
buying
wasn't
following
stocks up. Instead there was

555

FINANCIAL

&

papers:

What

"Thugs Get $8,000 from Queens

r

to Do

About

•>

•

:

•

It is

Bank."

more

It

L

'

v

.

■

well to criticize, /but
do about it is another

very

the Fed¬
what, to
Insurance
"Girl (Clubbed in $8,000 Bank
matter.
It would be most jtiffi-r
Corporation in no manner places Hold-up"
cult to convince these associations
the insured in a position where
Such illustrations can be found of our
sincerity and of the valid¬
he can require more than 10% of
frequently and
they
definitely ity of our fears. Their
supervisory
the amount of his claim in cash.
what makes it tick? H-m-m-m.
prove that the public actually is authorities have done
'I'
*!•
❖
nothing br
In an article written by George misinformed.
That's a good question. There
very little at best to curb the type
This distribution is still go¬ A. Mooney in the New York
of advertising that has been tak¬
Was a time when I could rat'Times" on Sunday, May 30, 1948,
Misconception Widespread
ing place. It is my conviction and
tie off a dozen replies to that ing on. What softens its ef¬ he quotes George L. Bliss, presi¬
To show you that the miscon¬
fect is the accumulation going
feeling that our banks are vcroly
dent of the Century Savings and
one, each one more erudite
ception of which I speak is not seeking what is right and -fair
and
on
during declines. It can best Loan Association of New York only present among our average that an uninformed
than the other. Now all I can
public is dan¬
be seen in such groups as City as
saying that
"Bankers, people .but also among those of
gerous to all.
do isj&tand: off ^ih^ dismays and
faced with a slow-down in the
higher education, I have in my
axitos, auto accessories, tires,
If Savings and Loan Assoeiaeither
refer
rate of growth of their instituyou
to some
posession a letter from a person tions at
some time are unable to
standard textbook or simply oils, coppers, steels and rails. tions, are embarking on a pro¬ who is a trustee in one of the out¬
pay on demand, and if the public
On the opposite side, groups gram of harassing savings, asso¬
standing universities of the United
shrug my shoulders. I've got
considers them banks, as 1 betieVe
like air lines, building sup¬ ciations by an attempt to belittle States and who, in writing to me
it! Why don't you ask your,
they do, the public can be hurt
the value of the insurance of ac¬ about a certain
matter, gives me and serious
plies, gold mining and amuse¬
results to banks cotild
broker? With market activity
counts provided by the Federal the
name
of
three
"banks"
in
ments
follow.
When a day comes that
predominate as poor Savings and Loam Insurance Cor¬
Whatit is,lie^should have lots;
Nassau
County.
It, so happens a
Savings and Loan Association
risks.
poration." He* made the assertion that two out of three of the banks
l">'
t)f time to give you the an¬
elects NOT to pay on demand*
in a staff bulletin, copies of which
quoted by the university trustee as it has
swer. Alright, how ytfe?ve got
a
perfect right to do,
All this leads to the stocks were made available to the press. are jSavihgs ahd Loan Associa¬
and John Q. Citizen walks down
that taken care of, let's go to
It would be my opinion
that tions./ I hardly believe it neces¬ the street in the
locality of your
the next question. Where's it you still hold. As individuals nothing would be further from sary to further prove that the
they act okay and so long as the truth. • Banks are however, Federal savings and loan group bank saying, "That BANK didn't
going from here?
pay me.
I can't get my money
they do, they should be held. worried because they realize that is representing its merchandise as
*
*
*
out," it will make more trouble
Of course the stops still ap¬ the tide has been coming in, that bank deposits instead of invest¬ for
banking than for Savings .qnd
share
the flow of money has been in¬ ment
accounts.
I
would, Loan Associations
C At
point J jshouldr
because you
ply. For a1 complete list of
creasing for various reasons. They however, like to quote a bit from arein al lot of technical stuff
obliged to pay on demand. I
holdings, purchase price and realize too, that there will come a an article which appeared in the
also believe that, as bankers, we
about dine cuts, radiant lines,;
stops, refer to last week's time when the customer will draw "American Banker" on Oct. 16, come
pretty close to having a.
more
than he deposits and they
legs <not the kind you pay $10 column.
1947, and which quotes Mr. Floyd moral
duty now to explain the
realize that they must
be pre¬ Cramer, President of Washington difference of the two
to see), triangles / and other
types of
More next Thursday.
Federal
pared to meet it.
With a high Heights
Savings v and institutions to the public.
terms familiar to chart read¬
Many
concentration in mortgages it may Loan Association of New York
—Walter Whyte
people lean on banks for guid¬
ers.
I would too, if I could
not be possible for some of these
City. Mr. Cramer, in addressing ance and
they might well have a
[The views expressed in this associations to continue to pay on the eonvention of the New Yprk
place these words in their
right to criticize us if we remain
article do not necessarily at any demand, and this will hurt the State Savings and Loan League at
proper
order;
I'm afraid/
quiescent.
■ /
•
time coincide with those of the public and shake confidence.
It the Chateau Frontenac at Quebec,
however; I'll put one of these Chronicle.
react
They are presented as will
unfavorably
against is quoted as saying: "We are the ; I hope that this talk will "be
taken very seriously by our hanks;
terms in the wrong-place and those of the author only.]
banks as well as against Savings only type of financial institution
*

vency the insurance of
eral Savings and Loan

.

-

"

*

^is

.

some

/eager reader will hur¬

and Loan Associations.

me to task. That
will lead \to involved • coire*

riedly take
spondence

Two With Peters, Writer
(Special to The Financial Chronicle)

discussions

and

DENVER,

and I'm anxious to avoid both.

Cranmer

So I'll

have

I think the
through resting, or

just

market is

say

and

COLO. — Chappell
Jack IS. Ormsbee

become

affiliated

with

Peters, Writer & Christensen, Inc.,
U. S. National Bank Building.

whatever It has been going

through, and will
Tteasons?

Max Nedwick

now go up.

I don't know. It's

Opens

With

Schweickhardt-Landry

(Special -to

Landry & Co., Hibernia Building.

on

Phillip Lyon Opens

(Special

'

Members

\

York Stuck. Exchnnae

New York Curb Exchange (Associate)
San Francisco Stock

14Wall Street
COrtlandt

V;

7-4150

—

to The

Chronicle)

Financial

ANGELES.

C A LIF.—

Phillip Lyon has opened offices
at 325 West Eightth Street, to en¬
gage

in the securities business.

:•

Teletype NY 1-928

Private Wires to Principal
San Francisco

r

New York 5, N. Y.
•

LOS
E.

Exchange

Chicago Board of Trade

Offices

Santa Barbara

Monterey —Oakland — Sacramento
:7/-/:-//
Fresno




banks

National

limited

has

United States
to

place none of their demand de¬
posits in mortgages and a maxi¬
mum
of 60% of their time de¬

In New York State, banks
charter axe similarly

posits.
under

state

31,

1947,

ciation in
has

possession a Dec.
statement of an asso¬
my

suburban district that

a

to $22 million in 11
years and whose growth has been
from $9 million in 1945 to $15
million in 1946 and to $22 million
grown

the- financial world is known.

but have the word 'banking'

in

even

With Wm.
(Special

to

WEST
Claude
Wm.

Building.

Financial

PALM

J.

S.

The

" Beeken

Chronicle)

BEACH, FLA.—

D'Angio
Beeken

Co.

is now with
Co.,; Guaranty

it,

invested

000

This

in

association

first

mortgages.

shows

$865,000

$2,851,000 in
government
bonds, but it also
shows
borrowed
money
in the
cash

sum

Dec.

on

its

and

Its dividend on
31, 1947, was at the rate of

of

21/2%.

Jn

hand

$2,200,000.

customers

in

the

due to

statement

sense.

.

Banker":

ican

Federal

is

"It

not

ciations.

date to be in

Federal

in

in the association with which I

so

presently

We

connected.

merely let the public know in lit¬
customarily employed by

tle ways

financial

other
we are

institutions

that

public

cial

as

Small

to

print

statement

banking

our

pn our

tells

the

If

anyone,

inquires

finan¬
ireaeier
as

.our

the public the difference between

bank deposit and a savings, end
-share. If the public knows

a

ment

is buying

ex¬

and

knows

plains that the customer is buy¬

time /invest¬
the insufr

is payable,

the banks,-

.

.

....

'

■

v

;,//

7

:•

,

v/?

■

7J/<7

'/'.V

G. Brashears Co. Adds
•

(Special
.

to

The

Financial

South

-

Chronicle)

ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬

LOS

of

ex¬

a

how

there can be no
danger to either the Federal' Savrings and Loan Associations:or to
ance

to

Associa¬

(I wonder whether he

;

that

run
dignified adver¬
acknowledging the place
Savings and Loan Associa¬
tions in the picture of finance,
but definitely and clearly -teeing

staff

tion."

cus¬

,

tising

of

Loan

,

Association

A., Waitkus

and

bank

of the

liam

Savings

the

recommend

plain the purposes and functions
a

course

is buying.

would

I

gaged in, we tell him 'savings and
banking,' and proceed to

which

vestment

tomer

what kind of banking we are en¬

loan

Loan
only
clear under¬
and

of

standing of the nature of the ion-

that we are a, -banking organiza¬
tion.'

can

be accompanied by a

that- it

is, for example, lettering

the front doors which informs

the.

investment

an

loan

in the banking business.

"There

position to suggest

Savings

shares but this

tion

am

a

their customers

to

neces¬

for example, that an -institu¬
even
put in print the fact
that it is in the 'saving and loan
banking business.' ' We do not do

banks of deposit «nd
Savings and Loan Asso¬
I hope that our banks

Willifind,^

sary;

:

listing the liability

technical

why- this in¬
dustry should not call its business
'savings ;and loan banking'/;/
I
quote further
from the *same
speech published in the "Amer¬

hours.

$18,775,-

a

I -can see no reason

date in

question showed $19,180,-

though most of them

not banks in

are

on

000 in share accounts and

between

All

,

name

hope that it may ultimately
by close cooperation

be followed

the. others »no.t only have such a

1947, a growth from $9 million to
million in two years.
This
same association on the statement
$22

1 also

today .that does not have a /gen¬
eral name by which its section of

in

Pacific Coast Exchanges /

Schwabacher & Co.

/

Financial Chronicle)

ORLEANS, LA.—George
Gagnet is with Schweickhardt,

E.

■;

The

NEW
P.

New

and

a

The Congress of the

I have in

Securities
;

which

cated.

'

Orders Executed

amount of mort¬
Federal Savings
Loan Association may make.
aggregate

gages

CHICAGO, ILL.—Max Nedwick
restricted,
the
yardstick being
has opened offices at 211 West'
based on the population of the
Wacker Drive to conduct a secjir
area in which the bank is Lo¬
rities business.

Pacific Coast

the

I know of

in the law which limits

nothing

G.

has

joined the

Brashears &

Co,, 510
-

Spring Street, members .of

the Los

Angeles Stock Exchange.

&

THE-COMMERCIAL

Number 4714

-Volume 168

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

chased

Outlines Steps Toward Currency
:
Multilateral
v

(Continued from

■

►were

,

that
the
the increase in
exports, must go to the Western
Hemisphere, although part can go
to other regions that may be able
to pay in dollars.

9)

page

pected.

problem!

whi<±i resulted in a restriction of
Imports.
But this level of *pro«4
js iar from enough in thcj
of Europe's needs.
Industrial efficiency in Europe must be

V/jducbon

past year almost
none
of
the
30%' increase
in
Western European exports went

increased and output expanded if

%

Europe is not

,

to remain

ciency economy.

•

v,

,,

a

defi-j

'A

,

to

for increasing their efficiency and

i

modernizing < their
production;
\'.They have devoted a very large
; oi; • theiry current -output 'M
capital investment in agriculfuira
». and
industry. - Despite the fact
.that the standard of living in most
«.of Europe is below, and in some
,1 countries considerably below, the!
i

v

prewar * level, •, restrictions
havd
been maintained on consumption

,

.

J. in order-to give preference to in-

Indeed, the exception -

jvestment.

.* 1 ally large
-has been
>

volume of investment
major factor causing

a

inflationary

,

pressure

in most Eu-

tVxopeaircountries. - In the past two
.i

the ratio of investment to

years

^-national, income

has

been

far

^greater in Western Europe than
even in... such
countries: as the!
,

'United States and Canada.

-

Western

In¬

.

^graun :should enable the European
countries to do this.

;1

It remains
nevertheless, for Euuse these resources
in

necessary,

to

rope

J projects that will increase output
promptly.

must

Preference

be

to investment that
will decrease the abnormal dependence. of Europe on imports
given,

>
.

f

first,

the Western Hemisphere;
second, to investment that
Will provide exports to the dollar

."from
!

and,

J

area or

f

parity to earn dollars may be ex¬

to :bther areas whose ca-

'

pected* to increase*
vj

oVS:0. ■

p

v

*

^

^
-3

< :;4

'

lowance

t

Increased Exports

"Even

a

considerable

increase

In ^ductioh; if ft can be attained
In the next few years, will not
enable the European countries to
raise significantly their present
.' standard of living. [ Part of thd
increased production will have to
1
replace their present abnorihal
imports.
The European countries
must give consideration to sup¬
plying 'themselves and Cach other
with'more- of the goods which they
'have recently been getting from

v

*

>•

J

'

*

the United States and other West¬
ern Hemisphere source
On th£
other hand, most of the increased
■

will have to be ear¬
marked for export.
There is no
.doubt that Europe has a will to
[ do ~this.' ~ In 1947 the volume or
exports of the countries of Westf
em Europe Increased by 30 % as
compared with J9.4(3; it is now just
below the prewar volume.
Th$
,-proportionr of. their exports to,ih+
[ dustrial production is slightly less
production

*

-

.

i

than before the war.

.

is

the

and

To strength-

price. This

this

for

made

factor

in

Europe

p their ability: tosurvive. in the ffcf
•;f|ure depends bn their capacity to
*

;
1

export. The export drive in the
United
Kingdom
has
become
something of a national crusade.
And in other countries, top, the

*

importance of exporting is recog'

by government and business
alike and the expansion of exnized

sports has become
*

■

r

a

major objec-

tive of national economic policy,
is not

to

enough for Europe
increase exports. The increase

In

exports imist be to areas, from

•ii But

it

which dollar

payments can be ex¬




in the period just
when the United

was

war,

and

Canada

the

in

were

reconversion.

of

Every¬
enormous de¬

rather crestfallen. 'Business is be¬

fact

countries

the

that

European
eager to restore

were

increase

an

in

exports to these
explained wholly
by those facts. The higher-priced
cannot be

areas

markets of Europe

gions

tractive

and other re¬

undoubtedly

were

than

the

more

at-*

competi¬

more

tive lower-priced markets of the
Western Hemisphere. But it is no
solution for the European pay¬

problem

dollar

deficit

have

to

with

the

a

large

Western

Hemisphere
with

and

other

with other

large surplus
the surplus

a

if

areas

must be financed

areas

terribly difficult here,'
they told me. I replied: 'Did you

coming

think the

former

could

situation

last forever?' In my opinion many

European

industries, by cutting
margins, by improv¬
technical, organization

down profit

their

ing

edy;

con-1

and

sometimes

remedy at all.

goods from European sources. But
if European countries are to sell
in the Western Hemisphere they

nied

a

tive to their Western Hemisphere
customers.
And—as I mentioned

is

is

not

a

accompa¬

.

government

their prices until they are attrac¬

it

preceded by internal fis¬
credit reform. For if a

or

cal and

will have to lower their costs and

it

Devaluation is not

unless

remedy

devalues

.

without

having been strong enough to stop
the current inflation, its action
will only add to the existing in*flation.

It needs about

as

much

earlier—if this should prove to be

energy to make a 'good' devalua¬

exchange rates ought
to be adjusted until they are ade¬
quate to induce the flow of Euro¬
pean
exports to the American

tion

markets'.

achieved toward international sta¬

necessary,

' v';. '

"Coming back to the subject, I
that before anything can be

say

again, I would utter a
Monetary ad¬
justment—devaluation—is not, in
every case, the only possible rem¬
caution.

of

prevent thqlieed for

one.

"But here

word

to

as

bility, Europe must attain inter¬
nal

financial

take

measures

eration of

new

stability;

it

must

to prevent the gen¬

inflation."

Status of Fuel Oil
(Continued from

this.impact and still meet full
restricted

un¬

8)

inexorably

requirements. ment

domestic

Availability

page

toward
last

of >

improve¬

an

winter's

fuel

oil

?

(b) • The oil industry cannot problem. Competitive alertness is
successfully assume the additional keeping the oil industry in the
foreiront of this nation's industrial
energy load that would be thrown
expansion. The production, trans¬
upon it
by another coal strike
You know and I know that the portation, and refining phases of
strike in the

early months of 1946

of the

greatest stimulants
to installation of oil heating. The

was one

the industry have achieved mar¬
velous results;The oil burn& Jfi-

dustry is facing more serious com¬
industry has struggled val~ petition from manufacturers of
to
utilize
petitive prices than they now are. iently ever since, trying to catch equipment, designed
'
'
'
other fuels.
Other steps may in some cases up with that abnormal impact on
The oil burner industry is mak¬
prove necessary but the first ones demand.
have to be taken anyhow.
(c) A war requiring substan¬ ing a direct contribution by de¬
"It has often been argued that tially increased drains of petro¬ voting its sales and advertising
emphasis primarily to the replace¬
Europe can never sell enough of leum products from the civilian
its exports for dollars, and the market would require not only a ment market. Burner repair men
are
attempting to reduce fuel
United States is held up as the restricted American consumption
oil consumption
by introducing
horrible example of a country that of petroleum, but would necessi¬
their

and

distribution

could come much

system,

to

nearer

com¬

oil

correspondingly
forced greater efficiency in units previ¬
to the coal industry to ously installed. Further, :I am - in¬
formed that your engineers have
with
the
Western
Hemisphere ropean countries' to sell export meet energy requirements.
made and are making strides in
must be financed by credits from
goods to the United States was
I ask you to continue the list of
achieving
greater
burner
effi¬
the United States and Canada—
less significant than their failure
possible disrupting influences and
The . results
of
these
as has been the case too.
to sell -export goods to Canada consider the effect of a railroad ciency.
been

the

from

Europe-Has

case—while

the

has

deficit

Europe Export ior Dollars?

wholly unwarranted
in .some
European

pessimism
countries

on

their capacity to ex¬

port, to the Western Hemisphere.
Hemisphere provides

The Western

Actually,

in 1947 the failure of Western Eu¬

and Latin

Can

I "There, is a

far

won't buy from Europe.

-America.1; In 1947 the

exports of six Western European
countries (the United Kingdom,
France, Belgium, Netherlands,
Denmark
and
Norway)
to the
Western Hemisphere
were
only
40% of their prewar proportion

receptive markets for in these same markets. If these six
imports from all countries than countires had maintained their
more

1947 the

before. In

ever

United

States, Canada and Latin America

in vol¬
In fact,
available
easily, and in the case of

imported about 30%
if

more

than before the

supplies

more

had

war.

been

prewar proportion
markets they could

in the dollar
have exported
$625 million more of their prod¬
ucts to the United States and $975

million

Canada

to

more

America.

Latin

As

you

to

and

the

see,

Canada and Latin America if the

failure of Europe to maintain ex¬

supplies could have been acquired

ports

without payment in U. S. dollars,
the volume of imports would have

Canada

been

greater. Such favorable

even

markets

than

to

America

Latin

even

was

failure

its

to

and to
marked

more

maintain

ex¬

ports to the United States.
European Costs and Prices

needed foreign exchange, for Eu¬

be found, no¬
where else iri the world. The task
ropean exports can

"I repeat,

the big 30b for Eu¬

rope is to produce and sell more
of European countries during the
goods in the Western Hemisphere.
next few years. is to get their; I do not say it is an easy job. A
share of. these markets, to pro¬
great many things are produced
duce the goods that can be sold, in the
Western Hemisphere at
and .to offer them at prices that
very low prices, on account of the
will attract buyers.
abundance of raw material and

"I believe it

can

be done. In the

the

five years before

the war, 14; of
the countries of Europe partici¬
pating in the ERR (Turkey and
Portugal omitted), supplied 20.5%
of the total imports of the United

large volume

of production.

"What has made European com¬

petition possible, nevertheless, in
the past?
Specialization in some
industries, and, in general, lower
cost of production, due especially
States. In 1947 these same coun? to low wages. A good deal of this
tries provided only 10.8% of the
advantage in costs has gone, for
total. The experience in Canada reasons—shall we
say political or
Latin

is

America

the

much

I

social?

elimination

do
of

not

advocate
social

these

the

serv¬

ices, we cannot go back in that,
but

other

of

means

restoring

Europe's cost advantage must be
exports in found and I am sure will be found.
1947 would have been about $1.8
"If the European, countries .are
billion greater than they were. I
to achieve; their objective to ma,ke
am fully aware of the difficulties
of Europe a. Self-sustaining econto European exports as a conse¬
omy with internal
balance be¬
quence of the building up of in¬
tween production and demand and
dustrial production in Canada and
the

war

their

dollar

.

Latin

America

and

of

external

with

the

ex¬

balance

between

foreign

exchange
receipts and
payments, they will have to find
States and of the lack of raw ma¬
some way
of making their ex¬
terial in Europe itself. I do not
ports competitive in the Western
arguethat : there isanything
Hemisphere.
The United States
magical
in
Europe's supplying has never been more
willing to
precisely the prewar proportion of
buy import
goods
than
today.
WesternHemisphere imports.- I Neither Canada nor Latin Amer¬

panded production of the United

do believe that Europe can do

better in the next few years
will concentrate on

far

ica

has

any

special

If it for importing- from

producing the

States

goods

that

preference

the

can

tate

a

stimulus

strike

tying up coal movement to
markets, curtailed steel availabil¬

like that a':
relaxation of export

another disaster

ity,

Texas

City,

a

limitations of petroleum, an un¬
usually severe winter as was ex¬
perienced last year, a maritime

strike,

ably

rr^ean

etc.

reduced

a

growth* of demand

of

rate

for

distillate

fuel oil in the future.
Conclusion

The

conclusions

in temporary suspen¬ discussion

now

sion, etc.,

changes, worked out in a freely
competitive, market, tyill inescap¬

The oil

appear

•

this

"of

self

-

brief

evident.

industry will provide al¬

My whole thesis at this point is

most 10% more petroleum in the
attention one ines¬ first half of 1948 than it did dur¬
capable conclusion—that the oil ing the same period of last year.
industry has and is straining tc Thus far, demand has grown by
its utmost to bring to the Ameri¬ a lesser
amount so that some res¬
can
public every possible barrel toration of abnormally low inven¬

to call to your

of oil that

can

be made available.

absorb

cannot

It

abnormal

any

shock to the energy

must, from" now

balance. Coal
on, take its full

tories haS been achieved.

inventory

Further

growth is needed to
supply problems

local

eliminate

at the peak of the winter season.
in energy re¬ Supplies will probably remain
quirements. Hence, it isn't only tight for some months to come.;
important in terms of national se¬
Greater reliance must be placed
curity that we stock-pile petro¬ on coal to
carry its full share of
leum but that we also stock-pile
the nation's energy load in the
energy sources that can be stored
future. Coal today constitutes the
in piles above the ground—coal.
cushion which must absorb any

share of the growth

willing and able to pay

[: eh ; their -balance of payments;
', European countries must not only same.. If these countries could
have supplied the same propor?
increase production, but raise contion of the imports of the Western
Isidri*ably the prop orti on of output
Hemisphere countries t as before
•"that is exported.
that

the

States

«*

there is
Will to export; Nowhere
'( are people more conscious that

they could ex¬

as

the

On

or

their customary trade connections,
it still remains true that so large

and

"I'

much textiles

port, I won't say at any price, but
certainly at a very comfortable

Europe.

trary, their own dollar position
predisposes them to seek these

39

•

ume

*-

as

Within

areas.

with active

cope

omy; and the flow of goods un- by credits

*

selling to the Western Hemisphere

Europe, to where there was an
latent infla¬ mand for everything, one of the
sellers'
market
ever
tion, some countries have found strongest
This sellers' market has
it desirable io keep goods at' home seen.
and to attract imports from other been gradually disappearing. The
areas as a means of dealing with
awakening was bound to come. 1
the pressure of excessive demand saw these same businessmen in
New York six months ago, looking
at home. But even when full al¬
ciated

♦

J- tier the European Recovery Pro4

than two years had been

more

process

.

•

for

after

ments

"The - continued expansion of
production in Europe will require
•the completion of this program
for rebuilding the European econ¬

i.

Hemisphere.

have myself seen business¬
Western Europe- who

"I

men irom

in trade with dependent and asso¬

countries are
conscious of the need

extremely

the

the

offering

right export goods and
right prices.

them at the

stead, the increased exports were
used in trade within Europe and

j

"The / European

'!■
y

.t

means

of

part

"During

light

.

This

greater

Winter

-severe

and the critical payments

.

;- ^

;

it not for the

Stabilization and

in

(135)

United
be

pur¬

Petroleum Supplies
;

and Domestic

impetus

abnormal

upon

energy

requirements.

Oil Burners

i

The oil industry is deeply con¬
scious

of

the fact that reports

the hard facts

of

regarding petroleum

supplies have a serious effect upon
the market for domestic; oiLburp^
ers. The oil burner industry gen¬

Joins Pearson-Richards
(Special

to

The

Chkonicle) h

Financial

ANGELES, CALIF. —
Charles A. Kent has become affil¬
erally has [ recognized the serious iated with Pearson-Richards &
nature
of fuel supply
problems Co., 448 South Hill Street. He
and

has

cooperated to a tremen¬
Your sales are reg¬

dous extent.

what

istering

must

declines

serious

be

from

both with respect to

to

last

you
year

LOS

was

previously

with

Leimert-

Krieger & Co. and First Califor¬
nia Company.

central heat¬

ing installations and space heat¬
With Hayden, Stone Co.
ers.
The proportion going into
William O. Pearson is now as¬
replacement of older, less effi¬
cient units is encouraging to an sociated with the New York Stock
oil
man.
These obviously
are
Exchange firm of Hayden, Stone
eliminating some of the worst oil
& Co., 25 Broad Street, New York
hogs in existence last year. I do
not

believe the oil industry can City, as a registered representa¬

advise

how

many

stallations it

can

additional in¬

thafi it can advise all other manu*

consuming
much they should

facturers of petroleum
devices

how

tive.

-

•

serve, any more

Bateman, Eichler Adds
(Special

LOS

to Th*

Financial

Chuonicl*)

ANGELES, CALIF.—Rob¬

on.
This is a responsibility ert VV Carey has been, added to
beyond that which should be as¬ the staff of Bateman, Eichler &

plan

sumed

I do

in

a

competitive society. Co.,

b^eve^ however, that

petitive

conditions

are

453.

South

Spring

Street,

members of the Los Angeles Stock

working Exchange.

40

THE

(136)

Our

Reporter

on

COMMERCIAL

(Continued from

By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR.

without

could

we

not

op¬

$20,000 in
railroad plant and equipment for
each man or woman employed.
As representatives of the own¬

mid-year investment demand failed to firm prices of Treas¬
obligations because the psychological and technical position of
one of uncertainty.
The fear of lower prices
.

which

He has invested

erate.

The

.

of

13)

page

He supplies the wheels,

go round.

ury

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

.

for Treasury

obligations that came with the offering of Savings Bonds ers of the railroads, the investors
investors, has not as yet passed.
.
The decline this in their securities, it is our task
time is attributed to concern over "pegs" and the international to see that there is
enough money
situation.
Quotations receded again on light volume especially in the till after paying .necessary
in the eligibles.
The market for government obligations is about expenses to compensate the own¬
as "professional" now as it has been in a long time and this means
ers
and lenders
adequately for
the use of the funds they have
sharp movement on both sides on restricted activity.
to institutional

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

some $23 million of bonds with a maturity of more than five
and $7 million due in less than five years.
.
This is not
.

.

for stability in the market, when the stakes in the
Savings Bond drive may run a billion more or less. * . .
mented in

marketable

of

purchases

issues might 'be augthe end of the period, so that the

sizable way near

a

payments for market equilibrium may not be
reports indicate.

.

.

favorable

as

•

first

as

ket

through the

Bonds

15th at

least,

so

that subscriptions to

an answer

.

.

bids

when

practically

were

.

.

due in less than five years

by the money managers.

ried

.

.

the

gross

expecting

The election is

a

an

...

revenues

are

of

traffic

is

with

for

.

inti¬

the

securities that do not

marketable

let them

the

•

ciation

income

net

roads

that

In

same

.

even

looking for

.

of

year,

14cents

the

.

slightly firmer

.

money market.

as

no

.

,

♦

the

rail¬

priceless
important

a
an

defense, to be

eco¬
arm

pre¬

1942, the

the

railroads

of

prior

peak,

of the

were

It

be

/

;

r

will

0

be

issued

2.70%, according to maturity. They motives, and eight sleeping cars.

a

thoughtful
financially

more

an

per

last year, 1947, moved more

confused

They moved more
tons more miles than in any year
of peace—46% more than in the

this, it

as

revenue

with

the

investment.

on

prewar

take

in

peak

year

of 1929.

They

moved more tons of coal than ever

is not

rate

were

and

road

as

that the planned

ting

day by day cut¬
may leave too
margin performs a signif¬

of

cloth

the

small

a

icant

service.

fidence

and

has

If he

the

con¬

backing of his chief

executive

quired
will

be

officer, so that any re¬
cutting of expenditures
done before the margin
and

narrows,

afterwards, he

not

becomes one of the most effective
in

forces
to the

to

a fair return
who put up his money,
the plant or buy .the

securing

man

build

tools.

The

margin

for

vestor

must

become

greater than

it

is

today.

in¬

the

To the' accomplish¬
objective, budgetary

controls which really control cart
constitute one of the most impor¬
tant steps.

Your wise and experi¬

enced group can, and I believe
will, do much to make it a real*

Bennett, Spanier Go.

i

Contest Closes
CHICAGO, ILL.-—The experiof Bennett, Spanier & Co.,

ment

i 05 South La Salle Street, with a
type of appeal to the trading

new

fraternity seems to have had
very gratifying response.
In

an

oversized

postcard,

a

cir¬

culated

generally among invest¬
ment dealers, they offered several
prizes, totaling $200, calculated to
make the statisticians thumb their

manuals with renewed vigor.

Up to this writing, no claimant
appeared for the first prize

prospects than Portsmouth

Steel.

Three other prizes were

offered
"Why Ports¬
mouth Steel, common, is an out*
for: letters

entitled

standing purchase."
number

A

of

very

interesting

replies have been received, and a

of the winning letter will be
furnished on request after entries
have been; judged.
copy

SEC Invites Views

on

|

Proxy Changes

moved

before.

rules

has

and

invited

comments

and criticisms from all interested

parties to
July 30.
The

be

submitted

suggested

before?

changes of the?.
a corporation

SEC would permit

a stockhold¬
proposal if it is determined
such
proposal
was
made
merely for. personal motives.
It

management to reject
er's

that

■:

They suc¬ would also relieve
management of
without loss or the
requirement to consider a pro¬
spoilage, the greatest wheat crop posal if less than 3% of votes at a
in the history of the world.
And
previous annual or special meet¬
right now they are beginning to
ing favored substantially the same
move
the second greatest wheat
proposal.
Another proposal is an

of

cessfully moved,

For every

railroads

the

tons

than were ever loaded before in
any one year.

audience

dollar of gross

be

what they will do in
The railroads

the years to come.

operating
revenues
each
year, there must be maintained a
permanent investment of nearly
$3 in railroad plant and equip¬

/

any

record of the railroads is ir

ance

dollar

to provide for not exceeding 80%
Halsey, Stuart & Co
Inc., on
of the cost, estimated at
$2,200,296,
July 1 publicly offered $1,760,000
of
new
standard-gauge railroad
Louisiana & Arkansas Ry. 2%%
equipment consisting of two 4-1500
equipment trust certificates, se¬
ries C, at prices to yield 1.45% to h. p. Diesel, electric freight loco¬




above

will mature. $88,000

The certificates

to

only

transportation costs and still
efficient
service
certainly

Jan.

.

that

earnest of

to

clusive.

Equipments Offered

is able

come

better

evident

plish
low
cost
transportation,
earnings must come first; lower

is hardly necessary to point out
that this 6V2 cents in net income

year.

semi-annually
1, 1949 to July 1, 1958, in¬

The accounting officer
so to budget the in¬
expenditures of his rail¬
to detect the first sign

outgo.

who

is

railroads can earn them or attrac
them as investments.
To accom¬

But the

return

Louisiana & Arkansas

and

of $100, which was offered for the
name
of
any
steel stock with

observer

and

the

To such

accounts largely for the better tone in these
Some of these purchases have been made from

part

cloth

has

rest of this year.

...

the proceeds of sales of intermediate and
long eligibles that

early

national

that

The

there will be

cut that

greater margin between intake

a

Stability Means
Low Cost Transportation

than 6 Vz cents per dollar of
will carry through to net in¬
come, and this assumes that there
will be no shutdowns in major
traffic-producing
industries
the

attractive
,

the

fact

constitute

our

gross

imme¬

corporate loans and marketable obligations are available.
This is the important reason why the ineligibles are not
getting
too much professional attention.
On the other hand, Sav¬
ings Banks have been rather sizable buyers of the restricted

bought

the

more

.

.

long

.

further increase:

or

also

.

Insurance companies continue on the sale side and
diate reversal of this trend is anticipated as

that

order

of the accounts,
a
larger portion

operating ratio will
will
the war levels,
The Securities and Exchange
follow.'
probably exceeding 77%. On such
Commission has made public sev¬
a
The present peacetime perform¬ eral proposed changes in its proxy
basis, it is expected that not

they are of the opinion that the Cost of
getting these funds is going to increase.
They believe that
greater pressure will be brought to bear on the inflation spiral which

.

de¬
em¬

into

year

war

revenues

1948.

.

to obtain in the market and

this

of

nomic asset and

prior to the second

have increased beyond
high levels attained dur¬
ing the war, and, as previously
stated, may reach $10 billion in

v

;•" A

rates in the future with short-term rates expected to
go to iy4% by the fall.
These concerns have substantial amounts

.

of

$902 mil¬ stable industry can produce low
Lower costs
12.1% of gross. In 1943, cost transportation.
gross revenues increased to $9,100 can be attained only through im¬
million but net declined to $873 proved
operating methods
and
million, or 9.7% of gross. In 1944, technological progress. These ben¬
gross increased again
to $9,400 eficial developments can be had
million but net. dropped to $667 only through plant improvements
which cost large sums, and such
million, or 7.1% Of gross.
Since the close of the war, gross funds cannot be had unless .the

money

and

classes

the net income reached

until

out

Financial officers of many American corporations are

bonds,

even

faced with

Here is where the public should
be aroused to a recognition of the
fact
that the railroads are
not

gross

revenues

securities.

are

most

Financial

lion,

although less weakness is looked for in these securities

because subscriptions are limited to $100,000.

.

from

in wage rates.
With the present
wide disparity between gross and
net income, any addition to the

close to

come

greatest

During the

the last minute in order to pay for the Savings Bonds.. . Again
the bank-eligibles are getting most of the attention from this

a

operating cost

not be the end
increased costs.

on

railroads

ployees for

this year

In

1941,

translate

exceeded

They feel there should be selling of outstanding issues at that
time, because of additional interest that can be picked up by

will result in

increase

average

this may

the .story

mands

general

of

War.

to

gross

.

.

higher

come

control

gent

ment of that

And

v

The

net.

.

AAA;

to

Such a relative increase in oper¬
ating costs means an addition to
the operating costs of the railroads
of more than $3%
billion per

of

car¬

the

year

any

able

nature, are short-range buyers and sell¬
they too are giving greater consideration to near-term devel¬
opments.
They are concerned at the moment with the period
through July 15, since there may be an opportunity to make a fast
turn in the market.
Some of the "professionals" are selling on
strength, believing they should be in a position to rebuild holdings
the last three days of the subscription period. . .

NOTES

weighted

years

1929, for each dollar of gross rev¬ served and permitted to prosper in
enues taken in, the railroads were
the public interest.

Traders and dealers, by

of

of

to

low

a

World

and

.

may

1923

million,

INSIDE THE MARKET

.

several

costs.

a

of the railroads amounted to $897

fall event that will probably not bring about

any radical changes in debt management or money rates, but why
take any chances at this time seems to be the attitude now,
.
,

.

for

railroads ranged
$3,100 million in
1933 to a high of $6,400 million in simply aii aggregate of
private en¬
1926.
In
1929
gross
revenues
terprises to be1 regulated as a
amounted to $6,300 million.
But measure of protection to the pub¬
in that same year the net income lic.
There must be public appre¬

not unmindful that another

1/4 % certificate rate in the not distant future.

effect

yet

that traffic is

railroads

from

are

% of 1% which will remain in

fact

not

are

identified

revenues

increase in loans to maintain earnings
(the last) upping of reserve
requirements is probably just around the corner. *. . . Other
mild credit restrictive measures are also anticipated such as
They

are

Strin¬

of the railroads.

revenues

,

with

Volume

.

From

\

.

to

$10 billion, the greatest" gross in
history.
How does this record present high operating costs will
compare with the past quarter of aggravate the already serious fi¬
a century?
nancial problem.

difficult but also of rather questionable value.
This applies mainly to the deposit banks, and it is resulting in a short¬
ening of maturities, especially among the larger institutions in the
.

pace

factors has been calculated at 77%.

1948, the gross revenues of Amer¬

tions not only very

group,

rec¬

Comfortable

economic conditions.

Money market followers are giving more and more attention to
short-range predicting in the government market because of the real¬
ization that the confused conditions make long-term prognostica¬

holders

faced

railroads

ican

ers

services

striving for these objectives,

are

mately

V.

.

CAUTION

but

in

Yet

rates at which

support levels of certain of the bank obligations
have been revised, which might account for purchases of bonds

.

the

.

.

have

faster

than have the rates for transporta¬
tion services. Since 1939, the aver¬

since 1939 in these

Railroad

It could be that

group.

for

product of volume of traffic times

non-existent.

operation

much

a

that annum.,
* A .'.AAs a partial offset to the in¬
in a
comfortable
financial
position, creased costs, the Interstate Com¬
and until they are, you and I, as merce Commission has
authorized
management representatives, can increased rates and fares but they
never
regard ourselves as com¬ are less than $3 billion and fall
short of offsetting the increased
pletely successful.

Accordingly there is considerable talk that shorter maturi¬
days

at

The

ties of the eligible taxables were taken on by "the authorities in
weak

rail

of

You

management.

the

to the purchase of $7 million

of these securities matures in less than five years.

the

Costs

increased

broken down, and they
going to break down,
v
accounting officers head
the departments charged with the
protection and conservation of the
not

not

are

so

In

.

.

to
na¬

tional needs.

have

must be

we

.

•of bonds due in less than five years, by the Federal Reserve Banks
last week.
Acquisitions were supposed to have been mainly
in the tap bonds, since they were down to pegged prices, but none
.

improvements necessary
keep themselves abreast of

the

railroad

operation,

Financial Position

then there should be

to continue to make

are

the

the gloomy predictions
uninformed, the railroads

; : Despite
of

the cost of railroad materials

Not

.

invest¬

new

wage rate of all classes
oi
railroad employees has risen 75%

duty to effect

our

satisfactory
ord of net earnings.

A steady to buoyant Treasury market would seem to need no
help from the authorities, since it is reported theyv come into the
market only when support levels are approached.
Assuming this
to be so,

railroads

of

day tbat

by.

goes

age

NEW SUPPORT LEVEL?

.

conditions.

should have if the

we

each year with a

Savings

.

.

.

attract the inflow
ment which

And they

gaining in efficiency and car¬

are

invest¬ rying capacity with every

net

on

current

This return will be insufficient to

which the railroads render, all for
the purpose of closing our books

by institutions will not be affected by unfavorable price

trends.

under

time of Pearl Harbor.

and

is
in

compensation

It is believed in most quarters of the fi-

.

nancial district that the powers that be want a firm stable mar¬

v

only- about 4*/4%
ment

revenues

return of

a

onslaught on our traffic by com¬ and supplies has increased 94%,
peting agencies of transport, many while payroll taxes are now about
of which are subsidized by pub¬ 9% greater than they were in 1939.
lic funds. It is our job, as owner after taking into account the re¬
representatives, to obtain from cent reduction in unemployment
regulatory agencies fair rates of compensation tax rates from 3%

support operations last week

too much to pay

However,

gross

reduce

It

economies

.

of

represent

debt and lessen fixed charges.
It
is our obligation to combat the

invested.
RESERVE BUYING

bought

dollar

would

in
of
railroad gross revenues will findl
its way into net is the watchword
of the day in .your great part in

.

years,

each

and

.

The Federal Reserve Banks in their

Thursday, July 8, 1948

Financial Problems of Railroads

Governments

the market is still

&

in

gross

crop ever

known. i>;

extension of the data already in
is not all.
The rail¬ proxy statements regarding of¬
carrying through to net income roads now have a larger number ficers' and directors' remuneration
6V2 cents per dollar of gross, the of serviceable freight cars, more to include information on
public
net railway operating income, be¬ passenger cars, and better motive
payments made to them for serv¬
fore
fixed
and
miscellaneous' power—in short, greater carrying ices in other
capacities by the corcharges, would be about 10 cents capacity—than .they had at the
ment.

,

;

If in 1948

if/-*>

t •

.

j

<:

we

•'

•

do succeed in

'

* '

> '» I

And

i

this

*■*■»■»

*

•«

*

«l

»«*«••«

■*:

»

poratio.n,.

.

.

*

*

,M

■

li

*

,

Volume 168

Number 4714

THE COMMERCIAL &

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

(137)

Indicationsf of Current Business Activity
Year

Ago

ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS:
Revenue

i

freight loaded

(number

of

cars)

j^venue freight rec'd from connections (number
CIVIL

ENGINEERING
RECORD:

CONSTRUCTION,
•

■

;*.

Total U. S. construction———...

I

Private

of cars)

ENGINEERING

NEWS

•

,

•

.

construction

Public

construction

State

and

Federal

ZZZZZZZZ,
ZZZZZZZ

municipal

——

COAL OUTPUT

(U.

S.

.

BUREAU

Z

I

_______

OF

MINES)

Bituminous coal and lignite (tons)
Pennsylvania anthracite (tons)
Beehive coke (tons)..
:

.

.

BEPARTMENT

f

STORE

INDEX—FEDERAL
AVERAGE=100

TEM—1935-3!)

EDISON

output

FAILURES

(in

SYS

000 kwh.)

(COMMERCIAL

STREET,

BRON

RESERVE

ELECTRIC INSTITUTE:

Eectric

.

SALES

AGE

INC,

-

AND

INDUSTRIAL)—DUN

&

BRAD

_

COMPOSITE

PRICES

Finished

steel

1

Pig iron

(per

l

Scrap steel (per gross ton)

(per lb.)
gross ton)

METAL PRICES

(E.

&

.June 29

M.

J.

3.24473c

3.24473c

2.85664c

.June 29

$40.53

$40.53

$33.15

.June 29

___

$40.66

$40.66

$35.58

QUOTATIONS)

Electrolytic copper—

Domestic reiinery at

I

..June 30

!

Export refinery at
i

Straits

tin

(New

York)

..June 30

at

..June 30

f Lead (New York) * at————;L_—^

Lead (St. Louis)

;

!

Zinc

(East St.

at

..June 30
..June 30

_

Louis)

at

..June 30

STOODY'S BOND PRICES DAILY AVERAGES

I!

D. S. Govt. Bonds
Average

corporate

Aaa

-

Aa

I

Baa
Railroad
Public

Group

Utilities

Industrials

Group.

Group

MOODY'S BOND
U.

S.

YIELD DAILY AVERAGES

Govt. Bonds

Average corporate——..—.,—;,

-

Aaa

;

Aa

,

Baa

.

Railroad
Public

Group

Utilities

Industrials

MOODY'S

COMMODITY INDEX

RATIONAL

FERTILIZER

INDEX

ITY

Foods

BY

ASSOCIATION—WHOLESALE

COMMOD

GROUPS—1935-39—100:

■

Fats

Farm

■M

Group.

Group

oils

and

products

Cotton

Grains

Livestock
Fuels..

I; Miscellaneous

commodities

Textiles—
Metals—

Building materials
Chemicals

Fertilizer

drugs

and

materials

—

Fertilizers—_____
Farm

All

machinery
groups

RATIONAL
Orders

combined

PAPERBOARD

received

(tons)

Percentage

of

PAINT

.June 26
.June 26

;

.June 26

activity

Unfilled orders

®IL,

ASSOCIATION

(tons)

Production

(tons)

AND

.June 26

at

DRUG

PRICE

REPORTER

INDEX—1926-36

WHOLESALE PRICES—U. S. DEPT. OF LABOR—1926=100
All

.

*

commodities—

Farm

a—

products.———-T—-

;;

products
Fuel and lighting materials
Metal and metal products

:

i
•

.June 26
.June 26

—,

Textile

f

———

,

—

-Fbods_—i»^.U———L--——ii-—
Hides and leather products
—-J,—
—

.June 26

!june

23

June 26

.

June 25

'
—

—

Bluilding materials..———
Chemicals and allied products——

—————

.June 26

.June 26
.June 25
.June 26

Bousefurnishings goods
Miscellaneous commodities-——-—

.June 26

Bpecial groupsRaw

materials

—.

Semi-manufactured
Manufactured
All

..June 26

.

articles

products

..June 26
:

commodities other than farm products

All commodities other than farm products and foods
_

■

•Revised figure.

■




..June 26
..June 26

..June 28

41

42

(138)

THE

COMMERCIAL ' &

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Thursday, July 8, 1943

protection of the

Export Control: Instrument of Foreign Policy

(Continued from page 4)

quarter,

exporters

drop from 4% in the

a

for

the

who

commodity: from

previous three months.

importers
Export Control

t;

N

,

for

European

Shipments,

.

Even before the European ReProgram was maue law, t^e

in

firm

orders

a

two

single

or

List
more

European

On June 22 the validity
period of licenses for most non^
Positive List commodities for Eiil
country.

covery

from

shipments

ropean

Commerce

<

hold

non-Positive

same

changed

was

90

importer * in

of

European country

a

from

omy

domestic

econ¬

unwarranted drain
commodities.
Second,

an

scarce

conservation of limited dollar

ex¬

h conventional ;export change abroad (much of it pro¬
license application to tne
u.
S. vided by the American people un¬
Department of Commerce snow¬ der the European Recovery and
make

will

ing

his evidence of order? irom
tne European importer, including
the

number

of

authorization.

the

ECA

Neither

other aid

programs), by prevent¬
ing exports at clearly out-of-line

And third, the tendency

import prices.

tne-. n.CA

to war d

reestablishment

of a
competition in
;

to

and international situation are
be effective, there

must I be com¬

pliance with the control regula¬
Peacetime enforcement of
export controls involves a num¬
ber of difficulties not present dur¬

tions.

ing the war, when shipping con¬
trols, : the
blockade?, the pro**
claimed List of Blocked Nationals,,
.

and
vent

censorship all helped to pre¬
unauthorized diversion- of

exports.
*
'
;
I
days to six months. Fi*
any other government agency greater degree of
nally, " the Department has pub-i will guarantee the granting of an loreign trade.-Although controls and enforce¬
The use of price criteria, which ment were both minimized in the
lished in Current Export. Bulletin export license simply | because an
country Group, iw
Procedure, incorporated in cur¬ No. 452 a list of commodities which importer in an ERP country has were applied to Positive List early postwar period, the exten¬
rent Export Buiifcun imo.
received permission from his gov¬ commodities promptly after Con¬ sion of export controls to Feb. 28,
This may be shipped to Europe under
program, which became eliective general license, that is, without ernment to pay for a snipment gressional auxnorization, has un¬ 1949, made it necessary to develop
March 1, iy48, is specifically o.e- filing a license applicat.on. These with dollars.
In granting export questionably aided in the cam¬ procedures for more effective en¬
The
licenses
for shipments
Department
of
It has forcement.
signed to impieaiexiX our foreign are commodities in easy domestic
to
tnese paign .against inflation.
policy in three important respects. supply whose export will not be countries, the Office of Interna¬ eliminated many gray market ex¬ Commerce is I developing proce¬
dures to: ,1 ii -i; f■
counter to the foreign policy or
tional Trade will adhere to its port trarusactions* andihas retard¬
First, to prevent tne movement
ed! the .ex-port of goods abroad at
to any European destinat.cn oi the United States.
established standards.v
- (1) Provide a proper legal basis
Typical com¬
for both administrative and crirpThe
modities on this list are tobacco
excessive prices.
goods w.\" ose shipment would not
European Recovery Pro
Since price criteria became ef¬ inal
action
contribute to our national inter¬ ahd processed motion picture film; gram is more than a > plan ifof
under
the
Export
est; second, to speed to^ Wesief i.
building tip the factories • and fective at the beginning of tne Control Act, by broadening tne
Export Control Under the
faritfs. and transportation systems year certain administrative diffi¬ authority of the Commerce De¬
Europe the materials neeaed for
European Recovery
have
become
clear.
At partment and the Customs Bureau
of Europe. >One of the purposes culties
recovery in a manner calculated
Program
£ of this effort is to reconstruct the first it was believed that, other to investigate and dispose of al¬
to avoid the uneconomical use oi
At the same time that policies network
of
international
trade things being equal, price would leged violations^ .Sanctions of the
limited European purcnas.ng
'rpower; and, finally, to insure an and procedures were being devel¬ that was in large part destroyed be a major factor in selecting li¬ export control law: may then be
adequate flow of certain essential oped to handle shipments to East¬ by the war. International trade cense applications for approval. applied to many of the documents
imports from Eastern Europe to ern Europe, the Department oi can be rebuilt only if private Administratively and technically used in the export trade, such as
Western Europe
and the United Commerce has been working ii; businessmen in all parts of the it has proved both difficult and export
declarations,
manifests,
learn
once
States by arranging for specific close conjunction with the Eco¬ world
again to dc burdensome to use price in this and bills of lading*.
- »■ J \
'*
manner.
nomic
Cooperation
Administra¬ business with one another*
(2) Establish more secure li¬
exchanges, of commodities. V
At the same time, however, it censing practices by reducing the
The licensing of all shipments tion to establish procedures whici
The one sure way to delay the
facilitate
to Europe now subjects to control will
shipments
undei rebuilding of the structure of in¬ became evident that price criteria possibility of 'forgery or altera¬
trade
would
be
to can be used very effectively to tions in the license document, and
important additional segments of the European Recovery Program. ternational
license
our
applications by keeping closer control of the
export
trade.
Unlicensed While the administrative details place all the ERP business in the eliminate,
have not yet been completed, the
show .clearly
out-of-line document within the Commerce
hands of the participating govern¬ which
shipments to Europe in the fourth
After rejecting such ap¬ Department and the Customs- Of¬
quarter (which, if shipped now, proposed organization of exports ments. The Congress recognized prices.
under
the program. will permit the danger of this action, and the plications,. the Commerce Depart- fices.
would be subject to the new pro¬
j-v
(>.'■ ■
«f;;*
(3) Establish an export "code
cedure) constituted about a third and even stimulate genuine pri¬ legislation clearly calls for the ment' has used other criteria for
of ethics."
of our uncontrolled trade, and ac¬ vate trade.
use of "private channels of trade'; determining which expo rters
Export licensing priv¬
counted for about a quarter of our
Exporters will continue to do to the greatest extent possible. should get licenses. Among these ileges may then- be denied tor de¬
criteria are the use to Fwhich the sperate violators of the canons oi
ill; .total exports. The most important business in the same way as ir/< We must continue to avoid reli¬
commodity groups affected by the the past. The European Recovery ance on government procurement commodity will be put when-* it proper administrative practice.
:
(4) Develop > 3- more effective
Country Group R Procedure are Program is not another Lend- whether by foreign governments reaches its destination and the
lilfS
textiles and machinery.
On the Lease* with the Federal Govern¬ or our own. It sometimes appears historical position of the exporter system, of.-destination control * to
in the trade.
I
'v
basis, of the fourth quarter export ment buying all the goods and to be the easy and efficient way
prevent transshipment.
Such ac¬
pattern, 30 % of our machinery shipping them to Europe. Nor is to carry on a grant-in-aid or a i A revised version of this reg¬ tion is particularly important ih
and vehicle exports would now re-, it a plan whereby foreign, goy-j loan program, and for that reason ulation,
published on May 19, connection: with' the European.Re¬
quire licenses, as against less than ernment procurement will be sub¬ it ' is insidiously tempting;
The 1948, as Current Export Bulletin covery Program;* j
1}
No. 457, states clearly and accu¬
1% actually controlled in fourth stituted for private trade.
]$RB legislation is based on the
Expand, v:insofar as funds
Only q few commodities, such belief that the use and strength¬ rately to the trade the govern¬ permit, the enforcement activities
quarter 1947. Similarly, the extent of control over textile exports as certain bulk foods and medical ening of private channels of trade ment's policy of preventing ex¬ of * both- the Commerce
Depart¬
would be increased' from 0.3 to supplies, will be purchased
by is an important-part of economic ports at out-of-line prices, and ment and the Customs Service,
the U. S. Department of Agricul¬ recovery, not only for Europe but calls on the trade, for continuing and recruit trained enforcement
•24%.
:
advice
onwhat - constitutes
a
There are a number of other ture and the Bureau of Federal for the rest of the world.
personnel
Naturally,
enforce¬
clearly excessive price.
r
ment of export control requires
commodity groups, including rub¬ Supply and sent by these agencies
Export Controls and Nondirect to Europe.
the
The rest will
closest cooperation between
ber, over which the Department
Consultation With Industry
European Countries
of Commerce exercised little or be ordered by the private im¬
he Department of Commerce and
In
no control before March 1.
preparing-. Current Exporl the Customs Service.
Since porter in Europe and supplied by
Although? this discussion
has
a
Even with the limited facilities
large share of our exports of the private exporter in this coun¬ been primarily directed to export Bulletin No. 457, as in the devel¬
-these items goes* to Europe, the try. All arrangements for the so¬ controls as they affect the eco¬ opment of its other policies and in the past few months a number
Country Group R Procedure brings liciting of orders, the requesting nomic recovery of Western Eu¬ procedures, the Office of Inter¬ of serious violations of regulations
the

Department

aciopiea

iar-reacning control

known

nor

inca>urt

tne

as

-

,

,

,

.

?

t

.

.

..

'

.

.

■

.

-

.

.

degree of control' of export and import licenses, and
shipments "Of these Items, I exchange permits, the shipping
amounting to over 40% of U. S. j and; storing of goods, and the payexports in the case of rubber.
ment for individual shipments will
■
be initiated and carried through
Country Group R Procedure
jn private channels of trade.
During the initial period of
Exporters who have been doing
Vlll; Country Group R control, most business with Europe in the past
commodities in easy domestic sup¬ will continue to solicit business
ply were permitted to move freely through their regular agents and
a

considerable

overt

.

_

>

to

Western

Europe. License applications for such destinations
have been speedily processed—
generally within a week or ten
days after- receipt.
•
I
At the same time, the Department

Commerce

trated
,

of
on

the control of shipments

■II
'

ill

concen-

consult

with

the ECA and

other

agencies of the U. S. Government
A newly es- and decide which commodities

to Eastern Europe.
tablished

has

subcommittee

-

of

the

be paid for with funds made
Department's
Interdepartmental available by the United States to
Advisory Committee has reviewed stimulate European recovery. The
license applications for Eastern
European importer will
obtain
European exports on a case-by- permission from his government
case basis.
Its purpose has been to
exchange his own francs, or
to determine general working crikroner, or lira for U. S. dollars
teria
for
licensing
to Eastern that have been furnished by ECA
Europe which will be flexible to his government for buying
enough to meet any change in the goods from the United States uninternational situation. Although Aer the recoverv urogram

rapidly as possime, many cases
have
necessarily been delayed

pending major policy decisions.By the end of May, however,
the

log jam
ern
Europe
Department
trade—had

major

the

European

will
the
The details

governments

be enabled to keep account of

licenses for East¬ funds that are spent.
— disturbing . to
the of this plan are now being worked
no. less
than to the out. The important thing to re¬
been

policy

a

broken.

issues

shipments
fied, and action
at

the Economic Cooperation Admmistration in the United States and

on

such

continue

can

#The

concerning

have been clari¬
on licenses should

rapid rate.

In addition, the Department has
several steps
to simplify

taken

rest

the

of

watched

closely

the Depart¬

by

When exporl

ment of Commerce.

quotas are established for scarce
commodities, the Office of Inter¬
national Trade acts as claimanl
for the needs of the

countries not

participating in the European Re¬
In order to carry
ances

out the assur¬

given by the then Secretary
Harriman at the

Commerce

of

inter-American conference at Bo¬

gota, a new position of Special
Assistant for Latin American Sup¬

ply Problems has been
tary

created in

of Commerce.

That official

•v-wawvy'W tr V.

b>

indus-

lected
on

to

the

advise

the

Department

administration

of

By

mid-May many panels were
in process of formation, and meet¬
ings had been held by represen¬
tatives
of
about
20
commodity
Additional panels

groups.

are

be¬

ing organized
in other

To

as problems develop
commodity fields.

equitable trade repre¬
the panels, nomina¬
requested from national

assure

sentation

to

are

on

for

importance of bal¬
in the economic re¬
of the world.
the

phasizes

anced exports
covery

Price Criteria in Licensing

Another

export

of

of inflation.

Public

Law

in

this year
rising pres¬

policy

control

has resulted from the
sure

Policy

major" innovation

In Section 3(b)

395,

approved

on

tional

exporters/

ropean

Recovery

Plan

fror4 his

by

this

legislation.

instituted

independents,

and

exporters

being

loop-

to the letter and

spirit of the reg¬

ulations in the future.
In

the

tion

current

unsettled condi¬

the

of

world, export control
indispensable instru¬
ment for protecting the domestic
economy from
the pressures of
abnormal foreign demand, and for
systematic distribution of those
scarce materials available for ex¬
port.
I.
remains

an

The full cooperation of the for¬
eign trade community is required
to achieve the broad objective of
export control — a balance: be¬
tween

the

needs of the

domestic

the requirements of

economy and
our

foreign policy.

Two With Herrick WaddeU
(Special

to. The .Financial .Chronicle)

OMAHA, I. NEB.i—Albert^

D.

Becker of Columbus and Clarence

in various geographic areas of the

H. Wittmann of Fremont

country.

nected

made
of

to

Every
inform

current

cussed

at

effort
the

resentatives

is

entire

problems
the

panels, and the

to

meetings
names

through

Compliance

as¬

First,

now

eliminate

measures

should

loles in existing procedures, and
•esnlt in more general adherence

being
trade

be. dis¬
of

these

of the rep¬

whom

the

If the export control

quired

by

the

•».

policies

present

re¬

domestic

are

con¬

with Herrick, Waddell &
Reed, Inc., 55 Liberty Street, New
York City.
,1,1 ;-.v'

I

'•"i 7 "I'IP'

A. E. Weltner Co. Adds
•

(Special

trade

counter-inflationary

The

begun.

well as new^
comers, trade association members
and

been uncovered, and prose*of such violations have

•utions

as

may present its views.
authorized
These panels supplement but do
member is that whatever method the use of price criteria in licens¬
of accounting and disbursement of ing
exports, "either * by giving not. replace the long-established
funds is worked out, the European preference among otherwise com¬ Export
Advisory
Committee,
importer—not the U. S. exporter parable applications to those which which in recent months has met
—will initiate the first action in provide for the lowest prices, or , with increasing frequency to dis¬
requesting permission to use EGA in exceptional circumstances, by cuss the broader aspects of export
dollars to pay for a shipment.
fixing reasonable markups in ex¬ control which cut across commod¬
11;
It should be emphasized that port prices over domestic prices." ity lines.

Dec. 30, 1947, Congress

Three

nave

export

American

tated




benefited

private

be
specifically responsible
assisting members of other associations, regional bodies, and
states in their efforts interested individuals. The panels
to
obtain
material,
equipment, are then, selected, in such a man*
machinery,; etc. in short supply. ner that adequate- representation
is given to merchant exporters as
In acting as claimant for the
well as producer exporters, small,
non-European countries, the Of¬
fice of International Trade em¬ medium, and large firms, tradi¬
is

pects of export control are facili¬

being issued to

with

dustry. Commodity advisory pan¬
els have been and are being es¬
tablished, from which small work¬
ing committees, on a commodityby-commodity basis, will be se¬

tions

jippnses),

now

has

Trade

consultation

the Office of the Assistant Secre¬

Country Group R Procedure. The
licensing staff has been increased. the United States exporter who
Single licenses (multiple consignee receives a contract under the Eu¬
are

national

controls in their respective fields

Program.

covery

distributors abroad. The European

importer will consult with his
government, regarding the need
for a particular product as part
of the recovery program.
Then
jjjg
European
government will

foreign trade needs ol
the world are also

the

rope,

.

to

KANSAS
A.

The

Financial

CITY,

Chronicle)

MO.~Charles

Fordyce has. been added id

staff

of

A.

E.

Weltner

&

the

Co,., 21

West Tenth Street.

Two^With Gill Associates
(Special

to

The

Financial

Chronicle)

TOLEDO, OHIO—Paul R.

Hath¬

and Ray H. Miller have been
added to the staff of Gill Asso¬

away

ciates, Inc., Hotel Secor.1

(Volume 168

COMMERCIAL

THE

Number 4714

.

currency,

-una

Observations
(Continued from

cies

5)

page

.«•'

France availed itself of

law by which, inter alia,

dom in enacting,

toreign curren¬

Indian Government imposed a ban

;

^Anri^nf^heveal-

involved, he corrects what lias always seemed to the writer
the
as
a
miscomprehension by many security analysts.
The very
claborate detailed and clearly set-forth Wiesenberger data on man6 im
of gold into the
agement results should be particularly appreciated because of the Crowh'Colony, in ordlu to protect
bECs pronouncement of last .April bllegmg that certain trust sales th forfeign exchange reserves and
literature have been misleading in containing charts and graphs tQ
prevent premium sales and
which balloon the trusts real actual financial performance. ^
"
smuggling of gold to China.
t;sk

dollar, the escudo and, later,
the
Swiss franc.
By that law

the

LXriSriit®rtation

Combining

®

♦

„

.

.

Copious

planation

of

,

,

,

,

,...

.

,

^.

.

devoted by Wiesenberger to a detailed exmechanical "systems" for timing in the buying

space

is

two

holding of, transport of, and trade

in, gold was made free on French
territory; persons who had con¬
travened
previous
regulation?

move was made on

asked

wv,irh

T?imfJ

June 24, 194/,

ment of

Monetary

international

th

h

member

all

gnd selling of stocks: "Dollar-averaging" and "Formula-timing." count'ries to take steps to end
hey

a

chosen

are

they

because

most suitable for use with in-

are

shares, in their aim to combine good timing with
diversification in the choice of the securities bought. Dollar-averagvestment company

transactions

in

gold

at

francs

upon

wage increases,-prices are
going up sharply, and this is a
bad sign.
Salaries and wages are
set, through bargaining, by con¬
tract.
Once : set,
they
become

the end of June 1941

\%

free

the

"On

market,

of the Fund
:ng is particularly suitable for the investor with regular rather than
wori(j exchange stability and it
irregular income. Formula-timing, apart from its many variations, js the considered opinion of the
may be said to have as its main purpose the conferring of self-dis-. Fund that exchange stability may
cipiine to avoid the great psychol6gical temptation to follow. the .be-undermined by continued and
'crowd in the up and down swings of the market.
Space does not increasing external purchases and

same

markets.

price?

quoted
which were wel
above not only the official prices
were

"'A primary purpose

At the

time, the supply of
money is tapering off, instalment
buying and other forms of credit
are
soaring, and recent reports
show
that one quarter
of our
families are
priced out of the

„

premium

to

fixed, and may be impervious
a shrinkage oi revenues.

pay¬

(afterwards to be increased by
per month).

(Continued from first page)

round

charge which was fixed

a

at 25% up to

a."

prjces.

French

into

it

The Stock Market
:

their gold or convert

could deposit

"Furthermore, a most important

System With Selection

Timing

a

this free

by a law of Feb

2,1948, the establishment of a free
market for gold, side by side with a
free market for certain currencies:

prohibited. In March the

was

43

(139)

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

expenditures, which
bil¬
year, may suffer a sharp
decrease,
when costs that
are
triple prewar have to be faced.
Ths upward rise in prices, neces¬
sitated by 'the third round wage
increase, may well be the straw
Capital

have

for gold but also the price
corresponding to even the highes
market quotation for the dollar.
Moreover, different prices *ver<
fixed

at the rate of $23

been

lion

a

quoted
for different kinds oi
)»ermit our detailing of the weaknesses of both of these techniques, gales ox gold at prices which di- coins and also for gold in bars to break the camel's back.
someof wHicbiarecharacteristic'of all mechanistic systeihs for 'h^at- rectlyorindirectly produce ex- Chart II gives, however, an im¬
Deline in Commodity Trice
Ing the markfet" by catching the swings. But it may be pointed out change transactions at depreciated pression of the general tendency
Expected
that they offer a wonderful psychological "escape" 'to theihany I rates.
From information at its the increase in the quotations in
This
comes
at
a
time when
experienced investors and speculators who have " previously burned ] disposal, the Fund believes that March (at the time of the Czecho¬
their fingers in using the more usuaL methods. In fact one of the! unless discouraged this practice is slovak crisis) and the drop in the scarcities are disappearing, pipe¬
lines are filling up in more and
greatest attractions of the entire mutual investment fund method is likely to become extensive, which quotations round about May 12
more categories, and when farm
the offering of an "escape" in "letting George do it," that is, throw- 1 would fundamentally disturb the
1948, when it was believed that
big one's realizedly difficult problems into the convenient laps of i exchange relationships among the negotiations would be resume! prices are about to extend further
the experts.
members of the Fund.
Moreover, with the USSR, show to what an the break experienced last win¬
ter, as a result of the favorable
these transactions involve a loss extent political events are apt tc
2
This writer's conclusion regarding the hiring of these
world crop figures to appear this
to monetary reserves, since much influence the quotations.2
j
experts' services through the investment fund technique is that
Fall. This may make people con¬
of
the
gold goes into private
because of the sizable discounts at which the closed-end funds
"In Italy the black market for
scious of a lower farm income and
hoards rather than into central
,
usually sell on the market, "the price is right."
:
gold, as well as the black markets of
sympathetic declines in the
holdings.
For these reasons, the for foreign currencies, was grad¬
price of other commodities.
Fund strongly deprecates inter¬
ually legalized; the price of gold
Incidentally, the question of nomenclature should be considered
Also, there appears to be a de¬
national

by the profession. 'The traditional generic term of investment trust
abandoned for investment company at the time of the institution

in

transactions

gold

at

fell in the slimmer and autumn o:

premium prices and recommends
that all its members take effective

1947 by 25-30%, moving parallel
with the quotation for the dollar.
unfortunate, for there is little action to
prevent such transac¬ This
strengthening of the pur¬
question that to much of the public investment company denotes tions in gold with other countries
merely a firm, practicing some indefinite role in the field, as perhaps or with the nationals of other chasing power of the lira in rela¬
tion to gold greatly helped to in¬
investment banking. A far more descriptive term would be invest¬
countries.'
crease confidence in the national
ment fund or investing company—or perhaps even investment coop¬
"This announcement by the In¬
currency; the public in more thar
erative, if the word trust be frowned on.
ternational Monetary Fund had an
one country is inclined to
place
immediate effect on the policy of
greater faith in the movements o

was

This

Of SEC regulation.

seems

name

,

countries.

several

As

already

free—or even black—market quo¬

Gold Black Markets and Hoarding

mentioned, the authorities in Lon¬
don placed a ban on dealings in

tations than in any- official price
lists.
For that reason monetary

(Continued from page 14)

foreign ;gold at a price above the
official parity: -7
• i
.*
.v

authorities have often looked witt

do nothing

could
ate

economic

superficial

a

London

sta¬

been

bility concealing an economic in¬
validism due to continuous gold
sudden

check

America
and

sent

has

part

to

gone

has

other

to

probably
in¬

markets,

cluding New York.

but intervention could
rises in the price

bleeding;

Latin

of

than cre¬

more

"The

Reserve

Bank

of

South

"As

tary

.

indicated,

also

authorities

the

the

in

i mone¬

United

appealed to individuals,
banks, etc., to assist in stopping
speculation in gold on foreign
markets and, in. the course of the
Autumn of 1947, they introduced
strict control over the movement
States

.

Africa has emphasized its absten¬

.

sovereigns—rises which would
create a still greater demand for
Of

tion

from

sales

of

gold

free

on

black
markets;
but some
newly-mined gold may have been
smuggled out of the country, the
main
destinations
being
India,
and

gold and further price increases.

a

certain amount of favor on sales

gold on black markets, sue!
sales helping to keep down the
unofficial price of gold.
of

"The

of Greece mentions

Bank

State Department

S.

U.

the

of

into foreign

The soldiers'

corporate surpluses.

past history.
The coming change in the Ad¬
ministration at Washington is cor¬

bonuses will soon be

as very opti¬
the long pull. But, in

rectly

interpreted

mistic

for

benefit by a sound and
Republican philosophy, the
economy must suffer temporarily
as the result of
a promised thor¬
to

order

honest

ough house cleaning. The curtail¬
ment of extravagant and wasteful

expenditures will cut government

spending."
'.Even;in-our bi-partisan foreign

policy, where the presently exist¬
ing course will be followed, there
"Regulation
of free
markets is a probability that in attempting
and, especially, bans on the flow to make this course straighter and
of gold to such markets will, a
more
efficient, expenditures for
best, only deal with a number of ERP might be somewhat cur¬
symptoms of the prevalent mone¬ tailed. The Russians, having lost
tary malaise.
To get rid of the the cold war with us, will prob¬
real causes of hoarding, it is im¬
ably dictate the extension of their

gold from the United States
markets; only semiprocessed refined gold could be
perative to put a stop to inflation
agreed to unfreeze $1.2 million Egypt and South-Eastern Europe* exported, and then only if the,
and also to find a true balance in
worth of gold ingots which had
"It is not possible to describe country of destination permitted
the valuation of the different cur¬
been given by Greece as a pledge
all the sources and
centres of 4he importation of such gold.
rencies.
Fear of war is a further
against a loan granted by the Fed¬ clandestine movements of gold
"In Mexico, the authorities sus¬
motive for hoarding but, as a rule,
eral Reserve Banks.
since, for obvious reasons, trans¬ pended export sale of gold, bars
it is not too difficult to deal with
:
actions of this kind are not offi¬ and
"The Bank of Mexico has sold
coins, but manufactured gold once the fear of inflation is con¬
While in some (e.g.) in the form of statuettes
gold coins at a high price in order cially reported.
quered.
to
obtain
'foreign
currencies countries gold sales, acting as an may be exported upon payment of
"History shows that conditions
antidote to inflation, undoubtedly a
duty of 30 centavos per kilo
(mainly dollars) relatively cheap¬
making for
hoarding and dis¬
had a salutary effect, it was often
ly.
The gold sales were at first
plus 5% of the value of the article.
carding vary from time to time
felt that the whole
economy of
Under direct or indirect pressure
reported to be for domestic use,
not only in the West but also in
but much of the gold found its the countries concerned was suf¬ from the International Monetary
the East.
Especially in the pres¬
fering certain disadvantages from Fund, several smuggling centres
way to the Near and Far East.
ent abnormal situation, it is clear¬
the disappearance of the gold—
(and among them Hong Kong and
"Further, there is no doubt that
especially when private hoarding Manila) imposed restrictions on ly impossible for any immutable
private markets have been fed by
rules to be laid down, and those
of gold increased at the expense
private movements of gold; such
newly-mined gold. Part of the
of more
important imports, or steps made it more difficult to responsible for dealing with these
current output of the Philipoines
savings were sterilized instead of smuggle gold into and out of the
is reported to have been sold at
problems may,
indeed, find it
being put to more productive use. respective territories.
premium prices and most of the
necessary to adapt their policies
"In a number of countries steps
"As;a consequence of all these
newly-mined gold in Ethiopia ap¬
to the circumstances of individual
pears to have found its way 'to the began to be taken against sales of bans and abstentions, the current
Thus, at the supplies of gold became more re¬ countries and the needs of the
Alexandria market, to which gold gold to the public.
*

that

and in

cline in individual savings

foot

"one

policy;

backward"

ih

their peace offensive.
This may cause a lessening of ar¬
mament; expenditures.
England, rather than Russia,
might furnish us with the surprise
shock. The Labor Government, as
a last resort to avert bankruptcy,
other words,

drastically devalue the pound.

may

repercussions throughout th$
world could be of catastrophic
The

proportions.
Business Facing

Squeezes

From many sources we

learn of

.

,

also

is

>.

*

-■"*

"

of

Government

outout

Part of the gold

-

beginning

and

Syria

by

exported

Lebanon.

1947,

Chinese

the

published

a

drastic

CHART II

Quotation of Gold Coins in Paris
'

-

In

and Switzerland.

,

stricted.

But the public's demand

gold persisted, the result being
a
general upward movement in
quotations for gold in free and
black markets in the autumn of
1947.

.

French francs.

/

•" ^

an

to

-f''" A
6000

6000
-

^A

5000

W
A
'Wm

.

/

V;

'4000
:

'i

i

*

-

ji

\

V.

_

A

Price of Napoleon '

A/?

-

'

4000

v

\^in Paris

y -v

.

3000

Frice of Napoleon
in Switzerland "•
;

jr.- ;

expressed in French francs

-v

:
...

:L

VW/'

-

W

...

200fo

2000

'I.-;:/

1

•

■

>'•/';.';•••

O"

'

/•v..',;*.

V:'"v

■

'.' ."

:f;v;\

>■.

•

1000

<

0

,

1

vl.

.11

•

1->■'.!

1946
h'/il.




1

VI

»

■->

.1

■"

1

1

1

*

'

'

1

J

1947

1

.«f.v
...

1

J i.«"i

»

1

'

•

>

1

1948

i "i-

either directly,
of

the

in

regulations,

by musing such loopholesi as
dealings in semi-manufactured or
manufactured
gold.
Hence
the
need for further clarification of the
position.

Not
of

all
the

countries

are

International

Monetary Fund, but non-members
would
seem
to
have
generally
fallen into line.
It is important to
note that the International Mone¬

policy statement in
specifically directed
against international transactions
in, gold, thus leaving each country
free to sell gold, even at premium
prices, on its domestic markets.

tary
1000

-0.

contravention

members

■

A

3000

;■> •^

,—

I \J I

.

\

'

.

■

'■

smuggling,

or
5000

.

rr

i

higher prices represented
increased temptation to resort

"The

7000

7000

-

times."

for

Fund's

this matter is

is usually impossible to give even
approximate figure for the value of
gold hoarded in individual countries. For
France the Equivalent of $3 milliard has
often been quoted as a likely figure for
the amount of .gold hoarded -by the be¬
ginning
of 1947.
A close examination
of
available data would seem to show
that the influx of gold from
1938 to
1947 cannot have been on a very large
scale (but that there was some influx
is certain, and it may well have amounted
to
several
hundred million dollars
in
2 It

an

The
size of present-day hoards will thus de¬
pend upon how much gold was in fact in

the

two

and

a

half postwar years).

the French public before
world war.
Judging .from
which has become available
in connection with the settlement of es¬
tates
and
on
other
occasions,
many
hands

the

of

second

the

information

families

France have been
possession of gold.

in

standing
So
tion
to

far (May 1948) no great propor¬
the existing hoards would seem
been

sold

on

the free gold

in France on 2nd
with the restoration
tary
confidence,
a
part
of
hoarded may be expected to
1948

long¬

of

have

ket

in

set

up

but,

markets.

mar¬

February
of mone¬
the gold
reach the

businesses that are un¬

numerous

dergoing readjustments to lower
operations. Costs of labor,
of materials and of shipping .are
becoming inflexible shackles to
profitable operations. Break-even
points are at so high a level that
a decline in gross can create sub¬
stantial damage.
A good markdown in record inventories could

levels of

have

in

effect

similar

a

many

times-earmngs ratios
for stocks could disapoear.
In citing the current readjust¬
ments that are taking place, and

cases.

Low

attention to some of the

in calling

problems ahead, we are not at¬
tempting to time a stock market
break.
Maybe second and third
quarter earnings, the confidence
engendered by a Republican vic¬
tory and the undoubting faith of
the chart followers will push the
market higher. However, we do
not think this will happen to any
extent because many businesses
need financing and would like to
issue more stock or senior obli¬
,

gations

.

prices.
The
us

*
reasons

-

stock.

into

convertible

These issues will act as

ceilings on

.

,

'•

-

given above bring

to the conclusion

should accumulate

that investors

cash.

44

(140)

THE

COMMERCIAL

Securities
•

.U

American

Bosch

Corp.

(7/19)

June 2 filed 535,882 shares of class B

($1 par) common
Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬
petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Glore, Forgan & Co.
and Lehman Brothers
(jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc., and
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane
(jointly). Bids—
Bids for the purchase of the stock will
be received up to

3:30 p.m. (EDT)

July 19 at office of Department of Jus¬
tice, Office of Alien Property, 120 Broadway, New York.
.American Fidelity Fire Insurance
Co., New York

-

July 2

(7/16)
(letter

of

notification) 20,000 shares 80c nonstock
(par $5).
Price—$14 perStockholders of record July 15 will be given the
right; to subscribe to the stock. Rights expire Sept. 9,
convertible

preferred

share.

1948i

Expand fire insurance business., No underwriting.

Ampal-American

Palestine

jfLpril 7 filed $10,000,000 10-year

Trading Corp., N. Y.

3% sinking fund deben¬

tures.
Underwriter—Name to be filed by amendment,
41 any is used.
Proceeds — $5,000,000 in mortgage loans

for-,construction

•

Armstrong Rubber Co., West Haven, Conn.
June 30 (letter of
notification) 1,000 shares of 4%%
convertible

2,000 shares of class A

preferred
common

stock,

stock.

($50

par)

and

To be sold at $44

and

,$11.75, respectively. This stock is being sold by
James A. Walsh, President of the
Company. Underwriter

-—I?. Eberstadt & Co., Inc., New York.
Batesville Telephone Corp.,
25

ceeds—To redeem
outstanding 5% first mortgage bonds

and to pay

for improvement program.

©

Bay Petroleum Corp., Denver, Colo.
June 29 (letter of notification)
6,000 shares ($1 par)
common stock for
company and 3,000 shares of the same
stock for Charles U.
Bay, Josephine P. Bay and the First
National Bank of
Bridgeport £nd C. U. Bay as trustees.
Offering to be made at $3Q each. Proceeds from the
company's sales to be used for working capital. No un¬
derwriting.
"
/
- *

connection
"Business
•

Exploration

Canada

,

June. 2 filed

Co.

Ltd.,

Ottawa,

v

••

500,000

common

shares

($1 par).

Under¬

writer—Mark Daniels & Co.,
Price*—40c per share Cana¬
dian funds. Proceeds—For
exploration of properties.
•

Bowlsng Green

June

29

common

(letter

of

(Ohio)

1,000

stock of which 800 shares

are

shares

(no

to be sold at

par)

$100

per share and 200 shares are to be retained in
company's
treasury. To put meat packing plant into working con¬
dition and purchase livestock,
j No underwriting.
•

Central Maine Power
Co., Augusta, Me.
July 1 filed $5,000,000 first and general mortgage bonds,
series Q, due 1978. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬
mined
by competitive
bidding.
Probable
bidders —

Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Kidder,
Peabod.y & Co. and W. E. Hutton & Coi (jointly); Merf
rill;Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and White, Weld &

Co.^(jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Rip¬
ley & Co., Inc. Proceeds—To reduce outstanding shortv

term

construction

Bank

of

notes

payable

the

First

National

Boston, the proceeds of which

were

used

additional

construction

and

to

other

corporate

for

purposes,

ping—Expected in July.
Central

Vermont

March 30 filed
and

an

Public

Service

$1,500,000 Series E first

Corp^
mortgage bonds

undetermined

number of common shares (no
Underwriters of common—Coffin & Burr. Bonds
to be placed
privately. Common stock will be offered to

par).

common

stockholders through
subscription rights and to
and preferred stockholders
through subscrip¬
privileges. Proceeds—For a construction program

repair of flood damages. Expected by
mid-July.
• .Chieftain
Products, Inc., Brooklyn, N. Y.
July 2 (letter of notification) 50,000 shares of common

one

30,000 warrants

common

share of

stock.

common

entitling the holder to pur¬
Price—$2.75 per unit consisting of
and 1V2

rate purposes.

warrants.

General corpo¬

Underwriter—Dunne & Co., New York.
;
Clinton (Mich.) Machine Co.
April 15 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of stock
to be sold at $5% each
(market price), for selling stock¬
holder. Underwriter—Charles E.
Bailey & Co.; Detroit.




Opportunities."

off bank loans and for
at par.

^magazine called

No underwriters.

>

FlotiKI

Loan

working capital.

Price—Expected
,

Products, Inc., Stockton, Calif.

,

Commonwealth

Edison Co., Chicago, 11 I.¬
$50,000)000 first mortgage bonds, series N,
due June' 1, 1978.
Underwriters—Names to be deter¬
mined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders include
Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; The

and

Missouri

-

$6,000,000 of 3V2%

cumulative certificates of
No

common

stock ($25

-.

cer¬

Offering—Offered only to

A.

Feeder, Inc.^Chicago, III.

June 30

(letter of notification) subscriptions for 240 4%
cumulative preferred shares
($100 par) of the com¬
pany, which is still to be organized. To be sold at par.
For; paid-in and working capital. No underwriters.

Dayton Consolidated Mines

Co.,

G.

.

Co., Virginia City,

Glohe-Wernicke

Nevada

stock

fund convertible 5% bonds due 1953 and 300,000 com¬
mon
shares reserved for conversion of bonds. Price—

of record June 18

six

shares

ferred stock.

Dively (H. G.) Industries, Inc., Colorado
Springs, Colo.

ferred
stock

(letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 7% cu¬
mulative preferred stock (par
$10) and 10,000 shares of
common stock (par $1). Price—-Par for both issues. Un¬
derwriter—Company is offering the stock in. its own
behalf, listing underwriting discounts on both issues.

*

-

j

holders at the rate of
3%

each

seven

case.

shares

one

held

common

and

additional
one

shares

held.

share for

common

share

of

preferred for

Price—Par

Underwriters—Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.

in

each

and Dean

Witter & Co.
sory

Co., Pittsburgh, Pa.
May 6 filed $14,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1973.
Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive
bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc.;
The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and
Smith/
Barney & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore,
Forgan & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co.; White,
Weld
&
Co.
Proceeds—$14,000,000 of proceeds, plus
563,000 shares of new common stock, will be delivered
to the Philadelphia Co. in
exchange for natural gas
properties now under lease, outstanding cap^al stock of
Equitable, notes and other claims owed to the Phila¬
delphia Co. and to the Pittsburgh and West Virginia

Proceeds—To pay off short-term promis¬
notes and the balance for construction.
H
"
'

)

Heidelberg Sports
Pittsburgh, Pa.

Enterprises,

June 25 filed 2,041 shares of class A
5,000 shares of class B

common

Inc.,

common

stock

stock and

(par $100).

Price

—•Par

($100 per share). Underwriter—None, Proceeds
—$600,000 to be used for spectator grandstand and bal¬
ance

for related purposes.

Heyden Chemical Corp., New York, N. Y.
June 29 filed 59,579 shares of
cumulative.. convertible
preferred stock (no par) to be offered common stock¬
holders of record July 13 in the ratio of one share
,o£
preferred for each 20 shares of common stock held*

Price—By amendment.
Underwriter—A. G. Becker &
Co. will acquire the unsubscribed shares. Proceeds—

Sale originally planned for July 7 postponed.

Exeter & Hampston Electric Co., Exeter, N. H.
June 24 (letter of notification)
8,125 shares of common

To

be

used

in

part for improvement

and

expansion of

manufacturing facilities.

4

(par $20).

Price—$33 per share. "Underwriter—
None. Proceeds—For additions, extensions and
improve¬
ments to

plant and to

pay

Hunt Machine
June 21

present short-term notes total¬

At par.

First Guardian Securities Corp., New York
City
June 4 filed 36,000 shares of 5% cumulative convertible

ester G. Furman

preferred stock

($25 par) and 172,000 shares .($1 par)
(72,000 shares of common to be reserved
the preferred.)
Underwriter—None.
share for the preferred and $10 for the com¬

stock.

conversion

Price—$25

a

of

mon.

Fitzsimmons Stores, Ltd., Los Angeles, Calif.
2 filed 10,000 shares of 6% cumulative first
pre¬

ferred stock

($100 par). Underwriting—Officers, direc¬
tors and employees of the company will offer the stock
to friends and

associates.

Price—$100 per share.
Pro¬
funds used to retire 7% preferred
short-term bank loans; to modernize six
and ' for
working capital.
Business:
"Super

ceeds—To

stock; to

replace

repay

Markets" in Los
nardino County.

Angeles, Riverside, Colton and San Ber¬

Works, Inc., Greenville, S. C.
1
(letter of notification) $300,000 of 5Yz% serial

sinking fund coupon debentures (convertible). Price—
Underwriters—Frank S. Smith & Co., Inc.; AlCo.; McAlister, Smith & Pate, Inc.; H„
T. Mills; W. F. Coley &
Co.; V. M. Manning; McCarley &
Co.; G.1 H. Crawford & Co.; and Thos. L. Lewis. Pro¬

ing $130,000.

stores,

share for each

stock (par $20) aad 100,000 shares of common
(par $20). Offering—To be offered common stock¬

each

Equitable Gas

Feb.

one new

Electric Co., Ltd., Honolulu (8/2)-v i
June 29 filed 50,000 shares of series D cumulative
pre¬

,

June 28

stock

the basis of

Hawaiian

.

Gas Co.

on

held;

Rights expire July 22.
Price—Par.
Underwriter—None. Proceeds—To redeem part of pre¬

$1,000 per bond with 1,000 common shares. Underwriter
—S. K. Cunningham & Co., Pittsburgh, To receive cur¬
rent obligations, working
capital, etc. Being placed pri¬
vately.
'
' ,
•

Co., Norwood, O.
(letter of notification) 42,410 shares of common
(par $3.50) to be offered to common stockholders

June 11

May 14 (letter of notification) $100,000 first lien sinking

„

Edwards &

Sons, Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc.,,
Hickey & Co., Mason, Moran & Co., O'Neal-Alden 8c
Co., Inc., Wilson-Trinkle & Co., Inc. and Holton, Her**
rington, Farra Co* Proceeds—To reimburse the company's treasury for expenditures made in connection
with the building and equipping of their new veneer;
and plywood plant at
Savannah, Ga., the cost of which
was
approximately $1,650,000. Price—At par. Offering
—Expected at end of July.
)

and plant facilities.

Belt Livestock

A firm commitment has

group of underwriters

covering
shares, and ^hese, together with the balance
stock, will be publicly offered. Underwriters—F.
S. Yantis & Co.,
Inc., W. .L. Lyons & Co., H. M. Byllesby
& Co., J. C. Bradford &
Co., Crowell, Weedon & Co.j
Cruttenden & Co., Martin, Burns &
Corbett, Inc., Berwyru
T. Moore & Co., Inc.,
Mullaney, Wells & Co., William R,
Staats & Co., Van Alstyne, Noel & Co., Dempsey &
a

half of the

stockholders and patrons and members.
Price—At face
amount.
Proceeds—For acquisition of additional office

C6rn

(par $20).

been entered into with

five-year and \xfi% 10-year
indebtedness; apd $2,000,000 of

underwriting.

125,000 preferred shares

of the

1%% demand and 2J/2% 6 months cumulative loan
tificates.

company

General Plywood Corp. (7/20-3O)
100,0Q0 shares of 5% cumulative convert¬

ible preferred stock

<-

Oct. 16 filed $3,000,000 non-dividend

par);

and

common

June 25 filed

Assoc., Kansas City,
-

75,000

shares.
Company's proceeds will be
used for general corporate
purposes.: Effective May 5.
)■

■

First Boston Corp. Proceeds—For
working capital to be
used for construction.

Consumers Cooperative

shares

common

June 29 filed

common

chase

Merchandise, Inc., Denver, Colo.
(letter of notification) $300,000 of 5% serial de¬
bentures.
Underwriters—Peters, Writer & Christensen,
Inc. and Sidlo,
Simons, Roberts & Co. Proceeds—To pay;

Co., St. Joseph, Mo.
; * March 6 filed 385,000 shares of 60 cent convertible pre¬
(letter of notification) 1,000 shares of class A
ferred stock (par $5) and
325,000 shares of common stock
stock. Price—$100 per share.
Underwriter—
(par $1).
Underwriter — Floyd D. Cerf Co., Chicago,
None. Proceeds—To expand its net worth and
working
Price—preferred $10; common $6.\< Proceeds — Stock¬
capital.
\. ' •
holders will sell 260,000 preferred shares and 250,00©

for

and

Flaks

June 23

28

common

stock

ISSUE

preferred

tion

and

PREVIOUS

Proceeds—For machinery and expenses.

Provision Co.

notification)

Thursday, July 8, 1943

Registration

SINCE

with publishing a monthly

Commerce

June

.

Borderminsfer

ADDITIONS

mulative preferred participating stock. To be exchanged
for non-assessable common stock two
.years from date of
issuance at $10 a share. To provide working capital in

Price—Expected

at par.

'

in

CHRONICLE

Coleman-Chance Publishers, inc., Portland, Ore.
June 29 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 6% cu¬

•

Batesviile, Ind.
(letter of notification) $200,000 of 4y2% first
mortgage sinking fund bonds, due July 1, 1973. Under¬
waters—City Securities; Corp. arid Engineers, Inc. Pro¬
June

Now

INDICATES

of

housing in Palestine, $2,500,000 in
loans to transportation and industrial
cooperatives, and
'*2,200,000 in loan to Solel Boneh, Ltd., for public works.

cumulative

FINANCIAL

•

itock.

•

&

;

ceeds—To fund present unsecured
and for additional working capital.

bank

indebtedness.

■
\
Idaho-Montana Pulp & Paper Co., Poison, Mont»
May 17 filed 100,000 shares of 4% cumulative preferred

stock

($100 par)

and 500,000 shares ($10 par) common)
—
Tom G. Taylor & Co.,
Missoula9
Price—$300 per unit, consisting of two shares ot
preferred and 10 shares of common stock. Proceeds—Tea
stock.

Underwriter

Mont.

erect and operate a bleached

200-ton per day capacity.
Illinois

sulphate pulp mill with

Telephone Co., Chicago, III.
h
(par $100)»
Underwriter, none. Offering—To be offered pro rata foF
June 4 filed 389,995 shares of capital stock

&

m

PACIFIC COAST

nOV*

-AND

CO

HAWAIIAN SECURITIES
Direct

Private

Vbandc4

Wires

Dean Witter

Co.

a

BROKERS

MEMBERS
New York Stock

Exchange
Honolulu Stock Exchange
14

WALL

San Francisco Stock Exchange
Los Angeles Stock Exchange

STREET, NEW YORK

Telephone BArclay 7-4300
SAN FRANCISCO

LOS ANGELES

•

r

.

*

A

J»4iRS-|2
UNDERWRITERS

-

HONOLULU
.—

a

y

Bell

\S65

York
yvu*
P>D^
CkG°
Cvu

1

COMMERCIAL

THE

Number 4714

[Volume 168

Price—By

July 15,

Preferred

of

for

.Preferred

June

said

preferred stock

Manufacturing Co.,

....

;

Proceeds—No purpose

.

held.

Warrants will be transferable and will expire Aug.

August 4, 1948
Common
August 17, 1948

subscription by shareholders of record June 2. Ameri¬
can Telephone and Telegraph Co. (parent) will purchase
587,295 shares. Proceeds—To pay advances from Ameri¬
can Telephone and Telegraph, its parent; any remainder
of proceeds will be used in improving telephone plant.

No

are

to

be

offered

cumulative convertible preferred stock

O

to

•

Indianapolis,

Proceeds—^For construction.
Co.,

Ltd., Sherbrooke,

Quebec
Jan.

30

filed

shares

($1

par)

stock.

common

U. S. authorized agent and principal underwriter.

—$1

each.

Proceeds—To

construct milling

Price
plant and

purchase equipment.
Irwin-Phillips Co., Keokuk, Iowa
shares of 5% cumu¬
($10 par) to be sold
«on behalf of three stockholders.
Price; par. Underwrit¬
ers—Slayton & Co. have been employed as agents to
.sell the issue.

Keller & Co., Inc., Boston, Mass.
JVTay 28 (letter of notification) 9,300 shares of cumula¬
tive participating preferred stock and $200,000 of 20year 51/2% debentures, due 1968.
Underwriter—General
:Stock & Bond Corp, Proceeds—For working capital arid

purposes.

1

.

Kent-Moore Organization, Inc., Detroit, Mich.
.June 29 filed 56,000 of common stock (par $1). Price—

:$7.50 per share.

Underwriter—George A. McDowell &

<C6; Proceeds—To certain principal stockholders.
/

Kool-Aid Bottling Co., Inc. of Calif.,
Wisconsin

Sheboygan,

March 22 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common stock.

Underwriter—Heronymus & Co., Sheboygan, Wis. Pro¬
ceeds—To open and equip bottling plants in California
cities.
Price—$1 per share.

Kresge

(S. S.)

Co., Detroit,

Mich. (7/19-20)

June 29 filed 167,955 shares of common stock (par $10),
-of which 27,955 are for account of the company and 140,000 shares for account of the estate of Anna E. Kresge.




Northern

Mines, Ltd.
stock (par $1).

common

Mining Co.,

Ltd.,

Toronto.

States

Co.

Power

(of Minn.)

(7/13)

(no par).
Underwriting—Names to be determined by
competitive bidding.
Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart
& Co. Inc. (bonds only); Smith, Barney & Co. (stock
only); Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly both
issues); Merrill (Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Glore,
Forgan & Co. (bonds only); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and
White, Weld & Co. (jointly on bonds). Proceeds—Fojr
acquisition of not

more than 60,000 additional common
(par $100) of Northern States Power Co. (Wis.)
off bank loans. Bids—Bids will bd received
by the company at Room 1100, 231 So. La Salle Street',
Chicago, 111., up to 10:30 a..m. (CDT) on July 13.
•

stock

and to pay

Nuera Products

Co., Denver, Colo.

May 10 filed 100,000 shares ($10 par) 6% preferred stock,
and 20,000 shares (1 mill par) common stock.
Under¬
writing—None named. Price—10 shares of preferred and
two

of

will

common

be

sold

for

$100.

Proceeds—To

O-Cel-O, Inc., Buffalo, N. Y. (3/3)
(letter of notification) 3,000 shares of preferred
(par $45) and 6,000 shares of common stock Jpar
$1) to be issued in units of one share of preferred and
two

shares of

Morning Glory Mines, Inc., Spokane, Wash.
23 (letter of notification) 250,000 shares of
common

stock.

To

be

sold

at

10

to

offered pro rata to com¬

be

Electric

Products

Corp.,

24

and

in¬

stock (par

$50). Price—$37.50 per share. Underwriter—
Singer, Deane & Scribner. Proceeds—To executors of an
" '.
•

estate.

Fuel Gas

Co., New York (7/14)
June 4 filed $13,500,000 sinking fund debentures, due
1973.
Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬
petitive bidding.
Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co.
Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co.,
Glore, Forgan & Co., Goldman, Sachs & Go. and Leh¬
man Brothers (jointly); and White, Weld & Co.
Pro¬
320,000 additional shares of United

stock ($25 par), and to pur¬
48,500 additional shares of Iroquois Gas Corp. Bids
—Bids will be received by company at Room 2033, 2
common

chase

Rector Street, New

York, N. Y.,

up

to

noon *

(EDT) on

New England Power Co.

(7/20)

June 22 filed

100,000 shares of capital stock (par $5).
per
share.
Underwriter—First
Securities

company's receipt of

Carolina.

license to do business in

a

Proceeds—For

general business

pur¬

poses.:;-:.
•

common

(7/22)

filed

Corp., Durham; N. C.
Offering—26,667 shares will be
initially offered on a "when, as arid if issued"; basis;
13,333 shares will- be purchase^ by underwriter for' pub¬
lic or private offerings; and the remaining 40,000 shares
will be publicly offered on a "best efforts basis" on
completion of the subscription of the first 40,000 shares
and the

Pittsburgh,

(letter of notification) 2,000 shares of

Gas Co.

June

North

Pennsylvania

National

products;

Old North State Insurance Co.

each

N. ft. ft. F. Associates,

Natural

Rights expire Aug. 2. Corporation will also offer pro rata
common stockholders who exercise said right any
units offered but not purchased by other stockholders.
Price—Preferred at $45 per share and common at $2.50
per share; Underwriter — None. Proceeds — For expan¬
sion of plant facilities for the manufacture and sale of

non¬

cents

stockholders

June 23

.

common

stockholders of record July 2, 1948, at $50 per unit.

cellulose

July 14.

June 1 (letter of notification) 10,000
lative participatingpreferred stock

«o^her corporate

by

-}v. T U

June 3 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due July 1,
1978, and 200,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock

Price—$15

ceeds—To purchase

1,500,000

Underwriter—Paul E. Frechette, Hartford, Conn., is the

a

underwriting.

National

new

Asbestos

repay

Inc., New York
July 2 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of capital
stock (par $10). Price—$10 per share. Working capital.
No Underwriting.

additional common stock
<$10 par) to be offered to its stockholders on the basis

International

sold

for pur¬

Proceeds for exploration and development.

bonds of

only.
For mine development
stallation of machinery. No underwriting.

/

the record date, July 2.

Proceeds—To

working capital.

Memphis Trust Co., Memphis, Tenn.
30
(letter of notification) 150 subordinated

assessable

June 21 filed 60,000 shares of

share, at $12.50 per share, for each 10 shares
mow held.
The company's parent, Public Service Co. of
Indiana, plans to acquire only 62 of the 26,701 shares
to which it would be entitled, but has agreed to purchase
.all shares not otherwise subscribed for by stockholders,
stockholders, other than Public Service Co., will be en¬
titled to buy the additional 26,639 shares of Public
Service at the rate of 9/50 of a share for each share held

on

public at current
the Detroit Stock

June

stock and for construction.

Inc.,

to

Midwest Packaging Materials Co., St. Louis, Mo.
June 25 (letter of notification) 3,500 shares of common
stock (par $5). Price—At market.
Proceeds—To selling
stockholder.
Undcrwriter—Edward D. Jones & Co.

$52.50 per share and accrued dividends. Each
preferred share is convertible into two common shares.
Public offering is contemplated of the common stock not
issued in conversion.
Underwriting and offering price
to be. filed by amendment. Probable underwriter: The
First Boston Corp.
Proceeds—To redeem the preferred

<©i*

being

to the

shares

de¬
$1,000 each, 75 bearing 4^4 % interest
and 75 bearing 5% interest.
To develop loan business.

<par $50) which the company intends to call for redemp¬

one

Gold

Underwriter—Transamerica

mon

benture

tion at

<of

North Inca

March 10 filed 666,667 shares of

holders of record May 22 in ratio of one new share for
each 2V2 shares held.
Rights expire July 10. Unsub¬

June

Decatur, III.
June 30 filed 690,098 shares of common stock (no par
Value), To provide for conversion of 345,049 shares of

Co.,

shares

stock

•

Power Co.,

-*i',

Proceeds—875,000

June 24

loan and for

Indiana

(no par) common stock.
Underwriter—F. H. Winter & Co.,

build, furnish and tool a factory arid apply close to $500,000 to working capital.

market price then prevailing
Exchange. Underwriter—None.

Water

Limited, Calgary, Alberta

company and 28,572 by stockholders. Proceeds
chase of property and drilling.

scribed

-

Central Illinois Public Service Co.——Common

&

York.

Oils

903,572 shares

Masco Screw Products Co., Detroit, Mich.
June 4 (letter of notification) 141,600 shares ($1 par)
common stock.
Price—$1.75 per share. Offered to stock-

Pfd. & Com.

....

Gas

filed

pansion.

PfdL & Com.

i

McCall Corp.

Indiana

11

Underwriter—White, Weld & Co. Price—By amend¬
ment.
Proceeds—With a $2,500,000 20-year 3 % bank
loan," to pay bank loans, to restore the working capital
position of the company and to provide funds for ex¬

August 3, 1948

outstanding 5%

given,

3.

August 2, 1948

Illinois

Mich.

Corp. (8/4)
June 24 filed 87,167 shares of common stock (no par
value) to be initially offered to common stockholders of
record July 20, 1948 on basis of one new for six shares

Capital Stock

...

Rochester,

McCall

...Preferred

July 22, 1948

the basis of

15

C. G. McDonald & Co.

Preferred
Bonds

......

on

for each 2Vz

(letter of notification) 7,000 shares of common
stock (par $1).
Price—$5.50 per share.
Underwriter—

...Common

Corp. of America

O-Cel-O, Inc.

of

common

,,

July 20, 1948

.Hawaiian Electric Co., Ltd.

share of

McAleer

Julyr 19, 1948

Sy) Co.——

manufacturing facilities.

shares of preferred.
Price—At par for preferred stock. Underwriterr-Wagenseller & Durst, Inc.; Bingham, Walter &
Hurry, and
Lester & Co. all of Los Angeles. Proceeds—To retire
bank loans.
'

July 16, 1948

Old North State Ins. Co

conversion

one

.Preferred

American Fidelity Fire Ins. Co...

Underwriter—None.

Lawrence Warehouse Co., San Francisco, Calif.
18
(letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 6%
cumulative convertible preferred stock
(par $25), and
4,000 shares of common stock (no par), to be'reserved

Debs. & Com.

Westinghouse Electric Corp..

Shoe

share.

per

June

:_^_____Pfd. & Com.

Plywood Corp..
New England Power Co

Price—$100

$1,000.

North Canadian
March

:v*
,

1948

General

manufactured

Proceeds—For expansion of

Tanner & Co.__

Kresge (S.

credit of $100 against the purchase, of a new dining

a

by the company, or against repair
work or alterations performed by the company for the
purchaser.
Credit certificates issued to any. one pur-,
chaser of said preferred Stock shall be limited to a total

1948

Soya'Products Co

feredar 101,75.

certificate entitling him

a

45

construction and improvement of property. Awarded July
7 on bid of 101.319 for a 3%
coupon.
Price—To be of-

New

car

New Jersey Bell Telephone Co.,
11:30 a.m. (EDT)^„._-...Debentures

Kansas

Of 27,955

Price—70 cents each.

to

National Fuel Gas Co., Noon (EDT)-Debentures
Roosevelt Oil & Refining Corp
r__..Pfd. & Com.

—

five shares will be entitled to

Bonds

July 13, 1948

July 14,

Underwriters—Lehman Broth¬

(141)

-■>Kuliman Dining Car Co., Inc., Harrison, N. J.
June 21 (letter of notification) 1,500 shares of $5 cumula¬
tive preferred stock (no par value). Purchaser of each

July 9, 1943

Northern States Power Co, (Minn.),
10:30 a.m. (EDT)
_Bonds &

CHRONICLE

Watling, Lerchem & Co.
Proceeds
shares, for general corporate purposes.

NEW ISSUE CALENDAR
Power & Light Co

amendment.

FINANCIAL

and

ers

New Jersey

&

Pacific

June 29

Associates, Inc., San Francisco, Calif. *

(leter of notification)

tive prior preferred stk. ($25
upon,

8,000 shares 6% cumula¬

par); 16,000 shares ($1 par)
common to be issued

stock, and 16,000 shares of
exercise of warrants held by

common

preference, stock.

All

stock

owners of

be

to

sold

at

the prior
valu&

par

proceeds to pay off a. bank loan; make advances;to a
wholly-owned susbidiary, Klamath Machine & Locomo¬
tive

Works,

Hannaford

Inc.,
&

and

Talbot,

for

San

additional

Francisco,

working capital.
will be selling

agents.
•

:

Pacific

Paper Materials Co., Portland, OreJune 29 (letter of notification) 122,459 shares ($1'pap)
common

stock.

Price—Par.

To

current and past due accounts.

retire

a

like amount of

No underwriters.

Pacific Telecoin Corp., San

Francisco (7/12-1.6)'
notification) $300,000 4^2% equipment
trust certificates, series A, dated July 1, 1948, and due
July 1, 1951. Underwriters—Gearhart & Co., Inc., and
Paul D. Sheeline & Co.
Proceeds—For equipment, to
retire debt and for working capital.
June 10 (letter of

Pacific Telegraph & Telephone Co., San Fran*
May 28 filed 601,262 shares ($100 par) common stock.
Underwriting, none. Offering—Holders of preferred and
common stockholders of record June 15 are given rights

$11 million first mortgage bonds, series B,
to subscribe on or before July 7 at $100 per share to
due 1978.
Underwriters—To be determined by com¬
| the extent of one share for each six shares of preferred,
petitive
bidding.
Probable
bidders
include—Halsey,
or common held.
Proceeds—To j-eimburse company's
Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Lehman
treasury for additions, etc.
Brothers; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Kuhn,
Pacific Western Oil Corp., Los Angeles
Loeb & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler and Union Secur¬
May 21 filed 450,227 shares ($10 par) capital stock. Un¬
ities Corp. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White,
derwriting—None.
Offering—To be offered by the own¬
Weld & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—To purchase properties
er, J. Paul Getty, President of the Company, from time
of the Bellows Falls Hydro-Electric Corp., to purchase
to time on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange,
that portion of the New Hampshire section of the Bel¬
or "to specific persons, firms or corporations," in sales
lows Falls-Pratts Junction line owned by the Connecticut
outside the Exchange.
Price—At approximate market.
River Power Co. and for repayment of bank loans. Ex¬
(Effective June 23.)
pected about July 20.
Pennsylvania Industries Corp., Pittsburgh^ jPa.
New Jersey Bell Telephone Co.
(7/13)
June 24 filed 214,987 shares, commori stock (par $10) to
June 11 filed $55,000,000 40-year debentures, due July
be exchanged for the stock of Pennsylvania Industries,
15, 1988.
Underwriters — Name to be determined
Inc. (old company), viz: 21,190 shares in exchange for„
through competitive bidding.
Probable bidders: Halsey,
old company common stock (one for each 28 of old) and
Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.
Proceeds—To
193,797 shares to the holders of outstanding $6 cumula¬
pay off advances made by American Telephone & Tele¬
tive preferred stock on basis of three common for one
graph Co, (parent) for construction and general corpor¬
preferred.
ate purposes. Bids—Bids will be receiced at Room 2315,
.195
on

Broadway, New York, N.Y.,

up to 11:30 a.m. (EDT)

July 13.
New Jersey Power & Light Co.

June

8

filed

(7/9)

$6,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1978.
Underwriter—Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.
Proceeds—For

Philadelphia Suburban Transportation Co.,
Upper Darby, Pa.
v
June 24 (letter of notification) 6,000 shares of 5% cumu¬
lative preferred stock. Price—At par ($50 per share)*

(Continued

on page

46)

*

-

y

46

THE

(142)
;

-

' (Continued from page 45)

•

COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

writer—R. S. Dickson & Co., Charlotte. Proceeds to pur¬
real estate, construct warehouse, office and dis¬

ibasis of 4.4

play

.

no par value common stock
(of which 249,930 shares will be issued to present conjistockholders on the' basis of. two additional shares
for each share held, and 100,000 shares to be sold at $10
la share to holders of preferred stock warrants). Net
proceeds ($2,854,570) will be used to retire outstanding
loans, finance improvements and provide additional
i
working capital.

chase

Underwriter—Wright, Wood

&

Co.

Proceeds—To Ac¬

quire common, stock of Philadelphia & Western RR.

Plymouth Rubber Co., Inc.
(letter of notification) 1,000 shares of
Price—$5.12V2

Dunbar

&

planned.

share.

per

common

Underwriter—John

•

B.

Co., Los Angeles, Calif.- No public offering,
Proceeds—To selling stockholders.

tive preferred stock

Price-^25 cents.

Hughes and Co., Denver.

Underwriter

participating

Names to be determined

through competitive bidding.
Probable bidders^ Morgan
Stanley- & Co.; White, Weld & Co. and Union Securities

Corp. (jointly.).

•

Real

Proceeds—For property additions and

Price—$100 per share.
No underwriting.

Aviation

ments.

Corp., Long Island, N. Y.
($1 par) common stock, issu¬
able upon the exercise of stock options.
Options for this
stock, exercisable at $7.25 per share, are held by eight
individuals and the estate of another, now deceised.

optionees

may

—For general
•

reoffer shares purchased.

1

funds.

Research

Cer¬

of notification) eight shares of common.
share. New equipment and expansion.
underwriting.
.a
' <
*

Price-—$1,0CQ

r

,

Coral Gables, Fia.
June 30 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares 6% cumu¬
lative preferred stock and 15,000 shares of common stock.
To. be offered at the rate of one share of preferred and
five of. common for $100. Proceeds are to be used to inr
•

Riddle Aviation Co.,

crease

No underwriting.

physical properties.

rahan & Co.

.Michigan

.

June 22 filea

ible

defining Corp., Mount Pleasant,

(par $12.50) and 242,000 shares of
Offering—All of the pre¬
ferred shares and 44,000 common shares are to be of¬
fered
for

stock

preferred

common

stock (no par value).

publicly, 135,000

conversion

shares to be resumed
stock and the remaining

common

of preferred

63,000 common shares are to be purchased principally
by officers and employees; Underwriter—F. Eberstadt
& Co. Proceeds—Plus a $1,30.0,000 bank loan to acquire
168,422 shares of $1 par Roosevelt
at $9.04 per share, 2,500 shares pfi
capital stock, at $444.45 per share,
L. Maguire, Inc., no par common

Oil Co.

common

SimralLCorp.,

stock

no par

and 1,000 shares of C.
stock, at $631.45 per

$haref for a total consideration of $3,265,110. Expected
about the middle of July.

,

.

•

Sangamo Electric Co., Springfield, III.
June- 29 (letter of notification) 8,500 shares

(no par)

stock, (stated value $8 a. share).
Price- —
$33,625. Underwriter — Paul H. Davis & Co., Chicago.
Proceeds will be used to partially reimburse the* treas¬
common

ury

000

for expenditures in connection with
plant at Marion, 111.

a

new

$1,000,-

Sanger-Bros.,

Inc., Dallas, Tex.
June 25 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of common
stock (par $2.50).
Price-^At market (about $11.25 per
share); Underwriters—Walker, Austin & Wagener and
Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. Proceeds—To selling stockholder.

Savoy Oil Co., Inc., Tulsa, Okla.
shares (250 par). Under¬
Offering—Stockholders of, record June

writing—None.
30

given rights to subscribe at $2.50 per share on or
before July 16 for 100,000 new shares at the rate of
are

two-thirds

of

a

share

for

each

share

held.

The

other

50,000 shares will be issued to officers and others at $2.50
per. share upon the exercise of warrants. An unspecified
number of shares may or^may not be offered for sale to
the public.
Proceeds—To be added to general funds of

(Ed.)

&

Co., Inc., Milwaukee, Wis.

July 2 filed 15,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock
(par $100).
ceeds—For

Shoe

be

offered in Indiana

Inc., Chicago,

III.

general corporate

by amendment.

Pro¬

(no par), with class A

common

attached and 25.000 shares of

•

Southern Radio Corp.,

Proceeds

Charlotte, N. C.
July 1 (letter of notification/ 2,500 shares of 6% cumu¬
lative preferred stock ($50 par);; Price—Par., Under¬
.




I

-

reported

1
late in

>

Stanley

'gan
•

Offering

—

Inc., .New York.
Temporarily post¬

To be made to common stockholders
the basis of one share for each, five now

U. S. Grant Mining Co., Butte, Mont.
21 (letter of notification) 70,035 shares

June

.

^

(10c par)

June 16 (letter of notification) lu,uuu shares of common
stock (par 500). Price—At market
(about
per

parent.
Probablebidders—Halsey, Stuart &
(bonds only); Kidder; Peabody & Co. (alone

share).

Underwriters—Willis H. Burnside & Co., Inc., and Mercer
&

Co.

•

Victor

Proceeds—For

account

of

three

Co. (on bonds
preferred); Smith Barney & Co. and Goldman,
Sachs & Co. (preferred only). Proceeds—For construc-

Products

Corp., Hagerstown, Md.
notification), 42,800 shares of common
stock, of which. 21.,503 shares will be sold, to-single-holder
of; the majority of, the outstanding
voting, stock and
21,297 shares, will be offered publicly. Price—$7.50- per

tion.
•

Proceeds—To increase word¬

.

bidders—Halse.v Stuart & Co. Inc:; Salomon "Bros &
Hutzler; Harris, Hall &-Co. (Inc.)
.»
?
>

,

common

To pay bank loans and furnish
No underwriters.

July

(letter

of

•

-Public

Service Co.

-

of New Hampsbiret
asked the SEC for authority to bor..

notification)

July 6 the

company

$5,500,0QQ by, Oct.

•

Richmond Water

June

and

preferred

22.00(1

shares

,

stock.
-

*

•

V

Corp..../'

y.

.

r

„

,

,

Go*/,t

JStockholders will- vote/July 23 on; increasing: authorized^
common

no par value,-from 150,000 shares to 250,r
Company has no present plans for
marketing

stock,

000 shares.

Prospective Offerings ||
American

Buslines, Inc., Chicago
company applied to ICC for authority to issue
(a) $1,500,000 15-year debentures (to be sold privately
to institutional investors);
(b) 100,000 shares of new
cumulative' preferre'd *stoc&,.~no. par value, "(of which
July 2

45.817

shares

will

be

offered

in

outstanding 10,413 shares of $100

exchange for present
par

preferred stock

on

^'

refunding of outstanding
Traditional: uhde¥v)r-itev,;

;Taylor-Wharton: Iron &

common

4.,

Co.,

By .tljat .dater it expect^
V

Works

24, reported considering

bonds

W. C. Langley &

Co., Chicago, HI;

stock (par $.1), * Underwriter~-Wmi Ci Roney & Co. Price
by amendment.'
'
J,
*

•

r

14 will vote on increasing the
authorized capital stock (par $100) from 2,000,000 shares
;to 4,000,000 shares.'
.f
^
on

"to issue $5,000,000 of .bonds,

Price—$100 each.

working capital.
24

Stockholders

.

r

^ Tekgrapht Cffk

England Telephone!

r&w up, to.

Young Brothers* Ltd.r Honolulu, Hawaii
June 30 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of

May

New

.

•

Zonolite

•

loans, stock proceeds for general corporate
*
- : "

Mainiy; for development.

stock.

.

able

pany and its subsidiaries under an employees' purchase
plan.; Proceeds—Of debentures to be applied to prepay¬

Oil Cq*, Alamosa, Colo.
April 30 filed 10 000 shares of common stock (par $10).
Underwriting—None, Price^r$10 pet' share. Proceeds^

-

Proceeds would be used to finance part of cost of
$6,279,730 for Diesel-electric freight locomotives.^ Prob¬

Underwriter—Kuhn, Loeb & Co. (for de¬
Stock will be offered to employees of cotrif

.

RR.

icates.

amendment.

p

.

1948, and to advertise for competitive bids. Court set' a
hearing for July 29 on question of issuance of certif¬

We&tinghouse Electric Corp* (7/15)
June 24, filed $80,000,000 of 25-yean convertible debs; and
900,000 shares of common stock (par $12.50). Pricer—By

Yeakley

-

.

Missouri. Pacific

Guy A Thompson, trustee for the road, has been author¬
ized by the Federal District Court in St. Louis, Mo., to
apply to the IQC for authority to issue $4,709,000 equip¬
ment trust certificates, series KK, to be. dated; Aug. 1,

ing capital.

ment of bank,

Inc.

bonds

and

June 28. (letter of;

bentures).

Co.
on

with group on preferred); Drexel; &

and

selling

Statement effective.

share. Underwriter—None.

Corp.

•fc*
Metropolitan Edison Co.
July 1 reported to be planning issuance of $3 500.000 first
mortgage boncjs, 4.0,000 shares of preferred stock and
$2,000,000 common stock. Bonds and preferred stock to
be sold6at competitive bidding, and common stock to

Mfg. Corp*
$3

'

Manhattan Coil

will vote July 16 and 17 on authoriz¬
issuance of 300,000 shares of new 6% cumulative
convertible preferred stock at par ($100 per share) and
on eliminating the present authorized but unissued em¬
ployees stock and 12,000 shares of 5Y2% cumulative con¬
vertible preferred stock, par $25.

_

United States Television

Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Mor& Co.; The First Boston Coro.: Shie'ds &
Weld & Co. and R. W; Pressprich & Co.

ing

capital stock.
Price—25 cents each... For machinery,
•equipment and development of mining properties,,, No
underwriting.

Hicks

possibly

The stockholders

Proceeds — Expenditures for equipment and fa¬
cilities, retiring bank loans and debentures.

stockholders.

Co.

market,

able bidders to include

c",,

Lines, Inc., Chicago

June 22.
on

in

be

J, 1948; The comp&hy is, contrbjled. joinffy
by New York Ceotrai RR, and Baltinioxe
Qhio R^,
and it is expected that the conlerripiated bond issue.; wiii
bear the guarantee of the two proprietary roads. Prob¬

•

on

Terminal

will

dated June

Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co.,

of record

RR*

company

Offering, ex-

July, with $9^50,000 first mortgage 20-year bonds

Price—By amendment.

•

-

additional stock.

stock reserved for

Underwriter—Lee Higginson Corp.'
-^For general corporate purposes.
warrants.

*

-

-

Lakefrout Dock &

Co., White,
(jointly).

(7/20)

share purchase warrants

common

r

Van Sickle, Inc., Emporia, Kan,
about-July
4-. &. ■

July

>

purposes.

Corp. of America, Columbus, Ohio

of record Aug. 2 will vote on
class of convertible preferred stock to be

a

in series.

* pected

•\

,

Underwriters—Name

Hydraulics,: lncL
stockholders

only^Un-.^Kenneth

June 7 filed filed 369,618 shares ($10 par) common stock.

June 28 filed 25 000 shares of cumulative preferred stock

•

To

Fund,

United Air

-

,j Schuster

dividends.

agement-Co.

company.
•

:* - ?
• j Greer

issued

ing price to the public. $48,927,375. Proceeds—To invest
in securities of companies in .the field of television, radio
and electronics.
Underwriter—Television Shares.. Man¬

purposes.

June 8 filed 150,000'common

Glore, Forgan & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc., The Fir$t
Corp. and Central Republic Co. (jointly); Leh¬
Lazard Freres & Co. (jointly); A. Q.

authorizing

held..

(7/44)?

i35,uuu snares of 6% cumulative convert¬

for sae at com¬
Probable bidder^ in¬

up

Brothers and

Common

June 24 filed 4,987,500 shares of common stock
(par $1).
price—At market. Proposed maximum aggregate offer¬

poned

Roosevelt O*1 °-

(8/17)

(letter

Television
•

"

Riley Stoker Corp., Worcester, Mass.
June 3 (letter of notification) 7,000 shares ($3 par) com¬
mon stock.
Price—$11% per share. Underwriter—Han-

Co.

& cn

Toronto,

derwriter—City Securities Corp. ' Proceeds—To retire
$225,000 of promissory notes and for working capital.

per

,>

15

accrued

4

Inc., New York

June 30 (letter
No

Service

approximately 574,000 shares of
by Halsey, Stuart & 'Co. Inc. and

Co., Indianapolis, Ind. (7/15)
of* notification) 3,000 shares of 5
Kansas Soya Products Co., Inc. (7/A'B) ' ~
!
cumulative preferred stock (par $100).
Holders, of 492;;/ An offering of approximately 2,130 shares of $5 cumushares of presently outstanding 6% cumulative preferred- ; lative
preferred stock and 78.000 shares of common stock
stock will be offered in exchange 492 shares of the new 4 is
planned shortly. Price^—$95 a share for the preferred
5te%; preferred: stock, share for share. Price^a^anfe^hd $1.25 a;:shate*:for the commotio Underwriter will/Me
June

Proceeds

£

Foundation,

Public

that

stock owned

^Boston

Tanner &

.

June 4 .filed 42,000 shares

tain

Illinois

1. reported

clude

Canada.
Proceeds—For mine develop¬
'•
/V'' W'-"
''

share.

a

Inc.

approving the cre¬
$6,000,000 cumulative

on

of

Middle West Corp; will be put
petitive bidding around Aug. 17.

*

cents

Central

.

common

.•

Price—60

issue

preferred stock which will be convertible into
stock for a period of approximately it), years.
Issuance is planned in the late summer or" early fall.
Underwriter—F. S. Moseley & Co. ' Proceeds—For plant

man

Co.,

authorized

an

common

•

Underwriter—Mark

&

of-

fJuly

offices. No underwriting.
Daniels

Bigelow-Sanford Carpet Co.,

| modernization and additional working capital.' .;\

Tabor Lako Gold Minos* Ltd.* Toronto* Canada
April 2 filled 300,000 shares (par $X) preferred stock.

To obtain capital to transact business.

■^Republic

160,000

Loan Co., Cleveland
(letter of notification) 3,000- shares of class A
preferred stock. Price—$100. To open three new

6%

Estate

lative preferred stock (no par).

par), and

30

branch

Equities, Inc., East Orange, N. J.
(letter of notification) 3,000 shares of $6 cumu¬

July 1

($1

Sun Finance#

June

improvements.
Bids—Bids were asked to be submitted
July T, hut. company postponed sale for twp weeks.
•

stock,

'

second

;

preferred stock and $2.50*'for the common. This stock
is being offered py stockholders' who* are member# of
•the Belt family.

($100 par) cumulative pre¬
—

preferred

No definite plans have been made for utilizing

Aug. 16 the stockholders will vote
ation

shares (50c par) common stock,, of which. 40,000 will be

For working capital.

June 11 filed 200,000 snares
ferred stock.
Underwriters

I

sold and the remainder reserved for conversion. Under¬
writer—White & Co., St. Louis, Mo. Price—$8 for the

Public Service Electric & Gas Co.

:

•

Steak 'n Shake,. Inc., Bloomington, III.
Fob. 2 filed 40,000 shares of 50c cumulative Convertible

R. L.

—

Products Co.

the additional stock.

j

(par $100).

Price, par. Underwriter
—Fidelity Securities
Investment Co., Inc., Asbury
Park, N. J.
Working capital.

*

Metal

American

shares,

.

Co.,

Co., Denver, Colo.
May 11 (letter of notification)f 400,000 shares (100 par)
stock.

•

June 28 stockholders approved an increase in the author¬
ized
common
stock from
500,000 shares to 1,000,000

Squankum Feed & Supply Co., Inc.
Farmingdale, N. J.
May 24 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares $5.50 cumula¬

Powder River Oil

common

To be offered in units of four preferred and one

at $4 a unit. To purchase a tourist court, build
homes and develop a dude ranch. No underwriting.

Portsmouth, Va.
June 23 (letter of notification) $25,000 of 4V2% 10- year
income bonds, due June 1, 1958. Underwriter—Virginia
Securities Co.
Proceeds—For working capital.
Price—
par.

Enterprises, Inc., Prescott, Ariz.
(letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common
shares of 8% non-cumulative preferred

mon

common

Emery, Jr., selling stockholder.

Expected at

•

Southwest

stock.

tixioaay n) iu,u00 shares of common
stock (par $1).
Price—$3.12 V2 per share.
Underwriter
—Baker, Simonds & Co.
Proceeds — To go to John C.
Finance

'

stock and 240,000

vt

Portsmouth

space.

June 29

Plywood, Inc., Detroit, Mich.
June1 UitW

j

to a group
349,930 shares of additional

30, 1948, but the underwriter will not offer this publicly
at this time.)
vi

stock.

shares for each old share held, and the
of underwriters); and (q)

new

fremainder sold

(Company will also sell the underwriter
$25,000 of its common stock at its book value as of June

June 18

Thursday, July 8, 1943

•

Texas

Stockholders

ization from
value to

100,000
in

one

"

Gas,Transmission Corp.
June

on

28

increased

authorized

2.000,000 shares of capital stock of

3,000,000 shares of
shares

or

;

more

of

preferred

series.

commqn

stock
There are

stock

(par
no

capital¬
no

(par $5)

par

anj

$100), issuable

present plans for

issuing the preferred stock. One share of new common
was issued in exchange for each, of the 1,265,383- no
par
shares outstanding.
"J

.

Volume

168

Number 4714

THE

The New
(Continued from

15)

page

the terms of

industry faces—the fact that *

collective bargain¬
ing agreement. That is sound and
good. But to put any question of

the

American

a

and

*

,

"

Let us look at what this

challenge means to individual
Companies in the months ahead.

nies

individual

your

solve

problems

their

make

can

relations

break

or

the

individual

competitive enterprise
system 'by- which all Americans

industry

is* whole¬

have

dverall policy it is to take a
positive and vigorous stand for
the goals of the whole American
one

people—concentrating our efforts
on the practical means to attain
those goals.
;v *'
But monopoly

.

is

horse of

a

an¬

many

times

ment's

responsibilities subjected
arbitration as a result of out¬

to

side

pressures, misinformed pub¬

this issue if

on

the

tasks

We

and branch.

now

And

destroys
bargaining.
life

shall

of

by replacing the flexible,
adaptable system of free enter¬
prise by a government-controlled

lastingly continue to do

so.

So

stand convinced that every de¬
cision of management in the field
of
labor-management; relations

we

must
on

a

stand the test of its effect

competition.

the' imperative need for increased

productivity must not be allowed
sound thinking • and a

positive stand
principles.

fundamental

on

Muddled Thinking on Labor-

#

Management Issues

recent years there has been
good deal of muddled thinking

and

divided

counsel^ on certain

labor-management

The
gradual expansion of the area for
collective

its

in

closest

our

issues.

■

bargaining has brought

wake

heart

of

the

results

that

demand

examination.

For

Industry has made great
strides in this direction. But there
is much more that needs to
be
done.

Individual companies have

I

refer

to

industry-wide and mass bar¬
gaining, Which have led to the
shattering experiences of indus¬
try-wide and nation-wide strikes
in industries that critically affect
the public health and safety. This

continuing responsibility of
doing
everything
within
their
power to

provide

an

ever-increas¬

ing degree of regular work and
pay for their employees. Many
ways have been worked out and
used

successfully

by

individual

companies to eliminate or modify
seasonal factors. Through this
ap¬
proach many short-term layoffs
have

already been eliminated.

I

think of few greater contribu¬
tions that any company can make
to America's greatness than
to
can

study its

demands public attention and the

operations and
rect every factor within its

most careful examination. Should

trol

this trend continue and the public
be left at the mercy of such, crises,

and setady pay the
year round.

we

can

cal

and

results

as:

(1) Prohibition of the right to
strike.

Compulsory arbitration
with government setting wages
and imposing its decisions in the
field of employer-employee rela¬
tions.

And

(3) Rapid extension of
intervention

ment

economy.;

and

govern¬

control

of

,

con¬

prevents steady work

Another

area

trial management must take
action

is

that

of

con^em¬

ployee behefit prbgrams and in¬
dustrial

health

measures.

companies have done

a

Many

fine

and

constructive job of providing pro¬
tection to their employees against
the hazards of
sickness, disability,
old age and death. But
you know
as well as I do how
much more

.

AH of these are dangerous. They
threaten the very fabric of our
economic life. To avert such dan¬
gers we must safeguard the
of each individual

right

company

bargain

with

its

to

people, or
with the union that its
employees
have* chosen of their free will to
own

represent them.
Another

agement

issue

must

devote

headed 'thinking
The

fundamental

arbitration

as a

which

on

is

man¬

hard-

arbitration.

principle

of

device for resolv-

ang\industrial disputes has much
to contribute

Bui"r

to industrial peace.
it. is. essential that manage¬

ment
and

understand the significance
implications

of

arbitration.

Properly safeguarded, and limited
to

the

interpretation of

an

exist¬

ing labor agreement, it is a tool
that has much to offer both labor
and management.
•

Properly safeguarded, with the
jurisdiction
of
the
arbitrator
clearly stipulated, it can clear up




needs to be done.

;For one thing progressive man¬
agement is concerned with the
welfare

and

health

ployees. Plans

are

of

its

em¬

needed to help

employees to weather their

per¬

sonal emergencies.
One of the fundamental desires
of employees — one that looms
very large in their thinking—is
the quest for security in
sickness,
in old age, and for their families

when

death

health

and

programs in individual
and

medical

companies,

attention to the conservation

of employees' health are essential
to good industrial
operations.

J These

prompt
handled

are

issues

which

attention. 'They

need

can

be

who

took

Sell

Utility Issue

Stuart

&

Co.

planning

of $30,000,000
Nashville

&

3%%

first and

week's

of

RR.'s

shares

Louis¬

last

offering
ville

Service Co.

55-year

mand for the

This
which

three

it

into

the

had

Inc.

to

is

market,

firm

is

the

Public

stock.

expected

registration

which

for

would

opened

indicated
be

Illinois

common

close

to

the

on

of

the

month

that

mean

go

block

bids

would probably be solicited and

offering

been

would

groups

Central

before

de¬

obligations.

was

of

The

refunding mort¬
foi?

gage bonds on their lone bid
the issue encountered a brisk

workmen's

on

com¬

can

fluoroscope

basic and

for

pay

in

about Aug. 17 next.!

on or

the

imposed

high position
guard at

a

of

management.
we did

We

ing at

sure

did.

we

as

all

which

that

ment?
soon

as

paid

we

base

on

me

su¬

manage¬

on?"

But

one.

"Whom

formation from about any
change
in their rate of
pay, hours and
working conditions? Do they get
it first from their foremen?
Or
from the

I- can say now that we have an
ironclad agreement with the union
that

change

no

centive plans

in

the

hourly

conditions,

are

or

before the employee's
announces them.
I

in¬

to be announced

fore¬

own

man

>

also point with most im¬
modest satisfaction to the
front
page of our little company
maga¬
zine. There we list the
directors,
and the various arms of
manage¬
can

ment—including

our

foremen—all

together.
These
that

the

can

buckle

that

kind

of

things

up—and

American

go

the

leadership

requires today.
spot.

pace

one

big; boss.

ex¬

and

the

"all

only

moved

selling
out

group
bonds"

of

reportedly

more

teamwork

roots up. '

Leader's

Guide—:

E. .Fisher—Industrial

Section,

of

in

California

Technology,

Re¬

Insti¬

Pasadena

initions, Interpretations, Construc¬
tions, explained and clarified—

almost

the

pro¬

issue

new

to

a

Glenn L. Shinn—Simmons-Board-

Publishing Co., 30 Church
Street, New York 7, N. Y.
man

complete halt this week with only
handful of

a

issues, including sev¬
railway
equipment
trust

eral

loans making

Largest
bids

offering

for

due

Co., 200,000 shares of $100

which

Strange

fact

preferred stock,

two

bids

were

DIVIDEND NOTICES

New

Jersey utilities
pretty much monopolized the new
market, what with New
Jersey Power & Light Co., open¬
ing bids for $6,000,000 of new 30year first mortgage bonds.

AMERICAN;

More

Active

v!:.

June

29,

1948,

quarterly dividend

a

seventy-five cents per share

in the way of activ¬
ity, not so much by reason of the
number of issues in
prospect but
because of their larger
more

COMPANY

CAN

COMMON STOCK

On
Week

Next week gives promise of
pro¬
viding underwriters with consid¬

erable

D.

of the
Dynasty —

M. Josephson—Chedneyr
Press, 127 East 69th Street, New
York 21, N. Y.
•

money

Next

Franklin

of

The—History

Emanual

scheduled.
In

Death

Roosevelt,

Roosevelt-Delano

for

up

Public Service Electric

was

& Gas

the roster.

up

declared

was

Of
the

on

Common'Stock of this Company, payable August

1948, to Stockholders of record at the close

16,

business July

of

Transfer books will

22, 1948.

remain open.
Checks will
:
EDMUND

be mailed.

HOFFMAN, Secretary.

propor¬

tions.

THE

ATCHISON,

SANTA

Westinghouse Electric Corp.'s
$80,000,000
of
debentures,
a
negotiated deal, tops the list for
the period with the proceeds to
be applied
to

loans.

plans

to

The

offer

receipts from
added

to

also

company

to

900,000 shares of

employees

common

which

general

of

stock,

would

be

The
clared
Cents

142,

FE

Board

of

($1.50)

AND

COMPANY

of

One

1948.

has

this
day
de¬
Dollar
and
Fifty

per
share, being Dividend
Common
Capital Stock
of

the

on

Directors

dividend

a

TOPEKA

RAILWAY

New York, N. Y., June 29,

••

No-.
this

Company, payable September 1, 1948, to holders
said
Common
Capital Stock registered on
the
books
of
the
Company at the close of
business July 30, 2948.

of

.

Dividend
of

checks

Common

able orders

will

be

mailed

Capital Stock

who have
therefor at this office.

D.

corporate

Close

behind

comes

C.

WILSON.

120

to

holders
suit¬

filed

Assistant Treasurer. :i

Broadway, New York 5,

N.

Y.

New

Jersey Bell Telephone Co. with
its offering of $55,000,000 of 40debentures up for competi¬
tive bidding. At least two bank¬
year

from

It wants

us

the
to

grass¬
set

the

in,
two
ways.
One: pace
full steam ahead
right
through cumbersome, impersonal down the middle of
the big road.
—

The

Board of Directors

Manufacturing
Company

has
HELP WANTED

wanted

by high-grade,
over-the-counter firm.

man

be

with

offered

weekly
basis.
"ACF"

a

a

Address

our

Room

2800,

*

clientele

will

drawing

aeainst

New York.

well capitalized
An experienced

established

an

declared

twelve

TRADER-SALESMAN

account of $150
liberal
commission

Advertising Agency:
55 Liberty Street,
>'

of

Wentworth

ing groups, headed by dyed-in-

our

more

4,

Calif.—Paper—$1.00.
Freight Rate Applications—Def¬

of

our

production, *

'

,

Conference

tute

Kans.-^

small

market

slowed down

Lawrence,

*

lations

out

Relatively Quiet Week

united, whole¬
The public is our
And there is no

land. It
freedom—more freedom. It

—

have

Rates—Mignon
University
of
Kansas

Publications,

Waldo

balance

Evidently because
tracted
holiday the

the

teamwork, clear-cut responsibility
and

this

Railroad

—

Paper.

Friday.

as a

mistaking its voice
wants

only
its hands

Class

Morton

funds.

public has put us on
The American people

times require
hearted team.

wants

to

was

leaving

bank

are

beyond—everlastingly hitting

The

had

on

prepayment

we

pace

have

Tuesday

par, cumulative

was:

get their in¬

wage, working

to

Complicated ABC's of Changes
in

amounts held by dealers.

two

fixed that up—fast.

His second question
do your employees

soon

almost

work

that

reported

quickly

—

Or does their pay
stop as
there is a hitch in the de¬

off

was

the

out in good
long holiday
selling group

at the close of business on

arms

and

like

the

$4,500,000 remaining

said

sent

foremen

your
are

livery of material to
I

was

moved

to

and

was

said, "How many of you
say with complete truthful¬

ness

weekend

off

He

pervisors

issue

prior

on

Then he asked

more
questions
hotfoot home.

can

style

ness

did

Bookshelf

figure of 100 to yield the

a

buyer a return of 3.75% to matur¬
ity in 2003.

treated

were

—

Man's '■ i

bonds in, proceeded with reoffer-

meeting like this and

thought

bidders by the rail¬

on

very

me

asked how many of us
foremen and-supervisors

of the restrictions

With the resumption of busi¬
a

took

once

Business

syndicates

Paying the company a price of
98.26991, the group, which bid the

The

sent the company.
Someone who now holds

two

road.

with

obvious that it is

that

because

ness

lot

a

equipment

so

developed

more

Management pect both management and labor
can help to provide
this protec¬ to stop squabbling, get down to
tion. It is &
responsibility that workable human principles, for¬
management cannot Ignore.. get any
petty differences and rise
Closely allied to this problem" is to the new productive

Expanded

few for both issues.

a

reported

$17,000

strikes.

the matter of greater health
pro¬
tection for industrial
employees.

already in the
for bonds, some for

some

Halsey,

than

saved

we

shop stewards?"
Ill be hanged if I wasn't
caught
which indus¬
flatfooted on that one too.
But

in

preferred stock

groups

and

had decided to forego the busi¬

alone

.

structive

(2)

our

which

cor¬

Employee Benefit Programs

expect such drastic, radi¬
undemocratic

own

running,

year

cluding foremen and first line
supervisors must be given the
support that they need to repre¬

ment.

five

stock

That

principle
management, in¬

.

Co,

through competitive bidding, soon,
its
entire
noldings
of
574,087
Bankers

one

This is the fudamental
that all arms of

sive campaign to
help companies
and
eliminate
wide
swings in production and employ¬

Power

running. But as time for open¬
ing of tenders rolled around it

so

two; years now the NAM
driving ahead an inten¬

States

no-par cumulative

Report

too often overlooked.

has been

Northern

Bankers to

use¬

something

free enterprise system
steady work and steady

moderate

proved its
hilt. Why for

the

Let's close this list of
manage¬
ment's next moves with

our

provide

second

Role of Foremen and
Supervisors

people's hopes and fears there is
a question
by which all that we
believe in stands or falls. This is:
Can

the

had

we

pensation. You

American

the

In
a

the

By

that kind of
money.

pay?

The dust kicked up by past in¬
stances .of industrial strife, and

to obscure

At

fatigue

erating

of

economy.

ever¬

eyestrain and
lead directly tc

are)

(Minn.) will open bids for its
$10,000,000 of first mortgage 30year bonds and 200,000 shares of

stretch of 275,000 hours of direct
working time we operated with¬
out a single lost time accident.

,

It threatens Americans'
way

as

accidents.

fulness to

practice.
genuine collective

It

factors

competi¬

one.

Reporter's

in¬

year in which our program of
health examinations had been
op¬

Concerning compulsory arbitra¬

Providing Steady Employment

it root

oppose

we

serious

tion I need say no more than
that:

other color. We have always been

against it.

physical

a^nd responsibilities demanded by

principle.

for

since

bidding made its debut,

with

remember

rivals

47

expected to fight it out for this

Our

is

progress

I

almost fired

was

even such

bur nation.

It is unsound in
It has failed in

This

rapid.

process

industry is to

unprecedented

and

—

had any occupational
hazards, we
wanted to know it—at once. And
I was convinced that in the
very
nature
of
a
repetitive

opinion, or government inter¬
Management must stand

fulfill

dif¬

dynamic republic
and of our
intensely human, free
competitive enterprise system.

augurating twice-yearly complete
health
examinations,
including
fluorscope equipment, for O'Sullivan employees. I felt that if we

we

basic issues of manage¬

seen

and

tive

indiscriminate

an

progress.

when I

the

reputation of being
against. You will find that if this
ever", was true, it is no longer
characteristic of us.
If we have

trial

ability to
efficiently or

business

which

the-wool

our

personalized, localized, hu¬
identification of their
employees' well-being with indus¬

management's

the

run

of

a

real

firm

it shows its ugly head. It is
sometimes said, and. perhaps witn
reason, that in the past the NAM

earned

staggering to the left or jib¬
ing, to the right, but in the full

current

legislation

into

(143)-

Not

manized

vention.

heartedly against monopoly wher¬
ever

to

destroy

lic

live and thrive.

■American

;

successfully. Too

compa¬

labor

CHRONICLE

grab bag. Or, two: through indi¬
vidual companies
leading the way

ward the business. This
may well

ring¬

ing

restrictive

ferences

tration is to invite decisions
by a
third party who is
unqualified by
experience or responsibility to¬

,

,

Challenge to Individual Concerns

How

FINANCIAL

lumps individual needs

public' trusts industry
to show the
leadership it takes to management's responsibility, ob¬
lift productive
teamwork
to a ligation, duty or function in ques¬
great
new
levelof - human tion through the process of arbi¬
achievement.'

&

in Industrial Relations

'
••

COMMERCIAL

and

a

one

dividend
-

half

of

cents

(12V2c) per share on the out¬
standing common stock of the
Company, payable on August
20, 1948, to stockholders of
record
ness

at

the

close

of

busi¬

August 2, 1948.

Checks

will

be

JOHN E.

mailed.
McDERMOTT,
":

Secretary.

48

(144)

>

THE

'

COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

Thursday, July 8, 1943
under the

BUSINESS BUZZ
V'V.'A

•h f

relatively conservative

construction standards of FHA.

.v.

\

•

'

.

/

v.

Veterans

still

can

GI

get

loait

to make it
possible for them to finance the

guarantees,
purchase

of

lenders

will

FHA

WASHINGTON, D. C.—If one were prevented from having the
slightest chance of winning the half mile race because he had a slight
case
of tuberculosis, the
additional handicap of a broken ankle
is

too

the

the

week that the Southern

revolt, in
opinion, is not serious. Should
there
develop a
close election,
his

the

revolt

would

be

to

prove

the

Southern

something, perhaps
that
would
actually

thing

his first elected term
On

the

other

business

swing
and

hand,
from

toward

not

if the whole

represents

away

New

problem.

their

of

trying

policies, the Southern revolt could

Eisenhower

become

left

the

and

to

tease

the coup

more

the condemned man after the po¬
litical firing squad had finished,
v

It

is

too

early, nevertheless, to

write off the Southern revolt.
tween

Presidential^

nominated

ready

Alabama

large

and

electors

in
that

votes

al¬

primaries in

Florida

prospect

electoral

Be¬

and

the

Mississippi

will

be

for

cast

but Truman, there at this

.anyone

writing,

to be 52 electoral
votes pledged against Truman.
If

the

appear

Southerners

next

Philadelphia take
inate

a

week

walk and

on

General
the life-

have

didate,

the

number

of

To those who

pooh pooh the sig¬
nificance of the Southern revolt,
knowledgeable

a

can¬

taking

which

circuitously

in

the

be

York

the prospects

to

seem

.

where

the' other

On

hand, should the

election become

of those big

one

Africa, in

moment of weakness,

a

him back here

as

It would just'make
the defeat greater.
Southern
which

is

revolt,
far

possible effect upon
The

significance

than

an

is

that

If

of Southern Democrats at Phila¬

delphia

next

nominate

week

their

own

and

they

"Southern

Democratic candidate for Presi¬

dent,"
open

stood.

then

the " split

will

be

and unmistakeably under¬
The split is there, never¬

theless,

even

if there is

no

all

four states,

two

or

of

three,

and
they

more,

my

assistant.?'/

control

means

the

course

of

voutly

consummation

a

to

be

desired

de¬

by

the

Democrats and much to be ab¬
.

tribes against Congress.
across

two years of the Hoover Admin¬

istration,

when

controlled

the House.

members

and

San

Mejia, Russ

of

the

Francisco

New

Stoclc

the

Democrats
Under

the

to

The

Financial

\

Chronicle)

1

that maybe

the

the running mate for Mr. Truman
next week. Former House Major¬

did not have superior judgment
to
the
500-odd
men
of
Con¬

ity Leader John

gress.

FRANCISCO, CALIF. —»
Olga M. Poulsen, formerly with
Hannaford & Talbot, is now with
Wilson, Johnson & Higgins, 30$
Montgomery Street.

of

C.

W.

McCormack

Massachusetts, Senator Joseph
O'Mahoney of Wyoming, Rep.

Mike

Illinois

of

Tydings

of

and

Millard

Maryland,

Supreme

Court Justice William O. Douglas,
and
former Senator Jackson of

Indiana.-

Belle Isle

Mr. Truman is thought to

taking

with

Texas Gas Transmission

President

the

a

same

U. S.

political
chance
kind of an of¬

main

timers

campaign
recall

Mr.

lit

•

It is

ing

becoming clear that

now

was

some
war.

lapse.

1932

!

Seatex Oil

supports enacted since the
Title VI, which provides for

cost,"

was allowed

M. S. WlEN & Co.

to

ESTABLISHED

The secondary market
by

Congress

for

1919

was
Members N.

again.

<

all but cut it clear of the

retained

Stopped, frustrated, and stulti¬

>

Lonsdale Co.

*

;

what the Congress did with hous¬

Tru¬

strategy,

Finishing

fensive.

sary current
with

Corp.

Dorset Fabrics

FHA insurance of loans at "neces¬

connection

man's
old

be

even

only

40

Y.

Security Dealers AsYn

Exchange PI., N. Y. 5

those loans which finance housing

Teletype N. Y.

HA. 2-87S0

j

1-1397

leadership of

one of the country's
political artisans, John

most able

Nance

Garner, then Speaker, the

Democrats made

the

HAnover 2-0050

monkeys out of
Administration
by

Hoover

the

He would nominally run for Pres-

!

CALIF. —4

in 1932

In

then

President

and

candidate

Trading Markets:
Ralston Steel Car

FOREIGN SECURITIES

.

-

Oregon Portland Cement

<

Riverside Cement A & B

All Issues

Spokane Portland Cement

■

P.ARL MARKS & TO. INC.
r

FOREIGN SECURITIES

-

v

n

.

/

SPECIALISTS

■

>

LERNER & CO.
Investment Securities

50 Broad Siree!

Also, when in opposition—up
until
selecting a new Presi¬
dential

Teletype—NY 1-971
Firm Trading Markets

substi¬

Democrats, the sanest
tuting their own program. It was
hope was that, anticipating defeat, John
Garner's skillful maneuver¬
the Northern left-wing and the
ing probably more than the late
Southern conservative wings of
Charley
Michael son's
political
the party could get together on a
propagandizing, which gave the
leader.
It was not so important
impression Mr. Hoover was a man
that this leader win th,e election as
without a program and with no
that he be able to bring. about
ability to act—because Garner had
some unity in the
party so as to
Hoover, as it were, hog-tied.
develop its strength in opposition.

Chronicle)

Event¬

ually the idea got

horred by the Republicans.

Republicans remember the last

by the

Here is a list of those who have
active hope for being selected as

Lucas

organization

his programs

Mr. Hoover took to writing dia¬

lic housing fight), Senators Scott

the

Senate, which

is

}

Mejia

Financial

SAN

Garner leadership of tjhe House,

tees

control

and

The

FRANCISCO,

(Special

I promised I'd bring

fied in all

if

con¬

tests in the/border states.

burying everything requested by

the

even

the

that

rump

convention.
For

tie. If the

a

one

or

one

Monroney of Oklahoma
(leader in the House for the pub¬

This

dis¬

party, but it will be a
party in opposition.
there is a rump convention

member¬

out

legislation in the 81st Congress.

the

disunited

Senate

up

three

losing

Democrats would head commit¬

goes

united

won

picked

of the

its "

election.

Democratic party not only
into
the
1948
election
a

come

would

however,

greater

the

also

significance to the!

a

some

Should the GOP lose all three,

Democrats

nificance to the election would be

in

are

jeopardy.
seats then

superfluous.
There is

seats

in

Virginia,

West

ship would

for the GOP, then the sig¬

sweeps

and

three

to

defeated

Wilson, Johnson Adds
"In

be

somewhat larger.
In a close fair that Democrats will hold
seats
this could be important. in
Democratic States and Republi¬
Right now Democrats and Repub¬ cans
in
normally
Republican
licans alike don't think it will be
States, barring a big sweep. The
a close election, but Nov. 2 is too
three border States are Kentucky,
far away to make it a gilt-edged
.

the

appears to
Republicans have

election

security.

cost,|

commit¬

proposed

or

by

done

Exchanges. He was formerly with
Schwabacher & Co. and Dean Wit~
ter & Co.
i

majority of six in the. Senate.

Oklahoma,

what

at

extensive

to

to

Building,

GOP

In other than three of the border

States,

added

it will
be

can

Cyrus B. Johnson has become af*

at this moment

armor

and

the

When Con¬

January

filiated with Davies &

led

\

chink

in

idea what

included

SAN

Mr. Roosevelt eventually to - take

Harry Truman.

the

result

a

With Davies &

opposition to
again as Vice-

Wallace

President

a

the

an

(Special

Southern

was

As

housing bill.

be President of
It

New York 4, N. Y.

AFFILIATE; CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO

10 Post Office

Square, Boston 9, Mast.

Telephone Hubbard 1990

Teletype B9 99

becomes

necessary—Southern

Democrats
become quite united in op¬

can

Herbert H. Blizzard & Co.
WILBUR SUCHARD
Chocolate

Company

Common land Preferred

position.

The first sign of this
already has appeared. All the
Democrats on the House Bank¬

orciusly
of

had
the

for

they been in
House, and

its

enactment.

that

Clear

thru—Montgomery, Scott
New York & Philadelphia




chances
not

of

as

lose

are

the

that

control

of

& Co.

If

there

they

is

may

a

GOP

the

the
will

Senate.

Republican sweep

pick

up

Susquehanna Mills

BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED

"I

con¬

In the

present
the

Empire Steel Corp.

4Cumulative Preferred

(;y

respon¬

main, however, the view here is

St., Philadelphia 9, Pa.

LERNER STORES CORP.

who would have opposed it
vig-

sible

123 South Broad

'

ing Committee backed the TEW
housing
bill,
including
some

trol

*;

probably

here

past South¬

a

revolt Henry Wallace would
the U. S. today."

ern

be the Senate.

votes which might be cast against
incombent President, might

Democrat

said: "If it wasn't for

unused

with

less rapid.

building

be

until

Construction:

building until well

fall.

meets

without

Weakest

electoral

in

felt

be

of

are

gress

however,

building costs will
reversed, even if price

be

rises

fi¬

home

guarantees

the

not

not

year.

housing

sustain

ments

at

nom¬

Southern Democratic

a

throw

will

VI

into

from

i.

,

has

bloom

effects,

the

inflation

wing¬

off

Its

rental

will

preserver.'

important than
de grace administered to

no

to

in

Title

the

Instead

taken

later

.

inflation

the

'probably

1933.

concentrated

revolt

in

ers

1

past if not as high as

nancing.

wings, however, did
on the recon¬

southerners

Deal

conservative

more

two

in the

been

get together

struction

cyclical

a

the

The

,

which

:

'

still insure 80 to 90 %]

can

Thus

even

to the Republican party after

President.

as

—

!

under Title VI.

if defeated, but be the
real active leader of the party.
If
he is defeated, Mr. Truman will
be, while the titular leader, as
lacking in influence in all prob¬
ability as Mr. Hoover in relation

preclude Mr. Truman from getting

1

probably will be much higher

than

politicos^-

ident,

a

loan, and the appraisal stand-*

a

ard

serious—because he couldn't win anyway.

way

view Mr. Truman's statement last

then

of

along

go

will not.

many

That

without

home

a

down payment, provided the price
of the house isn't too high and

FILING DEPT.

wouldn't be

however,

Senate seats

I

iKobbe & Company
INCORPORATED

Members National Association

of Securities Dealers, Inc.

55 Liberty Street, New York 5, N. Y.

Telephone
BArclay 7-2663

:
^

:

.

,

v•

Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc.
Markets and

;

Teletype
NY 1-277

120

Situations

for Dealers

Broadway, New York 5

Tel. REctor 2-2020

Tele. NY 1 -2660