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JAN 12 ADf^j BUS. ESTABLISHED 1S39 LIBRARY Tk e Chromcle Reg. U. Volume Number 4870 171 New S. Pat. Office Price 30 Cents York, N. Y., Thursday, January 5, 1950 a Copy EDITORIAL Truman Urges Enactment Of Fair Deal Program As We See It That Second Half century. It is now the fashion, accord¬ ingly, to expatiate upon the achievements of the past 50 years and to formulate the tasks of the There that in many ever to date has been can be no ward the one. President session of the nature to the so-called The we not are teeth on edge, and laid before really frightening scope, us a to be entered President even Congressional full text of follows: Let President's trade certain trends. failure no is It useful, about one's reasons them. Certainly the more def¬ quickly> one will become aware certain trends to develop. And clear more of are under and are way likely to continue is the first step in attempting to stop those trends that dislikes. one likely to happen Hence predicting what help prevent it from hap¬ may pening and thus help to make one's forecast turn out to Finally and most important, examination of parent long-term trends is a ap¬ good way of gaining insight into the institutions and activities of the present. My remarks will deal only with the United States and established through that I make you recognition that certain trends important steps in securing the North community against aggression. We have con¬ tinued our successful support of European recovery. We international the of is, the one be false. our remarks expectations and about one's for inite We have taken to , these therefore, to be definite at home. returned me sume Prof. S. H. Slichter Atlantic have begin by apology for speculating about the future of private enterprise. Men cannot avoid making many decisions which as¬ seems policy of expanding reciprocal agreement. We will assume that the country escapes a major war. I shall have strengthened our support of the United Nations. While great problems still confront us, the greatest danger has receded—the possibility which faced us three 37 Continued on <8>- *An address by Dr. Slichter before the American Eco* nomic Association, New York City, Dec. 30, 1949. 41 page Continued on page 34 €>___ SEE pages 20 and 21 for pictures taken at Annual Pennsylvania Electric ap¬ assuring the economy. I I ar^ happy to be able to re¬ port to yog today that the state of iUnion contlhues to be good. Our Republic continues to increase in the Truman abroad and ledger. page receive outright planned which of most no of During the past year we have made notable progress in strengthening the foundations of peace and freedom, century is not on fast enough to maintain high employment level and there will be dom throughout the world. challenge of Continued to previous State dominating concerns Contends incomes will in¬ crease enjoyment of freedom within its borders, and to offer strength and encouragement to all those who love free¬ However, the credit side of the on en¬ good. it still is far from clear that the net of the first half of the plea for the large industry. ad¬ gress that the state of the Union was if all this has in later decades set the world's even In inflationary and forecasts contin¬ uation of Mr. President, Mr. Speaker, mem¬ bers of the Congress: A year ago I reported to this Con¬ backward with great accuracy. assess be message peoples of the many instances. Early in the century evidence of deterioration in political relationships undeniably began to develop, and early in the second decade of the century the old balancc-ofpower procedure for securing the peace of the yet able to ship, reduction in corporate savings and decreasing use of by business. Holds government policies will bank credit this message, Union failed in world failed—with results which Looks also for broader participation in corporate owner¬ proval last year. stamping out conditions which produce epidemics, have brought untold benefit even in. his the ment of methods of world State of the Union. ommended probably true that at few if any history have the blessings avail¬ become so widely or so nearly avail¬ Much better understanding of the control of disease, and the develop¬ and technological fairly slow population growth in next 50 years. actment of that part of his so called "Fair Deal Program" which he rec¬ in able to any able to all. con¬ Says strong should be continued. dress he renewed his also other times Harvard economist foresees rapid rate of progress, Harry S. Truman appeared before a joint Senate and House of Representatives on Jan. 4, and delivered his message on techniques, has been revolutionary in the past half century. is monopolies and on University Professor, Harvard University the physical sciences, and in modern industrial It By SUMNER H. SLICHTER* Lamont housing and rent legislation. defense program respects the twentieth century remarkable Asks further curbs areas. tinuation of doubt what¬ Knowledge and understanding of the physical world about us naturally grow in geometrical ratio. It is, there¬ fore, hardly to be wondered at that progress in a At Economic Trends Message to Congress he renews plea for higher taxes, Taft-Hartley Act repeal, Federal compulsory health insurance, Brannan Plan for agricul¬ tural support, and financial and technical aid for back¬ twentieth decades. Long Look Ahead In State of the Union The world has entered the second half of the next five A and BOND CLUB. On page 2 will be found this Dinner week's of the CINCINNATI participants and STOCK selections In 'THE SECURITY I LIKE BEST" forum. State and Company Cumulative Preferred Stock, Funds, 4.05% Series D Price $102.53 to Prospectus yield 3.95% 550 Branches Franklin Custodian inc. Monthly Commercial Letter upon request request. PREFERRED STOCK FUND TIIE BOND FUND White,Weld&Co. Members New York Stock Exchange UTILITIES FUND 40 Wall on THE NATIONAL CITY BANK OF COMMERCE request Street, New York 5 FRANKLIN DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. Boston Chicago 64 Wall Street, New York 5 Bond Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708 New York Investors Trust Underwriters and Investment Company may be obtained from authorized dealers, VANCE, cS. SANDERS OTIS & CO. Established Stocks and ANGF.LES New BONDS Chicago Denver interesting workout situation Booklet available for & Co. Cincinnati Columbus Toledo Dominiox Securities Grporatioh 40 Buffato 115 BROADWAY NEW YORK 105 W. ADAMS ST. CHICAGO Exchange Place, New YorlcS.N.Y. Teletype NY 1 -702-3 Members New York Stock Exchange 111 other Principal Exchanges Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 WHJtefcnH 4-8181 Dealers IRA HAUPT & CO. and MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK EXCH. Dallas England Institutions and CLEVELAND New York YORK & STOCKS An Goodbody BANK NEW Public Service Co. ESTABLISHED 1891 (Incorporated) CHICAGO LOS 1899 OF San Francisco Loi Angeles Corporate Securities COMPAN Y YORK CITY or BOSTON NEW THE Bonds and for this Open-End OF Agency: 20 Exchange Pl. Portland, Ore. Distributors of Municipal Pro* peel ut NATIONAL CANADIAN Canadian Department THE CHASE Head Office: Toronto* Seattle ISAassachusetts Bond CANADIAN BANK OF NEW york INCOME (BALANCED) FUND Prospectus Bonds 1 COMMON STOCK FUND on Canada across A Mutual Fund Municipal Boston Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 2 COMMERCIAL THE (54) The Security I IN MARKETS TRADING Kentucky Utilities New York Hanseatic all for asmuch BAILEY, Vice-Pres., Dayton Haigney & Co., Mass. Inc., Boston, recent has years in field Trust Investment The Teletype NY 1-583 to the believe grown giant. We that this trend will continue and of stature a the that With reached. Specialists in growing a this Rights & Scrip e value asset to seems BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 that Benjamin tend minish The the like I best American Air Filter Co; agement Common mendous Black Star Coal Corp. is- no tre¬ a the shares Chairman, let Floor, Kentucky Home Life Bldg. LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY Purchasing traders ($141.37 D.-J of Dec. 31, 1948 as average approximately The capitalization is comprised of 65,457 shares $4.50 Preferred and 89,911 shares of Common. The trustees the of more Oxford Paper Company C. C. Cotting Dumaine Dumaine, Jr. F. will Portsmouth Steel Corp. William Frank J. - New York : Stock Midwest Exchange Union Commerce Building CLEVELAND B. tors Jr. Sulloway . & Our firm has been interested over in the so-called a of more or period of less years SECURITIES OLIVE having the for element At the with favor Members one investment irinciple of reasonable diversifica¬ I prefer a minimum of 10 issues but for the purpose of tion Established 1856 H. Hentz & Co. Members New York Stock New York Curb — discussions Briefly stated, here the things like I ideal. is My Corning Glass. York New Exchange Exchange Cotton Exchange product — glass and silicone chemistry — whose application to home industrial and between trebled in the is use 1937 past Inc. Trade And other Exchanges N. Y. Cotton Exchange Bldg. NEW YORK 4, N. Y. pro¬ sales 1937, and CHICAGO DETROIT PITTSBURGH GENEVA, SWITZERLAND 1947, two years; a time, including the depression period; of management, but family ownership that and LAMB0RN & CO., Inc. 99 STREET WALL extends back for nearly 100 years; for research (50,000 formulas for making glass large al¬ from expenditure of 90 in Charles J. Collina 97 the known half-owned emphasis — a f f i 1 i at include phar¬ chemicals, maceuticals, rayons, and individual situations, such certain ture Min¬ postponed qualify limited the of be must but to contemplated At commitment. my Refined — — Liquid Exports—Imports—Futures (Dow- e s purchase or portion as Mining. Raw Dlgby 4-2727 silicome their and SUGAR on plastics and resins, Owens - Corning — fibre glass, Pittsburgh-Corning—build¬ ing glass) not yet Reflected in Coming's earnings statements whose aggregate sales may even¬ tually be double that of the Corning NEW YORK 5, N. Y. ele¬ longrange expansion, .extension of existing markets and price reduc¬ tion; a leading stake (tubes and other glass parts) in the rapidlygrowing television industry; three with ments), six me of 1930-33 management success¬ nesota Exchange, Board New Orleans Cotton Exchange of Corning: about young j examples of which were some issue Commodity Chicago some are other a full Royal Bank of Scotland Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727 HEAD OFFICE—Edinburgh Branches throughout LONDON 3 times time necessary capital gains pur¬ present on time look we the shares of East¬ markets and come bull markets growth goes on forever. Analyze the basis of the invest¬ ment fortunes of the country and but go it will be found that they have portunity studies accumulation. for 49 Scotland OFFICES: Bishopsgate, E. C. 2 8 IF est Smithfield, E. C. 1 Charing Cross, S. W. 1 indicated that Steamship on the Lines, which Boston Stock are Ex¬ TOTAL Glass common, undervalued at in 1949, would be 18, MR. HUGO has this Bought—Sold—Quoted overvalued at pansion that Offerings Wanted ASSETS £155,175,898 a Long Beach Gas partner firm our Associated Banks: Williams Deacon's , Bank, Ltd. Glyn, Mills & Co. Na Q. B« OVER-THE-COUNTER J. WEINBERGER day become in Street, JF. 1 Corning been We take pleasure in announcing Mexican Eagie Oil Burlington Gardens, W. 1 64 New Bond My largely built upon the ex¬ 40. For 1950, making allowance of one to several com¬ in panies over a decade or more. Of for the company's progress change and traded in the over- the some 1,500 companies whose 1949, similar figures are 20 the-counter Here is a market. common shares are actively traded and 43. company where the possibility of over the nation's markets, I esti¬ Continued on page 14 loss at present prices is slight in¬ mate, roughly, that about 10%, or ern listed Midwest Stock Exchange branch offices our . STREET St. Louis l.Mo* cardinal the violates critical situa¬ "special situation" poses. 509 Choosing selection by type of securities—securities that, within the same in our opinion, offer price appre¬ saying that I lean to the last men¬ (occasionally ciation possibilities on the basis of tioned type of issue, the so-called year) they underdiscount the liquidations or dissolutions and "growth" or "trend" stock. Bear trend, affording an excellent op¬ also INVESTMENT to growth rating. a stock for emphasis from this total period seek (1) Let & Co. Birmingham, Ala. Mobile, Ala. strong earnings record over a long of the tji NY 1-1557 Hflnover 2-0700 New Orleans, La. - Of these 150, a reorganizing utility holding J. Linzee Weld companies in the 'Thirties and of the unseasoned power This Trust's portfolio is well di¬ many and light stocks of recent years, versified and includes many soor (2) they endeavor to find issues called "situation" stocks. $3 per where the long-time promise is share was paid in 1949. parent company. A more complete description of for substantial growth in earnings, Growth stocks sometimes sell at dividends, and asset values. Fairly this issue is' available in the var¬ recent examples of the latter type a price that overdiscounts the fu¬ ious financial services. $ xix 150, merit some again tip to. tions, ful Exchange York 4, N. Y. and have increased by one-quarter promises special Snow, dealt months. Inves¬ G. Stone Robert of the stocks take on any three L. Higginson Stock York New Direct wires quota¬ or profit a Ralph Lowell Member in their flyer a G. Peabody Gardner Incorporated differ. sounds, f gong that E. Mead, Mead, Miller & Co., when most F. Associated Transport, Inc. Broadway operate closing too, F. 150 Detroit pres¬ on Charles WIN. J. MERICKA & CO. are deals William Amory Members A as point a the Steiner, Rouse & Co. Baltimore, Md. Counsel, S p e c u lators^ l are: names long as ent 177, now 197). roll choice would be profits of %th a $140 Co., 25 Broad St., New gressively expanding; tions, not caring particularly what doubled between 1930 and in about Charles Francis Adams Inquiries Invited in COLLINS objectives net of Bell Tele. LS 186 Long Distance 233-9 end reacquired Letters, Inc., , per with , common year Inc.; President, Investment Floor has share per share , at Investment about $80 & City. — are value Stone Mathieson Chemical Co.—W. Car¬ these 43%, break-up value. New York Leonard Co.—N. Hayden, fast-growth stocks. par CHARLES J. man¬ discount, asset BANKERS BOND ^ assets. outstanding in the over-the-counter market at 5% Preferred pend¬ 1949. In¬ Amoskeag Co. Common quoted Common claims are di¬ an Can Jarvis, substantial and will selling at about type its from less dis¬ i to of the vestment Trust issue suits 384,505 disappear in the future. or stock further salable •shares us any count Bailey A. it troit, Mich. American com¬ Capitalization consists solely of Members York Stock Exchange New York Curb Exchange that ditional a Bought—Sold—Quoted De¬ Inc., Letters, further subdivision ing which could increase the cash would place about one-third in the to $34 a share, it has been slow-growth classification, another estimated. Two steamers in op¬ one-third showing mediumerating condition represent ad¬ growth, leaving the last third as discount from New the against the government are available at is ment vestment companies Investment element of enhance¬ war-damage closed-end in- ftjcpONNELL&fO. in funds 1948 and the of shares Since 1917 cash Louisiana Securities Inc., Corning Glass—Charles J. Collins, pany's hands equal approximately $17 per share as at the end of that s a share and dividend of $1 annual share, on the basis of 25c quarterly, to yield about 4%. buy- Co., & The stock is currently an The Haigney Boston, Mass. the company as per of group r pays b y security Dayton quoted around $23.50 re¬ alization Kentucky Stone Co. ship Lines—Benjamin A. Bailey, has been willing to buy in its own shares a few points away from the present peak is far from Tel. REctor 2-7815 Amoskeag: Co. and Eastern Steam¬ particular security. Selections may be suitable individuals, for trustees and for institutions. quotation. York 5 Incorporated and Selections Alabama & for favoring a Corporation m Participants Their a continuous forum in which, each week, a differ¬ of experts in the investment and advisory field from sections of the country participate and give their reasons BENJAMIN A. 120 Forum Constituting Paget Sound Power & Light South Western Public Service BArclay 7-5660 Like Best Thursday, January 5, 1950 ent group National Gas & Electric 120 Broadway, New CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDEX 10-Year Performance of 5s 1956 35 Industrial Stocks Memorandum on request STEIN & COMPANY Membets z1ppin & company 208 South La Salle St., Chicago 4 Tele. RAndoIph 6-4696 Tel. CG 451 27 William National Association St., New York 5, N. Y. 1950 Dealers, Inc. Jersey City 2, N. J. Telephone—DEiaware 2-0100 Teletype NY 3, Securities 1 Montgomery St., Telephone—Dlgby 4-2190 Jan. of 1-1053 Blair F. Member Claybaugh & Co. Philadelphia-Baltimore Stock Exch 52 Wall Street, New York Tele. HAnover 2-7064 5, N. Y. Tel. NY 1-2177 BOOKLET NC ON REQUEST National Quotation Bureau ! incorporated 46 Front Street New York 4, N. Y. Volume 171' Number 4870 THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL H. Slichter 1950 Stock Pointing out recent currency devaluations have induced mone¬ tary inflation, Dr. Palyi sees no impelling reason to devalue Cover Problems—Melchior Palyi 3 ;— Treasury and the Price of Gold—Herbert M. Bratter The Market—George Weiss Business and Financial Outlook for the dollar at present, 4 bullion 7 Wright Can Jones Street than a did Rush" last not couple of weeks. 18 Stimulated?—Lewis A. Froman 1.. ; is longer It the money- volume plentiful, than four times what it was more in¬ 20 years ago; it can be expanded further at will, since national debt certificates have become the vir¬ it .could occur. 23 tual was equivalents nonsen —Messrs. Leroy Klein and Louis S. Lebenthal :Js ffi ; Security I Like Best. n Secretary Sawyer Reports Taxation Discouraging Risk Capital 21 Security Holdings in Third Quarter David W. McKnight Sees Major Upward Trend of Stock Prices in 1950 ... Dr. 25 Halsey, Stuart & Co. Issues Year-End Bond Survey 25 Experts Discuss 1950 Stock Market Picture....... 26 Raymond Foley Says Million New Homes 27 But Let's Have Real Competition! Economic Advisers and Government Discuss Year Are Needed Melchior in terms porarily) Risk Capital of 28 of would ances and Business Insurance Man's Canadian 32 Cover Stocks 12 14 _ Securities 34 be ..... When EC A used 8 at News About Banks and Bankers and 390 not claims of Hol¬ countries—move to The from the French the official dollar.) combined amounts to with deflation devaluation an unmitigated expan¬ currency base—to monetary inflation. That we most sion 47 Governments... down (disinflation), 5 on other "Transferable so. discounts. is to If 12 Observations—A. Wilfred May.. Our Reporter's Report under of at of the certainly do not need. Not Walter J. the the years or a Run foregoing refers to the one Every debt structure, out of proportion to the of core are four leading CALIFORNIA CLASS B (common) STOCK and Earned the and accelerated it converted If no more may be permitted kept Investment Securities long- in Square, Boston 9, Mass. HUbbard 2-1990 BUY size— deficits—the debt to gradually decline marketwise, until a yield is established so high as to ac¬ complish the same result as un¬ der Tel. and the into constant depreciation of $1.74 LERNER & CO. bonds held by the public. (2) with to Class A, arrears speak— can of term Selling about $9.00 •disregarding 10 Post Office economy, so to be unpegged it bulk 1948 $5.22* (1) The debt may be reduced gradually until it is cut to the size until brief review of a the Cement Industry. to that goal: of OF RIVERSIDE CEMENT CO. depression. a roads ANALY8IS the savings of the country, call? for liquidation or scaling down, which is what then consti¬ tutes AN once "natural" There Aout Available— long run out¬ totally different question. all other countries added together be "unloaded" sooner or grown Teletype-BS 128 two or —must later. HUbbard 2-3790 The so. 1923 30 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON 10 money Problem outlook; Connolly & Co. INCORPORATED this markets from open $2.80 parity to the equiv¬ high 349 8 Our Reporter But by ^Britain in again in appreciable volumes and 16 NSTA Notes the on new land < from Stock Bought—Sold—Quoted ever weakness devaluation Long immediate maladjust¬ CORP. dollar. not are the even The once. substantially. October,; the pound has sterlings"—pound 40 ... bal¬ dently. the patient is dulled, but his condition is not likely to im¬ franc Funds the managers' point of view, look like a perfectly silly, idea. devaluations, incalculable alent of $2.20 or 22 Indications of Business Activity reserves juncture, Presently, the devaluing countries in Europe and Latin America apply large doses of the anesthetic, but omit most of the operation, the disinflation. Evi¬ fallen 8 __ From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargeron Mutual tem¬ (Since 5 ... Ends?". devalue makes look is the Dealer-Broker—Investment Recommendations.. Happen at rest PRENTICE impelling no Devaluation, domestically, may A colossal national debt—the as an "anesthetic," to dull largest, in current dollar value, the pains of a wag$ deflation. that any nation ever had, larger That was one of the purposes for | than the present public debt of which it 8 , l___! Einzig—"What Will (and trade offset forced into fresh prove Coming Events in the Investment Field Dealer Briefs enjoying STREET, NEW YORK REED world's hunger for American that 1331. ... Bookshelf the slightly Was Bank Britain WALL Telephone: WHitehall 4-6551 con¬ be used Business ... to Given run. the ments. Relations System, is virtually all other currencies, the flight of capital from them, and we and PalyS improved creating 27 , (Editorial) a her are be Regular Features As We See It gold Also, all foreign currencies would a (Boxed) National City Bank Analyzes Dearth of Truman's Our proceed that man's pocket! any the 'goods together with its inability to lar, the little pay for them—it all adds up to an advantage international position of the dollar 22 . bucks enough Common any, to cut the dol¬ of 1949 o v/ far called whatsoever, if there was would problem. If 17 BUCKS those obsolet.es to clutter " reason o n, naively expecting that solve gold—so press, Reserve t i 17 of printing There is at present devalua- that Earl E. Crabb Predicts Good Business Year in 1950 Reduced cerned. into 2 Elliott V. Bell Condemns Government Bond Price Pegging— Individuals Federal have We the as forced Britain President Truman Urges Enactment of Fair Deal Program__Cover The out¬ the set. 24 * • sical from Review and Forecast of the Municipal Bond Market you - other country. any on The that . up 99 "Gold teresting thing about it is the fact .. Individual Investment Be recent Wall 11 Should Life Insurance Companies Invest in Equities? —Homer The , __ in currency Strong Economy, Chief Weapon in War and Peace give1 We'll for standard and ascribes strength of the dollar to heavy favorable U. S. trade balance, and absence of redeemable gold 6 Disposable Income and the Business Outlook—Arno H. Johnson CLUTTER but holds heavy national debt in long run Denies U. S. is' on an international gold bring it about. may 4 — 1950__Roger W. Babson___ —Ivan AND COMPANY By MELCHIOR PALYI < U. S. SAVINGS BONDS (1). Continued only on page 32 18 Prospective Security Offerings 46 Public Utility Securities.. 24 Railroad Securities Securities pleased to are announce that 26 Salesman's Corner has become associated with 44 Security I Like Best i 5 - (Walter Whyte Says) us. 2 ... The State of Trade and Industry Tomorrow's Markets Mr. Graham Walker 30 Securities Now in Registration The We Joseph McManus & Co. 9 ... Washington and You MEMBERS New 48 York Stock Exchange -r- . New York Curb Exchange Midwest Stock Exchange... 39 Published Twice Weekly 1 The COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL and c/o Gardens. Park DANA COMPANY, Place, New York 8, REctor 2-9570 to ary N. Y. DANA WILLIAM D. 25, York, 8, Y., President RIGGS, Business Manager Every Thursday records, ■tate issue) statistical corporation and Other Chicago (general and issue city news, Offices: 3, Til. news every — news, and Canada, bank ad- quotation of Countries, S. (Telephone: $25.00 Salle State St., 0613); per per Note—On the La and Monthly clearings, etc.). 135 $25.00 (com¬ rate eign be of $35.00 per $38.00 $42.00 per Quotation year; per PREFERRED STOCKS S. of Record — Monthly, (Foreign of in New York the postage Spencer Trask & Co. Members 25 New Broad extra.) fluctuations remittances for York Stock "^""-^Rements must funds. Exchange Street, New York 4 HAnover Members - Chicago - York Glens Falls Curb profit from York Times readers . .. banking executives, corporation officials, 2-8200 1-5 - investors. story - you to telling your all four? "* 2V Jveiu Ijork Sxmca "AH Schenectady Are regularly Exchange Street, Boston 8 Hubbard "^"Teletype—NY Albany New 50 Congress 2-4300 in for¬ advertisers professional and institutional year. — account you security buyers — arid individual year. (Foreign postage extra.) Earnings Record Monthly, exchange, profit for the four-fold audience of New in year. year. offerings of High Grade Public Utility and Industrial Publications subscript-*"™" made Y. Financial interested in are matter Febru¬ post office at New the Act of March Dominion Other Monday market the Under Union. Bank rertising at Pan-American Other N. Dana We second-class Subscriptions in United States, U. Possessions, Territories and Members Thursday, January 5, 1950 plete as 1942, N. 6, Eng¬ 1879. 9576 SEIBERT, C., Subscription Rates HERBERT D. SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher WILLIAM E. Company Publishers York Smith. Copyright 1949 by William B. CHRONICLE Reg. U. S. Patent Office 25 London, Edwards & Reentered WILLIAM B. New mean Drapers* land, FOUR AUDIENCES Broadway Worcester 3 llCHTtnSTflil Problems Page Long Look Ahead at Economic Trends About Gold and Related (55) " Articles and News —Sumner CHRONICLE About Gold and Related INDEX A & the News Thot's Fit to Print" 4 5, 1950 Thursday, January CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (56) * violates Treasury and the Price of Gold By HERBERT M. BRATTER done in of the The 1950 Stock Market actually deliberately took tlie off the gold standard, utilizing Gold?", Mr. Bratter reviews previous and existing legisla¬ tion relating to price of gold and gold content of the dollar. Holds President now has no power to devalue dollar, since such Enemy given under Gold Reserve Act of 1934, has lapsed, but Secretary of Treasury still has power, with approval of By GEORGE WEISS* Director of Research, Baclie & Co., Members NYSE year, dorsed 8 overnight Treasury increase the price of gold?" This question was put to the writer by the editor of the "Chionicle." The for years as a rnment g o v e economist and private citizen watched American gold legis I a t i o n from the ring¬ side, hastens to state the at outset he that "cir¬ The power remains. cumscribed." "Price of Gold" and "Gold Content Under the gold standard, as un¬ derstood by economists, the terms "price of gold" and "gold content dollar" the mean the same Thus, in the United States today—regardless of the fact that the dollar is not internally re¬ thing. deemable in Herbert M. might be easier. Had editor asked: "Do you think Administration wants to raise the price of gold or devalue the dollar any time in the visible the the future?", that the moreover, is desires, Treasury be, thing last The "No." would reply my legislation of a positive or nega¬ nature on any gold question. The phase of the Treasury wants Pandora's box. The editor's question relates to power, not intent. It arises from the fact that there i's on the stat¬ utes a clear power for the Secre¬ tary of the Treasury to change the price at which the govern¬ ment buys and sells gold. While that power, last enacted in 1934, has never been specifically re¬ pealed, some hold that it has been in effect repealed by the subse¬ to open no t. quently Bretton enacted words of the Woods In the present Secretary of the Treasury, the 1934 power has been "limited" by the 1945 act as policy which the Treasury has pursued since 1934 relative to gold and the dollar. as by the power March from 1933, 6, to do ... proclaim, hereby today is that the the "discretion of the Secretary of Treasury" to change the price of Business a rious measures by the then Congress, but setting. tions of value par Hence, there has been unchanged. change in the official price of no term, understanding of which is neces¬ between As two currencies countries defined each are whose as to se¬ single country unit as weight of gold, parity is that Within gold. a back most dire pre¬ Treasury would be The miner, taking his the doubled. gold the government, would payment twice as many to receive in dollars formerly. as Similarly, if the Treasury of price gold is changed, the gold con¬ of the dollar is correspond¬ tent ingly altered in the opposite di¬ rection, according to the rules of gold standard. If the Treasury, the which today buys gold at $35 an ounce, were leaving unchanged the nition of the but WE'VE GOT PLENTY! legal defi¬ weight of the dollar; is that if . . . done, the country is $2.80 pound, namely 35 di¬ per vided by 12.5. losses wholesale unemployment. In and all these very fore¬ helped create an atti¬ probability, have from include at¬ prices, and ratings to discriminating and the more specula¬ investor, as well. — must con¬ stantly purchase for thousands of customers satisfy nearly that many . . . different needs. helping the business¬ budget his planning more tributed by to man nearly in line with mounting or falling inventories and increasing or decreasing consumer demand. the varying degree of the shortages Probably more significant is built up both during the war—shortages capital and consumer goods—and the speed with wihch is at the official parity whenever conversion and production in the it equals 1/35 of an ounce of gold. different' industries could replen¬ ish these requirements. As some It is this which the Congress ob¬ industries caught up with demand viously had in mind in the Bretand began swamping the pipe¬ ton Woods Agreements Act cited lines, other industries were just below. getting their production lines roll¬ President Has No Power to ing. Accordingly, while some Devalue Dollar businesses were already facing authorized of to the gold 50%. No the President 1933 of ment" Amend¬ "Thomas the Under reduce the was weight dollar by as much as limit was set on time that power. But the Gold Reserve gold in the United States had been raised to almost market price of $35 the put a time limit on of the President. It also a high plane. cial weight from 1945 corporated in Act of 1934 was tb in¬ power Gold Reserve several times ex¬ but lapse in June, the Treasury may over the have Sections 8 terms of dold Reserve Act any power and 9 of the of the 1934, authority used in 1933 was a law Trading Department the Treasury may of the bonds or Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & 70 PINE STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Offices in 97 Cities Beanb of purchase coin with notes of the any United authorized by law, at such rates and upon such terms as he may deem most advantageous to the public inter¬ est." Compare this language with the text of section 8 of the Gold Reserve Act States, of on more correction, as some characterized it, can¬ conclusively be proven by sta¬ not (the chart was made avail¬ show at a glance widely tistics to able divergent swings in areas of the economy). page 36 different The fig¬ ures used are the monthly Federal Reserve Board Production Indices. intentionally chosen typ¬ I have ical examples the and consumer past show to have times taken five for goods heavy how place years different adjust¬ during at different industries. Furthermore, we know that even within industries, the corrections Com¬ have been of a serial type. ing at different have enabled the to intervals, they entire economy operate on a high plane. These production *A paper adjustments by Mr. Weiss read be¬ Amer¬ fore annual meeting of the ican 1934, cited later in this article. Continued far have us ments 1 The industries some year, precipitous de¬ clines than others. (See chart A.) price of gold under the arranged for a banking syndicate to sup¬ ply 3,500,000 ounces of gold in exchange for obligations of the United States. 2 The 1862 act read "The Secretary of an Early in the summer This rolling finally was allowed 1943. However, the extent that the Secretary of tended, to the that showed of the dollar. Presidential The show of the decline in the peak of wartime sharpness of of 50 chart will the at look A York ket Statistical Association, City, Dec. 30, 1949. New use Weekly Stocks. Industrial make com¬ of individual group ac¬ the action of the mar¬ whole. a as the From beginning of 1949 through the end of the third week in December, the index shows a rise of 10%. The movements group vary widely as against the average re¬ flecting the activity and pros¬ perity of the different industries. As as extreme move- follows: against 10% advance for a industrial stock index: entire the the of Some ments are Automobiles moved forward 16.1% Building materials 10.6 Chemicals 20.1 Foods 17,9 Paper 21.0 These were the indus¬ highly profit¬ among tries that able operations during the enjoyed industries are that ther readjustment The Coal down 16.0% 10.9 group was Equipment Market Stock fur¬ showed during 1949: Copper Railroad year. of the ledger On the other side 11.8 as a Business Forecaster in¬ dustries at different times. the with will Poor's & 365 series of result has been a The we purpose, of parisons The corrections affecting different production. must be within the range to 60% of the pre-1933 offi¬ their production, other enterprises were stepping up their output helping to maintain overall production on an ounce, powers inven¬ surplus of problem tories and were cutting back 1934, passed after the open Act of passed in 1862 to enable the President to secure gold coin for the protection of the government debt. In 1894 President Cleveland invoked its authority when he time and use of bet¬ have con¬ States the dollar inquiry involves preferreds, why not check with us first — see for yourself what we can do? next restraining busi¬ d i n g over-e xt e n statistics business ter this This will permit us to tion to of stocks. Standard Index happened what see us For the increasing business, able of the United In Enough variety BUT, we'd like even more SO, George Weiss activ¬ The availability example, under British law this power tractive selections for the most — Let the price unprofit¬ ity, up dustries charted. dictions of de-' weight. If for example the U.S. an ounce of gold is presently gold content of the dollar were to $35, parity of exchange; between be reduced by 50%, the price of the dollar and the pound sterling Preferreds ? ? ? tive minded show hearing the clining another 'were noticeable during this The production figures clearly for the few in¬ against 1944, as the compare prices with the The divergent trends of one past year. themselves. passu. at interesting to especially have been we - fluctuations in industrial produc¬ far the President under the temporary institutional buyer It is movement of stock industry as postwar a plateau relatively high com¬ a tion. a For achieving of wartime oper¬ nessmen Were today the pound sterling is de¬ the gold content of the dollar to fined as 2.48828 grams of gold and be reduced, the price of gold the price of an ounce of gold as would be raised automatically, 12.5 pounds sterling. Since in the gold be approaching the final may Divergent Trends of Stock Prices of level we pared to the prewar figure. go justment fol¬ lowing the high especially in the heavy industries, stages on economy failed which defines its currency gold in the United States. pari the accompanied by lower prices. This suggests that perhaps some further correction, with stabilization, that for some time to come will permit us to operate tude of caution, the exploring had why was the From United the another is dollar" States area. additional and business will have have been One of the ques- of weight or gold content of the dollar has remained 1934 of raised "Par Value of the Dollar" "The movement making to ations. provided that any adjustments in of the gold dollar by yields, were fine ." Process read¬ enacted not were experts current casts . stimulated The other day at lunch a group of business economists and finan¬ the weight in the in specific weights of gold, parity is the ratio of the two official prices . be Readjustment through prices of bull possible amelioration capital gains and dividend taxation, and SEC administration. of order, direct, declare, and fix the weight of the gold dollar to be 15-5/21 grains nine-tenths Since by resumption better political climate, with a rising proclamation, however, speaking sary in connection with the sub¬ gold nine-tenths fine in these ject of this article. Parity means words: equality of value, expressed in "Now, therefore, be it known terms of the monetary standard. I benefit of cial of that will investors weight of the dollar, the gold content of our monetary unit, remained un¬ changed. The departure from the gold standard and the buying of gold on the open market at everthe 1934, 30, interpreting and stretching exist¬ ing statutes and obtaining Con¬ gressional approval after the fact.2 an ounce tomorrow to pay $70 an ounce, the dollar would equal But policy may be changed over¬ 480 grains divided by 70, or 6.85 + night, while "limited" is not the grains of fine gold. It is possible for the Treasury same as "eliminated." The most to increase the price of gold while that the Treasury has stated about 1934 Throughout the actively ratified. followed reflecting market is Expects intermediate market purchases by fact of market's rise; legal price of gold was retro¬ Troy. The Troy ounce contains 480 grains. The gold content of the dollar, gold is $35 present-day pur¬ administrative actions justified by Act of 1945. Agreements the lawyer. no reply Bratter of legality be to Believes gold at premiums above gold coin—the price of therefore, is 480 grains divided by Had the ques- 35, or 13.71+ grains of fine gold. tio n been This is the gold content fixed by phrased d i f- President Roosevelt in his proc¬ ferently, the lamation of Jan. 31, 1934; the is the 1934 the asserts discounting events. surpassing the 1946 high and entering the 1920's boom Gold Reserve Act the of 9 chase of Jan. of reaction legality of In sections to the doing.1 as was months of Dollar" who writer has gold has been "limited" and it and of the "Can the Treasury what economist rather than the Administration raised the price of gold in the open mar¬ ket, despite some question in the Foresees Treas¬ above current rate runing out of funds should it buy gold of $35 per ounce. Market Tnomas Amendment May, 1933. Subsequently, tnat in President, to purchase gold at his discretion. ury tne Tracimg-with-theAct. Congress later en¬ steps taken when it the passed power, its rules was The Administration 1933. country of Well It that time at Answering question "Can Treasury Overnight Increase Price tive the of one standard. gold Now the question may be asked these —Are reflection price of movements developments a at- do they fore¬ leady behind us, tell to come? of things this At point, I examine all would like to traditional the belief Stock Market is the best that the of or business br1"'»metric tributed the This forecasters. quality sto.k generally at¬ price B luxa¬ tions is an and have been true in the era of completely urn e- old Wall Street adage m3y earner stricicd and non i egulated mar¬ kets. Perhaps tion Section 16'A and of the Securities & 16B Sec¬ Ex¬ change Act of 1934 discouraging purchases sales and by the so- called "insiders" has had its effect on the market's ability to prognos¬ ticate coming business events. any At rate, an examination of what has happened during the past few is most revealing. 1945, the last ;year of the the high point of '-he Federal years In war, Reserve Index of duction was and Industrial Pro¬ reached in January February with the figures of 234,236 respectively From that point, (corrected). production de¬ clined steadily, touching a low of Continued on page 38 Volume 171 Number 4870 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (57) 5 "A Steel The DEALER Production Observations Electric Output Carloadings Retail State of Trade BRIEFS ==s=ss find investors realize that the end may be Industry proaching to the unusually high available in good utility operating company equities. business has resulted in from emphasizing that utility stocks yielding 5% to 7% our area entirely out of line with the are company's same 3% taxable bonds below yield. a Arthur Nauman, McFawn & (formerly Co.). Cray, Nauman, Fawn & Mc¬ Total industrial production held com¬ The ' demand equities good for sound utility reasonably persists. Unlisted industrial equities have thus far failed to fully reflect the more optimistic feeling prevalent in locality, but we feel the dis¬ parity will be corrected in the early part of 1950.—Boenning & Co. Electric kilowatt output and freight adversely affected by holiday closings. * # note marked a Mutual small More investors of vantage vided End public interest in Funds. by and more taking are the ad¬ protection pro¬ well-managed Open- a Trust.—E. T. Andrews, Jr., E. T. Andrews & Co. Cleveland, Ohio Cleveland's of December, lack : trad i of tax curities. a n disappointed was the of good but years, month because selling in has source past fraternity g in This of the local always stocks, all tered business this year not reflected was working days, the Most gains during 1950 with Cleveland view optimism that has an not the total since the week with five the in Ward's to Automotive were cars and 1,130,500 con¬ years.—Morton A. units, consisting of 290,400 cars * * high note in the steel markets, "Steel," national metalworking magazine, states in its summary of latest news developments in this industry. Mill order backlogs are heavy, espe¬ cially in the light, flat-rolled products, wire and pipe. Ingot produc¬ tion is booming along above 93% of capacity. First quarter steel out¬ put should be among the largest on record. Consumer pressure for a few products is reminiscent of the shortage days of 1947-48. Upward reasonable are many and better today, both motive and I building industries. ratios of * The rate ment and offer the of income, best marked in the inflation hedge, —Otto era. Baum, Otto Baum & Co. With Pohl & Co. (Special to ihe Financial The same A of business incorporations new the third time this year that corresponding month aggregate has shown little varia¬ Corporations of incorporations exceeded those a year ago. stock corporations organized during the first This compared with 88,680 in corresponding 1948 period, or a decline of 12.5%. this for annual reports, goes * " D. GILBERT This stop-gap thesis seems to me to be both fallacious and dan¬ For the over-adornment of reports, their inclusion of irrel- gerous. evancies, their attempts at diversionary and misleading. creating folksiness, affirmatively are In thus pandering to the stockholders' any pangs of conscience which shareholders may harbor over their lethargy toward spending an hour a year in reading a report, or two hours in attending an annual meeting, to check on the enter¬ prise in which they have placed their good in a & 4% the and some preceding month, business failures reached November, the highest total since April, 1949, according to Bradstreet, Inc. Casualties were almost twice as numerous year ago The as from failure rate 20% below the level in 1939 and 1940. rose to 40 per 10,000 businesses in operation, shpwn by the Failure Index which extends the monthly rate to annual basis and an make time us skeptical bestirring over to take liabilities and the increase in the number failures reflects the fact that the sharpest rise is currently tabloid advantage of any their Concerns times failing with liabilities under $5,000 The rose effecting several this is the seriously needed slipshod and non-uniform dividend-basis; varying from A managements financial reforms. of method reporting the true to company, and from pub¬ company leading brokerage house tries to solve this by listing dividend payments in two ways—for the previous calendar year and for the latest 12-month period—but the process of osmosis through comparing the dividend reports publications remains the only effective Uniform dividend as tabulated in avenue reporting, and clarification mean open of what from company to company, a variety of to the investor. a "regular" which could be Continued on page of occur¬ to 203, almost number a year ago and the highest total since More than one-half the November casualties had liabili¬ Failures increased during the month in manufacturing, retailing commercial service; slight declines occurred in wholesaling and construction. Geographically the month's increase was OHIO—John concentrated E. Pohl STEEL OPERATIONS SCHEDULED THIS WEEK AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE EARLY MAY OF LAST YEAR & COi, Inc., Dixie Terminal Build¬ ing. The strain according to on "The management. in Iron the next decade will be terrific, Age," national metalworking weekly in its annual review number. Whether It's Hot it Or Gold Whether make good is beside the point. But when they do make good always means more taxes and more payroll, this trade paper adds. can The 1949 pension battle is only part of the welfare state idea. Management can cite statistics. It can use clear logic—and prove on paper that we are headed the wrong way. But for some reason or other these pleas fall on deaf ears. Or they are ridiculed. Or they are called reactionary. Or worse yet management is accused of trying to hold on to what it has. The only way out of It is hard Be sure read to Reporter's Report" "Our col¬ - The politicians and labor people know how to promise. they to this change is to beat. the tone of management's voice, contends "The Iron Age." umn every week in the "Chronicle" those going. > to see issues new ; how are : INVESTMENT Members New York Stock Yet what can industrialists do? They can only try to get their story to the public and to their employees. But in doing this they have to talk the language of the street and eliminate the pussyfooting attitude which in the past has brought nothing but gains for the other side. Continued on page •'! 39!. i > ■ ■ i; !,» - ». BANKERS Exchange and Other Leading Exchanges UNDERWRITERS AND DISTRIBUTORS OF INVESTMENT SECURITIES BROKERS Management may have to make as much noise as the politicians. It, too, will have to make promises, and may have to assume certain from Exemplifying ties between $5,000 and $25,000. and or overstressing of public-relations is further diversionary in drawing the attention of the nation's corporate their March, 1943. later rights ring in small casualties. three and press responsibilities. $23,894,000 in October $24,416,000 in the comparable month of last year. The decline in our the possibility of stockholders at themselves Liabilities fell slightly to $22,799,000 from and of reading-public's preoccupation with pink-pill journalism should and "extra" dividend adjusts for seasonal fluctuation. money. Picture Books No Cure for Laziness in the Middle Atlantic and Mountain States. CINCINNATI, af¬ viewpoint justifying lication to publication. Up Chronicle) Buse has joined the staff of child If this indeed be "spoon-feedingwhat firmative harm is there to it? Looking at the continuing popularity 11 months of this year came to 77,634. the fulfill¬ security in this postwar children. the "over-public relations-ing" in the current reporting by corporations to their shareholders on the ground of it serving as a harmless but useful "come-on" device, is widely held, we shall consider it rather fully. our seeking charters in November numbered 6,755, a drop of 1.8% below the 6,877 during October, according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. It was, however, up 5.3% above the November 1948 total of 6,413, and it security to equity which think we Since i * tion from month to month during the past four months. with various estate pills. minded too. A. Wilfred May -• ■ . listed and unlisted, railroad, util- ity, and real like educated easing There bonds be They must be bright and cheery—later we caii tighten up on the documents for the statisticallyj a adjustments, initiated in mid-December, have not been fully consumers but no sign had yet appeared to indicate de¬ mand has been adversely affected by the advances. On the whole, the outlook at the turn of the year is encouraging despite a measure Of uncertainty with respect to market conditions beyond March. Steel¬ makers' hopes for sustained demand and production are buoyed by promising prospects for continued high-level activity in the auto¬ as possibilities. than average yield re¬ you digested by are a believe price 835 constantly searching for good medium grade bonds with criticisms of current justified, I do sufficiently realize the extent to which stock¬ are allergy to factual information, management is measurably—wittingly or unwittingly—substituting distracting color and pictures for the quantitative information which is indispensable to the investor and to which he is entitled. The glamorous literature is destructive in Dun Cincinnati, Ohio interesting and important. your LEWIS 70,500 trucks, Ward's reports. opens on very of trucks. were ber output in this country to 360,900 Cayne, Cayne & Co. We some does not like bitter medicine; it is therefore.coated Reports, Model changeovers and the effects of the steel strike held Decem¬ and "Observations" in the "Chronicle" porting practice week prevailed in the past couple of . in This agency's preliminary estimate for 1949 places the year's vol¬ ume of plants in the United States at 6,249,400 units, of which 5,118,900 The in your (Dec. 22) While this higher trend is expected to hold up through February and March, with a leveling off in the second quarter and a sharp drop in the last half of the year. month. dealers May: today compared detailed accounts of the hap¬ than 100 shareholder meetings.) more Mr. in sugar According in was of which regis¬ substantial investors find, I s[: been disappointing. offsetting factor was strength in markets in local bank Dear loadings were likewise car (Sometimes called "America's annually furnishes to about 5,000 of such in¬ penings at holders must four * welcome the He terested not se- extremely A noted, the automotive industry the upward trend in production was continued at the year-end. In the latest week output showed a sub¬ Nineteen-fifty of Hartford we was In * Hartford, Conn. first time, it Mr.' Lewis D. Gilbert. trend of steel ingot production the past week was brought about by a curtailment in operations at the steel mills occasioned by the Christmas holiday. this For the Minority Stockholder Number One," Mr. Gilbert has become widely known through his representation, by proxy, of small stockholders at their companies' meetings. A reversal in the upward only preceding. affording yields steady the past week when the corresponding week one year ago. Unemployment, continued to rise moderately in scattered localities. tained Philadelphia, Pa. . Our stantial rise but it Company === preceding column, captioned "Must the Stockholder Be Spoon-fed His Company Information?" has elicited the following pared with the previous week, but it continued slightly below that for P. — . The Harm in Sugar-Coating Company Reports Business Failures comment from to ap¬ returns Good . J coming are By A. WILFRED MAY Index Detroit, Mich. We . Auto Production and J v.. Price Food i . Trade Commodity Price Index Private Wires OF • BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES Home Office: Atlanta • Phone LD-159 47 6 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (58) Thursday, January 5, CHRONICLE of Business and Financial Mr. Babson foresees but decline in business in 1950, some predicts there will be fewer strikes and fewer wage increases. Looks for fluctuating commodity prices, increase in Federal market will move in Holds stock retail sales. budget, and moderate decline in narrow range. tinue than that but of pork, dairy into preparation in die next crop ness although many schemes for detouring this law will be devised. of busi¬ total volume that for 1950 will be less than may and ness sufferer will be to for obliged It is hoped that all parties will begin to realize during 1950 that the real road to national bills, it seems that bad is through increasing production and greater efficiency. This is the bright light we see in labor troubles should the progress upset applecart. (2) all threats, labor situation. the Even with by consumers. (6) the pay too to the wageworkers and aid in ironing out the busi¬ cycle, but they will be paid helpful chief the be sick and other These will probably be benefits. will consumer for pen¬ for and/or sions innocent the will be companies big that sidering The great drive against the (5) 1949, due primarily to the un¬ fortunate labor conflicts. Con¬ of in for failure. Commodity Prices there wage in¬ creases Roger W. Babson dur¬ different groups ing 1950. On tions take minds the of both the and the management off their regular business. How¬ ever these negotiations come out, employees result •they standpoint in of a the loss from the country as a (3) will not be fewer extended nego¬ tiations which will in than 1949, are but there expensive very be less than for 1949. (10) Practically all retail prices in themselves. (4) The Taft-Hartley Law will throughout 1950, continue to stand will less in 1950 than in notwithstanding the excess average 1949, had they will American concerns, averaging less than in 1949. War III popular ernment be criticize the vast which the gov¬ to of crops owns is making loans or but this surplus in storage may failure but be harm¬ War Fear when ac¬ war price Over-all Federal and there be even may not taxes will not be increased during the some change much will there build one way (40) The less ance 000,000 being distributed as insur¬ refunds veterans to will be mostly spent. capital gains tax of 25% will remain un¬ the in creases and more "sales" will local be and reaching taxes many state for Market stocks will work during 1949. Stocks of companies during 1950 (31) ■ Goods up as known in with 1950 1949. during ..1950 making be consumer as and slackens due to a de¬ employment and other and companies labor-saving machinery popular than other railroads. or The investors wisest will fair amount of their funds liauid throughout 1950 pending the great break i" -^"k prices keep will be moder¬ 1950 should more may (33) in utilities industrials The dollar value of all re¬ sales stocks, the greatest demand. (32) There will be more invest¬ ment buying for income during Markdown sales will con¬ in inflation as have on ately downward, and the unit vol¬ ume of retail sales will also be a which will (22) crease Bonds bonds rate Foreign Trade bearing prices during same course, lower low coupon 1950, off in publicly in 1950 (42) There will not be much change in business rentals during 1950, but residential rents will average higher in 1950. Only as property granted high¬ owners are rentals er will there be more houses built for rental purposes. (43) Mortgage the same rates about interest will continue during 1949. 1950 during as (44) The growth in industrial pensions should help real estate sales in Florida, California, New Mexico and Arizona. General Business Many business the between during due labor selling during as the in¬ installation machinery saving prices 1949. Un¬ gradually will to point. much margin as and costs 1950 employment crease concerns sliding down break-even There will not be other 1950 (35) fading but,, of they will sell for much prices when money rates increase. the devalua¬ little and a building. toward High-graae taxable corpo¬ (34) (23) Our exports will be down during 1950 and our imports will be up during 1950 — comparing both with 1949. This will partly and of to causes. will see a further (46) Military preparedness will certain tax-exempt, continue to bolster general busi¬ ness and employment during 1950, but this is not a healthy develop¬ ment. TOJANN OUNCE THE Excluding government commodities, the physical Stock piles of manufacturers will rprnain about the same during (47) APPOINTMENTS HENRY BENSON THE VICE-PRESIDENT TO PLEASED ARE WE ASSISTANT / find their operations Less will be spent on new be accounted for by price. during (45) someday. come less in 1950 than in 1949. building and equipment by stores and factories during 19507 commu¬ private building. The cost of such financed and down in about the same range of forms Most (30) relief by other or sus¬ and, perhaps, up | building will decline Stock in¬ taxes, small but There will be some deduring 1950 in industrial and (41) crease There will be acreage 1950; large for demand Congress changed. (18) boom will not change {the quality of workmanship will price of gold during 1950. improve. There should be an in¬ (29) long-term The r-ates should continue at about the FOLLOWING in¬ farms, especially those lo¬ increase in the antici¬ to 1 reduced. construction nities, will hold nuisance taxes may be eliminated tail PLEASED to little be cated close to established pated Federal deficit the $3,000,- (21) WE ARE old and new farm during tenance will or the adjustments to encourage venture capital. Moreover, some of the (17) residential commercial 1950. In addition (28) re¬ - bonds government of other during 1950 factors. New York taxes save should continue well into 1950. for 1949. us Broadway to space down come Deficit Financing: cline 120 pulling by III, of will (27) The supply of money will be increased during 1950, but the spending Exchange throughout 1950 continue Taxes tinue Members New York Stock out¬ con¬ city prop¬ On the other hand, the con- Federal Budget will be increased during 1950 over that were Wertheim & Co. estate It should provide parking spaces. Owing to high costs and the fear of World some tually comes. comes. or war The (15) (20) has become associated with real available rental less clination to most-unobtainable great blessing when the next a counters will be of better grades in 1950 than they MR. RICHARD F. ABBE city short , is amount (19) that The structures assets mostly in natural resources, announce systematically staggered. caused r pleaded to maturities either • Retail Trade are are , to hold raising needed funds. We bond they war with Russia erty. during 1950. World | tinual movement out of our large sometime; but cities—in the interest of decenit will not start during 1950. traiization—may cause prices to Those in large, vulnerable cities soften. should use these years of peace to (39) There will continue to be get some small farm or country a fair demand during 1950 for home to which they can go in case suburban real estate with a shad¬ of war. Such places will be al¬ ing of prices for large places; but (26) will Farmers will continue to present subsidies. It (14) work their that due to ful to others. will watch see tinue to hold firm during benefit Poultry and dairy prod¬ especially increase in volume during 1950 with prices or We believe that the cost-of- (9) There will be fewer strikes 1950 This 1949. (13) ucts (16) We, therefore, advise going easy on inventories. 1950 is a time to get out of debt and stay out of debt. Speculation in com¬ modities should be discouraged in (8) living index has turned down for the present. The average for 1950 in than catastrophe. 1950. 1950. whole. 1950 The importance of diversi¬ (38) in of industries and of products, but altogether there will be a general lowering during the other hand, all labor negotia¬ ing will same policy which it followed look is uncertain. will competition from for¬ of raw materials manufactured goods dur¬ of the 1950 or pioducers and is¬ Federal Reserve during to more eign should fall off, barring weather, insect or blight crop Movements (7) few be will are progress interests American have products commodity prices during 1950 will vary with will (25) be fication will be given more atten¬ tion in 1950 and wise investors channels. trade to 1949. (37) ex¬ investments the considerable The general in our Hbusing new during 1950. (36) would be noticeable along foreign during 1950 than at the same time during 1949. The prices of these on, the which made, The supply of certain, vegetables and fruits (ex¬ citrus) should be greater some If the to Obligations continue direct legislation by the foreign country canned cept be empt from any new tax or other (12) (1) The will these of that such investments will be in 1950, get out of their surplus money savings, to investors. for more debt and put sued credits will con¬ be granted during 1950, some due Authority business firrris and government will get foreign governments to agree means average diversify bonds and by American lower prices wheat, corn, poultry, eggs and certain products. .Farmers should the on less be which 1949, BABSON By ROGER W. should Pound English Foreign (24) Outlook The total farm income for Ml) 1950 the of other foreign currencies. below. Farm Outlook for 1950 tion mentioned under 27-28 money and 29 1950 \ _—.— TO ANNOUNCE FOLLOWING HAVE BEEN PARTNERSHIP GENERAL THAT ADMITTED IN OUR FIRM: owned 1950 during 1949. as Politics HAROLD T. ASSISTANT MARCUS VICE-PRESIDENT RESIDENT MARGARET GUNDEL p. Clifford Mr. IN ST. OUR mcKinney LOUIS OFFICE ministration will continue to talk Gill Mr. W. Mr. ASSISTANT 1950 will be an election year. The Republican Party will remain in the doghouse. The Ad¬ (48) Clarke Simonds Ronald radically against Wall Street and so-called "Selfish Interests," but at heart the Administration SECRETARY IN RESIDENT OUR the PROVIDENCE OFFICE will ARNOLD M. COWAN HAS ALSO BECOME BEVERLY ASSOCIATED WITH RESIDENT US IN IN OUR HARTFORD (49) OUR MEMBERS: MIDWEST STOCK John NEW EXCHANGE YORK NEW STOCK EXCHANGE YORK CURB PROVIDENCE L. that 190O . NEW YORK 2-8244 its will be sympathetic to or¬ Lewis event, goes such a too man HARTFORD far. (ASSOC.) the of consent other ST. LOUIS In will be made the whipping boy, but - EXCHANGE I with prominent labor leaders. 232 S. BEVERLY DRIVE DIRECT BEVERLY HILLS/CALIFORNIA PRIVATE WIRES TO ALL OFFICES (50) The tions HAnover Its than ganized labor unless someone like Wm. E. Pollock & Co., Inc. Telephone: worse Administration The continue to ESTABLISHED 5, N. Y. far OFFICE HILLS, CALIFORNIA OFFICE. 20 PINE STREET conservative. fairly will' be bite. G. H. Walker & Co. NEW YORK be bark Louis Walker Mr. Telephone: CRestview 4-6308 JANUARY of Congressional 1950 will not Elec¬ change the 19SO political status of Congress to great extent. any Volume 171 Number 4870 THE COMMERCIAL 1949 Disposable Income and the & FINANCIAL greater than in the first was 9 months of 1948. Most of the in¬ however, crease, CHRONICLE into went in¬ (59) creased lieve the need for deficit financ¬ savings since personal consumption expenditures held close to the 1948 levels. ing. During 1949 we experienced a period of pessimism and fear . Business Outlook ; Savings posable (Billions) Income $82.5 $78.8 $3.7 45.1 46.3 —1.2 72.0 3.7 4.9 tory. Estimates surplus 188.9 178.1 10.8 5.7 178.7 14.8 7.7 that 1950 Goal 200.0 188.0 12.0 6.0 because by A Higher Standard of Living Can Make living to highest point in his¬ Possible Government for discretionary spending at four Concludes demand must be created It Balanced expenditures The Budgets third increased or which present high income, which at 2 xk over perous times prewar level of na¬ $230 billion. stands now vide over most pros¬ years posable of our taxes. jli)40 51/2 1929 and or times the would billion personal With posable over This $200 $200 income billion in of present prices would 1933, is basic a chal¬ to of power after for tures all goods could billion greater crease of about 6% a stand¬ diate ard living ican savings people. Only Johnson of can Let's look national markets with increasing ability to pro¬ duce, or can provide employment at satisfactory wages for our increasing by workers each A over be a ing national for at the income of fast in 1949 of Total 9 months almost of 1949 identical first 9 months of (1st 9 months (1st 9 months annual rate) war) and before of. t ciat the December American 1, are level derived came fr«m the % will high 29 8,113 18 4,528 ist they other ability did in never still our with applied out any toward an with and extra sales to a 5% and on the Income, business on of in the to 10% tures. This would certainly Continued re¬ the part of on page 42 sales Se¬ again MORGAN STANLEY & CO. the 011 living Savings 9 with crease and first dependent business that in an our in the ANNOUNCE THE ADMISSION OF activity. increase of standard corresponding a overall DUDLEY X. SCHOAI.ES of in¬ markets for AS A GENERAL PARTNER OF THE FIRM goods and services in the United months of States would result in adding 2 Wall Street, New York 5 January 1, 1950 January 1, 1950 \ pleasure in announcing the admission of the following as General Partners in firm: our We Henry Hornblower Ralph Hornblower, jr. 2nd BOSTON NEW the YORK take pleasure in announcing that following members of have been admitted Tristan Antell Joseph Gimma YORK NEW Harold F. Carter YORK to Mr. PHILADELPHIA Resident Harry W. Puccetti William J. CHICAGO Lawlor, our organization general partnership in our firm John L. Moore Partner, Empire State Building, N. Y. Mr. W. jr. CHICAGO Resident J. B. Smith Partner, Lancaster, Pa. Mr. Leroy Smith *£*• T~ 1T~T :! \ Resident Partner, 1 Allentown, Pa. HORNBiroVRRlS# WEEKS Established Members . 1888, Reynolds & Co. of the New York Stock Exchange and other Members principal Exchanges New York Stock Exchange 40 Wall New York-- -Boston Bangor, Me. Portland, Me. . Concord, N. H. Street, New York 5 Chicago Cleveland Providence, R. I. Detroit 120 Chicago. III. Scranton, Pa. Hartford, Conn. Springfield, Mass. Broadway ' Empire State Building Westerly, R. I. Representatives in Dubuque, Iowa New York Curb Exchange and other principal Philadelphia effort attitude Consumer Disposable personal income af¬ taxes of It is estimated Trends ter level ex¬ pre¬ production favorable government heavily of and power from on which words, are create history and justify the belief somewhere between $5 to $10 bil¬ lion to government revenues with¬ change in the tax struc¬ to elements purchasing productive as war 10 needed fundamental high our 43 living if make the small ad¬ effort demand. The 100% standard T>f our we profits, Social directly dependent of employment. In 223.4 Expenditures 1949 NEW further only 12,920 sales) 1950 our high level of production employment and to advance and ditional on pre¬ incomes business contributions revenues Conference We take tain re- 1948 19,003 a in come 223.5 Disposable City, Dec. 28, or (over 2V2 times pre- Marketing Asso- New York individual mostly excise taxes 10% curity 230.0 Johnson profits, personal taxes income and were 1949) Mr. Government sense, no 18% of government revenue was from indirect business taxes which the 5% by corporate from on employment \ rate) on came which, of course, depend almost entirely on the level of employ¬ Billions 1948 came mostly aver¬ 1948. . 1949 taxes 43% 39.6 address Federal $44,564 from 81.3 *An of , ment with year over 29% in place since 1940 in oiir national productivity and real purchasing power will indicate quite clearly that it will be possible to main¬ surpluses. income)- on ceipts of 441/2 billion dollars during Depression low (3% into is, but any unemotional analysis of the basic changes that have taken 1948, the last calendar year which figures are available, i Indirect business taxes (mostly excise taxes Social Security contributions- in Trends Last Goal In markets, applying an extra 5% to selling—selling now diction of events to consumption along with improved standards of living can operate quickly to change government „ (mostly Corporate profits taxes 1950 1940 1950 This in¬ income increased production and on GOVERNMENT RECEIPTS Personal taxes $12. as 1933 , An national Millions $87.4 annual government maintained. the level employ¬ (Calendar Year) along income Pre-depression high prewar reduced are: in¬ high level of Income national first aged ', 1929 but balanced budget. a FEDERAL potentials. Total 1950 income rate as conservative goal for a is '.he goal budget and a so — for $10 or 1949—an annual National million one oper¬ in deficits These to see what this means to market¬ year. conservative would now desir¬ based be can crease profitable income for increased exist effort that our growing labor force which balanced a the and business 1940. living provide the for of government ment bringing about And personal continue to accu¬ an the high a national for need we goods and services that will give consumers a higher standard of living — the delicate balance between prosperity or depres¬ sion can be swung to the side of prosperity in 1950. men¬ encouragement of in the imme¬ billion—over 4 times vancingstandard at acceptance that there seem to be only two alternatives offered for potential for increased could mulate ad- an 1950 There is fairly unfortunately for standards of living. of for the Amer¬ activity rarely consumer the services billion $188 higher H. Ameri¬ exceed pre¬ and than ously reach oC business ability of ating on by 60% and 1949 by 6%. Personal consumption expendi¬ en¬ climate general dis¬ correction courage, an d to work vigor¬ for, of the an favorable kets for business. after 1940 war lenge to busi¬ ness dis¬ 1950, the real purchasing can people tioned, is is and, hence, upon the standard of living of the people which .provides the mar¬ pro¬ of income depression low Arno not generally recognized completely government rev¬ enues depend upon a high level is taxes. to than ever, Now, more important more was basic recognition of the opportunities a of and alternative how provide market for greater output of goods and services. tional relating 193.5 year that any power. (1st 9 months annual rate) (1st 9 months annual rate) prewar of to The buying 1948 money times rate of decade ago. conditions Last 1949 only make possible balancing of government's budget, but will also give public real purchasing power of 60% 1940 and raise standard of 4.5% 1940 consumer expen¬ will not over heavy unemployment entirely unjustified by —2.7 75.7 an expectation of de¬ domestic markets and clining f/r of Dis¬ (Billions) Pre-depression high 1933 Depression low ditures, and savings trends during last two decades, predicts rise upwards to $230 billion in national income in 1950. Says this Personal penditures i 1929 Co., New York Market economist, analyzing national income, ' p along with Savings tion Ex¬ Taxes (Billions) By ARNO H. JOHNSON* Vice-President and Director of Research, Waiter Thompson ' ' ' Consump¬ After come J. Personal Disposable Personal In¬ 7 Philadelphia, Pa. Pottsville, Pa. Morristown, N. J. exchanges New York 5, N. Y. • New York 1, N.Y. Allentown, Pa. York, Pa. Bridgeton, N. J. Winston-Salem, N. C. Lancaster, Pa. East Orange, N. J. Syracuse, N. Y. Lumberton, N. C. 6 Thursday, January 5, FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & COMMERCIAL THE (60) 1050 Graham Walker With From attacks Coming from the sources licity than they seem to have try. of the "In reflect the York operating Douglas Walker has study recommendation for a view to evolving and carrying came transportation set-up with a unified transportation policy. unified recommendation, specific projects take into account the effect which a particular proj¬ ect might have upon other forms of transportation, but in general it is believed that this factor is not weighed in reaching a decision to rec¬ ommend of this particular waterway improvement. For the purpose a determine whether the anticipated report no survey has been made to of particular projects have actually materialized although general impression that in many cases the traffic which a less than that the waterway was far when the project was recommended." developed subsequently assumed Sawyer could Mr. traffic for which was on Line The The Panama have cited the New York State Barge anticipated at 20 million tons annually. highest it has ever handleH was 5 million tons, in 1936. Canal undoubtedly justified itself in World War II but it has never boon to American shippers. any 1950 Public the increasing trespass .upon Public stream for navigation. Thus TVA constitutional made was as tying by-product of making the a Navigation on navigable, and to control its floods. Tennessee river a Heaven knows how only at many millions of dollars have been thrown these waterway developments or are being thrown away on In the meantime, you have only to look at the present time. away present transportation costs to realize they have not come Nothing has been accomplished, in fact, except to advance the when down. the day Republican of the long pending St. Lawrence waterway- sponsors "self-liqui¬ Republicans did this with their tongues in their palatable by providing that tolls be charged to make it These because cheeks serious the project enthusiasts. thinks subject ever charge tolls has lost committed were the of student should they to In the fact, the and proper to And the charging of really self-liqui¬ Undoubtedly the St. Lawrence will be heard from sion at argument. at this ses¬ Another resolution authorizing it was introduced of Congress. the it would be likely kill the cheaper transportation would to charge them on other inland waterways, Mississippi, for example. dating tolls charged proposal among the festly, if tolls were to be charged on the St. Lawrence only fair be No waterway the innovation of tolls. Mani¬ support for the project They don't want to see budget. the that tolls would authorized. be cutting by 20 Senators and it is before a sub-committee last session The Senator plans to hold headed by Senator Tydings of Maryland. hearings in Whether the Senate will take action is the near future. The support project. proponents claim, however, to have picked up considerable companies which have heretofore opposed the The companies involved have gone along with the Hanna from steel interests of Cleveland, to develop the Quebec-Labrador ore about which so much has been heard. In fact heard that I had assumed the development was and was Executive rather amazed to learn recently so bring the held Washington, D. C. New to governors the these steel investing steel though, that if and when the Senate gets around companies will over the years more of an changed attitudes embarrassment to After all, the arguments they have against this costly proposition are still true. proponents than assistance. made prove to be elected represent districts where some will new Landreth Bldg., — Richter Scherck, — Meeting at Montebello, Quebec. Va.) Public Bro¬ Co., Wm. E. Pollock Go. Service Co.—Special survey—Ira Haupt Co., Ill Broadway, New York Appoints Officers 6, N. Y.; E. Pollock Wm. "Water & Power Co.—Memorandum—Boenning & Pennsylvania 1606 Walnut delphia 3, Pa. Co., I. for du Street, nounces Phila¬ Harold & that T. & Co., Inc., 20 New York City, an¬ Pine Street, Henry Benson and have been ap¬ Marcus pointed Assistant Vice-Presidents, and Margaret Gundel. ^Assistant Secretary. Arnold M. Cowan has become associated with the firm 1950—Discussion Pont of the Na¬ Security Traders Associa¬ tion at the Cavalier Hotel. St. Louis 2, Mo. England Convention Annual tional & Co., / 1 York 5, N. Y. available is a brief analy¬ Wall Street, New Also Club, Seigniory in the office, sis of Pullman, Inc. Beverly 232 South California Beverly Drive. Hills, also will take office at governors the The occur. the Los Angeles Industry Gas Natural chure Feb. 26-27. —Francis on are of Canada 34th Annual 640 Company, 208 Chicago 4, Zippin & Prospects annual meeting. Mr. Sullivan, is ver, native of Den¬ a own business Sullivan & of owned his He under the from Co. NSTA Notes of name graduation 1, 1946, when his firm until Nov. with consolidated Loughridge Chanute, Bosworth, form degrees with LL.D. and was of Regis Col¬ graduate a Denver, lege, Bosworth, to Co. & Sullivan CINCINNATI STOCK At Co. & Club at a & BOND CLUB, INC. The Cincinnati Stock and Bond week, the following officers were elected to serve during meeting of the Trustees of 1950: Mr. Sullivan became President this that time. is He director of the Fiducial a and Corp. of Chamber Denver Commerce; Past Chairman of the Rocky Mountain Group of the In¬ Bankers vestment former was served Committee. Code No. 3 of the NASD in the to 194-3-47. He Denver Denver, Denver Country, He District of Chairman as a the Investment member of a Association; of the IBA, and governor Bankers Mile Athletic, High and Rotary Clubs of Denver and Attic Club of Joseph H. Vasey Harry J. Hudepohl Fred H. Becker Paul W. Glenn Chicago. Eustis & Co. Westheimer & Co. Vice-President—Fred H. Becker of Field, Richards & Co. President—Joseph H. Vasey of George Robt. H. Glemence With R. L ated with Church merly L. Street, Haven New ence R. has an — become Day & He Robert associ¬ Co., 215 as manager office. of the was for¬ officer of Gaynor, Clem¬ & Co., Inc. 2nd Vice-President—Harry J. Hudepohl of Treasurer—James F. HAVEN, CONN. Clemence 1st Secretary—Paul W. Glenn of Edw. Day & Co. NEW H. again to debating this hearty perennial that the of Hotel, Shoreham the in of¬ take meeting to be annual pretty well underway that the Maybe first whether the waterway will be authorized to guess, officers will new at deposits much has been the ore into this country. It is my ,-Wallace H. Fulton, NASD, Washington, D. C. companies have four years in which to take up their options. they want to see ^Director: Dealers Association Sept. 26-30, 1950 (Virginia Beach, — New Bostdh Corp., Pittsburgh. belongs problematical. Ker- S. Davidson Herron, Treasurer: the First Co., III. Co., San Francisco. A.B government has to take over the railroads. hydroelectric project, sought in the 80th Congress to make it more dating." & vacancies the Tennessee is a joke. Francis Weld & Co., New York; Eaton Taylor, Dean, Witter Field (Canada) 5-8, 1950 June ^outh La Salle Street, White, The by dum ■ Investment In Oil—Memoran¬ Eagle Mexican for ^ . Vice-Chairmen: nan, . Private; Utilities the Bosworth, nominated were: years plant onto the development of a Power the • of EVENTS Broad 14, Calif. Co., Denver. officers Other the waterway enthusiasts have been joined by fice Power advocates who seek to justify the government's recent In & Sullivan South Spring Street, Mr. Sulli¬ announced. President is van Dealers, Securities of was Staats R. New 10, N. Y. COMING Radio Corp.—Analysis Hoffman Offers Park, Gramercy 60 York Investment —William Fund Balanced a bot, 111. been of the National As¬ Governors Inc. it benefits from is has Denver What —Floyd D. Cerf, Jr., Co., Inc., 120 South La Salle Street, Chicago 3, nominated Chairman of the Board sociation recommending whether the engineers (Army) in "It is not clear of 806 Co.—Circular Products Gerber Moreland, Avenue, Houston 2, Tex. Corp.—Circular 30 Co.—Circular— & You—Designed to develop leads for salesmen—Henry Ward Ab¬ Industry—Anal¬ Stern, & Con¬ 465 Co., Utilities Mosle Rotan, Rusk Street, New York 5, N. Y. WASHINGTON, D. C.—John J. Sullivan Commerce Sawyer, pressing this in part, as follows: Secretary of Lomason—Memo¬ Securities Corp., Enamel •Herzfeld Office Street, Portland 2, Maine. Maryland Railway. Ferro Securities Texas Co.— Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Western a wrote to the President, been associated become Post 10 Shops—Circular— Saco-Lowell Maine ysis of factors affecting the out¬ look—Eastman, Dillon & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y. Also available is a study of As NASD Chairman commission's the of Out there Graham that announce retain. the traffic they a change, Sullivan Nominated sidized Refining & Entertainment transportation medium is with the firm. Mr. Walker for¬ seldom a consideration. Neither is any consider¬ merly was with the National ation given to the question of whether the water¬ Quotation Service. way, instead of proving a benefit, does not work Bar*eron a harm on existing transportation facilities. The railroads, for example, losing traffic to a sub¬ waterway, have to make up the loss by increased costs on Carlisle out Ill Walker Graham total need and randum—Aetna Co., Square, Boston 9, Mass. gress Oil & —Lerner * * & Co., 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. a as 4, N. Y. Danciger Savings accrue to the shipper, but from national viewpoint the economy of water trans¬ waterway Booklet recording Analysis—Goodbody carrier pays only the transportation cost and remaining cost is borne by the general tax¬ a Riverside Cement Co.—Analysis Industrial Counter — * payer. for - Bureau, Inc., 46 Front Street, New and not the cost of providing The user of the subsidized water¬ portation is illusory since the balance of the cost is met by the non-shipper." This report also pointed out that the the - 10-year performance of 35 indus¬ trial stocks—National Quotation rates transportation, owning and cost of the equipment the Over Stock Index Hoover Commission on Government. It said: water of case only the of the waterways. way of the Force Task a sharp, authoritative waterways in this coun¬ they did, they deserve more pub¬ gotten. First, there was the report Reorganization a firms mentioned will he pleased interested parties the following literature: send to two been have willy-nilly development of the on there months recent It is understood that the CARLISLE BARGERON By In of the Neivs the New York Stock Ex- of bers Recommendations and Literature McManus &• Co., mem¬ Joseph Ahead Dealer-Broker Investment Joseph McManns Co. Washington Brockhaus & Co. Moriarity of W." E. Hutton & Co. following trustees were elected to along with the retiring President: Fred H. Becker of Field, Richards & Co.; Paul W. Glenn of Edw. Brockhaus & Co.; Paul Hood of Seasongood & Mayer; Harry J. Hudepohl of Westheimer & Co.; Robert A. Jameson of Pohl & Co.; James F. Moriarity of W. E. Hutton & Co.; Jack H. Neumark of Middendorf & Co.; Chas. H. Snyder of J. E. Bennett 8c Co.; Joseph H. Vasey of George Eustis & Co.; Robert Weiss of Weiss, Work & Co. > At serve the annual meeting the for the coming year Volume 171 Number 4870 THE too are see Markets Whyte to I of appearance gen¬ point to decline. Continued up I should devote suppose that I I'm what the market will do and the reasons, if any, it. to Over period of weeks the downside it has remained this ❖ method a crossed the 31 sell * sjs should be held. nor make the do I try to. of the market top me When too full of is so, the cycle seems pitfalls. If that the market; times the market goes More next The some¬ [The * ❖ only stock The Financial Chronicle) Calvin G. Heisler has been added to the staff of Boettcher & — Co., 828 one ScLwanz Co. Adds no (Special to The Financial Chronicle) AURORA, ILL.—Harold added to the staff of Schwanz Co., & National Bank Thursday. Inc., Merchants Building. article you are still higher long of is Denver Rio Grande. views do With Merrill Lynch Firm Whyte. in expressed (Special this not necessarily at any time coincide with those of the Chronicle. They presented as are those of the autnor only.} The to Financial BOSTON, MASS. Chronicle) — dar, taxes, bills and Beane, 10 Post Office Square. only lot of a * mail from people I v? 4c(>t»VV never $8$ II1 •• heard of. Maybe all that adds ({ to up / 'i 'iC-tS * " * < * to I as But come. • jLh ..j .. r try as might it doesn't add ' to anything I can lean on. up v- 1IS8PST - good forecast for the a months hard >• , * j'Jji wk T <fZ V ^ s< ;t . v. v In the week next see reams space given and anything I would be add ' * K£ < g pslfesi! - thing one ' t can you weeks to the come big winds will blow out of Wash¬ ington with vengeance. a You'll hear about our foreign policy, the tax structure, civil liberties, Taft-Hartley ad nau¬ There'll seam. interpretations they'll make stock be so this dizzy. you The still market, the sensitive all, react will big it knows way how. ❖ * From ❖ where I the sit breezes blow in all directions. main This be to seems current, south, doesn't however, or mean down. that the whole market structure is the verge Willi I.II The 1916. INC., is in inter-city mileage of SOUTHERN EXPRESS, equivalent to a trip around the world every 14 hours. That one statement affords a rough idea of the scope of Southern Express' operations. But it lacks a lot of telling the whole story. IV 14 HIIH11S of collapse. on There a carrier in Texas, Southern spectacular growth. 500 units of modern now Paso and some 200 other lully equipped shops, and a large terminal freight handling facilities. Also, new freight terminal facilities have recently been completed in St. Louis, Oklahoma City, Tyler and operates over a vast area ex¬ Austin. in points in Texas and While Orders Executed 1 on are terminals new and Kansas connected Express handled 318,701,000 pounds compared with 163,012,000 pounds in published for And Line"". continues to more on than ten years Southern stales. economic development Schwabacher & Co. DALLAS the welcome South the company's private wire system. opportunities to company contribute by supplying capital funds to by Equitable concerns to the in the further sound enterprises. NASHVILLE Members of will a expand. Corporation featuring outstanding industrial and commercial Equitable by under construction All that sound foundation the Securities Pacific Coast Exchanges are City. pursuing an aggressive policy, Southern Ex¬ is ever faithful to its motto, "The Reliable This is another advertisement in the series Securities as And Houston terminals In 1948 Southern freight, New New York Stock Exchange KNOXVILLE York Curb Exchange (Associate) Francisco Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade EQUITABLE BIR MIN'GHAM San 14 Wall Street New York 5, COrtlandt 7-4150 Private Wires N. Y. NEW ORLEANS MEMPHIS to Principal Offices San Francisco-—Santa Barbara NEW YORK HARTFORD CHATTANOOGA GREENSBORO Securities Teletype NY 1-928 Brownlee O. Corporation AND 'JACKSON. MISS: Currey, President Monterey—Oakland-—Sacramento Fresno—Santa Rosa 322 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE 3. new gen¬ mechanized press of program prepara¬ eral offices, with Oklahoma, Pacific Coast aggressive company is engaged Just last month Southern Express moved into its headquarters, comprising air conditioned tending from south Texas to St. Louis and Kansas City. Regular daily schedules connect St. Louis and Kansas City with Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Dallas, Ft. Worth, Tyler, Houston, Waco, Austin, San Antonio, El this now Dallas as an intra¬ Express has enjoyed The company equipment And a thoroughgoing modernization tory to a still greater volume. Organized in February 1946, primarily state The THE them these to only AR□ IJIVII most of barometer breezes the many all of TWO WALL ft w a •••.<-. §a a jj of and that is that in sure the .. So 1- There's be a . ■ . yiyj# meaningless. * . x-} :%> this to : - ? > to business forecasts. can v so - of newspaper over industrial or < ®s® X=>VV, you'll Evelyn B. Biddle has joined the staff of Mer¬ rill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & calen¬ me—a new E. Cos¬ ter has been for doing a new year means thing to Seven¬ teenth Street. Unfortunately the begin¬ ning of . to is that sell¬ answer * (Special DENVER, COLO. further additions to be made —Walter getting's good. Sometimes I'm are to to the list at this writing. in, I get out when the ing is called for. of There 9 With Boettcher & Co. figure. On look may Buying stocks at this stage however, repeat, can't to the New Year; space Up to this writing it has not for. long of stocks and want ahead some of one while I preach caution. have to cash caution advised. I That is (61) speculation calls # ing strength, signs continue eighth, eral sold. CHRONICLE bad. comfortably above the 263A I know all this is becoming Yet, I prefer it when viewed stop point. So long as it stays over a long term. between those two figures it monotonous. The market's go¬ WALTER WHYTE Despite FINANCIAL the chances immediate break. ❖ I Says— L=By any & strong under¬ after I've many pinnings still present to fore¬ Tomorrow's Walter COMMERCIAL STREET, NEW YORK 5. . . 10 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (62) CHRONICLE Thursday, January and the balance in Harris, Upham Opens Acquires Eastern Pennsylvania Site BOSTON, MASS.—Harris, Up¬ & Co., members of the New ham have ad¬ mitted C. Handasyde Whitney and Geoffrey G. Whitney to limited partnership, and will occupy the offices of Whitney & Elwell at 30 State Street to carry on the busi¬ in by that formerly conducted ness firm 'has which T. William dissolved. been will become Whitney of the Boston office and associated with it will be Leo E. manager Quinn and E. Harold NfcDonough. We solicit inquiries in Altoona & Logan ol last year, a Corp. Pittsburgh, U. S. Steel's largest whose York, dropped use as site for a Sea¬ Eastern an reports, tracts of varying sizes were bought by the real estate division of Pennsyl¬ vania Railroad from private own¬ have and the approximately total square consolidated been six-mile being now C. President Cox, American Cone & Pretzel acquisition, "the A. B. Farquhar operating and maintenance em¬ ployees. The present contract expires Feb. of not has thorized." It such yet been known Steel STREET . 10 last been has ment site tract considered is Refusing to this deal in demands. and that increasing Pennsylvania Water have operated Steel's The Common Stock River ware and extends It Request Pa. NEWBURGER Steel close from across south Dela¬ of sources to say of as 3,500 to Car¬ homes would new directly Stock Exchange cruing and to permanently the we to more 1342 STREET WALNUT quick were from 7 PHILADELPHIA at cated ac¬ Pennsylvania benefit Telephone KIngsley 5-4500 plants large Morrisville, the year to 1942." however, disagree. Aside increase, wage plan pension substantially proposed from development. A for conditions working various' categories including increase in the differential in an for work night hour; to 10 cents day increased elimination operation. The and pay one-man 30- pay; severance siek-leave of an increase of uniform al¬ an lowance from $37.50 to $50; car claims union demands will cost $21,000,000 and that funds to meet them are just not company fingers, what are sounds broken the Cambridge Bldg. 3s 1953 N. E. Walnut & Juniper Common Pittsburgh Hotels Common be proceeds with riders, crossed again listening to suspiciously like a A applied The as to the por¬ tion of plans which will approval retirement. as maintenance Division well of a large steel plant would require not the of the Public Utilities SEC. plan provides for a from of Teletype Underwriters in 1900—on beef and pie, game Phila. Transp. Wks. cake, pudding Kilowatts" "Acres of Pfd. Boenmng draws & attention of stock Power the to common Pennsylvania Water & Co., a seasoned and welloperating utility pres¬ situated undergoing the administered by ently lumps eral are pain of Fed¬ the Commission. Power rates too high," PHILADELPHIA be may for converting gasoline in the "For the present, at least," huge of reserves available gas cheap are seven days interference are natural which freely he at-, more a allowed week a national' by unions." * * $ Quickies Follansbee Steel Corp, of Pitts¬ burgh has sold its Toronto plant equipment to Kovalchick In¬ and dustries, Inc. Price not disclosed. hit Hard earnings by of the steel strike, Steel Lukens Co., Coatesville, Pa., for the fiscal year ended October about 30, $5 expected to are share per com¬ '. ' don't panies rate entitled to return of replied agree," the "After all, utility com¬ are vested in will earn the on fair in¬ a money the point in court." our litigation is the jnudently d'hddend share, the In on. thorized indebtedness 000.000 to Dillon $4 the if FPC the plans where it the American sticks. hard for even Pennsyl¬ 6%, isn't which too Quaker to take. a twist is & has down to Co.'s under operates costs under Balti¬ of terms the of call a & on Power to par its Tel. & H: parent, for $25,- Tel., * * has approved proposal of Pennsylvania Gas & Electric Corp. to liquidate in compliance Public the Utility Holding Act. * * :!: Pittsburgh Consolidation Coal has Co. acquired acreage esti¬ mated to contain 97 million tons recoverable of coal its from largest stockholder, M. A. Ilanna Co. of volves an Cleveland. about The deal in¬ $6,000,000, mostly excharige of securities. Armstrong $6 per share, compared with $7.54 reported in 1948. * Kellett the Pennsylvania Co. Dow Jones estimates Corp Co.'s 1949 earnings at about which on power dividends common, sold are contract a Gas Consolidated Penn¬ 250,000 Pennsylvania that Power of issue 000,000. Co. order stock yields tax-free, vania be to with per selling, tax sinking Co. to additional $100, reflect¬ reduction in dividend, pius year-end $5,- Eastman, offer to Telephone shares ing the effect of decreased reve¬ nues Co. au¬ com¬ from $12,000,000. & Bell $2 to latter figure in debentures. fund annual its have increase an pany's SEC quite company reduced from Stores, Inc., Phila¬ stockholders plant and equipment. We prove The Fair Food delphia, "Your phia. under since vision make a * * Aircraft new Co., Philadel¬ federal court super¬ October, 1946, effort to reorganize will under the Chandler Act by merg¬ ing with Central Aero Supply Co., Camden, N. J. the have expense against earnings of and are a charge income taxes, interest on Partnership Changes in E. R. Jones & Co. LIBRARY—For teen 9 ate^ ALLENTOVN • PITTSBURGH NEW YORK SCRANTON • & BALTIMORE, MD.—E. R. Jones Co., 221 East Redwood Street, members of the Philadelphia-Bal¬ timore mitted John Lewis Bites Hand Incorporated - - Incorporated Chicago into sylvania "We STROUD & COMPANY PEnnypacker 5-0100 Boston basis in Standard Jersey a gas said, "this looks like in effect, said (AAA) and dividends on its junior securities, all of which are of investment caliber. Yipe! Bought—Sold—Quoted New York the New the Texas oil fields. the FPC. Federal Wood Steel Pfd. 1528 Walnut St., Philadelphia 2 that Library year. arresting title, Co., Philadelphia Consolidated Com. E. H. Rollins & Sons at with of as equal senior to the Baltimore company's Wood Steel Common (Alan) Co. natural its bonds (Alan) so •1' Under the above ating" Com. Com. & is^ supply unique position of being an oper¬ City Elec. Com. Richmond Cedar Johnny salad, cost indicated conjunction did cocktail, mushrooms, potato green mate¬ raw a the sums which pared with $7.58 for the previous Water Atlantic fact coffee. and Thus; Common Merchants Distilling the output not sold to Electric Co., Penn¬ sylvania Power & Light .Co., Met¬ ropolitan Edison Co. (Reading) and the Pennsylvania Railroad. Distributors Phenolic Suffi¬ group. string beans, entire and COrtlandt 7-6814 Amer. industry seafood great future and developed the of notation is are would person as the Love without near¬ Philadelphia N. Y. Phone , this Consolidated, has Bldg. Philadelphia PH 375 remarkable for more Exchange Mr. process to flow replete with the achievements this bad unreliable." age in landing The annals of American are pany Stock when indefinite so venture a a rela¬ things investing first du Ponts. with Samuel K. Philli rial so re¬ probably the lowest of any utility in the area. Moreover, the com¬ Whitehall Cement Com. Phila.-Bait. the of sane tied to coal ly 80, celebrated the 150th anni¬ Water Transportation Co. Packard the of family, ranging versary labor these in of present tractive venture because there year-aiul-a-half to a The Issues Members from 1., Eagle. members brought total $23,000,000, represented by less than $17,000,000 in cash The of by Central RR. of N. J. Interest Ctfs Phila. of its Railways Co. and underlying companies was in December, by formal Pittsburgh Co., debt 632 meantime, Reorganization step toward comple¬ reorganization Warner initial construction future Rwys. further marked, from Newport, R. of money was in Gardens, Chester County, Pa., record. Pitts. to sale by landed On New Year's Day, at Longwood So 55 sold American ship company. available. tion of the land included in the was of used the requests and in changes lo¬ stands Dines Victor, and the union is demanding an improved and central-mix with concrete I. at cient Railroad, Warner Co., producers of sand, gravel Dynasty America our asking are officials, Streetcar Aside from increased business Exchange meet to will PTC Company and their families. ' Stock Exchange dream Oil l.n. the year 1800, Pierre Samuel du Pont de Nemours and his two E. Under the of none type cheap coal assurance supply. possible. No be referral to the balls, have to be built to house workers Members that itself of its traction holdings. sons, this have tions in the industry are bankruptcy court for a hearing effectuating order. Comple¬ tion of the Pittsburgh Railways system reorganization is a step to¬ ward, rather negation of, the ex¬ isting SEC order under which Philadelphia Conrpany must di¬ A to circumstances, The next step toward final con¬ vest of complete a regular SEC by Jan. 15. summation will have and to be filed with the are plant a would Division's the it would facilities the What rebate for tax Morris- dollars the roast a billion a to in addition is to receive $1,000,000 Trenton from cessful, system that they dined again as they negie-Illinois' Homestead plant outside of Pittsburgh. Possibly as many & COMPANY Philadelphia-Baltimore the of certain get $4,500,000 out of its recent fare increase and parallels the main duplicate Curb side the along "The major steel plant would involve the di¬ rect expenditure of many millions of dollars as well as furthering the industrial development of the cost York lies construction area. York in well afford can won't amount than $3,000,000 all told. line Pennsylvania Railroad and may also be served by deep-water cargo ships. BOENNING & CO. New position strike any certainly of the The New S. to weaken U. site new vilJe. Philadelphia 3, freight rates competitive Pennsylvania on mill the Eastern markets. & Power Co. Memorandum the findings nowned discuss wants to bargain fairly. The pany PTC at into went said: "We can close two days if the com¬ Quill plans, pur¬ foregone a FOB which fares effect last October. an of Exceptions This reached. was of steel sold compromise followed by a higher sched¬ conclusion. It is pointed out that is hour - 8- an ule the this for Subsequently an - agreement paralyzing 10- a was in for for reach to agreement au¬ the develop¬ and years of the pose looking Seaboard Eastern failed cent steel a to up day strike. that well is line negotiations car¬ the final dead¬ year, on to securities. 1950. and resulted in the steel circles, however, that U. S. HERBERT H. BLIZZARD & CO. 10, Last Car¬ emphasized building mill Roberts & Mander of 12-cents-an-hour a increase for the 10,500 PTC wage trans- in discussing list of 14 other union a is parent, plant will close this week, George A. Love, President of Consolidation, said: "To be suc¬ and is demands ried R. an table. Heading According to ferred. LOcust 7-6619 town last "or else" pack¬ the on ference board steel mill." negie-Illinois, CHESTNUT into Philadelphia Trans¬ portation Co. union-company con¬ age and left The c o m p a ny. Co., guarantees Transport 30 miles northeast of Philadelphia, "for possible future County, Riverside Metal 1421 Michael J. — ubiquitous President, of Workers Union, CIO, headquarters are in New Quill, reorganized in an economical basis. receive 50.9% of the new stock will be relieved of its week into Valley over PHILADELPHIA for coal, particularly converting coal to gasoline on and subsidiary, announced that it was taking title to 3,800 acres in Bucks ers American Dredging for progress week Carnegie-Illinois Steel * Spot Again on the Philadelphia * :!: PTC Following Exchange, com¬ pany's products. piecemeal acquisi¬ tions of acreage which have been Stock the of quantities large U. S. Steel markets mortgage Pennsylvania Brevities Office in Boston York new 5 % first bonds, to be distrib¬ uted to public security holders, together with 49.1% of stock in 1950 5, LANCASTER the past thir¬ months, a pilot plant oper¬ by Pittsburgh Consolidation Coal Co., has functioned around-the-clock effort to find schedule new on an Exchange, have ad¬ Donald Arthur Peek to general T. partnership and William Bunting to limited partnership. Edgar M. Everton has retired from the firm. an in Stock commercial G. Melvin become Readmond associated with has also the firm. Volume 171 Number 4870 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE of Strong Economy, Chief Weapon Branch In War strength, lais end. Cites neglected economy and points out need for reducing Federal and revising We our hear much about country strong and keeping for mies the up of ideas an army, while and ing scientific research. creased, our the resources will have reestablish finances a petition this on other paredness, countries must be eco- nomically and f'inanci ally strong. No country ever ed Wright t has succeed¬ in i a n maini n olace first-rate power without in economic as the and its g back it up. A casual around the world at the decline of first-rate powers to sec¬ ond and third positions, even of glance victorious that countries, these caused will show have declines been largely by economic and mismanagement. Maybe financial the wars tor in were an important fac¬ depleting their Restoring the position countries not as seem major resources. of these powers does without possible first restoring financial and industrial strength to back up military pre¬ paredness. History will .back up the statement that first-rate mili¬ tary preparedness depends dustrial and financial for its support. ness in¬ on prepared¬ It is, there¬ fore imperative that we, in the United States, realizing our posi¬ tion and obligations in world affairs, take the necessary steps country strong eco¬ nomically and industrially in order to have the military preparedness to keeo to out our obligations in of another world emergency. case How Strong Are Defenses? It is well-known a United States industrial leads fact the production the world countries want the products of free enterprise system in our such large quantities that we are un¬ able to supply them and they are unable from to buy all the products they want because that us they do not have enough dollar exchange. This is called a "dollar shortage," when all it really that the rest of the world does not produce enough goods to sell us to buy from us the prod¬ ucts they want. This condition is further aggravated means is by and inflated depreciated currencies, and restrictions preventing the balancing of prices and costs in trade free pends multilateral exchange mar¬ kets. We will strengthen our in¬ dustrial and economic position by helping other countries restore of their are spending many billions of dol¬ lars to maintain obsolete defenses and antiquated practices which will be of little com¬ economies Whether of their that production in materials fenses in depend. case they may buy from us and countries, and pay for what they buy. We will not strengthen our of position, however, nor that the countries we are trying to giving away our re¬ piling up debts on the American taxpayers unless the help, by and sources countries necessary we are steps helping take the put their fi¬ to production nances. and trade sound, balanced condition dicate used are production, restore can meet markets. period of aid of the If, our billions in and free In increase domestic lend-lease to other of the and gift countries which of future de¬ our will wars Secretary Johnson's sug¬ that all government need Every patriotic ex¬ reexamining. citizen will sup¬ productive and the and The and useful elimination unproductive defenses of all tures of is funds. an military our emphasized waste of use importance of such ination that for the most money exam¬ the succeeding war has al¬ ways been fought with new and improved weapons and the weap¬ ons of past wars have become less The ample Federal of ernment. civilian ernment payroll is an over-inflated our ex¬ gov¬ In December, 1932, employees of the gov¬ were 563,805. In April 1948, the number of civilian em¬ ployees stood at 2,050,420. The overlapping bureaus known. that this of and the of budget the includes in be terprise- helping needed Three years after the war the federal world almost $40 billion, and was present $43.5 1951 year's billion. is about Before eral lion. debt is well War less was 1, our than After World War I reconstruction is about estimate ' for $45 billion. World debt outlay The reached loans, and the total a Fed¬ $1 of economy bil¬ our Federal $26 bil¬ At present our Federal debt estimated at $255 billions, and the deficit is expected to carry the debt this year to $260 billion. It is interesting to point out in connection with there Federal our penditures that Branch in the ex¬ Executive of the is government alone, employee for every taxpayers in the United one 21 income States. be little doubt can For every large number of civilian should wealth functions departments There employees who second lion. useful. employ¬ only $4 billion. fact each useful war expendi¬ by of Three years after the first world our federal budget was this dollar of every number ees. as many people productive to United en¬ produce to the for 9.3c for is paid out 18.3c is paid housing and Every time the clothing. the pay dollar earned in the States, '31c in taxes, while only for food, 13.8c for Continued on page 14 we sources of weakness that should not be neglected. Our Federal debt is too large. It is equal to $6,000 mortgage of a on Our market money prices than more home in America. every and Privilege of Immediate Payment bond rigged. We do not free money market. There are have a is no such at the price of 1% thing To the Holders of AS! earned capital as 2% in or a free market at today's costs and prices. This is a maladjustment in the cost or which ing interest rates and ment in readjust¬ a 5% Gold Debentures Due 1958, 1963, 1966, the prices of capital with effort any to return to sound money. Our money is inconvert¬ ible and our currency and bank deposits of the on inflated far in are needs for any of excess the country. high and as a result venture capital for produc¬ tion purposes is almost impossible Our to taxes obtain. As scarcity of evidence money empJoyrrvent in of in July, reasons for various types and the giving the: against holding tures assets of issue the spending by indi¬ units with of savings hereof, stocks; 92% bonds and bank common A discussion in of taxes as economic our defenses be separated from the other industrial and financial fac¬ cannot tors in the of fhe strength and weakness Taxes economy. major factor. are will be undermined. and undermined, debts, past employment needed and up our operating with us, are below. defenses In a Commission at Ownership certificates should President pro Senate and the the Sneaker other es¬ present of gressmen listed pre¬ principal must be accompanied by instruments of assignment in blank where payment to anyone than the registered holder is desired. CITIES SERVICE COMPANY By: W. ALTON JONES January 3, 1950. President the of administration, coupons the the House, include leading officials in the all proper were President, tempore accompany Or¬ on bers of the Commission who by their respective offices \ ■ ganization of the Executive Branch of the Government. Mem¬ appointed to March 1, Debentures registered as to weakened. July, 1947, the Congress of Debentures due 1963 and (including interest of Debentures due 1969. sented for payment. co¬ Reducing Federal Expenses tablished case respective Trustees of such issues obligations for supply the money build case may sur¬ render their Debentures with all unmatured coupons attached to the are our defenses of countries 1950, respectively) in Holders of the above issues who desire to avail themselves of the our and to the on presentation and surrender of the Debentures privilege of immediately receiving the redemption price, capacity to col¬ our meet wars 1950) in When lect taxes, make payments upon proper Debentures due 1966, and to $1,065 out of production by discouraging investment in venture capital, production and employ¬ ment their Company, however, is giving to holders of each right to receive immediate payment and has accordingly and March 1, a If taxes drive cap¬ ital production on redemption price consisting of Debentures, the premium due thereon and the accrued interest to the redemption date, amounting for each $1,000 Debenture to $1,045 (including interest to April 1, 1950) in case of Debentures due 1958, to $1,055 (including interest to May 1, 1950 fac¬ a redemp¬ with all unmatured coupons, the full the principal amount of the deposits. tor to effect the outstanding Debentures of the above issues instructed such Trustees to pay to any holder on and after the date above, which that only 5% favored the favored hereby notified that funds sufficient with the terms of the respective Indentures under which such Deben¬ were issued. The a 1948 and incomes of $2,000 or showed are respective next interest payment dates have been deposited by the Company with the respective Trustees of such issues. Official publica¬ tion of the Notices of Redemption will later be made in accordance the production, You tion of all of the capital seeking Federal Reserve Board released survey , too are an& 1969 Aggregating $41,569,700 in Principal Amount to carry money business Outstanding CITIES SERVICE COMPANY price for the use of money will correct itself with ris¬ Debentures due 1958 and 1969 are Con¬ and Senators from both mer President Hoover was the Chairman of the Commission. The full report of the Commission was end military de¬ taxpayers' furnish us lesser But us many competition of free the new to help by using to 11 money markets. competitive our have to parties and outside experts. For¬ at be starv¬ the it owes sound they so value in fu¬ we may upon the helping will be successfully the are giving for re¬ penditures we construction order other while velopments no or ing research and sound financial conditions and in¬ crease military defenses and might reveal that we our costs and how on in other tion economic purcase and un¬ research investiga¬ production are viduals Our Economic expenditures reducing strength or gestions of how he plans to cut weakness, in cooperation with us the costs of defense certainly in¬ in building up our defenses, de-1 this carry A competent ture wars, the we of of reducing taxes? and countries. source a world financial to power a are sound basis in with necessary pre¬ we indus¬ depleted,1 help¬ we start their But their over to in orderto Ivan econo¬ meet countries have D». their to and financial competition in the free markets of the world, our economy and theirs will both be weakened. Our debts will be in¬ navy, air force, marines and purpose by unable are the necessary costs and strengthening the economy of the country trial thought such statements call ; for expenses reconstruction, prepared as gov¬ ernment domestic our much defenses conditions. government support government as ernment tax laws. our these days. At for any emergency first of weakness in sources modern citizens costs competent employees in' the gov¬ service. Why not ex¬ amine every branch of the economic steps be taken toward urges necessary the military necessary meet could reduce Wright, contending military preparedness requires and financial the of port to $2,000,000.000 and still raise the salaries of necessary officials to attract Peace or By IVAN WRIGHT Dr. the Commission, Mr. Hoover indicated that the proposed reor¬ ganization of the Executive (63) made public for the 81st Congress. In commenting upon the to be presented to: Debentures due 1963 are to be presented to: Debentures due 1966 are to be presented to: ' The of Chase the 43 National Bank City of New York Exchange Place New York 15, New York Central Hanover Bank and Trust 70 Company Broadway New York 15, New York Manufacturers Trust Company Corporate Trust Department 45 Beaver Street New York 15, New York findings \. 12 (64) THE COMMERCIAL | FINANCIAL CHRONICLE With E. JOHNSON Byllesby Co. News About Banks PHILADELPHIA, PA.—Charles L. Wallingford, formerly Man- CONSOLIDATIONS NEW BRANCHES NEW This Week—Bank Stocks Scattered Thursday, January 5, 1950 Charles Wallingford Bank and Insurance Stocks By II. & Bankers and OFFICERS, ETC. REVISED reports of banks in New York and Chicago for the year just ended show results about in line with previous expecta¬ CAPITALIZATIONS tions. Operating i tained tions and to earnings for 1949 have, in general, been well main¬ security profits have enabled somp institu¬ Barnard increased Townsend, President of Guaranty & Trust Co. of Title earnings than in previous periods. .{•;•< 4-Central Hanover Bank & Trust was among the first to publish N (results and showed net operating earnings of $7,166,000 as compared election of ■with $7,200,000 for 1948. Security profits were considerably larger, rising to $1,041,000 for 1949 from $606,000 in the previous year. Total net earnings reflected the gain of approximately $400,000 in secu¬ William President o rity profits the bank. Mr. higher total report and for the period totaled $8,207,000 Hart for 1948. On a per share basis operating earnings were equal to $6.83 in 1949 and $6.86 in 1948. Security profits added 99 cents and cents 57 share a Thus, total respectively. City Bank City Bank Farmers of New amounted to equal to for 1949 compared with $1.36 a year ago. with most other banks were considerably higher For Irving they totaled $235,605 against $1.38 as in than 1949 in 1948. Total net income amounted to $7,350,425 for 1949 compared with $6,948,278 for the previous period. Per share results were $1.47 and $1.39 respectively. First National Bank of New York reported net income which $^1,275 earlier. a year profits on sale of of $7,905,900 for securities 1949 n ager of the Trading Department of Title National the in & Bank Trust net earnings reported of in the previous year. with $13,853,000 $14,038,000 Per Stock President in 1949 t For $9,357,000 Chicago net profits totaled 1949, against $9,175,000 in 1948. Per share results on First National Bank of a com- patable basis were $12.47 and $12.23 respectively. " >■ One of the Stock Exchange John E. to Manning the Total banking of profits were reduced or losses reported as a result of lower prices prevailing in the securities market, in 1949 they have in most cases jidded considerably to income. other Concerning Trade Hutton was year-end to statements, Central First Hanover, National, Deposits a Cash Sept. 30/49 $ 2,299,855,999 on Jan. a Public National, 5. ments or annual reports, a more tions will be presented when 586,973,445 F. Wertheim & Company Abbe Co., has 120 U. counted Merrill Chronicle) DENVER, COLO. — Henry B. Andreasen and William P. Parvestment Service with Corp., In¬ 650 Seventeenth Street. G. Goodspeed is Beane, 70 Pine Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange. previously Boston Corp. was Goodspeed Mr. with First the of INDIA. LIMITED and Bankers INSURANCE to the Government in Kenya Colony and Uganda STOCKS Branches In India, Burma, Ceylon, Kenya Colony, Kericho, Kenya, and Aden and Subscribed Laird, Bisseli & Meeds Members New York Telephone: Stock Exchange NEW YORK 5, N. Y, BArclay 7-3500 Bell Teletype—NY 1-1248-49 (L. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.) Paid-up Reserve Zanzibar Capital Capital Fund £4,000,000 £2,000,000 Loans and bills dis¬ 33,708,839 Undivided £2,500,000 Bank conducts every description ol banking and exchange business Trusteeships and Executorships also undertaken 69.340,304 6,529,489 6,258,676 profits— 299,033,854 ij BROWN ' & CO., YORK 74,279,149 132,033,461 98,670,600 Dec. 31/49 Sept. 30/49 $ 124,673,600 ________ 121,914,968 113.385,507 2,843,980 Total Cash 5,270,215 $ ■'ff •.' 233,501,099 216,265,101 resources.— 199,742,262 18S,887,778 • •' ——— due and from banks U. ; ' . IIARRIMAN BROTHERS, NEW $ 56,072,647 S. Govt, 60,253,435 56,954,763 49,564,592 42,717,475 14,005,284 holdings $ 47,990,102 security guarantee and new counted trust — Capital and surplus york 13,985,284 # Total Cash due 56,452,047 12,379,008 15,902,815 ________ Loans and bills dis¬ vided $ Total undi¬ profits. 3,565,760 3,578,906 due bank from — U. S. Govt, 37,754,115 _ NEW of 57,447,460 resources. Deposits members of the Stock Cash york Undivided $ 5,051,988,339 4.897,643,284 Loans 1,264,319,880 1,194,580,598 U. S. Govt, secu¬ vestment firm Richard F. Abbe & Co. rity holdings. 1,902,584,206 1,853,265,018 bills and __ 1,381,156,840 1,346,355,859 50,463,116 46,570,600 * William Weed Joins farmers Merrill Lynch Firm Detroit and until for many trust years, own Total Cash U. Cash and due holdings 232,144,322 220,333,546 156,561,875 148,752^856 profits— 85,125,189 14,303,795 86,492,340 U. S. Govt, security holdings counted ; Undivided profits— 1,079,215 10,033,243 9,988,260 resources iianover company, Capper, 29 Broad¬ New York City, have admit¬ ted Edward W. Russell to partner¬ ship in the firm. Mr. Russell is partment. trading de¬ new $ resouices. Cash Deposits and due Loans holdings. and undiv. surp. __ , 35,170,582 holdings 66,058,357 68,784,34,0 48,969,396 i— 32,856,330 935,000 910,016 Leans and bills dis¬ profits— £ GRACE NATIONAL # BANK, NEW YORK Dec. 31/49 Sept. 30/49 $ $ 1,592,385,470 1,507,113,320 Total 1,361,687,694 Deposits 424,355,883 380,648,839 Cash resources and due 636,351,311 556,04.9,290 443,611,932 484,887,391 110,515,684 103,415,287 96,057,893 89,068,930 from banks 29,646,078 U. S. Govt, 27,148,221 45,199,277 45,272,408 26,871,520 22.959,144 4,536,238 4,444,470 security holdings Loans and bills dis¬ & profits from security $ bills discounted Capital $ Sept. 30/49 U. S. Govt, secu¬ rity Sept. 30/49, 36,658,049 Govt, trust due banks— YORK 145,504,842 131.002,623 banks 1,448,101,335 and from & york Dec. 31/49 Deposits Edelmann & bank TRUST 153,662,996 139,028,509 counted ifi NEW & $ U. S. 1,107.449 > BANK Dec. 31/49 Undivided Total OF 6,853,982 * NATIONAL COMPANY Cash Loans and bills dis¬ V Edelmann & Ogpper Admit I. W, RusseiS 9,223,080 # 118,190,283 STERLING Total company. manager of the firm's from security from banks central $ 125,863,055 113,117,907 S. Govt, $ 84,171,023 due Sept. 30/49 43,740,244 and Sept. 30/49 505,319,220 475.247,889 * 111,945,613 ___ AND YORK 544,034,712 513,408,102 resources company, 145,226,928 resources Deposits BANK NEW $ Total Deposits york $ recently headed his NATIONAL COMPANY, Dec. 31/49 Undivided Dec. 31/49 DETROIT, MICH.—William F. Weed has become associated with Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, Buhl Building. Mr. Weed has been in the investment busi¬ in TRUST counted city sfe Loans and bills dis¬ :S new ness PUBLIC THE banks discounted Undivided profits 1,687,322 * due banks— 1,983,442 profits— 4,669,251,863 4,526,158,895 and from 49.043,773 Sept. 30/49 $ Total 58,507,332 51,924,606 — * Dec. 31/49 Richard F. Abbe 18,209,871 security holdings counted city 129,691,370 113,236,077 —— and banks Sept. 30/43 ' $ Loans and bills dis¬ s& % •f national OF 163,135,673 146,405,714 resources Deposits Cash counted and COMPANY YORK Dec. 31/49 20,160,422 security holdings Surplus TRUST NEW 13,612,349 24,207,217 20,588,203 S. Govt, STATES UNITED from banks U. $66,109,457 59,571,751 and June 30/49 $69,278,107 resources Deposits way, The 466,541,652 471.957,695 ___^ S Head Office: 26, Bishopsgate, London, £. C. 234,791,082 215,601,272 — security counted Sept. 30/49 Dec. 31,'49 with Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & NATIONAL BANK BANK 120 BROADWAY, ! from —— Deposits company, New York City, With Merrill Lynch Firm. Edward affiliated due $ Loans and bills dis¬ detailed report on year-end condi¬ are available. Service now and the figures Two With Investment are trust profits.- Exchange. Mr Abbe formerly headed his own in¬ ella Cash Sept. 30/49 security — — Undivided YORK 766,806,909 739,967,802 — — from —_ S. Govt, ' ' TRUST 815,484,764 788,041,337 resources Deposits york 364,104,524 272,926,040 due Title New York Financial new 390,574,345 _ state¬ to $3.00 as compared with the $2.40 previously paid. to The midland of resources holdings joined Broadway, The announcement made yesterday raises the annual payment (Special 71,661,565 70,568,483 Loans and bills dis¬ , dividend rate of Corn Exchange from 70 cents to 75 quarterly cents. 956,427,340 954,967,571 — marine and NEW & $ Total Another item of interest to bank investors is the increase in ; the COMPANY, • BANK EXCHANGE Dec.31/49 bills banks Weriheim & 12,927,697 t'fi ■? 1,102,405,251 company Cash 381,682,980 13,005,689 __ sjs 581,726,047 1,038,072,400 — profits the Deposits 381,224,232 2,315,252,598 Dec. 31/49 Richard F. Abba Joins 458,345,593 profits holdings Total 306,338,691 452,413,721 bills and discounted Undivid. banks Mr. 1,060,924,525 311,035,067 holdings. U. S. Govt, partner Corn As all of the large banks have not yet published their j Undivid. 1,193,241,910 due secu¬ and Loans $ banks— CORN holdings- rity york Sept. 30/49 1,052,448,028 — and 2.749,862,758 31,*49 of Exchange and Bank of Manhattan. Capital funds were generally higher, reflecting the retention of earnings ana in some cases transfers from reserves. For some institutions the capital accounts have been increased over those of a year ago by the transfer of funds from surplus and undivided profits. . banks U. S. Govt, new company, 1,187,464,523 resources- rity partner Co., Board formerly Total due and from M. trust U. S. Govt, secu¬ of 2,730,5 74,964 —-— 13,633,413 St $ Loans resources- 451,216,714 13,896,315 Dec. 31/49 york firm's Warner changes appear to be mixed. A number of the larger New York City banks reported increases in all of the important balance sheet items. However, the trend was not general and while some showed increased deposits, the loan portfolio reflected the contraction which had taken place earlier in the year. Among the banks which have published their statements and did show a larger volume of loans were company trust new $ Richard relative points & Building Washburn — become 462,758,440 __ profits irving lrom guaranty 337,340,148 * Cash # 259,353,530 329,184,373 bills and Deposits « $ statements published so far is the increase in security profits. The gains reflect the rising tendency in the government securities market which pre¬ vailed throughout the year. In contrast to the previous period when * F. Trust Ohio. discounted E. Central Cincinnati, Ohio, and as State Superintendent of Banks in $ ILL. 338,662,479 in Co. $ 1,143,734,317 secu¬ discounted Undivid. Sept. 30/49 1,127,809,682 1,040,504,316 banks having served as a Total in Loans He identified with banking 31/49 $. I 1,232,332,464 holdings. rity William L. Hart COMPANY, YORK due and from Dec. CHICAGO, 12,935,931 * MANHATTAN —_ U. S. Govt, other partner. Washburn will THE resources. Cash n Vice-President To Admit W. Washburn OF Deposits for many years, E, F. M@n & @o. 482,255,261 13, 623,977 Dec. c e- i has been partnership. is 436, 846,232 bills profits NEW AssisV i division. NEWARK, N. J. — Manning, Shanley & Co., 11 Commerce Street, have admitted Robert E. Eising, member of the New York 494,256,596- * in Lamson Bros. & Co. significant points in the earnings most and discounted May, as t a n the com¬ share figures $7.80 in 1949 and $7.70 in the previous period. equal to were Loans Undivid. 372,489,973 598, 546,438 secu¬ holdings.. Guaran- tee Manning, Shanley Admits Robt, Eising 432, 295,401 joined the Harrison & Co., is now associated with the Philadelphia office of II. M. Byllesby & Co., Inc., Exchange Building. 1,327,824,775 due banks division. g He com¬ pared with $8,399,320 in 1948. This moderate decline in net income reduced per share results to $79.06 for the period from the $83.99 shown in the previous year. The two principal Chicago banks showed earning results sim¬ ilar to those of the New York City institutions. Continental Illinois pared rity as¬ , includes and irom bank- i Chas. L. Wallingford respective periods was $3.65 and $3.47. * Irving Trust was also able to show a small gain in earnings for the year. Net operating earnings for 1949 amounted to $6,922,042 as against $6,802,647 for 1948. Per share operating earnings Security profits, Cash $ 1.479,365,504 1,449 ,655,700 U. S. Govt, f the COMPANY, Sept. 30/49 1,593, 278,135 resources. Deposits charge of year. together with its affiliate reported net operating earn¬ ings of $21,491,263 for the year compared with $20,888,785 for 1948. This was equivalent to $3.46 a share and $3.37 a share respectively. Security profits amounted to $1,154,974 equal to 19 cents a share in 1949 as against $643,186 or 10 cents a share in the previous year. Total net income was equivalent to $22,646,237 for the year just ended and $21,531,971 for 1948. Net income 'per share for the \yere •Total L. sumed York Trust Company has TRUST YORK $ the BANK $7.82 for 1949 and $7.43 for the previous National earnings Hart & NEW Dec. 31/49 Vice- as BANK k, o r announces against $7,806,000 as Y e w CHEMICAL counted Surplus 133,192,794 132,126,795 vided and undi¬ profits— Volume 171 HENRY J. Number 4870 SCHRODER CORPORATION, BANKING NEW Total resources Cash and due from .banks 11,622,029 U. S. Govt, holdings security _ 8,903,196 , 51,878,803 __ 41,005,869 Loans and bills dis¬ counted Surplus < 11,020,458 3,503,022 3,297,565 TRUST YORK Sept. 30,'49 $41,865,394 $34,337,016 Deposits 36,392,454 and U. S. Govt, 29,043,066 10,626,478 due 8,746,888 from __ security holdings 23,873,752 18,888,967 6,307,617 5,745,516 Surplus and •vided 2,752,062 TRUST Dec. 31,'49 Cash Sept. 30,'49 $24,989,037 $24,665,946 23,081,852 22,766,007 6,254,737 6,460,246 12,039,125 11,604,025 5,258,682 Deposits 5,157,392 900,995 885,073 __ and due from U. S. Govt, security holdings bills dis¬ counted Surplus and vided undi¬ profits.— BROOKLYN TRUST BROOKLYN, COMPANY, N. Y. Dec. 31,'49 Sept. 30,'49 $ Total resources™ banks $ ____ 54,391,819 <fc bills 130,552,856 _ 125,724,598 Louis 28,863,855 Undivided 27,201,957 1,786,763 1,878,244 profits.. * League. Secretary. Mr. Noli banking business in the Manufac¬ turers Trust Co. since 1939. He is alumnus of New York Univer¬ sity and member of the National a of Cost Si • de Accountants. * * .1: COUNTY TRUST BROOKLYN, Noyelles, Real Estate June 30/49 41,407,211 and 46,248,551 banks 12,627,488 14,372,985 20,213,327 _ 22,418,072 security holdings counted 1,535,934 and 2,321,817 8,390,542 appointed Vice-President, it Dec. on Brownell, President. elles entered in the May 1946 previously DeCoursey tees has pleted with 25 the Lincoln Fales, Mills, President President Assistant of Jan. as Comptroller retain bank Both of that as 1. Mr. Sillery the bank title. teller a Viceand Coming to in 1922 he mortgage department of the bank 1939. # * ment try, the of more in savings remarkable sideways move¬ economically in this with strikes, ments, etc. effect, coun¬ adjust¬ price The strikes had their sending same withdrawals in new were pre¬ their at of Trust of of the City Bank Co., of New York, Jan. 3, Foster B. on G. Noel Cooper named Secretary of the December board of "Savings financing make trustees. of about Paul W. Jan. on elevated to were The New York Murray Assistant Trust Of¬ Herbert E. Nevins As¬ Secretary. Mr. Cooper and were formerly Assistant State Department approved certificate a ital stock of Banking of of cap¬ the of Schenectady, from Y. Company Associated the foreign sisting of 14,000 shares of the Mortgages # par THE Customers'Acceptance Liability $ PHILADELPHIA NATIONAL 31/49 resources____ banks U. S. 756,058,383 233,365,734 and main 292,488,427 146,405,868 office, 10,700,988 profits__ Deposits Edmund President tional F. of Bank been Schnieders, Vice- Security-First of Na¬ appointed Angeles, hac Vice-President and i Comp¬ of the Payable February 1, 1950 Reserve for Taxes and Other . Expenses . . Other Liabilities Acceptances Outstanding $ 23,621,031.88 of Less Amount in Portfolio with Capital Stock. Dec. 29 ... $111,000,000.00 (7,400,000 Shares—Sl 5 Par Value) •' Surplus PrioKto 1926 he mhde 1,875,378.05 Capital Funds: department at where he has appointments on Dividend Los official capacities in the branches in Europe. company LIABILITIES bills dis¬ ________ served in Edmund . 137,112,90? 11,071,499 security successively as Assistant Manager and Second Vice-Presi¬ Other 4 211,260,756 298,585,414 __________ Govt, counted 721,736,297 645,852,065 from holdings Loans Other Assets $ 687,282,486 due and . Sept. 30/4.0 $ Total . Banking Houses PHILADELPHIA, I'A. Dec. .... BANK, served bank's Loans, Discounts and Bankers' Acceptances * Trust 1926. . value of $100 each. the bank since. 1919, he continues dent since Municipal Securities Other Securities Accrued Interest Receivable New York announces the appoint¬ ment of Kent G. Colwell as a Vice-President. Obligations $1,300,000, consisting 13,000 shares of the par value of $100 each, to $1,400,000, con¬ of Secretaries. Guaranty State and ...... Schenectady Company N. Cash and Due from Banks Dec. 20 on troller Mr. Noel * OF NEW YORK RESOURCES U. S. Government increase Trust ap¬ Stephen P. Loughnane and War¬ * BANK kfank an¬ Auditor. 189,000,000.00 Undivided Profits . . 45,388,273.70 by the E. F. Schnieders University of were: C. * St. Louis, O'Brien, Assistant Manager, foreign department, for¬ merly Assistant Secretary; Louis college, he worked for the Tower B. Palmer Grove Bank and the Snell Financ~ and Guido F. Verbeck* Mo. While in Jr., Second Vice-Presidents, bank¬ ,Corp. He remained with the lat¬ ing departments, formerly Assist¬ ter after being graduated from tfie University in 1926. In May ant Treasurers; G. Kenneth Crow- ther, Second Vice-President, for¬ merly, Assistant Credit Manager; Carl H. Johnson, Assistant Treas¬ urer, formerly Assistant Credit Manager; Stuart K. Barnes, As¬ 1927 Mr. Schnieders joined Secu¬ rity-First National; he was made Auditor in 1941 dent in 1946. \ ; and • Continued Vice-Presi¬ , ; on • i..v page . 15 United States Government and other securities carried secure public and trust deposits and for other Member Federal at purposes as $321,043,912.00 required Deposit Insurance Corporation hold continuing of all home loans in the country, on the basis of latest official figures." at Tis- still one-third Con¬ Louis R. 3. the up 4% over 1948. group, STATEMENT OF CONDITION, DECEMBER 31, 1949 the under the number one as CHASE CITY For up. In the third loans and their position to of a bank meeting nelly, President of the Undivided pointed Assistant Vice-Presidents; ficers and THE everone, were honor. Wade, Auditor of the Savings Bank of Kings County, at Brooklyn N. Y., was Cash meeting Directors Clarence OF in home loans by savings and period same home 16% were period of 1948. of Stephen Deposits ,* regular a Farmers the "The record increase in 1949 is all the new the NATIONAL with watches in During World War II he served in the Navy as a Lieu¬ tenant Commander. the quarter loan associations THE com¬ Bank men gold held Mills has been associated with the with loans at the close of World War II. billion off example, in the first six months, Law¬ service of subsequently served as Assistant and Deputy Comptroller. Mr. sistant whicn surprised financing, has shot Equitable Savings with sented of years Brooklyn. that the board of trus¬ appointed Russell Sillery, S. L. and later, home employ of the and bad been J. Kelly and Wendling recently rence nounced Executive Vice-President and Al¬ ren figures are the early loans have in was when just getting started, but with the big push in building was Society in the City Mortgage Division. Frank McLoughlin, Assistant Secretary, has been appointed Personnel Offi¬ cer. Mr. McLoughlin entered the employ of the bank in 1930. The Bank of Savings of New York announces and less 1949 Savings because lending in 1948, being down than 5% early in December. final sometime lending months six was Life Assurance been held gage "Mortgage the first building growing at the rate of over dollars a year for the past five years since the upsurge a Mr. "Home f inancing is almost equal the record volume of mort¬ billions, strong forward savings accounts. by R. H. Mr. de Noy¬ sct, Assistant to the Auditor, has At 1950. in 29 8,319,863 undi¬ profits.... Board in their movement ings Bank of New York has been the ... Loans and bills dis¬ since these institutions one-third This should put the been Conner said: Fulton from due U. S. Govt, will spring. savings to rise another 25 to 30% in the tabulated Mr. in 1949, and he expects and total resources close to $15 billion when savings about 32% continued savings Y. resources.... Deposits the Conner said savings and loan associations throughout the country increased in three and will have increased and estimate. all of 1949 one was dollars. COMPANY, N. Dec. 31,'49 is we Loan with * Officer of the Union Square Sav¬ luncheon KINGS fred about that are has Comptrollers been appointed 1920 and has been with the pur¬ chased vided loans in sav¬ over as of the National Savings and Assistant entered that Thomas 67,006,343 Govt, security holdings Surplus century and predictions 1950 will be about bank's the Department an from due _ U. S. Cash a "Resources associations completing the greatest year in their history of which billion 224,602,848 208,066,773 Cash and Total ings loan 1948, savings up some 6% from Jan. 1 Sept. 30, but even in the face situation, savings and loans 242,364,115 225,645,551 Deposits Loans are and of bank __ Loans and As¬ •;» announces announced banks Savings of this one-half Conner, of Atlanta, Ga., President Frank COMPANY, NEW YORK resources____ Savings & Loan Assns. 13 to with York $ s»« I Total Jones, (65) Final figures should show the vol¬ ume to be almost neck and neck Reports Record Year for good, it was stated at Washington by John L. Association * CLINTON •it' 3,634,193 undi- profits CHRONICLE Harvey D. Gibson, President of Manufacturers Trust Company of an Loans and bills dis¬ counted FINANCIAL Noll COMPANY, Dec. 31,'49 resources & New # NEW banks L. formerly Assist¬ Manager. Credit undi- SCHRODER Cash Frank sistant Treasurer, 11.C97.949 profits * Total Treasurer; ant ___ and vicled Secretary, who is an As¬ Attorney; at the company's Fifth Avenue Office. John S. Schaffer, Second VicePresident, formerly Assistant sistant Resident Sept. 30,'49 $95,732,370 $78,372,420 74,324,818 59,382,041 Deposits COMMERCIAL sistant YORK Dec. 31,'49 THE or are pledged to permitted by lav/. 14 (66) THE Continued from COMMERCIAL 11 page tatoes and In Wai the tax clock ticks, $1,585 is cost into paid Federal, State and local of taxes 1% A budget of $42.4 billion is $300 annually for every man, wo¬ man and child if the population hold is . to price 1949 billion, "man, the As States. local 300% gregated $14.4 $109 for each 1940 food billion Since have public increased tax but more than 200% in¬ Waste and subsidies by of varies from 3c to 6c a 60 made government no could end. market potatoes continues to surplus destroy 15c. be Company a multiplied as first a and tax in step only collections preparing to we Municipal Securities 3,314,280.52 .... Stock of Federal Reserve Bank 600,000.00 .... Other Securities 3,589,736.96 Loans and Discounts 121,914,968.49 po- Revising Our Tax delay 2,142,363,44 Acceptances 1,298,164.38 . Accrued Interest Receivable 909,6-16.02 Other Resources 98,119.54 $390,574,311.94 Capital . for of building which of their resources our tax laws the up direct strong a and costs through have can depleted high live times. by high until they period a Taxes should should back be of re¬ Surplus . Provision for Taxes, Interest, etc.. . $ 22,843,980.39 an as to, can enterprise going are $10,699,186.53in the above public deposits and for other statement are II. The Marine Trust Co. claims imposed upon it. Measure EDWARD Foundry Co, II. LETCH WORTH Kenefick, Coolce, Mitchell, Bass & Letchivorlli, Buffalo of the Board, Corp. STUART MC CAMPBELL Director, McCampbell & Co. RAYARD J. CLOUD L. FULLER Commissioner South Ltd., 10th Carrier ert D. Corporation . WRIGHT ' HENRY as & Johannes¬ — (American Street, Relations 110 William Street 500 7th Ave. can well as metal frozen both of which as food offer on the container, tremendous potentials. mately $125 million of expansion gram the war years this on which stifled was York 3, 12s 6d. Personnel Practices Los of April 1, of Angeles 1949—Rob¬ Section, California In¬ Technology, Pasadena 4, 143 Park Ave. at Practices Liberty Street as of of in April Selected Los 1, Personnel 1949—Robert D. 46th Street Gray and Staff—Industrial Deposit Insurance Corporation tions of Rela¬ Sections, California Institute com- in 1949 and 1950. Most of from these in expenditures, of excess in metal —Paper—$2.50 with $460 million. margins should ap¬ 10%, which should net earnings a in substantial for markets that the company as dependent the though food food cans upon is the pack alone, al¬ probably repre¬ the sent major part of total shipments. The non-food division, made up mostly of beer, oil, pet foods and all other so-called foods, is growing by bounds although the leaps beer non- food referred to and can, item, growth item today. American Can's milk probably containers reached such as as a fastest the have, as only yet, few of the major cities New York, Chicago, San a Francisco and Los Angeles, al¬ though some are shipped from these areas to several other points. At any rate, it is easy to see that product, higher cially if warrant a price-earnings common there expecting slock, were espe¬ bans a for that earnings would follow the growth trend and that larger dividends (now only $4 annually) would these of these earnings forthcoming. Both of developments seem to be in out be excellent prospect. enough, the shares Interestingly available at are around 53% of the Dow-Jones In¬ dustrial averages, which is at about the lowest range of all time. Dur¬ ing the World War II period, the stock sold at Dow-Jones around 65% of the and averages in the late thirties, it sold as high as 74%, whilst in 1934, its high was 104%. In 1936, its market high was 137 Vz when earnings amount¬ ed to only $5.80 a share and sales only $170.3 million. were In opinion, my growth much possibilities further exist. think of at this time. Its ment is is here In can manage¬ certainly tops. .Yes, gen¬ the great American tin tlemen, can is AC of the safest stocks that I one to stay and grow. opinion, this security is suitable not only for speculative my but for also viduals. conservative Certain admirable issue for The stock York insur¬ also find characteristics investment indi¬ of types would companies ance in the purposes. is listed the New on Stock Exchange and while it may not be considered as a socalled legal type of investment, I would be when, as of the and if opinion states stocks common that qualify for legal investment, American Can will be included in most such lists. CARROLL MEAD W. Partner, Mead, Miller & Co., Baltimore, Mcl. dairies growth item still met chemical industry, and within the chemical i dustry, I in¬ will., choose the M t hie son a Chemical Corp. as the I like stock The company formerly was regarded rather alkali of the nor on a basis. This increased to 38 1945, improvement that has taken place. Starting has in 1945, completed habilitation and the company large very expansion than invested to a and More gram. been in re¬ pro¬ $29,000,000 has plant modernize additions and replace equipment. At Lake Charles, soda ash capacity has been raised - 100%; at Saltville, the caustic potential was increased by soda, much pounds it had risen to W. Carroll Mead has the market discounted the vast The tinplate per capita pro¬ change in the 40%; continued a status of the company in the past few years is not fully appreciated raised has as static ducer, but the big that in 1929, 33 pounds of In minimum a by are the and dry ice capacity was purchased the 30%. company Lake indication 1939. has and labor factor. These characteristics the growth of the tin can industry, as a whole, is shown by the fact consumed industry that has growih char¬ acteristics a ahead. An The stock I like best must be in an for essentially center larger in con¬ best. been so cans of share per $11. has nearly size was Technology, Pasadena 4, Calif. capita pro¬ Last expended County per were this Angeles juice orange would company ratio for its during year about $26 mil¬ put into plant and prob¬ ably another $30 million are being not this certain During the last three years, American Can has spent approxi¬ population Survey Member Federal pressure fiber and increased relatively are often New Calif.—Paper—$1.00 J. WYATT MAIN OFFICE —120 BROADWAY Battery Place The President, Crum & Forster Barringer & Brooks 17 — Gray and Staff—Industrial stitute of Leesburg, Va. 12R Chambers Street being developed con¬ stantly and it is believed that the company is now working on the is County WAMPLER BURDETTE S Jackson, Nash, Brophy, markets There Rissik Streets, Africa Large, Employers in II. If USTED JOHN G. JACKSON vac¬ manu¬ facture of the fiber milk container and the beer can. New uses and of around agents: Hafner Publishing Co., 31 Selected President, President, International Salt Co. packing of coffee, the result Executive Committee Sullivan & Cromwell Buffalo, N. Y. mato and fruit juices and the uum beer sumption. Ordinarily the growth poientialities that are inherent in a ably The Company of Buffalo PAUL minute. Research helped to solve chemical problems which had hindered the canning of to¬ cans Pre-tax profit Busschau—Central Agency, burg, EUSTACE SE LLC MAN President, The Marine Trust high¬ the result that sales in 1949 should reach a new record level, prob¬ International as N. Y.)—Cloth— F.POPE Chairman, Gold, Gold Money—W. News East SAMUEL S. CONOVEK Executive Committee of 1 Treasurer & General, Retired, U.S.Army of H. LEONARD JAMES C. BLAINE, President General Reinsurance Its company. developed diversification of Bu ffalo Machine & American EDGAR II. BOLES this shops proximate Chairman, Executive Committee, II. DI EE EN DO RE machine of most contributing to speed machinery to increase pro¬ duction from 60 to more than 300 fit Man's Role Honorary Chairman, growth the two are reasons with being important conwibutors the to of earnings and depreciation. It is only recently that the com¬ pany has finally started to bene¬ Business of the Board, HERBERT LUCIUS D. CLAY the distribution divisions and all has been financed pledged G. BAIRD Vice President, Marsh & packaged goods important develop¬ of its expenditures have gone into the beer and fiber milk container KNOX Yorlctown McLennan, Inc. improved and new and lion Bookshelf SEYMOUR Office research for containers of record of new pletiely. required hy law. purposes Chairman EDWARD be to 35,024,583.16 Chairman, Advisory Board, GIIARLES already re¬ willing to invest survey, are their savings in risk capital, the productive foundations of Ameri¬ IUItEC T (> It S Chairman Unless 673,912.92 GEORGE M. ADRIAN DAVID incentive to an capital. shown by the Federal Re¬ $390,574,341,94 secure so ment out Special Deposits to be of the people who income of more than $2,- Board's serve ferred 329,079,940.81 at should 1,472,014.38 . Securities carried re¬ 1,479,913.28 . Other Liabilities Deposits and be The tax struc¬ rates Constant better a support the present debt and tax Acceptances on should to create indenture tide years. than 5% more 000, tax as lean corporate incomes relieved. or and invest on to up by 1930, sales hit $160 million. production, a reduced number of jobs and a weakened capital base which cannot long 2.843,980.39 . taxtion forward carry set boosted business to $60 minion by the beginning of World War I and decreased I E S 15,000,000.00 Undivided Profits Liability duced revised be liberalized. through - individual ture and should Double be the and auto¬ cans N. Leonard Jarvis Taxes Small busi¬ economy, of closing equipment the very back¬ are develop¬ undermined, which will result in 1 $5,000,000.00, . aver¬ matic Laws our revised be destroy business. have Mortgages ten net open-end depend to support strong military defenses. businesses 132,033,460.67 first ment economic defenses our which Carry Obligations. the years, sales million. losses $124,673,599.92 becoming one big happy family. For about It K S O U K C E S Cash and Due from hanks makers into $ 2 5 lowances 1910 small aged cannot DECEMBER 31, who num¬ of can with vised to aid all necessary produc¬ tive enterprise. Depreciation al¬ L 1 A B I 1.1 ber The hard OF CONDITION pro- expenditures taxes of New York of far- tninking 1949 cans corporation a group illustrate how urgent an bone Marine Midland Trust best investigation is of all government nesses, on by These But these examples to serve can Liability iuol in lected from the taxpayers which discourage investment in venture purpose Customers' formed a the economic misuse of funds col¬ strengthen the for and well-balanced economy. Stale and Company, pounds and last year, it was 55.8 pounds. The figure should be even higher for ihe year to up of American a and consume Without United Stales Government Can stock r s should STATEMENT which I like common talked upon from 44.8 mote not capital remove the Fereral Government which keep the security is the depart¬ subsidized profit by selling the sacks back to pounds. But the Federal Department of Agriculture carry¬ dividual. The Federal disposed of its potatoes by selling them to local people at lc a sack, who then JARVIS Hayden, Stone & Co., N. Y. City A the has have per the LEONARD could for pound, depending upon where you buy them. A bushel of potatoes increased costs market. Security I Like Best N. dumped the potatoes which they buys. pays where ing out the Federal legislation to 100%, free a from:>page 2 examples of government waste and which about costs higher he interesting little sidelight is the price of potatoes, ag¬ or of on he consumes. An Federal, individual. which mucn a products the way be subsidies, the sub¬ sidy to hold up the price and the higher price than he would other¬ wise have to pay for the food that 1940, governments this pay the The holding up the you buy from what the price bursement $55.2 as for collections and about early supplies parity the collection of taxes and the dis¬ fiscal at to $377 for every and child in the woman tax the estimated are equal United state for collections tax year to for and ment the price and require the up taxpayer In ginia subsidies and to de¬ pay the little story comes from West Vir¬ are of surplus stroy 143,000,000. The total Federal, state and lo- cal living and taxes high by the collections to Continued Maine of the potatoes price illustrated govern¬ collectors. tax in Thursday, January 5, '1950 elsewhere after farmer money, would ment Long Island, on CHRONICLE price for these potatoes with your Peace ci FINANCIAL in Idaho and paying Stiong Economy, Chief Weapon & Charles which ammonia plant, Mathieson operated for the government during the war, for a little has over an $7,000,000. annual This plant nitrogen capacity of about 60,000 tons. In April, Nichols 1948, was Mr. elected Thomas S. President, Volume and 171 since Number his 4870 election, he has THE with Southern Acid or¬ Wholesale ganization a number of highly capable and outstanding men. company's brought the first In for the Acid Mathieson quarter of 1949, the completed company the the into acquisition & negotiations - of Southern Sulphur Co., operating in Southwest, for approximately 265,000 shares of Mathieson mon com¬ stock, and also acquired the Standard Wholesale Phosphate & Acid Works, Inc., for approxi¬ mately 225,000 shares of Mathie¬ son net sales were these of two companies sales. net earning The increase resulting from power these acquisitions will not be fully reflected for 1949, as they were acquired of April 1, as 1949. Had Mathieson owned these companies for the first nine months of this combined year, earnings would have amounted to $4.68 per share on the 1,327,727 shares of Ma¬ thieson stock new outstanding. Earnings for the third major producer implies of new search for plant. This been the fourth The consolidation as merger opened past two has years possibilities for finished chemicals and they new will up all be greatly advanced by com¬ Mathieson's by products broad a very industry. supplied are Gazette" states. previously, for real field, estate indicated, Oates 37 has been are con¬ cross sec¬ Many products industries to which are "Tribune" of Dec. Bank anhydrous ammonia of of general a had Pioneer A that been President of of * * The capital of the of * of Mathieson This stock yields from The •' First than 8 mated based on $2.50 a is and selling for less times 1949 earnings esti¬ at about $6 per share. The outlook for is deemed 1950 to known in the of : The Buffalo Dec. Aug- purchased Corners Office. jji State Bank ^*. • .. # of • • • the Trust & Hartford, "Evening 16. directors Conn., ■ Phoenix Company have of named bank and the became Five In later years the acquired three additional of¬ fices, the Bergen Avenue Office (formerly the Bergen Avenue Trust Company) the Mercantile Office (formerly the Mercantile Trust Company) and the Jackson Office Avenue (formerly the Jackson Trust Company). In 1948 the ident three offices in Bayonne were in¬ succeeded in Raymond time he 1944; the A. John has been Presidency Ball. At by the same and Woodard Head Arlo of assets Company the corporated Bayonne Trust purchased and its were branches as family Trust Company. banking of into the Commercial When the Com¬ Cash, Goip and Due U. S. Government Obligations (.Direct " • '■ ." National Obligations Agencies' State : ' Loans Stock with the Phoenix Company State Feb. First Vice-President. time he Bank & York as of that with was Trust Bank & 1949 as 1, the Chemical Company of New charge New England di¬ Vice-President in bank's vision." the late Robert S. In was As noted in toward bank of took the of issue of Nov. 3, action in October taking over by the Capitol State Bank the Hartford, had our 1770, the stockholders of the Phoenix the name of which been changed from the Cap¬ itol National Bank & Trust Co., to the Capitol State is now oper¬ ated as branch a of the Britain, Conn., Phoenix. increased its capital as of Dec. 9 from $500,000 to $600,000 through a stock years, elected was year, identified with activities. and New oldest Jersey's banks largest celebrates its 50th anniversary this year. Dur¬ ing the half-century of its exist¬ ence Commercial Trust Company Jersey at Jersey City, has grown from one office with seven of New officers and employees to nine of¬ fices in Jersey City and Bayonne with 300 over ployees. The officers first plus and em¬ statement 1900 gave capital as $500,000, in sur¬ bf $500,000 and deposits of $1,500,000. Capital funds are now over $8,000,000 and deposits ex¬ ceed $120,000,000. {Commercial paralleled Trust the The growth of Company growth of 1905 has as an industrial center. In 1914 the Third National Bank was .purchased and became the Grove ;Street Office, and soon after the City Trust Company years of age. and was was dividends since been paid regularly. have with . 6,559,133 Branches 22,960,969 . 13,472,380 , 9,527,700 for: Unearned Discount and . Other • . . . 8,053,790 . Interest, Taxes, Other Accrued Expenses, etc. 19,194,542 7,500,000 , Dividend 27,021,458 . . Surplus 3,675,648 ....... . . . . . . . . . 2,480,000 . . 126,000,000 ..... Undivided Profits $5,051,988,339 50,463,116 . Total Figures oi Overseas Branches are as 300,463,116 $5,051,988,339 . of December 23, 1949. United States Government Obligations and $7,665,500 of other $220,807,891 of Public and Trust Deposits and for other purposes required (MEMBER r. .... $124,000,000 (6,500,000 Ft,ares @ $20 Par) 7,000,000 . 25,778,521 FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE assets are or deposited permitted by law. CORPORATION) Chairman of the Board Wm. Gage Brady, Chairman of the Executive Committee Jr. President W. Randolph Burgess , Howard C. Sheperd ;Js sis S. dent Fidelity the of to Union N. Trust J., entered from which that in 1942 he Secretary service Cash and Due Banks from (Direct . . Agencies. Assistant . .$ 43,740,244 State and Treasurer. of Vice-President' in many years charge of the trust department of The Pennsyl¬ Company Trusts of retirement for Banking and Philadelphia, reached age on Dec. 31. Wil¬ liam M. David, who has been with for 39 years, suc¬ Sayre as the senior of¬ Loans and in .$111,945,613 . . Municipal Securities , , , 7>473>628 ...... Capital . 1,107,449 3,248,072 . . . • • • • • • . $10,000,000 . • ' [.us and . 1,550,958 . 101,038 Advances . (Includes Reserve for Dividend $310,590) , Real Estate Loans Stock . Reserves Other Federal Other Securities Sayre, for Deposits 84,171,023 Fully Guaranteed) appointed As¬ or OMITTED) LIABILITIES U. S. Government Obligations. Obligations and DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS ASSETS in 1936, the quote, adds we was the (IN . ac¬ "Evening Stating that 20. trust company vania of December 51, 1949 as Second Vice-Presi¬ Dec. Frank G. of Condition has the Newark of sistant 3rd, Newark, Atwater paper Office: 22 William Street, New York Condensed Statement a of the Head con¬ . Atwater, been named of CITY BANK FARMERS TRUST COMPANY payment. Edward the $29,520,102 . Foreign Central Banks to Capital . $4,669,251,863 . "7: The current dividend is the 174th Mr. 51, 1949 in Commercial by Co. Securities Federal Reserve Bank . . 1,105,978 600,000 . Bank Premises 2 923 16? Other Assets SURPU • 10,000,000 ' ■ _ UNDIVIDED Profits 10,033,243 30,033,243 ...... $145,226,928 2,453,448 Total $145,226,928 Total company ceeds Mr. ficer -in charge of trust operations. # Hudson County Jersey recently Association's first dividend Trust News" of 62 was ... Portfolio Transit in George elected Savings B. * Bank of of of United (MEMBER has the States Government $1,604,832 of Public Deposits and for other # Oates' President $7,802,829 Obligations purposes FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE are required deposited or to secure permitted by law. CORPORATION) been Dollar Pittsburgh, Pa. succeeding Charles F. Chubb who is retiring. Mr. Chubb, President Chairman of the Board W. Randolph Burgess ac¬ past Commis¬ Gubel¬ Mr. President the The in declared cording f One was serving the allowable one but has since been actively 1928, Company dividend of $100,000. , and Research OMITTED) Unearned Income , to secure Field, after serving Association as Secretary for 25 secutive New Cooksey Bills. and a sion of the latter Association. $303,564,822 of active in the organization New Jersey State Bankers' The New Britain National Bank of the to Accept¬ on Reserves 560,011 for stenographer. 1902 Mr. Field and the Securities Car- Associ ation. Mr. page was (In Foreign Currencies) 1,381,156,840 . Total. man were of the . . michael, who became Vice-Presi¬ dent in 1924, was bookkeeper and George Harrison and . of International Banking Corporation dents, Oscar L. Gubelman was Secretary and Treasurer, William J. Field, President since 1924, was Cashier, Prior to that Due Ownership Bank Premises associated Items 315,078,023 . Federal Reserve Bank in Other Assets Trust reports, this Less: Own Accept¬ Acceptances Young and said: ances 90,859,706 . Customers' Liability Vice-Presi¬ were Liability 33,038,025 Real Estate Loans George W. became Association ers ...... ances in Discounts and Ross S. 1,902,584,206 . Other Securities Robert Ball Press stating that he President of the Kentucky Bank¬ in DOLLARS ONLY—CENTS Deposits " . President, 21, which . Ken¬ 5 !•" Bank $1,264,319,880 . Municipal Securities and Presidents, according to the Hart- "Mr, count of Other Federal of lord Dec. the Office: 55 Wall Street, New York Fully Guaranteed) or mercial Trust opened in 1900, the late John W. Hardenbergh was of of LIABILITIES Banks from died Mr. Cooksey THE NATIONAL CITY BANK OF NEW YORK Hibler, Vice-Presidents, were designated to be Senior Vice- M. "Courant" Treasurer & Trust Ky„ be Charles A. Lillie, Chairman of the Mr. Lillie had been Pres¬ Beard. since also Green, Dec. 18. on of Condition as December Including Domestic and Overseas Branches President of the Niagara National Bank of Buffalo, N. Y. was made News" Bowling excellent. Vice- Assistant capital a s;s recession, if 13 page The election of Charles H. an of Associated Council Bluffs, Iowa, was placed in (IN as had (common). Cooksey, Sr., President of named ASSETS spurger National currently selling for 5.3% o£ the eventuates. one was tucky Chamber of Commerce, the * Condensed Statement Continued G. was Saginaw, Mich, from N ... National Bank of Chicago, 111. has been increased from $750,000 to First $100,000 suddenly $500,000 increase the capital National Bank & * Shore Savings This Bulletin Comptroller of Currency which reports that R. ports. Lake of 5 the Bowling Green Bank $2,000,000 to $2,500,000, the en¬ larged capital having become ef¬ fective Dec. 13, the office of the Comptroller of the Currency re¬ latter Dec. Second Trust Co. 1931. * the the Office Co. of effective of Council Bluffs. in 15 absorbed Bluffs ijt * dividend has served to Amberg the stock * Council increase, by the stockholders 12, became effective Dec. 15. ❖ 1924 with Mr. Bank. The reserve'. the the authorized Dec. Chicago states by cago for refrigerants. Mathieson,.on its new widened base, should prove rela¬ tively well-protected from the in¬ cidence 28 which merged in institution since rayon producers, ammo¬ phosphate for fertilizer, dry and the "Tribune" leaving about $400,000 in undivided profits and Vice- Mr. Amberg in 1921 helped found Scheubert and Amberg State for ice the Mr. the the the The voluntary liquidation 22, having been Nov. same being * drawn from undivided profits, it was stated in the Chi¬ that Dec. 27 at the years. the noted John F. Amberg President of the Pioneer Trust & Savings Bank 81 At Bank internal of divi¬ stock a total needed to effect the increase Executive on through $250,000. paper was President and trustee of the bank enjoying strong growth trends; for instance, caustic soda nium of time the surplus is being increased to the same extent, the $500,000 the states $1,000,000 dend (67) in. the years, says which He for many years. age of 1936, will con¬ the Pittsburgh trustee, of Chicago died panies' facilities. tion since CHRONICLE many the combination of the three sumed as FINANCIAL quarter settled, and quarter will make good reading. earnings Moreover, the in the dividend Texas it considerable expansion products. Mathieson's re¬ (Houston), now "Post fertilizer & bank tinue a 47 has of of the the basic of coverage materials.' were adversely affected by a pro¬ longed strike in the Pasadena strike and Standard greatly widen chemicals and will establish a 1948, the approximately equal to Ma¬ thieson's in In stock. common will COMMERCIAL President Lindsay Bradford Mx. 1G COMMERCIAL THE (68) FINANCIAL & / V CHRONICLE Thursday, January 5, 1950 " as small investors who budget their income to make mutual regularly. The dependable source of supply of many fund fund Mutual Funds Outlook for Prospectusyour . upon request from investment dealer, NATIONAL RESEARCH or 1950 pared have is there indication that this medium for the cooperative in¬ in American industry is just beginning to win every of savings vestment public acceptance. gross sales of mutual fund shares approximately $360,000,000, an in¬ crease of $100,000,000 over the previous year. Even though these sales were the largest in the Last year amounted to benefit the to mutual dealer fund and alone investor, and field the in of one in¬ with the total assets investment of media. Moreover, with the recent shift of national wealth to the middle income group, mil¬ lions of potential investors who have never owned securities before Despite the record growth of the mutual fund industry in 1949, 120 broadway, new york 5. n. y. mutual a However, there is still much educational and sales work to be by the industry. How much is indicated by the relatively in¬ significant position of mutual funds when their total assets are com¬ Wellington Fund CORPORATION is common done & SECURITIES is vestments. By A. J. WILKINS, Vice-President, from shares which By HENRY HUNT S ECU R ITI ES^S Eft IES purchases to The need of educational work among this group created. been cannot be too Given strongly emphasized. public of mutual funds among large and with the public acceptance of insur¬ ance, savings funds and building and loan associations, and it is immediately evident that the mutual fund Industry is just beginning small a to grow, acceptance alike investors on a par and in fact is still considerable distance from maturity. I will make considerable progress in 1950 toward this goal of general public acceptance. confident that am of the industry, they represent only a small percentage of the annual savings of the American people, which for 1949 alone has been estimated at $10,000,000,000. mutual a funds history Thought for the Week very Bullock Fund Dividend Shares Nation-Wide Securities Prospectuses available from Investment Dealers or CALVIN BULLOCK Established 1894 People entire mutual fund industry with some $1,750,000,000 in net assets represents only a very small percentage of the total savings of the American people, as the figures on savings tor the 10-year period to Jan. 1, 1949, show. In that decade, the combined assets of building and loan associations, savings funds and life insurance reserves rose $58,000,000,000 while assets of mutual funds rose only $1,000,000,000. A. J. Wilkins Thus, if the 1949 sales record of mutual fund shares has any significance, it is that the Ameri¬ can people are only just beginning to recognize this type of institu¬ tion as a medium for the preservation of invested savings with gen¬ erous income return and protection against inflation. While such recognition must be based upon the fine performance record of the industry, it is the educational and sales work of the dealers that brings this performance record to the attention of the public. Similarly the have found that this work is best carried on by Many dealers special mutual fund departments. Last year more such departments were set up than ever before. Invariably these departments not only bring to the industry a stimulating enthu¬ siasm, but they also serve to make the older men in the business appreciative of the role that mutual funds can play in an investment attract LOW PRICED young who men program. When youth teams with experience as it does in these special That is why I believe that departments, the combination is dynamic. SHARES dealers' departments will increase substantially in 1950. Today, as never before, there is a popular demand among the of large and small investors alike for prudent, expertly managed invest¬ ments, combining a minimum of risk and generous return. Group Securities, inc. of only one type of investment that meets these I know specifications—the mutual fund. Large ering this Fund. convinced a prospectus on institutional and individual investors have been discov¬ too. At least that is the experience of the Wellington while I can speak only for the Wellington Fund, I am And that fraternal trade unions, educational institutions and cooperatives purchased mutual funds for the first time in 1949 than ever before. It is our experience Loo that once the large investors, whether institutional or individual, are sold on mutual fund shares, they become repeat purchasers just request from your investment dealer or more organizations, church groups, Distributors Group, Incorporated 63 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. \| ATTENTION, & Investors/ on J $un J, dealer K yston e and e to your houses Custodian well as and it's recall it, Arthur Brisbane we good a in-and-out the the first to tell this story was A friend of Brisbane's one. trading profits similar that boasting about his was on the Stock Exchange. Brisbane replied that he too had indulged in this so-called sport but that his experi¬ had ence been to of the backwoods of Georgia. the novice wild turkey trapper in ' "It seems that in Georgia you don't use guns on wild turkeys— trap 'em. You build a turkey hutch with a trap door. You put plenty of corn inside the hutch and a liberal sprinkling of corn leading up to the hutch. Then you hide yourself in a bush 'blind' you with a long string in your hand attached to the trap door, the idea being to pull the string when you get enough turkeys inside the hutch. Only sissies settle for less than a pair of birds. "The in his friend turkey trapper gets up 'blind' of while the turkeys somewhat as before daylight and settles down turkeys are still roosting in tall trees. A described his first experience at trapping Brisbane's Mr. follows: "Shortly after sunrise while the dew still on the bushes, my 'clucking' and turkey In a minute, I could see them approaching, pecking, away at the trail of corn. It was a large flock, nearly 20 birds. It seemed hours but was probably only a few minutes, before the first one, a large gobbler, walked into the hutch. My finger twitched but my judgment told me, not yet, there are plenty more getting closer. A minute lathr, another bird walked in. Then another, and another. 'This is the life,' said I; as three more joined their mates in the hutch, making seven in all. Just then, however, two walked out and nerves tensed at the sound of turkey was hens cocks 'gobbling.' then two more. 'What a sap I am,' said I to myself. 'I should have pulled the string when I had seven tuurkeys.' But no, I was wrong —they started going back into the hutch, first one, then a pair and another pair. Eight birds were in the hutch! Til make it an even 10,' said I as three more approached the open door. One walked in and another of a was close behind. Just then I gun shot not far behind me. nothing. saw looked of the the But back, day. turkeys hutch my was startled by the sound was I looked around had empty heard and that involuntarily and shot remained When too. for so the I rest "The moral of this tale is obvious; when trapping turkeys or trading in the stock market, it takes a good man to know when to pull the string."—Reprinted from "National Views." Justin (0t tic. F. Barbour, prominent Dow Theorist: "Study of the 53year history of the averages indicates that (1) the market is in the first phase of major advance; (2) the averages are not vulnerable to decline; and (3) the Hugh W. Long averages are likely rise to or sub- Kuhn, Loeb Grants Company, Inc., 48 Wall Kuhn, Loeb & Co., 52 William Street, New York City, announce A prospectus and other de¬ REGISTERED COMPANY scriptive material about INVESTMENT that it has granted Joint Power of Attorney INVESTING ONLY IN Jonas to C. Andersen, Manager of its Municipal Depart¬ BONDS ment, and Benjamin F. Feldman, Manager of its Statistical Depart¬ Funds Certificate.? of answer Turkeys and Trading Profits "As St., New York 5, for the offi¬ cial might local investment to glass doorbell. substantial Write in live Bull Market? (m anhailan M -w Bond who ment. Participation in INVESTMENT FUNDS investing their capital ■ We announce ~ the formation of prospectus from your » or IN THE FORMULA BONDS ^ investment dealer! JUST OFF THE PRESS: i [PHILADELPHIA^/PA>^ FUND "What a Balanced Fund Offers (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) OF STOCKS PREFERRED BOSTON You." an COMMON STOCKS (Series SI-S2-S5US4) Designed to . (Series K. 1 -K2) Am Open-End Investment Trust FUND Jr of * v Prospectus be obtained from develop leads for salesmen. BOSTON may ■ i . Tlie Keystone Company of Boston may authorized dealer be obtained from Investment Research 53 State Street 50 WRITE TO: Henry Ward Abbot your or Corporation Boston 9- Mass. Congress Street Boston 9, Massachusetts \2E/ A BALANCED FUND ■ Prospectus Prospectus y jj from your 60 on request investment dealer or |i % 44 wall ST. NEW YORK 5 Gramercy Park York 10, N. Y. m LOUIS II. WHITEHEAD CO. December 14, 1949 New for free copy and rates for additional copies % 22 / THE Number 4870 171 Volume COMMERCIAL stantially next year."—From "These Things Seemed Important," is¬ sued by Selected Investments Co. of Chicago. the to & Federal FINANCIAL Group Securities Comments That major is prices occurred last June is "strongly indicated," according to the annual report of Group Se¬ curities, Inc., "and the market should continue in a generally upward course." ' a "The tinued. in turn security capital goods industries picking up," the report con¬ long deferred. are "Settlement of the coal disputes can hardly be The strong demand for steel plus the need for rebuilding steel inven¬ tories should necessarily keep the basic steel industry near capacity levels into well should well be will be employment Thus, spring. Personal maintained. price market on, ing that of personal consumer beginning in January. There are also indications of ing willingness to spend a larger portion of income." operations." of other Year in 1950 > Cites artificial level of business elements to turn of and less exercising control, brings the and employment MINNEAPOLIS, Minn.—A high level of employment and business activity was predicted for 1950 Crabb, E. president of Inv e s issue of concludes: "This the proper t Di- o r s , I ■ to to our the supply leaned banking in particular. It is also years, a question moment some to and cost reserve MAIN o basis of frequently so in n devel¬ oped by the company's and unprecedented volume, for equip¬ in and ment items, based which, it appears, will con¬ Certain supporting factors, self- limiting by nature, tend to mini¬ mize negative factors in the For example, Mr. Crabb economy. there said, considerable is evi¬ ments. employment of our growing labor force at reasonable levels; the that this did vide E. Crabb pro¬ not prices; result, sound a basis for opti¬ ma i for s m Mr. Crabb pointed out that cur¬ On demand, partly deferred and that said U. S. Government 586,573,444.91 Obligations . . 1,088,072,399.73 . Loans and Bills Purchased Public Securities 954,967,571.12 $ . Stock of Federal Reserve Bank 54,846,500.43 9,000,000.00 . . Other Securities and . . Credits Granted . . on . Obligations Acceptances 7,410,534.00 9,613,956.14 Accrued Interest and Accounts 9,180,989.25 Receivable Real Estate Bonds and Mortgages. 5,385,197.89 . 95,437,177.71 5,083,067.78 Bank Premises 41,302.86 Other Real Estate $2,730,574,864.11 . side, Mr. industries many have filled their deferred demands of demands, notably automobiles and housing; a affirmative the recurring, such as Federal budget deficits; return of portions of vet¬ erans' insurance premiums; loans ferred consumer Hand, in Federal Reserve Bank, and Due from on Banks and Bankers. Total Resources and have grants to Europe; as yet not filled but disappearing war-de¬ Cash in profit margins, as a may trend moderately the economy is receiving support from sources at least not ordinary and in many cases non¬ and increase further RESOURCES an and Crabb rently duction conditions the of competitive fully market a made up current con¬ demands. Thus, he replacement sumption or pointed out, no drastic economic collapse is foreseen, but there is necessity a LIABILITIES adjusted prices and pro¬ to further ad¬ make to justments, and a cautious attitude is in order until these adjustments have been made. $ Capital Surplus Fund ............ Total 100,000,000.00 200,000,000.00 Undivided Profits. . . . . Capital Funds . . . 70,568,482.54 . . . $ Treasurer's Checks 32,439,051.74 Outstanding Total Deposits 2,299,855,999.00 $ .... 18,039,264.31 $ Acceptances 10,490,427.74 Acceptances Held for 7,598,836.57 Investment Gosistas Government Bond Price Pegging Dividend York State, in Annual Report, points out Treasury's fixed price policy for Government Bonds prevents Federal Reserve System Bell, retiring Superintendent of Banks of New of credit regulation and control of banking operations. genuine flexibility to the government securities market has long since arrived, Elliott V. Bell,- retiring store and York Although the Super¬ parently f annual report clear whether and Legis¬ lature, con¬ the demned governme n bond t price pegging policy of the clarifica¬ for tion Elliott Bell V. Treas¬ and calls ury, the of policy new open on market operations announced by the Fed¬ Open 28, the Market Committee on 1949. ceiling the not any or reached floor Mr. 60,150,482.57 Bell with points was fiduciary System power of this evidenced later in posals its renewed to fix nection Federal the reserve nonmember with for of the he demand J. LUTHER and increasing "In other the J. LUTHER CLEVELAND CHARLES P. COOPER bility to return to the government market in a period of inflation as well as in a time of declining business. The statement, JOHN A. HARTFORD JOHN W. DAVIS GANO der government bonds, the Su¬ perintendent states: "As long as President, Co., Inc., Dalton, Mass. of Davis Polk Wardwell Sunderland & Kiendl CHARLES pegs un¬ President, The E. DUNLAP President, BerwindWhite Coal Mining Company DUNN President, The J. G. White Engineering Corporation Member Federal President, Railroad Company Chairman of the Board, The Great Atlantic 8s Pacific Tea Company CORNELIUS F. KELLEY Chairman of the Board, Anaconda Copper Mining Company MORRIS W. KELLOGG Chairman of the Board, The M. W. WILLIAM M. CROCKER President, The Columbia Gas System, Inc. Referring to the difficulty that monetary authorities are having in breaking away from the war¬ keeping , M. CRANE, JR. Crane & banking community." time practice of The Pennsylvania LEWIS GAWTRY Kellogg Company L. KLEITZ CHARLES S. MUNSON Presbyterian Hospital in the City of New York System and other elements of the securities Chairman of the Board CONWAY STUART opinion and between the Federal Reserve statement," WALTER S. FRANKLIN Committee, Union Pacific Railroad Company officials Su¬ 28 Chairman, Executive F. W. CHARSKE pro¬ Bell declares, "at first gave rise to the hope that the Open Market Committee had at last resolved to permit flexi¬ June President, American Cyanamid Company B. BELL WILLIAM W. PALEN powers L. KLE1TZ President Chairman of the Board, Duke Power Company siderable of WILLIAM CLEVELAND DIRECTORS WINTHROP Reserve above Statement are pledged to qualify for required by law, and for other purposes. moneys as GEORGE G. ALLEN 1 Director, BritishAmerican Tobacco Company, Limited, and Reserve Board," "there was brought out into the open evidence of a con¬ cleavage public $2,730,574,964.11 con¬ Federal Federal • Chairman of the Board for requirements banks. this Reserve says., among perintendent powers, to secure the year when the Board of Gov¬ of f • Securities carried at $118,068,756.80 in the decision that rr • off respect to out ri • ap¬ them." under reluctance ernors 42,935,351.45 ..... -1 apparent reluctance to make it in his has been . . Total Liabilities government bond prices, there is Banks, or policy has new taken an to the Govern¬ 1,724,703.38 Payable, Reserve for Expenses, Taxes, etc. by various officials of the Federal Reserve System served still fur¬ ther to increase the ambiguity. New o Foreign Branches was State intendent 5,000,000.00 2,000,000.00 Accounts ambiguous at best subsequent pronouncements however, ...... . Items in Transit with from exercising its powers Declaring that the time to re¬ Payable January 3, 1950: $3,000,000.00 Regular Extra 370,568,482.54 $2,267,416,947^26 Deposits Less: Own Elliott V. St. BRUSSELS PARIS downward. a longer period. increasing costs with evitable in present movement is having the pension effect of data same 60th at Condensed Statement of Condition, December 31, 1949 unbroken on an string of years of high prices and good weather; and low interest price level is too high to maintain Crabb Ave. home dence to indicate that the Mr. Madison accordingly. search depart¬ However, MADISON AVE. OFFICE St. Rockefeller Plaza at 50th St. investment re¬ warned 44th at OFFICE Broadway President Chairman of the Board, Air Reduction WILLIAM C. POTTER Company, Inc. Retired GEORGE E. ROOSEVELT of Roosevelt & Son W. STETSON Chairman, Executive Committee, Illinois Central Railroad Company EUGENE THOMAS J. WATSON Chairman of the Board, International Business Machines Corporation CHARLES E. WILSON President, General Electric Company ROBERT W. WOODRUFF Chairman, Executive Committee, The Coca-Cola Company Deposit Insurance Corporation money. recent then be relegated to minor role in credit, policy." can and longer term opinion mechanization of economic Ave. 140 LONDON tinue with little change. data AVE. OFFICE open requirements buying FIFTH to the which the Federal Reserve has to of — — national economy as a whole and con¬ more market operations and changes in the discount rate to influence Changes in of vital importance once instruments ROCKEFELLER CENTER OFFICE rates the "The resort can traditional on . versified eral kind serve Guaranty Trust Company of New York Services, June is that is powers system into of the year, whole who Banking Department private business at the of support for governments is one desirable new Bell, the enter With the rigid abandoned, the Federal Re¬ pegs Superintendent leaving open important factor in current high as should be tempered farm — This, he goes reaching out for Fifth in level, it effective 17 bank supervision. increas¬ an Investors' President Predicts Good Business Earl most control the bank¬ , stimulated additionally, of course, by the GI Insurance pay¬ ments by E. its credit ing world. govern¬ leads inevitably to the seek¬ means the of flict with other parts of expected of fixed a (69) income and and income deprived means is Reserve the support ment securities at CHRONICLE a 18 (70) THE Perry Dryden Joins Ames, Emerich & Go. CHICAGO, ILL. den,. veteran a years' in Co., security market made considerable progress on side during 1949 because of the limited selling of bonds by Federal, low money rates and short-term low-cost financing by the Treasury. . The shortage of higher-income issues brought about sharp price increases in the longer Treasuries, with the most distant eligibles, both the taxables and partially-exempts, vying with the e Inc., South Salle Midwest Stock Jan. 3, Julien Collins & Dryden Perry Co. Mr. Dryden twice has served as POPULAR . Equity investments surance States ISSUES in in . Fire and . . the whereas of Directors of sets the intermediate and smaller The supply, of when . were year. . the on effective Jan. 3, 1950, and will continue to do a general commission business un¬ the name Gruntal of Co. & firm will continue to The merged the offices of Stern & Co., at 25 Broad Street until comple¬ occupy of tion and new enlarged offices of January. & Stern 1945. Co. & and back date cessors Co. its the following Benedict member change; of Kohl, Curb nine New York Stock erick M. Stock Rental Exchange; Fred¬ Sandler; Mark again in 1949, the highest Price Yield Yield Chge. Chge. % 32nds —Closing— Bid Low Price 1.28 100.24 100.11 100.11 101.00 1.36 101.5 100.23 100.23 .91 10U.8 1.34 100.22 100.8 100.14 1.02 9/15/51-53 101.8 1.50 101.28 101.8 101.12 1.17 .06 —14 — 9 + 6 + 4 101.10 1.52 102.2 101.10 101.17 1.17 3/15/52-54 102.28 1.55 103.13 102.24 102.24 1.20 2 % 6/15/52-54 .101.11 1.58 102.10 101.11 101.27 1.23 + 16 2'/4% 6/15/52-55 102.1 1.62 103.00 102.1 102.12 1.23 + 11 + 24 2% 12/15/52-54 + — 7 4 Stock Exchange, Latin-American Uruguay, 101.12 1.62 102.17 101.12 102.4 1.26 % 3/15/54 100.10 100.6 102.9 103.27 1.91 106.19 103.27 106.4 1.45 + 2.9 2V4% 9/15/56-59 102.10 1.92 105.8 102.10 104.31 1.46 + 2.21 21/2% 9/15/67-72 101.29 2.37 106.6 101.29 105.31 2,09 + 4.02 and represen¬ will continue to . were as Bid Yield % Price Range Tax-free Price Issue . -1949 Bid Tax-free Pries 101.8 101.3 .52 103.28 .06 104.00 102.26 102.26 .66 9/15/51-55 3% 21/4 % Low 102.18 104.28 .97 105.00 103.24 103.24 .65 12/15/51-53 * 103.6 .9,7 High Price —Dlosing— .85 Yield % .35 — .39 — .36 — Chge. 103.12 102.24 102.24 .70 1.01 104.6 103.13 103.25 .73 + —14 104.28 1.11 106.8 104.28 105.20 .80 + 24 103.8 1.25 109.31 108.7 109.15 .85 + 1.7 108.28 1.29 111.5 108.28 110.27 .90 3/4% + 1.31 6/16/58-63 109.0 1.46 112.5 109.00 112.4 1.05 + 3.4 12/15/60-65 1.57 114.6 109.20 114.3 1.17 + 4.15 the no prices might 2 go. market leaders . . Taxable Price 6/15/59-62 y4% 100.5 12/15/59-62 .32 — .27 .28 .31 .40 — .39 — — .41 — .40 during 1949, prohibited restricted not or se¬ such holdings factors—public opinion, management opinion, and three of these law—are based extensive upon belief that a investment would involve in equities large and improper risks. the companies that that the High 103.12 Bid Low Yield safeguards social a some then Price 100.5 103.11 % 1.85 100.5 103.10 1.87 + 3.5 101.27 105.19 1.99 + 3.24 101.15 2.38 105.4 101.15 105.2 2.07 + 3.19 2.40 104.24 101.2 104.22 2.12 + 3.19 101.00 2.42 104.20 101.0 104.17 2.14 + 3.17 3/15/65-70 100.31 2.42 104.16 100.30 104.13 2.15 + 3.14 2 V2 % 3/15/66-71 100.27 2.43 104.14 100.27 104.11 2.18 + 3.16 6/15/67-72 100.15 2.46 103.29 100.15 103.27 2.23 + 3.12 2Y2 % 12/15/67-72 100,15 2.47 103.29 100.15 103.27 2.23 + 3.12 in of the possible practical Equity of the corporation: Walter % — — — — — — — — .37 .35 .35 .31 .28 consideration of the .27 .25 .23 — .24 — to savings place pattern. their funds Slaight Heads Granbery, Marache & Company Dept. in make but limited net of corporate tate. Briefly, the form can done be currently take excessively, what to the correct of the New situation? Some changes in public policy,particularly in the field of taxa¬ tion, might increase the willing¬ of ness individuals equities. Some desirable to invest in unnecessary or un¬ attractions the of sav¬ ings institutions for funds might desirably be reduced. Changes in the tax structure might increase willingness of business to fi¬ itself with equity But it rather seems un¬ rectly into equities. If personal saving is to continue predominantly into the savings institutions, these institu¬ to flow tions must be looked to to provide adequate an for capital source of equity funds formation. While any all of the various types of sav¬ or ings institutions might provide equity funds, it is the life insur¬ ance companies which are rela¬ adapted to this pur¬ the savings institutions If pose. whole a acquire large so an they cannot properly all be invested equities in debt, stock Instead or their of real saving es¬ flows ings and loan associations, and under vested York Stock which flows institutions must in laws present primarily in then arises question private enterprise consider what extent be in¬ debt. The whether a economy can operate successfully depending largely upon retained busi¬ earnings for equity and ab¬ sorbing all or a large portion of very in life and to insurance companies could legitimately in¬ equities it is necessary to examine the traditional objections vest in to such investments. The life in¬ companies have fixed dol¬ liabilities. They attempt to lar carry on their business sumption of the form of certain a on an as¬ minimum rate of earnings. fluctuate Because equities price and income in from them is uncertain it is held that they are not appropriate as¬ sets for the insurance companies. There are to this problem. One is ness saving whether the surance government securities. savings equity the institutions. Practical Possibilities To acquisitions primarily into the life insurance companies, the banks, cash, sav¬ Granbery, Marache & Co., 52 personal Broadway, New York City, mem¬ bers con¬ savings during the past two decades. They .28 G. W. J. If debt amount of funds that equity invest¬ by life insurance companies turn Gruber, Walter H. Weed, Jr., Ray¬ debt tively well The personal saving Vice-Presidents further tracts. as into Assistant into lenders from investment by 3.6 12/15/64-69 elected entering inhibit would individuals have shown reluctance 32nds + 105.21 Corp., 65 Broad¬ City, announced following have been flows the life insurance companies offer the best opportunity for 103.11 York income both borrowers and entire % the total the evidence available shows that 2 Vz % New creasing debt charges relative to Yield 2.34 Union Securities as in¬ quate flow of personal saving di¬ possibilities. upon The be advantage of Social Need for propor¬ savers Fur¬ can presump¬ consider increasing income to go to to consumers. any charges likely that enough can be done by any means to assure an ade¬ es¬ advantages of insurance company investment in equities will from debt Chge. 2.22 Corp. opposed fixed an nance public and economic Chge 101.3 - emanating than with debt. It should be An Price 101.27 6/15/64-69 recession powers equities would be greater than the disadvantages. This paper will depends —Closing—< 1949 % 2.22 reduced. depend should investing life insurance funds first consider be up debt at such find itself in partic¬ ular difficulties in case of business the two premises. institu¬ will rate would a ment Bonds .100.5 6/15/62-67 12/15/63-68 way, that most states have their To conclude that public benefit would flow from Price Range Yield Elects Four Officers Teletype N. Y. 1-3690 have anticipated good experience from holding such assets. The laws of tion 12/30/49 —Closing- . Union Securities Telephone WHitehall 3-1200 insig¬ Insurance ther, there should be BONDS St., New York 5, N. Y. assets. managements .30 — 2V2% INCORPORATED inappropriate company . v 2 Vz % 2 V-i 15 Broad the company assets. Public has considered equities . .33 The report for 1949 showed: 21/2% 8c Co. explain tablished eligibles, then the longer end of the list. .". question about support levels, last year, but how high Issue * very fraction . was to Lenders unwilling to lend such amounts indefinitely as the margin of pro¬ tion of a set up to prevent great risk. — 3/15/55-60 2J/a% 1 opinion verely % — 9 9/15/56-59 There add savings. The Chge, — 2%% were individuals tional cause Yield 1.7 2%% The ineligible obligations for a time the near-term unlikely that enterprisers will be willing indefinitely to add to their debts at such a rate as cause. nificant role of equities among life insurance All .28 — — 1.4 — 103.16 109.20 appears would of the housing Three closely re¬ country. reasons .46 — 1.2 — 6/15/54-56 21/4% 2%% Aubrey G. Lansyon the lated .46 — 32nds — 6/15/53-55 2% Bid NOTES of on 6/15/51-54 2%% to million, tiny of 102.15 , CERTIFICATES .35 — . 9/15/50-52 % u. s. BILLS .35 — 12/30/49 '—Closing— 2 amounts in the areas which expansion is needed. It building Proposals to enlarge the Restricted ★ .33 — Eligible Partially-Exempts 12/31/48 2 V2 appropriate in is follows: 12/3 1/48 ★ .32 ... Results corporate earnings necessarily to be found in not are 1.3% of their assets .45 — — Considerable switching took place in the partially-exempts dur¬ year, as the large commercial banks moved into the higherissues. Retirement of the 2Vzs and 3V8S eliminated $2,277,000,000 more of the tax-sheltered obligations. * ★ —1.22 ing the income represent the merged firm. TREASURY % 1.30 3/15/56-58 1 % Undistributed tection about Homer Jones 12/15/51-55 . 2%% operating in this unlikely to succeed. is manner system insurance $7 60 . . whole. a and . 23/4% Buxbaum, member of tative of Stern & Co. in Montevi¬ deo, High hous¬ as A system ing owned by was 12/15/50 2% 2% 100.25 9/15/50-52 % of Ed¬ Milton Goldberg. The 3/15/50-52 2% Ex¬ member Exchange; Stern; York 2 % Gruntal, Necarsulmer, Jr., member of Howard J. 1%% obligations. 1949 % New amounts decreased ... Price Range Yield Price Gruntal; H. York New Louis York New in established was of partners: ward and 1880 to Morris Hartig; Edwin A. New prede¬ The combined firms will be composed Issue i y2 debt. life 2\k % part at the same address the latter Gruntal Bid listed Stock Exchange. buying 12/30/49 —Closing— & Co. will merge, n companies was eliminated. 12/31/48 firms of Gruntal & Co. and Stern der were o m the cn Eligible Taxable Bonds Stock Exchange The New York to all of m York . . o c stocks . concerns eligible taxable bonds $4,404,000,000 of. 2s rate used for replacement of retired The record for the year: Firms fo Merge as¬ and 0.6% STATISTICAL RECORD OF 1949 MARKET GuiiffaS and Sierra United Common their total market side, especially during" the latter part of the the Bond Club of Chicago. in¬ holdings amount to 0.7 %1 of casualty companies assumed government . ciation of America. He is a mem¬ the small. very more important during 1949, doing considerable switching in addition to outright purchasing. Life insurance com¬ panies, especially the large ones, continued to be sellers of Treasuries, roles Investment Bankers Asso¬ Board companies are by life . . the market. member of the Executive Com¬ mittee of the Central States Group the demands of economic system Among the commercial bank obligations, the September 1967/72s and the partially-exempt 1960/65s were the most sought after issues. The smaller deposit institutions were the largest buyers of the longest taxable bond, while the big money center banks took prac¬ tically all of the. last four maturities of the exempts that came into He with of . stock an¬ . ber . . MOST formerly of the . on nounced. a . spread to the rest of the list, as the June and December 1967/72s went on to be the pace setters for the group. 1950, firm was . later Ex¬ change, the Savings institutions dominated market, because these institutions were sellers of the eligibles and buyers of the restricted obligations. The nearer eligible tap issues at first attracted much of the buying but this of e rs Economist emphasizes importance of proposals accentuated by consideration of today's entire savings pattern. Concludes the extreme limitations restricting investment of life insurance funds are no longer necessary or desirable; and that any gov¬ ernment controls should recognize this in connection with the government . b the Companies Equities? Economist, Federal Reserve Board, Washington . tap issues for market leadership. La Street, m e m Invest in up . 105 Thursday, January 5, 1950 Should Life Insurance Governments The government the West, will join Ames, Emerich & CHRONICLE By HOMER JONES* service M id d 1 FINANCIAL By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. banking in e on & thirty over investment t h Reporter Perry Dry¬ — of Our COMMERCIAL of the and two possible character the other of on solutions on the the side liabilities the side of the assets. Ex¬ * Abstracted from address by change, announce the opening of mond R. Wilson and Milton J. a municipal bond department un¬ Mr. Jones before annual meeting Yoeckel. The new officers have der the managership of G. Wilmer of the American Finance Associa¬ been associated with Union Secu¬ Mr. Slaight formerly tion. in New York City, Dec. 29, rities Corp. for the past several Slaight, Jr. was a partner in Chadwick & 1949. Mr. Jones prepared the pa¬ years. Messrs. Gruber and Yoeckel Slaight, municipal bond brokers, per before joining the staff of the are in the Buying Department of for two years, prior to which he Federal Reserve Board and the the corporation, Mr. Weed is Syn¬ views expressed are entirely his dicate Manager and Mr. Wilson is headed the firm of G. W. Slaight own and do not necessarily reflect in the Municipal Department. Company. thyse of the Board. The income insurance necessities companies are of the not ab¬ solutely fixed. Through alteration their of dividend companies tial can fluctuations Proposals alter payments the adjust to substan¬ of have income. been made to radically the character of the liabilities of the companies in or- Volume cier 171 that Number 4870 equities might THE more ap- i lia- | the bility contracts might provide that liabilities fluctuate in amount with changes in the value of equity I assets. not am technical aware practicality contract has been If ment. The propriately be acquired. that of the such a demonstrated. .But assuming the technical practi¬ cality, there seems little likelihood that such contracts would be at¬ tractive to the public. One of the great attractions of life insurance they made equity investments than supplying ment they liquidity should against credit cies if by the should of companies basis of equities of living. This should be more in¬ teresting to the public than con¬ tracts linking liabilities to the nies price of assets. value should to the combination sets and fixed living equities It It attractive cost of are the govern¬ relation of agen¬ basis a the concerned of the insurance and not on specific assets. of also be insurers equity as¬ liabilities since the as companies they will bilities of life 10% as their assets. small of its A compa¬ decline percentage assets cent per of in would a of the If situation may ment, they quired more, listed not equities have stocks of system. all the but a at Further¬ cross if equity such eco¬ lesser a cal tions, mains fact a equities would at be the In probably that market ownership value life do of market most commonly valued cost. at declined an the basic I criterion equity holdings there permanent we The desirable to they should be offered in the make appeal. an to the hope that pub¬ they would we A BANKS BUSINESS have to proceed on the assumption that ehher such contracts will not be efered to the public or that they will not make a widespread IS appeal. Insurance companies might find equities attractive if they obligated to pay or lend upon their policies upon demand. more not were But here again the public is so wedded to this practice that there seems little likelihood of We must statement whether equities can be appropriate assets even though we continue with the pres¬ see by the would investment life depend behind them? Yet when you in, equities insurance stories these companies mainlv three on factors—liquidity, valuation, to figures tell, how important and Take diversification. learn some of the they are to everybody. "Deposits," for instance. Included There of is for room opinion to as the li¬ quidity factor may constitute an impediment to equity investment by the life insurance companies. money In in retirement free of financial It may be that the chances of net withdrawals of funds from insurance company are so that this terfere possibility need with equity slight in¬ not to even ment estimate this the roofs it paid banks serve every¬ . year, . . and will continue to gear itself this pattern of American progress. \jp Whatever M, improved equip¬ every income group. During the Irving has been serving people in more capacities than ever before ^ figure helped buy for the investment. people in more Or consider "Loans." It would be hard life a ways, you see, its 99th to worry. new realities. to myriad needs of future a new body's business and help meet the financial home of a college education, it financed, the cars dreams ... wisely set aside for their own, a the for, the vacation trips it transformed from figure are not only the cash balances of large and small businesses, but also the "nest eggs" of people in all walks of life... difference a whether . workers. Or for that matter—the more family this Liquidity . . . and begin to realize you merchandiser or products it launched and the expansion it made possible . . the jobs it thus created for more large. How many people stop to analyze the figures or think of all the accomplishments ent irsurance contracts unaltered, Successful manufacturer Maybefinancial you wonder why a bank publishes its the public at changing it. it your needs may be, you'll find good business to do your banking at the mi Irving Trust Company. The record of the insurance com¬ panies in this regard is better than that of any other type of institu¬ tion. If we avoid extreme finan¬ cial crises in the future it may be a very unlikely for a life company to future, it the may companies be argued that such own large of government securities their market will be so well and Cash and Due from Banks. . . 311,035,067 Capital Stock U. S. Government Securities . . 452,413,721 Surplus Other Securities . 11,807,009 Stock in Federal Reserve Bank . 3,150,000 able to meet withdrawals even though they hold substantial equi¬ ties. Finally, it may be argued that since the insurance compa¬ nies will in any event invest only part of their funds in equities they Loans and Discounts First Mortgages on $ Customers' for . . their cash and govern¬ ment bonds cannot be relied upon to provide liquidity^ possibly we need other means. Whether the companies not their invest in equities liquidity depends Acceptances Outstanding a whole drawals . Dividend 6,011,678 . $ 50,000,000 55,000,000 . . . Capital Accounts 13,005,689 . . . $ 1,052,448,028 . Payable 118,005,689 Expenses 2,918,630 1,500,000 .... Portfolio 6,884,569 Other Liabilities 3,788,799 ....... United States Government Securities 5,707,607 are $1,187,464,523 stated at amortized cost. Of of, public monies and for other or . these, $34,560,526 purposes are pledged to secure deposits required by law. - upon i IAVISFC. VIC I 'ST experience net with¬ of dependent . $1,187,464,523 government in time of depression. Whenever the savings institutions as . Acceptances: Less Amount in can if . Reserve for Taxes and Other Liability Other Assets . Deposits 14,280,800 depend upon the remainder of their assets to provide liquidity. But Total 3,753,217 . . . . ........ UndivideclProfits. 381,224,232- .... Real Estate Headquarters Building 1340 LIABILITIES amounts maintained in time of depression that the companies will always be of December 31, as ASSETS circumstance insurance experience an embarrassing net withdrawal of funds. Even if net withdrawals are experienced in the Condensed Statement of Condition their upon funds, they the Federal are Re¬ serve, the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, ment with of or some other instru¬ government which to meet for They need access to such facilities equally whether they invest in equities or not. If the facilities are no provided, liquidity will offer impediment to equity invest¬ NEW YOIIK funds withdrawals. William N. Enstrom, Chairman of the Board MEMBER FEDERAL Richard H. DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION decline embarrassing danger Continued equities, see But I think likeli¬ ) be developed along these lines. If such contracts can be worked out lic little level prove greatest and the return from be long period over a seems But if their will experience any price would workable contract could a acquired to them. com¬ to applied were time which If this prin¬ ciple were of valuation panies should be cost. companies hood that suggest that for perma¬ embarrassing situation. the price of all assets of life insurance remained quired the companies would be in at are amor¬ mar.ket and nently below the levels at which they had on the average been ac¬ assets Bonds price. Current equities the earning prospects which improved relative to those of equities in general. If the price level of equities in general at insurance /companies current prospects by any not the Equities, earning of equities companies. we most of of insurance point of fact, long-term general, would have price incompatible with life become practi¬ companies. to be marked down in value. But such write-downs would be offset re¬ valuation current extensive by it would the 19 of which declined relative to those of equities in Despite these considera¬ however, assets for the tion of prices of equities would be reduced. by the companies. section equity in the economic Finally, debt is not a meaningful basis for valu¬ ation of the rental real estate held ac¬ entirely and tized govern¬ they would hold not simply insolvent. the would their of the peak of the market. the if insistence greater role in the a system one, the leverage factor would be less and the amplitude of fluctua¬ of compa¬ reasonably sound either on their initia¬ the or nomic present followed render example, the of playing be in¬ number of respects. a the managers nies the typical life insurance company For it ap¬ uncommon equity investments can¬ possibly be practical. But this tive large the pears that in a not are principles, Lia¬ say, valued were company would be insolvent. Since declines in stock market prices of as much adequate in insurance equal to price, \ value. percentage surplus to assets, market possibility that decline of are rather is'the the to 10%, and the stocks not assets for life insurance stocks, they de¬ price by a per¬ (71) positively correlated. would whether equal at CHRONICLE company consisted en¬ in market centage view popular type <of contract might be one which provided for fluctuations of lia¬ bilities with changes in the cost a a common clined Probably the major objection to A somewhat more more assets of In Valuation character. FINANCIAL tirely of not. prejudiced Extensions of on credit general are & are government be no be not equities. and annuities is their fixed dollar than provided, liquidity problem will be greater if a not are COMMERCIAL West, President of on equity page 31 20 (72) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE, Thursday, January 5, 1950 Cincinnati Stock and Bond Club r Chet Terrell, Clair S. Hall & Co.; Joe Work, Weiss, Work & Co.; Walt Dehner, Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Arch Montague, W. E. Hutton & Co.; Lee Staib, Geo. Eustis & Co. These five, with Max Kaplan, now of St. Louis, formed Merrill . . the nucleus that started the Cincinnati Stock & Bond .; Dave Chas. Ellis, Ellis & Co.; Pat Gerrard, C. J.Devine & Co.; Lee Staib, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Whiting, Otis & Co.; Jack. Neumark, Middendorf & Co.; A1 Widmann, Widmann &JyO;..Bob Isphording, Doll & Isphording; John Heimerdinger, Walter, Woody & Club. Heimerdinger; Ron Murphy, Widmann & Co. . Henry Poor; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Paul Hood, Seasongood & Mayer; Co..: Pete Schwindt, Seasongood & Mayer; Ed. Meiners, Braun, BoswOrth & Co.; Don Raymond, Bache & Co.; Chas. Richards and Fred Becker, Harry Filder. Fins Field Richards & Co. Cliff Reiter, C. H. Reiter & Co.; Don Kuemmerling; Irv Klein, Westheimer & Co^ George Happley, C. H. Reiter & Co.; Jim Chambers, J. D. Chambers & Co.; A1 Mack, Westheimer & Co.;*Sam Gertzmann, A. & J. Frank Co.; Lou Wanner. ; ><V.' f- ■■ •* Seasongood & Mayer ' - Bill Dohrman, Edvo. > Harrison & Co.; Frank Willis, Field, Richards & Co.; George Riley, & Co.; T. B. Johnson, Breed & Harrison; Dan Schwartz, W. D. Brockhaus Gradison & • Co.; Robert Srnalley, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Herb Oettinger, W. D. Gradison & Co. ,Jir?i Mor.iarjty, W. E. Hutton & Co.; Paul Glenn, Edw. Brockhaus & Co.; Chas. Coulson, L. W. Hoefinghoff & Co.; Jack Siegman, Bohmer, Reinhart & Co.; Jack Cronin, The 'Cincinnati Enquirer; Henry Arnold, H. B. Cohle & Co.; Tom Hughes, Edw. Brockhaus. j& .Co.; Cliff Grischy, Field, Richards & Co.; Clete Oilier, Edw. Brockhaus & Co.: (Speakers table) : John Muehlenkamp, Doll & Isphording; Jean Bennett, J.E. Bennett Co.; O. W. Hirst hie Id, Stranahan, Harris & Co.; Joe Vasey, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Joe Van Heyde,-;,Secre ary of N. A. S. D. District No. 10, Columbus, Ohio; Gil Davis, Harrison & Co,;1 H Frank Burkholder, Equitable Securities Corp., Nashville Tenn., President of N. S. T. A.; Lloyd W. Shepler, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Ed Welch, Sincere & Co., Chicago, retiring President of N. S. T. A.; Harry Hudepohl, Westheimer & Co; Clair Hall, Clair S. Hall & Co., First Vice-President, N. S. T. A.; Morton A. Cayne, Cayne & Co., Cleveland, Ohio, Secretary, N. S. T. A.;v Chas. Odenweller, Securities & Exchange Commission, Cleveland; William Pohl, Pohl & Co.; George Kountz, Widmann & Co.; Harry O'Brien, W. E. Hutton & Co.; Dick Welling- & hoff, C. J. Devi'ne & Co. (Front table—left): William Worth, Westheimer & Co.: Don Turner, Westheimer & Co.; George Morgan, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Norman Humphries, The Keystone Co, Detroit; Bill Berlage, Westheimer & Co.; John Hitzler, Westheimer & Co.; Warren Woodward, Thayer, Woodward & Co.; Dick Thayer, Thayer, Woodward & Co. (Front table—right): Bob Brink, W. C. Thornburgh Co.; Bob Lahman, W. C. Thornburgh Co.; Walt Dehner, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Charles A. Hinsch, Charles A. Hinsch & Co.; George Eustis, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Fred Latscha, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Gordon . . „ . Reis, Seasongood & Mayer; William Cummins, Edw. G. Taylor & Co, T Chas. & Whiting, Otis & Co.; Don Turner, Westheimer & Co.; Henry Arnold, H. B. Cohle Co. (shaking hands); Joe Vasey, Geo. Eustis & Co.; Bob Isphording, Doll & Isphording; George Morgan, Geo. Eustis & Co.; George Kountz, Widmann & Co.; Ralph Walvogel, The Central Trust Co.; Fred Latscha, Geo. Eustis & Co. (shaking ' hands); Bill Berlage, Westheimer & Co.; Harold Roberts, John E. Joseph & Co.; ' Lee Nussloch, J. E. Madigan & Co.; John E. Joseph, John E. Joseph & Co.; ' 1 The Kirschner.TwinVentertainers,- playing piano *. w . ... Volume THE- COMMERCIAL Number 4870 171 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (73) > Holds Annual Dinner Power Hirschfeld, Stranahan, Harris & Co.; Harry O'Brien, W. E. Hutton & Co.; Dick Wellinghoff, C. 'J. Devine & Co.; Harry Hudepohl, Westheimer & Co.; Lou Wanner, Seasongood & Mayer; George Kountz, Widmann & Co. C. W. gaging:; in Secretary Sawyer Repcrts Taxation Discouraging Risk Capital In letter which 'are i "I i Secretary of Commerce Charles to taxation, although of there is no way to know subject course, tailed of results his recent trips survey throughout the nation, com¬ mented on in advance what the net effect of repeal reduction would be. or "The difficulty of obtaining capital for the financing of business expansion was repeated¬ business attention. Many firms unable to been small cumulated forced to large business ef¬ cially To gar d i fects of n g present tax structure b u i s o n ness ex¬ pansion. 1 Ac- cording to Secretary Sawyer finance own for . sion exists as v ■ TEX DALLAS, Seay has been admitted to part¬ nership in Louis B. Henry, In¬ associated Co., vestments, and the firm name has changed to Henry-Seay & Offices Co. Building. Kirby associated been to what is and what Cor permissible under Federal legislation and regulation in this general field. These problems are, of course, being given attention will some continue in ber the by the President's Committee on Business and Government Rela - Sawyer: business situation J. Proprietorship Arthur 120 George de Treville is now sole proprietor of George de Treville Co., 30 Broad Street, New York announce 'double that firm's sales ac¬ and more measures taxation,' by original tax earnings of the corpora¬ meant the was the increasing business effort risk required to meet the demands of the buyer's market of paid out in dividends; liberalization of deprecia¬ tion allowances, thus encouraging the purchase of new equipment which would not only reduce costs, but would stimulate other industries, and (3) a liberal inter¬ pretation of Section 102 of the In¬ * * * tion followed by a tax against the individual on the part of the and 1919 brought an almost universal plea for tax relief as a means of stabilizing costs and prices and as a-stimulus to business expansion. Although I took occasion to point cut that reducing expenses is eas¬ ier talk to about than to accom¬ plish and that the problem of re¬ ducing the Federal budget sub¬ stantially with the requires that deal we in which large and areas vital expenditures must be made, there was insistence an that "Business leaders a ternal everywhere reductions in the military budget the President's action in and Revenue Act to permit small businesses, in particular, to a larger share of earnings working capital, without run¬ ning the risk of being penalized. retain as "From well expressed enthusiastic approval of sult as of the tax standpoint, standpoints, one re¬ trips was a clear de¬ my lineation of the divergent position of large and small business. It Congress proposals to the reorganization businessman to accumulate out of was designed to streamline govern¬ ment operation and reduce ex¬ earnings penses. per, "The taxes mentioned that duced of taxes which when not either such The a the basic was that spending retained at policy is no a time longer It is clear necessary or desirable. from re¬ imposed during discourage be ex¬ universal a be course, were to war should was they eliminated. or argument, the frequently the wartime There cise taxes. request most were of com¬ this subject great number plaints made to me on that these taxes have sufficient capital to make his business grow and pros¬ it and that that very fact made difficult" for him to sell his stock outsiders. to spots it was puting its In numerous suggested that in com¬ taxable income the allowed to deduct a certain specified amount in dollars or a percentage of earnings. By some it was sug¬ gested that these amounts should only be deductible if they were small used corporation be for working capital or .for purchase of plant and equipment. "In repeatedly and in practically all of the areas visited throughout the South, Middle West and West, complaints from continu¬ cooperatives who get special tax advantages. They complained conferences there was a ing volume of opinion from both labor and business that excise tax reduction ber well of as will increase business gross the num¬ transactions as small businessmen regarding their difficulties, in competition with that it was increasingly difficult for them to pay the taxes which the .government requires while business eaffiirigs they compete With; enterprise^ and its depositors are fortunate in having as "gentlemen well known by the community," dis¬ tinguished by their leadership in industry, finance and public affairs and by their readiness to carry on the abiding traditions of trusteeship established by the founders in 1848.* This bank Trustees , LOUIS B. ALTREUTER Vice Pres., Horace S. en¬ Ely & Co, EDWARD E. ANDERSON Vice Pres., Discount Corp. Netv York of EDWARD F. BARRETT President, Long Island Lighting Co. BRUCE BARTON . , Chairman of the DOUGLAS GIBBONS President, Douglas Gibbous & Co., Inc. HARRY C. HAGERTY Vice President and Treasurer, do. Metropolitan Life Insurance * PERCY C. MAGNUS' President, Magnus, Mabee & Board, Batten, Reynard, Inc. Barton, Dmstine 6 Oshorn, Inc. NEAL DOW BECKER BENJAMIN PATTERSON, Jr. * President, Intertype Corporation WM. GAGE Chairman of » The BRADY, Jr. the Board, The of New York National City Bank HENRY P."BRISTOL President, Patterson-Sargent Co. ANTONIO PISANI, M.D. LESTER VAN BRUNT Executive Vice President Chairman of the Board, Bristol-Myers Co JOSEPH A. BRODERICK WM. WHITE wanna President - President, The Delaware, Lacka¬ and Western Railroad Co. WM. ROGERS COE LEROY A. WILSON Vice Pres., The Virginian President, American Telephone Railway Co. connection with taxation, I encountered depressing effect upon retail sales and that in the case of jewelry, furs, luggage, admissions, etc., the effects are, in specific cases, very serious. I might add that throughout my a OF as other pointed out repeatedly that it is extremely difficult for a small recommending certain (2) re¬ ductions could be made. YEARS earnings * The Trustees in the same are and / * Telegraph Co. listed alphabetically and are pictured order, clockwise from the upper left comer. EAST RIVER SAVINGS BANK Member Federal Deposit Holdeft v.'-;./' NEW YORK New & Co., Inc.| York" City,1 George A. - Ritter, and Richard A. Rutter have joined! the City. Warner Broadway. frequently recom¬ (1) the elimination of mended: which num-j a J. A. Warner Co. Adcta most sc-called Ball, -j time. invest¬ investment attractive three specific were on "The this remedy with ■ plant and equipment and This is espe¬ true of small enterprises. make formerly for was years Mr. not Now of becofti<?j with Mallory, Adee & Broadway, New Yorkjj &co.■ Seay has Henry Mr. with 120 City. He been 111 Mallory, Adee Co. William C. Loughlin has William H. — for working capital. the With comments ment in re- William G. LoBghlin New Firm Name impressed ions. their use earnings executives Charles the *. numerous themselves by issues of stock have views of both and my Henry-Seay & Co. regarding gov¬ ernmental activity in monopoly and fair trade practice matters. While independent retailers and wholesalers 'were extremely anx¬ ious for adequate safeguards to assure fair competition, it was clear that a great deal of confu¬ is risk ly brought to particularly was with business expansion. Sawyer, in his final report to Dr. John R. Steelman, the Assistant to the President, giving de¬ the same activities relieved;: from those from businessmen survey on i & taxes. business conditions to John R. Steelman, Presidential Assistant, Commerce Secretary says there is almost universal plea for tax relief as stimulus to concerning Clancey, W. P. Clancey & Co.; A1 Mack, Westheimer & Co.; Jim Chambers} Co.; George Happley, C. H. Reiter & Co.; Irv Klein, Westheimet Co.; Cliff Reiter, C. H. Reiter & Co.; T. B. Johnson, Breed & Harrison '■ * J. D. Chambers & Insurance Corporation organization. • 22 (74) THE gories of liquid savings, the Individuals Reduced reveals $1.7 Security Holdings in SMS Third Quarter SEC, though crease in individual estimating third C. the ners B. the bond net issues. preferred taken by The however, stock, Mr. are Shawell an Cooke and George LONDON, future, Company — William J. Co. to be He was formerly of With¬ in two end. to When the question. far is possible judge now, it as size continue. even if world¬ likeli¬ no British from substantial recently cut the in oil United , an¬ pur¬ States. cuts' be eliminate sufficient to abnormal dollar the deficit? Or will that deficit be financed by some form of Ameri¬ can financial aid? In many quarters much to revival a hope is of Ameri¬ can 232,144,322.05 9 7,473,554.74 156,561,875.42 . . . to seem be, investor does keen very flow of however, The Ameri¬ not appear to on resuming the part he played during the interwar period, when it was his losses that financed the American ex¬ will be in to 1952 substantially it in some form, or increase of Ameri¬ an fought out between the American taxpayer and the American busi¬ From British. and European point of view it would be of the utmost importance States if the United Government could and Congress quite plain at the possible date that there make it further government aid 1952. There are far-vdtoo after people many it take this on side who for granted that, in the interest of the American exporter and of the American businessman anxious to safeguard his domestic markets, dollar aid will continue after even There 1952. a widespread concep¬ tion that the United States simply has to provide the nance plus. the dollars perennial to export fi¬ sur¬ This assurnpton goes a long toward weakening the na¬ way tional efforts to achieve indepen¬ can hardly be blamed if he is ovei-anxious 1,240,014.95 275,692.37 . relieve the not tax¬ payer of this burdensome and grateful some $544,034,712.35 to task. . There government-sponsored vate investment politically in safe un¬ be may pri¬ of some backward the coun¬ & Co., members Exchange, Clifford that announce P. Mc- Kinney has been admitted to gen¬ eral be in the firm and partnership will in resident Louis St. the W. Ron¬ office, 503 Locust Street. ald Gill and Clarke Simonds have general partners and will in the- firm's Provi¬ become resident be office, Hospital Trust Build¬ dence Louis Walker also has been to general partnership resident in the Hartford office, 50 ing. admitted Mr. McKinney has active been investment business the in Louis for St. in He joined the Walker organization in 1942 and has been sales manager of the years. many St. Louis office for the past seven years. theories with built up in justifica¬ tion of this order of things. The are the Socialist Party. During recent Weeks the influential Sunday tax¬ Walker H. dence of American support during the next two years. Elaborate assumed American G. of the New York Stock State Street. is payer, and the American investor the Walker no apologists of Britan's dependence by Louis Clarke Simonds a port .surplus. Since the second World War this role has been 2,272,739.19 Accrued Interest Receivable this that 660,000.00 . Banking Houses of al¬ 585,826.44 . Stock of the Federal Reserve Bank dollars be 16,957,632.35 Municipal Securities Other Securities extent grossly exaggerated. can i Customers' Liability for Acceptances. private investment abroad on large scale. Estimates of the probable W. Ronald Gill nessman. will be a Other Assets is the as these . can imports and to a reduction of American exports. The "battle of the dollar" will then have to be earliest 31, 1949 . Einzig The really any attached Loans and Discounts existence, There such Will Slate and Paul Area, (includes $13,139,000 pledged to secure public and trust deposits, etc.) found aid agreeing to Dr. scarcity of dollars is likely of be will be narrowed through further cuts in imports from the Dollar $125,863,054.84 is as ernment decline. may McKinnej is now, the choice between continuing gov¬ same will so increase RESOURCES it the is In Clifford P. its dollar accounts. the situation chases ...... is What nounced U. S. Government Securities preventing an in¬ imports. But, as far as possible to judge from this balance of the exports of the non-dollar countries to the Dollar Area. To some extent the CONDITION the will¬ of that hood STATEMENT extent of the on in favor of happen wide Main Office, 37 Broad Street indi¬ Govern¬ the narrowing depends then? to realize the gap be American having realized the need for lowing the rest of the world Aid come gap . which dollar to appear that officials side, American businessmen and politicians are still very far from years Marshall will its Cash and Due from Banks to it the dollar gap remain in December ment crease the to of NEW YORK There cations will as Phillips Invest¬ AND TRUST COMPANY ation. sure pros¬ distant an The Public National Bank future aid will follow ECA. States Government to resist pres¬ the will OF no urges complacency, ingness and ability of the United it officer of J. R. problem, and giving thought for own known dollar and more cate- ment Co. CONDENSED clear that ENGLAND—The turn of the year is a suitable mo¬ ment for detaching' one's mind from the problems of the present and the near pects shortly form his firm & Jordan Is Sales Mgr. to breakdown British some investment was different the Milton Lucas. Shawell will individuals. Separating late Lucas, 115 Broadway, City, will become of*the Exchange. Part¬ HOUSTON, TEX. and common acquire solve not Government, in order to make it Exchange York To Form Own greater part of of issues new & the U. S. future. bonds, absorbing million of net new $400 will Stock William J. Slsaweli period, institutions purchases of $900 mil¬ same lion of corporate all private investment will to reports, were reduced by almost $300 million, and holdings of stocks by more than $200 million. net Cooke 12, and the firm of Cooke Four Hew Partners Einzig, forecasting continuance of dollar gap in Britain after Marshall Plan aid ends, notes feeling in Britain U. S. aid will continue after 1952 deadline. Says influx of American of members G. 11 Walker Admits Dr. York Jan. on New their to Gordon Thursday, January 5, 1950 By PAUL EINZIG by Exchange Member New CHRONICLE sav¬ associations membership the period as has been done in previous periods. Individual hold¬ ings of corporate bonds, the SEC made loan Sam corporate security holdings during the their pension by $1.5 billion and in and N. Y„ 1949, the Securities and Exchange Commission reported on Dec. 28, In and Cooke & Lucas to B & the savings in liquid individuals of $1.7 bil¬ during the third quarter of add increased $200 million. by to holdings of deposits in the insurance FINANCIAL What Will Happen When ECA Ends? their to & SEC added sav¬ security holdings. individuals failed in reserves Despite lion individuals quarter and ings tember at $1.7 billion, finds in¬ dividuals failed to add to their form billion equity ings between July through Sep¬ corporate that currency and bank in¬ liquid COMMERCIAL dollar on aid of confined "Observer" newspaper* the not are to to came support iof the Socialist point view by trying the amount of aid granted to since more of financial financial the less equal or that prove British war aid G. 1943 has H. in associated & Co. since charge of the firm's sta¬ tistical and research department Simonds joined the Walker 1945 after five years of Mr. firm in service in the Army Air Corps. He employed as an account executive and currently is sales manager of the Providence office. has been Mr. Walker, youngest son of the firm's founder, the of received ager same April, 1949. by period. been Walker in the Providence office. was to the amount Gill Mr. has been co-man¬ office since Hartford tries where the risk involved does Capital .... .«»..«« . Surplus . . . . Undivided Profits Dividend . . $9,625,000.00 $31,223,079.73 275,000.00 Less: Own in Portfolio Other Liabilities Deposits . 1,775,977.16 . . . » 754,960.67 419,220.19 . ••••••••••••••• 505,319,220.14 $1,500,000.00 transferred in March, 1949, from Undivided Profits as a reserve for such purposes (including Employee Retire¬ Reflects ment as Directors may MEMBER: N. Y. CLEARING HOUSE ASSOCIATION H. Bixby, senior partner of the firm, also has announced that statistically John H. Jordan became sales In any.case, generally speaking it is true to say that the influx of that dollars through American private other so would not solve the it is of In other easily achieved—there is how but to it. The finance how to the is dollar eliminate it. not deficit Efforts will undoubtedly be intensified during the next two years to in¬ The exports to the Dollar Area. success of the dollar drive depends, however, largely on the willingness of the United States to receive the goods which countries on are its markets. take to listed after f has far so soft-currency which from and very them in this he until the clear that this state of affairs must come to end in two years, this concep¬ tion of will lead least to to taking the line resistance, Military Institute in 1921, and joined the firm of Harris Trust & Savings of Chicago, representing need im¬ and Brothers, later members the in nothing accomplished in Clark Inc, his because own of of has the personal affairs. Clark ciples of that statement into firm's Los Angeles office. oper¬ was & associated with as Co., pressure the directions of putting the prin¬ of the of Gatch Gatch New & York of the fall G. H. Walker & Co., of 1942. H. Lewis & Co., 63 Wall Street, New York City, members retired Blyth partner of McKinney, Exchange. Mr. Jordan joined firm John M. a and With John H. Lewis Co. E. M. Clark Retires Ernest officer Jordan Co., Stock until 192.9 when area an and From this or became will weaken the dollar drive. Vice-President man¬ ager, effective Jan. 3, 1950. Mr. Jordan graduated from Virginia is hard-currency Unless States makes it W. no the here, little been ex¬ tragic view of the countries. an words, non¬ anxious Washington meeting in September sounded promising, but as far as it is over a to feat surplus port United point of view the text of the state¬ CORPORATION Greater New York problem surplus to British a port countries—a proved assistance there is as depend corresponding a British countries. long be can dollar gap but would merely post¬ pone it and, in the long run, ag¬ known there amount investments ment FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 25 Offices Located Throughout Co. & dollar loans and grants so long dollar from time to time authorize.* FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE was Walker on unload Plan) H. as crease $544,034,712.35 * of G. ter if Britain continued to gravate 5,114,423.87 $2,530,937.83 Acceptances Prior thereto he offices Louis cessation of Marshall Aid. 928,807.75 Contingencies the likely to go very far toward covering the dollar gap after the Payable Jan. 3,1950 Reserved for Interest,Taxes, complacency. They tend to'cre¬ ate a feeling that it does not mat¬ the total of such investments during is not Unearned Discount * connected with the New York and St. But 12,375,000.00 9,223,079.73 . Such arguments tend to stimulate to be materially higher it was during the 'twenties. than 22,000,000.00 * Britain not appear LIABILITIES of Mr. the of the New York Stock have Fay announced has become that Exchange, C. Edmund associated as a registered representative. Mr. Fay in the past was with bert & Co. Clinton Gil¬ Volume 171 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4870 furnish Can Individual Investment Be changes in purchasing power and high tax rates, of satisfactory equity financing. Decrying merchandising efforts as short-run curatives, he concludes that apathy toward saving and misunderstanding of private am but which is aware remarks hand sit¬ a you are basic to my so concerning the subject at that must sure be it t i o a which I 000 decline in the of all the fact of total income went income 40% some this to receiving over class, when the change in the price level is taken into account, it would For probably be fair to conclude that relatively smaller proportion of total income was going to the top receivers 1929.1 In ing 1948 in than in fact, the $5,000 income 1943 would to power in come equate in purchas¬ $3,000 of in¬ in that year some 1929, and nearly 50% of the income went to those receiving Total was national 194P $3,000 more. or income, of than more twice (in dollars) as course, high in in 1929. as Strength The I pertinence of this to what attempting am we to are investors ual capita] bring to look out furnish to is individ¬ to only little a type, we should first take cognizance of the potential invest¬ any ment strength Whether not or of individuals. individuals earn¬ ing less than $5,000, or some such figure, at the present time should be considered tors in know as potential inves¬ equity securities. I interested in level below which pect not am debating. We do is certainly a there that individual less remains for income there saving great bulk of individual from those who receive low sav¬ than $5,000 a year. What¬ be the income level be¬ which cannot we expect any investment funds it is, of course, considerably higher now than during the 1930's, which is the reason 2% it will the total of individuals method a erate this (1933- years What (1946-47, years ability to invest, what is going to be their as made. He does which not substantial to investments will become cussion My that of in evident more are of corpo¬ the likely the future? potential investor this on figure at present should compare with something like a $3,000 income figure 20 years ago. If, therefore, the $3,- high income groups. The higher income tax rate at the from an time present much income than earlier 1920's, for example, less address before by annual the was not lower purchasing maining income. current a for the case mention to the of the power re¬ at the that there are fewer high individual incomes, taking changes in purchasing power and tax rates into account, than there were during earlier periods when individual investors were furnishing more equity cap¬ ital than they are today.2 Our first point is, therefore, that there potential equity capital to earlier the incomes current than periods. of true was We of know, that the potential volume course, investment of 26,923,864.06 27,576,728.37 Stock of Federal Reserve Bank 3,150,000.00 Securities 17,188,332.48 Loans, Bills Purchased and Bankers' Acceptances 557,375,053.18 .... Mortgages 15,547,912.39 Banking Houses Other Real Estate Customers' 10,550,333.13 .......... Equities 457,620.88 Liability for Acceptances 6,363,498.13 7,189,157.62 $2,451,996,774.10 outset, there is in this review startling nothing less Mortgages Municipal Bonds Accrued Interest and Other Resources which merely states is 700,693,983.16 1,078,980,290.70 High Individual Incomes As I said is funds LIARILITIE S Capital $45,000,000.00 . Surplus 60,000,000.00 . Undivided Profits Reserves for Taxes, Unearned Dividend Discount, Interest, etc. . . 7,784,963.34 . Payable January 15, 1950 1,350,000.00 Outstanding Acceptances Liability as Cash held Endorser as on Collateral 6,913,827.34 Acceptances and Foreign Bills or . 2,556,734.24 . in Escrow 14,678,810.72 . Deposits 2,281,747,790.52 $2,451,996,774.10 the not 136,964,647.94 $ 31,964,647.94 . only determinant of the volume of investments at certainly sets probably could We the given time, maximum. any it but a United States Government and other securities carried public junds and trust deposits and for other today solely of equity capital individual investors basis of the which I have alluded, but facts to the on nevertheless they factors are which must be taken into account. Investing Willingness of the 2 The eral ability Board Reserve of that there individuals f 1949 VI, Association, New York City, Dec. than System in only are hold of the of its one finances about Fed¬ recent estimates million seven corporate securities, Survey of Consumer Finances, Part Federal Reserve Bulletin 1949). the Governors consumer who spoken only individuals to of of This is have we number a for October somewhat been of lower figure using with respect to dirferent as required are or pledged to secure permitted by law. individuals New York Director, Lambert Company Steamship Lines OSWALD BRUSH HAROLD L. JOHNSTON KENNETH Corporation F. MacLELLAN Chairman, Trust Committee Board of Directors of America L. JOHN T. MADDEN CHARLES A. DANA A. VAN BOMEL President, National Dairy President, Emigrant Industrial Chairman, Dana Corporation Products Savings Bank HORACE C. FLANIGAN GUY JOHN P. MACUIRE Vice-Chairman, Board of Directors i- President, John P. Maguire & Co., Inc. JOHN M. FRANKLIN President, United States Lines Company C. R. PALMER President, Gerli & Co., Inc. GEORGE J. PATTERSON HARVEY D. GIBSON President, Scranton & Lehigh I Coal Co. * Corporation W. VAUGHAN Chairman., Wright Aeronautical Corporation HENRY Director, Cluett Peabody & Co., Inc. PAOLINO GERLI SMITH ERNEST STAUFFEN President, United Biscuit Company President, George A. Fuller Company City V. President, Home Insurance Co. Simpson Thacher & Bartlett LOU R. CRANDALL President HAROLD C. RICHARD JOHN L. JOHNSTON Chairman, Atlantic, Gulf anrl West Indies Vice President Chairman, Lincoln Savings Bank EDGAR S. BLOOM ALVJN G. WILLIAM G. RABE FREDERICK GRETSCH Chairman, The Sperry & Hutchinson Co, Products have we $84,599,284.02 purposes DIRECTORS EDWIN J. BEINECKE Chairman, American Home Thus far at explain not volume low corning from meeting of the American Finance 29, 1949. from date, Fewer with compared as the rate of the $ . U. S. Government Insured F. H. A. Other and . U. S. Government Securities middle surveys Froman close oj business December 31,1949 RESOURCES Cash and Due from Banks C. VON ELM Chairman, Board of Directors ALBERT N. WILLIAMS President, Westinghouse Air Brake hold¬ Company ing 1 All recent the figures years Board sumer eral taken are of from Capacity to as Leven and Earlier in the method seems figure Fed¬ the are others, America's which the Brookings In¬ unlikely that any dif¬ would is negate being here. the corporate securities. The survey makes no statement with respect to whether or not this is a lower or higher Con¬ figures Consume, It ference in trend Survey of reported Bulletin. stitution. eral individual incomes for taken from studies of Governor's Finances Reserve on gen¬ emphasized than for previous years. previous estimates have been rate unless or cannot be conclude this trusted, that the more we recent would number of be no IIA\kl\(; OFFICES Street, New York City IX GREATER NEW YORK figure led to European Representative Office: 1, Cornhill, London, E. C. 3 individuals holding corporate securities is not keep¬ ing up with the increase which is taking place in our population, and is perhaps even Head Office: 55 Broad Unless inaccu¬ contracting in absolute numbers. Member FederalReserve System • Member New as to re- dis¬ Continued as at and the part what he thinks his chances of COMPANY of Condition ac¬ this First on MANUFACTURERS •Condensed Statement to runs proceeds. TRUST popu¬ or reverse foremost is the belief Slichter's, as income declining the important consid¬ which in trend forth view own Professor a celerate, continue, these set are erations by which these small and mod¬ groups could he induced to securities. counter For those who have the investments growth larity of equity securities. declara¬ income make rate State and income *Abstract pre-war postwar tremendous a investments and investments in cor¬ porate securities amounted to only about perfectly clear that there is ample room for disagreement.with percentage of the in¬ come which may be available for savings or investments for the for stating earlier that the $5,000 President the the makes earlier an the of in the popularity of fixed individual 48), invest¬ or the affect individuals comes may witnessed are emphasizing here all the more important, is that dif¬ ferences in tax rates noticeably of ing ever of decade involved, am receivers the more and Slichter face in that during 1941) and be more A third factor which makes the point that I had from give us some information point, and we know that this on Professor the 1920's, the last two decades have per¬ moderate incomes and or with pared open of ment. be anything left for invest¬ ment or saving after meeting their current living expenses. The sav¬ ing figures for various income groups analysis in order that savings 4% of the as since that ex¬ cannot we have to tion furnish equity capital. I point to the subjective nature of this part of of the their aggregate expenses and taxes will be greater. This will siphon off a higher proportion of the total in¬ come going to the group so that equity to make investments of or 1949.) statement more the the example, percentage same individuals leaves Potential Individual Investment that if to "An new in small recently said, capital is of savings could, if corporations of¬ inducement, be substantially in¬ (How Big in 1980?, Sumner Slichter, Atlantic Monthly, November H. the individual in¬ induced has corporations with that Professor Sum¬ person source this alternate investment possibility as fixed income types of investment, and of course we have in mind primarily bonds and mortgages. We know that, com¬ top income receivers a of be refer to has been the than past. means more $5,000 income can in¬ con¬ fered of not top income receivers in 1929. This Dr. Lewis A. Froman a In 1948, although year. larger a grouping, although that will not an entirely accurate method of handling the problem. We shall these what I shall say.3 takes total national income more $5,000 the 1948 received than re¬ ceiving of the in indi¬ viduals today in 15% 34% to it that case income went than income ex¬ ample, is vestor the question answer or a Slichter com¬ be creased." if to are whether ability as We shall lump the alternate types of investments in one general percentage of total national same In for 1948. we it cannot be avoided the of investment pared with alternate types of in¬ no investment at all. number of people at the high in¬ come levels to account for the higher income 1929, above it in account go- to of the income receivers A second factor to be taken into the receivers. some¬ same above this level in 1929, but were amount ing 50% tne of impression and opinion. Even though reliance must be placed upon such consid¬ only 40% of the income receivers refer of income to sons, realm have less H. in purchasing power position in 1929 as the $5,000 income group in 1948, then the figuies to be kept in mind are is the relative total stood in group like 3 No ner enormous invest in equity securities must be the not type 23 vestment or sideration is the attractiveness of figures, any discussion of the willingness of the individual to from fulfilling his income thing were to n to and role. that quite clear. The situ does vest, then the most important erations, May I begin by reviewing uation of which I this which combination of both the abil¬ a been said thus far by way of facts than in earlier periods investor outcome ity and the willingness of the in¬ into account keep final the dividual to buy. It will be recog¬ nized at once that unlike what has President, Russell Sage College, Troy, New York proper that consider further the group is Mr. Froman points to the fewer high individual incomes, taking will know we By LEWIS A. FROMAN* functions their of (75) inclination to buy securities in the future as compared with their in¬ clination in this respect in the We turn consideration a CHRONICLE willingness and desire in this directioin. This is exactly the same past? Since we start with the as¬ type of analysis we make in con¬ sumption that they have the means sidering effective demand, that is, to invest, for there is no reason to Stimulated? investment FINANCIAL equity capital. to now & York Clearing House Association • Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation page 30 24 (76) THE COMMERCIAL & king bonds and borrowing Review and Forecast of lower at bonds Municipal Bond Market interest bear, market's the 1949 year continuance of ume of new the by the large vol¬ of issues State Municipal bonds and by the smaller capital and types of construction. Buyer's" Index loans The for panies these the year 2.08%. By the had averages This, end despite of risen the issues new to 1949 on during rising market. Part of a the cause ket was of this strength of mar¬ the and ury sold were action the by the Treas¬ Federal Reserve maintaining their control of in¬ terest rates, and during July and later taking various steps to in¬ the crease the Louis S. Lebenthal tinuance markets the of of supply of credit for of counteracting a prospective business depression— this resulting in a big demand for Leroy Klein purpose types of bonds and especially Municipal bonds. relatively stable Later in Municipalities all over the coun¬ try with materials and labor now of available come engaged in all types of construction projects in¬ volving large-scale permanent fi¬ nancing. There were fewer large were issues for bonus and similar pur¬ poses and a large extension to the year, the prospect probably higher corporate in¬ taxes during 1950, the pros¬ pect of setting up huge pension funds rievfr an contracts as well undo amount of speculation as by he so-called "10 Percenter" (buy- of than their before and the holds be¬ have continued large capital their for funds. with 1950 it that tinued is will be market Housing Authority bond prac¬ tically guaranteed by the Federal Government and tax exempt. The a emission TRUST COMPANY this At the close of business, December 31, 1949 and chat ASSETS U. S. Government 432.295,401.24 ONigarion State, Municipal and Public Securities Other Bonds and Investments—; Loans and Discounts ' . Banking Houses __ Other Real Estate-Credits Granted on they credit . Acceptances 598,546,438.45 103,725,216.73 4,474,951.48 436,846,231.70 462,459.85 2,229,260.72 9,300,865.86 4,501,340.32 895,968.26 Other Assets. will be may standpoint, factors entirely pump changed be probable even Kansas Less Light 0.6 Capital Stock. Surplus Undivided Profits were as . Power St. Joseph 317 Lt. & Pr 50,000,000 State of North Caro¬ Reserve forConringencies 43,000,000 New York State Housing. The . York New state courts and Court of Consolidated Edison about Jan. (Less out t City held in portfolio) a of Philadelphia, $100,000,000 2,119,875.96 Other Liabilities 'of time 1,449.655,700.45 $1,593,278,134.61 received adjustments, rate cut $140,000,000 City Housing. York The But the 10 last year. able to was if find hopes to such an in S. Bridge rate legal thority. at $58,472,642.30 in the foregoing deposited to secure public funds for other purposes required by law. statement are and Stein Go. Partner appeal should be considered by the Court, the any return to the Public Service Commission case the Mr. Maltbie sharply reduced the Charter Member New York New Clearing House Association Member Federal Reserve System Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation York Co., 27 William Street, City, announce that mitted as firm. Mr. ly in the a general partner in the Weinberger trading Herzog & Co. was former¬ department of , a temporary return low interim case rate of fixed will return. This been fully tested although never the commission recently offered the $300,000 increase if it would stop litigation based a The commission under its liberal than during on the might be new leadership is considered somewhat the long Maltbie regime, and Consolidated able to regain at least part of its current loss of income, particularly if it is willing to compromise issue. mission The question still remains foggy can use them itself in setting The, Court of Appeals stated: "In where a accrued the deprecia¬ up a such case a depreciation is $95 million itself has by com¬ working rate as the present, witness for the commission has testified that the by the reserve on to whether the as actually order these bookkeeping changes, even though be entitled to may the Hugo J. Weinberger has been ad¬ 5V2 % return under the a This law permits this for company company indicated some fact that the on that its books, and the actual than the more a figure fqr reserve accumu¬ witness for the company depreciation exceeded the book $40 million, the commission need not blind itself to reserve does not—as reasonable Stein & grounds of confiscation. "recoupment" section of the law. it Hugo J. Weinberger Is on of only 5% but with the proviso that permanent rates when base. 22.700,000 Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority. com¬ the electric to appeal means tively high figure, and then allowed about Edison 84,000,000 State of Minnesota. share a base, principally by raising the depreciation reserve to a rela¬ more Au¬ $2.35 report Supreme Court bargain for "permanent" rates. tion Triboro (now retired) two lower in the 10% imposed on $21.5 million, was company company even New thority. reversed a rate decision to the U. lated Securities carried 2.30 pared with $2.28 in the corresponding previous period. pur¬ 84,000,000 Port of New York Au- 11,393,885.08 8,767,476.65 Deposits City Approximately 141,000,000 acceptances 23.00 While the gross annual the company at the same temporary increase in gas rates of $11.4 million. After deducting the latter and also the savings in Federal and other taxes on income, the net reduction would have been reduced to around $5.7 million or about 50c a share on the common stock. While these changes were put into immediate effect, the company for¬ tunately was able to offset the reduced income through lower fuel prices, use of new generating plants, heavy air-conditioning load last summer, growth of television use, etc. Thus for the 12 months ended Sept. 30, which would include about 35c "loss" through rate of the amount in the Staten Island Edison 1,125,000.00 6.5 electric rate cut which Chairman Maltbie poses. Acceptances Outstanding $ 13,513,761.04 11.10 1.50 Appeals recently provision of the law has apparently - 17.20 22.20 upheld the Public Service Commission 50,000,000 Louisiana State, Bonus. 4,243,495.48 28.50 6.3 $38.80 reimburse Los Angeles for various 4,468.600.40 6.3 1.40 Consolidated Edison so-called temporary rate law. lina, Roads. Almost Reserve for Taxes, Expenses, etc.. Dividend Payable January 3, 1950- 1.80 0.1 Light & ikWlnHfekLLi i J company 13,623,976.55 $ 113,623,976.55 7.20 0.6 Iowa-Illinois Gas & El Iowa company must follows: $77,500,000 State of Pennsylvania Turnpike Authority. 75,000,000.00 $15.40 0.5 1,904 and $25,000,000.00 Light $25.75 $8.20 1,587 Pa. LIABILITIES 6.2% $1.60 Subscription Price. 44,0^0,000 $1,593,278,134.61 United 12.00 City Pr. & Lt. Some of the large borrowers of 1949 Share Value Est. Net Value more the banking system, resulting in even higher prices. Accrued Interest and Accounts Receivable our is into do Re¬ economic it it levels We Federal political a the justified, Cash and Due from Banks. price little. which control rates, from should to Despite volume that very policies, interest STATEMENT OF CONDITION expected believe that the serve CONDENSED is dollars. expected assured change not Broadway, New York this billion a large will 165 of over seems Four, (Jed 1824 Fer Sh. Yield Basis Est. United Company are addition, therti will be a new type of tax exempt obligation — be Est. Div. Rate PerSh. <000> con¬ m Si prices to the recent price of United Light: NO. of and sewer supply planned for in great numbers throughout the country, BANK liquidation. water ways, systems EMI CAL final used along with other Shares as¬ a supply of new fi¬ schools, roads, high¬ as of United, Light to stockholders Light has advanced this year from 21 to 38%. This seems to discount fairly well the estimated immediate break-up value, although the subsidiary companies have excellent capital structures and their stocks might eventually sell on lower yield bases. The fol¬ lowing table reflects an attempt to adjust possible "when delivered" large nancing & outstanding. practically there four United outstanding general obliga¬ tions of Municipal Bonds approxi¬ mated $18,000,000,000 and in ad¬ dition thereto, in excess of $2,500,000,000 of Authority and For the principal steps in the plan in June sinking approximately of sured of probably in March, for cash to pay off $31 million bank loans of the two holding companies; (4) distribution of Iowa-Illinois Gas & Electric and Iowa Power & Light stocks in and were stocks common be initiated by arbitrageur houses. $23 million, proceeds being By the end of 1949 the volume bonds the to Power However, $140,000,000 of New York } City Housing bonds (guaranteed by the City of New York) were publicly sold, part of which were bought by the City's sinking fund. Revenue in may are (1) transfer of Continental's United, (2) distribution of the stock of St. Joseph Light & Power, a relatively small company, to stockholders of United (orig¬ inally scheduled for October); (3) sale of the shares of Kansas City their . it effects dissolution of consummation of plan "when delivered" subsidiaries (all 100% few weeks, and it is uncertain just how soon a The bor¬ finance Continental Gas & Electric, has a few company, outstanding with the public (United Light it will be necessary to call a stockholders' meeting 99%) owned) Instead, they to of United stock common trading largest improvements pension own dissolution plan the of Continental to approve the plan in so far as that company. These requirements may defer in borrower, New York City, for its account. approved no need to apply to a Federal court for enforcement However, due to a technicality resulting from the fact sub-holding of over assets coming in to the market to row Light & Railways finally to be plan. shares were without passed year the that the other good security. any has & appears of greater conscious SEC Railways, with proposed minor changes with respect to voting rights of subsidiary stocks, which changes will probably be agreed to promptly by the company's directors. Since the common stock is the only remaining security of the holding company, there orders in ever securities normal by corporations under their labor Light Of note is the fact that another all 1948. The taking advantage of the comparatively large tax exempt income at rela¬ tively reasonable levels compared the largest annual volume in the history of the business. Over $3,000,000,000 of By OWEN ELY United were and fraternal investment came 2.21%. pension Individuals numbers large was of and bonds. municipalities at the beginning of the year was 2.20%, the low dur¬ ing February and again in June con- again bought only limited quantities of the highest yielding long-term "Bond 20 banks sinking funds continued to be large investors; insurance com¬ for Utility Securities at year large investment Contend municipal levels will undergo little change. marked was the buyers of the Municipal Bonds; States and Municipalities for the expected to exceed $1 billion in amount. The Public shorter-term ipal bonds and the persistence of relatively stable markets over last two years, Messrs. Klein and Lebenthal forecast equally large supply in 1950, with Federal Housing Authority bonds bond price the highest levels. ending Commercial issues of State and munic¬ new Thursday, January 5, 1950 them on than practice and not recommended by investment bankers), resulted in extremely large volume of CHRONICLE dangerous very the Lebenthal & Co., New York City on a costs the By LEROY KLEIN and LOUIS S. LEBENTHAL Commenting FINANCIAL so men accumulated would use upon the company's books the word—'show' the accrued depreciation." Regarding the January has been temporary gas extended from rates, Dec. 31 the to increase quite possible that the commission might allow until Edison obtains the benefits anticipated J natural gas, probably early next winter. . a granted 28 and it Feb. last seems further extension from introduction of COMMERCIAL THE Number 4870 171 Volume mand Unlike a the funda¬ ago, year volume business of activity sug¬ total volume gest stability with a ent from and the ing to W. Director G. H. & Co., bers of level the Ex¬ W. David McKnight spending plans private account call for mod¬ erately lower new construction on of more reduction a in plant and equipment expenditures by businesses, Mr. McKnight stated. These two factors, although very basic considerations, do not tell the whole economic story for it is to be expected that Govern¬ ment spending — Federal, State and local—will close to maintained be present record it addition is doubtful similar that In in¬ in last to rates. 1950 will be year when the change ventory liquidation of business inventories was a major influence in the mild that recession industrial took place. recalled be should "It in 1948 business was whereas greatly stim¬ ulated by the accumulation of $6.5 inventories that plus of billion factor became negative a one dur¬ ing the early part of 1949. And by quarter of 1949 business the third inventories at being liquidated were annual rate in an excess billion. Current basic of $2 price trends in fact, semi-inflation¬ certain aspects, and it year ago, in ary far was above incomes, dividends in the aggregate increased and de¬ spite the rise in stock prices in the latter half of the year, stock yields greatly different at the not were in bil¬ $5 from of close circumstances of the fact, revenue question. As virtually matter a for greater tax undoubtedly will result in pressure review of the tax status of in¬ companies and a long look the exemption of co-operatives, surance schools tion and with in churches properties connec¬ be¬ owned 1949 was limited to government agency financing, ag¬ gregated close to $8 billions, slightly term 91-day nancing about were offered at yield a September to iy8 of almost every 1% % of the rate was month until in reduced cent. An exchange of¬ per fering Certificates 1.087%. 414 1%% year notes made in December reaffirmed the Treasury policy of interest low kinds effect for-nothing' dependence on Big Government in 1949. Whether this dependence until it is nation the completely socialistic pends upon comes free and grow into a economy the growth of ter-understanding must be to allowed forces de¬ a coun¬ nothing day the piper that some paid." in more vey characteristic of price range years," the "As sur¬ measured by mains "It is such flood a on a far not been so vey declared. will not known the be realized," the 97.26 100.15. The municipal market within a similarly narrow range, bonds measured by one average ranging only about .20% in yield. cluding financing' in federal farm until will be marketed ston, Illinois, at the age of 67. He wa« formerly associated with En- and yart, Van Camp & Co.. might well now direct position is satisfactory condition of statisti¬ cal under-valuation exists for the the demand a question. In cases where for reason an Bankers Trust Company unsatisfactory showing in 1949 has been reversed the opportunities appear to be NEW YORK greatest for, after all, many com¬ panies last year suffered losses that seem unlikely to be repeat¬ ed, particularly losses in inven¬ tory due to severe price declines. industries from a standpoint of maintaining or in¬ creasing profits for 1950 are con¬ sidered to be: retail trade, electric Outstanding utilities, electrical equip¬ construction (particularly residential), paper, television, and CONDENSED STATEMENT OF CONDITION, DECEMBER 31, 1949 ASSETS gas ment, business DIRECTORS Cash and Due from Banks ... U. S. Government Securities (with large natural gas interest), and tobacco ... $ 435,386,023.54 petroleum machines, 532,298,777.48 ..... ALEX H. ARDREY Executive Vice President textiles." Loans and Bills Discounted 576,710,609.34 FRANCIS S. BAER Senior Vice President State and ELLSWORTH BUNKER Chairman, The National Sugar Refining Company A Year-End Bond Survey Banking Premises President S. SLOAN COLT 1950 with volume of utility and railroad financing at 1949 level. Looks for decline in indashrial . . A Union Dime. Savings Bank Chairman, takes note of 1949 stability of bond prices. probable substantial increase tax-exempt volume of financing a offerings, bond a utility and railroad the 1949 level, and near decline in industrial bond issues predicted for 1950 by Halsey. were Stuart & Year-End "The gas Inc., in its annual Survey for 1949. Bond total of ments the Co. new money require¬ the utilities, including and telephone companies, likely to be lower; but it is possible that refundings in 1950 are issues of the bring near outstanding now total utility will offerings their 1949 level," the survey pointed out. "As with the utilities, decline in railroad equipment offset by financing will continue to be placed private¬ ly and will decrease in amount. a financing may refundings. "The also be Industrial World will go into refunding of¬ fering 6f $100 millions, its first public financing since the initial 1947 issues of $250 millions. While the market Bank with a financing by the Federal govern¬ ment has been by way of the short term market, long term offerings are quite possible in the future. "In the tax-exempt field, heavy volume is anticipated," the survey continued. "The apparent ness sues, willing¬ of voters to approve bond is¬ demonstrated by authoriza¬ in tions bring 1950's offerings of state and municipal bonds close to the 1949 total. Add to this vol¬ could the Housing ume and Authority issues substantial increase in tix- a exempt offerings is probable. With likelihood of any reduction in taxes, and the probability that tax exemption will become more little tax-exempt limited, Customers' Liability on Acceptances . . 10,249,115.79 . $1,624,145,646.93 Shoe Company JOHN W. HANES chairman, Executive Committee, United States Lines Company WILLIAM H. JACKSON Partner, J. II. Whiting it Co. LIABILITIES FRED I. KENT President, Council o] New York Un iversity Capital . . $30,000,000.00 . . 100,000,000.00 . .... . 37,169,137.98 WARD MELVILLE /'resident, Melville Shoe Corporation Surplus New Jersey PAUL MOORE .... Undivided Profits will bonds 4,799,674.08 . WILLIAM B. GIVEN. JR. ejections, November's 13,312,486.24 ......... Accrued Interest and Accounts Receivable President, American Brake. in 29,805,375.21 . WILLIAM L. DeROST maintained bond issues, and 21,583,585.25 . HENRY J. COCHRAN President, The Franklin Savings Hank ings in Municipal Securities Other Securities and Investments Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. forecasts increased municipal offer¬ . $ 167,169,137.98 THOMAS A. MORGAN continue to be in demand. "In general," Halsey, Stuart "the biggest demand for corporate bond offerings will con¬ noted, tinue to be that of insurance /'resident and Chairman of the Board, The Sperry Corporation Dividend Payable January 15, 1950 . . . 1,500,000.00 . 1,431,527,782.51 . 5,206,709.80 JOHN M. OLIN President, Olin Industries, Inc. DANIEL E. Deposits New Jersey POMEROY panies and banks. The demand undoubtedly will be augmented GEORGE A. SLOAN Chairman, Southern Agriculturist /'resident, The Nutrition Foundation, lac, . Accrued Expenses, etc. PHILIP D. REED the requirements of pension funds—requirements which may . Reserve for Taxes, com¬ by very Chairman, General Electric Company Less Amount in Portfolio Other Liabilities well become tremendous. B. A. TOMPKINS "According to the supply-de¬ mand equation, bond prices should continue steady with a tendency to advance. This projection is bol¬ by the probability that prices for long-term governments $12,076,764.82 Acceptances Outstanding 509,612.03 ......... 11,567,152.79 7,174,863.85 Senior Vice President $1,624,145,646.93 THOMAS J. WATSON, JR. F.rei utire Y'irr President, International Business Machine* Corp. JUSTIN R. WHITING - , President, Consumers Power Company stered will remain around Securities in the above statement annual report to present been levels." are carried in accordance with the method described in the stockholders, dated January IS, 1949. Assets carried at $77,307,194.74 have deposited to secure deposits, including $34,111,903-45 of United States Go\ernmeot deposits, and for other purposes. In looking over the past year's financial picture, Halsey, Stuart warned that government spending driving the completely so¬ and fiscal policies are nation close cialistic "With to a economy. an estimated income of Member oj the federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ' ex¬ 1949, loan attention to those industries where the arid James J* Forstall died at Evan- expected to continue upward as stabilized earnings are a more normal appraisal. stocks in if? they will appeal**' accorded and where it definitely just hovy lower but Investors sur- answer James J. For stall Dead the fluctuation for 20-year as real concluded. \ moved would bonds "The prices between of available more issues as decline in prices have it fluctuated of said the much as to which buyers and market Act might $1 billion of housing bonds per year, and a total of $7 billions. Early expec¬ tations that the mere anticipation generate of "the averages which includes issues of diverse quality, corporate one "Total principal than ten continued. confined were narrowest the on of was stemming from th«r Housing Act of 1949 re¬ to be seen, said Halsey,, Stuart. bring the billions, volume of "Corporate bonds $5 Federal gations. within about was The issue tax-exempt situations, too, may be subsidies, welfare pro¬ grams and spending continued to cultivate the nation's 'something- Long bonds approximately 20% represented by stocks." rates, at least for short-term obli¬ reviewed. 1948. which and late in December the average was in municipal $21 and all-time high. Fi¬ of corporations of all billions, certificates. Of¬ ferings of bills ranged from an average 1.16% basis in January to a low average of 0.923% in July, was bills and one-year than and totaled about $3 billions, bringing the total outstanding to about yond their necessary plant. Other "Federal less state major trend of stock prices "The is such relief from high taxes is The last summer. gan from 1949 increased Under year-end than when the rise be¬ to be more favorable than appear a, earnings corporate Indicated still of a concept of normal. Moreover, notwithstanding these smaller change. and greatest any York Stock their 1949 fear, during investors for of $253 billions to almost $257 bil¬ out at for process stocks should continue in business depression would decimate corporate profits. While corporate earnings in the aggregate did decline by perhaps one-fifth from 1948, the residual Mem¬ New revaluation namely, that Walker of plant equipment spending. 1950 and partner construction private abandoned f o in common McKnight, Research moderate indicated the of "The last accord¬ David year, this again become a con¬ structive business influence—one that could well counteract the ef¬ once decline greatly differ¬ average of see deficit a next June year billions, far more than previous peacetime year," any lions. a not 1950 surprising to would not be factor with debt to fects business in of December current fiscal the survey reported. "The national in market. mental factors that determine the America's in shares undervalued companies having and cash (77) ■' 25 bond market during stability, with a tendency to strengthen, said Halsey, Stuart. "Treasury financing, aside from continuing sales of savings bonds and tax anticipation notes, until 30 McKnight, of G. H. Walker & Co., says investors attention to industries having satisfactory de¬ position, estimated and CHRONICLE expenditures of $46 billions, fed¬ eral finances are expected to end the direct should FINANCIAL lions to $7 Major Upward Trend Of Stock Prices in 1950 David W. billions $41 Research Director Sees & ' . 26 (78) COMMERCIAL THE Mr. Experts Discuss 1950 SioGk Market Picture & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Weiss, whose remarks are in full elsewhere in this given of issue the "Chronicle," held a stimulant to an upward George Weiss, Glenn Munn, James Hughes, A. Wilfred May, major W. W. Cumberland and Ragnar D. Naess give views on stock market trend. Hans Widenmann presides at panel. stock market in the New Year will by showing any of course ments rent trend towaYd wider diffusion and accentuated, through "The market will the cally bolstered 1937 of also be specifi¬ by the generation better climate in which busi¬ a will find nessmen stanced themselves, in¬ by the currently-released report of the President's Council of Economic Advisers," Mr. Weiss continued. Mr. Munn emphasized the "cold war" with Russia tor G;enn George Weiss G. 1 James F. Hughes Munn presaging ket. Wilfred Mav A. .-Jfc: of "The a direct our and indirect blood "The Munn. float the on Other Munn the as stream," stock which the confetti our cited basis of for stock have much a prices are: prac¬ understated the assets, and which will be corrected; (2) "technical" market In 1950 a can "The Market Picture," held auspices of the Ameri¬ Statistical Biltmore on discussion of panel Stock under the Association Hotel, December the at New York City, views on the 30, topic were expressed by George Weiss, director of research, Bache & Co., members of the New York Stock Exchange; Glen Munn, con¬ sultant to Paine, Webber, Jackson & and Hans Curtis, members of the New York Stock Exchange; James Hughes of Auchincloss, Redpath & of the "Commercial nancial Chronicle" and of the for mann Fi¬ & Research; of William influence kets, and to D. He Exchange, and Ragnar Naess, of Naess, Thomas & Thielbar, investment consultants. Stock market" tion bond residue since of The the with years. also the "There is too much many as month Exchange, years. Naess. "We have can whether Mr. sibility been ' - mobiles Freeman, Hough & Go. mar¬ Formed in Ft. govern¬ cited the FT. pos¬ lower Freeman industries auto¬ have formed Co., with key as construction. and Myers MYERS, FLA.—Howard W- considerably of in levels is not." or Cumberland bear a business William and Freeman, R. Hough Hough & This, of considerable curtailment of capi¬ Street, to engage in the securities business. Both were formerly as¬ tal sociated with A. M. Kidder & Co. together with likelihood the expenditure programs by in¬ offices at 828 First dollar- the on as an securities mar¬ effective obstacle Highlights of 1949 Rail Market will of be the "the stock critical" market's fu¬ likely to major decline being ensue from the profes¬ discouragement prompted The 1949 closed on year optimistic note, at least so far as an markets are concerned. Strength, and increased activity, continued right up to the end of the last full trading session. In the case of the rails there was a slight reaction during the short session security the year last Saturday but this action on the eve of weekend can hardly be considered significant. Losses on the day were no more than fractional and apparently merely represented evening-up operations by traders. On the basis of present prospects, it is generally considered likely that the new that wound the long up holiday will witness a resumption of the upward technical reaction is possible any time now. year Brown Brothers Harriman YORK that has a » around, with overem¬ phasis by all and sundry on the inflationary factors," asserted Mr. major market movement. specifically that predicted sionals' NEW announced Sheldrick B. the excep¬ bullishness ket, »& yields; of ture course; a presided. PRIVATE municipal Rollins general partner. He ha'? been with Freeman & Co. for possi¬ in H. war firm Malcolm markets the - E. 1929, the admitted lower of Sons, Inc., having, been with that firm advanced Naess Mr. Skinner previously of department business a Mr. manager whole. as a any January Hans Widenmann, of Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co., members of York was by the Securities and Ex¬ change Commission as the greatest Thal- New Skinner. tered W. York Stock the on bond eral & Co., members of the New Ladenburg, the of industries, since 1929, Mr. May urged continuing appraisal of individual securities opening of a mu¬ department under management - of Charles L. nicipal Mr. Hughes pointed to the Fed¬ securities laws as adminis¬ member a (4) selectivity the announce at¬ overflow." faculty of the New School Social Cumberland "the and A. Widenmann Miller; A. Wilfred May, executive editor stock the Co., 61 Broadway, City, specialists in rail¬ equipment trust financing, road 1935- no within the inordinate spread between of paid & New York industries and between companies Mr. value of signals; (3) and movements between ment-stimulated by (1) conservative accounting tices mar¬ of the Potomac." on elements higher level Ragnar D. Naess market price arma¬ tide product flowing from machines a Freeman conversely markets Demonstrating year. will Skinner With Freeman; tention to the SEC," said Mr. May: coming business our "Credit money and 1945-1946 of ket Cumberland bull and bilities said Mr. W. W. broad big post-war of continue. 'midst cheap stock market, just it has acted as the main feeder our concluded. ele¬ and financing; well business and fiscal may both in equity markets, Mr. Cum¬ berland a ment activities is the as market and the major fac¬ value basis instead of attempting forecast movements of "the sizable bull mar¬ to as $20 billion annual cost stimulant to stock business occurred Weiss. recession present during major bear as well as bull markets. The market de¬ clines of 1937-1942 and 1946-1947 deficit Mr. the would mutual said dustry's policy makers, monetary inflation have been insurance companies, eleemosynary institutions, and the funds," "fa¬ Mr. May asserted that complete divergence between the general external be greatly buying by market cause provided by greatly broadened securities ownership. "The cur¬ equity securities will of tigue." be of holding of Thursday, January 5, 1950 & Co. BANKERS BOSTON Despite the better tone that prevailed in the markets toward the railroad stocks as a whole, as measured by the Dow- end of the year Jones average, Dec. PHILADELPHIA Business Established 1818 trend although some 52.76. 10 made no net progress during 1949. As of the close on 31, 1949 this average stood at 52.86. A year earlier it had been During the 12 month period there was a net change of only cents, and that was on the down side. People do not buy aver¬ however. They buy individual stocks. As is usual there was variation between the performance of specific stocks in both ages, Statement wide oj Condition, December 31, 1949 the PARTNERS Moreau D. Brown ASSETS F. H. Kingsbury, Jr. Cash on Hand and Due Banks from .$ 56,072,647.23 .... Robert A. Lovett Thatcher M. Brown Thomas McCance* Prescott S. Bush Ray Morris Louis Curtis H. D. Pennington E. R. Harriman Knight Wooleey Stephen Y. Hord and Loans and 60,253,435.13 Other Public Securities Other Marketable Securities . 45,445,332.39 . 5,006,166.68 . Discounts Customers' Liability 49,564,591.79 on Acceptances Others did not do at all well. and mons United States Government Securities State, Municipal speculative and investment categories. Some holders of railroad stocks had 16,108,356.01 .... . Limited Partner—W. A. Harriman Other Assets 1,050,569.39 $233,501,098.62 M. D. Morehouse David G. Ackerman Ernest E. Nelson speculative and semi-speculative preferreds) listed on the Stock Exchange 32 showed net gains for the year, 26 losses and two were unchanged on the year. This last recorded net consisted group Mobile & Ohio net William F. Ray R. H. Chamberein also where 10 moved, net, John C. West Joseph C. Lucey Gale Willard Howard P. Maeder Harry L. Wills Edwin K. Merrill $ 19,358,343.06 Less Held in Portfolio . for $ Herbert Muhlert 12,005,283.54 Arthur L. Nash L. James Hale, Jr. 14,005,283.54 $233,501,098.62 J. Newquist William A. Hess Arthur K. Paddock William C. Horn Arthur R. Rowe As Required by Law $1,600,000 U. S. Government Securities are Pledged to Secure Public Deposits end were up held to & up fractions. All told, 38 and 16 down. points the best showing of the year and was that of New closed slightly below that figure, at 100Vfe. was made by Western Maryland the best showing The third best common showing, percentagewise, was Kansas City South¬ advanced 31% in price in 1949. There were which three other rail year. They were, that were up more than 20% during the in order, Chicago, Rock Island & Pacific common (25%), Illinois Central common (23%) and Chicago, Rock Island & Pacific preferred (22%). Kansas City Southern preferred, Seaboard Air Line common and preferred and Western Maryland 2nd pre¬ ferred L. W. Simonds John A. Knox losses point—22 a were common which, at 16 V2, was 39% higher than at the close of 1948. ern 2,000,000.00 Surplus Western and Gulf, for the year, 10 had Of the 26 that were off in 1949 there point. a the actual in Lackawanna Of the 32 that Chicago Great Western common was a close second, up 36% at its closing price of 12%. It is notable that none of these three stocks has been paying dividends. As a matter of fact, they are not in line for dividends as in each instance there are unpaid dividend arrears. 1,500,000.00 . Capital Jr. 18,074,662.13 178,891.27 Contingencies Managers Merritt T. Cooke 1,283,680.93 . . Accrued Interest, Expenses, etc Reserve Louis C. Farley, 1,745,908.32 $199,742,261.68 Acceptances Delaware, than more Percentagewise L. Parks Shipley Joseph R. Kenny Assistant $197,996,353.36 Deposits—Time of common. gains of less than were the Deposits—Demand year. (com¬ York, Chicago & St. Louis which advanced from 78 to 102toward LIABILITIES Edward Abrams happy time of it last a list of 60 railroad stocks a York New Measured Managers Of were stocks among preciation last the others showing significant percentage ap¬ year. FACILITIES On Complete Facilities George E. Paul, Treasurer Thomas J. McElrath, Domestic • Loans Commercial Letters Comptroller Brokers Herbert Gray, for Deposit Accounts for Purchase and and • of Sale Foreign Banking Acceptances Credit of Securities Auditor Custody of Securities / Investment Advisory Service was as Private Hankers and subject to examination and regulation by the Superintendent of Banks ot the State of New York and by the Department of Bankinc of the ( ommonwealth of Pennsylvania. Subject to supervision and examination by the Commissioner of Banks of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, other side of the picture, the widest decline in points Percentage¬ wise, the hardest hit in the railroad group was the Central of Georgia, with the preferred down 35% and the common off 28%. Chicago & North Western securities also fared poorly with both the preferred and common down 22%, the same as Delaware & Hudson. The coal roads reflected pricewise the unsettled labor conditions in the coal mines. Licensed the suffered by Delaware & Hudson, which was off 8%. than a called More point than half of the Pocahontas roads. nrocession with railroads heavily dependent are In this on group whose stocks declined more coal, including the three soNorfolk & Western led the drop of 8V4 points while Virginian held the best, being down only 1% points, or about 4%. a Volume 171 Number 4870 THE Says Million New Homes COMMERCIAL Year Needed a M. Foley, Adminis¬ trator of the Housing and Home Finance Agency, in statement on those I)ec. 31 asserted that mendations must we ex¬ ceed the prob¬ million n o f n new a r m homes in 1949 to meet i n require¬ g ments in next the decade. "The 19 4 9 record repre¬ sents the min¬ imum, not the level Raymond M. Foley of t i u c set Foley must we have make to. under the Housing Act of up "Statements home cent for American every family," Mr. Foley said. "We must not accept the best that we have done the as best that We have the the 1949 record the years our efforts the means "The be to we capacity in can to do. exceed 1950, and in if we center to corne, on good housing within of the average its record on in 1949. The 1.949 production dem¬ onstrates that we can produce than more a year as million a normal average with¬ a out undue strain rent housing units even on our cur¬ capacity." -He pointed record private groups that these programs will hurt private home¬ building are entirely unjustified," reached was the with 1949 about 16% lower production of building materials than and with the before year increase in peak labor no requirements. •• in lower of ability our price and to rental large section of a income the demands middle the which area meet have we scarcely tapped," Mr. Foley said1. "To do this requires the concerted efforts of all phases of the in- dustiy and Mr. of government." Foley said that, middle income range while varies the con¬ siderably in different parts of the country, the general average Schoales to about $73 private industry and the chief aids of the government are directed 1 Schoales toward became helping it in that task." Mr. Foley summarized expected the new Housing follows: under progress Act of 1949 program as Housing Research—Though tirely the in new broad en¬ scope authorized by the Act of 1949, this 9 2 9. through and way wide¬ more spread use of cost-saving methods Public Housing—Estimated to made to the new middle-income the Government said, in aids, played 1949 requirements. an Mr. one-third homebuilding was commitments to insure of the Federal Housing Administration, including most of the large-scale rental he construction. said, about 30% In addition, of mortgages recorded under $20,000 were made by savings and loan which are 30. 1950, tion important an rural in overall in large Slum reserves through ance Loan eral the Federal Home Bank System and the Fed¬ Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation. The sharp upturn in GI home loan financing through the Veterans said, was ondary through Administration, stimulated by the Clearance intention mortgage purchases the Federal National Mortgage Association. Mr. Foley increase in also the pointed the to proportion of rental housing in 1949, stimulated through FHA mortgage insurance. He said, however, that in 1950 the rental demand substantially is for lower housing at rents than only in particular European localities. competi¬ mass-production industries, nor are the Europeans equipped so to compete."—Paul G. Hoffman, ECA Administrator. There of Mike will Exchange, opening of department under E. terms Edersheim, be and John associated Lobiak with the to participate in R. Street, cent H. & Co., Inc., 48 Wall York City, will be New nedy, Herrmann, Frank T. Ken¬ Carl conducted F. William J. by C. J. Devine & Co., partnership. The partners are Reilly, J. Kreitler, Samuel Stoutenburgh. WIUTXEY GEO ROE Condensed Statement of Condition President December SI, 1949 HEXRY C. El LEXAX DER Executive Vice-President ASSETS Cash Hand and Due from Stock Corporation Government Stales State and Banks $164,459,613.33 Securities 283,545,914.34 Municipal Bonds and Notes...... of the Federal Reserve Bank. O ther Bonds and Securities CARTER of Morgan President Morgan & tie. Grenfell $ (including Sh ares Co. Limited and 12,458,094.13 manager division CHARLES S. CHEST OX of Walston, Hoff¬ President The B. F. statistical the . war he was X. and more with President Continental Oil firm, with offices in 24 American de¬ cities, statisticians, economists in an¬ their York, San Francsico and Los Angeles offices. Surplus 20,000,000.00 Undivided Company 1 ....... 30,000,000.00 Profits 10,900,180.73 JUNIUS S. MORG AX ALFRED P. $666,778,008.73 SLOAX, JR. Chairman General Motors United States Government securities carried Corporation statement are now reasearch staff consisting of and 10,174,663.46 Capital CUSTAV METZMAX partment of the Walston firm in¬ cludes Elmer E. Callen and James experienced 6,100,127.21 Vice-President Angeles research local $589,603,037.33 Credit Issued... < President New York Central Railroad 31,770.249.40 Payable, Reserve for Taxes, etc... Acceptances Outstanding and Letters of Company research de¬ 510,743,673.61 Accounts L. V. McCOLLUM of San Francisco. The $ 47,089,114.32 Other........ I.AMOXT Vice-President partment of Mitchum, Tully & Co.. Kennedy. All Company THOMAS S. Insurance Co. of New York and as Los LIABILITIES Deposits: U.S. Government Official Checks Outstanding Insurance Life of the security JA Y President New York Life was Mutual D. DEVEREUX C. JOSEPHS senior recently the 10,023,139.27 $666,77S:008.73 Incorporated economist for the War Production identified Letters I). DICKEY CHARLES Chairman Morgan & Cic. sition with Hornblower & Weeks. the on of Credit and Acceptances Vice-President alyst of Paine, Webber, Jackson'& Curtis and occupied the same po¬ During 2,426,958.47 Vice-President de¬ partment of Orton, Kent & Co., of New York; senior industrial an¬ 173,091,293.71 3,000,000.00 Liability of Customers II. P. DAVIS OX alysts in the United States. A graduate of University of Idaho and New York University, he has of Purchased. Banking House Goodrich Company headquarters in Los Angeles, 550 South Spring Street. Bills Accrued Interest, Accounts Receivable, etc... JOTIX L. COLLYER & Goodwin and will have his head Loans and 16,272,998.48 1,500,000.00 . Morgan $' Cie. Incorporated) Incorporated of the research department of the Southern Cali¬ on United CABOT BERXARD S. Blackburn has been ap¬ mund G. YORK AXD EES OX Chairman Executive Committee CALIF.—Ed¬ ANGELES, LOS MORGAN & CO. INCORPORATED NEW A R 77/ UP M. JAMES L. , TH6MSOX at $60,231,998.94 in the above pledged to qualify for fiduciary powers, to secure as required by laze, and for other purposes. public monies Chairman Finance_ Committee Hartford Eire Insurance Company Member Federal Reserve JOHX S. Z1XSSER Chairman Sharp & Dohme Inc. Member Federal w System Deposit Insurance Corporation Matthew Revits, Chairman Investment New Devine J. P. PAUL C. alysts J. C. LEFF1XG WELL President State Street 16 Effective Jan. 1 the business of C. 0 the Vice-President a Christopher J. Devine, Arthur J. Bellinzoni, Stewart A. Dunn, Vin¬ Partnership DIRECTORS I.C.R.ATKIX has Be to a firm in this department. 175 to launch slum clearance projects and in assem¬ bling land for this purpose. Some, already well advanced in their preparation, will probably begin actual work on project sites. The Devine and Urban Re¬ necessary surveys head made where? manage¬ of Many of these will be engaged in 1950 in the plans and Board products foreign goods compete? Why not let natural forces decide what shall he partner of Stern & Co. Aaron is, of course, much truth in what Mr. Hoff¬ but why should we hesitate no matter' says, with what home an¬ foreign a the Maurits a also man members of the Stock the nounce program. he sec¬ City, cities have thus far indicated their been handicraft, artistic and artisan products market, together with such prod¬ as wines and perfumes, whose individual qual¬ depend on their being made out of raw mate¬ housing volume. development—Approximately man Hoffman though quan¬ areas, not contribu¬ G. "These commodities do not offer direct tion to the products of American Burnham & Co., 15 Broad Street, formerly associations, aided through financial and investment insur¬ attaining the Commander. ment 13,000 repair and construction loans under the new program by "June Paul rials found World War II, housing need—that of low-income estimates will indus¬ as ing families.^ Housing—Farmers Home or our consumer ucts experienced security research an¬ by Co., ities York role of the year's financed under & of New Mr. Blackburn is one of the most construction. He said that about Blyth York. He served in the Navy dur¬ York Foley important with Inc. and the Guaranty Co. New Administration well as for the been New what fornia be Morgan Stanley & Co. in 1946, having pre¬ would be achieved otherwise, restricted to a market well below that of private enter¬ prise and serving the most critical about to production. viously 100,000 new starts be¬ add yond posals will Congress to stimulate private housing to meet more of with already available. pointed of first associated Edersheim Heads Dept. Of Burnham & Go. lowering costs, benefiting housing, through work under essential obtain N. Schoales sults in and still pending before the Congress, further legislative pro¬ session Dudley rank all numerous are Europe proper v/e can mainly products of spe¬ cial-skill industries, including specialized tools and machinery in should produce definite if presently hard-to-measure re¬ program need "From Mr. Foley said that in addition to existing programs directed to year trial n g University Mr. middle income housing assistance and to recommendations made last i we materials which become n e r month. a i Cornell of primary need comprises families needing rentals from $45 territories raw was graduated range about in Cleveland, Mr. from duction lies r, effective Jan. 1. engine titatively "The key to expanding our pro¬ of homes in the future a part- n e he said. "The contrary is true. The bulk of the job must be done by Farm that out for competition the Mar¬ countries of Europe dependencies are best equipped to offer us will be complementary and helpful, rather than harmful, to our economy. From the overseas N. as general of Plan and their f o Born spokesmen some family. homebuilding industry is complimented by kind shall an¬ Dudley programs 1949 will also contribute to greater real progress toward our goal of a de¬ that said "Theoretically, there is nothing we import which competitive in some sense with something we produce in this country. "However, it does happen that, in general, the the admission 27 is not New nounced (79) But Let's Have Real Competition! Stock Exchange, production of housing in 1950. pro- o n directed the York Schoales Mr. maximum d be toward this lower rental field. the Nation's hous- of in will CHRONICLE Morgan Stanley & Co., 2 Wall Street, New York City, members 1949, and that both the Agency's administrative policies and its legislative recom¬ able record of a attained FINANCIAL S^W1. Raymond M. Foley, Housing Finance Administrator, holds key to expanding housing production lies in providing lower-priced homes for middle income groups. Says this move will not hurt private home building. Raymond & and 28 THE (80) COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, January 5, 1950 P f • .. reason—which '' requires no eco¬ wizard to discover—is the Explains Dearth of Disk Capita! and to 77% nomic steeply graduated Federal income January issue of "National City Bank Letter" ascribes it mainly to terrific toll of taxes, along with other barriers to risk and The are "Once their up," bonds, those for large profits from new ventures, or even from old ventures. They again this question crops the "Bank Letter," "this time as the subject of the investi¬ says than savings therefore they investing in life insurance in savings banks.' and " 'The prising venture capital, by it capital into in of omy well Mr. as terms lack of cannot the time econ¬ ownership at investigation. the 'The to doubt why vigor in the have been (Total the of up. income Individual Income after Taxes. on markets,' •seems to he indicate testimony moderate. $25,000, Federal Taxes, and Net 111,232 Returns in 1928 and an the Terrific Toll of OF "The first and most "In from other investor at other words, to many large win, tails I lose.' you the the in good deal a prospect appreciation; the sure income for least, it is 'heads like of pretty game seems hardly worth the candle.- "Because DOLLARS' 10 the of unreceptive . companies^have found it. too dif¬ 10 TOTAL ficult costly* and to equity - raise capital from outside investors, and NET INCOME that have either had anyone's of borrow to cut or back expansion 8 When this plans accordingly. true of large cor¬ is porations whose known names are in FEDERAL TAXES The every household, how much more is it true of the Tittle fellow' who is trying to start 6 - build ness or bigger a NET INCOME the Taxes 4 important busi¬ a new little business into a It is fortunate for one. that \ country have their requirements been many so cerns - ma¬ deduct market for hew stock issues, many BILLIONS been The 'loses his shirt,' he himself, except for $1,000 which he is permitted to Estimated 174,200 in 1948. i investor Barring AFTER TAXES continued, that Treasury De¬ on Statistics of report of experienced men in the invest¬ ment the stream daring. and the stands the loss computing his overall tax. with cut, partment over Based government takes a minimum of 25% of the gain. On the other hand, if the stock goes sour and the Income for 1928—20 years before, when the tax burden was still tax, Incomes successfully and yields a profit through capital appreciation, the tax for graduated to 82% in the Federal given in the Senate Finance 1 Committee report on the Revenue Act of 1943, giving effect to the so particularly $25,000. The follow¬ compares the esti¬ diagram mates reasons, have of outset still is ing indeed, are plain, and emphasized again and again by businessmen, investors, economists, and others. as in terms of debt,' declared O'Mahoney is as however, the of excess venture capital has not been flow¬ ing into enterprise with its old- steady flow a private the a and exist unless there is of there mind private capitalistic system is being threatened thing, drawn, of case nomic — investments taxes—ranging gation comments: from and untried business ventures. "To illustrate how policies, by a House-Senate Eco¬ "The committee will be doing sub-Committee, headed by a great service if it brings out the Senator O'Mahoney, of Wyoming, real facts as to causes of. these which began hearings last month." conditions and drives them- home Continuing, the "Bank Letter" to the American people. The sur¬ toll new of in government savings risk largely are most terrific a in fortunes of the relatively well-todo from which the savings for jority of people with savings are more desirous of security for January issue of the "Monthly Bank Letter," published by the National City Bank of New York, contains an analysis and summary of reasons for the current dearth of risk capital. taxes, which (along myriad of other taxes) the exact investment. upper incomes, let us take, for example, the figures for incomes estate with in the Federal estate tax—have drained off this pool of able con¬ finance to largely from their good earnings since the war. Yet these earnings have been sub¬ ject to constant criticism - 1928 2 as excessive. is, Even being good earnings for established enter¬ prises do not provide the answer to the problem of finding the equity capital for starting new businesses. 1948 EST. it as This dependence on earnings for equity capital weights will "It pool GRACE NATIONAL BANK of $25,000 IIANOVER NEW that seen incomes bracket the $9,472 YORK increased million ingly the from 1948, an of Condition, December 31, 1949 by the income, and war brought about its attendant in¬ flation, from $79 billion. Here RESOURCES Cash in Vault and with Banks Demand U. S. Loans .... Brokers, Secured to Government the Securities . $ 29,646,077.88 . 45,199,276.72 4,236,684.59 . Stale, Municipal and other Public Securities Other Loans Stock Bonds and of 201,718.75 .......... Discounts Federal Customers' 26,871,520.04 . Reserve Bank 180,000.00' .... Liability for Acceptances Accrued Interest and Other Assets . 2,705,960.13 . 274,446.31 . $110,515,684.42 the upon after While high the Capital Stock Surplus 1928 and million Undivided Profits 1,536,237.74 $ Outstanding . 3,060,342.60 . 3,250,550.24 Income Government Deposits C. R. Black, Corporation Sugar Company F. G. Kingsley Chairman of the Board, Mercantile Stores Company, Inc. Hugh J. Chisiiolm President, Oxford Paper Co. Clark H. Minor J. Cuddihy Vice-President and Treasurer, Funk ii Wagnalls Company Honorary President, Co., Inc. from million, by or In balance, of in¬ $1,045 conse¬ in¬ net Individual cess Vice-President, New York of number of 1928 to "This that come to means was much smaller had people. more cut from was Executive Vice -President, Harold J. Rorc Mining Company Vice-Chairman,' • '; " • In $68,000 to $28,- 000. Returns Over $25,000 subject to President, 174,200 $9,472,300,000 1,045,198,000 7,590,390,000 4,660,300,000 68,239 has been identified with domestic and international for almost all Taxing Too this Much really comes to is that we are spending taxing too much. Here we see the seamy side of programs that call for the spending of billions of dollars in subsidies, bonuses, and down and ambitious at social schemes welfare time when a the budget is al¬ load of the "It is all cold well very 27,623 • enor¬ war. for Vice- President Barkley to speak scorn¬ fully, he as Democratic did at dinner a of Party leaders in New York last month, the consequences of those of who the growing size and costliness of government. But how does this belittling — sequence of big taxing—reconcile change in the purchasing power of these dollars. Adjusting by the Department of Commerce con¬ sumers taxpayer in the over $25,000 class had in 1948, after he had paid his Federal income tax, disposable income worth not $28,000 but, in terms of 1928 dol¬ "Squeezed thus a century. INSURANCE CORPORATION tools and equip¬ ment, and the costs generally. You "Heads "Today the see both rising many high bracket tax¬ compelled to invade cap¬ shares of well-known companies with many long Win, Tails I Lose" we dividend records selling on at prices stock exchanges yielding 6, 7, and even 10% to the purchaser. Certainly these the small average unfamili- with arity stitutes got Yet for the investor a stock investing con¬ strong deterrent. Many badly 'burned' in the stock collapse of 1929. At the market time for the investor in same the it find? Because of the prices, it takes twice as rise capital expand to start an true as that will to old a new one. the value This of or holds is its threatening the very the private capital¬ Would the Vice- of President in include the of one the Senator Democratic —• stalwarts Congress—among the jittery who, as he put it in an oratorical flight, 're¬ gard every tree frog as a roaring lion and every innocent angle¬ prophets worm as of 'statism' \ spreading adder'? a "Despite his expressed concern over the fate of private capitalism, Senator sees O'Mahoney apparently of cutting govern-, expenditures and, taxes,v* no ment way Following collector, much pany ent than the testimony before \ nesses, tax real. In more the case appar-^ of an investor, for example, who reaches the 50% be at much business of big inevitable dangers system? income brackets these 6, 7, 10% yields are, thanks to the upper a money the with O'Mahoney that dearth of venture existence and savings available for risk eriterprise tries to go to work, what of with the apprehensions of Senator istic yields look attractive. by living costs, the average 'wealthy' taxpayer finds his mar¬ gin for saving correspondingly re¬ duced, and in many cases wiped of in investment price index indicates that the average does Chairman, Executive Committee, Comerford Theatres, Inc. commerce and "What spending "Then when this shrunken total Frank C. Walker DEPOSIT eign lands? 19,787 of Ingersoll-Rand Company at¬ $226,204,000,000 Vice-President President, Yet if not the high yields on sea¬ soned securities at" home, why should they want to expose their savings to unknown risks in for-... 68,239 James H. Sharp Kirlin, Campbell, Hickox & Keating D. C. Keefe economi¬ are; fear 4,812,000,000 return: per ital. Cletus Keating of investors tracted by mous $8,635,588^000 tax national income payers Company, Incorporated shortage and de¬ resources American 1948 Est. 111 232 out, with W. R. Grace cj> Co. John C. Criswold dollar the cally backward -countries. pool of in¬ a other words, the average income of such individual taxpayers after the U. S. Treasury had taken its slice velop Spending that far support the are example, that we must invest more abroad, to help alle¬ estimated an 174,000 in 1948. returns taxes and I • Ceneral Foods Corporation Robert E. Dwyer the viate We for $78,700,000,000 William M. Pvobbins banking and in 111,000 Income Tax lars, only $20,000. President David Dows FEDERAL table, currently reported Adjusted for change in purchas¬ ing power of the dollar a International General Electric Chester R. Dewey MEMBER to between "Still this does not allow for the President, name spite of the general of incomes resulting widespread. are told, Sources: Treasury Department report on Statistics of Income for 1928; Senate Finance Committee report on Revenue Act of 1948. The Cuban-American Jr. Anaconda Copper net group reporting incomes in ex¬ of $25,000 increased from As President, C. R. Black. Jr., in David M. Keiser Vice-President The Grace following Net income after tax aggregating $2,092,796.58 Robert F. C. Benkiser this inflation, including the mov¬ ing of more taxpayers over the $25,000 level. As shown by the Federal tax 610,661.09 etc. DIRECTORS Criswold and strikingly. Average income after tax U, S. of from ...... Contingencies, Interest, Expense, decline taxes 1928 Total Robert the Number $110,515,68442 ♦Includes upshifting 7,536,237.74 .4,454,663.99 Less Own Acceptances in Portfolio 1,204,113.75 Reserve for left managed four-fold. in Work ready overburdened by the 96,057,892.75 Acceptances income their Federal $4,660 Federal Deposits* Certified and Cashier's Checks to this after More Do persons killing effect soared 3,000,000.00 ......... the the group 1943, than quence, taxes to "Moreover, income occurred going "The ramifications of this whole question Income favor of large concerns. drop of 36%. Less pre-tax income of this taxes $3,000,000.00 . in modest increase a come of incomes. that income record effect of one of taxes shows up most more LIABILITIES is taxes see $226 to erosion upper it "But 1,200,000.00 . .... we cumulative billion a amaz¬ small gain considering the expansion of the total national heavily, from $7,590 million to $4,812 million— or tremendous Statement after tax fell come esti¬ an in by 10%. This in itself is SQUARE, NEW YORK total above $8,636 million in 1928 to mated OF be net the scales in tax return and income net a husband bracket, and 5%, inventory tendant have—to- be- carried,. the tion. -If with upon the of $44,000 will for wife, the current tax after which is all an cut to the risks 3, 3%, at¬ ownership posi¬ investment pans out his in committee of several government costs, the burst " 'I this wit- including insurance com¬ executives, advocating cuts Senator out:. frank to say to you that am is arrant nonsense from my point of view—the talk about cut¬ ting government expenditures less shall we are not willing defend to say ourselves, un¬ "We we - Volume; 171 shall let international the lem catch up 'I ; Number 4870,. with us" . prob¬ . . curious to know whether am (81) claims com¬ ing ahead of shareholders' equity, represent additional Mr. " there are whether the insurance any executives who should we executive down , on What life insurance is going the to us appropriation that— warned 'Were corporations today who have signed with a true and pension a labor union liability without show their to immediate contract past service the considering Us continuing entity of the corpora¬ When you tion, it could easily wipe out their entire surplus.' V tell to - where to cut and how? come tell cut $6,000,000,000 for veterans. company would McDonald committee; and , . . recommend that the budget be "Is it any wonder, in view of by cutting expenses or the tax barrier and discourage¬ increasing taxes, you've got to ments, that capital for risk en¬ tell us how.' terprise has not been plentiful in balanced "Now the it happens that on that Senator gave, voice to these so the markets?" investment self-same "day O'Mahoney sentiments, Senator Byrd of Vir¬ ginia, Chairman of the Joint Com¬ mittee Reduction of Nonessen¬ on tial- Federal' public Expenditures, made could' be to -vield made Reynolds & Company Admits tinee Partners balanced; and surplus—not by but by lopping billion of expenses a increasing taxes off $7 some from the President's latest budget estimate of $43 billion for the fiscal current year. ' A few days leading Democratic Senator, Paul H. Douglas of. Illi¬ nois, outlined nine specific ways of cutting expenditures totaling.$4Vi another ago billion. there And careful other the have studies, Hoover Report, „ Wiesenberger & Co., 61 Broadway, New York City, mem¬ bers of the New York Stock change and New York Ex¬ Curb Ex¬ change, has announced the ap¬ pointment of Lawrence G. Chait Advertising Manager. Mr. Chait has, since, 1945, been with Dow, Jones & Co., Inc., as Direct Mail Advertising Manager in charge of mail subscription so¬ licitation for the Eastern, Pacific as : and Southwest Editions of "Barron's Weekly." Mr. Chait's resignation from the Dow, Jones staff will be effective as of Dec. 30, 1949. ; • Currently Vice-President of the Hundred Million Club, New York group of mail order specialists, Mr. Chait has frequently appeared be¬ fore Direct Mail Advertising As¬ sociation annual meetings and at various advertising clubs around the country to discuss mail adver¬ tising problems. He is a contribu¬ tor to "The Reporter of Direct Mail Advertising" and to "Circu¬ lation Management." Mr. duties been Chait on for the old alibi membership the following: Ellett. G. Scarrztt, Scarritt & Bardach New York, N. Y.; Maybarn F. Landgraf, Vice-President, Indianapolis Bond & Share Corp., Indianapolis, Ind.; G. Gordon Meeks, President, Meeks, Reddoch & Co., Inc., Memphis, Tenn,; Berwyn T. Moore, President, Berwyn T. Moore & Co., Louisville, Ken¬ tucky; Milton A. Manley, M. A. Manley & Co., Detroit, Mich.; Frank J. Shader, Shader-Winckl'cr Co., Detroit, Mich.; George Eustis, President, Geo. Eustis & Co., Cincinnati, Ohio; Theodore Donaldson,. Hicks & Price, Chi¬ cago, 111., and Roy E. Bard, Shearson, Hammill & Co., Chicago, 111. new 1950. economies this fiscal rifice of "The as to John L. Moore Leroy Smith Walter would business formerly Gaynor, Clemence & Company of Bridgeport. ; The new acquisition henceforth will be by operated fice of the under the J. man as the Bridgeport of¬ Scranton organization, co-managership of Nor¬ Gaynor Arthur and Laufer Joins Staff Of L. F. Rothschild L. F. - Rothschild & is, that announce Jr., has Arthur become E. / Allen, bers of the change, New York announce the-firm-as'head the firm in the investment depart¬ merly & Co. of its with Laurence Casli in Vaults and Due from Banks spending can W. J. spree State, Municipal and Public Securities Reynolds & Co., 120 Broadway, York City, members New which they New embarked. York Stock Other Barriers to Risk Investment Exchange, announce that John L. Moore of the Empire the State Building office; Leroy Smith of "Taxes course not are only barrier, to finding risk There cap¬ of the W. Allentown, Pa., office, and J. B. Smith of the Lancaster They from uncer¬ Pa., office have been admitted to international sit¬ general partnership in the firm. The three new partners, all for¬ uation and fear of war, to doubts as to the soundness of the do¬ merly managers of their respective mestic situation and as to how offices, will now become resident long the present good business partners of these branches. are all over earnings' "On business way the home front, the little finds the going in¬ man creasingly tough in the face of in¬ creased of competition, the jacking minimum wage laws, the increasingly burdensome work involved in titudinous making out mul¬ government collecting taxes, restrictive paper etc., reports, strikes and practices by labor, and bickering with labor union lead¬ questions frequently triv¬ ial, but often involving funda¬ mental management issues. At the Moore Mr. be expected to last. can the many others. the range tainty time, big business finds it¬ Hudson & Co. "Finally, underlying everything is deep-seated a . distrust businessmen and- investors among of the socialistic trend of govern¬ ment been He is a director of latter ques¬ Chairman of dynamite was Harry A. McDonald, the Securities and Exchange Commission, in an ad¬ before of the annual conven¬ /the Investment Bankers was a American branch man, manager for ■ v; Dillon & Co. was Real Estate prior with to of Three in 17,454,504.56 . 83,708,839.15 . . . . . . . . . . . . 564,545.26 , . 49 . 563,592.98 7.580,776.64 . Accrued Income Receivable ' . . 1,969,628.06 . Other Assets 260,203.04 $815,484,764.17 LIABILITIES Capital (750,000 Shares of $20 Surplus . ... . Undivided Profits . Par Value) . . . . . . . . . . . $15,000,000.00 . . . . 25,000,000.00 6,529,488.78 . Reserve for Taxes, Expenses, etc. . . . $ 46,529,488.78 1,142,132.90 ..... $ 1,546,140.24 Less: Held in Portfolio 539,906.61 (Includes $13,597,219.77 U. S. 1,006,233.63 ...... 766,806,908.86 Deposits) $815,484,764.17 U. S. Securities pledged required by law De Machine & Foun¬ Philadelphia Senior Partner formerly of Starkweather & Co., Philadelphia, are now associated Girard Trust Building. purposes as $ 22,136,174.66 ■ ,, the Philadelphia office of Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis, . RALPH OF DIRECTORS PETERS, JR. President DUNHAM B. SHERER JOHN HERBERT J. STURSBERG Treasurer, Livingston IT orsted Mills, Inc. Drysdale & Company II. PH1PPS JOHN R. McWILLIAM Chairman Executive Vice President C. WALTER NICHOLS EDMUND Q. TROWBRIDGE Chairman, Nichols Engineer¬ ing & Research Corporation CEORGE DOUBLEDAY E. MYRON BULL President, A. 11. Dull & Co.. Inc. BR UN SON Chairman, Ingersoil-Rand S. McCUTCHEN SIDNEY A. K1RKMAN Consulting Engineer Company HENRY A. PATTEN WILLIAM C. HOLLOW AY Vice President PA. —Howand E. Duryea, Howard E. Duryea, Jr., and Robert H. Preston, all with deposits and for other BOARD ROBERT A. DRYSDALE Chairman, IP. R. Grace & PHILADELPHIA, Pointing out that pension agree¬ ments; won by organized labor to secure manager Walt, Inc., that,, company's merger American . 1.200.000.00 Mortgages Liability on Acceptances Banking Houses Dyer, Hudson & Co., and Clothier, Jones & Co. He is a for¬ director . Customers' of mer . Memorandum: branch a . East¬ W. J. B. Smith has managed the Lancaster branch since 1938. He Association in Florida last month. . Deposits tion is loaded with indicated by . Leroy Smith has been the firm's branch manager at Allentown since 1937. Prior to that time he; the Paine, Webber Adds this *■. 849,940.00 Loans and Discounts Acceptances Outstanding of growing monopoly dry Co. power of the great labor unions — Admission of the new partners the.latter manifested by the. situa-r was previously reported in the tion in the coal industry—and by "Chronicle" of Dec. 22. the summary manner.in which the vastly complicated question of in¬ dustrial pensions was dealt with itmder pressure of a paralyzing strike in the steel industry. The to which . Other Securities Progressive Health Insurance Co. of New, York. and and. the extent * Federal Reserve Bank Stock branch Electric Arc Co. of Newark, N. J., formerly self under constant attack. has at the Empire State of¬ fice for the past nine years. He formerly was a partner of Dyer, Hudson & Co., and Whitehouse. managers ers over , • 466,541,652.18 can upon 1919 $234,791,082.30 U. S. Government Securities Smith B. be made dangers of the people the of aware • Company ■ JAMES A. FULTON President, Home Lije Insur¬ Company ance The Corn Exchange Safe Deposit 57 of the 75 branches located Company operates vaults in throughout the City of New York. Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. was M. fpr- Marks : ■ ASSETS no if the *" • Ex¬ Research Mr. Laufer - At the Close of Business, December 31, of "Minnesota, budget- Stock that Edward ■] B. REPORT OF CONDITION about expenditures and taxes be cut 1853 120 mem¬ Laufer has become associated with associated, with Department. ESTABLISHED Representa¬ as Judd, Co., Broadway, New York City, F. S. Smithers & Co., 1 Wall Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange and New York Curb Exchange, O. . Jennings. sac¬ 'Where there is no will, way.' Unquestionably, there is both without Exchange, investment the conducted cut to do it. observed cutting, tion Stock they have acquired Corn Exchange Bank the be done when can trouble recently dress York that announce military efficiency dem¬ there is the will else New put into ef¬ that year, onstrates what same HAVEN, CONN. — Chas. & Co., members of Scranton the F. S. Smithers Adds military expenditures by $1.5 bil¬ up NEW W. by fect ital. to veterans, etc., the state¬ Secretary of Defense defense, Johnson that he had are Gaynor, Clentence Co. Midwest elected showing how untouchability of expenditures for tive the has including * lion of Exchange ment. his assumed Jan. 3, Committee Stock Arthur • Senator seriously wants to know. ment tive Chas. Scranton Absorbs The Execu¬ — could be reduced if the expenses "As CHICAGO, ILL. the "Wall Street Journal" and for tion by function how the 1950-51 budget Mgr. for Arthur Wiesenberger Coast report spelling out func¬ a Midwest Exch. Members Ghaii Adv. 29 30 (82) THE Continued from page COMMERCIAL 23 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE capital to business enterprise have been very significant in vol¬ ume but they have exerted a tre¬ to mendous influence upon the atti¬ tude of prospective investors. The hold tory comments from the potential two in are types into the of future the account these on investment, differences principal. It is important emphasize the investor's beliefs in this matter, though he because even be wrong, his be¬ may liefs will still be the determinant of his choice. own Let us consider first the investor's attitude toward possible changes in the principal sum broken in the and war We turn equity the postwar periods great deal to discour¬ a age investors from purchasing equity securities. During the 1920's, for example, when invest¬ ments of On the to the second now continuance con¬ For sideration in the attractiveness of The failure of the prices of equity securities to respond to the increased earnings of business for has done future. near point, then, of the attractiveness struction Finance Corporation, and of equity securities so far as ap¬ the Federal Reserve Banks, have preciation of principal is con¬ served the same general purpose cerned, we have a negative factor, in most instances as equity capi¬ in my opinion, in the probability tal. Here again the future would of individual investors purchasing seem to me to hold an expansion this them in larger quantities in the of type of activity rather than a contraction or merely a future. of his investment. Investors Discouraged the seems to be no good reason for anticipating that it is likely to be in risk of to 1 taking of securities—the much a them from larger fixed First, let us income Here again tifiable lar, the greatest attraction was the possibility of appreciation in the principal sum of the investment. may we securities. ernment capital claim; we are a only deal furnish to being was either their steel steel of caught con¬ However, it tive what of whenever as up demand. jus¬ our causing funds investors in saving, and not to such less incidental considerations to and such as effective merchandising more short-run the more of equity there may tend to judgment in evaluating this type, but I feel sufficient widespread evi¬ our factor a as experience own warp is of dence that feeling on consider can we their over hands), for this factor more than just the to be listed of as few a we produc¬ with the indica¬ was expect may bottlenecks It is my belief, individuals. that the individ¬ ual investor will not play the role is Kayos Joins J. the investments is rapidly passing into other hands (and to them, into he John the part of potential in¬ vestors that the control attitude equity provide directly for capacities. This to or issue lost its timeliness tion concerned not this is factor a official its additional be too high. not are or is less capable ago at year (and the Administration had great a position) con¬ cerning the necessity for the Gov¬ consider several very corporations role. present a time stated factors, beginning with the current feeling that earnings with whether this type were so popu¬ from general of the said possibility return of example, about this compared with the return as or would be less likely give it weight but insofar as it we liquid a securities. Although I am pessi¬ Government through its various form as possible or- to place them mistic about our accomplishing agencies, of course, has not fur¬ in types of investment where the very much along these more fun¬ nished equity capital in the strict principal sum seems wholly se¬ damental lines, that may be all sense in which we use the term, cure, then it is very important to the more reason why we should but we know that the loans made the question at hand. Individual work hard at them. by such agencies as the Recon¬ illustrations which come within Stimulated! turn more investor, not Can Individual Investment Be Thursday, January 5, 1950 of capable playing the or role that it would be desirable for Herbert J. Sims & Co., Inc., 52 Street, New York City, an¬ nounce that John P. Kayes is now Well associated with the firm in its municipal bond department. Mr. Kayes. who has been associated with the municipal bond business for the past 10 years, was former¬ ly associated with Harvey Fisk & Sons, Inc., Grunwald & Co. and Fitzgerald & Co., Inc. * , him to play capital to furnishing in the businesses country. This is gret, but one to be so this situation I a which seems definitely very equity of re¬ to in tarn me pros¬ develop in what the most comT pect. The individual investor monly held point of view is and any basic industry, regardless of could be encouraged to furnish how temporary the shortage may With the large increase in dollar the effect of this point of view more equity capital, but the only PHILADELPHIA, PA.—William earnings which has taken place upon the ability of corporations to appear to the seasoned analyst. really effective encouragements M. David has succeeded Frank G. Both of these factors, the during the 1940's, there has been continue their present level of feeling would go to such basic matters Say re as senior officer in charge nothing approaching a corre¬ earnings or increase them in the that current earnings may be too as a complete understanding of In terms of the general high, and the increased acceptance sponding increase in the prices of future. the function of private investment of trust operations, Pennsylvania equity securities. It seems fair to public, there is little question but of the role of Government in sup¬ and the need and desirability of Company for Banking & Trusts. conclude, therefore, that investors what the prevailing point of view plying capital, mitigate against are not anticipating large gains is that corporation profits are too the attractiveness of equity secur¬ taking place in the principal sums high at the present time. This is ities and especially the prospects cerned with of curities of their investments in equity se¬ in the future. The very further buttressed by an apparent point of view in high Government upon them. fact that circles that earnings pects for and greater greater returns Although the pros¬ enlarging and perhaps they are not anticipating are too high. even maintaining I can see no increases in the present re¬ probability of a re¬ equity securities prices, of course, contributes to versal of this prevailing point of turn on equity securities are ob¬ scured by these factors, the pres¬ the fact that the prices of those view in the future, in fact, my ent return on securities do not increase. equity securities Thus opinion is that it will grow in would seem we have sort a mate which so of circular to offer the only basis optimism in the attractiveness stale¬ strength. far at least has not The been broken and since it has been true for about ten years, there for efforts Government on to the part of the furnish equity of equity securities to individual investors. Current advertising is spot-lighting this feature of equity securities by emphasizing their Securities Salesman's Corner By The Ohio Company in Columbus, Ohio, has been using almost entire newspaper page that JOHN DUTTON "Investments an of display advertising built around the theme Gifts." Ideal Are The ads themselves had usual Department Store approach. general appearance of the tainly this is telling the story of investment securities in almost any one can understand. a the Cer¬ that way 6%-8% return. This may be little inducement to the investor who is BROOKLYN TRUST holding 2% to 4% fixed income securities, as long as he feels the 6%-8% COMPANY return equity securi¬ on ties is temporary. But if the securities, at least to yield many continue MAIN OFFICE: 177 NEW YORK OFFICE: Montague Street 26 Broad Street Brooklyn 2, N. Y. New York 4, N.Y. 6% this All of this that securities is there that to not will The tween the 2%-4% securities Cash on Hand and Due from Federal equity Reserve Bank and Other Banks $ 67,006,343.35 U. S. Government Securities State and 130,552,856.33 Municipal Bonds 10,339,901.32 Other Securities 3,343,971.42 Loans and Bills Purchased 28,863,854.78 Bonds and Mortgages Bank Buildings 1,000.00 1,650,000.00 „ Other Real Estate 1,000.00 Other Resources 605,187.83 $242,364,115.03 LIABILITIES Capital $ Surplus 8,200,000.00 6,000,000.00 Undivided Profits 1,786,762.71 Reserve for Contingencies Reserves for Taxes, 835,220.02 Expenses, etc. 603,298.79 Dividend Payable January 3, 1950 205,000.00 Deposits 224,602,847.68 Other Liabilities 130,985.83 $242,364,115.03 United States Government and State and carried at $28,656,272.50 deposits and for other One „ are pledged purposes, as member federal deposit Municipal bonds to secure public required by law. insurance corporation and be of equity continue to and difference be¬ on fixed income the 6%-8% federal reserve \ the memo a left corner as a ideal are i of the ad appeared an illustration of it was written in longhand, "Mom gifts." Along side of this cut were advertised pinned to the page, —Investments (just hand upon department store would do it) $18.75 to $100, U. S. Savings $25; Price $18.75 each. Interstate share, Price 10 shares approximately $92.50. Booth Fisheries Stock—Current annual div¬ idend, $1 per share; Price: five shares approximately $58.75. Next came little boxes outlined with holly wreaths and in the boxes were illustrations of Telephones, Power Plants, Radio Sets, and ESonds, Maturing in 10 years at Power Stock—Current annual dividend 60c per • Factories. Then next to the illustrations were Investment Gifts in various • price ranges, as follows: $100 to $250—American Hardware idend $1 Crowell per share—Price: 10 shares Stock, Current annual div¬ approximately $205. Also Collier and Borden, were included in this price range. $250 to $500—S. S. Kresge, Fairmont Foods and Columbus and on were offered as a pre-Christmas special. Suggestions included Home Insurance, Central Light it will do for the investor who & Power, and duPont in the $500 to $1,000 price range. Another has relatively large sums to in¬ grouping was for gifts of $1,000 and up. vest and who is dependent upon A jolly Santa stood in the lower left corner of the page. Over the income therefrom for his live¬ his shoulder hung the usual bag of Xmas gifts and he smilingly said, lihood. "Give Gifts That Keep on Giving." Above him across the page in script ran the caption, "These Are Merely Suggestions—Hundreds of The "Laboristic Society" Gifts That Keep on Giving Are Available to Fit the Stocking of There is another consideration Your Choice!" Copy above the holly bedecked coupon in the lower which is perhaps even less capable right corner (which offered further details about any of the offer¬ of definite summarization than ings mentioned in the ad) included the following statements: "In¬ some of those just mentioned, but vestments will make this Christmas the most important one in your which 1 feel plays, and will con¬ life. For years to come the regular dividend and interest payments tinue to play, a very important from these investments will be a constant reminder to your family part in determining the attitude that you cared enough to give the best. Consult a friendly invest¬ and hence the action of the inves¬ ment man in our office for Christmas giving suggestions to meet tor toward the purchase of equity your individual needs. It's easy to give securities and you pay no securities. I have in mind the gift tax on investments under $3,000." transformation which is taking ANOTHER VERSION place in the basic organization of our economic system which some This ad also was almost a page in size. In the securities is great very Southern Ohio Stock when considered in terms of what observers have referred to as the development of ciety." I agree "a laboristic so¬ with those who feel that fast Other Gift upper left hand boy about 10 years of age. He was looking at a certificate marked "A Share of Ohio" which is being held before him. Here is the copy: So Easy to Give A SHARE OHIO So Easy to Own. An investment in Ohio's in¬ corner was an illustration of a . a we are approaching time when the opinions and pol¬ icies of will organized worker groups be the of our most dominant economic fea¬ organiza¬ desirable the effect ward, of transformation, but with the and upon hence the attitude to¬ the willingness potential investor to pur¬ chase equity securities. I feel that it is producing a very system effect. Insofar as a significant feeling of this type merely brings forth deroga¬ ... ... dustries—a share in state's business—will earn and grow for years—each dividend check and interest payment recalling your gift. The securities listed below represent only a few of Ohio's finest companies." Then listed under such captions in heavier type . tures tions. Again we are not concerned here with whether or not this is a of the Oldest Trust Companies in the United States NEW york clearing house association assumes will 8%, and I feel that a wholly unrealistic assumption. RESOURCES year year, this feeling that such condition is temporary is bound yield Condition, December 30,1949 6%-8% after a to subside. course Condensed Statement of equity of them, AN EXAMPLE In . your . FOODS, MANUFACTURING, PUBLIC UTILITIES, BANKS, DE¬ STORES, REAL ESTATE, MUNICIPALS, OILS, were offerings of securities in various price ranges. This ad too carried a coupon for further information and an invitation to call or phone. as PARTMENT I hope I have made this somewhat clear. The ads are truly out¬ standing in arrangement, illustration and copy. The approach is new to the investment business back are as far as I know. Possibly you can secure' copies of the Ohio "State Journal" for Dec. 2, 8 and 16 if you interested in seeing these advertisements—they surely cannot- be described in any way to do them justice. Volume 171 Continued Number 4870 from THE COMMERCIAL 19 page & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE monly permitted to invest Should Life Insurance Invest in investment by the life insurance is inadequate diversi¬ companies fication holds a risk. If a company section of the cross the of of equity acquired economy, over a Companies Equities? would ers essential feature ment age of of the make sales sound man¬ invest¬ major objective of supervisory rules and regulation by the gov¬ be such diversifi¬ cation. vided be di¬ three major may roughly into categories—rental real estate .and other tangible goods, publicly is¬ A stock holdings undertake overvalued sales. sive A company investments making exten¬ in to companies increase. not of order It has rather than of the company being able to sell enterprises in which equities are held, not to profits from trading in securities. This futility of trading must be evident to profits the large com¬ panies. of But some the smaller life do It seems now use worth altered longer necessary as have such pow¬ them the to while to have outlined the companies would be the will be tempted profits a ma¬ to make speculative jor objective of' their operations. Following such objectives would likely to have disastrous re¬ willing to powers granted somewhat the use to them. The com¬ deterred by the fact that some of the largest companies do not have the power. If all companies were permitted to in¬ vest in Broad Southern single city might be concentration of losses. a a Certainly place in a company should never large portion of its funds a the of stock corporation. If single business a company should a undertake to invest in the equities of small business) it should not concentrate its particular commitments in line of business particular geographic or a a might be acquired in a year. Or companies might be required not to dispose of equities for at least a year after date of 'acquisition. Speculation might be further lim¬ ited by Diversification of equity invest¬ ment is much easier for the large companies than for the small. It that all or a portion of trading profits should be allocated to val¬ uation This reserves. equities there would be companies prob¬ can in real estate equities only through purchase of the stock of real The estate investment companies. large life insurance certainly company adequately diversify in publicly issued stocks by direct purchase. can its investments common Indeed, be the small successful would in companies this can regard and need to patronize invest¬ companies only if they ment confidence in their capac¬ lacked ity to determine what constituted reasonable If the diversification. large companies were to system profits part for pf Edward the part of those now permitted write down to their assets If ties. in can make such investments. Com¬ in states which investment in common value when the book they go in market up companies than to the needs ance of individuals. able The achieve to Bank the Wellington, formerly was offices at 15 a individual less is complete of risk. The indi¬ vidual is likely to need to dispose of his equities at a time when the is market NEW ORLEANS, Wil¬ ' CONDENSED 'I'M- STATEMENT OF CONDITION December 31,1949 ASSETS company Other Public Securities Other Securities objections are to equity investment which must be taken seriously, many objections ity to have not when is it and much valid¬ recognized that personal invest¬ 338,662,478.86 329,184,372.76 7,836,896.37 .... ... . 14,262,572.27 . Loans and Discounts F.H.A. Insured 462,758,440.40 Mortgages Other Real Estate 47,886,847.34 Mortgages . . 3,900,203.44 . Banking Houses Owned Customers' 11,381,305.97 Liability for Acceptances^. 6,536,281.93 Other Assets Liability of Others 2,698,703.99 on Bills Sold Endorsed 7,224,360.67 $1,232,332,464.00 LIABILITIES Capital (2,500,000 shares) .... $25,000,000.00 . . . Surplus there seen . $ . . hold can indefinitely and is not the market. While Obligations . Undivided Profits Year End Dividend 40,000,000.00 13,896,314.74 Quarterly Dividend Payable January 3,1950 Payable January 3,1950 $ 750,000.00 250,000.00 . Deposits Cash held 78,896,314.74 . 1,127,809,681.61 as Collateral ........ 4,729,168.19 ....... 7,565,862.77 which Bills Sold With Our Endorsement ments of funds. the those like acquiring estate, would development essary investment by the be a for nec¬ equity smaller com¬ panies. of have life insurance companies should invest extensively in equi¬ ties they will have to look upon commitments these less pect as more or permanent. to prices be of They cannot ex¬ selling out when the equities are high and for need now per to insurance amounts to about If year. funds to funds companies $3V2 billion billion a were the dollars flow increase in the flow an of equity funds into business But it would not the early years result in a large portion of insurance in very com¬ pany assets If company consisting of stocks. assets increased from $55 to billion years Quite apart from the question of $90 billion in ten was whether they high can or tell whether low at any par¬ ticular time, the institutional hold¬ while $10 billion of stock acquired, even at the end of the period stocks would be only 11% are of total assets. The $39,895,753.45 are pledged to secure public deposits and for and certain of the above deposits are preferred as provided by law. Member Federal Reserve System Member Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation DIRECTORS of into stocks there would be enterprise. buying back when they are low. prices $1,232,332,464.00 Of the above assets addition life outside 5,107,076.02 7,224,360.67 to greatly for the immor¬ net the . Liabilities, Reserve for Taxes, etc other purposes; The of enormous .If the developed individual Other tal institution. common Holdings been atomistic these Permanence not are be revised real rental to seem ments same calculations apply to housing. The insurance companies are now com¬ J. STEWART BAKER HARRY I. CAESAR Chairman GEORGE H. A. Caesar & Co. ( NEAL DOW BECKER ROBERT M. CATHARINE President, Intertype Corporation WALTER H. BENNETT Trustee, Emigrant Industrial Savings Bank GRAHAM B. BLAINE Vice-Chairman JOHN C. BORDEN President, Borden Mills, Inc. JAMES F. BROWNLEE GEORGE W. BURPEE Coverdale & Colpitts President, Dollar Savings Bank of the City of New York F. ABBOT GOODHUE L. MORRISON President, General Baking WILLIAM J. Company MURRAY, JR. Chairman, McKesson & Robbing, Inc. Trustee FRANK WILLIAM V. GRIFFIN Chairman, Brady Security & Realty Corporation LAWRENCE C. MARSHALL President HENRY D. MERCER President, States Marine Corporation F. RUSSELL President, Cerro de Pasco Copper Corporation FREDERICK SHEFFIELD Webster, Sheffield & Horan PHILIP YOUNG Dean, Columbia University School of Business a securi¬ offices at 2106 1799 Cash and Due from Banks and Bankers in 29. LA.—William engaging in Audubon Street. particularly depressed. insurance subject to the hazardous vagaries of reported Dec. YORK, N. Y. Chartered strictly analogous. The principles of investment panies devoted to acquiring pri¬ issued business equities, of Manhattan Company of the U. S. Government Street, of R. William B. Miller Opens a Street, New York City. Acceptances Outstanding vately previously "Chronicle" ties business from from NEW diversification institutional com¬ William management B. Miller is broadly diversified basis. But they could use investment companies devoted to making such commit¬ Investment at 57 the Sims Reeves. Wellington of value Equities are in some ways better adapted to the needs of life insur¬ and a under effect price. are on office \ their books when They could not each develop field organizations able to make supervise commitments York trading they go down in market price they can scarcely be permitted to write them up in its equities encounter greater difficul¬ R. Sims Reeves He them by buying similar securities. If the companies are not required in the equities of small businesses would its as not placed in valuation companies undertake substantial investments rectly or through local representa¬ tives. But the smaller companies firm manager. partner in Phillips & Wellington, will continue in the investment acceptable an valuation. are reserves The they could possibly achieve diver¬ sification through investments di¬ the Continues in New York only help to reduce the search for trading profits as an operating motive but would be a developments of efficient size. But smaller 65 an¬ a by selling those which have gone up in market price and replacing the with wholesale Edward would not may ably make significant investment Corp., City, York Mr. Reeves' association with the practice write up securities on be feasible for them to have diversified holdings of real estate Sales New requiring considerable necessary area. general firm liam ing in courting matter of sig¬ Dallas, Texas. Mr. Keeler was formerly whole¬ sale representative for Distribu¬ tors Group, Inc. permit portion of its funds in rental hous¬ a will be located at business large Street associated panies organized a is that D. Acheson Keeler is nounces to placed New Any government con¬ Broadway, greater tendency to use the power on a desirable. The panies having the power are also and Co., of Syracuse, opening of Broad Street Sales consider companies may feel that they can buy and sell without influencing market & the full. along lines which I much more Johnson D. Meson Keeler With could be done in part by limiting the gross amount of equities which which L. announce nc investment of life in¬ whole. a pervision to limit speculation. This company or are trols should recognize this of one equities Manage New L Johnson Office nificance for the economic systerr these groups needs to achieve di¬ versification within the groups. A any in 31 interest. why present powers are not used. Liquidity may be a factor. The valuation situation is certainly a major deterrent. If these factors were funds surance of been argued that giving insurance companies ad¬ not Reeves to states In summary, the extreme limi¬ tations on investment of life in¬ funds equity investments in prohibit such investments surance powers to acquire equi¬ ties would be futile since the com¬ ers which business do to manner system. panies which desire suggested for life insur¬ play their needed role in the economic frequently loath to use to the full since they are powers magnitude this is as needed company the seem stocks. ance does if the even ditional be primarily one of price discrepancies sults for many companies. It may therefore be necessary for the rules of law and government su¬ making what is effect would ership stocks, and the own¬ of -businesses not public issues of their funds Some such the But sued common element acquire it the before years quota would be filled correcting risk. of A Equity investments in to much of its holdings. Companies will have to look for diversification ernment would they tried great blocks. which considered certain company its if income to the productivity of the ments of the companies would be achieving buyers the equity nine housing rate at which insurance their The most by be in year of operations might supervisory authorities. would per as of in large measure offset each other. But if its investments are concen¬ in particular segments of economic system it may meet with adverse experience which will require its closing If dollars lack of trated hold to the as much 10% of their assets in housing. they were to invest a billion stocks indefinitely because of the long period of time, its risks will the have stocks as (83) THE (84) n FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL CHRONICLE Continued ficiently far downhill Discuss Advisers Economic President's action by became entirely tory' Relations of Business and Government In Fourth Leon H. Keyserling and Annual Report, Clark, constituting Council of Economic Advisers, call spending, alone is inadequate to prevent The the Annual Fourth nomic Advisers, set of Report of Council President's Eco¬ by Con¬ up under the Employment Act gress matters John D. for close depressions. a as basis for setting up policies for individual and businessmen, sound collective action by and rejects the theory, developed violent swings in business condi¬ of 1946, is devoted almost exclu¬ sively to a philosophic discussion •of the relations .Leon H. business between It is signed and Government. Keyserling, by Acting as Chairman, and Dr. John D. Clark, who, at present, constitute the Council. who its Edwin Dr. had been G. Nourse, its Chairman from inception, resigned his post Nov. on 1. The report contains no specific recommendations, in urges but general terms merely a closer cooperation between business and Government in efforts to prevent unhealthy and to business promote fluctuations reasonable sta¬ but necessary was About Gold and Related Problems teract fully duction. general depression— a when even coupled with Further, tax public re¬ action To speculate cumstances tion on and cir¬ early devalua¬ under an such ment, that the net gain is not so equal to the total number of pub¬ lic dollars spent. Similarly, in if — on world's the a currencies be devalued some more, should the dollar still could and presumably would hold its own (barring war-like increases developments). Before we are un¬ effectiveness of Government "com¬ in taxation and reductions in pub¬ der any outside pressure to de¬ pensatory" actions as a means of lic spending, while useful weap¬ value, the pound would have to be promoting stability and prevent¬ ons, are difficult to employ fully below rather than above $2. As ing severe business fluctuations. enough to curb inflation without a matter of fact, we are not likely Discussing this topic, the Council bringing on an excessive defla¬ to precede the Swiss in any such concludes that such "compensa¬ tion. Nor do these fiscal measures step. tory" efforts on part of Govern¬ alone deal adequately with the The Swiss situation is most in¬ maladjustments in the ment alone are inadequate in pro¬ internal structive. Switzerland had de¬ moting stability and growth, price-income structure which are valued by some 26%, much less though they may form an impor¬ primary sources of danger in the than we did previously. In 1947, tant part of the techniques to be kind of inflation that we have re¬ gold payments were resumed, but cently witnessed. used for stabilization purposes. the demand for gold coins was so "This leads to the conclusion Regarding this, the report states: persistent that the National Bank that 'compensatory' public action "During the mid-1930's particu¬ soon had to stop convertibility. larly, there grew up an influential can help to iron out minor fluc¬ This was done under a wartime school which held that our free tuations of the business cycle and emergency law. But on May 26 enterprise system was necessarily must indeed be used if big ones of this year, the realistic Swiss subject to violent fluctuations develop, but that complete recov¬ people in an overwhelming popu¬ which could not be ameliorated ery from a substantial downswing lar vote rejected the proposal to substantially within the system. depends primarily upon the rer declare the notes of the National And It held that only Government ac¬ vival of private investment. Bank legal tender, although the because that revival becomes pro¬ tion, mainly through enlarging or total circulation including the contracting the volume o£ taxa¬ gressively harder to accomplish as Bank's sight liabilities is better tion and public spending, could the economy moves further down¬ than 100% gold covered. On fill in the gaps in employment ward, the main concentration of Sept. 11, another referendum was economic policy should be upon and production when these be¬ passed making emergency laws encouraging stability and growth valid for only one calendar year came large or curb inflation when within our free enterprise system beginning next Jan. 1, unless the it became dangerous. itself. This is doubly true in a emergency law is ratified by "The experience in the 1930's, prosperous period like the present, popular vote. This means, in ef¬ One of the most interesting sec¬ deals with the tions of the report John D. Clark 3 sufficient to restore and high levels of general economic activity. The (3) It may be wholly or par¬ reason for this was not simply tially repudiated. that the 'compensatory' action was (4) Its "burden" may be re¬ not big enough. The fact was— lieved by rising prices—by in¬ and still is—that the range of use¬ flation. In that case, the most ful projects susceptible to under¬ probable one of all, devaluation taking by Government cannot be of the currency will become un¬ sufficiently voluminous to coun¬ avoidable. the tions. Keyserling page corresponding depression of the beyond certain levels or in certain early rise of gold stocks—is very 1930's, that the free enterprise fields may be offset by declines system is necessarily subject to in private spending and invest¬ hazardous, to say the least. Even during Leon H. from maintain satisfactorily They hold "compensatory" government promoting stability. 'compensa¬ fighting inflation, mere when action is feasible before the should out however, demonstrated that when the private economy ran suf- ment American free convertibility Incidentally, there is Kings County Trust minimizing in business activity. This approach creat¬ as busi¬ ness. This is true although the re¬ sponsibility does not lie wholly Company climate favorable a with areas business BROOKLYN 1, N. Y.. to Within Government. mous 342, 344 and 346 FULTON STREET of action and holds enor¬ decision, within its own hands the factors which condition its a free business and 500,000.00 This course. nature of Capital .....$ fluctuations the is sometimes referred to ing essential the is enterprise system, should when aged be encour¬ Government recog¬ nizes this cardinal fact. Surplus ... . Undivided Profits 7,500,000.00 . 890,000.00 "Despite all efforts by business WILLIAM CHESTER J. ALLEN. A. LEONARD D. J. WASON, JR., President Vice-Pres. MEHLDAU, Vice-Pres. O'BRIEN, Secretary important the techniques to be used for sta¬ bilization purposes. The differ¬ OFFICERS CARL RICHARD C. JOHN V. LAMBRECHT, Asst. Sec'y HAROLD W. an SCHAEFER, Comptroller the of 'compensatory' approach Council's approach is a matter of degree or emphasis. This problem is further treated in and a the later section of this report stresses the need stability nomic policy. RESOURCES Cash on Cash in Hand . Banks . . . U.S. Government bonds N. Y. State Bonds Other . Bonds Stocks and 7,379.886.63 Estate Assets . Surplus 500,000.00 . Due 637,338.17 397,788.64 . . . 1.138.144.85 . . . . . Depositors . . . . . ,500,000.00 890,541.70 41 ,407,210.65 Cheeks Certified 9,762.77 Unearned Discount 2,615.39 Reserves . . 824.765.31 . Collateral. Bills Purchased Other 6,987.750.30 . Capital Undivided Profits ...... on Demand and Time Real 20.213,327.30 City ... .... Bonds and Mortgages Loans 954,573.35 11.672.914.48 . 555,000.00 .... 424,640.46 for Expenses tingencies . Con . . 662,545.39 . 213,453.59 Official Checks Outstanding '$51,186,129.49 Lord Keynes was national eco¬ $51,186,129.49 too sizable an enterprising a too tent ourselves that, insofar We shall con¬ here as any with saying popular ver¬ sion of the 'Keynesian economics' identifies it with the school which KINGS COUNTY TRUST COMPANY The Kings County Trust Company offers to its depositors every facility and accommodation known to mcctern banking, if you are not already availing yourself of the advantages offered by this institution, the Kings County Trust Company will be glad to have you open an account. MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION "black the on gold coin sells market" at have would is tem fects placed exaggerated stress upon 'compensatory' action, that school is neither own representative thinking characteristic segment today." of nor of in our any of our opinion important Government thought inasmuch the mone¬ tary volume and the out-flow re¬ But flows of this nature duces it. constitute only a on base which determined by the is of amount bought government Secondly, tain, do not even main¬ we free flow of gold in inter¬ a relations. national abroad cannot Only foreign provide it. it but As it information, it when had did to good to do to their National Bank: con¬ New to York with en¬ an larged dollar balance. Thirdly, gold that we the value of our against gold on the at par But markets. is that not dollar balances and being exchanged on the case; notes international an presupposes maintain are Zurich other and markets "eagles" in a ratio of to 2, and nothing is done against depreciation of the dollar. accordingly. If This not is hairsplitting about academic definitions. It is of para¬ mount quandary in which the Swiss National Bank finds itself is the intend premium price, and come a this actual crisis will be on hand. sus¬ the dollars into gold, sell the vert 1 monetary the what marketeers" "black Swiss about international to reason exactly us about devalued on my pect that the Portuguese authori¬ would is any refused once of the National Bank's vaults — unless the Swiss an so Portuguese central bank's request for converting a dollar balance Paris. franc do time, and actually did refuse some occasion. According to repeating the operation over and over again. Obviously, the some reserve rule it does, a refuse to could world gold cen¬ get it—if and when can monetary management wishes our the out Individuals get gold from the U. S. Treasury. tral banks gold coin and sell it on the other side of the street for 42 francs, be bonds sold by the Federal Re¬ or System. serve to fractional influ¬ the size of the monetary ence currency billion the as in-flow of gold adds to to soon on The latter af¬ the former the National Bank, get a 20 franc $1.6 dependent monetary sys¬ independent of virtually movements. with francs be gold can paper volume monetary to less to say that our francs. 20 mone¬ changes of the gold reserve. Need¬ standard go present our the standard, prices from current a It is being described as an "international gold (bullion) standard." It is nothing of the kind. To be an international gold 40.5 to 42.0 Swiss Under redeemability, one varying importance to realize that have we The no gold standard any longer, international or otherwise. Ours is an irredeemable, managed instructive. It shows up the paper money standard, one that abysmal ignorance in matters in¬ happens to be in an extraordi¬ of Mr. Allan Sproul narily favorable position (for the (New York Federal Reserve) time being). The return at once who, in a recent speech, poohto any sort of gold standard would poohed the open market in gold mean a total reversal of the Wel¬ as "insignificant speculative ad¬ fare State. It would presuppose ventures around the fringe of the very ternational supply world and for demand That is typical of bureau¬ crats: the superior attitude they take toward markets which are gold." abdication of New Deals and the Fair Deals, of money management pegging. It is definitely and bond in the cards. not not values, is strong face Europe's most technician for us to attempt to powerful central bank with the evaluate his great work in a re¬ alternative between losing its and port of this kind. . 20 franc Swiss A of nature the back What then? "legitimate." In Switzerland, satory' approach is referred to in mind you, gold dealings above the popular discussion as 'Keynesian official price are illegal, too. But economics.' In fact, Keynes placed the "black" market, that is sup¬ more emphasis upon structural posedly inhabited by sheer cranks problems than upon the cycle. and has no importance in deter¬ economist Taxes, and which somewhat "Sometimes the purely 'compen¬ LIABILITIES S . . for in more the close of business, December 30, 1919 of part between the exaggerated use ence CUMBERS, Asst. Sec'y STATEMENT at policies 'compensatory' growth, form for redeeming its notes into start so, and Government to promote steady . on paper tary system. to carry of misunderstanding in vogue about gold. thus the can Bank gold standard: the free gold coins and the money. gold at Swiss that fect, Government are even circulation of National another policies, if year the policy of non-converti¬ appropriately designed, can place bility, but by Jan. 1, 1951, it has hour. "Many we a few years' lag. It is a healthy sign that a move¬ got under way to restore the very ties eleventh that direction same if with ing steady business expansion and It points the value of education in economic obvious be moving in the foremost emphasis upon encourag¬ bility and growth. 1950 Government not alone and business as means of cooperation between government the Thursday, January 5, mining real enough to gold reserve or sacrificing the sta¬ bility of its standard. And the problem has nothing to do with country's balance of pay¬ that ments; are in its international accounts excellent shape, actually bringing in gold year after year. Gold Standard Nowhere to Go! What makes the dollar is not strength" based — fids muntrv a strong so "inherent the country's We might as well be in the doldrums if it were fact that the the not for the world is so much rest worse of off. unparalleled balance of trade could disappear almost overnight if the Europeans would begin to work as they should; if Central Europe would be liberated from the Russians; if China had Our surplus developed along the lines of its previous growth instead of turn¬ cans world's that is what their — has shock. It "adjustments" amount to on productive power. its ing Bolshevik; if the Latin Ameri¬ Controversy. The break-down of the currencies merely would contractual even respect property and rights, etc., etc. But with that unique commercial position, the dollar might come Volume under a 171 gold loss Treasury ments that would pressure much so Number 4870 to abroad to as stop gold to protects impose spite of State, against the such a (85) Wall Sbeet in Fairclough & Company Riding Club is TORONTO, ONT., Blair the practically anywhere else. also Venezuela is where and legal The and the earth on would With A. C. free (Special be any maining certainty may not that of areas the Allyn & Street. with Alberta, and to quarters ru¬ about He mystery. Actually, Can¬ is again slightly par. And nothing has caught, Members of the Wall Street Riding Club Participating in the Club's Annual Costume Ride Held at Split Rock Riding Academy, Pelham Manor, New York City. is that nan She one-half and tourist And mind in that her S. that net & •{, & with Cq. and prior Harris, Uphana Co. v too OF DECEMBER 31, 1949 down even to U.S. Government of Unearned Discount 4,191,777.16 to invite State,CountyandMunicipal Warren P. Prosser .... 12,541,647.86 Demand Loans establishment of . 4,991,629.63 Bills Discounted • • 50,526,588.83 a general invest¬ Dominick & Dominick. Banking Houses Mr. Smith Customers' formerly a partner in ShearHammill & Co. 3,040,871.58 Liability under Acceptances Accrued Interest Receivable . . . . . Other Resources A . Meeting of Chicago Analysts 133,418.09 la the 30,312,500.00 16,000,000.00 .... 3,002,708.89 19,002,708.89 Reserves 1,733,623.86 $301,103,567.38 t Alert Vice-President of the Continental Co., will address Analysts Club of . $301,403,567.38 CHICAGO, ILL.—On Thursday,! 5, Mr. Francis M. Knight,f* & . Undivided Profits 678,011.73 ■, Jan. Bank Surplus 416,267.87 . Luncheon National 3,015,506.93 (Far $20.00) 72,187,765.97 through ' Capital Stock $5,687,500.00 an office at 14 Wall Street, New York clearing ■, 502.396.14 . • 156,406.25 $3,517,903.07 16,669,547.51 Time Collateral Loans Smith, member of New York Stock Exchange, an¬ business, . 571,868.65 Jan. 3, 1950 Acceptances Held in Portfolio Prosser City, to conduct . ■ Less: 20,612,151.11 Opens Own Office ment Reserve for Dividend Payable Acceptances Executed 8,070,503.25 Other Securities .1,964,156.30 . Accrued Taxes, Interest, etc $204,305,031.03 position precarious $277,172,107.29 (Includes United States Deposits $11,361,791.39) Agencies Securities responsible for sterling. In sum, investors. the Deposits. IJ.S. Government Securities 123,407,153.16 that support LIABILITIES Cash and Due from Banks $ 76,706,150.71 Securities Warren AS RESOURCES be $200 mil¬ international American Trusty Friendly Investment* Efficient Chicago on hiS) observations during vacation trip) to Europe. mm National Bank Established 1858 Dayton & Gernon Takes Over was formerly manager and is "convertible" remains STATEMENT cur¬ dollars, American Canada's Illinois was traffic, should annual an being held by Britain, son, with. American to it deficit in U. if reduced to was associated He Cruttenden thereto by earnings in sterling. Her net payments capitalists. nounces become of be offset by interest dividend is has other current items, gold tends to lion. Chronicle) covered as level Financial trade deficit a about "convertible" rent The a runs only borne to Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & for and for income from such Fuller, Cruttenden & Co. Merrill Canada against the U. S., including ship¬ ping. as high as $1,000 million (in is formerly with Betts, Bor¬ Co., Alfred O'Gara & Co*, (Special presumably long time, in the British plight, notwithstand¬ ing the prospect of substantial oil which Jackson Beane. fact remain 1947), Webber, OMAHA, NEB.—Ray P. Hiffer¬ one. basic exports. Paine, axd Trust Company PHILADELPHIA Leighton Go. ST. PAUL, MINN. — M. F. Leighton & Co. has been absorbed by Dayton & S- associated Merrill Lynch Staff other revaluation experiment that is likely to be as abortive as the will Walter Ray P. Hiffernan Joins changed in her international posi¬ tion or domestic set-up that would remotely indicate or justify an¬ is with. Chronicle) — become was and a still Monroe* right after the last currency The ILL. has land & for the rumors, other than the fact of the Dominion's experiment in previous West formerly was Curtis, 209 South La Salle Streets Canadian dollar (from 90.9 to 100 U. S. cents). What the basis is below 100 Jov- A. :€L a forthcoming "revaluation" of the is Co., J. with now vSpecial to The Financial prospects war, is He Schinz ada's Chronicle) ILL.—Earl CHICAGO, sion, due especially to the rich oil that direction AHyn & Co, Financial With Paine, Webber Co* well. as Latelyr the Dominion is in the limelight of investment discus¬ of partner ia Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc. Investing in Canada? some was a re¬ be "forced off." in The Jr. gensen, convertibility That holds for Canada mors to CHICAGO, transfer¬ ability of the respective currency into gold or even dollars. Nor is there prior thereto Belgium, left taxation with asso¬ Taylor, Deale & Co. of New York. security of property tolerable combined and spot no CANADA— become Fairclough & Co., Ltd.* Bay Street. Mr. Deale was for¬ 220 city of Tangier, perhaps there Deale has merly manager for Wisener & Ce> fact is that outside of Switzerland the B. ciated with capitalist has viitually nowhere to go. He is still better off at home than and 33 Blair B. Oeafe With ex¬ Welfare run American CHRONICLE the dollar, domestic our that fact the FINANCIAL pay¬ change restrictions. What & COMMERCIAL mean force all and THE Gernon. Myron Leighton will be in charge of the new Dayton & Gernon office in St. Paul. •/ - • MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION F. A J 34 (86) THE COMMERCIAL & Continued FINANCIAL from first CHRONICLE Thursday, January 5, page them and to whom the enterprise means Along Look Ahead Canadian Securities official remarked sta¬ tistics tend at times to give a mis¬ situation and not be used basis a they certainly with any for can certainty consideration the as of the prospects for the future. TJie last issued figures covering Cana¬ dian exports for example were surprisingly favorable in view of previous wide-spread concern with in regard probable setbacks to It markets. overseas must be borne in mind however that these figures transactions cover that took place during a period when many factors that no longer oper¬ exerted their beneficial influ¬ ate Moreover ence. view in past the domestic front business activity was extraordi¬ narily well maintained. Here also several factors of an exceptional give exceptional to business activity. Governmental stimuli in the form of large non-recur¬ rent disbursements representing the final repaymeat of wartime impetus the to of pace issue. of natural year of Alberta nium. is during development concerned notably Quebec tita¬ resources oil far As last and the oil situation as the major influx of U. S. capital during the past year is not likely to be repeated on a similar scale this year. The enor¬ mous acreage initially acquired will take years for its complete exploitation. In the meantime there now are temporary indications world-wide that a over-sup¬ ply will tend to arrest the ardor to seek that new fields manifested of itself ly at the time of the dian production strong¬ so new Cana¬ discoveries. As will previously mentioned offi¬ acute. In eventual not can fail capped within British henceforth be as the 1949 there are results many causes of for gravely recent tion during 1950 will be consid¬ erably impaired especially when comparison is made with the re¬ sults of 1949. Similarly in view dollar shortage, Cana¬ of the U. S. dian exports to South which had displayed promise during doubtedly be America considerable 1949 will un¬ detrimentally af- The of level internal that the 1949. of factors tioned that small of is 1949 cient to cause Under normal in the the this their in a members the Presidents the of Cabinet the this communication leaders that state has that and by labor is to Canadian not false or external imperil the entire During the section NEW YORK N. Y. internals and inactive. and in NY 1-1045 funds view of the were can the the weaker for a population There is return a no the to for ap¬ much stockholders their that with the number of employees into believing corporations are widely the owned. Most individuals are re¬ luctant to put their savings into corporations." They prefer small enterprises which they themselves operate or residences which they themselves occupy. In 1947 and 1948, for example, individuals in¬ vested nine times much as plant and equipment of porated stocks As enterprises be in the of of suitable a investment of modest persons is than corporations. fact, the stocks corporations are too risky matter of most to bonds and a in the unincor¬ needed for A way means. by which tens mil¬ lions of persons of modest means can become owners of corpora¬ tions. The investment trust is the obvious and answer, investment see of I expect to trusts achieve great importance in the next gen¬ eration. Most investment trusts, however, will buy shares in only like¬ large a century or less ago. outlook, however, is that the as small as well-established enterprises — encourage shares that the who started Raw materials discovered and are I realize that lief that the corporate is suc¬ of part environment that the prospect will be will be community preoccupied over how in¬ divided. That will limit is come the interest of most people in couraging private investment. time I believed one interest them of to en¬ At that the self- unions support would lead public policies which encourage investment. This may eventually date does The not happen, motives which but be to seem cumulation of funds the near. the cause ac¬ investment-seeking various, but most per¬ savings are used to buy con¬ things—such as plant and equipment for unincorporated en¬ are sonal crete terprises houses. or indicated in as table, both before recent far war, purchases of These uses, the accompanying in the and years exceed government or the cor¬ porate securities, private life in¬ and increases in savings surance. accounts cash. or it Hence ap¬ that most saving is not done pears because of desire a but because of for income is the the of in it appears demand terms elastic an security desire for larger a Furthermore, fu¬ for of present demand so to increase the vol- way of investment and to stimu- Forms of Investment by Individuals in 1939, 1947 and 1948 NON-LTQUID (billions 1939 Plant and Plant and 1943 $8.0 4.8 4.5 1.2 3.7 4.9 $14.7 $17.4 $3.0 $2.9 1.7 3.7 0.1 ____ $6,2 1.4 dwellings 1947 $2.9 $5.5 Non-farm likely to this some mildly unfriendly to business, especially to corporate business, is equipment, non-farm equipment, farm Total materials new tnough even industry is something more or less apart from the community. A principal reason for my be¬ income persons to believe . view ture concerns I increasing the proportion community that owns their and in breaking down the of the most the riskiest the than in that At any rate, better with corporations may have cess risky ventures be developed. gov¬ with be enterprise. income. may will fault that this will be true though specialized trusts to back family will not seemed likely LIQUID $3.5 2.4 1.3 —.23 .4 1.2 —.24 1.0 1.9 .06 1.2 1.25 a Total half have turned to out be of Certainly important develop¬ the new raw ma-' $4.4 —— $11.6 Sooner the or community is fact this cover later, I suppose, bound to dis¬ and to seek to private investment $9.15 has cessitated by the rate tion increases. worker and increase If income is elastic. Un¬ grow relative of to the number The rapid growth relative to line has been the however, economic self-interest has only a limited and often tardy effect upon men's political views and, therefore, upon the course of history. I see no immediate prospect that the community will seek to raise its standard of living by a carefully planned policy of encouraging private investment. p officers—it operated almost solely with line officers. The eco¬ nomic consequences of the rise of | of' the staff call (5) important, and I shall to them presently. The ownership of the cor¬ part of business, which is restricted to less than one- porate now are attention (7) The seeking smaller need funds for will investmentrepresent of the net product than in the past. sult slower crease. be rate In the rapidly in as the past and if the labor force in¬ in the next generation about the be by one-fifth, roughly 6% of national product will need to devoted to increasing plant aqd equipment. Between 1879 and 1929 nearly 9% of the national product was used for these pur¬ poses. (8) ing, The rate of corporate sav¬ which during the last three has been as large as divi¬ some years larger than will considerably smaller than be dividend during the last several payments, years. recent ing high rate of corporate has been caused by the cumulated for plant need and The sav¬ ac¬ of corporations equipment. (9 The prospective ratio of per¬ saving to disposable income sonal to me to be Several are more needed to quite uncertain. years' shed experience light on this matter. This re¬ smaller by the fore the population in¬ dle and low income brackets seem produced of per manhour national part will a ne¬ popula¬ creases seems staff of per as dend payments and in future been capital output about years revolutionary changes in business methods during the last 50 years. Indeed, prior to 1900, business had virtually no ten¬ free of need to few years ago and that the pop¬ one dull this section highly vulnerable. of of staff re¬ development of selling! pressure would find the market likewise market rise the fail it find to the business shortcomings of business ume to external market rate of line officers. At the current level of will (4) The number of staff of¬ ficers of enterprises will continue the sence of a supply of bonds ade¬ quate to fill the potential demand. dency WORTH 4-2400 the bond managements broader ownership of American corporations. They are misled by comparing the number of their for economy. week the field porate fortunately, mained in the doldrums in the ab¬ The 5, of in' either move population. Selling stock to the public is an expensive way of raising capital—by far the most expensive of all ways. Most cor¬ hands of in years. external trade complicates the task of gov¬ ernmental control to the extent a the The suspicion, and politics con¬ hostile of p>rofit. view raise its standard of living by en¬ Nevertheless, when couraging investment. That would one contemplates .the enormous, be a revolutionary discovery and rate at which industry now con¬ would quickly cause the environ¬ sumes raw materials, one cannot ment to become friendly to enter¬ avoid the expectation that metals prise. All persons who believe and fuels are likely to be scarcer that the course of history is de¬ relative to the demand for them termined by economic Lclf-interthan in the recent past. In the est, all Marxists, for example, next 30 years* for example, the must believe that the community industries of the United States will eventually adapt public pol¬ will consume considerably more icies to the fact that the demand raw material than in the past 150 against their successful operation. Furthermore the precarious bal¬ domestic in industrial corporations wiljl soon become a high proportion of ers impressive. of CORPORATION that manhour per terials in the last century is most "hun¬ can Dominion's bright that The ment this country the absence of an ade¬ quate domestic market militates the prospect is is the wrong. to MUNICIPAL of greater military than ever. is believe that the stockhold¬ to comes. adopt further artificial stimulative measures but unlike ance and it that a prevent the devel¬ authorities ever, and discoveries than no present rea¬ speculative statement and similar forecasts by econ¬ late the formation of capital is to omists during the last century and' reduce the price of future in¬ major depression the a new population, will broader less or that the determined somewhat son highly national a repetition of, the thirties." order business both thirties. unemployment a be today, but there is developed more slowly than ca¬ Currency and deposits.-pacity to convert raw materials Insurance reserves, private into finished goods is improved. U. S. securities. In other words, raw materials are State and local securities likely to be more expensive rela¬ tive to finished products than they Corporate securities Savings and loan deposits were in the twenties and the the total labor force, the Canadian labor that movement avail¬ discovering to make pressure (3) unemployed number 300,000 which repre¬ of in use in the forties. be Dominion the become accumu¬ is will boost the number of births. provided of of Twenty years or more hence the extraordinary population increase of the forties the Canadian Prime Minister and the tenth of the adult which will be will that ulation, therefore, will more' than probable is ernment reproduce itself. effect of more to the pursuit usually by the a ex- 1950 in be to will be owned by a few persons— The first indication corroboration down-trend In STREET the become many concert ed during 1949. volume size of the average country that conducted The prolonged influences is families of course WALL for (2) brought recession of owing to the impact of the ted the knowledge which a opment of TWO rapidly, lated bound to increase seems growth will be fairly slow—faster than in the thirties but not as fast proportions similar to that experienced south 0f the border. However the customary time-lag between the development of an stimulative The number people engaged in technological research about permit INCORPORATED of suffi¬ have in technological rapid—probably little faster than in the past. some trend of he shall make. I lihood gry A. E. AMES & CO, which before economic rate will buoyant alone and in Canada has been to be especially me rapid than in the past sev¬ eral generations, This is probably the safest of all the predictions would sents 6% CANADIAN STOCKS The as now PROVINCIAL (1) progress output no conditions postwar to expecting more termination of the sellers' market now the of convincing. reasons definite reaction. a for reasons seem Hence men¬ contributed to the them for absence .previously measure conditions The characteristics knowledge is larger than business activity during 1950 is also likely to make unfavorable comparison emergency, GOVERNMENT Fi¬ comment—partly because of importance and partly be¬ cause able in the current year. ieeted specific their handi¬ the of in brief change in British policy. Conse¬ quently Canadian ability to ac¬ quire U. S. dollars in this direc¬ in Canada CANADIAN BONDS whole. a economy during the next genera; tion? I have,selected 17 trends for to Despite the present op¬ Trades and Labor Congress and timism created by a survey of the the Canadian Congress of Labor. In economic as II will exports markets result a disposal have seri¬ to Canadian vital business tinue preciate the purposes. Dominion's economy be¬ by the recent letter addressed to cial statisitcs reflect the past and serve us no criterion for future the of purchases abroad repercussions ous of tacular offshore Their abroad with in participation payments" to farmers on wheat. Internal activity was further spurred as a result of the spec¬ three somewhat different on meantime embarrassing U. S. What are likely to be the prin¬ surpluses of grain and other farm products are becoming a burning cipal trends in economic series and income and touch in the cut severe immediately come compulsory savings, reduction taxes, a wheat Diminion. returns. served Canadian the ex¬ out¬ nally, I shall discuss prospective in Canada. When the U. K.-Can¬ changes in the basic institutions of adian Wheat Agreement expires the economy and in the organiza¬ next July the problem of placing tion of decision-making. sus¬ important of be ECA that previous year. Unusually large exports of locomotives and other capital goods to India also figured in the past year's trade nature of fact the on total well port items in the shape of wheat and base-metals was higher than Likewise there will the of price-level the the concerning In the subjects. First, I shall discuss very export field many sustaining fac¬ briefly the probable trend of cer¬ tors that prevailed during 1949 tain important economic series will be conspicuous by their ab¬ and kinds of behavior. Second, I sence. There is little question that shall speculate about the behavior were export values year tained the during disquietude The environment in groups look for the current year. leading impression of the current job. a (6) At Economic Trends By WILLIAM J. McKAY As often 1950 past, over half of to save Large incomes will source war. be a of saving than be¬ Persons in the mid¬ primarily as a result of a Volume 171 decision buy Number 4370 invest—a decision to house a of owners the to upon of case reached unincorporated enter¬ buy plant, equipment, prises, to inventories. or in oy, THE About 40% saving is of this Such saving does not create cial question of ume sents the personal one-third saving, will rise sim¬ (10 Bank credit will as a source than it be of business be tre result for population bank of growth. credit the with them of seeking funds. need credit of device extent by sustained to I comes. believe, 1900 7-fold ending in and and In 1929, the in 30 it also in¬ 1900, 7-fold. the 20 years rapidly during as the If output rises by if last 2% 20 per the labor 30 years de¬ ment for the various their the be¬ are to I A moderate rise in the Union rise upward will cipal be retailing The on the employees in wholesaling, the workers, and govern¬ will The upward pressure on will probably not be as strong as has been during the last three unions established, competition become there will better be less them between and they will be under less to pressure justify their existence to their by getting large wage members increases. ward Nevertheless, pressure stronger than of the twentieth century during most of the nineteenth century. Consequently, money wages will rise faster than output or to manhour. be (13) ence The of or budget mean diminishing private short-term more This fact is likely an important influence policy. fiscal a on depend¬ business the government moment, slow rise the rise in a so, to in the money highly made susceptible contraction. of. sources increase If they are will have to be busi¬ and in helping new concerns, enterprises departments And purchasing be expected to interest in increas¬ may greater industry with investment-seeking funds in the volume desired. Hence enterprises have used bank credit to munity than force it com¬ of rate saving voluntarily to ready was the upon higher a accept. Many people strongly are pes¬ simistic about the capacity of the increase production to maintain a high to economy fast enough level of employment. One reason for pessimism is that the extraor¬ being occupied. Hence, undeveloped natural resources ing both ond and improving their sources supply. The result will be some Nevertheless, tern of the essential pat¬ was produced of strong demand and equipment. A a men for reason for sec¬ pessimism is that the employees are organized far more effectively than ever before to maintain a rising supply price production, with a few for their services. As I have large concerns in each industry pointed out, employers as a gen¬ doing most of the business, will eral rule are not strong enough to continue, especially in those in¬ prevent unions from raising the dustries der where their ultimate (17) sell concerns brand own un¬ names to consumers. The supply price for labor faster than technological progress raises out¬ put per manhour. A third reason for pessimism is that the organization of pro¬ duction will continue to be messy. environment By favorable this I that mean different this system, The only one industry. Auto¬ mobile companies will continue to make refrigerators >and loco¬ to flour make of and electric bile parts to make either from business manufacturers of automo¬ chairs, heating plants, and other household equip¬ borrowing or borrowing, to increase ment. The organization of labor will also continue to be messy. the money supply. consumer Unions will (15) the The of prices course long-term will ward. The conclusion basic is over be slowly up¬ this belief that my for un¬ reason der free collective bargaining the price of labor will increase faster than physical output per manhour. I do not believe that employers strong enough to prevent this, unless they are spurred by strong are pre¬ vent trade unions from raising the price of labor faster than the and managers increase to engineers output are able manhour, rising prices would be very substantially di¬ minished, though not eliminated. They would tell by the possibility likelihood deficits The per of in the government structure continue to be of business characterized bership in the or in This messiness organization and of mem¬ orderly fashion to a given industry an occupation. the limit their not workers workers of in production is due is likely political to be un¬ for to various of concerns holding ones. a their The concerns with will mean small concerns. that the small have own difficulty in with large pattern of a few large existing side by side many small ones is found in wide variety of human activi¬ Twelve large unions, or 6% ties. comes high presses me good—though as I think the economy has some dif¬ transitions ahead. In the first place, investment levels drop a from in the rate of the be offset can by high drop in a nity is plowed-back earnings of corporations. A substantial part of personal savings is plowedearnings of unincorporated back enterprises. The proportion of assumption, one-tenth business of enter¬ pro¬ en¬ terprise—that is, about half of the real to drive to expand, to make innovations. improve, It is also safe assumption that about onetenth of the to million workers provide prise The about half provided of the enter¬ individuals. by drives that motivate the en¬ terprising minority among enter¬ prises and individuals are prob¬ ably too strong to be greatly de¬ terred by mildiy unfavorable pub¬ lic policies. Within the next dec¬ ade or so, I believe that economics will direct glected that attention topic of economists to the ne¬ enterprise and and others will gain insight into what conditions determine the amount of enter¬ prise in the community. tion of Acquisi¬ knowledge should that greatly increase the capacity of provide high-level the economy to employment. 1 Finally, there is always in the background the pos¬ sibility that the community may discover that the demand for fu¬ income ture income in terms of present elastic and that it will is encourage investment by help¬ ing to make future incomes avail¬ able on favorable terms. more IV Will the of movement business continue to be wave-like and will the economy continue stable? I believe that like movement of has been to be the un¬ wave¬ business, which characteristic so of the during the 19th century economy and the first part of the 20th cen¬ will tury, be considerably mod¬ erated. Hence? the business cycles will problem be less of im¬ portant to the community and of less interest to economists. much This in the stability of the is partly a result of ex¬ perience and partly a result of improvement in economic institu¬ gain economy tions. For example, it is safe to that banks will never be per¬ say mitted to fail in such large num¬ bers as they did in 1929 and 1932. community has now learned by experience the wide repereuss i of o n s Hence, banking difficulties. tendency for banks any fail to will be combated with boldn.ess and vigor than more done during the early the grpat depression. recent the propensity to save. About half of the net saving of the commu¬ million prises outside of agriculture The prospect for increasing in¬ fast enough to maintain a level of employment im¬ ficult four Important been made changes was years have of also in the economic insti¬ tutions of the country. Bank de¬ posits have been insured up to a certain point, about three-quar¬ ters of all employees in American industry are now covered by un¬ employment insurance, the dan¬ short-term gerous second mort¬ earnings retained in the business gages have been pretty much quickly drop in response to eliminated, and the Federal a decrease would people envisage the development of a sort of syndicalist organiza¬ tion of production with associa¬ tunities. tions of employers in various in¬ dustries and the unions exercising control over messiness of production alone be the industry. The organization of the and of labor would strong obstacle to the of syndicalism. rise a us shift attention to the be¬ havior of the economy as a whole. The two questions most frequent¬ ly asked (1) will demand rapidly enough to maintain a high level of employment, and (2) will the movement of busi¬ are grow ness Let be us wave-like in and will the continue to be somewhat first whether demand is likely to grow rapidly enough to sustain a high level of employment. One of the most re¬ markable characteristics of the economy has been its capacity to increase incomes tures about as fast and as expendi¬ it increased physical production. This is shown fall of time the in oppor¬ the propensity would decline sponse to rate of to save substantially in re¬ decrease in investment a opportunities. In the second place, tendency of unions to raise the supply price of labor faster the managers increase output manhour will be offset, as I per have indicated prices. I this will do above, by not in occur know the a rise in whether absence of special steps, but if it does not, steps will be taken. In the the third place, it is probable that minority of enterprises and of in¬ dividuals who of most are responsible for the enterprises in the affected in only moderate measure b,y public pol¬ community consider investment The saving would not immediately and completely prevent a drop in the rate of spending, but in the course than Ill Let unstable? number century. The but particularly to changes in technology and markets. Some causes, economy This does not i milling companies crust irons, extent upon the growth short-term debt, originating competitors of the large de¬ pie any great considerable to largely and by a few large concerns in each industry that produce most of the output of the industry and by a the unfortunate based different industries, and en¬ terprises will not be confined to motives Let us hope, however, that community does not rely to will increasing of. providing needed the money supply. (16) the country's money supply could scarcely be devised. This method monetary ness found. will the rise in short-term private debt. A worse way of velopment infant mortality among community as a unwilling to supply one that was and a budgets would be large enough to produce a rise. change in the monetary system of the coun¬ try. For nearly a century prior to-192.9, the principal source for the increase in the money supply bobms the a The 19th upon bank revolutionary economy quantities. rule has been do next imports labor in small kinds of output will not fall neatly the credit and the less chronic deficit in the of Even in the up¬ on wages will be public opposition to rising prices. during the first If employers should be able to quarter per to do so I the in it still into wages it As or sold. goods country considerably better job in improving the qual¬ ity of business births, in reducing the the are employees. Organization grow in these three areas. years. the the money explain possible not, other prin¬ at groups and white collar ment percentage of companies will con¬ tinue to produce one-half to nine- checked by law, the economy also imported labor in large quantities, enterprise. Cer¬ tainly the opposite was true in the in will pressure strong. unorganized present time makes of cigarettes, breakfast foods, cars, or soap. Consequently, in industry after industry a small of by enterprises for agents of production has usually been greater than the capacity to and peo¬ of few one demand I suspect that the deficits in the government budget or imports of gold will be large enough to in anti- as membership and wages the supply will increase in the proportion of busi¬ to prevent a ness done by the smaller concerns. the supply will be slower than in the past. deflationary. ■■'(12) buy than 26-fold. United States imported capital on balance. Until immigration was most of them to belong to more bring about the goods. Hence a moderate the debt may be described grow, If the money supply to rise as rap¬ the physical production of as shall prices. money idly in make public debt during the next 30 years will probably be necessary to permit the present prices. The increase in the money supply will have to be large enough, as press requests for expenditures. public debt will slowly rise. The of needed merely drop in prices. If the growth in the money supply were no greater than this, it would be the slowest rise in the history of the country. Govern¬ groups terms national net be de¬ indefinite future, and pressure the billion The cold coming better organized the preferences of them The little a supply them. Until about 1880 the A few people write most of output (expressed in constant dollars) in¬ creased show next week velocity of circulation ceases to drop, an increase of about $120 are substantial so most the meantime the national safe a a In in fourth, mocracies which do not accept the Federal a 1939. and A of the letters to newspapers. as 1850 users draw most of the books from library. or absenteeism. between tinent the ticians the the raising the quantity of This increased about 143- and what favorable to enter¬ vide about half of all the real in than in the past. in millions, and if the length work impose of the 35 enterprising are It is also however, that about 30% drops by oneproduct by 1980 will be about $416 billion rises the on fold about employees will prise. capacity money. are conditions Underlying of the economy to incomes as rapidly as physical production has been its the success Likewise, the about grow. The schools of business will give far more atten¬ tion to these matters in the future force year, 72.5 will of cerns raise money as sug¬ last prices dinarily strong demand for agents of production during the 19th cen¬ tury was based in large measure upon the fact that a vacant con¬ per to mands a proportion of library decade of war small expect (II) The policies of the govern¬ ment will be inflationary. Spend¬ ing is more attractive to the poli¬ "red" most of the time. If the of upward in more years than it downward. In 1940, the whole¬ for one-half of the accidents cause tenths it increased by 50%. manhour , philosophy of laissez-faire .Virtually certain to be in employees. In 1939) years. in increasing the proportion individuals who buy corporate securities. Hence, the Just (represented by all Between increased as suc¬ cess taxing. concentrated." is one-tenth the absence of war, I do not ex¬ pect the money supply to increase of than expressed responsibility gestion system is put into a plant, about half of the suggestions will be made by about one-tenth of to that some events be may "The during movement price level was higher than in 1850. concentration is found in wiae variety of activities. There seems to be a fundamental social which the sale a between the two great wars (1920 some however, was few large churches or unions, their preferences will cause creased a corporations will have coun¬ (87) that fact century mem¬ the cause years drop in the ratio of savings to personal in¬ liquid of the by was ple it It is possible that be half over the 223 to trebled. enterprises for bank will United over bership in all Protestant churches. money except interbank and money outside of banks) has impose upon the community a higher rate of saving than it pre¬ the have try one-half less rapid than in In the last 20 years the money supply bank deposits to ferred to have. in the past. Hence, enterprises a of the About five out of supply will be to investmentas money. (14) The increase in the community have used bank credit new change for the a etary system whicn helped make the economy unstable with one which helps make it stable. will the* past, the demand of enterprises for cap¬ ital has usually exceeded the willingness of of course, better because it. replaces a mon¬ In previae private debt mining as the metal source is, of occurred the slower rate a me need depression. The smaller great principal It which short-term superseded less im¬ before in increase change half members law when of funds for was principal increase the have CHRONICLE - Similar the on, an unions, States. follows: to ply reflect the accumulated needs individuals for tangible goods. , about two-thirds of supply. of all FINANCIAL Protestant churches in this were system, comparable in importance of business and year supply will probably be a in the public debt. This, as I have said, is a revolu¬ tionary change in the monetary is lower relative to disposable income than before the portant were of & union slow fall. may 1929 money gross or of now sources repre¬ of but this low ratio money From At present it war, source the vol¬ liquid saving that about debt,; in the net national as the lor the cru¬ is whether private culmination -large as product of gross personal The its when commercial bank loans two-thirds type. an investment problem. short-term COMMERCIAL icies which ness. are are unfriendly to busi¬ economists, inquiring into the It is curious that who have been nature and causes of nations for two not made it very much what kinds a the wealth point to find about of of centuries have out enterprise — people and con¬ Reserve Board has been given authority to control stock market credit. the The staff will business that prospect be or will of the and environment the more business growth enormous in less hostile tend to to make of expansion much! less buoyant than in the nineteenth century. As I have indicated, the periods increase in staff is far ness ideas and that busi¬ means better before ever organized than investigate new to new proposals. In short, organized to say it is much better "no." Hence much fore the business less inclined will. be than to accept optimistic short-run outlook ever be¬ views of and, even to the extent that it accepts them, to act .upon them. A more or less hostile attitude of the community toward business will tend to pre¬ vent periods of expansion from becoming buoyant. If cyclical up¬ swings are less pronounced than in the will past, also Finally, the stability cyclical be less economy from the downswings pronounced. has gained revolutionary Continued on page 36 36 Continued from Continued 35 page CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (83) from Thursday, January 4 page standard unit of 1950 value forms A Treasury and the Price oi Gold Long Look Ahead At Economic Trends change recently has which oc¬ curred in its monetary system that reduction is, the term private importance as supply. What will happen to the organ¬ ization of the American economy? institutions Economic con¬ are stantly evolving. What comes after planned Socialism, a or something it Is capitalism. economy, in | yet is evolution there I know that steadily occurring. and difficulty the Perhaps that varieties several are is of capitalism and that they are not Let us look why neither planned economy easily distinguished. first the at Socialism reasons nor a immediately ahead and then let xs speculate us what is about just ahead. must One expect, think, I a vided by government. This trend has been going on for generations and it will be encouraged, not dis¬ couraged, by the general rise in per capita output. But an in¬ in crease free services is not Socialism. Socialism in the twen¬ tieth century faces the tremendous disadvantage operation on a a reality, not tions being in actual considerable scale of countries. several it Hence is Utopia. Its limita¬ a its and inadequacies are made evident by actual practice. Consequently, I do not expect to .see the public ownership of in¬ dustry spread except where there is some special reason for it. Enterprises connected with re¬ gional development and with atomic will energy owned be and may also In operated. publicly be publicly declining in¬ dustries public ownership may hail out private enterprise. The railroads may end up in public hands be sure that the exigencies of politics will pre¬ vent consistent economic policies. public Finally, reason. ownership become important in industries which need to be subsidized. Housing is Nor is planned economy likekinds of planned a are two (1) in which a national economic budget is planned and enforced and (2) economy toy — an economy in which activities are guided large and consistent body of economic policies. Certainly if planning of the first sort is de¬ veloped, one would expect it to grow up first in rather small a countries with a limited number of industries and with the of is not economic development the planned truly economy likely, more and more decisions will be made by various of government. The prices which are af¬ more or less directly by agencies number fected of decisions of government will slowly increase. I see no prospect, for example, of a substantial drop in the number of prices which are subject to government-im¬ posed ceilings or floors. The level the will be the subject of considerable controversy. Subsidies of one kind or another will probably in¬ crease ait h r •Transfer sonal larger part of per¬ a incomes. highly various of payments kinds will be diminish. than e r will industries regulated of number The probably increase. Over-the-road trucking, radio, investment bank¬ ing, and air transport are recent additions to the number of highly industries. There is at a good prospect that two industries, consumer credit regulated least more and agriculture, will be added to the list. The important that the ized fact, however, is growth of central¬ slow decision-making that the not does is about unique and most important characteristic—namely, mean to lose its economy most decision decentralized The most important - making. activities in the economy will remain the de¬ consumption made by tens of millions of consumers cisions and about the decisions tion made about produc¬ by millions of business enterprises. Although these deci¬ sions be will within made a an .Socialist. one consistency only may •example. But the economy which develops will not by and large be )y. There a slowly growing framework of public policies, the economy will continue to be guided by the preferences and the knowledge of millions the to of people who facts. ample There to are will opportunity concerns close still be for develop markets, develop new processes, and to adapt themselves to new condi¬ tions in their own These are way. the characteristics of the economy which make it extraordinarily adaptable, which give it dynamic drive, and remarkable inventive¬ ness. necesr Decentralized decision-making The United States offers about the has proved in this country to be a feast favorable conditions for the hardy plant. It has shown great capacity to survive in a changing development a national can and economic is budget that in the world today. be found There enforcement of compelling necessity no for it, such as would exist if for¬ world. I about age see serious a shrink¬ in the United States. For that I reason, think that while during the next generation and of the vol¬ enormous highly optional expendi¬ tures made by consumers who are thus enabled to shift quickly from good One tremely difficult operating budget. solete .and plan before the conditions ex¬ for economic would year be ob¬ was over becoming obsolete would difficulties. many quarterly make create national a A by cause another to it revisions work. provide for a What 7-fold would plan Even not could increase in consumption of frozen vegetables has done ticularly capital many new in the new institutions last it it one, will par¬ in the funda¬ economy in which of millions of persons work out their own destinies with a good deal of help and guidance but, in the last analysis, in their is the that reason the strong not own why I economy and way. am and 8 1934 of the of 9 read Gold fol¬ as lows: of Section 3700 8. vised Statutes the Re¬ (31U.S.C.734) amended to read a That remain driven few officials but by the restless ambitions of tens of millions of producers. Section is follows: as purchase geld in any amounts, at home or abroad, with any direct obligations, coin, or currency of the United States, authorized by law, or with any may funds in the Treasury not other¬ appropriated, at and such rates such terms and condi¬ upon tions he as deem may ad¬ most vantageous to the public interest; relating to the maintenance of parity, or limiting the purposes for which any of such obligations, coin, or currency, may be issued, or re¬ quiring any such obligations to be offered as a popular loan or on a competitive basis, or to be offered issued at not less or than to the contrary notwithstand¬ par, ing. All gold Sec. as fund (31 U.S.C. purchased so included general shall the of bers, and gold at a at minus shall above the buy value par margin, price a mem¬ Section par down sets changes in the the procedure for values; and section 7 deals with the procedure for uniform changes in the par values ton Woods therefore interest for has no us. follows: as rebate a in¬ of terest upon the coupons, as to sell gold in abroad, in such conditions most him amounts, at home any and such terms manner at such rates and upon and as he deem may advantageous to public the interest, and the proceeds of gold any sold shall be covered into so general fund of the Treasury: Provided, however, That the Sec¬ retary of the Treasury may sell the gold which is required to be maintained security as for reserve a tent to necessary at dollar." by only to the maintain ex ¬ such parity with the gold a of the Gold 10 Reserve Act gives to the Exchange Stabili¬ zation Fund full freedom in fixing the prices at which it and buys sells gold. Apart from any effects of Fund membership, the only limitation this Treasury power on to increase the price of gold is the size of the Exchange Stabilization Fund itself, since the fund, if used as a revolving fund, can exchange gold for General Fund dollars only the at consistently denied on $35 value, statutory oz. gold. of Snyder has intention any In the statement a handed to form Oct. 5, 1949, in press written the Secretary went further. He not only denied made it clear sections by that 9 of Act change. the and 8 Resejwe limited power of the 1934 Woods Agreements Act The Act which authorized U. S. number of factors," a the United States member of a as the Fund. After quoting Article 4, 2, of the Fund agreement (cited above), Snyder's Mr. Oct. such President United States to any action, nor shall agency . law has Fund prescribed States par or the of value of dollar under the low value par Article IV, par sec¬ " the Articles of Agreement of par value of the currency it; time a the 9 and the Exchange Stabilization by the Treasury of 1% less than the official price of $35 an ounce sells gold the There fect 14 at official is of 1% more of price $35. legal opinion to the ef¬ that the Treasury's only power to set these margins de¬ rives from sections 8 and 9 of the Gold 8 Reserve Act. 9 and thought, have to be Were sections repealed, it be granted for the to is other power would some of use the Exchange Stabilization Fund. Otherwise, it is held, the Ex¬ change Stabilization Fund might be unable on its to levy operations. such charge a Similarly, the !4 of 1% charge which the Treasury makes at home, in buying and selling newly-mined and industrial gold, draws its authority from sections 8 and 9. Supersede 1934 Law While the present to purchase gold at sell gold at less, minus long more or than $35 plus or the prescribed margin so the par value of the dollar as declared to the Fund remains The changed. dollar be can suant to the value par un¬ of the Secretary of evidently regards changed only pur¬ provisions of the Ar¬ ing the powers sections 8 and of him the under Re¬ 1934, it does not follow that a later nec¬ essarily eliminates earlier the law, sions are Nov. 17, provisions unless law of those an provi4 specifically repealed. On 1933, Attorney-General ton Woods Roosevelt requires the approval of Congress given 9 Act of serve the Agreements Gold Homer Agreements Act, which Woods 1945 obligation as overrid¬ ticles of Agreement and the Bret- Cummings sent President written a opinion that the such change. Section 5 of any that Act provides that neither the President nor shall agency national person any Monetary change in United States the Fund value par dollar or general change in any unless or to the Inter¬ propose any of the values Congress by law authorizes "Even without the legal obliga¬ tion to the International there Fund Monetary important con¬ are siderations of policy which, in ef¬ circumscribe the discretion of the Secretary of the Treasury to change the price of geld. The gold policy of been has "Since the United States directed primarily to stable relation be¬ the 1934 We standard. buying by so freely at States done selling and fixed a have gold price, $35 legitimate monetary pur¬ poses. other gold that Act) importance States which attributes of legislative parity Ac i of were in sec¬ still alive in 1933. Cum¬ "Nor do I think that the broad authority conferred the Sec¬ upon been a stable repealed the to the dollar provisions. The statutes contained in even iar rule in such the gold dollar *shall be the being that cases implied repeals of particular leg¬ islation by legislation subsequent the on general subject same not favored."—Osborn are olson, 13 Wall, 654; U.S. U.S., 166 185 U.S., U.S. 601; 83; v. v. Nich¬ Green¬ Rogers v. Washington v. Miller, 235 U.S. 422. In the written same opinion, Cummings cited Attorney-General Charles Devens, who in to response an 1877, in inquiry by Secre¬ of the Treasury John Sher¬ tary gave man, the Secretary 3 Note it as 1862 of that the both 1864 laws, Treasury the 1900 and un¬ the may 1933 the books when, late in 1933 acts were the Administration on his view that, and raised the price of gold without the dollar being formally de¬ valued. Also note that section states: May 1*2, 1933, provide impliedly by subsequent legislation, the famil¬ der "The re-enacted mings added: an in transactions with foreign governments and central banks all since powers tions 8 and 9 of the Gold Reserve house, United has firmly adhered to the require¬ ments of an international gold bullion the retary by the sections quoted has action. such of powers Secretary of Treasury enacted in 1862 and 1864 to buy and sell gold (the approve par the . and operated not the Gold Standard Act of 1900 and "The The Fund Act of Monetary Fund value follows: as Stabilization Fund International Monetary Fund in Article IV, section 1, define par as this the use devaluation to Sections 8 the price for gold is demonstrated by International view Bretton maintenance The it to recommend the United What Fund's Articles Provide does nor Treasury for ap¬ increase to power the Agreement' of the Fund, or prove any general change in under the for purchases ounce, tion 7 has price, it does not plan to Accordingly, the United States has an obligation to and sales of gold. IV, section 5, or Article XX, section 4, of the Articles of Article values or margin of 14 of 1% above and be¬ the person behalf propose or agree .. no raising the price of devaluing the dollar. If it gold a au¬ neither any on change in the United by the has of 1945 Law Does Not "The tween Congress that thought no 5 handout reads: maintaining a gold and the dollar. that: "Unless doubt Administration "is first of which is the obligation of section be can than fect, Bretton In view of the above statements there and change in the dollar propose a in a be while he is President. for U. S. C. 733). (31 Section as or issued currency the United States, currency the Treasury John W. expedient; and he may may seem Comments repeated occasions, notably in press conferences, Secretary of Gold may without or Snyder's On ury of with will buys gold at Above Powers and Obligations He the anticipate the pay¬ ment of interest on the public debt, by a period not exceeding one year, from time to time, either with Secretary on conference press change in the price, he added, no determination of values and price the Truman 10, 1949, replied "categorical no." There Agreements Act above, relates to initial current increasing Nov. XX, section 4, of the articles, cited in the Bret- given the Secretary of the Treas¬ Re¬ President gold, his Congress. Article Fund's to of of during par of Fund member countries. par Asked about any Administration mar¬ article same be present prescribed of 5 shall consideration or below of the 3699 (31 U. S. C. 733) is "Sec. 3699. The Secretary of Treasury an price prescribed gold value gold by member no the sell in the intention to propose a 734). amended to read the transactions for Treasury." the Section 9. asset an of vised Statutes or shall all coined with this price Fund provision of law any be article same and or standard and it shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to maintain such parity.' " 3 ." . . the of ex¬ gin." President, the Secretary of the Treasury wise 2 be as a com¬ specifies that: "Sec. 3700. With the approval of the denominator. mon plus confident will progressive, by plans of Act of Gold Reserve Act Reserve Sec. shall member pressed in terms of gold prescribe a margin above and below par value Sections the tens each of -"The Provisions thorizes institutions market, as mentally remain what it is today —an final Monetary Fund provides (Sec. 5) tries, the rapidity of technological ume the will continue economy develop in well, as participation in the International American changb, action, analysis. the eign exchanges were scarce. The extraordinary variety of indus¬ to the power: prospect that it is no suffer to has also to consent. And the Presi¬ dent's power to consent is cer¬ tainly in fact the power to initiate power business new to fdty of rationing foreign exchange. President may in public policies is that they appeal to voters or to various groups of voters. They represent political planning, not economic planning. The some this for the second planning in one sense, of the ceilings and floors, of course, gradual increase in the number of free or nearly free services pro¬ in for As same Although economy, frozen-fruit period? of consumption juice in the else? My vision seems to be poor. I do not see Socialism or a planned 3-fold increase ] in a decade or a — shortdebt to secondary a source of money of of money issued by the United States maintained at a parity 8 specifically "any provisions of law relating to the maintenance of parity ... to the con¬ trary notwithstanding." < Volume 171 sell at gold below or Number 4870 THE price either above a the standard unit of value. operable. true The if the Washington Several members of September and the subsequent de¬ valuations abroad, some fanciful mining industries. rumors tentions circulated, that—as part of to the understandings of effect agreements reached British—the would the United with States shortly increase the price devalue the dollar, etc. gold, Rep. Arthur L. Miller of Nebraska have Fund subsidized of Conference this on tice the the are While of in¬ somewhat obscure in value of the national received from Assistant Secretary objected and Canada had to alter ury Ernest A. Gross the plan. medium- to dispel stated "not ard and Department that the discussed a the aware" the gold price of during meetings. for reply intended rumors. The reply the that Department stand¬ gold the were tripartite the letter Moreover, continued: "So far was this Depart¬ as ment is aware, the question of the gold was standard either at the discussed not Board of Governors [of the International Monetary Fund] meeting or in other recent international forums." Mr. Gross's the dollar the undo be correctly devaluation of a would only tend advantages which to may gained by the foreign countries which this devalued year currencies; then but their weakly added: "In view the of apparently doubtful authenticity of the sev¬ points covered in the infor¬ eral that mation desk, has reached your not wish to insert it in the Congressional Record, at least not without providing ade¬ quate qualification respecting the you may acceded to the subsidize now directly, basis. but on South gold State would have Department's been more letter Individual secret just are miners as Fund articles, satisfactory to concerned. It agreements reached at Yalta Conference, agreements of which the State until learn not it would be say $40 dollar remains recent Within Fund's Articles tors board And any this can be That it would be the of in Fund, which the United States has the largest vote, have it in their (under power Article IV, to prescribe section for transactions members. the In in gold Fund's by present rules and regulations this margin is fixed at lk of 1% above or below.4 The ticles of agreement. Only the have to be changed. would Were the to, monetary of the at present un¬ reasons has had ex¬ and their application gold the gold- mining industry in this country's economy. not have laws and always long prom¬ what mean seemed to mean: example, the gold clause. Who be can ob¬ and these need generation do they without more for powers ises done system smallness sure, future some therefore, with 1933, in that another FDR in the White House, another Homer Cummings as,, Attorney, General, another Herman Oliphant as Treasury will be not General Counsel, determined that it the to increase the price 5 It was Herman the Oliphant who in Administration the could at Higher Price? Assuming that the Treasury gold at more than $35 can buy under ounce tion 8 of the the Gold an of sec¬ Reserve Act, powers from first use his Gold Reserve Act automatically not yet We so have if it ever dividual "found" that "security" is not supplied—as supplied save by the in¬ himself—for many individuals by the system had been under which we could be or operate, and that it must be afforded else the individual will no longer degree of individual freedom and liberty that is left him. Experience has also "taught" us that large numbers of people even in [his country tolerate or the even do not in the normal usual or of their lives course earn enough to satisfy their wants, and if they are not to rise up and smite the rest of us down, they must in this way that he subsidized—or should or we , "bought sav off"? Cannot Look Out for Themselves It is also "obvious" to us wise now, with the as we are wisdom of the New Deal and the Fair Deal philosophies, that' many, quite possibly most, men and women in the country are not capable of looking after themselves, but must be put under the protective wing of government or made the victims of organized groups which will tell them in blunt language or blunter instruments what they may and what they may not do in their day-to-day affairs. The wageearner may prefer to work for what he is able to earn rather than to starve looking for work at some rate of pay which willing or able to provide, but somewhere some¬ one knows better. It may be that the farmer would prefer o trust his own judgment as to how much corn, or how much wheat to grow or how many hogs to raise—but no, there are others' who are running the show and he must knuckle under. If liberty is sacrificed somewhere along the way, then that is a mere detail which can be heartily denied on the hustings in any event. no is one Then these wise men, learned in the "modern" lore behavior, cast their eyes beyond our borders. There they see unfortunate individuals who do not have of human the luxuries to which Many of them lack we have become what "security" even accustomed. we enjoy. In instances they are in abject want. Now all this has its origins in circumstances for which we ar6 in no > some Counsel of the Treasury. The then Under-Secretary of the Treasury, also a lawyer, was Dean Acheson. Out of sym¬ pathy with what the Administration wanted to do in regard to gold, Acheson resigned. Two days later Cummings sent President Roosevelt the above-quoted opinion, confirming what Cummings had orally told the chief executive. responsible, but, !' these soothsayers, there can be no security, no assured peace, and no enduring prosperity anywhere in the world so long as these things exist anywhere. We must, therefore, in our own selfway so say interest play Santa Claus to the rest of the world if continue to enjoy what to tainly if page we are we now have, and we cer¬ to move forward. Not the very real problems of the next half century, but these absurd ideas of how to approach their solution are what disturb us. Different Elsewhere Yet in 4 The sections Fund's executive odically submit to the in the to be in¬ now directors peri¬ changes governors and rules regulations. The directors take the position that the gov¬ ernors "note" the changes, nothing more. In theory the Fund could check any proclivity of the United States to buy gold at a premium. Actually, the United States would not only wield the large bloc of votes deriving from its own quota, but would certainly enjoy in any effort to raise the price of gold the enthusiastic support of various smaller members which have an interest in gold mining. the Fund has of agreement and committee members at construed its fields it quite the thing to say that the most urgent problem of the day is that of finding some way of making as certain as may be that what man has learned about nature and its workings will be used to benefit, not to destroy, mankind. These ideas, as every one knows, have been given great popular emphasis by developments in nuclear physics, including the atomic bomb. They are reinforced, though, by many other findings and inventions about which the public knows but little but hears a great deal which is vague and frightening. Man must learn somehow and rapidly how to Woods in course, be the master and which he articles has not the victim of these monsters saying hysteria in all this. so the goes. Fund members in of both recent prac¬ years. the of Laidlaw name in & 1854 and Co., was adopted in 1873. Display New Offices Laidlaw & traces back whose to 1842. (Jan. 4) history dedicated with the soon-to-be on the financial occupied When the in firm 40 span conducted in new quar¬ it will change in location the years, Broad formally week-end first its been Oil the over its offices new takes possession of the mark recep¬ ground floor of 25 Street. ters a press business having over that long in the old Standard space Building at 26 Broadway. The new Walker offices were Poor, features rangement, also & and of layout, lighting. end lished & in of Co., the was banking Civil well and War, estab¬ with the rise of the corporate form of busi¬ ness it acquired a membership in the New York Stock Exchange in 1878, though still maintaining its position one as private bankers. of the oldest Stock It is Exchange member firms in Wall Street. ships include the New York Curb Exchange, Boston Stock and For us our part, the fact that these problems exist disturbs less than what appears to be our approach to their tion. All too often our notions of the way to overcome solu¬ these the Chicago Board of Trade. the American Bankers Associa¬ ar¬ They fully air-conditionecl and tion. ; The firm's operations worldwide and branch offices Laidlaw & Co., is (he successor firm of Heran and Lees, who maintained started business as Ext The firm also has membership in sound-proofed. Some False Concepts To-, day its other exchange member-, change, Montreal Curb Exchange designed architects, and embody the most modern and by the Laidlaw yesterday tion to At Co., banking and in¬ firm vestment are are number of instances law entered the firm Laitffaw & Go. attractive brought into being, There is both truth and 1944, presently permitted to sub¬ sidize their gold mining industries, buy¬ ing certain newly-mined gold at premiums well above the % of 1% margin; and they are also being permitted to sell gold internally at large premiums. There have by It is, of the minutes of the gold Bretton some re¬ prior to the Bretton Woods those two tices have "learned" during we complex that it can no longer direct and itself, but must be directed and managed by groups of elected politicians or their appointees. small Gen¬ of Agreements Act of 1945, assuming a become to As We See powers stored to the full force they pos¬ been things which manage are Continued must One of the buying at rising prices through the RFC. Oliphant was then with the Farm and or — we the past decade or two, so we are told, is, for example, that modern life, particularly modern economic life, has 1933 seems to us that the picture is quite different, even opposite. In science we have learned a great 1934 to buy gold at $38.50 an deal; in certain other matters we have also "learned" a great ounce. deal—and much of it is simply not so! One of the most If the Fund should go out of existence, the powers of the Sec¬ urgent tasks of the second half of the century is, therefore, retary of the Treasury under sec¬ to unlearn a good deal that we have thought that experi¬ tions 8 and 9 of the Gold Reserve ence had taught us. Act would be the under As course of way be de¬ to are something closely approaching it — then of inevitably suffer serious, perhaps even cata¬ strophic, disappointment. century gold Administration If in addition, these fallacies to bring in the millenium during the next half upon 10%, the Secretary of the say, made out foundation. pended eral Could Treasury Finance Buying margin to be expanded Treasury sessed upon "modern" precepts about economics and related matters which must be regarded as quite with¬ gold? 5 showed 37 difficulties rest Secretary of the Treasury has the power Credit margin could be in creased without amending the ar¬ rules the will discovering that is, most unlikely, in view of 2, the Fund's articles of agreement) the margin above and below par value in pos¬ gold, surprising ends: for done of price for example, Trading-with-the Enemy Act in 1933. It has had experience with legislation by the Con¬ new gress. relative direc¬ executive of to weight are powers the served. of the lack of need for Possibilities for Price Increase and unchanged. policies Whatever when the government, some This unchanged. and devaluation perience with long-dormant laws (3) The Fund's articles of agree¬ ment increase an predictable. (2) The par value of the dollar remains Washingtonian Administration the over powers to maintain or dollar. government, that: of the a the there desires Truman come ounce an as behind or (89) by government, it has no intention of using them. Nor has it any intention of sur¬ rendering them. The time may For example, possible to the sesses excess year's output at, of course, long afterwards. The of to buy all of the gold of the previous were produced in far so observe, the suppose that the Secretary of the Treasury with the President's an- proval surface ministration subsidize its gold-mining industry without violating the Fund ar¬ ticles of agreement. premium at in the price of gold or be States on is not the slightest sign that the present Ad¬ but the would possible for the United purchases the can indi¬ to suggests that possible, long-terms to finance or gold scenes, "fabri¬ subsidies above-quoted famous did mining or This doing the thing again, for the Treas¬ On vidual gold mines get around the reassur¬ ing, had it not been so carefully hedged. In extenuation of the De¬ partment's caution we may recall Department mem¬ Africa, moreover, complaints of the "industrial" inter¬ The Outlook despite the Fund, aids its gold mining indus¬ try by the sale of gold at premium prices abroad, the gold being sup¬ posedly the markets, prices. non-uniform a be Fund's wishes. A number of Fund in the to borrow from the public the but a year, lowering of dollar Slates. would same uniform- a subsidy for (1) The gold content The the with away the end reliability." the got bers it Southern Rhodesia, it is per-ounce in a cated." letter pointed out that true, out run gold bought with obligations of the was plan to sub¬ sidize its gold mining on a uniform-per-ounce basis the Fund State would exchange comment and under date of Oct. 10 the went very process process United wrote observed buy more gold. 1933, when the government was so Canada announced $35. If the In prac¬ gold-mining sub¬ long as they are not on uniform-per-ounce basis. When a have of funds to tolerates sidies finance for it sound Some far, the Treasury Woods point, the Fund in be CHRONICLE entered on the Treasury's only at their official value books gold the Bretton be can World their so? do FINANCIAL that, unless the official price of gold also is changed, purchases of gold at more than $35 an ounce Subsidies to Gold Miners in talks it to States from the Fund. Following the Anglo-AmericanCanadian the would be exercised his power to withdraw the United State Department's Assurances or would same President & COMMERCIAL commission in Boston, are are Washing¬ ton, Montreal, Toronto and other merchants in 1842 in offices at 51 cities. Broad is conducted at the main office. Street. Henry Bell Laid¬ A general banking business 38 (90) THE Continued from COMMERCIAL 4 page in October at y^ vr fad AA 163. closb.g the same time, the of the during reach ber. the high of 195.82 in Decem¬ (See Chart B.) a In other words, the market was low found the ahead, more almost each new policies already going market less vigorously. or Major Business and Market Influences In in shaping the 1950 pattern must confess that I month. to am some is ket strong market helps business—not only does it influence businessmen by establishing a favorable psycho¬ logical background, but more di¬ rectly, an expanding Stock Mar¬ discounting greater and significant developments— chiefly the winning of the war— was more here at home liberation from and economic and political controls, profits taxes and other war excess Perhaps this is true. measures. Let look at us The rising 1946. forecasting business good a good ket makes easier the sale of securities funds Industrial able with for which capital Most of the to by the government and pri¬ industry show estimates of a substantial decline at the equipment expenditure output eral measured as Reserve the year of the the Fed¬ by Index hit low for a 152 in February with lowest month in May second at 159, followed by a slow but steady move up to 182 at the close of the year. The 212.50 of the May market was the high of 1946, and as you know, the market has yet to see that figure that later.) In the the again. Fall Stock touching (More Market year broke in that decline was the was sharply, At that will remember, told we time, all were explanation obvious. and of this The market simply performing its tradi¬ function, of forecasting the tional trend "bust" of business. was Now, let in us business ket The postwar its way. on what happened see after the Stock Mar¬ warning, in the Fall of 1946. Business continued good. Not once carries forward % What for at ❖ other budgets conclusions of 1943. short periods, the market reflects than discounts events. .At rather times, it acts entirely independent the business curve. The 1949 figures as to the government deficits, but in the meantime, they are a stimulus to business, taking up the slack where private expenditures are the cast decline. that the It is being fore¬ Federal deficit weeks on June before resumed its 13, a reaching bare two industrial upward activity march. Fur¬ smaller, unless our world program is to be changed radi¬ cally. It is unlikely that in the face of developments in the Far The call will we areas reverse of the world revenue 10% credit for all against dividends common budget is what I "political budget." We next board taxpayers of received of 10.%' a $1,000 or across-the- Investment circles are also hop¬ ing that some changes in the SEC regulations of a procedural nature be effected during the com¬ year. Such changes would less cumbersome less and costly the distribution of new about that more indications curities, while at the same time retaining the safe-guards that protect the investing public. There other tendencies out¬ are side of the political sphere which during the coming year will have important bearing on the Stock Market. Large insurance com¬ panies and other institutions are leaning more and towards more the theory of common stock ership. Educational institutions synary creasing the funds be to and into of their common income group the Some of them open-end 1949 was investment probably open-end trusts. record year a trusts, with present wider range of common stocks. ing securities is receiving further impetus from the educational pro¬ unfavorable nancial see to private business Conceivably we gram 38% to 42%, but change is only likely to offset to nation of reduction a the excise such come or a as elimi¬ taxes widening interest in being carried and possible relief in other spheres of a * tee of on * * by business plans for 1950 pro¬ duction.' Generally, most of us seem to be in agreement that the year will start with a high level of nature is the likely to be given to measures equity for the affecting the capital. Studies Joint Commit¬ the Economic Report point CHART A Federal Reserve Index of Industrial Production Compared With Industrial Indices business this group for should to are and f"Factors Affecting Volume and Stability of Private Investment" —Assembled by Subcommittee Joint Committee the on on staff of the Investment, profits extent limited by arrangement, the in¬ should be approaching a Report. the the entire year, especially more probably been anticipation of their receipt. How much it is actual estimate, The suppliers of aircraft manu¬ even tool the de¬ makers 1950 or The 10%-12% figure. the At the schedules automobile and trucks for below the outset, call for running at the rate that of 1949. 1949 however, output an above or even There is little doubt but that the major companies will show distribution felt. This should result in profits for the first half of the year commensurate with those chip may away of some the profits of the independents. Commercial further Banking Federal financing return on the prospect, the bond portfolios banks should cient to high level of of more commercial itself suffi¬ be less guarantee a or of With — deficit in dividend payments to the holders of bank stocks. Building Construction and dustries—Like economy, much In¬ in else the the biggest influence in ernment, but cline from even the should witness with 1949 lus A check with vidual on in the books as of the 1st of that record of a year ago, great as from road million this is tions building, public works, systems, util¬ Further price adjustments in building costs, either through re¬ duction in material prices or through the greater productivity of labor, would act as a stimulant and help keep construction going high level. large reflect extent the its economy, research while to a operations will level the general entire the are are 3V2 sets in 1950. Whether new understatement an or of optimistic an Electric and Gas the one Utilities—An¬ that should be group men¬ tioned before going 011 to the dis¬ cussion of the Stock Market is the electric and According gas partment utilities the to of SEC for group. and Commerce expenditures De¬ figures, plant and equipment for the first quarter of 1950 are estimated at $740 million against $680 million for the cor¬ new responding quarter of 1949—not a big increase but showing a ten¬ dency. Continued growth, espe¬ cially of the natural gas division of this industry, is The Now the for market indicated. Immediate Market prospects of the immediately ahead. Prices moved up steadily during the past six months from the low of 161.60 dustrial Such an ficient for the Average Dow-Jones to almost advance of itself to reason look In¬ 200. is suf¬ for sorrie correction. Both speculators of benefits likely to of and investors dynamic. They buy stocks not only for income but also to make are profit. After a steady rise such witnessed, it would be all past experience if have we violating we didn't get some adjustment in prices. Frequently when the technical position of the market indicates a decline, some outside event comes along to give the ostensible ex¬ planation for industry is noted and of indicating Demand is coming research sale depend largely upon the ac¬ taken by the Federal Com¬ other as its the munications Commission. a for durabje The manufacturers possibilities will ities, etc. a in¬ expansion wide estimating now water and sewerage at generally, consumer show to next year. operations for at least the full year 1950. class of the goods have of the indi¬ the December, almost twice as trade Television receiving sets will be one building building group, the cement industry, for example, shows a backlog of or¬ ders retail to 1950 $19,250,000,000 some industries of be fairly a the consumer capital goods as well as soft goods. de¬ some figures, level of a un¬ to substantial contra-seasonal stimu¬ in the first half of 1949, but com¬ petition still are cluding industry is planning total produc¬ tion of between 5,500,000 and 5,700,cars effects the this period. pressed but major impossible, to 000 passenger retail in spent doubtedly, — economy, the of these funds have dustry highly Automotive companies profit. some Veterans' Insurance Refund. Some gov¬ high level some recent the Economic removed, contractual machine on trade will feel the benefits of the although prosperous tax be reduced or en¬ the by mean excise the re¬ the expendi¬ aggregate operations, activity with certain This time collapse it the may market's be a drop. financial of the Argentine, or an unfavorable interpretation of the President's Budget Message or un¬ satisfactory State be implications in his of the Union report. Whatever the immediate stimu- CHART B a Few Selected Comparison of Dow-Jones Industrial Average and Federal Reserve Index of Industrial Production 1945 1948 and The The chemical favorable consideration prepared by the Fi¬ The third budget is represented taxation. Of on own¬ Community. may increase in corporate taxes an shortly. a group scientific Beginning shortly after the turn be announced that this industry will in of should from especially, medical Furthermore, with cosmetics may manufacturing aircraft companies making their are indications pointing to even larger sales in 1950 and investing in a The various estimated for the current year. investments through the purchase of Allo¬ — ■ companies, benefits search. cation of government contracts to approximating the coming into the market. drug also tirely Manufacturing this group is likely to be the gov¬ stocks. that market. already in¬ are percentage placed own¬ eleemo¬ My only comment is do not point to the enactment during 1950 of much legislation hostile or even Treasury policy. se¬ the are likelihood Aircraft J - , Allied to the chemical industry panies of these groups will largely influence the action of the general divi¬ on would, in my be more feasible politi¬ to fruition. —more exemp¬ $1,500 income, make the should also benefit. flat a for 1950 individual company efforts as first part of the year, since in all probability the shares of the com¬ on opinion, cally and sounder economically. ing least at facturers, including exemption, dend week. that flow 1945 a stock. Instead promising, ernment proposed measures, felt come on of the early one espe¬ an of those groups that look some most some Lynch bill, intro¬ Fall, and which may last of ture for taxation The form the basis for for policy. our second the rumblings of a possible change in Federal Reserve, and an¬ duced provide double next who hear actual dividends. the are various The will from that $5,000-$7,500 be can thermore, by the middle of June, were already beginning to we hoped $51/2 billion. Conceivably, it will be larger. It is difficult to see how an low also it of the year, the market moved sympathetic direction, relief period. on We might discuss the prospects cap¬ from come new from its affecting may Finally, there is the large crop of investors—those in more clearly. With business declining throughout the first half in for the 1951 fiscal year will be around enterprise. emphasize this even a 1950 First, there is the fiscal budget. will know much To me the figures cited clearly point out that except for possible of there are How large will the deficit be? In the long run, we may regret these East and other March ❖ to examine before arriving us our on is It new business. that market again re¬ peated its warnings with a 163.21 low in May of 1947 and a 165.39 in into ground, the ability to raise capital through common stock although bottom earlier action months may did the Federal Reserve Index go below 176 during 1947 or 19,48, the next financing will change some of the capital outlay budgets now being prepared by both big and little (1946), October 163.55 in November. you and for prospects? of the 163.12 about market new plant It is conceivable that if the year. high in year were derived a investment tion purposes. vate The volume of raise on than the shortening of the holding per ried to 3 months from the present equity figures made avail¬ Average reached a closing high of 212.50 in May. What was going on in business time? for but because experience shows that create market of the preceding 12 months continued until the Dow-Jones same ital Congress believe that the market Perhaps 1945 is not a fair test. It might be argued that the mar¬ less Thursday, January 5, industries operating cially high plane. studyt one taxes on capital gains. Perhaps it is too early to hope for any change in connection with the capital gains tax. However, 6 influenced next year, As the in by the current strength in the Stock Market. Not extent is revenues somewhat $150 million some in my mind of the likely trend for 1950, I of average, because I going up throughout 1945, while business, inversely, was making a new nouncement of these and climbed upward next 12 months to year, CHRONICLE shows—for the years 1935-1945 the the Dow-Jones Industrial Average made its low of 151.35 in January terms capital gains tax. The 1950 Slock Market in FINANCIAL out, for example, how unimport¬ ant 1G2 & 1949 B 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 Volume 171 Number 4870 Continued lus, the reaction will not a total surprise. From come it that market ably level will of move to on since nessed overtake 1946 and the conceiv¬ prices not wit¬ the pre-depression As that to it might be the last time that the reached in was the 212.50 level year—1930. the create base both as to price and volume from which to a forward. move CHRONICLE 5 page The State of Trade and Industry trends here to stay and that the best way of are to try to keep At least here we in America will continue to move ahead. overcoming them is production more output front, output; and more higher standard of means a living for the country and thi$ products, new techniques and a better scale of living is the abso¬ lute necessity for cutting costs. If the present system, of doing busi¬ ness in this country is to survive this must be done. companies are solving the question of bigness without That trend will spread. Big companies will have sub¬ sidiaries which will have to compete with other companies and with for greater a individual business means level climate in which a be translated can of into satisfactory profits and favorable dividend disbursements. One of my partners has characI terized the years ahead as "a dec¬ ade of' opportunity for America." Perhaps it is not too much to hope that this to characterization prices. or Congress does about f.o.b. Freight rates have gone so high, labor is so expensive, to exploit the area nearest the plant or plants. that it pays the basic steel industry there will be more and more market by plants close by. Crosshauling and freight absorption will be pretty much out of the question. served Biggest changes in the next decade will the operating rate steel-making capacity Exchange Weekly Firm Changes The New York Stock has announced Exchange the following firm changes: Lipsky, Woodley B. Gosling, Exchange member, and George R. Cooksey, Jr., Exchange member, retire from partnership in Bendix, Luitweiler & Co. Geddes the of in late Clark, Donald C. Dodge I. Sprayregen limited & Co., Maurice and Bruck, Eisele Bertram R. in Smith, limited part¬ Co., died Dec. 22. Ernst & Johnson Garrett retired Thomas T. partnership Dec. Coxon retired Hallgarten in 31. P. Merritt Dec. James from Co. withdrew from partnership in F. S. Co. & • Melville & from Moseley 31. M. C. Newman retired Colgate V. Mann, member of withdrew from Schirmer, Atherton & Co., Dec. 31. Winsor Shippee, retired from Shippee & Rawson Dec. 31.- John W. Jordan, general part¬ and Frederick R. Horne, gen¬ eral limited and partner, drew from Thomson & with¬ McKinnon, Dec. 31. Transfer of the Exchange mem¬ bership of William C. Ridgway, Jr., to Giorgio Uzielli will be con¬ sidered by the Exchange Jan. 12. ALBUQUERQUE, Leonard G. 225' Mr. South Phillips ner-in New Carolisle was Phillins York from 2, 1950. This to castings compared to month ago 1,690,500 the tons; rate year a ago 1,716,300 was 91.7% it net and stood at tons benefited formerly & a It and & York nounce come Co., members Stock that Jack Levine associated with co-manager and of the Exchange, has be¬ the firm East 57th as Paul Levine as its office at associate manager of 1 an¬ Street. and crops contracts the prospective official winter wheat slightly lower; milling demand was light, slow, and government purchases were practically nil. winter wheat crop was reported greatly new by general rains or snows the over West Caution prevailed in the domestic flour market. bakers were in the Southwest. and However, chain market for substantial quantities of hard wheat fair demand for export, largely due to allocations of funds by the ECA. Cocoa values held steady in rela¬ bakery flours, and there tively light trading. was a Spot coffee prices in futures markets. were firmer, aided by strength The spot Santos 4s grade advanced 1 cent a pound week ago. Spot sugar prices were steady but futures reacted downward following release of the 1950 over a quota, which larger than was in the trade had expected. Domestic demand for lard was fairly good with prices somewhat stronger at the close. Demand for dressed many meats was seasonally slow. Livestock receipts in the Chicago markets week due to holiday influences and prices smaller last were steady were a 1949 government loan stock continued volume. 198,000 bales. For the through Dec. 15 this year, entries totaled with 3,587,000 bales entered to the same I Repossessions of loan cotton for the rseason through mid-Decem¬ date a ,i A season as compared year ago. 69,558,000-kwh., and or 1.3% lower than the total output for the week ended Jan«-1, 1949, but 918,867,000 kwh. in excess of the output reported for the' corresponding period two years ago. PREVIOUS WEEK was decrease of a ing week. It represented 16,420 cars, or 2.6% below the preced¬ increase of 14,604 cars, or 2.4%, above the 1948, which included the Christmas holiday and an increase of 23,949 cars, or 4% above the similar period in 1947, which also included Christmas Day. an corresponding week RETAIL TRADE STIMULATED BY LATE CHRISTMAS SHOPPING —WHOLESALE BUYING EASES The late rush of Christmas in AUTO OUTPUT SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL RISE IN DAILY RATE According to "Ward's Automotive Reports" for-the past week, vehicle production in the United States and Canada is esti¬ 110,319 units compared with the previous week's total of (revised) units. It was the first time since the week ended Nov. 19, that the total has exceeded 100,000. mated at 116,567 The daily however, rate, week, the The agency total up was week contained only four working substantially, since summary of trade. With the help of one year ago. Measured by unit volume the increase over the similar 1948 week was even larger due to many price reductions. The total unit volume of notes. output for FAILURES DOWN IN HOLIDAY holiday- shortened week ended Dec. 29 from 196 in the preceding week, Dun & At the lowest level involving above the liabilities Casualties of this size of $5,000 were less in over a year, they 1948, 38 in 1947, and or more numerous dropped than a to 83 year ago. $5,000, although down to 26 from 42, remained 1948 level. Failures in were less tion and all categories, than numerous service; a were year wholesaling ago and lower last week. failures West New South Central Decreases England, Middle Atlantic, from East North slightly 1948 occurred Central and in Pacific States. exceed Hardware and by the following percentages: New England and East +2 to +6; South +1 to +5; Midwest Southwest +3 to +7; Northwest and Pacific Coast 0 to +4. and As a holiday quiet prevailed in some wholesale markets the past week, buyer activity was generally restricted to replenishing depleted stocks. Aggregate dollar volume of wholesale commitments continued somewhat below that of a year ago. The number of buyers at¬ tending many wholesale markets dwindled noticeably below the level of a year ago. Department store sales on a in country-wide the basis, week as and was taken from the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended Dec. 24, increased by 14% from the like week increase of 1% an For the four weeks from the show a was ended 1949, period of last year. In the preceding registered above the like week of 1948. Dec. 24, corresponding period a 1949, sales registered year ago, but for the no change year to date decline of 5%. cus¬ According FINAL 1949 WEEK Continuing the mild downward movement of the three preceding weeks, the wholesale food price index, compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., fell 1 cent in the final 1949 week to stand at $5.72 on Dec. 27. This compares with $6.21 a year ago, or a drop of 7.9%. The current of 2.7% above the 1949 low of $5.57 recorded to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department City for the weekly period to Dec. 24, 1949, period last year. In the preceding 1% (revised) was registered below the similar store sales in New York advanced week FOOD PRICE INDEX EXTENDS MILD DECLINE INTO level represents a rise to Retail trade in New York the past week experienced the regions except the East South Central States. continued tomary post-Christmas lull with estimated department store sales volume placed at close to 8% below the corresponding period in 1948. exceeded those of 1948. Decreases occurred in all purchases dipped somewhat high in most sec¬ holiday decorating materials were eagerly sought by many shoppers. Small appliances generally continued to be very popular; the demand for upholstered furniture slackened during the week. tions. Casualties in manufacturing, construc¬ retailing food year ago. The retail volume of many consumer durables last week. The interest in television sets remained to be WEEK Commercial and industrial failures declined to 109 in the a of last week and 18,434 trucks built in the United BUSINESS pre-Christmas shopping day than in more the corresponding week in 1948, the total dollar volume of retail trade last week slightly exceeded that of a Retail volume for the country in the period ended on Wednesday was estimated to be from 2 to 6% above the level of a year ago. Regional estimates varied from the levels of a year ago the days, compared with five last the current week was made up of 86,616 States and 3,787 cars and 1,482 trucks built in Canada. The wreek's total compares with 81,968 cars built in the U. S. and Canada a year ago and 18,535 units in the like week of 1941. cars shopping and the early start of post- instrumental in sustaining total retail trade Wednesday of last week near the high level according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its latest were in the period ended on of the previous week, Loadings of revenue freight for the week ended Dec. 24, 1949, totaled 623,303 cars, according to the Association of American Rail¬ This 1,976,803 holiday promotions CARLOADINGS AGAIN DROP BELOW LEVEL OF roads. 33,413 bales, leaving a net stock in the hands of the CCC bales, as against 3,587,320 bales on hand on the com¬ parable date a year ago. Activity in the cotton gray goods market was rather quiet in the pre-holiday week. of a by 12% decrease week of 1948. Hirsch December year. were 2,010,000 bales, 501,269,000 kwh. lower than the figure reported for the was previous week, and Two With Hirsch & Co. expiring ber totaled in City. the During the week ended Dec. 15 entries were 261,993 bales, or about 6% larger than the previous week with 247,000 bales. In the corresponding week of last year entries into the 1948 loan were distributed by the electric light and power industry for the week ended Dec. 31 was estimated at 5,492,674,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute Failures for less than part-, Wellington EASIER Although off slightly for the week, corn prices showed considerable resistance to selling pressure, aided by fairly active demand for cur¬ rent offerings and good export sales. in good The amount of electrical energy the New in Entries of cotton into the one OUTPUT SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL CONTRACTION IN Failures Avenue. CONTINUES 1950. during the week. production 97.8% 1949 The condition of the in operations will be the highest since early indicating that mills maintained their regu¬ and A of Dairly price movements in the domestic cotton market continued narrow range with final quotations showing a further slight rise Early strength in the market reflected approval by growers of marketing quotas on the 1950 crop by a larger than ex¬ pected percentage. Other sustaining influences included fairly good mill buying and price-fixing against sales of cotton for export. compared Monday. FINAL WEEK OF 1949 from 154. offices INDEX FOR generally 190 in 1939. MEX.— N. business pound per to slightly firmer. 94% of the will be 96.1% of 1,802,500 tons, and for the average week in 1940, highest prewar year, at 1,281,210 tons. " * A ' Phillips is engaging in securities at Jan. compared with 128 in the comparable week of Phillips Opens in Albuquerque a entire industry beginning Bradstreet, Inc., reports. Leonard price Wheat prices finished having motor Exchange, ner, week on ingots ago. amounted Newman, Baum & Hollander R. for the companies This week's operating rate is equivalent to 1,771,600 net tons week the of active in the past holiday week, reflect¬ were moderately the high level of Dec. 31. the Steel of week's steel steel from limited partnership in Robert Gar¬ rett & Sons Dec. 31. the lar schedules in partners & King, Libaire, Stout & Co., retired from the firm Dec. 31. ner This G. ceased Dec. 31. S. for ELECTRIC 31. Interest I Age" 93.1% in the preceding week. In May of last year, of Cornelius Dec. capacity with PRICE operations the on yield for next The American Iron and Steel Institute announced this week New York Stock evening-up estimates comes that - Iron "The come, concludes, with the way management does things. If you have some¬ thing that is good you will have to yell about it, promote it, advertise it, make it in quantities and keep the price right. This will be at a tempo far surpassing today's methods. true. COMMODITY Grain markets ing in what the Federal Trade Commission mill In total There was a further slight easing in the general price level dur¬ ing the past week. The Dun & Bradstreet daily wholesale commodity price index closed at 245.55 on Dec. 27, as compared with 246.26 one week earlier, and with 269.53 at this time a year ago. come Industry is starting to realize that it does not make much differ¬ areas sum WINTER WHEAT YIELD export sales in the chair running things. new man a ence cor¬ represents the general use. and rather general liquidation following issuance of final is the forming of self-contained or nearly selfcontained market areas which hope to give their industries as much as they need without long hauls, this trade authority points out. its of the index WHOLESALE Anything that will not stand on its own feet must give way to something better, a better product or a complete junking. If ma¬ chines can't pay their way they will be replaced. If competition can't whole a For favorable a operations as number citizens. poration, The each other. years 11, while the decline from the Jan. 4 high of $6.12 amounts 31 foods in inefficiency. be met there will be 89 INFLUENCED BY FINAL 1949 CROP ESTIMATES AND new the (91) 6.5%., them from getting worse. Coincident with this trend which other industries will follow the On means Oct. on The auto longer term business prospects, the further adjustments likely to be witnessed in 1950 should FINANCIAL The real drive to make the next 10 years a progressive decade for Parenthetically, market & to days of 1930. mentioned from as COMMERCIAL will spring another phase of the rising 212.50 THE from of the like For the four weeks ended Dec. reported from the like week of Jast year. volume decreased by 7%. 24, 1949, no change was For the year to date, how¬ ever, NOTE—On another page of this issue the reader will find the comprehensive coverage of business and industrial statistics showing the latest week, previous week, latest month, previous year, etc., comparisons for determining the week-to-week trends of con¬ ditions, by referring to "Indications of current Business Activity." most 40 (92) COMMERCIAL THE The Indications of Current & FINANCIAL following statistical tabulations latest week Business Activity CHRONICLE week month available or month ended or Latest AMERICAN IRON Indicated steel Month Ago Ago Jan. ._ 8 96.1 (net tons) ingots and castings 8 1,771,600 1,802;500 1,690,500 Crude oil Wholesale INSTITUTE: output condensate and — daily (bbls. average of 42 4,995,450 5,000.150 5,191,850 "Gasoline output 115,482,000 5,389,000 5,331,000 5,855,000 (bbls.) Dec. 24 24 24 24 18,045,000 18,329,000 18,204,000 18,175,000 — (bbls.) Dec. (Das, oil, and distillate fuel oil output (bbls.) Dec. Residual fuel oil output (bbls.) Dec. (Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in pipe lines— Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at Dec. Kerosene (bbls.) at Dec. Kerosene output oil, Gas, distillate fuel oil (bbls.) and (bbls.) Residual fuel oil , 2,525,000 2,555,000 2,033,000 2,542,000 7,335,000 7,293,000 6,971,000 7,808,000 8,046,000 8,056,000 8,104,000 9,562,000 i 24 110,164,000 108,490,000 104,917,000 100,286,000 24 21,017,000 22,267,000 26,069,000 24.191,000 -Dec. 24 Dec. 24 at at 78,662,000 82,450,000 91,795,000 62,786,000 67,087,000 Total Revenue CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING — ENGINEERING §639,723 §664,555 608,699 §568,427 §584,885 §613,494 592,980 NEWS- and Bituminous U. lignite and anthracite coke S. SALES (COMMERCIAL INDEX—FEDERAL steel 35,925,000 75,372,000 104.151,000 46,412,000 29,421,000 53,146,000 53,684,000 35,451,000 In 6,504,000 22,226,000 50,467,000 10,961,000 In storage INDUSTRIAL)—DUN 8,715,000 12,650,000 9,779,000 616,000 618,000 780,000 969,000 9,100 Export refinery *20,500 9,700 142,300 539 "582 COTTON SPINNING Read (St. in Spinning spindles active spindle ■Zinc 5,993,943 5,492,674 5,562,232 5,742,915 (in 109 196 - " ' 221 128 Wheat, all Government S. J3.836c *3.836c $45.88 $45.88 $45.88 $46.91 S. $26.92 $28.92 $43.00 Rye 3.720c Oats — (bushels) spring grain Sorghum forage 12.000c 12.000c 21.500c Sorghum silage 11.800c 11.800c 11.800c 21.300c Cotton, lint (bales)-———-; 9.750c 9.750c 9.750c 17.500c Cottonseed 104.50 104.18 (pounds) Alfalfa 3 116.22 116.02 115.43 112.00 Red 3 121.46 121.67 121.04 118.00 Alsike 101.02 seed Average Aa' 119.82 119.61 116.41 Sweetclover 115.63 114.66 110.70 Lespedeza seed 3 108.52 107.80 106.92 103.97 Timothhy seed 3 111.62 110.88 109.60 107.09 Beans, 3 117.20 117.20 •117.00 112.75 Jan. 3 120.22 120.22 119.82 116.61 Jan. 3 2.17 Jan. 3 2.84 Jan. 3 2.58 —— ■ 2.17 (bushels) (lbs.)(bushels) 2.43 Velvetbeans 2.85 2.88 3.06 Potatoes 2.57 2.60 2.75 2.65 2.83 Tobacco 2.86 2.87 2.92 3.13 3.25 3.29 3.34 3.51 Sorgo sirup (gallons) Sugarcane for sugar and 3 3.08 3.12 3.19 3.33 Sugarcane Jan. 3 2.79 2.79 2.80 3.02 Sugar beets 3 2.64 2.64 2.66 2.82 Maple sugar Maple sirup Broom corn 3 346.7 346.5 346.9 390.6 Hops fJATIONAL PAPERBOARD ASSOCIATION: received Dec. 24 153,405 167,383 164,709 139,128 Dec. 24 200,595 204,204 199,368 174.319 Dec. 24 92 92 90 87 Dec. 24 327,641 377,366 374,086 285,601 (tons)-, 1 (tons) Unfilled orders (tons) I at Q (tons) PAINT AND DRUG REPORTER Dec. 30 124.8 LOT DEALERS FOR AND THE Odd-lot sales by dealers Number of orders Number Dollar ODD-LOT ACCOUNT SPECIALISTS EXCHANGE—SECURITIES ON EXCHANGE N. THE OF Y. 124.6 124.5 142.0 Pears 28,415 Dec. 17 13,390 10,168 ; 9.422 292 (tons) — — 229 1,614 (bushels) crop — 1,445 44 30 49,819 133,131 (12 States) 26,334 3,044 244 214 200 (toi s) 74,780 2,702 — ——— 88,407 65,352 36,627 (bushels) (bushels) Cherries 7,665 6,778 11,770 . 49.34G States) (2 Prunes, dried Grapefruit Dec. 17 25,417 23,996 876,698 25,561 776,625 755,910 702,133 -.—Dec. 17 $34,525,262 $30,688,357 $30,614,497 $26,104,621 Dec. 17 38,412 31,856 28,507 23,760 Dec. 17 200 187 269 90 Dec. 17 38,212 31.6'69 28,238 23,670 Dec. 17 1,075,662 897,933 782,893 632,666 Dec. 17 (customers' sales) (tons) (tons) (tons) 247 (3 Stutes) (tens) .* — ,— (boxes) 7,708 6,987 9,615 (boxes) <5 States) Cranberries 70 175 184 127 84 110,000 — (boxes) States) —. 96 104,020 36,350 — States) (3 (4 45,520 12,000 (barrels) — 9,930 85T. 968 3,516 (lbs.) Pecans Tung 113,694 ; (5 States) nuts (tons) short sales Customers' other i sales Number of shares—Customers' Customers' short Customers' other total sales sales sales— Dollar STRUCTURAL FABRICATED — orders—Customers' total sales of Customers' —Dec. 17 1,067,954 890,946 773,278 629,150 .-Dec. 17 — value $36,658,497 $30,473,267 $28,598,905 $21,237,083 sales by dealers— Number of shares—Total sales Pound-lot Dec. 17 INSTITUTE ICAN 177,667 66 _— 427,730 350,080 278.910 169,890 closed Contracts Shipments sales Dec. 17 sales Dec. 17 427,730 350,080 278,910 169,890 Dec. 17 241,460 228,910 284,410 STEEL (AMER¬ STEEL CON¬ 158,120 (DEPT. OF "120,373 162,739 95,350 162,139 164,024 880,647 CASTINGS IRON GRAY (tonnage)—estimated (tonnage)—estimated 872,013 1,088,051 COM¬ MERCE)—Month of September: (short tons) (short tons) For sale For Short OF STRUCTION)—Month of October: Shipments Other producers 459,014 445,981 615,978 421,633 428,032 472,073 980,070 — 1,048,308 2,587,385 253,840 j Round-lot purchases by dealersNumber PRICES NEW SERIES—U. S. DEPT. OF LABOR— PLANTS Dec. 27 1 ' commodities other than farm and foods products and Metals and Building All 155.3 178.C Dec. 27 170.3 Number of Number of 157,9 Dec. 27 145.4 145.4 145.1 152.4 137.5 137.5 137.6 130.5 130.4 130.4 137.0 169.4 169.6 169.2 174.0 190.8 190.3 189.2 201.3 115.4 115.5 116.5 129.5 1941 skins. to date. — ^Includes 544,000 barrels of foreign crude The weights used 1948 inclusive. 159.8 160.9 162.3 170.9 Dec. 27 188.2 187.9 187.8 Month of Oct.: vehicles., 572,917 cars trucks motor 626,180 491,803 487,391 534,493 383,755 34,704 91.389 107,369 322 . NON-FERROUS motor coaches 298 CASTINGS MERCE)—Shipments, Aluminum (thousands (DEPT. month of of OF 679 COM¬ Sept.: 203.8 205.3 211.2 228.7 Dec. 27 201.0 201.5 202.9 runs. tThe weighted finished steel composite are based on the average product shipments for the §Reflects effect of five-day week effective Sept. 1, 1949. pounds): 27,559 23,9.97 35,877 Copper (thousands of pounds) Magnesium (thousands of pounds) 60,771 58,055 86,973 727 753 35,609 35,020 1,319 832 (thousands oi pounds) die (thousands of pounds) 745 t 221.4 Dec. 27 1 1 jL946 to of 146.5 Dec. 27 — figure, — Number of passenger 155.6 number Zinc —. Livestock and MANU¬ *155.0 Dec. 27 — Hides (AUTOMOBILE S. ASSOC.) 155.1 Dec. 27 1 Materials Meats V. IN 155.6 Special indexes— ♦Revised FROM 162.0 Dec. 27 materials metal products other Grains SALES at FACTORY 151.4 Dec. 27 lighting end — month *151.1 Total tons) of 151.1 Dec. 27 — (short sale Dec. 27 products Foods Fuel for use tons) FACTURERS' commod'ties Textile orders own VEHICLE MOTOR 1926—100: Farm Unfilled (short shares of WHOLESALE years 1,980,325 6,012 7,323 value Number All 1,990,129 (tons) Lemons, Calif, (customers' purchases)— Odd-lot purchases by dealers All 50.204 ^ — Oranges (5 States) ODD STOCK COMMISSION: shares of 454,654 54,232 —— Prunes, other than dried STOCK TRANSACTIONS 350 401,962 :: seed (lbs.) Grapes (tons) Plums AVERAGE=100 2,338,470 . INDEX —1926-3) PRICE 3,435 1,853,140 (lbs.) Peaches 223,006 2,982 — (gallons) Apricots (3 States) OIL, 222,305 (gallons) Apples, commercial Percentage of activity 3,580 ._j_ — sirup 20,827 — (lbs.) — 3 (lbs.) 405 21,554 3,267 — —. — (bushels) 3 2.67 574 240,060 826 Sweetpotatoes (bushels) 2.66 396 244,600 337 3 Jan. — (tons) Jan. Production - 1.045 1,789 344 598 —— _ - (bags)—-. Jan. Orders — dry field (bags) Soybeans for beans (bushels; 2.20 12,678 1,896 — seed dry edible 5,945 99,471 1.262 — (bushels) Jan. - 14,877 6,477 (bushels) Jan. ——————_— Baa 7,602 4,529 16,034 12,296 Jan. ■ A 131,596 99,305 Cowpeas for peas (b ishels) Peanuts picked and threshed Bonds: — — Peas, • DAILY AVERAGES: —— — — seed 115.82 3 309,125 6,541 4,423 , (bushels) 120.02 3 corporate Aaa - - seed clover .Jan. Government (tons), (tons)' .Jan. S. (tons)——_—-_ 85,056 156,597 ; —. — (bushels) (tons) clover 6,305 54,529 89,141 152,630 Popcorn (tons) 26,449 5,184 • Sorghum all 315,894 18,697 43,664 23.425c wild 1,493,304 238,104 •' — (bushels) Hay, 44.680 260,991 1,322,924 I 23.200c .Jan. —— — 303,671 38,864 — (bushels) 103.000c .Jan. ;—. 1,007.863 — 1 85.000c .Jan. : 1,313,534 244,795 —— 18.425c 3 17 205,931 18.200c 104.53 389 3,681,793 (bushels) .Jan. —. 409 AGRI¬ Dec. (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) .Jan. ; OF — 78.000c •1 Bonds 8,681,000 429 ;• 18.425c , 21,231,000 8,978,000 REPORTING (bushels)-'— 18.200c 12.000c 23,772,000 20,215,000 9,442,000 901,668 78.000c - Nov. 23,315,000 20,314,000 1,146,463 .Dec. 28 —. — U. 54,425 21,219,000 3,377,790 .Dec. 28 —. : YIELD 292,504 40.111 20,215,000 23,338,000 — Nov.— (bushels)- 18.425c 1 30 30 issued report .Dec. 28 — BOND CROP — 18.200c DAILY AVERAGES: Industrials Group 240,951 42,913 omitted) .Dec. 28 A MOODY'S (000's .Dec. 28 ——: ——- ; —;— 246,439 20,314,000 Nov. Nov. .Dec. 28 —— . •Baa 30 ' (bushels) Flaxseed Aaa Aa 1,635,081 8,458,339 116,366 COMMERCE): on on DEPARTMENT Barley $26.58 3.705c .Jan. Average corporate 685,881 1,130,457 8,351.467 143,096 131,518 Nov. (bushels) Hay, TJ. of as (bushels)—— spring -Jec. 27 at at 725,602 1,455,149 10,516,430 hrs. per spindle in place, U. all Rice PRICES BOND hours thousands): Dec. 27 Dec. 27 at— (East St. Louis) MOODY'S 30 November— OF place PRODUCTION Other at—tJI——1—-— Lbtlis): (DEPT. Spinning spindles —— at——.-i. York) of 771,833 Nov. 473 330 J. QUOTATIONS): York) (New month of 30 public Active spindle BRAD Dec. 29 & - Electrolytic copper— Domestic refinery at COM¬ storage as of Nov. 30 Cotton spindles active as of Nov. 30 PRICES: M. OF as Nov. consuming establishments CULTURE— Final ton.)— & of as Linters—Consumed Buckwheat (E. of November of public .Dec. 31 (per gross ton) PRICES DE¬ BALES. month In Winter gross S. Month — DEPT. — 31,688,000 ——Dec. 24 (per lb.) (per Scrap steel (New $'205,100,000 LINTERS 115,496,000 SYS¬ RESERVE — AND — COMPOSITE Bead $463,500,000 COMMERCE OF — Durum tin $196,800,000 CORPORATIONS —U. 80,135,000 AH Straits $24,416,000 30,933,000 ' - $23,894,000 REPORTED consuming establishments INSTITUTE: STREET, INC. METAL $22,799,000 In Corn, iron 1,382,000 MERCE—RUNNING BOARD Pig 955,000 1,248,000 $78,100,000 9,040,000 output (in 000 kwh.)__ Finished 3,456,000 1,989,000 1,281,000 $219,647,000 Dec. 24 __Dec. 24 (tons) AVERAGE—100 ELECTRIC BRON AGE 5,833,000 4,362,000 $155,507,000 CROP . 5|929,000 liabilities $66,858,000 Dec. 24 .- STORE TEM—15)85-89 •FAILURES 2,690,000 OF MINES): (tons) (tons)- DEPARTMENT Electric 460 $15,933,000 2,927,000 liabilities AND Active KOISON 802 $11,897,000 November Dec. 29 S. BUREAU (U. coal Pennsylvania Beehive 335 service PARTMENT Dec. 29 —.—— — <X)AL OUTPUT 31 2,808,000 DIVIDENDS—PUBLICLY Dec. 29 — municipal—— Federal 58 $8,419,000 Dec. 29 construction State 37 63 ! Lint—Consumed Private construction Public 55 90" liabilities Dec. 29 construction S. —_____ liabilities Total BY §623,303 RECORD: Total U. number liabilities COTTON CIVIL 129 208 63,374,000 Dec. 24 of cars)—-Dec. 24 (number 181 109 364 33 — liabilities Commercial Ago 97 service Construction Year Month 197 number Retail Previous 395 74,576,000 61,647,000 RAILROADS: AMERICAN OF freight loaded (number of cars) freight received from connections Revenue : BRADSTREET number Manufacturing Wholesale CASH ASSOCIATION of that date) November: number 5,693,150 .Dec. 24 — & number Commercial Dec* 24 (bbls.) stills—daily average to runs of number Construction gallons each) Crude FAILURES—DUN Manufacturing Retail AMERICAN PETROLEUM are as either for the Latest BUSINESS INC.—Month 1,716,300 are Month 97.8 91.7 93.1 Equivalent to— (Steel of quotations, cases Year Week Jan. (percent of capacity)- operations Previous Week INSTITUTE: STEEL AND in or, 1950 production and other figures for the cover (dates shown in first column that date, on Thursday, January 5, 7 years 1937 to 192.5 Lead WINTER WHEAT AND AGRICULTURE—As Winter was revised 1940 for inclusive the and inclusive and RYE—U. of Dec. S. 1, DEPT. OF 1949: wheat—Production Rye—Condition •Revised figure. 5 903 884,658,000 —— 901,668,000 88^ tCurrent figures comparable only from June, 1949 to date. 86 r/c. 171 Continued THE Number 4870 COMMERCIAL from first page Volume the FINANCIAL & peaceful adjustment of teilse If the international Urges Enactment Of Fair Deal Program that most of Europe and area might collapse under totalitarian pres¬ sure. Today the free peoples of the world have new vigor and Mediterranean the hope for the new In notable toward broader opportunity and a better life for all our citizens. the reversed first significant downturn in eco¬ nomic activity since the war. In accomplishing this, government programs for maintaining employ¬ ment and purchasing power have been the of tremendous benefit. As result of these programs, and the wisdom and good judgment of business our major and men readjustments made without workers, have been widespread suffer¬ ing. also made past year have we good start in provid¬ housing for low-income ing a . groups; we have raised wages; tural have we with the minimum forward gone development of our na¬ have given stability to the farmer, and we have im¬ proved the organization and ef¬ ficiency of our government. resources; greater we of assurance Free and Prosperous Nation Today, by the stand free a God, grace of and prosperous we na¬ tion, with greater possibilities for the future had ever We than people have any before. now, in this year of 1950, nearing the midpoint of the twen¬ are tieth century. The lent first and corded half this of as century the most turbu¬ eventful period in re¬ history. The swift pace of promises to make the next events 50 decisive years man The the in history this planet. on scientific industrial began two cen¬ turies ago has, in the last 50 caught the peoples of the globe a up no destiny. Two world- common shattering wars have proved that of the earth corner years, can be iso¬ lated from the affairs of mankind. The human turning the tered new Man of has nature reach can civilization. If a opened and mas¬ uses them If he powers. wisely, he of has reached race point. secrets heights new he them uses foolishly, they may destroy him. Man must create the moral and legal framework will which powers are for evil. the the that insure world his new used for good and not In people for shaping the outcomethe United States of will play a leading role. Among the all years none is more important than the change in the position of the United States in world affairs. Fifty years ago we were a coun¬ try devoted largely to our own in¬ ternal affairs. Our industry was growing, terests the Our and in had we the Far Caribbean, but we in¬ new East and were in pri¬ marily concerned with the devel¬ of areas our own continental territory. Today, our population has dou¬ bled. Our national production has risen from terms of $50 today's year. We have billion, prices, staggering figure a strength of $255 a more to in the billion produc¬ tive economic system and a greater has with it tremendous look to for us re¬ wise exercise a economic our to great this our In the world fronted with demand where for of defense well-balanced organiza¬ The selective service system backs the people and better a their na¬ effort prosperity. For the other nations free shall extend we of the the full world, benefits of the democratic way of life to Recovery Pro¬ millions who do not now enjoy working with gram. This program has achieved them, and preserve mankind other nations to achieve peace great success in the first two from dictatorship and tyranny. depends largely on what we do years of operation, but it has not I believe that we shall succeed at home. We must preserve our yet been completed. If we were in our struggle for peace because national strength. Strength is to stop this program now, or crip¬ I have seen the success we have not simply a matter of arms and ple it, just because it is succeed¬ force. It is a matter of economic ing, we should be doing exactly had in our own country in fol¬ growth, and social health, and what the enemies of democracy lowing the principles of freedom. of mankind Our at stake. are the of vigorous institutions, public private. We achieve can maintain and want European peace foolish as We should be just to do. us who, man a as for produc¬ reasons for false economy, failed tive energy, our democratic insti¬ to put a roof on his house after tutions, and our firm belief in building the foundation "and the our individual freedom. walls. World Our surest guide in the prosperity also requires days that lie ahead will be the spirit in that we do all we can to expand world trade. As a major step in which this great Republic was founded. We must make our de¬ this direction, we should promptly International Trade Or¬ The purpose of this men are created equal, that they ganization. are equally entitled to life, lib¬ organization, which the United erty, and the pursuit of happiness, States has been foremost in creat¬ and that the duty of government ing, is to establish a code of fair practice, and an international is to serve these ends. authority for adjusting differ¬ This in the conviction that all join the country of ours has ex¬ ences in international commercial perienced many blessings, but relations. It is an effort to pre¬ none greater than its dedication vent the kind of anarchy and irre¬ to these principles. At every point sponsibility in world trade which in our history these ideals have did so much to bring about the served to correct failures and our world depression in the 1930s. shortcomings, to spur us on to An expanding world economy greater efforts, and to keep clear¬ requires the improvement of liv¬ ly before us the primary purpose ing standards and the develop¬ of existence our as nation. a They have enshrined for us, as ment of in resources areas where a human poverty and misery now principle of government, the prevail. Without such improve¬ moral imperative to do justice, ment, the recovery of Europe and love to divine the and one These that can we that the the meaning Congress they be mean tolerant tyranny. They throw side of our of mean weight freedom our it to own economy I urge that the secure. adopt before now never or of future will not be policy, must we men do. we foreign oppression to another. principles give that In command the legislation provide for in¬ flow of technical assistance and capital investment creasing the underdeveloped regions. to It is more essential now than if the ideals of freedom and better life for all peoples. representative government are to These principles confirm us in prevail in these areas, and par¬ carrying out the specific pro¬ ticularly in the Far East, that their grams for peace which we have people experience, in their own on and greater ever, a lives, the benefits of scientific and already begun. We shall continue wholehearted to give support to our the This program economic advances. will the require movement of from the particu¬ organization can ultimately provide the framework of inter¬ larly from the United States, to uses in the under¬ national law and morality with¬ productive Re¬ out which mankind cannot sur¬ developed areas of the world. Nations. We believe this It standards has already set for up the conduct of that large amounts of capital industrial nations, and new na¬ cent This tions in the declaration of human rights and the convention on of all in genocide. world events make prompt action imperative. is in the interest program peoples—and it has nothing with common either the old It is moving ahead to meaning to the concept of imperialism of the last century or the new imperialism of the Com¬ world brotherhood through a give The events cultural, economic of United Nations in showed the the munists. Our cratic past value of year the bringing about be aim of a the which arms, but by an appeal minds and hearts of men. in nation our dedicated is 50 At which a has man to citizens do achieve greater than others as a reward individual merit and effort, and this is as it should be. At the same time, more than for of country our land a of must select few. It must be a land, all a be opportunity opportunity for all of such grow as have we in the past, we can get grow present our the over a coun¬ next total our Billion national production is $225,000,000,000 a Our working population and our output per worker are in¬ creasing. If our productive power year. continues to increase at the rate as it past 50 years, increased has same for the total national production 50 years from now will be nearly four times as mucfat as it is today. Allowing for the expected growth in population* this would of come the our that the real in¬ mean the average 2000 year A. D. family in would be about three times what it is today „ These are estimates of what we do can in tne future, but we can these heights only if we right policies. We have learned by bitter experience that progress is not automatic—that follow the wrong policies lead to depression and disaster. We cannot achieve these gains stable economy trophes unless of have set we boom and back in the us have and avoid a catas¬ that bust past. These gains cannot be achieved unless business our men maintain their spirit of initiative and en¬ terprise and operate in a competi¬ tive economic system. They can¬ not be achieved unless our work¬ share of nomic can grow a land us. In benefits of the system. our eco¬ They achieved unless and we cannot be have a stable agriculture* achieved unless prosperous tural for as National Income Is $225 we our shall we future years. portunity advance beyond his fellows. Some success the should try The ideal of equal opportunity no longer means simply the op¬ of that assume 50 years, have been increasingly realized in the lives of our people. They be cannot in resources Our system will not terest. unless people our well-educated citizens all are work healthy, confident and It will the future. less develop our na¬ the public in¬ and conserve o2 not work un¬ can participate* national life. achieving these gains the government has a special respon¬ sibility to help create and main¬ fully in our In and pros¬ tain the conditions which will per¬ together. mit the growth we know is pos¬ The simple truth that we can all sible. Foremost among these con¬ go forward together is often ques¬ ditions is the need for a fair dis¬ tioned by short-sighted persons. tribution of our increasing pros¬ It is strange that this is so, for perity among all the great groups this proposition is so clearly de¬ of our population who help tomonstrated by our national his¬ bring it about — business, labor tory. During the last 50 years, and agriculture. for example, our nation has per grown enormously well-being. This in material has growth Investment Incentive Necessary Business men must continue to about, not by concentrating have the incentive necessary foy of our progress in investment and for the develop¬ the hands of a few, but by in¬ ment of new lines of enterprise creasing the wealth of the great In the future growth of this coun¬ body of our citizens. try lie possibilities for hundreds Jn the last 50 years, the income of thousands of new and indepen¬ of the average family has in¬ dent businesses. As our national creased so greatly that its buying production increases, as it doubles power has doubled. The average and redoubles in the next 5® come the benefits hours from of 60 work to 40 have declined years, the number of independent week, while the and competing enterprises should hourly production of the average also increase. If the number does worker has tripled. Average not have a allowing for price changes wages, increased cents an from hour to $1.40 about an 45 hour. We have accomplished what to earlier ages of mankind would have been miracle—we a shorter hours, and we work produce more, we increase, our constantly grow¬ ing economy will fall under the of control few a dominant eco¬ whose powers will nomic groups be great that so challenge to they will be a democratic institu¬ tions. To live better. avoid this danger we mus* curb monopoly and provide aicla Increasing freedom from pov¬ to independent business so that iterty and drudgery has given a may have the credit and capital fuller meaning to American life. to compete in a system of free en¬ Our people are better educated; terprise. I recommend that thewe have mdre opportunities for Congress complete action at thin travel and recreation and enjoy¬ session on the pending bill to close ment of the arts. If of we can We enjoy more the United before. continue in the spirit personal liberty States today than peaceful, demo¬ free peoples will achieved in the long run, not by force of to for world liberty to of course, can foretelX exactly. However, DP ing men and women and their unions help to increase produc¬ the ideals tivity and obtain for labor a fair* and equal opportunity Over the last of one, future fast in success we the reach part, I welcome I believe that my liv¬ of enjoyment every¬ democratic in experience world wider 41 democratic freedom. No grown are con¬ danger that the of freedom which tions standard our still a good idea of how much today, we the rising of we own own est to task, because we know that As an immediate means to this security and the future end we must continue our support our again ana races. our to working together—and We shall continue our efforts challenge. I am sure they will continue to for world economic recovery, be¬ country, at this crucial point in world history, will meet that work together—to achieve this cause world prosperity is the only I believe end. We are prepared to devote sure foundation for permanent challenge successfully. that, in cooperation with the our energy and our resources to peace. all other peoples. Even the slight¬ economic all Backward Areas Endangered by mitted living is our the to in ing, and can extended and life may be corrupted and be¬ remains trayed by the false promises of determined ard of changes in way and unsettled, and technical activities. inspiration for forces world the their increases law through. Both of our fense plans that are being worked political parties are com¬ out. on an the have international While order. will of mass destruc¬ it see nation Our stand¬ will and that of life demonstrate increased Communism Nations United weapons successful, strength, and for vigorous support is an essential part of our defense to secure a better life for their citizens. This challenge to us is of the ideals of representative plans, and it must be continued. more than a military challenge. government and a free society. Under the principles of the It is a challenge to the honesty of We will not fail them. United Nations Charter we musi our profession of the democratic Our objective in the world is continue to share in the common faith; it is a challenge to the effi¬ peace. Our country has joined defense of free nations against ciency and stability of our eco¬ with others in the task of achiev¬ aggression. At the last session nomic system; it is a challenge to ing peace. We know now that this Congress laid the basis for our willingness to work with this joint effort. this We now must is not an easy task, or a other peoples for world peace and put into effect the common de¬ short one. But we wide variety of globe. Be working toward the time the military tion. and industrial potential than any other the to be however, and as long Communism. In its ruthless strug¬ security and the se¬ gle for power, Communism seizes sponsibilities. We have moved from the outer edge to the center curity of the free world require, upon our imperfections and takes of world strong and advantage of the delays and set¬ affairs. Other nations we will maintain a vive. about tion as United opment of vast are preserve tremendous brought to all changes great that have occurred in the last 50 World must tney benefits of be Maintained We the Affairs cisions and revolution which in Center of Now S. Position Defense control U. have nations is to settlements. nations and all peaceful on around Nations to bloodshed and paved to way Strong effect United the a stop the when only if will be known of their all are During the A have put world, have we advances We have met and life countries of peace. cause affairs domestic our made social other of forts (931 policy of the demo¬ peace In cratic controversies. Indonesia and in Palestine the ef¬ Truman years ago CHRONICLE cooperative has marked our progress, in ever adventure the we recent can which years of expect fur¬ loopholes in the Clayton Act, now permit monopolistic mergers. I also hope before thia session is over to transmit to the the which Congress a series of strengthen • ther scientific advances, further the proposals to anti-monopoly r^nrttiniiofl rm nnrip 4.T -$2 COMMERCIAL THE (94) Continued from 41 page and the consumers the growth encourage of new In the tive of labor, free collec¬ case bargaining must be protected and encouraged. of millions of metropolitan areas. power in recommend, therefore, that rent I enterprises. buying continued for If we life achieve to are The Federal statute now gov¬ year that able. Government erning labor relations is punitive i;he conservation and of has been, inconsistent with the practice of true and effective col¬ the country. lective tion necessary future economic expansion pres¬ adequately. more to of economic downturn the was the real first of and and coverage in¬ its benefits. In the field of health, there are immense to of more of the opportunities extend to people the benefits our amazing advances in medi¬ We have made a good eral cal A full understanding problems of modern of the labor rela¬ regions tions is of such importance that I public educational activities field. but New as In Another essential growth prosperous years is for our con¬ stable a and agriculture. For have we many benefits that their the among special hazards exposed. That Projects Important to pro¬ which legislation resource should be passed Although the properly declared policy at the last Congress as that has matter a of safeguards against maintained slumps in farm prices, there are shortcomings in the meth¬ available for carrying out now this policy. Mandatory price ports should be commodities which provided not major are sup¬ for the covered now authorization Seaway and the establish¬ Valley Ad¬ fit of abundant our production. tion A system of produc¬ payments give the greatest promise of purpose. I use agricultural of accomplishing recommend such that system be a this the author¬ ized. construction of more up-to-date housing. In such is as there ours, good, country a no reason why decent homes should within the reach of all. not we progress have in the made last few increasing the number Despite still an for the be With the help of various government grams, is pro¬ children dren natural our sure of and resources, we transmitting to our children's our chil¬ a country far richer and productive than the one we more know today. The value of natural our atomic re¬ stand wonders. machines the threshold The first for from and new experimental producing useful energy are now under construction. We have made only the first beginnings in field, but in history they the first the may perspective loom larger airplane, or the first tools that started even man on the road to civilization. To take full advantage of the increasing possibilities of nature, we must equip ourselves with in¬ creasing knowledge. Government has a responsibility to see that our country maintains its position in should complete action increase, there is measure to create shortage of housing Science Foundation. lower of we atomic this acute a As a step Congress on the National Advocates More Social Security Another duty of the govern¬ relieving the ment is to promote the economic plight of lower-income families in security, the health, and the edu¬ the Housing Act of 1949. To aid cation of its citizens. By so doing, we middle-income strengthen^both our economy families, I rec groundwork for ommend that the Congress enact and the structure of our society. In a nation as legislation authorizing a vig rich as ours, all citizens should be able to live in program to help cooper atives and other non-profit decency and health*. groups build housing which these Our social security system families can afford. should be developed into the new orous Rent control has deal to prevent the done a great housing short main reliance basic protection of our people for against the eco¬ from having had worse effects nomic hazards of old age, unem¬ during this period of postwar ad ployment and illness. I earnestly justment. Rent control is still hope that the Congress will comnecessary to prevent widespreac olete action at this session on hardship and sharp curtailment of legislation to increase the benefits country people are being handi¬ capped for life because of a poor education. The rapidly increasing number of children coupled with I that of this Congress delay in pro- assistance that so year. the longer Federal States shortage makes critical each more no viding of school age, the teachers, believe this situation, they th£r to As I am greater greater opportunity *,wc effort to should . which the for grant economic I Alaska greater a self-government Some of a as changes in will expect Our the yield of some the inequities, activity, and tions to of amount I revenue. transmit we system which present moderate a ject at tax our business ditional specific ad¬ expect to recommenda¬ the Congress on this sub¬ early date. an we forward move into the half of the 20th century, always bear in mind the must of purpose We love do national our not for seek material ourselves luxury; Continued best own do we government because do not page aid jrom for labor, we can about the future discour¬ let's look carefully at the details on purchasing power in the first half of 1949 before strikes and depres¬ sion scares took their toll of in¬ come. Purchasing Can Be The our Power in 1950 60% Over 1940 purchasing power of population—that is, the dis¬ taxes personal and full income correction after for in¬ shall add In strength to which skills will these bring extend existing men here. I and measures its I the level income nearly in concerning our hard by humbler work, self-restraint in one another, and by tion to and the make we look of as this nings have to deep devo¬ a principles of justice equality. It should ful means by a spirit of dealings with our come country, make that we along the road far so better life a for humble us truly thank¬ us back to the begin¬ all. to It-should think, as we ahead, how much farther look we have to go to accomplish, at home and abroad, the objectives that set were for out the found¬ at us ing of this nation. As approach we mark in the the half-way century, we 20th should ask for continued strength and guidance from that Almighty has placed before us Power Who such great opportunities for good of mankind in the the years to come. to meet peace. dominant factor in same must This our to is cbrrection had in the the than before we goal of $200 personal in opportunity, real consume goods the last entered billion the of income would first purchasing physical more services more level a dispos¬ in our 1950, range of provide purchasing full war. 60% than power in 1940 and 6% more than in 1949. 1950 Goal $185.7 $194.6 $200.0 100 169 169 V2 165 $109.8 $114.8 $121.2 the im¬ in gain of additional power. for has new This gain after power prices would sharp contrast with the condition of in existed the under after entire what before the it World population had been war War purchasing I. power 1% was in started, and 1913, on a capita basis the real purchas¬ ing power in 1920 was 9% under per 1913. This factor should be sidered before sions that tion we of the con¬ jumping to conclu¬ must have 1921 Furthermore, a repeti¬ depression. the purchasing of in into in j the real its per an or standard account population there has been the gov¬ population 1949 52% over able at was half same 1940. In other words the ability to buy and power and and the power of the aggregate of accu¬ mulated savings in 1920 after cor¬ rection for consumer prices was2% the work substantial real purchasing Taking fiscal pol¬ I time, the make times leaving a $46 billion purchasing crease and of first buy to improve living over 1940. necessarily requires large expenditures of funds. More than 70% of the government's expendi¬ wars 1948 the above $75.7 Inflation 60% in the number of units which required half 5% was improved quality of goods and services that our population could program to meet our needs. It is a program past prices—in 1949 American make possible an increase of over carefully a creased dollars 1940 almost 2% real full domes¬ considered At the be achieved $75.7 in in prices dissipated $78.8 billion of this persons recommend¬ am Congress foreign and tic policies represent icy. to —by In 1920 the real a discriminatory our ernment They are not to be by military aggression political fanaticism. They are or 1949 mediate prewar level of consumer broaden displaced remove world history. that real for than more conquests of 1st Half be reached in 1950 is at can income. features. are as goals, They ones. great deal a the empires and which the abil¬ the prompt enactment by the of the legislation now of all The disposable personal income rate of $200 billion after taxes Congress costs worth are simple seem not little 1948 so urge tures their serve 1st Half Disposable personal income after taxes (billions) Consumer price index Real, disposable personal share in pro¬ and national may which is well within real posable well women to These year Real interests, require democracy through ing dignity, fit. see but they are A vote. as ideals, a ities both they of aged our and The excep¬ in communities, and worship God over too (billions) law and conditions live may perform useful work, 52% becoming more and and tyranny. war to material which, without men half Before victims of it tion, of viding homes for the unfortunate the in life depression. meas¬ to come fair our we those of 7 we and income doing, to with they have been endowed by their Creator. We seek to es¬ tablish have prosperity in 1950 instead of duty of the elected the people to democratic our our a result of growth in a reduce stimulate gifts Business Outlook in them, as well as those who them, should recognize it is that can employment and national income. To further improve our fiscal out¬ look, we should make some those representatives of let these proposals as na¬ possessions, have that we the made proposals been before the Congress long time. Those who op¬ favor our extraordinary postwar programs declines, and as government reve¬ rises great for put Disposable Income and the opportunity, to provide lumbia. for that the cost of as the use life may achieved clearly I again and accord home rule to the District of Co¬ pose years, men to rights and their statehood island show have we past, proposals their democratic of our cripple the to shortly transmit to the Con¬ profess, and the herit¬ search ure impair or improvement in our fiscal position over the next few ot which will protect people in the exercise of Hawaii, would substantial we statutes our essential budget recommendations I prosperity February, 1948. There are pro¬ posals for the enactment of Fed¬ eral shall gress good better a all every benefits place that duty upon us. urge the Congress to enact all the strength. The that so course. for The religious ideals from rights and essential programs tional all, work our institutions freedom received all make the extend we of age for expendi¬ international our prospects for peace life. go with which central forward in achieving economic and security we Federal needs of economic growth and the second maintain can that tures be held to the closest levels slashes We which meet As adequate schools. aige steps young before middle-income groups, especially in large metro¬ politan areas. We have laid the , on power particularly, energy, great the advance of science. in toward this end, the homes immediate to strengthen our educational sys¬ In many parts of our civil is good tem. which be To nue take ment of can enable care. must people years of We citizen. Needed than growth the afford every of One of the most important fac tors in our continued to democratic this More Housing Legislation will our constantly being in¬ Moreover, we should provide a creased by the progress of science. method of supporting farm income Research is finding new ways of at fair levels which will, at the using such natural assets as min¬ same time, avoid piling up un¬ erals, sea-water, and plant life. manageable surpluses and allow In the peaceful development of to obtain .the full bene¬ which Americans medical system of medi¬ a Through wise government poli¬ cies and government expenditures tor the conservation and develop¬ sources consumers all Lawrence project and ministration. of farm sources income. the power this at public health services, insurance should ment of the Columbia ods spread Recommends More Federal Power adequate. serious be and qualified problem St. be assure favored few. a of must we to will session of the Congress. However, our farm legislation is still not national in and not restricted many includes the improved was as programs, session gram well as policies benefits irri¬ and been building a program to give the farmer a rea¬ sonable measure of protection against the which he is resource continue must to England hydroelectric our other our tinued in power gation undertakings, Prosperous Agriculture Essential also of large-scale development have yet been experienced. not this in such the where recommend the establishment of a labor extension service to encour¬ age projects, power ex¬ penditures. science. and to establish This is true not only in regions which have already necessary well-being of our people. At tne same time, we must guard against the folly of attempting budget operation nurses public its improving its creasing its those of meet requirements power. enlarge the produc¬ transmission to system, but it has also made strikingly apparent the need for received great benefits from Fed¬ democratic ideals. our and the govern¬ receiving enough rev¬ consistent with be Congress, not is test has proved the wisdom of the repealed and replaced by a law that is fair to all and in harmony should It 80th enue test beginning in expanding our hos¬ pitals, but we must go on to remedy the shortages of doctors, bargaining. present the ment proposing cal We need to meet system of unemployment insurance has had to meet. That in development is resources our to our investment in purpose and one-sided in oper¬ ation. This statute is, and always unemployment law needs better a for the ent-day The all, the natural resources economic freedom for labor. It is of the country must be regarded We must use also a strengthening and stabiliz¬ as a public trust. ing influence for our whole econ¬ our precious assets of soil, water, forest and grassland in such a omy. way that they become constantly more Taft-Hartley Act Attacked productive and more valu¬ fundamental a 1950 of coverage our compensation another year. Collective bar¬ gaining is not only strengthen last be control Thursday, January 5, old, expenditures which are necessary other nations because we wish to The j to the growth and expansion of increase our power. We have nol widespread movement to provide' the domestic economy. devised programs for the secu¬ pensions in private industry rity and well-being of our people Asks Tax Changes to Increase dramatizes the need for improve¬ because we are afraid or un¬ Revenues ments in the public insurance willing to take risks. This is not At present, largely because of system. the meaning of our past history I also urge that the Congress the ill-considered tax reduction of or our Truman Urges Enactment Of Fair Deal Program to the extend CHRONICLE and survivors' insurance. age laws, to assist small business and FINANCIAL & the since of in¬ 1940, increase of 39% capita purchasing the the real total whereas the of This 60% increase in real power pur¬ since prbwar is in purchasing power savings in 1913, $220 billion of accu¬ mulated savings at the end of 1949 represent double a real purchasing power the purchasing the power. chasing under aggregated This reserve double the savings of real power in of 1939. buying powdr, prewar levels aftbr Volume 171 Number 4870 correction for prices, .is THE stabiliz¬ a greater significance on COMMERCIAL when amount needed to maintain did FINANCIAL DISTRIBUTION the ing factor of real importance that & CHRONICLE OF CONSUMER basic standard of living at present exist not Important purchasing billion and 1950 will G.I. insurance $1.0 billion of U. Maturities should now S. Savings free cash the savings major a in available of mass bonds part analysis any widely for by the of spending They consumers. held these bonds. transferable used all they They and the as income basis of cash when each to be loans, hence unencumbered they mature and will decision a not were not were represent require holder the part of on whether to to as re¬ invest the proceeds in savings, or to spend for something over and above what might have been pur¬ chased out of regular current in¬ come. basic taken the of costs discretionary spending available to improve the of living add to or 1950 these on bond maturities sums, far will billion In the first half income surplus of of Surplus Money ing discretionary spend¬ savings was at a level about or four times levels. the Jt the was highest The interest since come in before 18.0 6.048.000 12.0 1940 able the to tent prices basic maintaining left balance a of of current Disposable into which they move. If 17,985,000 families who have the of moved up above the of level from level in they goal of $200 income cretionary billion in of would power spending fully income will in not The cumulated since alone now is total national the 1940. apply this How consumers pool vast discretionary spending matter of been their of new is power a discretion. own They could put it into additional savings, into increasing the quan¬ tity or quality of their basic liv¬ ing items of food, clothing or shelter they into or may additional desire which they have had before. billion things never Since this $107 available In 1950 is dis¬ cretionary spending power be¬ the things considered basic the in last 10 it necessities in 1940, $185.7 $194.6 93.7 rate ceeding of $178 $200 1948. able personal income in 1950 the discretion can offer opportunities for an increase of $10 of billion $188 for goods 1949 to over billion in total a markets for personal consumption and still provide $12 billion sur¬ plus for personal savings — an amount the over three times as great saved $3.7 billion in 1940. This high level of personal con¬ sumption and the accompanying increase in standard our take'place without can pation of huge our of any living dissi¬ backlog of Much in emphasis has been placed durable goods in discussion of prospects, durable yet total 1949 consumer (11% with trast in cur¬ expenditures 1940). In con¬ this, the non-durable represented 56% of expenditures in 1949 commodities 1950 ; - Markets Services for Can Be Goods $10 and Billion Personal consumption expendi¬ consumer have dropped tures for all goods and services in consumer the first 1949 at the were from 37% comes 1949. 1940 47% goods _ $101.8 As we the 55.7 $72:0 market opportuni¬ 1949 in study are since 1941. creased sales maintain omy. . eral of vital key to the in¬ that are necessary high level econ¬ The present distribution of different 89% our by income than Reserve Consumer in groups 1941. Board breakdown of the The 1949 Finances is far strated buv (families Fed¬ this 1941 1949. Survey gave 50,400,000 showed startling family income Over 21 million fam¬ $2,000 since 1941 with or con¬ or to from 35,230,000 The total an increase 14,009,000 in with in February, their new cars have and financial cars if pur¬ demon¬ ability to they wish. Prewar there 000 of these new of the equation —that is, to the creation of suffi¬ cient demand to provide a market for the goods and services we have proved must consider domestic factors of of that now affecting passed returned to the ation of necessity high level the have We the consumption temporary mand produce. we can maintaining and more de¬ have we normal situ¬ "buyers' market," with of creating a suffi¬ cient demand to keep the fac¬ tories busy. its were only 5,703,- a year families, they were the ones who usu¬ ally bought new rather than used and cars over new if ownership them. those in the was $3,000 or group were educated to want here are the potentials would represent (based on ownership data by income cars, they the- car among car reported groups Reserve Board by in the the Federal November, 1949 Bulletin). 11,500,000 prewar owned cars 6V2 million of these least cars earlier models or 11 were now at over $3,000 who some owners may of soon replacements). are car po¬ indicated securities. Apparently $500 is suf¬ ficient in liquid assets to indicate ability 30% of owned to buy all new a post war by those who car since models have are even less than $500 in liquid assets. 9,000,000 owned by $500 of liquid assets (5 million of these cars prewar those with were 1939 cars over or earlier models). 8,000,000 with liquid assets $500 owned no over car. 17,000,000 total potential new car buyers with liquid assets over $500. levels. war But the fact that have gone we half way and already had in 1949 purchasing power of 52% real a higher than in significance is 1940 and of presents major real a challenge to business to maintain This level and drive to attainable goal in ^^nmntion terms of and the to production. constant would have sume one-third present if on of double pre-war In to prices produce and we than at reach the more to were we con¬ standard of living typified by the family in J941. A goal of $200 billion disposable purchasing power in 1950, provid¬ ing a level of real purchasing $50 week per and a standard of living higher than in 1940, is con¬ servatively low in view of our power 60% proven productive ability. The — Will to Buy in Factor a Changing Standards of Living adequate pur¬ This fact makes There that of these wants into active (2) buying expanding these wants ad¬ vertising and selling can become a major educational factor in build¬ ing the demand for new and bet¬ ter products—a demand for-step¬ ping up from one standard of liv¬ ing to the next in such a way that markets for goods and services can be expanded to the point where basic factors markets—these are: People Purchasing Power (3) Th^ Will to Buy. demand. By three are make (1) wants and the translation common The marketing to nis statistics that is U. S. He will know population has that the by million, from 131,669,275 to about 152,000,000 by 20 over in people because starting point of all the markets. looks first man on 1940 July, 1950. about 15%; or grown increase an that about 9 of million ; people have moved from rural they will sustain the high level | areas to cities where, the pattern production and employment this country is capable of reach¬ j and standard of living is quite i rfiffpw*: thp+ by 1950 the farm of ing. population will have decreased by Since the war our economy has about three high level. It high because "break-even points" are, in most while the that the businesses, rate since operated must in on a very be kept much so that prewar any higher than major recession demand consumer would quickly make production un¬ profitable and lead to heavy un¬ employment. There is no need, however, for this serious drop in demand the public if standards is educated higher of living made possible by our productivity and by the increased real purchasing power resulting from increased produc¬ tivity. Ability to Consume in Domestic A study of different standards actually existing at dif¬ of income, prewar, clearly that the standard of living of the typical American family could be doubled over pre¬ levels shows million >from non-farm 1940 population will have increased by 23 million; abnormally high birth 1940 has continued through 1949 and has resulted in about 33 million births which soon will have an important influence school on facilities, housing re¬ and food require¬ ments; that some I7V2 million marriages since 1940 have brought quirements families into existence repre¬ new senting over 40% of all our fami¬ lies; bnd that the educational level of adults is our now considerably higher than in 1940. All of these are factors that point to increased market poten¬ tials. In the face of talk pression of living ferent in the all the de¬ Spring of complaints of high build¬ ing costs, for example, the basic 1949 and need for units of and better newer brought non-farm new started in the housing dwelling five months July-November, 1949 to an all might be called time high of 487,100 or 22% above the same period of 1948 when in 400,800 dwellings war new large a they have Market counting cars of They defer many purchases entirely or for long periods of time even car. (not Unfortunately, inflation people compared to the best pre¬ old. years 7,500,000 with incomes no level to accept and insist on the by those with incomes over $3,000 (cars now at least 8 years old). 1939 subsistence could, if necessary, get along and sustain life on very much less than they now buy. They could bul higher bare the purchasing power and the result¬ ing standard of living of our a problems food, shelter and clothing. $3,000 incomes $3,000 jumped from 5,703,000 14V2% in 1941 to 23,688,000 47% of all units in 1949. over a group all 1948 loan shares and U. S. Government ilies (or consiimer spending units) have moved up to the level over in in 50,400,000 They accounted by a study liquid assets of over $500 in bank deposits, savings and $188.0 units in nation's of those with individuals) as of early according to money income upward basis of pre¬ Similar figures on 1948. families a $178.0 spending This the postwar and single face the uncertainties, of new $176.9 sumer shifts families of want 2-3.0 of Families de¬ changes in 6 million additional 60.0 23.0 we other side chasing power. doubly important the psychologi¬ cal factors affecting desire and deferred the on of $102.0 51.9 ties that have beeh opened by the shifts upward in income groups of to $99.3 living in must look carefully mar¬ spending units with inOver $3,000 as of February, They represented the top chased Goal 23.2 by Income Groups 1950 1949 of though reach soon The units. 1950 7.9 Total Changed Distribution in 19,000,000 total potential new car buyers with incomes over 26.6 _ because $3,000 1948 $37.5 in¬ since ever must cars for tentials Durable new owned 1st Half Annual Rate Services and housing-_ frequently years, spending billions of dollars) Nondurable goods heard three is satisfied. 688,000 of total expenditures in 1940 to PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES FOR GOODS AND SERVICES (in have • 31% in 1949. half of an yardsticks. war services, including housing rents, Above 1940 as Spring of 1947, that the and 52% in 1940. Expenditures on Over 1949—Over 2 Yi Times Market past Now savings. rent guide Car ing forecasts ex¬ dispos¬ ings and marketing. New Consider, for example, the 23,of for the the income distribution of families should give pause to those mak¬ * billion level indi¬ do saturation the high level of the even standards of years have possibilities peacetime, the five by the $106.6 billion, creased at almost experience the passed economy we potentials Example of Increased Potentials 93.4 $100.9 period of same A. $93.8 cated have our or bite out of increased income that have progressed only half way to the goal of doubling the real to Continuing Market a that postwar Created developed mand $26.5 Provide Now Be be acceptance of the next the on this purchasing. educate Must services and taxes have taken such can ket for 91.9 Demand mean and aireaay income. 100.0% market and We goods represent only 13% of of to 50,400,000 ability our could is typi¬ fied by families with $50 per week The mass of our population al¬ ready lives at standards far above an aggressive $200.0 seller of fluence We point where exist 1950 economic goods and services, sav¬ plans or investments to in¬ time Goal 49.2 as as years. 1949 represents every physical goods better quality. increased ac¬ 1st Half for it opportunity open takes people to of the huge 1st Half annual yond an 15.0% higher standard of living. But the 1949. This over any 194o discretion¬ power than greater discretionary have power recognized. spending ary in potential living do not take place auto¬ matically with change of income can backlog of savings ihat have for discretionary saving (billions)-— increase represent of the -dis¬ 1950 spending 1940 level and 6% after The market potentialities of this fourfold the on Changes in habits of standards dispos¬ income or take markets from two to five times living costs to maintain 1940 of living for food, clothing and shelter (billions)-- spending $3,000 great as before, depending on the product. standards Surplus to were to in 1949 compared with only $26.5 billion in 1940, and $93.8 bil¬ Basic ; 1941 $3,000 income $1,000 expenditure pattern of the group into which they moved available $75.7 income personal the established bil¬ $101 goods for discretionary spending or sav¬ (billions) taxes of costs about for depending on the ex¬ they take on the living of the income standard income enormously markets group living for food, clothing and shel¬ ter for our whole population. This lion families which to standard applic¬ living 1940 a of change can and services 69% increase since a in^ consumer 1948 : Per Cent 7,560,000 100.0% into the next higher disposable income after up potential the higher tax level and allowing for millions they This is after taking full ac¬ 1948. count of these The - 4.0% 39,287,000 the high level of the first half of does not include takes war 9,072,000 33.9 groups of an all time high of nearly $107 billion—over four times the the1* 30.5 above 7V2% even able in¬ 11,967,000 13,311.000 $1,000 tax past. consumer 23.0 prewar the Discretionary 11,592,000 move reach for 21.1 Total available for a Spending Is Four Times 1940 8,306,000 Number it yet nearly double our best prewar levels in terms of units of 32.0 As lion in the first half of 1948. With the next five years. 16,128,000 Per Cent produce, 43 markets 10.5 the 1949 individuals have within 1949- 1,564,000 4,139,000 Under living in terms of to savings. huge mature of Number $1,000 to $2,000 to we represent greater than experience with in $22.4 savings UNITS Over $5,000 $3,000 to $5,000— $2,000 to $3,000__„ sur¬ or power SPENDING GROUPS -Income- total becomes INCOME 1941 The remainder after these living plus out BY ing From had is income. from classes with approximately half of all consumer spending units hav¬ ing prices standard of play on are refund maturities. Bond by the to of the ordinary be the $2.8 power of War I. increments in consumer World after 1940 a (95) levels without reaching what excesses. Prewar, 1941, the $25 a week family typified the American economy. The Aoproximately half of the fami¬ marketing has been this level and shown to be at had incomes that same ernment chased below year this level. detailed a study of by families In rate week almost double pur¬ field in have their the $25 a the standard of ing of the $50 per week family in 1941 could not be called cessive goal or a luxury an proven and is high level. ex¬ standard marketing men opportunity. greatest a market of people purchasing 152,000,000 high with which has chasing liv¬ which We will have in 1950 about but family for most items. Certainly in detail very This leaves the third important will to buy—as the different buying and consuming at the of a factor—the income groups showed that fami¬ lies with incomes of $50 a week were — covered gov¬ items in started. major factor in purchasing power—• lies in America had incomes above approximately half were second with power standard of living lagged behind that pur¬ a power. This then is the challenge—for education and sell¬ ing to v/ill raise create the the demands that American standard of living and keep high levels. our income at 44 THE (96) COMMERCIAL Securities • ABC & Now INDICATES CHRONICLE I* FINANCIAL in ADDITIONS Registration ISSUE PREVIOUS SINCE Columbia Gas System, Inc. • Vending Corp., N. Y. City shares of common stock (par $1). Price—To be filed by amendment. Underwriter—Rey¬ representing nolds & filed 200,000 27 Co., New York. Proceeds—For new machinery equipment to expand activities. Expected week of and Jan. 16. Alleghany Corp., Cleveland, O. 19 (letter of notification) 16,500 shares of common 400 shares of series A 5 Vz% cumulative preferred Dec. and stock, both to be sold by Allan P. Kirby, President of the company, and 500 shares of prior preferred stock to Wilmington, Del. be sold by The Allan Corp., For common, $4 Prices— share; for series A, $80; and for per prior preferred, $85. Underwriter—Auchincloss, Parker & Redpath, New York. American Bankers Insurance Co. Florida of (letter of notification) 4,000 shares of class A stock (par $10) at $35 per share and 6,000 shares of class B stock at par ($10 each). No underwriter. Pro¬ ceeds to increase capital and enlarge surplus. Office— .343 N. 2nd Avenue, Miami, Fla. 12 Dec. Cladmetals Co., Carnegie, Pa. (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of common stock (par $1) for account of selling stockholder. Un¬ derwriter—C. S. McKee & Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. Price— American Dec. 15 —For construction. Commonwealth Refining Co., Ashland, Ky. " Dec. 15 (letter of notification) 15,000 shares of $1.20 cumulative convertible preferred stock (no par) to be flold to company employees at $20 each. No underwriter. Proceeds—To be added to working capital for general be received at the company's office, Room 1800, 72 West Adams Street, Chicago, 111., at or before 10:30 a.m. (CST) Jan. on 10. liam L. Uranium Miners Trust, Salt Lake City, Utah Dec. 22 (letter of notification) 400 beneficial units (no par) to be sold to The Mayflower Co., Salt Lake City, at $31.25 each. No underwriter. Proceeds to buy ma¬ chinery, pay promissory note and for working capital. A common law trust—not incorporated. Office—522 Felt Building, Salt Lake City, Utah. Inc. debenture bonds, due 1970, and 110,000 shares of common stock ($1 par). To be offered at $1,330 per unit, each unit to consist of $1,000 filed $1,000,1)00 5% bonds and 110 shares of stock. a No underwriter. Proceeds racetrack. Three officers also filed with respect to voting trust certificates for 290,000 shares stock, par $1. common Bank Building & Equipment Corp. of America Dec. 9 (letter of notification) 6,500 shares of captial stock (following a»two-for-one stock spilt, effective Dec. 20) at about $7 each. Underwriter—Scherck, Richter Co., St. XliOuis. " Beverly Gas & Electric Co. Dec. 20 filed 33,000 shares of capital to be stockholders offered to £or each two shares stock rate of & Co., Los Angeles, Calif. held by the New England Electric System and Chemical Dow Broadway Angels, Inc., New York City 500,000 management shares of 0.1 of a cent par value, respectively. Under¬ York. Proceeds — For to be sold at 50 cents and 12,5 cents writer— Hugh J. Devlin, N'ew working capital. Business—To back theatrical produc¬ tions, distribute tickets and act as an agent for talent. Canam Mining Corp., Ltd., Vancouver, B. C. Aug. 29 filed 1,000,000 shares of no par value common ntock. Price—800,000 shares to be offered publicly at 80 cents per share; the remainder are registered as "bonus nhares." Underwriter—Israel and Co., New York, N. Y. !*roceeds—To develop mineral resources. Statement ef¬ fective Dec. 9. Offering expected in January. Caribbean Clothing Corp., Mayaguez, Puerto Rico Dec. 27 ture bonds, at 50 — Co. share on ratio of one new share for each shares held. Rights expire Feb. 1, 1950. Employees of $44.50 due Proceeds to Office—2 Insular buy 1957, at $100 $100,000 each. of No 5% deben¬ underwriter. machinery and for working capital. Road, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico. its subsidiary and associated companies will opportunity to subscribe. Proceeds—To added to treasury funds and used for corporate pur¬ company, be Underwriter—None. poses. Statement effective Dec. 9. Texas Sulphur Co., Houston, Tex. Dec. 21 filed 375,000 shares of capital stock (no par) to be offered to stockholders at $13.50 per share at the rate of %ths of a new share for each share held. [The United Gas Corp., owner of 74.71% of the outstanding Duval capital stock, has agreed to purchase at the subscription price any shares of stock not subscribed for by other stockholders.] Underwriter — None. Proceeds — To be used, along with a $2,500,000 bank loan, to provide min¬ ing and milling facilities to mine potash in Eddy County, N. M. Eastern Harness Racing Club, Inc. (1/9-13) Oct. 27 filed 1,000,000 shares (5c par) common stock. Price, $1 each. Underwriter—Tellier & Co., New York, Proceeds—To purchase, improve and operate the Fort Steuben Raceway. Expected second week in January. , Excelsior Insurance Co. of N. Y. (letter of notification) 10,598 shares of common stock at $8.85 per share together with option, exercisable on or after April 1, but not later than April 11, 1951, to same price, to¬ gether with a further option, exercisable on or after April 12, but not later than April 22, 1952, to purchase 10,596 additional shares also at $8.85 per share. To be sold for account of Virginia Fire & Marine Insurance Co. which owns 31,790 shares of Excelsior stock. • Fidelity Fund, Inc., Boston, Mass. Dec. 29 filed 200,000 shares of capital stock Underwriters—Paul H. Davis & Co., (par $5). and The Chicago, Crosby Corp., Boston. • B.) Fiemons & Sons, Inc., Pueblo, Colo. (letter of notification) 45,000 shares of common stock at $1 each. No underwriter. Proceeds for oper¬ ating expenses, supplies and equipment. (R. Fair 1, 1965. Inc. Gity. Gulf will be used to Dillon & Co. redeem $2,645,000 15-year 3V2% debentures due Feb. 1, 1959, and $2,000,000 Balance will be used additional to acquire or construct supermarkets, warehouses, facilities, to • and to parking Boston- j Pittsburgh San Francisco Private Wires to all offices Chicago Cleveland and to provide equip these facilities. (The) 29 None. in Proceeds—To be credited against amounts spent purchase of treasury stock in 1949. Office—3000 W. Montana Street, Milwaukee, Wis. (H. P.) Hood & Sons, Inc., Charlestown (Boston) Dec. 22 (letter of notification) $250,000 of 6% income debentures, 1990 series. Underwriter—B. B. Piper, Bos¬ ton, Mass. Proceeds—To buy in for retirement 7% de¬ bentures and preferred stock owned by employees, pro¬ ducers, executives, and holders of the company's com¬ mon stock. Office—500 Rutherford Avenue, Charlestown (Boston), Mass. • Howard Johnson Electrostatics Electronics & Inc., Dec. Pound, Va. (letter of notification) 23 stock (par $1) to sold be Proceeds writer. 4,080 shares of to at $37.50 pay development equipment and for working capital. • No each. costs, Inc. (letter of notification) buy Inc., Rochester, N. Y. 200,000 shares of capital stock. Under¬ writer—George D. B. Bonbright & Co., Rochester, N. Y. filed 3 Business—Investment company.' • Idaho Dec. mon 16 Goldfields, Inc., Spokane, Wash. (letter of notification) 750,000 shares of com¬ share). No under¬ stock to be offered at par (100 a writer. Proceeds to be used to prospect, explore and develop Lode mining claims in Kootenai County, Idaho. Office—1114 W. Indiana Avenue, Spokane, Wash. Idaho Maryland Mines Corp., San Francisco, Cal. (letter of notification) 14,000 shares of common at $1.90 per share, to be sold by Gwendolyn 12 Dec. stock MacBoyle, executrix for the Estate of Errol MacBoyle, Underwriters—E. F. Hutton & Co. and Davies deceased. & Mejia, San Francisco. Bell Telephone Nov. 30 filed 389,982 Co. shares of capital stock (par $100). Offering—To be offered to stockholders pro rata at $100 share. a American Telephone & Telegraph Co. will given the right to buy 387,295 of these shares and remainder will be offered public stockholders. be the Under¬ writer—None. Proceeds—To pay advances from A. T. & T. • Insurance Co. of North America, Philadelphia Dec. 30 filed 30,000 shares of capital stock (par $10) to be offered to employees of the company and its six affiliated companies under an employees' stock subscrip¬ tion plan. No underwriter. Proceeds for general porate purposes. K-W Oil cor¬ . Co., Phoenix, Ariz. Dec. 28 (letter of notification) $45,000 of 40-acre assign¬ Navajo County, Ariz., at $5, $10 or $15 an acre, the proceeds to be used to develop present well and drill an additional well. No under¬ ments of oil and gas leases in • 1 Kerr-McGee Dec. Oil Industries, Inc. 22 (letter of notification) 1,500 shares of common $1), for Dean Terrill. selling stockholder. Underwriter—Straus & Blosser, Chicago. Price—$12 per stock (par share. y»"> ■ : CO % ,&e<i York 1 an unspecified rfetnberS Sto aniWon Cvo,0*0° fcOSTO* Goldfield under¬ to Howe Plan Fund, Jan. No underwriter. • common Expected number of shares to be offered under Profit-Sharing and Em¬ ployees' Savings Plan, each employee participating to deposit 5% of his gross earnings, but not more than, $250. Mines, Inc., Phoenix, Ariz. (letter of notification) 1,498 shares of common stock at $100 each. Underwriters—Alfred Strong Lewis, Dec. 23 working lots and Globe-Union, 23 obligations, Heil Co., Milwaukee, Wis. (letter of notification) 622 shares of common stock (no par). Price—$93.88 per share. Underwriter— Range Oil & Drilling Co., Denver, Colo. Dec. 29 (letter of notification) 1,702,707 shares of com¬ mon capital stock. Price—Par (5 cents each). Under¬ writer—Inter-Mountain Shares, Inc., Denver. Proceeds —For drilling of test wells for oil and gas. Office—711 Security Bldg., Denver. • Philadelphia current pay capital. Front • Co., Jacksonville, Transportation May 31 filed 620,000 shares of class A participating ($1 par) stock and 270,000 shares (25c par) common stock. Offering—135,000 shares of common will be offered for subscription by holders on the basis of one-for-two at 25 cents per share. Underwriters—Names by amendment, and may include John J. Bergen & Co. and A. M. Kidder & Co. Underwriters will buy the remaining 135,000 shares plus unsubscribed shares of the new common. Offering price of class A $5. Proceeds—To complete an ocean ferry, to finance dock and terminal facilities, about Jan. 10. Dec. Atlantic Florida (1/10) 15-year sinking fund debentures, Underwriter—Eastman Proceeds—Proceeds of notes. Co. notification) writer. Stores, Dec. 6 filed $8,000,000 Jan. Russell, Tonto Basin, Ariz. surface mining equip¬ Trust Bldg., Phoenix, Ariz. J. up to 418 shares of capital stock (par $10) to be offered at the market. Proceeds vHit"go to holders of scrip certificates unexchanged for full shares. Underwriter—Mallory, Adee & Co., N. Y. • Dec. 22 Food Union Dec. 30 (letter of Illinois (1/10) Dec. 21 other New York Grand per also be given an due (letter of notification) cap¬ 175,000 shares of common stock (par $15). Offered to stockholders of record Dec. 20 purchase 10,596 additional shares at the Hov. 14 filed 2,000,000 snares (lc par) common stock and « Proceeds—F6r working ital. (par $25) shares bank loans. • • Pasadena, Cal. Dec. 12 (letter of notification) 200 shares of common stock (par $1) to be sold at $22 each to Paul W. Heasley for resale to the public. Underwriter—Hopkins, Harbach IV2 held, at $30 per share. No under¬ The proceeds will be used to pay off $575,000 of writer. notes the at now iLApectea aoout Jan. 6. Tom Office—1018 Title & ment. Consolidated Engineering Corp., Duval Baltimore Trotting Races, de- and Proceeds—To install mill and buy Dec. Proceeds—To New York. Co., vciup liii.inug properties. Offering Associated & Burton # of * , stock, Nov. 4 filed will be used to build . Inc. (by amendment) 800,000 shares (no par) com¬ Price—$1.25 per share. Underwriter—Wil¬ mon corporate purposes. 15 Edison Co., Chicago (1/10/50) Dec. 13 filed $49,000,000 sinking fund debentures, to be dated Oct. 1, 1949, and mature April 1, 1999. Under¬ writers—Names to be determined by competitive bid¬ ding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Glore, Forgan & Co. Proceeds—For construction, additions, etc. to property. The sinking fund on new debentures will provide for ratable retire¬ ment of the entire issue by maturity. Bids—Bids will Nov. 17 Co., Chicago ♦Nov. 21 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares ($2 par) •common stock. Price, market (about 10%). Underwriter —H. M. Byllesby & Co., Chicago. To reimburse cor¬ porate treasury for expenses in connection with pur¬ chase of additional property. Dec. 304,998 shares of common stock (no par), unsubscribed portion of 1,345,300 shares Consolidated Caribou Silver Mines, American-Marietta & filed May 24, 1949. Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Halse.y, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lehman Brothers; Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Union Securities Corp. (jointly); Morgan, Stan¬ ley & Co.; Shields & Co. and R. W. Pressprich & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly). Bids expected toward the end of January, 1950. Proceeds ^Expected at market. Ashland Oil 28 Dec. Ariz., Mesa, offered stockholders Dec. 1950 Thursday, January 5, . •• £ v' -*-1' Volume $4 and $5 per share. tween ceeds—For NEW ISSUE CALENDAR FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE Number 4870 171 CHRONICLE Underwriter—None. Pro¬ Michigan Associated Telephone Co., Lafayette, Indiana cumulative preferred stock filed by amendment. Under¬ writers—Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis and Stone & Webster Securities Corp. Proceeds—To pay a $2,444,197 demand note held by General Telephone Corp., its parent, which had been issued to redeem outstanding 6% cum¬ ulative preferred stock held by same company. Offering Dec. 30 filed 50,000 shares of (EST)__Equip. Trust Ctl's. noon 1950 Racing Club, Inc 10:30 Co. Edison Lawrence Gas & Electric Co., noon Finance Seaboard 11, Southern Pacific Co., noon (EST)__Equip. Tr. Ctfs. 12, 1950 Equip. Tr. Ctfs. January Middle South Minute Maid Common Corp., 11 a.m. (EST) in a.m.' (EST) January 25, Bonds Tel-Aviv, writer—Coffin, American 11:30 11 a.m. offering Corp,, Wilmington, Del., and 1950 (EST)___; Dec. Common Betz Co., & a Philadelphia. textile plant in Israel. Under¬ Price, par. Business— Minneapolis, Minn. $40,000 of debentures at principal amount, proceeds to reduce bank loans. Bldg., Minneapolis, the National-Soo Line First Minn. Lakeland Marine Lake Inc., Base, Hopatcong, New Jersey v notification) $75,000 10-year 6% deben¬ 1960, and 7,500 shares of common stock Price—$1,000 per unit (consisting of $1,000 tures due Jan. 1, (par 20c.). of debentures interest accrued shares 100 and of Jan. from debentures on common 1. Under¬ writer—Pulis, Dowling &, Co., New York City. Proceeds —$45,000 to be used to purchase for cash the property of Lakeland Marine Base, Lake Hopatcong, N. J.; and the balance used Lawrence working capital. for (Mass.) Gas & Electric Co. (1/10) filed $2,750,000 1 the balance ceived at the company's Mass., to up Lorain Bids—Bids construction. for 12 noon (Ohio) will be re¬ office, 441 Stuart Street, Boston, (EST) on New June Jersey Power & Light Co. filed 20,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative 9 ferred Underwriters—Names stock. Jan. 10. Louisville Soy Products Corp., Louisville, Ky. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of prior pre¬ stock 32,500 shares of preferred stock (par $10), to be issued in exchange for outstand¬ ing securities and claims under reorganization and re¬ capitalization. No underwriter. Office—2400 S. Brook Street, Louisville, Ky. ferred • Lowell 30 (par $25) Electric filed and shares bank 55,819 Proceeds—To Underwriter—None. held. loans, for construction and to im¬ provements. • 15 filed $40,000,000 of gen. mtge. bonds, due Jan. 1, Underwriters—Names to be determined by com¬ 1980. petitive Co. Inc.; bidding. Morgan The First Boston Indemnity Co., Cincinnati Dec. 16 Probable bidders—Halsey, Stuart & Stanley & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Corp. Buffalo stock New (par $5) underwriter. Marchant Bids expected 11:30 a.m. (EST) Niagara Electric Central New Corp., Proceeds to Valve increase capital and surplus. Nev. Dec. 5 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of 7% par¬ ticipating preference stock (par $3). No underwriter. Proceeds—For new machinery and plating, new models, Corp., Reno, inventory and working capital. Office—319 S. Virginia Drexel $75 at & each Co., pluu $3.50 preference stock not sur¬ exchange. Business—Pharmaceu¬ any the Carolina Due Co., Columbia^. and refunding mortgage Underwriter—Names by a like amount of amendment, redeem outstanding Underwriter—Names by amendment 1979. Due Gas & $22,200,000 first 1979. Proceeds—To bonds. Electric Carolina filed 22 (probably Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Union Securities Corp.). Expected in January. • Southwestern Public Service Dec. share new. shares of 168,729 offered be to filed 30 each an Co., Dallas, Texas. stock (par $1) common stockholders common for To be named in at the shares held. eight of rate one Underwriter— amendment, along with offering price, Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. Pro¬ Traditional underwriter is and to of additions and improvements bank borrowings for these purposes. construction repay Teco, Inc., Chicago 21 filed 100,000 shares Nov. for shares ($10 par) stock, common be offered to are holders ot«' to stock in Zenith Radio Corp. at rate of one share common each Underwriter—None. five held. Proceeds—Fos working capital and the promotion of Zenith's "Phonedevice, whereby television users could pay sx special fee for costly television programs by calling the telephone company and asking to be plugged in. vision" ® Trimfcot Co., Dec. 21 (letter Farmington, Mo. notification)' $200,000 of promissory notes (convertible into the on basis of United share one Proceeds Trimfoot Terrace, Gas for for of $20 working 4% stock, common each 3-year capital. $1, par of notes). No Office— Farmington, Mo. Corp. (1/24) Dec. 21 filed $25,000,000 of first mortgage and collateral trust it series bonds, Names to is due be determined York, the surviving company, changed its name to The Niagara Falls Power Co. will be Niagara Mohawk. its direct subsidiary. the construction and to Proceeds—To repay $38,500,000 of 1948 and 1949 in connection with program finance in part of the constituent companies the company's construction pro¬ 000,000 in 1950 in addition to the $70,000,000 of expendi¬ tures since 1947. On Dec, 30 the New York P. S. Commission authorized or the to ask for bids 011 company before Jan. 24. Nu-Strut 20 Dec. stock Flexible Piston (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of common Proceeds—For par). (no underwriter. Medina, O. Co., working Office—West Liberty Street, capital. No Medina, O. Jan. 1, 1970. Underwriters— by competitive bidding. Bids, at 11:30 a.m. (EST) on (1/10) filed 100,000 shares of $4.40 cumulative preferred Dec. 21 (no par others and Lighting Corp. to value), be Underwriter—Blyth & Co., Inc. b.y amendment. Proceeds—To named part of outstanding bank loans. made on or about Jan. 10. Offering—To be • bonds, 4% series due 1962, to be issued by United Co., its subsidiary, and for general cor¬ gage Gas Pipe Line porate purposes. United Dec. 8 (letter of notification) 8,000 shares of 5% cumula¬ tive preferred stock (par $20) and 40,000 shares of com¬ mon stock (par 10 cents) and 18,000 common stock pur¬ chase warrants to purchase a iike number of common shares. Underwriter—Raymond V. Edwards, Massapequa, L. I., N. Y. Price—$30.66 per unit, each unit consisting of share of preferred and five shares of common stock. additional <. States Fidelity & Guaranty 27 filed of capital stock 300,000 shares holders at the rate of one (par $10)., Offering—To stock¬ share for each 3% shares now held. Underwriters—Alex. Brown & Sons, John C. Legg & Co., Stein Bros. & Boyce, and Baker, Watts & Co., all of Baltimore. Proceeds—For additional capital and surplus. Upper Peninsula Power Co. Sept. 28. 1948 filed 154,000 shares of common stock (par Underwriters—SEC has granted exemption from competitive bidding. An investment banking group man¬ aged by Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, and Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtio, may be underwriters. Proceeds—Will go to selling stock¬ $9. holders. Consolidated Corp. will sell Electric 120,000 & Gas Co. and Middle 34,000 shares and sharep, respectively. • Webster-Chicago Corp. Dec. to 29 be —F. filed sold 125,000 shares of by Rudolph F. (1/20-25) common Blash, stock President, Price—To be filed by amendment. Eberstadt (par $1), and Mru, Underwriters* & Co., Inc., New York, and Shillinglaw, Bolger & Co., Chicago. Business—Automatic changers Offering—Expected between Jan. 20 and 25. • Minerals & Petroleum, Inc., Salt Lakt; City, Utah Dec. 27 (letter of notification) 50,000 shares of common Western each. No underwriter. Street, Reno, Nev. one stock at $1 • To retire bank loans for new equipment and operating capital. working capital. Office—170 Washington Street. Proceeds to provide Office—412 Atlas Building, Salt Lake City, Utah. (The) Dec. 22 mon Mayflower Co., Salt Lake City, Utah stock No (par underwriter. Stock Exchange • 500,000 shares of com¬ sold at 10 cents per share. Proceeds for general funds. Office— (letter of notification) 10) to be Building, Salt Lake City, Utah. (J. W.) Mays, Inc., Brooklyn, N. Y. Dec. 30 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of class A stock (par $1), to be offered employees. Price—Be¬ • Saginaw Gold & Copper Mines, Beliingham, Wash. (letter of notification) Dec. 21 stock Inc., 1,000,000 shares of com¬ (par 10), to be offered at 25 cents per share. No underwriter. Proceeds to buy a 90-ton crusher and mon other mining equipment. 1 Co., Baltimore Dec. Price—To be filed by amendment. Blash. Royal Crown Beverage Co. of Poughkeepsie, Inc. opened at 2 Rector Street, New York. Probable Bid¬ Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; The First Boston' Corp.; Harriman, Ripley & Co. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly); Equitable Securities Corp. Proceeds—To purchase $18,000,000 of first mort¬ West Pacific be 25 This program is expected to require about $43,- gram. will expected York Corp. and New York Power & Light Corp. Central repay 10,000 shares of common to be offered at $27.50 per share. No (letter of notification) South Corporation—On Jan. 5 succeeded to merger 17. Jan. stock Manufacturers & Merchants (1/17) Niagara Mohawk Power Corp. Dec. repay make further under redeem ders: • Lowell, Mass. Light Corp., shares of capital stock (par $25). Offering—To be offered at $35 per share to common stockholders at the rate of one new share for each three Dec. Sons, Baltimore, and Underwriters ticals. Jan. bank loans obtained in • & Proceeds—To dividends rendered year. of Telephone Co. accrued for, construction of additions and betterments sub¬ sequent to April 30, 1949. Sale deferred until later thin Ohio. Dec. 22 pre¬ determined made on of notification) (letter be reimbursement of payments payment of the cost of, or in Power 29 to through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co.; W. C. Langley & Proceeds—Will be applied to the 3,489 shares (no par) common stock. Price, $20 each. No underwriter. To par¬ tially reimburse the company's treasury for additions to property made in 1948. Office: 203 Ninth Street, Lorain, Nov. Brown Philadelphia. underwriter. Co.; Lehman Brothers. of series A first mortgage bonds, due Dec. 1, 1979. Underwriter — To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co.; Otis & Co.; Coffin & Burr. Proceeds—To redeem $1,500,000 3V8% series A first mortgage bonds, due 1968, at 102% %, to repay $1,000,000 notes held by banks and Dec. (letter, of, notification) 6,000 shares of 5V2% prior preferred stock (par $50)". Underwriter—Piper. Jaffray & Hopwood, Minneapolis. Proceeds — To pay outstanding bank loans. ,19 plus stock) Murphy & Co., St. Paul, Minn. A.) (A. Dec. Dec. 30 (letter of —Alex. shares for new Offer expires Jan. 19. ones. Offering—These (letter of notification) 28 Office—900 • each four old ceeds—For Monarch Lumber Co., • April 10, Utah Fuel Co., the Cotton textile's. Debentures (EST) of shares ($5 par) capital stock. Proceeds—To build Telephone & Telegraph Co. a.m. 10% Israel Dec. 7 filed 500,000 1950 January 31, be to Groves, Corp., which will operate these properties. Expected Jan. 17 or 18. Moller-Dee Textile —Equip. Tr. Ctfs. Indiana Harbor Belt RR stock, series A, at rate of three erence bonds. (par 100), to be sold for account of are commission grove 1950 11:30 Corp. (1/17-18) shares of common stock Minute Maid orange 1 Qi«A 24 Janiiafv United Gas Corp., (1/10) Sharp & Dohme, Inc., Philadelphia, Pa. (1/20) 9 filed 171,815 shares of cumulative preference stock (no par). Offering—Offered in exchange for 229,085% shares of $3.50 cumulative convertible pref¬ South price. Underwriters—Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis and White, Weld & Co. Proceeds (from sale of 200,000 shares)—To be used to repay $2,000,000 bank loan nego¬ tiated to purchase six orange groves, and for investment Preferred Common — Inc.; and 80,000 shares by J. H. Whitney & Co., Price—To be supplied by amendment, the underwriting 1950 Sharp & Dohme, Inc Webster-Chicago Corp Co., Los Ar.geles convertible preferred stock, cumulative (no par). Underwriter—The First Boston Corp. Proceeds—To increase working capital, reduce bank loan, invest in subsidiaries. Expected Jan. 10. continue construction pro¬ can shares 200,000 York. New Bonds January 20, which the company 1950 (CST) Seaboard Finance Dec. 7 filed 120,000 shares of Nov. Maid Minute of Chicago, Rock Island & Pacific RR. Noon writer—None. Tentative date of offering is Jan. 17. Dec. 28 filed 280,000 HBonds Common Niagara Mohawk Power Corp January 18, that these subsidiaries • .Common Corp._____ Phoenix Silk so grams. Utilities, Inc Co. & Read subsidiaries, viz: Arkansas Power & Light Co., Louisiana Power & Light Co. and Mississippi Power & Light Co., 1950 17, January Dillon, bidders: Probable Equitable Securities Corp. (jointly). Proceeds—To make common stock investments totaling $13,000,000 in three 1950 Western Maryland Ry shares common "employees' stock purchase plan for 1950." Price—Not to exceed market price on ex¬ changes. Proceeds—For corporate purposes. Under¬ Dec. Kidder, Peabocly & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; Lehman Brothers, Blyth & Co., Inc.; Union Securities Corp. and Preferred Co January (1/17) filed 21 bidding. Equip. Trust Ctfs. Preferred Corp Inc. Utilities, 640,000 shares of common stock (no par). Underwriters—Names to be determined by competitive Dec. RR. (CST)__ Pacific Lighting South Middle Debentures (EST).-Bonds Stores, Inc Missouri-Kansas-Texas Noon Common Co. of N. Y Excelsior Insurance Paper Co., Chester, Pa. an unspecified number of filed 30 —Expected in January. Debentures (CST) a.m. Food Fair Common 1950 January 10, Commonwealth Scott Price—To be $50). (par January 9, Harness Eastern • Dec. working capital. 45 to be offered under the • 1950 January 5, Pennsylvania RR., (97) Younker ^ Brothers, Inc., Des Moines, la. Nov. 4 (letter of to be sold at & notification) 1,000 shares (no par) stock, $27.50 each. Underwriter—T. C. Henderson Co., Des Moines. Proceeds—To selling stockholder. Continued on page 46 46 (98) THE Continued from page 45 COMMERCIAL • Laclede On and Dec. 30 announced it is anticipated that long-term securi¬ ties may be issued during 1950 to refinance $600,000 4% promissory notes held by United Gas Improvement Co., the parent. Telephone & Telegraph Co. a third offering to em¬ ployees of the company and its subsidiaries of up to 2,800,000 shares at a price of $20 per share less than the market price when payment is completed, but not more than $150 nor less than $100 per share. Dec. 21 directors voted to make (1/31) Dec. 21 the directors authorized a new issue of $200,000,000 debentures to be offered at competitive bidding. It is expected that they will be dated Feb. 1, 1950 and mature Feb. 1, 1971, that a registration statement will be filed with the SEC early in January and that bids will be opened at 11:30 a.m., Jan. 31. Probable bidders— Morgan, Stanley & Co.; Mellon Securities Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. and First Boston Corp. (jointly). Pro¬ ceeds will be used to provide funds for extensions, addi¬ tions and improvements to plant of the Bell System com¬ panies and for general corporate purposes. Ashland Telephone Oil Telegraph & Co. & Refining Co. Dec. 29 announced company intends to sell approximately 30,000 shares of S5 preferred stock (no par) and $15,000,000 3 % sinking fund debentures in near future. An addi¬ tional 20,000 shares of $5 preferred stock will be sold at time by selling stockholders. same probably between Price—The preferred $97 and $102 per share, and the de¬ 100% and 103% of principal amount. bentures between Underwriter—A. G. Becker & Co. Inc. sale of stock, $1,883,747 will be Proceeds—From used to reimburse the companys' treasury for the cost of Aetna Oil Co. stock purchased by Ashland Nov. on 23, 1949, and the bal¬ ance added to working capital. From sale, of debentures, approximately $10,709,500 will be used to prepay out¬ standing indebtedness of Ashland and its subsidiaries, of Aetna and Freedom-Valvoline of Oil Co. and the balance added to Ashland's general funds. Chicago, Rock Island & Pacific RR. The First Boston Lone Dec. 13 Star Steel announced Co., plans company used (1/18) toward redeem Power on April & Light Co. Dec. 24 company reported planning sale, probably in May, of $8,500,000 bonds, for new money. Probable bidders; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Equitable Securities Corp.; Lehman Brothers; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; First Boston Corp.; Union Securities Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane in 15 new Power reported money & Light Co. company in raise $12,000,000 expects to 1950-1951 to finance in part its con¬ struction program. McGregor Smith, President, disclosed that no plans have been completed to date on what form the new financing will take, although the company expects to improve its current equity position, which is 38.6% of capital. Probable bidders for common stock: corporate Registration purposes. with SEC Corp.; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; Smith, Barney & Co. and Blyth & Co., Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Union Securities Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Harbor Belt RR. Dec. 15 company reported to be planning the issuance of equipment trust certificates. Probable bid¬ Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). Expected about ders: Jan. 25. 26 Public Metropolitan Edison Co. preferred stock, probably in February, to help fi¬ its 1950 construction program. The company expects to offer $7,000,000 in bonds and $3,000,000 in preferred stock. The bond and preferred stock offerings nance to be sold at competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Drexel & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Union Securi¬ ties Corp. (jointly); Carl M. Loeb, Rhqades & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds); Kidder, Peabody & Co. (bonds); White, Weld & Co. (bonds); Smith, Barney & Co. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly on pfd.); Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly that corporation plans to issue and sell early in 1950 $5,000,000 of preferred stock, the net^ proceeds to for construction costs, etc. Probable bid-' ders: A. C. Allyn & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Kidder, pay Peabody & Co. and Blyth & Co. (jointly); Equitable Se¬ curities Corp. • Kansas Jan. 24 Gas & Electric stockholders will Co. consider issuance of 200,000 (par $100), with a 4J/2% to 5% dividend, to be issued in exchange for existing 7% and $6 preferred stocks on a share-for-share basis, with 7% shares of preferred stock preferred stockholders also receiving $5 per share in stock not issued in exchange will be sold to underwriters and the proceeds used to redeem old preferred issues. Traditional underwriter—Union Securities Corp. If competitive by cash. New preferred negotiation, following will have riman "the Union Securities Corp.; Har¬ Blyth & Co., Inc. and The First groups: Ripley & Co.; Boston Corp. (jointly). Other probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Cor Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co.; Lehman Brothers. Pennsylvania Stockholders Feb. on will 21 consider increasing the authorized preferred stock from 185,000 shares to 215,000 shares. • Missouri-Kansas-Texas RR. (1/10) Company will receive bids by noon (CST) Jan. 10 at its office, Room 1506, Railway Exchange Bldg., St. Louis 1, Mo., on its proposed offering of $1,650,000 equip¬ ment trust certificates, series 1950, to be dated Feb. 1, 1950, and to mature in 30 equal semi-annual instalments. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harris, & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly). Montana Power issue in a few months securities, which may possibly some addi¬ tional common stock. Financing of $10,000,000 or more in bonds may be undertaken in May. The proceeds are to be used for expansion and extension of its gas and include bonds and new debentures and electric lines. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Union Securities Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Smith, Barney & Co.; First Boston Corp. & Co. • Stockholders of record Jan. 10, 1950, are to be offered rights to subscribe to 500,000 shares of capital stock at $1.25 per share, on the basis of one share for each four shares who held. which prescribed. will Rights will expire Jan. 28. Stockholders resident in the United States will receive share are warrants be they transfer may sell or within time Co. Offering is being underwritten. Proceeds development and other corporate pur¬ Boston Corp.; White, Weld & Co. Northern Natural Gas Co. Nov. 28 reported company contemplates sale of between $30,000,000 and $35,000,000 • Co. 3 Gas shares par $25, Commission the The company of Boston Corp.; 4.80% the to Co. proposes to issue and sell redeemable first preferred approval of California P. U. Price, dividend rate and SEC. will be determined prior to the time Traditional underwriter: Blyth & Co., - 3 also announced to offer common tional shares of of this expects early this year stockholders the right to purchase addi¬ offering Pacific company common are Power stock, but the time and amount yet to be determined. & Light Co. Dec. 24 reported that company's tentative plans call for funding of $9,000,000 bank loans, probably in March. On Sept. 15 it Was said plans to do some permanent financ¬ ing of approximately $7,000,000 through the sale of additional first mortgage bonds to retire outstanding notes and to finance its construction program had been postponed to about May 1, 1950. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; W. C. Langley & Co. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Union Securities Dec. Telephone & Telegraph Co. 15 company announced holders the right to a plan to offer to its stock¬ subscribe for 814,694 additional on will receive bids at or Jan. 5.at its office at Silk of Alien Property, Department of Justice, 120 Broadway, New York, N. Y., on or before 11 a.m. (EST) Jan.- 17. on The will stock ■ sold be citizens. * Seaboard Air Line ■ only to American 1 ! " ■ RR. Dec. 9 reported that company has under consideration refunding of its long-term first mortgage 4% bonds involving not less than $30,000,000. Probable bidders include Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Leh¬ man Brothers; First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & the „ Co.,'jointly. Southern Dec. 19 California reported Gas company Co. i . issue and sell approxi¬ may mately $20,000,000 of bonds, probably in May. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Harris Hall & Co. (Inc.); White, Weld & Co.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; the First Boston Corp.; Shields & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. Southern Pacific Co. (1/11) has issued invitations for bids by 12 o'clock noon (EST) on Jan. 11 offices at Room 2117, 165 Broadway, New York 6, for $13,530,000 equipment trust certificates, DD, to mature in 15 equal annual instalments of The , to be at company its received each, and to be secured by costing not less than N. Y., series $902,- railroad equipment Probable bidders: new $18,040,000. Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman, Ripley & Co. Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutz¬ ler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); The First Boston Corp. ® Southwestern Dec. fund some Public Service Co. 10 reported company plans to sell about $2,500,000 of debentures and is said to be considering plans to re¬ of its privately-held indebtedness. Traditional underwriter, Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. Texas Electric Service Co. 19 reported may offer 100,000 shares of new pre^ ferred stock. Expected to be sold competitively, possibly in April. Probable bidders may include W. C. Langley Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Union Securi¬ ties Corp.; Hemphill, Noyes, Graham, Parsons & Co. and & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly);. Harriman, Ripley & Co.; Blyth Co., Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co,; Smith, Barney & Co. & Texas 28 Electric reported bonds early in Service Co. plans sale of $8,000,000 of 1950, the proceeds to be used to finance company the company's construction program. Additional financ¬ ing also is anticipated in the first half of 1950 by other subsidiaries of Texas Utilities Co. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Blyth Co., Inc., Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Smith, Barney & Co., and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Union Securities Corp., White, Weld & Co., and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co.; Drexel & Co. and Hemphill, Noyes, Graham, Par¬ & & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Hutzler; Harriman, Ripley & Co. sons & Texas-Illinois Dec. 5 it Natural Gas Salomon Bros. Pipeline Co. announced company plans to mile pipeline, which it is estimated will was build cost a be¬ tween $140,000,000 and $150,000,000. James F. Oates, Jr., Chairman of Peoples Gas Light .& Coke Co., stated fi¬ nancing of the new project would probably consist of 75% debt and 25% stock. If bonds are sold at petitive bidding, Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. head Texas Dec. 19 Utilities reported to 400,000 shares of com¬ group. Co. be money in a few months seeking about $8,000,000 new through additional sale of about common stock. Probable bidders: Blyth Co., Inc.; and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Leh¬ man Brothers; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; Union Securities Corp.: Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Kid¬ & der, Peabody & Co. (jointly); First Rauscher, Pierce & Co. and Dallas (jointly). • Utah The Fuel referee Co. Southwest Union Corp Trust • Co (4/10) will offer at public auction at 11 a.m. on April 10 all of the 100,000 outstanding shares c/f stock of this corporation at the Guaranty Trust Co. of New York 140 Broadway, New York. Business—Mining of coal in Utah and Colorado and manufacturing of coke in Utah and sale of said products. Western Dec. ance or Pacific (EST) noon office Corp.; Equitable Securities Corp. and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; White, Weld & Co. and Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) (jointly); Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co. (1/5) company . prices offering. Inc. Jan. Kidder, o'clock Corp., Allentown, Pa. (1/17) Dec. 28 the Attorney-General of the U. S. invited bids for the purchase, as an entirety, of 1,358 shares of capital stock (par $1 each). All bids must be presented at the 1,400 subject and First Electric & announced 1,500,000 stock, debentures early in the RR. announced the 12 Phoenix Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; year. Pacific Jan. new for American Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Harris, Hall & (Inc.); First Boston Corp. -. - Nov. Jersey Bell Telephone Co. Company filed Dec. 8 with the New Jersey State Board of Public Utility Commissioners a plan for financing $65,000,000 of construction. Company proposes to sell $50,000,000 in common stock and $15,000,000 in long-term bonds to meet plant and installation costs. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Shields & Co.; First share one Co. Inc. used for poses. new 15 Dec. Negus Mines, Ltd. of 1811, Broad Street Station Bldg., Phila. 4, Pa., for $10,620,000 equipment trust certificates, series Y, to be dated Jan. 1, 1950 and to mature $708,000 annually on Jan. 1, 1951-1965. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & 000 Co. rate preferred held. or Room pfd.). on the at common & Telegraph Co. owns 3,003,584 shares, or 90.34%, of the 3,324,604 common shares outstanding, and 640,957, or 78.17%, of the 620,000 6% preferred shares. Proceeds will be used to retire bank loans and to provide for additional expansion, additions and improvements. are of Service Co. announced this and redemption Iowa early Nov. 30 reported company plans to sell additional bonds Blyth & Co., Inc.; Peabody & Co. (1/25) $1,800,000 Oct. expected month. The First Boston Indiana Proceeds— To retire present indebtedness, finance the construction of a cast iron pressure pipe plant, and for other New (jointly); Harriman, Ripley & Co. Florida Dec. sell stockholders of rights to subscribe for 592,185 additional common stock. Underwriters—Dallas Rupe & approximately $22,000,000 in be and Hall 1, 1980, the net paying off $25,760,000 of 1, next, approximately $33,400,000 of general mortgage 4J/2% convertible income bonds, series A, due Jan. 1, 2019. To be offered at com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Morgan, Stanley & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly). The bank loan was made to redeem on Jan. 1, 1950, $25,760,000 first mortgage series A 4s, due Jan. 1, 1994. Bids—Bids will be received at the company's office, Room 1015, 139 West Van Buren Street, Chicago, 111., at or before 12 o'clock noon (CST) on Jan. 18. Dallas issue shares of 000,000 first mortgage bonds, due Jan. to to stock common Telephone before $5,000,000 10-year first mortgage bonds and to raise an additional $2,000,000 through the issuance to present proceeds to Texas of each six shares of Dec. Dallas, Dec. 20 reported the company may and a (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. Dec. 20 company asked ICC for aythority to issue $55,- notes authorizing Son, Dallas, and Straus & Blosser, Chicago. American • consider (par $25) of company to Laclede Gas Co. name bidders: Thursday, January 5, 1950 shares will Corp. and Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly); Smith, Barney & Co. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Reinholdt & Gardner • American CHRONICLE Light Co. stockholders changing on Probable AIlentown-Bethlehem Gas Co. Gas 26 FINANCIAL issue of 480,000 shares of preferred stock new Prospective Offerings • Jan. & ■Co. Maryland Ry. (1/12) 14 company was reported to be planning the of about $2,450,000 equipment trust about issu¬ certificates Jan. 12. Probable bidders: on Halsey, Stuart & Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Lee Higginson Corp. ntinued from 5 page by modicum a of effort material is deemed The Broad Impact the on would be photography and uine In equity capital to the its of ere has already far transcended Exemplifying finance. porate the concept pervading company nagements and their public relations agents is the following recent tement by the stockholder relations official of companies: gest confined t "Distribution stockholders to the of alone. It annual modern reaches of the nation's one is report institu- educational libraries, thought leaders, legislators and government officials, rough the press and radio—and in some recent cases, television— impact is carried to the public at large. The annual report of ns, for $2,750,000 of has its Utility genesis in the stockholder's dislike of foibles—in his toward lethargy data of company to stockholders "quantitative" a stockholder fault is such The resulting constitutes and unnecessarily catered to by com¬ management's over-consciousness of public relations. attention judgments. ancing jazzing-up the reports of disservice a from to Dillion is affirmatively harmful the of markets, and hinders of the the of private flow federally-regulated equity submission of capital. company information, relevant factual data must be submitted directly to the The public-relations "promotional" material be can statistical infor¬ first step thereto. Effort should be concentrated on enc'ouraging the desire and promoting the ability to absorb and understand this kind of material, in lieu of dishing out sugar-coated palliatives. The pink-pill technique cannot be which the with the of owners business ferred would The increasingly evident." officials (seconded by Wilma Soss and r cohorts) feel that their women shareholders must not suffer m the inclusion of technical terminology. "That last reading some company a ely to No .de this comprises too unwieldy wean the basis of three last less than audience. fulfill the obligation of complete and voluminous Exchange Commission and last column were readily catering to so data required can and preferred The ket corporate seems noted cited in our to do of the First a mar¬ bit of present net't the average concrete v circumstances impossible to start booming stockholder to digest the SEC-filed documents, week. financial information management.^ 5 whereunder .* is distributed be must it him to by - id again financing less early next potential" start¬ 100,000 to the Toe On larger wedge itself in meantime a should Edison Co.'s Prospects least shares now three will responsibility for the sugar-coating practices should the shareholder, and how much on managements their public relations protagonists, is still open to question. Magnavox garded as Co., which tenders for The big use was re¬ destined for distribu¬ the to properties. The sinking provides for ratable retire fund rntiy undertaken On the other hand ition after at the .■en the General by a its among stockholders, questionnaire circulated by that contest consumer Motors last November elicited pub- same opinion some that level there is revulsion against over-reporting The •'iter (idern trend is tarts t poi President of consultations a to waste should a public utilities stockholders we are company convinced reported: that the of money nothing istorical purposes and ... more that as we far as convinced that the are than statistical a stockholder relations . head of are a stockholders to feel that we attempt to oversimplify And from to retire the to company Sharp funds & Dohme, in engaged a similar operation involving as well the head of as for struction a Dividend No. 182 • business . . would our be annual report presentation. large textile company: • • • quarterly of • » A • dividend of fifty cents (50c) per share 011 all the outstanding stock of the Company has been declared payable January 20, 1950 to stockholders of record at the close January 6, OTTO W. 1950. STRAUSS, Treasurer. COMPANIA Notice acquisition con¬ or of new of cumulative pre- Pacific Lighting with out 100,000 SITUATIONS Corp. is shares to stockholders closing for effect All who record have dividends advise their office—Room mailed Y. to Nos. 1 and 2 are requested to present address to the company 3505, 120 Broadway, New York Copies of the annual report will holders of bearer certificates on request. Compania with clientele Wide experience and numer¬ Will ous R. contacts. Box Mil, Com¬ permit or Street new MORRELL dividend and CO. NO. 82 of Twelve One-Half Cents ($0,125) per share on the capital stock of John Morrell & Co. trader contacts. will be paid stockholders fair 1950, position plus 65% commission basis. Box D 1229, Commercial mercial & Financial Chron¬ & DIVIDEND take to man Salitrera Anglo-Chilena GRAHAM, President. due of as January 30, 1950, to of record shown on January 12, the hooks of the Company. Ottumwa, Iowa. George A. Morrell, Vice Pres. & Treat. & Financial icle, 25 York Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8. 8, N. Y. Park Place, New "Annual reports good." LIQUIDATION NOTICES First The ocated Bank of OTIS Winsted. ELEVATOR at lecticut, TRADER-SALESMAN National Winsted, in the State of Conis closing its affairs. All creditors the association are therefore hereby to present claims for payment to •,h£ undersigned at said bank. COMPANY jf lotified The Adult-Nursery Dual-Report Compromise The compromise has been Thoroughly suggested, and is being tried, of hav- two kinds of report per company—one for the adults and one nursery—through either two sections of a single report or g the r o separate mailed roportion on of reports. In request after requests for cases where distribution the of the former has full the been "technical" simple report the small, report, remarkably event, while it is the best stop-gap available, the dual-report chnique, like the single qualitative ("baloney") report, caters to nd takes advantage of the stockholder foibles. a any experienced in CLARENCE Listed & Unlisted is looking with firm private for that Securities, Dated opportunity can placements. December 9, The Hurlbut ocated S at National Winsted, in Bank the of Winsted, State of Con¬ necticut, Is closing its affairs. All creditors 1222, Commercial & Financial Chronicle, if association the lotified 25 New York 8. Park Common Dividend No. 169 A dividend of $1.00 per the 1949. Place, he to present are therefore claims for hereby payment to undersigned at said bank. I EDWARD F. McARDLE, Liquidating Agent. Far better would be the confining of the semi-annual and annual eports to concrete factual information about operations; and entirely BUNNELL, no par share on value Common Stock has been declared, payable JanU' handle Box H. Liquidating Agent. •Dated December 9. 1949. of may of Coupon No. 3 through the The Commercial National Bank Company of New York, 46 Wall City 5, N. Y. registered share certificates not received copies of annual reports A desires certificates New York holders of WANTED house December 20th date meeting. share bearer TRADER Unlisted 3 Agent, Trust Street, or of JOHN TRADER AVA'LABLE No. collection Paying and of shareholders Holders be WANTED HELP ANGLO-CHILENA Dividend At the ordinary General Shareholders Meet¬ ing of the company held in Santiago, Chile, on December 29, 1949, it was resolved to comple¬ ment the interim dividend paid in i June 1949 by a further payment of U. S. $0.25 per share City 4, N. of additional markets, SALITRERA (Anglo-Chilean Nitrate Corporation) warehouses, etc. 171,815 shares was ave gone from one extreme (too little information) to the other illustrated company history and too detailed information). I suspect me are designed to win 'Oscars'! Let's get back to a happy edium which can become a pattern that could be followed in bad ears issues and will provide be used existing stock. Meanwhile, large publishing company said: "After we SUPERHEATER, INC. con- sampling insulting their intelliAs result, we put out an informative, dignified report which, we have ason to believe, gets excellent readership." ur ence to for -yned they should be effected through the quarterly report which ust be very brief and printed in rather large type incidentally, -e seldom issue one of these quarterly reports without dozens of mments 'Here's something we can read and understand and not zzed up with a lot of charts and pictures.'" The ceeds annual presentation Secretary. COMBUSTION ENGINEERING- Another comprehensive multi-colored reports replete with be Checks will be mailed. open. tion chiefly in the mid-west. Inc., large with record at January 19, 1950. Transfer HORACE the mail-order catalogues. quarterly dividend a EDMUND HOFFMAN, this Chicago utility will COMPANY to Stockholders of the close of business .i-. ment of the whole issue by matur operation, but one in ity. which an exchange offer gave hich showed that only 56% of the respondents were sufficiently Other Issues Same Day forested in the operating review section of the report, and 61% in existing holders prior rights was that involving 211,380 shares Unless the schedule of changes e financial review, to read them; while 80% said they like the three new cumulative preferred stock of other smaller issues are uteres and want' them continued (The photographs in "Fortune" Northern Indiana Public Service slated for marketing on the same ayazine being a more expensive treat). Co. day. Food Fair Stores, Inc., tops it must be realized however, that the foible is being validated list with an $8,000,000 of Present preferred holders were this nihily high places. For example, in its Annual Reports Contest the sinking fund debentures. a share-for-share ex¬ Tft&ncial World" give weighting of 40% to the makeup components offered This negotiated deal will pro¬ change, with underwriters stand¬ pictures, charts and typography. ing by to take any unexchanged vide for retirement of two Signs of Consumer Resistance stock for public offering* pro¬ smaller The existence of the anti-statistics foible is confirmed by a survey de¬ was sources. STOCK 27, 1949 books will remain in be oner-*-v. of December February 15, 1950 at the proceeds from this flotation to cumulative par in pro¬ of seventy-five cents per share was declared on the Common Stock of this Company, payable investment banking delegations field with that are sizable finance construction and additions $1 bonds than money first AMERICAN Line con¬ A via should the ended war CAN vertible preference stock of the to the it was DIVIDEND NOTICES indications, and unless negotiated undertaking the week's included class Divided Responsibility for the Babying 'attributed This ers Row much 1949 outstanding issue. Commonwealth bhir*"'relations literature would be satisfactory in the reports going market, but there was every indi¬ the shareholders—as a not-too-serious addendum. But cation that the big guns would the But COMMON rtctly to <der that since $700,000,000 some 1948. bor¬ $1,203,224,- shares new by the Stock creeping before it starts walking accessible and in the new year. The current $49,000,000 of new sinking func debentures, due up for bids next see a reprehensible to the non-professional investor—which they are not week was scheduled to of stock issues reach Tuesday. they, could be relied on for the financial information, and the handful a-hanges in with the corporation using proceeds of such shares to retire¬ ment issue new destined that whole a veloped from equity From all the If Securities year, stock from the simplicity-bottle! single document l a the of financial infants group a as duced to holders $3.50 in Here, too, underwriters stooc by to take up any unexchanged Report ly of the Little Woman." Su offered existing be fairly a bankers total of about 464 for each four old shares. Reporter's fuge of the Canadian male—the good, dry annual report—is rapidly coming a thing of the past," recently opined the Montreal "Daily ar." "Like everything else, the annual report is becoming the prop- U be on Our blic generally, is Again, to the such will suggest for utilities rowed year of the with and of naturally which is in every sense of the word a public document. That the nual report is recognized by management as an important channel forecast. portion direction. be effective! Securities and on a money that current sought via the investment market mation admittedly leaves many intangibles unsolved in invest ment-appraisal, the objective factual data compose the indispensable of the Commission busy period distributed separately at different times. While even the most meticulously-composed for substantial new $3.9 expansion plant, with ap¬ to slated are to $750,000,000 quarter, based A close for year additions xchange utilities spend this proximately From the communal viewpoint, this accentuates unbal¬ Irrespective electric to amount shareholder, in diverting his elements contributing to investment genuine series A first new Financing Ahead and expected and But pany Gas ay communication 47 mortgage bonds. fault of sugar-coating of reports distributed shareholders. economy. reporting state purpose. * Conclusions The disadvantages the painlessly easing shareholders into the serious elements of present si: nature. Economy entailed in sugar-coating stopgap technique. By these standards, placing a mium on expensive lithography and color, competitive advantage creating investor acceptability is given to the large companies, t only does their wealth, but the greater number of stockholders 'ucing the cost-per-unit, accentuate this. This further aggravates r evergrowing blue chip-itis, from which our markets are suf•ing and which, in displacing investment geared to appraisal of siness value, is another obstacle to the furnishing of really affirmative other several are (99) appropriate for that separate and distinct his investment and his There CHRONICLE * by management, valuable to stockholders than the pretty illustrations. more ored FINANCIAL 40% separately at other times of the year permitting the public relations preferred and Lawrence department or outside agency to send out whatever promotional Gas & Electric Co. will open bids Observations •omplished & COMMERCIAL THE Number 4870 171 lume ary 28, 1950, to stockholders of record at the close of business on January 6, 1950. Checks will be mailed. Bruce H. Wallace, Treasurer New York, December 28, 1949. 48 COMMERCIAL THE (100) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Production Credit Corp., BUSINESS BUZZ the jTjLIwhaL Only 11f » niAT'l.. BftNK wf fh'ME WASHINGTON, D. C.—Among legislative JL IrM> It appear. avoided observers possibly could if be disposition to advise industries subject to wartime ex¬ demand was cise tax to temper their optimism that these taxes will be this year, despite the appar¬ ent rush of Congress and the Ad¬ $500 million deficit •cut probably Some will be made, perhaps not as widely reports would indicate. ex¬ handed. as but press cise tax rate which is entitled to for the war-time a looking abolition. or tive politically popular subject. the other hand, translating this popularity into action—final & On jects itself. The more re¬ conservatives, count¬ ing many of the advocates of excise t&x reduction, will, when the final throw comes, be pretty to worsen to already an it for up lowered / excises, particularly in un election year, and might even ehove it through the Senate as a rider to the oleo tax repealer. sober second will thought when they try to get around figuring where out to the fill in -excise tax revenue. This will lead to the advocacy of all kinds of fiscal tricks, from proposing taxes that will not raise much revenue down to reviving the old scheme of Rep. Mills to require occasioned corporations to by the drop all their in¬ pay liability in six months, to avoid a deficit or nearly avoid tax come & deficit in just one fiscal year. Almost any substitute source In no Administration, fruited every tax regularly as a cat kittens, has been constantly adding to the objects of excise taxation. Many people think that the 3 per cent freight transporta¬ tion tax, for instance, is a "war rate," but it actually was enacted early in the defense program. Hence industries many taxes they there tax levied were war, furs, should the on the cut, that since during luggage, stiff toilet commu¬ handed objects of excise taxation, has offsetting liabilities approaching if not greater than the benefits to be gained by certain war¬ time excise tax rate reduction. tax reduction is strictly limited, in However, the fiscal morals Capitol Hill shabbier election an are of the boys on always little a non-election in than year, and it is possible they will hit on something that superfi¬ cially sounds good, and will clear years, en tax excise bill reduction for the President. This leads right into the hig¬ hest obstacle of all, the possibil¬ ity of a Presidential veto IF compensating tax boosts are not enacted. It must be borne in mind that the President wants to be on the popular side of fa¬ it is in * of some and has indicated to lend more. no who one for could the excise big very will session taxes offers the world for most fight of the new be of economy spending and high taxes. President, while fighting versus The to the death tailment ing of programs counts for in the a against any the elections, the the Re¬ entire Con¬ for tihe necessary, big not unbalanced bud¬ An excise tax redaction without compensating or offset¬ It fied. veto of is not beyortd the possibility, it would vitreous be in its that useful. adapta¬ the be sale continued, and the be diversi¬ operations other is not sold, to it RFC, watch is may be expected in future to foreclose on the near which is in arrears in to the government company, its payment agency. made to sentiment to get all by for RFC, has of the RFC's loans to the prefab manufacturer. RFC may be ex¬ to in come The first $15 million, pecuiiaar for more which loan, then empowered the existing to finally had to make White when the make House loan pressure applied. duction around Feb. tirely new resume pro¬ of its "en¬ 1 car" after a shutdown since Oct. 21, which has prevailed it is predicted. The "entirely car" will be the new new line of Kais¬ the financing of which was granted by RFC, $34.4 million for working capital and tools and equipment, and $10 million for wholesaling. The new Kaiser ers, light car, into production however, will not come after the regular for three credit to dozen associa¬ loose cut government capital, they don't have to. 1933 and regional tahzed 1934 the Farm all-government-capi- Production whose porations Credit job some time line, which will Lewis D. Gilbert Cor¬ to was capitalize farmer "cooperative" production credit associations meetings, and supervise them after they The capitalized government these farmer-borrowers—who get their loanable money from an¬ other group of government insti¬ tutions, the Federal Intermediate Credit banks—to give them oper¬ ating capital. In all they got some $90 million of Federal capital, of which, 16 years later, they still a $23.5 million. get on Company" at the School for Social Research, 66 West Twelfth Street, on Thurs¬ day, Jan. 5 at 5:20 p.m. Mr. Gil¬ bert is guest lecturer in the series, "The Investors Today" given by A. Wilfred May, economist and Executive Editor of the "Commer¬ Financial Chronicle." cial and Cement Stocks: loan through "must" invest a farmer speak Personal Contact Between Stocks- New launched. were will "Direct holders and the To will that decided their cars. .He Credit Administration set up 12 SH Sis auto news have In held * Kaiser small companies' convertible four-door * production because a Wilson Wy- RFC as some made under was statute "direct" was IS from this on of att. one-time Housing Expediter, to It Texas money critical turned now well as * Congressional senti¬ going, loan. models, kind of hous¬ any their grow!" include two-door and risking federal more almost ment Lustron was and more ing it tions Whereas, when the first loan was a PCA in the Riverside Cement PCA's capital, a sum equal to 5% of his loan therefrom. However, Spokane Portland Cement the farmer-borrower doesn't have Oregon Portland Cement to put up capital, but the cold cash for the add it to the loan, so that if he actually wants a loan of $100, he borrows $105, $5 of which goes into the PCA capital. Then after he repays the $105 loan, he may get back the $5 capi¬ tal (unless PCA capital were im¬ paired). To can Coplay Cement Mfg. Glens Falls Portland Cement LERNER & CO. Investment 10 Post Office Securities Squire, Boston 9, Mass. Telephone HCbbard 2-1990 get the money to repay the Teletype BS 69 fab house and also a FOREIGN SECURITIES the Carl president There sale, a require is NEW however, reaching G. of little of would a deal Strandlund, the the corporation. present optimism that Strandlund will deal with prospective, All Issues 5 70 FOREIGN SECURITIES cor- Office* STREET Trading Department SPECIALISTS. 120 50 Broad Street New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO. Inc. CHICAGO hand, if the WALL Tel. WHitehall 4-4540 re¬ identity has not been made Executive & Underwriting r.ARL marks & r.o- me. purchasers, public. On the other YORK new products. Such Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Firm Trading Markets pre¬ other Teletype—NY 1-971 IIAnover 2-0050 words, the plant would continue to make trump than excise tax reduction, a a would possible In whose realm the of proxy, at production of the Lustron house ported co which confined is tax boosts would provide President with a higher ting the in by could be made on a basis where with get. the bility to enameling panels for the prefabricated Lustron home. might must attempt to blame resulting is in modern steel, and the equip¬ versatility. It for making any kind surface enamel plant's he pcration here anticipated, facilities utmost product which upon Democratic victory or is of the spend¬ Congressional publicans, gress, if cur¬ its putting vitreous enamel be used can It passes, use enameling of steel, [fc is asserted that the equipment in the plant—the plant itself being a War Assets property— of over "I'm "minority t4Lt\ loans to prefab producers. RFC vitreous bis total fiscal stand. ment determination thing which could happen, it was reported, is the possible sale of the Lustron plant to some of excite¬ a One ment of tt. • ♦ in which RFC has $37 million in loans, Lustron, sunk voring or not opposing excise tax cuts, but at the same time lie has a far greater stake in flurry * •• Congressional critiicism on the sentation, pected Something will be doing, per¬ haps within a few weeks, in the way of a move to settle the future coatings After of falling from danger overweight. today. widely known stock¬ No. 1" through his repre¬ stockholders '-kZ-w <> f4" in 1944. It will be difficult to limit at relationship America's holder prepara¬ effective boosts a jewelry, as tions, light bulbs, and nications, which were such up receive to same the right he line are their the eligible and desirable bene¬ a as has going to think discuss Lewis D. Gilbert, new a Management New School which with year ficiaries, and unless the excise as Will almost bill on Versus Stockholders "war subjects of taxation just tax boosts. The new were Roosevelt these were case higher such revenue, Gilbert passenger transpor¬ corporation income tax, or other ©f the "Chronicle's" own views.) prep¬ tation. They the boys will whoop cations, and rates" outlook. At first, of course, Jbe* inclined holes taxes whiskey, wine, beer, electric light bulbs, telephone, telegraph, and radio communi¬ position The additional dues, fur, luggage, toilet budgetary (This column is intended to re¬ flect the "behind the scene" inter¬ pretation from the nation's Capital and may or may not coincide with admissions, cabarets, club these crimp arations, sponsible come of were mighty durable One of these is the budgetary hesitant tough and seriously the FCA system. get posed to be temporary. The ob¬ barriers. general expenses of gov¬ might ernment. In time Congress April 1, 1944, which Con¬ gress itself in the law styled, "war rates, and which were sup¬ action which will become law—is various FCA's ex¬ the excises has been proved to be l?ad but ! all has , covetously toward pools of gov¬ ernment capital, swiping back a little here and a little there just what is over Technically, there i§ a group of increases, all enacted effec¬ some Congress . , forgotten about FCA, and both it and the Treasury have been peanuts. doubt, however, that reducing wartime rates on some of with this on encouraging the PCA's to In Another great obstacle is the possibility of a log-rolling match There is no beset earnings,j get out of debt to the government, however, the Farm Credit Administration is being fore¬ added to the or so of out earnings reduction ministration to favor them. .cuts is for great so been, have capital so including government capital. reduction that another boosts tax do to even ACCOUNT him¬ President the cise a in government self concluded that the political is that, the PCC, or government few of the 116 associations, all have paid off their a which WATCH youfi there upori| leaving voluntarily to repay /fl f) /f able seasoned however^ rely to $5 capital in the PCA, giving the, PCA capital funds which it uses Washington... from the Nation's Capital had has PCA farmers Behind-the-Scene Interpretations 5, 195Q Thursday, January —— BROADWAY Tel. REctor 2-2020