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US. ADM, library DEC 2 8 1945 H $appj» #eto Dear to Edition Volume 162 ESTABLISHED Number 4450 New York/ N. Y., Thursday, December 27, 1945 Interest Rates and Inflation Trying to Check Infla¬ Dr. Sakolski Stresses the and Government Restrictions eco-® sidered dan>- gerously All Observer Political Notes Parties ficial fort. ^Ifl | | tfauR - -v. \ would Dr. L. Albert Hahn been suggested most the as ... natural on since of 3154) Index of Features Regular on 1 Einzig ; .Prospectus CO. & • y t HAnover 8-0000 Teletype Cleveland Chicago Geneva NY INVESTMENT 64 Wall Y.; by on page i . hundreds 3159);' •. persist- None looked A. M. Sakolski tossed or aside as merely an excrescence of contemporary political expe¬ diency or as a whim of ad¬ Members of even of importance tive to enterprise and invest¬ ment has been stressed. The" entrepreneur's been studied and his function and has analyzed, importance in modern organization has economic - * (Continued on } 3156) page system that the atomic bomb does to;, physical structures and human existence. ^ • obtained SECURITIES Bond It is State and a Municipal Brokerage Service m ;■ •• Springfield Woonsocket NEW YORK Common Aireon LOS ANGELES & Conv. 90c Members N. Y. Tel. REctor 2-3600 New York 5 Enterprise 6016 THE 120 , Dealt in N. on Analysis -V Spring Y. Curb on request Exchange Preferred on request HART SMITH & CO. REctor Teletype NY New York WILLIAM Bell 2-8600 New York 1-635 ira haupt & co. Members and Members 52 Bell NEW YORK $6 Preferred Company Broadway, New York 5, N. y. Telephone: CITY OF Brook Water Co. Members New York Stock Exchange Teletype N. Y. 1-676 Philadelphia Telephone- OF Preferred Conv. ; 1-733 Scranton Reynolds & Co. Security Dealers Ass'n 45 Nassau Street Tele. NY Raytheon Manufacturing Co. $2.40 INCORPORATED DIgby 4-7800 Conv.-Preferred Prospectus Kobbe, Gearhart & Co. Tel. Manufacturing Corp. 60c MARKETS MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE 14 CHASE NATIONAL BANK New York 4 Con v. -Preferred Solar Aircraft SECONDARY BULL., HOLDEN & C® 30 Broad St. 634 SO. SPRING ST. 3 THE Acme Aluminum Alloys, Inc. FINANCE BROKERS Members New York Stock Exchange Members New York Curb Exchange INCORPORATCS WALL STREET M Bond Department Hardy & Co. ' HUGH W. LONG and COMPANY ' BOND and Dealers be dealers from or • may from authorized •/; CORPORATE pf prospectus PHILADELPHIA Baltimore " TELEPHONE-RECTOR 2-6300 to Subsequent INVESTORS 1927 Troy Albany Buffalo Syracuse Pittsburgh Dallas Wilkes Barre > > 14 WALL ST.. NEW YORK 5.N.Y. economists problem. during the last half a nee of this century have policy cer¬ concerned themselves greatly with the effects of a rising or tainly should not declining rate of profit. True, the profit motive as an incen¬ o v e rbe Wi FUNDAMENTAL - Street, New York 5 BOSTON 3-210 London (Representative request on Established Exchange and other Exchanges. 25 Broad St., New York 4. N. have dealt with the fn modern for Banks, Brokers Members New York Stock . (Continued v"' R. H. Johnson & Co. to LILIENTHAL ■: COMMON STOCK request Hirsch & Co. HIRSCH, numerous disaster of obtain fact Alaska Airlines • Nu-Enamei Successors interest Parliament and by packed galleries, ' ■vC Aerovox Corp. - to things of lifev tribe • Ordinary Shares on Likened emerged clearly from the debate: TSie terms of the loan are strongly disliked by supporters and opponents alike. The only difference between their attitude is that the former think the loan Gaumont British '/* Prospectus Is Similar activities Yet, few of the potent ministrative action. It bears though, in its nucleus all the forces of ; the proportion of those who understood the highly technical problems must have been less than one in ten. ruin to the free enterprise Paul One "A" & a ftearly as dramatic, but the debate itself was full of thrilling moments, and was followed with : 3168. Situation and in»their the material economic the of Com¬ witnessed last week its most exciting debate breathless page and 1938 in¬ But . and defense. page Prevails Pact in May, 1940, when, following the reverses in Norway, tlfe Chamberlain Government was ^brought down. This time the outcome was not sug- simplest means (Continued have e the Tonic fc Stimulate British Economic Ef¬ a LONDON, ENGLAND—The House mons t terests. Breakdown Is Widely Predicted.,? \ is r a business . : Munich years ago, the raising of in¬ terest as sentment inflation been feared 10 11. N. Rublen Was House of Lords Assent to Loan Obtained So to Avoid a Constitutional Crisis, but Bitter Re¬ as had Photo: Unpopularity of Loan Among Accepted Only by a. SkillParliamentary Strategy. Socialists It Fear Terms Will Interfere With Economic Planning Rejection Would Be Bene¬ \ Device Holds and Others Think That Forgotten If lightly,^ though not menace to progress under our without pro¬ way of life, and will eventual¬ test from ly lead to socialism and state practical regimentation of individuals Considerable and rfully Devised im¬ minent. Investment Accepting Nationalization and Collectivism. ! To American Loan London Generally ini¬ on Cites Example of Decline of Profit over topic of infla¬ plays a major role. con-- / to Our Private En¬ a policy of "Cost Up—-Prices Down.'?.. The implications of this policy have been passed tion speaking - The OPA has announced the tiation "is V ,' Profit Making Are Intensified, This Nation Will dis¬ cussed A on Emulate Other Decadent Powers in policy, business policy ot an individual firm, or the future trends of stock or commodity mar¬ are Copy Margins in Great Britain and France, as a Basis for Accepting Socialism and Naf tionlization, and Warns That if the "Costs Up-Profits Down" Policy Is Continued nomic kets : Danger of Declining Profit Margins Is An Indication of Industrial Decadence. Charges That Government Is Attack¬ ing Results, Not Causes of Inflation, Which Will Lead to a Tem¬ porary Boom Followed by a Depression. ; Government a 1 Declining Profits terprise System and Points Out That Trend Toward Lower Returns Determine Economic Policy. Wherever Sections-Section Price 60 Cents By A. M. SAKOLSKI Lowering Interest Rales Through Central Bank Operations Has Been Abandoned and Is Being Re¬ placed by a Confused System of Government Diagnosis and Control. Holds That Common Belief in the Necessity of Low Interest Rates Is Not Valid, That Higher Interest Raies Are Not Coincident With Unemployment, and That Purely Fiscal Reasons Should Never / in ;2 V The Menace of By DR. L. ALBERT HAHN' Dr. Hahn Points Out That the Old Device of tion and Deflation by Raising or O Security ST., N. Y. 5 Dealers Aisn. HAnover 2-0980 Teletype NY 1-395 Montreal 111 New other York- Stock Broadway New York REctor Exchange Principal Exchanges 6 2-3100 10 Post Office Sq. Boston 9 Hancock 3750 Tele. NY 1-1920 Toronto Direct Private Wire to Boston THE COMMERCIAL & Thursday, December 27, 1945 FINANCIAL.CHRONICLE 3130 The Investor's Stake inte/:; The Anti-Trust Laws in: Trading Market* Phenolic American Com. Vacuum ^Concrete Wm. Simon Brew Lear, Inc. U. S. Sugar, king & king Established 1920 Members York Security Dealers Ass'n Nat'l Ass'n of Securities Dealers. Inc. New HA 2-2772 PI., N.Y. 5 40 Exchange • TELETYPE NY BELL 'V'-V' '■) Mr. Javits Contends That the Anti-Trust Policy of the Department of Justice Stands Clearly Across the Path of American Progress and Prosperity. Says That the Anti-Trust Laws Are Being Enforced in a Manner That Prevents Small Businessmen From Getting Coopera ively the Benefits of Marketing, Re¬ search, Prices and Full Employment Which Big Business Can Attain. Big Business, on the Other Hand, Is Finding It Impossible to Deal With Problems Like the Interrelation of Labor and Prices on an In¬ dustry-Wide Basis. The Anti-Trust Laws Are Used to Pro'eel Marginal Producers Who Otherwise Could Not Compete. The Investor Is Alsd Hart Through Undue Waste in Industry, Jeopardy of His Invest- ; ments in Small Business, and Costs of Endless a id NeaTess Government Suits. ,. . . ... 1-423 We Friends All Oar We Wish story of the little boy who came back from Sunday, services and when asked b a A familiar with the® all are 2?apptj t o u s a not quite get clearly but it he $frut Uear h w man Former Professor at the the that preached was against sin. And Spanish Economist ; is it so Stock Exchange N. Y. 5 120 Broadway, No WOrth 2-4230 Bell Teletype N. Y. it about being without against it. But there about like the Curb quite Telephone COrtlandt Bell System Teletype A. Javits' The world follows pat' so 7-4070 Ins. The arbitrariness and the (Continued on page 3152) , | buying. Stock Byrndun Corporation A. & Pressed Steel Car Caribbean Sugar Common 4^2 9o- Conv. Coca Cola Common inter n a- collab¬ American 20 Pine Street, New f o all in i t y and happiness s p e r seem to tries ask world MCDONNELL &C°- Teletype NY 1-1843 ;-'7\7'7^77. Curiosity Shop" of for? economy, Americans can discover primitive, unde¬ veloped, backward, war-disrupted Members York Stock Exchange New York Curb Exchange 120 other coun¬ easily New Bates Man j!< during V. Guardiola Miguel In "Ye Olde York 5 Telephone: WHitehall 3-1223 people, BROADWAY, NEW YORK Tel. REctor 2-7815 some surprised Boston & Maine R R. that learn to strategems administrative suffice to suppress . at will unem- Stamped Preferreds Federal Screw Works We Maintain Active Gaumont British Pictures "A" U. S. Markets in U. S. FUNDS for „ CANADIAN INDUSTRIALS Kaiser-Frazer Spain, Bell St., N. Y. 5 Teletypes—NY 1-1126 & Membert N. Y. Stock Exchange St: 115 Paul, Old Pfd. & Common Grande, Old Pfd. and Other Principal Exchangee NEW YORK 6, N. Y. BROADWAY Telephone BArclay 7-0100 Denver Rio , Goodbody & Co. 1127 New Segal Lock & Hardware Preferred Old Pfd. & Com. Wellman Rock Island, Common Engineering Co.* Common Old Pfd. & Com. Kingan & Company, Com. Seaboard Air Line Com. *Ctrcular Western Pacific • -i. I Old Pfd. & Bought—-Sold—Quoted L7D PINE ST., N. Y. 5 WHitehall 4-4970 I Teletype NY 1-609 I Simons, Unburn & Co. Members New York 25 Broad HAnover Stock Exchange St., New York 4, N. Y. 2*-0600 'i - '; ;; and '■*! -• ;*••••»!1 7 Request on y; •• ". - !.'v V v-*-•' ■ Frank C.Masierson & Co. York Curb Exchange Members Sew NSW YORK 8 HAnover 2-9470 WALL ST. 64 1-1140 Teletype NY "full 2frui Hrar's my country, known foi (Greetings ol financing," is a F. H. Holler & Co., inc. period Vaftei difficult the In Members economic 111 policy invigorated our economy and strengthened our finances. A permanent surplus of emigration gave way to an intense process ol' repatriation,; .Unemployment was practically nil except for some re¬ gions where urgent agrarian re¬ forms have been postponed since N. Ass'n Y. Security Dealers Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. 7t 5 I BArclay 7-0570 NY 1-1026 —♦ m r " ' ' ' * ' Howard Aircraft/- "' Colonial Stores ^ . ] | v Teletype NY 1-672 V VMi-fits War enriched First World and the consequent inflation again. Spain has always us ! ' 7 • unnecessary (Continued on bureaupage 3157) : civil Common & GAS Preferred * * * Members New 120 Banks, Broker? & Dealers • SOLD — n , York Security Dealers Assn.-. • ' ;*•'/'{ Y. ( Teletype NY 1-2361 ■ O REctor 2-7634 CORPORATION — .. Broadway, N. 3T. 5, 'i'v \ ' r; C*:- '];* '/• ;lv» & Gas Corp. Common BOUGHT ^ C. E. de Wiilers & Co. Common Stock Trading Markets for •' : Federal Water FEDERAL WATER Pathe Industries Inc. • , practised classic "deficit financ¬ ing," i. e. loans to maintain pur¬ chasing, power.,.. What Professor Abba B. Lerner would call a ?Pe¬ riodical Distribution of Free Income" was disguised as salaries for unnecessary generals and offi¬ cers, •'•, *.• Macfadden Pub. Inc# ^ | Pfd. & Com. ; ' 2 ; « ' ■ . | Stock ^ QUOTED Memorandum-on.request ' • •• ; SOLD BOUGHT, & QUOTED 7 '' Request Com. G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc. ^ Upon j Common "Prospectus employment 1898, the most orthdox . Pfd. & 777 living example of the above. •' Old Mfg.* Hotel Waldorf Astoria ". York, Ontario & Western Old Brunner most countries Frisco, Old Pfd & Common New Haven, ' . , their "deficit cluding 35 Missouri Pacific, Old Pfd. & Com. Common Stock ,,y long history all types of mis¬ taken economic policies, not ex¬ us, Canadian Securities Dcp't. . . Hanover 2-4850 • Central States Elec. (Va.) its The CANADIAN UTILITIES Security Dealers Assn. Members N. Y. 37 Wall <\ ' CANADIAN MINES omp mSt anu ' having tried out in the course ruined 5reene -> lr191d System Teletype NY Bell 1 thousands of years. CANADIAN BANKS Sugar, Common Exchange' New York "Stock ery. be at What else can reach. v y Broadway WHitehall 4-8120 50 employment" means nothing if it is not related to a satisfactorily increasing standard of life. They care for j "full. employment" spreading prosperi+v not for "full employment" consolidating mis¬ to the countries. Bought—Sold—Quoted Me m hers full employ¬ country knows, instinctively from sad experience, that under oration Pro Pfd. Stock H. G. BRUNS & CO. Bell strong tional Industries Warrants v -Members New. York Curb Exchange problem by copying the American pattern, even if the latter were defintiely established. Undoubted¬ ly, this is not the case. Every trend in favor ef solve cannot and (b) ia ' -■ It is obvious that pro¬ war duction life Stock . Panama of standard Preferred skeptical. * paroxysm raise Campbell S. the leadership Common Common during tained : Edward A. Purcell & Co. ployment and poverty. They are to benefit b,v this sudden outbreak of humanitarian smartmess. ; They V are, though, very ard of life at¬ organization developed during the 70's and 80's by which a group of companies virtually trusteed every power, except the ownership in certain hands so that there would be common practices such as in pricing, selling and NY 1-1548 ^ Textron eager highest stand¬ an Chemical^'; Greater N: Y. essential aspects: (a) blind faith in the of ^ Federal Asphalt mainte¬ the nance ''7 ' I v * anxiously American debates on It holds out two policy. ment Pressurelubc Gaumont British Cbincide With-Improvement in Their Economic Progress." ; With Worldwide t. in, most oly is Exchange Bankers & Shinpers Capital Benjamin great deal of con¬ a ; A trust in the sense of monop¬ New York 5 31 Nassau Street, to people's thinking and to even more confusion in their talking and which are not Y. Curb Exchange York led fusion Vanderhoef & Robinson New i that ■ 3/6s, 1956 Members ust Ant i-T Laws have Savoy Plaza N. talk do we 7s, 1952-1957 Traded on things other international Power Securities • are v ■ of Labor. Difficult io Achieve in Large Countries, and Altogether Impossible, in Small Countries. He States That 'America Preachesv About: Enlarging Foreign Trade,' but Asks Who is Going to Pay Tor the Necessary Import Surpluses. Foreign Investments Cannot Solve the Prob¬ lem. The World Hopes That America Will Find a Way to Make Its Own Prosperity and Full Employment Policies ^ Compatible can one talk 1-1227 NY 1-1557 ; La.-Birmingham, Ala. j Rademaker of Standard MONOPOLY. St., New York 4, N. Y." 1 Direct wires to our branch officer , Living and an f Accompanying ^Division Without Substantial International iTrade rThis ;Will Be with the word Members Baltimore ( of the* 7-'* \ Says That Full Employment Is Meaningless for Most Countries if It Doei Not > Request on HAnover 2-0700 Parliaments. Spanish and Catalan ;V'-:-^v o \ ! Quoted Members New York Stock Exchange 25 Broad e University, of Barcelona, and Member — Steiner,Rouse&Co. MIGUELlyiDAL GUARDIOLA By pos¬ was itive Analysis Reaction to American Full Employment Aims |||| did he Sold — New Orleans, ; T. __ Bought : —• _ & CO., INC. , A Foreign what the sermon was i d 7 r; that JAVITS By BENJAMIN A. 7 | P. R. MALLORY Tele. NY 1-210 Troster,Curries Summers Members N. Y. N. Y. 6 HA 2-2400 Teletype NY 1-376-377 74 Trinity Place, Private Wires to Detroit - J-G White 6 Company INCORPORATED Security Dealers Ass'n 37 WALL STREET Cleveland Pittsburgh - St. Louih NEW YORK 5 ESTABLISHED 1890 Tel. HAnover 2-9309 Tele. NY 1-1815 MEMBERS NEW One Wall YORK STOC* UtXCHANGE Street, New York 5, Telephone N. Y- BOwling Chreen 9-4800 ' f >. ' ■■ i't xJ, ' i«u- ' ' I* ' niii 1 4 Number :4450 ,Vohimecl62 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Fall Piodnclion and Sound Fiscal Outlook Investment Research By STEPHEN M. FOSTER Advisor, New York Life Insurance Co. 7j Investment Analyst Sees ^ Holding That in 1945 Our Economy Operated Close to N ; Capacity, Points Out That the Chief Problems Ahead Relate to: 7;>: Fiscal Policy. Says Low Interest Rates, Adopted as a War Policy,; Together With the Method of Government Financing Through the - / Commercial Banks, Constitutes That an Civilian Buying Spree Can Be Offset by the High ,// a Productive The transition from to would peace poses tastic. serious prob¬ the war one thing, we lose the.Governon en t's war- effort vast as the cash and services. Also, from another ppint of view, they give an indi¬ by the filling of ci¬ produc¬ vilian wants,u and tion, .employ¬ ments that another, the has war fiV " n a n c i a 1 changes which, may offer a threat to. future economic stability; for still a third, the singleness of pur¬ type of things duces, tails its chases. wrought • the the as country and that -war seems least .at enjoyed during the we to have been the for replaced, by in¬ moment, dustrial and economic strife, These problems require tention lest careful at¬ our failure to under- our pro¬ its Fiscal The importance the to and post-war has used Tor financing its purchases of approximately half tike nation's annual production of ment . $200 over services. billion There of goods;; and obvious two are astand and solve them should keep methods borrowing. 7And all through nhe of ahead. -while that enjoyment "bf the opportunity , that Accordingly, lies it is worth- to" review -the- conditions ; in existed 'Germans down their 1945 the and * before the laid Japanese ; For it is these •conditions and the circumstances arms. .surrounding than that have given rise to many lems. ;'"V Economy \ of our present prob¬ Capacity of to available;■. taxation 1945 the country's econ¬ and both,> placing a somewhat greater' reliance- on - borrowing than on taxation. Thus, in: the use half of the • Govern¬ 1945, ment's" expenditures of $52 billion only partially met by income receipts, and the Government bor¬ rowed, exclusive of refunding were The vast ments billion ? of ./ - new 77 new money, during the past two three years or have heen running at the rate of almost $60. billion per.year, might, operating at close to •capacity. It is true that some eco¬ o,n the basis of the law of supply aind; demand, have been expected nomic factors, notably total indus- to omy : was trial cause interest rates of money) (the price had receded their wartime interest rates peaks, nevertheless industrial pro¬ ernment debt duction still stood 111 % above the the $300 billion mark would have production, ? somewhat-* from lever of 1939; wages and salaries, 150%farm income from a marketings, >151%; and the tures.'. prewar gross f national product, 133%. And, of •course, an ment ;? 7 It for employment was about at all time record, and unemploy¬ was practically non-existent. cannot a be too often stated, clear understanding of the reconversion difficulties, that the to rise. During established a (Continued j perhaps in an exag¬ in isolated instances view of the thinness of mar¬ - 77'; -''U. 7\777-77; ^Auspicious Beginning definite for. t nearer impresses favorable ; Members New York Security Dealers Assn. policies more labor to seems 39 be now New York considered increases now by O.P.A. whenever to be are O.P.A. fair *U. S. SUGAR "generally equitable level". Also, and a * this creases are necessary to years very is reflection that twist than After all, a up with they start year is a sufficiently long period of time to New HAnover / mentioned above. Price lines trends continue ward. of the practically all persistently up¬ ' BEST WISHES FOR already above the peak period. Retail prices, the other hand, are still slight¬ below the level reached just ly a renewed upswing can hardly be long de¬ layed in getting under way. De¬ spite. statistics to the contrary, it might be observed that retail prices are far higher than actually indicated by until seen to which . they come ^Materializing. And in, this • quite are . unfore¬ very close A and respect there are even to the casual observ¬ Est, 1926 AW CJL « Members New York Security Dealers Assn. 170 is (Continued on page & RIOD that price control in many lines is more apparent than real. er Happy Prosperous the figures due to and (2) virtual disappearance of all except higher priced goods. The obvious con¬ clusion . Angreles in • Wholesale prices today are double the 1926 level war 2-4785 Bell System Teletype, NY 1-2733-34 Private Wires to. Chicago & Los i than are Yorjc Security Dealers Assn. 40 Exch. PL, New York 5, N. Y. without the power to veto price advances within"' the i categories pjermit . coming into play certain (1) lower quality events Request Members Furthermore, O.E.S. (Office of Economic Stabilization) v is now , frequently end different with; a on J.F.Reilly&Co. "prevent hardships impeding reconversion". prior to V-J Day but observation the'result of Circular increases in prices are to be per¬ mitted when O.P.A. finds in¬ on Perhaps Teletype NY 1-1203 *DU MONT LABORATORIES in permitted they are finds necessary to maintain picious circumstances than might be';experienced at the end of the 7- 6, N. Y. HAnover 2-8970 "fixing prices".; Moreover, price and year,' Broadway be along the line of from price con¬ rereat 1. GOLDWATER & CO .. i might be recalled, for instance, that under present di¬ rectives wage increases up to 33% above January 1941 levels must year bids fair to start out at least under more aus¬ Broadway Bill System WOrth 2-0300 Teletype NY 1-84 3168) the Punta We rate interested in offerings of, are tech¬ ~ * , Lea Fabrics High Grade .• Alegre Sugar Eastern Sugar Assoc. . U. S. . ' Public Utility and Industrial at 3161) Sugar Pressurelube, Inc. PREFERRED STOCKS ' 77; ■ the this more It more- f! The; coming interest rates on page Taylor Wharton Eron&Steel way kets. expendi¬ DUNNE & CO. Spencer Trask & Co, Members New York Security Dealers Assn. 25 ;?7'725 Broad Street, New York * .. . Telephone HAnover 2-4300 Members New r; Teletype NY 1-5 York Stock Exchange Broad WHitehall ' St., New York U, N> Y. 3-0272—Teletype NY 1-936 Private Wire to Boston . Public National Bank Inquiries invited from dealers, estates, corporations, banks, in¬ , . _ Lawyers Title & Guar. Co. N. Y. Title & Mtge. Co. 32 New Vork Security Broadway DIgby 4-8640 Teletype NY 1-832. 834 Ilewburger, Loeb & Co WHitehall 4-6330 ► Direct New Dealers Ass'o Wire Trust Income 4s, j j- •' ; ^7^7.. "7 '"'f Common and Preferred 7'7::; Bought—Sold—Quoted i" V Radiator Analyses to » 1965 Bonds and Odd Pieces National j Co. Republic Pictures ^ Co. available dealers only CHICAGO 4 Harrison 2i)76 Hon. Rose S Trsster ■ Teletype CG 130 Service York—Chicago—St. Lou»« Kansi' & American Bantam Car 7 ; Board of Trade Bldg. NEW YORK 4 Members New York Stock Exchange 4% STRAUSS BROS. '•"mb^ Prudence Co. - : stitutions and individual holders Lawyers Mortgage Co. hardly be surprising if this phenomenon should hold true to ar Polaroid Corp. con¬ UNLISTED Bond & Mtge. Guar. Co. 5 any Would out United Piece Dye Works SECURITIES CERTIFICATES Bell Teletype NY 1-8033 hardly fdrm—and Blocks of TITLE COMPANY 40 Wall St.. N. Y was ; MARKETING FACILITIES / Billard j Traditionally 1 speaking, " a rise during the year-end" week is one of the most pronounced seasonal periods-in the entire year and it Nationwide •' Y. 7-; lpw: The Federal Reserve- Banks -the first half of 1945, these expen- i on wartime a keeping operations was the war and the j rtures of the Government. Gordon vestors seeking to utilize idle cash rise in. a postwar ities «adopted 1 unprecedented wartime expendi- trols. funds; V:« Accordingly, early ? in the the monetary control author¬ nique for j; gradual covering of existing positions—and furthermore shorts had to compete with in¬ «' and more short j United Artists , key to reconversion, other and or ently rising prices and in and distinctly The consist¬ gerated? YORK too prema¬ important is outlook as than otherwise. as applied to a Gov¬ certain events mainly of a politi¬ rapidly approaching, cal nature which-can be visualized Government's prime motivating force behind this capacity level of business '' But highly unfavorable effect war, more more require-: the, Government, Lwhich of us encing months . first < ^7.7,-;' r'7 - Government has elected our operations, f; $27 money,'.-.. * to Close Operated A first important circumstance to bear in mind is that in the first half war term were extensive period is the meth¬ NEW perhaps serious any STREET, Telephone WHitehall 4-6551 pronounced a seem warrant oldr including /What's Happening probably suf¬ ficiently' alert after experi¬ 1 ess rate any to More ir^ sufficient volume to permit reconversion at Short Covering of summer or quite the out WALL 99 sideration for the present. presumably methods which the Govern¬ or and ture took prompt advantage of the set¬ 77 j A second circumstance of great od most cur¬ Policy V —ring the old obsoletes. Such events, however, at this time are largely in the realm of conjecture re¬ ground j Shorts have adverse effect marketwise. pur¬ Ps from the full wealth * the might, by sooner, v7 77<7:7//;7 back, but liquidation ; ; in Government ... pose made effort war readjust¬ the be must I the nation's total production of goods the slack that needs to con¬ of the con¬ up sumption;' for covered customer, be taken be¬ had week lost. be that jn d • by the e jn d of the They enabled the Govern¬ to cation of force its a previously largely for immediate war sumption, of about half of NEW YEAR in following an unfortunate radio episode sudden and sharp drop early in the week but the market re:-V.v-' <3>- have been considered fan¬ ing ment and Stephen M. Foster ment a c'iomposure were the motivat¬ hind . ditures running at the an¬ nual rate of $104 billion, a figure which only a few years earlier lems;; For \ 7 quickly gained saw the defeat of our enemies abroad;- it home, a period of great promise for social and 7-;^economic well-^ course, > brought HAPPY a Concentrated liquidation - in,; at 7 bein g.; O f in Outlook Is the Tremendous Rise the Public Debt Which Is Affording i ^ 1945 not only year nishered AMD COMPANY Co. Large Money Supply and Is a } Potential Inflationary Influence. Says There Is Plenty ef Dynamite i in the Market Situation That 100% Margins or Increase in Capital ! Gains Tax Cannot Remove. ■7--'-.; ■' • v" 7 Capacity. & Favorable Factors in the Near-Term as dency. Holds Basic Factor id Inflationary Threat, but Contends :7; Reserve Sees Need of Settlement of Industrial Strife and Holds Outlook Depends on Proper Decisions Regarding I Labor, Management and Government Relationships.. < ♦ of Department, J. R. Williston i Outlook (I) the Progress Being Made in Reconversion; (2) the /'Gradual Retreat From Price Controls and (3) the Price Rise Ten¬ Mr. Foster, jj R. S. By G. Y. BILLARD Policy Can Prevent Inflation Economic 3131 City—Los - T ; A.H1.1SITED - , 74 Tele'nhone Trinity Place, New York 6, N. Y. BOwIing Green ♦ 9-7400 C. E. Unterberg & Co, Members N. Y. Security Dealers Ass'n 1014 Teletype: NY 1-375 61 Rroadway, New York 6, Y, Telephone BOwlitigr Green 9-3565 Teletype NY 1-1666 Thursday, December 27, 1945 CHRONICLE & FINANCIAL THE COMMERCIAL [3132 Miinik— V-, - The Cost of Structure W4KD & CO. ; LIVINGSTON* By S. MORRIS , Government" Chief of the National Economics Unit est. im Foreign and Domestic Commerce Bureau of ' ?.X? /; -.> "Extra-Ordinary By HON. HUGH BUTLER* Conditions During u War, and Concludes There Has Been a General and Substantial Advance in Prices of Civilian Goods Reflecting the Demand on 4? Commerce Dapartment Expert Analyzes Price Transportt Air Cargo Alaska Airlinest American Bantam Car Com. Pfd. & American Hardware Limited Supplies. Amer. Window Com. , v Glass* &1 Prd. .• during the re¬ conversion per ply Hartford-Empire Co.: Kingan Co. Lamson & Sessions* ma¬ Oxford Paper ' Pfd. Price Incentives interrelation of this in trends, fact; of course, that the the importance Taca United Artists : expansion in the pro¬ goods and the shift duction of war the armed forces accomplished entirely by of the prices of those goods and services in competition boom collapse not were bidding up with the alternative civilian pro¬ duction. They were accomplished in part by direct means—priori¬ ties, allocations oi materials and restrictions on non-war the *Bowser lne." <: Cliffs Corp. Csm. . Cleveland Cliffs Iron Pfd. You do lobbying Bought Industry. ;-iIt brought to you good at activating ideas, or maybe it is motivating, or maybe it is implementing ideas. We have' a At New Jersey Worsted Wrnts. & Pfd. ) Textron United Piece Dye UTILITIES rate, I have read any 115 Telephone BArclay 7-0100 ■ passed went Wash¬ bet¬ output from the biggest busi¬ the in In of you Nebraskan. ! But I'm *Prospectus and Study Special Letter Available or • Pub. Serv. Members New . , York Security Dealers by Senator Association Hanover 2-7793 PRESSURELUBE, INC. KENDALL COMPANY. SPORT PRODUCTS INC. GLASS SHATTERPROOF FASHION PARK, Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn. THE 120 BROADWAY, N Y. 5 *•' REctcr 2-8700 • Buff. 6021 INC., Common COMPANY FOUNDATION SEGAL LOCK & HARDWARE Herbert D. • Editor and Seibert, ;- Publisher Dana Seibert, President Thursday, December 27, 1945 i Published twice > 7, (general 1 week a Thursday every news and advertising issue) and every Monday Other Chicago Offices: 3, 111. 135 S. La (Telephone: Salle State St, 0613»: Drapers' Gardens, London, E. C.. Eng¬ land,-c/o Edwards & Smith-" Copyright 1945 by William B, Dan. Company ■••V;.. ,-* „> ' Reentered KAISER-FRAZER CORP. ; HYTR0N RADIO ruary ^ 25, 1879 as second-class matter Feb¬ at the post office at New 1942, Under the ACt 0f Marcn * Subscriptions & ELECTRONICS CORP. in United : ana ot'^S inSouth Dominioni' Canada, $*£0«°nper $27.50 per year; year; and or ofwtral^n^,erlca" sPaln, I 7% Pfd. States Mexico, and Si, Descriptive Circulars on Incorpcrated Members New 41 Broad York Security Dealers Association Street, New York 4 f per year; Great Britain,;": Continental Europe (except Spain), Asia, request Seligman, Lubetkin & Co. Bos. 2100 '<-0 ' ^ ? V WELLMAN ENGINEERING COJ Jlaptfd 6111 Publishers William r. . k Of/ice Company 1 SUPERIOR TOOL & DIE CO. .Direct Wires to Chicago and Phila. ' ENTERPRISE PHONES - Patent (complete statistical issue—market quo¬ tation records, corporation, banking, and city news, etc.) :Teletype NY 1-2425 WALT DISNEY PRODUCTIONS 1-1287-1288 S, 1945. Bulletin or Circular upon request Y. U. cleaiings, state f[Prospectus Upon Request N, and William D. Riggs, Business Manager Anniversary New York 5 70 Pine Street spending war page 3146) COMMERCIAL - • Butler sociation, New York City, Dec. '• . > relationship is Golden on REctor 2-9570 to 9576 ) at least half- .... our , 25 Park Place, New York 8 Congress of American Industry of the National Manufacturers As¬ FIRST COLONY CORPORATION sharply ' ... if all surprised were sure the before Special Letter on Request how Reg. fPittsburgh Railways f Y orkf Corrugating f Statistical at the Treasury granting relief William B, Dana produce steak, cheese, and such. Speaking be meas¬ Congress high wartime rates.^ The ^astronomically or metabolically, whatever the medical term is, most than to go in us some The FINANCIAL CHRONICLE or F wouldn't i Congress and of Farm slightly different sense, we Nebraskans get most of our in¬ come from the processes of change, too. ; In our case, we mix seeds ham relief. farther know a and soil to individuals (Continued Kinship The for ...... . the weeks, and bills f But ^ Congress could "approve only a limited reduction. You who had r your contracts terminated Federal world—our reviews , . tax wanted -Industry *M. H. Lamston, Inc. Financial tax bill which gave busi¬ a of ure , and ness Dept. ^Simplicity Pattern their and taxation i recent from ness Iowa Southern Util. * In need some flour, American Gas & Pow. North'n New Eng. Co. passage. into reali¬ practical changes down at tAmerican Insulator Our which recommends The point is, we ington to get a bigger and a tLe Roi Company taxes sub¬ both are One of my duties as Senator is serve on the Senate Finance You change dreams *0xford Paper Pfd. & Com. 105 jWest Adams St., Chicago Teletype NY J-672 Broadway, New York We business futures. of Committee, that Omaha. *An address New Eng. to able to take a hunk of coal, a pinch of salt and stir them up with a breath of fresh air and behold: you have nylons—and a line of frenzied women from here ' Merck & Co., Inc. and Other Principal Exchanger Government Problem are you " special study prepared by our Research in¬ perplexing same about our Core The "gobble-degook," as on of fellows ~ are; . [ effect exactly and market men the over concerned at in brainy bureaucratic language our known have sidies and handouts. •> ..:: :' Members N. Y. Slock Exchange I „ bottle depreciation, reserves, dilemma Hugh Butler my " that men of industry are good changing things. As they say ; Aspinook Corp. , , . We you ties. GOODBODY & Co. S Alabama Mills* al¬ ink considerations overhead, hired risks. • week every red language, with same " vestment, been ways the Farm and factory talk is same the Government. * TEXTILES j' the of has .attention to Crowell-Collier Pub: Sold - Quoted - of market to uncork we again. at annual beef a cattle or o w n my really fat little a production, talk and It factory, and its output has got to be a carload of is I chance a pro¬ this life is my Nebraska ranch. so looking w a s talk farmers production and more production. About all I've got to show for and body. It happened desks your are select Our duction, production and more pro¬ You factory men. pound duction. manu-, facturers a ter Waltham Watch Warren Bros. "C" The Cross Co. American Hardware " , cousins. ticipated occasion. a n this Congress , U. S. Truck Lines ' Before anything else, I want to tell you I regard it my privilege, not yours, to be able to address this greatest of industrial forums, because I Vmore than being just "belly" have eagerly v Novem¬ production and the draft—plus the ber 1945 issue of "Survey of Cur¬ whole pattern of voluntary coop¬ rent Business" published by the eration in the war effort insoUnited States Department of (Continued on page 3148) j Commerce. ~ Airways* Spending. your It is a { r considering postwar price : ) v ;f Pressure Groups and Privilege Legislation. Wants Streamlined Government and a Unified Budget With Full Accountability for to of manpower to necessary? from r Will Come Until Federal Government Curbs Its Expenditures* Calls Attention to Byrd-Butler Bill Which Provides That Government 'Corporations Must Come Under Congressional Scrutiny and Warns [That New Similar Corporations "Under Sweet and Noble Titles" Are Being Placed Before Congress as Additional Payrolls and Pay Checks. Says Spending Spree Is Over and End Must Be Put io I be expected in peacetime; nevertheless, it is easy to exag¬ enormous forward to reasonably stable prices? Are individual prices so out of line that widespread ad¬ ^Reprinted ) for It H. Robertson f||; [ be¬ supply/ demand and prices that which resources, . Polaroid Com. i ; & Com. we followed the last war, to justments are a has been different from gerate speedy deflation, or Natl. Vulcanized Fibref t as on wartime might tionary S. Morris Livingston such Mohawk Rubber Mallory tween aninfla¬ to and Michigan Chemical P. R. Reliance readjust¬ look the price structure, t on The ments? Must there- Heavy Sees $30 Billion Deficit Next Year and States That No Real Tax Relief i nf 1 uential the for need jor Kaiser-Frazerf i erating sup¬ suggest got we together with an evaluation of the current and prospective forces op¬ the price relation¬ ships and costprice profit r e 1 ationships Industries* how and are we demand- - is to have the background current.' situation—where the of and fter? of. ture these questions it answer necessary struc¬ whole Douglas Shoe* , d o e r e a Does Dayton Malleable Iron* Du Mont Lab. "A" Gt. Amer. i t h Cinecolor, Inc. ; be expected under conditions To _ S. F. Bowser war? Is it level reached by the end of the What about the price seriously out of line with what might which we face<"*> . Federal Expenditures to "Extra-Ordinary" Government. ! i INDUSTRIALS U. S. Senator from Nebraska Prominent Member of Senate Finance Committee Ascribes i Holds Supply-Demand Relationships at End of ; 'War Created Both Inflationary and Deflationary Pressures.; Says i That Analysis Shows That the Areas in Which a Change in Supply- \:j, Demand Relationships Will Create a Deflationary Trend Are c at * 1 Present Larger Than Areas of Inflationary Tendencies and That g Even if Consumption Increases 50% Above Prewar Level, Result-' ing Increased Demand Will Increase Production Rather Than Lead ^ to Higher Prices. Holds Large Wartime Profits Prevailed in Every ^ Major Segment of the Economy and That After Reconversion, a High Volume of Productivity Will Make Possible Wage Increases. i i HAnover 2-2100 Australia HARDY t HARDY 11 Broadway, New York 4 Telephone Teletype WHttehall 3-4490 NY 1-960 and Africa, $31.00 per year. Other Publications ^anl^^nd^Quotatlon Record—Mth.$25 Monthly Earnings < vr. Record—Mth...$25yr. ir1Nr?IE~:On/CC0"nt of the fluctuations the rate of exchange, remittances m for fO'reign subscriptions and advertisements ' must be made in New York funds. Volume h 162 Number THE COMMERCIAL & 4450 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3133 Agricultural Question j Expert Discusses International Use Mark of 1946 Prof. /'"'VvSecretary v\ of Agriculture J ; Between Farm and Factory Production. Warns Against a Drift Into a Policy of Scarcity and Urges a Full Production Goal for ; Agriculture to Be Counter-Balanced by Full Employment in Indus- j try. Says Present Price Parity Formulas Are Out of Date and That j New and More Flexible Formulas Should Be Used to Encourage a ( Better Balanced, Diversified Agriculture, and for This Purpose He Proposes Conferences Between Farmers, Labor and Industry to ; ance Plan Production Schedules. The coordinated, progressive action the ; , need for standard : of is a - .living all fronts to maintain and raise on American * — smother them with the munitions machines and of war. 'I^ ' / No group familiar timer tested phi¬ losophy..; It is an idealistic than the kind evidence that it around in us s works all the un- rpassed u and vital and We industry. strong, a rewards Clinton P. Anderson day ery lives in the form of democratic nation, to organ¬ ize into to one great productive team outproduce our enemies and ; MADE * ; . ON • » r • what he I produces.: /• always glad to meet with am the American Farm Bureau Fed¬ representing eration, hundreds address before derson vention of the developed and tested, test fission, of great briefly ite the in nitely. energy for in¬ run d n and expressed ments may already made, such about though he come pressed doubt: whether obtain Bureau Dec. to be Standard y Some first chain Lake Andian National a small, are some Canadian Pacific they bombs arc prob- v made were of program all and as a have (Continued on Electrolux Hydro Elec. Securities Com. v/vMY International Utilities Jack Waite Mining Kirkland Lake Gold factors: Minnesota & Ontario / y feature 3145) ; & f New York "•. > Direct Noranda Mines * Premier Gold Mining / Chicago • 32 St. Louis • * Kansas City Broadway- ST., N. Y. WILLIAM 52 Teletype 5.,. HAnover 2-0980 NY 1-395 Montreal New York Los Angeles • ST. ' y Toronto General Public CHICAGO 4 . ', V' Harrison ' Teletype NY 1-832-834 1 Teletype , Utilities 2075 CG Common 129 Baum, Bernheimer Co. LOUIS & CO. - Board of Trade Bldg. DIgby 4-8640 v j f KANSAS CITY Pledger & Company, Inc. Members New Orleans Stock Exchange Mission LOS ANGELES New Orleans 12, La. 41 Broad St. HART SMITH & CO. COAST - White & Company T. J. FEIBLEMAN ■ Pend Oreille Mines Private Wire Service 0; NEW YORK 4 Steamship?!' OF New York 4, N. Y. Paper Co. Nipissing Mines ^ \ STRAUSS BROS. i Standard Commercial Tobacco Mining Massey-Harris Co. Pfd. atomic one page Lumber Hamilton Bridge Co. gen¬ part of the developing „ Rwy. Canadian Western enormous; which power Corp. 7% Pfd. Com.' & Pfd. Brown Company de¬ maintaining orj Members New York Security Dealers Ass'n ; u Assoc. Tel. & Tel. $6 & self- varied mary based the but all COAST-TO j ; Dry Carondelet Bldg. Bo. f)-44.12 , Bell Tel.—NY-1 -493 , ' , , : Chicago and East Illinois RR. PANAMA COCA-COLA Chicago Great Western Ry. Consolidated Film Industries Consolidation : Quarterly dividend payable January 15, 1946 Coal' DIVIDENDS: Farrell-Birmingham 1945 j Cuban Dominican Sugar Dcs Moines and Ft. Dodge RRl •,;; / : Company M j. ANALYSIS ON — 1944 $2.75 / /1 " f Lackawanna RR. of N. J. v/l';teManati Sugar Co. f - './/• •;*;$•' Minneapolis and St. Louis Ry, • W. J. 50 Banigan & Co. Broadway, N. Y. 4 1943 $4.50 28Vz — qAllen & Company Established 30 ESTABLISHED v — Hon ■ HAnover 2-8380 / 74 ; ; ■ / Trinity Place, New York 6, N. Y. East Coast Public N. Y. Railways \ Studcbaker Corp. Eastern Carbon Monoxide Norfolk aiid Southern Ry, - r 5 Yz s Securities Co. of N. Y. 4% * to ' 1-573 1 > New Orleans I-- i }/ 1951 ■ Minneapolis & St. Louis. Ry. Issues Eliminator Angeles and - 1948 Service 4s Minnesota *Pr. Wires Direct •• 1954 Crescent Public Service 6s 1-1017-18 & ^ V:.'' - NY Teletypes: Teletype: NY 1-375 \ HAnover 2-2600 Telephone: Los ,f. y NEW, YORK 4,-N. Y. .Specialists in Soft Drink Stocks Mobile and Ohio RRW , 1922 STREET BROAD 1914 Telephone: BOwling Green 9-7400 N. Y. Lackawanna and Western Preferred and Common New Analysis on request Kelly Springfield Tire * Republic Pictures $.75 REQUEST * # $2.25 — Vy Approximate selling price Erie RR. Iowa Central RRt !' £ Haytian Corp. ! P • Consols Wabash Ry. American Insulator Western Pacific RR. ,r ; Preferred & American Cyanamid Common Eastern Heat & Punta Preferred / Sugar Associates, Petroleum Gilbert & Bennett Alegre Sugar Common Quotations Upon Request Co. Power FAKR Gude, Winmill & Co. ■ „ Members New Yorjc Stock Exchange 1 Wall St., New York 5, N.Y. Dl^fay 4-7060 Teletype NY 1-95S & FREDERIC H. HATCH & CO. PETER BARKEN 32 . ". Broadway, New York 4, N. Y. Tel. WHitehall 4-6430 Tele. NY 1-2500 ■ MEMBERS 63 Wall ' N. " Y. Incorporated ' ' : Bell Teletype York NY 1-897 Stock New York Coffee & 120 WALL SECURITY DEALERS ASSOCIATION' Street, New York 5, N.r Y. New i CO. Members-J ; • Sun Life Assurance Sulphur Chemical Fruit ; I < ! Royal Bank of Canada reaction. erate also varies by large gen¬ there that — y':vVV'| Naumberg & Jefferson Corp. . service. Bank of Montreal Bell United Piece Dye:::"./ Chicago and North West RR. the was then them and Re¬ a fundamental 111., Chicago, (Continued on page 3162) SECURITIES Brill Corp. and Farm American Federation, 1945. 18, v American Locomotive Co. could be fission of controlled nuclear chain reaction. un¬ Oppenheimer seems eral, impression automo¬ existing. 3' Dr. and war Canadian Bk. of Commerce a been designed and built, each of them generating ap¬ preciable quantities of energy, jail ex¬ knowledge and now stated that "it serious rate This "Since nuclear used in new this, in vices-have uses of be ideas not garding the sustaining fission the basis of experi¬ on The experiment with control. J. Robt. Oppenheimer the view that uranium atom one the rate of energy release adjusted within wide limits by a simple transportation purposes > lE. Mexico, another it generated, the fission of a second atom, and so on indefi¬ the a MO.—Albert trons n- atomic dustrial New mass of uranium and graph¬ produced, through the neu¬ of use in Metallurgical Laboratory in Chicago. In this experiment, con¬ ditions were so'arranged that the discussed volved Dempsey-Tegeler at the was Secretary An¬ the National'Con¬ Rademaker / the atomic bomb problem / i • great experiment was carried out ■ by the Jonas UNEXCHANGED does was previously Navy; Mr. Reiner was Louis Ord. District! LOUIS, completing farm- of thousands of it as Moser have rejoined Dempsey-Tegeler & Co., 407 North Eighth Street, after ; *An v\*., OLD/ Mexico, matter where he farms no liarvi 11 BIDS Alamos, New new y ••ij Los airplane transportation goes J, ful for the purposes of society. This view is based on misconcep¬ tion. More than two years before great laboratory a t or industry ern us, a head was the we or farms, great cities, tremen¬ factories, millions of auto¬ mobiles, fine highways, schools, hospitals, and homes It is the factor that made it possible for who of bile if ST. radio address delivered on Dec. 23, during the United States Company Philharmonic Symphony broadcast, Dr. J. R. Op¬ penheimer of the University" lems in controlling the release of of this energy and in making it use¬ California, less that -With a slack in dous In gets tangled in the traces, the farmer soon finds himself in or v i: . experi¬ Mr. in the U. S. Rubber could ev¬ mod¬ our and pro¬ You know prosperous, F. Gummersbach and Walter A. Stay power trouble, ; a produc¬ and first-hand, "painful the see ,, maintain to ductive-United States. ence agri¬ need strong,;, prosperous of . the is how phase of farming tive agriculture, if we are to have from our Bureau Farm You know from your Eugene with the St. it advance to personal experience in every own achievements culture, labor, interdependence more American tical The familiar with more of done Federation, results. is doctrine has or creed,; but: it brings prac¬ is our the and with Herrick, Waddell Co., Inc., 1012 Baltimore Ave* nue. R. MO.—Charles -ti CITY, Jr., are Atomic Bomb, Holds That Problem of where ; interdependence of all economic groups and the Moser, & Oppenheimer, Head of Laboratory That Developed Making Available Nuclear Fuel Is Capable of Being Solved, but Doubts Whether Automobiles and Airplanes Can Be Operated by Nuclear Power Units Until New Ideas Are Developed. I . Secretary Anderson, After Reviewing Agricultural Progress in War I Period, Speaks Optimistically of Outlook for 1946. Calls Atten- I tion to Close Economic Interdependence of Agriculture and Indus- : try, and Points Out That Immediate Problem Is to Maintain a Bal¬ J. KANSAS E. Reiner Of Atomic Power By HON. CLINTON P. ANDERSON* With Herrick, Waddelh v \ Exchange Sugar Exchange ST., NEW YORK TEL. HANOVER 2-9612 Thursday, December 27, 1945 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & 3134 Coburn CONN.—Lewis I. become associated & Middlebrook, 49 Pearl Street. In the past he was HARTFORD, has Corliss with Churchill to Visit United States Middlebrook Joins Coburn, Sojourn Month's for Paine, Webber Robert C. Buell & Co. States Only a vative month This trip, it announced that Win¬ wartime Conser¬ Prime Minister of Great advice Bayway Terminal ill's physician, D£S MOINES Davis Coal & Coke who suggested : ! Common WHEELOCK & CUMMINS , cli¬ warm a for mate Emerson Drug of Church¬ Mr. re- eration. Churchill, and if labor troubles cup Mr. INCORPORATED STEIN BROS. & BOYCE New York Members 6 S. Preferreds Stock exchanges & Baltimore Exchanges and other leading United Light Co. Rath Packing Bector 2-3327 ■ MOINES DES but Bell Tele. DM 184 Phone 4-7159 DETROIT Securities Co. ; COMMON STOCK ' ' ' ;V ' ' ' ' ' y V Electromaster, Inc. company ^ in United States Outstanding Record of paying dividends on common shares each 1910, since year ' ' f The oldest leverage investment Sheller ■ Manufacturing Corp. * <!■.'. . Reports ' '> '> '' ■ ' , furnished on '' > f -r request ; • except 1933-1935. Selling asset '' " • * value. ' " .* Mercier, McDowell & Dolphyn t 1 i Descriptive memorandum du net below about 28% on request Members Stock Exchange Detroit Detroit 26 Buhl Bidg:., Tele. DE 507 Cadillac 5752 Pont, Homsey Co. one BOSTON is . V,;.Dealer 9, MASS. Botany Worsted Markets Dependable ■; ' t - Central Steel & Wire ^ Invited year. .;: Mills pfd. & A Empire Steel Corp. com. Mar-Tex Realization Inquiries ? j 1 . Philadelphia Co. common ;-;V Michigan Securities (Oil and Gas Producer) Warner Shoe common speculative inflationary hedge W H. Bell & CO Members Detroit Stock Incorporated Investment Federal 49 Tel. v HUB. * and Co. common well 0810 Easton 10, Mass. Teletype BS Phone TRUST 2 a ; . Phila. 2 share estimated at around $6 (based on 1944 earnings), City Rapid Transit is one Board The company operates St. Paul and Minneapolis, and (now 14). in a record of efficient manage- ment. $2.62 a share was earned months ended Sept. 30, has Capital Transit ington, D. C., and serves Wash¬ is controlled by American North the Company stock is hard to buy but at the last available quotation around 34, offered a yield of nearly 6%. Philadelphia Transpo rtation* system. The minority 9Vz over-counter, has a complicated capital struc■ ture. The stock was issued in reorganization in 1940. The present dividend rate is 80c, affording an excellent yield. There should be some substantial tax savings next [ year, as a buffer against any decrease in revenues. Duluth-Superior Transit, around (Continued on page 3156) f ; in the nine Portland -Harrisburg Sy¬ (28) pay..$l and $2 of the few issues on the Big ST. LOUIS LOUISVILLE • ..... present dividend rates seem covered by earnings. Syra-1 around should; enjoy tax savings highly Twin 189 Allentown Transit next year Tele. PH 73 Phone Rittenhouse 3717 CAnal 6-3667 Washington OFFICE Exchange Bldg. Stock BLDG. Teletype GR 184 94336 Byllesby & Company PHILADELPHIA Securities St., Boston New York Tel. Philadelphia MICH. Exchange RAPIDS GRAND ' V ; H. M. white, noble & co. war : respectively, affording good yields. They have been recapitalized on a conservative basis, , cuse A . Rochester Transit (11) and racuse Vinco Corp. John Irving , earnings, estimated at over $1 for ' 1945 (87 cents was earned in 9 months). Dividends, however, amounted to only 25 cents this .■■■»; I Inquiries Invited • Teletype BS 424 Capitol 4330 | ;; Third Avenue ^Transit, selling on the Exchange around 13, does not appear particularly attractive; even allowing for anticipated post- reasonably priced in relation to mated) mean little because of the complicated capital structure, in-»eluding several preferred stocks with substantial arrears. CRAND RAPIDS Bank Building Shawmut States, Mr. scheduled to make address. ; On March 5,'he Churchill Railway and Light ' . earnings improvement upon completion of the bus conversion ' program. There are, of course; will speak on "World Affairs", at Baltimore Transit, selling over- large arrears on the adjustment Westminster College, Fulton, Mo., counter around 6V2; earns about income bonds and a recapitalizain President Truman's home State. $1.52 a share. The company has tion would seem to be essential been involved in litigation with before the stock could pay -sjny the City of Baltimore, but this has dividends. Meanwhile, the Com-' apparently been cleared up; the pany is suffering from managevoting trust has been terminated ment troubles. ' j ) Southern Advance and a new President appointed. | ; St. Louis Public Service A ira Accumulations on the two income . the 12 months ended September/ Bag & Paper Co. bonds were cleared up in 1942.'earned $1.91 a share and the divi'■//V./:Common Stock v/* Arrears' on the preferred stock dend rate is $1. National City amount to about 50%, so that are- Lines has a substantial interest in» Grinnell Corp.? capitalization would be in order, the company. I Tax savings next Common Stock " Federal excess profits taxes in 1 year should be substantial. The 1944 .were very large and their stock is around 20 Y2 in the unelimination may facilitate some listed market. recap plan. j Eastern Mass. Street Railways BOENNING & CO. Los Angeles Transit is con-j is an extremely "high leverage"! 1606 Walnut St., Philadelphia 3 trolled by National City Lines, I issue, quoted over-counter around Pennypacker 8200 PH 30 which owns about 59% of the 4, with a poor market. The high Private Phone to N. Y. C. common stock. Selling around 10 share earnings ($3.81 plus nearly COrtlandt 7-1202 i • over-counter, the stock seems $17 potential tax savings, esti- ' IOWA 9, in-1,946, when they Will enjoy big tax savings. Their several years of prosperity has "fattened" them, permitting substantial improvement in financial structure and cash position." Some of them have been able to refinance on favorable terms. / Following is :some brief comment on leading issues: » to; Mr.;. and and their1 daugh¬ Oliver./! available Churchill While in the United BUILDING EQUITABLE Churohill ;,v ' ter, Mrs. Sarah BOSTON H house Mrs. Common ' Winston who has made his 393 Bell Teletype BA New York Telephone Quebec, of & Rys. Kansas City Public Service sells over-counter around 7. Earnings are difficult to appraise because of a large contingency charge. Twenty-five cents a share was paid last January, and 30 cents will be due Jan, 2, affording a yield of'over 4%. ' | ing servicemen, plus reviving factory employment for peace work, may keep the trolleys rather busy Clarke Frank Preferreds CALVERT ST., BALTIMORE 2 a ida, will be the guest of Col. Co. and material continue there will be continued slow-down. ' Return- shortages while in Flor¬ Iowa Power & Light The transit company stocks ; under taken the have, of course, enjoyed a substan¬ tial wartime rise, reflecting the huge increase in operations due to decreased auto use and increased factory employment. It has been rather generally assumed that after the war the earnings bubble would be pricked, and the transit stocks would suffer a corresponding deflation. But perhaps this view may be subject to modification.. The automobile. industry is not<£— ——— . ' v showing the rapid comeback which but there are still $49 arrears on was anticipated earlier this year, the preferred stock. ■ • ^ is is reported, Attractive? Are the Transit Stocks so or Florida. in Churchill, ston to'spend Year It has been BALTIMORE the United will sail for shortly after the New During College, Address Scheduled & Co. and Stay Is at Westminster : Fulton, Mo. with Britain, New Year in Florida. Early After Sail Will American Barge Line > < American Turf Ass'n TRADING MARKETS Girdler Boston Edison Louisville Boston & Maine Prior Pfd. Gas Stix & Co. Pref. INVESTMENT 509 OLIVE STREET PREFERREDS < ' i Submarine Signal UTILITY PUBLIC SECURITIES Winn & Lovett Grocery New England Lime Common . Corporation Hialeah Race Course ★ ★ ★ St.LouisI.Mo. ™I BANKERS BOND Incorporated Dayton Haigney & Company 75 Federal Street, Boston 10 1st Floor, Kentucky Home Life LOUISVILLE Members St. Louis Stock Bldg. Exchange ! Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis 2, KENTUCKY Long Distance 238-9 Bell Tele. LS 186 ESTABLISHED 1879 Private New York Telephone REctor 2-5035 UTICA. N.Y. PHILADELPHIA We Suggest Oregon Portland Cement Co. Gear • • •' • .• Capacity—900,000 barrels annually. Book value—around $18. Good earnings all through war period, t Company would benefit substantially from tax reduction. Oregon's huge highway program ready to start. Market about 12% Circular available Lerner 10 POST W Cotton . United Printers A Publishers OFFICE SQUARE Teletype BS 69 Mills ■ //:;i /'Makers of Utica & > • Memos on Request Mohawk Percale Sheets''. - • BUCKLEY BROTHERS York, Philadelphia and Angeles Stock Exchanges 1529 Walnut Street, Philadelphia 2 Los Angeles Pittsburgh, Pa. Hagerstown, Md. N. Y. Telephone—•WHitehall 3-7253 , .• • INQUIRIES INVITED Private Wire System between Philadelphia, New York and Los Angeles ' 'J;/ : England common ' Gilbert J. Postley & INVESTING COMPANY INC. 238 Genesee Northern New [ ;,v V MOHAWK VALLEY Tel. 4-3195-6 Midland Realization common ,.:£: 1 " Members New Los Midland Utilities common Utica & Mohawk : - Pump Co. New York & CO. BOSTON 9, MASS. Tel. HUB 1990 Grinding Machine Co. Reda Common Class "A" 29 BROADWAY, NEW St.,. Utica 2,,N." Yyj Tele. UT 16* *" Direct YORK 6, N Wire to Chicago . ' Co. Y. ' ' • THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Number 4450 umev162 CHRONICLE 3135 of the Justice Nbyes Holds Present Real Estate Prices Are About 60% Charles F. Level, Whereas Stock Price Averages Show a Much Greater Sees Ground for Higher Real Estate Prices. of 1932 , j Advance. / Company, has issued a statement predicting further rise in real estate. values the real an «>- and ' ;• es- 3946.; i According to Co \ m m o n * - degree of nomic par¬ is increased the ~ the last months ' ;12 investment list;.: Why. ing, a 2% to 4% re¬ fully and expertly selected, from 7% to 10% on a substantial equity? will wit¬ 128% greater activities in the pur¬ and com¬ AVERAGES Industrial-- Percentage Increase--2_____„___L^.--.' 1945 Railroad the increase, of 212%, 128%, 34% and 39% above specified, New York City real es¬ tate is selling not at an increase but at substantially 60% of the ; ^ l \"Heal estate values must be and 64.15 212% 128% .-Utility 28.33 " ' .-..- y ' 38.05 Z ^:7/34% . Bonds 77.45 107.92 39% creased held be arti¬ regulations greatly, /Rents temporarily down may valuation much much, is wonder greater than today's prices. The purchase of well selected real es¬ tate is the outstanding investment why such low prices < pre¬ vailed in 1945 and 1946. a Labor and all costs of operating build¬ ings of every description have in- a period and the public > is just commencing to realize it." ,-/// this of i Adjournment of First Session of 78th Congress; / p Legislation Enacf ed-Measures Pending Iff V > ; The first session of the 79th Congress adj ourned on Dec. 21;dhe session began on Jan.'4 last, and the second-session will%bevbrought underway on jan. Jan 14, in an "election year.'" The closing of the first ^ jsessiori Occurred id at 2:11 p.m. in the House on Dec. 21, while'the Sen• ate' wound up its "'deliberations at 3.47.p.m. ..rrntf. ftictwv '•?' j •; Noting that the session wrote, history, in w a r an d /peace r/ the: nn Associated Press on Dec. 21 added,'®" of Truman Navy officers who disagree.' His only / insistence, he proposal to make permanent the Fair Employment Practices Com¬ mittee set up in wartime to police iany discrimination against Ne¬ groes and other; minorities. The questioners, is that naval officers opposing the merger make it clear that they are expressing their per¬ there were many important matters which President urged it did. not/write into laws.: One of these was the ' that would bring it up as the second session opened its tion It Congress's handling of employment bills. In h;s final fore as time, the Chief Ex¬ plaiq his dissatisfac¬ same with conference be-? news Christmas, Mr. Truman who, Vice-President moved up to the said he wants Navy Secretary Forto remain least for the differences fication. . : his at Army-Navy uni¬ - • . - The President declared, said the Associated own Press, that despite his commitment to the Army a merger and-Navy into a Press,a the world United of single , by Nations been settled. now Similar of records accomplish¬ be found in other ad¬ ■ powers. to.Regu¬ late Commerce," creating the Im the State black ples, it is ess //■/ and violations /if/ , is their Illustrations of ervation "of. a. lawfully prosper¬ nation." ous // J/;-/////*' / the growth of , . on administrative law making agen¬ it considered a threat to our de¬ alien system and a of self-seeking bu¬ reaucrats." V But it is my conten¬ tion that the, administrative proc¬ an. mocracy, "contrivance Fifth act with an familiar—The all are Selective Training .and Afct—will serve Service illustrate to the in which the Congress has wisely refrained from seeking to yComplexities The a exe¬ judicatory functions in a single agency. In this statute Congress Administrative '' ised vigorous execution of the an¬ titrust Jaws, which action, he con¬ tended, was essential to promote rapid reconversion and the pres¬ fre* more placed broad rule-making and ad-" patch. Tom c. ciark and more instrument for the we manner of.Govern- /V/. ; ///; ment economic controls. He prom¬ wonder that Congress no an as which flexibility,'their capacity to do a complex task fairly and with dis¬ ^ year. An examination of governments as well as The great advantage of administrative agencies markets of its cution of its legislative policies. the Federal. - a has resorted > ,b'yJ..PgS part a In the light of these few exam¬ meet the needs of changing times, has steadily continued, in illus- ; quently to the administrative proc¬ The creation of other agencies, . the growing disregard for as only \ sand claims to ted is ble mjen.te d on what he called a that literally millions of records, andl disposes of 8 or 9 hundred thou¬ agencies, and... t r Yet work. roads, accompanied by discrimina¬ tory rate adjustments, irresponsi¬ terstate Commerce Commission. law analyzes, and schedules, The Social Security Board keeps elemental ad-mjnistrative . receives, thousands of rate applications and complaints. conferring ment in 1887 of "An Act also, c.o m - mission the rapid expansion of rail¬ was ' Quarterly Report of (Continued i 3164) on page the Office of Contract Settlement shows what tremendous progress has been made in settling termi¬ nated war contracts through ad¬ ! ministrative action. The surrender of Japan caused the termination of over 100,000 cancelled Add this SUBURBAN the - have . DU MONT LABORATORIES that contracts KAISER-FRAZER CORP. realization of the some gigahtib task faced War the by ! * WELLMAN ENGINEERING | Bought-—Sold—Quoted ess has had i to expand to meet the needs of an increasingly com¬ plex civilization/ Full recognition, it seems to ;me, has not been given to the '-fact that the phenomenal gro wth .of the administrative proc¬ ess 4 in recent years has been PROPANE GAS CORP. ) terminated by V-E Day and were you Com. & Pfd. prime .contracts, commitments. to *U. S. SUGAR i; involving 24,000,000,000 dollars in s j * Circular •IV, on request **Prospectus (/. (Srrettn0s . ./ " Request ' on /'//' , forced .by; phenomenal .events— two-world wars of catastrophic proportions,: and an intervening depression, all in +one generation; y> ■ f inancial/; . administrative /The in process as J.F.Reilly&Co. >i" George R. Cooley & Co. ///si;'' /:// bid 52 the-Government itself and at as the very // // INC. Established 1924 William St., New WHitehall 4-3990 York ..,./ 5, ;• N. • 40 Exch. PL, New York 5, N. Y. • i f Y. Members . ^ New York Security Dealers Assn. i I ' :HAnover 2-4785 B<jll System Teletype, NV 1-2733-34 Private Wires to Chieago & Los Angeles Teletype NY J-2419 first session of the First ACTIVE MARKETS: .tj fKaiser-Frazer - Corp. Bk. Hanover & // Tr. United Drill & Tool <"B") Industries Kingan Co.;t/ Hartman Tobacco Vi -Chemical Bank & Trust * Common Great American Z Kingan & Co. Com. & Pfd. Central Great American Industries General Tin /^National Vulcanized Fibre we «/- the lars have ment may financial manipulation, and speculation, that led to the enact¬ , Gov- of Common Missouri State Life Pfd. & Dayton Malleable Iron Common Prospectus on request Z , Air Cargo S. Weinberg & Co. J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co. \ Established 1908 - Members N. REctor Bell Y. • Members N. Y. ' Common Security Dealers Ass'n SIEGEL & CO. Telephone 60 Wall Street Security Dealers Assn. Broadway System Teletype N. Y. Bell 1-714 Teletype NY DIgby 4-2370 39 Broadway, N.Y. 6 Whitehall 3-7830 New York 5 2-4500——120 Teletype 1-2763 NY 1-1942 country's participation rin UNO; it appropriated new money to the UNRRA; it extended the lend-lease program and the recip¬ rocal trade agreements act, and it wrote into law the Bretton Woods monetary ments. In ' ~ We believe * agree¬ WE Securities a in and progress last shots back some had two-front then, been war was after fired, the took $52 billion of current (Continued Mgr. 3167) • Joseph McManus & Co. Inactive Exchange Chicago Stock Exchange 10 Tel. HUB 1990 Securities OFFICE BOSTON New York 6 Teletype NY 1-1610 POST 9, SQUARE MASS. Teletype BS 69 Preferred 7% Telephone Bond & Share Class A Associated Tel. & Tel. 7% Preferred Associated Tel. & Tel. Available LERNER & CO. Members New York: Curb 39 Broadway Telephone Bond & Sh^re • Spokane Portland Cement Circulars Digby 4-3122 on page SUGGEST Riverside Cement MICHAEL HEANEY, Mgr. WALTER KANE, Asst. Appropriated approximately $62,billion while will several years. Consolidated Cement • On the. domestic front Congress: companies Oregon Portland Cement ' doing those things it followed Roosevelt and Mr. Truman. cement operate at capacity for Curb and Unlisted the recommendations of both Mr.- present, despite their over idity, of decisions /' //' ..//.; 'round heard ratified this at post It the val¬ on enacted were important administrative courts/in rul¬ ing, more than any of predecessors, made dts international Presidency in April following the death of President Roosevelt, also xestal the Charter; it overwhelmingly enact¬ ed a law to give livings effect to grant of power. labor and these, some 185,000 contracts, involving over 25,000,000,000 dol¬ told $ of the things it. did. day extended the Committee's au¬ At the those Associated the recent voice thority under the emergency war¬ ecutive made - of the powers perhaps gress, v-//;'' 'I In the absence of the legislation e From •• he had asked, Mr. Truman yester¬ time not /■;■ //;'./; y y : Although its tally of "things-un¬ done" is a long one, the 79th Con¬ they Jan. 14. statutes Bill-to fix the also quote: Chavez (D.-N.Mex.) served soon as views and Administration. (R.-Minn.),' and notice Ball, effort will be made to muzzle no sonal Associated Press further said: : Senators ran-Summers defense, national however,'-? that / Of files the Federal Government is department production to date. war our Recon- | ;In an address before the American Bar Association meeting in Cincinnati, Ohio, on Dec. 19, Attorney General Tom C. Clark, upheld principles * of the McCar-y Congress under the Constitution, but. such be- higher in 1946 than in 1945, and five years hence we will contracts, the cies/ Mr/Clark said: governmental : | Administrative law has ?-been eventually along commonperhaps the primary/ subject of sense lines they will sharply ad¬ vance until owners obtain a fair djscussion .among legal thinkers .fpr the past 20 years. Some Have return Ion a fair valuation, ; and ficial prime / by will •«inri(.n»,av and Put 288,000 involving 62,000,000,000 dollars in commitments, have been terminated from the beginning of cancelled ministrative agencies. The Interstate Commerce Com¬ Commenting against ,values of Dec. 14, 1932. , 28.16 193.34 • i 'As / I "/•. "'// 61.93 14, 14, v.; bonds;: on The following comparison is defiIt is conclusive. t i December ; on apart-' nite. DOW-JONES , railroad stocks, 34% on utility stocks and 39% chase of buildings for occupancy. December show a per¬ averages centage increase of 212%.-in con¬ nection with industrial stocks, get towards normal. Nineteen hun¬ property and even the conversely, while, Dow-Jones rental values increase and buildings, store this than Furthermore, this return will in¬ mercial buildings cannot provide than- 65 % to 70% of area comparable with existing build¬ ings of the same height. y ' //"Prices of real estate today aver¬ age possibly 60% of the values of 1932 and in many cases much less 6%' with perfect safety, and if care¬ dred and forty-six (1946) Generally speak¬ the law. new more turn when good real estate can be had that will show from 4J/2 % to Office construction (c) Our new ited by Charles F. Noye. :. ; ties and bonds with ness building into zoning laws are more drastic than the old. Coverage of land is lim¬ the top of the crease as direction. every is the result of labor, enters at vest in securi- in Buildings: are almost entirely the result of labor and everything that puts real restate (b) Labor costs have effects, mate study, happenings of -' This ticularly, the ' We have inflation. It cannot be denied. (a) only a matter, of opinion as to how far it will go and its ulti¬ It knowl¬ of Machinery of Postwar Business Some . here.' is eco¬ edge and '"Lubricate the to ment,. with any,;/ sense purchased by one investment Navy Departments and by the of Contract Settlement. Office /!version Into High Gear." protect the business or Wants Business to Cooperate With Jus¬ family in a permanent home and tice Department and Asserts That Full Weight of Government as a hedge against inflation in the Authority Will Be Brought to Bear on the Side of a Lawfully Prosmatter of increased rentals as well as increased returns on the invest-^ viperous Nation.. . ,.V *' j " and Noyes, be tenants as an more or late market in Mr. will ments activity more and plexities of: Government Regulating Agencies Have Grown and Commends the McCarran-Summers Bill Which Would Restrict Powers, of Judiciary in Passing on Administrative Rulings. Notes Increasing Attitude of Contempt for Law and Promises Vigorous Action Against Black Markets and Antitrust Violations so as to I of the real estate firm, of Charles F. Noyes Charles F. Noyes; head Department Attorney General Clark Tells Bar Association Administrative Com¬ 6% Preferred JAMES M. TOOLAN & GO. 67 Wall Street, Telephone New York HAnover 2-9335 Teletype NY 1-2630 THE COMMERCIAL 3136 Thursday, December 27, 1945 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Truman's Fact Finding Proposal No Remedy (Special GA. — Marcus L. Haas has become associated with Stockton Broome & Co. He was ATLANTA, and with Beer & Co. formerly in the U. S. Army prior thereto was (Special to Chronicle) Financial The OHIO — Alfred C. Jones has joined the staff of W. E. Hutton & Co., 42 North Main Street. . Mr. Jones has recently been with the O. P. A. Prior there¬ to he was with Greene and Brock, and McDonald-Coolidge & Co. DAYTON, with ciated to Chronicle) Financial The (Special to The Financial (Special Building. with the Ohio He was formerly Company for a The Satisfactory and That the Employees with Securities Com¬ & President's He was previously with the Pike Grain & Street, after serving in the U., S. Navy. Building. B. & L. pany, Co. ' Proposals, if Adopted, Will Spread Unemployment and More Inflation. Says Real Remedy Is Repeal of Lead to Will , President Truman sent to Congress a special message On Dec. 3, (Special to MICH. DETROIT, has Ratz Charles of Parcells A. Co., . . to is Brainard, Pearl Street. Lerchen Co., & Prior to serving firm Ford & Judd . Co„> 75 with 7/ ■/. to The CONN—Herbert with become has Armstrong nected to The Robert S. associated with Sidlo, Simons, Roberts & Company, First National Bank Building, after serving in the U. COLO. DENVER, Layton has S. Army to The • / ' MICH. Campbell, Buhl Jr., after Building, (Special Huntley Inc., in serving (Special to The N. MICH. ■ page on — . • tl/S. Realty & Improvement-!.--' ■ - 108 '7T:Westinghouse Building —-'7' •• 55 7; ^ Equitable Office Building 137 \ \ 7- > ] Savoy Plaza 3-6'sr '56 . /Park Central Hotel— " X 94 ——_ ; 80 Broad Street —' Broadway Motors Building../ , SHASKAN & CO. Now York Stock I " 40 EXCHANGE FI..N.Y. ^ Dlgby 4-4950 Boll Teletype NY 1-952 : London Terrace Chanin } Exchange A1.mS.ri Now York Curb Exchange : ; It is our ■'/65 (84 :7 > ; 44 /. 81 . 89 : /_ opinion that 34 43 - — Building 4s_— Dorset '/ 50 X 88 / V - 52 : - /, • ' \ / * well better or than as¬ it—namely, underlying that the Railway Labor Act has produced results which are satis¬ factory. What are the facts? ' How 4 ' ; The procedure during the pre-* period, under the terms of the is correctly typified by the following portrayal of the course of events, in a controversy: The Railway Labor unions demand a war act, 15% increase in wage railroads point rates. The that most of out losing .money;, that a part of their i bonds are in that their stock has be¬ .are large ' if that Interstate the Commission and Commerce grants, and the rail¬ put into effect, higher freight rates, the result will be to ) divert more 44 pipe to business of trucks, ships, electric lines, lines. and power The unions remain adamant their in the of transportation any worthless; practically come demands. Federal ^ con¬ ciliators set to work. They can¬ not get an agreement./The unions vote to strike. 7v,':-:"777 CERTIFICATES BOUGHT - SOLD - appoints SPECIALISTS TITLE COMPANY which '77r/7::^''?;7- in rates #rt , , : Since 7, Emergency Mediation shows are that /already like skill in other industries. . sad financial CO! Seligman, Lubetkin & Co. 39 Broadway New York 6, N. Y. HAnover 2-8970 Incorporated ' ... Members 41 Broad New ■ _•* Board all evidence, the Teletype NY 1-1203 Broadway Barclay 2/56 * Broadway Bldg. 41/g/58 Wall & Beaver 4Vi/51 Westinghouse Bldg. 4/48 Beacon Hotel 4s 1958 W. S. ■ , to any Broadway Motors 4s 1948 Roosevelt Hotel 5s 1956 Gov. Clinton 2s 1952 W. Roosevelt Hotel Common Hotel Lexington S. 40 Wall St. 5s 1966 W. Units Hotel Lexington Common 165 Broadway Hotel St. George 4s 1950 870 7th Ave. Montgomery St., San Francisco 4 demand another increase, and the whole pro¬ 15% is repeated, the cedure Mediation again splitting the differ¬ granting another The only variation is that Board and ence raise. if, perchance, the "cost of living" is rising slightly, the Board makes the increase 10%, / , ; A Temporary Reprieve f the When and stockholders bondholders have the temerity Teletype SF 61 & 62 Tel. Broadway BArclay 7-2360 HELP WANTED ■ • they prove, by official Federal figures, that the actual investment in the railroads has been far the book value of capital/they are told than greater the railroad in irrelevant—that capitalization is out of line with earnings, and that the only solution is "to put the rail¬ roads through the wringer." When this procedure is completed, the common and preferred stockhold¬ that this ers fact present left with the choice- of us¬ are ing their certificates as wallpaper or hoarding them as souvenirs. The junior bondholders become holders of stock, the value of . which will be squeezed out by fu¬ - increases, and only the bondholders retain any con¬ siderable share of the value of ture wage senior their original investments.1 If the wage-increase mechanism keeps on operating, all that they are really getting is a temporary re¬ prieve from confiscation of their 7 / 77' holdings.- /•-/': To of ; -' Look at the Record '/ clear comprehension cumulative effects of the gain the a workings of the Railway Labor Act during the pre-war period, it is necessary to note some of the pertinent statistical facts. One can get a reasonably fair picture by comparing averages for the .peri¬ ods of 1921-1925 with those for 1936-1940. The first period pre¬ cedes the boom of the late 1920's. - period comes after recov¬ from the depths of the late de¬ The last ery pression. affect are but precedes the ■ time the European war began our some traffic significant figures taken (Continued on page 3167) ; OTHER CLASSIFIED ADS SEE Teletype NY 1-588 y . POSITIONS WANTED & Co. New York 7, N. Y. to Here greatly. , S7 to complain that their property is being confiscated by this proce¬ dure, they are told that the rail¬ roads are over-capitalized. When j 4i/2s 1958 4*4s 1957 W. Incorporated 150 S. . this has oc¬ marked extent, the unions railway FOR Majestic 4s 1956 W. S. N. Y. Amott, Bell curred . however, Before, City. Mayflower Hotel Corp. Stock Broadway Barclay 2g 1956 J. S. Strauss & Co. 155 - granted. These TRADING MARKETS IN Trading Markets 165 decides to spl.it Dr. King through the Committee for Con¬ stitutional Government, Inc., New York Firm completely ignores ,]AA statement issued by HAnover 2-2100 Street, New York 4 disputed. The Me¬ diation traffic. way months consideration, and further declines in rail¬ in when ... Security Dealers Association York The plight of the railway investors is not Members New York Security Dealers Assn. wage higher workers of much "V; 1929 Complete Statistical Information LJ. GOLDWATER & the evidence railway than those received by Real Estate Securities QUOTED an The President then It listens to Board. result After increases. incx-eases are some the It Worked Out roads class real estate securities l)ave acted as a as a of the most / other type of security during the years and that 1946 holds prospects for continued gains. / / / as one default; 64 68 v ■ ac¬ widely , sumption them /-u': 75>////f'/'. 55 .'//"'VX Broadway Barclay.. ' -XX • r 68 78 —72 Broadway -j-. X .Hotel Drake. I— ;. ■ :: 96 2 Park Avenue 165 - : 90 ——' 40 Wall Street 'J* 63 ; - 'XX /X .• 45 7 7///' 7.7X7/ 81 ' Governor Clinton '* 66 ™ /-r; ;•;-••• 65 • ". 73 —..— Madison 52nd-J.___- j • i. • —72 Broadway 41st 2 Beacon Hotel, 4's , Hotel Lexington____ —108 ' Alden' Hotel-______^-V---.---~-^-76 ''?'&■57 v;/ /// :i| i;i 870.7th Ave. 4K/S - 108 f Broadway; 4^'s r (Park Central Hotel) 1-1-45 "XX-' 67 ,V • ^ 75 j, //•32 >/?•■ i1 ":.•'//* 50 1 91 • " 7" * X\ •J/ 165 ( Trinity Buildings i is citizen will do well to note the them; however, the ones listed snow the market value increase during the year; ; ' ' 'V-.'"'.. ■ 7":-; .V/';' ; • /•/■///' /■'// Present Market - | have a .//■:. hai 1 ed ; . all of 77-C-TC/7' 7/ Market railroad confronting the nation.; The general verdict is that the system will almost cer¬ tainly work well in other indus¬ tries since it has proved so satis¬ factory in the railway field. f Before uncritically accepting this conclusion, the thoughtful During the year 1945 many real estate securities were mentioned At the present time the market is considerably higher was summarized. Lack of space, prevents listing . that problems knotty than when the issue Hotel St. Georger 4's tion Willford I. King /';• . of President's 3161) in this column. 'j Primary Markets in: Railway Act. v'7 rarity. Therefore, the logical solution of }7:-i7rrV7/'\ pro¬ under strikes in been Real Estate Securities SECURITIES hearings field Building, DETROIT, MICH.—Frederic A. REAL ESTATE of the Fakas, who has recently been in 7 paral¬ the to the Commission Commerce largely act, Securities Com¬ Bank The railroads now apply Interstate rate ment Verl R. affiliated along the line. for the in the U. S. Army, (Continued C.—Melvin — become has after serving Chronicle) Financial Chronicle) Financial National pany, GREENSBORO, The difference, and hence awards the workers a TVz% increase all plan Labor Investment with the armed forces. ; to JACKSON, rejoined Co., & disputes. the This Since enact¬ Herbert — has McCarty la¬ Chronicle) Financial The Schollenberger, Chronicle) \ Financial to DETROIT, — become for four years. (Special (Special Chronicle) Financial tion-wide cedure 805 Main Street. (Special na¬ lels con¬ Co., Inc., & Denton in crucial bor Chronicle) Financial set¬ tlements was V HARTFORD, E. Co. & Judd Mr. Fact-Finding boards to rec- »—: ommend prior to serving in the (Special in the U. S. Army Crouse with was F. D. Watling, Building. with now asking it to enact legislation authorizing him to set up CONN.—John Army. MICH..—Robert DETROIT, Savage Chronicle) Financial The Chronicle) Financial with the (Special The Guzauckas and Philip C. Judd are Staff & Building. to HARTFORD, Lloyd' H. — added to the been (Special Chronicle) Financial The ,, Wagner Act and Applying Anti-Monopoly Laws to Labor. - Securities Proposal Is Based, Has Not Produced Results That Are Did Not Benefit. Claims dent's G. MO—Headley Bankers Bond King Contends That the Railway Labor Act, on Which Presi¬ Dr. Chronicle) Financial Ealum has become connected Griswold he number of years. to HANNIBAL, DETROIT, MICH. — Ernest B. Kelly, Jr. has rejoined the staff of Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc., 601 man Bank Chronicle) KING* Economics at New York University Lecturer ill Co., Southeastern Building. . DAYTON, OHIO—Adrian Karhas become associated with Grant Brownell & Co., Winters By WILLFORD I. & Building. Buhl Penobscot (Special with Thomas Darst Clanton is has become asso¬ Alison & Company, the U. S. Army, Chronicle) to The Financial INSIDE BACK COVER ' ! Volume 162 Number 4450 - THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3137 Mosher Attacks President's f Past and to Come By JOSEPH B. ENNIS* • Veteran Transportation Expert Reviews Progress in NAM Executive Says It Will Prevent Full Employment, Will Benefit Only Small Groups of Workers and Will Be Fatal to Small Business. In New England Addresses, He Accuses Department of Com/herce Railroads and Locomotives, and Points Out the of -• 1 . ™ Senior Vice-President, American Locomotive Company • Improvement of Expanding Use of ity and That to Effectively Operate Thiere Must Be Mere Technologi¬ cal Xabor Policy World Period. Supply Prospects Fifty years ago when I was drawn irresistibly into the locomotive industry I faced a great opportunity, j■ A ■ Today, as I look toward the future, I am bound to say that 1 lo¬ in¬ thousands opportuni ty than they did half a century bearing back. dustry., I am delighted be a to young The looks on i That of tens point future of exciting the every of in view the It is that fact an we Fund, York to seems we me, v v an or any of in us has not seen Stuart — Small Business for paper. Company of HA" A AA' New of ' the York- Legislation (Printed in German) and Economic Dept. Bank for International Settlements, Basle, Switzerland— 40 Swiss francs. From r Bretton to Woods Full 3158) y / Employment—Dag Hammarskjold on page i would est Mr. paid out of and a c —Supplefnent A to Sveriska Handelsbanken's Index—paper. workers in companies a loss. operating business a not at will not sup¬ policy. Certainly labor want it. And of Ad¬ no labor through the problem. In every year between 1913 and 1940, excepLduring the First World War (1916-1919), at least 40% of Mosher stated, "that wages f Government reduction of pay sincerely at heart would seriously suggest such a policy if it took the time to think Truman's that that a ministration'which has the inter¬ statement yes¬ are national " policy, a are American awards. earnings, all port such n "President terday," as mean support which business. corporations showed our t- nojptj% income, and in 1932 almost finding boards Exchange —Monetary of the American Locomo¬ {. (Continued for company Should Foreign Company, Waldorf-Astoria New York City, -Dec. 11, 1945. A>;H'7. ; f wage Vet¬ Hotel, be- re¬ t h e o 42nd Under the GI Bill of Rights B. Padde, Manufacturers rrust tive of transportation such as you I' would must - erans nation in the world-—phys- versary Joseph B. Ennis be on the threshold of may era or it boards garding —John *An address by Mr. Ennis at the dinner celebrating the 50th anni¬ where I stand because, West to near adopted finding - earnings Twentieth Century St., New City—cloth—$1.00. ■■ A "A 330 in Germany from libraries Opportunities, Qualifcations and and1 challenge in g public <S>- rectives to the fact Trade—Problems of The —- Risks has been expression acceptance are Tomorow's Chase vast with the., Prfesident's di¬ Co., Inc., 730 institutions, 250). - the future of our in¬ ,rA- crystallized, "One World." today. man men miles of ! nounced Manufac¬ (to „ Ira Mosher, President of the National Association of Manu¬ facturers, issued a statement on Dec; 21 in which he strongly de¬ and American Worsted Our Foreign Commerce all these things have created in our minds a point of view which did not ex¬ ist 1 before and which has- great greater a v Leading and and consideration mountains of equipment, of Amer¬ men ica of millions take to young Wool and nonprofit logistical problems solved in order the Metz— —paper—500 Total war, dustry- offer for of turers—E. W. Axe & the far-reaching bomber, the vast and unbelievable dustry and the railroad in¬ W. Fifth Avenue, New York 19, N. Y. <$——^ fore. Federal ■ ~ Woolen the the Brookings Institution, Wash¬ ington, D. C.—cloth, $2.50. Despite Competition of Other Types of Transportation, American Have Been Revitalized and That in Next Decade They thirik "Conjectural Jingosim" to Support CIO Wage CriticizesGovernment Forecasters for Ignoring pyramiding Effects of Wage Increases. Holds Labor-Management Conference Was "No Flop" and Calls for Legislation to Place Labor and Management on Equal Basis in Collective Bargaining. The Railroads comotive of Government—Harold Improvements in Locomotive Power. Describes New Locomotive as Diesels and Steam Turbines, and Concludes That Types, Such Will Do More Business Than in Any Previous Peacetime Producing Demands Says There lis No Excess Railroad Capac¬ Transportation Services. showed have. ;he legal right ' . Ira ! Mosher t * no net income. In -words, more ... except in wartime, than three out of five to examine the books of emplo ess" corporations have any net is a perfect example of thi ings, and in all but the most type of - thoughtless and short* prosperous years never more than sighted political policy which is "two out of every five have net largely responsible for much of earnings.the present labor difficulty in this Finally, ability to pay as meas¬ country and which is bound to ured by earnings would mean the stop progress and prevent full freezing of our industrial system employment in the coming years into the hands of businesses with if approved and applied." established earning capacities be¬ "What the Chief Executive is cause they would be the only ones ers, . 1 war on Post¬ Reconstruction, New York University, New York 3,. N, Y.— saying in effect," Mr. Mosher con-? able to pay the wages establishedtinued, J'is that wages 'must be undef this formula. It means based-upon 'ability to pay' and simply that new businesses cannot that i 'ability to pay ' is measured start, the little fellows get squeezed by the earnings of a company. out, and we move to the "corpo¬ Business Booms and Depressions —Since -1775—Comparative chart must Postwar Goals ; Economic and Reconstruction—Institute Financial Agreement Eugene P. Thomas, President of National Foreign Trade Council/. A: Issues- Statement* of Its Executive Holds, Terms Committee. of Agreement Conform to Recommendations Previously Made by the y Council and States That Anglo-American Cooperation Along Lines: Laid Down Is Essential to a Healthy World Economy, The Executive Committee of the cil, in dent, 24 of - includes American fi- of : nancial agree-:-as forming cod- of the Council- regard jGreat Britain to take which ments Britain coupled with transfers, or on Trust American imports into the United and other on after strictions on all than exchange one year exceptional v. investment profit; possibilities trade barriers. (b) -Sterling strictions will parts., Eugene P. Thomas ?the broad agreement announced Dec. 6, Con¬ taining the joint statement, re¬ garding the settlement of LendLedse, reciprocal aid, surplus war property and claims as well as the joiht statement regarding the un¬ dertaking reached o l commercial of policy as embodied in "Proposals for-Expansion of World Trade and Employment" issued by our De¬ & Co:, Inc., Salle Street, Chicago 3, 111. re¬ eliminated on current transactions "with the re¬ sult that- any! discrimination aris¬ ing from. the effective date of the agreement. The Committee notes with satis¬ that the agreement on page -\„:t 3157) —:— A.; , —Special shall & y. study by SAN FRANCISCO One Committee of the National Foreign Trade Council, on recommendation of the Inter¬ national Finance Committee, en¬ dorses the financial agreement The Executive hundred 647 A South Estabrook & Co. ilOSTON, .MASS, * will Buttrick A be partnership in States, fon how long President's and at proposal 15! State : admitted Street, members & of changes, on Jan. 3. which forms and IN NEW YORK forty-eight stocks traded also traded the on a. m. on San and the . The ess, t improvement would be passed along to a small group of workers in the form of higher wages in¬ the ciency would not be passed on to public in the form of lower prices as they; have been in the past;,.;" "-v \ tr • 7 It would hurt labor, because un¬ prices. Had that policy been in effect over the past der this, formula wage rates must be reduced when earnings de¬ of to4 the public in of .lower form generation - our - mass markets could not have developed and would in still be our grandfathers.; Further, ability to pay as ■ of increased cline; and * -v It would undermine of • • our system and economic free¬ because competition would be I eliminated be i ( (Continued and there on page would 3160) • to Co., the Ex¬ Francisco over our INVESTMENT » Direct Private Members New York Siock Exchange Wi part 6, 1945. endorsement, In making the Committee while the financial NEW NEW za PINE NEW STREET e. Cd. YORK 5 UNDERWRITERS AND DISTRIBUTORS OF INVESTMENT SECURITIES BROKERS OF BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES YORK STOCK EXCHANGE YORK CURB and Other Leading Exchanges • : Kaiser s. BANKERS Stock (E. S.T.) A list of these stocks is available upon request Quotations and executions promptly handled vrnffo & STOCKS EXCHANGE SAN FRANCISCO STOCK EXCHANGE tsaa SAN russ suii_ding FRANCISCO 4 Private Wires • effi¬ political dom - meas¬ ured by earnings, if that is to benefits the we the. handicraft sta*?e of New York 5:30 p. m. that should ability Stedman Estabrook what be determined by to pay as measured by earnings would be contrary to the public interest because:. wages Admit to — MEMBERS that thereby reducing the cost of oroduction, the full benefit of the Government Spring New York and Boston Stock Exchange between the hours of 10 of the completed negotiations an¬ believes and The ever - there is technological im¬ provement in the productive procT the wage.„A;; :'A 7 " Ability to pay as measured by earnings would mean that when¬ with A J -A Street, Los Angeles 14, Calif, TRADING Stock Exchange are negotiated by the Governments of the "United Kingdom and the this follows: ment state" appropriate Text of Statement Dec. . The rest of Mr. Mosher's state¬ rate determining prices, profits, invest¬ ment, and who shall work where State, are receiving Council committees. nounced economic report—Maxwell, Mar¬ Co., gen- arally conforms, to the statement (Continued, j'■. v fundamental a Consolidated Rock. Products COi so-called sterling area dollar pool will be entirely removed", as soon as possible but not later than one year from the faction ; . v exchange area be A ; 'and/or Bennett, 105 S. La — Spanier not later after the effective date of the agreement. Commentator—Di¬ with, reviews and analyses of. spe¬ cific situations appearing to offer current, transac¬ tions will be eliminated Street gest of current events in the fi¬ nancial markets of North America, current the' agreement is fallacy because the ability to pay be measured by productiv¬ ity, not by earnings." * ' stead Wall permitted Kingdom controls and United Stocks— - Valley Building. St. Louis 2, Mo. .becomes effective,-and similar, re¬ modification j Bank baiky!A Mississippi; are. exchange A controls applied to restrict pay¬ transactions Gr^at further the fol¬ (a) British will riot be • to partment of and Reaay reference table giving com¬ parative: figures—White. & Com- the part / - * nancial aid to" Other on Insurance: of paramount interest to American trade: extension of fi¬ of commitment a controls ornmendations . fornia Street, San Francisco 4, Calif.' AAA A'H. \A:A,h'A..'.'.h A'"A"; : 7A;''-' lowing steps Jn xegard to exchange , gen¬ erally to rec- in jNational Foreign Trade Coun¬ agreement provides for proper fi¬ nancial aid to Great Britain it also Anglo- j price trends,; national income, federal debt, business activity, etc, —Hannaford & Talbot, 519 Cali¬ statement made public by Eugene P. Thomas, Council Presi¬ on Dec.' approval ment- of - a expressed the This : Home Office Atlanta • Phone LD-159 < • Thursday,'December 27, 1945 CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL, THE 133 Co., 208 South La Salle Fairman & Street; Chicago 4,A 111! Dealer-Broker Investment Trading Market New Lime England and Bank " Wall Street, —Geyer & Co., 67 New York 5, N. Y. 1922 Established situations gest—data on interesting Schmidt & Co. C. L. Tele. CG 271 6960 chart to June 1945, which re¬ cords monthly high and low aver¬ A. ^ Member, National Association of Securities Dealers Expanding Markets tronics—discussion in Wholesale Distributors West—Pacific Coast Business SurBroad¬ New York 6, N. Y. nightly Market and, way, UNDERWRITERS SECONDARY MARKET ; DISTRIBUTION LOS ANGELES 14 135 ta Salle St 650 S. Spring St State 6502 CG 99> / Michigan 41S1 Investment Letter. " > ; • i ' .. i: • . t ;1 v ■ t t v1 ♦. Corp. The Chicago Circular Request on Stock Exchanges Board of Trade Members Principal Chicago SO. LA SALLE 231 York Office i 1 * Franklin An¬ earnings range per & Co., 148 Street, Boston 9, Mass. Central share York 6, State V.H'' r Larson & Rapids National Grand Rapids 2, - Established Inc. St., Chicago 3 Teletype CG 405 Indianapolis, Ind. Rockford, Cleveland, Ohio, 111. analysis Goodbody & Co., New York City. 115 Broadway, special study C : : yKendall Straus & Blosser, 135 S. La Salle Street, Chicago 3, 111. / . a of study , Study : of sound specu¬ stock as a — lative purchase — First Colony Corporation, 70 Pine Street, New York 5, N, Y Also... available are studies of Pittsburgh Railways, York Corru¬ Central Coal ^ Coke Corporation , Four Wheel Drive r' Auto Company { Howard Aircraft, A—Bulletin recent on de¬ velopments—Lerner & Co., 10 Post Office Square, Boston 9y Mass. 'r .y>';1 7 * . Cement V Corp. Consolidated Class Also Oregon side available Cement, gating, American Insulator. Leland Port¬ , COMSTOCK & CO. P. 4 . , Salle St. . Consolidated Gas Utilities and Corp.—Circulars— Hicks & Price, 231 South La Salle Chicago Tower, R., Mallory & Teletype CG 257 analysis—Faroll & Co., 208 4; appreciation for this company—Ward & Co., 120 the at Walsh "American Politics on End of Era." an All lectures will be held at 8:30 Admission is $1.50. v p.m. ' PHILADELPHIA, Build¬ will Beers E. \ . T Own Investment Firm Co.—cir¬ PA. his form — Altera own in¬ He was shortly. firm vestment formerly associated with Euler Co. and was a partner N. Y. Beers & Co. of To Admit Partner Allentown. Murphy- ATLANTA, GA.—King is Prior to serv¬ Healey Building. the in offices from / investment the in engaging - business ing in the U. > S. Army,, he was a partner in the firm. * Yfe have a continuing > : analysis of * ^ " > interest in— ; CO. CO. MARYLAND CASUALTY MARYLAND DRYDOCK ;y:;.;;;-;'vi'tf'-v j. •. V ,1. ■: V' STRUTHERS ffltmltri hjtu \jarb Stack £icL>*yi ' '• '} ' 6.34 5outh Spri.Tj cut WELLS CORP. 209 South.La'Salis Street „ Strom- ' ' J CLcafO Slxl* • Midland Utilities and Midland — d e t a i 1 e study— d write for circular M-3—Fred; IIIICT B'dq. LINCOLN •. NEB. ' • TEL. TH1NITY 6345 i Fir»t. National Banc Chicago 4, Illinois lO» ANGEtEfr 14. CAL. Realization - K BOWSER, INC. • • fil » AT t- TSL.-DBAS0ORM OUO Wilts. I A S T" TO A H O W ■ TEL. 2J349 S T--1 CO A t T J Wi I SINCE 1908 J Fred. W. Fairmah Co Offered by Prospectus We — *■ Maintain,Active — Markets nI Members 1 j Chicago Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade " SIOUX CITY GAS & ELECTRIC COMPANY 1 Midland Utilities • A i..' Telephone Randolph 4068, Direct Private Wire to New ForkBell ■} '" First Mortgage 2%s 1975 at 100% To yield 2.72% ' v; * r'" " ; System CG 537 Com. CORP. Com. DEEP ROCK OIL • K&l POWER CO. 6 & 7 Pfds. NORTHERN STATES ; H. M. Utilities SILLS, MIISTON & COMPANY SALLE ST. CHICAGO 4, ILLINOIS 208 SOUTH LA i • CHICAGO SO. SHORE & SO. BEND RR. . : '• :J ;' ■ : '• ■ ■ , Write For M-3— study of Midland - ^ : Stock at 28% To yield 4.50% ^ v Midland Realization Common y -x . i INCORPORATED Incorporated \V Members. Chicago -Stock Exchange . 200 SO. LA SALLE ST., CHICAGO 4, ILL, Teiephoa* Dearborn 1421 | Byllesby and Company 135 Teletype CG 864 So. La Salle Street, Telephone State 8711 New York * Chicago 3 - r Teletype CG 273 / Philadelphia 8c in Allen E.. King Murphy in Atlanta • WASH.—Louis H. will , be admitted as a in L. f. Hachez & Co., SPOKANE, •, Co.— for speak Allen Beers to Form Broad Street, New York 4, Co.,>Inc.— South La Salle Street, Chicago Study of outlook and speculative possibilities f, cular—Simons, Linburn & Co., 25 y. Merchants Distilling Corp.—re¬ Also available is an Iron Malleable De¬ States"; 14th, J. Raymond Jan. on m a n ing, Cleveland 14, Ohio. 13, Cleveland ''Yc< Illinois. Street, Chicago 4. I1L. Dayton, 11 Cot, Inc., Union Commerce analysis—Steiner, Rouse & Co., 25 Broad Street, New York 4, N. Y, cent 10th velopments in the United Laboratories. Paulsen Building. Truck Jan. Social on and Wellman Engineering and on Haphez partner speak Standard Stoker d a—Otis & Co., Standard Silica Corp. Dearborn 1501 S. U. will "Economic on. • v CHICAGO 4 231 So. La and Ohio. V The being e m o r a n Terminal Corporation - Electric, Lilies, Inc., Coj—m on River¬ Spokane Cement, and land Cement. circulars are Portland his topic "Labor After; the War: Labor and Technology"; Leo M> scheduled, for Jan., 7th, Reilly & Co., 40 Exchange Place, 5, N. Y. Also available is a memoran- f y by Hans Kohn on Jan. 3rd; Aaron Levenstein is the second speaker New York Engineering Co.— memorandum—Wm. j. Mericka & United Stockyards Corporation. •* Sugar—Circular^—J. of Peace . will Du Mont Company School Lectures Social Re¬ search, 66 West 12th Street, NewYork. City, announces a series of four- January lectures :> on "The Sh^ipe of Peace." First of the se¬ ries will be "The Shape of Peace,"" Y. detailed circulars on Fash¬ ion Park, Shatterproof Glass; Wellmain Engineering Co.; Walt Dis¬ Roi of i' ■; The New School for v Water Haupt & Co., i Broadway, New York 6, N. e School —rnmsms—*- On Shape New York. common California Consumers Corpora¬ analytical study— is 1,-i Brook Spring LO, Co,—Analysis—Ira W of the-: faculty of University Commerce. v-v;. New York Cherne Scranton U; S. Company—Descriptive ° f ' JK O Journal of For several years he member was' a on was EdiT ^01* : ";v Commerce." du|n , available ,•> he Railroad McKnight ; David W. 1934; ; prior to which t ime '• Lubetkini & Co., 41 Broad Street, New, York 4t Le tion—detailed Also ... Publishers. Wellman Engineering of Oxford Paper. since n. y. ii Research 'tgus Seheriley Distillers Corporatioi —Brochure of articles they have been running in thg Chroniclewrite to Mark Merit, in care 05 Schenley Distillers: Corporatlqtt, 350 Fifth Avenue, New York 1 Coca-Cola. Productions; Foundation Com¬ pany; and Segal Lock' & Hard¬ ware. : y -i'/v." ,;V -V. ■ study— special — 1916 Stock Exchanges Chicago Board of Trade Vi r Tel'. Franklin 8622 a ney Bowser, been with Ar- ; Also Street, Chicago 4, 111. ' Members Principal 10 So. La Salle is circular—Seligman, Co., 231 South La Salle Also available is a Paul M.Davis &Oo. . Mr. search. Brdthersr l529ii:Walnut Printers & .v,y ■ N. Y. of Panama , Request. on memorandum on; Thermatomic Carbon Co.; Red American Service Co.—Circular —Adams & •Wells-Gardner & Co., Com.-, •prospectus Available on Corp.—Circular Young, Tornga, Grand Bank Building, Co., Coin. y;;- Also available American Forging and Socket— Circular—De Wall St. Steel 8c Wire, Com. Globe Steel Tubes ■ Hajoca analysis M. C. P.—Raymond Y. Rock Bottlers, and a new Corp., Coin. ^Burton-Dixie Coaly-Anal¬ County of condition and post-war prospects—F. H. Roller ; CoInci., Ill Broadway, New York 6. 5% after taxes—ask for W. Borg Corp. George The _ Direc- of .Re¬ McKnight had Stiieet, PhiladelphaV 2; Pa>;ry yv y Also memorandaon. G e a r Grinding Machine Co; and United ysis Mich. * N. Y. their as tor investment; com- • firm ; & Trust memorandum ciated ass o Pump,— Memorandum Bupkley in¬ teresting possibilities—Hoit, Rose & Troster, 74 Trinity Place, New the ration, is; now ;in the United States—Du Reda y GfjWhite Company, 37 Wall Street; New & — . Re¬ Argus with w $100' par preferred stock of $67.50 and interesting re¬ ST., CHICAGO 4 Randolph 5686—CG 972 New Company England of r— N. ceipt HICKS 6- PRICE pai^y alysis of company established in 1862 on which there are arrears on* ' ■ "-y tion—Memorandum—J. , suggestions—John H. Lewis & Co., 14 Wall Street; New York 5, N. Y. New Co.— Federal "Water & Gas Corpora V York 5, i ^-Descriptive Appreciation— for Investing . Analysis—W. J. Banigari & Co., 50 Broadway, New York 4, N.\Y." Fortnightly developments and the Consolidated Gas ; Utilities Corp. 1 /'I; • v: - — Public National Bank oldest'' leverage Street, New York 4, N. Y. V Also available are memoranda on i recent: railroad reorganization r that ly search Corpo¬ Shoe—new memo¬ randum—Loewi & Cot, 225 East Mason Street, Milwaukee 2, Wis. Comnany—Circu¬ Birmingham Farrell-Bii bankers, Knight, for¬ merly V.-Pres. Nunn-Bush rr/ Sheller Manufacturing Corp; Trends—in the retail and building * trades—memoran¬ dum—H. Hentz & Co., 60 Beaver Industry invest¬ David W. Mc¬ .. vey-^-E. F. Hutton & Co., 61 For New England Co^-Analysis,: for dealers only— C. E. Unterberg. & Co^ 61 Broad¬ way,;.Ne\y York 6, N;,Y. ; -fv-' Electromaster Inc. —•LRecent tv/Also for dealers only are anal¬ report Mercier, 1 McDowell yses of National Radiator Co. and Dolphyn, Buhl Building,"; Detroit Republic Pictures. " p 26,: Mich." ; ■■ , <;: ■ Also available a report >. on Railways & Light; Securities Co, Elec¬ Fort¬ for the Wall 1 ment Engineering Works— Circular-—Amos Treat & Co., - 40 Wall Street,"New York 5, N.-YA Products. Pinna De Street, ":,,r- /-'? Northern Shoe; Win¬ ScsJons; & N. Y. m Walker & Co., New ... York City, h. Public Service— an appraisal of outlook and pos¬ sibilities-—Daniel F. Rice & Co., 14 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y, * Canadian Dollar in lar—Herrick, Waddell & Co., Inc., terms of the United States Dollar 55. iLiberty Street, New • York-'5, —Wood, Gundy & Co., Inc., 14 N. Y. Wall Street, New York 5, N. Yvr CARTER H.CORBREY&CO. , . the of ages CHICAGO B j American Lamson Purolator and V-G. announce wv 1919 1, AMiddle Airways; Glass; dow York— covering the period Jan. Canadian Funds in New A ; Alabama Mills, Inc.; Douglas TACA La Salle Street CHICAGO 3 120 South Tel. Randolph following literature: Broadway, New York 5, N: Y. Also available are late memoranda on: Great' American Industries; Stock Di¬ Insurance McKnight With G. H. Walker common- pleased firms mentioned, will be interested parties the to send David -i circular — Dayton Haigney & Co., 75 Federal Street, Boston 10, Mass. It is understood that the ' Descriptive Recommendations and Literature Ray-0-Vac ;y . Pittsburgh Minneapolis rL^.vFINANCIAL -few-.;:. ;,•?'■ >;■• K*%"< •'" V.W" m ■ j! I ji■' i'"i". ' ..' jjiAMHi : -'.'..""i1..'i-.i"i'j w> »«»i w jyty wwywgry *m t < Special t;. ;j.r v ■ ?r' ft' 1 ••"• . ►'Special Chronicle i , CHICAGO, ILL. — William L. Christy,i L.vle vW. Hamann. and James R. Murphy have: rejoined r v |k. ■A;' La Salle '. *. «•!',• '••■ •*' ' ; ,f-. ,!V"4. •* Street,; after " ••'i'S '■ V' (SpeciaLto Tub- Financial .Chronicle) s \ i CHICAGO, ILL.—EvereM F. '••"' '* 1 "'T •'•' \X'! The.- Financial," • '■» • • become ("Special to The.; Financial : CHICAGO, ,fiV* jfoonan > has to h n P. ; become connected First Securities Co. of v with the ;|CPirCAGO, have; rejoined Stuart Co., Inc., \ to The ' ■ '/" (Special j. ILL. — Herbert Burt has rejoined W. C. Gibson & Co., 231 South La Salle Street, CHICAGO, with Freres to The .& Inc., t to Chronicle) j a- 1 S. Lynphv . .(Special to The Financial ILL. v (Special to The — f Chronicle) He was [B. for¬ has Emerich Ames, Co., & Inc., (Special to p(Special to THe Financial Chronicle) «v become associated Xynch, Pierce Board of with Fenner Army. -,,' • - : •>. —'1 * has ' '-'A " i >'■ Forbis has & Street. He has recently been ing in the U. S. Army. (Special to The' Financial - serv¬ j £ CHICAGO;, Chronicle.) ILL. —Martin ? D. Lynch has rejoined the staff of*A. *- G. De Becker La Salle Table, Jr., is with David A. Noyes & Co.„ 208 South. La Salle Street, & Co., been on 1931. - La Inc.,, 120 South Street, after service with the U. S.N aval Reserve. Army He will handle in Un¬ Anticipation Tax covering v 1 a s Brothers Salle Street CHICAGO, since | i ILL.—Lt. has been D. of Sargeant with J. has half ' WE | '•• Taylor Joining •; become has conducted associated has been in 1941 and Pickering Lbr. Co. - Assoc. the U. CHICAGO;, ILL. • ' ' ■' '• • . Hall has become Buchan Chronicle) & CHICAGO;, ILL. — Arthur h. Bothen has rejoined First Securi* (Special Pearson staff of Request:■'>. on ; l v So. ILL. has W. of MICH. —The Randolph 8800 firm Exchange from July, Carr, Chapin & Co., Building, members of Exchange, will Roy F. Chapin will retire from partner¬ ship in the firm. Partners in Carr &"Co. Carr and will be Valette Howard D. members of- the Detroit general Eis, Active * F. both American Service Co. Preferred, Exchange, partners, and Sewart N. Lawson, special partner. Common Stock Member New• York- Stock . been La Salle ^(Special _■ 1942, Exchange, Salle St. So; La 208 CHICAGO Phon® Andover 1436 ' " 4 Tel®. - CO 156 Interstate Aircraft . & Chronicle)!- to Financial P Co.,; 231 1 u bIi (Special ^ to The Financial Hack- Chronicle) . upon Plans A.CJUXYNandCOMEANY Incorporated I MINNEAPOLIS MILWAUKEE BOSTON OMAHA ■ '*'■ • N. Y. - Boston Chicago Philadelphia San Francisco II Common Stock (Listed on pfd; bought A sold New Publications Gisholt Machine the Chicago Stock Exchange) Memorandum All Wisconsin Issues quoted Sent on Request HOLLEY, DAYTON & GERNON Member—Chicago 105 So. • idew-oers SAT T,F Guenther Law Telephone COrtlandt 7-5060 , NEW YORK - Incorporated ■ 131 Cedar Street New York 6, CHICAGO / Branches Prepared—Conference Invited Albert Frank 1; • DOYLE, O'CONNOR & CO. street chicago 3, hxinois A1 l its In Macfadden - ( ADVERTISING Municipal request FNCQR.POR ATED 1 , Illinois Phone State 0101 FINANCIAL Railroad CHICAGO; ILL.—Lore W. Alford has rejoined Harris, Hall & Co., Inc., Ill West- Monroe Street, after serving in the U; Si Navy. *Prospectus available : # . U t il i t y- c industrial tf Chronicle)*' ILL. —Paul portland electric power prior 6r<?1 request ■ Street, The Chicago Teletype CG 361 - Telephone? Dearborn on 231 South La Salle Street BONDS coca cola bottling of chicago sottth i.a Common circular XADAMS & CO. :- .135 Engineering Corp. •Recent weyerhaeuser timber -a: / Common Common Diamond, Turk & Co., 30 Pine Street: New York City, members of {the^ New York Stock Exchange of the New York .Curb Exchange, and other leading ^-national Ex^ admitted Richard W. Weinberg to changes. .• ■- partnership in the firm on Dec. 17. ;;*hallicrafters ' ; Common Mich. Steel Casting Co.^ Diamond, Turk Admit until -Hornblower & Weeks, established in 1888; are members Donald: 1 C. added to ' the was overseas thirty-four months in; an-anti-aircraft division; * "and other Principal Exchanges ■ Class A and R. Hoe & Co., Inc. ; > 1935 Co., 208 South La Salle Street. He FAROLL & COMPANY Trading Markets last June; bert, who has:, been serving ' as First Lieutenant in the U. S. Army has rejoined Goldman, Sachs; & Standard Silica Corp; CG 1234-5 Direct wire to New York * President of the was — C. Gibson & CHICAGO; Common Stock v * be changed to Carr & Co. Mr. Tay¬ ' Merchants Distilling Corp. v Field BIdg., Chicago 3 , — to-The Financial CHICAGO, Analyses '* '■ Chronicle)? Corporation, 231. South La; Salle Street;, after serving in the armed forces. ' '. Salle-Street; Recent * 5-61 have returned to the First Boston Faroll & Company, 208 South La XSpeolal to The. Financial Elec. HICKEY& CO. j * ' ■ Andrew j D. and " William J. Gratia CHICAGO; .ILL. George hp. affiliated with — & Griess-Pfleger Tanning .* S. ; (Special to; The Financial . v Gas American Util. Service - :after serving im the armed forces. Mfg. Corp. the Detroit Stock lor': served as a member of the Board of Governors of the Balti¬ to - Penobscot R. WTeeks, Exchange from * r" ' DETROIT, Howard:) R. as IN A. years name Keyser Building, and is liquidat¬ ing the investment business which he ACTIVE Minn. & Ont Paper Name to Be Carr & Co. Taylor, member of the Baltimbre Stock Exchange, has become asso¬ Taylor & Co. since 1908; ARE Long Bell Lumber Denver for ten years, ciated with Hornblower & CG 573 Navy, was formerly a partner in Sargeant,. Malo & Company of & Field Building. .'••• BALTIMORE, MD.—Howard Tele. & Hogle & Company, Equitable Building. Mr. Sargeant, who for the past three and one- M. Lewis Chicago 3, III. Tel. STAte 4950 DENVER, COLO.—Raymond E. released Benjamin -•■; ,;v- , a part¬ Raymond Sargeant Is With Hogle in Denver: has Rutherford Rejoins Lewis Co., his Galvin Illinois Mr. "Bothen ——mrnmmem**- partment e general Orvis change. the J Rutherford in ner lac > 13S South La Salle Street lias bers of the New York Stock Ex¬ issues - p • o KITCHEN & CO. active and resumed Com. Warner D. Orvis - .'• has be in to derwriting S of more-Stock Chronicle)' tV CHICAGO, -ILL —James (Special to The Financial Sales duty *, * released from Weeks; CHICAGO, ILL. — Harold N. rejoined A. G. Becker Co., Inc., 120 South La Salle Beane, & Trade- & Beane. financul Merrill Building, after serving in- the armed forces. Mr. Bowen was formerly with Bacon, "Whipple & Co.; Mr. Dalton was with Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenjner The been , * • . New in York, : , Airlines ment and Ma* „ j Mid-Continent Office Department and will the ilil Chronicle) Street, after serving in the U.;S. S. Bowen and Edward J. Dalton have their t ILL. — Benjamin rejoined Bacbn, Whipple & Co,, 135 South La Salle Crawford ILL.—Clymer MARKETS Chicago & Southern Di¬ Co., {14 Wall Street, New York City, mem¬ also •continue Howard CHICAGO, .. CHICAGO, TRADING Procure¬ of 105 South La Salle Street, after serv •j ing in the U. S. Navy. .Street, after serving in the U. S. Army. • -r",'•.■:£> ■ vision, from the United States Army and returned to the Buying De¬ Salle South La « , in operation has Chronicle) Financial ■ 135 Navy, officer -charge of the Industry Co« Chicago, 134 Street, after 21 duty with ¥»>• William ILL. —William :B. joined the staff,of CHICAGO, Bax has returned to Kidder, Pea- ti( Co*, previously with Frank Co. and Corrigan, Newman & service States of Salle Warrant previ¬ merly with Blyth & Co. CHICAGO, ILL. —Paul Joseph foody La Municipalities. Building. Slayton & Co., Inc. Chronicle) Thb- Financial Financial with Merrill now McNulty (Special Company South months' i ; Pierce has become associated with Street, after serving in the armed forces. :v:-' "/. ' /y&f. •• ■ formerly was Salle La Miller & Co. Arthur the United as CHICAGO, ; Pierce, Fenner & Beane, Boardt of . Chronicle) South 135 ■ Arthur Bothen Rejoins First .Securities Co. ; Trade . has rejoined Harriman Ripley Co., South Co.,. 231 He He was ously in the U. S. Army. ;I CHICAGO, ILL.—John H. Jack¬ son '-r-* ILL. —Samuel CHICAGO, Financial & CHICAGO, serving in the armed forces. The and one-half teriel the South Pacific. CHICAGO, ILL.—Hyde Gillette to Chronicle)^ -a Robert M. Glore, Forgan & Co. (Special fias rejoined Glore, Forgan & Co., 135 South La Salle Street, after (Special AA-. > ties ^ ILL. La Salle Street. Chronicle) Financial South La Street;* Lazard Bafton is The HalseyV Barnes has become associated with completing his service with *he U. S. Navy. A-.-;, to was D. in Ha.nmer has, been released from active duty as Captain in-the U. S. Air Corps, and is again with John Nwveen & Co., 135 South La Salle ILL. — Arthur H. Bothen. has rejoined First Securi¬ after (Special 123 to r The .Financial CHICAGO, Chronicle) Financial & ; Street, after serving in the armed- forces. ■:••• '".h: :"a- ' \A.\ after serving in the U. S. Army.; (Special Davis vis,; after two Commander [ years' SaJle o Chicago, 134 So. La Salle Street, . thiessens Chronicle);.•: ILL. —J Warner DvOr~ . offices in the Shoreland Building* to engage in the investment business. Mr. opened . ' ! V has . ;• Opens Office FLA. —Paul Davis Orvis Bros, ft Ge. Chronicle) " ,!<:«. associated with Howard FV Detmer &" Co*, t. (Specif to. The '.Financial * Chronicle)^ 105 South La Salle Street,;- after J CHICAGO, :• ILL:,— M.'\ Scott serving in the U. S. Navy. Bromwell and Riehard P. ,Mat- r MIAMI, ill:— Edward R, Lienfn'gr. has rejoined Valiquet & / CHICAGO,?. ILL; — Russell i €*. tCo.v -135 South La Salle Street,, Longmire has rejoined W. .C. Gib* iftbr serving in the armed forces. son, & Co., 231 South ». La Salle ; V Street, .after serving,in :the iU.^S. (Special to The Financial Chronicle) ' Army Air Forces. • v,^v •' A^CHICAGO, ILL..— Albert S. (Special serving'in the armed forces. ■' J*.. Sepgers"'.. has Paul A. Davis ' J the staff of Central Republic Co., 209--South 3X39 m. Chronicle) isWith',Slay ton & Co., Inc., after .completing his service with the ties,? Company of v- Chicago,j~ 134 afrried "forces. South La Salle Street, after serv.f ing in the U. S,.Army. *«• }*•&«-"-* (Special to The Financial _ to .Tub... Financial to The Financial , nimn ^CHICAGO, ILL—Ray R. Kidd, CMcagogPeiH^^ t- r :fr; CHRONICLE tgw^A'iiwuw'Wt' —jwnnmnw mmmmimmmimmmm ' 225 EAST PHONES—Daly Chicago MASON ST. 5392 Chicago: Stock * State CG Exchange MILWAUKEE 0933 (2>, WIS. Teletype MI 488 Ekchange Stock La Salle St., 262 Chicago 3, IU. Central 0780 Offices in Wisconsin Eau Claire - Fond, du i ac Morton - pa Crosse- ) o CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL 3140 Thursday, December 27, 1945 the value of the Canadian dollar. At a ,however, world later, stage economic the and conditions ffOu r progress - of Canadian develop¬ ment are likelv to make it diffi¬ By BRUCE « cult'for WILLIAMS the Dominion the Repo rte r resist to Governments" on By JOHN T; CHIPPENDALE, JR. upward pressure on its cur¬ ' rency. whither now? With the virtual certainty of implementation of this ambitious international currency plan before the year-end deadline many exchange doubts should soon be put to rest. What of the long-awaited restoration to its old parity of the Canadian dollar, and of the fate of sterling which has such a vital bearing on the Canadian currency level? ' ; In Spite of the wishful thinking » ors in Canadian internal securities of many recent speculative investa logical appraisal of the situation ; Brettori Woods and Turning to the market for; the hasty leads to the past week, in spite of the holiday influence there was still an active demand for high grade externals, and Nationals pushed still further beyond their all-time highs. Montreals and Albertas conclusion that there change in the initial at lollar. In the present STOCKS BONDS system retained. is 0,11 external MARKETS maintained in classes of Canadian and internal bonds. Stock orders \ . executed the on Stock Montreal and Toronto New Exchanges, or at net York Prices. ' With unchanged," the of other currencies Buffalo, r Toronto and Montreal V i- : Dominion Securities Grpoeatioti _ ;V 40Exchange Place, New York 5,N.Y^ System Teletype NY Bell ■ 1-702-3 recession. high /•j ■ >j "JyA, Vv PROVINCIAL MUNICIPAL • / ' J tee Commit-, for Eco¬ ,r New/York City, it was Rv Johnston Henry Canada make expensive by her J. nt. at ■ Presi; Mr. one offices if prices should recede. to af¬ engage Levin in A. E. AMES & CO. INCORPORATED , Canadian Dollar in terms /''"f available Copy , 1945 averages of the of the United States Dollar. upon low 14 Wall NY-1-1045 Toronto Montreal excess of smaller Vancouver '1 important point of concern most the Probably Industrials —- Banks — M WALL STREET, Mines 1 quarters that the Treasury, in order offset the inflationary potentialities of the large bank deposits, to say nothing of the future increase that will take place in them, maturing obligations with issues should refund the callable and that suitable for purchase by the are , . . . much new money in the future so a debt conversion program into operation. A substantial amount of the outstanding certificates, largely held by the banks, should be converted into long-term 2y4% and 2V2% bonds, which would be sold to non-bank investors. . . . This would cut down the amount of bank deposits and purchasing power, which are not needed at this time. . . . This would also tend to prevent the restricted bonds from rising too sharply. . . . The Treasury will not need . is in now position a to put . . ANOTHER WAY t * , , -J ^ should not see fit to offset to a con¬ inflationary implications of present and in¬ - _ ^ Even if 5 the Government the extent some it could improve its future borrowing position' by of the floating debt through the offering of some obligations to the non-deposit institutions and the commercial banks. . . . ;• medium-term securities to ^ beneficial effect on the Gov¬ ernment bond market, since it would prevent the presently out¬ standing issues from going to prices which many of the coinmercial banks can no longer afford to pay. . . . ~ ; would would also likewise have keep these a institutions, principally the Stock Exchanoe CANADIAN SECURITIES Government • Provincial • Municipal • Corporate Montreal ,, may March i- r y. - ZrS.l} I' ~ ■$1.*is 1 7 % 1 , . . , :•;y /." 'H be that the market maturity of exempt 3s and 3%s will be probably be a mneh clearer conception of the Government's future refunding program. . v. On June 15 when the partially retired, there will ^PJrrpf private wires to Toronto and ' will get a clue to the policy the committed to. when notice is given as to the way 1% rotes and the 3%% partially exempt bonds are going to be handled. . . .If these issues are refunded with certificates, it is quite likely that the Treasury is still confining itself to the policy, of cutting debt charges without too much con¬ cern about future consequences. . . ,RThe 33/i% is a small issue ?nd may be paid off in cash. ; . . This would reduce deposits somewhat and might indicate a change in policy. . . . ; \ It the 61 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. WHitehall 4-8980 .IDE'S OF MARCH smaller quality obligations, that Treasury will be CHARLES KING & CO. Toronto insurance companies and» This would entail some increase in the debt service, but it was pointed out that this would be much less ex¬ pensive than the cost that would be exacted by inflation^,. * . savings banks. London, England Bought—Sold—Quoted ¥«niher* among money is believed in some It ong-term high coupon WHitehall 3-J874 , high coupon ... the Treasury in re¬ funding callable and maturing obligations during 1946. . ; . The pro¬ gram that will. be adopted will have an important bearing on the some NEW YORK 5 " ,.i, i experts is the policy to be followed by market from buying non-Government low caused so much of their trouble in the past. STOCKS Thus the ; NEXT; YEAR?'-:!/- creased deposits, Company . 1959/62, as previously indicated, will be a purchases will be in excess of S3 by the continued refunding of the short-term low coupon issues. offset it will ury It & . although issue ones, Taylor, Deale . marketable issue, callable obligations with • CANADIAN billions which would which would bring it in line with the 2V4S due 1956/59, which are outstanding in the amount of $3,823,000,000. ... The large subscriptions to the 21/2S will increase slightly the debt service, which leads some in the financial district to believe that the Treas¬ This Street, New York 5 Winnipeg $11 billions, siderable written request. *7•*' v- Incorporated i RECTOR 2-7231 chart covering the period period resulted in the The 2V4S due Dec. 15, much 2751 Wood, Gundy &Co. NEW YORK 5, N. Y. . a TO JUNE, . . 15, 1967/72 would be the last long-term in amount an over eliminating TWO WALL STREET / 1919, be position previously held by the 2% due Dec. 15, 1952/54, and the 2% due Sept. 15, 1951/53. . . . taking it which records monthly, high and & ? 1, This total will amount to more goal set by the Treasury for the drive. the entire J/ V associated with Roggenbrug & Co. have prepared we JAN. . .' 2lA$ due Dec. 15, 1967/72 will be the largest to Canadian Funds in New York . purchases of this bond alone would be greater than that mean formerly was * it is believed that this obligation will be out¬ Accordingly in the securities busi¬ Mr. ness. voluntarily raising Under this title .. that the Victory Loan is indicated standing University Avenue, Bronx, N. Y., more ; good opportunity for investors to pick up issues they , can high coupon issue to be offered for a considerable great scramble to buy this bond. . . . , time at . a Yale Securities Co, with . these sources. and this could cause some selling from Fear that the 21/>s due Dec. charge of the Trust De¬ Co. . than $22 billions, which, probably means that the Treasury will out of the market for new money until the early fall of 1946. . Yale Levin is forming Yale Se¬ curities of the elimina- effect. probably find that their borrowing rate from the banks will be increased if the differential discount rate is re¬ was *7 / will dealers . CANADIAN STOCKS good buying opportunity at that time tion of this discount rate, or rumors to that The bee-Presi- ; a ... yestment firm of Case, Pomeroy & Government bond market. Co.,"Inc. 7 i not can exports by Andrew e be prices receded temporarily, as weak holders were shaken their securities. It will again be a good time to buy if the market should lose its equilibrium because / partment of Manufacturers Trust Co. and later President of the in- Even with the implementation of the Bretton Woods plan there will still be im¬ port quotas and until there is a large measure of freedom of trade in dent largest in the world. to 1•> , trade is the life-blood of the Dominion and its propor¬ tion to national income is the ford announced Johnston ex¬ , out of Shares, Inc., d turned out to It when n C3 Wall Street, Lord, . ,., Busin ess . . publicity after the Seventh War Loan and had the market confused a short period. Devel- America y 5 . , for It en r y nomic regarding of existing „ . , BULGING TREASURY ;R. ohnston, the commerce ^ , . Treasurer!of elimination of currency In the case of Canada there maintenance 1 < ;••• .. change as a market factor seems to have been quite fully dis:ounted. Rumors of a rate change were-given considerable would be a H interested in the re¬ change rates. alltime tops/. rate moved Am. Business Shares the world CORPORATION to far y Johnston Director of to Britain to devalue the pound—for some " time ' imports will rank before exports. This concern The partially exempts . Reports that the differential discount rate would be eliminated caused a short-lived flurry in the market, .The importance of this ——' tage more new FULLY DISCOUNTED use will Export 7.;•/. • continues outstrip the supply, director of the •«; securities domestic demand with considerable even . with the rest of the list, as the last four maturities pushed pace to on dif¬ a contrast psychological influence on other countries. Apart from the ques¬ tion of the preservation of cur¬ rency stability throughout the world, there is also the more pressing factor of self-interest. ■':n There is no immediate advan¬ international kept Canadian rencies could exert a is \ in still of been elected a wars. GOVERNMENT grades and is favor leading cur¬ of . 108 for the first time. which "sold above rather than isting parities of the is . holiday mood. V The upswing this time was led by the restricted 2V4S due 1956/59, and this issue went on to a new alltime high. ; . . Close behind was the bank eligible 2V2 % due Sept. 15, 1967/72, v pros¬ opment, has vival a'wT*:'- "'/< / of the ex¬ and . This de¬ future to There in comparable greatly simplifed. Some con¬ templated devaluations might be postponed until it is possible bet¬ ter to assess an appropriate level based on world trade movements under freer conditions. Currency devaluation in itself is not a remedy for economic ills, and it can become a bad habit. 1 country CANADIAN BONDS renewed was to 2.90. rose regard ferential be Thus the maintenance Direct Private Wires to There of further advance ratio realignment, if necessary, de¬ steady . is high there is more likelihood ' - ti ; reports that the differential discount rate would be eliminated, the narket turned strong when no action was taken and prices again noved into new high ground. Volume was not heavy aad activity was somewhat restricted since the financial district was alsb in a pects although the general level ; dollar sterling / \ be reflected marketwise. world state to , the With '' velopment has highly promising prospects which should ultimately the new will be accomplished with the .mini¬ mum of dislocation if the basic common factor of a 90 cent Ca¬ nadian dollar and 4 dollar pound old 9 3/16%. Iron which of doubt and confusion any recog¬ nized stability is noO to be lightly abandoned. The transition from the fairly were ' in display of interest in Steep Rock Canada .n particular has based its whole aconcmy and its very efficient system of controls on the 90 cent the war years, During maintained. ac¬ mild recession the middle of last week, caused by a mand arid free funds Were steady sterling. nadian dollars and although prices well were less were tive Internals will be no relationships of the U. S. and Ca¬ CANADIAN SECURITIES Following ';v- V ' Y ,Y-. Volume Number 4450 162 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3141 . Ohio Municipal Comment 'The year 1945 draws to a close with prices of Ohio municipals coritinuing the upward march toward the peak levels-which obtained in the bull market for ta?oexempts earlier in the year. Indeed, recent evidence the suggests that the Ohio market has of Pathe formidable position it enjoyed prior to the sharp setback suf¬ the entire municipal field in consequence of V-J Day.' ; fered by comparison of the ; a time. and the at Appointed by ABA to weekly data compiled by J. A. that & composite bonds is yield 20 on 1.29%, as against 1.40% in the September period. grade is now In the the bonds, 1.13% 10 high-., of case yield current compared as The sharpest advance has taken place in the 10 lower grade bonds, the level of 1.45% present in contrast with the 1.65% Cleveland of Trust Co., Commission. figure which " obtained short, market the several the Ohio municipal participated fully in has recent marked H. of Subcommittee 5219 U. Legislation.' R. S. S. of the Committee ris committee The sewers. V:. Douglas, Assistant Coun¬ sel of State (•; v Assistant former ' ' I from tax 1947 loan to is due U. * in succeeded ; in than more half of the the first day. The East , Cleveland ker, who also land placing offering ' • issue Ohio bid on- a a Company of Columbus, of 101.292 for Is, making than 0.79%. more not were •' tf i While the prospective number of principal * : * current which on Nov. 6 election. total a is will 4 of Franklin bids open of $1,900,000 bonds, being part of the $9,500,000 authorized by the voters at the The offering consists of five issues, with the over¬ maturity dates being from separate 1947 to been 1970, inclusive. awarded citation a for '■ The citation reads: "For excep¬ tionally meritorious performance of in conduct the outstanding services in the Headquarters Army Air Forces from June 10, 1943, to Sept. 3, 1945. ; "Lieutenant Colonel Skall dem¬ onstrated exceptional initiative efficiency in determining the rapidly changing requirements of Pacific the awards Jan. all has and includes a substantial loans, the : Stock Exchange affairs be¬ entering the Army Air Corps, '• •_ calendar contender County, The bonds reoffered. active in Cleve¬ was Legion of Merit. net interest cost to the borrower of no G. fore of $230,000 general building improve¬ ment bonds, due from 1947 to 1956, inclusive, war awarded to the David •n Theater for balancing against units; requirements these available air and resources capabilities, and in developing and executing plans by which these requirements were met wi thin the time schedule imposed by combat operations.As > a result of his imagination and resourcefulness, the weight of air power brought to bear against Japan was meas¬ urably increased." and Ohio Personnels u Formed in Cleveland to i the Inc.; : and - THe Financial Harry and E. (Special to U. will- The Financial has Financial. Chronicle) thereto he was with (Special > McKee is lected from be se¬ finest United World Pictures was '•C»A total shares to 1.25% as Co., & Co. & ❖ the Benjamin counsel. * \ ■ The Bank Robertson i now , Board, of Williams - is Vice-President Vice-President • and' general Sherwin-Williams Co. manager of and Sol B. Coolidge Vice-President auxiliaries director : • of the the company's and pigment * \ s|: - ill * 1%% *;;. ■: 700,000 for ■■ common Corp. com¬ offered to selected type of The 1946 from : Erie Railroad less finance to , * security maturity the company. '■ notes was believed to be the lowest rate of interest ever received for that by Otis & Co. at $5.75 a less a commission of 37 V2 cents per share. The offering did not represent new financing by * $350,000 promissory Erie officials said the bid Alleghany was First National Bank of Scranton, Pa., submitted the winning bid of Steel Car Co. share, with J a of 10 years. notes; evidence of indebt¬ edness under conditional a sale agreement, were dated January I, and will June 1, 1956 mature 1946 quarterly March to v.-.--- , commercial producer coal. nous On that Bessemer of Michigan Pub. Service bitumi¬ Leiand Electric ; * date, Coal the of merger U. S. Truck & Coke Corp. of Pittsburgh, with M. A. Hanna Co. is effective. merger total 125 ." directors of 971,764 to ; - voted the Charles 889,829 shares * * B. Merrill, while merger voted <■ "; Lines, Inc. Standard Stoker Co. Prospectus j>r Memorandum Request on of shares the were Out common vote, for voted shares : of • overwhelmingly. against. OTIS & CO. (IncorDorated \ ' ESTABLISHED Terminal Tower • 1839 Cleveland . 13, O. . Phone Merrill, president Turben & Co. >'•,: Bell < ,• CHERRY 0260 Teletype CV 496-497 of Gruen ; CINCINNA Tl Watch, Com. Sport Products Whitaker Paper SECURITIES ' Land Trust Certificates :; - Globe Wernicke Com. & Pfd. Manager Multigraph who has been on Horan & Grischy UNION TRUST BLDG. CINCINNATI W. D. Gradison & Co. Members New York Dixie 2 Cincinnati and Stock Exchanges—N. Y. Terminal Curb Assoc, Building CINCINNATI 2 Teletype CI 347 Teh Main 4884 Tele. CI 68 A 274 the ' t WeKraan Engineering CINCINNATI ■ Company SECURITIES T. Circular affiliated with E. H. — In the past he was with on 1 Request ★ W. E. FOX & CO. Lowry Sweney, Inc. WM. J. MERICKA & CO. Inc. incorporated ;;„y r:>, * (Special to The financial YOUNGSTOWN, OHIO D. R. Barbour Field, Richards & Co. Chronicle) — John has. rejoined the " staif of after serving in the armed forces. McDonald & Company, Union Com. Bldg. CLEVELAND' Tele. CV 174 1, •' This Saturday, M. A. Hanna Co., Cleveland, will become the largest stockholder in Pittsburgh Consoli¬ dation Coal Corp., world's biggest a of includes oil mills, manufacturing plants. and can ' named was and which management dealers . and the posts Chronicle) OHIO—Henry the Directors appointed M. J. Fortier as and of "r Financial to Sherwin ■I Company. ' H. of Philip Carey Com. & Pfd. over Address ograph j." Brainard, Vicesales, Robertson, have of Chairman Reserve Corp. on Jan. 1. He has left his position as-president of General Fireproofing Co. of YoungstownO., but will remain as a director, associated Lemperly, $ of President and General of of vice- a Investment director elected S. Brainard, Federal Gordon been Directors / . ' C. the than 80 per cent of the cost of 100 seventy-ton covered hopper cars to be built by Greenville, Pa., :yv-'v. •• Harris : of of stock mon announced Nov. Robert York, Co.. Co., forma¬ 28," it continued. ! Negotiations were .conducted by G. I. Woodham Smith of London, England, representing Mr. Rank. Kenneth M. Young, President of Pathe, signed for the Young in¬ of New & * were with .50 Sutherland entitled the exception of those films to be distributed by terests from Stranahan, Roose Rank tion of which Northern by •••; product of the producing organizations in the Group, with and Prior Atlanta: " In; the past he Henry Zuckerman & Co. in New York City. with the will elected of Hanna films Another Arnold Rollins & Sons, Inc. He has re¬ cently been in the. armed forces. Goodbody & Co.; in to COLUMBUS, Co.; Courts and Co. and Beer and with con¬ : A. Building. Mr. Webb was formerly with Thomson & McFla. the the British Co., headed scaled were cers;,^-,;^ "The M. and ■t merce Orlando, of by- the Young interests through the Eagle Lion distribu¬ tion system will be high budget pictures made by the outstanding Hollywood independent produ¬ ! Webb has become associated with Paul H. Davis & Co., Union Com¬ in are with Livingston, Williams & Co., Inc., Hanna Building. .Miss Marquart was formerly with •' the ' Kinnon rest "The American films to be Cleveland, will take . Chronicle) become ■ The the present Rank organization." ; war. works improvement bonds Sept. 1, 1947-1976. The bonds Ryan, used, the handled S. Association. Charles that Thompson ; be tributed: by said Products Co. were existing Rank Group S4 Eagle Lion Films, be revised, the state¬ throughout world and Three Ohio firms in the group the continued. Corp. yield. Distribution in the British Isles and CLEVELAND, OHIO—Hilda M. Marquart Webb With Paul Davis to Schwall Co., Inc. Cleveland Trust (Special be plant ; in from Re¬ $807,350 Finance group due South Exchange Club. Hazen President , •. CLEVELAND, OHIO—Cecil Chronicle)"/ of as Richard A. Gottron, Exchange member. to with Slay ton & succeed Russell to name for water the will ment : of CLEVELAND, O.—John E. Dip- pery Gillis, Rus¬ sell & Co., Union Commerce Build¬ ing,' members of the Cleveland Stock Exchanger Partners will be James N'. .'(Special • OHIO—Gottron, Russell & Co. will be formed 2nd, in Bond Bankers a member of a Stock Toledo, was president of - Gofiron, Russell Go. Jan. distribution the the Sherwin-Williams subsidiary. / . Co., turned out before the Rank Central; and ■ this George CLEVELAND. the the Ohioan, of and Cleveland and Chicago, purchased $1,175,000 City of Elyria, O., 1.25% in-, & General Manager of Acrrie White Lead & Color Works, Detroit, Trust trade-mark, which Murch is planned to triple the com¬ pany's annual output of 500 buses U. name" of Skall, well known Cleveland bro¬ The reoffering scale was from 0.50% to 1.25% and the under¬ writers Colonel the Young world..;; the S. in Lieutenant next minimum of the H. Cleveland, was chosen to three-year term earlier in smelters, America, including Mexico. It will be owned by Pathe and will be known as Eagle Lion * Films. To Skall Cited for Merit annually under the ehable 1956, inclusive. from Lion," handle • to limited films Merrill, who Maynard If. Murch of Maynard It A starting a of America. Co., Cleveland, world's largest paint and varnish; manufacturers. S., the Young inter¬ ests will form a new company to Vice- ■ system, Group and 10 Ameri¬ In - 0 Sept. 1 from 1947 1976, inclusive, and optional on and after Sept. 1, 1956, while the the Arthur ten British films from out the President of National City, named to Public Relations Council. on J. and 20 films, on Brown, Industries, stated ation succeeds the subsidary, of Thompson Products, has bought a government-owned portion of its Euclid, O., plant for $5,000,000 and that Ohio Crankshaft Co., Inc., has purchased a plant, for $608,000. who Union Cent. Bldg. Members Union . Cincinnati Stock Exchange 18 E. 4th St. MA ^ t' k Cincinnati 1627 CI 494 Commerce1 Teletype 29 Building CLEVELAND 14 Members Cleveland CINCINNATI Tele. CI 150 j of reports that it will center its ex¬ panded bus-building program in this plant starting next summer. .Group is already using through¬ Assignment of Ac¬ counts Receivable -Legislation of the Committee on State Legisla¬ Dale Railroad, committee government-owned construction Aircraft chairman chairman as executive R.F.C. also the Rank "Eagle Legis¬ lation, and Chairman of the Sub¬ tion. of Governors Investing Corp., is a White Motor Co. has purchased • value). controlling interest a interests terests, Cleveland Trust, a member on convert¬ Corp. and Chesa¬ September, with Sta¬ ^ com¬ "share a par £ Young, Ohio & Pathe can The Elyria bonds, amounting to were taken by an ac¬ count headed by Stranahan, Har¬ Co., Inc., Toledo,: and in¬ cluding Ryan, Sutherland & Co,, and .Roose & Co., The group paid a price of 100.634 for the $1,175,000 water works improvements as 1V4S, and 100.291 for the $150,000 R. tributing Federal on pre¬ member new of director. Rank, British movie magnate, .will operate a world-wide dis¬ on Revised ; - . $1,325,000, tax - appointed City, tutes of the Committee land. issue matures peake Vice-Presi¬ Beam, National of Section & Robert was of ($5 common Young Chairman on common Commission. Francis extremely favorable terms to borrowers, the outstand¬ ing items were those presented by the cities of Elyria and East Cleve¬ limited Pathe in into ' Pathe (par value $5 pereach share of Com¬ and into T/45th ible of share of Pathe a stock monwealth 1 share (par value $100 a.share), mon Bank¬ t' the William R. provided in the ? convertible ■ a . and .275 of President 1 continue Cleveland was also holds > ; will ferred of for who also and years participated in the com¬ pany's postwar production plans, succeeds Joseph E. Rogers, who Commonwealth as Addressograph of a National City Bank, named to the Postwar Small Business Credit dent to Secretary share), Congdon, of agreement of merger, each share of Commonwealth Securities pre¬ of Among recent new issue offer¬ ings, all of which have been notice a of Alleghany B. board has ferred made of Com¬ V. D. 3/lOths , Graduate School ing. ; aidney improvement in the price level of municipals generally and gives every indica¬ tion of making additional gains. awarded the of same of number Daley said that .Loring L. Gelbach, President of Central National Bank, made Chairman of the Board of Regents months the Securities, Inc., and Anderson Co., both of Cleve¬ In : ago,' In proposal to split the stock a monwealth holders, Chairman of the Economic Policy being at stockholders approved merger- of the companies with Pathe Indus¬ tries, ,>v\ .■ iv Among the appointments were: "r Brigadier General Leonard P. Ayres, Executive Vice - President Jl-.- on Board . month at Chicago. Merrill also is president of Western Reserve land, had : with vote two CLEVELAND, OHIO—Frank C; Rathje, President of the Ameri¬ can Bankers Association, has ap¬ pointed six prominent Cleveland bankers to the working organiza¬ tion of the Association.. .1 >v; i ;»t i Co., Cincinnati, shows the Ohio reported was that time present The record, according: White [It ~~ Six Cleveland Men standing: of the market eaHy in September " 7 to the the Investment Bankers Associi- 10-for-1. , ® The point is perhaps best illustrated in for Jan. common Cleveland, is the of !. Pathe Industries, Inc., which announced last week that it had eiitered into an Anglo-American reciprocal agreement for the dis¬ tribution of a number of outstanding British and American films throughout the world, has called a special meeting of the holders than regained more Ohio Brevities l BROADWAY Stock CV • ^ Exchange 594 NEW YORK « j; financia£ the commercial & 142 Thursday, December 27, 1945 chronicle T its obligatory require¬ ments by a substantial margin un¬ der virtually any foreseeable con¬ ditions. In addition, with its strong covering financial Very High Frequency Space favorable and status earnings prospects, it is expected of reducing debt will be continued. With the obvious improvement in the road's credit standing and the substantial reduction there has been in interest charges in recent lent as formerly in the credit standing of roads during the war years tharacterized the highest marginal. ?:Not too many years ago even of the Development ,&■ General (junior) Mortgage ould be purchased in the 20s. Even as recently as last year the ighest coupon series was available at a discount from par. Now the ompany is not able to buy them * —— t wide premiums over par. Some time ago the company offered to purchase up to $5,000,000 of the series oupori 6V2S Direct Private Wires to: ' fci CHICAGO §tg' LOS ANGELES i 6s and • . - tended to Dec. 24. that the even Securities with markets in these cities Ernst&Co. r •' MEMBERS New York Stock Exchange and other leading Security and Commodity Exchs. 231 Broadway, New York5,N.Y. So. LaSalle St., Chicago 4, 111. TRADING MARKETS — brought in few, if any, • - Telephone YORK v larly the common, have been at¬ buying. from the in and The common has reacted earlier 1945 high of 60 recent markets has been selling to afford a return of better on the 1945 dividend rate than 5% of $3 this Naturally, earnings being distorted by extraordinary items as ac¬ share. a are year such sults will show the amount of market railroad bonds consideration has that it share the on commoni"vTnfl944 earned close to $15 ties in intelligent estimates for make any current less concentrated will that considering any bonds have may retired been through the purchase offer, fixed charges have been reduced to around $12,100,000. This repre¬ a cut of 27% from the some supported ten years ago. Ever since 1932 the road's annual have earnings considered should now have pretty well It is generally run above that figure. that the company little difficulty in effect industry generally of pending strikes. on and There will also be the question of extent of wage increases for the rail labor and to what extent such increases will be retroactive. That will there be increase some open to question. There naturally be a' lag between increases and any possible compensating upward adjustment of railroad freight rates. Finally, there will be the question of the possible influence on near term earnings of tax carry-backs. wage •While term intermediate and near earnings for specific periods wide distortions will be subject to by outside to estimate factors, it is possible what the basic of distortions. Over from Specialists in the' above "when industrial the ; at all Interferences and Is Better Adapted to Members New York Stock Exchange ■ I" We at Bendix realize that the acceptance of railroad radio wilt whether its use will result in worth-* '■ have had a leading part in the de-' &s ill depend in the final analysis upon while ' " econ- ations.' velopment of this new, system, to-* gether with forward-looking rail-* roads such as the Burlington, the After MivyHassel- Sante talk (See "Chron¬ icle" of Without Dec. : can eneesi between ent be ort ductive economies be very far-reaching, he has or experience is still too lim- P. B. Tanner permit foreseeing further which may develop the general use of radio by to economies from railroads, As most ' . today, the in¬ carrier system, and very munication in use ^ 25 Broad Street r t This is in operation in continue a amount of new equipment with a consequent sav¬ ing in operating costs. Substantial sums have also been spent on ad¬ and betterments the to properties with consequent econ¬ Interest costs have been shaved as outlined above. Both from the standpoint of traffic potentialities and the standpoint of costs and charges ahead of the .New York 4, N.Y. Telephone BOwling Green 9-6400 Teletype NY 1-1063 .r'v'/ pflugfelder, bampt0n & rust Delaware, Lackawanna & Western R. R. ; Members t'r 61 i New Stock York Exchange Broadway . Telephone—DIgby 4-4933 : v : ! ^ "■ v('• ..ryP New York 6 Bell Teletype—NY 1-310 ' V; frequencies employed in the carrier - system, - the waves tend to follow the tele¬ inductive phone or - they which » 1st Income 4s, 1993 : BATES MANUFACTURING UNITED Tt is immediately apparent Wall Street, Members New PUBLIC SERVICE, Com. of-way, curves as or BOwling Green 9-8120 Boston New^York 5 Tele. NY 1-724 Philadelphia Hartford York] Stock Exchange BOND BROKERAGE co. Member of National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. TEL. 52 wall street HAnover 2-9072 n. y. SERVICE Specializing in Railroad Securities c. . NEW YORK 5 ONE WALL STREET 1. h. rothchild & TELETYPE NY HANOVER 2-1355 1-2155 5 Tele. NY 1-1293 that dependence upon wayside constitutes a serious draw¬ back to the use of the inductive carrier system 4n many phases of railroad operations. For example* in metropolitan areas, where wires are often carried underground, or oh industrial sidings where no wires exist, the inductive system cannot provide / communication, v Likewise on the main line, when the wires do not follow the rightwires v UNITED PUBLIC UTILITIES, Com. 63 . in the case of wide y-: through deep cuts, the inductive carrier system is again, In the same equities, theri, Southern is well at a disadvantage. situated. Unless all present ideas wjay, when < storms prostrate the as to the general national econ¬ wire lines, inductive communica¬ omy over the next few years prove to be ridiculously overly ; opti¬ tion is often impaired, right at a mistic Southern should have little .-! >:'An address by Mr. Tanner be¬ difficulty in keeping earnings at, or above,' the $7 estimated for fore the Railroad Section of the 1945. Obviously, This affords ade¬ New York Association of Security Analysts, Dec.,7, 1945. . quate, protection * to ' the recent l (Continued on page 3155) _ ; 'dividend rate. • CO(~ Adams & Peck ; this Mclaughlin, baird & reuss Mtge. Series B 1 are Lackawanna Railroad of N. J. Division . space radio, the broadcast in all direc* tions, and can be received anywhere within the range of the transmitter, just as in the case of your automobile radio. ; VHF With waves , v At the which carry the messages. factor. a sion, years a considerable Railroad Bonds and Stocks the two propagation of -the electric waves 50 yards or so. ditions • J difference in systems is the method of v outstanding >The high frequency aviation has led to the development of the VHF space radio system for railroad use. Bendix Radio is proud to in military Since the depres¬ Southern has installed STOCKS-BONDS INCORPORATED appreciate that the characteristics of these two frequencies are quite £ telegraph wires over $ are transmitted, and can be received satisfactorily only when the train is within a short v distance of these wires—say up to peace economy. WWU RAILROAD operates general acceptance has been de¬ layed due to the technical limita¬ tions of the early equipments. In the meantime, in the past year and and a half to be exact, the success omies'; GUARANTEED frequency space ori fre¬ between 158 and 162 high system low ably Telephone REctor 2-7340 1 lowy high frequency space radio. The inductive carrier system has been used for a period of years but its Many plants estab¬ lished for war uses will presum¬ Times use different. • probably know, forms of train com¬ expansion of the South. 'I " systems quencies megacycles, or wave-lengths of, only about two meters. You can of you there are two ductive carrier , very radio intimated, our ited systems two frequencies, generally in the neighborhood of 100 kilocycles, that is,, with wave-lengths in the order of 3,000 meters. The VHF but that these as the principally from the differ¬ frequencies or wave-lengths 1 which they, operate. The in-* in question your minds and • deeply into too stem any will going technical discussion, the differ-* a 20, page 3016. there Fe, the Baltimore and Ohio ,*>,>■ B W* I and several others. —Editor), ' I don't" think still j a j" Warning" Purpose. The VHF Radio Is Also Free From AtmosJ pheric Noises and Man-Made Static and Is Light and Portable and Involves Less Operational Problems as Well as Being Lower in Cost losses contracts. 120 BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. SECURITIES Selected Situations Inductive Carrier System by Means of Wayside Wires. the Advantage of Less ; radio SUTRO BROS. & CO. RAILROAD an Holds That Although the Range of the VHF Radio Is Short It Has obtained with very Corporation issued" ex period benefited a Southern has years traffic-wise We will discount profits and assume in earn¬ ing power of the road may be the Seaboard Air Line R. jR. Co. NY 1-1499 is hardly General Public Utilities 5 Require : bacher's are too many uncertain^ the immediate picture', to jThe're After-liquidating temporary loans contracted during the depression (to a large extent to meet prin¬ cipal maturities) the management turned its attention to the high coupon series (6% and 6^2%) of the junior mortgage and more or result of the debt program, (VHF Space Radio Broadcasts Waves in All Directions and Does Not omies in daily share. a Today and Points Out That the Underlying Differences Frequencies. Points Out That the Between Them Is in the Wave railroad oper¬ earnings for a specific period 'such as 1946. A lot will depend on the a tion in Use better than $7,-a Southern management was one of the first to embark on an aggres¬ sive debt retirement program. As Mr. Tanner Describes the Two Forms of Radio Train Communica¬ is expected that final: re¬ the company un¬ there, where the greatest interest saving was prom-, ised, up to'the present. ■ Manager, Radio Sales Dept., Bendix Radio Corporation tracting a considerable amount of speculative and semi-investment in ^ / particu¬ celerated amortization but even at Teletype . HA 2-6622 the equities,- and condi¬ tions and the steady contraction money STREETUXX WALL 72 NEW - ,' , burden Van Tuyl & Abbe >v';;-:T the bonds. sents Magazine Repeating Razor Co. Universal Match Corp. | Berkshire Fine Spinning pfd. Missouri Pac. RR. Serial 5V4S Tappan Stove Co. : Skilsaw, Inc. j of time limit and without 120 It is indicated extension doubtedly been the change in the status of the road itself.; The Listed and Unlisted •' re¬ cold a important on 118, outstanding may be cited as con¬ tributory factors to the present market appraisal, but the most BIRMINGHAM Orders Solicited and This offer met with reception that when it expired on Nov. 30 it was ex¬ spectively. such General and 123 at and charges years, + By P. B. TANNER* that the program well typifies the progressive improve- Southern Railway pretty Philadelphia Jelephone — Lombard 9008 Volume 162 the under arrangements contem¬ (iii) hereof. plated in Article 7 Article 5. j j Contracting The., two Govern¬ cooperate'with a view to assisting each- other, in keeping capital transactions within Ithe scope of their respective policies, and in' particular with a view: to preventing transfers ; b e t w e e n ments shall Treaty Follows Same Pattern . as Those With Members of Sterling*"1 Bloc, and Restricts Payments of Sterling Balances Outside the Sterr 'ling Area. Fixes Exchange Rate of 20yo Czechoslovak Crowns to £.* ■■/■if The "Chronicle" has received the official.text of the Monetary their Agreement between the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain the and^>-— Northern Ireland and Government the of Czecho- * the sterling follows the lines of similar agree¬ permitted to iriake to residents of Czechoslovakia—i area, tional against sterling to be cred¬ the Na¬ Bank of Czechoslovakia's nature No: Account made»with important an nation, not - a member of -the Sterling Bloc. Under the terms of Article 7-of the Agreement,-both to trenew^ the .terms, if either of the contracting parties adhere to a general -inter¬ national,. monetary-'' agreement. countries Since contract both- Czechoslovakia Bre1 ton Britain Great the ratified have Woods and Agreements, amendments to the Treaty may be required. / The - full 'x47'4:. ; following constitutes the of the agreement: 41"; 4; text Monetary Agreement between the Government of the United King- »; dom : of Britain- Great Northern Ireland _ of ernment the and and Gov- Czechoslovak the (a) The Government owned by. vakia Kingdom Great of Britain No. .1, Account with the Brink of England amounts 1 million plus the £ to (a) shall vakia Northern Ireland, of the one part, and the' Government of;: the balances Czechoslovak amounts •other Republic, -of have agreedvas part, lows: Article 1. tween crown £ sterling shall Kcs.201.5(k=£l. . • !-i(ii) This rate (hereinafter - . ferred shall to "the as not be official varied by be - rate") of this Article territories - where ported. V (i) of the official rate as the basis have a re¬ lationship between the • two cur¬ rencies.^ \; " ? .//* (iv) The Bank of-England .and v the National. Bank vakia, of Czechoslo¬ agents -of 4heir respec¬ as tive. Governments,/ .mutual spread above or which, will be rate the shall fix ;.;by the maximum below the official agreement markets authorized which they on control. Article • 2.' x'VX; (i) The Bank of England (act¬ ing as agents of the United King¬ dom Government) shall sell ster¬ ling t.o the National Bank' of V - 'Czechoslovakia (acting as to - i be may 41 • Artiole 3. • , in ex¬ j . the Bank of Czecho¬ National slovakia, against all or .parti of the sterling balances held by that Bank,- either -C z e c h o s 1 o.v a k crowns at the official rate, or gold to be set aside at the Bank of ^ _ Eirigland'in"London.; : i (ii) The 4 NatioriaV - Czechoslovakia right at Bank any of of *; shall time . sell to to balances held by at gold be /x Bank] Of have';* the England;1 against the Czechoslovak sterling ' f •* , the Prague. / • aside set (i) The 4. Government of the the the availability of sterling at the there in make to force, are permitted to residents of the sterling area— credited to be to the Bank .Account at the of with crowns official rate England's the National No. 1 Bank «of Czechoslovakia, provided that the balance standing to the credit of that Account is not thereby in¬ creased above a. Kcs.200 million: (b) th'e if the credit land's of No. maximum t or balance standing the 1 Bank Account National Bank amounts to of of < to of Eng¬ with- the Czechoslovakia Kcs.200 million, against gold to be set aside in the Bank of England's name at the National Bank of Czechoslovakia, Prague. (ii) ' The National Czechoslovakia (acting Bank as Bank of (a) transfers to other residents Czechoslovakia; ; > , (b) the payments sterling (c) to area; transfers countries and the or to outside sterling residents \/Y of 4: residents of Czechoslovakia area to the extent with! view a the present that in force I ' Agree¬ Con¬ the Czecho¬ tain contaict all technical ques¬ on authorized by the Government of the United Kingdom under the arrangements contemplated in Article. 7 (iii) hereof. .;v.,; \ (ii) The Czechoslovak Govern¬ ment shall not avail¬ restrict the ability of Czechoslovak crowns at the disposal of, residents of the sterling area for making— (a) transfers ;to other residents (b) sterling area; payments Czechoslovakia; (c) transfers to arising out of the Agreement collaborate bclosely on exchange "Control matters. affect¬ ing .the. two areas. * will (iii) As opportunity offers, the Governments shall . seek with the consent of the other interested parties— !'•- ' (a) to of the the at make4'Czechoslovak . at the crowns disposal of residents sterling area and, sterling disposal of residents S of - Czechoslovakia available for pay¬ a current nature to resi¬ ments of 4 of dents sterling countries outside the ■ and Czechoslovakia; area 4 •"* ' C " ! . 44 (b) to enable residents of coun¬ tries outside-'the sterling area arid ;. Czechoslovakia to sterling jat use their; disposal to make payments ofxa lcurCent nature to residents of. Czechoslovakia, Czechoslovak to countries outside the and . to which these may of > residents of sterling area Czechoslovkaia to .• - - London, in duplicate day of November; 1945.. 1st Northern Ireland. > •For Governriient 4he : and 4 to use at their dis¬ crowns the extent be authorized by the Czechoslovak Government 11. Dec. Stephens, a deputy commis¬ indicated sioner in the theater since, Oct. 1, succeeds late the of Carroll A. who was killed in " the of Boston automobile an accident in France Oct. 16. Over¬ seas with the Red Cross for three • Czechoslovak Republic ^ an¬ Mr. t was by Frederick (L.S.) ERNEST BEVIN. was Chairman, - reappointed chair¬ President Truman on O'Connor man Mr. Great Britain and Europe Dec. 4 by Basil O'Con¬ on National ^ ■ (L.S.) Dr. RUDOLF KURAZ. years, Mr. Stephens was regional Italy previ¬ director for Northern R, H. Johnson & Co. to his transfer to the Western ous His work with; the 5th Army 'was recognized by European theater. A support of Stephens went to England as of-' manager for the American, was made fice Dec. 26 by a group of underwrit¬ ers* headed by R. II. Johnson & Co., at $ 15.50 per financial statement, later assigned nean theater outstanding/ Proceeds be from / the dated - 4 4 latest ation-hospitals, pervisor evacu-4 regional su-^ was and Oran, at ' by. the company to providd funds for standardization of equipment, procurement of in¬ strument flight facilities, enlarge¬ ment of general operations, and a bank loan. then. co¬ ordinated Red Cross services with the 5th Army. Before ; age • Red the joining Mr. Stephens was 'sale used retirement of helped he where , will Mediterra-: the to plan Red Cross service to July 31, showed a total of 410,387 shares'."issued, of which 30,200 shares were held by " the com¬ pany's" treasury. As of Oct. 31 there were * 22,001 additional shares arid was; Red Cross London office share. The shares represent an additional offering out of an original authorized issue of 1,000,000 shares. The company's latest in; combat operations from; January, 1943, to October, 1944, in| North Africa and Italy." Mr.? public offering of 125,000 ad¬ ($l-par) common shares Airlines, Inc., Star- Bronze Medal "Vfor meritorious services ditional of Alaska the of award the . Cross, in the broker¬ business, associated with the firm of Gude Winmill & Company on • the New York Curb Exchange* Chairman In; reappointing Presi dent Truman O'Connor, . Alaska Airlines, Inc., was incorr porated under : the laws df the Territory of, Alaska on Nov. 27, 1937, as successor to Star Air named five members for the Red Cross Central these, Committee; "Times" in advices from Washington Dec. 11; said the New York whicK -originally was were the Secretary of the Treas? in 1933. Carryirtg passen¬ property and mail on regu¬ ury, Fred M.~Vinson, succeeding lar'and irregular schedules, the Danel Wr Bell, Under-Secretary? Service formed gers, air line operates over more than 6,000 miles of route mileage. - H " Other members of the offering A. William Clayton, of Secretary General; A.'.M. Kidder "& Co.; Bond & Goodwin; Inc.; Coburn i& Middlebrook; "Foster & Marshall; Van Alstyne, Noel & Co.; Courts Company; JV C. Bradford & Co., Attorney and Reinholdt & Gardner. of the Army. group are .'!; Ross eral T. State; Assistant Tom Clark, Vice Admiral Maclntire, Surgeon Gen¬ of the Norman T. Navy, and Maj. Gen. Kirk, Surgeon General 1 posal to Irriake payments of a cur¬ rents nature sterling of residents to area. ' * * t" 1 of the -1 (iv).; Notwithstandingthat each the.,: Contracting Governments shall be /NOTICE OF REDEMPTION alone responsible for its relations with third - maintain to the terests of the other. ■ . NORTHERN PACIFIC | REFUNDING to . time by the. exchange assigned to it regula¬ control tions in force in the United King¬ dom; (ii) J transactions between; the Bank of England and the National Bank of Czechoslovakia considered tween are to be transactions ; be¬ as the sterling area and Czechoslovakia; f (iii) transactions entered Unto by the Government of any terri¬ tory within the sterling area or by the^Czechoslovak Government are be to tions considered entered of that area into respectively,/. 4 • - as transac¬ a residept by of Czechoslovakia or SERIES . RAILWAY. COMPANY IMPROVEMENT MORTGAGE B, DUE JULY 6% BONDS, 1, 2047 . . time AND ' For the purposes of the present Agreement—, • X: lb (,i) the expression "the sterling area"shall have the ' meaning from holders<of con.-, tact wherever the monetary rela¬ tions of the one affect the in¬ / T NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that Northern Pacific Railway Company has elects ; off on January 1,1946, all of the above-mentioned Refunding and Improve¬ 6% Bonds, Series B, at 110% of their principal amount, together with accrued interest on such principal amount to said date, in accordance with the terms of said bonds and the provisions of Article Ten of the Refunding and Improvement Mortgage, dated July 1,1914, from Northern Pacific Railway Company to Guaranty Trust Ccimpany of New York and William S. Tod, Trustees, and that on January 1, 1946, there will become and be due and payable upon each of said bonds at the office of J. P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, in the Borough of Manhattan in The City of New York, N. Y., the principal thereof, together with a premium of 10% of such principal amount, and accrued interest on such principal amount* to said date. From and after January 1, 1946, interest on said bonds will cease to accrue and any coupon for interest appertaining to any such bond and maturing after said date wili to redeem and pay ment Mortgage become and be null and void. ' 4 . Coupon bonds should be presented and surrendered for payment and redemption aa July 1,1946, and thereafter attached. Coupons due January aforesaid with all coupons payable 1,1946, may be detached and presented for payment in the usual manner. Interest due January 1, 1946, on fully registered bonds will be payable only upon surrender of such bonds for re¬ demption. Registered bonds, in cases where payment to anyone other than the registered owner is desired, must be accompanied by proper instruments of assignment and transfer. ; \ .4 4'X; NORTHERN PACIFIC RAILWAt.COM.PANr. I": ". By A. M. Gottschald, J New York, N. Y„ September 26, 1945 Secretary < Article 9. ;4: " The present Agreement, which shall be subject to review and ad¬ justment residents or affixed have in Kingdom of tions and ■ to which these may be of the England (acting as agents of the United Kingdom Government)! as may be .required for payments which residents of of of agents of the Czechoslovak Government) shall sell Czechoslovak crowns to the disposal of residents of Czechoslo¬ vakia for -making— - ; (a) against Czechoslovak Done Article 8. United Kingdom shall, not restrict -under While •*V,:?■ ■■■> Article and their seals. gendral a any amendments be required. ' t monetary which residents of Czechoslovakia, exchange regulations Agreeirient parties, they shall at the Na¬ tional Bank of Czechoslovakia in to agents be required for payments may the crown of the Czechoslovak Government) as the all] or that Bank, either official rate or the thereto nor, Western nounced ; ' making (ii) and •' 4'f The Bank of England shall the right at .any lime to sell part ,4 - and and 'l'" Offer Alaska Airlines currency! of Common Shares Contracting *' slovakia,, as ^agents of their re¬ spective: Governments, will main¬ between Czechoslovakia's of Bank disposal jurisdiction the s Con¬ tracting Parties shall enforce the /of all transactions involving , bri at the/Na¬ shall the by and the National Bank of Loridojn in thermovisions of accordance with Appointment of William- A. Stephens as American Red Cross Commissioner for Great Britain, invested agreed adhere to ment' remains de¬ • arid tracting Governments shall coop¬ erate to apply it with the neces¬ sary flexibility according to cir¬ cumstances. The Bank of England disposal and ' : h --' r.}- (v) Gold set aside tional all b. in Prague provisions set aside England's free may be exportedV*' free (iii) In thsy have Gold of the Contracting Governments ex¬ i be be during Agreement may of this Article shall be at the Bank cept after mutual consultation. use by .agreement in accordance with the re¬ either shall , Stephens and O'Connor whereof, the under¬ signed, being duly authorized by their respective Governments, have signed1 the present Agree¬ ment . after the date of its witness In Bank *4;':/•'VC; Contracting (iv) be¬ to . ;V.4' exchange Czechoslovak the the of each which of termined , The-rate 'arid with counts them. ■ (i) the fol¬ held may present No. 1 Ac¬ other, ; * the their only by ;the Red Cross Names terminate wise. Na¬ invested of date the shall coming into force, unless the Con¬ tracting Governments agree other¬ this the after It JTorthe Government of the United international monetary agreement, they will review the terms of the maintainminimum : upon be Governments of Czechoslo¬ National Bank and agreed If this the of England, London. ; ' (iii) / The Bank, of; England'and the as' (i) 4 set at Czechoslovakia held be years • by - three Czechoslovakia Article 7. aside in the name of the National of of notice; National Bank of Czechoslovakia: additional against gold to be above V* months such or England and any Czechoslovak held by the bank of Eng¬ •only referred to in sub-paragraph sum be land" shall residents of Czechoslo¬ date on. which this Czechoslovakia's Bank three crowns the at { 6^^?; sterling held may of Bankj of the credit of the National Bank of i: and as Agreement enters.into force; or ; ; (b) if the balance standing; to 1945. of the.United shall . Bank London, 1st November, Any tional England, provided that the bal¬ ance standing to the credit of that Account is not thereby increased above a maximum of £1 million plus such additional sum as the Contracting Governments "shall have agreed to recognize as equiv¬ alent to "the net- amount of sterling Bank Republic. with; the serve J ited at the official rate to 1 not economic Article ,r •; do useful commercial purposes. are other countries,, but is distinctive in that it is the first treaty of this by Great Britain with and jex- change regulations in force in that Republic,, signed in Lon¬ don, Nov. 1, 1945. This document which areas direct r~1— the under area, slovak ments made 3143 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Number 4450 >. after tion, shall 5th mutual come consulta¬ into force on November, 1945. At any time Contracting Gov¬ thereafter either ernment may give notice to the other of its intention to terminate the Agreement, ment shall cease and to the have OFFER OF PREPAYMENT the Agree¬ effect desiring to receive immediate payment of the full redemption price including interest to January 1, 1946, may do so upon presentation and surrender of said bonds at the office of J. P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, in the Borough of Manhattan in The City of New, York, with the January 1, 1946, and subsequent coupons attached. s Holders . .... .. ^■■ : , agreement with the .12.6% for total .earning assets of the; 15, leading ; banks represented in close / ? This Week , however, between member banks and the 15 bainks in their respec¬ Bank Stocks — As draw to the we trend of significant •Wall Street banks*:— ' Date— '*■ V.-:' ;^• V> ;; ^ y ' y- -r Governments Deposits j Loans & Total Earning Discounts Assets 19,578 4,674 21,228 4,816 20,095 4,326 $4,523 $19,893 $4,694 $5,416 $4,678 G-30-44 9-30-44 22,542 14,273 $4,075 4,419 5,128 4,468 $22,741 $25,155 $14,088 Quarterly average (1944). 12-30-44 3-31-45___ - Quarterly average 15,195 4,608 15,967 6,629 5,534 23,990 4,541 22,034 4,664 * being $15,472 + 9.8.% ; +9.9% + In the face hard earning '*> is-very evident that stantially higher throughout 1945 1944. Based on quar¬ deposits and hold¬ ings of Government securities have averaged nearly 10% above last year, while loans and dis¬ than during figures, terly higher 12.6%. „ and total earning assets, Cash, on the other hand, has averaged 1.6% lower. ment's loan war •'•••,. ; and Government holdings apparent. For example, as of the Sixth War Loan between Nov. 20 and Dec. 16, 1944, posits is very a there Drives occurs /•" v/:,;.' "• TABLE II '■ ' ' : CommercialrGoVernments - ' Loans - \ Dates— . responding. Consider this comparison: ;r//.]///■ is .... 12-29-43_;-_--Li--_--_-.-^ 6-28-44 1 9-27-44__ . "•.'/ 2,465 ■ 2,337 ' " * 2,290 13,366•. i — *. 13,957 1_ 14,083 (1944):.\-$13;410" t 12r27-44____„„__^.,.^l—* $15,060) 6-27-45 : i: -Quarterly - :: ' .. 19.577 " , $21,724 20,524 t 6,247 22,824 •:.„' $2,338 v .; 5,361 .21,434 $5,398 1 $21,626 + + 20.6% —1.7%.;; j ■ 19,007 20,061 $19,215 ...(.1945P-/- fcl5;078? f , $18,214 - /'t 4,446 : •• y ; 4,971, 4,300 ; .- -4,463 2,301 ■ Dec. 31, franc, which since the liberation, has been pegged at 50 to the will take effect tomorrow [Dec. 261 with publication of the decree in the*" are French West Africa, French official Government Journal." dollar and 200 to the pound, The sembly 12.5%; _ /v'/! : > ^ in Bought—Sold—Quoted 1 - / /;' *. ■ ■. ..♦•; ■//;j and. 1 Vr>*u. v*op>. F+nhttnge other leading exchanges WALL ST. - the • weekly figures of /New York banks,7/as reported; by "member ' r Reserve the'Federal NEW YORK S in reduced The decision a four-hour at to cut taken was the It known that the Govern¬ wanted before money stabilize to- ratification its of the Woods Bretton monetary agree¬ ment, scheduled for debate in the constituent assembly tomorrow. French the financial two-cent franc the of the artificial and prevented from "selling any¬ was French thing in the United England." how to said experts valuation the They devaluation French Some held inflation; would others stimulate so pressing this and it production of goods that living costs would fall. of Because the devaluation, Government ordered Stock Exchanges tomorrow. , the appreciation for keeping other interested govern¬ ments informed,1 Secretary Vin¬ son, the Associated Press'added, told Mr. Pleven he had followed "with sympathetic interest the efforts of France to cope with her difficult economic problem? " that French remain ■:'> '•■ ";V 5 the foreign might affect increase that "it has generally recognized that exchange value of the was; out of line." Ex¬ been franc maintained program added Vinson tary an was French the in as economy. closed "'•• ' ">The present; devaluation is the • nine years. in time John Perkins to Be R. L I Day Partner the. value of the paper franc steadily .from ..ap¬ for Board, proximately. five gold centimes C0.049 gold francs) to the present rate of. slightly more than half, a plan,' according to the Associated from Press up four to partner in Perkins will become a of the New FIRE INSURANCE NEW JERSEY ~~" Washington, calls for of intensive, months • have assembly's meeting tomorrow to the Bret- consider ratification of ton rWoods 3rd.:WMr;;iPerkins has been for some time in the Jan. with the firm Trading 01d U. )S. For China Warships Urged Secretary that through deem proper,:ac¬ might he that Speaker Associated Press Wash¬ cording to Agreement.. *' '« [ „.?■ ington .; advices.. announced French stated that the The i: Government • consent: parental colonies would be changed.. Those whose, local territories overseas will have the same dol¬ pound value as the metro¬ currency lar and eral optional the remainder politan franc are Algiers, Tunisia; French Morocco, the French West of ways completing their of the year of or ;;,1' industry. and Indies armed forces, National Guard, R. O. T. C., college J. S. Laird, Bissell & Meeds Stock . Exchange YORK Telephone: B A relay 5, French Guiana. j Those colonies where 100 francs local of currency be will made 170 metropolitan francs equal to A. Rippel & Co. Established * , Mr. Forrestal legislation pro¬ conformity with re¬ of ,;y the posed "is in recommendations ; cent Staff and the State, Joint Chiefs of coordinating com¬ War and Navy mittee/and the Navy received / advice has siderations of Department from the to 18 Clinton St., Newark 74SIM / Gibbs, Manager Trading Department) N. 2, N. J« Common MArket 3-3430 Y. Phone—REctor Corporation! Stock 2-4383 the It appears that White House. national interest, as well as con¬ good conscience, re¬ States give Republic of China by the assisting that nation Kaiser-Frazer 1891 N. B*ll Telp+"V—W. 'L. J restal; had aid Yerk i was quire that the United New : announced of ,the /Navy Tor- it 17 Dee. On U'yY:y'y::y y Department. also that currencies in the Trainees would then be given sev¬ training —either' in BANK STOCKS THE HURDLE Members York Stock Exchanges, on Boston- and Ill Devonshire Day & Co.,- R: L. Street, members . who - H. MASS; —John BOSTON, ^During that declined has • t«0 BROADWAY. NEW Dec. "a change in the essential step of eco¬ nomic reconstruction." In a letter to Rene Pleven, French finance minister, Secre¬ rate franc in would Press Treasury the of Secretary or domestic that it Washington, Vinson said that divided States were V Associated from local metropolitan •//;/'• to According 25, 100 of rate a francs. accounts was ment of rest have francs, equal to 240 session Cabinet , New Hebrides French Oceania Caledonia, New the Sunday. approximately similar dates. J ./ basic training for all youths be¬ Total loans, - and investments tween 18 and 20, and those of 17 Telephone Dlgby 4-2525 CLEARS St. and mander, John Stelle.; The Legion It is'now of interest to examine Wt>w Madagascar,. Reunion . and Pierre and Miquelon Islands. land, will be a French/Somali- Cameroons, step toward full scale re¬ sumption of international trade. as fifth Legion Plan for ! Military Training f g; | 1944, for, than last. Memhpra week 1 aafc and value franc would C '• •>; /"■; - 1 forecast as¬ Africa,' French Congo Equatorial written Congress, Sam v Rayburn, as was pointed out in urging; that ;surplus /American A plan. for universal military this column two weeks ago,- in¬ dications are that total net .oper¬ training', was * submitted^ to tlie • gold centime t(0,0064 gold francs). warships or other ; vessels :;be /The move was taken to align turned over to China under an ating profits, based on Bank J of House Military Affairs Committee France's currency more closely, to Manhattan's report, should ap¬ on Dec. 18 by the American Le¬ authorization to the President to its actual value in comparison! to proximate 12.5% better this year gion, through its National Com-? world money on the eve of the make the transfer on any terms 'i Fire Insurance I i Hartford * the constituent Members of J . from ' Paris advices press given in the N. Y. "Journal of Commerce" went on to say: ; ^ as 1944, 152.32; Dec. 21, 1945, 189.07; ; The assembly now is consider¬ ing the 1946 budget, which con¬ gain 24.1%. //; y'y.vj y.y American' Banker /Indext. Dec. templates a 120,000,000,000 franc 31, 1944, 45.8; Dec.: 21, 1945, 49.8; deficit, estimated on the old eval¬ uation." y .'*•/'.V ; | r gain 8.7%:1 ; '\v The nation's international trade There is an amazing, lag in bank since liberation has been confined stock prices which sometime the to tokens shipments iof market will undoubtedly rectify. largely »■-. *Bank of Manhattan, Bank \ of luxuryv goods—perfume,, cognac New York, Bankers - Trust, ^ Cen¬ and champagne. . Unable to ful¬ fill her part of a trade agreement tral Hanover,.: Chase National, with Sweden, • France recently Chemical, Corn Exchange, .First francs National: Guaranty Trust,- Irving transferred ;. 400,000,000 . worth of gold f;o Sweden, partially Trust,: Manufacturers Trusty Na¬ tional City, New York Trust/Pub¬ covering- deliveries France Jia^ been unable to make. // : lic National and 5 United 'States l deposits as the Government's Trust. deposit accounts are. drawn down; It is an interesting coincidence that average aggregate earning assets of the 15 banks thus far in 1945 should be 12.6% greater than in. ■i of the value the • $4,475 2,241 +12.4% 'f $5,521 >. % .change . 2,346 ; - . . ■> $2,464 '15,481 -14,824 : average J.' $2,378 ! 9-26-45_J___lw_--^_w--- . r, 14,848 <3-28-45_^_^w,—_V.*.— - -- - . , " Quarterly average '' v/w $4,184 $2,418 $12,234 ' -* Investments & not Dow Jones Industrials: Total Loans f C;,y All Loans • (000,000 omitted) v ' rr.' ••/';•• • U.S. ... excess Despite these exceptionally fa¬ vorable factors in the banking situation and outlook, the market ' - that »the : years. shrinkage a fact the profits tax terminates at the close logical to believe that bank earnings may continue to improve during the next few Loan Between banks. the by result the conclusion that report the best earn+ that they have en¬ of this year, it is while Governments rose from $15,195,000,000 to $15,967,000,000. The effects of the Victory Loan obviously .will not appear until the 1945 year-end statements-of-condition are published Govern¬ drives on de¬ it is record announced was cut of the in 1945 with June 30, the of influence The will this in many years. /Further¬ more, with earning assets at an all-time high and apparently des¬ tined to rise still higher, coupled $14,273,000,000 to $15,780,000,000. Similarly, during the Seventh War Loan (May 14 to June 30, 1945), deposits rose from $23,717,000,000 on March 31 to $26,514,000,000 on 22.6% averaged have counts banking the joyed deposits increased from $22,542,000,000 as of Sept. 30 to $25,155,000,000 on Dec. 30, and Govern¬ ment holdings expanded from sub¬ assets of the banks have been of to escape banks ings It - with those reported for as follows: Governments, $15,971,000,000; Commercial Loans, $2,841,000,000; All Loans, $6,902,000,000; Total Loans and Invest¬ ments, $23,952,000,000. —1.6% 12.6% by the French Government on Dec. 25 that it franc by more than-half, setting It at 119.10669 to the dollar, and 430 to the pound sterling. The Associ¬ ated Press advices from Paris, reporting this, said the "devaluation Banks, $4,618 $22,399 $5,547 + 22.6% , registered : in Sept. 26, 4,587 ■ 14,947 $24,996 (1945)_ change^—• ■ % l ($22,451 21,120 $15,780 23,717 26,514 24,599 __ 6-30-45____— 9-30-45 13,886 14,809 It had The effect of this is already figures, as can be seen by compar¬ ing the latest amounts reported for the New York City Member Cash $18,671 $13,382 3-31-44 / /' $4,959 j Oct* 29, 1945, a the last date on the above tabula¬ on (000,000 omitted 1 $21,819 22,472 24,131 12-31-43____2—• /''v - Drive opened full month after Value of Franc Gut; Action Essential; Vinson The Victory Loan tion. ■'/';! f. .'v.!--' TABLE 1 Gov¬ tive percentage increases of ernments and Loans. 5 v close of 1945 it is of interest to review the banking figures since the first of the year, and to compare them with figures for the comparable periof of last year. The following tabulation shows aggregates for a group of 15 leading * There is some difference, Table 1; Al VAN DEUSEN By E. ~ Thursday,.December 27, 1945 : _ have thus far averaged 12.5% higher! thdh iri 1944; which is in Bank and Insurance Stocks * FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & 3144 in maintain¬ strength which will make possible a . substantial contribution toward the mainte¬ ing a nance at navy a of peace, in the. Pacific." ' t;':' Prospectus Insurance & Bank Stocks Bought ANALYZED Special Bulletin and Sold — — • Sold Quoted • available, upon request NATIONAL BANK ; of INDIA. LIMITED Quoted REVIEWED - Bought COMPARED - Booklet SerVice to Dealers & Broker® i Bankers Company First California INCORPORATED > Inquiries 7 a. to 5 p. m. m. INVESTMENT SECURITIES (P. C. T.) Orders solicited. invited. 300 BUrLER-HUFF & CO. OF ^210 West 7th Y«rk h. * ' Teletype I.A 533 • , Teletype SF 431-432 - Private Wires A. Between San Francisco, WIRES San Francisco 179 - L. A. - 280 Seattle OFFICES IN Los Angeles, PRINCIPAL CALIFORNIA Paid-Up The CITIES Ceylon, Kenya Zanzibar Capital—r—£4,000,000 Capital £2,000,000 £2,200,000 Subscribed * New York and Chicago , Bishopsgate, in India, Burma, Colony and Aden and Branches Reserve St., Los Angeles - TFT FTYPF Spring Street LOS ANGELES 14 26, in Uganda London, E. C. v , CALIFORNIA PRIVATE v*w 650 South Montgomery Street SAN FRANCISCO 20 the Government Office: Head , Trading: daily to -Kenya Colony and ' Fund conducts every description banking and exchange business Bank Trusteeships , also and Executorship* undertaken ctf ,Volume 162 -Number 4450* THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Knowlton Rejoins Of Atomic Power (Continued from in they do not: develop energy, at a high temperature. .//'The technological problem of operating such units to produce energy ; at a temperature high enough to make it profitable to common: generate electrical power, oy to provide steam for heat or for in¬ , dustrial pable uses, to appears of solution be in. many in the very near future. limitation real no ways We the on ca¬ see avail¬ ability of nuclear fuel. Therefore we may look confidently to the widespread application of such of sources * ' future technology and economy World. the to power ' *" ' ofI the * t ' ' t -"One word of warping may. he appropriate:/ a unit of this kind, operating, let us say, at a thou¬ sand kilowatts, produces radia¬ tions roughly equivalent to .those from ten to are radium. tons-of If men be t 3133) page that a terrible that often before the world should alone, reason do not think automobiles and we airplanes will be power by nuclear run units—not, at least, until knowledge, "But the fact that nuclear-en^ . ergy units require an insignificant amount of fuel makes us think that they will be applied to ex¬ tend the present uses of power in our We economy. do petroleum or coal to moded fuels. as although useful not is expect clear that plants may be only a few years away, the full adaptation of the new possibili¬ ties to a living economy will be a matter of many more years than power that.;:'7/77/ / 7if7777/>77/^ 7:7:: 7 "Most scientists see one of the greatest benefits of the atomic age in just those radiations-and radioactivities which made -the the fields chemical, of and biological, Exchange, on Jan. 1,/1946, after does not that we should prepare to wage still more terrible ones in the future. It i§ not to in be now to this be that sense read. the - mean For this atomic history is age: '; a united, in law, in understanding, manity, before in is what is world common hu¬ common a common peril," of throe h 5 1 f and ; a Which ice, it has been dnnduhced."T left;the firm, on>June 30, 1942, > "Gimbel & "Only time and work can show if.these hopes are justified. Even for the field of physics there will be new possibilities: I may give Exchange, will Percy Friedlander liam S. Greene to January 1. and Wil¬ partnership „ j - , on • in Hugh Knowlton communica- .? .*, ... Orvis Brothers ' '/ rector of research and Admit to City, Air ; 'Lines; position he is now resign¬ He remains a.member of the Board, of directors mem¬ bers of the New York Stock Ex¬ of Eastern Air Lines, Inc., and is also of | Bernard J." Gavan 7 ; Co., 54 Pine Street, New York City, members of the New Stock York Exchange, will admit Ira N. Langsan,to partner¬ ship in the firm on January 2. / : ' * New York ' ' ' t I'J Open Stock and will be j ••> no Isabelle P. McDermott limited partner. j:'r a ..?;>>!rl 7 J cireanuiahcti to be construed of an offer to buy, any ' '* t' vt ■* ■ Before his Assistant Director, as he Assistant the was to Di¬ tistical and for analytical the dt 71 both sion Mr. Friend is He has graduate of the a been the ori since represented it- staff 1937 of .various on w «. \ .<?■. .1 * *• * .4. * j s of Exchange, the who York Stock has example: the neutron is a con¬ stituent; of atomic nuclei, but it ^ /:7 7 ' ' ^ 7 *' '. ('' inter¬ s ! * N 4 * previously cjjer to buy, limited a Struthers & Dean,* 7 /7 or at a iKb'Prdsptsius^ solicitation * 1 illr' /" <|4^5C)P^600i/-Year A/Sinking/Itxnd does not occur free in nature, where its properties can be stud¬ ied; Neutrons do occur in great bated December 1, 1945 numbers among the fragments of the chain reacting systems, and it * - ' 'v ) ' 11 t , > , -« ,i Debentures* Due December 1, 1957 Interest payable June 1 and December 1 un¬ ex¬ Pric^ plored. Of this whole field of re¬ search we" see very much less thari the mariner sees of the 103^ and accrued Interest iceberg. ; That is what is meant by research. V 7 "The explosion in New- Mexico neither was controlled a source power nor a research tool—it a Within weapon, to be was a of 493,155 Shares of Common was few weeks it a weapon - used against 1" 7/; atomic age which is most promi¬ nent—and most rightly prominent r-jn all not our seem to Price $9.50 thoughts; There does be any and plentifully, valid indeed more we be made doubt made very tested in New Mexico. does not seem to be much • ' • ;.'I . • the future. TherC any mind, little Valid the belief that is, to a World be left men ■ ;; - ■ -v'. ' v ::'"y "■ ■ /: : -..:7/;^ ;7:':/!"7 Smith, Barney & jEoi'^^/^Kl^der, Peahody & Co«77/7/XJnion Securities Corporation Hemphilh TWoyes & Oo*; 7:7'7.7' Shields & torn have claimed k-(:> Lee Higginson;Corporation P. S» JVtose ley & Co. for unexploited. "Often before ; Dillon & Co. my by major wars these weapons, for, tactical or humane reasons, s will - ;7;; 7 /7:/77i 7^;///7:7/ valid foundation in ■ There defenses against such weapons cari be made effective against attack abased on surprise, ! or that specific defenses against such weapons, other than the de¬ struction of enemy bases and en¬ emy carriers, will be developed v*; I- one hope that in siare Cdput of the Prospectus may be obtained jrern only such of the undersigned a* may ' ] legally ejjer these securities in compliance with the securities laws oj the respective Stales.! :f > made, cheaply, destructively than the per /5V *7->77' 77 that atomic weapons cart be made Stock Par Value $1 Per SKare human targets in the strikes against Japan of August 6th and 9th. Today this is the aspect of the December 21,1945 > - - Comipany in¬ Street, New York City, members Exchange. Mr. Noble was ;■#'*• fit*\^ ■■ 77' ' " i,/ re¬ of the Suburban Propane IGas Corporation 777;// tv^/" ■/7' ~ ^ as partnership Coppet & Doremus, 63 Wall in De 7777777/7777^ \ York have Exchange, will Net* Jasuw ^ Anderson, New be admitted to limited agency committees of the Federal ak New York City. Floyd C. Noble, member of the New the and be offices De Coppet & Doremus Admit the City of New York. Commission will with to in ,// com¬ dividual floor brokers. Before 1935 he was/associated with the National Bureau of Eco¬ nomic Research. /'' and cently been doing business re¬ and of other treatises. 2nd Colford members Stock programs. - He is of "The Regulation of Exchange Members" Brothers Jan. and/ W. son lating to these the author on ^Broadway, sta¬ work volume Partners will be Elliott M. Ander¬ was responsible for the co¬ ordination of the Division's activi¬ ties in the field of securities mar¬ and the Anderson he ket, regulation of formed rector of the Trading and Ex¬ change Division./ In that capacity, bjfering of these seciurUiefjge saU of ituck securities. Tlte offer ii madeonly by means oj as the Supervisor of the Exchange Division. To Form Anderson Bros. from latter institution. appointment & Co. with will be general partner in the firm graduated from Philosophy in finance and position of saving and the sources and uses of corporate funds. He is 'the author of a number of articles in these and related fields. joining the staff of the Commis¬ acquire Exchange City, effective January 2. Mr. Ga¬ *7 f Thti ii under tor "of the pffices at ,39 Broadway; New York College of van was Assistant Director, as was Sipce 1941 he has been in imme¬ diate charge of the Commission's studies College of the City of New York and from Columbia Univer¬ sity, and holds the degree of Doc¬ numerous will and will form Gavan Admit Langsan & the to ihembership1 of Herbert Salomon to" Mr. Vernon Stock the firm Cowen Co. director Telegraph; and Telephone Corporation." * £' / 11 Gavan & Co. January 1. a International change, in the investment depart¬ ment, .will become a partner in on planning of Inc., from which Henry H. Balfour, who has been with, Orvis Brothers & Co., /14 Wall Street, New York Cowen ./., of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation. He later became di¬ Eastern 13 Financial Analysis Section of the Trading- the tions division of the United States ing. one is there that their somewhat familiar behavioi4 will best be to Vice-., ary Stock Mr. 7V' Co./ 120' .'Broadway, Commercial Company/a subsidi¬ City, members'of the' York admit ::2 7| : appointment Mr. Friend over-the-counter arid exchange markets, as well as the /'Survey/of American Listed Corporations."'. 7 Mr. Knowl ton Dec. his of and the capital Vernon will head markets... 9harge of the ' and ;useS sources funds, the Division's work in the regula¬ tion of securities exchanges and the analysis of become to Admit Two the Corporate ernment1 serv-;- President Gimbel & Co. saying, . was ' ripent in Gov¬ / on Raymond Vernon as Assistant Directors of the Trading and Ex-</change Division. Mr. Friend will Government. He is also a member direct the Division's research ac¬ of the Conference on Research in tivities in the fields of individuals' Income ancf Wealth. Prior to ab¬ an years/ part 'of waged The Securities and Exchange Commission announced that it had appointed Irwin Friend and Stock medical fundamental problems. on New the prevail today. • The fact that in¬ creasingly terrible wars have been bio¬ studies, where they should provide tools of immense power, both for the j treatment of disease and for the attack these of York Exchange Regulation and Friend to Direct Research in Fields of Individual /Savings. Sources and Uses of Capital Funds and Capital Markets* / City, members sence ' power plants so intractable. These agencies hold particular promise -in that Raymond Vernon and Irwin Friend Both N. Y. City j College Graudates. Vernon to Head Work of Securities banking firm of Kuhn, Loeb & Co., 52 William Street, New York arguments have not prevailed does not mean that they' will not become out¬ It fact wars a idea supplements our present new argued that The cease. New ciable bulk. For this have pointed to men and sorbed appre¬ cease; ? increasing technical and social interdependence of the peoples of New York very would wars , so the anywhere around such units, this radiation must be ab¬ by shields of ! Hugh Knowlton will resume partnership in the investment V; had been found weapon Appoints Two Assistant Directors of Trading and Exchange Division SEC Names Kuhn, Loeb & Co. '7/'lyi GL H."Walker & Co.: /777./7c..:-;/;\ partner in FINANCIAL-CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & W ,W.w Thursday, December 727, 1945 erature by. the. leadings sponsors punctuated 7 this year by a was number the excellent of Notable securities. Year 1945 will be remembered in history—it marked the World War and the unleashing of atomic power. The year end of the second 1945 was momentous year, too, a field. billion dollar continued at in the investment company net assets of mutual funds passed the mark early iiT the year;.: and growth of the industry The aggregate a rapid.pace throughout the period.•" We are still more than ever * ment of Its outstanding 1945 of the opinion that the "first bil¬ c record. ^ 'OV';',' lion of net assets will prove to be one of the early the ultimate milestones in growth and devel- ; opment of mutual funds. This^ is not to say that the industry will escape its share of growing in the process. Indeed, growing pains were clearly in evidence during the achieve- pains ■ of Association National The Investment Companies, created to foster the legitimate interests not only of the mutual funds (opencompanies), but also of the closed-end" companies, found at¬ end titudes some on current questions within the industry apparently ir¬ forced to reconcilable and was its activities, mainly" to fact-gathering and statistical op¬ erations.^ -•r '■! restrict ; Curtailment of the Association's functions did not settle the dif¬ which ferences it was unable to Investmentcompany solve. by and; large, are markedly individualistic and op¬ erations in the field are suffi¬ sponsors, , Some ques¬ idends, factory federal must seek final; satis¬ solution in a revision of /Others; will laws. tax- probably be settled on precedent and majority practice. / V 7. . thing, as we it, is the constant pressure The see important refinement |A PROSPECTUS ON REQUEST FROM ; 7 for and improve- 7 ment within the industry is being ment ' 7 Here, in part, sions reached: '■ 7 range 'basis. >1 Real tax relief will the conclu¬ are • . . * country. ' ' ... : c : ,■ .7 , * Some time during cannot And when I say tax relief, I all those elements that will free our enterprise and preserve . have seen year. * We do not 7 comparison /between conditions7 7 and those which existed in March, 1937 and November, < 1927,. the two pre¬ vious periods when the DowJones Industrial Average reached its present level. The discussion a r j The Byrd-Butler • Bill provides that the 101 Government corpora¬ tions henceforth must come under in their the scrutiny of Congress financial operations. V'They must of budgeting, fi¬ toe the same line for draws three branches dividends. i that auditing and nancing Constitution the double take on the the other of Government.: t It will, we hope, write the end can't ; cut taxes : and to EXTRA-ORDINARY Govern¬ escape deficits until appropriations —Government; expend i tures—are ment with its extra curricular ac7y >7:7.77. brought into Tinei" • r 7 7 r i A ' > t & ?tivities.-'7-;f if;,5—.: May ' no ' other 7 Senator ever j You may ask:;. Since; Congress again be told that some billioncontrols; the spending; and • must But ; lyzes 7 "The J Outlook for Stock in its current Letter and present taxes and corporate income and Prices" ipakes ^ dangers of Big - Government. I the riddance of excess prof¬ its away up • At any rate, I regard it as Con¬ gress' declaration of independence from Big Government or, perhaps it is only the preamble to the new Magna Charta of free enterprise that will chart our post-war evolu¬ tion. It is only EVOLUTION, thank God. - 7-/"7'7 - A ^ r'/.A '■ mean Corp. ana¬ Sales Street Broad . | I mean business—and that of the whole nation for that matter—from the expect to see the top of the cur¬ rent bull market reached in 1946," f productive 1 . . the preservation of small 7 Inventive :7" and strength. - * our larger than any we this from which we 7 A A 7,: V?" 'V7'/? j at or more, escape. mean the new higher 10% . to interest charges A we expect substantially prices than those ruling present, although we also look for an intermediate setback of year Lowering taxes; - Otherwise,, endless deficits pile up and we are chained lower opinion the major trend of the stock market continues up¬ was was framed. I shared with the distinguished Senator from Virginia, Harry F. Byrd, the spon¬ sorship of that measure. ; Comptroller General Warren says it is the most important piece of legislation of its kind presented in Congress in the past 25 years. I suppose the canny General dates it from women's suffrage. not come operation costs is the only way. to our ward. its ^spending., curbs "The year 1946 should mark the beginning of several years of un¬ precedented prosperity "for7:the business and industry :? of this It Bill the^ Federal/, Government until . was gress, • Prices. "In before had getting from Con¬ to Congress to recapture those - secrets; In the following months the Byrd-Butler Nevertheless, curtailed. Congress the > ciently flexible to permit consid¬ variance 7 of opinion on technical procedures. current it the Budget Bureau's forecast of a $66 ably accurate—this sponsor sur¬ billion budget for this fiscal year veys the current situation under ending next June 30. Of this $66 a number of important headings billion, about $30 billion will be a including: Capital vs. Labor, Na¬ deficit. :>■ :t V7 V--A-vtional Income,7 Taxes, :. Money In short, the 1945 tax amend¬ Rates, Foreign Trade, Cost of ment was the most tax relief we Living, - Inflation,": and ; Security could offer " on a strictly short erable tions, particularly those involving the handling of capital gains div¬ (Continued from page 3132) issue of Invest¬ ment Timings After analyzing the results of last year's forecasts— which have proven to be remark¬ Corp.'s Government" 7 I these Research among is National Securities & A Momentous The€osfofuExtra-0rdinary of surveys 1946 outlook for buiness and we v " Authorize all apprporiations, dollar why is itself j ust .bal^ budget? v • ^^7 7. V • doesn't Congress ance the enterprise j of Government secret from him and the tax¬ payers! | Well, I'm glad you asked.> It is market at this level was still a Buy and that the next 12 months "saw a further advance of 51 % in industrial stock recalls that in 1927 the a - ' '' - , ■ ' , * ' The Road Ahead 1 But the costly mistakes of the good question.* 7C777 1 It is true that Gongress DOES past 16 years of wasteful spend¬ ing, with their debts, are bygones, have the power of approving the after all. Instead- of bitter re¬ expenses for ORDINARY Govern¬ crimination,. let's just make sure ment in its three historic branches —the' legislative, V judicial and they are forever gone, pay the a itself.5 defined:., prices." 7 In 1937, by contrast, the ^Distributors Group, Incorporated and regulated by Act of Con¬ market at this level had reached 63 Wall Street • New York 5, N. Y. ' gress, mutual investment com¬ its top and was entering into a executive. But in the past .. 16 cost, and learn our lesson. panies as a group have achieved sharply declining phase. 7.'V77v7i*' So, where do we go from here? excellent growth and perform- 7 Broad Street concludes that: years, out of emergency; depres¬ 1 When I sit and squirm in my sion and war, we have erected a One of the ance records during their rela¬ "The' present situation is more Senate seat,, thinking about us FOURTH branch — an EXTRA¬ tively short history. During the comparable to • that of 1927 than ORDINARY Government, if you taxpayers, I am convinced that last 10 ; turbulent years their that of 1937, and < that a stock the Byrd-Butler Bill is only a combined performance record market decline of the character of please, which answers to no audit starter. ■ •< V1v V'• /7 ,77 "'7' ?v5 nor to any conscience save its own. has been so outstanding as to 1937-38 is not a present prob¬ ; Now that the war agencies are silence erstwhile critics. ; ability." 7..• '/ A '-7 VV/J)'}■ 7 It is said that the magnitude of! on their way out, it is going to be this extra-ordinary Government Once considered as suitable far easier to say NO to tfiem and Forecast for, J he. Railroad is now. so great as. to rival Gov-; --L the rest of Government, than.Jor only for the small investor, mu¬ Equipment Industry \ errinxent || tual funds are finding.increasing j^qper,.:^; . 7 7 7 ; Congress to resist the appeals of In a current memorandum <on v There are 101 of these Govern-: acceptance among alert trustees, pressure groups for new spend¬ dutlookfor the railroad ment corporations, all financed by ing.;.' :; • 7 7-7 777 corporate fund managers, educa¬ the equipment industry Distributors taxpayers. Our first step toward tional, philanthropic and religious Depression and war gave us sound ^ Government was to drive Big Government and not a few institutions, * executors,. guardians Group forecasts: as many of them as we could into and other institutional investors. imported ideas for making it 1, A record volume of peacetime a corral, where Congress and the business. Bigger. Emergencies,- both x'eal The advantages of mutual funds Priced oi Market *■) people could keep an eye on them, and fancied, opened the door for are also gaining wider recognition 2. Highest earnings in the in¬ j Let irne tell: you about this,; the do-gooders. There was so among wealthy individuals who dustry's history. / , »" Prospectus upon request from briefly. : much reform in the air you traditionally follow institutional 3. Substantially higher prices your investment dealer of couldn't cut it with a corn-knife. ^ The Byrd-Butler Bill practice in the management of for railroad equipment stocks. ■, Under sweet and noble titles, their capital. Only last week Na¬ In 1943,7 some of !us got inter¬ NATIONAL SECURITIES & This sponsor, estimates that do¬ tional Securities & Research Corp. ested in the "good neighbor'!: pol¬ Congress is still getting these RESEARCH CORPORATION mestic and export sales volume, of reported a half million dollar pur¬ icy and journeyed down to South legislative lures to Paradise. But the companies currently repre¬ America to examine the fruits of these rosy paths always lead to chase of National Securities Series 120 BROADWAY •• sented in Group Securities' Rail¬ the payroll and paycheck. this activity. The by one individual/ This trans¬ -?*;'■ ■; ; New York 5, N. Y. road Equipment Shares should action is not an isolated case—nt is 1, Possibly some of you may re¬ big slice is for Big Government average about $900 million a .year a member the startling disclosures which is the payoff in the distant good ;! example * of the trend during the early postwar years. that resulted from this trip.^;The future, when -only the Almighty toward greater use of r mutual Thi? compares with" a sales vol¬ whole nation gasped at the size of knows what the value of the dol¬ funds by large investors. 7.7:,,7 r ume of $325 million' for these our spending program in Latin lar will be. Let us recognize these same companies in 1937—an in¬ America. Outlook for 1946 f^ ''-/,7V" ..7?7,7-'Ap.%'' i 7 '71,"A' social stunts for. what they aredicated sales increase of 177%.7 What I want.to add to the rec¬ taxes for Big Government. ; The. usual holiday lull in the 7(7 Last year the companies rep-7 ord now is that in spite Of those release of investment company litOut our way, and I believe out | YOUR INVESTMENT DEALER OR 5 Now solidly established, . - " Sum . - . N. SEdikrtifisSE^iES — , < PREFERRED STOCK Shores * „ < ^ " . ' , ■ in resented $^.92 1936 ination share on and year they. will about $2.60 per . ey stone per This compares with $1.16 $2.75 in 1937. This average. in Equipmfjit Railroad Shares earned m average Shafe. With elim¬ earn on of the excess profits tax, Group estimates that earnings of these same com¬ Distributors for the Diversification, f I' 'I ' .#'•■■■' ■ ■ r' x ustoclian & Supervision and Safe-keeping :4 of Investments iti■ Prospectus on 1946 panies -will average around $3.50 per share, and in 1947 will rise to between $5.50 and $6.00 per share —"an all-time high level which several thereafter."\" 7 should be maintained for Request years To Knickerbocker Shares,Inc. 'f ; '' -V General Distributors I " . Prospectus 20 'i , Exchange Place" from your may that le obtained" local investment dealer .Tfie Kevitoi). ( ■ Company o/B oston ;.' v MANAGEMENT OF KARL D. PETTIT & CO. 50 Congress with trial Street, Boston 9, ALass. Dow-Jones4 Indus¬ now at approxi¬ 1937 high pointptbO the Average or New York City 5 Teletype NY-1-2439 support the third part of its this, sponsor points out forecast, . mately its stocks in.. Railroad Shares age at are their with 1936-37 a per high peak. on aver¬ share as of" $55.16 1 • youif;;way,:;tOQ,: the folks., want most /was a Government in the open. - Money telephone /call, to.'my office from on the barrelhead. ? •. 7. 7 7 : > " one of the "discovered" corpora¬ !5 The spending spree is over, and tions;. The party on the telephone the pendulum is 'swinging back. wanted to know: ."Where in tho The majority party, whichever it world did you get the information beArmust .take, rthe responsibility about us; we're supposed; to be for discouraging, pressure groups secret"77 \ and privilege legislation.- vd77 '*, It was then and: there;: gentle¬ ]' These boys who, are coming men, that I knew-* Big Govern- home from the wars are convinced (he Americain way is best. If they have one hard and, fixed opinion, Mutual«Fund .Literature: Keystone Co.^-Current issue of it/is that no way- of life or kind of government they., saw overseas JKeynotes stressing "An Extra evm remotely interested them. -* Payday Every ^Month in 1946."— -We get a 7 great deal of mail Selected Investments Go.—Cur¬ rent issue of "These: Things from them in Congress, and you can take it from me most of our that impressedvme , . , . ^ Seemijed Important;" . .y t .veterans, will, 'Dividends 7:, Equipment selling only $35.57 compared at still ^ilqssal:7;^yelatiQnSi;;7AhqiAthibg : Affiliated Fund, Inc.—A regular quarterly dividend of 40 per share payable Jan. 21, 1946 to stock of record Jan. 10. • —— :be; happy to get from Government controls.want -a chance to make money.' Plain old profits—enough to send a shudder down the spine away :. They of any soapbox socialist. Volume 162 Number^4450 - 3147 / They saw first hand the results '.- V haye /' reached r^$2,75y. billion, thereabouts)/' pf'the; plundering: of thrifty- cit¬ It tries, and they saw the fawning, - defies definition. j than, money in spend "/spawns; nations disintegrate,. because men's dreams of V They saw 1940. It is more prior years able to The biggest debt Of any na¬ tion at legislation to: ? > r . . r ^ 1., Include all appropriations You do it in business- ernment. M you've"- GOT ]TO. Ay //(A/1 -We have got to do it in Gov¬ ernment .to, save- it from; consum¬ ing itself. "• • / Government out 150 the counting of Federal spending. ; I hope- that Senator/Byrd will join me as a sponsor. • N ; / or . X// >v,/\ j1 / *// >] : izens by taxation in fascist coun- Colgate & Langreth , earnestly solicit your support; Here is a final thought. • Seventy-five, minutes have elapsed since this afternoon sesision began. / During this time the & any time. r. J. • ' one;] general appropriation bill. There is currently some* fashf Congress never /gets the full fi¬ that ionable doublev; talk ' which :we nancial picture of the Government bogged down in debt and moral Nebraskans fail; to /understand decadence.': t//•' / Federal v Government that this debt may be lightly / has spent re} sible. It votes appropriations in over 9 million These bo^s- fought to be free.;." dollars./ > It has garded since we just "owe it to dribbles; the money can be spent added over 4 million dollars to the ourselves." /On such a theory, no three years - later, when another. /;»/;•/ Stream-lined Governmehtv/ ] t:.'.' : debt -ever /should trouble us so Congress is unaware of it ; and debt—your debt. />■' And so it is up to .us ^citizens,] might possibly be appropriating '5 voters and Congress, to see that long as it is internally held. other moneys for the same s pur¬ this * war-swolleft bureaucracy of ./By] all that's honorable in Bear in mind, Government ours is cut down to peacetime ernment, it must be a sound debt. pose. ■ . - • They saw Big Governments : in the past was a partner in James B. sitCi.'Urrv1,■/;/'■ i//It'has three ; times too many ruptcy arid 85 billion bohdhokb/ employees, with all the attendant' ersv//;*/;• //;/•'"•( evils of and harass¬ ment of citizens.' Before the war, there were less than a .mlilion ci- V duplication Congress . find must the counsel . and Statesmen catch-words derives • ,V'It those powers are ' war Presidential proclamation. of ' I wish : tal 1 about ;v 1 Billion Budget piled upon •i tinguished from would lion - trict, at - whether funds expended properly,? y tee.' ;; a Morris ■ '* and It will • nation • until the drawing a of state some or arithmetic ship the on of the New York will „ admit- George / //•••/;'/ 1./ uary W. Jan-, on : v & York Albert Wolf Greiner- and on son time. ^; / Co., 410 Madison Avenue, New York Stock some ter ", J. ■ / .'" / < / ]< / . & members of the January ly Both have been associated with the firm for Gov- of Co., Land Title Build¬ changes, Geoff re C. Armbrister to partner- for a way complete total complicated Dobbs admit this, * I'A.—Elkins, Dobbs to Admit Two ■ ' New /' /,-* know not to Admit' ; /' To Be FosterBros., Young Co., 30 Broad Street, TOLEDO, OHIO—Effective Jan. City/ members of the New York Stock Exchange, will 1, the firm name of Snyder, Wil¬ / lic will know the true state of the . / /'. ' / Philadelphia Stock Ex¬ With these improvements/ gen¬ nation's finances. member of Elkins,-Jr. to partnership ;' v. •. & ing, members Chairman1 of the Dis¬ :,. a ]' V... ./] „ Eikin*, Morris i \ meeting of the commit- ■f Was //;/ PHILADELPHIA. Herron, Mellon Se¬ curities/Corporation, Pittsburgli, tlemen, the Congress and the pub-- Bros., Young & Co. naU : , some. estimates ..forrnext >•/• /WientralFower ^ iienceforth/] It "Balance the Budget/', j - * • '.'SSSft, . EiMtsfemDanv" anci ///!'// 'I/V//. ./4ATcxa3CDrporationj.-{ r. j ' . \ v • . iliilililll/4%/Preferred Stock 'y*. /The ^ * ...... In the. beginning,, of my. talk I told you I rcame here' to- plead/}ispecial ^cause,,and to lobby, youjr Congress of. Industry. v- Isubmitour:Govetnmenf spendshould be hrdught more/ih ////]/ line with dur abiUty .to .payVr:?/ ji. r:'?:"trS"j^ Then; I>.have fried <to say-that } / r ^ .• / ;In .-Nebraska-, our- Constitution% says the State's debt -can't exceed free* enterprise and] tax/relief: arte jifii'p$100,000.-o Our. State capital,'/one the; Siamese -twins of "the. returj if ;, i of the- wonders of the- West; rWas to sound /Government, c /Let no 'V; paid;for the day),it opened/j/Wp more fancied, crises separate therh //// build our roads.the same way, and; /—and us—fromfiscal sanity. Wh^, ;^^:y,,:r<w€bave-good roads.-That is thte a-one-cent ehange in the. corncob] .r;,<•//.//' way Nebraska likes to do busi- cotton market. undeiT-].the touch yy g. hess;.-:and' I represent'-Nebraska. ■ //■ of Big'Goyernmeht's .propaganda h show the past he the .firm;': S. Davidson more •• ]/'//;'/N//'/]" In ,above /its would win of }your special /will write ■> me -youir opinions^ particularly- about the debt. But/ there is on ly one dij- billion /Treasury leading Exchanges/on January 1. and, local- study groups and it is my theme year* §:■ to ..extend: loans is: / the Was elected General; to - New foreign.ipansg It ;l ; prompt and efficient annual accounting both by the expend¬ ing agency - and the Comptroller. v-, Street, separatje be a: disservice to. any $60 , billion, ;if rthat< spending .is: to be balanced by tax revenues.: ■ j- Sixty Miller, E. Miller & three years. a ability to repay, ..and for/us again', the/ title/pf /usuref mouh-f and / ShylQck^/gg; g ,| ■r /i //V'] .' dollars,: ;folksv-5is 46 % of the national income which • seem secure Wall domestic,; spending.; They //come the same pocket, j Foreign relief, too, must be carefully dis¬ us- • R. Conver R. G. the National Association of Secur¬ ities : Dealers, Inc., > to/serve for execution] ; of the other method, provides our Dominick, *14 &: Coi, from governments Will spend, will '.givb a .v national tax load ;of :about • critical stage of a finance it does not budget, plus about -g?Ig hope $10. •billion fhat> State '■>' such annuai;budget,/:;./'/// ////;! j: each. annual -budget and the j - ' a/limited partner4 in Dominick &: our tain of debt. .' /*A $50 billion • 1 W. & - consideration of foreign and our reports a Gov- $50 billion. y'?' This com- lion to be ;' if necessary. ;, / ] Foreign Spending * national with estimated revenues of about $30 to $35 billion, arid indiCates a deficit of $15. to $20 bil- ' will be that prudent that. we should, pares • / the. debt commission a special committee of Conr but the problem of our posti- squeezing debt repayment into ;/ At I*—i $50 7 balance the to The daily press Chaplin to Admit Bernon S. Prentice will become York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange and; other Co./ Phila¬ (such as contract F. Scattergood, authorizations for building ships) delphia/Harold Boenning & Co., Philadelphia, and to proper annual appropriation, r Wilson A. Scott, Grubbs-Scott & 4.,] Intergrate , deficiency] and Co., Pittsburgh, were> elected com •supplemental /appropriations into mittee members of District 12: of projects /;/5. /Improve budget the national budget—for.the next point out that the war powers quite likely will run into ; the next fiscal year. • hf-vV'-?; McGuiness, Pittsburgh; Relate the handling of long- were 50 to 100 years, But hostilities have ceased. we Federal finance war The President has not indicated that 3. term re- /g] not balancing the take may gress, ended either by Congressional resolution or by / are a or after months for and slogans and budget./v/-;f Most of them will six continue and lick inflation until Big Government the war powers of f the President. . until''.we*proyiae"for" the^''handling of the debt, and we will: nevejr this from We ; Congress/./ ////) your of financiers, peated;.bond issues./" have more/weight than the" laws of who/are . - Much possible We need and of f in aiici ers who] ,ar are reai Statesmen. -We can't, pay off oi },with • passed by as ./guidance; ' • J. time. some Dominick / /: PHILADELPHIA; PA.—Francis operation by disconk complete . painless manner as a do the nation's welfare. the Federal h payroll. Now there aremore than three million. Depression and war agencies still, honeycomb the reg-. % ular Government structure. They must be eliminated, along with their orders* edicts, rules and sur'i> veys, deviously tied up with tax- - ] 2. Make each year's budget be a N in / vilian' jobholders on ,, : Congress]/exclusive job. to way a finance is Co. for NASD District 12/ j Elects New Executives, . Colgate & Co.; Mn Langreth Wood, Struthers has been with . H i /As of Jan.-2nd, Wood, Struthers' Co;, 20 Pine Street, New Yorkf City, members of the New York] Stock Exchange, will admit HenryJ A. Colgate and George L.\ Lan¬ greth to partnership. Mr/Colgate I in i - » . (Par-Value $100 per share)//, i \ vV/-\N ' |liil ■ WM^axicemfcrirfelate9.'.only'to:.sucli*.6ith^;ahoVe•®hjwe»:]a»]«renot:;v:=/;'A v/y ; exchattised.foifshares of outstandingj^efcrredrSfockof G^^tralPowebaftd\ k'/N! WLightCompany, a-Massachusetts Corporation, under an Exchange OAfcr ;• \ &£h'h;:{ ///// '/])/N%; / ::r~c:y '. v-Z / dated'December'2l, 1945;made by said Company to •« the holders*thereof. . ■V'. <; ' 'V . 4 i. y. > j .. '."■■■■ j 'i ■...■■ ■ ./ ." - 5 'X V T.' / 'i. •. \ \ f.% f ' ■S*M . 'r: Let -me It ..puts-into /words /what I've been thinking; . r <4Now . ' ' ; ; < V that the feel that war is over v . 'i deficit !j . businesslike manner by the $im} pie means of testing each part for efficiency before we remove it. I v .a. « w * : 'V A " ■ *, I -vyy: r ^{• l»9:'.'c .* • Ctpks-of the, -Praspecfus from *ny' of the^seserdLufnier/; / ; 'y ivritcrs'ofily in( Sutes in- which -such underwriters arc ^qualified tract as r'/-):: .:.v; .///■-/- S. /•» . '6' spending fshould stop and'that when exist-1 / I think I know how to do it. | • :ing commitments have been fiil- / That is why/I decided to/make -alKGovernment/r subsidies your] Congress y of//Industry mj^/ be discontinued.-yy Vg pulpit of what I hope; will be my] .next: legislative venture.C :I think iwe-, • pressive machine in a.'careful and ■: A W-/ . * r..... ■ "VV - .y.yy imonth ago.' . ■>: K :/'• / ■ *.1,1945 • ->,,>■ •;••...»••• '•.V h'&zy - . Price$102i75-pcr-^harc);;/ /■/ -i-i: 4''-,y' V quote to -you -what-the machine,..can /be .made .to look, aS //INebraska. ' Bankers a Association if ,disaster- and chaos; will result, / (wants, in Washington.' This is from if Big- Government doesn't take over!/Let-us;'diSmanitle>this :opjfits resolutions ' of less than a '- *:■ ////// '..'.•r-,/.4.;J , ,A^-Vv 'ymWi ; •IV, " :i',<tjvA'«.<:jty~Sf5\K,' s?:...•?>■v"j"**t?* ' '""i: 4k ^ • W* . j yaVi/. ? , V;; j V'Consideratiou should/be given it yrii;/)■.]:;//., j:;C 1.'/-//'/■/// ///// as'th4 ByrdVBUti- important as 'y;/;to reduction of taxes.; Goverhler Billj/ With your indulgence, I y /ment/ corporations On,/should be shall send up'the frist trial, ball-^ V 1. ^ ^discontinued "unless approved di- loon t'" \ ), | .jvj i it-* j jrectly by Congress; ouKnational ^ ji-N " fKii/4 Ka KnoiiryKi4* Si»-» ■ Wof IV janee/^t' jthe earliest possible "diite; N vand all the broad powers granted the Executive Department; '.i ancl - under which most ot these /spends i ng" /agencies - exist, should be .re- ; ■ u' : turned • to ,Congress so/ that we ://yj!, y j mayhave, a Governmeht by the will - of the people through their r-1 elected representatives and not;by . |executive v i ■'*&' f J;,;< ■ <' j '• f * . V -or&eri'yy^ *. i v' /• j - >• j • . ^ • i .j* place -all/ Government dinaneiaii operations on a Eytery year/at 1". S. businesslike; one basis;. time and in one /; Specific measure Congress would > consider/ the/ full/ operation of * Mosclcy &■ Co.yi;! iTuckerprAnthony &• Co.; j, . GoyerniTQeiit /which -wpuld be ' out. iii the open for everyone to see. AsY soon as-1 return • R./W, Prcssprich & Co. j. t-yiy </A. -post-war 'f budgeting/ wiilNtie ^the j / y E. H.- Rollins | >v.*. Sons Iaoorpwi'tted-^ ••'>: < •' White;Ayeld-:&--Co ; Shields & Companyb/, / Haljgarten/&;Cof /. Hallgarten/ |: 14/;<riv:^Patniih\^Go//A-r^^ . ?to'/Wash}; officials of Govetnment^the Secf " '*1 ; 'k?!'^•" /l j.u) *;* .j vrrjiebt*; b / N ipgton* I shall/intro,duce a /measr ure. asking the' Responsible fiscal ,The Debt,/and 4he. Ibijfet //. The stupe^dous hSw^element/of / . . .1 ^m ^proposing;/a ;FULL, : AC-' COUNTING BILL, which would sic Y' '•' b-*"* :'\>v :**-&>■:^ I V-/'../ ;;J, j. //>>/••]'•-', /'N |fe«A THE Thursday, December 27, 194S CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL 3148 Chart 3.-—Percentage Price [Structure The Post-War (Continued from page far it as was rather triotism gam. Price increases relied less degree Where a between * electricity actually declined in with the long-term bends. personal Farm thanhowever, doubled. The products general more picture, 3132) ' motivated-by pa- line on to than were a . j nonethe¬ considerable to expand productions. choice had to be made higher prices and less re¬ production,' the decision permitting highef quired in favor of was '*■C'-p j In general, the prices paid- for finished munitions actually declined during the war, reflecting * prices. 7 , : ✓ of widespread price increases is one tial and substan¬ with com¬ exceptions. • ."'[. granting that price increases paratively few of cost the Change in Consumers' Prices, + now corrected? Are some Prices than' ample while others be more upward adjustment market? Will such ad¬ would call for in a free 7 OECILE 100 index by dec¬ living (10 groups of equal weigh;; index) according to the exi tent of their price rise from June 1939 to June 1942.- The major iles tenth in the item excluded total index is 18% over items accounting the three years, one-tenth of the total for the rent. " With increasing V NINTH weight 1 widespread, are there of the 175 items actually declinec; not serious discrepancies between slightly. In contrast, the top tenth the prices of: various products or increased over 50% in this first groups i of products which must been have by Deciles * PERCENT --■--sixth SEVENTH period, - \ 1 v, In general, those items which increased most in price during, the £---fifth three years equal made an :.;V ""eighth V first >'[ -i; :,:;r „ r-fourth reduction in unit- costs as justments result, in higher f or gain in the three years following -'---third the General Maximum Price Reg¬ large-scale production was lower average prices? Aui/: ;:t ulation. The lower tenth which SECOND ' • reached. It is true that manpower Undoubtedly price controls were was attracted to these fields by more effective at some points than actually declined in the first pe¬ riod increased only moderately iri the economic incentives of higher v[„ •, 'I'.;X>v,tr'-'A' at others. : An outstanding fi ex¬ ----FIRST the second. The upper tenth had wage rates, upgrading,'over-time ample of effective control / is risen and other pay premiums, as well by almost 90% at the end of rental rates. In general, however, as by patriotic motives. Because the record does not indicate much the six years. In only two of the 10 deciles were the price rises in of the economies of mass output, more than the usual dispersion of the second period sufficiently dif¬ however, the costs of production price changes, \-ivferent from the first so that the of munitions items, and therefore -20 the trend lines actually crossed. : " prices paid, typically were Controls Did Not Prevent :JUNE 1939.... JUNE 1939;5 JUNE JUNE 1942 More detailed study of the in¬ stable or falling. VUNE 1945 1939 J'; ,;.v;Increases A; dividual items discloses about the I Data represent 175 consumers' prices which are 77.8# of the total consumers* Chart 2 shows the price; in¬ Almost All Prices Have Risen j price index by weight; the major item excluded is rent. Deciles are determined by creases of the. major groups en¬ same dispersion of price changes percentage change from June 1939 to June l942 in* terms of base weights in the index* Contrary to the tendency of in the second period as~ in the first tering into the Bureau of Labor Consumers' price index was formerly designated /'cost of living" index. ' v . munitions prices,1 the prices of Statistics cost of living index three years of relatively free mar¬ 'goutcesL U, pepaftments ot Labor an4 Commerce, " * * 5* practically all civilian type goods kets. It is true thatprices 7 of of prices, costs and incomes, each (Consumers Price Index for Mod¬ income of agricultural proprietors and of most curently produced erate Income Families in; Large some, items, notably meats, were influencing the others. Thus, one . services have increased. The index Subsidies almost doubled over the same pe¬ result was to limit the amount v Cities) over r two periods. ?.t The actually rolled back. riod; ' of wholesale - prices pictured in black were vised in 'some instances tb consumers had to spend. > \ ; ;. segment of the bars shows chart 1, which excludes most of the Just as there was no large seg¬ the change in the 3 years prior provide ample incentive to pro¬ Aside from this important efstrictly munitions items, rose over ment of the economy which did to the. effective date of the Gen¬ ducers while holding down prices feet,, the influence of controls oil ^ £ 40% from August 1939 to August not experience large profits, so eral Maximum Price Regulation. to the consumer. Other items such prices might be measured by their ■:% 1945./ • •• ; V > there was no important segment Up to that time there was a rel¬ as .fresh vegetables, where con¬ restrictive influence on consumer There were the usual variations atively, " free market.Informal trols were more difficult, in¬ where the supply was limited by expenditures out of wartime inreason" of prices.; The existing in individual commodities which agreements, as well as formal creased more in the second three come, given the limited supply of are characteristic of even a more price structure offered sufficient controls, affected the prices of a years than in the firsts goods and services, i The. poten ; 1' normal peace-time period. Raw number of imported raw materials, profits over and above costs to This tial effects of removing those con¬ dispersion will continue. materials tended to go up more metals and certain other basic in¬ There are a variety of reasons encourage maximum production trols may be deduced from the than manufactured goods. Gas and dustrial commodities but these why some prices will, go up while for war j and to provide consumers extent to which consumer expenf with a volume of goods and serv¬ controls affected the ultimate con¬ others go down. - The ditures fell below the relationW evidence ; Chart 1.—Wholesale Prices, by ices as high as or higher than in sumer only to a very limited ex¬ does not suggest, however, -that ship to current income [.which V Economic Classes i the best prewar year. Shortages tent. Also there was still some •' •••"'. ' ' •• ''i would be expected under more they are. wartime distortions slack in the labor supply and which will require more than the were relative to the insatiable de¬ INDEX, AUGUST 1939-100 ,V t normal conditions in the absence 100 other resources to meet demands usual amount of such adjustments. mands of war and to the demands of controls, ; for additional production. The sec- On the contrary, it indicates the of consumers with high wartime Out of a disposable income nf . gnd period covers three years of general nature of wartime price incomes. Whenever there was any whether existing prices $138 billion after taxes in 1944, tighter supply and extensive price increases. Those items which in¬ doubt consumers saved approximately < would encourage all-out produc¬ controls, y * creased little if any are typically $40 billion. This is considerably Prices rose t in both | periods, those which are very stable or, tion the price ceilings were usu¬ «o more than a normal rate of sav¬ though the rate of increase was like electric power, subject to a ally liberalized. ■' ing. Chart 4 shows this prewar not so rapid in the past three downward- secular trend. Even relation between total consumer Demand and Supply. years as in the preceding period. where prices were actually rolled ,, / ' Given this - background as to expenditures and disposable inNevertheless, the price changes in back in the second period they what - has -happened to prices and come and the extent to which ex¬ this second period are consistent remained high. " ; < > penditures fell below what would 1 with and an extension of. those production during the war, anal¬ have been expected during the f40 V ysis of supply-demand-price re¬ Prices Covered Wartime Costs Which occurred in the first three war, if goods and services were lationships may well start with years. ' . It is true that there has not an appraisal of wartime restric¬ freely available. K'SVv Rent is -the only group which been- a free play of supply, i de¬ The excess of savings, or the vV..'K. tions on consumer expenditures & did not show a substantial further mand and price in the civilian deficiency of expenditures, is in and the potential effects of re¬ increase. It is a special case, how¬ sector of the economy and that the the neighborhood of $20 to $25 bil- ~ :■,;■■■■;; moving those restrictions. 120 ever, in appraising current prices price level for civilian goods at lion. This is not a measure of demm in relation to costs, in that it is a the end of the war is undoubtedly Wartime Consumer Expenditures ferred demand—it is simply the '-f, payment for use of an existing much less than it would have been difference * between what •: was the „ . , . " ♦ ' * " . . " ' 4 • ' . r . 1 ■ : . -, . . , . • " , , „ , . _ , - . , , ^ t - , » - asset rather than for" duction. current pro¬ Rent. controls were not relatively ,easy to enforce; could be applied strictly without fear that current produc¬ tion would thereby be limited. Chart 3 examines the degree of only they •00 (939 ' -,'f V Source: U. S. Department of Labor. Indexes U. 8. recomputed to August 1939 as base by the department of Commerce. i Chart S:~ . price dispersion. It groups 175 of the individual items included in 2.—Percentage Change In Consumers' Price Index, June 1939 to .June 1945 1 PERCENT -10 COMBINED INDEX ♦ to ♦ 20 130 ♦ 40 +50 +60 if controls It is clear ha,d not been exercised. from the record that price controls were effective, in limiting price advances. They did not—nor were they intended to— advances where neces¬ required production. ; v > Neither did these controls pre¬ vent an increase in prices suffi¬ cient to cover wartime costs ahd leave high profits before taxes. Aggregate corporate profits before income and excess profits taxes in 1944 were about $25 billion, 6r roughly one-fifth of the net value of production by corporations. prevent sary to secure . , The^e is no major segment economy in which prices insufficient to cover costs. ' Profits FOOD before taxes CLOTHING war. , Even after the income w0usefurnish1ngs other fuels and ice and excess used of costr during relationships were \ j •> are here as the best measure price of the the profits were at peak levels, >Rer lief under the carry-back provi¬ sions of the tax laws will require adjustment of these: re1 ported earnings for the war years. upward The earnings businesses etors from 1 Formerly designated "cost of living" Index. Souree: U. S. Department of Labor. that war¬ been '' Consumers'Expenditures and Disposable, [:■'-■ T T T o > a: ui (0 a 120 z < 2ft g3 O or : -J J 100 o o p ./•; u. , u>° \ '■■■ 3o O -4 Z d UI CD CL vf 80 X UJ it 60 </> UJ NOTE.- LINE OF REGRESSION WAS FITTED cc TO DATA, 1929-40 . 3 o distributed. The net spent and what would have UJ The net in¬ of nonagricultural propri¬ increased more than 25% 1941 to 1944" without a cor¬ produced or 4.—Relationship Between 140 O) if) responding increase in the physi¬ cal volume of goods and services rapid spiralling Income prevented which were ample to have not price rises cover wartime costs. come miscellaneous unincorporated also suggest time controls oas and electricity of i aggregate, wartime con¬ V Chart high wartime profits taxes, " RENT In the trols prevented a z o 40 DISPOSABLE . Source: U. S. ., INCOME (BILLIONS Department of Commerce, OF 140 120 100 80 60 40 INDIVIDUALS OF DOLLARS) D. 0. 45-732 Volume Number 4450 162 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE spent in the absence of supply dif¬ would ficulties.,;, no >,' be true deferred if there even demands the purchasing power Deficiencies Concentrated This however, is concentrated in certain segments of the consumer's bud¬ get. About two-fifths of it was due4 to his inability to buy new automobiles, to the rationing of gasoline and tires,; to the gradual decline*: in the number of automobiles in use, and to the results ing curtailment of a other variety related of * expenditures to user-operated transportation. The top panel-of Chart 5 shows'the expenditures value in available, expenditures to; disposable in¬ occurred >\'yy)';'y"•/,./ of chart 5 shows this relation durables consumers for except automobiles, which are included in the; top panel, and jewelry. Jewelry sales are excluded be¬ cause they increased fully in line with the increase in income. "/Housing V; another 'i field is which expenditures in did not keep pace with the increase in income. Chart 5.—Major Segments of War¬ time Deficiency in Expenditures ;v> With Income ■■ ■ with the on for active more readily available price controls. are not and no to In 1944. that physical in civilian to 1944 latter in as 1941. ; does estimate 1; Neither does it allow for the large increase in sales of bever¬ ages and meals eaten away from l^ome* £■£%&£ y y/"PP However, if allowance is made the deterioration and ences with services restaurant distribution sion that must we •. y of of in conveni¬ connection sales and food, the retail conclu¬ / . Transition' ./Consumer demand /:/,; pend primarily to sumer income may curtailment of war ; smaller - expenditure The Bureau of Labor shows an retail food /prices 1944. increase of only 29% in from 1941 to This, however, excludes or partially includes such in¬ only tangible unmeasurable factors or "black as Statistics market" sales, forced trading up to higher-priced items or higher-priced stores, and the general curtailment of such ices inevitable, minimum. even - as war more from the labor offset the 6 that 40 60 will services.' In will pressure of (BILLIONS * Lines of regression 1029-40. fluence on de¬ to the way consumers will various contingencies, unemployment, or to buy goods which were not available during the war. Others will con¬ aggregate, con¬ spend fewer dollars meet such ; as tinue to save income. ■/" brings sufficient easing of the supply, this physical volume—the average consumer the ultimate fitted to data for were Department of Commerce. spend their current income. Some consumers will use these savings the to out of their current y The expenditure decisions of the will depend on conditions at that time—including his confidence in continued em¬ increase con¬ even conditions have saved well billion. Aside from over debt their total That is reduc¬ income the in tives involved in their tion. of;>their best ways Consumer holdings liquid, spendable funds these have almost trebled since the some market On accumula¬ consumers large income? war ..." war first balance, the importance of savings lies in their in- r'7; (Continued on page 3150) for bMV anv-9f these This advertisement is neither tin offer to sell nor a, solicitation of offers to The securities. offering is made only by the prospectus. ■: evidence suggests that there has been comparatively little .increase in physical j 40 J 60 <0 , 100 D'SFOMBLE INCOME ■ , OF 120 evidence INDIVIDUALS •'(BILLIONS. OF DOLLARS) ot>*S-rjj are related to income for the previou* lear. Source: This U. S. Department of Commerce. the limitation of expenditures home lated to home ownership • by t In the tion, re¬ and and occupancy, rental other controls. goods and housing segments, controls were effective in limiting consumer expenditures so that the full impact of demand on the limited supplies these some even areas that there is increase in in the face of decline in consumer not It is in was reflected in higher prices. room for expenditures a substantial income. This ■«£,}', •/>'.>/. v consumers. of the a f-:r. y * V .* ,• '•> .y */. - \V L-.V y Inc.p'ppyy COMMON STOCK - substantial decline from 1941 to 1944. ? (Par Value $1.00 t per Share) The yardage of clothing available .to civilian con¬ sumers also dropped substantially. The 125,000 Shares Y:f Alaska Airlines, Spe¬ of output clothing and shoes for civilians compiled by the Federal Reserve Bureau of Labor •Price $15.50 per Share ; p r ; Statistics index of retail clothing prices in¬ creased 34% over the three-year period. Again, however, this does not include lowance such • user-operated transporta¬ durable indices Board record shown in the bottom panel of chart 5 was due to the limited supply of housing for rental purposes, relative to the large increase in demand with the rise in consumer incQme, and to deficiency, as fr-y, as civilian to cial In fact, such does exist suggests an decline in supplies avail¬ actual able » Linos of regression were fitted to data for 1029-40. ' -V: -V"■. /:■";-/ < '--v'./ "iwr Housing expenditures for the current ytar volume. ' of as or for ■ Copies* of the Prospectus may be obtained from dealers in securities any in of the undersigned as are this registered State.,/, v^ intangibles,' forced trading up because shortages or and' elimination conveniences nected with deterioration of of and of many services the permit its distribution. clusions to of the urements, can a any same be wide precise variety A. M. Kidder & Co.. Bond & Goodwin, Inc. Coburn & Middlebrook Reinboldt & Gardner meas¬ general drawn R. H. Johnson & Co. Courts & Co. Foster & Marshall con¬ While the statistics available do spect . make sufficient al-' various low-priced lines, general lower¬ ing of quality of the merchandise, not .' with of con¬ re¬ con¬ December 26, 19i5 i. point to be noted in this connection has already been The v expenditures part what will the removal of wartime alter those expendi¬ serv¬ clothing increased over 50% from 1941 to 1944. Again the available In save a conditions wartime of did ture decisions? .•?.//;/.V/"'''.•• began. Why rather than spend so prewar year. of j penditure decisions, and therefore on prices, depends, however, on some understanding of the mo¬ than more had reserves Appraisal of this influence of wartime savings on postwar ex4 $100 tion, increased value of insurance policies and other; forms of sav¬ ings, they have accumulated over this period almost $100 billion in currency, bank deposits and Gov¬ ernment bonds. these if not been accumulated. retail-delivery. as Consumer 140 IN0IVI0UALS 00LLARS) v U. S. decline in the physical quanti¬ ties purchased. If the end of the value OF OF /•;-■' Source: commodities and : 120 100 INCOME ' some mean 60 ' DISPOSABLE i a Accumulated Buying Power re¬ return income many production is curtailed will than . . / accept we chart During the last four years con¬ civilian lines, and the withdrawal of workers of though ployment. But because his re¬ expenditures decline. The serves against the proverbial result would,, of course, be a de¬ rainy day will be very large bycline in prices, particularly that prewar standards, he will be portion of the price represented willing to spend more and save by the intangibles and not meas¬ less out of his postwar income ured by price indices. ./.yy;:; than he would under the same practical wage . dollar premiums, high-wage war in¬ dustries to lower , war duction in working hours, the loss of overtime, and other the shift from , hand, if This does not necessarily mean if unemploy¬ a J , this sumers This is because the shrinkage in income. a savings. ment should be held to /, . the for those goods and services. It be much a in 1941. in be expected to increase sumer—may for av¬ of These available , evidence real In the absence of increases in basic wage and salary rates, a de¬ cline in consumer income would warranted that the categories market; be as sumers . erage consumer obtained very lit¬ tle more in 1944 than he received seems the not mand for will also be necessary to appraise the effect of deferred demand and accumulated certain lessening .of the the production. a present high income, then it fol¬ that any substantial decline Therefore, see how con¬ be affected by war of lows what happens on is to effect large part of consumer expendi¬ is already in line with the income. consumer the ture transition and thereafter will de¬ the next step TOBACCO • /Yyy* during FOOD, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, AND ... Consumer Income in the /;■•/'y. of of the the ; T 48 few months next On the other in analyze will unem¬ consumer intense. changes in supply-de¬ mand relationships during the transition from war - production and thereafter. ' ,/v not the appraising fast less possible con¬ processing of those foods. For example, there may have been larger consumption, of flour in the form of bakery prod¬ for mark it that out The pressure of demand for goods of this type will continue to be the cover ucts. able trends. approximately the quantity' of food available The contrast, conditions, additional goods of this type are available almost regard¬ con¬ It is from this bench¬ 1951 for In as This conclusion is from in war—can competition now 60% incomes Expenditures Were in Line With Income1 Expenditures for some items— those not to be had during the limited half of the over con¬ will be substantial. duction. broadly, very not quantities adequate to meet con¬ sumer demands during the early stages of transition from war pro¬ ef¬ the about sumers JEWELRY pressure is ployment during the transition will inevitably be more than the practical minimum in a normal peacetime year. The decline in will have been 6.—-Major Segments Where Wartime prediction of gen¬ a point goods Bureau of Agricultural Economics increased to of expenditure if the controls had not operated. Even more impor¬ items, y;p suffice from, pected, given present consumer incomes, present supplies of those » with sence the controls article business goods from all the items which expenditures food was AND automobiles might highly signif¬ icant in appraising the current price level and evaluating prob¬ Consumer GOODS, EXCEPT know not Chart t income, it is important that the high rate of saving, or deficiency of expendi¬ ture, in relation to income has been closely related to the ab¬ sumer budget—today are not far different from what might be ex¬ ''//■•- cerned eral con¬ count large they have not prevented the price increases resulting from the pressure of existing buying power on'the-limited supplies of same AUTOMOBILES do this decline in how¬ ever, prices for sych; things ; as food and clothing—items that ac¬ measure Prices We new Speaking con¬ power they have affected de¬ mand in these categories. In Raised price supplies of goods and services. trols have limited consumer buy¬ reports OURABLE as greater ! ing goods and services. that say prices,: costs and incomes, preventing even higher consumer buying power and even It is in spite of the fact that the number of civilian consumers was To the extent that Wartime to fective in preventing a spiralling in¬ ,t con¬ of This is clear from chart 6. reduced. In Since y/;•>y?:'./" y''; y. not military service. demand to other categories sumer '•; yi■ increased in have resulted in diversion of thereby r TRANSPORTATION things been comes. 1941. have been ineffective in fields. these tant, line in much a the ' increase is represented by expenditures for fod, beverages, tobacco, cloth¬ ing and jewelry, outlays have in for of to what extent the absence of such / Increased Expenditures USER-OPERATED This For the half of consumers' budg¬ ;y/-/.;Y. T .V--' : •,. real months limited resources of the prices, controls ets Itelativeto Income V 42 V:; . consumer more servicemen to civilian jobs paying than they received for their more in expenditure necessarily primarily in in¬ creased Half of Budget in Line ;/ Almost one-fifth of the aggre¬ gate deficiency was due to severe shortages or complete absence of a wide variety-of other consumers durable goods. The middle panel all come.', rise reflected was in- consumer did expenditure face sumer seriously out of line large increases : which in war the deficiencies,. notably in medical care, in domestic and per¬ sonal service and in such special items as foreign travel. Over most of the other categories, however, Current outlays do not appear to the few last ex¬ roughly are with than he other been ; the smaller •• which the in In spite consumer income, the getting very little was normal more about three-r deficiency of expenditures in 1944. 'There were the time income. a year, accounted for fourths of the total have come from 1929 through 1940 and the apparent deficiency of expen^ditures relative to the high war¬ .. categories, cover¬ ing about one-fourth of consumer consumer with this of in penditures, three have relation of wartime increases commensurate These group consistent of goods and services. sumer of by savings. deficiency, heavily were backed 3149 J- C. Bradford & Co. THE COMMERCIAL & 3150 fit* that part of the value of the prod¬ uct which is .retained by business ■ as • ■ Most of the huge accumu¬ during the war curtailment of ; expenditures in those parts of the Y total consumer budget shown in j chart 5, Sortie of, these expendi¬ tures were of the sort which could be deferred and some could not. ; Typically, the deferrable demands •■ace again in the areas where the lation of savings .'/resulted from the f • . available to consumers the ea^ly stages ox the transition. *: Wartime savings tend to reinforce those de-. mands even though the purchases supplies i will be limited in - The others will be there is a lessening demand.: of (Continued from page 3149) made. Thursday, December 27, 1915 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE modified as of the pressure of demand relative supply. Improved quality and improved service will, however, mean more for the consumer's to dollar, rather than price increases, and hence may be classed as antir inflation¬ deflationary rather than The use of savings to tide consumers over a period of un-. ary.; employment or other loss of curincome will operate in the rent way.yY.: • Y y/y > YY:; Ty' same market domestic at hand if they productions going in a hurry. Any-apparent inadequacy or threatened interruption of their sources of supply may cause them to anticipate their requirements get can so reserves its, hampered crease or war are repeated. not likely to be First and-foremost, are the Gov¬ ernment-controls over both prices »; '< well accom¬ as a total spending, which has not been Y curtailed- during; the war.l Earlier shown that expendi- " it has been -.v;?.■ nondurable goods for tures ; have nearly in* line with inIt is been very words/high productive large supply * are-large; but combined they are not so large as r that portion of in¬ any consumer somewhat larger inr YY;. In other as are, a employment after the a - in decrease in national out¬ put.; V Y> however, several reasons why the brief inventory boom and collapse after the last There decrease panied by by lack of materials. " general, however, or ■ > undistributed prof¬ disposable income will be production and that their own distribution will not be In crease or greatly affected by. any probable ... •near».term-changes-in earnings. "Y , These two segments of demand - T. creased, consumerr income. war means therefore,- That prices of including • those intangibles which . cannot: be meas- ! ured adequately by 4 any index, reflect most, of the impact of the clear, of civilian goods large demand for , these; goods, those goods/Similarly, the failure to shift manpower^ and facilities from the war effort to the produce tion of civilian goods would leave little ? room for any increase in consumer expenditures ; • but- "it would also provide very little in the way of additional-/ civilian goods. 17 ; r tY;;YY!! r'"• \ T'TY'!;!"!-/0.! * present demand on the - limited supply available to civilians,/ ., v ; >1. * . deferred demands >;'r Curtailment of war production T" ; and accumulated ^buying power and inventory holdings which can will cause both a, decline in con\ will serve to increase the pressure prevent such excesses., Secondly, sumer income and an, increase in j may be paid for out of current of demand for those things which businessmen remember the licking the manpower and other, resources 1 income-. 1 \ were' not available, during the they took in 1920 when losses on Y. The combination of deferred dei:;'.:-: ■'.'V r:.''i r}C.'Y available for civilian r production. war, Accumulated buying power inventories and forward commit¬ Since prices of most non-durable v , mands and accumulated buying Supply and Demand in the Y | ments put many of them into the will cushion any. decline in, der Transition *4;Y:; T-T I goods have reflected wartime con¬ / power will serve to maintain the. marid for the other goods and red ink and forced some firms "."•'!!- /! pressure of demand on supply^ in. These supply-demand relation¬ ditions of demand and supply, this •'!services resulting from a decline into bankruptcy; combination of decreased demand /Y i those areas in spite of a} decline/ Better information how avail¬ ships can be summarized in terms in consumer income. It will not, and increased supply should make : in consumer* income and until a able on inventories" will provide of, first, the variations to be ex^however, exert, a greater upward for some'easing of prices.? I high volume" of production has TT/T7/Y7;; ample warning to the Government pected between two broad cate¬ pressure; on prices than it was r satisfied - the most urgent needs. T: Any spending -of - wartime sav-YY and business of. developing ex¬ gories of goods and, second; the Y. Over this segment then price con- already exerting toward the end difference between two periods of ings will operate to? cushion the 7. of the war.v It will be more ef¬ cesses. Furthermore, the probable ! trols are necessary until the latter time—the transition and. .the-pe¬ decline in demand for-nondurable YY fective as an antideflationary in¬ decline, in consumer income* from condition ; is reached. " But it goods resulting from the drop in Y the wartime peak is larger now riod beyond. The transition or re¬ fluence than as a threat of infla¬ / should be kept in mind that this income but probably: will not be than in 1918, and there is now a conversion period might be de¬ tions 7 -'/ r}Y/YYtI/Y:'! segment accounts for only about fined as the first year after VJlarge enough to prevent* it. The Y Business- Expenditures fTY-?''} much; greater potential increase r one-fifth of consumer expendi¬ these goods in output of civilian goods over day. - Y§''YY7T; t&zS&y TTY Yt'' ;T! Y-'f ■ sellers' market for Business capital expenditures, tures/'-; V- ,'""Y'" which has featured the war will either the wartime or prewar rate. Where ! consumer expenditures v; jn addition, consumers did not including changes in inventories tend to disappear and-competition been c severely Weighing the general situation, have restricted, as well as privately-financed out¬ buy as much of the services as therefore, it appears that, while notably in} user-operated trans¬ will give the consumer4 better • ' lays for equipment and construc¬ they normally would out of war¬ value for his expenditure than he Y the possibility of an inventory portation, consumers " durables, drastically curtailed time incomes. 1 There are few de¬ tion,^ were boom cannot be ruled out, it is housing and some services, prices received during the war, '' ''YY YY ferred demands to be made up during the war—from almost 20 not iikely to develop. The danger have increased during the war, but However, too much should not in this group. The two haircuts billion dollars in 1941 to less than of such a boom can be eliminated not to the full extent which would be made of prospective divergent that had to take the place of three 2 billion dollars in 19441 Most of by action to nip any such ten¬ reflect the free competition be¬ tendencies. The analysis of price Y left the hair the same at the end the large additions to plant and dency at its inception through tween civilians for the limited changes during the war demonY •of the war as it would have been equipment in the war industries firm a use, of the inventory;; and supply available to them. In these strated that, in general, they make had it been trimmed a third more were financed by the Government. allocations controls of the War segments a large increase in ex¬ a consistent whole. The aggregate times. ' But accumulated .buying Despite the high fate of capital Production Board and its suc¬ * penditures is possible even in the level of civilian goods prices has formation in some fields, there cessor. ; power will encourage increased by-]'' ■ face of a substantial decline in been raised without that degree • spending for services as additional are deferred demands for facil¬ ! i, Civilian. Supply j consumer income/ This possibility of distortion which would require Y ities to replace those which have manpower' becomes available to is :enhanced by the deferred de¬ a great deal more than the usual On the supply side, the man¬ provide them. • ::;Y'- j - worn* out and could - not be* re¬ backed by purchasing readjustments between-individual^ ; power ~ and other resources re¬ mands, 'Y'Y The larger part of consumer placed under the controls in effect leased from the war effort will be power in the form of liquid funds prices which go on all the time. "7 ; expenditures, shown in chart 6, during the war; More important," available which have accumulated. We have indicated that the area "« > 7 Yn for increased civilian was approximately in line with however,* are the demands for im¬ It is in these same segments that in which changing supply-demand production. Whether or not they high wartime incomes. There are provements to keep up with tech¬ are fully utilized, they will jnake the time necessary to shift from5 relationships will encourage lower - ? ! nological developments and for ■; deferred demands for some items for an easing of the pressure upon war production and to reach a prices over the next year or so is 7; ; such as nylon hosiery, but on bal¬ postponed expansion. Wartime ex¬ prices. /:'-7 .• * v-tY;--:-.■!;.'. v -J • high volume of civilian output much larger than the ^area in periences with shortages, and the ance there is no deficiency to be The increase in civilian supply will limit supply for a while. This which the pressure- of demand on made up. * Neither were expendi- anticipation of substantially more will be less than the curtailment will v mean- sellers'- markets for supply will cohtinue -for «a while!*; TY : tures for such things as food and than the prewar, volume have em¬ of war production^ Under ' the such commodities until a period of The net change in the general/Y; phasized these needs. As produc¬ ; clothing appreciably in excess of pressure of wartime demands in¬ high production has satisfied the; price level, however, will depend 77 the normal relation to disposable tion of consumer durable goods is dividuals T were employed who most pressing demands; It is here on what happens to costs, such as T f income.-1}7;Y" 7 7 resumed, it .will be necessary to would not normally be seeking that continued price controls, will wages, and/dnC government^ cpn-;Y replace working inventories all This* is in spite of the fact that jobs. Hours of work were extend- be necessary until full-scale pro¬ trols, including floors as well' as YT the way from raw material to re¬ consumers held, during the last V - Y v. . \ ceilings.- ; , edj vacations- were postponed. In duction is reached; tail outlet, Y. ?!;7v7 ly-lyT";' ,! Y ' few months of the war, most of This general, the country: worked dur¬ pressure of demand- / on the' liquid savings1 which they Business 1 holdings V of- liquid ing the war at a pace which most limited supplies will be; further 7 Frwiiictivc- CajmcUy liiflati*!! Y-Y, assets have- increased by over 40 '! vY/,; have today, "in addition, the cur^ ■ Dekrreiit' ^ * i 7 i • people do not wish to 'continue accentuated because producers are rent income' which would nor-! billion dollars to about/two. and after the- war.r;V':r;,.?7" 'y.Y*;,;;7 zs-X also planning to increase their "T Deferred demands will-be im-"v mally have' been spent on con- one-half times -the prewar level. po»tant*:in4 some/lines-for. sevei^l Y Nevertheless, the postwar pro¬ outlays on construction and - for The availability of these financial ; sumers durable goods and other ductive capacity of this country; new equipment- as soon as ma¬ years. But in general the idom- ; resources will influence business f restricted items was available for. inant fact is the ehormotis produc- Y "given reasonably full utilization- terials and manpower -'ar6' avails increased /expenditures' in ! other judgment as to what capital ex¬ tive capacity of this country. ?Exof available manpower, ' is -fat able,. As with the deferred con¬ fmids. •; :YCY; ;-YYY'' r:;-/;• penditures are feasible and dfesir- above the national output in the sumer demands,1 these plans of cepting.: the- difficult period ; of Y •/:* These influences encouraging a abieTy-/-T Y7/vr7 / YY:-* y' /. Y;' best producers are- not likely to -be] transition from war production, it -> prewar year. The magnitude All of the influences determin¬ more thamproportionate increase of this potential supply has gndipY v 'id expenditures.for the available ing the actual amount of business Ckart-7;—Digtriltflft rfFi i 1 —1 */'.,'; 7 | Y Y goods and services were offset by outlays after the war cannot be portant beariiig on postwaf prices. S»u^rf»Y, Our-ability, to produce once we summarized hefe. It is clear, How¬ (lef•rr AJjwitmenf f«r • »■)■* Y o t h e r - influences. discouraging are over the reconversion "hump" V spending. 'The patriotic pressure ever, that these outlays will be is so great that the problem posed BILLIONS OF OOLLAIWr4 v to save rather than spend dur- large—much larger than* the * pri¬ 200? will be one of finding- markets vately-financed amounts during |Ting the iwar, reduced quality for any such output and not one f; and excessive inconveniences in- the war and possibly well above Y, of consumers seardhihg out sources t Yyolved/in! the purchase of many the best prewar year. For confir¬ of A: supply;*-; -YY YY?' T-'-*■; Y-:' \! ■ 11 goods and/ services, - and - long mation the reader is referred to '.<,7 j ''-j+*<-'} It will take time to shift to thej:j working hours*:which meant less three articles in the June and July 7-' I f production of civilian goods. The 1945 issues summarizing business 15 demand for ' goods and services f-.v ISO f t connected with leisure-time ac- plans as reported to the Depart-: time"1 required varies from only a In summary, , . . . ' • • . • . - ' , - < . ' • " , ' • • • ! . .« . . . j , " . , " ' ' - ' . - »-> Y-T > «. -t . j.! tivities all played a part, n i || y Will those accumulated* savings ment of €ommerce.,,, In the stages • the* de¬ the transition of early machinery ^ and 11W hich did not/burn holfes in the mand '( pockets- of equipment will be in excess of the .consumers during the | • last months of the war be a more - for available some * supply.-Tv TTj u | effective stimulus to spending and ] | therefore exert a greater-pressure [,'! on prices-* now that the/ war is j ; oyer?;. In what ways will the off- influences affecting the •j 'amount of expenditure on-nondurable good? relative to current t j i income be modified? • ' ' :: Y " | j J Of the influences tending to j increase wartime spending; for I i nondurable goods, the savings will Inventory Boom Should 'Be-7 Avoided -v. ■-: The •' T: 7;, aspect of busir special at¬ tention. It is possible that the necessary inventory accumulation may be exceeded and that specu¬ lation will start in purchasing— ness inventory reminiscent a,rsituation i Of the influences tending to I discourage' spending ^during the cite the removhl oLthe patriotic f1 bpfeifcfe* to mcrease-the-brcssure an extreme; case it will- of rapid expani- i take 2 to 3 years for. residential - Wfi. NET. CORPORATE PROFITS f: r ? t INCOME/TRX0 AND-. SALES.rTAXES Yi't«. CORPORATE construction from the present extreme¬ ly low level to the ultimate volume indicated by the deferred demands in that field; There are some of the We are EXCISE - . , | Y y y" y; Also, ! businessmen - £ the* structure? without becoming!" priee 7 y -' f\ '• £ > 4* j;;.. i:a7. 'a %•„•}.4c •; - f' .'T1J ;V> ■£' ;•<?f -*! .f COMPENSATION OF' "%•' ^ I > • >'* -r.\' ■ -,t EMPLOYEES 1w* ff V 3.-C... V > tliu '■ Y> or?r/. v/7*57*'♦ 7:Y'-.VY)' rl. which' over pehds VY Yv;;•% *1. : <; • goods„ and the' buying! power j of: consumers are*not 'independent of each other.- The. sapTfe- conditipnls ' a ^b'ig •. vY. . ,;•*< •* X. : -1'-'*k98~r*r7 ■!. i., .. '•. „• r > * ' pr/>4i»ctlt>» «>»uping 4»PWOxlm*t»ly. tl»«^iwawsi.j»3»J»L» -of-cxcrs*-pr()<k» hi.' i > Y 1 1945-.- •■?.■ ^ . involved in;, any - predictions as- to the course of business i activity. 1919T This task is made somewhat easier" same in¬ because«- the supply of civilian see ? a' ' /Overhead costs attempting here to ap¬ tiipe njake for a large, demand: will also, create a largje supply and Vice versa. I, ' ^ Wil§oi) D.' Stetensy "Planned Capital It -is true* that- disposable iinOutlays by " Manufacturers,";. June* 1945; "PlannedrOutlays. aniTPlxittBclnfcior-Majm^ { come is not. necessarily a- consiSfvsY-Nand **■ factureTs'.b'~.ciHr.7.,'.Plann«Pf-; Outlays/.-and*1 ago: i'W• ti 7i? 1 Pi OF"PROPRIETORS INCOME INC< NET. 100 praise the forces at work on 4- I ; war, .«• industries to a months in others/ of flationary. demands and; disloca¬ tions of supply in international trnue only -until large scale pro-, trade, today, as. tHere^werg 26 years | I matter of many To demand "deserves | remain.*. The Tack -of Competition" I j from the durable * goods' will Cop- j i j du.cti6n.-0i those goods'.is resumed! ' to grow i fi setting; ' few days, in some sion ; • •-I'bf hjpothetlcftl value of -10'percent wer •946^ ' T«t«*1-Hhirfn»tlo* '0 fraADft-^corpwrt^ proit^iH^tny-pr^orpwrFv';; CrVy.:i re erttyi r .Volume 162 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Number 4450 Themesult was a decline in prices notwithstanding the increase in Chart 8.—Average Hourfy Earninga of Factory Workers and Wholesale ••"'A '7 7 7'7v ';V*Prices;of'Manufactured ProductsN i iV'V/ 7/: PER -HOUR INDEX, 19?.6 • 100 production.! 130 Chart r - * ■■I ,, of a Labor Statistics - Over the 1941 the 3%. was SO - 18 80 Ur: I 'f 4d YtttCHT SCALE) • ' 1 I■ ■ *24 '23 23 > • '26 I I '27 I 1 '28 '29 '30 *31 ' I '32 '33 J1 " •■■■34 '35 *36 > Source: U. 8. up in productivity as it catches with the prewar trend. 1I I L L—-J '37- !38 ' - I I 1—1 1 *39 'AO «4I -542 < * IL—J '43 i Incomes hard' to Department of Labor. visualize general of goods of Self-Employed less than 15% of in:1941 retained was 1930 the self-employed. The 1944 farm income goods and services produced in the private sector of the economy was 788% above 1941. in 1941 sation of employees. The Allowing for the larger output in 1944 the income per unit of output had risen by more than 50%. In¬ tion in comes of the prices is approached any pressure ; of demand will tend to show rip in increased/production rather than in higher prices. . 7:777!7/'Z7.77 A peacetime level of production 7 which/approaches the capacity of •}, available manpower can provide a /--.very large increase over the-pre¬ war standard of living* In order to reach this tiigher standard of . •.living,' consumers must not only satisfy their deferred demands but also buy a wide variety of goods t and services which many of them : never had before. ^ f . changes in ways of living. It is difficult to visualize --the average consumer increasing V his- consumption" of goods and services by somewhere around to rapid ineitia 50%,":v which r would under conditions be possible of full employ¬ ment; and still leave 7 demands : sufficient increase hourly wage and salary rates since unsatisfied to -exert an 1941 has been a little other of what age - mtra-industry V increase in straight-time hourly rates. It in¬ cludes r. upgrading * as % well 7 as changes in basic wage rates. The important than farm¬ ers, rose 28% from 1941 to 1944. Because of the difficulty of meas¬ uring the physical Output of these nonagricultural entrepreneurs we increase do not know how much their in the average pay en¬ of overtime and because of ; Both from farmers and ■ in the number " :• ; an while the- demand for their em¬ ices i.—Corporate '< 1 | ' :„r serv¬ Their in¬ increased'greatly. proximately through the j upward pressure on the general price level. This inertia to rapid change^ in--ways of living also ; sh'ohld* temper iany * inflationary tendency resulting from the desire of' consumers to spend \ part I of' the -pressure to produce a large their wartime savings. < • 7 .-7 volume in a hurry all tended to - ; , i.:'-- Production Costs Shifting to the view¬ point, let us see what has .hap¬ pened * during the war to all of the factors : which'-make up the total cost of production and dis¬ , products > . , j as /■„/•' //' Overhead Costs y in¬ cluding interest/rent, depreciation A group of overhead items, and other ?.reserves * and a.various rfeal estate and other taxes' which da not' fluctuate' with business volume;" accounted : for roughly 18.% of the .total value of private¬ meet selling effort and services connected with distribu¬ uctin 1941V It excludes government wages and salaries and in¬ terest on Government debt. well to —^-Before Taxes % of ' *■ -'■.'■' ■ Million r Billion V' ' ' Dollars average some ; ; f, ; - J The net effect of these oil the " labor 7 25. L 1 !932_ 11.6 —879 1933 14.0 —592 (7.25.2.L7.-: : 1938 L 21.5 ■ 24.7 V — V 29.7 i94i:::::::.z:z: 42.6 • < \ 56.5 71.5 - . 75.0 '/:■■/ In many instances the ure. as in were i > it that, because of temporary wartime -conditions;- • labor-costs per unit of output increased more than wages rates, 77 7; ZZ/Z/:'/ i By the end of the transition period a large part of the wartime be . There reversal some will also be of upgrading and other wartime increases designed ly. produced tgoods and services to meet the conditions of a tight In '1941.- As a group these overhead labor market. Some of the worst items increased - about 10% from* instances of wartime inefficiency 1$41 to 1944. Since'there was more of an increase in the physical out¬ should ,be put j of / goods Land services this jpeant an' actual decline Lin unit cost. 7 -.7V;: i The future cost of these items any large . . unit of output will, depend on the total ; volume of per largely business transacted. ■ The net in¬ crease in this , unit cost/from 1941 to 1946 is not likely to - exceed 1Q.%. With a higher level of pro¬ duction required for even ance cost on bal¬ it is doubtful if there will be increase the 1941 over man-hour. With cur¬ basic wage rates; the labor per unit of output would be output rent corrected, but . per one-fifth about above. 1941 but substantially below the; war peak. , Over crease 1941 a id -longer period labor costs the in¬ relative will be determined to not only by further increases in basic wage mod¬ and salary;. rates but also by, the erately good 'employment;iii* s^b- ability to'absorb tliose higher^ sequent years,'the cost per unit rates" because of increased effi¬ . might actually* be less than in 1941. .... ; ■ Wages and Salaries per in the total national output man-hour averaged * a little compounded, , .. About half, of >the total value of About 6% aver >/£ <o per year , —5.7 179 —1.1 — 1,911 /;• 3,057 L 4,924 '■■;; 8,453 •' 72,224 •' 8.8 / 1.534 7.1 12.4 2,423 9.8 16.6 3,390 11.4 8.9 , 11.3 2,456 11.-4 . 5.8 1,070 ' ' 7 ie.8 : 11,000 19.5 14,700 20.6 15,000 20.0 3,507 ■■ ? ! 8.2 , 8.7 • 4,900 5,600 ; : 7.8 5,800 .: 7.7 course, profit as . provide a greater net production gets rolling. Cost-Price Relations in the 7 Transition ; Thus > •■ • This advertisement v\„ NEW is existing wage rates, the next year would bring a decline from the wartime peak of production costs. A large part the wartime premiums for overtime, night and holiday work of will be eliminated. Increased petition will tion the in mean of on page com¬ reduc-- some incomes (Continued neither an o}]er to farmers 3152) -77. » ». sell nor solicitation a P-t t'hesp, securities.. t„The Qffering 0tter8 t? bny ..--.7 is■ made only'"by the frospeptmi'yZ^.j:- ■ 7;V.. ISSUE O'SulIivan Rubber Corporation . ■,; production. in 1941 (A. Virginia Corporation) v. - , ■: /. ,7 -.' 7 was I 6,000 Shares" .7 7,:7730,000 Shares' related business taxes. These tax :'7'7* payments had increased 30% by 1944, largely because of increased 5% Cumulative Preferred Stock And Common Stock re¬ duction in those rates is probable —if not in 1946, then certainly in .7 •? •;/• /.■« 7./,': '"Z/U;/ i,Another factor affecting % the general price level is, the reduc¬ 1947. (Par value $100 per share) 7/ .V- / r- • 7'-(Without par .value)/■ " ■ Offered in units of one share of ; 7;,:,7/; .r; and five shares Preferred Stock of Common Stock ,, 'd f .• •>; tion in income tax rates. Chart 7 allows for the repeal of the excess ;'X A. >L Y:>y profits. tax. Even if/ corporate profits after taxes in 1946 should be much as as ■ /SI Price $128.50 s per. unit v-/7-7; 7 preferred dividends from January \ 8.5 billion dollars, only slightly below the wartime peak, elimination - profits tax of would the - excess reduce .total corporate " income ' and little a lion dollars against 15 billions over 6 bil¬ 77:77 in 1944. This would amount to less than 5% of the. value ---7-7 -: r7 '■" ; : 7" excess profits taxes to as 7-7-1.8,000 Shares ; 7 Common Stock: *:;; Z ■■;• tJL_ -(Without par value) price $6.00 per _;•, share - 7: : . ; dcvpies .of. the Prospectus may be- obtained from the undersigned . , •/ Of the larger output in 1944. Such tax relief does not costs but it affect; business obviously -.makes considerable^ difference in a t.See point in the demonstration what Dwight B. of the'latter Yntema's "Corporate Profits and National Income" in the Septemhpr 1944 issue. 7 7i*i7f7 F.-Cassell & Company .. CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA. December. 27, 1945 7' ..7 1 77;v;:";'7;77:: of private production as compared with 9% * the under of the total value of ciency. From 1929 to 1941 the in¬ crease 8.4 —tioo . substantially higher margin of earnings before taxes than the for the years 1923 through 1929 and only a slightly lower margin of net profits after taxes. The? aggregate net after taxes favorable weather. as Federal excise tax rates. Some - premiums for overtime will :7 4.3 .—979 'Adjusted to exclude inventory profits or losses,, capital gains or losses, etc. Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce. 7, ■ > a accounted for by excise, sales and appear eliminated/ well as private same would .5 /Source: 77' not being produced 1941.: On .balance >: ■ per ■ '. 7.7 7 2,878 : 809 14.1 •/' 12.1 3,033 4.2 v •3,065 ; 12.6 3,320 _ " —7.6 1,428 21.7 - . 5.2 - 87 15.9 7.18.6 : 14.5 13.3 974 due to accelerated mechaniza¬ tion unit of output is difficult to meas¬ Value -Added 3,350 18.6 ■ • in¬ cost i war 7 Million Dollars 3,841 26.5 . ... v 77 • - "e Of Value /Added ■• ■> ■' Dollars 1939— After Taxes ■ from 1910 to 1941. There larger gains during the per year fluences; as changes have been profits., for the .privately produced segment of the gross: national prod¬ factors, usual customers' preference and by. re¬ tribution and w^at/may. happen to >v them.; Chart 7 shows these / " the out with¬ duction of tion. cost • scale continuous production . : "• 77 -•♦Corporate Profits from Operations longer run there is the same possibility of offsetting in¬ creases in efficiency. For example, the output per person engaged in agriculture increased 68% or 1.7% hand, costs were reduced by large second Table 1 showes profits both be¬ figure assumed for 1946 would be Value Added V";: V." :,-.L i Over the increase labor costs. On the other j: of farm output. ume drawn 1932 and 1941'. Profits in Manufacturing Compared With Value . . line a on years value added by manufacture." The unit comes contain an element which is analogous to the overtime and product was increased further by premium rates for overtime. other premiums paid wage - and In 1 manufacturing alone these salary workers. 77■<;, 7,7?.v: It seems reasonable to expect would be well above any prewar premiums amounted to about 7% year. ■";::'V 7 '.7'' /7, ,'■'•■* of total. wages. They were - a that entrepreneurial incomes will return to a level more nearly in ; Since it is for a year in which smaller part of the compensation transitional difficulties will affect line with the increase in wage of all private employees including salaried workers and nonmanu- and salary rates since 1941. The both costs and volume this allow¬ ance for corporate profits in the bar for the year 1946 in chart 7 facturing wage earners. 7/7/v;/ /J The cost per unit U>f product assumes a 25% increase over 1941; right-hand bar of chart 7 appears in income per unit of output for was also modified by a variety of ample. Prices which would leave influences affecting productivity. both agricultural and nonagricul¬ such a margin in 1946 would, of For "example, the use of marginal tural selfemployed and a -20% in¬ workers, high labor turnover and/ crease over 1941 in physical vol¬ The wartime labor cost per . . fore and after taxes related to the of average of or • ./i////I Added by "Manufacture lS37__uI-7^.— in¬ petitive situation. The number of nonagricultural selfemployed declined substantially "• Table profits 1941 dollar volume of pro¬ duction expected in 1946 because of higher prices, would lie ap¬ all of it earned operations. While current adjusted to been than 1946, from T. dollars, have inventory - billion dollars, plus income taxes, when related to the higher current have ' benefited extremely favorable com¬ paying relatively high wages. The aggregate of wage and salary pay¬ ments was further expanded by increase in billion the whole over -The manufacturers' share of the 6% groups shifts of employment to industries ployed. from was all 9.5 / 19?4__^____— increased per unit of output. come velope was considerably more be¬ cause more . 9.5 1923-1929 self-employed, which in the aggregate are some¬ more than one-fourth. This is the aver¬ the / Granting that human wants are inexhaustible-there is also some - made up of compen¬ was exclude For purposes of analysis chart 7 profits •/ the employ¬ ment. Until that level of produc¬ inflation ! income of as This of earned are losses. the earned assumes total output of goods and services . any little A all two-thirds profits but taxes of the much higher output in that year. 60 '44 0&-4S-T4* ' and services without full . cally operations. in¬ almost some given to figure. the period 1922 through 1941. Earn¬ ings shown are before income ; Profits after taxes in 1944 were close to 10 billion dollars, practi¬ years, rapid -Since be of volume of business somewhat larger net value of a of production by corporations. . >.* Data for-4939-44 are estimated stralglrt-time average hourly-earnftp? weighted according to the distribution of employees hy Industries as of January 1939, • is several more a increased included in the was tion, although percentage , crease 30 « next witness should 70 Hi f lower. leads to the conclu¬ that the sion from value of current production for that year. This was about 5% of the total value of private produc¬ ir Careful appraisal of all the fac¬ WHOLESALE PRICES, ¥ MANUFACTURER PRODUCTS. RRODUl ^ • than 6 billion -'v//Z ■H'lV; ' ' ■ resulted should reasonableness forecast a year in manufacturing, chart 9 is an ex¬ cellent guide. It shows the close relation between profits and the value of corporate inventories be¬ cause of advancing prices and less from years tors involved \T^/ lions were average : as profits next corporate mated, however, that almost 3 bil¬ 1923 to increase in hourly earnings relative to prices 90 Corporate profits, after taxes before adjustment for inven¬ tory revaluation, amounted to 8.5 billion dollars in 1941. It is esti¬ 30% higher in 1941 than in 1929, but the wholesale prices of manu¬ factured; goods were 5% the but striking example tendency because the Bureau actual consideration national output. The hourly earnings in manu¬ facturing as compiled by the 100 .. .. . Corporate Profits ? average no 70 60 of total the r o this is not intended existing cost-price structure. growth in productivity has been greater in manufacturing than in 120 - *; is 8 this of 90 profits-can be earned under the tained in line with the volume of 100 3151 rates, and with profits main¬ wage i CENTS /lr, : LYNCHBURG, -VA. THE COMMERCIAL 3152 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE services The Post-War Price Structure treme (Continued from page 3151) self-employed. other and These changes will be only partially off¬ set over a costs overhead spreading by smaller volume of business. Reduced large reduction in still and taxes will rates tax allow a profits before high leave of private production in 1946 will be about the same as in 1941, the net increase in price per unit of national output from 1941 to 1946 would be somewhere be¬ tween 15 and 20% as compared with the 23% increase to date in cost-of-living index. But of assumption any no change in wage rates is unrealis¬ tic. The decline in war will lower mean ex¬ reductions take-home in in It is apparent that it is from the analysis possible raise wage to 9.—Relationship Between Corporate Profits in Manufacturing anil Value Added by Manufacture Chart (Profits Before Income Taxes, but After In general, wartime plies Adjustment for Inventory Revaluation) +16 reflected was clothing. food and as for Expenditures the consumer's line in budget, were fully high wartime in¬ with ,/ r contrast, "expenditures for operated transportation, comes. . In user - other durable goods, The ed. full of demand' prices. This an important bear¬ ing on the price outlook. V These supply-demand relation¬ ships at the end of the war will be subject to strong pressures both inflationary and deflationary. impact distinction has There is need for perspective in viewing these opposing forces so that one is not overly impressed by one or the other. *• • On the, deflationary side there is the sharp cut in Government war expenditures now in progress the Of above this a total dollars was in peace¬ roughly v repaid business ' o J, o if! 2 O taxes. personal about 40 billion dollars. sumer buying < ply of consumer goods to be pur¬ chased. v As the productive re¬ u> i o u. I Ul <r a> + 4 f m ir should o i o without consumers additional consumer goods for them to buy. .;» * It production of consumer goods 3 ct of creati ng a a sup¬ the hands the 2 r and the possibly shrinkage in war expenditures will be offset by in¬ creased business outlays for capi¬ tal goods, thus putting income in of third a I I con¬ become available sources r ; are 8 f ? we vast gap between any > continue the at wartime rate, the disposable income earned in their production would increase o because of decreases in tax rates. The balance of the shrinkage in ' as threat of inflation. Before the that immediate around the 10% maintenance at in¬ wage somewhere consistent are living index Consumers basic averaging creases cushion to deflation than a of the With cost of its, present, level,, already savings and expenditure decisions—and therefore on prices •i—was already felt. These savings may be used to limit a decline in expenditures resulting from a elimination of the intangible price increases not included in the in-' shrinkage in income. In general they will not exert a greater up¬ ward pressure on prices than they did during the war. ;. v i. In the long run, any strong in¬ less had war of most these their, influence on . flationary savings age pressure presupposes will consumer these the who in result , pro¬ demand will increased pro-* ductioh rather than higher prices. The analysis has shown that the in which areas changing supplyrelationships will create deflationary tendency are larger demand a than the in which inflation¬ areas tendencies will persist for a price level, however, may be determined more by organized pressure on the cost of production than on the balancing of supply and demand while. in The the general market place. analysis has shown;that V.The wartime cost-price relationships adequate to assure all-out production ahd to provide were war large profits in ment of the in such costs, overtime, tion of the an premiums as disappearing are production allow major seg¬ every economy. the wartime increases of is curtailed. for as war Elimina¬ profits tax will excess increase in costs or a de¬ cline in prices without impairing net profits after taxes. These sav¬ ings will be partially offset in the coming months by the need to spread fixed overhead costs over smaller total volume of business. a Qn balance, however, it is clear that there is room for some in wage rates or declines in prices; or both. creases For in¬ some the country as a whole, nonmanufacturing as manufacturing, it appears including well as much others than more will be in a favorable position. % completed, sustained level. Until that limit of productive capacity is ap¬ to afford while some After reconversion is above the prewar tend The average, of producers year. includes can 10% quate when his current consump¬ tion has been increased 50% proached, increased prewar any course, from wartime that the aver¬ still consider against reserves dex, and net profits in 1946 above verbial, rainy day more than ade¬ -■ facing power tant Some This does not mean that + 8 i * of as a end of the ary ex¬ Additional amounts were retained as depre¬ ciation, other reserves and undis¬ tributed profits. The remaining disposable income of individuals earned in war production was o i in perhaps were Government the and 1944 dollars level. billion 20 to earned incomes production. Government billion 70 shrinkage corresponding consumer time < in reflected not was and £ +12 housing and services have been, restrict¬ some penditures in ;• most nondurable goods and some serv¬ war U. of sup¬ increased in prices for such items in _» limited on accumulation funds in, the hands of will be more impor¬ consumers effect full the demand the spendable ices, accounting for well over half the absence of a large decline in living costs, naturally present a persuasive case for labor to press for wage increases. The free play of supply and demand will be modified by the action^L organized labor and by public opinion, particularly as public opinion may coincide with and be implemented by Government pol¬ icy. Viewed objectively, there seems a strong probability of fur¬ ther increases in basic wage rates. production lessening of the a to paying civilian jobs. These pay, Again using existing wage rates, and assuming that the physical the the return from war industries net earnings. volume of demand on the of labor. It also brings about, however, reductions in earnings through loss of overtime and other premiums and through pressure supply Thursday, December 27, 1945 high volume and a catching-up with ..'the ; normal growth in productivity will make possible a larger and more gen¬ eral wage increase or a greater de-i cline in prices. Until that increase in output per man-hour has actu¬ ally taken place, however, manyproducers are not in a positiop to absorb out this larger increase with¬ it along in higher passing prices. Viewed quite - objectively," it probable that increases in wage rates in. the coming months seems will be of the order of which will cost of its to serve living at somewhere present level. obtain elimination ible near Consumers will for their dollar than more they did during the of magnitude maintain the priqe of because war various intang¬ -increases, but any change in the general price- level will not be large enough to be labeled either tion. inflation ' defla¬ or •; ■ Because of the immediate pres¬ sure of deferred demands, there is need to firmly hold during the price the life front of the key to the price outlook, however, is produc¬ tion. The danger of a spiral of rising prices exists over the next , Price Control Act. The few months only because of the time involved in converting to the output of civilian goods and serv¬ ices. ?■',o■. -'v.,. ^Looking beyond 1946, the nitude of —far mag¬ productive capacity was produced our above what and consumed in the best prewar year—is the fundamental tee guaran¬ against the possibility of fur¬ price level. When thisproduction is fully utilized, and the most press¬ ing deferred demands are met, the problem will be one of finding ther marked markets rise for all in that rhines, and factories a the farms, our turn out. can total disposable income can. result in a reduction from the abnor¬ ■'< mally high rate of wartime saving a cut in expenditures consumer goods. Those savings ih 1944 were perhaps 25 billion 1X1 rather than for -4 40 20 VALUE ADDED BY 80 60 - . MANUFACTURE (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) D0.4S-745 ' Source: rates U. S. and still keep the Fof the purpose of this chart 7 assumes for 1946 of cost at its recent level. analysis an total value of private production 23% highef In 1046 than in 1941. is assumed the Same thetical 1941 to physical volume to as . in increase 1946 is *y 1941, the hypo¬ Hi in - prices from line with the reported increase of 23% in the cost of living index from 1941 to the end of the war- Such an in¬ in crease wage rates would still for the large profits indi¬ allow cated, and allow for elimination of all the intangible and immeas¬ urable wartiine increases in prices "which could not be included in the index. mis 10% is necessarily a tougli approximation. More importantly, it is an salaries. average tor all wages and It recognizes that some industries can afford a larger increase while others a less much are in favorable position to raise wage rates without raising prices. The variation for individual com¬ panies will be To cite one even more. extreme - as the part of the total value of private production. Since in this instance there matically increase prices. normal per¬ : Relationship i: The one year are no 1946 is a transition which will not afford the full impact of lowered unit costs that with comes will come full high volume. That after production hits its real income of employees, work¬ ers, and consumers. There is every reason to assume that the neces¬ sary increases in productivity will occur to make possible a larger increase in wage rates Without an increase in cost per unit of output. to prices glance at chart 8 will emphasize that such in¬ in creases wage rates relative to (Continued from page 3130) or Deflation? In summary, there has been a general and substantial advance in the prices of almost all civilian- type goods during the war. The exceptions are due more'to the stability of some prices than to wartime controls. Careful analysis does not disclose .much than the usual disparity more among gest , individual prices, the need for or sug¬ major adjust¬ ments to bring them into line.v above the war¬ result in an in^ vicious as in passing a earned incomes unsocial practices of some of these trusts or monopolies were so to dall fof correction by law,'-, One of Our great proved and legalized by decision the United .States Supreme of Court based the upon Sherman Law.^ ;; ... . that production. Thus it will affect the demand for those goods as troubles in this democracy is that we believe we cure evils by mere¬ ternational Harvester and .United well ly passing States Steel the supply. Similarly any shrinkage in production for civil¬ as ians will mean a decline ih both buying power, and supply., This loss of income earned , in production does mean, how¬ that there will not be any such excess of buying power over the available supplies as existed during the war. Declining war ever, production releases resources for expanded civilian supply along with the decline in consumer in¬ come. the Where prices at the war end of reflected the full impact of demand oh supply the implica¬ tions of a decline ih demand and an increase in supply should be clear. inflationary side deferred Inflation will the in On the possible. are level time ........ production over the longer period is the answer to the requirement of an increase lft the serve of civilian goods war stride. Increased Another Any increase in the production crease Longer Run Price-Cost inherent case, amount pf the allowable average increase is held down by inclusion of domestic service other costs of production, any in¬ crease In wage rates would auto¬ aver¬ age increase of 10% in basic Wage and salary rates. The result is a Since the total more a centage of the smaller income to be expected in 1946. Department of Commerce. living index dollars above demands Tor are the durable goods and the large accumulation of unspent war income. They will serve to maintain the upward prices foif these goods until large volume production has pressure oil satisfied the most pressing re¬ quirements. Since wartime prices for these goods did not reflect the full impact of supply on demand, some restraint ott prices Will be needed Until production gets rolling. In r most - ♦' ... • nondurable goods and the a law. We forget that administration of a law and the' experience under a law are what really determine its effect. . And so it was with the Sherman Anti-Trust Law which Was passed ih 1890 but which feally did hot make any sense until it was inter¬ preted by the courts of the land. The Sherman Anti-Trust Law one was of the most sweeping laws on the books. By its Very all-inclusiveftesS, it has done far more harm than good. Such harm has come because public opinion has hot understood been and how the law has interpreted it certainly by the courts has, not under¬ stood how it ought to be admin¬ istered. For instance, the Stand¬ ard Oil case which was decided in 1911 did not disband the Standard Oil Company because it Was a monopoly. It did disband it be¬ cause the management of the Standard Oil Company Was shown in their operations to be unprin¬ cipled, arbitrary and ruthless. The fact is that United Shoe companies like Machinery Co. which controlled over 99% of aii try as Which is as near any one the a indus¬ monopoly could achieve was ap¬ And in other so Supreme said longer an In¬ Corporation where the Court States like cases of; the that United size mere is no offense. There, are many more ways in wbich. it could be shown that the Supreme' Court stands for reasonableness and de¬ regardless cency, trust or 70%; . of whether controls group In 99% a or certain cases like the Trenton Pottery case, a small per¬ centage were condemned for in¬ decent practices, v Price mainte¬ nance about fair even as per which se result a of came decent operation has not been demned. It is firm my conviction the United States Justice its in and con¬ • . that Department of Anti-Trust policy today stands clearly across the path of American progress and prosperity. This is not to say that either Tom Clark, Wendell Berge, not two of the finest would mean to States, care say to is men meet, that or so unformed whom What I American public opinion has been formed or his Assistant in Anti-Trust Laws, are Charge of one Attorney the General of the United so mal¬ with re¬ spect do the Anti-Trust Laws and (Volume -162 "Number 4450 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE particularly are our Congressmen badly! informed 'that: we have so paid and about are to the pay penalty of defeat in winning1 the peace, if we do not learn quickly. The ;Anti-Trust used and are .knowingly political the Laws as as in Laws unknowingly, club the over as heads businessman m.uch. interest profit. are been being used, whether or American has have in The, ■ a of who progress Anti-Trust a political club particu¬ against the vast group of larly smaller businessmen survival and in sustenance lies only hope of our growing great nation. The as a problems whose * the continuing and of full employ¬ ment, the problems of prices, the problems of markets, the prob¬ lems of research, particularly in¬ sofar the as cerned, can successfully his fellow not ; little is man con¬ only be carried on in cooperation with businessman > who is big enough to do what the big can do. But the sweeping fellow language of the Sherman still Law is being used to prevent groups of little people in business from getting together to stand up to the competition large has units never the and in of the the all must we solve our American attention the American people. when the industry. This brought clearly to to nor of an been attention Congress practices In this day sit common of down and problems to¬ gether, there is this; law which "THOU SHALT NOT." says Even y in various competition . basic industries ment and steel and sweeping Trust between like ce¬ aluminum, the language Laws of the. Antiinvoked to keep is people from working together that ,i they either can solve so their - common problems or at least at¬ tempt to deal'with them.' r ; ■K; In to the direct Question ans wer as ;to "how the investor is inter¬ ested in the Anti-Trust Laws, it is - fair to say that his interest is very vital, particularly today. The great 3esson of this war was that we all worked- together/ and able to do the front ; > job of the home production—which had on much as thus were do to of with the winning the-war as did the effort of those who used at. the battleffont What civilians made and created. , f In the first place, wasteful com¬ petition in peacetime is just as un¬ thinkable as; wasteful competi¬ "r/ I tion . v^as time. . !• * ■ I' unthinkable during-war¬ We dare not lose the peace have too much at stake. The ♦—we ture industry to. provide for the divorcement of the motion picture companies from the operation of theatres. The motion picture in¬ dustry has been in litigation for years-and years. The litigation seemingly never ends. In the final analysis, the ation be must of the situ¬ economy adhered to. There is ducer but at cost a in working people to work to¬ show be the about makes same. great a of prosecuting a big com¬ big companies. Really, it prosecuting many hundreds of decisions the over last 35 years, whether a group proposition was public whether to as interest. the nbt serving the group was or was lions stockholders. of Trust Laws The Anti- As matter a of -,This and its Counsel, is making it one of policies to see that these Anti- ber of Sadi De the progress of mankind/; We know that there could of their speculate . most*; unfortunate willing to are and money small business. to start The small busi¬ is not protected by the pres¬ ent enforcement of the Anti-Trust ness full is kind of another. bombs of one the the firm tire Zenker Today, wages and prices are na¬ tional problems. They cannot be treated on a piecemeal basis. It is disease and nutrition—all of these question be even wide of whether treated basis they can industry¬ an on in steel, for, ex¬ ample, if all other industries can¬ not get together to solve their problems. In certain industries, laws have as been passed to permit industries to work together but these industries have had politi¬ cal "know-how"; like milk and there is all industries no coal and reason why not in that same are category.' A When make • we the called were upon effort greatest V';;':;7v in to our history during the war, the AntiTrust Laws had to be suspended. The Sherman Law which is typi¬ cal Anti-Trust the of Laws says the language makes every time that you as a shoe dealer sell a pair of shoes, to that extent you restrain trade «by taking ;that:\particular shoe: buyer out of the market. The purchase of a pair of shoes is a'contract in'the legal sense. Any one &s a layman can/therefore see because that the rule of reason had to be from retires Co., from effective on Hentz 31, his withdraws & Co. privilege to as of act as partner and Howard B./Dean and C. Noble, member of the limited partners, will Exchange, withdraw from Struthers & Dean of as Dec. Albert 31. Ulmann retires from partnership in Sulzbacher, Gran¬ ger & Co. on Dec. 31. John from R. Wechsler partnership Dec. 31. Walter H. will retire in Wechsler & .• Rudolph Silberberg H. Talbot Lauer from Co. & Laband will retire partnership in Wertheim & 31. Dec. on William A. Barron, Jr., retires from partnership in White, & Co. Weld Dec. 31. on . and many cannot more dealt be with successfully unless all peopjy can freely and fully work to¬ gether to see how they can be solved. The present Anti-Trust Laws make the no sense Government They only make courts and as interprets them. some sense as the have interpreted them— interpretation is on a this case longer, any by it hard basis case to makes one to venture They only make sense if they really promote com¬ petition.Certainly, it does not on any from Dec. 31. ; to reason that "A" unit industry which presently trols 1% of the business of anin- dustry company successfully-continue operation against a that has 50%. Businesses and "C" the Anti-Trust Laws con¬ demn to .death. The small *•; businessman is grad¬ ; ually being destroyed and he will be destroyed by the Anti-Trust - Laws. We /organized a War'Plants Corporation Smaller and the press is constantly full of speeches by Senators and Congressmen to help the small businessman when the small businessman can only meet the competition. of the big E. Norton will from Hornblower on ,'> ' > ton, will become effective a general Jan. 1; Weeks partner, interest of the late ;%:"■%,yy Theodore from & Weicker, Jr., retires partnership in E. F. Hutton Co. Dec. 31. on Harold 7 , By Blumenthal ; will withdraw from Robert J. Levy & Co. on Dec. 31. ■ " Henry will ' retire Siegbert / from Lewisohn & Co. Edward from & M. withdraws partnership in D. T. Moore Co. on Dec. .Nicholas Co. Dec. 31. on Brown on - G. from 31. "V . ' , Roosevelt will limited, partner¬ H. Newbold's Dec. -31. > / W. 1, Henry > Grabosky, Son & ;//L\:L7 member 1 of veterans to go into business. We have-poured many millions into helping small business. All of this is - taxpayers'; money r and % the money of investors.; Unless the small businessman. has a chance, general part¬ a effective Jan. ner, Herbert R. 1. ; Johnson, general partner in Orvis Brothers & will, become of Jan. Walter R.> Herrick, limited partner in the firm, will cease on Dec.,31. limited partner in Laird & a Co., will become with¬ & Henry H. Silliman of Wilming¬ re¬ Co. Dec.;. 31; Edward O. McDon¬ nell, limited partner in the firm, can its method of & on in con¬ Holsapple ; Richard draw the outcome. stand an get which tire ship in case Co. D. Stern, Floyd re¬ Co., effective Dec. 31. Douglas C. MacCallum will pete. Now this group of "A," "B" sense will & Daniel H. & alternate for Richard P. Limburg on the same date. Howard J. Nammack, general Blumenthal, and pointed out in 1911 in the Stand¬ no same . Weitsman withdraw 1. Lerner ceasing in ;'._Vv;',■ withdraw ard! Oil the on Gimbel Pam trade is liereby declared unlawful. The fact is, as the Supreme Court contract,/ combination conspiracy in restraint of and Interest Colwell 31. "A," "B," "C," etc., are now pre¬ vented from getting together; if they represent 20% of 1 the busi¬ ness so that they can really com¬ that I every cease H. from will a Henry from Co. ity problems, problems of health, ■■ G. ; ;;'■!% ■!;;•:j j' V:;- iV. will Herbert A. clearly destructive of small busi¬ on Dec. 31. on Edwin date. Dec. ness. M. partnership in Good- late The wage prob¬ or Subhi in Dec. 31. member of W. from lem,!, other labor problems, the pricing problem, the social secur¬ Laws. In fact, such enforcement is and general partnership George A. Robinson will with¬ The whole world atomic Froelick body & Co. not have been any atomic bomb pro¬ duced if the Anti-Trust Laws had stood in the way. McGuckin, mem¬ Exchange, will retire partnership, and West, the Exchange, retires from Filor, Bullard & Smyth on Dec. 31. draw * D. Samuel be is F. Coppet & Doremus, practice should sense not legalism. . amended as to retire Dec. the from Trust Laws so will limited Louis avoid their further use for politi¬ cal purposes or for interference in are Nelson S. Stamm Dec. 31. partnership in Cowen & Co. from or be M. L. of Jan. as Samuel Dec. 31. on Benjamin competition unfair those investors who a Vice-President am Scribner partnership in Burn- Dec. 31. on to should monopolistic common I Arthur from used eliminate ; which ham & Co. on not 01;' was for mil¬ The New York Stock A. fact, THE INVESTORS LEAGUE cases _ from limited the is some Dec. on partner in Newburger & • laws be amended in line with to pany or thousands and in a Joseph H. Fauset retires from partnership in Singer, Deane & used are violating the Anti-Trust Laws not on technical grounds but on the would Exchange, will retire as Hano. Exchange following firm changes: Marjorie L. Bratter will retire laws which would place the accent Government 31 keep the people from working to¬ gether. I have suggested that the These no improvement in the situation by divorcing the theatres from the ysis Exchange Weeky Firm Changes has announced the gether. motion picture companies because the stockholders in the final anal¬ The the New York Stock standards and in progress. The great need in this country is for all the 3153 a Co., limited partner as I.;-';"//:/'■'■'/':V" ■-/ Interest of the H. Lewis late Parsons in Graham, Parsons & Co. will in Dec. 31. cease ./John E. Scheffmeyer Dec. ; Scheffmeyer, & Co.,-died :>/■'/.<: 16. partner on -.v,/- ■ Privilege of Archibald Douglas, Jr., to act of the Burger be as alternate on the floor Exchange for Van Vechten Pershing ;& of withdrawn Dec.i privilge: 28, Engeman to act Louis B. Dec. on as Froelich „ withdrawn.' / of Co., 31. will After Harry, alternate will also -V-v R. for be ' ■] Bilheimer Returns to • - . ■ f • v •• Wahler, While SC«. ; KANSAS CITY, MO.-:William on the basis of fair competition E. Bilheimer, Jr., has returned to easily be lost if, for in¬ laid down by the Supreme Court White > & Company, stance, the steel industry or the with;, his larger competitors by Wahler, by. reading into the law the word automobile industry or any of the /'unreasonable" so that the law .units !b,y -being able to get to¬ being able to work with his fellow Dwight -Building, • after . serving many thousands; ofv industries we small competitors, we. are wasting with the U.- S. Army. Prior to really now.reads "every unreason¬ gether with other similar units. "1 have -cannot work "together to able contract,!. combination and a great ; deal of the taxpayers' joining the armed forces he was a solve f the 0 labor ; We have been and are going to problem on; an conspiracy in restraint of trade is pour out; billions of dollars to help money. vice-president of the firm, .s;' industry-wide basis. Certainly, it .•',%!'*" hereby declared unlawful." The is far more,important to have full fact is; as pointed out then, that employment and a constantly ris¬ wherever and whenever we have ing standard of living with se^ faced an emergency, when people This advertisement is not, and is under no circumstances to he construed as, an offering of the curtiy and industrial peace for all have to work together, the Antiv/ 1 following securities for sale or as a solicitation of an offer to buy any of such / concerned than it is to have any Trust Laws were put in cold stor¬ securities. The offering is made only by the Prospectus. other singleJjM4|O*kC0uld think age. These laws put pressure on peace can ' r • of. A:vh;eaiT^W<jnfSl|pi* in economy can together. are The working Anti-Trust constant threat and a the only, be created by all parts of the economy Laws are con¬ stantly-standing in the way of that being done. Therefore, in¬ vestments are not only jeopard¬ ized often are not made of' fear Without investment,' employment as •' but very because not created. ' Of prosecution. . Another great problem is the fact that the stockholders' money is wasted by endless, needless harassment tuted and litigation insti¬ by the; Government not for the purpose of really certain American businesses so that they are restrained from ing things which are in the inter¬ ests of the American The people. fact is that today more than the ever American people must work The labor unions must together. work with management. great field here for working to¬ gether to solve many problems, especially through a whole indus¬ try. Most people in business, un¬ circumstances, have objection to raising wages it as too uniformly is done. have to every ope of millions of dollars in Electric Company and others which, if successful,-might mean that lamps would cost the Ameri¬ money are can time and being spent by Ameri¬ business to carry on litigation never be successfully which could carried through the courts but which have been instituted by the Government to force the com¬ way. 'v /•'•V recently suit against the General Government brought a has public considerably more than they do at present. The fact is that cost of the has lamps in this country reduced been from 60% the ginal producers could be put back instance, there is now a trial going on in the motion pic¬ per Share) Price $25.00 per Share (Plus accrued dividends from December 1, 1945) Copies of the Prospectus may be obtained from such of the undersigned only as are registered dealers in securities in this State. Paul H. Davis & Co. / in the la^t 20 years. The Government is suing so that mar¬ into in business money to at the not only a American Watling, Lerchen & Co. First of Michigan Corporation to 90% For (Par Value $25.00 can panies to choose the easiest way by compromising, even if it hurts stockholders. , his go own The 5% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock are big, too varied and too diver¬ sified Woodall Industries, no long as -We proving any issue but because it make good political reading. Hundreds great $2,500,000 There is a der certain " V; -W": do¬ cost pro¬ Hornblower 8c Weeks A. C. Allyn and Company Incorporated THE 3154 remain always Interest Rates and ! Inflation "Cart The (Continued from first page) Therapy of discount rates—the As far as the actual policy is rates applied by central banks—recommended itself as the intended to be an anti-inflation¬ classical and traditional policy of ary policy, it concentrates ex¬ central* banking developed for clusively on the fight against the more than a century. It appeared symptoms rather than the causes Raising also logical the as consequence business monetary the of of inflation. cycle to reduce It does not endeavor the quantity of money prevailing at that time. spendable at the markets, but to theorists, and especially the followers of the eminent Swedish prevent the natural effects of the enlarged money quantity—the theories The economist, Knut Wicksell, were the opinion that in order to stabilize the price level, one had of only to regulate the quantity* of and, that this, in turn, could and should be achieved by money; Low interest of low interest rates. interest r indirect effects the entirely gets Before the Horse" rates, enduring over a period of time, raise the price of» common stocks whose earnings seem reasonably assured because V- the public capitalizes these earnings at a much higher price-earning ratio, This means that venture capital between; , a strong - spread short- and long-term analysis is not just of theo¬ So the Treas¬ retical but of highly practical .im¬ could easily pay no interest portance, for it leads to the per-; at all, or relatively low interest,, ception of what can be reasonably to those who wanted to retain for reasons of liquidity bonds pay¬ expected as results of this policy able at sight—and who, now, —if. one cannot change a policy , paradoxically receive interest equal 'to those on long-term bonds; whereas, on equally liquid bank accounts, no interest is re¬ from authorities issuing expensive. the money more Today, the recommendation or restric¬ discount and interest policy the mere mentioning of a tive of checking inflation, means a as to the overwhelming majority of economists as well as businessmen in this country as almost ludicrous. This shows the extent to which ideas on this sub¬ appears ject have changed and traditional views been replaced by what in opinion of this author must be a -general confusion of the called minds. of Diagnosis Uncertainty confusion This "'•V.'" 'W; •. begins • at even when the exis¬ tence of inflation is questioned. Besides much inflation talk, there earlier an stage deflation talk around; of the divergence much is and the danger opinion is that it seems to be of is OPA The Government. the in pronounced especially de¬ cidedly inflation-minded, whereas the Secretary of Commerce has his fear frequently- expressed deflation. Incidentally, this inflation the Government the of certainty deflation and supplies troversy confirmation conclusive of in con¬ and early an of un¬ those skeptics who have doubted Gov¬ ernmental ability to stabilize the business cycle. It is that clear Governmental business cycle sta¬ bilization is under the assumption: that private en¬ terprise can err in regards to the future development and there¬ fore be prone to indulge in overoptimism or over-)pessimism, whereas only possible that Government the > excessive the counteract must expectation of private enterprise has certain vision clear and a the future. of the first occasion when cycle stabilization is put to a practical test, it turns Now, on out that Government officials are subject to ties in Government their base known so on well as that fear inflation business in beings stabilize the not be relied upon. can Those as human their ability to cycle uncertain¬ and errors other like that diagnosis as well is the presence of a huge demand and purchasing power. This author considers this diagnosis basically correct. pent-up Pent-up purchasing power is nothing else than deferred infla¬ tion, the history of almost all as post-war periods proves, who Those deflation- are minded base their opinion on the fear that lowering of the "bring- home pay" would create a deficit in effective demand. This argu¬ is ment of course in many cases political rather than scientific. It is presented to show the neces¬ sity for raising hourly wages. Where it is seriously meant as an economic argument, it does not into take mand years of of sion account pent that the de¬ through many the credit expan¬ up war, the rehabilitation and reconstruction period ahead, and the usual waste of post-war years will add so much purchasing to the wages of the produc¬ period itself that a deficit in latter, even if it really oc¬ power tion the be compensated over-compensated. curred, and would standard was called discount tral the value of the preserved, the sopolicy of the cen¬ Nobody banks. thinks any of reducing the quantity money when the coverage of longer of bills by gold deteriorates. reduces either the coverage One Price experience in colo¬ interest rates threaten to lead to inflation, the relief of business enterprises has shown as be ' other through sought especially through a rea¬ tax and wage policy.; means; sonable re¬ quirements or devaluates.; The concept of a totally elastic cur¬ rency seems to have replaced the concept of the currency of which the quantity is restricted in one way or the other. It is natural that in a world in which the supr Fiscal Policy Versus Economic ■ policy'.' / .Cy / The Stability by nial countries. If low to low that appeal immediate prepared - . consequence of policy must be a huge and un¬ precedented piling up of spend¬ able purchasing power in ;the economy through money and credit creation. For there will be practically unlimited and *un-; supply of money and credit! facing a huge demand. Governmental expenditures ? fi¬ a defended deficits will go; on a smaller scale than war. Furthermore, private enterprise and the Gov¬ ernment will proceed with huge nanced by although on the during , this in investments well abroad. as lieve interest* from the with Wage country; They as will -be¬ these all K. a; of wealth. funds are already j in¬ they can actually be invested anew arises exclusively from the possibility that can of these funds owner every dispose of them without, in¬ losses. This again, is caused by the preparedness of,the Federal Reserve System to re¬ discount Government securities at curring negligible rates. forms that terest The rate of/in¬ when demand supply for credit are forced to balance without the additional and -the for¬ called in theory the "nat¬ through obtainable money Federal Reserve System was merly rate." There is* no "natural interest interest doubt the that high at this juncture. allow it to become the illusion of :the rate" is very If would one effective abundance of the policy of ceiling wages. Such a combination of policies was pur¬ sued and to a certain degree It has tremendous In reality, that fact The firms. would now the or logically during the war. rpake indirectly, in loans to the Government and to directly vested ural policy of ceiling prices must be combined with the of illusion the abundance policy of fighting inflation with price ceilings is, however, not consistently carried through. achieved to because Government securities will create The The entitled are investments huge amounts of idle funds ijeldt in the form of cash or short-term Instability /■..•• • they these '• - currency be , . gold least at consequences. the ceived. , making the supply of credits its The - — should one for in and too strongly Nevertheless, are toit. / ury /Needless to say, the return to orthodox financing methods practically unlim-. would also result in serious diffi¬ ited amounts, at least by the big culties for banks and other Gov¬ raising of the price level. It is corporations of the country. Thus, ernment bond-holding institu¬ generally not realized what fun¬ during the boom of the Twenties damental changes from previous tions.; The long-term bonds they in the period before the crash, an hold would of course depreciate policies this implies. The laws of extremely high price-earning the market which formerly alone ratio at that time - created with^ higher interest rates, creat¬ prevented price-raising are re¬ ing catastrophical losses which through crazy earning expecta¬ would have to be taken over by placed by criminal laws which tions—allowed industry to obtain the Government in order to pre¬ penalize the raising of prices ac¬ any amount of money •/* which, vent socially and politically un¬ cording to the market laws. The smooth and inexpensive price- spent in one way or the other, bearable bankruptcies. /The re¬ strengthened the forces of infla¬ turn to a sound way of financing fixing by means of the market is tion. " is always as costly and difficult as replaced by a very expensive and complicated price-fixing and laW- High Interest Rates Not : Neces¬ the departure from this way seems enforcing organization. This, in¬ easy and advantageous. sarily Coincident with , cidentally, creates the very un¬ A.-Unemployment Summing up, we may say: the welcome phenomenon of hundreds inflation concen¬ The aversion to raising interest fight/against of thousands of businessmen be¬ trates indeed on the suppression rates has of course its root also coming offenders of the law who of the results rather than the in the widely-held theory that otherwise would have never come causes of money abundance. ; The easy money means high employ¬ in contact with the courts; this, OPA and the law enforcement ment and tight money means low because of the paradoxical situa¬ employment. If this theory were agencies have taken over respon¬ tion in which they are placed 'by sibilities that formerly were .the correct, high employment could a system of prices fixed contrary' Federal Reserve Board's. In¬ in times of a strong demand for to the laws of the market. credits only be achieved at the crease of the quantity of money The reasons why neither the is tolerated but its natural effect price of inflation. However, the OPA nor any other Governmental theory is basically wrong. If the on prices in accordance with the agency has not even considered supply of credit is kept scarce, it "Quantity Theory of Money"' is fighting inflation by monetary is true, 1 enterprises requiring prevented. ,; One is reminded that measures are manifold: ;,V:y7' large amounts " of capital are during the high days of the Nazis, First of all, it seems to be en¬ German President of the doomed. But enterprises requir¬ the tirely forgotten that it is not only; ing lesser amounts of capital but Reichsbank boasted that the Na¬ tional Socialists had won a victory possible but natural for a cur¬ more labor can carry on provided even over the Quantity Theory. rency to be held scarce in order only that too high wages do not to uphold its purchasing power render these enterprises unprofit¬ But it turned out to be a "Pyrrhic over goods. Forgotten seems to able. >•; Full employment can be victory." be the method whereby under the achieved at any interest rate level of issuance rates opinion public committed our term interest rates; be raised through the new stocks at cheap can Thursday, December 27, 1945 CHRONICLE; COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL capital markets disappear. Nobody con¬ "idle" when he -re¬ siders funds ceives high interest on Low interest rates them. f;,Vv; are—at least replaced with a policy been partly—responsible for the boom but not wages: on the stock-market and could be determined by; be responsible for additional collective bargaining according to strong price advances—especially ply of money is thus considered as terms. That the Government is,* the ability of the individual in¬ if the interest-lowering is carried unlimited/ the feeling for the ne¬ so to speak, creditor and debtor dustry to absorb higher wages still further in accordance With cessity of curtailment of the in one person, because it fixes the through increasing productivity. the British precedent. These ad¬ been mentioned vances would not represent. an rediscount rates •« of the Federal It has already quantity of money is weakened. Furthermore, fear that the low Reserve System, leads indeed, to that a wage-boosting policy is Un¬ inflationary boom in the ordinary where/ people anticipate interest rates of the Federal Re¬ large savings, for the Government necessary in so far as it is meant sense serve Banks could lead to infla¬ and thus for the tax payer. How¬ as an anti-deflation device. For higher earnings through inflated tion has been abated by the expe¬ ever, the artificially low interest whatever reasons it is advocated, asset values./: It would be a -re¬ securities it is obvious that it intermingles capitalization boom, caused by the riences of the Thirties, when the rates on Government in a peculiar way with the other¬ fact that earnings are capitalized supply of extremely cheap money create an artificial abundance on All wise anti-inflationary policy of by ever lower interest rates.; It did not lead to an inflationary the entire credit market. It is true that creates a situation in which ven¬ other creditors—private as well the Government. but rather to a deflationary situa¬ institutional—have to revise it will not create inflation, at ture capital too can be obtained tion. One forgets, however, that as not directly; however, 1 if abundantlv and at low interest their interest claims downwards* least this was the result of the abnor¬ This again means,/ of mally low investment demand in order not to be excluded from wages are no longer—as in a free rates. created by various, especially po¬ a market where they are in com¬ labor market—fixed according to course, that dormant purchasing the productivity of the marginal power is transferred into actual litical, factors of that time. To¬ petition with the cheap money day, expectation of unlimited coming directly or indirectly from but of the intermarginal enter¬ inflationary purchasing power. / prise, this must obviously lead to markets due to pent-up demand the Federal Reserve Banks. Frustrated Inflation : ; Without wanting to argue a stoppage of the former^ For, if must create a very strong require¬ In the ordinary course of events in the large enterprises, who de¬ whether fiscal considerations ment for money through with¬ high profits " from gigantic this would mean strong and gen¬ drawals of bank deposits and re¬ should be taken at all into ac¬ rive eral advances of all prices of quests for new credits from the count when economic policy is turnover, labor is entitled to share these profits then workers will goods and services. However, as side of business—not mentioning discussed, it may incidentally be mentioned above, such general the demand from the side of the pointed out that the structure of just leave the smaller enterprises and join the larger and largest price advances have been and will the war debt would have to be still entirely unbalanced Govern¬ ones. This must lead, at first, to be forbidden. This is why many mental budget. In such a situa¬ changed before one could return to an orthodix interest policy. unemployment and thus even to people believe that all the accu¬ tion on the demand side, low in¬ whereas could inflation, they too, enable Treasury to finance and refinance the Governmental debt on cheap seems to be a inclination to deny the practically what one used to call a floating debt. Therefore, in case of a marked rise in interest of interest prevent inflation. there higher interest rates on the grounds of an alleged inelasticity of the demand for credits. One argues that the in¬ terest rate is nowadays of such effectiveness of the cost cal¬ that even a very high rate would not deter demand, other conditions being minor importance in culation of industry favorable. plied derived, is that the debt, es¬ pecially those financed by the Savings Bonds A to G, represent raising Finally, certain offer fact rates create rates terest rates the To this it must be re¬ that this argument—beside being inapplicable in industries requiring vast arf&unts of capital as in the building industry—for- Substantial parts of rates, necessitated for instance by an inflationary boom, billions in presented for bonds would be redemption in cash which would increase the forces of inflation. this Obviously, would have the to be traditional long-term floating debt consolidated in way debt through offering higher interest rates for truly long-term bonds. This might not even mean an additional burden For there would prices fixing to are wages and deflation to later process highly undesirable reasons. are a concen¬ surely do for many prices small that If and as soon as raised under pressure of business so that they too can pay the high of wages their large competitors, then unemployment the concentration process is, and of course, halted, tionary spiral is The but an infla¬ started. Piling Up of Purchasing Power * purchasing power can as long as the OPA remains in power. To this one has to reply: First, there is no doubt mulation of is that tration into a truly of to the Treasury. of be harm, no for certain a called will a work. mitted that time what can "frustrated And as it inflation" be ad¬ must long as it works ;the ensuing prosperity is of an ideal character, inasmuch as it repre¬ sents prosperity without price, in¬ creases—a as one "turn-over prosperity" could call it. Not only does prosperity lack ,the essential prerequisite for the development of the depression, the price infla¬ this In been spite of everything that has said above and could be said further, one has to reckon with a continuation of the prevailing policy. tion; but it would be of a com¬ Government as well as paratively long duration. The pent [THE COMMERCIAL' & Number 4450 Volume 162 In being not price in¬ creases, guarantees effective de¬ mand for goods over a much longer period of time than a pur¬ chasing power that is allowed to up ^purchasing able to power, itself in spend push prides upward. However* this "frus¬ of sort trated inflation" cannot go on for¬ ever—especially in times peace when the psychological and patri¬ otic inhibitions against breaking Veiy High Frequency Space Radio ioi Train Communication (Continued from page 3142) only by trains in the immediate time when the need for communi vicinity, and does not interfere cation may well be urgent. ; with normal operations in other These disadvantages do not ex¬ ist with VHF space radio. Com¬ parts of the division. The advantages of a light, port¬ with maintained wherever the engine happens to be located, whether delivering a string of empties to an isolated spur in the stockyards, or picking up a load from a coal mine five the price ceiling no longer work -strongly as during the war. ceilings can never be ap¬ plied universally. There are al¬ ways realms—for1 example, the as Price The tain services—which will not and practically; cannot be controlled. On these markets the prices will which com¬ be maintained be¬ over can tween But where price rises are even avoided train the economy will prove increasingly ^ vulnerable. Wages are. under the permanent upward pressure. The ensuing wage in¬ creases—where they do not lead . , to due to the mand enormous and It is in appeared practical using the low sive radio a high strung system, in which price-cost relationship remains tolerable only so long as every¬ thing works full blast and at high speed. As soon as the,. slightest slackening in demand will set in, many enterprises will have to shut down because of the losses, they very the usefulness of the system, will initiating cause, Cycle • . as Usual Our conclusion is: since great a part of a 100-mile division one a derailment or contra-stjabilizing. There will develop a situation that will embrace, if not all, so many of the features within safe limits at ing monetary policy—and- inci¬ dentally the prevailing fiscal pol¬ not to have been contra-cyclical, but pro-cyc¬ prove lical and that usually called are unhealthy, * whereas the healthy aspects of the boom—increasing employment—may not necessarily be present. For it could be that labor during this boom would tend to be progressively replaced by labor saving capital investment if the policy is continued of making the use of labor more expensive and of making the use of capital cheaper. .: Vy Furthermore, there is bound to develop an additional T upward movement for it is * on the the stock "victory of over train-to-train the warning Government if but VHF or over the ment.' Interest not are be terminal proposed system requires al¬ twice the equipment neces¬ to the noted. ■ against depression when the forces of this boom have exhausted them¬ terest selves. to worldwide inflation. If to wants one that such ner in which prevent depression, flationary a de¬ that these will enough, they at agree be radio, the railroad another even¬ same on locomotives cabooses must one prevent an inflationary boom. one wants tionary to boom, inflation' in prevent one every an 'must prevent form. wants to prevent of strong If infla¬ If one inflation in times need for credits—by the inevitably lead tion. much praised, in a of a mobile carrier installa¬ The carrier cost of installation, a fixed on point the other of of However, because of the prepon¬ derance of mobile installatiops, not necessitated it. would In view of the prevailing state of mind, it is very and it is to be feared, history will repeat itself. probable, that have systems, using VHF space radio, will pro¬ vide speedier, more efficient and economical more railroad opera¬ With the increased compe¬ tions. tition from trucks and airlines, we hand, a the before, dent that great a equipping some and the of all are confi¬ railroads of the many To the ' ' Holders This is tems employing we the will are majority of use inductive carrier, more even confident that installations new VHF space radio. not an Offer of Republic of Colombia Bonds 6% External Sinking Fund Gold DaLed July 1, 1927, Due January 1, 6% External Sinking Fund Gold Dated v 1961, is somewhat less than that radio station, largely because cost of the antenna mast. and division cost with of radio equipping is below that for carrier. still a well 1 ■ designated in the Offer and Certificates External Sinking October 1, 1970. for 3% Fund Dollar Bonds, Due NOTICE OF EXTENSION The time within the above which the Offer, dated June 5, Bonds and the appurtenant Colombia, 3% coupons 1941, to exchange for Republic of External Sinking Fund Dollar Bonds, due 1970, may be accepted is to December 31, 1946. The period for October h hereby extended from December 31, 1945 exchange of Convertible Certificates for 3% Ex¬ Fund Dollar Bonds of the Republic due October 1, multiples of $500 principal amount has also been extended December 31, 1945 to December 31, 1946. ternal Sinking 1970 in from be obtained upon application to the National City Bank of New York, Corporate Department, 20 Exchange Place, New York 15, N. Y. Copies of the Offer may Exchange Agent, The Trust the overall Bonds of 1928 April 1, 1928, Due October 1, 1961, the appurtenant coupons Convertible REPUBLIC OF COLOMBIA By Carlos SanZ Ambassador December 21, 1945 ad¬ vantages of VHF radio over sys¬ be detached from yard opera- ~ with communica¬ train view .In we of than coming year will start towards the of form tions. are today importance ever see benefits these' that feel greater freight qr passenger service, or as easy budgetary situation communication Train whether of the inductive type or all types, on the dispatcher's the inductive carrier system also in those countries where the heeded. to help¬ tions to work temporarily as on the main line. or different but no¬ Inflation ensued, where Louis ers of in and & the removal St. least « would was take basic equipment is used the in same This is not quite location. with cost cle can MO.—Bitting office N. C., and the with¬ drawal from the partnership of Randolph H. Dyer. William C. Bitting, Jr., and Bern Norpoth will be resident partners in North Carolina. advantage Of the operating econ¬ omies possible through the use of train communication. In the Ben¬ dix VHF Railroad Radio System, frequency used by a railroad in one part of the country can also be used by the natural in¬ The arti¬ railroad a their Biltmore, or integrated an LOUIS, Co. have announced of compromise system is desirable. We feel system using VHF space radio alone is the most logical and most economical man¬ any necessary can est rate far below rate that not feel do $1,622,816." Bitting in North Carolina ST. We at Bendix . , amounted to ; "' "■ j previous mortgages. Construction, repair and miscellaneous loans units and is still subject disabilities previously for spare of | $1,442,712 for the refinancing of for a mobile installation, re¬ quires twice as many precious frequencies, increases the need will quantity theory" (on the markets seems to be assumed nowadays a because of its greater range and for goods and services) that more vicious invention of creditors., particularly because of its discon¬ and more unspendable funds ac¬ They have the function of ration¬ certing habit of being picked up cumulate, of which at least parts ing a scarce supply of credit among by electric, power lines, or by are never converted into Govern¬ those who need it. As long as one paralleling telegraph or telephone ment securities but seek to be ex¬ wants to avoid the step incompat¬ lines, and suddenly showing up changed into stocks of private cor¬ ible with a free economy, of hav¬ 50 or '60 miles away on quite a porations. y ing credits rationed through the different railroad, or possibly in¬ But after this boom will follow Government, a revision of inter¬ terfering with other communica¬ a collapse of serious proportions est fates on the upward side re¬ tions services, as soon as a slackening of demand mains the only method of keeping i In the matter of cost, VHF radio sets in or is feared. For with this inflation in check.. * ' ' ' again shows up more favorably. slackening of demand the cost- ■;,.'At the end of World War I, the Because of its lower power re¬ price relation and therewith the above mentioned economist, Knut quirements and simpler installa¬ profit situation will deteriorate Wicksell, wrote an article "Put tion, the cost of equipping a loco¬ rapidly. Nor will the continuation the Discount Rates Up," in which motive or caboose with radio will of easy money give any protection he warned, that maintaining inter¬ average about - two-thirds of the < or for yard and operations, and the for¬ mer, because of its greater range, for dispatcher to train. It is not necessary for me to point out that engine-to-caboose most increase an or usual year-end and Christmas re¬ quirements of members as well as the Victory Loan Drive. "Estimated mortgage loans made by the associations during Novem¬ ber, 1945, showed an increase of 58%, or $4,404,179, over Novem¬ ber, 1944, when total loans amounted to $7,652,261.. Of the $12,056,440 loans granted during November, 1945, $8,990,912 were for the purchase of homes and who hybrid system using both carrier and space radio, the latter for in Because of the controlled range it as could men¬ manufacturer one formerly manufactured only car¬ rier equipment for train com¬ munication, now is proposing a While I doubt if any railroad man of VHF again rates few I railroads a tually and the carrier that perhaps showed $1,698,956, representing gain for any month during 1945. Mr. Woodard stated that this slowing up in savings during November was due to the inductive pure should I carrier. tion and 1945, bringing to $700,253,866 on Savings during No¬ the lowest net comparison of purh a radio space provide all railroads with enough channels for the present, and there is some room for expansion. one during the course of history—one will face disappoint¬ The t v/ave-lengths inductive 0.3%, of up 30th. vember em¬ increased $91,315,227, during the months . received has been held without serious in¬ railroads Nov. yard-master's office. The re¬ quirements for spare equipments necessary channels to permit its is thus greatly reduced, and the universal use. :. ;i.:- problems of maintenance are sim¬ : The Federal Communications plified. But further than this, the Commission has set aside 30 chan¬ use of standard equipment in all nels exclusively for VHF railroad locomotives permits complete radio, and has made provision for flexibility of use of the engine operating in other bands on a itself. Engines normally used in sharing basis with other services. humping operation can be trans¬ These frequencies are being allo¬ ferred to terminal ;or transfer cated among the various railroads switching without any change in in accordance with a plan worked communication equipment. En¬ out by the Association of Ameri¬ gines can be used interchangeably can Railroads on a territorial basis. believes that this method is antiquated and can be replaced by other devices—an opinion which is not at all so original as their ^ originators be¬ over of squeezed in, ;- there is simply not enough to accommodate the by private indus¬ try—one must make money scarce. And, confined to associations or 11 total assets room to eight is use while miles, because of the low antenna heights, un¬ operates are already . crowded by other communications services, and Since of range radio is only about four lieve markets, peculiarity aforementioned the is sufficient to permit of carrier by more than a lack the frequencies terference. emergency stop, once. of induc¬ The most serious where ,, icy, too—will use operating few other the cpnductor or engineer can throw a switch which will cause the transmitter to broadcast automatically a series of high-pitched notes to warn other radio-equipped trains in the vicin¬ ity of the possibility of danger and permit them to bring their speed with the doubtedly the VHF radio makes practicable the use of the Bendix "Slowtone," which is an emergency warning device that can be used with this system. In the event of The prevail¬ problems operational are looked. of range however, radio, tive carrier which cannot be over¬ or controlled VHF system any the .17.5%, first ploying inductive carrier. So far my remarks have been sary Aside from the technical advan¬ with than New the of "Savings by the general public in more radio problem, while the higher primary power i needed for the operation of the inductive carrier system often requires additional generating capacity. V connected ' This low and tal Vice-President ment says: be this there six conversations can be taking place at the same time in different sections of the line without interference. :• \ * k hand, five antennas small tages : of engineer and conductor tween in division train communication provided for a given capi¬ investment by the use of VHF train, frequencies the equipment is much bulkier and often presents a real 1 prevent the use of the circuit by trains anywhere along the line. With VHF radio,' on the other the be one this on can space can Exactly as at the onset of every depression, the boom will collapse through the losses that the marginal enterprises begin to undergo; only that, this time not the decline of prices, but the de¬ turn-over becomes engines system, while with VHF radio these units are not only practical tremely simple installations, with attendant economies. At the lower party-line, and a conversation be¬ suffer. of circuit the 30 and frequencies and high powers re¬ quired by the inductive carrier The tive York State League of Savings and Loan Associations. The announce¬ with the considerably less expen¬ power requirements which char¬ acterize VHF radio make for ex¬ ranges would equipment. In yard and terminal operations, in end-to-end and in wayside to : com¬ up to 100 miles by the use of con¬ siderably higher power. ^ ' • The greater range of the induc¬ tive system, which at first glance might seem to be advantageous, actually results in a reduction in the cline . claims manufacturer One turnover pent up de¬ distribution. is munication being obtained at dis¬ of from 40 up to 60 miles. cheapens and alleviates pro¬ duction .with " intelligible tances bearable I unemployment—are only because the huge carrier greater, 000 mark on Nov. 30, 1945, accord¬ ing to estimated figures issued on Dec. 21 by Z. V. Woodard, Execu¬ extra more than offset by the savings equipping perhaps 20 cabooses be walkie-talkie for train crews while on the ground is apparent. So far, at least, no such device has locomotives without interference. considerably ductive these of cost fixed installations, however, a ^communication A using ' in¬ The total assets of the 243 sav¬ ings and loan associations in New York State reached the $700,000,- radio additional f -';v VHF Associations Assets trains with the main line, while on perhaps four or five wayside stations would be required for the same service. The . 1. verses. communication vide using slow but decisive increase. a N. Y. Savs.-Loan operate with only two anywhere able v 100 miles long, a it might be possible carrier stations along the wayside to pro¬ but in production. ' : fixed station and a train ? A further advantage of VHF VHF radio is relatively radio from the technical iside is short, and depends almost entirely The resulting distortion of price that at these high frequencies on the height of the antenna and wages—the margin develop¬ above the surrounding terrain. there is virtually no objectionable ing between those that are con¬ interference from atmospheric For reasonable antenna heights in trolled and uncontrolled — will noises or man-made static. The more or less flat country this range finally result in just that general heaviest thunderstorm does not will vary from 10 to perhaps 20 raising of the price and wage level disturb the Clear transmission of or 25 miles.v. This range can of which one wished, to avoid; and course be extended ? by locating messages and equipments Can be which will render the economy the antenna mast on a hill or tall operated directly under high volt¬ vulnerable and exposed % to •; rebuilding; The range of point-to- age electric wires or on electric show .. range munication to be can miles from the main line. market for used furniture or cer¬ division a for example, munication 3155 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Extraordinary de and SantAmaru Plenipotentiary of the Republic of Colombia to the United States of America. J. '■ THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3156 under the Tlte Menace of and economists writers (Continued from first page) been pointed out. But, the Declining Profits have ment Thursday, December 27,1945 plan of maxim a govern¬ . , stand¬ The portion of labor in the nation¬ al dividend tained should be main¬ and increased, and profits should not be obtained at the expense of labor. No economy could long endure and make progress under such a system. But when wages and other production . costs, such taxes and as warranted restraints mentation, un¬ of regi¬ artificially boosted so as to steadily lower profit margins, labor, capital and management alike are • will suffer. The boat in which all are travelling will be sub¬ merged. One cannot exist '-'A without the others. A century or more economists / and . y ago, statesmen preached the necessity of a high profit margin as a means of promoting and maintaining national prosperity. The av¬ of profit or return capital investment was re¬ erage rate on garded as a standard of pros¬ perity, which could be used to ascertain the comparative state of different countries of the ent or same country at differ¬ periods. True, many, like Sir William Sir Robert Petty and the late Giffen, stressed the presence of physical wealth and natural resources as a comparative gauge of economic power and prosper¬ ity, and neglected the import¬ of ance the productivity effectiveness and of becomes more mature there is natural that falling not long endure. prosperity ' can Netherlands" that Holland when cease a continuation of accumulate under to a enterprise systemwhen profits approach the ; our economic life could not vanishing point.. be operated profitably by pri¬ Let Mr. Wallace and others vate enterprise. It is not the of his ilk, who offer the politi- : bait of problem of monopoly control cal "Sixty-Million . or of concentration of capital Jobs", and "Jobs for A11", re¬ which is the main motivating gardless of costs and taxes, agent toward adherence to take heed of these words. Or private . of systems with a he then the twenty-year record means of as judging J what on stock money a its need Preferred, last remaining issue of politi¬ welfare? that company on the Big Board, ; The answer appears plain! is purely* a liquidating issue, the in Great Britain because the Briefly, everything should be property having been sold to the Labor Party has come into done within the limits of City of San Francisco some time ' power with a program of equity and physical possibili¬ ago. "nationalization" mayun¬ ty and under a condition of Bache & Co. Reopen doubtedly be ascribed to the democratic opportunity to feeling that inasmuch as pri¬ foster the ; profit incentive. Miami Beach Office vate operation of industry has This does not mean that en¬ Bache & Co., the New York become unprofitable, govern¬ trepreneurs - and speculators Stock Exchange firm, * has reopened its Miami Beach office at ment operation is inevitable. are to be given a free hand. 2469 Collins Avenue. Ben PtichIt is not surprising, therefore, It does not mean a return to ard is manager'. Also associated that the so called "middle complete •'laissez-faire''. But with the new office is Sam V. -'V class" and certain capitalistic it does mean a modification of Silsbee. The previous Miami Beach of¬ groups are found in the ranks restraints, regulations, regi¬ fice of the firm was closed in 1942 of the Labor Party. The same mentation and all the other when the Army Air Forces recondition prevails, to a con¬ handicaps to enterprise and quired the space for training pur"' :,' " V'-'V ; siderable extent, in France, risk that have come out of the poses. ■ where nationalization of lead¬ war, or have resulted from Graefe & Co. Resumes ing industries is the inevita¬ political action taken under DES MOINES, IOWA —Harry ble outcome : of, progressive the false theory that a par¬ B. Graefe is resuming the investprofitless private capitalist ticular group in the economic ment business 'after his release operations. This has been in¬ processes, by which the com¬ from service in the U. S. Army. there has been < i so little cal and economic disturbance because the rate of prof¬ to be. In contrast with the it was declining and was tend¬ earnings record of these corpo- dicated since the " last war, ing to a level which did not rations since 1925, Mr. Wilson when several of the railroads munity lives and supplies its induce men to engage in com¬ cited a "quite different pic¬ of France reverted to Govern¬ wants, should be unduly fav¬ merce or ored at the expense of the industry at home, ture in the last three years," ment operation, because they but rather to seek investment which showed other groups. that average could not ber profitably op¬ "elsewhere. Similarly, British earnings of the group of com¬ erated by stockholders even It has long been an economic Permanent % come .. passing the peak of its great¬ earnings ness, « " J , rates was * only i capital % accumulation and improve- ment in the productiveness of its use. Certainly, capital will from • ' the 1 Uliliiy Securities 20-year earn-i profit in .any country, what¬ ings record of 1,300 leading ever the cause, impeded or manufacturing ; corporations, reduced capital accumulation Mr. Wilson said that their and was an augury of indus¬ earnings on money invested trial and commercial decay. in them averaged 8.2%, com¬ This was pointed out as eariy pared with 7.7% earned in as 1675 by Sir William Tem¬ the same period hy the tele¬ ple, in his "Observations on phone company. He offered states over the last century have shown an almost steady > tendency for the profit to decline. > But decline compared with the this tendency is offset, by amount of capital invested in more steadiness, and certain¬ them. And this is undoubted¬ ty of profit, and, with an ex¬ ly time of earnings and invest¬ pansion of total profits that ment in other leading British collectivism.. It is more a case we will be next on line to an accompanies the growth of industries, notably coal and of progressive decline in prof¬ enforced adoption of socialism capital. Thus, it is not sur¬ textiles. The situation has not its, arising in part from com¬ under a static or decadent prising that the average turn¬ gone without notice by Brit¬ over profits of department ish statisticians and econo¬ petition itself, and in part, economy. from public policies, which stores is less than 3% or that mists. It is just as much re¬ restrict and diminish profits, the United States Steel Cor¬ sponsible for the economic that this transition which is Public poration maintains its profit plight of the United Kingdom (Continued from page 3134) now taKing place in many 11 over-counter, reported earnings rates have been' progressively as the set-backs due to wars last parts of the world is year of $2.96 a share (interim regarded declining to the vanishing and loss of foreign investment as non-revolutionary or as a figures not available). A divi¬ point. The railroads have holdings.. The complaint that dend of $1.60 was paid Jan. 3,. natural metamorphosis. been showing this tendency British 1944, and $1.20 Jan. 2, 1945; the capitalists have not for more than a generation, been as alert as Americans next payment has not been indi¬ What Policy Shall % cated. "< and only recently, Leroy A. and Germans in We Pursue? introducing Cincinnati Street R a J1 w a y Wilson, Vice President of the modern equipment and effi¬ If all this is true, what is (around 15V2 over-counter) * has American Telephone and Tel¬ cient methods to make her in¬ n-id $1 40 in the past two years,: the outlook in our own econ¬ giving the stock a yield around egraph Company, after a com¬ dustries more productive may omy? Must we inevitably {#%. earnings in 1944 were $1.54 a pletion of a study of the Sys¬ seem fair, yet, it % should effect the same transition? Or shar£—and in the previous year tem's capital structure and be borne | in mind it hat can we regulate and readjust $1.58>^£ter the bond sinking fund. National City Lines is an ag¬ earnings during the last twen¬ British capitalist s,\\ as our- system of competitive gressively-managed holding com¬ ty-five years, reported that, shrewd intelligent;; beings, private enterprise-and free pany controlling a number of bus whereas the earnings on stock have sensed the trend of economy, so as to continue to lines in separate local systems in 1920-1926 was 9.5%, it has declining gains in their capi¬ progress along the lines that over a wide territory, principally fallen to 7.8%, despite a re¬ in the middle west. ; The stock tal commitments at home and have, in a period of a few offers a fair dividend duction in relative fixed yield and preferred not to risk funds in centuries, made our nation the price-earnings ratio seems charges and a better relation¬ sinking ventures, when capi¬ the richest and most produc¬ reasonable. The company should ship between debt and capital tal could be more lucratively tive on earth? A Must we ac¬ have substantial system tax sav¬ stock. J -;t employed abroad. Thus, the cept the. former New Deal ings, estimated at around $5.38 based on 1944 figures. The com¬ "There is no certainty to¬ old prewar question of a "ma¬ principle of a "mature econ¬ pany has a conservative capital day that the system necessa¬ ture economy" preventing omy", a theory of limited structure and dividends have been rily has to earn as much as it rapid progress and prosperity growth or a nascent deca¬ paid since 1937 (the company was formed in previous year). did in the Twenties in order crops up again! dence, and fortify ourselves Chicago South Shore & South to get the new money it needs A "mature economy" is against it by a policy of stag¬ Bend is an electric interurban for further expansion," Mr. taken to be a static and de¬ nation and statism? railroad Or can reorganized in 1938. At Wilson stated. Looking to the current over-counter the price cadent economy, unless enter¬ we by sane government and around 15 the stock yields about future, he continued,11 "while prisers are given an incentive economic policies, continue to 8% and the dividend appears fair¬ some uncertainty exists, it to maintain its youth and add grow and expand in both ma¬ ly well protected. looks : as though earnings to its growth. The fact that terial power and individual Market Street Railway Prior a •. nized earnings rate of earning power. And there were those, somewhere between those for dike Ricardo and his school, the period when the system ! who held that wage increases sold most of the jstock (9.5%) ; were generally at the expense and the average for the long j of profits, or to state it differ¬ (1920-1944) period (7.8%), ently, a rise in general wages may be sufficient to induce (other things being equal) can equity ; investors to entrust come about only through a more money to it in the fu¬ reduction in the rate of profit. ture." Yet, it had been long recog¬ Comparing ,the telephone ■ .wag e& go together. A policy of "costs up-profits down" can- . wages and better living ards for wage-earners. high paid when business become a burden on the is profitless, and that higher panies rose to 9.9%, while French Treasury. A similar profits inevitably result > in A.T.&T.'s earnings on its situation developed in New higher wages under condi¬ stockholders' .'investment York, in connection with pri¬ tions of competition. High were only 6.7 %. But this can vate operation of city trans¬ profits and high wages should be pointed out from time to time that the rapid progress of America was due mainly to the high return on capital in¬ ascribed to war time op¬ The taking over of looked upon as an augury of vested in business enterprise. erations and cannot be taken portation. the transit system by the mu¬ economic justice and social The comparative average rate as a situation that will exist nicipal authorities was not re¬ progress, while rising wages of profit was therefore con¬ under peacetime conditions. garded as a socialist experi¬ at the expense of profits has sidered as a real barometer ment. It was more in the na¬ Britain's Socialism and been likewise hailed as a gen¬ and an infallible criterion of ture of hn essential expedient i ; eral blessing and a portent of national prosperity, shared in Declining Profits •" to keep the facilities in opera¬ Great Britain continuing and expanding by all classes alike. '< furnishes, tion. The same sort of thing prosperity. : perhaps, the best example of would happen in- the case of : progressive,Profit Rate No one, with a proper sense the effects of progressive de¬ banking and insurance, if ; ; DecMne of justice, would decry the clining rate of return on cap¬ these essential activities in As a nation develops and ital ten den cy investment. British rail toward higher progressive whittling down of entrepreneurs' gains (i. e., profits) has been generally that cannot be guarantee. ' They have . • : ; -■ ■ * • ■ Until * . March, 1946, the firm will be located in the Securities Build- ing and thereafter will be in the > Equitable Building.'' Miv Graefe will the as conduct name his business under of Graefe and Company in the past. Volume THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Number 4450 162 Approves Anglo-U. S. Financial Agreement 1945 re¬ lating to "Restrictions of the Ster¬ ling Area Affecting American Foreign Trade." •; 'Cooperation between the two Governments along the lines laid down is tion of a a prerequisite to restora¬ healthy world economy ternational the the In¬ establishment of the and Bank International for of exchange A gold position of all the proposed credits to foreign countries now under consideration. The 1 : Committee Executive American pro¬ mount to a lien on economic World duction. recov¬ is contingent upon prompt re¬ conversion in the United States ery and the maintenance of our econ¬ at a high level. omy Reiteration plicable is r given to an : in the Final Declaration of the Thir¬ ty-Second National Foreign Trade Convention:'". '• V.';7777"-.7 "During the temporary period of in this coun¬ try, the .Convention recommends short supply of goods industrial American to unnecessary the form modern most Spain 1929, to 1924 From tried of financing." However, it paid a high price:: economic and political disruption. '/,;/yV'7;77: 7, 7; Every country, large and small, knows that any solid and durable raising of the standard of living must be obtained through its own "deficit efforts; knows indus¬ it much trialization hit also boasted however, the sooner will later or deadlock—the narrowness of a 77..77.7.r-: the domestic market. How countries small the shall hold prices and reduce manage to costs, if the small turnover cannot pay for scientific research, nor support a reasonable division of manage¬ labor, nor earn a return for in¬ provision for export of vestments indispensable to effici¬ a fair portion of their output, in ency? order to lay a solid foundation for The Importance of International a permanent foreign trade. In no Trade event, however, should control the ment exports be exercised, under over for the of small countries (full employment on a miserable foreign countries, \which would level or permanent high unem¬ compel the exportation of any ployment) is international trade. commodity or product in quanti¬ Let me quote my country again. ties sufficient to jeopardize the Under an effective multilateral American economy." trade, we would easily be in a The Executive Committee, dur¬ position to pay for $150 and per¬ agreements commitments or American financial for preliminary consideration of "Proposals for Expansion of ing The alternative only chronic poverty other aid to .or cial haps $200 million of American goods per year and we could use them to normalize the employ¬ ment basis of over 400,000 ag¬ ricultural laborers and over 200,000 industrial laborers. The gen¬ eral standard of life would rise the tmd the Employment," referred to in the joint statement Trade World and reached by the United States and the United Kingdom on commer¬ policy, notes with satisfaction incorporation in these pro¬ posals' of most of the elements of the National Foreign Trade Coun¬ cil's Declaration of Principles en¬ by the Thirty-Second Na¬ dorsed tional Foreign Trade Convention. Executive Committee spe¬ The cifically commends the intent of two " Governments the the to submit proposals to representatives of other countries and to the contem¬ plated International Conference on Trade and Employment. It is be¬ that lieved the of agreement world on adoption and implementation policies to break down world trade barriers and to develop a Code of International Commercial Conduct is necessary to insure res¬ toration and 7" 77 trade. . expansion of world ". >;'V;7 would be we an active factor v cannot count on perma¬ we purchases of over ployment < in an 7atmosphere of progressing prosperity — requires the driving force of import sur¬ pluses from rich countries. After the present confused transitory period, where can such surpluses Reserve System Great of The Board of Governors of Federal has trade ,v7v7.\; was multilateral Britain, vivified afraid that many I am people have for¬ this essential fact. From 1939, Great Britain had an unexpired portion of term ending Dec. 31, 1946, according to an an¬ nouncement Dec. 10 of William T. during this same States had an export 1901 to £11.6 sterling; period the United import surplus of $37.5 billions., Dearmont Mound (jhty, Mo., born received at his Degree from the Southeast Missouri State Teachers College, A. B. LL. and his Degree from the Univer¬ Girardeau, Cape B. 1911, of Missouri, Columbia, 1914. He began the practice of law at sity surplus v - complications domestic ? was . of . member of the Missouri Senate imposed the U. S. A. by the economic leadership it has to assume. The tragedy is not that the U. S. A. is very large, very rich and almost self sufficient; it is that U. S. A., upon being and at present the only large country, is almost self rich sufficient. 1929 to 1932.. Since April, 1936, he has been General Coun¬ sel for Trustee, Mr. Dearmont is member of the Board of Trus¬ tees of Westminister College Because the made they sample has been limited applied to may . 7.; 7'77,'7 . V. ■"- -7/ ' . 7. % War ' ■ . 84.3 Life ^ .7 , 7"7,7;. should accept the ,♦ most fo^m of financial generous for except to \ aid, . reconstruction required to urgent and machinery work insurance policies.—--./ 74.2 A savings bank-60.3''' / A checking account 39.8 SECURITIES (STOCKS OR BONDS). 22.3 Pension or saving fund (employer)....—16.8 77 — be agricultural 7' products 7 accepted, even as a When 5,000,000 American jobs would be endangered. America would then have to give up its export illusions and absorb those jobs in the do¬ mestic market 7. or in a "full and business men ment" we do, "full: employ¬ on constantly told that prosperity in America is the basis of economic stability and full em¬ "This half truth ployment abroad. does it the exhaust not does take not care international that lies power been fellow to become a better and more successful investor than his father History is repeating itself just as it did greater scale. All the problems of huge surplus funds in the hands of the public, shortages of goods, reconversion headaches, strikes, unrest, and inflationary potentials, were with us then as they are now. The security dealer cannot halt inflation but he can help to keep people who never knew much about the investment of their savings, from becoming "get rich quick" gamblers overnight. -7/77 ■777'7;;-.77 ..., i:7-., . proved to be 20 years ago. rags..;:>77-"77;771C are investing individuals in the United saving at the rate of almost 25% of their income. to before, regarding these savings now resting in the amount of 60% of the total, in the hands of individuals with in¬ comes of less than $5,000, means two things. First, the small investor must be taken care of properly. He must have good service and sound advice. This time it is up to the securities industry to help the little States have again get tired of them. Santa Claus, after starting off in lux¬ urious apparel, would return in debates Magazine," issue of Dec. 20, 1945. look at this vast backlog of The fact referred short and long, will be a tremen¬ dous failure and America will Cinderella's we at the end of 1944.;, For the last two years too—that the foreign investments, 7: In \t as we look into 1946 and beyond. If further proof huge pent-up purchasing and investing power, Fed¬ eral Reserve statements indicate that liquid assets of individuals in the U. S. rose from $48.4 billion at the end of 1939 to $127.6 billion American knows—as 7 is needed of this , it 5.0' ; ^;777".-,. 77.'" 7 savings. which lies ahead . economists : ahead of us, there should be no doubt in the minds of anyone engaged in the securities business regarding the potential volume of business employment"—fostering inflation. The world, of cuurse, heartily hopes that this will not be the case. It expects that the large American purchases .will keep running the mill of international trade and employment. Otherr wise, 7 4.8 1— no Memorandum of "This Week Over gift. Savings and loan association. Employees credit union Only 7.9% said they had 1 14.3 7 ll.3r.77 (The foregoing information has been taken from the Inter-Office manufactured goods will not and v Thrift account in commercial bank—_—4— 7 Other savings speed industrialization. In 7 some years, most ||of 7 the American a cross-section of New York State the results cannot be '77'. warning behind the gener¬ a reluctance argument; after the last war, only on a vastly . 777. . The second thing that should be apparent, is that there is more before, for well-trained men in the securities business. There is also a definite need for more small retail dealers, and for more assistance and helpfulness on the part of everyone concerned of the pos¬ consequences need than ever with the welfare and the .future of this country, toward small dealers who are now in business. This the existing less. attempts to means American of high Nov. Freight Traffic Off volume The handled of Hytron Radio & Electronics Corp. Common Stock freight Class by traffic, railroads in I November, 1945, measured in ton- Prospectus mileS of revenue freight, amount¬ 50,000,000,000 ton-miles, ac¬ cording to a preliminary estimate based on reports .received from the railroads by the Association on ' request * ♦ * ed to American Railroads. / The of de¬ under November, 1944, was crease 17.7%. ton-miles Revenue \ I • Herrick,Waddell & Co., Inc. 55 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK 5, N. Y. service of performed by Class I railroads in first the eleven months of 1945 6.8% under 1944, and 5% less than the corresponding period two years However, ago. com¬ pared with 1939 the 1945 total slightly more than twice as much. i . _ The rizes following revenue tables eleven 1944 (000 omitted): 1st mos._ of . Growers Arden Farms Co., Fullerton Inc., Com. Pfd. 8C Com. Oil Co., Com. : summa¬ ton-miles months first . Fruit American was for the 1945 and IVagenseller 6 Durst, Inc. Members Los Angeles Stock Exchange 9 Mo. of Oct. Mo. of NOV. at Fulton, and of Lindenwood Col¬ Missouri-Pacific lege at St. Charles, Mo. 1945. of . 'free , al 626 1944 1945 Lines, St. Louis. a from survey, for the Savings Bank Association of the State of New summer — read Cape Girardeau in 1914, and was a A. S. : ; was The world is aware of the tragic Nardin, Chairman of the board of Mr. enor¬ import: surpluses. the ap¬ pointed Russell L. Dearmont as a Class C director of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis for the • its by gotten the St. Louis bank. y:,'T; economic leadership mous * U. 7 strangle the small fellow by cutting mark-ups through coercion and self-sufficiency and intimidation by governmental and semi-governmental bodies such standard of life. American as the SEC and the NASD. It means that the large investment bank¬ $25 million. How shall we pay for depressions have done and can ing firm, the members of the Exchanges, and the larger houses should the balance? I would not insist still do great harm to the world. assist the small retail firms instead of trying to undercut them and on this example if I would not American prosperity, on the con¬ force them out of business. There is a place for the large firm, the know that the world is full of trary, does not necessarily mean medium-sized organization, and the one-man sole proprietorship. (Countries in a similar situation,; 7; prosperity abroad . 77, a discrep¬ They all serve a purpose and a clientele particularly their own. ancy that could not last very long The way it looks from here there is a big job ahead in the securi¬ The Quest for Import Surpluses because prolonged world misery ties business—and plenty of business for all. >: Multilateral trade — insistently would destroy—with or without recommended by the U. S. A. and atomic;; bombs — your splendid everywhere else as the only pos¬ prosperity and with it all our sible means to stabilize world em¬ hopes for a better life. But nent American Under the St. Louis Federal Reserve The 7 . , of failure. to securi¬ corporate be taken as fairly representative of a large portion of the country. The people of New York State were asked: "Do you at present happen to have any money in war bonds? In life insurance policies? ." and so on through a list of nine forms of savings, The percentage answering "yes" to each item was as follows: / ■■.7/7<77, 7.v 7 trade barriers," "freedom of monetary exchanges," etc., etc. The campaign is doomed "lowering sible the economy of the world. in be found? Dearmont In Post at ; a survey the entire U. S.< but "bishops and America priests and all sorts of budget par¬ trade," "multilateral agreements," crats, that ap¬ contained statement :;,7 1 preaches for 7:77V : 77'7;/' (Continued from page 3130) asites. em¬ phasizes, however, that the grant¬ ing of this credit must not be viewed, here or abroad, as tanta¬ to Foreign Reaction to /taerican Full Employment Aims rates. not advocating are of Elmo Roper, who conducts the regular "Fortune" ■7; Re¬ Further study should be given by the Congress of the effect on our ' Bank 1945.) BUSINESSES (We purchase Publications, (Nov. 20th issue of "Marketing Memos") further went on to state: Savings in the hands of those with incomes below $2,000 are estimated at 11 BILLIONS, with the group earning between $2,000 and $5,000 annually having about 48 BILLIONS. (Federal way. the McFadden from here. Here are some of the Reserve Bulletin, November, deposits and currency held by INDIVIDUALS and expanded by almost 70 BILLION dollars as a result of this feel we/, Victory Loan. and governments in the securities markets.) History. That's the way it looks to us ,, reasons result of the last ties, but this huge total of government securities will add its weight to purchasing power and will eventually show up, partially at least, Marketing Opportunity Savings Offer Greatest for Securities Dealers and Salesmen in of York in the developments will have Important bearing on the stabilization Peak the-sale DUTTON; a special these an JOHN By as and Monetary 1 Fund construction and Development. All of . creases Oct. 22, on financing the war and are now more than double the 1941 level. In. addition, holdings by thesd groups of United States Government securities, which may readily be converted into? money, have in¬ creased anradditional 70 billion dollars. There will be. further in¬ Securities Salesman's Corner (Continued from page 3137) of the Council 3157 o % Dec. 534,826,036 556,424,186 *50,000,000 t49,000,000 3.9 63,875,263 21.7 77 SO. SPRING ST. 7 TRINITY 5761 LOS ANGELES 14 Teletype: LA 68 59,554,815 17.7 Market Quotations and Information on all California Securities Tot. 11 mos. 633,826,036 ^Revised estimate. 679,85*.264 6-8, fPreliminary estimate. x* ' FINAjNCIAL^ CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & 3158 ^ : Thursday, December 27, 1945 trainifraveling senger a/fairly •As long on 1908 a company in built ta^?-steapi*i;urbine ago as. 'Scotland to give some advice, not, it would, run I were going (Continued from- page 3137) icajly near. : Distance has a new meaning to us.; A hundred years I; which ■ am something like this: : "We haven't made enough prog* . , the next village was a far trip. We have done amazing It was a journey. Fifty years ago ress/. the next county or the next State things, yes, but let us look upon 'them, only as a beginning, - not were journeys and made a, man a traveler.. Today, all of us, but nearly so stimulating as what: is to come after. Certainly we should especially the* youngsters, think not think there are no more of, Moscow, Shanghai, Cairo, Lon¬ worlds to conquer, Ver^ far from don, Paris, as near at hand. ago underesti¬ mate the revolutionary impact of that point of view. Never before have the people of the world, the Wee cannot af ford' to everyday ordinary of millions people* felt so surely that travel is a normal, natural thing like breathing. Never before have so many people so readily accepted the notion that necessities and luxuries can and s h o u 1 d be brought great distances to the modern consumer. Never before have the world- and the people of the world so readily accepted the notion that millions of tons of it. ,,i ' ■ *;f» v•, • report a conversation conversation which un¬ I have never reported to a ' <// f now SOUl. . of the destined to make history on a Mid-Western rail¬ road. She came slowly and hum¬ lady who was being by horses and humbly bly; slowly because she was because this Every pound was so. into her of material that had gone things can be transported easily, in normal course/ /.///-• -;•••:vr'.-*j making had^been hauled by horses nearly a mile from the nearest Growing Needs for Transportation railroad tracks to the locomotive " It seems clear that we are in a period of a rising standard of liv¬ ing. Men ean produce more goods. The war years have seen an in¬ crease in the nation's population 5%, and the next few years will an even greater addition.. In of see period that lies ahead, more the goods will be consumed per per¬ son, and there will be more peo¬ an increase in transportation/ It all adds up to a bright future for the American railroads. Some of the increased peacetime traffic will go to the trucks, and a small amount of high-value cargo will go to the airlines, but the bulk of this All ' means volume of the railroads The never they ready as are been in any recent dec¬ ade to vie for the patrenage. The with train streamlined fast re chairs,' and the "coachsleeper," which afford the ordi¬ nary passenger a chance for a good night's rest with little in¬ crease in fare, give the railroads new opportunity to compete with clining the automobile and the bus. before the war we had listened- to taunts that the railroads were overbuilt and that about half the mileage should be For years scrapped. We had heard these in¬ so long that even some rail¬ road men were coming to believe them. But between 1941 and 1945 sults it was we ers period of about 60 years, was to undergo the humili¬ ation of being hauled by horses plant over the a distance to the railroad same tracks before she could leap for¬ Once the tracks of the on that She survived one and did it well. not quite Now she but could War, the end of another. see has passed on. After being • us that- in the next ten task ous of her assignments she / Between an younger again to the railroad and locomoFor it industries. tive that: we—all me of utilization, the greater comfort of our pas¬ and and, in general, the senger trains wonderful records that our: rail¬ making, and.the great contribution to the* country's wel¬ roads were with /: listened /////, >; us to seems here this evening,, and the host of young who have not yet come to us the scientific schools—have tempts before us the most exciting of all things—a challenge and an op¬ portunity. It is a. field of great spirit and high tradition. A U. S. sergeant-engineer running a lit¬ the line fro™ Teheran toward the Russian on border, came verv rinse to din¬ ing the true professional feeling a railroad man when he said: time, traditions of the fields and the locomotive and justify a confidence and cockiness. and certain Yet if utes and which irr actual and you may & 1895 in of this the hostler moment in the cab, up her I train, that true built in most firetube /;'■; / But Diesel of this itself place fired, with this rotative speed up to Then tions. are that bine geared axle. indicated horsepower Today have steam locomotives -that horsepower of more we in and- her younger days even turbo-electric locomotives. "Now," she went on, "you have talked vou about improvements the have made and of your doesn't high¬ train record runs> seem to me that you have got so much to brag about,, considering that these records the half a of nearly progress century." , n 1876, from Francisco, Railroad the on to Chicago New York t*m Pe^nsvlvnria Chicago; and to San then North over, Western was in the present year, but test fig¬ the bine-driven-locomotive w,e form an than 400%.. 1,500 increase model was The axle 43,000 The weight maximum locomotive any St. Louis hour. Today, tons and 750 the electric that During senger 1942, we schedules in 44 pas¬ this country running between points from 50 to 202 miles apart at speeds of 70 to 84 miles per hour. Locomotives, steam, electric and Dieseh have all reached or exceeded speeds of available are sneeds that that can are standpoint of sig¬ and curvature air - +r>:/> cof+s means monev. conditioned power A land. efficiency/ is thermal Its only about half, that of the Diesel, but its builders claim it can oper¬ same ate would which crude-oil,, on make its fuel cost about; the same as that of justly / same /■•:./ •■ bej^ond Finally, of the Diesel a power. used to power an elec. all : these ex¬ for with rail the power where the profoundly steam power high cost of fuel makes than pierr»xr e-f engine » it is m this hau^e^s a&rrt it fvpe will of used in transportation jmd in all forms of industrv. be^an j a^d j t" * reciprocating they eventualh* will find harness atomic energy. And" when - 40 modm™ L000-trm use tive, of 2,000 horsepower, runs- on the Federal Railways of Switzer¬ ; are ttq turbine ! speed or Exneriments of', nearlv track. "Rut wheels considered nals. ri°WPr engineers , however, burns oil. This locomo¬ be height¬ railroads see accepting the • gas-turbine locomo¬ in the world today, only in tive ! maintain safe from the roadbed The tive propelled by a steam turbme' and gas, spared directly to. the driving ( ways to 120 miles per hour. There is no ques¬ tion but that motive power units anv to >.//'.'/ locomotive. proud of the technical refinements; perimental forms of power now and, increased efficiency they are being tried out, we stand—terri¬ building' into the reciprocating fied, but committed and a little steam locomotive, but they are hopeful--on the brink of the far from resting their case there. I atomic age. Just as resourceful They are pushing toward the per- i and inventive men have found fection of a coal-burning locnmo- J ways to harness steam electricity i had way Steam have had during the past ten years, their the accepted in the Diesel. steam, we whenever than locomotive', is ploring the possibility of burning pulverized coal in a gas .turbine degree of. standardization in the steam locomotive that they have last in ened principle in propelled by a gas turbine— simply a geared turbine revolved by hot gases. The coklrburning, railroads of this country .are ex¬ one Dur¬ loco¬ same break. a newer steam-turbine the and this advantage can speed runs back of the turn of the Diesel and one daily average. Steam still has the advantage of much lower initial cost than the Diesel, degrees temperature. runs Even per- ./passenger service in one month and followed the next month with It is true, as Old 376 stated, that we had a great many special high¬ high-speed customer motive of the conventional recip- motives that evaporate 70 tons of water an hour at 300 pounds pres¬ sure erating to and from the coal fields anxious to give their best feed- have steam loco¬ we railroads—particularly those bp—are competition, ing the past few months, still is having faith in the con¬ evolution of the coalburn- ? ing locomotive. About 22% of the total freight tonnage of American railroads consists of coal, and the locomotive is reaching records of availability. new and / as. much. another g6od / /promise for tinued at. : seating .type made 26,928 miles in tested 20 about was steam some design materials, there reason heating, Under the spur of the of evaporation boiler And is a success. - technological/improve-, in manufacture the riveted with the welded boiler. of other will be Recent the use of roller dividing of power into two systems, with two cylin¬ ders each, and the replacement of that. 1904 pounds, com¬ pared to 70,000 pounds for the 1,500 horsepower per axle loco¬ motive, an increase of only 63%. driving per superheating, or ments bearings/ the produce axle, per water directly to the driving placed in service early wheels are not yet available. This model/like the one I have just mentioned, has a conventional type boiler with a working pres¬ sure of 310 pounds and is noncondensing. In the various models, + enough progress has been made to indicate that the American tur¬ looking forward to still lighter temperature » steam tur¬ a ures in' per - A locomotive with much maximum stoker- a condensing conven¬ i boiler operating at 310 / non • tional 1,000 revolu¬ remember « pounds pressure. .300 pounds and the 100 revolutions per Contrast ■ a non-con¬ electric locomotives with - down to 18 pounds and the power The test lies in how demnation. over ^quipped with mately 600 pounds. the drafting boards on < /■ One of the great coal-carrying railroads Ms placed'an order Tor three coal-burning steam turbo- comparable figures for Diesel en¬ gines in locomotive /units today. We have the weight • per • horse¬ con¬ no is minute. ,/£/ is its won ^ - loco¬ densing watertube boiler with k working pressure of approxi- the in power Locomotives^- in has the turbo-electric other are on their way. Qne, designed to burn pulverized coal, switchers, and not one rotative speed boiler. Improvement ■ : orders experimental models. There are Diesel engines in sta¬ tionary service—and not old ones at that—where weight per horse¬ operation today are basic principles of Record in 1 V - Now In the switch-en¬ engines/ and and Stephenson's "Rocket." They are Still the reciprocating engine with a tion. steam locomotive the hard way, by sound service on the road and by constant im¬ loco¬ steam to¬ The strong. availability was ,too permit its continued opera¬ low to ~ trend ewer But - motives The the on built. is to be alongside climbed pondered what she had told mel I confess I felt somewhat deflated. motives turbo-electric / locomotive areas steam switcher. But at down sat it undoubtedly showed the highest thermal efficiency of any power, for she local V the is locomotive 426 Diesel she bade me and Diesel ////■/;';/ '/'•"/■ //////■ ■// provement had pulled out with adieu. ■■/./ After moment the Equipped high pressure watertube generating 5,000 horse¬ a boiler and past year/1944, saw the Diesel for the first time forge ahead of the road minutes, 40 seconds. : Here Old 376 paused for breath. Then, like any other lady, she was her story. chiefly to completed and service/ in out with gine classification, of course, it has been leading for years. In 1944 the American railroads ordered. in 70 resume that th.e but they also, used be the steam lit¬ a tested expanding role locomotive and congested traffic. At ward with ran seems an ; will be confined Shore Lake the on 10-wheeler will tives its train from Erie to Buffalo 86 miles 17" electric drive was More electric locomo¬ the Diesel. practice Michigan Southern when tle holds future it me lo'co- moti ve.; In 1933 a /condensing steam-turbine locomotive with an ask me what type of for both the steam bet¬ And spoke of the fastest of all fast runs To trains. sometimes under-cut by five was this country took the initia¬ tive with the steam-turbine said have locomotives will pull those heavy start-to-stop time of 50 min¬ a / that the best dec¬ ades Tor the railroads lie ahead, fast running in 1898 on the Phila¬ delphia and Reading, between Camden and Atlantic City, a dis¬ tance of 55 % miles, which called for Just before the outbreak of the war, The Future Prospects I were Steam Turbine Locomotive The "T//////' speed. /v•/::• C to some uled Sbn reminded me of a run made accomplishments railroad out bearings in- 1891, combus¬ tion chambers in 1860, brick arches in 1880, syphons and re¬ verse gears, about the same time, Needed The Old 376 referred Then roller represent More Transportation Progress than 8'-/./' / ;/•/// the railroads pitch their battle will obviously, maintenance and cost higher; the net advantage still lay 'I with the reciprocating enginOv /Y' V service, passenger railroads:: are the century, but we have never had the number of regular sched¬ It eyes." trains first with the airlines on other grounds ago," she years ease,'as far as is concerned. In met with be can locomotive -power' were back in your And she men¬ tioned feedwater heaters in> 1859, come speed passenger with envy in their the designs?" the B. & O. I've seen millionaires sines tried being after "Many's the time back home on look up at me from their limou¬ in improvements at steam locomotive even before my latest of ■. gotten that many of the early at¬ discarded, have locomotive <;■: ■ •■/; /.;', First, have you for¬ few things. from steam /;. hour and I have time to tell you a men tle carefully Then she me occasional sigh. an said: to "Well, I won't be called for an even than I am, I would be drawn man v great availability, of steam, elec¬ tric and Diesel locomotives, the abandonment of lines. were - weight, higher rot&tive speeds, we have increased efficiency higher mean effective pressures, applying Stephenson's prin¬ ^nd^eater-output: per cubic inch I happened on her one day ciples. Here the record is goodj/jj of cy 1 ind er, vol u m e. / y/.. / / /;■ Consider the progress-made in when she was in one of these -/While The Diesel has been step¬ meditative moods and engaged her only the last 40 years?%At'the Str ping out, however, the steam loco¬ in conversation. I told her about Louis Exposition in 1904 the Penn¬ motive has not been standing still.* the great work that our modem sylvania Railroad built a locomo¬ I need merely mention the use motive power was doing, the long¬ tive testing plant, the most mod¬ stokers,%poppet/,valves; unit ern of its kind up to that "time.: Of distance, high-speed passenger castings for : bedv frames of both all the freight locomotives 'tested runs, the new streamliners, the tenders/and locomotives; highthe most powerful produced 280. heavy-tonnag.e freight trains, the wish. She I In view branch line. found time for meditation/ fare. ' if on a ord, the management granted five times as much will be So 69 was running today?" long and satisfactory rec¬ her spent im improving roadbed and trackage and building multiple tracks as will be sacrificed by the years nental she asked to be shifted to a less ardu¬ safety dations tell the in¬ The traffic was too heavy, , "when roadbed and not what they are today. Now let me ask you just how,, many through transconti¬ It "is - a tensive work-day too long; so railroad capac¬ ity either for the demands of war or of a fully functioning peace¬ time economy. The research foun¬ "That equipment She did her job realize their age. World oldtimers to of the some mettle her showed quickly caused she and her, purchased - reminded me, ///'' rail¬ ready to ward under her own power. 3 this New York/ and she And ."how she, like more 5,000 oNler sisters and broth¬ that had been built in that pretty clearly shown that no excess left it than better have another Ogdem to Oakland Wharf. This train arrived in San Francisco in just one min¬ ute less than 84 hours from the shop. main-liner for many years, she realized one day it, will move in freight cars. not so long ago that the load was Travel, too, should increase getting to be too much for her. v/.tli the rising standard of living have from - Jersey and minutes—an average speed of ter than 73 miles an. hour! / road ple to consume them. - the 879 miles from; one • Rogers Locomotive Works, one of Alco's corporate ancestors, came the 376, a high-stepping young pulled out miles Pittsburgh to requires stops, the one at Chicago taking 31 minutes/-/:v f\ rolling Fifty years ago, slowly out of the erecting shop City locomotive with /at; .the drawbar. time included all to you, a til entire 440 the time I want to Bluffs; from there- -to Council to Ogden, Utah, on the Union Pacific; and from Ogden to the: Oakland: Wharf on the old Central-Pacific —a total distance of- over> 3,313 milesOne little 8-wheeler ran f an electric drive, 'aboute £850 -horsepower To maintain; a but it got little- further than -the / speed of. 80 miles per hour for testing stage.; Neither did'another / .that/sameitrain on the same", track : Scotch model of the same general requires/a|v additional-50®. horsey type, built/in. 11)22.^Sweden and Germany/tried their han^s: at.di- • powesv-v At. 90.. rnil^s ah; hour a fq t'¬ other-; addition^ of > 550 - horsepower rect-driye, steam-turbine conddns- > must;: be f urn ished. / One huiid red Tng C locomotivesand / bitilt ope miles/arb hour requires twice the model that r; used 40% less /qdal ' power-needed at 70// But -speed than, the reciprocating, locomotive. / requirements in freight operations But availability was "lower ^and ; Meanwhile it, 4c velop to of power the ut^oo+ that : the particular t"-- to de¬ sources to use is most : THE [Volume;l62 tNumber 4450 economic for the job. to This r British Reaction to American Loan ,; ;• American Railroads Revitalized I ( ». such for outdook the for power. In con¬ clusion I return to the theme that railyvay locomotive to be the smaller of the two evils. The is Agreement unpopular so that, had it not been for the skill¬ X voices at the outset—the war has fully devised Parliamentary strat¬ revitalized the American railroads. egy with the aid of which it was •Let us compare -1918 -with 1.943.. rushed; through in1 2l/z days, it In 1918, at the peak of World War ; I, our railways had a t'otal invenJtory of more than 63,000 locomo¬ tives' with an aggregate tractive ",power, of more than two bill ion ; pounds. And 57% of this inven¬ - tory hvas in locomotives ten years old or less. In 1943 we had an in¬ of. Only 42,000 locomolives, having an aggregate trac¬ tive 'nower about the same as in 1918;but with only 5l/z% of the ventory - ; locomotives less than 14 years old. have been passed. As never it was, most Members had no time study its details properly, and to they did not feel capable of forming an. opinion of their own since they the gave the Government benefit of the doubt. They did '•* aged r inventory J the In this war, the rail-. roads of this country handled 97%. r of all- troops; J93 % -of. all Arrnv y equipment and supplies; 90% of all y handicaps?. ; , Navy equipment and supplies. and V .in the first 40 months of this war troop movements by rail were four v; ; times as great as in World War I. The increase ;in 'ton-miles was • V'.: 82%; in miles 124%; freight train, load in- passenger - vy, the average V .67%,'1 and''the "average creased miles , 23% with . per ; car day 99%. And these records v , >■,. . were ' achieved 33 % employes, fewer _ people, the coversion of Brtain in¬ ly against the loan, in accordance with the wishes of the majority of rights attached to that status. their We ernment being in office; it-seems who "c;,> tives the Conserva¬ the best be characterized by can sentence of Mr. Boothby's speech, in Which he -ac¬ cused the Government of having concluding "sold the, Empire Tor a packet of cigarettes"—a remark which,; it is thought, will be taught in schools even in a thousand years', time; The abandonment of the commer¬ within Empire 1 is the tives, and also by many Socialists 10-year period there was only one passenger fa¬ tality for every 700,000,000 miles of service performed. • : Under Government links strongly, resented deficit a billion dollars the of in still profits of almost thice levy—and payroll earned net billion dollars. These « taxes—exclusive \ ■.. figures speak for them¬ selves, The railroads did a stupen¬ job. And the best thing is that the public realizes this fact. A survey made in 1941, and quite dous recently repeated, indicates thai only a little more than half the American people thought the rail¬ roads did good job in prepara¬ tion for the war in 1941. But 89% Yet will the not The main cannot' and railroads stand these on accom¬ recognition. competition plishments and this Airplane and truck why reason Socialists dozen voted two against Empire, but the fear tthat the agreed upon will gravely interfere with economic planning in Britain, and will completely upset the Government's plan to a Socialist State. On the other hand, the majority of Labor the plan because they believed that Members who--.voted' for so reduction of food rations and de¬ lay in reconstruction through lack dollars of would handicap the execution of the Socialist program even more trade that the system of free imposed on the country //;/§/ against its- wish. The number of those who wel¬ comed multilateral free its own the sake was Chairman of trade for negligible. Even the impossibility for to master the immense mass short a :\;-v ' '\ , majority of them chance a do to some thinking and , con¬ make the suggestions that to young minds.; : . I forward-ranging come have no doubt that the railroads—and their suppliers —will meet the challenge and.the X, for diminutive Liberal , / ity of sterling is restored, the problem of how to defend sterling is expected to be most difficult to solve.'' ■/.[^ r T •••• ■ /'■ one, oopoitunitv of postwar mass transportation. T confidently pre¬ dict that in the ten years follow- f accepted ! v Many Socialists strongly there ing; to be been to This is many Efforts satisfied to pretend¬ have would vote against the Loan. particularly the case of Conservatives in both Houses of frained from spectacular transaction a would transactions even be over-persuaded by ac¬ a even sufficient scale, or her to moderate It is felt that export drive. refused been have would now the loan. And though it is even believed that the* economic peace bought in Washington in 1945. will last longer bought in than the political peace Munich in 1938^ few Parliament, impres¬ considered an [ Is It An A ///;■/'■:'■.. feature of the important, rejection of over, the Loan is would give the drawn, consciously people a much-needed with the Munich more fort, and would induce the Em¬ pire to rally round the mothercountry and assist it with all the resources at their Opinion in t disposal. the as the immediate and cigarettes future are accepting the dollars at what sacrifices. no for matter But others feel it would- be; well tighten our work out all in worth while to belts for a while and our salvation own even¬ the eral supporters how inclined to that House the that so we hold Critics their of could we stand. fire, are now Commons has passed the Agreement, until its anticipated disastrous conse begin to show themselves quences the after proceeds have been "on is> ™ith whaf and tiori the of loan the —1_» l- _ __• , Agreement has reduced itself to absurdity. Neither the Govern- nor which again sounded very much like the defense put up by apol¬ ogists >:of render Munich: that the prosperity for the sake of carry- sur- brethftig | space during which to rearm. The I way in which Lord Keynes and, i to gaiped for us a less extent,; other Governspokesmen, tried to make of necessity by claiming that the free trade system to be a established would introduce of collaboration era and interna- many quarters to be strongly miniscent of Mr. , in' " —~ ■ ~Z re- Results of Election of . Chamberlain's nii-Artni-s nf St 1 enthusiasm, with which hedeclared beyond the necessity of spending the: proceeds in the United States. information This from; the was withheld Housce of Commons, pressing ques¬ tions by Members of Parliament. since the Government's rested there mainly was no on the claim alternative to case that the , . ; A , Breakdown Expected The overwhelming I r* nins ,r„°r °lm M*"1* ^ irf Federal Reserve his return from Munich: "This on outran agreement accepted un<*er ,dllre?s, ,1fs clamied^durmg the debate. They Jf11 put up with a great deal for Lhe sake of American friendship, But ^a stage is expected to be reached sooner or later when considerations of internal policy and economy will, prevail, _ a new tional goodwill was considered Parliament nor the Brit- ioVi- rwinlir* nr>n<3ir?f»r ish' public consider thpmsplvps themselves morally bound to sacrifice their r , before declaring the situation intolerable and claiming that the Washington was industrial productive capacity our o£defla- unemployment .will the Labor Government put up terms, harsh as they had to be accepted, in order gain time for the recovery of to virtue settled, any in surrender po¬ impossible to apply to large extent. The only ques- litically were, be know orthodox deflation—which is parallel otherwise, or Munich.'' The line adopted by sev¬ ment was controversy the Boothby actually called Agreement "an economic tually. However, most people will greatly relieved if the matter slump-in the United States with¬ out any means of defending her of payments other than balance Mr. that is country sharply divided as in Westmin¬ ster. ; Those concerned with the supply of food 1938. will have to face the effects of a J./-; :/ "Economic Munich"? Agreement tonic to stimulate its economic ef¬ . ican tariff wall. smaller many reaching What is sive ; total. criti¬ And cise the Government for the.way in which it was would be case faith, the friction that might have arisen if the! American proposals had merely be¬ the alternative cause notwithstanding The Free Trade Policy bad if the breakdown of the system is ob¬ viously due to the unwillingness of the United States to import on | back in full force. Both types structive of vic¬ the • • cused positively mild in comparison with the bitter feeling that will arise torious supporters of the Agree¬ ment is not much happier than when, under the force of circum¬ their defeated opponents. In many stances, Britain will revert to the instances the Government's assur¬ system discarded in return for the temporary assistance afforded by ances were the But Party, Mr. Clement Daspent.*; is peace in our time!" And, finally, vies, was far from happy about ; ; just as many critics of Mr. ChamHouse of Lords Debate • giving up regional and bilateral of fcomnetition are ambitious and The House of Lord debate on berlain resented his enthusiasm pacts as a means of safeguarding ,dynamic. "Railroad travel and the country's trade balance, in re¬ the Loan Agreement brought some over a disadvantageous and hutransportation have their own turn for a loan which barely suf¬ additional information concerning miliating bargain, so some of the special values and/ potentialities, fices to cover;one year's trade def¬ the negotiations. Both Lord Peth- leading critics of the Washington y but tfiey must be exploited.', icit. The Government was par¬ ick-Lawrence, : who opened the Agreement, including Mr. ChurchFor one thing we must appeal ticularly criticised for agreeing to debate for the Government, and ill, stated that the Government's to the youth of today, who are the reduce the transition period un¬ Lord Keynes *: himself, admitted case would have commanded more traveling public and the shippers sympathy if instead of "welcomder the Bretton Woods Agreement that it. would have been possible of freight tomorrow. We must in¬ from five years to one year. If to obtain a smaller loan on slight¬ ing" the deal the Government crease the number of young peo¬ the proceeds of the loan will be ly more expensive terms but with¬ spokesmen had presented it as an ple in our own ranks—and give spent by the time the convertible out any. conditions attached to it, unmitigated but necesary evil. are Britain in that reduction of the Amer¬ of stead the terms establish the of technical details in such Tonic to Stimulate * a British ; some the effect of the Agreement on did interests." •Not the their Government is not, however, a „of the public think the railroads did- a good job during the war. Conserva¬ ; Economic Planning ~ of just under twd billion dollars. During World War II, with private operation, the' railroads paid into the Fed¬ eral Treasury four and a quarter with by Fear Interference With operation in - "If State," 49th given by ship at heart fear, however, that people give it much more than who re¬ two or three years. For it is ex¬ voting against the pected that the premature restora¬ .^|Aiby' no means inconsiderable Loan, owing to. the assurances that tion of the convertibility of ster¬ section, of Parliamentary opinion, the Government is not committed while unwilling' to assume respon¬ to the elimination of v Imperial ling, together with the loss of export markets and admission, of in-sibility for the rejection of the Preference. Most of them are discriminate imports, • resulting Agreement, .would be overjoyed if vaguely "aware .that. Congress from the Washington Agreement, Congress rejected it.; The view is would never ratify the Agreement will exhaust the held that in that case the Wash¬ proceeds of the unless and until the Government loan in less than two years. And ington Administration would have did commit itself in that respect, then we shall, enter the danger no: objection to the raising of dol¬ whether or not adequate compen¬ zone; lar ; loans 'from private interests By that time the post-war sation will be forthcoming in the boom will be over, an$ Britain on commercial terms, and that in¬ form of a who; during their brief period of rule, have become distinctly Em¬ pire-conscious. ; c T World War I the railroads wound up 7 on time. would at any rate represent British British The-attitude of relied private conversation, "we could two Senators to Washington Labor Gov¬ of the loan would have been very, the become the of the bitter, critics exclaimed one. certain that the majority in favor small, did many State—without 49th the to send a will be, according to answers Government spokesmen evidently point of view, Britain might critics his in occasion the one bringing the Government round to servative leaders come out strong-; fewer cars—and in the ending in 1944 persuasive power half qs in dealing with the American negotiators as he did in work cial passenger, Lord Keynes used his effectively so fewer locomotives by number, 24%. fewer freight cars, % 30% . ly felt that if only during the debate.' Had the Con¬ due to rushed through the highly important and complicated meas¬ ures was to give no time for Mem¬ bers to study the documents suf¬ ficiently. Indeed, on more than tary Private Secretary. It is wide¬ . was ment solitary Member who cheered: he was Mr. Dalton's own Farliamen-r have got a tolerably good agree¬ ment. As it is, the result of his the terms is only question of time, it; would be possible sooner or later to revert to the system of bilateral and re¬ gional agreements once it has be¬ a the House re¬ a widespread feeling of bitter re¬ compliments paid sentment. The defeated opponents come evident that the multilateral to the British negotiators by the feel that the aim of the "indecent Chancellor of the Exchequer in haste"—to quote Mr. Churchill's system could not be worked. Those who have Anglo-American friend¬ his' opening speech. There was one words—with which the Govern¬ ceived the high hesitation, many of them changing sides several times much after followers,;, and had. they not railroads hadf;"iaVwai.';''j'6bh:;tov'dc^^ antagonized their Labor opponents How well did they do it with these by stating that the harshness of this With - , would which lence'with (Continued from first page) I v So • 3159 FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE breakdown of the system be done, do ancl will. we can COMMERCIAL The results of the election of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, which ended directors of the 18, were as follows, it was announced by William T. Nardin, Dec. Chairman of the Board: j "A. Wessel Shapleigh, President of Shapleigh Hardware Co., St. Louis, was reelected by member banks in Group director; ' ; 1 as a. Class B . |,;v "Phil E. Chappell, President of Planters Bank & Trust Co., Hopkinsville, Ky., was elected by , member banks in Group 2 as majority of Class A director, and . a the opponents of the scheme are) ?K. August Engel, President of fully as keen on close collabora- the Arkansas Democrat Co., Little tion with the United States as the Rock,;; Ark., was elected by the supporters of the scheme; That in Group 2 banks as a Class B dispite ofUhis they took a line that rector." risked antagonizing Americani ; Mr. Shapleigh and Mr. Chappell accepted, the chances opinion was due, not so much to were chosen for terms of three the view that the price paid for years beginning Jan. 1, 1946, and, that, had the possibility of a economists, produced by the Lon¬ commercial loan been that' collaboration was too high Mr. Engel was elected for the unadmitted, volume of passenger as well as don School of Economics firmly many more Members on both sides and one-sided, as to the fear that1 expired portion of term ending uphold 19th century free;-trade of the House would have voted the sacrifices involved would not Dec. 31, 1946. freight traffic they have hauled in traditions—r these Socialists are The Federal Reserve Bank has against the Government. It was buy "peace in our time," any more I any peacetime decade in history.: sometimes referred to as "side- considered than did the Munich surrender, nine directors, of whom three are safe, however, to ad¬ It has been my pleasure to wwk whiskered, Gladstonian Liberals" For, practically everybody, from [Class A, three Class B, and three mit the truth in the House of for 50 years in helping build, this, or "Cobdenites; in disguise"-—the Ministers downward, is firmly con- Class C. .Those of the first two Lords, since it was obvious that classes are elected by the member great transportation machine. As majority agrees .with the Lord the Conservative Peers would not vinced that the system will not The Class A directors rep¬ work for any length of time, and banks. President of the Council, Mr. Her¬ date to risk a constitutional crisis long as I live, I shall watch with bert Morrison, who at- a recent that it is doomed to break down resent banking, and the Class B by coming into conflict with the absorbing and affectionate interest directors, commerce,' agriculture, Party. Conference declared ,that House of Commons over this is- owing to the unwillingness of the as the job of building it and re¬ "free trade is not Socialism; ibis United States to accept an import or some other industrial pursuit. inp the war the American rail¬ roads/will handle the greatest to adopt a policy of Although the Socialist Lord Keynes free trade. agreement are }■■■ building it, and using it ever more efficiently human in the satisfaction of wants, goes on. ' . the negation of Socialism.?, , sue. This is one of the reasons why One of the remarkable moments of the debate was. the frigid si¬ the Loan debates: has left behind surplus. Indeed, many within the Government opponents acquiesced The Class nated by C directors on the assumption thab, since the are desig¬ the Board of Governors ,v in Washington. THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3160 at price a offered to • issue ; 100.64, of from and of lower courts which held that re- yield of 0.40% a bonds of both the dollar price of 100.50. The: a if , *f if Tri- ) the borough Bridge; Authority • < . pected mounting supply, of bond3 materialize in the coming, year is " Port Of NOW York ('Authority /and speedily absorbed by was Investors. Thursday; -December'27; -1945 dominates circles. the close of the While signal the was ine in the continued to date and likely will prevail for some very weeks to come. : Indeed, it is quite possible that real "bull-' market in the new a with the prospect that supply of offerings through¬ the coming year will be pretty the out much in line with the rather gen¬ 1946 will witness eral belief that flow uninterrupted an country. r ■, sections all from issues •'; -v: ;-y . bond of ■ the of v.! i ;t.';;; ;• ;• v In any event, there is no ques¬ that the output in the past several weeks has been such as to enliven the market to a degree that has not been in evidence for vv tion months. Of perhaps greater significance is the fact that the large 'outpouring of bonds has been accompanied by an increas¬ trend upward 1949 level. development, it may be added, unquestionably has come surprise distinct a as to many- ing the foregoing total. The maturity dates are from 1961. the in up of volume ■;t That than a " A Stuart Halsey, pur¬ group est rates of 1*4% and 1% respective issues the and from 1949 to 1963 incl., to yield * 0.65 % *• to 1.20%, • and priced the Is, due 1964-1966, at *96.75. The :closed.- been a by¬ account of their distributing Thus .State which have con- * importantly to'the.:: offerings tributed so start a flying cipal performers being the State of California, the City of Tulsa" and Tulsa County, Okla. First National Bank issue only 1.051% at - to to dispose net a of 1946-1970 in: (ma¬ in¬ each stance) at the previous sale Aug. 21 was based on a been basis ; of low 0.904%, the having . of obtained 1.05 at sale a con¬ cago syndicate at a pointed Naturally, bidders for the current issue did price of 102.79. number of syndicates were identified at the auction, with an account headed by Halsey, Stuart & Co., finally withdrawing after the bidding had reached a a level of 102.78. The First Chicago V • , National of Bank and associated under¬ prices to yield from 0.40% to and succeeded in 1%, placing about a single day. half of the issue in bonds out that exercise chase successful option to an additional an bonds the the on same pur¬ $1,000,000 terms. ;) The State, it may be added, was prevented from securing even bet¬ are part of an au¬ thorized issue of $30,000,000 and ter terms a on result with of the latest emission weather Because of this Shields & was as interference telegraphic communications. based on not a Co., net fact, an offer by and associates, cost received of until after mishap occurred in the of^the sale of $500,000 Prince Georgd's County Metropolitan District, Md., bonds, maturing 1946 to 1970 inclusive. this instance the bonds * NORTH and SOUTH were climaxed by CRAIGIE&CO. ^ System Teletype: - Telephone RH 83 Sc 3-9137 84 000 City bonds to of a bonds was offered for sale ; Okla., and $1,500,000 Oklahoma City School District, Okla., both tentatively scheduled for Jan. 8; $3,000,000 Allentown School Dis¬ t v trict, Pa., and $9,000,000 San Francisco, Calif., both 011 Jan. 9. It will thus be observed that 4 the opening month of 1946 prom¬ ises to be an extremely1 busy the period field in local the ■ tax-exempt and i'if Mosher Attacks President's a 3s, (Continued from page 3137) net interest and growth of terprises The $2,900,000 V highways, 1947 to 1964 traditional ing^ the against cost net a of by the This record of prog¬ continued, its mula is adopted as the national policy of this nation. - addressing the National As¬ sociation Pitts¬ of Cost Providence, R. L, winner the Mosher Accountants on at Dec. 13, Mr. $2,840,000 Rich¬ mond, Va.* improvement issue, paying 100.951 for Is, a net inter¬ tistical reports issued by th-? De¬ partment of Commerce, which up¬ est cost of 0.88%. held the contention that The ma¬ fired Two Elyria, Ohio, bonds in the blast a could the at a sta¬ general . documents—"Facts Relat¬ ing to Wage-Price Policy," and? a "confidential" memorandum "Do¬ mestic Economic Development," prepared by the! Department! of Commerce, particularly drew Mr. usual fashion when the wage I bids on an $1,500,000; ; San Antonio Independent ;; School District, Texas, on an offering of $2,186,000, issue and an open of Galveston, Texas, will award issue of $1,368,000. A' These three substantial under¬ takings will ring down the tain for 1945, a year which cur¬ was replete with both thrills and trem¬ for the municipal Probably the event significance was the victory achieved by ors ! jured made up these startling formulas liberal of use conjectural trade. of greatest wages should be raised to help the ~ purchasing power." !, ' Speaking subsequently v to, the ! Bridgeport Manufacturers Associ- V ' ation on Dec. 19, Mr. Mosher reiterated his warning that the De- ; * partment "of Commerce will.lose '■ ; the respect of business if it keeps producing "conjectural jingoism'' a to support CIO wage demands, ■ Mr. Mosher again denounced the : ; two governmental documents re1 cently used by supporters of the: ; CIO position. ; The documents of the Commerce - Department he V, > . , said allowed were when the "leak out" question -grew wage > to hot., ,* ; "The both v.*. general, v assumption- documents is that wage of » in-< 25% can-be grant¬ price rises," Mr. Mosh¬ startling formu¬ las were fabricated by use of conjectural jingoism worthy of a top¬ flight bucket shop operator of the creases of 10 to ed without said. er - "These twenties."^'!!!%!!; %'• '■ v'!:-A tha| unions refused to " Stating consider "take-home" as a meas-t with the no . war over, want to base. wage the cost of living but on longer scales on VZ !\\ "take-home"' pay. "In every ment, instance; the govern¬ certain or infiltrated ClO-dominated / of it, has the union claims," Mr. Mosher added. "Even the figures of take-home pay don't follow the and parts backed up document should not be." .: work a 48-hour week. And what's important, it will be a long time before it goes to a 40-hour astonishment that the Business Advisory Council to the Department of Commerce had "either passed on this foul formu¬ la" or "gave tacit approval to such an important matter by their si¬ lence," Mr. Mosher said "these government forecasters deal with more week." - The Labor-Management Con¬ in Washington was no flop, although it failed to achieve agreement on many pressing prob¬ lems of union-employer relations, ference momentous direct wage increases in their esti¬ Mr. mates, and ignore the pyramiding leaves effects which tempts of the Federal government eliminate the tax-exempt fea¬ ture of local government obliga¬ eventually throughout industry. "The confidence of the public progress, he explained. "Each side attained a far better consistently defeat perhaps most suffered by government, came in the form of the refusal of the United States Supreme Court, on Jan. 2, to consider decisions • labor leaders- those who resisted at¬ have r phrases about probable sales; as¬ sumptions, hopes, expectations— Bureau of Labor Statistics* own in fact, everything a statistical figures. This country never did Expressing Closing the Books > insistence that Mother's censure."".r>;.[;r; •> r. ure of pay when the r war upset ; "These two documents were al¬ normal economic relationships; lowed to 'leak out'; in a most un¬ Mr. Mosher- declared * that ndw; . andria, Va., will „ be question got hot," Mr. Mosher I said. "The general assumption of Coming now! to: the .present both is that industry can pay lib¬ week, we find that virtually all eral wage increases, from 10 to of the main business is scheduled 25%, without raising prices.' The for today (Thursday), when Alex¬ ! government economists who con; ; ,; , In associates emerged as The bonds and fallacious ous sys¬ and years and should be burgh, and of wages measured as tracks if President Truman's for¬ wage honestly believe that high,is being done to our business system by the promiscu- violence this quadrupled dur¬ 50 past can 1.488% Corp., misuse of the prestige of govern¬ base to pay in but it will be stopped dead m der, sponsored by a group headed by the Equitable Securities Corp. Securities been ihird. a ress contained in the second high ten¬ Mellon policy hours of work have been reduced en^- couraged sharp competition, with the guccessful account of Halsey, Stuart & Co., taking the bonds at a net cost of 1.469% to the State as has ability to tem wages have maturing inclusive, " also . them to ment. I by productivity. Under that \;;:y ;.v; ' • ment, labor and the general public an explanation i ncoming to ;! ;: of this high and handsome has en¬ essential the provision of jobs progress and upon 1.226%. ;v and small new which... is for all who want to work. net cost to the issuer a be that constant creation to cease country the bonds, due serially from 1946 to Is, County* Ohio, Jan. 4; $3,976,000 City, Okla., Jan. 8; $2,350,000 Oklahoma County, at ured out to conclusive Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. The as both Franklin — Trpst & Savings Bank of Chicago syndicate. This group's tender fig¬ This latest, and Conn., syndicate headed by 1965 inclusive, were sold in $1,900,000 Oklahoma other record earlier Massachusetts, 3; by as tions. fhe sale of $1,055,Stamford, - of- County, Calif., paying a to The earlier week's activity -F. W.- Bell sold 100.1576 for l%s. MUNICIPAL BONDS RICHMOND, VIRGINIA In as l%s, at 100.166, although the two bids delayed in transit offered terms of 100.0799 for 1.30s, and CAROLINA established } deals: Minneapolis, Minn., ; $3,216,000 by Common- Jan. on • the potential $3,025,000 and thereto. was and • v *':■ :! .•;/ may well be the fore¬ Whether the standings will be runner of the most active year adversely affected should the ex¬ since the war. .A-":—..//. A hour, set for consideration of bids. from 1945 actual net interest cost of 0.914%; a the case Dealers in out to of calendar of impending already lists the follow¬ wealth year. •/'!-yy 0.75s, due 1948 to 1950, $875,000 Is, maturing from 1951 to 1955 inclusive. Bid figured and 1.0423%, A similar VIRGINIA—WEST VIRGINIA levels $525,000 0.95%. - . writers re-offered the bonds at The not the $1,325,000 were bought by a group managed by Stranahan, Harris & Co., Toledo, taking $1,175,000 water works improve¬ ment, due 1947 to 1976, and op¬ tional in 1956, as iy4s, at 100.634, a 1.18% basis, and $150,000 limited tax sewer bonds, due 1947 to 1956* as ls„ at 100.291, a basis of about ducted in January. It should be of Chi¬ Calif.,; issue system bonds Stockton Savings & sewer amount of 1.261%. In April, 1945, the disposed of $2,000,000 net 0.951%. Loan Bank, which bid 100.027 for $350,000- 0.50s, due 1946 and 1947; - on net cost bonds of 1946-1970 at the record low to went via granted affecting prices. - Public Estabrook & Co.,, -of New York, confidence in government is being was second high bidder, offering badly shaken by this' "statistical 100.729 for Is. .folderol,?; Mr. Mosher contended. Bank identical issue an previous Stockton, $1,750,000 disturbed ture serially from 1947 to 1966 in¬ Wage increase clusive and an account headed by without of cost Chase a the* while State . comprising $15,000,000 " 1-^4 %'" veterans! aid bohds, maturing from 1047 to 196.4 inch, was sold at public auction a that of The California issue, to that able was turity pec. 11, with the prin¬ on find we able for . period got "off to Insurance - syndicate, the best price obtain- market activity in recent weeks. The Life striking illustration of the changed- market > trend since V-J day.. ; .^ y to re¬ view the results- of the particu¬ lar Mutual Massa¬ a of interest be may the and Co.* and the new issue sale of $1,000,000 road bonds by the State of West Virginia. The latter was of particular interest as it provided vestment interests. of was 4 high prige level attained in May and the precipitate decline that developed coincident' with V-J day. The bulk of the loss (about 30 basis points) was of temporary duration and, at this writing, prices are pretty close to the peak Net inclusive. 1955 The State of Louisiana issue of York chusetts purchases among investors. With few exceptions, and despite the large-amount of. bonds involved in each instance, or the overall magnitude of the grand total, the various offerings have received a commendable response .from in¬ It City of v New to interest cost to issuer of rapidly was 1948 ing highlighting the municipal market nerup offer entered by the Harris of in from be amendment an Also serially from 1947 to 1970 inclu¬ sive, and the successful bid proved just a shade better than the run- county business. derwriters ; Chase York, which bid par for a combination of $660,000 Is, due 1946 to 1948, and $1,840,000 0.75s, maturing cost of 1.212%. The bonds mature •from • than a group headed by the National Bank of New; Is, and iy4s, making effected the financing at a net cost of about 1.18%. The group re-offered the l\is, maturing ; - could hot :The , mandated by the constitution and County, trade evident, - events ,take jurisdiction in the matter was interpreted as signifying its opinion that such immunity was awarded were price of 100.16 for the bonds loan is due serially from 1949 to inclusive, 17 the to to Alameda of $1,750,000 road and bridge, and $1,000,000 ! county separate school. Each 1966 Dec. on tricts the 011 sold by San Joaquin in the constitutional taxexempt status of all State and mu¬ nicipal bonds, the court's refusal ton Unified School District which were raised volving $2,500*000 bonds of Stock¬ Calif., questions in is $15,432,000 of Oakland School Dis¬ the large volume of The West Virginia Sale . negotiated.. in recent J'-V On weeks is clearly seen in the terms Wednesday, Dec. 18, in¬ terest was centered on the port¬ received by borrowers, also in the degree of success achieved by un¬ folio sales conducted by the State product The the much that the new year will usher in a rather substantial flow of offerings. .-v.; litigation were such as to cover the infinitely broader question iri.-* syndicate headed by the First National Bank of Chicago won the by Tulsa County, naming inter¬ firming tendency, rather reaction, has a to chased the $2,750,000 bonds sold issues reaching the market. up to As The week ending Dec. 22 was nothing less than a repetition of the high-level activity that char¬ acterized the earlier period, as is seen -in the following review .of the principal awards: / / *• proportion to the stepping rect the five issues add¬ 1949 the as on overall mention inves¬ opinion has been rather widespread that the price structure is bound to sag in di¬ tors, net a terest rates not to dealers, to interest cost of 1.207% and $400,000 sewer exten¬ sion bonds, due 1944-1966, also as 3s and 1.10s, and at a net cost of 1.203%. The re-offering was from 0.65% to 1.25%,depending on cou¬ pon rate and date of maturity. The remaining $600,000 bonds offered by the city were taken by Halsey, Stuart & Co., and others, which bid various prices and in¬ ••• * - This works water bonds, due from 1966 inclusive, as 3s and 1.10s,, for price the of and improvement many ing facilities access financing department is now un¬ der, way, .. financing in¬ volved a total of $7,000,000 bonds, of which $6,400,000 were taken by a syndicate' managed -by the Northern Trust Co., Chicago. The account bought $6,000,000 limited issue municipal field, new ,!y V . The City of Tulsa substantial boom beginning of a capital market after a new protracted absence. ! sumption of large-scale corporate undertakings, it also marked the which has Repeat Performance marked California's entrance in Victory the re¬ for conversation This namely , loan question that undoubtedly still a were, entitled to immunity from Fed¬ eral taxation. ' are bound to occur Mosher the problems by such the other side's Mosher stated. "Our government's veracity and statistical dependa¬ bility must be such as to be used with "It that they're hot anybody's case. confidence loaded to prove seems to me that manage¬ open The record for further understanding of the nature of the in the government is badly shaken statistical folderol," Mr. said. door and of the reasons for positions," he said,. "For 26 days, labor and manage¬ ment representatives discussed the issues with tolerance and spect that some might re¬ consider phenomenal. " "In brief, the position of the yolume 162 - - Number 4450 3161 COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE • bonds has kept pace in order to understand how that, by the middle of 1945 the cessation of hostilities, our money Full Production and Sound Fiscal they would buy Governthere have- been inept Bills, and other rates, less well defined, at which they have in fact been buying Government Certificates of Indebtedness. The chief reason why this technique has been so important ' is that these buying rates, involving yields of from %% to..%%, have made it possible . ifirv tbo for the ol own •%*% r< banks, acting initiative in the sale own of Bills and their 4- i commercial their on Certificates, to create at the Federal reserves Reserve individuals, will tend to discourage future savings, rates more their their reserve requirements. ' 1 cannot than cates, thereby maintaining in ex¬ istence a supply of reserve bal¬ Y than adequate to meet the commercial bank requirements for these reserves. ances more in Furthermore, attempt to improve the yield their assets, we have had the an on commercial banks Government buying securities other of some¬ what higher yield and longer term than the 90 day Bills or the one to to people ly with the Government's fact method nancing the war has led rapid an expansion of the tary and banking system. adequate to the meet ment's and the public's least at Govern¬ rapidly in¬ creasing Y requirements for has the or this in This process has, of coufse, led to an expansion of the whole mone¬ among tary and banking system, but, as a result, the supplies of reserve balances in the hands of the com¬ commercial mercial in while at debt banks and ,of deposits of the public have least kept pace with wartime de¬ mands, interest and , tended to decline rise.y have rates rather than to ;'yvY-CYyVyyY, The ; far and pros or-lower too of cons rate money low a policy are intricate for a full dis¬ It should be pointed cussion here. out, however, that the technique described above," so effectively used in this country during World War II for 'keeping in¬ - terest as rates a war of;" the low,; adopted in spite tremen¬ .was If, measure. Government's dous wartime borrowings, this technique has actually had the ef¬ of causing interest rates to decline, then surely the technique fect should be most carefully reex¬ amined before it is applied to the presumably more moderate requirements of peace. Of there writers and speak¬ are some the subject of interest rates ers on who money course, with agree - the view of the British William economist, Sir Beveridge, decline to a that slow a interest zero would be desirable. extremist As : rate opposed to this, however, there is a consider¬ able weight of thoughtful opinion in this country which takes the position that an-excessively low declining interest rate, besides crippling endowed institutions and reducing the "nest egg incomes" and banks. assets largely either the the creased commercial $87 total billion banks supply of money effort. war Government's should a the lie the for considerable a time. of $ ^ . * ^Immediately after the collapse of Japan,; the outlook mercial bank deposits and cur¬ represented, for the most part, by the liabilities of these banking institution^, increased $73 haps rency, made billion taking even was encouraging: We more ;of: of some Govern¬ prompt in our to total a ment of $121 unit, the possible, how¬ that the inflationary aspects ever, of this situation have may all goods and services hand to hand are been the and rency posits) supply money commercial should, bank to early in 1945 there expansion tion, in industrial and wages shortage was de¬ tions tq seem inflationary the in just offset pressures whatever considera¬ mentioned—we had a productive capacity able, under war-boom conditions, to produce-something like a two- an thirds salaries, V farm greater volume of do not choose to become would not privileges. ion. organized it or soon bility. my labor must get out, pushed out, of stage of irresponsi¬ : : . ' remedial ■'Much needed opin¬ will be cfhildish its But in to legislation is establish, legal equal¬ between labor and manage¬ and I am sure it will be provided by Congress, backed by pansion more of than wartime seem very will not in the can take place, labor be the constructive force nation that it should be." and pace of with the other to serious dilution of the major mone¬ tary and banking system. This thought is particularly in¬ teresting in that the wartime rise in the cost of living appears to be statistical actions keep adequately explained, from a viewpoint, solely by the increase in the overall cost of pro¬ duction that during the we have war years. witnessed Consequent¬ need for with the November, this year, of 109%. % - now definitely out new corporate business of Bankers handling the Bates Manufacturing Co. offering of 256,000 shares of common stock reported the deal more than 90% completed on Saturday, after hav¬ ing encountered delay growing out of litigation. Y A potential buyer/who sought to obtain a large block of the stock/ went into court to seek to keep the books open on the offer¬ ing to existing holders. But the . will be spread out over a greater period of time rather than being in brief intervals trated concen¬ >*■ it has as been for several years. \ Moreover, it is widely recog-c ing that has been made possible progressive rates, money through. ; , study require and such any court in A to group on of the trade. under- his plea and the opened its Friday. real "quickie," in the parlance books late con¬ work new dismissed underwriting carried been will It siderable project contraction has Bates Manufacturing . financing the way, war The stock was being takings, since it must be admit- quoted around $33 compared ted the offering price of $25 at the that or close There is with share. a irreducible the minimums. v is market money to \YV!;H-Y"".v-Y'Y ^ tendency, at the same time, to look forward to a swing over to the new capital financing which may afford investors a bit better yield by way of higher a Broker-Dealer Personnel Items And, since many com¬ panies are in strong position, it is felt that in seeking new capital, coupons. >; they new utilize the medium of equities rather than incur-, ring new Y f (Continued from page 3136) (Special may YiY:Y;YYY|y;Y YY T. G. to the more Although the^ consensus is that the Treasury will maintain a cheap money policy, as indicated by Secretary Vinson in a recent MO.—Chris¬ Manners ; has been added & Chronicle) Financial CITY, topher Waddell Watching Money Market The to KANSAS , debts. in the able to and produce all and services that lic will an marked posits. expansion Y-YY' '' in bank staff Co., of Inc., Herrick, Balti¬ 1012 Avenue. (Special to The KANSAS Chronicle) Financial CITY, MO. —J. W. Neighbor is with Herrick^ Waddell & Company, Inc., 1012 Baltimore Avenue.t ' :: YY the goods affluent pub¬ demand. Furthermore, under these conditions, with management and labor cooperat¬ YY:y:;. .':yy •-■yY.! Y v- new year first few should weeks give of Y Y (Special to The Financial 'i NEW (Special to NEW The ', Y Financial ORLEANS, LA.—John M. Fellman maintain its easy money policy in order to help it in carrying the vYJ; ■■ Estate The recovery - real NEW T. estate (Special ting down a large portion of the great industrial plant. What will come of our present industrial strife, But it as is to OMAHA, The The . Chronicle) LA.—Travis Weil & Co., . Financial Chronicle) NEB.—Virden (Special •' to The Financial Adair min Chronicle) MAINE —Benja¬ PORTLAND, is with Coburn F. Houser & Middlebrook, 465 Congress Street. impossible (Special 1945 goes into to The Financial PORTLAND history, we appear likely, in the near future, to make decisions H. regarding wages, rules and hours Chas. A. Day of Financial with is Co., Farnam Building. danger of shut¬ nation's to foretell. to ORLEANS, Hailey Richards Building.. ? labor which is in Pierce, Fen¬ Clark is with Smith, Landeryou & Bonds in affiliated become has Beane, 818 Gravier Street. (Special V:,v, 1 Real & : Chronicle) some things considered, it is recognized that the Treasury must Federal debt. Chronicle). HAVEN, CONN.—Charles become associated with Chas. W. Scranton & Co., 209 all enormous Beane, G.-Crump has idea of the trend in that direction. But Merrill & Avenue, after serving in the U. S. Army. • - culation.; The Bangs, Lennan Jr. have Chronicle) MAINE—George and George joined the Mac- staff of & Co., of Boston. work, the use of modern labor- of living, for many years quantity theory of impasse between, management and are a has Fenner with Merrill Lynch, Let prosperity rejoined Pierce, West Michigan 121 ner an of MICH.—Everett V. has in the volume of currency in cir¬ the Chronicle) Financial Church Street. - gree Lynch, Again, the termination of hos¬ and the slashing of war industry activities could reason¬ ably bring about some contraction ing to increase production and saving devices, labor efficiency production efficiency, it might be and labor management-Govern¬ relationships in general expected that, in the not too dis¬ ment tant future, prices would decline which will have a far-reaching to the advantage of management," effect upon our level of business, labor and capital. our volume of employment, our cost of living, and our standard Into this situation which which seemed to favor The LANSING, tilities If, that to Esehbach de¬ labor so (Special ' high de¬ our-! ( country had peacetime. capacities, new products newAechniques could be ap¬ plied to .the production- of the fruits of peace, industry should be tailed as much as possible, thus tending to prevent any further come ly, we do not have to involve selves in management and factors, nor would it have involved, per se, any very such $521 at the end of 1944. to the end of con¬ the goods new our , economic ment, til to then, supply money consumed ever ex¬ to have done much growth ity overwhelming public opinion. Un¬ the seem be inr may various demonstrated produc¬ circumstances, the 152% of great so suggest would very was the course, the possibility of of capacity operation in the building industry. Fi¬ nally—and this is a point which properly expand with it. We have already seen that from before the war to as (cur¬ seems, dur¬ many years na¬ herent it curtailed residential buildings tional production line. Therefore, as the economy of the country ex¬ pands, of and, passed the on been ing wartime, factories and their equipment, automobiles and clathes,'.to mention only a few, over-emphasized. After all, mon¬ ey is the vehicle by which nearly from had duction the individual monetary dollar. It seems could only work together spe¬ are $644 earlier , the favoritism and bonds as controls; we were speech, there is a tendency to a first step towards a re¬ keep an eye on the short-term turn to a peacetime tax system; billion by the middle of 1945. iYrV; money market. / \ we enjoyed an abundance of It is this repid expansion of It is recognized that there our monetary and banking system money available for investment; could be, now that the. need for that has been rather generally individuals throughout the coun¬ heavy war financing is past, deplored both in and out of Gov¬ try possessed tremendous amounts of liquid funds apparently avail¬ Y some reversal of the elements ernment circles. r It has been which made for extreme case¬ able for spending; there existed thought to be dangerously infla¬ in that direction. Deficit fi¬ an Y unprecedented demand for tionary in that it constituted, per¬ nancing, it is hoped, will be cur- < many of the things whose pro¬ haps, a dilution of the value of (152%) the labor-man¬ agement conference was that they cial per¬ good progress in the elimi¬ nation labor delegates at ble. pe¬ - income from marketings, and the gross national product of any¬ where from 111% to 151%. Under to government have I slack. and services than the responsiThey preferred to hold fast is generally issue market, new far It is.a foregone conclusion that , as be so rapid as to strong deflationary of some ahead riod com¬ the so average was of the recovery is the impressive if comparison is made with the average price pre¬ vailing on June 30, 1942. At that time the average for a $1,000 bond was $307, indicating a recovery tremendous activity i of the last year and one-half^ ^. 4; ing nation's in their conflicting demands, good business and prosperity should in¬ fairly a the month a cerned, will settle back follow¬ Or; if withdrawal half of with pressure groups exer¬ cising only reasonable moderation the pub¬ and reduction a gence, entire . to thereafter it that at least being in the felt, therefore, that if the country exercises only reasonable intelli¬ by the Federal Reserve Banks and are or expanded $213 billion, the Government securities held as as¬ sets by that force, the civilian population has ample ' reserves ' of purchasing power, coupled with vast unfilled needs, with which to take up at And point But felt $622 more January. by capacity constitute 5 of balanced Government's cations against $1,000 bond The scope Indi¬ busy ductive output has, currency be ahead for the new year. For example, last, a and attempting to forecast what may nized that much of the refinanc¬ least by in 30, price of year its effects should be tempered by the tremendous reserves of pro¬ the bank deposits. For in the six years from 1939 to June 30, 1945, example, June 30, of customer for into way fades away there is a tendency toward con¬ servatism in underwriting circles . a Government's Some the liabilities of these in¬ stitutions lic's :Y>;TIie Interest Rate Problem bank been course, hands its commercial rise cash. the found a old the .- mone¬ either the Federal Reserve Banks deposits debt was so mercial in had had released 40% of the Government's increase bank I fi¬ to demili¬ of Yus these two* ex¬ likely contingency. felt, and I still feel, that if civilian buying spree develops, tremes that of rapid most spending a serious depres¬ predicted by another It appears to this writer as thatY neither by as expressed the As enemies made our more Nov. on the turning point the was school. a constituting threat to future economic stabile ity. Dissatisfaction has been wide¬ many - than clear a place in that quarter of the in¬ vestment market. pe¬ real¬ we brings about sion viewed is before Amott, Baker affords average picture of what has been taking months tailment of Government another phase of the Government's wartime financial which in had so long awaited. The great economic question was, were we in for a post-war boom and inflation as predicted by one school of thought, or was the cur¬ There is operations A glance at the country The Inflation Threat Certificates of Indebtedness, and thus creating supplies of com¬ year Here reasonable interest return. a a thought possible. those are four reconversion upon us tarization vocal in the presentation of arguments of talked was possible want interest rates to decline are who feel that savings are entitled collapsed; of the defeat of found y'y v-V' All through the war, then, we have ; had the Federal Reserve Banks' buying Bills and Certifi¬ existed ized it and the very thoroughness foreseen. be now that directions. price on much riod -f An yivl v% nttr. new conditions , Sept. 2, Japan surren¬ dered unconditionally. Thus, the However, for what the remark may be worth, we can probably say that, as a group, those who times than Government's boom lated, technique.for controlling interest Banks, largely without recourse to borrowing, and thus, as a whole, to maintain their sup¬ plies of reserve balances at all greater Av\.+'rt ' presentation Germany ticular, what will be done with the; clear other foreging a reasonably of the war- the United States during the first half of 1945. Then, on May 8, will thereby slow up capital formation, hinder technological improvements, impede economic progress, and may eventually lead to unrestrained spending and a runaway inflation. How this question will be answered and, inparfVia constitute remarks of millions of pe¬ In fact it has been aggressive than in some more purchasing power. is hoped that the It over a riod of years. material loss a of sections at of (Continued from page 3131) - : which with the re¬ other in vival the investment market dollar had suffered Policy Can Prevent Inflation trend it is us hope that these made wisely. to come. decisions (Special to The Financial Chronicle) PORTLAND, ORE.—John A. Car rick is with John Galbraith & Co., Porter Building. # I (Special to The Financial ChronicleI RALEIGH, N. C.—Jesse F. Big¬ gins is with Southeastern Secur¬ ities, Independence Charlotte, N. C. B u i 1 d i n S, v " ■ • • ( 'v ' * ' Thursday, December 27, 1945 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL 3162 from 1929 to 1932, the years lead¬ into the Great Depression, steel prices declined hdrdly at all, Mark of 1946 (Continued from page 3133) in all parts of agriculture. However, I <*m particularly pleased to have the opportunity of talking with you at this time because of your deep interest in ers balance be¬ tween agricultural and industrial production and income. For I be¬ lieve that we are now face to face with some serious, farreaching questions and decisions, maintaining proper philosophy dealing with that very interlocking economic inter¬ ests. I believe we all need to take of armies. Colonies in the In those was if he had A farmer was fortunate of oxen or a team of horses to pull his wooden plow. Many had only their human strength and mattocks and flails that had changed little in several yoke a Nineteen out of 20 people were needed on the land to raise enough to supply their own needs, plus a little ex¬ thousand tra years. for twentieth the trade to thorough under¬ manufactured goods. / y. : ;y, standing, give-and-take planning, and broad scale action by all parts > With the industrial revolution in industry came the start, of a of our economy. y ;; call which for ,, revolution is1 still Agricultural Outlook for 1946 Department of Agriculture Extension Service re¬ The the and cently completed its annual Out¬ look for 1946. To me that Outlook of many most significant the is because it marks the def¬ inite transition from a war to a years, and Charts farming. peacetime tables in that report are far more If you use through the stir¬ than lifeless statistics. them trace to crucial period we are now those economic curves become a cardiogram of the heart-beat of the Nation's busi¬ ring, ending, ness ror They mir¬ man in the and agriculture. the drama of the field the and in the factory man cal quired to grow into manufacturing trade and professions. Before World War I, farming had progressed so far in technology and mechaniza¬ and one-third of that tion could lation popu¬ our farming the all do for the other twocould do it better. By 1929, one-fourth of the popu¬ lation could handle the farming end of our economy. And now necessary and thirds, greatest farm output of time, with less than one-fifth our people on the land of riod all of through a pe¬ have just come we these .charted curves, depicting farm and fac¬ tory output, wages, profits, farm income, taxes, and other meas¬ ures of our great effort, surge steeply up to 1945—and end with any of son the cast to be a doesn't have One enth that horsepower, people were re¬ food and could go replaced power machinery of war, and more goods for American living than ever before in history. It is symbolic mechani¬ As on. fewer and fewer turning put more food and fiber, more that the land—one on going seventh a doubt. expect that on one man son of this future sev¬ to fore¬ It trend. powerful for It isn't too much to is too sustained and - before many years the farm will be able produce all the food and other products needed for 10 in to farm the cities. Where That's Let the us question. back to those charts go moment.- a with demonstrate clarity that They undeniable when all parts of our productive machinery together, as we did after Pearl Harbor, we can size up the job to be done, set our goals, and deliver the goods on schedule. They show that everybody benefits in meas¬ urable, dollars-and-cents terms we gear when our busy. As rose, so are productivity did the income of work¬ the cash and ers, factories and farms industrial receipts from farm marketings—right up to¬ gether, as always. It is no acci¬ dent that in 1945, with the larg¬ national est income . in history, farmers also have the largest net income they have ever earned. That net income is is times seven $13 billion. net the It in¬ farm of 1932, when our produc¬ tive machinery was badly out of balance. Furthermore, I believe come that farmers that this come can well all-time was earned be record proud net by large, in¬ effi¬ cient output of food and fiber for the nation at very reasonable prices; it was the reward of genuine service to our country and not from gouging the public . New Farm Skills 7 ;yy y'■■ •'? What has brought about these astounding gains in productivity? forge ahead in wartime, turning out a third more production, with at least 15% less effective labor than How did farmers manage to years? The answers en¬ thousands of items of research,, invention,- and devel¬ opment of new farm skills. Under broad headings they include such things as increased mechaniza¬ tion,/greater use of fertilizer and lime,1 a good start in conservatiqn-type farming, improved con¬ trol of pests and disease, better feeding of livestock. Outstanding is power. It is estimated that in in prewar compass 1940 farms our another or had in than 174 million more horsepower, ing IV2 million tractors. ip its time of need. have farmers the comprehensive most of the farmer's techno¬ logical progress along all lines is Today farm¬ producing twice as much per worker as they did in 1910. They are turning out two-fifths output per worker. ers are worker than they did in years just before World more per the same! More of the /vy..- -^yyyy ' -'»■ Perhaps the key piece in the jig-saw puzzle of the future is the rapid change in farming; The farmer has been riding a definite for more than a century—and that curve is me¬ chanical power. Power has swept a curve tidal across wave our farms, and has changed them be¬ yond recognition. The farmer in the United States has become one Of the most lavish users of power in the world, and between far and a century We are operating, few years ago. of us, as which in science, /• Consumers structures mechanical much tear we down is increa^ng The meaning of the march of technology in agriculture would be incomplete without taking it but pers. - It everybody of '• millions needed that food as hady no consumers lated; went down. pros¬ to nostalgic the farm was self-sufficient, and about the again? unemployment Today the actual fact is never has been 100% self-sufficient. Even in Colonial days the farmer had to trade some of his corn and tobac¬ co for a; musket and powder, but threatens, drift other and the Now less is - becoming ing power—or he will rapidly go bankrupt. The absolute truth is that the interests of each group is interwoven with the interests that none can consider others of separate from the welfare of the whole nation;) "Mewelfare its First" as programs that launches tion and to . only The ideal—the kind of groups, that freedom problems—indeed we might have to I iall the gives J'- %/':•. live. we this point because stress most urgent needs, our look into the doorway namic - one we as of the dy¬ The is unity. ahead, age great question mark, and one that must be answered democratically, is "How are have be going to use the we production capacity up?" That can't tremendous we built answered by one group alone and —it takes a combined, sincere intelligent who answer work, trade by all groups in manage or some foods: that when.work- system is philosophy to ciety in which of in great demand abundance democracy • enough turn around :to scratch the us. plan and coordinate their policies and programs for the welfare of the whole great so¬ them, to disrup¬ the war—is for acting together in through have can successfully ; so us don't mand ; took that We alongside a full-scale of industrial goods. A balanced expansion of all parts of our economy would automatically solve most of our supply and de~ are the nation. ■ the United States 4; y^y*'' from^Vecent: experi¬ capable of producing. We know kind of an. econ¬ For one thing, it this ence what omy involves. city/ workers, that have plenty of food dollars to spend, and they spend those dollars right means farmer's 'counter. Last over the year the public spent more than We account the fast-rising pro¬ choices; been at times, or how much they plenty could eat when there were of food dollars in know We the now pay en¬ that the elas¬ had supposed; and it turning out twice he had in War 1910. II as At the his much end of productivity two-and-a-third times great¬ than in 1910. was than we shrinks and expands as our econ¬ omy shrinks and expands. Fam¬ with low incomes subsist k-ind prices per mainly on flour, beans and pota¬ toes. As they get higher on the income scale they eat more eggs output, know unit*at the expense of efficiency and jobs. We what that various was tic ilies with er only - two is a .highly involves. been down segments and add of our trying1 to shut them¬ protected compart¬ ments, setting up trade barriers, and struggling for special ad¬ vantage. We saw this kind of an economy evolve after the first economy selves into vegetables. Still higher they dairy products and meats. And only when they get near a a before, It's - .. : \ and primary food, , able food, the to mission and Nation of.,-::; ally, needs. :as well we - « know, farmers cannot go down the road .toward // high-level production all. y alone. They are but a small part , / of the total economy. If the rest of the country,, drifts aimlessly %*;•: into defensive /position, if they / permit the assembly lines to run .y in slow motion, if they allow the economy - to;, spiral into inflation, < then agriculture will be forced '• high-level income do they eat fancy vegetables. out in the last few lots of fruit and What stands years in consumer and more meat! demand? Meat inevitably It in¬ 'I If this: to we people of this country to back go down comes plans. sound "retreat" to stead of "advance." want the its revise to : We'll have have to to eating , is do mostly, flour, then all we let to develop. economy . ; low-level ,7 a Then farmers for . > won't have the good markets beef, high-grade milk, and quality fruits and veg¬ If * ' ' » ' t ■ , „ - want people in this coun¬ we high-level diet— protective minerals, and proteins have try to one with plenty of the vitamins, a we've —then got develop to a full-production, full-employment economy, with lots of food dollars going into paychecks.- And- those dollars have got to reach down to the large—the shockingly large —proportion of families who even- during1 the war boom haven't W been able to earn enough to af- 4 ford American decent a These l:f, low-income . sources of But keep this difference in !:0" diet. familieS, whether in that bracket from lack' ; of education, lack of opportunity,. underemployment, ment, drag a are or on unemploy**; the future. ; v.-: } K v> ' They/are-low-level-prpducersand^ low-level consumers, and from a'-,- practical,' business ^viewpoint, ; yvwithoutregardto' the *; humanitarian and social aspects of . their . vyy", plight, are mighty poor customers of both farmers and business. The ; il 1 . challenge ,of i underconsumption certainly is not going to be less in "f ; ahead; it is one that we must meet with ef- / fective action if we expect to the immediate build years strong, productive a States..; ' ■ . United ;v ;•J ; The Right Kind-of• Econbmkj'/4^' Milk! Butter! question about ;:W by intelligent, efficient production, by sound price policies, and ball. , do much to write ; v-; ■ Farmers : the generally keeping our eye on ' can ticket in the kind of farming they develop. If they want to plant only wheat and potheir own y , tatoes, that's the easiest thing in the world to do. Just have wide- spread unemployment and there would be heading of kind would be fat doubt we'd ; be y wheat and potato The results hard on the markets for for steers dairy little a , economy. from products the from States, and citrus fruits fornia and Florida. ; Corn * Belt, the Lake • from Cali- y \ eat power faster and lots of meat, milk, poultry, fruits, Farmers mind: Where farm population has World War. kept pro¬ it, the farmer's greatest oppor¬ faster. and vegetables, they can help Let us go back to the early gone down, the number in non- ducing, but the rest of our pro¬ tunity for enlarging his market write the ticket for that kind of days in the United States. The farm work has more than dou¬ ductive force retreated into re¬ -—•and a high-return market, at consumption. They can do it by phrase "embattled farmers" was bled. So has industrial capacity. duced output and reduced jobs to vthat—is not abroad, but right at driving for full employment and more prices. For example, home in the great food needs of more maintain than poetic expression. at We have more workers, his Fruit! There is no V' . Contrast that with 1933 when :/;•Standards .. • consumers had only $11V2 billion We know what we ought to do, % food dollars—one-fourth of con¬ and what we want to do, in the 4 sumer outlay—and after the midyears ahead. J But we can't get ;*: leman took his charges there was anywhere just by planning now. , mighty little left for the farmer. We can get started by setting the > We haven't known, until re¬ right kind of economic standards • cent years, just how hungry the and organizing our combined ef. families of this country have forts to reach and surpass them— "frozen" economy, the that seeks unduly high 1942 the average as One Production aver- <: lay. defensive, we've industry. By industrial work¬ have actually the • V i - plantings.; Farmers all; the of billion for food, nearly one- $30 third of their total consumer out¬ velope. Problem of Balance in kinds than eager, their etables. far a group rest., of the to another, aimlessly down the road to out States, call for 356 of crops—14V2 mil- acres supplying high have we tackle good under which everybody have a fair/chance to. share in the and them, loss bring can disaster ultimate it output with buy¬ markets and customers so let products A farmer must have so. to scarcity. We can, if we get to¬ gether, bring all parts of our na¬ tional production machinery into an aggressive, well-balanced pro¬ gram of production, employment, and consumption. We can main¬ tain'a full-scale output of farm lamps, clothing, tools, manufactured goods. farm is less than 10% buckets, going we choice. better farm the that our ques¬ No More Drift to Scarcity back-to-the-land move¬ ;f when ments put we Is it going to happen Are a econ- beans, and potatoes, v happen again? ~ advocate k -) • philsophers may arm-chair some * /There's where tion mark. dream days when be. pleasant more However,: %, ,,, So great surpluses accumu¬ jobs. , may road er ,/ • synchronized, to acres ' ' also duction capacity of World normal There is ihe- lesson of a de¬ imposes the need for careful planning and fensive, "4' lop-sided,; ,/ restricted self-discipline on all groups. If economy. It's a simple one. We the power in one part of this can all remember it: Industrial complex economy is turned off, prices * stayed y up — production went downhill. Farm production or the; machinery stalls,: the re** action spreads rapidly through all stayed- up—farm prices went parts, and everybody suffers. downhill. - Unemployment Went Conversely, when all parts are up—consumption -of - all goods nities, main Increase in Industrial Capacity into lion buy as much as .they, needed,: no matter how cheap it; was. 4 For and together again in new and strange forms, such as syn¬ thetic rubber and plastics. Such an age brings great new opportu¬ them put million before. But they couldn't as for words recently suggested ready, their of produc- pre-war of end tion goals for next year, age buying power.,•••;>'.• of the !atom.: It is a world power of other are. fourth the full-production a The national farm omy. wheat, cotton, livestock, milk, eggs—and the whole list of farm products—soon had only a or since move products sink right to the bottom. third tricity, and gasoline, and which is on the threshold of harnessing the eco¬ meat-milk-and-fruit sort of Corn, part of a ter¬ rifically high-powered economy, one which moves by steam, elec¬ each group full , all among has made the first toward war schedule—in in free markets, prices! of their the andsaw generation ago, or even a a the well. < producing Farmers,, kept blast, 'Operating tangible along? get painfully remember You: is a seri¬ now more farmers did How Agriculture, nomic groups, human stomach is far more The future is clear. like ago, of tractors—a measure city folks matter than it was ous includ¬ about 2 gain of more during the war. Prob¬ Today than 40% ably form one mechanical million and different •• Agricultural Production Goals cut by more than was Aluminum prices less than 5% but production was slashed; by 40%,; Automobile prices fell only a lit¬ tle over 10%, but assembly lines were throttled down by 75%. War II. Mechanical Power in Agriculture upward far States. /•.y..."y ;•*< •' V-; ; ■. y ■' ■,*•,•>..*;; slumped get back to my original Interdependence farmers even now? going we are theme. output fully-employed, well-fed United a ■ four-fifths. Each potential 1 /i.Y Interdependence Economic Now to sell-sufficientand big black question mark. a but produce before. ever customers. a handicraft. low-efficiency crude, than , farmer, then, has more farmers? were agriculture days more can 20 people out of 19 when wise, indus¬ Government, and labor, try, the bulk of Washington's How could it be other¬ made up in farming, developments It Revolution. the time the literal truth that farmers at recent fresh look, right now, a of the was Each unit factories. ing If farmers want ; people to : * ■: JVolume 162 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Number 4450 ■ full production, which will make possible a better balanced, diver¬ ing to.be the lead sified to easy agriculture—one the on the kind needs. land of It's the is the country of agricul¬ machinery kind produces ture higher prices. Some may deal came. But according to my this rally prices. But as peo¬ terpretation ple seldom pay attention to longer had the strength what they don't want to hear, point to still higher prices. will¬ are horse in trying whole economy to¬ pull our gether on the proper paths. know how the production and foods that already written. ' They , Markets goal in¬ with lower Tomorrow's You 3163 CHRONICLE bearish the works. The goals for by crop, and almost will find stories no to So I advised that: small audiences, if they find American Steel Founders Walter .acre by acre, throughout the en¬ any at all. In addition to bought at 41, was to be sold and the most opportunity. tire farm economy, point the way. stock market forecasts you at 42 (currently about 4iy2) toward what we should do to ;■ ( >That is why it is vital at. this will shortly begin reading though stop of 39 Was still in achieve full production. We know time to do some serious thinking __By WALTER WHYTE=i. splendidly about such economic standards as exactly how many acres of sugar conceived, and effect. the parity price formulas, which beets, how many acres of early well presented prognostica¬ Flintkote bought at 36, stop A minor rally now indicated. can affect the pattern of future potatoes, how much of other crops tions, on the state of future 35, was to be gotten out of and livestock we need to feed this Suggest using it to pare long production. These economic business. All of these will about-37. Stock is now about standards are fundamental ;to country, on a decent basis and take position to the bones. Tech¬ care of our obligations abroad. make interesting reading for 361/4. equality for agriculture. The nical rally is as had as tech¬ farmer should hold firmly to the Farmers could walk into a con¬ the long winter evenings. nical reaction — both spell N. Y. Central acquired at ference now and indicate to in¬ parity principle, which is his first They also will be excellent to 3iy2, exactly ' what they are further unsettlement. stop 28, was to be sold and to date his best measure:of dustry start fires with when the piles the balance of agriculture in the ready to produce and, by the same anywhere across 32. It's now * * it they make in the corner begin about 341/2. whole economy. If parity needs token, about what they would be ready to consume. They know to be toppling over. / changed, I believe the how many tractors, (-how many There were two old stocks, t The end of the old year and farmer and his friends should Aii'i;-:'/ *•//:*A///:/ trucks, how many * milking hia-\ the Lockheed make thq changes. bought at 321/2, beginning oi the hew has \ » « "■ ; In order to keep up with chines, and how many hay balers stop 39, get out about 42. It's they would like to/ have.-They always been a signal for the the Parity Formulas Out of Date / parade of annual forecast¬ now about 4iy2. Last one was could present 'concrete, specific rumors to start. Not that the But I. must frankly admit" that ers this column should also Western Union bought at* 52, examples of what lies ahead, both stock market ever needs a our ;; present•'.! -parity formulas, make like a pundit and say for industry and agriculture, / based on a period of a generation stop 50, which was to be sold change of years, months or what to Now why wouldn't the same expect of the market across 53. ago, ; produce; some strange re¬ (It's now about days to. start one of those work all the vway for 1946. In order to do this sults/when applied, to. the high- principle T-hear-they're-gonna' ■ ■ things. 53.)!,/;/ / ■',///," ; around? Can industry tell how powered moderm agriculture we it would be best to go back to .'iv" * * * But a year-end lends some .have in 1945. In brief, price sup- many radios, how many suits of the last column of 1944 and Before the end of this week authenticity to the sports at 90% of parity, on the clothing, and how many auto¬ sort of mobiles this country is ready to; present basis, might well cause usual stories that make them pick sentences out of text to you may sell them all. With production of some much-needed produce in 1946?- We believe that hard to: resist. There is some¬ prove my infallibility. Luck¬ the exception - of Lockheed the farmers of this country, a^e crops or products to decline, ily I am too lazy to do this. the profit won't buy you thing about the change of the while over-encouraging some of ready to lead the way into a new And besides I never knew the less-needed. For example, period of economic cooperation annual cipher on a calendar yachts. But frankly I'm as who made money much concerned with pre¬ milk is now about' 109% ; of aiming toward full production and that carries with it a kind of anybody full employment on farms and in out of pointing to the past parity, and we haven't been get¬ venting /losses, or cutting factories. Agriculture is willing to magic to setf imaginations ting all we need. At 90% of parity and offering it as a guarantee be the lead horse. It; is not, how¬ them, as I am in making soaring. And'nowhere has it many dairy. farmers would of the future. So, this yearso much space and breadth to sla ughter their cows for beef to ever, willing that the rest of the profits. ' ■ - l ■ ; team shall lag in the traces and end, I'll leave the annual fore¬ cut their losses. Soybeans are move around in as in the expect the farm to carry the casts to those who enjoy do¬ well over the comparable figure If you get out of the entire There is little whole load. Farmers have tried it stock market. for parity, and we've had diffi¬ ing it. ; Me? I'd rather have before with disastrous results to reason to assume that with position you will have all culty,in holding the acreage Up. another drink. Besides I don't themselves and to the nation. If cash which may not be an the coming of 1946 .this con¬ What would happen to this crop know what will we are going to use the great pro-, happen 12 ideal at 90%? Gn the other hand, the condition in today's dition will change. "On the ductive capacity of America we months away. I have all I can price; support of 90% bf present markets. But Unless, and un¬ must have a' well-matched team contrary, with all the real do trying to figure them, a parity on eggs may give us more with agriculture, labor and indus-; til, I can see higher prices, or things awaiting to be done week ahead. eggs than consumers will buy. ;; try pulling together to achieve there is at least a maintenance of What agriculture really wants plenty grist for the the high standard of American and needs for the long pull, is rumor mill to start grinding. trend, I see no reason to ad¬ living we are so capable of pro¬ To get back to the imme¬ vise- others parity income. That is, farmers doing what I 1 ^ ducing. ,(should have a fair share of the diate past and the immediate would not do myself. If the national income, proportionate to future: A few weeks ago I situation should turn for the a Most of the stories you will 1946, which, in the long run, will bring farmers the most stability crop '; Says— . . . ' - ■ . - - of the national farms, adjusted for costs of producing the; percentage population the on relative and living - the * on modern conditions. the over-all add that it is goal under That could be — might I and agriculture has one reached never farm except when pro- for war. Then, goal, the parity prices of .given commodities should be flexible enough to re¬ flect changing conditions, / in¬ creased efficiency, and changing needs. They should make a pat¬ tern of prices, which multiplied by output, would yield a fair educing all-out within this of share , big the national income. Further, parity prices in any case should be such as the most efficient cultural use" would promote of our agri¬ use resources—and "efficient production of needed and livestock, and stimula¬ tion of conservation-type farming. A designed bill to strengthen Gov¬ corporations with assets estimated at $20,000,000,000 was by President Truman op, 6, the Associated Press re¬ ported from Washington, adding that the President took the occa¬ signed Dec. sion to make this statement: "In requiring these corporations to submit their budgetary pro¬ to the Bureau of the Bud¬ get; and their expenditures to an audit by the general accounting grams office, the Congress has made a forward step in furthering the business-like management of Gov¬ ernment." Later, expressing "much satis¬ in signing the measure, "for I have long believed in the not committed to any par¬ principle it embodies," the Presi¬ ticular formula. dent said that because of the late¬ should consider am with ities into do I account believe various extreme the many changes taking place today. > As farmers study the tionmark we possibil¬ taking care, big great ; ; ques-* there is no they want to go. ■ The farmer likes to produce. His main aim in life, his doubt of-r 1946, as : toi the direction contribution to the welfare of the country, V is crops, v tq. /harvost'-j bumbeF turn out well-finished live- Stock; send floods of milk and tcainloadS' of; eggs to market, land , otherwise food provide supply.; - A c: ,y . A How can we E bountiful a drive for high pro- d action and, for full; employ merit?; their -pairt"; Of the They could get together Farmers A have answer:" right now with industry and with labor, and talk about: national •goals .and: nationalpolieiesnand unified planning toward all-out prosperity.'';:r- \ -. - ; A Conference on Production Needs ; .. Farmers have their guide bodks ness of the time it would not be possible to include budget pro¬ for the corporations in the budget he submits to Congress in January, but he added, accordinggrams to the Associated Press:; to; dp have with suggested ->•./,/.:• "I shall, however, submit : by Spring these corporations' budgets for the fiscal year begin¬ ning July 1, 1946." In v its -advices - the Associated next tions headed by Senator is Byrd prices (D.Va.), one of the bill's sponsors. From the Associated Press ac¬ counts of Dec. 6 we take the fol¬ lowing: • •• Present at the ' ' ' signing were the equally specific stops. Two weeks ago I didn't with the like complexion of William tatives Democrat, of " Case, M. Whittington, Mississippi, and Republican, of South Dakota. The Congressional Francis Economy Committee which Sena¬ tor Byrd heads had been cam¬ paigning for ten years for tighter financial tions. It of the corpora¬ Senator Byrd who their assets at more was estimated than control $20,000,000,000. better I'll have no hesitation in as More next But these they created a were [The coincide time stocks sold be on They thit in presented at are only.] v . 99 WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. any be disposed of if the stops were expressed necessarily at any with those of tha lamborn & co. for the next few minor advance or Thursday. Whyte those of the author weeks. So last week I advised the not Chronicle. situation which did not bode well views do worry. —Walter , ticle Until then let so. man the they were fantastic. whatever saying the other market and warned that some sugar violated. Exports—Imports—Futures Wood Returns to N. Y. After the break, the rally DIgby 4-2727 Banking Dept. Jchn Frank Wood, who has been leave from the New York State Banking Department serving as 1st Lt. in the U. S. Marine Corps Pacific Coast Reserve, has been released frbm active duty and has resumed his Securities ; on Established 18S6 H. Hentz & Co. said: bill specific sponsors, position as Deputy Superintendent and Counsel of the Department, Elliott V. Bell, Superintendent, of Banks,; said on Dec, 15. William Mertens, Jr., who has been Deputy tions frtcluding the issuancefof ^se¬ Superintendent Vand Counsel • in curities, as welP as his approval; Miv Wood's absence, has resigned ofthedepositbries-oftheirYunds.! from the Department's staff to ac¬ The legislation also' prohibits: the-' cept a partnership in the firm of setting up of additional corpora¬ McLaughlin & Stickles of 36 West tions without congressional au- 44th Street, New York, N. Y., with *thority;and-the Federal reincor po- which he was associated from 1934 1938. Mr. Mertens was for¬ ration of those now operating un-; to der state charters. \ • merly Law Secretary to Justice v-The Congressional Economy Isidor Wasservogel of the Supreme the at Senators kind of storm was ahead. Last Harry F. Byrd, Democrat, of Vir¬ week the storm came and the ginia, and Hugh Butler, Repub¬ lican of Nebraska, and Represen¬ reasons for it were as varied measure's Among pther things, requires :/- approvals of i •the. Secretary of the Treasury of financial; plans of/ the corpora¬ Press of purchase the four stocks about the control of Congress over faction" will hear ernment means crops I Federal Corporation Control Bill Signed . J Orders Executed on ; ' •; : '■ Members , 7 ; - • \ 1 • -- . Pacific Coast Exchanges been paigning for ten for tighter financial- control years of cam¬ Court, and was a Deputy Assist¬ ant District Attorney of New York , the corpora- County. / i. ' ■' Exchange York.-Curb Exchange York New Commodity Schwabacher & Co. Chicago New Members ' Committee which had New ; Stock York New. Orleans And Cotton Exchange Inc. Trade Exchange, Board Cotton other of Exchange Exohanges - ' r '' Exchange Exchange (Associate) Chicago Board of Trade New York Stock ■ :■' ' •' ' New York Curb v ; Teletype Private Wires to San Principal Offices — Santa Barbara Oakland — Sacramento Francisco — N. Y. NY 1-928 New York 5, 14 Wall Street OOrtlandt 7-4150 Monterey N. Y. Cotton Exchange NEW YORK 4, ? CHICAGO ' ' DETROIT GENEVA, Bldg. N. Y. PITTSBURGH SWITZERLAND Fresno 0 and already compromised no negligi¬ powerful lobbies in all ble portion of the nation's future-. Consider: " r nistory, to hold prices down, and In October of this year serious thereby, to stop the flood-gates of, crimes increased a runaway inflation." I think it is 19% over the fair to say that the Government's same month last year. the Problems of the Justice Department control possible every of aspect is the induction process. the Selective Training and Service Act makes power, provision for the performance of quasi-judicial functions within the administrative framework. Registrants who are dissatisfied their classification may ask with hearing a obtain to defer¬ a ment, or a different classification. Tne local Selective Service registrant be dis¬ satisfied with the decision of the the he has local board, with and, in ex¬ the to circumstances, Such Due which remedies act the is account Asks Labor trative Process its two opposed /the growth of the administrative process.,,; i" ♦' This opposition, to quote Chief Justice Stone, is "reminiscent of the distrust of equity displayed by the Common Law judges and of their resistance to its expan¬ sion." Instead of resisting its growth, the Chief Justice said, the legal profession should seek "to the for business, come subdivisions of management,- to cooper¬ labor and great ate with Government. tional moving. // big business in life, well as ; ^ our na¬ management, as and must be considered such, as / responsi¬ bility than just making monev for undoubted agencies advantages efficient new as more members. own ' It must cooperate to create high levels of employment "y '> tion. We and produc¬ ■" ", > " ' bickering and squab¬ bling like back-fence cats, where if are with all antee, against abuse." ■' special Your association's How foolish tle decimal not given y'h'Cy'fi ]\yyfi-r /, to we are intact, by putting own greed.' '*./ ' No mittee administrative on since its formation in They exist because people are willing to pay anything for what they want and can get. Such a It all Let's jump that is to eral field in say gen¬ effort to improve an procedures. "" our On As defects have been pointed out, we have tried to correct them. We have tried to make of the administrative process an efficient and withal, fair implement for the functioning proper ment. ' of govern¬ : For the past several months your special committee on ad¬ ministrative law and the Depart¬ ment of Justice have collaborated with the judiciary committees of both houses, at their specific re¬ quest, in seeking to arrive at Clark I Bill which would be accept¬ think the rewarded with success. has been /. The McCarran-Summers The final draft of the \ McCar¬ Bill, recently re¬ favorably by the Senate Judiciary Committee, may be de¬ ported scribed of as a due restatement trative agencies. It for process .(■ H minimum establishes the of adminis¬ requirements in terms ap¬ plicable to all administrative agencies of the Federal Govern¬ ment. ~ Broad general laid down with a ; principles are sufficient degree of definiteness to protect the pub¬ lic in its dealings with Govern¬ ment. ; ; Recognition has the fact that not of Governmental given to function agencies can be been every is , sensible under like a And harvest. touch is to-win, of the in of comfort and this Depart¬ the land a privilege. It psychological tasteful to which is us attitude dis¬ basic fac¬ a in the whole story tor of the ills that hamper the progress of recon¬ version and keep us up to now from enjoying the fruits of the greatest military victory of all time. Perhaps if you trace this poison of contempt for the law you will find its source, partly at least,, in the old prohibition law which made disrespect for all law axiomatic. Today slight and seemingly in¬ and nocent occasional pay-off a think. Of more course violations serious than the solid citi¬ today does not have to vio¬ late the prohibition law. But habit to violate law and to squares citizen ra¬ violation, so that it with one's conscience, The solid finds that judicious,—or clever,—expenditure of shall I say money, and the the seems-to have survived. — here above and the there, standard — over of cus¬ tomary trade,—brings him special consideration. In : the days of shortages, meats and cigarettes and possibly Nylon stockings, came by this route. To¬ day to avoid delays in personal services, tips are given for apart¬ ments, for clothing, for even re¬ pairs to automobiles and shoes. Sometimes large Thus a they these are "tips" are so "bonuses." called setting the stage for really tremendous drama of con¬ we are flict which eats of the you right to the heart reconversion problem. For study the facts what is it • on the own one hand •Government is striving against greater no catastrophe than occur in any I tell you can ceiling r. is L ter will be given, no quar¬ because these violations are destroying the very breath of our economic life. And wherever will be force violations a 70% for 72% for the is citizen it that pend for sion the success nation must in this reconver¬ terested the law the of a that so a Now what which I and juvenile / A on of be it spread disrespect the* for is har- of us—I the toils of the reality—let where story. in is our the an the itself. it of may. the This hits us the This nation's where blame the we live, our homes. • It is the American family on And I can tell you, it has purpose mere its is into j ing commentary that in claims Alcoa's been spite of remarkable to and record for first a substantial'reduction' in monopoly up to the hour that the Government, imperilled by the com¬ to in stepped war, expand pro¬ !' duction. | With Government-injected com¬ petition the price of aluminum was reduced. It is this competi¬ sympathetic avoiding the stigma when that is no the price of aluminum since 1911. And we hold that Alcoa had a ; practical a every of¬ tion which we are possible and lish in aluminum trying to estab¬ for good., The and the intelligent result, we believe will give the In any event" the Nation lower prices for aluminum being alerted to the situ¬ products, wider distribution, and and the campaign against a healthier industry. to follow. is now in full I that is, and epecially men to be the in the restrictive nopoly, for it is one of our con¬ tentions that the Pullman Com¬ like has critically failed to meet sleeping car needs with anything like adequate replacements and new construction. No heavy-weight standard Pullman cars have been pany picture is not all black. found against the have shown influence of mo¬ In the antitrust suit Pullman Company we the average citi¬ returning yet-^-it is directly our fault in not being wise enough or interested crime cities, in attack a to perform, and one of the by-products of the incalculable agony of the last war is that they who fought it for us have come out of it stronger and tougher in their conception of citizenship. However, if they turn out wrong —and they have not done so as law. is seem acles com¬ them, and none of us is free from contributing to the delinquency of those who have Here machinery of post¬ 1931. The small built since Feb. 2, , in plicity in fallen into to | number of light-weight cars that of our stewardship. In my judg¬ were built in that period failed ment there is not a man or a wo¬ ev6n to begin to meet the needs man who has served in our armed of the national sleeping car prob¬ forces in the late war who po¬ lem. And along similar lines the tentially is not a better citizen be¬ paralyzing hand of monopoly and cause of the experience. God the tendency to monopoly has works in wondrous ways. His mir¬ repeat— is free from is veteran in whom we have the test wide¬ imaginations may be star¬ by the figures which follow. they have been carefully gath¬ ered, and then checked and reNone plan reaches But the Your of us, have And the silver lining in this cloud tled one the course, business.and put the process of reconversion in high gear. Thd in positions of leadership, take hold .and give us your support. But not of purpose, war Department of Jus¬ operating to attack unless all of us, America. checked. a lubricate not But again, as in the case of the black market, nine-tenths of the effort can be discounted, of law The swing. Investigation, were—of I the job. American its elders take the It has seen the juvenile : crime prepared/for me by my famous assistant, j. Edgar Hoover, of the as Its court ation of the which show the pay-off—the we adopt practicable zen .vest, ti-trust laws. to youth by being a you of now and fender in the Bureau in de¬ //7 '"'(r'-'v 'manufacturing efficiency there has but firm wake of Federal man no ade¬ national scale which has ican disrespect for th<b law? Well, I have some figures here, comes robbery; for auto munity in the country. Its policy is to save the reputation of Amer¬ ; speak that know many termining his status under the anf powerful and concerted effort a one For harvest the American business all cure seen offenders nation is the on center in the ^ is have We will ■ alone; have son.;,.;,' de¬ still '/77/7 list of childish pranks by compari¬ course end trouble way. that the will not prune is to give the free enters prjse every break. It is in this spirit that the Department of Jus¬ "smart" and the "clever" amongst tice, in enforcing the Sherman law us, get those things which were against what it believes to be scarce by violating the law. And monopolies, is seeking to establish youth has followed suit and piled competition in the aluminum in' up such a catalogue of crime as dustry, — and, I believe, - with makes all previous records for eventual success. It is aninteresteasiest be made dollar You do you 1939. furnish to We been youth has Growth of Law Violations : enough leadership. the can full doHar when the for 55% quate land road is reached. 39% taken pot it is upon the respect—the deep respect—of the man.in the street road to reconversion street. /;(vThe Anti-Trust Laws /;•//, : . bad example, or have not been in¬ average fight against inflation. for It is my policy not punitive attitude where punitive attitude is called for. Rather I invite you to come to the "not guilty" to some share in this Department of Justice with your tragic picture told in the hard sta¬ anti-trust problems and we shall tistics of the nation's crime.' show you where you stand in dan¬ That's the harvest of disrespect ger of making the wrong turning. for the law. And no one, I say, The Department of Just.ee is not who has heard these figures can going to solve your legal problems disdain a responsibility of some for you, because that's your law^ sort for them. / /;•••-/•/'.' '>,/( yer's job, but where it can it will We have contributed, all of us, ; show him the red or the green, in the older generation, to this de¬ light with respect to your busi* linquency. We have either set a ness operations. Federal But in the last upon arm. analysis shall that that production ills. We in Wash¬ ington know the state of honest uncertainty that sometimes assails 18 under assault; is prosecuting the on always win when con¬ our since 198% of boys rape; evil. the is in thefts; and 101% for drunkenness. No one of us can honestly plead this of there is as increased 48% for homicide tice fury thieves 'youth especially sensitive. increased there and we reasons where girls of tender are crack-down with all the occur the plays in the moulding of the mind of young America in the class-' room, and the almost equally vital role the neighborhood policeman plays in influencing American' And that Well, consider these figures: 7 The arrests of girls under 18 Arrests The textiles in New York and car concerned are have a run¬ Department of Justice is fighting the black market in word a course sciences ' now of all of one delinquency . Of extinct vol¬ ; -..■ijv" no "fA-.:-.: 62% ugly as years part of the land. And right here and now prices, ; 21 thieves; 26% of all the of all, rapists. 30% badly;, public servants. And I know I dor not have to pause here to tell you • the vital role the school-teacher ! * the that the evil of the black market, the evil of sly overpayment on cano. more under so the budget too close, for the money English language. ; ; : ■ 'you save in the class room you More boys and girls aged 17 are spend 20 times over in your penal arrested than any other age group. institutions. is Attorney General is a kind periscope that unfailingly sees violations of the law when they fall That here be can and inflation. The problem seems away safe of his by undermining the na¬ strength.. Domes¬ there economic for have of economic arithmetic their functions. t i, the arsonists; of .*/ abroad given or cumulative effect of the largo and , ' ,, overseas, even classification the of all not sound ourselves,—that some of us are "smart" enough to ob¬ tain scarce articles or services, by extra-legal means. But disrespect for;any law on the part of all classes, especially those who can afford special privileges,- has its petty, but in the aggregate, disas¬ trous violations of which I speak?. Simply this: far contempt for may serious matter;—-as we,talk varied.for an over-gerteralized ap¬ proach. ; Accordingly, appropriate excep¬ tions have been made, not of agencies as such, but of certain of are of it here among that is happening and what is the functions of It comes regulation. head the law. too Their 7 ,1 the head under comes the to ; \ unwillingness to abide by normal the memories your these have we the, school teacher and the policeman) are the most underpaid of all our 21 years all the the rob¬ of the current of contempt for a law that is as regulated uniformly. that of hold in instant that juvenile years of age—I said under of -age—we find 15% of to have been licked. But the office , our proce¬ dural phases attitude tionalize Bill ran-Summers law , law when law interferes with zen on : for which work merry-go- contempt we hard ap¬ Justice, Attorney General There a able to all interests concerned. has thus been carried the production. said: cynical final draft of the McCarran-Summers other sense •/• /, ■ be can Contempt-for-Law Attitude we," in the Government, have same 1 ' ling the great victory this helped law, 1933, fair off round and into problems it - . produc¬ ///"'(y//7 /((.((■ 7 77/77-- (C- ment of think also worked hard in the ; plied."'' field. I irresistible is racketeer. blood, by the pint, again and again to the Red Cross, is now imperil¬ free play, a demand and has steadily sought to have Congress enact regulatory legislation in this And patronize refuse to we it. and In larcenies more as examine into causes we find burglaries. more now an robberies. ■■7/V.V'' " murderers; 36% of all bers; 51% of all the burglars; 34% market can (survive black hour if damper on our a try to set¬ we have points when the forces of tion and competition ; com¬ a into production the 7; It is one of the arresting ironies present problems of wages and of our time that the very man prices will tend to settle them¬ who may have sent his son to die selves./' And The solution rests us. get we ; and 26% more 11% were patriotic eager¬ ness for all of us, to check infla¬ tion, and keep our money values tically guar¬ of 38% were There our cooperative, tion's needful economic life, to to our future, rests if There ■ scene mismanaged some of the other phases of it. For it is not unlikely theits. appalling facts: a supply every hour, ican auto more cheerful aspect of the Amer¬ now murders. more 38% were for ment, with while There 32% were simply in obedience to the law, in and before the inexorable laws of time, There Its continued success, so savings, our working implements of govern¬ surrounded, at the same unwieldy complete, certainly been phe¬ important to had during the war, we to get the wagon most this to money-lure We heed the sort of three-horse hitch that has nomenal. one The time has its Many members of the Bar have the to Business in this day of our de¬ Opposition to Growth of Adminis¬ adopt of taken Management and velopment has far of be to not this with problem Cooperate With Government provides. /: vigorously by "prejudicial error." Labor is the manifold adminis¬ are accordance "unsupported or the rule of President of the United States. trative law," in not substantial evidence." to a recourse local board of appeal ceptional otherwise or in -f/ ■ aside set findings unless they are found to be "arbitrary, capricious, Board hears and decides such com¬ Should , to not are agency • plaints. paramount Courts grant of rule¬ In addition to the making public interest appropriately recognized. . The abiding of all of us—and that is one'of the most comforting reflec¬ tions of our time. I, for one, hope that we do nothing to muddle this most success 3135) (Continued from page Thursday, December 27, 1945 the most vociferous biggest, for FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL 8c 3164 .. , helped to give our railroads had War I War II. I'll own let rather the story: On so us a that freight more Dec. situation.on we actually in World cars in than tell statistics World their ; 31/1916, this country had 2,329,475 freight cars. * On Dec. 31, 1944,. this country had 1,797,012 freight cars. , enough in taking care of them. . ~ This means that while we.were Our figures up to now show the veteran is the most law confronted with a global war we that ; [Volume 162 commercial bank that mucn more freshly created dollars of purchasing power turned loose in the markets, and is definitely in¬ lessness about doing a good day's work. No one worries about los¬ flationary. away, by expansion of credit. Says Deflation Feai Far-Fetched Letter" of the Na¬ (In the December issue of the "Monthly Bank tional City Bank, the publication takes labor leaders and President Truman that issue with the argument of general use in the wage rate deflation and a decline in general pur¬ level is essential to avoid a 2. power trend and inadequate the 40week, with consequent elim¬ compensate for. return to Aour overtime ination/of "wartime is maintained at the peak, despite lessened hours work, labor will home pay of government quarters. his 30, of over $20 billion in annual wage and salary pay¬ checked, less in private industry, which said "is not going to do^any- ments he body the President is stressing agriculture, or the general pub¬ lic." "It is," he declared, "a sure road "Wage increases," he continued, therefore imperative — to cushion the shock to our workers, to sustain adequate purchasing "are , and to raise the power income." • similar vein was In national * the state¬ by Reconversion Director John W. Snyder in a public ad¬ ment October citing that cut in the work week has been from 48 to 40 hours the reduction in ; take-home pay is in dress "where the 23%," wide and concluding that "this reduction of pay can mean ' 1 . 532,463 less freight cars than that preceded more than a quarter century be¬ had in the war we it fore.. ;. strangles retrogression defense tional production arrested This the in time of and nile delinquency emer¬ reconversion is in the juve¬ problem is cen¬ legitimate business and we are fighting it there.. It is in the ten7 dency to monopoly and we are striking at that evil through the enforcement of the laws against it enacted by the Congress. Our the machinery of the law and it has the means of en¬ forcement, and our people, I be¬ country has have the will to see this post war period through as they saw the war itself through to lieve, victory! in my own estima¬ General it will be fulfilled my role as the people's lawyer which in my judgment is the highest praise as why, if our problem is de¬ flation, did the President, in his And Sept. 6 message to Congress, warn as he did (and we think wise¬ us Attorney because I have to me. That means that the Department of Justice is cooperative, with a set of affirma¬ tive and helpful principles, eager to assist business enterprise in America channel itself through legitimate paths to prosperity. that the acts of Con¬ will be enforced for the pro¬ tection of the public. It means that to the limit of my capacity That means gress a of on ous officer this adminis¬ cabinet tration will weight authority to bear, bring the full Government the side of a Lawfully prosper¬ nation..," outburst inflationary the World War I? (he said) keep m of the period mind the experience immediately after the First World War. After a lull of a few months the Armistice following of 1918, scrambling prices turned upward, of the history, We found ourselves in one in inflations our culminating in the crash of 1920." And why, again, did Mr. Sny¬ der, who has been quoted Ibove as forecasting purchasing power deficiencies and deflation if la¬ bor take-home decline, to say is pay permitted to Congress in urg- jng continuance of price ^control legislation beyond June 30 next 1 as.there A T are on more* that "as Jong , dollars than goods Government the in circulation, must hold the again inflation"? Why did Chester Bowles, the OPA direc¬ line on the same bill, that such continuing price testifying tor, assert because "there's more hot money around than most of us dreamed there control would was necessary /■•.;>v be"? With such /■ conflicting statements government officials on the buying power, it is small wonder if the public becomes confused. ;> • from matter of available , that can come as of soon; tered, and we are fighting it there. It is in the strangle-hold that the black market is trying to get on If I succeed credit and purchas¬ ing power and thus exert a coun¬ ter-deflationary influence? worst for war along all these fronts. It is American home where the tion for spending? Why are we endeavoring to keep the bonds out of the banks whose purchases money ly) In view, the answer to the our question, is there any impending shortage of buying power? is—no, for three principal reasons: 1. The Federal Government is still spending far in excess of in¬ come, and is expected to show a deficit of some $30 billion this fiscal year. Despite the exclusion of the commercial banks 1 hotels. the them in from subscription to the war loans for their own account (except in lim¬ ited amou nts for saving deposits), a very substantial part .of. the def¬ icit is being financed indirectly this great oughtto , be taken into account in talking about future purchasing power and figuring the possibilities for inflation or deflation. y; f <. the to i foregoing points there is still another and more fundamental reason for three not taking a calamitous view of in money income pay¬ fall some We in real credit. and they the signs of see We estate. see the stock market, where risen to the highest prices have reserves addition them. levels in eight years. And be it noted, is without people will be .willing to invade huge pile of past savings is a matter for conjecture, but cer¬ S In people to goods they want when inflation of ceilings, price costly subterfuges to get (or government, bonds and bank deposits, To what extent them in the diffi¬ see holding resort to marketable tainly the existence of see see in the readiness of liquid resources, made securities, hoard We in culty and want currency. are We them in the amount of travel, in the conges¬ tion of the railroads and of the We moving. this na-,Jn^dry.stmtel, arid, got completely out of prices hand. gency. Our and hand. every on enormous readily of other power and deflation why are we trying to sell bonds to the people who could otherwise keep their would expand ; cashable) purchasing little too be ^ had up upon to of billion tions to mop up is the reach reali¬ Actually, signs of inflation present the war and now total of $140 bounds during "purchasing power" to them in the volume of retail trade past * savings which have accumulating by leaps and been only pur¬ zation does not seem to sink in. People, in addition to spend¬ their individual subscrip¬ "excess purchas¬ ing power" and, as Secretary Vin¬ son said, give inflation "the knockout punch." If our trouble phasis that the workers that followed "We must only ohe thing, the de¬ sense something to fortunate position the more savings and devoting -a normal proportion of cur¬ spending. is The people of Europe are getting fearful lesson in this, but in our ing more and saving less of their current income, may also dig into and salary income and call¬ ing for wage-increases as an off¬ set, the Treasury is launched upon the Victory Loan drive, with em¬ that to be a drop in take-home pay, the nation, he said, cannot afford to ' have that drop too drastic. Conceding on a there power ex¬ a of 3. talking wage -unemployment." there will have wide to matter no Purchasing meaningful additions It would mean cutting the abnormal wartime rent income to flationary effect of an estimated shrinkage of $20 billion in annual business, good—labor, any down in when expenditures will that such increase. ; . are ists possibility the with and even both sides of the fence. .While on standards, how much money we give people, until we can get production mov¬ expendi¬ individual in decrease point out, first, that officials government gain in purchasing power living or individuals without corresponding tures, considering this question, it is in order to real no merely set the stage for inflation. more In /, '/ total of income payments to rate , / , all this, use of have the money paying down cash on the One needs but look People are barrel. around and what is see going on to wonder why people are worry¬ much about deflation and little about inflation. r ing so so incomes to the inflated war levels, but rather the rela¬ tion of money incomes to costs, is purchasing power, de¬ the circumstances. An on that forced prices, and profits. adequate purchasing power, would anything be gained by jacking up all around? This is a very argument, which keeps crop¬ ping that", boosting ing wages create facto, the idea will, ipso both because up higher 1 purchasing more wages Certainly wage increases do not more purchasing power if they squeeze profit margins to the point where business cannot go ahead and workers are of is jobs, it And smaller Far-Fetched these all Taking factors to¬ chasing power deflation. and other way have around—that more we purchasing shall power seeking satisfaction in goods and services than there are goods and is, and time, a shortage of the kind of things people will be wanting to buy. Meanwhile, the preoccupation ap¬ pears to be all in the direction of piling up the financial claims against production rather than getting production itself going. services available./ There will continue to be for some There is the scramble for higher the scramble for foreign loans, the pressure for larger un¬ employment relief payments, sub¬ sidies, and deficit spending, all on the theory that they add to pur¬ — usually devices, etc., are introduced. Certainly wage increases do not mean more purchasing power if they force prices to a level where buyers strike and production and V trade for stalled. are of dividend A ($0.50) Cents the on per capital will 1946, to broadcast the on 1946, the Company. paid cost ./public • Ottumawa, the first of these on projects on a permit them to Stating that the low¬ would that basis ahead. go est bid would cost of have wages as before). hampered by strikes, slowdowns, absenteeism,. and general care¬ the final run the first project $810,000 the New York City Housing above Authority's estimate of $3,860,000, extension of such increases on the scale same other projects the to (Continued 3167) on page DIVIDEND NOTICES Share Company Electric Bond and $6 and $5 Preferred Stock Dividends Quarterly the share declared stocks of 1945 23, for 1946. H. of February at the Com¬ as $30 DINKINS, - with a been have ; 1946 1, close ' H. the been. modified distribution) record of January:. 7, share on $0,96 2/3 per per Stock connection in payment stockholders $1.16 ai}d having capital share per dividends $3 ,/Preferred Stock on tne $5 Preferred pany (such of November of -P. to the busniesa . Jr.'," Secretary. for FROEDTERT COMPANY, INC. "Largest Commercial Maltsters in the World" DIVIDENDS UNI i £0 REFINING The 31, Froedtert Grain and Malting Company, Inc., today declared regular quarterly dividends of twenty-five cents (250) per share on the Common Capital Stock of the Company and fifty-five cents (55*0 per share on the Preferred Stock of the Com¬ Treas. SMELTING STATES COMPANY AND MINING pany, have declared a quarterly lH% (87 V? cents per share) Directors dividend of both payable January 31, 1946, to stockholders of record January 15, 1946. the Preferred Capital Stock payable January - 15, 19-V5 to stockholders of at the close of business December 29, 1945. No dividend was declared on the on on ALVI'N B. CORD record Stock. Common December 20, 1945 * / v >. /, " THE CHASE Vice 1 '•••' ■"/' ' FRANCIS DECLARED The Board of Directors of . , FTSKE, ■ President and Treasurer Milwaukee, Wis. "Treasurer. December 18, NATIONAL BANK OF THE 1945 CITY Or NEW YORK National Bank of the City of New York has declared a dividend of 80^ per share qn the 7,400,000 shares of the capital stock of the Bank, payable 40?f per share Febfuary 1, 1946 to holders of record at the close of business January 11, 1-946, and 40*i per v The Chase share May 1, 1946 tp holders April 12, 1946. of record at the close of business / . will not be of these payments. closed in connection with either • THE OF work-week take-home Production is projects, housing Mayor F, H. La Guardia revealed the city's inability to obtain bids Fifty share stock Jan. Morrell, Vice-Pres. & Iowa. . / / A. Geo. be time for leisure. (of course at the same ef¬ obstructive spiraling wages, costs, and prices on the New York City pro¬ gram for construction of 13 low- stockholders of record Jan as shown on the books of 12, The transfer books They want a shorter use, fects of of John Morrell & Co., At the same time, many people to think they ought to have more, what building trades to increase pur¬ chasing power if the result is to halt building? / Commenting recently in a radio DIVIDEND NO. 66 chasing power. and Of example, to raise wages in the JOHN MORRELL & CO. seem more the GRAIN wages, . the feel pinch most since these are gener¬ ally operating on slenderer mar¬ gins of resources and are less able to make adjustments. Wage in-^ creases may reduce employment to the extent that labor-saving gether, it is difficult to see solid basis for fears of inadequate pur¬ Rather the danger seems just the thrown out usually that concerns and MALTING To the extent of Deflation Fears re¬ m,ean DIVIDEND NOTICES various elements that promotes production and distribu¬ tion, the question of purchasing power takes care of itself. .// without easily persuaded themselves—are achieve a relationship be¬ we tween these re¬ productivity, granted or of money that in about comes other matter. wages power is superficially plausible, and because .the groups advocat¬ not an gard to productivity is quite an¬ assuming for the sake of problem is in¬ only by overtime wage pay¬ ments but also by* employment of more than the normal labor force. Such conditions afford no sound criterion for more normal condi¬ tions. The thing that will count from now on is not the relation the that course, discussion that our old that of raising costs and prices, thing. But an increase that one Wages and Purchasing Power bei borne in reduction that is talked of would be from, a highly inflated wartime level — inflated mind should It ments.^ is ■! But is, flection of increased The truth is that there can be : chase. Under any other condition, of Purchasing Power? . been accustomed. by the same token, there is- room for a considerable decrease in the power and stimulating production and employment? Is There a Shortage without Industries are crying for while workers "rest up" go fishing, or lo'ok around choosily for jobs that will pay the war wages to which they have on. ing ahead. sum fact more increase are bridged and the war financed without a terrific inflation of prices. Now, however, chasing this argument been wage-price speech on President Truman re¬ ferred to an estimated drop, un: Oct. pro¬ Is it true that we face a problem of too little purchasing power in the hands of the public? And if true, would the proposed increase in wages be an effective method of sustaining general pur¬ ;• W*'/;/'y highest Thus in the mean and and services was gram. repeated again and again by la¬ bor leaders and labor economists, but it has received strong support in recovery whole the economy at large and prevent the expansion of peacetime employment and pro¬ duction so ardently desired by Not only has may wreck effect upon everyone. that judgments The increase in wages may or may not labor, and the supply of goods incomes cannot afford to risk ill- we tucked back normal rate of this rise in the people have resources for the gen¬ are good. pending saving that the "inflationary gap" between the total of disposable in business factor wage considered purchasing power have a deflationary will which suffer costs in decline a the of to Because of the importance cally. eral and in the background usually liberal • unem¬ ployment relief allowances to fall there to buy were not It Was, indeed, thanks available. financial some wanted they pur¬ that the increases job, for there is always an¬ a other to be had, most undoubtedly will People . ing during the war. While the war was on people saved, both because, of patriotic4 incentives arid because many of the things defla¬ examined criti¬ tion" ought to be unless that "sustain to now means they did chasing power"-and "avert central point is the labor's take- mium rates, a claim at pre¬ pay needed are /This spend a larger proportion of their currently -received income than and maintains that the fear of a post-war deflationary purchasing power "is far fetched," In a discus¬ sion of the topic, tne National f— — —:— City circular states: v.</would have to reduce their standIn the discussion of union deard of living, This theory that wage increases mands for 30% wage, increases to chasing 3165 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & Number 4450 CHASE NATIONAL THE CITY OF BANK NEW YORK W. H. Moorhead T . 1 Vice President and Cashier Thursday, (December 2 7;': 1945 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE COMMERCIAL & 3166 LCilendar FILlNaS Lbt of issoes whose registration statements were filed less than twenty days ago, grouped according to datea on which registration statements will, in norma! course is offered by the company to the holders of its com¬ mon stock at a price to be filed by amend¬ ment at the rate of one share of preferred for each 26 shares of common held of Offering—The preferred stock effective, un¬ discretion sf the become accelerated at the less SEC. record GAS CO. at ' ment. ./77V/?/ the underwriting group. including CO. BOLT BUFFALO BERYLACA reg^ra" EShS ^ItettllSsee ■ common Issue ELECTRONIC Dec. '°authorized na?£'°v subscription. ■ Underwriters—None named. public ^ v MONDAY, DEC. 31 BISCUIT CO. on Dec registration statement for- 80,750 common stock. par SI. CONSOLIDATED Hied 12 a of shares ItoXVm com^u of stocltholders ?aUo VoT^ar'e be olfered reeord^some each tour shares lor mentioned. , ' ••.."* ' a 12 filed Dec. on a shares of common sto for 129,966 ment AMER¬ registration state¬ CANTEEN CO. OF rrroMATIC ICA , 20. issue of Dec. chased from will be men uy Offering—Price to public ^"underwriters—Homblower & Weeks and Inc. Republic Corp., Central it is producer. 1.'Ay. / '• V7 Offering—The shares are being largest p Details—See cellu¬ extruded which of casings, sausage block, chased from Price Co. 54,000 E. received be to cuBD^A12 350,000 f^°%^?tlJre?errSltesIto?k of shares preierreu par). The dividend rate will amendment. • issue of Dec. 20. u>00 and price to the public will be filed amendment. Company's capitalization, consists of 540,000 shares of class A, $5 bv ' be filed par and Details—See ff rt stock will be lor sale at competitive bidding and the offering price filed by amendment. Underwriters—The names will be filed Offering—The new Lehman amendment.;-, ' Brothers. dividend rate will stock ($1 par). mon issue stock holders to be offered first to are (no part. The amendment. Washington Avenue, -St. * Mo. shoes. dren's ( chil¬ 7 > . . and men's ... Offering—The price to the public will be Offering—The fprri^d a be filed by Business—Women's, _ of Dec. 20. 100,000 sharesofpretne of the company's cutstanding com- Details—See Louis, filed amendment. by Proceeds—The of common, shares Details—See entered company Ltd. $1.25 Price holders. Canadian will Should the option not Toronto Mines Finance, the and of '•' 000,000 of the net proceeds to> the prepay¬ ment of its term bank loan evidenced by preferred is convertible at into lVSrshares,of commomstocK Underwriters-Burr & Co., Inc., 57 Wil¬ April 1, 1955, in the amount of $3,000,009. The balance of the net proceeds will be shares are reserved for The ferred. any time liam Street, New York 5, N. Y. 2V*% a added the to maturing note, promissory of the funds general on com¬ In view of anticipated demands- for products and the outlook for its busi¬ ness • generally, the company intends to pany. TUESDAY, JAN 1 13 Dec. filed a shares 162,500 for & TERMINAL CO. registration statement of common stock RAILWAY DALLAS on its ' (par $20). , Details—See issue of Dec. ^ eii\ _ 20. Offering —The shares «e Pr™ by Electric Power & 1Light Co parent of Dallas, and proceeds from, the sale will be received by Electric owned opening factories, of construction. Underwriters—Goldman, Sachs & CO., and Lehman Brothers head the under¬ now under are writing group. ••>•••'• •• Registration Statement No. 2-6053. Form A-2. affiliate of • filed 14 217 384 a whose RUBBER CO. on registration statement for ASBESTO & stock shares of1 common present below a list of Issues registration statements were filed We WEDNESDAY, JAN. 2 union UNDETERMINED ;'77 (par )• twenty days or more ago, but. whose offering dates have not been deter¬ mined or are unknown to us. ' Offering—The price to the public will be the _ will underwriting group. statement for 14filed a reg¬ 120,000 sk®**?' °* Emulative preferred- stock The dividend rate will be filed by amendment. Details—See issue of Dec. 20. Offering—The otter company J,he preferred stock to the holders o stock oni a pro rata basis uponterms and at a price to be filed by amendment, on the basis of so many shares of pre¬ ferred for each 100 shares of common held. The underwriters have agreed to purchase such shares of preferred as are not sub¬ 3 filed TRAD¬ registration a. statement for 400,000 shares of 4% Details—See cumul¬ deem fund Offering—The of price Oct. for by the common stockholders, together with the balance of the authorized 120,000 shares which are not offered to stockholders, The public offering price will be filed by i amendment. Ripley Underwriters—Harriman Inc. and Fenner to public the will shares be CABOT Co., YELLOWKNIFE GOLD and MINES, ment for 1,000,000 shares of common stock, issue of Nov. Offering—The price •ents per share. Underwriters—John named public Is 30 William Langs Is principal underwriter. a REFINING CO. on Dec. 14 registration statement for $25,000,- issued. 7 7':" of La Consolidada, S. A., a corporation, on Nov. 28 filed a registration statement for 166,667 Ameri¬ name preferred shares and 614,667 American common shares. The underlying sharer 166,667 shares of 6% Nordman St. Co., •■;,;7i-yyy;'. ,;'77/7/*771'-' - ; and a> shares on registration: statement for cumulative of con¬ share. r . ; cash The payment. to price the /< ' ■ . will be offered Underwriters—The bonds for sale at ment. ^,7 '.*1 26 Nov. on A.-7, ; 7 j and the filed v 7'"/ INVESTMENT CORP. registration statement STREET STATE; ; bidding competitive the underwriters filed by amend¬ for; 123,411 \ CORP. a, Offering—The price to the public will be by amendment, filed names of Pieree, Peabody & SERVICE filed 28 Nov. on issue of Dec. 6. Details—See statement will re¬ 1945, Kidder, - CO. GAS SEATTLE public; is $103, per share. '1 > / 7 > Underwriters-tClement 'Mi Evans & Co., Inc.,. Atlanta, Ga. .heads the group. ; '».« ir. . a (additional) of no par shares stock,/and stock purchase war¬ entitling the bearerd to subscribe in rants the; aggregate to said common^stock, to be 123,411 shares of given to- issuer's stockholders of-record at the close of busi¬ 15, 1945. In addition 34,113 shades already issued, on Aug. 22, 1944, to registered to permit the re-sale thereof ness Dec. on be and when reacquired by as issuer//--'- Details—See issue ot Nov. . 7- 29. Offering — Initial offering of 123,411 shares expected* to be made on »r about .. Dec.L 24,, 1945, through; the issuance of stock purchase warrants "to stockholders. . Underwriters—None., - 7 . ^ , Dec.5 7 be filed be headed'by underwriting Hayden, and Halsey, Stuart & Co., 7; group, Stone. & Co., Inc.7/7 v /;:.//. CORP. BATTERY CADMIUM NICKEL registration statement for 35,000 shares of capital stock, par $10. on Nov. filed 23 a Details—See* issue of Nov. 29./ . ' ,r. CORP. CONDITIONING AIR tiled 21 Nov. statement' for 500,000 registration a of Shares common stock, par 10 cents, of which. 150.000 shares be offered through an underwriter. 7. Details—See issue of Nov, 29. Offering—The price to the publie is $4.50 Application has been made by the-corporation to list on the New York per' share. Curb Exchange 350,000 mon stock which is shares of, its com¬ and presently^ Issued outstanding and application has been -made to "-list/on the Curb; 150.000 additional to be sold under, this* prospectus. Underwriter — Qeorge;..F,, Breen,/New shares / York, ThS securities are Underwriters—None. 0% STATES are( to . Offering—The price to the public is $10 per share. . - , UNITED by amendment. Underwriters—The . will ' .;. > CO^, John and Mo.>v7 7, registration statement for $4,800,000 first bonds due Jan. 1, 1976. The in¬ terest rate will be filed by amendment. , : named. public is given 7.;-7'"7/, 777 Cunningham, Inc., K. mortgage Merrill -f Lynch; LINEN filed 16 plus; a v-.v..;-..; y. > At? filed SERVICE on is 7 named underwriter. ($4 par).-7 being sold- PRODUCTS STEEL. CO. on registration- statement for a sinking fund de¬ purchase com¬ 12-year with warrants? to of (par $1), reserved for exercise of common purchase warrants. . and 40.000 shares V common 7 of its 6% have been called for redemption on; Dec., 29, 1945, ^the opportunity to exchange the preferred at the redemption price of $22 per share, for debentures, with warrants, at par, with cash adjustments for accrued dividend on preferred and- accrued interest the with at a not outstanding preferred debentures. offering shares stock, The of which, underwriters $340;000 of are debentures, warrants, for cash sale to the public price to be filed by amendment but less than 102 Vs. 7 . & Co., Inc.. St. Paul. cumulative 13 filed Aug. Details—See issue of - CREDIT CORP. VIRGINIA 29.. Nov. /Offering—The price to the public will be or LAKE MINES, LTD. per share. underwriter Charlottesville, Va The underwriter has pgreed to purchase from; the company 5,000- shares of common 6,OOo shares of preferred and $500,000 oi 4% first mortgage bonds, and has alsr entered into an agreement to; purchase 58/ 000 shares of common from Victor Product F. C. Cassell & THE PANTASOTE on Nov. CO: statement stock, for 9* filed a 100,000 shares par by certain, stockholders. Offering—The ' to beads the filed the E. a stock, $1 par, md 40,000 common- stock purchase war-mts and 40,000 shares of common re¬ PARKS GRAPE JUICE public is Noel & Co., Alstyne, par tor $1. . , • . Nov. on 23 registration statement for 20,392.3 preferred stock, par $100. shares of second Details—See issue of Nov. 29. 1 • second preferred are being offered to the holders of common stock, at the rate of two shares of second preferred for each 15 shares of common held, at $100 per Share. Navajo Corporation has agreed to purchase all of the' unsubscribed; shares at $100 without discount or commission. Navajo states purchase the unsubscribed shares investment, and not for distribution to the public. will it Underwriters—None group; SALES & SERVICE, INC., on Nov. 30 filed a registration state¬ ment CO. for underwriting AIRCRAFT cent^ & Co., Burnside -,7. York. WELCH 55 Canadian -or funds. any 22. of Nov. price New , Offering—The 20,392.8 shares of $1. The shares are Issued and outstanding and are being sold common States Underwriters—Willis . . registration United Co., Corp. of 60(4 "cents lic? is • Underwriters—The principal mentioned. a- and 40,000 shares of common on registration, statement for a . $5.75 per share. registration statement for 10,000 shares 6% preferred stock, $25 par, RED Juries 24 filed 220,000 shares of capital stock, par $1' The underwriter will (Canadian). . . / v 7 • purchase the-securities at the following Details—See issue of Aug. 2. ' prices: bonds at 95%, preferred stock a(^ Offering-—The offering price to the pub¬ $92 per share and common stock at $4.50 filed by amendment.-"* Underwriters—Van MANUFACTURERS tfov. on CO. OIL . Details—See issue Underwriters—Brailsford & Co., Chicago Kalman OSAGE ; is Offering—The company is offering to the convertible being offered by ; ! >■/ filed 29 VALLEY statement .for registration a INC., stock, and Mexican consist of registration Dec. 114, vertible preferred stock par $100 per Details—See issue of Nov. 22. CONSOLIDATED, INCORPORATED, English — Beane NATIONAL^ Nov. to /all stockholders', - pro price of $100 per share which and this offer PUBLIC 28 initially 22. to the & ;30,000 mon on $1. Details—See can " ATLANTIC not be bentures li sold LTD., on Nov. 13 filed a registration state¬ par Louis, common v; 4.v\ Underwriters—None '-/ the to ' Pittsburgh, common Cot, head the. underwriting group. expire on Jan. 30, 1946. 1 Any- stock not subscribed for will be deregistered and will 19. of July Underwriters—S. 5Ce. cumulative; preferred. its Underwriters ' ; t Details—See issue-of Dec.-6. through the efforts of the directors employees of the corporation. THE & Hemphill, Noyes & Co. head the underwriting group. filed a price average 100.47. as Thetoffering price of the new preferred will be'filed by amendment; *r' wilL 11. . mon scribed at holders S5.50 per share. Underwriters—The The all its $2,625,000 31«c.'o sinking debentures, and will call for redemp- tioir- all ■ is less than net asset value, stock non-voting shares. issue " the to the-company-on offered: be rata, $1,000,000 ative preferred CARRIER CORP. on Dec. istration wilt - Offering—The price to the public of the different series ranges from 99 to 102. exercise of fractional warrants which remain'valid until December I, 1946. According - on 4V«% equipment trust certifi¬ "/",•■ "7:,,;' / 7'," •! '-7/ .■J/./- Details—See issue to stfchz shares of. stock, except the shares,of common reserved for issuance registered, additional shares in. a- number as yet undetermined, but estimated to be no less than 6,250 and-no more than. 7,500, y PALESTINE AMPAL-AMERICAN ING- CORP. on Oct. cates.'' attached Finance Co., CORP. July on registration statement for $500,- a serial as ,7 .NEW YORK DOCK CO. on Dec; 5 filed a filed a registration statement "for ,14,999registration-' statement for $12,000,000 first shares of capital stock, minimum s.tatqd mortgage 3V2V0 bonds due Dec. 15, 1970. value of $50 per share. '. ' 7 ' ; " 7, ,'" '1 ;'7 Details—See issue of I^»c. 13.7 ; Details—See issue of Dec. 207 7 .T"». Offering—The price t®, the public Will Offering—Of the' 14,999\ shares being Oct. by amendment. heads Underwriters—Kuhn, Loeb & Co. neqas of COMPANY TOWING ROBERTS 000 ,ar$.-not --purchased by the holders preferred stock pursuant tlie "cdram'ofl! stock purchase warrants to / the un¬ .*• , GRAHAM-NEWMAN underwriter of 5'V cumulative .'('is is fiscal agent, Principal — Order 11 filed to • INDIANA being sold by certain stockholders. Details—See issue of Dec. 20. are filed subscribe which a Ga., of Hearings—Stop order hear¬ ings to determine whether the effectiveness of registration statement should be sus¬ pended now pending before the SEC. 7 - outstanding end The sherware issued end shares 150,000 shares Inc., in exchange for various obligations of the registrant. Stop common stockholders. The under¬ alio will purchase at $22 per share ofy-ther any 530,823 Co., 13 the corporation ■ > " filed a registration- statement for 113,468 •: • G'SULLIVAN RUBBER CORP. on Nov. 26 'shares of class A stock (no par)*.. • Details—See issue of Aug. 16. ^ The shares are issued and are 1 filed aregistration statement for 63,000 Offering—The price to the pu'eiic Is shares of common without par value; 6,000 by certain stockholders. Details—See issue of Dec. 6. $12,50 per share. / , , ' T shares of'75% cumulative preferred, par Underwriters—The underwriter is £3ilOffering—The price to the public will $100and $500,000 4% first mortgage crekse Gil Co. of Texas, 165 Broadway, be filed by amendment. • ( y' 7 > • bonds Of the common stock registered, New York, N. Y. Underwriters—To be named by amend¬ /, -y7 v, 58,000 shares are issued- and outstanding ment;- ' ;,7:7 and are being sold by Victor Products Corp. OF OFFERING DATES sold at „nmrw>Htive competitive by of balance registered have heretofore been Issued to Bennett & preferred to which for-c a .small writers" stockholders. ■> 1. : * price to the" public "Will 312,500 shares of common stock 7' _ rights to to. waive .their shares of new is Underwriters of Nov. $7.50 per share. -• Underwriters—General In Bennett & Co., Inc., Dallas. Texas. Offering—The company; is offering to SECURITIES CORP. on "Sept. registration statement: for 200,?, holders of its $5; cumulative preferred stock andi. $7 cumulative preferred the-; oppor¬ 000. shares of common stock, par $5. tunity to exchange their shares for the Details—See issue of Oct; 4v . Offering—The price to the public is new/ shares, on a share for share* basis, filed, stock of Seatex Oil CJ., addition, 150,000 of the shares stock being the GENERAL 28 Nov. Electric. Underwriters—Ta be bidding., pre¬ on number of shares remaining common stockholders so for being sold by certain GULF Upon- Dallas rate possible the ratio which will be by^ amendment. The underwriters have agreed to purchase any shares of new preferred" which are not subscribed (12-20-45). consummation of the saie will cease to be a subsidiary or Lieht. Dec. funds to the including two which apply portions of its general the of dividend The make to The 160,000- shares of com¬ stock is issued and outstanding and •; to the registrant acquisition of 54% the with for all of Federal's stock-. filed preferred. $3,- apply The^ common conversion of pre the the . shares at $10 a share. mon a upon be filed by amendment. Underwriters—Burr & Co. heads • shares loaned of connection Inc.- initially except be to . 7 ,. registered will be issued to stockholders of Steel Products Corp. in exchange would otherwise be entitled to sub¬ scribe will1 be sold to the underwriters, be Ltd., the company as aforesaid. are 7. Federal they Oct. statement for 60,000 shares cumulative convertible preferred. $20 par, and 260,000 shares of common, par $1. The dividend rate on the pre¬ ferred will be filed? by amendment.. The common registered includes 100,000 shares reserved for issuance upon conversion of derwriting group. 4 for 60,000 preferred offered to holders of its stock of record Dec. 27. Holders certa'in number of common shares be and the shares a shares /. of the outstanding convertible conversion for stock. agreed to GENERAL INSTRUMENT CORP. on issue Dec. on statement 990,793 June ■ (including United Stores Corporation) have Ltd., so employees.. Details—See CORP. number in .//-'!" of Tiled May 31 on for Offering—Of the shares registered Ben¬ Co., Inc., parent of Red Sank, will receive 209,970 shares in return for a like Offering—The 60,000 shares of preferred will 25 filed a registration mon - t... CO. (par $1).. issue Details—See common offering, 195,000 remaining The : OIL statement stock common The acquired public. exercised by Shares not generally to com¬ tered. to Eureka stock¬ expressed in terms oi is money. offered be the- ■:.■/ nett & $100, - and 150,000 shares of stock, par $1. In addition 150,000 of" common were registered which reserved are and share, per by Bennett & Co., the sole underwriter as to an ad¬ 100,000 shares of common regis¬ 4. Finance, commitment firm a solely //.v //" .■ Inc., Frobisher, Ltd., and La (Canadian companies) at Ltd., Mines, *■ will Ott. of Mines ;/•/ ditional purchase 480,000 shares at $1.23 per share, and has an option on 1,920,000 shares at the same price. The offering is to be made among the shareholders of lanta, ~ . par $17'■* ' par issue into of offered be to BANK registration "///'/, preferred will be filed by amendment. ; / Details^—See issue of Dec, 13.'/ ;7',-// '■, V Offering—Toronto has STORES /' .v j <. v; ;. ,7 . underwriting,— The . common LTD., on Sept. 28 filed statement for 2,595,000 registration ,/7,v /. ». basis of of' Parks. Air • ,■/ -\ offered ; the on share The' offering price is „ shares ferred J. and Irving Co. 7. Offering—The stock preferred cumulative Address—1600 of com- and 150.009 shares (M par) stock 7' shares of registration statement for 40,000 CO.OnD^iZinfO Form filed has INU, CO. SHOE & '/,; : cumulative stock, EUREKA CORP., a the Becker & Co., Inc. G. TUESDAY, " JAN. »; BROWN rv«v''.,v , „ STERLING. ENGINE class of $5. par Registration statement No. 2-6052 S-2 (12-19-45). ; -.-7 , by stock, shares 54,000 and common Common Underwriters—A. • Hirsch Co., Co. public to .' • * being /,/'■'■ RED state¬ registration a registration a of pur¬ selling the by common cials group B & , shares Corp.,-'Si¬ purchased by the company geologist, offi¬ by tor & Rice is College, for each stockholders PRODUCTS, due Dec. McCRORY filed the Nemours & Pont de du I. Scott share. a shares the to each for .Underwriters— No , stock for Chicago. •' 7-v 7/7* Colony $3.27 named principal under-^ filed 4 and College,"Inc., 1.75, shares of Tellier & name owned, College then owned. by amendment. ; /• 7;:,;,/77-7'/--;:7' Underwriters—Kebbon, McCormick & Co., on <7 J ■' of stockholders. The shares is being pur¬ group a largest 0 AMERICA - itself -will make Business—Manufactures lose . Chi¬ Street, i ' 38, Illinois. the mons, Linburn & Co., Childs, Jeffries & Thorndike, Coburn & Middlebrook, Gruobs, Luz has 65th West Address—6733 cago ■:7.' shares common • . Ventures, 7 filed a regis¬ tration statement for 150,000 shares of class A common stock, $5 par. The shares are issued and are being sold by certain . head r;" Details—See issue of Dec. 6. Offering—Preferred stock $10, Underwriters—First group. CORP. VISKING THE Co. OF CORP. preferred and^ 100,000 Stock' $5. an MONDAY, JAN. , 55 stock $1 par. ./ are QfTipVhnlHPTQ ^^Underwriters—None ible issued underwriting the heads „.. ne« to common, • firm 6. Parks Air (except basis of three a Parks Air of v- doing Tellier, on ,then one $1,000,000 4(t>. sihking fund de¬ 1, 1960. Price to public to be offered by amendment. ,, ../ Details—See issue of Dec. 6.7' registration statement 7" for cent cumulative convert¬ filed 3 70,000 shares .additional 15,000 shares and delivered by the company to Lee Industries, Inc., on Aug. 10, 1945, Buffalo Bolt acquired the assets subject to liabilities of Eclipse Lawn Mower Co. from Lee Industries for 15,000 shares of Buffalo Bolt common. Lee Industries distributed to its stockholders the 15,000 shares of Buffalo Bolt common which, at the then market value of $10 per share, were worth $150,000. Lee Industries was dissolved on Sept. 17, 1945. Underwriters—Van Alstyne, Noel & Co. of part a of Dec. on Offering—Price offering 43,386 shares at a price to be filed by amendment. In addition there may be eventually offered under the prospectus all or INC. ment bentures, & IhQ.), pany. unless previously- 1950, /' : F. MARE.MONT AUTOMOTIVE basis. share underwriting group. registration statement for 58,386 shares of common stock, par $1., Details-—See issue of'Dec. 20. >7 ,'-; vV, Offering—The underwriters 31, Dec. for Underwriters—Shields " 14 filed a Dec. on share a ) - under the business price to be filed by amendment.; The shares are convertible to and a of stock, stockholders to 7' unit, ;a. unit consisting preferred and one share Co;, New York, is writer.; , redeemed, into American common stock on 7/" \ be share one issue of Dec. Offering—The stock will be offered first ■ -, 22. per Underwriters—Walter shares not- subscribed purchased by the under¬ offering in the United States for ; Details—See of war¬ exercise upon " $30 of common any preferred will and will be of common against issued be lic preferred Underwriters—Smith, Barney & Co. head preferred will "77;-:" Offering—The offering price to the pub¬ / American, pre-? basis. rata pro Mexican of holders the a shares writers The O^D^IO Tf-lT'cumulative dfare * for Jan. 8, agreed to have underwriters The 1946. to on Mexican of business on close the at share stock ferred purchase any unsubscribed preferred stock. public offering prices of the deben¬ tures and preferred will be filed by amend¬ SATURDAY, DEC. 29 SOUTHERN UNWN 20. issue of Dec, Details—See is offering 166,667 shares at..75 pesos per preferred 4- Details—See issue of Nov. Offering—Company Mexican amendment. issuance for rants. of and NEW served preferred, par 75 pesos, and 614,667 shares common, par 25 pesos. . . . v Details—See issue of Dec. 6. 20-year debentures due Jan. 15, 1966 102,000 shares of cumulative pre¬ ferred stock, Series B, par $100, The in¬ terest and dividend rates will be filed by 000 7 v JtlcMaions New Security oj 7 7-: 7 • ■ T?1 •# c 1 I 457,020 shares of common stock, WESTERN AIR LINES, filed a shares INC., on Oct. 29 registration statement for 197,876 common stock, par $1. of Offering—Company will offer warrants THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE storing Truman's Proposal No Remedy (Continued from from Statistical the Abstract U. S. for 1943, pp. the ' , ' ' Averages 1 Per f 1 V of Stock-Paying ' ' All Stock I Return in Miles , Outstanding-!: of 4.39 Investment Total on R.R.'s | In in- 15-year the during that income per-dollarinvested was reduced almost half. ' At the the of close the Board? period, com- !]';■{ 15% a allow The increase. manufactur¬ the advance to prices enough to higher wage costs. Since the. income of the buying public will hot stretch, higher prices for cars will mean fewer sales, small¬ the cover values In the 1921-25' period, the average price | per share of the 25 railroad stocks !,(f included in the New York Times h Index*! was:; $65.08.: In the period : ; ]■ 1946-40; this average had dropped to $28.v5; a;declihe of 56%J In the first of' the? periods^"'just men7 H f tioned the total par value ..of railJ 44way./•.stockr-outstanding averaged i Slightiy>niore than $9.13 billion: production, and less employ¬ er ' 77-'?: A few months hence,? the CIO* will again demand a 30% wage ment in automobile factories. - . rate increase. c- The Board will.allow Again sales Mediation . 15%7increase'. a will; fall offh and workers will lose their jobs, ? - • ( - f are; that the averprice of the stocks in the New Times list was not higher age ! York value of If this is true,? the total market value of ; 4 railway stocks > outstanding in V ! 1921-35 was probably around $6 billion and the shrinkage in this shares all paralleled * by events in other industries. Unemployment outstanding. will period or trustees.3 ; . over problem of the declare that free the Government take the ma.ior industries. In the meantime, in ment, the endeavor an to j Govern¬ furnish employment, will be inflating the currency—thereby? thrifty of their paving the ; way "While the average citizen rhight Labor Act obbing the -■ investments and for disaster. legislation the appointment of Mediation Boards, authorizing fact-finding Employees Did Not Benefit l No doubt, asking for. - doubt that the Railway will that mand Moreover, between the begin¬ ning of 1921 and the end of 1940 railway stocks and bonds having a par value of $7 %•, billion .were placed in the'hands of receivers ■ CIO the enterprise has failed and will de¬ least $3 billion.2 was at become day. value between then and the 193640 President Truman has been actu... , , ,, , ated by a most commendable de'? fl"4 a Practical wa? t° .fetI it had greatly benefited the em-; tie labor disputes. The crucial fact ployces Asa matter of fact, in this which he. overlooks is that mo had helped the railway investors,. he would take it for granted that -• Mediation Board, regardless of the - period of declining prices, hourly earnings of employees rose enough 42%. -to lift real wages .(./.■■•yy ;y..v Average "Cost pay of (1935-9 in Real pay per $0,730 of lndexrv living" 123.4 base) 100.4 100. . $0,725 ; such 142. y This was, of course, fine for the demand for it. a rate and wage secure who kept pay per - (Continued from and past year allotments that had fair wages and far fuller ployment than can be ever em¬ se¬ Extended AFL or under or Govern¬ the draft law until May 15. Raised the national debt limit Extended 10th price controls the middle of 1946. Cut income repeal of taxes the and working conditions. Approved a governmental ganization plan in response Simplified administration property Mayor said, that "the whole pro¬ gram would be shattered to treaty. Compromised disposal labor mittee. of in Increases ac¬ the Presi¬ April 1 instead of retaining them ;?The question is, how many other worthwhile projects throughout dle of 1947 control until current statutory of war-created mer¬ chant shipping surpluses, and leg¬ islation setting up domestic con¬ of smithereens." Federal in minimum wages. en¬ employment service offices to the states by or¬ dering their return arourld next under major trol atomic over energy. Many of those matters were the subjects of specific recommenda¬ tions in mid¬ one or more Mr. Tru¬ of . Voted the country may be "shattered to smithereens" if inflationary forces are allowed to get out of hand? Clearly, occurrences of this kind are not going to add anything to purchasing power, rior (to repeat President's phrase) are j they "going, to do anybody any goodlabor, business, agriculture, or the general public." as 435 its annual Truman wanted. House members allowances expense man's 10 messages. The lawmakers . President's bid for of $2,500 each, which the Senate de¬ clined to approve for itself. j Pending Legislation But year action on: multi-billion : The v?/: Prices Source a of Pur- chasing Power Finally, in all the talk about purchasing power, it should be re¬ membered that purchasing power can be increased by lowering prices as well as by raising wages. Moreover, whereas the purchasing power advantages that flow from wage increases are limited to the groups affected, those which flow from price reductions are, spread 7 :7 for repeal British of the Johnson act re¬ stricting loans to foreign nations loan 7v7?7?7 ■'• in default of their debts. -v the entire population wher¬ there a is buyer of the over ever product. buyer in the shape of a cheaper, better car. Everyone recalls what hap¬ pened to automobile prices and the quality of the product, and ate what tion happened in the automo¬ industry in the .'20s is the classic example. There the bene¬ fits of rapidly improving technol¬ ogy were shared both with labor and with the^public. Though the leader in paying high wages to its workers, never¬ theless a substantial part of the economies resulting from manu¬ facturing progress was passed on industry was a did branches of Congress, rather than two-thirds of the Senate only, ratify treaties. The for the/country. It America literally on wheels, wrought tremendous changes in our way of living. And no group benefited more than labor. Mr. of * fate befell same a sugges¬ that Truman Speaker of the House rather than the One but has motor to glance parking lot* of car into the evidence. 7 7 Never, have however, could all about come under this to the be operate driving forced this principle on past 50 been years, over would still we around in horse and buggies. on unemployment || STATISTICIAN Public utility analyst wanted by prominent investment firm. Must be thoroughly the utility field. versed in Excellent op¬ portunity. State experience and salary D desired. Address On Paine, Webber Staff ■ MINNEAPOLIS, MINN.—David J. Hanscom have and rejoined Jackson & John F. Paine, Curtis, Rand after returning from Steele Webber, Tower, service in the armed forces. 77 Wanted—Institutional Man $1 Large, and prominent investment banking firm de¬ 1224, Commercial & cial Chronicle, 25 Finan¬ Park New York sires the services of tional corporate salesman now doing an institu¬ sayings bank reply, which will be held in strict con¬ In your man. a business, preferably a Box fidence, please state experience and qualifications. Our salesmen have been advised of this ad. Place, . Box BR 8, N. Y. Reply 1224, Commercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 . Park Place, New York 8, N. Y. cm A. shrunk. Fewer needed/ men were excess • workers were and had either to find the hence off laid I work? in other industries broker Room be- or as Market Letter Writer situations 'tor? 'broker? 1125; 201 West 74th St., special on '--New York 23, N. Y. !v •• workingmen i (,Vl Statistical Abstractffor 1943, 2 Ibid, pages 455-56. -C-. 5 ;3 Ibid, pages, 455-56. P. for 1943, 454. 5 Ibid. pp. in Experienced analyst of industrial and railroad securities, available. cial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8, N. Y. 404-5. • years Box L 1227. Commercial & Finan¬ '7 the U.S. 4Statistical Abstract of •'* 373'. page ' ' I '"4 accountant experience stock and with shareholders for shares at $20 the purchase of share. They will be permitted to buy one share for each four 4881/a held. shares will'be An a additional throueh offered plovees and others at An fered additional to 76,310 employees share. ' ,y ' Underwriters-—It and share. shares will . 1' . the issue officers Offering not. be at ,. is em- a per. tb*t shares 19,077 options; to $20 of¬ $16.50 • - - contemplated will be Underwritten. P'ostnQned—The postponed the offering. 'company"' has Senior Accountant brokerage an many accounting excellent diversi¬ firm as accountant Experienced partments. Recent naire audit and Will travel or Ex¬ all question¬ dress replies to Box CFC.7, Com¬ mercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 Place, New York 8, N. Y. r Y. service traders as well Mr. two assistant Write or telephone 7 Joseph H. Young, partner. salary requirements. Chronicle, 25 - J. Arthur Warner & Co. 120 BROADWAY, NEW Park i YORK 5 Telephone COrttandt 7-9400 : Direct Private Wires to Boston, Philadelphia ; as men. locate anywhere. Financial N. or experience. Available January 1st. Address Box CN1213, Commercial & 8, installing four additional trading positions Trading Department and require the services or —Questionnaires, Balance Sheets, etc. Available January 1st. Ad¬ New York are our de¬ Moderate Place, in traders Stock Complete Wall Street experience Park 7 • Two Assistant Traders We of two high grade member j specialist background desires connection larsre for: Two Traders with change 102,- with as, fied public accounting and tax auditor;. to We have opportunities Brokerage ■■ Senior STATISTICIAN dim-in*- greatly was Stock Accountant-Auditor ? come paupers.. The total pay roll declined sharply. This meant that the usefulness of the railroads as a source of income for American com¬ law revisions, and it down sharply the so-called full-employment bill the Senate passed, A final verdict was left until next year, when conferees will write a compromise version. that recognizes increased purchasing power only in higher wages and .would monopolize in wage advances the gains resulting from technical advance. ..Had the industry Presi¬ pensation toned program automobile become the the President ; labor a State both House refused to go along Senate and with the The with the see of dent and Vice-President die. great any industrial establishment to Secretary President should • >'j. the put and - What bile The House passed but the Sen¬ shelved a proposal that both to the motor vehicle it the labor leg¬ new or-fight law despite White House insistence, and they didn't get out of committees a Truman request • Congress put off until next proposal. rejected islation by Christmas; months ear¬ lier they refused to enact a work- . > Lower . i . ma¬ a permanent Employment Practice Com¬ Fair Disposal with return on handle > • fact-finding Liberalization of unemployment cord with another Presidential dent employment" , of compensation rates. Establishment of reor¬ to a President Truman. request from (Continued from page 3165) planned in the Authority's $116,390,000 schedule would mean, the his in asked yesterday. "full chinery to disputes. tax 1, 1946. "surplus Truman Creation ordered profits excess Mr. message legislation. v ;/ Rewrote the G. I. Bill of Rights. Jan. - So-called until mental fixation of wage rates and ?7?.7 which to $300 billion. cured either under the rule of the CIO and pay raises for Congressmen. Universal military training. Merger of the armed services-1- not been used. next 3135) page Pensions full his job, but higher hour meant higher trans¬ v> Apply the Real Remedy ; portation expenses, especially /Therefore, the President would ; when higher rates of pay were acact more .; companied wisely if he would ask by "feather-bedding" ' practices instead of by increased Congress' to repeal the Wagner i efficiency on the part of the aver- Act,, and make labor subject to the r ; age worker.' Higher operating ,exanti-monopoly provisions of :the v penses greatly hampered the Sherman Anti-Trust Law, thus re;> railways in meeting the growing 6 Statistical Abstract of the U.S. for 1943, v competition : of : ships, buses, pp. 454 and 462. ;.,r : 4 trucks, pipe lines, and electric ! power lines. Therefore, despite : marked improvements in tracks ? and equipment, traffic was lost to competitors. ; and; net revenues Desires to make connection with man • • the employment while retaining indi¬ vidual freedom. The job is beyond the capacity of mediators. ? : , ; ' ! and balancing done by competi¬ tion is the only way to arrive at v $0,509 - hour (Index) labor The . In pay per-- hour 1935-39 dollars (Real ,? ,■•••. Averages 1936-40 hour4--?; $0,629 per ability, patriotism, and honesty of men composing it, will be able to arrive at that particular wage rate which will balance the supply the 1921-25 . *' -. l.yyv ■ ■ • y:., officials to worry about rates. Competition would as¬ wage great ' ,, or the What has been happening in the motor car field will, of course, be • than the average market • ( More Inflation to Follow j. The indications y molestation, he would find entirely unnecessary for Gov¬ it Is Far-Fetched ers These declines in earnings were, tion 30 % a Adjournment of First Session of 79th Congress; Legislation Enacted-Measures Pending property protected from destruc¬ Says Deflation Fear grant the such the right of owners to have their and OPA will 7? country wfere bankrupt. in secured The Board will meet, listen to the evidence, - ! it. of course, reflected in the of' the' railway securities. demands rate -increase: wage ..;j panics owning nearly a third of [ • the entire railway mileage of the The* CIO If he legislation, and then used all the powers of Government to prevent monopoly and to protect freedom of contract, the right to work where and when one pleased, and sure light of our experience with the Railway Labor Act? what can be expected in the automobile industry if President Truman ap¬ points a - fact-finding Mediation was competition ernment $1,882 $2,820 1 Rds.)„ (CI. Unemployment Will Spread 73,963 show that railway in- figures above \testors terim 1,047 1,772 : Pay of Employees. (millions) Staggering Losses Resulted . what happened to the | Total $4,071 $6,004 (mllllonst^. Employee#- under Re- Railway The ; : of 1936-40 Railway (thousandsi 2.30 4.12 ceivership-or Trusteeship_13,687 j Number 2.02 : •>/: / 0 ' v cent)___J (per from; Operations 35.8 V.? i62.0 Dividends J 1921-25 Revenue » Per Cent Dividends Paid on* i , Cent Averages . 1936-40 1921-25 ' 1 shown by the are following'figures:6 455-457: '• 3136) page ished. The facts of free market. labor 3167 , v i , (■.' and Hartford THE Thursday. December 27, 194; COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE 3168 the Market 3131) (Continued from page To visualize the len situation we're of alleged which was $28 $64 billions in 1941, stands at pres¬ ent around $252 billions. This creation of huge Government debt has resulted in the creation of a near paint brushes to popsicles, to the effect that price ceil¬ ings are ruining trade. One vic¬ tim this past week, for instance, testified t h a t r p r i c e ceilings thing from brought down to sight. Today we are financing the world. with production in his plant 51% of capacity. The tes¬ ing for $6 billions, Italy $1V<> .bil¬ lions, France and Netherlands $1 billion each, to say nothing of slated for China. isn't spent di¬ rectly in this country by the di¬ rect beneficiaries, a large part of it will eventually be spent here by the indirect recipients. These large foreign loans will require a spe¬ cial approval by Congress but there are other agencies with ready dollars to spend, such as the Export-Import Bank with $314 billions, the monetary fund (Bretton Woods) with about $8 billions. credits Even if this money the picture is the debt which, in turn, ac¬ for the vast; available Basic factor in supply. instance, this coun¬ try's public and private debt which now stands at nearly $400 billions. This is double that of 1941. As shocking as this may seem it hardly presents the true for Take, t picture since total private debt today, standing at $141 billions, is practically unchanged from $136 billions in 1941.' Actually, were it not for an increase in the short private debt to finance term The $3% billions credit to Britain is merely the beginning. Next in line will be Russia, reportedly ask¬ huge money achieve bound to time and a seem record peace¬ volume once reconversion labor bottlenecks are elim¬ Surely the implication inated. swol¬ exports S. U. Clearly, ANNUAL of AVERAGE •' Mkt. Value Mkt. Value (Millions of Dollars Millions N.Y.S.E. U. 1945 - ... _ 1.491 1S43 1,478 1942 1.470 1941 1,462' 1940 ' * ; Stocks per Listed Sh. 48.530 v1 69,560 $44.10 22,770 41,610 17,840 37,700 51.650 46.600 34.65 31.60 9,647 7,926 L 1938 . —- i937_„ 4 — 1,425 ■' 6,521 1,394 " , 31,540 35,080 29,290 25,820 39,280 42,430 - . vi '44,180 22,560 i-. 6,471 4.773 •979.8 1929___ ' 7,088'. lr429 1939 Deposits 12,880 \ 1.450 ' Listed 28.030 Demand Circulation 1,573 1944„___;_____. Time & -v .Money in Listed Shrs. October Expects 50% Gain in been moving consist¬ rather up I' new 50% : • ■ . No 37 construction ' next 20,430 53,840 20,180 74,410 millions $20,430 year' millions to about $69,560 $53,840 millions (29 2%). Contrasting this situation of of shares Dealer - Our Reporter in ..3140 Governments. on Utility Securities.... .V, Securities ......., ,>... Public . Real and • -• noted, many more shares ing today than in been , allowance for this, it and Haile Mines Inc. rate will be ob¬ Schoellkopf Hutton & Pomeroy RALPH F. CARR & CO. far'has Boston New York Teletype Hanorer 2-7913 BS 328 there margins Ex¬ —it'll change in 1929 was around $76.00. TNT.; share on the New* York Stock simply mix in ; ; • a dynamite little more \ specialize in all We Insurance and Bank Stocks the holding lengthening or BOSTON 9. MASS. % Hubbard 6442 gaiiis tax the capital period won't remove the listed a Interstate Mining Oklahoma Industrial Issues , the value of that y • Telecommunications Finch of dynamite in the mar¬ upping or Making ■v . Waltham Watch Co. !'[l: ' situation—and 100% ket ■'' v of the market anything, certainly indicate is plenty HA. 2-8780 1-1397 Keyes Fibre Co. rather tame affair in strug¬ a Y. Sardik's Inc. ■* gling back to around the highs of 1937 but the figures, if they mean outstand¬ 1929. 1945 it was $44.10 stock market thus The N. Airplane & Marine Instruments it was $45.60. ■ 1919 Dealers Ass'n_ Security Teletvoe .v,.......V....3163 at the top 1937 in F. Exchange PL, N. Y. 5 ! .3134 ' tf'c-i; In October . served / ' Investment Trust Issues Stocks and Bonds TEXTILE SECURITIES \ Securities with a New Eng. Market' Public Utility . "...76,00 6 * ESTABLISHED Members N. 40 Ohio Securities Section on page 3141, $74,410 millions. It should be pointed out in this respect that prices today are not as close to 1929 levels as the total market value of listed securities would indicate. There are, it will be " M. S. WlEN & Co. Salesman's Says ...V,• * of. securities value market J L i Cinema "B" Securities...i;.... .3136, Corner...... .3157 Whyte Estate Securities millions $20,180 deposits mand i.'--, Tomorrow's Markets—Walter de¬ and time total i Mexican Corp. .3142 Railroad $4,773 circulation was and millions : • ..3161 Exchange was 979.8 millions and money : ..3146 Funds, Reporter's Report.,.'...'. Our listed on the Stock 26.60 29.20 29.10 e 38.60 Insurance and Mutual in that year the total num¬ serve the Helicopter Majestic Radio U. S. Finishing, interesting to ob¬ with 1929, it is ber from securities listed Bendix as Stocks........3144 Personnel Items 3136 Bookshelf3137 Calendar of New Security Flotations.3166 Canadian Securities ..3140 Dealer - Broker Investment Recom¬ mendations and Literature.......3138 .3160 .Municipal News and Notes.... $48,530 value to on for Pa?e Broker millions (137% ) and market 1945 for record England Public Service greater.than in 1945 in th£ States east of the Rocky Bank (12.8%) in October 1945, but in circulation in the same period increased from $6,471 mil¬ lions to $28,030 millions (334%) and time and demand deposits the of Gaumont-British "A" Business Man's money from New % remained has Exchange 23.90 30.80 " 20,230 -5" •*, 41,420 r; Stock eastern . first ten months of this year. INDEX fairly constant for a long period of time, increasing from only 1,394 millions in 1937 to 1.573 millions expected 160,000,000 the-basis tarding factors, F. W. Dodge Cor? poration, fact-finding organiza¬ tion for the construction industry, estimates total dollar volume of particular explanation is re¬ quired as to the figures in the foregoing table as they are self* explanatory. Briefly, the number of shares listed on the New1 York ently: 37 present re¬ Even in the face of Look, for instance, at the folr lowing figures if you want to see one reason why stock prices have the in States is $4,750,000,000i against $3,- Dollar Volume in 1946 j Supply and Demand j . The estimate for all construction New Construction • Debt and Money counts is faced scale debt retirement Large not in will become more rather than less vociferous. All of which merely tends to emphasize the in¬ flationary aspects of the present situation. v' in of money. huge supply timony rise significant fact, that public debt, billions in 1929 and more is however, and from all different kinds of firms turning out every¬ and Mountains, ex+ supply with the prospect of a further substantial increase makes the potential de-^ flationary aspects of the present situation seem quite unrealistic, j money be The war. murder in world come from far torture and the business inventories, private debt lower than before the war would heading into all one has to do is to read the papers. Already stories the and situation debt - panded To All Of Our Business Friends Frederick C. Adams & Co. Specialists in Unlisted Securities New England Thank you Foreign Securities MARKETS favors to date. your '''• ship will be greater of one even having met its ' Established In 1922 • Tele. BOston 2X Tel. HANcock 8715 cooperation and closer due to confidence, STREET, BOSTON 10 24 FEDERAL business relation¬ the end of 1946, we hope our At -LLv Teletype NY sincerely for the of another year. additional test of the vicissitudes 1-971 r.ARl MARKS S, r.o. INC. t FOREIGN SECURITIES OVER ^PFrTAT.WS Telephone 50 Broad Street Actual markets in a wide range . - of SECURITIES THE - COUNTER New York 4. N.Y. . AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS £ CO. Inc. 2-0030 on the 5% $100 preferred stock of a . ARREARS HAnover par CHICAGO *" Ensiand Company New Kobbe, Gearhart established in 1845. & Company INCORPORATED ... NEW ENGLAND Members .S-Sf E X TT IK . * 45 NASSAU New : Security Association Dealer* \ NEW. YORK STREET, philadelphia telephone Bell telephone new Enterprise 6015 RECTQR 2-3600 • York New 1944 Earn. Bef. Taxes 1944 Earn. After 5 Teletype 1-576 york . . . .^64.43 i. 21.88 Taxes Earnings lince 1939 range to $57.33 a share $12.82 taxes. k y ji' ; from after '/ ■ ,, England Local Securities 5^ Recent Price;.:- y/.-.;. WALTEIt J. CONNOLLY & CO. INCORPORATED 1923 . - . .. Write :T . 24 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON 10, MASS. . - BANK — Northern Kadiator, Pfd. Smith & Wesson Broadway * New York 5 Bell Teletype NY 1-886 INDUSTRIAL — V" 1/ BOUGHT — SOLD — WANTED QUOTED Blocks $1.00. "* Average earnings 5 yrs. about $3. A bank No preferred about stock. loans. low-priced 6%. REMER, MITCHELL & REITZEL, 208 So. La stock to yield • WESTERN UNION TELEPRINTER Amos Treat & Co. Wall St. New York 5, BOwling Green 9-4613 of Securities INC. Salle St., Chicago 4 RANdolph 3736 Special Report Available Upon Request 40 J. • labilities.,, 5 Mass. Tel. CAPitot 0425 COMMON STOCKS ... 3. Current assets 4.35 times current 4. Current yearly dividend St., Boston 9, State REAL ESTATE —» BONDS, PREFERRED AND sh. share. 1, Net current assets $13.56 per 7. Telephone COrtlandt 7-0744 ' LUMBER & TIMBER 2, Net book value $20.63 per No 120 — Founded 1897 6. No bonds. W. T. BONN & CO. Engineering PUBLIC UTILITY Works Columbws Auto Parts U. S. M.C.P. INSURANCE 148 Pressurelube, Inc. call for Analysis Bell System Teletype BS-128 Telephone Hubbard 3790 Sunshine Consolidated or .V'" Specializing in Unlisted Securities ' N. Y. BELL SYSTEM TELETYPE CG-989 Hill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Markets and Situations for Dealers "WUX" 120 Broadway, New York Tel. REctor 2-2020 S Tele. NY 1-2660