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I. ADM IBRARY ESTABLISHED 1S39 New Number 4776 169 Volume Need Constitutional Check out Tax Power on Stagg Joseph Lawrence points portion of population of government Asserting inflation, always and everywhere, pay¬ of money professional and businessmen's group at the University of Cincinnati on Feb. 4, a Vice-President and tures to Empire Trust Company, New York City, called for radical changes in today's concept of taxation, includ¬ ing t consti- a t i u n o 1 a endment a m sotckholders and public. not business The has that title a few ago, years business as men a United States the has with Jos. Stagg Lawrence reduction. With Government Federal de¬ and tax middle and upper the increase an for income groups, "very high continuous level of (Continued on page 38) Insert for Minneapolis Chicago, and St. Louis. prices the goods each of These inflation, usu¬ Henry Hazlitt ally rise fast¬ than er particularly than faster costs, wages. Profit margins grow wider, or at Least to seem grow wider. Orders Firms begin to work at As this capacity. costs overhead happens, rela¬ seem tively to go lower. With plants working at full capacity, and with the backlog and of unfilled of fears begin shortages (Continued orders shortages mounting, constantly nation stems from the minds and Truly enough, material things are necessary to The great basic strength of any hearts of its people. implement the purposes of man, but the purposes the power .. . . EDITORIAL would the As :We on page Sixth address by Mr. National See It fffl to 28) Hazlitt at Conference of President and his New Deal advisers ever If the assurance they felt gave during the past two' or three months will presently blossom forth into "another.1920'* or prove more like several other strictly limited recessions which have touched us since the end of hostilities. We do venture to assert that if a real proportions is in the cards, it is becoming daily there is no program in Washington which is likely to do very much toward changing the course of events materially or for very leng-nexcept to aggravate it. clearer that A number of the the minds and hearts of vario u T or and at bottom of the campaigns Administration of per¬ living sons along the eastern fringes of this coun¬ try, and some¬ thing momen¬ tous were 1 1, February Prices to nation new spirit it was! Dedicated unselfish principles, dis¬ tilled from devotion to an inspir- (Continued on page-26) at the Third National Industry Army Day Dinner, Boston, Mass., Feb. 4, 1949. conducted by the Roosevelt prior to 1941, and conducted in vain, for (Continued Business Public Relations Execu¬ on page 24) State and tives, New York City, Feb. 3, 1949. Municipal Franklin Custodian Bonds % % a high MassachusettsDue mighty sown. What to Benjamin F. FairleM happened. The seeds of a *An address by Mr. Fairless observing in private not they are apparent to officialdom, they are the old, familiar type of change, and word which comes out of Washington is quite rem¬ life, whether small s groups elements of this situation have time been evident to the some ani¬ mated recession of for 1776 deep and a spirit the impression of feeling last au¬ tumn they must by this time be developing considerable doubt. We do not undertake to say whether the hesitation, or whatever one is of a mind to call it, that has developed the in be year compel ling Simple, After All So Not themselves generate which moves to accomplishment. One hundred and seventy<3>three years ago — that . , % f . . iniscent *An City of Lynn, supplies. Pledges steel industry to full effort to meet needs and peace, and calls for continued collaboration of country in war is "Inflation: today as prices, in the early stages of unit Pictorial all of sell. full See talk and points to need of additional ore, scrap, coke and transpor¬ see the m has to increase. pictures taken during the NSTA Tri-City Parties in my infla¬ that manding restoration of the excess profits to war, tation with armed forces. fight inflation. inflation for the now" early stag¬ of higher by b stantial Concludes only government and Says steel industry has been greatly expanded since of scarcity. on es first fol¬ s.u favor the an out, tax look to tion. They imme¬ diately and industry does not follow philosophy executive maintains American — Dr. been lowed cause, Stressing importance of freedom with opportunity as leading to ait industrial mechanism that serves nation's requirements, U. S. Steel al-<r been in¬ clined Lawrence pointed can given have ways except last, been men Every major involving inflation If such a title had been given to a talk it would probably have been regarded by most deliberate attempt at paradox. For most busines; tax tide. the as totalitarian and Enemy of Free Enterprise." limiting the rising income war regimented or public relations executives to present clearer accounting pic¬ urges the of fixing price in nor Refutes theory of excessive profits economy. Joseph Stagg Lawrence, econ¬ omist over-issuance means and credit, Mr. Hazlitt holds its remedy is not in more production Dr. Copy President, United States Steel Corporation Contributing Editor of "Newsweek" ments. Speaking before a FAIRLESS* By BENJAMIN F. By HENRY HAZLITT* carry¬ and needs protection from receivers Cents Free Enterprise-Source Inflation: Enemy Of Our Greatness Of Free Enterprise ing tax burden has lost political power Price 30 York, N. Y., Thursday, February 10, 1949 1952-69 Funds, yield Bonds .nc. A Mutual Fund .95% to 1.80% COMMON STOCK FUND (Wncrt, as-and if issued l PREFERRED STOCK FUND Bond Department BOND FUND White,Weld&Co. Members New York Stock Exchange UTILITIES FUND . THE NATIONAL CITY BANK INCOME (BALANCED) FUND Philadelphia Providence Amsterdam Buenos Aires FRANKLIN DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. 64 Wall Street, New Bond Dept. EUROPEAN of INDIA, LIMITED to Government the Office: and in India, and Subscribed Paid-Up Reserve Ceylon, Burma, Colony, Kericho. (External & Capital Fund-— conducts £4,000,000 -£2,500,000 description banking and exchange business Bank OTIS & CO. -£2,000,000 every Trusteeships and Executorships also undertaken OF Toronto THE Established UTILITIES Prospectus and analysis Available CLEVELAND New York Cincinnati Dommioh Denver Columbus Toledo Buffalo ■ York Stock Exchange 40 120 Broadway, New York Chicago > Telephone RECtor 2-7340 Securities Grporatiojt Est. 1896 Members New COMMON Invited sutr0 bros. & co. 1899 (Incorporated) of CITY OF NEW YORK MISSOURI Internal) Corporate Securities Zanzibar Capital-.: Inquiries Kenya Kenya, and Aden Montreal bonds & st FOREIGN SECURITIES Distributors of Municipal and Branches NATIONAL BANK 1-395 and other Underwriters Bishopsgate, London, E. C. 26, CHASE Connect Wires CANADIAN in Kenya Colony and Uganda Head New York THE HAnover 2-0980 York 5 NATIONAL BANK Bankers Teletype: NY 1-708 . Teletype NY Private Chicago London The Bell Wall Street, New York 5 Boiton , 52 WILLIAM ST., N. Y. 5 OF NEW YORK Prospectus on request 40 HART SMITH & CO. * - , - ! f. 111 Exchange Place, New York 5, N.Y. WOrth System Teletype NY 1-702-3 New York Stock and other Principal . 5 Bell request IRA HAUPT & CO. Members , j upon \ i\- I j Broadway, N. Y. 6 4-6000 Boston Exchange Exchangee Teletype NY 1*2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1S20 2 (654) THE COMMERCIAL Trusts American Light & Traction W. D. /. Railways, Rights BOUGHT SOLD — Market New York Hanseatic Corporation BArclay 7-5660 Teletype NY 1-583 rails ored ferrous and 120 Stock Curb met¬ REctor tobaccos. the The Exchange Exchange 2-7815 Standard Gas & Elec. Com. Central States Elec. Com. United States Television Copper Canyon Mining Deep Mines Kinney Coastal Oil OIL STOCKS chips Other blue also in in Members Nat'i Ass'n of Securities Dealers, Inc. William St., N. Y. C. 5, N. Y. Montgomery St., Jersey City 2, N. J. Tel. DIgby 4-2190 Tele.: NY 1-1055 well Stock Bought and Sold and Sears. policy of caution being maintained by the trust managers as they build up very ample cash reserves. Since a ma¬ jority of the balanced open-end funds were already in a conserva¬ tive position at the early part of the quarter under review, they enabled were selves side to slightly of the the on market them¬ purchase during weakness. to the table ence extend between the Refer¬ showing the bal¬ cash indicates invest¬ and that after even making these purchases eleven of the balanced trust group held less than 65%-of their net assets in stocks common The two and largest and equivalents. balanced funds, and Wellington, 53.4% respective¬ '% ^ ' But. the majority of the com¬ mon stock open-end funds were not so comfortably protected at the beginning of the last quarter on balance, building up their cash reserves. Considering the extra Bought and Sold distributions that several man¬ agements paid out to stockholders ™I BANKERS BOND ^ LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY 2, Long Distance 238-9 in December, it is certainly worthy of note that the 27 stock funds increased their net cash Incorporated Floor, Kentucky Home Life Bldg. Bell Tele. LS 186 iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiimiiiiimimiiiiiiiiimir Trading Markets portfolios under Loomis-Sayles management, because this firm of cellent 1937. Moore-Handley Hdwe. Co. job of did an protecting both in their and 1929 government bonds to assets of the creased Fund during in-, the year: —★— Dec. Scott, Horner & Mason, Inc. Tele. LY 83 LD 33 JIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIL 31, 1947 31, 1948_ — Several of the closed-end have unusually equivalents./ At the year National of of has to his of the Shares Corpora¬ tion was 25 x/z % liquid, the Leh¬ man Corporation 211/2%, and International and Gen¬ eral American Investors each held understandable, terest was metals sanguine elements noted previously in this review for the third-quarter. The first unfavor¬ been new "a in . for . non- in real in¬ in coppers and the non-ferrous when stocks was of the "at is the market for commitments trusts made by Homestake and were in boom which set in during the winter of 1945-1946 has now run three years, about as long have as most trusts and European relief." Jonathan B. Lovelace, Presi¬ Investment Company America, in his report to dent of of the stockholders dated two weeks ago, makes some interesting observa¬ tions which supplement the Axe report. "While being tional totals (for in the in 1948) a number of industries had problems of weakening demands during most of the As year. we the new year, automobiles are about the only important indus¬ tries in which shortages exist; and it appears likely that these indus¬ tries will pass from a seller's to buyer's market during the a cur¬ rent year. the decline in gen¬ eral business volume in 1949 should be of moderate . . . propor¬ tions, unless deflationary a tax commitments added were block of 9,200 others of un¬ America six and others and the the six which commitments of to portfolios, was a no sales. one Two Members New York .Stock York New York Chicago We * Exchange Cotton Commodity Board of New Orleans Cotton And other / Maintain CANADIAN Exchange Exchange, American Markets For: Wire System between New York and Los INDUSTRIALS also made in shares were American Metal Co. and in Climax Molybdenum. Phelps Dodge exceeded purchases, s i x managements lightening commitments while only four added to portfolio holdings. same Sales American La France Bausch and Lomb Dayton Malleable Iron Haskellte Manufacturing Hydraulic Press Manufacturing Stromberg-Carlson Co. f H. M. *— — Byllesby & Company PHILADELPHIA OFFICE Stock Exchange Bldg., Phila. 2 Telephone Teletype RIttenhouse 6-3717 PH 73 NORTHWEST MINING SECURITIES For Immediate Execution of Orders Quotes call TWX Sp-43 on Floor of Exchange from 10:45 to 11:30 A.M., Pac. Std. Time: Sp-82 at other hours. STANDARD SECURITIES CORPORATION Members Standard Stock of of Brokers Peyton Exchange Spokane Dealers - - Underwriters Building, Spokane Branches at Kellogg, Idaho and Yakima, Wn. . Fresh Commitments in Steel Buying of the steel stocks was highlighted by four trusts in the Seligman group which made entirely new commitments in an industry in which they had pre¬ viously had no interest. Tri-Con« BUY U. S. SAVINGS BONDS tinental invested three-quarters of million dollars, Selected Indus¬ a tries one-half Street million, one-quarter Broad million and Capital Administration $100,000 in one or several of the major com¬ panies. Tri- and Selected made commitments in U. S. Steel, Beth¬ lehem, National (Continued 99 CANADIAN MINING and on page Royal Bank of Scotland Incorporated by Royal Charter 1727 Republic. 34) WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. CANADIAN Trade OILS HEAD OFFICE-—Edinburgh LONDON 3 8 West 49 OFFICES: Bishopsgate, E. C. 2 / Smithfield, E. C. 1 Charing Cross, S. IV. I Burlington Gardens, W. 1 Exchange 64 New Bond Street, BRITISH SECURITIES W. 1 SUGAR TOTAL ASSETS N. Y. Cotton NEW Exchange Bldg. YORK 4, N. Y. Raw—Refined—Liquid CHICAGO DETROIT GENEVA, PITTSBURGH 115 BROADWAY SWITZERLAND £153,656,759 Goodbody & Co. Members N. Y. Stock Telephone BArclay 7-0100 Exports—Im ports—Futures Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges Associated NEW YORK 6, N. Y. Teletype NY 1-672 Angelet new LAMB0RN & CO., Inc. Inc. Exchanges Broadway New York 5 Branches throughout Scotland Exchange Curb 120 BArclay 7-783=! pur¬ H. Hentz & Co. New Private Philadelphia, or hold¬ new Newmont Mining was liked; there were three chases na¬ business four Aluminum of adding to blocks already held. Thirty-nine thousand five hun¬ dred shares of International Nickel high records new recorded St. Philadelphia 2 PEnnypacker 5-5976 outstanding in popular¬ two managements making ity, ing. armament York Stock Exchange Principal Exchanges Other also new well plentiful credit potential and the "high level of expenditures for total a although loaded. was favorable items a purchased shares, major business recoveries in the past." As an offset to the un¬ Mrs. Axe notes and ////%':/ Dome Mines..; high ness Members New : 1420 Walnut are hedges against an eco¬ readjustment." Four other several .... the postwar busi¬ Request oil suitable In addition to these four unfavor¬ able points, account must be taken of the fact that on BUCKLEY BROTHERS high level in the a Kennecott Copper was acquired materials, b,y more managements than any other security in this group. Nine persistently inventories offices NOTES Memo its nomic . factor value branch our Wisconsin port that "gold mining stocks strong-since the fall of 1946, have recently reacted. The fourth unfavorable to CORAL GABLES port¬ that durable goods raw dollar wires ;.v TAX PARTICIPATION holdings of the solid com¬ modity. It notes in the annual re¬ the failure of the . Mobile, Ala. Direct first-half of the year" and added favorable . NY 1-1557 La.-Blrmingliamy Ali. detailed but company, gold" to building. The second un¬ development has been hope of tax re¬ duction. This is likely to curtail manufacturing plant expansions, reinforcing the decline in general building activity. The third un¬ favorable development is the fact . Exchange Investment, however, sold "liquid rather orders snown One group. more has HAnovar 2-0700 com¬ one's conditions other decline Stock watch might be developing during the in the business picture emphasized as contrasted with substantial the ferrous metals. A modest commit¬ ment in gold mining stocks year enter per¬ protecting under able factors cause the current price/level is last able York St.f New York 4, N. Y. New Orleans. very preference (at this time) for Ruth Axe's comments to stockholders in mid-January are interesting because four unfavor¬ the present above, it is a little difficult for the writer to appreciate managements' Houghton are Members New 25 Broad competitive, points are sub¬ than in prewar executives in folio annual stockholders. more distrust of word as among manufactured products and steel in the basic materials funds trust If neatly so Steiner, Rouse & Co . . modity caution recent However, convincing arguments for follow¬ ing a cautious investment policy. the 22.5% large end in was ." Of course, the auto backlog may vanish very quickly and manufacturers do not rely too heavily upon it today. But, even so, these two statements out¬ 27.5% centages of net assets in cash and American 1856 16.0% Sep. 30, 1948— Dec. also Lynchburg, Va. Bought—Sold—Quoted order unem¬ some "continued manager it report were Mutual follows as trust one phrased ex¬ The percentage of cash and Loomis-Sayles Dan River Mills Established counselors shareholders American Furniture Co. re¬ during the period by 50%. Among this group of investment companies, • particular interest centers on major shifts in the serves investment are whose prices had been and many sold portfolio securities Standard Oil Ky. Louisiana Securities : sharp break-even years. obvious increased ' be stantially higher po- when slump commodity prices and of could since Caution the for reasons continuous ly thus invested. 1st buying enacted. becomes ness assets. during the period of transition" Ward gomery A Henry A. Long as Investors Mutual Ashland Oil & Refining Co. Alabama & declines in profits in many industries as busi¬ clarified. For ployment, what Mont- as had 61.8% Common there held $153 stocks is program trusts economic more than certain indications conspicuous ments STEIN & COMPANY 27 and Reasons in¬ were ance 1 60 net mean common business Elec¬ post-election AND of total look becomes can demand TRADING MARKETS IN MINING The survey It represents no is Goldfield 14% teritial for General BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 Tel. this gov¬ companies and Members York iaverage, als, steels and tric York in in million in liquid reserves on Dec. 31 of last year. This equals on an fav¬ dividual New cash. ernments and non- , of their net assets covered pur¬ two large New 20.7% sements, the selling <$>_ ' pro- chasers McDonnell &fo. %/'•%' company managers during the final • quarter of 1948 the September psriod. Although sales were 60% greater than previous quarter, they were equalled by buying transactions. The nounced in while —★— c ... up considerably over those in the a m u SCRIP By HENRY ANSBACHER LONG activity of investment picked very 120 Broadway, New York 5 Thursday, February 10, 1949 t QUOTED — CHRONICLE Providing Large Market Cushion ,/% / FINANCIAL Sixty leading funds at year-end held $153 million cash. Over-all sales balanced purchases during last quarter, enabling open-end stock funds to increase their cash reserves by 50%. Non-ferrous metals, steels and tobaccos generally favored, as rails lost short-lived popularity and Were sold with amusement shares. Despite some liquidation, oils are still liberally held. United Light & /v„, & Glyn DIgby 4-2727 Williams Mills Banks: & Co. Deacon's Bank, Ltd. Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL How INDEX Articles and News Free Enemy of Free Enterprise—Henry Hazlitt.. NASD activities ....Cover Trusts Providing Larg6 Market Cushion—Henry A.• Long/.* .■/,h;;•> Facts of Life in Present Capital Market—Edward B. Hall Why Should the Average Person Own Stocks? the "New Market" for securities) Return to Increased Gold 4 on of f Employment and to 4 5 registration of salesmen. Warnings of —Wilbert Ward Metal 7 large and small business. Complaints of poor business legion so that even in sedate and conservative circles, a version to door bell ringing is being advocated. 8 Productivity—Roger W. Babson 9 Government's Obligations to Business—Hon. Charles Sawyer For 10 Disrupting Our Foreign and Domestic Trade?—A. M. Strong. 13 Basic Aims of Republican Party—17on. Thomas E. Dewey 14 Congress and Problems of Small Business—Hon. James E.Murray.... 15 What About Railroad Profits?—William J. Faricy 17 Sugar Scene Changing—Ody IJ. Lam born Constitutional Check on Tax Let Bond us Stagg (Editorial) Imports National some 17 March 7.. on same or as are Note the approved by the SEC. 21 in the miss we field 22 Opposes Changing Gold Price WALL STREET, ACTIVE Kentucky Utilities Lithium Corp. Securities Petroleum Ht. & Pr. Southern Production may 39 Broadway, N. Y; 6 . 22 Against Creating "Welfare State" 24 Sell Gold at Premium 42 . . or X character of the words "may TRACTION, Common the mark, another will RAILWAYS, Rights, W. I. authorized be never UNITED LIGHT & Net Markets an evidence of good faith, a gesture public interest and in the interest of the securities for the NASD have to viewed the permissive nature Young & Gersten 40 Exchange Place, New York 5 Telephone WHitehall 4-2250 45 "(a) No member shall deal with any nonmember broker dealer except at the same prices, for the same commis¬ sions or fees, and on the same terms and conditions as are Regular Features .Cover Bank and Insurance Stocks.............. i. 14 Business 30 Man's Bookshelf by such member accorded to the general public. "(b) Without no Canadian Securities 18 Coming Events in the Investment Field. Dealer-Broker—Investment Einzig—"Attacks Years From Washington Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargeron— 6 Mutual Funds 20 NSTA Notes 15 Prominent Personalities in Mutual Fund Business—Walter L. Morgan 20 News About Banks and Bankers... 10 •••• Our Reporter allowed selling concession, discount or otjher allowance by such member to a member of a registered se¬ curities association "(2) join and public of 5 not to a member of the or any any group nonmember broker dealer or issue of securities or buy any any part thereof; security from nonmember Public 22 Railroad Securities 17 Securities Salesman's Corner... 23 buy Securities Now in Registration.... . .. The State of Trade and Industry. 36 Washington and You 44 or dealer sell such security, who is a Twice 1 Weekly Drapers' and, COMMERCIAL The . FINANCIAL and c/o Gardens, Edwards Copyright WILLIAM DANA B. Park 25 ••'••• Patent Office S. Place, New York 8, N. REctor 2-9570 to Y. 9576 HERBERT D. SEIBERT, Editor & Publisher WILLIAM WILLIAM DANA D. President SEIBERT, RIGGS, Business Manager 25, 1942, York, N. Y., 8, banking state corporation and Other Chicago city news, Offices: 3, 111. news, (Telephone: We office post the Act at of March \ ■ Union in Canada, Other $25.00 and Monthly $25.00 $35.00 Countries, $42.00 per per Note—On are year. per year: per $38.00 per Salle State St., 0613); made in New INVESTMENT 509 SECURITIES olive; street St.LouisI.Mo* page Members St. Louis Stock Exchange neees- 36) of the York Central Arizona Light & Power Co. COMMON PREFERRED STOCKS postage — extra.) Monthly, postage extra.) fluctuations funds. • Analysis & Prospectus available upon Spencer Trask & Co. Members New York Stock Exchange 25 Broad Street, New York 4 Tel.: HAnover 2-4300 Members New - Boston - Glens Falls Curb Exchange St., Chicago 3 Tel.: Financial 6-2330 * Teletype—NY Albany York 135 S. La Salle in rate of exchange, remittances for for¬ eign subscriptions and advertisements must be to year. Record (Foreign account because they found it on High Grade Public Utility and Industrial the La up year, Record—Monthly, (Foreign Earnings or interested in offerings of S. Publications Quotation year. be, from New Pan-American of may Stix & Co. Dana Dominion bank clearings, S. the ' Other etc.). 135 B. of Bank Every Thursday (general news and ad¬ vertising issue) and every Monday (com-, plete statistical issue — market quotation by William under 1879. case price at securities business." or (Continued Eng- second-class matter Febru¬ at the as same The effect has been Subscription Rates Subscriptions. in United States, U. Possessions, Territories and Members Thursday, February 10, 1949 records, as ary COMPANY, Publishers C., Tele. NY 1-1404 a Company Reentered U. Reg. E. Exchange Place, New York 5 Smith. & 1949 CHRONICLE London, 40 member of the general public not engaged NASD, nevertheless joined Published except at the that nonmembers are deprived to large extent of underwritings, participations and selling concessions. Many, opposed to the very existence of the 5 Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte Says) broker in the investment 40 — or person George Birkins Company or which at the time of such transaction such member would Utility Securities description. any 26 Governments... our in 42 on jnr contemplating the distribution to Prospective Security Offerings a * allowed "(3) sell any security to or 42 Send WHitehall 4-8957 with syndicate any 50% on the yield about 10% to any general public; the Observations—A. W ilfred May Reporter's Report dealer 37 . 1st Mortgage Bonds dollar 8 11 % Available around "(1) in any transaction with any nonmember broker dealer, allow or grant to such nonmember broker or or Recommendations. Indications of Business Activity Our member shall Interest victor fuel co. 5 limiting the generality of the foregoing, of Payments 1 42 British Austerity"... on DIgby 4-2370 * Teletype NY 1-1942 Instead, it chose to regard the statute as mandatory and through the medium of Its Rules of Fair Practice, Section 25, to supply the following elaborate implementation: 22 Increase Commissions Effective Feb. 14.. (Editorial); YORK MARKETS or As We See It NEW Telephone: WHitehall 4-6551 of this provision and to have let it alone. 22 Exchange Announces Changes in By-Laws to 99 bulging, and was able to It would have been Urges Action for Less Government Spending C. W. de Kiewiet Warns of Now, then, the NASD is the only registered securities organized pursuant to the Maloney Act, and un¬ or World Fund Permits South Africa day on sleep peacefully. provide." 19 .; Northern Trust Co. of Chicago Analyzes Effects of Declining Treasury Cash Surplus . to that he dumped office, walked away billfold AMERICAN LIGHT & less Exchange from Finally our re¬ except at the same prices, fees, and on the same terms by such member accorded to the permissive 19 New York Stock his SIEGEL & CO. dealer For New York Curb at with of these. commissions Wealth Still Backbone of Our Country, Says Ford R. Weber New York Board of Trade them member thereof shall deal with any non- no association Edward J. Proffitt Association registered securities association a 18 >'••• Example (Boxed) are general public/' Slackening Demand for Rent Controls of and conditions Philadelphia-Baltimore Exchanges to for the 15 16 New Homes on member broker Co., Cites Leading Role Played Merge Operations the center provide that 13 Bankers Trust Co. Holds Further Credit Restraints Not Needed to and The rules 3 by Local Financing in Louisville's Industrial Growth....... Morton Bodfish and Ilomer Hoyt Attribute worrying about his obsolete . The Maloney Act, the natal bed of the NASD, says: Cover Charles C. King, of Bankers . "Sec. 15A. (i) (1) Power, Says Joseph Lawrence Alf M. London Warns Truman of Excessive Oil . Dealers. 19 How Congress Can Help Small and Large Business "HE WALKED BY NIGHT..." this- Commission . Need AND COMPANY deeply disturbing condition there are many causes, most of which in our opinion are ingrained in the administrative activities of the Securities and Exchange 10 Merchandising Your Dollars—Jules Blecher 4'Is ECA Venture 7 , Consuming Industries and Steel Consumption—K. W. Tibbitts.. National industry is suffering an acute case of the Underwritings and sales generally have fallen off. capital is disappearing, adversely affecting both doldrums. Dollar Shortages Trust Investment Problems Ahead—Marcus Nadler NASD. and The securities 6 in control, unfair trials, and Our system of free enterprise threatened. 3 LiCHTtnsTtin " securities. public interest Congress should abolish SEC Production Woollen, Jr Monetary Fund Derelict NASD condemned also for circulation of prying questionnaires, price In the Reserves—Threat (655) of public dissatisfaction. source Maloney Act authorizing such ban. • —Eugene Habas................. CHRONICLE Ban of pecuniary advantages to nonmembers contrary to the interest of investors and large and small business. Calls for immediate deletion of that part i' Inopportune—Fred I.Kent. Bank —Evans (A commentary FINANCIAL Congress Can Help Small and Large Business Page Enterprise—Source of Our Greatness—Benjamin F. Fair less. /.Cover Inflation: The & 1-5 - * Schenectadv - Wo~cocter > request IRA HAUPT & CO. Members New and other 111 Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 Boston York Stock Exchange Principal Exchanges Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 4 (656) COMMERCIAL THE CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Facts of Life in Present Capital Market Thursday, February 10, 1949 Why Should the Average By EDWARD B. HALL* Person Own Stocks? Fresidcnti Harris, Hall & Company, Chicago, -111. Mid-West investment banker analyzes current situation in flotation of new capital issues, and points out decline in use of equities in corporate financing. Holds shortage of equity capital, if continued, may weaken corporate capital structure by excess of debt, though up to present time, this has been pre¬ vented by ploughing back of earnings. Lays causes of equity capital shortage not only to double taxation of dividends, capital gains taxes and high Federal Reserve margin requirements, but also to widespread belief stocks are not safe investments. Holds investment sentiment can be changed, and urges exist°ng shareholders to subscribe to additional stock issues allotted them. A COMMENTARY ON THE "NEW MARKET" FOR SECURITIES By Mr. Habas cites the mutual fund vestment capital market as it looks to a business corporation in need of new capital has not changed its expression very much in the last two and one-half years. The president of a good middle sized company needing a reasonable amount of new capital for sion [ registration is necessary for a vvately capital inquiry he that for money in s [ 15 commission good. investment a [banking firm to act as agent to Hind the institutions that will make from life [the best terms and to drive '■ u r a n c e and,} ; is investment low land 1 on little a •- printing vThese bills .and nobody else. good \ fOF^di^afIpun agreement; gener¬ speaking, from a the rate and other pro¬ plus a modest legal, bill bargain visions, companies ally pri- that All the a at more rate is this | banker "commercial" on this pro| gram v- all that is needed is to 20 years or or loan. placed needed On borrow can No i; with relatively slight expense. ing find ■ ■ Edward j There's quite a range in rates depending Hall 3. — increase on the* agent'sf com¬ the type of money more the on than total loan long-term a about Vs the of cost of 1% the is lowest against long-term Maintains trusts afford dollar depreciation, and otherwise requirements of today's taxation and business structures. Lists meet the rate named in the note. ever, except for a couple of years ago. broad These are very generalizations, but I think will serve the purpose of they showing that the present contrast between the markets for loan cap¬ ital and common ahare unusual arid extreme; perhaps 4 •millions riiore today than a decade ago. I shall not dwell V;, u p.o.n ' t h ^1 abroad eco¬ long extended rise started which nomic reasons nearly tripled living costs by 1920. It is cold comfort to know that why this new w .. nor }' Decline iri Eqpity / Vie\V of. these''conditions,-it nancial tradejournal, reporting week's issue financing in fi¬ ..a 1948 , this in new writing and the expense of selling Preferred stock money will cost to numerous, investors, the whole at least twice these net figures bill of costs may well amount to after taxes is from 1.70 to 2.95%. $6.6 probably much unless trimmed more up than with a strong sinking fund or the privi¬ lege of conversion into common. And when he askes about sell¬ some common stock, he finds that it takes a rather glamorous ing bonds from 7 to 10% or more of the sell¬ went to ing price of the shares. 1947 When faced with these facts of life in the present capital market our President naturally company feels he hasn't much choice. How do these capital market company to sell common shares at conditions compare with other more than four or five times cur¬ times? Here I am going to rely on rent earnings per share. my memory rather than look up In other words, if the money is borrowed there will be no dilu¬ the publicly. official statistics. Common stocks 2G% of¬ most of offered publicly also insurance companies. In that — were course, the percentages different. These very tios Of of stocks current are new not were are the ra¬ only 15 to financing— that have been featured in many and is Morris Associates, Jan. 28. 1949. Chicago, 111., good companies sell at four to the interest rate on corporate bonds, in the neighborhood of 3%, More bank loans stocks, and while retained $10.6 billion. capital, new Thus the in¬ in funded debt of $5 billion mentioned of estimate an industry in 1948; which is anything prewar. in Industrial summing December Securities its report up meeting. widespread necessarily in the at "The answer not ceeded piled up a structure. debt definite a 'no.' sound, but it has not pro¬ far enough to financial is so we The direction of the postwar trend was Phone LD-159 strength weaken the built up in earlier years. "We that • has high years, the question to come dangerously Home Office: Atlanta thing less in¬ something academic, new market. It has been adage in the investment busi¬ for ness some man's prospect man's that years now client. one is merely another With the circle of many rea¬ become has imperative organizations for most investment the are the led period of the conclusion rounding out peak in capital requirements the larger American busi¬ finds ness strongly suspect—and sadly—that the effort to reach outside. the old circle has been ineffectual—at this reason. cial least in part—for Members of the finan¬ community cannot undertake to answer or do not the question. "Why should the average person own securities?" at least in terms which make sense to the average person. The meat of my coconut is now Incidentally, believe I these things, I hope to little to a your funds mutual but contribute knowledge of even to more you—if you need con¬ vincing—that the financial com¬ munity of which you are a part offers what most people need in their personal financial whether they And if I may anplies as planning, realize it or not. be. personal, all this much to you as to your clients. this living costs and living cost trends, yesterday, today and tomorrow. Increase in Living Costs In the past century every adult American has had to contend with living her or cost "Pinch" lifetime. 60 %-70% increase during his Although the in living since 1933 may strike ually as a us costs individ¬ painful and unique ex¬ perience, the fact is that the cost of living doubled and has increased fourfold Living costs just about between beginning to that have pro¬ trend—constantly in¬ money, higher standards others—are of certainly living, to¬ present day. Second, after subsequently, been In each living costs vance, before the major never where to the advance depression of ad¬ returned, they had started. the early 1920's, living costs declined by only 15% (after having doubled in the preceding five years). the took depression the of It early 1930's—a depression which rocked whole social system—to our another 25% bring decrease in If history is any guide, clearly it will make only a little differ¬ whether (a) ence in the latest rise living costs "levels out" in the next year or two (b) whether liv¬ ing costs turn down in this period whether or (c) by before several years they turn down. go The important thing is that there will be no of 10 returning to the price levels 15 years to ago. Individuals Needing More Dollars Consequently, personal financial plans for such goals as the educa¬ tion of children, personal travel, the purchase of a home, the build¬ ing of estate an retirement require now than dollars more or these will fund—all would have been adequate in the 1930's. The worst of the is problem for cures for it cost-of-living the lack of apparent But if there are no it. least there are lessening the financial at cures, causes. I shall means pains not dwell here the most obvious of these— upon conservatism in personal Most of us have probably gone as far as we rea¬ spending habits. sonably can in this direction in 1850 and 1895 1865; another 1 address by Mr. Habas be¬ Society of Secur¬ (Continued ity Analysts, Feb. 9, 1949. York less The any¬ , obvious means for combating inflation is the aggres¬ sive use of personal capital. For the businessman, professional man and earner this means the capital in such a way as to" encourage growth of that capital. For retired persons and others liv¬ use wage of ing on a fixed income, aggressive employment of capital means making that capital produce mores, income. Here is where ing a modern invest¬ institution—the —can *An trend years creasing supplies of way. a the greater At the outset I shall touch upon The this reason main in The forces duced living costs. I this disturbed clients. fore New 27) that suppose about enterprises in sound shape to on page to will be to reach outside the circle for new since 1850. to And there is little century. com¬ an even more from First, living costs have pursued irregular upward path for a minimum tangible, and that is how to more reach the the "With recent business whether • sus¬ learned an tensive search going on for some¬ Com¬ tendency "to finance with debt Private Wires I , mittee of the IBA had this to say BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES munity—there is convince The OF reached in the financial us tained several times BROKERS of those just tures of ■ be to pect that—at least on the part of accompanied by an aggregate increase in capital and surplus of $11.6 billion. I do not have*a re¬ $18 Vz i billion for capital expendi¬ INVESTMENT SECURITIES needs curities. Nadler OF ket" that for most people the best kind of a good security is a mutual fund. In telling you why I think of source Incidentally, these are box-car figures. I mean very large. Dr. DISTRIBUTORS good reasons why the "new mar¬ important . UNDERWRITERS AND for search in ready to be served. I believe that most people should own good se¬ profits, profits figure for 1948, but undoubtedly it was larger than the year before. • ; Exchange and Other Leading Exchanges great billion $1.2 was Members New York Stock the be to history of living cost trends: come. which constituted by far the most were BANKERS Behind sons—it down the crease INVESTMENT eminent hitting the bottle of easy clients narrowing—for borrowing and reeling recklessly ness speeches b y authorities. con- clusiori that due to the scarcity of venture capital, American busi¬ royal road to ruin. thorough students agree tion of the earnings per share on eight times current earnings, that the shortage of equity capital, 'the present common stock if the while I'd say that most of the time if it continues, will be a serious new money can be made to earn during the 40 years I've been in matter, but point out that includ¬ about 3 % after taxes, whereas if La Salle Street it has been the ing a huge amount of retained common stock is sold, the new rule for stocks to sell at 10 to 15 earnings, the cushion, of owners' One reason, of capital will have to earn about times earnings. capital' back of the debts has riot 20% after taxes, or earnings on course, is that less than half cur¬ only not decreased, but has ac¬ the present shares will be diluted. rent earnings are being distrib¬ tually increased substantially in uted in dividends, while distribu¬ And the difference is still wider the postwar period. Dr. Marcus tion of 65 to 70% used to be usual. Nadler at the IB A meeting in De¬ because the loan can be arranged Obviously the dividend yield is cember pointed out that in 1947 still higher than usual, ranging new capital issues were about $5 *An address by Mr. Hall at the Midwest Conference of Robert generally from 6 to 10%, while billion in bonds, notes and term of Eugene J. Habas of papers readjust - However, there are important and more useful lessons dozens to to past "15 years. more been old days," peo¬ need sharp increases .'in costs of living—greater [increases than we have."experienced in the it. recent an and editorials with the essays themselves ing They the faced in reach¬ in billion of which only $950 million, less than 15%, was in the form fered ple documented or vestors arid less than half suc- in "the good even cess have cor¬ of date, of the -lack: of is not .surprising to find "The In¬ Dealers'.,,Digest,7 the upon consequences to ■ In vestment needs .to.be reached, ' ;*• * , -market capital is \ Stocks, however, nearly always have to of preferred and common stocks. 2% to 4%%. Interest is a deduc¬ be registered with the SEC for Incidentally, more than half the tible expense, so with a 38% tax public distribution and to cover bonds and notes in this list were rate, the actual cost of such money this as well as the risk of under¬ sold privately to institutional in¬ property and earnings and all the ' There has been much discussion of late • at least 4%%. was by porate over a terms—I'd say the range is from twice }} v concerning the inability I'd guess the 40-year average on of the financial community to reach the "new market'' for securities —the people of modest but comfortable means, of whom there are industrial issues of fair quality short time expense. I'm really sorry these commissions are so small—seldom mission business, the margin of safety in and : ' advantages compared with competing investment media. "" in¬ creased work¬ will T Co., Inc. & organizations for broader community of clients, and the protection expan¬ and Long serving the twin needs of in¬ as individual for best instrument of investment. The face of the plant EUGENE IIABAS* Vice-President, Hugh W. make a mutual fund. major contribution. The mutual fund provides a prac¬ tical, desirable and prduent (Continued on page means 39) Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (657) 5 Return to Steel '7 KKhV*-!' 1" *' it Production y Electric Output. 7 4 Carloadings By FRED I. KENT* Director, Bankers Trust Company Chairman, Committee on Finance and .7 / * Auto Production an¬ gold standard, tions, with large bank deposits and *$32 billion of redeemable E savings bonds outstanding, a gold convertible monetary system might be disruptive since available gold be may insufficient. Hints at possibility of subversive gold reserve through currency redemption. forces raiding Chairman Mr. the Chamber State and. Gentlemen: January of of meeting York the of Commerce New of the resolution a was passed submitting to the and Finance There question as whether to we should reaf¬ firm the reso¬ passed ' connection gold. tion resolu¬ approved ard and at the time requested that it be put the books immediately. on You may remember that in the of 1933 the dollar was going fall down the and time would the approaching value of gold be changed to $35 which came at the end ounce, January, who were we when 1934. Mr. John an of Schiff, Chairman of the Finance was and Currency Committee, made following statement in his re¬ port to the Chamber in the May, the 1948: by period. 3% " * The continued claims by approximately year ~ ■ those exceeded 67%, While of initial similar the claims 59% sion: • 7 Though unemployment in the first week in January was placed 700,000 workers above that of the like week in December, signs of some easing are in evidence, the Census' Bureau reports. Tht total for that week was 2,650,000 workers. • 7 77 7,'; .7.. For the period total employment declined to 57,500,000 workers, or 2,000,000 lower than in December, states the Bureau in releasing its figures. _/-.•■■ 7"'\~ .7 v ,7 7/: 7,7 /7:; 7; \777 available answers for the of causes the rise in mild'—each of these factors * "I * no severe contraction in most manufacturing in leveling off here and there, and new inquiry coming a monetary system gold standard in every sense of the word, but we only wish to achieve this aim at the proper time." based the on Weather conditions in many-parts of the nation had an should demand that our govern¬ ment go back to the former gold standard now.{.«?? This is ~ 7/77.7 / question that is very important for us to consider. It . is a something that allow we cannot ;to pass by. nor to take for granted, as being a justifiable procedure at ;this moment. However, before we can properly tion as the measure situa¬ of today, we must take into •account conditions as they exist. It is not there is question a no purpose of in theory; bringing theory into the picture just now. It exist is the conditions today that We must we have in the an' indebtedness that to we which consider. United - of $252 manage. Bonds, and of this total, $32 bil¬ lion are in E Bonds. mention E The in Bonds "is because the E Bonds •ably held reason particular are prob- largely by those more who would be inclined to fear pan¬ ics or anything of that sort. Thej $32 on f billion E demand;1 it . Bonds are the holders payable can 1 .7 ! *A (Continued statement def # on by page Dr. 38) Kent at ^meeting of the Chamber of Com'merce of the State of New York, New York City, Feb. 3, 1949. ago. STEEL '* ■" ' *' SCHEDULE AT " OUTPUT RATE FOR ' " is still able Socialism fortnight ago Geoffrey the test of the fact that the British elec¬ a of London, pinned on errors." "correct to , of importantly-attended speech here country's socialist experiment torate "Only democracy provides correction of error. If there be error it will be corrected," is offered in con¬ deliberate opportunities for the in the socialist experiments donation of the nationalization and socialization of the British But this presupposes lion payees of annual government checks). Another democratic come-on, constantly offered by Washington protagonists to prove that the Fair Deal is not Socialist, is citation *. the of people's right to criticize their government. But this is also boasted attribute of Britain's Socialist Government. a us from the Soviets is their not discussing, but their views Crowther. And if of the United on views my on the "What divides matters I have right to discuss them," Norman Thomas our were says been Mr. to be elected President States, abolition of free expression Would be about the last thing he and his said that the transition to Socialism Socialist Party would institute. Even Stalin can temporarily respect parlia¬ mentary procedure, civil liberties and due process of law. Planning . . In his, recent managed breezy to versus Democracy 7-<7;7: off-the-cuff ecqnomic realize that a "controlled" sermon economy President is totali¬ tarian and hence bad, but propounded the thesis that contrastingly "planned" economy is democratic and a part of the American way. Of course, the full life and prosperity-for-all are incontrovertibly pleasing aims, but let not the far-reaching implications of governmen¬ tal economic planning be euphemistically distorted by false analogies with individuals' planning of their business, of their housebuilding, or with city planning. The difference that must be realized is that under planning by the government, the economy—by coercion if necessarya 1 becomes altered in all ways necessary to bring about the LOWER com¬ the possibility of an objective recogni¬ tion of "error" in directing the redistribution of the nation's wealth by the recipients of the "erroneous" largesse (including the 14 mil¬ munity. Truman . FRACTIONALLY specifications drawn up CURRENT WEEK by the central planners. blue-printed Under'"national prosperity budgets" already being prepared by our Washington eco¬ nomic architects; or under levels of employment, wages, and prices field, accord-: as fixed by "the government,7 the free market mu«t be altered ing to "The Iron Age," national metal working weekly,- in its current —yes, regimented— to fit the plan, in lieu of the converse demo¬ summary of the steel trade, In the auto center there was less pres¬ cratic procedure. Just as the planners did not stop short of com¬ sure on steel mill offices with most steel buyers there getting their pletely debauching the monetary system, they will not rest with an full quotas. Some buyers were being offered hand-mill products academic "study" of the need for government entry into the steelat less than former "premium" prices and more consumers were business./."-7'. 7:.•/■ ' ' 77/7 77 ' 7 '; getting bonus tonnages from mills. Such tonnages arise quickly-on Camouflaging planning by attaching to it the label of liberalism Further proof that the steel market mill schedules Auto showed because of no For the first time since the price conscious. which run conversion steel have such of ingots end of the steel war customers is to indulge in dangerous fantasy. This is particularly true if liberal¬ is recognized as the process of getting the St^te to use the Big Stick on those whose sin it is to be members of the so-called "con¬ ism servative" minority. down to reasonable for a long period, but not all contracts. and relying on steel, this trade authority reports. are Many are regular mill users already sources Time Inc. of turning for Kingan & Co. their 7r pattern in the steel market this week as Continental Airlines it works its way normal condition is a clear, states "The Iron Age." It is acceptance market steel is out of the picture except for emergency uses which are becoming less frequent; elimination as quickly as possible of conversion deals; avoidance of premium-priced of the steel far For who will there be left to keep the Stick proportions? Some have ironclad contracts for high-priced steel offers what they were only six months that things are rolling towards normal expected, the magazine notes. say conversion to more isolated this week to and faster than had been The a still were is enough evidence to down to automobile cancellations by other users. taking all the steel they could get and signs of canceling tonnage. But the contrast to steel market firms conditions in Detroit super trending was1 normal condition is found this week in the billion have not yet learned how Of that $252 billion, $55 billion represents E, F and G -I year ago States his ; adverse shopping in the past week. Although retail dollar volume fractionally exceeded that of the similar week last year, it fell slightly below the previous week. Consumers insisted upon good quality merchandising at moderate prices. ~ * ■>"- 777,7: • - Camouflaging Crowther, editor of the "Economist" on approved by' is the position was In an with The dollar volume of wholesale orders rose fractionally last week the and continued close to the high level of the comparable week a year Chamber and the ago. Spring bookings were not as numerous' as they were' this time Chamber holds today. The only last year, but this was generally attributed to the-longer -Easter question before us is whether we season this year. Collections continued to be less' prompt • than-a That r 1931-32) for his fellow-Soviets. years Democratic in far greater volume in the major products than handle promptly. Up to the present time the easing in pressure on the market has largely involved so-called premium tonnage. This is in line effect over ends of full employment and economic balance (excepting the starva¬ can expectations, the trade paper observes, adding that considerable premium tonnage continues to move into consumption, however, with various mills throughout the country continuing to quote prices well above the generally recognized market' level. Some of these prices may be in for fairly early downward adjustment. May outworn worry tion pressure, and the steel producers, anticipate Considerable momentum remains buying. A. Wilfred : degrees varying from the Russian to the British experiments. We must remember that Mussolini was celebrated for getting his trains back on the timetable, and that Stalin achieved the noble caution evidenced in recent weeks appears to be intensifying. Some consumers are apprehensive of a collapse in demand with buyers withdrawing from the market holding larger inventories than now suspected. For the most part, however, the great majority of con¬ would like to point out that desire their an will this trade magazine notes. Lessening international tension, however superficial, also appears to be exerting a dampening influence on market sentiment. While the mills continue to ship in unabated volume the buying they are ' sumers, fall" propensity to justify what¬ used for forestalling potential common platitude. And at the very least the American people the means employed by Mr. Truman to pursue his Utopian ends—provided they are not deliberately misled about the actual loss of independence arising from socialization elsewhere, in as contributed the steel supply situation, magazine "Steel" in a current release states that steel markets are rapidly assuming a more normal aspect and that stringency in supplies of the major products continues, but the signs increasingly point in the direction of supply-demand balance in most items before many more months lines despite a to the mills is our Surely the citizens of this country are vitally concerned enjoyment of freedom and democracy—and not merely depression. With respect to pass. ■ employs.'"1 7 .•:7,7//7'' problem is not one of ter—. defining socialism, liberalism, col¬ moans with share to the unemployment rise." * of I fore-7| one is able to But is is nonetheless disastrous to in with the single factor, no one industry, is responsible. Adjustment supply to demand, contraction of over-expanded inventories, buyer resistance, returns to seasonal patterns of employment, weather con¬ too problem, after all, is not President Truman in lectivism. of or If ninology unem¬ ever cold the "But Admittedly "No ditions—'too attempted .differentialirn ;he words which he which stated: a pam¬ tall, evade, prevent, get on without a depression, people of this country will not be inclined .o worry overmuch either about the means or given by the FSA's Bureau of Employment Security were weekly a the _ best . . . national semantics. at The ,, planning and control, qualms jver the President's logic are summarily dismissed with the following typical materialistic conclu¬ last week about were above the like 1948 level. ployment Truman's between 7 we President ' nitely serving to relieve steel demand the gold stand¬ same creased 1933, That back unemployment, latest figures for the week ended claims for unemployment insurance in¬ and initial claims declined by about 8% for the show that continued vember, with Kenl In the matter of 22 our domestic political and confusion persistently embraced by Fitting into this category is the "New Leader," phlet wiia a strong anti-Communist position, whose contributing editors include such men-ofgood-will as Max Eastman, Harry Gideonse and John Dewey. In an editorial enthusing over pro¬ but, notwithstanding this,- total output held moderately above that of the comparable week in 194877.77;7X\,7 Jan. Possibly the most discouraging feature of situation is the complacency anti-Communist "liberals." week No¬ e r in I. slight tapering off in over-all industrial some past in b The Liberals Seek the Big Stick Business Failures'- Expanding steelmaking capacity, continued high production and slackened requirements' from some consuming directions are defi¬ by the Cham- Fred was duction the Currency Committee the lution By A. WILFRED MAY Index ; points out under present condi¬ • Price J nouncing adherence to policy of eventual return to At . Food York .Commerce, Dr. Kent, while - Industry Currency, Chamber of In statement to N. Y. Chamber of , and 1 Trade, Commodity Price Index Commerce of State of New • Retail State of Trade fact and this on take care a "The Iron McGraw (F. gray H.) & Co. Bought—Sold—Quoted reliance is back that as far as possible on regular mill shipments. So only the beginning of the steel consumer's fight to get "regular" footing. But the day of easy steel which would of a lot of manufacturers' Age" concludes. worries ! '.7 is still: not '' ' yet FREDERIC H. HATCH & CO., INC. here, ■ : The American Iron and Steel Institute announced this week 63 Wall (Continued on page 30) "7 Established -7 MEMBERS N. Y. 1888 SECURITY DEALERS Street, New York 5, N. Y. ASSOCIATION Bell Teletype NY 1-897 C (658) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Increased Bank Reserves—Threat To Thursday, February 10, 1949 Fram Employment and Production By EVANS Ahead | WOOLLEN, JR.* Washington of the News President, American Bankers Association / Chairman of the Board, Fletcher Trust Company, Indianapolis, ■ Ind. ? By CARLISLE BARGERON ... ABA head, urging wider area of agreement among political factions and cooperation and understand¬ ing between banking and government, upholds right of dispassionate criticism. Sees at present no need for higher hank requirements and points out dangers of reduced business and employment from Holds proposals to extend Fedsral Reserve authority over nonmember banks is reserve loan contractions. threat to dual of the Administration's attack upon the The complete phoniness v ■ • banking system, and criticizes enlarging lending powqr of governmental agencies while endeavoring to contract private credit. Taft-Hartley Act is being manifested daily. None of its spokesmen so far seem to have much knowledge of what is in the law. An\ excep¬ tion is Chairman Paul M. Herzog of the, National Labor Relations Board whose main, if not sole concern, however, is to' return to the board its sweeping power over, on a rather thinlyunderstanding that he will lean over back-. wards towards labor. It is an open secret in labor-management relations veiled At the last election, the American people selected the Administration and the legisla¬ majority which are to guide us through what promises to be a momentous period. The election was so much of an upset of the generally expected result that we are inclined to tive its measure immediate terms of drawn. prise. Analy¬ sur¬ decisive its It be may that guessed hold at that compelling urgency. That ur¬ gency is the international crisis our Evans foreign policy in Woollen, Jr. its formation execution and has, politics to thing if we were in a struggle ol in tionalist aspirations clash of na¬ or in a game or a of "Welfare State," which one high in our government has called "the political discovery of the side of that conflict there is twentieth their was presumably in consider¬ century." Journal" The accurate "Wall editorially says that the "Full Em¬ ployment State" would be more a description than the "Welfare call we found conviction. ceive and ourselves it by the one Pericles: ;+ £n. "?,TJ^e„5'ty.^a?Jsuf£I: provided and stored with ciently all things necessary for the war, they should convert the overplus of its wealth to such undertakings, would hereafter, when com¬ pleted, give them eternal honor, and, for the present while in process, freely supply all the in¬ habitants with plenty. With their variety all mon workmanship of occasion for and service, which arts trades and of sum¬ and re- quire all about them, they do actually put hands to be employed the whole city, in a manner, into state pay; while at the same time .she is both ;tained by who are war are tained herself. of For and age main- and as be ours, may be wholly or affords said strength for the armaments abroad out of the public .stock, so it being his desire and design that the undisciplined me¬ pay . chanic multitude that stayed at home should not go without their share of public salaries, and yet That no Eric Soviet lacking, con¬ Johnston has address that you recent a from of their measure Mr. ■' in different military defeat a Russia still and that this is because of conviction of its adherents. true the ican all above conviction. sential tool ment the alternatives. are: Amer¬ an That for either of tives is else is the es¬ accomplish¬ of one Those two working out twc alterna¬ bash a upon which the two ideologies can live together conducting tion of long, tory, one in this world, Before! the other. or or to the destruc¬ war a time is measured by his¬ we must select one of those as alternatives. Whichever selection, I say, we need an our Amer¬ ican conviction. Attaining conviction is, difficult for follow sustaining to a point, and the that up more than for those who us idea. other We draw design of fancied perfection, Democracy tolerates imperfection no for the sake of freedom. salts all deals that life of with irreverence is mortal. America humor to and everything These are safe¬ which should guards in our for make our conviction sounder to that end he when once .should not have them given them sitting still and doing nothing, thought fit to bring among them, with the approba¬ tion of the people, these vast projects of buildings and designs of that works would be of some attained. The debate in paign brings ences e^ist. ished, participants. give employ¬ ment to numerous arts, so that the 'part of the people that stayed at I home that might, no at were sea less or new State" mains or to is garrison, *An useful but advantage of the This kind of debate it does not settle ii tiori find can anc This is implies struggle toward improvement. The ■ a banking industry of Amer¬ ica would in very large part, as I believe, accept these two conclu¬ sions of present need, namely: cooperation and constructive dis¬ passionate criticism. Banks Should Be Implements wish We banks our Free 1 not to be¬ bureaus of government, but as free implements of come remain to the To remain economy. be must reasonably so, we in step with the economy as it is, and we must from time to time be for some¬ thing which is date and little a little a more up to realistic more than the doctrine of laissez faire„ Organized segment banking, like nation, the of ever> feels efforts that We shall bend toward common the respect and resnect for That we with our We shall ap¬ attitude of an wish a own could to win purposes. do not cooperating, of privileges of questioning and In so doing we in¬ vite question and criticism of ourselves. We now raise ' Mr. Madden is mittee and it Congress, Congress and barely undertaken the filling it in, we admit perplexity about the intentions of the government with respect tc credit. V In this field the Administration has again asked that the Federal Reserve Board be empowered to requirements to 36%, 30% and 24%, respectively, raise reserve the against central demand reserve, deposits of city, and reserve country banks, and 10% against time deposits. The Board's pres¬ ent maximum authority with re¬ gard would to reserve requirements have expired on June 30, next, and it is assumed that the Board will ask Congress to ex¬ tend the requested additional re¬ requirement definitely. Moreover, the authority in¬ - Administration was delight to observe him while the committee at his place whenever it came his turn to question. He never to listen to what the other members brought out. He other and undoubtedly pressing business. Report¬ covering the hearings used to lay bets as to whether he would but invariably as the member just preceding him fin¬ ers miss his turn ished his questioning, in would strut Mr. Madden. "I would like to ask "Yes, that is It wouiu go this on be seen—perhaps later to prevail; address by but Mr. certain Woollen before the 30th Mid-Winter Trust Conference of the Bankers Association, City, Feb. 7, 1949. American New York area of agreement and under¬ mercial banks. It has (Continued an as an article in outstanding and honorable leader "Do admit to being the man to whom that refers?" asked you Madden when he had read The the passage. admitted it and Madden said: leader labor is all." "That article. . Kennedy, just elected from Massachusetts, picked the article and observed that inasmuch as it had been introduced would like to read another passage. It described the labor man as, although having the qualities pre¬ Young John up he viously attributed, also having being withall a pig-head. uncontrollable ambition and as ' ! an . too, won't you?" Kennedy asked "You'll admit that refers to you, puckishly. if Madden doubtful is It can explain single provision of the a Taft-Hartley Act. To a lesser extent this is true of Secretary of Labor Tobin. the He is selected, naturally, to go before the Senate Committee and man the Taft-Hartley Act should be repealed. Outside of that promise, he doesn't really know. Before the committee, he is surrounded by a host of aides. They tell it why much heard about try to give him the answers to are not doing a very the questions fired at him, but they good job. ' - in which the Administration is proceeding with the very / important matter of labor-management legislation is not far removed from just plain mob rule. ■ i ■A-" The way Growellj Weedon Adds f .Two with Stone (Special St Youngberg: (Special The 'o ' , Financial Chronicle) FRANCISCO, CALIF. — Morton E. Lichtman and Frank H. SAN Walsh , have Francisco connected become & Stone Youngberg,,: Russ Stock of the Exchange. San A ; to The v > Financial-Chronicle) CALIF.—Marjorie Meyersahm has been added to the staff of Crowell, Weedon & Co., 650 South -Spring Street; LOS ANGELES, members of the Los Angeles Stock Miss Meyersahm was formerly with Harbison & Greg¬ ory. ■ ' ' ■ • ■ v .Exchange. com¬ also asked standing. We need understanding. that the Board's powers over con¬ We need understanding between sumer credit, which also would government and business; between expire on June 30, be extended. capital and labor; between finance Economy Is in Balance and industry; between ownership All of these powers may be re¬ and management. We need under¬ standing between those who lead quested of Congress in sphe of the and those who follow and between the reporters as Perplexed, the labor leader said he hadn't seen the "Then I will read from it," said Madden pompously. Building, * members insured for about ten minutes in the labor movement?" of nonmember management and labor?" way Evening Post' the 'Saturday "Welfare State." clude further if the Wagner Act has not worked giggled and the other committee members grinned. One day, Madden asked a labor leader: "Is it not a fact that you were recently praised in authority to administer reserve requirements be broadened to in¬ debate, when the objective oJ participants is to widen the Then turn¬ say. it has." "Yes pation in that most civilized form all questions," he would fact." a "And I want to ask you to imorove relations between is the "Full Employment re¬ few management committed terrible wrongs against the working people?" The labor leader would look up surprised and answer: with It a ing to the labor leader—he would never question the critics of the old Wagner Act, just its friends— ; ■ "Is it or is it not a fact that until the Wagner Act was passed that has recommended that the Board's a was would go about his general partici¬ now member of the House Labor and Welfare Com¬ a a around sat some having task of to some repeal the Taft-Hartley Act and considering the Taft-Hartley Act in 1947. He sat about fourth down the line on the minority side* of the table. This meant that with the Republican majority having the right to question the witnesses first, there were about 12 questioners ahead of him. He had it timed to questions in behalf of our indus¬ try, and in the public interest. The President having outlined a framework in his messages tc ; gonna were we by the Act. unless criticism. you do it," was the extent of his enlightenment to the radio listeners; there was no discussion of the alleged injustices worked our of of man a we're gonna exercised we as told "We our widening front. proach this task in while commor how to Administration's acticn. the government wher¬ possible. ever make to selected ana,-; air impelling duty under existing circumstahces Carlisle Bargeron appear . the board. be accomplished, there can as lop-sided, in fact, that the legislation itself would become relatively unimportant. As to the knowledge of the present act's pro¬ visions by the Administration's spokesmen, there is the case of Congressman Ray Madden, of Indi¬ the first of three radio speakers to defend the esf It serve Need Wider Area of Agreement We need in the century—whether that con- is the is than those in * cept cam¬ differences. etc., etc., etc." So election The objective of the debate would an into prominence all of those topics upon which differ¬ continuance before they were fin¬ and ways imperfection. front with If all this be true, then what we need of you would not have stamped out in¬ ternational communism. I believe those provided for and main- in their by beautiful that. may to as we criticism. pro¬ integrity in international the on of debate passionate not de¬ us dealing name rodotus a truthfulness of . could administer or the other, to claim it as discovery of o u r century might be questioned. Hear He¬ Let about standards viction. State." Whether ; merely able part from the concept of the that it thinks : be one engaged diplomacy. But it is quite another thing; for it is all of these, plus a conflict of funda¬ mental ideology. On the other Street • It would power this time, enjoyed a large measure of bi-partisan support. The dis¬ sent kind The idea is to to take his authority away is little ques- ' Herzog's leanings will administer whatever legislation is finally in¬ volved. His administration will be so completely If this participation as from him and make him. subordinate to ' wide a this conclusion would i sentially consis tent with the any time, but that id American conviction itself, where itself upon us now with £• we start with an acknowledgment forces was which I be-1 and from that who those of together after the election. lieve •not . first those and The second conclusion is that, worthy of the high privilege! of a free election, except as they; working together, there can anc have the capacity for working! should be constructive and dis¬ dis¬ dissent have are mi¬ that, by large, who conclusions, j the foundation of cooperation in my judgment, is that no people; of an American conviction. regis¬ tered sent. those have not. The surprising. An nority be Working Together After Election than enormous to are With sis shows that it was less rewrite the act so conclusions on view to getting rid of the gen-,; a counsel, Robert N. Denham. eral <£- decisiveness in that considerable of the attack Washington the law is with on page 23) .Chicago Exch. Members Miller, Kenower Adds (Special to The DETROIT, R. Sims staff Ford of has Financial MICH.—Mrs. been Miller, Building, added Helen the Exchange has elected to member¬ to Kenower & members Detroit Stock Exchange. , CHICAGO, ILL.—The Executive Committee of The Chicago Stock Chronicle) of Co. the ship Huntington Henry B. of Ames, Emerich & Co., Inc., Chi¬ cago, and Frank A. Miller of Tow\r\n T? PonnA+f Sir P A PhipQCfD / Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (659) 7 Trust Investment Problems Ahead Monetary Fund Derelict in Warnings of Dollar Shortages By MARCUS NADLER* Professor of Finance, New York University - Dr. Nadler, in pointing out difficulties experienced in making trust investments under inflationary ditions, indicates inflation, for time being, has run its course, and with likelihood that By WILBERT WARD * Vice-President, Chairman, National Administrative City of Bank Committee, New York. Foreign Interchange Bureau rities Foreign trade banking expert calls attention information to slow and inadequate , on dollar dissemifor time by Federal Reserve Bank New You York. will call re¬ that the at time venture that was proposed I questioned its value. I regard it a bureau- of collecting post- mortem statistics concerning situ- ations which our membership have long since forewarned each other, I regard the present proposal as of the more value in If there is any same. knowing the^ im- that and bank which hopes to do business abroad expects eventually to be paid in the only coin company which is real money sterling, rubles, to French francs, • Russian would not be a payment American an England, live. . . unless he went to France, Russia or to . "That is the elementary principle that you cannot sell to a customer if he hasn't the money to pay his bills. Everyone understands it as matter of a course when he is do- ing business inside the country, But we have never fully grasped the fact that this same principle applies to foreign business. The most probable explanation for our ignoring this elementary principle City banks from whom the credit Bank of New in fact the of the would derive from confirmation of the fact that their misery is being shared with larger c o m p an y scattered throughout the United States is a not worth the trouble. What "would be of value is a forewarn¬ ing that a dollar shortage in any foreign market is in the making. It is a as a whole, and not the individual characteristic of the export business that it is often the nation buyer, that becomes ."slow in the The buyer may be sol¬ trade." vent ance and liquid, with of local currency purchase dollars, country has incurred of abund¬ an with which to balance if but adverse an purchased with his local cur¬ The only way that he can a bill of exchange drawn in dollars is to deposit the local cur¬ equivalent rency and to engage make further deposits to meet any depreciation in its value until dol¬ lars are again available. point is, it is misleading in a situation man to rely for dominance and com¬ modity markets, regulated our in¬ money ternational trade for we have selves, to now how." Though us. regulate it have we not our¬ yet -learned ■ Mr. Lippmann's solution propose a Bureau of International desire of was that cannot we averages It is us of 1941 we would be nearer but ments been today financial had operating such since (Continued on that c om- to 1944. How- 32) have note that on or mechanism credit export .A : man the sharp rise in prices of commodities was not ac¬ companied by a corresponding presently what being is proposed to extension. find has the some With re¬ stant rise where on the in Inflation is the In cost of serious a recession accompa-1 by a decline in employment and profits or will it be marked by greater stability? 1 ' : (2) What is the outlook for money rates? Can one expect a further rise in yields, as was wit¬ nessed during 1948, or will on part it constitutes the cost of the borne war by equi¬ those The apparent by a the Dow-Jones neriod a in of the years. accom¬ end en<f of il945 stocks only the moderately need to seek and hedge a the various controls, prices began rise sharply, the purchasing of the dollar declined rap¬ prices yet of and 1947 of of lower were and 1941. equities 1948 Hence people teracted to a wuat *An address by fore 30th coun¬ Trust far-reach¬ impossible to say business or any increase Congress may vote? affect earnings and hence divi¬ dends of corporations and prices of equities? in that taxes , The investment problems con-' fronting the trust officer are all the more complicated because the traditional relationship between prices of bonds and prices of equi¬ ties Which prevailed for a number Questions Confronting Us of years has been completely up¬ Hardly had the trust officer ad¬ set. Prior to 1934 a strong equity justed himself to the conditions market was, as a general rule, ac¬ brought about by war and infla¬ companied by a weak bond mar-: tion, when arose the a recent inflation¬ are pronounced set of problems new which bound effect to have a the invest¬ ment activities of the trust depart¬ on ket. This market and the trust company. other. because of the close was relationship on demand ment the for equity the between hand and the one brokers' loans A strong variably led to Briefly summarized, the principal on a (Continued material increase1 32) page on Purch. Power of the Dollar ex¬ Con¬ ference of the American Bankers Association, New York City, Feb. Wholesale Wholesale Price Prices 1941— 1946— 1947— 1948— „ __ __ — — "'October, Dollars Index 1935-39—100 Dec.— Dow-J. & Co. Industrial (65 Stocks) (30 Stocks) 36.92 110.67 14.38 25.33 38.26 63.67 1926—100 Public Utility (20 Stocks) Railroad (20 Stocks) 85.9 93.6 75.1 107.1 72.36. 192.74 57.1 140.9 63.97 174.38 51.18 36.77 49.3 163.2 63.66 179.18 33.04 49.4-3 *48.7 162.2 63.66 176.31 33.09 53.27 1948. 8, 1949. PLEASURE IN ANNOUNCING THE FORMATION it. The solution organization In Lippmann made entitled 1944, Mr. a OF Gearhart, Kinnard Is Now Associated With Us Walter Keep and Members New York Opportunity . ■ 'v •' ^ CV: Security Dealers Association TO CONDUCT A \ an FT &■ @iLE & © Member Cincinnati Stock the by Mr. Ward at the Monthly Meeting of the Foreign Credit Interchange Bureau, New York, City Feb. 2, 1949. \ v, : /'■ to Serve You GENERAL BUSINESS OF INVESTMENT Exchange frederick 45 NASSAU NEW YORK STREET 5, N.Y. BANKING 4-3300 richard edward v. VICE Union Trust Bldg. Cincinnati, Ohio MAin N. Y. A.T.T.—CI 199 gearhart. jr. kinnard PRESIDENT otis PRESIDENT AND TREASURER 1-576 karl 5115 d. PRESIDENT l. VICE TEL.: WORTH TELETYPE: '^Remarks Otis is which suggestion in "To & incorporated an the equity market in¬ Wholesale Commodity Prices and Stock Prices the Dr. Nadler be¬ Mid-Winter are conse¬ How will the changed out¬ for ary movement will have. held considerable is effects who and economic of inflation ing, and it at the those today would have quences and look de¬ at than social (4) all on fixed income. a MR. HENRY J. ARNOLD Will Welcome the living. invisible tax an those who live WE TAKE compiled— to be com¬ information, and is willing, reveal article into determine can a nied by which the temporary congestion. credit only The piled—is not illuminating. I would like to see the Foreign Credit In¬ ter-Change Bureau sponsor an imaginative approach to the solu¬ tion of this problem of foreign to were hedge few weeks ago? Will the present depends on period of readjustment degenerate . L::,; we a spect to that matter the informa¬ and thus bringing wages, back to where the some tion prices and demands new such export credit seek to evaluate whether it is something more than a not or Administration and the buyer. buyer's country is de¬ ficient in dollars, what is needed is are so the timing of the purchase and sales. It is, however, of interest the cerdit worthiness of his When fared equities against inflation 1945— bureau increase not re¬ against inflation was not great. After the war, with the repeal of our commit¬ a page these under¬ an standing of the dimensions of international to the them until question to sharp Whether fo even bought equities in 1941 Ahead no taxes is of over creased hence end is to rose end Wants Information of Trouble proposed by the of panying table- that frohx the creased is kept in balance. in¬ will well. same ,:up All indicated of There This comparison idly, our or for prices, Nadler inflation. remain solvent, unless the budget international transactions course, new measures of in has shown that power whole, outlook forces would the a who invested their savings in broadly speaking, were not fixed income-bearing obligations. particularly a good hedge against try a the the their ceedingly low. hedge against inflation. The experience of the past few to as the is Have run At x- considerably. During the same period, however, the pur¬ to chasing power of the dollar de¬ the Budget What in us follows: as of e to Payments, di¬ rected to the purpose of remind¬ ing the government agencies, the Congressional committees, the business interests, and the coun¬ payments rency. honor worldwide London his in interna¬ tional account, the dollars cannot be until about 25 years ago what was called the gold standard but was Whatever solace men is that (1) business? flation are for higher wages renew the spiral better, particularly selectivity was based the which now, period ahead and hence have fared ties, disaster the beneficiaries of trusts. The trend which set in. ficiaries of trust funds. In this re¬ downward hardest hit were those bene¬ shortly after the election continue, ficiaries of trusts in which the spect, they share the fate of all thus further reducing the income other groups of individuals who trust deed required the trus¬ on new investments? are more or less dependent on a tees to invest only in bonds or (3) How will postwar conditions fixed income and are not in a mortgages. On the other hand, and the increased expenditures of where trustees were permitted to position to demand a higher in¬ states and municipalities affect the come to compensate for the con¬ buy equities the beneficiaries tax-exempt 'market? years economic hand, equities at the in anticipation of those who bought questions that will confront end of the war, the lifting of controls bined tinuing to ignore it the On the other movement in prices of equities. materially the income and The inflationary period has particularly the purchasing power thus been detrimental to bene¬ of followed the last war, and for con- foreign few last duce quately garnered from the collec¬ tion experience of the 12 NewReserve than in- 1941. factors the trade" that information is ade- York gathers it. the the mount. Marcus the during continued Dr. purchasing dollar, particularly paid out during two. years were larger of to decline and war, in the United in Federal tended the end of the porters of any country are "slow in York since, dividends time, States—that is to say, in American dollars. To be paid in pounds still as slow, cumberoomp. method power have been cf cratic exempt bonds, past problem in this language: "Obviously, every American ——— tent the decline in the years the Ward ations;<S> g which nated Wilbert d 11 o including tax- America,; Score." He outlined the exporters' some * have been extremely difficult ones for trust officers. The steady prices of commodities and of the cost of living has cut the purchasing power of the almost in half as compared with the prewar period. Interest rates on high-grade In the Minutes of the meeting of the Foreign Credit Interchange Bureau of Jan. 5,1 notice quotation of a letter from the Federal,Reserve Board announcing that a committee has been appointed to explore the possibility of extending the reports on export bills and letters of ; credit in Latin ? t——-—" r- been on The last few years rise in tries, and thus aiding in restoring normal trade relationships. have for fairly steady, main pr>blem of trust investment officer is in selecting secusafe return. Says there is no adequate hedge against inflation in purchas¬ in present stock prices opp >rtunities for selecting high-grade equities offering prospects of steady return. sees credit and "dollar shortage" conditions in foreign countries, and contends International Monetary Fund is derelict ; in not furnishing this information as required by its charter. Sees expansion of central banking abroad as contribution toward releas¬ ing information of balance of payments position in various coun¬ ; by placing emphasis ing of equities, but con¬ money rates immediate future will remain Credit g. berg SECRETARY AND ASS'T TREASURER february 7, 1949 I 8 COMMERCIAL THE (660) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Metal Consuming Industries And Steel Consumption Dealer-Broker Investment Recommendations and Literature By K. W. TIBBITTS* It is understood that the Vice-President, National Credit Office Atomic Energy—Circular—Kerr & demand has material situation. position of metal using industries and concludes, wi h exception of auto industry, pent-up accumulating. S :es general easing are of tight up raw firms mentioned will be pleased interested parties send to Pointing out steel industry output in 1948 was absve all previous records, except 1944, Mr. Tibbitts disputes President Truman's statement additional steel making facilities are needed. Contends addi¬ tional raw materials are not available for increased capacity beyond that planned for 1949. Analyzes already been met and inventories Thursday, February 10, 1949 Co., 704 South Spring Angeles 14, Calif. Street, full of the processes by which steel is manufactured is necessary for a understanding of the issues which presently confront the steel mills. The industry records its production in terms of pig iron and ingot steel. Pig iron is the product of a blast furnace, which b might roughly steel as Needed? a pipe, lined with Of far re¬ to the fractory mate¬ rial, 100 feet high, and 28 to in industry today, is the sug¬ It is not our purpose tonight to endeavor to resolve that argument. It can¬ be not coke, limestone. have to rest Through tive bottom is and a far exhaus¬ more has so very high It is lost as the sobering thought, a Metal The Using Industries of balance the of the amount brief review a industries several the most are discussion our will be devoted to which important because of of steel and its capacity as the above produc¬ cant to bear in mind that in industries these molten iron with 1945. commercially in demand. There is relatively limited use in the peacetime economy for the Of importance to our discussion heavy plate required for military is the huge bulk of material in¬ purposes. Furnaces worn out by volved in this process. Seven and four years of constant wartime op¬ one-half tons of these ingredients eration, had to be rebuilt. Fur¬ are required to produce one ton ther, the construction of facili¬ of pig iron. When an installation i ties capable of producing 10 milincludes several furnaces, each! lion tons of additional steel, as capable of producing 1,200 or j suggested by the government, 1,300 tons of iron a day, there would, in itself, have contributed production civilian none there any was of consequence for during the four years with 1942 and ending handled each area 24 in confined a hours much as 50,000 tons of material. steel for mills and blast furnaces are them¬ con¬ fur¬ tonnage would have had to be di¬ today approaches $15,000,000. verted from commercial channels. of one cilities in where steel making furnaces further burned out. impurities Carbon then re¬ are other al¬ or added, depending the analysis of steel desired. are Further, available, it is doubt¬ there enough though these fa¬ even were if would have material. raw It been was pre¬ viously stated that ingot steel is made of equal parts of pig iron and Millions metals. scrap tons of scrap have ingot moulds. yond recovery been of that otherwise would The molten metal is then cast into available as a lost are be¬ result of the resulting ingots are sub¬ jected to further finishing opera¬ tions to meet the widely varied war—battleships lying on the bot'om of the ocean for example. The scrap drive throughout the war requirements cleaned out the nation's cellars of The They which of be may the customer. into rolled bars hammered into shape in are their accumulation of mobiles, cUop forges—the mechanization of machines the blacksmith's have They and hammer. be reduced to rod from may which wire which bolts, nails arm is drawn nuts, from or screws and fashioned. Rolling mills squash the ingot into thin sheets, of varying thickness and widths, rolling out these sheets at the in¬ are credible speed of then stamped such as pans, miles 70 Innumerable hour. from items these per are sheets, automobile bodies, cake refrigerator cabinets. or Even this very is enough brief description suggest the multi¬ to plicity of sizes, shapes, and varie¬ ties of caTled steel upon which the to make mills in satisfy the demands of their tomers who number of produce parts are order to cus¬ infinite an finished and products. Production previous in records 1948 broke except for all the peak war year of 1944. There last year poured by the 240 blast furnaces 60.7 million tons of were pig iron and 88.5 million tons of steel ingot. The latter represented an increase of 3.7 million tons 1947 and compared with 61.7 million tons in 1929. over *An address by Mr. Tibbitts be¬ fore the New York Chapter of the National Institute of York Credit, New City, Jan. 25, 1949. junk. Auto¬ refrigerators, washing which by now: would reached the:scrap pile are use, because of previous shortages and high cost of re¬ placements. "till in aircraft industry uses rela¬ The for accounts for assume further the purpose discussion that it and some of the other non-ferrous metals. The a program. • facilties be large were scale expansion Where should the constructed? new Gradu¬ ally the high-grade iron ores are being consumed. At some time in he future the principal source of supply may shift from the Lake Superior region to other localities, such Labrador as ica. or Traditionally, facilities have reference to South Amer¬ steel been making located in the availability of raw materials. If, in the not too distant future, the industry were to depend upon the newly dis¬ covered deposits of ore in Labra¬ dor. blast furnaces perhaps should be located if that near the St. Lawrence, eventually is If not, perhaps on the waterway opened up. Eastern the Seaboard, or perhaps in Gulf of Mexico area, to take advantage of the South American supplies. The elimination of the basing point system of pricing also might well influence the decision. In o the more carry-back recoveries. The industry's work¬ ing caiptal in this two-year period declined $166 million. The explan¬ million, $45 ation meantime, expansion on moderate scale does the after the of tax substantial 1946 dollar entire industry lion, as contrasted losses volume was In 1949, four on of is for with $51/2 bil¬ lion in the preceding year. The mag¬ nitude of its reconversion problem / . airlines the led cancellations for to new Graphic Stocks—Special edition containing monthly highs and lows and yearly earnings and div¬ idends during period 1924-1935, and 744 charts covering virtually every stock listed on the New York Stock and Curb Exchanges —F. W. Stephens, 15 William Street, New York 5, N. Y.—$15.00. Stocks Insurance Analysis — — & White Finally, ef¬ forts to diversify activities so as to lessen dependence upon aircraft business were, in the main, unsuc¬ ing additional losses. con¬ as Bonds Corporate Issued Securities Corporation, 65 York Banks There are renegotiation, possibilities of ter¬ mination, - and interruptions in production because of frequent design changes., The manufacturers of personal aircraft since the war have passed through a complete cycle.- In the four years immediately preceding the war, total production was ap¬ proximately 25,000 planes. Capa¬ city of these plants was-so vastly increased during the war, that in capacity for 2,750,- (Continued on page 29) York Central—Analysis of Bonds—Goodbody & Co., Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. W. brief data are Creole Dry, Dodge, Du Pont, Eastern General Motors, Manville, Mid Continent JohnsPetro¬ New York, New Haven Hartford, Shell Union Oil, and Warren Bros. Northern Pacific Railway N. Y. Also 31, 1948 on leading New York City banks and trust companies—New mation Hanseatic as Corporation, downs of folios and come 1948 Bank Stocks government bond port¬ sources of growth in¬ New York 19 on infor¬ brief a j \ County, Fla.—New is¬ Pinellas Banks—Break¬ City is Chicago, Burlington & on Quincy. sue York available 120 Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. New Com¬ V of Dec. of revenue Allen & bonds—Circular— Company, 30 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. Service Company Public City Detailed of In¬ Laird, Bissell & Meeds, 120 Broadway, New York diana, 5, N. Y. Street, San Francisco 4, Calif. — Stocks—Discussion value of —Daniel early 1940's and Company, Rice F. Inc. — Strawbridge & Clothier—Mem¬ orandum—H. M. Byllesby Stock — Circular — Parker' & Redpath, Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. Also available is a memoradum Stove and U. Florence on S. delphia 2, Pa. Also on available John B. D. Bonhright B. Home Products—Dis¬ Aviation—Circular—A. Kidder New York & Co., 1 Wall Street, 5, N. Y. available is a —Newburger, Broad Loeb Faroll ork a Co. & 6. 15 a list of Public Utility dividend-paying stocks. VV common •• '> ' Company—Anal¬ United Carbon of — Y. Circular on Also Bit Company, Humble Oil & Refining Company, and Houston Oil Company, andt a study of Public Service Company of Colorado. United curities 1949 — States and of 15, Se¬ Money Market— and 1948 outlook for Bankers Trust 16 Wall Street, N. Y. / ."; New Brochure Company, York Government the — Victor Fuel vCo. — Descriptive Birkins Com¬ 40 Exchange r Place, Nfew 5, N. Y. ,< / f : literature—George — Joseph available Stocks with mendations for brief analyses are Roller Reed i. Co., 29 Broadway, New N. circular Co., & Street, New York 5, N. Y. memoran¬ Pacific Lighting Corp. Budd Co., & Powers Building, Rochester, N. Y: United Aircraft Corp.—Analysis Review Bendix on Warner Carlson—Circular— Stromberg George Also available dum and ysis—Eastman, Dillon & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y. American •Also memoranda are Stetson Company. Foil company. M. & Co., Exchange Building, Phila^ Also available is Chicle American Auchincloss, memoran¬ dum—Elworthy & Co., Ill Sutter of ct^ks todav with the 52 on Petroleum, & Co., 14 Wall Street, New York 5, Cos. and ' however, for this industry is par¬ ticularly vulnerable in respect of Power & ... Also available F. analysis of an Light pany—Analysis—Simith, Barney Trust & —Comparative figures profitwise. problems to be faced, ;• 115 Broad¬ New York 6, N. Y. York — 1948—Tabulation—Union During 1949 saleswise New Junior & New what both . leum Co., cussion of growth situation — position. .Working Bache & Co., 36 Wall Street, New capital today is approximately York 5, N. Y. $450 million, compared with only Also available from the Chrys¬ $64 million in 1939. Industry sales ler Building office of the firm is in 1948 were approximately $1 bil¬ an. up-to-date circular of "News lion. In the absence of large scale and Views." cancellations by the government, should do well in the current year Co. Missouri. sheet production should be some¬ larger. The industry is do¬ ing a great deal of sub-contracting within itself, so that practically all of the 15 major producers Arizona Airlines, Despite these losses, the industry a whole is in a very favorable balance Also available is Central . Analysis — C6V 111 Broadway, 5, N. Y. New York Company, Mississippi Valley Trust Building, St. Louis 1, some caus¬ Prod¬ Haupt & Canada substantial planes,, Cellucotton Utilities Missouri 4* wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. obvious. Secondly, unusually heavy engineering expenses were Western Canada Oil Industryincurred in the design of new commercial planes. Third, addi¬ Data—Charles King & Co., 61 tional losses were experienced in Brhadway, New York 6, N. Y. * * • • the commercial plane program for, to satisfy the pent-up demand:of, Amalgamated Sugar Company the airlines for new planes, short-' —New analysis—Edward L. Bur¬ cuts were taken which proved to ton & Company, H50 South Main be very costly. The deterioration jueet, Salt Lake City 1, Utah. of New Broadway, Co.—Analysis—William A. & Co., 209 South La Salle Street, Chicago 4, 111. ' ; / . , is in the financial condition of 115 Fuller Ira $710 mil¬ ' tinue. of manufacturers military and commercial planes in 1946 and 1947 sustained losses of of advisable to initiate at the present moment substantial consumption, very aluminum, of part a Co., International Banks—Data largest banks—Rauscher, Pierce & Co., Mercantile Bank Building, New tively small amounts of steel, but & York 6, N. Y. New cessful. Where Locate the Facilities? But Street, Aircraft Industry fourfold. ful This mixture is scrap. Substantial selves made of steel. steel heated upon shortage, The cost Pig iron is converted into steel by adding to it equal amounts of loys steel blast struction nace as the to Broad ton - Dallas, Texas. way, off from the bottom of the burner. be of Dec. Dow Chemical Company—Ana¬ lytical memorandum—J. R. Willis- ucts use beginning as non-fer¬ metals which they consume. considering them, it is signifi¬ In of must 25 N. Y. Dallas con¬ result of the coal strike. a temperatures reduces the ore to. tion figures testify. When the war metallic iron, melts it, and purifies closed, many mills had to be it as the limestone combines with changed to produce the types of the impurities in the ore. The steel periodically is drawn through new furthermore, that production equal to more than one-half df the new capacity added in 1948 was , First, the industry has increased resulting cOmoustion at facilities. Curtis. & York 4, rous conclusion. K-W. Tibbitts heated air. The of facilities, or the improvement of existing further would far been Several facts will, perhaps, you to reach your own enable super- on study than made. blown cleaned struction 37 renresentative banks 31, 1948—Paine, Webber, Jackson ingot will be disputed, however, that a fully supportable decision the either added, than casual interest cilities may be needed. diameter. Into the top is charged " iron ore, more gestion in the President's State of cne Union Message to the effect mat additional steel making fa¬ up feet 000 additional tons of Steel Capacity Is Greater described e Buckley* Brothers, 1420 Walnut Street, Philadelphia 2, Pa. ? ; Los Banks—Comparative analysis of Some knowledge the following literature'. pany, York is recom¬ Zonolite 1949. Company — Detailed Strauss & Co., Trade Building, Chicago report—Robert Board of Commonwealth & S outhern Corp.—Circular—Hirsch & Co., 25 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y. Walt Disney Productions—Re¬ cent analytical circular — Gross, & Co., 458 South Spring Street, Los Angeles 13, Calif. ) 4, ill.;/ \ 1 r-: ; With Thomas Darst & Co. ; Rogers (Special to The-Financial Strange has Chronicle) ' C.—Robert become associated WILMINGTON, N. with Thomas Darst & Co., South¬ Coral Gables, Fla. Tax Partici¬ pation Notes — Memorandum — eastern N C Building, Greensboro, •• Volume COMMERCIAL THE Number 4776 169 savings. These are with lower taxes. possible only uncertain. ,':'i They fear /. . :V . studies indicate that future income will be quite ade¬ quate to absorb increased produc¬ Projected tion By ROGER W. BABSON . Mr. Babson, pointing: out ma¬ chines make jobs in addition to doing 95% of stiH work, asserts increased productivity more our will be adequate to absorb more venture capital. our consumer ter than in¬ Says hesitate? could be invested in next decade continued Holds "is up to business good vocated Venture away. In the last 75 years our and more times as did then. they Abe was about 79% of our was supplied animals, by h 6% h m e c Roger W. Babson only animals and us The TN 1948—the 90th President basic Atlantic Securities Co. Let Truman economic fact. John Joins Dean Witter Staff LOS C. Hoge has formed Atlantic Securities Madison ANGELES, CALIF.—Fred Co. with offices at anniversary all evil year of our That's business the industries and the in the investment busi¬ ness. The company important to the present and future stability of the public of the United States, 1940—nearl y twice as is old as a Stockholders Benefit much. Thus 39% of earnings. was good soil, create enlarged in each dollar of sales or or $2% million in divi¬ 48% of earnings. For 1948 tliey received plowed-back earnings, like good fertilizer Higher Payrolls Payrolls in 1918 amounted to $66 million ( For 1940 stockholders received dends—about $6 million which lion in 1940 child in it. country and to every man, woman and profit of $15million. Both sales and profits were the highest in our history. The average J-M employee received about $3,300 in 1948 as compared'with about $1,700 in pre-war year made why adequate profits—the cake of yeast make a capitalistic loaf of bread—are so necessary lo Canada and other countries. on of new jobs for new generations of workers, more goods for industry and the public and more dividends for stockholders. 38 compared with $20J^ mil¬ The key to crops 32cents. results: hours, shorter work¬ take-home more Taxes our pay, S9000 New Jobs We had 8,000 In 1940 Jolms-Manville's taxes were employees in 1948 than in 1940 more bringing total employment to 20,000 American capitalism made these men new and 1948 In they $4% million. $12% million. were women. jobs possible. J-M~s Annual Statement standard-of-living that has Joe Stalin scared to death. Capital investment Doubled Conditions In Favoring tures—plants, animals, humans or since 1940 is due and develop fully, the right environment prosper they need the and America somed right food. Industrial burst into bud and blos¬ forth in the because it had last have abundant political environment has the harness the which been and put a encouraged This combined sys¬ and mechanical and money made capital to energy men to to work. Don't blame the next depression machines. Blame it on men. payroll and profits capital invested. $50 million on new the last ten years we in the business. more than plants and other expansion pro¬ have doubled Our our measures. In capital invested capacity to produce has been machines are working all right. All they need is a constant tuning up in keeping with the times. But both the mten owning and those operating these ma¬ chines must constantly work for the good nf the world and not for any one a whole selfish group. as This capital came There £ is as great a was when I was a there, over the We need to put another bring our housing from money borrowed from insurance program .ily use many We up could insurance billions for streets ly need, therefore, for increased a There is certain¬ EARNINGS AFTER TAXES share of . .. $ were were million $5.22 per stock. common common equivalent to $4.35 per share stock. • • We in Johns-Manville service We Necessary are Profits in 1948 amounted of sales. In 1940. they to pledge the • to were 8?fo 9]/% cents in cents in each dollar are public during our every the needs of our stockholders. proud of our 90 effort to continue customers, our our years record of in business. to be alert employees and " to our . : each dollar of sales. Profits provide dividends. Dividends help create well plants and equipment produce as more new jobs Chairman of the Board as Johns-Manville goods. Corporation In 1948 Johns-Manville invested about three-fifths of its profits to produce create more more jobs in the *Those company and goods needed by industry and the public. let tve desiring more complete in formation should refer to"a book¬ containing the formal Annual Report to Stockholders which will be glqd to furnish on request. Address: Johns-Manville Corporation, 22 East 40tli Street, New York 16, N. Y. to highways. 6 into the business. Profits million policies), and in part from profits put hack eas- and $ 66 $ 12% million 9}^ million com¬ ■IQHMS-M.vvvmi decent standards. wages.... for taxes panies (representing savings of the people invested in to ization. shown below).. $ 7934 million Reinvested in the business........ TAXES next decade in industrial modern¬ $50 billion into housing in order to $173^ million as To stockholders in dividends......... $ of boy. We could icadily invest $50 billion 1948** employees for salaries & savings in Johns-Manville; in part from depreciation; vested in as (except To government in part need capital investment today To holders from all walks of life who have invested their savings. Savings and industry's profit dollars rein¬ for For all costs in part from the 11,800 stock¬ Needed Increased Productivity highlights of Johns-Manvillc's annual for the year greatly increased. on The the are statement TOTAL INCOME Day, Johns-Manville has spent jects, improvements and cost reduction re¬ economic venture Since V-J so have had that has encouraged possible but we which taking. tem we has lacked ligious, years Surely, resources; has Russia. What Russia 100 the right food and the right environment. risk Much of the difference in sales, order for any of God's crea¬ —to Here Growth m pitouucr < 699 Avenue, New York City, to engage Haupt is with Dean Witter & Co., 632 South Spring Street. —Johns-Manville sold $173J^> million of goods lo by machine vacations with pay, social security, a this death. to Clement, Curtis & Co. grandpa's six-shooter as atomic age. tion. that hope realizes it with At Johns-Manville work for us! our of taxing was This encouraging venture capi¬ tal—not to Truman growth. were formerly associated Jr., and William O. Gay, Jr. Floyd D. Cerf Co. Mr. Cooper with 2% standard-of-living is in¬ creased character, intelligence and productivity through mechaniza¬ and means the proper en¬ its for Kornak ical Today 3% is high ing need to create thought that mechanization root our ing formed with offices at 120 So. of the New York Stock Exchange, La Salle Street. Officers are Henry Herrman & Co., 52 William Floyd D. Cerf., Jr., President and Street, New York City, will be¬ Treasurer; Lester R. Cooper, Vice- come members of the Exchange on President; and Charlotte E. Kor- March 1. Other partners are nak, Secretary. Mr. Cerf and Miss. Henry Herrman, William M. Cahn, Profits Produce Jobs and Goods cents the an the by a n means. Whereas, by 15% u m a n s, and in , a boy, produc tive The rising and down. If * four much as energy is we v e. goods When, fashined sufficient construction new costs to go vironment they Lincoln does 95% of keep cause- more Today produce humans. to business To Be NYSE Members With the admission to CHICAGO, ILL.—Floyd D. Cerf, partner¬ Jr., Company, Incorporated, is be¬ ship of C. Fred Richards, member workers produc t i by the great America is to forge ahead, capital is being seared ble. supplied and wages Form Own Inv. Co. kill "machines because become to The outlook for profits is jobs." Without machines, our un¬ rivalled living standards in this country would be totally impossi¬ have , into funds resources , fair Only Henry Herrman & Co. soul, ad¬ spinning the to return a wheel • taxes, 9 Floyd D. Cerf, Jr., to Truman." Ghandi, rest his Mr. The production and current production Why, therefore, do we Good Business up modernization. industrial there. retard profits, is it possible to plow back after 1929's—or, fair fair By 1950-55, market will be bet¬ double goods and ser/ices. are to (661) timid. are unemployment. cause with savings, about $115 to $120 biRion left to s>;?:id. The money is, therefore, there for production schedules. $50 billion more ^capital for and CHRONICLE unfair deal by Con¬ an contributes and creased Investors In order, there¬ fore, to increase our production capacity, we need considerably taxes future income is needed and that : schedules. FINANCIAL Spotty capital investment gress. . & 10 COMMERCIAL THE (662) Government's & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL Thursday, February 10, 1949 Merchandising Your Dollars Obligations to Business By JULES BLECHER By HON. CHARLES SAWYER* policies to develop teamwork between government and business Commerce Secretary says , Partner, Neuberger & Berman, Members New York Secretary of Commerce ;Y based on for keenest Stock Exchange purchasing securities is business venture calling' judgment, greatest vigilance and flexibility of action. Says mistakes should constantly be appraised and securities experts (3) government should enforce should be consulted/ play in business; and (4) government should bring business in councils of government on rules of fair y are business; (2) government should should be taken care of by undertake to do that which business cannot and does not care to do; propositions: (1) economic needs of nation Writer points out policies that affect welfare of the economy. Cites operation of Federal Barge Line as aid to business/ and denies it has hindered private barge operation. Explains steel allocation and export controls. It is a well recognized fact executives who know that out of how to hundred businessmen and a make money there are perhaps 10% same shrewd "know-how". Men who know how to invest it with the the Federal Government formulate policies for guiding the country When officials of r through these difficult times, they must visualize the great expanse of land and the millions of people in America. The policies of the government are not made in a vacuum; they are in made t i the the of businessmen, farmers, activities that certain iness cannot ness undertake does or not busi¬ care Kansas City Missouri portation to chartered neers. wives, and the fair tions children in all can parts of the country. In the councils of and with no Undue the workers, house¬ g overnment hears one a deal great the about "grassroots"— Line was River Trans¬ taken over. Two towboats and 20 itself. (3) Government owes it to bus¬ iness—big business and small bus¬ iness—to enforce certain rules of the the from With the this barges were Army small Engi¬ fleet the Federal Barge Line began opera¬ play so that all businessmen compete on the same basis In on the Sept. 28, 1918. first year of operation, 100,594 tons of freight were trans¬ ported. Soon the increasing de¬ handicaps. Sawyer cial who it. uses about the needs and To me to mind the vast and of the In (4) Government owes it to bus¬ mand for service resulted in the to bring business into the construction of six large twinof government and to screw steamboats of 1,800 horse¬ work openly with business in the each, and 40 2,000-ton development of policies that af¬ power During the first few fect the welfare of the economy. barges. months the Barge Line carried These are simple principles. councils is fertile the real very heartland and these sense Here the this In grain your to all parts of the country and to And through the same factories products flow back of America's people to the who produce the food, the cotton, fuel, and countless other prod¬ ucts of your area that form the the blood and tissue of As Secretary particularly needs our economy. of Commerce I am concerned with I businessmen. of the know something about business myself, and I have lived and done busi¬ ness on the banks of the me as the I refer to future. assembled and shipped the the in in are yards Commerce. a problem practically as you of the Federal Barge rail¬ great Basin and Ohio. that with start of farms the world. me affects businessmen this is the the meat and produced on yards cotton Let that of America have freight yards. In largest and area greatest expanse well-watered soil systems their fruitful America. of the world. road brings Mississippi Basin. a Basin it a ago year I have reflected at for the good tried to of the nation. I have develop a philosophy of teamwork between business and government. As I said a few in speaking before the weeks ago National turers, Association of Manufac¬ teamwork requires re¬ carried oartly bv water was and partly by rail. The line was Mississippi carrying a wide variety of goods, Secretary of mostly in carload lots. the problem During the early years of its Line and its existence, the Barge Line rapidly 'extended its routes and added to its background for my' discus¬ equipment. Freight of all kinds was being Carried on the Mississippi As sion I want to sketch briefly the New between history of the Barge Line; Orleans St. and before the start was used for fuel ships. ered seven acres. The picturesque days of the old river boats had long since passed. River transportation for passen¬ general merchandise had replaced by the railroads, gers and been and the rivers were used almost Louis, and from a route was and, sacrifice, above line continued in existence until (1) Government owes it to bus¬ the end of the first World War. iness to remember that most of 'The first effective move to re¬ the) country's economic needs store an all-around freight ser¬ should be taken care of by busi¬ vice on the Mississippi system ness, and that business should be came during the, first World given the greatest possible free¬ War. The nation's railroads were dom in meeting these needs. clogged with the heavy wartime (2) Government owes it to bus¬ traffic, and people looked to the iness to make certain services long-neglected waterways of the available to all business and to Mississippi Basin as a way to re¬ undertake for the good of all bus- lieve the pressure. Under the di¬ , rection *An address by of the Railroad Adminis¬ Secretary Saw¬ tration, a Federal Barge Line was yer at Annual Banquet of the organized. Boats and barges were .Mississippi Valley Association, St. acquired wherever they could be found. The equipment of the Louis, Mo., Feb. 7, 1949. doctors, lawyers, teachers, etc., have protection and conservation of principal amount that makes for the success of your fund. The se:urity priced at 50 paying a 4% even more fully in woe¬ lacking the funda- dividend mentals .wo which would ber enable them to succeed investors. In ing a alize must re¬ that you 177, 181 and 177 respectively, but up 1 i s t i coal much Jules Blecher in of "merchandising c mands that tion has at his command. one The oft-repeated bromide, "I put them away and forget them, as long as - they pay me dividends" has proved to be a snare and a delusion in the security markets. It is probably the main reason for losses and for most of the most Jones nine-foot channel now links such the Twin .Cities, . Peoria, Galves¬ Birmingham, Mobile, Louis¬ ville, Memphis, Knoxville, and Dubuque. In a few years the ton, to the Dow- you can realis¬ related Averages, the'difference cessful vestor. between the sue-* investor and the poor in¬ There are, of course, ex¬ ceptions. For instance, a well se¬ lected security may go lower in a for more or less transient reasons (usually emotional). stubborn trait in an The most investor The shrewd loss On merchant who some of his has a merchandise will not buy the same thing just because he can buy it cheaper. , Candidly appraising .your City, Omaha and Sioux City— mistakes and handling them cour¬ this network. ageously enables you to still re¬ Improvement of the river chan¬ tain a major percentage of your nels by the Federal Government equity and maintain a "going busi¬ will become part of resulted in a tremendous 1920. -25 - million (Continued tons were on page 31) In han- much. as percentage depending factors. Being fully should be than the rather the excep¬ This rule. permits a calmer and colder ap¬ praisal of news that causes mar¬ kets to appreciably change and tends to check the emotional people who hold action of stocks than re¬ more they can or should Attempting to quickly only means taking greater risks and usually this is done with little study of the securities in question. Con¬ servative growth of principal can best be attained by buying good securities as a result of thorough analyses combined with the cor¬ rect timing of price cycles. This calls for experience, judgment and comfortably carry. make money to determine when cer¬ securities are underpriced courage tain with relation to the market level. conclusion In it would appear the important thing for the that average investor to do is to ask himself the following fundamental question: "How well equipped I am to compete with the expert in security world which is as competitive as any business to make my principal amount in¬ the crease?" For those who have their net them with figures their should tried, furnish immediate an¬ swer. "The main point with me," said Cyrus H. K. Curtis, founder of the Curtis Publishing Company, "has always been to get somebody who could do a job better than I could do it myself." William Rice to Be Davies Mejia Partner SAN Davies FRANCISCO, & Mejia, members of the San Francisco will admit CALIF.— Building, Russ New Stock William York and Exchanges/ R. Rice to ness." just is Staying with because it pays a a surely not the correct for income is secondary. March 1. Mr. Rice has been asso¬ , ciated with the firm for some time. is brought out in his attempt to aver-» age his original mistake—with the final result an overwhelming loss. sas growth of the barge industry. about cycle of prices tending downward; general partnership and Gertrude but the danger of large loss is in¬ Y. Rice to limited partnership on curred where a stock, is purchased cities in the Missouri Basin—Kan¬ has declined auto is most reserve, the on various keenest 1924, as a result of demands tically see if you are doing better from the shipping public/ Con¬ or worse than the rise or fall of gress passed the Inland Waterways the market and then, if you are Corporation Act. This act gave doing worse, begin to search for the Barge Line the status of a the defects of your "merchandis¬ corporation and financed it to the ing of your money." extent of $5 million. Under the The successful business execu¬ management of the Inland Water¬ tive is the first one to recognize ways Corporation, the Barge Line expanded ' its operations steadily. that "the first loss is the best This steady growth was aided by loss." The decision to take small the efforts of the government to losses is most important, as they improve the navigation facilities can so readily become very large The ability to understand of the Mississippi system. On the losses. Ohio, 53 dams and locks were where you have erred in a per¬ built to provide dependable chan¬ centage of security selections is nels for year-around navigation. very often the basis of handling The Mississippi River Commission funds to best advantage. This show of realism is unquestionably was created to set up a program important centers of industry as Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Chicago, New Orleans, Cincinnati, Houston, (glass) secu¬ as containers e v er a g e s, judgment, committed greatest vigilance and flexibility the for account of the traffic. b other such groups important to have a certain proportion of cash relative to the value of your holdings in and In in trucks, It money" to be successful in kind of business and thai calls while 50% as rities money" that is entailed in any other enterprise. "Money must any securities in groups such as oil, television, advanced as many venture which calls for the same earn Dow-Jones Industrial showed the business re a of any num¬ Averages closing at approximately yourself a and portfolio setting are fluctuation a per year purchas¬ of securi ties you means points of stocks selling at about this price level can change that num¬ ber of points in- a few days. The years 1946, 1947 and 1948 as established New Orleans to Mobile understanding, exclusively for the movement of all, active and, en¬ bulk goods in fleets' of barges. thusiastic participation in a com¬ A few farsighted businessmen be¬ mon and important effort. I shall came concerned over' the failure continue to talk about this rela¬ to use the natural advantages of tionship—because nothing is more the water highways for transport¬ important to the welfare of this ing general merchandise. In 1905 for improving the channel in the country than the building of a a group of businessmen in the lower Mississippi. As a result of sound and sympathetic under¬ Missouri Valley formed the Kan¬ this Commission's findings, ex¬ standing between business and sas City-Missouri River Transpor¬ tensive work was done to straight¬ tation Line, and built towboats government. en the channel and strengthen the and barges to carry freight from banks. Kansas Mutual Obligations City to St. Louis. This In the last 20 years the devel¬ Business and government have organization worked against tre¬ mutual obligations—what are the mendous odds in trying to operate opment of the navigation facilities a river freight system on the wild in the Mississippi Basin has pro¬ obligations of government to bus¬ and unimproved Missouri, but the ceeded steadily. A dependable iness? I can mention a few: straint, as pathetic-looking lists of securities. Economic and political changes are too important to be neglected Birmingham. By 1924 the tonnage ways of the Mississippi system had in their application to securities, bebn used chiefly for the trans¬ carried by the Line had increased so that reappraisal is constantly in to 1,071,000 tons. A comprehen¬ portation of crude/ oil and coal. Too few people inventory sive rate structure had been ar¬ order. Gredt fleets of coal barges were a their holdings regularly based on ranged with connecting railroads common sight on the Ohio and the actual market quotations. This so as to integrate the barge ser¬ Mississippi. The Federal Govern¬ vice with the transportation sys¬ should be done with relation to a ment helped to make this traffic The standard set of security tabula¬ feasible by keeping the channels tem of the entire Midwest. Federal Barge Line still had no tions such as the Dow-Jones Aver¬ free of snags and by building locks ages, so as to "chart" your prog¬ and dams where necessary to pro¬ permanent status, however, and ress or retrogression. In other vide year-around navigation. One was operated only as a branch of the the War Department. It could not words, on January 1, with of the most profitable uses of Dow-Jones Averages at 177, the river navigation was the trans¬ do business freely as >a corporate concern. Moreover, its fleet was value of your account is X dollars. portation of coal from the upper By methodical inventory of your Ohio to New Orleans, where it still inadequate to meet the de¬ In the 20 years of the first World War the water¬ by ocean-going In 1907, for instance, the length on the relations between steamer Sprague took a tow of 62 government and business, about coal barges from Louisville to the ways in which government New Orleans. These barges car¬ and business can work together ried 70,000 tons of coal and cov¬ Since I went to Washington near¬ ly professions such whole them¬ selves iness local freight between They become meaningful when only river towns, but soon joint rates they are applied to concrete situa¬ with connecting railroads were tions. Let us test them out against opinions of the people "at the established. By the end of its sec¬ a few concrete situations. grassroots." This term means ond year a fourth of the business something different to every offi¬ of the line consisted of freight The Federal Barge Line Charles the shown rela-^ to o n needs of the various on ^security dividend answer, It is the Graham, Parsons & Go. Admit Three Partners PHILADELPHIA, PA.—Graham, & Co, 1421 Chestnut Street, members of the New York Stock Exchange, will admit Dud¬ ley H. Bradlee II, Clayton F. Banks, Jr., and Charles P. White to partnership on Feb. ,17. Mr. Banks in the past was with C. C. Collings & Co. Mr. Bradlee and Parsons Mr. White Boston Square. are office, associated with the 10 Post Office Volume 169 Number 4776 THE Attacks On British COMMERCIAL Austerity Pierpont V. Davis. President of both by its Right-wing opponents and'its Left-wing supporters. on luxury imports, and foresees persistent demands by British labor unions for higher wages Harriman Points to criticism of British ban more / nounces Ripley & Co., Inc., an¬ Edward C. George, that Manager of the investment bank¬ ing threatening austerity policy. as • CHRONICLE George Named Harriman Ripley V.-P. Dr. Einzig reports opposition to British Government's austerity program FINANCIAL Edw. G. By PAUL EINZIG * & firm's University. A native of Chi¬ he has been active in all government bond drives and munity chest campaigns. (Special com¬ He is a Herrick. 8943 I, George served as 2nd office, 135 Street, since 1941, Financial HILLS, to x Chronicle) CALIF. — Waddell & Reed, Inc., Boulevard, have their staff Alex G. An¬ derson, John C. Lackey, Jr., Ray-; mond L. Marsile, and Doyne E. Morris. Mr. Lackey was previous¬ ly with First California Co. tenant in the Field Artillery. Valley Grain Company has been elected Vice-President in The Wilshire added Lieu¬ to BEVERLY i former President of the Bond Club of Chicago. During World War Mr. 11 Herrick Waddell Adds cago, Chicago South La Salle LONDON, ENGLAND—The Government's policy of austerity is ern (663) KANSAS CITY, MO.—Paul Uhlfire, not only on the part of its political opponents but charge of Chicago and midwestern mann is Sheather With Cohu Co. forming the Valley Grain operations. Mr. also on the part of its political supporters. George, who Company with offices in the Board Both Conservatives and (Snecial to The Financial Chronicle) j oined the firm in 1938, succeeds Socialists are attacking it, even though from totally different angles. of Trade Building. Officers will be LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—John the late Nathan D. McClure. At a time Mr. Uhlmann, President; R. Hugh P. Sheather has become affiliated when Sir are as high as Mr. George entered the invest¬ 100%—may then be Uhlmann, Vice-President, and Ed¬ with Cohu & Co., 634 South Spring Stafford lowered. Even ment so, the levelling banking business iri 1919 ward G. O'Dowd, Secretary-Treas¬ Street. Mr. Sheather was pre¬ C r i p p s down of incomes by high direct upon graduation from Northwest- urer. the viously with First California Co. taxation will continue to keep the Government, under heavy , , and the Brit¬ ish nation whole, domestic within a as are depend the self- denial ticed The prac¬ for that the sake down achieving equilibrium, there is Least possi¬ a at Dr. Paul Einzig may have to be weakened somewhat by concessions to meet Right-wing and Left-wing criticisms. Conservative criticism is directed mainly against one of the basic principles of the Four Year Plan, under which even luxury imports are to down continue the to markets. critics argue Four Year Plan Cripps intend to keep the export markets for even British bility that this policy luxuries overseas goxernment's under Sir Stafford of will their on for limits. British lux¬ industries ury c.omplimented upon demand narrow in 1952 be kept to a minimum. This prin¬ ciple is subject to strong attacks not only by those who disapprove the Government's equalitarian luxuries, as far as Western Europe is concerned. For the limitation of luxury imports is based nowadays on the prinicple of reciprocity. The less continental luxuries Britain will buy the less British luxuries will sold be on the continent. This in itself would not affect the British exchange position. But it does tend to nar¬ further down row the of volume British luxury production, and it does tend to keep up the cost of production. This would mean that it affects unfavorably the compet¬ capacity of British luxury exports in countries outside Eu¬ rope. Britain would earn less hard itive philosophy, but also by those Who currencies, and her trade balance believe that the undue curtailment with of would luxury imports is bound to heavily " on British luxury recoil hard ing it ac¬ The argument runs roughly as follows: The e q u i 1 i b r i u rn of Britain's balance of payments de¬ pends very largely on luxury ex¬ ports. In particular Britain's earn¬ ings of hard currencies are de¬ rived to from the cannot considerable a export of by any which of means manner described At necessities. as demand still exceeds overseas especially if, owing to the inabil¬ ity of continental countries to sell luxuries British the supply available. This is an important point to remember, be¬ cause it means that the high cost of production does not hinder the export of the goods in the lines on large a in scale LONDON the for hard-currency markets also suffers. The the conclusion above is that the equalitarian policy, government's far from inferred argument from tending to increase capacity to import nec¬ essities, tends actually to work in the opposite sense. This argument may be one-sided, but it is de¬ cidedly stronger than the conten¬ so Britain's tion that if more in the way; only Britain imported by it long run in some mysterious or that the import of luxury she is bound to benefit BRITISH INDUSTRIES FAIR Britain has ies is essential in order to induce produc-1the British worker to work harder high owing to1 for the sake of buying the luxuries the relatively small volume of production. And the only way in which this creased through volume be can in¬ substantially would be expansion of the. do¬ an mestic demand. Most exporting industries de¬ pend in the first instance on the steady demand of the domestic market, without which mass-pro¬ most which, of neither wants to incidentally, nor can he As for the Left-wing opponents austerity, their case is put in a research-, and from experience of commerce with much less sophisticated form. Many spokesmen of the working other nations, her industrial production has classes maintain that, unless the of government can see its way to re¬ duce the cost of living,'the labor the maintenance of consumption of luxuries. This aim is pursued partly through the al¬ location of priorities of labor, fuel and raw materials to industries ing. Already there have been and over¬ of Sir Stafford substantial the and Cripps is based on a wages ceil¬ wages inauguration there of signs are very increases since that policy, that wages working mainly for export, and partly through the imposition of a heavy, almost prohibitive, pur- demands will be heavier and Chase account of the increase of the cost tax all on luxuries. purchase tax - is not goods exported, and absence should of any charged even other in on the measures long way down domestic go This a it towards keeping demand for luxuries. This system is work¬ able in a sellers' market, but as soon as British luxury exports have to cope with foreign compe¬ tition in a buyers' market they will find themselves gravely handicapped by their relatively high cost of production due to the absence market. of an adequate domestic Possibly the purchase tax rates—which in many instances in the export of manufactured products. By initiative in moderm policy aims at keeping down home impossible way buy. unions are fully justified in der manding higher wages. The policy is charges are apt to be pro¬ hibitive. But the official British long been the world's greatest customer, and has led the he afford head duction BIRMINGHA I concerned. Yet the cost of tion is bound to be and markets, their capacity of competing degree goods present the government's policy is to earmark the bulk of the limited output of luxury industries for sale abroad. In a great many lines the position through aiming at surpluses in Europe. For is contended, European cur¬ rencies will remain inconvertible, counts. be hope to correct any this export international affected Nor is there exports and is therefore detri¬ mental to the prospects of balanc¬ Britain's countries unfavorably, currency be of entitled to another rise living during the last two on ever in history. has applied new dustries. By great numbers of the world's buyers are Every from year, over 100 countries, The Chamber and- of Commerce in Birmingham, manufacturers from every part of Britain with the British Government to quality of her work, Britain technique to her famous in¬ enterprise in fresh markets she has At BIF pacity, even with prewar level their real wages government more tion will find it much difficult to resist this opposi¬ to austerity than that of its thirty groups display the latest developments of allied trades. The leading achieved record deliveries, and export production international still expands. To keep in touch with these develop¬ world's greatest commerce are BUYERS —PLAN Information BONNER —Marvin in a S. SPRINGS, Mitchell securities is KANSAS engaging business from fices at 202 North Nettleton. of¬ can about YOUR exhibitors, special displays and be obtained from the nearest British of assembly of national products J WmM 2-13 H A Y .194 9 TRADE men m invited to attend the* VISIT Conservative critics. Marvin S. Mitchell Op ens join welcome 1949, from 2-13 May, three thousand exhibitors will years, have, if anything, increased. The trade buyers gather at the British Industries Fair. which reduced their spending ca¬ though compared principal making visits to Britain. them. Renowned for the more impatient. The workers feel they are become greater and more varied, than ments facilities at the-Fair Embassy, Legation or Consulate. N & COMMERCIAL THE (664) 12 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL months Bache Market Letter Illinois Brevities Has "New Look" Bache & usual the stere otyped Market Letter "the new this look" week. //./ re¬ issued every Tuesday, it is ings: Paul per stock (par $10) at $14.75 share. These shares represent the interest in the properties of the Blosser; late Max Pam in by the trustees of a trust created by the late Ernest R. Graham. The corporation is the owner of the office building, called the Insur¬ ance Exchange Building, and owns all of the stock of Underwriters adjoining the Insurance Exchange r t a but and i en- i n n g crisp style packed with la test devel¬ news opments from field the of finamce and industry, j its present distribution centers Stuart & Co. Inc. on Halsey, Jan. firm vestment bankers who maintains in office an It is the written by the firm's Advertising and Public Relations Manager, Henry Gel- lermann, formerly of the United Press who makes his headquar¬ with ters the Bache & Co. York main office of Wall St., New at 40 City. headed 20 The B. formerly Bowen, the of fiscal year Stock Angeles Ex¬ ceeds The interest. accrued to are be utility firm to the or properties A (no the bankers another headed investment bankers who 214% RR. certificates, ing to maturity. ture Wells Milwaukee Common s r $107,000 They will semi Inc. Stock v:;./>/■ ;■////;//// • Brailsford & Go. 208 S. La Salle Street i ; CHICAGO 4 participated Sunbeam Products Company Stock the (Analysis on to pay a $ Corp., increase capital stock, to Common of retiring bank loans. purpose Reynolds & N. Jan. Y., on 25% 540,000 no Chicago, lative Co., York, New 13 publicly preferred stock of¬ stock Affiliated (Del.), Gas war¬ of shares the the and Equipment, of Inc. of be used arrange¬ companies $4,000,000 15-year connection in $50,000,000 of consolidated mort¬ gage sinking 30-year 3% fund bonds, series K, due Jan. 1,1979, Steel Bethlehem of firms: C. A. at Corp. interest, were the Chicago investment and Allyn & Inc.; Co. A. G. Co. Inc.; Blunt, Ellis Bacon, Whipple Becker & Co.; & Central Simmons; Republic (Inc.); Julien Collins & Co.; Farwell, & Chapman members Mc- Others included Arnold their William Blair Co.; H. M. Byllesby & Co. (Inc.); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); and ianey, Wells & Co. issue only were: with V. The Co. stockholders common record of cently Electric Illinois Central Dec. 23, 1948 (Special stock common at Co. penditures (Calif.), finance during and the ex¬ the next 12 Members of Chicago Stock Exchange par on the basis of share for each six shares one new held,. Rights expired on Jan. 13, 1949. The proceeds will be applied (a) to the payment of' $600,000 of bank loans and to provide a por¬ tion of the funds required for the and present Tele. CG 146-7 Tel. DEarborn 2-5600 Common Ind Texas Eastern Transmission Common /' '''v, .. Chronicle) ^; us of trial on Jan. the 10 (Special $31 per to The Griffin Bache Advin E. staff of Co., 135 South La Salle has & Chron'^le) Financial ILL. joined CHICAGO, — the Street. With Barclay Inv. Parker to The Financial Co. Chronicle) ILL.— Joseph M. now associated with offering price is Barclay Investment Co., 39 South La Salle Street. Burr Richards (Special Inc., The to Opens Financial Chronicle) DOVER, MASS.—Burr Richard^ is engaging in a securities busi-r offices from ness on Burnham Road. share. KINGDOM UNITED 4% FUNDING LOAN Railroad Detroit Harvester DUE Common Mtinicipal Portsmouth Steel BOUGHT — 1960/90 SOLD — QUOTED Common Write-up Sent Metals Disintegrating Common Members New York Stock a.c. allyn™ company Incorporated 135 South Tel. ANdovpr L.a New ■ ■ '' •" Exchange CHICAGO MembezsHMcago Stock Exchange Associate.Member on Request , STRAUS & BLOSSER l'.ark ZIPPIN & Sa'l" St., Chicago 3, 111. Tele. CG 650-651 NEW YORK BOSTON OMAHA PHILADELPHIA KANSAS CITY / MILWAUKEE WATERLOO COMPANY 208 S. La Salle St., Chicago 4, MINNEAPOLIS FLINT / Specialists in Foreign Securities Curb 3-rrni ? \(» ANGELES, Public Utility Winters & Crampton • Co. Adds Financial- ■ CHICAGO, public of 400,000 shares of Koppers Company, Inc. common stock (par $10) were the following Chicago in Participating offering subscribed at the SECURITIES The ) -''if ' * With Bache & Co. * * ❖ A. C. Allyn & Farwell, Chapman & Co., Kebbon, McCormick & Co. and Sills, Minton & Co., Inc. This issue was quickly over¬ INVESTMENT to (Special / Co., 209 S. La Salle Street-Chicago 4 '■ ■' rill banking houses: William A. Fuller & Co. '• ($15 per share) Payne capital ' ILL H. Ballantyne mand for of National ; CALIF.—Ar-r is with Mer¬ Lynch. Pierce, Fenner & Beane, 523 West Sixth Street. re¬ given the right to 80,000 additional were ' LOS written. to ' Merril! Lynch of Gas & is circles, is a the of with who Arnold, ■ (Ohio), Day & Night balance Mr. Security Traders Association. (Calif.) of.. Dresser and that Henry J„ associated now President past Mfg. Co. is firm. Stock Cincinnati announce well known in trading Heater Co. subsidiaries the of Exchange, bond in the underwriting of the Henry J. Arnold „ The Kebbon, and Co.; Co.; Industries, Inc., namely: Bryant Furnace It is 627,960 (no par contemplated con¬ struction program of the company. This offering was not under¬ owned on of stock 19 common at $32.50 per share, and value) shares insurance Trust v Jan. on shares of at completed B. Cohle Building, O.—H. Union Participants in the public of¬ fering at 4% notes. The net proceeds are presently shares :'i= !."! stock to sell, by private place¬ issue Co., 1948, operations Sept. 8, $1,010,384. stock In addition, the firm to CINCINNATI, & amount to common ments an and stock dividend now preferred latter ment, pro¬ value, H. B. Cohle & Go. subscribe $9.25 per share. Jr., par stock ($1 par value) common p?r purchase 1,0D0,000 and rants, ($50 Gearhart, Television nondetachable with value), authorized authorized and outstanding. request.) 94 by the acquisition of three Wholly its par of headed group bankers fered 40,000 shares of $3 cumu¬ $ capital. record Cormick & Co. investment Jr. President; L. Richard Kinnard, Vice-President; Edward V. Otis, Vice-President and Treasurer; and Karl G. Berg, Secretary and Assistant Treasurer. * of Gearhart, D. F. Frederick are Henry J. Arnold With Illinois nation-wide A to t<t : * of firm new D. to are working directors following $10,000,000 from two New insurance companies for the the prod¬ • Officers ; payable Feb. 15 to stockholders of Co. this in The York equipment trust certificates serially $187,000 on each J an. 15,1950 to 1959, inclusive, at prices to yield 1.60% to 2.80%, according to maturity. The Illinois Co. and McMaster Hutchinson & Co., also poses -i City. improve¬ for 45 at Fund, Inc., have declared an ini¬ tial dividend of 10 cents per share, & 2V2% Chicago, offering. proceeds * loan of ma¬ screws, pay additional 100y2 ' preferred stockholders of Liquid Carbonic Corp. on Jan. approved a long-term 3%% 28 underwriting syndicate Halsey, Stuart & Co. Jan. 13 offered $1,870,000 of International Cellucotton new The due | & The net proceeds used to pay for r the International-Great Northern RR. ; Farwell, construction, etc. by on Co.; 1 annually - for Co.; (Inc.); and Martin, Burns be to are July 1, 1949 to Jan. 1, 1964, headed ' t.-'- & Co. & Mullaney, Co.; Carl McGlone & Corbett, Inc. Another Railway Cen¬ Co.; & Co., Inc.; common Chicago, North Shore & Inc.; The Illinois Co.; Byllesby Collins & Chapman inclusive. I Co. & (Inc.); Mason, Co.; Harris, Hall & Co. & M. Julien to bolts, started & prices net leading similar and to a Moran & H. equipment at of tral Republic Co. Blair on Burlington used Bacon, Whipple & Co.; William group 15, Jan. Feb. 5, 1949. Chester D. Tripp, President, also announced that. net assets of this Fund, which Becker publicly offered $3,210,- Chicago, from at $19.50 per Chicago bankers C. Allyn & Co. Inc.; A. G. A. yield 1.30% to 2.5214%, accord¬ Corp. • stock common The were: com¬ Co. value) par share. group of Electric & new will Nassau Street, York ments, to retire bank loans, and Jan, 18 par¬ shares of Southern Indiana Gas also headed trust Income 5%-—1952 on , to be made of the due The be for the cost pay note manufacturer in¬ together with others, e- secu¬ New 1964, of The Lamson & Sessions ucts. vestment houses r-t h fices private $1,500,000 3%% a rivets and by promissory the nuts, net pro¬ used placement of year of Illinois e in rities. The Chi¬ Co., & arranged has $41,171,009, against $29,183,806 for the preceding year. Another group o v d a n deal maintain of¬ Curtis Clement, cago, Sales for the (Inc.); Sills, Minton & Co. Inc.; 000 Central Public Utility fiscal Gear- gen¬ to firm Co., Cleveland, Ohio, additions, extensions and im¬ Quincy j the for of banking counter $ parent company and its subsidi¬ aries for the 1948 year totaled mortgage bonds, series C, Jan. 12 change. share, in the public offering of 685,000 due Jan. I, 1979, at 102.375 :J: !■: a business York, N. Y. the of made firm invest¬ ment New is the Otis, Inc., to conduct ended Dec. 25, 1948, a ended Dec. 27, 1947. publicly & of Kinnard nart. secondary offering of 24,306 capital stock of The Peo¬ ples Gas Light & Coke Co. was made Jan. 20 at par ($100 per share) by Union Securities Corp., profit, after taxes, of $5,752,843, equal to $10.65 per share, as compared with $3,440,546, or $6.37 $10,000,000 Central Illi¬ Public Service Co. first Announcement formation Co., & Inc. Co., & the Corp. reports for Minton well, Chapman & Co.; and II. M. net per Sills, Straus & A outstanding. Sunbeam with Spring Street, members Los Otis Formed in NY Inc.; Co., & Co.; shares of transferred $3,240,000 to stated capital out of earned surplus. / ' 621 .South share per be of six underwriters by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. on Feb. 3 publicly offered First California Co., has become $5,000,000 first mortgage bonds, associated with Marache. Sims & 3 % series due 1979, of The Union Light, Heat & Power Co., a Ken¬ Co.1, 458 South Spring Street, tucky corporation. The net pro¬ members of the Los Angeles Stock ceeds will be used to retire $2,Exchange. 067,000 of 6% first mortgage bonds, series A, and $228,700 of 6% first mortgage bonds, series B, Lester & Co. Add both due Aug. 15, 1949, and the (Special to The Financial Chronicle) balance to finance, in part, new .^.LOS. ANGELES, CALIF.—John construction. R. Nevins is with Lester & Co., On Jan. 12 the same Chicago LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬ liam cents & eral At the time of such stock dividend there would pany. Chronicle) Financial 50 nois to With Marache, Sims of rate ticipated, of to underwriters Allyn C. A. H. Davis Bylllesby the increased number of shares offered provements made 1 (Special dend of in¬ group a the regular quarterly divi¬ to be bankers: A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc.; Riter & Co.; Straus &/Blosser; Hickey & Co., Inc.; M. C. Gibson & Co.; Ames, Emerich & Co., Inc.; Julien Collins Co. and Sills, Minton & Co., Inc. maintain to proposed the present on Republic Co. (Inc.) in the offering are the following additional Chi¬ cago ' also Associated with Central Building. around Mid-Manhattan where the Chrysler Bldg. Gearhart, Kinnard & The fol¬ Inc.; Mason, Moran & Co.; Far- is owned<8>—— written in I y v e Building his heirs since the construction of the North or The other 50% 1912. prepared news Henry Gellermann made on Jan. 26 of 82,500 shares of Insurance Building Corp., which in turn is the owner of an office building attract i te Illinois lowing addi¬ provide participated in the stock offer¬ Co., • to and tional working capital. Exchange Building Corp., Chicago, common Public offering was members of the New York Stock Exchange, gave . Thursday, February 10, 1949 Telephone RAndoIph 6-4696 Illinois . Teletype CG 451 > Volume 169 Number 4776 COMMERCIAL THE Landon Warns of Excessive Oil Truman, former Republican Presidential can¬ didate says American oil industry is threatened with depression because of heavy influx of imports. Points to sagging crude and ■V- national defense. Landon, former Kansas Governor and one time Republican Presidential candidate, in a letter dated Feb. 2 addressed to President r u m urged a tailment I of American oil industry of high prices and earnings. In the event of United a national emergency, that pol¬ icy would plunge us into the same or¬ der to prevent serious a hole re¬ cession tion. and I duction, our oil. oil industry of f f i u s i c Alf M. Landon national defense. Recommending related directly sySiem the of needs domestic quota a the industry, to Mr. Landon declared that the pro¬ well as as ducers. President Harry S. Truman, White House, writing related oil defense. first the 1948, climbed of part imports have barrels 280.000 nearly subject closely on a the price of Lower prices, or threat of lower prices, in the the crease cieased import But stead of to increase at and total in- has import of Nov. 30, 1948. in striking contrast to 30.2%, That de¬ refined of with that de¬ even is increase as all for demand in petroleum products in 1948, which only few per cent over 1947. a of S were have not only been but intensified United put for abroad and exporter finds his business he would rather turer is reluctant to enter the of oil replacement cost produced under the present costs of labor, steel and other es¬ sential materials. they should, as be disastrous from of national known the standpoint It is defense. fact that transportation of well- a production and Middle East many related to the needs of the domes¬ tic is merce policy. This might mean that foreign producers would have to forego supplying scale. - In such an event, neither we nor friendly European nations could benefit from a Russia now and markets pean turn Middle to East nations would oil, be forced to immediately to this country supply. for their oil I would never advocate that im¬ • ports should be curtailed inated elim¬ or simply to permit the pro¬ ducing of domestic oil at the fast¬ est possible rate. middle and But there between course inefficient drafts oil reserves on a our own hand and one on is excessive ex¬ cessive imports on the other. That course lies in closely regulated import quotas for foreign oil and in the strict observance of the principles of conservation in de¬ veloping and producing domestic oil. Such with a formulated security and eco¬ program, national nomic welfare require that its base, would concessions be made by all interested groups, in light - as of the some stability program would which this create, the cost of •these concessions would be small •compared would with result the from imports. losses which uncontrolled in wish to feasible every the nations receiving our Procurement Letters of Authorization Commitment be asking for the ex- I L. and made transactions under the European Don¬ Strong and Mr. G. C. Whipple, met last Friday irl Washington with a number of High officials of the ECA and present^ ed the recommendations to them.; I want to thank the representa¬ tives of the ECA and of the De¬ partment of Commerce and other government agencies who partici¬ pated in the conference, for their courtesy. However, we have nqt accomplished much. The (3) That financial arrangements payments to suppliers under its satellites with a can cause purchases in ECA ficials ECA) of¬ charged with the responsi¬ bility of carrying out the Program, were more concerned with im¬ mediate goals than with the long- interests range of our domestic and foreign trade. I gained the impression that they are more concerned with conserving dollars allocated under the Program than with the future of American for¬ used for make some sacrifices. On occa¬ < U. S. production as efficiency This would permit ually build to grad¬ us which up would safety a the be margin could be put to use if, for any reason, imports were cut off. Such a safety factor enabled us to oil the last equally war. It might prove valuable in some future foregoing para¬ graphs, the program I j suggest might require that sacrificesi be made by all. would work efit all of But those to sacrifices the ultimate ben¬ concerned—the con¬ the domestic producer, and producer in foreign fields. sumer. the and of Europe form or another by every cit¬ Excessive oil imports would izen. surely have such a weakening ef¬ to allay this fect. Decisive action As and Cash other It wars. . . render aid to other nations and to spend bil¬ tain dollars annually ventures. Let this freedom . . . . . Foreign trade is the I merits the that we of now European Program. . . . 30,474,234 . . . . 883,738 . . 979,126 . . . . 713,578 6,750,000 Chicago Title and Trust Building Corporation Title Records and Indexes encroach Total Assets integrated Recovery ; . . 1,500,000 . . $45,053,417 . . $13,757,831 . . . . 360,000 . . 1,327,739 . *After Reserve Provisions not going into the am Program. I LIABILITIES hope the billions of dollars which Trust and Escrow Cash Balances spending will accomplish proclaimed purpose and that are the Cash Europe will be self-supporting in 1952. the distribution - spent for European Aid. While in Chicago and in the Midwest contribute the Aid a substantial funds, we are share as Accounts .... Indemnity against Dividend Payable of purchases un¬ Program. Deposits Specific Title Guarantee Risks But I do want to touch upon der the we -yh>* main¬ us and Stocks of Associated Title Companies al¬ on it only in extreme need. upon '•••.'• V is Mortgages, Real Estate and other Investments* truistic • ...... Marketable Securities* country European to • ASSETS enabling this to. support the Western nations, American SHEET BALANCE of December 31,1943 this freedom that is of an Chicago • Accounts and Notes Receivable* lions need supply the On the other hand, if the oil As you know, 11 cents of each industry should be seriously weak¬ dollar that yop as an individual ened by a lack of foresight in or as a corporation pay in taxes policy, the cost would be paid in are one Washington Street CONDENSED with materials two in weapons with emergency. As stated in the nations parts of the globe national interest dictated. later Program. soldier's a to us Aid COMPANY Ill West country the greatest in the world; that has enabled will will we countries which CHICAGO TITLE AND TRUST that material because war other funds blood poisoning; shoelace is be mit with supply oil supplies. Furthermore, without access it may part of the shoe. which they factor, margin be¬ tween the ability of fields to pro¬ Euro¬ duce and actual production. That these States to de¬ they Coopera^ The commit¬ Mr: J. export controls until June 30, 1951. it sion, restrictions might be imposed on large That Since we became a nation we very profitably in pursued a light of their low costs. policy of individualUnder this program American freedom and freedom of trade. It is this policy that has made our producers would also have to could and any in all matter tion Administration. consisting of nelly, Mr. A. M. Assdr? committee fb with the bx,f a tohsion ot wartime of tional oil in on the volume industry, crude oil could not be maintained the event of hostilities whether manufactur¬ traders for foreign Manufacturers' Recovery Program be carried out eign markets. They are overlook¬ ing the simple truth: that in trying in every feasible manner through industry workers and serious to rebuild the 16 Western Euro¬ private enterprise. ioss to After the termination of the royalty owners, farmers pean nations, we must not dis¬ and others' who depend on oil in¬ war, we established controls over (5) That in encouraging interregard our national or local come. Such developments would scarce materials. There was logic European trading, the Economic interests, that we must maintain We needed materials in Cooperation Administration take seriously weaken the industry and to it. our foreign markets for our ex¬ adversely affect the whole na¬ short supply for our own economy. full cognizance of the needs of panded industries because, if we tional economy. Later, we added additional con¬ our expanded industries for over¬ do not protect our own interest, Under a quota system directly trols. We did not want to supply seas markets and should not per¬ bring unemployment to domestic Aside from the economic factors involved, lower crude prices would enable sections of the United States. trade because of the red tape and intricate procedures. im¬ strategic materials that could be Under the impact of this volume ports could be set periodically at used in a war against us. There of foreign oil, prices of some re¬ levels designed to provide the vol¬ was logic to it. Now, the Depart¬ fined products have sagged, and ment of Commerce has placed un¬ ume of additional oil needed after the price of domestic crude oil due consideration of the amount der control everything shipped to is now softening. Lowered crude which should be commodities produced in this Europe and many oil prices would touch off a re¬ We seem to country. Determination of that shipped elsewhere. cession in the American oil indus¬ be operating on the amount would entail studies of all theory that a try. for the present price barely factors pertinent to a sound na¬ pin is a deadly weapon because represents would producers and manner be Illinois States.\J President of tee Aid be requested to distribute the business equitably throughout all engaged in any other enterprise. The average American manufac¬ Mansure, throughout (2) in¬ so with the United Mr. E. F. ecutives of the Economic participate in the business. American trade Cooperation Administration be publicized well in advance termine We have enabling our Western Hernia sphere customers to continue their this parts of the United foreign com¬ of regulations on * our that in we advisable) appointed the pur¬ preference should be given to Latin-American countries, thus discuss ers, imposed off-shore deemed are ciation which maintained States "have chains volved a short time. mistaken; the controls S'V"; Whenever (6) chases the country, giving the description of the commodity, quantity and other pertinent data \ no eventually undermine or destroy American foreign markets, That requests of European (1) that under nations approved by the Economic through local banks. We started out with would discourage wildcatting and "emerg¬ (4) That government trading development, cause premature ency" controls over a few exports a few abandonment of large number of and imports but the I represents unwarranted encroachstripper wells, thus causing do¬ "emergencies" have now become oient m the field _of private enmestic reserves to diminish in¬ permanent. The Secretary of Com-1 terpnse and thaV accordingly, oil products. was healthy. However, it will not be healthy if crude oil imports into this coun¬ try are allowed to reach a volume to There has been, however, a the reasonable devel¬ day present. crease We only Strong , foreign trade controls. have believed opment of foreign oil supplies and daily a barrels 500,000 ' I even national to Since from com¬ M. A. the domestic crude. Dear Mr. President: crude steel Administrator: would be maintained ■: Association, being cog¬ made the fol¬ recommendations to the this fact, of lowing they panies to develop Middle East oil. which breaks the present Washington, D. C. am grant of export licenses for in order to enable American nizant controls felt and I told ago, bounds to be The full text of his letter is re¬ produced herewith: I of Directors of the Illinois Manu¬ facturers' sacrifices by the encouragement of interna¬ merce with a maze foreign pro¬ tional restrictions. An trade within reasonable arid entail would gram American years Averill Harriman, then Sec¬ of Commerce, that I was oil producer who defended his one . over and these retary magnitude for our About two ! Mr. t e n its have supported the reciprocal trade agreements which meant an increase in imports of Venezuelan as a means having with by the ECA has, so negligible. The Board been controls critical oil p r o excessive destruction of upon far, imports domestic production and explora¬ imports in , created ness xercised exchange. However, we were highly home of depending as prices and e importer or was — or gov ernments He Ten years — ing in the benefits of the Program other restric¬ ,in the same proportion as other ts ons. True, sections of the country. The share many foreign of the Middle West in the busi¬ censes ,v: . domestic trader. same manner as a 1 i-<§> quotas, not one who would gut our stockpile simply to insure the expanding oil imports into in about his business in the am oil the States ago could go n, cur¬ a By a. m. strong* Doing business in 1949 is entirely different from doing business in 1939. foreign trade was a free enterprise in the United States. An exporter Alf M. T 13 Vice-President, American National Bank, Chicago discouraging production and adversely affecting as (665) Imports In letter to President refined oil prices CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & . . . ........ Payable, Taxes and Accruals . . . . Reserves Capital Stock , . 3,117,979 . . 12,000,000 . . 8,000,000 . . 3,803,482 . . $45,053,417 . Surplus Undivided Profits . 2,686,386 of not shar- Total Liabilities threat is urgently needed. With and highest best personal regards wishes. Sincerely, • ALF M. LANDON \ (signed). *Opening remarks of Mr. Strong at the World Trade Forum, spon¬ sored by turers' Feb. the Illinois Association, 3, 1949. Manufac¬ Chicago, 111., Assets in the pledged and to escrow amounts provided by of Illinois have been statutes qualify the Company to do business and to secure trust cash balances. „ ,''7 , «-• ,,":—;—1_1 14 THE (666) COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Basic Aims of Bank and Insurance Stocks Thursday, February 10, 1949 Republican Paity ' By THOMAS E. DEWEY * Governor of New York By II. E, JOHNSON This t In first political address since election, defeated Republican Parly presidential candidate deplores party split due to opposing extremist views in party membership. Cautions those v/ho want to turn back the clock to early 19th century tenets, but opposes following New Deal principles. Says all Americans be- Week—Insurance Stocks During the past two weeks several additional fire and casualty companies have issued their annual reports for the year just ended. «. lieve government today has to be more than a cold and impartial umpire, and urges extremists to aban¬ don Party. Attacks Administration's foreign policy as not being world-wide in scope and asserts "we " insurance In reviewing these statements, the improved results from under¬ writing for the various companies is impressive. Although losses con¬ tinued to rise, recent rate increases and a larger premium volume enabled most companies to show a profitable underwriting experi¬ • This ence. Also, • funds , when viewed against the number of companies last a available investment for that the return common on losses year. purposes. other This, combined with noise. of which insurance stocks com- panies own large amounts was considerably higher, allowed further improvement in investment income. From the reports issued so far, the results indicate that 1948 was • a profitable very of Two the statements for most insurance companies. year larger and prominent companies more publish to the Great American Insurance Co. Comments on the operations of these companies for the past year are presented below. recently AETNA V . . . . have been the Co. Insurance Aetna and premium writings for the in 1948 totaled $96,222,-309 or $2,584,199 higher than the $93,638,410 written a year earlier. The management voluntarily tried to hold down the premium volume and the percentage increase was limited to 2.7%. A considerable portion of the gain was accounted for by the casualty subsidiary. Losses paid also were somewhat higher but the increase was relatively minor when compared with the large gains in other years. Expenses and taxes continued to gain Aetna shared larger amount of a lati but there too the increase was fairly small. a by with of As calltd this fair continue, as past, to merely that of occasional visitor. Recent have it that clear Re- no Dewey going to live at 1600 Pennsylvania anyway. No Democratic President is living there either. Avenue spite of the attempt to hold down premium volume, the un- The White House has been iin earned premium reserve was higher by $6,241,711. This was smaller Democratic hands so long that, the government itself, it's than the $12,186,420 increase reported a year ago and for this reason like underwriting operations were profitable. For the year the consoli¬ falling apart. dated underwriting profit was equal to $3,252,100. This compared So, if those 29,000 votes had with loss a ments was forjthe previous year of $5,752,642. Income from invest¬ gone the other way last Novem also higher amounting to $3,420,911 for 1948 as against ber, I would have faced a double $2,929,345 for 1947. increase amounted to The $491,566 approxi¬ or mately 17%. Based to the 1.000,C00 shares of capital stock outstanding, the per share results for the year compared with those of 1947 are estimated as follows. No consideration has been given to Federal income taxes which were charged directly to surplus. on Underwriting, earnings _____ 1948 1947 $3.25 -$5.75 investment 3.42 2.93 earnings 9.17 2.05 premium writings income of $3,478,869. the increase in premium earlier. /As in the case pared with an increase of $10,677,179 a year of level of Aetna, losses and expenses increased, but with a higher operations results generally favorable. were Great American has Per share results for the past two years before taxes are estimated allowance for Federal follows: as Equity change in unearned premium reserve Net underwriting earnings-: investment Net earnings 1948 1947 $0.62 2.19 2.81 -$1.72 2.43 2.13 5.24 3.03 income Daniel Hawkins With it has joined the sales department of William E. New York City. Mr. Hawkins was formerly for many years with Sal¬ Bros. & Hutzler. 2.-32 early age, to the role of statesman, which someone elder defined longer aptly is who at no BREAKDOWNS . GROWTH INCOME associates With a role 19 N. Y. CITY BANK STOCKS Sent on request Ry. were awarded equipment trust 2% Members New York Stock J 20 to our country. is permits, 20 now Telephone: BArclay since years our In that whole pe¬ President. elected we Congress, is This Republican a two once, ago. that is years record dismal a is It of The Feb. 2 certifi¬ certificates,! issued Philadelphia plan, were . authorization, yield 'frdm "1.25% at to prices 2.30%, to ac¬ cording to maturity. Associated in the offering were A. G. Becker & Co. Inc.; Freeman & Co.. and Mc- Hutchinson & Co. impor¬ desperate the country to lest the into we abyss slip of to The proceeds will be used to provide to find scape¬ to make excuses, I would or 7-3500 Teletype—NY 1-1248-49 (L. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.) for not more than 80% of cost, estimated new Cars... 70-ton ... at bring out in the open one problem. The Republican It has for years, gloss it We have tried to deny it Gondola ■■■-•v)'"-: is agree is what If, be fatal the to nineteenth the to even I to wide have open tried to ourselves and conceal doesn't work. face open I get it right and look at it. we out in the Then, let's do about it. can We have in That it suggest that we it, what see 1920's century, you Republican Party and other the dead¬ est pigeon in the country. On fke other Wand, we can't" Out¬ promise the tried to out-bid with the If we Democrats Democrats., the public money, it would be wrong, immoral and a betrayal of our party and our country. Moreover, you couldn't out-prom¬ ise the Democrats if you tried be¬ cause they will promise anything to anybody to get a vote. What we ought to do is to stop bellyaching about the past, either the distant past or the immediate making it ever¬ to the country stand and why. And past, and start lastingly clear we that should not be too-hard to do. Wants Forward Progressive our such consider programs. these These one Unless it was we back-wistfully to the address mis- by Gov. Dewey at Day Dinner of the Party, Washington, C., Feb. 8, 1949. Con¬ something. mean designed to deceive, mean liberal and progres¬ are a Let's let the' people know. quibbling stop that issues about Let's ourselves among are and dead gone. Party Should Meet Aims of Young Most of all, must make our we vehicle the party aims the for and ambitions of the young the of country. gratifying last people One of the most that things fall that was happened the in high schools and colleges of this coun¬ try from Maine to California our party the choice of a heavy of the students. We was majority should these welcome young people with open arms, bring them in, give them a voice in our decisions, a part of the responsi¬ bility of carrying them out, and again make ours the party of youth. I But that if still hear people can what mean we we say say in platforms, then how are we different from the Democrats? If our what Republican mean we said ers throughout the speak¬ nation in support of our plat¬ year have we into the war. us terrible After Allied arms won sacrifices, the the greatest mili¬ tary victory in history. And then almost immediately the Com¬ sive party. To be entirely munist conquest of our traditional specific, they say Chinese allies began.. It was this our party has present National Administration solemnly declared that we belive which supinely sat by and allowed wholeheartedly in unemployment it to happen. and that mean in insurance, assistance old-age pn increased basis, in broader social security generally, iii slum clearance and public housing, in public development of our water in resources, power farm price supports, in vigorous protection of the rights of labor. All these necessary; D. whether as voters or public officers, believe in the party plat¬ dp dissent at the National vention. It must the departures into pa¬ would actually re¬ peal them all. These people be¬ lieve in a laissez-faire society and Lincoln out and try to get typical American to offer than the perfectly clear that only a Democrats? progressive, forward-looking Re¬ publican party can provide the Differences With the Democrats leadership this country needs and The difference is as wide as the must ultimately get. The over¬ ocean. Let me be specific again. whelming majority of all Ameri¬ In foreign affairs one difference cans in both parties believe that is that we Republicans have in¬ government today has to be more sisted on a world-wide foreign than a cold and impartial umpire. policy and not merely a European That has been the position of foreign policy. It is the bitterest our party consistently, both in the irony that it was America's tra¬ Congress and in our party's plat¬ ditional friendship for China and forms. That position has been our insistence upon her integrity repeatedly affirmed in national conventions. In 1948, our platform that brought about the Japanese attack at Pearl Harbor which took was unanimously voted without programs and Republican a form, then, they ask, what better Party horrendous the go in forms, and it is up to us to make it clear that those platforms are the real intent of the party. last ternalism look bury can as or on party some fine, high-minded patriotic people, who honestly oppose farm price sup¬ port, unemployment insurance,, old-age benefits, slum clearance people to cans, country. its various sections say and over. dis¬ party, we try to go back as a the to that fatal to our party and courses are would fact not so important, but important is that both that split we the $2,650,000,: of all-steel The extremes. patty is split wide open. *An 500 and want to beyond it as rapidly as possible at almost any cost and regardless of consequences. Personally, I disagree with both been but ought elected It is country lasted elected a Republi¬ can those are to embrace seem I Exchange BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Bell . under the Ma'ster Laird, Bissell & Meeds that should discuss with you some of that beset our party and ills It which bluntness the who far go where the enviable like $2,120,000 Wheeling & Lake Erie ICC 1948 politician candidate for a as office. any goats immediately reoffered, subject to , compara¬ a Republican Party Is Split & Co. Inc. and Halsey, Stuart clusive. GOV'T BOND PORTFOLIOS , but that whatsoever one-party government. Aug. 15, 1949 to Feb. 15, 1959, in¬ AND the party for graduated unconsciously 0.90 cates, due $106,000 semi-annually SOURCES OF that theoretical the been cans. Halsey, Stuart Offers Pollock & Co., Inc., 20 Pine Street, omon office an tively tance Wheeling & 1. E. Equip. Hawkins is It of anybody will listen to you. I have basic W. head party. and honorable with mythical titular as Without seeking Daniel straight important not merely to Republi¬ Underwriting earnings Net known riod 1,630,000 shares of capital stock outstanding. second a Republican has other extreme in the party the somewhat that to like volume, unearned premium re¬ serves also gained although not as much as in the previous year. For 1948 the increase in this reserve amounted to $8,936,924, com¬ With for right to speak no guarantee Operating profit for the group before taxes was $4,978 335 and consisted of $1,010,316 in underwriting earnings and $3,968,019 in net investment income. This compared with 1947 net income of $669,165, including a statutory underwriting loss of $2,809,704 and net investment term the considerably increased group re-elected office during the past year and reached a record volume of $78,405,141, $10,553,815 higher than in 1947. This was an increase of approximately 15% in premiums. { this and Instead, I find that I have been carries underwriting earnings GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE—Combined for in, ancient Net income.,. live 0.88 Net - White House two Democratic crisis—no houses to live with. 4.87 2.50 5.75 Equity change in unearned premium reserve Net housing the an the entire New Deal was In • of duty At the £. Thomas publican President sole the in the made of days" community and see what happens opposition to them. But they ought not to party is opposition. They urge do it as Republicans. They ought Republicans in and out of Con¬ not to get their personal preju¬ dices confused .with the basic gress to fight every proposal of a Democratic administration, re¬ •aims the Republican party has re¬ gardless of its merits. This group peatedly set forth in its platforms. also honestly The people who want to turn believes and says the clock back are a very small with considerable vigor that all Republicans who support these percentage of the Republican party, though sometimes they forward-looking programs are "me, too" Republicans and no seem to make all the noise. I believe that 95% of all Republi¬ better than New Dealers. re- h i p s events lear call to duty. But last November it turned century. They also take tne position that city of Washi n g t o n ..will an < old "goocl nineteenth a my o n great many others, that I had a a some kind result, INSURANCE—Combined net group outpromise the Democrats." great pleasure to come to Washirgton—even if it is only for a visit. At one time last year I expected to come for a longei stay. I was under the impression, which was out to be premium volume continued to rise, as was the fact indeed encouraging was reported by cannot It is of are adopted assembled. I They are in believe convention that we, as representatives of our party, are bound by these principles and are under a duty to carry them out. Those who rushing tragedy/ Congress forced for aid to China. istration failed icy and that good. they are right; they pre officially declared principles the Republican party as solemnly Fifteen months ago I called the attention of the nation to the on- disapprove of these principles and want to fight them and tions. our the But the Admin-^ utterly in its pol¬ its implementation of succeeding appropria¬ We spectacle The Republican appropriation an now of see the appalling people, 400,000,000 traditional friends and allies, Chinese, threatened with com¬ plete Communist conquest. We witnessing are resenting a the fright¬ all Asia, rep¬ majority of all of the ening spectacle of people of the world,'falling ever (Continued on page 38) Volume 169 COMMERCIAL THE Number 4776 1 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (667) 15 ...... Congress and Problems oi Small Business By IION. JAMES E. MURRAY* NSTA Notes U. S. Senator from Montana • Senator Murray, asserting major economic problem facing nation is to prevent serious depression, and, on other hand, to prevent growth of centralized economic power, contends we must revise, modernize and strengthen our antitrust and unfair trade practices laws. Looks for 81st Congress to enact legisla¬ MEMPHIS At SECURITIES DEALERS tion to maintain maximum CLUB I meeting of the Memphis Security Dealers Club held Jan. 21, a 1949, the following officers elected: were claim can in the creation of the Senate a c t i o n peared a time as sult Special Committee the I think you the but House business with con¬ result¬ cerns from great depres¬ came ; Trexler President—R. > Fred a useful Richard S. Harris small business lution was real Nathane, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Vice-President—C. Arnold Taylor, William P. Harper Son & & Co. was the Secretary—Homer Bateman, Pacific Northwest L. Stein, Bramhall & Stein. Company. Treasurer—W. In Louisville's Industrial Growth In memorandum a the small America. That Senator from newspapers issues of stock. received the mone y their - -from s "During local for tart this total a 15 investment of dealers had the tion, companies and, in addi¬ maintain markets for the bankers older ones. the compa¬ nies have C. King the services of in Louisville were funds. Later some orig¬ or pri¬ of these through the issuance bonds, marketed by local dealers, offered an interest to the public in their company. There are local concerns that of stocks or - might not have made the grade had the help of financing as worked out by local investment dealers. The part played by these local had they long-term not investment bankers in the indus¬ trial and financial growth of Louisville can best be local used list stock as a of if the seen quotations is guide." 1934," Mr. King points further, "there were quoted in the local newspapers, under Local Stock Quotations, a total of 23 different issues of stock. Of all the concerns in Louisville at that time, only 23 issues of stock outstanding in the hands public to the extent that quoted years market was were of the a given. daily Five later this list had grown to 40 issues. in By 1944, a war period, time and educating the to curities. up so much continue ever since. problems in the coming because of the knowledge plight of small business through that committee succeeded, in 1942, in set¬ the Small Business Di¬ in Board and the War later the Small Today, small business aid small from in 1940, he sees presenting one of as as faced business, with owning of building local se¬ dealers have did a ting through to our be told Truman free enterprise and strong Clothiers the economy healthy, and Furnishers, York City, Jan. 25, 1949. proper con¬ interests those be not subordinated we And driving up store, big business and its fu¬ ture growth be not diminished through the imposition of govern¬ war ment procedures favoring monpolistic enterprises. Effects business for the of Business There it the was be can has years Concentration doubt that no independent the obvious that trations of are able distribution of the clothing war own and either as chairman huge concen¬ industry expansion of small inde¬ business. So, if small organize conduct and Adantic Coast Line Railroad 2Vi% watched this trend monopoly develop. We have seen gradual elimination of the small a in business concerns of the country during the depression, while (Continued or on page : Equipment Trust, Series J Equipment Trust Certificates To To be mature annually $711,000 on each March 1, 1950 to 1964, inclusive guaranteed unconditionally as to payment of par value and dividends by endorsement by Atlantic Coast Line Railroad Company, in Priced to yield 1.45% to 2.80%, according to maturity Issuance and sale of these Certificates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission, Offering Circular may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulatedfrom only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. The continue this phase of the in¬ business and trust that we have can Other hand in the future a and State local local associated with us on HALSEY, STUART & CO. INC. industries: dealers been have of some , A. G. BECKER R. W. PRESSPRICH & CO. , our underwritings. We hope that this EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION & CO. INCORPORATED HORNBLOWER & WEEKS fine relationship will continue and can all local work investment dealers tries." LEE HIGGINSON "Oft ./ ■ The BOSTON, Kammer Estabrook members Boston has & of Stock Financial WILLIAM the A. staff New MICHIGAN CORPORATION & COMPANY BLAIR THE ILLINOIS COMPANY & COMPANY BURR & f WM. E. POLLOCK & CO., INC. COMPANY, INC. HAYDEN, MILLER & CO. York Exchanges. McMASTER HUTCHINSON & CO. SWISS AMERICAN CORPORATION of Co., 15 State Street, the FIRST OF Chronicle) MASS. —Robert joined PHELPS, FENN & CO. (INCORPORATED) L. F. ROTHSCHILD & CO. FREEMAN to CO. 0;' Joins Estabrook Staff (Special OTIS & CORPORATION together for the further development of Kentucky indus¬ and big 43) vestment of we toward (Philadelphia Plan) the underwriting and distribution of local securities, Success in this to its fight for survival. During the past two decades have contracts industry these business and business is to remain in the field, it must other segments of small business enterprise. Throughout those many years, or pendent We had the same difficulty in seeking to bring about ^n equit¬ in enterprise system not interested in the preserva¬ tion inde¬ other such small free of the chain system of mer¬ chandising, and the expansion of~ monopoly in American life. It is $10,665,000 in field has not been without disap¬ pointments and set-backs, but the knowledge gained will be of help on future operations. We expect the sion their Own sales outlets. and whole ' and specialized huge, future of small business and that of Small pendent businessmen." New "The Bankers Bond Co. for the 26 to of I financial position of Louisville. past shell mainstay of our economy be rec¬ ognized. It must see to it that its In At that time I said, "These ma¬ jor companies are not limited in their ambition to monopolize the tire business; they are now reach¬ ing out to compete with the inde¬ pendent clothing merchant, the hardware store, the sporting-goods few weeks ago, on Jan. 5, President in hand a industrial the up the trying years. sideration in Washington. It must demand that its basic role £is the. Smaller War business in the be problems and demand tire dealers out of business by set¬ the major problems of the nation. in¬ and big trade organizations as yours, must concentrate on the study of these Production Corporation. to money the merits Investment Louisville that "Back in out vestors advantages used companies, much spent was Charles inally financed by family vate of Making markets for old and new companies lot of work for the deal¬ a and ers investment dealers in securing ad¬ ditional working capital. Many concerns these meant ties,::^ o 1 d to the public, by dealers. trend is threatened by the rapid concen¬ tration of ownership, the exten¬ Small Business Com¬ new all sale of securi¬ Older growing why I feel tonight that | create markets for the stock of local in- these is you to vestment through the That tell period y e a r - lib must the joined with fight for the cre¬ must local Louisville I with he as America. that prevented the tire manufacturers "If corporations problems today manufacturer in much in mind back ville, Ky., Charles C. King points out "few people realize that local small business the freedom and investment bankers played a part in Louisville's industrial and finan¬ opportunity to grow and prosper. cial growth. Many take for granted that certain local industries this purpose, we should 'just To grew,' like "From address by Sen. Murray 'Topsy.' Sel¬ this list moved up to where 74 dom has this issues were daily quoted. A five- before the Annual Banquet of the Association of Retail happened. year span brings ws iu i9ta, ana National in in Business Committee which, in 1943, is toaay mere is quoted daily in the ing the independent businessman Through this action we prevented the gobbling up of war contracts by huge monopolistic enterprises and kept the small Congress—and I quote: Numerous doubt White much concerned businessmen vision to re-invigorate the forces of >We < must assure Louis¬ competition. prepared for the Bankers Bond Co. of have always been conscious of the multitude of problems confront¬ period. Mis¬ of other Senators to Just King, of Bankers Bond Co., Louisville, points to work investment dealers creating markets for stock of new com¬ panies and maintaining markets for old ones. of local reso¬ member Committee, I and fact, we caused to be set up in all the government agencies in Washing¬ ton small business units designed had had minority Business duration. 1949, Charles C. befall in very no the Small there in 1940 when he mittee. Leading Bole Played by Local Financing who we Plants souri, Harry S. 'Truman. He had the problems of the small busi¬ ation of the Giles man can then nessman the ting know of the vicissi¬ cause elected A. Murray program. one to meeting of the Bond Traders Club of Seattle held at the Washington Athletic Club on Jan. 28, 1949, the following were tudes which officers for the coming year: businessmen a President—Robert E. Among the signers of that BOND TRADERS CLUB OF SEATTLE At Jas. organizations in the production war was that Sen. blems of Secretary—Walter T. Foster, Carl M. Loeb Rhoades & Co. Treasurer—B. Frank Ward, B. F. Ward & Co. as which has meant small of in Vice-President— R. S. Harris, M. A. Saunders & Co. in man just your gained the ) r o need have the is ranking as the Senate It very mentality handling by per¬ business and monopoly, small in¬ dependent business enterprise will to instru¬ Benj. F. Ward Trexler, J. C. Bradford & Co. That when he helped bring into being the special committee of the committee be¬ Fred laws was the sion. Later the R. that ranks of small ing antitrust our consolidations." mor¬ in the Problems of Small Business. on closing those loopholes that mit monopolistic mergers re¬ of serious tality strengthen the a , <£- p- neces¬ at sary income. familiarity with small business and with many of the obstacles it 1940, I introduced in the Senate the resolution which finally resulted Back in encounters. production, full employment and equitable distribution of national certain a 1 MULLANEY.WELLS&. COMPANY February 8, 1949. SCHWABACHER &. CO. EDW. LOWBER STOKES CO. 16 COMMERCIAL THE (668) scher, FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & also was Girard's Board is Duane News About Banks NEW OFFICERS, the Mr. director of the Phila¬ a Saving Fund Society as Philadelphia Contributionship for the Insurance of Houses from Loss by Fire, and the well Bankers and ETC. REVISED to Managers. delphia CONSOLIDATIONS NEW BRANCHES elected of the as Theodore Presser Co. \ Farmers Deposit National Bank of Pittsburgh announced on Feb. John Dalrymple has been pointed Vice-President of ap¬ the Grace National Bank of New York wick, Canada, said the Brooklyn "Eagle" of Feb. 1, Mr. Rowley en¬ tered the banking field in Nova youth and in 1913 came to this city as Cashier of the Bank of Long Island in Ja¬ maica. He was appointed a ViceScotia a as President of the Manhattan Com¬ after it absorbed the Bank Island in 1920. Nine years pany E. became pany: held He President. named was holding firm, he a that post until 1932 when he re¬ signed to devote himself to various industrial enterprises. In the same be to ceased institution Manhattan the year holding company, a resuming its banking functions as The Bank of the Manhattan Co. John Dalrymple Feb. 16. He of the President was formerly First National Roselle, N. J., and more recently Executive Vice-President Of the Lafayette National Bank of Brooklyn. * :jj Wonacott N. 17 for years Treasurer of the Board of National Missions of the Presby¬ terian Church, has become asso¬ ciated with Central Hanover Bank and Trust Co. of New York as consultant in the field of philan¬ thropy. Mr. Wonacott has devoted almost his munity 1900 entire service to life com¬ projects. he 1917 to From the with Was Portland Y. M. C. A., advancing to the post of Executive Secretary. During his tenure of office, this institution, it is stated, grew to have* resources of over $1,000,000 and at the time the largest mem¬ bership of any organization of its kind in the world. the outbreak devote money an his for He resigned at of World energies war War I to American Red Food He Herbert Hoover and the Later Mr. under Liberty Wonacott became Vice-President of the At¬ lantic, Gulf West and Indies Steamship Lines in New York. In he returned to Oregon, and from 1924 to 1928 he in Portland. ness 2$ Industrial For Central years was Mr. Raney, who entered the bank's employ as a bookkeeper in 1905, served the bank for 41 years, retiring in 1946. He became Con¬ lyn. troller in 1931. in busi¬ than more Hanover has * * of Bank tal, effective Jan. 14, from $350,000 to $400,000 through a stock divi¬ dend of $50,000. Cashier The Southbridge National Bank Southbridge, of by the Worcester County Trust Co. of Worcester, Mass. The offices of the Southbridge bank are now operated as a branch of the trust company. The plans for the tak¬ ing dver of the bank were noted in our issue of Dec. 23, page 2667. * •.< Frank Vice-President Assistant Bloomfield Bank elected 1 as "News" that states ' he institution the with been of Vice-President, retaining Comptroller. The New¬ his title ark Co. Feb. on was the of Trust & Bloomfield, N. J., has since It is also stated that three 1924. posts new of- Auditor, Assistant Treasurer and Assistant Secretary created were to cover work done respectively by James P. Denni- son, Donald S. Slater and Harold Brotherhood, who were named to the positions. From the "News" we likewise quote: to assist benefactors in wise pub¬ "The temporary title of Honor¬ lic giving. Mr. Wonacott's serv¬ ary Chairman was conferred on ices will be available to those Allison Dodd, a founder and for¬ interested in the field of maintained a Department of Phil¬ anthropic Information and has de¬ veloped a comprehensive library philan¬ thropy. ■ *, *. * * T. Arthur Nosworthy, President Of The Bronx Savings Bank of New York, has announced the elections by the board of trustees of Mrs. Beatrice Petry to Assistant mer President of and its Chairman from Auditor to Comptroller. dent of Rowley, former Presi¬ The Bank of the Man¬ hattan Co. of New York, died on Jan. 31. He wa«? 65 y^ars of age. Born in Fredericton, New Bruns- institution for 12 officials said Mr. Dodd, whovis ill, would resume active Chairmanship as soon as his health would permit." " ,'■ * 1 i :• Federal Reserve The for System announce Company Pennsylvania Banking and Trusts of Phila¬ delphia, Pa., Jan. the 24, absorbed, effective Security Bank and Trust Co. State members. with the of Philadelphia, In The Board of Trust 60 offer, subject: Dollar Savin-s absorption well as vania Company. Youngstown., Ohio 60 as the former its branch will be operated by & Tr. @ V- 56 '* ' U. Amsterdam, N. Y. the Reliable-Fire K: * ■> • Process Houdry Corp., & Federal Reserve @ 32 Powell NEW YORK of Bank Cleve¬ land for the unexpired portion of ending Dec. 31, 1949. Mr. the term Swensrud Howard succeeds Co. of has been elected a Catalytic Philadelphia, member of the Co., First $ National Bank Bulletin" of that time Morris same capital of the of Chi¬ from $400,000 to $500,000 as is of Dec. 23, through stock dividend of $100,000. * Commission of President He is 1942. the of Commerce States Bank as Trust & Co. of St. member of the Advis¬ a Re¬ Council duction. of the Federal serve luncheon at the bank luncheon The tended by the was Mr. Heming¬ has long been active in bank¬ way Commerce of He is also a Pro¬ and member of the board of directors of the Na¬ tional Foreign Trade Council. The title of the Utah State Na¬ Bank tional Salt of Lake City, at¬ directors and senior officers of the bank. the of American - commem¬ orating Mr. Hemingway's comple¬ tion of 30 years on the board of directors. Inter Council, which is the United States section: of the Inter-American Board* representing the Eighth. (St. Louis) Federal Re¬ serve District, was announced at Council ory of and Chairman is He merce States United several committees of that organi¬ United Louis in Association member of the board a zation. Chairman Hemingway, American the - directors of the Chamber 14 the selection of W. of Bankers Association and served as of Utah, changed, effective Feb. was 1 to the Utah First National Bank Salt Lake of City. Bankers Trust Holds Further Credit Restraints Not Needed In annual review of money and government bond market, New York banking institution points to indications of stable interest rates, accompanied by reduced demands for credit, as eliminating serious inflationary threats. In the annual review entitled "United States Government Secur¬ ities and the Money Market," issued on Feb. 8 by the Bond Depart¬ ment of Bankers Trust Company, the belief is expressed that interest rates during 1949 will probably remain comparatively stable at about levels and that sales of<jt>- present $ will banks less be during than ness outlook substan¬ credit the September. past The Bank finds no further need for credit restraints at the and-see present boom has passed its peak and The stockholders 6f the Detroit sihee were The have thorities year. further restrictive no measures taken after monetary adopted au¬ wait- a attitude." Commenting time, since the postwar inflation¬ policies V. $ tially ary the monetary upon followed in the year, observes Bankers Trust Company slackening of industrial Bank of Detroit, Mich., at their production and a moderate decline annual meeting on Jan. 11 voted in business activity also appear to a common stock dividend of be in prospect. 111/9% (one full share for each "Some reduction in demands fbr nine shares owned of record), credit and investment funds is payable Feb. 15 to shareholders of record Jan. 11; and authorized anticipated, and it is reasonable to expect that sales of Govern¬ the necessary increase of 25,000 that the controversy over the bond Re¬ largely spent themselves and com¬ shares of stock common total the amount¬ This will increase number of common shares outstanding to 250,000, hav¬ ing a total par value of $5,000,000. President Dodge reported that on Dec. 31, 1948, the resources of the bank reached a new high reported statement level of $556,647,217, and in funds including general reserves increased $4,223,000 to $22,447,000, as a result of retained earnings and an increase in common stock. During the year an additional 50,000 common shares were sold at $60 a share, adding $1,000,000 to the common capital and $2,000,000 to surplus account. 18,500 shares of pre¬ ferred stock, with a total par value of $370,000, were retired, reducing the number of shares outstanding capital to 150,000, $3,000,000. with a par value of The preferred stock retirement fund increased was $250,000 to $3,000,000 by a transfer from undivided profits an amount equalling the preferred stock out¬ standing." Total deposits at the year-end $531,107,000. An earlier item bearing on the proposed stock dividend appeared in our issue "of were Dec. bulletin of of the Currency re¬ that effective Jan. 17 the capital of the Michigan National ports of Lansing, Mich., by a was stock/dividend in¬ Of $1,000,000 from $3,000,000 to $4,000,000. v .v:ft Guy W. LaLone has been elect¬ ed President of the National haha First Minne¬ Bank of 'Minne¬ apolis succeeding J. G. Byam, who the of the to Feb. 1 Presidency board. While Minneapolis is retiring from and from the previously holding the office of Vice-President of the bank, firm chosen of which he has just been President, bonds banks less than should Mr. the to will in selling, Federal be considerably 1948. be another there Unless period of scare stabilization gained program in in 1948, but subsided the signal change in the intensity with credit situation toward the end of the year. "When the controversy height, however, the inflationary forces had already was its at modity prices ward." turning down¬ were it As worked out, the supply of the country de¬ $2 billion in 1948, in money clined over volume of Reserve will probably not spite of support buying, and is any serious credit prob¬ now only slightly higher than it lems," the Bank states. "On the was at the end of 1946. Although other hand, if the demand for the Federal Reserve authorities the Bank purchases create i t ies s ecur remains strong, the Federal Reserve banks are doubt ready to sell Treas¬ bonds in substantial amounts, no ury if necessary, to prevent an rise undue in prices. It seems likely, therefore, that prices of Treasury obligations will move in a com¬ paratively narrow range." asked Congress broader ments of credit control, the Bank that notes have repeatedly for new instru¬ and powers developments demonstrated devices to situation that with cope in 1948 no new the credit were necessary. "It has become equally obvious that severe credit restraints, which sharp business recession is might have disturbed the financial anticipated, according to Bankers markets and reduced production, The Trust Company, although the would have >" been unwise. bank cautions that it is impossible basic change in the price situa¬ tion during the past few months 10 foresee how fast or how far the No decline in prices and business ac¬ confirms the belief that the mod¬ tivity erate credit measures undertaken go. may business profits "A squeeze on through higher by the monetary authorities dur¬ and lower ing the past two years have been Stable bond prices and prices, could lead to larger cut¬ ample. backs in capital expenditures than the absence of severe credit meas¬ are now expected." ures increase the possibility of an readjustment from; the Economic trends and the credit orderly taxes, higher wages, situation have changed in materially 1948, the Bank finds. duction Office the Comptroller of Bank ment serve high traordinarily 23, page 2667. The a Government part also said: "Total Duane, of the Philadelphia law of Duane, Morris & Heck- ;:v'/VV'; * member of the Executive Coun¬ cil, the Administrative Committee, Finance Committee, and Marine of Government bonds to the Federal National Bank Mid-City "Star" "Evening At the the with and a tne board of the Mercantile-Com¬ Reserve Trust the ' * On Jan. Linn of stock. new An increase in the according city. , * • a National W. dividend, while the $50,000 was brought about by the sale of Board of Managers of the Girard Co. of Philadelphia, it is First / i-'; Pennsylvania Jeannette, Pa., who capital on Jan. 7 from $125,000 to $250,000; part of the increase— $75,000—was represented by a cago First The National. Minnehaha Bank is affiliated with Chicago Heights, 111., increased its stock First at ers' association work. He has been President, •4? The of Minneapolis, He will continue to make his of¬ fice resigned. and learned from the Jan. 25 issue of Kenney Reserve S. Army, retired, President of Construction Insurance Dayton, Ohio Governors Of the System an¬ nounced on Feb. 3' the appoint¬ ment of .Sidney A. Swensrud, President of the Gulf Oil Corp., Pittsburgh, ,Pa., as a director of the Pittsburgh branch of the creased Brig. Gen. David N. Hauseman, Montgomery Co. Trust @105 office The Pennsyl¬ Chairman of the board of 50 Federal both connection main office of Security Bank and W-e and Vice- ' The Board of Governors of the that Park A. the Bank years. Secretary, and Martin H. Bleuthftec Board becoming ing to $500,000. * Comptroller and \Puleo, Auditor was National First the of with which he has been associated since 1929. Bank a (capital Mass. 200,000 common) was placed in voluntary liquidation on Jan. 17, its business having been absorbed ; he before announced * * Mervyn capi¬ Yonkers, N. Y., increased its * of Vice-President, after additional * National Central The was Cross,theY.M.C.A., Administration Loan drives. 1&23 formerly Con¬ Savings Bank of New York, died Jan. 31 at his home in Brook¬ raising to purposes. organizer and executive for the the Thomas J. Raney, troller of the Emigrant on Bank, Charles that and Jordan, * * retirement as President. Rubber where, he will begin his new duties on >;}' *> the 47 years of service. In the Pitts¬ burgh "Post-Gazette" of Feb. 2 it was stated that Mr. Boyle, entered the bank as a messenger in 1901 of Long later, when the Manhattan Com¬ 1 Boyle President First Bank Stock Corp. ■ CAPITALIZATIONS The principal position is that of Vice- the '!= * Thursday, -February 10, 1949 level together with of pro¬ fiscal and monetary developments, helped to check the inflationary boom. budget a was large surplus enabled the Treas¬ to retire substantial amounts of debt held in the banking sys¬ The rise in bank loans was substantially smaller than in the preceding year. In contrast to the selling wave that marked condi¬ tions in market bond at tone. "The came a apparent funds With Federal seller was of shortage no a of credit no are at the present time. prices declining and many and borrowers business lenders, ahd have loans apparently Further credit passed the peak. restraints at this time would add business uncertainties."" to Neville R. Hasluck Dies Neville Romer Hasluck, partner firmer and be¬ the investment longer in evidence. the downturn in on bond Reserve bonds that concludes restraints greater caution has arisen amdng both end of 1947; the during the last two 1948 assumed of Bank required "With the market months Government the The further The soft spots developing in industry, not only balanced, but ury tem. postwar boom." The ex¬ commodity LaLone's prices and the change in the busi¬ in Farr & Company, New York City, died at St. John's Hospital, Queens, of injuries incurred when he He was was struck by 65 years an automobile. of age. ; - Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (669) 17 What About Railroad Profits? I By WILLIAM T. FARICY* President, Association of American Railroads Pointing out railroads in 1948 earned During the past month or so railroad stocks have been acting considerably worse than the market, generally. This has been par¬ ticularly so during periods of weakness and in the sharp break that took place late last week. out most of 1948 when only 4l/%% on net investment, despite heavy traffic operated unprecedented operating efficiency, Mr. Faricy lays low rate of net earnings to inadequate rates. Denies railroads are pricing themselves out of market and contends rates in relation to value of goods with ; .j lower than are ever. Says problem is This is in contrast to their action through¬ their buoyancy times many was ernment instrumental of adjusting revenues to costs or having tax-supported Calls for higher Tail revenues. one gov¬ operated railroads. in bringing the entire market out of its desultory mood. Many of Railroad profits, or the lack of them, are primarily and immediately of concern to rail¬ trading favorites in the rail group last week dipped to new road people, workers as well as investors. But they are likewise a matter of real concern for 1948-1949. There hardly appears to be any real justifica¬ to all tion for this renewed business—your business included, whether or not you are a direct user of railroad pessimism. the usual lows . There has been of the service. tendency in the press and on the part of some agencies to stress some of the influences that are the uncertain or unfavorable side. There has been a admittedly on some concern over the fact that the railroads have not yet come to agreement with the non-operating unions as to wage increases and the proposed change in working hours. This has given rise to any fears that the final settlement will be more burdensome than the recommended by the Fact Finding Board. The Board's report called for a seven cents an hour increase in wages, retroactive to last terms October, and a change from 48 hours a week to 40 hours on Sept. 1, 1949. Despite the delay it hardly seems likely that railroad manage¬ will be willing to go much, if any, further than the Board's ment recommendation. ' •-V;' There seem to be fears some that important recession is just around the corner and that the declining trend of freight volume will gain momentum. ,As a matter of fact, the rate of year-to-year declines has been moderating consistently. Car loadings for the first week of the year were cut to 6.5% for 9.3% the ended Jan. ■. * There have been ri-: This week, 8.0% in the third week and 29, the most recent figures now available. . an 13.2% below the like 1948 interval. in the second week in traffic so number a obvious of reasons for the decline far this year. By far the largest drop, both in actual cars and percentagewise, has been in coal originations. Partly this has presumably been due to a decline in exports but a more important factor has apparently been the unusually warm winter weather in the section eastern of the country. This latter is obviously only a Another factor has naturally been the exceptionally heavy snows in large areas of the western section of the country. This is also merely a temporary condition although the severe temporary drag. weather has continued almost without interruption up of this writing. There to the time cessive definite rail rate has been of any increases. they have are On is little evidence that this latter As for the signs of softness in the general far been largely confined to those industries not of such great importance from a traffic standpoint. economy, that There great proportions or that it will become so over the intermediate term at least. the so favorable side, prospects appear to point to continued record activity in such important lines as steel, automobiles, etc. Overall construction should remain high, bolstered by needs of the industry, utility to estimate at government projects, etc. So far as it is possible time the prospects for heavy grain crops are this quite favorable. broader con¬ are d European aid may fall off somewhat but by any The defense normal standards export trade will again be very large. person should make profits consumer essen¬ consume. an or persons thing for dividends some¬ to the stock¬ holders whose money is at risk in where in government, with power to tell the producer what he for rail- cern, sell and the venture. the and Having what he might buy and The consequence, if we traffic With heavy traffic the railroads will almost this year. , railway - tem judge from results elsewhere world, would be less pro¬ duction, less consumption—less in we America system business is our people pro¬ duce' more live ter and William T. Faricy bet¬ I enjoy wider freedom, than people on earth. wonder of sometimes who us the tie free live if between how the in profits and to be not let's road a entitled profit invested in any or on election day. everyday business and an essential part of it is this freedom of choice and action in the count¬ rate of return with truths known, in the terminology of lator of this ceaseless flow of tivity. this a "planned economy" or "production for use and not for profit"—which would mean that instead of a free and the net income to the the decisions of some presumably *An address by Mr. Faricy be*- Operations Angeles, Feb. 3, Los Angeles, Cal., 1949. nearly hauling herent riskless business of in the persons cars tization on rail had elected been to membership in the of chairman. • ■ - / -'/'r; r *' ,• 1 . Edward J. Armstrong, of Stein Brothers & Boyce, has been appointed chairman of a committee to effect Baltimore arrangements for formation of the merged Phila¬ delphia-Baltimore Stock Exchange. Other members of the committee are S Grainger Marburg, of Alex. Brown & Sons; T. Stockton Mat¬ thews of Robert Garrett & Sons; W. Carroll Mead, of Mead, Miller & Co.'; John Redwood, Jr, of Baker, Watts & Co., and Joseph W. Sener, of John C. Legg & Co. /v'-V: : v--- ' -v.-VIt 100,000 from coast to coast with less than 90 tank To do carloads the would well of Diesel require much. every business has to make When get to compari¬ used, we find an even more striking contrast. To move 100,000 tons of freight from coast to coast by rail takes 3,500 man-days of work by train sons of we manpower By truck it means 90,000 man-days of work by drivers. To crews. to some¬ (Continued on page To be mature Mgr. Inst. Dept. William R. Staats Go. f Hayden, Stone Go. Sixty-Two Years Broad Hayden, Stone & Co., 25 Street, of the New York announce LOS c liam R. Staats Co., 640 So. Spring Stock Exchange, Street, members of the Los Ange¬ Ballou les Stock Exchange, is celebrating that H. Cushman yield 1.25% to 2.30%, according * - r . been the firm's ment. He appointed manager Institutional . was Depart¬ with formerly Dominick & Dominick. of . , maturity subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any state in which this announcement is circulated from only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such state. ' U; HALSEY, STUART & CO. INC. A. G. BECKER &, CO. FREEMAN INCORPORATED has to ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬ members New York City, to Issuance and sale of these Certificates are The For $106,000 semi-annually August 15, 1949 to February 15, 1959, inclusive guaranteed unconditionally as to payment of par value and dividends by endorsement by The Wheeling and Lake Erie Railway Company Priced Ballon 2% Equipment Trust Certificates (Philadelphia Plan) To the 62nd anniversary of its found¬ ing in 1887. first to be The company was laws of the State of California. McMASTER HUTCHINSON & CO. the incorporated under the February 3, 1949 fuel. job by truck the contents of same than 250 tank cars of Diesel more to accumu¬ help carry it through the lean years; some¬ thing for the improvements whicr also announced in Baltimore that was in in¬ transportation is so it is possible to move tons of average freight Wheeling and Lake Erie Railway Equipment Trust, Series R organization method The of $2,120,000 A committee to effect arrangements for the complete merger the two exchanges was appointed, with Edward J. Armstrong as rail¬ that great borrowed monev. A lvf every business needs late in good times to Philadelphia and Baltimore Stock Exchange, in a joint an¬ nouncement issued on Feb. 5, reported that it is planned to begin already on and things tracks. on The Exchange which fuel, or nearly three times as From this total return on the much. And to do it by air would capital invested in railroads there require nearly 2,700 carloads of must be paid interest and; amor¬ aviation gasoline or 30 times as keep abreast of needs; and merged operations on Monday, March 7, the day of the annual elec¬ tion of the Philadelphia Exchange. It is expected that members of the Baltimore Exchange will be named as officers or members of the Board of Governors. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange also an¬ nounced that J. Dorsey Brown, President of the Baltimore Stock less capital invested on March 7 on invest¬ is far efficiency of the rail method owners as the more subject to risk than railroad business. no trains of but represents earnings from opera¬ —including loan capital, as ownership capital. ! too, than United States bonds-r- inefficiency of railroads, entire 31/2%, only about This low rate of return mission, the that it is road investment is not due to any by the Interstate Commerce Com¬ of was earth—but it on is the tions upon all the capital invested ac¬ It is sometimes urged that that, there should not be, should be substituted are of not the day among producers Andpprofit, or profit, is both the mainspring and the primary regu¬ consumers. entire less than was than is earned in other lines accounting system prescribed and hope seen is more, on most ment profits, go on every the the examine profits in the rail¬ business, and give considera¬ the effect of such It interest the lack of them, not only upon the the net investment on 1946, when it 23/4%. those The return earned by railroads is rate of return or in as the "net railway oper¬ ating income." The term is some¬ thing of a misnomer in that it is less millions of transactions which is its of only 4V4%. is the True, that is more than the other line railroads earned in 1947, when the business, but upon all business, and eventually upon the structure of our free society. just something it net to the railroad to a as take to be self-evident, we tion to exercised an earn Starting pro¬ that on property invest¬ ment, after allowing for accrued depreciation, of $23,000,000,000— railroad busi¬ the much endeavor. which is freedom and the opportunity risk loss in the hope of profit. considered return essential part of the in In net rail¬ a way operating income of close to a. billion dollars. That sounds like a lot of money until it is the Profits in Railroad Business this intimate an as to money duction—and, even more impor¬ tant, how vital is the link between It is in and then it will be of even under working realize is stake a is chance system, and who experience every day the benefits which have come to us from its relatively a system and the money which has profit-and-loss country, have let's what the figures look like. been risked ness any other those all we preservation and the workings oi this profit-and-loss system of get¬ ting things done. The railroad a under which and So do — the freedom. unaer which things income, 1948, the railroads had and Los Joint operating see in fore the Chamber of Commerce of Philadelphia-Baltimore Exchanges to Begin these may profitloss sys¬ holds promise of substantial freight traffic. With this back¬ flexible exchange of gopds,. and out of it there should be left ground it is difficult to conceive of any sizable drop in overall rail¬ services we would be bound by something for the reserves whicn certainly again report handsome earnings in 1949. On this basis it is difficult to see what justification there might be for the recent renewed wave of pessimism toward the rail group. mind whole program road in which must be done with the net tial part of the Freedom signs of softness in the general economic picture. Also, there is no question but that some railroad traffic has been lost to competitive transportation agencies because of the suc¬ are even r o a all-wise they of are business Another factor that has been given considerable, and continuing, publicity has been the year-to-year decline in traffic so far in 1949. was And statistical &, COMPANY 25) ■: Thursday, February 10, 1949 CHRONICLE & FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL THE (670) 18 Slackening Demand for New Homes Mass, Mutual Life Ins. Due lo Controls! Co.'s Annual Business \.y SPRINGFIELD, MASS.—Policy¬ Hoyt in publication of First Federal Say¬ Morton Bodfish and Homer beneficiaries re¬ holders and their By WILLIAM J. McKAY of Chicago contend, because of rent control applying to existing dwellings, present tenants elect to remain in present homes, in which they have in effect a valuable property right, rather than pay higher rentals in new structures. ings and Loan Association $62,857,000 from the Mas¬ sachusetts Mutual Life Insurance ceived 1. , than ever true that Co. last year, the largest amount f not flourish during a cyclical boom oeriod. since the company was organized While inflationary conditions prevail moreover, it is inevitable that in 1851. New business aggregated gold-mining is doomed to become a depressed industry. At a time In the January issue of "Savings and Home Ownership," pub¬ 89,500 life insurance policies for when the price-level of other ^ lished by the First Federal Savings and Loan Association, Morton $256,830,000. Insurance in force Canadian dollar is once more in commodities is in a rising trend, Bodfish,-President of the U. S. Savings and Loan League, and full swing. Freshly discovered at the year end stood at $2,785,the value of gold is kept constant Homer Hoyt attribute the slackening aemand tor new homes to 880 000, including group, an in¬ mines are now being brought into ih order to avoid further infla¬ crease of $154,420,000. Over $13,- the rental cost advantage which production and investor interest an argument to continue rent con¬ tionary pressures. Consequently, tenants of old dwelling units have in new gold enterprises is be¬ 650.000 has been set aside for 1949 unlike in other commercial fields, trol and to supply housing through because of existing controls or dividends, an increase of $760,000 higher costs of production can not ginning slowly to revive. public grants, state loans, and real over last year's allotment. Divi¬ these structures. Commenting on It would appear that this grow¬ be offset by increasing the price the situation in Chicago," the estate tax exemptions. Such pro-* dend -accumulations and policy ing interest that is providing a of the commodity. jects will strike directly at the : writers say: welcome stimulus to the other¬ proceeds left with the company On the other hand when defla¬ roots of private property and free "In all past real estate cycles, will be credited during 1949 with wise flagging Canadian stock tionary forces commence to exert new building was sustained not enterprise in this country. If a 3% per annum, continuing last markets, is based on a sounder their influence it is time to an¬ merely by the increase in the large supply of new apartment* foundation than that which in-? year's rate. Admitted assets of units is created which are sub-ticipate the turning of the tide for number of families living in Chi$1,234,396,623 showed a $80^633,spired the previous gold boom of the gold-mining industry. sidized It is by public grants, • state 848 the early war years. gain.: The net interest earned ? Canadian loans at low rates of interest and now'becoming increasingly clear¬ gold stocks are no longer over- was 3.17% against 3.13% for 1947. er that the peak of the war cre¬ partial < real estateY tax exempt inflated. On the contrary it is Railroad bonds for $3 500,000 were ated boom has already passed, and In this age of managed economies it is more production gold can ' recessionary na¬ ture are becoming more apparent. Where other industries look with possible that at their- current level previous shocks and disappoint¬ ments have been over-discounted. trepidation at a vista of falling prices and dwindling markets, to the producer of gold these devel¬ opments mark the dawn of a brighter era. Lower prices, a more abundant supply of labor, and Present indications of a possibly a lower wage-scale, con¬ stitute exceptionally for the goldmining industry lower costs of production, which are not offset by return * on the product, or by any loss diminished a sale of the of market. ; * Furthermore if . a. ; ' deflationary ducive to become acute not only producer of gold sure to receive the current official price the are industrials: $93,268,000. bonds, sharp recovery of the a total present price. However, when con¬ sideration is also given to an parcels at general, increase in the official price of gold, the attrac¬ tion of investment in the securi¬ eventual immediately apparent. Like¬ wise when consideration is given iS: to the in raw increasing traffic in gold form, at premium prices, possession of which not only no current return but also the brings poses of paired by this subsidized govern-, ment competition. The very pro¬ purchases consisted of eight a total cost of $9,359,- estate interest. . :'f, . , . ■ . . doubts'as to its clear legality, cago but also families from Special Display ounce every escalator their depressed industry. Official policy, however, decided otherwise and relief to the indus¬ try ; has with ency instead been provided the adoption of the Emerg¬ Gold Mining Assistance Act/ Already there are indications that the Dominion's most deflated in¬ dustry is commencing to take on new lease of life. Production/ the paper issues showed the least On the resistance to the decline. golds in particular to a lesser other hand the base-metals the and were against the ern the followed nally of lead industrial group. a which had fallen to less than half peak, is slowly forging ahead. New prospecting that had been abandoned follow¬ the of- prewar ing the upward revaluation of the Canadian bonds Dewar, Robertson Firm TEX.—H. H. Dewar will acquire the New York Stock Exchange membership of the late Donald L. Samuels, and Mr. Bank York Exchange Stock Alton' E.~ Robertson, Dewar, Hart, King, and*-Edward H. : •' Austin. ' Mr. on Partners in the firm are 17. Creston A. CORPORATION Dewar is V ■ America. - .» - >. ... , DENVER.. - '• The TWO WALL STREET H NEW YORK 5, N. Y. Available one NY 1-1045 are having of their outstanding programs of the year on Feb. 15 at the Den¬ The subject will be "The Investment Business for 1949 and the Problems which ver Athletic It will Club. be discussion -John Sullivan, nationally known on sales promotion, and public relations. Christensen, Inc., moderator.' ' will act Charles King & Co. Toronto Stock Exchange Y. WHitehall 4-8980 Direct wire to Toronto still ities annual Feb. John 21, J. nounced. at still practically there for is still mand for might the fall be • in need the of of course a housing field that directly to socialism." in LOS. ANGELES,; CAL.—Henry . de La could prices of Chapelle has become associ-; ated with Paine, Webber, Jackson & as Curtis, manager of the Los be -Street. Mr. de La Chapelle for the new moderately. past 19 years has been This new contractor's associated I with E. F. Hutton & Co. "home prices accomplished by some of great effective de¬ Angeles office,; 626 South Spring units more if created, legisla¬ our is Ghapelle to Manage Paine, Webber tremendous need an There public warning as a Henri de La vancancies and no a homes, new there met trol Monday ... Benton W. Davis Now profit evening, Roosevelt Hotel, Chairman, an¬ is grave - - danger that the by public subsidies. Rent con¬ is itself responsible for part of the continued housing as we have shortage already shown. This shortage which artificial rent con¬ trol With . prices level off. great need for housing which we have already indicated will be } of Boy en, in will lead have houses at the Since there are prices. current "Unless housing Association the they present public education in the ulti¬ action apartments. The accommodations the through public and to bodies. satisfied to 'stay put' in what¬ ever meeting shortage mate consequences demand for* housing has been largely met and the great majority of families today Inc.,. will hold their dinner for if we , Hold Annual Dinner Street, the to tive present hous¬ margins.,. Cashiers of grants, should serve desperation are the chain of embark upon the dangerous, housing if necessary stay where they and homes new T.:/; recital mere course ing market is due to the fact that there is too big a gap between rents in rent-controlled apart¬ ments and the rents or prices of reduction - once more in the annu¬ of events that would ensue, as long as lull insurance, savings, fixed salaries for their in-* or "The paying not over 15% of their income for rent and who" could pay power and come. are to life on lower would of the dol-. jeopardize the all families dependent more welfare of it end purchasing lar homes as the In the Gerald Peters, Peters, Writer & Towering Wall 61 Broadway, N. tion. rather than pay for j . panel a Bosworth, Sullivan & Co., .Don Bromfipld, Garrett-Bromfield, and Charles B. with The ' WORTH 4-2400 Group of the Invest¬ Association and the Club of Denver Bond Wall St. Cashiers to Members tenants in who are enjoying rents $12 a month a'room with steam heat, janitor service, and decorating all furnished will not move into new apartments renting for $20 to $25 a month a room. Chicago of $10 to "The Oil Industry Information the .771,000 of jority. they are receiving this subsidy ill the form of arti¬ ficially low rents. r Rocky by because the rents of new and property investments. Finally, apartments or the cost of owning if this process would continue unnew homes was only, slightly^ every family in the upper inhigher than the rents in the best come half is taxed to the limit of of the older dwelling units. Today, their capacity to pay for homes there is an abnormal differential for the lower income half, there between the rents of apartments will be" pressure to issue more erected before World War II and government bonds and to increase the rents of those recently erected the national debt for housing pur-, because of rent control. The ma¬ poses. This would be sheer infla¬ will continue, to ment Bankers • f ' j COLO.—The of place afford ." 5; V, will Confront Us." Western Canada INCORPORATED General Instrument for Panel Discussion ; A. E. AMES & CO. stockholder- director of /,;> Roth, CANADIAN STOCKS margin established. This moving took industry. Rocky Mf. IBA Group : of the President Investment Bankers Association of VI which: will was are, Commerce Build¬ of John.W. Pancoast, W. Lewis MUNICIPAL sey Mountain Feb. is display this series a A. ANTONIO, Dewar, Robertson & PancOast, Na¬ tional Ferdinand homes were vancancy a subsidies value apartments in the products of feature 'Corp. ing, will become members of the PROVINCIAL of, relations New GOVERNMENT first Bernard Kohn, and that Straus—state the McMann, To Be NYSE Members SAN E. Wallerstein emptied- and and just of all, the middle and upper income groups will have to pay higher Federal and state in¬ come taxes for the very develop¬ ments that are reducing the value of their own homes, mortgages The continued until process) New Jer¬ They have been given a valuable property right,, or the privilege of 1 *:/,■ .-v 'v.;., Following .'this :vdisplay- at 31: occupying quarters for $40 to $50 •Clinton Street, the entire exhibit a month which would rent for $75 the will be moved to the business, to $100 a month in a free market. Several hundred thousand fam¬ branch'of the Newark Public Lib¬ rary, according to Vincent Js ilies in the city of Chicago who inclined to move general trend. West¬ oils after earlier firmness fi¬ degree firm—Richard S. by. the shifting of old houses and the oldest and poorest of Canadian dollar as a means of re¬ Hoyt apartments into new quarters. NEWARK, N. J.—A complete display of all the products manu¬ factured by General Instrument • viving Homer Bodfish Morton Richard Kchn Features the lower homes the metal it would be difficult to dispute Corp.-of Elizabeth, N. J., and its the superiority of gold shares as mined, but there would also be a convenient investment medium. wholly-owned subsidiary; the * F. high prospects for an eventual W. Sickles Co. of Chicopee, Mass., During the week the demand price increase. In a-period of is featured in the windows of for high-grade external bonds falling prices, diminished business Richard E. Kohn & Co., 31 Clin¬ was still in evidence but offer¬ activity, and highly competitive ton Street, members of the New were increasingly -scarce. export markets, resort to the his¬ ings York. Stock Exchange. Included toric remedy of currency, devalua¬ Internal Dominion's.were slightly in the exhibit are approximately tion and the marking up of the firmer although free funds eased 30 products which General Instru¬ rather sharply after their recent price of gold becomes a distinct ment—one of the. largest manu¬ The corpo¬ possibility. "' •• " " " display of strength. facturers of component parts for rate-arbitrage rate also continued In the past the hopes1 of the the television and radio industry to decline. Stocks were generally Canadian gold interests had been —and its subsidiary manufacture. lower in sympathy with New pinned to a devaluation of the ; Partners of the stock exchange York and the industrials led by for which private, in¬ creasing vacancies in them and lowering their rents or sales value, will also increase real es¬ tate taxes on private property be-, cause these government projects will not pay full taxes. Most un-> will public of gram 233, with an average yield of ap¬ proximately 5%. New mortgage loans were $31 215,000 at 4.04% average existing homes and the safety, would be im¬ of home mortgages portfolio to $323,475,000. Real gold-producing companies of ties $9,- 977,000 preferred stocks. The pur¬ chase of public utilities raised the con¬ now tions, tenants will be drawn from the older privately constructed buildings so that their vacancy rates will rise sharply. The value retired and $2,000,000 pur¬ or chased. New investments included gold-mining industry even 0:1 the basis of the maintenance -of the . *; pressures is conditions sold has brought will be used as Mitchell, Hutchins Mitchell, Hutchins & Co., mem¬ > bers of New York Stock and other nounce become in that Benton W. Davis-'has, associated the New York Street. Mr. Davis with Exchange principal exchanges, an-* with the firm office, was 1 Wall formerly Jacquin, Bliss & Stanley. ; - Volume Number 4776 169 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL The By ODY H. LAMBORN* Leading sugar broker analyzes pros and cons in current statistical and economic situation of the sugar market, and predicts, despite current heavy sugar production, prices of sugar in first half of 1949 will be higher. Says refiners have still to purchase a very large line of raw sugar for their melts in March ; " and April and beyond. Countiy viding the major portion of government support, of employment, of philanthropy and individual incentive. a them the ties and how most of sors As in our this mits country, the not return existed so-called Sugar Ac t. all, there it flag-waving if you will. Certainly we need not trample our flag and what it stands for—what the United States has done, and is doing in order to challenge our youth to better what is still the most perfect Ford R. Weber governmental and social system that the world can present. Yes, let the orators, hurl the challenge of improvement, but with ; still greater force let them hurl the challenge for the preser¬ was a probably hard-put to maintain their ent Conse¬ v e. have ; Ody H. Lamborn many to thinking. In change these conscious the But interested in sugar. For Example The of "Suppose it is 1938. You and I have saved $10,000 are able to borrow $10,000 more: We buy a and small That oven. leaves "During the next ten years business, is good. pay the high taxes of the war years and still make a profit. We are able to save a little to pay off some of our debt. When prices shoot up at the war's end, it costs us more and more to buy flour We store. grocery bulk sugars into smaller find we that packages. refiners have bags, the paper finers of are pound one specialties. now of cartons and Some re¬ equipped to pack¬ than half of their pro¬ grocery store sizes ready to be passed over the coun¬ age more duction in ter to can pack the duction housewife, much as in retail Trucks In and some Brand still another sector the war, ahead at ing the tremendous a of case rate. Tak¬ large Eastern one market, some 300 miles from New York, fully 75% of the sugar that to movement market refining centers is by truck. This trend toward trucking will, in many too ways affect the flow points of sugar. source Higher Sugar Costs and Prices is than war, to these percentages themselves, reverse The public, because of home distributed and was 55 % of the sugar used by industrial division seems plants. Now the 50% for home use, and in industrial plants. It is 50% reasonable to that assume we address tler Feb. and of the volume Mr. Lamborn Associations, ; Biloxi, movement and beet processors are the experience in dustries where other have costs other increased the in case it is les¬ sened. of Develop in changing trend worthy note is the ever-increasing in¬ liquid form. East, 20 odd Miss., is now users sugar in sugar Originated in the years ago, also produced 1940 raw the liquid sugar by California refining and fined sale a yearly paid was These Notes now •v are not being offered to the public. They as aient> with certain institutions were 2.7860 basis. For one small, or is faced when political market where the by average the (Continued price government, price for raw on sugar page 33) placed privately through the undersigned, purchasing tlieih for investment. Standard Oil Company folly upsets the applecart. But politicians prefer to talk about high profits. Nathan D. McClure Dies Vice-Presi¬ dent and director of Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc., died suddenly Saturday evening at the West¬ chester Country Club, Harrison, Nathan D. McClure, York, where he was attend¬ New ing 'of old Geneva, Board the the Association. Bankers years of meeting a Governors He was and was a resident Illinois. of Investment 52 of Marine Corps as a Lieutenant, in World War I, entered the investment First and banking (Incorporated in New Jersey) shortly afterwards. He joined staff of Inc., Co., Harriman in Ripley & 3% Promissory Notes Due February 1,1979 and was in charge of its office in Chicago. Mr. 1934 McClure in active was va¬ rious civic affairs in both Geneva and Chicago, Chairman Group of of man cational of the the the He served Central and Bank¬ Chair¬ was Association's of The He Sold at 101% and Accrued Interest as States Investment Committee. Chicago, York, Edu¬ was a MORGAN Attic, Bond Club Yale Club of New Society of Mayflower De- cendants the 111. of Association ers member graduate of Yale College class of '18, Mr. McClure served the the ,> A in field in Geneva the state Golf Dunham Woods of Club Illinois, and Riding Club. the February 7, 19^9. STAN re¬ yearly whole¬ 4.4250 per pound. 1947, when we were still of the difficulties by which the busi¬ large nessman, per was $75,000,000 Such is price average price fixed beet are for consumption in States duty the During in average sugar United pound Another are our order. The Liquid Sugar and Bulk Handling in keeping with the general infla¬ tionary trend in our economy. As a natural result, sugar prices higher than prewar., To get bearings a few comparisons opposite is the in¬ labor, material and packers of bulk bags, the competitive spirit amongst the sellers is intensified, and where substantial cane • of factory-packed retail packages in the fact that, where sugar refiners will Mississippi State Bot¬ 7, 1949. significance to the industrial terest of industrial by mar¬ lies before the Joint Assembly of Ala¬ bama importance in the keting of bulk granulated than in of *An lesser of Rationing, to be about But it didn't provide us with for the higher cost of the oven. Still we need the oven just as much as we need flour to run our bakery business." — Ben Moreell, President, Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp. need we and user the of "The tax law allowed us to deduct the higher cost help to numerous mention, new oven. the from the ing the of flour and wages. the of business, we find that, since as rail rates have ad¬ vanced, the movement of sugar by motor truck has been forging sugar 80% of pro¬ as sizes. i.e., to Railroads Losing Volume to During steadily adding to their equipment and facilities for the packaging of two, five, and ten move¬ raw sugars, the distribution of small packages. baking, canning and preserving. Conse¬ quently, we found, during the war period that about 45% went into we are al¬ handling of The switched away from home in trouble. Our oven is ten years old and worn out. In 1938 it cost $5,000. We charged this amount off against our taxable income over the ten years. In other words, the oven has been fully 'depreciated.' But the new oven costs $10,000. This is just twice as much as the tax law allowed us to lay aside out of our income to buy a by 1948 the ment and turers, canners^ and the like. Dur¬ v helpers. But we are able to raise our own prices and cover these higher costs. Repairs around the shop and bakery are up, too. But we can deduct these day-to-day charges from our in¬ come before figuring our taxes. And we are able to show a cash profit after paying our taxes. in of help in retail stores made impractical the weighing of cartons use found directions in the bulk We have had upward changes in the costs of production of sugar in all areas. This is no different tended and pay our "But the approximately 65% of the sugar distributed was used direct¬ ly in the home, and 35% in in¬ dustrial plants, that is, plants of bottlers, bakers, confectioners, preservers, ice cream manufac¬ bakery for $10,000. new from home war, Another $5,000 goes for $5,000, enough to buy flour, sugar, coal and other supplies and to cover our payroll and consumers' unpaid bills. a away the packages. I might also is being made in add that progress high labor costs and the granulated, is one of the interesting developments growing out of the last war. Pre¬ in gained, impetus from the steadily increasing costs of handling com¬ shortage pound Consumption Lower swing sugar be to retail been evaluated by those is war, Thus so / disappearance of the pound bulk bag of sugar in grad¬ shifts, which unfold Home pro¬ ports, is increasing. Then, too, the handling of granulated sugar in and for the same reasons, reduce handling costs. the it. of Lower total ually, inevitably create new pat¬ terns, which must be understood and of decade the transformation is so slow that we hardly number and Middle some sugar, with In others the speed of lightning. are the the interesting and important change of practice in the past 100 conditions Bag Production An most re- their orient some expansion of the good of which we have so much!"—Extracts from article by Ford R. Weber, of Ford R. Weber & Co., Toledo, which appeared in "The Toledo Rotary Spoke " : inopera- quently And. in posed new plants, according to re¬ modities in Bulk the system was t i pres¬ percentage of sugar usage. during quota West. companies plants If we should have ,bulk is receiving mounting atten¬ recession, we would tion in various areas of the coun¬ find industrial users try. These two developments have years—1942 to which small some extended an 194T- inclusive — vation and in producing sugar dustrial plants. lapse of six — percentages that It is true, how¬ hard times, more baking, canning and preserving is done in the home, and economics of all kind are attempted in in¬ new After to the prewar. that ever, business under the social and economic status? "Call unchangeable thing in life is change itself. Since con¬ a characteristic of the sugar business, I think it is developments of the past years. And it is especially one of the the features of system that per¬ his some timely to dis¬ cuss and high¬ light some of maligned rise above to one a said, the once worth while to review posses¬ of wealth have risen from poor beginnings under someone stant, though at times gradual, change is challenge for youth to show marvel of their opportuni¬ individuals as 19 President, Lamborn & Co., Inc., New York City "Wealth, so often presented as corrupt and op¬ pressive, is still the backbone of our country, pro¬ Is it not (671) Sugar Scene Changing Wealth Still Backbone Of Our CHRONICLE was the was 20 COMMERCIAL THE (672) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, February 10, 1949 Mutual Funds Prominent Personalities (Fifth of 7 ";7;.y7' Series) a 77.'7y WALTER L. MORGAN '• Prospectus your RESEARCH By HENRY HUNT First'Seven in request from upon investment dealer, During thie past from or CORPORATION 120 BROADWAY, NEW which lists the seven 1'.: : Fund f'f -7:f'777y.• s' Sponsor Affiliated. __________-Lord, Wellington Boston — _____ ■ Assets 64,094,000 31 Vance, Sanders 33,748,000 20 37,029,000 126,583,000 32,089^000 26,711,000 ' IB Investors Mutual-.---.Investors Syndicate INC. V { • •• • • - Capital Stock Prospectus INVESTMENT MANAGER AND UNDERWRITER Investment 75 Federal Counsel ' making a impatient with Excluding 17 16 bank loans of $18,000,000. himself ' —- are him. day; but Correction Wellington Fund's liquidations during 1948 amounted to $2,195,- $1,195,000 as stated in last week's column. gratifyingly small, however. They were still "Manganese gives toughness to steel, is used at average rate of lbs to one ton of steel, is vital to nearly all steel making. Ben¬ • . - RIGHT with "What HUGH W. LONG & CO. ' iN<o»»o#Aiie ' * > CHICAGO are not , of humor and sense Walter Morgan's analytical abilities and keen perception known. He gets a Tot of fun out of picking out un¬ securities. He says he is. lucky but he means abilities enough to have developed a nice sense of and timing. These qualities, together with similar the part of-the Wellington Investment Commit¬ accounted for the splendid 20-year performance on Fund. C. a trouble-shooter P. A., learning finance, and business industrial for managements. Though as a ana¬ lytically inclined, Walter is a; salesman and keenly interested in releasing reports and literature that anybody can under¬ stand. He has been a pioneer along these lines and his Wellington report contains many illustrations and charts instead of just figures. • Mr. Morgan believes that the end of the road in the growth and development of the Mutual Fund is nowhere in latest fully appreciate how much ■ is He sees Mutual Funds and Balanced Funds in partic¬ ular, becoming as indispensable to American life as life in¬ surance and savings accounts in estate and capital accumula¬ tion programs, and as one of the best means of helping to furnish the equity, capital so much needed today by industry. His aim is to spread the "gospel of Balanced Mutual Funds" to every investor and wage earner and to maintain Wellingsight. if for period of 30 days the people in a 6very part of the world had the free choice of moving to whatever results ...... „ keen a more well Walter is country. would happen country they wanted to WAU-STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. ■„ our to think mm record of the much these days about what is wrong with this coun¬ we pres¬ this a tee, have What's RIGHT With This Country? wonder if the that kennel. own selection , tant," issued by Selected Investments Co. of Chicago. so vacations from he has been smart has options on Brazilian deposits sufficient to keep the industry supplied for 50 years. But the ore is 1,200 miles: from seaports, and its effective use would require ah investment of about $300 million in rail facilities, which U. S. Steel thinks Brazilian Government ought to provide."—From "These Things Seemed impor¬ "I hear short away dervalued entire U. S. that I sometimes takes get a ready wit. He genial manner and a genuine interest in meeting people and in making new friends. He lives by the theory, "if you can't say something good about a person, don't say anything at all." has are Fairless, try also believes Waller has stockpile of manganese is 'possibly sufficient to keep the existing! facilities of the industry going at peak capacity for about a year.'! Manganese deposits in North America are thin and poor quality. The metal is found in India, Africa, S. America. U. S. Steel has oper¬ ated a small mine in Brazil for 20 years and, according to Mr.' UlVAMCfllS •' associated lot in a a change off Walter L. Morgan clearly,, Walter likes country life—hunting, fishing, etc.—and is par¬ ticularly keen on shooting woodcock and quail. He knows how to wait for the woodcock to top the timber before pressing the trigger and to swing with the quail's flight as he shoots. He is a good angler and can hit a square foot of water with a dry fly at 30 feet—except when a lily pad moves suddenly. He is. intensely interested in developing good hunting dogs, both pointers and setters, and has 21 dogs ' 000—not 2-9550 he enables pace plies from one-third to one-half of manganese used by U! S. steel industry and that USSR deliveries of metal are slowing down. U. S.: A'fc everybody else accomplishes He He sure. It will be noted that five of the seven leaders balanced funds. . 15 .!v and hard worker who drives a and with frequently to jamin Fairless, President of U. S. Steel (SAS 7,500) says USSR sup¬ . discussions wordy is cautious by instinct and a skeptic who wants to be shown. 16 in his >• decision, Walter is often has been known to say, "Tell me in three words what you are talking about." He Manganese ; so mah.y''Ideas in his head-' Although:thorough Mmkelf4 fore "Affiliated" and "Wellington" were one, two in '48 as they were in '47 while Vance, Sanders' Boston Fund moved up to third from seventh place in '47. Although Investors Mutual is in fifth place on a percentage basis, it would be in second place on a dollar basis. Fundamental Investors, Eaton & Howard Balanced and George Put¬ nam continue to make a better than average showing from a sales- Street, Boston telephone: liberty His retaintime. ! in studying, all. available information be*, 1 growth standpoint. Russell, Berg & Company t can one , Request on he - executively stepping; associates ;qften wonder how1 Walter is * ■ •< > Hugh W. Long George Putnam Putnam RUSSELL BERG FUND 74% W. L. Morgan Eaton & Howard Bal._.Eaton & Howard Fundamental Inv weeks. ._at, [t During '48 $57,222,1)00* Abbett other the each:.' Year-end '• % Increase. v■■ ■ jpiiOgrani in tne morning which ,wih:*keep fastest growing funds during 1948 with assets of more than $20,000,000 .: . Philadelphian. from way back, Walter Morgan is ag¬ gressive, affable and 50 years old. Like most chief exec¬ utives he demands plenty of action but uses many shortcuts. Be can keep two secretaries busy and sometimes will lay out a mutual fund assets in the aggregate in¬ year, by the following tabulation, YORK 5, N. Y. I • President, Wellington Fund A % Growth During '48 creased 7% virtually the same gain as they showed in 1947. However, several funds beat this 7% growth by a substantial margin as shown A SECURITIES NATIONAL k; or staying where they were? difficult to. imagine. People from The probable every land would lon as 000 in a- ieader in' the field. resources and over that Mr Morgan has made Wellington's growth to $66,000;» 30,000 shareholders today shows good start toward his goal. a American Business M eys tone THE C ustodian Shares, Inc. " come streaming to these shores, seeking as our forefathers did, lib ert.y and opportunity for themselves and their children. ' .7.'-.' > ; i v * \ 7 I Prospectus • % . upon request - COMPANIES ' Certificates of Participation incorporated Los New Orleans Chicago — of history . when the state is becoming more I in all history has been as unselfish or has giver generously of its wealth to other people as these United Slates know World of none.. Wars in We made which we territorial no the were demands deciding factor. following The Angeles investment funds Bond Salesmen SHARES OF CAPITAL STOCK OF in to sell bonds (Series Open-End Investment Trust Shares PREFERRED STOCKS (Series K.1-K.2) We common stocks ■ .■ .... ■. - expanding and have (Series S1-S2-S5-S4) 4 are men, for Investment Trust Department our openings for which selected number of sales¬ a bond salesmen should particu¬ Prospectus from your larly well qualify. Write for appointment. Address: local investment dealer or Tlie K eystone ol Boston 50 ; Company Congress Street Boston 9, Massachusetts Prospectus your may be obtained from local investment dealer, or ; ; BAGHE MEMBERS LEADING THE PARKER CORPORATION ONE COURT STREET. BOSTON 8, MASS. Department IT NEW YORK STOCK & STOCK AND Co. EXCHANGE COMMODITY 36 WALL STREET, NEW AND OTHER EXCHANGES YORK 5, N. Y. tw< Marshal in investing tlieir capital am . "What nation Lqrd, Abbett & Co. New York period powerful, no other people enjoy so ih'Ueh personal liberty—th< right to live their own lives—or have such a high standard o living. • • • , • as Funds a more- LOBD-ABBETT INVESTMENT "In < Plan has been • COMMERCIAL THE Number 4776 Volume 169 described without peer in history.' of history, there is no by the London 'Economist' as 'an act Search back as one may through the annals record of a comparable act of generous diplomacy. t • ■ "I do not mean to either 1 • Investment Outlook "Business in the United States in 1948 operated at record peacetime*levels and aggregate profits also were the highest ever-recorded. Conditions as favorable as these- may not be duplicated for ;many Important downward readjustments, have" been occurring ever since the war in a number of industries. To date these have been years. staggered in time and there is little evidence as yet of an important cumulative effect in the form of decreased employment or consumer income. prices, notably farm products, and leveling of retail sales in the last few weeks of 1948 have intensified widespread fears of a general business recession, meaning a minor depression., ''. -V.. "We recognize that a recession may. be starting right now. We believe that a recession, if it occurs soon, will not develop into a severe and prolonged depression. We believe this because of the susbtantial unsatisfied demand, resulting from, the war, for many goods, notably capital goods; because private credit has not been unduly extended; because foreign conditions are forcing upon the government an expansion in total expenditures which tends to offset other; deflationary government policies; because of the government's price support and social security program; and, above all, because we believe a cautious sentiment has prevented important speculative excesses from creeping into business and certainly into the security markets. V: O'-.s. Weakness in commodity . . "We conclude, therefore, that, subject to a limited correction occur at any time, the volume of business, employment,' consumer income, and profits will continue at a good level for some time to come, although 1948 may prove to have been the absolute top. "The possibility that lower volume, prices, and profits in certain industries accentuated by governmental policies directed toward social objectives, will cumulate at an early date into a general re¬ cession for business has a most important offset in the prices at which may which equity securities < sell. Common stocks appear moderately priced in terms of current earnings and dividends and in terms of the average prospects for the next few years, especially if weight is given to an enduring increase over prewar in the price level for ized in the quarter will be balanced by cash deficits later tending to ment" says bank serve influences Treasury redemption of securities held by Federal Re¬ Banks will cease as offset to currency expansion arising from gold, inflow and other inflationary factors. first than more 21 in the year, thus the level • of restore deposits so far Treasury- as concerned. are "The absence of a cash surplus affect Treasury financing February issue of "Business Comment," published by the may Northern Trust Company of Chicago, current heavy government policies and problems. The spending and its relation to the use of the Treasury's cash surplus in Treasury has-been pursuing the reducing bank^held national debt is explained and analyzed. Ac¬ policy of refunding maturing or cording to the article: ;3> — called issues not redeemed in cash "On a fiscal year basis, the payments reduced private deposTreasury still contemplates a con¬ its, and the Treasury used a part into certificates or short notes. In the siderable of debt of the funds to retire debt held by Be¬ In fiscal 1948 the Federal Reserve banks. the net redemption of debt held by cause of this, a part of the money the-public amounted to $7/.3 billion. paid in taxes did not flow back It is estimated that in the current to the public as Federal expendi¬ net retirement held by the public. fiscal will amount to $3.8 billion and that in fiscal 1950 such repayments will total $2 billion. The difference repayments year between these figures and the ex¬ cess of cash receipts over expen¬ ditures is accounted for ..by changes in the Treasury balance* which is estimated to decline by almost $1 billion in the current fiscal year and by $500 million in: fiscal 1950. Although a reduction in debt held by the public is con¬ templated, Federal obligations held by the trust funds are esti¬ to mated rise. The sale of these obligations to the trust funds will provide the Treasury with means; to retire publicly held debt as well finance to the budget deficit. The total public debt will remain practically constant. The total debt is expected to amount to as $25,2 billion on the on same rors in as these ; June 30, 1950, June tures or payments. The to retire bank held used money debt other simply extinguished. The was reduction in deposits caused by surplus more than offset the expansionary effect on deposits of a moderate increase in the Treasury bank loans, support purchases: of U. S. Government securities from nonbank investors by the Federal Reserve banks, and the gold in¬ flow. This policy tends to increase the 'floating' debt, but the large cash surplus has enabled the Treasury to retire portion of maturing is¬ a and sues crease the thus from past the prevent occurring. the year in¬ In fact, in marketable short-term debt has declined. The absence of cash surplus means a that, unless the Treasury is will¬ ing to see an increase in the float¬ ing debt, maturing issues refunded or short into bonds. • may be longer term notes ' Moreover, - the ; "The have a Treasury will" probably sizable cash surplus in the current ' quarter of unusually heavy tax payments, though the surplus is likely to amount to only a fraction of the $6.4 billion sur¬ plus realized in the first quarter pressure on erted the money market ejx- by the redemption of securi¬ ties held by the Federal Reserve banks may no to longer be available offset the expansionary influ¬ ence of gold inflows, possible fu1- Life Insurance dividend is paid in ture support purchases late factors." of 1948. If the National Service 1949; the cash surplus real¬ or other • or 30, -1948. Er¬ estimates will, of course, occur. :> Regarding the economic effects- of reduced Treasury surplus, the continues:; > holdings in common "The $9 billion expansion in the, stocks at approximately the level stated in the last Annual Report."; flow of government payments and t—Quoted from the Annual Report of Scudder, Stevens and Clark, the sharp change from a large Fund. 'V i surplus in 1948 to a deficit in cal¬ Turn to. page 2 for Henry A. Long's analysis of portfolio opera¬ endar 1949 may have a determin¬ tions of Mutual Funds during the last quarter of 1948. ing effect on the trend of busi¬ ness activity, on bank deposits and on Treasury financing- methods. The " larger government expendi¬ tures will have a diffused impact goods. ■ . these "For . (673) Northern Trust Company of Chicago in February "Business Com¬ ; Boston. CHRONICLE Effecis of Declining TreasuryGash Surplus ' ignore or under-emphasize our presentday problems, but I cannot recall a time when we did not have problems; In some ways our troubles and our. responsibilities loom larger today because of our position of leadership among the nations. I believe we should approach oujr problems in a spirit of quiet con¬ fidence, rather than in tear and foreboding., Fear destroys judgment. It is a poor substitute for caution."—Written by George Lutnam of FINANCIAL & . "Comment" , reasons have we maintained / .. Kidder Feaiody Opens lenbrighi Go. Opens Envestment Fund Sep!. Announcement is made today by Kidder, Peabody & Co., members .of the New York Stock Exchange, ; : of the .Funds formation of a Mutual Department at its uptown office, 10 East 45th Street, New City, under the management of Dudley F. Gates. York • The • firm will stress the im- portance to investors of the vari¬ of mutual funds, which Jare managed by Investment Com¬ panies and regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940. ous types -A variety of "packaged" invest-; will be suggested business. Some expanded pro¬ such as aircraft procure¬ ment, stockpiling of strategic ma-, terials, public housing and public works, will'affect primarily the heavy industries. On the other hand, Federal aid to education, larger k social security benefits, support operations in farm cornon Mutual Funds Dept. grams, ROCHESTER, N. Y.—George D. Bon-bright & CO., 100 Powers; Building, New York has estab-l lished, effective Feb. 1, 1949, an Investment Fund Department.' Eugene H. Cunningham who has B. been with the firm since 1946 will! Manager of the Depart-1 modifies and the dividend on Na¬ department will spe-j tional Service Life Insurance^ will ciahze in the distribution of j increase the* incomes of .individual i selected- open-end The effect .'on indi-. type -invest-! recipients. ment funds. '■ i vidual spending or saving pat¬ serve as I'ins xacuv. . terns will be diverse. • "The LosingeiesExch. Bd. ous - supporting effect on vari¬ markets of larger government and payments may be offset by the discouragement to fto meet the needs of many invest¬ private enterprise inherent in the ors, whether for capital conserva¬ LOS ANGELES, CAL.—Phelps prospect that present tax rates tion, long-term growth, or gener¬ Witter, Dean' Witter V& Co., has; may be indefinitely continued if ous income. been appointed Chairman of the; not increased. The adverse effect Mutual funds have been ment programs recog¬ . Elects Wilfer Chairman Board of Governors of Los; of the high tax rates has been ob¬ Exchange to suc¬ scured by the war-created boom Lester, Lester & Co. and the large volume of liquid dent's Council of Economic AdWarren M. Crowell, Crowell, Weeassets left by the war that could visers recently stated, in its an¬ don & Co., was named Vice-; be drawn upon to finance busi¬ nual report, that "the bulk of savings will come from people in Chairman,, to succeed Carl M. Pur- ness capital as well as consumer the middle income brackets who cell, Barbour, Smith & Co.; andj expenditures. When government nized as having a sound place in the country's economy. . spending The Presi¬ rightly more concerned with are the safety of their investment than with Angeles ceed Stock B. E. & was the and experience of investing nationwide local companies can extend venture capital which firm expects wide-spread investor to attract interest mutual funds of all sound At the outset proves take only five full time However, if the venture successful the firm plans to on additional continuing Archie R. as and offices in salesmen Boston, delphia, and Chicago. as Presi-- Gilbert Secretary, and Inez and Ver¬ Assistant Secretaries. not Phila¬ BUTTE Street, to roll was engage Mr. and decisions businessmen and in Car¬ Shares, Inc. millions CHICAGO ST. PAUL SPOKANE individuals and to SEATTLE a TACOMA i of bank with two beds have enclosed lavatories, ample luggage space, and full length closets. Adjoining bedrooms open into connecting suites. NEW ROOMETTES full privacy for one with room facilities in offer com¬ Radio control and circulat¬ ing ice water in all rooms. pact form. a color booklet on the Olympian Hiawatha, write to H. Sengstacken, Passenger Traffic Man¬ ager, 9,48 Union Station, Chicago 6, Illinois. major part of this surplus to retire debt held by the Federal NEW BEDROOMS For own "The large Federal cash surplus and the use of Reserve System had formerly Vice-President important influence of Inter-Mountain of better themselves their families through their Carroll is forming George C. Car¬ Race , MINNEAPOLIS C. efforts. Company with offices at 678 . ing from some and giving to others, or whether to rely on the of COLO. —George Super-speed schedule economic life of the country, tak¬ Forming Own Company South national between Crest-to-canyon views of a mountain glass enclosed Sky top Lounge^ a new departure in ear design. You'll find the private rooms in the new Olympian Hiawatha sleeping cars perfect in every detail. wonderland from the OLYMPIAN. MILWAUKEE trying roll private-room sleepers billion), the country would seem to be perilously close to making a fundamental decision— a decision whether to rely increas¬ ingly on government as the guid¬ ing and determining factor in the choices DENVER, net of $240 Oeorgs C. Carroll Is only in New York but also in their the securities business. branch re-elected,; dent, Thomas P. Phelan,- as-Vice-; in million, .mutual fund salesmen will be em¬ ployed. Paul of the 25% ; named types, believing them to be an effective means of channelling savings into American business enterprise. v G. President * with diversification of risks." The W. absorbs .Revel product as it did in 1948 (govern¬ Treas-- ment receipts of $60 billion against : ,■^ V'i an estimated net national product Zimmerman, Co., gains that involve high !'•'[ risks." To this end, the report rec¬ urer.V ommends "study should be made Other officers were of and P. George Miller Spectacular Sky top lounge deposits in on an' the level 1948. Tax the Milwaukee Road The friendly Railroad of the friendly West 22 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (674) CHRONICLE Thursday, February 10, 1949 NYSE Announces Urges Action for Less Government Spending Public Edward J. W. Dr. Utility Securities commitments By OWEN ELY ■ The recapitalization plan of United Corporation was approved Jan, 31 by the U. S. District Court in Wilmington and an enforce¬ ment order is expected shortly. Consummation of the plan is antici¬ pated following the usual aopeal period, which in this, case will be 60 days. Randolph Phillips has consistently opposed the naanagement in the past and has appealed previous United Corporation plans to the Circuit and Supreme Courts. Hence it is possible that he will do so in this case, despite the expense involved. It appears unlikely, however, that the Committee representing the Preference Stock will make any appeal since the difference between the current value of the exchange package (about $47.15) and the objective of $50 has narrowed in recent months. As of Feb. 5, liquidating value of the common stock (after pro¬ vision for retiring preference stock under the plan) was $3.81. Soon after the plan becomes effective, the company will ask SEC permis¬ sion to make a distribution of 1/10 share of Niagara Hudson to each share of common stock. This means that the present holdings of With United selling at 2Y2, distribution would reduce the net cost to $1.69 as compared with liquidating value of $3.00 or a net discount of 43%. the the national of the tion dorsement to strain of re- International York order to the out carry management's plan to convert report as a subsidiary; it is possible therefore that the SEC may not although the Statutory in the not listed was company annual minimum holding is considered However, assuming thai the 5% Hudson. would This shares of Columbia Gas, Shares South of Stock held as by each shares, "A" be which stock, Gas Im¬ second preferred into four converted will have equal share Because of this fact it might for United to dispose of some necessary be would of voting rights with the common stock. common 237,000 about shares of United 42,000 Corporation United many of 1,086,000 shares of new reducing its net holdings of Niagara to only about 280,000 shares of new common and 194,000 shares of "A" stock. Allowing for possible increased dividend rates in 1950 for Cin¬ Public Service Electric & Gas and West Penn cinnati Gas & Electric, Electric, of reduction in the United Gas improvement rate, and the a initiation United of about 170 a share. which cash may be received under the plan securities to on Hudson and Niagara income dividends of & Southern, the Commonwealth Corporation in 1950 is estimated at $2,444,000 or However, assuming that the estimated $12,000,000 sale of utility stocks from the be realized deducting $1,161,000 estimated balance of cash needed for and plans) Niagara paid done on Corporation as dividends by United out Assuming that all earnings should by investment trusts) (as is frequently this would mean a yield of about 12% the estimated net market cost of $1.69. of Most United Corporation's portfolio years and some levels, which has been held for mans of the largest holdings were acquired at 1928-9 price means that there are book losses estimated at some on of value day's stupendous spending of the Administration, observes with approval the happening to the paper dollar. George Bauer will tell you, per¬ haps. Maybe, he will show you the rubber Dollar. A month ago, showed to the one Secretary of the Treasury—my guest here, that dollar which bears my own signa¬ surely it ture, stretch to seems farther.' "To the affairs written Vafid simple think¬ of way ing, taxation as a political maneu¬ has been carried too far — and I speak from some experience in such matters, having served in the National Government, in the tial out of interests in to United the This would be of substan¬ spending end, of statement. Moreover, dividends for distributions, -realized a considerable period of years stockholders on a tax-free basis as capital that adequate losses on utility stocks were provided in the years in Enjoyed your visit Also, the other end, the saving on end—as Assistant to of the Director First the Budget, in the days Coolidge—the Evangel¬ it was, if you. of Calvin ist of economy. He, remember, who required the re¬ turn of the pencil stub, for a new one—and the broom handle, be¬ the fore issue "To of THE AND the OF ST. PAUL Telephone Atlantic 8141 8c GOMPAXV MINNEAPOLIS DULUTH Teletype MP 73 distance from the office to registered representa¬ tive is accredited. be the Hinch & Wilson Formed TORONTO, ONT., CANADA— formed Hinch and Wilson Limited with offices at approved, be for¬ appropriate members pass act as 331 Bay Street, to dealers in Canadian mining issues. thing This action was taken by the Board of Directors upon recommen¬ dation of its International Trade Section on whose behalf Dr. Edward W. Proffitt and Mr. George Bauer of the Monetary Policy Com¬ mittee Shall $6,000-a-year line. But my than me last ones the ever, been has for a the use WHEREAS in to the billion 33V3%. — that year, collections billion. How¬ less-than-$6,000-amore — collected by process tax burden would fall upon the taxoayer. little and would economy be subjected to a dis- severe would be monetary joining European and other countries units in the miseries of monetary and chaos; WHEREAS it seems reasonable to suppose that any rise again price of gold after fifteen years of fixity, would impair or destroy, for generations to come, the confidence of people in the willingness and ability of Congress to maintain a fixed in the monetary standard for the people of our country; therefore BE IT RESOLVED, by the Directors of the New York Board of Trade, that they express themselves in opposition to any change in" the price of gold beyond the figure of $35 per ounce of fine gold and to any tinkering with said price at this time. N. Y. Curb Increased Commissions Effective February 14 An rea¬ others increase in New Curb Francis Adams Truslow, Exchange commission rates President Feb. 4 announced that 379 ballots commission were on were of the Cufb Exchange, on cast in all, 281 increase, 95 disapproving and approving the 3 being defective. There 491 regular members eligible to vote. The revised commission all increase in stock schedules, which provide a 13.07% over¬ commissions, now become effective with the opening of business Monday, Feb. 14, 1949. Amendments to Section 2, Article VI, of the exchange constitu¬ incorporating the revised commission rates were approved by the Board of Governors on Jan. 19, 1949. Approval by a majority of tion medium-sized the votes cast by at least a - was "Wherefore, lest we wreck and perhaps sink the Ship of State Yo_rk stock transactions proposed recently to the exchange membership has been approved by 74% of the members who voted on the measure. over of greater part of this increased than we fixed economic tax By what our outlined. was be; dif¬ $7.6 bracket there may recol¬ more-than-$6,000-a-year total it ' '/■ WHEREAS without moment, please. figures, the In as turbance; 1945 available. has, defective prices -of gold and other sensitive commodities and foreign exchange rates could be expected to fluctuate wildly, if that price were now changed; 1 esti¬ will be fantastically me part of the gold now of they, taxes, . WHEREAS be additional Follow * the Directors follows: WHEREAS the United States would lose by any increase allowed the price of gold beyond $35 per ounce that standard it lection of the tax figures appears to indicate that the results of such Let appeared and addressed the Directors. The resolution adopted by $4 billion, will be placed incomes, down to include the ferent in favor of a gold coin standard of the Directors of the New York Board of J. mated at plan position Trade expressed opposition to any increase beyond that price by fur¬ devaluation, subsidy, free gold market alongside Treasury's fixed gold price or any other method whatever. they think is good people, whether the peo¬ that change in gold value will any ther which for the Opposes Changing Gold Price resolution stating Reaffirming its — the J. M. DAIN of obtain 35 paper dollars per ounce, am soning, other than fallacious and misleading, could one deduce tha* CENTRAL NORTHWEST are types impair public confidence. permitted to continue to take from the people ■■;V the right to spend the money which they, the people, have earned which they, the people have saved, perhaps by sacrifice $9.3 SECURITIES all unlisted in politicians, bracket, MUNICIPAL to Directors in its another, interest. national of year CORPORATE headquarters, solicit from which' the Congress and to the Press." hopeful, you are in agreement, it is a matter of principle, transcending in im¬ portance almost all other matters and I me, amounted SPECIALISTS .IN and if N. Y, Bd. of Trade Executive Offi¬ as Department General Staff, where, in computations, the last six ciphers were usually omitted. in HOPE TO SEE YOU AGAIN SOON to T. A. Hinch and G. C. Wilson have War a which dividends were paid. op¬ from "And I would respectfully sug¬ gest that copies of the foregoing of the Purchase Branch of the cer on eb$ld probably be paid to wrill whether of margin business, in either or only that shall are securities, not institutions, but also individuals, subject, to the home solicitation rule, regardless en¬ that or listed i acquiring important tax savings in a consolidated income so or securities. ver, realized book losses (through sale of secur¬ plies panies could be offset by ities) thus permitting Corporation in taxes firms of sales or permitted cash public our or covering employees of firms, registered repre¬ sentatives office labor.' warded commitments or erating from main office, branch for him greater value for his day's controlling ple themselves want it or not? industrial companies, since the earnings of such com¬ "The President's message im¬ advantage that materially reduced, workingman's dollar While these have been pretty pnd self-denial, in order that the the stockholders' balance sheet, they remain politicians may spend it for some¬ indefinitely for tax loss purposes. and of se¬ share rule new member shall rule in more administration resolution, my expenditures the end to once to It is also announced that under a dorse these efforts to restrain and economy a securities effected. recommend to the board of direc¬ commitments, $5 new transactions and commitments tain members of Congress in en¬ deavoring to reduce the hugs sums now being sought; now therefore be it resolved, that this body future accounts of There has been no change in the $1,000 equity requirement, in cash securities, when new securities cer¬ they whole-heartedly ;11 rule gov-^ or war¬ action of at ; new below or purpose transactions increase the even its by¬ valued .1 margin at for the Section, time control in curities viewing with much concern the widespread efforts in Washington tors that securities withdrawals-of cash International to continue and for below. or value Jan. 27, last: Trade, to erning initial margin or equity is to permit member firms to give New am 'Whereas, the New York Board him amendments 5 The effect of the " f$45 million at recent market prices. Well I lows: (after place and stead. the United is reinvested to yield 5%, this would increase earnings to around 210 a share. be dividend of the Trade, tion of Dr. Proffitt's remarks fol¬ 1,086,000 shares of Niagara Hudson, 127,000 Gas, and Jersey sale the include Under the Niagara Hudson plan the provement. tithes and the partial distribution of of the plan consummation the of tee require disposal of about day, in New York, at lunch. Why, $1'2 million of the $44 million estimated portfolio value remaining he said, 'compared with the paper after Section Board meeting of its Executive Commit¬ t labor." A por¬ I repre¬ relating to customers/margin accounts of the name Feb. laws $5 ingman's dol¬ m e n his or solicit¬ on /The Stock Exchange announced on years. "so commit- desirable, it is estimated that this would Niagara war that the work¬ and greater new require such a heavy disposal of shares. the in¬ structed to refer to you the fol¬ lowing resolution, which was unanimously adopted at the last for E. J. W. Proffitt in "Therefore, in the lar will obtain Dr. than even government expenditures for rule new re¬ sentatives. overburdening of the limitless taxes, let us cry 'halt'—and try to stop this stupendous spending — greater and , margin of $5 ing accounts by registered seemingly control future s to shares on Also under. this with organization urging en¬ efforts relates quirements Sec-<& ' the "Of paramount import to our cbmpany from a registered utilities holding company to an invest¬ people—from the highest eschement trust (dealing "in, special situations), it may be necessary to lons—to the ranks of the workers reduce some of the larger holdings of utility stocks. The Holding —is this crying problem of taxes. Company Act of 1935 is not very specific on this point. Holdings You have read the President's in any event must be less than 10%, but the question of the exact message to Congress concerning amount of stock which might be considered a controlling interest it—I will not bore you with the isr left to the SEC. It appears likely that a reduction to around 5% statistics, nor with predictions of or less should meet any SEC requirements. The company has for things to come. You know what is several years retained a 7.7% interest in United Gas Improvement, In Alteration by Federal Government. a 2,818,397 shares of Niagara will be almost cut in half. Based on the recent value of Niagara, the distribution will be worth about 81<5, reducing the book value to around $3.00. Changes in By-Laws meeting of the Directors of the New York Board of Trade on Feb. 1, Dr. Edward J. W. Proffitt, of the New York office of the Manufacturers and Traders Trust Co,, presented a resolution unanimously adopted by the Executive Committee of the Inter¬ Addressing United Corporation of Trade Proffitt addresses New York Board urging body to endorse efforts to restrain future expenditures and majority of the regular exchange members required. Commission rates were Exchange in May, 1942. last increased by the New York Curb Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Parlies Pronounced Lee Shuey, Albert Theis & Sons; Leo Clooney, Reinholdt & Gardner; A1 Meyer, & Co,; Jim Riordan, Reinholdt & Gardner; Bob Sueck, Boatmen's Nauofitu 'J \',a Bank of St. Louis ... :v"-; Securities Salesman's Corner By JOHN DUTTON is a market new ment dealer. There securities heretofore. which has been created for the invest¬ millions of people who have not owned They have invested billions of dollars in life insurance, savings and loan companies, government bonds and sav¬ ings accounts. They comprise a new field for merchandising securi¬ ties. So far, very little has been accomplished by investment firms in convincing these millions of people that they should buy securities. are Before any sales campaign should be inaugurated a study of the obstacles to be overcome is in order. Then the proper approach can be directed toward overcoming such resistance as is certain to be encountered. Here are some of the problems: jOX The majority of people who have their funds institutions in fiduciary likely to be and who do not own securities are quite skeptical. (2) They will also make initial investments in small This, of course, is expensive business to handle. Increased Bank Reserves—Threat To that (3) Prospecting offers In at the "mass no established route. market." recent has cult to months largely view of these facts understand it the into come is diffi¬ not why desirable obj ective. curtailed by some a the are Federal Reserve Board should de¬ sire stronger, more extensive the controls business bank over and reserves business credit. Under anti-inflation the American unsound loans If loans banks, banks various of communities, or individual a contraction of almost an inevitable is , ity to apply to That have pro¬ Bankers and been specu¬ discour¬ These local credit curtailments could have a serious effect psychology that could be felt throughout the omy, aged. ous on try. Emphasis has been placed productive credit and the vol¬ business on econ¬ geographically and in vari¬ lines of business indus¬ and insured further a requirements reserve nonmember raises banks serious question. question deals with the se¬ curity of the dual system of bank¬ ing. Such a step would dele¬ gate to the Federal Reserve Board a substantial part of the very thority Congress of spective states the economy. over au¬ the and re¬ banking and The dual system of be breached and banking would could expect further encroach¬ we ments from governmental author¬ ities upon it. consequence, the of gram Association, All advertising must Many curiosity seekers will be encountered and must be weeded out. This takes patience and a sales organization that believes in the plan and can "take it." directed in economy balance. lative be Employment and Production t holdings of governments into cash or extremely short-term paper. (2) Banks that have a high per¬ Business conditions are centage of loans in relation to distinctly deflationary in a num¬ deposits would probably find it ber of fields. Unemployment is necessary to curtail their lending increasing in some lines. Prices policies. • ' are leveling off in some lines and If the Administration finds thai declining in others. More busi¬ deflation is in prospect, a curtail¬ ness failures are being recorded. ment of bank loans is obvioush fact very amounts. 23 Huge Success (Continued from page 6) A Sales Campaign Directed Toward the New Investor There (675) Walter A. Becker, Paul Brown & Co.; Vincent Malone, Paul Brown & Co.; Sumner Shapiro, Paul Brown & Co.; H. Kelley; E. J. Speth; John R. Kauffmann, John, R. Kauffmann & Co.; Elmer Klein, Harvey, Klein & Co. White I CHRONICLE Why is it thought that there is need to enlarge the controls a bank credit and, at the same over time, to enlarge the functions of government agencies in of or governmental lending money or in guaranteeing credit? If there is be argued that if the danger of excessive private credit sents the actual need of Board is granted the increased re¬ facilities, should these facilities be The foregoing is just about what will be encountered if you and industry for credit to keep serve requirement authority it supplemented by Federal Reserve decide to set out upon a campaign to do business with the people the economy operating on its requests, it could, by reducing guaranty of bank loans or by the who have their funds in savings banks,., government bonds, etc., &nd present level. More credit is re¬ reserve requirements in the event creation of a new giant lending who do not, as yet, own corporate securities. quired to run business and indus¬ of future deflation, release a pro¬ operation? The Murray bill now Taking up point number (1): Skepticism of the Uninitiated. An try today than was needed before portionately larger amount of pending, for example / contem¬ If bank credit is cur¬ bank reserves for advertising campaign should be directed toward playing up the the war. lending pur¬ plates the extension of an addi¬ advantages of owning good securities for investment. Here, the tailed by increased reserve re¬ poses than it can now. The fal¬ tional $15 billion through the simpie way is the best. Household names should be used. General quirements, employment and pro¬ lacy of this argument is obvious. RFC. Motors, U. S. Steel, Telephone and all the old standbys. You have to duction will be lessened. We are The long history of the depression Perhaps the answers to these start off by selling the market leaders. If you are selling Trust Funds sure that Federal authorities do during the 30's demonstrates one you also do can Small it this way. The Funds own the market leaders. bring in leads providing you OFFER SOMETHING. write a short fold-over, pocket size, booklet which tells will ads If you can the story of how an investor obtain 5% to 6% by investing in the greatest corporations in America you can offer it FREE. After you can the secure leads, keep after them. Weed out the Curiosity seekers. Try and find some who become enthused with the idea of acquiring good securities ON A REGULAR BASIS. If possible, enlist the aid of not want maximum of Initial Investments Expensive. This is the stumbling block which we think has been the main deterrent- to securing more of this business. The small dealer, the unlisted house, can make NOTHING otherwise, Mutual pared unless funds to do he securities later on of the make sale of listed securities, odd lot or charge for his services. a special only solution UNLESS you are pre¬ first business at a loss, and then SELL unlisted upon which you make a profit. offer the out can about the that banking banks requirements authorities can majority that investment enable would work. A complete understanding should be established broad the bond duce market in and market open pressure could on total required these banks mately cess all Despite there is Unless a that industry lot more as has been written about the inability of the a whole to properly merchandise its wares, to it than the sort of talk we have been hearing. the capital, the time, the fortitude „(if you will) to put up with a hard, expensive and sometimes rather thankless job, it would be better to leave the education of those who "do not know anything about stocks and bonds" to others who can make the effort. After all, ours is a business that must stand upon its own feet and show a profit. Every security dealer knows best, just what type of selling procedure is suited to his own resources and his you have facilities. $30 would billion. reserves lion. This total tant answer the would have to be in provide more increased der its than reserves maximum that the a the ex¬ mil¬ banks position to $8 billion to meet of the requirements impose un¬ reserve Board approxi¬ could requested additional thority. • ; V. au¬ ~ , It seems evident that the grant¬ ing of authority to the Reserve Board to increase Federal reserve requirements further would have two principal effects: (1) ers seek to convert en¬ Board to Board this argument already has their questions are to be found in these sentences in the Economic Report of the President: "And in times like excess that reserves could conceivably be required to enable the banks easy to follow extremely lending policies. some $65 billion of government securi¬ ties has almost eliminated any need for banks to borrow from the Federal Reserve, the Board reduce the discount rate.- By could market can open operations, it pull long and short-term interest rates. However, easy money policies of the past years down both have greatly lessened the Board's ability to deal with deflation by either Board of these methods. could in the Also, the event of re¬ cession, relax its present selective controls over consumer credit and curities. anti-deflationary it will be ready tingency. the mixed eco¬ ele¬ weapons so for either It may even be that con¬ neces¬ to employ both types of concurrently in some combination, for some prices or incomes could rise too rapidly while others could be falling dan¬ sary measures gerously." We this respectfully call attention to economic you point, phenomenon: that, punch the economy at one an appear opposite process may A great called this? teacher I refer "bulge pounding." William was reaction at another point. American Graham Sumner, It he, incidentally, who created the character Man." "The That character Forgotten was not, as he has been represented, one who suffered from a shortage of gov¬ ernmental benevolence. He was slmply the taxpayer. Having subscribed to the prin¬ ciples of cooperation and of criti¬ cism, I prefer to conclude on. the former note. The best specialized ability of the banking industrystands ready to serve its govern¬ ment by consultation on questions management, monetary theory, and central bank policy. of The to Broadening the Board's author¬ when has - to Although the ownership of present, situation ments, the government needs both anti inflationary weapons and thority to reduce reserve require¬ if ments sufficiently to create all the the nomic is au¬ loans for buying and carrying se¬ Both banks and other lend¬ would Reserve adequately with either or deflation, come what that Present that means ex¬ The first and most impor¬ may. for reserves about $800 are deal Federal pro¬ problems the Reserve authorities. Present grant of power will a the to result to be economy- are It is possible that in the hear¬ able requirements. reserve could re¬ panded. inflation ing and expense YOU are going to put into this, the time you are going to ekpend upon it, and what you hope to accomplish event¬ ually. If they are in agreement and are willing to give it a good try, where everyone will consistently keep at it until results are suffi¬ cient to show a profit, then you might go ahead. : securities the and increased This excess may provide ample lending quickly to meet the maximum of with your salesmen about what you expect to do, how much advertis¬ - serves of funds, but borrowers must be willing to use them if bank credit posi¬ (3): Educating the Salesman. How you are going of all member banks and insured salesmen that they should go out and do business nonmember banks are approxi¬ with people without making any profit on the first transaction is mately $21 billion. Under pro¬ something else again. Unless they believe in the plan and are will¬ posed increased reserve authority, ing to work hard at it, there does not seem to be much you can do maximum required reserves o' it quantities them Point number make large ings that will be held in Wash¬ cash ington, it will be argued that so to convince your to fact very clearly: the presence of the put themselves in ^ that may banks- would of short-term tion the meet supervisory impose. This means great prac¬ keep in reserve that and (2): steps which depression. position at all times to want to number take on a demands these accounts MAY DEVELOP into fairly substantial Point repre¬ business Good commercial tice It outstanding to might bring these people in SELLING TO THEIR FRIENDS. You can do this with Trust Shares. Even if you make very little on the first orders, some of buyers. loans of ume fiscal entire serve upon. ' industry stands readycountry as called its the State, whether we socialism, or statism, or simply welfare legislation, is the answer which people are giving Against Creating "Welfare State" Provost of Cornell University, says it threat¬ Dr. C. W. de Kiewiet, give each to ens by government agency to fixed by law and administered financed from public funds. Calls for re¬ person a status, Since Addressing University in Ithaca, cautioned against the by threatened creation unmistakable turn in the tide of graduating class at Cornell a N. Y., on Feb. 2, Provost C. W. de Kiewiet, transformation of our economic and social life ''There is an welfare state." of "a 'our $- nation," tivity of government in social and economic life. Social security, Federal aid to education, public health measures are coming to be familiar facts of American politi¬ cal life. Two great wars and an Dr. de Kiewiet "Our stated. social c e order d e is o n i c un- going r transf t i and n o m o to measure the great made the power and der be¬ Dr. ginning of the C. W. de Kiewiet The century. is increasing. At this very moment we are being called upon pace to agree to far-reaching modifica¬ tions in the total pattern of Amer¬ ican life. American of process each which in has man a status, defined by some statute, administered by some govern¬ financed by some Will we in some mental agency, fund? public early to generation be future divide society into and servants —civil able great making. The American people, or an influential part of it, seems willing to sanction a remarked: , those things in The extension of the "I state none of greater ac- resentment. power and collective the forth of an problems severe It is State, I learned as a student, is good life for its citizens. I am willing «to yield a generous measure of authority to the State provision of a There reached. to our Plato's proper probably new. which be very beneficial to apply problems. I agree with argument that 'it is not that some citizens should Of government techniques it may. are been yet not that all of social new and economic effort in public In must individual and maintaining for rejecting a constant and in dispen sable yet all has just written a explain that 'the to the creating of he to book state cannot see services the are'needed that And yet individual known for radical views speaks gloomily of present trends, fit may be,' remarked Bertrand Rus¬ sell, 'that the present tendencies to make a good society.' outstanding another centralization toward strong to have led be 'resisted to disaster, are too until rthey and. that, as happened in the 5th century, -the whole system must break down, with all the inevitable results of anarchy and poverty, before hu¬ man beings can acquire that de¬ gree of oersonal freedom without which life loses its savor.'. so "J haye not, I hope you will see, much pleaded for or against -political, the struggle for our philosophies .;that approval. Rather pleaded against indiffer¬ against the acceptance of have'I ence, Most certainly have I in favor of that virtue which Aristotle described as 'an established habit of voluntary de¬ slogans. pleaded which imposes upon you personal obligation of never deciding without thought, and of cision,' the always deciding with the inten¬ augmenting human free¬ happiness." - tion of dom and times. Much energy, and ning, whole (Continued from first page) erty and spontaniety,' or dull the .ingenuity,, the .imagination, the admirable for of restoring prosperity. If conditions have ; indeed reached the point where a first class recession^ is in order, the history that will repeat itself will be not >, only that of 1920 but. that of the second half-of the ' 1930's. That is to say, in plainer terms, the Administra- > tion will now be no more able to prevent a depression,^ , with its interferences with natural forces, than was the ; Roosevelt New Deal management able to restore good jealous scrutiny lest the State en¬ croach too far upon 'human lib¬ the resourcefulness, and the independent striving of men. While I am altogether sure that has the purpose in their search is public and enterprise. Lord Beveridge a generation been the leading advocate of State plan¬ social As We See It ar¬ What it finally them. wide range of lifelong advocates of study and criticize things as they are with a view to accepting or does insist upon a private and individual enterprise come from men who have been improvement in all things, to for men repetition. An appetite for public office, not as a form of responsibility but as a form o' security, stifles imagination and enterprise. v "Some of the most urgent pleas ity may be restrained in their effort to produce and apply new knowl¬ edge, to continue energetic office struggle against unoriginal- What it does not the possibility that men is a. heavy selfishness to. pay have we ransom rangements. admit en¬ Each has great opportunities,. Each has its dangers. For individual nothing that:.condones, the sub¬ jection of men to a barsn 'eco¬ nomic discipline. Liberal indi¬ vidualism admits the possibility of they balance, large and affirm the characteris¬ tic freedoms of American society. to health and dignity, men provided may, reasonable in are the ad¬ opposes Such alternative fields activity of nothing in liberal in¬ "There is dividualism by initiative. and poor, a age maintain, others excessively rich, since these two extremes lead straight to sedition.' excessively be is who healthy society should the side of inevi¬ tably expanded governmental ac¬ tivity, a wide and sufficient mar¬ gin for the exercise of 'individual ern I agree that the good standard of probably bitter falsehood to say that a employed by the that a man who works independently serves only himself. In the mod¬ living for all citizens may be greatly helped by wise legisla¬ tion. I am even willing to agree that the limits of State action have its activity and energy. all man a the for this purpose. that brings State serves the State, and The object of the industrial age. The individual. the pensable to State needs a citizenry wealtn of a adequately cope with can more answer, for the that they are indis¬ would I reason same two groups vance of humanitarian policies, those ruled nothing that challenges the right cosmopolitan has claimed to see the by civil servants?" Continuing, the Cornell Provost Welfare State in the A newspaper legis¬ individual in depending more and more upon the State. What is happening? Are we watching the emergence of a new political or¬ the influence the un¬ an the reveals lation of government .since State, the to precedented body of social ad¬ vances in sacrifices possible make to individuals customed is It . .now depression have ac¬ intervening orma- the only that indispensable are ■ State, Lib¬ to the to preserve? ob¬ corporate been it Mias vious society erties try we of Theo¬ days the least at Roosevelt dore birth of liberal individualism. should difficult problems. immensely individual enterprise freedom for it call Thursday, February 10, 1949 CHRONICLE of power Warns FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (676) 24 The Change Since Then change since the President was . touring the coun¬ is considerable. Prices in try's "whistle stops" last autumn accomplished b.v some segments of the economy had even then begun to government, they » c a n n o t be show signs of hesitation. It was, however, far from achieved by men blindly in ignor¬ whether the movement was or was not a mere hesitation. ance of the high moral and politi¬ cal values which have already Many there were at that time who were after a short period the upward movement would be re¬ been created by the nation's his¬ things be can clear confident that "For have or collec¬ social stand in all case on higher dividual socialized state is morally,, more ad¬ than a_state whibh yields collectivized or necessity of vanced generous margin of individual enterprise a freedom to and initia¬ Concepts have found their tive. way into ^ our thought political fundamentally un¬ of the great which are sound. Fragments 19th century controversy over effects of the on When -f/tele/ep/tone Kings of the industrial revolution lodged in fragments political passion, not of politi¬ our society hav^ become thought. They are cal science. economic de¬ deeply into Assumptions about of classes and the Ideas of terminism have sunk Pop hopes it's a call from Brown Smith, saying that business deal is our minds. valuable today because there the conflict Greater Value. & more is OK. are nearly 40% about Mom's expecting a call from her Your telephone telephones— more 9,000,000 more —than three years ago. mother. You tailspin if it isn't Harry, who hasn't yet asked her for a Saturday night date. Sis will go into a ft Buddy hopes it's Joe, asking if he can over. come Can more small small Reach more people and reach you. The cost is can per call and relation in to exceedingly the and Story. Rates Are Still Low. Telephone rate much less than the increases Mom and The Sis story and of Pop Buddy is typical of many a family through¬ out the country. It shows the two-way service. value The of your telephone you get are as calls are They are far less than past increases in telephone wages, and other higher costs of providing service. In fact, average sometimes more so. call. things you buy. important as the ones you make — BELL of each call. increases in most other Family value TELEPHONE telephone only a rate increases penny SYSTEM or so per ment was unthinking as. very large and likely to remain so more or indefinitely. Superficially at least, conditions appeared level than the words in¬ favorable for a so-called "fourth round" of wage increases and -private, so that a which would inevitably have brought .still higher prices the idea that the words of a hundred years we a strongly under the influence been tive vigor in most groups of commodities. Employ¬ quite good, and profits appeared at least to the sumed with tory. • different eco¬ us to accept the doctrine of an inevitable so¬ lution through collectivism or so¬ cialism. The worst result is a passivity in political and moral incompatibility of nomic interests lead because we assume that certain developments are prede¬ termined. We become political less of manufactured goods—or at least inevitably marked increase in the productivity of labor of which there were few if any signs. ; ' The President—wisely so it proved in a strictly po- '• litical sense—assured the farmer that he would be "pro- , tected" from lower prices of some of the leading farm ; of most types so in the absence of "inflation" that served as the scarlet of the President's argu¬ ments together—the boom which must be controlled to prevent a "bust" at some later date. If there was at that time any inkling in the minds of the President and his intimates that the boom had already reached its crest and that the problem of any Administration elected to office might well be that of preventing a "bust" rather than controlling or limiting a "boom"—assum¬ ing, as we do not believe, that such are really the problems of the political powers that be—there \Vas little products, but it was thread to hold many if not most indication of it. Painful Developments matters, fatalists, become like the frog about in Pennsylvania put a frog in a pan of cold they tell If you water the pan on the will relax appre¬ ciatively in the lukewarm water, and make no effort to jump out of the pan. There it sits till it realizes too late that the water is hot, and that it is being parboiled. "Before we get to the stage of being parboiled we should ask a few questions. Maybe the answers will make us jump. How much; and put stove, the frog j But there are the others in which or if not political life; are now President, last fall war clues here and there Administration, which suggest that the Administration, many beginning to wonder. The concentrating his attention upon powers would, theoretically at least enable him to reestablish business from running away from controls to prevent itself and from the consumer, now is asking powers which according to current political reasoning—enable him to stem the growth of unemployment, enlarge the volume of production and do whatever else he may think it wise to do to keep things humming as they would—again theoretically or Volume 169 when were Number 4776 he making was last autumn. If dozen speeches Y." v' a - the pressure for COMMERCIAL THE day early a It the there was and materials already risen In both amount, the rise in rail lags " far behind both increases^lii^fail costs, and the in¬ crease; ip .-the prices of the com¬ modities hauled The -- probably feels that he has to worry-less about scarce materials and the possibility that their scarce¬ ness might feed inflationary flames, but while the situation has not yet reached that stage, it must have occurred to him and his advisers that the day may come when he could wish that demand could be found to keep existing facilities fully occupied and their' normal labor forces fully employed. developments of the past few months put quite enormous producing capacity of the country. One de¬ by rail. railroads people some or rates. wages railroad had of postwar any railroad freight in supplies .;: rates middle nearly,,. ^U-%. above 1939. ; must suppose, moreover, that a further continuance until prices ?t>f and - The President increase in the steel not By that time railroad. the Now Full Utilization At least, the railroad that much so have was 1946 of the Chief Ex- out of date the President's demand that there be other warned are in authority (677) railroads, or tax-supported gov¬ ernment-operated railroads. Ii in that than increase grain and livestock must be raising the bogey and labor productivity. wages , fact much faster and so further now risen, as to whether at the lower prices full scale Y production can continue profitably at existing ; levels* ;| this—the prices, including wages, have risen ecutive.: If the price of clothing is down somewhat compared with a few months ago, with consequent -rer ductioii of complaints from consumers, the questioa has / charges, choice the living is declining—as it is in moderate de¬ cree—and hence the political danger from disgruntled / housewives is reduced,/ the progressively weaker mar¬ of dissatisfied farmers before the eyes CHRONICLE Rates Insufficient the cost of •• excessive fixed or Just troubling him less, increasing unemployment and partemployment must be beginning to harass him. If in FINANCIAL what is the cause? "fourth round" of wages is a time kets traffic & that be presented cially to the shippers and business men, their there have had officers and railroad execu-! tives realize the need for keeping rates as low as costs will permit. Their whole training is in the di¬ rection of seeking high' volume of traffic at low rates—far lower, on the average, than those of any other form of transportation which offers service to all parts of the continent. And what is the President to do about it all? Our opinion is clear and unequivocal. He should, and:*.* Congress should, concentrate their attention upon-re¬ moving the impediments which government itself has placed in the way of business. Nothing else, in our judg¬ ment, would*do so much to provide assurance against the development of another deep or prolonged depres¬ : sion. We take it for that be will have so . • "let down the bars" in such further i of this type of none powers going into debt for a way on many $s to encourage goods. consumer step is inflationary and unsound as necessary,1 and that in tip short run—or until such time That such counts seems us It should be borne in stimulate the funds to arc . from? come < the reported shift bf from the rails is the creases railroads alone air days of means 50,000 plane-crew • time. This » efficiency of the rail method is a depends upon handling heavy traffic at high efficiency—and that is just so great that there is not only nothing what in existence, but nothing in sight, which can take its place in meet¬ Traffic the railroads in did 1948 slightly below the peacetime record of 1947, but it was ing the major transportation needs nearly half again as much as it was of this continent. I Railroad Efficiency ■ for The efficiency with which rail¬ roads are transportation output, fuel efficiency. The transportation of the one output did ever in greater was before — times what •just after the it was in of of coal or burned in a teaspoonful of oil Diesel. ical And the of ciency of these engine, than 1920i or if burned in facts are ever-growing the intervening years, gone pro¬ portion of which is required to meet in+erest. railroa d ; If the low ever revenues roads, both a money invested tyo- comparison effi¬ other and in of the rail¬ relation to in and them the in conditions of or ated our the railroads for period net loss—to of 26 a months, with a up by the taxpayers— Which averaged nearly $2,000,000 a day. During the second World. be made War, the railroads with the earnings of are not not or due poor to move may some charge lower than he could by And the to extent that become may higher rail than other transportation charges there is a natural disposition to use these other forms of transport. To this group of businessmen I should like to present one aspect of this times situation which is some¬ overlooked. Any seeming "saving" to be made by diverting traffic from in the the railroads long may to have been less than no saving at all. Under any conceivable conditions, a major portion of the freight prove, run, car¬ ried by rail—and that* is- espe¬ cially true of the long-distance transportation in which California is so deeply interested. That being true, this essential service by rail will have to be supported, its costs will are can have to only two be done be met. And there in which this through adequate ways — transportation charges upon that portion of our production which uses rail service, or through some form of government operation with deficits made up by the tax¬ due tc management. insufficiency of The Choice Before Us That is adequate the choice revenues before But most this was by no means the important gain to the coun¬ try. During the government oper¬ ation of World War I there were substantial increases in freight rates, whereas at the end of World War II freight rates were no higher, and in many cases were lower, than when war began. adjusted to to¬ day's costs of privately operated control the other world, drift a sooner form of gov¬ operation of and railroads—such carried drift a railroads outside as all .the American continent, ownership and has over North into operation. state Since and tween and government privately If railroads same forces other about only i* which pri¬ vate operation is carried ever should on to exist. cease The 'way to keep on having the kind of privately-owned, busi¬ witness what That there should be fair is important put into railroads. their proper hope having a business—such return on the railroads money will as of rate a invested in justify and at¬ can do without railroads and nobody be¬ lieves that the day of improve¬ ment in over. The indeed the only way, to keep on improving is to keep on investing in better fa¬ cilities. And, u n d e r private ownership and operation, the only way to keep on having investment is through earnings, or the pros¬ pect of earnings, sufficient to jus¬ tify it. /^^YYyY-'Y railroading is best' way, We and don't beneficial of such invest¬ back to their own¬ came after the government opera¬ tion of the first World War, they have invested betterments in an additions average and of $540,- year—twice as much as they have paid their owners in dividends. In the year 1948, this 000,000 a investment mounted in improvements four times $1,250,000,000—about as much as was paid the in dividends. to owners the From better plant so a should be a business is of impor¬ the who men work on railroads—for profits, directly and indirectly, mean the expenditures for better railroad., plant and equipment which make possible better jobs and better pay. profits are important shippers and travelers, for they Railroad source from financed which there those improve¬ ments which mean more adequate and dependable freight ser¬ comfortable and safer service. more vice, more passenger But this above all: reasonable profits are essential to the effective working, and even to the continued existence, of that profit-and-loss system whose tre¬ mendous achievement about every us —and we see all day in the plenty freedom—which the American the enjoy —such plenty, and such freedom, as are known to no other people on the people face of the earth. I* ■ Norris and Saris Join Hornbiower & Weeks at the In the years since the see. railroads ers effect guess It has been established for ment. all to have to earn railroad Need of Railroad Improvement Nobody believes that we to railroading to be with those of of expectation return. Prosperous Railroads That the compare of Widespread Importance of Having can other and fair chance reasonable are ings which millions They invested the perfectly in money line earn¬ the to who, directly and indi¬ rectly, own the securities which represent the billions:? of dollars transportation producing profits persons to costs, happening today in the railroad business obviously country "has thrived is to have rail revenues in with is in Europe. • rail this ness-operated upon which transport. major lines of business and, in¬ deed, most human activities—as private under engulf the soon And so-called, of trans¬ port would be the longest possible step toward like treatment for all tance come of contem¬ that the us socialization, prosperous could would forms States conditions drift, so history shows porary operation of railroads. Govern¬ ment operation in the United the railroads operated in any major country on the face of the earth. still ILL. CHICAGO, John — J. Merrill C. Saris, regis* Norris and tered representatives formerly & Co., Inc.. have be¬ with Blyth come associated with Hornbiower & Weeks, 39 South La Salle Street. joined Guaranty Trust Co. of New York in 1922 Norris: Mr. and was with Blyth & Co. for 16 He is with the investment years. department Weeks. of Yy,:;:Y Hornbiower & YY-Y: Y Y'Y."'Y * joining Blyth & Co., Mr. Saris spent six years in the investment department of City Prior to :Y National Bank & Trust Co. cre¬ associated with the He is municipal de¬ ated, there have been many bene¬ partment of Hornbiower & Weeks. fits. The level of wages received by railroad labor has considerably than doubled since 1921. So more have the prices Earl W. FisherI.-?. which those who sell to railroads receive for mate¬ supplies and fuel. Tax received by govern¬ ments have multiplied. But, with all those increased payments, the rials, Of Bateman, Eichler LOS payments freight us— ernment is some no proved plant and equipment. particu¬ profits later, into the by up tract continued investment in im¬ the trans¬ A general and is operated net loss to be England, the roads of the United taxpayers—but States and one road in Canada with tax payments to the Federal' remain the only privately owned made the among benefits the nationalization of 'railroads in were not payers. industries, inefficiency • been. profits a to load of this continent will be ■■■""';Y-YYYvY- rentals and other fixed charges is railroading—efficiency on. In less than it has which will become greater as the years go net than handled fact, fixed charges have down, not up, and today the first steam less income volume in World War. moving a ton mile with two ounces tablespoonful of oil if a ■■■■ roads. Railroad s tod a y are of freight a smaller earnings was not due to any increasing burden of financial charges upon the rail¬ two-and-one- and ■half 23% operating the This decline in average 1948 railroads in 1929. of freight train, as measured in tons bf freight moved one mile in an hour, the railway operated is greater now than it has ever been in the past. Take just two typical facts, one of was in the prewar peak year of 1929. And yet the near-record volume of business handled in 1948 earned " * • are effects Regardless of this general situ¬ ation, however, there doubtless are special situations in which a rates railroading rates their lar product in some other way at Y V Successful man- traffic tries. rail. by of widespread inflation is no respec¬ ter of persons or particular indus¬ What About Railroad Profits? it railroad in shipper do in confined portation agencies. Probably the President has already concluded that it all nearly so simple as supposed. Y Y (Continued from page 17) shift place dur¬ ing the emergency of war. And it should be noted, also, that the .forces which brought about in¬ is not .Vr the of traffic reverse to the rails which took higher costs have made it extremely difficult for them to do so without incurring heavy debt or laying exces¬ sive tax burdens on the public. Y mind, how¬ considerable part a very movement They must either be bor- rectly in industry and trade. States and municipalities arc eager to launch enormous spending programs, but . of away rowed from the banks with consequent enlargement of the money supply, or else be taken in one way or another from sources which otherwise might employ them di- ; that ever, the railroad railroads, under , costs—there simply is no way to meet the situation. upon other obvious—assuming that the step is such as to borrowing against the better business judg¬ ement of the individuals concerned. He may enlarge the expenditures of the Federal Government, but'where to investment Y in im¬ can have' its effect long-range provements class which one in whose of stress and emergency. In the first World War, the government oper¬ far-off rates He shared money and self-denial made them possible. The alternative to -reasonable of the value Y The -essential fact is. that in¬ :: creased >eosts have made increased philosophy, and ask what is the President to do about it all? we may a granted, however, that the The investors, lands, a victory which1 takes a smaller; could not have been won without of the average an epic transportation perform¬ commodity shipped by rail today to pay the freight' than it has at ance here at home. But the issue—if it'ever comes any time since the Interstate Com¬ to an issue—will not be presented merce Commission began to com¬ in the form of a direct choice be¬ pile such figures; it way, equipment. not they are lower than can be measured only on the they have been at any time since shortened timetable to victory in .the first World War. To put it1 part efficiency are due' to increased in¬ vestments in better rail plant and the They - another gains* in great which experience with both private and government operation A own the lower. Such only because possiole has be. greater gain was in the When today's rates are consid¬ velopment of the current uncertainties will deter private adequacy, efficiency and dependa¬ enterprise from entering freely into undertakings to enlarge ered in relation to the value of And the the goods transported, it will be bility of transportation. or improve facilities. greatest gain of all was one that found that , of actually are be no doubt what higher rates may have the effect treasury which averaged more of ;, "pricing the railroads out of! than $3,000,000 a day. Here was the market.;" It is a situation! a difference of more than $5,000,which should be taken and is be-: 000 every t i m e the sun went ing taken seriously. Railroad traf¬ down. fic are results would can decision privately, with by to were that direct way to the people the United States, and espe¬ of age, 25 charges railroads more now received average only than they did and passenger by the slightly in 1921, fares, on the aver¬ ANGELES, CAL.—Earl W. Fisher has been elected Vice-Pres¬ ident of Bateman, Eichler & Co., 453 South of the change. Spring Street, members Angeles Stock Ex¬ Los Mr. Fisher in the past was with Banks, Huntley & Co. 26 COMMERCIAL THE (678) Our Reporter Free Governments on FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Enterprise—Source Of Our Greatness (ideals handed down from genera- (Continued from first page) ing JR. By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, destined to require ef¬ cause, spite skepticism that Demand seems purchasers to the sidelines. . . . The market has gone through periods like this before, particularly after a fairly sustained rise such as this one, but in each instance, when the underlying conditions were favorable, as they are now, modest price recessions have turned out to be real buying opportunities. ... . fresh issues. bank . bonds, while restricted and drawn individual of indigestion the to may were a ... of his There labor. for the exercise of indi¬ collective and enterprise. the extra rewards of the extra effort. He might even aspire to the laying up for him¬ self and his dependents a competence for the declining years of Aife, and with independence of ffcind project into the future the! Banks, by encouraging Reserve , . reap . . . . . evidence of that strength which has brought this nation to the enviable position it occupies gave REACTION? WHY A , Although a reaction in prices of Treasury obligations might be healthy, since the market has been making only limited progress, and has been sidewise fashion, has the movement on the up side'been such as to expect much of a reversal in quotations? Most of the buying has been by investors, which means that secur¬ moving in a . ities have been taken of out the because market of the today. The able, it came In that which in full inevit¬ was . . Commercial . have loans . stable been lower. to . atmosphere , . . . . means together it would seem as though any down-trend in government securities should be largely technical Putting of and all not too of that long duration. interested are CREDIT tion, these in maintaining income. those by ... MEASURES Regulation W, according to report, will not be changed imme¬ diately, although the effect it is having on business is being carefully watched •of the by the authorities. If there should be revisions of ... follow, that might all of which portant influence upon the money markets. an could ... have an im¬ If there should be easing of credit restrictive measures it is believed that Regula¬ tion W first to will be the in changes be changed, probably to be followed by requirements reserve of quirements of the stock exchanges. 1949 maturities are traders although and of out the 1949/51 the getting October the and margin \ > and . . December There has been minor trading into iy4S the December 3yss and 2y2s. 2s of The feeling likely to get higher coupon . . . exchange that might be made, than The partially-exempts continue to go out of the June are the market, despite the feeling that taxes may not be increased as much all) as had been expected some time back. . . . (if The floating supply of these bonds, especially the last four maturities, is very limited and from what the buying in takes place in them has been of the best. taxes, the tax-free yield . on . . Aside the standard par¬ M If 3M3 Why, you may ask, do.es a speaker at this National Industry Army Day Dinner attempt to oc¬ our this in here attention with the of such gospel? Are views to the contrary audience? in stand ment on Does of need virtues the Americanism? hope not. Yet if these words constitute simply a public reaffirmation of faith, the time will not have been wasted. I would that a thousand speaker on a thousand occasions, through- words such Let with reverberations that echoes will and strange doctrines that are we in tried More than of value of which the have we suc¬ suc¬ cession. and cultivated so that newcomers and wel¬ were contributions to sector one promoted line of something manufacture developments in other This interplay between and lines. the industries has been only most interesting to ob¬ among not but it has been a dynamic making for progress in all serve, force of them. Throughout the length breadth and large of of thousands the land are enterprises, both small, supplying mod¬ and of almost anything individually or collec¬ could desire. Thus the versions ern that man, tively American not run nor to economic to system does specialization narrow the encouragement of an,- unbalanced one-industry country. we find that the wide¬ Happily spread initiative which has flour-' auspices ished under its favorable has begotten versatility as well as intensity. times of peace In of establishment in tributed has con¬ significant fashion to and purposes of the needs the and in times this well rounded national1 war industrial country, and to those of some who dwell beyond our own horizons. The farmer, the manufacturer, the artisan, and in fact consumers in of hundreds walks manifold their solemn of tones the ments material more the per¬ industry in physical supplying for In recall formance of American and fulfilling wants. we attest life of the services rendered in imple¬ wherewithal victory in the recent World Notwithstanding the years War. of advanced operating of the preparation in favor the mass of arma¬ enemy, developing. The beginnings were humble enough; there was ment, Barely the first shoots of industrial organization were appearing on the scene one hundred and fifty years ago. The present station on our march of progress is remarkable, its equal is not to be found anywhere in Army, Navy, and Air Force, along with the civil bodies mentioned the world, tion lies the story of inspired by ambition, willingness to work hard and to think harder, the urge to take risks accompanied by faith in the It enterprise of effort with the stimulus derful It dustry. Global tense our the War American the of current situation, For more than five years it ties. 'had been running with expanded plants at full capacity, concentrat- availability of abun¬ materials raw and great breathe, and reconvert its facili¬ expended. ing on the production of those I special products required for the I prosecution of armed conflict. But in¬ I the hope of turning to a less ex¬ dant natural resources and neces¬ sary the in stock the must bring commensurate rewards and brow the war industry looked forward to an in¬ terlude in which it might take that conviction the and but yesterday that seems ceased the organiza¬ not found wanting! was firing industrial Our ' accorded aid bountiful effort. attained position sweat of words early beginnings and the present future, equipment and have added their commendation for the heretofore, the Between today. supplies produced on American soil was overpowering in the hands of our armed forces and their allies. The magic start. no The ready Accompanying the forward of the arts and industries, higher education in America was year" progress and invention one bestirred and creations of the mind perform miracles, and miracle ceeded each other in rapid multitude a grewAlpftogether, field in in new system under been in Many of the in others. The need for has furnished impressive evidence of the We Improvement and in¬ equivalent growth industrial practically meet 'for-.their vention century and a half a persistent into year the the whole. of true, and tion was comed midst our channels. endeavor. demands. after but unwilling to forsake heritage, our apostles those convince in one-sided industry, equipped with skills entered be pro¬ claimed from the housetops, of early industries land, might deliver simi¬ lar messages wherever and when¬ ever the opportunity might be af¬ forded. reached kind of varied the out been narrow and facilities to orthodox I the spread anyone enlighten¬ of Natural competi¬ helping enterprise to new processes, new new to might a was American more I won¬ properly acting great natural pace soon faded and the substantial breathing rising generation might be the better equipped to undertake the responsibilities of useful citi¬ zenship. Science, engineering, and be said that these scientific research, destined to play such important roles in mod¬ ern industry, assumed positions of increasing importance in the edu¬ were Industry was not swamped, and intelligence and effort, these mag¬ -the system did not break down. It nificent assets of which we speak was beset from time to time with cational system. posing unchanged in their original each It is appropriate storehouses were an ever present challenge to the ingenuity of our One must remember that it not for the exercise of people. might still, in large part, be re¬ The will to cultivate to say that had science and engineering not been developed to positions. and to their and manufacture, to build and to current and high plane byenterprise, industrial military effort would have been severely, reap, , to mine, transform ly, handicapped during the period operate, was the determining fac¬ tor,. in bringing these material things into the service of human beings and the national life. In¬ of centive American or even disastrous¬ ro^r,t Global War . is the keyword here, as been aIways' and lends suPP°rt to our lineal statement. that the great mightily by the ideas and basic strength of any nation stems Now if the minds and hearts of moved uk the trary controls. velop and taxable issues. - is Incentives to excel, to de¬ products, industries, were wide¬ and unfettered by arbi¬ dustry. the . land so the tially-exempts is still more favorable than that available in the • communica¬ valiant efforts of all workers in in¬ fostered ■ nothing too tangible has been done yet in the . of the surge September 2s. . at re¬ , attention from both investors more partially-exempt issues through any then V is that the December maturities are more and banks, . . /• of sizable position changes. way . MANEUVERS MARKET - some provisions of this regulation, this could be the tip-off to other developments till soil, develop vast natural resources, generate power, and fulfill the daily wants of a growing population. In due time came invention, science and tech¬ nology to accelerate the march of progress and to supplement the It should also turn cut to be ... good opportunity to acquire needed issues, specially a free evidence revealed. of freedom opportunity, it is not that there developed in . . of of demonstrated worth. measure. bred for need response strange this conutry, step by step, decade Commodity prices continue to decline, and the inflation factor, to after decade, an industrial mech¬ say the least, seems to have lost a great deal of its force. . . . Most anism to serve the requirements of of the business indices appear to indicate the demand for funds will the people. There was nee'd of not be as substantial as in the past. Also during periods of un¬ implements with which to push certain economic conditions such as now, there is the desire to seek back frontiers, provide transpor¬ the safest haven for funds, which is in government securities. tation and income. efforts high; nowhere is there an equivalent abundance of de¬ sirable goods; nowhere is such cupy switches of bank bonds into tap issues, are protecting their own supply of eligibles which could be used at a later date, if the market should tend to move sharply on the up side. . . It seems as though non-bank owners of longest eligible taxable are inclined to move into the last element of his own social security two tap bonds when the price spread between these obligations is The ambition to do and to accom¬ l.25/32nds or better, in favor of the restricted issues. Savings plish was thus fostered and en¬ banks are the principal operators in these exchanges, although fire couraged by wise' governmental insurance and casualty companies and charitable organizations also provision so that the minds and liave been doing some of it. hearts of young America at once Federal other no living if one citizen, through promptings of his spirit, chose preaching there any labor more diligently than his hope to ItESERVE INVENTORY The collectivism. of and might ogies, neighbor or to use his intelligence freely or to capacity, he might obligations, since some of these securities of late have not been • result ambition development not to this country are privileged to look out upon a great diversification by our financial or economic strength to If there be in any the rights of be found. so jealously quarters a disposition to yield to new land of the enchantment of foreign ideol¬ Moreover, time the floating supply of going into the hands of permanent holders. room vidual is being added to somewhat. ... A minor be developing in certain of the bank the eligible obligations case has adopted that fruits the was tap bonds have increased positions of means that Federal is losing the at the same which right to work, and the enjoyment . This . It socialism or communism, let the tempted call the roll of the Wtihin the framework of its nations, one by one, appraise their situations, and judge the merits government ample provision was of the respective systems by the made for the dignity of man, his investors from the 11011-bank by swaps distant eligibles into more the that was written instruments the of is indicated cost unparalleled opportunity be, and was, created. opinion that prices of Treasury obligations may be vulnerable inventories by dealers and traders It The of terrific at won safeguarded setback is the building up of : confined every position has not been has or and material great In the uncertainty, portfolio managers are not as vigorous in their accumulation of as they were a short time ago. . . . The reason advanced / Industrial America trary to in securities ' its Development Not Confined to Narrow Channels held by the arbi¬ operations of a despot or bureaucracy. Neither is it the by preserved for the benefit of all generations. With meticulous care been appearing here and there in the government market. . . . So far, this attitude seems to be largely among the -professionals" although ... achieved be national forefathers, especially in the longer bank issues. hearts of and . Industrial and free institutions found citizens expression in our Constitution and have built the complicated struc¬ ture which has served us so well. Bill of. Rights. That which had are a people. initial struggle for freedom, were for the day the fortunately, Most : Signs of caution, together with a modest amount of That exalted re¬ ideals which served to sustain the WARY to soul, to day, in the remembrance of it. have been the market lead¬ ers, with the scarcity factor causing rather wide price move¬ ments in the 2'4s due 1958/50.' . . . Switching from the eligibles into the taps is also an important market force. . . . The partiallyexempts are getting considerable attention, with out-of-town banks again the principal buyers. . .'..-Most of the demand in the market is from other than New York City institutions, because money has been tight in the big money center. . . . Short bonds, however, have been bought in limited amounts by metropolitan some national our well do would We ance. longer taxable bank issues ... Amercian inherit¬ cant part of our , banks. the minds from repre¬ republic, what has the privation, and sacrifice, it no barriers, feared strength derived therefrom ac¬ The answer lies odds, but pressed on to a victo¬ complished? rious issue. That founding spirit, about you. Within the period of so powerful in uniting the aims a relatively short national exist¬ and in animating the deeds of ence, our system of responsible those who had not yet experienced private initiative, or American the blessings of a national exist¬ way of life, has built a nation of the highest rank in world affairs. ence on these shores, is a signifi¬ prices The this generation in countenanced buyers are not inclined to step still substantial although is to no in order to get all securities they want because they feel that a mild correction of the price advance may be in the making. . . . A wait-and-see-what-develops attitude has taken some prospective \ip tion sentative fort, constructive side de¬ to be creeping into the picture. , . . bond market stays on the The government Thursday, February 10, 1949 American people have thought of j spell I a shown to be futile. Ci- was vilian demands poured in and the race was on again. handicaps beyond its own tontrol," and discouraging delays were en¬ countered. Output suffered there¬ by, but the records of postwar pro¬ duction show astonishing figures. In the face of shortages of manpower skilled and necessary supplies, shortages existing because every¬ one and was do duction stripped trying to buy and build everything records those of at once, greatly former pro¬ out¬ peace* Volume Number 4776 169 COMMERCIAL THE time years,.,and in instances incidentally, was about.- three-, equalled or surpassed those of fourths the size of the prewar wartime mean vintage. similar mind, in met hold, we who are specifications full. of though their even instantaneous not those are no was accomplishment, there and This it Be were said em¬ phatically that in this situation industry did not seek to diminish production at any point, at any time, and that the philosophy of scarcity is not one of its guiding principles. Its responsible lead¬ ers know that, particularly in of times monetary inflation, one of the most effective counter irri¬ tants is abundant flow of goods an —and industry certainly has noth¬ ing to gain from inflation. With equal emphasis we wish to say much few a increase aboul the words discussed subject involving industrial in capacity. The matter has been thrown upon the public mind through various media, from sometimes piecemeal and side one another, or so that and' ceased critical all ments had been retirement of require¬ met, the overdue obsolete and badly initiated. Such action had to be taken, as the unremitting operation of fur¬ naces for a period of more than five years had exacted its toll of equipment worn the older was units. time, same a At vast rehabilitation and undertaken. In - down operable This situation the about program expansion , was interim this of of hurried review should serve to of ", the prove, question, that the American steel industry has been expanding its capacity beyond in argument substantial a or annually since the war, rehabilitation for its of have and expansion Strenuous efforts plants. been made, and being are continued, to place producing and manufacturing facilities in posi¬ tion to valid all meet demands promptly. These programs, and are-many formidable pro- there call for prams, ties of quanti¬ machinery, and enormous supplies, fabricated structures; as well as large ■ numbers of skilled Workmen. Now the definite ex¬ for perience has been that these ne¬ cessities have just not been available in the' quantities and numbers desired or planned, and , that distressing long have schedules - delays the been in rule rather than the exception. ' view In been to what of encountered, see that more has we actually unable are could have been done than has been done, regard¬ less of the size of the original ob¬ jective, or If, for example, plam hundred brick masons are a needed for a are available, the job will not be on time.. If an increase particular, job and ^ only 12 manner, of 10% in capacity has been cally possible, would . the real situation have been enhanced had the 20% original figure been placed at instead of 10? These are considerations, based noon experience gained in the field during the past three and a practical half years, and they not sus¬ ceptible to much alteration simply by wishing that they might be are different. y - WhileV the ; attitude formance of industry and per¬ in general have been mentioned in the fore¬ going remarks, the more intimate experience of your speaker has been with a segment of the steel ihdustry. We recognize that a heavy responsibility rests upon a necessary commodity been in short supply than three These tra to which has for more years. only are few of the a considerations which ex lead up the production of steel ingots, are many more, of great magnitude, which follow the actual making of steel in the pri¬ mary form. For the purposes of ancl there and we something of what is transpiring at present. That there is faith in the future is apparent from what industry has done in the way of providing capacity to meet con¬ tingencies. Whatever the discussing are not small affairs; they require time. That the in¬ dustry should handle them in in¬ crements or steps of suitable size, with the idea of getting all of those things done which can be done, fall physically, on side the would of seem to wisdom and may of course events be, the steel industry is de¬ termined to its do full share in meeting the needs of the country. A major constituent of this policy is that be properly equipped to respond to the calls made upon us we by by the armed forces of the United States, for therein lies the security of all that we hold valu¬ able. Working with and for the Army and its companion services is not above $7,500, as well as market the Koppers Company larger percentage of smaller in¬ raised $12 million—and a couple come of receivers, preferred fixed utility companies raised some comes value investment. rated were least Common stocks new common attractive tion of 4 sides. the evident some that' much of the eco¬ nomic thinking by the general public is still done in the shadow of the great of all of us that / the of In¬ that been suggested. mentioned all speaker at ing a urged laws and of haven't I them. One meet the manifold problems con¬ of such a large part of the people's savings, might invest more in common shares. might I think well be the suggestion followed within reasonable limitations, but-it cer¬ tainly does not promise a quick or complete solution. In fact nothing does. We can hardly hope for an early favorable change in taxing policies, though certainly we should all do what we to can promote constructive us. Ingenuity ioration." third Causes of Equity Capital Shortage year I not quarter of 1948 were run¬ ning at the rate of $15 billion a out of a personal disposable income running at the rate of $194 billion (that's income after going to give much why there is so These savings are well much loan capital available mostly taxes). from insurance companies and below the wartime peak of $34 billion in 1944 when people relatively so little money for com¬ mon stocks but will touch on it couldn't buy automobiles or take briefly. The taxjng system is gen¬ vacation trips, but are nearly 6 time am to reasons Now in conclusion leave the field I want of national to statis¬ and intellectual speculation get down to cases. American companies in the aggregate do and not all have too know much debt, but individual we concerns which, faced with present capital market conditions, have borrowed rather heavily and have put off raising the additional share capi¬ tal they know they ought to have. I believe the sound financial policy for business and the right advice for both commercial bank¬ ers and investment bankers to times the average for 1935 to 1939v give is to face the difficulties and 'raise some money by the sale of This $15 billion of savings is also sponsibility for the shortage of common stock in this market as it risk capital and, I think, correctly. a much larger percentage of dis¬ posable income than was saved in ,4s, if that is necessary to main¬ Emil Schram, President of the tain a sound, safe capital struc¬ the late 30's. Individuals are New: York -Stock Exchange, gave ture. ■/' now saving nearly 8% of dis¬ an excellent talk on this subject And there is a market for posable income against about 4% at Chicago not long ago and erally charged with the major re¬ because it is a basic some new common/ had company about $25 debt ; no million of net so they easily could have ; borrowed the money on- long-term at a low rate, but the directors felt of that a debt in that kind ' company business and is off better decided without invite to stockholders to subscribe the capital the rata at pro market. about ings share per It current the year's earn¬ the number of on outstanding issue.; new a price below price was just times' last 5 shares The its new including the just 10 times was dividend stockholders who 10% rate so the subscribed are their on additional ' The other two were rather small public utility give this fair stock, and ITU the terms because I as-1 you sume which companies sold both bonds and audience amount of absorb can getting indigestion and they to a without' figures serve illustrate present conditions in the capital water West. Its privately preferred bonds were with insurance 3.05% rate, some a convertible stock basis at the and offered to the holders stock¬ which makes at the current rate. The other ing common common price a the yield about 9% dividend into sold to the public on was 5.20% was a the 30-year companies at a was in company placed common One market. supply was electric properties a light in concern and number a own¬ telephone of small towns. Its long-term bonds went insurance companies at 3.30%- to and the stock common the to stockholders yield 10% per was offered price to at the es¬ at a annum tablished dividend rate. Offerings to Shareholders I In note, the each of these cases, you will the common was offered to stockholders, which generally the fair thing to do when seems shares have to be sold so cheap in ^earnings. The only people disadvantaged by a sale of relation to stock at low a price holders of the dilution by of their making in the a are the stock¬ and they right to offset the company should have the old investment further investment business advantageous terms. Furthermore, the cost of underwriting an offering to stock¬ holders at a price under the mar¬ ket is less on than the cost dis¬ of tributing the stock at a full mar¬ price to new investors. If ket there's given to going to be something it is more appropriate away, give it to the stockholders than to the bankers. Now I know gain offering the to idea of bar¬ a stockholders is often not popular when there are some large holders in the manage¬ ment who find it inconvenient to , strongly recommended the follow¬ com¬ . take their respective shares; But after all, who is most concerned . from the standpoint of long run self interest in seeing a company safely and soundly financed? The stockholder, of course, and espe¬ cially the large stockholder. "So if common right capital is really needed for the good of the now business, he ought either to find ways and means of subscribing his share or it terms on stock let someone in line else with supply current prices. A few words in final summary: Loan capital is abundant and ' ► . . worth, business and investment with¬ to had contact, involving machinery needed,, million for plant expan¬ The investment. insurance philosophy which now com¬ have excavating sion. changing investment that these concerns, direct the investment tics clearly that the income tax is not and re¬ wholly responsible for the lack of sourcefulness have prevented the venture ,capital. It is reported that development of corporate deter¬ total savings of individuals in the fronting- case I A manufacturer of heavy getting . (Continued from page 4) each capital. life insurance meet¬ so which intimate and / President new relationship be continued, out serious loss of revenue. Collateral problems of great that ideas relating to wants and As to the suggestion that we concern to those who operate the requirements be freely discussed security salesmen get busy and do steel industry accompany the in confidence, and that the road some selling, that's fine, but there to" higher very important matter which has accomplishment be are only a few of us and every¬ just- been discussed. Notwith¬ travelled together by these great one agrees that high pressure standing the adoption of techno¬ component parts of our nation. mass selling has no place in that logical improvements, facilities May we assure our friends and field. anterior to and following the and protectors, the Army, that the Our best hope, it seems to me steelmakng furnaces must be will to do and to accomplish still is that in spite of all difficulties, provided. For example, to feed runs strong in the minds - and business can be kept going sanely, the larger capacities, additional hearts of industry, and that the soundly and profitably and that ore deposits must be developed, strength derived therefrom is ever there will follow a change in pub¬ the transportation problems must ready for service. lic sentiment—a change in the at¬ titude of savers toward taking a sha re in the risks and profits of private enterprises Capital Market in financing of three with not this Facts oi Life in panies about $5 safe. : men¬ Then I'd depression of the early 30's. The survey noted a widespread belief that stocks are The capital, just to specific instances. like to tell you about the recent new interest some of investment, the others being U. S., Savings Bonds, bank deposits and real estate. It seems types practicality. In the meantime, we should remember, record-break¬ to « — experience; years of thinking in that -field on the part collaboration and cooperation of the public and our lawmakers. have brought about a high degree There are various ways—the cap¬ ing tonnages of steel have been I of mutual understanding, and the ital gains tax is an outstanding produced, in the attempt to satisfy dedication of our respective 'ef¬ example—in which our tax laws the unusual demands pressing forts to a common cause. It is could be made less discouraging upon the steel industry from all a 27 a stocks in spite of all I have said iin 1935 to 1939. The trouble seems to be that that might seem to be to the con¬ ing remedies: ':: the owners of these large current trary. Furthermore there is an : (1) The abolition of the double modity, the>essential ingredient of are not investors in investment banking industry cap¬ tax on corporate profits, namely, savings so many activities. /'Moreover, shares to any large extent. Farm¬ able of underwriting and distri¬ the tax paid by the company on we are not unmindful of the re¬ ers are believed to have a larger buting them—a lot of good deal¬ its rjet and the additional tax on liance placed upon steel by the share of the country's savings ers and brokers from one end of the stockholders with respect to armed services of our country, so than ever before and American the country to the other who will that part of the same money paid importantly represented at this 'farmers, as a class, have never work together, enjoy the> confi¬ to him as a, dividend. National Industry Army Day been very receptive to securities. dence of thousands of investors Dinner. The case of steel/ has : -• (2) Abolition of capital gains ■A - survey of- consumer finances and get things done. which been projected into public discus¬ tax yields little revenue made in 1948 In the last couple of weeks half by the University sion. so a few remarks on the and discourages dealings in se¬ of Michigan for the Governors of a dozen new stock issues aggre¬ curities, and subject may be appropriate. the Federal Reserve System found gating about $75 million have been During the recent war, the ca¬ (3) A reduction in the margin a widespread preference for in¬ successfully marketed. ; Twenty requirements now vestments with fixed value in dol¬ million new common capital was pacity of the American steel in¬ imposed by lars to those with changing dollar raised for Bethlehem dustry for producing ingots and government. Steel, the I am sure these reforms would values—this in castings was increased from ap¬ spite of the obvi¬ Alien Property Custodian sold ous decline in the proximately 81.000.000 net tons be jn the public interest. - ; out $8 million worth of common purchasing But figures reported on current power of the dollar It was re¬ of the Rohm to a peak of 95,500,000 in 1945. & Haas chemical This increase of 14 % million tons. savings of individuals?. indicate ported that % of those with in¬ company — a new name in the steel J find, somewhere, an ade¬ quate supply of steelmaking scrap, the finished planned for completion within ,a giyen period and a maximum of only 6% has been found physi¬ equip¬ and- must one wish to " dbliars augmented land- (679) and emphasize the point that physical increase has been desk, or as a practical • matter provided as rapidly as possible, supported by analysis, pertinent under the prevailing conditions. data, and blueprints. • ; Such measures as we have been try as a wbolevbas been spending large sums of money, billions of with on CHRONICLE building up, this thesis there is not the need vestment Bankers Association, Hal Dewar of San the steel-making ca¬ to elaborate upon them, Antonio, noted this nor to pacity dropped by several millions discuss the very serious economic condition in his inaugural address of tons. On January 1 of this year, features which follow in the wake and posed it as a challenge to our however, by the exercise of every of expanding physical facilities at fraternity to do some effective resource known to the industry, the enormously inflated present- selling and educational work. the steel-making capacity of the day costs. As to what the market Question of Insurance Company country stood at 96 million net demands for steel may be two or Investment in Common Stocks tons, an all-time high. Plans cur¬ five or ten years hence, there is So much for the apparent rea¬ rently under way should increase room for considerable argument, sons for the dearth of venture this fifmr^ +0 98 million tons by but not here tonight. We know the end of the year 1950. and the remedies that what the past has taught us, and capital tearing understandings exist. We would The people should know what industry is thinking and doing about increased ca¬ pacity. It makes quite a differ¬ ence whether the subject is treat¬ ed as a wish formulated at a We know that American indus¬ met ment FINANCIAL water, new steelmaking capacity of Great mines for the production of cok¬ Britain. When hostilities had ing coal are required, and some¬ there is still the chance that mis¬ not have it so. be & cheap. Common share capital is relatively makes very hard to get. This it important for both bor¬ and lenders to guard against the double-barrelled temp¬ rowers tation to excessive capital purposes. borrowing for 28 COMMERCIAL THE (680) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE cessive still Inflation: Enemy of Free Enterprise (Continued from first page) Buyers beg sellers for the responsibility mount. issuance of instead of sellers begging buyers for orders. A seller's mar¬ ket is in full being. We seem to be in a businessman's paradise. In the later stages the situa¬ conditions goods, Inflation begins to show an uglier face. Labor troubles begin; wage demands tion changes. mount; the costs of many firms begin to outrun their prices. It is discovered that many products to price themselves •out of the market. The demand for them shrinks. Workers are laid off. Firms suddenly find themselves short of working capi¬ begun have their operations in the old volume. Strains and distortions develop in the econ¬ to tal on carry marily for the overunder modern placed pri¬ money must government it¬ infcrease in A rise of money than one prices may primarily prices. have more merely of our own government, but of all governments. Each government is primarily responsible for the I speaking am inflation not its in country, own indirectly. too much currency, or by compulsion, encouragement or neglect it has forced, caused or allowed the banks of the country to issue too much credit. Usually it has done both of these things. We may in some cases excuse part of this in¬ flation as forced by invasion or either directly or it has directly printed Either but we side of destruction, and the in it law on does economic of forces den in man which not one million is able to diag¬ manner a a nose. "In the latter stages of the war that of the combined checking de¬ posits and last Novem¬ currency amounted This ber. $110.9 to The nation's money sup¬ billion. ply in this period, in other words, was increased by more than $77 billion. Or, to put it another way, governments the nation's money supply in that from necessity or in¬ competence, what a Bolshevist period was more than tripled. Now what has been the effect might have done from design. putting an average of $3 in Even now, when the war is over, of most of them continue out of everybody's pocket or bank ac¬ weakness the same malpractices. count for every $1 that he had the war? It has meant But further, the governments of before that each of us has tried to buy Europe, being many of them at more goods. Three times as much this moment reckless in their been ; competing for methods as well as weak, seek to money has the existing supply of goods. But direct onto a class known as as the existing supply of goods 'profteers' the popular indignation has not tripled, but has less than against the more obvious conse¬ doubled (even on what I person¬ quences of their vicious methods. regard as the exaggerated "These 'profiteers' are, broadly ally all belligerent the practiced, ■ speaking, the entrepreneur class •of capitalists, that ,is to say, the active and constructive element in the whole capitalist society, who in period of rapidly rising a prices cannot help but get rich quick whether they wish it or de¬ sire it or not. If prices are con¬ tinually rising, every trader who has purchased for stock or owns property and plant inevitably makes profits. ; By directing hatred against this class, theretore, the European governments are carrying a step further the Fatal process which the subtle mind of Lenin had consciously The conceived. consequences rising profitters are a and not a cause of some respects this pas¬ reads as if it had been writ¬ only yesterday. But while ten Keynes saw some consequences with remarkable clarity, there were other no consequences less important that he did not see at all. He did not see, for examole, that even the big profits that thought everyone the business¬ themselves the thought they were making, were in large making, were men businessmen part an illusion. that point be later. and that I shall come to But first it will it is to ask ourselves that causes inflation and what inflation really is.' bidding for goods could be reflected has been in an increased level of prices Now let Causes of Inflation frequently see today long lists of so-called "causes" of in¬ flation. tion Official documents men¬ one alleged "inflationary pressure" after another. So what am going to say may come to many as a shock, but clarity de¬ mands that it be said. There is one cause of inflation, and only one: the over-issuance of money. And I J us for goods. get one point clear. Inflation, always and everywhere, means only one thing: the overissuance of money and credit. In¬ flation is a monetary thing. This is the sense in which word the originated in economics. It is still, fortunately, the sense in which the word is defined in diction¬ aries. For example, even issued American Dictionary gives as the first definition of inflation: "Undue increase of the cur¬ rency of a country." If the word were always used in this sense we cies and ization. is effect, into put nearly all the falla¬ confusions with which the discussion is now surrounded. quantity of it is merely a of inflation. flationary; quence But the newer lege Dictionary definition substantial by an of of its as inflation: prices On the con¬ for inflation. increases and prolongs it trary, For it increases the de¬ inflation. still further by making them temporarily cheap¬ for mand for And er. goods the same reason price-fixing discourages or makes impossible the production of these goods by destroying the profit in producing them. It systematically brings about shortages. These shortages are then reflected in black market prices higher than free market prices would ever have been. Price-fixing reduces the supply of body can get. to continue to increase the money supply. Now this is what is happening today throughout most of Europe, in large and in is parts of Latin America, Soviet Russia. known It is what economists among as repressed inflation. ceed their revenues, they and taking place. These pro¬ hibitions, which begin with price controls, go on to exchange con¬ trols. They lead to import quotas, to bilateral trade agreements, to from sec¬ "A rationing for consumers, to allo¬ cations for producers, to wage caused the bank credit." word inflation It is be¬ is now fixing, to labor control, to a re¬ quirement for government licenses for almost every activity. that all sorts of ambiguities, mis¬ understandings and confusions develop. Because when the rise in commodity prices is regarded as being itself the inflation, people lose sight of the fact that In short, they lead to mented and totalitarian a regi¬ economy. Corporate Profits - In this country the belief that it is present corporate profits are ex¬ could pairs of socks, but only 83 pairs, Suppose now that he sold these in turn at $1.75 pair, a giving him another apparent profit of $20 and make the the wholesale to fur¬ equity funds Advisers the other side. on further on we find the Council admitting that the corporations had to provide 65% pages of their of their capital funds in 1948 out earnings, compared own with 53% Even more in the previous years. significant than this is the fact that when corporations had to go to the market for new security issues, they were able to raise The than less funds one-fifth of their through the sale of four-fifths other stock. had to raised by the sale of bonds. be Put¬ ting the matter another way, the corporations in 1948 were able to raise only 19% of their outside capital funds out of equity or risk capital, compared with the al¬ ready low 30% of 1947. This certainly does not look like a situation in which incen¬ the for capital expansion excessive. If profits were cessive would ex¬ they to ex¬ community like to Yet in flat con¬ than the faster government would it expand. tradiction to maintains this Mr. Truman the steel industry that industries other needs are purpose be causing industry the or this for the Col¬ usually used in this second sense few today. undue expansion in paper money or cause rise gives A ernment may even cure a now Economic nearly every country in the world conse¬ American of' and a $1.50 an¬ expansion." panding prevent or conceal the unpopular consequences of this action by forbidding those consequences the and nopoly of propaganda, this crude is, of course, never same were his needed piece of nonsense is seriously be¬ lieved and put into legal effect in price level." This is en¬ tirely correct. In other words, the rise of prices is not itself in¬ in levels does offer is all have print more money to pay the dif¬ ference. And then they try to "Inflation the Council governments, and their power of propaganda, sometimes amounting to a mo¬ of enormous Price fixing Council, in No real proof is offered to sup¬ port this remarkable conclusion. And, in fact, it cannot be sup¬ ported. Such evidence as the pand terests the report, incentives saying that they must be lower. And because of the vested in¬ credit or both." It adds: always produces a rise money or of tives the The govern¬ Webster's Collegiate Dictionary ments, in other words,- increase defines inflation as: "Dispropor¬ inflation by having unbalanced tionate and relatively sharp and budgets. Their expenditures ex¬ sudden increase in the economic pretense that it is a remedy for inflation. If prices are too high, the supposed cure is simple: you simply pass a law or avoid would ing, higher taxation, and national¬ goods that every¬ And by diverting the re¬ attention away from the real cause College of inflation it allows governments cently ond We Federal Reserve money necessary what the of expansion prices." Now in sage estimates Board), the only possible way in which this increased supply of inflation, is expressed through main measures—price-fix¬ three fixing that to\ replace came quality of selling wholesale at pair. Then with his $125 he only buy, not a hundred socks leaving him both But for industrial ;* time, for example, be producing industrial goods at a rate of 94% higher than in 1935- Price corrections and when he suppose his stock that the for replacement of $145. nish same under Economic President Truman cess high prices at all. The so-called shortage of commodities is merely one of the many illusions brought of of the astonishing statement that bookkeeping profit of 5 cents on every dollar of sales made by cor¬ porate industry in 1948 is "in ex¬ . r\ Council of nificance. nual cannot absolve gov¬ 39, as the Federal Reserve statis¬ omy. Unbalance sets in, with un¬ ernments from the responsibility ticians say we are, and still talk expected shortages and surpluses. for the further inflation that has about high prices being brought And above all, a mounting public taken place since the war ended. about by shortages. hostility turns against business As all of you know, in a society itself. * like ours demand bank deposits Consequences of Inflation Lenin,- in fact, the father of subject to check are the equiva¬ The monetary inflation, with its in purchasing consequences of high prices and present-day communism, is said lent of 'money to have declared that the best power. They are therefore al¬ seemingly high profits, leads to a way to destroy the capitalistic ways included by economists in popular hostility against business, system was to debauch the cur¬ counting the money supply. If we against producers and sellers, want to find what has happened rency. Commenting on this state¬ which governments are only too ment 30 years ago, John Maynard in this country we need merely happy to encourage and exploit. Keynes, in his famous book, "The compare two illuminating figures. For one thing, this hostility Economic Consequences of the The first is the figure of total ad¬ against business diverts popular Peace," wrote this remarkable justed demand deposits and cur¬ attention away from the govern¬ rency outside of banks in June ments' own primary responsibility passage: v.This amounted to $33,"Lenin was certainly right. of 1939. for the inflation. Government The process engages all the hid¬ 400,000,000. The second figure is action against business, as a result war, review radically change its apparent sig¬ and exception of very few com¬ modities, be called a cause of by inflation. We cannot at for corporations. as I shall show in a mo¬ ment, is subject to essential de¬ ductions the the annual last demands on figure, merely by the increase in money supply, but by shortages of specific goods. But, contrary to pop¬ ular opinion, shortages of goods are today in most parts of the world only a secondary and subsidiary cause of high prices. And in the United States they cannot, with about to Advisers estimates corporate profits in 1948 at $21 billion. This It may be caused cause. led President's not self. has higher taxes The that has caused the rise of be the upon the Thursday, February 10, 1949 fast as as not are the ex¬ country's require, and that the gov¬ be forced to do expansion itself. In other President has been led words the by that into advice bad saying incentives of the expand too are both business to great, that and business is not expanding enough. what Now, are corrections and the from make deductions the that must we apparently un¬ with when he he he to could at same pair. With his only buy 72 a now pairs of socks. capital Suppose restock these found sock? selling at $2 $145 cash a came It is obvious that this process could go on, in a hy¬ per-inflation, to the point where the haberdasher was making a sub¬ stantial dollar profit every time he turned buy the over which he was only one socks in but finally able to repair of socks and then go out of business. this illustration is Now greatly over-simplified, but it is not fan¬ tastic. This is what has actually again in hy¬ dur¬ ing the inflation that culminated happened time and per-inflations. In in Germany, the 1924, mark went to one previous value. Firms that were making a paper trillionth of its profit in marks of millions of per cent on their invested capital constantly being forced out were And in of business. our compara¬ moderate inflation many American corporations today, while ostensibly making record tively profits, are finding themselves in¬ creasingly pinched for working capital. The sort of deduction ap¬ same plies in the case of depreciation. Under the tax laws corporations depreciation, only on original invest¬ when they have de¬ deduct can the basis of their But ment. ducted and put aside in a reserve write off a plant $10,000,000 to build, they find, when they come to replace the plant, that the same size and quality of plant now costs them $20,000,000. Where is the $10,000,000 to that cost them other to come from? public and the $10,000,000 And how the can be made to see to present corporate illusory? How can they government what extent profits are be to see the extent to these ai'e insufficient to made which additions and ment of crease the the and worker tools the to to in¬ output of American real wages of the production labor, replace¬ continuous the provide necessary all of welfare the of us? precedented profits of corporations of counting write-ups as a dollar profit. H. Sumner fessor has inventory As Pro¬ Slichter of clearly put the corporations still insist on counting a rise in the cost of replacing inventories as Harvard so "Most matter: Fortunately the Depart¬ profits." its calcula¬ ment of Commerce in profits has con¬ sistently in recent years made a Executives It is here have tory write-up. traditional Yet accounting the function government first The pairs of socks for $100, finds that their whole¬ has gone to $125, he has made $25, hasn't he? But the answer comes when he starts to sale price replace his stock, and finds }b?t he can buy no more socks with the $125 than he could with his original $100. In agine a.situation in which, with high book profits in terms oC the dollars, tailer of Suppose bought manufacturer cannot volume a replace inventories our little the as or re¬ same before. haberdasher hundred pairs of socks pair and sold them at $1.25 a-pair.'His $100 Would then be¬ come $125, leaving an apparent profit, not counting the expense of doing business, of $25. But at $1 a important most I not have seen it, direct "your at¬ the annual report of the who United for may like should to States Steel Corporation and particularly to the testimony last December of Enders 1947, M. Voorhees. Chairman of the fi¬ committee of that corpora¬ nance tion, sub-committee sional In Joint the before Congres¬ profits. on exhibiting the corporation's in¬ figures come sented with table a first nine Voorhees pre¬ the for months of 1948, Mr. deduction a ' for what he called "wear and • it is very easy to im¬ fact, and place for this to be done is in the presentation of the earnings statements of the corporations and of their annual reports. For those tention to then general the to and public. at these matters, persist in counting increased cost of inven¬ tories ds profits If the owner of a small haberdashery store buys a and cus¬ to the companies, to the workers of their of you hundred the to of their companies, tomers methods, and the fixed habits we have acquired in our way of look¬ ing rela¬ country making the of clear situation real this of vital function to perform. a is It the public that executives tions tion of corporate deduction for this kind of inven¬ Relations Duties of Public One of them comes from today? the traditional but doubtful process haustion a more vivid name tion. This deduction for into two different was original cost." wear was sums. deduction a is for deprecia¬ exhaustion of facilities sum ex¬ facilities"— which of This and divided The first "based on deduction amounted to $66,000 000. But under this was "added to This to a second about further cover deduction replacement cost." deduction $40,000,000. amounted In other words, instead of merely deduct- Volume THE Number 4776 169 COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (681) price policy or production policy.;' government policy changes. I have For business is powerless to fight already pointed out that where inflation. Only government, which the industrial index of production has been responsible for the in-; has gone up 94% since 1939 the volume of money and check de¬ flation, can fignt it, posits has gone up more than It has been fashionable for many businessmen to say that the an¬ 200%. Hence prices are far higher swer to inflation is production. than in 1939, in spite of amaz¬ That isn't true. Increased produc¬ ingly higher production. ing $66,000,000 to cover deprecia¬ tion on original cost, the corpora¬ tion deducted a total of $106,000,000 to the total amount necessary as replacement cost for that cover period. '• . .•.y Mr. Voorhees about cut "It that: is simple very was a fact worth the can that tools of in in the end mean tools those tools all of of of may production production nothing but the or production. Yet vital to the welfare are They should be ex¬ tended, or at the very least, they must be kept intact." He went on to us. point that: out non-recognition "The present part of of computing taxable income means that ment itself is ■J. So the first thing that the porations their to must is do made from to them cor¬ such a way as to end both their own self- deception derstanding real public misun¬ how great their of earnings In the and are. addition to their regular re¬ ports their to stockholders own all corporations ought to make, at least as regularly, corresponding reports to their own jobholders. Some this. corporations An already do model, I think, Corporation, publishing such a excellent is the Johns-Manville which has been jobholders' report since 1937. Its simplified annual report for 1945, for example, read as follows: Million Total Income For all $86 ; costs (except those shown below) employees for To and wages 41 out 3 2 to jobholders, ot emphasize how much the jobholders got as com¬ pared with how much the stock¬ should holders got. For in nearly case this will that the total holders in the poration total every bring out the fact stake of the job¬ of the success cor¬ is far greater than stake holders. of even For the stock¬ the example, in the Johns-Manville report that I have just cited, the jobholders got 12 times In as the much case as of the stockholders. the United States Steel Corporation, Mr. Voorhees pointed out in his testimony last December that the corporation's payments to its jobholders were currently more than 14 times the dividend payments to its owners. In both their stockholders and reports their their to reports to their jobholders corporations should point out what their net income is when stated as a per¬ centage of sales. In 1948, for ex¬ ample, corporations made a profit of only 5 cents on every dollar of sales. Such a figure underlines price-control could reduce prices under present costs even if profits were entirely abol¬ how little ished. The results of abolishing profits would be, of course, to abolish private production. Those who think that profits are today too gers great me of passen¬ in the back seat who would suggest out remind of throwing the motor duce the total the in 33,000 sparkplugs order to re¬ weight that the car toried with Can Fight Inflation And there is one further thing, 1 think, that they should NOT do. They should not allow their porations to assume cor¬ responsibility quickly the result that five ex¬ war. to Manufacturers of railroad equip¬ ment, freight and passenger and locomotives, 000 cars large r consume quantities of steel. Production of per ly has, suggests that 1949 produc¬ tion will be about the same. These have now on heavy materials, some greatly in excess of immediate re¬ quirements. As these inventories balanced are chasing of for. '• the ^ In out, reduced pur¬ material is looked new immediately years was ap¬ proximately 7,700,000. When that point was reached, demand fell, sales. The radio industry similarly has through a complete cycle. passed 1941 45 there approximately making household So little investment in fixed assets and engineering is re¬ quired, that the industry attract¬ ed host of newcomers after the a At the war. in are the as other 90 fighting are for experience facturers Further, price inevitable. being reductions There experienced are economies are for the technique in respect to the manufacture of the 16-inch metal available for the in consumer immediately preceding the war totaled approximately 43 larger quantities, it is our opinion the price on 12-inch sets will be million sets. Since the war, driven down to about $350; and through 1948, approximately 50 10-inch sets to approximately million sets have been manufac¬ $250. Already, the demand for 7tured. Only two years and oneyears stimulate Demand sales. increase No anticipated during the cur¬ industry experienced factory not year come that a ventories, has quirement for reduced the re¬ materials. raw * Automobile The automobile attain that Industry industry did not rapidly as point as these other industries. The version problem was more in recon¬ severe the automobile factories, and output was seriously retarded m 1946 by labor difficulties. Further, the manufacturers cars wisely decided of to portions passenger not in¬ use of available supplies for the * manufacture of replacement parts necessary to keep pre-war automobiles in op¬ eration. Dollarwise, replacement about was the sale of parts last year three times that ir> , a up demand became evident, at first in the heavy duty models. Even earlier, the peak had been passed by the producers of heavy electric very unsatis¬ Demand did to expectations, so inventory of com¬ pleted units has been carried over into 1949/" These must be disposed of before new production is un¬ duty trailers. Production of passenger cars int the four years prior to the war totaled 12,365,000. By the close of 1948, almost million 10 produced since the had beer* By June war. 30, 1949, at present rate of duction, the prewar figure pro¬ will have been surpassed. There seemslittle reason to believe that the pattern in this different any industry from will that be experi¬ enced by the producers of refrig¬ erators, washing machines, radios, etc. It is, accordingly, our conclu¬ sion that production and demand for automobiles of in 1948. large in is rent year. The manufacturers fans has bringing out priced models to requirements this manu¬ electric now lower first in A the and the extent that many are and steel of gas is' similar. declined to new time in large scale production. new of companies the balance. peak, there were close tube is enabling manufacturers to to 200 concerns making radios. To¬ offer sets built around that tube day, the figure is probably about at about $450. As these become 125 companies. Production in the four The a were companies radio sets. manufacturers position. J Subsequent curtailment of demand, coupled with the ne¬ cessity of working off excess in¬ on program, eight price every reached before was dropped. latter ited the interest of newcomers into The out¬ immedi¬ years 1941. Further, a substantial part Emphasis cur-' of available raw material was lower priced models) utilized for truck production. Tho at the expense of deluxe models. 1938-1941 production of trucks Higher priced automatic washers had been 3 million units. By the are not selling well. The industry middle of 1948, 3% million unitn as a whole is in a good financial had been produced since the close position, since the heavy invest¬ of the war. A decline in prices rently is ing sets has fallen off, manufac¬ ment in fixed assets are seeking to necessary to replace as much of that business as possible produce washing machines inhib¬ television this point case substantial four turers with four became satisfied, declines became evident. In industry present¬ and the first-half of 1948 Production in 1948 for ately preceding the war, pent-up in 1948 averaged 10,month. The backlog of television sets. are ap¬ the 120% of the put cars proximately 96 companies making that today there so foregoing 29 the industries expected it, find¬ ing them in a heavily inventoried ' ; Other Industries availability of these tubes, where¬ ranges ering the about in our can are industry consid¬ now, whole, Further, it is as balance. a decided conviction that prices and will be reduced, partly because of the approach of normal competitive conditions, and partly because easing in the supply of raw dertaken. materials will eliminate ex¬ Raw material require¬ pensive practices which the in¬ consequently should be less dustry has been forced to pursue. this year than last. inch sets at current prices has fall¬ During the past two years, some half were required to make up the The refrigerator manufacturing en off, so that substantial inven¬ steel mills have been able to pro¬ production loss during the war tories of this model are accumu¬ industry reached its peak in the duce more ingots than they could years. When that time arrived, in Fall of 1948. Production is now convert to finished steel products the Spring of 1948, demand fell lating. declining, and prices are soften¬ in their own facilities. Manufac¬ off, and prices dropped. This in¬ ing. Television Production turers of automobiles have pur¬ dustry, also, was unprepared for Production of vacuum cleaners chased these ingots, have shippedthe falling off in demand. Inven¬ It is difficult to predict how in the four years prior to the war them to other mills where they tories were heavy in relation to many television receivers will be totaled 5 million units. In 1946 and ment working capital and large scale made in 1949, because it is im¬ 1947, 6 million units were pro¬ dumping was necessary to attain possible to assess what percentage duced. When that point was liquidity. Inventory losses were so of the picture tube production this reached, it was obvious demand substantial that in 1948 approxi¬ year will have to be diverted for was less than supplies. 1948 pro¬ mately 30 companies failed, with replacement. It is probably fairly duction declined about 300,000 liabilities of approximately $25 accurate, however, to state that units as compared with 1947 and a million. It is worthy of note that in the vicinity of 2Vz million tele¬ further reduction of perhaps half a when demand for radio year ago sets declined and the manufactur¬ ers of these instruments, accord¬ ingly, reduced chase orders turers of cancelled or with the components, pur¬ manufac¬ prices on the latter items softened immedi¬ vision receivers will be made dur¬ a-million ing the current 1949. Add to this, the continuing demand for auto¬ mobile radios, the increased pro¬ curement by the year. electronic of government, apparatus and the de¬ mand for radio and television re¬ ately. The manufacturers of radios placement parts (there are 75 mil¬ who were burdened with heavy lion radio sets now in use which inventories, were not, however, must be kept repaired). It is ob¬ able to take advantage of these vious the industry will in 1949 lowered component prices imme¬ consume substantial amounts of Nineteen try, lead and steel. It is not conceivable, however, that the de¬ copper, forty-nine will be a confusing year for this indus¬ because of the influence of tlevision. It first thought the higher requirements for fixed was at mand will exceed that for 1948. One brief word concerning the should be wholesalers radio replacement parts. said of Many of assets, particularly expensive test equipment, and the more com¬ plex engineering problem, would the make it difficult for will have to add additional inven¬ ber of a large num¬ companies to undertake the production of these However. Radio new receivers. Corporation of America freely made available its new 12 months. prior to the war, there were pro¬ duced 6,000,000 washing machines. Total production in 1946 and 1947 others, or design some everlastingly favorable position in respect to the Radio Industry "fight by industry was for inflation. They should not say that their' company is going to inflation" in this industry during the coming for the field. Ironers were produced accordingly, has expand¬ ceed that in 1948. The significant ed so rapidly that an acute short¬ at the rate of 70,000 a month in fact to be observed is that in one 1947. Production has now leveled age of cathode ray (the picture year this industry produced all of off to approximately 35,000 a tube), has developed. The largest the planes that were necessary to producers of these tubes also month; These two industries sure¬ satisfy the demand which had ac¬ make their own brand of tele¬ ly will utilize less steel in 1949 cumulated during the four years vision receiver. As a result, six than heretofore. very Government was the suggest that 1949 demand will These, then, are some of the things that public relations execu¬ Only It turned companies quickly entered bank¬ ruptcy or some other form of re¬ organization. There is nothing to diately. be put in their proper light. are looked orders which the na¬ the industry, additional financial demand embarrassments lic relations executives of the delayed de¬ approximately 900,000 units, mand, although financially the in¬ compared with 150,000 in 1947. It dustry was not prepared for that should be observed that based on discovery. 1947 production was the selling price of a television re¬ 15,000 planes, wtih 1948 showing ceiver and the material used a further decline to 8,000 planes. therein, one unit is equivalent to Such falling off in demand found perhaps five average radio sets. the industry heavily over-inven¬ As the demand for radio receiv¬ has to carry. tives will have to urge if corpora¬ tion profits under inflation are to industry units. satisfied year In report the discovered that production in one 3M> Leaving in the business The alone 36Vz To stockholders in dividends the prise system. So it is this that it is the function and duty of the pub¬ (Continued from page 8) 1946 of salaries —.* To government for taxes course, enter¬ free our Consuming Industries And Steel Consumption restate in of components, and the excessively large number of manufacturers in freight point out. Metal earnings and the deductions be answer From necessary discussion investment in television parts. it will be observed that when Because of the downward trend postwar production in these indus¬ of prices, the shortages of some tries approached stop threatens with a one to supply.* And it is this the stability and money that continuance tion's tools of production." s the is additional inventories participating in and the erosion of the forcing, even nation to adding to the money supply. It is govern¬ mental policy that is adding to tional goods that industry is faced hopelessly losing race until only • It the manufacturers Govern¬ Federal is There inflation. that cost in the of a particular commodity relatively reduce the price of that commodity, but increased production tends to bring into existence ; its own additional monetary purchasing power. And so it seldom leads to a general decline in prices. Moreover it is so much easier to print additional money than it is to produce addi¬ the of hidden and serious erosion nation's tion corporate costs consumed of are apologetic He pointed very real and in understatement that not practice. thijs finance data and specifications to and components in television sets in radio changeable. tory of sets are not inter¬ The wholesaler, thus, television replacement parts, requiring a sizable invest¬ ment. Many of the wholesalers al¬ units is Prices anticipated for are substantially lower. ' A comparable, situation exists in respect to oil burners. Four-year production prior to the war was 900,000 units. 1946-1947 pro¬ duction was 1,600,000 Before the excess production latter year had unit was s. over, occurred. In part, perhaps, because of the shortage of oil a year ago, 1948 production declined to 450,000 units. Thus again only two-and-one-half years' produc¬ threatened tion was 1949 production required to catch up. well show substantial improvement because of increasing supplies of oil. but any betterment probably would be at the expense of gas or coalfired units, so that the heating in¬ dustry's requirements for steel as a whole is not expected to be any greater in 1949. Comparable situations are found may ready are utilizing their working capital to the full exent. It will in the farm equipment, machinery, be interesting to observe how they and machine tool industries. have been converted into sheets bars. Extra involved. obviously areFurther, frequently material has been used of grade than or costs a better- in the par¬ ticular parts, because it was avail¬ able. necessary Again, sheet and strip steel has been purchased in wrong entailing amount have than more of scrap. been of these sizes, average Finally, there interruptions duction because of As all an to pro¬ failing supplies. circumstances eliminated, savings in experienced. costs are will be And so we revert to the original question, should additional steel making facilities be constructed at present substantially beyond those already planned by the in¬ dustry? In our opinion, the answer is in the negative. Barring labor difficulties, there million more tons can of be 5 steel to 6- pro¬ duced this year than last. In none of the industries considered this evening is there foreseen any sub¬ stantially higher demand for steel during in the several next 12 will be lowered, v Finally, the months, and the requirement surely we are possibility for (Continued < : .. optimistic some on as ■ to reduction page 30) 30 (682) Metal THE The State of Trade and (Continued from prge 5) that (Continued from page 29) in the price of steel. Scrap prices— scrap of the raw material of which steel is made—last yeaar I reluctant, how¬ to undertake ever, exact an pre¬ diction of unit production in these industries throughout the next 12 months, for to do so would be to imply a degree of inflexibility, of preordination, incompatible with the belief that business, under philosophy, can, through its ingenuity, create additional mand for its output. 1949 be can good year if industry will take advantage of the easing raw ma¬ terial supplies to eliminate waste¬ ful and costly practices that have been forced upon it. It can be a good year if labor will acknowl¬ edge be that earnings reinvested tories and be and have had to on to con¬ sumers without waiting for com¬ petitors to force prices lower at inconvenient times. It can be an excellent profess if year that really is all those who an Milwaukee Bond Club To Hold Election ELECTRIC IN Monday evening, Rolland A. Barnum, of Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, and his arrangement committee are putting forth every make this , FROM PREVIOUS WEEK ENDED WEEK DUE IN LATEST Production past of and cars fell week to in the United trucks estimated an States 103,910 units The Board of to Automotive Reports." major for the reason drop was Chrysler Corp.'s changeover company's total output by 4,000 units, to 1949 models which cut this the agency said. Output in the similar period . in the like week of week's Last year a ago 1941, 127,675 units. consisted of 73,144 output built in the United States and 1,775 cars 82,717 units and was and cars 26,761 trucks and 2,230 trucks in Canada. BUSINESS FAILURES AT NEW HIGH from 110 involving liabilities of last week and $5,000 remained slightly more or compared with, 84 above the 13 reported last year a declined failures with liabilities under $5,000 to rose ap¬ from 41 Loewi & Co.; H. Marshall, The MarCo;;; Fred. G. Morton, The Milwaukee Co,; Oliver A. Julien, Thomson & McKinnon; Robert W. Haack, Robert W. Baird & Co. low level in other President: Merrill Rolland A. Lynch, Pierce, Beane. the all-time Board of The Governors: & Co.; Marshall high of $7.36 set index O. B. Otto J. Koch, Jr., F. A. Newton, Co.; Loewi & Co.; Carl P. Wilson, Rob¬ ert W. Baird & Co. on represents the general was July 13, 1948. sum total moderate decline in the general level ^ < Interest of Carstairs Jack & Co. Feb. 1. and Alan M. Stroock, trustees un¬ der Trust Indenture dated Jan. 31, 1947, limited partner, retired from Dreyfus & Co. Dec. 31, 1948. Henry P. Vaux withdrew from limited partnership in Parsons & Co. Jan. 31. Graham, purchased ing in wheat and tion and week selling corn which food at volume a level corresponding week a demand meats for smoked corn business carried prices well below those of year ago. frozen citrus juices continued to be high. Clearance sales of furniture and household be widespread, but not favorable as With was of corn slow. less active was Cash wheat was and wajs Re-. duced-price floor coverings, particularly broadloom carpets, were sold a considerable quantity. The interest in major appliances con¬ tinued to be limited, though heating equipment was purchased in an increased volume. The retail volume of hardy/are rose slightly with demand for auto accessories showing a noticeable* increase. Retail volume for the country in the period ended on Wednes¬ day of last week' was estimated to be from 1% below, to 3% above that of a year ago. the corresponding levels of Regional estimates varied from year by the following percentages: ago 5, East 1 up to up , • to 4, up South Northwest 4, down down New England 1 to to 3 up 1, up up 1 to 3, Midwest un- Southwest and y , Pacific Coast down 4 to unchanged. increased fractionally with appreciable change from that of the similar week last year. The number of buyers attending many wholesale markets dropped moderately during the week, but sub¬ stantially surpassed that Of the comparable week a year ago. ' Department store sales on a country-wide basis, as taken from the Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended Jan. 29, 1949, dollar showed volume decrease a compared with not showing of 7% from any the like period of last year. This in the preceding week. For the 29, 1949, sales increased by 2% and for the * - increase of 2% an four weeks ended Jan. to date by 5%. further recession a According to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department City for the weekly period to Jan. 29, 1949, by 8% from the same period last year. In the preceding week an increase of 1% was registered over the similar week of 1947. For the four weeks ended Jan. 29, 1949, a decrease of 1% was rer. store sales in New York declined over that of last year for and the date to year volume increased by 4%. Spottiswoode, Ltd., 15 Bedford Street, Strand, W. C. 2, London, England—cloth—25 shillings. : Renegotiations of War Profits^Richards C. Economic and University 111.—paper. domestic de¬ manufacturer the week interest still Osborn—Bureau of qf Business Research, Illinois, Urbana, ." lacking, cocoa dipped to new at mid-week but staged a brisk recovery result of increased demand in the spot firmer trend in producing countries. Butter season as the market and reports of a firmer at the week-end, although prices were easy most of the week due to continued buyer resistance to higher priced developed steers in a steadier tone in the cash market. Prices for hog? the Chicago livestock market were erratic. Average beef steer quotations reached a new low since May, 1947, early in the period. Hog prices recovered at the close to finish about un¬ changed from a week ago. Sheep and lamb prices were higher for the week, reflecting smaller receipts. Cotton following a prices were steady and moved in a narrow range moderate decline earlier in the week. Trading in spot markets was Newburger, Loeb Open Graphic Stocks1924-1935—With monthly highs and lows and yearly earnings^ and - dividends and 744 charts covering virtually active, with volume stock every York was and to continued in inactive and lower. continued low ground for the Lard wares many merchants reported that the response in recent weeks due to inclement weather. as a spotty with prices slightly easier; volume of bookings was small although somewhat above the low level of the preceding week. in to that close exceeding that "■ ago. Government buying later demand for both The slightly. week. Trad¬ increased rather sharply due to liquida¬ offerings. Dreyfus, Jr., John Behrens rose All grains showed further weakness during the . William G. the late Baker, Jr., limited partner, in Baker, Watts & Co., ceased Jan. 27. J. Lewis Henry retired from eagerly sought. was prices in the past week. The daily wholesale commodity price index, compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., dropped to 261.72 on Feb. 1, the lowest since early in July, 1947. This compared with 264.42 a week previous and with 299.77 on the like date a year ago. flour . umbrellas of Weekly Firm Changes . weeks. and pork rose slightly, but beef dipped fractionally in popularity. Supplies of fresh produce were scanty in scattered areas. Consumers bought more canned and frozen vegetables than in the previous week. The interest in canned and corded of the price per pound of A depressing factor was the Department of Agriculture report show¬ ing farm reserves of wheat as of Jan. 1 at record levels. Domestic changes: in recent slightly-during the;, but consumers did the past week from the level of the comparable period a year ago. New York Stock Exchange has announced the following firm as areas many use. further a mand for cash The New York Stock Exchange favorably in COMMODITY PRICE INDEX EASES SLIGHTLY IN LATEST WEEK There Adams, Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc.; Fred D. Jenkins, C. W. Brew & Co.; William A. Johnson, Mason, Moran The ■ lach, Charles Gerlach & Co. and The year Moving, downward for the sixth successive week, the wholesale price index, compiled by Dun & Dradstreet, Inc., fell 3 cents to $5.88 as of Feb. 1, a new low since Oct. 8, 1946, when it stood at $5.40. The current figure is 17.6% below the $7.14 recorded on the like date a year ago, and represents a decline of 20.1% from 31 foods in Vice-President: Charles W. Ger- areas. food Barnum, Fenner & declined apparel continued Retail trade here in New York suffered The Nominating Committee re¬ ports the following nominees: in interest as Wholesale order volume in the week in and a Chairman, rubbers total six years. over to Dun .& Shoppers' response to early Spring apparel offerings was gen¬ erally slight. Wet weather wearing apparel such as raincoats, boots, .v years. FOOD PRICE INDEX FALLS TO NEW LOW SINCE OCT. 8, 1946 Shall comparable week last:according Promotions respond changed Small ago. to 18 from 26, but pointed the following Nominating Committee to name a ticket for William of the Shoppers' not 127 Manufacturing casualties increased to 46 from 31, accounting for a major part of the week's rise. In retail trade failures declined to 63 from,71 but exceeded the 42 of a year ago. Fluctuations in the other groups were slight. 39 Governors that week. up Failures YEAR AGO' WEEK A Inc., in its current review of trade. Those consumers by clogged and ice-glazed roads were attracted to clear-;, sales in large numbers..• ') r ance a the coming year: Lester B. McEl- hiney, above Canada and compared 116,471 (revised) units in the week preceding, according to "Ward's A AT HIGH SUSTAINED TRADE COMPARABLE Consumers Casualties in the Middle Atlantic States dipped to New England to 18 from 20. Slight increases prevailed in the North Central regions, while failures continued at Milwaukee Bond Club. OF of the previous week, with dollar volume slightly The Pacific States reported 44 failures, their highest number in of WHOLESALE As heavy snow and severely cold weather prevailed in many parts of the nation, shoppers bought slightly less than; in the pre¬ vious week. Total retail dollar volume,- however, rose fractionally of the the 20 > TO the the -LEVEL • MODEL CHANGEOVERS AT CHRYSLER outstanding mid-winter parties of one AND men's and women's shoes for Jan. not hindered FEB. 5 OUTPUT RECEDES . Bradstreet, OUTPUT RECORDS A MODERATE DECLINE WEEK ended week „ RETAIL power AUTO held to 92.7% and 1,281,210 tons for the aver¬ prewar year. OFF 4.3% : , the in stock sharply to 139,441 bales, from 111,429 in the preceding week, and 123,533 two weeks ago. : Trading in the Boston wool market during the past week con¬ tinued generally slow. Sales of small scattered lots of greasy fine combing wools were noted, demand for which remained strong., at firm prices. Wool prices in foreign primary markets were firm to higher. Imports of apparel class wools remained in good volume. Daily average consumption of apparel class wools in November was reported at 1,480,000 clean pounds. This was a drop of 13.9%;t from October and represented the smallest daily consumption for any, month since October, 1940. * , 1,860,100 tons a week ago, and 1,670,900 tons, or loan 1948 increased week of 1939. Feb. 21, 1949. effort ago, year ago ago. of the Milwaukee Bond Club be month a one the into . distributed by the electric light industry for the week ended Feb. 5 was estimated at 5,778,476,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This represented a decrease of 31,558,000 kwh. below output in the pre¬ ceding week; 366,115,000 kwh. or 6.8% higher than the figure re¬ ported for the week ended Feb. 7, 1948 and 977,297,000 kwh. in excess of the output reported for the corresponding period two years MILWAUKEE, WIS.—The an¬ meeting and election of offi¬ will Entries from the pre¬ The amount of electrical energy and nual cers 99.3% domestic consumption times, reflecting uncertainty over government's price support policies. at and the The Institute of operations is down 0.8% Commercial and industrial failures increased 6.6% to 145, a new postwar peak, in the week ended Feb. 3, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports. Casualties were considerably more numerous than in the comparable weeks of 1948 and 1947 when 97 and 65 occurred respec¬ tively. They remained less than half the total of 318 in the same beliefs. own peared \ Loadings of revenue freight for the week ended,,Jan. 29, 1949, totaled 679,255 cars, according to the Association of American Rail¬ roads. This was a decrease of 30,330 cars, or 4.3% below the pre¬ ceding week and a decrease of 47,090 cars, or 6.5% under the corre¬ sponding week in 1948. It also represented a decrease of 155,796 cars, or 18.7% below the similar period in 1947. nize that when they permit avar¬ ice, indifference, or ineptness to breed losses, they are showing contempt for the sincerity of their , having rate at the start of 1949. new week in 1940, highest age CARLOADINGS the profit motive incentive will recog¬ companies Industry V \ , than twice as large as in the corresponding week a year The export trade was featured by continued price-fixing against of cotton abroad. Profit-taking and scattered liquidation ap¬ sales operating rate is equivalent to 1,845,400 tons of or of the old capacity higher inven¬ equipment. It can cost savings pass 1,830,600 tons, in new good year if manufacturers eliminate inventory losses a will This week's own a of4 steel steel ingots and castings compared to our de¬ rate . Thursday, February 10, 1949 more ago, vious week. price of somewhat am operating reports the schedule is about 50% $44 per ton. Supplies now are increasing. One substantial quantity recently was sold at $38 per ton, still far above the $8 per tpn price which marks the low point in 1933. the preceding week, the again it is observed that a CHRONICLE 94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry will be 100.1% of capacity for the week beginning Feb. 7, 1949, as against 100.9% in the " Consumption average FINANCIAL & sales Consuming Industries and Steel and COMMERCIAL the on New Stock and, Curb Exchanges —F. W. Stephens, 15 William Street, New York 5, N. Y.— .$15. Newburger, Loeb & Co.. bers of the New York Ex¬ change and other exchanges, nounce the opening of ja new branch 47th office York State and Labor Industrial School, of Relations, Cornell Uni¬ versity, Ithaca, N. Y.—paper. aspects Money historical — Paul its in and Einzig ethno¬ economic — Eyre & 41 West J. DeMartini, formerly, partner of James M. Leopold & Co., is the office, and Manager Morris of B. this new Cohen is Assistant Manager. '• ———i Now i ■ r Turley & Tegtmeyer CHICAGO, ILL.—The firm name Barnes, Turley & Tegtmeyer, South La Salle Street, has been changed to Turley & Tegtmeyer. r . ' >; of Primitive at an¬ Street, New York City. George Selected Readir.gs—John 3\L Brophy and I. Bradford Shaw—New mem¬ Stock a Industrial Training—A Guide to logical, of reported listed . Branch Under DeMartini; 120 Volume 169 4776 Number COMMERCIAL THE & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE to store ers Government's Obligations to Business lines. the sissippi River system; in 1935 this Modern equipment is being designed and built so as to pro¬ vide the fastest'* possible service volume had increased to 63 million for the movement of difficult problems. tons; carload, freight, (Continued from page 10) died by and million tion in 1848 the on it Mis¬ reached 143 tons. Barge transporta¬ developed into a large has and carriers all flourishing industry, handling times many packetboat tne tonnage fleets in the of their most prosperous days. Oil from the Soutn and West to the North and East is now the predominant Millions of tons of coal cargo. carried from Pennsylvania, are West Virginia and Illinois to industrial centers throughout the River Sys¬ tem. Grain from the farming shipped to mills and ele¬ is areas vators and export; New to steel from Orleans the for mills of Pittsburgh, Chicago and St. Louis moves in •needs of the all directions to fill the our growing economy; of Louisiana and sulphur Texas moves river up in ever- increasing tonnages; sand and being carried longer longer distances to feed the gravel and are nation's concrete dozens of other mixers; and commodities— such as scrap iron, bauxite, sugar tinplate—are being shipped by river barge in increasing quan¬ and tities. To take advantage of this rapid development of waterborne freight, more and more industries are locating their plants near navigable water. package- and well as only problem facing the De¬ partment of tunately, it is only many Responsibility of Commerce modernize The. Department is responsible the for Commerce administering of voluntary indus¬ try cooperation authorized by Con¬ the Line gress and I to operate shall at profit, a do everything in my earn a profit. I reel confident that with good man¬ agement and with the cooperation to make it power businessmen and oi ment not local govern¬ agencies the Barge Line will only program for the purpose of allocating scarce goods and materials which basically affect industrial produc¬ tion, the cost of living, our na¬ tional the Office tion of merce the As area. becomes a soon profitable a the Line as operation, the government will get out of the barge business and turn the Line over as tees going a business that suitable under the ment to private concern with — guaran¬ private Line manage¬ continue will to inland serve shippers and shippers who waht to use water transpor¬ tation for package and carload shipments. in general that this in been of the our year operation, Coopera¬ Industry Department of Com¬ has concentrated its efforts soil and pressure as voluntary is not gram perfect solution to the steel problem. The only solu¬ tion a that to problem is adequate production of steel nation's needs. to critical parts where it is Never in duction great the economy most our of of those to badly needed. history has the pro¬ finished steel been as during as Production of 1948 reached increase the past year. finished steel in of 65.7 million 2.6 million tons, tons an over We have been assured that program has been more successful than anyone hoped year it would be a believe it measures I ago. to the four obligations of busi¬ up ness to It has under¬ government. taken a job that could not have been carried out by business itself under competitive enterprise our system. Government has worked policy of the gov¬ the production in 1949 will be in¬ .concerning the Barge creased by more than 2 million up against the four tons over the 1948 volume. In obligations of government to busi¬ spite of this high level of produc¬ ness that I mentioned earlier? sentatives of the both steel repre¬ attempted to go into the steel business itself or manage the steel business. a It has simply provided by which the industry can effectively care for the most commodities. As you rapid change and our policy has necessarily remained flexible so to meet these as I believe have changes. that been lieve controls export administered best interests of in the I be¬ America. they have been administered far as humanly possible so as give all exporters a fair chance as to to do business and I that in we the Commerce have possible to formed control. not the export on well aware, the international political situation is in a state of policies Government has as are industry these industries. of ex¬ highly strategic goods— materials and highly raw using steel and I have been gratified by the spirit of harmonious team play that has characterized our meetings with industries of trols of much as as businessmen in¬ problems our regard and to our export We hope that the day is when we can re¬ distant if not most move done keep with far not convinced am Department and permit to nessmen all export con¬ American seek busi¬ business in all parts of the world with an abso¬ lute minimum of hindrance from their own government. way more ernment critical Line the measure the meet drain supply The security of the nation requires restrictions But I believe the and steel pro¬ the short foreign fabricated allocation quate of hous¬ in 31 port controls have also served a flexible instrument of policy. cordially and closely with supply against commodities of certain iron cast obtaining agreements from the steel industry for assuring an ade¬ on 1947. How does this has program profit but will add greatly to the economic wealth show security, or During the Welfare. economy manufacturers of The of (683) dustry is making available 102,505 tons of pig iron each month to pipe, boilers, and radiators.' increase the sphere of governmental enterprise. I want to lion bushels of grain. .■'•In addition to the agreements I have mentioned, the pig iron in¬ Department the Barge Line do that the government is mean trying of one additional 100 mil¬ an ing items such These efforts of the Corporation not Unfor¬ bulk as cargoes. to Commerce. ,sS< needs of the conduct have Development of Resources In economy. the of program we All of in you United States this are part the of interested in the watched vigilantly for any activities of the Federal Govern¬ evidences of failure to abide by ment relating to the development tion, the demand for steel is out¬ the agreements. In one case where of the resources of our said that government must great river running supply. As a result of the we discovered that a company was basins. For The Federal Barge Line has not permit business to -take care of many years the Fed¬ kept pace with the booming pri¬ most of the country's needs, and voluntary allocation program ap¬ misusing the steel it had received eral Government has been build¬ under an allocations vate barge industry. Why? plan, we ing that business should be given the proximately 10% of the current ' :: dams, deepening channels, output* of steel is being directed to withdrew its privileges of further utmost freedom in meeting these strengthening embankments and Private Lines Developed More correct shortages in transporta¬ participaton. I hope that the Con¬ carrying on systematic research needs. Certainly the government Rapidly is not taking a disproportionate tion, housing, the petroleum in¬ gress will extend authority for the to discover the best ways of mak¬ dustry and national defense. This voluntary program and I hope also ing use of the land and One reason, is that the Barge share of the the water barge business. Pri¬ does not mean that 10% of the that before too long no controls, in these basins. Line has not developed techni¬ vate barge lines are now carry¬ At the present supply of steel is being diverted cally with the same speed as the ing 98% of the freight on the voluntary or otherwise, will be time the Departments of Com¬ to these industries from other needed. private lines. In its first years of Mississippi merce, Army, Interior, Agricul¬ River System. The ■operation the Line had the best government has no intention of uses. A great part of these needs The government cannot always ture, and the Federal Power Com¬ would have been met without a .equipment available; but in more staying in the rely on voluntary cooperation to mission are working together as barge business for¬ recent times it has operated with program of voluntary allocations. make sure that goods in scarce members ever. of the Federal InterI ' fleet a of aging steamboats and barges when the private clumsy lines introducing diesel were gines and streamlined tows. ■many the years preoccupied Barge en¬ For Line was with litigation with the railroads, with labor difficul¬ ties, and with management prob¬ lems caused by changes in ad¬ ministration. This failure to compete effec¬ tively, with the private lines can¬ attributed be not the to inef¬ ficiency of government operation. Barge Line could not com¬ pete on an equal basis with the private lines because it was pro¬ viding services that the private lines were dropping in order to The increase their returns more profitable services. vate lines discovered on It I and years all attempts to with 'in they could serve could however, not would that services ment line is providing the that given are undertook- as the by the govern¬ the job of developing nel for The tremendous 9-foot chan¬ a navigation throughout the so pass on said that rules of the on inland small that river of ship can shippers The private believes Barge Line so that must to as of the River use I said that to the wish to The govern¬ the Federal provide this available make to all businessmen in the the econ¬ to and who in small lots. service com¬ transportation businessmen ment must fair play basis and with same handicaps.- area the System. government must government and work openly with business in the development of the on goods more economically profitably. task of do , the Inland what ought Water¬ to businessmen do; but it think can it explain fully why it believes certain pol¬ Corporation is to accomplish icies are The Corporation is undertaking to do this job. It is encouraging the development of a modify those policies when busi¬ series reason the ra purpose. of public ness along fied. banks of the river to provide terminal general warehousing tribution as terminals well for as service collection its those own of with and ways barge necessary, shows I clear and and it can sufficient why they should be modi¬ assure you welcome that I shall al¬ your criticisms and of This the national economy. will program expire on Feb. 28 unless Congress authorizes its extension. I think you may be interested in knowing a few spe¬ cific facts about the agreements now in effect. following month They provide the amounts to of steel key industries: each construction, con¬ version, and repair of domestic freight-carrying barges and tow¬ vessels; (2) approximately tons for the construction 250,000 of freight cars and the repair railway rolling stock; (3) 40,380 new of I 1 of wish the that Federal the administration Barge Line were to maintain mandatory necessary controls over that in are mains the export of goods critical Export tic We in the Depart¬ commerce. ment like to trade promote and develop throughout commerce. for eager to buy our and re¬ oil of field and production equipment; 102,505 tons for the Armed Forces; (7) 22,265 tons for the re¬ quirements of the U. S. Atomic (6) Energy tons Commission; for the Committee (8) National nearly icals, As it will be used by the railways Africa Nevertheless, with of inevitable ships will be way We controls, hard¬ some by have some tried it possible to reduce the to an mini¬ absolute commodities became apparent as soon that the for transporting manganese ore from South African mines to tide¬ supply water; We have constantly modified I know you will agree with me that uses these of steel. allocations expect are to plan for a I vitally In addition haVe put necessary into to mentioned effect a the we new voluntary allocation of 8,400 tons of steel products each ture of farm-type grain storage bins. These bins will enable farm¬ of all was pleased to say that the Chair¬ of this committee in 1949 is Mr. H. ment B. of McCoy of the Depart¬ Commerce. The Federal Government has no fixed and final points of view re¬ garding the by which means our river basins should be developed. Navigation, flood control, soil servation, reclamation, con¬ and the production of hydro-electric power are closely related to the expan¬ sion of production, markets employment. and Consequently, development of these the resources is of immediate interest to you as businessmen in this area. The In¬ ter-Agency Committee I have mentioned is working closely with representatives of local gov¬ and business and we ernment hope to find solutions that will be sufficient to take ernment will be sound as they minister all ing the ing the as as to permit possible to as par¬ and only the to far so needs Government constant the for power who of can only by keep¬ touch with creative the ideas of our government ideal of economy in participate is active its and benefits. dedicated service to and progressive ices so people. people who furnish the driv¬ Your you exporters in needs care our the form sound policies purchasers here and abroad. regulations many in We have removed controls from various as export that suffered businessmen. hardships Agency River Basin Committee. I am man steel, our chem¬ acceptable to everyone concerned. aluminum, and other The policies of the Federal Gov¬ result a is every South and country in the world every our mum. of world our equally critical goods, we cannot permit unregulated drains upon our supplies to occur. parts; (10) 2,192 tons to be used in Canada for the manufacture of ore which the liking to place obstacles in the way of a free flow 1,926 Advisory for to not Aeronautics; (9) 26,400 tons for the production of mining machinery and repair cars it The Department of Commerce is charged by law with fostering and promoting foreign and domes¬ of construction manufacture for re¬ Controls for the construction and repair of merchant vessels; (5) 16,530 tons the demand commodities greater than the supply is tank As long will be necessary for the govern¬ ment to maintain export controls. it the supply. scarce world-wide the as certain C00 tons for the ing channeled to the right are (1) 25,- month to be used in the manufac¬ suggestions. dis¬ operations other terest gupply indfiStrfeiT; are' as¬ destinations. Ever since the be¬ steady supplies "in xh^ in¬ ginning of the war it has been (11) 2,570 tons for the maintenance and repair of anthra¬ policies that affect the welfare of cite mines and preparation facili¬ the economy. I hope that by lay¬ ties; (12) 31,625 tons for the pro¬ ing before you my thinking about duction of warm air heating equip¬ the Federal Barge Line I have, in ment, and (13) 9,835 tons for the part at least/carried out this obli¬ production of all-steel manufac¬ gation. Government cannot always tured houses. so that all busi¬ not they are rivers, can ship more sured of Union The fundamental purpose of at however, that the mean, critical pair of oil tankers; (4) 15.415 tons government that all businessmen unfair does most tons for bring business into the councils of Mississippi Basin ways not pro¬ are water¬ located this ac¬ locations. private lines, just the nessmen, whether or The inland government omies government in operating the Barge Line is to develop the use¬ of the waterways of the • with barge lines have denied the the and these viding joint rail-barge service to no fulness their doeS or The shipments, and they firms pete handle Barge Line, abandon its located not were side. undertake to care cannot private barge lines practically abandoned the carrying of carload and package economies of water transportation to the thousands of businessmen -who activities have so attempts to establish an all-around service business tivities. I the inland ship¬ Federal The pers. certain enforce certain package railroads the must business good of all business when private not all Enforcing Fair Play lots; they also aban¬ doned their once vigorous cam¬ paign to establish joint rates and routes undertake ago carload and for The pri¬ the big profits came from big tows—from the movement of cargo in 10, 15 and 20,000ton volumes. They gradually merchandise gpvernment River System. the bulk general that services for the .that abandoned said supply leadership. It is for to decide how good the serv¬ of your government are and how progressive the leadership is. It is for us in government to do our best to meet your standards. ticipate in the export business. In an attempt to bring our regula¬ tions in line with the problems and the trade we practices of the have established export over special advisory committees. discuss our ulations problems and openly with 40 We our reg¬ these Eisele King Acquires Chicago Commodity Firm Eisele & King, Libaire, Stout & Co., 50 Broadway, New York City, members of the New York Stock com¬ Exchange, will acquire the busi¬ ness of Crofton, Fritz & Co., Inc., cussions have been beneficial to members of the Chicago Board of ourselves and, I hope, to the trade. Trade and the New York Produce mittees and the results of I assure you that our export dis-. con¬ trols for the purpose of controlling the drains upon our scarce com¬ modities will be lifted as soon it is possible to lift them. In addition to protecting as Exchange, on Feb. 14. Arthur V. Crofton, President of the latter firm, will become associated with Eisele Co., the & King, as manager department. Libaire Stout & of the commodity * 32 COMMERCIAL THE (684) & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE business for Trust Investment Problems Ahead " (Continued from page 7) in brokers' loans and a rise in in¬ terest rates and hence to a decline in prices on bonds. A strong bond market, on the other hand, meant lo^ money rates, caused in part by poor business activity, and Iience a smaller demand for funds for business as well as for security transactions. at markets also had have We the same time. periods during prices of both equities declined. Whereas in which bonds and the trust investment officer would shift from bonds into stocks and from stocks into bonds, today this has become a much more the past and ing. A possible decline in capital outlays by private enterprise will very likely be counteracted by, an increase in expenditures by the of Federal Government and by state municipal governments. Busi¬ ness activity should therefore re¬ main at a fairly high level, and indications all ing degree has been few the during the com¬ be of may year greater effect the to are mat the economy case marked by a stability than during tne last years. Important Readjustment The readjustment the to important is officer. trust first the In the future place, the danger of a further sub¬ decline in the buying lias in store for us. Yet the trust stantial officer confronted with the task power of the dollar seems to have been removed unless, of course, of investing the funds entrusted to 1dm must have at least a general new measures are taken by the Nobody can say what picture of the outlook. In addition, must be broad-minded and be lie opinion his change to able as "lapidly as conditions change. By taking into account all factors, as far as the individual can see them, one by using reasonable judgment, can at least indicate the mark¬ ers on and trail road even though the the sometimes be mislead- .nay commodity prices should trend of mildly downward,. and there¬ be fore the need'to seek a higher in¬ the at come will. be principal duced. A long somewhat make will future .planning range re¬ stable economy in more immediate the of safety of expense somewhat the trust officer than has heretofore been the case. This, Inflation Has Run Course - government and labor leaders to renew the price-wage spiral. The for easier 'lag. into Taking forces various of .is merely the analysis course, consideration the of operating our cer in individual. Each trust offi¬ one will have his make to own the State of tne Union Reports of the President and the Budget Mes¬ analysis based on his own judg¬ ment, and he may reach different is forced to the conclu¬ sion that unless new measures, other than those proposed, are been outlined. economy, Economic and sage, one the Ad¬ which brought about the inflation have taken by the Congress and ministration, the forces tneir course. run based is ises: , the on * This conclusion following prem¬ with demand caught up ply has and even exceeded it. In industry industry the market is after ly being converted from a to a buyers' market. sellers' The supply of purchasing power in the form of deposits and currency in circulation has caught up with the supply of goods at present prices. Hence, if the means of payment do not increase from the present level beyond the in¬ crease in the supply of commod¬ ities, the accumulation of purchas¬ in the hands of the peo¬ ple should not exert an upward pressure on commodity prices. power (3) While in a number of coun¬ tries the governments, through subsidies, are endeavoring to keep .down prices and the cost of living', in the United States the govern¬ ment of their present preventing a fur¬ from declining from level and thus ther material reduction in the cost -of living. will (4) strongly under the influ¬ of business activity, which be ence in turn will have a direct bearing the monetary authorities and on the position of the Treasury. One may however on policies with fair a the of of cer¬ degree important changes money market are likely to take place in the immediate future. The present policy of the tainty that in no the authorities monetary keeping of all probability continue. The Eco¬ nomic Report of the President of Jan. 7 contains the following continue will make a maxi¬ contribution to the stability mum the of be to that manner public debt will managed in a "The statement: * important this program will con¬ in factor tinue An economy. be to maintenance the of stability in the government bond This market." 2V2% rate ment that means the long-term govern¬ on obligations can be taken for granted, and this in turn sets the pattern for all other rates on highgrade corporate and municipal obligations. Evaluation of Bonds While will market credit the on remain will factors the whole bond unchanged, play a much important role in evaluation The spread between high-grade and lower-grade bonds more of bonds. will widen. Some of the medium- The President's Budget contains both inflation¬ Message ary The movement of interest rates during the current year will spending hundreds of millions dollars to keep farm prices be ' rapid¬ government bonds pegged will in (2) ing that have from those conclusions State " , _ j The scarcities created dur¬ ing the war have to a large extent been met. In many industries sup¬ (1) and deflationary measures. If all the proposals were adopted by will, money operation, adding to complicated Ids diffciulties. ture grade bonds, under the impact of business conditions and in a decrease witness consider¬ able declines. On the other hand, profits, may activity ness find medium term obligations by com¬ mercial banks. Vice versa, if the ment inflationary be orderly, degenerate more or into serious whether it -will a recession of character than can be envisaged at present, will de¬ pend to a considerable ,Pv+e^t upon the psychological reactions of individuals and groups. It is fairly certain,, however, that a severe decline in business activity cannot take 12 place during the next months, partly because of the farm policy adopted by Congress, will keep farm income at a high level; partly because of large government expenditures, increased public works and public which great ments It have financial the tions the also evaluate status of taken of status during will improve¬ place in permanent that more corpora¬ few past years. easier become accurately >o the obligations of organized railroads. From now on, the trust investment officer will have to be much more bonds and careful in selecting officer may be very uncer¬ to the trend of equity tain as and power of curities. personal well as corporate, will also play an important role as evaluation in of prices of state and municipal obligations. A terial increase in corporate will create ma¬ taxes greater demand for tax-exempt securities on the part of a institutional investors such as commercial banks. An increase in taxes the on income higher brackets will also create added an demand for tax-exempt securities. Above all, quality of the munic¬ ipal obligations will play a much more important role during the next few years than during the immediate and war postwar moderate Even affect municipalities their and greater dividends than before. in 1948. as the At the the investment individual as was pointed out before, material increase in the rate on a high-grade ment, communities? or; corporate, govern¬ ^municipal bonds is not people when load pi (3) ice levels foundation sound on on rest how and the financial to periods sales in the of effect on and a when during the purchasing in dollar was increasing safe return than on the Dec. 31, status of various industries and in¬ on dividual corporations. curred profits during of a period corporations oc¬ rapidly increasing and the outlook be may will He emphasis on a investment rather large extent cannot be since it is often under of psychological economic factors. than It be advisable for him to ex¬ of equities discounted readjustment and those which look groups already still failed to do so. At the ate for business in the immedi¬ future, and to the prospect for individual industries and corpora¬ tions and to their on the earnings probable effect of companies whose stock the trust either holds or contemplates buying. In gen¬ eral, the time does not appear to be opportune to be particularly bold, and in view of the low eco- : i when j were then time, he will give the most careful consideration to the out¬ was 1948. This decline regards invest¬ same power stocks un¬ influence have actually declined, what will their 65 a the December, 1945 and 63.66 in increase the movement of equities, have of most pronounced, of on which average gross an follows: as amine be in the future? The Dow- Monetary Fund Derelict In Warnings of Dollar Shortages (Continued from page 7) : this association f bureaucratic solvent. it wants formed warning of trouble ahead; the that nouncement clearing; are. any to remain is an in¬ informed equally an need pressure Ail export of net does men an¬ of tracks for the re¬ sumption of trade. In 1944, the International Mone¬ When readjustment, may course changes. of the 1945-48, the rise in prices and the decline soundest of tary Fund had not been organized. predicted years past. ing in equities to be made by the investment officer in the period which to de¬ the economic trade place prices of commodities is in the making. This outlook raises a number of questions as regards the investment in equities. If stock in prices of securi¬ conservatism and of a portfolio is the one during periods of ducing the break-even point. as time some well-balanced and summarized in prices in increase in management while of for ties during the past employment will lead to greater productivity of labor, thereby re¬ there moderate been credit The decisions forces of inflation have run their that corporations decline moderate today the and The movement of one. a income, opportunities for selecting highgrade equities offering a more or less steady and satisfactory re¬ turn are better than they have ever, even Stock Prices and some doubtedly result in credit that high, and in point is not a fixed A decline in profits will un¬ rather indicated, very have a pronounced net profits, yet the fact efficiency on more break-even the believe officer will therefore concentrate should not be overlooked that the future. to is dollars profits could a some previously of the at Realizing the great uncertainties, the trust investment present time. bound to be are moderate available are policy United the of . a returns in larger than in pre¬ and that dollar profits case even quality, however, will play an important role in the immediate reasons be industry is the municipalities has definitely improved, others have weakened. In general, the tax-exempt market should be ac¬ tive, and it may be favorably af¬ fected by increased taxes, the shift of funds previously invested in land, ranches, real estate, and in some cases in equities, to taxexempt securities. Selectivity and the to not While the break-even point (4) • while and higher. the credit standing of a that standing cline 20's, that a large earning good quite? evident number of securities few years has conclusively demonstrated, how¬ ever, that in the long run the terms bound analysis of these factors will indicate partly because psychological play such a vital part in the movement of stock prices, it be, question. This, the total value done in vious will status the of business of To on out •States new community? As the of in turn, means that they stand up in a buyers' mar¬ ket? (4) What effect will the clos¬ ing of some of the new factories An years terly (3) Do the newly industries established hence The few a have decreased? have in the form of dividends. come While past. impossible to state with any degree of accuracy what. the course of the equity market will is not are immediate the the is (2) Capital expenditures by corporations • in the near future potential relief business activity will created it in in than factors in¬ (2) the judging how fairly certain that money to be expected. offi¬ what extent has the influx of is It consideration re- ing questions probably more care¬ fully than ever before: (1) What were the permanent effects of the war and the shift of population on o'i that future' inflation of the past is to a large extent permanent and a return to the will have to study the follow¬ is same mention the 30's, seems to be ut¬ obligations, lem same time, state and municipal As regards The principal new prob¬ arisen. no still permit them to pay and to tend prob¬ one confronting the trust officer, a number of others have during the past few years corpo¬ remain fairly steady, and no ma¬ rations paid out only a relatively terial change in prices of highsmall fraction of their earnings in grade bonds can be foreseen. As the form of dividends, and even if in the past, so in the future, the profits should decrease this will policies of the monetary authori¬ probably not cause a drastic de¬ ties will play an important role cline in the payment of dividends. in the money and capital markets. Earnings of corporations in gen¬ The quality of securities, however, eral can decline substantially and is bound to be a more important in expenditures for or This increase. rates in the immediate future will now V iief. cer states of either stable More¬ (1) The spread between yield equities and that of bonds is over, adversely may revenues crease decline moderate a activity the their purchasing will removed has there run less or loser. that material change is to be expected in this respect because of likely to be at as high a rate as was the case during the past three years. Hence, the need tor plow back earnings will not be as pressing, and corporations siderably, however, and a further should be in a position to pay out rise from the present level will a larger portion of their net in¬ undoubtedly encounter opposi¬ business a may readjustment and the great changes brought about by the war will affect individual groups of securities. y " periods. Expenditures of states and municipalities have increased considerably during the last fewyears but there is still further urgent need for schools, hospitals, and other improvements. Taxes of municipalities have increased con¬ tion. the dollar show situation conditions, that the more Under present is the conditions believe to remain factors, be guided by the follow¬ ing considerations: by whole a course prices, he has to make decisions. groups phenomenon, inflation have forces of be sellers of tax-exempt se¬ In view of the pressing need for public works by states and municipalities, the supply of tax-exempt obligations ought to be substantial. Changes in taxes, taken may 72.36 in government obligations in the fu¬ Nevertheless, while the invest¬ as present reasons but Jones tax-exempt am some this Under lem ef¬ for equity market, and that I capable of doing. while from society are against inflation hedge that benefit the the market i to forecast mean and decisions made by investment of¬ ficers will, among many other be evaluating, the The measures adequate the Reserve authorities, commercial banks should fects of the past few years on in be¬ fur¬ and restrictive credit ther should dangers pronounced more come the in questions would increase the demand for short and this will v'.'' \ Experience of the past few years has shown that there is no profits influence the payment of dividends, and is the present a good time to sell or to buy equities? To answer these not course readjustment will System to lower prices Against Hedge Inflation 'f.. v; readjust¬ of extent what To decline equity period the ment? Adequate arise: of course during No good. The ques¬ ■ What will was therefore the be the the the Reserve it necessary tions will outweigh the inflationary ones. Whether down¬ turn requirements, reserve are have hitherto should Federal the should qual¬ ity will reflect for the first time which in¬ ward and the Board of Governors some bonds be by the status of the market in general. If busi¬ Congress, which is by no means certain, the anti-inflationary measures would in all probability been considered of medium in the past, as fluenced partly because the liquid sav¬ ings in the hands of many indi¬ viduals are still large and increas¬ and During the past few years we iiave witnessed strong bond and ■stock housing; partly because ERP will maintain exports at a high level; Thursday, February 10, 1949 nomic and international political visibility a policy of caution and of reliance on on income rather than appreciation is indicated. it was thereafter it collect organized shortly given power to was precisely need. its Articles of information the Article 8, we Section 5 of Organization pro¬ may require vides that the Fund members to furnish it with statis¬ tical information, including that relating to their international in¬ vestment position and interna¬ tional balance of trade. 'Our Con¬ in passing the Bretton Act, authorizing our par¬ ticipation in the World Bank and the Fund, provided, in Section 8-A, that the President could re¬ quire an.y person to furnish such gress, Woods data in such detail as is necessary comply with the request of the Fund, and implemented it by pro¬ to viding for punishment, as for con¬ tempt of court, any refusal to comply. There can be no doubt, therefore, that the Fund has authority to do the job. . Inventory Control Applicable to Foreign Exchange Transactions As trader every knows, successful foreign the trading exchange foundation is1 a of oosition-* Volume book 169 in Number 4776 which the trader both his present stock, his tions to to enters cialized agencies obliga¬ Nations could deliver,, and commitments receive foreign exchange in future. In other words, the meth¬ ods of inventory control are ap¬ plicable to dealing in foreign exchange as they are in any other merchandising operation. ; THE such liaison of be United the than made with COMMERCIAL by Central Banks, in dealing with the statistics of in¬ ternational payments. But as^long as this information remains of the secreted in the archives or is disclosed only releases that neither Fund, in statistical sugar and price than sents refines. pounds. decisions. ' But the latest are entrants The Central Banks are the habitual guardians of the for¬ eign exchange position of their I to you, that we lay before the Interna¬ propose problem our countries tional to their consideration of it. and consequently able supply the statistics with regard to their tional country for position-book. contribution tion of interna¬ an No toward the greater restora¬ international position- book. No greater contribution to¬ tile ward tional more restoration stability of interna¬ and consequently normal trading relationships between the members of the spe- Monetary Fund, and invite be not completely withheld information the tried to do this The reply that I beside the point characterized brush-off," I months ago. some was so be to as if "the as am willing to inability to state clearly. This time, straight answer. but I attribute it to my the problem let's get a (Continued f €.2170 per pound, and for refined, €.300 per pound. The year 1948 found us, for the first time in six without fixed prices stipu¬ .years, lated* and dictated by the ment. govern¬ True, the price during 1948 by the actions of influenced was the government in the handling of the quota under the Sugar Act of 1948, but the direct fixing of the price had been eliminated. It is, therefore, interesting to note that lor the year 1948 the average price •of raw sugar, duty paid basis, was 5.5450 and *7.730. jraw Thus it will values, .about 1940, sbout price refine d of be sugar that seen the average, were 100% higher in 1948 than in while refined, in 1948, was 75% higher than the refined in 1940. It should also be on noted that between 1940 and 1948 the duty on Cuban raw sugar was reduced 400 per 100 pounds. Re¬ finers' margin increased in the •eight year period under discussion less than 50%. The theoretical margin in 1940 was 1.010 pound, and in 1948 it was average per 1.500 per Total pound. Consumption Higher Apbtfier change in the business is in the volume of sugar used in United States. In our nation the om was States world—6,890,000 short of tons is preliminarily placed at 7,341,000 tons, or a gain of 450,000 tons. The probabilities are that there will be distributed in the current year 7,500,000 tons. Expressing this on a the formula. market constitute cations as this or that, 93.6 pounds. Of course, the per capita consumption was actually higher in 1948 than indicated, for we started in that year with extreme¬ ly high invisible stocks, which do not show up in the per capita for ures that If year. we reach estimate of 7,500 000 tons this •our the per capita will pounds of refined sugar.. year, !,. »( fig¬ \ -• 1 iff •?.{ •• • \...- '• "Ne\y Rules 1 — - be 95.3 \-r- seems quota, and (c) further adjustments master quota. the in This profound change in the business has made it neces¬ sugar sary for all of us basic concepts in trends in sugar. change our judging price The industry has had to master new a learning this to set of rules. set of rules new it has also been necessary for the student to sugar for sense And develop phychological as before never sixth a values. intimate an A Mistaken Notion No Some informed poorly have the mistaken notion that the any given determination Agriculture will make for the the into the Congressto arrive 'at two important objectives, (a) to main¬ tain and sugar industry, and (b) to provide will follow a market, as a given course. Nothing could be further from the facts! * At the best, from the standpoint of Secretary, he ate on siring only can a "cut and try" a given end oper¬ basis. he De¬ take can this or that step in regard to the quota, but he is obliged to await the reception and reaction of the sugar sellers producing and areas whole. as a knows ly the entire picture of marketing and pricing of sugar for our mar¬ many Prior to 1934, the year when tion, the sugar price was affected primarily by the rise and fall of production and consumption here abroad. Sugar prices in the and United States were markedly in¬ fluenced by what happened in the rest of the world. Of particular Sugar Acts 'is yesfed in culture to , significance in the the responsibility the Secretary of Agri¬ influence the domestic price level of sugar in accordance supply of excessive to he the at sugar domestic prices not But the consumers. once having determined thinks the price should scientific, shatter-proof by which he may fix a quota that will bring about the exact price that he has in mind, high or low. no The Secretary has no way of knowing what interpretation the many buyers and sellers w ill put This his pronouncements. indicated last year when the Secretary came to the conclusion upon was that estimate an of of buyers and the over in an immense ours, 12 month period, there are factors, other than the quota and cut up or cuts for Hence and down, and that the factors, on his first try, the price he desires, tries is not again. fluctuations. said if and the reached, he consumption would bring him on by Congress. trade, Many Fluctuations in 1948 As to the possible scope of such fluctuations we have only to look he if he for to power the melts is and optimistic every¬ obtain his cheaply as possible through feigned indifference, de¬ laying tactics, and the. like. Tc illustrate, I would judge that to¬ day the raw sugar buyers of a as number of refiners believe thai not, however, rushing in today to buy in a substantial way their important forward needs the period of heavy production in Cuba and Puerto Rico, they will be able to acquire a big line of raws at a lower figure. Cer¬ tainly, it is obvious they will do never anything to aid and abet the seller. Then, again, there present,, when .the seller him¬ believes prices will go up, but he finds it inconvenient to wait until such time because on a substantial proportion of his pro¬ duction he has storage and finance problems. I merely mention a few of these situations to point out the fact that the mere naming of a quota does not tell the whole story and that one really tp un¬ the market sugar make point I would like to although in theory, Sugar Act of 1948, the the case. it did not. quota to But Then he reduced 7,000,000 market reversed tons and itself. This and the ball crystal the trend price which in the pletely will divorced from this yet We is is com¬ the world not receive actually part a indicate The large part of her produc¬ a have surplus which will not be digested in the world market, and that this promises' to leave Cuba a at the end of a the carryover, with a large psychological ef¬ year fect will be to make buyers in the United States market wary. And such a condition would put the 'Cuban producer under more pres¬ sure to sell his United States quota hurriedly for financial and storage reasons, even though he is assured of this quota as repre¬ senting The real home for his a I have reason in order that you may be against those who have only a superficial knowledge of sugar and the inability to learn about, understand, interpret and guard evaluate the many factors at work in this vast sugar arena. Secretary Cannot Control Competition Also, it Now I observe' that do many not although the Secretary has power to name deficiencies realloca¬ and tions, and I will briefly touch on The Secretary of Agricul¬ ture announced a quota in De¬ cember of 7,250,000 tons for 1949 that. Time weil be said that may into does a full not permit me discussion of to the go de¬ the tails, but, in effect, I. can say to you that, of those sugar producing quotas, he cannot make people accept his acts or his intentions as being final and con¬ ates the In not fill this effectiveness This has not occurred times in the the of that raw bered refiner are in that and it but sugar, beet to that degree at least the Secretary's overall quota will be year, less than 7,250,000 tons until such, time entitled the sugar. purchase The and the United not sugar nat¬ 1949 is 6,700,000 tons. Therefore, simple fact the that 1948 distribution estimated so we with by the government at 7,341,000 tons, with, probable distribution in of 1949 7,500,000 tons, there is, at the mo¬ ment, available to satisfy that demand only 6,700,000 tons. There is leverage here marketSecretary of Agri¬ delays for an extended strong If culture the period the reallocating of defi¬ ciencies, the market will accumu¬ late strength pressed by which will be price advance in a ex¬ raw sugar. The Trend? With this governmentally bull¬ situation—current ish at 6,700,000 tons demand natural raw of sluggish. potential tons—it ask to one market why has Chiefly, there for reasons availables- versus a 7,500,000 for sugar this are condition intentions government's the only are now market is the turned two and they illustrate the fact that the are not factor—(a) we- approaching the height new crop production season in Cuba and Puerto Rico, and (b) of the the winter is a period of rela¬ tively slow consumption of sugar. Raw be production sugar February, March of raw The pro¬ has physical problems that he sugar financial cannot ignore during April will and heavy. extremely though he be¬ price of sugar will go higher later on. He must keepreasonably liquid financially. He cannot store, where produced, an even lieves that the unlimited amount of sugar. the other hand, refined distribution so far this year has been excellent, considering the season. I anticipate a mate¬ rially higher distribution for the first four months of this year as compared with the same period in 1948. into And, of course the to that there 000 tons For example, the represent one of -the a means not actually 7.250.available for marketing. are deficiency will estimate that Philippines areas occur of its in where 1949 quota of tons. taken So far action the Secretary to reallocate only 125,000 tons of this apparent deficiency. Assuming our esti¬ mate of 300,000 tons to be correct, spring and movement sugar we get summer the as will quicken seasonably and relieve the burden producers' shoulders. on Further, it should be observed that the refiners have still to pur¬ very large line of raw for their melts in Marcbt April and beyond. Also, I think the prospect is good that the United States Army will purchase a and future a from Cuba for the feeding of peoole in in relatively the block substantial the occupied near of sugar abroach areas Weighing all of the pros and cons in the sugar situation, I can only the' conclusion come to basic trend upward. at of sugar that I for will be believe that refinedon the Jan. 3 move booked 7.75c basis for cane is excel¬ property and: that we witness higher values for lent sugar season the prices first half of this year has refiner in have producer raw States 7,250,000 tons, but some¬ in the neighborhood of thing sugar of available for the market m*! sugar far 000 sale some¬ I could list other areas, but suf¬ to say that the amount of sugar running battle Secretary' does fice the the sugar a are ficiencies in such areas, it We remem¬ the as 982,000 tons it will be unable tc ship in the neighborhood of 300,- be generally engaged in the must areas quota. once 1,800,000 tons as being by the beet industry. degree that there is a defi¬ ciency in the beet area, and as¬ suming no reallocation of it by the Secretary until late in the of Agriculture reallocates the de¬ the its quota* of 1,800,000 tons by about 250,000 tons. To the to supply tiieir portion in full Consequently, until the Secretary but intense competitive con¬ ditions in a given area may vitiate sugar contains For- one, beet marketable that you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink. example, the Secretary's may be considered a bullish the estimate that it will we year story quota That But the present overall quota for the United States of 7,250,000 tons sugar old of case industry, segment of the total quota, cer¬ tain areas will not be able in 194? the re¬ able to area e n c y potentially strong market a chase have i factor. their We c sugar quota is interpreta¬ tions and evaluations of all of the facts—not just one fact. men's f i e On Importance of Reallocations control such as exists on sugar, by tons on the market for the time being, at least. This ere-, tem influenced government 175,000 be offered and is ndL a that that much sugar can-" means not tons unless allocated to another ducer on 7,250,000 Philippine quota is supply the d length this matter of market fluctuations under the quota sys¬ some properly understand the full significance and importance of have we the sugar. discussed at a whether from of realized additional of tion in the world market. If and when it is thought that Cuba will one an Cuba also the commodity, whether we have the law of supply and demand functioning freely or of market sells processor market. States the illustration shows how ridiculous sugar producer must that is quota be until wise. Another sugar from Cuba. price. ' intimately conditions in all the in that hap¬ as pens—especially follow full cannot as self our decline times, are at derstand the *33 thing about the matter. market, the because they think that, by holding off as long as possible, especially during check Then, too, many which Even raw higher a necessary 7,500,000 tons. Presumably, he thought that that quota would proposes affected by is horse of pay to be disposes. not United sugar and cane refined fields. Secretary will The market plum¬ meted down and he cut the quota many well keen a purchase market, he will do sugar under placed This makes It may be thing in his the responsibilities in a trend. the oil (685) the commodity na¬ itself, which make the market the in areas. with a great the commodity in trade clusive. as must trader 7,800,000 tons about a price that wouid be satis¬ factory to all concerned and meet He is obliged also that country such, volume of the first Sugar Act began to func¬ protect of being. That changed fundamental¬ ket. en¬ suing year. The Secretary, in fix¬ ing the sugar quota, is charged by Such He came year, what quota the Secretary of has simplified the in particular, as well as by a host judging the market of other conditions—I say with all an attitude provides this group of forces operating, it them with an excellent oppor¬ is obviously fatuous for anyone to tunity to lose money. They say think that the quota, in itself, or that the Secretary of Agriculture the government's announced or needs only to make his pro¬ implied intention, is a kind of trend. tion, when December, system new business curred;, 15 ..years ago, until knows one in business, the state of mind of the people country in general, and of the to deal with seasons of peak sugar oroduction and poor consumption. Sugar Acts those it is for anyone to say that if they comprehensive knowledge of know what the Secretary's inten¬ all developments in all areas is tions are they can tell what the essential, together with the ability price will be. to evalute each development. In a nation where the consump¬ Actually, it is more difficult to tion of sugar runs over 7,000,000 predict the trend of sugar prices under the quota system than was tons, with millions of housewives and a great number of industrial the case when the law of supply users, and with the price .affected and demand functioned unhin¬ by!, financial matters,, physical dered. storage problems, the trend; in Of all the changes in the sugar business, the most important oc¬ first of the that and countless v.. New Values area to be unable to fill its nouncements and the 1948 Sec¬ or depressing the price is made up, roughly, of (a) the initial fixing of the over¬ all quota, (b) subsequent reallo¬ result in the lifting fined and esti¬ the United needs of per capita basis, we find that in 1940 we consumed 97.6 pounds re¬ sugar, trying. and shows actions. be, has His sugar In cutting record urally ' selling and buying had their indi¬ the chances favor a higher price vidual problems, attitudes and re¬ for raw sugar later on. They are what retary's chief powers in affecting the price level. His mechanism •—the largest user of sugar in the sugar, raw value, were distributed in 1940. The distribution in 1948 certain a mates of for The Secretary formula with of system. merely the Secretary 19) page of 80c per hundred pounds. mind you, this was under And, a The Sugar Sc Bite Changing From the quota I would honest of 60c per 100 that low point in May, the market advanced to a high in August of 5.80c—an ad¬ Banks. Cuba in the difference a rapidly growing number of nations that are setting up Central and CHRONICLE" 1948 record. In February, 1948, the price of raw sugar duty paid basis at New York was 5.600 per pound. In May, the price was 5.00c per pound. This repre¬ vance our FINANCIAL the at Congressmen, our business men, nor the general public are competent to interpret, it cannot guide- us in making the right ■j •; The Philippine Islands, Liberia, & and sugar progresses. futures >• as will, raw- the 34 (686) THE COMMERCIAL Trusts Providing Large (Continued from page 2) United States Steel the Three was easily the favorite of the group, seven dif¬ ferent managements purchasing a total of 19,600 shares; of these, three were of * one The next in followed industry Bethlehem, pro¬ each also found second choice in pop¬ as Six managements bought total of 20,000 shares and two of these made those of National, many resulted from additions stock first dividend additions based of amount funds for 19,900 five and National. sold funds, tirely Actual pur¬ Four shares stock like a lot other of commitment. Two in held. Re¬ Opinion divided public, three of these eliminating to shares of was each also more shares, while new commitment. already market with the mix¬ sold a interest stocks well little found teresting exception was the pur¬ tain types of companies in this chase by National Investors dur¬ group are generally considered ing December of 5,000 shares of good recession-proof storm cel¬ the Magnavox Company. Since lars, the industry generally has National has had one of- the best been traveling on such a high long-term records for a fund spe¬ plateau and the break-even point, cializing in so-called growth just aS in many manufacturing stocks this commitment is of par¬ concerns,' has risen to such an ticular interest. extent, that profits may decrease very readily. Nevertheless, six The two large can manufac¬ turers found many purchasers and managers bought 9,300 shares of only two managements sold a to¬ Montgomery Ward which is al¬ tal of 625 shares of Continental. ready one of the most widely held issues among the investment com¬ 28,200 shares of this company were Four trusts also pur¬ brought by six trusts and panies. Sears Roebuck and the two of these were new acquisi¬ chased same number of funds added 8,600. tions. Five funds bought Ameri¬ can and the various ers of and v An in¬ products, others, Corning in also were Among types of manufactur¬ glass three reflection these of commitments. third made a The general television two original in operations. management Reynolds, four trusts on were another fairly was of Contrasted favor by two managements. Philco declared a 7% stock dividend, but in addi¬ tion two managements purchased new made Morris; Philip added was also were ture tric of these making an en¬ one new marked inated the stock from their port¬ folios., Master and McGraw Elec¬ Ligget & also well liked by four was acquisitions management on Republic of Myers such five sellers and two of these elim¬ Three of these lots acquisitions. new tne equity latter. initiative accounted chases 10% a the on of shares on and company distribution of these a 2V2% were was opinion on Westinghouse Electric. Although six trusts bought 34,900 sares, there were managements purchased a total of 22,310 shares. nine and was equipment there acquisitions. restored was its former position as a favor¬ ite investment blue chip as nine trust increased their Republic four of these lots represented new which to commitments. new Although 11 holdings of and funds three purchasers. by American Tobacco ularity. a no Steel Armco and sold GE were electrical Steel, one man¬ agement adding to holdings while another made a new acquisition. Inland major for Electric General be evinced in Sharon commitments, being with the size, Enthusiasm the only issue for any real enthu¬ siasm. Eight managements pur¬ chased a total of 15,300 shares and continued- to Interest Thursday; February 10, 1949 Market Cushion making purchases while three others lightened their holdings. portfolios. purchased also trusts ment. Seligman units. ducer their from Youngstown Sheet and Tube, one of these making a new commit¬ new course stock CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & containers found and with favor managements. well liked. End of Net Cash & Gov'ts Thous. of Dollars few Stores Although cer- Companies Preferred Stocks Grade Bonds & Pfds. Per Cent* TTv-» H Per Cent pronounced disfavor, three selling a total of 27,000 found shares; Commonwealth rs-F Dec. 7,097 7,549 21.6 23.2 14.3 15.2 64.1 61.6 748 907 9.1 11.4 3.2 2.9 87.6 85.7 475 403 25.1 19.8 408 315 8.0 5.8 Investment Dec. Sept. Sept. Dec, - -A r •. 10.6 6.0 64.3 74.2 21.2 22.7 70.8 71.5 ' Eaton Howard & Balanced ' 10.4 10.8 22.8 25.3 66.8 63.9 681 16.4 18.0 8.6 17.9 75.0 64.1 : 233 193 12.0 10.6 7.6 7.9 80.4 81.5 6,857 6,551 5.7 5.2 34.0 33.0 60.3 61.8 803 _____ Investors Trust General Mutual Investors Johnston Mutual ___^_ 75 81 21.7 22.2 16.6 17.0 61.7 60.8 373 477 3.1 4.0 15.3 15.5 81.6 80.5 705 442 5.9 4.0 29.7 31.4 64.4 64.6 41 24 10.2 5.9 18.7 20.1 71.1 74.0 6,141 4,877 23.7 18.3 8.4 17.7 67.9 64.0 372 448 27.9 34.3 13.3 15.1 58.8 50.6 Fund.. Securities—Income National Nation-Wide Securities Nesbett Fund • .& George Putnam Fiind_ Russell Berg Fund Scudder Stevens ________ Clark & f 3,235 A-t 9,677 8,316 16.5 32 45 417 518 : Wellington Fund Whitehall Fund Investment Wisconsin 4,010 f 3,717 ([Fully Administered Shares Co.__ '. ' 6.3 4 '• 23.3 J. t 60.9 55.1 58.4 51.0 49.3 A;a;a:A 1.1 72.7 -38.1 None 96.9 13.3 t 25.8 13.0 28.4 28.6 6.8 42.7 -'M 43.9 30.8 4.0 a Affiliated Fund Bowling Green Fund——————Broad Street Investing-. £ Dividend Shares Investors 6,273 98 137 1,008 2,637 Knickerbocker Massachusetts 7.9 4.3 New 95.9 90.7 None 77.5 79.2 270 527 5.8 None None 167 204 2.1 2.6 None None 1,321 1,921 22.5 27.5 3.0 2.5 21.0 24.0 3.8 Aa':, 97.2 97.9 * 74.5 r Securities :_____ the other is companies.- fire other of What often each of think trusts interesting an speculation. Opinion was divided Tri-Continental, but two managements sold 6,000 shares of, Chicago Corp. Another ex¬ the nies. Chemicals . Chemicals Mildly were ' Favored favored during period but there was no stam¬ 70.0 industry. 73.0 was 95.9 96.2 4.3 i7.9 '93.5 61.9 None None 96.0 97.4 123 2.2 20.2 4.0 2.6 521 491 18.7 17.9 3.9 4.0 77.4 78.1 133 121 10.7 8.9 None None 39.3 91.1 757 1,566 5.0 10.7 None None 5 14 1.2 3.4 9.8 12.5 11,054 9,743 17.1 15.3 None None 254 237 24.3 21.3 None None 7,556 1,769 6,817 19.0 17.8 None None 1,206 3,635 28.7 15.2 15.7 8.4 .55.6 76.4 22.3 20.7 None None 77.7 79.3 75.4 Mathieson Chemical the most popular issue in the five trusts purchasing7,500 shares; three lots were new acquisitions. Dupont was also well liked by four managements, and while some of the increase ingroup, 89.3 Dow 89.0 84.1 2V2% 82.9 84.7 agements 75.7 78.7 market. Three funds also brought 81.0 89.2 95.0' - De¬ * * 75.0 ' stock and inally set up largely with capital supplied by investment compa-. 3.0 : Research velopment Corp, which was orig¬ None " of Corporation American in 4.0 405 " \ resulted from holdings the stock dividend, three man-; made purchases in the. 1 : Corporation 6,248 25.3 21.7 2.4 2.9 72.3 426 :■* 7.9 7.6 9.7 9.9 82.4 84.1 bide 24.0 20.7 0.4 0.5 75.6 78.8 their investment in this company." 7,215 18,104 2,051 1,690 2,957 1,886 2,711 §Selected Industries §Tri-Continental Corp. JU. S. & Foreign Securities International Securities ■ 494 10.6 11.7 None None 89.4 88.3 19,553 20.0 21.5 •1.5 1.5 78.5 77.0 2,306 1,839 3,325 1,354 2,843 21.5 5.9 6.8 72.6 67.7 477 __. ' i 25.5 A- 3.9 4.3 16.4 13.6 79.7 82.1 4.6 5.2 11.6 12.3 83.8 82.5 5.6 4.2 None" ■"None 94.4 95.8 7.9 7.5 None None 92.5 preferred stocks: Moody's Aaa through Ba for bonds; Fitch's AAA through BB and approximate equivalents for preferreds. tPortfolio exclusive of securities in subsidiary or associated companies. reports issued to stockholders on this date, §September quarterly figures revised. UA class of Group Securities. and interim SUMMARY Changes in Cash Position of 58 Investment Companies Minus Unchanged Totals 8 8 2 16 6 5 18 27 4 7 2 13 28 .21 9 58 Plus Balanced Stock portfolios of shares of Texas Gulf Sulphur distributed as a dividend on holdings of Gulf Oil. Selling 576 8,939 National Shares Corp ; 4,017 7,714 - sales pede to acquire companies in this: 7,841 General Public Service... bonds purchases of Great American and North River and several single, the 15 _____ General American Investors ♦Investment has year purchased 550 shares of Phoenix Insurance. There were individual 5,300 shares of American Cyanamid. There were additions to ten- Blue Ridge Corp §Capital Administration tNo the of part early fallen off considerably. Two trusts 97.4 652 - in insurance stocks during None • '■■■ the Interest; C. I. T. 1,700 shares of shown 94.2 Companies: American International U. S. & 2.8 4.1 . American European \ 95.7 None A Adams Express : 91.1 95.5 None §Wall Street Investing Corp Lehman 93.8 None Sovereign Investors Closed-End 1.0 None 9.3 , Corp 1.1 None 20.8 England Fund State Street Investment 94.5 4.1 f Shares '84.4 22.5 Republic Investors Selected American 84.5 95.7 201 - 8,604 - 13.1 None 1,122 Fund.. Investors 12.5 None S 1,219 1,063 1,718 Trust. Investors Mutual Investment National 86.3 4.5 acquisition of 600 shares of It still holds new Commercial Credit. ternational . 94.5 5.1 a 95.0 None 740 Corp., however, sold 13,400 shares of this finance company and made 89.5 None 2,670 Investment 88.4 13.7 494 commit¬ new a Street State 96.7 5.5 3,026 represented ment. 91.2 83.6 5.5 these 90.3 None 90.8 2.5 the was purchase of 22,700 shares of C.I.T. Financial by five funds; one of 2.7 88.5 9.7 4.3 in None 69.3 86.7 4.3 3.0 exception one 6.2 70.2 5.5 6.7 81 - Loomis-Sayles Mutual Fund__ Loomis-Sayles Second Fund ' The None None None 4:9 1,771 A i Fund * 93.5 - 5.7 8.9 10.5 AA scattered were the financial and insurance securir ceptional transaction was the complete elimination from the portfolios of both Adams Express and its controlled American In¬ None 5.0 1 9.7 103 91 Investment Co. of America 3.3 2.6 ■■■aa 1,360 Institutional Shares Stock & Bond Gr._ Investors Management Fund 6.0 5,790 General Capital Corp Incorporated Investors 30.7 7.6 125 First Mutual Trust Fund___ Fundamental 29.8 566 286 Eaton & Howard Stock—_____—■____ Fidelity Fund 169 708 33 Fund None 6.5 3.1 173 193 Bullock Fund ':■% 4,912 2,234 ; on Open-End Stock Funds: Delaware two of these lots repre¬ complete eliminations from Transactions ties. Open-End Balanced Funds: American Business Shares which category Buying of C. I. T. Com. Stks. Plus Lower Sept. Axe-Houghton Fund__ Axe-Houghton "B" Two portfolios. Dec. Sept. continu¬ a group. only issue in the the was trusts Invest. Bonds & Per Cent this managements nibbled on a hundred shares of Macy. Bond Quarterly Periods September and December, 1948 Net Cash & Gov'ts in favorite sented Balance Between Cash and Investments of 58 Investment been has which Store ous merchandise Some of the merchandise issues were Federated bought other Owens-Illinois each companies Department shares of Penney. Two Funds Funds Closed-End Companies. 92.1 Companies ' i . r. c' * > four on Union trusts Car¬ decreased Buying was widely dispersed light among auto equipment and Lite, Briggs Timken Electric Auto- and Stratton Detroit Axle and each found few purchasers. Major interest was concentrated in Thompson. Product on which opinion was a fairly well divided between three purchasers and a like number of sellers. Buyers were represented by Loomis-Sayles, Delaware Fund and Investors Mutual while those making sales were Adams and International, several companies in the Seligman group' American and Fundamental * Investors. shares of General Motors added A c and manufacturers. 4nn All concentrated was to six portfolios; on 11,were the Volume other 169 hand' in creased Number 4776 Chrysler the of trusts. Half that number of funds purchased the latter auto Aircraft favorite parentheses total Six of two 28,900 sold funds American been which popular issue a and the of the portation companies, Eastern Spread out ual a sales. Manville 2 1,200 Caterpillar Tractor 3(1) 9,900 International ments. pha Three and Lone liked. 2,400 portfolios. bore selling manage¬ Portland also well Sherwin three to concentrated shares of Among Nehi the Distillers Cor¬ alcoholics, Distillers and Seagrams were each lightened in two portfolios. Those transactions jvhich occurred in stocks of paper companies were also concentrated in the Five selling of trusts International of funds leum stocks five and sue Gulf, which had TABLE 1 In • dividend " . 2,262 shares declared in Gulf 4 stock dividend on holdings Oil. 7% stock dividend of shares. 5 Dividend 6 3,845 ' on represented Mission by shares from 5% 7 Major 8 2% additions ;-clared in own stock. • ,10 In dividends 13 Received Public for most Service 14 Distribution of j- iVsk through part as Indiana. American on ; dividend Light and Traction. 15 In Power rights '. exchange Northern for • of Delaware States "A." resulting 25% from stock .18 2,330 shares represent 10% stock dividend on amounts previously held, l i 19 In part, represents 2%% stock divi t dend. 20 1,425 declared shares 5% as stock dividend. 21 Includes pany's ' , , own but purchases sored by several Jock of a trusts manager. com trusts trusts spon group are example, the Bui by Calvin having the weight First York Corp. and Securities dition companies to For sponsored Overseas site of management unit. 60 covers sales or considered are one survey one as stock dividend in shares. NOTE—This •treated t 5% as are included shown — 14,000 200 & _ ... Alpha Portland Cement. Armstrong Cork 3(1) 15,600 General Portland 4(1) 12,900 Johns-Manville 3(2) 3(2) 6(1) 4,800 2,400 3,890 25,200 Lone __ Star Sherwin ... Cement——_ Cement ... Williams United States Ply wood1........ American Radiator None Simmons Company United States Gypsum... 3,500 2 None on page. the in ad¬ 5,900 2(2) 2(2) 94,000 Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line. None None 18(1) 1 3(1) ' 3,500 2 16,200 2 3,700 22,400 2(2) 3(3) Cyanamid ... Hercules Powder Mathieson Chemical Chemical American Corning Glass Works. Owens-Illinois Glass ___ _ American Home Products 1,500 Colgate-Palmolive-Peet ... None . Electric None Master Electric None McGraw 2 Electric- ... 3,100 2(1) 550 None None General Public Utilities Corp.— Illinois None 365,862 None None 3(2) 28,900 Northern States Power, Minn.16 Public Service of Colorado.... None None Public None 1,000 None None 9(3) 2(1) 2(1) 129,153 1,300 1(1) 6(3) 28,287 Virginia 78,786 Wisconsin Electric 3,000 1(1) 6(2) 4,168 2(2) 1(1) 2,200 4(4) 15,300 American National 2(1) 1,800 Wrigley None None General None None United 3 8,500 None None None 1 None None 4(1) Paramount Pictures None None 4,700 6(3) None None Erie Railroad None None None 17,200 Norfolk and Western Pennsylvania Railroad 4,400 1(1) 400 Southern Pacific None None 3 None None 5 : 5,200 American Locomotive 5,900 General 5,500 Superheater Amer. None None American None None None None General Railway Pullman Retail Trade: 2(1) 4,300 2 600 ' , 1, ' M' Steel / 1 Federated 1 None 4(1) 8,600 None 4(1) 7,600 Sears Roebuck 2(1) 1 9,300 300 None Bond Stores 9,100 Climax 1,500 Dome Mines 3(1) 4,000 6(1) 9(2) 39,500 9.200 3(1) 2,500 3(1) 14,300 None None 11,800 1,700 ... 1 2 None 6(3) Molybdenum Homestake Mining International Nickel. Kennecott Copper Newmont Mining Corp.. St. Joseph Lead None None None None None 200 .... Hudson Bay Mining & Smelting. Phelps Dodge 400 20,000 2 1,550 1 4,100 1 300 19,600 3(1) 6,100 None None KD 800 Products ... None 4(1) Sharon 2(1) 4,200 None None Steel._ 500 3(1) 4(3) None ... Steel None 700 Youngstown Sheet & Tube— Armco Corp. Inland Steel 2(2) 1 4,900 2,000 3 7,900 3(2) 800 1 650 1 1,600 1,900 4 .__ Rayon.21... American Cluett __ Viscose None None 3 3,500 ._ _ _ Peabody V--v 2(1) - : v Liggett and Myers Philip Morris None 5(1) ________ American Tobacco None 5(1) 3(2) 19,900 _ 22,310 4,500 7,900 __ Tobaccos: 9(3) 2(1) 2,100 . United States Steel. Industrial None International Paper 1 5,100 1,570 4(1) Rayonier None 3,000 None . Bethlehem Steel 4,600 3,400 None None Allegheny Ludlum 2,150 None None ... 3(2) 4 5,700 None None 2 1,800 4,100 3 9,900 None _ ' Celanese Corp. Colonial Mills26 4(1) 6(1) 2(1) Textiles: 3(2) 2(1) None 'l ' Stores.. United States Rubber 5(2) 1 1,900 None 2(2) 4,000 Firestone Miscellaneous: : __ 200 . . _ 1,400 ... None , 2(1) 1 None ' General Shoe Corp... None None Greyhound 2,500 2(1) Corp. _. SUMMARY Balance Purchases and Sales Open-End Companies: Kimberly-Clark Shellmar 2,500 7(3) 2(1) Paper and Printing: 600 2(1) 1,900 3,700 2(1) Steels: 1 3(2) 2,200 4,400 5,700 3(2) 1,000 1,000 None None __ 1 27,000 None Aluminum Co., of America.. American Metals 1 None None . None 5,100 3(1) Rubber and Tires: Fairbanks United Engineering & Foundry. * ___-i.__._I. 2,655 None 5,300 - 2 900 ____ t Department None 3(1) 3(1) 3(1) 4(2) 7(3) _ -.i None : _ Signal Macy Montgomery Ward Penney 1,900 6,500 3,900 ' 2(1) 1,400 _ Foundries None ... 2 1,100 2,300 4,900 4,000 16,700 None Transportation- __ None __ — Union pacific Bucyrus-Erie American Machine & Foundry — __ Railroad Equipment: 2,625 Allis Chalmers 5(4) 6,750: Chicago Rock Island & Pacific.. None None 2(1) Atchison Topeka & Santa Fe Atlantic Coast Line None None 11(11) 5,677 None ; • 2,300 None 2(1) 3 2(1) 3(1) 3(1) 2 6(6) 4(1) 1(1) 2 Equipment None None 3 4(3) Railroads: National Steel18 20,300 oppo 2,000 3(1) None 3,900 Tel.— and Precision Republic Steel19 8(2) 2 Loew's None 3,900 1,500 Share__ Tel. 14,530 2(2) 4 General 2,500 None 3 , None 1 3(3) 2(2) International & 3(2) Radio and Amusement: 1 < Bond 22,820 500 . 4(2) None Metals and V .15,200 39,200 None Electric 9(2) None 2(2) 5(4) 15,000 11(3) None 2 42,300 1(1) None 2(1) Pacific Gas and Electric 5(4) 1 None 4(1) 6,450 ■ Potomac Electric Power 4,000 None None > 28,200 33,500 1,638 20,600 26,000 3,399 Commonwealth Edison Detroit Edison 2(2) Pump 6,500 None 2(1) Worthington Power17— Power None 600 1,500 & Cleveland Electric Illuminating- 1: 1,300 2(1) LV None Electric None None _ None None 500 Morse Edison.— 7(1) None ( Indiana16 2 None Mills of California Fruit Machinery •2(2) Chicle. Biscuit Service Southern 2,500 22,100 Food Products: 2(2) Water18...... and 2 000 6,000 . Gas 8,300 None Corporation KD 2(1) 10,000 7(7) 13,600 Phoenix Insurance Chicago 2,000 Co 2 6 Amerex Holding Associates Investment Co C. I. T. Financial 22,700 10,000 19,100 None None Financial, Banking and Insurance: 3,400 3 Power 1(1) 2 None None 3,400 Philco Corp.4 198% 41,370 Southern & 2(2) None None Electrical Equipment: General Commonwealth 4(2) 3 3,500 None None 2,200 ... 51,600 180 15,300 None 7,000 Can Continental Can 4(1) 3(2) 23,890 Madison Gas & Electric14 1,112 Works. 9 American Light & Traction16...Brooklyn Union Gas 15,248 V3 Carolina Power & Light11 Central & Southwest Corp.12— 39,100 10(3) Indiana 2,900 2(1) 5,002 6(1) 2 7.635 300 2(1) 5(1) Warren Petroleum 2,050 Drug Products: 15,300 ___ 2(2) 3(1) 5(3) 9(9> 2 500 _; Chemical2 Interchemical Corp. Union Carbide 1,500 8(4) Socony Vacuum Texas Co None 4(4) 4,240 4,500 49,600 13,658 1,200 4 Containers & Glass: 1,400 Petroleum, Ltd 15,100 None None 3,500 Gas None Victor 3 Standard Oil of New Jersey7— Ohio6 Standard Oil of 13,300 2,250 3 None 2 2,500 3(2) 6,908 None None 6,300 None 850 1 None 28,200 Standard Oil of California6 14,841 22,000 7,262 6(2) 5(1) None Transmission6.. None 5(2) None 10,900 Tennessee None None 1 None None 12,899 Corp National Cylinder Gas.. Texas Gulf Sulphur3______ 200 2 None 4 Chemicals: 10(9) None None Equipment: Flintkote 3 2(1) None 4,938 3(2) None . Corp.-Seagrams 7,450 5 None 6 2(1) 2,800 - — Schenley Industries 4(1) Major percentage from stock split liquidating dividend on Midwest Corp 17 In part dividend. Coca-Cola 2,200 16 and - None 3(1) 11(1) 3(2) 2 500 — Airlines 2 None 4,345 None Public Utilities: Building Construction •" i ; 1,800 Pepsi-Cola stock dividend represent purchased part, •f /vy.: of 2 shares for Light & Rys United of 11 248 shares 12 In m-V;;,;: dividend held de- \ <■ stock dividend. part, 100 from • 1,000 _. Aircraft None stock dividend from stock dividend. .,r933V3% each Corp. 13(1) Petroleum Shamrock Oil and Gas Louisiana Land & Exploration— None None Phillips 800 None Distillers 5(1) 1,817 2 None — National Distillers Nehi Corporation 3 3 Includes of 2 15,125 1(1) American Aviation. United Aircraft None 2%% stock dividend. 4,500 9(1) International ' as 6(2) None —... None None 2% represents stock. .own 2 part, 9,200, 5(3) Mission Corp £ 9,766Vs Mission Development Co.5 14,000 Northern Natural Gas.. 6(6) 1 None 2,800 None 3(1) FOOTNOTES FOR COMPANION 5(2) 17,200 ' None decreased been 5,100 2(2) Continental Oil- 1 DuPont throughout the earlier part of the (Continued on page 36) None 8,825 4,500 1,100 6,100 7,500 10,900 favored _ _ Aikman_ Airlines 4(2) sold _ ... None 5(3) trusts 1 None _ 4(1) Columbia Gas System Consolidated Natural Gas Barnsdall Oil the about balanced. were KD 2(1) 70,500 1,000 None American Selling transactions totaled 84 as against 60 in the third-quarter of the year. Phillips continued to be a prime favorite, nine manage¬ ments purchasing 15,125 shares; but selling increased in this is¬ 6,700 5,800 7(3) None Eastern in 1 36.3 None Dow purchases and sales of the petro¬ Numerals 1,000 _ None 1,500 If additions resulting from stock dividends, particularly among the Standard Oil group, are excluded, None Anderson-Prichard Oil Boeing Airplane 6,492 holdings of Rayonier. None None Amerada Petroleum 6,000 1,000 3(1) while _ _ None 3,100 Aviation 9(1) shares 7,900 Paper number same Bendix of few companies. a sold _ None the ings of Pepsi-Cola, while two also National ^3 1C0 None pro¬ cleaned out the last of their hold¬ poration. 4,500 2(1) 2(1) very - Axle American Overseas Airlines North 8,100 28,900 3(1) disposed of not italics, -Sold- 3(1) 2(1) Beverages: issues—Al¬ of of among eliminated 900> 8.400 < 5(1) beverage is¬ Three managements finally sues. 1,400 5,700:; 3 22,100 shares. nounced and Northwest added was Collins Douglas as seven funds Activity None . _ _ Norte shares brunt Borg Warner Chrysler None- American Radiator the Detroit None General were Motors Timken None Star—were Williams General 300 Johns- cement Portland, 11,400 favorites, each and 1 Aviation: individ¬ many . Auto-Lite 12.400 None 6 by None 600 _ Equipment Electric 1,100 3(2) wide list. These the None Harvester Stratton & Clark 3,100 2 was Briggs 300 6(1) stocks finding favor with four ' 1,300 , 3 3 Flintkote were in are portfolios. Petroleum and Natural Gas: Auto & Auto Parts: large number of over balanced were their No. of 4(1) building from Trusts shares. a heavily sold more -Bought- Agricultural Equipment: 2 were purchases .in Issues groups. completely eliminating the stock No. of only carrier to find favor. Five trusts purchased a total of 8,400 There management or Shares the v more issue, No. of liked stocks in the group. Among trans¬ or an Shares has best two of -Sold- No. Of 2 one sellers—or sellers exceed buyers—by making entirely new purchases managements Trusts one portfolio lightened in another. During second-quarter of the year it been exceed of No. of 3 had buyers number Trusts eliminated from was which in indicate No. of year. purchased, 30- 1948) Shares but Douglas also was the 35 No. of 2 last-half of (687) Shares throughout Boeing the CHRONICLE No. of small lots. bought North Aviation FINANCIAL Trusts very also - -Bought- trusts others Three plane manufac¬ purchased a shares and only among turers. Transactions easily the was & Changes in Common Stock Holdings of 44 Investment Management Groups manu¬ facturer. United COMMERCIAL de¬ was „ number same THE Balanced Portfolio All Companies 11 5 2 18 13' 6 27 Funds 8 Companies Companies Investment Sold Stock Funds Closed-End Securities—60 Bought . Matched 1 10 4 20 28 12 ■; Totals 15 60 36 FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE (688) ings. It evaluates everything positions, rather than add to in terms of dollars and cents Tomorrow's who lets his heart run away with his head will have trouble explaining it to his landlord, grocer and Markets Walter Whyte How Congress Can Help Small and Large Business sary as a matter of bread-and-butter compulsion to get financial advantages. »!« >:< that 1 • one break, breaks, I recom¬ Cooper 25; 34, Foreign 21-22, 27-28, Bessemer even or (Continued from page 3) stop first, Cooper, The 19. stop & S. U. and ... boils down to the All this fact .jji # A few weeks ago mended three stocks: United Carbon 36-37, stop V •; >Jc By WALTER WHYTE= :/! >.• sj« anybody milkman. Says— == them. ■■1 and Thursday, February 10, 1949 CHRONICLE Since members ? deprived of the wider participation are last, U. S. & Foreign, in under writings and the wider distribution of far held above their than would be possible if they were permitted to and the doesn't have so mean no more of the same. stops; United Carbon broke nonmembers exposed, and not healed, a bad To do that a market has to it!* Suggestion is holding on to both and Recent market cracks have Rallies condition. of series a on a parity, this setup constitutes a certainly to the investing public. ex¬ are these - securities deal with disservice dead and to stocks, still above their After all there is no legitimate reason either why any people. This stops, with intention of sell¬ person should be compelled to pay dues (which are tanta¬ doesn't happen overnight. It ing them on a subsequent mount to taxes) to any association before he is privileged to There are all sorts of ex¬ may take weeks or months. rally. engage in all phases of a business. Yet such tribute is pres¬ More next Thursday. planations for the break of It doesn't, however, preclude ently exacted from current and potential dealers in the secu¬ last week. In fact explana¬ the possibility of a strong—Walter Whyte rities industry because of the thoroughly obnoxious and tions are more plentiful than rally in the interim. In fact [The views expressed in this dictatorial rule laid down by the NASD. stocks you can lose your a severe break usually brings article do not necessarily at any Small issues are those most directly affected because about a time coincide with those compensating rally. of the money on. * * * It is on just such a rally that Chronicle. They are presented as the underwriter of small issues needs the additional dis¬ tributing ability of nonmember firms to really do an effec¬ The most popular ''reason" the initiates dispose of long- those of the author only.1 tive job for small business. for the turnabout is the action pected, though not to follow —to sell. of to' dumped their stocks I them. protect could give could believe. think of a reason down, tire out a go lot of that and commodities, holders simmer wish I I myself Providing Large Market Cushion But all I can venture .to say that barring this implementation gives autocratic preferences and a monopoly to the which only existing, registered securities association, NASD mem¬ bership would quickly vanish.' • In :^ era an when our (Continued from page 35) something some¬ is .We . Trusts system of free enterprise is under attack, intelligent big business will and must turn a sym¬ body has already thought of year was losing ground as four Illuminating, Electric Bond and sellers matched five and International Tele¬ pathetic ear to the augury of its endangered welfare which! buyers. If Share before, and has couched it in is spelled out by the raw deal forced upon the small fellow additions resulting from stock dis¬ phone and Telegraph. more elegant terms than I. tributions are excluded, the 11 via the above rules. .••; .->■ v?. funds week's last In - column, Tuesday (they're all written on Tuesday) I said that a market which won't go written mp on good news will go down I also indicated that bad. on Steel the split might be the beginning of major distribu¬ tion. develop no so This empha¬ is fast. fact that timing the sizes things would idea frequently more important than picking them. ' It also points some kind of a moral that once things start to cloud up, all the so-called funda¬ mentals It becomes other "take to the hills kind of a men" sj: :)( good time a give out with plati¬ about values, earnings, to me tudes an¬ situation. This should be for into thrown be can basket. the yields and trends; "Don't sell America short," or "Business is sound," or something equally appropriate ~ calcu¬ lated to appeal to anybody's patriotism. * ❖ * being isn't market chest bought stock interested in poundings or flag wav- on Amerada by three, and Anderson- has Prichard and Coast unloaded lightened 13,658 shares of the lat¬ Four trusts also eliminated Barnsdall, company. completely possibly taking advantage of the recent offer by Atlas Corp. But not all managements saw fit to dispose of oil issues. For example, although American European eliminated 1,200 shares of Creole during the quarter and the two Loomis-Sayles funds disposed of their holdings of 5,000 shares in the previous September quarterly •• Natural Members New York Stock Exchange York Curb Exchange (Associate) San Francisco Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade Wall Street New York 5, N. Y. COrtlandt 7-4150 Teletype NY 1-928 14 F Private Wires to Principal Offices San Francisco—Santa Barbara Monterey—Oakland—Sacramento looked be to with favor. Seven trusts purchased Columbia Gas which is sometimes included in the utility upon group. added Pacific Southern pro¬ Northern Natural Gas was holdings in two port¬ purchased agements 33 %% clared ing on holdings of .group Gas dividend stock of and a de¬ was eliminated the to tune however, made ment with a Union Pacific, and also disposed Erie and interest¬ An was the million dollars trusts in the Transcon¬ Pipe Line which is being transport the product three built to from the Gulf Coast area in Texas York New funds were City. These three U. S. and Foreign Se¬ curities, its affiliate, U. S. and In¬ ternational, and the General Pub¬ amusement thousand Thirty-nine of shares Loew's hundred were dumped by four other funds, Excluding Equipment, which supplies the industry were also turned into cash. Haisey, Stuart Offers Atl. Goasl Line Equips. from stock divi¬ reorganization and simplification situations, utility purchases were concentrated in Commonwealth and Southern, Il¬ linois Power, Central' and South¬ west Corporation (part of which was bought through rights) and Public Service of Colorado. Brooklyn Union Gas also contin¬ ued to be which in the was purchased by two funds initial commitments made previous quarter. concentrated wealth on underwriting group headed An 665,000 Atlantic Coast Line RR. 21/2% equipment trust certificates, series J, due March 1 1950 $711,000 1964, to certificates were Edison, Cleveland Electric annually Maloney Act takes precedence over the United States Con¬ / ! Our ICC re-offered by to to yield 1.45% to 2.80%, according to maturity. group members were of the offering R. W. Pressprich & Becker & Co., Inc.; Co.; A. G. Equitable Securities Corp.; Hornblower & Weeks; Lee Higginson Corp.; Otis & Co.; Phelps, Fenn & Co.; L. F. Rothschild & Co.; First of Michigan Corp; Freeman & Co.; The Illinois Pollock & Co., Inc.; Co.; Wm. E. William Blair Co.; Burr & Co., Inc.; Hayden, Miller & Co.; McMaster Hutchin¬ & son & Co.; bqeher ^ Swiss American Corp.; Stokes Co. Co. and attitude often been concerning the SEC and the NASD has editorially and is well known. We reiterated believe it to be in the public interest that both these bodies be abolished. Initially, it is possible that it might have been plausibly argued that there was need for a commission with snooping and dictatorial powers to determine how the investment banking and brokerage clock ticked on the theory that, after a reasonable lapse of time, such a commission could then recommend to Congress the enactment of specific legislation making it a there were) and which If criminal offense to engage in practices (if such which were not outlawed by the common law were inimical to the public interest. the commission, such definitive after all these years, cannot draft legislation, then it is infinitely better'that all than to continue the commission to decide what is right or suits its whims, to the detriment of not only those nothing be done in this respect at inclusive. present power of the the group, subject authorization, at prices 8 United States. gathered what cheek was required to the above section. Can it possibly be claimed that the this it may be stitution? Haisey, Stuart & Co. Inc. on Feb; 7 won the award of $10,- Selling Mullane.y, Wells & Common- enact by Other numerous From 15,200 shares of General Pre¬ cision lic Service Corp. provision of this section is in provisions of this section shall prevail" were two Feb. any Our Constitution is the basic law of the The The If of by two or more trusts. and following provision of the Maloney Act is startling: Conflict with any provisions of any law of the United States in force on the date this section takes effect, the Line, Nor¬ Coast Western of salesmen without their being forcing their adherence to a code their choosing or their approval. registration "Sec. 15A. (n) block of 17,200 shares. folk invading the control interpretations; neither of The commit¬ new a are: snooping questionnaires consulted and others. three from of trial system wherein it acts as investigator, prose-* cutor, judge and jury, and " a (4) the Pennsylvania also was removed from two portfolios and decreased in two more. One Boston Fund, of Tennessee purchases one man¬ shares Natural Transmission. Gas Two (3) shares. Atchison was in three portfolios and 16,700 folios and introduced for the first time into three others. (2) price years. sold by was managements seven most Some of these use right of privacy; several last transgressions call for its, indictment on numerous (1) the limited period a to Fresno the portfolios. producers and dis¬ gas continued tributors dends New such shares, how¬ ever, had had no " temporary period, State Street retained their honeymoon and were merely con¬ block of 50,700 shares which on tinuing their unpopularity with Dec. 31st was valued at over $2 trust managements. Five trusts million. In view of the heavy sold 6,750 shares of Paramount commitments in oil securities, the and four of these completely elim¬ industry's position is of particular inated the company from their interest. NASD other counts. sentiment the of one in of Exchanges Schwabacher & Co. been nounced sold 49.600 of the former and six to Pacific and during tinental Orders Executed on Oil Shamrock in switch The Gas, each by two. Brunt of the selling fell on Socony Vacuum and Texas. Five managements by Securities were during the Sep¬ enjoyed a spurt of popularity among the managers experienced only a short honey¬ tember quarter moon. investment of Pacific Coast balance Rails' Shortlived Honeymoon The rails which Continental by four managements, Consolidated the Unfortunately of purchasers of this issue. Among the petroleum companies still ter I had 14,841 shares of Jersey outweighed selling Standard Co.; Edw. SchwaLowberj - - * wrong, as in the securities In business but to the country as a whole. analysis the American philosophy of government, has made for the high material well-being of our peo-1 the final which pie, calls for government by law and not by men. Certainly our legislators must realize that there is nothing sacrosanct about the Securities and Exchange Commission that should prompt their overlooking in our meantime, In the is even here. ,; ? before this sweeping legislation undertaken, there is need of immediate that Section 15 «* relief to the extent A (i) (1) of the Maloney Act which by imVi . plementation now once . t\ ,j\ bars nonmembers of the NASD from par* ticipation in certain financial advantages be at Congress, this fundamental fact. view, has a plain duty deleted from the statute book. therein set forth* , Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL Indications of Current Business The following statistical tabulations shown in first column AMERICAN IRON AND Indicated steel STEEL operations Equivalent to— ingots and castings AMERICAN PETROLEUM Crude oil Crude runs i (bbls.) Kerosene output (bbls.) oil and distillate fuel oil — oil and Residual Previous Month Week Week Ago that date, gallons each) (bbls. Ago 92.' 1,845,400 1,800,100 1,830,600 1,670,90( .^an. 29 5,438,850 5,418,950 5,556,000 5,610,650 5,318,23'. 115,490,000 5,888,000 5,434,-00t< __Jan. 29 17,531,000 17,961,000 18,859,000 Jan. 29 2,588,000 2,354,000 2,526,000 15,986,001 2,561,00( oil output (bbls.) (bbls.) __j.. . oil (bbls.) Jan. 29 7,547,000 7,944,000 8,200,000 7,690,00( Jan. 29 8,17b,000 8,744,000 9,249,000 9,141,00t Jan. 29 114,077,000 111;587,000 104,063,000 102,988,001 Jan. 29 at 21,873,000 Jan. 29 at Jan. 29 22,125,000 24,373,000 11,719,00( 67,432,000 68,746,000 77,151,000 40,607,001 84,462,000 85,075,000 86,284,000 5U,839,0Oi ' Revenue y OF AMERICAN Total domestic Benzol Crude FNGINEER1NG CONSTRUCTION Refined (number (J. ol cars) Private . Jan. 29 679.255 709.585 584.628 726,34." Jan. 29 599,666 631,290 514,690 632,001 NEWS- and Year Month Ago imports stock of 183,158,000 187,414,000 170,687,000 !_■ 170,242,000 174,581,000 158,736,000 !/—•_—■ 12,888,000 11,901,000 28,000 12,805,000 28,000 12.923,000 12,572,000 7,688,000 4,555,000 3,876,000 5,631,000 185,260,000 1841226,000 182,168,000 15,376,000 19,U36,000 1,838,000 75.815 „■ (bbls.) and export (bbls.) ; zinc smelter 2,000 of at Unfilled .....Feb. 3 — $212,157,000 $124,485,000 143,290,000 64,829,000 45,627,000 $123,813.00C 66,640,00* " end Feb. 3 61,043.000 71,797,000 44,628,000 21,737.00C Infants' Feb. 3 5,370,000 75,531,000 34,230,000 35,436,00( Home 78,858,000 57,173,001 — Month all grades (tons of — lbs.)—'i 2,000 period at end (tons) of 1935-39 period index Women's (tons) RETAIL 100 — JANUARY *76,696 72,778 70.625 *75,332 26.038 20,848 86,000 55,423 75,858 51,318 67,562 141.9 141,5 PRICE (COPYRIGHTED) 1: - _ _______ . : __ __ __ apparel 3 -147,328,000 of PUBLICATIONS goods Men's Feb. 66,413,000 INC. — orders OF Piece output, lbs.) (tons Composite $209,703,000 INSTITUTE, 50,000 January: Slab ; ZINC INDEX, 3 municipal Federal 42-gal- (bbls.)__— consumption—domestic AMERICAN < Feb. construction State of (bbls.) AS construction...: Public • (bbls. _ products Increase—all , construction S. production imports Indicated Stocks ENGINEERING — RECORD: Total Previous output (bbls.) oil FAIR CHILD CIVIL Latest Month INSTITUTE—Month each) Shipments RAILROADS: freight loaded (number of cars) Revenue freight received from connections J PETROLEUM of November: pipe lines— ' ASSOCIATION AMERICAN lons ___Jan. 29 fuel (bbls.) or month available (dates of quotations, are as of that date) : cases Year 99.3 100.9 in or, Domestic crude oil output (bbls.) Natural gasoline output (bbls.)— : output oil on Latest 100.1 —Feb. 13 (bbls. of 42 average distillate fuel fuel month ended , Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at Kerosene (bbls.) at Gas Feb. 13 . tons)_ average output Residual (net stills—daily Gasoline Gas capacity) or INSTITUTE: output—daily to of Activity production and other figures for the latest week either for the week are INSTITUTE: (percent Steel cover 37 (689) _ apparel and .. children's wear— __ 138.7 140.5 . _ . furnishings 141.6 142.3 . 137.5 140.8 140.? 134.1 136.8 135 4- 128.4 130.7 130 Y 145.5 150.2 150.2) 126.6 130.8 130.8- 135.5 140.9 141.1 163.7 161.2 159.& 174.6 182.5 181.7 139.5 141.4 141.4 106.8 108.5 lOg.O 146.1 147.1 145,9 132.9 132.5 132.4 154.1 157.2 149.0 133.8 139.4 139.1 136.5 141.4 141.4 138.9 140.2 140.S Piece goods— COAL OUTPUT Bituminous . (U. S. and lignite (tons) anthracite (tons) coke ■' - ■_ ^ ... (tons) DEPARTMENT ' 10,460,000 *11,460.000 8,800,000 11,190,00( Jan. 29 653,000 860.000 931,000 1,167,00( ■ ; . ',. 146,700 *158,100 130,100 136,00( V •" INDEX—FEDERAL Cotton — wash "y Jan. 29 Women's 217 230 23! 204 and STREET, and Feb. 5 5,778,476 5,810,034 5,741,663 AND INDUSTRIAL)—DUN & AGE Finished Pig steel (per _ 145 136 128 97 iron (per gross ton) Scrap steel (per gross ton) i 1 3.75628c 3.75628c 3.75628c 3.22566c Feb. 1 $46.74 $46.74 $46.82 $40.17 Feb. 1 $40.42 $40.58 $43.00 __ _ PRICES caps _ and __ refinery at at York) refinery tin (New Lead (New Lead (St. York) Louis) Zinc (East St. at at at Louis) at Feb. 2 23.200c 23.200c Feb. 2 23.425c 23.425c 23.200c 21.200- Electrical China Feb. 2 103.000c 103.000c 103.000c 94.000i Feb. 2 21.500c 21.500c 21.500c 15.000( Feb. 2 21.300c 21.300c 21.300c 14.800c Feb. 2 17.500c 17.500c 17.500c 12.000( GRAY .. _ _ _ _ IRON U. S. BOND PRICES Government DAILY Bonds AVERAGES: __ .. For — Average coiporate— Aaa — — __ _ 8 101.42 101.31 8 113.12 113.12 8 118.80 118.80 8 A . __ . . . Railroad _ Industrials MOODY'S S. _ _ .... Group Public Utilities U. Feb. . Baa Group_ Group_ _ . - _ YIELD BOND .. DAILY . Feb. Group_ Utilities Industrials MOODY'S 116.61 114.27 8 112.19 112.19 111.25 109.7! 105.17 105.17 104.48 103.47 8 108.70 108.88 107.80 105.1' 8 113.31 113.50 113.12 112.5( 8 117.40 117.20 116.80 114.6( a (short LIFE 8 .— Group... Group: 2.40 3.00 2.41 2.42 INDEX -2.73 2.82 2.bi Feb. 8 3.05 3.05 3.10 3.Of ITY FERTILIZER INDEX BY ASSOCIATION—WHOLESALE 8 3.44 3.44 8 3.24 3.23 3.29 3.2: Feb. 8 2.99 2.98 3.00 2.91 Feb. 8 2.78 2.79 2.81 2.7? and Fats 1, Farm oils products , _ Grains .V. 422.1 : —± Miscellaneous commodities .—.-, and Fertilizer materials . — drugs— —_ —— — —___. —, Fertilizers machinery— - combined— groups NATIONAL PAPERBOARD Orders received Production •Unfilled : 4i / (tons)— at (tons) PAINT AND DRUG AVERAGE==100_— : •; • ' • 1 ' PRICES "192(1—UK): •'All y' REPORTER PRICE .' All ' SERIES—U. and ' -''1 Grains i i _ . —— Meats , 252.: 240.1 243.5 228.( 169.5 170.9 172.1 178.' 5 5 190.4 190.4 190.6 162.: Feb. 5 217.9 217.9 226.8 233. Feb. 5 145.5 146.3 ;148.4 155.: 192.4 195.7 195.2 217.: Feb. 5 143.4 143.4 143.6 137.! Feb. 5 151.3 151.3 150.8 142.F Feb. 5 155.6 155.6 155.2 136.! Feb. 5 210.8 213.1 216.4 221.: Ian. 29 167,930 182,892 Jan. 29 181,483 191,306 92 304,146 327,700 116,925 196,88' 81,780 185,94' y,;- 46 METAL 318,673 ' 4 141.1 141.5 x : PRICES Average Lead .——! —J — .— .— ... . ! — -—..I—:——_• , . . Hides and skins... .* "Revised figure, lilncludes 372,000 barrels of foreign crude — (E. 147/ —— Feb. 1 158.8 158.8 161.3 164. Feb. 1 168:9 167.9 175.5 195. Feb. 1 158.6 159.2 168.1 177 Feb. 1 153.5 152.6 148.' Feb. 1 143.5 143.6 145.1 148. Feb. 1 138.0 138.0 137.1 130.! Feb. 1 178.3 177.9 175.2 154.- Feb. 1 200.8 200.8 198.7 191. Feb. 1 132.9 133.5 132.8 138.! 1 161.6 Feb. 1 206.8 206.5 209.9 246.1 Feb. 1 215.5 218.3 225.9 Feb. 241.1 1 194.3 200.4 192.8 225.1 Tin of runs. 458,579 2,687,2<!4- $101,334,000 29,838,000 8,212,000 6,924,000 17,975,000 27,829,000 36,687,000 35,323,000 $257,971,000 $219,223,06^ January: domestic export refinery refinery 249.: 23.200c 23.200c 21.20Go 23.430c 23.454c 21.532(7 21.500c 15.000? 21.500c ! London (per (pence Exchange — ounce) per (Check) Louis (per pound)— New York New York, Gold (per Chinese U. 21.300c 14.800C 70.000c 70.000c 74.6250- 42.500d 42.500d 45.000# $4.02750 $4.02750 $4.02679 17.500c 17.500c 11.077c 103.000c 103.000c 94.000s. 997c 102.000c 102.400c 93.500? price) $35,000 $35,000 $35,000 of $89,600 $82,154 $78.30» 41.713c •11.670c 36.082(5 or S. flask (per 21.300c •: Straits—' ounce Quicksilver ' ■ • ounce) pound)—East St. (per ^ Sterling Exchange— Sterling 76 pounds) 1!Antimony (per pound) (E. & M. J ) Antimony (per pound), bulk, Laredo Antimony (per pound), in cases, Laredo Antimony (per pound), Chinese, Spot——— Platinum, refined (per ounce) tCadmium (per pound) "{Cadmium (per pound)— SCadmium (per pound)— — ... 33.000c 38.500c 38.500c 39.000c 39.000c 33.500c Nominal Nominal Nominal $91,600 $93,000 $66,000' $2.00000 $2.00000 $1.75000- $2.05000 $2.05000 S1.7750O" $2.10000 $2.10000 $1.80000- " ' : 15.000c 17.000c 17.0 00c 20.500c 20.500c 20.500c 40.000c 40.000c Not avail. $267,274 $292,651 $295,256 I REAL ESTATE AREAS AND FINANCING OF U. LOAN Insurance of IN NON-FARM S— FEDERAL INSURANCE November SAVINGS CORPORATION <000's omitted): companies- and Trust Savings Companies ^ : UNITED of lending STATES institutions GROSS DEBT fund DIRECT *Revised *vjp.u.r>. 55,111 183,537 164,973 figure. — interest — but Port less than 129,866 $919,631 $977,830 $954,569 $252,656,167 4,659,251 $252,854,401 $256,650,614 4,208,411 4,648,24? $247,996,916 $248,645,990 $252,002.36? rate—! 2.222% tBased and platers' 137,925 AND — balance Computed annual more 70,279 132,680 — debt the producers' or 71,02$ 238,334 67,915 omitted): January 31 General 81,246 212,192 Banks GUARANTEED—(000's As 77,580 198,182 ] 76.000 Miscellaneous tons — 2,522,831 pound)— Louis Silver, Net 170.3 2,406,737 37,644,000 York Banks 164.0 561,660 M. J. QUOTATIONS)— & for Month (per Mutual Feb. 1,020,239 642,485 505,937 (per pound)— Zinc 432,91 's-, 153.6 1,148,422 606,380 493,447 $118,358,000 Savings and Loan Associations 142.6 135.7 TO payments'- Li— —Month • " 144.it 135.3 LIFE •Individuals C — OF ————— Copper 10: LABOR— —_ ——: Livestock —— . OF than farm and foods— metal .Special indexes— <-• DEPT. ——— products— materials.—— other 241.9 238.3 •; •• j. 'Building All S. : —— Textile products —_ Fuel and lighting materials Metals 282.( Feb. Feb. * •• ;vy .' commodities other 318.: 209.2 INDEX —1926-36 *. • products— Foods 307.5 202.5 237.2 Feb. Jan. 29 : NEW commodities/ Farm 312.5 201.2 229.2 -Jan. 29 <• % <t'- 260.1 311.5 PAYMENTS Aluminum, 99% plus, ingot (per pound )__— Magnesium, ingot (per pound) activity,— orders WHOLESALE •>' 242.( 240.8 5 131.0- 144.6 November: of endowments **Nickel OIL, , 184.6 237.4 ASSOCIATION: (tons) Percentage of - 171.5 232.0 5 .' materials/--—.1.-. Chemicals All 166.4 5 Feb. ——_ Metals Building Farm 5 5 — Textiles 235.f Feb. —————Feb. 131.1 month of — Silver, New York 224.2 Feb. _—r—Feb, .5 , Livestock end dividends St. Feb. at sale benefits Silver and Cotton 123.7 1,099,827 INSURANCE—BENEFIT Total COMMOD¬ 219.7 124.0 3.44 GROUPS—1935-39=100: 218.2 158.7 123.8 COM¬ (short tons) use INSURANCE—Month New NATIONAL tons) own for OF 2.71 Feb. 392.4 158.2 Policy 3.03 2.71 384.8 150.8 151.0 3.00 3.00 2.80 370.1 150.7 38,133,000 2.71 8 144.9 149.5 Surrender 4 values 2.80 Feb. _ . (DEPT. (short Electrolytic, Electrolytic, COMMODITY 120.5 144.9 18,937,000 8 3.48 120.8 142.6 Annuity payments 8 • 131.5 119.7 November: of tons) Matured 169.9 131.5 2.41 Feb. * _ .. POLICYHOLDERS—INSTITUTE Death Feb. Feb. Public 115.8: 8 8 Feb. : Railroad 118.40 169.6 _ tons) orders _ _.. producers' Disability Average corporate— ; 117.00 110.7C AVERAGES: Bonds Government 117.00 For Unfilled 132.5 164.3 appliances (short sale 100.6? 112.56 101.09 . _ CASTINGS Shipments _ _ _ household .... _ ______ MERCE )'— Month MOODY'S _ _ ... 21.425( 128.1 132.4 v _______ Luggage 132.9 130.0 wear— __ 23.425c _ _ coverings 155.9 132.9 128.1 .... _ Radios _, _____ _ Underwear _ overalls children's 155.8 130.6 126.8 148.3 _ ... _ _ Furniture QUOTATIONS): copper- Domestic Straits M. J. . _ __ _.. including Socks Floor Electrolytic Export (E. & _ .. neckwear and and Infants' $40.83 ... _ Shoes BIETAL _ ____ Shoes Feb. .... _ _ Clothing, lb.) _ apparel— Shirts PRICES: _ __ Underwear 3 L __ — _ _ Hosiery Feb. COMPOSITE __ brassieres. _ Shoes 5,412,361 BRAD- INC. . housedresses. and .. Hats IRON __ Underwear kwh.) (COMMERCIAL comfortables _ Furs Men's FAILURES _ apparel— Aprons EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: 000 __ goods I Hosiery Corsets (in _ Sheets SYS¬ RESERVE AVERAGE=100 "'Electric output silks Domestics— Blankets ■' 4 SALES Jan. 29 Jan. 29 j. STORE TEM— 1935-39 and Woolens coal Pennsylvania Beehive Rayons BUREAU OF MINES): on the producers' quotations. SBased carload lot packed coibourne, N.S. U.S. quotation. on in 2.215% {Based on platers' quotations. cases, duty included. the 2.154% average of UDomestic, five f.o.b. New York. 38 (690) both tween Basic Aims of parties. But the on Thursday, February 10, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & COMMERCIAL THE . great issues which divide us from without and credit. regard political to And by that I do not mean went back of old the to gold basis, that it represents 50.1% outstanding Federal Re¬ except tne badlythere can be no supporting half-baked, There can be urawn laws or evil inventions liRe serve notes and Federal Reserve the Murray-Wagner-Dingell Bill deposits, and the total reserve compromise with waste. Theresuch can be no compromise with;in-; which would reduce our doctors that must be held against to government servitude. I pro¬ notes and deposits is 25%, so that competence. There can be no compromise pose that, opposing every totali¬ there would be only $12 billion with efforts which would aban¬ tarian device, we fight ever to en¬ in available gold to meet the $6 J don us to the tyranny of the few, large the area of human freedom. billion, presuming that it might whether within or without gov¬ That is the historic role of the be presented by the holders for ernment. There can be no com¬ party of Lincoln, in honor of gold. Democrats, the honest compromise. Republican Party (Continued from page 14) closer In into little a orbit. Communist the short than three more the fruits of the most glo¬ victory for freedom in the history of the world have been turned to bitter ashes by the in¬ years, rious competence of this Administration. Similar at is to be left in the hands of this Ad¬ home if perils threaten social our us progress ministration. You know, it is a curious thing' that the same objectives of full employment and social security are claimed as their purpose by both political parties in America, both the Socialist and non- by petence and skill in the fine art of government can we make progress which will not break the backs of our people with taxes. We are trying to make progress under a government that does not to realize that the American seem people are entitled to spend their own earnings to the limit possi¬ ble—instead of having them taken away by government to be squan¬ dered on sheer incompetence. There are Europe, and were claimed by ern the Hitler Government. radical and the slaves with chains around their minds and clanking on their ing as Others *are heels. with men their their minds all with and soul our souls that I mean a system under which man is free to work at the kind of a job he wants—a and skill and unfettered to and slavery lies in how advance toward your goals, job which fits his own a job or wants—free business—free to start create—free to intend lead to where into us everything system a gets from man cradle tunities a citizens—not its a of life in which the individ¬ ual lives to serve as a cog in the way to grave is doled out to This is by a ruling political clique.- machine of government. I see nothing in the program of the heart of our political faith. It this Administration to lead any¬ is the thing this present Admin¬ istration does not believe in, as one to believe that they desire to him avoid kind the home your nation of or your job, where your right their education, or even to a bread card or a pair of shoes all depend government. That is the •*.' great fundamental difference between the Democratic the Republican parties. and Aims to Be Achieved Our and in social believe it can we be achieved under a flour¬ ishing, competitive system of pri¬ vate enterprise where every hu¬ only right is expanded. man We are utterly opposed to tyranny in any form, whether by business, fi¬ labor nance, We or government. opposed to delivering are the nation into the hands of group who will have the any power to tell the American people whether they may ter or As have food or fuel, shel¬ jobs. fight for the view that government must protect the lib¬ erty and security of our people, we should fight also the view that any of these fundamental rights flow from the bounty of any po¬ litical clique or party which hap¬ pens to control government at the we moment. We and know believe that we for the advances of social only through more effi¬ cient, more economical and better managed government. That is an idea that has been completely for¬ gotten in our Federal bureaucracy for a great many years. It is the kind of government that nobody under 30 years of age can even can pay progress remember Yet, in United trying we are make the those as a advances nation to a political spoils system which has grown ally and out fantastic¬ spread in all directions. There is enough demonstrable to pay TrO for that all of the social ad¬ proposed by our were Again, let me be exact and spe¬ cific. The President has asked the Congress for the right to take steps which would lead toward of various in¬ the is That to route have to to get see industries. the nationalized Nazi Ger¬ should But same. did nations Other many. So doing are follow we Right States today, in the United now, have 7% we world. Yet, we are free system kind or about one- in the making by the steel of every of all the people fifteenth than more all other' nations the of the world put together. We are making by the free system more automobiles than all the other na-! tions the of have We world put together. telephones—and more almost everything else by the free system than all the other nations in the world put' together. And yet, this present demo¬ cratic Administration wants to the techniques of all the na¬ They talk copy tions that have failed. nationalizing. Well, that's like putting just one drop of strychnine in a glass of perfectly good milk. It's good milk until you put in the drop of strychnine and from then on none about just that of it is any good. Who is going to borrow or to start a $1,000, $1,000 from his uncle save a little business, a filling station, or or build anything else, if he knows that government may build one free, and across the street, tax him out of business? run Belief in Social We believe achieving it by trying to down to Progress everlastingly in There are are many in fires of direc¬ build for we human liberty and un¬ leadership won vic¬ tories which will resound through¬ out all history. cause - his wise is time It historic returned we role. The to world our is in desperate need of stration of faith that free systems their hering faithfully to the principles security, and for their for their comfort individual oppor¬ tunity. v better than slave systems. Ad¬ are repeatedly stated in let I propose that we support every which us party behalf these ends, regardless of its origin, where. in progress human of platform, again—the our forward move of achieve will fresh demon¬ a America freedom in every¬ as And we believe in free men and not copy many areas areas of com¬ There of agreement be¬ fair chance to take and whether should back go standard the gold face the on knowing we possibility of having to meet such a, situation. Under normal condi¬ tions if there are any such — things as presume normal conditions — I that would be a justifi¬ could able chance to take and we do those much too without so But anxiety. going advocate who back on the gold standard imme¬ diately admit that it would not be wise to do Are if so at we question and war. is There . no not at are engaged in "cold" war, and we called at were we war? about it; what is not a are we "cold" war but we are in what might be called a semi- Constitutional Check on Tax Powei (Continued from first page) taxation is due to number a of ''First, the loss of political by that fraction of the power population which carries the jor portion the of ma¬ burden. Although exact figures are diffi¬ cult to obtain, it is probably true that the half topmost 5% the total of lor accounts payers tax¬ our than more the of revenues Federal Government. "A corollary is the shift of con¬ trolling p o 1 i t i c a 1 power from those who those direct pay who pay taxes to second A none. corollary is the great increase in the political power of those who job-holders, vet¬ erans, farmers, the aged and the ill, and the unemployed far out¬ number the them. of taxpayers other In based power one mate group in and decade to our econ¬ structures. concept of the new the during half. a last Consti¬ The stipulates that the govern¬ have power to levy taxes in order to meet its neces¬ sary costs. taxes as a Our founders regarded of source embellished by revenue un- number of our taxation as today regards instrument an equalizing incomes, controlling inflation, a means the social revolution which under fellows who spark our progress. " "(2) Their rewards position must be and their safeguarded against the punitive and destruc¬ tive inroads of welfare state. a war. Why? Because subversive forces have been infiltrating into our country for years, and they have held kev positions in our govern¬ They are in the churches. in the unions. They are in the universities. They are in innumerable social organizations. They are What is their purpose? Their is to destroy the private enterprise system and to destroy our form of government. How do they work? They work underhandedly and in ways that are ruthless. As I recall it, in 1932 purpose when' 1933 and "(3) Some upper limit shoulc be imposed by constitutional amendment, if practicable, on the the tax to which individuals and gathered to porations be subjected. may the Sixteenth Amendment cor¬ that I heard outsicie When would be¬ When was exceed 5% of a "Let Congress now such 50% in time of vyar. run they was in here place an a tax, not When New their currency, and store many, of plain justice and national vitality, Congress should alsc fusion est abolish double the taxation stockholders and corporate limit on corporate taxes. "As a salutary of place corollary, sary to all citizens compelled vote who to pay should income some, sible caused for by subversive impos¬ so, that is, the it absolutely them do to little a - question is, the United are we States justified America of in going back to the today coin standard when forces that against tax, however small." in Ger¬ will find the con¬ stability except for , The in you made to hold as be too, forces time. income taxes are neces¬ support the government, as look at France and they have tried to re¬ you how see In the inter¬ long time where bank?" come. a that at being made on a. York, men those in the lines and said, "Now, are you ever going man's in¬ to put any more money in a a went up to preposterous the sugges¬ that the income tax might ever meeting figure out how they develop runs on banks. ing debated in the Senate, Borah tion about on runs one Detroit of held as had we banks, they had Bank we gold have these exercised being are us, that can develop their methods confusion through false title of progress is now (Continued from page 5) mand payment ately. In of the is individualism collectivism. record shows the The that our the from and due to pose we excep¬ in derived woman prospect of fame, gifted citizens, fired the is our of growing youngsters. this own full talented exploitation members of by they were permitted to keep, that accounts great rewards, the American exert supremacy society and the appeal other which current upon of power¬ which these. shores the less fortunate in parts" of the world. "If the $84 billion amount to na¬ realized in varying degrees by thousands of amibition have American prospect, more we great of wealth and power. "This And and take progress has been the stimulation which the man and the if they holders could demand gold exaltation concept of tional tional currency, deposits. So altogether there is about $167 billion that could be demanded in gold very soon. But let's cut that down repudiation and these them immedi¬ have $28 billion we outstanding in demand taxation on » addition, chose. new induce Inopportune United States. "Implicit in this misunderstanding, that might the holders of $67 billion in bonds, currency and deposits to apply for gold? That is the question. I feel quite certain that Return to Gold taking place in England and the for the small for of a method for maintaining full employment and, finally, as a tool for stabilizing the business cycle. These neo-liberal concepts are an essential part of our sheet, that of civil a and "Government of genius ideological any frills. the balance and energy to another with¬ shall ment American only ment. "(1) We must recognize as the most important asset in the in time of peace or which has prevailed Washington our to exceed 25% political "Second, the tax function in on regard for the ulti¬ our changes must be effected concept of taxation. absolute limit consequences and pay society is to be preserved, radical assets 'shift to used too much who words, political a straight count on is votes ful government. a we peace, 'y:- ■ question is whether that is The tonight. struggle to advance the a of meet we formed in the hot the betterment of the whole Amer¬ "It so¬ serfdom. promise we and' keep that in memory Our party was ican people, through every legiti¬ mate device of government for little a party a tution them down that trail? Let's see. all the nations which have dragged great peoples I propose omy Russia "has Soviet her district leader your job. a ting the executive and legislative branches of government in Re¬ publican hands. Meanwhile we can fight for part of it, at least, while in the opposition. degree of com¬ as ahead steadfastly tion. tyranny, in which all employment from government and yous out a that faces whose der presented. our them flows party platform. We will only get rid of that waste, finally, by get¬ a new are propose turn from cial progress. Only with they I be the guise in which may "Government waste in this Federal Government vances silky receive part or all of their income from the State. Industries States. under prove. programs Opposes Nationalization of dustries. believes party progress and programs the nationalization Under Competitive System , legislative their tax to on talitarianism; however smooth and to all of to¬ to factors," Lawrence said. benefit society you use of his talents— whether you go forward under a and free to keep enough of the free system or march on the proceeds to provide incentive to treadmill of a slave system. others to go and do likewise. I see nothing in the program I mean a way of life under advanced by the Democrats which which government exists to pro¬ is opposed to the belief that they tect the rights and equal oppor¬ produce—free by the ablest of say me talent—to seek he by govern¬ use instruments the of quit one—free to seek the edu¬ cation between promise with the ment proposition And since that word is so much abused, let free difference whole freedom us as by the State. The that basic issue be¬ is that we believe with our high going heads and all or group. A pressure tween this over in scheme unsound win to order party and the our hearts in human freedom. Everybody claims to be going to same place. But some are go¬ . differences be¬ Demo^ crats. They are willing, for po¬ litical reasons, to play with any tween Socialist Governments of Europe, by the Communist nations of East¬ more no only the E Bonds which $32 billion. Then sup¬ add half of the $28 billion outstanding, or $14 currency billion, and suppose we take onequarter of the $84 billion out¬ standing demand deposits because the corporations own an impor¬ tant part of this'total; that would $67 billion in the hands of subversive people emergency inclined to who, in case of an or anxiety, might be demand gold." question is, what have we in gold to meet such a demand? Our government has $24 billion in gold, of which about a billion The is free but the rest is represented by gold certificates held Federal Reserve System. dynamic quality of our .billion would be by the This $24 available if we be the United States go on the old form of gold standard. But the Com¬ mittee to see believe not does should do that we at the moment. This so Committee, however, is one of the committees my of this Chamber, experience has told the members who are on is It men. this of Chamber are intelligent firm -conviction, my regardless that therefore, and that me committees its patriotic, Wonderfully of whether the members of the com¬ mittee are Finance on they Currency be new men who may may in come later time and peace right seems' in serve when toward reached able to that committee, the and present members or whether leave the would forces pleased much very the that on have we and and interest when desir¬ of our country, the committee will of its own volition decide to recommend to you ferent than that we go back to a dif¬ character we are on of gold standard at the moment. Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE dollar Why Shonld Ik (Continued from to 4) page for employing capital aggres¬ sively. Many such funds, over a span of have capital of shareholders by an amount equal to, or greater than the increase in living costs in those years. They have produced regular quarterly income averag¬ ing 3%, or 4% or 5% or more, on capital invested—depending upon the particular investment fund's income objectives.' This is what aggressive ' use " of capital has years, their meant for thousands this to mutual of re¬ subject again:''There is another bit of background that I believe will interest you—the implications—for you— of the ageing of our population. Advances in medical science, in sanitation, in / living Ui standards during the past half century, and especially during the past 20 years, have increased the life span of the average American by onethird. The child born today has some child born 1900 had 67 years. life a pectancy just short of 50 For' and bracket 35 ex¬ years. the age in women to life The a 44 years, today's 1,000 of population death rate per is around 5; in it 1900 In 10. was the 1,000; now it is 16 per 1,000. '■Now, the man of* 40 can look forward to living 33 more years— if his life span is average. The of man 50 has 25 "to go." The man of 60 can expect to live to 78. Have you placed yourself in this picture? And if these are married But concerned are for. At 2% pounded that on of the average, out¬ women same by about age of per¬ called dollar a 14 years./ cost of the increasing mutual desirable fund and This modern together active more planning of old that -1945 as about dependent Or needs out of is the savings -subsistence. by an of average 4%, I've last one the recently life. of segment added And things of Both the accumulation sonal wealth and the and useful of What are were that like. I where know out of five want to you place yourself in this picture, but let me go on. Government . social security payments—for those covered un¬ der this program — contribute somewhat. toward tht financial heeds of retirement years. But involved amounts the modest in¬ are deed, in the light of current-day living costs. If you've been "'covered'-, under social security for 40 "65, under years, ments $84 arrive at age benefit pay¬ you'll get no more than month. That's absolute per for 'And most of Not .. and current /maximum tate so a and man wife. here will get less. us many ago, years an es¬ retirement fund of $30,000 or would have provided $3,000 annu¬ ally for 12 assuming a re¬ gradual exhaus¬ tion of the principal over the 12year period. Today, to provide a turn of years, 4% and , similar standard of living,,-at least $5,000 annually would be required. And- return to 2%-2y2%; Thus, the 000 estate only i the on This is the of not now ^last" for than six years. more conservative a $30,- same measure extent financial needs would little a principal involved would be closer amount to to which personal planning for the future be forget absorb large part expanded. / And let's that because of the than adequate even were costs at the levels of the Here again, solutions are cult ones to are perceive. a The living 1930's. diffi¬ obvious greater personal effort started by saying I'd discuss. It is not that the mutual fund, as an s be investment .afield tjhat I institution, is new. In one form or another—here and abroad—it has existed for over the of surge funds profits. is public has 100 years. a in interest recent of But mutual origin. invested The than more r income taxes.; During the billion dollars in this type of fi¬ 1920's, the maximum normal nancial institution in the pas' tax rate was 5% and the maxi¬ eight years. And I believe this if mum surtax rate 20%, the latter only the beginning. The powerful applying to taxable income in ex¬ forces influencing our persona cess of $100,000. Basic exemp¬ financial lives—which I have dis¬ late tions higher than presently.' cussed briefly—may be one of the Until the 1930's, dividend income things that has made hundreds ol was altogether exempt from taxa¬ thousands of people stockholders were tion. in But there is no point in being nostalgic about the days when one could keep most of what one forces made. earned or is with The hard these viduals Let fact fund funds—even did if the me Out sour. recognize not mortgage turns a the of earnings they receive on their investments, they likewise set aside amounts for the same For reserve. that reasor they cannot pay out all they for accounts small rate bank deposits rate and interest of computations savings on moderate the which on earn relatively included contract is ance the return of in the insur¬ an based. of any its shareholders. process of putting money work in a mutual investment to company does posit" a or not involve contract. the It "de¬ requires except perhaps government bonds. cash anc The value o the mutual investment company'.1 shares fluctuate, day by day, ill changes in value accordance with of the company's times this value the cost the of investments. A< be less than may shares the to vestor, and at other times, tain profits most It ticipation profits in and for the its capital, in¬ more companies. Ordinarily, al" profits on security holdingf paid the form of- shareholders to selves tions the risk of fluctua¬ assume the in value was and the of com¬ investments. This is re¬ flected in the value of their While their operations and the regulation of their operations similar in many details, ties offered by savings obviously serve dif¬ The individual companies purposes. probably should take of all three. He canrtl and can ir "capital gain') divi¬ previously observed insurance companies are the facili¬ banks, in¬ companies and investment surance place part of his savings in banks for a/ "basic reserve." He can buy insurance for family protec¬ tion. He investment own can shares either for general estate-building purposes or more company specifically for .combating the ef¬ fects of recent trends in American life which, pose as have seen, im¬ we the prudent man what a compulsion to use upon Clifford Grischy Joins Field, Richards & Co. (Special to H. Chronicle) Financial The OHIO—Clifford CINCINNATI, banks par¬ income pany's dends. As and opportunity to enlarge shareholders them¬ capital aggressively. also re¬ from investments of the company quarterly dividends on the shares usually at a rate greater than i.f paid by savings banks or insur¬ are not In return for full and direct is well-nigh net does income for itself. or Income is received in the form o^ Grischy has become associated limited in the kind of invest¬ are ments they may make. By investment companies trast, con¬ car invest in bonds with higher yields than those which are "eligible' for bank invest investment. in banks tent). to Of very that income the invesJ may thus and large industrial, road companies. ex¬ exclusively or stocks share which companie; company substantially to ca»* limited three, only a the investment common (and insurance but may, do not may life some They preferred shares which these is, in terms that are familiar and, more importantly, in on major exchanges and nothing more, take tell you what a mutual or income excess shares. The indi¬ such. as instance, when ance in1 the In this century, lyl3, there were no per¬ in the ir under¬ profits of utility and rail¬ /////;%//■/ It is to be noter from '• ■'J". 'Z* ; Clifford H. Grischy stock common investments not only is more lib¬ with eral than Central Field, Richards & Co., Union Building. Mr. Grischy ever-present creditor for most of terms that will be familiar to the investments, but usually increases was formerly a partner in Horan us, it is far more difficult for an in times of high living costs. average person. Everyone knows, This & Grischy and prior thereto was individual to accumulate wealth" when he deposits money in a sav¬ is because corporation earnings with Edward Brockhaus & Co. than it used to be. ings bank, that he can expect to are likely to be good then, too. David Weinig has also been that Uncle Sam now an And because of recent trends in • to you get back the lars, country, the constructive employ¬ est rate of interest will be ment of more difficult too. wealth feasible for abreast in our trends. leaves and many It is most of us ways own of the bank for When longer no to keep business developments of nothing is in communities, to say national business demand, and that on of the money. use is written, the insuring company obligates itself to number of his or a to the dollars beneficiaries observation. For this and prudent investment reason of could means for the personal funds be "watched")' are for most people a less than satis¬ factory way to put money to work today. '/.* Under not the circumstances surprising it is that people have securities for the in¬ to of funds. Present tax laws alone point in this direction, for profits other - treated insured in exchange Modern living somehow for the payment of specified less time for such study •premiums to the company.* others, local real estate, mort¬ gages, small business enterprises and the like, once regarded as a (they specified pay their of Because dollar-for- and proper contract on capital more ordinary securities—as transactions — on are kindly taxwise thar of income. sources *The of terms calculated are (1) The these on insured insurance an is specified number of contract assumptions: live for a likely which of (less the end of the contracts all include based are on indicated by during these years insurance the company will the necessary of the will that his not interest all beneficiaries amount of all formula, it will be to income, is de¬ com¬ receive its that these monies premiums pay above insurance in he outstanding acquire is may feature. It car take advantage of the opportuni¬ ties to increase capital that are provided by the long-term trend in stock values, by up¬ swings in the business cycle, by changes in the fortunes of indi¬ common vidual This industries is and "aggressive" of produce while the the "betting" tha* premiums, and will receive the insurance anyway. the to Financial The ILL. CHICAGO, — Chronicle) Lorraine B. Perrin is with Blunt Ellis & Sim¬ mons, 208 South La Salle Street, members of the New York and Stock Exchanges. Miss Perrin was previously with Wal¬ Chicago ter J. Fitzgerald & C.o. cap¬ Two With A. G. Edwards ital. You funds may ask are so why—if mutual desirable — you haven't heard about them before or Blunt Ellis Adds (Special companies use haven't them. heard The more activities of about these as essentials In effect, the is "betting" that it premiums called for and perhaps more, and payer its it the scribed. employ investments period. Many insurance savings programs but the to of funds are carefully regulated un¬ der Federal and State laws—just pany able flexibility afforded the in¬ vestment company as to the kind years, as operating expenses and reserves), plus compound interest on the premiums, will equal the face amount of the insurance at The to mortality tables; (2) he will pay insurance premiums; (3) total added to the firm's staff. Flexibility mod¬ a paid by life insurance a that from bank-quality number of dol¬ same the social and economic life of the turned less Funds All more important is the Federal taxation of in¬ of vestment today be Mutual Probably effect the would otherwise thai on The remarkable growth of mu¬ tual funds is the new development saved. tendency for people to live longer, $30,000 might income for the investment to grow. ex¬ which of one of any and it the only is ity for the original capital invest¬ children, leis¬ funds these other is unique in that ment and household these institutions, it their investments and all advantage on the com¬ If use. pany—usually securities listed return for fixed, a (after ex¬ they make a profit penses). The investment com¬ on their investments, the profit h pany, on the other hand, passes put into a reserve to "make good" all net security profits and all the occasional losses incurred—for income (after expenses) along to put to more building at paratively low rate of return. They assume all investment risks and retain any profits made from ferent But it does exchange of money holder becomes—in effect—a pari owner of the assets of the com¬ or of "use" in the purchase of 'shares of the in-, vestment company. The share¬ tions which affords the opportun¬ clothing, better housing, work-savers, a car, an more rates companies ance principal 01 or banks and insur¬ offer safety of summary, fi¬ of these personal-service financial institu¬ "necessities"— now company association. than payers, they hope to get back the same number of dollars they have In his financial problems, than the savings bank higher capital "lux¬ once loan offer per¬ of — of mutual n Summary is large personal insurance safeguarding employment fund mutual more and such wealth have become progressively more difficult in the past several sonal one day keeping and however company, is complete solution to current- a any on household help. family or friends, or public charity. Only not It only natural, therefore, that their investing consist largely of lending money —on real estate mortgages, mort¬ fi¬ formally, investment the mean com¬ personal conservative plans, The 01 word investment small his funds. complexities don't I getting as rn self-dependent on account of -pensions, investments and the nancial more. background to fill in—a con¬ individual, howevei any ambitious or more 5% or means and place in a reach of annually, while produc¬ ing regular q u a r t erl y income or has pany than 5% averaging 3%, a nancial planning. It brings sound and informed investing within the —increased capital of their share¬ prior •was structively, the a plan¬ said earlier, many mutual funds have—over a span of years holders refrain—as my. wealth, p.rud e n 11 y bank has company, vestments. This both for. accumulating a personal estate and for employing such vehicle. I 65 years of age was One out of four had to work for /-Again, ning for the future. two on most individuals? practical,' a personal financial and every handling legal affairs or the diag¬ nosis,,and'.cure of their physical investing institution, insurance and come private on financial imperative. As re¬ it was estimated one •persons over ambitious more the is age cently and for a less than the of their return, prudent with place in income education for one's living, and it is clear that i t i e s requires degree of "special¬ s e c u r no atio apprec i funds. primary emphasis on preserving the value of their in¬ government and of corporations Like their depositors or premium ■ For their gage bonds and other bonds of the vesting in bill invest for ization" Increas¬ The list could be more years of life ure time. considerably higher annual panded almost indefinitely. a applicable companies 39 with is their realization that in¬ training and com-" Combine , with many, will double in interest taxed at half are ordinarily with the maximum rate 25%. The stumbling block here, interest compounded annually, Qf their wives, they must face the men use likewise months, rate ing the rate" of return on $5,000 infirmities.,;. No one will admit more readily than the wide-awake of savings frofh 2% to 5%, or by $150 annually, provides' the business or professional men, the wnerewitnaL (for a- man of 40 difficulty of keeping abreast of years) to buy almost $6,000 >of ..the fast-moving flow of events in additional "ordinary" life insur¬ his own field. How, then, is one to keep in touch with investment ance, or' about $10,000 of term affairs, which are "foreign" to insurance. - • : - - uries" live is, will double in decades. iact aggressive capital about the future financial security five 'years. • more annuai',v, a dollar 35 years. At 5% years who men than six me obligations, banks and in¬ public surance funds Long-term capital gains, such as profits on securities owned more Personal Capital 1900, mortality among women in age bracket 55-64 was 26 per the future, and for family responsibilites, insurance protection. sonal Own Stocks? 11 More Aggressive Use of As expectancy of men with more financial in for save those increased fund-shareholders. But I shall turn Average Perso e (691) are activities companies and more banks. And it that of the insurance and banking businesses. reason for That the is meyer Sons, The Financial Chronicle) MO.—Charles P. Jr., and Henry F. Stratare with A. G. Edwards & 409 North Eighth Street, members of the New York and St. Louis Stock Exchanges. J. L. Schmitt Forming Firm is of mutual funds is even stringently controlled than full Pettus, to LOUIS, insurance of strange but true that the adver¬ tising (Special ST. a principa1 limited—so far- NEW HAVEN, CONN.—John L. Schmitt is forming Income Funds,-V to engage in a securities business. Mr. Schmitt was formerly asso¬ ciated with Lord, Abbett & Co. 40 »! (692) THE COMMERCIAL Thursday) February 10, 1949 CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & - 111 • Affiliated Fundf Inc. common Proceeds—For investment. Oil Corp., ; Price, j New York Jan. 19 (letter of notification) 1,200,000 shares of common stock (par lc). Underwriter—Atlantic Securities Co., New York. Price—25c share. per leases, properties, drilling, etc. Acquisition of oil stockholders, the rights to subscribe to which have not \ been exercised. Proceeds—The net proceeds are to be applied by company to reduce its outstanding short-term / notes,- the proceeds of which were used for the acquisi¬ tion of property, the construction of facilities, and other American Box Board Co. Jan. 5 filed $5,400,000 15-year 4^4% convertible sink¬ ing fund debentures. Underwriter—Paine, Webbfer, Jack¬ & Curtis. son Proceeds—To pay off a long-term obliga¬ tion and to pay gram to for part of the costs involved in a improve and expand a pulp and paper mill. lawful purposes. pro¬ • American Business Shares, Inc. 2,500,000 shares common stock (par $1), Underwriter—Lord, Abbett & Co., New York. Price, mar¬ ket. Feb. '7 American Light & Traction Co., Chicago Jan. 10 United Light & Railways Co. filed 634,607 shares of, American Light common ($25 par). Underwriter— and expansion March Jan. 31 filed the close of business Feb. 7, (no par) the basis of one share of American Light common for each five shares of United Light common. Rights will expire March 9. of ® Animal one share of stock. common Underwriter—None. Proceeds add equipment and to provide • • stock. V.; Feb. Industrial Loan Corp., « , shares stock. Price—At None. Proceeds—For working capital. par ($10 per share). Chas. a held. ratio Rights of will new stockholders of share expire for each 21. March Jan. common filed 28 Shares, 5,600,000 Inc., (25$ • ■ Duke (2/23) \ - Power ; notes and Inc! to II?!!, ? of the construction program and its subsidiaries/ Offering—Expected of the company about Feb. 23. Proceeds-To finance part * ';"//■ '/://./ / • ' ' ./•/ :.:V ^ reimburse its treasury tor past construe Bids— ^ien expenses* and to* pay- off -bank -borrowings, At 11:30 (EST) on Feb. 15 at office of a.m.- ; Room Central Maine Power Co. company, ferred stockholders have 2199, No. 48 Wall Street, New York, N. Y. — £tock. — „ . . • Feb. George Putnam Fund, Boston, Mass. 7 filed 1,000,000 additional shares of beneficial interest. Good Jan. 31 bonds. Hope Placers, Inc., Boise, Idaho (letter of notification) $40,000 Underwriter—None. Proceeds first mortgage For additional equipment, payroll and Working capital. /Hamilton Fund, Denver, Colo. Jan. 31 filed $4,000,000 periodic investment certificates, series'• H-DA. Underwriter -—Hamilton Management Corp. Oct New York * Boston Private Wires to * Pittsburgh Chicago ( Offices in other. Principal Cities > ' " Harwill, Inc., St.* Charles, Mich. (letter of notification) 125,000 shares of 27 stock Kafka Feb. 3 (Abe) Productions, Inc., Las Vegas, Nevada 99,000 shares of capital ($1 per share). Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For capital to produce motion pictures. (letter of notification) stock. Price—At par Funds, Inc. Custodian Fund Cer¬ tificates of Participation series Bl, 15,000 shares of series B2, 75,000 of series K2, 150,000 shares of series S2 and 30,000 shares of series S3. Underwriter—Keystone Co. of Boston. Proceeds—For investment. Las Vegas (Nov.) Thoroughbred Racing Assp. 500,000 shares 6% cumulative prefprjred stock (par $5) and 500,000 shares common stock (no par). Underwriting—None. Offering—To be sold in units of one share of each at $5 per unit. Proceeds—To purchase land and construct racing plant and for working capital*. Jan. • 25 filed Service, Lyndhurst, N. y.'/*1 (letter of notification) $250,000 6% deferred de¬ certificates. Prices—At par ($1,000 per unit). Proceeds—For working capital of the business for the Liberal Finance Feb. 1 benture purpose of loans. Offering-^Expfccted about Feb. 15, by / company. ^ preemptive rights to purchase However,- company state's that* it believes A........ New England Public Service Co.',! which holds 77.8% of the corporation s credit position and for general corporate the" common stock, will waive its preemptive right to J*fice—The ceiling price will be $5.75, or purchase 219,196 shares of the totial issue, making such ™arl?:et W lower, based bn the closing or last sales on shares available for immediate sale to an underwriter. / ^he. date_of offering, but not below $4.25 per share. Offering—Postponed indefinitely. Company proposes to offer the remaining 6*7,300 shares tQ its other common and to its 6% preferred stockholders Federal Bake Shops, Inc., Davenport, Iowa pursuant to their preemptive rights in the ratio of one Jan. 19 (letter of notification) 12,000 shares ($1 par) share of common stock for each six shares of common capital stock. Price—$6,625 per share. Underwriter— jstock presently held and five shares of common stock Quail & Co., Davenport, la. To pay federal estate and for each six shares of 6% preferred stock. It is proposed state inheritance taxes on the estate of Joseph Hecht. feuch o :,'w:'///:/.' ' ' - ■ ' Farnsworth Television & Radio Carp. Jsfri. 1.2 filed 270,000- shares ($1 par) common stock. Un¬ derwriter The First Guardian SecuritiesCorp., New York.- Proceeds To pay past due debts, to reestablish Jan; vlO (by amendment) 286,496 shares ($10 par) com¬ Offering—Company's common and 6% pre¬ mon stock.' •' Mutual Keystone Custodian competUi^ Wddi^Probable bWders include *hSE? Morgan Stanley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc Shields ^^Z; Kldder, Peabody^k cZ; Stuart & Co. Inc.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp. .Myth & Co., 15. Jan. 24 filed 10,000 shares Keystone stock. : Studios, Inc., N. Y, (letter of notification) 2,941 shares capital stock Fund, Inc. Jan. 24 filed 16,000 shares capital stock (par $1). Under¬ writer—None. Price, market. Proceeds—For investment, filed 24 3 Johnston Co., Charlotte, N. C. (2/15') $40,000,000 first and refunding mortgage bonds,- due 1979! Underwriters—Names to be determined Jan. — Israel-American Production Feb. five Chinchilla Ranch, Bensenville, III. (letter of notification) 290 "mated" pairs of live chinchilla animals, together with warranty contract at $1,000 per pair. Proceeds—For expansion and operating ■ Poison, Mont,! (by amendment) 258,675 shares ($10 par) com* Underwriter Tom G. Taylor & Co., Mis¬ stock. rec¬ 4 ,/ 1, 1954. Price, at par. Proceeds—To supple¬ working capital. Offering—Expected about Feb. 1^ (par $100). Price—$102 per share. Underwriter—None; purchase of stock in a corporation to be organized in the State of Israel, which corporation will operate a motion picture studio in that country, and for purchase of equipment, etc. Offering—Expected about Doerrfeld's expenses. 7 Proceeds—For Underwriter— • ■/■;// Feb. due Feb. Under¬ capital par) of soula, Mont. Price—$10 per share. Proceeds—To erect and operate a bleached sulphate pulp mill with a 200ton per day capacity. Proceeds—For investment. Feb. Feb. mon New York shares '/'/■•■'/■::'/./ Idaho-Montana Pulp & Paper Co., and operation of mining common one W. Washington County, N.Y. (letter of notification) $25,000 4% 5-year notes Nov. 23 Wilmington, Del. 232,520 shares ($13.50 par) common stock. in 28 Corp. Huletts Landing Corp., W. group . finance property additions and betterments;: " Power Cow Co.; • ment com¬ . Dividend \ California Electric Power Co. Jan.. 24 filed 100,000 shares of 5Vz%. convertible pref¬ erence stock, 1949 series; ($20 par). Underwriter—Wil¬ liam R. Staats Co., San Francisco, Calif. Proceeds—To California Electric & Mines — '//';' month. bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston Corp. and Blyth & Co. (jointly); Morgan Stanley & Co., Harriman Ripley & Co., White, Weld & Co. and Shields & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Otis & Co. Proceeds—For construction. ■:/;/ ' Better Babies, Inc., Seattle, Wash. 10,000 shares of $8,156,650 Offering— writing—Unsubscribed shares will be sold at competitive Wilmington, 4 filed (letter of notification) Feb. ord Delaware 31 For development — Offering—To be offered to $20,000,000 15-year sinking fund debentures due Feb. 1, 1964. Underwriters—Eastman, Dillon & Co., New York, will head a group. Price—To be supplied by amendment. Proceeds—To reduce outstanding bank loans maturing over the next several months. Jan. or 1959. Underwriters—Putnam Jan. 31 'filed Price—At Beneficial (2/18) share due Gold Inc., L. I. City (2/18*25) 160,000 shares ($1 par) class A stock. Un¬ Cantor, Fitzgerald & Co., Inc., New York. Price—$3 per share. Proceeds—To develop, exploit and distribute a " television innovation. Expected late this Delaware Power & Light Co., (letter of notification) 5,000 shares of common par ($50 per share). Underwriter— None. Proceeds—To acquire equipment and materials, and for operational expenses. « debentures, Lake Hotelevision, Corp., Seattle, Wash. (letter of notification) 400,000 shares of common Price—25 cents per share. Underwriter — None. Proceeds 31 stock. stock at $50 per Proceeds—To explore ' Nov. 3 filed properties. working capital. Underwriter—None. share). derwriter Cordillera Aviation Dealers Corp., Inc., Los Angeles, Calif. Jap. Light & Power Co. convertible stock. Feb. 3 Price—$100 per unit. To purchase property — about alternative to issue either 163,133 shares common > Price—Par ($1 mining properties. purchasing the unsubscribed deben¬ tures. Proceeds—To be applied to the payment of $2,570,000 of bank borrowings and to future construction outlays. Expected about Feb. 18. 5,000 shares of 6% cumulative participat¬ ing non-convertible preferred stock (par $100) and 1,000 shares of common stock (no par value). Offering—To be publicly offered in units of five shares of preferred stock and an Inc., Fairbanks, Alaska Mines, (letter of notification) 137,150 shares of class A Horwood •, Scranton & Co. and Estabrook & Co. will head Foundation, inc., Buffalo, N. Y. Heteolrcon 27 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of a stock. Price—$1 per share. Underwriter—Charles Warshoff & Co., Newark, N. J. For development of underwriters in filed 3 Expected will be reserved for conversion of debentures into mon •' Jan. 27 Dec. Stockholders will be allowed to purchase, for each eight shares held, either one share of common at $50 or $50 of debentures for $50 in cash. Unsubscribed shares- American Steel & Pump Corp. 3ept. 21 filed 200,000 shares ($2 par) convertible class A *tock. Underwriters—Herrick, Waddell & Reed, Inc. and ■Sills, Minton & Co., Inc. Price—$8 per share. Proceeds „—To retire indebtedness and for working capital. Ex"pected financing plan will be revised. Feb. 3% — - Connecticut on Offering program. 7. None. Offering—The shares will be offered at $12 per share to holders of United Light common of record at Moines, Iowa. Heidelberg Sports Enterprises, Inc., Pittsburgh, Pa. June 25 filed 5,000 shares of class B common stock (par $100). Price*—$100 per share/ Underwriter—None. Pro¬ ceeds— $600,000 to be used for spectator grandstand and balance for related purposes. / (letter of notification) stock and 2,000 shares of class B 4^% Proceeds—For investment. McDermott & Co., Des claims. 1,000 shares of common preferred stock, series A. Price—$100 per share. Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For payment of bank loans, refinancing out¬ standing mortgage bonds, and for cost of construction filed $2.50 cumulative preferred stock, to be sold at $50 per share. Underwriters—Becker & Cownie, Inc., ami Shaw, per, New York • 24 Hawkeye Casualty Co.* Des Moines, Iowa '/ 20 (letter of notification) 4,000 shares of $10 par Jan. 8% preferential dividend common stock. Chenango & Unadi lla Telephone Corp., Norwich, ' Jhn. ISSUE PREVIOUS SINCE subscription rights be negotiable. Underwriter —Company proposes to enter into a contract with an underwriter for the purchase by the underwriter of the shares made available for sale to the public by the waiver by New England Public Service Co. of its pre¬ emptive rights in the proposed issue and in addition, for the purchase by the underwriter at the conclusion of the subscription period of those shares offered to stock (par $1.25). Underwriter—Lord, Abbett & Co., New York. Allied Western ADDITIONS that the Jan. 24 filed 10,000,000 shares market. INDICATES (par $1). Price, par. Bailey & Co., Detroit. To Underwriter pay current chase — common Charles E. liabilities, pur¬ property, building and equipment and for working capital. . Magnia- Copper Co., New York ■ stock. Offering— subscription by stockholders of record one new share for each two shares Jan. 25" filed 204,000 shares of common To be offered for Feb. held. 15 in ratio of about March 8. Lazard Mining Corp. have agreed to purchase any unsubscribed shares, but have no intention of making any public offering thereof. Proceeds—Pro¬ vide funds with which company may increase its in¬ vestment in San Manuel Copper Corp., a subsidiary. » Rights'will ■ expire on or Freres & Co. and Newmont , Major Television Corp., New York (2/15) Jan. 28 (letter of notification) 299,600 shares of common stock (par 25$). Underwriter—Mencher & .Co., New York. Price—$1 per share. To finance manufacture and sale of television receivers and cathode ray tubes. , Volume 169 Number 4776 (693) share). Underwriter—None. Proceeds—To develop mining claims and furnish funds for supplies, material shares of remaining 106,808 shares not taken Proceeds—For general funds. per February Texas & Pacific Ry., Virginian Ry., 11 10, (EST)____Equip. Trust Ctfs. February Duke^Power Co., 11:30 15, 1949 Debentures ..Common Stock Monongahela Power Co., noon February Bonds February 18, held. 23, • Northern Pacific Ry., noon > ■: Dec. 1949 *7 ,,Northern States Power Co.... ______Bonds 8, 1949 9, 1949 1 March 710, \ Bonds New •<•. sold to 31,500 shares (100 par) public at $3 per share;1/ to trade: accounts; 27,500 a stockholder at 1949 • Providence Baseball stock. England Tel. & Tel. Co None. .Debentures Proceeds—To operate the franchise of profes¬ a sional club. March Staten Island Edison 24, 1949 Service Co. of North Carolina, Inc. Jan. 24 (letter of notification) $135,000 5% general mort¬ gage bonds, due Dec. 1, 1951, with common stock pur¬ ...Preferred chase warrant attached • Massachusetts Feb 3 filed Investors 1,301,298 additional shares of beneficial in¬ terest. ,-*:v Mid-Continent Jan. 20 To be sold underwriting. • Minnesota Jan. Airlines, Inc., Kansas City, (letter of notification) stock. No entitling the holder of each $1.purchase 10 shares ..of common stock at $20 Underwriter—W. L. Canady & Co., Inc., New York. Price—Expected at par. Proceeds—To reimburse the Treasury, in part, for past outlays for construction Trust, Boston, Mass. 27 (letter common stock. 13,273 shares of Mo. & 59,090 shares "Underwriter — None. ,r.. Proceeds 77'/ - , \7/,. — (no par) Jan. 28 filed to be bonds, due through Feb. 1979. None. porate Monarch Machine Tool Co. Eberstadt common of common stock to be sold to West Penn Electric Co. (parent). Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Inc.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce Fenner & Beane and Hallgarten & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lazard Freres (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; Lehman Brothers; Salomon Bros. & Hutznoon Bids—Bids for the bonds will be received up to 12 (EST) on Feb. 15 at office of company, Room 901, No. 50 Broad Street, New York, N. Y. National Battery Co. July 14 filed 65,000 shares ($50 par) ferred stock. Price and dividend, V convertible • Nevada by amendment. Un¬ Stewart Mining Co., Spokane, Wash. notification) 200,000 shares of non¬ assessable capital stock. Price—At about market (200 31 (letter of purposes. retire bank loans and for expansion purposes. Dec. filed 16 Union Gas 107,430 Co., shares Dallas, Tex. ($1 par) common outstanding stock of basis of one new share for each 10 held, plus the privilege of subscribing for addi¬ tional shares not purchased by other stockholders. Under¬ record Jan. 3, on shares Proceeds—For ments. ® construction and better¬ • Southwestern Public Service Co., Dallas, Texas Feb. 3 filed 112,486 shares of common stock be offered for each to stockholders 11 at the rate of (par $1). To new share one shares held. Price—By amendment. .Under¬ & Co. Inc. will head a group to purchase the unsubscribed shares. Proceeds—For con¬ writer—Dillon, Read struction and to repay bank loans. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Feb. 9 it was reported that the matter of a stock offering- be considered may Standard Feb. 1 stock. Printing Co., Louisville, Ky. (letter of notification) 5,000 shares of Price—$35 ceeds—To per increase share. common Underwriter—None. Pro¬ working capital. & Western . Air, Inc. (owner of 74% of outstanding shares) will exercise sub¬ scription rights to purchase 297,304 shares. Rights are —Merrill group to expire on or about March v ' •» " •' " » 1 meeting scheduled for '■ / ! ; 7' ■ ' S < ■ . ' . • Artloom Carpet Co., Inc. March 15, stockholders will vote 15-year 4% on issuance of promissory notes. V* ■ k $2,300,- Proceeds to repay outstanding notes and for modernization of plant, • Central Maine Power j.7 Co., Augusta, Me. o Feb. 1 asked SEC permission to sell competitively $5,~ 000,000 of first and general mortgage bonds, series R, due 1979. Proceeds would be used to reduce outstanding short-term notes. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Coffin & Burr, Inc. and The First Boston Corp. (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co.^Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fen¬ & ner & Beane and Co.;Otis & Co. White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Offering expected in March. Shields • Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. " /7'! *7 1 reported planning sale of an additional block of equipment trust certificates early in March. Probablo bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly) Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Feb. Columbia Gas System, Inc. 7 asked SEC permission to sell competitively $20,000,000 25-year debentures, due 1974. Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Mer¬ rill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and White, Weld1 & Feb. (pointly); Lehman Brothers, Goldman, Sachs & Co. Union Securities Corp. (jointly); The First Bostdit' Corp. Proceeds are to be used to finance part of the 1949 and construction program. It is contemplated that competi¬ tive bids for the debentures will be opened on or about March 15. Columbia Gas System, Inc. anticipated that subse¬ quent to the sale of $20,000,000 of new debentures, com¬ pany the 2. Underwriter Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, will head a of underwriters .purchasing any unsubscribed announced that it is was will sell additional securities in order to provide funds required in connection with its remaining 1949 construction program. • Delaware & Hudson RR. Corp. (3/3) Feb. 1 company asked authority of ICC to issue $4,800,000 of equipment certificates to help finance the purchase "of: 29 diesel locomotives and 600 freight cars which are ex¬ pected to cost $6,492,925. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman Ripley & Co. Co. and Lehman (Inc.). March Date Brothers for (jointly); Harris Hall & opening bids expected to be 3. Delaware Power & Light Co., Wilmington, Del. 9 company advised SEC of a plan to increase the authorized preferred stock from 100;000 to 200,000 shares and to increase the amount of unsecured debt by $10,- 000,000. Jan. 28 filed 404,112 shs. ($5 par) com. stock. Offering— to be offered stockholders of record Feb. 16 at rate of one-fifth new share for each share held. Hughes Tool Co. expected directors' y * ■' Feb. Taylor Food Co., Raleigh, N. C. Dec. 17 (letter of notification) 17,000 shares ($1 par) common stock, of which 7,000 shares would be sold at $1.12Ms and 10,000 shares at $1 per share. Underwriter— Griffin & Vaden, Inc., Raleigh-, N. C. For additional working capital. Transcontinental at Feb. 16. 1 • • ; Prospective Offerings | • Feb 7 it stock. Offering—To be made to holders of • * notes; refund 3V2% first mortgage bonds due 1954 and short-term promissory note. * • Southern ' - ■ Co. ' , , Light Co., Cambridge, Mass. pay • pre¬ derwriters—Goldman, Sachs & Co., New York; Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood, Minneapolis. - Proceeds—To retire $3,000,000 of bank loans and general corporate purpose! Temporarily deferred. Jan. Expected Finance (J. B.), Inc., Franklin, Tenn. Jan. 24 (letter of notification) $250,000 6% 10-year sink¬ ing fund debentures and 5,000 shares (no par) capital stock to be sold at $10 per share. No underwriting. To Co. ler. bank borrowings. 7'77'7/1 & Monongahela Power Co. (2/15) Jan. 18 filed $6,000,000 30-year first mortgage bonds to be! sold through competitive bidding and 67,000 shares - of Co., Los Angeles, Calif. (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of common (par $1). Price—$16 per share. Underwriter— Proceeds—For working capital and general cor¬ writing—None. stock (no par) Co., Inc. and Prescott. Hawley, Shepard & Co., Inc. Proceeds—Stock being sold by certain stockholders.; Offering indefinitely postponed. Underwriters—F. retirement 15. Sedberry Expected about March 7. Mississippi Chemical Corp., Jackson, Miss. Jan. 3 filed 1,200,000 shares common stock (par $5), No underwriting. Offering—Of the total 660,000 shares are subject to delivery under the stock subscriptions now ex¬ istent. Price—$5 per share. Proceeds — To construct ammonia plant. 4 stock com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Shields & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Halsey; Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; Otis & Co. Proceeds—For con¬ struction or to pay off short-term bank borrowings. Sept. 13 filed 26,000 shares of the and Seaboard (3/7) determined filed 30 .about Feb. • $4,000,000 first mortgage Underwriters—Names tion For construction and 7/ ;7 •7/':7 Minnesota Power & Light Co. additions to facilities. Light & Power Co. (2/15) $7,500,000 first mortgage bonds, series C, due 1978. Underwriting—Names will be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Harriman Ripley & Co., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Carl M. Loeb, Rhoades & Co. Proceeds—For construc¬ To be sold to stockholders of record Feb. other purposes. and Rockland 3, 1949. American Power & Light Co. will exercise its right to purchase 50,000 shares. Price—$21 per share. . share. Dec. Light Co., Duluth, Minn. of notification) bond to per common to employees. Price—$6 per share. For additional working capital. Power 000 unit, consisting of one share of Proceeds—To investigate the product and to pay ex¬ .Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co., Proceeds —^ To prepay short-term, 000 of Public Corp pre¬ stock of •series Expected about Club, Inc., Providence,R.I. (letter of notification) 7,500 shares of common Price—At par ($10 per share). Underwriter— 7 per 6% common 'Jan. 26 filed $2r150,000 first mortgage sinking fund bonds, A due 1969. Underwriters—Names to be deter¬ mined- through i competitive: bidding. Probable bidders: $3 share each. Underwriting— Proceeds—For purchase of equipment working capital. shares 1,500 and 3,000 shares of Underwriter—None, in units of ofie and (letter of notification) Worcester Gas - V/? • offered Feb. 22, 1. By amendment. 1949 Corp March be , Corp., Los Angeles, Calif. practicability of a new board penses of incorporation. Playboy Motor Car Corp., Tonawanda, N. Y. 29 filed 1,000,000 shares of class A 20-cent prefer¬ ential dividend series ($3 par) common stock and 1,000,000 shares of class B (50 par) com. stock. Offering—To .Equip. Trust Ctfs. Staten Island Edison to 3 each. Dec. be Southern Ry March stock Wonderwood "(no par). Price—$101 D. C. (3/D ;i-;(letter of notification) 21 (par $1). Price, market investment. ferred stock (par $100) working capital and payment of taxes. Bonds & Preferred March Eugene R. Farny, of Washington, stock common & Co., Inc. • • Feb. writer—Willis E. Burnside & .Bonds March extensions, share and 10,000 options at 10 per share./ Under¬ Co., Inc., New York. For per 1949 Minnesota Power & Light Co. West Penn Power Co... to go shares to he offered shares "tp i)e offered on/behalf of - 7, Proceeds—To Morgan Philippine Mindanao Development Cebu City, Philippine Islands Jan. 5 filed 2,000,000 shares of voting capital stock, on© centavo par value. Price—25 cents per share (U. S. cur¬ rency). Underwriter—F. T. Andrews & Co. Proceeds— To provide funds for plant construction, diamond drill¬ ing, exploration and repayment of loans. 7,7. ! ea^h 10 shares Proceeds—For 40,000 Delaware >& Hudson IRR. Corp, i Equip,: Trust Ctfs.. 'March share for new 7Pepsi-Cola Bottling Co. 1949 (EST)..Equip. Tr. Ctfs. 3, one L. Co., President,, selling stockholder. .Bonds common March None. — 900,000 shares of Wichman (par $25). San Francisco, Calif. 7; (letter of notification) 65,666% shares of common stock (par 10 cents). Price—40 cents per share. Under¬ . ■ stock Pacific Telecoin Corp., . „ filed Proceeds—For Co. Jan. 31 1949 24, the rate of Underwriting—None, writer California Electric Power Co February Electric additions, etc. 1949 Connecticut Light & Power Co..Stock or Debs. Hotelevision, Inc...— Class A Stock February 25 at Feb. (EST)_.Equip. Trust Ctfs. noon & Gas Offering—To be offered at par to stockholders of record -Equip. Trust Ctfs. 24 Underwriter—W. 28 filed 754,038 shares of common Jan. — Wellington Fund, Inc. Jan. 7. Pacific 1949 .. March about Bonds 16, common stock (par $9). Names to be determined through com¬ petitive bidding, Probable bidders include Kidder, Pea¬ body & Co., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane and Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis (jointly). Proceeds— Will go to selling stockholders. Consolidated Electric &. Gas Co. and Middle West Corp. will sell 120,000' shares and 34,000 shares, respectively; Copper Range Co., 34,000 shares and several individual owners 11,200 shares. # 1 Underwriters Union Western RR. (MST) Pennsylvania RR., : (EST) Light & Power Co Denver & Rio Grande Sept. 28 filed 200,000 shares of (jointly); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Merrill/Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Harriman, Ripley & Co. and Securities Corp. (jointly). • Proceeds—For con¬ struction or to pay off temporary borrowings. Expected (EST)_________.Bonds a.m. Major Television Corp Noon (Wis.) (3/7) $10,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1979. Underwriters—Names to be determined through com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Glore, Forgan & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Riter & Co. noon____._Equip. Trust Ctfs. a.m. Upper Peninsula Power Co. Northern States Power Co. Jan. 28 filed Columbia Gas System, Inc Rockland aftd labor. 1949 by stock¬ holders. . NEW ISSUE CALENDAR 41 Proceeds of these issues would be used for plant construction. • Denver & Rio Grande Western RR. (2/16) -i Feb. 1 company asked ICC for authority to issue $6,900,-j 000 of certificates, series N, to help pay for seven diesel; locomotives and 775 freight cars which are expected cost to, bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co..j Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers' (jointly); Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. Hutzler. Bids—At noon (MST) on Feb. 16. S Inc.; • Jan. $9,203,860. Probable Harriman Eastern 28 Gas & Fuel Associates -4 SEC permission to sell com-t petitively $12,000,000 25-year bonds, the proceeds to provide funds for its construction program. Probable company asked (Continued on page 42) 42 Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; White, Weld & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly). SEC hearing scheduled for Feb. 24. Mineral Foote ized 29 25,000 shares to 100,000 shares, Gulf • Gulf 000 Power • end of 1950 to meet the full expenditures in connection with the 1949-1950 construction program. . 28 reported company Electric stock will include Otis & Co. by to Southern will tificates that .considerably obligations in likely buying this, which consideration a could explain partially, at least, the renewed lethargy which ap¬ pears to have issue new developed in the A quick market. check-up indicates, at any rate, that buyers are in no great haste about soaking up the remaining unsold portions of The big Consolidated Edison of York issue still reported is decidedly "sticky" with only about a quarter of the total thus far marketed. The sponsoring recently however, took steps to beat down unfounded re¬ ports that , it was considering marking down the price and has agreed to stand by its agreement. Light, Electric Heat & 3s, of 1979, are still around, along with Public Serv¬ ice Co. of Indiana 3s of 1979, Power and Jersey Central 3H*s, of 1978. equity of¬ ferings it is still possible to obtain the Among Rohm also & the ated Gas recent Haas preferred $4 and of Affili¬ Co., according to market $3 preferred observers.. American Interest Rates Little change from is indicated in conditions right. are to a and refunding bonds for mortgage 30-year- tenders opened on are banking Four to known slated be groups planning be to seek heading aggregations the outcome are should provide a new cue to the ideas of investment will firm The Accordingly it is no surprise of $200 issue new million or either in convertible de¬ or stock, as an early more, bentures use the. funds partially for construction, partial¬ ly to reimburse the treasury for outlays already made and to liquidate existing bank loans. World Fund Approves! !& prospect. But these discussions hold little for interest ties investment it is likely that since Will offered be shareholders on bankers, the securi¬ directly to "rights" basis. a Joining the Parade The of the latest public utility follow through on its announced plans for raising substantial new capital is the Co¬ to companies lumbia Gas System. present lev¬ survey just rates accord¬ West Feb. mortgage ferred tive Co. cer¬ SEC series stock C, at to be sals for Treasury It was stock at 8 8, 1949. Inc. (bonds Probable Spahr only); present the on stated need Monetary proved a the Fund Interna¬ had value, in com¬ premium trans¬ that "The South not of $20 bentures to of South Africa at United on the part of the Dr. States," Spahr con¬ paper dollars by people world. in different parts of the "An excellent example of sound be sold as new under part com¬ of its costs and of new nection 1 value terms of the additional construction purchases in con¬ with an underground gas Further financ¬ un¬ organization of gold, unless a departure therefrom is granted by the Fund authorities. Electric bidders: on or about Halsey, Stuart & Co. Peabody & Co.; Lehman discussion :4;v4, Dr. Walter E. at the Denver Athletic Club. Feb. 15, 1949 (Detroit, Mich.) Detroit Stock Exchange Annual / Dinner at the Hotel Statler. Feb. 15, 1949 (New York City) Stock dam Exchange against Amster-r Exchange in match Stock scheduled for March 5. Feb. 21, 1949 Cashiers Street (New York City) Association Annual Wall of Dinner . the at Roosevelt Hotel. would also be set up for laudable imitation by other na¬ Feb. 21, 1949 (Philadelphia. Pa.) Investment Traders Associaiion tions. This should inspire confi¬ of Philadelphia Annual Mid-Win¬ dence and invite the initiation of money long-term business commitments with favorable effects on produc¬ Dinner ter Franklin the at Benjamin Hotel. . March 8, 1949 (New York City) National Federation of Financial Analysts Societies Second Annual Convention. COMING E VENIS In Investment Field March V ■ 16-17, 1949 (Chicago, 111.) Central States Group of IBA Spring Meeting at Drake Hotel.. * May 18-21 (White Sulphur ' Investment Bankers Association Feb. 11, 1949 (Boston, Mass.) Securities Traders As¬ Annual Dinner at the Boston premium over Feb. 11, 1949 (Pittsburgh, Pa.) the $35 official price, the premium Bond Club of Pittsburgh annual being estimated at $6.50 a fine "Sport Night" Dinner at the Pitts¬ ounce. As South Africa is a mem¬ burgh Athletic Association. to adhere to the established dollar of Penn tinued, "would remove all doubt about the quality of our paper Feb. 21, 1949 (Milwaukee, Wis.)'1 dollars by making them- redeem¬ Milwaukee Bond Club Annual able at a definite rate into gold. Meeting and Election at the Mil¬ It would also prevent violent fluc¬ waukee Athletic Club. tuations in the valuation put on a de¬ bidding petitive ap¬ ber of the 50-nation International million common Tryouts at the New York Chess promptly to sell and buy gold freely at a fixed rate Club for membership on Ameri-r can team to play for New York of $35 per fine ounce. sale in London of 100,000 sociation of alloy gold by the Union Hotel Somerset. der the ing competi- Springs, W. Va.) sion to a through offers ernment per Monetary Fund, it is required cover first pref' new additional The West to Kidder, bilization if the United States Gov¬ says with the Commis¬ prospective offer¬ It filed early this week sold of Brothers; The First Boston Corp.; W .C. Langley & Co.; 100,- sale at $35 that tional ounces be shares sold $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $28.50 per share. Present plan is to reported from Washing¬ Feb, issue to and to ounce. oil (3/8) bids for the bonds and preferred stock upset efforts to¬ ward international monetary sta¬ transaction need not upset propo¬ ton 1950-1959. and to the public holders of outstanding (parent) March at rency estimated premium of $6.50 per ounce. !!'4;:vv N 70,000 and (no par) Co. permission series bonds bidding, stock Power Penn asked 1 exchange of goods on a world-wide basis." Securities and Exchange completed storage project. Permits South Africa to sell ounces 1, Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). tion and Premium Gold Sale 000 Feb. cars and 25 cabooses. Probr' able bidders: Haley, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Salomon Bros. "Such action are the largest bonds and since these to Tuesday next week. ■ . Funds would be used to defray money during the current year, ing first which each ■& open menting our Telephone overall plans. els new $380,000 due [consist of 1,000 steel hopper bidders: gold bankers. Telegraph Co. and its operating companies are committed to a construction program which it has calculated will require about two billions of new money this year, the company can be expected to enter the market when it believes Meanwhile it is reported that Union stability relative & a group, to of 1948, African-London premium price for The next sizable issue up for bids is Duke Power Co.'s $40 mil¬ lion 1, to hear talk of the possibility of offerings. New Halsey, action, price the Since recent some expected Amer. Tel. & Tel. field, but there is evidence of nonetheless. later a Duke Power Bonds Next underwriting firms its prevalence is Feb. common Probable ! . a.m. (EST) Feb. 10 at Room 1109, 44 Wall St.., New York for the purchase of $3,800,000 equipment trust certificates series A dated [The equipment to be covered by the certificates will Ripley & Co., costs. the influence pro¬ be Its holdings of Treas¬ bonds should the market re¬ main strong, thus suggesting the for 9. (2/10) Smith, Barney & Co.; Harriman, Ripley & Co. ury marketwise. less that observes it can March sell part of prospect It some Federal nounced in the investment securi¬ «. opin¬ and investment funds. Against received be Reserve reduction is demands for credit The latest upheaval in basic commodity prices appears to be promoting a ; generally cautious feeling in most directions. This perhaps bidders: Virginian Ry. . j Ry. the ing will be required, at fewer Treasury this year than in since 1948, the is Probable date, to cover the balance of such Federal the to finance purchase of diesel road freight locomotives and one 6,000 h.p. | Bids will be received up to 11 Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. The bank ventures the ion four j Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); The First Boston Corp.; department of bond the Broadway, 4,000 hp. passenger locomotive. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Harriman Ripley & Co and Lehman ?Brothers (jointly). (2/24) (3/9) Bids for the purchase of $11,850,000 equipment trust will face the prospect of ties ; 1964. 15, March Bankers Trust Co. Report 10 shares of General stock The First Boston Corp. will head a dealer-man¬ Co. Inc., The First Boston Corp., Harriman Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly). Probable bidders for Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. Feb. 1 reported company is planning sale of $14,000,000 in new bonds and $7,000,000 in preferred stock. Probable bidders: White, Weld & Co. and Salomon Bros. & Hutz¬ ler (jointly); Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly); Lehman Bros.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Reporter's : Corp. for every 233 '1950-1959. Proceeds will be used stock of New York State Elec¬ Pennsylvania RR. (2/16) purchase of $10,005,000 equipment trftst certificates, series W, dated Nov. 1, 1948, and due in 15 annual instalments of $667,000 from Nov. 1, 1949-1963, will be deceived by company at Room 1811 Broad Street Station, Philadelphia, up-to noon (EST), Feb. 16. Prob¬ able bidders: Salomon Bros. & Hutzler, Halsey, Stuart &. will be necessary to provide funds for contemplated plant additions aggregating about $3,000,000, according to the annual report, but the form and amount of the financing have not yet been determined. Of said amount, approximately $1,900,000 will be spent Our be offered the right to subscribe common Bids for the New financing common share of Gas Harriman Ripley & Co. ahd Lehman (jointly); Salomon Bros.. & Hutzler; Harris. Hall & Co. (Inc.); Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Lee Higginson Corp. Co. in 1948 and the remainder in 1949. New York for the purchase of equipment trust certificates series F to be dated March 1,-1949 and due $225,000 annually March 1, Brothers privately has been negotiated, it is & 2216, ; $2,250,000 Stuart & Co. Inc.; •./. Gas & 1950, loans, and the balance added to working capital. ;/ one tric Northern Pacific Railway Liquid Carbonic Corp, Jan. 28, preferred stockholders approved a proposal to issue $10,000,000 long-term debentures, the net pro¬ ceeds to be used as follows: $8,900,000 to retire present Madison - Company has issued invitations for bids to be received before noon (EST) Feb. 24 for $6,000,000 equipment trust certificates, to be dated March 15, 1949, arid to ma¬ tures in 15 equal annual instalments from March 15, • said.: Texas & Pacific Ry. (2/10) 4 T Company will receive bids until noon Feb. 10 at Room obtain subscriptions. planning sale of $6,800,000 HalLeh¬ man Brothers (jointly); Harris Hall & Co. (Inc.); The First Boston Corp.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Sale of debentures ■ which includes Lehman Brothers, Wertheim & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane to equipment trust ctfs. in March. Probable bidders: sey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co. and bank regis¬ ager group RR. Central Illinois for held. amount of the estimated Jan. a Electric & Gas Corp. New York State its stockholders would the before of Feb. 6 the General Public Utilities Corp. announced that bonds which the company competitive bidding, it is ex¬ additional $1,000,000 of bonds will be is¬ sold sued and jHarriman Ripley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Otis & Co. On preferred: W. C. Langley & Co.; Kidder, Peaibody & Co.;' Stone & Webster Securities Corp. 'and /White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; The First Boston Corp. Bids on bonds are to be received by ! March 10 and on the preferred stock by March 24.; Probable bidders: Morgan Expected com¬ outstanding first mortgage 5s. to sell through pected that an and provide funds required for expansion. Proceeds preferred stock would be used by company to carry cut its plan of recapitalization. Probable bidders- on bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; 25-year deben¬ $35,000,000 Proceeds from the company's short-term indebted¬ from Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. pany will open bids March 22. first mortgage 30-year proposes covering preferred stock. new ness England Telephone & Telegraph Co. statement (3/10-24) tion to issue $2,750,000 30-year first mortgage bonds and bonds would retire the 4' 4 Island Edison Corp. $4,000,000 in - tures, to be sold at competitive bidding in March. Pro¬ $35,000,000. Fla. Pensacola, Co., j # ceeds will be used to redeem on June 1, 1949, announced that in addition to the $2,500,- was Probable 18 directors authorized the preparation tration SEC 1950 construction program. Feb. 7 it certificates. New Jan. Power Co., asked 7 ■ (jointly). Expected about March 8. • PensacoJa, Fla. permission to sell competitively $2,500,000 30-year first mortgage bonds. Probable bidders: First Boston Corp.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) and Equit¬ able Securities Corp. Proceeds are to be applied to 1949• Feb. ; of $2,550,000 equipment bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. & Estabrook RR.' Co. Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Harriman, Ripley & Co. and Lehman Brothers author¬ increasing on shares not decided said to be imminent. Traditional financing underwriter: vote of additional Disposition No upon. will Staten Jan. 28 New York P. S. Commission authorized corpora- reported planning'sale 1 trust stock from common $2.50. par Feb. Co. stockholders Missouri-Kansas-Texas :.-:6 Thursday, February 10, 1949 (bonds only); Harriman Rip¬ ley & Co., Inc.; Dillon, Read & Co.; First Boston Corp. bidders: • CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (Continued from page 41) March COMMERCIAL THE (694) Spahr, Executive City) Friday Night Bond Club Annual Feb. 12, 1949 (New York Dinner Dance at the Hotel Penn¬ Spring Meeting of the of Board L Governors at the Greenbrier. Oct. ' 1949 5-9, Colo.) . National sociation (Colorado Springs, Security Annual Traders As¬ Convention at The Broadmoor Hotel. Dec. 4-9, 1949 (Hollywood, Fla.) Investment Bankers Association Convention at the Holly¬ Annual wood Beach Hotel. . , sylvania.' Feb. 14, 1949 New Annual (New York, N. Y.) Curb Exchange York«■ Election. Joins Gillespie & Wouters (Special to The Financial Chronicle) \ GREEN BAY, WIS.—Andrew L. formerly with Link, Vice-President of the Economists' Feb. 15, 1949 (Denver, Colo.) Gorman & Co., is now associated National Committee on Monetary Rocky Mountain Group of the with Gillespie & Wouters, North¬ Policy,-who has been advocating Investment Bankers Association " • and Bond Club of Denver panel ern Building. a return to gold convertible cur¬ .>•;iiv !.*? s*v t- ■ f \rt:-4::;i UiV? '«Z t--;v»> t'Si :• frtr*: Olson, Jr., . , Volume 169 Number 4776 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Reorganization Act, America's small businessmen may Congress and Problems of Small Business (Continued from page 15) - business during panded. We have also observed tendency ; to that period control demands, the tremendous drain on the earnings and savings of our ex¬ prices people because of necessary post¬ a domestic and foreign commit¬ war and Slit le trade practices forced to carry. The basic reason for this return sociation becoming increasingly dif¬ to certain will for clothing industry, however, is the agencies of our govern¬ •■It is ficult America small to businessmen operate on a in conditions and high impact competition. The strictly and more into selling concerns. ment stores, under others are some cases their tion to escape the way effects of bankrupting serious a THey can't shut depression. down and to lay off their employees, reduce their op¬ erations, and wait for improved conditions.'', V':-■ It r to seems XiJlem our problem to in the be careful to possibility guard that the stage where have must we muster the on other, economize threaten must we growth of of pre- wear industry is ed concentration so-called huge now in a to war our a as service practices rather customers. Must Cer¬ a wide variety apparel, not only which then, and is as but to un¬ well. I be¬ Laws one this, includ¬ ing the disproportionate share of the ..national income that is being spent for other pent-up wartime government must task under¬ the enforcement provisions against unfair trade will need dis¬ equit¬ able shares of materials— our raw and at prices which will not con¬ tinue to support the gray or black markets of this country. turn, imposes This, in obligation on an government to provide the whereby those means materials raw are made available in sufficient quan¬ to meet the needs of our tities smaller, independent producers and distributors should those engaged neglect in or their unable prove now production to dis¬ charge their responsibilities. the most one important American people as whole a confront is the taining problem of main¬ national income level a which will enable tremendous think you should to carry our us postwar burdens. I will agree that we for these pay out rent taxation and at the take effective steps National debt. in such a of cur¬ same time to retire the This must be done way to as prevent to the point where we the victims of a ruinous become insolvency and national bank¬ practices. business with a small sub-committee of the Committee on Labor and Public Welfare; problems involving to the vast stores of in national our small the It is in so with a Public on Lands. through on 14 standing committees of the Senate—15 per¬ haps if our Committee on Rules Administration decides it and necessary to have a small business subcommittee to coordinate the work of 14 other subcommittees. I know you share my hope that this will not occur and that the 81s are obli¬ gated to enact wise and sounc legislation to maintain continued I which Senate tion of the national to us income purchase the protection to state your case; and will to 21. With Edward D. Dail & Co. (Special ST. mittee Cramblet aid other problems. Senate has not the and Unfortunately, the as continuance committee. in you yet of agreed that are many of us Senate, and there is a man White House, determined to keep this a country where oppor¬ tunity for the independent entre¬ is preneur liberty in Indeed, there indications that it may are some not be maintained; very real a where shall sense has become Edward D. Seventh Dail with & G. H. affiliated Co., 315 Street. He H. was Walker With Buckley Securities (Special LOS to The Financial lard Leabman has of joined the staff Securities Corp., 530 Buckley West Sixth Street. He Pledger We G. Brashears & confront difficult, harrow¬ ing days ahead. We with tremendous obligations international that if faith of our the Yet I into stronger, OIVIDEND and the are criteria we shall go future healthier, of and democratic America than MGM NOTICES a THEATRES • The MGM <« RECORDS Board of declared a of per Directors has quarterly dividend share on the out¬ standing Common Stock of the Com¬ have we PICTURES February 3rd, 1940 more 37Kc payable on March 31st, 1949, to stockholders of record at the close of pany, business March 10th, on 1949. Checks will be mailed. CHARLES C. M0SK0WITZ DIVIDEND NOTICES Vice Pres. &* Treasurer IOWA SOUTHERN RADIO UTILITIES COMPANY CORPORATION Delaware OF AMERICA Dividend Notice Dividend The Board of Directors has de¬ clared a dividend of 250 a share the on Common Company 1949 to Stock of the payable March 1, stockholders of record EDWARD L. At the meeting of the Board of Direc¬ held tors 1, SHUTTS, today, February 7, 1949. dividend of 87Vz a share, for the period January 1949 to March 31, 1949, clared President. on First Preferred Stock cents per February 15, 1949. was the $3.50 Cumulative First Preferred Stock, payable April 1,1949, holders of record the at close O'okiep Copper Company A. B. TUTTLE, Treasurer New Limited York, N. Y., February 4, 1949 ' . Dividend No. 9 The Board of Directors today declared a divi¬ dend of three shillings nine pence per share on the Ordinary Shares of the Company payable CAN COMPANY PREFERRED The INVESTORS! This is your opportunity to invest in a Broadway play early Spring production. Con. comedy scheduled for risting of one set and a small cast, the production will two Hollywood names in the leading roles. a-,new The bulk of the scribed. each are . the Preferred Stock April 1, star * A . * * * * * For British and Motion i on this ' Company, payable record at the COMMON New Bpx York S 8, authorized dividend N. Commercial & Financial NO. stock, without common 1946. the The South African the of distribution of date same Shares to the issued under the non-resident tax, will amount to 69^8 cents per shareholders share. ( By order of the Board of Directors. D H. E. DODGE, Secretary. "THE GREATEST NAME CONTROLS COMPANY 99 par ' Green t burg, Pa. value, PREFERRED STOCK Regular quarterly DIVIDEND dividend cents of (81 NO. 10 eighty-one ) per share and divi¬ share on on 29-11/16*! per share 4M% Cumulative and on the Con¬ 3\4% Cumulative Convertible Pre¬ ferred Stock, $100 par value, of this Com¬ pany has been declared, payable March vertible Preferred Stock have been declared, both 5, 1949, to stockholders of record at close of business February 17, 1949. to payable the E. April 1, 1949 stockholders of record at the close of business March 10, 1949. The transfer not HAWKINSON. y and Treasurer. meeting of the Of of Woolen books will be closed. regular quarterly dividend of $1.75 per share on the 7% Cumulative Preferred Stock payable April 15, 1949 to stockholders of record April 1, 1949. A quarterly dividend of $1.50 share on March record per the Common Stock payable 1949 to stockholders of 15, February 28, 1949. Transfer books will be closed February 28/ 1949 and will on re-open March 23, 1949. DiVidend checks will be mailed by the Guaranty Trust Company of New York. F. S. CONNETT, WALTER H. STEFFLER Treasurer. Secretary &• Treasurer February 8, 1949 Board American dividends were declared: A regular quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share on the $4 Cumulative Convertible Prior Preference Stock A quarterly dends of 20»! per the Common Stock the Directors Company, held today, the following payable March 15, 1949 to stock¬ holders of record February 28, 1949. COMMON STOCK pay¬ 31, 1949, to stockholders of at the close of business March 8, February 3; 1949. asm on R0BERTSHAW-FULTON Company, has been declared, Secretar 32252 record Deposit Agreement dated June 24, net distribution, after deduction of Checks will be mailed. Y. of terms of the Transfer books will not be closed. 29, the on American March W. Directors said holders of the Amateur rights inquiries to DIVIDEND PREFERRED A Book Publication royalties Place, the A regular quarterly dividend of forty cents (40tf) per share on the issued and out¬ 1949. Summer Stock royalties holders AT MFG. CO. record y A the to IN WOOLENS" able rights 1949 ALUS-CHALMERS one-quarter Park of 10, New York, N. Y., February 2, 1949. standing 1 other foreign production picture sale address of declared 1949 to Stockholders of Half shares of $600 Radio rights details quarterly dividend of business "March 17, 1949. Transfer books will remain open. Checks will be mailed. EDMUND HOFFMAN, Secretary. Television rights Chronicle, 25 a per cent was close of this * 1949 three-quarters .. Investors participate in all the net profits of the producing company per the Standard Production Contract under the Limited Partnership arrangement for stage plays. Investors also share (for many years after the Broadway run) in the . February 1, and ; . receipts from On one $60,000 production budget has been sub¬ The price of one share is $1,200. also available. March Ordinary Shares of the Company at the close of business February 18, 1949. STOCK of business March 7, 1949. ..v' DIVIDEND NOTICES ATTENTION de¬ on to con¬ AMERICAN and LOEWS INCORPORATED known before. ever pre¬ Co. Co. am con spirit, courage, past future, together forward and domestic scenes. was & burdened are problems the on Chronicle) ANGELES, CALIF.—'Mil¬ viously with tinued at all. Because of rigid ad- We must Chronicle) MO.—Leonard prevail. to special Financial know that there of to The previously in the Small Business proposed to LOUIS, with in the initia¬ hoped tonight to tell how the Association spring meeting at Greenbrier, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia, May 18 & Co. to Committee I had Bankers its the North tive and investment. Fate of Senate's Spring Meeting hold encouragement of goods prices on as¬ Distributors, Inc. Investment small, independent business enterprise without which free en¬ terprise cannot exist. In any case, the produce at a level of which reflect the real costs of pro¬ duction, and real return become The Board of Governors of forum one group whose sole concernisthe production, full em¬ ployment, and equitable distribu¬ enable Chronicle) CALIF.—Da¬ H; McKellar has Hold I maximum we Financial IBA Governors to will you still find in the of the this field that the Fed¬ Government, and Congress in particular, access materials, raw domain business sub-committee of Committee And and eral Tub of I. C. A. questions nvolving the peculiar labor prob¬ vinced ruptcy. to ANGELES, lems of small tax dropping niel Bank- on Currency; our burdens from reaching either the point of confiscation, or from (Special LOS ousiness one But Senate; sociated with Shields & Co., 210 West Seventh Street. Mr. McKel¬ lar was formerly Vice-President and before formulating solutions to these great preserving small business in this country. We must revise, modernize, and strengthen our antitrust laws, and reasons to account for forthcoming. the Senate's Small Business Com¬ Strengthen take in the interest of sellers' market to buyers' market. There are many a am protection against crimination in its access to are Antitrust Here, be Obligations of 81st Congress personnel, Revise and. support which I a the mittee of the Committee As-- :ng Clothiers continued ■ sell to Retail Second, small business uncovered, imme¬ diate action ought to be taken to put an end to them. reconversion moved secretly competing investigated during the present session of Congress; and if such the economy. men's clothing manufac¬ expose that these charges ought to peace Particularly in the industry, we have Quickly from own and be power of are with Clothiers authorized civilians enterprises. Our economy has now turned corner from integration turers who lieve corporate whole the of to afield good example of how small business is affected by the incrriv the National As¬ Retail Furnishers to a and as of civilian men's might opportunity in the economic life of this nation. The men's it is illegal, under laws, for a trade as Army post exchanges and Navy ships' service stores, we are advised, go so far centralized which power freedom the extension of government financed unfair competition. hand; ' the of At Moreover, we are informed in Washington, that the men's cloth¬ ing trade is also suffering from lems confronting this nation. We have to prevent a serious depres¬ sion and collapse on the one nr. time antitrust their own which strike at the foundation of our courage and intelligence to solve the basic economic prob¬ vt manufacturers secretly customers. free enterprise. the Furnishers, the information in¬ some wear of of problems of banking and currency with a small business sub-com¬ Congress ligent support of the National committees ng of eco¬ problem which small business and Congress ought to amend the antitrust laws in order to pre¬ vent such unfair trade practices ail and. un¬ tainly Federal now that sociation against reached , v/Ay' N-vb my sociation such um¬ Government does not, in the proc¬ itself become a threat to our We of our 43 | Dan. H. McKellar With Shields in Los Angeles be asked to take up their complex with the several stand- problems of will need the generous and intel¬ sales frills to the pur¬ addition, present ess, freedom. savings '■".A men's our pire en¬ forcement of the rules of the game of free and private enterprise Yet, at the same time^ we must also the independent conditions economy; to serve as and policeman in the x and control retail outlets which are in direct competition with their own checking the growth our Depart¬ drug stores, and paying especial atten¬ on dicates of monopoly and concentrated ownership. It is the duty of a democratic government to chal¬ these inde¬ extend¬ as men's pass In of lenge and check well outlets. are necessary government has is the of established as own chaser. that the greatest me in lease to wear. Filling sta¬ selling work clothes; new chains are cropping up called "iron pipe" stores, which profess de¬ pressions; but small business has tions no that going Chain wear. trying even pendent stores Big business operates system under which they periodical is are stores are in the midst of tre¬ mendous expansion programs—in influences, ing these are increased fact men's departments survive we of firms more flation disastrous to small business can high buyers' market in the men's a Outgrowth of big business and monopoly control, which create vicious cycles of inflation and de¬ a taxes continued free competition basis when much Of. our national economy is not operating on that basis. Small businessmen are subject to eco¬ nomic and continuing in In this task nopoly the freedom opportunity, and the protection fair ments, prices and of areas nomic life. competition requiring the constant activity of the anti-mo¬ ment. a enlarge the (695) to the lerence February 9, 1949 v, ' 44 (696) COMMERCIAL THE CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, February 10, 1949 trolled BUSINESS BUZZ Congress passed the Aiken law for lower ible basis, to in 1950. on... for flexible supports. campaign A —^ gJ jljL I ls\A/ Behind-the-Scene Interpretations from the Nation's Capital f if\H wi A Cr U) 12 "progressive" Republican who fought the Senate Minority leadership of Senator jRobert Taft of Ohio, set to follow Ives toward ■does is pretty well whatever he on labor relations act. a If Ives says so, what enacts may the' Congress be "two-thirds of the Taft-Hartley law" as Senator Taft predicted, and it might even three-fourths. \ -• .A It is predicted in that the be * , » all quarters relations act will be written in the Senate, and probably on the saidi floor of the Senate. This is to be likely * Committee Rules is expected House from culiar steamroller it the prevent to expressing ideas old the because have may pe¬ any to as the part the government should play in regulating the practices of the unions and their relations with employers. mittee is Labor Com¬ pretty well stacked for floor the the of it being Senate, "undemocratic" to surpress a vote only when it is the Administra¬ tion wants which the House have a vote/ (There is bility Speaker Rayburn consent to quite as stiff labor 12 "progressives" . follow will GOP though Taft won Ives, aid, than in program" new world. for two the Whereas the President out a TpP* when "I Although clined . de¬ President the for ask to . more any for the E-I bank in the money the even Latinos at Bogota. The Congress Budget that Leader, then didn't 1948 of the ' go jointly to recom¬ million for Ives group can probably dictate ; political so what will be in the the authorization. new act, for this bloc of votes together with the other GOP What southern and he majority. a will encounter the stiff,est by Feb. 15, the so-called "Legis¬ Under this Legis¬ tion There appears to be little or¬ ganized opposition developing as yet against the new minimum wage bill. As drafted, the bill ac¬ tually paves the way for achieve¬ ment of minimum of a $1.00 per Lour, rather than the 75 cents it supposed to provide. That is because the Secretary of Labor expects to name stooge "industry is committees" to $1.00 minimum recommend fast as he as the can it the bill becomes law. Industry spokesmen point out that when the lowest class increased, then the wage skilled could of labor has its minimum common classes be of expected more workmen to demand still higher wages, to restore the old gap between those and of their the commonest labor. Only a "buyers' fo" labor could for big nevertheless, mum wage may bring ahead lative cerned with the dangers of defla¬ is Congress the Budget of its govern of rest actions for the year within that total the framework. members Actually both of the now dollar in the mischief ployers eventually. Acheson, mind that he, that this proposal wouldn't work. During 1947 and refused of to State, up his the will back up the 1948, the Republican Congress re¬ didn't dare for fear doing. they So Congressional Joint Committee on the Economic Report to go ..In view of the disposition of the hold hear¬ the President's "economic stabilization" program now, the drive of Senator O'Mahoney upon "bigness in business" is post¬ poned for an indefinite period. O'Mahoney heads the JE commit¬ ings on tee. r ' Despite the fact that at the last minute the House decided not to name one of its members Chairman of the Joint Economic fight to ; at that. This year the Truman Budget is even more shadowy and tentative than in most years. well fed up with the Committee. They will pay little attention to it, probably often re¬ fusing to attend meetings. Hence any recommendations which Sen¬ ator O'Mahoney and the Joint Economic Committee may have, will have little standing as com¬ mittee proposals. pretty higher payroll taxes for social security, although not ob¬ jecting to broadening the cover¬ age of social security at existing payroll tax rates. going the proposition their Democratic 79th Congress voted. So they delayed the ceremony1 of a Legislative the by nassed This is year in 1949. One proof of from taxpayer the where news in four to $ more is not mini¬ the Treasury with some low 35 important changes, down business for the on the sentiment opening of Congress, has been building up vigorously against tax increase. crease may While pass any form some of year, works em¬ tive the required the members supports build farm up of ing controls and vote GOP. They did that a couple of times in mid¬ term elections in the 30's, and are expected to do so again. (This column is intended to re¬ taxing and spending commit- inter¬ flect the "behind the scene" pretation from the nation's Capital and may or may not coincide with , With (Special Crowell, Weedon to Financial The LOS ANGELES, A. Donlon is Chronicle) CALIF.—James Weedon Street, & now with Crowell, Co., 650 South Spring members of the Angeles Stock Exchange. Los / — Trading Markets: Ralston Steel Car gets Oregon Portland Cement caught in the wringer on the farm Riverside Cement A & B price support question and finally finds itself apparently "forced" to Spokane Portland Cement of mandatory supports coupled with through with acreage and trols, During program a marketing con¬ in Republicans (and Congress little help. the 1948 LERNER fiTCO. Investment Securities 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9, Mass. Telephone Hubbard 1990 Teletype BS 69 GOP-con- Teletype—NY 1-971 HAnover 2-0050 Kill, Thompson & Co., Inc. NEW Trading Markets FOREIGN SECURITIES Executive & All Issues 70 YORK 5 Underwriting Offices WALL STREET f!ARL MARKS & PP> INCTrading Department FOREIGN SECURITIES SPECIALISTS 50 Broad Street in¬ that the farmers thereupon resent the production and market¬ come, Tel. WHitehall 4-4540 the feature of the Legisla¬ Reorganization Act of 1946, which the and has Administration the If probably will benefit. market prices really official supports and below S if will give Firm of order small chance of passage. tax in¬ the House this years. s|i Initially the House Democratic leadership planned to simply "for¬ get" - when are ing of earnings from stockhold¬ ers. The revival of this bill, high Since of all joint committees." That is, it is becom¬ the recom¬ the to corporation alleged unjustified withholding- go if if s of for instance, would shift Treasury GOP is It proposed reforms. of burden the last future which bill the number a House doubtful a Budget until May 1. way ing primarily a Senate Commit¬ tee. It is possible that the JE Committee may scarcely get into issue, making bill tax The Joint Economic Committee "is versus why Brannan asked the "Chronicle's" own views. administrative The Iras * * * Is of the Older heads said that if they "forgot" the Legislative Budget, they would be under attack for ignoring the very some Committee, the boys in the House are higher supports price postpone the pose *- Finally, Hence will fight hard to prevent any increase in taxation in any form. They will even op¬ them, This year the Democratic Con¬ gress at first decided to see if it couldn't just "forget" to draft a Legislative Budget (which has no substantive standing) and let it quest. Truman's Mr. inflation. over con¬ decisive groups the them for drafted a Legislative Budget which they paid no further attention to. so worries more are with than tion thing, Democrats would jeer through the E-I bank, then Mr. Truman time but Latinos the to out pass long wanted to drop the whole wants makes too, parties have been saying for a is, is that Secretary new Dean this. demands, wage the situation heads the mar^»t" forestall While the outlook strong wages and the in older lative Budget." $500 million for the government It is generally believed in Con¬ gress that the Administration ■draft of its proposed labor-rela¬ tions act was poor, that it was vulnerable, and that the Admin¬ istration has lost ground in trying to prevent proponents of TaftHartley from questioning labor leaders. Furthermore, the new Truman labor bill is J pitched strongly in favor of the CIO, if it was not actually written by CIO attorneys, as will appear shortly. the if Democratic votes will probably loans, at the earliest) it opposi¬ Senate. In Congress not before May mend, and the Congress to adopt idea the for demoralized plus strict marketing and produc¬ tion controls are voted this year, leaky water pipe. finally solved the problem with that supposed to set the outside limits revenue and expenditures, and message, of tossing away $500 this point out that if they again' voted for the lower,, flexible supports, they would only arouse the antagonism of the farmers. Yet if higher supports tees of Congress together, fast to a program. quite necessity for taking a on Republicans only had program be to mendations. gram" he is getting the Adminis¬ tration big-wigs Senate as to he enunciated the "bold new pro¬ blueprint conse¬ Committees the of and that is years, idea and not the suffer good possibility. a flexible also President was World New he forgot to mention it to E-I bank, the one Deal ' thereof should surpluses the over stand the studying to have seem impatiently that he had declared and House the higher supports, they are for go Agriculture report that Mr. Brannan and his department institution It while that noted White the on foreign of other any the are higher mandatory Members ' Republican if ing like a system of exporting U. S. "technical know-how" under the "bold farmers begin to pile up as is now look¬ year he may ask for it later. The $500 million requested last year was the half billion promised to the of the for the Trumanites likely to be around long enough to January it is pretty certain Since the the mandatory ing White House wants.) * that Yet the $500 million which he requested for the Export-Import Bank, even though that bank comes closer to provid¬ the as think Agriculture for last gag on a maybe quences possi¬ not a it that supports. President Truman skipped ask¬ ing President had they naturally opine do, are they Of »): >■: to Since Congress for 80th the what and his Agriculture asked all saying. may amendments act' to of frightful tizzy. a a as an on Mr. Brannan now doing large part of the industry must be under the wagehour act, you might as well have all of it covered," so many are long Congress can vote their opinions changes in the labor law is on Administration, then So broadening of the wage-hour act to cover virtually all industry as well as "interstate commerce." government institution equipped by experience to advise him. Truman boosted the Demo¬ following in the electoral Department in in was supports,' and states. corn the the only place where members of the result, a which lower criticized the been Senate the Since the of cratic affects their "So his and countryside that GOP bill to see Ifc^w it particular industries. In many cases, producers are unr concerned with the proposed studying labor-management new the was as C.—One Senator who is neither the recog¬ political party nor a member of the Labor Com¬ mittee, Senator Irving Ives of New York, may hold the key to the kind of labor-management relations law which Congress enacts ikia949. Senator Ives may hold the key<j> Most to the picture because the group employers seem^ tg be nized leader of any of During the Truman word around the favor Senators Mr. bright boy, Charles Brannan. Sec¬ retary of Agriculture, spread the it WASHINGTON, D. supports, on a flex¬ into operation come The President had asked •• < 120 BROADWAY ■ New York 4, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS * CO. Inc. CHICAGO ' Tel. REctor 2-2020