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15 1949 JUL Bt& ESTABLISHED 1S39 LIBRARY In 2 Sections Section 1 — Reg:. U. S. Pat. Office "Volume 170 Taft » New Number 4820 Says Atlantic • » • / - : « - ' • » - ■ . By JAMES D. CALDERWOOD Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University on floor of Sen¬ Republican " Party Of the two aims of the European Recovery Program, viz; (1) in¬ European production; and (2) restoration of multilater- j alism, Professor Calderwood points out that the latter is most important and least likely to be accomplished. Says multilateral j trade is essential to maintenance of U. S. prosperity and urges firm stand by ECA for restoration of currency transferability and • crease | leader opposes ratification [ ground it is inextric¬ on ably linked with Euro¬ j pean arms program, Senator Robert A. Taft of Ohio, prominent Republican leader and I • - head - • the of Senate Repufc;Policy Committee, in a speech de¬ lican livered in the - United / '4 \/Z>' ' 1 States . v V'" convertibility.: '•f' ' lem that , of >by 1952 an iri-.tegratedmultilateral world trading sys¬ the North Atlantic emerged from the present Pact, Robert A. Taft ure of a meas¬ reconstruction which has received period or the whether support of leading Democratic and Republican members of the Sen¬ ate Foreign Policy Committee. (Continued on page stead James D. Calderwood of a in¬ system controlled bilateral and discriminatory trad¬ 35) relationships will have been In the final analysis ing consolidated. the Photographs taken at Convention of Canada, the issue, of Invest¬ Association appearing in the section second are of Dealers' ment the of today's the "Chronicle," by courtesy of the Ca¬ nadian National Railways. measure not I.D.A.C. PICTURES so of ECA's is general, and Britain in particular, away from the latter type of trading system and in the in direction of the former. :; When his Secretary Marshall made now-famous speech at Har¬ two he empha¬ sized that any further American aid to Europe would have to be a cure rather than a palliative. Ob¬ viously, as long as the United States is ready to pump dollars vard years (Continued State & success much its ability to revive European production—for this has been largely achieved already— but rather its ability to push Eu¬ rope ago, on page 20) Dollar Shortage Soothing Syrup * ; "X., ~ * Britain has for all : World War I debt. practical purposes repudiated a huge She has been the recipient of a stagger¬ ing:; amount of aid of an infinite variety since Dunkirk— and no one is asking a penny for it.* She has "hired" money in huge amounts since the close of the war—and the lenders are quite foolish if they expect repayment, certainly in the lifetime of this generation, She has enjoyed for some years past several other economic considerations of substantial size. The great rank and file in that country have been given—yes, the word is given—many of the good things of life, some of which in the good old days of economic sanity they knew they could not afford, indeed could not have. All these "gains of labor" are, according to the Gov¬ ernment in that strange land of contradictions and muddlement, quite untouchable. That is to say the Government will not "permit" men and women to do without these things even if it talks of "austerity" and the like. And so, the British are suffering from a "shortage of dollars." Indeed, according to the apologists within her borders the whole world is short of dollars—and so presumably, it is them. Situation no ; Midyear 1949," pre¬ pared for himby the Count¬ ed of Econom- Advisers. ic The* full dent's and Report, excerpts from the Council's Truman President foilow: MIDYEAR REPORT ECONOMIC OF THE PRESIDENT To the Congress The United r. States the world have has the ever ™ , is productive economy the strongest and most we United the of ' States: known—and the and resources skills to make it still stronger and more productive. In recent months the abatement of tionary forces. we We (Continued have postwar are on page seen infla¬ now in a 22), disgrace for Britain to be short of being taken To what strange quite seriously in many quarters. continued on page no- 27) State and ^ 550 Branches Franklin Custodian Funds, text Presi¬ the of And all this tommyrot is apparently Municipal Bonds Mid- At tem will have cation j "The Econom- Euro¬ of . Con¬ -i ic ratifi¬ the ' , This is whether favor in ]' - • : pean recovery. . wouhTTiot vote -».; ■.. r falling employment production trends. Opposes major increase in taxes, wants ? liberalization of corporate loss carryover provisions, while asking ; rise in estate and gift taxes. Recommends improved program of ! farm supports; rise and broadening of minimum wage; increase ; in unemployment, old-age, and veterans payments; enlarged invest- ; ment abroad; and restoration of Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act. ■■■ " he r • Government programs, to reverse and , Advisers urge expansion of consumer markets. Anglo.-Argentine bilateral trade agreement, followed by the statement of ECA Administrator Paul G. Hoffman V President Harry S. Truman transmitted to the that he will use "every pressure" to prevent this agreement from go¬ ing into effect, finally brings into the open a matter which constitutes gress on Monday, July 11, his legislatively-prescribed |<$>y ear Eco; \ in the opinion^ h ^ v : ; >—-———-—-i2881 notnic Report ' of many economists the core EDITORIAL together with In' < the Report, of the prob¬ The conclusion of the July 11, defi¬ nitely an¬ nounced "essential" in oh Senate Uj *, ■ President transmits to Congress his and Council's Midyear Reports. Calls for private and public "positive action," and carrying-forward ' In speech ate, Copy a ERP and Mnltilateral Trade PactWillPromote War ' Price 30 Cents York, N. Y., Thursday, July 14,-1949 Municipal Canada across Bonds inc. Monthly Commercial Letter Mutual A . upon request COMMON STOCK FUND THE ' PREFERRED STOCK FUND BOND FUND White,Weld&Co. Members New York Stock 40 Wall Boston "Exchange FRANKLIN 64 Wall Amsterdam DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. CANADIAN BANK OF NEW YORK OF COMMERCE * Bond Dept. to the Government PACIFIC Head 26, Bishopsgate. London, E. C. Distributors of Zanzibar Corporate Securities £2,000,000 Reserve The Bank Capital Fund conducts description banking and exchange business Trusteeships and Executorships also undertaken CANADIAN New - Established 1899 (Incorporated) of CLEVELAND New York Cincinnati Chicago Denver Columbus Toledo Buffalo England Public Service Co. Analysis ; Members Los 14 Siock Exchange Stock Exchange Yortc Francisco Stock Angeles WALL BArclay San New Honolulu OTIS & CO. £2,500,000 every San Francisco Los Angeles upon request Dean Witter a Co., Ban £4,000,000 Paid-Up Agency: 20 Exchange Pl. Portland, Ore. Municipal and India, Burma, Ceylon, Kenya Colony, Kericho, Kenya, and Aden THE CITY OF NEW YORK OF New York bonds & stocks Office: and NATIONAL BANK Head Office: Toronto SECURITIES Underwriters and In Subscribed Capital THE CHASE COAST in Kenya Colony and Uganda Branches ■ Seattle of INDIA, LIMITED Bankers Teletype: NY 1-708 Street, New York 5 NATIONAL BANK Band Department THE NATIONAL CITY BANK UTILITIES FUND INCOME (BALANCED) FUND .• Philadelphia Providence London ; Prospectus on request Street, New York 5 Chicago r STREET, 7-4300 Francisco Seattle ' Exchange Stock Exchange NEW CORPORATION YORK Teletype NY 1-579 Los Angeles Honolulu Direct Wires Dominion Securities 40 Elxchange Place, New York 5, N. Y. IRA HAUPT & CO. Members New York Stock Exchange and other Principed 111 WOrth Teletype NY 1 -702-3 WHitehall 4-8161 4-8000 Boston Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise lffM THE (158) 2 COMMERCIAL & 'FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday;; July .14, 1949 Long-Term Market Trend Is Upward United Corporation By HEINZ H. BIEL '--V Commonwealth & Southern ( « Laird, Bissell & Meeds - Alabama & - Stock market analyst cites constructive external factors, as smooth readjustment from sellers' to buyers' market and lower prices; the voluble advance "advertising" of depression; large number of wage-earn¬ ers; and high level of personal savings and incom s. Concludes market liquidation is past, and longrange investor should prepare for major advance. South Carolina Elec. & Gas * * ■ >■ Bought, Sold, Quoted at Net Prices ' New York Hanseatic Corporation 120 Broadway, New Teletype NY 1-583 BArclay 7-5660 opportunity to discuss th* outlook for the stock market, especially at About 15 months ago, when the impressive 1948 Spring rally was in full swing, pleasure of participating in a forum dealing with the investment outlook in gen¬ this time. eral and the stock market in par-'i>——— ticular. to At that time I was asked "bear" argument, not particularly pop¬ the present which v/as i-1— — ——: steadily,, the number : of wage earners is amazingly high. While .. certain industries have been Rights & Scrip Since 1917 —" Harold Cook on - <*. * Members New York Stock Exchange ' 25 Broad St., New York 4, N. Y. HAnover 2-C700 Of IMclair * «. . Steiner, Rouse & Co Board cur¬ Savings then, but I presented it with tailing production and laying off relish and industries have complete conviction; workers, other Harold H. Cook has been elected Today, however, I am not a rep¬ been going full blast. Now, when to the Board of Managers of The the automobile industry is finally resentative of the "bear" side.". It Montclair Savings Bank. The an¬ seems to me that we are approach-! approaching the turning point, nouncement was made July 12 by ing an important turning point, other industries—textiles, for ex¬ T. Philip Reitthe first change in the major trend ample—may Verge- on incipient inger : Presi-i in more than three years. I believe that unem¬ * 5 recovery. dent. Conditions have changed mate-; ployment figures will increase in Mr. Cook is the months ahead, possibly to rially during the past year or so, a partner in about 6,000,000, but may not reach ular Specialists in Bought—Sold—Quoted I welcome this I had the York 5 Louisiana Securities " NY 1-1557 New Orleans, La. - Birmingham, Ala. Mobile, Ala. Direct wires " - to branch offices our Established 1856 '' . . * r » „ Our frjC PONNELL & TO. Members New York Stock Exchange New York Curb Exchange BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 120 Tel. REctor 2-7815 economy from market, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Personal abun¬ to incomes will be & There is always danger grave economic inevitable the of re¬ the prices. It is due be premature to rule out this danger entirely, even may to in Mr. entered H. i ■- ;/! v.: ,. Management Realistic C. r ; . of the Corporate Board • Inc. 1 Trade of Exchange And, other Exchanges N. Y, Cotton Young W. NEW CHICAGO & Co. In 1935 he became the Man¬ ager Exchange Exchange, New Orleans Cotton the Utility Department of Cook Exchange ' . In 1933 he left to head . r - & Co. Harold Curb Cotton York Chicago 1926, Spencer Trask to Exchange Commodity College . Stock York New Cook satisfac- seems York New gradua^ . reductions New liams lower response members . tion from Wil4 Physical volume of sales remains high and the price adjustment may develop into a business depression of serious pro¬ tory. portions. decline New f On competition. The stered not only by relatively high employment at high wages, but still under way, and the process also by accumulated savings and of. readjustment is not yet com¬ by generous unemployment bene¬ pleted, but we have made good fits. Although retail sales are off progress. The results achieved from last year's high levels, much encouraging. Co., York. bol¬ keen are H. Hentz & Co. Spencer Trask transition to lower price levels is that STREET scarcity from dance and LAMBORN & CO., Inc. WALL whole has proportions such as to undermine - transition to a buyers; buying power seriously. the sellers' market a thus far 99 a as completed nearly Bond Exchange Bldg. YORK 4, DETROIT N. Y. PITTSBURGH GENEVA, SWITZERLAND De¬ partment of Reynolds & Co. and Here is another favorable point: Yet, the rapid and generally in 1937 was appointed assistant to Management is approaching the progress of the current the President of Reynolds Metals problem realisti¬ economic readjustment seems to readjustment cally. Prices have been slashed Co., later becoming Secretary of justify a more hopeful attitude. the company. He served in this and production curtailed with reasonable promptness. Ample re¬ post until 1941 when he returned Stock Market's Warning Helpful now. SUGAR smooth Raw—Refined—Liquid Exports—Imports—Futures It has been said that omists DIgby 4-2727 into is of lot But it may nonsense. well be that the warning American Air Filter Co. Common Black Star Coal Corp. Common Kentucky Stone Co. 5 Preferred % Wall of bears talking this country depression. That, of course, were a a the and Street some econ¬ implied that these warnings were heeded. American in business general well prepared for the ap¬ proaching end of the sellers' mar¬ ket. Adequate liquidity has been BANKERS BOND E let Floor, Kentucky Home Life Bldg. 2, KENTUCKY LOUISVILLE Long Distance 238-9 maintained. Inventories were gen¬ erally Incorporated Bell Tele. LS 186 tic action. It is hoped that the Ad¬ in interfere Washington with the will present had control. under set been absorb to up Reserves most of the shock that results from the duce expenditures reduced tax need no in line with There revenues. is yet for "pump prim¬ ing" and deficit financing. Dis¬ tribution of $2 billion of G.I. insurance dividends early next as will year in, itself important power., : represent addition to was He is Chairman and a ter of College Chapi¬ Delta Phi.. He is Alpha of The Lunch / ■ ■■ ' Trading Markets American Furniture Co. business concerns/ Nor is there great danger of calamity how. Moore-Handley Hdwe. Co. This not does won't be red Dan River Mills ing income that there mean figures in forthcom¬ and more statements dividend cuts and omissions. After Scott, Horner & Mason, Inc. Lynchburg, Va. Tele. LY 83 LD 33 illlllllllllilllllillllllllKIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIh gll, that is to be expected, and this logical expectation has been the basis of bear our market. > The He resides at 259 South tain It is hardly necessary to men¬ that there is credit no Board Reserve to prevent structure it. will Our is sound. encouraging employment though entire eminently wife and two daughters. b » * « ft.# a not succeed we severe know and Al¬ part- N. Y. a talk by Mr. Biel Society of Security Burlington Gardens, W. 1 64 New Bond Street, W. 1 TOTAL ASSETS £155,175,898 —mtmimm inn Mr unn.i Associated Banks: Clyn Mills & Williams Deacon's Co. Bank, Ltd. : jgigjgi5J5f5jS5Ef5i5f5iSJ5JSJ51SI5EI51SI5I3B Mr. Company announce them of Nelson the Harry was a full year's association subscription' to the Monday J. and Nelson. formerly associ¬ Thursday issues of the "Chronicle" will give ated with the First Securities Co. of Chicago Vice-President. as ideas galore and dividends. pay • - yon libera] - - With Miller, Kenower whether within $35 INVESTED in stock the next (Special to The Jones is ler, now Financial Chronicle) MICH. DETROIT, — Kenower & n Carlisle connected with MiN Co., Ford Bldg., Commercial & Financial Chronicld 25 Park Place - three months. New York 8, N. ,Y. But, for the longer- members of the Detroit Stock Ex¬ REctor 2-9570 ; range investor, this question is of change. BI5J5J5I5I5J5I5J5J5IBf5f5I515ISI5l5J51515I5®3 comparatively minor importance. ; The significant fact is that the time for broad liquidation is past. Firm Trading Markets The decline in equity prices since 1946 has The been decline good the part time to its even though start from level. a in Over-the-Counter COLOMBIA Quotation Services BOLIVIA for 36 Years re¬ readjustment it has course. for and been business prepare programs vance may of and long has The inevitable was employment has been rising ment ♦Abstract of Smithfield, E. C. 1 Charing Cross, S. W. 1 Moun¬ depression The latter may be wit¬ possibly adjustment. is change, with country.- recognition of broad factor situation. unemployment Analysts, July 13, 1949. * do con¬ Encouraging before e., own if * Another time *1. -.1 steep. the . our early SECURITIES Members St. Louis Stock Exchange preventing in nessed, Employment Situation St. Louis l,Mof in to come. banking STREET depression undermine confidence and involve tinue OLIVC adjust¬ In any case, there will be less danger of a Western Eu¬ ropean Bishopsgate, E. C. 2 Es¬ Avenue, Montclair, with his ours. panic. Federal 509 to be in seem 49 County Country Club of West Orange. New Jersey. J. the British economy as the thou¬ sands of relatively free American ing 3 8 West sex 'r1. businessmen LONDON OFFICES: . purchasing ' not fear any tion- INVESTMENT the and 1 an point is that we need prices have reached bottom or major insolvencies to whether a final shake-out is yet important stringency, and the policy of the Stix & Co. Club OFFICE—Edinburgh the trustee of the Delmer & iiiiiiiiiiiiiimiiiiiiiiiiiiiimiiiimiii of Alumni Fund of Williams College lower to HEAD Branches throughout Scotland born in New York The British dollar crisis may price levels, Its solution Timely efforts had been made to come to a head soon. would remove another reduce costs, increase operating uncertainty efficiency and to wake up sales now hanging over our stock mar¬ CHICAGO, ILL.—Detmer & Co., ket. It remains to be seen departments. As a result, there 105 South La Salle Street, mem¬ have been, .so far, no important whether the Socialist Government casualties among well-established can be as flexible in readjusting bers of the Chicago Stock Ex¬ step-down Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727 Spencer Trask & Co, Mr. Cook City. to be ministration not to Chairman of the Trustees of Col¬ Any at¬ by the cautious action of the stock readjustment process. market has served its purpose tempt to get the boom back to the legiate School of New York City well by reminding the managers boiling point would be not only and President of The Kimberley of American business that the costly, but undesirable. As far as School in Montclair. trees of the postwar boom would government fiscal policy is con¬ Mr. Cook is Secretary of the not grow into the sky. It appears cerned, we should attempt to re¬ New York Bond Club, a member was m and a good balance sheet position make possible such dras¬ serves Royal Bank of Scotland our a run Now a is New Issues study on request National Quotation Bureau invest¬ major the All ad¬ uptrend somewhat lower Incorporated ZIPPIN & COMPANY Established 208 South La Salle St., Chicago 4 46 Front Street Tele. RAndolph 6-4696 CHICAGO Tel. CG 451 1913 New York 4, N. Y. BAN FRANCISCO Volume 170 Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL INDEX Articles and News . ERP and Multilateral Trade—James D. tainment 2 ... 1 j y . ___ Investors and Managers—Forgotten Men—Emil Schram 6 7 ___ Economic Health Depends on Profits—Arthur K. Atkinson When or Director of the NASD, Cover increasing « misconception of what the Philosophy' of the Board of Governors actu¬ it's on - 5% Yardstick (Editorial) 3 _______ Mutual Funds Form New National Institute 13 a_. 13 W. Harnischfeger Offers Recommendations for Europ'n Policy 14 Robert Nathan Says Business Can Afford Higher Wages______ 17 U. S. Must Remain Economically Strong, Says James F. Byrnes 18 -his rule dubbed was an - Telephone: WHitehall 4-6551 and BOSTON & MAINE R. R "interpretation," and the NASD Our experience with those who , earn Walter J. Ontario. not In addition, there pictures taken during the Convention, all of which were made available of the course are many Budgetary Policy and Economic Trends Hon. Douglas Abbott in the first In "In such 10 13 14 *. Outlook for International Investments—P. C. Bonvoisin______ 15 The Retail Securities Market Is Still Here!—D. Bruce Shaw__ 16 Importance of Greater Profit Margins to Dealers As We See It Business Cover Bookshelf Man's which 14 Coming Events in Investment Field 1 From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargeron Indications of Business Activity , 15 4— 6 28 — 12 __. •NSTA Notes News About Banks and Bankers, ll j Observations—A. Wilfred May— 4___4—5y _ Our Reporter's Report 35 Our Reporter on Governments 49 Prospective Security Offerings— Sir- Public Utility Securities—™. Railroad Securities —— Securities Now in Registration 32 —__________ The State of Trade and Industry—-—— Tomorrow's Market (Walter Whyte Washington and You Published Twice Weekly _. ._ 36 — Drapers' Gardens, London, c/o Edwards & Smith. E. C., Teletype SU 464 Salt Lake City 1 Whether It's Hot these a customer in relation to the then security." Or Gold cur¬ Y j guides emphasize: "current market," how "yV y . ;"y ."".y " ' : *y sure to Reporter's umn read "Our Report" : ; those col¬ week in the every "Chronicle" y-. .. Be • determine the current market price of a security is dealt in over-the-counter? * What is the NASD one see how issues new are to going. y;; Shall the published quotations of the NASD Quotations as a guide in determining the current market price of an over-the-counter security?. Here there Committee be used clear parallel. Such quotations are not based upon actual circulating medium is a membership organization —the NASD, in which membership is controlled and super¬ a The vised. Besides that the 26 — i j 5 Says) Bell Hallgarten v. Lee that these quotation sheets do not reflect current market prices either among dealers or between the dealer and the public. r sales. 21 ; —___ * 160 S. Main St. Shall the National Quotation sheets be used? But these do not record sales; only "wants" and "offerings" are listed therein. The number of listings permissible depends upon the price paid, and applications for membership in the sheets may be black-balled by current subscribers. Besides the Dis¬ is 20 — Securities Salesman's Corner., ~ 18 ' — ——— & COMPANY Established 1899 trict Court of the United States for the Southern District of New York has held in the case of 8 J— ■ j 8 Einzig—"Britain's Gold Drain" price paid to answer?' 9 Dealer-Broker—Investment Recommendations Mutual Funds does 9 — EDWARD L. BURTON It then cautions justifica¬ Since 7 Canadian Securities yard security a as a guide to the dealer and to the Business Conduct Committees of the Association in determining the rent market in that Bank and Insurance Stocks,. sale of again r (Editorial) : to which this by a dealer policy is applicable tion of Regular Features request on It also includes the purchase of a security a customer in which instance, "the 17 — analysis the case from J : partial explanation. a New policy is applicable and has bearing only as a guide, both to the dealer and to the Association's Busi ness Conduct Committees, hrdetermining how much of £ mark-up above the then current market is justified." 12 ___ Significance of Alberta Oil to Canadians—C. O. Nickle —Alan H. Williamson attempt applicable the NASD includes the inventory by a dealer to a customer. from 8 ----- Increasing Ontario's Power Facilities—Robert H. Saunders Canada's Role in Europe's Problems—Alfred Pose______. us listing the types of transactions stick is Canadian Pacific Railway—Master Work of Private Enterprise W. A. Mather Investment in Canada Expands—Gerald G. Ryan_____ Let v 6 i__ Teletype-BS 128 have been sound 4 Consumer's Interest Comes First—Edgar G. Burton Connolly & Co. HUbbard 2-3790 policy to have furnished more careful definitior instance, and to have submitted to NASD mem bership for approval this doctrine which they were directed to the "Chronicle" through the courtesy of the Canadian Na¬ to apply? Certainly it cannot be charged that the present tional Railways. The articles in this Second Section are as admitted lack of understanding is in any wise due to the follows: mental limitations of those who are ..:;'yVyy ^ subjected to this rule, Canadian tion. there is medium same • the additional NEW ISSUES f. objection grave circulates, for publication, prices (Continued Eng- on page 21) . ■' r .. 4 < • • , Investors all as standards for the nonobservance of which its Business Cony reach national market • • ' " * the country over - read The New York Times. .-.in 11,000 . i . . ' communities in all the.. and, The and COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Copyright 1949 by William B. Company y Reentered U. Reg. WILLIAM * 25 B. Park S. Place, REctor HERBERT Office Partent DANA New Subscription Subscriptions Possessions, WILLIAM DANA D. SEIBERT, RIGGS, President Business Manager Thursday, July 14, 1949 Other •tate corporation and Ot*er Chicago city news, Offices: 3, 111. news, bank clearings, etc.). 135 8 La (Telephone: Salle State St., 0613); and * States^JU. $35.00 of Canada, Countries, $42.00 • Thursday (general news and ad¬ vertising Issue) and every Monday (com¬ plete statistical issue — market quotation records, Union Members . $38.00 per per Record—Monthly, per year. (Foreign postage extra.) Monthly Earnings Record — Monthly, $25.00 per -year. (Foreign postage extra.f - Note—On account of the made in New York 25 New Broad York Stock funds. Exchange ' covers 2-4300 50 , Congress Street, Boston Hubbard 2-8200 ■ Teletype—NY 1-5 Alh*«v - CM"?>ro - Glens community <■ • security buyers, and in¬ dividual investors. Members New York Curb Exchange Street, Ne-w York 4' HAncver fluctuations In the rate of exchange, remittances for for¬ eign subscriptions and advertisements must be Spencer Trask & Co. Members financial banking officials, corporation tutional Publications Quotation whole executives, professional andinsti- year. year. $25.00 the of PREFERRED STOCKS 8 of year:' in per District of. why financial March Rates and and "the advertising in The Times New at of » - United Dominion Other Bank Every in Territories Pan-American WILLIAM Act , states Columbia. That's We.are interested in offerings of Febru¬ ' 9576 SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher D. office post the 8, 1879. York 8, N. Y. to 25, 1942, at the York, ' N. Y.,* under 48 Dana second-class matter ary COMPANY, Publishers 2-9570 as I 30 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON 10 ment Dealers' Association of Canada held at Minaki for this issue and the various addresses made at the Conven¬ ■ INCORPORATED. 1923 their livelihood ir of the 33rd Annual Convention of the Invest¬ the securities field is that they are of sound intelligence and Lodge, if after this lapse of time the "5% Philosophy" is misunder¬ Included therein are articles especially prepared stood we wonder where the fault lies. Would it coverage Dept. STREET, NEW YORK TEXTILES . today's issue of the "Chronicle" is devoted J them NEW ENGLAND membership by-passed at the time of its promulgation. Now :he NASD is engaged in interpreting the interpretation and .his promises to be a continuing process. ^ Additional Articles in Today's Second Section dump Obsolete Securities WALL 99 explain this "Philosophy" summary headed "General Re¬ NASD Mark-Up Policy." interpret the application of the NASD Mark-Up Policy." i If after approximately six years of existence there ap¬ pears to be an increasing misconception of the 5% yardstick which requires clarification, we can readily understand why 13 Four St. Louis Firms Oppose Exchange Merger to us. ana States Aims of Auto Workers RETURN" time The current issue of the NASD "News" informs us that "The Board of Governors voted at the May meeting to have prepared and distributed a statement which would clarify ____Cover have "POINT OF NO an ' stocks your reached the Mr. Fulton then proceeded to and to distribute a 10-page 17 Taft Says Atlantic Pact Will Promote War to Ascer¬ f Truman Prescribes for Prosperity Section 2 of be to ally is." view of Walter Reuther in the rule. market current Wallace H. Fulton, Executive . ;5% Policy 8 ___ The Budget, the Business Cycle and Russia —David McCord Wright. a NASD of "5% phi¬ a recent address before a gathering of the New York Securities Dealers Association with this introduction: "There appears The Perennial of "clarification" by Misunderstanding inherent started 4 . Impediments to Free Flow of Risk Capital—Hal H. Dewar_ (159) 4 ™ Problems of Canadian Pulp and Paper Industry —R. M. Fowier CHRONICLE price in over-the-counter securities, Administrative regimentation leading to planned economy. j : _ for belated causes losophy" outlined. A Rate Structure for the Securities Business ,'—Francis Adams Truslow Some Cover Long-Term Market Trend Is Upward—Heinz H. Biel FINANCIAL The Perennial 5 % Yardstick Page Calderwood & Fe'Is - 8 N Sljg jNrto fark Sime? "All the News That's Fit to Print" , Scheneeta^y- - Worcester | u .1 . CHRONICLE & FINANCIAL THE COMMERCIAL (160) mi i . Thursday, July 14,1949 f I ;r '• A Hale Structare ior the Securities Business Ji: : By FRANCIS ADAMS TRUSLOW* ;;; /; &Hr'M .President, New York Curb Exchange . ' \ - '■ „ v' V - | - dwindling stock exchange transactions, discusses influence of brokers' this development. Concludes commission rates may be inadequate and therefore commission rates on ; , " - j Mr. Truslow, after reviewing By R. m. fowler--.v-•- j { i ing industry ! provide sufficient incentive; to reach increasingly scattered sources of business. Sees access, to principal securities markets also inadequate,, and advocates expanding commission schedules to include participation by non-members and large traders. Outlines scheme of "retail" and "wholesale'' commisdo not President, Canadian Pulp and Paper Association51 \ Mr. Fowler points notproduction of pulp and paper, Canada's leadaffected ;, . and mainstay of its exports, has been adversely' by worldwide foreign exchange difficulties, but expresses / * sion rates. confidence it , can meet situation and fulfill its 1 For the third time in three years you are committed to the task of hearing me speak. I am honored and you are the victims. Fortunately, you do not yet realize how dull this particular speech wil oe. The fact of the matter is. that my subject is so technical anc | " approach my tcr it is so per¬ that sonal /have office my Pres¬ as C u r of this address. institu¬ The the have high | ; such regard the Taxes the Impediment that motives popularity prompt either Association I tried the detne ae tails of the day-to-day happeninffs in the securities business to d^scribe the hieh Dath our count^ wiU follow the trade of the world and to portray the foundations of our nation's confidence. With Kipling, I ■ attempted to this esteemed rafcemTwoTdsabove fn "splash at 0JMv - a comets hair." Two Unhealthy / ; • j difference >' to ,-discovei risen have to counter the business. at the ists We must, I think, look great difference which ex¬ between the of rates sales compensation in our business anc in others. these sions collected about resent value of by members of the Exchange rep¬ 1% of the market Curb York New commis¬ Gross securities bought anc the Exchange. By contrast, sold on the sales vestment charge trust mutual in¬ issues is about on 8%% of the price sales Trends I ask you to be my Wat¬ while I get down on my at home. Suppose you had the choice of setting up in one of three lines of business. In each the objective - print industry is still running above rated capacity. ( , An elder Canadian statesman said recently that the present time Js one of those mysterious periods of transition in world affairs when we are bewildered by mists "of uncertainty, and everywhere there are clouds on the horizon. It is true that we are in a testing time pf woria We' aiiairs. - are times. Z Strength con-. hi any and size create responsibilities. And by properly shouldering these re¬ sponsibilities the industry wiU continue to prosper, and fill the greater - needs of men everywhere for its products. / 1. >:>•, The future of the Canadian pulp and paper industry in the long run vexa- v Sious p r o bin eftls v a k e. its And depends , the careful manage¬ on ment and maintenance of Canada diffi-, grave s fulties particand harass in- woodlands, whence flows, inci-, dentally* one-third of all the Pri¬ mary wealth and production of t our ilarly beset rnational e country. ;,;.-V'• ■',> trading. j In R. common/ M. Policy, for Perpetual Yield from. ' Fowler Woodlands with other in- / ■ v ; dustries, the Canadian pulp and industry must meet the problems difficulties and occasioned by world unrest and postwar adjust¬ ments. /As Canada's leading ex¬ porter, it is acutely aware -of the problem of foreign exchange. Some of" its short of have ments best dollars. customers Their are govern¬ imposed import con¬ trols, quotas, and other restric¬ tions in an effort to husband their , V Today son, Rates. of the shares and on insurance policies dollar or ^bout 12.7% of the premiums col¬ priated to the support of socialy • ' ,y /. abroad and a Welfare Deal lected..--,* _ten-league _canvas /with brushes of ■ trend in the rest of the securities untfl l*16S XVtop treat!ng exhaustible r.sorviir,Wete ?" !?" a:xaaus;1i)ie reservoir of funds. Y-uId be £0 change their expect inveS£0rsunreasonable to cash int KhareQ hiiJLJ** * e r c??n V? snares m business ownership wl«i eagerness while their profits Zlw rt toS EhM* ficiai vaiues £fn Sjl? f fncoLlS anjfnnf^ mtn <ufhsidiliW th f ?W; selected few « a price otherwise expro¬ to raise my words aoove to ' my sales Business" i y why insurance and mutual 4rusv iL- elaimer, I urge anyone to leave who wishes to do so. At the past two conventions of In another will fill the next hour anH wul in rise same opinion, we must look beyond this element of safety to tirinatinn" in ~uB -'Ui " * «r nnp-half while T talk I ll"pauon ln «s ownership. We wnne i ta k. this dis- of th t T wboi]y Soive I "fa<?p w1jj never With this warning and r"ve the u- A the mutual trusts, of Commission Influence - for business and for par- climate boreaom fancy which as this spending and the weight and dis¬ criminatory character of the taxes that result make an -unhealthy responsi¬ ble for - The snould not be held stocks, individual of exhibited not tion for which 11 values j they can remain anonymous, and rise and fall with the general fronted by op¬ It is also obvious thai voting for them when, the roll is market. posing ideals called, does not encourage us to diversified investment may be ob¬ pf govern¬ hope that the merry-go-round of tained through fixed investment ment. The ^pending and taxation will soon trusts and other investment pro¬ yvarThas left grams. But such fixed trusts have slow down. change for the duration ———— greater and greater spending pro¬ of our money. We all know the and high taxes, and the importance of the diversity of in¬ threat of higher taxes, to pay for vestment afforded by mutual in¬ them. The spectacle of some of vestment trust shares, but we are well aware that their values, like our representatives valiantly op¬ posing these Treasury raids, when the York b Ex¬ of ident ■New " grams I decided resign ;to " responsibilities. Says future of industry will depend on careful management and maintenance of Canada's woodlands—a factor requiring increased investment and therefore higher production costs. Reveals Canadian news- i dollar Thus resources. the mar¬ kets for Canadian pulp and paper outside of North America are steadily closing in because of the lack of dollars. ; / •! , More than three years ago, thej industry adopted a. forest po^cy : perpetual yield of the. woodlands. This was no pious and platitudinous pronouncement. It aimed at was serious _ a declaration tent. ' of in¬ / "On their limits, many companies already have wood in perpetuity. Others are moving to attain that position. To attain it, sound forest management policies, requiring huge expenditures are involved. ( Proper management of the for¬ requires protection services be against fire, insects and disease. The industry spends large sums annually in battling these ravagers of the forests which, take each year half as much again of the forest crop as does the in¬ dustry. Management too requires a network of roads throughout the forests to facilitate cutting and fire production. Such roads can cost as much as $10,000 a mile. In est established Securities Business Role in and go snoop¬ ! On this continent too,, we in Problem is to advise customers wisely and ing around looking for little clues.. Canada are facing trade difficul¬ But there is considerable evi- persuade them ultimately to con¬ among the details of the securities j inr„, Q£ ties with the United States be¬ business — little indications dence lying around which indi- vert their surplus cash into cer¬ what may be adversely affecting .categ that the problem of lack of tificates representing a direct or cause of our shortage of American The importance of the the business and what mig interest jn s£0cks js not exclu- indirect participation in American dollars. done about it. I want to araw sively theresult 'of • disturbing business.- The rate structure of pulp and paper trade in this situ¬ ation cannot be over-emphasized. some deductions from those,c A would .assure you government policies and high and business Canadian exports of -pulp- and and then let you ^raw J?^ +. badly based taxes. At least a part $87.50 gross : income ; from each paper account for more than 35% conclusions about my deductions Qf the problem and its solution $1,000 raised. In the case of busi¬ the interests of sound forest man¬ of all her exports to the United For several years the business - ^ be within the control of the ness B your £foss return would agement, the industry annually States. The maintenance of this of private be $127 and in business" C your fiance in securities business itself. spends vast sums in guarding and trade is naturally of special im? has been exhibiting at least tw j . vears while stock gross return would be $10.' Which ensuring future crops from the portance to Canada; it is also of unhealthy trends. The rates; of curing vears while agg business would you pick and at forest wealth of Canada. Many and knees hands ... 11 t-Jinn + - _ , turnover of stocks 'exchanges and the percentage ^ed our stock manseit,transactions nave curvea decreasing • new capital and annuity policies ana saies 01 on been have of through the sale securities has been Whether we are 'ed as & •I* directly interest- participants in the securi- business, based fallmg. tnrough mutual investment only indirectly or eufwena priva on of n nation f ownership industrial production \tn0lf M strength threat to the strength we of cannot and to a id ° th! gainful deterioration of an important business. {. A Sherlock Holmes is not need¬ detect arsenic or malnutri¬ habits of the Securities business. But it may tgke the technique of an enquir¬ ing Holmes and the bold deduc¬ tions of many Holmeses to solve the case and explain what is ed to tion in the dietary \ happening. of course, certain environmental conditions which have tended to dry up stock trans¬ actions and encourage the raising of new capital by borrowing from Creditors instead of by selling ■; There are, have Jiue J? ™ would which I not do further ence trusts for the work hardest? we need look important differ¬ which has contributed to the rising dant health of these similar, and ing up of the stock markets. Buthere may be some who will doubt somewhat eompetitive fields of *>nance ^rUrancT Pave ° without that a higher rate of sales com¬ pensation produces a more ener¬ getic business. I do not need tc point out to them the high cost of advertising or the obvious in¬ flux of able young men into the break from the world she can U. for S. goods. And remain the best customer of the investment trusts and to the dry- • found in the reasons for the abun- importance to the United States for Canada is the best customer in only by maintaining her U. S. business of' export trade which provides her companies and mutual1 success insurance aimcuities may be you believe with the dollars to purchase U. S. goods. } world a Annual Conven- £'on of the National Association ft S e cu r Hi e s Adm in4 strators, Richmond, Va., July 13, 1949. have tens of, mil¬ has played no whic^x small part in mak¬ ing the cost of wood more than twice and often thrice that of ten years ago. ;Y The increased investment of the industry in its woodlands has, or < beset by-exchange course, been made to ensure ade¬ quate and continuous supplies or pulp and paper to consumers at trading problems, the Cana¬ home and abroad. But the extent pulp and paper industry is_ of these expenditures is farnaturally, not immune from dif¬ greater than ever before for today ily from $53,000,000 risen in 1941 to insurance and mutual trust field: ficulties; What "industry would in Canada there are, by and large, $274,000,000 in 1948? Why, then, but I would like to call their at¬ progress if it did not have its no longer large tracts of accessible has the dollars volume of sales tention to three small corrobora¬ problems to test, the ingenuity and forests available to produce low skills of those engaged in it, Yet on all exchanges fallen from $23 tive clues:: cost wood for the mills. In short, , this industry is a strong one. It the billion in 1936 to $13 billion in increasing investment in First:^ For many years exchanges is Canada's leading industry being 1948 and even approached $4 bil¬ proper forest management repre¬ have permitted so-called "Special first in employment, first in total lion in 1942? sents a permanent increase in the j.V;. ; Offerings" on our floors or "Sec¬ s wages paid, first in export values, cost of producing pulp and paper. Certainly one important differ¬ ondary Distributions" of the floor first in value of soared a $12,000,000,000 in 1936, to $24,000,- stead of mutual trust shares of lies in the apparent stability insurance policies and mutual trust shares ment when as media compared of glance. gen¬ Yet scrutiny this difference not be reason invest¬ with eral investments in stocks. closer on may of securities dealt in on our mar¬ kets. These offerings carry "con¬ equal to an average of about 3% which are paid to mem¬ cessions" bers who place the shares. Thes*- easily grasp the offerings are only permitted where the normal market is too inactive to absorb the blocks be¬ why annuity policies were ing offered. A market which majr as real We as can it dian . . ence and seems at first first in capital production, and invested. It pro¬ duces three out of five newspaper published throughout the world. The industry produces pages 1,000 types of pulp, paper, and paperboard. Some 75% of its total output is exported. The one-quar-^ ter of its production sold in Can¬ ada would alone make the indus¬ equity shares to new partners. sold in 1936 by advertisements (Government by .pressure group which carried the then attractive normally absorb only a few hun¬ try a major element in Canadian demands has led the country into question: "Do you want to retire dred shares a day is found able trade and commerce. In short the Canadian pulp and paper industry to take quickly several thousand on $100 a month?" and are today I *An address by Mr. Truslow sold with the question: "Do you shares in "Special" or "Secondary" is one of the major industrial en¬ before the 32nd now lions of dollars of capital invested in their woodlands. All of ;■ Industry Not Immune from "... Difficulties : Z - j In companies want to retire Even on insurance $250 a cannot month?" protect against the changing buying power offerings. The sales that a normal '/commission^ is too small to pro- continued on page 29) terprises in the world. It is not through strength alone Application of Newer Scientific Knowledge ' Aside altogether from employ¬ ment of silvicultural methods, wood is being increasingly con¬ served by the application of newer scientific knowledge in our ufacturing processes. One mill now uses twenty species of wood including the branches and bark. Another has developed a method of treating substantial pulp which increase of gives a chemical pulp per cord of wood. Through¬ out the industry progress is slower industry will success¬ being made towards a greater util— (Continued on page 19) fully meet the challenges of the tbatr~this" C y Volume .178 -Number 48207 f THE COMMERCIAL 1 &: FINANCIAL. CHRONICLE (iei) - 5 I i: 3 Steel Production M WaRer Ofit With Electric ' Carloadings Sidla, Sintns, Roberts :. Output * u ' Retail Trade State of Trade Commodity PVice - Index S Food Price Index Auto Production j. and Industry 7 «t By A. WILFRED MAY V> Investment Business Failures Companies—The New^InduMry^^ j ust-issued : 1949' edition v of •: "Investment Companies" 1>y Arthur Wiesenberger ('Arthurs Wiesen berger €04 New York City* The ; is particularly important now because of the activity in the mutual funds area of Wall Street. This singular dynamism, in contrast tj falling off in the week past and it continued to be somewhat under the. long-continued depression elsewhere in fi¬ the high level of the corresponding period one year ago. -•*; nance, is significant, not only quantitatively be- , ' ' Unemployment in the week! ended June 25 gained ground with cause of the quadrupling since pre-War of the companies' assets ahd shareholders, 1 total claims for unemployment insurance reported 4% higher. It con¬ open-end tinued to be substantially above the low point of the* like period but even more so qualitatively because of the sorely-needed new community Of middle-income ..of 1948.' ; j investors which is thereby being introduced into Employment in the steel industry declined during May, but re¬ securities-ownership. I. mained slightly higher than in May, 1948, according to the American The book is valuable in enlarging the pub¬ Iron and Steel Institute. The total employment figure was estimated lic's as well as the experts' opportunities for Walter E. Olin ; Jerry C. Vasconcells at 637,400 in May, compared with 646,600 in April, a reduction of 1.4%. the long-term investment opera¬ The,estimated total payroll for the industry in the first five scrutinizing i" DENVER, COLO.—Jerry C. Vasmonths of 1949 exceeded $979,000,000, an increase of nearly $105,000,- tions, techniques, and results of skilled and ob7 concells has become associated jective practitioners; Also in both its approach 000 over the corresponding part of 1948. 7 with Sidlo, Simons, Roberts & Co., and general running commentary the work re-j * First National Bank Building, 7 , The average hourly earnings of wage earners was $1,697 in May, fleets the investment community's ever-increas-j compared With $1,688 in April and $1,577 in 336 pp., With several plants closed forthe July Fourth week-end, total industrial production for the country as a whole reflected a moderate - which $15) uniquely, occurring is; 1 . • „ • t the of members Chicago Stock Exchange, as Manager of the trading department. Walter E. Olin - has also i the firm - Mr. associated become with May, 1948. Wage earners hours of employment per week in May was 37 hours, com¬ pared with 38.5 in April and 38 hours in May, 1948. The threatened strike in the steel industry, now more than just average subject for speculation, is serving to intensify uncertainty in the markets, says "Steel," the magazine of the metal producing and metal working industries. Walkout of the steel workers looms men¬ acingly as a result of the deadlocking of collective bargaining confer¬ ences between U. S. Steel subsidiaries and the United Steelworkers a representative. was formerly sales as Vasconcells ' President of 7 associated been • Vasconcells, Hicks & Co., with which Mr. Olin had also since that firm's organization in 1931. is It i that understood Vascon- cells, Hicks will become inactive - but will continue in existence. Edmund Whiting With; Edmund A. of America (CIO).- In event a strike is called 189 companies and over 500,000 workmen will be involved immediately.- The number will in¬ as contracts with other companies expireP v/ - crease Whiting has become detail toward explaining the broad aspects of Whether there will be actual work stoppage in the mills over the week or so still is uncertain. The union's future course will be A. WUfrd Mar investment companies -—their origin, history, growth, and various uses by investors; systematic methods of investing through employing investment com¬ pany issues; technical angles as leverage, use b.y fiduciaries^ ap¬ praisal of management, tax aspects and Government* regulation., A special section is devoted to the 1948 year-end portfolio holdings :of 56 ; of the leading funds. In various elements edition berger's 1949 surpass 7."'' ' " V. size, does Wiesenhis previous issues. It is a complete other " next Walston, Hoffman Firm I. steel ing yearning for escapism from investing worry and the desire for defensive situations. 7 This study devotes considerable space and than enlarged manual, whose re-writing includes all of the determined on Tuesday of this week when its Wage Policy Commit¬ past year's developments and their significance. Furthermore, " it tee meets. However, under its contract with the steel companies it contains charts and graphs of greatly improved clarily and general can call a strike in event there is no agreement on the issues raised quality.. ' , revision of the 1948 , by July 16, "Steel" Consequently, since U. S. Steel has turned says. down the union's demands a strike would seem to be in the cards. The ; CIO Union Steelworkers has mentioned 20 cents hour an As it stands, the work represents both a most useful hand-book for the use of dealers, ^nd for the public at the consumer level a guide as to whether they should embrace this medium and subse¬ possible fourth-round wage raise. This figure is not a formal quently for selection between the various funds. 7 ' demand, since the steelworkers in asking for higher wages have an¬ nounced no specific amount. ' . ' Selecting from Past Performance f members of Should a strike be called, the hope is held out that President New 7 ."For the benefit of both these groups the "past-performance" York Truman may step-in, effect a meeting between, industry and union Stock Ex¬ demonstrations have been pointed up. As a matter of fact, the representatives aimed at extending present collective bargaining con¬ dependence of the entire industry on the demonstrated record of change, in ferences for 60 .or 90 days during which time the strike would be held the i r- New comparative results—down to the last percentage point—seems to in abeyance. (According to reports, President Truman sought on be York office at greatly overdone. * Of course the justification "if not this, what Tuesday of this week to prevent; a steel strike through an agreement else is there.to use?" is 35 Wall St., as unanswerable, but this does not supply by both sides to continue operations 60 days. But the United States a logic or practicality in correlating management quality with past registered Steel Corporation quickly rejected the proposal because it did not use speculative performance, or of—a la horse-race doping—projecting representative the procedure of the Taft-Hartley Act.) In view of deteriorating eco¬ past performance into the future. If one believes, as does this col¬ specializing in nomic conditions over recent' months it is believed by some trade West Coast umnist, that the attainment of capital gains in the market is to a authorities the union would be i agreeable to such postponement of securities. large extent fortuitous, then past performance cannot ordinarily be action. • : •''■■■<. 7 V",V. extended to the future. Moreover, breakdown of past records shows Mr. Whiting war great variations in the comparative performances in accordance With formerly There was a revival in buying of several major metals last week the different time intervals that could have been used. Then too, in the trading resulting in the price of copper advancing to 17 cents, an increase changes in management personnel and investing techniques can department of of I cent, and leaving lead in an equally strong position, despite no render past results obsolete. Edmund A. whiting This is [ recognized by Wiesenberger New York ofprice hike, according to the weekly market report of the "Engineer¬ in omitting the records of some trusts on this ground stated as fol¬ v rv > fice of Kaiser ing and Mining Journal," McGraw Hill publication. ; rlows: "As a result of changes in management and/or investment & Co. and prior thereto was trad¬ "Large copper producers continued to hold aloof, leaving-the policy during the period, long-term results for this company lack ing manager for Peter Morgan & associated with Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin, as a . - . - ■ - .. market Co. Halsey, Siuart Group Offers G. & Q. Equips, Halsey, Stuart associates were & Co. Inc. and light.; of the custom smelters and less in the hands or July 12 and Ohio Railway third equipment trust of 1949 2%% serial equipment trust ■''■v--'"' - ■' * some Fund constituted." currently as (Continued is cast in steel for The die We pleased are 31) on page i ; 2.55%, according to maturity. As- " sociated ; ; We the in offering were pleased to are & Co. Inc.; Gregory & - effective July 1,1949 !. Members New York StocJc Exchange DIRECT PRIVATE WIRE to continue 7 to R. -7 s." george a. Mcdowell & co. W. Pressprich & Co.; A. G. Becker announce duPONT, HOMSEY & COMPANY the installation of a announce to the formation of 1964, were 7. 34) long fight and if the steelworkers a (Continued inclusive, Tssued under plan, the certif¬ immediately reoffered subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission, at prices to yield from 1.10% to 1, icates on page less validity been SCHEDULED TO don't strike late this week they may walk out later unless some sort the Philadelphia have must 27.1% ABOVE PRECEDING PERIOD RISE certificates, maturing $133,000 semi-annually Feb. 1, 1950 to Aug. • There ■:777"v.. ■"■■■ ■ indication of the performance of significance and are not a valid the drastic management changes in additional trusts where the * STEEL OPERATIONS FOR CURRENT WEEK awarded Chesapeake $3,990,000 . more producers," says the article. "Though lead was equally as strong as copper, the price was unchanged all week at 12 cents, New York." Because of the increase in buying in the other major metals, the sentiment toward zinc was a little better, even though buying was small Member* Detroit Stock Exchange Son, BUHL BUILDING \; . " ; 7' "7 . the general investment business of 7, • ,7.. 7 ' 77'"- ; duPONT, HOMSEY COMPANY (a corporation) 7 Inc.; L. F. Rothschild & Co.; Freer & man Co.;. Mullaney, DETROIT Wells & .« ' \ - r • ; I -V 1 ■ .... 26, MICH. 7 . ANTON E. HOMSEY (Boston) Exchange Member ; Co.; and Wm. E. Pollock & Co. , Inc. SAMUEL E. HOMSEY (Wilmington; oei) Limited Partner ■ •% ; Clarence N. Myers ' ; ■ < '•>* .. : r , - *» ' * > > ' z. >-^ \ "* Jt V ■ -■ r t 't " "u "• 1 * - r*. *• ■ ■ - 7 -*-'77 EDWARD'F. HORMEL (Boston).Genera! /arlner7 •7.7. 7; \ - : - BROKERS * DEALERS • *' jr. and other leading exchanges * UNDERWRITERS (Special to The Financial Chronicle)."'"' HUTTON 1 ESTABLISHED Em> Members New York Stock Exchange 7 7 , E. ' * ' With [First of Michigan Corp. — F. .7.777.7777777-7'.-"( t VICTORINE duPONf HOMSEY (W/fm.nsLh; Del.) Limited Partner " 31 Milk Street^ Eoston.9x 77 7;;:. r7Telephoni—HAncocK 6-i>2G(/ s.\ ' ; "^ 77 r 95 State Street, Spnnf«reldr3i'-Masn^-C 7 f J 1 * * - N. ILL.—Clarence CHICAGO, T«i«phon« 2-.4-J NEW YORK ; Myers has become associated with First of Michigan Corp., 135 South ■*. ' La - Salle formerlj' Street. a Mr. Myers principal - of Brophy & Co. . was F; J. -V CINCINNATI - Private Wires tot * • ■ - ' . Baltimore Easton, Pa. Louisville, Ky. • , r , Boston Lexington, Ky. Philadelphia [ ' Ix>* Angeles r * Teletypewriter; *"-*■ 7 Dayton Chicago - " • ^ Portland, Me. " Lewis ton, Me. San Francisco LS424 • f ^ ■ •- r Private wire to New York : .r r CAna.e-;tOO 6 (162) COMMERCIAL THE InveJcrs and & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Managers—Forgotten Men, | By EMIL SCHRAM* \ . Thursday, July 14, 1949 From • Washington President, New York Stock Exchange Ahead Mr. Schram, in calling attention to government publications extolling American living standards,v de¬ plores neglect to mention part played by investors and managers. Says it is popular delusion that busi¬ prohts and individual incomes must be siphoned off in taxes, and contends present tax structure, designed to narrow rewards of risk taking. Points' out functions of capital markets in treating jobs, and advocates eliminating unjust taxation on dividends and lowering of capital gains levies. ness 4 of the News By CARLISLE BARGERON seems <s>- to This statement recalls the signifi¬ cance of your meeting today. At hope that your in¬ say, we stitution of to ican and i t point, I pay inspirational the s serv¬ great Amer¬ career ice this will continue rence business the long, over over -iere Amer¬ ments ture Mart, housing so mine, com¬ and petitive prod¬ ucts, is typi- Schram * cally American. It would be in¬ totalitarian state. a than markets Why have competition in the making and selling of home fur¬ nishings, of refrigerators, washers, toasters, radios, and television sets when a committee, a bureau or a board could decide which of these of and in ican the for freezing ice cubes. for her. icans to and It preparation shops make cried: She "You products is most suitable for the right. committee, the bureau, would establish board system and, prevent the ing presumably, consumer mistake. a The the or a of not ing, seem a liberal, adults think can for themselves.1 They must have the right to be wrong. There is a line beyond which the community cannot step, The individual must be permitted to exercise choice. Otherwise will he lapse into the status of pawn in the hands of the state. Undoubtedly tices of items you have a we were in phlet/ It. seen no- for more industry in a without/the central char¬ industry .has "The Gift subtitle is under that popular delu¬ profits and a business individual incomes must/ be siphoned off, the quest for secur¬ ity is accentuated. The most es¬ sential difference between our generation, that is, those who member of and "A world those- who note Study of the Economic and Social Status of Wage Earners in the the followed, confidence of of sence before despair period.' r * the is the the and in re¬ 1914 ab¬ earlier ■'7-*. * United States." The study deThe reasons for the search for scribes the working people of security are varied. The need ii America, living standards, distrito counteract the tendency.. In¬ bution of the working force, so©f button shoes. There is waste cial security and labor organiza- stead,, all of the forces of gov¬ ernment and labor seem to b' in not enjoining such activities, tions, and throughout emphasizes, lined up to narrow the rewards but the waste is as nothing com¬ above all, our basic* civil rights. of risk-taking. The end ; result pared with the atrophy of inquiry, Much space is given graphically adventure, and experimentation to the food, clothing, and appli¬ may be more security, perhaps where are, efforts on and di¬ ances rected and controlled. Even where home beginnings are. made with good intentions and there is no thought worker of centrally are encroaching liberties on of furnishings the average what he and terms of or human - but in the American can trying to square to change the fig¬ ure of speech, to have a perfect defensive team, but without the the Evidently the pamphlet will be dignity, the chain of re¬ actions leads to the kind of thing used portrayed with graphic and almost shows the rise in real wages and reduction in hours of factor^ terrifying penetration in George Orwell's new devastating book, "1984," a indictment of the servile state. It is so-called a accident that "utopias" democracies. elite, no are never Always there is an group set above the ordi¬ nary man and woman, which acts as a central intelligence agency. It is they who will decide what is best, what products should be produced,.. expanded, curtailed, in translation and is distributed broadly. A to ; ... workers could factory buy worker twice Reference is made in who Tax are or, and can speedy score and most has the dustrial plant in the world.'' in¬ Un¬ der runs. on Capital structure's mirrored in effects the are capital ";.-i '' It is quite clear that the capital markets not are functioning the maintenance well today as o> dynamic economy demands against 192-3, a year which economists regard as a time of balance in the general econ¬ Measured "high levels of productivity,*' introduced, or suppressed, in ad¬ one significant sentence may be dition to determining the ethics found: "Thus, it may be said that omy, activity in each of the past two years has been less than oneand religion, always in the best the most imoortant factor in the interests of their question to which wards. • The satisfactory answer is ever given is, "Who selects the elite, or, when society plays the hangman, who is the hangman's hangman?" no expansion of production has been the increase in output per manhour which improvement improvement of old products of the American Investment a of of the American Furniture Mart, Chicago, 111., July 12, 1949. ~ stocks, and e£forthatoeexplairtordoubters 'and misinformed at home omits—any business and tribute and to American businessmen. which 1926. Dealings in not only reflects volume of trading, but share prices, have since 1931 failed to equal the 40% of national income which and *An address by Mr. Schram at abroad the gift of freedom. I take dinner commemorating 25th exception only'to what the study Anniversary fifth of that of they represented in the reasonably normal year 1926. Current stocks the ; expansion Managers Forgotten i are scene. and the facilities for production." New products and the constant symbols has accompanied the American investors This oversight that the report of the high are yields another on common indication of tor of Hickenlooper has performed "incredible mismanagement" cal exaggeration./, public service and that his charges were no more than the usual politi¬ a ' v j">// v-v ■" ////,!-.} appraisal of the Left-wing and Liberal col¬ umnists. From almost the outset they have been chorusing that the Senator's charges were a dud and that his political career is virtually at an ond, that he will be defeated when he runs for reflection next year. -One Leftist cartoonist>in a highly influential- Metropolitan /.' But this is not the portrayed Hickenlooper's Republican quite inspired articles in the Eastern Metro¬ under Iowa date lines saying that the Iowa voters are press over Hickenlooper and that the Republicans of this Republican State may evenr deny him the nomination normally next year. Not having been out in the State where the Tall Corn Grows sometime, I cannot refute these articles. But it strikes me as amazing that with all the problems they have out there, the daily business of making a living, worry about the Cold War and high taxes, the weather and strikes, that any considerable number of people would be wrought up about their Senator's charges against , for Mr. Lilienthal. The latter is not to dividends 1932. has been equal to occurring between 1929 and Examination (Continued of data on page 30) over - . Iowa an boy who East and came made good and in whom there might be a lot of State pride. Some-; how, it is tremendously difficult for me to visualize those good Iowa citizens, preoccupied as we. all are/with matters far more pressing, gathering in their various assemblies, or shouting to each other across the fence, about what a terrible thing their Senator has done down in Washington. , . Yet I have doubt that by the time his campaign comes up, this will be about all the voters of Iowa will hear. Undoubtedly it will overshadow the Brannan farm plan, the housing program, sub¬ sidized right no medicine. The Senator's attitude on these may have been But he will have committed the unpar¬ the Iowan's alley. up sin. donable He challenged Lilienthal. ) The fact is that he not only challenged the atomic chairman. He brought the operations of this hush-hush agency into the open. He has just about developed, in fact, that there is little about the agency that should be secret, that Mr. Lilienthal and his colleagues, - has themselves, have not been worried about secrecy except to the The mystery of the great atomic bomb is fastly American taxpayers. is It powerful than a tremendously devastating instrument war. blockbuster,1 of as were One atomic bomb is far more but the bunk about the atomic bomb blotting out whole civilizations has been fairly well dissipated. In fact, in the course of the Lilienthal-Hickenlooper hearing, one ing again with none decided A on the hysteria in which come to already has been the on were predicted. Senator's part has ; been • the the part of Mr. Lilienthal in the matter of He has decrying the hush-hushness and deprecating contemplate the bomb. we responsible for this Certainly the hush-hushness for or their hysteria. near I can appeared recall in only the a relatively few rotagravure sections guards emptying the waste baskets. required to look and there Iowa this Senator, handsome in the , to intense They don't built contracting firms No ably suspected one "incredible" as much. when the atomic was fees from have the learned, spending and larger sold on turned than, it as energy waste baskets reason a / thanks to high, wide their / j the and management costs to run any they pleased—no check to question their only pictures that they did this. we cities was The ago direction they bought and appropriation. constitute at months depicting The guards, we were told, were see secrecy, the commission basis. them anywhere. annual opposite other guards to were Behind on way of the lasting effects which secrecy. public hasn't been a Hiroshima is also reported to be flourish¬ accomplishment complete turn-around near course, Army expert has testified that an comparable city; that running as 1 annoyed over decline of the past in the ratio of price colleagues ;■'L;;:V" There have been several * politan apathy in the capital markets The years ] . These things taken into consideration, it would seem that Sena-' three sharp com¬ a Appropriations Committee has already taken steps towards bringing the agency's expenditures under a closer view of Congress. V •/f ac a to become up Chairman guilty of any time it will contain quite a few recommendations designed to prevent the Commission from continuing to run hog wild. Indeed, the Senate found to treat the victims. )'■ shaped "verdict" in fact, will not find the; "incredible mismanagement," but at the same wearing off. markets/' i efficient tax vivdly one- place runners Markets in week.*' base Structure's Effect The 1947 or mittee, not the blockbusters used in the last "The as one the fact that America "largest batters chart in much as 1909 and he had 11 hours fifth more leisure each to be we circle, 1909-1947, and below the chart appears this sentence: average, a grave cost in economic social improvement. I arr afraid buy in hour's work. an was "trial" before the Joint Energy a It is understood Carlisle Bargeron at and of with from him in embarrassment.' Today, > ? most the charges The "trial" is now nearing its end and the committee will in due time render its "verdict.", j paper sion his and - Hickenlooper in the role of prosecutor and Lilienthal in that of defendant* } made under the im- called less of or Commission of their face,1 products of no utility—devices for manufacturing ice in the Arctic regions, or for better buttoning which of think¬ than' a way money and was willing to accept the risk of failure. appears? The dis¬ .American acter. ultimate values the is out reference to Hamlet print of the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the United States Department of Labor. The 142-page pamphlet new critics mismanagement" resolved tne issue between him and the Chairman. Rather one more for¬ study of the worker's position is equivalent to a performance of of human freedom and dignityM Recently the government published a,.most interesting parri- Freedom." applications patent thought the be the my man¬ point if they necessarily less interested We say, in democratic society, To leave to and number ference ways. to under men casual of people missed the our citizens the prod¬ are investors seem pensation. ways desire for bet¬ greater consumer, would know best, That is the essence of the dif- in in possible the high standard living which the worker en¬ joys only because someone was willing to back up his ideas with our a who gotten refrigerators., are used' in "this country than in the" rest of the respect to ter. things for these agers old." I suppose she is The fact remairis that more mak-1 with bureau, the of uct rating .world combined..I know also that would those who are apt to be scornful from the average really awake. These centuries purchaser's purposes and has the greatest esthetic appeal?, The in Amer¬ always thinking of make yesterday's product are foodstuffs the unusually, the matter recovery other countries rub their eyes amazement to see if they are of just too much was of array of was "incredible into The marvels in every fiveand-ten-cent store and a bewil¬ storage compartments the aggressive tries. families—ingenious arrangements, to way question of his confirmation man¬ higher standard of livinggoods at lower prices, a con¬ cept entirely alien in many coun¬ the refrigerator was al¬ universal use by Amer¬ most the the sends Britain a Britain dering to world. when before the Senate several months ago. But Hickenlooper developed to be more of i' ; .. . thal envied aL. parties of workers and executives more words any the and to study our methods. In Italy, Americans find it desper¬ ately hard to explain to Italian your story admired agers accomplish¬ A -act that conceivable in free of . j the young * lady f from :ould not quite get used . Emit tell Whiting's eloquently at ago years would General Furni¬ many 25 and jpening The General Lau¬ Whiting, who for 25 Senator Vandenberg was quoted as having ex¬ pressed regret that he went to the bat for Lilien¬ business production and distribution are H. has been at the helm of the A description of merchandise offered for sale the a time. ican that institution, - American Energy Commission. .As a matter of fact, the Senator has r.ot been die only critic of the atomic energy chairman. There was quite a flare-up severaUweeks ago when Lilienthal de¬ fended the Commission's action in granting fel¬ lowships to three Communists. ' At that time, even created the organization meth- eds-of respects to leader of this my years long revealing. has Furniture Mart. con¬ for sumer is Leftist propaganda is the tilt be¬ Hickenlooper and Chairman Lilienthal of the Atomic tween Senator The citadel of capitalism, as the New York Stock Exchange is sometimes called—and I hope a compliment is implied—congratulates the citadel of the home furnishing and home appliance industries, the American furniture Mart, on 25 exciting useful and fruitful years, needless fine example of organized A the near billion dollar Senator's mismanagement is because revelations we prob¬ Volume 170 Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Impediments Bank and Insurance Stocks (163) to Free Flow of Risk Capital By HAL H. DEWAR* By H. E. JOHNSON This Week—Insurance Stocks Although 1948 \ tory of fire was of the one insurance most profitable IBA in the his¬ years v However, the President, asserting need of revitalizing capital markets operations, so that risk capital may again move freely at unrest and over-emphasis on economic security at expense importance of sound economic education, and deplores unfriendly attitude of Ad¬ toward business as defeating role of risk capital Says Securities Acts should be liberal¬ ized to promote capital flow and urges better stockholder relationships. I ministration as a result of the recent changes in the price situation generally, the nature of the earnings is likely to be changed considerably." declines this year President, Investment Bankers Association of America Partner, Dewar, Robertson & Pancoast, San Antonio, Texas % freedom. ^sc""es impediments to world fIr jrice* of Stresses present prospects are favorable and results for the current period should be equally satisfactory.; and in business As is generally known insurance company earnings are com¬ posed of three principal elements: (1) statutory underwriting profit; (2) increase or decrease(in the equity of the unearned premium re¬ „ ^ should like to Y? ?r^ I/r iy • add that these ,, Unn That unearned premium earnings and reported is reserve added the to adjusted earnings. as reported . . j thoco rl m "Under The a Equity in Adjust. '. banking Under- Net Net writing Earnings Invest. Before Income Income Taxes Profit Aetna " Fire Continental Fireman's Great Ins. $3.82 ' ;u Fund- > • 1.26' 2.43 :4.67 Am. $6.28 3.21 > ; 2.71 U a 4.37 ■- 2.41 $1.04 5.12 6.09 $8.66 1.11 26.99 7.06 7.49 16.10 20.90 ;• Earnings 8.60 * - 4.17 t 9.04 Hal H. , Operating Taxes - S9.70 .4.13 ;/ 8.30 2.09 6.88 $3.42 - 4.47 1 / 5.87 / 14.02, Co. of No. $2.46 '* : American—/.';;f. fd.62 > Hartford Ins. Reserve 12.47 1.61 "4.58 5.57 21.42 2.52 - 10.86 0.54 i 13.58 This reserve. -Since the end of last reserves, r. ; '-■!' -7"-' '////./V'';" - business and prices have hoon declin¬ ing. This will affect insurance operations in two ways. First of all, losses will be settled, at lower prices; which in turn should benefit underwriting operations. Second the premium volume should tend to r year level off and may possibly show declines in some reflect lower valuations well of s //:X;v^// prices. and inventories as cases. This would the lower level as /K /'• :/. r reser- ' ' sound So Thus the leveling off of premium volume would mean no further increase in unearned premium reserves. Consequently there would nbt be the adjustment to satutory earnings from this source as there has been in the past several years. However, favorable underwriting conditions and the Dewar free a the full effect of the unrest. that ' . higher tax liability will arise from going to talk to you though as you of our hands problems of the hands of is partly in the business, mostly in the government. I and am thankful that the and is made for taxes not necessarily increase an in under¬ this amount, the earnings might be considered to be overstated to the extent of the tax on the unearned premium the Contrariwise, when premium volume is declining, liability is greater than adjusted earnings would warrant. tax This factor ance should companies. be realized ':'//•. when computing earnings v// ■ of insur¬ //>/ ; ■ tax a as ing about Most of these pamphlets are and most of these diffusion. Here The ; is what should in are by world hand with the social words this and ideas could produce a psychological factor, panies years the the in gain statutory realize attitude steeply graduated in¬ operation. -But the need is very way of bring¬ great, and the leaders of industry and finance should social State. type of economy which total of see it. consider their dividend policies.: Whereas, in ourselves to this forum an is of one problem is war so tied up with sound economic security. - Economic se¬ public education effective. Tied curity has an important function in with this is the great need for in a free economy, but when se¬ the various elements in our indus¬ and curity is placed above freedom trial financial greatest weaknesses. You are influential segment of both the public and government itself, and so I should like to pose our prob¬ and ask your cooperation in v. i ■ /■' ■ grade. Capital Markets Need " *A talk security. this Annual tional Convention Association Administrators, of the industry Na¬ Richmond, timewise, finance and to educate There are The next is way. public along sound economic are thousands of such hearing the fact of authorship.,/Scarcely that some pamphlet passes our and tax not specialize in and offer reserve has accounted substantial portion of the adjusted earnings, this year Any structure is (Continued child knows on page pressure conservative creased in a for for the purchase and sale of a With the INSURANCE STOCKS capital funds relieved and investment earnings steady, on payments of the past several years should be in¬ number of instances. Our annual Joins Ames, Emerich Staff (Special to Financial The CHICAGO, Watling, Lerchen Adds Chronicle) ; ILL.— Sterling 4 A copy (Special to The Financial Chronicle) W. with Chicago Stock Exchange. ■«———— Ford Two With Bache in Chicago ) (Special to The Financial- CHICAGO, ILL. Crawford and have Street. Thomas H. associated ' Detroit " Stock Ex¬ with was 1 Gross, Rogers & Co. (Special ;LOS to The Financial ■ Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—Stan¬ ley M. Briggs has joined the staff Rogers & Co., 458 South Ames, Spring Street, members of the Los Angeles Stock Exchange. previously with Cruttenden & Co. and Emerich & Co. With . will be group, now of the available. sent to you upon request. Blyth & Co., Inc. , B. 135 South La Salle Mr. McKee and changes. McKee a Watling, Lerchen & Co., I^ldg., members of the New York Chronicle) Edward become Bache & Co., — comparative analysis of country's leading insurance companies is DETROIT, MICH. —Hugh A. Pratt has been added to the staff D'Arcy, Constantine Eugenides, of Ames. Emerich & Co., Inc., 105 George W. J. Linton and C. A. South La Salle Street, members Smith, Jr., have become associated of the facilities few practically all statutory gains. as our of Gross. New York Boston Detroit • San Francisco Springfield • • • Minneapolis Philadelphia • Houston Fresno • • Eureka Chicago • * Pittsburgh Dallas • San * • Portland Jose • Los Angeles • Cleveland • • Spokane Pasadena • Indianapolis • Seattle • • Sacramento San Diego you economically day'story of the killing of the a or some any¬ subject a great deal about— a that attempts, and that is the trouble. politically is perhaps too much pride designed. ,Va., We united * There July 12, 1949. com¬ past a a public education Effect of Tax Structure; of herculean proportions : I, shall mention the other im¬ is indicated. ; ~ pediments to the flow of capital ; At this point, I should like to briefly so as to keep this talk in say a word about the attempts of its proper sphere Securities of present To tackle problem, the lines. by Mr. Dewar at and program the ; The institutionalization of problems savings with its dangerous social front in their social and political trends and the corollary emphasis endeavors. The fact that they have on debt financing are on out¬ not done so is another source of growth of this increasing desire great comfort to the enemies of for economic our system. v Revitalization community jointly to work out their internal that free economy is on the down¬ lem satutory underwriting earnings have been relatively small and equity in the unearned premium underwriting earnings will be reflected the the , government;is- conditioned by effort made necessary—has come public education that we will not public opinion, and the fact that another basic impediment.' I am have a solution before it is too we have not properly addressed talking about the emphasis on late unless business can make its: underwriting could be of considerable importance when year are co¬ one sure the tax liability will increase substantially over that of Adjusted earnings however, should be near those of last year even after allowing for the increased tax liability on the gain expected in statutory underwriting profits. a a-, really effective- program, and the ideas few years, last year. As done! leading sponsors should in- ,1 an organized effort to pool projects. Careful editing of all /// As premium volume will probably level off this year and earned premiums will increase as a result of the large volume of the past earnings this be I hope you will Perhaps out of this feeling of forgive this world unrest—certainly out of the digression, but the answer to our on portion. reserve ex¬ are come tal from engendered Hand called for securities and the remainder is on country. system. You well remember that racies and promotional profits Karl Marx, over a 100 years ago, very potent enemies of such were part of pur industry.. The solution markets to the end that risk higher total earnings. The unearned premium reserve adjustment is a method of esti¬ capital may again move freely and at a fair price. mating earnings used by statisticians and financial analysts. Inas¬ This means a much as the equity in the unearned premium reserve is not con¬ fair price for outstanding securi¬ ties as well as for new issues. Obsidered earnings for income tax purposes and because no provision earnings this taxes, which kill the 1 In its simplest terms, the prob¬ lem is a revitalization of our capi¬ The appear in incentive to Perhaps such a suggestion is naive. employ venture capital, are very I realize that pride of authorship, comforting to the enemies of our some trade association bureauc-, I know that your group is par¬ ticularly interested in the welfare of our business; so I am the favorable results of last year, writing desks creeping in on us and net cost would be a great deal less undermining our free institutions. even though the combined project For example, high peacetime would be tremendous in scope. its solution. j ecutives'. First of all, and perhaps basic, itiate world unrest an high volume of the past statutory underwriting earn¬ ings. These earnings-are expected to be sufficient, in most cases, to provide for a higher tax liability and maintain per share results near several years would be reflected in the * < enterprise doesn't over is the fear econ- h/iT/:/:;..;:://''y omy/ and our I . for funds to support a new movement to tell the story of free familiar ground, to enumerate them. \ ~ ' 'and s '! equity in the unearned premium also true of the prior years when premium volume was increasing resulting in larger .. enterprises, and ad- request of going closely tied together. year was composed of the increased ... ahd I should like, eveh at the risk i effective in¬ vestment banking mechanism are As can be seen from the foregoing a considerable portion of the adjusted underwriting earnings as well as of total earnings for last was sys¬ enterprise. Federal Premium . good, projects are worthy; but they are not doing an ate fnany impediments confront¬ effective job, and it is easy to un¬ ing the solution of this problem, derstand why. There is too much the welfare of Unearn. writing i proper /reach • -•- , Under- new com- . - > •• is to start from following breakdown of earnings for 1948 by Geyer & Co. ' 1 _ r viously,' tem if the flow . group of the leading companies illustrates this point: x „ v o of 1 • our modern considerable. was . cl it ions to old, which are needed plex economy, 'to keep our economy dynamic, capital must cSniiot be financed if present be channeled equity securities are selling far through an in- uhder the replacement value of vestment the assets they represent. There statutory 1 increase in the equity of the stockholders in the unearned premium reserve. In some cases the statutory underwriting results showed losses or only small profits. At the same time equity of the stock; holder in the increase in the unearned premium reserve as a result larger volume of business , well.^— During the period of rapidly rising prices and increasing pre¬ volume, a substantial portion of the adjusted underwriting earnings of most fire insurance companies was made up of the a ■v- are e tt . o -n rfrivo mium of speak to you today in optimistic tones about the investment business, so many danSers uuiiiionxing it mat I cannot do so. I might; ucuigeib confronting it that 1 1 mignt ° dangers which immediately face our industry stalk the private enterprise system as i serve, and (3) investment earnings. As is the usual practice in measuring insurance earnings a certain portion of this increase in the 7 Louisvillb • Oakland 34) the goose 8 THE (164) Economic Health COMMERCIAL Depends & ' CHRONICLE FINANCIAL • Thursday, July 14, 1949 Proiils on By ARTHUR K. ATKINSON* NSTA Notes President, Wabash Railroad Company . Railroad executive defends profit system as most efficient and productive for public welfare, and attacks^ philosophy of the "Welfare State" as threat to American free enterprise system. Cites difficulty in secur- ; iflg business capital and ascribes it to decline in margin of corporate profits, along with high taxes on itttome. Points out our national defense depends primarily on sound internal domestic economy, and denounces growing pressure of big government on business activities as discouraging economic expan¬ Outlines difficulties of railroads. sion. v'i NATIONAL SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION at When the dered what enjoyed a subject of this talk was announced some of you businessmen probably won¬ railroad man could possibly know about profit. The railroad industry has busi-* whose The inflation United States. those in the consist- r.esses basic report stated further that the pro20 to mccivity of European labor in inthe dustry was only one-fourth, and ently show returns of 30% on be ter than I 3. K. will operate "-v or business what cycle we however, as, /ailed In ;al and the influence in as economy. Difficulty in Securing Capital country Most who The New Deal Philosophy We know America ural as resource development, more manufactured products, more nations under period of years, as by working together go, democratic constitution. our Our economy has constantly ex¬ panded through competitive free enterprise. Actually we are far from being the biggest nation in the world. Both Russia and China have more lands, greater populations, and reported have to are natural more Yet, their standard of is frightfully below ours, the four freedoms are un¬ resources. living end known. 4 nation's take to pansion. to of normal care ex¬ greater and greater centrals less irge zation of than is the in. taken credit" of Certainly the United authority and greater ind greater dependence upon the federal Treasury are really more iangerous to our form of govern¬ even ment than any external threat that are now to be given their chance under Communism. >: statutory limit on the national debt, there is a theoretical danger Why is it then that some would ?an have us believe that the profit US." system in America is evil, that capitalism American imposed people by a the upon should be obvious whether must be one operated the public :eal man plain horse whether he be corporation harder and motive is a produce profit. that the coal miners will more We ior or if his knownnasythegE°oP °f' ec2nomi?ts needs for the the mining center of the world. championship golf course is located adjacent to the hotel. Also available are both an indoor and outside swimming pool, ice skating rink, bowling alleys, tennis courts, horseback riding, and many attractive scenic trips. While the Convention program is not as yet completed, it will include and tremendous of reorganizing executive branch of the vast eliminate of made rigid Federal ownership . is the challenge to duplication and a conscientious effort will be a to streamline departments and December, a Senator all executive bureaus so that Con¬ the taxpayers' money can be more headed wisely spent and that eventually Joint Subcommittee Flanders the billion 3 dollars of estimated saving testlfy were economists, labor eaders'' accountants, and some of th,e natlon's foremost businessmen, Fhe in.vestigation record provides :ame interestinS an<* contrasting views on what causes our national ^bXTharged^ a°?epor"t ^ surance the own atomic in Pact armed energy Plan and addition services to and let program, place in office the best able, to a^eSing mat big busi- of the Marshall Atlantic our our for the postwar » outdoor Chuck Wagon an other many in features us avail¬ men evaluate the amount of aid required to do the job and to administer the distribution and spending thereof. Let us not for¬ get, however, that the strength of is ♦An address by before Downtown St. - Mr. with Willi Atkinson Kiwanis Club, Louis, Mo., June 3u, 1949. -'.V* ; . ■ t ^ of u- building insurance future i_ depression. (leader offered r ■' ' huge up aSainst a an reserves as inevitable One program to the to usual Convention functions. day in Denver, starting with the arrival of the special train from the East in the morning and concluding with cocktails and dinner labor cure enterprise mill to from the the local great filling steel The special train will leave New York early Sunday evening, on Monday afternoon, Oct. 3, from Chicago, arriving in Tuesday morning, Oct. 4. Trains will be parked at Union Station for occupancy while in Denver and will leave for Colorado Springs at noon, Wednesday, Oct. 5. Hotel reservations must be made individually through the Asso¬ Oct. 2, and Denver ciation and in order to be assured of accommodations, which are necessarily limited, the application blank being sent all members together with check for registration fee must be forwarded to the Secretary. The rates will be $14.00 per day for two in a twin bed¬ room without meals, and a very limited number of single rooms > will be available at $8.50 per day. ; „ Dealer-Broker Investment Recommendations and Literature It is understood that the v send to firms mentioned will be pleased the following literature'. interested parties Amott Baker Realty Bond Price Averages Baker Tabulation — — Amott huge railroad system to the ^or^er grocery store is not (Continued on page 30) Corporation York Co., Incorporated, 150 Broadway, New York 7, N. Y. b Over Stock ' Broadway, New 120 5, N. Y. & Bond Market—Discussion of ef¬ fect of revision of the Federal Re¬ Board's Open Market Policy the bond market—Goodbody & Co., 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. serve upon - the Index - Industrial Counter — Booklet recording 10-year performance of 35 indus¬ trial stocks—National Quotation Bureau, Inc., 46 Front Street, New York 4, N. Y. Quo Yadis Mercator—An anal¬ ysis of the current market—P. de Buy Now — Ten for reasons a bullish outlook—Bruns, Nordeman & Co., 60 Beaver Street, New York 4, N. Y. Rensis & Company, 10 Street, Boston 8, Mass. Utility State Companies— Operating Analysis—Central Republic Com¬ Canada letter — Monthly commercial The — Canadian Bank of 209 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. pany, Commerce, Toronto, Ont., Canada. * American Canada—A New Frontier in Oil —Extensive report field cent thorough following re¬ on a investigation impressive oil discoveries in Canada—Department C-13, Bache & Co., 36 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. tailed y . ;.y * * , Airlines, Inc. — De¬ brochure—Kid¬ analytical der, Peabody & Co., 17 Street, New York 5, N. Y. Wall Manhattan Co.— of Bank The Circular—J. Earle May & Co., 601 Bryant Street, Palo Alto, Calif. Colombia-Bolivia — New study Central Soya of economic and political ments—Zippin South La & Salle develop¬ Company, 208 Chicago Street, Company—Analy¬ Co., 209 Salle Street, Chicago sis—William South La A. Fuller & 4, 111. 4, 111. Comparative Stock Insurance Prices—Comprehensive tabulation —Geyer & Co., Inc., 63 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Insurance Stocks—Annual parative analysis of com¬ of the country's leading insurance companies—Blyth & Co., Inc., 14 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. a Cosden Petroleum — dum—A. M. Kidder & Street, New York 5, Memoran¬ Co., 1 Wall N. Y. - group Helicopter Air Kentucky—History of common¬ of Kentucky revenue and Service, Inc. — Data—Cruttenden & Co., 231 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. International Circular—Marx Utilities Corp. & Co., 44 Street, New York 5, N. Y. — Wall wealth 2, Ky. . station and from the > that evening. revolutionary ness raised prices as high as the our national defense is nourished holding company bonds — The changes in the technique of pro-(traffic would bear with little re¬ entirely by our; internal domestic Bankers Bond Co., Kentucky duction, that is, capital equipment »ard for costs and for the If American business Home Life purpose economy. Building, Louisville ana organization comparable winpaiauie dinner, motor trip to Pikes Peak, addition not to the President purpose Government that which pointed out that what Europ© our dare predicted by the Hoover Vermont, investigated the corjoration profit situation in this group will become a reality. ; If the adequacy of our national country. Among those invited to defense depends on the costly in¬ j Europe issued that Df and railroad capital. with we present trying to trade off waste pointed out by the Hoover lays the golden eggs Committee's report. Let us hope Republican •vy seen even broad powers socialistic dead horse in the a Last are for are gressional still primarily interegted in their own wages and hav§ produced not more but even less, under the labor government than when employed by private fioi) to me which no wealth and productive capacity. The recent granting by Congress of seems above venture sys- labor leaders in their Although there is point enterprise a workers in England, though they are. working for a Socialist Government gov¬ control. jr work have big for "iorm any laborer executive against controlled economy real threat to our It our he goose that It is that sense of members and thereby justify its existence. just icits. higher wages and better working • conditions for union effi¬ interest the today. ;em 3ome ciently and profitably if it is to serve is a American private live#, in Socialist Britain, Com¬ munist Russia, or democratic United States that industrial' en¬ terprise arrayed is this drift toward which It be States will be impaired if we Were to have successive peacetime def¬ , ernment and minority of greedy businessmen? group possibly It is the gold ■ Eisenhower recently be reduced we must operate our of Socialist ^aid, "the army of persons who Federal Government by spending In 30 years called America's most complete. popular sport and entertainment Here, at the foot of Pike's Peak, the Broadmoor is within easy driving distance of the Garden of the Gods, Cheyenne Moun¬ They emphatically jus¬ record profits by General > organization, Russia has not learned how to produce abundance by force. The poor Chinese people been every diversion. their showing the earnings of their corporations over a period of years security has become an el¬ as compared with their invested ective political theme and many capital. In most cases the ratio of mthinking Americans would sac¬ profit to gross sales was clearly rifice the Bill of Rights for some lower than in prewar years, evi¬ jromised Utopia which, for want dencing the efforts made to keep >f a better name,'might be called prices down by reducing profit he "Welfare State." It would be ratios and increasing volume and oolish to condemn this desire for efficiency. a better way of life, as we are all One of the most important fac¬ Pager for that security which in- tors consuming business profits lustrial progress can bring. It is and retarding the natural flow of ;he means by which such goal venture capital is our high taxes might be reached that should be on both corporate and individual luestioned, and the solution must earnings as well as on estates and ae based on sound judgment and gifts. I think we all agree that if practical thinking. .; the huge national debt is ever to great wealth and high Standard of living in a compara¬ short year-round resort hotel, with *rave our tively services the of protect the individual from every :onceivable danger.Cradle-to- everything than any other coun¬ try In the world. We have built UP tified more some corporations, pointed out difficulty of securing suffi¬ cient capital from public issues of stock and more leaders the nish nat¬ more business largest starting with the depression in the 30s, that government must fur¬ land of a food, more the of testified, although they rep¬ resented There has been a growing de¬ prise and how to cultivate it for a mand by the American people, more abundant standard of living. plenty, with static portion of the national which could be taxed a away, if not distributed to stock¬ holders, without harming the which retards the flow of private capital ;o industry. present time. It is my purpose in coining here today to point out a few of the advantages in our American system of private enter¬ - On Tuesday, Oct. 4, the Bond Club of Denver will be hosts for' income the controlled this Broadmoor Springs, Colo., from Wednesday through Sunday, Oct.; The Broadmoor has often ;v corporate profits should be wary of any we that its Hotel,-, announces at the a European econ¬ that undistributed an Labor viewed providing sufficient capi- the point of are in at at the corporations, profits excess an profits tax. , economies of Europe have utterly a prof¬ uusinesi itably of and tax It should serve to remind omy. government spend¬ including the Europe, condition not attempt to tell you how to Atkinson ; with role stop all 4. Higher taxes for United States of profit in .as six time? more capital investour present nent per person. There is nothing new in this analysis of the critical economy. I Increased action price increases. ing for social welfare. dis-jof capital investment. Compared to the cuss will be held A Immediate government to Colorado 5-9, 1949. once for labor. 2. agriculture, only one-sixth of productvity in the United much bet- j States. The main factor limiting qualified production in Europe is the lack four Security Traders Association Annual Convention tain, Will Rogers Shrine of the Sun, Pikes Peak and Cripple Creek, 1. Higher wages labor's would vested involved which points: in-;in capital Arthur Perhaps many of you little of that elusive substance during the past 20 years. so National The Sixteenth New York Comparative Bank Interstate Engineering Corpora¬ tion — Card memorandum — Ben¬ nett, Spanier & Co., 105 South La Salle Street, Chicago 3, 111. Earnings— tabulation for Lehman Corporation first half of 1949—New York Hanseatic of — Analysis portfolio changes—Ira Haupt & Volume 170 Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (165) Co., Ill Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. of ' y - Also available New Issues brief reviews are Commonwealth & ■ Southern, Benguet Consolidated Mining, and Sefvel. ; $19,000,000 Louisville Gas & Electric Com¬ pany — Detailed memorandum Stein Bros. & Boyce, Building, Louisville 2, Ky. available Also memorandum is Starks / y Los Standa<rd Gas & on JEIectric Company. ; MeCord Corporation — City High School District Analysis Eastman, Dillon & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N, Y. - J. P. Morgan & Company California In¬ corporated—An analytical study— Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis, 25 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. New England Public . 214% Bonds Service Dated Co.—Analysis—Ira Haupt & Co., Ill Broadway, New York 8, N. Y. data—Lerner & Co., 18 Post Francisco bonds in denomination of $1,000 & - In the Hickey, 49 Wall" Street, 5, N.Y. • i New York registerable only as to both principal and interest. ' ; : Second Mortgage Income 4Analysis— Vilas January 1, 1953-72,< incl. * ■ Office Square, Boston 9; Mass. St Louis-San Due January 1, 1947 Principal and semi-annual"interest (January 1 and July 1) payable at the office of the Treasurer of Los Angeles County in Los Angeles, California, or at any of the fiscal agencies of Los Angeles County in New York City, at the option of the holder. Coupon Oregon Portland Cement—Late . . Angeles City School District detailed a : . — ' opinion of counsel, interest payable by the Districts upon their bonds is exempt from all present Federal of California Personal Income Taxes under existing statutes, regulations and court decisions. -"and State . Seattle Gas Co.—Circular—Corn- We believe these bonds will meet the & Co., 231 South La Salle1 Street, Chicago 4, 111. - ? stock —Reynolds & N. Y. -• - Co., New York 5, • </ ? « y.;..y" * July 27,1949 (Pittsburgh, Pa.) Club of district and will be payable, both principal and interest, from ad valorem taxes which, under the laws - V' now in force, may be levied without limitation as to rate or amount upon all of the taxable ' y* • j • property, except certain personal property, in said issuing district, j v y V . * ~ - - • • , AMOUNTS, RATES, MATURITIES, YIELDS AND PRICES • , Pittsburgh Mid- Picnic Mill at \ Grove. Park. *' - ✓ Pacific Northwest Group of the Bankers Association Los Investment meeting the at „ Gearhart •• •v y, •• , ''y.:;;*'y -''\:y-y y-vi: $6,000,000 ' Los Angeles City High School District 2T/4% Bonds Due $300,000 each January 1, 1954 year January 1, 1953-72, incl. $700,000 each year January 1, 1955-72, incl. Bond Club of Pittsburgh Fall Outing at Chartiers Country Club. 1949 y y: 7y"~y. ■ - Angeles City School District 2%% Bonds yy (Pittsburgh, Pa.) (Accrued interest to be added) h ~ yiyyy,■' y $13,000,000 - Due $400,000 Hotel, Gearhart, Oregon. Sept 9, 1949 - ' ■' yy?^ Sept. 9-11, 1949 (Oregon) Oct 5-9, ■■■ Investment Field In 1949 deposits of public monies in California. y. EVENTS Summer legal investments for Savings Banks and Trust Funds in comprise two separate issues of the two distinct districts. The opinion of counsel, will constitute the legal and binding obligations of the Issu'ng 4 bonds of each issue, in the •• - ;; COMING North as These bonds, to be issued for various school purposes* H Bond requirements York and California and will be eligible as security for Co.—Circular Electric Sprague J New Priced to yield 1.00% to (Colorado Springs dollar price of 9S^/2 according to maturity a Colo.) National sociation Security As¬ Traders Convention Annual at The above bonds The Broadmoor Hotel. are Dec. 4-9, 1949 (Hollywood, Fla.) Investment Bankers Association offered when, as and if issued and received by us Mid subject to approval of legality by Messrs. O'Melveny & Myers, Attorneys, Los Angeles, California. Annual Convention at the Holly¬ wood Beach Hotel. New York sociation Security Dealers As¬ 24th Annual Dinner at the Hotel Pierre Grand Ballroom. •;: N.T. AS.A. The First Boston Bankers Trust The National City Bank Bank of America Dec. 9, 1949 (New York City) ;;y ■ • . of New York •/ Corporation ;y ; Chemical Bank 4 Trust Company t; Smith, Barney & Co. Company Blyth & Co., Inc. < C.J.Devine&Co. Security-First National Bank INC. The Northern Trust Company~ j Seattle-First National Bank California Bank of Los Angeles y R. H. Moullon 4 Company 1 HeCer, Bruce & Co. ' Bear, Stearns & Co. Harris,Hall 4 Company . 1 Los Angeles J. Barth& Co. Dean Witter & Co. Eacon, Stevenson & Co. i (Incorporated) Laidlaw 4 Co. Francis I. duPont & Co. /•, Dominick & Dominick ■ Trust Company of Georgia ^ * , . Stroud & Company y -; Provident Savings Bank 4 Trust Company Incorporated Kean, Taylor & Co. Roosevelt & Cross ' , Andrews 4 Wells, Inc. Cincinnati, Ohio . Incorporated F. S. Smithers 4 Co. t ^ G.C.Haas 4 Co. Constructive of Uses —Harper and Brothers, New York City—cloth—$3.00. of Government The—Solomon FaBureau of Trend Rising bricant — Economic I Research, n c., 1819 Chesley & Co. Adds (Special Bempsey-Tegeler & Co. to The Financial J. A. Hogle & Co. . ; Schwabacher & Co.. Men Collins 4 Company Ginther 4 Company R.H.Johnson & Co. The First Cleveland Corp. The Weil, Roth 4 Irving Co. Raffensperger, Hughes 4 Co., Inc. Northwestern National Bank of Minneapolis The First National Bank of Saint Paul Fahey, Clark 4 Co. Edward Lowber Stokes Co. Lawson,Levy 4 Williams Ellis 4 Co. Stone 4 Youngberg affiliated with South Adams Street. t • • •' 1 r* Seasongood 4 Mayer ' Stern, Frank 4 Company Meyer Newburger, Loeb 4 Co. - Magnus & Company A. G. Edwards 4 Sons Bohmer-Reinhart 4 Co. Ryan, Sutherland 4 Co. Doll 4 Ispkording, Inc. Security Trust 4 Savings Bank of San Diego of Salt Lake City Jr., has become '* 11 ■' 1 / The Continental National Bank and Trust Chronicle) Chesley & Co., 105 ■ * First National Bank of Minneapolis CHICAGO, ILL.—J. Walter Nel¬ son, Ira Haupt & Co. National Broadway, New York 23, N. Y.— paper—50c. . .■ Atomic Energy by Leaders in Atomic Re¬ search—Edited by S. C. Rothmann Employment, The First National Bank of Memphis - 1 Kirby L. Vidrine & Company juiy 13.1949. Sheridan Bogan Paul & Co, Inc. Slubbs, Smith & Lombardo, Inc. Shelby Ctdlom Davis & Co. "• ' y,.yy. Hannaford & Talbot 9 10 Illinois Brevities Common July North Western trust ment Ry. equip¬ 2% trust Hall prices to yield 1.375% to 2.675%, (Inc.); Julien Collins & Co.; Davis & Co.; Farwell, according to maturity. The same Blair & Co.; Harris, William & Co. Paul V;. at 1949, of Byllesby & Co. (Inc.).} second certificates, equipment (Inc.), Julien Collins & Co., Ketcham & Nongard and H. M. & bankers H. (as offered Chapman & Co.; The Illinois Co.; Kebbon, McCormick & Co.; Straus Ames, Emerich & Co., 16, $2,060,000 Burlington Chicago, Inc.; Blunt, Ellis & Simmons; H. M. Byllesby & Co. (Inc.); Cruttenden & Co.; Dempsey & Co.; Sills, Fairman & Harris, Inc.; F. S.?Yan- Co. to offered publicly on June 27 at $14.50 per share. The net proceeds will be used by the utility firm to pay in part the bank A Houston $15,360,450 Stuart & Co. June 29 publicly offered on debentures in of no bonds, series S, 3%, June 1, 1983, at 100.639% accrued interest. The net due and part close proceeds are to be used in the per bank loans, in to retire $12,000,000 Ketcham Co.; & Wells laney, O'Gara & Co.; Patterson, Cope- & Kendall, Si Inc.; Inc. ; ■ # * syndicate Stuart & : . * headed by Halsey, and including, Included Electric & Co. of Clinton tal stock first share 3% bonds, series due June 1, 1979, at 101.99% and ac¬ crued interest. The net proceeds are to be used to pay in part the expenditures of the utility firm and to be incurred A. the net group for the undertaken was with Central of in¬ on line bonds, Co., Kebbon, McCormick & Co. Mullaney, Wells & Co. and tric Co. value) * * stock common at $22 (no par share, the net per proceeds of which are to be used construction program. June ' * ment trust ;// Straus & Blosser McCormick (Inc.), & Co/;'/'";/;////■/.*//*?/// A group of underwriters, head¬ ed by Blyth & Co., Inc., and in¬ certificates,' series on according to Co. at $102% per Co. Light (par and share accrued dividends. . to $16,435,014, com¬ with sales of $140,060,707 profit of $9,659,282 for the Temporary 25-year 2%% de- \ corresponding six months' period bentures, due 1973, of Swift & a year ago. Sales continued at a Co. may be exchanged for per¬ high level during the second quar¬ manent debentures at The First come I * taxes pared // * * and net trus-/ National Bank of Chicago, ter of the current fiscal year. The if Jfc mon book , value, of the com¬ shares of Peabody Coal Co., Chicago, April 30, 1949 on was $9.86 a. year before. Current assets at the close of the year just closed $12.52, compared amounted current to with and $11,726,658, liabilities $5,197,019. I Marketed by Underwriting Croup SI9,080,000 Los Angsles School District Bond Issues A syndicate, leading members of which include the nationwide City Bank of New York, Bank of America National Trust Savings Association, Bankers Trust Co., Smith, Barney & Co., & Angeles, Calif., City School District and City High School District 21/4% bonds from a 1% yield basis to a dollar price of 98.50, accord¬ ing to maturity. The offering consisted of $13,000,000 City School District bonds, due on Jan. 1 from 1954 to 1972, incl., and $6,000,00(1 June 21 on ing of 242,785 shares of Illinois Power Co. common stock (no par a few hours and entire Power Co. North American holdings of Illinois common dividends from May having announced."* sylvania and B. & O. Railroads te Ata value) at $28.9938 per share Co. managers after the offering scale was Halsey, Stuart Offers stock. Allyn & Co., Inc.; A. G. Becker & Co. Inc.; Central Republic Co. ! Depot Bonds j fered Co. Inc. of-< 13 $2,000,000. Passenger Depot Union Akron bonds, series A, due July 1, 1974, at 100% and first mortgage 4V2% interest. accrued bonds sale was- subject of the will be used (Special to The Financial Sears Chronicle) MASS. —Walter BOSTON, Hawkes com¬ operation for Hawkes With Draper, has become * L. affiliated" - and Boston Stock Exchanges. to reim¬ acquisition of lands be> made- for interests struction It is expected station will be and ready about Dec. 1, 1949. With Barn es„ Bod el 1 the company's treasury for capital expenditures made and to and time. new Commerce Commission. Proceeds burse authorization to Interstate present that the competitive with Draper, Sears & Co., 53 State The sale is Street, members of the New York at won bid of 98.10. on a the of Award . the pleted Stuart & publicly July Halsey, " ican school loan. The offering proved school issue and 101.45 for the high exceedingly attractive to investors, the syndicate in thereon and lands of a new con¬ union * HAVEN,; CONN.—Harry (Special to The Financial Chronicle) j N12W W. Confrances Bodell 8t is with Goodwin, . Barnes, Inc., 257 10, 1949. The net proceeds will be Church Street. passenger station in the city of in part to pay an aggregate (Inc.); * Bacon, Whipple - & * Co.; Akron, Ohio.' ^ of $21,000,000 principal amount of William Blair & Co.; The Illinois The bonds are guaranteed un-. Kafflen Investment Co. promissory notes evidencing bor¬ Co.; Kebbon, McCormick & Co.; rowings from banks, and the bal¬ and Farwell, Chapman &' Co. The conditionally by endorsement as SPOKANE, WASH. —Karl J. to principal, interest and sinking ance will be used to Kafflen is now engaging in the pay for ex¬ net proceeds, together with other fund payments, jointly and severe securities business under the name pansion and to increase working funds, will be; used; to pay out¬ ally, by The Pennsylvania RR. of Kafflen Investment Co., Radio capital. Caterpillar's manufactur¬ standing notes. and The Baltimore & Ohio RR. Central Building. ing operations are largely concen¬ trated at a plant located on ap¬ Redemption prices for the new Consolidated Grocers Corp.# bonds otherwise than for sinking proximately 405 acres of land Chicago, has placed privately Two With Robert C. Buell owned in fee in Peoria. fund purposes are scaled from through A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc.,; ' /■>. ■ ' •' '■ ■ ; ; (Special to The Financial Chronicle) •' ' 104% to 100%. Sinking fund re¬ ** * * a $6,500,000 15-year used maturity; June 23, $12,480,000 Southern Pacific accrued & stock ' • participated in the public offer-' their RR, at prices to yield 1.25% to 2.725%, " crued interest. >:/!/W-/!'//: bonds within ' * Light & Power Co., representing and Power preferred latter's announced the sale of all but $5,000,000 of the total of $19,000,000 the part, in finance, Illinois equip¬ $100) July 8 pub¬ shares of * physical proper¬ $ * payment of $3,cluding, among others, Harris, On June 29, a nationwide group 500,000 of short-term bank loans). Hall & Co. (Inc.), A. C. Allyn & of 80 underwriters offered public¬ Co.,Inc., Central Republic Co. ly $50,000,000 25-year 3% deben¬ (Inc.) and Kebbon, McCormick & tures due June 1, 1974, of Joseph Three other groups of under¬ Co;, on. June 7 publicly offered E. Seagram & Sons, Inc. at 99Vs% writers, also headed by Halsey, 250,000 shares of 4.20% cumula¬ and accrued interest/ Included in Stuart & Co. Inc., publicly of¬ tive preferred stock of Caterpillar this group were the following fered the following equipment Tractor Co. at par- ($100 per share) named Illinois 1 bankers: A. C. trust issues: On June 9, $7,500,2%% 4.28% on 50,000 '/I//'/;//;/// City High School District bonds, maturing on Jan. 1 from 1953 to 1972; incl. > * In addition Central Republic Co. The bonds constitute obligations of. the respective issuing dis^ (Inc.) participated on June 21 in tricts and were acquired by the underwriters via a competitive the'piiblic offering of 251,033 shares of Portland General Elec¬ bidding sale on July 12. The group paid a price of 101.33 for the city *"■' Co. Inc., & Co.l Republic o n# offered Delaware June 22 public¬ ■ # for the account of North Amer¬ in ties (including the Ry. licly Blyth & Co., Inc., First Boston Corporation, and Chemical Bank & Trust Co., made public offering on July 13 of $19,000,000 Los pipe Co., Blunt, Ellis & Simmons and The K ebb to the company's Southern •» the participating were Central Re¬ public Co. (Inc.), Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.), Bacon, Whipple & at $26.75 per A. C. Allyn & Co., Becker was National to Industries, Inc. capi¬ G. * accrued interest. Illinois bankers (par $1) were: Inc., 1949 for additions and betterments 000 derwriters who i 9 publicly offered 150,000 shares mortgage incurred Of * the * , included in the group of 16 un¬ Co., Inc. * on • 3% series due 1969, at 100%% and, Co. * in * Farwell, Chapman & Co. sinking fund debentures due June * % « * 1, 1964 were A. G. Becker & Co. Consolidated sales of Deere & Inc.; Blunt, Ellis & Simmons;, Co., Moline, and its subsidiaries, Kebbon, McCormick' & Co.; and! r for the six months ended April 30, Rogers & Tracy, Inc. The deben^ 1949 amounted to $187,716,847, tures were priced at 100 and ac¬ and net income after Federal in¬ public offering on June 21 of a new issue of $50,000,000 first mortgage vestment bankers who others, The Illinois Co. and Mullaney, Wells & Co., on June 8 publicly offered $10,000,000 Okla¬ derwriters who four In¬ Wis., Included in the group of 34 un¬ Tennessee Co. 11, * * Collins & banking Co. Inc., Gas July on the balance will be added to gen¬ eral funds. among homa $40 proceeds, $20,000,000 will be used to pay off bank loans due Sept. 10, 1950 in advance of maturity, and , investment Another V * at The Illinois Co. and Simmons, * year the ■" * financing expansion program Gas Transmission continuing of and Julien Robert Showers; Sills, Fairman & Har¬ ris, Inc.; and F. S. Yantis & Co., land Life through A. C. Allyn & i with Milwaukee, for tee, and at Irving Trust Co., New * * * Additional and par Glore, Forgan & Co., Blunt, Ellis Alfred Co.; & at refunding mortgage 2%% bonds, due June 1, 1979, at 101%% and accrued .inte rest: gard; Mason, Moran & Co.; Mul- Mutual Co., sales a stock deben¬ Public Service Electric & Gas Co. first Northwestern privately Retail 13.7% or* weeks same totaled $13,136,090, a gain of 12.2% over the same period in 1948. The sales of National Tea Co., ticipated in the public offering of 40,000 shares of Staten Island Edi¬ Chicago# for the four weeks ended son Corp. 4.90% series cumulative June 18, 1949 amounted to $20,preferred stock (par $100) at 663,361, compared with $20,411,511. $103.25 per share and accrued for the corresponding period in dividends. ' * " *'V • / ' following Chicago banking on June 8 participated in the public offering of $75,000,000 Non- & The stock business * placed On June 17, A. C. Allyn & Co., The pating in this offering were: A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc.; Julien Col¬ lins & Co.; Dempsey & Co.; Detmer # * been of the weeks ended May 21, 1949 series Inc. and William Blair & Co. par¬ houses houses partici¬ mortgage refunding and Interest. Rights expired at the share. *'" part, the utility company's con¬ struction program. Other Illi¬ investment first 1949. and the remainder to finance, nois , offered common of 307,209 common value. were 1964, 30, June alternative, its par tures mortgage Power Co. issue of an convertible 2%% due the of shares refunding and first Co. or, Elec- $80,000,000 Pacific Gas & tric & Lighting & group headed by Halsey, Inc., Allyn & Co;, June on 3%% York, N. Y. "" Stuart to its stockholders of banking nationwide at.- 2%% bonds, series G, due June I, 1979, at 101.50% and accrued borrowings and the balance corporate purposes. Co. Inc. in addition participated in the un¬ derwriting of an offering by ' - £ l/' * * ❖ „ 1 < • * 9 participated in the public offering of $20,000,000 Virginia Electric & Power Co. other Halsey, ties, principally its electric prop¬ erties. 1, /:///":/• ;•!, In addition A. C. Inc., short-term reduce to June from ' * , and improve¬ be made to its proper¬ to ments used be for additions of cost was dividends 1949. First Securities Co. of Chicago; Carter H. Harrison & publicly offered $4,000,000, first Co.; Martin, Burns & Corbett, Inc.; mortgage bonds, series E 3% due Mason, Moran & Co.; and Mul1979, of Public Service Co. of New laney, Wells & Co. The unsub¬ Hampshire at 100.59% and ac¬ scribed portion (211,149 shares, crued interest, the net proceeds not including 65,074 shares previ¬ ously sold) cumulative preferred ($50 per share), plus $2.50 accrued bonds, $13,312,949, were ago. the public offer¬ ly ottered $10,000,060 Pacific Western Oil Corp. 15-year 3M>% of 80,000 shares stock at par Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc, (as sole underwriter) also on June 22 tis & Co., Inc.; issue an 1949 first lic Service Co., Huron, S. D., has ■ •/■• of Central Arizona Light & Power * * of ing 2.325%, according to maturity. * in participated Quincy & 2% equipment trust certif¬ icates at prices to yield 1.20% to RR. & Blosser; $700,000 (Inc.), A. Co. l,f ton, reported that its retail sales in-; for the four weeks ended June 18, due 1978, of Northwestern Pub¬ surance C. Allyn. & Co., Inc. and Kebbon, McCormick & Co. also on June 15 underwriters) sole June on of * % Central Republic July accrued ahead mortgage , ;''///■'■ // * ❖ due and S;S/"'.'],/,:issue An Co., John W. Clarke, Inc., Paul Davis & Co., Harris, Hall & Co. debentures 101%% at VV, H. on Chicago $6,600,000 7, and fund terest. Co. Moran & Co., Blunt, Ellis & son, 1.40% to 2.70%, maturity; to Republic Inc., Central Kebbon, McCormick & Co., Ma¬ certificates, series BB, at according 1948, and $20,455,928 for the four participated in the public of of $25,000,000 Michigan* weeks ended May 21, 1949. Jewel Tea Co., Inc., BarringGas Co. 3%% sink-i 1967, (Inc.), A, G. Becker & Co. Inc., 14, 1949 fering ing Co., Thursday, July Consolidated short- repay term loans. The Illinois bankers ing transactions of the year prices to yield to participating are: A. C. Allyn & 1949 subscribed on or before June 23, 1949 for 169,777 shares of the 446,000 shares of common stock offered at $14V8 per share. This offering, which marked one of the largest equity financ¬ trust and program record June 9, in the3> utility field, was underwritten by a group of 51 investment houses, which included, among others, the following Chicago bankers: Cen¬ tral Republic Co. (Inc.); A, C. Allyn & Co., Inc.; Bacon, Whipple & Co.; A. G. Becker & Co. Inc.; 29 in- part nance Illinois Public Service Co. of of Central stockholders CHRONICLE provide funds to fi¬ its construction will firm FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (166) 2%% equipment . Central Soya Company i - Incorporated •• • Common Stock r ■■ .. 3%% prom-; A group of 124 underwriters issory note due June 1, 1964, institutional investor. July 7 participated in the public offering of 550,000 shares of Analysis in Preparation with part to retire on June 25 $3,985,-^ on Kansas common William A.FuIler& Co. Members of Chicago Stock Exchange 209 S. La Salle Street* Chicago 4 Tel. DEarborn 2-5600 Tele. CG 146-7 $26% Gas & Electric Co. stock (no par value) at per share. This included The 000 an net of proceeds were used ing capital. was The Depot company was organ¬ in debentures at 102%, and the balance demption prices range from 102% 100%. to added to work¬ ized of under Ohio purpose, the on laws May 6, among of the State HARTFORD, CONN.—Violet M. Mangone and Osmon N. Peterson are now connected with Robert C. Buell & Co.# 36 Pearl Street.; "■■■/■ 189lr for the; other things, of! With R. H. Johnson Co. (Special to The Financial ChronicleI maintaining a; " •* * t the company and 450,000 shares union passenger station in Akron. BOSTON, MASS.—Rudolph G. has become A. G. Becker & Co. Inc., and In due course, a station was com¬ Custeau connected representing the remaining hold¬ ings of American Power & Light Harris, Hall & Co.- (Inc.)~ and pleted at Market Street in Akron- with R. H. Johnson & Co., 30 State Co. The proceeds to the Kansas Blunt, Ellis & Simmons on June and has been used by the Penn¬ Street. 100,000 shares for the account of constructing and . , Volume Number 4820 170 COMMERCIAL THE iwelT .as & director a (President of Association News About Banks the Bankers and new officers, etc. Port former of — - {Deposits ;Cas.i • At meeting of the board of on July 11 Earl Bryan a Schwulst Exchange Branch at 25 Broadway; iLoans and bills discounted— D. Ruhm, Jr., President j 'JndiV. profits^ elected President of of Bates Manufacturing Company, - was The Bowery Savings New York, which Bank/of to payn, of $900 over Mr. be HE . trative Branch - aih fi e n r •jans v.' 1,291,193,008 And bills * . 194; • bers of 1,325,879,66C Urust company Mr. 1,334,139,329 • 1,382,631,244 "" ;C5.''68.?'"3 1,524,426,111 64,463;452 the Johnson he continue and trom Uj S. 1931, but mains and has Earl B. Schwulst New re- Chairman as Chief Harris A. Harvey D. Gibson, President of Trust Company of Manufacturers Ex ec u of the Board t i Officer. v e Dunn remains Chairman of the Vice- as York announces that John Mar. 3l/4» the $ taken a ground floor lease or space for a branch long-term Quincy Adams, President; of The office in the new air-conditiohed Refrigerating, Co., has 488 Madison Avenue Building now been appointed to serve on the being erected on the blockfront Advisory Board of the bank's of¬ between 51st and 52nd Streets by fice at 14th Street and Eighth Uris Brothers, it is announced by Manhattan - Eastport for the mergef of: National Bank of 324,228,544 Easiport, N. Y., into * the Center 1 191,312,227 Moriches Bank of Center •54,316,471 due "56,645,319 Y., under the title - Southv; Bay; Bank, was filed on June 30 withj the ;New York State Banking De-" -51,963,872 46,1091009 Cap. and surp. 13,965,284 Moriches, | N. se¬ 51,666,819 .13,945,284 curity hldgs-. partment, it was made; known Jn: the July 1 bulletin of the Depart. , jneiit. as The New York Trust Company has ® An agreement t Loans and bills UNITED; STATES ) Janager of the Real Estate De¬ partment.- / . ■ ; >/.:/;-■'/■i -;; : with Irving Trust Company in * • j /lanager of the Trust Adcount'ng 'department and Mp. O'Connell He previ- associated been )Mew York. & V' discouhtediJ"' as had 220,761,838 192,915,952; banks a Govt, OF 7:'77 Tot. ' , ' _ •/ YORK JUne 30/49 ' ,*" $ r '/ , At the same time it was, also; announced that approval had; been given to a certificate for the! change in the name" of the Center, TRUST-' COMPANY NEW : ' , since as a, Vice-Presi¬ First National Bankf 53,702,649? resources ' held of service of the Jersey City, N/ J. and the ' Tot. • which dent * . June 30/49 "for several" years; will * co.; new york : : staff of - the clerical years jthe Bank of Manhattan. Company .[• '-..r Assistant Secretaries V/-, Mr. Clarkson joins Title Guarantee, and Trust after several company; The bank¬ brown brothers harriman company.,- Messrs.- Johnson O'Connell have been mem¬ bnd the:; asv ari( of the* busly ..Cash, i,he Assistant- Vice-President New ' Broadway, New Yqrk, an¬ on July 12 the'-appointhaent of John -Johnson and John J. as announces opened by the bank. 1 ' John E. Bierwirth, President of O'Connell of New York, pany completely equipped branch office 55,422,823, ' •100 y'-v • naiv. prcril__ Presidency of The Bowery, & * v of in the Personal Trust Divisiorr of Deposits,'——*. 4,067,176,57C 4,233,944,130 _ discounted--. the e s TIT Mar. 31. curity hldgs. 1,723,449,125 relin- h (TO, 1949 ie banks, *. S: Govt.. s>e- : y <JF NEW YORK .jun<? d and from .55,913,519 . * The ♦ Townsend, President of (election of Lloyd Clarkson by the Safe Company, of Barnard Feb. 1, 1950, and will be the third nounced re£0uxces_$4 677,221,404 $4 461,430,548 /epoeits s Offi¬ Bruere / . " . has appointed Paul Assistant Secretary. Title Guarantee and Trust Com*, ing office will be opened around \ , 570.009,752 tr Com- The New York Trust Company, at \ NA^TOVA*. CHASE 7 ot. Chief Admini s j Boat the 45th Street CITY OF Schwulst will i | Hopkins, Jay Electric of committee. million. q u John and com¬ Branch and o r s assets cer. Street 42nd President 500,000 depos¬ it the to mittee, has than mo re v taken York Trust Company. iJ. S. Govt, se" } curity hldgs. -542,627^29485,730,622 Herman be 11 an * ! 52nd and MadhSbn an additional 3,000 square directly beneath the banking Deposit 438,G'24/708 432,304,612 pompany Spadoiie of approximately 3,500 space flboi* Will due banks. In agents. Avenue, 1,416,974,20T .1,360,713-,914 _____ and from rental square feet at • • 30, 1949 . trustees • Mar. 31,1949 feet resources_$l,620,504,826* $1,559,658,563- ITot. I Brothers' New COMPANY, NEW YORK ;June *"•' capitalizations ; Uris (167) addition to the street-level bank¬ ing v* * , BANKERS TRUST revised tlie of and Marketmen's York. i consolidations new. branches FINANCIAL CHRONICLE / Mar. 31/49 J ' •- Moriches Bank to the South Bay J resources.163,054,281 160,300,043 130,095,775 127,620,088 Bank, and plans to increas;e( [capital of the Center Moriches Bank from $100,000, consisting of IjOOO shares (par $100 each.) to- Deposits the Cash and due from banks U. S. Govt, holdings 27,294,961 27,111,631 65,960,493 .... 76,613,949 security - - • $150,000, consisting of 1,500 shares,, Loans and bills dis¬ counted 52,962,994 381702,894 1,735,358 $100' each. The July IE bul¬ of the Office of the- Comp-; President of trolier of the Currency at Wash¬ Bierwirth, of the trust ministrative Vice-President. Mr. ident of the Union Terminal Cold company,- and by Robert Byrne, the United States Trust Company ington reported that the Eastport1 Schwulst, who has been with The Storage Co., Inc., Jersey City/as Vice-President of Cross & Brown, of New York announced that the / (Continued on page 16) Bowery since 1936, was born in Sherman, Texas. In the financial Sparks P. Raymond world Board, Robert W. Vice-President, First as Haulenbeek he has served Assistant J*. to P. Ad¬ as Avenue. Mr. Adams is also Pres¬ to the and the This announcement is neither par. letin Strong, Bank of a solicitation of an offer to buy any of these offer is made only by the Prospectus. * offer to sell nor an Debentures. The . . Ecuadoi Governor-General of the Philippine Islands; Superintendent of Banks in the Philippines anc Adviser the to ment. Cuban $150,000,000 Govern¬ American With Govern¬ mental agencies Mr. Schwulst ha; been Special Assistant to the Board " Research as Dallas; Financial Advisei Central Benjamin 1,814,351 Morgan & Co Incorporated; -Loan and Credi, Manager of the Federal Reserve Bank of President Undivided profits/J the of Reconstruction Standard Oil Company Fi¬ Corporation, Director of the Commodity Credit Corporation nance {Incorporated in New Jersey) and President and Director of the RFC Mortgage Company. Amonj other current activities he is a rector Twenty-Five Year 2%% Debentures York of The Greater New di¬ Fund, the Institutional Securities Dated Corp., the Regional Plan Associa¬ tion and Insurance tion. and Mr. Annuity Schwulst President of ciation Mutual of July 15,1949 the * Elliott V. Associa¬ is a National Interest pas of ; Savings Banks. * * Bell, New York State of Banks, an¬ July 7 reappointment DeCoursey Fales, President oi Price 100V2% and Accrued Interest on The Bank for Savings in the of New York, of City and Harris A. Dunn. Vice-Chairman Trustees payable January 15 and July 15 in New York City. Asso Superintendent nounced Due July15, 1974 > trustee of the Teacher a of the Board of The Bowery Savings Bank, of New York, as trustees of the Savings Banks Life Insurance Copies of the prospectus may be obtained from only such of the undersigned as may legally offer these Debentures in compliance with the securities laws of the respective States. Fund for four-year terms begin¬ ning July 1, 1949. Mr. Fales and Mr. Dunn first were appointed July 1. 1945. The Savings Banks Life In¬ the of trustees Fund on Fund, which was organ¬ July 1, 1940, is managed by a board of seven trustees ap¬ pointed by the Superintendent of ized * ' V . on with Banks Governor. a 7 MORGAN STANLEY & CO. surance the of consent The the cies icsued by savings banks, pre¬ the standard forms of life policies and annuity SMITH, BARNEY & CO. HARRIMAN RIPLEY & CO. Fund provides guaranty of life insurance poli¬ pares THE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION KUHN, LOEB & CO. - • • • , •'. Incorporated - , „ LEHMAN BROTHERS GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. BLYTH & CO., INC. insurance contracts, determines premium rates and unifies the mortality ex¬ perience of issuing banks. There are now 39 issuing banks and 25 agency banks for savings bank life insurance. Presidents of KIDDER, PEABODY & CO. STONE & WEBSTER SECURITIES CORPORATION DREXEL & CO. SALOMON BROS. & HVTZLER UNION SECURITIES CORPORATION . GLORE, FORGAN & CO. three important corporations have been appointed CO. THALMANN & LADENBURG, LEE HIGGINSON CORPORATION members of Chase National Bank, New York Branch Advisory Com¬ mittees. Albert dent Moore-McCormick of Inc., was ory Committee V. FENNER & BEANE Moore, Presi¬ Lines, appointed to the Advis¬ for MERRILL LYNCH, PIERCE, the Produce July IS, 1949. ■■ '■' ■■ ' ' - WERT 12 COMMERCIAL THE (168) FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Fund for your investment dealer, National research ; , from or a securities Nine corporation investors in March little of '38, One sold the market short; then there were ; 120 broadway, new york 5, n. y. nine. bought on margin; then there were One eight, Eight little investors just arrived from Devon, One *A played the horses; then there were seven. Seven little investors in Florida 1, 1949. / . '26, "With present high living costs and taxes," Mr. Wilkins pointed out, "people are finding they can't afford to let their surplus cash stay idle or work for a rate of only 1 or 2%. Moreover, they don't have the time, information and experience to select and watch indi¬ vidual securities to get a better income and are afraid of losing their principal if they try to do this specialized job without professional advice. As a result, people have been turning to mutual funds to meet their needs for One bought little investors, land's sake Six LOW PRICED backed One Fire SHARES ' ~ ' of v . real estate; then there were six some little an and was Why Low Priced Stocks? Because in the plenty sore, bought Kreuger, Toll; then there were four. • He Four little investors went on v ■ One took ^ a below shows to what a ' spree, a The other's bonds defaulted; then He investment dealer or The Incorporated and York 5, N. Y. \ bought ' < there '/was some Of investment Fundamental Investors Inc. VS. LOW PRICED STOCKS investors considerable K / HIGH PRICED STOCKS 200 mutual funds and now can really sleep. Investment Company r f ; -241%—i one. 150 funds they enjoy greater investment peace of mind and actually do sleep better. ■ The chart •- parody should not be taken too literally but more are discovering today that through owning mutual above more have always group 250 ' vV One little investor, too scared to make a peep/ a PROSPECTUS ON REQUEST a rising market. a PERCENT ADVANCE TO SUBSEQUENT HIGHS stew, Two little investors, one about to run, 63 Wall Street, New in striking degree, on average, the difference in performance has been. One bought penny mining stocks; then there were two. from your past, low priced stocks as flyer; then there were three. Three little investors, all in ;; a AL. alive! shown the greatest percentage advance Group Securities, inc. Distributors Group, higher yields, expert supervision of investments" of investment risk."—Congratulations, spread oil well; then there were five.- investors, one in the nine months - . Mr. Wilkins attributed the larger sales this year in the face of declining stock prices and reduced stock market activity to the grow¬ ing public acceptance of mutual funds as a medium for savings, with the small investor especially finding that there is no other way in' which he can spread his savings over 200 different securities. "Ten Little Investors" Ten little investors, back in '29, , by the Fund. the of institutional investors in the Fund increased 22% By HENRY HUNT ; the corresponding period of 1948 over half-year, the number of shareholders was approaching the 33,000-mark for a new high, while the number of! to June request from close At the Mutual Funds upon increase of 75% an the largest six months' sales ever recorded and trospecfus Thursday, July 14, 1949 interest Index Inaugurated toHrustmen and oiher purchasers of distinguishing between distribution of capital gains and pure income and provide a five-year moving average on income and a monthly figure indicating changes in principal value.1 These unique charac¬ teristics are designed to give a more complete picture than could be obtained by emphasis on any one item in the performance record "Trusts and Estates" will further explore the theory of mutual fund investing through monthly articles by key figures in the investment company and fiduciary fields. Wellington Reports Record Sales 79% 73% 50 ■ M ■I «%-jgP -36% ill Mill 11 STOCKS 100 70 SELLING AND TO AT OVER 100 From Record sales of Wellington Fund for June and the first half year reported by A. J. Wilkins, Vice-President of W. L. Morgan & invested by the public in the Fund in June amounted $3,019,000 for an increase of 89% over the same month last year, and represented the largest single month's sales in the Fund's 20-year history. \ In the six months ended June 30, 1949, Mr. Wilkins reported thai 94%- 100 shares is the "Henry Ansbacher Long Invest¬ ment Company Index," a new monthly feature published in "Trusts and Estates" Magazine commencing in the July 15 issue.. Special features of the Index emphasize historical as well as current data, company a 55 40 30 20 15 10 5 5 TO TO TO TO TO TO TO OR 70 55 40 30 20 15 10 LESS study by S. Van Strum, published by Barron's. were Co. New money This chart is a record of all stocks listed on the New York Stock to Prospectus from your Investment Dealer or ' HUGH W.LONG & CO. the public had invested a total of $14,444,000 in new money in the INian»0«A!tD IB 01 WALL STREET, NEW YORK v,<The-chart shows that advance priced groups advanced High-priced (over $50 Shares, si Prospectus Low-priced (under $15 upon . There Lord, Abbett & Co. — New Orleans — Los Angeles Certificates of Participation in it is but up a 264% share) stocks advanced $50 over share advanced 129.5%. per Thirty a number of reasons why this occurs so consistently, chiefly due to the desire of the small buyer to own a A Diversified Investment Company who and , sold. up priced stocks are attractive today—and at any time—only: wants better-than-aver age should later For their effect is to and down.—From a seem appreciation. If a decline in probable, such stocks should be magnify stock market performance both folder issued by Distributors Group. STOCKS (Series K1-K2) EATON & HOWARD (Series S1-S2-S3-S4) EATON & HOWARD BALANCED FUND COMMON STOCKS I STOCK FUND Pro*pectus from frour local investment dealer PROSPECTUSES OF THESE TWO MANACED INVESTMENT FUNDS MAY or BE OBTAINED BY r Tke Keystone Company " ' of Boston 50 Congress Street your THE REQUEST TO YOUR INVESTMENT DEALER OR TO EATON Prospectus may be obtained from local investment dealer, . ... PARKER or CORPORATION ONE COURT STREET, BOSTON 8, MASS. & HOWARD INCORPORATED INVESTMENT MANAGERS BOSTON Boston 9, Massachusetts ' £ full to the investor who feels that the stock market is likely to advance (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) PREFERRED per V are market averages BONDS stocks advanced.— 43% share) per large proportion of the total buying power. Low IN > 101%: trading unit of 100 shares. And small buyers, in the aggregate, make INVESTMENT FUNDS investing tkeir capital , shows that representative stocks selling for less than $15 per share advanced 365%. *'\ those in higher increased 128.7%, 30 representative stocks selling (at the begin-' age INVESTMENT COMPANIES Chicago than : request ning of the period) for —» more ' 1942-1946 advance when the Dow-Jones Industrial Aver- In the THE LORD-ABBETT New York j 50 most active— The WA Funds times \ * while the Dow-Jones Industrial Average advanced by .\JW\Js Custodian; several period of stock market- 1897 and 1932 stocks in the lower somewhat similar study of the 1935-1937 advance A CM1C AGO Keystone average for each on in the 34 years between priced groups. S, N,Y **■<(,.11 i Exchange in each period of rising markets from 1897 to 1932. Established i92k 24 Federal St. BOSTON ' 333 Montgomery St. SAN FRANCISCO Volume 170 Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL Mutual Funds Form New National Institute Paul Bartholet heads organization, which will direct research and program public relations. was announced July 13 a speech by its newly-elected President, Paul Bartholet, before a meeting of the National Association of Securities Administrators in Richmond, Va. This Institute, according to Mr. Bartholet, is an organ- of open-end in¬ com¬ panies (now known tual tripled," Mr. Bartho¬ let said, "but the tripling of our assets has represented an actual increase of only $1 mu¬ as funds) their and un¬ t i- n s Board of Gov¬ lars declined 41%, in ad¬ ernors, dition Mr. to of Paul Bartholet & have York; S. L. Sholley, President of Keystone Custodian New Funds, Inc., Boston; Henry J. Simonson, Jr., President of National Securities and Research, Corp., York, and Joseph E. New Welch, Executive Vice-President of Wel¬ lington Fund, Inc., Philadelphia. In his speech before the Secur¬ ities Administrators, Mr. Bartholet objectives of the the that stated Institute would be: new than of a com¬ (1) Re-establishment meeting ground between the various securities commissioners and Mutual Funds for the discus¬ sion and solution of regulatory mon Mutual Funds attracted not C, public education." Bartholet said that the In-i stitute proposes Association that the National Securities of Admin¬ istrators and the Mutual Fund In¬ stitute conduct with vey a joint factual sur¬ respect costs to and methods of distribution of Mutual Fund shares, simplification of reg¬ the de¬ our venture capital requirements of the national egpnomy. The help problems; .1. ■ ■•' 3,. 'f"/; . .r:"j " of regulatory commissions and- fi¬ (2) The development of a bet¬ nancial organizations will be ter public understanding and ac¬ sought in this survey, he said. •*/,. ceptance of Mutual Funds, and j The Mutual Fund Institute has (3) Finding means, through re¬ search, whereby Mutual Funds opened offices at 48 Wall Street, New York City. ' can . improve their service to that cause our* flected the basic needs of of mands in Jan¬ union these There a day they getting older ery and day na¬ has worsened. developing. spots Walter P. Reuther time no ev¬ the rock to Labor boat. ought to demonstrate real states¬ inse¬ Withdraw manship. kind let's and storm your laid off tney ought to go this way.' "It is the * . simple are and we those whole. Enlarging upon these objectives, Bartholet stated that it will be the firm present to postponed. compelling, going to permit be ignored or to We are going and of various Mutual Funds' views the of segments an unbiased manner, without regard to the special in¬ in business or particular company except as they affect the of terest any group business as a whole. * First California Adds • Special to The Financial public understanding and accept¬ ance of Mutual Funds," Mr. Bar¬ tholet FRANCISCO, CALIF. — California Co., 300 ' Mont¬ First Street, has added John F. Taylor to their staff. J gomery the (Special UAW to The Speer Staff Financial Chronicle) the sible wealth these said that that and other great with industries. We a hospital is wanted we medical program financed on plete hospital W&Asaid gfrease we and medical wanted a re-establish to our time America in labor ican be to of men little little courage. This is the time for labor to stand u£&3SfiT%ay- faith or (Special for people in the leadership of Amer¬ the ST., to The Financial Wiiliam M. Bramlette is sociated Waddell with FLA. ndw & Lewis we getting are America in- hasn't real have in because trouble *" little the -in guy With Brainard-Judd & Co. Jot'SYiough, and therefore, (Special to The Financial Chronicle) -; # Wage w^s was back position to where he has it t&Sjht harder to get now ,. in June of 1946 when OPA what he is entitled to in order to S. destroyed. avoid & " This announcement is neither going into a depression, and CONN. —Karam HARTFORD, Jacobs with is Brainard-Judd Co., 75 Pearl Street. an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy The offer is made only by the Prospectus. .(■ any of these Sfiares. , . f . Beaver become sociated with the firm in its as¬ Insti¬ and 283,333 Shares ' ' The Dayton Department. Mr. Green Mr. Stone formerly were with ■ * . Power and Light Company Common Stock Goodbody & Co. ($7 Par Value) investors John J. O'Brien Co. what Mutual Funds can hope to do for them, but also what they cannot do and and their shares will represent an Russell Rights, evidenced by subscription warrants, to subscribe for these shares have been issued by the Company to its common stockholders, Adds Russell Chandler should know not only M. Time — Chandler has Eastern Daylight Saving which rights will expire at 3 o'clock P.M. John J. what the public must not expect O'Brien & Co., 231 South La Salle Street, members of the New York of them. Exchange, announce that "Mutual Funds are here to stay, Stock ILL. CHICAGO, become on July 26, 1949, more as fully set forth in the Prospectus. Subscription Price to Warrant Holders increasing portion of secur¬ associated with them in their Chi¬ ities sold. At the present time cago office. Mr. Chandler will spe¬ they are the fastest-growing seg¬ cialize in the distribution of In¬ ever ment securities the of business. $26 a Share Shares. Trust vestment The several underwriters may offer Four St. Louis Firms Oppose Exchange Merger Along with other members of St. Louis Exchange, who shares of common stock acquired acquired by them either through purchase and exercise of rights, or pursuant to the underwriting agreement, at prices deter¬ or to be voted against mined as set forth in the Prospectus. proposition to join with Chicago, they state they will not go into the consolidation. Copies of the Prospectus may be obtained from only such of the undersigned as may legally offer these Shares in compliance with the securities laws of the respective States. 7, four St. Louis stock brokerage firms, who are mem¬ bers of the St. Louis Stock Exchange, notified the Exchange authori¬ On July ties that they were opposed to a merger with other Mid-West stock exchanges and would refuse to go along with the plan of consolidation. It is reported that these opposing^ firms are in addition to the six' stock becomes and continues to be members who registered opposi¬ quite active, within a year's time tion when a vote on the proposi¬ it may be delisted from the Ex¬ tion was taken last May and ap¬ proved by a substantial majority. objecting firms are Paul The four Edwards & Sons, Edward D. Jones & Co. and Brown & Co., A. G. I. M. Simon & Co. The firms in the the Louis St. question sent let¬ corporations listed ters to on Exchange in which they said: "We do not agree that the market for your securities would in any sense be bettered by change." The St. your HARRIMAN RIPLEY & CO. Incorporated THE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION BLYTH & CO., INC. •>' GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. therefore They urged that STONE & all toward dissolving the Ex¬ change and merging it with the KIDDER, PEABODY & CO. WHITE, WELD & CO. Louis. WEBSTER SECURITIES CORPORATION steps Chicago Exchange and denied the to dissolve it. in SMITH, BARNEY & CO. the Exchange has functioned has become a use¬ ful and integral part of the busi¬ ness and financial community of that trading that St. Louis af the stated for 50 years and moving to Chicago. It is our belief, unless also W.E.HUTTON & CO. MORGAN STANLEY & CO. . letter the of UNION SECURITIES CORPORATION be abandoned right of members the a majority exchange as¬ •v leading Exchanges, an¬ Stone E. — Reed, /'.'<• Inc. * Chronicle) PETERSBURG, I———— care. wage the not A that William P. Green and ( With Waddell & Reed getting into economic difficulty growing unemployment. This makes pos¬ Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange nounce r - say — bill because the workers have crer ated we the conviction that Institute the of "it is said, 60 Co., j Chronicle) SAN ; tutional development of a better "In the & Hentz H. after them in 1949." to CHICAGO. ILL. Robert ? W. these people in industry, to the Federal social security payments coupon clippers in Wall Street, Kohler has been added to the in- order to be able to retire with that every reason that necessitated staff of H. C. Speer & Sons Co., 4 semblance of security and our drafting our demands in Jan¬ 135 South La Salle Street. human dignity in his old age. We { uary has been reemphasized and said that industry had to pay the reinforced by the fact that we are Wm. Green & L. Stone commissioners the to needs the policy of the Institute H. Henlz Go. Adds # and not are demands the Mr. ■: coming and get you going. J "We say the needs of our work¬ ers investing public and to the econ¬ omy as a 'You system; they/get good a Joins H. C. in say, you together.' "And inflation demands weather of in¬ more the when should not do it now, because you drafted ample, and because of these worsening economic factors, these negative factors, the high priests in Wall Street say to us, This is pen¬ sion plan, that; every soft are our we create will Then is leveling off and we are getting into trouble because people are re¬ Unemployment is developing in serious proportions in many com¬ munities like Muskegon, for ex¬ industry needed Since America in also they the economic pic¬ demands ture year," Reuther our and tion's economy. of this uary de¬ they reflected the basic needs of workers t "Industry tells us when we are a period of inflation, that We should not demand wage increases when prices are going up .be¬ because them drafted ulatory requirements and methods of how- better to enable theserjfeMftso! 5% of pay-roll to give our workers and their families com¬ Funds to contribute to the equity and drafted economic greater proportion of investment curity was clouding their future. capital and surplus savings? That We said that when a worker, had is the $64 question which the In^ worked 25 years and reached the of 60 he was entitled to a stitute hopes to solve through a. constructive program of research-• minimum of $100 on top of the Mr. these drafted we we and in being "When mands we loud that say '• negotiations. "When to clear. 13 ; .. flation. a and have we Workers Auto July 10, Walter Reuther, head of the organization, announced his demands to be presented to the automobile manufacturers in forth¬ coming wage were "Why, in the face of these facts, Co., Inc., New York; Karl D. Pettit, President of Knickerbocker Fund, rose more increased 65%. stocks such W.Long, Pres¬ of Hugh Long invested 40%—and the dividend income on ident W. are while the value stocks in which Mutual common Funds Bartholet, in¬ cludes: Hugh of on stated, "we riod, the purchasing power of life, said that the insurance and savings bank dol¬ workers in initial tute's billion. Mean¬ life insurance companies added $23 billion to their net re¬ serves; savings banks deposits rose $28 billion. During this pe¬ while, derwriters. The I Mutual of assets Aims (169) In a lead-off speech at the 12th Annual Constitutional Conven¬ tion of the United Automobile Workers-CIO, held in Milwaukee, Wis. Funds have mmonly co the 1940 Since CHRONICLE In opening speech at Annual UAW-C10 Constitutional Convention, calls for health and pension benefits as well as higher wages in 1949 of in vestment FINANCIAL Reuther Stales Formation of the Mutual Fund Institute ization & July 8, 19f/9. ' DREXEL & CO. / I 14 THE (170) COMMERCIAL r? Thursday;; July 14, : 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & establish, and .-to Industrial Executive Offers Recommendations 1" European Policy The anomalous situation of the reports some Dominion of Canada within the have repercussions doubt, • -serious very some certain in , areas, however I believe that such a re¬ need of change in allied progress, but sees •>V;/" policies. economic '/■ ^ from extended tour of Central Europe, W. Harnischfeger, on return By WILLIAM J. McKAY : » > This will, no foreign currencies. For 1 .realistic more a valu£-between the dollar and other if we is unavoidable adjustment r hope to get back to some form of sound international commerce."- British Commonwealth of Nations is likely %be thrown into sharp As a result of observations made during a trip to Central Europe Empire Conference/ ip London. Unlike the from August 28 to Oct. 12, 1948, which included Holland,, Belgium, Mother Country and the other Dominions, Canada is outside the Ster¬ France, Switzerland and Germany, W. Harnischfeger, President of ling area. Furthermore, whereas# —— —— —— Harnischfeger Corporation, Milwaukee, Wis., reports that considerable socialistic Britain, Australia, and of the British Labor Government e c o n o m i c*>— New Zealand are firmly com¬ to devalue the pound to a realistic progress nas whether Europe will remain un¬ relief during the current Morgan Stanley Eroap Underwrites • mitted to based rigid on lateral tem Thus currency ^•; is Canada likely to have consideration serious give and trade convertibility. the question whether it is now time to m&ke one to the of the most vital decisions in her history. Either to abandon her North American eco¬ nomic and retire within the Crippsian curtain of austerity and regimentation, or to orient her economic policies still conceptions closely in line with those of In view of the crit¬ more this country. ical nature of the British economic situation it will be difficult to rive at a would ar¬ satisfactory compromise. In the absence of additional dollar credits from this country or Cah- tries, any be level Otherwise as a Canada and tion, par¬ will be faced with the em¬ barrassing necessity of making fundamental changes in economic that will nothing do to he sees .and economic was d| to- c o m- c bond market :,and /A sound peace treaty and a co¬ fairly well main¬ ordination of the three Western tained.. In sympathy with .a Zones is undoubtedly the founda¬ slightly higher level of free funds tion upon which the economy following the recent relapse, the must be restored is the opinion section of prices the were ada, which at the moment appear internals were likewise a shade of Mr. Harnischfeger. "Our State, .highly improbable, the strict firmer; it would appear that the military and commercial, policies influence of the fairly heavy indicate lack of coordination," he tourist traffic is offsetting for the adds. "One can readily appreciate conditions can only lead to* the moment the bearish factors con¬ the reason for some of this, as virtual segregation of the dollar stituted by the weak trend of there are undoubtedly many com¬ and sterling trading areas. Such sterling and the important Do¬ promises that are being made be¬ a division however would leave minion internal bond redemptions cause of our Allies. As long as tolerable in 7 one On indefinite an postion, camp the nor other and in¬ of . October and November next. neither clearly Stocks continued their recent gen¬ in the other, if eral advance with the principal hand is Canada interest concentrated we are insist footing the bill, and should clear-cut, con¬ policies." v sound, cn structive we honest the base- on Continuing, Mr. Harnischfegfr prepared at the present time metals and the golds; market sen¬ drastic modification of her timent concerning the latter group says: "The total export for the three relationship with this country or is becoming increasingly favorable with Britain which would cer¬ and it is confidently expected that zones in Germany for the current tainly provoke dire economic con¬ ultimate * currency I un¬ devaluations year is 600,000 000 marks. sequences. Canadian economic and lower industry costs will soon derstand that at present, consider¬ policies in the past have been lead to the development of a full- ing prevailing expenses, it; will based on the infallibility of the take 1,800,000,000 marks to put fledged bull market. not for any time-honored U. S.-British-Can¬ adian exchange and trade triangle. Its virtual breakdown as a result of, the non-convertibility of ster¬ ling unfortunately has not pro¬ duced clear-cut any policy successful or change remedial of ac¬ the Sfaaley 0. Eaton with The many Eaton of tion. on a self-sustaining personally question can be accomplished dismantling and admin¬ economy basis. I whether this friends of Stanley C. Bendix, Luitweiler & Co., our istration policies. In- summarizing the conditions I found in my re¬ cent trip to Germany with 16 months compared as ago, I J It is therefore in Canada's vital opinion that there has been interest to between the In areas. will seek prevent a solution that order (EDT) Net ceeds finance and as treaties of and which These agreements should be rationalized in with line this it inated. The adequately people clothed convertibility has would the far and been more the sounder ; "A the liberal The shock¬ are It .. 52 GOVERNMENT ' v Wall Stanley Street, C. Eaton New York members of the New York City, Stock Exchange, will be glad to know that he is back at his desk after PROVINCIAL Laryngectomy away MUNICIPAL ons we have which since Feb. 8. kept The big unsolved prob¬ N. Y. the rest of the European economy. ' NY 1-1043 lation of of Russia This situation than talk about has deteriorated improved. There throughout possibilities • expenses, is of Europe with Russia. Personally, I hope and pray this can be avoided. 11 do believe a firm policy is essential. of war. in the firm's New office, 52 Wall Street, New course, With Floyd A. covery reason influence that the funds this tion in the is to restore industrial the Ruhr and the with vert the sustained by paper currency.: and chemicals, raw this Avenue. Both Anderson Mr. thereto was with Carter H. Carbrey & Co. and and section Fewel & of Co. With Olson, Donnerberg con¬ into ; " (Special steel the is Prior Co; in A. Allen & Co., Inq., Grand formerly with Paul R. Flynn were are , Floyd 650. South produc¬ Rhine, and materials tions, often poorly conceived, ana Ap¬ program recovery area Morris and Anderson F. ence more which \ Greenberg have become associated re¬ will, be spent Chronicle) LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—Clar¬ , where they will reduce the maximum if the abroad. This is all the extended abroad areas on Allen & Co* -(Special to The Financial . including ECA. which, will have somewhat of retarding a estimated popu¬ an approximately 809,000. Anderson, Greenberg drastically reduce all Government relation only ST. has to The Financial Chronicle) -v LOUIS, MO.—Joel W. Pope been to added parently there are only two re¬ possible way that these people can York City. The firm's principal At the Olson, Donnerberg maining countries in Europe, get exchange for goods. office is in Chicago. Mr. de namely" Switzerland and Belgium, present time, we seem to be doing 418 Olive Street. Bronkart came to the financial which have a budget approaching just the opposite; namely, that we the staff Co., & of Inc., relatively free are continuing to dismantle plants. Joins Kirchofer & Arnold 7 "With reference to the revalua¬ •_* connected with several ^Special to The Financial Chrontle) tion of currency, personally I be¬ "America undoubtedly is the New York firms in their CHARLOTTE, N. C.—Richard syndicate lieve that the drastic readjustment one country in the Western civili. i A. Burke has become associated departments. He recently termi¬ zation that is in a position to ex- of currency is essential m order to nated an eight-year association ercise sufficient influence to un- bring about more natural trading with Kirchofer & Arnold Assodistrict from has Chicago in 1926 and been balance and have economy. a , t .. . WORTH 4-2400 miles and has ing program to manageable pro¬ portions. It will be necessary to the Eugene H. de Bronkart has "Furthermore, Europe, to a sub¬ joined Sills, Fairman & Harris, stantial extent, "is now operated Inc., as Vice-President in charge as a large planned economy, being of the syndicate and institutional controlled by rules and regula¬ York TWO WALL STREET Dayton, spend¬ to is mudh department NEW YORK 5, this goal. lem - Eugene de Bronkarl With Sills, Fairman INCORPORATED principal cities served being Sidney, Xenia, Troy, Piqua, Greenville, Urbana and Washington C. H. The service area covers approximately 6,041 square the and the atomic bomb. The lat¬ to reduce the Government's a him CORPORATION A. E. AMES & CO. purchase, distribution and sale gas. Its business is solely in Ohio, where service is rendered in 24 adjacent counties, natural of lars, mostly made by the U. S. A. I personally believe that our Gov¬ big problem will be how to ernment's fundamental policyput each country in the European should be to put our own house in area on a self-sustaining basis. i7 order—the first step of which i "In my opinion we are far from incorporated the "The United States," Mr. Har¬ nischfeger concludes, "is the lasi phase of western civilization and to was production, transmission, distribu¬ tion and sale of electricity and in six of resources ter, if not controlled, will surely annihilate civilization- this im¬ grants of food, cloth¬ rather CANADIAN STOCKS the company 1911, under the laws or Ohio. is engaged principally in the in The ,w the construction and acquisition of certain 1948) The poison gas of World War,I has been replaced by robot weap¬ ing, relief and availability of dol¬ CANADIAN BONDS 1952. hears about one "On the economic side dissipated more provement is undoubtedly due program through carry electric yand ing. sub¬ approxi¬ substantial part of its of construction a will the also in Eu¬ powers the atrocities in Russia housing reconstructed to used were portion a (including present I bilateral agreements Russia. The stories mately 10%. of sterling. This possible only in the willingness on the part be to gas companies in will aggregate approxi¬ mately $88,000,000, of which $47,rope and a sensible peace treaty with Germany • will accomplish 689,700 had been expended up to more at this time 'than multi¬ April 30, 1949; an estimated $6,lateral agreements, many of them 752,200 will be spent during the remainder of 1949 and approxi¬ socialistic in their implications. mately $33,558,100 will be spent ; ""America, with a $250 billion in 1950, 1951 and 1952. •< 7 '1 debt and $40 billion annual cost On completion of the financing, of Government, can no longer af¬ the company will have 1,983,333 ford to waste its substance. Two shares of Common Stock outstand¬ great wars have been fought and ing. There will also be ou stand¬ I'm afraid, a third one is in the ing 100,000 shares of 3.75% series making. In the course of events A, cumulative preferred stock; 1 believe that we have probably 75,000 shares of 3.75% series B, contributed as much towards de¬ cumulative preferred stock; and terioration and human suffering $51,850,000 in three series of first because of our partnership with mortgage bonds. believe with country. are I ; 7 used be The estimated cost of this program day requirements and necessity. to achieve of economy which from in >1946; agreements- of them ill-advised. treaties and will present construction program, and to fi-. nance a portion of this program during the balance of 1949. The company, to meet increasing de¬ mands lor electric energy, started as wherewithal lot Co. jointly July 26, 1949. on proceeds battlefront, Europe today, many July & Co. & the company's outs anding $5,000,000 of bank loans, the pro¬ Starvatipn, which was the order of continents; resources that, if prop¬ the day 16 months ago, has to a erly ' conserved, could have sus¬ considerable extent been elim¬ tained civilization for generations. necessary to offer a solu¬ tion that will permit the resump¬ tion of multilateral trade and the of the America is furnishing the which is sustaining we can and should insist on restoring a sound Euro¬ pean economy., We have made >a long Hutton repay the on on Stanley purchase any unsubscribed following termination of subscription offer at 3 p.m. As long principal the was which power tories cf record held business underwriting group which an brought about vic¬ America as par shares ; ficial be event mess. six of Morgan > E. W. will we opportunity to our one close 1949.. head ($7 stockholders common share at the rate of one a the and do not we rationally definite cleavage dollar .and. sterling a miss If - and Washington is essential. stantial improvement in the super¬ will a Russia. $26 7, ex¬ and stock common share for each .which German prison¬ in of at Jj"A sound foreign policy out ol of the am personal many straighten out the fulfillment of Sir Stafford Cripps' economic program under present in the in promptly may to be Canada at to the more . had ers are Light additional Power offering 283,333 value) to its Germany, in masses moment, periences act plete European restoration is to be 7. , f activity in the external accomplished. there week the ; if subs tantial W. Harnischfeger w a r the the but that Dayton is shares There is not any question course. and policies, further : more the determine undoubtedly Co. right than either in France or in Britain. The reason for this is progress During will The Germany of at remedy the world's current ills. little rehabilitation Dayton ' Offering: Power Com. Policie:.- East. the by be or establish with reference we the to influence Western absorbed which changes in Allied political found ticular policies to situa¬ the important world in res¬ der need for some pound. democratic the whole - the of full normal safeguard to necessary new be¬ toration willingness to consider additional assistance that the coun¬ but fore abroad and might in made these fob a find would been decision Britain readier cooperation such lowing in¬ more once and bi¬ spire universal confidence. There is little doubt that Canada's served by a sys¬ are which level inspired by the principles of multilateral to controls trade operations, best interests policy economic an . . , i with Amott, Baker & Co., Inc. ravel the situation and determine - between soft currency countries • -r- V J ■»«% ' •* ,1* _ 7. Volume 170 Number 4820 THE While Weld Group Offers 440,000 Shares Public shares of offering Gas of each on unit $50,000; $15.99 unit per million instead of £400 million each on more. organized June operate as a spe¬ company, 16, 1949, will cialty fund, investing in securities ;of companies identified with the industry gas with and related particular natural gas. special- this field. According to the prospectus, the orable of fuel and The energy. such cuts would be m.- the Even reserve to hitherto : turned for the "safety But rity or in¬ of on Dol¬ gold 1947 pensive save Dr. Paul dollars is to in effort an The only way ation ex¬ to costly device, for a raise production. the British cost Even a the temporary relief, for the process which is at present making for higher prices through bilateralism Monetary Fund. So after allow¬ would soon resume The only way its working wards is course. in which a restoration hours. comforting within have of a to past the two been effort fun¬ achieved would be through drastic cuts in the cost of production, reasonable to ments of the whole Sterling Area it does not seem to be any too either through reductions of wages ment single class of Its position is not determined, sole¬ plentiful. > > V • common stock with a par value of ly by the trade balance of the In the circumstances the gov¬ United Kingdom, but by the trade ernment will have to make a su¬ $1 per share, of which 2,000,000 shares are presently authorized. balance ot all Sterling Area coun¬ preme effort in the near future Upon completion of the initial tries. This is a fact which is not to check the drain on the gold re¬ offering of 440,000 shares the adequately realized:> in London. serve. This could be achieved by While grave concern is felt over an increase of the export drive to company will operate as an openend investment company. r.he decline of British exports of the Dollar Area but in face of the ; 3; "I The company has retained Colo¬ manufactures to the United States, growing difficulties in this re¬ nial Management Associates as very little attention is paid to the spect it would be unduly optimis¬ investment adviser. The president much more important decline of tic to expect any spectacular re¬ of the company is James H. Orr, Sterling Area exports of raw ma¬ sults in that direction. The alter¬ who is also a general partner of terials to the Dollar Area. Yet the native" is to cut down. ruthlessly Colonial Management Associates, Sterling Area Dollar Pool is fed British and Sterling Area imports president and director of Railway mainly by such exports. The fall from the Dollar Area. This is what and Light Securities Co.. and m the prices of raw materials, the government envisages; hence president and trustee of The Bond and in the volume of American tivity. The former is politically .impossible. It is difficult enough, chemicals. * The ' 1 consists of pany of . , , capitalization the com¬ riot tell the .,, . whole story. For the that British gold reserve is the reserve of the Sterling Area whole. a as it has to only. cover or a . . amidst full a many gaged Mr. Orr has been years in investment en¬ prevailing : that the Trades Unions reductions, unless and until there be increase an in unem¬ ployment, and the government is pledged to preventing this. There remains 'productivity. •achieved, the This through {management increase * the full gravity situation in the assume British the is it same that the mo¬ public of the certain way as Directors clude Mr. of the Orr, Mining Corp.; Henry A. Wood, Jr., Boston trustee, and Sherwin C. Badger, an officer of New England Mutual Life Insur¬ W. E. Hutton & Co., 14 Wall Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange* harder to George A. McDowell & Co.. in Building, Detroit, Mich., the Buhl it is announced. imports of such materials, affects :the conference of Commonwealth ish industries is only making slow a member gold outflow to a much larger Finance Minister' that will take headway, however, because even Exchange. of tne Co. ance This announcement is under offer to buy on any The latter firm is, Detroit Stock the X " ! Offers N. W. Equi, Issue Halsey, Stuart associates & Co. Inc. means or as an offer to buy, or as a of the Prospectus. This is published in as may solicitation of any Stale legally offer these securities in such State. equipment trust of 1949 2%% equipment trust certificates, due $440,000 annually Aug. 1, 1950 to 1964, inclusive. under in the offering are A. Inc.; Hornblower & Weeks; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Otis & Co.; Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis; Wm. E. Pollock & Co., G. Becker & Common Stock Co. The (without par value) v yr ■>•: - y Company is offering these shares for subscription to the holders of its outstanding Common Stock, to whom Subscription Warrants The are to be issued, and to its employees, as more*fully set forth inthe Prospectus. Subscription Warrants expire at 3:00 P.M., Eastern Daylight Saving Time; 'August 1, 1949. Subscription Price $20. per Share During the subscription period, the several underwriters, including the undersigned, Common Stock, including shares acquired tion Warrants, either firm less any or or subject to subscription, at prices not less than the Subscription Price set forth above concession allowed to dealers, and not greater than either the last sale York Stock offer and sell shares of may to be acquired by them through the purchase and exercise of Subscrip¬ Exchange, whichever is higher, plus an or current offering price on the New amount equal to the Stock Exchange brokerage commission. Freeman Wells & Co.; Mullaney; Co.; and F. S. Yantis & 5 . the Philadelphia plan, the certificates were reoffered. subject to Interstate Com¬ merce Commission authorization, at prices to yield from 1.375% to 2.675%, according to maturity. Associated Philadelphia Electric!Company and July 6 and North Chicago Ry. second Western & Copies of the Prospectus may Co., Inc. be obtained in as Proceeds tificates from will be sale the of diesel 45 freight locomotives; electric switching two diesel electric four diesel locomotives electric La . 1 Drexel & Co. Blytii & Co., Inc. The First Boston Corporation to The Fnc'Kcui, Chronicle) ILL. —Robert Salle Street. Harriman Ripley & Co. Incorporated Smith, Barney & Co. Kidder, Peabody & Co. W. C. Langley & Co. Parish is with Weeden & South - Glore, Forgan & Co. transfer Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane ' Stone & Webster Securities Corporation With Weeden & Co. CHICAGO, ; cer¬ locomotives. (Special State from only such of the several underwriters, including the undersigned, legally offer these securities in such State. used, to provide following new standardgauge railroad equipment, es¬ timated to cost approximately $8,314,260: any may the and offering of these securities for sale, 972,624 Shares awarded were $6,600,000 for as an new issue • Inc.: circumstances to be construed behalf of only such of the several underwriters, including the undersigned, Halsey, SfuarS Group Issued no of these securities. The offer of these securities is made only by ; L. Co., 135 July 12, 1949 ' ' 1 ' Wire to Geo. McDowell in¬ Schneider, mont .1 W. E. Mutton Installs company Franz present respond v. research •Executive Vice-President of New- to realizes it did in 1931 1940. and industrial management. 1 of the nar So it seems be have installed a direct private efficient wire from their New York office Mechanization of the Brit¬ work. the freedom could more through or of happened in ticm had to be saved. of and to prevent It is quite not put up with any wage should ain when conditions even further rise of wages. would be increase of produc¬ an employment, certain . Investment Trust of America. For through It in 1940 during the Battle of Brit¬ Considering the require¬ lar Area, does striking instances 1931, when the British public made an effort to save the pound, and £300,000,000 industry and related fields, including oil, gas equipment and gas to¬ prewar Nevertheless, it remember that 20 years there Britain. in damental could than of sudden increase of productive external liabilities, must be about improvement rather hours a working devalua¬ tion of the pound would only bring ing for this and other short-term Einzig markets it tends of ob¬ 1948 from and priority immediately after the war. purchases diversion of purchases to more facilities dollar the increase of electric poyver pro¬ duction first high-priced the tell not that appear the considered does However deplorable has what the net gold reserve Britain's trade •witn trie of International assets of the Fund may the of below been limit" tained in the deficit crease decline well story. For a large part of the gold reserve-is earmarked, in practice if not in law, as a secu¬ trade the the extension of an curity instead of giving plans for an the gold drain without causing machinery by putting in harder thereby a corresponding reduction work. At present there is no sign of the standard of living. of any progress in that direction. However, it is realized that the The trend is still towards shorter the whole tne size of the adverse to etc., must on general in which the situ¬ could improve would be markets, thii ha£ to be done to a through inducing the workers^ to large degree, in order to check make better use of the existing exports of textiles automobiles, through and in should be diverted to ■,. United States. has worse. m British whisky, in¬ to 1 it rations on supplies bilateralism. degree than the fall in the volume ed in all be invest¬ types of securities in the v.- of ciently unfav¬ .is founded importance of ':<£> 1 dicate that the even source ■ suffi¬ were balance, the increasing natural gas as a of of the British gold reserve to around figures for April and May -investment policy of the company upon by Sir Stafford Cripps. drain, and points out to check £400,000,000 during the second quarter of 1949 provides some indi¬ cation of the setback that followed the progress towards balanced international accounts during the! second half of 1948. v.Already the traae the ut¬ reluctance consumers' foreign with to power, and any wholesale replace¬ only, as they ment of men by machines is im¬ mean the imposition of additional possible until after an increase of austerity measures which are power generation. That, howeve^ bound to be unpopular. requires time. It is now widely The only way in which it would realized that it was a mistaken, be possible to minimize the effect policy to concentrate on social se¬ Britain will respond to situation. on It is the first invest¬ stated as effort must be made cutting Industries have to put up with a Any such curtailment of the use of electric at imports. resorted are most is drastic cut in production cost of British goods. Asserts way trend emphasis ment company formed to Jze in fields supreme •LONDON, ENG.—The decline under sale The Says only future, largely if the equipment were available of co-ordinating there is not enough electric power. aiming dollar down 15 near purpose measures cuts Einz.g reveals extent of Britain's dwindling gold and dollar reserves, the net amount of which he estimates at around £300 is Inc. of $50,000 or more but Jess than $100,000, and $15.82 per •share oh each unit sale of $100,000 or the (171) the in the for Dr. sale share CHRONICLE By PAUL EINZIG being made today (July 14) by an underwriting group headed by White, Weld & Co. The stock, representing the initial public of¬ fering, is priced at $16.25 per •share FINANCIAL place 440,000 Industries & Drain Gas Industries Inc. - COMMERCIAL Union Securities Corporation an IS COMMERCIAL THE (172) FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE the chased two (Continued from page 11) liquidation voluntary July on Willi its absorption by 1 the Center Moriches Bank. ♦ * The 86th Bank the National First the Trust & of anniversary of fotmding * Company of New observed by the bank on June 27, when it featured an "open house" for the Conn., Haven, was inspection by those interested in its newly remodeled quarters. The bank, of which the present Presi¬ dent is Dwight L. Chamberlain, banks—an amalgamation, he became PresClif¬ ident of the Bloomfield Bank & other Clifton First National of Clifton and Co. Trust along that, Paterson previous of mergers, a National from charter Bank Washington, and it bears the des¬ ignation Charter No. 2. The First National Bank of Philadelphia re¬ ; Allison of Bloomfield the Bank June Trust & Mar. 31/4G $ Total Cash $ 211,618,963 resources 196,586,711 due from and 45,858,449 banks 45,029,713 U. S. Govt, security Plans of Company of Passaic, N. J., and Clifton National Bank the of Clifton, N. 5., were voted by the directors of feoth institutions on July 7 and will be before the stock¬ placed holders for approval. Special ad¬ vices from Passaic to the Newark "News" of July sard in part: • 8, reporting this, - ■ ■ been appointed a companies, and in 1898 he Trust Officer of the Pennsylvania organized and was President of Company for Banking & Trusts, of Jersey which in City, other with 1905 amalga¬ companies mated with Burns Bros, under the Becoming name. the of retired the fol¬ remaining as a di¬ lowing rector year, Burns of serving as in 1926-27. states The "News" also 1890 he instrumental was Coal the Co. that in in re¬ the Fairlie & Wilson Newark, succeeding organizing of Wilson & Fairlie older He had since served as and since 1926 as a and firm. director, National Exchange Trjist Co. of Nelligan, the Safe Assistant Deposit & Trust Company of Baltimore, Md., elected Cashier of the insti¬ was tution, effective July 1, according to an of July 2, by J. S. Armstrong, Fi¬ nancial Editor. It is added that Mr. Nelligan is assuming the du¬ The two banks will Coal & Iron National Bank, now operate in the build¬ the Marine Midland Trust Co. He ings they now occupy and no was Honorary Vice-President of changes in staff will be made. the Coal & Iron National from •George Young Jr., President of 1909 to 1926, and served as. Chair¬ the Passaic bank, will become after man President of the consolidated unit. of the Discount retired the Latft of Clifton of the month First National. National Bank & Trust Co. of Paterson pur¬ when the institution in underwent a oompleting service name that year change due to * U. Miller who in as nearly the trust was Cashier after 50 years of department, likewise was retired in the service of the company. It is further stated that Eugene W. Mayhorne was 50 elected Assistant # Auditor. * * Harry Y. Wright, who has served its affiliate, on * • - holdings 92,473,723 65,848,078 curity Undivided 83,414,786 69,235,219 3,204,546 profits ,'i * * 3,061,196 . * 591,228,272 222,299,177 219,791,302 bills discounted-,. Undiv. profits- 8,458,037 8,923,107 * * ST. IN BANK NATIONAL FIRST LOUIS, ST. LOUIS, MO. r Apr. 11, '4* June 30,'49 • *' •j Total resources American Company of the two companies, succeeding July 2. * * U. S. Govt, security holdings BANK Loans and bills dis¬ Undividend "O-'.Pa: as - * Walter H. Hill election of President and Treasurer of the St. of Louis, St. In his new Company Trust Louis North is Mo., announced. post, as President, Mr. Hill, who had Vice-President, Executive been and Secretary from President and Meckfessel R. Vice- to Secretary; Herbert been has Assistant Secretary, elected and Frank L. Stein, Assistant Treasurer. * of the First National Bank of Odessa, Texas, has been increased from $250,000 to $500,The capital 000, effective June 22. The Comp¬ of the Currency reports CHICAGO, April 11, 1949 $2,118,893,603 1,987,989,784 1,919,952,947 Deposits Cash due and banks- '•* 555,272,474 583,354,764 hldgs. 1,154,853,193 from 1,076,869,865 ' of new \ - Haywards at Hay- wards, Cal., became the office of the Anglo July of Bank tional Hayward California Na¬ San Francisco on according to a joint an¬ A. Calkins, Bank, and 2, nouncement by Allard Loans and bills President of the Anglo „ Crane, President of the Haywards. The entire staff of the last named bank will con¬ 378,867,430 358,103,789 Temple 22,390,834 discounted Undiv. v ■; The Bank of ILL.' June 30, 1949 . stock. 19,839,942 Bank of profits 0 >f * The purchase of 1,500 shares of Charles Stewart Mott, President of Charles Stewart Mott Foun¬ Mr. Vice-President of Anglo Bank and Manager of the Hayward office. H. Henningsen, Tillie McCoy and C. F. Quigg, of¬ ficers of the former Bank of Hay¬ wards, and James M. Stark, pre¬ viously Assistant Manager of An¬ glo's Berkeley office, have been appointed Assistant Managers. tinue with the Anglo Bank. Crane has become a * if if $1,000,- marked the 35th anni¬ versary of the Union Bank & quote, and which also stated Trust Co. of Los Angeles. Of¬ 1 July ficers, directors, and employees of the institution joined forces for personnel of the bank is involved, brief ceremonies and a celebration Mr. Murphy said, adding that Mr. to commemorate the event. A Mott purchased the stock as a half-hour broadcast observing the straight investment. anniversary was heard over Sta¬ View stock included Mott from the or acquired for tion KNX more estate than of 500 Joseph J. Budlong, a former President of the July 1, 1974 subject to authorization by the : opinion oj Counsel, the Bonds will be legal investments for Savings Banks organized under the laws of the States of California, Illinois, Minnesota, New York and Rhode Island and for savings banks organized under the general laws of Pennsylvania. of 1 Fire Hanover Insurance Illinois National Bank & Trust Co. Vice-President, stock, of the but a now Cicero principal State Bank, shares of Lake View to another the by CBS music Orchestra and Union Bank Singers. Mayor to at $700 Maurice State Kaspare Mr. the years, His purchase of share. since the death of Mr. Cohn. Gordon Graves & Co. Adds prices ranging from $650 a Coh'n and Milton E. Getz), Meyer has been President of Union Bank for the past 32 purchaser. "Purchases of stock for Mr. Mott were 1,500 shares represents 30% of the 5,000 shares of $100 par stock out¬ HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. supplied C. Sparling, , California Superintendent of Banks, Co., sold part of its holdings to assisted Union Bank President Ben Mr. Mott, who also bought all the R. Meyer in signalizing the event stock held by W. M. Higley, a before a birthday party audience brother of Charles. William T. of about one thousand. One of the Bruckner, former Continental- original founders (along with at his death Presi¬ founder, and dent sold his 547 be obtained from the undersigned. July 1 at 10:30 p.m., bank, who died in 1942. The Bowron, Chamber of Commerce of Charles Higley, another President Earl V. Grover and owner Price 100% and accrued interest on featuring various stars, with estate guaranteed unconditionally by endorsement as to principal, interest and Sinking Fund payments, jointly and. severally, by The Pennsylvania Railroad Company and The Baltimore and Ohio Railroad Company, as provided in Guaranty Agreement to he dated July 1, 1949. Interstate Cotnmerce Commission. change in management shares To be may 9,318,383 it * CO.A TRUST AND OF - > • "Lake To be due July 1, 1949 Copies of the Offering Circular 170,878,655 8,888,163 profits. in part: 4Yi% Bonds, Series A are 155,276,888 counted NATIONAL resources_$2,188.780,892 Tot. we Passenger Depot of these Bonds 160,567,336 151,098,484 — brought about by the sale * ILLTV>"5 CONTrVPV'rAL Mr. The issuance, sale and guaranty 112,132,854 121,375,596 —_ that part of the addition to the Senior Vice-President $250,000 capital was made through of the Old National Bank in a stock dividend of $175,000, while Evansville, at Evansville, Ind., on the further addition of $75,000 was dation, a philanthropic institution of Flint, Mich., was reported by David Dillman in the Chicago "Journal of Commerce" of July 16. The purchase was effected at a Company First Mortgage due from and banks The death is announced of Oscar of offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities. offering is made only by the Offering Circular, The Akron Union 408,816,501 424,752,799 Deposits Casn 457,759,343 441,736,184 E. Lamble, "No (Special to The Financial Chronicle) j MIAMI, FLA.—Robert A. Sherryis with Gordon Graves & Co., Shoreland Arcade Building. standing. Peter Waldemar The Marquette 592,281,143 troller Baltimore, stock of the Lake View Trust & Bank of Chicago by July 13 elected Treasurer Savings Bonding was the 67,349,049 Loans & discts.__ Secretary of The Fidelity $2,000,000 July 14, 1949 ?20,161,474 se¬ hldgs. Loans and 000, said the advices from which : Govt, curity * Se- Govt S. and Deposit Company of Maryland and 216,542,487 cost somewhat in excess of In the 1,157,531,32* 320,532,111 due banks_ Irom banks U. S. Govt, se¬ since February 1948 as Comptrol¬ and $237,115,297 60,371,130 due bash & curity ler April 11,1949 211,847,238 Deposits J. CO., $232,730,718 Resources- years not an The To be dated S. 1,164,573,019 —— and irom OHIO the This announcement is Cash moted TRUST UNION CINCINNATI, Edgar H. Cromwell, Assistant Bloomfield "Directors former Judge Trust Co. made him a member in and State Senate President, will 1902 at its founding and he was be Senior Vice-President, it was elected President in 1917. He con¬ announced. Mr. Barbour now is tinued as President until 1928, and President June 30 on Committee. Barbour, of The merger, it is stat¬ THIRD FIFTH THE Treasurer, continue to of the director Commerce of Hamtramck, Ohio, was made / Chairman of the became Ohio, Warren, known in the Detroit "Free Press" item in the Baltimore "Sun" $7$00,000. he Bank of June 28. Total * ties of Roland L. when of Bank the with of the Com¬ consolidation The munity June 30, 1949 J. Maurice Cashier merger, C. Deposits The Bank Philadelphia is of *yV;* announcement, John . MICH. 1949 April 11, 1949 Tot. resources_$l,233,078,566 $1,225,802,863 * * , announced. 1927 Chairman of their Committee Executive until Bros, eports. The People's National had capital of $340,000. * Corn com¬ Mr. Dodd pany, and first "a new according to the board. As to his banking interests, will give the in- the "News" said: ^tUbution more than $100,000,000 in "Banking experience in New resources with capital of surplus York for Mr. Dodd began in 1903 and undivided profits of about "The DETROIT, OF BANK June 30, Treasurer, ed, was effected through the pur¬ succeeds Charles W. Owen, who chase of the assets of the Warren has been elected Chairman of the Philadelphia, y Vifrff bank by the Bank of Commerce, board. The St. Louis "Globe Dem¬ which recently increased its capi¬ ocrat" of June 25 further reports The election of Edwin H. Krall tal to $525,000. that Fred H. Kruse has been pro¬ as Assistant Vice-President of the Hudson Coal Co. of New York Vice-President consolidation the for * DETROIT, a 44,601,846 ■ has Hubbert coal and the Loans and bills dis¬ At the age Parkersburg * 59,190,342 holdings 18, having been absorbed by National Bank, Comptroller of the Currency June the 183,536,589 168,094,648 Deposits financial and civic activities until he became ill in 1947. 30,'49 voluntary liquidation effective in PA. PHILADELPHIA, Dodd, retired President ■■ the Passaic National Bank & Trust NATIONAL .. latter ceived the first charter. * * . later became identified with other The bank, it is stated, was the first in New England to receive to of 50,000 - ■ West Haven." linquished his post as Comptroller. will continue, however, to as Secretary for both com¬ serve the sale $250,000 by of new stock. $200,000 He the counted 4 totaling more 65,756,994 66,401,739 of 17, Mr. Dodd began his busi¬ Undivided 5,234,462 5,179,933 profits... than $68,000,000, it is New Haven's ness career, starting with the Le¬ * if ;vvy.y * f.-V-P largest commercial bank and has He It is announced that Roger L, branches in both East Haven and high Coal & Navigation Co. deposits and 000 who on He became Chairman panies. Mr. Wright joined the bank's board of directors F&D as clerk in its accounting de¬ boosted its assets to approximately in 1938 upon resigning as Presi¬ partment following his graduation $125,000,000." The last named dent, to be succeeded by Cecil R. from Baltimore City College in ■V.'-/.• V merger was referred to recently Berry." 1924. He was elected Assistant in these columns, one item ap¬ Mr. Dodd, among his other in Treasurer in February 1945 and peared in our June 9 issue, page terests, was a director of the three years later was advanced to 2490, and the last one on page 72 American Insurance Co. and Mu¬ the dual position of Comptroller of our July 7 issue. With the pres¬ tual Life Insurance Co. and a for¬ and Secretary. ent plans, all the individual mer President of the Essex County f-,.; * * * Clifton banks will have been taken Park Commission. -.yS"'■s-';; The People's National Bank of over. •■'.V"'.. v ;:w Parkersburg, W. Va., was placed id * * FIDELITY-PHILADELPHIA TRUST CO., Co.—and Trust ton with opened its doors on July 1, 1863, Company of Bloomfield, N. J., with a capital of $300,000, says died on July 8. He was 84 years the "New Haven Register," which old, and according to the Newark adds: "Evening News" had continued his "Today, with more than 40,000 customers, resources over $75,000,- Benjamin, July 2. Simultaneously with his election, Mr. Wright re¬ News About Banks and Bankers National Bank had been placed in Roland late died Thursday, July 14, 1949 National Bank of Chicago, III., increased its common capital stock on June 30 from Peter a Waldemar securities Opens is engaging in business from offices at 419 East 12th Street, N. Y. City. THE Number 4820 170 Volume COMMERCIAL Says Business San Afford Higher Wages & FINANCIAL The In for "the Congress of Industrial Organizations,; by Robert R. Nathan Associates, Inc., headed by Robert R. Nathan, former New . Deal ; economist, the » — —. . stand is taken that whole as a business can afford pay to still are ■ & 1 "Profits are f.-v still high but , y A-. ; to merely When I highlight how. huge they spoke before the Graduate Schoql last summer, the tide of inflation, though halts, was still flooding strongly. In consequence I was able to give a fairly gen¬ support the conclusion that mod¬ eral, philosophical and political review of the erate wage, increases do not at all type of economic policy I believed our govhad become. Actually, the data with declining," the report states. yf ? "If, b i u s n ess falls much further, cline Robert R. Nathan 7 prof¬ ; Will its de- . • raise wages, the report adds: months to year not be lost of the ago, In fact, business de¬ cisions-today may well determine whether there will be apy 1950 and, profits Business 1951". can how afford to take steps to halt the recession.. Later it may not be able afford to to what it do In any case, afford to allow can; come. ; "If business prices, it to cut types of labor income. the other has been or all sary afford can afford to raise wages can and' other One now business, cannot a depression to during the neces¬ Pine last m n e t$>—:—. - ' ' . ' ' : ' ' ' ' 1 -I - - - • follow. we, follow along 1 hope to make it' my, books. For we have a lot of in 7 clear that oil thoco itome Today the sit- plpflr that all Jthese items are in ground to cover this afternoon. : uation is much fa.cjt; quite closely related. Again it ; more confused. may; seem that, related or not, . Industrial proihapy of them are a long way from Now, when we begin to explore dqction,.prices budget policy but this too is a the! conflicts hidden; in .the worde V and ; nmtaker The' recurrent fierce de¬ /employ"maintaining purchasing power*; : ment all have bates as to \yhether. balanced' or Or "ensuring economic. stability/* begun to,, fal- unbalanced budgets simply as such we will find that they spring from ter. The voices -are! "gobd" or "bad" have always two main sources., In, the £ifs| V of the pessi- seemed to me to be sham battles place some people will want to J "Six talk about profits being spotty, was .ab¬ surd. Today, however, many, firms and industries ate being squeezed^ especially the, smaller companies.'1 In giving full consideration to the varying profit picture, sight, must' a n r should any 4. ' il, _ w . _ .. . * fact that thd to- are still very high./Nonetheless, a uniform round of identical 7, mist * and which the only confused -, the d.! issue. We should hot ask somewh at icits per stilled , ■ super-planner, The the jor 'depression will see profits re-* wage increases is not justified, .be¬ placed by losses. If the business cause there is no uniform ability coirtmunity acts now'to" help stop to grant increases ; in every in¬ the recession, profits will continue stance. Some companies and in¬ ip e t precip-|tals » itously/A ma- to be earned. few a As to whether all industries cap run¬ ning high. , YYY.Y' Wt serve higher Wages, since profits preclude price decreases too," ' HI ^ main after substantial cuts University of Virginia Holding we should be prepared to meet serious business slump if it comes, Dr. Wright urges a policy of adding to purchasing power by unbalancing the budget rather than redistributing wealth through taxa¬ tion. Advocates drastic tax cuts and reciprocal program to stabilize purchasing power and stimulate growth. Says, in order to have full employment, the investment and construction goods industry must be prosperous, and there must be steady growth and expansion or business will slide backward. Denies growth must be planned, and holds, despite high production levels, our economy is under-equippedl tion, of "a National Economic Policy for x 17 By DAVID McCORD WRIGHT* Professor of Economics, analysis of the present economic situation and a presenta¬ 1949,'' which was prepared an (173) Budget, the Business Cycle and Russia Robert R. Nathan Associates, in analysis prepared for Congress of Industrial Organizations, says if business can afford to cut prices, it can afford to raise wages and other types of labor income. Admits some industries cannot withstand payment of higher wages. CHRONICLE we; during phenomWright Ve pal expari? J ' siori of thq basic "maintain def¬ are bad Or per se good. question- should1 be why dp have se a deficit. Arid in the same purchasing power'V^ addirig to the total money supply* But others will think' that tfae thing to do is rather to! tax or in some way to capture "purchasing way it is not enough- to ask shall power," or money, which they feel we1 run (or not run) a deficit? It is '.'not being used."■>■ We, have than others, and, some few cannot last few years, are is just as-importaht: to risk beginning to be afford any raise arid remain m how; therefore, the conflict of adding heard once more. On the one hand shall we do it. ;M<erely-b'ecayse two business.: ' y .. purchasing power versus redistri¬ ' .? 7.\' we are being warned that if we do people,' aP a given time, both hap** buting it. Again, some people will "The economic policies sug¬ not watch out'we will "spend our pen to believe either in "maintain¬ wabt to maintain purchasing pow¬ gested ip this report are designed way into a depression"!' And on ing purchasing power" or in:"ecb* er and "secure; to restore full stability"; withfa employment; and the other some people assure us. norjnic stability--',? one cannot- as¬ the framework of a relatively free maximum production;.' Wage1 and that only a prompt '" program of sume that .they haye . anything anduunplanned e c 0 n o m y. -Brit price policies geared to depression government public works—deficit really in cOmrnpn either in social others are eager to use the excusO conditions will in turn yield de¬ financed—can save us from dis¬ goals, or economic policy. Both of "riiaintaining purchasing pow¬ pressions. Therefore, in consider¬ aster. In the midspof such confu¬ "maintaining purchasing power" er" or "stabilizing the' economy1* ing wage increases, some attention sion fairly specific analysis is in and - "givirig stability" are phrases to force us into a comprehensively should be paid to profit conditions order.. If. we .want to find our way .that can cover a multitude of sins, planned society, which, though it at full employment rather than we shall have to do a little care¬ as well as a multitude of virtues. may nominally respect certain, more depressed circumstances. In ful thinking. When anyone starts to use them,: : P property rights, is otherwise in¬ other words, business must act agWhat I propose to attempt this the only safe thing to do is to ask distinguishable in basic economic gressively on wage and price pol¬ just what they- are really talking essentials from a socialist state. icies to bring prosperity, and then afternoon is to tie together a num¬ about. If we do not, we are quite I am neither a prophet nor ^ a the action can be more easily af¬ ber; of threads which are usually liable * tb cfind ourselves being professional forecaster, I do not kept separate. I shall try to relate forded. That is why large liquid the present threat of depression pushed, into' something/ very far know whether the present indus¬ dustries afford can 'much more McCord - , - . moiiths. prices If business refuses to cut raise wages voluntarily or in the early stages of a downturn, activity deep¬ it Will be forced to cut prices and-the ens, decline in later to avoid bankruptcy; or, un¬ reserves should be taken into con¬ as well as current fortunately, prices will be slashed sideration, in the process of bankruptcy it¬ profits and profits at full employ¬ ment." 1 self; • "Profits of all corporations in the first quarter of 1949 were run¬ ning at an annual rate of $31 bil¬ lion before billion after of salaries and taxes nearly $19 taxes. Wages, and corporation em¬ all Gordon Brown Opens An address D, . Vice-President Trust Co. in New York, has estab¬ lished a financial and management slightly than more $80 This rate. annual an" represents profits before taxes of nearly of 40 for cents wages' and dollar every of the consultant firm under the Gordon D. Brown the before formerly Brown, ployees except corporate officers on so-called budget At first glance this may a fairly mixed list. But as crisis. Bankers name than in as a were war 1944. years Profits to still after worth net third a taxes in early above the and 70% higher than ip than in. 1929. For the first, half of 1949, profits the were still at least 50% first half of "There is not any that corporations 1946.. question but whole a as can billion payroll except corporate of all first rate a lated rose $8 profits 1949 have been an annual $23 on billion before taxes, or 26 cents per dollar of payroll and cents per dollar 7.2% on invest¬ ment. Assuming a further 15% drop in profits in the second quar¬ ter, ^ 10% wages and leave increase iri corporate salaries profits above facts the on and And pared." of J., June cratic also 23, cut 1949. capitalism. If these phrases seem vague, and corners I, will have ask you not. < But years rigo I boy scout, and I re¬ or a their member in the place it' is to maintain the kind of economy which I believe best implements that society. And in the third place this economy I believe to be a liberal and demo^ of . I United States a so. cannot; afford to on arid why I think But if that is the case, ought to be prepared to deal we with industrial an decline if it We ought to be prepared comes. to Pre¬ serious depressiori explain later this is "Be motto strongly feel that the tolerate I will (Continued on page 25) to read financing ; - y after wartime would taxes peak. still well These how high profits still re¬ . ^ Second the adjustment of policies and pro¬ to fit changing conditions. and , $ who his new To ' " * To be guaranteed ' mature Dunlap DALLAS, TEX.—Hugh D. Dunlap has been admitted to partner¬ ship with Joseph B. ;Binford of Joe Binford name Park has Company, 25Vz High¬ Village, and the firm been changed to Bin¬ Mr. Dunlap wa£ previously, with Dittmar & Co. & . . - * ' • ' i " ' -d . i ■ ' t * ■ • '' ■ 1' unconditionally as to payment of par value . inclusive and dividends by endorsement by Chicago and North Western Railway Company 7 : 7 Priced to yield 1.375% to 2.675%, according to maturity Certificates are subject tp authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any state in which this announcement is circulatedfrom only such oj the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such state. Issuance and sale oj these The - .* offices in the William Fox Now Binford & ford •. $440,000 annually August 1,1950 to 1964, Building, 608 So. Hill Street, Los Angeles 14, Calif. land . Equipment Trust Certificates ■ ■ • in ,\ (Phi)adelphia Plan) assistant at Bankers Trust. The firm is located - ' * y ; . with Brown is W. T. was ' Equipment Trust of 1949 ' 1* ' y,.?yv2%% ■ subsequently assistant to Donald W. Douglas in charge of market research and economic planning. Associated * •• * the Douglas Aircraft Co. where he was domestic sales manager and Ashby, t Chicago and North Western management coming identified with Bankers Trust, he was for many years with $6,600,000 * subjects in their relation to payroll, and nearly $14 billion after taxes, or 16 of trial uncertainty will turn into a Associates. & corporate financing,, including new employees 10% wage in¬ quarter corporations would all officers billion because of of School Graduate Brunswick, N. New , afford " substantial wage increases. Just for illustration, if the $80 crease, government democraticv society, Banking, Economics Panel Session conducted by American Bankers Association at Rutgers University, allowing for a 15% grams drop in the second quarter, total Brown has had more than 20 profits still show higher returns years* experience in finance, ma¬ to stockholders than at the peak terial control, engineering, sales of war profits, and much higher and market research. Before be¬ above '* - salaries. Even 1929. real aim. basis, ratio 1949 democratic a by Professor Wright On an The company is operating on a corporations national basis from offices in Los earned in the first quarter of 1949 Angeles, but shortly expects to about 23 cents for every dollar of open offices in New York. payroll except the compensation The new firm will specialize in of officers. Even if profits de¬ financial planning and manage¬ clined another 15% in the second ment controls. It will provide a quarter .of 1949, current earnings complete analytical and advisory before taxes would equal 30% of service which encompasses design, wages and after taxes about 20%. production, sales, cost control, This ratio is still a third higher capital structure and all corre¬ after-tax our What,'! then, is. my rOal aim? depression We'll, first of all it is to maintain used to be second Consultant Firm Gordon reirioved from the and threat, seem totalled billion , the outlook for wages' and prices, ITO charter, the Russian the ' Dunlap. HALSEY, STUART A CO. INC. A.G.BECKER A CO. incorporated OTIS & CO. (incorporated) HORNBLOWER ' - - WEEKS MERRILL LYNCH,PIERCE, FENNER A BEANE * PAINE, WEBBER, JACKSON & ........ FREEMAN & COMPANY July. 7.1949 . CURTIS WM. E. POLLOCK & CO., INC. ^ MULLANEY, WELLS & COMPANY F. S. YANTIS & CO. I'. , COMMERCIAL THE (174) 18 We Must Remain Economically Strong: Byrnes t\- State governments Secretary .of State and New Dealer says the first line of war with Russia is a sound, safe American economy. defense in cold Warns against higher taxes and advocates reduced government expenditures and balanced budget. Opposes "lending our money all over world" in hope it will provide business, and hits again at expanding bureaucracy and "welfare state." "There his iterated attack tions the on should estimate our. rev¬ and then determine how we expanding enues Federal that revenue shall be allotted. bu¬ We provide for fixed obligations reaucracy and theory of must the the so-called like the public debt and pensions. We must provide for adequate ' * 1 f w e national defense. When a r e state." to expenditures for other purposes we must reduce some and defer He imme¬ urged others. diate reduc¬ tion of gov¬ ernment would "Foreign Truman's President developed areas, but denied any political criticism of the present Administration. continuance of cold war firm policy in the a remain must wise the first line of defense of all Democratic nations. remain to are we strong economically, we should now take the fiscal ,yearc ending In governments foreign "After in¬ dwindling national income, increasing appropriations of face that deficit are for the next fiscal year. In your business you cannot spend more than you make and stay out of bankruptcy^ Your government capnot do it and stay out of trouble. serious situation confronting us, the government levy additional taxes, borrow can or we reduce in are expenditures. the midst of a the considering whole additional taxes. We cannot pro¬ increased purchasing power vide by taking more money out of the pockets of the people. "In time of peace and when government officials correctly as¬ sert we are not facing a serious depression, we should not resort financing. When ment does that and tainty and fear government's govern¬ when exist uncer¬ financial policies, Pipiyate employers abandon sion the to as expan¬ merchants pur¬ day to day basis and prudent people buy only that which is absolutely necessary. Widespread unemployment results. programs; chase on a The government cannot take from you in taxes through enough borrow from you medium of bonds, or the to money employ all of those who will be dismissed by private employers. If at this time whon there is no war and no ser- ious spepds depression, more borrows government than its income and money to meet current expanses, it is certain it will fol¬ low the same easy course should business grow the >time will of come bonds our worse. If it does, when the value will be affected. Then we will be well on the road the disaster that always befalls governments which in peace time spend more than their income. > "Every woman thoughtful man knows that udder conditions the wise and existing course for the government is to reduce expenditures and live within its income. j In the light of changed condi¬ in matters many which are not matters of purely local concern. Public highways is a good illus¬ tration, our roads being used by drivers of automobiles and trucks from states. many However the dollar of fed¬ paid unless the is approved by the Federal government. I do not complain. If provides not shall aid eral a be road the Federal government collects you and spends your roads in other states it should supervise the expenditure. taxes from money on But to matters which as local governments, involving affairs and affecting the local daily lives of the people, control should in the remain We do not States. Government Federal the want lives our from the cradle to the grave. people are lulled to sleep by Federal Aid. Many regard it just as children regard gifts from Santa Claus. They do not realize that there are no federal aid funds except those taken from the pock¬ ets of the people. It is taken from you buy a moving pic¬ ture ticket, a baseball ticket, a package of cigarettes or a bottle of beer. It is taken when you buy a railroad ticket, or a gallon of gasoline and when you telephone or telegraph. It is taken when you buy any goods, because if not levied directly, the prices of the goods you buy are increased in you when order to chant must would over the hope for ness not listen those to urge that we lend the world simply in that it will provide busi¬ people. We know the our fate of the merchant whose busi¬ ness was mined to lagging and who deter¬ lend money to all his customers in order to increase the volume of his business. It was not long before he had neither money the taxes the cover must when pay he mer¬ pays we "Some people the proposals advocated some by of var¬ ious persons to have the govern¬ ment engage in activities hereto¬ fore regarded as within the prov¬ money and preserve liberties. say from the comes munity, from com¬ It is better that the federal government should leave the money in your posses¬ sion to be spent as you wish, rather than take it from you, send it to Washington, pay the salaries of thousands of people and then offer part of it back in the form you. of federal aid for some purpose in which you may or may not be in¬ terested. V"' v-;'' "It is said that the States have should abandon some save of >,■; - state our V ' not spent what they should spend for welfare and educational pro¬ grams. That may be true, but in recent years the States have greatly increased appropriations for these purposes. Give the states a chance. If the Congress, instead of trying to find new ways of spending the money which is now collected from the "Those patriots who signed the Declaration of Independence ap¬ peal of some billion seven people, will the re¬ approximately dollars of excise preciated the blessings of liberty. taxes, the states could get revenue They believed the least governed from that field. They could spend people were the best governed more money for education and people. They were self-reliant. other worthy causes and still leave For a century *and a« half: their the people with more money and sterling qualities were emulated more liberty. by our people who were proud of their independence. They realized Not a Political Attack that whenever money they accepted from individuals or gov¬ ernments they ran the risk of sac¬ rificing some of their liberties. They regarded it a duty to support themselves and a privilege to pro¬ vide for the less fortunate in their families. "Recently as an and a I expressed similar interpreted by some attack upon an individual political party. I singled out views. It was individual. I named no party. On the contrary, I said that each political party tried to out-promise no the others. Too Much ;; • "The persons who object to my Government views evidently do so because they advocate proposals in con¬ flict with the general principles and policies I have discussed. That They want to lean upon the State, is their right. I disagree with them —yet the State has to lean upon and that is my right. For my views each one of Us. I have no apology. I do have a "Our forefathers knew if they conviction that any man who is were to remain free they had to worthy of the confidence of the limit the powers of government. people, must place loyalty to They were right. Power once country above loyalty to any indi¬ transferred to government is dif¬ vidual, any grou$ or any political ficult to "Today too many people lack this pride. They want their neighs bors to pay taxes to support them. recover. Power intoxi¬ cates men. When a man is intox¬ icated by alcohol he can recover, but when he is intoxicated by power he seldom recovers. "We are not only transferring too much power from the individ¬ ual to government but we are transferring too many powers of dite favorable decision a on the Commonwealth & Southern break-up plan by Federal Judge Leahy at Wilmington. It now appears likely that, as soon as Judge Leahy signs the formal order in the case, "when delivered" trading will begin in two of the Commonwealth subsidiary stocks which do not now have markets, Central Illinois Light (which goes in the preferred package) and Southern Com¬ (which goes to the pany, stock). common The preferred stock has been selling around estimated break-up value' around 110 100 compared with (2.80 shares of Consumers Power and .55 shares of Central Illinois Light plus $1 cash). The gets .35 share of Southern Company and .06 share of Ohio Edison; its estimated immediate break-up value is $4.30 and "sea¬ soned" or "normal" value over $5, compared with the current price common of 3vv:y.'v,' - ,y'" ;•./:■'y v';'.- V--' ;.v Commonwealth had first set July 1 as a tentative date for dis¬ tribution of its securities, and planned to sell left-over holdings— 32,000 shares of Ohio Edison and 324,000 shares of Southern Company—in order to pay off the remaining bank loan. However, now looks as though part of these remnant holdings might be left as free assets after providing for expenses of liquidation—perhaps leaving 50 or 100 a share for distribution to the common. However, there has, been no official statement as to this possibility, and it estimated values do not allow for any cash. Commonwealth has advanced from three to four this year, and nearly half-a-million shares were traded at 37s and 4 on July 7 when the Court decision was rendered. What is likely to happen when Southern Company is first traded "WD" over-counter or on the Stock Exchange? Taking Commonwealth at four, and deduct¬ the value of .06 share of Ohio Edison, there would re¬ main $2.30 as the value of .35 share of Southern or a price of 6%. ing $1.70 as But this price seems on the low side, since the stock is currently earning (12 months ended May 31) $1.07 per share on shares actu¬ ally outstanding or $1.10 on average shares. Earnings are showing very rapid growth, net income for the five months ended May being 38% last year, and for May alone 58%. over The freight charges. business. "If y Supreme Court decision in the Engineers Public Service case, fully upholding the SEC's investment value theory, served to expe¬ some "The aid money peoples. "We Southern Company The an been in the jurisdiction of ways Utility Securities By OWEN ELY have al¬ free lays the golden eggs. We must not impair our economy, the first line Public which the Federal and State gov¬ of defense of America and of all recession in business, it is not ince of the individual or of Hkely that the Congress will levy governments, f we would to deficit our to the federal Federal aid will be spent in the community and increase the money in circu¬ lation. They forget that federal nor the meet While heads of the picture the Congress must decide how much can be given abroad. We must not kill the goose that money its In the and w^ from government departments. own who than more come. money any than there is about requests for funds $1,800,000,000 "To sa¬ requests for funds June 30th your government spent a But there is nothing income. from eco¬ sound American economy is like¬ we expenditures within our Give Abroad strong nomically: Our first line of defense is not on the Rhine—it is a sound, safe American economy. That stock. our Must Decide How Much to \ "If bear with Russia, Mr. Byrnes said: "We not cred about the more After advocating in his address should aid the entire reduction necessary to which bring program, U. S. funds to aid un¬ use Europe. Congress has shown it real¬ izes the wisdom of such aid. James F. Byrnes Four" "Point ex¬ The oppo¬ to only rehabilitation of the for are regimenting penditures proposed for domestic purposes but the requests for for¬ eign aid. I favor adequate funds and expressed sition must review not "We ex¬ penditures to hripg the Federal Budget into balance, implied come we Thursday, July 14, 1949 ernments cooperate, law Backing up his address at Washington and Lee University, Lex¬ ington, Va., on June lb, James F. Byrnes, long a "New Dealer" and former Secretary of State, in an address at Greenville, S. C., before the South Carolina Division of the American Legion, on July 4, re¬ CHRONICLE government. 4 Former FINANCIAL & is currently paying dividends at the rate of 600 some conjecture in the Street the company is "on its own" the dividend might be raised to 700 or even 800. Of course this may depend upon what the management considers the probable level of "normal future earning-power." Recent earnings have been heavily favored by good to company Commonwealth, but there has been that when water conditions—the southern subsidiaries get about one-third of from hydro plants. If earnings should continue their recent sharp advance and get up to a level around $1.20, this would leave some leeway for possible dilution if common stock financing their power proves necessary next offering, this might year. mean pro Assuming the usual one-for-ten stock forma earnings around the $1.10-15 level. On this basis, an 800 rate would seem a little generous as compared with the other two southern holding companies. However, the fact that Southern is accruing over 200 a share per annum for plant amor¬ tization (providing that much extra cash) might be a factor in the decision. Central & South West is earning an estimated $1.50 this calendar which might be diluted by stock financing to $1.35; it is paying 800 or only 60% of the latter figure. Middle South, earning $1.78 in. the 12 months ended April 30, is expected to pay $1.10, or 62% of earnings. With estimated potential earnings of $1.15 a 700 dividend year, for Southern would show This brief sketch a 61% ratio, about in line with the others. does not afford opportunity for any careful comparison of statistical factors for the three southern holding com¬ panies. Southern Company appears to be earning only 5.7% on its rate base, or 6.2% if account 100.5 items are eliminated. Middle South is also earning only about 6% but is handicapped somewhat by rate regulations in Arkansas and dividend restrictions in Louisiana. Central & South West is earning a somewhat higher operates largely in Texas where reasonable. It would an percentage, but 8% return is not considered un¬ though Southern Company may have a slight "edge" over the other two systems with respect to its ability to expand earnings without encountering rate restrictions, particu¬ larly as its residential rates are very low. All three companies are of seem as growing rapidly, but Central & South West operating costs because it can make fuller course lower seems use of to enjoy natural gas for boiler fuel. Both Central & South West and the recently listed Middle dissolution) are currently selling to yield about 7%, and price-earnings ratios average about 8%. At 6%, the indicated arbitrage value of Southern based on four for Commonwealth, its yield with a 600 dividend would exceed 9% and the P-E ratio would approximate 6%. This would appear low even on an unseasoned basis: It seems possible that the stock might sell in a range of about 7—7% in early trading, to yield about 8—8Mt%. Over the longer term, when seasoned, it might approach the other two issues on a yield and P-E basis. South (which came out of the Electric Power & Light In any event it appears certain that, considering the importance new company with its $117 million revenues and 12 million shares, Wall Street analysts will sharpen their pencils and critically of the examine the statistical background of the system in order to appraise the relative merits of the stock, and its chance for increased dividends and market While appreciation. appeal to the Circuit Court by Mr. Snyder of Philadel¬ phia (representing common stock) now is indicated, it appears doubt¬ ful that such an appeal will be sustained in view of the strong views recently expressed by the Supreme Court, limiting the review powers of the lower courts largely to legal issues. an party. "In two wars you have fought give to all mankind the liberty we enjoy. On this Independence Day I hope you will rededicate Barton yourselves Mercantile to to your country and the freedom you determine that fought give to others, you will work to preserve for yourselves." David W. Barton in Bait. BALTIMORE, MD. —David W. has opened offices in the Trust Building to en¬ gage in the securities business. He was formerly President of Income Foundation, Inc., of Baltimore. Norvin Harris Co. Formed NEW ORLEANS, LA.—Norvin Harris has formed Norvin Harris & Co. with offices at 5 Cromwell Place to engage business. Mr. Harris in the securities was with Lehman Brothers. formerly THE Number 4820 170 Volume Our Reporter COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE .(175) Problems oi Canadian Pulp and Paper Governments on & (Continued from page 4) work off these of this occurred at the better forest holders of inventories of converted species, which permits management, and towards an increasing yield from, Although Federal has taken a hand in matters it seems as though or a more complete use of the the government market is not going to take a breather in order to re¬ output of the woodlands. appraise the situation despite the quick and sharp rise which carried The industry is devoting more prices to new highs for the year. Some profit-taking, backing and more attention to research on and filling would not be unexpected after the spectacular perform¬ forestry and to research on manu¬ ance put on by all Treasury issues, especially the ineligible obliga¬ facturing processes and marketing. tions. However, the market is in good shape because demand is It is expending much on new ma¬ still very substantial and higher prices are expected, particularly chinery and plant installations. It in the longer maturities. It is nonetheless believed the price is widening its impressive list of rise from here on will be less sensational because it is indicated products and creating new by¬ there will be some outright selling and many swaps are in the mak¬ products from materials formerly ing even between the various tap issues. This should tend to cast aside as waste. temper the up-trend. ' * The Canadian pulp and paper The ineligibles continue to give the best performance, be¬ industry is not a static one. It . . . . . . ... . . , ... substantial cause of amounts these bonds being put are away with savings banks the largest buyers of these securities. P . . Out-of-town commercial banks still dominate the longer eligible market although large money center institutions are also im¬ portant buyers. The shorts are in big demand despite sub¬ could afford not to be The so. same time products decided to do the as same thing. As a result, there was a general backing up of current de¬ mands both on the converters and by the converters. If, as appears there has been no significant reduction in usage of pulp and paper products by the to be the case, ultimate this siutation is merely an inventory adjustment and consequently temporary. There Industry inventories/* and porting industry such ization By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JK. consumer, some signs of revival in throughout the system and certainly in Canada the sit¬ are demand uation has not developed to thing like the same extent any¬ as in W as pulp and *• paper,. The solution of international monetary problems is not going to be found by Canada alone and certainly is not going to be found! by any single Canadian industry. It will require sweeping interna¬ tional action by the governments concerned. solution it is At the moment no to be in sight. But seems imperative to the welfare of the trade of our two nations and indeed throughout the world that. corrective action be taken, and soon. The postwar world has not only inherited financial difficulties, but shadows of,world unrest and in¬ the U. S. its output and the ternational misunderstanding also Newsprint is an exception to challenge of the times will not cloud, the scene; Such an atmos¬ the general picture. The Canadian permit lethargy. With a million phere is not conducive to trade Canadians depending directly on newsprint industry is still running It also reabove its rated capacity and U. S. among - the nations. stantial switching into higher-income obligations. it for a livelihood, its continuing quires our countries to intensify consumption in the first five good health is vital to the pros¬ our defense preparations as the NEW RATE PATTERN IN MAKING months of this year was more perity of our country and vital best chance of avoiding war. The Government securities are in the process of establishing a new than 7% ahead ofdast year. This to the requirements of its custom¬ Canadian pulp and paper indus¬ rate pattern (on a lower yield basis) because of easier money market is the highest level of production ers in many lands. try, like all other industries i» conditions. Yields on all Treasury obligations have declined since and consumption in history, and our country, must prepare itself the monetary authorities adopted the new attitude toward the gov¬ Changes in Industry's Markets prospects are that for the imme¬ , . demands, for . . * ... . . . ernment market. with the kind of Both investors and traders ... yield a available and not are concerned now that is likely to evolve with more credit curve much interference from the Central Banks with so the price trend of government obligations. ~. Treasury bills and certificates were on the way to new low yields, until Federal stepped in and supplied the market The intermediate-term obligations are adjusting to a new pattern as are the longer maturities. In the interim, while the yields and prices of all governments are in a fluid state, plenty of guesses are being made as to what is likely to take place. . . ... . , . Some of the optimistic followers of the more money mar- kets believe yields on the longest tap bonds could eventually go to a 2.00% basis which would be about 107%. Bank-eligibles, , they believe, could to go . . . , 1.95% yield and that would be equiv¬ a alent to approximately 108%. In the ... eligible obligations, this would be of the longest-in¬ case all-time high, whereas issue would be about a point under the new a As fars industry's mar¬ concerned, there have been important changes in the past twelve months. During the war years there were restrictions on production and shortages of manpower and materials which made it impossible to meet in full the high demand for pulp and paper products. When hostilities ceased, the Canadian industry in kets as our are diate future the mills will be able to continue capacity operations. It is true that supply and demand for newsprint are in closer bal¬ ance than they have been for many years. There is no longer for need any publishers to pay fancy prices for newsprint on the so-called "grey market" and there¬ fore publishers have received a for that emergency hoping always ; that such preparations will prove** unnecessary, in but having our plans ; readiness in case they are While the problems are great, not insurmountable. The Canadian pulp and paper industry they are is meeting its responsibilities, and is ready for whatever the future in their holds. It is conserving its wood¬ lands. It is improving its plant the elimina¬ and equipment. Through research tries, was able to raise the levels tion of the high spot market it is obtaining a greater yield of production and, by large capital prices. This has been the direct from the forests. As the rate of investments, to increase its capac¬ result of the successful efforts of literacy and the standard of liv-, ity. All through the last four the Canadian industry to meet with those of other common coun¬ substantial newsprint reduction costs by yield of about 2.10%. . . With respect to the Yics a yield of approximately 2.25% is forecast as a stabilization level and this would be equivalent to about 103% for the most distant ineligi- bles. on most distant bank previous top made in 1946.. . . Those that are not quite so bullish predicting that quotations of the longest bank-eligibles are likely to stabilize around 106, which would be equal to a ; ' North ing rise throughout the world, the potential demand for its products erate effort to meet the unsatis¬ print at contract prices. The bal¬ is exceedingly great. Above all, fied demands of its customers. ance between supply and demand it is not a rootless industry draw¬ During the last six months it ap¬ has been established, but it has ing a fickle inspiration from, pears as though that, effort has been done at a very high level been successful so far as markets changing fashions. The Canadian the ■ , needed. are years, as a production has been rising result of the industry's delib¬ the requirements of publishers American the for news¬ . ; . ; ; . . These differences of opinion . to where the longest as maturities might go under the changed money market conditions | is what is keeping the demand for these securities strong. The general opinion is ample credit, that is likely to get more . . . plentiful, coupled with a decreasing supply, will be reflected in higher prices for the longer Treasury obligations. . . . , " As rate to the to seems shorter..maturities,, especially the certificates, be in the cards. %% A ... rate 1% a is not ruled out in continent are concerned. indeed and there is every pros¬ pulp and paper products, pect that it will be maintained theer are now adequate supplies, at or near this level for some time and indeed for some products to come. minor suppluses have developed. Dollar Shortage Is Serious Pulps, fine papers, and paperboard . now Problem be purchased in any rea¬ sonable quantities and with a minimum of delay in deliveries. A special situation exists in pulps; can 1% CERTIFICATE RATE SEEN INEVITABLE this For most To return to the problem men¬ tioned earlier,. the problem quarters despite in most Canada'today serious is, <of Federal's selling of shorts to hold the one- purchasers in the United States Obligations at 1%. .Those that are looking for a 7/a% certif¬ had built up large, rather ill- course, the shortage of dollars in are also predicting a 2% basis for the Victory bonds. It will assorted and high priced inventor¬ traditional overseas markets. And take time for the new rate pattern to be established and here again ies by the end of 1948. Naturally this economic maladjustment nat¬ there seem to be differences of opinion as to how prices might act during the test period. It is being pointed out there is practically enough there was a tendency to urally seriously affects any ex¬ some year . . icate ... pulp and paper industry stands the needs and broad-based upon culture of all mankind. Dir. of Blair Holdings Robert H. Huf has resigned as a Vice-President Blair & Co., tinue as a and Director of Inc., but will con¬ Director and member of the Executive Committee of the parent company, , * - r Blair Holdings- J^ Corp. . ... bearishness among operators in the government market, although it is believed in certain quarters quotations could be subjected to ano minor adjustments, because of the sharp rise that has already taken place under the changed conditions. The opinion is expressed that prices of the longest maturities could move down about a half point or so, and then go on to new high levels. On the other hand, there are those who hold the belief quotations are not vulner¬ . . . .. able at current levels and not be than % of more a . an adjustment, if it should develop, would point. In both instances price weakness Chesapeake and Ohio Railway Third Equipment Trust of 1949 ... would be welcomed since there is substantial a demand that would like to purchase securities at slightly lower prices. ... It is reported that dealers in many instances have been talked to by the Central Banks, the market. securities about what to . demand Federal has been . was Because . of i authorities the which It was seems are due in not pleased no with the measure some supply run tral Banks a liquidation Lower reserve are To To be guaranteed limited supply some (shorts on each February 1 and August 1, 1950 to 1964, inclusive unconditionally as to payment oj par value and dividends by endorsement by The Chesapeake and Ohio Railway Company so far) Priced to daily price limitations yield 1.10% to 2.55%, according to maturity ♦ " " , requirements for the banks in New York City and lowers of the money markets. a $133,000 must bring about to believe that unless the Cen¬ Issuance and sale oj these Certijicates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission« The Offering Circular may be obtained in any state in which this announcement is circulatedfrom only expected in the not distant future by many informed fol¬ Federal will be mature to the absence of sellers and might be revived Chicago (Philadelphia Plan) closely.... It is evident way prices advanced, able to bring securities into the market, by their are limited 2Vs% Serial Equipment Trust Certificates heavy of the quick-turn operators, but in the easier credit and higher prices.... This leads own the they would like to slow the market down..;. They may be able to shake out .long small and seller of the shortest maturities and a is watching the market and its action very v not done to this $3,990,000 ■ . . .. such oj the undersigned and other dealers as may lawjully offer these securities in such state. When this takes place it is believed seller of enough long-term securities to keep the market within the limits that have been established by HALSEY, STUART & CO. INC. that time. A. G. BECKER & CO. R. W. PRESSPRICH & CO. INCORPORATED Keizer Co. BOSTON, Harry Michaels Dies Opens MASS.—Alfred H. Keizer has formed Keizer & Co. with offices at 31 engage Mr. Milk Street to in the securities business. Keizer was formerly John G. Sessler & Co. with Harry Michaels died July 6 at the age of 63. Mr. Michaels L. F. ROTHSCHILD & CO. GREGORY & SON was INCORPORATED FREEMAN &, COMPANY MULLANEY, WELLS & COMPANY Chairman of the Board and Presi¬ dent and of was Michaels -Brothers, also leider & Co. a WM. E. POLLOCK Inc., partner in Unger- July 13,1949 CO., INC. &. r 20 COMMERCIAL THE (176) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Europe's problem. With Marshall dollars-in abundant supply Euro¬ could hardly have increased they had their production affairs. Nor there was The world duced. Third Quarter Traffic Estimates Encouraging regional Shippers Advisory Boards recently released their estimates of railroad traffic for the third quarter of 1949. On the Whole they do not make particularly pessimistic reading. For all sections of the country it is estimated that loadings will be down 652,707 cars from the like quarter of 1948. This would represent a decline of 7.4%, It would compare with an actual decline of 10.0% in car loadings for the 26 weeks through July 2. If it turns out that traffic does hold up that well in the face of the general recession that is now under way it would hardly afford grounds for the present pessimism toward all classes of railroad securities. of existed. The ular Marshall Belgium ERP in commodities in the U. S. goods when the any for gium but "free" same available in are was pro¬ neighboring Bel¬ be cannot bought be¬ was needed in the seller's market that convert automobile shortage States, for example, made it easy for Britain to boost her auto exports to this country." lire earned in Italy into Belgian francs). in the United Aid, to European creditor countries like Britain and turn condition on extend their own that they equivalent credits currencies (called "drawing accounts") debtors ropean; to such as and the Netherlands. a the Eu¬ France This has to certain extent facilitated intra- European trade. We try¬ are now ing to persuade the OEEC nations The inability of European (and *^n-European) countries to freely the proceeds of their exports into the currencies they need to pay for their imports som* convert Real Problem Coming f rest hungry for cause France is short of Belgian Little" salesmanship was francs (and, moreover, cannot goods. The the to ask unless incredibly mismanaged problem in selling what currencies scarce Europe. This has resulted in coun¬ tries like France being forced to pean countries not Thursday, July 14, 1949 to expand this system to give the debtors the privilege of transfer¬ ring their drawing account rights from the granters of them toother countries. So far we are running however, the real prob¬ lem is coming to the fore with is driving more and more of them into bitter, opposition on this score dramatic suddenness. Not only is into bilateral deals with discrimi¬ from the British i who not only Europe's recovery linked up with natory implications of which the fear a repetition of the "convert¬ : The 'largest decline is expected to take place in coal loadings. the revival of multilateral trade Anglo-Argentine agreement is on¬ ibility crisis" of 1947 but also feel This is hardly surprising in view of the unsettled labor picture, the on the broadest,international scale ly the most recent and most flag¬ that such a scheme would mean drop in export demand, and the extent to which inventories were but the future prosperity of the rant example. If this trend con? sacrificing one of their few re¬ built up in anticipation of labor difficulties. The Boards estimate a United States also. / And at the tinues, the end of U. S. dollar aid maining bargaining weapons in, drop of 379,301 cars (14.3%) in coal loadings for the country as a present time it is not at all cer¬ in 1952 will bring a new crisis international trade namely whole. This would represent close to 60% of the estimated overall tain that a revival of multilateral that sterling balances which may undo all that the U. S. blocked decline in traffic for the period.' The second most important decline trade is what we are going to get. has achieved in the postwar pe¬ can be used to push British ex- : in point of volume is expected in lumber and forest products, where Indeed the new Anglo-Argentine riod and; necessitate a complete ports in bilateral trade deals. the estimate is for 87,995 fewer cars. The balance of the anticipated trade It. would appear that a; point agreement and the stiff bp- re-evaluation ,of .our, position in drop is widely diversified, mainly among industrial freight items. position being put up by Britain the world. has been reached now at which On the other side of the picture quite a few items are expected to any expansion of the Intrathe United States should take a to move in heavier volume this quarter than in the third 1948 quar¬ European Importance of Currency ^ very firm stand. Our contribution Payments Agreement ter. Prominent among these are grains, and flour, meal and other suggests the contrary. This should Convertibility " to the postwar world has been mill products. It is also anticipated that fresh fruits, other than be a matter of grave concern to What can be done in the face very great. We have lowered our the United States. • ,: citrus, will be up from a year ago. Percentagewise, the most sub¬ pf this situation? Both Mr. Hoff¬ tariff in the General Agreement stantial increase is looked for in vehicle parts. Movement of auto¬ Generally speaking, multilateral man and Ambassador Harriman on Tariffs and Trade, taken the mobiles and trucks is also expected to improve moderately. Perhaps trade permits each nation to sell have made it clear that the Eu¬ lead in drawing up the Havana the most surprising feature of the reports is that only a nominal its exports in the most profitable ropean "member-nations of the Charter for an International Trade (1.6%) drop is expected in ore and concentrates which are normally market and to buy its imports Organization for European-Eco¬ Organization, and given billions very sensitive to any recession in general industrial production. where it pleases on the basis of nomic Cooperation, now that they of dollars of aid to Europe. In As is usual, the estimates vary widely in different sections of price and quality, which will not have largely solved their produc¬ return, we have a right to expect the country. All except one regional board expect declines in their necessarily : be from the same tion problems* must get together that European countries for their areas. The estimated declines range all the way from 15.6% for the country to which it sells its ex¬ and plan an integrated program part will make a contribution too. Allegheny District and 15.0% for New England to a nominal drop ports. For example, the United designed to expand multilateral Unless they work together for the of 0.2% for the Northwestern District. The one exception to the States normally sells more to Can¬ trade and highlighted by a reduc¬ construction of an integrated Eu¬ general expectation of a falling off in traffic is the Great Lakes Dis¬ ada and Argentina than it buys tion of trade barriers and by ropean trading system,-? ECA aid Now, . — * ' . • trict where an increase of less than 1.0% is looked for. The follow¬ from those ing tabulation shows the estimated year-to-year percentage changes more for the individual districts, arranged in descending order of we ' pated declines. antici¬ countries but bulk of her — buy we from tropical countries than Canada buys the sell to them. imports from the U. S. but Allegheny -15.6% Pacific Northwest — 7.3% sells the bulk of her exports Europe. And Britain buys more from Continental Europe than she to aiming at the free measures con¬ is* not accomplishing its purpose transferability of European currencies. Up till now and the conditions which gave to the planning has been national by in¬ in 1952. vertibility and dividual nations but not interna¬ the for need it will If this is to U. S. whether might rise reappear be the case,; ponder, now is it Also, the highly important grain traffic is expected to increase 10% worthwhile, apart from, the purely political objec¬ /' sells to that area but sells more tives of the policy, continuing on When Ambassador Harriman to the tropics than she buys. Tak¬ the present scale for another two ing all these trading relationships addressed the Annecy tariff con¬ and one-half years a program that together, the "balances"cancel ference last May 12, he sounded still seems to be more of a pal¬ out and enable all nations to enjoy the theme that the time had come liative than a cure. the fruits of specialization and to do more than just talk about trade on a world-wide basis. !. the economic integration of West¬ ern Europe. One of the factors The great, threat to multilateral trade arises when pairs of na¬ responsible for the high living tions attempt to balance their ex¬ standards of the United States is our huge continent-wide trading ports and imports equally with (Special to The Financial Chrontclf.) area which permits' a high degree the; result that neither has V any CHICAGO, ILL. —Frederick J.. of specialization. If Europe is sim¬ surplus foreign exchange left over Cook and William J. Sennott, Jr., for the purchase of goods in third ilarly to enjoy the fruits of spe¬ have above the year-earlier level. countries^ New England Southeast —15.0 Southwest — . . . 6.7 ■ —10.3 - Mid-West Ohio Valley " : Atlantic States Central Western 9.9 — • , V Pacific Coast Trans-Missouri-Kansas 8.0 — Northwest * Great Lakes 3.7 1.6 — 9.1 — — 1.3 — — ■ 0.2 0.9% -f" The Great Lakes District embraces the major automobile produc¬ ing centers of the country. This largely explains the expectation of a higher level of traffic,in the third quarter in contrast with antici¬ pated declines in all other Districts. Also, in this district it is esti¬ mated that ore tonnage (the most important single freight item in volume) will expand this year. In the Northwestern District, where only a nominal overall decline is expected, ore is also the most im¬ portant traffic item in point of volume, and no decline is looked for. 1 On the other end of the schedule is the Allegheny District where coal is the dominant traffic item and where iron and steel tonnage, in which significant decline is anticipated, is also important. The other JLwo. districts expecting declines of more than 10% are also quite heavily dependent on coal and have a large stake in lumber and forest products. Again it is self evident that a large degree of selectivity is> a necessary in formulating a railroad investment program. nations OEEC . Shields Go. in Chicago when and scarce ihey This they usually do particular currency is a do verted when possess freely the currencies be cannot into the con¬ scarce or "hard" currency. For example, in 1947 Canada was in serious dif¬ ficulties because the sterling pro¬ of were not her exports to Britain freely convertible into dollars to pay the S. Canada U. impose continued from first page) by: all the together. Cook and Sennott With ceeds ERP and Multilateral Trade tional special for imports from was forced restrictions to on American goods and divert many down or removing many of Europe, the European will be able two legs. If to no walk on coun¬ his own fundamental re¬ covery has taken place by then, the removal of the crutches will be followed by the speedy reap¬ pearance of the ''dollar shortage" crisis which brought ERP into ex¬ istence in the first place. In creasing production and the final levels is only one-half—and the the quotas, preferences, and arbitrary government controls of /various kinds. Europe must also facilitate freer to countries flow ibility free as funds between currency convert¬ of with controls Taking in the direction of in¬ admittedly involves of exchange the ultimate objective. such steps tegration 4 goods,- principally ma¬ and beef, in approxi¬ easiest half—of the problem. Ac¬ chinery tually industrial production in the mately equal Marshall whole level. Plan is now countries back Indeed, if Western one to the as a 1938 excludes the riod of five to result in amounts ■> for a pe¬ This is likely enforced discrimi¬ years. an nation by Argentina against U. S. of Germany and goods and is the very antithesis Austria, it is higher—in Britain by of the type of world trading sys¬ 23%, in Belgium by 15%, in tem this country is trying to build France by 9%, in the Netherlands up. The by 13%, in Norway by 25%, to In Europe itself this problem zones 1947, production indices in most European countries were still below prewar levels. problem at that time seemed rela¬ tively simple.. If production levels could be raised and exports panded, then Europe could enough foreign exchange to for imports. American help ex¬ earn pay was needed in the interim to provide -food for the workers and raw ma¬ terials and capital equipment for the industries. In the final : analy- mention a few. Of course, prewar levels of production cannot be re¬ garded has as as also exists. Here the principal scarce currency is, of course, the adequate. Population dollar. Thus, if France sells goods and countries such to Italy, she receives lire which increased Britain have to fill with addi¬ tional exports the gap in their balances of payments created by their loss of income from foreign investments. However, progress in the field of production should not purchases from the U. S. gravating this problem of "con¬ vertibility" is the additional one "transferability." The whether country or'not was the International British Chamber Frederick J. Cook Wm. J. Sennott, Jr» Shields & Street. Co., 135 South La Salle were formerly in the Department of Clement, Both Trading Curtis & Co. of Commerce, entitled "The Spectre of 1953," also emphasizes these points. This report underlines among ether things the impor¬ tance of restoring free competitive Joseph Reilly, a regular mem¬ enterprise with incentives for the ber of " the New York Curb Ex¬ private trader and the elimina¬ change, won the Curb Five and tion of arbitrary controls. The Twenty Club golf trophy for the total exports of European coun¬ third consecutive year. His vic¬ Jcs. Reilly Wins Golf Trophy Third Year tries are still 18% and their total tory came in a match imports 14% below prewar levels and the "situation is unlikely to club's, third improve ment held last week are unless drastic measures taken. Must But ag¬ pound and the Belgian franc, be¬ a European give rise to any complaints! *. cause of the relatively strong ex¬ worthy of aid was Looking back over the past 15 related to its willingness to for¬ months, -however, it now appears port positions of these two coun¬ mulate a national plan for in- that this was the easiest part of tries, have become relatively J sis of she cannot cpnvert into dollars for of with which exist in the form of tariffs, of her exchange associated ' obstacles to the free flow of goods purchases to Britain even risks but, since there can be no tries can avoid balance of pay¬ test of ERP's success was to be though she would have preferred final solution to present economic to buy American. The new ments crises and can maintain or found in Anglo- problems until this integration is production figures. ' even raise consumption and Argentine trade agreement, if it achieved, it is better to make the pro¬ duction levels. But the aim Only Half of Problem Solved of goes into force, is likely to have attempt now while American aid ERP was then and is now to make Indeed our aid ERP has been in operation for a; disastrous effect on U. S. ex- is forthcoming. Western Europe self-supporting so 15 months and it is now apparent ports to that South American should be conditional on: such that when the crutches of ECA aid that the execution national country. of Under the agreement, steps being taken. The recent re¬ are removed in 1952 the patient plans designed to raise production Britain and Argentina agree to port of the United States Council into become * cialization, it too must develop a larger trading area" by scaling Insist on Currency Insofar as convertibility^ and transferability are concerned, the Intra-European Payments Agree¬ ment' has been renewed in S. has aid" in a tie played which resulted annual golf at at to the tourna¬ the Siwa- County Club in Bronxville, N. Y. Mr. Reilly shot a 78 over the same course yesterday to de¬ feat Leonard Greene, also a Curb Exchange member. While Mr. Reilly earned the noy Convertibility. amended settle form. This year the U. been giving "conditional dollars, in addition to reg¬ right to retire the trophy perma¬ nently by yesterday's success, he announced following the match that to he would return the competition next year. trophy Volume 170. Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Frank Valeria & Co. Frank Frank By JOHN BUTTON L. Valenta fices at 1 Wall is (Continued from page 3) forming duct Committee prosecutes, and then acts as judge and Street, New York Here the spirit of complete impartiality is absent. L. Valenta & Co. with of¬ Let's Not Go Overboard rent -v Advertising prepared by professionals, pictures, stories, appeals to the emotions, plans, campaigns, direct mail lit¬ erature—most of it admittedly good and created by experts. It is about time you may say that the securities business put some life Assuming the current market price of 100 shares of a given over-the-counter stock to be $10 a share, how much above such into its sales promotion. YOUR price would a dealer be justified in charging for inventory wHich would serve to give his cus¬ tomer control of the instant corporation? Is there a fixed yardstick, or must the dealer take his chance that in a sub¬ sequent disciplinary proceeding, the local Business Conduct Committee will see eye to eye with him? Must there be a spirit of guess work and fear? We agree. BUT DON'T BE SOLD DOWN Remember that every time you sell the management OTHERS, ABILITY driving are you TO a MANAGE nail in HIS customer's faith your INVESTMENTS. a IN Remember that markets and buying conditions change. There will be a time again when individual situations will come back into favor. Don't undersell yourself if you are selling the funds. too, Several the do! weeks that fact ago we presented people lose money most saies a on talk that played up their investments. They Then the idea was to show, that the broad diversification, bal¬ and expert management of the funds was the answer to most investors' problem. It is a logical idea, it probably will sell funds, suggestions as a means of determining cur* prices of over-the-counter securities does the market NASD offer? It's easy! clever OF jury* What other -On Mutual Funds! THE RIVER. 21 The Perennial 5% Yardstick Securities Salesman's Corner Opens in New York City * (177) L. Frank stock in his The NASD says: Valenta ance, but WON'T it DEALER BE AS COMPETENT ADVISING ATTRACTIVE AND A YOUR BROKER OR CUSTOMERS INVESTMENTS IN THE OF SECU¬ MARKETS. When always YOU SHOULD WHO BARGAINS RITIES SELL times easier whether tough and security selling is DEFENSIVE SECURITIES. are to difficult This is sell are stocks unit mutual to Group, Inc., and was formerly an Group Securities, Inc. officer of is bonds and preferred stocks. these to engage in the securities business. Mr. Valenta has been an officer of Distributors true funds, insurance stocks, or good But these are the times when you can go out and select 10 undervalued common stocks (like Roger Babson suggested several weeks ago in the "Chronicle") and you can offer you selling it "Certain other factors which City, Robertson-Morgan in Montreal; Davidson Co. are to be considered both dealers and Business Conduct Committees in by connec¬ tion with the application of the policy are (1) whether it is a price stock or bond or high priced, (2) the amount of funds involved in the transaction, (3) whether the market is active or inactive, (4) whether more than the usual time and effort was involved in obtaining the security to consum¬ mate the sale, and (5) any extraordinary or unusual services low rendered to the customer." ; In Toronto clients, and the chances will be Very well! The dealers who in the above direction have mighty good that some day in the not too distant future that, you been set vis-a-vis their punitive policemen, the Business Con¬ could show your customers an overall price appreciation (on the MONTREAL, QUE., CANADA— group as a whole) that would make the performance of the average The partnership of Davidson & duct Committees, honestly try to surround their purchases fund look mighty sick by comparison. Don't abdicate to the funds Robertson has been dissolved and and sales by a strict observance. Now then what possible —don't let present business conditions give you an inferiority com¬ a new partnership formed under assurance have these dealers that their actions will be in the name of Robertson & plex—don't sell out because it offers the line of least resistance. Morgan accord with the opinions of their prosecutors and judges on The funds have their place. ? They are good for people with with offices at 266 Notre Dame Partners are Roy the extent of all the elements going into the foregoing five limited buying power. They could fit in with some larger accounts Street, West. too. as a your They have many strong points. But if we are going to become for a handful of highly concentrated managements, who sit in the larger cities of this country and collect billions of sales agents Robertson and Col. W. E. Morgan. The new firm holds membership on the Montreal Stock Exchange, tests? How can they know that the same dollars-and-cents results will meet uniform approval? Above are a few of the problems that account for the and then supervise it for a fee; we Montreal Curb Market, and To¬ are going to degenerate into nothing more than money collectors ronto Stock Exchange. "5%" enigma. :' '-■ ; who will be paid a living wage, and little more, for acting as their The offices at 320 Bay Street, agents. There Is a limit to the amount of money that can go into Competition, not artificial regulation, should determine these funds and still provide marketability for the shares of the Toronto, and 134 St. Paul Street, the extent of mark-ups. ~ funds themselves, as well as the blue chip stocks which they are St. Catharines, Ont., are being constantly acquiring. The stock market can lose its liquidity too if Dealers and brokers should not be required by their dollar^ of the public's investment much too The money continued goes into markets can dry money over-the-counter almost as Davidson & Co. fifty up to a hundred issues. completely (that has true function which is anxiety to stay happened today) if we neglect our With Waddell & Reed supplying capital for industry, for growing new enterprises, and of (Special to The Financial Chronicle) making markets in individual issues. LOS ANGELES, CALIF. —F. Let us sell the funds, use their advertising, and work their sales campaigns where feasible and sound. But let us remember Maurice Shirk has joined the staff that we are brokers, dealers and investment men. That ours is a of Waddell & Reed, Inc., 8943 Wilbusiness that approximates a profession, and if we abdicate and all turn efforts our to another, then sooner or later WE WILL over LOSE WHAT IS LEFT shire Boulevard. up nights guessing on the state of the admin¬ istrative mind. The "5 % philosophy" is but another cog in the wheel of regimentation which may ultimately lead to a planned econ¬ omy for all of us on the basis of a considerably reduced liv¬ ing standard wherein there will be small room for individual initiative. -A OF OUR BUSINESS. This is not a condemnation of the mutual fund idea. It is just appeal for common sense. No one ever made a real success out of anything by becoming an extremist or a fanatic except for a short time. The way to build a lasting business is to sell securities that fit the customer (funds, included). Don't sell yourself down an the river. You are supposed to security know values too. J 1 This announcement is neither > 15 and million they NEW ISSUE 440,000 Shares people who own individual securities in this country not goine to patronize brokers and dealers who have are GAS INDUSTRIES FUND lost FAITH IN THEMSELVES. together Phila. Electric Offers Common to Stockhldrs. Philadelphia Electric Co. is of¬ fering to the holders of common1 stock the right to subscribe for, 972,624 shares of additional com-J mon stock at $20 per share on the basis of one new share for each! shares held of record July 11, 1949. (The common stock does not include the $1 dividend preference common The subscription' stock.) INC. the proceeds of the new common stock, and that the balance will be provided ings, 10 warrants expire Aug. 1, 1949. The offering is being underwritten by a nationwide investment banking with Proceeds from the sale of The estimates that the construction of new plant and equipment may require the expenditure of approximately $219,000,000 during the five-year period, 1949-53, inclusive, of which $189,800,000 will be for electric facilities, $16,400,000 for gas facilities, and $12,800,000 for steam and general facilities used in all operations. Expenditures of about $51,000,000 are planned for 1949 including $13,000,000 spent up to April 30. company ($1.00 par value) now Prices! $16.25 per share on each unit sale under $50,000 $15.99 per share on each unit sale of $50,000 or more but less the stock will be used to Copies of the Prospectus may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated from only such of the Underwriters, including the undersigned, as may legally offer these securities in compliance with the securities laws of such States. the about one-half and Louis Gross. Mr. Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis required for the pro¬ Gross is active will be provided from treas¬ funds including retained earn- floor broker. , v Tucker, Anthony & Co. as an Kidder, Peabody & Co. Charles funds gram ury of >' :* White, Weld & Co. , that than $100,000 $15.82 per share on each unit sale of $100,000 or more Gross & Co. to Be Formed AS of Aug. 15 the New York Stock Exchange firm of Gross & provide part of the capital re¬ Co. will be formed in New York quired for the company's con¬ City. Partners will be Charles H. struction program. The company Gross, member of the Exchange, estimates 'i. ties in 1950 and subsequent years. by ing for not more than 150 shares at the subscription price. •. , Common Stock from the sale of additional securi¬ of 102 firms jointly headed The company, or its principal Drexel & Co. and Morgan Stanley & Co. predecessor, has paid dividends on Out of any unsubscribed shares, its common stock in each year the company will offer to each since 1902. employee the privilege of subscrib¬ group new common offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any of these securitiesi offering is made only by the Prospectus. < : Your customer expects it of you. Once he doubts it you may also find that he will go to someone else when he wants to buy or sell some stocks or bonds in which he is interested. There are still about 12 to an The individual July 14, 1949. 22 (178) &' FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL THE CHRONICLE at Truman Pi escribes for in (Continued from first page) industries, than it was period, in Wnica we last year. Business investment is that at a high rate, but plans for new will promote a more stable and investments are being made with enduring growth m production, caution. -v.i some first half of 1949 transition less must work toward conditions 1948. employment, purchasing and power. The fundamental task facing us The 1949 decline has been mod¬ in than the second production rapid, was half June had reached 13% . and higher. receipts 10%, ceipts content ourselves with lower lev¬ Fed¬ els of down were education, health and hous¬ ing, international and domestic security, and national develop¬ state and local re¬ about 5%. All gov¬ were up ernmental units combined showed of deficit in cash a industrial in decline The cash about about ll/z% was rate about 13% a eral Prosperity Thursday, July 14, 1949 1949 at by nual below last seasonally adjusted a rate of $2.4 trast to Other business activ¬ erate, and the opportunity is now ity as a whole changed but little. ours to reverse the trend and A moderate decrease in private a billion fall's peak. in riod in the first half billion, in surplus at the The omy con¬ and cash all—businessmen, workers farm¬ achieve maximum production and construction was partly offset by was ers, Government — is to apply consumption of goods and services a rise in public construction. This at ah annual rate of about $1 bil¬ positive policies with confidence without the evils of inflation. y e a r's agricultural production lion, contrasted with a surplus at order to achieve a price structure to slart with we need clear a likely seems The Adjustment Process i and the restoration of maximum produc¬ The adjustment process has been tion and employment. In so doing, rendered less difficult by the sounder un¬ prudent actions of many groups approach to generally decreased, re¬ Policies for a sellers'1 buyers' market. The decreases Economic strength that did exist not in has been moderate and distress declined 9%, consumers' prices liquidation of inventories, such as i%. from their high points of last of the last 16 years, many steps v/e ' * experienced in 1920, is not to August. ; have been taken by the Govern¬ be anticipated. Personal indebted¬ Wages increased in some indus¬ ment to bulwark our economy ness, on the part of farmers, home tries, but, at least in manufactur¬ against the forces of recession. iwners, and consumers generally, ing, the increases were more than periods. Over the course Unemployment insurance has helped to alleviate the hardships levels. of nen unemployment and incomes sustain to expendi¬ tures. The old-age retirement system and public assistance for needy persons also serve to main¬ tain purchasing power. The hous¬ ing program recently enacted by the Congress will furnish positive consumer and been as held to conservative Many far-seeing business- made sincere efforts to avoid minimize price increases or inflation, during offset by shorter as overtime work-weeks. of cost reduced and Since the living decreased by about much workers' average earn¬ as months ings, real earnings generally were prices and maintained. ' have sought valiantly to maintain Profits reflected' the decline in production and employment. Many prices and production. Corporate labor unions have used their col¬ profits before taxes and inventory have in and reduced lective recent their strength with moderation and with consideration for the in¬ valuation adjustment in the first that would rious not be called appropriate for in a production goals achieved during the war were a miracle to the rest housing construction ment economic stability both the have we terrible or affirmative ent with policy. the American progress that, as now and should is It whole to and the needs of continue of farms, and to meet population that will a to Businessmen grow. should lift their sights to the needs o of an that economy from prospers of year previously recommended, again recommend, that the Congress provide for a broad I be taken to study of potential business invest¬ ment, expansion, and market op¬ portunities under conditions of maximum of use our ; bankruptcies and fore¬ closures. The farm program affords our price-support that assurance 6,000.000 farmers and the two- fifths of our population communities out preventing of the These will rural forced markets for goodsi and policies in be not are other sup¬ ports to business activity ana are enlarging the opportunities of pri¬ vate business. The fact that pub¬ lic expenditures of Federal, State, and local governments are run¬ ning at a rate of close to $60 bil¬ lion dollars a year is itself an ele¬ ment of great stability in of transition. But there is the present situation. Our position would during the past half year. Interest nothing healthy about more un¬ rates continued low. employment or less production. Business investment Such trends can and must be re¬ versed by positive action, piivate ind public. The way to check a decline in business investment or production is to take affirmative government providing strong riod action that will lead to vestment and The way to more check in¬ more production. increase in an ,/■. ;■<>^'0 decreased in the first half of 1949 from the 1948 level. Allowing for seasonal variations, in the second quarter it was 26% below the peak rate fourth quarter of 1948 the of chiefly in as result of a inventories/ ment outlays unemployment is to take affirmative^action that will provide more high jobs. Plant were reductions and equip¬ still about as half of 1949. The to way prevent our economy from shrinking is to take affirmative action that will help if to expand. These things cannot be done by business, ago, but some de¬ as a year is crease anticipated in the last inventories of customer credit. helped and of to reduce their total indebtedness by about labor, agriculture, or be even government acting alone. They 3.5 billion dollars. stronger if we had taken adequate can only be done by all of us Housing starts were less than steps to control the inflation be¬ working together in mutual re¬ in the first half of 1948, but since tween 1945 confronted, and 1949. as an We were spect and with It aftermath of the war, by an inflationary boom that -lifted production and employment to is with common these in mind a considerations I transmit to the brief summary of the situation and recom¬ extraordinary high levels. But underneath the surface of the in¬ > mendations for action at this time. flationary boom, there were serious dangers. Some incomes were Summary Review of Recent disproportionately prices were high. rising at rate, and serious a economic price and wage have been moving up to¬ ward last year's levels. Personal after taxes income of decreased consumers only about 1% from the level of the last half of 1948. Since consumers' prices dropped 2%, real income did not change Economic Developments Most perilous March that Congress objectives. tion A moderate downward trend characterized most phases of eco¬ significantly. Consump¬ expenditures in dollar terms decreased nearly 3%. Total liquid assets of individuals and business distortions were being developed. nomic activity in the first half of firms are now about $235 billion. ,The spiraling cost of living was 1949. '■ ;■ v,However, nearly 30% of our fami¬ inflicting hardship on millions of Civilian employment averaged lies have no reserve of liquid families. > These conditions threat- ened to bring ;about a serious break in employment and produc¬ tion. Therefore I recommended repeatedly, for private and public action, an anti-inflation program to , curb these dangers before suffered the consequences. A large part of the anti-inflation program we was not went on - largely uncontrolled. that are which now I latent repeatedly warned, of are is school harder to .year are high, ago. high, but it finding obtain but it much work than Production is lower, This in with is still particularly was of the the slightly be¬ first half greatest decrease industries. In Tune of this year, civilian employ¬ ment was 59.6 million; in June last year, 61.3 million., The of unemployed million about over 3.2 averaged the the total labor force. labor were force in 3.4% The number June was 6% in 3.8 of The June, June of increase in unem¬ the* civilian compared of last year. unemployed in million, and acute foreign trade, exports ports and have Production of all goods and services, adjusted for price changes and for seasonal variation, in the an increase in falling off pf im¬ continued the * rising a trend in the export surplus which began last fall. financed The surplus was almost entirely through government foreign-aid programs. Government were a ple translated are other in factors confidence and determination to achieve them. This study should be designed making for decline solidated cash basis, past con¬ rather than especially to discover inadequacies in capacity in basic industries which may serve is lim¬ iting factors to expansion when the upward movement of business is of real resumed. , our peo¬ into . , Price and wage policies In addition to the need for ex¬ panded business investment, posi¬ actions are required to en¬ effectivf ing large through constantly grow¬ employment and purchasinf our markets can absorb ' vigorously expanding output. achieve can within! few a We year.' national output well above $30f a billion, valued at current prices Our goal of growth and expan¬ sion determines the kind of poli¬ that private., enterprise should government anr develop now To restrict business investment curtail The only ultimate of source sus¬ profits is sustained em¬ ployment and purchasing power. The ssmg concept should guide prosperous has declined some¬ would only serve to downward. But drar ir if field of action we do the things that are consistent with r strong and growing economy, we will have a strong and growing every policies. power It is vitally important that gov¬ policy be based determination upon achieve to the con a Business cannot be unless the of workers is purchasing maintained. While price reductions are desir¬ able, they should not be attained the at collective the of wage cutting. labor, through, bargaining, should seek expense Management agreements economy. ernment op¬ is far more important maintaining profit margins. wage economy further poweri great a situation than our us have portunity to (maintain production and sales volume by adjusting prices downward, even at the cost of temporarily reduced profits. Maintaining volume in the present production, reduce em¬ ployment, or slash wages, because what, purchasing consumer Businessmen tained and apply. and which benefits recognize that improved tech¬ of nology and productivity should be reflected both in the wage struc¬ While ture and in the price structure. some businessmen may find it dif¬ Fiscal Policy :: ficult to expand their operations stantly growing economy. • ' under current government circumstances, the can always take con¬ scious and positive action to coun¬ teract recessionary forces. that the come tial are those who asser* decline in requires that national could a we cut essen¬ programs. Nothing course of It would contribute to the recessionary forces that occur. The Federal Budget in recent has necessarily been large, reflecting not only the needs of we the people for government ices but that cannot prevent our economy running downhill States in which ~;~ serv¬ extraordinary of the United working toward ful world. a peace¬ j • Programs Not to Be Reduced we "The sound objective of govern¬ from and that those are vital to the the also responsibilities counteracting. It would defeatist admission urograms The government's programs of expenditures and receipts must be carefully planned in the light of economic developments as they years represent greater economic action. very in¬ national folly than to follow this be economy during the half year. Using figures on a the have we the power, of the be achieved if tive should be support against can economy the Employ¬ contemplates and ment Act of 1946 which productive growing which constanth If needs and aspirations fiscal transactions source ment policy is to contribute ward the maximum use of our to¬ re¬ international security and domes¬ sources, conventional budget basis, to the effective impact o* total governmental receipts and tic welfare of having them lie idle and unused. as When I must be steered in the same down¬ submitted my budget for the fiscal year 1950 last January, the economy, cash payments by the Federal Govern¬ ward the the reflect unemployment problems have de¬ payments veloped in certain localities. ., output. Yet there In one the first half of 1948 equalling ployed of num¬ million, the increase of about assets. of manufacturing with still has been increas¬ and veterans and others leav¬ ing a The danger? inflation, being revealed. Employment unemployment ing in million. 1948. ber necessary adopted and the inflation 58 low the level into a —conditions demand Funds thus freed corporations skills increasing cies Corporate finance reflected the reduction managerial in resources pe¬ of waves and grows to year. I have and terests of the whole economy. ernment go far toward to ican homes and recognize action car before, obsolescence, rapid progress of underdeveloped areas of country, to bring conveniences labor-saving devices to Amer-, our consist¬ history remove trialize tc experiencec saving value great invention, to improve transportation facilities, to enlarge the housing supply, to indus¬ and consquences inaction and the to make use of the maximum production and employ¬ ment. Within the memory of this generation, are now science and les' even There opportunities for business invest¬ now. make our half of this year were about 13% All below the first half of last year. economy still stronger and to deal with the new problems of the groups in the Nation have gained The corresponding figure for un¬ Credit Relaxation •; present. an improved understanding of incorporated enterprises, however, It is fundamentally important The Federal Reserve System economic problems since the fell only about 7%. to recognize that we should direct has been developed into an in¬ Farm income was about 8% be¬ 1920's, and their actions reflect our strument of such strength and this fact. policies and actions not low the first half of 1948. elastic power that the risk of We should Credit requirements of business merely toward preventing a de¬ not, however, be credit restriction at the very time lulled into a false pression or holding our ground. sense of security decreased as inventories and cus¬ when business requires easier, by these favorable aspects of the tomer receivables were reduced. Many times I have pointed out that the life and spirit of the credit has been greatly reduced. situation. Many of the price ad¬ Commercial loans of large city The insurance of bank deposits justments that' 'have taken place banks shrank 15 %, but otherwise American economy is progresr has eliminated the danger of have been healthy, and - afford loans by banks and other invest¬ and expansion. We need to use widespread loss from bank fail¬ ground for expectation that our ment institutions remained stable. the productive capacity of a grow¬ ures. The several credit institu¬ economy will work its way suc¬ Total bank deposits and money in ing labor force. We need to trans¬ late tions established within the gov¬ improved productivity and circulation decreased cessfully through a difficult about 2% for support and slum clearance. of the world. se appropriate to rely entirely "letting nature take its course" restore / cour¬ always been characteris¬ tic of American businessmen. The v economic emergency woult be , age have Stability However, it would be econ¬ Business investment These facts show that our econ¬ derstanding of the facts concern¬ and individuals in our business were in most instances moderate ing our present situation. system. We have had no specula¬ and orderly, with no indication of omy is still operating at high lev¬ els of employment and Our production economy today possesses tive spree in either securities or a general spiraling downward. The kind of government actioi vitally important elements of commodities. Inventory buying Wholesale prices by mid-year had earlier programs permit, which are Initiative, ingenuity, and Expansion as skills ■•■v~'*'* *'' 1 ' I propose that we follow the lat¬ ter course. $12.3 billion in and flecting the shift from a rate of move and necessary for its attain¬ ment? the first half of last year. Prices to annual an last year's. and resources adopt the omy deficit in the past half year and courage in going to we consistent with that kind of pe¬ Federal are strong and productive as our rate of $12.1 a Or forward toward making our econ¬ an¬ corresponding 1948. ment? of ment ran upon at a rate more than 20% our people, as well to the strength of our economy, direction. This issue is fundamental. Are going to admit that the forces of progress in our economy have we higher than in the first half of 1948, and state and local payments become so feeble that we must not to contribute toward oF expenditure that programs I then recommended were held to a minimum basic needs consistent in view tionary strain upon of with the our infla¬ materials and Volume 170 Number 4820 THE COMMERCIAL * Lift ANC1AL &c CHRONICLE (179) manpower i then prevailing; Now; ties.^ TheseactivRies are oL such eral prosperity without farm pros¬ fits maintain to some extent the removed, paramount importance that it1 is perity. purchasing power of those who with out of the question to slash them There is immediate need to rave lost their jobs. Because sound fiscal policy and common at this time; But, as our policy overcome a number of shortcom¬ these measures contribute toward sense ,to make these programs for peace takes effect, it should be ings in existing farm legislation. isolating the consequences of un¬ smaller. possible in future years to reduce It is necessary to assure fair and employment and reducing its du¬ Continuing these necessary pro¬ these expenditures which now adequate supports for major farm ration, it is not economical even grams involves the pro Diem of make such heavy demands upon products, notably livestock prod¬ by the measure of dollars alone to i ow and when we should acuieve our Federal budget. As oppor¬ ucts, which have not been cov¬ leave these protective devices in a balance of Federal receipts and tunity bffers, i shall make every ered in past programs. It is nec- an inadequate state. The cost of expenditures, and a reduction of effort to achieve an excess of es:ary to autnoiize tne use of di¬ such measures is determined not that tin's strain has been it be ' would inconsistent benefits for veterans Servicemen's one 25, 1950. not be available for unemployment Such national been debt. problem than l to exert has one with I, and this diminished. not as tinue No ■ concerned more I this concern will con¬ effort every to Federal income ou.go con¬ rect production payments as an only by the extent of coverage or major objectives alternative to the pegging of mar¬ size of benefits but also by the of peace and prosperity,. ;<•'.;/ ket prices if an effective support ex.ent and duration of unemploy¬ But it we tried'to avoid a budget program is to be carried forward ment. sistent with over our deficit.-by cutting essential ex¬ without waste of commodities and achieve every economy in the de¬ penditures, we would contribute wit; out denying to consumers the to, lower national output .and benefits of agricultural abundance. lower employment, Federal re¬ It is desirable to recognize clearly national welfare. Balancing the ceipts would fall further, and the that the objective farm support budget and reducing the national burden upon Federal expenditures prices is to maintain an adequate debt.are objectives to be achieved would increase. We cannot expect level of farm income and promote velopment and execution of progran s that is consistent with ti;e at the earliest feasible time. But d , • fhese objectives cannot be •achieved without regard to the general state of the Nation's econ¬ During the fiscal omy. and 1948 we 1947 years able to were achieve, although not to the extent desired, the objective of balancing the budget and reducing the national k ebt. I urged repeatedly during this inflationary period that gov¬ ernment to be revenues provide ment ;of surplus a the maintained for national retire¬ debt. The present deficit of Federal receipts below expenditures, 'caused pri¬ to achieve a budget surplus in declining national economy. There ' economic are deficits that serious than in would truly of business sumer far more temporary deficit budget. Could we a the Federal be social and be a the if prosperous level or con¬ investment .purchasing should power become seriously deficient? Could be we truly, prosperous with gap¬ deficits- in our' educational ing system or health for housing our services or our or our programs resource development? If we should allow these deficits to mul¬ Under current economic condi¬ tions, it is urgent that the unem¬ ployment compensation system be the Congress to enact at this session legislation to needs. these meet eligible compensation Minimum wages provide by the. untimely tax of $5 billion during "The national tax policy should be flexible and should be promptly get, but we to adjusted to the changing needs of and business national debt. and of course •events." in consumers evolving ::v: the economic "'-f' Under present economic condi¬ tions, rect we the the or lower and cannot immediately cor¬ of the past level , of led national lower Federal to a income Any revenues. tax increase should be judged by the effect which it might have national upon chasing ditions, income immediate tax so at as . Federal policies needs monetary should of the expanding economy. of ample supplies and low interest an Present credit rates credit to are conditions favorable to business in¬ benefits for 26 weeks policy of the gov¬ institutions legislation paid workers a from revenue under such the tnis Revenue to restore of costs, should visions be eliminated. the in laws Fur¬ carry-over pro¬ income corporate should be still faced are hour, and The net effect of these three taken expansion- of tivity, without business/ac¬ causing a signifireceipts. No icant net loss in total changes would in in the result revenues this time! In A view road maintain to and tivities. with funds available are laws which domestic obligations, is the an only and abun¬ safe government surplus. In 3 948 the value of our national out¬ put a of above goods $250 annual and set services billion. of growth which I A our 3- was or 4% economy, practical objec¬ Economic Report in as in my a would increase tional output means revenues at any - Present are due in large and Federal more of . •./••'77.'7, -V/ ■ 7 •.: . / to which the dangerous would call for ance fund be established for those states levels all-out which standards to en the meet minimum that assure creased protection aid to the states for the needy aged, for the blind, and for dependent children, such aid should be extended to other needy receiving persons general assist¬ In most states, the programs in operation are inadequate Public Works the in¬ will not threat¬ the continued solvency of state unemployment funds. This would Public works Fed¬ programs, eral, state, and local, * assume added significance under present conditions taining as a means of main¬ purchasing power and stimulating investment opportunities. My January budget c o n s u m e r proposals called for Federal ex¬ penditures for civil public works in fiscal year 1950 in the amount of about $3 billion, compared to $2V4 billion in fiscal 1949. about Continuing the in the out any included with¬ programs present budget, even starts, will require new and expenditures of approximately $3 inescapable obligation of govern¬ strengthening of the present legis¬ lation authorizing Federal loans to to take action when large billion in each of the fiscal years emergency measures, there is an represent an extension ment numbers of through people fault no are of unemployed their own. states whose run unemployment funds low, which expires on Dec. 31, ! 1949. Such action is ; . . 1951 and rates now This is construction 1952,, at planned. a * substantial program, coupled with private struction expenditures at the and, (Continued on page con¬ cur- 24) New Issue $1,740,000 influence ment by It is no answer to this City of Dallas, Texas 4% and 13A% Bonds difficult Dated July 1,1949. Principal and semi-annual interest (January 1 and July 1) payable in New York City or Dallas. Coupon Bonds in denomination of $1,000 registerable as to principal only. that this squeezes inefficient, because it also ruins many who are temporarily question to say out the others in business. from getting ;//■••/'■/';•/ a Interest Exempt start Under ■,;///:7, The Reconstruction Finance Cor¬ ity, will continue its support our to the national international from Federal Income Taxes Existing Statutes and Decisions These Bonds, issued for various improvement purposes, in the opinion of counsel named below are general obligations of the City of Dallas, payable both principal and interest from ad valorem taxes which may be levied upon all the taxable property therein, within the limits prescribed by law. poration, under its existing author¬ of business activity by making loans based upon reasonable assurance cf MATURITIES, COUPONS AND YIELDS repayment, not under depres¬ conditions, 'but under gen¬ Due $87,000 sion activities toward'areas where ; f . Maturities ;i become serious. is needed, how¬ ever, to extend the maximum ma¬ turity periods for loans, in order to permit financial assistance by the Corporation to business ven¬ 13/4% tures Prices to Yield 4% .70%-1.15% 1.30%-2.10% (Accrued interest to be added) legislation sound Coupons 1955-69 employment has New each July 1, 1950-69, inclusive 1950-54 un¬ The above Bonds are offered subject to prior sale, for delivery when, as and if issued and received by us and subject to the approval of legality by Messrs. Chapman and Cutler, Attorneys, Chicago, Illinois. which and are economically urgently needed in an The National City Bank of New York activi¬ Trust Company of Georgia Braun, Bosworth & Co. Incorporated of debt. Provident Savings Bank & Trust Company Millions of American ing and buy the products of in¬ Experience has taught us can be no lasting gen¬ that there Incorporated Andrews & Wells, Inc. consumers derive their livelihood from farm¬ dustry. Lyons & Shafto Cincinnati Agricultural policy expenditures measure extraordinary costs of defense Federal annual given tax rate. levels , Social-security Although unemployment has not expanding economy,1 but which require long periods of time to national output in real terms by develop and produce earnings that %lx/z ,to $10 billion. Higher na¬ will permit orderly amortization tive January, each for time before the laws of all states Over the years, Federal lending has come to exercise an important a our increasing payroll taxes to 1 xk % ex¬ larger net loss erally prosperous, long-run con¬ The Corporation is also would be justified at ditions. very properly focusing its loan ,7,70 /{.•:/•. v, 777 economy to tax in of international dant structure, together, will be favorable the to tax' our badly also are The present schedule for pand their productive lending ac¬ vents in Congress liberalized in which may now be held back be¬ cause of uncertain profit expecta¬ changes old- next now Ample is the exten¬ sion of the Act's coverage. in adverse financial circumstances order to give an increased incen¬ without being inefficient, and pre¬ tive to some business investments tions. the 1948. large number of business a thermore, the loss tax lost source Act the needed. grave problem in upon business invest¬ providing funds which would otherwise not be available, This wiM have no sigt&mmnt ad¬ particularly for small and new verse effects upon present eco¬ businesses. In a period of business nomic conditions. At the same contraction, no matter how mod¬ time, tlie tax on transportation of erate, deficiencies in capital funds goods, which enters directly into force many enterprises to the wall. the to ance. :: important not only I further recommend that the ernment will be to continue to to the unemployed but also to bus¬ maintain orderly security markets iness, since unemployment bene¬ expiration date for unemployment The vestment. in essential to risen and contribute improvements and survivors' insurance sys¬ tem which I have recommended and to encourage banks and other increases least the Of con¬ should be limited to raising es¬ tate and gift tax rates and closing the loopholes in their admin¬ istration reduction resume pur¬ and Under present power. for¬ move Monetary and credit policy tax mistakes conditions which to also can improve the tax system The age and in many localities there is no program at all. Recent eco¬ maintaining adequate this purpose in the trust accounts nomic developments have empha¬ consumer purchasing states. power among of most However, these sized the need for aid, and I again large groups of our population. increased benefits will require The cost of living has been re¬ action by the State legislatures urge its favorable consideration duced very little, so that low- ?nd it will obviously take some by the Congress. Minimum-wage an ward bring state payments to the Federal level, or when state benefits are used up. up ranging up to $30 a week for sin¬ gle individuals, with additional meeting living can be amended for this purpose. re¬ tiply, they would drag the whole expenses. Higher minimum wages It will be necessary, therefore, to duction the economy down, and there would be are an element in the genial im¬ allow a reasonable period before height of inflation, against which no hope for balancing the gov¬ provement of American living the requirement for new standards I so strongly advised, has been ernment budget. But if we pre¬ standards which takes effect. we can afford and aggravated by the loss in revenue vent these deficits, if we realize must achieve. I repeat my request To encourage the states to meet resulting irom the decline in pro¬ the productive potentials of the for the immediate raising of the the new standards without waiting duction and national income.. American economy, the whole minimum wage under the Fair for this period to expire, I rec¬ ; As I said an my Economic Re¬ nation will prosper, and not only Labor Standards Act to at least ommend that a Federal reinsur¬ port in January of this year: :j- will we balance the Federal bud¬ 75 cents marily where except necessary to amounts for dependents. :77 laws, should those on employers and employees January will provide the fi¬ broadened and liberalized. I rec¬ nancial basis for such improve¬ ommend that the Congress ments without unduly reducing strengthen our Federal-State un¬ consumer purchasing power. * employment insurance system by I have already recommended to establishing minimum benefit the Congress that in addition to shifts in lines of agricultural procuction which will encourage an standards for all parts of the coun¬ increase in the total domestic con¬ try and by broadening coverage. sumption of farm products. I These minimum standards should urge state Act July year, to benefits to 1- the under1 the Readjustment be extended for under 23 Republic National Bank of Dallas July 8, 1949. Blewer, Heitner & Glynn I- I 24 THE (180) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE knowledge of those that already rent rate, and with local and state expenditures of at $3 billion tain the in rate a excess should main¬ a year, construction industry at a high level of activity and thus strengthen the whole economy. The economic situation does not call now , for sweeping works. immediate an expansion -It would and of public dangerous, be however, to neglect the precau¬ tionary preparation of measures which might be needed' if the business downturn should become serious. more to Such preparatory by themselves will measures serve inspire confidence that the ernment further will, if gov¬ help high level They will thus reduce necessary, to maintain of demand. a doubts that businessmen may have about planning investments for the future. age They will also encourcontinue their to consumers normal purchasing with more con¬ fidence. * I urge, therefore, that the Con¬ gress (1) enact legislation to pro¬ loans to assist state and vide for .local advance planning of public (2) provide funds for the Buildings Administration works; Public for advance planning and site ac¬ quisition for Federal construction, under the authority recently acted; enable the (3) Public Roads to en¬ of Bureau make continuing review of such a ac¬ tivities be undertaken within the thority and under the new legis¬ I have proposed, the Ex¬ port-Import Bank will be expand¬ construction which might ments precipitate which have previously recommended. Together with the advance plan¬ ning already under way by many Federal agencies, these actions will round out and of tively serious unemployment a try high level for the very as whole, there a localities where of and it is many some states These even serious. pools heavy unemployment need to they spread, and responsibility is in part na¬ be treated before the are programs number of Federal a direct of action or areas where grant loan or programs, full-scale Recip¬ Act, I Agreements unem¬ this session rent economic portation of goods, of losses undertaken at be (2) Extend the maximum time limit turity by fixed by law on the ma¬ now of loans the to business Reconstruction made Finance Corporation. expansion of farm income supports. (3) Provide for in¬ directly the capital - goods - exporting from expansion of The us. investment assisting by least at broaden 75 its projects, by invest¬ by in¬ new productive opportunities, and creasing the Bonds 'Loans Federal Banking and of June 30, investor's private lowances cents wage hour an and of for readjustment veterans State by (8) not al¬ pro¬ unemployment benefits Raise under coverage (9) $ Bonds .—-,__4 Reserve 4— 3,254,388.58 ___———— 5,954,729.79 __ u _______ Stock Premises ______ 420,000.00 - Occupied Income Accrued Receivable and Prepaid Resources the old-age system 62,206.62 .__ $232,730.718 01 LIABILITIES Capital Stock Surplus Undivided $ 7,000,000.00 8,000,000.00 Profits Total Ceneral Reserve- Capital 3,204,546.22 Funds.: $ 18,204,546.22 a-*— Reserve for Dividends Reserve for Taxes Reserve for Interest, 1,072,356.05 Payable. .— 105,000.00 675,555.52 '. etc. ___. Prepaid Income ^3" 202,366.95 563,977.76 —___ Liability Under Acceptances— ^ * 40,854.00 DEPOSITS: "Commercial, U. Other S. Bank and Savings. 209,495,280.12 Government Liabilities 2,351,957.75 , : !__ TOTAL 18,823.64 $232,730.718.01 if *In addition to this item as shown we have unused loan commitments out¬ standing in the amount 0) $3,569,463.20. **This includes $2,411,441.75 of trust moneys on deposit in the Banking Department, which, under the provisions of the banking law, Section 710-165 of the State of Ohio, is a preferred claim permit to to planning sites useful for intensify and to their acquire projects. developed assistance areas encourage to under¬ abroad investment to and in such against the assets of the bank. The process of Edwin ifg irnf jpl tain to G. Nourse V be affect the critical relationships and the distribution of money comes. two in¬ have, in addition, important effects: the They other favorable effect of increasing th( purchasing power of the dollar and the unfavorable effect of gen¬ erating anticipations of further price declines which lead to post¬ ponement of buying, thus depres¬ sing the levels of production, ployment, and incomes. em¬ price adjustment that further price reductions, made promptly to pro¬ mote volume and not tardily m to date suggests to falling sales, are response sential. made Where and how also is While es¬ they are important.; increasingly active com¬ already brought about petition has part the of there are power -to adjustment, needed many fields where the "administer" is prices strong and where the practice of price leadership is w ell -e in ¬ trenched. It is in these fields that the of capacity take the long busirljS^meiirt„f view and to adopt policies conducive to fundamental and healthy economic readjust¬ ment will be put to the while they Fortunately, the process of price adjustment has been in the main mand, (11) Restore the Reciprocal factor other are prices ^st. , -falling, cut production to whatever is degree to maintain they will impair the necessary their prices, effort maintain to economic * The every core * of * businessman, farmer, and to worker, everyone is still has been the existence ol duction they the in will be price unsure ac¬ level and about the to and respon¬ or later, force some kind of justment in these areas have not prevented sharp fluctua¬ tions in prices, have been effec¬ untary tive in Smiting the extent of the price fall, The as i question arises nonetheless to the extent to which the which cuts far have price made thus helped to stimulate de¬ In prices, the had have been the case of reductions little effect wholesale appear in to stimu¬ lating business demand. : message my weakened, support prices which, while they have Trade Agreements Act. ; though at very high levels, with residen¬ tial construction and investmeni mand. areas. 40,854.00 598,899.15 ' . TOTAL legislation localities, 3,706,708.41 , Expense. — Price Adjustments mar¬ at situation until price cuts, which in plant and equipment still very thev believe are inevitable, have high and with government expen¬ been made on all important groups and ditures still rising. In the case of of goods, and the results can be ahd agricultural prices, an additional observed. Competition will, sooner Federal agencies, and assist States 65,848,078.46 ■_ Customers' Liability Under Acceptances Other 60,371,130.29 92,473,722.71 tne peak price levels. (10) Enact legislation to provide __ Securities-.. Enact technical — Discounts - s V — .—„—r_.— and prices, extend and insurance advance „ absorbed e ket orderly. compensation laws. 1949 RESOURCES Municipal Other consumer , and Bonds of declines, as pointed out ear¬ lier, have been much more lim¬ ited than in wholesale prices. In tivity at the highest possibie level. Businessmen generally will not creasing the amount and duration dumping at distress prices. Its or¬ believe that any importantgroup of benefits and extending cover¬ derly character is in large part of goods can escape from tne age. due to the fact that it has been forces which are strong enough (7) Extend to July 25, 1950, the occurring while consumer de¬ to compel the current generat re¬ tected CINCINN A.T l,OHIO United States State and case the . Although in individual (6) Strengthen the unemploy¬ cases it has been sharp, it has not ment compensation system by in¬ been widely characterized by rations into ment ■ • coverage. availability creating improved program an (5) Increase the minimum to countries that want capital for de¬ velopment to translate their aspi¬ concrete broad study of a economy. (4) Adopt foreign CO. from Banks production. In the are among various prices and the size this time. areas. of b Tn gram. and Due of life way the trans¬ stages, the process of downward price readjustment is almost cer¬ liberalize the carry-over taxes should in s*p Cash and Those opposed to our system and on improve the public assistance pro¬ as of the economic the United States. accompanied by some bs corporations, and raise estate declines in production and em¬ and gift taxes. No major increase ployment. Price declines not only provisions for survivors Statement strength are know tories, accompanied by cut-backs hopes of new; orders, has brought fur¬ greatly de¬ ther downward pressure on prices and upon situation: (1) Repeal the tax expanding foreign designed to stimulate private enterprise or to effect public improvements. To¬ ward this end, I am directing that of growth of underdeveloped buy programs because nomic technical assistance will stimulate activi¬ at investment and development needs and market opportunities in an countries of Europe, will imnrove the rest of the world's ability to to other peace pendent following oy the take the Congress to enact the legislation I have recently recom¬ mended to expand both technical and capital assistance for the eco¬ urge to to pro¬ ties, but it is also relevant growing to the under¬ developed countries and indirectly selectivity curement and construction are strong economy, the and a Trade available ployment is heavy without sacri¬ fice of general national objectives. This principle of wise particularly applicable world trade I recommend that summary, Congress actions vestment, by making more dollars as¬ sistance to localities which can be timed and channeled so as to con¬ centrate upon we a effective network an restoring rocal The There efforts foreign-assistance and tional. is world our now coun¬ are upon the their vital importance in the cur¬ productive strength of free na¬ tions. In addition to maintaining Concentration upon areas of rela¬ at advancing based log of planned public works. While unemployment is not political making to help rebuild substantial back¬ a to continue the us In develop¬ have serious would reasons, it is espe¬ cially important at this time for I abroad , acquiring and clear¬ consequences for world ing rights-of-way; and (4) pro¬ stability. vide for the surveys and planning For these school ing its operations and substan¬ tially contributing to these objec¬ world friends well-being ordinate to states for for for their hoping for the vin¬ in order to co¬ dication of their prophecies that tives. planning, to keep the These actions are called for by economic collapse is inevitable in individual cases, where large cuts various types of activity and their a free society. both our foreign policy and our in prices have been made for sales geographic distribution in proper Ours is at once a fateful respon¬ domestic economic policy. They promotion or where new lines at balance and readiness, and to fo¬ will be supplemented by the sibility and an inspiring opportun¬ much lower prices have been in¬ cus emphasis upon alleviating un¬ ity to prove to ourselves and to strong of the United support troduced, consumer response on employment in particular areas the world that prosperity and the whole has been States for an expansion in the de¬ relatively fa¬ where it becomes serious before it freedom will endure together. velopment activities of the Inter¬ vorable. One of the distinctive has a chance to spread. I am also '■ \ national Bank for Reconstruction features during the war and the having a study made of possible and Development. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC postwar inflation was the reduc¬ changes in the laws governing There is danger that a further tion in the volume of and the ADVISER'S REPORT these activities which may be reduction of economic activity actual disappearance of many needed for these purposes. Following are excerpts from may give rise to pressure to re¬ models and low-priced the Report to the President from stripped Foreign economic policy strain imports, in an attempt to items of apparel and house fur¬ the Council of Economic Advisers. The decline in our business ac¬ divert to United States markets Previous economic reports have nishings, which had formed so tivity is reducing our imports, part of the small fraction of total large a part of the sales during which is an important factor af¬ demand now directed toward for¬ repeatedly pointed out that price prewar years. With the weaken¬ levels which were geared to warfecting the ability of foreign coun¬ eign goods. It should be recog¬ ing of consumer demand, there is tries to earn the dollars they re¬ nized that diversion is a poor sub¬ created temporary factors of dea growing trend now for manu¬ m a n d and quire to restore their economic stitute for expansion of total defacturers to reintroduce and em¬ shortages o f health. The decline in imports, if m a n d. Protectionist measures phasize such low-priced items to could long continued, could have very would not merely shift the prob¬ supply make products available to con¬ not be sus¬ serious effects. If a severe shrink¬ lem of inadequate markets tc sumers'at prices which they are tained indefi¬ age in the flow of dollars abroad other countries but would also, able to pay. The relatively favor¬ nitely. The occurred, it would not only reduce with the present dollar stringency, able showing in these lines indi¬ downward our exports now, but would also promptly reduce our own exports. cates that consumers are actively force other countries to try to Such measures would, therefore, adjustments seeking them. Taking consumer now under save dollars by making discrimi¬ noi; have a stimulating effect on prices as a whole, however, the natory trading arrangements that the domestic economy, even in the way are a re¬ declines that have taken, place flection of the would adversely affect the long- short run. have not been great enough to fact that full run future of our foreign trade. encourage consumers to expand Summary of Legislative pro d uction Moreover, it would set back re¬ their purchases of consumer goods. can no Recommendations longer covery and reconstruction abroad, Executive Office, and advances that lation (Continued from page 23) Our sion. exist. -Both under its existing au¬ Tinman Prescribes lor Prosperity Thursday, July 14, 1949 For this there (a) are two reasons: The initial effect of price cuts when a trend is reversed is to create the ad¬ but vo - and well-calculated pr reductions now, with a view to maintaining _ volume, would be highly preferable to forced and possibly more drastic reductions later on.- ' . , A difficult problem of price ad¬ justment is presented by the pub¬ lic-utility services, especially transportation, where competition is not directly effective. Their prices are a substantial elemen in the cost of production of manu¬ factured goods, and, instead of falling,; they are still rising in response to past advances in the of additional price sible for the making of national expectation policy is just this: We cannot have cuts, thus further drying up de¬ cost of materials and labor. Public prosperity by getting. adjusted to mand. a tendency which is rein¬ utility commissions as well as the idea of a depression—by cut¬ forced by the fact that so many company executives have the spe¬ ting investment or employment or of the price* cuts have been so cial * responsibilities of adjusting in amount thus far; and rates in. relation to changed cost wages or essential government slight programs. We can be prosperous (h) there is the natural desire on and demand conditions, with spe¬ only by planning and working for the part of business to reduce in¬ cial emphasis upon the interests prosperity, by increasing private ventories in a period of slacken¬ investment, 'production, employ¬ ing demand before reordering on ment and normal basis purchasing power, and by carrying forward essential gov¬ a ernment programs. The whole world have been substantial. developments in - * is the watching American Our own people insist the maintenance of prosper¬ economy. upon ity, and will not tolerate a depres¬ more areas where the - even price in those declines of the economy as a whole. The process of widespread price readjustment is not pleasant nor easy to effect. .Weaker firms are Though in¬ overtaken by financial difficulties* ventories were not out of line Instances of inefficiency in man¬ with sales, business has been sen¬ agement and low productivity ot sitive to the possibility of inven¬ labor, which tend to be condoned tory losses due to price declines. in times of inflation, have to be The tendency to liquidate inven-. eliminated. These are necessary Volume 170 Number 4820 conditions for establishing economic base from which Tip! COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE a firm which, a new tended expansion can be projected. past on to occasions, undermine has probable that, orders have in many third whole the While this institutional structure. adjustments, will development prove feasible and helpful must be considered in close connection needs still further improvement in the light of ex¬ perience, there is also need for with wage and other further reduction Of the What price income ad¬ industrial justments. prices of bought by products farmers. Wage-Cutting Damaging ; Price reductions add to real in¬ consumers' if only come Summary: The Nation's Economic Budget money fourth quarter of 1949 increasingly below the in 1948* Thus, if counteracting forces are not mar¬ ment expenditures will continue shalled, it is at least possible that to give support to demand. the inventory and price adjust¬ There are other factors, how¬ ment may develop into an invest¬ ever, which could produce a fur¬ ment recession later this year or ther weakening. For example, next year. present surveys indicate that busi¬ Despite the significance of in¬ ness expenditures and investments vestment, it should be stressed in plant and equipment in the that the downturn commenced been cut below the level jus¬ cases tified markets. The expected further rise in govern¬ by income Of demand so upon largely rests. which get reflects a decline in business The at¬ activity extending over six months lower prices through wage cutting would clear¬ ly be damaging at a time like the present when consumption de¬ mand is proving inadequate and ..business slack is developing. A sound first rule to apply now is that the general level of wage rates should at least be main¬ tempt f " to secure money wages move upward the over years the gains of to * participate ;in technological progress and increased productivity. There are difficulties in applying the general principle to specific situations, but this adaptation can be worked out through sound col¬ lective bargaining. Particular con¬ sideration should be given to those #. in the lower wage brackets. * With wage negotiations now un¬ der way in a considerable num¬ ber of basic mass-production in¬ dustries, there is an impasse. While a a equally de¬ termined attitude on the part of management. Should industry¬ encourages an » the first half of 1949 while con¬ income and expenditures dropped only moderately. The de¬ leads rep¬ wage $9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) from the second half bf 1948 to This is the first half of 1949. decline of about 3^% a in current after about 6% in terms of prices.' current /'■/.; , The most conspicuous facts re¬ flected in the Nation's Economic Budget that business invest¬ shows ment from are the sharp a second'half reduction of 1948 to sumer cline in business investment at once to -tax policy and policy. I have not the time us resents trend of which in turn largely accounts for the present decline in economic ment has resulted from basic a What I Hansen memorial volume. discrepancy between the trend of want to do here is to discuss the production and rela¬ question of redistribution as a tively stable consumer demand means of getting oat of a depres¬ over the last few years. With the sion. The left-wing is now seek¬ progressive fulfillment of extraor¬ ing to encircle capitalism through dinary backlog demands over a formidable ideological pincer result, they would not and thus darken the business outlook. At the present time both employers strive and work to workers should adjustments out which will help to stimulate ac¬ tivity, bearing in mind the need both for holding business costs down and for maintaining con¬ sumer purchasing power at high levels. If wage incomes are maintained, adjusted downward. be no purpose, There would and much potential damage, in an attempt to get back drastically lower price level by wage cutting, since incorhes are now geared to prices substantially higher than before the war or immediately after the to some war. a Such an effort would involve deep and vastly unsettling de¬ cline in wages as the accompani¬ ment to to cut down its orders and to stop ; Now it corn, tobacco, j- cotton, hogs were close to or even below government support levels. Farm income as a whole has been only moderately affected, because lower prices have been in part offset by high yields. But the prospect's of another year of large crop production on top of present carry-overs indicate that the problems of supporting farm prices will be increasingly difficult. expenditure com¬ with our increasing productive capacity under maxi¬ mum employment, and for provid¬ ing a substantial basis for a sus¬ tainable high level bf investment itself.' have an infla¬ The "enough" "rich" the now; pensation and veterans' allow¬ ances, in part offsetting the de¬ If if This same. the corner. every Now it is the factor of major slump, don't a even store this year no growth which is the strategic one in oqr basic choice between adding pur¬ chasing power and redistributing it. The fundamental point to re¬ laffected. Trouble, if we do nothing about it, is probably just around member. is so simple that I almost blush to give it to you; .and yet ; ■i The reason why -trouble would be likely is that in order to have full employment the investment and construction goods industries must be tolerably prosperous. When they shut down, unless it is so overlooked today that; the economic, students in the have try probably half coun¬ forgotten This basic fundamental is it. fal¬ as lows: The expected rate of return which will keep a man in a busi¬ offsetting expansion ness already started is practically elsewhere, a "multiplier" process sets in whereby the slump spreads always very much less than the there is over we some rate of return which will the whole economy. But now to the real problem. In him for the investment goods constantly and steadily employed there must be constant and steady growth and change. That is because mere re¬ placement only takes up about industries to output. Our or socialist) is ized that if it tries to Once lattoi keep a . grasp the this distinction to needed return business merely in the rut and the return needed to induce it so organ¬ expand and change, to stand still giwv w stand still. we between so¬ it immediately runs backward. business or I am here quot¬ leading English left-wing Keynesian, almost Marxian, economist. ciety (and any growing society- capitalist a new one. induce expand his ing almost verbatim. not Adams Smith but Mrs, Joan Robinson, a be half of investment to start come order of It we . have clue which will clear up much a our modern (Continued It muse confusion. on page If we 26) Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago BOARD OF DIRECTORS "abundance." Again production. For the first half government ran a Chairmen ,? V; J.Q.ADAMS Real Estate President Statement ; ^ of Condition, June 30,1949 .'it RESOURCES - Cash and Due from Banks United States Government CARL A. BIRDSALL # 555,272,474.07 1,154,853,193.28 Obligations.. '■ Other Bonds and Securities........... 77,328,756.75 CHAUNCEY B. BORLAND Managing Owner, Borland Properties Loans and Discounts................. D.A.CRAWFORD 378,867,429.64 Stock in Federal Reserve Bank.......... President, Pullman Incorporated 4,500,000.00 ' EDWARD A. CUDAHY Customers' Chairman of the Board, The Cudahy Packing Company Income Accrued but Not Collected.....« JOHN F. CUNEO ; President, The Cunto Press, Int. Liability on 2,416,726.46 Acceptances.... j 5,792,311.89 • 9,750,000.00 Banking House......................... * . ' #2,188,780,892.09 MARSHALL FIELD President, Sun and Times Co. LAWRENCE P. FISHER Direttor, General Motora Corporation I "poverty in the midst of plenty." Ml WALTER J. CUMM1NGS supposed to be with¬ holding a great store of wealth presently existing which will give Chairman, LIABILITIES ' Deposits Commonwealth Edison Company JAMES R. LEAVELL #1,987,989,783.66 2,416,726.46 Reserve forTaxes, Interest, WILLIAM H. MITCHELL Partner, Mitchell, Hutch ins & Co. A. W.'PEAKE Reserve for v./''' and Expenses. 7,447,539.86 Contingencies..,........... 18,106,550.79 Income Collected but Not Earned....... President, Standard Oil ......... Acceptances. '■ Banker !*.' 429,457.56 Company (Indituu) Capital Stock. H. A. SCANDRETT Railroad V V CHARLES Y. FREEMAN Executive, retired 60,000,000.00 ...... Surplus 90,000,000.00 Undivided Profits 22,390,833.76 But we McCormick Estates FRANK F. TAYLOR #2,188,780,892.09 don't even at full employ¬ HERMAN WALDECK ment, even have But We don't Eaetsuhe Viet Preiidenl United States Government obligations have source "plenty." enough! there is a R. L. WILLIAMS are second, allied, of misunderstanding, and a President, Chicago and North Western Railway System pledged more ment we if could we get or at $180,732,892.54 permitted by law. CHARLES D. WIMAN Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation merely NEW YORK CORRESPONDENTS'E. J. McGRATH operated those terribly AND L. A. ANDERSON* 14 WALE STREET. at 1949 is required full employ¬ and projects now in existence. This is a somewhat subtle fallacy and it capacity carried public and trust deposits and for other fundamental one for our present purposes. That is the idea that to secure purposes as President, Deere It Company still businesses important that we > JUDSON F. STONE Vite President cline in incomes derived from cur¬ year, was "Watch durables! watch steel!" are than in manufacturing must cut corners and just say industries alone. As a strength¬ flatly that any one who looks at ening factor, there was a rise in the statistics will find that this is expenditures by Federal, State, nonsense. In the depths of a de¬ and local governments, as indi¬ pression there is always a,discrep¬ cated in the Nation's Economic ancy, sometimes a scandalous one, Budget table. Some of these ad¬ between the living standards peo¬ ditional government expenditures ple are actually enjoying and those are reflected directly in an in¬ they could receive. It is easy (for those who have an axe to grind) crease in transfer incomes derived from rising unemployment com¬ to dramatize and magnify this into the I the great aggregate of that let yourself be misled by the fact that consumption is at first un- ■ rent earlier they begin ing industries was curtailed, em¬ pseudo scientists into feeling that ployment in most other activities even if we ceased to increase our was maintained or increased (after production there would already be ment said that realized be that retail is selling as mudi prophet and no forecaster. But I as it sold last year we have rid am a student of the business cycle guarantee that a depression will and I can give you one very sim¬ not be in the offing. For it Is ple test by which you can tell growth that we need for full em¬ whether we are in danger of a ployment. serious decline. That test is this: n The sharp cut in industrial pro¬ deficit, as compared with a sur¬ vulnerability of a small- plus in the preceding period. Some conditions are now favor¬ unit industry whose markets are dominated by exchange and auc¬ able for a reversal of the down¬ tion methods of sale has led to ward trend in industrial produc¬ the development during the past tion and employment. Inventories 20 years of governmental price in several lines of business already supports to agriculture. It is now have been brought into a better widely recognized that this insti- relationship with sales, there are tutional development has pro¬ indications that prices are being tected the economy against a dan¬ brought into a better relationship ger of collapse in a major segment with disposable incomes, and it is . , must everyone and ' total mensurate change to remain the talk decreased much less in the sity of maintaining adequate buy¬ ing power is to be found in the agricultural situation. The decline in the prices of farm products, which began early last summer., was not arrested until the prices . taining and expendi¬ . - . maintenance consumer essential both for main¬ are means I somehow wheat, tures should understand where the mis¬ lose. a prolonged period of se¬ depression. From that, prac¬ allowance for seasonal variation). tically no one would gain; the Thus productive activity, employ¬ economy would lose tragically. ment, and personal incomes de¬ Another example of the neces¬ rived from productive employ¬ of The stimulation of take lies. majority of people who this way are probably per¬ fectly sincere about it. We are not duction and the inventory decline dealing just with crookedness, or had oniy a moderate effect on foolishness, but with real misun¬ consumer income and expenditures derstanding. And, if one traces for the first half of 1949 as a. that misundertsanding to the whole. A noticeable decline started, roots, I believe it will be found to however, in the second quarter. have a twofold source. In the The relatively high level of the first place many people have been first half of the year has been due misled by all the articles in the to the fact that, while employ¬ Sunday supplements and the in¬ ment in manufacturing and min¬ flammatory talk of irresponsible accumulation; vere , we to 12 months a slack first in the demand at tion many of them will say that prices for certain lux¬ wages ought to be raised to "main¬ tain the standard of living." If we and subsequently for have a depression, they will say one category after another of con¬ sumers'/ and producers' goods. they ought to be raised to "main¬ If we With production increasing more tain purchasing power." have a boom profits ought to be than consumption inventories taxed to "keep down prices." If were built up steadily. As con¬ we have a slump they ought to be sumers failed to absorb promptly taxed to "maintain purchasing the growing flow of goods, swell¬ power." Heads I win, tails you ing inventories induced business and recently to reverse inventory this obviously places a limit upon the extent to which prices can be If movement. merely reduce the spending abil¬ the past 6 ity of the directly affected work¬ developed ers, but would also spread loss of prevailing production and income to other ury' items areas output, mar¬ in line with total The Budget, the Business Cycle and labor, the uncertain business situ¬ increasing wide strikes failure of consumer a kets to expand j largely a reversal in the to discuss the arguments of those inventory accumulation, who want to redistribute as a matter of long run moral reform. I have treated that point in some possibility of still very high activity. This inventory adjust¬ detail in my essay in the Alvin cost of living encourages a deter¬ mined attitude on the part of ation with and run levels attained - (Continued from page 17) practically by having in mind ap¬ propriate measures, and, still more important, we ought to be pre¬ pared mentally, and morally, so that we will neither be stampeded into panic, nor yet rushed into a siUy or disastrous policy. Outlining then the basic ele¬ ments of policy which we should adopt, I submit that a serious dec 1 i n e in industrial production ought to be dealt with by a policy of adding purchasing power-rather than redistributing it, and by a policy designed merely to com¬ pensate for the irregularities of an unplanned society rather than to direct it. Let us see why this is so. Beginning with the problem of redistribution, we find that it Hie Budget total, or gross national product, declined about or more. dollars, or about 1%% allowing for declining prices. The percentage drop from the tained. Beyond that, there Is a fourth quarter of last year to the strong presumption in favor of second quarter of this year was having may 25 not are sources current , correspondingly For the first time since the im¬ reduced. This leads to special con¬ mediate postwar readjustment pe¬ cern for protecting those major riod, the Nation's Economic Bud¬ incomes (181) Last Chicago Railroad Fair—June 25 - October 2 year's Chicago Railroad Fair railroads are was enjoyed by 2Va million people. This year the sponsoring another season of the Fair by popular request, with many jpew exhibits, and added features. , 26 THE (182) I COMMERCIAL suggest risking any cash on * * FINANCIAL CHRONICLE * (Continued from page 25) Markets As in Walter Whyte trader I'm interested a only one stocks at them at one thing. Buying price and selling higher price in the reasonably near future. That chances of higher prices in By WALTER WHYTE; the reasonably near future President's message; strike don't seem particularly news will rule market for bright, so the advice contin¬ time being. No immediate ues—stay on the sidelines. market change indicated. * * * a Says— From If there is chances in¬ market of news almost increase will terest the on now that are ter of Last week it was the ing, weekly. anything in the foreseeable future in the mat¬ that is encourag¬ news is it that dealing with Federal Reserve Board's deci¬ strikes and threats of strikes. sion the on selling of govern¬ This week it ment securities. be will President's the mes¬ This is kind of left-handed a reasoning and I'll try to plain it. * be broadcast Wednes¬ day night. sage to Strikes ' * ex¬ he'll get is question a pretty well do what distribution. to have A we low can it would be better operative dividends increases. profit or But if rise I ematics may want we production taxes on This column hurt las stock a will be. come It know does deeper meanings of Presi¬ dent Truman's have all will message market of sorts percussions. re¬ % * * I have been cautious about buying for some position I don't particularly care for. Not only advising does it But plus increases, as Brokers inaction but it can't make any unless there's buying and selling. What is more im¬ portant is that the reader can't make any profits unless he does something in * the money market. X I fail to po¬ anything see. in the current, or other stands I know the ket has gone up a past week or the see up trader positive I'm quite cal. I can more Morals like Yet, to as a see more rather action be sold. :o sells md there for his mar¬ ;rader also is lews news is good buyers bidding are stock. The buys bad nake the system. Orders Executed * *. In the past week or ten lays stocks have rallied. They are now at is point where a almost favor such a such of a a But reaction that Stock Exchange New York Curb Exchange (Associate) San Francisco Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade N. Y. Teletype NY 1-928 * * Wires to Principal Offices ( ' > some sort July, maybe before signal Until it is Hme views do not coincide Chronicle. any will seen our we be will time. which in this necessarily at any with of the They are presented as (Special to The Financial Chronicle) MASS. —Alfred C. Yeager are accumulate in the demand." left-wing tends' vulnerable equally error. apt to suppose are "supply al¬ own to art' They that "Demand supply." own Remember what said earlier we its get ways goods? more The answer They of may existing stocks, but if the retailer expects no profit will he always place a smoothly. new order for more? If the manu¬ true that if facturer expects little or no profit," his take a will he all The chances self-imposed line ourselves Some will do we in may gov¬ isting try to expand his plant? 1 that are than more capacity of at best we keep the ex¬ the makers of goods occupied. There consumers will be little growth, hence unem-:, ployment in the investment goods increase But the intense democratic vulnerability of socialism to Increased money demand forgoods need not result in a greater will in my opin¬ pressure groups cut down its net soon tion. a security ion had that the other¬ inflation of gives kick-back certain plausibility to de¬ a mands for drastic demand for labor. ; , ; ? produc¬ the last considerable few years part from a of them is to deferred and to feel that the out of get depress a on way by is "balancing the budget," cutti g, prices and (in most cases) cutt'ng wages too. Now it cannot be denied that' the anti-saving propaganda of the Great Depres¬ redistribution. But, before we accept uncritically sion. But there are a number of such a point of view, there are economists who will say that on in many cases particular indus¬ things to remember. average our saving has been "too First of all, and always, we great," tries may, as the expression goes,' that once the postwar should remember that our prob¬ boom is over we will be con¬ "price themselves out of the mar¬ many lem is and not of one just food clothes and of money. Our present output is not sufficient to one give everyone have come to regard as the essen¬ tials of "decent" a matter have o and how This of most livelihood evenly it means us that is — want we want we supposing fronted by do growth chronic of excess ket." sav¬ Coal seems to be well s'al- ed that way, and the railroads, too. Also, as in the instances just giv-j en, the main impetus for this and refer you to my books and to i over-pricing may often come more the articles and speeches of Pro-j from the Again I will have to cut tain Slichter. corners union If we can main-' some can, as we wooden leader heads," the* Mr. A thur them. I doubt as Koestler has called all wish, continue then "Men of iron wills and company. approach to our present consumption levels, still more if we more a ing. fessor dis¬ growth. more if But what if there is any more serious mis-;: to grow, our economy is still sub¬ understanding of the economic than the supposition that1 wage increases can alwrays come out of profits. Nearly all economic American standard of living, the ment; and continued investment, theorists, even most of those' sole large-scale source of saving whose specialty is labor economicsprivate or government, if it is not and investing now surviving is in will, I believe, concede 0 caipse inflation, will demand that, at" this, country. It would be a des¬ least continued saving. If' our redis'trisometimes, money wage in- * perate tragedy for the human race creases will not be butive program cripples the long able to ' cutif the United States ceased to be run motive for saving then our into profits at all except at the' an investing nation. next boom is likely to be expense of investment, output, or' highly Finally we come to the notion employment. Assuming that we' inflationary. In other words, a that- even if more :ound economic' policy - cannot growth is want to maintain output, price re¬ merely be improvised with ref¬ needed this can only take place if ductions may therefore be severe-* erence to the demands of the mo¬ people's consumption habits rise ly limited by the level of wages in ment. We have got to look ahead and that the only way to get them the industry concerned. to rise is by increasing wages and and see what is coming. If the But, if in one of these over¬ habit of saving is on average a cutting profits. There are three priced industries management and; aseful one, then we would be points to remember here. In the labor could very get together to cut foolish to liquidate it for the sake first place it has been shown sta¬ prices and wages, it might wellof a short-run emergency — even tistically that the proportional turn out, other things being equal, supposing (which I doubt) that spending habits of the economy do that both sides would find them-* we the get stantially under-equipped. Fur¬ industry started again, thermore, if the rest of the world ,ve must remember that continued is to approach anything like an growth demands continued invest¬ of process - such a liquidation would do any C. Another idea which is important is the notion that growth be "planned" if it is to be of themselves and that if tuations over we within can bounds not expect a permanent sumption. as the longkeep fluc¬ some and the con¬ But could not planning This be matter no who ■ technical points there is mere did it. question. thesis, furthermore, has been American • by not only by reviewers of \ 'I. 1 • :' y I 1 ; all «' , f really tax increases, raise the ' believe not that this And I certainly do notcan be used as an* cure for unemployment. The right-wing policy, no less than theleft, must be tested in reVion to a its effect new on economic growth and investment. Can anyone plausibly maintain that phere of continuing ba«ic price cuts and wage in a1 able living tion standards of the poor to any great book my and slump, larrer argument for general indiscrimi¬ nate price and wage redoction rs* Would drastic wage in¬ creases the one do believe that it change, important, any avoided I pression. technical more with they type of policy alone can be relied' upon always to get us out of a de-i els. It can fall suddenly though consumption be rising steadily (as economy which tries to give the was the case, in 1929). It can rise public "what thev want when they though consumption be falling as want it" will be liable to recurrent has frequently occurred. threats of "over" expansion which "But beyond and behind all those permits still off and than and/or price cuts. wage more that at length in my little book, the rising. In the third place, invest¬ "Economics of Disturbance." In it ment is not rigidly and mechan¬ 1 have shown that any economy ically geared to consumption lev¬ which better had before/ This is the argument for selective need we lag in of selves incomes a depression is simple-minded Keynesian's have Again -raising consumption solely the result of "lack of plan¬ said. ning." I have discussed this thesis by redistribution does not keep it stable with Edward conceded Co., 53 State Street. rise run good. i But its general expansion a equally is too afraid to in and, Three With E. E. Mathews John -v maintain is wise would have been spent. This must Whyte. those creates ways super-orthodox' said as a industries may continue. More might at spending does not automatically first be generated by government translate itself into more produc-; have here expressed who it the; and tivity almost to nil. thing to do is to cut down on sav¬ In the light of these Coming back, now, to the main principles, ing by redistributing wealth and thread of our argument, I have it Js time to discuss a program raising money wages. In that way, pointed out that if the habit of which we have so far overlooked they say, we will get the money saving is on average desirable and —the program of the extreme "spent" which is "being hoarded." If left-wing writers, necessary, we would be foolish to right-wing. Now it cannot be denied that liquidate it in a slump. For social tends to forget the factors I have once a serious industrial decline habits of this sort cannot be al¬ been discussing, right-wing think¬ gets under way some money will tered just overnight. The great ers are apt to be h.voerconscious; , Thursday. those of the author only.] E. Mathews i to those 15 of on . on Sheffield, Joseph M. Warren and Barbara Monterey—Oakland——Sacramento ■ is * of August BOSTON, ' Rosa it I think it will take the rest [The Members may base will be built. irticle Fresno—Santa news reaction, I think —Walter Schwabacher & Co. a imminent. fact that the The on New York 5, I just live it. oy ust have to bide Pacific Coast Exchanges Francisco—Santa is we vheels More next OOrttandt 7-4150 there to say that much" saving tributed. worthwhile Securities 14 Wall Street when the and declining prices. Maybe the ystem is wrong. But I don't leen. York shrewd it whole. approaching the problem of a depression. Whenever we have a slump there will immediately be people last ernment direction of business for no than Pacific Coast San stock The shrewd trader of the month of Private cyn- when the part New the highly and in the is coincidental. less of negative action before , that aware above attitude is reaction possibility of it days. I'd mar¬ little in the ten days. bit a few next opportunities. recent, mar¬ ket action that warrants any going likely that such a bring in addiional selling. It is just that kind of selling that creates will to unions; it is also true of the "too of economists I they (part gains, then is "not necessarily." find ourselves clear the shelves chance ra it % Despite this unpopular also also off order . ilenty of stock being offered v s*s sition is ell in everyone keep start It position that is re¬ kets, however, have little in common. Stocks were made highly unfavorable. a garded threats ible that stocks will sell off. a mean also is strike current any new It is wdeks. Should week develop into action it is prob- that for at least the next the if the than more ridicule theory always creates its a rom *; During, the much years that are does not always proceed net no chances not. justified) has been heaped I consider it appear profit expectation building a new plant will poverty. Not only is this true of a num¬ *eep the private economy in. an ber of ndefinite slump. private businesses and or tock reflects it almost imme¬ doesn't know what the out¬ just temporarily. underlying such end unemployment? or the heads a It is true that which leaves the businessman lit¬ he think probably all cutting one another's throats. profits wage of will we ployment in our society, then the picture changes entirely. A commoney and extent, would particular prices and .he standard of living to increase or even if we only want full em¬ of Economist" almost at time duction tc want we several utterly vicious. The reason is that about the need of incentives for "back-logs" are not wholly me¬ growth. Increased money wages chanical things. If every vested and increased taxation of "hoards"' interest of both labor and man¬ may,, it is true, result in more agement starts to hold back pro¬ spending, but will the people al¬ interest. significantly, and if by inevitably take planned slowdown. And however beautiful the math¬ develop productivity theory here, and in any event wage theory is not im¬ mediately relevant. It is enough to realize that a stationary society would not require much or any ever, will the form cannot, how¬ academic marginal wage "London sion than rather also one The attempt to direct production so as to avoid depres¬ "cut to but including in advance the gravy" through co¬ on read the "Economic Journal." capital would be enough. There to be sure, still good reasons why socialism ;he are, labor in have English reviewers, for example in return Considerations such as these get arguments about diately. Yet, I know of no from either side of the polit¬ single instance where a strike give us the necessary background fence. leading economic theorists of you can ical I of the are, wish with we very Cycle and Russia whom we then, within broad limits, .onstant always been * * % regarded as market calam¬ ities. If a major company is How much of what Presi¬ faced with labor unrest, its dent Truman asks from Con¬ gress, only want to stay where oination # Thursday, July 14, 1949 The Budget, the Bnsiness the outcome. Tomorrow's & | to new seems servative an atmos-; deflation,j cuts', is favor¬ investment? The posi¬ me absurd. So con¬ to a writer i •: * as Processor . t Number 4820 Volume 170 THE COMMERCIAL, &. FINANCIAL CHRONICLE, Schumpeter points out that the de¬ flationary process may go far be¬ yond the point of any possible promptly and without further de¬ lay ratify the ITO and Continue the reciprocal trade program so, as start the Federal Government into usefulness. to make it continue, There however, is, final one to possible for our friends solvent without further keep argument which, it seems to me, casts the balance overwhelmingly loans from in favor of them, or them to policy putting more maintaining purchas¬ than cutting prices. a emphasis on ing power all ways at once. has got to grow up. It has got to stop thinking locally. It has got to realize that we stand today with our backs to the. wall ideologically. Our tragedy is that yve think (too much in political -terms .and not enough in economic I ones.' 10 times am economic of isolationism than Russia. But the would lend to can give or There are in massive we. might It fifth first instance should in not mated. power us onward time it will send same to renewed a and vigorous achievement. (Continued from first page) tions I slogans time must of political isolationism. All during the last few years when the representatives of the United lead the unthinking! may come sooner Of course, the 6t later when the true inward¬ am ness much moved, their opponents have said: You will let the over mysterious situa¬ soon ' The British are short not of dollars but of goods and they "apparently now claim as some sort of God-given right, but which they can not or will not make for themselves and which they can not buy abroad for the ; All during the la?t few years, simple reason that they have not produced the quid pro quo when we have been plugging the m goods and services which foreigners want. In plain, blunt freedom and the wealth of the language, Britain is pdverty-stricken. In ordinary words, United States, and of democratic, capitalist countries generally, the moreover, Britain is how in the hands of a ruling clique representatives of the Soviet of radicalism which insists that each and every subject of Union have said>: "Wait. They may the realm must have this and that, which in the very nature be better off now, but soon they of the case he can have only if he produces vastly more than will be selling apples on the streets of Detroit once more." Now he is producing,; or, of course, only if some one who does we seem to have reached the test. produce the goods is willing more or less in perpetuity to And once more I ask you: Shall carry these subjects of His Majesty on their charity list. your we go last few years We gradually increasing recovery in the non-Communist European countries. The Com¬ munist ideology seems to be wan¬ ing. We have begun to talk of a "year of balance" in 1952 or 1950. We the seen have able been to cut —but The for aid be once more — if indeed that long.; , , that as a right trouble is lack of production. been soothe^! iulq. a state of semi-lethargy by the granof the socialistic regime which has been in power almost ever sihce the war, and by its ability, re¬ peatedly demonstrated, to persuade or cajole the people of the United States into supplying what was necessary. diose phrases clamoring , An Awakening Due we live. "Shortage of Dollars" cliche had best be forgotten. Stanley Group Sells $150,000,000 Morgan Standard Oil of New Jersey Debentures Largest Industrial Debt Issue Ever Offered banking group headed by Morgan Stanley & Co. a issue offered industrial debt<§> history of American announced $150,000,000 refinery at Fawley, England. V '■=''<■ in the .-finance. •• Proceeds of the issue will, be replenish working capital being depleted by capital expendi¬ tures and to provide funds fox fur¬ ther capital outlays by the com¬ pany and subsidiaries. Primarily a holding company, Standard Oil Co. (New Jersey) was incorporated in 1882. Its sub¬ ; sidiaries and companies in which it has investments operate in the Western Hemisphere, Europe, North Africa, the Middle East and used to the Far East. The European and North African subsidiaries of the company have regained control of their proper¬ ties except in those countries un¬ Communist-dominated gov¬ der ernment have control, and in most cases able been war levels. rebuild to businesses to reach or their exceed pre¬ Y(\ . ■ Consolidated gross operating in¬ come in 1948 amounted to $3,300,- '000,000 compared with $2,355,000,000 in Consolidated 1947. net 1948 was $366,000,000 Approximately 50% of the $1,- which after adjustment for prior 859,000,000 net property, plant and years charges amounted to $378,equipment of the company and its 000.000. This compares with $260,r in 1947. The company Western Hemisphere subsidiaries 000,000 represents facilities for oil pro¬ estimates earnings for the first duction and exploration. In 1948. half of 1949 to be about 30% below ' Y re¬ more important world factors. The publicly For that lack Government, with its nationalization schemes talk about capital investment and all the rest, must bear a heavy responsibility. But after all, the British are able at any moment they wish to discard all this nonsense* along with those who presistently preach it. The fact of the matter is, we suspect, that the rank and fileof the people of that country have long what then Now real or once public offering July 13 of $150,000X00 Standard Oil Co. (New Jersey) 25-year 2%% debentures, due 1974 at 100'%% and accrued interest. The issue which was heavily oversubscribed, is the largest end be quite futile. and its grandiose they survive V - as made the Labor down our allies will its insistence would! in the normal question is this; Can and will the British An investment plight of the British flows from deep light-headed government could insist all it wished that the rank and file have this gifts and loans to Europe. But all of this depends upon the United States continuing to be a good place to sell in. If we let ourselves go now and permit a major decline to get underway, the budding recovery of Europe ;will be wrecked, the communists will once more become arrogant and ascendant and our frightened on The real the A sources. a near produce abundantly and competitively? Will they per* mit conditions which encourage such production? If not, their day is done. If so, they may yet re-emerge through all that—Again? During have, this real world in which services which But somewhere conditions as the price conditions imposed would vanish. Except, possibly in abnormally feverish times of shortages^ the loose British talk about quality justifying the high prices asked simply is not in correspondence with Poverty-Stricken national no turned, that market Under world, particularly in the United States of America. your income drop, then raise tariffs and ruin us as you did in the thirties." Now today we seem to have reached the pay-off. I ask you gentlemen, are we to re¬ peat the folly of 1929—Again?! or damage is done both the British nation and its friends all "We dare not let our economy get too tied up with yours. 'You are unstable. particularly, complex tion will appear so plainly that he who runs may read. It can only be hoped that the day will arrive before too "States have tried to get trade bar¬ riers and trade restrictions re¬ too of this not is longer a creditor nation. Her position in banking, insurance and shipping has to be regained in the mo$t competitive of markets. Obviously, then* com¬ parison of British production or exports with prewar has little real meaning. They must be immensely greater, and the production must occur ~&t cost levels that enable the goods to find markets in other countries. It is at this point that Britain is very weak. Loud lamentations are heard about the "depression" in the United States and the van¬ ished demand for British, goods here. To those familiar with the prices which have been charged for these goods in the past two or three years, all this appears as some sort of a ghastly jest. Britain must have known all along that the volume Of sales she was making in this country arose solely out of the scarcity of goods in this country,, and that as and stimulating growth at and the consum¬ A Hard Row Ahead Britain wage increases. by stabilizing purchasing Bather 27 r my round one the soon outlay want to dis¬ undone in this respect the second left War capital opinion encourage labor in fourth and no policy I would suggest not which of As We afraid more We buy froilt them, other alternatives. That is the international situation. America We cannot have.it us. lot a (183) v profit in specific policy .do I suggest? First of all I would like to stress what; I < began by saying: I am no prophet. I do not know whether we are really going to have a major decline. But I think we should be prepared; Yet, if there does appear danger of a major recession, then I think we should unbalance the budget and not merely: in a niggardly and due for a sad awakening. When it will come no one.ean say, but the sooner the better. They have a severe trial ahead of them, not for a few days as at Dunkirk, or for a few weeks as in the Battle of Britain, these subsidiaries produced almost but over the years that stretch to horizon.. There are those 400,000,000 barrels of oil, while their net purchases amounted to who doubt very seriously whether the resources of the 128,000,000 barrels; The more im¬ British Isles, can support in any degree of comfort as many portant producing affiliates of the people as now live on them. Whether that is true or not company are Humble Oil & Refin¬ Yet, on the other have so sympathy with those who wish to parallel the pri¬ vate economy with a new govern¬ ment, sector, to subsidize over¬ priced unions of industries, or to It appears ing Company and The Carter Oil TORONTO, ONT., CANADA.— that there are doubters in Great Britain itself in view of Company in the United States and Announcement is made of the Creole Petroleum Corporation in amalgamation of Geo. W. Blaikie efforts to settle and develop some of the other parts of the. Venezuela. Imperial Oil Limited & Co. and Cassels, Son & Co., as globe. But what no one in his right senses can fail to be a subsidiary which operates in of July 1, under the firm: name perfectly certain of is the fact that the resources of the Canada, has made important dis¬ of Cassels, Blaikie & Co. The new passive hand, I way. direct the flow of net new invest¬ ment; • What shall we'do? Our task it seems to ; > me is ac¬ tually much easier than it was in 1929, if only we will assume it. What I suggest is not to reduce government expenditures, nor yet, least, great¬ ly to increase them.. By this I do not mean to approve some adjust¬ ment to help efficiency. What 1 would suggest would be rather a in the first instance at drastic reduction of taxes all along the line—not merely to increase consumption but also to give in¬ centive for I believe new investment. fundamentally favorable, fect of such If as basic situation is still our an the ef¬ inflationary stim¬ would, I believe, in itself suf¬ fice to ward off major deflation; ulus and we might; indeed, soon find needing to revise our ourselves policy and put the taxes back up again. So far as our world concerned, I believe struggle is we ought \ The _ people of Great Britain we'll leave to are others to decide for British Islesxan not be support1 its present population with a forgotten that long yes people, thehrnot nearly so numerous as they are now, to other lands, invested their spare income all over the world. They, moreover, served the remain¬ der of the world as banker, as carrier of insurance, as ■ , "j" r . ways. It was in to feel early years were number of other a able to live as well as so they number of other lands even before World War I "came to take large blocks of this income from them permanently. Cassels, Blaike Co* Formed in Toronto What the first World of Alberta. in Jersey firm, which is Toronto a Stock interest maintain offices Oil Com¬ Street. Partners in Arabian-American member of the Exchange, will 16 at are Jordan Gordon T. which operates in the Middle Cassels, G, Reed Blaikie, Sydney East, and a 50% interest in Stand¬ W. Smith, William J. Loveys and ard-Vacuum Oil Company which Norman R. Young. operates in South Africa, India Cassels, Son & Co. was founded pany and the Far East. in 1877; George W, Blaikie & was established in 1907. Co. —5 New York Stock Exchange from deprecia¬ Weekly Firm Changes tion and depletion, and earnings The New York Stock Exchange retained in the business. It is ex¬ has announced the following firm pected that capital expenditures changes: for the most part ♦ in 1949 will remain near the 1948 level of of this century. They had begun competition from period of 1948. Standard also has a 30% ^ery substantial part from income derived that the British did in the a Province the $1,582,000,000 which were financed journeyed supplier of shipping services, and in coveries in" the last 12 months During the five years ended Dec. 31, 1948, expenditures for property and plant amounted to long the British years, decades (we had almost said centuries) ago ■ same themselves. reasonably good standard of living unless, and until, the British show that they can and will make much more of the resources than they are now doing. And some measure of the improvement in production that is required can be had by reference to the fact that at no time in history have those islands^upported any "such population. Let it not the $529,000,000., Arthur H. Bunker retired from partnership Total crude oil refinery runs of in Lehman Bros. June 30. Lustig, member of the Exchange, withdrew from sphere in 1948 averaged 1,390,000 partnership in B. H. Roth & Co. barrels daily. The companys re¬ on July 7. finery expansion program includes Interest of the late Richard A. subsidiaries in the Western Hemi¬ a $175,000,000 project at Amuay Bay, Venezuela, and a recently Jerome B. Kebbon. in Kebbon, Co. ceased July 6. McCormick & 28 Thursday, July CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (184) Activity Indications of Current Business The following statistical tabulations shown in first column production and other figures for the latest week or month available (dates or month ended on that date, or, in cases of quotations, are as of that date): cover either for the week are Latest operations (percent of capacity) steel Indicated Equivalent to—■ ' .-'i iv//;'/; v;.. '• V castings (net tons)————— . - July July July —July and distillate fuel oil. output (bbls.)—.———— July Residual fuel oil output (bbls.) ——— July Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and. in pipe linesFinished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at— —July 2 (bbls.)-. (bbls.)—— output Kerosene output J— —— Gas, oil, Kerosene at (bbls.t Residual fuel at at (bbls.) oil July July July — distillate fuel oil (bbls.) Gas, oil, and (BUREAU ALUMINUM aluminum in the U. 8. (in short tons)—Month of April———— Stocks of aluminum—short tons—end of Mar. 5,483,800 §5,701,000 5.322,000 5,341,000 18,244,000 1,574,000 1,658,000 5,440,000 5,148,000 7,856,000 1,722,000 5,959,000 7,827,000 §9,055,000 7,733,000 2 of §18,041,000 §2,116,000 §7,185,000 13,498,000: 115.715.000 114,000,000 119,106,000 April: Total 23,617,000 21,858.000 58,597,000 Natural 66,146.000 64,063,000 gasoline RAILROADS: AMERICAN OF Revenue freight products 2 644,182 802.941 698,824 2 559,030 573,848 564,192 CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING RECORD: Total U. 640,258 Slab ■ $138,526,000 $180,900,000 $226,161,000 >• • 96.484,000 137,222,000 95,642,000 84,416,000 88,939,000 100,043,000 68,675,000 7 64,839.000 61,621,000 64,455,000 7 30,803,000 22,795,000 24,484,000 Federal Beehive coke (tons)— — — July July —July — New ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: (in 000 kwh.)__ 1,360.000 2 2 2 1,139.000 ; 104,200 33,000 STREET, INC. (tons *52,689 69,402 *75,830 43,160 42,705 58,644 69,345 $15,743, 360 end of at 68,303 77,537 74,054 67,086 ; period 4,982,173 ,5,410,392 5,300,091 4,760,316 153 177 174 VALUATION (tons)— — ... DUN 6c INC.—215 CITIES—Month $18,842,667 $15,783,492 71,679, 066 65,937,616 86,795,445 36,416, 666 35,885.670 30,726,324 86,694, 490 >43,937; 872 83,446,186 "47,565,461 47,664,798 J 18,772, 574 1 18,660,959 22,400^568 12,723,982 .i 64,935,015 75,605,873 $347,997,556 " 38,753.201 $353,039,653 47,943,465 ; —' 1 -— \ Central — — 11,488, 857' ■ Mountain 265 —July 7 — v- — 8,068,000 82,796 Central West 2^100 • 259 247 237 2 —- ——————————— Total 8F BRAD- 6c 182.950,000 555,000 Central 1 .65,848, 188 $330,581,073 States United York City 38,898,668 " — v of New York Clty__ 63,359,155 10,708,903 ' 305,096,193 291,682,405 / 309,244,355: (BUREAU OF MINES)—Month COAL OUTPUT of INDUSTRIAL)—DUN AND 190,375,000 28,000 / Atlantic June: and coal Bituminous (COMMERCIAL 5,048,000 — Atlantic South 100.000 964,000 *73,300 63.000 East 3,678,000 9 .July Electric output '•IFALLURES grades all England Outside - 5.107,000 of. May: New (EDISON 9,757,000 5,832,000 (tons)——T—' period BRADSTREET, 54,663.000 14,012,000 9,990.000 ♦11.850.000 SALES STORE output, PERMIT Pacific INDEX—FEDERAL RESERVE SYS¬ TEM—11)35-39 AVERAGE=100 July DEPARTMENT 11,085,000 Month of 2,000 lbs.)— of orders Middle COAL OUTPUT (U. 8. < — INC, lbs.) end BUILDING South BUREAU OF MINES): Bituminous coal and lignite (tons) Pennsylvania anthracite (tons) 11,952,000 $168,718,000 42,884,000 July _—; municipal and State 7 7 7 f construction Public July —July July July 11,000 : INSTITUTE, (tons at Unfilled ——— 11,676,000 11,000 —_——— (bbls.) smelter 2.000 Stocks >"■' ■ —'+ 164,509,000 12,772,000 imports ZINC zinc of NEWS- ENGINEERING construction S. construction Private . — 176,213,00(1 161,955,000 12,335,000 — of June: 757,278 July 174,738,000 150,354,000 5,835,000 (bbls.)— output stock Increase—all Shipments CIVIL 162,700 000 i,—. '■ (bbls.)— §47,538,000 >July (number of cars) received from connections 9,253 (bbls.) : Indicated consumption—domestic and export §60,926,000 ^ freight loaded (number of cars) Revenue 11,786 of 42-gal- (bbls. output (bbls.)— imports <bbls.)_ AMERJ.CAN ASSOCIATION 11,746 —i.— oil output Refined §18,733,000 65,741,000 2 23.313,000 63.049.000 production crude Domestic Benzol 53,277 . domestic .Ions- each). :■■■ §104,145,000 64,587,000- 2 2 lignite 35,274.000 47,470,000 3,407,000 tons). (net Beehive coke v: (net tons)- 53,118,000 *4,403,000 Pennsylvania anthracite (net tons)—— • 4,590,000 561,300 *539,500 279,700 " ■ COKE -ARON AGE COMPOSITE PRICES: Finished steel (per lb.) Pig iron , , —— ton) (per gross ' , ■- —-— Scrap steel (per gross ton)— METAL PRICED (E. — J. QUOTATIONS): 6c M. July ———July July 3.705C $45.9r $45.91 ■$.45.91 $40.51 $19.33 5 5 5 : > $19.33 $2L67 $40.91 Straits Lead tin York) (New (New York) ' Louis') (St. Lead Zinc (East St. —July July July at at at— July July —— at Louis) -— Beehive DAILY PRICES BOND OF •17.325c 15.925c '17.750c 21.550c 103.000c 103.000c 103.000c 16.525c l— Average corporate Aaa 12.000c 6 12.000c 12.000c 11.830c 11.850c 17.300c 9.000c 10.750c 12.000c • " A 9.000c 6 Group Sale Group Industrials Group DAILY Government Bonds U. 8, YIELD BOND 103.37 113.50 113.31 119.41 119.20 118.80 118.2C 117.80 117.60 117.40 116.2: 112.56 112.37 112.37 112.5' 104.83 107.98 108.81 Spinning 114.46 114.21; Active 117.80 117.60 117.40 117.2C Active spindle hours per July 12 2.2S 2.26 2.99 3.00 2.71 . Public Group 2.76 2.77 2.78 2.8- 3.03 3.04 3.04 3.o: 3.46 3.47 3.46 3.3: 3.30 3.31 3.28 3.2: July 12 July 12 Group Utilities 2.63 July 12 1 Railroad 2,765 2,816. 96 3 932 . 23.782,000 spindles 23,783,000 23.742,000 \ 19,862,000 19,801,000 21,723,000 7,358,000 7,442,000 10,030,000 325 2.90 2.91 2.93 2.9' 2.76 2.77 2.73 337.9 333.7 342.1 , 327 284 *293 303 267 May— spindle in place, May STORE SALES (FEDERAL *288 289 ♦ > " 450 RE¬ SYSTEM)—(1935-39 Average=100) - ,, . of June: Adjusted for seasonal variation Without seasonal adjustment—.— July 12 Baa Month 2.9f 2.7' 2.69 July 12 July 12 — 3,245 *; COMMERCE) OF spindle hours (000's omitted) SERVE 2.4* 2.38 2.98 July 12 - 3,258 2,745 in place on May 31 active on May 31 104.66 114.85 — A , 6,993.^ — — (DEPT. 107.44 July 12 Aa • 6,991 : - 107:62 AVERAGES: 1,536 2,054 969 Spinning spindles 107.0f 3,590 2,241 2,275 3,728 credit SPINNING COTTON . 3,249 credit Single payment loans Service - 4,115 Charge accounts 113.31 113.12 $14,311 7,318 ■ 4,173 6,963 credit Noninstalment 101.2'' 101.63 103.27 July 12 Aaa 8,631 4^16 2,325 104.83 . - ' 2,386 ; V $15,622 < 8,884- V 4,711 115.04 corporate Average $15,847 . Automobile DEPARTMENT MOODY'S short-term credit July 12 .— .— , Utilities Public 801,900 of May 31: as credit consumer Other July 12 . Railroad 599,400 FEDERAL THE OF July 12 --July 12 Baa 5,746,000 632,943 1,472,537 ' July 12 «. ; ^5,760,570 .. 539,454 1,747,677 - Instalment credit 17.500c 11.850c July 12 July 12 Aa ': ft 6,345,400 *;• * 1 (net tons) SYSTEM—Estimated in millions credit Total AVERAGES: Bonds Government S. 6,393,513 ; j> 5,798,230 ————: tons) GOVERNORS RESERVE 21.200c 15.700c 15.925c 103.00Qc 66 6 July 12 July 12 U. (net coke 6,33.7,684 t —.— — Oven coke (net tons)— ^ Loan MOODY'S tons)— May: CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING—BOARD July 6 refinery at refinery at Export (net Oven coke stocks at end of month Electrolytic copper— Domestic MINES)—Month of OF (BUREAU Production 3.211r 3.705c 1:3.705c % \ J , .•, 54,852 INSTITUTE—Month PETROLEUM Crude-oil 2 : ■. 54,076 174,649.000 1,636,600 18,462,000 115,241,000 Ago . MINES)— OF Production of primary 4.889,150 4,889,400 4,819,990 2 2 2 2 to runs Gasoline 90.8 1,598,300 1,128,200 Year Month : AMERICAN INSTITUTE: J. average (bbls. of 42 gallons each)stills—daily average (bbls.)—■_ — AMERICAN PETROLEUM Crude oil output—daily Crude Month Ago 83.7 61.2 1,434,300 July 17 Steel ingots and Ago Previous Latest Year Month Week 77.8 July 17 —— Previous Week AND STEEL INSTITUTE: AMERICAN IRON 1949 14, •: FACTORY EARNINGS AND HOURS—WEEKLY ESTIMATE —U. AVERAGE S. DEPT. OF of May: LABOR—Month Earnings— 2.71 Durable *$52.70 $51.76 V 56.93 goods •56.86 54.65 48.98 goods Nondurable - $53.08 manufacturing All 435.:. *48.35 48.61 Hours— RATIONAL Orders PAPERBOARD received Production .July 2 161.576 158,700 183,749 215,85'; Durable .July (tons) 2 153,817' 169,612 137,521 171,58: 39.1 Nondurable .July 2 75 80 65 81 July 2 243,297 241,787 283,585 381,06£ goods goods Hourly earnings— All manufacturing PAINT DRUG AND REPORTER INDEX PRICE — Nondurable 1926-3Ci 1,456 1.289 .July 8 128.8 127.9 127.8 TRANSACTIONS LOT DEALERS SPECIALISTS EXCHANGE—SECURITIES Odd-lot sales dealers by ODD-LOT THE FOR AND EXCHANGE (customers' N. OF ODD- Copper STOCK Y. '* of orders shares June 25 value of short other of short value of Number Short 363,141' June 25 5,577' June 25 - -..June 25 sales June 25 Number 198,090 V ' 165,510 : ; < 165,510 109,400 234,350 June 25 198,090 234,350 268,500 167,920 204,750 160,410 21.696c 12.000c 13.720c 11.850c 13.562c London New York, 1iAntimony Antimony Antimony Antimony Platinum, All NEW SERIES—U. S. DEPT. OF LABOR— commodities Farm !_Ju!y Poods ; All commodities other Textile Fuel Metals and foods metal 5 July July materials 5 July products 5 July lighting materials and Building All than farm 5 products and 152.7 165.6 161.3 144.5 138.3 130.6 165.6 189.9 124.6 5 —July ..July products 5 5 July 5 july other 5 *152.9 *164.0 *161.2 *145.2 *138.2 *130.6 *165.7 *192.3 *126.1 ■ - *155.9 *172.7 *167.0 *145.8 *138.4 *130.1 *167.3 *192.2 *127.2 " . J , . 167.2 196.7 184.4 149.6 148.9 133.6 159.2 197.6 135.6 (per ingot Magnesium, I operating Grains July 5 Livestpck July 5 Meats July 5 Hides and skins July 5 . 153.2 206.7 224.0 181.6 - . ! Total operating expenses 151.2 208.2 225.1 182.9 Net "• .193.4 269.1 ' <■ 258.5 217.9 154.8 222.3 243.9 190.3 • •Revised figure. Illncludes 421,000 barrels of foreign crude runs. §Not comparable with other periods which are on new 4»asis of reporting in California. Principal changes exclude cracking stock from distillate and residual fuel oils. fThe weighted finished steel composite was revised for the years 1941 to date. The weights used are based on the average, product shipments for tfce 7 years 1937 to 1940 Inclusive and 1946 to 1948 inclusive. NOTE—The Judex. It National Fertilizer will, however, continue Association to compile has decided to discontinue publication of its weekly wholesale/ commodity / monthly indexes covering mixed fertilizers.. — price Net ZINC ratio—per 35.500c Nominal Nominal $72,000 $82,154 $70,154$2.00000 $2.00000 $1.75000 $2.07500 $2.07500 $1.77500 $2.15000 $2.15000 $1.80000 ** 17.000c 20.500c — — $741,068,551 600,852,442 81.08 $69,181,314 cent (BUREAU -of May: OF 5 Production (short Shipments (short tons) end of Not Avail. month .. $796,402,811 616,231,264 77.38 $747,259,313 594,269,852 79.53 $75,966,676 $74,794,116 57,595,281 64,759,903 90,178,066 32,000,000 40,000,000 c65,000,000 10,920 10,054 30,096 12,840 9,026 29,230 Not AvaiL Not Avail. Not Avail. MINES)—Month J Z tons)— at 20.500C 40.000c (ASSOC. ———— Stocks 15.115c 17.000c * 20.500c railway operating income before charges income after charges (est.) OXIDE 35.000c Nominal — revenues Operating 38.170c 39.000c RRS.)—Month of May: AMERICAN Total Taxes ' ' Special indexes— ROADS $76,000 - 38.500c •;? 40.000c EARNINGS —CLASS OF 41.730c 39.000c **Nickel RR. $35,000 $82,200 ■v 33.500c pound)u„_/ (per 102.000c $35,000 41.730c (per pound) pound) pound) Aluminum, 99plus, ingot (per pound). 102.000c $80,269 (per tCadmium » ' 12.000c 103.000c $35,000 : ' min. (per flask of SCadmium PRICES 1926=100: 45.000d $4.02750 11.880c 103.000c 102.000c (-§£)—: price) " 76 pounds) —— (per pound) (E. & M. J.) (per pound), bulk, Laredo——— (per pound), in cases, Laredo (per pound), Chinese Spot refined (per ounce) — 99r/c ' •-' ? 103.000c (per ounce U. S. Quicksilver tCadmium WHOLESALE 9.548c — Straits York 43.500d '$4.02690 43.500d $4.02557 :. 74.625C 71.500c 71.500c 1 New York Gold 17.300c ' (per ounce) (pence per ounce) Exchange (Check) Zinc (per pound)—East St. Louis Tin (per pound)— Silver, v 17.500c - Sterling- Exchange—/ New ; : « New York Louis St. and s by dealers— shares of —792,975 $28,621,771 , >:.v 109,400 June 25 purchases • 498,877 $17,992,606 512,546 June 25 - 5,100 .• 21.200c 18.019c Sterling 798,072 , 5,410 17.763c Silver, 134 27,910. . 504,287 s $16,938,143 $16,678,126. 18,557 . 15,314 357,564 ,. . 16.342c 16.543c Silver 28,044 V, 141 .. 527,860 r \ sales Round-lot 18,678 June 25 —' shares—Total for month of June: Common $32,392,94*, 18,698 383 13,576 , by dealers— sales Other 141 June 25 sales sales —— 19,061 13,717 June 25 sales other Customers' Dollar Round-lot sales $19,165,927 $13,834,953 June 25 total 1.231 (per pound)— Common, 1 — shares—Customers' Customers' 1,365/ J. QUOTATIONS)— & M. domestic refinery— export refinery (per pound)— 1 .. . * '• Lead 27,427 850,96( 17,682 503,806 $20,229,968 " " sales sales Number f sales)— sales Customers' . total orders—Customers' Customers' . (customers' 20,572 560,201 14,062 388,337" June 25 purchases by dealers Number . - June 25 of Odd-lot ' $i.3or Electrolytic, COMMISSION: purchases)— Number Dollar . ' *1,458 *1.286 : ' Electrolytic, Number • (E. PRICES Average ACCOUNT THE ON 39.5 146.e METAL STOCK 40.1 *$1,376 $1,375 goods 39.8 39.0 / 38.0 Durable goods OIL, 38.3 37.6 38.6 manufacturing All ASSOCIATION: (tons) 2 (short tons) " 'Revised figure. the producers' tons or more and Colbourne, N. S. tBased on than quotation. tBased on the average of §Based on platers' quotations liDomes.tic, fiva f.o.b. New York. **F.O.B. Port the producers' platers' quotations. but less carload lot packed in casas, U. S. duty included. SSTin contained. ?■ ' y ; •»»- . " * +" -• ' ■ , " .1 - • - .*• ; *' " ■' * ' w" * " " .» «.'» »,... *- .t. * £*. ; J Sf ml, t: .* ' '• * »>-i 'V ■« i-r* -is -i"-' S- _■ . j; Volume 170 Number 4820 • 7 , THE . . COMMERCIAL .• . FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE A Rate Structure for the Securities Business (Continued from 4) page 1 At first appearance our system induced promptly by the of access appears to be highlj developed and complete. Orders higher "concession." Second: In November, 1947, the may be placed in member offices New York Stock Exchange raised all over the country and almos. duce its are minimum The commission rates. York Curb Exchange New did not raise its rates until Feb¬ ruary, 1949. As a result a higher scale of commissions existed for Stock Exchange transactions than for Curb transactions throughout pensation under the second meth¬ od is difficult to estimate, but re¬ cent tests indicate that it prob¬ ably exceeds 3% in 48% of such transactions and is less than 3% pact at the Over the years, in practice and j to the market consistent with his "rate structure for the securities " in the contemplation of the law. ■! type ox business, but instead bars business." ' most of the differences between him by establishing prohibitive the two methods have tended to central point. look ever, an informed another story. Orders to buy How¬ tell may securities do not arise by some sort of spontaneous combustion in the minds of po¬ and with the Stock Exchange volume or to go up when the Stock securities. They are the result of advice, discussion, persuasion, dis¬ Exchange volume went down. suasion these ratio Curb 20 ever In did the down when years go normal This departure from indicate that our daily business, too, moves from a lower to a higher area of com¬ may pensation. and all business other if elementE When we orders consider the accessi¬ the of central must we market to overlook it? not accessibility to all those people ir the business who are the advisor? of buyers and sellers and their dealer firm in' grass-roots channel to any market. Third: Recently a the Northwest decided to estab¬ lish its own mutual investment trust rather than handle the sale of shares in the excellent trusts of Boston and New York. The firm patterned its investment policies There sands hundreds, even thou¬ people in the securities are of business who Curb are partners or members of th( or its member firms; employees o but there arc selections on a well-known many thousands more who are not These thousands of non-members Eastern trust that it had handled each surrounded by his own cus¬ for years, but it decided to make are potential conduit? its shares more attractive by ap¬ tomers, and plying a substantially lower "load¬ ing" charge for sales. The venture unsuccessful. was ' £--V ' -j -• 'v. • :•'..-I- vis Commission Rate Structure ' clues the solution of lems but in the of the some prob¬ business; securities think I not point to may they do. the market. central Today those potential avenues of acces? are blocked. The rate structure of stock Obsolete These through which orders might flow to exchanges does not pro¬ vide for the assistance or partici¬ pation of a non-member. There is seldom any business why a non-member should send his, or believe his customers', orders to the cen¬ I reason these clues suggest that we may be studying a case of incipient tral market for execution. suicide and not a markets well our be that murder. present structure is obsolete and lack of adequate an compensation business our needs to the reach in to it funds which the to it scattered now provide those who with which tracted of system investment it must and work rate that for denying to are reach sources of without we It may the men the job inducement are at¬ not increasing of services. our This limitation of access to our is hangover from the early days of exchange development. It is the result of the long campaign which exchanges have waged to estab¬ lish high standards of member¬ ship and conduct. I believe tha* character which our the national exchanges have attained, and thf advances in the standards prevail¬ ing throughout the securities busi¬ this ness, may now have made old limitation obsolete. If these were the only clues we might make the mistake of merely increasing commissions and over¬ stage looking other problems of equal sion Perhaps we have reached < in the development of our business and in the wide disper¬ importance. Our business is not as simple as that. which In my opinion, there is no idea in the securities busmess which change is sound, more more fair or more requires country our not only level of us to commission structure business the market than the idea the that value of a widely dis¬ security should be estab¬ through competition be¬ an securities whole must be integrated tributed public lished words with business our of grea^ piou? rot by cooperation Abut markets, by ? tween buyers and between sellers rate in professional, whether member or non-member, f'ts and finds hi? public market. Through many years of mechanical and human development, stock ex¬ changes, such as the New York Curb Exchange, havp created a be structure which into is the in difference the each idle gesture to an permit mem¬ theii on any basif bers of exchanges to divide commissions 1% non-members. with Such a step realistic rate structure nor increase the chan¬ nels of effective access to the would not create a Experience ha? market. central shown that it would amount to nc change commissions. cut in ex¬ The amount the non-member than more general a conceded so to far would be little to fit hie too type of business or to induce to the adopt him methoc brokerage give up the dealer method. and Dealings "Out of Town" moment, let us leave tc one side the problem of giving non-members effective access to For a the tiie consider and market central access who do problems of member? not have offices in the city where the market is located. Here also we find that limitations on have grown up. access member sends through f member, a "wire An "out-of-town" his market to orders correspondent house," in the market city. This arrangement usually involves r division Of the commissions each on earned the transaction between "out-of-town" and the correspon¬ members. dent No matter potential reason for the "out-oftown" member to execute his or¬ ders elsewhere when he can. must improve of the "outcoincident with I believe that we the channel of access of-town-' member If establishment of an effective industry-wide rate structure. we don't we will not have com¬ pleted the job of developing fully the national channels of access to our central markets. town clearance by exchange ma¬ Our member firms are experimenting with new forms of chinery. rapid of doing for tinuous giving wide and public information bids, offers and prices and access con¬ a so sys¬ to the central market place for members and their tomers on cus¬ that their bids and of¬ fers may be concentrated and produce open market prices. This idea, and the market ma¬ chinery it has created, have been expanded many me and decades. Perfected over it seems to But that we have tended look one important their development. lected to in We have neg¬ fully all of the access t° our central To the extent that bids and offers jn a ity, available at not over¬ utilize channels of marked. to element r^a^neled particular any into central market, to that extent the central market fails and offers to services methods vide to perform +o the maximum degree its function of producing the fairest price. accounts. omnibus centra? corporations a business which today di¬ industry. The norma? our exchange method of doing bus;ness is the procedure under which a member acts as agent or broke*for his customer, buys or sell' for his customer's account and the to methods ones are which more insurance of successful mutual and trust, we have reviewed some of the problem of access to Our cen¬ tral markets for non-members and for members separated by geog¬ rate structure might be a two minimum rates of mission system was evolved under commission which exchange mem¬ circumstances which we have now bers would charge in executing based on outgrown. In the distant past the orders in exchange securities. One speculative trader probably pro¬ rate, which might be called the vided a much greater percentage "retail" rate, might be fixed at of the exchange volume. The han¬ about 3%% of the purchase price dling of such orders by member when securities are bought and firms, the and debit earnings the on 1% of the sales price ,when secu¬ balances they entailed, in¬ rities are sold. The other rate, minimum of effort and which might be called the "whole¬ a high rate of profit on a low sale" rate, might be fixed at rate of commissions. In effect this around xk of 1% of the market volume business paid the way for price when securities are either volved the a relatively numerous, • small bought and much more costly accounts of the general public. For many years has not existed. So far as or sold. Under such rate structure a ex¬ would be re¬ quired to charge the "retail" rate the evi¬ to all customers except those who this condition dence members change permits a guess, the per¬ have filed a commission agree¬ centage of speculative volume on ment with the exchange and who exchanges has grown smaller over fall into one or more of the fol¬ the years. Long ago price manipu¬ lowing "wholesale" rate cate¬ lation and security pools were run gories: out of oqr stock markets. No one (1) Brokers and dealers regis¬ can honestly regret their depar¬ tered with the Securities and Ex¬ ture from our private business, but change Commission; we have too long failed to recog¬ nize that with their departure a (2) Members of other national securities exchanges or recognized part of the "low cost-high volume' assumption, on which mission structure was our com¬ based, dis¬ appeared. foreign exchanges; br (3) Customers who have paid gross commissions in excess of $1,000 during the preceding year on exchange transactions made through the member firm execut¬ ing the order. Under such a program, the com¬ mission agreement which a cus¬ in our markets must be preserved tomer would be required to file and encouraged and not barred by with the exchange before becom¬ prohibitive costs if we revise our ing entitled to the "wholesale" system of compensation. Condi¬ rate might express his agreement tions have already changed our to three conditions: First: Observance of the min¬ markets fundamentally and wis dom urges us to recognize and imum "retail" rate in executing orders for his customers in ex¬ adjust to this change. change securities; But although the character, methods, and volume contribution of the large trader have changed radically over the years, what re¬ mains of the professional or semiprofessional speculative elemeni; Conclusions I warned you Placement of bids and Second: that this would be offers for his own account in ex¬ dull and detailed speech. Per¬ change securities on the floor of haps I hhd better not try your the exchange for a reasonable patience further. Perhaps this is time before attempting; execution the time; to make a break with elsewhere; and ' Third: Consent that the ex¬ details arid lunge into some deduc¬ tions as to where these clues may change might cancel his privilege to receive the "wholesale" rate be pointing. They seem to point toward sev¬ at any time if his financial con¬ eral conclusions: dition or business conduct should a First: The present general level compensation for securing and executing orders to buy securities of central our on markets may be in t^e opinion of the exchange require such action. Such a tentative outline of a for structure rate the securities business necessarily omits, for the sake of clarity, many important ..details. fact In it does no more give simple form to various increasingly scattered sources of ideas which others have suggested. It is not a program but rather a business,; Second: Avenues of access to springboard to discussion. It seems possible, however, that our central markets for bids and some such offers originating in the offices of under system each "out-of-town" members and in the member gfrid non-member element appropriate place offices of non-members should be might improved and established; in the business of our central mar¬ If Third: to are our. central approach markets maximutn the service of which they are capable kets find an provide compensation the costs and incentive without receive and adequate to cover the their functions which the business with the maximum centralization ward. and to perform bids of all we should expand our commission available schedules into an and offers, industry-wide rate structure in which members in thr raphy from the market place. But we will not be finished accumu¬ commission. The normal non-member method is the deale" procedure under which the non- lating clues until we have pow¬ dered the finger prints of one other essential element in sound cen+r^l market perpormance. reconcile We must can noft go for¬ continue to seek im¬ provement in the environment in which American business and American finance work and sup¬ have an receives his- compensation form of a member buys tomer acts from and or as a principal am1 sells receives to his his sation in the form of a cus¬ compen¬ profit. Speculative Trader That other element represents Role perhaps tal secur¬ moment, are the bids I believe that our present com¬ problem nadeqi. ^ not only from the point Chicago of view of costs, but more par¬ has taught us all a great deal ticularly because it does not pro¬ about the feasibility of out-of- vide sufficient incentive to reach tem for providing convenient and system nel Such Many solutions to this are now being pioneered. Our clearing studying custodial may result in di¬ point. ■;■■■■" Av-VC'UAV.'..^'' But the development pf such f rect access by "out-of-town" firms These experiments and studies rate structure would be an idle and useless gesture unless it rec¬ must be diligently pursued. We have compared our business onciled the two different benefits and inducements to chan¬ and unsound. how mutually agreeable and fam this division may be, it constitutes f snd the ethical standards of American in harmony with the long rise in the compensation. Because of this difference and the complex reasons that underlie it, it wouk any exchange into a rate struc¬ ture which is industry-wide. Per¬ haps the time is now here when of hn However, the impor¬ which has per¬ difference commissions, but also to convert the firm calls "broker." tant ex¬ minimum the raise in wealth of and he "customer" its him probably understandable an In each case the firm that firm. calls Proposed Rate Structure costs, then it will be inappropriate average amount of Commissions bility disappear. sisted Non-Member Participation in Exchange volume went This happened for the first up. whose someone which make up a decision to buy the Stock time in 1948. pensation, ,or his losses, from I the decision to do nothing, will changes in price: Access for that1 be made by the people affected; element to the market must be jut no harm can come from piec¬ maintained if the market is to ing together these clues and vi* ; remain reasonably liquid and satr rious ideas which are being dis¬ isfy the needs *of those who wish cussed in the business today and to buy or sell to meet their in¬ drawing from them a tentative . vestment or cash requirements. If procedure. the rate structure does hot provide The heart of such a program i the large trader with ready access might be what I have called a- » in 52% of such trades. failed either to go up and down of 29 instantaneously register their im¬ I doubt whether the public customer today tential buyers. 1948. In the 20 years preceding They are more realizes that there is any real dif¬ 1948 the ratio of Curb volume to normally the result of a personal ference between selling through Stock relationship between that buyer a securities firm and selling tc Exchange volume never none (185) • i . Broker and Dealer The average Compensation "commission" com¬ of a small percentage of to¬ volume, but it may market well constitute the difference be¬ tween reasonable price continuity price fluctuations. That non-members, large traders and port our nation. Certainly. We the general public would each must protect our securities mar¬ kets from threats to their free¬ appropriate place. It should not be impossible to dom made from without or with¬ be and erratic er's agent tive trader—the non-member who to agent. buys and sells and takes his com¬ the air. and 1% for the seller's The average "profit" com¬ can be called the specula¬ not from the safer pensation under the first method amounts to about 1% for the buy¬ dement these conclusions or to in. But it seems to me that we workable must also beware that our mar¬ and effective program. Perhaps kets do not move toward their this final job of specific sugges¬ own destruction through failure tion should be left to industry to adjust their systems of com¬ committees and to industry and pensation to new conditions of public consultation. That would business or failure to develop produce them course, a but it does fully all potential channels of ac¬ through which bids and of¬ might flow to their central Ultimately a program, or posts. appeal to me because it seems cess in fers leave the matter hanging 30 (186) THE E;m) (Continued from able we to survive like are n then hollow egg shell. A hard crust outside witn no sub¬ a the problem stance inside. The "Today Federal for for when he said: find governments in we millions months is difficult for the human mind to understand. I was impressed by 42 dollars billion News and the World Report" two-thirds. high S. compared the budget with the present aay value of all the world's gold mined since Co¬ a lumbus that ago—which years be worth America—456 is estimated to only 40 billion dollars. The United States is said to would be barely enough to cover expenditures for Federal months. seven Surely this day of credit expansion! To avoid is a com¬ ing fiscal year the President has asked Congress to enact tax legis¬ providing another four lation billion dollars of revenues. is not expected that it While Congress will comply for request the the President's under cannot afford on "It is not mediate adian profit business matter of under , . for the is a wealth creation of the willingness on remove long-stand¬ people to risk their money in con¬ structive enterprises." I think the Canadian Minister hit the nail squarely on the head, and I'm glad to see that his party won last Monday's election in the Excise Tax As an example, the excise tax transportation which adds 15% to the cost of your passenger was enacted war Another factor, no less impor¬ taxes, preventing private enterprise from making adequate profits is the ever increasing pres¬ ticket both from big government's of bureaus and from special sure maze interest groups to encourage fur¬ to during the recent ther Federal of is the yet necessary for of the impor¬ tant role played by the railroads in the development of our great country. The railroad industry is use locks the of since 1880. ment-owned million channels The in the like have that the "Communists will spread this is to all democratic the tions in the world. » Depression, like many diseases, is psychological—one man feels sick because he sees a few others! uation We many and warn¬ to writers industry is public ownership this happen it will be due to a healthy readjustment..* returning from the war sober a buyer's competition. normal railroad If as are prise is allowed fidence should will be to binge market with If free enter¬ operate, restored con¬ and :our will have the healthful that 'adequate profit can, economy inaction vigor bring. the part of Government which Y.Yy.Y ;i"-: ! ; Y:--\ ' additional appropriations from Congress for the purchase of new barge equip¬ ment to operate their tax-exempt in competitive transportation. agency Recently New York a public Forgotten Men "Times" (Continued from page 6) editorial pointed out that in spite of the fact that our transportation structure all represents one-fifth of invested capital in the the control,' ownership A few months ago a 50-yeai» period shows that rarely has the ratio present. been There low as has also as at been •/ tial to enterprise and that cause both new savings and existing pools of funds to a take shelter, in- striking divergence between stock "Safe" investments. United States, for which our peo¬ Unfortunately, discourage public use of and subsidy. and bond yields during the past a drying up of the supply of venture hard-pressed transportation facil¬ during the inflationary period the ple pay 30 billion dollars annually decade. This spread has been capital is hot generally accom¬ for services, so far there has been ities. Now that almost asked every rail¬ President Congress for irregular inter¬ panied by spectacular danger sig¬ no serious effort to formulate an widening, with road is suffering substantial losses power to construct Governmentruptions, since the great onslaught nals of the sort that arouse over-all transportation policy to on people passenger traffic, with more owned industrial facilities where on ownership began around 1936. to action. The resulting deterio¬ coordinate activities under cen¬ seats empty than filled, many un¬ private industry could not in¬ I believe the unhealthful condi¬ ration in' national tralized direction while productivity derstanding Senators and Con¬ crease production to a preserving tion of the equity capital markets and satisfactory living standards is. not inW gressmen of both parties have in¬ rate. Now that the turn has come the driving £orce of private enter¬ is the inevitable consequence of mediate or dramatic, but comes prise and competition. troduced bills to repeal this tax, in the inflationary trend, the Pres¬ tax discriminations. ;•v slowly and almost imperceptibly, but to date the problem of bal¬ ident asks for the same Surely if such a policy were powers to , ^ ancing the budget has foreclosed favorable bills. consideration these measures Many other duced of intro¬ to luxury repeal other wartime taxes have likewise been stalled by our big guard against deflation and to provide full employment. It seems to me with that business has been faced national emergency after another for the past 20 years. one s the revenue government. needs Time Every of and or business, competition, urged in hearings the removal of critical double taxation roads face corporate divi¬ dends, the repeal of the 2% pen¬ alty tax on consolidated returns, the easing of the Treasury's policy regarding depreciation allowances, and many other needed revisions in the Tax Code, to no avail. Just how big our Government is and how much now should grow to all to the just 20 bigger it can deep concern of taxpayers earner In be from large years the wage corporation. our annual rate .of Federal expenditures has mounted from 3 billion dollars to 42 billion taken dollars. from The "bite" national our income by the Federal tax changed from 1928 in to a 1948, "bites" crumb a of has 4% in large mouthful of 20% and when taken by local tax collectors total is more than tain collector that this the the State are and added, the 25%. overall other I main¬ tax burden is choking the flow of private venture capital and strangulating the free enterprise system. ' In 20 years we top surtax rate comes seen the individual in¬ jump from 20% to 83%, the maximum rate from 20% to tax have rate on on estates jump 77%, and the income to and other excise and import duty levies. It is small wonder that the potential investor of risk capital feels he has little to gain and much to lose under ent tax structure. , regulation but I situation and believe which the the rail¬ today is the most out¬ our accounting, financing, borrow¬ ing, are relations constantly under the surveil¬ lance of or intef-railroad and some Government bureau commission. for materials While our costs Recently the Finance ouj> pres¬ would be railroads eral greatly not are subsidies. chance for relieved. In The Capital ask we is a the competition with other transportation agencies with minimum a of Federal ment interference. diversion of railroads to The Govern¬ from carriers study, "Economic Progress: a njost important functions of the capital markets. One of them is that security prices as deter¬ mined increasing business other Markets is no specific way to performance of the the economy with what it might have Jobs and Taxes," to be published very shortly, we have enumerated asking for Fed¬ All there and of compare fair tant the in the markets measures of are value. impor¬ A large part of the country's wealth today could takes the form condition of fective of corporate ward at business accelerated pace until it was not until July of recently, 1946 that creased. freight rates in¬ were Railroad operating ex¬ penses, including taxes, have risen 93% in the 10 years since 1939. On the other hand, freight rates charged by the railroads have in¬ creased with a when now still progressively the fares over have 25.4% during While appeals rate total only 51.7% senger beginning 6.5% rise in mid-1946 until increases 1939. gone the up is Pas¬ but period. pending for same were we increase have watched expenses mount when the increase benefit had higher so that was granted its already been lost. Difficulties of Railroads With the slacking off of traffic since the war the rail¬ volume equally effective allowing them to We handled supplies began rising in 1940 and continued up¬ an to but has not been in recent war earn enough. record volume of through* during the had good made better by the service efficiency of opera¬ ;■ . been if investment had not beenim- > peded. In fact, one of the ironical of governmental policies that result in shutting off consequences the flow of make it ment itself equity capital. ; .; is funds that the appear the only is to govern¬ source YYYY','YY• • Y\fy of • \ se¬ So use as col¬ to banks raise found capital. it ad¬ Because state of the market, the offering had to be made at a price representing about two-thirds of Capital expenditures for equip¬ conservative" book value, so that the offering diluted the ment and other equity. improvements to railway property made by Class I Insurance companies have had similar experience in the last sev¬ railroads in 1948 totaled more eral years. Other companies, un¬ than iy4 billion dollars, the great¬ est amount spent for any year on record. Of course this sum pur¬ chased much only as it about would one-half have 20 as years ago, willing to accept what appeared be unreasonably their stocks, have to in a tion passenger cars most and diesel-electric low prices for delayed stock financing, only to find themselves neverthelesss, it represents a substantial amount of freight and disadvantageous posi¬ Basically, it is al¬ impossible to interest sav¬ more later pn. ers in new ownership interests rail, automatic train control sys¬ when they and their friends are tems, signals and interlockers, trying to explain the mystery of improvements to freight and pas¬ stock prices of important Compa¬ locomotives, senger ing as well as heavier stations, etc. We every dollar are spend¬ available for nies which seem dead alive—in not than comfort and safety for the public improvements which will only result in better service, but will enable us to reduce costs. than to be worth more other words, liquidating propositions rather as Dangers going businesses. of Present Tax Policies We must stay methods, modern equip¬ continually alert Government aid. While we must ment and technological aids can to the danger of tax policies that Minister spend huge sums for maintenance bring about more profit for us and discourage the risk-taking essen- New democracy . than any other. Weconvinced that; we' that system a fair' equally are must give chance to survive and to prosper' by removing the handicaps which' certain place features of our laws tax it and which threaten upon to destroy the tality. 'yf' /• sources of its vi¬ Y'' . _ the transportation. pipelines are the only public transportation not subsidized by to much visable of as the wish for generalities. Re¬ cently one of the most important these and institutions. also important corporate stocks and bonds lateral for bank loans. roads have been facing stiff com¬ petition from other forms of The railroads are businessmen who Much metropolitan 1948. been toward greater tion. a passengers and have has progress railroads and business in keeping the railroads making too much money— Security prices from freight and and on duplicate in many ways and further complicated by the various Government Function the We hold firmly to the position standing example. Being the first soon be reversed if the railroads had the same opportunities to ad¬ curities, and since a security is that the surest road to economic of the large industries to be regu¬ worth only what it will bring in progress is lated, we have operated under In¬ just rates and the freedom from through the timethe market, quotations are used in terstate tested American system of indi¬ Commerce Commission control now enjoyed by our com¬ assessing the wealth of individ¬ vidual control for more than half a cen¬ petitors. enterprise and that our It has been said that Govern¬ uals, figuring estate tax liabilities, system is more compatible with tury. Not only are our revenues and determining the financial freedom of individual action and ment regulation has been most ef¬ controlled by rate regulation, but corporations go from 11% to 38%. These taxes overlap are large small, must be constantly alert again tax experts, on invitation of Congressional Committees, have on whether adopted and followed in operation, plight of railroad • profits - na¬ and postwar seller's market nationalization. on The believe to serious depression which a * tottering. The experts in this' country recognize the present sit¬ or Govern¬ market would call our aver¬ of 3.62% on invested threatened with or stock received of you ings from economists Waterways is presently seeking dollars by scales. quate. Inland Corporation 18 river clouded shakedown, the rise in unemployment, and a general softening of return capital for the past 27 years ade¬ more, t ness would We could *■ start of age has an¬ and It • price none speeds. utilities industries. The present prospects for busi-* in this country have become - be not remind you economically tolls have been charged for no the should to public basic pen. Our strength like that of any business depends on an ade¬ quate profit: I am certain that by over¬ traveling at danger¬ pending to spend 2 billion other happen here—but it need not hap¬ healthy. of the high¬ Government mines,, reserves, stands ready to act as the bulwark of our internal defense by its de¬ sire to remain caused Federal * justly proud of its record of serv¬ ice during the recent war and already spent 2 billion dollars on our waterways to make them navigable and appropriations are our tant than Transportation agree that 93% The new of It me for li¬ suffi¬ 7% of^ the world, it took other forms of' public transportation as well, and^ then by gradual process, the. economy now combination of only Public ment pay taxes, about cover and excessive ous future lines gasoline loaded trucks system where we depend, and must depend, for full employ¬ the truck damage way a and receive of building and maintaining highway network, road engi¬ cost our Can¬ rather it . concern of the to neers position railroads and cient to question of the im¬ a the cense tax system. oux for mail pay for carrying more While neglect implications of this defect in the nothing of a profits, and borrowing on equip¬ trust obligations. 3. carrying the remaining 94%. steady flow of venture capital, we for 6% of the first class mail tonnage a increases during Dominion by a landslide. session, there is also hope for tax decreases Government Pressures on Business revisions to ceive and paid costly Government air navigation and traffic control. The airlines re¬ aids to enterprise tax ing inequities. on that me private airports, and venture present sources* safety . present very little or with to our Y 1. Depreciation : 2. Retained net than of under sufficient three dollars the benefit may be as distribution to upon seems system ment deficit for the a tax attract from nicipal remaining which depends for its existence have 60% of the world's gold stock, or 24 billion dollars worth, but this our 80% as "It ardele recently discovered The - the of to come of The problem could prevent such a catastrophe by permitting the railroads to earn capital to permit this moderniza¬ reasonable profits. When Govern¬ tion program to. progress. Our ment ownership engulfed railroads funds for capital expenditures in most of the other countries is Airlines pay only nominal rent for the use of Federal and mu¬ stockholders. "U. a out of significance when distributed Thursday, July 14, 1949 by the public treasury. this the 12 CHRONICLE Profits on country, as well as in most coming fiscal year calls for the other countries, taxing away at expenditure of approximately 42 least a third of corporate profits. In addition, the personal income billion dollars. A requirement tax rates apply in full to what is this large to run one government budget FINANCIAL of Canada, in announcing sweep¬ and real estate taxes on our road¬ ing tax cuts for the Dominion, in¬ beds, the airlines, truck lines, and dicated a sound understanding of barge lines use facilities costing 8) page & lower rates for you. lulti D))h1; ; profitably, COMMERCIAL Jobs—First Requisite ... The nearly one and lion young a people who .... half mil¬ are com¬ pleting their education this are entitled to make an year opportunity to tnemselves contributing efforts to standards useiul citizens, through their own raising their living over those of the pre¬ ceding generation. Their first requisite is jobs. Private industry can relied be jobs tools the when formed and structive In tax number laws- permit venture necessary to provide an of jobs necessary for such on ever-increasing and capital the to encourage their be con¬ use. the study to which I have have shown that two developments in our econ¬ omy in5 recent decades are re¬ sponsible for drying up the stream of risk -"capital: There are the alluded, we basic increasing preference for security as contrasted constantly with risk, increasing and portion the of Volume 170 Number 4820 the income national THE the Federal needs, Government's reve¬ specif ic recommendations, the adoption of which would go a long way in correcting the tendencies which can only result in either arresting economic government progress in or financing of private industry, or mentions are: both. (1), Make . ■ a These recom- credit a equal to 10% of their dividends on stocks common when com¬ puting their income tax liabil¬ ity. ■' * \ ■ (Continued from page 5) -term , gains to 10%, increasing to $5,000 the amount by which capital against losses v be can offset ordinary .income each year, and shortening the hold¬ ing period to three months. ;; The is gained. Mr. (187) 31 most appealing feature of these proposals, compared with other tax plans, is that little or Truman not Down 3 cents from a week ago, the Dun & Bradstreet wholesale food price index registered $5.66 ' does WHOLESALE FOOD PRICE INDEX OFF 3 CENTS TO EQUAL YEAR'S MAY 17 AND FEB. 8 LOW want a national strike and will do everything in his power to prevent one. probable that in the end he will have to resort to an injunc¬ The only thing that could prevent it would be a fact-finding report that would suit both the steel companies and the union and the chances of that are not good, "The Iron Age," national metalworking weekly states in its current summary of the steel trade. is on July 5 to equal the low toucned previous occasions this year—May 17 and Feb. 8. The current evel represents a drop of 20.5% from tne corresponding date a year ago when it stood at $7.12. " on two tion. Murray magazine iaider .o than iaise at hope that he will get favorable treatment, the states, but this time the steel firms will buck can time any since before the against war attempt any wages, grant, nonconiributory pensions or agree to high security demands. The economic pattern seems to favor the ,ceei side with orders off, production declining and customers hamnering at the price line.- But with the government in the picture .ociai t finally may The mean situation a compromise at in steel is , (2) Revise the treatment of capital gains and losses by re¬ ducing the tax rate on long¬ , concession rade by allowing take a It start in eliminat¬ to CHRONICLE steel • ing the unjust double taxation individuals of Mr. •' ! „■ of dividend income FINANCIAL The State oi Trade and Industry < have offered two we & passing through the hands of the Federal Treasury. Without losing sight of nue COMMERCIAL i946, 1947 or 1948 some now than it was in when wage increases were reluctantly granted, There are three major points of dif¬ (1) Steel demand is weakening every day; (2) higher wage will either mean higher steel prices or forestall the kind of ;^The Iron Age" poihts out. ference: osts ;uts that may appear necessary later on to stimulate business; (3) price increases didn't hurt steel demand during the past few inflation years but they would be rough on business in the current deflation.,.:;7;r■; --v^; >'(-V:'V'■ The theory Trading volume in leading commodity centers was considerably The daily wholesale commodity price index, compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., fell to 237.39 on July 2, a new low since early February, 1947, and closed at Z37.45 on July 5. This compared with 238.15 a week previous, and with 283.16 slower during the past holiday week. on the corresponding date a year ago. Grain markets fluctuated irregularly in comparatively light Demand for wheat was disappointing and prices worked trading. lower despite a somewhat poorer crop outlook. future date. radically different COMMODITY PRICE INDEX IN PAST WEEK ESTABLISHES FUR¬ THER NEW LOW SINCE EARLY FEBRUARY, 1947 '/ that a steel strike would so deplete steel users' inventories as to produce a boom in steel sales at the strike's end is partly wishful thinking. If basic steel is shut down many of its justomers will also be struck by the steelworkers' union. The auto¬ mobile industry, steel's No. 1 customer today, is an exception, this crade paper observes.> The Big Three in Detroit have been putting # Corn offerings were small and prices held fairly steady. Oats and showed declines for the week. The outlook for the corn crop con¬ tinues excellent. Domestic flour bookings remained small as large users continued to buy only for immediate and nearby requirements in the hope that expanded wheat marketings in the Southwest would bring about substantially lower prices. : \ rye Cocoa displayed a somewhat firmer trend as demand for actuals improved and offerings from primary markets continued light. The undertone in the coffee market remained strong, reflecting a tight statistical position. A moderate amount of new business was noted , in the spot market at firm prices. Consumer demand for butter remained slow but prices were steady to slightly higher as the result of better speculative inter¬ est and government support buying. In the Chicago livestock market, demand for hogs was light in the face of relatively large market receipts; prices trended lower suppliers for weeks in efforts to build up would be provided until a thor¬ inventories, y They've been buying distressed sheet stocks and even throughout the period. Cattle prices fluctuated unevenly and closed about 60 cents higher for the week, aided by improved pre-holiday oughgoing revision of the whole purchasing big quantities from warehouses.: As a result most Detroit demand from the East. Increased marketings of Spring lambs brought Federal tax'structure can be uif^ motor car plants have 30 to. 60-day steel stocks on hand. • ;• sharply lower bids from big packers and prices as a consequence were dertaken. j But the question of how long the auto industry can , ,y' go in the down sharply from a week ago. Lard and vegetable oils continued event of a steel/ strike probably rests In conclusion, may I state with its parts suppliers. weak. Many of them have unbalanced inventories and may have to depend blunt truth: The cotton market developed a firmer undertone last week; spot on their customers to bail them out in case of a long strike. This prices at New York showed a net gain of about 30 points for the could lead to a mad scramble for certain steel items which Ownership Weakened W* might period.. f"".'"•.v?"'-'■". ' Ownership, w^ch lies at the bring the automobile industry grinding to a halt. On the other Some of the supporting factors included the announcement base of the whole economic struc¬ hand,; concludes "The Iron Age," it would clear up excess finishec of the mid-June parity price for cotton at the same level as a ture, is threatened. When farm-^ goods inventories now in -the ..hands of automotive parts suppliers month previous, whereas a decline was generally looked for in and. return them to the market for steel at the end of the threateriec ers were injured by forces of a the trade, and the possibility of a continuation of the steel strike. ■ 90% of ' " general*'* character in relation to parity loan rate on next year's crop. the conditions affecting the rest The American Iron and Steel Institute announced this week Also lending support were reports of increased weevil infestation that the operating rate of steel companies having 94% of^he country, farm loss; of no and is : revenue welcome a involved, interim period pressure their >steel on . r t > . • , parity devised "to When legislation was of the situation. the correct steel-making capacity of the industry will be 77.8% of capacity for the week beginning July 11, 1949, as against 61.2% in the preceding week, or an increase of 27.1%. This week's operating rate is equivalent to 1,434,300 tons of steel ingots and castings for the entire industry, compared to lagged behinc economic forces and labor ai; was i 1,128,200 tons scale social and welfare demands —much in as some restricted our of form the proposals approval—and time be militarily offer needed help warrant the same may at prepared to and in Europe world of uneasy peace. We can meet pressing social demands de¬ a spite our large-scale obligations only if the country is prosperous. You will note that I began this a week ago, 1,598,300 tons, or 86.7% and 1,636,600 tons, or 90.8% of the old capacity one 1,281,210 tons for the average week in 1940, highest for ownership insofar as the ex¬ traordinary fiscal situation. wil permit. We cannot in this country at the present time cater to lhrge- continued quiet with most buyers withdrawn from the market at the' , a disadvantage, labor was granted the. equivalent of parity treat¬ ment. What I am striving for, in effect, is merely fair treatment in parts of the cotton belt and the confirmation of the purchase of 60,000 bales of cotton by Spain. Carded gray cotton cloth markets a month ago, year ago and prewar year. CARLOADINGS ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY COAL MINERS' freight for the week ended July 2, 1949, which included the coal miners' annual vacation period, totaled 644,182 cars, according to the Association of American Railroads. This was. a decrease of -158,759 cars, or 19.8% below the preceding week. It also revenue represented decrease of 113,096 14.9% below the corresponding week in 1948, but an increase of 14,978 cars, or 2.4% above the similar period in 1947, which included the July 4 holiday well as as a the miners' vacation ELECTRIC OUTPUT DROPS cars, or JJNDER LIKE PERIOD OF 1948 The interest of many consumers in vacation goods was stimulated by very warm weather in many parts of the nation the past week. Dollar volume of all retail purchases rose moderately in the period IN PAST Wednesday of last week, but was slightly below the high & Bradstreet, Inc., re¬ ports in its latest summary of trade. July clearance sales were started in many localities and shoppers generally responded favorably. Z1 As temperatures climbed in lightweight apparel rose skirts and housedresses many sections, the demand for noticeably. The retail volume of women's WEEK increased bathing suits, sun-dresses, shorts, moderately. Mark-down sales of the interest of many shoppers. The amount of electrical energy distributed by the electric light and on level of the corresponding week in 1948, Dun men's shirts attracted considerable attention. Men's tropical worsted suits remained very popular and promotions of rayon suits evoked period. FURTHER j RETAIL AND WHOLESALE TRADE VOLUME MAINTAINED AT A LEVEL MODERATELY ended ANNUAL VACATION PERIOD Loadings of approach of the holiday period. Total retail purchases of food were about equal to those of industry for the week ended July 9, was estimated at the preceding week with unit volume practically unchanged from 4,982,173,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This the high level of a year ago. rv;,.,.• ':v:' del of capitalism. I did so delib¬ represented a decrease of 428,219,000 kwh. below output in the pre¬ Housewives displayed a slackened interest in large meat cuts, erately, for I am convinced we ceding week, 221,857,000 kwh*or- 4.7% higher than the figure re¬ though canned meats and picnic items were in substantial demand. must cast aside half-hearted apol¬ ported for the week ended July 10, 1948, and 451,640,000 kwh. in ogy and a defensive attitude. The excess of the output reported .for the corresponding period two years Dairy foods and fresh fruits were very popular and demand for cann^ and bottled beverages rose seasonally. gift of freedom, by the only test ago. While interest in furniture and large appliances dipped slightly, worthy of the name, the acid test the demand for other home furnishings rose of experience, has not been the AUTO OUTPUT LOWER DUE TO JULY 4th HOLIDAY noticeably. Small kitchen Production of cars and trucks in the United States and Canada appliances, electric fans, refrigerators, fiber rugs and curtains were priceless heritage .that we know * talk with power reference to the cita¬ a . . except where private ownership is encouraged and re¬ spected. As I have said elsewhere, the past week dropped as a result of the Fourth of July holiday to an estimated 116,878 units from last week's postwar record of there is another way, but he who pays the piper calls, the tune. Volume production, enhanced by nine-hour shifts in some plants, offset production losses because of scattered walkouts be¬ Who cause it to be can look upon an expansion of government lending to busi¬ ness without the certainty that it must lead inevitably to the di¬ rection of industry and the alloca¬ tion of resources, and finally the end of the freedom of both labor and miss ownership? in We shall be re¬ responsibility if we our part in the most our 144,822 (revised) units, "Ward's Automotive Reports" states. of the heat and kept the daily automotive assembly output a year ago and Last week's output consisted > of 91,246 cars and 18,937 trucks built in the United States and 4,378 cars and 2,317 trucks in Canada. and industrial failures declined in urgent business at this moment— the business-;of explaining why job holders and job seekers have comparable weeks of 1948 and 1947 when 88 and 82 occurred the tively. They the to do greatest barriers in stake to progress. • further /■ /'. • ; removing economic ; ■ . • . Chicago Exchange Member? 1 CHICAGO, ILL.—The Executive Committee of the Chicago Stock respec¬ in the corresponding week Casualties involving liabilities of $5,000 or more fell to from 147 last week, but exceeded the 71 of this size which curred a year ago. Small $5,000, remained at 30; they the similar week of 1948. failures, those with were almost twice as 123 oc¬ liabilities under numerous as in volume in the period ended estimated to be from 1 to-5% below on a Wednesday of last year ago. The number of buyers attending wholesale markets fell consider¬ ably from the previous week, but was slightly above the level of a year ago. many volume businesses closed for the long holiday week-end, the of wholesale orders dipped moderately in the week high level of the comparable and continued to be somewhat below the week in 1948. Department store sales on a country-wide basis, as taken from the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended July 2, 1949, decreased by 11% from the like period of last year and compared with a decrease of 6% in the preceding week. For the four weeks ended July 2, 1949, sales registered a decrease of 7% from the corresponding period a year ago and for the year to date a decline of 4%. Retail trade here in New York last week suffered contraction in dollar volume when compared with one a sharp year ago. Estimates for department stores place the decline at about 20%. According to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department City for the weekly period to July 2, 1949, ures declined in the In the preceding week, while wholesale trade casualties rose to 19 declined by 15% from the same period last. year. Farra week a decrease of 7% was registered below the similar week ©f Co., Lexington, Ky., and from 13 last week. Both manufacturing and retailing had about twice 1948. For the four weeks ended July 2, 1949, a decrease of 10% Edmund W. Harrison of Harrison as many failures as in 1948, while construction was the only industry was reported under that of last year. For the year to date volume & Co., Cincinnati Ohio. group with fewer failures than a year ago. decreased by 7%. Exchange has elected to member- 1 were not as high, however, as of prewar 1939 when 208 concerns failed. was Regional estimates varied from the levels of a year ago by the following percentages: New England 0 to —4; East —2 to +2; South and Southwest —1 to —5; Midwest —4 to —8; Northwest and Pacific Coast —2 to —6. dollar the holidayshortened week ending July 7 to 153 from 177 in the preceding week, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports. Although at the lowest level since January, casualties were considerably more numerous than in the fail week As BUSINESS FAILURES OFF IN HOLIDAY WEEK Commercial an increased volume. The retail volume of automobile accesories and sporting goods also rose moderately. The sales of new auto¬ mobiles continued to be above those of a year ago. Total retail at 29,000 units, Ward's reported. The total for the week compares with 98,700 units 114,318 units in the like week of 1941. sold in ship William B. Holton of Holton, . , Retail, manufacturing, construction and commercial service fail¬ store sales in New York 32 (188) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL ■i. ,n,i i~in <r, CHRONICLE "i f Thursday, July 14, 194( irirt"m ' ■ • All States Oil & Gas Co., Washington, D. C. • ; June 28 (letter of notification) 280,000 shares (500 par) stock. Price—$1 per share. No underwriter. To drill new wells and complete wells, for general corporate common INDICATES SINCE • Crescent Junction Nevada '■'' • Development Research Corp., N. Y. notification) 50,000 common shares (par $1) offered for subscription by stockholders of record July 8 in ratio of one-for-2y2 at $2 per share. Rights expire July 22. Stock donated to company by large stockholder and proceeds will be used for general V • : (letter Underwriting, none. operating expenses, including 11th Street, Denver, Colo. Bay Brook Oil & Gas Co., Inc., Brooklyn, N. Y. July 6 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of capital stodk. Price—$1 per share. No underwriters. To be used for oil development. Office, 47 President St., Brooklyn, f Howard Webster, Montreal, Quebec, Canada at $11 or Underwriter—Gordon Weeks & Co., Memphis, Tenn. writing, ■ 46th 1,500 outstanding 6% and 7% preferred stock. Office,: 319 Madison St., Jefferson City, Mo. .'/w\ ceeds . — For and other , . . , , ^ . v Electric & Gas Co. (7/20) 132,874 shares ($3.50 par) common stock. Underwriters—Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis and Stone and Webster Securities Corp., New York. Price and underwriting terms by- amendment. Proceeds—to finance an $8,400,000 expansion program for two tele¬ phone subsidiaries. Corp. withdrew as None; The First have not yet been are Chicago Pump Co. , (letter of notification) 29,000 shares of 70-cent cumulative preferred stock. Price—$10 per share. Under¬ writer—Straus and Blosser, Chicago. To retire an interim loan of $250,000., Office, 2336 Wolfram Street, Chicago.; Corp., Washington, D. C. > (letter of notification) 2,800 shares of Class A Citizens June 22 common Class B Credit stock ($12.50 par) stock. common shares of Class A and unit. To one and 1,400 shares (250 par) be offered in units of two of Class B stock for $29.75 per Underwriter—Emory S. Warren ; D. C. & Co., Washington, Proceeds—General corporate purposes, including a small loan office in Mt. Rainier, Md. Columbia Gas System, Inc., New York (7/26) June 29 filed $13,000,000 debentures, due 1974. Under¬ establishment of . writers—Names to >• be determined through competitive Probable bidders: Morgan, Stanley & Co.; HalStuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Lehman Brothers and Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Proceeds—To finance construction bidding. sey, , Ex¬ program. pected July 26. Cooperative G. L. F. Holding Corp., Ithaca, N. Y. June stock. 29 filed 44,088 shares 4% cumulative preferred Offering—To be offered at $100 to farmer and non-farmer G." L. F. Exchange and its affiliates. Underwriting—None. Proceeds—To replenish working capital. patrons of the Cooperative Grange League Federation Exchange, Inc., Ithaca, N. Y. ";,V-v.- ;'-//■ 'H/- - June 29 filed 1,200,000 shares ($5 par) Offering—To be sold to members and Underwriter—None. stock. common farmer patrons. Proceeds—To be added to working • Financial • to all offices V new financing by the X '*<■/_; Co., Decatur, III. (7/26) loans made to finance construction. 23 (letter of (par $100). :: Inc., Pittsburgh notification) :500 shares of class Price, par; Underwriting, none] !;■/>/■/;;/;/ Finance Co., Inc., Kensington,- Md. (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of commoi be offered'at $10 a share and 1,000 shares oi preferred stock, to be offered at $25 a share. No under¬ to writer. Working capital. V . * company. • Jennison, Taylor & Co;; lnc., New York ' 24 (letter of i notification) -1,000 common shares| (par $1); 500 shares 4% cumulative preferred stock (pai June 'i Industrial and $50,000 j 10-year lVz% bonds. Price, par^ Underwriting, none.: Operation of business. Office/ 14£ $100), Fund, Inc./ Denver common stock (par lc). East 61st St., New York. Price, market. ■' • & Kaman Rhoades & Co. and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); Shields Co. Proceeds—To pay off $3,200,000 of short-term • ice Bank & Trust Co. and Gas and off pay owed by $250,000 corporation Nielsen of Cody, Wyo. on a to its 8 Overseas), 120 Broadway, New York. > f/',> ./ 15-year 3V4% bonds, series A, due July 1, 1964. Under¬ Co., Columbus, Ohio. ' / ' Atlantic Transportation Co., Jacksonville. Co. ocean pay ferry, to finance dock and terminal facilities, 1 obligations," and 'to provide working- current Hawaiian Electric Co., Ltd., Honolulu - Offering—Preferred will be offered to preferred holders, at l-for-3 rate and- common will be offered to common personnel. Acquisition of equipment and W. 73d Street, New York 23,1 N. Y. Communications and inquiries should be ad¬ dressed to Barclay's Bank (Dominion, Colonial and| writer—The Ohio Gulf service shareholders of company. facilities./ Office. 301, 25 promissory note stockholder, Glenn E. (Ohio):. Telephone Co. • i (letter of notification) $125,000 first mortgage train Corp., • - Geneva July Motors Kingswood Films, Inc., New York July 6 (letter of notification) 290,000 50c voting common! shares (par $1). Price, par. Underwriting, officials and $1,000,000 sole Conn.| medium-sized station wagon. /V 5Gate City Steel Works, Inc., Omaha, Neb. K June 16 (letter of notification) 2,500 shares of 6% cumu¬ lative first preferred. Price—$109 per share. Under¬ writer—The First Trust Co. of Lincoln, Neb. Proceeds— To Locks, Huntsville, Ala. May 10 filed 5,000,000 shares (30 par) common. Under-] writer—Greenfield, Lax & Co., Inc., New York. Price—I $1 per share. Proceeds—For plant facilities, equipment! and working capital to manufacture a low-priced,| Industries Fund, Inc., Boston, Mass. July 7 filed 340,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Price, at market. Underwriter—Colonial Associates, Inc. Pro¬ investment. departments; and to Keller other corporate purposes. Bids— Bids for purchase of the bonds will be received up to noon (EDT) July 19 at 2 Rector Street, New York. -V ceeds—For Windsor, Price,] & construction Corp., $5.50 per share. Underwriter—None. Purpose—To ac-| quire machinery, tools and equipment; to buy land and] buildings; to produce 30 helicopters and accessories; to] complete engineering changes; to setup sales and serv-| Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; White, Weld & Co.; Bros.; The First Boston Corp.; Carl M. Loeb; borrowings from Central Hanover Aircraft May 23 filed 170,456 shares of class A non-voting com¬ mon stock (10c per share non-camulative dividend), anc 11,362 shares of class B voting common stock. , Lehman for 'V . Judea Development Corp. ; June 23 (letter of notification) 19,250 class A preferrec (par $10), 90 shares common (par $50) and 5,000 shares class B non-preferred (par $10). Price, each class, par.1 Underwriting, none. To engage in commercial enter-l prises in Israel, etc. Office, 1133 Broadway, New York.l ' June 21 filed 150,000 shares of series E cumulative ($20 par) preferred and 50,000 shares of ($20 par) common. . \ Insurance stock Florida Power & Light Co. (7/19) May 20 filed $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due June 1, 1979. ; Underwriters—Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Harriman Ripley Chicago :• ■ July 8 capital. Private Wires :vV" Industries, Working capital. Financial Industrial Fund, Inc., Denver July 5 filed systematic investment certificates, periodic payment, the aggregate not to exceed $2,500,000, and cumulative investment certificates, fully paid, the aggre¬ gate not to exceed $300,000. Underwriter—Investment Service Corp. Proceeds—For investment. to Cleveland bank price of the offering. Proceeds— from holdings of Mrs. Benjamin Underwriter—Investment Service Corp. Proceeds—For investment, an San Francisco j Power stock > Underwriters will buy the remaining 135,000 plus unsubscribed shares of the new commonOffering! price of class A $5. Proceeds—To complete Philadelphia Co. Increte 4y-3,. June shares ' ' Underwriter determined, but the stock July 5 filed 2,300,000 shares of & Pittsburgh York Maryland Mines Corp., San Francisco July 7 (letter of notification) 9,000 shares of commor stock. Price—$1.80; a share. Offering to be made bj Errol Macboyle of San Francisco. ' Underwriter—E. F] • May 31 filed 620,000 shares of class A participating ($1 par) stock and 270,000 shares (25c par) common stock. Offering:—135,000 shares of common will be offered for: subscription by holders on the basis of one-for-two at 25 "cents per share. Underwriters—Names by amendment, and may include John J. Bergen & Co. and A. M. Kidder ; Boston tc Idaho short-term Florida New York 1948 petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co] Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co| (jointly); The First Boston Corp. Proceeds — To repaj • June 20 in . par) , ceeds—For investment. > - Underwriting] spent June 30 filed $15,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 197( Underwriters—Names to be determined through com-l stock. Price—$45 a share. No underwriters. Operating capital for finance business. Office, 718 Jack¬ son Place, N. W., Washington, D, C.„ • , Phonograph Corp. « , cash (letter of notification) 35,000 shares commoi (par 5c). Price,$2 per share. Underwriting] General working capital. Office, 160 Broadway] Illinois — & J : share. per for Company 28 Hutton & common tion. ;; 4 officers and employees Price—$25 per share to public, employees. Underwriters T. C. Radio - Inter County Telephone & Telegraph Co., Foi Following ;; sale of the shares, the Abrams Myers,. Fla.;,V/ycl/;/'Vv;,; family will own approxi¬ June 27 (letter of notification) 4,500 shares ($25 par) mately 25% of the company's 800,000 shares of common 5%| stock. cumulative preferred stock. Price, par. Proceeds—To im¬ ; ' v. •.; • prove the company's property/ Underwriter — Florid* Federal Services Finance Corp., Wash., D. C. Securities Co., St. Petersburg, Fla;/. July 7 (letter of notification) 2.930 shares (no ; underwriter. Proceeds—For construc■. Office, 13 West Co. and Wheelock & Co., Des Moines, additional equipment, plant additions, etc. Emerson do not involve Boston Century Shares Trust, Boston - ' July 8, filed 200,000 trust shares (par $1). Price, market. Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co., Boston. Pro- , ^. - & Sons, Rensselaer, N. Y. Ice-Flo Corp., New New York. • Abrams, Mrs. Max Abrams and Mrs. Louis Abrams, wives principal officers and directors of the company, and Light & Power Co., Findlay, Ohio — & To buy to Reimburse stock of June 17 filed 25,240 shares ($10 par) common. Offering —To be offered to common stockholders at the rate of Underwriter share The shares to be sold . one-for-five. etc. | would be used for other corporatt construction. (F. C.) $36, and preferred, $55 none. will not be sold below the market price on the New York Stock Exchange at the time of the ; Central Ohio Iowa. offering June 29 filed Central Working capital, N. Y. June 7 filed 235.000 shares of capital stock. —F. Eberstadt & Co., Inc. The terms and working capital, exploration, development purposes. • underwriting. per Henderson redeem Carnegie Mines Ltd., Montreal, Canada -V April 27 filed 500,000 shares of common. Price—60 cents per share. Underwriters — Name by amendment. Pro- ' mon, June shares will be offered to without Huyck none. St./' New York 19, $23.75 balance or 24 (letter of notification) 1,000 common shares (par $5) and 500 vClbss A preferred stock. Price, com¬ Concensus, Inc., New York none. Proceeds—To paj June 1117 Economy Forms Corp., Des Moines, Iowa v.//June 27 (letter of notification) 7,500 shares of preferred stock, of which 6,000 shares will be publicly offered and • Capital City Telephone Co., Jefferson City, Mo. July 5 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of 4V2% preferred stock ($100 par). Price, par. No underwriters. To - - • June 22 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price, $5 per share. Under¬ Big Tree Timber Co., Samoa, Calif. July 5 (letter of notification) corporate notes in the amount of $20,000. No underwriter. Proceeds to be paid on minimum annual timber payments. Office, P. O. Box 462, Samoa, Calif. '/v"': Duval's The purposes .•;/,/:>;> /; • or to the underwriters. purchase this stock. ital. • ' funds. • Berry Motors, Inc., Corinth, Miss. June 21 (letter of notification) about 4,300 shares (no par) common stock. To be sold for the benefit of R. $12. Office, Underwriters—Dillon, Rea< promissory notes and to carry merchan¬ dise inventories andt receivables or to replenish treasi Durham Aircraft Service, Inc., New York July 1 (letter of notification) 40,000 common shares (par $1). Price, par. No underwriting. Working cap¬ N. Y. , salaries. /.•%-» off short-term r J " ■ • ,'"Lj 4 stockholders at l-for-9 rate. No underwriters. of corporate purposes. ;■ * .j & Co. Inc. and Dean Witter & Co. will buy unsubscribet preferred; unsubscribed common will be sold either aj July 8 (letter of notification) T,500,000 shares (100-par). To defray cost of exploratory drilling and development work. Office, P. O. Box 1228, Las Vegas, Nev. y'• ' , ^ ' • Den Orado Industries/ Inc., Denver, Colo. 1 "V /' July 7 (letter of notification) 91 units of an oil lease at $250 a unit. No underwriters. Proceeds to pay general Associated 1 V' t ISSUE Exploration Co., Las Vegas, " public auction - . July PREVIOUS capital and used for general corporate purposes, includ¬ ing payment of $12,693,000 in loans to an affiliate, Co- " operative G. L. F. Holding Corp. * ; Office—327 Southern Bldg., Washington, D. C. purposes. ADDITIONS Vc-'v; "i in Knox (Earl E.) ■ Co., Erie, Pa. June 14 (letter of notification) $150,000 first mortgage! convertible .sinking fund 6% bonds, due May 1, 1969. Underwriter—Reitzell, Read & Co., Inc., Erie, Pa/ Price, Volume *170 THE COMMERCIAL Number 4820" . & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL (189) 33 npnmnai made ■■;s.< v/;ik J^vrV4>' v;5»S'; vn * • r for, construction of additions and betterments sub- > 1, 1949. No underwriter. T*o drill and equip oil wells in sequentto: April"30/1949.X Sale deferred luntil jate)r tliis^ j Colorado. .'Office,^838 :Symes ;Bld^., Dteirver,::Qblo." Pp'-'p :'year:'".> ^\n-'-c'^' ' *r* ?•*"; Trenton Chemical Co., Detroit, Mich. V New Jersey Power & Light Co. .(7/19). !-y: - y;v March 30 filed 131,341 shares 6% cumulative convertible June 3 filed $3,500,000 of first mortgage bonds, series due' class B preference ($2 par). Underwriters—Straus & 1979, and 20,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative preferred t Blosser, Chicago; Carr & Co., Detroit, and Lester & Co., stock. Undenvriters-^To be determined through com-" Los Angelesi Proceeds—To build chemical plant and to petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halseyr Stuart & Co;: j replace wbrking tapital used for capital additions. ; * Inc.; Equitably Securities Corp.; Union Securities Corp,.;", I1 Mrs. Tucker's Foods, Inc., Sherman, Texas Carl M. Loeb, Rhpades & Co.; Otis & Co.; Kidder Pea-,; Nov. 26 filed 200,000 Shares of common stock (par $2.50> ' body & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Bids—Bids fpr. • of which .80,000 will be sold by the company and 120,000 r H ?^|!P!P| CALENDAR §f| itJuly 19, 1949 ■*"v. Chicago Great Western Ry, Noon •:/ * (CDT)__-_rr__^T_-_---_EQuip. Trust Ctfs. Florida Power & Light Co., Noon (EDT)____Bonds New Jersey Power V; Noon (EDT)__— &; Light Co;^,r-^ _ _ Jr _ _ __ _ St. Joseph Lt. & Power ^—- Co., 11 ^ 20, a.m. -—-——-Bonds purchase of the bonds will be received up to noon (EDT) 'j 2401, 61 Broadway, New York. Proceeds applied to the payment of the cost of, or in reimbursement of! payments made for, construction of additions and betterments subsequent to April 30, 1949. - (CDT)-Bonds v July 19 at —Will 1949 shares by certain stockholders. : room Pierce & Co., be Underwriter—Rauscher,: Inc., Dallas, Texas. corporate purposes. Proceeds—For general „ , , Central Electric & Gas •- Co.____rw_——...Common England Power Co._-—w—__—___i___^Bonds Kansas City Southern Ry.__„_-Equip. Trust Ctfs. ';V: -j July 26, 1949 Columbia Gas System Inc.^ V Illinois Power Co._ ^ - - 4$%* - - -- -- 'u \,.v: -Debentures -—-'-Bonds 21r 1049 ■■Worcester r - VV' * 1 ■- • ' . New York & Cuba Mail Steamship, New York ' County Electric ; and: "interest.1 Retire $5^5,396Tfiisl/^<>r$gage2 toorid^j:-: orking capital. > ; PPPP\fP'Zfippk' ar U. Rubber Reclaiming Co., Inc., New York (letter of notification) $100,000 5% notes, 1,000 options to purchase 15^000 shares of convertible curau- 1 June 17 filed 190,125 shares of 5.6% cumulative preferred lative preferred stock and 15,000 shares of convertible ($25 par) stock, which Atlantic Gulf and West Indies- cumulative preferred stock. Notes will be offered at' Steamship Lines is offering :in exchange for its own par and interest for subscription by stockholders and' preferred (5% non-cumulative $100 par) at the rate of Ladenburg, Thalmann & Co. and Milton Dammann, as one Atlantic share for three shares of Cuba Mail pre- *' underwriters, will purchase and hold as investment any ferred plus ,$25. in cash. No underwriting. > * -: ^ notes not taken by stockholders/ Each $100 unit will • carry an option to purchase 15 shares of convertible : Northern States Power Co. (Minn.)v ;;1 pSpp'{P July 8 filed $15,000,000 first mortgage bonds, series diie j cumulative preferred stock at $6 per share, r Subscrip- f tions to note are payable before 3 p.m., Aug. 15, next. • Aug. 1, 1979. Underwriters—To be determined through V competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & • Proceeds for working capital. P'-p.'-P-'.-Pp ■ - ; Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly); Upper Peninsula Power Equitable Securities Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fen-; Sept. 28 filed 200,000 shares of common stock (par $!>)• * ner & Beane; Union Securities Corp.; Glore, Forgan &; Underwriters Names to be determined through com¬ Co.; Smith, Barney & Co. Proceeds—Will provide part > petitive'-bidding/ Probable bidders include Kidder, Pea¬ of .the pew capital needed for company's construction : body & Co., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and program. Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis (jointly). ^Proceed*— ■■ New • S. June 29 'v ■ • — "Uly 5 (letter"of notification) 3,700 shares.($1Q par) compn stock. Price, par. No underwriters. To expand facilties for repair of vacuum: tubes.IJQffice, 30 EL Rapcho • Oit Hunters^*inc;,:Fort: Worth, Texas • 'pPiZ ve., Los Gatos, Calif. ; v 1 C / ;:/! *' % t. ><* x ). June 28 (letter of notification) 750,000 shares (100 par) * . • „ ^ LuckyStores, Inc., Oakland, - Calif# 27 filed 400,000 shares, ($1.25 par) comjnbri stock, ;• • - Macco by amendment. Proceeds—Shares behalf of Blair Holdings Corp. / on Corp., Paramount, Calif. "/ ' Maracaibo Oil , 1 dian Securities-Corp., New York. ceeds—To expand - of • • Merrimack , P- ^ writers. Main • productions. o 88 30 ferred Finance (letter N, notification) 25,000 shares of pre¬ and 4,000 shares of class A common. to June 30 (letter of notification) .1,000 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative preferred stock ($100 par) and 500 shares ($10 par) common stock. Price—$200 for a unit of two pre¬ ferred and one shares. common ventory and advertising. • . No underwriter. • of Illinois (Hawaii) June 7 filed .150,000 shares ($10 par) convertible pre¬ ferred stock, series B. Offering — Offered initially to stock June 20 in the ratio of June due one preferred share for each five of commop held at $10 share (flat). Rights expire July 20. Underwriter —Kidder, Peabody & Co. Proceeds — Proceeds will be used for construction and expansion which in 1949 will involve expenditure of about $4,340,500. i per ! England Power Co., Boston : (7/20) June 3 filed $5,000,000 of series C bonds due July 1, 1979. petitive bidding. Co. to be determined Probable bidders: through Proceeds—Proceeds used to of the bond and stock sale will be $5,324,700 of bank loans obtained for construction and to provide money for construction ex¬ pay penditures July 20. off expected to be -P made. Bidding ~ expected 'P New Jersey Power & Light Co. June 9 filed 20.000 shares ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ ferred stock. Underwriters—Names to be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders:. Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co.; Lehman Brothers. Proceeds—Will be applied to the payment of the cost of, or in reimbursement of payments (letter of notification) 1,700 shares of preferred : Price—$25 per share. No underwriter. To buy property and equipment and provide working capital for the staging of theatrical productions. Office, 452 Washington Bldg., Washington 5, D. C. ; • ^ stock. - Joseph 10 (Mo.) royalty filed trust Price—$40 each. ment. Willcox & Gibbs Sewing Machine Co., New York. June 6 (letter of Light & Power Co. (7/19) record June 28 at for each 25 $50 (EDT) July 15. share in ratio of of preferred Rights expire 5 p.m. Underwriting—None. Subscriptions pay¬ common per one shares held. able to Central Hanover Bank & Trust New York. capital. : • To pay loans Co., 70 Broadway, ($250,000), working / . Woodruff bank ' ; (S. D.) & Sons, Inc., Orange, Conn. July 5 (letter of notification) $35,000 of 5% debentures, Underwriter—Day, Stoddard & Williams, New Haven, Conn. To liquidate indebtedness and for addi¬ tional working capital, Office, Old Grassy Hill Road, Orange, Conn. * Worcester County Electric Co. (7/27) 10 filed $5,500,000 of first mortgage bonds, series A, due July 1, 1979. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, and Salomon Bros, & Hutzler (jointly); Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Otis & Co. „ Proceeds—To be applied to payment of bank borrow¬ ($4,950,000) and for construction or to reimburse company for previous construction outlays. Expected July 27. ings • Workers Finance Co. of North Bergen July 12 (letter of notification) $150,000 6% cumulative deferred debentures, due in 20 years. Price, par. No underwriting. To make small loans. / ; , Canada 1,120 units of non-producing landowners certificates, at $247.50 a share. Under¬ Co., New York City. Proceeds Prospective Offerings Arkansas Gas Service, Inc., Ontario, Calif. March 31 (letter of notification) 4,000 shares ($25 par) series B preferred and 20,000 shares ($1 par) common— issuable upon conversion of preferred. Price—Preferred $25 per share. Underwriters—Wagenseller & Durst, Inc.. and Lester & Co. To buy Antelope Liquid Gas Co. June Toronto, Canada ; : June 7 filed 375,000 shares of common stock. Price—$1 per share (U. S. funds). Underwriting—None. Proceeds —Funds will be apolied to the purchase of equipment, road construction, exploration and development. Topside Oil Corp., Denver July 1 (letter of notification) 1,000,000 shares of Series A capital stock (100 par) at 25 cents; 100,000 shares of the same stock reserved as a "bonus," and 100,000 shares at 10 cents to the stockholders of Topside of record May 29 Power & Light Co. in September of Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; White, Weld & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Stone & Webster Securities Corp. (jointly); Equitable Securities Corp. reported company plans sale $8,700,000 bonds. Probable bidders: Halsey, California Oregon Power Co. 27 reported company may issue ,, Sudore Gold Mines Ltd., • notification) 6,000 shares of 5% cumula¬ To tive convertible preferred stock, series B (par $50). be offered for subscription by common stockholders —For development purposes. ■' life in¬ Western Oil Fields, Inc., Denver, Colo. May 19 (letter of notification) 800,000 shares of common capital. Price, 250 per share. Underwriter—John G. Perry & Co., Denver, Colo. For working capital and drilling of wells. writer—Thomas G. Wylie Suburban Underwriter—To be named by amend¬ Proceeds—To qualify the company to sell in any state. surance June filed $4,750,000 of first mortgage bonds, series Underwriters — Names to be ; determined Alherta. 30 ; /Western American Life Insurance Co., Reno 30 filed 12,500 shares ($10 par) common stock. due 1964. • . Spring Coulee Perpetual Royalty Trust, & plans to sell 360.000 shares of common ($20 par) to its parent, New England Electric System, at $25 per share. ' 1979. June Inc.; Kidder^ Peabody & Co. and White, Weld & Co. Burr; Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Lee Higginson Corp. (jointly) and Harriman Ripley & Co. Company also . through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Otis & Co.; Equitable; Securities Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; com¬ Halsey, Stuart & (jointly); Equitable Securities Corp.; Otis & Co.; Union Securities Corp. and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Coffin * > - White, Weld & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Carl M.„ Loeb, Rhoades & Co.; Union Securities Corp. Proceeds —For property additions. Bids — Bids for purchase of bonds will be received by company at Suite 2200, 105 West Adams St., Chicago, up to 11 a.m. (CDT) July 19. New Underwriters—Names Co., New York. Proceeds—For admin¬ expenses and drilling. Statement effective Rose Hilflis Memorial Park, St. Telephone Co. common ' _ 110, Whittier, Calif. . holders of the 4 ; Whittierr Calif. July 5 (letter of notification) $294,500 20-year 3 Vz % con vortible debentures. No underwriters. Working capital and new cemetery property, acquisition. Office, P, O. Box notification) 968 shares of common stock. Price—$14 a share. Middle States is making the offering on behalf of Central Telephone Co; No under¬ writers. :/ ;, 'pp'[ PPPpppP:':pr^UPPP^iP^PP^pApPPPP Mutual to employees only. June 27. (letter of 6 sold istration. For in¬ r Middle States Telephone Co. July be P. G. Cranwell & Office, 4T Central Wharf, Bos¬ . ? Power Petroleum Ltd., Toronto Canada ' April 25 filed 1,150,000 shares ($1 par) common of which 1,000,000 on behalf of company and 150,000 by New York Co.. Ltd. Price—50 cents per share. Underwriters— Mellin's Food Co. of North America, Boston ton. Mass, Washington Theater & Opera Co., Washington, June 27 - Pitney-Bowes, Inc., Stamford, Conn. July 8 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of common stock. Price—$8.54 a share. No underwriter. Stock is; Price, preferred, par; common, $12.50 per share. Under¬ writing, none. Working capital. r' >/P' • $5 March • of (par $1Q) • Harbor, Cooperative Association," Inc., June 24 (letter of Jersey City Co., Pearl Philadelphia Reserve Supply Co. notification) 1,520 5% cumulative pre¬ ferred stock and 65 shares of common stock. Price, $100 per share. Underwriting, none. Working capital and debt reduction. Office, Luzerne and F Sts., Philadel¬ phia, Pa. p Office, J (letter of notification) $230,000 common stock. Price—$50 per share. No underwriter. To build, equip and stock complete supermarket. Office, P. O. Box 982, Honolulu 18, Hawaii, Street, Concord, N. H. Mechanics June dramatic (no par) .uncapitalized expenditures. \ June 27 of Finance (Ohio) Telephone Co. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares dividend preferred stock. Price—$100 a share. No under¬ writers. To help capitalize $587,226.05 worth of hitherto Pro¬ Price—$5 each. weaving facilities. • • Warren July 5 Honolulu Playhouse, (letter 7 • , • Inc., Concord, N. H. notification) $20,000 6% cumulative preferred stock (no par). Price—$50 a share. No under¬ July 34,000 shares, respectively; Copper Range Co., 34,000 owners 11,200 shares. shares and several individual , Mills, Ltd., Tel Aviv, Israel June 29 filed 300,000 ordinary (common) shares, one (Israeli) pound par value. Underwriter—The First Guar¬ Exploration Corp. Consolidated Electric A Gas Co. and Middle West Corp. will sell 120,000 sharea ,i com¬ Palestine Cotton (letter of notification) 49,500 shares of capital stock (par $1). Price—$5 each. Offering — Offered for Kansas. oil July 1 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares (no par) com¬ mon stock. Price—$50 each. No underwriter. For general corporate purposes. Office, 995 North Mission Road, Los Angeles 33, Calif. * \ ! "" 'J 30 subscription by stockholders of record July 13 in ratio one new share for each eight shares held. Rights ex¬ pire Aug. 9. Underwriter,' none but Alfred J. Williams, President, has agreed to exercise rights to buy* 1,487 shares and his wife 651 shares, to which their holdings entitled them. Mr. and Mrs. Williams will buy 17,862 more shares if other stockholders don't buy this much, proceeds—To develop properties in Louisiana, Texas and an Pacific Outdoor Advertising Co., Los Angeles. •. uly 5 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares ($1 par) comon stock. Price—About $5 per share. Underwriter— Edward A. Pellegrin, 1611 Fletcher Ave., South Pasa¬ dena, Cal. ' , June To maintain No underwriter. Office, 203 Maj estic Bldg.;!3Fqrt ' Worth, Texas. < - pany. nderwriter—Names being offered Price—10 cents. stock. .common une Will go to selling stockholders. and June $7,500,000 bonds Probable bidders: Shields & Co. and E. H. Rollins & Sons (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and for expansion purposes. Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Blyth & Co., Inc. and The First Boston Corp. (jointlyL Oregon Power Co. I has applied to the California P. U. Com-' mission for exemption from competitive bidding on a California Company (Continued on page 34) 34 (190) THE COMMERCIAL (Continued from page 33) issue proposed Proceeds of for expansion. 250,000 sale from would additional be used June repay loans and Blyth & Co., Inc. tric June will 30 be given the right to subscribe for an aggregate of 191,500 addi¬ shares (par of?) in a l-for-5 ration at approxi¬ mately 271/2 cents per share. Rights will expire Sept. 13 tional and exercisable are at office & Power 12 reported company may be in the market this with $7,500,000 first mortgage bonds and $3,000,000 common stock, the latter to be sold to United Light & Rys. Co. (parent). Bidders for bonds may include Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lehman Brothers; Blyth & Co., Inc.; W. C. Langley & Co., and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Glore, Forgan & Co., G. Becker Co. & Co. Iowa Aug. 9 Southern Utilities Co. stockholders will vote » creating an issue of $3,000,000 cumulative preferred stock and increasing the authorized common from 360,000 shares to 560,000. Com¬ pany plans to sell as much of the preferred issue as "can be marketed on advantageous terms." on • mortgage bonds. Probable Blyth & Co., Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, alternative proposals Ry. company plans sale at an early date of $5,700,000 equipment trust certificates. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Lee Higginson Corp. a Public Utilities share. Details of the Unsubscribed shares • ' ' petitive of the understand But this, Avenue. The public must under¬ The pub¬ stand this and make the choice. Robin Hood the effect philosophy of Government Laws redistribution of wealth and Regulations capital Not to be confused with the Ad¬ formation. It, of course, doesn't ministration's attitude toward fi¬ understand the role 01 capital for¬ nance. but historically growing out mation and its productive use in a of it, is the impediment of Gov¬ free society. The public likes the ernment laws and on Robin Hood idea in taxes and will continue to do so until it receives truly a effective grounding in fundamental economics. The mem¬ bers of Congress are naturally go¬ Corp. applied to the distribution of proposed • ing to be responsive to what the public wants. Another important impediment is the attitude of the Administra¬ tion toward business, particularly the financial I'm sure the effect on stection of business. I don't have to elaborate that, this has on our capital. Kremlin are ring about them and class hatred breeders of sidious character. an in¬ Mr. Stalin was quoted by the Baltimore "News" last winter an era of as saying that this is Communism, not of Wall Street. Which side way? are we on, any¬ Can it be possible that our Government leaders do not know that our financial markets are glad to say Administrators Acts are likewise concerned with his phase of is heartening is field one ■ess in which bringing progress be¬ which complished too red du¬ tape, operation as possible cannot be as are phasis is that lies at the door of many of our concept industrial leaders in their of management —the real the responsibility toward with the proposed sale back the to economic on of many in this part of the over-em¬ security. owners of the business. asked ICC permission to sell competi¬ Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Shields & Co. a and Harris Hall & Co. free economy. This cannot be our young This attitude is dark a on econ¬ The prospective provider of equity capital takes stock of these pension plans and dives back into hole own ment. our gradual a enterprise. only be done through a It direct this of enterprise by. While these/ difficulties I tioned stand in the have many of does us high hopes his part I for men-. if each still have; way the accomplish-- ment of this task. 1 - (Continued from page 5) of their past performance record could be similarly challenged, but whose records are nevertheless included. In omy. his therefore, socalization of can Government ownership the American people. men, cloud the horizon of any dynamic and, more Inc. (jointly). A fact, the market recognizes this fallacy to seen in with performance. the non-correlation of the State Street, some extent, closed-end companies' as discounts temporarily closed-end company, riskless invest¬ has consistently sold at a premium over-the-counter; whereas other closed-end funds with better investment result performance sell at of . a , I have heretofore spoken about the impediments whose removal requires the active discounts of between 10 and 35%. cooperation public, the Government industry. The final, being highly important factor, is one a our investment business own is responsible only various the . for, and who ones I can we do the are anything internal problems of archaic form, the defensive concept of profits, the wheel-spin¬ ning of our activities from the serious manpower problem. Time does not permit an elaboration of Lhese, but I can assure you that many of and are make us are business them, and find at least conscious of them doing all that our this a we can conscious to of real solution for part of the over-all problem. Widespread great our individual be owner¬ a in strengthening wealth, in to the solidly put these fighting ranks for over¬ advantages adequately mentioned. / Glorifying the American Trust Also "in line with the times," the Wiesenberger book conforms general over-selling tendency, in "glorifying" the trusts, and comparing them with other "sacrosanct" investment media such as life insurance and government to the bonds, which in reality are dif¬ This tendency is epitomized in the book's frontispiece, designed by Rockwell Kent, which shows the temple of "Security" resting on four pillars designated as "Life Insurance," "Savings Banks," "Government Bonds," and "Investment Compa¬ nies." Constructive restraint on the industry's excessive enthusiasms will no doubt be exercised by the newly-formed Mutual Fund In¬ stitute under the direction of Mr. Paul Bartholet. ferent "breeds of pups." Although Mr. Wiesenberger's book represents a masterful and voluminous statistical achievement, some of its methodology reflects industry practice which is open to question. For example, in show¬ ing the comparative expense ratios, in cases of leverage trusts the interest item is excluded from the expense total although the addi¬ tional assets and income which it has brought in are included in the on tool of democratic processes. The op¬ owners and greater investment value base can portunity is here, because of the of funds, The potency the trust field, this latest edition has in¬ the relative emphasis devoted to the open-end weighting their advantages as contrasted with the closed-end units. This year discussion of the closed-end field is relegated to the rear of the book, and nowhere are their numerous relative our merchandising—in particular, . Following the times in creased talking about the am ' , Neglect of Closed-Ends of j the and all of much broader base of ownership stockholders company tively $6,870,000 series B general & refunding mortgage bonds, dated Aug. 15, 1949, due Aug. 15, 1974. Probable predicate for Security on trace ship of securities impediment I power bred philosophy, who are knocking at the doors of industry for jobs, are more interested in pension plans than anything else. ac¬ soon. Another serious one of the Avoiding into uniformity are No your own part process. objectives there progress. plication, cutting down much these of problem, and it standpoint of playing our role in to report that this economic society,' and the very important is the and of field our encouraging signs of regulatory high of¬ ficials in the Administration have am the Privilege" from I much hat ing made in in 1? problem great also can own of whole Over-Emphasis permit flow the i about it. eeded connection stock policy, pension plans, done by an institutionalization of general stockholder relation¬ their savings because this is only ships. a Securities Acts, but we do believe he Acts need changes which will financial markets. Political slogans such as "Wall Street Gluttons of com involves regulations. The securities business does not quar¬ rel with the basic purposes of the freer in common Wheeling & Lake Erie Ry. July 11 would be offered for public dividend that a bidding their of bidders: We present taxes are drying up the community — certainly not the springs of, investment from community itself. Here again the which flow jobs and production real trouble is a lack of public and that this in turn, means less understanding. The politician may real income for the Government know better, but he is going to say and less real wealth for everyone. I what the people want to hear. It would, therefore, seem very Don't forget this—any move that simple to get this tax structure re-1 investment banking makes will be vamped along lines that would from Main Street to Pennsylvania doesn't Co., Topeka, Kan.), and offered to the price of the public offering will be $102 preferred and $11.25 a share for common. and , well lic The for Upper Peninsula Power Co. Teco, Inc. financial stimulate the economy. share June 16 Middle West Corp. and Consolidated Electric & Gas Co. applied to the SEC for an exemption from com¬ Under the terms of a proposed contract between Zenith Radio Corp. arid Teco, Inc., to be considered at the annual meeting of stockholders of Zenith Radio that laid the golden egg. It is rea- made in Main Street and that Wall sonable to assume that the memstreet, as such, is only the major bers of Congress realize that our clearing house of our a public. a value $24 Impediments to Free Flow of Risk Capital again, is naive thinking. expires Stock not purchased by preferred holders will by an investment group (probably underwritten panies proposed to sell the stock at competitive bidding. The SEC has scheduled a hearing for July 6 upon the proposed sale of this stock and the request for exemption from competitive bidding. * General This 7) each Beecroft Cole & Louisiana & Arkansas page for a holdings in the company con¬ sisting of 34,000 shares (17%) and 120,000 shares (60%),. respectively. In their original application for authori¬ zation to sell the stock, filed last September, the com¬ 11 ment. about : be 835.000 shares, including the record date, subscrip¬ tion price and other terms are to be supplied by amend¬ July 8 reported (Continued from five July 5. the Brothers; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, (Inc.). / the right to share in ratio of shares held and 7,000 $100 common shares at $11 per share in ratio of one common for each share of preferred owned. The offer company sale. .;/■; at shares new of covering and Lehman • buy 2,000 preferred shares two SEC for authority to dispose of its stock interest in the Rochester Gas & Electric Corp. GPU stockholders would offered prior subscription rights to the Rochester Gas stock. As owner of all 775,914 shares of Rochester stock now outstanding, GPU would cause Rochester to reclassify the stock into 835,000 shares at a stated certificates maturing half yearly over a 12-year period and cer¬ tificates maturing over a 15-year period. Probable bid¬ ders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. Hall & Co Union Gas System, Inc. Company is offering preferred stockholders be City Southern Ry. (7/20) The company will receive bids July 20 for the purchase of $3,990,000 of equipment trust certificates. Bidders are submit paid by subscribers will be returned expenses. ! is to be sold without limit to stockholders and employees. Proceeds for construction. Rochester Gas & Electric Corp. July Kansas to amounts deducting certain • & Light Co. reports that additional financing will be undertaken to finance construction program. It is ex¬ pected to take the form of an issue of 75,000 preferred shares. Traditional underwriters: Drexel & Co. and The First Boston Corp. 29 that Tellurite Power Co., Salt Lake City July 8 FPC authorized company to issue 3,000 shares (par $100) 6% preferred stock, to be offered for sub¬ scription by stockholders at par. -Any unsubscribed stock Pennsylvania Power June (jointly); Harriman Ripley & provides sale, the after 15, next, of approximately $7,000,000 additional first mort¬ gage bonds to retire outstanding notes and to finance its construction program. Probable bidders: Hal.ey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. (jointly); Equitable Securities Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Finner & Beane; Union Securities Corp.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co. May one • June 28 company contemplates the issuance by Nov. Light Co. year A. share for each five shares held. The the right to subscribe will ex¬ pire 20 days after the offer is made. Under the terms of the proposed contract, Teco, Inc. will agree that; unless its entire authorized capital of $1,000,000 shall have been obtained through the sale of its stock within seven months after such stock shall first have been offered for contract Pacific Power & Light Co. Iowa 15, the right to sub¬ share, for stock ($10 par) of Teco, Inc., per to the extent of Old National Bank of of stock of Zenith of record July scribe, at $10 Fenner & Beane. Spokane. and offer, mon & underwriters: July 26, Teco, Inc. will, if such con¬ meeting, become obligated to (upon effective registration) to holders of com¬ on tract is approved at such of western South Dakota. Montana-Dakota Utilities Co. will lease and operate the facilities. Company proposes to sell $6,000,000 3J/2% first Cornucopia Gold Mines, Spokane, Wash. record Power Thursday, July 14, 1949 Corp. to be held i 3 Montana-Wyoming Gas Pipe Line Co. July 1 this company, recently organized, will be pub¬ licly financed, to build a pipe line costing $8,000,000, to bring gas from the Worland (Wyo.) Unit Area, being developed by Pine Oil Co., into markets now being served by Montana-Dakota Utilities Co. in eastern Mon¬ tana, western North Dakota and the Black Hills region , of Utilities, Inc. Light Corp. Probable bidders: Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. Corp. stockholders CHRONICLE at Chicago Great Western Ry. (7/19) Company will receive bids up to noon (CDT) July 19 at its office, 309 West Jackson Boulevard, Chicago, for the sale of $6,150,000 equipment trust certificates, due semi¬ annually Jan. 15, 1950-July 15, 1964. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Lee, Higginson Corp. Common South FINANCIAL reported Electric Bond & Share Co. plans sale competitive bidding of 803,230 shares of common stock. (no par) which it will receive upon dissolution of Elec¬ shares. common to Probable underwriters: and The First Boston Middle & which the asset and income ratios are calculated. * - . public's uncertainty over the. nomenclature of this new American industry is typified by the book's title, "Investment Com¬ panies." Although this designation is technically correct, per the SEC legislation, it is confusing to the public at the "Mutual Fund" consumer or merely "Fund" seems to level. more apt, and not prone other functioning in the investment field. It is hoped that this will be taken into account in the elaborate advertising campaign scheduled to be launched next Fall. to imply some COMMERCIAL THE Number 4820 Volume 170 when In support of his Taft stated; great regret that I that I cannot vote in favor of ratifying the Forth Atlantic Treaty because I think it carries with it an obli¬ is with "It » have ' to the conclusion come gation to assist in arming at our the Nations of Western expense- Senate attitude, Sen- Charter. Europe, because with that obli¬ gation I believe it will promote war in the world rather than Resolution an ;ion No. 239, adopted by the Senate on May 19, 1948, contained three clauses proposing improvement in the United Nations Charter: first, a voluntary agreement to remove the veto from many questions; second, maximum efforts to ob¬ tain agreement for a United Na¬ to our use ally whether it is (Continued from fir-st page) ator to CHRONICLE if the President not necessary s :hooses ;Taft Says Atlantic Pact "Will Promote War FINANCIAL & is or armed forces and act war fail the ; if Pact I would vote for reservation a were adopted denying any legal or moral obligation to provide arms. ' "The purpose " of American for-? eign policy, as I see it, is to main¬ tain the freedom of the people of this-country and, insofar as con¬ sistent with that purpose, keep tion our sweet own will." the Article 51 to create a reach market based , 1 more aid economic on is however that the belief a world which is prosperous and well off is less likely to engage in war than one in which there are of improved international prganization which could be fol¬ an lowed self. a Largest indicated Summer's heat apparently is no when bankers have a < "In the economic readily acceptable piece of busi¬ ness under way. That was proven quite conclusively by the rousng demand which greeted this week's : . 1 have considered that the best method of preserving 1. the' peace and security of this -country is the maintenance of past, we force to a offering of 25-year 2%% debentures Oil Co. (N.J.). Largest industrial offering ever placed in registration with Standard the Securities the signing Commission, prevent aggres¬ Exchange and this huge sion between those nations with¬ dertaking, offered by out veto and with reliance underwriting on million $150 af new, of by the United Nations it¬ might have established it and that will The deterrent ' great inequalities in the condition of the people. of these 30-year bonds bids It law between the nations is of of famous The church and the main ball at McAlpin Hotel were jam¬ med with guests from all over the world, coming from Swit¬ some zerland. The were band leader thought they actor and actress. DIVIDEND NOTICES Burroughs on which it is least eight opened next at he the group un¬ national numbering a 194th CONSECUTIVE CASH Florida DIVIDEND A dividend of twenty cents ($0.20) a share has been declared upon the stock of BURROUGHS ADDING MACHINE COMPANY, payable Sept. 10, 1949, to shareholders of record at the close of business same day St. Joseph (Mo.) Light & Power Co* will sell $4,750,000 of first mortgage, and signs now Jersey Power & Light scheduled for July offering of $3,500,000 of 30year first mortgage bonds. The proposed offering of 20,000 shares of $100 par cumulative preferrcc has S. F. HALL, Secretary © The New Co. 19 August 5, 1949. Detroit, Michigan July 6, 1949, 30-year bonds, point to at least nine bids for this offering. ■ : also an COLUMBIA THE COLUMBIA ■VtTgM stock has been deferred until the Fall. • CAS SYSTEM, INC ■ Nice Business some 175 underwriters and competent court dealers proved a real "fence This was suggested by Mr. Hamil¬ Philadelphia Electric Co's of¬ buster." ton Fish Armstrong in an article fering of 972,624 shares of addiThis was the case in spite of tional common stock to its share in Foreign Affairs in October, of American armed forces suffi¬ 1948. It is the general plan sug¬ reports that, one or two of the holders, and possibly to employ¬ cient to defend us against attack, domestic and Canadian ees got under way this week. gested xii Senate Resolution 133, largest wd a wise diplomatic policy introduced by the distinguished insurance companies decided to Bankers acting in a "stand- > which does not antagonize other forego their subscriptions at the by" capacity have agreed to nations. These still are the main junior Senator from Alabama add ten other Senators oh Friday, with last moment when the offering take over any unsubscribed essentials to the maintenance of which I have great sympathy. price of 100 lk was announced. / portion of the issue when peace." ■■''• v;--At that level the indicated "But the State Department did "rights" expire on August 11 / "But as the world shrinks in yield was around 2.72% to the .J next. not adopt any of these suggestions size, as new weapons are develpurchaser. And from current and has shown no intention of do¬ The company will use the pro¬ oped; as we inevitably become reports there had been a dis¬ ing so or even followed the advice ceeds to finance construction. more involved in the affairs of of Senate Resolution 239. We have position on the part of some otber countries, it has become ap¬ to consider here the North At¬ potential buyers to anticipate a parent that these weapons alone lantic Treaty as it has been drafted price of 100 which would have Lohrman-Myers Wedding.; will not assure peace. And so we raised the yield basis slightly. without the improvements Sena¬ Miss Margaret Helen Lohrmann i have committed ourselves to the But withdrawal of the few tors would like to see made, but of Woodhaven and Schroon Lake principle of an association of sov¬ which twelve nations probably prospective buyers did not ma¬ N. Y., (Miss Schroon Lake 1942) ereign nations banded together to would. not agree to once this terially affect the undertaking. was married July 4, 1949 at s preserve peace by preventing and Treaty is ratified. The Atlantic On the contrary, demand was nuptial high mass, 11 a.m., at St punishing aggression. In the Uni¬ heavy and widespread and the Thomas the ted Nations Charter we accepted Treaty as drawn is certainly no Apostle R. C. Church, subscription books closed quickly Woodhaven L. the principle that we would go to improvement over the United Na¬ I., to Andrew Breen tions, nor can it by any stretch of with the issue reported command¬ war in association with other na¬ Myers of Elmhurst, L. I. the imagination be regarded as^ a ing a small premium in the overtion's against a nation found by the The bride wore an ivory satin perfection or supplement to tljat the-counter market. Security Council to be an aggresThis highly successful project gown with a flowing train of about Charter. Apart from the obliga¬ sor. This was a tremendous de12 feet; a beaded pearl crown tion to provide arms, the Treaty provided at least a good tempo¬ parture from our previous policy, is permitted by the Charter, wfiich rary antidote for the Summer finger tipped illusion veil; prayer but one which I have always book with white orchids. The says: 'Nothing in the present doldrums which have been gradu¬ urged and approved from the days maid of honor wore a beautiful Charter shall impair the inherent ally settling down over the mar¬ of the League of Nations. I beright of individual or collective ket and brought a note of cheer pink gown; the brides-maids aqua JUiVe that all nations must ulti(7 self-defense if ah^armed attack to the investment banking com¬ gowns; and the flower girl \ naateiy agree to an international occurs years of age and beautiful) wore against a member of the munity. } law defining the duties and oblia lovely, most distinctive pink United Nations' ttrrtil the Security i gallons of such nations, particuKansas Gas & Electric dress. (She is the bride's sister.) Council has taken the measures larly with reference to restraint There were seven priests at the Very evidently there is equity : from f aggression and war. I be¬ necessary to maintain /interna¬ lieve that there should be inter¬ tional peace and ^purity.' The money around if the people altar. Rev. Father John Browne national "courts to* determine Charter merely recognizes this in¬ handling an issue know where to who officiated is a boyhood friend ; whether nations are abiding by herent right as necessary because Igo and lodk for it. This has been and school chum of the groom. decision lives on room early next week. Power & Light Co's $10,000,000 of new first mortgage, Treaty small United times turning their attention to of relatively small utility offerings which are scheduled to Tuesday. Atlantic North 16 authors. series United Nations Charter. "The literature, etc., at Fordham University. Lectured for them on radio in 1948 and 1949, are proposed, a compact under Article 51, based on the defects of the might have been an effort under teaches English With the big Standard Oil Co. which Resolution in Europe. World War 2 in, foreign service. He veteran issue out of the way bankers now junctions of Senate Resolution 239 and concentrated only on that of studied 35 Ahead Issues Small armaments; and, third, a review of the Charter by a general conference called under clause reveals every one making a treaty on the theory ;hat we expect to violate it in ac¬ of national We are, of Nations within the larger group course, interested in the welfare improving upon the United Na¬ Charter, eliminating i\s of the rest of the world because tions we are a humane nation. Our defects, and furnishing an example huge that virtually of the 15 or so more or less recent new bond Issues is now ruling at or above the original offering level. kets iot with Treasury issues, and on perusal of prevailing mar¬ a tions armed force and the reduc¬ this country at peace. t yields Congress could refuse to - Nations Charter. found real solace in the sharp downward adjustment in declare war, but certainly we are cordance in hand. were But municipal dealers have to because I think that Article 109 of the Charter. As far 'with the arms plan it is wholly as I know, the State Department contrary to the spirit of the obli¬ has entirely disregarded those in¬ gations we assumed in the United peace,* and were showing a tendency to "back up" and sizeable inven¬ seems could particularly munic¬ ipals, attacked. But not, the obliga- tories President the .hat issues, new to me oinding upon the United States as i nation, so that Congress would oe obligated to declare war if that were necessary. It is pointed out to go (191) a The Board of Directors has declared this the following day quarterly dividend: Common Stock No. 59, WAt per share payable record - August 15, 1949, to holders of close of business/July 20, 1949. on at DALB Pasker July 7,1949 Secretaryf ^ • - . * COMBUSTION ENGINEERING. SUPERHEATER, INC. • * ■ A : Dividend No. 180 : •'.» ' . .v'- * * •... quarterly dividend of fifty cents (50c) share 1949 all on Company the per outstanding stock of the declared payable July 30, of record at the close of 1949. been has stockholders to business July 20, OTTO W. STRAUSS, Treasurer. ' COLUMBIAN - < CARBON-COMPANY One-Hundred and Eleventh * Consecutive quarterly dividend of 50 cents per share will be paid September 10,1949 to stockholders of record August 12, 1949, at 3 P.M. * ' , ■ the veto provison of the proven time and again in recent months by the marked success of any one veto principally because of the large nations can the action of the Security Council, and because there is not sufficient justice as emphasis on law and a guide to the action of the Council. But we have advised nation President that prompt action should be taken to improve the whether consultation Council, court attack has "Some main as a an or not there is joint action by the finding by any unjustified armed occu&pgdL doubt vml always re¬ to whether the Congress -wap** before our declare forces actually take part, inclined to think such action armed I am or or that must the Treasurer by his presence, he is Rev. Father a number of stock under¬ common takings. The most current support for the theory is found in the case of the sale of 550,000 shares of Kan¬ Gas sas stock & Electric Co. common disposed of to bankers by the American Power & Light Co., and the issuing com¬ recently pany. Pando, Dean, St. John's Uni¬ versity, where the bride had re¬ ceived a B.S. (pre-Med.) degree a few years ago and was a dean's list student. The couple received a special Papal blessing. The bride received her B.S. at St. John's University; studied for M.S. at Fordham, and is now a -■!/": junior at N. Y. Medical College . Bankers paid the sellers $25 IOWA SOUTHERN UTILITIES COMPANY Jose N. Y. ' It is defective ) GEORGE L.BUBB The sub-deacon honored the bride may Charter result in complete/inaction oh enforce that law and the decisions the part of the Security Council. "What is the nature of; that of that court. I believe that in the ■.' ■ •/v,&~ ; end, the public opinion of the Treaty? ■ "It is obviously a -defensive world will come to support the principle that pations like indi¬ military alliance betweeri^ceriain viduals are bound by law, and will nations, the essence of which is insist that any nation which vio- an obligation under Article 5 to lates the law be promptly sub¬ go to war if necessary with any nation which attacks any one rof jected to the joint action of na¬ tions : guided by a determination the signers of the Treaty. %c]h an attack may come from out¬ to enforce the laws of peace. siders, or it may come from one "It is quite true that the United of the signers of the Treaty. The Nations Charter as drafted does obligation is completely binding not as yet reach the ideals of in¬ for a period'of twenty years. It ternational ; peace and justice imposes an obligation upon the which I have described, but it United States to each member goes a long way in that direction. that law, and I believe that there should be a joint armed force to Quarterly Dividend A of Delaware Dividend Notice The Board of Directors has de¬ clared on a a share Stock of the dividend of 300 the Common payable Company September 1, 1949 to stockholders of rec¬ ord August 15, 1949. EDWARD L.SHUTTS, C.^/;'// President. t a i cceded with reoffering to the The groom received his BS:MS and is now studying for his doc¬ public torate in share for the stock and at $26,625 a pro- share. Most recent reports indicated that f the issue is between 80 English. His schools were Peters, N. Y. C.; Fordham' Columbia University, and he St. and 90 per cent sold. Clearing the Shelves tirely bare at the moment, but they, are considerably lighter than was the case a forthnight ago, prior to the sudden shift by the Federal Reserve and the DIVIDEND NOTICE THE MINNEAPOLIS & ST. Treas¬ in their monetary policy. Along at that stage of the game The Plainfield National Bank of Moosup located at Moosup, In is closing its the State of Con¬ necticut, affairs. All credi¬ tors of the association are therefore hereby notified to present claims for payment to the undersigned at said bank. BENJAMIN Dated June 24, 1949 P. DAWSON, Liquidating Agent , LOUIS RAILWAY COMPANY Liquidation Notice Dealers' shelves may not be en¬ ury July 13, 1949t The Board of Directors of this Company 1949, authorized the payment of Twenty-five (25tf) Cents per share on all shares of common stock outstanding as of the close of business July 22, 1949, such dividend to be payable August 1, 1949, to the holders of record of shares of said stock at the close of business on July 22, 1949. on June of a 25, dividend By Order of the Board of Directors. JOHN J. O'BRIEN, Secretary 36 THE (192) COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE : Thursday, July 14, 1949 laws, has served notice that, aU though he has been stopped by BUSINESS BUZZ the House Democratic leadership his pet project to set up a special Joint Committee to soften up the insurance companies from on • • • BeKnd-the-Scene Interpretations from the Nation's • /Iff w\AJ. Capital f-r few JL against the day of Federal regula¬ tion, he, Manny, will at least get B. BLOOPER at this business in connection with his antitrust probe,. SECURITIES (This column is intended to and may or may not coincide with the "Chronicle's" own views.) of today fee given another loan, the Congressional answer, at least as would be an emphatic "don't give them another dime." Congress has been watching in-^ tensely the news out of London. direct cash subsidies to farmers Yet Congressmen have refrained a minimum wage of 75 cents per Ralph De Pasquale Opens Office in N. Y. C. broadened with hour coverage pretty well from sounding off on the subject. The restraint indicates and so on. *iot inattention, but a great deal The President also got aboard of caution. the jumping to the The boys are not conclusion White House the that will back another loan proposal. The Senators and Representatives are refraining from actually ' • expressing the thought for publication generally which many of them seem to have in the back of ' \ of two things: one Either i , plan Marshall the falling flat for extension He of socialist steps to buttress the the Amos the state he in favor of plan ning of finance to a England. #host of loan that assurance proposed. a * loan will a u- - ••••••• The proposed "broad study investment needs" final the amount requested The disillusionment over the The little note both of the was earlier the "Eco¬ and fall political trade, summer the "Economic Expansion Act." The President also gave only in¬ direct encouragement of the cur¬ drive rent get of organized labor to fourth round of wage in¬ a creases. of the ' V,,' will build up just a opposition to the There * were President trade agreements extension and was * '■ ~';Vv' , ' ■'■-I also signs that the instilled with some thinking about the part business investment plays in maintaining business activity, albeit he ap¬ tion proposed by proached the subject about as cans. " ■.», ff * * charily and clumsily as a long¬ time heathen walking down the Apart from a cut in ECA, key church aisle. economy advocates of Congress confess privately that they are One proposal was to extendpretty pessimistic about getting the carry forward of business any blanket appropriation reduc¬ losses. Another was to cut the tion passed this year. Neverthe¬ transportation tax. Congress is less, they say there still is some obviously unlikely to attempt * chance. A strong effort will be such a restricted tax program, help of a little toward the adoption the "peril modifica¬ the Republi¬ point" - " ? made toward the end of the ses¬ sion to get the 5 to 10% as directive ? . If it will passes be an more House again will be The a proposed higher final estate » ; proposal maximum against the The sales line,, to ' extend the maturity of business loans made by the Reconstruction Finance Corp., is a rabbit which pressure leadership block of this proposition. submitting to others, costly. The President, as a concession to his old Senate there the brought to bear the tax laws to these changes and gift taxes. awful to open without the Senate. pass it would be difficult up brought up on the floor of the Senate, despite the Administra¬ tion's opposition. If it does get considered, thi3 economy cut will . effort did not Senate economy rider come out of the RFC hat. Absolutely, the President de- of its loans being for five or six dared himself flatly for deficit fi- years with the borrowers customnancing during a period of declin¬ arily paying off in less time. ing business activity. He renewed, This economic report is nega¬ was expected, of his welfare state proposals. These in¬ cluded the familiar schemes to ex¬ pand the benefits and cial of the conservatives Robert K. McConnaughey, who as Commissioner of the Securities and Exchange Commission, has become a mem¬ ber of the firm of Greenman* Shea, Sandomire & Zimet, which will continue the~ general practice of law in New York City urtder that name,1 and in- .Washington, D; C.} under the name of Shea, Greenman, Gardner & McCon¬ naughey. v • r /•, 0 'WtM "A fine statistical report this is, Pemberton—'Blond, five feet five, 120 pounds and he but to it. hardly There that gave lip service always was this summer the a worry President a very Some time this fall study-will \ party'!"1 warm get a under monetary by way a Economic Committee. line. outstanding believer of the gov¬ ernment way of solving things, Senator Paul Douglas, Illinois That is not out of worry the way. * < * 15! Earl Goldbofd With Mercantile Commerce subcommittee of the Senate Joint might get jittery and go over¬ board for the entire left-wing this of man The Chair¬ subcommittee is an ST. LOUIS, MO.—Earl WYGdld- returning to St. Louis and becoming associated with, the Mercantile - Commerce Bank and bold is Trust Company, Locust-Eighth-St. Charles, in the sales department. Another member is Mr. Goldbold recently resigned During the war the Advertising Democrat. Senator Ralph Flanders, a Ver¬ from partnership in Rotan, Mosle Council was created. This con¬ sisted of advertising agencies and mont Republican, and often iden¬ and Moreland of Houston. He was others, who devoted free the ef¬ tified with the left wing of his in the investment business in*St. forts of advertising men and the party. Another member is Rep. Louis for many years with the ex¬ dollars of big advertisers, to plug Wright Patman of Texas, a pro¬ ception of the last few which he for everything needed to win the fessional fighter of business mo¬ has spent in Texas. war, whether it be selling war nopolies and one who often ., bonds or White be saving fats and oils. The thinks it's House is "interested" now in reported a to proposition said to have been discussed within the Council, that there be an ad¬ vertising campaign pitched along the theme that there ain't going to be a depression. The campaign get under way, how¬ ever, because of the technical dif¬ may never ficulties obvious in trying to fig¬ ure how to sell that one. If business any terested about in the house in¬ is spreading the word Truman Administra¬ tion's medical program and what it would cost and wouldn't do, the Chamber of Commerce of the United States, 1615 H Street, N. W., Washington 6, D. C., has out got "You The a and Basic Socialized Medicine, a Call to Action." The Chamber will mail out copies on bonds. With Fabian &. Co. . (.Special to The Financial Chronicle) The only member of the sub¬ committee the who might be or of with the system as it grew up with the country is Rep. Jesse P. Wolcott of Michigan, ranking Republi¬ monetary having can any system sympathy member of the House Bank¬ ing Committee. Ordinarily Wol¬ cott disdains the JEC, which has become where more and more witnesses can a hand case, ever may that at least so opinion Wolcott can a BEVERLY Charles added off take In a O. to CALIF. HILLS, — Franzen, Jr. has been the staff of Fabian in application. Trading Markets: Ralston Steel Car * Oregon Portland Cement Riverside Cement A & B minority be written to what¬ the subcommittee may hash Rep. Emanuel Celler, New York Spokane Portland Cement ♦Latest Figures Available LERNER & CO. Investment Democrat, House who will Judiciary head the subcommittee 10 Post Office Securities Square, Boston 9, Mass. Telephone HUbbard 2-1990 Teletype BS 69 study of revision of the antitrust HAnover 2-0050 Teletype—NY 1-971 propose • nomic the broad socialist NEW YORK 5 FOREIGN SECURITIES Executive & Underwriting Offices 70 All Issues of last P.AM. MARKS 4 STREET O. INC. FOREIGN SECURITIES 50 Broad Street SPECIALISTS Trading Department 120 New York 4. N. Y, eco- Spring, WALL Tel. WHitehall 4-4540 AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO program Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Firm Trading Markets Congress. only did not & Co.. 9500 Santa Monica Boulevard, forum sound in favor of the "Fair Deal." this ' sus¬ of understanding either pected entitled, Facts and wrong for banks to col¬ lect much interest on government up. pamphlet . The President not so- security, the Brannan plan for McConnaughey recently resigned tively important, in the view of course, scope past Two years ago, in revising RFC's on one of the last of the appro¬ statutes, the Congress placed a priation bills. maximum maturity limit of 10 * * * years on business loans,; on the Taken as a whole, the Presi¬ theory that anything longer thar dent's economic message was that certainly was not a loan but widely regarded as conservative, | a sharing of equity risks. Actualnot in any absolute, but only in a ly RFC does not use the maximum relative sense. maturity, the greatest proportion as the v de¬ its redesigned model for the of hint that Britain might more preclusive bar¬ more that be nomic Stability Act of 1949" and enter into dollar area, is renewed." This ness proposed. ter swaps at the expense indicated "should the upward movement of busi¬ British crisis, particular¬ the study a In Joins Law Firm Left. which serve as lim¬ iting factors to expansion when beginning of this week by the -Senate Appropriations Committee was in the works, more or less, before the British crisis, and the final appropriation probably will not be reduced so much as the ly Robt. con¬ extreme the industries way working out in Britain. The 10% cut recommended at the are Senate group to signed especially to discover in¬ adequacies in capacity in basic " things of the few one President such of development and was cessions achieved the j fey President Truman might be$100 } tnillion or so greater than it would I tiave been but for the beginning of the abandonment of the welfare state program. On the other hand, the . be [ ' appropriation will be but under tut -< ■ The ECA passed, have show—but there is no a Co. Investors of New York. come a Federal production planning agency, government-inindustry, and government loans, and government insurance and guarantees of loans; r \.~~i proposed won't ^ & manager of the trading de¬ man j." plans for only clear / For the moment the indication is that a Pasquale was trading depart¬ Gillespie & Co. and partment for Clark, Kohl & Eyand was a principal of In¬ plan¬ shelf of public works. and Treat was De the ment of E. F. Point IV for aid to underdevel¬ oped countries, and Mr. formerly in Agreements carrying out of the form of the "Economic Expan¬ sion Act of 1949" bill with its in crowd government additional ' business. the Trade Reciprocal Act, veterans. for the Presi¬ dent definitely turned down the scheme of the CIO-left wingers in its face, or it will on more any I for finances j is fall flat if this government takes - f club 52-20 their minds, that what is happenNo one expected the President trig to England's economy at pres¬ to turn Right and call for sound ent is a pretty good indication of cither | Ralph De Pasquale has opened at 25 Broad Street, N. Y. City, to engage in the securities offices bandwagon to continue the asked re¬ flect the "behind the scene" inter¬ pretation from the nation's Capital WASHINGTON, D. C.—Should the State Department's prescrip¬ tion for the latest British crisis just happen to be that England should BROADWAY Tel. REctor 2-2020 ESTABLISHED 1S39 In 2 Sections-Section 2 Reg. U. S. Pat. Office Convention Number New Price 30 Cents a Copy York, N. Y., Thursday, July 14, 1949 » THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE I mm Thursday, July 14, 1949 /A iffei tpfp ■MM ' ' Y/7'^/A Vi j I _ - ' /v.' VZ"7, ^ y^A/Ay/A'/-;, ■1 mMmk , jk W%7M ^ 'tyl'V'Y} ' * t •;&&&&< THE The C.N.R. has been land has St. Rupert on network, a serving the nine provinces of Canada, and most our men Ever since its National has been not AIRLINES that Newfound¬ ten provinces from easterly point in Canada, to Vancouver, Victoria and Prince population. It adds and women more than 700 miles of rail lines, a a telegraph • into the C.N.R. family of more than 100,000. beginnings with the first railway in Canada in 1836, the Canadian an essential factor in the development of our nation. The Canadian only grows with Canada but helps Canada to grow. Partners in a they go forward together into • now all across CANADA fleet of steamships and an important dockyard to the Canadian National System. brings 4,000 National WITH the Pacific. Union with Newfoundland makes Canada the greater and adds vigorous people to RAILWAYS GROWS joined the union, the services of the Company extend John's, Newfoundland, It also NATIONAL CANADIAN J£&At4t/A,'A/fc vfvv*v; STEAMSHIPS • a greater HOTELS future. • EXPRESS • TELEGRAPHS great past, now Convention Number THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL 1 i ' i ; CHRONICLE 3 * OFFICERS 1949 -1950 HONORARY John B. E. Ames A. Ltd., Ridley HONORARY PRESIDENT PRESIDENT VICE-PRESIDENT Arthur S. Torrey Co, A Toronto C. Pitfield A Co. J. A. Gairdner Gairdner & Co., Ltd. Toronto VICE-PRESIDENT H. Norman St anbury Stanbury & Co., Ltd. Ltd., Montreal VICE-PRESIDENT Peter Kilburn Greenshields Co. & Inc., Montreal VICE-PRESIDENT VICE-PRESIDENT C. L. Gundy Wood, Gundy A Co. Ltd., Toronto D. N. Knight Wood, Gundy A Co. Ltd., Winnipeg VICE-PRESIDENT K, D P. Duggan M. Duggan Investments Ltd, Edmonton EXECUTIVE ASSISTANT VICE-PRESIDENT THE TO PRESIDENT SECRETARYTREASURER DIRECTOR OF EDUCATION i W. J. Borrie Pemberton Vancouver A Son Limited Vancouver Joseph W. G. Clark J. A. Kingsmill Investment Dealers' Investment Dealers' Assn., Toronto Assn., Toronto H. L. Gassard Investment Dealers' Assn., Montreal Policy and Economic Trends Canadian Budgetary 22 it On March was as Budget I o chapter in in and m o In other respects it marked the opening of a chapter. Sees strong new it the Govern¬ dian ment First, that, tax C. Abbott Hon. D. barring catas¬ the trophe, # had come postwar price inflation end. There might still be a and downs in prices but, speaking generally, the powerful inflation¬ ary forces generated by war had largely spent themselves. Recent events appear to have justified to an shortages and some ups few view. our Taxes Reduced , 1 Substantial tax reductions were Parlia¬ ment and, in accordance with our practice, put into effect imme¬ diately. The details are readily therefore recommended to than more shall not give brief description of I and available a income cut in forms: The changes. taxes took main the two first, an increase in the basic ex¬ emptions and in the income de¬ ductions for children; and, second, a reduction in the rates of tax. The basic deduction for single was raised from $750 to $1,000, and for married persons from $1,500 to $2,000. Where the taxpayer is in receipt of family allowance payments (ranging from $6 to $9 per month), the deduction for $ child was raised from $100 to $150. For other dependents the exemption was raised from $300 to $400. These changes meant a return to prewar levels of exemptions. persons reduction in fates, the structure of the tax schedule was thoroughly revised and*simplified. As a result, three out of every four of those liable to pay income tax will be subject to a Apart from rate of 15% income — of their net taxable reduced of and;%p Jess. more no sulting from the benefit the reductions^ re¬ Canada against their personal income tax equal to 10% of the dividends they re¬ ceive from common shares of Canadian taxpaying corporations. Thus, double taxation on the divi¬ dends received by an individual shareholder of a small corporation earning up to $10,000 is, to all intents and purposes, removed. lower resident in a credit shareholders allowed were of Shareholders corpora¬ though significant, receive tions larger less, relief. undertaken, These reforms were deterioration in the profit position of Canadian corporations, but because in the government's view, the economic development of Canada depends upon the willingness of our people not of because any risk their money to in construc¬ tive enterprises. Reform in Excise Taxation 1949 The job major field the in removal taxes. Budget also did a of simplification and excise of Special wartime taxes on as transportation, tele¬ soft drinks and candy were grams, abolished. These which taxes did we "nuisance" were not wish to forward into our permanent addition, a num¬ carry tax structure. In ber retail of taxes trans¬ were formed into taxes at the .manufac¬ All were know This of more is reflected par¬ his additional earn¬ ings has been raised to the $25,000 is bined estimated effect emptions be to of and bring that the the com¬ be rates one-third ex¬ will less from personal income tax than the 1948 rates. r revenue something about recent developments in this field. Yet, probably the most significant feature of the recent Budget was that, substantial a lief, I ance was even Structure were the Budget was intro¬ Canadian corporations duced, required to Federal porate tax of profits. pay 30% As in flat rate a on the all cor¬ United States, dividends, when distribu¬ were taxed again as part of income. For several personal years it has been the declared ted, aim of the Canadian Government to introduce a measure of reform into this system of corporate tax. During war and the inflationary period following the war, little could be done. In 1949, however, when substantial tax relief could be given after giving of measure tax able to predict between revenue a re¬ bal¬ and expen¬ diture—indeed if things continue they are, a small surplus. In other words, the 1949 Budget was prudent popular : Budget, without fear of feeding inflation, the opportunity arose of as well as a cumulated to ensure unsatisfied this of themselves, the a in the of rest carry-over into demand the postwar period. Some of demand was for goeds usually possible partly because in recent years we have been following a deliberate policy was During the past have been able to remove or relax mand into was sources the and therefore channeled of supply in Canada United States. Canadians almost have more always imported from the United States than ices, on pent-up demand for American products reached record propor¬ tions. Imports from the U, soared from a level of about $500 million in 1939 to $1,405 million in 1946 and almost $2,000 in 1947. million and the rest of the world, and Europe import unless or surplus the from United Canada, States ac¬ cepts far more imports from Can¬ than ada she Canadians much from the past, purchase as States as they has in cannot the would like to. Multilateral The a solution problem must of necessity involve a reestablishment as far as possible of the sys¬ this to basic tem of multilateral world and a trading, breakdown of artificial bar¬ has therefore goods. taken an energetic part in the discussions leading up to the formation of the free convertibility of currencies, International Trade Organization. Canada had sold more to countries We participated actively in the America than she States. war had changed all this. Currencies were The dollars built up tiations now taking place at Annecy, France, for the extension of the Geneva Agreement. As part of the effort to over¬ the United States have been of war. particular importance to us in Obviously this could not go on helping to expand our earnings of forever.. Our exchange reserves American dollars. from about $1,500 million at the United States. A third watched discovery is also being with keen interest in Canada, that is, the discovery of than more ilmenite bec. 200 million at Allard Plans been have of tons Lake in Que¬ for made the building of a railway and a processing plant to exploit this deposit in the near future. So far, titanium, which is derived from the ore, has been used chiefly as a pigment. Recent experiments, however, have resulted in the production of metallic titanium, a new metal which may have many important uses. When the costs of production have may been reduced production be begun the of on a com¬ These important which sources natural re¬ just on the development should improve our exchange are of verge greatly position vis-a-vis the United States, both by reducing our im¬ ports and by increasing our ex¬ ports. Already it is being pre¬ dicted short that within period relatively a of time the output of oil from Alberta will be suffi¬ cient to satisfy the needs of the whole of Canada, although it may be economically more efficient to Agreement on Tariffs and continue a two-way trade in Trade, and we are continuing to lend our assistance in the nego¬ petroleum products between Can¬ during the the end of 1945 to $500 million by con¬ open Geneva longer freely convertible. As come the adverse trade balance long as she was able, Canada sup¬ with the United States, the Cana¬ plied credit to overseas countries dian Government places a great to bridge the gap on a level at deal of importance on tariff con¬ least as generous as that pro¬ cessions granted by the United vided by the United States. But States in return for reductions in goods sold on credit produced no the Canadian tariff. The reduc¬ earnings with which to buy the tion in the American tariff on American goods Canadians were beef and beef cattle, and the in¬ demanding. We therefore had to crease in the size of the quota of pay for them with reserves of gold Canadian cattle allowed to enter American low-cost are trade talks which resulted in the no and favor of tons deposits mercial scale. Canadian Government has Before the war, in the days of North million The large and of good grade and metal Trading Favored recognized clearly that Canada had bought from them, and had used the foreign currencies re¬ 300 sufficiently, riers to the movement of Exchange Situation of assured. ditions imports. enable them to they exported to that country, but after the war this diverted an J outside is pit Any lasting improvement in our mining during six months of the are several large exchange position, however, de¬ year. There sources of water power within pends on more fundamental fac¬ convenient reach of the ore zone. tors, involving conditions of world Plans are under way for the trade generally. As long as the rest of the world is unable, for building of a 350-mile railway to the St. Lawrence, from where the one reason or another, to earn ore can be shipped to the steelenough dollars through commod¬ ity exports, the providing of serv¬ producing areas of Canada and many in particular, can be increased this sufficiently for Europe to pay for im¬ its ported from Europe, which were not available. This unsatisfied de¬ fell one. This result of debt reduction. Reform of Corporate Tax Before interested to Canadian a higher reduced in will as taxable income level. It of the recently deposits of iron ore along the Q u e b e c-L a b r a d o r boundary has not yet begun, but experts are satisfied that a Exploitation minimum controls to discovered imports of capital, to buy more freely in North America, the Canadian world, unable to purchase a exchange position vis-a-vis the great many things which they had United States will depend upon come to regard as essential to the level to which we can expand their standard of living. Both our own exports to the United voluntary savings and savings en¬ States. Put in its boldest terms, forced by the government ac¬ unless United States imports from found with common United also incomes. most of the war period, Canadians been reduced to 10%. Chronicle" ticularly in the fact that the point at which the taxpayer is required to surrender to the Treasury 50% fvDuring sulting from this export surplus to purchase U. S. dollars to pay for her import surplus from the level. of the "Commercial and Financial providing additional incentives to those earning somewhat higher troubles special excise higher than 10% at the manufacturers' level have turers' taxes which middle and groups, ,the government realized the importance of Not that we are free of such items I give prominence to tax changes because I believe readers to accrue time to come. some This reduc¬ and anxieties. The crippling ef¬ tion was specifically designed to fects of the war on world trade help the small family-type of could not help but have some business. On profits in excess of effect on Canada, depending as she does to sueh an extent on the $10,000 the rate was raised to 33%. At the same time individual export of her surplus products. the exemptions new rates for $10,000 of cor¬ first the on will levels in Canada at high sufficient ore that incomes and employment remain reduced the rate of we income or as economy. porate profits to 10%. a While most of the and of making a start on the reform the corporate tax structure.- Cana¬ fields should soon new supply the re¬ quirements of the Prairie West. are under way for the building of pipe lines to important centers throughout the west. was judgment the of Canadian and output Plans and history. For be in Alberta both made from these aiding development increasing risk capital. Describes excise tax reforms, and contends, despite tax reductions, nation's budget will be balanced. Defends Canada's exchange restrictions and calls for increased U. S. imports to remedy situation. dividends elimination of double taxation of tial financial been in Saskatchewan, and trend. Estimates one-third loss in revenue from personal income taxes 1949, and upholds Canada's reduction of corporate taxation and par¬ eco- i c n have changed a Canadian oil, and already production figures have doubled. Futher discoveries jgv:;g" ■ Dominion, of Canada Holding postwar price inflation has now ended, chief financial officer of Cana¬ dian Government outlines tax reductions put into effect to conform with this marked the end hon. douglas abbott Minister of Finance, Minister of Finance for Canada to present the annual Budget. In many respects this lege ^by ^ privi¬ my Thursday, July 14, 1949 CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL THE 4 The Canadian Government and businessmen generally ada and this forecast eliminate an United is States. realized, it If will drain enormous on Canada's reserves of United States dollars. If the Labrador field pro¬ duces 10 million tons of ore a year, and most of it is sold in the United States, we will have found a very profitable new source of American dollars in the export of iron. Similarly, imports of titan¬ ium may be reduced to negligible proportions as a result of the titanium discovery. These three alone of savings and earn¬ ings of American dollars will go sources far to ance overcome of trade our with adverse bal¬ the United States, which by 1948 was already reduced to $300 million. Canadian November, 1947, and to a low of attach great importance also to $461 million in December, 1947. attempts to relax customs formal¬ and Quick action was necessary, and ities practices which are the I have dwelt at some Canada's of „ trade length position on because the importance it holds in the economic life of in our nation. But November, 1947, the Canadian often more effective than tariffs this report would not be complete imposed rather se¬ themselves in hindering the inter¬ without some mention of the national flow of goods. The Gen¬ vere restrictions on the importa¬ domestic economic outlook. In¬ tion of a number of eva Agreement dealt with this commodities ernment has been ternally, demand remains high. reduced by from all countries. No one regret¬ problem, and we earnestly hope After the war there was a tre¬ $1,625,000,000, roughly 12% from ted these restrictions more than that'those countries which signed the level of March 31, 1946. Last mendous upsurge in capital in¬ we Canadians, who have become the Agreement will make a seri¬ year our vestment, surpassing in relative surplus of just, under ous effort to so accustomed to American prod¬ comply with its terms even the $600,000,000 was in excess of total huge investment ucts and who, as a matter of prin¬ terms. Canada itself amended its boom in the Uninted States. The expenditure of the Federal gov¬ ciple, do not like quantitative re¬ own Customs Act for this purpose impetus given to the industriali¬ ernment in a typical prewar yaar. strictions on trade. Fortunately in June, 1948. zation of Cananda as a result of Recent developments have given While it did not seem desirable these restrictions, coupled with war demands had provided a sup¬ us hope our drive for more exports to the that our dollar shortage to maintain taxes at a level cal¬ ply of trained workers and of United States and large off-shore will not be a permanent problem. technical knowledge, and a do¬ culated to produce another sub¬ purchases by European countries I refer in particular to the dis¬ mestic market ready to accept stantial surplus in 1949-50, out of ECA funds, resulted in a covery of large oil reserves in Canadian products. Continuing Western Canada and the extensive neither did there seem to be any marked improvement in our ex¬ shortages as a result of the iron and titaniferous ore deposits reason to budget for a deficit. The destruction of plant change reserves which reached a in Labrador and in Europe three fiscal years, i.e., during the three years ending March 31, 1949, the net debt of the Federal gov¬ view no we reason then to had alter — it and now I see — is Government level of $1,067 million by of March, 1949. the end Consquently, we In Alberta, Quebec. extensive drillings have uncovered large deposits of and the extraordinary (Continued on page back-log 27) - THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 5 In Attendance at I.D.A.C. Convention AUSTEN, J. F. Wi':-' ' KNIGHT, D. N. ERTL, E. C. I "The Financial Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Ltd. Montreal Times," Toronto EVANS, F. O. McLeod, Young, Ltd., Montreal AYLSWORTH, A. R. Cochran. Murray & Co. Toronto , BACKIIUS, H. , < S. Weir & & Co., Eastern Burns Bros. & Denton, Ltd. Toronto Brawley, Ltd. A "The BELL, H. B. Di¬ Dealer's Co., Ltd. GALLAGHER, C. A. Toronto & b. R. of A. Cochran, Vancouver "Oil in Canada," Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. de PENCIER, JOSEPH Collier, Norris & Quinlan, Ltd. Toronto de PITRAY, L. Co., Ltd., Toronto Paris POPE, E. R. Milner, Ross & Co., Toronto MURPHY, HAL E. "Commercial & Financial Daly Co., Ltd., Toronto Calgary Toronto Matthews & Co., Toronto & Co., Ltd. OLIVER, A. E. I. Dominion Securities Corp., Ltd. Ottawa Harrison & ' NICKLE, CARL O. MITCHELL, N. A. Canada, Ottawa " Murray Toronto MATTHEWS, PAUL W. Son McKIBBIN, R. B. Montreal Brawley, Cathers & Co. h. McLENNAN, A. W. Mills, Spence & Co., Ltd. J. A. M. Co., Ltd., Toronto MATHESON, A. Nanton, V, NEWMAN, M. F.7 Mills, Spence & Co., Ltd. Vancouver Bank & Co., Ltd. , Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Ltd. Toronto McCULLOCH, R. G. Osier, Hammond & Ltd., Winnipeg Ltd., Investment gest," New York W. C. Harris & Co., & .Montreal ' MASSEY, A. B. Cathers & Pemberton • FROST, JACK Montreal Harrison Mcintosh, City Co., Ltd. Vancouver Corp., MALLON, f. P. McALPINE, W. D. J FRASER, G. LYALL Western BEAUBIEN, A. S. | L. G. Beaubien & Co., Ltd. Securities, Ltd., Toronto Co., Ltd. R. Ames NESBITT, A. D. Dominion Toronto FARNSWORTH, H. R. Royal Securities Corp., Calgary Toronto Securities E. Winnipeg MAGEE, E. D. B. Co., Toronto Saint John Edmonton BEATTY, D. S. & A. Securities, Ltd. Toronto MacMURRAY, J. A. Securities, Ltd., FALKENBERG, CARL, Carlile & McCarthy, Ltd., Midland Securities Ltd. Mackellar ..'-v. ' LACE, F. D. Matthews . Montreal Co., BARTLETT, H. D. BE LSI! AW, ; EVANS, W. J. S. : Guildhall McLeod, Young, Ltd., Toronto Weir MURRAY, J. MACKELLAR, S. R. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Winnipeg 7-" Chronicle," New York (Continued 10) on page GASSARD, H. L. Toronto The Investment Dealers' Assoc. BEVES, GEORGE E. Calvin of Canada, Montreal Bullock, Ltd., Montreal GEE, HARTLAND W. BLACKMORE, O. RALPH "Globe & Canadian Mail," Toronto BLAIR, K. S. Vancouver la de GLASGOW, EDWARD Societe Generale Peter D. Belgique, Brussels Son Vancouver, BRENNAN, F. J. E. Curry & Co., Ltd. Melady, Sellers & Co., Ltd. 7"Jr., Winnipeg BROOKS, L. GRAY, R. A. Gardiner, Wardrop, Ltd., Toronto McBride, James Richardson , BULGIN, J. D. Dominion Securities Corp., Ltd. & Sons, Winnipeg GUITE, J. P. Credit Interprovincial Limitee Winnipeg Montreal CHALMERS, L. P, W. C. Pitfield & GUNN, E. H. Co., Ltd. Midland Securities Ltd., Toronto Toronto CLARK, J. W. G. GUNN, N. H. The Investment Dealers' Assoc. Bell, Gouinlock & Co., Ltd. Canada, Toronto Toronto CLARK, ROBERT E. HANK, K. Canadian National Railways, Bullock, Ltd. York 7:; COCHRANE, A. C. Bankers Bond Montreal HANSON, T. R. Corp., Ltd. Goulding, Rose & Co., Ltd. Toronto Toronto COLVEY, D. Canadian The Canadian HEATH, S. B. Dow-Jones, Toronto COMBE, C. V. HEYWOOD, The Winnipeg "Tribune" Winnipeg & Gardner, Anderson & These branches reach into Co., Toronto HUGHES, J. R. COX, MURRAY & Co., Inc. Montreal every Canadian agricultural community; through the great forest areas; into all the rich min¬ HUNT, A. D. COYNE, B. L. W. C. Pitfield & Co., Toronto COYNE, J. E. Co., Ltd. Montreal ing sections, including the new oil fields of Western Canada; as HUNTER, H. W. Canada, Ottawa Fairclough & Co., Ltd., Toronto CURRY, PETER D. Peter D. practically Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Toronto F. H. Deacon & across Saskatoon HOWARD, A. L. Oldfield, Kirby Ltd., Winnipeg Greenshields the Dominion. through its 550 branches GEORGE James Richardson & Sons, COPLAND, R. A. of Bank of Commerce offers Canada-wide service Walwyn, Fisher & Co., Ltd. Montreal Bank ■" GOWER, WM. E. J. Brennan & Co., Ltd. Saint John Calvin 7 '■■■■■ " F. B. Ashplant & Co. New York Ltd., Vancouver New ' ■■■ GOODEVE, C. W. Pemberton & of ':'T:W ' Winnipeg BORRIE, W. J. F. Canadian Bank Connections Montreal BONVOISIN, PIERRE de Ltd. GENGRAS, GERARD Rene T. Leclerc Incorporee James Richardson & Sons Bank Alliance Corp., Montreal Curry & Co., Ltd. Winnipeg well JENNINGS, JOHN E. the as major industrial centers. Enquiries cordially invited. Jennings, Petrie & Co., Ltd. London DEAN, R. H. JENNISON, G. L. Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Ltd. Montreal Wills, Bickle & Co., Toronto JOLLY, C. E. DEWAR, H. H. Dominion Securities Investment Bankers' Assoc. of America, New York JOYCE, JAMES H. DINGLE, D. B. "The Financial Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Post," Toronto Toronto KEATOR, A. S. DUFFIELD, A. R. Dominion Securities Corp., Ltd. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. / Montreal The Canadian Bank of Commerce Montreal KILBURN, PETER DUGGAN, K. P. D. M. Corp., Ltd. Toronto Duggan Investments, Ltd. Greenshields & Co., Inc. Montreal Head Office: Toronto ' Edmonton . r- *'■>. /.;• . 1 ' ' : ;• v . • ; ' *. • DUNCAN, J. L. Wood, Gundy & •• .• • A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. Vancouver ELY, E. II. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Toronto EMBURY, F. G. Digitized A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd., Toronto for FRASER Toronto KINGSMILL, Co., Ltd. " . • _ KIMBER, S. B. ■ . . . • , 550 4, Branches /I • . ' - J. A. New York Seattle Portland, Ore. San Francisco The Investment Dealers' Assoc. of Canada, Toronto KINNEAR, E. F. C. W. C. Pitfield & Toronto • Across Canada and in Co., Ltd. London, Eng. and The West Indies Los Angeles THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, July 14, 1049 Consumer's Interest Comes First As : opportunity of address¬ ing this world Congress of fellow businessmen in Quebec City. It is particularly fitting that you should the this Eu¬ best and traditions Ca¬ own our nadian life are finely so Leading Canadian retailer contends distributor's aim is to see highest living standard is given consumer, which he, as a producer, makes possible. Says only practical solution of this problem is found in private business under free profit-motive enterprise, and denounces devices for restricting international trade and weakening domestic competition. Attacks economic system based on "congery of private and government efforts." city esque where sents value line the at ance the from ducer. It stage along primary pro¬ every E. G. Burton therefore In origins. way a the belief and Canadians it past should be cher¬ the with apparent needs of That is the Chairman of our Commission, Mr. subscribed to beliefs for many years. His splendid service to businessmen engaged in dis¬ Emile Bernheim, has fundamental these high level of produc¬ It is pro¬ a tidy formula, no set and simple recipe for solving this the most complex problem of will solutions rather nessmen ments. than exercise Let's look First of all must look again tremendous advance in retailer, many de¬ a con¬ have been made but not all them tailer by any means. finds the quite he same cannot control The re¬ exercise the over the idea basic on which the old-fashioned somewhat as and archaic. In our "disillusioned world able to exert over pro¬ Marxism in various guises is sub¬ xacturer is The duction. of maker cars, of stituting a religion of burnt offer¬ of any other object can ings and half-truths for the true tribution the world over has long almost, at will, control output pathway to progress. We must been recognized. It has been, how¬ radios, limits. within in his reasoned ever, for service to the consumer more that the enthusiasm greatest tribute should be paid to Mr. Bernheim. I am hon¬ ored to be able to do that here today. retailer must the fact that while only face also The everyone's time is spent in productive effort, every¬ a portion is one 24 hours consumer a Whether in of day. a eating or merely sitting favorite chair, or sleeping, things already made for the In addressing myself to the sub¬ consumer are gradually depreciat¬ ject of the consumer as the dis¬ ing at a varying but sure rate. tributor's priority No. 1, I might The retailer has really no satis¬ point out that the views expressed factory way of measuring these here today may perhaps offer a changes in replacement demand. different side to this question In most of the countries whose which is of such vital importance representatives are here there is a Distributor's Aim to distributor every of the we a irrespective tendency of country in which he does To begin, business. it is important remember that the consumer is human being, not some weird specie of economic man. Part of the time in addition to being a consumer he is also a those a producer to a recurrent character, produce goods and services in of excess can be the rate which at distributed. they We must member that while the re¬ capacity to distribute may at times be over¬ on or our more correctly standard of supplier. And it is through living have not as yet been ap¬ functioning of the market proached, Of course, in totalitar¬ place that he is able to change ian States the major swings of our and a the roles to achieve his ultimate ma¬ wards tions. about contribution the of balance on should and will receive he all each has made producer. a for our can be extremely distribution which which is market he is. generator wheel of the entitled. the at and our value The made tern. of a pre¬ be defined pat¬ Strangely enough, in addi¬ according to a the magic of legislated source wealth, time, the same also the progress balance economy. and selling of goods on a basis of competition regulated by the laws of Ever since the First Great War to open supply and demand. Business¬ may enter it at will or with¬ men use of in¬ given it has as people our unquestionably much higher a that it is the now know distribution of dur¬ mass able goods is We principle method possible. of large scale shrink production. Decentralization in Distribution Decentralization in distribution, particularly in some centers United States, nas marked develop¬ been the of another ment. Tne of the larger increase tremendous in the number and use of automo¬ biles has created traffic conditions shifts and bound are the population exert location. store cn in to effect an which influence There is also shopping habits of on the shorter work-week. The super¬ market which is usually a one- story operation for the self-serv¬ ice sale of foods is no longer the exception but the rule in tne en¬ virons In North American cities. of the United States, and more a hybrid but recently in Canada, the area completely integrated form of re¬ market is able to operate. tailing has come into being. It is known as the community shopping fastening a burden of increasing weight on our econ¬ center, about a half-hour's driving omies is subtle, hardly noticeable distance from a key city or sur¬ in the palatable way it is offered. rounding towns. Situated in a to open This process of You can measure, gentlemen, how close you are to the static state where there is little risk, little draw from it when stimulus must be most imperative limit is consumer It this tendency in which the have witnessed we business economies do not exist. The governments of those coun¬ they wish. virtue ous selected standard of living can and delicate pattern experience where the ness community who think they greatest advances were made un¬ should be protected from competi¬ der the stimulus of rewards and tion using various devices of their own of monopoly, eartelization, penalties, price-fixing and the power of the Freedom has come to be thought state to establish restrictive stand¬ of mainly in political terms, an ards. Both these shortsighted intangible to which most of us groups who wish to throttle com¬ give lip service but little further petition using the excuse of either thought. In its specific application freedom of the market is the most general or special interest have valuable tool which any business¬ adopted, knowingly or not, the fetish of "security." man can have to assure that the receives The It contains during the years of this cen¬ Within it a further constructive tury a belief that a central au¬ influence since the greatly in¬ thority can and should legislate creased market make possible by greater wealth into being from its use also permits tne economies business consumer the form of service. up of adding by division, of there are all too many in the busi¬ complex ing costs of department store oper¬ ations. Nearly all this increased cost has an offset in the value which the customer receives in whereby as intentioned, ideologies when realized be according standard of living. Unfortunately there has grown operate goal which is of course the consumption of goods and serv¬ ices. The sale to a consumer is terial shares even but consumers well substitute always but slow and stalment selling has been matured is made to¬ and refined in recent years. Credit the greater wealth of na¬ selling is no longer regarded on No promises are or can be this continent as a somewhat dubi¬ tion to those who look to the state no which I repre¬ one a better job consistent progress aoing realize the hard fact that however consumption It makes provision for the buying loaded, the limits is great. Some businesses will fail because others are more efficient, as hundred years. Adam Smith, who wrote the "Wealth of Nations," has come to be regarded of distribution that the manu- rate tion ard of living has been made over past the as sell the statisticians talk about mount¬ market is allowed to func¬ effectively, the risk element open to the of re¬ not only merchandise but merchandise plus service. That sent, should It its true of course where the stand¬ our two-way a structure , made at this further. we delivered to control some where needed, there we must be¬ gin. of importance to the govern¬ distributor at cisions busi¬ by by the Because best can found be the within zations Risk and Profit no democratic society, yet I am con¬ vinced that the only practical of these develop¬ some tailing. On the one hand we see the development of the self-serv¬ ice, low cost, type of store; on the other, established department stores have been enlarging both their merchandise ranges and service facilities in response to consumer demand. Such organi¬ goad to technological prog- a TOSS. There is most difficult but im¬ a a portant challenge. When goods are of Distribution that the high¬ by his activities as sumer the future. In Europe, see make possible. ducer that ished but made use of in accord¬ ance tributors' aim to most of epitomizes Americans values of the It should be the dis¬ distributors? experiment in est standard of living is delivered cooperation to the consumer which the con¬ and cultures of sumer between two races different successful a with tion. is readily understandable why the retailer dis¬ blended. In¬ charges a particularly important deed Quebec and often unappreciated responsi¬ is symbolic of bility. What is the challenge to our free world, of are ments? There has been vS shift pictur¬ rope's ' President, Simpsons, Limited chosen have What By EDGAR G. BURTON, C.B.E.* retailer, I wel¬ Canadian a come semi-rural of a area it usually consists department store, food mar¬ ket, specialty shops various of production and consequently little kinds, a'restaurant and that typical tries, therefore, tell their people competition are intense enough to distribution, by to what degree American landmark, the motion of our apparent inadequacy to forge and shape individual dis¬ the country in which you live is picture theatre. the point at which this final claim meet this problem. The reason tributors' policies labelled a "mature economy." To At the merchandise level today, according to the on a long chain of productive ef¬ why there are no such fluctuations ever changing needs and priori¬ me this is a term which should there is greater use of product fort takes place. The total price in the volume of business in dic¬ ties of their customers. Surely have no place in the world in marketing research in order to pin which the consumer pays repretator States is that those regimes the point where the competitive which we live, for there is no real down the particular wants of the ♦Introductory speech by the Fourth Plenary Burton at Mr. Session of the International Cham¬ ber June of Commerce, Quebec, Can., on a minimum basis where production is barely geared to the basic necessities to sustain life. Nevertheless, economies there is a in our own challenge to retailers to deliver goods in bal- 16, 1949. is the arena where where the forces of goods pass the can bands of the retailer. the ability of majority of consumers. This can be very valuable in that it helps to avoid waste by reducing the as long as there is That com¬ the challenge of risk, the lure of gamble in producing the mass itself felt profit, the fear of failure and the markets. Used intelligently it from on to petitive spur makes right back to all levels of business, satisfaction of In this as a Progress should success. although com¬ are hampered at country petitive forces various points, risk man consume. be made effort are risk capital and finding outlets in business. During the past four years Canadian business has un¬ dertaken the greatest capital ex¬ pansion in the history of our coun¬ try. In this short space of time about $10 billion will have been spent by business as their bet on the future. tion It is those to a who would see, we do not agree that all our static state. can As you can be satisfied by existing plant. Nevertheless, restrictive practices either of gov¬ PRODUc*S Canadian Copper Refiners Limited 1600 ROYAL BANK BUILDING . . . TORONTO 1, ONTARIO market research. By putting so the majority's wishes there is always the danger much that emphasis on the minority of consumers they want. Sec¬ ondly, by placing too much regard will not get what on producing for sufficient a current attention market, not be given to experimenting with new and improved products. Market make a wants lower prices and bet¬ I might point out, how¬ ever, there are two possible dan¬ gers in placing too much faith in may decisive rejec¬ Canada consumers mean ter goods. research at the manufacturer's and retailer's level help does, however, eliminate to some of the guesswork in merchandising. On the continent have we re¬ ernmental, industrial or labor cently initiated one of Europe's origin have been growing in the tested methods of making known past 20 years and were given established lines as well as new added impetus by the control phil¬ products. Our Second Canadian osophy which permeated our International Trade Fair has just come to a close in Toronto. thinking during World War II. It Within this more restricted retailers are do¬ ing what they have always done, attempting to find new ways and means of serving the consumer. competitive area, has had in a real measure of success permitting wholesalers and tailers to discover able goods to sell. (Continued new re¬ and desir¬ Our friends in on page 26) THE Convention Number GRIFFIN, H. S. FINANCIAL Bell, Gouinlock & Halifax Toronto :':v RIDLEY, JOHN B. A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. Toronto KILBURN, PETER Greenshields KILBURN, PETER Greenshnelds & Co., Inc. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. ISARD, C. E. Isard, Robertson & Co., Ltd. Inc. Co., Winnipeg McCULLOCH, R. G. Toronto D. •.:*? Matthews & Co., Montreal COLE, J. N. Wood, Gundy Corp., Ltd. MURRAY, J. R. Co., Ltd. Winnipeg STEPHENS, S. C. James Richardscn & Sons Winnipeg (Continued Ltd., Regina Toronto E. Ames & A. HOUSTON, W. M. Houston, Willougkby & Co., LACE, F. Nanton, Osier, Hammond & Ltd., Winnipeg Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Ltd Winnipeg 1 MASSEY, A. B. Mills, Spence & Co., Ltd. BEAUBIEN, ANDREW S. L. G. Beaubien & Co., Ltd. Securities, Ltd. Lightcap KNIGHT, D. N. (Chairman) Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Winnipeg BENHAM, H. A. ' Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Winnipeg London Montreal GUNDY, C. L. & (Chairman) LIGHTCAP. J. S. AUSTEN, J. F. Toronto Montreal Stanbury & Co., Ltd., Halifax Co., Ltd. HUNTER, H. W. Fairclough & Co., Ltd. Eastern District STANBURY. H. NORMAN 7 Western District GUNN, N. H. (Secretary) Wood, Gundy Corp., Lta. mittee CHRONICLE Executive Committees I.D.A.C Dominion Executive Com¬ COMMERCIAL and 11) on page Montreal Toronto KNIGHT, D. N. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. EVANS, W. J. S. Guildhall Securities, Ltd. -• jXX:'X; XvV' Montreal Winnipeg DUGGAN, K. P. D. M. Duggan Investments, Ltd. Edmonton Rene-T. Son Vancouver, For Garneau, Boulanger Limitee Quebec • i G1NGRAS, G. BORRIE, W. J. Pemberton & GARNEAU, J. EMILE a World of Service , Leclerc, Incorporee Montreal Ltd., Vancouver RYAN, G. G. L. G. Beaubien & Co., Ltd. Montreal HUNT, A. D. Maritime District W. C. Pitfield & Co., STANBURY, H. NORMAN (Ch.) Stanbury & Co., Ltd., Halifax BAGNALL, E. M. F. J. Brennan & HUGHES, J. R. Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Montreal, Co., Ltd. Ltd. Montreal NESBITT, DEANE Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Ltd. Montreal v Whenever you ■ Charlottetown on COLWELL, R. M. Eastern Securities Co., Ltd. Halifax FISHER, F Central District business may GUNDY, C. L. (Chairman) Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Toronto ' : be every or sure "Go Canadian Pacific" in holiday mood a . . . . . . you of courteous, gracious service mile of journey. your C. Eastern Securities Co., Ltd. BACKUS, H. S. ',V; ■ , RAILWAYS McLeod, Young, Weir & Co. Ltd., Toronto Saint John HILLS, HARRY Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Halifax BAWDEN, H.N, Dominion Securities Corp., Ltd Toronto MACKAY, H. H. W. C. Pitfield & Co., Saint John Ltd. MORRISON, GEORGE F. J. Brennan & Co., Ltd. Halifax WIN SLOW, CASTLED1NE, V. S. V. S. Castledine & Co., Ltd. Ottawa CHALMERS, L. P. W. C. Pitfield & Co., Ltd. STEAMSHIPS Toronto J. D. Winslow & X Woodstock Winslpw, Ltd. .XXIX' X\XXX:'-; to Bankers Bond Toronto By WATER Cruising the Great Lakes DEANS, M. C. Corp., Ltd. .cX-V"---s::' XX-'' Alaska ... or Atlantic broad ... "down North' or by White Empress across the . . . Canadian travel efficiency. Pacific hospitality and style is marked by traditional ,, Dewar Praises Work oi ID AC AIR LINES The swift, modern planes of Canadian Air Lines maintain to on the rim of the Arctic two routes Pacific regular schedules reaching across . . will . soon operate the Pacific to Australia and the Orient. HOTELS HOTELS and luxurious COMFORTABLE sorts ... Communications . Travellers Checks complete a which make Canadian COMMUNICATIONS . . chain of services Pacific the World's Most Complete Travel System. EXPRESS SPANS THE Full information through your own Agent or any WORLD Canadian Pacific Office " re¬ Express and Canadian Pacific Railway—Mastei be of more than passing that from the outset it was recognized that It may President, challenged, President of Canada's lead¬ who believe in work to explain and main¬ tain it. Holds organized business concerns can make most effective use of natural resources, labor and capital under system in which consumer is "boss." Extols profit motive and hints C. P. R. is "designated for nationalization." Says present level of freight rates is inadequate, and new capital to expand facilities is not available to meet transportation demands. Cites low price of C. P. R. shares. the Rail¬ way in per¬ petuity was a for private enter¬ prise. This fact clared by why Parliament in 10 Second, to do everything years before company our the was economy incorporated. Moreover, the and _ William A. Mather of preference construction and operation of the railway as a pri¬ for Parliament vate rather than rating the company. There are two of our aspects relationship which I should like to discuss briefly. The first is in regard to our position as owners, operators or managers of private enterprise in a free economy. The which transportation is called upon to second is the contribution render in the development free way of under life and the conditions which contribution that be made with the efficiency and benefit. may You and of our I can throughout the lifetime of your Association and the history of the all of the Does Not Condemn >{?■!; ■■ Social Legislation doing so, we are not con¬ demning that social legislation by which opportunities in health and education are more evenly dis¬ tributed, and which affords some protection against poverty in old age or other personal misfortune. Far from being opposed to humanitarianism, we welcome it. The fruitfulness of private initia¬ tive and enterprise has made it possible for the State to afford gradually increasing measures of social welfare. Nor do measures some mental control regulations to of see govern¬ that fair provided and the are rules enforced. Our concept is that, under free enterprise, individuals or groups of individuals, organized as busi¬ ness concerns, can generally make which I represent, free enterprise has been the accepted basis of our order of doing things. the most effective use of our na¬ But today free private, enterprise tural resdui-cel, labor arid capital is being challenged, in one way in producing goods and services or another, in nearly every part to satisfy human wants. The very of the world. Even on this North American continent, where it has simple reason for this is that un¬ der a free economy the consumer achieved its greatest success in is the "boss." He is at liberty to promoting high living standards, the principles of the system are spend his dollar where it will go farthest in providing his wants. by no means universally accepted. The producer must govern him¬ Believing as we do, it is our duty self accordingly and his profit to follow through in two main will be measured by his success courses of action: in satisfying consumer demands. company and nessmen 26 cents. The distance is almost exactly the same in both cases. Lumber William costs only ton existence depends upon their ability to anticipate and meet consumer requirements. Dangers of Bureaucratic Plannning is not so; but perhaps we should more frequently and with greater conviction give the simple refuta¬ tion mistaken this to is and harm¬ the regulator that directs the means of produc¬ tion into those channels where it idea. can the Profit satisfy consumer demands to maximum degree. Under a system in which production and prices respond to consumer pref¬ erences (and this is the essence of the free economy), the exist¬ ence of profit calls into service more resources, where the the consumer of absence for the has indicated Conversely, profit is a signal them. for need a labor and capital release of means of pro¬ duction from their previous use the attention ernmental as is needed ensure' honesty and fair play. The alternative to this system, by whatever name it may be called those to planning is who the of wants can never consumers gauge the with such delicate precision or such constant solicitude as a multitude of busi¬ plan to General "Nationalization"? for the when the planners are able to govern the Nation's affairs. Why we should be so honored, I do not IN HAS ACTIVELY UNDERWRITING big warn however, likely to you, not are having killed off The SINCE ITS GOVERNMENT, CORPORATE PROVINCIAL, MUNICIPAL AND ALSO EQUIPPED TO EXECUTE ORDERS ON ALL STOCK EXCHANGES. fate TWO WALL in producers Canada. the vital I and need role con¬ hardly which rail¬ play in the economy of the Canada from as the nation a Atlantic to Pacific national and since Although or still have Confedera¬ forms of into come have been the- to has grown other during that period, which upon economy prospered developed the railways artery of major There is every believe be VANCOUVER LONDON, ENG. cost cents almost in MONTREAL denied. to WINNIPEG VICTORIA Last freight the Canadian Pacific 65 mile. other TORONTO unprec¬ traffic we As result, a our net fair return a in ment the invest¬ on railway property. We have been able to provide some to rived from is come in the the ton per years any world ago, was believe modern the rail I mile. the shippers was only In 1885, the corre¬ 1.20 cents per that in no industrial can year country there be found transportation provided at lower average cost. Detailed in connection with to the tem¬ world freight Commissioners by the da an rail¬ increase in which, if granted, rates in Cana¬ our considerably below the level age in the freight the aver¬ States. 20% in¬ allowed, an the level of Canada would in rates represent has United if even is crease ap¬ Canadian 20% a rates, will still leave advance since 1939, less than much been experienced in wage rates, material costs, or the cost of living in that period. A moment ago I mentioned that the level of freight rates today is below the true current economic cost of rail transportation and that railway earnings fall far short of yielding a fair and equitable re¬ turn on way property. in heavily I the this am investment There situation of many in is a which upon us and it is sure you rail¬ factor weighs one have that en¬ countered in your own industries. I refer to the problem of replace¬ ment costs. Accounting practice dictates and income tax authorities permit de¬ preciation to be charged against amount of, but of, the original cost of property being worn out in service, less the salvage value of expenses not in in of today the excess equipment various ments bear out the idea that rail¬ de¬ railway than other attributable for ways cost move¬ income large markets, and we have benefited through our stock ownership in the Consolidated Mining and Smelting Company. As you know, there is presently pending before the Board of comparisons specific commodity because of owners unusually percentagewise, transportation sponding figure % materials. and railway basic ton Telephone worth 4-2400 of enjoyed in recent years, the railway revenues have not kept pace with the rising cost of wages Moreover, 1.13 STREET, NEW YORK 5 volumes came into being through the building of the rail¬ ways and the railways have pro¬ vided, in war and in peace, the on 5. Notwithstanding the edented Transport the average I tion. have plication all cannot & Co. Unfortunately, the present level of freight rates is below the true economic cost of rail transporta¬ of that, given a chance, they will continue to serve the country in this way for INCORPORATED know we is to which bears upon the interests to come. That they have given cheap, as well as efficient transportation E. Ames it porarily high prices of base metals many years A. maintain the record for operations. Much of this other in¬ fair i We are proud that Canadian railways have been able to give cheap transportation, not only last year, but for many years in the past. It is our ambition to the hunters transportation. INQUIRIES ARE INVITED Cheap Transportation in Canada can catch him. No doubt the lowly gopher will be the last on the list. / the antelope and maybe even sprightly jack rabbit, if reason YOUR in the Western United areas States. the are CANADIAN tural return existence IS to at less than the rates which are charged from De¬ troit and Chicago for movement over equal distances to agricul¬ the the await transportation IT Ontario Western points the tion. SECURITIES. from moves Prairie com¬ of the CANADIAN important many Agricultural machinery deer, game. will moose country. DISTRIBUTING modities. like ways ENGAGED AND with movements of manufactured reputation. I be satisfied after the ORGANIZATION comparison exists in same earnings are at an unhealthy and dangerously low level. They do not give anything stretching FOUNDATION ship¬ to know, unless it be the pro¬ pensity of the hunters for big game and the establishment of a stress OUR Maine in for the Canadian Pacific. attack against the free way of business. The Canadian Pacific Railway Company is one of the enterprises already desig¬ nated for "Nationalization," if and sumers 1949 The connection has been worked &ut A strategy Railway in the realm of trans¬ portation—problems, the solution 1889 points good for Canada and what is good for Canada is good May I now turn to certain more immediate and pressing problems faced by the Canadian Pacific canadian securities Chicago from move Phila¬ delphia at 81.62 cents per 100 pounds, while the movement from shipping points in New Bruns¬ wick to Toronto, which is a longer distance, is at 46 cents. ping that CPR Designated for the be, it it for Staff, whose common purpose is to de¬ feat the enemy, but quite a dif¬ ferent thing to estimate the myriad and shifting wants of the whole population in peacetime. of needs well-'ntentioned may the wartime, however, thing, one the that the hunters bureaucracy in good is that if say Washing¬ and should be good in peacetime. It is politically, is a bureaucracy of planners. Any bureaucracy tends to entrench itself and to gloss over its mistakes. But however, a1 consumers That requirements. tary answer The profit to civilian of wants must be subordinated to the mili¬ which they will find greatei* favor with the consumer. incentive and the fear Of red figures are the spurs con¬ stantly prodding businessmen into serving consumer wants with the utmost diligence. The merit of this system is that it is almost completely self-ad¬ justing. It requires only such gov¬ in wartime, because dispensable Potatoes area. The tendency toward bureau¬ cratic planning was powerfully stimulated by the experience and necessities of war. Such planning was inevitable and is indeed in¬ Detroit the to to cheaply more State of from the than whose producers, Ontario Central Columbia British from moves very regarded as being anti-social in thought and action. We know that to others in question the need we profit is represented as being a most unworthy objective and anyone who strives for it is ful In for enterprise system. We sometimes take it for granted, because free and prosper, continue to promote the general well-being of ■people. •••;' greatest in the free believe con¬ grow can government a enterprise, is stated in the pre¬ amble of the Charter incorpo¬ within to maintain the under which the power ditions quarters, at home and some abroad, believe in it; we In citizens First, to tell our fellow de- Fort to Saskatoon from ment re¬ was peatedly the cheaply Company ing transportation system urges those Canadian matter Canadian Pacific Railway Asserting free enterprise is today being responsibility and risk of con¬ and operating services are rendered more in Canada than in the United States; for example, one hundred pounds of wheat move from Billings, Montana, to Duluth at 60V2 cents,-while the move¬ way " structing Pacific Work of Private Enterprise By W. A. MATHER interest to you to know the Thursday, July 14, 1949 and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL THE 8 and installations. The replacing is much (Continued in that property excess on page of 26) the THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Convention Number 9 U. S. Direct Investments in Canada Increase A recent report on "United States Direct Investments in Can¬ ada," excluding Newfoundland, is¬ sued by the Canadian Department of Commerce and published under authority of the Rt. Hon. C. D. Howe, Minister of Trade and Com¬ merce, reveals a steady and in¬ flow creased United of States Canadian enterprises during the last three years. Ac¬ cording to the report, direct in¬ vestments of United States capital capital into praised by any single criterion. subjective factors arising from erating expenses of the larger manufacturing com¬ be¬ Of significance in judging the po¬ close business relationships be¬ Canadian cause of the inclusion of all in¬ sition of United States direct in¬ tween Canada and the United panies controlled in the United States. In making this analysis stances where one-half or more vestments in Canada there are States. The degree of control and of the capital is owned in the such objective factors, for exam¬ active management exercised in only the larger United States con¬ United States. The group, there¬ ple, as the relative place which Canadian companies controlled in trolled companies in Canadian have been in¬ fore, is not limited to investments these occupy in the total number the United States varies greatly manufacturing which are actively controlled in of Canadian businesses, in the from company to company and cluded. These constitute, however, the United approximately 81% of the total States but includes value of investment, and in the United States centrated cases rather with where one than con¬ company potential control may value majority sharehold¬ ment. rest with the of production and employ¬ But in addition to factors j' from industry to industry. The study which appears in Section II of this report has been investment of all United States controlled manufacturers in Can¬ ada large and small as there is a object of an¬ concentration in the operations of alyzing some of the factors in the in Canadian industries and other non-resident control there is a tically such as the extent to which position which United States di¬ 154 concerns in which the capital businesses controlled in the special interest in the place which control is exercised, the influences rect investments occupy in Can¬ investment was at least $1,000,000. had States United of value a $2,428 million in 1946 and $2,544 million in A stantial rise 1947. further value the in in vestments occurred sub¬ in¬ of ers in that country. such Because of the characteristics of direct investments occupy in Can¬ adian not industry. one which these as upon be readily ap¬ are others prepared with the style and design of Canadian adian This position is products can there which cannot be measured statis¬ and upon the industry. business presented environment generally, and many value of production, This 1948. resulted from the transfer of large amounts of Canadian branches Can¬ to reinvest¬ Canada of the in ments of capital new and from continued ada earnings sub¬ and sidiaries by United States parent Preliminary incomplete concerns. returns indicate that the value of United investments direct States in Canada by the end of 1948 may have exceeded $2,700 million, with part of the increase year being in manu¬ the major during the facturing. . rV; . manufacturing in in Canadian concerns controlled investments The United the million in 1947, States $1,366 were 1946, $1,488 million in well probably and over $1,600 million by the end of 1948. The group of direct investments occupies a special place in total investments of United States cap¬ in Canada which ital in of all totals types of investments United are million in these latter Included 1947. States of holdings Canadian government and ipal $5,157 were million in 1946 and $5,187 bonds, portfolio corporation munic¬ holdings in Canadian stocks and bonds, and miscellaneous' invest¬ ments, as well as the direct in¬ industries Canadian in vestments Total investments and businesses. in Canada by all non-residents are estimated at $7,175 million in 1947, including investments held in the United Kingdom of investments and overseas other in million. of United investments Direct capital constitute a special of non-resident investments States group in $1,642 million, held countries of $346 investments these As Canada. represent active or potential con¬ trol over a Canadian of group businesses they constitute a more positive form of investment than more passive types like port¬ public issues the folio investments in of securities. have led Canadian duction development resources of 0\d * evet cot** and Canadian the into of and the intro¬ industries new businesses investments Direct the to They have consequently economy. accelerated and diversified Cana¬ industrial dian substantial curred ments in in in this group recent 1 statements 1939 years 2. and the 1947 and A has oc¬ of invest¬ as shown doMP development. expansion k® ^f°t> , |Q Cert*0® ,sQ \V»e oW **" Between value of the whole group increased about $663 million or 35% through reinvest¬ ments of earnings and fresh in¬ flows of capital for new invest¬ ments and expansions of existing establishments. During this eightyear period the value of United States direct investment in Cana¬ dian manufacturing rose by $500 million or more than 50%. The direct investment group has been taken ments to in include Canadian all invest¬ companies where 50% or more of the capital United States. was in the owned In addition certain other instances of important minority holdings by States companies have been included where they are United known trol. of to have There direct stances are constituted in the category certain in¬ the majority of the investments were con¬ shares may be widely held in the Rlitfci POWER & PAPER COMPANY, An LIMITED analysis is of the investment, the and the op¬ In using the analysis, therefore, it should be borne (Continued in mind on page 25) that, and FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL THE 10 CHRONICLE Thursday, July 14, 1949 Increasing Ontario's Power Facilities Ontario, Canada's frontranking manufacturing province, low cost the vital be built at Windsor and construc¬ SAUNDERS, C.B.E., K.C. ROBERT H. By In tion is underway. A second steam generating station is scheduled for Chairman, The Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario hydro-electric power is force sparking an Chairman Robert H. Saunders furnishes details of construction un- program the of The Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario designed to supply adequate leading manufacturing province and to meet the power In 1948 two developments Eastern in Northwestern Ontario. one The were service—one in put into and waterpower completed and is at Stewartville former on the Madawaska River and the lat¬ Aguasabon on the north shore Lake Superior. With a ca¬ ter of ROBERT precedented H. era pacity of 60,000 kilowatts (80,000 h.p.), Stewartville serves the highly-industralized sections of SAUNDERS of industrial de¬ velopment. To keep pace with the everincreasing demands; for more electricity from the manufacturer, the householder The and the farmer, Power Com¬ Ontario is making Hydro-Electric mission of ing rapid expansion with a vast program designed to add 1,125,000 kilowatts, or well over 1,500,000 horsepower, to its power resources by the end of 1951. At the same time plans progress are proceeding the conversion schedule for the 25-cycle on of areas of Southern cycle power, Ontario to 60- project requiring to complete and expected to cost approximate¬ ly $200,000,000, from 10 to a 15 years Initial steps of the construction with the end of the war in 1945. from plans drawn up prior to the close of hostilities and previously blocked by the lack of essential materials. In fact the shortage of materials has persisted but in a lessening degree, almost up to the present time. Nevertheless, work went ahead as rapidly as possible and in September, 1947, the first chap¬ ter was completed with the open¬ ing of a second 57,000 kilowatt (77,000 h.n.) generating unit at DeCew Falls in the Niagara Pen¬ got program insula. Eastern Ontario with 60- and 25- cycle power through the medium of a frequency changer at Scar¬ borough just outside of Toronto. * source paper is ; in the future strategic sites along this historic stream, dams and power the province. an plants are in varying stages of construction. First, both in point and degree of at Des Joachims, 40 miles upstream from Pem¬ broke. Designed for an ultimate capacity of 358,000 kilowatts (480,000 h.p.), second only to the great Queenston-Chippawa sta¬ tion among the Commission's plants, Des Joachims is expected to be delivering power from four of its eight generating; units by of flourishing Lakehead district. This plan has a capacity of 40,000 kilowatts (53,000 h.p.). The generating resources of Ontario ther in 1948 by the fourth unit at Ear a Falls in the Patricia district. from Des Joachims and 12 miles from the town of ceeding The Renfrew, work is pro¬ the Chenaux project. on is and six of its eight expected to be in serv¬ horsepower, addition brought the station's ca¬ units up to 18,750 kilowatts (25,h.p.) and provided a valuable source of power to the important gold mining properties in the Red ice Lake and Woman Lake areas. Present estimates place pacity 000 The fourth addition to power resources net from a Hydro's during 1948 was water power develop¬ but was from the Polymer Corporation's huge steam generat¬ ing nlant at Sarnia. Through this ment medium watt added an by 1951. The third Ottawa project is about 60 miles upstream from Des Joachims near the town but can the at quency er vV\; be is 60-cycle power Westminster Fre¬ Changer and Transform¬ Station near Major theatre of the Commis¬ parts of Cave for distribution Northern will be carried on a transmission line built through to Sudbury. To feed the Southern System an¬ built to the transformer station in Barrie. will line other be Grid tric developments underway tacular-canyon project, is sched¬ uled for completion early in 1950 and will furnish 42,000 kilowatts (56,500 h.p.) for the Sudbury, Nipissing and Temiskaming dis¬ tricts. Pine Portage, far to the northwest, above Lake Superior, will deliver power to the Thunder Bay System, augmenting the supply now received from existing plants at Cameron Falls, Alex¬ ander and the previously men¬ tioned Aguasabon Generating It will have an ultimate Station. capacity of kilowatts 120,000 (160,000 h.p.) and will start initial deliveries with a capacity of 60,- (80 000 h.p.) in 1950. phase of Hydro's ex- Chenaux will be fed into Another and the Dansion program is the building steam generating power sta¬ of One tions. with is in the unique position of being 000 able to serve both an projects, these of ultimate capacity, of 120,- kilowatts In work the at sites, extensions and im¬ provements to the transmission being carried on systems are throughout the province in 1949. New transformer stations and denser stations for the con¬ regulation of voltage have been erected, and frequency-changer a Westminster in demands the built at was handle to increased western section of Southern Ontario. New The Generating Commission Facilities has also been in active exploring potential sources of power to help meet anticipated consumer demand growth over the period that must necessarily elapse before the ma¬ jor developments upon which it is now engaged can be brought into service. As a result, emergency generating stations are being in¬ stalled and are to be supple¬ mented to some extent by Diesel electric units. Some of the former will be installed where existing sources of steam are available thereby eliminating the need for installation the of steam gener¬ ators. Arrangements are proceed¬ ing for emergency installations having a total capacity of approxi* mately 60,000 kilowatts (80,000 h.p.). Hydro is also giving considera¬ tion to ments peg further on power develop¬ the English and "Winni¬ in Rivers Northwestern (Continued on page 22) Municipal Utility and Industrial Securities from page Paris Gairdner Weir & Co., Toronto STEPHENS, S. C. James Richardson GEORGE Toronto, Ont. SWINDELL, G. S. Halifax, N. S. Hamilton, Ont. Saint John, N. B. Winnipeg, Man. Charlotte town, P. E. I. Calgary, Alta. St. John's, Nfld. TAFTS, W. M. A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. Bell, Gouinlock Winnipeg Toronto ROBERTS, R. G. Ottawa, Ont. Toronto New York Thomas & James Richardson & Hammond R. Nanton, W. Eastern Securities Daly Co.. Ltd., Toronto ROWLAND, L. O. "Canadian Finance," Winnipeg L. G. Beaubien & ■ Securities Corp., Toronto HArbour 3121 ADelaide 7104 & Co., SELLERS, WARREN , "The Telegram," Toronto SEYMOUR, H. F. Greenshields & Co., Inc. Montreal WILLIAMS, L. B. |v Hagar Investments Ltd., s' SELLERS, GEORGE H. Bay Street Montreal Montreal A. E. Ames, & Co., Ltd. Toronto :'£; Ltd., Winnipeg Melady, Sellers Winnipeg Co., Ltd. WEST, R. B. Co., Ltd. Montreal Royal Securities Corporation Limited Sons, Saint John ST. PIERRE, G. Dominion & I WEBB, G. W. M. Bell, Gouinlock & Co., Ltd. RYAN, GERALD G. British West Indies Sons, Kingston WATT, CLYDE T. R. A. Correspondents in Bermuda and the Co., Pittsburgh Calgary .%! URQUHART, D. E. B. ROBINSON, C. S. ROBINSON, Ltd. ;;; Toronto Ltd.. Calgary — Co., TURNEY, A. H. James Richardson & ROBERTSON, W. H. Mills, Spence & Co., Ltd. Osier. & TOMASIC, A. E. Dominion Securities Corp., Ltd. Vancouver, B. C. Sons, Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Winnipeg RIDLEY,, Quebec, Que. & Winnipeg T. Winnipei Montreal, Que. Co., Ltd., Toronto STANLEY, IL D. Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Canadian Press, Toronto Dominion-wide service, with offices at: & Winnipeg Co., & H. McLeod, Young, Ltd., Toronto RHUDE FORBES RICHARDSON, 5) SHAW, D. B. A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. .Tames Richardson & Sons with Along power Banque Nationale pour le RATCLIFFE, J. 330 the of part SIIARPE, S. G. POUTNEY, F. B. Houston, Willoughby Ltd., Regina St. W. latter this Commerce et l'lndustrie, 244 St. James the respect it will be the initial link La Wire connections: Montreal — Toronto in 1948. Southern and Ontario. (Continued Public occurred as will (160,000 h.p.) POSE, ALFRED, Canadian Government, de¬ Ontario System. They will also assist in offsetting power supply short¬ ages due to low river flows—such at present are located at Pine Portage on the Nipigon River and Tunnel, on the Mississagi River near Thessalon. The latter, a spec¬ System Power from Des Joachims Southern the ex¬ consumer The two remaining hydro-elec¬ 000 kilowatts Closely-Knit Northeastern London. Southern and the This presages a day, long visualized by Hydro engi¬ neers, whien through the tie-ins of a closely-knit grid system. Hydro power wherever generated, will be interchangeable through¬ out Ontario. The power from La- Southern Ontario System. LaCave changed to 25-cycle new Rapids. LaCave's generating capacity at 153,000 kilowatts which is the equivalent of 204,000 horsepower. Initial deliveries from this plant are expected to begin in the lat¬ ter part of 1951. available to the Southern Ontario This LaCave at potential (30,000 h.p.) has been made System. Mattawa of kilo¬ 22,500 are Northern in Commission the designed to have an ulti¬ mate capacity of 119,000 kilo¬ watts .or approximately 160,000 augmented opening of Ottawa the Down It fur¬ were is the Summer of 1950. development of the Northwestern importance completion, province's underway . important of power for the pulp and industry and a key station Aguasabon present time is on the upper reaches of the Ottawa River. At three ' in mand between the two great power sys¬ the to meet the pected increases in tems of of power reserve Tremendous approximately $200,000,000. sion's construction program at the new ex¬ initial of 155,000 kilowatts or approximately 200,800 horse¬ When completed, the steam generating stations will provide a demands of manufacturer, householder and farmer. Es¬ Frequency Conversion Program to cost is an power. 1,125,000 kilowatts capacity will be added by 1951. timates it and area capacity electric service to Canada's ever-increasing Toronto pected that it will have Victoria WILLIAMSON, Ltd., A. H. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. Vancouver WOOD, J. M. D. Fry & Co., Toronto YOUNG, N. D. Dominion Securities Ltd., Toronto ' Corp., THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 11 Canada and the National Railways By R. C. VAUGHAN, C.M.G. Forgetting the Indians, and taking no note of the Vikings, who established sand years ago colonies tory the Canadian rail executive points out though Canada had European settlements early in 17th century, its actual development as a great trading nation did not begin until coming of railways three-quarters of century ago. Since that time, in peace and war, railroads have been inextricable part of Dominion's economy. Describes vast operations of Canadian National Railways, extend¬ ing into all transportation services on land, sea and air. Sees railways suffer¬ ing from inadequate rates and insufficient capital to improve facilities. but left scarcely a dis- covery of N ewf ctund- land by Cabot in 1497. A dec i si v e step forward t with Jacques der would out Car¬ decades later and the history of the country really got under R. C. way the first French settlements of 1604 and 1608. But in the mod¬ political sense, Canada is more on than 82 old. years It July 1, 18-37, that the North American no was British colonies were united, under Confederation, into the in Dominion it 1867 province created was of Canada. of Manitoba the Prince could 1870, British following year Co¬ granted. portation remained and tive Island in 1873: Saskatchewan and came that or rail¬ was eastern of and the min¬ wealth of tne tapped eral and puipwooo north, of it been said that trade nas xollows the flag. It would be just as true to say, in Nortn America at any rate, tnat trade ionows locomotive wnistie. even an it industrialization ploitation, leading trading nations of the world, taking an increasingly im¬ portant part in world affairs, has in barge ranch lands to settlement and ex¬ the concentrated the empire of tne western grain nation one primi¬ coacn, the canoe, the steamboat, sive within the framework of the Brit¬ as the the in stage Canaaa possible, that opened the Yet Canada's development into an sovereign tne service tnat made the inten¬ way province. Eigthy-two years is but a mo¬ ment in the history of a nation. ish Commonwealth and We have been had trans¬ of age even the tenth independent never wagon, being in 1905, and this year Newfoundland entered the union been for not into as it take we was Edward Alberta railways, sometimes forget that the devel¬ opment of tins vast continent The until lumbia that Even not complete. the than more its own railway. It operates express service, handling a nearly 2,000,000 shipments montn in tne year and every carrying a xarge volume of money order busmess. It maintains a commercial telegraph company which, with some 23,000 miles of pole line ana more than 173,000 miles of wire of the union. Tne railways came circuits, handles more than 1,000,000 messages a month. It operates on the scene three decades before three ocean steamship lines, one Confederation. Progress came on wheels, driven serving the Pacific Coast ports between Vancouver, B.C., and along steel rails by tne power ol steam. This is so seli-evident Skagway, Alaska, one carrying on Vaughan with ern, have happened with¬ never which opened up the country and made possible the stream of 2,00o,000 immi¬ grants within ten years. Without them, Confederation would have been meaningless and, indeed, railway service linking the prov¬ inces was one oi tne provisions about four plies shorter Ana Tne population. tnat tne im¬ railways operated separate company, Air Lines, flying over 16,000 miles of routes, across Canada, south to important United States centres, south to Bermuda as a Trans-Canada and the increases tremendous development steel were kept -.A*;; _ Vfj; • Edmonton FARNSWORTH, H. R. (V.-Chm.) Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Calgary BAXTER, HARRY trains tne is also the oldest. the "Rocket" there was no outside or except in the far north; inside Canada Over the decades, war as it so that of the Canadian closely identified it of could their of we as f tury ago. and efficacy of firm foothold in history, that Vancouver. Ltd., Vancouver not DINGLE, H. H. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. field of speak is whole the importance tola of their daily accomplishing essential place. duty of carrying goods from place to To do its job of transport¬ better velopment of the country and its public serv¬ When Northern could no The Canadian people have their problems but they have every rea¬ son for faith in their country. Be¬ fore ada the second world war, Can¬ stood fourth in world trade; in 1944 and 1945 she held second place; today she is third. In the production of newsprint, nickel, radium, platinum and asbestos, wheat and fish she stands in the front rank. resources Her are 100,000. Canadian The not National System only supplies efficient service ;; EDGELL, R. H. plays Securities, Ltd. in no and at a pace accelerated by the two agriculture but fulfills broad economic and social world wars, capital expenditures have increased and employment is obligations to the people of Can¬ ada. The country profits incalcu¬ lably by a complete and modern at to commerce a high level. Through the efforts of her vig¬ orous, practical and far-seeing railway service. As a pioneering people, Canada in her relatively and developing agent, as a public short history has risen to great¬ service, the C. N. R. has a number ness in the world. Still greater of unremunerative "thin-traffic" years lie ahead. Established in 1905, organization is engaged in the under¬ our writing and distribution of Canadian government, municipal and corporation bonds and corporation shares. With head office in Toronto, branches are located from to Victoria in Canada well as as Halifax in London, England. wire connections Stock between New York, Toronto and Exchange orders executed. any small part in the devel¬ opment of the country as Victoria GLASGOW, F. L. Royal Securities Corp., Ltd. Vancouver A a whole. gigantic consumer, we are also the largest individual purchaser, Wood, Gundy & Co., Incorporated 14 Wall Street New York 5, N.Y. Head Office—36 King Street West, Toronto 1 spending approximately $235,000,- SAMIS, B. C. Samis & Co., Ltd., Vancouver SHERWOOD, G. D. McMahon and Burns, Ltd. 000 a year for materials and sup¬ plies, and the whole country ben¬ efits when we go Shopping. Vancouver DUNCAN, J. L. (Sec'y-Treas.) Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. ? . . r The Canadian National System The Canadian National System, it should be pointed out, is much natural and immense since the beginning of the century, Such a concen¬ buying power is impor¬ country's economy and as the largest single employer of labor in Canada, paying out more than $300,000,000 in wages every year, the Canadian National tant known still longer carry on as private enter¬ Montreal. of directed placing the railways in a position to serve in the de¬ Canadian Securities Direct than 24,000 miles of lines, tire Canadian National System, for example, requires a more transpor¬ toward tration of Vancouver railway recommendations make exist and staff BROWN, COL. A. M. Odium Brown Investments, Ltd., Vancouver the proprietors of the Champlain and operating BORRIE, W. J. (Chairman) his railroading took a ing in a year 86,000,000 tons of freight and 21,000,000 passengers, Pacific District wide tation and ask the Commission to carriers men McCarthy, Ltd. Nor commerce. their Calgary a Royal Commission on Transportation. In its submissions, the National System will cover the them, work Calgary YORATH, E. J. The Government of Canada has appointed body story James Richardson & Sons as Trunk, Grand Trunk Pacific and Canadian standards and to improve its fa¬ cilities. in inextricable part when Ltd., Edmonton TURNEY, H. A. Son in any more than the could live without arteries. It is not for nothing that we call the railways the arteries Driscoll, & operated The Federal Government it¬ self built the Intercolonial and the the It needs money at high that service peace, the railways have been an human , ices. maintain complex net¬ transportation service. without . Edmonton Sydie, Sutherland abolished and early days, the railways encouraged by public grants. When they failed, they were taken were over and first, the commerce. Public Grants Failed In the financial results. and The second railway in this York. comes R. is also concerned about and of with SYDIE, JOHN E. were Richelieu "portage" on the water While the provision of service held together by a work Edmonton Vancouver in the cost of labor and all one, its enormous its great diversity was distances economy, MORGAN, R. T. Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. a the on a route between Montreal and New Canada was onstrated In Johns St. served as with River been enormous car It was in 1832, only after Stephenson dem¬ ion. Lawrence have the include lines, three years James Richardson & Sons Yorkshire centres; the frontiers DUGGAN, K. P. (Chairman) ;' D. M. Duggan Investments, Ltd. & with lew years Alberta District Pemberton connected setuers St. as cover technogolical advances will multi¬ bus and tram prises, they too became public ply the usefulness of many of ferries, lake steamers, property. All the government lines them. Vast areas of the country coal mines, oil wells and stock¬ were welded into the system now remain practically unexplored but known as the Canadian National, yards. :\"f' enough is known about them to with the completion of promise great things for the fu¬ The largest railway in Canada which, (and, in mileage, the largest in Confederation, includes the New¬ ture.,..The, manufacturing,., indus¬ tries North America), the Canadian Na¬ foundland Railway. have expanded amazingly services markets of tne world the product 7) page Melady, Sellers & Co., Ltd. Winnipeg Carlile & that the those great enterprises, the Grand brougnt in the tnings wey needed irom outside and out to the THOMAS, G. N. -i,! older lifelines tne to National Transcontinental. Great essential Canada's first railway was openea for traffic. It connected La Prairie West of their enterprise ana (Continued from' \-r tne the I. D. A< G. Committees colonization; they were to Indies, across the Britain, is the property of the Canadian National Railways. The System owns 12 hotels and its manifold auxiliary Atlantic quick to realize the potenti¬ alities of railway transportation when it was in its infancy a cen¬ ■ increases granted do not C. N. communities of New¬ foundland with the capital and with the mainland. While it is tional > rate outlying of f in com¬ with other railways in Can¬ ada, is Suffering the disabilities imposed by the times. Such freight the Grand Trunk. century. 1 they are of vital importance development and the de¬ granted a charter by the legisla¬ ture of Lower Canada. In 183b, on that when they are operated at a mon dies and the third connecting the Drought tne people in; tneir bands of Railroad Lawrence them. fense of the country. The Canadian National, Canada's trade with the West In¬ went aneaa St. needs demonstrated to the country, the Montreal and Lachine, which began operations in 1847, was also a portage line, de¬ signed to bypass the Lachine Rap¬ ids. These two railways, merged in 1857, ultimately became part of span of time; most of it has taken place within the present This Canada been materials. arrival of e loss was taken But has even of Can¬ begins with It thou¬ a trace, the his¬ ada lines. Chairman and President, Canadian National Railways Branch Offices in Montreal, Winnipeg, Vancouver, Ottawa, Hamilton, London, Ont., Kitchener, Eng. Regina, Edmonton, New Westminster, Victoria, Halifax and London, THE 12 Gerald Ryan, Investment in Canada Expands bond finance By GERALD G. RYAN* gives me great pleasure to open the 33rd Annual Meeting of The Investment Dealers' Associa¬ tion of Canada and to thank the It Retiring President, The Investment Dealers' Association of of Canada In presidential address, Mr. Ryan lauds European Recovery Program as bene¬ Says investment of capital in Canada continues at impres¬ stricted Canada stock exchanges. on of our Associa¬ tion. An address of this kind is highly selective. As in¬ vestment dealers, we are closely Gerald G. Ryan concerned with events and trends at in public finance, private enter¬ prise and general business, a the honor of repre¬ field too wide to warmly appre¬ better known to of Annual Mr. Ryan Meeting of at the 33rd Invest¬ European Recovery Program ment Dealers' Association of Can¬ ada, Minaki Lodge, Ont., June 22, 1949. Perhaps the most powerful single influence, economically and politically, discernible in the western world today is the Eu¬ Naturally, the Program transitional period which, terminated earlier by the unless United States Congress, will end June 30, 1952. But speak of a Already Canada, others, is experiencing the trading difficulties inherent the The marks on beneficent. operation amongst a ♦Extracts from Presidential ad¬ dress most the general permit only of a rela¬ tively few things which seem to me of outstanding interest, with the hope that my choice will be confirmed by your approval. ciated and has been most helpful making the therefore operation during the past year, as other years, is Recovery Program. And not only the most powerful but ropean review of the period elapsed since our last Annual Meeting. I shall Representatives of the Press cordially welcomed. Their co¬ are in nec¬ essarily senting the IDAC. in of some in the would the unaided essential like to point make is future. which this: I That ERP is meeting considerable suc¬ in its prime objective which, would do well to recall, is cess as we to promote the economic recovery of the participating countries, not the easy prosperity of the ex¬ porters of the western hemisphere. The remarkable ERP is achievement of measured by the return of hope and vitality to one of the key areas of the world. Given this, we are all given much, and Canadians by no means the least. With this, plus intelligent coop¬ eration between cerned, Dominion and Provincial Government Bonds the reasonably conditions the nations eventual Public t- ' ■ Utility ■ ■ of should not possible despite the problems involved. Investment trading prove im¬ formidable Canada in capital goods in Canada continues at impressive levels, both in terms of physical volume and dollar value. During 1948, capital expenditures by Ca¬ . and Industrial con¬ return satisfactory Investments in Municipal Bonds business (including agri¬ culture), governments and insti¬ tutions, excluding the cost of repairs and maintenance, nadian Financing amounted to slightly more than $3,000 million, a remarkably close approximation to the government forecast Dominion Securities corpn. limited survey time the 40 MONTREAL high of capital investment, being estimated at al¬ $3,300 million. Compared the actual results this estimate indicates NEW YORK an of 8% in dollar value and LONDON, ENG. Exchange Place, New York, 5, N.Y. Telephone Whitehall 4-8161 of $2,800 million. The for 1949 forecasts an all- total most with Established 1901 TORONTO maturities 10 on market for necessitated short- greater the single term, sink¬ a Government, A Step Toward End of Double dividends, Taxation of Dividends A novel feature of the Budget brought down last March was of outstanding interest to investor and investment dealer alike, both in its immediate tax relief and in public the work Commerce. gress in Que¬ bec City last the serial issue, first ing fund issue. * ing field of institutional investment. 4k Chamber week, Canadian confidence the and reliance of Invest¬ Canada, and concludes with plea for broaden¬ Dealers' Association of ment ^a n d which I had Expresses which has already taken first step to eliminate double taxation of will ultimately abandon it altogether. Praises educational program of Bank terms sive levels and is in contrast with lack of enthusiasm reflected in low security prices was the usually offered to the banks. The changed policy of the banks in regard to such offerings has re¬ ficial to Canada. attendance. which were President, L. G. Beaubien & Co., Ltd., Montreal members Securities J. E. Coyne, Corp., Toronto; R. G. Roberts, Dominion Securities Corp., Toronto; Bank of Canada, Ottawa Joseph Pancoast, San Antonio, Texas; John B. Ridley, A. E. Ames & Co., Toronto; W. G. Clark, Investment Dealers Association of Canada, Toronto McKibbin, Bank of Canada, Ottawa; N. D. (Jack) Young, Dominion R. B. Co., Montreal; Hal Dewar, Dewar, Robertson & L. G. Beaubien & Thursday, July 14, 1949 COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Teletype N.Y. 1-702-3 advance Massive in physical investment in of 1948, increase a slight volume. capital goods has been one of the prime contributors to our postwar eco¬ nomic prosperity. Both private and public spending have played important parts but naturally a special interest lies in the propor¬ its hopeful implications for the tion of capital expenditures at¬ future. I refer, of course, to the tributed to private enterprise. It step taken towards the eventual is worth noting, therefore, that in elimination of double taxation of 1947 the expenditures of business corporate profits by the allowance undertakings (excluding housing to individuals of a credit against and government-owned corpora¬ personal income tax equal to 10% tions) accounted for $1,400 mil¬ of the dividends received on com¬ lion, or 58% of the total $2,400 mon stocks of Canadian tax-pay¬ million of new capital investment ing corporations. The purpose of during that year; in 1948, $1,600 this concession is to render more millions, or 53% of the total $3,000 attractive the purchase of equities millions; the indicated share of and thereby to stimulate the flow venture business for 1949 being $1,580 mil¬ of capital into sound lions, or 48% of the forecast total Canadian enterprise. The move is of $3,300 millions. because, as we all Assuming ex¬ opportune pectations for 1949 to be realized know, in an economy based on this means a total new capital in¬ private enterprise, the buyer of vestment by business of almost equities is a V.I.P. Judicious risk$4,600 millions during the three taking and an adequate supply of years, 1947 to 1949, inclusive. If venture capital, arising as much the figures for repairs and main¬ as possible within our own bor¬ tenance were included, the total ders, are essential to Canada's would rise to $7,000 millions, economic progress. Obvious im¬ equivalent to 57% of the 12^4 bil¬ pediments are heavy personal lion dollars raised by cash sales income taxes and the double of War Loan and Victory Bonds taxation of corporate profits. Both during 1940-45. Even after allow¬ obstacles received sympathetic at¬ ing for increased prices, these are tention in the recent Budget, and handsome figures which, during there is good hope for the pro¬ the immediate postwar period, gressive removal of the second. would have seemed well beyond Consequently, the position is reasonable expectations either as considerably better than it was to size or continuity of expansion. but not, in my view, as good as it Investment of this magnitude should be. On this point I would points to a boldness of leadership like to make two observations: in business which contrasts oddly First, the tax credit is limited to with the lack of enthusiasm re¬ the most junior class of share¬ flected in the low price levels cur¬ holder whereas of recent years at rently obtaining on the stock ex¬ any rate, it is the buyer of senior changes. stocks who has provided the bulk The record of Canadian bond of the capital raised in Canada and stock financing, less retire¬ by equity financing. My second ments, during 1948 compares as remark relates to the anxious and follows with the figures for 1947: doubting mind which, understand¬ Dominion direct and guaranteed ably enough, is characteristic of (excluding banking issues)—a net our times. We hear very frequent¬ decline of $211 millions as against ly the fear expressed that the a net decline of $271 millions in present prosperity cannot last. 1947; Provincial—a net increase This is quite true. Obviously, it of $188 millions, up very sharply cannot go on forever and cer¬ from the net increase of $65 mil¬ tainly cannot continue in its pres¬ lions reported for 1947; Municipal ent pattern for more than a few —a net increase of $52 millions, years at the very most, if that. also up very substantially from Our current export activity is ab¬ the $28 millions shown for 1947; normal to the extent that it is corporate bond and stock issues— temporarily and artificially stim¬ a net increase of $195 millions and ulated by ERP off-shore pur¬ $45 millions, respectively, com¬ chases in Canada. Domestic paring with $121 millions $110 millions in 1947. 1948, a and vestment in capital in¬ goods is ab¬ Up to early normal to the extent derived from favored form of corporate I (Continued on page 22) THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL Convention Number 13 CHRONICLE Kilburn, Greenshields & Co., Montreal; Hal Dewar, R. H. Dean, Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Montreal; C. S. Dean Nesbitt, Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Montreal; Dewar, Robertson & Pancoast, San Antonio, Texas, President of the Investment Bankers Association of America Robinson, Osier, Hammond & Nanton, Calgary, Alta. Ian Matheson, Dominion Securities Corp., Ottawa Peter •' ' : • ' • •; ■ remarkable state a "j ' > *' ' .; thinking that Texas has at least the "big¬ whole the Yewnited Out¬ States." side size— of whether re¬ ferring to land area, industry, hats or mouths o. Nickle plenty of reason to boast. Texas wealth to Texans and and in world and State is produc¬ ing about one-quarter of all the oil being used by the whole world—enough entire needs of Canada—and all eight provide to nine times the to world's the is Americans living outside of Texas will agree biggest with gas producer. latter the statement but — they won't necessarily be thinking of natural gas of the kind to I come from Alberta—a people to reason their land I from come good will Canada. of Texas Furthermore, province have now believe the become and has become of in¬ importance to the con¬ tinent and the world.; economy; creasing This Alberta oil and gas Cal¬ indus¬ try has already uncovered natural resources worth at least 2,500 mil¬ dollars, despite the fact it has completed only a minute fraction of the ultimate, thorough lion far so dian job. It has recorded growth of any Cana¬ industry in the postwar years, in terms of spendings, pro¬ exploration fastest the and duction for oil This revenues. first time the berta year, in history, Al¬ made has Prairie the Province's self-sufficient in petro¬ There leum. which I refer. whose inces; has made its weight felt in increasing degree in the Canadian grown of petroleum natural gas. The job which has during the past years vastly altered the economy of Alberta, now and for genera¬ tions to come; has greatly affected the economy of the Prairie Prov¬ . have stature affairs because has Texas — is good to reason hope that, in from three to five Alberta can develop oil and productive potential large enough to make all of Can¬ ada self-sufficient in petroleum. When and, still, if — that day comes, Canada can achieve at least two major objectives: (1) years, reserves — that Foothills City, Oil Capital of Canada, whose citizens over the past half century have contributed greatly to making gary — other Albertans, other the and scious and gas oil world of the Canadians, industry, con¬ of oil rich promise underlying the province. Calgarian and an Albertan, I have been pretty good reason to start talking like a Texan. I may dish out some stag¬ gering sort of figures and pre¬ dictions. When I'm finished speak¬ Being a ing, I hope that you will believe —as I sincerely do—that what is taking place in Alberta, and to a lesser extent in other western provinces, is of Canada to even would the matter full Over the be importance such the world Texan blowhard a bertan and hard that Al¬ or put to do justice. Plains Foothills and Alberta, four score companies —Canadian and American, large and at small—have work. *An They some are self-sufficiency in 4,000 men carrying on a address by Mr. Nickle at the Annual Meeting of the Invest¬ ment Dealers' Association of Can¬ resource as the basic necessities, food, clothing and shelter; (2) elimination of the greatest single drain on Canada's U. S. dollar supply, and the achievement by Canada of a lGng- term favorable "balance of trade." East Middle world's ' ' i '■ • ; v.^—'vv oil Alberta These Canada reserves are mighty important to Canada and friends among world nations from the defense viewpoint.. The our oil found, more will his gang ent the more secure be should Joe Stalin and we decide to turn the pres¬ "cold war" into "shooting a proved oil World During War use II the about two million barrels of petroleum daily reserves. The which winds warm blow across Mountains at frequent intervals, sometimes raise tem¬ peratures 40 to 70 degrees in a few hours, melt away the snow and bring us Spring weather — the Rocky until the next blizzard appears. The MacDougall John Rev. — pioneer missionary who built a church in the Foothills west of a Calgary more than half a century ago—had a favorite Texas-style "true experience" story about Chinooks. He claimed that one day, winters ago, he many hitched a from There was horse to his sleigh to drive his church to Calgary. plenty of on snow hurry, be¬ a see warm heading down the mountain Wind him towards pass could he cause ground, the but he knew he had to from to the west. Just as he climbed aboard the and started his horse to¬ wards Calgary, the Chinook sleigh caught up with him. He raced the Chinook all the way to Calgary, but could never quite get ahead of it. He Chinook so finally reached Calgary, nip and tuck. As race was MacDougall Rev. fast Wind as it explained, melted raced the the snow beside his to fuel the armed sleigh, he was barely able to keep sea the front sleigh forces, on land, and air. If Communism forces war need on us, we and at least two our allies will million barrels daily for the fighting job alone. During the last war the United runners in snow, all and the rear runners travelled the way The in water. Chinook story has a common lot in with Alberta's oil indus¬ own Chinooks are beneficial. So discoveries. Sometimes Chinooks can be temporarily em¬ the barrassing as one almost was to States carried the try. It is no are supply burden. longer capable of fueling a and war 1949. minimum still look civilian after needs. its In * ' ' . ' about * • * '' "* it, let us ■ . look back at the past and review the present pic¬ ture. A John MacDougall. So can oil dis¬ and expansion of pro¬ coveries long history precedes the Le- duc discovery of February, which started the modern, est era of Alberta Alberta oil boom oil. was a 1947, great¬ The first half cen¬ tury ago. It started because Al¬ berta pioneers Kootenai Brown and Lafayette French saw a band of Indians, back to 1898, skim¬ ming a brown, vile-smelling, oily off the top of a slough Pincher Creek, in the south¬ west corner of Alberta. liquid near ductive are the only ones potential — as they are Kootenai and Lafayette figured capable of expanding right now in Alberta. the liquid—which the Indians Chinook winds can travel fast production fast enough to fuel a were using for internal and ex¬ war—and Joe Stalin sits right at Ability to produce oil can expand ternal-lubricant (for purgatives the back door to those reserves. far faster than transport, process¬ and rub-downs)—was rock oil. He could take over, or at least ing and marketing facilities can They made a deal with the In¬ neutralize, Middle East oil in be created to cope with potential. dians, traded them a pack horse event of war. That is Alberta Oil's problem to¬ for the slough, and then headed For safety's sake alone, if for day. The industry is straining its for Calgary. Calgarians joined no other reason, great oil reserves britches, suffering growing pains, them to provide capital, and in in Canada and the means of pro¬ getting bigger every day, waiting 1901 a forest of tents sprang up ducing, transporting and refining for pipelines, refineries and mar¬ around the slough and drilling tnose reserves, are vital not only kets to give it a vastly greater was started. In those days a few to in the North American us, but also to the United place hundred feet was "deep drilling." States, Great Britain, and our economy. other good friends in the world. Before looking into the future, The first oil promoters reached As some of you know, south¬ (Continued on page 19) and discussing what is being done west Alberta enjoys each winter what we call "Chinook Winds"— presently but the war." located half the are countries Arab Chinook Mighty Important to ada, Minaki Lodge, Ont., June 23, a vital to the economy as democracies had to of , may best gest and • become the Texas of Canada, Mr. Nickle contends, in Alberta alone, oil industry has potential resources of $2% billions. Points out importance of oil industry in defense and in development of Canada, and looks for expanded markets for products when pipe lines are built. Sees need for additional large capital investment in Northwest Canada's oil projects, and con¬ cludes Alberta oil is destined to be one of Canada's greatest industries. Holding Alberta big, talking big, and doing big. Anything in ' .. Editor, "Oil in Canada" Magazine State—is used be '■ • Publisher, "Daily Oil Bulletin," Calgary American must • • By C. O. NICKLE* husky and rich. The ma¬ jority of its people—to a greater extent than those of any other to * • — vast, Carl / Significance of Alberta Oil to Canadians ' ■ is Texas • oil Ratcliffe H. J. Ltd., Co.. Gundy & teletypist for Canadian Na¬ Ross, Telegraphs, who put a special wire through for the I. D. A. C. Convention tional R. B. McKibbin, Bank of Canada, Edmonton, Alta.; trip start of fishing Norma D. M. Duggan Investments, Ottawa; D. B. Dingle, Wood, Co., Toronto; George Richardson, James Richardson & Sons, Winnipeg Coyne, Bank of Canada, Ottawa; K. P. Duggan, E. J. Young, Weir & with Indian guide at McLeod, Toronto, Thursday, July 14, 1949 CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL THE 14 Canadaxs Role In Europe's Problems We much in the days of our General as destructive has us heart c i of his a n a d friendship are did the two cause yet solete ideals. and na¬ tionalism, real trine Napoleon, a able to perceive their common World First The War opened their eyes. Faced with the German conception of war and of we in sense, French this international in deep and France had the same reaction. where Brittany, realized that they were together not only because they had a common enemy, but because they had a common sense very from were suffered, died, killed in action and succeed¬ Thus, from the outset, the Second World War was an ideological war in which the fate of Chris¬ Tney felt closely asso¬ justice. culture. ing the same enemy. mon gratitude to these pioneers not imply Traditional that they were separated by major causes. And even when they fight with *An address one com¬ and not merely fight¬ nationalism remained Relations France. another, continued nations two between to in the be friendly, but each considered that its basic duty was to serve its own the Annual Meeting of the Invest¬ ment Dealers' Association of Can¬ interests. The June 22, which 1949. Second World War, in Germany put into practice Christian and tianity itself But the Nations much stronger in England than by Mr. Pose before ada, Minaki Lodge, Ont., cause, a ripe for the establishment of a thoroughgoing and lasting cooper¬ ation between the two countries. other in North America in the be¬ ceased to defence of for the However, the time was not yet feeling of hos¬ their adversaries. a tility toward England and France opposed each lief Christian civil¬ our Latin ciated does foundations of ization, revealed to England and France their profound spiritual kinship, based upon their common England relations, keeping alive in this land the French language and a French Our implicit in the doc¬ pan-Germanism, that is, the refusal of any rights to the human person, created for Eternal Gloiy, and the denial of the very of of sometimes in ed theories bound Normandy, Charentes and Poitou lived, the all brutality They country peasants unrestrained with feel "at home" a was inheritance. at stake. victory United of the Germany over was L. G. BEAUBIEN * C° LIMITED not Communism when the of Marx was among Thus arrived the day the victors. Christian nations, at last, became fully aware of the futility of any past motive for disagreement and of the urgent of need DEALERS and a solemn diplo¬ act, known to the public as Pact, from now on justifies the profound solidarity of these countries, each of which had, for centuries, struggled for its own supremacy/ Gentlemen, matic the Atlantic speaking, before it be¬ came officially sanctioned, this solidarity was imposed in fact, and has proved its existence. Since time immemorial, the armies of the East have period¬ ically descended on the West; but 1914, Europe there have invasions of without the been no Western intervention have been compelled to NOTRE DAME STREET, WEST Kyacintlu Paris countries where civilization I certain Trois Ottawa Shawinigan Brussels acknowl¬ edge, and have today proclaimed that their spiritual boundaries run across the center of Europe. These boundaries include those parishes and Fabriques, MONTREAL St. It Rivieres Falls a" r such wel¬ to in the politics where only such a short time ago, utmost brutality and even cyni¬ come realm idealism pure of international cism ruled. independ¬ are not a powerful industry, warrant¬ just after the was of 1911 war Why did this happen? Because the long treasured civilization wnich Western inherited in European nations the from common Greco-Latin scale a certain type of dominates, of values where are a recog¬ nized, where a certain conception Man triumphs, in short where an order prevails without which life would not be worth living. It is indeed comforting, in this of era where materialism seems pre¬ first spoken of, this expression referring to industries considered vital to national defense. The war of 1939-1945 has but considerably enlarged the tradition from and mother us how to waste ments soul futile their when of it is time the their for the neighbors in very disagree¬ heart and civilization is at stake. tions tims danger Europe, of modern industry, have become the Science with of very na¬ vic ¬ which they had, with such pride, endowed the world. Obviously none of them owns the huge resources now ade¬ quate to the safeguard of national independence. Unable, today, to protect them¬ selves without outward assistance these nations, cannot moreover, afford to maintain the standard of the First World War. Before 1914, greater. Members of even Christianity, faced with the that weighs upon their men¬ com¬ Europe, where industry was materials and agricultural Division of uce. themselves, on manufacturing is caused under the quently, several tries had larger scale, to activity from which they found themselves able to derive important resources: this crease ing elements of two na¬ tions live closely associated, after being so fiercely opposed in the past, shows how fruitful such a movement may become. The birth of a European feder¬ European coun¬ their agricul¬ allowed ture to decline in order to devote the where thus Europe, pri¬ and the rest of the world. Conse¬ powerful and generous impulse of great Republic of North America, that crucible of all Europeah races. The example of Can¬ prod¬ was manufacturing producer, dilemma, and the reason why the first step was taken to¬ ward a United Europe. A steady movement to that end, a labor between established nations' progress modern world with its industrial products and in exchange, received raw marily making powerful located, supplied the civilization, suddenly ac¬ knowledge that they are brothers and must remain such if they do not wish to perish.-"Unite or per¬ ish," such is now the European mon ada Western In war. living which they enjoyed before Europe the whole Christianity rose to check the tide of Mohammedanism; once more today, it rises to oppose a ace so the among duct Orient threatens to force delivering complicated, that industrial nations themselves, very few possess the combined assets necessary to con¬ vast, so culture new order and Christianity has established, after the upheaval caused by the fall of the Roman Empire, are in danger. Now, again, the inherent tyranny of of this recent of destruction have become means Christianity, the which scope Industries concept. _ Twelve centuries ago, past, flattered themselves on their attitudes of either "splen¬ did detachment" or "isolation" Religious Institutions. - from own resources ing considerable output. of the Municipal, Corporation, everywhere, A United America. England and America which, in of QUEBEC ponderant unity. Atlantic Pact—Symbol of Unity Specialists in Securities Originating in the School Commissions, barred are whose very Occident into outrageous slavery. And this danger reveals to all of with the victory of principles because the of England and Government, by the level of manu¬ production: those na¬ adequate to the development of the similar UNDERWRITERS Quebec tions ence Christian since 221 facturing synonymous Truly Province is war first place, more prosperous not develop be¬ nations were not after the fall of a. although narrow self-sacrifice on the The issue of today determined in the and that so-called key-industries were free from ob- Alfred Pose and Europe. Cites world-wide industrial¬ ization following World War I as creating need for new patterns of inter¬ national cooperation, and urges Canada to cooperate with European nations in a common program of action to foster world-wide economic expansion. Sees Canada benefiting through international investment. spe- minds our wars in modern warfare chiefly depend on gal¬ not part of its soldiers. feeling for C And in a 1 a problems facing Europe as result of two extols U. S. European recovery aid and Atlantic Pact as leading to united and men, one every does Commerce et l'lndustrie, Paris le lantry Jacques Cartier, Champlain and Montcalm, that, Banque Nationale pour Manager, Prominent French banker reviews of names ous nation engaged By ALFRED POSE* have dreamed Frenchmen, child¬ hood, of the French-Canadian ad¬ venture symbolized by the glori¬ so a a their population to in¬ considerably while enjoy¬ continuous rise in the stand¬ ard of living. The first setback to such cialization of labor trial was a spe¬ the indus¬ development, in the United Specialization further impaired by the war States of America. was of 1914-1918 which almost com¬ danger; it is also the expected outcome of an evolution Western Europe to retire from the manufacturing markets. Europe began to import products that she formerly exported, while which had its start at the time of the ation is not of a the only the consequence common First World War and was only hastened by the Second. The modern European nations which took shape among the ruins of the Roman er in a Empire long¬ their the fate of a are no position to protect independence. For pelled United States of America brought their / own output to a huge volume and, in doing so, in¬ creased markets. their control They of world finally, driven themselves into war. Many new countries then, which had re(Continued on page 23) were, THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL Facing camera, left to right: Andrew Beaubien, L. G. Deaubien & Co., Montreal; W. J. S. Evans, Guildhall Securities, Ltd., Montreal; back to camera: Frank Evans, McLeod, Young, Weir & Co., Montreal; A. D. Hunt, W. C. Pitfield & Co., Ltd., playing bridge on the special train in the Fort Pitt Modern Lounge Car of the Canadian National Railway CHRONICLE 15 Seymour, Greenshields & Co., Montreal; Peter Kilburn, Greenshields & Montreal; Lyall Frazer, Western City Co., Vancouver; A. R. Duffield, H. F. Co., Wood, Gundy & Co., Montreal Outlook for International Investments As a from start of our eco¬ nomic history, and certainly since the industrial revolution, we have always been But Belgian banker points out important role of international investment in world economic development and looks for United States to replace Britain among and France of 1 confronted lenders of battleHeld ^ never among large strong Generale de to group be Belgique, which feel I the to honored attached, the Societe Gen¬ erale ated people and supply the ade¬ to banking organization and especially to the Societe most to rich us estates which under originally was formula a cre¬ which quite audacious in 1822, was as a com¬ pany formed to promote the na¬ tional economic development. International What Has Investment Accomplished out that is generation international about Yet it the 1949 around present the world understand less and less to seems in all point was investments. only because the mech¬ of Then came World War I, leav¬ ing the Western European coun¬ exhausted. Great Britain, tries financial long the world, so of center the could government, had not enough re¬ sources to rise again from her war destructions. And tremendous needs capital of apparent were everywhere, in Belgium, in Ger¬ many, in central European coun¬ tries, not to speak of Russia which been nomic world the of eco¬ The whole investment area. system European the 1914 was com¬ met. territory. Germany has hardly a large city which has not been seriously damaged. Europe Then appeared something nent for chance a The New Conti¬ new. into came the foreground. The United States which had been previously a debtor country saw reversed in balance had 1917 and made clients the capital equities needed to bonds which create the were industries trade in the so-called countries. and and undeveloped If European capital had not originally taken the risk of developing what was then called in Europe the New Continent, how would such a How Canada have become well-equipped community? would the United States centuries tc Investments were not of savings but rather acquire. to spread among their London taken ties, how to finance them and how the portfolios of out with short-term money. So, when eventually the deflationary crisis started the system collapsed. Nu¬ merous off. claims The had to be written social and political sta¬ bility of the new world were shaken and recovery was not yet completed when World War II started. And now once faced with the again same we are problems of Minaki Lodge, Dnt., June 24, 1949. had devastated areas in 1918 only along the front line, has now to And so, the building up of later more likely that there remain quite a lot of still requirements be provided for. which So will many present moment thorities. After Marshall Plan Ends, What? new Men and women had lived mined. vate enterprise has been obliged under such ap¬ to indulge in government plan¬ palling circumstances that in ning to distribute its long-term many countries they could hardly pull themselves together to get so years many down work to sometimes all bles for and the of start and today will help out those econ(Continued on page 18) over, The ground anew. an easy penetration desperate ideology of the V'-';. Reds. Role of United States Under a expect that the rich communities of thus prepared for social trou¬ was such conditions gloomy CANADIAN SECURITIES brilliant hope was brought about when the United States, realizing QUOTED IN AMERICAN FUNDS Europe could not rise again that came to the rescue first, and for the with various devices at with Marshall the Plan last two years. For this most gen¬ given to the impover¬ erous aid ished countries the of European OUR DIRECT PRIVATE WIRE Continent, Europe and the world will always remain indebted. The emergency then been taken. measures COVERS world the is at ALL CANADIAN SYSTEM MARKETS have INCLUDING THE WESTERN OIL But now the re¬ sponsible people are faced with long-term problems. Everybody is aware that the economic life of CEN¬ TERS OF CALGARY AND EDMONTON present engaged temporary period which will come to end in 1952. According in a to expectations the trade balance of the given, the beneficiary will not yet, by then, equilibrium. So the ex¬ perts are already working on a long-term program. For it is a necessity that the equipment of each community be adapted to its requirements so that each may countries be in full try to restore at least a rehabilitating the world economy. *From an address by Mr. Bon- The destruction is far greater than /oisin before the Annual Meeting after World War I. Great Britain >f the Investment Dealers' Asso¬ has been badly hit. France, which ciation of Canada, much the most plans and the development of Who will finance them? That already existing industries has is the question. Not much can has been cut by the iron curtain started. I am not going to go too be expected from the citizens of and natural "currents of bygone deeply into the many intricacies the countries upset by the war. days are to be replaced by a new of such a planning. Though it is There will still elapse quite a mechanism. And on top of this something of a paradox that a time before savings can be ade¬ material destruction the social country believing in liberalism, in quate to the needs. Has the time stability seemed to be under¬ individual initiative and in pri¬ come when it is only logical to without help, investment study new business opportuni¬ so Europe, both for private enter¬ prise and for the services which are discharged by the public au¬ food and raw materials have been her from what was since, ever before its After 1952, and needs exist at the of definitely been cut, and has had not repair ruins spread over the whole known and worked to will is the of feature a in was well- gradually became the bankers of smoothly that the world. But it seems that tc the great ventures of the 19th become an international center., Century were successfully brought it is not enough to be possessed to The completion. It was because of large financial means. in those bygone days the private United States lacked the experi¬ houses of old Europe knew how ence and the technique which it anism it exchange and capital transfers. Upholds recommendations of International Chamber of Commerce regarding foreign investment protection. pletely out of balance. What is rather strange to course on, capital hardly tackle the problems arising from its impoverishment quate means to meet the needs and its re-adaptation to a new world economy. France, who used of our economic expansion. Yet to be quite instrumental in ab¬ we succeeded in doing so, thanks to the organization of our in¬ sorbing in her long-term market vestment market, thanks to our the bond issues of many a foreign had capital abroad. Praises ECA program, and lays down international in vestment: (1) removal of war fears; secure Europe for which had been for centuries, we have £ still is E.R.P. transitory period. to have risen to the limelight of eco¬ nomic supremacy? Pierre Bonvoisin again this first achievement all others brought by the political structure of would-be borrowers; (3) mutual respect of creditor and debtor countries; and (4) removal of controls on foreign (2) ing scale the p as conditions essential as ever-fncreas- \ do otherwise. to la Societe Generale de Belgique, Brussels Vice-Chairman of the Board, Banque de very * help. It would have been difficult By P. C. BONVOISIN* Belgian I may add that the standard Then ments the comes out the 30 BROAD STREET • Co., Inc. NEW YORK Teletype Phone: HAnover NY 2-9251 1-1979 living. of problem of into play. Already the Marshall set minimum W. C. Pitfield & invest¬ Plan has principle that part of the dollars given away should be employed for long-term use as soon as the first urgent needs for Montreal Cornwall Halifax Toronto Moncton Edmonton Saint John Vancouver Ottawa London, Eng. THE 16 COMMERCIAL and CHRONICLE FINANCIAL Thursday, July 14, 1949 • - 1 ' $ « =1.' \ 1 I ' -V. % ■ D. Bartlett, Midland Securities Limited, Toronto, displaying catch of fish Eddie Gunn and Harry Clark, Calvin Bullock, New York City; James MacMurray, Eastern Securities Co., St. John, N. B. Robert Hal Murphy, Commercial & Financial Chronicle, York; J. P. Guite, Credit Interprovincial Ltee., New Montreal The Retail Securities Market Is Still Here! What has happened Market for securities? By D. BRUCE Retail to Even a A. E. Ames & Co., cursory examination will show that it hasn't disappeared. Instead, expanding like present holders of in¬ s in- tr uments with on money 'V'' not now securities but have The sav¬ so—that market, far from melting D. Shaw Bruce away, has been expanding like a puff ball. In the were tions first 178,363 War individual bonds. for Loan In there In 1930, had applica¬ each of the the Chartered Banks 40.712 there shareholders; now 55,371 names on the are Unintelligible People Have More Uninvested Money And lists money people have more uninvested now than ever in Canadian of Chartered Banks. more Selling Language Another possible difficulty could be the language in which we talk. There be may too terms many which may mean but which are Telephone has 52,500 dred seventy-eight thousand of sharing in the profits of these people had accumulated that company, and having the more than $1,000. As of Sept. 30, 1948, these ac¬ right to vote at its shareholders' meetings. This is nearly three counts had grown from 4,000,000 times the number listed in 1935, to 6,600,000 in number for a total and nearly double the number in of $4,048 million. Now there are 1945. 887,000 of these people whose sav¬ There can be scarcely a family ings have passed the $1,000 mark. in Canada that doesn't now own, So, we see that in 15 years, or has not at one time owned a Canadians have tripled the Victory Bond. The number of amount of money they are carry¬ people owning and familiar with ing in savings accounts, and there other types of securities—provin¬ are more than three times as cial, municipal and corporation many people now as there were whose bank accounts run bonds, preferred and common then shares, must run into the hun¬ into four figures. before shareholders' long enough to his traveling expenses and the pittance which would rep¬ resent his share of profit. small investment instrument. Bell Victory Loans from the Fifth to the Ninth, inclusive, there were roughly 3,000,000 individual ap¬ plications for bonds. dreds of thousands. business pay new people ings to invest if they could be persuaded to do bidding for if the employer could even in stay issues. Urges simplified language in merchandising securities, and suggests instalment buying of securities as new buy more, or people who own but, instead has been away, a keen competition in hand to may $1,000, $1,500 and $2,000 clients. The salesmen would puff ball, Mr. Shaw cites increasing number of securities holders. Says Canadian people have more idle funds than ever before, and ascribes lack of active retail market development to small profit margins and by market we vestment search of these starve Asserting retail securities market is not melting the market—if mean SHAW* Ltd., Winnipeg, Man. Patently the market is there. True, the impact of war time and postwar taxation seriously affect¬ the necessary appeal—isn't cut to the measure of our prospects. It be that may need we some kind of packaged merchandise attrac¬ tively wrapped and put up in standard ety sizes of meet to needs. sufficient the This most resort packages may the common to be overcome cost vari¬ standard necessary to involved in something to us, unintelligible to investor making our business the and our him. merchandise It to seems might take a mystery to me that leaf from the a chandising manual of the Insur¬ Companies and the Invest¬ ance ment Trusts. Terms like Ordinary Life, 20 Pay Life, Endowment and Pension Plans, have been so in¬ cessantly used by all insurance salesmen, and terms like Protection and Life Trust custom tailoring. Perhaps we aren't we mer¬ Living so com¬ getting the used by Mutual Trust business simply because we can¬ monly salesmen, that the public at least not afford to go after it with our assumes that they understand present margins of profit. When what they mean. These are ac¬ many of us in this room began our cepted. Perhaps we have a job careers in the investment business, we carried our brief vastly different line in bags. I have before me an offering letter of my own firm ed the accumulation of new capi¬ from which I worked in my first tal in the upper income tax brack¬ sales territory. I could put on dis¬ ets. Equally true, heavy succes¬ play Dominion of Canada Guar¬ a history. to do used on in our the glossary investment It may be that it should fully culled and of terms business. be care¬ unnecessary or meaningless terms eliminated, or sparingly used. And finally, if we are serious at least Bank de¬ sion duties have broken up many antees—C.N.R. 5s of 1954—On¬ familiar to you, previously large accounts. The tario 5s of 1948—Torontos, Hamil- about developing this Retail Mar¬ look at fact still remains, however, that ket, we may need a new invest¬ Forum Discussion of the Invest¬ tons, Londons, Kitcheners, Winnithem. In 1934 there were 4,000,000 there is plenty of ment instrument. The type of in¬ money avail¬ pegs, ment Dealers' Association of Can¬ at yields ranging from strument which will permit us to able for investment. The catch ada Annual slightly below 5% to something Meeting, Minaki savings accounts in our banks, for work along with the seems to be that this money is in program of better than 5%. In the corpora¬ a total of $1,370 million. Two hun¬ Lodge, Ont., June 23, 1949. the hands of people who, for some tion field I could choose from Bell the thrifty Canadian making a practice of regularly saving some reason, prefer to leave it in bank Telephone at 4.96%, Gatineau accounts, rather than placing it Powers at 5.22%, Manitoba Power part of his income, however small. in investment securities. Surely there must be some way Surely *A talk by Mr. Shaw at the our posit figures but let us are take another 5V2S, fetching 5.42%, Shawinigans these people we can stand to benefit if persuade them to put their effectively to work. money more BRAWLEY, CATHERS 8s COMPANY Developed? - MUNICIPAL - CORPORATION BONDS BANK OF ble, COMMERCE ADELAIDE 5821 BUILDING lack of success find to dollars and, if possi¬ corrective some ness important, it days for is was common more realistic than in the cessions available an to sub-agents. These sub-agents were to There scarcely us. small too good was to important be drawn and the small between grocery corner our business business. The might logi¬ cally sit down some evening and one or more wonder what has happened to the available to have sub-agents There undoubtedly, are, Perhaps manship in that word. who search us. the Yet we lack better we are many sales¬ sense of the people largely developed and direct¬ ed the sales program so successful during nine Victory Loans. Perhaps our merchandise hasn't out These a town You investment men know were grocer the funds not situation now stream-lined merchandising oper¬ Operators like Safeway, Loblaws, and Dominion Stores profit have narrowed so as to buy top flight merchandise, tack make the use of sub-agents prac¬ on a competitive profit, dress it tically out of the question. Our merchandise is largely out to the up in attractive packages, put it out where it catches the eye, and specifications of institutions, and arrange their stores so that the not designed to attract the mod merchandise is easy to get at. est investor. No longer can we They let their customers serve With the keen competition in bid¬ ding measures. reasons. TORONTO close to 6%. too, of making the buying of com¬ mon stocks more popular. The profit margin in this type of busi¬ retail grocery business. He could for willing scarcely conclude that the grocery course, is that some, if not all of to work for nothing, and did not potential today is any less than it us have not been too successful to was 20 years ago. find it necessary to do so. He might come Our date. There is, perhaps too, an profit margins permitted us to to the conclusion that HIS lack of implication that we are losing our give them worth-while commis¬ success is a matter of profit mar¬ touch, and that we are not as suc¬ sions, usually % of 1%, and still gin—OR—if he is a keener ana¬ cessful as we were 15 or 20 years have enough left to compensate lyst, he might come to the con¬ ago on a relative basis. The prob¬ clusion that the chain the salesman and the firm. grocers' lem is to get at the reasons for growing success is the result of a our CANADIAN these out of the savings accounts and into deposit boxes in the form of securities? The implication, of CANADIAN GOVERNMENT entice basis, and an attrac¬ of industrials yielding in those brings us to the part of the topic assigned to this discussion period, "What can we do to develop this Retail Market?" we group bond business, if costs can be kept offering list to carry a perforated strip at the down. second Maybe there is „an analogy to right hand side, indicating con¬ This can 4.90% a tive Also How Can Retail Market Be How on send for new salesmen issues, into margins the field ation. of in (Continued on page 17) THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Harold Backus, McLeod, Young, Weir & Company, 17 Dominion Securities Corp., Montreal; G. Saint-Pierre, Dominion Secu¬ Corp., Montreal; A. E. Tomasic, Thomas & Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. A. S. Keator, Limited, Toronto; Frank Evans, McLeod, Young, Weir & Company, Limited, Montreal; Murray Cox, Greenshields ^'i & Co., Montreal ■. rities ■ ilmpoitance of Greater Profit Margins to Dealers This is a approach Mr. Williamson calls attention to than from the the of desire of members industry our increase to their earnings. It that are suc¬ we cessful the along lines propose I to discuss the re¬ sults should benefit Shaw's Bruce our in¬ dustry. Referring to Alan H. Williamson higher overhead and operating costs retail distribution of securities. follows, however, if intensified competition in as rather excellent paper on the has changed that formerly comprised the retail market has largely disappeared and has been replaced, through the distribution of wealth which is going on, by probably 10 times as many people having capital of from $1,000 to $10,000 or $15,000. * r the vened situation financial information expected as of immense benefit to borrowers day function of the in¬ and that the cost of securing it, vestment dealer has very mate¬ represented by increased margins rially increased the cost of oper¬ that our industry would have to ation. This phase of the subject have to develop it, would benefit the could be expanded at considerable the borrower materially in length, but suffice it to say that long run and, in addition to this, the cost of operation of investment it would enable us to give serv¬ ddalers has increased very mate¬ ice to this very broad group of people who, more than anyone As Bruce Shaw has pointed out, rially. else, need expert and experienced there are infinitely more holders Intensified Competition guidance in the investment of of securities in Canada of a much so that this group an every disappearance of tne retail While the trend of costs has their funds. market, 1 can recall a period when greater aggregate amount and a continued to rise, the competition Having,'1 I hope, justified by there were probably 100,000 peo¬ 50% increase in savings accounts in the business has intensified and these remarks the effort by the ple in this country who comprised in the banks in the past 15 years. with it profit margins have con¬ Bruce has ably discussed what can industry to search for some meth¬ the retail market for securities tinued to narrow. It is only od of increasing profit margins, service this market and who, as a group, were well be done to informed because they were thor¬ and, having in mind the subject through the volume of business I will now discuss how this may handled that investment dealers be brought about by proposing oughly well serviced by invest¬ allotted to me, I would point out have been able to balance their some questions for consideration ment dealers. When this situation that the cost of carrying on busi¬ ! existed underwriting firms could, ness has increased substantially Dudgets and earn a reasonable re¬ by the meeting. witn during the past 10 years through sues two confidence, purchase new is¬ of good securities for dis¬ tribution without being largely dependent on institutional money for the success of the selling cam¬ paign. In the years that have inter*A talk by Dealers' of the Association In¬ of their efforts. vestment business is As the in¬ subject to the ebb and flow of volume the same How Can It Be Done? At ties. convention our Overhead items obviously in¬ clude In addition to cedure for some years. Would it be possible to alter give a wider spread? For example, could a change be made so that one-three year maturities would be traded on spreads of .05 in price; and three-five year maturities on, say* a .10 spread with longer than five year maturities on, say, a spread of y4? Immediately, of course, a these regulations to number mind difficulties of but ficulties and sion. may be suggestion. There tions have the by some doesn't bind under the How to arms. these, the regula¬ economy of service that is been on this recommenda¬ Business Conduct Committee of the Central District this subject and recommenda¬ tions by a Special Committee of on But how the Eastern District on the possi¬ can our so tentialities. think I all would be true that if it I have were said not our duty to try and be of service to tions of the Dominion and Provin¬ this great group of people that are cial Companies Acts and the Se¬ curity Acts of the various Prov¬ not of now the advice only to compare an an¬ prospectus or a re¬ port issued by a financial service on any individual company for necessary nual report, a 1948 and 1938 1928 to obtain a low as a fraction of 1% on short- Victory Bonds. From this small margin all expenses of op¬ erations must be met and if a dealer had a net return of Vs of 1% term and execute on his total volume, I think most an execution profitably and striking illustration of the extent of us would be happy.~ economically is the $64 question. to which the presentation of fi¬ I believe that a good broad re¬ This is where I get rid of the ball nancial information has developed. This broadening of the scope of tail market would be ultimately to you. promote such to useful discus¬ developed , ting from a standard pattern and hope that the finished article rides neatly on the shoulders and come phase of this problem is beset with similar dif¬ every being given the benefit and experience of the members of our industry. If selling operation as simple as pos¬ it is true that without vigorously sible. Perhaps we have something inces have necessitated prepara¬ to learn from them. We may have tion of voluminous prospectuses attacking this great responsibility we require a better profit margin to develop means to bring the cus¬ which require not only more time in order to fulfill our proper tomer into our shop and make and labor but also higher legal him want to come back. The re¬ and printing costs. Year by year functions, it is even more evident that this is necessary if we are to tail operation under present mar¬ the business becomes increasingly service clients who will be in¬ gins or profit, may have to be ap¬ complex and involved. It requires proached from a mass standpoint. better trained and abler staff to vesting in small amounts only oc¬ casionally. 1 handle day to day business. To go from groceries to the While the public generally is Investment service has also be¬ men's clothing business we may and more extensive aware that the mark-up on retail¬ have to pay less attention to cus¬ come more tom tailoring, be less of a Levy and intensified. More detailed in¬ ing most lines of merchandise is from 25% to 50% or more, there Brothers and more of a Tip Top formation is expected by investors are probably very few people in Tailors operation. We will have on new offerings and also on se¬ Canada who realize that our busi¬ to be sure that we have good curities already held. The analy¬ ness is operated on a very small materials, make our measure¬ sis of investment portfolios takes ments carefully, but do our cut¬ time and capable handling. It is gross margin of profit, running as themselves and make their whole years considered approach which is tions under which The Invest¬ country the really beyond the scope of the ment Dealers' Association of Canimportant to the time allotted. Let us look first at continued on page 25) growth and development of a young country with its great po¬ the The Retail Market (Continued from page 16) 20 it might have surprised those present if they had been told that such a regulation would come into effect among Canadian investment dealers and yet it has now been in practice and a recognized pro¬ ago ist and render to investors and to Higher Overhead Costs higher rent, higher cost of Canada Annual Meeting, Minaki equipment and stationery, higher wages and salaries, higher travel¬ Lodge, Ont., June 23, 1949. ing expenses, higher printing and advertising expenses, and higher legal expenses. vestment turn for At trading is carried on in spreads of .05 in price for one-five year maturities and V* spreads in price on longer maturi¬ guaranteed issues. profit margins be bility of establishing minimum as other businesses, careful atten¬ widened? This is probably one of profit spreads. It may be that the item in an investment dealer's tion must be given to the matter the most difficult questions that meeting will wish to discuss these overhead, and, second, through of profit margins if the invest¬ faces our Association subjects, but I do not propose to and one the more extensive service ren¬ ment dealer is to continue to ex¬ which requires a broad and fully make this approach. The regula¬ dered to investors. the increased cost of almost every Williamson at Mr. Forum Discussion the developments—first, through and the present time as well This has been accompanied by lower profits margins caused largely by established maximum spreads and other marketing restrictions. Calls for more freedom in market¬ ing of securities and larger profit margins to dealers on new issues. Holds there should be more active market if present profit margins were increased. borrow¬ ers, direct Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd. public of Canada and to prospec¬ tive the trading of Dominion of Canada By ALAN H. WILLIAMSON * subject which I wish from the point of view of its benefit to the investing to or CALVIN BULLOCK, LTD. 507 Place d'Armes Montreal 1, Quebec THE 18 Len COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL Brooks, Gardiner, Wardrop, McBride, Ltd., Toronto; Bill McAlpine, Brawley, Cathers & Co, Toronto; E. R. Pope, Milner, Ross & Co., Toronto v-; CHRONICLE Thursday, July 14, 1949 J. R. Murray, A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd., Winnipeg; S. B. Kimber, A. E. Ames & Co., Montreal; Joseph W. G. Clark, Executive Assistant to the President of the Investment Dealers Association of Canada; R. A. Gray,'James Richardson & Sons, Winnipeg en Bank Exhibits Canadian Progress Pamphlet issued by Canadian Bank of Commerce reveals Canada's important position in world econ¬ Agriculture, Forestry, Min¬ ing, Industry, indicating Dominion's role as a leader Furnishes data omy. on in economic The Canadian Bank of ucts which .axes mankind the world whose head office is in over requires. Toronto, has recently issued a Economic diversification, says pamphlet, entitled "Canada, A the pamphlet, has long been re¬ merce, Modern omy," data which on ress. Leader in World garded elaborate contains Econ¬ teristic Canadian economic prog¬ distinguishing charac¬ great nations, particu¬ as a of larly in the division of labor and specialization of industry, and ■■ The primary object of the Bank these have been foremost in Can¬ issuing the publication is to give Canada its proper setting in world economy. Canada is worldrenowned for certain outstanding achievements—the production and export of high-quality bread wheat; the mining of the largest supplies of nickel and asbestos; ada's development in the last few in decades. In order to demonstrate the po¬ sition of Canada in world econ¬ pamphlet outlines the historical background of several of the most important Canadian products, and the major sources the manufacture of sufficient from which they are now ob¬ newsprint paper to print three of tained. This part of the work has every five newspaper pages pub¬ involved, of course, a selection of lished around the globe; and for considerable basic material, drawn a splendid war effort in the-1939largely from the Bank's own ex¬ 45 period of hostilities; as well as perience extending over a lengthy for contributions to European eco¬ period (most of that since the es¬ nomic have reconstruction. All omy,. these Canada prominence abroad. In fact, these great achievements may have obscured other progressive movements, no¬ tably those of an industrial char¬ acter, which have made Canada one tries tity of the most advanced economically. of domestic drawn from an A vast raw natural wealth goes dian mercial in conditions under of the spirit work the of and possible not an economy only on a which is high level of ductivity but is, also, many best a balanced in the one and depreciation allowances that entered into the goods and services, ment subsidies. and other cost of less govern¬ The itself covered come national salaries, in¬ wages earnings of employees, with military pay and together allowances, sundry corporation and returns profits invest¬ on ment, as well as the net revenue of farmers and others in business on their own account. The value of the Gross National Product increased by about 14% 1947, most of the being due to higher prices, although it is estimated that there that over wa£ some gain in physical out¬ 1948 was of larger yields the more even distribu¬ income, owing mainly to and uniform more throughout agricultural of most domain crop than the were harvested in the preceding year. altogether they have not the flexibility as that which is and should come million; rose and by 11% to the net in¬ of agricultural and other un¬ Investments certainly be created. ber of of last week at not remain as committee permanent threat a The. second condition should be that the political structure of the would-be borrowers should be third The that by various one condition way or in countries should be another the the world try to command again the respect of other nations as it was cus¬ between first-class com¬ munities in the old days. It is not tomary to be forgotten that all taken to of the have free not led to the creation of confidence in foreign investments. There has been too much of exchange con¬ now incorporated business by 27% to trols, and too many balances fro¬ $2,995 million. zen of the The value of the Gross National and valuable supply of prod¬ Product of Canada in 1948, is giv- ;: The was national income last about three year greater bery by disguised rob¬ expropriation and na¬ a new Foreign Investments" be submitted to the attention of the governments, well as as of the Economic and Social Coun¬ cil of the United Nations. The In¬ ternational Chamber of Commerce that this suggests immediate be sible in be code consideration incorporated new soon as given so as as agreements between countries. But 1 already spread to pos¬ a the over hope new world . has in that connection. Again it comes from United States. It is already known as the "Fourth Point" of the President Truman's Inaugural ad¬ dress where he stated that the United States must embark bold on a for making the their scientific ad¬ new program benefits of and industrial progress higher. tionalization with indemnities far available for the improvement and growth of under-developed areas. from representing the counterpart The President of the true value price changes, probably two- thirds has been too much invest¬ It recommends that vances times than in 1939 and, after adjustment for by non-transferability. There its of foreign ment for meas¬ counteract capital conclusions for "International Code of Fair Treat¬ various secure. the approved ments, to all long-term programs. pro¬ world. Commerce, in its Congress Quebec, has just first condition should be that the fear of war vanish and The ures $2,590 foreign lenders and too investments trapped into many borrowing countries. I realize that, it is In order to contribute to the only too logical also to see the would-be lenders hesitating in restoration of the conditions re¬ front of the chaos still prevailing quired for a large movement of in the world. A better atmosphere capital, the International Cham¬ movements investment income the Of course, Wages and salaries increased by $7,000 million; of many ICC Recommendations for Foreign given by private capital. about 14 % to over can only be temporary measures as same put. The most notable feature in tion loans government considered of rise com¬ Canadian people whose efforts have made substantial part of the most neces¬ sary institution All these records, no more than pres¬ are entations of become the economic however, quan¬ area of in which it has had Cana¬ constant study. coun¬ through forms of refinement to 1867) materials immense the tablishment given Outlook (or ixftt'l Investments come, to which was added indirect development. Com¬ as $15,400 million, was the highest in this country's history. The valuation, made by an official organization ;in Ottawa, was (Continued from page 15) based on the market prices of all the business taken over by the goods and services furnished by omies short of capital as the the enterprise, capital and labor wealthy countries of the 19th public authorities. And, finally, Century engaged in equipping the there has been too much disre¬ of the Canadian people and in¬ Continent? Furthermore, gard for the rights of capital and cludes, of course, the national in¬ New we should incorporated in added: make "I believe available to peace-loving peoples the benefits of s store our edge in of order technical knowl¬ to help them to realize their aspirations for a bet¬ ter life. And in co-operation with other nations we should foster capital investments in areas need¬ CANADIAN ing development." As it is, this Point Four is bound X to promote throughout the world W a Government, Municipal and Recent our oil a a thorough field investiga¬ tion. His extensive report \ problems private foreign investments. You will impressive oil discoveries in Canada prompted specialist to conduct sound approach to the of Corporation Bonds , certainly allow hie as European to rejoice at the idea that after meant to the meet Marshall Plan, short-term prob¬ is available on request. in Oil" LEADING NEW YORK STOCK STOCK AND EXCHANGE COMMODITY AND OTHER TELEPHONE: DIGBY F. B. Ashplant & Co. Two Wall Street NEW YORK 5, N. Y. 4-3600 Bell System TORONTO —STAR BUILDING—TELEPHONE: WA-4871 Rector 2-1545 EXCHANGES 36 WALL STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. comes difficulties. solve long-term now And I feel hopeful for the future Write Department C-13 BACHE & CO. MEMBERS lems, the Point Four to "Canada—A New Frontier Teletype—N Y 1-69 when the I see that generosity once of again with thought, with the efficient methods and with the experience vailing tic, on peace, sound which are now pre¬ this side of the Atlan¬ prosperity international might spread over this Continent. . ,and investment the world from / THE Convention Number Carl Falkenberg, Carlile & McCarthy, Ltd., Edmon¬ COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 19 Gerard Gingras, Rene T. Leclerc, Inc., Montreal; le Commerce et VIndustrie, Paris, France Nickle of "Oil in Canada," Calgary, Alberta, demonstrating his miniature oil drilling equipment Carl ton, Alta.; Sam Sharpe, Gairdner & Co., Toronto Alfred Pose, La Banque Nationale pour Significance of Alberta Oil to Canadians (Continued from page 13) their limit, found boom collapsed. Pincher That no oil and the has boom sequel. In 1941 Gulf Oil Corp. began a geological " study of the region, followed up with a fouryear geophysical survey, and then to dS*ill. <20 months ago Gulf discovered gas and light oil, 12,000 feet down, and is now over embarked on a multi-million dol¬ lar program to determine whether or not a major field has been Pincher Creek is at least tapped. great "wet gas" field. It might also become a large crude oil field. a Alberta's next oil boom started because of "Fried Eggs." Legend has it that, back in 1911, W. S. "Bill" Herron noticed seepages of coming out of fissures in rock gas formations studding surface the of what is now called Turner Val¬ Rancher ley. that of gas Herron reasoned could mean a lot perhaps a lot of oil seeps and gas in the rocks far below the surface Bill Herron came to Calgary tc persuade businessmen that drill¬ ing for oil should be done. He success, until one day he persuaded two Calgarians met with little to visit Turner onstration on Valley for the spot. dem¬ a They ar¬ Bill Her¬ rived at the gas seeps. ron hauled out a match, fire set to the escaping gas, pulled out e frying pan and a pair of eggs broke the eggs into the pan and to fry them casually proceeded The demonstration convinced. The Calgary Petroleum Products (we now know it as Co.) Co Royalite Oil drilling and formed was started. In May, 1914, at a depth of 2,700 feet, the well famed as the "Dingman Discovery" reached produc¬ tion. It came tive. with in a heavy flow of natural gas, saturated with straw-colored light o^l so pure and clean it was used straightway duced nearly 100 million barrels of oil and about 1,500 billion cubic feet of natural gas. It still has upwards of 25 million barrels of oil and gas to billion cubic 400 feet of In 1942 Turner Valley reached its peak of 30,000 barrels of oil daily and then—as all fields must —began to age, and com¬ go. long, slow decline. Today mence a equipment drilling possible. Better deeper So far Turner Valley has pro¬ Creek a decided opened up a major oil pool down the west flank of the structure. By 1946 major oil for hopes discoveries reached made low a ebb. Alberta the on Plains—at Princess, Taber, Conrad, Vermil¬ ion, Wainwright and Lloydminster but none very big. A lot of gas, however, was found—and several major oil companies started thinking seriously about using gas to create synthetic gasoline for the Valley puts out between 12,- use 000 and perial, Shell, California-Standard, McColl Frontenac, Union of Cali¬ fornia and smaller companies opened up large natural gas re¬ serves with synthetics in mind. 13,000 barrels daily, serv¬ ing Calgary area refineries. The Valley's gas serves Calgary, Lethbridge and other communities. south Alberta During World War II, Turner Valley played a vital role in sup¬ plying aviation gasoline require¬ ments the for British Common¬ wealth Air Training Plan, and part of the civilian needs of the prai¬ ries. As the field aged and pro¬ duction new declined, exploration for fields in the prairies was in¬ tensified. ' Turner ■ Valley marked the Al¬ in the Prairie Provinces. Im¬ Then Feb. 13, 1947, a new dawned. Imperial Oil brought era on in its Leduc No. barrel 1 as from gusher thousand a Devonian a formation of 20 miles southwest of Edmonton. California-Standards, back in 1941, had first found oil in Devonian at Princess, over 200 miles southeast of Leduc, and had started the industry's widely scat¬ tered probing of that formation. Leduc's discovery the "hottest" objective made berta production start for many of the companies active in Canadian Devonian oil of Canadian. Pacific Pete, Common¬ ada, for. the Leduc find rapidly emerged as a major oilfield larger than Turner Valley. Leduc's core today—Imperial Oil, British American, Royalite. Home, Anglo wealth, General Pete, Herron's Okalta Oils, Brown's Federated and Coastal, and many other. Exploration of Canadian American It seemed Oil Companies to Canadian —D3 zone—is lific source serve good million veloped, Guess¬ ting out finding proved difficult. work gave way to ogy and were Terri¬ cubic feet for mile deep is re¬ 250 billion 500 of natural gas. field, rapidly de¬ now over of upward plus or more oil an capable automobiles operate then at called to under 30,000 barrels on in increasing structures the well-site. degree in that might or be produc¬ a rapid very measures in oil industry spendonly about $12 million were That gary. and miles southwest of Cal¬ field had uos many They mounted to an estimated $25 million in 1947; $50 million in 1948; and are expected to reach $100 million this year. Revenue Leduc's discov¬ only 20 drillingTigs were op¬ erating. Now some 90 are at work. When Leduc was discovered only 15 geophysical parties — seismo¬ graph, gravitymeter and magneto¬ meter crews—were working. Now over 70 geophysical parties and dozens of geologists are in the ery field. At Leduc's of about 20 million expansion of intensifed The exploration —brought material results. Today it may be reasonably said development of fields already and of recent discov¬ eries may boost total proved re¬ serves to around 1,000 million barrels. How many more millions or bil¬ lions of barrels will be added to by further discoveries is anybody's guess. Odds favor, how¬ ever, that the present reserves are little more than a drop in the reserves of ultimate the Alberta The eight months have oil discoveries. certainly coming. past brought More seven are Natural gas in reserves Alberta exceed northward billion cubic feet, between 70 and 600 over miles, from the Rocky Mountains on the west to Saskatchewan on the east. This 80 times Alberta's annual ments, exploration and land play also spread to other sections of Western Canada where oil and has gas possibilities million acres freehold miles of exist. of government rights in 36 Over and the south 400 Saskatchewan have substantial increases consumption. The in gas serves figure— actually established by de¬ velopment drilling. (Continued re¬ It does not on page 20) <5 Quinlan members MONTREAL drilled below shallow the STOCK EXCHANGE MARKET HArbour 2201 BONDS oil, and the discovered Limestone—the Madison first KING 8T, WEST Collier Norris & TORONTO sands where Herron and Dingman found 25 MONTREAL ELGIN 1341 PLATEAU 8751 WINNIPEG MEMBERS same The formation later tapped at Creek. Madison "wet "Bob" Pincher Until 1936 Turner Valley's was gas" classed source. Brown and as a Then major R. A. Calgary asso¬ ciates drilled to 6,800 feet at Tur¬ Valley Royalties No. 1, and Quinlan Limited 923-385 Investment Dealers Association of Canada Investment Bankers Milner, Spence & Co. MEMBERS OP THE TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE Montreal Aldred Building 25 KING ST. WEST HArbour 2201 TORONTO ELGIN 1341 for Alberta large as it is—includes only re¬ Collier Norris ex¬ 4,200 require¬ allowances making full worth gradually became apparent. In 1924 Royalite Oil Co. now proved MUNICIPAL CORPORATION es¬ tablished spread from the American border ploration and development in Al- GOVERNMENT, that. Alberta's proved oil reserves ex¬ ceed 700 million barrels, and that and Prairie Provinces oil reserves. of oil rights in Alberta were under exploration, reservation or lease. Now, in Albert, over 56 million acres are being actively explored, Mills, Spence & Co. Limited and in Albert has—as might be expected Aldred Building, Montreal rocks below the Valley, the of Already downs before it reached ma¬ into ner dis¬ acres com¬ Manitoba Over 700 Million Barrels bucket time the covery been southwest Proven Oil Reserves sales—gross value before operating costs, royalties and taxes—amounted to about $14.5 million in 1946; climbed to about $18 million in 1947; exceeded $36 million in 1948; and will probably reach $60 million this year, despite market proration of production. At the time of have acres in and in the Peace River Block oil from of northeast British Columbia, MONTREAL CURB turity. As oilmen dug ever deeper the lions mitted 1946. beginning grew Tur¬ ner Valley—the British Emoire's first major oil and gas field, lo¬ 25 American oil interests. Other mil¬ Estimated ings From that cated of the down daily. With the Leduc discovery came the search for subsurface wrinkles few a 40,000 barrels daily. Market pro-ration holds it a to are of put¬ Geol¬ science. geophysics Wells Norman Northwest barrels, the however, world, including Today Leduc is rated For time, coral reef—a pro¬ a and Texas, The long Can¬ of oil and gas in sev¬ Canada's given Turner Valley should con¬ tain many other oil and gas fields. a Western tories). American oil companies who car¬ ried the exploration burden until 1947 that a province that had in eral parts of the (in and the oil-seekers West and Here growth: Several small oil fields had been found cently been taken under commit¬ ment, to start off a long-range, and perhaps large -scale explora-, tion program by Canadian and berta, and beginnings of major pipeline and refinery expansion. Association of America Toronto Canada Permanent Building WAverley 2984 20 THE A. E. Oliver, Wood, Gundy & Co., Toronto; Howard Hunter, Fairclough & Co., Ltd., Toronto COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL J. A. M. Belshaw, CHRONICLE Thursday, July 14, 1949 Pierre C. Bonvoisin, Banque de la Societe Generale Cathers Brawley, Fred Embury, A. E. Ames & & Co., Toronto; Co., Toronto Belgique; Gerald G. Ryan, L. G. Beaubien & Co., ■de Montreal Significance of Alberta Oil to Canadians (Continued from page 19) include estimates Alberta by single wells, which were caped for doned market. adding lack The more forty over where gas has been areas discovered for of wildcat or aban¬ or more. brief look at a other oil areas. In Oil of discovered Leduc. Anglo-C. 1948, Imperial Woodbend-Devoa few miles north Recently & E. team the Hometapped oil between the west edges of Leduc and Woodbend, to indicate between ago the two. a link Eight months Continental Oil of Canada— Calgary independent—tapped light in crude tion east sizable oil the Cretaceous of Woodbend, Actual pool has with wells & initial flush flows Redwater producers Imperial Oil, the Home OilAnglo Canadian team, Royalite, are the and a devel¬ Pacific Pete-Sunray-CalvanPrincess-Atlantic group, British American Hudson's Bay team, Western Leaseholds, Canadian Gulf Oil Company and the Barnsdall-Honolulu-Seaboard-Los Nei- Imperial's Devonian Leduc production and field Leduc-West has reserves In March and as Oils, Globe British April, this year, sevenl discoveries, all to be evaluated. Imperial Oil dis¬ Golden west of still Spike, Woodbend, with flush flow to 545 feet of Devonian reef D3 pay. A ma¬ jor discovery is indicated. and Leduc-Calmar rial also zone oil strike at Bon Accord, ten Oils, all Cana¬ independents. In September, 1948, Imperial discovered Redwater—a Devonian reef field Leduc a 50 which reserve miles northeast has developed larger than any yet found in Canada. of into other Redwater, made D2 a miles southwest of a Cretaceous mud, Alberta, midway about outlets to new the ease cutback Lloydminster is Alberta Saskatchewan. stretching pools from Leduc. out Gulf's Stettler well, drillstem tests, indicated a po¬ tential exceeding 3,000 barrels on Impe¬ Devonian Redwater; and discovery at White- several miles east of the Woodbend Cretaceous pool. Around 60 miles northwest The Stettler strike has heated broad stretch of territory in and central Alberta, and has assured expanded exploration up a on the Plains the cities of reaching east from Red Deer Cal- and gary. important feature of prairie oil play the past two has been emergence years Lloydminster region, east of is Edmonton, "Black of serve as molasses-thick unlike the Redwater light and large a Oil." crude oils Leduc, Stanolind Oil & Gas Com- as dis¬ or ship oil. Processed, any on the as it good continent. The barrels, and of some geologists believe the sands give up barrels. NESBITT, THOMSON i COMPANY Limited from 100 to , 300 « at may million Partly because of the rapid ex¬ pansion of light crude production, ability to pro¬ are placed production they will come in duce. on for As or wells new share of the available a result The ket. will be mar¬ reduced production quotas for individual wells. To the strain of transition, ease will steps allow probably be fair a light crude volume to reach of taken to Alberta the Pacific Coast and Eastern Canada by rail¬ Negotiations are under way special rail freight rates to make such shipments feasible. way. ing capacity for light crudes. In 1948 the capacity was 46,000 bar¬ rels, having been boosted by the completion of first phases of Im¬ perial's Edmonton refinery, the first refinery in the vicinity of rels. In 1948 production climbed to abdht 11 million barrels. This ^ear total production will likely be between large ure 19 20 million year's increase— it will be—is not a meas¬ as of ability brings and This to produce, which to market proration, the us transition period, and the expan¬ sion of markets ahead. In recent weeks oil production of flood peak of about 58,000 a daily. oil By that time the from fields Alberta had swept across the Prairie Prov¬ inces, displacing American oil, filling storage tanks at refineries The first natural and fields. keting area of mar¬ had been made self- in petroleum, its current to refining the ca¬ pacity. The day of prairie satura¬ tion came faster than largely because of the expansion - continued growth a potential, tion amounted to 7.3 million bar¬ limit reserve of oil Meanwhile, during the next 2^ have proved oil there will be years, there will be an increase of at least 50% in prairie refin¬ sufficient a period was Cretaceous Sands of Lloydminster least 30 million transition lagging along at about 19,000 bar¬ rels daily. During 1947 produc¬ barrels In its crude the During there won't be any great increase in oil production, though for Climbing of the Leduc Leduc, Valley, In prairie oil production climbed to state, Lloyd oil makes good rail¬ way the time At which, of Turner yields little gasoline. re¬ Lloyd oil to impor¬ more Oil Production of the straddling a asset pains"—market ahead winter. and rich a will play it barrels. Another the and covery, sections of Devonian, fall tant role in Canadian economy. daily of light crude oil from about 100 feet of pay zone in D2 and D3 yields asphaltic products of time this "growing proration. came seasonal between the original Devonian oil find at Princess, and the several date—12,000 «the Alberta-Saskatchewan border barrels daily rate—from American, Home Oil, Okalta Oils, dian central several initial well showing Canada's big¬ gest Madison south tos team. came heavy crude in the, which has cut into prairie mar¬ Limestone, on a farmout kets that could be served by block of land secured from Im¬ Lloyd, and partly because of perial. Twenty miles east of Le¬ freight rate and fuel tax inequal¬ duc, the independent team of Su¬ ities (as compared with the com¬ perior Oils-General Pete-Kroy petitive fuel, coal), Lloydminster Oils-Jupiter Oils made a promis¬ is suffering growing pains. This ing discovery of light crude in the summer Lloyd is producing from Viking sand at Joseph Lake, also 4,500 to 5,500 barrels of oil daily, on a farmout block from Imperial. during the seasonal peak, while its many small independent pro¬ In recent weeks the "hot news" ducers and its major marketer was made by Canadian Gulf Oil Company, at Stettler, in south (Husky Oil & Refining) press for found nany Devonian daily. Leading forma¬ been expanded by such firms Oil has already climbed to around 30,000 barrels daily by completion of over 60 miles tapped may potential southeast been Actual reserve barrels. covered strike, mil¬ prove oped. West, southwest, south and of now 300 ranging from 500 to 2,500 barrels January, nian reef field least at considerably higher. Redwater production rapidly built up this spring to over 10,000 barrels daily, and is being held around that figure by market proration. is such gas discoveries Let's take for aver¬ lion oil already referred to LeTurner Valley and Pincher Creek. good D3 feet, is immediate I have duc, combined D2 and age Leduc pay of 70 rated for an search of still unknown worth. This year alone has already yielded half a dozen whose D3 oil pay has a maximum thickness of 150 feet compared with tion, of discovery. months As rapid produc¬ Redwater within six field's expected, very a the Leduc-Redwater fields. to tions to Imperial-Edmonton re¬ finery and North Star's Winnipeg plant. In 1950, capacity will in¬ crease to at least 61,000 barrels and in 1951 to at least 70,000 bar¬ rels, by construction of McColl Frontenac's first prairie refinery at Edmonton, and expansion of Imperial and British American plants at such refinery centers as Calgary, Moose Jaw and Regina. There may be a Winnipeg refin¬ ery built by Imperial. Refinery projects by pected. others can be ex¬ , Such refinery expansion—nec¬ essarily fairly slow, and highly costly—is needed to meet increas¬ ing demands for all types of pe¬ troleum products on the prairies. Overall prairie area demand in 1948 58,000 barrels daily. was that timated result, average of This capacity is being stepped up at least 54,000 barrels, by addi¬ year demand this Es¬ will year about 65,000 barrels daily. It will continue to grow in years follow. By 1958 prairie de¬ to mand UNDERWRITERS and DISTRIBUTORS is expected to reach 100,000 barrels daily level. It is reasonable now that few Government, Municipal, Alberta years, oil Issues all of Dominion is with large a a per a Canada in petroleum. consumer, Public Utility & Industrial expect could, within make self-sufficient to the Our petroleum capita de¬ mand not far short of that of the United PHONE (MONTREAL) HARBOUR that 9221 ♦ States, of any and far ahead nation outside of of North America. This year Canada is using around 290,000 barrels of 355 St. James TORONTO QUEBEC oil Street, W. HAMILTON LONDON, ONT. VICTORIA - Montreal daily. Demand is growing steadily. It has nearly doubled the WINNIPEG OTTAWA past decade. By 1958 econ¬ CALGARY VANCOUVER omists estimate Canadian demand SAINT JOHN, N. B. will exceed 400,000 barrels As far produce as is Alberta's concerned, daily. ability it is to now THE COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Convention Number R. G. Editor, Canadian Finance, Winnipeg; K. S. Blair, James Richardson Sons, Vancouver; Syd Stephens, James Richardson & Sons, Winnipeg Les Rowland, & estimated that under proper con¬ existing wells methods servation could put out at least 80,000 bar¬ daily. By the end of this year potential will probably ex¬ ceed 100,000 barrels. By the end of 1950, making due allowance for decline in potential of older wells, completion of more wells in ex¬ isting fields, and for new discov¬ eries, potential might grow to anywhere between 150,000 and 250,000 barrels. Beyond 1950 is anybody's guess. rels outlook That requires markets beyond the prai¬ ries. That means pipelines, to lower costs of transport and thus permit competition in a broader market. Large pipelines can transport oil for as little as oneoil Alberta for third the rail of cost transport. In effect, they eat up two-thirds of the and distance outer move oilfields between fringes of market, and distant more portionately markets pro¬ closer. The first most economic and major oil pipeline out by Interprovincial Pipeline Company, a unit of Imperial Oil. Planning for a line from Edmon¬ ton to Regina was started as soon it became apparent Leduc was major field. As more discov¬ came, and oil reserves ex¬ the pipeline plans also expanded. Until a few weeks ago the plan called for a 16-inch line a eries panded, Refineries must be built by some one in such States as the Dakotas and Minnesota, which now are largely served with refined prod¬ ucts hauled in from other Amer¬ ican Nineteen-fifty will completion of a 1,000-mile pipeline, from Alberta the to Pioe see head of the 20-inch of Great Lakes. diameter, with ultimate capacity of over 200,000 barrels daily, will orobably be laid far east Regina. The 16-inch pipe will probably be used from Regina to the Great Lakes. The cost of the enlarged project is now estimated at $100 as million. This as also must reserves are going to be ade¬ quate to provide for export both to Pacific the East. Such Coast and and have to be fitted into refinery projects in both British Columbia the American Northwest A Pacific market for Al¬ oil is logical, if our oil re¬ serves warrant, for the present major supplier along the Pacific— outside Canada—involve several hundred far natural as export gas is con¬ also being made are from Alberta. West- Transmission Company, sponsored by Pacific Petroleums and its American partners in Al¬ berta line exploration, north across proposes a gas central Alberta and British Columbia to Vancou¬ with ultimate terminus north¬ California. Gas Ontario refining during the months of It will also cen¬ Northwest Natural Company, Al¬ berta crude to break into the great sponsored are found—will also call for, dur¬ ing the of years fact, it is ouite possible that the bulk of Alberta crude pipe¬ lined east beyond the prairies will to the United States. of the Ontario Canada's and The bulk Quebec accounts for Oil and a linking Alberta and by fi¬ line to network of lines gas fields with an from southwest Seattle, Portland, Vancouver. Prairie a business of found by "risk capital," pro¬ vided by men or companies who ground who want to take risks for high and stakes, Canadians who investments, it for to me that oil offers oppor¬ seems tunities far greater dians have yet taken If, in years should to raised be than — would foreign would come closer to petroleum self-sufficiency "in bal¬ a trade of oil with the Cana¬ advantage of. the cry come, that American dominates the Canadian oil and gas industry, it will only capital border our were friends across the alive to, and more willing to risk and share in, responsibilities and opportuni¬ finding of ma¬ exploration and development pro¬ jor reserves in Alberta. Oil is a fascinating business. It grams. Production revenues of today—plus the profits now being has gone a long way, and become derived by some integrated oil even more fascinating, since Koo¬ companies from their pipeline, re¬ tenai and Lafayette traded a horse fining and marketing operations- for a Pincher Creek slough, since fall far short of meeting the "in¬ Bill Herron fried eggs in Turner vestment capital" requirements of Valley, since Bob Brown drilled the major pipeline and refinery the deep Turner Valley oilwell in projects made necessary; by the 1936, and since seismograph found more the ties created by the recognize the odds against discov¬ the wrinkle that became Impe¬ ery and are still willing to shoot Alberta discoveries. in the knowledge that There is plenty of room, and se¬ rial's great Leduc discovery 2Vz when long shots pay off, they pay curity, in Western Canadian Oil years ago. off with profits commensurate for "investment capital" from You—key men in the Canadian with the risk. Canada's Banks, Insurance Com¬ investment field—would perform There's plenty of room in Can¬ panies/private groups, and indi¬ a valuable service to yourselves ada's West for more of that kind viduals. and to the nation by taking a ' close look at, and keeping well of "risk capital." The bulk of it Alberta Oil, from humble be¬ informed on, the Alberta oil boom now is being provided by a score ginnings, has grown into one of and its allied projects. or more of American major and the The old great Canadian industries. Its big independent oil companies, role in the West's, Canada's and familiar rule appliesi—'Investigate before you speculate or invest." I and some 15 Canadian major and the world's economy is still small, feel sure that if you investigate, established independent oil com¬ however, compared with the role panies. The balance is being pro¬ it appears destined to play in the Canadian capital in future will vided by small new companies future. exploration syndicates, which American Al¬ Trail Pipeline Western Canada, lightly touched and as have only gently invested, after a Winnipeg, proposes Calgary area a line from to feed natural oil and a Underwriters and Distributors great Canadian indus¬ perhaps share in the GOVERNMENT, MUNICIPAL Since 1922 A of Canada's picture, the East's "Risk growth of try, one and welcome, most vital industries. Intelli¬ capital" could do much to aid the interests of necessary study of the Nanton vestment, play a much greater role in the capital, risk and in¬ development of yet the great "risk capital" of the East. Company, sponsored by the Osier. Complete Over-the-Counter Public Service for Utility and Industrial Issues BROKERS and DEALERS in CANADIAN STOCKS Government Bank & Insurance Industrial Industrial Public Utility Real Estate Public Utility Mining Shares And Western Canada Oils of through existing channels. ance" by is Reserves of oil and its broad base. These must Hammond & the the Credit Interprovincial Limitee Members Montreal Curb Exchange Members Investment Dealers'Assn. of Canada consumption continue to be served with Canada gas phases. many mar¬ 70% oil dollars. BONDS In ket—which ahead, the spending hundreds of millions more and export in at the surface. be because have raised most of their funds in berta reserves more and ests, proposes oil market that exists in the Mid¬ west United States. oil revenues ments of today. Many, however, and will need more capital than can gas reserves. This be secured from immediate pro¬ continuing exploration—and the duction revenue, if they are to development of reserves as they carry out at desired speed their in discovering oil more nancially strong New York inter¬ open permit turn into the works cerned, plans coast total of sums and the continued success of that program be for "wildcatter's" objective. want to make safe gas are So every Many companies operating in ready found in Alberta ensure Alberta have already created real completion of several of the great values in terms of oil and gas in capital-investment projects. the ground, which will be turned The balance is dependent upon, into cash as the reserves are pro¬ in large degree, continuance of the duced during the decades ahead. present vast oil and gas explora¬ A few are now drawing out tion program in Canada's West, enough to meet capital require¬ to keep pace with its own grow¬ lumbia. in millions dol¬ The oil and gas reserves al¬ lars. the State of California—is unable ing needs, let alone those of Ore¬ gon, Washington and British Co¬ "commensurate profits" which are ment the Canadian capital that Discovery brings need for great of "investment capital," for pioneered the Alberta oil indus¬ the development of oil and gas try/ apolis and St. Paul. fields as they are found, for gath¬ The capital needs of our oil in¬ ering and transport pipelines, for dustry have changed in a short Capital Investment Projects oil refineries, absorption plants, space of time from terms of mil¬ These projects—oil and gas storage facilities—and all the lions to terms of hundreds of mil¬ pipelines, refineries, within and other items which are needed to lions of dollars. For Canadians sible ultimate objective such Mid¬ west American cities as Minne¬ pipeline will permit other crude the to Regina, Saskatoon, Winni¬ and other Saskatchewan and gas ,. east water. en to westward line would a Alberta crude to move by tanker through the Great Lakes to Sarnia ters, be oil ern plan has been further There Several oil companies are seri¬ ously considering a westward pipeline—convinced that Alberta's the fall of next year. expanded. orobably States. major additions and revisions to refining capacity in the Eastern Canadian Provinces, as well as further additions to refining ca¬ pacity on the prairies. ver, Now the logical market. Lakes Great pipelines alone, however, won't end the transition period for Alberta oil. stretching for 475 miles to Regina capacity of 50,000 bar¬ rels daily and ultimate capacity of up to 140,000 barrels daily. It was to be a $45 million project, to be ready for delivery of oil by with initial has been pouring in by the scores of millions of dollars—-to supple¬ Manitoba communities with pos¬ The berta year as peg States. of Alberta is that to be built next McCulloch, Osier, Hammond & Nanton, Winnipeg; James Duncan, Wood, Gundy Mcintosh, Pemberton & Son Vancouver Limited, Vancouver & Co., Vancouver; H. B. United States designed to let the of both nations serve the reserves and Provision of Pipe Lines 21 Kippen & Company, Inc. Members Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Imperial Bank Bldg., 610 St. James St., W., Montreal LANCASTER 5101 Direct Private Wire between Montreal, Toronto and Ottawa 210 Notre Dame St., W. 65 St. Anne St. MONTREAL QUEBEC Telephone Lancaster 9241 Telephone 2-1852 COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL THE C. E. Times, Toronto; Jack Kingsmill, Ertl, Financial f.. Secretary and Treasurer of the Investment Dealers Association of - Canada, Toronto; Strathy R. Mackellar, Co., Toronto Hagar t Ontario. on Boundary Falls, located Winnipeg River, three the miles from the Manitoba bound¬ rom page 3,479 10) miles of vided ary, is tential to new 26,036 lines rural rural con¬ Those figures represent new estimated to have a po¬ sumers. capacity of 112,500 kilo¬ a substantial increase over 1947 watts (150,000 h.p.). Kettle, Oak when 1,007 miles of line and 20,691 and Manitou Falls, on the English consumers were added, and 1946 River below Ear Falls, should pro¬ with 1,188 miles of rural line and duce well over 75,000 kilowatts 16,802 consumers. The 1949 rural (100,000 h.p.). program, to the end of the present Another important part of the year, calls for the building of Commission's operation is in the 5,314 miles of new line to serve field of electrification. rural has always been a policy, the duty of Hydro to It in fact, furnish to electrical consumers throughout the province on an equitable basis according to their power needs. Farmers sumers must well and as be and rural provided con¬ for as manufacturing industries urban consumers. In 42,820 new consumers. A substan¬ tial inroad has already been made on these totals during the present fiscal with year the completion of 2,071 miles of rural line pro¬ viding service for 17,103 new con¬ sumers. Today the Commission has approximately in consumers 1948, The use of the higher standard of living on the But it goes much further than rural 239,226 province. that. It a Investment in Canada Expands A prosperous and progres¬ (Continued from page 12) sive agricultural ; on so industry is essential to economic balance. At the present time Ontario farmers are of not only meeting the demands the domestic contributing of needs market but are substantially to the Great Britain countries of the the and Continent. Elec¬ trical services are a great incentive keeping the farmer and his helpers on the land by bringing them similar advantages to those enjoyed by city folk. in While the Commission is accel¬ erating in every construction of transmission cilities to possible the plants, way new lines power other and fa¬ keep pace with the expansion of Ontario, attention is also drawn to the role used in other parts of this conti¬ nent. The Commission has established organization an made direct the of its personnel engineering own to up of frequency progress conversion and already prelimi¬ nary surveys are being made in a number of areas. An important step designed to expedite progress of the change-over was taken with the retention Comstock of the consumer Canadian Company to undertake initial the stages of equipment. converting Statistics of the Dominion Gov¬ ernment show Canada's leading that Ontario is manufacturing province, being first in number of establishments salaries and and wages employees, naid, cost of materials and net and gross value of goods produced. It is esti¬ mated that sons are more than 860.000 per¬ employed in industry. Assuming the population to be ap¬ proximately 4,000,000 that is an average of one out of every five and clearly reflects the all im¬ portant contribution that industry of all kinds is making to the eco¬ nomic development of the prov¬ ince. !•; sizable deferred needs. And so on. But this is a rich and favored Hydro is doing its utmost to sus¬ the tempo of that develop¬ by making available the to keen Production employment at the highest power Joachims power development, Des be the great developments for which probably more than a billion dollars and be which, when completed, will second largest source of power operated by The Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario. Situated on the Ottawa River some 38 miles sible level. At the Commission same is time the employing upstream from Pembroke, Des Joachims will supply 358,000 kilowatts thousands of men in skilled and (480,000 hp.) at 60 cycles, to serve Hydro's Southern Ontario system. unskilled categories for work on Power from this development will be transmitted for a distance of some its 200 miles over 230,000-volt steel tower transmission lines. Actual own numerous projects. Thus con¬ the benefits to the people and in¬ struction at the site began in the Fall of 1946 and it is expected that the first four units of this eight-unit plant will be ready for operation dustries of the province are real¬ by 1950 with the remaining four scheduled for service by many workers will during the years to of labor the required 1951. ized both directly and indirectly. staffs own our able and to well are skilled Asso¬ give ment business. Some 400 students at present enrolled for these courses, which include exacting tests of knowledge of the funda¬ are future holds much mentals of government and corpo¬ promise for Canadians who have rate finance, analysis of financial enough faith in their country to statements, investment policy and further its continued development other subjects considered required and enough judgment to perceive reading for the competent invest¬ over-all progress despite the ups ment dealer. This program, now and downs inevitable in business in its second year, is operating enterprise. I am not, of course, most successfully and is a source urging the indiscriminate buying of justifiable pride to our in¬ of speculative securities. As a dustry. matter of fact, most of the money In addition, our Association has required for the initiation of great on various occasions submitted The come. industrial undertakings is sup¬ the investor's viewpoint to Royal plied by the direct investment of Commissions, the Departments of private capital and, in the case of Finance and National Revenue, established companies, out of cor¬ the Bank of Canada, the Foreign porate resources, rather than by Exchange Control Board and a the public flotation of security is¬ number of the provincial govern¬ sues. My object, as an investment ments, and in doing so has, I feel, dealer, is to emphasize the need served a most useful purpose. This adequate venture capital in a economy and the value to this country of the alert and well- for *ree informed investor. Since last our with forces meeting, formally joined Canada. brings to the Dominion many valuable assets in fisheries, for¬ ests, mines and water power, as well as undeveloped mineral wealth of great potential value in As Labrador. wish fellow every good Canadians, to fortune this latest comer, whose entry into Confederation promises substan¬ tial and mutual advantages. When I reflect upon the hap¬ penings of the past 10 years and the complicated problems of or¬ ganization and production which we, as a nation, have successfully resolved, my confidence in the fu¬ ture of this country takes on new strength. has been think a Invaluable experience acquired and with it, I more assured approach to certainly our be Association. it has years, this to feel own importance acquired true Of a I of recent growing articulate and closely-knit body, anxious to pro¬ mote high as an ethical standards and capable of effective leadership in the protection of the investor's le¬ gitimate interests. An One tecting the the best attention of members of the Association. Statistics the on disposition of personal income show that the personal savings of Canadians ag¬ gregate vast sums in years of prosperity. For example, the in¬ dicated total of savings for 1946, 1947 and 1948 amounted to $961 millions, $650 millions and $1,146 millions, respectively. A high pro¬ portion of these savings is paid to insurance companies under life insurance and endowment poli¬ cies, ways investor is of the employ¬ large sums so received is subjected not only to legislative restrictions but also to the rigorous tests set up by the Now benefits. ment the of very institutions. individual It to make is personal belief that if these ings use, broadening of the field of investment particular, more vestment stocks are tion my sav¬ put to their best be to are a institutional a in of promising Canadian essential. in in¬ common corporations A larger participa¬ insurance by and, extensive companies in the development of commerce and industry to pro¬ kin¬ contracts and annuity dred is required in tional interest and should Education Program of technical mat¬ reserved for the ters Newfound¬ land we aspect of our work is perhaps not generally known and I thought it worthwhile to touch briefly upon it before turning to annual Newfoundland has and pos¬ trained graphical position. Recent discov¬ able to the staffs of its members eries of oil, iron ore and titanium- detailed instruction in the princi¬ iron ore mark the beginnings of ples and practices of the invest¬ ment the that sure country: rich, amongst other service. Accordingly, our things, in natural resources and ciation has instituted an Educa¬ technical skills; favored in geo¬ tion Program which makes avail¬ the problems that lie before us. 'v tain on Ltd., Vancouver Vancouver tario. are taking is completed the 25-cycle in the province will have been changed to the more stand¬ ardized 60-cycle power widely rapidly Daly the mixed typical of On¬ especially areas proceeding A. that tasks, future. When this gigantic under¬ is R. of many frequency conversion program occupies in this planning for the work Pemberton & Son Robinson, farms economic electricity fosters times and la¬ save the performance in the Construction & Co., Winnipeg; Co., Toronto; W. J. Glasgow, Peter D. Curry W. Borrie, C.; farm. bor constructed and service pro¬ were B. E. Robert Jim Joyce, Financial Post, Toronto Increasing Ontario's Power Needs (Continued i Victoria, Investments, Thursday, July 14, 1949 Edward Doug Colvey, Canadian Dow Jones, Montreal; Warren Sellers, Telegram, Toronto; Lou Williams, S. R. Mackellar & ' CHRONICLE feasible be me, the it na¬ seems within the bounds imp9?ed by present legis¬ lation, " - " * •: " " v ^ • THE COMMERCIAL Convention Number and FINANCIAL 23 CHRONICLE HP * ";v *%. v ; HP**pjSfjgljj^ ill ' . Calvin Bullock, New York City; J. K. Hughes, Geo. Beves, Kenneth P. Duggan, D. M. Duggan Investments, Montreal; E. D. B. Magee, Royal Securities Corp., Ltd., Edmonton, Alta. Dominion Securities Corp., Toronto; F. B. Poutney, Houston, Wil- loughby & Co., Ltd., Regina, Sask.; A. W, McLennan, R. A. Daly Co., Toronto & Europe's Problems Canada's Role In will (Continued from page 14) mained far of little if not neg¬ so a inevitably be plunged into social and industrial crisis even Such a complement Europe will land that is very find in Africa, a to order As you play in this situation? develop Africa. I know well, Gentlemen, that Can¬ ada is still, in a large part, a new country, and thai she must, therefore, make heavy invest¬ very modernizing industry, the United view in know, of European than the one they sparsely populated, for the most States has chosen, in the Marshall in the period after part still untapped, and where Plan, a system in which tne Amer¬ 1929-1930. It is therefore neces¬ Europe has gained strong posi¬ their own territory goods which ican taxpayer makes the principal tions. Thus the development of could no longer be found on the sary both for the European na¬ Africa becomes a vital question contribution, since the payments tions and for the industrial pro¬ world market for the reason that to American industrialists in re¬ ducers of the entire world that for Europe, and the effort that is former suppliers of these goods turn for sending supplies to Eu¬ now being made to give the Euro¬ had been compelled to withdraw. Europe, admitting its unity, should rope, come out of the budget of rationalize its industrial possibil¬ pean countries the modern equip¬ the United States. But, for the After the war, European indus¬ ment necessary for the utilization ities, eliminate all duplication and of the undeveloped of their natural resources, must equipment try was kept busy for several organize itself in such a way that years, both restoring rains and a division of labor is established be accompanied by a similar ef¬ countries, President Truman con¬ templates calling upon American rebuilding stocks which had been between countries henceforth fort to investigate and then util¬ consumed by countries only in¬ ize the economic possibilities of private capital. And, in order to united. The various branches of terested in destroying each other. Africa. But, if Europe cannot by give private initiative an incen¬ industry must be localized where tive in this field, the United States However, when all these excep¬ itself even supply the modern they can best develop, and this Government pians to guarantee tional needs had been dealt with, equipment it needs, how can it can be achieved only if free cir¬ when keen competition again find the enormous capital re¬ whatever capital is invested for culation of manpower, goods and this purpose. No guarantee of this made itself felt on the interna¬ Here, capital in the various parts of quired to exploit Africa? sort was given to the European in¬ tional market, the world, due to gentlemen, we are confronted with Europe, is assured. In other words, vestors when they financed the overprpduction;* suffered a crisis in a world where the interna¬ a problem which, in some degree, which revealed in a clear light the is analogous to that which the industrialization, of the new coun¬ tional division of labor is tending countries that were not yet indus¬ tries, and tnere is no doubt that disruption of the prewar system. to disappear, where each nation is such an arrangement would have It became obvious that a new becoming an independent unit, not trialized, the so-called new coun¬ equilibrium of economic forces tries, have had to solve during spared the small European share¬ only politically, but also economi¬ holders many losses. > The condi¬ had to be found. But Germany the XIX Century. cally, whereiconsequentlyj eco¬ was determined to achieve this You know the role played by tions under which American pri¬ nomic exchanges between coun¬ vate capital will operate in the equilibrium by means of war. Be¬ tries are becoming more and European capital in the industrial¬ cause of her aggressive attitude, ization of these countries. Euro¬ undeveloped countries today, will more restricted, the old countries therefore be much more favorable there remained for the rest of the of Europe, whose entire economy pean people, especially the Eng¬ than those under which the Euro¬ world no choice but to devote to lish and the French, did not hesi¬ was formerly based upon inter¬ the preparation of another war, tate to put large savings at the pean savings were invested during national trade and who, for that the XlXth Century. That is why then to throw into its abyss the disposal both of the governments reason, depended upon the out¬ we hope that President Truman's of these countries and of various overproduction which found no side world for their very exist¬ outlet on the world market. > private groups engaged in the ex¬ appeal will be heeded and that ence, have no choice but to unite. American private initiative, fol¬ This second war has wounded ploitation of new discovered re¬ Europe far more cruelly than the Looks for African Development sources. And these sums—which, lowing the example of European first one and will Even this union, however, will incidentally, were not always put investors in those times when the undoubtedly bear far-reaching consequences not be a sufficient answer to the to the best use—enabled the new old Continent had an excess of importance industrial ligible, ' strove in order to manufacture on more serious experienced problem, for the entire territory of Europe lies in the temperate zone, and the old Continent, there¬ fore, lacks the agricultural prod¬ ing us now. The trend toward in¬ ucts that grow only in the Tropics. dustrialization which had sprung It also lacks some of the minerals which I do not propose to exam¬ countries to pay for However, a problem of the utmost importance for the im¬ mediate future of Europe is fac¬ which ine here. up in the new countries during World First the War, grew 1939 and 1945: many more countries developed industrial activity. Therefore, less than ever may Europe hope to stronger between the reestablish division old essential to its industry. To re¬ gain its equilibrium, it must, then, find a complementary continent. turers gave the the machinery manufac¬ sold to them. Thus, Europe the European to the new countries both machinery which they re¬ quired and the means of paying for it. We should resort to Europe's for the industrial which ered. the are faces are the question what role it requires. Indeed, Euro¬ nations with their dense population and growing needs, have been driven into a deadlock any service. the Marshall Plan offered the Eu¬ nations the means of sur¬ viving during the length of time necessary to modernize their in¬ dustries and to start their recon¬ it struction. But that nations is quite Underwriters and Distributors of view there utilizing and sources are for those your satisfying own who wisn to start be invested in your own country. It is quite possible, though, that in order to commodities obtain and for Canada, foodstuffs world wanted their the exploitation of certain new countries, would be advantageous. You can, indeed, invest in Central and South America, and, as well, in certain countries of the British Commonwealth. it be not However, would profitable for Canada to remain in contact with Europe and to seek opportunities to co¬ with her in a common program of action. I, for one, be¬ lieve that this would be your real operate interest, for, among the countries of the Western Hemisphere, Can¬ ada is one of the closest to Europe, if only because of that large group of farmers of French origin whose I do think that, to complete your industrial expansion in the great- continued on page 24) — products and to reconstitute their our complete facilities are at your Consult us — we help can you. Wire Service to & CO—MONTREAL Ross Members: The Toronto Stock & Co, Exchange and The Investment Dealers* Association of Canada man¬ provided them, in exchange, with rawT ma¬ terials and foodstuffs. If they try economy ac¬ cording to obsolete patterns, they require information or quotations Canadian Industrial, Mining or Oil liner? 330 OTTAWA QUEBEC SHERBROOKE TORONTO Hamilton that not produced here, the par¬ ticipation of Canadian groups in are Canada 507 Place d'Armes, Montreal re¬ new enterprises. You uo not need to seek a profitable outlet for your capital, in distant lands: it can Montreal Curb Market clear cannot be re¬ needs, still broad possibilities your GOODBODY & CO.—NEW YORK Members Montreal Stock Exchange of Canadian Security Issues the bases which were at the time when the rest ufactured m^de a great industrial effort in consid¬ GREENSHIELDS Greenshields & Co and already mentality has remained so much Direct Private Greenshields & Co Inc upon the located have Needed The generous step taken by the United States of America through of been you like that of our French peasants. can Security, • New Patterns of Industry sound have though Securities and Service on built a even which or When you is revealed by the scarcity of these of your national terri¬ still almost uninhabited. small part of your mineral resources CANADA products stuffs ropean Vast materials and food¬ war the dollar. the being tried riches. solutions problems and and discover own are Only I would now like to discuss pean as tory countries. Such to order her stretches capital, will take their turn in providing assistance to the new Europe in exploit of labor which allowed the exchange of a somewhat analogous procedure in ments TORONTO BAY STREET Brantford Brampton Windsor THE 24 W. Harold Robertson, Mills, Spence & Co., Toronto; Herbert Bell, W. C. Harris & COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE G. R Co., Toronto Thursday, July 14, 1949 D. N. Knight, Wood, Gundy & Co., Ltd., Winnipeg; H. R. Farnsworth, Royal Securities Corp., Calgary Roberts, Dominion Securities Corp., Toronto; J. D. Bulgin, Dominion Securities Corp., Winnipeg I . fending itself with so much dif¬ ficulty. Permit me, however, to people does this is constantly increased consumption. Our mis¬ action, intoxicated by it. abled us zling truth, Communism and despotism, of living which has become his willing to only reason for existence. point out to you that your indig¬ avoid all evil eventually arrive at Our misfortunes have made us nation stems from the fact that the worst. This is unfortunately (Continued from page 23) Europeans realize not only the you might not realize the dangers true in America as it is true est possible harmony, you should precariousness of worldly goods, certainly be approached very often remain in contact with Europe in the future by leading groups which threaten you. everywhere else. And, frankly, if but their inadequacy. We know You may be sure that Europe's a crisis as serious as that of 1930and oase yourself on some of its of that in order to avoid ruin, in European industrialists who illness is that of our whole civ¬ 1935 occurred again, this trend formulas, for these formulas are wish to establish branches in the order not to lose everything—in¬ undoubtedly more in accord with New World and are attracted by ilization, and, if its symptoms are might develop in America more cluding a certain amount of ma¬ more acute in certain European the genius of your country than the dangerously than in many Euro¬ terial comfort—we must have an¬ integrity, wisdom and spirit Countries than the enormous industrial struc¬ of elsewhere, this pean countries. The reason for other ideal than that of Canada. Such groups can tures of your neighbors. In my view, the best method of ensuring such a contact would be joint participation in a common enter¬ prise. But there is no reason why provide technique, patents, tech¬ nicians and, sometimes, machines. But they usually lack capital. Why would not Canadian finan¬ ciers welcome them, once they this common action should be lim¬ have ited merits of these European firms. I the to exploitation of new countries. I can very well imagine Canadian groups profitably in¬ am it, themselves assured of the that they will not regret sure the economy of their own as vesting in certain large European country will thus be enriched not enterprises, the latter giving Can¬ only with ada the benefit of their tried and with very fine firms, but also technicians who are often tested techniques. rather In our Europe, crippled as it is by inflation, most business con¬ cerns have insufficient capital and tomorrow in Europe, whose role in world economy will be less it is more find and difficult more to complementary funds in the Therefore, those coun¬ public. which tries maintain a have been able to sound currency are in exceptionally to acquire favorable posi¬ an interest in European firms of long standing whose stock exchange quotation is, at present, out of all proportion to their replacement cost. Pro¬ vided they made a judicious selec¬ an tion tion, Canadian groups could, such investments, reap through the benefit many as of the experience of first-class European firms, well their as secure the assistance of managerial and technical personnel to aid them in complet¬ ing the industrialization of Can¬ ada. In will been while they may be too numerous many not instances, have c of n s i s:t Europe e n t might Intervention Even in the greatest industrial country of the American conti¬ nent, the belief in the absolute perfection of a system of com¬ plete economic freedom, is dead. At the slightest sign of a slump, politicians of every shade opinion becoming worried, studying how best to avoid the we see of social consequences of an economic crisis, end in cooperation with feed present your can for economic development, I should like, even though I may be going beyond the scope of this meeting, to say a few words concerning the moral advantage to be gained from an intimate, spiritual and and advocating, with this view, that the State inter¬ upon of their rors the somehow own are illusion escape mistakes. likely to that, on this young conti¬ nent, people are carried away by With all the dynamism of your youth, you have accepted the ideal of our takes and that man civilization, of which the primary alone. objective is the multiplication of needs and demands and the satis¬ faction mands of these through needs ever and de¬ greater pro¬ duction. sufferings have en-, in all its daz¬ great principle the does not live by bread salvation of our The threatened order requires that we awaken within possible standard But what do we mean of ourselves the is frenzy to once more to fall victim living. its hour of grief. by this ex¬ A new phase in the that tion disorients him to men the results Such lead er¬ toward where he is everything, order to the point willing to sacrifice even his freedom, in maintain that standard perilled civilization. peoples. This statement may surprise some of you, for it is quite common, in the New World, to speak of Europe as of a very ill person breathing his last. Your healthy attitude toward life and your faith in effort and the spirit are quite naturally enterprise, ism, against which Europe is de¬ individual implied in Commun¬ Underwriters and Dealers in Government, Municipal and Corporation Securities. Members of The Investment Dealers'' Association Gairdner % 320 of Canada Gompani) Limited Bay St., Toronto ELgin 2301 Montreal Kitchener Quebec City Hamilton develop¬ New World, our old Continent must and will find the road that leads to the rescue of our im¬ repelled by the capitulation of the such to Europe discovering this in consume. pean in¬ have other aspirations, that we make a serious effort to simplify our lives, not allow ourselves Of course, it is important that the people should have the high¬ est our to grasp, The Noranda Mines intellectual union with the Euro¬ already will most make and our though pression? Man must consume to ment of our world is now opening live, but he must not live to con¬ vene in one form or another. In and Europe, because it is older, sume. For, if this becomes his is Gentlemen, I could very well America, as in Europe, people further advanced in this phase sole purpose in life, any restric¬ have a tendency to believe that stop there. But since I have al¬ than America. Saved from despair tion imposed upon his consump¬ luded to the benefit that close and governments can do anything, and by the generous support of the Canadians to They approached that any country culture, is immune. mean Trend Toward Government considerable than in the past. of vestments. in young countries, scarce not which has who, Town of Noranda with Smelter Stacks of Growing Noranda Mines in the Background. THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL Harry Gassard (putting), Investment Dealers Association of Canada; N. H. Gunn, Bell, Gouinlock & Co., Toronto; A. D. Hunt, W. C. Pitfield & Co., Montreal CHRONICLE Charles W. Goodeve, F. B. Ashplant & Co., New York City; Gerald G. Ryan, Montreal; J. B. Ridley, A. E. Ames & Co., Toronto L. G. Beaubien & Co., U. S. Direct Investments in Canada Increase STATEMENT (Continued from page 9) have not been included resent minor a which firms smaller the while only Businesses by Types part of the total Value of United States Investment the however, which United fluences have Canadian industry Animal Products through are Textiles 1939 1946 f 1947 1,041 984 1,366 1,438 94 9-3 146 160 18 38 47 42 46 _* Vegetable Products upon 1930 818 69 Manufacturing—Total in¬ States di¬ investments rect chief 1926 Type of Business— In many shown in statement 4. (Continued from page 17) (Millions of dollars) appreciable number of businesses respects, in All Canadian of Business, Selected Years 1926 to 1947 investment, they do constitute an as Importance of Greater Profit Margins to Dealers 2 Value of United States Direct Investments* rep¬ _ _ _ 18 20 20 29 32 Wood and Paper Products 256 334 281 350 383 outstanding feature disclosed Iron and Products 180 199 188 283 312 the analysis in Section II is the varying proportion which Nonferrous Metals 83 113 130 208 219 109 126 112 138 148 Chemicals and Allied Products 60 86 88 134 147 Miscellaneous Manufactures 25 31 22 141 210 198 249 423 399 366 89 122 119 -165 58 136 126 232 the smaller number of covered in this An larger firms special analysis. by United controlled States compa¬ in different branches Canadian manufacturing ac¬ automobile the from variations These production Utilities range controlled, United States to __ ___ __ _ _ 41 245 253 345 178 - 221 Total—All 'Direct : Companies 61 48 ... 54 55 1,993 1,403 — include investments f Subject to revision. limited are United which in perience and have established an outstanding place in world pro¬ duction. In the aggregate, the United States controlled companies constituted 30% of the capital invested in Canadian larger value the duction. trolled of manufacturing pro¬ of United All '2,544 controlled companies, -i< con¬ well as large, represented some 37% of Canadian investment in total the manufacturing in STATEMENT 3 Number investments controlled companies United in vestments No. of Subs. ir Kind of Business— Controlled Companies Total Branches Number 107 1,022 ;;r:- ... Textiles 103 42 ■ 10 2 44 52 Vegetable Products 4 The value controlled in¬ Cana¬ 31% of dian 16 The 131 Nonmetallic Chemicals influence direct Canadian of United rather investment industry specific than the upon greatest in is industries, in in mind the kept be and in , clients market securities as this a Accordingly, subject are to the and how they their my views on this Allied Miscellaneous Manufactures — Mining securities that they take for the in exchange on to essary we must have distribution to the trades made nec¬ reduce excessive this I am afraid that the member¬ ship, Mr. Chairman, will feel that 218 type of retail client I have been this is 8 3 125 discussing and that with ■W'T 38 230 7 53 11 84 15 107 117 192 Products reducing of spread through paying more really restricted liability. thought that much wider own pro¬ provided for by the necessity restrict apparent the freedom of the membership to feel necessary for net profit 1 199 ,19 , 59 Minerals and own spread in the business without the 92 i t 62 Utility, Total f;( 11 Other - - 13 alize that we we must re¬ will have to be well remunerated for such service. I am afraid that my a very an feeble effort to deal important subject, but I hope that what I have said will form the basis for an interesting conclusion discussion here today. 94 50 392 73 Utility 2 81 Railways 13 Financial, Total 191 2-34 Insurance — ; 10 184. 194 19 Investment Trusts States must and that we will never succeed 46 v' Metals manufacturing establisla¬ ments. thereby obtain for themselves be com¬ value of total distribute to their to 73 Products its panies represented something like the can and 56 93 115 Wood and Paper Products and if successful over tection. Iron spread long period of years this basic proposals which try Number of Unincorporated 915 913 Manufacturing, Total Animal Products that feels that for our profit to limit their liabili¬ these new issues to the amount which they themselves owned in owned States all one Association principle of Canadian Concerns Controlled in the United States, 342 Canada and elsewhere. the am net were 1946, including the value of minority of I the in ties . a Nonferrous States small companies, prove dealers 59 2,428 1,881 branches, subsidiaries and States manufacturing and about 20% in Govern¬ in tho market. I would suggest Corporation that it would substantially im¬ selling - and dealing ment, Municipal or Effect of Market Restrictions manufacturers have had long ex¬ in _ 36 > particular industries, often in¬ dustries as _ _ - Miscellaneous to an control States _ __ the purpose of affecting the increasing their margin by the price of Government, Municipal school of hard experience which or Corporation securities, nor to will soon prove that only in times enable the members of the Asso¬ of great volume and advancing ciation to form or effect combines, markets is it possible to pay over¬ agreements or arrangements tend¬ head on the margins which some ing to affect the price of Govern¬ of us have been trying to use in ment, Municipal or Corporation recent years. securities, nor shall the Associa¬ There is one portion of our tion at any time discuss or take business, however, where I feel action upon questions which would that an improved profit can be in any way interfere with free and obtained by the dealers and that fair competition among its mem¬ is on new issues of securities bers in the business of buying, which have been properly priced for securities." entirely Ca¬ are example of which is sugar refining. Instances where there is a predominance of nadian _ operate contain in paragraph is that attempts to set up mini¬ three of the constitution the fol¬ mum profit spreads are doomed to lowing: "It is expressly declared failure and that the dealers will that this Association is not formed have to work out this problem of ada in firms con¬ are industries which - Financial industry United the in trolled _____ Merchandising where almost all of the investment and - Mining and Smelting. cording to such criteria as the value of investment, the value of production, employment and other factors. - Nonmetallic Minerals nies occupy of 25 19 Other Financial 44 7 131 15 146 *1,626 389 2,015 Miscellaneous ' 51 therefore, total of all 'Includes 232 wholly-owned Canadian industrial activity. STATEMENT Book Value of 1 subsidiaries of Canadian companies. ; 1 \ United States Direct Investments* in all Canadian Businesses, by Forms of Investment, 1926-1947 (Millions of dollars) 1926 1939 1945 1946 fl947 1,329.4 1,271.6 1,289.2 1,613.0 1,691.0 1,796.0 187.6 Other Investments — Total investments 1336.3 338.3 305.8 292.0 320.0 327.0 323.4 285.9 399.0 417.0 448.0 1,992.7 include branches, ADelaide 9161 300.0 214.9 1,402.5 Bonds •Direct 1933 1,000.0 Capital Stock 1930 Dominion Bank 1,933.3 1,880.9 2,304.0 subsidiaries and controlled companies in Canada. 2,428.0 2,544.0 tSubject to revision. Building Toronto 1, Canada COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL THE A. J. M. D. Wood, Fry & Co., Toronto; A. R. Aylsworth, Cochran, Murray & Co., Toronto CHRONICLE Thursday, July 14, 1949 Swindell, Wood, Gundy & Co., Winnipeg; Kirby & Gardner, Winnipeg Gerry B. Massey, Mills, Spence & Co., Toronto; C. A. Gallagher, Mills, Spence & Co., Montreal Rod Copland, Oldfield, invades every sphere of business said that his country could not be a simple one: We must work decision; where too the State ex¬ survive half slave, and half free. not to reduce but rather to en¬ pands by preponderant weight its Those words can be applied to large our ability to deliver the own forms of economic activity; many countries in which the dis¬ highest standard of living to con¬ the whole world over. and business or labor accept the tributor tries to do business today. sumers are makbad example by enforcing or ask¬ Yet it is not inevitable that we Governments instead of making Consumer's Interest Comes First (Continued from page 6) the United States origin which devel- ;■ ernmental also are similar Trade Fairs as an ing incursions into the free do¬ effective way of disseminating in¬ mestic market for business, even formation on what manufacturers more important 'are the devices the world over have to offer in which are restricting international trade. I shall the way of consumer goods. only enumerate Aside from this, within Can¬ those which are paramount in the oping American retailing, minds of businessmen on this con¬ techniques have been tinent. Interference in the opera¬ further developed such as ac¬ tion of the international money counting and merchandise controls markets of the world to the point adian the Government to institute special measures to lessen the risk of competition. This is not, I sub¬ mit, the way to a higher standard of living. Abraham Lincoln once ing retailers should surrender all our of business decision to cen¬ tral authority, whether of govern¬ mental, industrial or labor origin. power creed Our should distributors as regulations in the more "security" should name laws which store of those enforce effective competition. designed are to re¬ and scientific or warehouse and build¬ service all where currencies con¬ are ings to meet special needs. Those, trolled, cannot but have a decisive gentlemen, are the developments influence in adding to the pres¬ in the which interest the of consumer unbalanced towards sure world Unrealistic maintenance of being hammered out by trade. are the status quo in currency valua¬ What tions is not the means by which are the road blocks? Europe can restore its prewar There are those which stem trading position with the North competitive forces. The other side to this is less promising. from governmental sources. Fore¬ American most is the (burden of taxation it¬ with self which lies sumer dollar. growing heavy element of the on There is con¬ also a vice of United — or States. resort to Canada Instead, amoral de¬ the import restrictions in al¬ most every country. That, gentle¬ taxation, which we men, is not in the interest of con¬ over here no longer regard with sumers generally. complacency. The cooperative Import restrictions substitute principle as applied to some forms the decisions of a small group of of business enterprise may be administrative officers as to what laudable, provided the State does our citizens want to buy, at a not dole fiscal out inequity find we Continent the in distributors dispensation price intended to ration sunply. thousands of unfair to other business. Discrim¬ for inatory tax advantages bonus high cost operations. The seeping ex¬ importers who directly reflect the changing wants of their custom¬ tension enter¬ ers. prise is itself not to be regarded lightly. For every time the era of taxed enterprise in our respective and of untaxed countries is burden ing State made those In such by circumstances regulations while they too limit the movement of goods across national boundaries, reduced, the remain¬ are trade suicide which secondary to this method of by responsible many coun¬ taxpaying enterprise grows at an tries have adopted. It is not accelerating pace. government alone, Beyond the sphere of taxation however, which is to blame for itself, governments have been weakening competition. Some in¬ making increasing use of wartime dustries and labor groups have so precedents for further limitations adopted restrictive practices business can be done. which it is difficult to defend. Re¬ Compulsory standards legisla¬ sale price maintenance in some tion, no matter how palatable it countries is carried beyond the on the way may sound, flexible is usually of an in¬ way ards to improve any affecting the or all stand¬ sale of article is set for all by an out work real ele¬ operations charge against earnings. When this concept is accepted, as it should be, our net railway earnings in the real eco¬ capacity is in ment the should and nomic sense duced and a further still are for a of cost be the past re¬ several almost to the vanishing point. This problem is the child years of inflation. For many businesses, the illusion of profits greater than those which have actually been earned. it has given New Railway Capital Needed There further aspect is one of the earnings problem which I am sure will understand and you preciate ap¬ you own experi¬ is, the need for new capital to expand facilities and to modernize plant and equipment. The railways are affected by growth and changes in the na¬ tional economy in exactly the same way that you are affected. Technological improvements have ence. from That become available to limited ducers Statistical studies have those in shown coun¬ that higher from such prices usually result chandise. There is also the threat practices. of minimum and maximum price The retailer may in a few cases legislation. It, too, cuts down the gain something of value from part which competition can play. them, but unless he is able to Again, the application of govern¬ lower the price of what he sells ment resale price maintenance to the consumer, he is not able to whereby the price for a specific discharge his full responsibility. mer¬ cost the tries where price competition and market distribution is severely point of social value, when indus¬ places a trial agreements are formed to clumsy bureaucratic hand on com¬ decide not only for how much an petition. The processes of crim¬ article shall be sold, but who shall inal law, if properly enforced, sell it and where it shall be sold. Competition is, I submit, the best that prudent management of restoring worn by cepted they have become available to you. The railways must keep pace with the times if they are to serve indus¬ try, agriculture and commerce in the way and to the degree that they should be served. The rail¬ ways form a link, an indispen¬ sable link, in the chain of manu¬ facturing and trading processes that take place between the pro¬ character which should stamp out cases of mis¬ and representation malfeasance. vl ^(Continued from page 8) original cost. In any healthy busi¬ ness concern, it is generally ac¬ tariff customs borne Canadian Pacific Railway—Master Work of Private Enterprise I indi¬ was interested to read that of hand one finished More raw and as materials the more the on consumers products and us the on you of other. manufac¬ turers, your suppliers and your customers, are demanding com¬ pletely reliable and ever-faster scheduling from one need for in the flow of goods place to another. The timing vidual agreement between retailer the Council of Economic Advisers has and to expedition and modern business. of supplier, strangles the efforts distributors to give their tomers better values. on the hours of sale able basis cus¬ Legislation on a reason¬ the States President has economy as and defined of the the United American "A congery of private government efforts." That is socially desirable could also be applied to Canada. but, unfortunately, it too may be It is recognition, gentlemen, of the carried to the point where it is distance we, on this continent, not in the munity of interest consumers of as the a com¬ whole. have covered trolled towards the Con¬ State, where either statu¬ Besides these influences of gov- tory law or administrative power increased with the tempo of railways can meet the challenge of these growing and changing transportation demands. is in the national they do so. the in required amounts, our position in the security markets must be restored. That credit in is turn dependent But to interest that do that ade¬ our upon earnings position. No industry is in a sound condition unless its earnings to fair at only not sufficient are labor hire and wages for materials, but also to fair¬ pay ly recompense the owners of the property so that investors may be induced to put their savings to work in that industry. It may be learn that there are, as of May 1 this year, 93,827 individual owners of the Canadian Pacific enterprise, more by some thousand than all of the employees required to manage, operate and staff all of our facili¬ ties for public service. It is a startling fact, also, that of the of interest total to mentioned, less to you number of 70,632, than shares us not only to a science common sense. The first principle, with which already dealt, is that the general level of tolls and charges should be high enough to pay all operating expenses, maintain the work capacity of plant and equip¬ ment, and return a yield to in¬ I have vestors sufficient to attract new capital into the enterprise in the amounts this needed. principle vidual is A corollary to that each indi¬ freight rate should return commodity. Unless transpor¬ of the such number of in¬ equal and fair consideration in our attempts large a dividuals should have resolve to the problems industry. beset the * r which Investors' Lack of Conference Current i stock market quota¬ tions for Canadian Pacific indicate the confidence tion. a I the realize shares lack this of situa¬ partly present that is reflection of the rather cautious view of investors' in which the investors investment taking are market ally. But that is by full explanation. gener¬ no means the Nor can the poor earnings of railways be attributed to a lack of demand for rail transportation or to a lack of patronage. The situa¬ tion has been caused by artificial restraints which have prevented rail transportation finding their prices from economic natural levels. in the the general inquiries which interest are cost of transportation, such transportation is economically wasteful and the re¬ used sources in taking achieved are when rates reason set at are come on these that score. We wel¬ inquiries and we are is Canadian no conflict between Pacific Railway moving For that levels cal¬ to induce volume traffic where that is possible— consistent with the principle that rates must be compensatory to the railways. It is this desire on the part of the railway to stimulate and main¬ large volumes of traffic that tain establishes the essential commu¬ nity of interest between the ways and the shippers. rail¬ Within the framework of these principles, however, many factors which into taken the and there have consideration ing freight rates. few words it culated have to say a me is it large volumes of traffic. place into the freight rate struc¬ expect providing The second principle in rate making arises out of the fact that the railway is an agency of mass transportation. Its greatest effi¬ ciency and lowest per unit costs ture, you may then obviously should be turned to the provision of some other service or goods. . there enable art and an requiring long years of constant attention and study. There are, however, certain fundamental un-1 derlying principles that make capital stock. Surely the interests prepared to assist them in every reasonable way, for we feel that will which is both the the of years. tures pert in the intricacies of the freight rate structure, the man¬ agement and understanding of each of quately, we must make substantial capital exnenditures over a period Many of those expendi¬ any transportation policy. I do not profess to be an ex¬ something more than the actual out-of-pocket cost of handling 75%, or 100 interest in matter of have I owners national real the tation enhances the value of goods by an amount at least equal to own In view of The It improve and expand services, but also, ultimately, we hope, to re¬ duce costs. To obtain the capital been in are been mak¬ Numerous rates established reflecting varying force of these factors the rates are by no means uniform. certain With rates the which exception are fixed of by the statute, notably the rates on grain and moving out of Western Canada, THE Convention Number COMMERCIAL and FINANCIAL F. J. Brennan, F. J. Brennan & Co., Ltd., St. John, New Brunswick; M. F. Newman, Cochran, Murray & Co., Toronto; J. Frank Austen, Nesbitt, Thomson & Co., Winnipeg all rail freight rates are subject should not be allowed unless made the Board of universal. This is due to misun¬ Transport Commissioners which is derstanding. The railway, in mak¬ charged with seeing that rates are ing a competitive rate, does not fair and reasonable and free from thereby create a transportation unjust discrimination or undue advantage for shippers in a given part of the country, but simply preference. Notwithstanding the general low recognizes that this advantage al¬ ready created, exists. In offering a level of freight rates, enjoyed competitive rate to a shipper who throughout Canada for many enjoys that advantage, the railway years and the supervision over takes nothing from the shipper those rates by a competent and who does not already enjoy such impartial tribunal, there is a feel¬ an advantage, nor is the handicap ing in the Western Provinces and increased under which he operates in the Maritimes that these sec¬ in comparison with the other tions suffer from economic and geographic disadvantages that shipper. On the other hand, if the railways were denied the right may be corrected by some revi¬ to seek remunerative revenue sions in the freight rate struc¬ from competitive traffic, then in ture. the long run other railway traffic It is true that these sections are would simply have to bear the far removed from the major cen¬ to approval by ing of D. S. CHRONICLE Beatty, Burns Bros. & Denton, Toronto; J. E. Jennings, Jennings, Petrie & Co., Ltd., London, Ont.; Harold Stanley, Royal Securities Corp., Ltd., Toronto Canadian businessmen. marching forward to Canada is become a great industrial country, taking her place proudly among the leadings nations of the world, Canada is have our have our basically of the economic set-backs, but nation is sound. We Canadian forward. go build in strong and free. We problems and we may our Pacific We want to want to help bigger and better Canada a the future believe such as and cheap land, climate, soil compensated in some other either In wasteful event, possible for fee natu¬ transportation would result; to be turned to No doubt all these matters will has made it ral way. advantages good use on a much larger scale and with far greater benefits to the concerned than other¬ have been possible. areas would wise be thoroughly dealt with in the inquiries now trust that a taking place and we sound understanding transportation has partially of the facts will enable wise deci¬ overcome but not eliminated the sions to be reached. Rail distance. There is a feeling in the Prairie Provinces, too, that they are at a disadvantage in not having com¬ petitive forms of transportation, particularly water transport. That, also, is true, for water carriage is cheaper than rail transportation. Here again, this disadvantage has been reduced but not entirely eli¬ minated by the provision of rail disadvantage of In closing, there is one we be We ask only given that freedom of opportunity which will enable us to operate our business in such a that we will be able to pro¬ way vide the kind I should like to stress and strongly think it is I as am as sincerely able, and I particularly appropriate to do so at this important gather¬ annually. Since the recipients are mostly low income groups, they are spent largely on consumer goods. The recent tax reductions and the distribution to farmers of war new for and to established indus¬ Discoveries of expand. and natural re¬ have already important such sources, I as cannot remain and will need Private enterprise in the future. healthy without the If it remains an it healthy, it has excellent chance of survival. languishes for long in and capital nature were of necessity postponed during the war, and the high level of private demand immediately after the war made it advisable for governments to refrain from competing with this demand. Some expenditures could not be avoided, - of course, but they have been kept to a mini¬ mum. Consequently, there is a large back-log of demand of a public nature. Consumer demand mained at a If starved has also re¬ high level, although, naturally enough, it is not as in¬ sistent as a it was. Demand for housing is far from satiated, and there has been no slump in hous¬ transportation ing of Canada needs today tors. thought plants in Canada to be converted to peacetime produc¬ for mentioned, require enormous tiers, just as anxious to develop capital expenditures, which should new and better methods and just continue to keep demand for as capable of solving the problems capital goods active for some of modern transportation as were time. Public expenditures of a faith and the aid of private inves¬ Canada Marching Forward volves payments to enthusiastic to explore new fron¬ that Demand for in most construction. durable consumers' goods lines lines exceeds supply. In many import restrictions have to reduce the supply of tended goods available to satisfy back¬ log demand. The great expansion Federal the of program Social Security during the war, includ¬ ing Family Allowance Payments, the great divide into the hundreds of Age millions dollars of Canadian Wheat Board have had much the sumer effect demand. same on Competitive Rail Rates to the competitive rail rates. Stocks question of Sometimes reduce us Oils the railways are obliged to in order to meet rates the In short, the Canadian economy not only come through the war and immediate postwar period stronger than ever before but it is still in a dynamic phase of development. Hence the confi¬ dence about the immediate future which I expressed at the begin¬ article and which general financial policy of the government. this of ning underlies the longer-term outlook is given a reason¬ The obscure. But more ably sensible in trade structure which Canada of world can of terests themselves, obtain and which thus expense Within been limits, regarded of makes practice. But there idea in these some the this as yields out-of- than contribution to the overall stant these through rates more costs they frequently traffic something pocket unremunerative to but competitive offer to railways the rates which are can Mines other of a or con¬ railway. has always good business seems to be an parts of Canada that competitive rates are un¬ justly discriminatory and that thy Bonds - - for confidence. In common reason with other countries, and to be shall policies conditions in the domestic remains buoyant, and if and United States. economy your removal of your our are to means as the barriers, such trade continue which as If government encourages world trade by can perhaps greater degree, we affected by economic even an we pursue policies in your interest as well own. Grain Commodities McLeod,Youhg,Weir & Company LIMITED MEMBERS Offices at: The Toronto Stock Members of The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Exchange Vancouver Montreal Stock Exchange Montreal Curb Market Victoria Calgary Stock Exchange Calgary Vancouver Stock Exchange W innipeg Edmonton Regina Saskatoon Moose Jaw Lethbridge Portage la Prairie Swift Current Kenora Kingston CANADIAN SECURITIES Winnipeg Stock Exchange Winnipeg Grain Exchange . Canadian Commodity Exchange Inc. The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Direct private wire The First Boston Investment Bankers Association of America v. to Montreal and Corporation, New York Stock orders executed on all Exchanges .Head Office James Richardson & Sons ESTABLISHED 50 King Street West, Toronto, Canada 1857 Toronto Montreal DEALERS IN ALL o Branch Offices: 367 MAIN STREET WINNIPEG, CANADA Offices from, Montreal to Victoria connected by our own direct private wires Montreal take of her demonstrated productive capacity, there is every advantage of the bureaucrat. com¬ carriers. Ob¬ viously it would not be in the in¬ petition - - con¬ has transportation. This leads the by accumulated surpluses Unemployment Insurance, and in¬ arms Old our sickly condition, it will surely pass over Pensions, in¬ individuals of resources of North America made it profitable productive the ity tries seek to become one. page 4) creased tion, ruinous to the railways unless they were (Continued from of demand which taxed to capac¬ we we that the fertility, mineral and other natu¬ ral resources. Rail transportation Canadian Budgeftaiy Policy And Economic Trends The offi¬ cers and - employees of the Ca¬ nadian Pacific today are just as as have helped in the past. our predecessors in the company share of railway expenses which who built the railway and set it formerly were borne by this com¬ in operation over 60 years ago. goods they exchange with the petitive traffic, and the burden of This summer we inaugurate our rest of the world have to be rail transportation would be in¬ trans-Pacific air services to the moved long distances. That, ad¬ creased upon those who were still Orient and the-Antipodes. That mittedly, is a disadvantage. The obliged to use it. To extend com¬ symbolizes our faith in the future very fact, however, that economic and our still-venturesome spirit. petitive rates to large volumes of activity exists and even flour¬ The time has long passed when ishes in these sections indicates traffic where the conditions I have the Canadian Pacific could be that this disadvantage of distance mentioned do not exist would be called a monopoly and we do not is compensated by advantages population of ters 27 Ottawa Hamilton London Correspondents in London, England New York V.-;: ; V 28. ; J:. i J* ; . \ V1* fi • + y. 7 •"'* *■ THE COMMERCIAL CHRONICLE and FINANCIAL Thursday, July 14, 1949 caQ/tfouv 10 NEW POWER PROJECTS DEVELOPING OVER 1,500,000 HP Since 1945, Ontario has for electrical the Province. To experienced a growth in demand without precedent in the history of energy meet and future needs, The present Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario is speeding it has to ever power now completion the greatest construction program undertaken. supply to Ten new plants will swell the industries, homes and farms by approxi¬ mately 1,135,000 kilowatts (1,520,000 hp). A frequency conversion Province is also under will — be the NEW POWER PINE DEVELOPMENTS capacity, 60,000 kilowatts, (80,000 horsepower). Ultimate (160,000 capacity, 120,000 kilowatts horsepower). In service December, 1950, River, East. Ont. ''■'■-'v jV: 119,000 kilowatts (160,000 horsepower). First six units scheduled for service in 1951. a section of the UNDER CONSTRUCTION WINDSOR Windsor, (240,000 for STEAM Ont. — PLANT- 180,000 horsepower). kilowatts Scheduled completion in 1951 LA CAVE—Ottawa CHENAUX—Ottawa : for that ultimately 60 cycles frequency throughout Ontario. PORTAGE—Nipigon River, N. West, Ont. Initial iT"' standard program way so Remaining two River, East. Ont. 153,000 kilowatts (204,000 horse¬ power). Scheduled for completion, 1952. Six initial units with for additional provision two. units in 1952. ^DES , JOACHIMS—Ottawa River, East.Ont. 358,000 TUNNEL G.S.—Mississagi N. East.Ont. 42,000 kilowatts(480,000 horsepower). First four units sched¬ horsepower). uled for 1950, early in 1950. remaining four in 1951. River, kilowatts(56,500 Scheduled for service