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The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 2 DEALERS' OF . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 ASSOCIATION CANADA 45TH ANNUAL JASPER PARK PRESIDENT Arthur J. Milner Mills, Spence & Co., Limited, Toronto MEETING LODGE VICE-PRESIDENT David S. Beatty Burns Bros. & • • • JUNE VICE-PRESIDENT 22-25, D. J, K. M. Johnston Langill W. C. Pitfield & Wood, Gundy & Company Limited, Calgary VICE-PRESIDENT 1961 VICE-PRESIDENT VICE-PRESIDENT Toronto Officers . VICE-PRESIDENT Denton Limited, Company, Limited, Winnipeg 1961-1962 W.M.Reay Nesbitt, Thomson and Company, Limited, Montreal J. William Ritchie Ross Wilson Eastern Securities A. E. Ames & Co. Company Limited, Limited, Vancouver Halifax HONORARY HONORARY HONORARY SECRETARY MANAGING PRESIDENT VICE-PRESIDENT TREASURER EMERITUS DIRECTOR J. A. Kingsmill Harry L. Gassard 0 J. Charles L. Gundy John R. Hughes Wood, Gundy & Royal Securities The Investment The Investment Company Limited, Royal Securities Corporation Corporation Dealers' Association Dealers' Association Toronto Limited, Montreal Limited, Montreal of Canada of Canada Edgar Hill ■ N " Volume 194 Number 6072 . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . Canada's Economic Problems Are Readily Solvable terly growth trend, and the year's that total There The fourth postwar economic expansionist wave began to wobble in the second quarter of I960, when GNP showed its first decline By Eric S. Morse/' Vice-Chairman, W. C. Pitfield & Co., Limited, Montreal, Canada; Retiring President, Investment Dealers' to as whether his since 1957. of government has has or the fourth quarter Capital expenditures de¬ clined last Retail Association of Canada Uncertain 7% ahead of 1958. was sales did year—so flattened exports. Cor¬ out. poration profits dropped by some 6%. Unemployment rose sharp¬ not damaged financial ly to record postwar highs. further seasonally adjusted index of in¬ dustrial production in July, 1960 relations with foreign investors, Mr. Morse urges nothing be done to discourage any capital inflow vital to future development. The investment dealers' spokesman calls for mented into effort to channel the of more increased aug¬ for Nevertheless In placing the facts of Canada's perspective, the investment banker notes: ments is at are within work; (1) the emergence of significant a in few Canadians the economic business o r The set¬ find opinion an some o d i f f i in out- f c on the ulties interna¬ tional o f payments; finally, how Eric S. Morse to Invest ment make can contribution these the to difficulties significant a of solution by stimulating saving, and by channeling it into effective forms investment. of It is indeed unfortunate that the There have lous been in four postwar expansion. came in 1949, cyclical Canada's fabu¬ ing out of The first Late out. was situation and inflow ance was the result of resource development in this country by foreign corporations seeking longterm supplies of low- cost raw materials. The impact of this new cessitated of was such than since it at Balance of Payments Problem Not Too Bad Returning opening Naturally, international balance of pay¬ payments This has the of been the marked in the 7% 1961 over of than 11%. result, largely, increase labor force which than quarter more was up first in by the more quarter cern has been magnitude account deficit, it situation. net Our of indebtedness and of merchandise the first quarter of 1960. about this current is not a new expressed the now international deficit account on are non- smaller was third post¬ economic indicators in moving sideways declines. earlier brief like But, not made in 1959. 1958 were showing mod¬ or recessions, and the two one this There cation. is still shortage of skilled many industries. We are now a 1960 it was less than $150 million. first quarter of this year There are, I think,, good reasons to expect a trade surplus which will help to finance the growing deficit on the nominal. non-merchandise balance of pay¬ ments items. Frankly, I believe that so-called balance of pay¬ our ments problem is well Continued relative to GNP than during on within page distinct personnel in FIRST confronted with the paradox of high unemployment— relatively depressed the '30s IN CANADA highest since the — at a time when was employment, national production, exports, personal income, capital Business generally and consumer expenditures are at near or cycle of sig¬ record levels. iNf I venture to predict that unemployment nificant expansion. Major ele¬ will be a continuing problem be¬ ments in the 1959 resurgence were cause of automation and general a major capital expenditure out¬ change in the character of the Ca¬ a 10% a 5% increase increase in in nadian exports To domestic our retail trade. Gross National Prod¬ uct in 1959 showed a strong quar¬ economy. the present economy in proper place w/ state IiNVHMINI of perspec¬ tive, I think that we should re¬ examine the underlying forces Incorporated 1932 OPPORTUNITIES IN CANADA Calvin Bullock, Ltd. 507 Place D'Armes Our facilities industrial suitable can be of valuable assistance to those interested in Montreal the development of Canada and of benefit to investors in selecting through which to participate in Canada's assured investments growth. FIRST Nesbitt, Thomson and Company, IN THE UNITED STATES Limited Members of The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Head Office: 355 St. James Street W., Montreal Branches in the principal Cities of Canada Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Members Montreal Stock Exchange Canadian Stock — Toronto Stock Exchange Exchange Nesbitt, Thomson and Company, Inc. 25 Broad Street, 140 Federal Street, Direct New New York 4, N. Y. Boston, Massachusetts wire connections between York, Montreal, Toronto, Ottawa, Hamilton, Kitchener, London (OnL), Winnipeg, Calgary and Vancouver. our dar year 1959 the deficit had fall¬ to less than $400 million. In Recovery severe. another underwent and well satisfied. That it 1957 a interruption of our economy's growth was in course. Most of the lay, restrictions in of en was first balance tween mid-1956 and mid-1957 it the the merchandise trade deficit was just under $900 million. In the calen¬ based on ent yardstick, was unemployed countries was $1,270 million last Canada's pres¬ year, most of which was on non7% of the labor merchandise items. Although con¬ to situation, I think that an examination of our commodity trade position is re-assuring. Be¬ the In Un¬ has been overstressed. In averaged War or mining and smelting indus¬ is foreign - controlled. The and political import¬ of this situation in my view the annual average of it Warld new economic ne¬ im¬ levels and the decade of the century. our that immigration capital goods position has reflected the however, this most ^recent read¬ justment period has been consid¬ heavy capital inflow. The balance of payments deficit erably more spectacular than the earlier periods. During last year on current account with other 1961 neither Of course, a price must be paid for the inflow of capital that has enabled this coun¬ tries ments force. of view that the present is manageable. Developments abroad exerted major influences on our postwar expansion. Much of the capital greater unemployment, period between 1900 outbreak accelerated war aris¬ wartime became pretty run when the pent-up demand for consumer goods of of the the It is my greatest booms fully apparent that est long-awaited Federal Budget has not yet been made known to us— as perhaps these comments might be somewhat more enlightening. interruptions terms and II. try to achieve unprecedented prosperity and high standards of living. Part of the price is the foreign control of so much of before World War I and substan¬ Canada's productive capacity. tially larger than in the United Most recent figures show that States and in western Europe in more than half of the manufac¬ the same period. turing, petroleum and natural gas, ports In most of Moreover, a large number of the unemployed are young and un¬ all through 1956 and carried over skilled persons who have not into 1957. Then its steam began completed secondary school edu¬ this of tempo economic all and, Dealers came brief and it was Sharp recovery followed in The balance indicate It ever Rise in Unemployment persons, 1955, sparked by the greatest capital spending program in the nation's history. It was also ac¬ companied by a sharp increase in export trade. arising out of our 1954. mild. give selves; war- inspired and artificial boom ting in which we the from at work than were inflow since World War II. Each period of expansion in those years shows capital investment accounting for an ever larger proportion of Gross National Product. During the pe¬ riod 1956-57 total capital invest¬ ment provided more than 27% of GNP, the largest, relatively, since capital services continued to rise. resources. letdown had of investment recession ada's basic outline the to as put us where we are. have been three successive waves before. Personal income and per¬ sonal expenditures on goods and against housing and (it was more of a pause problems which have plagued the than a recession) was terminated Canadian economy in recent abruptly by the outbreak of the years. To give the picture, as I Korean War in 1950 which caused an see inflationary spiral of world it, I will demand for virtually all of Can¬ endeavor first a been not forecasters some as post¬ Despite the slowing down, national production in¬ creased by 3.2% in 1960. More (3) utmost need to rectify lagging productivity. with deal to decline has fourth predicted. the balance of pay¬ relative importance of business investment as like serious in manageable bounds and that self-correcting forces (2) social capital needs; would problem this recession war example it sets when it should provide the leadership greater savings. the lowest in 17 months. was income investments, and flays the Federal Government's deficit financing for the poor I an personal The have Incorporated 1952 Calvin Bullock, Ltd. One Wall Street New York 8 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 . 4 The Columbia River Project findings the on eminent of sultants and I hope and gas for our con¬ will be ready for submission to the Government of British Columbia in August. At Shrum,* O.B.E., M.M., E.D., M.A., Ph.D., Board By Dean Gordon M. as Chairman of the Energy Board but As a submitted be in of 1907; projects. The energy castigates the burning up of irreplaceable resources when being wasted; denies enforced; and foresees utilization in southern B. C. and expanding California mar¬ kets. Mr. Shrum compares hydro, thermal and nuclear power, which term he contracts recapturable for expects will be competitive in 10 years, and urges delay in this hydro-electric project. the quite understandable that Canadian investment dealers and others, should be interested in large scale hydro-electric develop¬ It is ments. In comparison vestments of was energy and no first so Canada's share of the is approximately $450 problems associated the financing of the project of dollars. If the Columbia with well rival some of the engi¬ neering problems connected with building the highest rock-filled dam ever attempted by engineers. by Canada it will only the not one important subject for discussion not only for those of us who live in British Columbia but for Canadians from coast to largest trial is This of single indus¬ ever The may Treaty projects an this by Ca¬ paper is in no sense a preview of nadians, but the largest single hydro-electric the B. C. Energy Board's forth¬ project ever developed by any coming report on the Columbia. nation. The total expenditure for The Board's report will be based Cordon M. Shrum I important should emphasize that based upon other commodity is to our well-being. living of standard The is civilization Our in any by its per capita energy consumption. This per capita amount varies from 3,000 kilowatts per day in country some tries be measured can the of underveloped coun¬ 150,000 in the more to vanced ad¬ of 50 nations. This factor fair measure of the range in the standard of living throughout the world. It might also be noted that one-quarter of is pretty a the coast. under¬ taken cerned we almost living are is a really a gigantic reactor nuclear fusion process to world's four-fifths and population consumes world's the of energy fortunate enough to be we are included in this one-quarter. One that sooner or later the other three-quarters of the world's people will demand their assume may billion coal, use we oil growth and can therefore predict our energy needs at any time during the next 50 years. We have about an 8% annual in¬ crease which means a doubling of our Un¬ of industrial There gas grind gradually Estimates vary regard¬ ing our reserves and the time fossil of which elapse The most a all the is rate the which the at which upon of standard their final analysis it living. as is Cost a very usually looked important factor attitude this cannot is Our depend upon en¬ fossil fuels but 3% as 4% or an important of the over-all cost. Only in the case of electro¬ chemical or electro-metallurgical industries is the power cost a real determining factor in respect anxiety about our future supply has been lessened to some extent by the develop¬ ment of nuclear energy. The use location. to This latter type uses the rest of the Province combined. Relative Power Costs It might be helpful to have a look at the relative cost of hydro, the main reason that the develop¬ consumption, ment of nuclear energy is the coal, petroleum most important scientific advance nuclear and thermal Continued power. on page organization underwrites, 777 BRNK securities of the CANADIAN GOVERNMENT helps tax PROVINCES through steer you problems CO MUNICIPALITIES If you are a and Canada, you will face the same kind of taxation CORPORATIONS businessman with interests in problems do in the U.S.A. as you Knowing the facts on taxes that affect your interests will do much help to you make profitable decisions. The information you need clearly defined in is a free booklet offered to you by The Bank of Nova Scotia. It's called The Canadian Business Guide— revised edition of the memorandum the Harriman Ripley & Co. Income Taxes. Just fill coupon to receive your The Bank of Nova Scotia, in and mail the free copy New York of this Agency, 37 Wall Street, N.Y. Gentlemen: Please send helpful Scotiabank booklet. Incorporated Underwriters and Distributors new on me a 63 Wall Street, BOSTON • CHICAGO CLEVELAND * PHILIP ' • • London PHILADELPHIA • • SAN FRANCISCO I ERLANGE11S LIMITED : Address.. BRNK Company Name- THE BRNK OF NOVR SCOTIR READING Correspondents: HILL, HIGGINSON, booklet of Capital Issues New York 5, N. Y. DETROIT free copy of your newly-revised —Canadian Business Guide. Name Position New York Agency: 37 Wall Street. Representative: Board of Trade Bldg. St. West, Toronto. London Offices: 24-26 Walbrook, E.C.4; Chicago General Office: 44 King 11 Waterloo Place, S.W.I. ! of prodigious amounts of electrical energy. In B. C. the plants at Trail and Kitimat use as much electrical energy as all industry only about 4% distributes and deals in of it is usually only about when. All this cost consideration not a exhaust merely of of whether we shall our the not of the world's energy we be electric power is the really case industries most in raise In Today represents becoming more and more im¬ but under¬ will countries developed Diminishing sun. although reliability is sources also energy our or choice from these various poten¬ tial has come of atomic fuels will extend our only by reserves by a factor of at least 10. If the fusion process can be con¬ means of agriculture and by har¬ nessing hydro-electric power are trolled and energy produced from we able to capture a minute part heavy hydrogen then physicists of the sun's energy. With the ex¬ have solved man's energy require¬ ception of hydro-electric power ments for all the time. This is cally uranium estimate I have seen tirely justified. In the case of an is 25 years and the most optimistic automobile we accept a high cost 250 years. The most important for energy in order to have more unknown factor in these estimates comfort and convenience. In fact, Up to the present time practi¬ from of fission perhaps by the fusion proc¬ ess. Cost and convenience will be the chief considerations in making energy Fuels sources pessimistic fair share of the available energy. Fossil older even fuels portant. may before their exhaustion. much potential are many the from other large scale will a for B. C.—coal, oil, gas, hydro and perhaps nuclear energy of energy can be found our halt. has economy. of energy no a she although exhausted. If to requirements about every nine This is about the same rate increase as Great Britain years. and day these supplies will be civilization fairly tion our reserves source British easily determined. We know our present consumption, its rate of increase and our rate of popula¬ up some in quirements of B. C. can be pro¬ or not The future energy re¬ Columbia. using are needs meet only can particularly and ada years! When we must we throughout the world but in Can¬ using helium from hydrogen. duce that immediate our away but prospects certain make carried be not future by fortunately, our sun, which is only a second rate star, is gradually power is just one form of energy, an inexpensive and convenient running down and will probably have a useful life of only 10 to 20 form. $178 Lawrence million. initiate Canada's share of Columbia of ratified only of the waterway phase millions, even is eventually be taken over by physicists. Physicists are the experts on all forms of energy and to a physicist hydro-electric may $300 million for power and million for navigation. The St. so must We far as energy is con¬ quently C.'s Energy Needs B. not are being produced today except on an insignificant scale and conse¬ years the section Canadian the They billions, there be no completed Columbia project will be of the order of $1.5 billion. require in- River be cannot power 19th century and the fuels these and, so far as poten¬ to mankind is con¬ insignificance. Un¬ formed millions of years ago. fortunately, benefit cerned, space exploration by comparison fades almost into represent captured sunlight trans¬ formed and deposited in the outer crust of the earth since it was chemists ahead with either the Columbia or Peace, there is this enormous, available water power dealing with one tial supply of energy. really fossil fuels which are of this century, the entirely on our capital reserves. It is interesting to note that the pre-empted matter as their own special interest and left earth receives in four days from energy for the physicists. For a the sun more energy than all our long time the chemists had the reserves including atomic fuels. better of the bargain, for matter Unfortunately, very little of this seemed to be the more important daily quota of energy can be cap¬ subject. However, during and since tured and utilized. Actually this World War II energy has been the enormous amount of energy which much more important concept and the earth receives is only about now since matter can be trans¬ one billionth of the total energy formed into energy all chemistry radiated from the sun. The latter early Board's financial and engineering report is Mr. Shrum sees little doubt that expert calls for the repeal of the anachronistic, self-defeating Electricity and Fluids Exportation Act both, or divisions, During the August and British Columbia will go physicist. Physical science roughly divided into two matter and the other with energy. plant in British Columbia at an estimated Canadian cost of $1 to $1.5 billion compared to $478 million share of the St. Lawrence power to a be main for the building of the world's largest single hydro-electric waterway. The Energy as can physicist and not as the Energy Board's Chairman Mr. Shrum presses shall be identified not this time, I F.R.S.C., Chairman of the British Columbia Energy of all times These — Q Check here to put your name on our free mailing list Scotia bank's Monthly Review, which reports each month on a current topic affecting Canadian business. : for ; In 10 Volume 194 Number 6072 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . immediate Some Built-in Defects in Canada's Financial System By W. Earle McLaughlin*, President, The Royal Bank of Canada, Montreal, Quebec impact of monetary policy, directed at the money sup¬ ply so defined, is entirely upon the chartered banks, and other depositories are affected only in¬ directly, if at all. The which the Singled out the are to fundamental as near-banks' defects in Canada's deposit currency rise chartered-banks and the danger as this various I near-banks have referred , financial not poses only to or all imagined, which imposed assets an investigation title My calls "built-in to operations some d f t They are built they are fundamental s but also f only near-banks. of If, for example, the Bank of Can¬ Canada's? ada wishes in system. because e c banking attention defects" financial in e of it serves to market. open contract sells cash securities re¬ in the Should these securi¬ structure ties be bought by a bank, there is a direct debit to that bank's ac¬ which count o not are due to human hence and the in error with the Bank reduction a them, he issues of our account with his on the part of the the chartered and banks, the in¬ reserves vestment deal¬ or in the ever, the on sible bank on has of Canada control; they not limited by law to a maxi¬ disadvantage, completely be¬ of its cash "create" credit ing services is narrower than that provided by a chartered bank, but they are not precluded by law from extending this range. In fact, the only difference between their deposit operation and that of the chartered banks gives are not considered part of the money supply even control. can lending rate of 6%, which them a significant advan¬ mum is that, though they are sense that chartered bank deposits are I "money" in the same money. various loss suggesting that these near-banks "draining sense from the of a chartered bank are away" in banks. customer some deposits to The this kind of competition reduces char¬ tered bank deposits of one type: deposits owned by the general unlike the chartered banks, these public, but it increases chartered institutions bank stringent are not subject to the regulation which the Bank Act and the Bank of Canada deposits of another type: de¬ posits owned by trust companies, credit the growth unions, or of the chartered has become smaller. Should this trend continue at the present rate, Canada may in time approach the a noted British finan¬ stage which cial expert foresees for the U. K. where, on some still distant day, credit created by near-banks may displace ordinary bank deposits, just as over the last century bank deposits not am of banking system its share of the total supply of deposit currency notes as have the displaced bank¬ principal part of the supply. Under these con¬ ditions chartered bank deposits in money Canada would, like their U. K. counterparts (clearing bank de¬ posits) "become the small change of the monetary system!" Banks Must Meet the Challenge Under these conditions, too-, the implications for chartered-bank lending operations would be at other near-banks. Continued cheque on his bank, and when Canada reduced. are of and cash But, — glaring what I only they as consider pos¬ to correct them. been on page reduced cash Conversely, by the securities the pro¬ reverses increases chartered- reserves. because the of the 8% mini¬ cash-reserve under requirement Act, to control Bank these cash reserves is to control chartered-bank deposits. The total money said, and much has been is chartered-bank mum not concentrate means Much W. Earle McLaughlin re¬ defects are—but of hence cedure money How- will Bank The rapid growth of deposits in near-banks, whatever the source, has, in fact, meant that in spite a Bank of Canada any my marks Bank purchase a entities market. fixed percentage of is cleared by the Bank Canada, his bank's deposit with of authorities, the ers, posits of near-banks have risen. have their deposits in the form of cash reserves which in turn are subject to Nevertheless, it is clear that in this process, while chartered bank deposits are unchanged, the de¬ the check monetary other Canada, Should anyone else buy reserves. administration system of own Near-banks on chartered-bank loan rates of interest. The banker hopes the recently announced plan to set up a Royal Commission will allow not a not liabilities the by purchasing assets in return for deposit liabilities subject to check. Beyond this their range of bank¬ ceiling to maintain do collective have trol. 6% near-banks tage in the interest rates they can pay on deposits; and moreover, as I pointed out earlier, their deposit not yond their removing the Interest Rate Advantage These are posits in the money supply and subjecting them to some type of— to be explored—reserve requirements under Bank of Canada's con¬ recommends char¬ do but, also, to effective monetary control. Mr. McLaughlin absolves monetary managers from responsibility for this, and recommends legislative changes placing near-banks' de¬ also Canada's upon unique to the chartered banks, of having the total value of their the chartered-banks He impose tered banking system. are supposed in the popu¬ lar mind to be the exclusive prop¬ erty of the chartered banks. They system competitive threat a advantages, real to have Act supply, as have we seen, consists of notes and coin in cir¬ culation plus the chartered banks' written, concerning independence; Canadian deposit liabilities. Since it, in the years that the Bank of Canada is the sole have passed since the end of the issuer of notes and the sole dis¬ second world war. I do not wish tributor of coin, even though these more economic Canada's or lack to thresh intend of this old over instead straw. concentrate to I on prerequisite to that inde¬ pendence—a prerequisite which I believe has received little recogni¬ one in tion the immense, often and stimulating, literature on this vital subject. I refer to our need for a financial structure which is not only eminently sound and reason¬ ably efficient but one that works smoothly in its short-run adapta¬ tion the to the day. control economic climate of For reasons beyond the of of us, any we do not have this degree of flexibility now, but it is and very easily within our reach; moderate legislative re¬ it forms would make in most a policy in Monetary fact. as Western this money supply is de¬ by the monetary authorities Canada as the total amount of chartered- bank deposits rency plus Bank of Canada notes Canadian in cur¬ and Canadian coin in the hands of the public. part of this is far By or sum- the greater almost 90%, of chartered-bank in the form supply, market operations the Bank of Canada controls the active part of the money supply, of bank deposits, lows that the i.e. the volume it clearly fol¬ supply money of Canada, as here defined- is com¬ pletely responsive to Bank of Securities Markets Canada policy. "Money-Supply Substitutes" So far the role of monetary policy would seem to be straight¬ forward enough. But, as the cliche has it, world. we live And one of changes in portant in changing a the most recent to suit every im¬ years has been the development of what Canada, democracies, de¬ rives its power from the control by the central bank of the supply of money in the economy. In fined passive elements in the money and since, through open- are might the real side called "money-supply thing the but entirely out¬ definition official and completely outside direct centralbank control. For the most part money-supply substitutes take the form of deposits with checking privileges in Trust Com¬ panies, Caisses Populaires, Credit these Unions which and I similar shall lump institutions together in the simple descriptive term "nearbanks." Since 1934 when the Bank of deposit liabilities. be substitutes" almost identical with Canada Act established our central Bank of Canada's Role Against their deposit liabilities averaged the riod over a reserve-base pe¬ chartered banks are re¬ quired under the Bank Act to hold 8% cash reserves. In addition, under Bank an of with the effective May arrangement Canada, 1956 the chartered banks maintain a further minimum of 7% ondary reserves Securities of the United States This is State, Municipal, Revenue and Housing bank, these near-bank de¬ posit-receiving institutions have enjoyed a period of rapid growth. in sec¬ consisting of Gov¬ especially true of the de¬ business done by Credit Unions, Caises Populaires, Trust Companies, and inl a sense also by posit finance companies and small loan companies. But perhaps we should also day-to-day loans to money- The Bank of Canada has com¬ chartered-bank cash reserves, which consist of chartered-bank deposits with the Bank of Canada plus their aver¬ age holdings of Bank of Canada notes in the reserve-base period. plete control over the certain street and in effect rary In market dealers. in category of organi¬ zations that borrow money on the ernment of Canada Treasury bills and include near-banks other accept tempo¬ of this change in the true nature of the money the classic definition is hered to and the money supply, still ad¬ supply posit currency existing outside the banks. Securities of As a result, the The FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION Industrial, Public Utility and Railroad Corporations Bank Stocks 15 Broad St. Casualty, Fire and Life Insurance Boston • NEW YORK 5 Pittsburgh • Chicago DIgby 4-1515 Philadelphia Company Stocks San Francisco Cleveland Acceptances Securities of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development IInfhruti'ifer zliltrilulof Qjfaier Canadian Securities as officially defined excludes all de¬ chartered Agencies Bonds, Preferred and Common Stocks Bankers' deposits. spite Government and its External Dollar Securities ■Snveatment Sfemritied 13 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 6 . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 . —the Canada's Economic Outlook By Marvin W. Farrell,* Manager, Economic Research Department, Steel Company The of Canada, Ltd., Hamilton, Canada population and the present are small by com¬ parison. There are about 18 mil¬ lion people compared with 182 million in the United States, while the comparison of Gross National Product is 36 billions Canadian is viewed economy as having solid strength despite its present period of slowed economic growth. Mr. Farrell in 1961 as Western in directly dependent on sees here in the recovery Europe and, therefore, he describes the short run pect as moderately strong with greater strength reserved longer Canada's future. run the two-fold need for underlying problem improved exports and is pros¬ as the to and EFTA without improved entry to our markets, and caution that rivals the deployment of domestic savings to replace corporate borrowing from abroad merely shift the problem of capital may In discussing business the and financial prospects for Canada, I suffer from the disadvantage of being of close to so the crossflows Canadian affairs inflow to not be clear to me has not been resources or as rich a as as in the United States, though in forest products, metals and natural gas, and in tages the substantial in the are as To as nation develop as have mar¬ industrial an to the discern¬ industrial ing chinery, and technologies. Where our resources are rich, and when outside observer. I propose to we consider the subject the d and Canadian some lar outlook; mestic in the short-term and General Setting of Canada's Economic Development The main obj ective of Canadian economic development is courage the use of our the scale industries M. w. Farrell finally some major issues in the longer run Canadian prospects. The gain large lopment; particu¬ problems to access world primarily in the processing of nat¬ ural resource products—can estab¬ lish units for very large markets, under three ev e ready markets, the efficient industries— headings: the general setting of have to en¬ national and to full advantage volumes. are Where of our oriented to the do¬ market, and are relatively lightly exposed to the competition of imports, they must develop their efficiency in smaller units for the small domestic market. Finally where our industries must share the market with a substan¬ tial or rising flow of direct import competition, the disadvantage of almost the small market may be overwhelming. Although Canada covers a great employ a grow¬ ing labor force at a high and area on the map — greater than continental United States I believe rising standard of living. resources 1946-60, the population In recent industrial the years expansion has been at much faster rate than the gen¬ eration of savings in Canada. investment during the 1950s at annual levels between 22 to 27% of the G.N.P. has been far beyond the combination of savings and corporate earn¬ ings. To finance the national growth there have been heavy borrowings by the sale of bonds in the United States by all levels of government. There has been relatively little corporate borrow¬ ing in the United States, but there direct great deal of American a investment in Canadian enterprises, plus many tures owned initiated, nanced from the new ven¬ and United fi¬ States. Foreign investment in Canada is around now $18.5 billion—most of it American. This is the value of the half of over G.N.P. in Canada be can thankful, so Ltd. L. F. BROWN, W. TOM* Oldum Brown Montreal Vancouver ANNETT, W. S. Investment Dealers' Association Investments Ltd. BUKER, O. E.* Richardson James Toronto & BURGESS, H. T.* C. Winnipeg H. & Co. Ltd. Burgess Toronto BARKER, A. J. Thomas B. Read BONGARD, Co. Ltd. Bongard Vancouver Bros. & Denton Ltd. BURLEY, Toronto Montreal Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. Calgary Bartlett, Cayley & Co. Ltd. CARLILE, R. C.* Toronto Carlile Ames & McCarthy Ltd. Calgary Co. & Ltd. CARPENTER, P. H.* Toronto James Richardson & Sons Edmonton W. J. Pemberton Securities Ltd. CATER, ARCHIE H.* Vancouver Royal Securities Corp. Ltd. Vancouver BRADBURY, T. J.* Brawley, Cathers & Co. OPERATOR Toronto Canadian Broadcasting years. of the cases obvious Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. Calgary CHILCOTT, R. A.* C. M. Oliver & Co. Brault & Chaput Montreal CHIPPINDALE, ALAN* Calvin Bullock Ltd. Montreal BRAZILL, JOHN Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. CHOAT, J. E.* Toronto Burns Bros. & Denton Ltd. Toronto BRENNAN, F. J. Brennan & Co. Ltd. CLARK, Saint John G. Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. BROOKES, ROY R.* Securities Corp. Royal Calgary Ltd. CLARKE, DON* Edmonton Fry Mr. and & Co. Ltd. Toronto Mrs. Some an iron-ore industry in QuebecLabrador, a petroleum and natural gas industry in the four Western provinces, nickel in Manitoba, uranium, new aluminum smelters, railways to serve the mines, new pulp and newsprint mills, and a greatly expanded variety and capacity in manufacturing and construction. The governments of Continued Canada on Underwriters and Dealers in 15 page Canadian Securities Canadian Published Dominick Corporation Twice Weekly of Canada The COMMERCIAL and 360 Investment Securities FINANCIAL ST. JAMES STREET WEST CHRONICLE MONTREAL Reg. U. S. Patent Office WILLIAM DANA B. Park 25 COMPANY, Place, New York 7, REctor 2-9570 1961 1889 CLAUDE WILLIAM D. to Publishers N. Y. private wire with 9576 SEIBERT, President DANA GEORGE J. SEIBERT, Treasurer Dominick MORRISSEY, Editor Thursday, July Every Thursday (general news and ad¬ vertising issue) and every Monday (com¬ plete statistical issue — market quotation corporation news, records, A. E. Ames & Co. and state Other Chicago city Office: 111. 3, bank 135 Dominion 14 WALL STREET. Members South (Telephone La Salle STate St., New York Stock Exchange American Stock 2-0613). Exchange Incorporated Copyright 1961 by William B. Dana Two Wall Street, Xew York 5 Company Reentered Canadian Montreal Calgary Vancouver other Canadian Victoria Cities Paris, France . Febru¬ Subscriptions in United States, U. Territories and Members Pan-American Union, $65.00 per year; Possessions, Other of Canada, Countries, Other London, England matter Subscription Rates Winnipeg Dominion and ' second-class ary 25, 1942, at the post office at New York, N. Y., under the Act of March 8, 1879. Affiliates in Toronto as Bank $45.00 and per per S. of in year; year. Publications Quotation year. per $68.00 $72.00 Record (Foreign — Monthly, Postage extra). • V Note—On the rate foreign must be account of exchange, subscriptions made the of in and New NEW YORK clearings, etc.) news, & 1961 13, fluctuations remittances in for advertisements York funds. Ltd. Vancouver BRAULT, P. H.* re¬ are Corp. Winnipeg BRANDRETH, J. M. J. C. JR.* CALDER, ROSS BECK, GEO. H.* F. CHESTER New York L. G. Beaubien & Co. Ltd. BORRIE, P. Bache & Co. BEAUBIEN, ANDREW S. E. R. Co. Toronto BEATTY, D. S.* Burns G. & into productive de¬ came Sons Calgary AUSTEN, J. F.* Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. in many velopment in recent more ALMOND, ^Denotes respects, that sources Co. & Toronto our highest year, 1960. many Gairdner Co. per¬ sonal has been & Toronto A. of pace a Capital Bache BLAIN, F. A.* Industrial Output Outraces Savings' Pace to import many materials, much ma¬ we in sharply, particularly in the younger age brackets. As long as employ¬ ment was expanding the fast growing population was easily ab¬ sorbed into jobs. The population growth has been so rapid that the nation needs a fast expansion of industry and employment to keep unemployment down to accept¬ ably low levels. of the world. kets happenings may broad simple or distribution of The matter. easy national been not certain farm products our advan¬ that of some has This was and the labor force have increased mortgage and government bonds. Introduction population barely 12 million people. Through a concerted immigration program which brought two million ar¬ feeling in Canada that it is being closed out of ECM BROWN, JOHN H.* ACKERMAN, ARTHUR J.* Investment Dealers' Association 1945 the Canadian sion-modernization of medium-sized firms. The economist calls atten¬ tion in forts to encourage rapid develop¬ ment of resources. At the end of funds for the expan¬ new billion 505 The government and peoples of Canada have made ambitious ef¬ for the depicted around annually in United States. S. and U. to Canada recovery Attended the Convention size of markets Toronto Stock Exchange Volume A. CLARKE, J. 194 Number 6072 Ltd. Vancouver Ltd. & Mrs. M. R. W. Brennan & Kuhner, Dominick Corporation of Canada, Montreal; F. J. Brennan, Company, Ltd., St. John; Robert A. White, Bongard & Company, Toronto Investment Dealers' Association Toronto Toronto GRAHAM, JOHN JR.* Toronto Bell, Gouinlock & Co. Ltd. Winnipeg COULTER, J. M.* Ross, Knowles Tillsonburg & Co. Ltd. GRAHAM, Morgan, Ostiguy & Hudon Ltd. Montreal Toronto George Cross News Letter & Sons GRAY, W. S.* GREEY, J. G.* Vancouver Wood, P. & Doherty Roadhouse & Co. Calgary CROSS, GEORGE B. S.* Gundy & Company Limited Crysdale Ltd. Toronto Toronto GREGG, Arthur E.* DALY, R. A. JR.* McLeod, Young, Weir & Company Limited Daly & Co. Ltd. Toronto. Findley Coyne Ltd. Montreal The GUNDY, C. L. Bankers Bond Corp. Ltd. Limited, Montreal DLOUHY, DOMINIK* Bienvenu F.* HADLEY Lagueux & DesRochers Ltee. Quebec planning Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. work Vancouver trust HANSON, MURRAY Ltee. Investment Bankers Association Montreal of America J.* Corp. Ltd. Hanson, Richardson & Co. Ltd. Toronto Toronto A. Oldfield, Kirby & Gardner Ltd. Winnipeg E. Ames & Co. offices in James Richardson Prince & Sons Albert McLeod, Young, Weir & Co. a Ltd. Toronto EBBELS W. D.* HILL, J. Houston, Willoughby & Co. Ltd. Regina EDWARDS, J. C.* Matthews & Co. Ltd. are so preserve provide. when you dealing with are one dealing with the of the world's great companies. Sun Life maintains 150 branch key cities in Canada and the United States, wide variety from coast to coast. With of up-to-date policy plans, and with highly qualified representatives, Sun Life is in tion EDGAR to the the dollars which offer the very a posi¬ finest in life insurance service. Royal Securities Corp. Ltd. Montreal HILL, Toronto can with agency representation HILBORN, ROSS* DUNSTAN, J. R.* estate needs dollars that attending death and remember, life insurance Ltd. Calgary every immediately available to meet death taxes and Sun Life, you are HERMAN, H. G.* DUNLOP, W. S.* can providing the client with the best other assets of the estate. These And Toronto Annett & Co. Ltd. in possible advice. For Daly, Harvey & Cooper A. W.* officer life insurance HARVEY, D. R. C.* Edmonton y., ;■■■ man's estate, the lite insurance agent other expenses HANSON, TELFER R.* M.* M. Duggan Investments Ltd. ERIC a closely with the lawyer, the accountant and the will be Washington Royal Securities Calgary SQDSO QDBB IS EXPERT, TOO! Toronto T. Dominion Securities Corporation, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Wood, Toronto DESROCHERS, PIERRE* DUNCAN, Matheson, McLeod, Young, Weir & Co. Ltd. DEANS, M. C.* DUGGAN, Ian GRILLS, R. M.* Toronto E. Mrs. Montreal DEACON, F. C.* Maison & GRIFFIN, F. E.* Greenshields Inc. Credit Interprovincial Inc. Montreal Deacon Mr. Edmonton DAVID, MICHEL A.* DORAN, Richardson Winnipeg Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. Mason GRAY, H. A.* James CROOKSTON, J. IAN* CRYSDALE, C.* R. Osier, Hammond & Nanton Ltd. Winnipeg CREVIER, L. J.* D. F. J. Bell, Gouinlock & Co. Ltd. McLeod, Young, Weir & Co. La Mr. C. GOUINLOCK, R. W. JR.* CORSON, R. R.* A. W. Toronto Montreal R. Morse, Chronicle GOLDRING, WARREN* Fry & Co. Ltd. DOUGLAS* Canadian Dow Jones Ltd. y' The Commercial and Financial . GASSARD, H. L * McDermid, Miller & McDermid COLVEY, . Milner, Mills, Spence & Co. Limited, Toronto; Eric Pitfield & Company, Limited, Montreal P.* W. . W. F.* Annett & Co. Ltd. Toronto i ERTL, EDWARD C. The Financial Times Montreal HODGINS, A. F.* Greenshields Inc. Toronto GARRETT, W. LLOYD* Maison Bienvenu Ltee. Montreal ♦Denotes Mr. Provincial Treasurer, Alberta Edmonton FARRILL, F. B.* La HINMAN, HON. E. W. Osier, Hammond & Nanton Ltd. Calgary HOLTBY, P. N.* Doherty Roadhouse & Co. SUN LIFE ASSURANCE COMPANY Toronto and Mrs. Continued on page 16 OF CANADA Head Office: Montreal The Commercial and, Financial Chronicle . . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 8 Gassard, Investment Harry W. Dealers Association of Canada, Toronto; Mr. & Company, Limited, Montreal & Mrs. Eric & Mr. Morse, Mrs. Arthur J. Ackerman, Bache Limited, Montreal; Mr. & over Canada's Economic Problems the past five years has not the economic benefits resulted in have been expected. of the great increase in productive capacity, our rate of output has slowed down. Further¬ that might Regardless Are Readily Solvable Continued from page 3 Self-correct¬ ing forces are already at work. Accompanying the decline in our manageable bounds. was deficit trade there in¬ marked drop in capital a The downward trend has continued through the first quarter of 1961 when net inflow on capital from transac¬ flow last of tions year. portfolio less than half of securities was the figure a year earlier. has decline emerged in a signifi¬ relative the im¬ investment. Since 1957, which was the all-time high of capital investment, total busi¬ ness and government capital out¬ of portance lays have ishing accounted for a dimin¬ share of the national in recent years has surplus ment program substantial in resulted productive capacity in many in¬ dustries. For example, five years industry in the past capacity in the cement has increased been by capacity for petroleum re¬ 90%; is fining is primary 50%; by up aluminum There cant output. The official estimate of capital expenditures for 1961 is $8.3 billion, compared with $8.7 billion in 1957. The heavy invest¬ 33%; up to maintain our ore, for and labor ness the of investment $25 business management am not will be new a capital it may have implying significant Rather, we to¬ serious¬ problem. of the pattern Unfortunately, competitive posi¬ gether to face up to the seems others. Productivity Lagging we are in have also occurred in iron utilities, steel, chemicals and if world markets—this ac¬ centuates the urgency of the need tion The Canadian sociation reports make news¬ Marked in¬ capital re¬ Last year our total domestic capital formation was about $7 billion, leaving a short¬ age of over $1 billion that had to quirements. decline. survey. cannot continue This our creases output has World. I print is up by 25%. to to meet our necessary may be expected Profit margins have fallen and the rate of return on both sales and invested capital has been falling for some time. sector business Manufacturers' As¬ be imported. We are fully aware of the sharp that profits as a debate over the pros and cons of of sales in Canada's shown a declining rate of increase percentage our international balance of pay¬ manufacturing industry last year and is lagging behind that in Eu¬ ments position, and the allega¬ were the lowest recorded in the rope, even although we have had tion that Canadians have been 13 years during which the Asso¬ the greatest relative capital in¬ ciation has conducted its annual living beyond their means. During vestment program in the Free my term of office I have tried to man-hour per more, merchandise W. C. Pitfield & Company, Co., New York & Co., Toronto; Eric Morse, Mrs. Chet Burley, Bache & C. Pitfield that there decline in requirements. likely that the more "Social Capital" on Since productive least present, investment in the billion capacity than we can use, at capital for the number dians In ing housing and social capital at 35%. This year the official esti¬ mate is 55% for business and 45% government Conceivably ment could vestment the because ture, the been has gone in¬ the spade work of at compar¬ have Canadians years invest¬ foreseeable fu¬ done, less or saved really "living reveals that we are Since 1926 our income up." has sixfold—our savings on other hand have only quad¬ the up From this you rupled. will see a wide gap. expanding our productive capac¬ ity more roughly an average of 7 % of their net disposable income. An ex¬ amination of the trend, however, it outstrip business in 35 capital. social and housing are key of other industrial¬ ized countries. Over a period of investment ac¬ counted for 65% of the total leav¬ for a to those able business 1957 the that felt I were nation I relatively larger already apparent. The trend is that domestic issue. In a of addresses across the tried to make the point savings habits of Cana¬ ago, savings investment program. sector of the When year greater emphasis is being placed on "social capital." In short, capital re¬ quirements of governments at all levels will continue to expand Relatively contribution to this I assumed office a some issue. already and to occupy a be changed. built Emphasis More Foreign Capital Needed least for industry Our present. lenge has a real chal¬ of promoting form in the capital $8 bil¬ personal savings and channeling them into sound investments. turn to the Assuming future overall requirements in excess of lion a I now year, problem of the source is abundantly dians have willing) to of funds. It Cana¬ clear that we been unable (or un¬ generate the savings There is savings tapped. a substantial potential that personal could do, the less dependent we will be Specializing in Ontario of Province and Hydro Electric Power Commission of Ontario BONDS • > Mason & Crysdale LIMITED Loaded Ore Cars in the Canadian National Railway Yards at Atikokan Members: The Investment Producers of High-Qualitymeet Exacting Iron Ore to Requirements in the U. S. Dealers" Association of Canada • 302 BAY STREET and Canadian Steel Industries TORONTO 1 EMPIRE 6-8961 STEEP ROCK IRON Mines, Plants, and Head Office — MINES LIMITED Steep Rock Lake, Ontario, Canada Peter S. Bellman H. Mason Marie D. Saunders be The better the job we Crysdale Volume Mr. & 194 Mrs. Tim Beatty, foreign capital. on Number 6072 . . The Commercial and Financial . But it will not small, in the aggregate investment could be sub¬ be may their Canadians, unlike their forebearers, seem to be increasingly stantial. to prone rather spend Thrift seems outmoded. the state has conditioned habits. than to to have become Perhaps welfare spending our At any rate, we are now spending income before it is even earned. The prevailing merchan¬ dising philosophy of "no down payment" and "go now — pay later" and live on your credit cards has, in my opinion, danger¬ ous economic implications. I have indicated earlier that are of the In the last three years net new issues of Federal provincial, mu¬ nicipal have averaged Net $2.4 billion savings personal $1.6 billion But the in the see it, and member dreds job of investors period. our in about apathy. not, of There our self-interest. own intensi¬ of hun¬ potential Canada who are not securities or pure Although their resources '50s. more moder¬ Public roar¬ on siderably de¬ months in of form savings personal Most of them and not likely ment a small are to will $10,000 should wards. It some of be this capital into signs that we There this in are many experienc¬ the first in this any not yet domestic future our develop¬ not already we damaged with relations If Canada tion the of have, to ever gets the degree, financial our foreign changing game any investors. the reputa¬ rules after has started, the conse¬ savings, I the doubt if the Federal Government is pro¬ viding the required. being financial We, exhorted our officially the financing. the at government continuing a are live to while means, time same leadership individuals, as pur¬ of program Instead of the not there deficit of $300 million. some considered the opinion deficit this tionary. be as much Such have on $1 billion. massive most a our as In¬ well Finally, place deficits ernment for new era In disrupts bond the own there revival. I a I This recovery can house be all and in real order Canadians build their confidence—and can get efficient and Inquiries welcomed from institutional investors and dealers Inc TORONTO Street, New York 5 I THE Telephone: WHitehall 3-9525 INVESTMENT DEALERS' ASSOCIATION OF TORONTO Ill Em 3-8103 MONTREAL MONTREAL Uh 1-0111 k $ Teletype: NY 1-3708 CANADA Canadian '■'i \V,Y.V<V.V«Vt • Affiliate: Greenshields & Co Inc—Business established 1910 TORONTO QUEBEC OTTAWA WINNIPEG Invest¬ with our use. by Mr. Morse before the Annual Meeting of the Investment Deal¬ ers' Association of Canada, Jasper, Al¬ berta, June 23, 1961. Canadian Securities MEMBERS to in¬ savings we on to effective address mm 64 Wall that job of directing these savings to¬ will prob¬ (N.Y.) so leadership not, Greenshields & Co ex¬ the major ANDERSON & COMPANY LIMITED only put has A during that em¬ Pi sharply hope retail do market by will endeavor to will crease with *An must con¬ financing. sincere encourage ward capital appre¬ the prices of deficit conclusion, press impact requirements of the Federal Gov¬ cause evidenced fluctuating this The huge unfortunate capital market. it as ment Dealers Federal This fidence in the Canadian economy. its will year cash deficit could It tends to dis¬ that the trying hension and weaken investor government be not less than $700 million. deed, the a been means. the It is of cerning financial people budgetary be to appears by other cap¬ which only factor involved. Massive deficit financing is infla¬ forecast surplus in the fiscal year 1960-61, has government curtail is demonstrating anticipate marked however, boom. to to remain Exports although are or respect situation a situation has improved considerably. sales the capital inflow that is vital Financing markets, other Cana¬ foreign period of continued to increase and the strong dis¬ into construction outlook is good. Labor income ployment to some borrowers were year same overall further nothing er ing another upturn in our econ¬ The It is opportunity success ahead of the Canada. hoped that the government do courage so discourage to ment. Time alone will tell wheth¬ are now of be part, securities. I feel that that the venture is good. up¬ possible to portfolio considerable and Baby apparently designed, borrowing outside to recent inevitably force to In deficit are some¬ in in¬ grave very ital sues at amounting 1960. was in be Deplores Deficit foreign investment of invest¬ least said Vancouver; dian December's about source thing like 80,000 of these accounts for been But there capital. high-grade has could mar¬ investment broader Canada. Budget Chilcott, C. M. Oliver & Company, Limited, P. Bongard, Bongard <£ Company, Toronto R. deed. within Much in the Robert quences confidence strong, if the stock appears posit in Canadian chartered banks 47% have ably be gradual and base. More than $7 billion are months are pro¬ be in conflict with course, educa¬ is be investment four investing either because of ignor¬ ance and Mrs. Gordon ate than the situation in the ing & it should help materially to ket is any indication of how our domestic savings— people are thinking. My point is thereby lessening our dependance that in reviving economy it should on foreign funds. Broadening our be possible to accomplish a con¬ distribution of securities would As I education pro¬ thousands saving Housing starts expanded by individual firms. ing Mr. gram, boost omy. narrowed strides should it gram—but fied be Important made in been averaged conditions. major our a year. same could gap under favorable tional. securities corporate and to plan a systematic and continu¬ channel development larger projects. our they could be taught accounts. savings to meet all of our capital requirements. It seems apparent that we shall continue to require further amounts of foreign capital for If we not able to generate adequate particularly 9 Burns Bros. & Denton, Ltd., Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. J. E. Cheat, Burns Bros. & Denton Ltd, Toronto be easy. save. Chronicle SHERBROOKE LONDON 10 Mr. & Mrs. The Commercial and Financial Chronicle J. Ross F. J. Oborne, Brennan & Nesbitt, Thomson and Company, Limited, Montreal; G. Company, Limited, St. John; Mr. & Mrs. John Penny, Royal Securities Corporation, Toronto of The Columbia River Project Continued from page the of case capital terest 4 hydro there transmission but there are costs. Nuclear power also mission cost is usually can the load low case the as located be There center. cost in the no fuel has high although the trans¬ capital costs than plants to close is fuel a of nuclear power but it is low—we hope it mill will not kwh. Thermal power — generated from coal, oil or gas — has a much lower capital cost for the instal¬ lations than either hydro or nu¬ clear plants. The transmission cost be is more low for the nuclear fairly one same plants large item Thermal plants deriving a been per as there for in is reason but hydro and thermal units more or less competitive and generation for costs a fuel cost. have recently cost advantage also from the their large capital on expenditures. The net result is that large are rates Peace River which will be It is that At the nuclear same projects time hydro are being handicapped by the increasing in¬ com¬ poten¬ pointing out large units — very The — is network absorb so can nomic large other increments are developed. important eco¬ for reasons of developing a Columbia, may be of the order of 30 million kw. of which at the pres¬ ent time we have developed about 10%. sion Improvements in high ten¬ transmission power ters in run-off B. C. the the to effect transmission all cen¬ the or U. S. A. At the present time it is economies of power in from Peace River by using 500,000 to 600,000 volts on the lines. Even higher voltages may be used in the future and no tually be possible. the make available at load variation for will Southern current time Clearwater, tial provincial grid. These include the in Peace, the rivers farther north such proposed or Chaput, in B. C. for the next 30 years. In the case of other commodities we would ing immediately think of shar¬ surplus our or with our transmission doubt direct will even¬ exporting power, provided market for which is used. In fact to now Oceans It which resource and it. one cannot wasted if are and do we "I the which not petro ploited as quickly as possible, chiefly because of technical prog¬ valuable own and our help present export of could pro¬ stations country in by burning place. considering the establishment or expansion of a Canadian sub¬ sidiary often wish to investigate the possibility of raising additional capital through the sale of bonds, debentures or shares in Canada. Our organization, with over fifty years' experience in the underwriting and distribution of Canadian securities, can I a we can raw never ma¬ tries' re¬ may have some of in thus Western selecting Canadian securities frequently desire advice specialists in this field. The experience and facilities of our organization, with offices across Canada and in London, New York and Chicago, are always available upon or Canadians are built. No Europe has that a of the necessities Most of life. tinental resources. remarkable figures and Norway future as ' power." of the an could countries of & Co. Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Exchange Wood, Gundy & Co., Inc. Wall Street, New York 5 CANADIAN Afiliated with GOVERNMENT-MUNICIPAL-CORPORATION Wood, Gundy & Company Limited Head 36 Montreal SECURITIES Office King Street West, Toronto, Canada Winnipeg Ottawa Vancouver Kitchener- Halifax Regina Quebec Edmonton London Calgary Hamilton CANADIAN BANK OF COMMERCE Victoria EMPIRE London, Eng. 3-5821 New York TORONTO of J■ Members T or onto Stock have exporter con¬ Europe have large scale Brawley, Cathers request. 40 for hydro¬ — and assistance from the return new total waterpower These conservationist who generations than is as Norway. With only 1% of the OEEC countries' total population, Norway has 20% of these coun¬ show some obligation to conserve irreplaceable resources so that quite future not hydro¬ such large water power resources feels our do of be of assistance. Private Investors holding which am valuable up terials and perfectly foreign capital the electric energy from water power and at the same time produce our energy Company Executives— it secured hydro¬ yield Norway's rate But is economic folly. would go even further and say it is morally wrong to waste the electric power I to production that from unused sea made development rate. be power a resources faster a is Probably economic permit to waste rivers by be field, pity to power it into the run could conceivable Personally I feel that the it electric oil, hibiting nuclear because employment. uranium. of water power energy produced from water pow¬ er. It is exactly the same as elec¬ trical energy produced from the energy also when using any of the water. There is nothing mys¬ terious or unique about electrical or the but do this without gas in ress see flowing in a river can produce only power and, furthermore, it can of crux waterpower until about the year 2000. Waterpower is our asset that should be ex¬ chemical products. Water - the say. exploitable day will be for to to present rate we shall not have harnessed all the economically Pacific not some materials raw come want I Norway is developing its waterpower faster than ever before, but even at the get paid for it. One can present far better arguments against the export of oil or gas. These are irreplaceable re¬ sources what now what store is is of power: exporting it Arctic but it something the same Norway—we both have populations and abundant small a renewable a we we the is in as hydro-power. Trygve Lie, the Chairman of Norway's Energy Board, has to say about the export argu¬ find is C. position Here surplus can Cites Norway's Position B. unused resources of neigh¬ foreign exporting it to a are really no against Montreal; Mr. & Mrs. Lionel Mrs. Paul H. Brault, & Montreal more hydro-electric potential than we can use ments the Liard, Nass and Yukon. It estimated that the total poten¬ This underlines the grid The Homathko, Fraser, this necessity for a that the province Enormous B. C. is enormous. There are many sources Thursday, July 13, 1961 We have far power bors hydro-electric potential of 200,000-400,000 kw or even more— of hydro, nuclear or thermal in¬ stallations give low cost power. are and our worthwhile only when they fuels. of many tial hydro sources. & market. There as power various deficiences. and 900,000 kw steam tur¬ plant burning gas from the a There of rivers, the need for standby provide for failures of generators or transmission lines, variations in peak loads and in general the possibility of smooth¬ ing out seasonal surpluses and Potential . W. Ostiguy, Morgan, Ostiguy & Hudon, Ltd., Morgan, Ostiguy & Hudon, Ltd., Montreal; Mr. our Hydro . P. service to the B. C. Electric Co. is currently petitive with J. Brault building bine Mrs. cost hydro, thermal and nuclear should in many areas—including British Columbia—be competitive sources for electric power. In Vancouver the surplus on a & Crevier, basis and within 10 years all three gradual increase in efficiency of the boilers and from current are now Mr. Howard, Reg. . BUILDING r Volume Hal 194 Number 6072 . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . Murphy, Commercial <ft Financial Chronicle, New York; Curtis Murphy; Mr. & Mrs. Douglas Colvey, Canadian Dow Jones, Ltd., Montreal; Frank Rose, Dow Jones & Co., New York City electrical interconnections for the 0.3 import almost and export of electric Great Britain and France power. mill and just completing a submarine cable at a cost of $15 million for this purpose. For the first five years Great Britain expects to import power and then when she has completed proposed new atomic plants with pumped stor¬ age she expects to reverse the flow and export power to the on Continent this cable. over Yugoslavia is developing all her hydro-electric power sources as rapidly as possible and arranging to pay off the cost of the develop¬ ments by selling power to her neighbors. She now has five in¬ ternational electrical interconnec¬ tions and is negotiating for three The countries include Aus¬ more. tria, Italy, Greece, Hungary, Ger¬ many and Switzerland. Southern Rhodesia has recently completed hydro-electric installations large and has made long-term contracts export to the Congo. Roadblocks B. argue the in it 1955 and is It War I when Ontario a power we are Canadian difficulty the export the yearly contract owned utilities Quebec should instead. a year power today power At thermal that time rupted on exported a C. 40 ferent design and plant and thus no years are under ago, today, should restrict development. be inter¬ look towards 12 months' notice. The than the the surely make do it. should A. able be to satisfactory agreement to Unfortunately with the pos¬ <a sible exception of thermal from Alberta and some power power hydro from Manitoba there is other Province in Canada no with a large exportable surplus of power close to a good market. her hydro - her power. hydro-electric come sooner current situation or and the this development of most our Issue valuable ques¬ one natural of re¬ is of too vital importance to become a political issue. Neither sources should it be emotional nor tude. It approached in an anti-American atti¬ seems logical to suggest export of electric power be permitted without export tax, that and the National Board be asked to to powers the Energy its present determine that use amounts proposed are really surplus for the locations and pe¬ riods suggested. This might enable B. C. to sell, not waste its tre¬ sites because hydro-electric power like plants or The export must power later and with difficult tion of the Political Columbia mendous surplus. I say might here electric thermal new a our unemployment problem of in¬ any other export commodity must meet the competition in price. The price export sufficient to then Almond, the Columbia River Treaty be invalid for it not only provides for the export of Can¬ ada's share of downstream bene¬ may Ontario import coal from the United States for Not now. Laurie would have warrant the to be invest¬ fits but it also provides gradual reduction of these benefits titled. to which When Mica Creek From 1982 this on at creases cannot be enforced I should like to was Unfortunately, due to the on hydro have probably already lost We wish an at example, the plutonium plant Hanford will probably be future to 800,000 kw. to this market dur¬ ing the next 10 However, years. to market a in California replace oil and gas Continued now on STOCKS rather past. Markets maintained in all classes of Canadian external MEMBERS: and internal bond issues. MONTREAL STOCK STOCK EXCHANGE / EXCHANGE CANADIAN Stock orders executed Exchanges, DIRECT the Montreal and Toronto Stock on net New York markets quoted or PRIVATE WIRES CALGARY, TO TORONTO, MONTREAL, VANCOUVER, BELL SYSTEM MORGAN, OSTIGUY & HUD0N LTD. MEMBERS: INVESTMENT DEALERS' ASSOCIATION OF VICTORIA TELETYPE NY AND OTTAWA, WINNIPEG. HALIFAX 1-702-3 Associate Member American Stock Exchange Boston JAMES ST. WEST CANADA 40 EXCHANGE Halifax PLACE, NEW YORK 5 Telephone WHitehall 4-8161 Ottawa Calgary MONTREAL, request. Dominion Securities Corporation CANADA London, Eng. 500 ST. on Canadian Affiliate and — Member Canadian Stock Toronto, Montreal Exchanges being page of MORGAN & CO. LTD. au¬ thorized and will be supplying up a BONDS we good part of the market in the Pacific point out that if this is true to a Northwest for Canadian power, As In indus¬ ban our export power over those our to Canada after many years. not lest de¬ rate 212,000 kw. in year 2010. The Treaty thus provides for the U. S. to recapture power delivered to for electrical energy power en¬ amount term recapturable is storage uniform a there does appear to be for a is completed in 1970 these benefits amount to 1,310,000 kw capacity. ment. To those who maintain that contracts for power Canada entirely dif¬ from trial Limitee, Montreal; Canada, Montreal no physicists. that took place conditions of competitive concerned supply might was power dream of the we to there at power a that reduce Conditions Bienvenu Association world-trade our British In entirely different from are basis. It takes community could accept of On¬ in creasing La Maison Dealers that the S. U. of controversy years to the develop atomic its profitable export and claimed that other that be able the time is to terminate ex¬ and been nearly fully developed must either B. cannot have with tario Power Co. itself did not wish Dlouhy, determine, there 1 is no parallel any place in the world, where any nation has declined to take advantage of an opportunity to export a surplus of hydro-electric energy. Surely if France and Ger¬ many or Yugoslavia and its neigh¬ bors, Hungary and Italy can make arrangements to export surplus hydro-electric power, two such friendly nations as Canada and largely by United States interests —to privately owned U. S. A. companies in N. Y. State. The On¬ opment of electrical energy knows build that was the privately by was even to to Dominik Investment I as Mrs. & owned Ontario Power Co.—owned Anyone familiar with the devel¬ five wished time prices and atomic year to a and the contract. The main that at in power Government terminate the World resources 1907 which limits any to be company in N. Y. State company also imposes a 0.3 mill export tax. a oil difficulties during selling was 1917. on for could that argued encountered were Act of four it years, However, application exports energy any considered by the Federal Power Commission. and a 54 repealed was their to on that Westcoast Trans¬ gas so mission's tario ports for books should not be changed. development by the Electricity and Fluids Exportation handicapped in of our hydro tax Mr. contract C. Columbia export commodity. Some seem to that since this Act has been far So an handicap know, Canada does I as an privately British In in far put other also is tax export insurmountable so not are to 11 T oronto Montreal Winnipeg Vancouver Victoria 12 Financial Chronicle The Commercial and . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 . 12 Mr. & Mr. Turney, Locke, Gray & Mrs. Allan Company, Limited, Calgary; Mr. & Mrs. & Hanson, Richardson Hanson, Telfer Mrs. George E. B. B. Thomas Read Company, & Co., Ltd., Toronto; Jack Barker, Ltd., Vancouver Ormonde, Thomson & McKinnon, Toronto Treaty at lation should make ar¬ immediately to sell all or part of our downstream benefits at least until our market the we is too present B. or concen¬ C. must spend $450 million Columbia Although $90 mil¬ lion may be a mere pittance for arguments in favor of proceeding the U. S., $450 million in compari¬ stalled and amortized before A. E. can absorb this energy, which with the Columbia. Continued from page 11 son represents a gigantic under¬ becomes too competitive. The will be at least three and prob¬ The downstream benefits have burned to produce electric power. taking for Canada. There is also building of these plants would be ably seven years. I visualize that been greatly over-rated. Most the I should add that some of this gas marketing problem. When the the most certain and direct way to eventually we might build in B. C. people seem to think that since we first unit is is from B. C., sold to the Pacific completed the U. S. ensure the future prosperity of thermal plants, using our abun¬ appear to be getting something for Gas and Electric Co. at a floor has an assured market for the B. C. We would produce an im¬ dant supplies of coal, oil or gas, nothing from the Americans we resultant power, whereas in the price of approximately 22 cents mediate improvement in employ¬ and transmit the power to Cali¬ should grab for them. The idea per 1,000 cf. whereas the corre¬ early stages we in B. C. cannot ment and business activity with fornia over the lines used for that these benefits are free has The Columbia River Project sponding wholesale floor price in Vancouver is 32 cents. The Cali¬ fornia market for electrical energy should be an and expanding the commencement of tized a construction when the plants were amor¬ and B. would C. have low-cost power to stimulate industrial ac¬ The annual load tivity. We might be able to sell profitable one. increment in this one state is over to the U. S. at the beginning about which is $25 million worth of energy per about half of B. C.'s present total year and by the end of 20 years installation for domestic and in¬ this annual revenue could reach dustrial use other than the two $200 million. This amount would large electro-chemical and metal¬ be comparable with our total for¬ lurgical plants. one As Trygve Lie has nomic and pointed out would arguments for getting our% hydro-electric plants in B: C. in-" U. S. greatly A. I our with the would suggest that in accordance with the provisions of development. build fected C. B. rather oil gas, materials. I pros and of the cons as C. Chairman of the Energy Board I expect to to live with this treaty. It might be easy to criticize some of its provisions but then one must bear in mind that this is a bi¬ agreement and neither side obtained everything it wanted. time \ and Peace indebted to Columbia. the Whatever happens I think Canada the Peace River Development Co. and the Power Government of B. C. for speeding up WALL ST the negotiations on the Colum¬ bia. In fact they were to both signed such an wonder phase the two projects. feasibility of either project greatly improved by as¬ surance that surplus power could be exported. We might for a pe¬ The could be to Two Wall Street will most Headquarters for line have uninformed would of Wall Street and Broadway, you Canada's First Bank, an organization a help and open in up the north that this would be good thing for B. C. as its popu¬ heavy Oliver to Vancouver the from the difficult there Ottawa fundamental . differ¬ between the Canadian position. S. U. In are the and first Canada must complete storage basins the various within the schedule laid down in the Treaty or incur penalties up to $237,400 per month. Furthermore, the U. S. has a new total expenditure of approximately $90 million whereas Canada and/ service as required by the Treaty. The Energy which important ences transmission between and Board's report will be submitted in after months August, about six the signing 320 We to t mum omdtm Bank op of Montreal BRANCHES IN ALL TEN PROVINCES time for unreasonable an amination of the NEW YORK: Two Wall St. Board 850 BRANCHES IN CANADA, UNITED a and single largest undertakings ever contemplated in Canada. It would not to prudent to be committed be an expenditure of this magni¬ tude without first sound. making certain project was economically that the In any case, there is • of Trade Vancouver California St. Building, 141 West Jackson Blvd. SAN FRANCISCO: 333 STATES, GREAT BRITAIN AND EUROPE • RESOURCES OVER $3 BILLION Gompany Limited Canada ; complete service for corporate financing enquiries from dealers invited. Private Gairdner & Company Inc. 60 Wall Street, Dealers' Association New York of Canada All Major Canadian Stock Exchanges Toronto London Calgary Montreal no necessity for a crash program as Affiliate Members: ex¬ an financial engineering aspects of one of the Bay Street, Toronto, The Investment Headquarters: Halifax, Toronto, Winnipeg, Calgary, CHICAGO: Canada. 04*4aU'd 'piftdt '£**6 0*4dt~U~ 0*4*t T District provide in the of Treaty. This does not seem to be helping U. S. businessmen operate Gairdner % the of nearly S. $2 million per year for a standby ratification. completed be to U. which north of the border for 100 years. Through this Agency, a $3-billion organization with 850 branches across Canada stands ready to serve you. You are invited to call—or write. has been be that developing the Peace country will find headquarters for information on Canadian business oppor¬ tunities. Two Wall Street is the address of the New York Agency of will defer the long transmission a payment to the persons arrangements Victoria engineer¬ which down¬ and would make unnecessary Columbia place there are no penalty clauses be feasible and both applicable to the U. S. whereas power from our the Colum¬ from would capital cost of why B. C. has not already financial parts of the world. One can argue Canadian Information At the comer give sell all years benefits This bia. effective when it. Some quite ratifies but Aside altogether speeded up low-cost compared with power of riod ing. Both the Peace and appear have what might be done to signed the Columbia and the U. S. has and ratified it. The given its approval for extent that the treaty finally got ahead of the see each in We area. Treaty will become comparing the two projects a very to determine from power also been asked to stream Treaty of Vancouver U. S. and Canada sincere spend the Fundamental Differences Between Canada has has Board Energy asked to evaluate the feasi¬ cost the month to the average 15 cents per C. and Peace—and bia householder. River of the benefits. share our B. bility of the two projects—Colum¬ little effect B. C. light bills. It has been produce Canada —the is to good deal of One could been Have to estimated that at best it may mean River Treaty. As have The spend $450 million to get them. Actually, the amount of energy involved and the cost when de¬ livered in Vancouver will be such upon the Columbia do not propose to discuss absorb our our hardly be free when we and uranium — and export the electricity than to export the raw coal, — of also good thinking and af¬ judgment. They can influenced It would surely be to the advantage of Canada to process and up-grade these raw materials lateral BROADWAY the Province. There are power. B. improve payments of balance sound eco¬ Norway, there are products exports to the U. S. A. est Benefits on plants for the export of nuclear million kw. per year, Economic for hydro power. We might even the first phase of the trated in the southwest corner rangements Edmonton Halifax Hamilton Kingston New York Ottawa Quebec Vancouver Kitchener Winnipeg 4 Volume Mr. 194 Number 6072 B. C. has no market for any Further, short delay in the ratification date gives time to complete the preliminary engi¬ neering studies and thus improves our position in respect to the penalty clauses the time a as of they all will C. be Either hydro is one the the one world. time in The part cost of Continued from page 5 in loans and a problem selves. tion These leled massive are and unparal¬ deposits is primarily the banks them¬ They must show imagina¬ initiative and fate worse come if they viz., to be¬ repositories for sav¬ as schemes and a funds of source a proposed by Ottawa supported by government I know that the banks are able let alone 1.6 million people of one to Province. and I shall not therefore dwell at ployment ensure em¬ and industrial activity in B. C. for the next 20 years prosperity for many and decades to come. In projects we the sometimes I British most and think Columbians optimistic, courageous that must be imaginative people in the world today. ♦An meet the state length of affairs challenge; the on money a given contraction of total or expenditure. When ary trend, policy pressure not on shared the by is in which, in an them ap¬ from present trends to face the next over century Instead, I shall concentrate immediate chartered the very Canadian Under danger, banks as not an or so. on to such existence of but on the policy exactly volume which banks near-banks of loan have can and to restrict continue in total bond market deposit The greater the tral bank achieve correspond¬ ex¬ or down, be achieved reflected put becomes. over Thus, either and up vs. deposits is directly in reduced effi¬ ciency of the central bank's trol to efficient chartered-bank loans . bank no . any in Canada take, loan or interest shall or any exceeding 6% is in rate per OFFICE • con¬ The 6% loan Securities Funds transferred anywhere the efficiency of monetary policy. First, it prevents alone among financial public or private, from Continued 2 BROADWAY - NEW YORK 4, NEW YORK DIgby 4-3870 Affiliated with: Apply any branch, or through our Securities Departments in Regina, Vancouver, New York, London and Paris. Burns Bros. & Denton Ltd. Members: The Investment Dealers' The Canadian Stock Exchange Over 1,000 branches throughout Canada, the Caribbean area and South America EXCEED 4 BILLION DOLLARS Association of Canada Direct Wire Service To: Toronto ASSETS Winnipeg Ottawa Vancouver Montreal banks, charging con¬ ditions when the general level of Burns Bros. & Denton, inc. Ltd. the institutions, rates consonant with market total money expenditure. Exchange on on Underwriters and distributors of Canadian Securities Members: The Toronto Stock the banks, both of which reduce the as Burns Bros. & Company by terest has two main effects in the world Montreal, Toronto, Ottawa, Winnipeg, Calgary, Edmonton, no rate of in¬ to Safekeeping services provided and or of the accepted and delivered discount rates an Stock and bond orders executed of ceiling thus imposed chartered bank relative to chartered-bank MONTREAL charge, recoverable OF CANADA HEAD for, annum near-banks THE ROYAL BANK respect payable exact any rate of effective system, present in advance stipulate reserve or discount cen¬ forth less distortion, of ". of bank." effort the the policy relative lows: higher rate of interest given change in money a monetary the given increase can is must expenditure, near-bank credit given result, and the a Impaired the Conversely, when monetary pol¬ a central-bank Efficiency of Monetary Policy con¬ In other pansion. icy is expansive, of efficiency of monetary policy is further compounded by the built-in rigidity imposed on the chartered banks by Section 91 of the Bank Act. The operative part of this section reads as fol¬ A same. ingly increased. is loans and deposits at a time when the the open-market operations is needed deposit-receiving central bank. banks on The effect efficiency of central-bank is larger ar¬ an effect tion in the monetary policy. the deposit-currency grows chartered this too has distorting the market for credit. the words, under these conditions, the sad ad¬ and would Like the re¬ heavy institutions outside the direct trol of the than inflation¬ an results it cash risk of undesirable side effects in monetary strictive, to combat process mittedly extreme view, might address by Mr. Shrum before the Annual Meeting of the Investment Dealers' Association of Canada, Jasper, Alberta, June 23, 1961. long-run greater any pear contemplating these gigantic about guarantees. undertakings for any nation, They will bring case, bitrary This wholly unnecessary reduc¬ greater increase in a chartered-bank to achieve to are than death: mere used expansion for avoid what must be for bankers for billion. $1 only through vigorous to ever Chippindale, Calvin Bullock, Ltd., Montreal; Mrs. J. D. Winslow, Woodstock; MacMurray, Eastern Securities Company, Liniited, St. John Mrs. James otherwise be called for. this point that resisting this trend $1.5 billion dollars whereas the about & Canada's Financial System to be Alan former ings will Mr. Some Built-in Defects in the Columbia project will be close Peace Mrs. that single any total & deposits, monetary policy, directed at chartered-bank deposits only, has to become progressively more with projects. largest Mr. Burley, Jr., least equally severe. But I would like to say most emphatically at ahead electric development - attempted at of going if not both of these one C. of date ratification the Treaty by both countries. There is little doubt but B. Mrs. Chester & 13 down¬ stream benefits before 1965 at the from .The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . Mrs. Arthur J. Ackerman, Bache & Co., Toronto; Mr. Bache & Co., New York City & earliest. . New York Hamilton on page 14 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 14 J. G. Greey, Wood, Columbia Gundy & Company, Ltd., Toronto; Dr. Gordon M. Shrum, Chairman of Energy Board, University of British Columbia, Vancouver; G. Clark, Wood, Gundy & Company, Limited, Calgary My Some Built-in Defects in tight banks can restrain borrowers only through arbitrary rationing forced by the overall interest rates money, (and lenders' costs) high; second, and equally if not restriction of the money supply; more important, it prevents the bank from paying higher interest they are not allowed to raise, con¬ sistent with market conditions, the rates on savings deposits when indicated by conditions in the price of bank credit and thereby secure an efficient, fair and eco¬ market for credit. is nomic Thus, the ceiling tends still fur¬ reduce to share of the definition supply from the in world the nomic reality. the of deposits, to combat eco¬ lack case, rigid ceiling interest on rates efficiency of an even First rates come in held was of I taken to really im¬ built-in that ensure we do defects a statement any the measures full and ef¬ fective functioning of the market for credit and to improve the ef¬ money supply deposits in unions, caisses populaires, companies, finance compa¬ and any other near-banks. means that these institutions, the chartered banks, would to maintain reserves subject designed In follow the market held a 1959— to principle that any ex¬ regulation should be minimum, and, where that regulation should possible, actually be reduced. obliges the banks to resort to the I necessarily clumsy, and highly unpopular, device of arbitrary credit rationing; second, it pre¬ vents the banks from implement¬ ing, as efficiently as they other¬ wise could, the stated or implied policy of the Bank of Canada. With the ceiling, in periods of This like have to control I two proposals to make, both of which have been devised with this principle fully in mind. I advance them with all due def¬ become in the hope that they confidence study is I could the is reserve with say best. Further required before be made. selection can wise a Quite frankly, I do not know, for ex¬ whether reserves should be held against near-bank deposits ample, sion and may early action in these im¬ portant matters. R. A. Daly & Company there or chartered banks near-bank that the be may loans. Or, it should reserves be a combination of the two; that is, they should be applied against both deposits and loans under some formula, or even against deposits for one type of near-bank and against loans for another type. There is, too, the very important question: what form should bank reserves take? and government, Corporation near- again I do not reserves ment of Canada obligations placed with some depository such as the central bank, or whether they should take the form of minimum deposits with the chartered banks. Let last hasten to me is suggestion selfish any add not deposits does for explained I reason. that this made in not near- reduce chartered bank deposits. calling for near-banks to maintain special reserves with the chartered banks only changes the ownership of Ithe deposits but deposits in the chartered bank¬ Flexible Reserves take, municipal the form Bank the able be directly by tions- Securities reserves it as Canada of to • control open-market can the cash will them opera¬ reserves of Private Wires to on all by Exchanges chartered the Bank the or STREET WEST 1010 TORONTO HALL HILL MONTREAL EMpire 4-4441 BEAVER banks. be of total the in the market bond or with amount of regu¬ amend¬ revision of the Bank Act in 1964, Section 91 of that Act which, as I have pointed out, provides that chartered banks may not charge more than 6% on loans. I would ing suggest that, if the ceil¬ It flexible. appropriate number bank market. the points of is However, we ible the would efficiency greatly increase flexibility of and enabling the to reflect, as the near-banks have always been able to do, both in monetary policy by chartered their at long last, banks, loan rates and the in rates interest they pay on savings and other time deposits, any gen¬ eral the any tightness or relative ease in money supply that may at time be dictated by events imposed by the Bank of Canada. These reserve re¬ present system of open-market operations, which is I have whole serves banking system as classically defined but of all those institutions plied matter that the near-bank re¬ said of same of our applies to other aspects monetary structure. banking and Because I feel these matters, I am the cause. strongly heartened to I as which I have ap¬ "near-bank" term be¬ have already pointed out, these institutions increasing but are playing an unrecognized part in the vital and uncontrolled monetary and banking structure the Canadian economy. of The in Fathers their of Confederation, wisdom, have that in the vital matter and decreed of banks banking, the national interest, and not the presumed interest of various occupational and regional groups, must reign supreme. It is then in this national interest, broadest term, and truest sense that I appeal here for action to restore to our mone¬ tary authorities their rightful and necessary power to control the total supply of money in all its and not merely that forms of part the pens, the of total at form This supply which hap¬ given time, to take any of the Canada's is deposit liabilities chartered time a of banks. decision for Canada. Some of the most important de¬ cisions that have to be made today are in that broad, and to a sur¬ prising degree in Canada un¬ claimed, realm of monetary and fiscal policy. The most important thing, of course, is simply the will, on the part of our fiscal and monetary managers to move de¬ cisively to correct, so far as fiscal and monetary policy can correct, the present slack in output and employment. But given the will, must also have effective fiscal we and monetary machinery to im¬ plement policy. I believe that a move along the lines I have sug¬ gested herein will ensure that the authorities requires further study and the on already Study While I wisdom of Problem Subject of Royal Canada. frame of reference the operations not only of the signal, ceiling preferably, or a flex¬ ceiling such as I have de¬ of are not yet would urge that the commission's powers should be broad enough to take into its the by bank rate or otherwise, indi¬ cating the central bank's inten¬ tions in monetary policy). scribed. The brief reference in Bank known, that would still be without any No the in higher. (For this purpose I may remark, parenthetically, our pres¬ ent floating bank rate would be ideal because of the way it re¬ flects this its terms of reference of whichever rate, that experienced for could, example, be set at the present rate of 6% or at a rate of, say. some above hope the it should all, at retained is made be per¬ quirements could then be co-ordi¬ our re¬ the next at would secretariat. lation in the economy by ing, One stature and independence of view, backed by a strong, an reduce the total near-banks would deposit liabilities. with correspondingly Commission reserve changes in near-bank nated be would, required to keep against their loans UNiversity 1-9751 London Control Canada lowering the centage which KING same second proposal is, in line sound principle, simply to My therefore, have to operate by rais¬ New York and Montreal ing 44 of effects sion. commission would be composed of of the most distinguished men and the At contraction or would and Orders executed credit. in the time, the broader impact of mone¬ tary policy would have the effect of greatly increasing its efficiency; smaller operations would be re¬ quired to effect any given expan¬ Here further study is needed. know whether these not canadian for announcement de¬ posit-receiving institutions, in the market recent Budget that the government plans to set up a Royal Commis¬ to a supply of credit, and undesirable ing system. dealers to or the other result, distortion, As no unfavorable favorable of and be duced. of Whatever underwriters would by Budget indicated that the commission would not be restrict¬ ed in its investigations to the op¬ erations of the chartered banks policy of credit expansion by the monetary authorities. total of of Canada Exchange today, to the alone; and the be true of any future is banks sion does not increase the overall total The Toronto Stock squeeze it of America the near- of these some Likewise, The Investment Dealers' Association as would same side overall Members reserve the impact of any would be spread over all deposit-receiving and lending institutions and not banks, reserves should be held not against deposits but against the bank Limited the pecu¬ whether, because of the or basis for further discus¬ a which scheme single no should be in the" form of govern¬ have erence, by the Bank of Canada. provide can Thursday, July 13, 1961 . Association way credit confined, earlier that the increase in this future chartered nies affect to Bankers position of the chartered banks. trust ficiency of monetary policy should below in these believe of case the begin with broad principle. tension the to me lending the the liar nature of financial system? our Let maximum when are in I correct to the decreases direct fashion. more rate—this it also pressure— portant point: what should enough, but the chartered-bank monetary policy of Now of the total supply of credit, namely chartered-bank de¬ posits, which the central bank has the legal power to control, and thereby correspondingly reduces the efficiency of monetary policy. is bad inflationary savings. of the real How to Correct the Problem part All this one of causes it tends to reduce the relative importance of that policy monetary base, on which that pol¬ icy operates, to include as part of of Investment scarce available; nor are they able to use price, in the form of higher interest paid on savings money of all among supply In other words, as previous distribution classes of borrowers of the chartered total deposits in the economy and serves still fur¬ ther, therefore, to remove our of¬ ficial is that we efficiency of mone¬ by broadening the proposal the . Morse, W. C. Pitfield & Company Limited, Montreal, President of Investment Dealers Association of Canada; George A. Newton, G. H. Walker & Co., St. Louis, Mo., credit Continued from page 13 banks' first tary Eric President increase Canada's Financial System ther British . in action, can can and monetary be made effective that economy our enjoy prosperity and growth within of fiscal and our our traditional framework political and economic freedom. *An fore address the ment Jasper, Annual Dealers' Alberta, by Mr. McLaughlin be¬ Meeting of The Invest¬ Association June 24, of 1961. Canada, Volume 194 Number 6072 . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . 15 i Reed Johnston, G. E. Leslie & Co., Montreal; Mr. & Mrs. J. C. Edwards, Matthews A Company Limited, Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. Donald I. Webb, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner A Smith Incorporated, Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. Ted Percival, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner A Smith Incorporated, Toronto Canada's Economic Outlook Continued from page have in 6 turn spent a great deal of public taxes and borrowings toward improving Canada's ca¬ pacity, e.g. the St. Lawrence Sea¬ way, public power projects, high¬ streets, ways, So much for the general setting. Some troubles have appeared in this As long as world markets are buoyant, the Canadian economy has functioned at a high level of activity, employment and living standards. If there is a halt in the expansion of world mand, or American even situation the in de¬ Canada becomes vulnerable. The situation The complicated by the generally capacity situation now existing across Canadian industry. With the work force at increasing steady rate, when the industries turn into sta¬ slow a of the labor tries. to When growth, postwar shift into construc¬ supporting indus¬ Canada settles restrained such from proportion In 1960 rate industrial of have labor will Canada to and heavy experienced percentage decline from the peak in the G.N.P. mild recession. Some the economy were Salaries and pre¬ it was sectors of barely touched. wages increased in quarter. Rent, interest and miscellaneous investment income quickly recov¬ 15% ered came di¬ com¬ modity exports. On similar theme Canada has a commodity imports, which have exceeded commodity exports every year since 1953. For a country with a foreign debt equal to half of the Gross National Product and with relatively minor foreign investments itself, it might be expected that Canada would have a surplus of exports over imports to pay for the borrowed or invested foreign capital. This has not been the the slight a as case flow in recent elsewhere. Personal never into reached a new producing plants economy included the following: corporation profits- residential construction, heavy construction, new machinery and equipment, durable goods manufacturing out¬ put, freight car loadings and in¬ ventory liquidation in manufac¬ turing. Government expenditures niques and skills has been made in that Canada is frequently not regarded as a completely for¬ eign country. In addition, Canada has maintained a fairly respect¬ able reputation for decent treat¬ ment of foreign investment. easy So, peak was 7.9% . capital, tech¬ on appear the surface, Canada might an envi¬ to have enjoyed able position in having developed a rising standard of living, a rapid expansion of population, and very impressive expansion in forestry, mining and metallurgical in December. On construction was unemployed. The unemploy¬ construction, mining most serious pockets of ment were in the recession was Short-Term Outlook The next question is the prob¬ able nature, strength and inci¬ dence of the shorter term busi¬ ness in recovery One of the Canada. major indicators of the present year is the anticipated capital expenditures by industry, and commerce latest government. taken survey in The October, modest increase in a total spending. spent on basic More would be construction, less on machinery and equipment. Manufacturing and transportation anticipated lower capital outlays. Governments, fuel and power, and housing expected to spend more. With recovery in business op¬ since October there may heavier capital spending by a be private industry 1961 as ad¬ There are scattered housing indications the companion appliances and home of and these ma¬ in which Un¬ be exports we wouldn't have have no Given Pressing Problem an import problem with, because we would deal of means free One and even dian New of more a funds for the expansion and of the medium- sized Canadian tions. Many of these firms in cent years American Canada will have to keep open its access to world markets for its low cost exports as a means of dian the have corpora¬ sold principals to or are a funds that for half or very be raised abroad. If this have duction rate industry has had December its growth in Canada will Canada case, en¬ may find that 1960. heavy capital expenditures. An important policy question in the prevailing sensitive climate of it is a financial can Western market now regions have become strong ital tenders for capital. Canada may have prices could Some raised observers siderable be be feel amount of internally. that a funds con¬ could sales of internally by bonds or equities. The likely result would be supply of to the pay higher sibly more secured limited capital than by equity and circumstance from personal mortgages ernment bonds to savings and may equities, and to risk-seeking shift the problem to another area and have to be results ventures. on Distributors!? of Government, Municipal, presence Public Utility, Religious Industrial Institution and Securities is being closed out of the Euro¬ Common Market, the Euro¬ pean Free Trade Area, and with¬ out serious prospect of a similar pean accommodation into United States markets. liquidation in manufacturing was at its greatest severity in the steel consuming trades. The primary steel industry was spared the full impact of the decline in domestic strong and certain pressure in sight to develop a strong, sus¬ tained recovery which would give us an early resumption of a good consumption by its ability to the ter export trade on a en¬ scale without previous parallel. The de¬ cline in steel consuming inven¬ tories was January, omy to as a still continuing through 1961, though whole had the swung econ¬ back accumulation of business inventories. In any case there is a considerable opinion that there is no rate of economic elimination of mc. growth, and the the serious unem¬ MONTREAL ployment that is the most worri¬ some fact in the short-run set¬ ting. Looking further ahead there factors that are encour¬ aging for Canada. Whether we are many admit it freely or not our major link with the outside trading world is by way of the most effi¬ QUEBEC TROIS- RIVIERES its Pos¬ financing. In this the Continued a recovery. in of vestment may be less inclined gov¬ Underwriters con¬ by the sale of debt rather domestically-generated corporate away divert to competition for free funds. raised recession, but there is a good deal of reservation, or lack of firm conviction, about the probable strength of the business especially coal — and durable goods manufacturing. Inventory that Europe, Japan and other shallow Perhaps it is the discomforting of a high level of un¬ employment, perhaps the wide¬ spread feeling that in every area of domestic production capacity is adequate—even ^generous, per¬ haps it is the feeling that Canada new financial nationalism in Canada is whether the full amount of cap¬ and Perhaps a situation has arisen in the Ameri¬ tail pro¬ characteristic of recovery from to the were a low November of of eco¬ encouraging sign. The Canadian steel to Cana¬ more expansion guide the recent ad¬ in the Canadian exchanges good recovery from re¬ out holding companies. Suppose ex¬ owned proper vances Funds pressing and problems in the Cana¬ is the raising of modernization machinery items based on servicing the re¬ source industries, could be very competitive on world markets. nomic the economy new some generating new growth and pansion. Any major resumption of of difficult buying imports. to American, access European and even Asiatic mar¬ kets, many Canadian forestry, metallic, and petrochemical prod¬ ucts foreign bororwing would needed. — proc¬ petroleum and natural gas, and general manufacturing. esses, of mainly on construction, heavy industry and on unemployment. is high level. The weak spots in the Canadian active The importation of in the fourth quarter. The covery weakened, particularly on furnishings are moving in rather Commodity exports slow fashion. If the stock market labor force equip¬ ment and other sary second the third quarter, with a good re¬ consumption expenditures in total fields specialties neces¬ for developing the resources machinery, only for the quarter, then increased in had we services. a seasonally unadjusted basis the peak unemployment was in midFebruary 1961 when 11.3% of the industrial to that conditions highest levels in 20 years. The of seasonally adjusted unemployment Accompanying the inflow capital have been large imports of The G.N.P. declined vances. of decade. business less decrease. Farmers' income increased in spite imported increased in 1960, partially because capital has kept rolling in. We of anti-recession spending. One have not yet, on balance, had to of the most disturbing features pay for the large investments throughout 1960 was the steady made in Canada in the past growth in unemployment to the years weak cient export—oriented, raw terials—processing industries. peak at¬ tained in the first quarter of 1960. of rectly from the proceeds of substantial from recession might be mild decline from a timism labor and the many new additions to the work force. Last year about of Canada's G.N.P. as 1960 forecast a moderate recession from which it is now recovering. In terms of vious rather a down construction to other occupations. each unemployed force more a able the abnormal an tion and similar a absorb of booms, and the abnormally high of capital investment have export bility or recession, the domesti¬ cally oriented industries are not to succession diverted The 1960-61 described incidence rate is abundant shall deal of the difficulties some Recent Difficulties water, ernment services. demand with of recent months. sewage, education and other familiar gov¬ industrial Garden of Eden. I now Mr. & Mrs. A. M. Rutherford, W. C. Pitfield A Company Limited, Calgary; Mr. & Mrs. William S. Gray, Doherty Roadhouse A Co., Calgary; Mr. & Mrs. D. J. Langill, W. C. Pitfield A Company Limited, Winnipeg MONCTON in¬ to Foreign page 16 16 Mr. & Mrs. The Commercial and Financial Chronicle K. S. Langfeldt, W. C. Pitfield & Company, Limited, Edmonton; Mr. & Mrs. George Knowles, Ross, Knowles & Co., Ltd., Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. James Coulter, Ross, Knowles & Co., Ltd., Toronto C. will Canada's Economic Outlook be West debt is likely to be less stimulat¬ additional necessity the interest of meeting regularly rather than forwarding postponable of divi¬ dends. in the American tax on natural gas, restrain may vigorous investment in Canadian crude tures, oil States natural and well as areas. Changes particularly tax depletion in crude oil more in as gas some ven¬ Continued from page 7 other The decisions of the United Congress on this matter is issue run again a vigorous immigration pol¬ icy to increase the size of the domestic the market. is answer for the short to the skills Canada. I that believe that immigration will be limited run that in scarce are Large scale immigration cannot be considered until unem¬ ployment is reduced to low levels. Then immigration will be en¬ couraged. Can Canada retrain the unem¬ and direct the technical training of the young toward the ployed, industries chances Harris & Partners Inc. of competitive strength trading areas that sooner later will or have join? This suggestion might a slow-working solution to the problem of unemployment be¬ ing highest among the untrained and the unskilled, but over a time period it would upgrade the pro¬ ductivity of labor. Canadian in¬ dustry in the meantime has the responsibility of holding wage in¬ seem Affiliated with Harris & Partners Limited of an in a more Canadian Broadcasting Corp. KINGSMILL, Ltd. HOWARD, F. J. G. & Co. Ltd. KIPPEN, W. BRUCE* John Kippen Co. & Inc. Montreal HUDSON, W. S.* Brink, Hudson & Lefever Ltd. Vancouver KNOWLES, G. C.* Ross, Knowles & Co. Ltd. HUNT, THOS. H. Toronto Ringland, Meredith & Co. Ltd. Lethbridge JOHNSTON, KORZENIOWSKI, MRS. L. Investment Dealers' Association K. M.* Toronto Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Calgary KUHNER, M. R. W.* Dominick Corp. of Canada Montreal JOHNSTON, R. REED G. E. Leslie & Co. Montreal LANGFELDT, K. W. KANIA, Dr. J. E. Pemberton Securities Ltd. C. Pitfield S.* & Co. Ltd. Edmonton Vancouver LANGILL, D. J.* KAY, R. F. W. C. Pitfield & Co. Ltd. Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. Winnipeg Edmonton LAUBER, R. C * KENT, G. P. S.* Dominion Securities A. (Alberta) Ltd. E. Osier Co. Ltd. Toronto LAWSON, Calgary obvious needs advancing industrial nation A. Toronto R. Brennan Saint J. Investment Dealers' Association Toronto D. G.* Moss, Lawson & Co. Ltd. * Denotes Mr. and Toronto Mrs. competit/ive/ world is initia¬ efficiency. and the group of the public and governments, will have to main¬ tive, progress, and Canadian industry, 129 St. James Street W. Montreal 52 broader Cornhill London 1 E. C. 3 tain efficient plant equip¬ and ment, and a favorable climate to¬ ward innovation, initiative, and high productivity levels. On whole, the Canadian has solid strength, but is through a period of economy slowed high levels peared & Company Limited as a marketable The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada Street, New York 5 has WOrth 2-0805 ap¬ Canada is rich many resources and a and Canadian business initiative. Established 1903 to situa¬ the In Affiliates: ROYAL SECURITIES CORPORATION LIMITED stable favorable climate tion of 1961 it is - capital invest¬ political Member ROYAL SECURITIES INC. Two Wall major short-run prob¬ with endowed keyed industry of For the long-run lem. Annett With plant unemployment ment, I INVISTMINTS 1 growth. industrial force, construction and to economic labor our Canadian Bonds and Stocks the passing unlikely that the Underwriters and Distributors internal conditions in Canada will generate CANADIAN GOVERNMENT AND CORPORATE SECURITIES recoveries West and 129 St. James Street West, Toronto, Ontario. Montreal, Quebec. Empire 3-7361 Victor 4-4451 ANNETT PARTNERS LIMITED a in sus¬ It is to American the Member: Principal Canadian Stock Exchanges economies European ports of our Our assessment growth. economic is that the short- prospect is moderately strong, with greater strength for the longer-run future. Member Toronto Stock ROYAL SECURITIES COMPANY that Canada will look for the sup¬ run Affiliated with themselves tained business recovery. the 220 Bay Street, by fourth address annual Industrial by Mr. Farrell before the conference of Conference 244 St. James Street 14 offices Exchange. ♦An Royal Winnipeg Equitable Securities Canada not injure the employment prospects. One of the Yonge Street, Toronto 1 will which levels to creases Hill, KERR, JOHN HOVEY, W. N.* to Street, New York 5 Tel. WHitehall 4-0731 55 best the stand in the broader Canada 15 Broad which Thursday, July 13, 1961 Attended the Convention has been invested with low short-run returns of longer . Canadian money Another . Hovey, Equitable Securities Canada, Limited, Toronto; Edgar Corporation, Limited, Montreal; Mr. & Mrs. Alan Chippindale, Calvin Bullock Limited, Montreal American whether Canada should undertake and the the in much aries, and changes is watched profit and dividends. direct There William policies on retained earnings in wholly-owned Canadian subsidi¬ ing to the Canadian economy than foreign equity ownership or investment. Mrs. & Securities where very Continued from page 15 Mr. . the National Board, N. Y. C. West, Montreal 1, Canada serving investors throughout Canada Volume Mr. 194 Mrs. John & LECLERC, Number 6072 Leclerc, Incorporee C. GERARD* M. A. Kidder & MAYHEW, Inc. W.* H. Vancouver LEWIS, J. M.* Equitable Securities Canada Sydie, Meredith & Co. Ltd. RITCHIE, J. W.* Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Co. Ltd. Calvin Collier, Norris & Quinlan Osier, Hammond & Nanton Ltd. Calgary Limited Bullock Ltd. Montreal MEMBERS ROSE, FRANCIS M. MILLS, JOHN* Dow Mills, Spence & Co. Ltd. Jones New THE INVESTMENT York Co. & Inc. DEALER'S ASSOCIATION OP CANADA MONTREAL STOCK EXCHANGE CANADIAN STOCK EXCHANGE RUSSELL, K. G.* Mills, Spence & Co. Ltd. E. Ames Co. & Ltd. Toronto C.* Burns Bros. & Denton Ltd. LIVINGSTON, J. B.* Cochran, Murray & Co. Ltd. Toronto Winnipeg C. Pitfield Vancouver Calgary New Financial and Securities Co. Ltd. McARTHUR, JACK* St. Securities The Globe Co. Ltd. ROSS* M.* W. Montreal McCONNELL, K.* R. McConnell & Co. Ltd. C.* McDERMID, D. & Co. Ltd. Ltd. OSTIGUY, P. J. W.* J. PENNY, Canada A. S.* Royal Bank of Canada Montreal S.* PERCIVAL, E. G.* Merrill Fenner Inc. J. H. Whittome & Co. Ltd. W. M.* McLeod, Young, Weir & Co. Ltd. Montreal Toronto Mr. Digest IAN* and Mrs. affiliate, W. C maintain private wire con¬ branches coast-to-coast in Canada. inquiries will be dealt with promptly. Please inquiries to: W. C. Pitfield SMITH, PETER* E. Leslie & Co. 30 Broad STODGELL, S. J.* 8CCo., Inc. Street, New York Telephone: HAnover 2-9250 RICHARDSON, G. Richardson B.* & Co. Kingston Corp. Ltd. Carlile W. & R.* W. C. Pitfield 8C McCarthy Ltd. RINGLAND, Company LIMITED Mtmbtrs ofthe Investment Dealers' Association of Canada TETRAULT, A.* G. B. Securities we or address Vancouver Toronto York Montreal our New York our Hall Securities Ltd. Fry & Co. Ltd. MARCUSSON, P. A. Dominion Inc., Calgary TAYLOR, W. D.* , REID, W. G.* MATHESON, Orders SMITH, BRUCE* TAPRELL, Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. A.* Dealers' Sons long-standing record of financing of Canadian public utility, natural resource corporations. From the offices of nections with & always available through Toronto REAY, Investment SMITH, A.* James Richardson a Walwyn, Stodgell & Co. Ltd. Duncan Ltd. Vancouver B. the Pitfield & Co., Montreal PIERS, C. R. F. Co. in industrial and SHRUM, Dr. GORDON M. G. Securities Ltd. MALKIN, H. L.* organization which has success Kelowna Pierce, Lynch, Smith Toronto Vancouver ready accdss to Okanagan Investments Ltd. & McQUAID, W. this Toronto Toronto Mclaughlin, w. earle* Such data and information is Vancouver Royal Securities Corp. Ltd. Ottawa essential to have SHAW, D. BRUCE* University of British Columbia Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Winnipeg Toronto McKIBBIN, RALPH B. so fact about Canadian securities. every current Toronto PARKER, Harold* Gairdner & Co. Ltd. prospects of Canada are com¬ greater and greater interest on the why American Banks/Brokers, Dealers and Institutions find it Ltd. Partners Gairdner & Co. Ltd. Montreal Mcdonald, f. j.* That is SENNETT, D. M.* & a part of American investors. SHAW, H. V.* Morgan, Ostiguy & Hudon Ltd. - current and future Toronto Toronto McDermid, Miller & McDermid MALLON, M.* McKinnon & 7he A. E. Ames & Co. Ltd. B * G. E. Thomson & K. Toronto Wood, Gundy Winnipeg ORMONDE, Toronto Gairdner Corp. Ltd. manding yearly SEDGEWICK, Harris O'HARA, R.* Pemberton Securities Montreal Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. W.* Toronto of CANADA'S PROGRESS W. C. Pitfield & Co. Ltd. C. Step with and Mail Toronto Montreal OBORNE, J. Midland Securities Corpn. Ltd. Vancouver In Toronto SCOTT, Louis Collier, Norris & Quinlan Ltd. Vancouver McBRIDE, Corp. Ltd. Edmonton Dominion McAVITY, J. M.* ♦Denotes Dominion America NORRIS, JOHN H.* & M.* SCOTT, JAMES* of Star Pitfield E. Toronto Toronto C. D. Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. SCHWEITZER, MRS. D. Court Reporter NEWTON, GEORGE A.* Investment Bankers Association Toronto SCHAEFER, Toronto Cochran, Murray & Co. Ltd. Saint John Toronto Ltd. SCHULTZ, JOHN D.* Post NEWMAN, M. F.* JAMES* 320 Bay St. Montreal Co. Toronto^ Montreal Eastern & York Financial The Greenshields Inc. MacMURRAY, Pitfield Montreal NANKIVELL, NEVILLE J. MacKEEN, R. W.* C. Vancouver Chronicle Toole, Peet Investments Ltd. W. Samis & Co. Ltd. MURPHY, H. E. Commercial MacKEEN, H. D. 507 Place d'Armes RUTHERFORD, A. M.* SAMIS, J. C * Co. Ltd. & Montreal Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. & Co. Ltd. Calgary MORSE, ERIC S.* W. MACKEE, J. L.* McLeod, Young, Weir Vancouver MOORE, J. Toronto New Securities RODOMAR, DOUGLASS V. MILNER, A. J.* LIPSIT, E. C.* The Eastern Halifax Toronto Ltd. Vancouver Bank Mrs. Ken Johnston, Wood, Gundy & Company Limited, Calgary; Gerry Clark, Wood, Gundy <ft Company Limited, Calgary; C. L. Gundy, Wood, Gundy <ft Company Limited, Toronto Edmonton MEREDITH, T. W.* Brink, Hudson & Lefever Ltd. W. & Harris & Partners Ltd. Kitchener LEFEVER, The Mr. RITCHIE, D. M. E.* L. 17 Mr. & Mrs. Pat Shaw, MEDLAND, C. E.* Co. Toronto A. The Commercial and Financial Chronicle Toronto Montreal LEE, . H. Brown, Gairdner & Company Limited, Toronto; Gairdner & Company Limited, Toronto JEAN-CLAUDE* Rene-T. . . J. K. Ringland, Meredith & Co. Ltd. Lethbridge Burns Bros. Montreal & Denton Ltd. Quebec Montreal THOMPSON, A. G.* James Richardson & Hamilton Calgary Sons Victoria Vancouver Continued • on page 18 • Halifax • Kitchener • • • Edmonton • Toronto • Sault Ste. Marie New York London, England Saint John • Cornwall • Medicine Hat • Moncton • Ottawa • • • Winnipeg Vancouver Kingston, Jamaica Brussels • Geneva Che Commercial and Financial Chronicle Gordon Richardson, G. R. Richardson <fi Company, Kingston, Ont.; Mr. & Mrs. John Norris, Collier, Norris & Quintan, Ltd., Montreal Attended the Convention C. TORREY, A. S.* W. R. C. Pitfield & Co. Ltd. Montreal Nesbitt, Thomson & Co. Ltd. Greenshields Inc. Graham, M. Lewis, Equitable Securities Canada, Limited, Toronto; Duncan, Annett <ft Company, Ltd., Toronto WITHERS, MICHAEL* Armstrong Securities & Mrs. Allan YOUNG, GEORGE W.* Dominion Securities Corp. Ltd. Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Ltd. Mr. 7 Toronto Toronto D. Merrill I.* Lynch, Pierce, Fenner Smith Inc. Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Vancouver Locke, Gray & Co. Ltd. Calgary WALKER, W. S. W.* WEBB, WEST, J. J.* TURNEY, A. H.* Ltd. Vancouver TINGLEY, H. John Thursday, July 13, 1961 Toronto Toronto THOMSON, W. E.* Securities Mrs. VALOIS, LOUIS H.* & TREBELL, F. D.* Halifax Pemberton & . Montreal Continued from page 17 THOMPSON, Mr. . . Wood, Gundy & Co. Ltd. Investment Dealers' Association Montreal Toronto BELL, GOUINLOCK & COMPANY WHITE, ROBERT A. LIMITED Bongard & Co. Toronto ESTABLISHED 1920 WILLIAMS, E. J.* James Richardson Sons & 44 KING STREET Winnipeg WILLIAMS, L. B.* WEST, TORONTO Hagar Investments Ltd. Victoria UNDERWRITERS AND DISTRIBUTORS OF WILLIAMS, V. B.* C. M. Oliver & Co. Ltd. CANADIAN GOVERNMENT, MUNICIPAL Vancouver A Copy of our monthly WILLIS, B. G.* Greenshields Inc. AND CORPORATE SECURITIES Toronto Investor's Digest WILKINS, D. J.* Fry & Co. Ltd. AFFILIATES Toronto is available on request BELL, GOUINLOCK & CO. WILSON, ROSS* A. E. Ames & Co. Vancouver 74 WINSLOW, MRS. J. D. WILLS, BICKLE & COMPANY MEMBERS THE 44 King Street West DEALERS' Members Montreal New York Stock Montreal Winslow & Winslow Ltd. OF TORONTO STOCK INVESTMENT LIMITED Trinity Place Woodstock LIMITED THE LEGGAT, BELL, GOUINLOCK INCORPORATED Ltd. EXCHANGE ASSOCIATION OF CANADA 368-3081 Toronto 1 James Richardson & Sons Established 1857 Members FOUNDED All Major Canadian Stock i 1885 and Commodity Exchanges The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada BROKERS VANCOUVER CALGARY • PRINCE GEORGE in listed, unlisted securities MOOSE JAW GALT • • EDMONTON MEDICINE HAT SWIFT CURRENT • • LEAMINGTON • • • WINNIPEG • LETHBRIDGE BRANDON SIMCOE • • • KENORA CHATHAM TORONTO • REGINA • • • MONTREAL • SASKATOON KINGSTON WINDSOR • • • VICTORIA • PRINCE ALBERT KITCHENER • LONDON LONDON, ENGLAND and commodities in the United States and Canada THOMSON & MSKINNON 2 CHICAGO 43 . Affiliate Broadway, New York 4 INDIANAPOLIS TORONTO James Richardson offices in the United States and Canada MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND OTHER PRINCIPAL 7 SECURITY AND COMMODITY EXCHANGES V & Sons, Inc. Investment Securities 14 WALL STREET, NEW YORK 5 Telephone: DIgby 9-2850 Exchange Volume Number 194 6072 . . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 19 CANADIAN and OVERSEAS SECURITIES We maintain trading and research facilities in Canadian and Overseas securities. PANY Established LIMITED 1886 MEMBERS TORONTO THE Orders Evelyn Bradbury; Mr. & Mrs. Thomas Bradbury, Brawley, Cathers & Company, STOCK EXCHANGE INVESTMENT DEALERS' ASSOCIATION executed on Private wire to all OF CANADA exchanges New York Toronto 11 Jordan Street Cable: TORONTO RELSO — our Telex: 02-2095 — SECURITIES CANADIAN We EMpire 6-8871 75th year specialize in servicing dealers by obtaining placing blocks of Canadian listed or over-the-counter or securities. Our on Trading Department maintains firm able for all Mr. & Mrs. Richard Lauber, A. E. Osier Company, Ltd., markets listed and unlisted issues in U. S. funds and is avail¬ types of dealer transactions. DEPARTMENT TRADING Toronto EMpire 6-5831 TELEX 02-2461 WISENER, COMPANY MACKELLAR AND LIMITED MEMBERS MEMBERS THE INVESTMENT ASSOCIATION THE TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE DEALERS OF CANADA 220 Bay Street, Mr. & Mrs. Mait Newman, Murray & Co., Ltd., Toronto; Eric Morse, W. C. Pitfield Charles L. Gundy, Wood, Gundy & Company, Limited, Toronto Cochran, Company Limited, Montreal; Toronto 1, Canada <fi McLeod,Young,Weir & Company LIMITED 50 KING STREET WEST, TORONTO, CANADA Montreal Ottawa Winnipeg London Vancouver Hamilton Calgary Kitchener & _ MillSfi W Co. 1®®* tlS New York Sp® C.«.^^s*cm^vobk6,nx Quebec Sherbrooke Windsor Edmonton l-D-A bboadway OF Complete Facilities for Underwriting, Distributing and Limited Trading Government, Municipal and Corporation Securities >.Unor- (Aerobe'. Toronto Slock '°.hkontO bet» < * E*d>an9 CANADA • Stock orders executed on all Exchanges The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 20 . . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 Ramsay Securities Co. Limited Members Investment Dealers' Association 197 BAY of Canada STREET, TORONTO Telephone EMpire 3-2078 Mr. & Mrs. Frank Mr. & Mrs. Peter McDonald, Gairdner & Company Limited, Toronto; Mr. Nesbitt, Thomson and Company Limited, Toronto & Mrs. J. I. Crookston, L. G. BEAUBIEN * C° LIMITED UNDERWRITERS DEALERS AND Specialists in Securities Originating in the Province of QUEBEC Government, Municipal, Corporation, School Commissions, Parishes and Fabriques, Religious Institutions. WEST 221 NOTRE DAME STREET, MONTREAL 1 Quebec Trois-Rivieres Underwriters . . Geneva Distributors . . Government of Canada Bonds Provincial and Sorel Chicoutimi Brussels Paris i Shawinigan St. Hyacinthe Sherbrooke Ottawa . . Dealers Crysdale, Mason & Crysdale Limited, Toronto; Mr. Cochran, Murray & Co., Limited, Toronto & Mrs. John B. Livingston, Treasury Bills Municipal Debentures Corporate Bonds and Shares Prime Acceptance and Commercial Paper EQUITABLE SECURITIES CANADA LIMITED Member of The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada EQUITABLE BROKERS LIMITED Member of The Toronto Stock Exchange Head Office 60 Yonge Street, Toronto, Canada MONTREAL U. S. Direct KITCHENER HAMILTON Subsidiary: Equisec Canada Inc. private wire with Goldman, Sachs & Co., New York Mr. & Mrs. B. A. Mr. & Mrs. Mallon, McLeod, Young, Weir & Company, Limited, Toronto; Tony Corson, McLeod, Young, Weir & Company, Limited Toronto CANADA— Service on all Securities When you require information Canadian Industrial, Mining research and 1 trading facilities Monthly Bulletin or quotations on on any Oil security, or are our at your disposal. Request Ross, Knowles & Co. Ltd. Members: The Toronto Stock Exchange and The Investment Dealers' Association 25 ADELAIDE Hamilton STREET Brantford London WEST Brampton of Canada TORONTO, CANADA Sudbury Sarnia "Windsor Niagara Falls, Ont. Mr. & Mrs. Michael Grills, McLeod, Young, Weir <& Company, Limited, Montreal; Douglass Rodomar, Calvin Bullock, Ltd., Montreal Volume 194 Number 6072 * . . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 21 i C. H. BURGESS & COMPANY, LIMITED DEALERS IN INVESTMENT SINCE Members Toronto Stock Investment Dealers' 255 Bay St., Toronto SECURITIES 1909 Exchange Assn. of Canada EMpire 4-8471 • Branch—Brantford, Ontario Mr. & Mrs. Roy B. Brookes, Royal Securities Corporation, Ltd., Edmonton; Mrs. Calgary; John Penny, Royal Securities Corporation, Ltd., Toronto Ervie J. Doran, MATTHtWS 6- COMPANY LIMITED Established 1909 Members: X Toronto Stoek Exchange Investment Dealers' Association of 220 Bay Street Direct Mr. & Mrs. C. W. Toronto, Ontario Connections with New Canada EMpire 4-5191 York and Montreal McBride, Midland Securities Corporation, Limited, Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. Ed Williams, James Richardson & Sons, Winnipeg nU&COMpAtiy „tC0N i L MmUrs /nhtslmenl GowBaonf, 181 Bill Walker, James Investment Dealers Association of Canada, Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. Paul & Sons, Edmonton; Mr. & Mrs. Olin Buker, James Richardson & Richardson BAY COrM' '<***" m i e o r DialerV Association of Canada Municipal and Corporation STREET, Bonds TORONTO 1, CANADA H. Carpenter, Sons, Calgary Walwyn, Stodgell Co. & Limited Members: Toronto Stock Exchange Winnipeg Stock Exchange The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada The I STOCK ORDERS 44 KING EXECUTED ON ALL EXCHANGES STREET WEST, TORONTO EMpire 4-1131 WINDSOR Mr. & Mrs. Arthur Torrey, W. C. Pitfield & Company Limited, Montreal; Kenneth Sedgewick, & Company Limited, Montreal; Mrs. D. Bruce Shaw, Toronto Pitfield W. C. WINNIPEG HAMILTON CORNWALL PORT HOPE The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 22 "V • FOR . . . Thursday, July 13, 1961 YOUR INVESTMENTS IN THE WEST carlile & McCarthy LIMITED Over 30 Years in Western Canada MEMBERS INVESTMENT DEALERS ASSOC. THE OF CANADA Direct Private Wires All To Leading Exchanges Offices: Calgary — Edmonton Vancouver — — Victoria | Mr. & Mrs. Bud Willis, Mr. & Greenshields Incorporated, Toronto; Mrs. Bryce Farrill, Frank Trebell, Greenshields Incorporated, Toronto Toronto; Mrs. KERNAGHAN & CO. LIMITED INVESTMENT SECURITIES 2nd Floor, 67 Richmond St. W., TORONTO, EM. 4-4256 Specialists in Special Situations. thomson kernaghan & co. ltd Members The Toronto Stock Mr. Exchange & Mrs. R. K. McConnell, McConnell & Company, Ltd., Toronto KIRPEN & COMPANY INC. Established 1922 Members Montreal Stock Canadian Stock Exchange Exchange The Investment Dealers' Association of Canada 607 St. James Street West MONTREAL Telex: Montreal 01-2440 Telephone: UNiversity 6-2463 Stock orders executed Direct on all Canadian Exchanges private wire — Mr. & Mrs. Jean Leclerc, Rene T. Leclerc, Incorporee, Montreal; Mr. & Graham Armstrong Securities Ltd., Montreal Mrs. Louis H. Valois, Toronto A COMPLETE TRADING SERVICE FOR DEALERS & BROKERS IN CANADIAN BONDS AND STOCKS OVER-THE-COUNTER STOCKS. ALL — INQUIRIES INVITED- John Rene T. Leclerc, Incorporee Sydie, Sydie Sutherland & Ritchie, Ltd., Edmonton; Carlisle & McCarthy Ltd., Calgary W. Rees Taprell, Investment Dealers Member of The Investment Dealers' {Association of Canada Rene T. Leclerc Co. Members of Montreal Stock Exchange and Canadian Stock Exchange 132 St. James Street, West, Montreal Mr. & Mrs. D. E. M. Schaefer, Nesbitt, Thomson and Company Limited, Toronto; Mrs. Ian Crookston, Ross Calder, Nesbitt, Thomson and Company Ltd., Calgary Toronto; Volume 194 Number 6072 . . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle 23 Canadian Government and Corporation Securities S$icAa/<</dc/i 4 King Street West &£ & Toronto • Telephone EMpire 2-6121 affiliate of T. A. Richardson & Co. Mr. & Mrs. S. J. Members The Toronto Stock Stodgell, Walwyn, Stodgell & Co., Limited, Windsor; Mr. & Mrs. M. R. W. Kuchner, Dominick Corporation of Canada, Montreal Exchange Dealers in Government Bonds SAUNDERS, CAMERON LIMITED FIFTY-FIVE YONGE Mr. & Mrs. Robert Mrs. TORONTO Graham, Osier, Hammond & Nanton, Limited, Winnipeg; Meredith, Calgary; Mrs. Donald Webb, Toronto STREET 1, CANADA Thomas EMPIRE 6-8601 Cochran, Murray 8 Co. Limited , Government, Municipal and Corporation Securities • Mr. & Mrs. John Kenneth M. McAvity, W. C. Pitfield & Company, Limited, Vancouver; Sedgewick, W. C. Pitfield & Company, Limited, Montreal M. Cochran. Murray 8 Limited Hay Members of the Toronto Stock Exchange Dominion Bank Bldg., Toronto, Telephone EM. 3-9161 Hamilton London Kitchonor Midland Securities Corpn. Mr. & Mrs. D. M. Limited Sennett, Harris & Partners Limited, Toronto; Mr. & Mrs. Robert W. Jr., Bell, Gouinlock & Company, Limited, Toronto Gouinlock, Members The Investment Dealers' Association Canadian Government, and TORONTO STE. Municipal Corporation Securities LONDON SAULT of Canada MONTREAL MARIE SARNIA ST. HAMILTON THOMAS KITCHENER BRANTFORD Affiliated with The Midland Company Limited Members: Toronto Stock Exchange Montreal Stock Exchange Canadian Stock Exchange Mrs. James MacMurray, St. John, N. B.; Mrs. Jim Edwards, Toronto Midland Canadian Corporation 2 Wall Street New York 5, N.Y. »- Jf