The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
ESTABLISHED IS39 BUS. ADM. "ft* Commercial UBRAR f an j Chronicle Financial Reg. U. 8. Pat. Office Volume 172 Number 4930 New York, N. Price Y., Thursday, August 3, 1950 Cents 30 Copy a EDITORIAL Investment Ameiican Economy Now And Its Growth Capacity As We See It The most few weeks in the disconcerting events of the past are not to he found in Korea, but Lamont mounting evidence here at home of Word confusion and conflict of counsel appear to continue even unto this day. can economy over Discusses such Washington early this week by the President to improve the func¬ tioning of the National Security Council. Appar¬ ently, it is now more or less tacitly admitted that in the national capital the left hand has regular¬ ly been in ignorance of (or perhaps did not care) what the right hand was doing. At all events, Korea has made it clear beyond doubt that inter¬ nal consistency was not an element of our over¬ all foreign policy. It is far from clear even at this moment what our irreducible political com¬ mitments, responsibilities, or obligations are be¬ problems future business as It may economy keep ments existed it may be that a what and will it be eradicated. page Rockland Light and Power Franklin of ods and to the business during the last It whether the Slichter at of a R. Continued FINANCING POSTPONED—This includes 39, week's on decision Prof. Stan¬ ♦An versity page has been "New Issue reached call to address military sup¬ a halt to aggression by Mr. Lambourne before the Ninth Stanford Uni¬ Conference, Palo Alto, Calif., July 27, 1950. Business Continued on page 22 Calendar," which have been Korean war. State and Municipal Custodian 600 Branches inc. across COMMON STOCK FUND Bonds Canada Monthly Commercial Letter upon request Bond Department BOND FUND UTILITIES FUND White,Weld&Co. INCOME Chicago FRANKLIN THE NATIONAL CITY BANK (BALANCED) FUND Prospectus on New York 5 Boston or plies to nations in danger of Soviet domination. We must assume that a 17 a PREFERRED STOCK FUND Prospectus on request rea¬ against free countries wherever and whenever it appears. of the gov- of Lambourne W. ford, Calif., July 24 to 28, 1950 inclusive. page is point economic assistance important changes in and' methods of doing half century the following stand series reaction initial position five addresses delivered by the ninth Stanford University Business Conference, outline Korea as in the international of the United States. It is longer just a matter of extending turning as ♦An caught the Washington, by remains to be seen in well as sonably correct. Active participation in the Korean war should be viewed as a major the institutions I think it is fair to say that outbreak surprise. Doing Business; (2) Changes Conditions; and (3) Among econ¬ greater preparation or war markets, no Slichter of for war. Changes in Ideas. Prof. S. H. attempt discount the impact on the omy Meth¬ A Mutual Fund yield 4.65% 40 Wall Street, decline in prices is clearly an Economic in 20 Funds, 4.65% Price 100 to major exchanges in addition to wide losses in thou¬ sands of over-the-counter issues. The Company Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series A, on (1) Changes Institutions Economic in dominated by devel¬ The securities markets today are likely to continue is the first step in attempting to encourage the trends that one likes and to discourage the trends that one dislikes. Changes fall particularly important. (1) The growth in the economic activities on substantial rise in interest rates. opments emanating from Korea. In the past month bil¬ lions of market value have been taken off stocks listed list of the larger corporate issues which temporarily postponed due to unsettled market conditions resulting from the appears no present institutions, policies, and And recognition that cer¬ tain trends are under way and are out CORPORATE there'll be gives one deeper insight into three main groups: with sacrifices from all Recommends investment in common conditions. That it still exists is on economy. into lies, it is impera¬ Continued not of the United States generation or more hence? term trends Must Be Eradicated tive that it a the inflation hedge, and sees no ground for stocks. Contends price level has yet reflected increase in money supply, and concludes liquidating change, such as the present, much more is happening to the economy than can be seen and recog¬ nized. Examination of apparent long- representative qualified for the task. or like in Korea not Lkely to be settled soon, sound equities as In times of rapid no one lay be of sectors What is happening to the economy rumored repeatedly, that disagree¬ within the President's household; But wherever the fault war Says a and looks for higher tax rates The Present Position of the American Economy took the trouble to integrate all the various aspects of foreign policy, and hence to come to a realizing sense of the possible con¬ sequences of failure to be certain that the foreign program as a whole made sense. But after all, it is the duty of the Chief Executive to attend to such matters as these, either personally or through Holds it is with production up a utes recent will be effective demand pace. Foresees increasing public operation of some industries. for goods to on West Coast security analyst attrib¬ stock market decline largely to Korean epi¬ sode. new tends most important question But it is evident that such commit¬ as Holding business prospects have been favorable peacetime basis, unlikely growth of will be retarded by lack of capital, and con¬ are be, well as some prob¬ foreseeable future. difficulties in starting as concerns. recognized and widely publicized are in no way matched by readiness to meet them. For this state of affairs, it seems to us the President must himself accept full responsibility. ments as Cox, Investment Managers & President, The Security Analysts of San Francisco enterprises; availablility of investment funds, and size of of efforts lieved to be. last generation able characteristics of the economy in from came By RICHARD W. LAMBOURNE* Partner, Dodge University Professor, Harvard University Harvard economist reviews changes and trends in Ameri¬ incredible which Current Conditions SUMNER H. SLICHTER* By Policy Under OF NEW YORK request ^Canadian Bank <$@omm&ice Head Office: Toronto DISTRIBUTORS, Inc. 64 Wall Street, New York 5 Bond Dept. Teletype: NY 1-708 New York Seattle CANADIAN AAodtmi Srwid Underwriters and STOCKS AND Distributors of Municipal and THE CHASE NATIONAL BANK OF THE CITY OF NEW YORK Agency: 20 Exchange PL Portland, Ore. San Francisco Los Angeles CANADIAN MILES bonds & stocks SHOES BONDS COMMON Corporate Securities Prospectus from authorized dealers or VANCE, SANDERS & Ill CO. Goodbody & CO. OTIS & CO. ESTABLISHED 189! (Incorporated) Devonshire Street Established 1899 MEMBERS NEW YORK BOSTON Los Angeles Grpokatioti 40 Exchange 115 BROADWAY New York Chicago Denver Cincinnati Columbus Toledo Buffalo 105 W. Dallas NEW YORK ' IRA HAUPT & CO. Members New and Place, New York 5, N.Y. ADAMS ST. CHICAGO 111 Broadway, N. Y. 6 WOrth 4-6000 Teletype NY 1-702-3 WHitehall 4-8161 York Stock Exchango other Principal Exchanges STOCK EXCH, CLEVELAND Chicago New York PoMnnwi Securities Boston Teletype NY 1-2708 Telephone: Enterprise 1820 2 (430) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle TRADING MARKETS The Security I Lihe Best IN Central Public which, each week, a different group of experts in the investment and advisory field from all sections of the country participate and give their reasons for favoring a particular security. Utility 5Va/52 Interstate Pr. 6% Deb. Esc. Ctf. Transcon. Gas RUPERT H. JOHNSON Pipe Line 6% Nts New York Hanseatic (Texas Corporation My 1920 Established favorite is moment 120 Broadway, New York 5 Texas Utilities stock. having ulation Specialists in one of This by the com¬ In 1949, of of the represents about 33% State. 1 Since 1917 a Dal- known Falls, around s o York New 120 Exchange Curb Odessa, n, Exchange Ternpie BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5 Rupert Corsicana. ' served area The company best Common Capital Stock is all in Common growth serves of one territories addition Texas the in which the Incorporated Floor, Kentucky Home Life Bldg. large scale. a there In oil. and are 7.3% gas and tional by Texas Utilities Bell Tele. LS 186 utility industry V This increased 64% as * Sales, in terms compared to 103% try as a whole. Added ★ Y. : Telephone or r an¬ Central shares of had than May on out¬ 31, 1950, were indicate that divi¬ will keep pace At current price of 23, the yields 5.56%. erty. stock . ' Texas Y. I • am Texas think Com¬ Central-Michigan going to select to seems for Service more some have is a very Central The western section of the pany's^ properties ! Mexican serve com¬ large a part of the Permian Basin v/nich bond that New Railways constitutes nation's BONDS about one-fifth of the oil reserves. With are 17 value of a Analysis growjng dynaniicr territory, the in¬ miles dustrial Bought—So I d—Quoted New load should New domestic grow. on continue users to will be these bonds added, and old their ZIPPIN & COMPANY on 1,430 load users demand. should The also will increase commercial continue to in¬ crease. r The population of this section is growing three times as fast as (2) be the a perhaps * * its stock on own. Central- Plywood Inc. Douglas & Lomason *Copeland Refriger'n as* Information on request been Over completely the AETNA SECURITIES for next will have: you ten Corporation 111 Broadway, New York 5 4-6400 Tele. N. Y. 1-2494 - Central's will mortgage because of New« York also absorption as case. collateral listed are Stock on Exchange approximately nine Michigan Central stock N. Q. B. OVER-THE-COUNTER INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDEX 11-Year Performance of 35 Industrial Stocks traded over-the-counter.. They constitute, in desirable Michigan* Central and " only common the on bonds of 1998 the Arthur Marx be BOOKLET my investment opinion, for or' individual ON REQUEST a either tors. of Winters & Crampton or institutions shares PH 771 *Lea Fabrics * could, These collateral bonds wiLU tant, they are collaterally secured by deposit with the Guaranty of Bell System Teletype City Tel.: BOwling Green 9-4818 TRADING MARKETS ratios, 13 collateral as Michigan Trust Co. York WOrth Michigan 3172% addition impor- and in the Lake Shore , York to t h i s, a n d most New Exchange that the: has seems Central Central Sys¬ In it (1) and tem. request 208 South La Salle St., Chicago 4 Tele. RAndolph 6-4696 Tel. CC, 451 ' on Stock St., Phila. 9, Pa. PEnnypaclcer 5-2857 was me deposited - second mort¬ gage Broad the Michigan the stock stock, on new industries constantly entering this these Central It would appear to t They miles Phila.-Balto. South Phila. Telephone (rev¬ of -in -1948 on $50 capitalization first a mortgage Members 123 - 3%s of 1998, selling at about 60. Henry 8. Warner & Co., Inc. Michigan Cen¬ it operating on its Stock Company. Dan River Mills Common dense most $100 per share as were overlooked. collateral un¬ Central-Mich¬ and least at earn years Light they did the the of Based tral Power •& Purolator Products Common or Central By 1952 this would Michigan York Central- Dallas Penna. Power & Light Common Philadelphia Transportation Co. day New some as York 11.55% was Michigan Cen¬ of Equitable Gas Common Allan Wood Steel Com. & Pfd. New York Central system in 1949 ' overlooked attractive. Philadelphia Electric Common 1952 maturity. nonrevenues) pany1, Texas Power &'Light Com¬ pany, and 91.27% of tiie common WHitehall 4-2530 Teletype NY 1-3568 be Company Common will wish to absorb one and figure and tell you why I years it been Warner over enues stock. 142 Enterprise 6800 amount tral's share of net ton miles on Collateral 3y2s of 1998) Company owns the outstanding common stock Electric 20% on 1950, Tele. BS the Michigan on been high (N. of Street, New York 5 May 31, on President, Wilson and Marx, Inc., New York City ali VOGELL & CO., Inc. will the time. 10.78%. , Utilities there governments lines in the U. S. stock Ine. Enterprise 2904 traffic arteries of all the railroad ARTHUR MARX share and this with the increasing earnings which can be expected from this prop¬ Tidewater Power increase common Dealers West Penn Power Common 1,100 miles, the best the line from Kensington, Illinois, to Detroit, Mich., which has However, there Securities Hartford, Conn. being more an of approximately $18 million. Michigan Central's operations cover the increase of or 25%. rate from $1.12 per to seem funds York Central. pay New at that an¬ dend1 declarations Michigan above the Central existing be Assn. Open End Phone to New York Canal 6-16 IT the igan Central collats and give them a mortgage subject to the: ones woiild have earned $2.67 outstanding an would to and to der the which the earnings were $2.23, or whole. National Gas & Oil million Michigan'Central shares of Nat'l HUbbard 2-5500 purchased depreciation New It is possible that York * Portland, Me. they reduce are probability $5 over needed ' been Tel. $18 million. over accrues from all when will slightly with cash that that i. 4,000,000 were share, per, as a per which to cash » $10,075,000 probably take the stock from company ' Northern Indiana Pub. Serv. 37 Walt mature, These governments in the electrical nual dividend is bonds in¬ 4,800,000 shares of share, to $1.28 the In operating revenues which com¬ pares with about 18V2 cents lor Central Vermont Pub. Serv. 31, 1949, $30,274,000* $18,736,400. Lake Shore and at that time will standing 32%, in¬ The company increased the of There off debt Quoted 75 Federal St., Boston 10, Mass. Dec. stock — * $12,000,000 of bonds mature 1952. pay Sold — J. B. Maguire & Co., Inc. Members Central's of received from increase indicates selling at Michigan as for an $115 stock was funded debt of a stock. was share of short-term governments and cash which no doubt will be used to Residen¬ provided 40 % utility industry exchange each common $3 to $2,229,413 There reduces fuel costs of the company to about eight cents per dollar of 4-5000 Arizona Edison and . This of for $105. shows The gross Bought exchanged in were through to net. 22%t and others 6%. This Teletype BS 259 WOrth the are selling Michigan Central statement this favorable growth to of 1949 gross, commercial dustrial St., Boston 9, Mass. ratio bonds about common stock outstanding on May factor, is Texas Utilities' accessi¬ bility to low cost natural gas. All 31, 1949 on which the company major units burn natural gas, but earned $2.12 per share during the can use oil, while Texas Power & preceding year. If the same Light has a unit convertible to Request tial and rural load CA. 7-0125 in bond 24% of gross earnings was carried for the indus¬ company-owned lignite. N. in $6,525,544, $8,460,170. of .net amount Tel. a Net income, after income taxes, for these periods was $10,689,583 kilowatt of of of 11%%. crease " hours, also had a large increase, namely, 145% in the same period, CONTROL w as Spinning Associates of about $9,000 dollar which at that time this increase an year and 148 State The average. is the whole, grew a 35%. U. S. THERMO for in property is higher than the na¬ is branch offices our tv 1898 in on value These bonds About rate of return or thousand per conscious of restrictions NY 1-1557 Berkshire Fine: This quoted $1,000 better bid, which sets collateral a burdensome between 1940 and 1948, while cus¬ tomers served by the electrical ★ are ► Birmingham, Ala. Mobile, Ala. Direct wires to for $600. municipalities, regulation Texas, currently share per new ticipated in regard to rates. The number of customers served LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY ★ of is stock 1952 recognizes 8% control State • Senior $1,000 bond outstanding. per . law Exchange Partner, Westheirrer & Co., Cincinnati, Ohio. '(Page 30) wells, and numerous manufactur¬ For the 12 months ended May ing enterprises making textiles, 31, 1950, gross earnings were $62,ceramics, lumber products, avia¬ 746.230 compared to $56,220,686 for tion, iron and steel, etc. the 12 months ended May 31, 1949. "1 BANKERS BOND E- on heimer, Curb HAnover 2-0700 . Fort satisfactory.. York St., New York 4, N. Y. New Orleans, La. - Procter & Gamble—Irvin F. West- their growth potentials so that no cattle raising on Analysis City (Page 30) financing should be fair return and the Members New 25 Broad Belt and from result of this Agriculture is important in this area, and includes the raising of cotton, wheat, corn and, of course, Consider H. Willett . : 9 I***' York Stock Exchange in Waxy Waco Daiicp Members New Lawrence Corporation, Ltd. —Richard C. Noel, Partner, Van Alstyne, Noel & Co., New York financing but the final results ac¬ cruing to the common stock as a country. Churchill-Downs Inc. Long Distance 238-9 Johnson Texas, the company has asked the SEC for exemption from the Puolic Utility Holding Company Act. American Air Filter Co. 1st H. Cv-mirn OTEINERy HOUSE & IfO. area 1949 to This will involve inclusive. and City St. construction program, aggregating and the Black Dallas, $141,000,000 Since Tel. REctor 2-7815 the as Bought—Sold—Quoted Central 3^4s of 1998—Arthur President, Wilson Inc., New York (Page 2) equity land Central-Michigan Marx, Marx, The company has an aggressive Midland, Sweetwater, Tyler, Paris, Members York Stock area of capitali¬ best farm Y. Collateral Worth. chita New Tne the State of Texas lies in the Wi¬ Waco, Deni- McpONNELL&fO. stock common of the Some Fort s, Worth, N. zation. served include The Louisiana Securities (Page 2) net gross ratio. Company—Rupert Partner, R. H. Co., New York City. Johnson & earnings were $60,155,465.86. Funded debt was $121,500,000. The funded debt, therefore, is about twice the gross earnings which is a conservative 2,- Alabama & Johnson, quality security. a pOfc/ULation Cities Utilities H. would company ine Rights & Scrip Texas to indicate that Texas Utili¬ ties stock is being third - Com¬ pop¬ a 500,000, served seem (all in Texas) pany serves an area in growth characteristics of the this at earnings, gross earnings, and in dividends. Company) security common pany Teletype NY 1-583 BArclay 7-5660 Utilities in crease Participants and Their Selections the remainder of the country as a whole. This all spells large in¬ Partner, it. H. Johnson & Co.,New York City Thursday, August 3, 1950 This Week's Forum A continuous forum in Paget Sound Power & Light ... inves¬ National Quotation Bureau Incorporated Continued 46 Front Street on page 30 New York 4, N. Y. Number 4930 Volume 172 .The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . T"1 INDEX Economics of "Little Pearl Harbor"—Short-Term Outlook —Richard it —Sumner in 1941, Dr. Palyi foresees permanent Garrison State. Federal Budget above $55 billion, and holds in- was creased taxes. . State "Police . Action," the He did first. it called American to send to the South, nor With Permanence in ground planes troops Korea. match of question e t in and of To quote our to article our Chronicle" of indications are on have to- face. colossal, those of tracted .with to World over by a not "All what we will costs be comparable to War II, but It stands ... the 'progress' of will more or be accompanied less continuous, if rapidly accelerating inflation of the national debt." The magnitude of . first thing to be of the ; the job is the visualized. If half $10.5 billion the President requests is for Korean campaign, -that is probably France has than what more spent in 120 years on conquering and policing North ""and Central Africa, Madagascar - It is simply fantastic that with the gigantic volume of war equip¬ ment left from over World War and with nearly $80 billion spent since then on the military establishment, the U. S. should find itself totally unprepared to II, cope with the "well-prepared" ten front-line local North Koreans, their five to divisions (if that is deeply shocked, while the Amer'ican people seem to take it all in apathetic stride. - If is it true that have a single full-fledged armed division against 40 such Soviet divisions in readiness, it will take far more than $5 billion to make up for the five years wasted on __; of bribe will Southeast 11 trooos; of Archie T. global The Best Excess Profits of Economic into "called off." The befall many open "pork barrel" pro¬ has been may concealed and jects, public works, federal health and education programs, etc. In¬ asmuch as most farm prices are likely to stay at or above statu¬ will be point in supporting them. Some spending on the unem¬ ployed and the indigent might be superseded by military pay tory support levels, there no The total thus saved may checks. billions several into go will while the military will proceed fast, and has and more plans bigger up its sleeve. It would be a near-miracle current budget can if the at billion, $55 or the over so before July Power & one 9 Program (Editorial) Bank and Insurance ..Cover Stocks — Sold — Quoted J.F.Reilly&Co. 13 Incorporated _J Business Man's Bookshelf Canadian 14 Securities 17 8 ___J Einzig—"The Outlook for Gold"_____^ Mutual Business 13 AIRCRAFT News—Carlisle Bargeron 7 Activity Funds 16 ___■ News About Banks and Bankers-„ Observations—A. Our Reporter's Our Reporter Wilfred May 14 , 40 Singer, Bean ! 19 - Securities Securities Corner 24 1 Registration_L___ Securities Now in Mackie, inc.;; & 21 Salesman's > Eng., Lear Inc. 43 Governments Utility Securities Railroad Engineering & Mfg. Continental Aviation & * Prospective Security Offerings-.. Public Liberty Products Texas 20 Report on Foote Bros. Gear & Machine 12 :____ EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS 37 1 Notes Teletype NY 1-3370 BO 9-5133 8 Dealer-Broker Investment Recommendations From Washington Ahead of the Broadway, New York 6 61 Coming Events in the Investment Field The Security I HAnover 2-0270 40 Exchange PL, N. Y. 5 } Teletype NY 1-1825 & NY 1-1826 38 Like Best 2 .__ The State of Trade and Industry. tomorrow's Markets 5 (Walter Whyte Says) BUY 16 Washington and You 44 *See article on 5. page r S. U. be kept ■" . SAVINGS BONDS • 1st. GOING TO NSTA CONVENTION? i i ■=r' Financing the Deficit The sound time" $3 or $4 already—is, of is But it the of the "peace¬ to finance way deficit—on top new The Annual Convention of the National billion at likely that the Beach. As \ in "CHRONICLE" will publish pending by course, Traders Association will be held taxes. pay-as- Virginia which Issue proposed by the Joint Congressional Committee should be enforced? The answer is, prob¬ you-go war will include Committee reports, Security Pnampt fa/ite S&uuce- September 26-30 former years, the a special Convention of texts addresses FOR BROKERS AND DEALERS To Western markets in and ANGELES LOS candid shots of this important yearly event. also those in attendance at numerous DENVER • SALT • SPOKANE LAKE CITY ably, NO (unless—a Korean Dun¬ kirk or outright war with China, Continued on page 27 Twice Published 1 Weekly COMMERCIAL Drapers' Reentered Industrial WILLIAM 25 B. U. Park Patent S. Office New York Place, I COMPANY, Publishers DANA 2-9570 to 8, N. Y. ary Spencer Trask & Co. York Stock Exchange 4 Members New York Curb Exchange- 1950 by William Company 50 Congress Street, Boston 8 Hubbard 2-8200 2-4300 Teletype—NY Glens Falls | 1-5 - - Worcester 3, at- the Y„ under N. and Other city news, Offices: Chicago 3, 111. news, the office Act United in Territories Pan-American Union, Dominion Canada, of. at of New March States, U. 8. Members and $35.00 of per $38.00 year; per J. A. HOGLE & CO, in ESTABLISHED year. Countries, $42.00 per year. Bank South La Salle St., (Telephone: State 2-0613); and Note—On the rate of Record — Monthly, made In of exchange, New '■ * 50 Broadway, New York 5 (Foreign postage extra.) account the fluctuations In remittances for for¬ eign subscriptions and advertisements must be Stock Exchange and other Principal Exchanges Publications Quotation $25.00 per year. 1915 Members New York Other bank clearings, etc.). 135 post 1950 Thursday (general news and adrertising issue) and every Monday (com¬ plete statistical issue — market quotation corporation B. Dana Subscription Rates Every -ecords, Eng* 1879. Other state Schenectady SEIBERT, President August C., second-class matter Febru¬ as Subscriptions & Publisher RIGGS, Business Manager Thursday, E. Smith. & 1942, 25, York, 8, 9576 OERBERT D. SEIBERT, Editor London, Gardens, Edwards c/o and CHRONICLE FINANCIAL WILLIAM D. Bought Regular Feature* As We See It Possessions, - Toledo Edison 22 WILLIAM DANA Chicago Remington Arms Advisers 21 REctor - Light 5 Eccles Offers Anti-Inflation $12 billion contemplated preferred stocks Albany Puget Sound 14 * Purchasing Agents Decry Immediate Controls mere a * year. a such economies However, be slow in materializing, High Grade Public Utility and HAnover Liberty Products 21 NSTA fate Tax—Philip Cortney But What Is the Real Remedy? (Boxed) Reg. Broad Street, New York 8 11 Copyright 25 Dumont Laboratories "A" Strength With Flexibility First Need of Economy, Says Council interested in offerings of New 6 . _ Exchange Forecasts Only Limited Rise in Food Prices The Members • _ Investment—George F. James * True, there should be some "savings"—at the expense of the Welfare State. Public housing al¬ ready 1 STREET, NEW YORK 5 T 6 land are WALL Telephone: WHitehall 4-65S1 Advertisers—Roger W. Babson. Indications of welfarism. We 99 ' Tighe__ Venture Capital in Overseas democracy. same of cash! 4 _ the New York Stock on the Asia of plenty but use we and masses" of always give we . lot peace I Round-Lot Trading equipping, the . . YOUR a financial your words are training, continuously providing an army of up to one million men (together with aux¬ iliary formations), plus the pop¬ ulations in front and behind them, implies tremendous costs—to say nothing of the policy line of the Fair Deal (paraphrasing its fairest-haired wonder boy, Har¬ vard's A. Schlesinger, Jr.) "to Europe we Even foreign as appalling. be and burden policing Asia. transporting many) may be. The incompetence, waste and corruption involved must date to In addition, we start to South and Indo-China. and and material, pro¬ indefinite period, an that reason 1949: is end in sight. no armaments ; The well too, the preparedness scale colossal a 8, that in Financial and Dec. few surprises to face. a Communists have permanent garrison. /'Commercial We still reason. send troops ulars left off. difference, a Locke.^ make could this office At few "SELL words using Formosa West, us. Later on, the guer¬ rillas will take up where the reg¬ however; this time, the country will be turned into Chinese a matching the most signi¬ a we the rearm- 1941; Garrison State. With ficant As of this ing were the have may friends, at our bring us back to will we meantime the the immediate as us country, expense, in against large- partial where Russians could And what the rearm- in g Palyl field; appease¬ scale Dr. Melchior the " volunteer" army arrives, too? Indications are that Moscow is driving China into War (no 1 should Korea —'Theron W. to (communist) the hope), North ours? new compromise ment, least outgun the at imind. 4 —George F. Shaskan, Jr., and A. Wilfred May j | i » i" I Intangible Factors in Public Utility Analysis supply them profusely. with Russia is more will in if a difference Analysis of Wartime Behavior of the Securities Market capable of putting 500,000 men war. the most of it. out they force, be And he makes Since arrive the Yanks in or assume But has he no reserves to enemy. Now, he calls it soon front outnumber the of over North, as as the at to little 3 OBSOLETES" 3 . you optimism, appears LITTLE WORDS The more inexhaustible that President Cover Peace Stocks in War Markets—Walter L. Gutman Washington not intend THREE Slichter H. My European Trip in 1950—Robert H. Otto inflationary momentum. Garrison Cover —Melchior Palyi outlays cannot be offset with additional Contends Welfare State will have to give way to Gar¬ armament State, and holds, despite controls, there will be rison AND COMPANY Lambourne.j Economics of "Little Pearl Harbor"—Short-Term Outlook Looks for • W. The American Economy Now and Its Capacity for Growth Asserting large scale rearming will bring nation back to where . Page Investment Policy Under Current Conditions By MELCHIOR PALYI , llCHTMSlfin B. S. Article* and New* York funds. Telephone WHitehall 3-6700 Teletype NY 1-1856 ■ • 4 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (432) . . Thursday, August 3, 1950 . European Businessman More And all Western impressions of recent trip throughout a the in Europe and Says European Payments Union is aiding in bringing solution of convertible currency problem, and black markets have been largely elimi¬ nated. Finds general lack of war fear among people and grow¬ ing confidence on part of businessmen. Sees opportunity to promote American advertising methods in Europe. Europe. Reports general recovery is temerity human how on It businessmen. of live, how tiiey feel, what they are buy¬ the outlook is. ambassador, One ject interest¬ ing Robert of ail to In H. Octo country Denmark—a coffee, rations other items, which and sugar many but particularly but¬ even in ject by 80-year-old restaurant. I doubt if this can be s k Davidsen's e r en I A l'ew asked , , ket declines have discounted unfavorable prospects. corporations days in them My integrate felt central that from thing that the the East, sensible The of do would be to the most France could all eating well but I would not say cheaply, are in terest life, for just before we the ceilings were taken off restaurant prices. It was amaz¬ ing how quickly imported cheese, and meat peared is on other their menus. in great contrast a countries. tween courses $1.50. ap¬ There still prices be¬ meal A of four might Sweden in items scarce cost equally good one in Brussels—$4 to $5. But let's cover living costs as we discuss indi¬ An war talk. remain next day, high time to forget old hales build their economy westernwise. They appreciated the gesture on the part of France. The specifically brought up Admittedly, there was an by Otto Mr. before Export Advertising Association, York City, July 27, 1950. the' New implication As The I men would being talked know, it has be- you fact a be since I talked left to of one and over are and build¬ the that did year. Europeans can more dom and taste some of its desserts. There be worked be ' J Korean .„ Thn Pavmontc 2p1v hi TTra-r. confident- Ac it k" n k nn °£e businessman oenmarK: it s in playing tennis alone—batting just where works it up teaches will fine a bounce. sweat but you " their inferior merchandise in market. clearly shown by the This countries a buy ton 3)0 S5 ior for a fair a S rails buying to Private Wires • Home Officer Atlanta fundamental philosophical arguments. What is the real value of any inventory, how much of it can anybody physically count, what is an expense, what is a has to be • business booming are in as the associates in our doing the biggest vol- histories of go_back 100 years!, ,. being ; them .. . publication available until ■ producer, the has tno January, Continued on ,,, Sweden, voluntarily Holland ^ of as great paper Ip history— two •J?. b?arkets such is a space is tioned. most evidenced of business in their Which Phone LD-159 be not am accounting arguments periodicals accounting on powerful minded accounting who can argue with the a in many cases, seem ;ra- largest space T worth ~ u i_ , j porate nates Professional foot- stuff compared to cor- What accounting. me hidden fasci- about many stocks is the which score there. But even on I know is the simplified reports it is obvious that corpora- tions do not do too badly during Total cash flow of U. S. Steel war. in 1941 million $234 was and in 1942 rt was $221 million. But reported after all charges it was $116 million in 1941 and dropped to $72 million in 1942. Survival of Weil-Run Corporations , Having the faith that I have in ~ ch^a™ l££eadJ£g cftase 0 ,?f S-t* for "two" u the ability of well-run corpora¬ tions to survive war, I cannot get O) *be difference be- frightened (as an investor) when tween so called war and peace war comes, and this is probably a stocks is often much less than big mistake. Even if I am fundathe market has thought. Suppose mentally correct (and there is alcivilian automotive production is ways the haunting possibility of reasons- cut five to million this is year, economists added of is automotive been forecasting this of top wartime Declines next which had On anyway. vehicles high level and a about the level will be production. (2) ' have 25% to 40% ... 0n stocks attractive long-term basis. It has a ably near term back to the areas central Monsanto or or respect- of their long- tendencies. Dow at Buying 55, Radio at 15? Commercial Credit at 45 could not be else it may prove to have been. . called reckless whatever error) security values can be deperiods of time by people who are incorrect, Eventually if you are right, you come out all right, but having run cross country when I was young I have a somewhat dubi¬ termined for long ous toward that phrase long run." However I don't any other solution than to run attitude "the see with those legs have you been given. One no factor we experience none of us has America war. Americans have with, and which faced, is losing a has always been taxes vktori'oV.s'7nlhe"7nd,"and"stitis- We haV/ a" been great degree, unfortunately because figuring taxes is tedius work and it can tically speaking, that is not a good thing Fnsland Fven has lost ^ they Tost al taportlnt onfe easily prove useless under the against Us in 1783 Everyone can swift circumstances of war. My now see that there has been ah experience in war is that it is amazing amount of mismanageenormously stimulating to busi- ment in the Korean affair. The so ness activity and that someone Sets the money. While the large corporations interested in „ nlarpd t we in Wall Street are are not particularly benefit immediate!v Jel1 Placed to benefit immediately from war, they are sure large share of the 1951. ^ taxes; do' page government and persuade it to ac- because of their in- me h^hlfin I say r° be able to and and meal by the fact that Europe ,. $1.50, beautiful ceramic for $1.50. Consumer and In able TnPnfh!r/°v 3 $2'5° COt~ countries is ume be may a wonderful dinner for sh.Yt buy you is uneven ratio between costs of certain items. some one are ball is kid oils, _ competitive a knows, and usually for- never cept his views. W?i ^ ?er.tainly be hard put to brought them sell a of unsophisti- gets, made many peace Many local manufacturers today BONDS, STOCKS, COMMODITIES investor The Revenue out were Peace Stocks Commended *■ R mnnpv them the sophisticated that the minions of Internal nickel. suddenly and decisively changed, I still have a good investment, ~ tor trade and arm lvIxn^Tonn+^2} tition ^VESTMENT stchklTlfSs & cated of officer doubt no dollar earnings in Western Europe. + OF our talking plugged stock. I want to feel that if pattern of the war becomes have been and still do to play tennis because you have no real compe- DISTRIBUTORS in is , will war shot in the a This UNDERWRITERS AND have the European Payments Union. The ing Exchange and Other Leading Exchanges of Bureau a war to¬ also talk of converti- was rnu never BANKERS officers deeply the of the financial large companies energy no can Currency Convertibility expressed INVESTMENT ability and This is because even more com- know from experience that I multilateral a easily have sig- ward. Europe physi¬ earnings. as I appreciate Steels, now the cally feel the advantages of free¬ show In taking action in the seecurity a period of excepone I investment? If these guided either by a sense of humil- capital the ity or a sense of genius. Since I problems were simple there would most basis is the next essential that like BROKERS OF win was preva- war. than I had then faith more in the ability of large corporations to collect cash, whatever they may swiftly, won quite tionally swift change it the ball against a wall and know¬ ! won, not down bring back sophisticated analysis of genius I am inclined to be published every month. The best accountants gravitate cautious and buy only those stocks 1 will be glad to own if I have to. to the large corporations. The quantitative Suppose I buy (or advise buying) higher taxes go the more valuable of on he settles during the last even conquered trinsic values. The war has spotto be blown to bits tomorrow or lighted for more people those valnext year. uable qualities of earnings and It is my impression that the course, would be the freeing of dividend paying power which reaction to the Korean invasion the pound sterling, which could many °f us have been talking happen faster than anticipated be- at>out for years. In this respect has brightened Europe's outlook cause of: (1) American prosperity, the war is yielding a mild bybecause it has shown that the U. (2) increased purchasing of raw Product of positive value. It is not S. is willing to back up some of material in the sterling area at a g°od thin£ to have large masses favorable prices, (3) sustained re- of securities sell well under their its promises with action. Conditions have improved rap¬ covery abroad and (4) success of economic value. of really war more lent war bility——that it might become a realty in Belgium at any time. The biggest step in this direction, of throughout most the income accounts which markets during Europe, felt the removal restrictions ' } . the Pletely- The Napoleonic wars ful1 of swift changes. continually about. come for Members New York Stock of Hitler swift. leon, when he but European Payments Union was nesses, idly the often finds that longer than he out conquered the whole of the effective Mediterranean World in a few years. This was an example of successful swift warfare. Napo- German and those countries next door ing homes, investing their own capital, rebuilding their busi¬ this address and in Corporate and strings out it will the was mentioned business conferences, that Mrs. Otto talked with and vidual countries. ♦An turns remarkably war. Strength If the brokerage house partner, aggressor war tern businessmen frankly stated that it working on a long-term with possibly one or two excep¬ basis—something they would not do if they felt they were all going tions. Even England has new in¬ arrived of Increases ' ' and the tough job the . small fingernail. Potential of weeks— period do any most' five will during the even Germany, thereby naturally France in a few months but the strengthening their economies. entire pattern and implication It was interesting to hear the changed a year later when he atsame opinion expressed by the tacked Russia. One can cite many other side. When we arrived in examples — Alexander the Great an if you Europeans today well thought, but the changes in pat- with cooperate in vacation companies the Commu- conquered Korea the average Eu- because pressure wartime The swift. be have about it concerned the future of their nificant steps yet taken by equalled anywhere in the States. children. In fact, we would need European Marshall Plan Council One amusing item is a shrimp a Children's Home if we had on the road to a freer, more rasandwich consisting of 55, 100 or brought back all the children our tionally integrated European marfriends tried to wish ket. Of course, it is only a step, 150 shrimps. This may sound as many your is to War nists South to toward and post¬ used to. to get us Frankfurt spoke with would need a loaf of bread upon us. but as many of you know, their We felt a confidence little shrimps are no larger than above mere talk. People attitude were They contrast between prewar , paid to do Germans, Maintains large share of increased money seemingly is too fantastic for war markets is based partly on All, thought that the intention of plan. never the to get sure what 4 the are supply in time. Concludes Paris ^ of with concrete by ter, yet Denmark is the largest underlying feeling of fear about producer of butter in Europe! Strangely enough, this Take a look at this menu. There Russia. are 172 sandwiches available in was expressed rather by the wom¬ O in isolation¬ lunch who said it rope. was me. re¬ only enthusiastic, but thought was a bright light; something not this the "big bear," unless the sub¬ to had , business composite little Market analyst advocates purchase of peace stocks since many companies' cuts in civilian production will be more than made up for by armament orders; and their already-registered mar¬ with the exception of one French- as very I ,, man, war was never in any of our Let's start us. with fact, heard examples: thought Little War Talk sub¬ a this hand Co., Members, New York Stock Exchange he war, that goes diminishing Two ., is food, significant Americans. measure! to on By WALTER K. GUTMAN Market Letter Writer, Goodbody & Belgian, six Frenchmen and two a and even the since optimism proposed, well as other gov¬ officials, just for good ernment safest start We of with nine*business executives; one distributors, by storekeepers, newspaper edi¬ tors, salesmen, taxi drivers and managers your waiters. ground a time all after the Schumann plan had been expressed viewpoints ing and main¬ ly, what their The This is think with ism. homes while I interviewed and in side, people is hand part my first newed As I indicated, these will be our of talking to you about Europe is impressions of the people who tremendous, especially when so make up your market. These im¬ have been gathered many of you have been abroad pressions through two pairs of eyes. As sec¬ recently. But I retary and travel companion, my would like wife talked with people in stores to discuss the The I showing confidence. growing opiinnsm, with exception of Spain. a other are reassuring you who recently visited Europe, were im¬ pressed by the change in attitude of the European businessman. For President, Robert Otto & Co., Inc., International Advertising s there trends. By ROBERT II. OTTO* Mr. Otto recounts h Peace Stocks in Wai Markets Confident My European Trip in 1950 money to get a in time, not put ah absolute 33 ceiling on" earnings a good many questions are: (1) will we learn lessons, and (2) does the hand- writing on the wall threaten a real tragedy, or just a sobering experLi ence for us if we do not learn? 1 do nQt thihk wg wm lea-rn the lesson# Individuals will, by the thousands, but not the people at the controls, ft will not be possible for the ' * Continued on page 16 Volume 172 Number 4930 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . Forecasts Only Limited Steel Production The Rise in Food Prices Electric Output Analysis of Waitime Behavior Of the Securities Maiket Carloadings Retail Trade State of Trade The of Business Food Price Index and Auto Production Industry J the return of plants to capacity operation sched¬ ules last week, total industrial production for the nation reflected some slight increase. While total output remained greatly above more the level for the 1949 comparable week, initial and continued claims for unemployment insurance turned slightly downward. Steel ingot production past week as practically without was result of vacations with a change the slight recession some By GEORGE F. SHASKAN, Jr., and A. WILFRED MAY New Business Failures L. With current "Monthly Review Conditions," published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Commodity Price Index as York, analyzes the com¬ modity price situation of the Korean crisis, and while noting that there has been PART IV Study of securities price action during Korean crisis shows out¬ break of hostilities followed by sharp and widespread drop in common stocks. Fixed-interest and preferred issues, particularly high-grades, resisted much better than equities. Partial recovery noted. Comparison with post-Pearl Harbor market movements shows interesting similarities and disparities, and again illustrates difficulty of uncritically using past performance as pattern for current investment programming. substantial rises, particularly in food prices, since the outbreak of hostilities, it is argued that in view of heavy farm surpluses and carryovers there is no ground for a pro¬ increase nounced prices in in basic immediate the food future. According to the article: . well in automotive output. On the other hand electric production the past week attained a new historical high record for the in¬ "Farm products, which are gen¬ erally very responsive to changes dustry. in In i the da.vs ahead just the steel industry will be pressed further to meet the extraordinary demands now being made upon its present capacity and ability to produce steel. The nation's railroads last Friday adopted a drastic carbuild- ing they believe is required to prevent a serious trans¬ portation bottleneck. It's big enough to drain steel from other in¬ program dustries. At special meeting called in Chicago by the Association Railroads, presidents and other top officials repre¬ senting nearly all the country's 132 major lines agreed to a pro¬ a of American gram calling for construction of about 122,000 new freight cars. supply and demand conditions, undoubtedly would have risen further large had it stocks been not of most for basic the farm products, which preclude the de¬ velopment of any shortages in the near future. This is true despite the fact that the outlook generally is for smaller production this year in wheat of reductions i • • . (This -i ' is articles and because number of cars would * Intensified before efforts of require nearly 2,500,000 tons of $670,000,000. build to consumers allocations apply national metalworking inventories steel getting them nowhere, says "Steel," magazine this week. The mills jammed with orders, are turning away tonnage left to right. They are moving slowly on future commitments pending clarifi¬ cation of defense program plans. Some producers' order accept¬ ances do not go beyond October, a month that largely will be given over to handling third quarter carryover. Others are not booking even that far ahead. And the few mills that have set up schedules over remainder of the year on certain products warn revisions in quotas and deliveries may be necessary before autumn is far advanced. Special clauses are being inserted in contracts permitting cancellations and shipment delays in event national emergency priorities make such necessary. government are these be CCC-held made beginning to trickle through but it will be weeks before military releases come out in volume, this trade magazine asserts. Steelmakers demands. All pushing facilities to the limit to meet current are signs now point to record-breaking production this probably in excess of 95 likely averaging close to 100%. year, * Consumer quickening Such on June It was * of million $550 during the $3,503 million higher than a year ago. CCC cannot agricultural new to $3,761 million, or gain of $161 million in June and $1,262 a million above June 30, Business failures in * * June declined 17% to 725, reaching the They remained below prewar totals, failing were only two-thirds as numerous as in lowest level since July, 1949. however; concerns than comparable month of 1939 and 1940. Dun's Failure Index, which projects the monthly failure rate to an annual b^sis and adjusts for seasonal fluctuations, declined to 32 failures per 10,000 concerns in business as against 36 in June a year ago and 70 in the the similar month in 1939. Liabilities involved in June casualties totalled $18,072,000, the $10,000,000 below 1949's corresponding month. Despite this decline, they bulked larger than in any prewar June since 1936. smallest volume in nearly two years and some 5% Totaling 8,861, new business incorporations during the month of June were above the level of the preceding year for the ninth consecutive month. They compared with 7,260 in June last year, showed a drop of 3.9% from the 9,216 Eight of the 48 states reported a smaller num- increase of 22.1%, but recorded in May. stor- above the current commodities sup¬ a by the commodity plus a reasonable carrying charge.' The market prices for most of the owned . Continued on page 27 ! ' "f* ■ I '■ I > < ' ' or more, than more Only are shown shipbuilding, in Table' and sugar, woolen—enjoyed a during this three - rise wetK interval. Nine other groups showed price resistance, but did not rise. These lat¬ included ter coal, leather, meat-packing, nonferrous metals, rails, rail equip¬ A. Wilfred May ment, shipping, shoes and soap. Security groups suf¬ fering the sharpest declines—more than half of the securities in the group falling by over 20%—were building materials, motors, gold mining and radio-electronics. Geo. F. Shaskan, Jr. except cotton, are still the minimum levels at below seen in the variations in that have individual price taken place foodstuffs. Price increases for the major grains, of which large surpluses are held in have storage, been relatively Winter wheat has risen 5% since June 23, corn and rye have advanced 3%, while barley each movement Many Securities Recovered Rapidly Despite the severity of this initial sell-off which carried the Dow, Jones Industrials from 224 on June 23 to 197 three weeks later—a decline of to restraining influence that the large farm surpluses are hav¬ ing on price rises can more readily increases sharp downward following the initiation of hostilities reflected the traditional mad scramble to get into cash in a period of confusion; disregarding the potential increase in inflation, industrial activity and even possibly of increasing prof¬ its which a full-scale rearmament program might bring to certain industries. Thus even expected "war babies" such as air trans¬ port, petroleum and steels, sold off sharply in this early period. his recover month "The be This Gov¬ ernment, after some 12%—it did not take long for the investor "wartime the Korean sea-legs." By outbreak, the July 26, Dow, about or one Jones Industrial average had recovered to 202 and as this article goes to press had further climbed to 212, thus gaining back more than half of the ground lost. Fifteen of 52 industry groups exceeded their pre-Korean levels by July 26 and 11 others were off only very slightly by this date. Aircraft, coal, railroads, shipbuilding and woolen showed a net gain of more than 10% in this first month of hostilities. , Many securities, of course, did not share in this comeback. Building materials, finance and gold mining companies were down approximately 25% after one month of shooting, and five other groups—confectionery, drugs, household furnishings, utilities and and oats are down 1% and 8%, respectively. This year's harvest of wheat, plus the amount avail¬ able from previous crops (a third Continued on 14 page above the 1949 carryover), are twice the annual domestic consumption of 700 million bush¬ about to meet from more than WE ARE PLEASED TO enough estimated season, 225 million to year than to last NOW ASSOCIATED OUR WITH FIRM greater and IS million are appear both meet be 250 bushels. Rye supplies sufficient to ANNOUNCE THAT MR. LOUIS H. RAND export demands for the present this * * 1. or an basic or commodity at less els and will be * any port price for such small. 1949. * 'sell commodity nonbasic for Instalment-type credit increased by $395 million in June to a total of $12,063 million. Amounts owed on automobiles climbed • ~ legal restrictions on sales changed by Congress. The present law. * increase an can market which they can be sold under the credit outstanding rose to a record $19,627 million This was operations in June according to the Federal Reserve Board. pace 30. with tons, loans to purchase retail goods were extended at a consumer month. million the to unless are aoie Impact of new military demands is not expected to be notice¬ ably heavier until fall. Armament and munitions orders are commodities available { 1 ' l Of 52 industry groups, only five—aircraft, cotton, year's domestic consumption and exports. However, substantial quantities of these stocks are held price increases, espe¬ cially for wheat and corn, before » . I.) conditions. Carryovers previous crops will help provide more than ample supplies further - down ments from for . 31 stocks moved upward during this period. (These price move¬ unfavorable by the Commodity Credit Corpo¬ ration in its price-support in¬ ventories, and there is still room . off 11% 21%. of most commodities to meet this * * l ■ oo9 and acreage of ' 148 wun cotton, because ordered by the Department of Agriculture in « • the fourth instalment in a series of the facts and significance of the on performance of security prices during wartime) in and k ' Following the military outbreak in Korea, common stock prices, as we know, suffered a widespread and sharp decline. The record shows that by July 13, or three weeks after the shooting began, 907 of 960 issues listed on the "Big Board" were lower— weather That steel and would cost around 5 (433) domestic and export needs. The corn crop (as it now appears) is expected to exceed 3 billion bushels, which is about 21% larger than the amount recommended by the De¬ partment of Agriculture prior to Cowen & Company MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND OTHER EXCHANGES; NEW YORK 5r 54 PINE STREET N. Y. the current emergency, -TT under an allotment program aimed at cutting down the existing sur¬ plus. This will probably be the sixth largest corn crop of record and, taken in conjunction with the already large carryover (10% more than last year's record high), would indicate that ade¬ quate supplies will be available acreage Announcing a Direct Open Wire to AKIN-LAMBERT CO., INC. Los Angeles 14, California 639 South Spring Street, Teletypes LA 23, LA 24 Telephone Vandike 1071 feed as G. A. Saxton & Co., Inc. NY 1-609 Teletype 70 PINE STREET, NEW Other YORK 5 Private Wires PHILADELPHIA Hetidrieks & Eastwood, WHitehall 4-4970 ' • SAN Inc. < . for Co., Inc. projected are pleased to announce that Mr. Bernard Weissman has been admitted as a general partner.. high level of livestock population. This year's oat crop should also prove to be a better-than-average crop and will further supplement feed The supplies. FRANCISCO McAndrew it the We on ; I amount is only hand ' • of barley four-fifths r of the ■"! !•'. r *, Continued • on ■ page 43 SI EG EL 39 ■4 ;• Broadway*-* & * Hn,DIgby 4-2370 CO. York 6, N1. Y. - mm 6 (434) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle offering possibilities of expansion, a utility can grow and grow and continue to grow and expand its Intangible Factors in services, Public Utility Analysis BY THERON W. where . those able, Utility Analyst, Goodhody & Co. Members, New York Stock Exchanje hard If istics the in Compare day curity—in fact, I will go to say that I believe they you, namely, as seriously, what factors other date m e sheets be t n Why does should is it analysis tomary t rep o r Theron W. Locke earnings and changes in balance sheet ratios of a to see how much company im¬ provement is being indicated, and then it is customary to make com¬ parisons between companies. Of¬ ten will we make up a list of ten twenty or companies their pare earnings balance sheet think that I be may parisons ; and talk before my my belief comparative method is not sufficient as a basis of comparative it com¬ this alone analysis. of In fact, show you that to make com¬ can unwise earnings heet ratios without balance or at the same time giving some explanation con¬ cerning other factors affecting in¬ dividual companies which may have to be considered before you pass judgment as to the relative attractiveness of one company as compared with another. I believe that the so-called in¬ tangible factors ♦A lecture i»» a series given of 17 which on on I am to July 19th, the fifth Securities Analysis .sponsored < urities jointly by the New York SeIndustry and the University of Vermont's balance sheet and value from alone, how simple it would and have a book value $30 a share and good balance sheet ratios, why aren't they of worth the Department of Commerce and Economics. You have the earnings, dividend, and book value, but why do they sell far apart in price? This is the prob¬ lem of analysis. It is one that everybody has been trying to same solve for good a many years. There isn't any easy answer. There only the problem of gradually understanding the factors ;that make SECURITIES higher than the It is my belief that in the an¬ alysis of public utilities the in¬ tangible factors play a greater part than earnings trends or pub¬ lished reports or published fig¬ These ures. number intangible about five. In factors order ritory first. Regulation the and Regulatory Climate second. Third would be the Federal competition served. municipal or the territory Fourth, Revenue charac¬ teristics, from in How large industrial are revenues customers? earnings derived? are would be management is it How The Management. fifth I place because management fifth while extremely impor¬ has to work factors which with these there. are Taking the territory, the regula¬ tory climate, Federal or municipal competition, and revenue charac¬ teristics, what can management do with them? In addition to these I would in¬ 503 OLIVE STREET clude sometpertinent financial tios, and St. Louis LMo. some intangible, ra¬ special factors not generally used, which partly are partly published in¬ Now, as to the first factor, the territory, that is the beginning and end TELEPHONE: GARFIELD TELETYPE: 0514 SL-80 of it has a public utility. to work with. somewhere else like tors and establish doesn't do well a new of erts 99 WALL STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. the — Refined — Liquid des¬ like York. The or New a limiting factor, but: A company can make a little to start with in a poor and it tions. has a do may territory tory with the doesn't it serves. tions than it DIgby 4-2727 It this territory, and all that it does has to be done in the area which tory, Exports—Imports—Futures if is. utility is here; it has to operate in territory. Its franchise is for That is SUGAR in it this it Raw Arizona climate all plant if it where can't go to California LAMBORN & CO., Inc. It is It can't go General Mo¬ with can in lot with quite in good a If management in a condi¬ good terri¬ less satisfactory condi¬ is alert and ^good regulatory climate to work in and if the territory is Among the topics relating to round lot trading on the New York Stock Exchange covered by Mr. Tighe are: (1) making and reporting quotations; (2) long and short transactions and SEC regulations affecting short sales; (3) types of customers' orders to I one buy and sell; (4) types of exchange members and functions, and (5) round lot trading rules. Illustrates as we think, do Consumer ideal utility terri¬ which contains a fairly large city or a few good-sized cities coupled with a large small town and rural area suburban or Commonwealth Edison area. those characteristics. It has Chi¬ has cago, plus an area of 5,000 square miles in will market procedures fan-shaped first talk as about quota¬ tions: what they are and how they how and are they changed in are auction market. an plain the one We all brought Company. tory is auction terri¬ don't have like company their Next, we'll ex¬ briefly the terms "1 o n g" "s h outside gas system both Chicago in throughout its territory plus extremely an capable manage¬ t r o As have I said, territory is the and end of a utility, beginning and should you have under¬ an standing of the characteristics of a territory. For instance, down South, there is another factor to which I imagine you haven't given much thought. For years the South was a cotton-growing Its area. wealth indices 20 years among the lowest in the U. S. In the depression of the ago were 30s, the wealth indices were ex¬ tremely low — the income taxes paid per thousand of population, the number thousand, indices of that all well those measure lay such below stress the U. S. on aver¬ age. Naturally showed Rates use. high local the utilities low-customer a had tendency to a naturally power be ities have done in some tion better where area has result the util¬ there than the popula¬ increased tremendously, indicating that you do not have to have for the SEC's better in You company. a can of d o r the effect through in standard the an of the short living in the territory. the floor other necessary population treble the that was to ward load to of necessary this give area economic done served a to double the double utility. a way All in the South so-called wealth. or to back¬ develop That has its been in part through crop diver¬ by teaching cotton sification, that growers crop. Also tries have been The area. wasn't cotton only many new the indus¬ brought into the local utilities have helped greatly in this work. The utility analyst must keep up to date on relative changes in the territories served by various util¬ ity companies as territorial im¬ provement can result in a much Stock change Now to as Archie Ex¬ national Then we'll T. Tigae exchange. discuss the various more detailed per and GM Next, we'll briefly the route of account an executive out-of-town firm until office it is review order from an given by client to a in, of say, an member a executed the on Exchange floor and reported back client. to the This will lead into us types of floor brokers York the six the New Stock rules. on This will Exchange. Then we will explain the round-lot trading highlight priority of bids and offers, the "clearing" of the floor as each transaction is completed, and the "matching" competing brokers to win among Regulation differs in every state in the Union. four states mission late There are, I think, without a state com¬ with of rates the power to regu¬ electric companies, namely, Iowa, Mississippi, Florida and Texas. Also some Continued states have page 25 who want to sell GM at or customers want more share. It is possible that there orders these at sale floor to low the stock cause after buy 40! Potential buyers levels won't buy, of as until supply and course, forces the on low as sale demand to decline, these to levels, if they ever will. Similarly, potential sellers at prices above 79%, say as high as 120 dollars per share, won't sell their stock until market prices, fluctuating with demand those rent in and accordance supply, rises to price levels above the market cur¬ price. Anyone wanting to know the current market picture—the pre¬ vailing quotation—in GM, would not need to know all of the bid pos¬ prices from 79% down to 40. Nor sible execution of their customers' would he want to know all of the lose in sales orders. We involving the will auction illustrate market customers to obtain tion these procedures better execu¬ time their orders And for now entered. were highest Quotations the the lowest ing at the time as last the sale is quote We'll 79 %—a was prevail¬ General use example. an offer re¬ l^tors the assume transaction to up 120. quote, that is, the the bids and the all the offers tells him practical story quickly and speedily. The quote 79%-% tells that 100 shares of GM anyone be bought at 79% 79%. Note or that in can be sold can voicing or quote, it is not necessary repeat the full figure on the a offer side, 79%-% Quotations consist of the highest and of lowest of all to bid prices from 79% writing first topic. our offer The prevailing at prices than prevailed at the means price the is 79%. If the offer offer were 80% however, the quote would be expressed or written 79%-80%. Now are let's the ways, how see changed. There first of quotations are which is three by a 100 shares effected by two higher brokers, one representing a buyer, the other a seller. Imme¬ higher diately after sale took place, let's the highest bid is 79% and the buy 100 GM at 79%. On the Ex- of say floor say lowest 100 offer is 79%. Each is bid illustrate or offer. change created a bid, structed lower a his To by client assume a account a in¬ executive to for shares, the unit of trading in 1,100 of the 1,460-odd stocks over listed the on New York means that ber firm of GM a customer of wants at no to a than mem¬ 79% H. Hentz & Co. dol¬ Members lars per share. The offer price of means that another custom¬ wants less to than be sell 100 79% shares at, share. per New no The able to execute a them *A lecture fourth in a given series Chicago at New seller is will¬ July 17, 1950, the on of Markets 17 and on the their New York Operation sponsored jointly by the New York Securit'e«= ,nd -°.'rv and the Department t-oujioin.es. University of Ver¬ of Commerce & York Y. Exchange Exchange Exchange, Board ol Inc. Trade Orleans Cotton Exchange And N. Exchange Curb Cotton Commodity ing to meet the buyer's 79% bid price, or a buyer is willing to meet Securities Stock York New holding these orders will these prices until York New 79% er 1856 79% buy 100 shares more Established Stock Exchange. The bid price of mont's on who one are the time it is clients buy GM at 79 others at 79 Vs, at 79, and perhaps at every y% or y4 point down to 70 or 60 dollars classifica¬ two on price. firm buy GM but at prices be¬ to tions, time-in-force in the market, explanations member prices higher than the prevailing offer of 79%. Discussing the buy side first, it is not at all unlikely that securities types of orders with not Regulation of Rates. quota¬ the clients or any brokers higher level of earnings.- how prevailing highest bid price of 79%. Also, there are other of quested. Let's It isn't discuss we trading post on the exchange Quite naturally, there are low on same improvement to the are want to to e r s sell public utility get prices able until floor. tremendous change a is or fers in this stock at its section of the on increase in the popula¬ an tion to have offer other order emphasis short selling rule and its through blackboard examples. Finally, we will explain an im¬ portant facility, "stopping stock", which often permits member firm a and the or his Both their particularly "short," with losing wealth indices. As bid one Before or some population, has had tremendous improvement in its until tions ," the use was low. The area was regarded by some as a backward region. However, the South, even while a because respective price. voicing changed, let's illustrate the complete picture in General Motors, that is, other bids and of¬ per wealth people who municipalities were automobiles and continue quote changes. the New York ment. brokers and and west of the electric the seller's 79% offer execute area south city. It has natural, application in Chicago plus a fine the execution a followed in executing orders. number of a close to home as a Power a good terri¬ better or prospects was formation. MEMBERS MIDWEST STOCK EXCHANGE excellent we of importance, I would put the Ter¬ other Stix & Co sell one other. tant, INVESTMENT same? that favorable and is today is to indicate that I and figures ratios. The purpose of you just take the market by large storage fields regions where and pay $2 d e the Why doesn't it work that way? If two companies each earn $3 com¬ parisons based on and much so than be! today make value If you could determine these commands market earnings securities. one one in other? As you know, f t is quite cus¬ to as for that more of Public Util¬ ity sell stock considered in the far untility common eight times earn¬ ings and another at sixteen? Why s balance gas the are even important than the pub¬ lished figures in the analysis of an individual company's securities. income and se¬ more than the pub¬ lished utility so its a tory with Nevada a served with storage capacity of 50 bil¬ lion cubic feet. discuss today play a large part in which that - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane Members of New York Stock Exchange have diversified small town region in Michigan plus large natural with I appreciate the opportunity given me to discuss with you to¬ subject like Power V By ARCHIE T. TIGHE* Director, Executive Training School territory that is a outside of Detroit and areas that great Describes financial ratios in analysis of utilities. analysis of region a Consumers rural by proportion of industrial and domesticrevenues; and (5) quality of management. Foresees further' tremendous expansion of utilities, particularly in electric power. a. much ferent problem than it would measured tudents should consider work less can all desert or part desert and mountains, it has an entirely dif¬ and farm final unfavor¬ are make and utility has a Contending intangible factors in analysis of public utility securities are more important than published figures of opera¬ tions, Mr. Locke lists among these factors: (1) territory in which utility operates; (2) regulatory climate in such territory; (3) Federal or municipal competition; (4) revenue character¬ the factors Thursday, August 3, 1950 .. Round-lot Trading on the New York Stock Exchange area an progress. Public as in management a very LOCKE* whereas . other Cotton Exchanges Exchange Bldg. NEW YORK 4, N. Y. CHICAGO DETROIT GENEVA, PITTSBURGH SWITZERLAND Number 4930 Volume 172 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . all change floor, this order would be, voiced ab a *9% bid. The previous sell to GM at 100 vious From Ahead 79%. The pre¬ 79%-% would im¬ mediately be changed to 79%-%. second other bid the sale price. curs, no at trations in the given, just would offer remains or Using the illus¬ separate examples the have buyer seller sold his at stock If you want to know what senatorial campaign. main claim to the original 79%-%. The would bt offered -i if ue first, the making oner had quote quote back to- the original 79%%. The nuote would not be changed by mained ot.ner whose bidders orders the at sale this, let's if sale a there were sells of them. one mains and the quote third Carlisle in the method by which a quote is changed is by the cancel¬ lation (withdrawal) of the exist¬ highest bid or lowest offer. Using the 79%-% quote in this example, the quote would be that asked what would never as Why as vote- a to be seem shouldn't he Ferguson, do Taft; do much of have a been you you think think you are as make a way gullible public to get it and notwithstanding that the loss of Taft in the Senate would be a distinct loss to the people of the country, Jumping Joe is in the race very confident he will win. ing • if changed either offerer the had bidder cancelled assuming, of der the his order, cancelled, the quote would be changed to 79%-%. (These new that there assume was other buy and sell orders any would in revealed or until, manner any tions be voiced not quota¬ as changed, each in turn were aspiring to the Presidency of it his is of you are, for the course, Jack as of the late directions he power were the seeks, betterment sort same of of power the which likely humility at least to wait until the have the then he will have a sense of inadequacy. people their any as jealousies thinks he Not can so other aside of about as selfish, self-centered and group to admire under the sun. a But they Barrymore; no one lay of them take her place. with the politicians. knock man becomes big so or so him off the for privilege of serving in his place. If Jumping Joe should by chance come to Washington, it matters not to bringing of "order out of chaos," this "stabilization,", was done by was an accomplishment that brought Hill¬ man to be an associate of Roosevelt the Great, of Felix Frankfurter, Frances Perkins and the like and to place him in a position of life or death over American industry during World War II. Kroll aspires to take up where he left off. Undoubtedly when we get Donald Nelson, Henry Kaiser and the rest of them back in Wash-, ington as it appears we are about to do, Kroll expects to have the. high place held by Sidney. gangster outrages but it think that the people of Ohio would, take offense You would at man a Kroll's of exactly what they him that he wouldn't have type may meddling in their affairs the slightest idea of what it is this and is do. Taft expects to formally launch his campaign for reelection He will not be able to put in the work he had planned to do because of the Korean situation but he is a hound for punish-' Aug. 14. and he will get in more campaigning than his opponents hope he will be able to. The smear artists are already busy on ment him, trying to pin responsibility for the Korean mess upon him. This shows the amazing confidence which they have in their power of propaganda. Wasn't it Taft, they ask, who Navy to make ed to protect it. there would stomach for we The facts as be few months ago wanted the the Korean course, prove we Taft has very the world, military aid, to "contain" Communism. But when over To this he end advocated that him, said neither Formosa our in that could. strategic area. and This Navy would protect Formosa. was an well as (it should be made our hooted at little his opposition, he could see no ministration in intend¬ had mess. pouring out billions of dollars all why Communism should not be "contained" in Asia elsewhere. word that that had this been done over not our of are, became committed to that reason a showing around Formosa to a known in advance that No important to his country, that a mediocre man would not hesitate to "order out of chaos" out of the teeming mass with which they work, "stabilized" the garment industry, much to the admiration of many businessmen who don't like disorder of any kind. This in economic and The theatre is made up vain It should be very offensive to decent people that a man of this stripe should become so vocal in their affairs. Kroll's rise to power has, like that of Sidney's, been through the browbeating of the garment workers centered in lower Manhattan, where the English language is honored more in the breach and where American tra¬ ditions are something not yet attained. Hillman and Kroll brought a a buy order in the market at 79% and a sell order at 79%.) These or man occupant dies or retires and even or were- quotes A cupant will 79% If the offer 79%-%. will find this sort of attitude prevalent in you corporation but realizing that he is not as competent as the oc¬ Thus, if the 79% bids were the quote would be to that other walk of life. any cancelled, changed doubt other bid¬ stock offerer had been offering stock at 79%. I at course, no wanted or labor, for instance, as ' this about him successor whether as you can contribution to the country as he?" He wants the job, thinks he has enough of slightest. with the a Undoubtedly this has never occurred to Jumping Joe, but it is the characteristic of a politician that it would not have deterred him Bargeron re¬ unchanged at 79%-%. The and was "Mr. The other bidder bid ms renews family large question. able two now successful pol¬ asked: illustrate bidders at <9%. A seller to was executed there assume a after fair offerers or To price. he re¬ not were it takes to make in Washington several weeks ago giving several interviews to the newspapermen to the effect that he could beat Bob Taft lying down, he suggested to the Democratic publicity men that they photo¬ graph him sitting in Taft's seat in the Senate, "to show that I can hold it," he explained. It is strange, or maybe the innate cour¬ tesy of the Washington correspondents, that changing the pnce, his He 79%-%, the buyer then buying at 79l/2 is and same the say man a the country' getter he has tew equals. the seller you such as him They call him Jumping Joe Ferguson, whose fame to The quote would be changed back the of the News itician you should give study to Bob Taft's opponent in the Ohio 79% to voting his predecessor gained. <9% in the quote 79%-%. at who By CARLISLE BARGERON quote ' would just go along saying it Kroll, the Russian born immigrant, Sidney Hillman is the leader of the organized labor movement to get rid of Taft. He, of course, would tell Jumping Joe how to vote and it is not a question with about method by which a is changed is by a sale (transaction; it, after the sale oc¬ He When Washington quote, The about. wants him to vote. quote, 79%-% would ii\mediately be changed to 79%-%. To illus¬ trate a change by a lower offer, assume the client's instruction was 7 (435) nor The Ad¬ Korea invitation for anybody to was move When the Russians took the Administration at it* moved in Korea, it changed face overnight and de¬ cided to fight. the highest of all bids or became the lowest of all the offers. Long and Short . Long simple. It position relatively is describes This announcement is neither customer's a immediately his after an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any of these Debentures. The offer is made only by the Prospectus. to order In one of our illustrations of quotations, we said a client had given an order buy stock is executed. buy 100 GM at 79%. As soon his order was executed, this to as described be order an until he "even" be could said "even" was stock. he long nor after again 3% Debentures, Series B Due 1975 before he Dated Interest long stock. another If client, "even" in he order count executive to enter an sell, 100 shares at the mar¬ When his order is ex¬ say, ket short. the ecuted, must shares 100 Price 102.308% and accrued interest : be someone make delivery of the 1 in order stock to from borrowed to payable February 1 and August 1 in New York City a stock, decides to sell it would instruct his ac¬ given short, to Due August 1, 1975 August 1, 1050 his sold he System, Inc. was bought it, was long during the pe¬ riod he held it, and became "even" The Columbia Gas entered long GM—neither in He short. this sell to it Then be And, it would long. as described so $90,000,000 in GM would client's position the bought it. This definite obligation on who buyer creates a seller to his short stock some day, in order to return the stock he borrowed when he the back buy the of part short "cover" or \ Copies of the Prospectus may be obtained from only such of the undersigned as may legally offer these Debentures in compliance with securities laws of the respective States. the sold short. Let give you a practical ex¬ me ample long of short and both make share. per XYZ shares. decided has 100 buy to to enter order an to 100 XYZ at the market. At the floor post, the broker "takes" the 100 shares offered at 50. The Buy customer's BLYTH & CO., INC. position is Continued now on long page 30 GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. SALOMON BROS. & HUTZLER UNION SECURITIES CORPORATION August 2, 1950. HARRIMAN RIPLEY & CO. Incorporated MERRILL LYNCH, PIERCE, FENNER & KIDDER, PEABODY & CO. instructs his account He executive : terms The prevailing quote is 49%-50. Illustrating long first, let's say a client "even" in $50 NAGROM. STANLEY & CO. which easier tounderstand. We'll use XYZ as the stock and assume it's selling at will BEANE SMITH, BARNEY & CO. WERTHEIM & CO. 8 (436) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle to work. We have Dealer-Broker Investment marketing operation Japan to New Zealand across to Cape Town and Overseas Investment a which extends from By GEORGE F. JAMES* around Treasurer, Standard-Vacuum Oil Co. Persian back just south of Recommendations and Literature the It is understood that the Gulf, including India and Asia, and in happier Holding considerations in investing abroad are not generically at home, Mr. James finds American foreign investment impeded by: (1) war and civil commotion, along with instabil.ty of governments; (2) inconvertibility of currencies; and (3) nationalistic xenophobic pressures. Says excessive taxes and tax discriminations are problems as well times, China. We also have sub¬ production in Indonesia, and a big refinery in Palembang, Cites of movements Sumatra. You we capital and devaluation risks. IV Point has much value. program Advocates im¬ The foreign investment profits. on topic, "considerations when venture capital looks at overseas opportunities" is short but you could to spend good a many may Industry is been not do with extent hour if half, a you coveries questions too. Arabia, The about looking George F. James at op¬ factors tive which investor proposed of under any prospec¬ considers investment: on any prospective profit and probable risk, and the weighed against the other. Generically there is no difference. to to which marketing in Japan and gone spend to only was get back Also and our You which of was some established an the if it does involve large going com¬ pany, of committing those funds and making the capital outlays neces¬ If, before the already had a concession Well, the first thing that had to considered be outlook. there, will you mendous amount spend to a tre¬ out go develop it again. cipal We did go back into China. prin¬ that the oil industry making substantial, post¬ foreign investments is a mat¬ reason properties. our We rebuilt the big in¬ stallation at. Shanghai and at Hong laid out a number Kong, and vestors have weighed the possible war profits ter of against usual an the venture overseas possible is answer risks, the they don't that make the investment. Department of Commerce figures show that for 1947 the American am talking ments net about a direct portfolio not investors who of all investment—I about not foreign foreign increase overseas buy stock in company bonds or government — of a only was $666,000,000, and a 1947 was banner year compared with 1945 or 1946. billion a like seem quite .money, but beside from Marshall aid other dollars lot a the various government-to-government drop in a the Government seen 1948. on somewhat rea¬ extremely small large bucket. very I have not a of capital and financial measures, you will lize that it is an figures It was better probably It year. is estimated that the gross increase American foreign investment that year was in the in neighborhood Of $1% would the continuity. before They the had billion. be net Of some there course, liquidation, increase was substantially greater but probably than in the Certificates. Comparative in table of and war, hoped to get back to a relatively peaceful world again. Because able the loss of market position is hard to regain, some risk is there justified to keting production have you either have to and You where the crude oil is found or refine where the markets are, and if the oil is produced in foreign territories, and not considered going to be in business, should we or back go Effect War lon Profits Excess of Leading on a keep the business for while. What did we imported into the United usually do decision—spent what was in that sort of you than more a the minimum but less than the maxi¬ mum we would we if we were going back into were tory with One Companies sure terri¬ a sound political future. a factor that made that pic¬ but sold in foreign terri¬ ture look as if it was worthwhile tories, it will be refined abroad, was the fact that traditionally the place or the other. marketing profit of that area is Despite all those factors which high and is subject to low local have impelled the oil industry taxes, and so to the extent that the into postwar foreign investment, operation proved successful, it it is still true that the amount has been spent in foreign ventures by the oil industry since the war is very might than produce the profit Stocks mon favored table a invest¬ ment would receive in the United by internal financial forecasting planning for tation and during postwar to United States taxes. I rehabili¬ expansion. will develop that tax point little bit in the We had lem in a oil previous. Even the larger figure would indicate that in comparison the total investment unds able, or in potential comparison American The nearest tion is the oil said about capital is of the not thing to an excep¬ industry. net $666 American that, and gross of was increase 1947. The $454 the increase mil¬ estimate in 1949 something around 80% came from the oil industry. For some reason, therefore, that industry is invest¬ *A lecture *iven fourth in Analysis York a series sponsored on of July 17, 1950, the 17 on Securities by the New jointly Securities Industry and the Uni¬ versity of Vermont's Department of Com¬ merce Retarded The and Economics. is Indonesia are three: civil commotion and or noncontinuity second funds wrecked. principal factors war same with an Study semi-war economy, and a or is of government; a In Indonesia addi¬ we had Our little bit own again, but planes or to actual ex¬ propriation. I should like to expand a little of; those in connection with the background of on <each my com¬ can illus¬ problems more pany, because I think I trate the general nesian Republic Dutch. regulation Despite the risks, the nec¬ investment was made to essary protect sions. that Kirby Railroad—An¬ Wall 49 Steel for Corporation— dealers only L. — H. Wall Street, 5, N. Y. analysis of five stocks which an firm the considers holding in attractive growing a war Pennsylvania for Railroad Analysis—Hayden, econ¬ 25 omy. Broad Stone Street. New Co. & Co., York 4, bulletin on N. Y. Market Reversal?—Analysis of Also market developments with recom¬ available Revere Copper is a and Brass Incor¬ porated. Pennsylvania Co.—Bulletin Water Power & Boenning & Co., Walnut Street, Philadelphia 1606 — 3, Pa. Rayonier Municipal Bonds During World War III Bulletin Francis Moroney, Beissner & Co., 812 Rusk Avenue, Houston 2, Tex. — *. I . New J . York's Law — - Riverside the over-the-counter stocks used Wisconsin and We group exploit don't decision & Co.—N e w Co., is brief review a Corporations—Book¬ let of financial thirty Baird industria in the National & Co., briefs—Robert W. 110 East Wisconsin Avenue, Milwaukee 1, Wis. Quo tation Bureau Averages, both at to yield and market performance over Wall U. S. Thermo Control—Analysis —Raymond & Co., 148 State Street, Boston 9. Mass. industrial stocks used in the Dow- five Cement Also available showing an up-to-date com¬ parison between the thirty listed and 1 if the Cement Industry Over-the-counter Index—Book¬ Averages Co., 10 Port Office Square, Boston 9, Mass. let Jones Memorandum— — Pont & analysis—Lerner "Prudent Analysis—Hemphill, — du • ,. New I. Street, New York 5, N. Y. Noyes, Graham, Parsons & Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y. Also dum available is a memoran¬ Cutler-Hammer. on eleven-year period—Na Quotation Bureau, Inc., 4' an tional Front Street. New York 4, N Pension Stocks — Plans and Analytical Y EVENTS brochure— Stanley & Co., 2 Street, New York 5, N. Y. Quarterly COMING Common Morgan Wall Comparison In & Meeds, 120 York 5, N. Y. Investment Field and Analysis for 19 Leading New York City Bank Stocks—Laird, Bissell Broadway, Sept. 8, 1950 (New York City) Security Traders Association of New New New York annual York Athletic outing at the Club, Travers Island. Allied Stores Corp.—Memoran-- Sept. 8-9, 1950 the know came out, Continued on and 14 Pacific Northwest Group of the Co.,' Street, New York, N. Y. Investment Bankers Association Wall annual Bendix Aviation randum—Sutro Corp.—Memo-- Bros. . & yet Co., Broadway, New York 5, N. Y. tin Inc. Hill — Recent Richards Bui- & Co., 621 South Spring Street, Los Angeles — 14, Calif. . > how because page 35 15, 1950 * Sept. i i . Bullock's meeting at Gearhart Hotel, Gearhart-by-the-Sea, Ore. 120: (Philadelphia, Pa.) Bond Club of Philadelphia Field Day at the Manufacturers Coun¬ try Club. / Sept. 26-30, 1956 (Virginia Beach. Va.l Bullock's enseller Spring Inc.—Analysis—Wag-, National Security Traders As¬ Durst, Inc., 626 South sociation Annual Convention at Street, Los Angeles 14, the Cavalier Hotel. & Calif. Also studies available of Seattle and Gas detailed are General Controls Co. Company. Central Vermont Public Service Co.—Analysis—Ira Ill Haupt & Co., Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. the conces¬ (Portland, Ore.) dum—Shearson, Hammill & came nonconvertibility of from Ceylon and knocked it down convertibility, again. limited In 1946 it was very much of a exchange risks and currency de¬ valuation; the third is all of the wreck, calling for a big -capital At the time a civil war nationalistic, xenophobic pressures outlay. ranging from discriminatory tax¬ was going on between the Indo¬ ation Son, Hickey, New York prob¬ people dyna¬ mited it when they got out. The Japs built it up and got it going a & Rothschild & Co., 52 foreign one million in direct investment in oil industry provided lion of the funds, to any great extent. that the avail¬ with capital venture going abroad I of use with Pacific Newport of the in Missouri alysis—Vilas fit from a Memoran¬ — Street, New York 5, N. Y. a ground, and we would investment up something, very by the oil be; giving companies below the potential are large and very tangible if we much the same as those didn'-t go back, so there was addi¬ which have largely inhibited foreign tional pressure to return there. investment, by other American On the other hand, the nature of investors potentially investing that operation would involve the abroad. expenditure' of a great deal more money. We had a big re¬ Why Foreign Investment Is finery there that was thoroughly kept the Steel Rupe & few minutes. exactly the tional factor. The factors which have 2, Building, Dallas 1. Tex. invest¬ for Star dum—Dallas marginal Pre¬ ferred Stocks which might bene¬ ment, higher similar a profit substantially less States, and subject in effect only than the amount which might have been spent* the amount indi¬ cated for reinvestment 225 Co., Street, Chicago 4, III. World list of Com¬ a , year in II—Analysis—Eastman, Dil¬ & Co., 15 Broad Street, New Also available is one which & Milwaukee Street. Mexican Railways — Analysis— Pippin & Co., 208 South La Salle Taxes York 5, N. Y. in skimming operation to invest only as much money as was on mar¬ refining. refine we were we stay whether a Between to necessary to that position. preserve Co.— Mason Lone N. Y. Man" thing whether was Manufacturing Hamilton Memorandum—Loewi common ten industries—Dreyfus & Co., 50 Broadway, New York 4, we first The the States Two-thirds of may of markets invest¬ investments, Trust stocks of millions of dollars. in¬ after San Comparative Equity Earnings— We put parties out there to locate On th\ marketing end, the Co., Street, Montgomery to be. proven and 300 Co.—Mem¬ California First — Francisco 4, Calif. East the was Farrel-Birmingham orandum valuation a On has been that is political mendations on timing of pur¬ that, I would say, we chases and sales and selections— exploitation contract in Su¬ probably guessed rather badly current bulletin and next 4 week¬ matra, even though it might not look from every point of view, right at the start. We had no idea ly issues for $1—Bondex Incor¬ that things would be as bad in a like a conservatively sound in¬ porated, 654 Madison Avenue, number of areas as they have New York 21, N. Y. vestment, knowing the oil is one Figures indicate of as Wis. re-establish the business. to sary available can exactly the problem that arose, Bonds— appraisal appraisal of Railroad Equip¬ ment into fraction of a total of business. normal see Philadelphia and delphia 9, Pa. The having a background in the foreign field, having the funds available, being required to weigh vast reservoir of the desirability or undesirability desert of Saudi the even war, you portunities is that it considers the same limited and considers in was ended, business in about area. again. We had a remain¬ ing marketing business in Austra¬ lia and New Zealand, India and Ceylon, South and East Africa, to go after that oil. capi¬ overseas is an extraordinary risk of capital, you are certainly say what venture tal oil easiest to see by the location of the oil. had made prewar dis¬ and leave you some time for thing to an something and difficult too why the oil industry has production an Exception An exception to the trend against foreign investment. In the first place, an investor in oil be to able Oil reasons Nevertheless, our of how much money w6 were pre¬ pared of June 30, 1950—Stroud & Co., Inc., 123 South Broad Street, Phila¬ business It its we substantial amount of money a abroad. years advantage study. in ing geographic war Korea, Manchuria, China, Siam, Burma, Malaya, Singapore, and French Indochina, and the mar¬ keting and producing and refining were gone in Indonesia. Right at that point we faced the question proved commercial treaties wLh other nations, and elimination of U. S. taxes out of were business regulations and discrimi¬ nations, particularly in undeveloped countries, and questions whether irom the can see half of City Valuation position that when the of anti-foreign investment cases firms mentioned will be pleased the following literature: interested parties stantial different from investment on send to all southeast restrictions Thursday. August 3, 1950 . effectively in connection with the specific problems on which I have Venture Capital in as . . Dewey & Almy Chemical Co.— Memorandum—Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin, 265 Montgomery San Francisco 4, Calif. Street, Also dum on available is a Grinwell Corp. memoran¬ Oct. 12, 1950 (Dallas, Tex.) Dallas Bond Club Annual Fall Meeting. Nov. 26-Dec. 1, 1950 (Hollywood, Fla.) Investment Bankers Association annual convention at the Holly-' wood Beach Hotel. Dec. 8, 1950 New York (New York City) Security Dealers As¬ Anniversary Din¬ sociation Silver ner at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel (Starlight Roof). Number 4930 Volume 172 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . . man-hour over the next .» >. L put advisers Presidential rigid controls maintain production. Advocates ity is the there of annual increment, workers new industry drawn when the of body in high gear, total the limits be the of more production effective to will the creases will force labor enough be "Without unusual an in the labor force, or Calling attention to the need for public action along with private in hours of policy, the Advisers went on: maximum employment the end of 1950 work, "But would involve by increase an total in output present prices. But our poten¬ tial increase in production is con¬ the the more all k Keyserling John Advisers. nomic members Council The Leon H. Keyserling, are the mid-year force, for the possibility of fullJuly 24 by the Council of Eco¬ time employment of many who the underlying theme of is necessary, "Report to the President," submitted Chairman; John D. Clark and Roy Blough. ^ — — procurement will further tightening of the market situation in important f^eas of the economy. There has international developments and heen and will be some increased their impact upon the domestic forward buying, both by business economy, in the forefront of pub- and by consumers. There will be lie attention," the Council says. a larScr demand for labor, and a "It is manifestly impossible to tendency towards wage increases predict the future sequence of °* a magnitude which would in"Very recent events have placed these difficult it This makes developments. the appro- policies does not remove the The fact that our fu- necessity. ture programs largely be may influenced by the action of other nations does not force us to drift maintaining the American economy at maximum strength and producThe aimlessly. has tivity become before. than nomic less no international, greater even domestic In affairs for need eco- in than be must we pre- pared and watchful, retaining enough flexibility to change our course q u i c k 1 v as conditions change." H°ldmg that, despite the in ationary threats, rigid controls are av<?Ida^le'. the Cou™1 df larfc: . Such increased pr s ures, superimposed upon an active econ°my, would quickly create a plant capacities. years, we favor- Advisers point to the "With this output economy with increased there "If the Advisers. say nations to were force defense into i_ ^ \ ^ should commence to spiral. also follow if this programs If the be followed to Korean unmanageable points in the world, resulting increase in expenditures would require even more extensive economic controls than "The current our for increasing while very full military sizable, does mobilization of not involve our military might or the placeof ment a our preparations increasing fense civilian economy on wartime footing. full which must now But the for debe made substantial effeet upon the domestic economy, even though not all of the additional appropriations will be exwill have pended slack than there was in we are faced with problems. additional It is procurement the economy as a the largely complete will products areas upon almost or need increased special tight, and the utilization of existing capacity complete. that the expansion of means production in these specific lines must take precedence expansion of other involves special utilization cilities influencing the composi¬ tion the of demand as over the This lines. problems of labor well as of use materials. and for and It Great Northern likely to become just as urgent as policies to reduce the total level of demand to counteract general inflation. Both types of policies needed." are now Public Policy and the Korean Situation "Public policy cannot be ad¬ justed simultaneously to each of the possible contingencies of the future, particularly when of these of this are nation. so many control the beyond effort An ness of current action directed to current fa¬ impair the effective¬ problems. The degree of effectiveness demonstrated, in ad¬ justing what we do now to what is needed now, will be the surest token that we can adjust later to whatever may be needed later on. the future should not generate either uncertainties paraly¬ The sis action excessive or of To be "We must maintain tic economy as in a domes¬ our position to serve tower of strength for all the a efforts of the during an emergency weeks or which may months, north The nation, but not of for double shifts and overtime work and there is still a substantial r®?®rvf. ln the labor force. The utilization of these reserves, plus Korean attack a to sion pared against the tfrfaJ atl°cation, and, above all, total demand is held in check by strong tax and credit meas- the common defense. Continued also The heavier on page Railway ~ very this year. The stepping of these Certificates are subject to authorization by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Offering Circular may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated from only such of the undersigned and other dealers as may lawfully offer these securities in such State. OTIS The Advisers in express their the "Output per man-hour mated to be about 11% was This of means of esti- about 2.4% F.S.MOSELEY&CO. PHELPS.FENN & CO. GREGORY &, SON INCORPORATED THE ILLINOIS COMPANY WEEDEN & CO. FIRST OF MICHIGAN CORPORATION INCORPORATED FREEMAN & COMPANY HAYDEN, MILLER & CO. WM. E. POLLOCK & CO., INC. average per year SWISS AMERICAN slightly higher than the average rate in the prewar decade. With vast recent improvements in plant, technology, and skills, we should certainly be able to maintain at least the recent rate of increase in out(compounded), HORNBLOWER & WEEKS above the an H EMPH ILL,NO YES,GRAHAM,PARSONS &, CO. con- 1945 level in the first half of the gain BLAIR, ROLLINS &, CO. INCORPORATED EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION continuance man-hour output as follows: fidence year. L. F. ROTHSCHILD & CO. &, CO. (INCORPORATED) Output JULIEN CORPORATION COLLINS & COMPANY THE MILWAUKEE COMPANY McMASTER HUTCHINSON & CO. MULLANEY, WELLS & COMPANY August 3, 1950. of to bear its share of the burden of HALSEY, STUART &. CO. INC. ures. a United States must be ready The yield 1.40% to 2.625%, according to maturity ^ is possibility Issuance and sale The few years similar aggression at other points. tionally guaranteed unconditionally as to payment of par value and dividends by endorsement payment of par value and the ~ " by Great Northern Kail-way Company Priced only warning to the world to be pre¬ $471,000 semi-annually February 1, 1951 to August 1, 1965, inclusive ~ a be many in number. Equipment Trust Certificates ' the in present. (Philadelphia Plan) mature do to would Equipment Trust of 1950 To public Discussing the range of policy, the Council states: pro- 2%% the and distribution of these products, are $14,130,000 curement even more rapidly than has thus far been proposed. But Increased request for an addi- billion armed forces and our outlays, less require the stepping military efforts of thus far proposed." $10 much relatively be This by the tional so policies directed toward the expansion of specific lines, and than the increased upon And these This that would then need to were fort at many those sub¬ to use It follows use. further s?me necessary capacity expanshould coyer military needs on the present scale without a a situation of heightened and procomplete set of controls, if pro¬ longed tension requiring that we Auction is effectively channeled be fully prepared for military ef- !n^9 essential areas through maeconomy established. be situation of Nor does the fact is 1939 mean that that potential, the programs will uses, greater demands into military and where supply is already is in good shape to deal stantial scope. true Shape essential the most essential com- comparable to those of war, a full war Good in Economy r country related converge if neither of these contingencies develops, price, wage, and manplete disruption of the increas- power controls should be avoidingly favorable trend. able. There is some margin of "We cannot vet iudce the exunused capacity in most industent or duration of this new turn tries even apart from the use of during other items entering whole. annually." steel, and other need for creased for outlook, will concentrated much version from less the year's first half, mg the of events," succeeding In expand about 3% can ^ect controls, if advance buying ^ J5,11 s 1 n e s ® consumers should approach the proportions «* »>°ardH»ff°L{™![/"wages ation should able economic developments exist- existing of use rapidly enough to necessity of some di¬ the sufficiently serious inflationary situation to require the whole Sa™ut <*. comprehensive and di- up highly the full changes in the international situ¬ International Developments citing the for in the economy .. .. ... employed only part-time, now and that Inflationary Pressures and .onT would The Impact of After . But the should now be followed. difficulty the costs of production and a(*d to the pressure on prices. crease which discern to economic priate are of military up cause find ourselves, and we now im¬ strains upon some lines of supply much greater than the average strains upon the economy as a whole. The in¬ ployment by 1 to 2 million, for possible enlargement of the labor Roy Blough Clark D. not immediate pose siderably greater, allowing for the further reduction of unem¬ H. be itself The kind of situation in which at Leon in will enough: billion $8 about avoid this the increase of total pro¬ duction annual rate of our of can Production Increase Insufficient increase cannot proceed The economy." large permit sizable in¬ in civilian employment. to that, in special lines, ex¬ pansion of total output probably means produce, the more fully we supply the most essential of men will be drawn into the^ purposes without diversions which would impair other sectors of the armed forces, it seems clear that* we While substantial numbers time. i general make. can we up resources our most that effort international political crisis has made economic unemployed workers, and among policy-making particularly difficult, they are now those who now work only part- so so of crease the and are flexible, and its varied, that the in¬ is economy demands is > toward we however, we must exert every ef¬ fort to produce even more. Our million 3.4 from low continue the economy high," "Now that working at high speed. Additional labor power is also available in current an Council. into economy time-consuming process gear because many are the shifting into certainty labor force. The labor force, in fact, is likely to increase more rapidly than is in¬ dicated by the size of the normal pres¬ problems can be more expeditiously with than productiv¬ inflationary and But these sures. growing a the Although scarcity the dealt this with trend, of public policy: (1) a quick increase in production; (2) estab¬ lishing priority for defense and essential civilian needs; and (3) protection against inflation. prediction cited period of a boom, create greater problems of growth of the labor force, "Coupled main immediate aims of as further coming in programs, follows: as holding they would not interfere with maintenance of maximum Council The despite inflationary threats and armament needs fostered by Korean situation. Advocate "a prompt and drastic" increase in taxes, years." assured avoidable, are per few Strength With Flexibility First Need of Economy, Council Says 9 (437) * 28 10 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (438) Bernard Weissman Is Siegel Go. Partner Pennsylvania Brevities sales preferred Com- Warner of of central-mix concrete, building materials, lime producers pany, lime and products, to rose first the for 239,476 six $9,- months of 1950, compared with $8,409,842 for the like period of 1949. Per share earnings on the 474,329 of outstanding common $2.83 as against $2.55. Char- shares were acteristically, larger earnings in realized to $6 per run Weissman Last He has been Siegel & Co. for the past eight years as Manager of the real estate and a general partner. associated with the firm of or April, the quarterly divi- pated that year-end extra dis- a il'coSt'T cSirow'mLlfnhLif nrioHtv dered to fall in the high priority class and little if any L. H. Rand Joins Co wen " near I Company & Co., 54 Pine Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock Exchange and other exchanges, announce that Louis H. Rand has become ciated with the firm. Mr. asso¬ Rand formerly conducted a general brokerage business under the firm name of L. H. Rand & Co. Hayward Admits Partner BELLINGHAM, Wash.—Francis C. Hayward has admitted Roland B, Boettrer to partnership and is continuing ness under Francis C. his investment the firm Hayward the of & Co. from offices in the Bellingham National Bank Building. Co. curtailmen Riverside Metal A. B. Pulley Farquhar Houdry Process General Manifold & Printing HERBERT H. BLIZZARD & CO. 1421 CHESTNUT STREET LOcust 7-6619 P^Pal medi«™ the change I*t,r,n« Philadelphia Company «% preferred The $5 preference stock w°u'd be ret,red for, ca?h SJSEZf the' same^ttme'^uquesne ' would sel1 $12 000,000 additional first mortg*ge b^nds Duquesne 5% on Carnegie-Illinois Steel preferred) repay short.term conplant to be located on he struction loans and provide for s River Delaware Momsville at Warner Company s chemical Pa. lime has which business, many Fares Raised in Pittsburgh applications in essential industry, is operating at capacity. HARRISBURG— Generally of higher trolley and bus fares for Pittsburgh Railways Co. 1 were tween six and seven million dol- approved by the Pennsylvania lars for plant and equipment Public Utility Commission last improvements. The program has week. The new schedules, which reduced operating cost ratios and. will become effective Aug. 4, are increased productive capacities at expected to increase revenues aphas company be- expended needed points. T. * * * P. from the * Pennsylvania Railroad reported in June of $80,- 815,470, the largest fcr The company estimates that on the basis of existing fares opera¬ tions for the full year 1950 will produce no taxable income. On the other hand; no provision has tax credit which from carrying for- st"P? of t'cke?s.J*1" bee,a^llaKe .e e ° to r $ 1.50 On ^tain cross-town bus routes thrf tokens wlU be sold for 50 , , cents. taxes paid m pected to 1946 wiU ■ be possible is ex- recorded In addition $479,823, set up income a take to tax as reserve care of / income in 1950. stocks of P. mitted to delphia change. T. C. trading and the on Baltimore - preferred have been * ad- Phila- Stock Ex- For the ,12 months ended June wipe out the deficit of $3,077,521 recorded for the Company, principal.subsidiary of Standard Gas & Electric Co., has filed an application with the SEC designed to bring about the retirement of its issues of 6% non-callable preferred (par $50) and $5 cumulative preference stocks. preference 000,000 was stock, The $6 of which Sto^Ss'pe^coSoLharron the 3j32(U97 al- standing year come first of half- of $4,398,000 brought net in¬ for the six months to $6,- slightly only 174,521, figure comparable the below for first the Earnings half of 1949. share per 47 cents. were * a step; DU- subsidiary of of the New York Stock and profits Dental Mfg. Co. the first half were has become firm in the second of in quarter and remainder of the bright, according to Fred E. Steen, President, as re¬ ported in the "Philadelphia In¬ quirer." six first the Domestic sales were year, but foreign devaluations and re- year ago. ahead He currency Strjr+>nns on in been Technique," spent "Air- new which pre¬ cavities for filling by forc¬ against the tooth under pounds of pressure of powder 60 70 to cust heat, dioxide away The gas. Clark is Davies & the R. F. Co. Cooley Rejoins Thomson & MeKinnon to The CHICAGO, Financial Chronicle) — Richard R. Cooley has rejoined Thomson & MeKinnon, Street. 111. 231 South La Salle Mr. Cooley has recently been with the Chicago office of Reynolds & Co. as manager of the trading department. Demon¬ practice general Mejia, H. R. Baker & Co. and Bankamerica Perry Wit^ Douglass Co. (Special to most dental schools and will be^ to associated with First now Central Corporation of California. Mr. Clark was formerly with stration units have been supplied available ' RICHMOND, Calif.—Sydney S. without pain. or Corp. process enamel tooth vibration a .? First Gmbal (Special has $500,000 brasivc for¬ for (Special to The Financial Chronicle) shipments tended to development of the pares was Co. Sidney Clark With curtail results. Over Shields with last of the Re¬ months $9,717,000 aga^st $9,833,304 were a Stalker with & pros¬ the for J. associated charge of the Dealer irv slightly below are Sales Exchange, merly sharp upturn was marked a Albert lations Department. results for the first six months of 1949. that announces Mfg. Co. sales White S. red J. Stalker * S. White Dental S. Although AM Kidder, Peabody & Co., 17 W,all Street, New York City, members number of years. * S. the revision the early next year. to The Financial Chronicle) BEVERLY ciated with Robertson was Preston Holt Joins Calif.— HILLS, James A. Perry has become asso¬ North and Walston, Hoffman Go. Financial Douglass & Co., Boulevard. 133 He formerly with Morgan & Co. prior thereto was Assistant Co. Chronicle) American Holt was Hoppe, prior Bank Building. formerly with Stewart thereto . was an Walnut officer ANGELES. LOS S. Wesp has Francis South I. Calif.—Walter joined du Railroad son the staff of Pont Spring Street. & He Co., 722 was pre¬ & Curtis. Appraisals Equipment Trust Certificates City of Philadelphia Bonds as Our current of June 30, 1950 publications will be sent Please mention which group—or on request. both. * Armstrong Cork Allocates ' — Distribution of tile: produced by Arm¬ Cork Co. has been re- LANCASTER strong to an caoacitv STROUD & COMPANY allocation basis, ac- Incorporated H- ^Stewart, Manager of the Floor Although of all four productive of Arm- strong's tile plants have been in¬ , : , PHILADELPHIA 9 ALLENTOWN • PITTSBURGH ,. of viously with Paine, Webber, Jack¬ Valuations and , * (Special to The Financial Chronicle) , The Streets. j * and Francis 1. du Pont Adds J-. letter building is being C0/P*' pletejy modernized, including the installation of high-speed ele<Xato.rs a"ft c£mpiele llr'c0n^ ponmg: The Stock Exchange has ^a?®£ J, nl par^ eighth floorsand will move at the exPirahon of its present .lease.* \ Balfour & Walnut and Mr. Russell, Holt, Robbins & Co. Street, the Philadelphia - Baltimore Stock Exchange and the Stock Clearing CorP- of Philadelphia are plannin§ to mov® to the adjoining Central-Penn Bank Building at 1411 ^ Division. . Light Co., for of * * t sClnl 7dif be. borrowed from Assistant intermediate per out- Stock Exchange to Move turned quesne accruals tax PHILADELPHIA — After 37 years in its present location at asphalt an currently ,une 30, l949. on # ing to the proposed plan, Philadelphia Company will be left As. shares outstanding, against $2.26 shar „„ 2(911(8gs shares ready been called for redemption. When and if consummated accordi- banks. ^c,rf«?sed Fom J*et $10,- outstanding, hf|s $17,500,000 to downward A year. months five first CSDfcial to The Broad * Philadelphia ^ x assessments tations and will also be added to common was than sufficient to $®> Pennsylvania Power & Light PORTLAND, Oreg. — Preston *'Co-.reported gross income of $73,561>504, compared with $68,516,- Holt has become associated with ^ T°r ^he similar previous pe- Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin, of for years prior to 1946, has been released under the statute of limi- The $5,216,406 for the month of more Vice-President of First California „ be received and, when received, t Pennsylvania Power & Light Co. ward the 1949 operating loss. on month any Net income carbon . 606 January, 1949. cents^for transfers which will be ISSU, without charge to the 15?ent ctasb fare riders Present 15"cenf bus fares will be inereased to 20 cents, although Although revenues were up about 6% in 1950, the greater part of the gain was attributable to the 10-day strike which -suspended all service in February, 1949. * ' a is raised * gross, revenues year. although Minerva ing finely ground aluminum oxide the result cents, and present fare through the purchase bve tokens for 60 cents. Token buyers> however, will pay three corresponding period, resulting in a net profit of $236,980 compared with a loss of $1,314,497 in the first might 15 Columbia its an price ri<*ers may continue to pay the for the first six months of 1950 increased $2.- been made for to announce Operating — Transportation1 Co. over 12 Sons Philadelphia PHILADELPHIA of y per The basic trolley fare C. Earnings Improve revenues $2,500,000 proximately & Yea, Pennsylvania! Since the end of World War II, the Kidder, PeibodyCo. Increased hand-knitting yarns, effective im¬ mediately. year # # ^ Lees pects -for the 195Q construction pr0gram. JU. Stalker With * advance of about 10% in the competitive ais0 at new half of last year. American constitute would s ♦ul James bldctlng and later wouid sen 1949 E. & G. Brooke Iron pre- ^xt yefr's bisine * competitive bidding, $7,500,000 u?, additional preferred stock. Funds i 1° of construction of so realizecl would defray the callftIf beginning future 072,352 We solicit inquiries in Light Duquesne new premium the busi¬ name The ferred, purchased by Philadelphia Thursday, August 3, 1950 .. PHILADELPHIA—Due entirely to the rising cost of raw wool, since funds- h=ent will he made in De- £ s mortgage statistical department. Cowen & from 25 cents, and it is antici- to 40 , Philadelphia Company would obtain funds for the purchase from the bank borrowing noted * e aPProx,,yately $$>000,000 remaining from the recen* saI® Equitable Gas Light ®°mm°n stock and from general 000 Company, better. rate was increased dend Siegel & Co., 39 Broadway, New cents York City, announces that Ber¬ ; as share, selling to Philadel- by p^a Company a new issue of J®w®r dividend-rate preferred in JJj® PI/IS *1 am°unt of $27,500,- half of the latter the are and estimates for all of 1950 year 5% # Prices Yarn Warner Company nard Weissman has been admitted *:• Corporate News and Notes Gross Bernard creased, operations are at capacity under the stimulus of peak sales. . NEW YORK SCRANTON * LANCASTER • Volume 172 Number 4930 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle .. (439) offered today. Yes, am opti- those jwho will stick to it "rain or j shine." Sensible;; continuous. adJ By ROGER W. BABSON vertising Mr. Babson, asserting public relies merchants and others not to curtail Says tising. of best one is allowance of advertisements, advises on cut or k'J or are making only do all Says North Koreans will get such a beating as to make impossible for many years for Russia to induce another satellite to embark - just been reading interesting advertisement great steel company. constitutes most a of vertise military venture. when in its of steel plates ships, for bombs, and other This company has nothing whatever to the to pub¬ it general lic, only tainly owes papers are a debt whether "for" to all "agin" or ministration. chance of back on manufacturers paid now tunities to of the advertise the with years, ♦ best Co. public of and Then very instead freely 2 $30,000,000 Gas accrued to keep a five- This would do much business on we an even keel especially need Columbia its butes and retail in more than of the Gas operating tomers. gas sale at redeemed on They ard * for the sinking ranging from System through subsidiaries sells natural distri-. at communities to million residential^ gas 11,218 one commercial issues of 3% and industrial cus¬ The corporation also wholesale to other sell^ public debentures due Pennsylvania 1974, totalling $33,000,000 princi¬ pal amount. be added the corporation. that be to the general its general is It funds new and town, the System. The Virginia, Md., a number of including Bal¬ Charlottesville Roanoke, Va.; Harrisburg, storage program of gas communities timore, then adequate for the 1950 construc¬ tion West serving at wholesale funds of estimated will and During 1950 the System will begin The balance of the proceeds will - • - proceeds prices the Aug. 1. on if 1974.* to the principal amount; de¬ Inc., 1, The principal corporation will redeem on or .utilities for resale. about Sept. 9, 1950, $45,000,000 of territory served by the System at 3y4% debentures due 1973 and •retail includes large areas in Ohio^ two good appropri¬ the at at interest System, .plus Aug. ,102.20% a decreasing to thd amount the of little left for lean advertising prices redeemable fund of¬ Aug. 3% on also 59 firms competitive bidding From policy would spending period. today. are but the issue 102.308% to avoid ways bust" which is what oppor¬ which or the year to & investment Columbia at ations would be spent over publicity with no getting their money advantage of years, sales.;! hope more local firms will take ad¬ attention more Stanley bentures, series B due 1975 of advertise. "boom are through immediate increased who at after or competing merchants to yield' approximately 2.87% to advertising. :Now is tne "maturity. This issue was awarded merchants most sensible cam¬ a get expenditures. Ad¬ 1. Successful carrying paign of those fered Not "new need five-year contracts for advertising they the but now be for Congress to allow a special tax reduction as an incentive for news¬ editorially Morgan associated their to One the merchants now not time war materials. sell Our papers local newspapers. Washington cer¬ produc¬ tion not realize. we com¬ has made pany than prog- this ress ing give us the news each day but the growth of our cities depend upon the prosperity of our a In effect, it report of the a ; . a 1 time great mistake. a sales, more are I have 11 on Columbia Gas Z% Debs - tising appropriations at this after principal Merchants who cut down adver¬ tise." it Offers $90,000,000 of . investment ^ ject to redemption at 106% if re^ deemed during the 12 months be^ ginning Aug. 1, 1950 and there¬ Morgan Stanley Group Advertising and Taxes bust" policy, on five-year contracts Holds "now is the time to adver¬ for advertising expenditures. best i down their adver¬ to avoid "boom ways is the there is. jthat • special tax reduction a I jmistic for advertising for Advertisers 1) and Allen-! Reading, «Lancaster and Bethlehem, Pa.; and Poughkeepsie* debentures new are sub¬ Kingston and Newburgh, N. Y. ' chooses to buy considerable n e w s Roger W. Babson p a per give to space the people some most encouraging facts. The upon public has come to rely advertisements. In countless instances tice to people make it read the stories news prac¬ a first ads the and second. Naturally, there is some waste in advertising; but 90% of it is to the good. The merchant who pays a bill for ad¬ vertising expects his ad to "pay its way." The return in mer¬ chandise sales per dollar spent for is carefully watched. space In certain types of copy featur¬ ing the sale of shoes, dresses, and various store whether is a for He fools himself by success. factor on one daily advertisement will be in period of Statistics show spent money newspaper a after business the* advertisement trying to do this. that con¬ thinks hour an opens not or of merchant a determine can his articles .ether goods, sumer he increasing sales for a months ahead. some Don't Worry About Korea Many believe that the con¬ goods industries must sumers fall off and tising. now curtailing adver¬ are Our 12,000 ' employees I cannot necessarily agree with this position. Whatever hap¬ pens in Korea, the vast machinery of manufacturing and distributing which makes up $45,568,148 (11.5%) great retail our trade must be kept running; Newspaper advertising is the best of means making Besides, I more am the .international I have been for Koreans ment will that before this possible. optimistic on situation some get such it may Russia be gets than The years. ■ punish¬ a many years other some satellite to try the same stunt. Too readers accept their newspapers as a matter of course. many Newspapers are, however, as For taxes ■f $10,568,126 V' >.:< (2.7%) f'M •• *• "•*,/ ✓ ^ ' "V VvX^. * ' r v _ y v.vi'<>». '*• ' fa & XvX-.-.* / * . 3/1 *.*,• •••• im¬ portant to their communities as municipal conveniences and are other services. Probably item would missed our be daily Our 13,500 stockholders buy in the world. $6,807,969 (1.6%) from more For future development $6,443,249 single lives than our local A newspaper is the newspaper. greatest no (1.7%) All s For wear and tear $2,791,053 (.7%) • v regardless of size, are highly educational. Unlike other newspapers, *great institutions however, they are and Naturally, going learning, endowed self-supporting. what -keeps its is Everyone a be must of not a advertising paper revenue. ~y During General Mills' 22nd on this as civic duty. Dividends sales upon activities. social free We of our All kinds organizations notices all have stake in the business of of more their of a advertis- illustrated annual apolis 1, Minnesota. merely increasing sales. rely copy report; $11,654,036 for the previous versus and a earnings totalled $13,251,218, compared ^Newspapers are vastly more important to retailers, manufac¬ turers, and the city itself than civic write for with should help Service Rendered By Newspapers «of year, amounted $5,934,019 the to year year. Address-General Mills, Minne¬ $6,443,249, . were $395,834,706. If like the full story of our i < before. Total you last fiscal would year, General Mills i i >• i 12 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (440) Wisconsin Fund Prospectus from request upon investment dealer, or from your An investment National research & securities corporation 120 MOADWAY, NEW YORK 5. N. Y. their are program, ac¬ exhaustive study of an Trend "Investment ment Retire¬ in by completed Plans," just Rawson Lloyd. Mr. in shares company investment cording to the number of re¬ using suitable increasing tirement funds Use They have grown rapidly since 1942, when the In¬ ternal Bullock Fund Dividend Shares Nation-Wide Securities allowed Act Revenue porations to deduct contributions under I such plans as expense. Only about 1500 companies had plans then. Today there are ap¬ The of executive the this had to say of pension funds. Some five million more employees Investment Dealers growth be expected can or to be covered in the next three years. Annual con¬ tributions to retirement funds are about now rise CALVIN BULLOCK to and may $2 billion a year in three time. years billion $1.2 if the instance, For automobile industry adopts a pro¬ Established 1894 similar to gram tributions alone million Z?. be may total steel, these to much as con¬ ment is plans use, increasing of because rising living costs, increased lon¬ gevity and lower income from best grade securities. "To offset the rise in pension costs," Mr. "Lloyd pointed out, STOCK FUND OF Group Securities, inc. "more are and in trusteed stock of the common diversified end Growth new mutual Companies, bonds as pension funds to boost income provide further against hedge some inflation and higher request be made inclusion from your investment dealer of all classes retirement and period. vary with Net assets of the fund sist of a A a majority (53%) hold common $9 or The Federal of free in The Pennsylvania. fund, according to the prospectus, will invest for the most 12 The endowment in part companies stocks common believed by of di¬ the been organized, the prospectus with " colleges totaling about million have an average of about 45% bonds, Keystone of of their investment in in 13% preferred stocks and 42% in common stocks. Mr. Lloyd further that last year U. Custodian companies tions vestment Funds creased in over legal limita¬ company various their Finally, of INVESTMENT FUNDS pointed out in¬ in¬ states) purchases of com¬ stocks by more than 40% 1949 from $49 to $69 million. mon Certificates of Participation in (within insurance on his citing own the experience investment Roger Adams, company, President of the American Association for Zay Jeffries, until recently the IN (Series B1-B2-B3-B4) . Company in charge the Chemical Department past President of the Society for Metals; Bayard D. Kunkle, the board of tions, partnerships and insurance companies, are third. Many em¬ ployee funds, hospitals, invest¬ ment companies, universities, col¬ leges and schools also appear on the list of large shareholders. Of all individual holders Manhattan Fund, Inc., of on FUND Of BOSTON \jt A BALANCED FOND Prospectus on request from your investment dealer rapid changes to adjust to varying but the management actually did make major ones, ac¬ cording to a table it prepared. As may be seen from the adjustments in the following groups an addi¬ tional 30%, approximately, of the portfolio was placed in those in¬ or Louis h. Whitehead Co. conditions LEXINGTON dustries which would benefit from armament and inflation, the Fund TRUST FUND pointed out. % Industry— of Tot. Fund Mar 31, Aircraft Jun 30, 1950 4.1 • ;Z— Foods Oils 2.8 13.3 3.9 _________ Mining Nat. 8.2 12.9 Gas__ 3.6 8.5 5.7 __ and 10.9 of 3.5 Utilities 10.3 and American Foresees Defensive a member General a Bond MUTUAL Motors foods, Devaluation securities retail trade Prospectus such former Vice- and fuels, obtained be utilities from the were and Fund's financial lar and it says that and past -President of the American Institute Of Mining and been Metallurgical Engineers; Office retained Net Net as Assets assets a York from New and 111 York other Curb ft CO. Exchange exchanges principal Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. m Increased » Invest¬ ment Company totaled $2,263,599 30, 1950, compared with $2,205,900 three months earlier and at or HAUPT IRA this group has hedge against of Wisconsin New Members New York Stock Exchange this eventuality. . may as completely eliminated. Bank holdings were de¬ President of that company; creased. As a long-term policy, Clyde E. Williams, the Director however, the company's position of Battelle Memorial Institute, in gold mining securities was America's largest endowed organ¬ maintained. The, Fund believes ization for theoretical and applied that inflation may, eventually re-* research on metals, ceramics and suit in the devaluation of the dol¬ and that Manhat¬ Fund, Inc., are institu¬ tions, corporations, partnerships or with aggregate hold¬ ings of more than 360,000 shares, representing one out of every 12 shares outstanding. Estates, guar¬ dians and trustees are by far the largest holders in this group, fol¬ lowed by churches, church and charitable organizations. Business organizations, including corpora¬ ." Retail Trade Electric of General Templeton, President of Wellington Fund, of which he is vice-president and director of re¬ Templeton, Dobbrow and Vance, search, Mr. Lloyd said: "More Inc., Investment Counselors; than 1000 institutions, corpora¬ Harry J. Haas, past President of tions, estates and fiduciaries, in¬ the American Bankers Association, BONDS . Not only does Wisconsin Invest¬ ment claim to be able to make John E. investing their capital trends. Machinery ical Society; of revealed fiduciaries It President of the American Chem¬ Vice-President also survey 700 shareholders Bond considered Chemicals Dr. mutual the Advancement of Science and past of The non- 1950 Dr. Corporation S. life insurance „ Manhat¬ a Fund. as were ex¬ Its board of directors includes: re¬ eastern $600 com¬ judgment. pension stocks of investing only in bonds, ac¬ a survey published by Hugh W. Long and Company, New armament and than more Inc., cording to new technology funds the . . considered these investment limited amount stocks for its common fund. a Bank by move in occurred Fund, fund wise, under the circumstances, to somewhat read¬ just the company's portfolio to $256,500 perienced funds the Reserve cently purchased # of some partly indicative of the trends. Shares of the fund share. a tax are balance of has surance con¬ industrial preferred stocks. or spring, a Manhattan shareholders lag¬ gard action of the utilities and in¬ was cash the of groups as compared with the change in net asset any value. of corporations by the Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. showed Street, New York 5, N. Y. which Thereafter the price will en¬ dowment funds. A survey of trus¬ teed pension funds of 114 large Distributors Group, Incorporated 63 Wall in that with the and worse of rela¬ growing our are ferrous metals, oil during this 24-hour bining the best available ex¬ perience in scientific research and securities that Russia . states, with the objective of toward on their and war of the organizers include four considered as a probability., country's outstanding scientists, Those present were of the opinion was made yesterday (August 2), that one should be prepared for an by Growth Companies Manage¬ international incident at any time ment Corporation, sponsor of the which could bring this country to fund, with principal offices in the brink of war. The recent ac¬ Philadelphia. tion of the stock market was con¬ The shares are being offered sidered as reflecting intensified initially at $9.84 a share and this armament and preparedness for price is to remain unchanged for war with their natural inflation¬ 24 hours following the initial ary implications. The stimulation offering, as the sponsor company Mr, Lloyd cited several ex¬ amples to.show there is a trend prospectus the Russia in Europe or Asia could be prices." a } the investment policy. on with arrival whose of international situation recognized was steadily fund, Inc., nary possibilities for growth. Primary object of the fund. is described as capital gain. Growth Companies, Inc., has well as It tions open- rectors to possess more than ordi¬ stocks bearing portion danger of $3.23 York, national underwriters of the devoted to a discus¬ was the and Public offering of 300,000 shares of plans more substantial sion of the Companies Offers 300,000 Shares including preferred and now common and "A and represent Bond tan meeting Growth half tan over benefit fund." has announced that no investment the study illustrates how the cost of pension THE COMMON and own will in now shares its 31 Constitute Women May 8: Fund government bonds in $3.46 30, 1949. Half directly from the minutes of the Investment Committee meeting of Wellington uses by the Fund. The following quotation is taken retirement group's adjust it to that according to a state¬ made ment retire¬ of Growth Companies, Inc., monies an plans program for its Iowa shooting in Korea but made courageous moves The Wellington Fund trust. $400 as analysis of the prin¬ features of several retire¬ cipal in company ment weeks in the portfolio to possibility, March at Women Wisconsin seven before the start of the a pension fund of a Texas manu¬ facturing company and an in¬ vestment of a casualty insurance funds two each year. Against "include a $50,000 in¬ in Wellington Fund by incident assets, equaled share at June Economy of Net share at June 30, against $3.71 a share It War management ternational Thursday, August 3, 1950 . $1,698,638 a year earlier, the quar¬ terly report to stockholders dis¬ Investment Company not only had the foresight to anticipate an in¬ cor¬ proximately 13,000 qualified plans and the number is growing. These funds total about $5 billion cov¬ ering 7.2 million employees. Prospectuses available from tinued, management Lloyd gives this picture of pension funds. cluding trustees of pension funds, own over $8,500,000 of Wellington Fund. Recent examples," he con¬ vestment Claims Foresaw . closed. fund. new The Increase Invest¬ Gross, a By ROBERT R. RICH Funds Retirement H. Counselor, who is President the of Mutual Funds John Dr. and ment . June Knickerbocker PREFERRED STOCKS (Series K1-K2) : J ATTENTION, COMMON STOCKS Prospectus for the Diversification, Supervision and s ond Investors/ be obtained from may (m anltatian Bond (Series S1-S2-S3-S4) Snc. Safe-keeping of Investments Prospectus may be obtained from Tke >*;. vl /Write to ypur local Keystone Company "■» ">';i ( T> It.j "•*'* .. » -'N. . 'iW.Hi-noI -Dosto-q : . : • 5Q Congress Street . ' '* ""t J & ,i .and j St., . Boston 9, Massachusetts '» ' dealer . r . : • or to Hugh W, Long' ing price and terms of offering. Company,- lne£ 48< Wall! New!/York'5r,fd( the offi-; ,cia| prospectus" an^ KNICKERBOCKER 20 a other de- * your investment dealer describing the company and its shares, includ¬ investment scriptive material about Registered 'company prospectus from investment investing only iff : your -:i "! investment dmohf or — v v * in bonds ^ PHILADELPHIA % FA, Exchange Place SHARES INC v Volume 172 July 1, than more . the half remainder owning women The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . shares and joint as net of the assets June 30, on B1 and the Bond Fund day. The costs. June on 30 was a ENG.—One of the consequences of the Korean sharp recovery in the unofficial price of gold in a $198,612,500 at the close of 1949. Aeronautical Price Takes Off It was followed, however, by a reaction, creating feeling of uncertainty about the prospects of the price of gold. At the same time, there was a noteworthy depreciation in the prices of gold mining shares on all Stock Exchanges. It would be interesting, therefore, to re-examine the pros¬ pects of gold in the light of the international political situation. Although tension between the USSR and Aeronautical Securities, Incor¬ porated, on June 30 had net assets equivalent to $5.94 per share of outstanding pared capital with $4.38 earlier, an mately 36%, stock increase of the Western Democracies has been almost con¬ com¬ share a a tinuous since the year according public six report for the months ended June 30, 1950. how lull into "The past six months have been by a sharp increase in ex¬ penditures for armaments for our¬ associated der the North has company substantially tion in fully invested of was ing stocks aircraft an 21.08% in be air¬ it stocks in 49,528,035 share on a Investments assets as ments in ot net which group total net oil-and assets, followed gas by tne representing group, 12.07%; automotive and accessory 6.68%; building, 6.52%; 6.01%; and non-fer¬ group, retail utility-' 17%; of comprised trade, Total net assets of- Nation-Wide Securities Company, Inc.* on June 30, last; at the highest level were for the end of any fiscal period in the history of the company, Hugh Bullock, president, stated in.the semi-annual June report the pany..for 30, six 1950. The said, assets,; he increase in of the months growth reflects the com^ ended both number of in an the corporation's shares purchased by investors and value of Net gain in the market a investment holdings. assets amounted on to June 30, $14,507,852, pared with $11,566,388 on 1,037,742 year equal to $12.40 net a share , prices. as share shares. were 932,400 on ' • far as gold mining In particular there is no reason for the absence of devaluation a the rearmament race will increase in world by f$r the best in the history of the insurance industry, are still, favorable measured by any of the usual ' - was operating results standards. summary of issued reports have the results for two of the companies which is presented below. in The Continental Insurance Company, the largest company America Fore Group, reported premium underwritings the of 1950. This was a from the 534,625,203 written in the corresponding period of 1949. As a result the increase in the unearned premium reserve was much smaller then in the earlier period amounting to only $319,880 as compared with the $3,366,371 of a year ago. Premiums earned showed only a minor change amounting to $31,047,509 for the current period as against $31,258,$31,367,390 for the six months ended June 30, decline of approximately $3,250,000 832 in 1949. Losses for the period showed an unfavorable trend and were higher partly in reflection of the increased fire losses experienced so far this year. For the six month period losses for the Conti¬ nental totaled $14,838,034 compared with $13,942,662 a year earlier. Expenses were lower as a result of the smaller volume of business governments will accept the new situation and It is indeed inconceiv¬ most of run their that gold producers should be compelled to output on the basis of The combination of per of the cent. new hundreds Unless the official price is adjusted to the realities situation, or producers are in these various factors resulted a statu¬ tory underwriting profit of $3,277,323 for the period as compared with the $4,092,537 reported in 1949. Investment results showed improvement considerable and higher by 12.4%. Net investment income amounted to $3,667,as against the $3,262,910 reported for the first half of 1949. were 924 underwriting Federal income taxes reflected the lower ings and totaled $1,755,464 as compared with the shown in the United same period of earn¬ $1,824,456 liability a year ago. States Fidelity & Guaranty Co. has also released a report covering the first six months of operations. Net premium writings for the first half of 1950 were the largest ever written by the company in any similar period. They totaled $53,191,772 and represented an increase of approximately 2% over the $51,-, 925,987 reported for the first six months of 1949. an increase in unearned premium reserves' premiums were higher by $3,237,710 and| amounted to $49,4-35,153 as compared with $46,227,442 during thei After of allowing for $3,726,620, earned first half of 1949. Losses and expenses were that the considerably higher with the result- underwriting profits were-down substantially from those of earlier period. The results for the six months showed an, Investment earnings additional shares to premium volume. this year and . part of which stockholders totaled for the same and $1,897,227 as. for the six months ended June 30,, the $1,624,147 reported compared period of 1949., , to • - ONALBANK NA1 ol INDIA L MITED and INSURANCE Bankers to Head Oifi~e- in Colony, India. Stock Exchange Curb Exchange BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y, Telephone: Bell (L. A. BArclay 7-3500 Teletype—NY and Subscribed B'shopsgate, Paid-tip Burma, j Ceylon. Kenyp and Aden Zanzibar Capital ——£2,000,000 Bank conducts every description banking and exchange business also allowed to benefit by the tn'ttt'r t —£2,500,000 Trusteeships and , i , Capital-—_£4,000,000 Reserve Fund The 1-1248-49 Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.! Specialists in Bank Stochs ) in and Uganda Kericlio, Kenya, Laird, Bissell & Meeds York Government 26, London, E. C. Branches Members New York the Kenya Colony STOCKS New Increase in from the contributed to the gain. BANK 120 from the sale of' came part Also dividends from equities have been higher The investment earnings 1950, sharply higher, reflecting a larger! were of funds invested, the $3,029,779 with underwriting profit of $1,303,981 icompared reported for the comparable period of 1949. 1939 prices when the prices of all other mining products have risen by several in the first handled and declined to $12,932,153 from $13,223,634 half of 1949. . Members of actually declining. Even though the results for the equal the very excellent showing of last year not may it is probable that sooner or later the United States Gov¬ ernment and other sell to have been uniformly better with all companies considerable improvement in income for the period/ and losses were volume long assets shares them outstanding. different able in the outstanding earlier totally are concerned. com¬ a a Many of the fire companies have been faced with increasing operating expenses, higher losses and lower volume. This is in experience of a year ago when volume was rising not they will eventually that the world will or June 30, equal to $13.98 A - of phases contrast to the is certain the gold parities accordingly. net on it will adjust 1949.' The assets but June 30, on 1950, were prospects are an money, 1950 war. prices, resulting in an increase in the costs of gold production. Unless the producers are allowed to cover this increase by selling a large proportion of their output in the unofficial markets, the higher cost would reduce their profit margins, and would render the working of low-grade seams un¬ profitable. At the same time there would be a shortage of labor and of new equipment, as there was during the last war. Gold mining companies are likely to have a lean time in case of another war, and even in case of a prolonged rearmament race. This explains the paradox of a fSll in gold mining equities simul¬ taneously with a rise in the unofficial price of gold. Taking a long view, however, it seems safe to assume that the price of both gold and of gold mining equities will be higher. If a third world war or a prolonged rearmament race should re¬ sult in a further substantial decline in the purchasing power of mean Nation-Wide Up > world supposing that the official American buying price of gold would be raised. This would only be conceivable as a result of a pro¬ longed unilateral American rearmament which might reverse the economic balance of power through a marked deterioration of the balance of payments of the United States. Although the fact that at the time of writing Britain and other countries are not inclined to follow the American example of large-scale rearmament seems to point in that direction, it seems probable that the realization of the full extent of the danger of a major war will induce all these countries before long to join in the rearmament race to the ex¬ In v a treme limit of their resources. metals, 5.69%. rous in increase in the official 30, last; invest¬ in the public was be settled, it seems prob" the not too distant future. The extent, to which most gold mining companies would be in a position to benefit by the rise in the unofficial price of gold is relatively small, as in South Africa and in most other gold producing countries the producers have to sell most of their output at the official prices.. And there is no reason for assuming that a third world war would result in an bonds, 9.87%; and cash, etc., 3.37%. The largest common stock com¬ mitment of The in June in lasting upward trend, especially if the war should long duration. < equities stocks off total certain in variation results appear showing marked and be shares common 86.76% represented occur vicinity of the official parities. From time to time there is bound be a sharp rise through hoarding and speculative buying. Should fears of a third world war materialize there is bound to be on on the 46,303,180 outstanding. will to the share crises comparatively frequent major war scares. For this there is no likelihood of a fall in the price of gold to the reason that date; and with $60,824,300 on June 30, 1949, equivalent to $1.31 then emergency. an be exposed to 31, outstanding shares in impossible to foretell whether culminate a a similar that is It considerarble the Even if the Korean conflict should on June 30, totaled $77,743,380. equal to $1.57 a share on 49,653,714 outstanding shares. These compared with total net as¬ MaiCxi depreciation of (if there should be one) curing the first and second world wars, and during was easily be hidden or removed that net assets on a previous wars of any substantial magnitude. In the East West, many people would prefer in time of war to bank balances or securities which might depreciate, or to possess any form of property which is more liable to destruction than gold and which could not so Shares Reports $78,084,552 1950, equal to $1.58 of hoard gold rather than to hold notes, Dividend Shares, Inc., a mutual investment company, announced of buy gold in the free markets, leading to a sharp official prices. This was due to the fears. Since time immemorial wars always meant many was able sets war is there A Korea made otherwise during the third world war accessory stocks versus 21.66%. Dividend to increased demand for gold, partly for fear than 35.44%; 18.41% in aircraft versus of Southern currencies, partly, because gold is a convenient form of wealth in troubled times. There is no reason why this should manufactur¬ airline invasion the of reports the national pared with 42.83% 1949; While underwriting operations for the companies that- have reported so far with some showing gains and others declines, investment realize the dangers of the international situation there rush a revival of June 30, 1950 com¬ at the end ol on closely the interna¬ increase of the premium over as in the a posi¬ Hence, 59.83% of net assets the price falling, which was an indication basence of any fear of war or even of was This Week—Insurance Stocks which the public craft." invested the the a When military Korea 't Operating results of a number of the major fire and casualty insurance companies for the first half of the current year have been published during the past few weeks. Exchanges, especially the rise in government loans. past six months, but recently greater emphasis has been placed on the stocks of the principal manufacturers Southern of summer. was stocks during the common invasion By H. E. JOHNSON Ml question of time, and that it was bound to flare up during On that assumption the slump in the price of gold entirely unjustified, and so was the rise of prices on the Stock only re¬ maintained concerned will refuse the governments Bank and Insurance Stocks period this undoubtedly re¬ great acceleration in the "In view of these circumstances your that are sell more in the free markets. Thus while the short view may be unfavorable to a rise in gold mining equi-i? ties it is distinctly favorable to a rise in the unofficial price of • gold. Taking a long view, the possession of gold in any form, % whether as metal or as part-ownership of gold mines, is a reason- \ able hedge against the secular trend of currency depreciation.; tional situation it must have been obvious that an acute crisis was munist aggressions in other parts of this rearmament," the port said. any Yet to anyone who had followed scares. war of the world will a gold The pace of Stock Exchanges were very firm and of Einzig Paul Dr. un¬ Atlantic Pact. absence the o nations present critical situation in Korea and the threat of further Com¬ sult in by surprise. the before marked selves and the It is indeed remarkable acute conflict could the peoples in the democratic countries a false feeling of security. For months the to of the war, the sudden end the crisis in Korea took development of approxi¬ semi-annual the chances allow producers to to all free markets. last oi hoarding, but contends it will more Holds, however, long view outlook is for higher prices for gold and gold company shares. LONDON, conflict with compares Looks for the to benefit gold mining equities because of higher production Fund K2, made public to¬ total $165,657,500 year and For Appreciation Preferred Stock ' high cost of production their output should decline this would be a further reason for a rise in the unofficial price of gold. not $198,489,100, it is disclosed by the semi-annual reports of the Investment price of gold is realized. Meanwhile gold producers burden of high production costs. If owing will have to bear the official price. ten 1950 were Keystone in the official Dr. Einzig, in commenting on rise of price of gold in free mar¬ kets since Korean outbreak, foresees no immediate advance in Keystone Reports Keystone Funds high By PAUL EINZIG tenants. Combined however, before the need for an increase unofficial prices, there would be a decline in the output which would necessitate measures to remedy the situation, It may take years, The Outlook for Gold men, men 13 (441) were approximately 25% women, and Number 4930 jit-' of Executorships undertaken $ 14 (442) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle With Francis I. du Pont 1 Special to The CHICAGO, lich has Francis La du & & Street. He Co. 208 J. S. Bache Co. Intercontinental Credit (Special been 40 Wall Credit formed with Corp. offices at Street, New York City to in a securities business. engage Officers Gabriel Neumann, President; John Ziegler, Treas¬ urer; Thomas G. Newman, Secletary; and Katherine Farrell, As¬ sistant Secretary. • are Now Sole (Special to The G. Baron = are selling government bonds in quite put it mildly, in order to keep prices of the ineligibles from advancing. Mote investors are putting funds into the restricted issues because they believe yields on these secu¬ rities will eventually go lower. This is real investment buying to going away. On the other hand, there has also been some position building among the trading fraternity in these securities. According to reports, the Vies and the earlier eligible taps have been the most sought-after securities in this group. obligations continue to out move of the market, with a bit more of the play at this time. The shorts, are not being neglected. The partially-exempts are still in the limelight, although not too many of them are changing hands at Advancing prices. Switches from the long eligibles into the Vies seemed to have gained some mo¬ the mid-terms and longs getting nonetheless, There is behind tions, is doubt that the great¬ lying is the danger With Cayne & Co. that — be put on tracts and manufacturing O- labor big incapable backlog no increases and advisable. (b) The However,, if is centuate upon, constant consumers' such the time the to in con¬ and costs therefore, their profit anything but enviable. may prove and automobiles A great number of of passing the sumer big companies companies which had An con¬ between of demand were most of profits necessary urions into durable goods. a basis. constantly pushed up¬ entered labor pa y-a s-w e- go automo¬ picture is in increase demand. tax credit operated to ac¬ it is vital that satement Berdis has been added to the staff * mainly because our decided in rates periods of heavy to as the amply Carl G. were ward budget should large increase in supply of bonds, through war financing and the inability of the Federal Reserve or the Treasury to stabilize in¬ disproved that CLEVELAND, Ohio costs it terest (Special to The Financial Chronicle) ac¬ inflation. of to the of power attracted was biles, durable goods and home buildir.g. On the other hand, their hidden essential excess Higher Interest Rates Likely? in wait, present events and our purchasing public no da. ger est the of Chronicle: tax The impression in some quarters is that "higher interest rates in the offing." This conclusion is based upon the probable are nor Editor, Commercial and Financial Therefore, Bank excess existing distortions are Are proprietor of Baron G. Helbig & Co,, 60 Broad Street, New York City. profits taxation should neither create new ones, and should prevent profiteering without destroying initiative, Philip Corlney offers formula based on both 1936-39 and 1946 49 periods. Banks sizable amounts, sole now Warning that renewed By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. Central Pinancial Chronicle) is The Best Excess Profits Tax Governments on mentum last week. Proprietor Helbig Thursday, August 3, 1950 . EDITOR: THE accentuate The and the bonds to The Financial Chronicle) Intercontinental has Reporter So. formerly was with was Our Ulwith Goldman, Sachs & Co. and the past m H. associated Pont TO LETTER . Chronicle) 111.—Alvin become I. Salle with Pinancial . stabilized is deficits. The latter part of the higher interest rates is more than for reason the by records, because if there is one thing with large deficits it is the cost of borrowing. World War II is proof of that. Why f Cayne & Co., Union Commerce should increase an in debt by Federal interest raise it a should the effect of backlogs of A not If accentuate the existing dis¬ tortions and an stituted should not create new It is easy to agree, I with erations ones. profits tax should advisable, it should be in¬ prove Philip Cortney Formula excess in the above mind. A consid¬ formula for the basis advance think, that the objectives to be attained in levying an excess profits tax ment? should be: cess profits tax calculated in the rates when private borrowings Building. in case a semi-war or war will be sharply curtailed as is the period? Why should interest rates with other economic controls available to the govern¬ Then again during the postwar period, why have interest rates been advancing? They have gone up purely because Federal has pushed them up. If it were not for selling by the Central Banks, government securities would have gone to considerably yields. This would have taken place despite very heavy purchases of non-Treasury obligations. Also considerable funds have gone into the financing of consumers' goods. lower Where Will Investment With over Audits Certified Public Ac¬ by countants: Their Nature nificance—American Accountants, nue, 270 and Sig¬ Institute of MadisonAve¬ New York 16, N. Y.—Paper 50c. i . for Framework Long-Range Agricultural Policy, A—Oscar HeHne and Donald Kaldor—National Planning Association, 800 Twentyfirst Street, N. W., D. C.—Paper—50c. Pension Washington 6, Common and Street, New York 5, N. Y. —paper. Survey of Banking Participation f timer Broad the demand that is and Trust Chestnut will with controls come ment. Do such What over conditions Philadelphia 2, Pa.—paper. with even the whole economy by the govern¬ for higher interest rates? in line? Also that there will the had have generally revenues most an before It is in no penditures. its history, arid despite This will not have War Financing of a truce, whatever one country With the has to needed terest rates underestimated an can or at has been from ★ ★ ★ now may do. call it, is It is not ex¬ the deficit. upon one done program CERTIFICATES NOTES of the easiest with an things that rising interest rates. controls, and they will be there this time, in¬ monetary authorities may be set at any level the not, and the only a reason Federal seller of government securities is to keep interest rates war or no war, and where will they find the needed securities to put their monies into? The trend toward more and larger pensions indicates (in the future) a growing shortage of investments rather than an oversupply. Such conditions do not make for higher in¬ terest rates. BONDS Reason for Present Rate Rise increase in can and will most important a one in the economy could & Co. out affecting about lower While 45 Milk Street 15 Broad Street NEW , YORK 5 WHitehMl 3-1200 , BOSTON 9 HAncock 6-6463 bulk, and at that. retard money rates. Controls or over the other elements stop the inflationary trend with¬ In the past direct controls have brought interest rates. some INCORPORATED ? been very unequal backlog or demand of two years. had no in very a at all, Ore more demand and as greater a of as such. think course, of equitable and take into account the distortions from World War ii. PHILIP were competitive market, the so can, other formulas, but I believe that the one just suggested would be no The industries which backlog of of the '36 to '39 excess profits and taxed filled the backlog within one some compared with the to 1939. All 1936 period multiplied by this national average will be considered excess between had as from profits in mainly for the following two reasons: (a) Many industries Continued New York percentage CORTNEY. City 19, N. Y. Aug. 2, 1950. that from page 5 Analysis oi Wartime Behavior 01 the Securities Market variety stores—continued to decline during this "recovery" period. (See Table II.) and Preferreds Resisted Better Than Common Stocks In contrast to the sharp decline in common stock prices in high-grade bonds and preferred stocks held exceptionally well. Of 88 listed high-grade bonds, only one showed any substantial loss. Similarly, only 17 of 216 listed high-grade preferred issues were down by more than 5%. the initial period of hostilities, Convertible bonds and preferreds of course acted like the common stocks of their issuers, and we find 46 of 96 convertible preferreds down by more than 5%, and 11 of 12 convertible bonds also off than 5%. Secondary bonds and preferred stocks acted by more grades. securities will means by far no doubt be sold to the the far banks, the largest part of the securities during the coming period of conflict, will be sold outside of the banking system. This will be done in part to limit the money supply, to meet the non-bank demand, and to are as well as high- shown in Table I.) better showing of bonds and preferred issues un¬ doubtedly reflects the fact that such securities are not as vulner¬ able to the effects of controls and, particularly in the case of bonds, increased taxes, as are equities. Equally important to the sta¬ to bility of such issues, however/ was the general belief that our engagement in hostilities would ensure the continuation of "cheap money" policies. Market Pattern The general sharp of our stantial Similar to Post-Pearl Harbor initial market decline following the shock entry into the Korean hostilities and its subsequent sub¬ recovery were on an overall basis quite similar to what occurred following Pearl Harbor. In each conflict the decline in was approximately 10%, a good part of which during the following two or three weeks. In both the first three weeks made up was periods, moreover, many of the individual security groups acted very much alike. Thus, such expected "war babies" as explo¬ sives, petroleum, and steels again surprised by selling off initially with the others. Some industries acted quite well price-wise in the first month following hostilities, including cottons, leather, meat¬ packing, nonferrous metals, rails, rail equipment, shoes, soap and sugars. War-to-War similarities included substantial declines the motors, finance, gold mining and sold by the Treasury keep interest rates from declining. (These price movements The move. not too Aubrey G. Lanston have different industries, 1949, period re¬ a the conditions of activity and competition Overall likely be reversed when conditions warrant Interest rates should not be confused with the other economic forces which are the real inflationary ones. There can still be low interest rates, without adding or detracting from the strength of the inflation. Interest rates are only one force and a as of the war, interest rates, which has been in evidence recently, is due entirely to the policy of the monetary authorities such doubt that considerably better than equities, but not quite What about pension funds and the securities they will absorb and in the future? The growth of these funds will and no armed going lower. The is still strug¬ result of World War II. as a There is Bonds or continue, BILLS 1946 to gling usual" as fit to agree upon. With our high debt, is it logical to assume that rates are going to advance? Would there be higher interest rates if the Central Banks should stop selling Treasury obliga¬ tions? To be sure, there would TREASURY the average increase of profits pf all corporations in the period from our economy High Cost? rearmament a "politics adverse effect Financed war some trimming of non-essential see u. s. perpetuate distortions with which very doubt be considerable Is a been likely be some leeway from this side of well realized this time that the nation uncertain period with a much larger debt than it ever equation. enters manner: The government will determine about taxes, and this most likely means considerably higher taxes, if there is to be a prolonged conflict? Will this not do something about keeping revenues and expenditures much so to make Co., Streets, grow rearmament program? IJow are insurance companies, sav¬ ings banks, trust accounts and pension funds going to put their resources to work at higher rates with less mortgages and non¬ government obligations? Also state and municipal obligations will not be as plentiful as in the past, because of restrictions which Industry and Con- Credit—Girard growing and will continue to the there will in the Finance semi-war a assessment, part of economic economy and its accompanying controls mortgage financing and consumers' borrowings, where will be investments other than governments available to meet more Plans Stocks—Morgan Stanley & Co., 2 Wall there following ing without destroying incentive. (2) It should not accentuate and sult Money Go? be equitable, could be the following: All companies shall pay an ex¬ It should prevent profiteer¬ (1) of Investor Could Not Pearl Harbor Despite the ence would many have mail order companies. Uncritically in t Follow Experience similarities, however, Pearl Harbor experi¬ misled the investor in many cases. This again , Volume 172 Number 4930 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle .. illustrates a basic point which we have made in the preceding namely that planning an investment program solely according to experience may be just as dangerous as militarily preparing for a previous war. Many of the groups which did relatively well in the first month after Pearl Harbor—such as the leaders articles, which building materials, drugs, household furnishings and printing— have fared most poorly in this conflict. Others—sucn as oepartment stores, petroleum, shipping, rubber and tires, woolen, and air transport—which acted poorly after Pearl Harbor, are among continued TABLE I—THE INITIAL Price Changes of Securities Listed gold mining, finance and utilities come-back from their sharp December, 1941, have shown no recovery powers so far at the present time. As a matter of fact, 11 industry groups which enjoyed some measure of recovery in January, 1942, have sell-offs of after the Tot»l in Group Industry Group— 9 Agricultural 15 Aircraft 10 Air Higher Machinery. r ll%- 21%- of Korea reached is in the first Conversely, two of the industry break, have security price shown in no come back 20% 30% 30% War appreciably now. following Pearl r in offers the basis for uiese periods number of a it is perhaps surprising that the overall move¬ periods were so spnilar. Many observers undoubt¬ irst, 0 1.17 0 0 9 Manufacture 6 0 0 0 0 edly expected the decline following Korea to be greater and the recovery less than in the earlier conflict. Such expectations were the fact that at the outbreak of hostilities last June the Oj 2 7 0 0 based Manufacture 1 ll 1 0 6 0 market stood at its second Arto 45 1 ^ Wo 9 Equipment 0 4: 8 21 10 2 0 0' 1 10 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 average up by more whereas, contrastingly, Pearl Harbor found stock prices follow¬ ing a two-year bear market with the averages down almost 20% 0 1 3 0 0 0 from their 1939 highs. surprise to most people, the Pearl Harbor attack oc¬ more than two years of a world-wide conflagration into which it was apparent that we would eventually be drawn. Transport 2 Biscuit 4 Err a1 _______ Eanks 3 ____ 34 Manufacture Manufacture Euilding Materials 0 0 4 10 17 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 4 18 5 1 13 - 0 29 highest historical level, with the stock than 40%, over the previous 12 months; 3 Camera Supplies Chemicals 2 1 Coal 0 5 6 2 0 Communications 0 2 2 2 2 Confectionery 0 1 0 4 0 0 Containers 0 0,1 5 Ccsmetics 0 0 1 1 differences in market • group movements as did occur partly explained by these contrasts in the antecedent ele¬ ments. Thus, the better showing of such groups as building 0 3 0 after Such be can 4,0 2 10 materials, finance and house furnishing companies in 1942 can be explained by the fact that security prices in these groups had already suffered'a sharp decline by the time of Pearl Harbor. Similarly, the poorer showing of expected "war babies" such as Ea:ry 0 0 0 3 0 0 31 T epartment Stores 1 1 6 19 4 0- 13 Distillery and Brewing.. 0 3 1 8 1 0 aircraft 0 1 5 8 3 0 fact 17 " Drugs Electrical 7 3 Equipment Engines and Motors Explosives 2 Feed 2 Fertilizers 7 Finance 4 26 Focd 0 point out again that past performance cannot be uncritically used for current investment programming. 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 5 : * Machinery Motion '4 7 0 0 2*4 0 which 5 1 0 Harbor levels. 17 7 2 cial /1 1 0/ 5 1 1110 0 15 3 4 6 0 2 15 8 1 , 10 0 "lows" it took many months to recover to Chronicle," July 20, 1950.) ; It will be interesting to note present broad stock market pattern will continue to <5 11 3 Comparison ■" 2 7 2 0 7 0 0 (Prices Dec. 3, '41—100) Dec. 24 Dec. 3 2 0 1941 1941 7 0 0 100 92 101 15 Paper 0 2 2 11 0 0 100 93 97 Aircraft 44 Petroleum 0 6 6 29 3 0 100 74 84 Air 0 1 3 2 10 100 89 91 Apparel 0 0 1 2 6 9 100 82 90 Auto 1 20 29 17 4 0; 100 93 100 Printing Publishing and 71 Railroads 20 Railroad - Restaurants Rubber and Shipbuilding Shipping 7 Shoe ; Manufacture 100 91 L__I_______' 105 96 type "B" 1 0 1 100 95 96 Chemicals 12 5' 2 0 100 90 99 Coal 100 96 112 2 2 1 0 0 100 85 90 Communications 100 92 93 3 0 0 0 100 86 93 Confectionery 4 2 1 0 0 100 93 96 Containers 100 84 86 96 99 Cotton 100 102 0 100 0 100 0 0 110 0 88 98 80 88 100 94 93 100 Textiles— 95 100 ' * _1 4- 93 85 steel switching locomotives for use at Vancouver, British Columbia. ' Richard Paine, Webber, Jackson & Cur¬ 25 Broad Street, New York City, members of principal stock and commodity exchanges, an¬ tis, New York office of A. C. Allyn Co., Inc. Prior thereto he was & manager of partment for fice 1 2 0 1 100 78 85 10 0 0 100 94 102 Finance ___ 100 77 73 Food Chains 100 87 91 r 100 81 93 Gold Mining 100 77 73 100 85 96 Household Furnishings-_ Trucks and Buses 0 3 3 3 0 0 100 90 108 Leather 100 100 87 99 Machinery 100 93 89 2 13 49 6 3 100 92 101 0 1 10 5 0 0 100 85 88 0 2 1 0 0 0 95 0 0 110 0 rect 129 231 124 „ -Lower by- No More Appre- -i Companies 1J%- 21%- 20% 30% 194 11 5 4 .65 24 25 2 1 3 47 23 19 4 0 12 306 58 49 7 1 1 Fisher Mail Order — ' 106 Meat Packers 100 97 99 109 Metal Fabricating Motion Pictures 100 95 100 100 93 of 100 99 109 Nonferrous Metals 100 99 97 105 91 93 Office Equipment 86 96 Paper 100 100 85 88 83 96 90 86 Petroleum 100 93 99 —— Higher Printing 100 88 88 Railroads 100 96 111 R. 95 105 100 Rayon 100 Shipbuilding* —_—100 97 88 108 109 £0 122 Stukel 100 98 101 100 97 95 ton 100 97 98 with 100 87 95 100 99 105 Grade 2 Railroad 100 86 91 97 106 100 92 93 96 106 112 Sugar 100 Equipment —1 Steel 99 Publishing and Shipping ___• Shoes Soap ----- _ 100 92 101 100 — 103 90 74 Tires and Rubber 100 21%- than 100 90 101 Tobacco 100 94 30% 30% 100 86 95 Utilities 100 85 84 85 0 0 100 90 98 Variety Stores 0 0 100 85 93 Woolens 0 0 100 90 95 STANDARD 0 100 91 98 DOW-JONES Secondary 2 25 7 2 Convertible 0 9 7 4 4 119 14 0 - 100 ______ & with TOTAL—All Bonds ' t W. | J. Co., Rand Tower. Lynch i — Dale Catherine E. associated become Lynch, Pierce, Fen-j Rand Tower. Mr.' Beane, Wikman & and have Merrill & ner was formerly with Day¬ Gernon. Miss Stukel J. M. Dain & Co. and was Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood. 100 93 - 91 121 Joins Kalman Co. (Special to The Financial Chronicle) 120 ST. PAUL, Spindler POOR'S 416-Stock Compos. Ind. 144 & Wikman 93 20% 20 with 100 '90 93 with Industrials 100 89 92 cott has Kalman Building. Minn.'— Peter become & Co., G, affiliated Inc., f have Thiel A. MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. 99 70 11%- 0 j 1 104 10% 1 > « j. < (Special to The Financial Chronicle) 104 (?%- 36 G. and Two With Merrill 103 Chg. More di¬ a Goldsbury associated Loewi 90 liable Appre- , Companies of Akin-Lambert MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. — Rich-j C. Olson has joined the Staff 87 100 by to ard 97 100 Lower No installation wire 70 an¬ Loewi Adds to Staff 90 . 100 Part III—Listed Bonds Inc., (Special to The Financial Chronicle) 87 100 0 1 Co., MINNEAPOLIS, Minn.—Robert 100 30% 5 Total High j , 100 than 10% Chg. the open 100 G%- ciabJe Higher & Two With 100 24 Saxon Street, New York City, (Special to The Financial Chronicle) 100 421 Part II—Listed Preferred Stocks TotM 88 , Co., Inc., 639 South Spring Street, Angeles, Calif. 100 31 Industry Group— of¬ Goodwin, Inc. Los 100 100 * A. nounces 90 0 Variety Chains in Group & Akin-Lambert Co. 98 100 Utilities 16 Number of Bond de¬ York G. A. Saxton Wire to 82 105 '• TOTAL—All Pfd. Stocks municipal New the Goldsbury & Co., Twin City Fed¬ eral Building. Mr. Fischer was previously with Strauss & Blosser. j Fertilizers 0 .. of the become Electrical Equipment 100 0 433 . Mr. E. 104 96 73 . ' | Shanley was formerly in trading department of the partment. 90 94 100 1 . < 92 100 0 0 — the de¬ 91 0 5 -------T Shanley with bond municipal 87 0 10 7 Convertible its 100 3 6 8 Secondary in T. associated 85 3 96 Richard 86 1 121 that become 100 100 3 — Shanley Withj Drugs 0 Grade "J Paine, Webber Co.! 95 0 High various 96 Taxi 216 of cars 101 and , passenger 94 Transit Industry Group— "B" 94 5 0 90 Tobacco in Group type 100 100 1 10 100 11 Number of locomotive 100 __— 0 TOTAL—All Com. Stocks type Diesel- 6 Distillers Dairy T— Department Stores 15 0 - 17 960 units; 109 0 2 Cable Diesel- 3 locomotive types; and 3 Diesel- electric Pine 2 0 and units; units; 3 all steel 48 seat, air conditioned coaches; 38 all steel, air conditioned sleeping4 cars; 1 all steel, air conditioned observation-sleeping car; 36 all 88 1 0 Wire lead booster 86 Building Materials 16 Vegetable Oils locomotives; 10 freight locomotive freight passenger 100 99 0 2 stand¬ new electric passenger locomotive type "A" lead units; 2 Diesel-electric G. 98 87 11 3 the pro¬ Diesel-electric booster 78 89 100 6 9 "A" electric 82 100 0 10 :__ of to equipment, approximately cost Diesel-electric 100 0 Sugar Sulphur Woolen to $17,688,000; 23 road-switching 84 1 11110 Rayon estimated 89 90 0 5 ______ following 83 1 1 Cotton sale used railroad 87 90 4 0 Apparel the be ard-gauge 100 100 5 Steel and Iron - will vide for the Auto 0 Soap and Cleaners — from certificates 100 Manufacture 0 16 2 93 11 35 4 100 Transport 0 !__ Commission, at prices yield from 1.40% to 2.625%. ; Proceeds 115 Equipment Baking 100 9 100 3 1 Tires __. 6 13 Manufacture— 0 __! 2 94 0 Equipment 5 4 1950 89 103 0 , Razors 6 1050 100 Agricultural 0 — 2 10 - 1950 Machinery- Industry Groups—• 1942 9 1 Radio and Electronics * ' Jan. 7 16 1 to the 6 7 Commerce firm , Security Prices Follow...g incident <Prices June 21, '50—HMD June 21 July 12 July 26 Following Pearl Harbor 0 18 " II Security Price Movements—by Groups—in following Our Entry into Shooting Wars of 1 Metals Plan, the are being offered, sub¬ ject to approval of the Interstate nounce Security Prices 0 0 the Philadelphia certificates the First Month 0 0 under has 0 Nonl'errous 8 their pre-Pearl (See Part II of this series, "Commercial & Finan¬ 0 0 and trust certificates maturing semi-annually from Feb. 1, 1951 to Aug. 1, 1965, inclusive. Issued security markets. TABLE 1 • Inc. are offering $14,130,000 Great Northern Ry. 2%% equip¬ By the second month after Pearl Harbor almost all securities turned sharply downward and continued to decline for several months; from 10 15 0- of this War's course Office Equipment 34 observing after series resemble that of the earlier conflict., 0 Gas Perhaps the 1939. make, however, is to whether the 15 \ the further 0; 0 Pictures Natural 8 1 0 Products can this continue to 2 0 — intend 11 0 — authors 3 0 Parts Meat Packers The 4' 0 and Mailorder- 7 important observation the authors associates »» 0 0 of activity as a result of the outbreak of war in 0 Companies— 3 7 0 110 Machine Tools Metal 1 0 Leather 11 0 0 Furnishing— Investment 20 1 0 .Insurance 34 0 10 0 __ : Household 10 0 4 0 Hosiery 3 most 1 1 0 7 2 0 2 ; Beverage Gold Mining 28 4-0 0 0 Food Chains 27 1 0-0 0 0 9 shipbuilding in 1941 than now is explained by the previously been enjoying a high rate 0 - 8 and that these groups had 0 ' —— and Also, while the shooting in Korea certainly a as curred 0 5 came 0 8 on Halsey, Stuart & Co. ment Outbreaks following the present and last conflicts, the comparison of ments in both Ry. Equip. Trust Ctfs. groups— Table II.) at Offers Great Northern immediately recovery movements Halsey, Stuart Group shock While it is not the purpose of this article to explore the rea¬ for the similarities and dissimilarities in. security price move¬ ooservauons. th*n 10% levels Pearl Harbor price movemeriLS More Chg. the Differences Lower by 6%- strong a from hostilities. comparison ments Apprecable decline 13, 1950 No Number of make Stock Stocks Companies to Korean sons Common to in Harbor and the New York Exchange between June 23, 1950 and July Grouped by Industries and Classes Part I—Listed able distillers and petroleum—which showed IMPACT on Securities of now. were (This * 15 (443) J* „ Endi- 16 The Commercial and Financial (444) Chronicle but it's too blamed through all of them. Tomorrow's * wish I I Markets * had Walter from here in on work. depends a sys¬ tem. These * The distinguished gentlemen need around now about are Both * industrial is average 206-207; the rails no elaborate introduction their local served & organizations many years. present is a national officer and John F. Egan of First California Francisco is Company, San a industrials confirm to the until member of the Executive Council 61. 228.38 by going through the I stopped. levels, fol¬ cline. There's chance that by another upsurge bad higher ground. There are On an o u sudden a down that level ts i d Orders Executed on the Pacific Coast Exchanges be Schwabacher & Co. than two more present industrials can retreat to 200-205, the rails John Stock driven back to around York Curb Exchange Francisco 55 (Assoc'ate) such Exchange Chicago Board of Trade New York 5, N. Y. 7-4150 San Francisco—.Santa Fresno—Santa 100 S'wes @ 16%6 tee. We are indeed and it Cen. Motors $250.03 mos.. 337.5) mos.. 8% 6 mos.. 137.5) V/2 Ho\. 6 325.00 . 6 45 \9) 6 425At 6 387.5) 237.5) . 87.53 . ^ale oi 350.00 p <fr St Calls Assn. Br »k»*> * Im $-*47* The the June comparable 26 important kind in of inflation we 'if™. I your of stocks will to over letter a to secure a views do not coincide expressed some investing now to or be King with those may h^ve in that from there. as current and 4 ritt the convince the most skeptic. May will unite to make 1950 we doing . IIMHfi: and < Co., with Inc., 22 King Merritt Staff — M. W. An¬ is & representing King Mer¬ Co., Inc., with offices in Northern (Special to The BEVERLY 4 away, a primary much to assist most successful year a National Bank Lynch Co. Financial Chronicle) HILLS, Calif.—Don¬ Caminsky is now;/"affiliated with Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fen¬ ner & Beane, 454 North Camden ald Drive. doing. are we clients to we advertisingly. City. that out That is because have Enormous been War of aspect is that it is very creative. damn so liberate create to so war If war exciting, much so many people or otherwise which sober very Opportunities unfortunate for young York will about securities. minded An feel turn I dreams. markets Americans cir¬ the whole, despite a for stocks. and New As somber war good men¬ a under best seems cumstances. the be can position quickly in whatever di¬ move rection that us Advertising Committee Broadway, advising a the part of our am on that so didn't 120 I trading attitude wasn't if it energy opportunities organizations, would have had MERRILL LYNCH, BEATS I. T. A. OF PHILA. AT SOFT BALL the treadmill of pa¬ tience and precedence, we might Pitching softball for the team representing the Philadelphia has said the problem is to release stay not office of Merrill Chandler's Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane, Miss Charlotte failed curves to dazzle the batting of eyes her op¬ ponents, members of the Investment Traders Association of Phila¬ delphia, in twilight a nine to three. the Traders played game last week. The "mob" Joe Dorsey caught for Miss Chandler. was Carl Cook, First Boston Corp., wiches were served to won, Battery for the mound, on the Bob Dono¬ Beer and sand¬ attending fans and surviving players. on have the Sicily The war. Rome and chimedes to Russell Bertrand wars. creative energy of out the with¬ war war between stimulated Ar¬ discovery of an essential principle in physics. The Crusades brought revival a of business and invention to Europe; the Edgar Christian, Blair-Rollins & Co., Inc., and Blyth & Co., alternating behind the plate. between war the Spaniards and the Saracens brought a young to power who could under¬ queen stand a when he spoke brought about the dis¬ of the Western World. The young man to her and Continued from page covery 4 last war stimulated atomic energy, antibiotics, liticians, could not learn. In their dreams they knew what the hand¬ packaging electronics, synthetic materials, etc. On a commercial, normal basis ; we might not have penicillin yet and we might be 50 years away from takes which come from America. any commercial application of not being able to grow up, to shake itself free of the umbilical atomic energy. What this war is tie with Europe. Before the Pales¬ going to stimulate, it is obviously tine War an American Naval cap¬ too early to know, but it is going tain told me thatt it would take. to create opportunities for many 500,000 marines to keep order in\ people far faster than they would it may be me who is crazy. Because war has its creative they would fight with the same ingenuity and ardor that he; aspects and also because it has.its would fight with were he defend¬ inflationary aspects it drastically ing Boston or Cape Cod. This, changes the acceptable level of turned out to be a comic error. the earnings of well run, well es¬ But if we underestimate the Rus¬ tablished companies. The 1 earn¬ to say I, just a security analyst, that not only the politicians but large part of the nation is on am a the wrong track. entirely With Merrill BONDEX— BANNERS INVESTS *T SFRV'CE so a fighting 7,000 give me the uneasy feeling that we don't know what have your confidence in this we alone. line If But I you dispatches, am read and not the espe¬ cially those of Homer Bigart, you get a feeling that there is some¬ thing wrong that is deeper than mere technical mistakes. In Palestine. sians and Chinese underestimated Koreans, into truly tragic a "Tribune" misses the the point. I not just Adminis¬ think, these are tration mistakes, these are na¬ tional mistakes. They are not the mistakes of the conscious intelli¬ gence, they are much deeper mis¬ takes, mistakes of the emotions, deep prejudice, mis¬ mistakes of have come otherwise. - we badly as Jews we and could be lead error. ings level of dozens of companies, steels, motors, chemicals, stores, oils, etc., are dramatically differ¬ ent than they ever were before. The contrast between prewar dwelled even realize not Over-Compensation a are But as the North review of the foreign policy mis¬ takes of the Administration over a .years. could to¬ day's "Herald-Tribune" there is of He that period 654 Madison Ave., New York 21 re¬ of the contact you name Sugar hoarding, a slap¬ controls, few divisions of economic Koreans miles HAROLD B. SMITH, Chairman Who Building. Bulletin yeekly issues. .Publishers of connected now BEMIDJI, Minn. drews and ro"«ive important is, up interfere writing meant,: but they could not possibly come -out and say so.; Of King Merritt Merritt Joins trading. Frank not are company and let Frank and Herb Seibert carry matter and prove to those who are front -to You With such cooperation we feel certain results will probably why the Babylonian po¬ the comes tally and financially in President, our Should you make security, send along the any of East 40th Street. right can their quotas? from advertising. might have. you this in necessarily at CLARKSTON, Mich. —Jack E. and by some personal contacts market in duties, your many signed contract but simply advise Frank of people at the controls to learn, be¬ cause" they' will be risking their political lives if : they do. That is accordingly. Earned SELECTIONS n»xt received act and nnrch'»s',s continue Send $1 all us honored in T&ZPeace Stocks in Wai Markets think With recommendations TIMING you Jack, in spite of with serve be further may buy They are presented those of the author only.] coliupxe/ development gives concise sales—and have quested with Chronicle. Current issue of Boxdkx Weekly Stock Bulletin discusses this help com¬ talked about but didn't see, is now in the offing. The $10 market decline lead reversal a John and they Burkholder, relative to corporate course next opinion put your respective affiliates You van, Ume REVERSAL? on of Tru¬ paratively little. [The llBflllll Stock Market to pursuance quest, will touch profits article Can in up man's $10 billion request plus his additional $4 billion re¬ line. Broadway, N. Y. 4 Tel BO iiwaitiiii set billion asked for will not *r THOMAS, HAAB & BOTTS Dealers economic barriers will be 362.53 Monsanto Ch. @ 56% Oct. 2 U. S. Steel @ 363/4 O t. 6 Swift latl. @ 13% Sep. 13 All. G. & W. I. @ 76 Dec. 12 Put fortunate to have them very personal my Pershing & Company, tions of various kinds. What¬ (5) Subject to prior said: stocks, and peace for NSTA ever @ °Sy2 0*. tjkrysl'r Corp. @ 67% Q?t. Mission Corp. @ "2% (Lt. Members is will move • @ . sur¬ Greeks something caused all Vice-Chairmen of the National Advertising Commit¬ from here Rosa Plus Tax Pac. @ 22^ 6 . If, question is what to do on. My answer is to regard the market as in an up¬ trend subject to news reac¬ Barbara SPECIAL CALL 0\' West. Union The rush North are hardly be greeted with complacency. a Egan F. and both The Monterey——Oakland—Sacramento Pepsi-Cola John Teletype NY 1-928 Wires to Principal Offices . serious damage any however, you're long of rails, Exchange Stock Wall Street without Latshaw can , York Corp. a elsewhere. dash a to the technical structure. Members New Rorth'n locks timber wolves, plus, few Russian spies with that nized on Radio from of whom the gods would de¬ dumping 200. national affairs. around Per rescu¬ girl with clear thinking. This happens frequently in the stock market; we all experience it often enough to know it. But it is not so well recog¬ e different outlook. Having jumped to new highs they are now in a vulnerable position. Whereas Securities • by bombs. meant you Private boy from the subconscious to piece of around to by The rails COrtlandt one little haired without house a perhaps the points. Pacific Coast 14 from go The Niagara, and then, since the girl is his beautiful mother, and the Falls represent his noisy father, he becomes "Those think a couple of more the¬ But the news, or interpreta¬ ories based on charts, tape and straight hunch, or what tion of it, will have to be real bad for the averages to break San golden very falls the atom to will drive the indus¬ news trials probably New to another. dream in which he is a the in I think about 205 methrd downside, lowed ✓ fantasy to rounded market to back will mark the limit of any de¬ and fill at current into where be they'll technical the for 210 to think of me any one frightened and dreams he is alone can attempt we stroy they first make mad." They ❖ # * calls another about figure. Another like the industrials me make of cal ing Latshaw, Kansas City, Mo. at or dream has in national affairs for Uhlmann of Latshaw have Assuming no reaction in a bull market in change in the news picture in which there'll be little change the immediate future, it looks the rails our else conquering the United States. But it is typi¬ membership. John have the defend having in South Korea it Russia AD LIBBING our reason providing ludicrous to seems to real not to integrity are we and have been prominent * great deal on what averages you're studying or the system you're following. The Dow theory lads see a secondary a national force than 1950 no do we fundamental hell bent in operate with reasonably good sense. Considering the tough time Unfortu¬ do fuses to be reduced to will market the Notes save nately, I haven's got a system, mainly because I discovered years ago that the market re¬ By WALTER WHYTE= What of lot a me Says— = It would tual edification. C|"J" /L Vy *" " * mu- that think to our III in 1949 and there is pat system I could set down for War World for * a Thursday, August 3, 1950 .. that they are more cate have you, hot to go . Right it now seems to over-compensating. about in our a world military of power we haven't Having don't believe it. fantasy tremendous, we are and is so fantastic that we gotten used to it, and postwar me But big wars are complex things cannot be the will I upheavals; same believe again. changing, it seems to me, not to a world of reality but to another Investors dream. gies which have been plowed into our companies in various ways and the persistent conservatism There is nothing in the facts to indicate that the Russians are we any are; more masterminds than there is nothing to indi¬ benefit from the immense with which postwar er someday has been valued. earning ener¬ pow¬ Number 4930 Volume 172 Continued from first . changes page tudes reflected in the atti¬ are the of community towards the economy and towards the re¬ lationship The American Economy Now And Its Capacity ior Growth all dwarfs ernment other eco¬ changes that have occurred nomic during the last half century. The is steadily becoming more important pro¬ government and more a a more income; it is becoming important consumer of the output of coming a ducer of income, taking of a be¬ redistributor of larger proportion incomes personal out it is the country; major and paying larger proportion to persons a agencies based the is on operation The traditional of off" the econ¬ the than of production services. In 1948 the government produced about 7.8% of all goods turned out and con¬ 17% nearly sumed the coun¬ of try's output. 4 important change in the economy has been the organization of employees into trade unions. Today the trade The (2) union next most about four membership is times large as unions in as 1929. Trade represent the strongest organizations of sellers in the country. The strong pres¬ sure of unions for higher wages will undoubtedly accelerate tech¬ nological progress by forcing managements to work harder to as a group in willingness of enterprises to borrow at the individuals short-term banks of or lend. accounted banks commercial to rise in the demand for labor will bring about an in¬ ever, a for relative has line to which union been of one changes in business during the last 50 years. the most important Expenditures search are industrial on now many than the expenditures of all of the country. the of universities the ready-made 'and distribution wide and low start mark-ups new reach promptly makes it consumers for manu¬ can of at easier new that outlets millions to availability of mar¬ facturers. The keting nation¬ cheap manufacturers in business. to They encourage competition among suppliers and avoid the accumulation of slow- moving items. They make prices more responsive to changes in de¬ mand in periods of contracting demand by cutting prices to con¬ sumers and by finding manufac¬ turers who will supply goods at prices consistent with the reduc¬ tions. (5) The rise of the terms loan is an important development in It makes capital avail¬ medium-term loans out banking. able for bank-created of than out of money savings. The rather term particularly useful to en¬ terprises which are growing rapidly and which need to raise capital more quickly and simply than can be done by a bond issue. The use of term loans helps the loan is economy crease in its needed the obtain money supply in¬ as One of the most important recent improvements in the econ¬ (6) has been the collection and publication of information about intentions—intentions of farmers omy buy various classes to goods, particularly other and durable houses. automobiles, consumer For the business concerns and of goods, first time government question of possible revision parity of the Canadian dol¬ must again be reviewed in the the Dominion economy from of the to has economy The rapidly. change strengthened been by the two world wars and is in condition than ever be¬ stronger po¬ institutions and the philos¬ ophy of life accepted by Ameri¬ cans are challenged by a great power, but the challenge American values in the field to of existed that case favor of such their advancing in there no was caution in economic trends would be sustained indefinite in this direction, and certainty that the favorable extremely then even (3) With the exchange at par step. Recent prece¬ the Canadian dollar will buy more a dents certainly dictated period. over an require¬ The ments of the International Mone¬ tary Fund moreover do not permit flexibility any action of the on venture the change there can be no (8) The development of supercapital enterprises. Since politics is more basic than its challenge in the field of eco¬ has never had nomics. regular and organized ways of Finally, the people of the putting capital into new enter¬ United States, with their highly prises, the super-venture capital dynamic and extraordinarily companies that have recently strong economy, are much divided come into existence mark an im¬ with respect to the way in which community worthwhile. (9) in the effect less have would majority that desire a more less government-guided econ¬ or not agreed as to what they wish. Even more than the first-half of the century, the sec¬ omy are ond-half upon in¬ a Economy in the Foresee¬ the able Future Most characteristics of of the future omy There have also been importance. important Among them are: doubt. acteristics much have truly the have a that means not may time peace economy for to come. (2) The great accumulation of individual savings in recent years. many years During the last 10 years individ¬ uals have saved nearly $175 bil¬ they saved in the lion—more than preceding 30 years. (3) The decrease in private debt relative to the net national prod¬ uct. Private debts are 50% larger national product is 2.6 times as large as in than in 1939 but the net 1939. great increase in the debt. The public debt is four times as large as in 1939 and The (4) public eight times as large as in 1929. (5) The great increase in the liquidity of the economy. The liquid assets of individuals are 3.5 times as large. A great shift of power in community represented by the drop in the prestige and influence of businessmen and the rise in the influence of the representatives (6) the (7) The States between the United Russia which greatly technological stimulates advance important than stitutions tion or and in methods economic and conditions is has occurred in preferences. These change that ideas relation to thus limit the time that have current meet might inventories. Busi¬ apparently gained sophistication. To the ex¬ they avoid the errors optimism and pessimism that of have contributed so much to eco¬ nomic the ups and business will be miti¬ instability, downs of would Unemployment compensation, now extends to about three which jobs out of five, adds to stability because it prevents unemployment complete loss of income. Pension plans have the same effect. Important improve¬ from the that be causing a ments have been made in the bank¬ ing system. Bank deposits are sured up to in¬ $5,000, and a high pro¬ portion of the assets of banks now almost full have responsibility for taken be to would new any arbitrarily fixed parity. On June 5th last when the Canadian Min¬ ister in the stated and Trade of House that the discount on Commerce of Commons the Canadian supply, and no longer will repayment of these debts re¬ supply at the very when this would do the harm. Finally, government duce the money times most policy may be counted upon be a stabilizing influence in fiscal to appraise tion to the the strength of economic situa¬ Dominion's tion. Subsequent events moreover have certainly added force to what has been described as a of pression of opinion personal a ex¬ mere events, Canada's foreign trade the buoyant state of figures and the exchange reserves already had to led revaluation upward Sales dollar. the concerning conjecture possible this to a of country during June last rose to $179,850,000 in comparison with $115,600,000 during June, 1949, the Domin¬ reserves of gold and U. S. ion's dollars on 30th June $1,255 were and are still mounting. Under the present circumstances the on (2) The reliance of the economy industrial research will be greater than today. The increase in research is almost automatic research stimulates by one research enter¬ by its to impetus research, par¬ by the government. The strength of the ward trade unions pressure on Continued and the up¬ wages on be 18 tend place U. K.-Canadian trade in better balance. revaluation would of speculative Early (4) inflow the check but would not inter¬ money, fere with U. investment of the S. "bricks and mortar" type, or Thus it would appear is that there justification for acting earlier rather than later, to give every practical recognition of the stead¬ ily appreciating trend of the Ca¬ nadian dollar the vis-a-vis U. S. dollar. of exchange is now only one rate for the Canadian dollar as the de¬ mand for free funds is now almost satisfied entirely by recourse the official supply at 9V8%. mentioned ped-up U. S. demand. Stocks on the sympathy Toronto Board, in with the trend in New York, dis¬ rallying played a trading was on The industrials formers with a tendency were the best per¬ Abitibi Paper which Committee zation meets Monday in Ottawa is likely to arrive at decisions which will were also registered by metal and oil groups, with a few the base- but the golds exceptions still con* tinued in the doldrums. CANADIAN BONDS next have a momentous bearing on the situation. economic Canadian Government Provincial To is prob¬ Municipal Corporation between the two countries as ary far economic matters as be will cerned con¬ are elim¬ virtually inated. In this event the establish¬ ment of dollar would common a CANADIAN STOCKS greatly facilitate the operation of revised form of the Hyde Park Agreement that operated so effec¬ tively during World War II. Also of from view, upward the Dominion's apart from the point current the Canadian pressure on dollar, the following factors are sufficient de¬ to justify an early A. E. Ames & Co. incorporated Two Wall Street New York 5, N. Y. ny 1-1045 WORTH 4-2400 cision to eliminate the differential between the U. S. and Canadian dollars at this time: (1) Inflationary of the border Fifty Congress Boston 0, pressures have been south accen¬ no¬ tably prominent. Modest advances As U. S.-Canadian Industrial Mobili¬ but moderate scale. Joint the to The corporate-arbitrage rate at 12V4%liy4% likewise was firm on step- will previously will page imports of further should cur¬ strong economic trend still further accentuated. there is little doubt that rent any periods of contraction. Britain from to cheapening During the week there was lit¬ disappear sooner later, the prediction tle activity in the external section was probably based on an opti¬ of the bond market but there was mistic view of future prospects. a moderate demand for the in¬ Dominions in sympathy On the other hand he, to a greater ternal with the strength of free funds. degree than any Other member of To all intents and purposes there the Canadian Cabinet, is in a posi¬ able that the international bound¬ the resultant might No longer are money On the other hand the valuation. than rather all intents and purposes it debts goods with the influx of foreign funds for the discount development of Canadian natural immediately resources. consist of government securieties. short-term business the principal source of in this should preclude however eliminated. As matters stand how¬ ever of Difficulty durable present million, gated. the ticularly the support of research of opera¬ doubt Before the recent dramatic turn that tent dous changes that have occurred in in¬ position to allow the dollar to seek a natural level there is little a procuring country a repeti¬ tion of the "buying spree" that occurred following the 1946 re¬ abroad. hot If the Canadian authorities were in with operate to rivals. The cold war is a tremen¬ Changes in Ideas More early reconsideration. given casually without reference to any particular timing. out of demand prise III of question Managements great progress in how enterprises because employment. raises trends seem smaller inventories in war and some past. made learning much in States are probable than others. the in nessmen United that The economy will be con¬ in condi¬ it econ¬ far from trends and more Russia. This is the most im¬ portant of all changes because the to predominate are in Nevertheless, some char¬ likely sales and (1) The development of a great United States contest between the tions the and clear are siderably more stable than it has changes in economic conditions of part dollar Probable Characteristics of Some been the be to of important experiments in the field of economic policy. (1) II and likely seems period today than ever before. comes and should be operated. economy The An recent plant, intentions of business enterprises to spend on plant and equipment, and intentions of con¬ the recent developments; an upward revaluation of the Cana¬ dian dollar would tend to insulate of its members; once com¬ mitted to a new parity of ex¬ to sumers continue of employees. physical output increases. that in view of international developments recent which, in all probability, will and litical great The rise of the chain store mail order house offer (4) and the needs to full em¬ by supply of money. Hence a change in the willingness of banks to lend or of enterprises or individ¬ uals to borrow produced a large effect on the supply of money. re¬ times larger "hands- view fore. American economic and important development years has been the growth of arrangements which members are willing to sell their make personal income less depen¬ services. Moreover, with a large dent upon the level of economic proportion of employees organ¬ ized into unions, wages will be less activity. Unemployment compen¬ sensitive than ever to drops in sation, old-age pensions, and oldage assistance are the three prin¬ the demand for labor. cipal arrangements. As a result, a (3) The rapid growth of staff contraction in economic activity in the price at crease of replaced been nearly two-thirds of the country's portant step forward in the econ¬ omy. They are staffed to investi¬ gate the kind of investment op¬ portunities that are difficult to appraise; they are prepared to keep down labor costs. Union offer managerial advice; they are strength will probably also make to put in additional necessary a rising price level. prepared More promptly and completely capital if that seems necessary and than economy. tuated by It would appear full impact. lar behavior. view that the economy light of the new factors that now (7) The large-scale borrowing be regulated to assure (2) The stimulus to Canadian have a pertinent bearing on the exports south of the border fol¬ by the government during the de¬ ployment. situation, whereas before lowing the suspension of the "Buy pression and during the war has In summary, the people of the entire changed the principal source of United States at the mid-century the Korean incident it was un¬ American Act" will offset the ef¬ the money supply. As a result, find themselves with a highly likely that the Canadian authori¬ fect of the elimination of the ties would have taken any imme¬ present discount on the Canadian the economy is much less sensi¬ dynamic economy—an economy action despite the strong dollar. tive than 20 years ago to changes which has been changing rapidly diate Prior to 1929 short-term loans by and has the of omy, not the past by the government has risen far goods By WILLIAM J. McKAY mistake for a the government to interfere with the behavior view the of is self-regulat¬ economy ing and that it is and faster abandonment that the in return. The consumption of goods and services who give no service the able to makq^ plans statistics pertaining to future Canadian Securities the government to essential change of the economy. The are 17 (445) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . Street Mass. i8 (446) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle Continued from cannot reach 17 page definite conclusions. Nevertheless, it is useful to specu¬ late about these questions and to The American Economy Now And Its Capacity foi Growth seek to gain insight into the ditions that trends the expansion of come search. of industrial makes the development (3) The , research of progress industries and new prod¬ new number of small- and medium-sized businesses will con¬ tinue be to large. be to there If were great drop in the number of business enterprises, it ever a would when family car been have period families from to the the it possible for shift small their patronage close stores remote more during introduction of made to hand at larger stores. Nevertheless, the number of busi¬ ness enterprises per thousand of population is larger today than it before the introduction of the was automobile. In manufacturing, re¬ search will encourage the growth of medium-sized establishments, a good many mergers in order to get the bene¬ there and be may fit of research. Small concerns manufacturing, however, in will be fostered by large retail organiza¬ tions who able are take to the entire output or most of the out¬ put of the manufacturer and thus greatly reduce the cost of distrib¬ ution. The (5) expenditures the of state, local, and national govern¬ ments will be a large fraction of the national product. Among the that will increase expenditures substantially are those for oldpensions, roads, national de¬ age the zinc, fense, and some form of sickness and disability insurance. (6) The policies of the govern¬ ment will be inflationary. The . prices that the government sup¬ ports, such as wages, and farm prices, will have more effect upon the price level than the prices for be other upon than materials raw oil, copper, other raw ma¬ past. Lumber, wool, will terials ucts inevitable. (4) The in dependent more countries and from come in abroad increasing amounts. (11) Tne ownership of corporate broader it than is Cor- today. incomes more r—electricity, natural railroad tack should make possible a thorough and informed at¬ on the problem of poverty rates, and telephone rates. More¬ than has been ever Such made. over, the government will spend attack more than incomes means that everything possible will be done to raise the it collects for demand great there is from the upon organized groups that the government in¬ crease its expenditures for this or that purpose, but there is no or¬ ganized demand that the govern¬ population of low of low incomes. ment raise taxes. problem economic worth a Union membership will and upward pressure on wages will be strong. There are productivity (14) and, The (7) years of labor force in possibilities of union collar in the of South. union visory will to two out less em¬ higher of three. As members to and are changes scales, wage see non-super¬ rise never promptly adjusted workers white retailing, and Perhaps the ratio wages of non-union union increase non-technical and about an among in members ployees than members workers, in non-union less reason for the past. The stronger the than bargaining in power of unions will be sufficient to per¬ mit them to raise money wages faster than the increase cal output per sult will be The in physi¬ manhour. The re¬ rise in labor costs. a bargaining power. of.., the unions would be considerably less if the community were not in¬ sistent that a high level of unem¬ ployment be maintained. (9) The job of the manager will become a and over) will in the increase. larger a The labor force is increased by the great contest be¬ tween the United States and Rus¬ sia. more ex¬ higher a long time. Manage¬ turn and may higher demand standard a creased investment-seeking funds, and individuals much pre¬ to of size almost and seriously States is than less their During the next thirty much 150 States But years. the years consume as in the American are inclined of as last manu¬ finished sales any will material raw facturers the increase an imports into the United States. United with make the that means The solution lies in limit experimentation business structures and exports United seems can ex¬ gifts production. struc¬ entirely bad. It ot excess large but this system consumption of the people of the is'per¬ concerns business of cess kind of the gov¬ power the over of tne up making to is satisfactory. No country likes depend upon gifts, and this ex¬ of ernment ture to regard the of number married young women desire to work is increasing. With reduction in working hours more prefer to women have money and to make fewer things in the home and to buy more things from resistance creasing. tion is stores. retirement Since clear 1940 the years of in¬ is the to creases, age or that the drop between was desire crease the due to the em¬ of workers. As longevity in¬ age • will retirement the proportion of the popu¬ lation in the labor force. are ' the economy important developments many questions about the of and one-third to year within little two mortality that rate will There is years. likelihood in vance will prices develop and be can about which one The Capacity of the Economy to easily not prevented: the infant business among People are creases in cash. A led not large by slow in¬ suift out of to prices higher part of in¬ we restrict drastically the freedom would go to the government in the form of taxes, people and concerns for to be small to which to of do easier into grow depend may to ventures becomes concerns ones extent it unless wishes one Whether large reduced launch No own. obtain may research. produced comes thus increase the It benefit the Will unions will be of their the the increased of the by term in there that is economic extended (1) a matters considerable intervention to and evidence A party. that ticularly concerned would took its par¬ union get very far party that a would issues not union trade the countries and trade union party. union leaders can see experience of other Moreover, from a members 'that leadership would be transferred from them to party type of insurance to protect people against the loss of income leaders. The from Party two generations ago did not have this experience to guide disability and costs of medical to meet the care. ists who British trade union¬ the Labor sponsored (3) Protection of workers against arbitrary admission rules, them. burdensome however, will be arbitrary tion initiation discipline, fees, and protec¬ of (4) term small the public against disputes. The facilitation of capital loans business to perhaps and emer¬ people conceive that the economy in the past has shown a capacity to grow rapidly enough long- new by and some (5) A rise wage in prices or a limit point more view, of influential. too completely to special interests to become the leaders in this economy. absorb the increasing number job seekers, but assert that the economy is losing this capacity. If the United States is to keep its and, at the keep itself strong enough to resist Russia's attempt to spread Communism, output must increase substantially. The needed expansion of production standard of will depends the future posi¬ the increase in the upon size of the labor force. I estimate that the number of persons in the labor force will increase by about six million 1950 to during 1960. that sumes increase in The 10 years estimate will the growth could the This there be as¬ some of proportion in the labor force. women be of the retarded economy lack of but this is not likely. At capital, by a the present time industrial worker per 1900 it of was is about worker capital $7,000. In about $5,000 present-day per prices. were to in terms If capital increase 1 % for the next 10 years, the needed increase in capital would be $50 billion, or approximately a year 2% of Some may the net people national fear product. that savings be inadequate because of the stiff progressive income tax. For example, in 1948, persons receiv¬ ing incomes of $25,000 a year of more were 60% more numerous than in 1928, but total incomes af¬ in were 1928. whole one-sixth less than Personal in 1948 incomes were large as lieve as times a as expansion in 1928. Other people be^ may be retarded by too much saving, but this posf sibility also seems unlikely. More than be living time, same made half of personal savings for the of are buying of the United States in the goods. Moreover, nearly half of in¬ economy of the world? For many vestment-seeking funds are pro¬ vided out of reinvested years exports by the United States corporate tion increases if unions raise employee economy is becoming laboristic. but union officials are com¬ What to of ter taxes The mitted form of capital banks. to The Some be able to command the solid support would not be some that enough on elections purposes; perhaps by not position a win these on are Grow I labor a trade winning votes and of Redistribution of income and limited matters to gradually Limiting the fluctuations in the basis of need in¬ Unions foster to party will business/ (2) per-- experi¬ objectives unions. of attention to in signs of the strength, and the unions expect vention no unions and bargaining organizations, not political organizations. I do not in be economic methods general trend to reduce government inter¬ are United that members loan. There the strong doubt of trade Although I , difference supplemented use in deveiop become ence, strength type of union¬ fluence of unions will make much The principal source of cap¬ will continue to be plowed- earnings, new a for grow for their products. The essential issue is the procurement of capi¬ back to have great cause re¬ to increases in the demand ital or in sponse tal. deficit budget surplus. The easier concerns, to the reduce the Reserve System might again regu¬ late the terms of consumer credit. produc¬ upon costs of small gency Some Principal Points of Doubt About Trends in the Economy There half propor¬ ployment practices of employers, not a hand, strong reasons believing that a rapid ad¬ . Finally, in the labor force has risen. more It the to males 65 of die within the other vasive, such jobs in industry. More parttime jobs would undoubtedly in¬ more for technology, many small enterprises for part-time jobs will probably increase the number of and on Several studies agree that onefourth or more of new concerns in demand of losing his earned pension rights. improvements by crease fer to invest their ism working conditions, by reductions in the standard work week, and by changes in managerial methods. About one out of five jobs in in¬ dustry is a part-time job and the of conduct from trade unions, from employees, and from customers. of the integration growing States? rise, and rise fast enough to in¬ in to yet no signs of a gen¬ are as lack and concerns which The research. Since research of equip¬ ment makers largely determines by customers, by em¬ ployees, by stockholders, by other members of management and by the; government have been »in¬ ment there eral size mere missible. tion are determined by industrial work health improves and creasing for easy the of degree of integration of busi¬ operations and the conditions under in¬ to acting one and will require more training. The demands made on managers be ness is desire The 1890 and 1940 business to will It enterprises in most lines new this. who in funds, business, but not all. Despite stiff, progressive income taxes, (16 pro¬ prices start, to to grow concerns? probably continue age portion rising even to of their people in the labor force. The for larger start the outlook is enterprises investment into of joining unions. (8) The-long-run movement of prices has been upward and the future in which it will be difficult new by not prac¬ of working age for need therefore, the recipients of the proportion of grow great business and Kept ports tices of business and perhaps even regulation of the future nave managers raise output per Regulation of pricing the economy one find (6) Thursday, August 3, 1950 . goods by economy less progressive, dy¬ foreigners here as a need for adaptable, and flexible. higher duties. savings in small namic, Large reductions in portions need a much broader Some of the kinds of intervention unincorporated enterprises than in duties, however, have been made that do not seem likely are ra¬ ownership of their stocks in order corporations. and with the drastic currency de-1 to get fair treatment from the tioning, accumulation of agricul¬ The starting of new enterprises valuations, a large but gradual government. The acquisition of tural products whicn aie allowed increase in the imports of finished may be facilitated by the develop¬ millions of new stockholders will to spoil, and drafting and enforc¬ and parPy finished goods is likely. ment of venture capital companies probably require that corporations ing a central plan. Time will be required for foreign that are free to take any risk that issue new types of security. Types Will the slowly rising price sellers to find out about Ameri¬ seems to be worth taking. Unless of participating level continue indefinitely or will preferred stock can markets and for venture American capital companies are could be developed in order to in¬ it be halted by union wage policy buyers to find out about foreign willing to invest in new large terest preferred stockholders in or direct controls? There is no goods. Tf the United States were concerns, the starting of them the growth and success of the con¬ reason to expect trade unions to to double its imports, over 90% may be much more difficult, be¬ cern. adopt a national wage policy that of the cause small investors usually great American market put (12) The economy will continue would impose restraints upon in¬ would still be supplied money into new concerns which by do¬ to increase the collection of statis¬ dividual unions. Even in Britain mestic offer a job as well as income on producers, but the influ¬ tics and to provide itself with a where executive officers of unions ence of tne United States through¬ capital. It may become increas¬ more complete picture of eco¬ hold office for life a policy of out the world would be enor¬ ingly difficult to presuade wellnomic business conditions and qualified persons to go into busi¬ wage restraint was operated by mously enhanced. If the United trends. Statistical information on ness for themselves for such the unions until recently only States does refuse to raise its intentions to buy, on the size and with great difficulty. Nor is it duties or check people are usually already em¬ imports by admin¬ distribution of income, and on the ployed by well-established con¬ probable that the government will istrative devices as more and more kind of people who are in the use either controls over wages or cerns which offer excellent goods come in, it will be because different income brackets are chances for promotion. They prices. Price controls would meet the intense and bitter contest with likely to be extended and im¬ might be persuaded with opposition from well-or¬ Russia forces by a change Congress not to proved. Statistics sooner or later in the corporate income tax to ganized groups to almost the same yield to the pleas from the multi¬ will become available on the extent as would wage controls. tude of pressure groups that the permit losses to be carried for¬ money flows in the community ward for five If people expect prices to move country be surrounded years, instead of by an in¬ and on the ownership of bink two; by elimination of the so- upward, they will convert bank surmountable tariff wall. deposits. In the near future the called "notch rate" deposits and bonds inlo stocks, There are two ways in which by which cor¬ country ought to be able to pub¬ porations earning more than $25,- commodities, and real estate and foreign investment might help lish an annual balance sheet 000 but less than $50,000 pay an drive prices farther upward. The solve the problem of the export showing its principal assets and income tax at a higher rate than danger of a disorderly rise in ac¬ surplus—by creating a demand liabilities-and showing the owner¬ concerns earning less than $25,000 centuated by (1) the maturing of abroad for machinery and equip¬ ship of the assets and the cate¬ or more than $50,000, and by over $33 billion of E-bonds before ment, and pro¬ by providing new gories of persons and organiza¬ vision that the costs of private 1960; (2) by the government's sources of imports into the United tions responsible for the various pension plans shall be deductible policy not to permit prices of States. Investment abroad may be liabilities. under the corporation income tax Federal bonds to drop below par; ; J a wa.y of combining superior (13) The statistical information only if an employee may leave the and (3) by the development of American managerial skill with that is becoming available on low service of the enterprise without easy consumer credit. There are, cheaper foreign labor. industry will become considerably which the government holds down gas, what the . other countries develop. Will (10) The United States will be¬ re¬ determine than manhour. con¬ ' for stimulate will faster wages and engineers can . purpose Volume 172 Number 4930 . profits. A drop in investment portunities tions to would The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . op¬ human beings. Nineteenth century decisions. corpora¬ lead Socialism, that, is, government ownership and operation of most industries, does not seem likely to develop although it is quite saving. The most important question about the capacity of the economy to grow relates to the expansion of the effective demand for goods. If output increases, effective de¬ mand increase must the to , extent in order crease in unemployment. in total the to avoid volume same in¬ an rise expendi¬ of A some of oper¬ industries under government operation may spread to urban transporta¬ tion, steam railroad transporta¬ tion, and electric power plants, particularly in connection with the increase in the supply of goods technological Spending some people least bit income tinue to income. To over the is con¬ amount One person's person's another increase their others same income. expenditure than more while spend their {unless grow willing to spend at are little a recent of cannot expenditures incomes people might idle balances, a likely recent draw on possibility. Of the country's total money supply of $170 billion, more than 60% is owned by indi¬ viduals. These people might be willing to invest *n unincorpo¬ rated rate business enterprises, corpo¬ securities, in housing. Each or Is some sort of planned econ¬ likely to develop? A planned economy of the budget type is quite unlikely, for at high levels of production rationing would be required and citizens will not tol¬ erate rationing in time of Nor is the planned peace. development of economy of the type—one in which ernment provides indirect centives and consists in in which a non- budget in¬ jectives such full and tives in come But conflict of many these objec¬ the with particular groups. This goods. obtain the banks to that buy money. The seller of the bond would have to more and spend no else one would have less to spend. Al¬ though there has only been a slow tendency for non-bank corpora¬ tions to convert their holdings of securities into goods, expect over the long run government one may that this Individuals prises lend them It is continue. business or enter¬ from borrow may that will tendency newly banks created quite probable that expenditures will be increased for money. time some debts borrowing. by of individuals enterprises The business and likely to rise be¬ cause at present they are ab¬ normally low. Debts of state and local are governments rise because schools, pitals. are of the to need bridges roads, likely for hos¬ and Although will in stable much also an dangerous? stand can a unstable economy. an sensible, debt long-run should not faster than the national income. The lationship tional how between income which debt and in debt The greater the nanced also depends increase an nanced. increase It that rule rise is debt is on fi¬ fi¬ na¬ tional incomes, expressed in cur¬ rent dollars, will rise as rapidly as the increase in debt. debts because cause prob¬ repayments may contraction in the sharp a of form create income available to buy The country may be con¬ fronted with this problem because goods. there is the due probability that total credit consumer the at billion a will of rate be at coming least $9 year. more rapid increase in private debt in the last four years—far more than one can also expect to be maintained national product has net of debt to product has not greatly changed. Future of the Economy One should not be any ultimate and permanent economic system, because notions on an ultimate state simply overlook the great important more inherent creativeness economy than the in past, although I do not think that they will dominate the economy; (2) the intervention by the gov¬ ernment in the The times. problems which will absorb in importance. grow will ment development of the economy. One The rise of government decision¬ decision-making not mean a re¬ versal of the trend toward giving and making by more of does groups individuals. opportunity to The educational system is mand the of kind the out people opportunity. of success turning! who de¬ Furthermore, the community in late their interest in opportunity. The fact that security is them tention other things. is to much pretty conditions an neces¬ is the chance do to different The govern¬ under to try out things, to experiment, objectives pressure will clash one's hunches and ideas. Give men to with special interests; (3) individual decision-making will continue to play a big role in the economy because the more educated they The public policies: pursuit interest During the be can relied of revolt The against Although in the world the to been mixture a struggle preference of some interests the self-interest upon of the in idea can ideas has the with associated Manager of the Gott Mr. them was as depart¬ trading tourist to 45% residential, 42% commer¬ further industrial As associated commercial The seasonal is the winter season in February is about 12% higher than in July, the summer tourist volume is now growing faster percentagewise than the winter industry. ironed out somewhat; users. while the sales peak peak of The increase in population and prosperity has been outstand¬ During 1940-49 the population of Florida gained 31%, retail ing. sales 224%, bank resources 253%, individual income electric power sales 228%. In 1949 the company's kwh 16% 207%, and sales were 1948 and three and one-half times those of the decade over The population of Miami has gained 87% since 1940, it previous. being the fastest growing metropolitan area east of the Rockies. It has lead all eastern cities in private residential building—$230 per capita in 1949 compared with $148 for Washington, $82 for Detroit, $61 for New York City. While Florida has not been known the fact that it has taxes, as well as a as a manufacturing State, State income tax nor duplicating inheritance no negligible burden of State and local taxes on business, has resulted in much greater gains in value of manu¬ factured products than for the country as a whole. In the decade ended 1948 manufacturing employment increased 227%, against 44% for the country as a whole. Florida agriculture consists largely of cattle-raising and the Improvements in technique have greatly growing of citrus fruits. expanded both industries in recent years. The rapid development of frozen concentrates for citrus juice has sharply improved prices for fruit "on the tree." Cattle raising has benefitted by the wiping out of the tick, the upbreeding of Florida herds with bulls, the development of rich mineral grasses seeded by airplanes, and the conversion of orange and grapefruit pulp and skins into food material for cattle. Florida is becoming foreign a air trade center, with the Airport ranking first in the number of in¬ Miami International ternational passengers and overseas cargoes. Last year 38% of all in and out of the country passed through this airport. In the first half of 1949 overseas air cargoes of 17 million pounds were more than double the total for the LaGuardia and Interna¬ passengers tional Airports in New York. The airport's annual payroll is over $56 million and other expenditures Florida Power & Light's nearly equal this figure. earnings of $2.17 in 1949 were after ad-? for amortization of plant acquisition are be formerly thereto he was Co., Inc. Prior with Cruttenden the idea that unduly restrict the 4% last year as com¬ (the previous year lower rates, reflect¬ for lower fuel and commodity costs reduced, it is understood. balance for quarter of 1950 (excluding taxes and The kwh depreciation). company's average residential was 2,070 kwh compared estimated return. 6% WASHINGTON, C. Cook has D. been to of man the Securities , the Ex¬ and Mr. Cook be¬ member of the Commis¬ change Commission. came a sion last November. was the The new post established since members of Commission decided a with the national figure of 1,684 kwh. approximated $143 net operating revenues of $9,322,000 approximated a There is no statewide regulatory commission in rate base at the end of 1949 Florida. C.—Donald elected rate in 1949 was 3.41c per residential usage national average of 2.95c; compared with million, and To New SEC Post The principally due to an increase of 13% in revenues as contrasted with an increase of only 7% in operating expenses gain was Co. Donald Cook Named earnings showed a sharp gain, the stock increasing 36% over last year. common The & newly created post of Vice-Chair¬ important company's revenues gained only In the June Florida Power & the planning is not likely, because fast ond being now the Chicago office of Geyer & and Acceptance of the idea can that Mr. Earle C. Gott has become be in the second half of the twentieth hold nounce that advance may were miscellaneous. 5% growth takes place, earnings should become less dependent upon rate will be CHICAGO, 111. —Goodbody & Co,. 105 West Adams Street, an¬ ment. community to the idea of the class struggle their way out. men Gott Resident Manager of on What C. the the cooperation cooperation Both individual depended of Earle not people's own control the amount or important. the heavy charges for 1949 gained 20%. The company established a reserve for hurricane damages in 1947 and this was built up to $2.2 million at the end of 1949, the accrual amounting to $1.1 million in 1949 and $900,000 in 1948. When the balance sheet reserve reaches $3 million, the accrual and can conflict population a Despite the small increase in revenues and storm damage and reserves, net income in the revolt against the class struggle has even started, opposition to idea developed recently in Western Hemisphere. History and have (oil declined 90c a barrel to 31%, but kw production per barrel was up 6% due to improved generating equipment; thus, despite a 13% increase in electric output, total fuel costs were down 26%). com¬ ceptions, as in the case of monop¬ olies, and gradually the idea that government ought to assume planning for economic activity of industrial and ing automatic adjustments era of great individual freedom at first took the form of making ex¬ advanced. 8% is in 1949 revenues 10 derived pared with an increase of 16% in kwh sales revenues had jumped 34%). This was due to essential relationship between per¬ sons is explained by the Class parts cial, The last upon advance the interests of the struggle. tourist trade (only size 96% electric and 4% gas. Over half from the greater Miami area, are are justments equivalent to 19c a share. (1) the idea that individual self- of the Electric in small Revenues revenues There was also a charge hundred years two principal ideas have had tremendous impact upon the where of history is largely guided by ideas. electric proximated $3 per share. Actual storm damages from the August hurricane approximated 37c a share after tax savings, and in addition 45c per share was accrued to the balance sheet reserve for storm damages (which amount was not offset by tax savings). Goodbody in Chicago initiative. course 10,000). over special maintenance charges attributable to storm damages totaling 82c a share, so that ignoring this factor earnings would have ap¬ Earle Gott With become, the more likely they are to have ideas of their own and to exercise the east coast of Florida, but also serves por¬ and northern parts of the State. The total one million. The territory includes 335 on western communities, mostly the Op¬ portunity, however, is life itself— it of the Brahman to order to enjoy life. in at¬ Security means a end—one of the sary provided to turn their stimulates principally tions population served is about giving people security will stimu¬ security and their interest in op¬ stability, expansion and portunity is bound to be enhanced. but the promotion of promote security, these be ates will influence the men's attention economic matters will continue and will probably slowly planning envisage consistent undoubtedly be an extreme one. Three principal features will characterize the economy of the future: (1) organized groups will century? Organization is would of The future contradictory and principles. Indeed an conflicting orderly and increased rapidly so that the ratio the less or community. Although there has been a very —the of economy likely to be "messy" just as it is today — reflecting a mixture of was Short-term lems of munity; and (2) the idea that the na¬ by commercial banks, the greater is the likelihood that slowly, but it seems plain that it dying. The idea that policy can be guided by facts and information will gain in importance, for people are discovering that sta¬ tistics are slowly but surely changing the intellectual temper re¬ the extent to in The raise living, is not debt economy than a the and higher ratio of debt to in¬ come is of standard increase A of goods output crease the the increase in debt stimulating and will in¬ be means that in a democracy making of public policy con¬ sists of a series of compromises. Florida Power & Light Florida Power & Light, the largest utility in that State, oper¬ is economic stability as to interests time increase the total demand for consistencies employment. proposals form newly created cure-alls problems will likely win acceptance. Faith in cure-alls dies tionship between organized groups and the community. same securities no for expected. It is true that there is general agreement on certain ob¬ a them out of viction that there are lationship between government and industry; another, the rela¬ the Utility Securities By OWEN ELY sufficient oppor¬ not are tunities, the community, acting through the government, ought to do something about it. The con¬ gov¬ planning there policies designed to achieve gen¬ erally accepted objectives—to be these sell Public com¬ problem will be the "proper" re¬ saving and would at the Another, way to increase ex¬ penditures would be for people to for good of of represents a con¬ omy of ways is It is quite certain if ation government trol. by and petition. public authorities will spread. For that river development and flood possible minorities example, probable the increase in the labor force and progress. Decentralized decision¬ that men will agree that there must at all times be opportunities for all would-be workers to find employment, and tures each year will be necessary in order for the country to absorb made 19. making gives great opportunity to their cut (447) Vice- Light has been selling around ^48 recently the $1.20 dividend; the 1950 range ap¬ proximates 22V2-17. Capital structure is about 60% debt, 8% pre¬ ferred stock and 28% common stock equity (after eliminating to yield 6.7%, based on plant acquisition adjustments). With King Minneapolis Assoc. Add (Special to The Financial (Special Chronicle) Merritt to The Financial Chronicle) ST. CLOUD, Minn.—Marvel W. Minn.—Woodtolerable freedom. They Chairman had been needed to as¬ Andrews, Fred D. Hutchinson, and will regard decision-making as sist with the administrative duties row F. Wilson and Oscar J. WoolisJohn A. Hollenhorst have joined experimental and, consequently, of the agency and the recent gov¬ croft have been added to the staff Minneapolis Associates, Inc., the staff of King Merritt & Co., there are important advantages in ernment reorganization plan en¬ of area MINNEAPOLIS, of Tnr* having a great many people make abled its creation. Rand Tower. 1 fil fi St Germain Street. 20 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (448) previously he President of had been Dallas the Vice- Continued from first Thursday, August 3, 1950 ... page National Bank. News About Banks CONSOLIDATIONS County National Bank of in -"Times at special a Co. of York New meeting Aug. on 1 voted to approve the acquisition of the company's deposit liability certain and division Co. assets by the of New trustees of York. to banking Trust By this action, officers and Guarantee & Trust ized its Bankers Title the of author¬ were the agreement of July 6 under which the Bank¬ Trust ers would commercial and banking other and functions, the premises, deposit contingent transfer assets. TG&T's assume banking trust upon out carry of certain facilities The and for date the who several speaks to Secretary Mr. who & will title Trust. & tp function head of offices will by eight Mr. Secretary, 1921, former trustee continue previously and the the of company will Broadway. After Barnard Townsend, meeting, the of Title Guarantee & Trust Co., .issued a statement saying in part: "The action taken today confirms the judgment of the board of trustees tinued operation of that our interests of the company in or, turn, of its stockholders. We plan to devote our undivided energies continuing development of to the title insurance which has been our item previous -foregoing issue our proposals of * regarding in appeared July 13, * page 171. of New York held Aug. 1 Charles F. Piedmonte appointed formerly was was Assistant an He Vice- President. jJJ the directors the which her meeting of the a News" Wells Mr. has com¬ since 1941. ft election Co. of John Phillipsburg, of noted has of the in been & J., N. Newark "Eve¬ Mr. Cline, director a the Bank ning News" of July 16. who Cline B. is of the E. Peters, who died July 9!' Harold J. Curry, Cashier for three years and asso¬ with the bank since 1923, Mr. succeeded Peters as a director. * * Miners * National Wilkes-Barre, Pa., Bank of the announces election of Frank W. Anderson as sj: it Co. rently in the windows of Colonial Street, New York. The display, arranged as a special tribute to the bank's cor¬ respondents in Denmark, is spon¬ sored jointly by the Consulate General of Denmark in New York and by the Danish Information Office. Arthur S. Kleeman, Presi¬ announces that in conjunc¬ Bank of Cincinnati, Savings & Ohio, has been absorbed by The Atlas National Bank of Cincinnati, it is an¬ nounced by the Board of Gover¬ nors 48th Peoples the Federal Reserve of tem. In connection absorption, fice of the The with former Peoples Company, and operated by it, have of The the main Bank Savings branches Sys¬ of¬ and branch a * * Bank of National from Farm 1934 Loan until tion with the exhibit the banking served in the Navy dur¬ ing the recent war, it is stated. He resigned to become Vice-President bank March of this year. 1 * of Governors of System serve the in But however that may Federal reports the graphs, "World Recovery through Imports." This set, entitled "Trade with Denmark," calls attention to the economic necessity for main¬ taining from United States Denmark at California level. mono¬ graphs eral are visits Kleeman the outgrowth of to Denmark by and sev¬ Mr. Mario Diez, charge of the bank's International Division. acquired, locations well as the of these of reported was Press San advices of that * June on President it and would He former Transamerica 67 was invited Mr. on old. years Bacigalupi to organize the trust department of the Bank the of Bank of America. He made its Vice-President the and, came President. ident of in New York * « received Bank the of approval Banking Department July 11 of plans to reduce its capital stock from $535,000, con¬ sisting of 53,500 shares, par $10 on to of par $302,500 $5 each. * William L. in York 60,500 shares * DeBost, October, same 1924, be¬ He became Pres¬ Transamerica 1931; he retired in Corp. in 1931/ that bank Savings Bank announced Marcel for 42 years. Granbery, Marache Chicago, 111., in¬ of June as 30 Mr. determined to do all we are something approaching almost unavoidable. tion stock it of tional capital Bank * $250,000 we the of First Temple, was raised to some was new the Charles E. Klein Granbery, Marache it s[i from Bank on the Dallas, July 18, it is Dallas Herald," which stated Humphreys had been Tucci, Mercantile National of for "Times Co., Broadway, New York City, change, ■ of J. Ollie Humph¬ Vice-President of the Mer¬ learned now as to announce 52 mem¬ Stock Ex¬ that Charles E. a them as manager department. Mr. of the Klein trading was for¬ merly trading manager for Stanley Mr. Heller & Co. and prior thereto are is far more resistant to shock than it after World War I. It is better prepared to deal with with the with and Hoit, Rose Holsapple & Co. & Troster or deflationary dangers. . . . for further improvement, but we can build confidently upon what we have thus far achieved. The domestic situation makes this desirable; the world . . . situation makes it imperative. such "The healthiest and safest condition for an economy as ours is maximum utilization of our productive re¬ sources. . . . During the inflation of 1948, there who said that was years; number Here "There is need Klein has become associated with that 10 years. of them: inflationary & bers of the New York Texas, occurred decision "Our economy was from brought about by the sale of National some things "learned" from the postwar Na¬ Texas, stock. cantile But intend to do must be dent's Council of Economic Advisers sets forth of $500,000, while increase of $500,000 reys, ques¬ such commitments on our part are wise. They would seem to us to be precisely Confusion at Home, Too increased from $300,000 $1,000,000, effective June 30; through a stock dividend of $200,- further appears to serious * of 000, the amount footing reached, so it would seem to us, before coming to any fixed and final conclusion about what is essential to meet current military require¬ ments. It would be one thing if we laid no burdens upon ourselves other than those necessary in winning the Korean war and for enlarged assistance to Europe—and generally to strengthen ourselves as a sort of contingency reserve; it would be quite another to prepare for such worldwide commitments as would be involved in applying Korean principles to the remainder of the world. to $300,000 the face of Europe, war Possibly not the same differences of view, but cer¬ tainly the same lack of full understanding prevails in cur¬ rent notions about the basic principles of a sound and effective economic system. The latest report of the Presi¬ Little Rock, Ark., as of June 30, from $1,000,000 to $1,250,000. Hi full Of course, it is open necessary, or what the Kremlin wants. what a this, and in addition be across >:= dividend has served to increase the capital of the Union National Bank of The mainland of to whether any as was Charles Klein Joins The death Chairman on July Tucci, Assistant Secretary of the bank, would re¬ tire on Aug. 1, after serving the 20 # A it * of the Union Dime of New of capital then has been Industrial of the State each its If prepared to meet Russia itself Italy, predecessor of year then under we the relatively large forces apparently necessary to reach objectives in Korea, what if then trouble breaks out around Formosa, and develops more power than we have been supposing possible? What about Indo-China? Iran? Yugoslavia? Must we "save face" by defending all these despite the fact that the Kremlin is not under the necessity of committing a single Russian soldier, and not very sig¬ nificant amounts of Russian equipment? 26. ica, died at San Jose, Calif., 27. Are on the Corporation and the Bank of Italy, predecessor of the Bank of Amer¬ July have to evacuate? such * the way, starting point? And once that is accomplished, what Must we remain indefinitely in that unfortunate land to prevent a return of such a campaign as we have been fighting there? Many of these questions will rise to plague us even if we never evacuate. If we must commit Bank of America Bacigalupi, of the then? 23 announced * A. on Asia in sufficient force to drive the Communists back to transac¬ branches, effective June James we obligations to reestablish ourselves 22 California banks as inevitably be would suppose, quickly become un¬ What Should We Do Then? But what if Associated Transamerica one their in America had acquired would, two early in July from Francisco Bank final "show-down" there, in that important, and indeed untenable. tions is in litigation.)" It a as Savings Bank of Pasa¬ (Status It is this: Pre¬ should the Kremlin decide, and this appears un¬ and Korea branches of the Bank of Newman and the two branches of the First dena. the President himself. World War III would almost case locations of the banks whose was to likely, that it wishes latter bank established branches at the even from $600,000 to $900,000. in * Royal Commerce by Vice-President The of course, business acquired by Bank of America, N. T. & S. A., San Fran¬ cisco, Calif. On June 26, 1950, the business be, it seems evident to us that which all such decisions must today largely unknown. We suspect it is far upon cisely what do we regard to be our "responsibilities" throughout the world? What must we really do to pro¬ tect ourselves from totalitarian aggression? Obviously, our commitment in Korea requires that we drive the Communists back to their original position above the 38th parallel regardless of the cost of such an undertaking. Of "Bank of Beaumont, Beaumont, Calif; Bank of Newman, Newman, Calif., and First Trust and Sav¬ ings Bank of Pasadena, Pasa¬ dena, Calif., all State members: at of as from clear Fed¬ stock, the National Bank creased purchases high Both the exhibition and the a new rest is Re¬ follows: as eral Reserve District: the a important factor an Absorptions and establishment of branches to take it but * In its advices covering the five weeks ending July 15, the Board Through a stock dividend of $150,000, and the sale of $150,000 of on themselves to formulate public policy) piece of "clever" political strategy. It may be that in this way he could succeed in obtaining all the powers an absolutist could desire without shouldering the political responsibility for demanding them. is for time of the interferences by government with busi¬ private citizen are essential in the circum¬ It could be, of course, as some have suggested, powers seem except dent, house has prepared another in its series of international mono¬ in Association this year, other the refraining from a request for full (thus leaving a demand for them to build up Congress and among a number of private citizens who war tary-Treasurer of the Denton-Wise National * stances. thumb from current a sore the extent to which controls, restric¬ that the President in Secre¬ was and ness Man¬ become Atlas Bank. tions and district According to the San Francisco "Chronicle," in 1917, A. P. Gian- President, effective Aug. 1. cur¬ Decker enough. It protrudes like controversies about the date Regional Land Mr. to that on Federal Houston. operate them post,'Arthur clear Dallas, which Antonio irom The of was become institution since 1926, succeeds in new the of advices the San Trust and National Phillipsburg Trust ft Vice-President Second The products exhibition an at South of diroctor of the trust The was a -South "Evening H: «!» Trust Company's Rockefeller Cen¬ ter Office on Avenue of the Americas Co., that states a pany as elected the July 25, according to on Newark been to of the of nini and subject of elected effective ft of Orange, N. J., at * Denmark Howard was Trust Orange on Vice-President. a time one also ft Wells T. Vice-President ciated regular meeting of the directors of City Bank Farmers Co. a « a Trust at Secretary, * has At Leake, July, 1926. Cyril slated ager he his principal business since 1883." A Son Aug. 1; he has been with the bank since con¬ banking division would not be in the best in the bank. was Assistant an 1. bank is M. and the of Aug. the and Francis late Leake, an As¬ of as entered Leake the been Herald" * November, Title 176 at President the of Trust as office remain offices operation All insurance Guarantee the banking under reopen Bankers Trust has On Aug. 7 and have by Francis M. recently elected was sistant of duties Tucci's assumed Hammarlund Guarantee transferred 1927, then, in addition to his former duties, had been in charge of all work concerning estate ac¬ counts and general information. Treasurer been fixed for Aug. 5. in since closing of its banking offices by the lan¬ depositors of Italian, French and Spanish origin. He was made an Assistant the Title foreign entered the bank in 1908 act as interpreter for the bank's guages, Denton that noted Trust Vice-President Denton, Texas, on Aug. lvwas in¬ CAPITALIZATIONS & Herbert as dicated Stockholders of the Title Guar¬ As We See It « of Denton Bankers and ETC. REVISED antee * resignation Decker NEW BRANCHES NEW OFFICERS, * ■, •, The a cure upon a lower level were some of total activity would provide for the dangers of inflation. But when that lower level of fundamental we activity, entered we felt Volume 172 Number 4930 .. . even more insecure and yearned for the day when full production might be restored. ... "We must draw overcome in several areas. The work week Bnt What Is the Real sharp distinction between the sound a elements of maximum production and ments which threaten its maintenance. tion to (449) *21 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle "The Korean the unsound ele¬ It is ... spotlighted the weaknesses aggression. days of fighting, during which our gallant forces have been all but pushed into the sea, the United States, almost un¬ aided, supports the Free Repub¬ inflation by private and public policies downward. "Stability and economic strength are advanced by private and public policies which adjust themselves to our need and prospects for stable growth, instead of adjusting themselves to the inevitability of the business cycle." "Fifty-two — much date. but members of only Chesapeake & Ohio leaders such not been dynamic so forces states are no Chesapeake & Ohio has been account of interest may In turn, this has stretched production lead time on many industrial items. The range of fuout , of and the projected factors—merger of rearmament the Pere effort. Due to a defense with several of bituminous coal. for this most for coal secure little question but that this recent change in senti¬ fully justified. In the first place, it is doubtful that such abject pessimism as prevailed just a few months ago was ever warranted. Secondly, military operations and the step-up in armament production will unquestionably mean much heavier shipments and consumption of coal. Even now coal has a price advantage over oil. This may well widen. The military situation points to the strong possibility of the development of oil short¬ this is not being overlooked by to switch from well may one consumers in a position Finally, material shortages additional natural gas pipeline fuel to the other. seriously restrict construction. At the same time that the traffic outlook of C. & O. has been The sees * construction materials, containers, cornstarch, electrical supplies, food products, fuel oil, gasoline, glass, lead, lumber, ma¬ chine tools, paper platinum, rags, rosin, rubber, soap, soda ash, styrene, textiles, tin, tires, wood doubtful if he appears screws. Immediate Controls Robert C. Swanton, reporting opinion of Business Survey Com- mittee of National Association of Purchasing Agents, holds . signs of public buying hysteria A composite opinion of purchas¬ ing agents who comprise the Na¬ tional Association of Purchasing Agents Business Survey Commit¬ tee, whose C. Swanton, Di¬ pany, imposition trols. Ten find immediate government con¬ message, to expect of billion dollars for pre¬ paredness, with possibly half of that reaching industry, is not a our The sources. up of Olin Indus¬ "The Division of buying sharp upsurge tries, Inc., re¬ ports that "the many performance for the first half of the year distorted by the particularly poor ported in ratio was ratio for February. For the six months through June the 33.1%, a cut of more than a full point from the 34.4% opening half of the preceding year. Year-to-year the comparisons should be even In company This of each the three favorable in the last half. more months of the. second reported common share earnings in excess brought the cumulative total for the half Considering under the the like year of $0.50 to $1.66 interim, is highly satisfactory. share. a share. a early deficits, the showing, only $0.29 1949 a the share Full year earned may run around $3.50, or better. only $1.36 on the common. Last year the company With such prospects most lysts look for at least a $2.00 annual dividend basis and in quarters an even more liberal policy is looked for. ana¬ many It is expected that, ex any recurrence of serious labor troubles in the coal fields, the road's earning power in future prosperous years the 1950 estimate—perhaps around $4.50 a common share. Hartford Office for should top lag general business ing Walston, Hoffman Go. Own Investment Co. SAN HARTFORD, Conn. — Walston, Goodwin, members of New York Stock Exchange other leading security and ANTONIO, Tex. — B. Arnett has formed M. B. Arnett the Company with offices in the Frost National Bank Building to deal in and exchanges, announce investment securities. Mr. Arnett the opening of an office in Hart¬ was formerly manager of the ford under the management of municipal department of Lentz, Newton & Co. Harry L. Perkins. i was Robert C. Swanton the by Korean blow¬ the about same; new price structure cheeky with the United States; inventories up a little more; em¬ ployment increasing; buying pol¬ icy a little more on the low side. Business is good, at the high level of the year, and expected to con¬ tinue into the fourth quarter." higher; Havener, Gill Will . ■ creating since the strikes. Buying New orders have zoomed, heaviest backlog coal arid policy, though still considered to be conservative, has had to ex¬ tend the range to meet lengthened production lead time. Prices are up all along the line, with escala¬ tion rapidly coming into the pic¬ ture. Industrial inventories are in many cases, limited only by sellers' self-im¬ posed allocations. Employment is up, to man the increased produc¬ tion schedules. Very little of the July business increase is attributed to direct up panic — military orders. "There has buying been of a flurry products of that short during the war, most it at retail and distributing were of levels. At Benjar will become a New York Stock Ex¬ change, Aug. government price freezing. Sellers should remember the price roll¬ back of the OPA days. Trice rul¬ month end there on date of shipment' and es¬ are again common Broadway, New York City, mem¬ was in future Forty percent report adding to in¬ dustrial stocks during July. In¬ critical materials "Purchasing executives, viewing the current situation in the light in Walter Admit H. T. Greene currently of such as steel, DAYTON, Ohio—Harry Talbot* Greene will become a partner ip. Greene & Building, Brock, Third members National the of New zinc and aluminum, is York Stock Exchange, on Aug. 10. practically impossible, leading to He has been associated with the copper, unbalanced at this stocks which cannot, firm for some time. time, be assured of adjust¬ On the same day Ray M. Brock by future commitments. will retire from partnership am* Purchasing Agents are aware that hoarding of strategic materials the firm name will be changed tpwhich may be restricted in use by Greene & Ladd. ment 4 . controls government can prove unprofitable. Walston Hoffman to Admit Employment SAN the heavy curtail¬ ment caused by industrial vaca¬ "Following Aug. FRANCISCO, 10 August M. Calif. — Amend and William L. Minick will be admit¬ the month, employ¬ ted to limited partnership in-Wal¬ with a bang and, of the month, stood ston, Hoffman & Goodwin, 265 tions early in ment came back at the end are signs that this hysteria is passing. Mr. Benjar 14. partner New Name Greene & Lack) Inventories deliveries formerly Greene & Brock to delivery quotations. "The trend of inventories is up. creasing on Benjar & Co. calator clauses during the first half of the month, has snapped back and is forging ahead to meet increased demands. the Walter bers of the ing Production, which was sagging because of industrial vacations Melton Hoffman & commodity dur¬ July upset creeping M. B. Arnett Opens duction reported July. Pro¬ industrial materials. Some higher prices are believed to have been established in anticipation of expected in steel earnings for the United States in partner in Havener, Gill & Co., 61 to the up. quarter those Commodity Prices Repeating Arms Com¬ was divisions. conditions business from Chester opening months when the mines were still closed because of strikes. In the last couple of months, however, the transportation ratio has been running down close to 30%. This compares with a 1950 monthly peak of 43.5% re¬ overall The some little differ program broad use and price controls. during the month carried prices highest point this year. De¬ mand has exceeded supply in on Canada "Canadian capacity and re¬ announced should be handled without setting \ J „ orders ■ '"9 chases, Win- ing operations and road service President's reason deep cut into ■0J rector of Pur¬ is experiencing the cumulative benefits of substantial sums spent in recent years on yard im¬ provements, new equipment, track installations, etc. Such savings should be augmented b,v the trend toward dieselization of switch¬ the of little passing. are "Everything going up—nothing coming down—is the report for July. Increases over-all have not been drastic. Important items af¬ fected were: Aluminum, acids, alcohol, bakelite, cotton and paper bags, cadmium, castings, cement corrugated of the weaknesses Purchasing Agents Deciy Robert company some Kremlin; it remedy. Chairman is Also, the , Commodity Changes Specific J- of the foes of the knows the brightening (it should also benefit from increased manufactured is in prospect. commitments 660 days. trols. defense against the common foe." Roberts, to President Truman and Secre¬ Judge clearly freight tonnage) its operating performance has been on the up¬ grade. The company has made considerable progress in reducing its passenger train deficits by reducing or eliminating branch line service, consolidating trains, etc. More progress along this line price escalation is most to Buyers do not feel that present conditions call fqr government price or end use con¬ common ment is ages, and attached a tary Acheson. developed important freight item has developed. There is the markets, as over —Owen J. Considerable has up reasonable proposal that we our free neighbors the means of building the political unity needed to create a pessimism as to the long in the past few years, centering largely around the expanding use of competing fuels such as oil and natural gas. This pessimism communicated itself to the stocks of the major coal carrying roads, aggravated by the adverse earnings influence of complete mine shutdowns and three day work wefeks for miners. In the past few weeks a far more sanguine attitude toward at least the intermediate term outlook outlook endeavoring to cover to six months. There is ap¬ parently little, if any, price spec¬ ulation in this extended view of J. Roberts command to move-with "Surely this is explore now with Last year even with periodic mine closings the road received just about half of its total freight revenues from the transporta¬ tion Owen a . Marquette properties, industrial growth of parts of the service area, more intensive solicitation of merchandise freight, etc.—the character of the road's traffic has changed considerably in recent years. Never¬ theless, it is still to a major degree a coal carrier. term ex¬ during: May and June. July pushed many from 30 and 60 days into the 90-day column and moved 20% into over .90 days, political federation of democratic members of the United Nations would give to that body the real authority it needs to halt aggression. .. At least in part the increased buying unquestionably be attributed to the disturbed for¬ been had commitment ture tending "A itself recently. situation number Pacific, the common giving a considerably better orders new logs. to dispatch against the arch enemy; and this is possible if they are politically united. rail Illinois Central and Southern as stock of eign other some rise in brisk following the Korean outbreak has developed a new high in back¬ ' ... united as deeply cut Buying Policy few have sent a token as against aggression. "Free peoples must have has the "The ... it de¬ 1 again proves that forces voluntarily offered by Although war the "Korea free power. into supply of male workers. aggressor — the Security Council has called upon all to as future if women more velopments the aid man f United Nations have denounced taught the Council, then the President get another Council. of »a much industrial to However, employment managers are looking ahead to the use- of „ lic of Korea. If this sort of economic twaddle is all that the post¬ considered not are threat "After 30 which turn the whole economy war years have would be wise to has war being lengthened in many in¬ dustries, and would gd higher if were immediately avail¬ able. Present draft requirements materials of alliance in the face of solu¬ no is Remedy? higher than at the close of June. The demand overbalances for the skilled current Montgomery Street, members of labor the New York and San Francisco supply Stock Exchanges. 22 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (450) Eccles' Anti-Inflation Program c *l »l* • , ii r .• other things, reslnction of bank credit, among term interest _• • vllvj w In statement a „ , ^ ipbe investment implications are yd) Require the RFC to stop of the Board of Governors of making loans, except when the Federal are Reserve cannot be gotten elsewhere. Sys- tern, outlined a prog r a which (4) tration and mortgage insurance by the FHA., requiring the Federal Aid to South Korea is tion a crisis of text guaranteed of "(5) Korean that top been of it supported by money and credit exceeds the supply. The available supply of money and credit can increased only system by the banking making loans to situation it de- durable consumers which terms, should be made to down as and maturity to curb of the huge voloutstanding. Require the Treasury to short-term permit rise to interest moderately rates the government securities more attractive to the public. It would reduce the need government put will government This be can if adopt the without of the Federal s ec u r excess i t i which e s and makes restrictive mone- money the advantage that it promptly into effect can a terially and of reduce thereby goods would program civilian increase be scinded to the extent needed without requiring legislation, with the exception of credit reg- consumer and labor supply available for the military needs without the necessity of putting the country under all of the onerous war-time that the cult and campaign may be diffiprolonged. Another is that Korea may be only one of a States its and maneuvers allies care- the on de- (2) oion World nf +hp War mntpc that means she war The III TTnitpH aggression wants will decifieht tn if Russia havp it It (4) exports world Like- war. wise, it is difficult to support the view that world conflict is immi- the foreign ex- tell and inflationary price rise of ].948 and lts subsequent correc- In recent 15% of 4ureSj total expendi- consumer ratio which a is somewhat but not unduly excessive in terms of historical precedence. In passenger cars the optimum level of nati0nal ownership may be calcujated up to 38,000,000 units com- pared with approximately 36,000,now in use. Some 20,000,000 cars on the road are eight years or older? most of which wouid be replaced within five years, indicating an average repiacement demand from this 000 lh.e in industrial proauction in 1949 was essentially a business inventory adjustment refiecting a shift from accumulation of inventories in 1948 of some $6.5 , of the billion te a reduction in 1949^ of source alone of around 4,000,000 The swing units annually. If we also take ln invYnteries thus amounted to jn^0 consideration the normal ar0Ynd $2.3 billion. $8.8 billion a on y£ar*to-year basis and considera y.,mor£, declSl'in ; • . g • aA, growth in number of family arrive at we can an estimate °f somewhat oveJ 5,000,000 passenger cars as a demand criterion ?™SS natl0naJ pr°d~ for 1951 ^.1°"?n»T"tairlT the un^s and 0ther determining factors, V° D1T , ?• "fT third econ- very ^?anjfe ^Y3^3*1011 7 a been jnciuding automobiles would be foolhardy under prevail- of continuation of gov- a policies that tend to keep without an over-all collapse, in- months national spending on coneluding (1) a sizable decline in sumer durables has been roughly ing tense conditions to ignore the risk fact has approximately fensive. nent, since Russia will ripe "(1) Make no going and 1952, plus an annual Produeti°n of over 1'000'0°° trudks atu " eL°,111 an/ctlvf economy These fig"'?utg10r, ''* ,fpuras do not suggest that the auto ' n"Jg 5° ™ "Tn LT n?<T lndustry was f?clnS a decline of Th™L °„ nmLK sever?. Pf°P°rtlons. especially if stable large Post Office deficits. ."(3) close tax loopholes pre- n (3) intensified thetime beine approach , centers For moJtre^Hstk the strong that the United States probability on rat,e f?J a proper ,s.eas0.na] factorinventnrv rnhiiilHinff the construction industry a fj./-..'demand f?.r around 800.000 resiSwi-lvLsoveir-de]pressed dential units per year for the next a'n boominthe auto- flve years appears to be well nf the rest of the Far East. m np~p_-arv uu nf ^ demand to ^ulpment Peri°^°f Hsing but also*to to Korea capi al el good^ § " .^lnd minor no Continued tbe ,1'mlts ProbablIlty- itoJre S' and Looofootoesldential unUs per yIII .Was the business situation can be supported on evidence that Wghly vulnerable "Before Korea''? undertaking. 1 d to subscribe to this military expansion vievY: To the contrary, it seems to would appear to be increasingly that the ec?r!0.^1/ entered necessary until there is evidence an area of high business acthat aggression against other weak "J, is adJust the recent high output we ^rr?' 'S we Armament the , is in the Kremlin. on This "(2) Increase second and third class P°stal rates enough to meet time Unfortunately, reduction in taxes defense of the no the not privy to the deliberations are ^ot only this year. when knows one consider act. to Is Fiscal Program ma- demand the stage for longer-term world peace. One weakness in this approach is re-: or fiscal! program""6 m°ne'ary ^ Ulatl°nS' "Such successful and have any longer- P creates has about determined a the national income relatively well stable. I could go into a maze sustained on many counts. A sig- of statistical details here, but I nificant aspect is that postwar prefer to rest on a combination of industry adjustments took place factors which appear to be of ad seriatim and not in concen- greatest significance, trated cyclical doses. We have Consider the peacetime situamanaged to weather a number of tion in consumet. durable goods individual economic weak spots in omy conceivable campaign could be suffciently impressive to forestall other Soviet military plans and thus set the and thereby take off the pressure for longterm interest rates to go down. This change of policy would make by brought is It ditions and ernment soft-goods production following ear*y postwar boom, (3) a sharp red^cte>*} *n our balance of series of Russian growth of promptly acc0rd. a bove might assuming active business con- years net farm income, (2) the drop in fully designed to keep the United "(6) therefore, impossible the imperative, if price inflation is to tary policy that is called for. be controlled, to stop the overall "The above six-point program the Federal Reserve. in not ^at capital goods in the prewar of the 'thirties). Since 1946, the national Action- by decision of the United Nations, w^h only Russia and her satellites a demand for autos and homes being given Military further growth is, loans and investments the banking system, including Umited (1) ume now buy- Reserve supporting the market for or ing securities from either the government or the public. In the present for payment an develop when the demand for goods and services be effective sufficiently restrictive showing to sure the by giving to the Federal Reserve control of consumer cred- developing. inflationary pressures for some time, especially in the durable goods and housing sector. Price inflation is the to goods on has mortgages Reduce mand inflationary the urgent and in- demands make amount sold. ' "Because military needs and a rapid stepping up of business and civilian to owners Mortgage Association to limit its purchases of insured and creasing economy home National Eccles' lows: rapidly policy, investment jong-range speculate as much as he desires on his personal views of military prospects. The portfolio manager, however, has to consider and give careful weight to possible alternative patterns that may emerge. statement fol- to reduc- -pbe short-run trader is entitled to larger down payments, slowing up the approval of mortgage guarantees by the Veterans Aclminis- The is always be an impractical basis for the by the Mr. This is due recent would future of Korean situation its de- requiring the requiring .auseu the rescind to effective by foreCast of be- situ dangerous the housing cise ag tion in interest rates and reduce its insurance coverage, thereby car- in flatio nary a Reduce and purposes far_reaching but by no means conc]dSive at this juncture. A pre- out cause • r « F i Marnner S. Eccles military for FHA im- be urges ried lor mand m he mediately M they substantially year term trend. A more fundamental P°int is what the so-called normal .... AftfllllAYtC VArllllHIWllil r VIIIIvHl r, system. Eccles, member and former Chair- crisis - far this so reasonable calculation of ^ssued at Salt excess reserves in the banking Lake City on July 18, Marriner S. man m p.|yf0H| u been VUUVI . rates, reimposition of modihed excess profits tax. , housing starts J fllVACflttAll! A POllCV UlltfPF VilftlftlvlKl »ll . , If .B n short- rise in Thursday, August 3, 1950 from Ta _ for, .. first p^e Continued Member and former Chairman of Federal Reserve Board calls . ha^d J^ad ^vlty ;rat^ afe,g4e9fe^red 35®™?! a-1 fgoooOO Various other in'riljded tJ P in an noints aDDraisal construction reduced outlook home building of well-balanced can of the below exoectaviously recommended by the nations in the world is not apt to J^e v1covfy] in capital variouc: tvoes of Drivate and Treasury, especially those where occur. The pace of further pre- g£ f, ? orders early this year > construction would be government is losing large paredness will be geared with un- should be emphasized as it is a public construction would be essary to go ail the because amounts of revenue. folding developments as will the toa "would.kely be an atomic war (4)a C°^ a°lL nei eC°n°mlC ' 1948 completed, at lagged in ^'postwar period and C«e The taiwinf ; • The Background for a time. There is considerable should increase in line with the case, the following program isany earnings above 10% on the fi-st an direct controls, unless the Korean situation develops into World War III. Even then, it may not be nec- 'way ^a .,fr aDav,e the Inst evidence I believe that the $5 million of invested capital and We cannot properly discuss the reDiacem'enf demand for °n any balance, allowing a current investment situation in a P durable eauioment is 0 ™tid" basic , urgent necessity carried out and should immediately, no be mat- ter what action may be called for Requcstorganized' "(5) Monetary and Credit Program "(1) Request agreement to bank every make to stap'Tank credit'eZ pansion which has been growing rapidly by limiting new loans made of by any loans loss in bank to the amount its or sentia. would stabilize ... general , credit n well the is If not the as this carried Federal Reserve reserve require- . . should ments as situation. program then .. eovernmpnt , market, voluntary ac- bank program thp , securities out, a increase the to legal limit and Roni.ocF banks ment not to rl™S l loans and would the fnr their tho 7 Federal putting Reserve one in so years ahead, so that deDressison have seriously under- bonds. They cannot be expected to do this unless the government the dynamic expansion in production and trade surely goes deeper, into such factors . necessary x, action to . oro- lation gain of „ power of the ^ (1) as over 19 a popu- millions or pagt decade> (2) the increase in family spending units govern- price inflation, which has already 0f •,. P !! This on support . , . over 26% « (3) v the rise of over . bee permltted t0 g0 t0° far' The 75% in real supernumerary invigorous credit, monetary and fis- come per capita and (4) the abilcal program accomplish the need thereby creating trols." deposits and unit labor costs down prove productivity. and im- less Furthermore, based on historical tests. Equip- of above this outlined purpose will without imposing the object- harness of direct con- ity and business and of a willingness to invest of in American new plant equipment to meet the needs growing civilian economy (in contrast to the low demand than 8% of the gross national product, which again is not ex- the present level of around $20 billion for producers' durable mte neld tionable remaining at least the next few highways and other publicly financed con- new C^fntirom^'lliZeTwSo SSST& has stossed^the^mperafiye need ^^^^^^rS^Rtomor estimated the inherent vitality of ment prices in the postwar period banking system. American economy. We can have certainly lagged well behind This is also an essential re- ascribe this growth in part to the the sharp increases in hourly labor quirement of the montary and impeiiing to make up civilian costs. It is reasonable to suppose credit program suggested if it is g0£ds shortages generated in that the average life of capital to be successful. The present situ- World War II and to the huge equipment will be shortened as a it!™ people to save wartime increase in national result of both intensive use and their money and purchase more savings and monev suoolv But new technological changes arising the government securities market, new es- dynarnic a dollar (their money) from further pressure to been savings V ° in^reas^ other investments. avoid hag Schools, tyP«s of noiilibI'Ta costs, outslde the slstem banktair ni,r„Ac.n P of "Bfore Korea." recogaizf[hat the'enHre postwa? period close rate of industrial production, fit he is to be held to a minimum x , sell qprnritipQ observations some tax above fiscal program is nsurai.ee tect the purcnasing companies and the mutual sent oro- annually at present l^Zestment still in such instruction are anllyTs™ adding in a moderate t.ms.ve demandtoat y^ta m^y^ the amount for ^r"}31 military reJj , Totaf new construe- to pre- takes the get additional powers if necessary. . in- wage prof^s ^ate 2V2%"^ maturity' mterest deposits by buying Such for excess g-term non-marketable bonds, '"'The the selling government securities cordingly. while sSni™ae.J aub" background I would'like labor to "(6) TheTreasury should offer P™mptly to non-bank investors or meet demands no --es gain paid; btildta| "fo^eSp.^has ^^^t^n^vytatstry ^ llit "afo nSeThat^he orin" esting ^0 note tha the prm- pertains to the possible drop in the number of new family units created m the yeais after 1955. By teat time we may have arrived at a point when a real replace™nt or "scrappage' market for homes could be developed as an important offset. There has been a good deal of from the huge sums being ex- concern about the rise in consumer pended on industrial research, credit over the past year. All of From a financial standpoint, cor- us are aware that easy payments Porate enterprise in the aggregate on consumer durable goods have bas had little trouble in financing been a lifting factor since Federal large-scale programs of plant and credit controls were removed in e(*uiPment expansion when neces- 1949. I can agree that the rate of sary in the postwar years. { judgment the has perhaps been on increase prospect bas been that the recovery in the months. capital goods segment of the total omy would go far to offset the bdeCandf housing5 industries deferred for latter econ- are demand reduced when backlogs of Ther? is the not the excessive side in the last several of Nevertheless, the present instalment debt does appear to be over-extended if relate it —7T~ disposable to r • net we national . °f Current BuS'neSS' March' Volume 172 income. Number 4930 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . It is in fact quite low in rate of na¬ tional savings and particularly in comparison with the huge amounts of liquid assets held by the public, to which I will refer again later. Korean Episode Not Likely to Be Soon relation to the present We also can take recent an as in me that in should in crease the ing be substantial a is in¬ Where debt. intensive so the is typically made available, either by private sources or by government.2 Dr. Schlichter has of words some who by comfort about worry things, for this pointing those of aspect that the present total of net mortgage in¬ debtedness for the country as a whole in relation posable income thirds in the out is less than that amount two- prevailed 1929. compared with 1929. Moreover, the ratio of liquid assets held by the public to private net debt has risen Dr. sharply in the past decade. Schlicher is record on as ex¬ pecting a substantial expansion of private debt in the next 10 years ahead. I that know gentlemen you are interested at present in pros¬ more for pects under ment earnings and dividends intensified more rearma¬ conditions, but I cannot in frain this discussion of re¬ of industrial production. The FRB Index in June stood at just under 200 (1935-39=100). I believe that again fail to It is to interest of Moody's has civilian they normal of under 175 a give proper weight dynamic factors at work. the to lately normal of 165 add 10 points production. into fuller account a which to for cold-war If we take rising pop¬ estimate of our reasonable a that note computed defense ulation and for will in war in short up President authorization asked has undoubtedly covering get addi¬ an corpo¬ rations with income higher Still to individuals and I that feel mature the for maxe be pre¬ portfolio manager majur a rates. tax would it faced are in revision in¬ vestment policy at this time, pro¬ viding the portfolio is adequately diversified and if holds it dollar The foreign situation is reserves. of the over-all activity ness moving (around on concern process FRB Index). would be if this should generate enough commod¬ ity price rises that would effec¬ tively cut into the demand for goods or throw the business situa¬ tion into unbalance. In sum that the weight of evidence is have prospects able for been favor¬ business activity and earnings in the next two or longer on a peace¬ corporate year or time basis. the The recent decline in stock market tributed to business outlook. Some be at¬ in cannot deterioration the correc¬ tion of stock prices may have been in view of the increase necessary in margin indebtedness over the past year and also to the elimina¬ tion of weak speculative holdings in certain groups of stocks. there How¬ not large amounts the that market firm rather if my rest may on ground at this junc¬ ture if all-out and is It now war can military expenditures are sharply. The other side of the picture is Korea there could De vast repercussions. Per¬ if fail we in haps this is what Dr. Slichter and others have in mind when they for many sifies or have will we rebuild to invasion and of yields. done is earnings average What the market has to shift from considera¬ a which to be invoked. may rather than or inciease military expenditure may pected if the is be in ex¬ is continued in war One Korea. con¬ A gradual sudden a to higher economic taxes to over question can if re-equipment of forces with particular widespread strictions months. without be up Of it course and will can ahead than be may earnings and dividends under war developments. 2 No doubt some types of federal home loans, especially for lower cost units, are entirely too lenient and should be adjusted. However, the situation today is better in many respects than the 2nd and 3rd mortgage system of the twenties. 3 The studies of the Econometric Insti¬ tute (New ening on York) are particularly enlight¬ this subject. is legitimate enough up to professional well as point. a investors, engaged anyone in would It pressing of considerably less is to that the most build up the armed been Even necessary. this under possible pattern of military expansion there gradual ability 1941. mortgage loan credits for the of siphoning pur¬ spending off and restraining inflationary price trends. However is there I as see it no disposable national income. Mod¬ erate commodity levels current increases price and credit restrictions could displace enough civilian demand to make room for gradual increase in the military budget. Moreover the business a outlook, that cates in as the discussed earlier, indi¬ total personal income government's ending June 1951 year be than in billion higher $15 fiscal could some fiscal 1950. Corporate profits subject to also be higher, possibly by as much as $4 billion. With the present structure of corporate will tax individual and tax rates the in¬ in tax revenues to the gov¬ crease ernment would be on the order of $4.5 billions from these combined sources. I would like to stress this point it suggests that an abrupt since rise in 50% the corporate tax rate to supplies While higher. are the1 American and food enormous are are available and in since 50% some population large and increasing. critical some raw materials doubt be in short supply, no have others stockpiled been by over-all Our Electric nation. resources win corporate earn¬ Manpower working continent pose or more reimposition revenue of (and controls). Ad¬ mittedly the steady barrage of dis¬ couraging war news from the is front making this pattern military expansion However it is still a of less pos¬ sibility that warrants caution in liquidating sound stocks in com¬ panies that normally do best un¬ der sues peacetime conditions. Most is¬ of that type have tained a ment in cases substantial de¬ spending posits adjusted in all banks, after sectors deducting all bank loans, had risen from around $12 billion to facilities, for example, have in various types of consumer and on increased Oil properly be some increase taxes together with restrictions power of. demand amount net . the of should on The already sus¬ price adjust¬ the market and in many dividend payments can prob¬ ably be maintained even under higher tax rates. The Dow-Jones billion. to a These three items add up total expansion of the money billion, but this is not all. Holdings of gov¬ ings. ernment bonds by individuals are In this connection we should also up by $68 billion and there not overlook the great productive power deemed tens waiting period in which to make a more careful appraisal of the rials if to add in since the end of 1941. supply ey operations sacrifice from all potential effect appear need possibly military selling is It forces, to be fol¬ lowed later by sizable procurement demands for equipment and mate¬ size the civilian economy. not billions of re¬ heavy over $36 billion, an increase of impossible to know if we 200%. Time deposits are up ap¬ are facing such an eventuality. $31 billion in the For the moment I think that, proximately same period and currency outside barring another act of aggression of banks has increased almost $16 elsewhere than Korea, we have a publicized. likely. to necessary of the economy. develop¬ certainly cannot predict the speed of fur¬ ther preparedness, but as an an¬ alyst I do not want to overlook the possibility that military spending in the immediate months gradual risks liquidation in been if it. warrant praising potential has on I eventually done ments on could We our controls and other manpower military spending by $5 billions annually, let alone $10 billions, in a matter of a few step tion of peacetime prospects to ap¬ the weeks cheaper. back stock common recent as go extensively the government. military prepared- is far aread of the conditions nets that prevailed before World War II. have We real a element of supply of has been $70 over $20 billion increase a in governments held by non-financial corporations. It in to seems the me rise the that general price level during the past decade, while substantial, has not yet fully reflected the ex¬ the in pansion Over assets. supply liquid of the,longer the run price level should tend to advance. in another Involvement tains con¬ war prospect of adding fur¬ fuel to the fire. Fur¬ the ther latent should not overlook a modern dynamic economy unit labor costs typically contribute to a rising price level. thermore, we the fact that in Slichter Dr. has that said the national capacity gains of technological progress 100 million tons will in general go to labor in the ingot steel per year. Including form of higher wages, not to con¬ Western Europe the U. S. and its sumers in the form of lower strength in to produce our over of allies have available in excess of million 150 with pared Russia and tons annually com¬ under 50 million for its dominated by good fortune war does not come to Western Europe for a few The recent General Motors prices. labor this underscores contract shifts of only prudent portfolio for emphasis It m. not my whether debate the between "peace* unpopular and popular "war" issues. Many the latter are now higher than of However it is my "Before Korea." opinion, which is fully shared by associates, that the situation, justify heavy, investment in the so-called armament or warmy does not Most of these are of character under longer- baby stocks. marginal conditions and would there¬ range from excluded fore be tive investment conserva¬ in accounts nor¬ the I would question if mal times. purchase of certain stocks in com¬ panies that happened to be bene¬ fited during World War II will Traders are turn out to be sound. inclination to bid up issues that would normally be categoried as cats and dogs. I suppose that some stocks of this type may benefit enough to war¬ rant holding. However, I feel that showing strong a in conditions since another war precisely the same as in the last one, there is a risk of a substantial margin of error m. cannot be purchasing does that stock any reasonably have not good pros¬ pects on a peacetime basis. We should also remember that, general, investors who pursued in the "war" stocks in World War outstanding achieve not did that be similar a more any course would now Despite productive. dividends and earnings lower* II re¬ It is unlikely sults in the long run. it "peace" stock group that showed the greatest and steadiest market price advance after 1942_ the was I not want to infer that there do cannot be decline suffer further market price a issues in now that may shrinkage marked a in heavier tax load or restrictions on civilian produc¬ tion. This could easily happen, but earnings due to a it is by no means a we the consider supply have many foreign and of latent the towards certainty when money it can. influence the and stocks common new a past several days the market shown a great discrimination the has habit here purpose Stock 1950 high a* against further weakness in many industrial and utility stocks. In. to Wars is Railroad Dow-Jones Average to view. states. If is it the them buy to However, and Korea that ity fare program of the investor to make at least some- There is little evidence to suggest their abil¬ possible for the government to extent early too new future balance today are on Regardless of which pattern of military expenditure develops out recognition of changed conditions. This is of course going on, as evi¬ denced by the rise this week of armadas, step up our atomic war¬ ending market. stock crises have a eventually and companies that may be hurt are an adequate hedge against this time around are strong enough thus permitting those na¬ price inflation. Perhaps it is fair to survive and later continue to tions to prepare militarily under to say that nothing can be a 100% grow. The long-term investor our aegis, I should think that the hedge considering the taxing should be in a position to hold a combination of population and re¬ reasonable representation in sucH power of the government. But let sources facing the Soviet will give us put it this way. The investors stocks at these levels with plana the dictators in the Kremlin con¬ who placed his funds in common to carry them right on through siderable grounds on which to stocks of good quality in 1940-41 and add to commitments if prieea pause before taking the final step has certainly fared much better should be further reduced in tho to World War III. than the investor in high-grade market. Many of you are well aware bonds. I am sure all of you realize Sound Equities As Inflation Hedge the extensive amount of that investment in prime bonds, of In the present confused situa¬ including governments, has suf¬ learned analysis being applied to tion I believe that cash or highfered two direct hits in the past the problem of what form an ex¬ grade bond reserves in investment profits might take in the decade or more. One was the de¬ cess portfolios should largely remain cline such legislation becomes in interest rates which re¬ event intact if they are moderate in necessary. Any calculation of < years, amount. On the other hand those duly large dollar reserves for one reason or the other should begin, mates good stocks in effect speculating on real security offer¬ profits taxes at wartime levels ings such as characterized the may not be immediately at hand. 1946 market top. Finally, I think Congress will surely examine any a good case can be made that most Administration tax proposals with issues of sound quality have not care and insist on knowing the de¬ been unduly high in the market gree to which prospective military in relation to conservative esti¬ requirements will nece s s i t a t e of undigested living costs. are liquidating who that a investors who may have kept un¬ were of Investors Portfolios whole our any large scale for financial the U. S. may not reasons. The motive is fear of a war situation that might lead to peacetime economy years. If the war inten¬ sharp reduction in corporate earn¬ spreads to other areas ings after taxes for a period. This predict have excess ever, Unless government is changed inevitable consequence is a the Proposed Shifts in Investment permit normal economic to work. rise in prices and be avoided not accelerated that order to present forces opinion form on dous increase in the nation's mon¬ the is corporate capacity from to the busi¬ of the close 210 The chief rate in was rates. dividend Average it know it justification for going normal for the FRB Index by 1951 off the deep end on corporate taxes would be in the vicinity of 185 if there is any chance that the an¬ and higher in subsequent years.3 nual rate of military spending I will leave it to you to judge may not be increased by more whether the economy has been in than say, $5 billion in the months a high area of dangerous excess. ahead. Such an amount happens My own opinion is that "Before to be only 2V2% of our present Korea" over the armed em¬ market, might stop to consider the phasis on aircraft. There is no longer term implications which question in my mind that we will may accrue out of the present I have referred to fur¬ then have not only a wartime sys¬ situation. tem of taxation that will reduce ther inflationary possibilities. It net corporate profits, but also is perhaps of even greater import to note in particular the tremen¬ priorities, material allocations, but serious, the peacetime outlook from referring to the question of a "normal level" estimates of The the trols national dis¬ to According to his calcu¬ lations the aggregate amount of all private net debt, relative to na¬ tional income, has dropped in half as order. that settled Stock 6V2% based the boom on credit for home financ¬ necessary be can a mortgage demand mortgage believe to Korea tional $10 billions of military ex¬ building. It seems penditure. In tnis environment it dynamic economy appears certain that both residential to there of influence the look at a expansion loans istic unreal¬ seems Industrial yields Settled At the moment it (451) I think, to give greater consider¬ ation to investing in sound equi¬ ties as a measure of protection duced the dollar return of income, second the and was loss the of realpurchasing power as a result of advance the in cost-of- the living. Depending on which meas¬ of urement reduction prices yoi, take, the in real from income against the threat of possible fur¬ depreciation in the purchas¬ of the dollar. Inflation of the money supply and the gen¬ eral orice level has always been ther ing an power prime bonds due to the price fac¬ from tor has been We can compare crease of over 40% to 50%. this with an in¬ 100% in total cor¬ eventual consequence of war. I see no other reason war will to expect differ in an¬ porate dividends since 1940 and a this im¬ substantial advance in the quoted that portant respect, except perhaps in further seems monetary be avoided or later inconceivable that inflation could Sooner in any event. price and other wartime controls have to be thrown off in is the longer run we will find that investment income on dividends will value than income from dollar-type have years tion based greater derived largely securities. will of 1936-39 to some combina¬ earnings results in the of after always that two war patterns are ever legislation E.P.T. new invested that it any change the base from the prewar years by no would venture a I that Congress will not au¬ thorize a return to the same tax basis as used in World War II. It seems reasonable to believe that It but 1 have confidence alike However guess with Argument over tax. postwar dangerous parallel highly tentative. Instead of E.P.T. we may end up with a stiff in¬ crease in the straight corporate stocks. value of all listed common A major war simply can¬ not be financed entirely out of taxes. While we should realize degree. earnings and tax protection under wartime conditions must still be an would be numerous 1945, capital along option. manifestly unfair to corporations, especially^ growth charac¬ those with strong teristics, to do otherwise. unrealistic to figure that ernment average would allow It the govthe full amount of 1946-49 earn- Continued on page 24 . 24 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (452) Continued from traditional 23 page turies policy of spacing obtain to an ma- on rate average of return. War developments are not a quality of high-grade corporate obligations or preferred stocks and they have a real piace Investment Policy Undei Current Conditions threat to the pact production different on ana companies will have credit base, since probably not ra'se enough revenues under conditions requiring an E. P. T. Perhaps an ings as this tax a would allowance of to two-thirds from between out would be a reasonable com¬ promise, with the E. P. T. rate ranging from 50% to 75%. This appears to check with estimates have not be that the E. P. T. rate need higher than 75% to raise an addi¬ tional $10 billions of corporate taxes. I may suggest here that for the purchases in time being any new ered against Based T. P. of background a taxation heavier E. be consid¬ stocks should common possible and preliminary on analysis and keeping in mind the rather of nature tenuous such affect others, will have more difficulty in main¬ among than average taining profits: telephone, electric and natural gas utilities, net drugs ethical chemicals, the However baccos. no to¬ will doubt on and effect the vary widely depending strategic position of in¬ dividual companies and the mar¬ gin of safety of earnings over div¬ idends. Various growth companies that have increased earnings sharply within the last year or so would also appear to be vulner¬ able to E. P. T., a risk which is already reflected in recent mar¬ ket price action. If indus¬ an try that is likely to benefit ingswise activity from we Profits before in was evidence Relative year. E. P. should taxes thus accentuating crease, that single out the particular attention. can for railroads T. even in¬ trend a earlier protection good seems tests and earn- military greater this under various on increase in reg¬ an ular corporate taxes across the board should not impair the pres¬ ent favorable rate of dividends in I would not object to many cases. reasonable purchases bonds come tions selling viding they sonable other or at rail for in¬ up term in this and to be may prove the no exception liquidation of persistent automobile and building material shares. It implies that measures to meet the be confined taxes merely credit or have situation may not war include to higher to controls but sizable a will reduc¬ will have prolonged period of war condi¬ or not. Here I would place the chains, various types grocery of retail trade sition should ogn'ze that earnings stand electrical and farm a po¬ equipment producers may turn out better expected. Their profits from than civilian goods would of course be reduced under war conditions but they are in a position to shift to to military production and divi¬ dend might payments fairly be well maintained. I am prospects going for to motion coal in that could rise will con¬ after taxes sharply for certain even However of be less or important I earnings companies. minded could have peacetime problems. cede equip¬ greater all but degree these of benefited war pictures, railroad and Most ment. the airlines, over pass aircraft, shipbuilding, fact the I re-, am that earnings the last time wartime given were very low appraisal in the mar¬ ket. I suggest that we leave these a nimble the to few trader. pear conservative in With but exceptions they do not ap¬ to have an established place investment port¬ folios. a rec- good Outlook for terest rates and to are position. It in is prime bonds? It that investors, par¬ ticularly those in charge of in¬ stitutional and trust accounts, should me be that the reconciled hold the pattern in the to fact Treasury is compelled to of interest rates relatively inflexible straitjacket. Management of a huge a national of debt requires government ports the on of bond a system price sup¬ downside. The tremendous a savings supply direction of ex¬ money necessitates counter-measures in the higher interest rates prices rise too bond much. semi-war containers combination obtain I the can see from escape A return to a war or economy will intensify for interest rate con¬ need trols. real no With short period the exception of a in 1948, when infla¬ also between How I would suggest again long-term investor should nc:; attempt to dispose of all inv stment participation in this /er lass < of stocks replacing his in the position at hope a of later date. Several industries appear to be rather well off in terms of poten¬ - tial tax protection and in addi¬ tion their operations will tend to be maintained at very active rates if manpower These include conditions steel, permit. metals, oil, and past accumu¬ savings without a on tax-exempt overnight, the to of due situation war term municipals least attractive bond market. were to of segments The supply of tax-free bonds in con¬ nection with state and municipal financing was huge, to say the least. In addition one could plan on a large-scale issuance of longterm, wholly tax-free U. S. Hous¬ ing obligations. Now there is (a) the possibility that war exigencies may effect a sharp reduction in public works and new tax-free issues and (b) a probability that both corporate and individual tax rates will be raised. that suggests All of which further a rise in municipal bonds may be expected. Incidentally I believe that any government efforts to levy Fed¬ eral taxes the on income from municipal bonds will continue to ment It would this be ment witn uals of mary that investment an would concise a not only sum¬ policy be nicely adapted to current conditions but well-hedged against developments may such we can perfection occur. achieve never it and what¬ is go will the To Be Limited Partner Higher on. make I it in am On ited partner to 3.0% a a of shares long off Jacob J. Heinrich that means reasonable common be to This year. percentage will will run it continue nington, Vt., after principal and forego the bene¬ higher yields from common The analyst will search of for course partner in brief illness. a Edward P. Frost Edward P. con¬ invest¬ good War Heinrich, W. R. K. Taylor & Company, prior to his retirement, died at Ben¬ wise to live prove J. Jacob prerequisite for most in- a lim¬ a Wood, Walker & Street, New York Stock Exchange. come cannot satisfy living re¬ quirements with a return of 2.5% holding became in Co., 63 Wall City, members of the New York agree¬ investment in¬ on August 1, J. F. B. Mitchell, general partner, a even view that individ¬ dependent Frost, member of the New York Curb developments the Exchange, died at of 61. age Securities Salesman's Corner By JOHN DUTTON Prospecting has always been than for even others. But this be mastered. When more should phase of sales work there done difficult for be certain are this is not some Like so. people; other every fundamentals which must will find that the problem trouble you again. I will never forget the answer I once had given to me by a so-called high-powered sales manager when I was just starting out to sell securities. I of "who to see" will you never having trouble locating prospects that were qualified buyers;making too many unproductive calls, and I asked him, was I was "where Our the are office people was on the whole town. said, "There!" true the I He took It was me not call can 11th floor on of to over and helpful advice very do business?" some building that overlookedthe window, pointed out, and: a though it even was- enough. First of all you have to be eye and ear conscious and look for- prospects continuously. start. Your daily paper will give you a good' blue pencil and circle every name that looks like a' People that take trips to Europe, or long vacations, Carry prospect. a good possibilities. Business items, such as recorded sales of properties, personalities in the local business news, club leaders, are another. Estates that are probated are of course, definite leads. Have your wife keep her eyes and ears open. She reads the society are page more than you do. difficult to approach it in a limited way now. The current investment rities Build up a reserve prospect file from such leads. more situation is the front in Korea. as fluid as As an ana¬ lyst friend of mine in New York said ting a recently, "Things little confusing." The Chairman are the of get¬ National Security Resources Board re¬ ported the other day that Amer¬ is facing ica in the greatest danger history. This may be so. its There may the also be contention some truth in that despite bil¬ lions of arms expenditure in re¬ cent years, our military position is perilous and must be reinforced with utmost speed. If we go along with views these we on civilian then of course cannot disagree with Federal action to place drastic restrictions wait immediately. complete that the crisis is grave or that activity evidence to date is Yet the from impending indicate. the analyst investor a I reiterate the and making portfolio revisions. However we are we can longto con¬ wholesale list the salient are still leads are your that their clients say own customers. reluctant are to Some secu¬ give them the of future em¬ names of prospects, because of the possibilities barrassment they may sustain if their friends have losses on their investments. In some cases this is true, but if you are developing a clinetele of investors, who are primarily interested in safety .' will be able to locate quite a few of them who j will cooperate. The important thing to do is to ask for leads. If you don't ask you certainly won't get them. You will also find that you will find some people who will actually enjoy giving and income, you leads. you When you discover after them. a few of these "lead sources" keep- Always tell them how you made out. Get others to you. People like to help if they think they really doing something worthwhile for others. take are interest an Here is customers. a in hint Make that up a pages of prominent names be helpful in obtaining leads from four or five type-written in your community. Ask one of your can list of what you he knows about .<■ about friends who is well-connected if he would be good enough to go over it with you. Take it to him and let him read it over. Once he starts talking let him go. He will become interested in telling this and one, that one, and - before- know it he will be on your team offering names and advice that you never expected to receive. If you have success with any of the people he has talked about be sure and let him know. He ; start calling happened. • indefinite. the probabilities are this period the over¬ all level of net corporate profits when he hears of you a good prospect. - This has - Then there is the "swap lead method." You can make an ar¬ rangement wtih a good insurance man, a lawyer, and an account- : ant. All of these people are selling "service" just as you do., They can use recommendations, too. You can help them to obtain. more business and they can reciprocate. Work this intelligently and it can be very worthwhile. There able to make at this time: First, any program of military expansion is going to impinge on a civilian economy operating close to capacity. The timing and ex¬ tent of source men may constrained jumping to Next .you as the above must and are bit before as far are clubs, friends and social organizations of all kinds that offer opportunities of and investment never to be a The in so finding people who have investments 1 This takes tact. Organizations should getting purposes. But you don't have • pusher in order to find out who is who—just keep your ears open. answer becoming more problems. be used for business and eyes Second, will decline because of restrictions his will taxes important. more gratifying to close with review would to income personal that during adhere move In any event the need for invest¬ meet with failure. compared with short matur¬ ities. The institutional investor to com¬ eventually higher levels. the points of investment significance that come out of such appraisal as well 123 South Street, has been elected a director of E. F. Houghton & Co, Broad prospective phase do of Stein Bros. & Boyce, of the one future as Barclay Director PHILADELPHIA, Pa.—William K. Barclay, Jr., resident partner suggest economy, stocks could mon values. some growth, the problem will by permitting govern¬ ment bonds to drop below par. In the foreseeable period ahead I believe that private investors ought to accept the yield advan¬ tage offered in longer term issues Dow- that the market valuation of to at be resolved the Korean crisis. modern tinue outlook. tax dynamic nomic the ment higher another in in "Before the Perhaps eco¬ stock might have substantially more than Korea" it could be held that long- clusions of did namic and major change in rates. Another period of enforced saving will add to the supply of liquid assets. date, it a tion. strong the stocks. national that the a almost term could sufficient offset to a and Telephone convertibles logical pair. be course current pro¬ peace-type Pacific as a Fourtn, longer term inflationary implications, coupled with a dy¬ face lated e war and war and money in Without dropped it factor fit of from a vent to industries price movements Some comments pre¬ becor. shifts these to gen¬ ac¬ policy which giv^s particular emphasis to longer term factors, sound quality and adequate investment diversifica¬ from crue Aveiage municipals are in order. Here is a good example of right-about- sizable earnings decline if the situation becomes more acute. in issues the on Southern shares. would duction diverse on tionary pressures were pro¬ nounced, our postwar capital re¬ quirements have been satisfied that doub ful these of "straddle" a market. Jones pre¬ eral trend of the stock market and ever Rates mar¬ but longer term call It is possible in a common. However will depend on subse¬ quent war developments. Office equipment, flat glass, installment Interest What about the outlook for in¬ this enigma. course the also chance of being cut. The extent to which dividends may be impaired same companies in supply merchandise to the public, and the better insur¬ ance companies. Perhaps (the to sound priced in the are provide would tions of reasonably close to their vailing interest rate basis, American whenever the of preferreds quality that on and a ket term investment whether we have the circumstances much sacrifice in and However there are some appear to occupy a good "straddle" position for long- Federal tin all industries a that activity in these two major industries. Under to reduce civilian and stand to I be¬ economy profits. others and of war lieve that just about civilian purposes and other meas¬ case bonds a strict a istence we to peacetime outlook. In tion in the allocation of steel for ure entitled strong their seems The stock market often goes to one is time some particularly can be made for a convertible corporate instance position which rea¬ longer extremes the present give these industries some special preference since they also have a balance of favorable attributes in pro¬ as holding. unwarranted on obliga¬ discount, a measure values rail of influence currently or ;,.ves liquor, looking for are we ex¬ Nevertheless others. for savings bonds are more attractive, considering maturities and yielus, than corporate issues. In the could controls adverse an felt have as all- may I ever that marketable governments profits in some cases, and a shortage of raw materials could a early calculations, it would seem the following industries, that price we supporting How¬ or vary Under companies. that pect rayon. taxes course conditions war three-quarters of the 1946-49 av¬ erage would of P. T. E. and higher of impact me foods rubber, paper, in diversified investment accounts for fixed-income Thursday, August 3, 1950 that continued advantages will and wide vari¬ a . the job more difficult but impossible. Finally I believe not ance. Third, the supply of savings snoula operate purposes. mgner industries . make taxes:, Again we cannot make a precise calculation, and the im¬ civilian . in a the is: be Prospect successful Conscious. salesman securities business. in any It is field. the first This is step even' Number 4930 Volume 172 Continued jrom . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . capital, 6 page (453) and that would be the responsibility of the commission because of its regulatory policies. So I feel there is Intangible Factois in Public Utility tion electric over only rates in my and cliearcut the Since the amount of depreciation set aside reduces the rate are if and the community -company base, unable to agree. line has pnilosophy of regulation great deal to do in deter- a mining tne prosperity of a utility. mignt cite as one of the states "I where straightdepreciation could result in with a liberal law the State very lower rate base than observed depreciation, a Last states I prefer to stay out of, ture or tion. rapid The Municipal competi¬ Municipal or growth of local Federally fi¬ utility organiza¬ or I appeared before a nanced electric tne Ohio Legisla- tions is a real threat to the con¬ of several who testi- tinued growth of this industry. year of one as regulatory quires, thaUthe State Commission shall use reproduction cost less observed depreciation in deter- present law. There was a movement to change the law to orig- question inal cost with straight-line depre- students should study this as not impartial an on and decide for or basis yourselves whether is justified this expansion ciation in place of the present law. because in the last analysis the pays the I was glad that the proposal never taxpayer bill, even ing. New York uses original cost got out of the committee as I can though he may get relatively low electric rates under some of these with straight-line depreciation see little advantage in changing back to the time when each par- a favorable utility law that has tax free organizations and think ticular unit of the property was worked as well as this one has in he is coming out ahead of the first put to public use. This is a Ohio. The utilities in Ohio have game. You should study the his¬ much more restrictive philosophy, not misused the' protection this tory of this expansion, get some That same philosophy is followed law gives them, but where they idea of the tremendous number of in several other states, including have been unable to get rates that new projects under consideration Wisconsin. they considered-- necessary in particularly by tax free Federally financed agencies, and form an Another group of states are order for them to obtain new mining the value of utility properties for the purpose of rate-mak- "fair-value'' cause so-called states, do they restrict not be- their valuation to original cost, but, on capital for construction, the law I\as worked in their favor, and rightly so. tne other hand, are not as liberal Ohio. I might cite in that group as Michigan, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, Kansas and there others. consideration given is given other to are states to original consideration but cost, fair-value the In is also including factors reproduction cost. The idea of using original cost is that you should establish the cost of each piece of property as it is put in service and straightline depreciation the time first put then the was That use. is for value determines property public to ra.te-making which the commission purposes on trouble is applied from this that of return. rate a with The original cost valua- tion is that it does not reflect the value or the replacement properties when costs are above original cost. Hence comgoing value of missions this using method tend should Regulation to permit be such as utility to obtain the capital at favorable rates, and if regulation a necessary new money does not do then that, is it not doing the job, because regulation works both ways—not only to prevent a company from earning too much, but also to permit it ™ore . ticular percentage There is is This allowed not to there 6% earn each no is fair. Regulation set given con- does not guarantee earnings; it limits earn- not a floor; it almost is a ceiling. Therefore, analyst should always keep in It ings. is always an mind can that, "it earn; is not what a it is what it can utility keep, that counts. would not allowed be than 6% on original more but cross over into might earn '3V2% cost, and one Ohio, on re- cost. The difference earnings could be production in electric utility an probably earn allowable There enormous. many rate cases have had an have not been in Ohio, and they excellent experience under that law. ' In Ohio With utility arranges rates a communities the serves, ordinances and which are it gen- erally set up for a period of two to ten years. Under that ordinance the town and the utility agree on what rates shall be charged dur- ing this period, and that rate remains in effect unless the company or the town ordinance the disagree during the period or at the end of period. If so, the ordinance matter must then be taken to the State Commission which will then apply the statute requirement of reproduction cost less observed depreciation. There is a wide difference work a operating dishonestly cheat anybody, is between observed straight-line depreciation. and which isn't as as to the wisdom expansion (much competitive to some power is least at with taxpaying a utility) but also whether the great drain on the Federal Treasury for this purpose is justified. You should also consider the ef¬ free tax have tion and partly for these sell to power do irriga¬ or purposes producing power, but in stances built been partly for flood control have not the many of in¬ firm round. year projects should logically their surplus power to local sell utilities instead other facilities deciding the relative one utility stock com¬ of so trying to add as to be able to the loss means utility securities offer the best investment media available. Every time a company is taken over or reduced in size by some tax free agency, the vestment for is denied nies, opportunity life insurance widows trustees, phans, for years to many in¬ come compa¬ and or¬ pension with economic system that very favor¬ able investment medium is re¬ nia moved and in power has in which the competition tremendous a investment producing power facilities only operated are part of a and during the rest of replaced by what? A bureaucracy where the rates may be higher (not lower) in ber a num¬ of cases, the year do not have firm power. Hence they either need steam and where the effi¬ ciency is likely to be less. In the long run nothing will be gained generating facilities or except the loss of nections other year, with some intercon¬ source that has power available in the dry season. We find now in various parts of the country that the gov¬ ernment the or minstrations various or going are power or rural the electric ad- municipalities combinations more and more thereof into the business through the actual construction of competitive highlines, over the territory of private utilities, or the construc¬ tension tion of competitive steam plants supply power in' those periods the hydro facilities cannot supply firm power. to when That is direct competition no matter what term you wish to put it, and it that a untility in such a expansion, in of really power it me the local utility. For example, the Central Valley project in Califor¬ in mind To of the greatest investment oppor¬ tunities we have because I believe funds, savings banks and all through our whole sell utility expansion the existing utilities because an analyst must keep this problem on value instances numerous projects on business, attitude yet in we a not why their and above- as any find other a punitive areas some because tbey utility and not a or are a public steei company a chemical company. .j Regulation differs, as I told you, jn a great many states, and the climate of Regulation is extremely important to the have man advocated agencies, together at who is ina utility. I numerous times, that investors should watch the trend of regulation and should place their money in utilities located where the Regulatory climate is favorable, and should These tem? owned is means and more problem not coopera- tive. Capital is a very illusive thing. It gets the jitters at the slightest pretence. It will run with great place where there to be danger to another where it seems to be better for that capital. If the laws of one state are unfavorable, I can move seems capital from that state merely by selling one utility stock and buying another, and I have taken my part of that capital right out my of that state, That is a I theoretical assumption. haven't are Municipal production few more privately territory limited as a very fine in¬ vestment medium. Nebraska used to have some fine utility investments. In Ne¬ braska today, as I understand it, there is no privately-owned elec¬ tric utility, Puget Sound Power and Light is fighting with its back to the wall. It has to figure on a sellout, and hopes to get enough to pay off its security holders. Why should that be? I am sure I don't know. It just doesn't make to see the I haven't sense. been able that when it is all finished customers will really be get¬ ting cheaper electric power, and unless they do, nobody has really gained except the people having jobs with the Federally-financed agency. to its not to speak of the of comparative rates Here is something I should like have to you get for your library. the things you are done that. I have sold a stock and some other fellow has bought it. But if enough people, followed that course, the utility would be hamstrung in obtaining new equity Competition. by the Power Federal threat there not coming out ther growth expansion is of today to the fur¬ of the electric light and power industry. The indus¬ try has ahead of it continued growth for many years to come. a dynamic industry. We haven't seen the beginning of the is the of electricity. Big dams It is rather useless to talk about various uses to which power might be put, because there are financing. so many. If you look back just Hoover Dam, ten or fifteen years, and see ap¬ like the for electric Roosevelt power, but with administration movement toward came a sion of Federal projects, not only or irrigation, but actual development of for flood control for the of the air; it is States out of the United Treasury. Perhaps a utility has been bought out by some municipality Federal organization, and per¬ haps it is paid for through 100% bond financing, tax-free, of course. The theory is that there is nothing wrong with any of these public power projects being financed with 100% bonds, tax pliances today that weren't even the drawing board then, you free, because Uncle Sam or some idea why this industry revenue authority is behind them, dynamic, and why most com¬ and the Authority is generally panies today are expecting an ex¬ empowered to set rates sufficient pansion of 100% in 10 years as the to take care of interest and sink¬ probable minimum, barring a war. ing funds, so that is quite all right My checks indicate that in spite according to the current thought. get can of an so construction tremendous the Wouldn't it be nice if the utility the companies could be financed with competi¬ last five years, an even larger 100% bonds, tax-free, and pay no by municipalities, REA's and program will be necessary over the income taxes? electric power. In order to understand tion coming on the0 is greater expan¬ debt forth, whether they are in¬ terested in utilities or not, should read it. Government expansion is or Federal TVA, and so forth were designed partly for flood control, water supply or irrigation, and partly the Federal so of which lent themselves because of to of and ernment was originally designed primarily for those large projects size size and because it is the only real question use their the public power Gov¬ the Actually band elec¬ a It, of the a rural with watch for because they must climate is punitive rapidity from isolated agencies municipally owned electric facili¬ ties and set up a competing sys¬ withdraw their money from those states where the regulatory or the trification happening today. up board and honorable are is trying to or reason no vesting his money in In New York to to perfectly good work. They business is company Punished student. The men in upright men, devoting a are lives al- are rate which the Commission siders being utilities their There frequently utilities lowed and to for ^an y°u sl?ould correct, while a par- rate of return, always are 6%. rule not are any general conception that a utilities earn , general in determine to where erally-financed means. are . Punished for being a utility any ... this which of There to what this encroachment of Fed¬ , to permit too low a dollar return Commissions of of fect the *° earn enough tp keep on ex- pared with another. How fast is which arises when a tax-free Fed¬ Mr. J. W. Thomas, President of Texas Electric Service Co. gave Pending. It is that delicate balance competition or state agency supplies spreading in a given eral that makes regulation the dififcult utility's area. How is one utility power alonside a tax-paying pri¬ this address before the American Petroleum Institute. It is called, Pr°blem that it is in some areas, management handling the prob¬ vately owned utility that has to Some commissions seem to feel lem as compared with another? obtain its money through common "The Case History of Federal En¬ croachment on the Electrical In¬ t I their duty is to punish a util- Will the utility lose some of its stock, preferred stock and bonds dustry." I consider it something ^ more than to cooperate with it. best Yet there territory to municipal owner¬ that are not tax free. r*Jier.e no reason why a utility ship. Will local Rural Electric or¬ are instances where, the private you should read. I think" the speech made by Mr. shuukl be punished for being a ganizations financed with Federal utility is able to offer a rate al¬ ^ w.f have evidences of funds and paying no Federal in¬ most as low or as low as the Thomas, with its accompanying j-hat philosophy lt^. various direc¬ come taxes be allowed to invade publicly-financed project in spite charts should be read by every¬ because it tlons> including actions of our own the certainly gives of all the advantages which might one territory of a hard working, government. This is something tax paying proof of what has been going on, obtain in that situation.' privately owned util¬ I hope sometime you folks will and I believe those who are in¬ Jat you should give considerable ity, run transmission lines across in thought to because there is no its territory, public utilities and have a chance to really give some terested buy power from reas.°n why a utility should be Federal or State thorough consideration to this those who are interested in taxes to their utilities. required opinion not only extent pe¬ These —Federal You statute There That brings me to the next item fied in behalf of retention of the the very a policies. re- where Ohio of stock, a differentiation. because of unfavorable you can see committee regulatory work there is ' Tne the flood power around. year direct rela¬ a climate and the value of are commissions which have authority between going to be empty in riods, it cannot supply 25 Federal must have a Government, program you understanding, of each individual good we next five. visited little have had over The companies I have for the most part have Generally speaking, commissions don't have the any state con¬ capacity today. One trol over rates or financing of with over these Federal or state authorities. project, and most people don't large city company even know the names of them not 900,000 kilowatts of capacity can Perhaps it is going a little far to to speak of the purpose or size not even shut down an 80,000 kilo¬ say that they are a law unto or what it is going to do for or watt generator for repairs because themselves, but I merely mention the power demand is so great. against an existing utility. it in these words to prove a point, I had hoped the industry would It stands to reason that if a dam as I think it is worth thinking is developed to hold back flood catch its breath, but it has just about. water, it must have an empty res¬ barely caught up to demand in There is no place in an economy construction ervoir when the flood comes. If the program. The like ours for competition and du¬ it doesn't have an empty reservoir, money needs are going to be great, plication of electric facilities be¬ then it doesn't have flood control. but if after the money is obtained, cause there isn't sufficient proof If it does it can't produce power some Federally financed agency that it reduces rates enough or because there isn't water to turn comes along and wants to run a helps anybody enough to justify line across the water wheel. your territory, and its cost. If you could prove that Those are the fundamental con¬ starts competing, it sort of takes a large city could take over its siderations in deciding whether or the heart out of the investors. local utility and operate it on sub¬ not a project is for flood control Management will stand and stantially lower rates with equiva¬ or for electric power. It seems to fight off this unjustified inva¬ lent taxes and if this city could and I must say that the me, and I think you will agree, sion get the money on a proper basis, that is a sort of simple way to industry is doing a wonderful job Cnntimiprl nn. rtn.flP. 26 figure it out. If the reservoir is in trying to educate the people as purpose excess 26 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (454) Continued jrom page team; it is a team of men working together for a purpose, for a goal, to better a company in every way. Management has several groups Intangible Factors in Public Utility Analysis great many people would a person might argue in favor of it, but I don't know of any cases where this type of competition has resulted in lower rates on a strictly comparable tax basis or where the taking over by «nd if be a aided, municipality under exactly the same accounting conditions has n benefited the rate payer. the first place, In to make the situation comparable, they should taxes equal to the taxes paid the utility. Otherwise, you pay by I Now, the next item in the in¬ tangible Revenue ifloes that of Characteristics, the From is factors utility cession. What customers. cutomers? money? kind of Residential customers, factories, stores, garages, etc. But what for kind of customers utility? a best are Which revenue classification turns out to be the best? The place where the aver¬ age utility derives a large part of its revenue is from residential, rural, and commercial customers. The best group of customers is the residential group. On the average provide about 30% to 35% they •of revenues. the Their stable most and largest growth of There revenues reflect industrial of cus¬ peak in 1929 and declined for four years. Revenues tomers reached a of commercial customers reached a "As has not increased, -depression. kwh. has the The average rate per declined so that even in spite of all the higher costs of construction, electric rates on the average are the low¬ history of the industry -—about 2% cents average, with an average use of around 1,700 kilo¬ watt hours per residential cus¬ was .stable the is much greater than and is becoming just as use or even more stable than The the domestic cus¬ commercial, 23.7; tomers 31.9." and noted at the beginning of we the recession just pattern as Therefore, I feel same of an exactly the had before. examination classifications revenue is we very one of a important in try¬ recession- might be compared to another. of cost If a company obtains from revenues 50% industrial of cus¬ tomers, it probably will not have as strong a recession-resistant position as one that only gets 30% from industrial customers and the rest from residential, chines, and for all kinds of around the farm. ma¬ power The fact that it next factor, and the last intangible factors, of the so-called is Management. You may ask why I put management last when per¬ versification. in These may be per¬ impor¬ tant, but I don't mean to detract for a minute from the importance a sense more in most states that is not quite as dependable—stores and offices and so forth. It tends to fluctu¬ ate according tions. to business condi¬ Revenue from commercial customers, show may fluctuation but if between 50% revenues in the and use and to have wider a company has 60% of total residential, rural commercial going a group, you are a company that ahould show high recession resist¬ ance in its earnings. In March, 1949, I made parison of the various revenue customer groups 20-year period, and then of what happened a com¬ trends of to over a a study various groups of customers in the depress of some diffi¬ our use them, just overlapping have done. I hope am you mind, Professor Ricciardi, if I make a few suggestions. I keep track of as a because is like I happening to Labor costs. fuel con¬ fact that the wasn't customer given just consideration in some cases, and it was a wonderful for chance to it. else someone That isn't to try but fuel offer costs turn from coal to natural gas, the low of cost hydro also, power in times of good water is very helpful true today. I in reducing fuel costs. Most compa¬ into very nies have adopted fuel clauses, many areas and prove that some¬ particularly for the large users, one else can do the job better. I where if coal rises above a certain just don't think so. Not on a level, an additional charge for fuel do don't think you can strictly go comparable accounting is assessed against the user. basis. Today I believe the percentage Management has to satisfy the customer, the employee, the stock¬ holders, the regulatory authori¬ the financial people. If a company has poor employee re¬ lations, it generally will be a ties, and company that is having from other directions. Not but quite often. I trouble; always, don't mean strikes, but if there is evidence of difficulties over a period of time with employees, you will general¬ of carried gross about 12% to where they are where taxes to Due to the many a utility is regulated, because it has fixed rates, and because it that the money just rolls in, and the company runs itself, don't ever discount the may holding company have occurred in recent years the number of in¬ dividual creased many stockholders has tremendously and stockholders don't in¬ great a know much about their company or the management. Numerous manage¬ are doing a good job in get¬ ting acquainted with their stock¬ and working with them. holders There is seem a wide field for further work. I have been extremely im¬ pressed with the way utility agement is working with stockholders. is of these manage¬ really something to be A utility president is man many- week have to deal with cus¬ tomers, employees, and regula¬ tory authorities, financial men and stockholders and keep them all happy. The work in most com¬ panies is generally divided, among a staff of gated to men with handle duties dele¬ these different problems. I think the utilities have done excellent job. As a matter of fact, I believe, the pension funds provided for employees of utilities today are far ahead of any other industry. I think utility employees in general are very well paid and well taken care of, and most of them have lifetime positions, an (which isn't true of most indus¬ tries), because the industry's earnings stability tends to pro¬ vide steady jobs. Utility em¬ ployees are a preferred group of full return on a gas. Regulation doesn't guarantee earnings; it is a ceiling on earn¬ ings, and economic conditions can change the earnings of a public utility to a point where regulation can help very little. Just look at street-car companies and what happened to them, or look at bus lines and the hard time they have had making a go of it. That is about all, gentlemen. I will be glad to try to answer any questions you may care to ask. I really believe in the utility indus¬ It is a wonderful industry. It a great future if it is given has now. chance even an what it show to Its do. pected that many utilities will be permitted to increase rates com¬ But it has to have the power even to pump the water. you lower percentage of a carried to It common. with mensurate that taxes rise, the could increase occur in the over dividends, it is needs be to watched something might be able company might not control costs. Hence a to pretty low might result. some Other tant for because along that revenues ad¬ come will affect the gross versely and factor that a common which ratios earnings impor¬ are the depreciation deducted are tax can I you will decide to study utility industry more. I am if you do you will find it fascinating, and gradually you hope the sure will that this is are impor¬ very tant. I run by men who are sincere, able and energetic. They devoting their life to the work are of supplying essential one other comment to make before I stop. I have talked about the electric industry be¬ it is the know I one the about, but there are other phases of the public utility in¬ dustry which are large and have different characteristics. In for an the manufactured gas field, example, many companies had experience much worse than electric most labor and companies. fuel costs of companies also showed erable a the increase, While electric consid¬ cost of manufactured gas rose so sharply in the years 1947 and 1948 that many red. four companies were in Die Brooklyn Union alone had increases rate in two — but also costs wage skyroc¬ I think they had three wage in¬ in there about creases over years. Although the cost of four gas went up and rates were increased sharply, there amount a is a company limit can to enable them tax free bonds to yet the are the lowest history in spite of all the charge rates lower that increases taken have Compare the labor needed place. kwh. per rates, they charge in their owned in produced utilities owned financed no tion free and tax no agencies Instead doing a I bonds. that doing not are job. tax exemp¬ find will you rates their Compare after allowing for think privately municipally vs. Federally or agencies. these better a they probably job. Compare and worse are then decide. I think you will de¬ cide in favor owned business of the privately managed tax pay¬ ing utilities. I years. keted. an lowest the at possible cost. Their companies pay their full share of taxes they no benefits of tax exemption gas Not only did fuel costs rise sharp¬ ly the people with service have cost have down to earth every¬ a day business to stock ratios its as companies in their territories will be impressed by the fact you or mon over I am. As you the managements and visit meet the with compared purposes enthusiastic become prospects just that in the annual report. Also in the balance sheet debt and com¬ to hope I have been able to prove you ible that the so-called intang¬ of factors territory, regula¬ tory climate, revenue diversifica¬ tion, Federal petion, or municipal comand management other considerations are certain more im¬ the charge for utility service. Regulation workers. That certainly becomes does not guarantee earnings. A deci¬ important in a depression. You great many companies were ap¬ sions on a great many things, find the same group working proaching the point of diminish¬ every day and if you want a year after year, and they probably ing returns, where a higher rate definition of management, that is have had only a small wage did not produce higher earnings. the only one I know. Every day cut, if they had any, even in a Just because we have a favor¬ management decides a number of depression. That makes a big dif¬ able trend for a period doesn't things, and in so deciding deter¬ ference. mean that utilities are mines the policy. Those decisions always Management in its policies can make the policy this way or that either make a utility a wonderful going to be profitable. You have these conditions develop where way, not by some sudden decision company or it can retard it. In made to apply in the next few general the managements of the an industry that was profitable months, but a lot of decisions various operating companies in can be very badly hurt, even made in many directions every the temporarily, and the industry today are exception¬ though day. ally good. I am not competent to stocks go down just as badly as if they were going to stay down. I don't know whether you ever speak of any other industry, so thought of it in that light, but I don't think I should compare Why is natural-gas booming so? that is what it is. Management managements, but I must say that Because through the use of natural isn't one man. Management is a I feel that these utility officers gas you have a fuel that is avail¬ necessity of management. Management represents its in¬ on forties, but next try. most a because he may in the natural 4% or the gross is not ex¬ have cause commended. in opportunities for ex¬ pansion seem almost limitless. The country is more dependent on electric power today than any other item except, perhaps, water. new I think the cooper¬ attitude ative man¬ 3% over it will make year is Of course, will either have to have an offsetting per¬ centage of higher rates or you will mon divestments which large Eastern utility didn't make vestment taxes common with 15% their in¬ on get a 25% rate reduction. not are trollable, the One what reve¬ various possibilities for control. Some areas have been able to from stem may full return a labor to costs earn vestment. and operating of percent nues to find of and revenues, the payroll as the operating the fuel expenses percentage a once Why? Because Co¬ lumbia Gas is supplying it with natural gas and the large Eastern utility has gone on straight natu¬ ral gas. As the change from manufactured to natural gas is ac¬ complished, every customer will REA's same Management is still an extreme¬ ly important thing. Just because The commercial of price much lower than for heating purposes, suddenly all these utilities, they get natural gas, are able a other fuels use. don't you the is I already you what that some that few a perhaps I on are local into account. of management. are electrified. think in Michigan and Wiscon¬ sin and that area about 97% of all the farms are electrified. because that and com¬ There to Perhaps and to Item No. 6—Finan¬ as culties due to Federal power and sided pays off is proved by merely ex¬ amining the percentage of farms existence perhaps forth. That feature must be taken haps ways, milking, in employees. The customer, ments for cooling, the rural, and commercial users, and perhaps a small amount of power sales to municipalities for street lighting or to other companies and so ritory, regulation, Federal or local competition, and the revenue di¬ milk company isn't in because of a stock¬ the is pany being in company The existence or the ments conditions occasioned by the ter¬ annual some the he able at and Now, ly find trouble in other directions. next year. a oneDuring the war we had some The management's responsibil¬ sharp recession, we had the of gross same pattern, and again in the ity to stockholders is always im¬ pretty low percentages Spring of 1949 wnen general busi¬ portant in the utility field. Many carried to the net, due to excess ness began to decline, industrial companies have been owned in profits taxes. Since this ratio is the margin of protection for com¬ revenues began to fall off sharply, the past by holding companies. month's pay to a hired man. The farms have really gone elec¬ tric. They use it in many one for served; for criti¬ 1939 when there was In elec¬ group being the wonderful job, room cism. year farms is less than because electricity is replacing the hired man. for revenues; haps it should be the most im¬ portant, but, as I told you before, management has to deal with the residential tricity for accounted total of The Farm in¬ the of revenues section dustrial 30.5% tomer. it 1929 ing to determine how today, est in the "In resistant in staggered decline, the effect on total earn¬ ings was much less severe than it might otherwise have been. the year even this of result a year a company in the last twenty-five or thirty when the average use of elec¬ tricity by residential customers a peak in 1930, are any group. has been never attention and "Revenues the Where its get is is is He gives it strong recession-resistant for the utility being characteristics. A study of reve¬ formed. The utility is created to nue of three principal groups re¬ supply him. veals important variations in rate Some managements in the past of decline during a business re¬ have failed to see this too clearly, compare lic power. When it is made, I will be glad to be shown. know, but I just want to call first. reason has not been made for pub¬ case you holder later than the industrial group, and declined for three years. However, sales to residential users, the most profitable group of the three, trended upward for two years af¬ ter the depression began and did with one that must sell taxable not reach their peak until 1931. bonds, preferred stock and com¬ They declined for only two years mon stock? Yet in many cases the and then only moderately. There¬ privately owned utility operates under that burden and still charges after, all three groups recovered together. low rates. I claim that a sound the rates. How can you compare the rates charged by a tax-free organization with one that has to pay taxes, or the rate of an organization obtaining its money through tax-free bonds never can person is existence. business which the electric power Ratios. reason unusual feature of an cial who from this study: "There is cus¬ satisfy at all times. The tomer sion and which stood out well. will quote are really doing a and there is little to 25 Thursday, August 3, 1950 ... portant in the analysis of a utility security than the published income balance statement and not, asking start sheets. questions If now, and let's see if I can't clear up any uncertainties. Philip B. Flaherty With Kerr t Bell (Special to The Financial Chronicle) LOS ANGELES, Calif.—Philip Flaherty has become associated Kerr & Bell, 210 West 7th Street, members of the Los An¬ geles Stock Exchange. In the past B. with he Co. was an officer of Fairman & Volume 172 Number 4930 Continued from .. . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle that 3 page (455) has lasted decade, with public "swim¬ ming in a sea of liquidity" (some $250 billion in cash-like assets, not counting the surrender value business Economics of "Little Pearl of Harbor"—Short-Term Outlook with which the latter is threaten¬ ing—should national create emergency). situation tax fresh of sense a In high a burdens are flationary momentum. In the first place, the conversion of industry to war-time production and its expansion necessitate an appreci¬ subject to able increase in fresh investments. For a year or so, this sort of un¬ avoidable extension of facilities— political issues, During this election year, at any rate, new taxes are virtually cer¬ tain to lag behind the rapidly mounting expenditures. The safest is bet the reimposition of profits excess if tax, stiff a only after elections. A , and abroad—will have bank credit and enhances the supply; it absorbs raw ma¬ terials, especially of the "scarce" and it diverts labor. Steel money Savings the best is next Bond device output, stepped as steel mills to be coming home redemption, precluding the possibility of truly long-term is¬ sues at higher interest rates for the investor's portfolio). It may be for shipped to Brazil. Oil consumption is jikely to sky¬ rocket; special housing demands of the President suggests. Other¬ wise, its success can be a limited one only, given the public's ex¬ perience with halved purchasing after the last power Which leaves war. substantial a mar¬ gin for deficit financing through bank credit. As conservative a and optimistic assumption, it may be set at a tentative $5 billion for the first year of the Korean Era. But that budgetary "gap" does not actual the measure intensity of the inflationary threat. The be¬ havior of prices will depend on factors more than ment's deficit the govern¬ the next twelve months such a ture is the stimulus faster or slower the on decline Balls thing, one hinges in Moth State Welfare For civilian of output tures on federal element in that picture. Far more important is the combined volume of lavish mortgage guarantees, which do not appear in the na¬ tional budget, of consumer loans and of municipal projects. All three face the certainty of being deflated, but in no hurry: credits already granted and ventures under way are permitted to take their and course new to be As only. gradually stopped ones a matter of fact, we are moving leisurely; thus far, the "deflation" of credit subsidies, e.g., consists in orders to the Housing Adminis¬ tration to raise its down-payment requirements on guaranteed mort¬ slightly above the present average of 15.9%; and to the Vet¬ gages Administration erans' 5% cash demand to each mortgage. on residential building speculative type But permits of the are falling off several For and civilian months, constructions will run concurrently, causing short¬ ages in steel, metals, lumber, wool, rubber, etc. However, pretty soon, the Welfare State will have to give way, more or military less, to the Garrison State. That, per se, of the of be must should relieve a great deal heat. Allocating inflationary materials by priorities and ration¬ ing, seizing of inventories, closing even a mines President is asking from Congress (instead of starting seriously with he is expenditures); Welfare not likely unless with get them to all important limitations. The Inflationary Momentum But controls — than to words," inflationary their reduce efficacy pros¬ in raising iff"" Psychology demand need not exceed gregate the supply of extent as minor surge in the to U. goods cause of S. such to an than more domestic if so, the addi¬ once tional income and corporate taxes requested by the Administration.) The is'lhat trouble of matter this is not supply-demand a arith¬ metics of a static type. At least dynamic factors complicate the general price'outlook, which do not fit into the simple equation two the of so¬ the of If an ounce of experience proverbial weight, a ton might outweigh all presi¬ it dential sermons ization attempts. World and price stabil¬ prices several rea," the since weekly 168.9 with having incident the began. The index is ap¬ 1948 prospect of no Ko^- accelerated all-time July, risen "before has wholesale in Boom months trend the level it. To money. " quantity , with, what about lying down the of living, its index begin labor? Will it take rising cost nearing 1948 the record high of early (174.5% average)? of Wage Mr. as The high of (1926=100), immediate an the 1936-1939 rates rising incessantly, ip one industry another; by .^November, the demand and prevail situation in decrease dollars. of-Big Steel mature. and Manpower are the pattern for automatic boosts: ures "productivity" by top on standards. of cost Feted of at, the pay meas¬ living time masterpiece of industrial states¬ manship, it will turp out to be a mechanism to set the vicious cost- price circle into motion. To will it be most a 'task. V biggest could as be a in their from riences. We large is of We "controls." now entered the last requirements will not be as large as some people had expected according to "The Iron Age," national metalworking weekly, in its current survey of the steel trade. Under the regular budget for this year they will take only 1.6% of total steel production. The extra $10.5 billion voted for military pur¬ poses will add about 3 to 5%, making a total of 4.6 to 6.6% of total steel output needed for defense. that total steel needs for security at home and aid abroad will not exceed 10% of total steel production, this trade authority notes. Moreover, the huge battle and merchant fleets, which took large tonnages of steel during World War II, will be brought out as needed. So will the defense plants thus eliminat¬ ing the necessity for large tonnages of steel for these purposes of moth balls unless is and con¬ unemployed, capacities, and a the peace-time and mobilization war far beyond that which planned. Voluntary allocation of steel will assure quick shipment of military needs and still leave enough steel to operate the civilian economy on a high level. They can also be placed in op¬ eration quickly, with a minimum of red tape, "The Iron Age" all declares. _ Mandatory steel controls not only aren't needed at this time, but would cause a deal of unnecessary confusion. They would delay the immediate war effort by a month or more. A priority doesn't get steel; it is only a "hunting license." We learned that during the last war, when valuable time was lost cutting through the duplication and red tape, this trade paper hard way adds. a Freight in payable face total we now the could become cars bottleneck. a A serious short¬ car age, potentially the worst in history, is developing. The situation is likely to become worse before it gets better, and mandatory effective in as ...tW industrial „ Aug. 1, day and Sunday. The point is that for some time rail, the rations. terials, steel In market if only from of the demand side,- plus stockpiling, replenishment and in¬ inventory creased meantime, world upward bound, raw material consumption Global inflation—in just not terms, cur¬ rencies—while strengthening the gold and dollar reserves of the soft-currency countries, will fan the fire of Also, we are bound (or not gain what to lose we and other products, "The Iron Age" concludes. scrap American Iron and This steel week's ingots 1,892,900 and at operating rate is equivalent to castings and tons week a production amounted "profiteers," other than They have most to gain, greatest Canada. tion and from their present low levels of exports. politically armament!), too, increasingly Roosevelt it as evident policy of great nations from lying on (re¬ becomes the that blotting the two map, Russia's eternal blunder est was 1,765,200 to tons; the a rate year ago to 92.6% was it stood Attains Fresh New Historical a electrical energy distributed by the electric industry for the week ended July 29, was esti¬ 6,190,098,000 kwh., according to the Edison Electric at 4,396,000 kwh. higher than the figure reported for the or 12.2% above the total output July 30, 1949, and 837,659,000 kwh. in excess of the output reported for the corresponding period two years ago. previous week, 671,613,000 kwh., for the week ended Carloadings Higher in Latest Week Loadings of revenue freight for the week ended July 22, 1950, totaled 829,884 the preceding The according cars, This Railroads. was an the Association of American 40,616 cars or 5.1% above to of increase week. total week's represented an increase of 111,368 cars, or in 1949, but a decrease of 15.5% above the corresponding week 52,245 cars, or 5.9% below the comparable period in 1948. re¬ based on the great¬ responsible any ago tons of compared power Auto peace friendship, of amount com¬ They will gain month A 1,919,600 industry, Institute. produc¬ militarily and The It was be the entire the High Record come. may steel ij mated Germany and Japan for ago. Electric Output light and sumably for years to this week 81.3%, and 1,498,800 tons. gold be thoroughly "duration," pre¬ announced rise of 1.4 points. ago, or a otherwise), and the open market price of gold is likely to go up. The pattern of inter¬ for the Institute Steel making capacity for the entire industry will be 100.7 % of capacity for the week beginning July 31, 1950, compared to 99.3% a week would have trade will Satur¬ heavy shipments of iron and steel products by shortage has been aggravated by heavy grain move¬ shipments of coal, sand, gravel, construction ma¬ gained -distorted over that the operating rate of steel companies having 94% of the domestic inflation. our car The dol¬ in local held cars ments and large are because this abroad. lar the prices demurrage penalty for a In addition to the Western World will be lagging behind the U. S. in war prepa¬ statesman has ever committed. Output Rises Due to Higher Scheduling to "Ward's Automotive Reports" the past week, production in the United States and Canada rose estimated total of 194,828 units, compared with the previ¬ According motor to an ous vehicle week's total of increase (revised) 187,339 units. attributed to higher scheduling was by Kaiser- Arthur Newfield Is "in new Plymouth operations were With Shields & Co. (Special LOS A. to has Street. our era of boom, one formerly ment & become Mr. associ¬ Co., 510 West Newfield was manager of the invest¬ department of A. W. Morris Co. and and prior thereto was a Thomas R. Peirsol, Jr., former¬ affilated with Shields & Co. of 157,064 built in the United States and a total of Business Commercial week ended Continue Failures and July 27 industrial from 170 Downward failures declined the preceding in to Trend 160 in the week, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports. Casualties fell slightly below the com¬ parable 1949 total of 168 but remained above the 98 which oc¬ curred in the similar week of 1948. Continuing considerably below the prewar level, failures were down 45% from the 291 of 1939. recorded in the corresponding week Manufacturing and retailing accounted for the week's partner in Newfield & Co. ly with Fabian & Co., is also output for the current week was made up 28,299 trucks 6,904 cars and 2,561 trucks built in Canada. The Financial Chronicle) ated with Shields & Sixth Total cars ANGELES, Calif.—Arthur Newfield Studebaker and hindered by wildcat strikes. Frazer, Nash, Chevrolet, Buick and Ford trucks. expe¬ million accomplish (mobilization in the midst of the greatest to of this imports exports well as capacity. by is very dif¬ depression Capacity steel terials Com¬ II enter Military loading and shipping rules are a possibility if the picture doesn't improve. The Interstate Commerce Commission has ordered, over- it War excess bones." con¬ Current - World 10 43,883 for the first six months of 1949 by 19.5%. Steel Operations Scheduled to Rise to 100.7% of The with the past are mis¬ the problem the people of the U; S. face organized during the first aggregate of 52,438, which exceeded the an • before, unless favorite ferent The con¬ *' bureaucrats bolster parisons leading: it substantial a S. of stock corporations the countries short of dollars will profit greatly, Canada above all, because of her strength in strategic raw ma¬ commodity hoarding passing phenomenon,, it has been zealous which difficult unknown behavior. of trend to circumstances. be U. The number as a trol like part Evidently, are bound to develop. And, last spring General Motors set the will increase paratively will would An obvious consequence after shortages of 1st in due supply under of course, contract the hoarding and inventory replenishment; at any rate, it dis¬ counts the disproportion between almost labor is less July still Truman rise against only four that showed year-to-year losses during May. Foreign aid programs, including the Marshall Plan and Mil¬ itary Aid Program, will require not more than 4%. This means Market Wholesale for Industiy ber of stock company formations in June this year than a year ago, national traditional theory" of and ago of war. has a prices (Especially Congress enacts at and down the in¬ the 1 . Arithmetics vs. The upshot of the pros and cons that in the short run, the ag¬ is fiscal not circle phisticated economists, that come what may, prices double after commodity prices. automatic slow fairly satisfied. reasonably well balanced by circumstances which decade monetary, "physical"—may more combined may appear flict with artificial, reductions) durables, at least sumer plants converting reducing of efforts, and imports (bolstered and tightening of export curbs, a to video factories), automobile plants to tank production, etc., may com¬ plete the job—later on. Full pow¬ ers to do just that, also to clamp down price ceilings, are what the gold Moreover, should suffice to keep the civilian demand for perishables and semi- The "unessential" channels. hours tariff by with output military moderate lengthening increase of an national diverted, into working (from down total related and others sharply. decade a panicky not construction consumption. expendi¬ housing, etc., is a minor of edge, non-existent beyond an esoteric 20% civilian for amount investors, and every else has acquired: the knowl¬ consumers, stabilization, and being reversed to activities and of the capital goods The "short The State of Tiade and half of 1950 reached one 5 page ities strained by full employment. The worst of it is the outlook that run," military pic¬ likely to deteriorate to the point of total mobilization. Therefore, not moire than, say, pects The For so. or from as proaching In other financing alone. etc., All these considerations refer to turned into virtual forced savings, as kind arise, temporary a etc. Continued corresponding amount was in 1939), with prices rising, and with productive facil¬ example, has to be with a 6 million ton boost under way, and capacity are the an (given the fact that Mr. Morgenchickens than up, thau's - a three-fold effect: it calls for more type; reinvigorated drive at home a the policies, about four times larger keenest pressure-group bickering. prime life and 27 mortality. increased Both wholesaling slightly, while a and more drop in commercial service casualties marked rise occurred in con- now Continued on page 28 , 28 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (456) Continued from New England The State of Trade and Industry Northwest and tO The Pacific only States showed in other regions Rises wider number of com¬ modities lifted the Dun & Bradsteet wholesale food price index iast week to a new high since Oct. 5, 1948, when it stood at $6.51. figure at $6.49 was up 1.2% over last week's $6.41, and compared with $5.73 a year ago for a rise of 13.3%. The July 25 items included in the index moved higher during the week; only five declined. Lower in price were beef, hams, bellies, coffee and potatoes. of the 31 The index represents 31 foods in general use. the sum total of the price per pound of It is not a cost-of-living index. Commodity Price Index Shows Moderate Improvement moderately the past week al¬ though movements in individual commodities were somewhat irregular. The daily wholesale commodity price index, compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., closed at 280.22 on July 25, comparing with 276.48 a week earlier, and with 238.16 on the corresponding The date a general price level rose unsettled with prices irregular to that of a week previous. Wheat futures sold at new seasonal peaks and the cash market was strong, aided by good elevator interest. There was active buying by mills influenced by recent heavy sales of flour. Export demand for wheat continued rather slow. Primary market re¬ Leading grain markets and trading equal ceipts of wheat continued to increase seasonally. The outlook for Spring wheat crop improved both in the United States and Canada as the result of good moisture conditions. All future deliveries of corn reached new high ground for the season during the week. Cash corn was quite steady with a fairly active demand the Prospects for the new corn crop were recent rains over j>ome dry areas. The cash oats market declined rather sharply under pressure of increasing new crop supplies. noted from Cocoa processors values and elevator interests. improved somewhat by to rose new highs for the season under good support combined with short covering and commission house buying. Offerings from primary markets continued on a limited basis. Demand for coffee was somewhat dealer manufacturer and slower. Spot prices were quite firm while the futures market was unsettled by fears of price maintained Lard the both in Strength under controls. the and raw exceptionally refined sugar markets was world-wide demands. heavy prices advanced steadily to reach new high ground for market for the However, season. fresh pork developed weaker undertone due to consumer resistance against recent which a high This was reflected in slower demand for live hogs around $1.25 per hundred pounds from recent asking prices. quite pronounced. 12% took place. For the year to date 1950, an increase of highest level in three years on market attributed to prospects of was comparatively small crop, persistent demand for cotton goods and the inflationary aspects surrounding the country's economic -situation. Sales of cotton in the 10 spot markets expanded to a in the with 106,300 the pre¬ Mill buying week a year ago. same improvement in the South¬ better and export demand showed west. totaling 215,700 bales in the week ended July 13, compared with 172,000 in the preceding week. 2,385,600 active and strong with Withdrawals for the season through mid- totalled July bales. many Cotton textile markets remained constructions offered at levels con¬ Trade Volume Soars Strength of Anticipated Shortages on which expenditures, defense impose we now when dollar volume rose Wednesday of last week and appreciably in the period moderately above the was level for the corresponding week a year ago, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports in its current summary of trade. Accessories choppers as small by the volume of apparel increased noticeably last week. and furnishings were eagerly sought Among women's items, hosiery and undergarments were in demand; ready-to-wear suits and dresses were bought in less sizable volume. The interest in men's wear was considerable •about a on seasonal footwear and The level except for such lines as sport shirts, haberdashery. retail dollar sales Increasing prices for some of food products rose noticeably in the week; were partly responsible for the rise. The buying of meat practically unchanged, while dairy products and eggs were sought in growing quantities. There was '.an increased demand for many kinds of fresh, as well as canned, produce; the volume of frozen foods continued to rise. The retail purchasing of soft drinks and ice cream increased seasonally. There sold was a marked was rise in the volume of housefurnishings last week; much of the increase was in large appliances. Other items bought in fairly increased amounts were floorcoverings, furniture, draperies and television sets. The demand for lamps housewares and small electrical appliances rose sub¬ stantially in some Defe se Costs a d a Total retail dollar volume in the period ended on Of last week was estimated to be from 5 to 9% above other attacks, . a in increase drastic and prompt prove without inadequate taxes., "The fiscal policies have suffi¬ we would recommended not ciently eliminate the inflationary threat. There would be delay in increase Federal of tax col¬ in the meantime government spending would con¬ lections, and siderably exceed Treasury re¬ There is also the danger ceipts. that businessmen and consumers engage in panicky buying. "Further restraint upon civilian may for goods through through credit for construction. Adminis¬ to credit, tightening and of measures tighten loans should now be the control of have been taken terms insured, residential on guaranteed, or made by the government. Further legislation is needed to tighten both governmental In addition, private and policies. lending further controls should lished be estab¬ specula¬ commodity over tion. "In addition to fiscal and credit ® and policy, it is important to recognize must we be should now steps now. national imum economic power indefinitely" Council The statement "This in of con- regarding public policy the current situa- the light of tion: "First, these policies should be to bring about a quick in production. Such an increase is essential not only to increase supply our military requirements, but also to meet the essential needs of our and essential growing population, civilian stantially needs have other uses. Hoarding must not be tolerated, nor can to over allow needed scarce materials for used be nonessential pur- poses. "Third, provide threat public policies should protection against the of a new An inflation. increase of $10 billion in military appropriations, coming at a time when our economy is already operating at near-maximum levels, will greatly increase demand for goods and for labor, thus putting pressure on our price and wage structure. A sharp and continued rise in prices and wages at this time would not only enlarged of 1948 = budget re- business. "In our judgment, the economy TABLE half the ceipts. The acceleration of economic activity, resulting from the expansion of defense preparation, is hurrying the enlargement of production and employment and accordingly the growth of tax revenues. The imperative need now is to provide additional sources of revenue, to cover the new defense and related expenditures as rapidly as possible, Such a program will help to curb inflationary forces (a) by restricting the enlargement of the money supply, and (b) by reducing the buying power of consumers and 100, seasonally Constant Prices adjusted! half half Second half 1950—First prices 100.0 101.6 100.5 100.6 100.0 105.1 101.7 100.6 104.9 half 1949—First Constant prices Period— Second half* 103.9 106.1 quarter ♦Estimates Source: quarter* based on incomplete Department of Commerce compul¬ not only in increases cost from areas data; by Council and Council of of these and these limited outward economy. It spreading to 104.1 103.5 104.9 of Economic Advisers. Economic Advisers. essential commodities, excessive prevent inven¬ tory accumulation." The Nation's Economic Budget As the climax of its Council of presented called as Report, the Economic a Advisers of summary its so- Nation's Economic Budget, follows: "The of and goods $268 billion 1950 rate at the was services at This is in the of 5% midyear 1949. not over-all, second producing a rate of per year. neighborhood had in economy quarter changed the above the Since prices significantly dollar increase ap¬ proximately reflects the real in¬ in economic second a Current 1948—First a program, to assure adequate military sup¬ ply, but also to prevent price and crease 16 Indexes of Gross National Product, Current and [First On requires side, this means that we through the whole should seek to reduce the size of will not be enough, in this con¬ the cash deficit substantially or, nection, to establish a program better still, to remove it entirely, which enables the military to pro¬ For the maintenance of a large cure promptly the materials which deficit creates and aggravates in- it needs. This alone would only flationary pressures in a time aggravate competitive bidding by like this. The economy is strong other users. The inevitable rise in enough to bear the burden of prices would move into the costs financing the needs which have of production of most producers of now been outlined, without deficit goods and services. The program financing and extensive increases should therefore provide for limi¬ tation of nonessential use. This in the money supply, "Before the north Korean at- would reduce the total demand to tack, the domestic economy was match the supply. There should moving into a range of national also be the power to requisition income which would have sub- hoarded or unnecessary supplies prin- basic three broad prompts elusions pressures. This allocation fiscal these public pol- icy: ciples sory flationary states then conclusions regarding weeks. "The first and most important of these is to use fiscal and credit policies to the fullest extent feasible for the restraint of in- toward directed developing and maintaining max- Wednesday year ago. will recommended, . Second a applied im¬ Discussing the economic effects that pressures in specific areas be of the proposed increases m de- will far exceed the pressures upon prepared to meet them no matter fense expenditures, the report the economy generally. Shortages already exist with respect to some how long may be the period be- declares: fore full peace is established. "We find firm ground for be- of the essential elements of a mil¬ "Economic policy must now be lieving that it will be possible to itary program. The prices of some adjusted to the prospect of this make and maintain substantial of these commodities have risen much more rapidly than average long pull. If the pull proves to be enlargements in these expendishort, we shall lose little by being tures without resorting to all of prices during the first half of this prepared; if it proves to be long, the controls of a war economy, year, and some price increases have been accelerated in recent we shall gain much. Our efforts But we must take some important be First districts. being woefully oic major war, but there may other alarms and possibly avoid domestic on consumers; mandate the hardships it would weaken our whole economy and would impede our military effort." will not of the United Nations has been enforced in Korea, We are striving to undertaking, are end we on program the from page 9 Strength With Flexibility First Need of Economy, Council Says Nation-wide retail ended combination toward this end. The of other restraints, now building priority assurances strongly that some of methods should be trative of surpluses in many consumers' items, anticipatory buying continued unabated in scattered communities. Despite cannot urge too consumer "Second, public policies should ensure that defense requirements siderably above a week ago. could be revenue we demand designed Withdrawals from 1949 loan stocks continued heavy, of amount obtained, but imposed a total of 122,300 bales last week, as compared this volume decreased by 3%. _ moderately after soaring to the Monday of last week. endangering the maintenance of production," the report "There are, of course, alternative sources from which continues. the Board's index, department weekly period to July 22, 1950, advanced 33% from the like period of last year. In the preceding week a decline of 15% (revised) was registered from the similar week of 1949. For the four weeks ended July 22, According to the Federal Reserve store sales in New York City for the Conclusions Spot cotton prices declined was somewhat above the level of period of last year. An increase of 25% (revised) was recorded in the previous week from that of a year ago. For the four weeks ended July 22, 1950, sales showed a rise of 22% from the corresponding period a year ago, but for the year to date register an advance of 1%. Retail trade manifested strength here in New York last week with the purchase of items that were in short supply in the past top levels. vious week, and 56,900 orders Department store sales on a country-wide basis, as taken from Federal Reserve Board's index for the week ended July 22, war this with accord in rates tax principle and to do this without mediately dropped Early strength in the advance were about volume of amount year ago. Continued ago. year unseasonal an during the was placed 1950, rose 46% from the like Further moderate advances covering a Twenty-one as noticeable rise in wholesale buying a slightly from last week's level, it was a strong enough to bear the now maximum was retailers; the aggregate dollar volume of ordering was appreciably above the level for the similar week in 1949. While the number of buyers present at various wholesale centers dipped the 22-Month Peak to New South +9; and Southwest and Pacific Coast +6 many decrease prevailed from last year. a Price Index Food in the Middle Atlantic States their respective 1949 levels, but rise from week by that area and in noticeable a except construction groups less numerous than last year. major rise in business casualties appeared in the where 45 concerns succumbed as against 29 last Failures ■week. trade and industry all In and service, failures were and Midwest -f-4 to +8; East +3 to +5; +5 to is Thursday, August 3, 1950 . burden of substantial increases in -f-Kh There struction. the following Regional estimates varied from last year's level by percentages: 27 page . . activity by the This carries quarter. us to level of activity surpassing that of the table second half of 1948. (See 16.) "The rate of increase in produc¬ tion of goods and services from the fourth quarter of second quarter of 1949 to the this year, if continued, would be sufficient to Volume 172 Number 4930 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle /. . ' Com r 1*» 'i ' tnw",ii a t (457) provide full able to before employment of the year. the end Budget develop¬ main (See penditures. chart.) The table largest 17 the in the first half of this year, in absolute terms and per¬ vestment. in was business about 33% over the or compared with rise in a an in about 2%. derived nomic Table from the accounts period, taken 18, which is eco¬ detailed view expansion has taken place. TABLE the first The of annual goods consumer somewhat more receipts side Economic Budget. half of computed at year, 1950, first half* Excess of receipts eral, State and local governments (expressed as a seasonally ad¬ justed annual rate) stantial about Disposable income relating to 2.5%. showed about 2%, plained by savings rent ment Exc. private receipts from of receipts ( + ) I" I +12.7 loan Net GOVT. (Fed., Tax payments Adjustment to .3 -.3 and State -2.0 + .6 + 1.7 receipts 56.7 — Government Cash from the and services -2.0 Exc. of 57.7 to receipts ( + ) veterans receipts public to (—) at part are and in re¬ nomic Budget also affect the rela¬ (See the in personal government greatly accelerated consumer buying, have resulted third and The in¬ saving and in deficit are increasing threat of short¬ ages, price increases, and other inflationary developments. It is with these most recent develop¬ ments, and the prospect of fur¬ ther developments initiated by the changed international situation, that public policy must now con¬ cash an cern ^Estimates based + 3.5 + 3.5 —.3 + .S + .# tlncludes payments 2.6 billion the NSLI on NOTE—Items roman type. italics; they add totals to product 254.1 254.1 265.2 265.2 dollars (5.2 billion at Business investment rose about 10billion dollars (annual an annual the of ratei nonrecurrent relating to ANNUAL production current of goods and services shown are of Based OF the from Department of Commerce and Walter Rosen- give in firm offices New York and increase to 31 its chain of offices coast to COast. Mr. Change in of Bureau resigned from & Co. A to cial world national 50 goods subsequently + Nonresidential + 1.4 + payments to the public and — ' i - + — : * 3.1 After associated with was Haupt & Co. and He is Banking, and a graduate of international an officer of the Parnell Foundation. Irving Like, Murray Schiffman, Roger.' Stearns and Aaron Weil will be associated senbush in the istered with new Ro¬ Mr. office as reg¬ representatives. Howard, Labouisse Merge firms have a announced organizations partnership to be known Weil, & as Labouisse, Fried¬ offices in the Co., with Building. Co., Inc. entered the se¬ Howard, the of firm Co. was G. are Frederick Brauer, Economist; 1950, H. FIRST HALF • - —11.2 + Boudousquie, Jr., Edward Caffery, ;John D. Thomas C. Holmes, Jr., Lelong, Martin Macdiar- mid, Robert G. Moroney, Gordon O. Quackenbos and George B. SECOND HALF 7.9 + and Fowler, Jr., Research. Representatives of the firm are Waller Paul C. INTERNATIONAL 1949, + 11.1 _ — Alexander, Trader; Gerland J. Foucha, Jr., Assistant Cashier;" + .9 5.2 + 1.4 expenditures— 1949, SECOND HALF 7.4 + —4.8 local national gross + 6.6 +1.9 ; 15.4 + .4 dividend Other State + f 27.0 + 3.5 + .3 - - . NSLI 2.7 +2.4 equipment Federal .2 + .25 —_ inventories inter¬ 1925. ard, John P. Labouisse, Walter H. Weil, Jr., and Paul T. Westervelt. Associated with Howard, Weil, Labouisse, Friedrichs & Co. are J. Thomas Whalen, in charge of the Municipal Department; Alfred W. Helmke, Cashier; Robert D. + 33.5 ___ durable in Labouisse, Friedrichs & organized in 1946. 8.0 + -t-1.4 ._ monfarmi Change cash + .2 + 10.6 * Producers' Government 2.0 + investment--. L -•Residential in 2.0 4- Construction Forshay, the American Institute of Finance Weil & BUSINESS + JL_ : junior clerk with a and curities business in 1922. Percent + 3.6 domestic 25 F. L. Solomon & Co. and with Ira IOO r | CONSUMERS first half4 , aoiiarst expenditures private as bankers, Hibernia FIRST HALF Billions of Services with ADJUSTED I960, Budget goods post. new Yorker Shelby Friedrichs, Alvin H. How¬ hal* to 1950 Nondurable New 10 years with that organization he into 18 Expenditure Items— Durable the accept native richs Change from 1949, second Consumer the Broadway Zuckerman, Smith. branch office of Howard, the Selected Expenditure Items of the Nation's Economic Walter Rosenbush Rosenbush has Partners TABLE Total the three Budget. Gross of agement bush. This will the merger of their rounding. data on un¬ man¬ vestment rate) Consumer ex¬ DOLLARS RATES, SEASONALLY in payments and receipts and subtotals including them are in not included in the gross national product. Detail will not necessarily because Source: BILLIONS dividend. Transfer are the ORLEANS, La.—Howard, Labouisse, Friedrichs & Co. and Weil & Co., Inc., New Orleans in¬ penditures increased about billion dollars, which was much less than the increase in disposable income. incomplete data. on 1370 Broadway NEW THE NATION'S ECONOMIC BUDGET -2.8 —.3 national New itself." from the last half of 1949 to the first half of 1950. Gross in at Zimmerman during the rest of the year, would continue to move to¬ wards maximum employment and production in a steady manner. Since then, the request for addi¬ tional military appropriations, first half that office York der a years' experience in Wall Street, he began his career in the finan¬ -5.0 —2.3 adjustments Total: upon 1 branch and Weil Go. -2.9 L product Other factors openedon August 62.5 national gross not only inventory liquida¬ accumulation, and upon and business same saving. rested economy, the year. "The to Goodwin Prior to the Korean development, it was to be expected that the special payments during the impetus & New York Stock Exchange and other leading secu¬ rity and commodity exchanges, 21.1 60.6 _ payments or relating reflect in may international new of the extraordinary veterans' dividend, but also upon factors of more lasting duration. The pro¬ scarcely to members the payment of the in durable and nondurable expenditures the 41.4 ADJUSTMENTS— For increased a shift from tion over period, postwar or Expenditures for nondur¬ goods expansion of the before gave months has previous 57.4 17.6 the 1950 of sig¬ inventory accumulation. analysis of the Nation's Economic Budget indicates tnat the expansion of the last six the sixth colums of table 17.) 43.0 —: transfers payments ■ The disparity between the in¬ of 59.4 1.0 — public goods of to homes. purchase of durable the first half of in creases Cash Purchases new were "This tionship of saving and absorption local)— basis over further ac¬ ceipts sides of the Nation's Eco¬ —.3 investm't (—) or cash pay¬ goods, sales of which increased by 8% -13.7 abroad investment inventory move¬ outstanding. This was even events 42.2 (—) liabilities or on were true considerable a flected in the expenditure and re¬ transfers receipts ( + ) the of 28.5 31.6 investment foreign Exc. of for the nonrecurring INTERNATIONAL— Government payments crease 183.4 cur¬ investm't or ments behavior of vet¬ used to investment..— nificance in the ex¬ outstanding debt, to cumulate liquid assets or able +196.2 6.2 business last six months, durable goods was higher than in •5-22.3 30.8 domestic be of prewar. 179.8 production Gross part Walston, Hoffman new ex¬ cially for inventory accumulation. portion of expenditures devoted to + sub¬ a the second large increase in the While several factors only (—) 173.8 ( + J business the by deficit BUSINESS— Retained in may who erans all. Personal expenditures consumer itures 186.0 of cess pend- 16.5 personal income Expenditures for goods and services— "The continued decline. ceipts transfers and net interest Disposable incomes "The fact that disposable personal income increased by 5.5%, and any payments farm shows declines from half of 1949. or the second half of 1949. 169.3 Government a Only billion ( +) or current production by nearly $4.7 in¬ Walston, Hoffman rate. the combined cash deficit of Fed¬ creased For be doubled annual an annual rate. How¬ an (—) itures at income derived from current production, particularly wages, business and professional incomes, deficit pend- appears to counted Excluding the veterans' dividend, Ex. CONSUMERS— Another N. Y* Branch of this dividend, Re- ( + I or ceipts when ever, used receipts Ex- which year, Another part of the dividend was Excess of Re¬ in¬ the pay¬ to veterans' portion of their dividend for this adjusted] 1949, second half— Economic Group the of or this of residential construction and espe¬ 17 rates, seasonally is attributable crease ment half About Expenditures Nation's Economic Budget dollars, or during the first six months by about $10.2 billion 5%. over make [Billions receipt had (See table 19.) "In the which of the of the Nation's "Most of the increase in private domestic investment is attribut¬ by Durable and Non-Durable best be appraised in a inflated the movement can both consumers reversing thus connection with of payment of the veterans' dividend 1949 retained corporate receipts reflects the increase of funds spent for place since the 1948 peak. purchases income exceeded the rate of the last half increased quarter "The increase in in ap¬ in which areas second downward presented pendix A, shows the first half of this year and the substantially, consumer national the in expenditures of about $3.6 billion or the last half of last year "Outlays for producers' durable equipment were somewhat higher annual rate increased by $10.6 bil¬ lion of (seasonally adjusted). in¬ Gross investment at over disposable of dividends and rental incomes, made by a rise was 25% in residential construc¬ over tion 1949 to centagewise, A important contribution to increase in private domestic investment expenditures from the last half of both $6.5 billion (annual rate). over and increase inventory inventory to second in national income and ex¬ ments 1949 increase in effective demand of an "The Nation's Economic the in accumulation in 1950, resulting in National Income and Expenditures summarizes the swing from liquidation 2» 4.4 Riviere. ' *: ~ • Howard, Weil, Labouisse, Fried¬ richs & Co. will conduct a general - 4Based on tAnnual preliminary rates, estimates 1950, for second half. 1950, ,•'■••; seasonally adjusted. FIRST HALF investment . . .. TABLE 19 Change in Selected Receipt Items of the Nation's Economic Budget Change from 1949, second half to 1950 , markets Receipt Items- NSLI transfer payments Farm Personal valuation Capital consumption Corporate receipts the Federal State Total and gross, —.8 national 1 —.6 products..: RECEIPTS 1949, SECOND HALF 1950, + 11.1 the Midwest Stock Exchange. FIRST HALF Geo. E. O'Brien With CONSUMERS \ i. Kornblower & Weeks r' INTERNATIONAL —1.9 —3.G 4.4 GOVERNMENT I . DETROIT*t O'Brien with has Mich.^ George*&' become , Hornblower & obscot Building. 4Based .tAnnual on preliminary rates, estimates'for seasonally adjusted. 1950, , first half. - n. t; ,, Ex¬ J —.5 + on 7.9 + 8. , in financ¬ +1 +-3.G I in. Mississippi munici¬ change and the New Orleans Stock (+), EXPENDITURES (-) BUSINESS .7- —.3 n. . to + + 1.5 __JL l local relating receipts + dividends _ 2.2 —3.8 public 1 and + 1.1 OF —7.5 + allowances taxes from .2 + tax adjustment EXCESS 4.4 —2.3 1 before + Active maintained The partnership holds member¬ 2.4 —2.4 under¬ ing established local businesses. ships 2.5 + + 1.3 taxes receipts Inventory Less: + 3.2 be particularly interested 1950, FIRST HALF 3.6 —.3 «: - profits Cash + + 1 Corporate + 35.2 + 4.7 — income 5.5 .6 + salaries + + 5.2 production—— current and Percent 5.8 + — income Other Business interest net ___ from Wages Less: and dividend Other Income Tron»f«f pe>m#nt| +10.2 — as pal bonds, bank stocks and other corporate securities. The firm is SECOND HALT first half" dollarst income personal Government will Louisiana and 1949, Billions of Disposable business writer, dealer and broker. GOVERNMENT associated Weeks, Pen¬ Mr. O'Brien was formerly a partner in S. R. Liv¬ ingstone & Co. - " 30 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (458) Continued from The Security C. I Like Best Partner, , Van Noel Alstyne, & Co., Members, New York Stock and New York Curb Exchanges (St. Lawrence Corporation, Lid.) The choice Like Best" is not common day. stocks good buys to¬ are its 'for yield, another its for and pects, But on. so per¬ in haps i pros¬ these f 1 ationary n days the of two im¬ most portant con- siderationsare earning pow- erandthe availability of materials. raw On both of these Richard C. Noel counts, pet issue my is Corporation rence Lawrence is nadian two St. of the large one operations. paper St. Ca¬ In the since July, 1948, when recapitalization plan went years the into effect, the common (now selling around 19) has earned about $14 a share, before sinking funds. In the matter of raw ma¬ terials, the present timber limits of the St. Lawrence companies ' Group of 8,905 square cover miles. Lawrence holding erating Corporation is a company with three op¬ subsidiaries. Largest of these is St. Lawrence Paper Mills Company, Ltd.; two preferred is¬ publicly owned, and over 99% of the com¬ mon stock is held by the parent company. The other two subsid¬ iaries Lake St. John Power & are: Paper Company, Ltd., of which Paper Mills owns all the preferred and 99.6% of Brompton the Pulp and common; & Paper Com¬ pany, Ltd., 99.9% of which is held by St. Lawrence Corporation. To¬ tal operating capacity in five mills is 522,500 tons annually. Products include newsprint, kraft fibre and specialty boxboard, bleached sulphite, sulphate groundwood pulp. papers, un¬ and recapitalization fective all in ef¬ July, 1948, cleared dividend arrears up the on old preferred issues of both the Cor¬ poration and the Paper Mills. This was accomplished through cash payments and the issuance of L'hed for second the retirement preferred nually for the a'-d $1,000,000 estab- were of the $500,000 at an¬ parent company the for Paper Milh. oecially fact 'hat so significant far retir' Tients have second ements. in thr open have ! is the preferred considerably ceeds 1 the minimum rear' ex¬ sinking fund Through purchases market, the companies able to ien effect earning them at the Exchange and the Cincinnati earnings 1950 months of the for $2,876,152 were of basis Even 1949. able the for full though exchange allowance depreciation ment, reduced did con¬ improve¬ tribute somewhat to the earnings satisfactory actually current represent a level of has been correspond¬ a enhancement of the com¬ pany's working capital position. ing As of June 30, 1950, total working capital was $24 million, of which $11.5 million was in cash. This is than more F. Irvin for adequate operat¬ Combined weli-run continuously growing, mocter Gamble & su.ccess- *ul because it Westheimer is and dustrial is every When a the the citizen a of first which proud. is Cincinnatian in¬ our o community Circinnatian about operations. There tion, year favor¬ a and rate ing corpora¬ is that $13.3 million, represented by sev¬ mortgage bond, steadily, on burdensome not deben¬ The amount is being ture issues. reduced and terms which to the Cor¬ This total debt seems low in relation to that of of the other large Canadian & sound reputation— tne reasons—are for my Gamble Any bright picking Proc¬ the security I as investment in Procter & Gamble For instance, pany. in 1890 at 100 would makers. for the view' of In the current market type by will substantially ex¬ 1949. Newsprint, principal product of St. Lawrence 1950 year those ceed of Paper Mills, accounts for a good percentage of total volume. De¬ this for mand grow item continues to annual per capita con¬ in the United States has — sumption risen from 59 to 75 pounds in the last twelve American needs a and and years are half current estimated million have ducers been at tons a the al¬ pro¬ operating at than 100% of rated capacity. more It is expected that this trend will Demand is products by the St. Lawrence Group increase. the on some other for Although weakness appeared last year in the Procter pulp markets, considerable rights. But look: than $2,500 000. more growth. & Gamble retains has also been products of good on Volume the kraft Brompton Pulp & Paper and there have been some upward price adjustments in this division. Another factor which is very important to St. Lawrence's out¬ look is that it is sible for new virtually impos¬ competition to enter impor¬ in¬ ana stitutions. core of the from of publicity has concerning been publici the and quick when pick American of Procter Gamble's & careful culling a & youth Gamble's plants and from the universities the out country for There is no nepotism. Stockbrokers student it wise was enough was to use a to advertise. Procter been Gamble & leader a has always in enlightened em¬ ployers mployee relationship, which have thev developed through profit sharing (which they pioneered), stock ownership, and Continued from can look at Procter & Gamble's statements for an example of continuously servative operation a have 100 XYZ at months or lises 6"0. to sell his to executive let's few a the stock say The customer decides stock, and the account enters XYZ 100 Within 50. so, order an the at Sell to market long. (Under SEC rules, all sell orders be must short.) 60, either marked The order and the long the call value. is executed has customer Wr:dell Harper Now v J ith John G. Kinnard L a share common MINNEAPOLIS, dell P. ciated Co., was Minn. —Wen¬ Harper has with Baker John become G. Arcade. asso¬ Kinnard Mr. & Harper formerly with Shields & Co. and prior thereto was Vice-Presi¬ dent of Shaugnessy & Co., Inc. not available. With all conditions, plus the continuing savings in pre¬ ferred dividends through second preferred retirements, earnings of 5?10 (Special to The Financial Chronicle) are of these favorable approximately $1,000 profit. When he bought it at 50, he paid $5,000 plus commission, and when he sold it less commission at 60, received he and $6,000 In taxes. this Let's look at that say a XYZ use this short seller now. selling at 60 and customer, at the moment "even" in small. within are the for a next St. Lawrence good possibility few years. St. Lawrence's recent perform¬ ance, its ability to retire the sec¬ preferred so rapidly, its fa¬ ond vorable raw material position, its prospects—all make it a particu¬ larly attractive common stock around current levels. But has main¬ near 4:1. of when it is sold in the transac¬ than Tide There us as look an an is no funded at Procter industry, annual does and from from nat¬ petroieum materials for shorten¬ raw profits. tion supply can investment tell to seek any reason elsewhere. like I ta clients when I invest in my a company that I am giving my $1,000 to the management of that to do the best they can company it. with Patrick of know future no but Henry said, of judging the way by the past." Procter & Gamble operates a model busi¬ which ness and grows prospers. & rather statement. not rest Dreft alone have on If, during the period he was short, Corporation paid a dividend, XYZ the seller short long 100 XYZ and will¬ someone lend to Then, it. the upon short seller's instruction, it enters order an is executed buyer. The the at Let's say this order at stock 100 XYZ sell to market short. is 60 and the delivered bor¬ to seller, short the now short 100 XYZ at 60, must buy it back someday in order to return a 100 share stock certificate of the market. returned to the ing up lender, clear¬ this-; obligation, and the made a profit of short seller had its order was executed, and he be¬ leadership in the detergent mar¬ came "even" again when he "cov¬ ket, and Joy, a semi-liquid dish¬ washing detergent, is on its way ered" his short position through to take its place along with the the execution of his buy order. would have to dividend on the stock which, in effect, he had created by selling short. The person from the pay the whom stock borrowed was still long even though he had his stock, entitled and therefore was dividends to declared. And the whep the short seller sold short in effect, long the stock and was, who had person bought thus also entitled to the dividend. The shares 100 extra "cre¬ was ated" by the short seller who must dividend on the 100 the pay 1 shares he had sold short. let's talk Now - execution the the SEC's about selling rule which short short such changes of as restricts to sell securities ex¬ orders national on the York in New Stock Exchange. The SEC says that no short sales shall (1) below the price of effect, be made the last sale, and (2) at the price of the last sale unless it than made at rule is higher sale next preceding different price. the a This designed to prevent sell was short orders from depressing mar¬ quence Its captured on ket approximately $1,000. He had sold short at 60, receiving $6,000 less sales of Ivory soap, but its excel¬ commission and taxes, and when lent Research Department is con¬ he bought back or "covered" his stantly bringing forth new prod¬ short position, he paid only $5,000 ucts, and as it happens these are plus commission. He was short the products that the public wants. from the moment his sell short as tneir Only the theory of diversifica¬ The member firm shops around for the short seller to find for. was let wealth make either or solidated tion will receive the stock he will pay rowed the habit in in order that "short" the buyer con¬ and continual company been him years Gamble fats lent in 1945. Additional timber lim¬ of ing. Foreign commitments are not a major contribution toward con¬ at made debt, and all preferred stock ex¬ And, let's assume this buy or¬ was executed at 50. The cept a relatively small amount of der non-callable preferred was retired stock delivered on this purchase its field. strong competi¬ a because de¬ rivatives; and because of their oil crushing facilities, used in pro¬ was XYZ Corporation to the person payments — from whom it was borrowed. On the dividend being at the assumption the short seller's least 60% of earnings. Reserves appraisal of the future market ac¬ for possible inventory losses of tion of XYZ was correct, and it $37,000,000 were set up in 1947 and 1948 and partly used in the subsequently declined to 50, the customer short the 100 XYZ in¬ fical year ending June 30, 1949. structs his account executive to Depreciation has been ample but enter an order to Buy 100 XYZ at always realistic. Loans are usu¬ ally position learned to or simply under be in the New York Stock Exchange its to support new Canadian mills $1,365 235 The labor expense stock, Procter & Gam¬ war a Trading dividend generous most free from 7 page Round-Lot ing look¬ to Any stockbroker investor or through¬ material. used are ing for figures. or They year. leadership not only in soaps but detergents which they have its of growing They will always know medium. how great cornerstone Management y. enough ratio its of radio advertising. This amount a Procter There is success. As ble would tive ducing Procter & Gamble has had wide XYZ, feels that good climate it should decline in price. This ap¬ for good management, and De- praisal he wants to translate into cause, as their brilliant young a profit which will be real if he sells the stock at 60 and buys it President, Neil McElroy, says, they wish to be close to the heart when and if it declines to 50. of America—the grass roots. Man¬ Not having the stock, however, agement and personnel are the requires that it be borrowed for they feel that it is current ratio of sustained. its head offices in Cincinnati because They be enormously ing lor bakeries, hotels e. We'll tained sulphite, believed that the higher is tant in making commercial snort- This is real notably unbleached divi¬ cash • Procter hard labor troubles. ural Gamme illustration, the customer had dends over the 60 years would effectively translated his appraisal of the stock—a rise of 10 points have been almost $1,800,000 and —into a profit. the stock (at 60) would be worth cise The will over shares.. It would have re¬ quired the investing of $10,000 to begin with and an additional in¬ growth. and it is be now improvement began to be evident, in the second quarter of 1950, in Gamble & 42,000 continue—and perhaps accelerate. made of vestment of about $90 000 to exer¬ of paper products St. Lawrence, I fully believe that earnings for the full made shares purchase of a very Outlook Is Favorable a how you would have grown with the com¬ 100 paper tell can poration. most with statistician sharp lead pencil an work remarkably item is very low. & his to like best. ter In been asked comes for this reasons subsidiaries at the end of 1949 was Lilt. wave, have in neighbor and employer and they like its 59-year dividend record. are tne now Thursday, August 3, 1950 . guaranteed a entirely eiffc.ent field, Crisco a consumers preference as a shortening over lard, and Procter a they ana permanent Cincinnatians like the company as The Prell, are sn.rn.poo3, in nas lips is always Procter & Gamble. same reasons eral field Family drug prod¬ Drene and tne m . leading home industry name funded debt of the parent company and needs. ing line, an manufactur¬ , same a successful per share after taxes and preferred dividends. This compares with $6.02 per share on the to of epitome or $4.93 ail is change, Cincinnati the six first Ex¬ Stock profits before second preferred re¬ tirements. On this basis, consoli¬ dated American and home New Stock York common, rate E full of St. Lawrence Corpora¬ it is, of course, necessary to consider the total net tion & Gamb.e, listed power sec¬ ond preferred stocks by both com¬ panies. Sinking funds the This is higher than presently available supply though Canadian newsprint plans ter & Gamble. Excellent year. Retirements The Earnings five Second Preferred Stock Cincinnatian which ooes not include Proc¬ a Procter determine To of this company are sues of on are St. There best. to 59,947 shares. Law¬ common. that Cincinnati likes is rarely a portfolio the security pre- Many easy. attractive is One so ^are^ Paper Mills" second £ares, ^aperMdls «ond pre^ Recent Duz, uces security I like best is also Ivory, they have leading so^ps, Camay, Oxydol, Shasta ration's second preferred had been Security I "The of & Gamble) (Procter By June 30 of this year, the Corpo- NOEL Ohio tne their soap The RICHARD Co. Senior Partner, Westheimer & Cincinnati, Besides others. WESTHEIMER F. IRVIN 2 page . Let's examine a se¬ sales to determine prices. of which of mitted a could them sale short 50, 50y8, 501/s, 50, have to be per¬ made: 49%, 49%, 49%, the first sale at 50 as a starting point, the next sale—the first at 501/s—was higher than the Using preceding ihe short sale of 50 and, under a member selling rule, execute could a client's sell short at this price, of course, a order to assuming, buyer was willing to at the time. In Stock Exchange language, this 50y8 sale is a plus tick or up tick sale. Observe now that the second sale pay 501/s at 50 % while at the same price as preceding sale, is higher than the next preceding sale made at a different price, namely, higher than the first sale in our sequence, the sale at 50. A short sale could have been effected on this sec¬ ond sale at 50 % as well as on the first sale at 50%. The second sale of 50 % is called a zero plus tick sale because it is at the same the price the sale preceding- it, yet the next preceding as than higher sale made at a different price. In fact, a series of short sales could be made at 50%, and each suc¬ ceeding merely one as a Returning would be identified plus tick sale. zero to our sequence of sales, we note that a sale now took place at 50. Only an order to long stock could have been on that sale. Remember sell executed we said made a short sale shall not be below the price of the last Volume 172 sale. Number 4930 Thus, if deavoring to . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle ,. member was en¬ his client's a execute ofder to sell at the market short, he could not offer the short stock This sale at 50 is below 50%. minus tick or next sale in sequence at was 49%, and it too could have been only by a seller of long niade It stock. was sale at 50, it preceding sale. member holding an from the was down The the like because, minus tick sale a best a ofder to sell short could do would be to offer the short stock at 49%. short by implication, a short sale can be effected at a price higher than the last sale. An offer always of short stock could therefore be made to the definite remaiq in the the effect such we would leave we following the first sdle at 49%. executed, But in order to be buyer at 49% would In our sequence a of sales, this did not occur. A sec¬ sale at 49%: was made, also only by a seller of long stock. ond is called sale second minus sale tick to it, zero a it because is at in sale final our sequence was a have been series executed at this price. this at could orders short of executed 49% be price, each wants the order to be executed if ti-ve it is possible to do so the moment ®rdfr far immediate transmission than 40%, the member holding the stop order will imme¬ diately execute it as a market or¬ always at specified close to the very market current a price, he and Orders classified be can many categories, orders versus round- versus Let's time in remain two of time-inthe length means client a impor¬ with deal This force first. etc. time-in-force, and tant categories: price. orders, relatively two are as, stock commodity or There such sell orders, odd-lot, versus his wants the order market—until possibilities occurs: either the order is executed or tde client cancels it. Some clients pre¬ fer would write DEF 40% the member reaches be immediately member, in the the to means enter such day orders in the market are remain to in force only un¬ or during which, or before which, they were entered. If a day order is not executed by the market's automatically expires, that is, it is cancelled without any it instance, R3310 declines to 17 k, lmmedithe prevailing quota- a* ^he first sale occurring tion in the stock which explains (or below it if it doesn't why the customer's limit order s? at, on the way'down), sellTOO latter orders are GTC orders— Good Till Cancelled. Some clients be in the market orders longer than day but not indefinitely. Thus, we have Good Through the Week orders, Good Through the Month orders, and Good Through A Spe¬ cific Date orders. executed, revealing also at what price an exe- . 791/2 quests FOK. The member if other no then decide to nine is still headed for lower levels. ZTtTlu^ rn'17^^" ?.fl' f .,nnlv.ll PfM1t;nL ij?jj GX it b fSVj ff RC Jute afthat or- continues decline to later decide to his i^7i/ T„ ' p If will position, probably by placing a buy market order or a buy limit order. But, right now, he wants to protect a substantial hJrfl f hiH orice short he (buy back) cover M1 + portion of the bidder had ond FOK executed order would have at the Price declines or rises to or bey°nd the price named in the cus- Buy 100 GHI 62 Stop Open. tomer but cancelled this not % bid, the selling customer's 79% price sec- been s stop order, This is a broad could be restated spec- with nrteinfl nnnt in original quote sell executed price) a 703/ definition which as follows: A sell q uses a 5/ I a and this Price wil1 not necessarily . hid buv at market ordJr V * f mSdr f nti' wbenwants to a ch^t market order, he h_ buy stock regardless of the price sold for. In last sale, last sale the market short may the price below next a sell marked not be the at the price of the unless it is higher than or preceding sale made at price. No member or violate can ing rules the regardless short of sell- price in- sume are ' ■ . were sl* uses of There are three for the current market price, let's as- struction*? on orders strueuons on orders. Limit orders ,, sa *toP orders. bu^ s P orders and three for sell ,P °rders; In buy stop orders, a customer I?a^ want to (1) go long above tbe current market price, or (2) stop or limit a loss on a short posil°n'f °r ^ mC^t on a *hort P°sltl°ndlus rate a cus\?mer wepting to go long above different client ., ,IT , orders, of rpa_n; market." The stop price he selects is 0nly ttle PriCe level at Which point he wants his market order he may have to pay for it, or sell stock regardless of the price it is orders Th Here are some XYZ which .g currently sell. those in which sell order at 85, execution at this higher is possible the entry of a buy only 7or buy limit order with a share, if GM declines to that popular use, one of the six differprice from the moment the client ent uses of stop orders! Buy 100 XYZ at the market when and if it sells at 25%. The custo- gives this instruction (any during the week) through mer per same long client week. Sell 100 the 80 (or short) means that wants to sell at A day GM this is if selling currently should it The 61, 62, the stop order rise at to member holding this will immediately execute it as a buy market order. If, the stock should rise to only to decline again, would not made be "elected," market a 61%, then start the stop order order. that If in is, de¬ clining again, it sold down to say 58, the customer might then de¬ cide to enter a buy stop at 60, cancelling his 62 stop instruction. Sell stop orders have three pur¬ too, poses scribed of which one earlier when de¬ we started we discussion of stop orders. our Its to stop a loss on a long position. You will recall the customer was already long 100 purpose was Radio at 18, and wanted to limit his loss to less than a point. He decided 17% on as the stop order price, and his order to 100 Sell RC entered was 17% Open Stop If RC declined to or below long. 17%, the member holding it from the moment it was entered would then sell it out at the market. a or protect stop order a profit on long position. Let's use the same — the customer already situation 100 RC at 18—but in this let's assume RC has risen to long case, The 21. thinks customer it will higher, and if it does, will later to enter an ordinary sell go customer 100 Radio at say 18. has just purchased Corporation of America He went long because of the current dividend return/and the the prospects for an increase in dividend, and also because he price if the order can be executed felt he could some day sell his through the last market session of long stock at a higher price than the month during which this order the 18 he paid per share. But, he current penetrates level of structs this upper resistance 25. The customer in- the account executive to decide market order or a sell limit order. But, right now, he wants to pro¬ tect some of his indicated profit. He selects 20% as the price level, which if reached through a de¬ cline from the current price of 21, would be where he would want his stock sold at the market His order will read: Sell 100 RC 20% Open Long. Nothing will happen until and if RC sells at 20% or lower. If RC sells down Stop selected this 25% stop price. (He might have decided on 25% or 25% for the stop price.) account executive writes the the event of to go market sudden decline. short below the current price. To illustrate, let's say customer is "even" in JKL He currently selling at 77. believes JKL is selling too a which The high or- a The third use of a sell stop order is on is and wants to make money the short side, but hesitates to der: Buy 100 XYZ 25% Stop Open, enter The customer wants to go long above the current market price, sell day to say the price. cal during a market 74%, he would have 100 shares sold short wa^t to at when JKL come <5 accuse, then prevailing market Strictly from the mechani¬ sice, stock it that appears snould the if would customer the 75 penetrate its sistance level by % point re¬ or more, be going short while the stock is declining and, theoretically, at least, begin to profit a snow from the his short sale on his sell stop executed, prenot too far from the 74% stop pr^ce. But, as with all orders sxmrt moment order was sumab y to sen snort, the SEC's short sell¬ ing rule cannot be violated and, you'll recall just one part of. this rule, it prohibits short sales below the price of the last sale. Thus, the very action the cus¬ expecting may defeat his tomer is a at sell an at market ordinary short limit or price in using purpose sell stop short a order to go short below the rent of market tne price. If not possibilities, he that his short order cur¬ aware find may executed was at approximately the level he had anticipated covering at a profit! If he expected to go short some¬ where beiween 74 and 74 %, actual action, ' once the stock through 75 and sold down 74%, might continue in a se¬ ries of minus tick sales, or at best zero minus tick sales occasionally, market broke to until reaching 70, the first plus tick sale occurs! ber Since the mem¬ holding the stop order, which becomes market short order fol¬ a lowing the 74% sale, could offer point above each suc¬ cessive minus tick sale, he could not possibly execute the order at best until % around the when 70 first avoid this possibility, the customer may tick plus sale instruct the enter To occurs. account executive to instead limit short order a market short order, once the stop price of 74% has been reached,,: This type of order is called a stop limit order. Stop of a orders such cussing in as have been dis¬ we to this illustration are, up effect, orders, market" "stop been at the market angle being implied in the plain term, stop order. Us¬ ing a stop limit order in this il¬ though they termed such, lustration have never buy the sell or result from the. would instruction say to sell better, short, when and if the stock sells at or customer's 100 JKL below A second use of a sell is to clinch market order a limit are satisfied. If i price of say 24 or 24 %, he rather to 20 %, then rallies to 23, this buyers still demand stock at rising} buy it when, to him, it has demoncustomer might decide to raise prices, the customer's sell order: strated sufficient demand to force his stop order price from 20 % will be executed. Stop orders are it decisively through 25. He feels stop to perhaps 22% stop, protect¬ a little more complicated. And he wbuld want to buy 100 shares, or clinching thereby the like market orders or limit orders,: even though he'll pay more than ing greater portion of his profits in there can be price, only when it or after lower offers the close of the last market session of stock • 7Q5/ Wh pxpri]tiftn nripp fh cutlpn Pr f ® reason ls that the customer 1S instructing his 6tock be sold or bought <<at the be highest (the would S2' Sd a Sj? Tf lrtwict to 79%-%, order 79% at and PM GM, in market at respect . the an Wl11 act. Is thou.gh he had at that member another enter indicated point per share profit but believes the stock ,9P quote at the post and is "%-%." He offers "100 at a told, 1/2," and has 17A' ?e °J re- the seLs through . , , GM should 31 if order buy stop orders and examples: Buy 100 GM 79 GTW. sell stop orders. Before giving you This means that the client wants a definition of a stop order, let's: to buy 100 General Motors at $79 use an illustration of the most GTM upon res/4, be hest prevailing short sale. Let's use GHI this Pnce (the highest bidprice y.■The time, and assume the customer is eution could have been effected. ™?i 9 n°thmg until RC already short at 70 with the stock Example: Client instructs, sell 100 at or l°wer. 1 he instant now selling at 61. The customer could not have been price want their a the or The third purpose of a buy stop is to clinch a profit on a * clients He to means higher. ing at 24, has not within the past specify a limit price per few months had enough demand may, of. course, re-enter the share beyond which they do not to cause it to sell above 25. In same order with perhaps a minor wish to buy or sell. Buy 100 GM other words, every time XYZ rose change, in its price limit the fol¬ 75 means that the customer is to 25, sufficient selling developed lowing morning. willing to buy only if he can buy to prevent it from rising above A client may enter a day order at $75 per share, or less. Sell 100 that price and it soon declined to at any time after the close of a GM 85 means that the customer■; below 23 again. Twenty-five was market session. It will be in force, wants to sell only if he can get*an upper resistance level in our that is, in the market, only through 85 or more. Thus, in the case of "customer's estimation of the the close of the following market the buy order at 75, execution at stock's market action. He wants session. 75 or lower is possible only if the to buy the stock and is probably An open order is one that re¬ bids higher than 75 are first satislooking for a substantial rise mains in the market indefinitely, fied. If additional sellers come* eventually, but rather than give that is, until it is either executed, in, the customer's buy order will instructions to purchase it at its or the client eventually cancels it. be executed. In the case of the_ current price of around 24 through further instruction from the client. Open This the first sale occurring at or above 40 %. The customer s purpose is clear—cover my short position if DEF sells at 40 % or will advise This executed orders. til the close of the market session close, der ^st?mer instructed—when and if The Stop Open. Buy 100 following higher the floor cancelled. order to an that when and if DEF sells at ®t®P ®^der becomes a market orfnstrucTtens. These fall der w,hen a sale occurs at or below types: market orders, f p Pnce> a buy st°P order limit orders, and stop orders. A becomes a market order wh*n a market order, whether buy or sell, sale occurs at or above the stop into is to be executed at the best ore- P^ a either case, the customer buy vailing price Returning to our decldes the Price in his stoP order Types of Orders to execu¬ ecutive, "When and if Radio sells down to 17%, sell 100 shares at the market." The account execu- limit, stock ified. a price higher than preceding sale made at a Now orders different price — the different their price price sale being the 49% sale. into three one So he instructs his account tive to enter particular sale being at the next of expecting the stock to de¬ willing to consider his judgment was wrong if DEF rises to 40%. der: fact, as we explained before, a bond He sold since Sell 100 GM 79% FOK. If We can now define a stop order Jris nine points profit. higher than the preceding the 79% bid had not been "hit" as an order that becomes a market So, he instructs his account execu¬ short seller's order could meanwhile by another seller, or order -wb®n and if the market tive to enter the following order: sale, lot short too described earlier. as He decides that if cline, but he recognizes the possi¬ selling around 18, bility of it rising instead. He is want to be sold out at the market. He would instruct his account ex- The client wants to buy or sell a as is 49%, a plus tick sale. And, In against rule Radio, still should decline to 17%, he would types, there is one other we can discuss—the immediate order, also known as the Fill Or Kill order. lower yet The it himself protect £>reat a loss. time-in-force the sale preced¬ "takes" this offer, it is withdrawn. than the next The customer is advised his order preceding sale made at a different is "out" (cancelled), and that the price. quote is 79%-%. The client may price same ing market short, executed in accord¬ ance with the SEC's short selling stock in particular. Buy 100 GM 75 GT 8/25. Before news would have stock prices in general, and his So he decides on instruction, date « 49 % at have to appear. the order through Aug. 25, t? the floor: Sell 100 RC 17% Stop a moment to reread the trading post for the stock, and if ~?pen ^be member on the selling rule and note that, not executable at that moment, to "°®r» this rneans exactly what the Pause This the use a down tick sale. The our for market (45$) tive 74 at 74%. account The write would Sell follows: or execu¬ order this JKL 74% 100 as stop Thus, when below limit 74 Open Short. and if JKL sold down to or the member holding this limit order would immedi¬ consider he had just re¬ ceived an order to sell 100 at 74 or better short. If he could exe¬ 74%, stop ately now ordinary limit order higher, without violating the short selling rule, he would, cute this at 74 or of course, do so. But, if sell long orders continued to force the stock the member could offer the short seller's order no lower down, t than 74. principle of stop limit or¬ ders can be applied to the other five purposes of stop orders, at The the customer's discretion. Route of The When ceives listed an an on an Order account executive re¬ order in say a stock the New York Stock Ex^ change, he writes it on his firm's order blank detailing the instruc¬ tions in much the same manner we have illustrated in our various examples, and adds the account number customer's and/or name to identify the order with the cus¬ tomer for whose account it is to be executed. The account execu¬ tive immediately over to a hands the order teletype operator who speedily transmits the order in short somewhere around 77. In one of the abbreviated/forms we The second purpose of a buy watching the stock's fluctuations, have seen, to the member firm's stop order is used by a short seller he noticed 75 was a lower resist¬ home office in New Yprk's finan¬ was entered. GTW or GTM orders recognizes the possibility that RC to limit his loss on a short posi- ance level. Every time the stock cial district. There, without de¬ never mean good for a week or may decline instead of rising in tion. Let's say the client is short had declined, it had met good lay, it is at once relayed by direct month. If a client enters an order price. He could not forecast the 100 DEF at 39 through the execu- support (buying) around the 75 Continued on page 32 level. The customer feels that on, say July 25, with instructions Korean situation, for example, or tion of an order to sell 100 at the 32 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (460) Continued from their 31 page Their account. own and offers the narrow bids in spread this up relatively situation* simple quickly market cries, "Sold the motive, aiding in the maintenance of normal price continuity in Round-Lot Trading on the New York Stock Exchange telephone wire to one of the firm's telephone booths nearest to the floor post at (Stock is booth which the particular hanas traded. clerk A it to trie at member who a quickly to the proper post to be "in the market" for the stock the customer wants to buy proceeds member overhead an on price simultaneously and panel requests The The then member instruction. tomer's the execute ticker who operators be to printed of the three usually somewhere trict. or Then there dis¬ another 350 are called members so space financial the in desk just Specialists. a will orders at of specialist a in be stocks during stands sessions. market has He been 3,000 quote telephoned is floor is in competition with registered specialists in the request of their customers. Meantime, volved both the in in¬ have section written reports of their order ex¬ member firms the to relays the at the and confirmation As 1 for ist, execu¬ of the elapsed time trans¬ minute is from New orders, riare such executable once, ecutive to the until the account in handling because of orders the is Exchange, slightly the on day. They There are floor divided are about market every 325 Fenner who have "seats" Averaging each post, their job the 1460-odd traded, and 10 shares for remaining one-quarter. Odd- lot orders in shares down to & one nine shares down in members, partners of member firms,'* who reside outside New do not .ship actively floor brokers. Other as bers, frequently ■ of partners the - other same lot " reasons their member- use > mem¬ The second can. called the $2 category is the brokers — Exchange who ners of member not firms of lot function primarily to of $2 1 part¬ offering other member firms ices > are as extra needed. brokers execute or orders as their reserve There are is for serv¬ brokers approxi¬ mately 150 friembers in this cate¬ gory, and the term $2 broker by orders stocks, years ago when the floor broker's commission for executing 100 share orders was in most share the on lots. in 10 share lots. active other 25% traded are units, and the traded are Since is Generally, the less stocks share Exchange is in The the in in 10 active more 100 share round-lot rules apply to both units, we'll confine discussions our illustrations and to the 100 share unit stocks. eral Radio, Motors, hundreds and stock ing issues unit of other stocks. 350-odd common share trad¬ Generally, share 10 Gen¬ Pepsi-Cola, 100 are unit the stocks are preferred stocks, though not all preferred issues are so relatively inactive to as warrant trading in 10 share units. There lot where such orders orders, offer side of or on prevail¬ a ing quotation, are held by two or more brokers in competition one the single held bid others. or If lowest offer or the price, he would in orders receipt by him. the order But when rel¬ atively active stocks become active, more because of con¬ into the market, the various types of brokers will cry aloud the bid offer prices in their customers' other _brokers as enter orders the on opposite sides. The first of the three round-lot rules nouncing low new a priority first bid an¬ price, offer price, has execution of his the in broker high new a important priority. This is the that means customer's order, over other brok¬ similar with ers tered the broker. at orders "crowd" Let's proaches Now, with who after suppose 75Vs. a the first stock a broker order an en¬ to is A. call this ap¬ able to The 75 Vs because the lowest offer odd- 75V4. execute his Now, broker customers' brokers buy order at was walks', in B lecturers, a spe¬ odd-lot dealer, will greater detail 100 C shares three brokers Now tion of customers' market A fifth category floor of floor trader. member There is the are only about 20 of these members whose function " • it is ' . to buy '! or : ■ v" sell for - ' at have yet their functions and operations and the rules governing their execu¬ orders. walks He, too, has 75 Vs "Vs into a 75Vs. order an long. 100." crowd buy order for No sellers at arrived, and cry, "Vs for to aloud for the broker hastens to a with crying are few seconds, every now. much B and C ity—neither the over seller has 100 the cide B 75!/s by C and buyer for bid now The by matching—flipping coins. winner of the is The match executes his And let's now his bid, renews sell Hearing all 100." the post 100 the so at ker A would to be sale completed floor—wipes out all precedence in Our call clears the priority and time. enjoy 75-V4. you'll as re¬ Broker A walked 100. can ing brokers with out his price. If it isn't, the sale priority, and he, broker A on a parity—in equal would be standing—with brokers B and C! This could happen through a buy¬ rather than a the at market, seller at the the crowd. market, coming into hearing the The buyer, 75V8-V4, is interested only offer price, although he plainly hears the three brokers each bidding Vs for 100. The buy¬ ing broker quickly says, "take 100 at V4," thus creating a sale at quote in the 75 V4. Our three imme¬ brokers diately renew their Vs bids, while other whichever the next lowest broker offer, which will win under the will the The offered. last sale was matching. long order, enters the crowd. He notes the the last the sale fact order at at 75 V4, It depends from the on bid (or offered, might be) of each of case the brokers The competing for all rule given a states, brokers shares in equal to action entitled are which sale. will This kers that of amounts exceeding the a given trans¬ or amount involved in see effect, holding to match to participate in the that means those bro¬ holding amounts less than the involved amount not be the match entitled the or give in to you the will sale participate in particular sale. let's example, an Broker A, the first bidder assume a first to the was high new bid an¬ price. Broker A's order is for 100 shares- Broker then B to buy walks but for 200 shares. arrives with 300 with seller with in the at an price same Broker C then shares, and bro¬ shares. 400 No Let's taken place. sale say a arrives and, learning quote, says, "Sold 400." Bro¬ ker A will buy his 100 because he had priority, and no interven¬ ing sale had caused him to lose that priority. There are 300 shares remaining. Broker B wanted only 200 and is, therefore, excluded now the from Brokers C and D, match. a who equal or exceed the 300 would match, unless broker C could definitely establish his precedence in time over broker D. Let's take another example. and D are offer¬ Brokers A, B, C ing respectively, 100, 200, 300 and in and 400, assume situation, this let's previous sale at another a fore parity, subject only to rule. When a at the price of their a on the floor. All there¬ cleared had the size-precedence sale occurs will matching deter¬ be mined by the amount involved in the sale—those equaling or ex¬ ceeding the amount being entitled to match. So, let's say*a sale is wanting to broker not created he has buy 100 shares at the offer price. All brokers offering, namely A, that instructions, a while and Vs-%, quote tests his executing price than and C B, by which a sells to match will D one see bidding this to If, however, the bidding 200 shares instead the current quote broker. He cries "100 at broker wanted just as der a market ting tion, would indicate. V4." He does this though he had sell to 100 at order any a 75 V4 limit or¬ instead of sell.- Not to this in response get^ situa¬ selling broker quickly says, "Sold 100," and awaits iden¬ tification of the broker, one of the three, who will buy from him at 75Vs. Brokers A, B and C match. One of them wins, the other two the lose. buys The The the stock losers the from match the renew parity, on of winner their because seller. bids, still every com¬ Now let's rule and the develop this priority sale clears the floor at holding that order, the broker with time we'll say first one to bid the to a the little further. We'll start again but this that broker A, the beginning Vs. buy 200 shares has an of broker 100, cluded his was 100 would A less than the 200 in-« volved. Brokers B, C and match, be ex¬ because match the from D would of them winning and one thus, selling the 200 shares to the broker creating the sale. If 300 shares were involved in the sale, only brokers C entitled shares would ing or And„ involved execute would he D would be and match. to were his be the order only 400 D if broker because one equal¬ exceeding the amount in¬ volved in the sale. pleted sale clears the floor. rule sizing mar¬ ket hears match excluded sale. offers, customer's sell 100 at a to be price Now, let's say a selling broker, with competing brokers would the it only that four of these brokers were 75*4, just effected. and by the three brokers, A, C, and hearing the offer by the broker or specialist the entitled others sale but, a develops of be lose or at 75%, "100 at %." The quote 75V8-%, 300 wanted and now 100 auction determine size-matching rule, sometimes certain to holding say announces, is given a another one yet the stock in market situation will match coins has clearing the floor rule would wipe Now, conveniently describe it as size-matching rule. Compet¬ the 100" bid. bid remaining A sale clears the floor! in first and announced his "Vs for He, thereby, established longer no the bearing in mind the priority rule, the sale clears the floor rule, let's bring in the third rule. We D his would on and ker his priority—if the next sale is at offered. Bro- buy this 100 shares, priority order starting quote, was 100 but sure, (or offerer) every in as the sale had only 100 shares. Bro¬ nounce V\ order, the C, has beginning again and look further at market to and priority—on the next sale, if it is at his bid price. Let's say the next sale is at his price, riloVs, but the seiler who created To back go A into the second rule that says that B, at between his customer. order and the loser wanted and ker willing unbiased method fastest, most bid at Vs sell another method some <t00 as them, which of the two would be the B amount of shares price, enjoying equal standing, would have to de¬ brokers Brokers • par¬ precedence now shares. time on crowd the at B's now any If clears or prece¬ as are other. entered sell to such better odd-lot orders. in C. over is, priority time, order Broker describe in dence sell execution an the floor of any That bidding Vs for 100, broker Of course, broker A wasn't two Your next two floor. broker them, all under definite rules governing the cialist and the clears exe¬ to of Every of rules, and round-lot trading rule. completed transaction portant possibility are B introduce another im¬ we the Let's the prices Now, market must execute sells Brokers first the,'Exchange. who C. C quickly renewed their bids by crying aloud again, "Vs for 100." disclosing In dealer without having to that is, match with, brokers B and This changes the 75V8-V4, and gives the broker who just bid Vs priority over any and all brokers who to bids. so did, compete, Upon 100." for quote announce ap¬ buy learning the quote, he immediately announces, "Vs A one the "crowds" at the posts with ex¬ ecutable brokers to first bid—because his custom¬ broker er orders, and will compete with another the was the other two customers—and be¬ even a tinuous flow of customers' orders or A Thursday, August 3, 1950 . a say the specialist, the orders at the highest execute of other broker, all broker had entered his order ahead of er important rules governing the execution of roundthe bid as . tne previous examples, then walk in and bid Vs respectively, each for his 100 share buy order. The quote is 75Vs-V4, and the size is awaiting another seller. three are already buying broker A. You are right, the similar arose many 100 market have you guessed because his 75 Vs simple a and would later enter the crowd with conformity to odd- when or rules so re¬ with an order he just received, order for odd-lot cus¬ reading to buy 100 at 75 Vs—the selR the odd-lot dealer same instructions but from an¬ buys from them, and when odd- other, customer. Broker B adds lot customers buy,- it is the odd-1 his voice to broker A's and now brokerage facilities to the public. The listed sues situation, correctly share units, or one execution • odd-lot dealer lot so- members are proved to to trading tomers to execute their customers' orders. ' in strict order quire. member- firms, 10-share unit cuted 99 share in stocks that are traded in 100 share the New York Stock Exchange. There are an additional 100 or so York-and who for various from amounts on - stock of earlier, the unit of trading in ap¬ proximately 75% of the stock is¬ 100 of equal unit and rules, to execute his order. And for designated by the Exchange for a stock. As we mentioned quoted 75-^4. issues Beane, membership or 100. the commission bouse brokers, that is, partners of member firms, such as, Merrill Pierce, orders, market as the of 75 Vs ing the first, he had priority, and was entitled, under Exchange Rules given or over quarters follows: as exist, that pro¬ orders means shares of arpounts multiples either 100 shares for about three- perhaps between 800 and 1,000— Lynch, customers' And market Trading lots - is to execute customers' orders for less than the number of shares in the unit of trading which is of whom somewhat less than 1.000— work His dealings for are restricted Another type of member is the odd-lot dealer, of which there are 1,375 members of the Stock own philosophy the prior of about five to are the prices fluctuate. Members and Their Functions York the implies offer for his or where such orders fluc¬ prices. There Round Exchange rules which have their basic as execution tuating nature of stock and bond New This of registered of account own under the necessary constantly is the his executed order is returned. Speed * each he which account and risk. ex¬ of report fair and a in market in stances, to bid usually only two minutes elapses from the time the customer gives bis instruction specialist's price continuity minimizing of the effects temporary disparity between supply and demand. Thus, to maintain normal price continuity in a given stock, a specialist is frequently obliged to a reasonable degree, under existing circum¬ and Tele- at order of market as the specialist. a maintenance typing, telegraphing and tele¬ phoning travel at the speed of light—186.000 miles per second. Where "orders, customer's dealer, a stocks con¬ York. will special¬ once, stock. as sumed, and this regardless of the distance Round-Lot cus¬ always be in the market for As out-of- less a at to the over that the so orderly in any a in cedures in round lots. with Exchange floor, half executed function is to maintain town office to the than by that transaction order from, an with will time same another post a entered turn the order the ticker tape. appears on mitting the just the where Thus, arriving at be cannot customers, arriving approximately post tomer, and learning that the order Rooms" where the reports of the executions of both orders are teletives the traded. order an "Order typed back to the account of member, reports Office Home member executing any is stock ecutions, buy and sell, and a tele¬ phone clerk of each of the two back by re¬ customers' orders. To be continu¬ ously in the market, an order to buy or sell a given stock must be represented at all times at the , brokers transaction commission floor same ceived by direct wires to obtain quotes on broker's broker, he receives a bonds. auction to us units. the post to a central quotation to which member firms call room stocks and stocks As the from both leads most cases, tickers throughout interest of better executions of the country. If, by this sale, the brokerage house customers' orders. quotation is changed, the new mately orders Exchange is in real¬ auction market place for an a particular section or one of the posts at a of handle a house commission the as ity who Stock other approxi¬ on York is registered (approved) by the Ex¬ change as a specialist in the stocks at his portion of the post and, in the cause fice all re¬ an reports bonds, traded in other parts of Exchange's floor. The New broker the the term which able floor a was describe these members whose of¬ sections Exchange employee, the transaction to the porter, sale is If he order, this said executions number, at a opposite side of his execution. We the a floor members and the $2 brokers. or in little higher, but $2 broker is still used to traded accordance with his cus¬ offer in to bid proceeds to category is the members slightly brokers, order quickly-fortncoming identification of which of the 30 The arrived newly bond sell awaits exe¬ three bidding brokers was on the the. Exchange. on his cuted over such highest bid and the lowest offer speedily furnished by other members. average listed A sixth and final specialist will execute orders en¬ trusted to him by other members quote a Radio?" "How's saying, by last sale the notes sions now stocks the floor commis¬ $2. Now, They have two functions, one as broker's broker, the other as dealer. As a broker's broker, the post, the price sell. Approaching or cases 100," signifying that he has quotations of stocks, thereby, despite the short-term profit . order instead of 100 Now just to add another factor size-matching rule not yet explained. If a broker wanted 500 in the shares, then kers none of the four bro¬ offering would have amounts equal shares. or In exceeding such ; a t h i s situation, : . 500 the ' Volume 172 Number 4930 . largest amount is entitled to cution first. D would That sell his 400 leave to the shares. of 100 be completed. yet to exe¬ This would be broker would who The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . the 500 We return equal or exceeding portion of the size-matching rule. Brokers A, B and C would match to deter¬ which of them sold mine maining wanted 100 500 the to shares. the will after find of the one mimeographed write-ups distribute who broker In re¬ will we lecture, you additional exam¬ our many 100 shares wanted, and therefore protecting for stopping stock, the selling broker—the second one who just walked in, immediately hits the order In other to get not priority is at ority his is the on if sale next price; if not, the pri¬ lost—a' sale the clears was Sizes on a the order at to the two sold the his are recognizing the value advertising and merchandising important adjuncts to sales. They do need help, however. I spoke with at least 60 of them as buyers stock the to and all two buyers. After this sale, involving 200 shares, the stock, would our (assuming this quoted 49% vertising bid the next high¬ was est subsequent executions at the same price are determined by sizematching. All those equaling or conditions ate. exceeding match; if none, the largest amount executes first. orders cleared or priority when has has floor a been broker has been a executed his order, Except for relatively minor tech¬ nicalities these are the rules, in brief, governing auction market procedure—round-lot trading—on minutes the on which under possible. leaned stopping first re¬ The the side of the on is This has is stopped. Hence, the against which it is stopped been not executed. an done by taken is stock which order, facility, a not practiced is brokers whenever conditions per¬ broker with the another broker, usually the specialist, to guaran¬ tee to a customer the price at to-ad un¬ not have been executed at the time it the reached the trading post. of Hence, had mit. been specialist the then endeavors execution better a Having guaranteed, the broker so tain a customer. depend on next or ob¬ to price for Usually, this will the in what orders come in as protection against this sibility. The this 100 shares shares, be broker walks a sell to 100 long. As in with shares the the at quote order an market, indicates, he is sell this 100 at 50, because 50 the highest bid. After testing at 50 % can order to if see could be this sell market executed price, and getting no response, then asks broker that at the the specialist if he would guarantee him an execu¬ tion at the 50 price. The specialist and, in effect, pairs off the agrees sell at market order with the two orders at buy without effecflng one of 50, but sale. The a specialist now quotes the stock 50 bid, offered at %, 100 wanted and 100 offered. The 100 wanted is the remaining 100 of the 200 originally in the 50 bid. 50 Vz is in The 100 offered at reality the market order of the selling broker, being shown though it sell at 50Vs. as "■ were limit order to a One of two possibilities can now occur/ The in with an stock sell. will If he he will the no which order than worse walking an 50. to buy stock will was be The or at the stopped execution at customer, through the facility of stopping stock, and the cooperation of the brokers concerned, received a bet¬ ter price' than that which pre¬ vailed entered. was is longer no sell the at order This time sell order Th/e guarantee at 50 necessary was won't his because the executed disturb the at 50%. status must of by for 400 because is the be left free in the event in sends the two cus¬ cancellation in¬ This third condition governing c Let's now.' take A instead 'given 100 the selling of a 100. possibility broker walks buying broker. the duote and other and Since 50-%, size: there in He is is only ad- an in the U. S. A. to I was never international was upon opposite side, the side against which a newly arrived order could be exe¬ enthusiastic so about the future of business— our advertising as — from return my all complaints costs is am were country that we a sure that say Italy scooters. of the travel, is the They scoot when you directions, and things low mortality is unbelievable. rate Unfortunately, Italy is am¬ in various kincfs required and every having to be recorded. of check We had entered sooner no hotel, and cashed our check at the a tourist rate of exchange, when not more than 10 feet away from the I was approached by a banker-type looking gentleman. In perfect English he Offered to cash any currency I had at 45 cage, pesetas to checks dollar, and travelers' a at 40 realizes one setas to dollar. a that the When common la¬ approximately 50 borer makes pe¬ a week, you get some of the problems in Spain. In spite of idea, import severe re¬ strictions, one sees many luxury and cosmetic goods in the stores. Most are manufactured in Spain. Many bear American trademarks and of good quality are sonably priced remained and the well-coordinated could lieving that business well be rea-> If boulevards better the near and foreigners. to on Real advertising to bring in dangerous dollars—forms was regulations and currency was being one advertising neither channeled. nor hotels, deceived he. into be¬ was going on such, are few. The as usual in Spain. In the smaller and brokers, which oper¬ towns industrial districts,, group of publishers, and however, just keeping alive is really representatives, not quite a feat. are a service agencies. portant Radio is medium for an Broad social changes are taking place in these least of markets—not which is trend a the toward standardization, brought about, in part, by rationing. Because of uniformity in consumer goods, and their use, advertising greater be increasingly to build One called upon in the "Gallup" poll, is second and movie shorts third. more as primary objectives to review the fa¬ was associates, so as to implement our policy of controlled, well-thought-out ad¬ vertising campaigns and promo¬ tions. In this, I believe, we have better has staff competent a know, is Palace Hotel service still large and offers rooms, latter displays. Italy, country of in¬ their forgets to ask the waiter the price a dividual shopkeepers and and are counters One thing that startled was old courtly at a reasonable price. food, however, is something again. The menus are ail printed without prices arid if one great opportunity for a of small use you the the There is us small. in Italy, the great waste of money by Their else of a particular dish before order¬ ing, he can be assured that its cost will jar his pocketbook. Italian manufacturers, who simply plaster their names all over the country, or in press adver¬ Operating a business in Spain today would turn normal people's- tisements, Spanish many mention does without the of what their slightest product is, costs. or From our conditions, our there is doing good busi-> and ness, a importance, are economic volume sales. of In spite of these agency Press, according to "Dosas," who consisting of 25 people. In Madrid, windows and wanted! 1 im¬ consumer products. I this trip. I know our services, when properly understood, are needed— of the country in I now conducts trip on on bicycles, could it—they eagerly welcomed cilities apparently but gray, seems can it. take the Everything to be black market. Amer¬ ican this country, where ad¬ is so haphazardly han¬ vertising hair cigarettes are not allowed to sold, along with most other for¬ eign products. Nevertheless on be dled, we went to that compact, business-organization called Swit¬ old zerland. skirts There, people work hard, live well and enjoy themselves in each street women sit corner innocent little- with voluminous black on Step their stools selling belief, hotel management com¬ prises only 5% of Swiss business, for a pack of Camels, Si Senor! They're yours for 12 or 14 pesetas, depend¬ ing on your bargaining ability. quick look at each 44% being Ask for 70% of following the stopping of a large quantity of stock, protected First, we went to Italy. I had a bit of nostalgia going into Naples, for. it by had been cuted but would be which, if stopped. This is observed condition possible, latter dilemmas that might occur avoid if, than more half available amount on the total opposite in an even the side, there next comes larger order. Only a small por¬ tion of this larger order will be executed against the small amount remaining that against .the first not used order that was was stopped. Let's take covered. we 20 years since see¬ over this ing a that country port.- The lovely dock, with more efficient its is is anything we Naples proper than dirty-looking as al¬ beautiful as ever, and poor Capri ways; new modern cranes, have in the States. as and all the old stones look the this execution will go the With been successful. primarily to difference only exactly Really, the in Pompeii. same here is that the repute was so a quiet tors had "stopped out," that is, executed at the guar¬ anteed price. To show the full amount involved in this seeing it pair. would will the second cause one be whose order be stopped—to his execution large sale customer could complain price. not about This would tourists have to The are the that the going to pleasure of because it is under re¬ before week pected. GI's year forego crowded, was the by this be ex¬ same old to the hear You Rome Easter, was as report stories, depending upon where you for a smaller amount of shares are in Italy. If in the north, the only trouble with the country is executed at the first execution price than was printed on the the Southern Italians; if in the be because he ticker tape. fault—in received No one a would be at fact, all brokers in¬ volved, had done the very best under the circumstances, but the dilemma there total if would on than more amount stock an nevertheless were order half used be the of to coming stop in on South, those everyone in called dressed air that and works separate People Rome. , are filled 95% meal costs 600 You to with t — Ste¬ phen H. Archer has become con¬ nected with Rand Tower. J. M. Dain & is an Italians, a 1,500 lire, which Italian-made see "nailons," Unfortunately, these Joins J. M. Dain MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. well- prosperity. Even in offthe-boulevard restaurants, which swelled to The Financial ChroniclS) are there certainly of is $1.50 to $3.50, the opposite side. (Special except universe misunderstood to be nylons, everywhere. are generally DuPont ny¬ lons. Cosmetics, luxuries—in fact, everything—can now,be bought in know, can Thanks to be a secured rent at industry; carton a ask 6 cartons and or small no illusions city. The sardines- about easy to was be persuaded and worked a far greater extent than to the case a forgot to plus a run last year, and this>' slight drought, slowed down; business is short time ago. somewhat, but everyone optimistic for the coming year. This was one country where your distributors were particularly requires more than dis¬ thirsty sponges, and sought advice' play of a fair. It requires adver¬ on the most minute marketing tising, and Switzerland certainly questions. They wanted manufac ¬ has more per capita than any turing advice too, but in this, I other country. Getting an honest must confess, we do not profess appraisal of publications, however, to be experts. ;. is not easy. As advanced as Swit¬ The people are getting along zerland is in other respects, adver¬ well, they work like Portuguese tising-wise it still operates, with have always worked, food prices the exception of very few agen¬ are reasonable, and it is one coun¬ cies, on the basis of brokers, who try where there is an over-abund¬ actually represent a group of ance of houses and apartments. newspapers. The better distribu¬ Our friends were so hospitable tors, those who know our meth¬ that when we left there was a ods, realize that such agencies are regular funeral procession with inadequate to properly service a six loaded cars taking us to the client. You cannot be a buyer and airport. We almost* missed our a seller at the same time. ~ Selling merchandise in Switzer¬ land today plane, saying goodbye;, to our . Italy and, ,import licenses, as you Co.', to people live in -and up The Swiss had over It devoted the common sales and knew that the customer "admired" stopped. Contrary to way. papers. they will be produced from that businessmen, in same black skirt and at a discount. spite of the market being filled Advertising in Spain is of good with everything under the sun, quality by and large. Window are carrying on with a quiet op¬ cards in Spain have high value. timism, but the boys still go out In spite of the hospitality of our for their rifle practice, up to the many friends in Spain, it was a; age of 50 every Sunday morning. genuine relief to reach Portugal. Basel had a large sample fair Lisbon is a sunny, picturesque, while we were there and the gen¬ place with hospitality that matches eral feeling was that the exhibi¬ the charm of the towns. famous house of ill first large order, all of which was either of the two 100 share orders to buy at 50 since no sale has yet occurred at the 50 price. available of my greater than half the was as stopping of stock is that, gen¬ erally, stock will be stopped in an available restaurants are a amount total ma¬ high. agencies the no heavy their Whereas Denmark ate for will structions. too that were majority prove but seller would be a This the other of or —the buying a buy seller guaranteed or want represents And market broker either customer, 50V8. next executable order in this 400 other heard turning out The only month-to-month basis. the to the maximum that could shares. 100 the work help. represented was and stopped tomers The offer is for 100 shares, but in this example we are going to be concerned with the bide side. Now pos¬ is up of them or were by two customer's orders, one for bid by two orders, each for 100 shares. stopped shares 500 one represented be sales advertising is cumulative and that, therefore, it must be con¬ sistent, long-term, well-integrated and planned—and that statistics yet including the largest order on opposite side. Thus, if a total 500 shares was bid for, and given stock. Let's give you an example. Let's say a stock is quoted 50The 50 is for 200 shares, condition second will stock cially in chinery. of the oppo¬ on a testimony to the rapid that the Northern indus¬ When shown that the effectiveness need you site which the customer's order could place. than/one order more It permits cooperation of execution no was consider the speed at which these number be cancelled at any time. If instructions are received to cancel, this must be since Fair of forth chandising and sales. A surprising executed orders may ping And In their desire for The Dunn. trial part of Italy has made—espe¬ backwards to cooper¬ over by the hand, few of them really know how to coordi¬ nate and plan advertising, mer¬ stock facility, "Stopping stock." Stop¬ ping stock bears no relation whatever to stop orders. Stop¬ a Unless led necessary because stopped stock does not create a sale at the time the sador future. market (guaranteed). good fortune of being invited to the official open¬ ing of the Milan Fair, and attend¬ ing a luncheon with our Ambas¬ on that it 275 restaurant a the help, many figures and asked us to stay extra days to help them lay promotion plans for the opposite to the order that is to be stopped out over-all brought quires that there be at least two order the New York Stock Exchange. Now just a few is stop work a merchandising promotional plan—they and costs had splendid were strict 60,000 lire on l We . recovery through we bridge in helping to sounder When that — example, lire., ad¬ your "on-the-spot" associate bid), offered at 50V4, the price of the offer in the original quote. Here, briefly, are the three floor. integrated we living are the inflation and the high cost of some foods. A kilo of veal, for When like sponges. were how told be the had been warned that Spain month, about $100, in spite of per of time the second sell¬ broker of of one same markets, too. It is encouraging to see that European manufacturers and dis¬ It is executed at 50, the originally prevailing bid price. It sold limited the cities are tributors price. is frequency Recognizing Value of Advertising worse a and in other at this sale. stopped words, it was not possible better price, but he did execute other it order in and ritual of the 17 th century. We My European Trip in 1950 his executes is "stopped out'' 50, ing has They did look well-dressed and 4 page 33 ple—served with all the decorum this price customer's lows: offerer from food by selling his stock to one of the two buyers at 50. The first selling broker, whose the round-lot trading rules as fol¬ or and 50, bid at at the bidder Continued no ples further illustrating the pri¬ ority and size-matching rules. In summary, we can briefly describe The first (461) a price. freeze, people in Spain Depressed -s ' . From cold Switzerland, we flew Swissair to Barcelona—a trip which took only 3V2 hours. The by weather in Barcelona much was not better, and,; in addition,; a heavy cloud of oppression seemed to friends and -yours,.-X hang over the people. .The dailies -o in ^Portugal -;a i;e there are A acceptable magazines.., Commercial radio.. is good and available ( on the three stations other than the National, with government provision Continued the that all inon page 34 34 (462) The Commercial and Financial Chronicle Continued jrom Here, stores from earned must go coam.erciais 30 uy to improve L.e suuv-. Recuperation in France has We flew to Paris, wiucn xs only hours picturesque food Paris all and Perhaps it away, wiui that from wiui goes sheer other than iViu^i countries. can the French character. to who us stand the this, just of understand as we ta*e weir politics. The and t..e fac¬ we saw visited we all i.ara at were optimiSiii was every¬ where to be seen, in spite of cer¬ tain signs that business was taper¬ ing off after two years of remarKwork, and able recovery. The is stable and high. The old dinners I used to buy for 8 francs "prixfix," now are 500, but there are still little price level holes-in-the-wall where is good and one can get a dinner of four courses for 275 francs. Incidentally, I won champagne from a Frenchman wealthy said who of bottle a edible an dinner could not be found at that price. France you is little one which today trick has in proved profitable. If, by chance, were renting an apartment befofe the $200 a year rent it to and war paying were for it, you could now eager-beaver Amer¬ ican for $200 a month and retire to in villa the keep in ample luxury—if you Frenchman. you are a question of know-how, but those are good. active, find business There still is a two-tonow three year wait for to secure but if walk blocks, how¬ 15 to 20 acres of brick and rubble meet his eyes. ever, an expanse of No reconstruction We destruction evidence. that this informed were in is done one was vast night in six hours. Here the dressed than and xurt people they along with not merchandise in Frank- are the vards the stores but main boule¬ well stocked, are much as better are American finds in Frank¬ as one friends you Renault a in idea some edibles in the of supply in> and drive you off one the the old as Havas wjhen this government practically controlled pub¬ agency licity in the market. There the States, it takes a good lead of and for the British one agency guidance to on our part to keep them well-planned, a coordinated stricted in size, becomes soon bicycles zone. the streets like noon The at the This the was first really oughly bombed city it and sight. is rather least At buildings block In have the been seen depressing quarter of a practically on thor¬ had we a a.m. the every badly damaged. Frankfurter Hof Hotel where we stayed, they have only repaired the servants' quarters and we had hotel In six-flight climb to a our tion of room. Frankfurt, forgetting the damage, one might well be in the main street the Des of store Moines, finding windows the in same American products we have here. Few Germans, however, can af¬ ford them. Western Germany, particularly in the manufacturing towns around Frankfurt, has made a clowns more rehabilitated than houses Germany comeback or more within to 3V2 ismaking as we recovering, a strong recapturing a number of their European markets. This, rot onty because I've of been quality, but informed thev derselling the U. S. and because are un¬ England wishes, There town the all In stores, are stores through¬ buy can with dollars. glass and ceramic Dane is rather put upon, a most marked of the for better export items only, are which that you can only buy them with dollars. means From by recent a the School, mark ing. study conducted Copenhagen Business it is apparent that Den¬ appreciates the power of promotion, the it as national invests income This is a in 1.4% of advertis¬ significant figure. heard Americans May, had begun of machines, American goods is much in the or way other off-the-floor Although can of movies and excep¬ As opera. a one / anywhere eiiican in Europe. for reason the has ad¬ be seen, few there, of food from behind lhe Iron Curtain. 235 over combined The papers circulation biggest of single circulation of 235,000. a feels certain a uneasiness Sweden. Perhaps when they displayed their beautiful told are you that see best you duplicate of what a above ground ground. In of case whole hospital is be moved underground and will fit exactly as it does above. you They way took the day train to Nor¬ in the hopes of seeing beau¬ tiful I scenery. was reminded, in every detail, of our own North¬ west. The way the lumberjacks dressed, their mills and their saw all duplicates of ours. (Or should I say, ours were dupli¬ of theirs!) Perhaps I've camps were cates overstressed youth was this detail, but my spent in lumbercamps. Oslo was, celebrating its 700th anniversary and was gayly decked out. In rather is than somber in This is if spite probably struct and substantial their and Companies market tonnage find you items. very would many care to goods are either or of inferior qual¬ ambition Sweden, the business is capable. This sound one strictions wegians today is to crowns most secure to visit now sdon as be London seemed lifted when import has ant been re¬ One could thing he practically in the any¬ restaur¬ the least, the British people now no hardships. There is an air of quiet optimism, for, are enduring as know, their trade balances rising and they actually have you ended the last three months dollar All mously than of the before high Nor¬ enough Stock¬ unani¬ better were the war, prices of in spite of much The same un¬ derlying tone of confidence, that there will always be an England, and a free England, was felt by me ; ■ . living in years that not the . same when I as was that lovely country Unfortunately, I feel ago. the future. case order you London, I will laborers in England are working allows, no gin higher than 68 proof. Conse¬ rushed to Brussels. ■ quently, we 1929. prices New York we equal to those in higher. are or all know, this market has on the up-grade longer than other in Europe and, in spite tightening conditions for cer¬ any of tain of their industries, due to high costs, the gay spending Bel¬ gian doesn't appear to be wor¬ ried. Their salaries are high and they living well. They were even boasting that the Belgian franc- are is practically ready for converti¬ bility. Following business in general, advertising agency business is booming, handling a great vol¬ the fortunate were driven from dam. The two contrast cities Food Brussels is machinery, keep scale produc¬ through improved be essential her on to present living. Business, in general, is good, mildly optimistic in spite of the heavy taxation. They fully realize, however, and ex¬ it the clearly, that the cost of socialization taking place in England, is tco great, and sooner later somebody is going to pay the piper. or It was that surprising to of the old affairs fashioned they number and ready the the 75 or price of what in except old- same way that years ago. English firms, had this on al¬ fact, mentioned that although it pleasant to do business with British, they certainly lacked efficiency of the American .Quite saw know that a contrast Americans how to do to the did not export business! Advertising space is rationed as to size and amount and it is diffi¬ cult to get. more During wer<J*;cut pages whi'cW our back will make valuable. the one. it is in of some Brussels, the fancier tourist restaurants. Perhaps the optimism and rebuild greatest spirit determination their economy hibited in Holland. When the you the a stores can to ex¬ city completely gives the im¬ it small that town. had The previously the center have moved to temporary buildings skirts was of Rotterdam, with see center of main of the bombed the on out¬ One area. fully realize the terrific they have for the Ger¬ stay, the to four space even Other reasons be¬ sides small space allotments make We mans. were told that the bombing had been done so accu¬ rately because German spies had been living in Holland for years and owned many shops. Many of these German stores and houses were spared as the bombers flew low enough to choose their targets. I was actually shown some of their buildings still standing, but not by Germans I assure you! owned Today, a German cannot enter Holland except for a specific tech¬ job and then he is given a nical permit then European distribu¬ commented house. old of busi¬ that represented both Amer¬ ican the 25 to find line conductin g in inefficient were tors still were their A me many nesses between hatred of businessmen being Rotter¬ noticeable a been in greater or in to in Holland is about half the greater will England of New York in us of man, distilled be Business is booming, people away, work to Belgium and Holland It reminded pression of per in the the you complaining to he brings one tast¬ ing like water. It is simply im¬ possible to make a dry martini to our taste, because the government as hard as those in the other European countries, ahd that sooner or later, tion Martini of bombed many a. save when We interviewed they agreed off In ume. laborers talked to in England, and with surplus. the of his been before. purchase tax certainly is retarding influence on trade. a problems, particularly those of England. Perhaps the very old sherry, helped, but I assure you that an Englishman is confident restaur¬ off Of course, they still ration certain scarce items in the homes a history. Everyone talked freely about their opinions on solving the world As ants. and week a Yet, in spite of all these agencies were doing the biggest volume in ceil¬ week secure cut there. were gay, people are working hard; above all, they are optimistic. as the desired we remedy for this in the immediate Food to have the lid taken prices just all, typographers are arrived, we it or more to get an ad set, and lit¬ erally months for the printing of booklets and displays. I see no a lifted. are allow appren¬ This meant it would take and will as not agency organized market top out overtime wnen waiter advertising well did training of tices. trouble largest. Conditions in England papers of is operating in-thebusy. Profits and are many were the guild system commercial are both good. The ad¬ vertising business, along with the others, is doing a big volume. Space is difficult to secure. Like and other sound a business was country, as it foods, as well as most occupa¬ understand building of the world's one here severe Their over-priced, ity. Swedish a country where I doubt that The was the well in highly unionized; lost in the war and handicaps, wonderful during diffi¬ a The tradesmen the business are future. When though, because the gov¬ policy has been to con¬ a fleet Rationing place. would you this,, it more many one of other any these can are ernment press We which economy below emergency, can to¬ only can by the Dutch. lived new * the it is show hospital, built hill, and upon inquiry you a on that their merchandise. have a bitterness * 250 over finds one hear stories of the conditions tion, stage of the agency busi¬ associate whic.i problem,. To their their hatred. are one off At of the witn upon linings. the Germans people the best market data ob¬ us have. business them¬ advertising statistics and items immediately. regimented morning until midnight. One in get typewriters Here, ward ings the Swedes have so themselves that they out clothing Stockholm the no English other lan¬ entertainment, with the feel the pinch of a real seller's market in some lines. One could all have the cult down inch of square be equalled speak learn never almost covers Sweden In Cadillac a or We prefer an apartment." Another example of their teaching! The guide was amazed when my wife spoke Spanish to a friend—as he had shortage of a items famous including live. to anything plus all other forms of advertis¬ ing—with the evcept.ion of radio, which is controlled by the state. For where you rationed the purchase They have 450 periodicals, includ¬ ing weeklies and trade magazines, country is imports are despite dollars. chance, there by then starve and place paper has the would get one They are rapidly out (if, can 3,000,000. I'm told to all know, they are he one They in posi¬ you years. We sistently. Denmark, example, if you are running a business to¬ day and would like a new type¬ writer, you would be put on a list, and at the present rate of importation, income. our sell to the Swedes, it is necessary to advertise heavily and con¬ Danish than any are although quickly stores. me) ness—our down geographical restricted. in how and also take a us Americans here, please pardon are vanced other nationality. rapid recovery and plants have been where Perhaps a the and tne people and five offices—is that to swarm in their mind poverty such as in Amer¬ tainable advertising. great sense of humor. for walking down the streets of ica, no these of don't telling live, and to large portion of have with active, lovely hour of 6 where school of fish at a people spite We government give 5 p.m. and passed Swedisn proud are apartments. cient, accustomed which highly Germany: We arrived in Frank¬ furt Swedes few European countries Denmark Jne modern However, Sweden is zone Copenhagen is lovely and clean. Business Germany famous "We asso¬ carrying are .ubstantial amount of campaign. In the we went apartment houses, they would say: from hundred^ of dailies, are It consequence, restaurants are filled trade magazines and trade papers ivailable which, although re¬ a philosophy. something like this: As of hardships they suf¬ are four or five good service agen¬ fered during the occupation are cies. Although some of their probably the most optimistic of executives have been trained in all, perhaps because the Dane has now their humor, and cer¬ tainly out of anything in tne line looked situation, and appointed two ciates, one for the American can Advertising in France is not under Germany, I advertising and the over ihe as in in sewn under us taking of Thursday, August 3, 1950 . for sufficient us, patted to make such that no or small items were was you selves of point with stockings is taking tours througn the was that the guides, ob¬ intelligent young college students, could not help offering tion While Sweden train their each coats canals, viously have their gives this market. Citroen, or have dollars you chaotic Germany to England. This country, the to when Frankly, regimented of from ages in guages. an odd quirk. A people informed us .hey had been sending food pack¬ number what socialization The only and furt. searched reentering featuring price. all was women traveling on the were tnoroughly reasonable a really effective. One of tne most interesting things that struck us car, Frenchman a floor. days northwest about six There Doing business in France is that Hamburg, district, gives the impression of not having been touched by the war. There is no destruction. As one goes to the of south France where the $200 would a of center an small a The We discovered There quite as around the lake food the many pretty girls as possible to find. Quite a job was too! people tories had depicting their prod¬ floats ucts with it con¬ manufac¬ and hosiery, at ciotning of ail as . advertising in this market at home, kinds. Tne delightful Norwegian filled made them important to the Swedes. we from around Hamburg u..uei- built which parade wholesalers Stockholm, get to government realizes this, and two we windows, in walk¬ American, as more vehicles of all kinds, on of wnich Tnose of Were Frencn the way commercial turers lived have Ham- As such these, unfortunately, imported from England, the Kayser name, which is Known driving from the station to hotel, we were delayed by a our auiioutea oe Frankfurt. tnan ana impossible are Altbougn were sisted I believe, of even available are seven brand were and has returned to normal easier spirit, France gives one u.e im¬ pression of recuperation raster this, is it of through Kayser with currency impression that was ~cuve il. in market first our and ousue of practically disappeared. ourg good lis ing types many this black Su.ne is in counted ijOOliS. Tne five 50% to the are stocKings My Emopean Trip in 1950 come holm and return with things that merchandising and the highest quality and prices are reasonable. Nylon 33 page . for specific a returned We period Germany. to there were at the and official opening, which the Queen at¬ tended, of the port of Rotterdam, Called Rotterdam Ahoy. The city was gaily decorated, and in taking the tour around this largest port in the world, it was encouraging to see the reconstruction job been done. As you the port was completely destroyed by the Germans before they left. which has know, Driving from Rotterdam sterdam The through Hague though the was to Am¬ Haarlem and delightful, even tulips were not bloom. Amsterdam was touched in and the last war in not still Volume 172 Number 4930 . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . . retains its old charm and seems to Continued from be much gayer and more bustling than The shown in the optimistic are for reasons this, statistics Venture as rapid improvement. I ness, our a know that at least one client's distributors is takdim view of his future very unless restrictions business Stores amended. Quality items, however, expensive. quite are attitude test. vestment neia in taxing steps vestment laKing sieps The jf you _ is Of Mo.—Jon Rob¬ with Wad- (Jell & Reed, Inc., 1012 Baltimore Avenue Joins Slayton & Co. the Slayton & Co., Inc., 408 Olive Street. expropriate thing become you can current anticipate, less and expenses your see what capital expenditures, and hold and If you that (Special to The Financial Chronicle) has have to look, at the gross re- probably going to be able keep within the next two, three, fourM>r five years. CHARLOTTE, N. C.—Moses S. .— the you y0ur the & McKinnon with Thomson & properties, your you are With Thomson ston point have to look at is not the profit in the ordinary sense, but the pay out, and you have to 1 nn\r fo ohnnt look for quite a short pay out. to „ the to affiliated _ McKinnon, John- Building can't-aee the likelihood foreign investment may largely be returned within a f airly "short period of time, in the present state ofcjhe world, it is an investment you shouldn't make, T" ' in ment Saunders Stiver Adds the .United "All right; say million (Special to The Financial Chronicle) dollar^" ' States, you We will spend 10 That is a more less permanent stake, and if we or ■ CLEVELAND, Ohio John M. — Gorman has staff Saunders, Stiver & Co., of Terminal bers been Tower the of change. added Building, Midwest He mem¬ Stock Ex- formerly was the to with ^ Gottron, Russell & Co. can receive 6 10 million ' to The Poisson is 5 in Chronicle) Ohio—Robert A. with Bache & Co., now West Broad Street. Witherspoon Corp. to The if the that on going to invest are you borderline trouble areas Financial China market able Chronicle) worked we purely operation and to go on and ment, :i- Corp. is engaging in the business from Witherspoon cers dent and C. K. S. ;ese¬ a offices Building. Samuel are Street. ir in OffiPresi- Voigtsberger, Sec- retary' With Courts & Co. ; ROME. is now that rnai we on were restricted invest- a we to able were investment investment donesia, in still H. get have it in In out, and business. If inIn- because we are out get we of that one, roved it will have proved have wise been back nue. exercise of to 10 our TS*'Problem The If you are interested counting, Julien Collins Adds esting. there are of La the Thomas — Salle Street, Midwest A. ^„ added rollils t hdien Of South 111. been Stock Indonesia ratearea rate area. (Special to The Financial Chronicle) has in tax some ac- angles members Exchange. Financial CHICAGO, 111. — Chronicle) Carol J. Et_ scheid has been added to the staff of Geyer & Co., Inc., 231 South La Salle Street. Miss Etscheid was a hasir 40% business, oil or tin, there are gov- effective total Geyer & Co. Adds The have The.^have 0^ ernment royal«ea On high-tax- a corporation that raise payment your the to government at least to about 50%. The to Thev is a basic 40% ta®~. On extractive The second big special risk in the foreign field is the risk arising from the relatively non-conKi I i+tr r\f tirViinVi id vertibiiity of currency which is an outstanding feature of foreign nnrronnv for in in shortly after the the "40-calIed accel- »xn years war. It really started back during the period of the depres- considering making (8pecial to The Financial Chronicle) ' BATON Baker is business ROUGE, La.—John W. engaging in from sonic Temple offices securiUes a in the Ma- iting in me operating in the area, and n is a ana it is matter of increasing your invest** ~— u ' dollars. You may be spending local currency, and in that case, it is either funds which you could bave converted into dollars or funds which you could not have converted into dollars. it's If funds which could have converted, you are spending dollars. Don't confuse yourself by the local currency. It it is funds you could not have converted, you don't have there and you They are problem. a don't you want them Building. basis, same tax To the extent that you put hard money in, you want to get hard money out again, and it is a matter of forecasting what the possibilities u— are «i that regard, in — There has been a tremendous lot said, in connection with the oil business specifically, about the problem. It has xv up controversy, I think, dollar-sterling uwnai-ovcinns stirred business worried thatr... . if an investor about the oil British of com- Conwav Co. Formed (Special to The Financial Chronicle) figure until or that he had that is have a currency problem in the British efoHW Mnn en,,nfrieR The and sterling bloc countries. The British Treasury and the Bank of England true, have a you until he he had rather stringent funds control program, and only certain under English circumstances currency be can converted into you can do with the Eng- retains a certain amount of international respect. British fiscal authorities are anxious that foreigners, and parprofit ticularly American investors, a had as much back as he shotild not accumulate non-convertible English currency—as anx- thought at 174 portant in a Federal Street to the was safety. That was factor minimum certainly an for im- in Chiacch'a. President and Treasurer, and Mary G. convincing us that we ought to go back, and that we would be justified in doing so. I want to tie that up as Mahoney, an are securities business. engage Officers Pasquale Secretary. illustration of the enlightened yni,tlnrtlr W3S a^ The are quite pleased to see " uxVex Tl° IIldKe capuai "vestments m Japan, or bring country, but there 7 it ' To currenUy^you funds loc/aJets down your .a?.d 7™ <=an build E.r. liabilities position. yaur of the up You f^n.,n? ^aV?. ® same protection . difficult to remit fnnHs currentslyalmcu" t0 remlt funds '/j * today at«U!L€*h' establisbed getting the money out . been is ,. matter funds. in a again. ,, of tO HI dOllarS and dollar SCrVlCCS establish a useful enterprise that •_ extent that investors buy yen with in order to make capital ." i.: lem ties in with the witolredselv *emitVour faced * U1 rooonnnhiQ n currency Note il0w this devaluation prob- i G ? vJ Jremittance American dollars against foreign aegree of stability wfu ^n°hesitate Protective JnvestorsTre vnnreoX vourself tppt tect -x ' r , J"" h „ „ British have pretty decent to deal with, . tremey devaluation situations^ ex becomes almost aimost ' imnossihip impossible tn to protect yourself. regulations has recently promulgated by which it able to get, «uu the machinery and is " cumoersome, and up to date I know of nn fine who hac crntt^n I out in China in remember was talking of of one Her our children 1946, and with the executives in were the wife there. As far I know, the situation as American-occupied in Germany is substantially the same. In sucn cases, the trick is to see how Amer- they mey adjusted to a situation situation which she was entirely unable to to tn wnauic tu _.:.._x for after-school treats, but when she stopped to think, she realized it was a perfectly quest, reasonable she gave it to them so re- When they returned the little girl said that she had spent her $50,000 for a dish of ice cream and the brother had bought a candv bar which had cost $40 000. The mother asked, "What did you do and with the other $10,000?" worth of dollar materials services, so that for a dollar of The little boy said, "What can investment and local currency in you do with $10,000? I made spitthe equivalent of $10 you ca i balls with it." 111, iucn an inflation you are £>et^ an $11 enterprise?^ On that basis , . , . getting into large a game at a low cost. th . . ht h . materials f^purchlse' currencv because if or is ® J nnt:;tinn SV mavbp ^J^avL $3 g y for t which . ir. vour th niif the to such= or capital as such, oi " as to make investment the when ; a alrcad are soft-currencv area have vou currency area, you nave .. another of erouo Droblems One is how to handle the devaluation of th- °ecur ably in„al This If you 1* on a -hnniri reason- h of and reSeptember, last be met. you look tT difficulties you £ i e is the. normal dpaiinl •+? you exPei'tence in dealing with an ran a dfffin,1if exchange find at in that the Country the balance X, current substantially current liabilities, in are or and assets of excess you have a devaluation risk in terms of United States dollars> If the local cur_ re capabiTity i«h t j y°There shrink the Bnt- the entire Sterling mean mea".tae entire Sterling a™, rency^ ttwiS, ', gn tne Bank of Eng- , ver?'"nVer lefused dollars ^e They hold down you to c0"- profits dollar investment on on a the money they will let you hivest particularly the foreign curren(* cur- y tanto and eauinmp".!< }J,n ltem of capital have nQt to^nSSSFK* luxu .ce be"i+^.rst you require for secondly eSally two things wbjcb you can do about this risk available' . if they wiU let you out before you thing every time you do it. is very hard to guess th© day It or Zlbrc vou vnn ug y n0t sou.™e' th fj}ey ^ur th+at you, dollars ^ current ScapiS Inwstcos^thpm^?**3* £ cost em ess to give for the rnent It Qne of thege is to build up your local liabilities by borrowing money, running an overdraft. That means you are taking your profits and costs i no? givt They whl j ?S' «• Sntinrt .j T°U ^ hifci L from If ft vour that reduced am elam^le example, For t ish, and I AnU ig devalued your assets and liabilities con- td ]ike the EngBsh one, in they attemP"«g to n! system within and local subsidiary r branch °f current Period g fu sterling currency can sheet of local occur n" uL" VvT the iL organized basis, ' like devaluation lated :f ™irrPn-v mal It earnings and by the time paid. jt doesn't aniuuni ^L amount r°S?A tvnoc If there are three principal the operaHng jt is +u~ y?Ui_cap1/ ln vou St"^ fpay~®^ * na!!rPay practlcally no taxes. npHni? y°-Ur S on the prior in ODPration a?e eoiL canital . Y mnnev oositivelv vou t ^he S of $]1 _ 'rient sourre hard of :A catches up 1S g01ng to wiPe 0L,t with local source periods worth in ^hlch. lf the d lnca 1 having see basi ,t _ no worth eauivaient thp extremely fast because trying to stay ahead of " v~. "r"-7 ^ are ... jlYofHinrr "the ^cal thJ^vnn"^ g°°d ^ing ab°ut in vou there | a"®e .. £ services , moving you , Everyone is aware of the fact that if a lot of foreign investors as amazingShow quIckW was much you can make do with how little, if you decide to go ahead at all. If it is possible to borrow local funds, the problem is one of ratio- Can you put to work $10 worth of local funds with $1 have actually received them. Another method, if they will let you, by which you can protect yourself fairly effectively is buying dollar exchange forward., It will cost you some- ions said it any, which makes one wonder if her daughter said that she and anyone is going to. her brother each needed $50 000 the investor is that he should not—because the accumulation of nonconvertible pounds would put pressure on the value of pound. • BOSTON, Mass. — Conway Co., Inc., has been formed with offices a uuincoui. oper" domestic upcx t that you will hesitate. Prospective that do outlook, hH investment of foreign wouldn't have are Without considering whether or not he could do iust what I said, and not 7. companies. pound # That meant were fob as les® you are they are concerned to see that the the poses. cost that , pur- income available for dividends additional been involved in should be possible to get profits back on approved investments located, it means putting in dol- *ou,.ican.;11 '■f11 the rate of lars entirely; if you are already Profit will be that you will be on re- taxpayer kept his books and -computed his John Baker Opens ' The only that the was additional operations investment in any particular area in which you are not already lish pound On the other hand, the English are much more particular about their currency than most foreign countries are, and to year. tnat - was an from year u x k,,+ fonfnr factor a A set of are constant a operations, and the profits have to be large enough to carry niaushde^ur^ncV S?tna mav^fi^^reasv to^fnvest' , sion. If you when the year cose of Hnn« tess piausiDie currency situations, to the things quirement ~ nrm4.rflin„rt certainly and immediately prior and it didn't have to- be consistent formerly with Blair & Co. t. fh postwar period tne few a wnicn manipulation have will below rates or devaluation is going to take place, n you try to protect that way, you oe trading month or 35 poind®l^SeptemL^^t^asn I trs'upportlherostf you ca^pro! Non-Convertibility of Currencies thorities trade will thlfsUuaUon tnlapan American. You ma.y find yourself in a position where you erated or free depreciation plan, are developing funds wmcn will iunas which win under which they Jet a taxpayer be permanently blocked in Engwrite off capital investment for land. tax Purposes at whatever rate he However the English pound is wanted. It didn't have to tie in a comparatively desirable curwith any anticipated useful life, rency, and there are a lot of Dutch, put war, (Special r\t of panies at the expense of American which I think you will find inter- CHICAGO, yidrf. risks the unfriendly governments or revolutionary governments, but you j i can develop and illustrate the oil with Courts & Co., 4 East Second Ave¬ Watson of primarily because of the accusations by a number of persons that the British were artilicially manipout again, you can afford to ulating their -exchange in order some rather special chances, to increase the share in the world McWil- affiliated out again. out again, don't know, we don't we take Ga.—Oscar Jr. illustration you illustration judgment. On,the other hand, if you can get a large business going with most of your capital (Special to The Financial Chronicle) liams, give tiiiiyXynfinn to be the thing to do. a PHILADELPHIA, Pa.—Withercurities could lying around in the bank anyway, If you have a possible expansion program which otherwise appears to be sound, it is obviously going • spoon tnat mat to come in. I week con- important factor All producing impui ^cuit IuLvUX in Jjiuuuliii^j an 3" abroad, it is.unrealistic to figure your profit until you have your money back. That is the pay-out analysis that you have to use in In (Special ill ^QVCmiTlCnt a are necessary to induce investors nfioy efforts exchange That type of that kind of situation. Financial COLUMBUS, profit premation reinvested to keep our capital whole, that may be a good deal. You don't expect to get the But (Special 7% or dollars, consistently period of time, with the de- over a over a stake back. Joins Bache & Co. of backward,^ after to tends to discredit the pound. MendlveS,vegr^lw thTmiTt P°int ^ ^ ^ You Felix Gamier associated with Mahaley deterioration a government ceipts that ST. LOUIS, Mo. now risk, either of a nou tSpecial to The Financial Chronicle) is i- mi that hnoin^c earnot operate at all, business Chronicle) affiliated now +V-,nyn thni Financial J KANSAS CITY, erts certain of the nrVmyn political stability, where there is _ The are nnntjooi cfoKiu+ir With Waddell & Reed to making is that investing in an area am where you can t be real (Special point I and three-cornered official have not recovered our money yet, and that, after all, is the final we are well stocked, are to Overseas Investment Although importation into Hol¬ land is a highly selective busi¬ those, in balances pressure made to convert them which leads Capital in their of tremendous up London, there is vert businessmen have ing build 8 page Rotterdam. and of (463) ditions because control the which the effect of That but China tvne have a the canital sort with • n'niimr vn., of thin then (c. +eC? ' Lri tofr®eze a Vb„ v i kVG rGPe y°U govprn n^f 3 of situating runnwav nothing that the " ,?J-x-can addltl?.ns make vou whatever Pltal ad- firct nl',rrpni . infi vernment can on page 36 Continued U The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (464) Continued from Venture from the United them to a foreign country, incur special risks that are necessarily involved, and then actually pay for the inferior gov¬ ernment protection which you re¬ ceive there—more than you would capital States, 35 page Capital in Overseas investment pay funds move on similar a investment at vestor, large to tries to do is going to or able with make They are dealing situation which has gotten a and entirely beyond their control. such In cases, if you can talk official outside his office, to an lie may be pretty realistic about We went practical problem. your along with China for a time. They would give us dollars just for the laid down cost of imported oil, nothing for overhead, nothing for we kept telling the Bank of China you can't profits, and Central stay in business that way. Finally, we got hold of a lead¬ ing private banker and talked to him and told him our problem. He talked to whom official an knew and he back and told us, came *T can't tell you anything. This is all in confidence, but if you are riot including profit in the padding your better start some started It more all it the time long a in Asia today. in U. S. Taxation of Foreign Profits vertibility of foreign currency Where the foreign tax rates are funds, I think that what I have You get low, on the other hand, the Amer¬ said indicates those are only a ican investor pays United That is to the as of the Mexican oil fields, countries to rig a tax so that the foreigner pays, even without hav¬ ing it indicated on the statute books that there is any distinction the between foreign the and local good many cases you likely to run into an unfavor¬ day, and in are a able rate differential. Those are, that inhibit the large movement of capital funds to for¬ eign areas where for some reason operating to taxpayer. One easy way is classification. The big enter¬ prises in most of these countries it isn't desirable. it." will be foreign owned, and simply That raises the question of what Finally, you can run into a sit¬ adjusting taxes in accordance with uation where the exchange regu¬ can be done about it, if anything the total volume of business, and lations are rigged to produce a should be done about it. It appears automatically places the heavy result of one kind or other. The to be a national policy to encour¬ rate against the outsider. How¬ present Indonesian regulations age American investment abroad, ever much that may be against will do for an laid down invoices, cost by maybe you example. official The between United the 3,8. Until was of the rate States is dollar upon that which all of¬ made. were TPhen somebody came system by which they 3.8 rupiah few months ago a transactions this exchange Indonesian the and ficial rate with up a preserved rate officially but they regulations some¬ thing known as the foreign ex¬ change certificate. added the to Whenever you go to the central bank to buy foreign currency with Tupiahs, have you give them to the official rate of exchange plus certificates in double that amount, and you buy the certificates from the bank, so the net effect is that you pay about three times the rate for hard currency. to the bank If you came to buy rupiahs, they give you certificates, but not twice the amount, only a like would amount. You see how that works out? It has the effect of two other things. First, it means that the Importer has to pay half again as much for currency by which he purchases imports as the exporter gets for foreign currency, the re¬ ceipts of his exports. In effect, it operates as a rather high tariff on everything, without distingushing between the degree of necessity of the item imported. (That is not by the interests of the country in the long appealing politically in the short Second, assuming make you a profit, if you are a foreign inves¬ tor you then have to convert your '-profit back at this three-times of¬ ficial rate which in effect pay tax In order that you additional 50% means an to get your profits -out again. Now, that, I submit, is not the 'kind of system which has any tendency to encourage vestment in Indonesia, and' that is private in¬ the kind of system under which it is most difficult to do business be¬ more simply, you can do it into can you the a shakedown. The sad part of all this is that cannot but feel some sym¬ pathy with the theoretical objec¬ tives behind many such regula¬ tions. the so-called Point designed for that pur¬ endeavor to train local until they can take there Unless have been some be provisions might quite broad. They were re¬ guarantees against the risks inherent in foreign ferred to as consequences they are the of the investment carries the normal tax it ered, I recovered. is By recov¬ actually mean brought mitted be restricted ments? In that to future invest¬ case dis¬ you are criminating against the groups which have been investing abroad over period a in criminating who have of favor been of if But abroad. it liability that it limited so the part on is enormous. to me additional seems unless there is implementation for now their funds isn't of the United States Furthermore, persons induced the first time to send dis¬ and years an the on side, the very fact that the Government of the United States has underwrit¬ the ten So funds. far re-- or as the American investor abroad is con¬ cerned, profit which is represent¬ ed by fixed assets or cash in the anything else in a foreign investment, is not a profit yet. Ac¬ bank or to show it countants have according their the to trade, as one conventions but from a of point of fiscal management, it isn't a profit yet, and it of that the tax col¬ seems this country could wait. lector in Despite the extraordinary risks foreign investment, I think that, barring the development of a large-scale international war convertibility of profits of capital for the investors abroad, will encourage the foreign government again in could hope to see foreign invest¬ ment moving to take a three titude about and recovery American tolerable nonchalant at¬ the supplying of that American in¬ funds. vestors investing abroad tax¬ are able in the United States on those foreign earnings. However, they get a credit against the tax pay¬ in the United able tax payable doesn't terprise of advantage their Cuba cable rate tors American have en¬ number a tried of that to take to put foreign in¬ fluctuating to providing a Treaties Commercial Improved Needed It to seems our me that the thing government could most usefully do is to press with great vigor a program of improved treaties of friendship which under merce and the com¬ foreign would be required to guarantee convertibility of a rea¬ sonable profit, to be stipulated perhaps by the treaty, and the reasonable recovery of capital for country United investments States made in those foreign areas, the execu¬ tion of such treaties being made condition precedent to the to-government Point If IV technical aid, by the of United things done. were instead of limited degree to un¬ derwrite the risks, put the pres¬ sure on the foreign government to government, our lessen so, a risks those that it the to would have such you extent their power to do in was an im¬ proved opportunity for foreign in¬ vestments to as it make much more desirable. The foreign coun¬ tries would have realize to this, point could certainly be brought home to them. this and should not put a foreign profit in the United States unless the profit is realized. The most important point is that the foreign backward areas, desiring dollar investment, must realize that "you can't have your cake and eat it." You can¬ not simultaneously penalize an investment for the local political advantage which you might ob¬ way services, capital, special governmental projects. the of or you burden tax tain by on a doing and so have the money come the want expect to in. If they money and if it is not from available government-to- government sources on a basis of competition with private invest¬ that think I ment, most foreign governments can be made to see the point. If those things could be done, I think there is very little doubt of the advantages to all concerned. a great deal of There has been ex¬ under program out fairly good amount if a Second, proposed a tax appli¬ equal to the rate the inves¬ paid at home. which States in we money treasuries. specifically vestors as higher abroad, the own once long As anything, but countries into rate a cost the States for abroad. the tax isn't it the next few years, trying to mentioned tension of any of the government- As originally drawn, for¬ whichever of the two higher, and that is the net ef¬ fect of the foreign tax credit, his rate, is to oped areas. pay¬ or back in terms of dividends a guarantees' eign until that would be poten¬ even ment in the so-called underdevel¬ the position of tially Very large indeed, and is it I talk, tremendous amount in the a foreign countries, and some in the United States, about the exploita¬ the for¬ tion of backward areas by in a over more and investment. The bill most promi¬ The second eign, thing which I think and particularly British, ton the investors. less than the wages lieve, to the risk of nonconverti- ican investor abroad bility of reasonable profit plus the recovery of capital investment in United States currency as dis¬ tinguished from local currency, and a guarantee by the United ings abroad. That is States responsible positions in your organization. If local capital de¬ sires to invest, particularly if it is exploit local resources, probably you should welcome that capital more into your organization. If your wages are low, special your Charles Chinese actual Carroll, of General Mo¬ tors, and a number of others in who As Mr. Austin Foster expressed the National Foreign Trade Coun¬ cil. a that maybe available they ought to be higher. They are low by the American standards in dollar in the funds event will of be expropriation. it, neither sense that guarantees in the lawyer would recog¬ a intended government is not the guarantor on his earn¬ are paid to subject, and I don't plan to spend very long on it, but I would like to sketch the basic day laborer in the United States, that, of course, is true. However, if they mean that the Shell Oil Company in Hong Kong pays less argument to a highly con¬ troversial There is are foreign government which presses nize a guarantee because a guar¬ this type of regulation against the antee is the underwriting by one consequences of the system. It is foreign investor. Nevertheless, you individual of the promises of an¬ •one device out of many which must not fail to realize that if "the other individual. In these cases might have been adopted to take thing is pushed too far, there will there isn't any basic promise. Our a little more from the foreigner. be no foreign investment at all. system; Yet, pose. legislative put the American inves¬ American Now, if nently under discussion at the our government might do to great by exploitation they simply mean personnel present time limits those, I be¬ advantage is not to tax the Amer¬ the wages paid to a coolie in Can¬ If you are operating given country, it should be cause the hardships experienced most foreign fields, and you can't by the foreign investor are not the feel a total lack of sympathy for a accidental have we happenings recently that I haven't heard about, the by enforcing the taxes against present status of that Point IV some people and not enforcing the program is that the implementing taxes against other people. That bill has been passed authorizing appears to be happening in China the expenditure of funds for va¬ today from the little we can learn. rious types of projects designed Then you can have limitations to improve the economic status of on the percentage of foreigners a the so-called backward areas. Ac¬ business may have employed, and cording to the pronouncements of set categories by which the em¬ Government spokesmen, that ployers have to upgrade a certain money will go primarily for sur¬ percentage of local employees veys and technical advice, and to whether they are actually ready a limited extent, for such actual to take the responsibility or not. investments as are in their nature You can do it by actually ex¬ not attractive to private investors. cluding categories of specialists. Railroads, apparently, are in that It is very difficult for an account¬ category; some types of irrigation, ant to work, for example, in the crop control, agricultural develop¬ Philippines today because of the ment projects are also of that type. regulations designed to limit ac¬ I believe that the House has countants to persons licensed for that profession, which is denied to appropriated $35 million for the purpose and the Senate has ap¬ any but Filipinos. propriated $10 million, and unless0 A move which is quite popular in the case of the extractive in¬ something has happened very re¬ dustries particularly is to require cently, that discrepancy has not yet been resolved. Neither $35 or a percentage of local capital par¬ $10 million amounts to anything ticipation, which may be all right very substantial on that type of if the local capital is bona fide, program. but if there are only a few persons The second measure which is who can put in that capital on an extremely preferential basis, such pending is a provision for limited guarantees of American invest¬ a policy degenerate Still the, importer gets the exporter.) same as it is obviously extremely and IV program run. quite true because they do have a small list of basic essentials where : run, pure - making foreign investment. been have If you tor abroad in the even in backward areas with high proportion, although an im¬ risk and low local tax rates. He portant proportion, of the total should at least be free from taxes special risks that are involved in in the U. S. on the foreign profit the potential I think, the principal considerations likely to find your mature in England, for in¬ stance, where the rate will be higher than the United States rates, or as high. tax system, as small — for most of these underdeveloped Thursday, August 3, 1950 . ing the United States rate hold down to those two expropriation and noncon- you more the celebrated case States rate anyway. for ex¬ say, if you have a foreign branch ample, down to a constant niggling operation, the income from that attack either excessive import operation goes into your gross in¬ and export duties or exchange re¬ come and taxable net income and lations so rigged as to produce the the United States rate of 38% ap¬ same consequences as excessive plies. If you have a foreign sub¬ duties, special taxes applicable to sidiary operation, the same thing foreigners, either in form or in will happen if you declare a divi¬ substance, regulations which oper¬ dend and bring the money in. So ate as taxes against foreigners. at best you can't get a tax advan¬ Of course, it is perfectly easy tage out of foreign investment to¬ propriation, be . more the direction over investment which is to guaranteed. risks, from outright ex¬ way consider¬ very ago spreading America, South assuming authority the of with¬ commitments such also out If President Truman's Point IV. difference. any me dertake home. do you would get much too commitment, and it seems no government could un¬ a . a it developed by tendency for taxes in particular country tb adjust requirements of the com¬ any to for the munity. When an where area dealing in have an un¬ you are you derdeveloped economy with high business risk, you will generally find relatively low taxes meas¬ a a The common converse is true. works for vestors than laborer than the merchant that isn't true. is The native the industrial in¬ uniformly better off his neighbor who is not so employed. The customer of the foreign investor is uniformily receiveing a product which local ef¬ fort could not have supplied, or at a more resonable price. The for¬ eign government from a more is reliable benefiting source of Quite apart from discrimination, in this program but the principal ured by income. They may make tax income. But if these benefits Anti-Foreign Regulations moreover, certain policies are un¬ obligor. be enjoyed, the country up for it to a considerable extent are to That, brings up the whole group suitable for underdeveloped areas. It is very questionable whether* in indirect taxes of various kinds, desiring foreign investment must of nationalistic or anti-foreign The tax rate in the United States, that type of program has much but they will give the investor a minimize the special risks, so far types of regulations which are assuming no upstream dividend value. If you do not limit the run for his money because they as possible, and must afford op¬ constantly increasing in the very and no consolidation, is 38% at type of risk against which your have to. portunity for enought profit to en¬ areas in which foreign investment the moment. In India it runs government guarantees As you get a more fully devel¬ courage venture capital to assume or, more is in fact most necessary—the soaround 54%, I believe. It is not properly, which your government oped economy with greater secur¬ these risks which cannot be elim¬ called underdeveloped areas of particularly encouraging to take assumes on the behalf of the in¬ ity of capital and inated. i profit, you are Volume 172 Number 4930 . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle . The Indications of Current ■>." w ■< week or month ended on IRON Indicated steel STEEL AND operations capacity) Aug. Aug. Month and ingots AMERICAN condensate and tons) (net Ago 1,919,600 6 1,892,900 Gasoline (bbls. average of Gas, fuel oil 5,356,750 output July 22 (15,757,000 5,806,000 5,636,000 5,148,000 18,301,000 Gas, (bbls.) fuel oil (bbls.) OF 19,626,000 2; 147,000 2,001,000 1,491,000 7,179,000 6,868,000 5,807,000 8,056,000 8,026,000 7,461,000 7,489,000 July 22 July 22 108,915,000 111,739,000 115,036,000 22,766,000 22,532,000 20,165,000 58,658,000 50,580,000 42,708,000 41,291,000 68,517,000 July 22 829,884 789,268 810,152 S. U. Private July 22 662,416 570,886 667,761 CONSTRUCTION — ENGINEERING July 27 $252,489,000 $343,307,000 $287,582,000 $131,819,000 July 27 120,259,000 217,786,000 177,294,000 51,921,000 July 27 1—1_ July municipal 7,260 DEPT. SERIES $31,200 $33,600 COM- OF Month of May dollars): 9,500 9,400 9,200 14,300 "14,100 14,100 $55,200 $54,800 $56,900 $210,600 $483,200 22,977,000 20,221,000 21,101,000 20,229,000 23,779,000 21,479,000 10,435,000 8,935,000 10,320,000 452 473 461 325,217 304,640 260,700 27,100 27,400 21,100 20,568 16,122 2,496 $128,731,000 40,216,000 $152,034,000 7,884,000 8,354,000 $124,889,000 37,960,009 8,013,000 19,888,000 — Total CASH DIVIDENDS S. U. PUBLICLY — CORPORATIONS OF May REPORTED IJ. — S. DE¬ omitted) (000's COMMERCE SPINNING (DEPT. OF Month — 27 July 27 Federal 132,230,000 125,521,000 110,288,000 79,898,000 122,756,000 91,187,000 88,994,000 61,870,000 9,474,000 34,334,000 21,294,000 of spindles in spindles active on July 1 1000's omitted) July place July on 1 Active spindle hours Active spindle hours per spindle in place July 18,028,000 HOUSEHOLD WASHERS STANDARD IRONERS AND SIZE LAUNDRY $188,20Cr COMMERCE): Spinning NEWS- construction and 9,216 556,456 cars) construction State of PARTMENT construction Public NEW Spinning ENGINEERING $99,280,pOQ BRADSTREET, June Wholesale 718,516 RECORD: Total & $102,528,000 THE Manufacturing COTTON CIVIL Ago $31,500 of INVENTORIES. (millions RAILROADS: of Year Month $112,075,000 (NEW) IN 69,365,000 42,424,000 Revenue (number Previous 8,861 STATES—DUN MERCE 24,544,000 59,434,000 July 22 freight loaded (number of cars) Revenue freight received from connections of that date: SYSTEM— 110,569,000 July 22 "II at AMERICAN RESERVE (in thousands) May BUSINESS BY ASSOCIATION are as OF Retail at oil, and distillate fuel oil (bbls.) at Residual 19,311,000 1,848,000 7,166,000 July 22 output 19,754,000 July 22 (bbls.) (bbls.) Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in pipe lines Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at Kerosene either for the 4,738,800 juiy 22 and Residual 5,495,450 GOVERNORS OF INCORPORATIONS INC.—Month 5,537,500 July 22 output (bbls.) distillate fuel oil oil, Month of 42 (bbls.) average — FEDERAL UNITED output —daily daily (bbls.) output Kerosene 1,498,800 July 22 stills to runs DEBITS—BOARD BANK THE 1,765,200 are Latest 81.3 BUSINESS gallons each) Crude of quotations, cases Ago 92.6 99.3 ' INSTITUTE: PETROLEUM oil Crude castings in pr, Year Week 100.7 6 Equivalent to— Steel production and other figures for the cover Dates shown in first column that date, 37 Month Previous Week INSTITUTE: (percent of (465) . month available. or Latest AMERICAN f following statistical tabulations latest week Business Activity .i ' > — HOME (AMERICAN ASSOCIA¬ MANUFACTURERS' TION)—Month of June: COAL OUTPUT (U. S. BUREAU OF MINES): sales sales July22 11,205,000 "9,115,000 10,622,000 7,278,000 July 22 855,000 786,000 950,000 1,060,000 Beehive coke July 22 136,400 "117,800 133,600 of sales Factory Bituminous coal and lignite (tons) Pennsylvania anthracite (tons) of washers (units) ironers (units) dryers (units) 5,500 (tons) Factory Factory LIFE of INSURANCE—BENEFIT POLICYHOLDERS DEPARTMENT STORE TEM—1935-39 SALES INDEX—FEDERAL RESERVE SYS¬ AVERAGE=100 "265 302 July 22 207 250 Electric (in output 000 endowments kwh.)_ -.July 29 6,185,702 6,190,098 6,115,119 5,518,485 Annuity (COMMERCIAL INDUSTRIAL) AND — DUN & 170 160 July 27 168 156 iron (per 3.837c 3.837c 3.837c 3.705c $46.38 $45.38 $46.38 $45.91 July 25 Scrap steel (per gross ton) $36.83 $37.17 $37.67 $19.33 PRICES (E. J. M. & of COMMERCE) July 26 July 26 tin (St. Zinc York) (New (New Lead York) Louis) St. (East at at at Louis) at 22.200c 22.200c 22.200c 22.425c 22.425c 22.425c 97.500c 89.500c 77.500c 103.000c 12.000c 12.000c 11.500c 14.250c 11.800c 11.800c 11.300c U. 6. BOND PRICES 15.000c 15.000c 10.000c 15.000c Government Average Aug. Aug. Bonds corporate . As of May MOTOR IN Utilities 696,893 593,640 102.17 102.11 103.16 Number of cars 720,688 575,518 115.24 115.04 113.89 Number of motor trucks 135,332 120,963 493,882 99,126 120.02 120.22 120.22 Number of motor coaches 606 412 632 1 1 119.00 118.60 118.80 114.66 114.85 112.93 1 108.16 107.98 l 110.88 110.34 109.60 108.34 1 116.80 116.41 116.61 115.24 Industrials Group 1 119.20 119.00 119.41 118.40 MOODY'S BOND YIELD DAILY PERSONAL INCOME IN THE UNITED ST4TES (DEPARTMENT 105.17 107.03 of personal Wage 2.34 2.34 2.34 Aug. l 2.90 2.96 -Aug. 1 2.62 2.65 2.64 2.64 Aug. 1 2.70 2.72 2.71 2.73 A Aug. 1 2.90 2.92 2.91 3.01 Baa Aug. 1 3.27 3.28 3.33 3.44 3.15 3.19 3.26 Average Aug. Bonds corporate Aaa Aa Railroad Public Aug. Aug. l 1 '3.12 2.81 2.83 2.82 1 2.69 2.70 2.68 COMMODITY MOODY'S Aug. 1 449.1 INDEX 406.0 341.1 labor transfer PORTLAND Month Orders received Production 227,940 188,355 208,738 152,210 Shipment 213,031 July 22 July 22 (tons) (tons) 186,959 211,027 158,764 Stocks -July 22 Percentage of activity Unfilled orders (tons) 95 82 94 76 __July 22 at 501,212 489,490 390,879 "2.3 ♦2.3 "39.8 "42.6 17.9 "18.2 "17.1 (BUREAU "17.2 "12.3 "198.7 "188.7 MINES)— OF June: 20,007,000 24,749,000 end month) of _— ' (bbls.) 19,950,000 18,279,009 15,302,000 22,834.000 20,043,000 20,667,000 19,785,000 93% (bbls.) mills from 90% 247 241 274,741 used Capacity RECEIVED NUMBER DRUG 2.2 "2.8 3.4 14.1 income— (bbls.) (at PRICES OIL, PAINT AND "40.1 197.2 payments CEMENT of 2.8 dividends— and income ; "20.1 41.5 — nonagricuitural Production ASSOCIATION: PAPERBOARD NATIONAL 1 income rental "17.# "21.1 "57.1 social for income and interest Personal Total Total 447.9 contributions insurance Proprietors' 2.73 Group employee Other 2.89 -Aug. Group Utilities Industrials Group Less "18.2 21.1 Government "39.7 18.3 * "134.9 "59.1 39.5 industries Service "207.# "132,7 "138.1 60.3 industries "213.8 "135.3 139.2 and Distributive 2.27 2.89 Government 213.3 136.4 income salary receipts, total employer disbursements— Commodity producing industries AVERAGES: 2.87 S. COMMERCE)—Month OF (in billions): May Total Total 1 U. passenger 118.40 115.04 Aug. -Aug. Aug. Group of June: vehicles—— 115.63 Aug. Group MANU¬ ASSOC.)—Month of 102.07 1 AugAug- Baa Public $27,507,000 FROM (AUTOMOBILE S. U. number SALES FACTORY 1 1 Aug. — A Railroad omitted) (000's 31 VEHICLE PLANTS 120.63 Aaa Aa $27,048,355 856,626 Sales MONEY IN CIRCULATION—TREASURY DEPT. Total AVERAGES: DAILY 18,500 $33,600 17,700 14.050c 26 26 26 26 17.325c FACTURERS' MOODY'S 17,600 $31,200 $27,090,000 Durable 17.550c July July July July reiinery at refinery at Lead $14,160 17,200 SERIES— dollars): Total Domestic Straits '$14,100 NEW (millions of May SALES & Inventories: QUOTATIONS): Electrolytic copper— Export $285,303,009 17,300 OF Month INVENTORIES Nondurable METAL $358,738,000 $31,500 (DEPT. July 25 July 25 toi) gross 46,348,000 $14,300 Total COMPOSITE PRICES: Finished steel (per lb.) Pig 48,837,009 BRAD- INC. MANUFACTURER'S IRON AGE 19,256,000 63,116,000 65,460,000 $295,802,000 values dividends 21,704,000 46,463,000 20,400 Policy STREET 48,070,000 52,620,000 payments Surrender FAILURES LIFE Disability payments INSTITUTE: ELECTRIC OF INSURANCE—Month of April: Death benefits Matured EDISON INSTITUTE — TO PAYMENTS REPORTER PRICE INDEX—1926-36 -I 121.1 123.5 125.1 July 28 AVERAGE=100 TURE 121.7 of S. U. — DEPT. 1909-July, August, May FARMERS BY 87% INDEX — AGRICUL¬ OF 1914=100 As — 15: Unadjusted— STOCK TRANSACTIONS FOR THE ODD-LOT ACCOUNT OF ODDLOT DEALERS AND SPECIALISTS ON THE N. Y. STOCK EXCHANGE—SECURITIES EXCHANGE Odd-lot sales by dealers icustomers' Dollar total shares—Customers' of products -July 15 July 15 Ju*y 15 -— 43,206 25,093 27,376 1,255,795 722,305 833,176 471,820 $54,157,514 $30,976,066 $38,337,323 $17,508,389 Number short other sales— sales Customers' July 15 sales Number shares—Customers* of 36,140 July 15 orders—Customers' total of Customers' 19,311 411 30,777 Fruit 168 252 Meat July 15 total 35,729 19,159 30,609 15,739 July 15 sales 1,095,740 555,812 866,107 447,882 6.202 5,960 9,645 549,510 860,147 438,237 Customers' short sales July 15 Customers' other sales—: July 15 16,836 1,078,904 July 15 $42,832,672 $22,532,535 $35,526,685 $14,148,078 July 15 279,460 135,810 306,310 158,020 279,460 135,810 306.310 • 158.020 Dollar value • Round-lot sales ; Short sales July 15 Other sales July 15 Round-lot purchases by Number of shares 246,220 279,150 455,910 July 15 178,870 . operating income. . PRICES NEW SERIES — U. S. DEPT. OF LABOR— "<• Net All Livestock after Fuel and Metals other products than farm and foods— — — materials lighting and Building fixpd charges—: 157.1 153.0 165.0 164.2 Federal 172.0 169.3 152.8 Dividend 241.0 244.2 173,8 "175.4 269.2 metal products , materials Chemicals and allied products— — 25 151.7 25 140.8 July 25 , —July 25 " • f 118.6 ■ 139.6 133.7 138.3 '.. ({Includes 503,000 barrels of foreign crude runs. * . 133.1 173.3 . 1 On income common of 201.4 130.1 173.1 *204.1 117.7 .... ,r Li. 114.3 168.G 3,271,669 2,971,984 to 39,666,629 34,920,312 33,138,022 1,366,965 1,371,026 1,374,619 26,546,039 31,548,927 26,001,351 i.^1——1 1_— 4,585,789 11,595,049 2,968,177 ui—_ 529,162 4,945,685 529,233 fixed charges.——_ ,* 11 • ' »' 2.17 2.52 2.24 $825,000 "$809,000 $1,092.090 659,800 583,304 540,639 stock income 3,315,608 49,436,602 35,033,571 , On preferred stock Ratio equip. )— taxes appropriations: u 145.1 > ♦Revised figure. J60.2 225.2 148.7 .-J* 133.5 *173.5 £07.2 207.8 162.7 "150.6 133.8: 25 July 25 217.5 241.5 ' 42,638,613 3,127,369 "176.9 259.4 77,108,625 52,752,210 37,529,948 deductions "163.3 25 87,548,734 40,657,317 income 175.0 JUly —July July July 15,918,189 80,380,285 4,616,875 75,376,221 i*: 177.0 ' — $64,462,099 16,459,294 92,165,609 3,854,281 income.— 163.7 July 25 -— commodities Textile from (way & structures & Amortization of defense projects July 25 Meats All deductions July 25 Foods $75,706,315 17,013,627 July 25 ; 2U5 79,230,502 -.July 25 1 products Grains 235 161 $62,216,875 .___ — income Depreciation commodities Farm 319 235 I .Income available for fixed charges— Other t ;u 1926b=100: 312 Commission) income ______ Income WHOLESALE Commerce 271 154 CLASS If* 256 of April: Miscellaneous dealers— 289 24# 230 — ITEMS OF U. S. (Interstate Total 206 205 239 342 — — railway Other 255 269 ! products animals —Month Net 242 229 178 Dairy products Foultry and eggs RYS. by dealers— Number of shares—Total sales 463 285 248 crops and SELECTED INCOME 174 389 195 _ Livestock , 181 387 , crops Oil-bearing 15,991 152 > , 227 lc0 — Cotton (customers' sales)— 259 225 246 grain Tobacco 16,205 • 223 230 grain and hay Truck Odd-lot purchases by dealers — :— Food Feed sales value farm Crops purchases)— Number of orders Number All COMMISSION: - UNITED STATES EXPORTS AND IMPORTSOF CENSUS, -frt.Month) <rf{ May BUREAU (000's omitted): y * 188.7 Exports 118.4 IinRorts i— "Revised figure. ' ~~~ j— 38 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (466) • Securities Now in Registration • Alabama Power stockholders. Birmingham, Ala. Co., filed 64,000 shares oi 1-0% preferred stock (par $100) to be offered in exchange for a like number of outstanding 4.20% preferred snares of Birmingham July 28 Inc., Seattle, Wash. July 27 (letter of notification) 9,b'/o shares of non-voting preferred stock. Trice—At par ($00 per share). Under¬ writer—None. Proceeds—10 buy new equipment. • capital. per corporate general purposes. Alaska-Wrangell Mills, Alberta-Canaca July 18 filed 1,000,000 snares of common siock (par 50 cents). Price—$2.50 per share. Underwriter—Thomas • Proceeds—For general funds. Allen Organ Co., Allentown, Pa. (9-1) July 19 (letter of notification) l,oo0 shares of 6% pre¬ ferred stock (par $100) and 750 snares of common stock (par $100). Price—At par. Underwriter—None. Pro¬ ceeds—For expansion of plant and development of other electronic products. Office—8th and Pittston Streets, June G. Wylie Co., New York. Allentown, Pa. • Diamond American Corp. Mining (8/4) July 28 (letter of notification) 299.000 shares of common stock. Price—At par ($1 per share). Underwriter—F. New York. Proceeds—For explora¬ of property operated in MurfreesOffice—99 Wall St., New York, N. Y. W. McDonald & Co., tion and development boro, Ark. t Fire American Fla. Casualty Co., Orlando, & (letter of notification) 11,100 shares of common $10). Price—$27 per share. UnderwriterGuardian Credit Corp., Orlando. Proceeds—For working 30 None. 714 Expected Insurance Co., Chicago (par $5) to stockholders of record July 25 at rate of to Price—At par. share for each three held. Pro¬ ceeds—For general corporate purposes. Business— Casualty insurance. Statement effective July 26. Radio & Television, American June mon Inc., North Little Rock, Ark. (letter of notification) 301,686 shares of com¬ stock (par 10 cents). Price—75 cents per share. 16 Underwriters—Gearhart, Kinnard & Otis, New York City. Proceeds—For additional working capital. Office —Fifth and Cornish Streets, No. Little Rock, Ark. • Anderson Farmer iProceeds—For Corp., Cleveland, Ohio working capital. Office—1370 Ontario reached. stock ^amendment. Dealer-Managers—Emanuel, Deetjen & Co. and Lehman Brothers. Axe-Houghton Fund B, Inc., New York July 27 filed 1,000,000 shares of capital stock (par $5). U derwriter—Axe Securities Corp., New York. Business iivestment stock com- (par lc). er—John Cameron . drill additional oil Office— Plate Shillinglaw, Bolger & Co. Proceeds—Proceeds to together with term loan of $1,000,000 from company, E. (Wm.) (amendment) 159,000 shares of capital stock (par ;$7), if which 100,000 will be sold to the public and 59,000 offer, d to employees. Of the total offering, 150,333 shares will i ? sold by the company and 8 667 for account of Louisiana Electric Proceeds—For tions. construction Office—528 Monroe St., June 2 and property Alexandria, La. addi¬ common shares of class A stock Price—$44.50 and one share of class B stock. unit. Underwriter—Emory S. Warren & Co., Washington, D. C. Proceeds—For general funds. Office—1707 Eye St., N. W., Washington, D. C. per City Stores Co. July 17 filed an unspecified number of shares of common stock (par $5) to be offered in exchange for common stock (par $10) of Oppenheim, Collins & Co., Inc., and for the 4V2% convertible preferred stock stock- (par Co. when $1) (par $50) and of Franklin Simon & Co., Inc., by the directors of City Stores registration becomes effective. The exchange offer is expected to expire around Sept. 15, 1950. DealerManager—W. E. Hutton & Co. • June 7 (letter of notitication) 4,000 shares of common stock (par $1), to be offered to emoiovees —$25 per share. Proceeds—To benefit employees for services. Office—2930 N. Market St., St. Louia, mo. Community Finance, lnc.r Newark, N. J. (letter of notification) $100,000 6% cumulative July 26 deferred multiples years Underwriter—None. —To debentures (in from date of issue. make loans. Office — 405 of $100) due in 20 Proceeds Seventh Ave., Newark, N. J. • Conrac, Inc., Glendora, Calif. July 28 (letter of notification) 96,000 shares of capital stock. Price—At par (50 cents per share). —None. Proceeds—To pay debt and for Underwriter Power Co., Jackson, Mich. 499,903 shares of common stock (no par) present holders at the rate of one new share for each 10 held, with an oversubscription privi¬ lege. Underwriter—To be named in an amendment, June to 23 filed be offered along with offering price. Five months ago an offering of 454,457 shares of common stock to common stockhold¬ ers was underwritten Stanley & Co. share. by a group headed by Morgan Price—Expected to be not less than $33 Proceeds—For construction. • Offering—Post¬ Continental July Refrigeration Corp., N. Y. (8/3) (letter of notification) $250,000 of 6% 5-year 28 income notes dated June 1, 1950 in multiples of $1,000. Price—At 100 and interest. Underwriter—National In¬ vestors Service, New York. Proceeds—To pay expenses incurred in prosecuting infringement actions under pa¬ and for commercialization of patent. > Office—50 Broadway, New York, N. Y. Cristina Mines, Inc., N. Y. City May 24 filed 400,000 shares of common stock (par 50 cents). Underwriter—Max Wolberg, a director of com¬ pany. Price—$1 per share. Proceeds—For development of tonnage and mining and shipment of ore. Darden 28 Associates, Inc., Washington, D. C. notification) 2,000 units of interest. (letter of per unit. working capital. ington, D.C. • stock Stock None. • Underwriter—None. Office—830 Bowen Proceeds— Bldg., Wash¬ to all offices Cleveland Corp. be offered to stockholders of record one Brothers, Inc., Waynesboro, Va. of notification) 310 shares of capital (par $1) and $25,000 of debenture bonds. Price— 24 at (letter par (8 8) (par $5) Aug. 8 at to of me rate share for each three held, with new oversubscription privilege; rights are to expire Aug. 23. Underwriter— 6i Co., New York. Price—To be filed by amend¬ mien ment. Proceeds—To capital. Business bank pay Stainless — loans steel for and plates working sheets. and Fedders-Quigan Corp. filed 103,102 shares of series A cumulative stockholders each 12 (par $50) to be offered to & Co., New York. complete purchase of Underwriter—Smitn, barney pay promissory note, plant at El Monte, Calif., Proceeds—To for additional and con¬ com¬ basis of one preferred share for Price—To be filed by amendment, on shares held. along with dividend rate. • a new working capital. Offering postponed. and bonds at $1,000 Proceeds—For Federal Services Finance Corp., Washington, D. C. July 21 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of 5% series B, to be offered initially in exchange, par for par, for 6% preferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Underwriter-!— Mackall & Coe, Washington, D.C. Proceeds—To redeem 6% preferred stock and for working capital. 1 convertible preferred stock, Fleming-Hall Tobacco Co., Inc., N. Y. 30 (letter of notification) 180,000 shares of com¬ stock (par $1). Price—$1.25 per share. Underwriter —Carstairs & Co., 1421 Chestnut Street, Philadelphia 2, June mon Pa., will act added to financial as general funds. adviser. operating each. Underwriter— expenses. Diesel Power, Inc., Pittsburgh, Pa. (8/5) July 28 (letter of notification) 25,000 shares of common be (Ala.) Telephone Co. June 29 (letter of notification) 1,200 shares of 4% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price—At par ($25 per share). Underwriter—None. ize Proceeds—To extend and modern¬ plant, lines and other telephone facilities. Frontier Leather Co., Sherwood, Ore. July 8 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of 6% cumula¬ tive preferred stock (par $100) and 10,000 shares of com¬ mon stock (par 20 cents) to be offered in units of one preferred and ten common shares. Price—$101 per unit. Underwriter—George Patton & Co., Portland, Ore. Pro¬ ceeds—To pay off mortgages and for additions, plant facilities and equipment. General Radiant Heater Co., Inc. May 3 filed 170,000 shares of common stock (par 250). Price—$3 per share. Proceeds—For plant and warehouse, advertising research, working capital, etc. Temporarily postponed. Amendment may be filed. General June 30 stock Shoe filed Corp., Nashville, Tenn. maximum a of to be offered (par $1) 32,885 shares of common share-for-share basis a on in exchange for outstanding preferred stock of W L. Douglas Shoe Co. No underwriter. Statement effective July 25. • Georgia-Pacific Augusta, Ga. Plywood & Lumber Co., July 27 (letter of notification) 4,000 shares of common $1). Price—$14 per share. Underwriter— Reynolds & Co., New York. Proceeds—For benefit of stock (par Julian North Cheatham, Winnetka, 111., the selling stock¬ holder. Globe Hill Mining Co., Colorado Springs, Colo. May 26 (letter of notification) 5,885,000 shares of com¬ mon stock. Price—At par (one cent per share). Under¬ writers—George C. Carroll Co., Denver; Inter-Mountain Shares, Inc., Denver; and M. A. Cleek, Spokane,; Wash. Proceeds—For mining equipment. • Goldwaters, Inc., Phoenix, Ariz. 28 (letter of notification) 2,900 shares of 5% preferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—31 North First St., Phoenix, Ariz. July cumulative • be Granite City offered for share (III.) common each Steel Co. & ner porate four common stockholders shares held. on stock (no par) to of one®new basis Price—To Underwriter—Merrill Lynch, amendment. Beane, New York. Proceeds—For be filed by Pierce, Fengeneral cor¬ purposes. Granville Mines Corp., Ltd., British Columbia, ' Canada stock to be offered only to common Feb. stock stockholders during 10-day period, up to 100 shares each. Price—At par ($1 per share). Underwriter—Graham & Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. Proceeds—To expand production and for working Proceeds—To Office—595 Fifth Avenue, New York, N. Y. a San Francisco Private fVires Steel 100,000 shares of capital stock July 31 filed 99,446 shares of Dawbarn July Philadelphia Stainless filed Florala Coca-Cola Bottling Co. of St. Louis. • con¬ of stock For Chicago Proceeds—To repay bank loans and finance to Washington, D. C. notification) 3,000 shares of class A (par $12.50) and 1,000 shares of class B stock (par 25 cents), to be sold in units of three (letter common July Pittsburgh Co. mon (par Price—$150 Boston & struction. vertible preferred stock Co., Inc. (letter of notification) 9,888 shares of common $10). Price—$30 per snare. Underwriter— 19 None. • New York. Wnite, Weld & Co.; Drexel & Co. and Equitable Secur¬ Corp. (jointly); First Boston Corp.; Giore, Forgan June 21 Temporarily postponed. tent Co. il bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Loeb & Co., Union Securities Corp. and A. C. & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc.; ities firm, will be used to pay existing long-term obligations and the balance to be used as working capital. Central 25 Bus¬ Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding. insurance • * (par Duquesne Light Co. (8/22) July 2d filed $12,0u0,000 first mortgage bonds due 1980. Ailyn com¬ Underwriter— wells. Shares, Inc., New York 6,000,000 shares of capital stock iness—Investment company. poned. Price—50 cents per share. UnderBlair, Vice-President and a director, 310 East 66th Street, New York, N. Y. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—29 West 65th Street, New York -23, :r. Y. -Ju.l\ share sof ($1 per share). Granite Bldg., 6th Ave. and Wood cerus). Underwriter—Calvin Bullock, New York. Kufin, Great Falls, 300,000 Dividend July 27 filed Eastern per company. Broadway Angels, Inc., N. Y. City July 20 (letter of notification) 570,000 shares of wr Inc., Office—601 Hooable Consumers com¬ (par $3) to be offered in exchange for shares of Bendix Home Appliances, Inc., at a rate to be filed by mo.i drilling working capital. Avco Manufacturing Corp., N. Y. City July 14 filed an unspecified number of shares of — and July 27 Arkansas Power & Light Co. May 23 filed 155,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $100). Proceeds—To be applitd to (a) redemption on Aug. 1, 1950, at $110 per share plus dividend ac¬ cruals, of all the 47,609 shares of outstanding $7 pre¬ ferred and 45,891 shares of outstanding $6 preferred; and (b) the carrying forward of the company's construc•tion program. Bids—Received by company up to noon (EDT) on June 19, but rejected. Only one bid was made of $100,003 per share, with a $4.95 dividend from Lehman •Brothers, Equitable Securities Corp. and White, Weld & Co. (jointly). Statement effective June 12. No further • geological Co., Chicago, III. June 16 filed 150,000 shares of common stock (par $1), of which 50,000 shares are to be sold by company and 100,000 shares by three stockholders. Price—To be filed by amendment. Underwriters—F. Eberstadt & Co. inc. and ADDITIONS Great Falls, Mont. in ratios to be determined St., Cleveland, O. mon Underwriter—Dillon, Associates, Proceeds—To common July 14 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of 4% cumu¬ lative preferred stock '(par $100), to be offered to patrons of Anderson Elevator Co. Underwriter—None. ^decision $1). Citizens Credit Corp., Motorists June 28 filed 100,000 shares of capital stock offered (par Temporarily postponed. (letter of notification) Caspers Tin week. American be (Tom) 13th St. South, stock (par one new by amendment. Proceeds—For stock. Price—At par mon July this Inc. Ltd. common stock • of Montana stock Office—American Bldg., Orlando, Fla. Co. Carney July 21 capital. Superior Oil of California, operations in Canada. (9/1) (Del.) Inc. Oiis, & Distributor — originally eiiective July July 26. 2,150,000 shares of Price—To be filed Read South, Seattle, Wash. Office—216 Third Ave., Canadian June 27 filed Business Statement Amendment effective 10. INDICATES Si., Pittsburgh 22, Pa. building materials, No underwriter. Electric Co. $16.95 Underwriter—Dealers may — Thursday, August 3, 1950 . SINCE PREVIOUS ISSUE To be underwrit¬ public, $19.50 per share; to employees, share. Piocteus — 'lo reuuee a loan anu lor Price ers. . . None. 16 filed (par 100,000 shares of common Price—35c per share. 50c). Proceeds—To working capital. non-assessable Underwriter— buy mining machinery Statement effective May 10. and for Volume 172 , , Number 4930 Gulf Atlantic . . . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle Transportation Co., (467) Mission Appliance Corp;, Hawthorne, Calif. July 24 filed 50,000 shares of 6% cumulative convertible preferred stock. Price—At par ($20 per share). Under¬ Jacksonville, Florida May 27, 1949, filed 620,000 shares of class A partic. ($1 par; stock and 270,000 shares (25c par) common stock Offering—135,000 shares of common will be offered foi subscription by holders on the basis of one-for-two at 25 cents per share. fJnderwriters—Names by amendment and may include Blair, Jlollins & Co., Inc.; John J. Ber¬ & Co. and A. M. Kidder & Co. gen basis." on "best a Price—Par for common $5 for class A. NEW ISSUE CALENDAR August 3, 1950 Continental Refrigeration Corp Mutual Telephone Co August 4, Proceeds American Hirst-Chichagof Mining Co., Seattle, Wash. July 28 (letter of notification) 400,000 shares of common Power, Treesdale Laboratories & Textile Indianapolis, Eastern Stainless Steel Corp Seaboard July 28 filed $9,500,000 of first mortgage bonds, series A, due Sept. 1, 1980. Underwriter—To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart Finance $9,440,000 Equip. Trust Ctfs. August 15, outstanding 1950 Industrial Stamping & Mfg. Co...Bonds & Common Offering—Expected late this month. August Industrial Stamping & Mfg. Co. (8/15) July 6 filed (by amendment) $500,000 of first mortgage 5% bonds due 1967 (with warrants to purchase 60,000 1950 16, Maine Central RR., noon (EDT)-.Equip. Trust Ctfs. Pacific Petroleums, Ltd Common common stock) and 400,000 shares of common (par SI). Of the latter, 272,000 shares will be publicly offered and 28,000 shares will be offered to cer¬ August stock Idaho October Common 9, 1950 Bonds Light Co OFFERINGS TEMPORARILY POSTPONED American Natural Gas Co Consumers Power Co ..Common Middlesex Water Co Office—11 West 42nd .........Common Northwestern Public Service Co Kauai mon Common Fedders-Quigan Corp. St., New York 18, N. Y. June .Common Caspers Tin Plate Co Uranium Corp., N. Y. City (letter of notification) 20,000 shares of capital Price—25 cents per share. Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For mining operations. .Common Canadian Superior Oil of California, Ltd.-Common International stock. Public Service Co. of Colorado Engineering Works, Ltd., Lihue, Hawaii 23 (letter of notification) 98,000 shares of com¬ stock (par $1). Price—$1.10 per share. Under¬ Rochester Telephone Common Debs. & Pfd. Common Corp... Safeway Stores, Inc ... writer—Ross & Co., Box 2665, Honolulu, T. H. Proceeds —For working capital. Co.'s Address—Box 1589, Lihue, Tele-Tone • United States Plywood Corp Pfd. & Com. Southern Co. T. H. t 27 filed 1,000,000 shares Underwriter—Knickerbocker of beneficial interest. Shares, Inc. Business— Investment company. Lennox Hotel Co., St. Louis, Mo. July 28 (letter of notification) 11,326 shares of common stock (par SI). Price—$6.04 per share. Underwriter— Mayfair Hotel, Inc., St. Louis, Mo. off first and second mortgage bonds. Proceeds—To pay Office—825 Wash¬ Power & Light Co. May 23 filed 90,000 shares of preferred stock (par $100). Proceeds—To be used to redeem, at $110 per shart plus dividend accruals, the 59,422 shares of outstanding $6 preferred stock, and for construction and other purposes. Bids—Received by company up to noon (EDT) on June 19, but rejected. Three bids were made as follows: Union Securities Corp., $100.40 per share with a $4.65 dividend; Blyth & Co., Inc., and Equitable Securities Corp. (jointly), $100.10 with a $4.65 dividend; and W. C. Langley & Co. and First Boston Corp. (jointly), $100.30 with a $5.80 dividend. Statement effective June 12. No further decision reached. Lovett Chemical of California, Newhall, Calif. May 31 (letter of notification) 282,250 shares of capital stock. Price—At par ($1 per share). Underwriter—Floyd A. Allen & Co., Inc., Lps Angeles, Calif. Proceeds—To buy land, build a plant and equip it to produce so-called "impact" plastics. Office—244 S. Pine St., Newhall, Calif. Preferred Middle South Utilities, •" Telephone Co., Honolulu, Hawaii (8/3) $1,000,000 first mtge 3Vs%' bonds, series G, ally to common stockholders of record July 7 (with rights to expire Aug. 15) at rate of one preferred share for each 7.5778 common shares held with employees en¬ titled to subscribe bonds: and Co. Mississippi Power & Light Co. Underwriter— Equitable Securities Corp will serve as "dealer-man¬ ager." (See also listings of Arkansas, Louisiana and Mississippi companies elsewhere in these columns.) 9 stock on Co. a Newark, N. J. offered to common basis. Underwriter—Clark, Dodge & Proceeds—To pay notes and for additional capital. Metal pa k Corp., Salinas, Calif. July 20 (letter of notification) 2,500 shares of class A stock (par $10) and 7.500 shares of class B stock (no par), the latter to be issued in exchange for property acquired. Price—Of class A stock, $10 per share. Under¬ writer—None. Proceeds—For working capital. Office— 40 Los Lareles, Salinas, Calif. Metro, Inc., Baltimore, Md. July 25 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 7% pre¬ ferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Under- Under¬ writer—Kidder, Peabody & Co. Proceeds—To pay shortterm notes and toward 1950-1951 construction. Offering —Being made today. • New Hampshire Electric Co., Cambridge, Mass. Aug. 2 filed $3,600,000 of first mortgage sinking fund bonds, series A, due 1975. Underwriter—To be deter¬ mined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kidder, Pea¬ body & Co., and White, Weld & Co. (jointly). —To retire Proceeds (a) $1,880,000 first mortgage bonds, series A and B, due Dec. 31, 1952; and the balance for construction purposes. 1963, and (b) $1,250,000 of bank loans due Illinois Coal Corp., Chicago of notification) up to 2,000 shares of common stock (no par) to be sold at the market price (between $20 and $22 per share) by T. Howard Green, 10 May (letter Vice-President & the of comoanv. Underwrite*—Faroll Co., Rogers & Tracy and Shields & Co., Chicago. Huron, S. D. (par $3) to offered to present stockholders at rate of one share each 10 held. Underwriter—A. C. Allyn and Co., Inc., Public Service Co., June 9 filed 49,200 shares of common stock be Or New York. Price—To be filed by —For construction expenditures. • Overseas National amendment. Proceeds Postponed temporarily. Airways, San Francisco, Calif. (letter of notification) 100.000 shares of class preferred stock (par $1) and 200,000 shares of com¬ stock (par 10 cents); also 30,500 shares of class B preferred stock (par $1) to be offered to Calasia Air Transport for certain rights. Price—Of class A preferred working Indefinitely postponed. mon and Miles Laboratories, Inc., Elkhart, Ind. (letter of notification) 2,500 shares of common stock (no par). Price—$16.50 per share. Underwriter— Cohu & Co., New York City. Proceeds—To two selling stockholders. Offering date indefinite. Miller (Walter R.) Co., Inc. (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of 6% cumulative preferred stock at par ($100 per share). Un¬ derwriter—George D. B. Bonbright & Co., Binghamton, N. Y. Proceeds—To assist in acquisition of 1216 shares 6 San Francisco,, 2, Pacific at par. Underwriter—None. Pro¬ Office—291 Geary St., expenses. Calif. Petroleums Ltd. (8/16) shares of common stock (par $1-Canadian). Price—To be filed by amendment. Under¬ writer—Eastman, Dillon & Co. Proceeds—To pay bank loan and for corporate purposes, including development June 30 filed of oil and gas 900,000 landsj. Pan American Gold Ltd., Toronto, Canada July 20, 1948 filed 1,983,295 shares of common stock (par $1). Underwriters may be brokers. Price—45 cents per share. of company's common stock. stock, general common ceeds—For June 23 March Price—For A 5,200 shares of Common stockholders at $50 per share (letter of notification) one-for-five shares. For preferred, at par. July 28 Middlesex Water Co., Feb. unsubscribed for 102.46 and interest. Northwestern Inc. Proceeds — Mainly for development. Statement effective April 10. 1950 • Merry Brothers Brick & Tile Co., Augusta, Ga, Underwriter—Johnson, Lane, Space & Co,, Inc. Proceeds —To Ernest B. Merry, Jr., Vice-President and General Manager, the selling stockholder. Carmel, Mt. Office—316 Market St., June 27 filed ' June 15 (letter of notification) 1,250 shares of 5% cumu¬ lative preferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Under¬ share). Illinois. a Office— June 1 filed 400,000 shares of common stock (no par) to be offered to preferred stockholders of three subsidiaries —Arkansas Power & Light Co., Louisiana Power & Light ington Ave.. St. Louis, Mo. Louisiana per Corp.____________Class A & Com. Proceeds—For working capital. St., Baltimore 2, Md. 808 E. Fayette Knickerbocker Fund, New York July • Common Radio writer—None. I ($100 Proceeds—To retire short-term notes and Northern Kaye-Halbert Corp., Culver City, Calif. July 28 filed 100,000 shares of class A common stock (par $1). Price—$5 per share. Underwriter—Sills, Fairman & Harris, Inc., Chicago, III. Proceeds—For working capital. / 1980, and 100,000 shares of preferred stock, series C (par $10), the new preferred stock being offered initi¬ Falls, July 27 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of capital stock. Price—At par (50 cents per share). Underwriter —None. Proceeds—For working capital. Address—P. O Box 325, Idaho Falls, Idaho. • Price—At par expand facilities. Mutual \ ■ (III.) Public Utility Co. July 24 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of 4% pre¬ ferred stock. Pfd. & Common ./ . Mt. Carmel writer—None. Common Idaho. July 14 • Modern Supply Co., Inc., Pittsburgh, Pa. July 28 (letter of notification) 2,000 shares of 5% pre¬ ferred stock (par $100) and 50,000 shares of common stock (no par—$1 declared value), of which 145 pre¬ ferred and 15,055 com. shares were sold in Pennsylvania. Price—For preferred, $100 and for common, $1 per share. Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For expansion and de¬ velopment. Office—837 W. North Ave., Pittsburgh 12, due Utah Power & Copper Co., .Common Utah Power & Light Co Offering—Expected middle of this month. & , September 12, 1950 Proceeds— To pay mortgage and certain debts, and balance added to working capital. part of which will be used to reduce Lead Mississippi Power & Light Co. May 23 filed 85,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par 100). Proceeds—To be used to redeem at $110 per share plus dividends, the outstanding 44,476 shares of $6 preferred stock and for construction and other corpo¬ rate purposes. Bids—Received by company up to noon (EDT) on June 19 but rejected. Four bids were made as follows* Union Securities Corp., $100.10 per share with a $4.80 dividend; Lehman Brothers, $100,551 with a $4.85 div.; W. C. Langley & Co. and First Boston Corp. (jointly), $100.30 with a $4.90 dividend; and Blyth & Co., Inc., Equitable Securities Corp Shields & Co., White, Weld & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly), $100.19 with a $4.90 dividend. Statement effective June 12. No • 1950 Alberta-Canada Oils, Inc Allen Organ Co.. optioned to the underwriter of the bonds. Price— of bonds, 100; and of stock to public and employees, $1 per share. Underwriters—For bonds, P. W. Brooks & International 1950 September 1, be • 22, Transvision, Inc tain officers and directors of the company; 60,000 shares to be reserved for stock options; and 40,000 shares to bank loans. water and space heaters. pa. shares of Co., Inc.; for stock, Baker, Simonds & Co. a proposed new plant to be located east of the Rocky Mountains. Business—Manufacturer of gas and electric further decision reached. August 9, 1950 Inc.; First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly); Kidder, Peabody redeem Common .Preferred Co Chesapeake & Ohio Ry and Proceeds—To Preferred Processing Co. August 8, 1950 Indiana Gas & Water Co., Inc., Indiana Co. Common Inc tle, Wash. bonds. Common August 7, 1950 stock. Price—50 cents per share. Underwriter—H. B. Houston, license broker, Seattle, Wash. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—415 Seventh Ave. South, Seat¬ & 1950 Diamond Mining Corp August 5, 1950 Diesel • Inc. in Notes Bonds & Preferred efforts; working capital.. & Co. writer—Lester & Co., Los Angeles, Calif. Proceeds—To loans and install machinery and equipment retire bank —To complete an ocean ferry, to finance dock and term¬ inal facilities to pay current obligations, and to provide • 39 CONFIDENTIAL SERVICE SURG '' SINCE mo PRINTING CO., Inc.' 80 SOUTH ST., NEW YORK y Xhiatge Asieaatfs JAcCOSMICK and HENDER5&N, ' w- ; * 7, fyY. 0#mtesr4> < tomtoa Associate The lEAGRAVE PRESS, Ltd. Parks Air Lines, Inc., East St. Louis, III. July 26 (letter of notification) 100,000 shares of common stock (par $2). Price—$3 per share. Underwriter—None. Proceeds—For operating purposes. Office—Parks Met¬ ropolitan Airport, East St. Louis, 111. • Pendleton (Ore.) Grain Growers, Inc. July 17 (letter of notification) $155,709 of series 18 cap¬ ital reserve certificates to be issued to patrons for the year 1949 in proportion to their patronage. Proceeds—For capital purposes. Underwriter —None. • Phibian, Inc., Vancouver, Wash. July 17 (letter of notification) 9.650 shares of common stock (no par). Price—$25 per share. Underwriter— None. Proceeds—For working capital. Address—P. O. Box 464, Vancouver, Wash. Continued on page 40 , 40 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (468) Continued from page Petroleum Power working capital. Spring. Md. 39 Toronto Canada Ltd., administration June 27, •effective Public June 26 and expenses drilling. Statement 1949. $7,000,000 of convertible debentures, due I960, and 100,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $100). Underwriters—To be determined by com- ptetitive bidding, along with prices, interest rate on de¬ stock. Probable Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & bentures and dividend rate on preferred for bonds: Inc., and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; First Boston Corp.; Harris, Hall & Co., Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. Probable bidders for preferred: •Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly); Kehman Brothers; First Boston Corp., Boettcher & Co. and Bos worth, Sullivan & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Harris, Hall & Co., Inc. (jointly.) Proceeds—For con¬ struction. Temporarily postponed. It was stated on Aug. I. that company plans to reduce new financing to $10,900,000. Co., • Pueblo July (letter 24 14,852 (Colo.) shares offered stock. common of $1,000 one (par bond Price—$1,492.20 'For working capital. of bonds and 91 unit. per to Proceeds— Office—702 N. Main St., Pueblo, Colo. —To Quinby Plan, Inc., Rochester, N. Y. ■July 28 Hied $2,000,000 of Quinby Plans. Underwriter— Quinby & Co., Inc. Business—An investment company. • Raysol, Inc., Washington, D. C. July 24 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of 6% pre¬ ferred stock (par $10) and 5,000 shares of common stock, to be offered share ■one units in of in Niagara of shares two stock. common Falls, Office—415 of preferred Price—$20 per and unit. Proceeds—To install N. Y., Butternut develop and St., bottling plant foreign markets. Washington, N.W., D.C. writers—Hornblower & Weeks and Paine, Webber, Jack¬ & Curtis. Proceeds—For working capital. Business— Electronic tubes and equipment for television and radio sets. Rochester (N. Y.) Telephone Corp. * 125,000 shares of common stock (par $10) io be offered to present stockholders at rate of one new . June 29 filed /jhare for each four held. Price—To be filed by amend¬ Underwriter—The First Boston Corp., New York. Proceeds—For general corporate purposes, including con¬ ment. struction and acquire properties and for working capital. loan. a Offering postponed. Mills, Inc., Denver, Colorado ible of (letter of notification) $150 000 of 5% convert¬ sinking fund debentures, due 1960, and 15,000 shares stock (par $10), to be sold separately or in common units of $1,000 debenture and one JPrice—Separately, at 100 shares of stock. in units, at $2,000 each. Underwriters—Boettcher & Co. and Peters, Writer & •Christensen, Inc., Denver, Col. Proceeds—For new ma¬ chinery, equipment and working capital. May be placed and par, semi-privately. Safeway Stores, Inc. ■$une 8 filed 321,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $100) and 257,064 shares of common stock (par $5). The at will common the Of rate the of one preferred be offered new share to each shares 205,661 stockholders common for will 10 So. Beverly Drive, the unsubscribed offered in common shares as well as 85,114 shares of preferred not needed for the exchange and 30,225 shares which will be created by converting that many of the old 5% shares brought in under the exchange into Any old preferred not exchanged will be redeemed on Oct. 1. Price—To be filed by amendment, along with the dividend rate on the new preferred. Proceeds—To redeem the unexchanged 5% preferred stock. stock, make cash payments prepayment of $20,000,000 Beverly Hills, Industries, Inc., St. Louis, Mo. July 20 (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of stock (no None. par). Price—$15 per Proceeds—For working Kentucky Ave., St. Louis, Mo. share. common Underwriter— capital. Office—1317 Nevada July 20 (letter of notification) 200,000 shares of common stock. Price—At par ($1 per share). Underwriter— None. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—333 Bridge St., Winnemuca, Nev. on in exchange, and toward the bank loans. Offering— Mining & Developing Co., Montrose, Colorado July 24 (letter of notification) 20,000 shares of common stock (par one cent) to be issued as a bonus, with no proceeds- to company. Address—Box 18, Montrose, Colo: Seaboard Finance Co. (8/8) July 20 filed 114,000 shares of $1.35 convertible preferred stock, series B (no par), to be offered in exchange •on a share-for-share basis for $1.35 convertible pre¬ of company ing underwriting firms. the latter $25.50 stock sold to owned by 26 participat¬ additional 36,000 shares of two institutional investors at now An share will remain outstanding. Price—To be filed by amendment. Underwriters -J The First Boston Corp. and five others. Proceeds—For acquisition of stock ot Employees Credit Corp. and for working per capital. • Seafood exchange for assets of Petroleum Royalties Co. —Kennedy Building, Tulsa. Okla. Transvision, Inc. June 13 filed capital 'Price—At stock. Underwriter—E, W. par McRoberts (25 cents ing capital and per share). & Southeastern Fund, Columbia, S. C. July 26 (letter of notification) 150 5% collateral trust notes of $1,000 each, maturing in one, two or three years from the dates of the respective notes. Underwriter— Proceeds—To purchase house trailers. Office— Liberty Life Bldg., Columbia, S. C. Co. Southern 818,415 shares of common stock (par $51 to be offered in exchange for 254,045 shares of common stock of Birmingham Electric Co. No underwriter. . Southern loans repay Co., Atlanta, Ga. 1,000,000 shares of common stock (par $5). Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding. bidders are: Morgan Stanley & Co., Kidder, • Treesdale Co. RFC Croydon and July At Laboratories (letter 27 Textile Processing of notification) 100,000 shares of 5% stock, convertible into common share, on or before Oct. 1, 1959. Price— share). Underwriter — Graham & Co., preferred share for ($3 par & (8/7) per Pittsburgh, Pa. Proceeds—To pay indebtedness, to ac¬ quire and install additional equipment and for working Office—223 Fourth Ave., Pittsburgh 22, Pa. Tri-State Oil & July 27 mon Refining Co., Denver, Col. 4,000,000 shares of par (five cents per share). (letter of notification) stock. Price—At ceeds—For working Bldg., Denver, Colo. United capital. com¬ Pro¬ California Office—201 Mining & Leasing Corp., Central City, July 19 (letter of notification) 891,250 shares of common stock. Price—At par (10 cents per share). Underwriter —None. Proceeds—For working capital. United States Plywood Corp. June 19 filed 60,000 shares of series B cumulative con¬ vertible preferred stock (par $100). Underwriter—East¬ Dillon & Co., New York. Price—To be filed by Proceeds—To in¬ crease working capital and for other corporate purposes, including the erection of a new plant at Anderson, Calif. man, amendment along with dividend rate. Upson-Walton Co., Cleveland, Ohio July 12 (letter of notification) 28,584 shares of common stock (par $1), of which 24,284 shares are offered to common stockholders of record July 7 at rate of one new share for each five held, with rights expiring Aug. 10, and 4,300 shares are offered to employees. Price—$5 per share. Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Union Securities Corp. and Equitable Securities Corp. (jointly); Harriman Rip¬ ley & Co., Inc. Proceeds—To purchase shares of subsid¬ 700 Perry-Payne Bldg., iaries in order to assist them in • from F. increase work¬ Syndicate, Inc. Probable tion. Proceeds—To Temporarily postponed. July 28 filed June 23 filed (par $1). Clay- stock common Underwriter—Blair Colorado common Co., Twin Falls, Ida. Proceeds—For mining development. None. share. per Office (8/22) 300,000 shares of baugh & Co., New York. • Mining Co., Hailey, Ida. July 17 (letter of notification) 250,000 shares of financing construc¬ new • Proceeds—To erect new office building. Office— Cleveland, O. Vanadium-Alloys Steel Co. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of capital (no par) to be offered employees. Price—$31 per Aug. 1 stock Underwriter—None. share. Proceeds—To be added to working capital. general Temporarily postponed. Vieh Southern Co., Columbus, Ohio Industries Corp., Mobile, Ala. July 24 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of common stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Underwriter— (letter of notification) 19,500 shares of common stock at $10 per share. Underwriter—The Ohio Co. Pro¬ for Proceeds—To Gulf Shipbuilding Corp., selling Office—61 St. Joseph St., Mobile, Ala. stockholder. Natural Southwest Gas Co., Shreveport, La. June 26 (letter of notification) 13,500 shares of common stock to be sold by Ronald M. Craigmyle, at market (about $7.37V2 per share) through Craigmyle, Pinney & Co., New York City. • Sprague Devices, Inc., Michigan City, Ind. July 27 (letter of notification) $100,000 of first mortgage sinking fund convertible 5% bonds (in denominations of $500 and $1,000 each). Underwriter—City Securities Corp., Indianapolis, Ind. Proceeds—For working capital. Office—Huron St., Michigan City, Ind. Standard Oil Co. July 14 filed stock (New Jersey) unspecified number of shares of capital (par $25), to be offered in exchange for 500,000 an shares of outstanding capital stock of Creole Petroleum Corp. at rate of eight Standard Oil shares for 15 Creole shares. Purpose—To increase holdings of to 95% Creole stock from present 93.12%. Corp. of Maryland* ;• July 27 (letter of notification) 4.000 shares qf stock owned by John Wexler. Price—At share)., Proceeds—Net proceeds; less $1 par: per. —$1 per share (U. S. funds). ment, • road Underwriter—None. construction, Sun Finance & Loan Office—222 Proceeds—For working capital. Republic Bldg., Cleveland, O. Disinfecting Co. (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of common stock (par 50 cents). Price—At market (about $10 per share). Underwriter—Coffin & Burr, Inc., New York. Proceeds—To stockholder. selling Office—42-16 West Street, Long Island City, N. Y. Western Carolina Telephone June 22 (letter of notification) stock to be offered to for each two shares Underwriter—None. Co., Franklin, N. C. 1,406 shares of capital stockholders at rate of held. one share Price—At par ($50 per share). Proceeds—To pay bank loans. Western Oil Fields, Inc., Denver, Colo. May 5 (letter of notification) 600,000 shares of common stock and a $50,000 note carrying interest at 4% payable from percentage of oil sold. This note will carry with it as a bonus 500,000 shares of stock. Price—Of stock, 250 per share. Underwriter—John G. Perry & Co., Den¬ ver. Proceeds—To drill for oil in Wyoming and for working capital. Prospective Offerings (par $1).. Price—$6 per share. Underwriters — Sills, Fairman & Harris; Straus & Blosser. Proceeds—To 15 selling stock¬ holders. Temporarily postponed. Tele-Tone Radio Corp., N. Y. City 22 filed 100,000 shares of cumulative convertible class A stock. Price—At par ($10 per share). Under¬ June writers—Sills, Fairman & Harris; Straus & Blosser. Pro¬ ceeds For additional plant facilities and — capital. for working Temporarily postponed. Texas Consolidated Oils (formerly Texmass Office—Dallas, Tex. ,s - , Titan Explosives Co^Portland,^Ore» July 20 (letter of notification) 1,000 shares of 4% cumu- •/)["} V»n,> • . • "V «■•-> June 3 it Finance Co. later reported company may do some financing this.. year. Traditional underwriter: Goldman, Sachs & . was Co. Alabama ' . * Power Co. May 12 company reported to be considering issue in late of about $10,000,000 preferred stock. Probable )',t •. . bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Union Securities Corp. and Equitable Securities Corp. (jointly); First Boston Corp.; Drexel & Co. Proceeds will be used for construction expenditures. • ■ American Investment Co. of Illinois - ;< May 24 announced company is planning to file shortly registration statement covering 160,000 shares of prior preferred stock (par $50). Price—To be filed by amend¬ ment. Underwriters—Glore, Forgan & Co.; Kidder, Pea¬ body & Co., and Alex. Brown & Sons, and others. Pro¬ ceeds—For additional working capital. a American Natural Petroleum Co.) • Aetna summer Tele-Tone Radio Corp., N. Y. City June 22 filed 135,000 shares of common stock Forrester A. Clark. per' West Pro¬ purchase of equip¬ exploration and development. common ■donated by John Wexler to the corporation, and used for buy the assets of Brodhead-Garrett Co. and working capital. July 25 ceeds—Funds will be applied to the ($10 share, to be ceeds—To Mines Ltd., Toronto, Canada 6, 1949, filed 375,000 shares of common stock. Price July 24 filed voting trust certificates representing 25,500 shares of $5 cumulative preferred stock, class A (no par). Voting Trustees—John F. Chase, Uindsey Hooper and Products May 8 Sudor* Gold June Underwriter—None. stock mon Snoose 411 Royalty Corp., Tulsa, Okla. (letter of notification) 109,030 shares of com¬ stock (par 70 cents) to be issued at $2.50 per share in • • ferred Toklan July 21 capital. Co., Cleveland, Ohio July 20 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of class A 6% preferred stock. Price—At par ($100 per share). Juan • retire Proceeds—To to purchase and install additional ma¬ Address—P. O. Box 43C4, Portland 8, Ore. chinery. stock Slumbering Hills Mining Corp., Winnemucca, • Underwriter—None. par). debentures and cumulative Sinclair Temporarily postponed. San participating preferred stock to be offered at per share) and 6,572 shares of common stock ($25 Price—2.75 Calif., • shares held. be exchange for 186,965 shares of outstanding 5% preferred stock, along with an unspecified cash payment. Under¬ writer—Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane will offer new Office—321 poses. Thursday. August 3, 1950 . None. repayment of Rocky Mountain Textile July 11 capital and Profit Television Productions, Inc. June 29 (letter of notification) 150,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—$2 per share. Underwriter— Koellmer & Gunther, Newark, N. J. Proceeds—To com¬ plete films in progress and for general corporate pur¬ • Raytheon Manufacturing Co. July 12 filed 289,459 shares of common stock (par $5), being offered to holders of common stock of record July 31 at rate of one share for each five shares held; rights will expire on Aug. 14. Price—$6.75 per share. Under¬ son of Simmel-Meservey • Underwriter—None. shares Co., Oklahoma City, Okla. April 27 (letter of notification) 225,782 shares of class A stock (par 500). Price—$1.25 per share. Underwriter— Genesee Valley Securities Co., Rochester, N. Y. Proceeds and be shares of cent), one lative (no 750,000 stock to be purchased under "The Savings Sharing Pension Fund of Sears, Roebuck & Co. Em¬ ployees," through not more than 25,000 memberships in the Fund which is voluntary. • Investment $25,000 stock common units in Medico Clinic notification) of of Silver par Sears, Roebuck & Co. July 26 filed not more tnan ' bidders Lane, Seneca Oil of Colorado Service Co. filed Linden • 1949, filed 1,150,000 shares ($1 par) common 1,000,000 on behalf of company and 150,000 by Hew York Co., Ltd. Price—50 cents per share. Underwriters—S. G. Cranwell & Co., New York. Proceeds— April 25, ot which For Office—1520 . . May 18 380,607 Gas Co. it was announced company plans shares of common stock (no par) stockholders at rate of share for each issuance of to common eight shares held. Price—To be filed by amendment. Underwriters— To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bid¬ ders: Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; Lehman Brothers; The First one Volume 172 Number 4930 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle .. . (469) Boston Corp. Proceeds—To increase investments in stock of Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. and Milwaukee Light Co. Offering—Postponed indefinitely. Terms Gas may be revised. • Anton Corp., Fort Worth, Tex. a registration statement will covering $10,500,000 of preferred and common July 31 it filed be Oil rumored that was stock. Associated June 14 it Natural announced was Co. Gas plans issuance of $234,000 common stock and $450,000 of 18-year 4 xk % first mortgage bonds, plus a 5-year bank loan of $250,000, to finance construction of company pipe line project in south¬ eastern Missouri, authorized by FPC, to cost $934,000. Associated a Chicago & Western Indiana RR. Jan. 31 reported company will probably issue in the near some bonds to refund the 4% non-callable con¬ solidated first mortgage bonds due future July 1, 1952. Re¬ funding of the first and refunding mortgage 4Y4% bonds, series A, due Sept. 1, 1962, is also said to be a possibility. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; Lee Higginson Corp.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Drexel & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Harriman, Ripley & Co., Inc.; First Boston Corp.; Lehman Brothers; Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis; Kidder, Peabody & Co. Commercial new Telephone Co., Ltd. June 15 it was announced that the company's present intention is to raise approximately $10,000,000 of addi¬ tional funds by selling, in the fall of the current year, 50,000 additional shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $20), a like amount of common stock (par $20) and $8,000,000 of first mortgage bonds, series G. Under¬ writers—For preferred stock, probably Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis, Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and Mitchum, Tully & Co. For the bonds, to be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Salo¬ Credit Co. March 30 stockholders approved creation of 500,000 shares of cumulative preferred stock (par $100) of which plans to sell 230,000 shares. A group of under¬ writers, headed by Kidder, Peabody & Co. and The First Boston Corp., are expected to offer the stock. company Consolidated Edison Co. of New York, Inc. May 15, Ralph H. Tapscott, Chairman, said the company will require approximately $90,000,000 of "new money' through the sale of securities. No permanent financing is contemplated before this fall, however, and current ex¬ penditures are being financed by short-term loans, of which $16,000,000 are now outstanding. It is anticipated that $257,000,000 will be needed for the construction pro¬ Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); Lehman Brothers; Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis and Stone & Webster Secur¬ ities Corp. (jointly); White, Weld & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Equitakle Securities Corp. and Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) (jointly). Proceeds—For gram construction the four the mon program. Big Bear Markets of Michigan, Inc. June 9 it was announced company plans early registra¬ tion of 100,000 shares of additional capital stock. Under¬ writer—J. G. White & Co., New York. Canada July 25 it (Dominion of) reported that registration is expected about the middle of September of a new issue of $100,000,000 bonds, the proceeds of which are to be used to refund on Oct. 1, next, a like amount of 4% external bonds, due Oct. 1, 1960, which are payable in U. S. dol¬ lars. was Probable underwriter—Morgan Stanley & Co. Corp. of America April 12 the stockholders voted to authorize the creation of 1,000,000 shares of a new preferred stock (par $100), 505,000 shares of which can be issued at any time Plans are being formulated for the issuance this year, market conditions initial series of this an be convertible into considered are satisfactory, of preferred stock which may new be used in part for expansion of the business, including additional production facilities. Probable underwriters Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co. Central Maine Power Co. & Co. (jointly); Coffin & Burr, Inc.; First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Goldman, Sachs & Co. (jointly). The proceeds would be used to pay outstand¬ ing notes of NEPSCO. March 1 it Electric announced that under was an amended plan reorganization it is proposed to issue to holders of all each old share the right to buy a unit consisting of eight shares of new common stock and $14 principal amount of new 4V2% income de¬ bentures for a package price of $18. The common stock, except for approximately 4,600,000 shares held by Harri¬ son Williams and associates, would be offered the right to buy a unit of one new common share and $1.75 of new income debentures for a package price of $2.25 for each shares held. common The issue of new stock and debentures would be underwritten by Darien Corp. and a banking group headed by Hemphill Noyes, Graham. Parsons & Co., Shields & Co., Blair, Rollins & Co., Drexel & Co. and Sterling Grace Co. Central tion Telephone Co. announced it plans to file a registra¬ late in July covering 90,000 shares of statement mon stock (par $10), which are to be issued to com¬ stockholders of Central Electric & Gas Co. basis. for-13 & son < company common Dealer Curtis and Proceeds—Mainly Central May 4, it Stone to Vermont was & retire on a Public Service Corp. announced that if offer to acquire Green effective, it plans to re¬ first and refunding 3%% bonds due 1963 of Green Mountain by the issue and sale for cash of first mortgage bonds of a new series and of outstanding series $7,715,000 of preferred stock, $100 par value. Prob¬ able bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; prob¬ able bidders for preferred: W.A C. Langley & Co. and Hemphill, Noyes, Graham, Parsons & Co. (jointly). a new ' Chenango & Unadilla Telephone Co. July 17' Company applied to New York P. S. Commission for authority to issue $1,000,000 of mortgage bonds, $357,000 of preferred stock and $300,000 of common stock. • Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. (8/9) Bids will be received until Aug. 9 for the purchase from the company of $5,370,000 equipment trust certificates, third issue of 1950, to be dated Sept. 1, 1950 and to be due in 30 semi-annual instalments from March 1, 1951 to Sept. 1, 1965, inclusive. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & & Co. Co., Inc.; Salomon Bros & Hutzler; Harris, Hall (Inc.); Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Brothers years. Probable bidders: Hal¬ Morgan Stanley & Co.; First Delaware Power & Light Co. (jointly). This estimate may be raised to demands power the system. on accommodate increased If this is the case, mora he added. This may hb financing will be necessary, done through additional common financing. Iowa Southern April 26 to plan bonds to finance part of its gram for 1950. sale of first mortgage $3,200,000 construction pro¬ Probable underwriter: The First Bosto» Corp. La Crosse Telephone Co. June 6, company announced that it has advised the Wis¬ consin P. S. Commission that it expects to sell of $1,090,000 long-term bonds and not less than $600,000 additional stock. common Proceeds will be used to repay $1,300,000 bank loans, due in September, 1951, and the remaining $300,000 will go to Central Telephone Co., parent, to re¬ temporary advances for construction. Probable Paine, Webber Jackson & Curtis. pay Long Island Lighting Co. May 18 it in 1950 was reported company's construction program will cost $20,000,000 which is currently being financed by up to $12,000,000 bank loans pending per¬ manent financing which be done following effec¬ may tiveness of consolidation plan. Probable bidders for anynew securities include Smith, Barney & Co. Lorillard (P.) Co. April 4, Herbert A. Kent, President, said: "It may necessary to do some financing" before Aug. 1, 1951 U* redeem $6,195,450 of 5% bonds due on that date anct for additional working capital to meet expanded volume. Securities Corp. and • Duquesne Light Co. July 27 it that the company plans the bidding of $7,500,000 of new pre¬ (par $50), following sale of $12,000,000 of first mortgage bonds due Aug. 1, 1980 (registration state¬ sale at ferred announced was competitive une derwriter: sey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Salomon Bros. & Hutzler (jointly); First Boston Corp.; Union Earlier this year, it was said that com¬ pany planned to issue and sell $10,000,000 of bonds and 50,000 shares of preferred stock (par $100). stock Utilities Co. said company preferred or He added that company plans to bank loans in full by July, 1950. These loans to $12,000,000. Traditional underwriters: saleei pay off its* now amount; Lehman Broa Smith, Barney & Co. Macy May 8 it (R. H.) & Co. reported that company is considering issu¬ ance of $10,000,000 of new securities, either debenture® or preferred stock. Traditional underwriters — Lehimm was Brothers; Goldman, Sachs & Co. stock for latter issue was filed with SEC on July 25). Probable bidders: W. C. Langley & Co.; Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); First Boston Corp.; Kidder, Fenner & Peabody Beane Lehman Brothers. and & Co., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Proceeds will be used for construction • Maine Central July 27 it RR. (8/16) announced was that bids will be received the company's office, 222 St. John Street. Portland 4, Mc,. before noon (EDT) on Aug. 16 for the purchase from it of $5,600,000 equipment trust certificates date*! Sept. 1, 1950 and to mature in 20 semi-annual instal¬ at or ments from March 1, 1951 to and including Sept. 1, I960 bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Salo¬ Probable program. Eastern May 23 it the SEC assets Utilities Associates was a new issue of the Brockton Edison Co., Fall Light Co. and Montaup Electric Co. and and sell first mortgage and collateral trust bonds and $8,500,000 of preferred stock. El $22,000,000 of Paso Electric Co., El Paso, Tex. July 19 it was announced company plans to refund $3,500,000 bank loans (authority for which is sought from FPC) with permanent financing prior to March 31, 1951, their maturity date. The last issue of debentures was placed privately last September with the John Hancock Mutual Life Insurance Co. Previous financing underwrit¬ ten by White, Weld & Co. Elliott Co. Co. Radio & Phonograph Corp. May 29, Benjamin Abrams, President, announced that company may use unissued 1,240,390 shares of capital stock (par $5) to acquire additional plant facilities if needed. Traditional underwriter: F. Eberstadt & Co. Florida Power Corp. July 10 company reported to be contemplating issuance of $25,000,000 new bonds, the proceeds to be used to refund the outstanding 3J/4% and 3%% issues. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co., Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co. and W. C. Langley & Co. (jointly); First Boston Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly); Harriman considered 9 Ripley & Co., Inc. Not imminent. Florida June Power & stockholders $4.50 cumulative preferred stock (par $100). These are soon expected to be offered to finance part of construction program which is expected to require ap¬ shares proximately $25,000,000 new capital through 1952. Holeproof June 22 it was stock, time. Traditional Hosiery Co. announced that underwriter: and additional an (par $15) stock, series cv 30,000 shares of preferred^ be authorized. to Further available. • Meek Industries, Inc., Plymouth, Ind. July 29 it was reported company plans sale of approxi¬ shares of common stock, subject to mately 250,000 market conditions. Underwriter—Otis working capital. —For details no* & Co. Proceed® »' Michigan Bumper Corp., Grand Rapidsr, Mich. July 20 stockholders voted to increase authorized com—, , stock (par $1) from 250,000 shares to 500,000 shares^, with holders of present outstanding stock to have no pre¬ emptive rights. Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. July 25 it was reported company expects to sell between* $20,000,000 and $25,000,000 of first mortgage bonds thi® fall. Underwriters To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.' White, Weld & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Smith, Barney & Co. Proceeds—To pay off short terra — bank loans funds sale for of Gas and for new construction additional construction will common also stock be to costs. raised Additional through the American Natural Co., parent. Michigan-Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. July 25 company received SEC authority to borrow no! more than $20,000,000 from banks. A permanent financ¬ ing program provides for the elimination of these bank loans prior to their maturity, July 1, 1951, and such pro¬ will include the issuance and sale of $12,000,00<* $3,000,000 of additional common* Previous debt financing was placed privately. additional stock. • bonds MidSouth July 31 it and Gas Co. that this newly organized issue and sell publicly $2,800,000 of com¬ mon stock and place privately with institutional investors $6,900,000 of 20-year 3%% first mortgage bonds, the proceeds to be used in connection with the acquisition was announced company may Granite City Steel Co. July 11, company announced stockholders will vote Aug. 17 on increasing authorized common stock from 400,000 shares to 1,000,000 shares, and directors approved tenta¬ tive plans for a proposed offering to stockholders of rights to subscribe to additional common stock. The proceeds will be used to reimburse company for capital expenditures already made and to provide funds for further capital expenditures contemplated. A registra¬ tion statement is expected to be filed with the SEC at appropriate Forgan & Co. (par $15) gram Light Co. approved creation of 50,000 shares of an Market Basket, Los Angeles, Calif. May 25 company announced it plans sale of 4,452 share® of authorized but unissued, preferred mon May 26 it was reported that between 47,000 and 48,000 shares of this company's common stock may be offered some time in the near futuer through F. Eberstadt & Emerson Bros. & Hutzler. mon announced that under a plan filed with company will be formed to acquire the of Eastern, and River Electric 1- Webber, Jack¬ Webster Securities Corp. $850,000 short-term loans. Managers—Paine, Mountain Power Corp. becomes fund Inc.; 1 it was reported that company expects to be in market this fall with an offering of bonds to com¬ plete its 1950 financing program. Probable bidders: Hal¬ Corp. classes of 6% preferred stock for June 22 Co. , States of five next & Corp. Ang. will July 24 New England Public Service Co. applied to the SEC for authority to sell 260,000 shares of its holdings (1,315,181 shares) of the common stock of Central Maine Power Co. at competitive bidding prior to Oct. 1, 1950. Probable bidders: Blyth & Co., Inc., and Kidder, Peabody Central • Net proceeds would stock. common Boston ment Celanese if over Stuart sey, 4J Glore, * / ' ' ' ' /, registration statement is , expected to be filed shortly covering not less than 25% and not exceeding 33%% of the stock held by principal stockholders following proposed 7%-for-l stock split up to be voted upon Aug.-16; Houston Lighting & 'Power Cd. •* ' i;i. " ' ' April 14, S: R. Bertron,'President; estimated construction expenditures for 1950 between $19,000,000 and $20,000,000. of the gas Light Co. Equitable distribution properties of Arkansas Power & Probable bidders for stock: Lehman Brothers^ Securities Corp. and White Weld & Co. (jointly). Milwaukee June 21 it was Gas Light Co. announced that the company's permanent financing program, expected to be consummated prior to October, 1950, will involve refinancing of $13,334,000 of first mortgage 41/2% bonds due 1967, $2,000,000 of 7% preferred stock and bank loans (about $8,500,000) through the issuance ,of new senior securities and common stock. (American Natural £as Co. now owns 97.7% of presently outstanding'common stock). Probable bidders for bonds; Halsey, Stbart & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co., and Leh¬ man Brothers (jointly); Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Harri¬ man Ripley & Co.; Smith, Barney & Co., Kuhn, Loeb Co. and Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly). * Continued on page 42 42 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (470) Continued Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Boston Corp. from page 41 of Utah Fuel Supply Co. Mountain Expected this Fall. Boston Corp. New New York State Electric & Gas Corp. will Ry. received be of 430 box provement Co. 96 be sold at under an a estimated cost of $2,450,000 conditional sale and agreement, the $2,250,000 is to be paid in either or 120 equal monthly instalments beginning Sept. • Northern States was Power Co. ers Pacific be used for Northwest new Co. Corp. proposed, under its amended plan filed with SEC, to sell its holdings of 154,231.8 shares of South Jersey Gas Co. common stock as to which an exemption from competitive bidding is requested. Southern construction. Pipeline March 3 it Corp. this June 30 company sought FPC authority to build a 2,175 Washing¬ for major process of being requirements are now in Power & Feb. 6, a up lowed be either the issuance and sale the by additional financing sale of at least $5,000,000 Pipe Line Co. reported that this company, an affiliate of Standard Oil Co. (New Jersey), is contemplating financing of about $50 000,000, part of which is expected to be placed privately and the balance sold to the public. Underwriter—May be Morgan Stanley & Co. To be used to build begin early early 1952. next new year Proceeds— pippe line, with construction to and completion scheduled for . ^ Public Service Electric & Gas Co. April 000,000 000 17 stockholders new 3y8% approved bonds for the purpose the . \f.. issuance of $90,of refunding $50,000- bonds due 1965; $10,000,000 3y4% bonds due 1968; $15,000,000 3% bonds due 1970 and $15,000,000 bonds due 1972. Probable bidders: Halsey Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); was expected to 8 SEC Utah Power authorized Vulcan Detinning Co. Early registration with SEC expected. Underwriters— Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Lehman Brothers. r.: 500,000 and 325;000 shares of new common stock (par $1) to the pubnation-wide group of underwriters headed ' by F. Eberstadt & Co., Inc. include A some beginning Sept. 1, 1950. additional' ebriVmbn stock. The This may Standard Coil Products Co. gage , Proceeds—To retire first mort¬ convertible income 4^% bonds summer : . Corp. Worcester County April 25 company Electric Co. planning issuance reported OOQ,pOO first mortgage bonds. of $10,* Probable bidders: Halsey, Sthart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc.; Lehman President, announced this * Wilcox-Gay capital. , Tennessee Gas Transmission Co. bonds will be sold late and offering of a new issue of stock. Traditional Underwriter —Gearhart, Kinnard & Otis. Proceeds — For working • "some bonds July 14 it was announced that in connection with pro¬ posed acquisition of Garod Radio Corp. and Majestic Radio & Television, Inc., Wilcox-Gay Corp. plans public Tampa Electric Co. April 25 it was announced company plans to raise $4,700,000 in. new money through sale of additional securities, the proceeds to finance in part 1950 con* struction expenditures. 1 x Symonds, 4% due-2014. Eberstadt & Co., New York. Proceeds— Major part to selling stockholders and partly for work¬ ing capital. Gardiner .*. Pierce, Fenner & Beane. writer—F. 25 ■ RR. thers July 31 it was reported company plans sale publicly of 367,500 shares of common stock, with registration ex¬ pected in mid-August. Price $15.25 per share. Under¬ Jan. Pacific Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Lehman Bro¬ and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); Merrill Lynch, sey, proceeds to pay for construction costs. Jfv.M kV, • Western July 17 it was reported company plans issuance and sale of $22,000,000 mortgage bonds. Probable bidders: Hal¬ $18,000,000 through the sale of securities year in name Warner-Hudnut, Inc.; also to file a registration state¬ with the SEC covering the sale of approximately rife through a Service Co. was announced by Herbert L. Nichols, Chair¬ that the company expects to raise between $17,— during the fiscal Inc. ment Aug. 1 it man, & Co., President, announced that cor¬ poration proposes recapitalization and change to $550,000 base price, plus adjustments. Public (William R.) June 12 Elmer H. Bobst, & Electric Co. to undertake negotiations with "all interested parties" for the sale of its common stock interest (62,910 shares) in Southern Utah Power Co. for not less than a Southwestern contemplates public offering of part of its stock holdings (which now total 59..2%). common 4-L*Warner Washington Gas offer July 18, A. C. Buttfield, President, announced that, following approval of proposed two-for-one split-up of the common stock to be voted upon Aug. 17, Continental Co. of to pected this Fallr early in 1951, involving additional common stock trustee expects of H First Boston Corp. Southern company ceeds will be used to finance construction program. Vulcan June announced Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; White, Weld & Co.; Stone & Web¬ ster Securities Corp.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Pro¬ Ex¬ at $32,520,- Can Co., Inc., are was borrowings of least $10,000,000 at of it competitive bidding not exceeding $20,000,000 oL first and refunding mortgage bonds. Probable bid¬ ders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Union Securities Corp.; rights. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Plantation July 6, it temporary bank 20 through Co. n '■ Gas approved Virginia Electric & Power Co. June which will be offered to stockholders under preemptive • would Natural SEC Com¬ is now in process of completing negotiations for its major financing requirements. pany to $20,000,000 to mature July 1, 1951, the proceeds to involve Philadelphia Electric Co. stock 21 Michigan. Texas to markets in Indiana, Ohio and first mortgage bonds, with respect to which a declaration is expected to be filed prior to Nov. 1, 1950, to be fol¬ Pennsylvania RR. July 12 company reported planning issuance and sale early in September of $10,005,000 additional equipment trust certificates, series Z, to mature annually April 1, 1951 to April 1, 1965. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Brothers (jointly); Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. competitive, and preferred negotiated or competitive. Edison Co. be used for construction program, estimated 000 for 1950-1951. Permanent financing is practical date, which may be shortly after Aug. 6. A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc. and Bear, Sterns & Co. headed this group. The 500,000 shares of common stock are being split-up on a 3V2-for-l basis, all or part of which will be publicly offered. Company also expects to raise $3,000,000 in new money later this year and a similar amount in 1951. Registration of new 1,750,000 soon ex¬ pected. be a reported that company expects to issue $55,000,000 of bonds. Probable bidders: summer June last, have informed him of their intention to public distribution of these shares at earliest May 5 it was said that there will be additional financing later this year, with probably some common stock to be underwritten by Drexel & Co. Bond financing would sought FPC authorization to construct $144,500,000 pipeline project to carry natural gas from the Gulf Coast and off-shore fields in Louisiana and June 27 company was Southern Light Co. April 13, Paul McKee, Presdient, disclosed that a group of 16 purchasers who acquired company's 500,000 shares Of common stock from American Power & Light Co. on make California Valley Gas Pipe Line Co., Inc., Houston, Tex. First Boston Corp. and Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Shields & Co. Proceeds would be used to refund $30,000,000 3y4% bonds and for construction costs. completed. Pacific Proceeds from the bond and stock short-term loans in connec¬ to repay bonds about Oct. 9. and 12 The mile pipeline system—from southern Texas to ton—at a cost of $174,186,602. Negotiations financing shares to be offered to pres¬ of one new share for each June 15 United probably this fall with an offering of $17,500,000 preferred stock. Probable bidders: Lehman Broth¬ and Riter & Co. (jointly); Smith, Barney & Co. Proceeds would announced company plans to spend in South Jersey Gas (Minn.) reported that, the company will be in the market new was spent in 1950. Brothers. 15, 1950. July 29 it Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; money Under agreement. it 11 (10/9) (9/12) tion/with the company's construction program, and for carrying forward the expansion program into 1951. Probable bidders for bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); Union Securities Corp. and Smith, Barney & Co. (joint¬ ly);.. First Boston Corp. and Blyth & Co.. Inc.; Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; White, Weld & Co.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler. Probable bidders for common: Blyth & Co., Inc.; Union Securities Corp. and Smith, Barney & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers; W. C. Langley & Co. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Kid¬ der, Peabody & Co. and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane (jointly). Common stock expected about Sept. $34,000,000^ of which $11,600,000 will It is estimated that $6,000,000 of new will be required this year, to be raised by the sale of $3,000,000 of bonds and 60,000 shares of pre¬ ferred stock (par $50). Probable bidders include Lehman be held. shares ratio in sales will be used the next four years and 50 cabooses from Northwestern Im¬ cars bonds: common shareholders eight South Carolina Electric & Gas Co. May approximately 90% of the purchase price for financing the which at rate 166,604 additional Power Co. bidders for Light Co. 15 it was reported that registration is expected Aug. 2 of $8,000,000 of additional first mortgage bonds to be sold through competitive bidding, and about Webster Securities Corp. & Stone 8 in St. Paul, Minn., for the lowest bidders will provide $2,250,000 at the company's office interest Aug on Utah Power & July plans to finance and per¬ manently refund $2,200,000 of bank loans by the sale of debentures and common stock prior to Oct. 31, 1950. Probable (CDT) noon ~r June 2 company announced it (8/8) until 1950, and mature ent Sierra Pacific 22-inch pipe line in Utah to cost approximately Hearings willr be held before the Utah P. S. Commission in August or September, after a study of. the project. (jointly). for ... mile Higginson Corp. and Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc^ and Lehman Brothers Corp. will neces¬ than $25,000,000 of additional debt Pacific Northern be to $25,000,000. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon Bros. & Hutzler; Lee Loeb & Co. Bids 2.84%. placed privately with institutional investors through''a banking group headed by Dominion Securities Corp. and Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. of $3,570,000 equipment trust certifi¬ H, to be dated Sept. 1, annually from 1951 to 1965, inclusive. including short-term bank loans bonds: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; The First Boston Corp.; Kuhn, bidders company cates, series financing, equity Probable provide funds The proposal pro¬ vides for borrowing at an average interest rate of It is understood that the new debentures are ^ to noon (EDT) on Aug. 15 for the purchase from the up railroad Jan. 19 announced that construction program more Union Securities Corp.; United States of $15,000,000 debentures to Gallagher & Walton, 15 Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y., Inc. sitate in 1950 not underwriters: Langley & Co. Toronto (Ont.), Canada July 25 the Board of Control authorized the sale in the Bids will be received at the office of Willkie Owen Farr Barney & Co. (jointly); First Boston Corp. and Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc. Probable bidders for bonds only: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Power It Traditional C. W. .. in part, cost of new construction estimated to total $55,800,000 in the next three years. Probable bidden for bonds and preferred: Blyth & Co., Inc., and Smith, Mohawk in the increase an * pay, to sold. - company expects to sell $14,000,000 of bonds and $6,000,000 of new preferred stock in June, 1951, with an additional $10,000,000 of new securities to be sold in 1952, the proceeds to be used to Niagara was approved stock to 1,000,000 shares from 500,000 understood that 125,000 shares may be registered with the SEC in the near future and offered for sale to the highest bidder by the Office of Alien United Gas Pipe Line Co. Property. Probable bidders: A. G. Becker & Co. (Inc.),_ Union Securities Corp. and Ladenburg, Thalmann & Co.:; "July 25 filed with FPC for authority to build 1,130 miles of new lines in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi at a (jointly); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Kid¬ cost of about $110,000,000, including new facilities. der, Peabody & Co.; F. Eberstadt & Co.; Allen & Co.; It is new company to be formed by United States & Inter¬ probable that the bulk of this new capital will be raised national Securities Corp.; Dillon, Read & Co.; F. S. Mosethrough the public sale of new securities. •. ley & Co.; Riter & Co. Utah Natural Gas Co. • Seaboard Air Line Ry. •June 5 it was announced company plans to build a 325- For May 24 it was reported • shares. have common for construction of Toronto's subway. Schering Corp. 50,000 shares (1) stockholders authorized May 4, it was'announced that the company's entire com-, mon stock issue (440,000 shares) was expected to be" of preferred stock. Probable bonds—Halsev. Stuart & Co., Inc.. (2) for bonds and preferred: Harriman Ripley & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; First Boston Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; (3) for preferred:—W. C. Langley & Co. and bidders: or Tide Water Power Co. Hutzler. & Bros. Salomon (jointly). May 4 Corp.; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Lehman Brothers and Bear, Stearns & Co. (jointly); England Power Co. Co. to pay curities April 24 it was estimated that about $37,000,000 nev financing will be required to pay construction costi estimated at $40,000,000 for 1950 to 1952. Present plani are to issue in late summer or early fall $10,000,00(1 bonds & $10,000,000 of bonds. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; White, Weld & Co. and Shields & Co. (jointly): First Boston Corp.; Union Se¬ Beane. (jointly); Kuhn, Loeb & Co. and A. C. Allyn The proceeds would be used in part for construction. Weld & Co. Diego Gas & Electric Co. July 3 it was reported that company may issue late in September or early October between $8,000,000 and May 17 the stockholders voted to increase the author¬ ized preferred stock (par $50) from 75,000 to 150,000 shares. There are presently outstanding 72,993 shares Probable underwriter: Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Thursday, August 3, 1950 Stone & Webster Securities Corp. and White, & Co. Inc.; San Power Co. States Mountain . bidding, but the amount has not yet been decided." Banking circles speculated that a $40,000,000 bond sale would be forthcoming. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart June 7 company to create a new 6 company announced plans . tive First Reynolds Metals Co. announced stockholders will vote Aug. 9 on increasing authorized common stock from 1,500,000 shares to 2,500,000 shares. The increase is being sought to make additional shares available for any future need. Probable underwriter: Reynolds & Co. firm to take over its exploration and development of natural gas and oil operations. It will be financed, in part, through public sale by the new unit of 1,000,000 shares of capital stock (par $8). Financing plan submitted by First June . Brothers; tftat at competi-- _ Kidder, Peabody & Co.; First Boston Corp.; Merrill, Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Volume 172 Number 4930 .. . The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (471) Continued jrom which 5 page ing Forecasts is await to ments larger than in most years. further to or price price in¬ ' "Butter offers another example of the dampening price of in¬ by the existence of large creases The price of butter did surpluses. not advance at all until the fourth week of hostilities and then it was by only 0.3%. The Commodity Credit Corporation has about 185 million pounds of butter in stor¬ up the In age. price it there is of fit, sees perishable sell at any may but that danger ducts will of case products the CCC only deteriorate. competition when these pro¬ The threat from oleomar¬ garine, however, may also be a contributing factor in restraining price increases for butter. Some manufacturers have creases. since returned with substantially There are at even these the tftg market but higher prices. reports of eager buying the volume low to higher of but has been saies recent prices, high be¬ The pace. mills are said to be solidly booked through the third quarter of 1950. Many have substantial fourth quarter bookings and small the of amounts second business quarter of into 1951. To in pronounced more of those case foodstuffs large surpluses able, at least of part the prices prices 28%." crisis, advance uted for have steers the to fact been be can attrib¬ that their prices, maintained tively high levels. rela¬ at purchases and sustained high-level consumer demand indi¬ cate that seasonal declines in meat prices will be smaller than usual this fall. Fats and oils, which experienced larger declines from postwar peaks than other food¬ stuffs, In have the since month the lard oil tops, three has invasion, jumped 27% principal imported — and have advanced increase has nounced. Cocoa 14%, coffee, cocoa, sugar—the not first sig¬ very nificantly, whereas for tops elapsed Korean has products wool sharply. sugar been so the pro¬ 18%, wool was up and coffee 13%, while sugar rose only 7%. Here again the, variations in the availability <?f supplies apparently explain the differences in price increases. Supplies of sugar are more than held gram in the of Columbia the new sugar from Cuba. This provide, the 'United States the largest supply ever available in single any calendar "The advance has been their one in cotton This rise began in early June accelerated by the devel- dprrifents iri impetus ment that Korea, but the main' when came of the Agriculture Depart¬ announced smaller cotton crop was in a for prospect previously market The winning is year 1950-51 been 31% As year. a than had expected. The sources that of last damage, private crop estimate will crop below result of the reduced acreage and yield that the new only some 10 million bales compared with more than, 16 1949-50 14 million in - million Consumption tion bales year. 'disappearance' crop year bales, and, if the last crop* year was in the 3 duced. other the as 25-year new., cents. per fered about When the goods, - yarns, among the rowers in the heaviest the finished from the market current moment the bor¬ bulk with the extent 101.707. of only This $1.73 was withdrew VANDERSTUCKEN, JR.,^ Assistant Secretary REFRACTORIES COMPANY Pittsburgh of The Directors of the its meeting held on Byrndun Corporation at August 1st, 1950, declared a dividend of Twenty-five cents (25<f) per share on the Class "A" Participating Stock, the Class such "A" Stock; Common Stock dividend no and the Com¬ fractional shares, on all payable on August 17, 1950 to stockholders of record at 3 :00 P. M., August 10, 1950. ar¬ Pennsylvania July 23, Board ending of Directors September On July 25, and 1950 three-quarters CENTS share payable per STOCK, holders of record 2, 1950 on similar $110,000,000 debentures in June No. share has been declared per the capital stock of The Borden payable September E. L. one on record September 14, 1950. the developed the financial of hostilities of outbreak for at EDMUND CITY HOFFMAN, Secretary. AMERICAN MACHINE AND METALS, INC. A dividend will a 1, be 1950, record 25 1, at Treasurer INVESTING BROAD The 2.87%, actly the issue of 25c per share paid on September to stockholders of close at of of Directors company, payable holders of record September The July per 15, Board the 3s, as 1950, share on this of October at the Direotors declared the a the company payable stockholders of record at on August 4, 1, 1950, close market has eration will to Common Dividend Stock regular quarterly dividend of A seventy-five cents (75c) per share on the Common capital stock of the Com¬ pany issued and outstanding in the hands of the public has been declared p yable Sep¬ tember 11,1950, to the hoIders of record at the close of business August 14, 1950. A _ the cn of company this on August the of 15 ccn o outstanding 15, 1950, to close of entail Into FRAHER, likely curtain issues on W. J. the MANUFACTURING COMPANY until Labor ROSE, Secretary. ring in the D"fed Manufacturing Company a dividend of Fifty Cents (50tf) per share on the out¬ standing common stock of the Company, payable August 25, H. C. July 24, record j- On the 28, Stock of prospective calendar the next piece of business in sight is Duquesne Light Co.'s $12,000,000 23, the at 1950; 1950, 1950. business on Common Corporation. Atlas MASSACHUSETTS July 26, 1950 Board of Directors of Naumkeag Company at a meeting held on July 26, 1950 declared a divi¬ dend of Twenty-five Cents ($.25) a share, pavable 'on August 25, 1950 to COMPANY Cotton of record extra the of busi¬ close RUDOLPH C. DICK President and Treasurer Manufacturing Company an at August 15. 1950. Old Colony Trust Company, of Boston, will mail checks. ness 107) PEQUOT dividend of pay SHEETS & PILLOW CASES daily dividends of luxurious and restful sleep. "The Nation Sleeps on PEQUOT SHEETS shareholders of record at the close of business Aug. 10,1950. the on BRAND, Secretary. DIVIDEND No. 229 Fifty Cents (50^) per share on the outstanding common stock of the Company, payable August 25, holders of to of close 1950 to H. C. STUESSY, Secretary THE FLINTK0TE COMPANY July 28,1950 Walter A. Peterson, Treasurer July 31, 1950 30-year first mortgage bonds. piece of business is now This scheduled to come for bids up Meanwhile, sponsoring bankers making ready to open books the middle fering of of next week convertible the shares preferred Coast of in Boston and preparation the on payable holders A Further appreciable recovery ably speed several the up large . marketing stock on September of record dividend of operations on 1, at ot 25 1950, the share close to stock¬ of busi¬ September 1, : at has • per been share on declared A Corporation, Minneapolis, Min¬ ! . of business August 11, 1950. JOHN E. KING Treasurer ber 11, ord shareon outstanding capital stock stockholders of record at the close 1950. the has been declared at on 1950, to stockholders of the the rec¬ close of business August 26, 1950. CLIFTON - busi¬ 1950. Common Stock payable Septem- quarterly dividend of 25c per the close of business to on quarterly dividend of( $.50 per share payable September 11, 1950, to 1950, $1.00 of at the close of September 1, ness Directors of First Bank Stock stock¬ 23, dividend payable September 15, 1950 to stock¬ nesota, on July 19,1950, declared a cents Stock September holders ot record in per August 24, 1950. Common 21, $4 Cumulative Preferred Stock )Cpoi>ition the Preferred Stock has been declared ness the the equity market might conceiv¬ quarterly share has been declared holders of record quarterly dividend of $1.75 payable Setting per COMMON DIVIDEND A undertaking. Awaiting Proper A Dividend Pillsluryli PREFERRED DIVIDEND of New for YORK N.Y. FLAZA / 51st Consecutive Sanitary $1.35 Chicago, X Standard ■ : of¬ on stock in and Philadelphia, York American Radiator corporation 114,000 NEW 30 ROCKEFELLEI on August 22. are 1950, o'clock will Stt*m SALEM, STUESSY, Secretary MANUFACTURING has declared Common Stock September 16, 3:00 at Checks NAUMKEAG The Board of Directors regular quarterly dividend of 40^ per share has been declared, payable August O. July 28,1950 Corporation A interval August record 1950. 9 1950, to shareholders of record at the close of business Aug. 10,1950. (DIVIDEND No. Dividend No. 35 debt Directors of mailed. DIVIDEND NO. 106 of Eaton will weigh heavily in contemplated plans. of 4, August holders along toward And,1 of course, the. events m., EXTRA DIVIDEND on Board of forty cents per the common stock of payable rtockholders Cleveland 10, Ohio the the on of Eaton EATON ap¬ corporate Corporation, to p. Ohio of dividend a declared was b. 33 Pint Street, New York 5, N.Y. down today, The well Day. of to meeting Steam Doldrums new Dividend Notice a held op¬ flotation Lexington Avenue, New York 17 Secretary. ■hare greater selling Columbia peared trend the 420 business August 2, 1950. mean¬ current America of stock¬ has declared ex¬ stiffened Secretary Vanadium Corporation At AMERICAN CAN Atlas The A. C. MINION, July 31, 1950. But, although while, it appears the August 10, 1950. on Checks will be mailed. The Board of Directors AND ELECTRIC COMPANY yield for September 12, 1950, to stock¬ holders of record at the close of business, three 1950. EDWARD m the matching the on business of dividend Stock Cleveland 10, por¬ yield current debentures. on share. This dividend per will be payable o'clock P.M., Y. company Common of EATON Korea. to , COMPANY 1950. of 27, business H. T. McMeekin, Treasurer. priced for 102.308 at also is JR.,, Secretary COMPANY STREET, NEW YORK 4, N. Board August 15, 1950. To obtain dividend, holders of Voting Trust Certificates should exchange same for Capital Stock promptly. some bonds, held in syndicate accounts, passed to buy¬ ers slightly under the original price. v current and cash dividend a capital stock of $1.25 27j 1950, declared the regular quarterly dividend of $1-375 per share on the outstanding §\'i% Series Cumulative Preferred Stock of the Thereafter The stock¬ Directors of the OIL has this day declared July of until to CRONMILLER, the with that in COMMON 1, 1950 1950. President Board of NOETZEL July 25, 1950 Transfer winning group, at that time, reoffering publicly at a price of 102.488 to yield 2.86%. A brisk tion PAR NO 11, (Incorporated in New Jersey) sixty cents the demand F. STANDARD 162 1950, to stockholders of record Checks will be mailed. transaction. sold August G. the close of business August 11, 1950. declared Stockholders of to profiting to the $155,700 on the overall Columbia ONE Preferred Stock of this Company, payable Octo¬ ber close of business issuer of was the on September FAHLBUSCH, President An interim dividend of quarterly dividend of a quarter Esso STOCK per cent for DIVIDEND of 1970, Pipe Gas COMPANY PREFERRED declared 1950, August 1st, 1950. Company, CAN 30, (lVa9i) PER CENT or $1.50 per PREFERRED STOCK, payable October 20, 1950 to stockholders of record October 6, 1950. Also declared a DIVIDEND of FIFTY on Vice H. G. 1950 have and ONE-HALF share The bond a announcement goods E. F. HARBISON-WALKER mon completed Transcontinental of¬ runner-up on entirely, in order August 25, 1950, stock. common CORPORATION capital market. new have as beginning knit goods, and \ of business are outcome bid brought Seaboard Finance Corp. Meet¬ ings with dealers have been held Department of Agriculture first made, many sellers of Its The BYiofDHH - the debentures The to pay differential of the was to consump¬ August 1 is of the same magni¬ tude, stocks on hand (7.3 million bales) will be substantially re¬ gray Big Borrowers Natural gas pipe line firms the company a price of 101.88 for report of the Department of Agri¬ culture indicates that acreage this; of the field banking close proved. prices was of ; | on DIVIDEND NOTICES underwrite any unsubscribed por¬ tions. evidently set groups calculations of the most striking commodities, and it is affecting the entire textile mar¬ ket. "rights" existing shareholders, with banking groups having agreed to books will remain open. current domestic and $17,500,000 notes. j the Com- stockholders subscribed in full for effort. year. for addi¬ pro¬ issue investment Competing initial tvith of interim share pany's capital stock, payable September 15, 1950, to stockholders of record at the close ad¬ shares in cents per These issues all involve interest syndicates. tons of will of center corporate nation-wide reoffering raw $12,000,000 ditional 499,923 Gas week, with the $90,000,COO offering bringing out bids by two especially since the De¬ partment of Agriculture has con¬ tracted to purchase 600,000 extra ample, also with plans common. 47%, "Of the four farm that North cottonseed and rebounded dividend of 50 bonds Co. AMERICAN Completion Increased mil¬ itary The Board of Directors has declared a dividend of 75 cents per share and an additional 13 $80,000,000 Power (60tf) this smaller & of institutions, DIVIDEND NOTICES low The TEXAS GULF SULPHUR COMPANY Peoples Gas, Light placed DIVIDEND System's extensive financing 6%. abeyance of Line Corp. had been under the Korean steers mortgage to for the basis of supply and By June 23, hog prices were 29% above their 1950 and first 125,000 DIVIDEND NOTICES issues. This new group of institutions $32,000,000 of first mortgage bonds, due price on Co., rangements for a total of better than $152,000,000 of new money. Bankers placed directly with a the demand factors. sell companies before even to Consumers tional in common Coke financing is being done via may be attributed to anticipatory buying. Hog prices on July 28 were 23% above their June 23 level, but steers were up only 6%. Seasonal increases in way, and of $120,000,000 of affiliate such increases livestock shares has of Ro¬ the direct placement route. Within the week two avail¬ are Telephone And Texas Illinois Natural Gas Pipeline Co. completed placement and common preferred.,, 15% since June 23 and print cloth not available. are of these foodstuffs chester of at However, since adequate supplies even shares to And which of has. plans date (July 28) on the spot market, the price of cotton has increased "Price increases have been gen¬ erally 110,000 few have a Stores sell 253,064 shares of develop¬ prepare been deferred pend¬ propitious conditions. Safeway Only Limited Rise in Food Prices stocks but this carryover 1949 have more 43 - W. GREGG, Vice-President and Treasurer E. O. Jenkins, President August 2,1950 be 44 The Commercial and Financial Chronicle (472) . . With E. F. Hutton BUSINESS BUZZ (Special to The Financial Chronicle) LOS Washington... A y* gJ xl f w\A/ Behind-the-Scene Interpretation* from the Nation'* Capital Thursday, August 3, 1950 . Calif.—Irving ANGELES, is Hirsch F. Hutton & with connected now E. Co., 623 South Spring Street. \ JL IM/ Joins Witherspoon Staff (Special to The Financial Chronicle) question of long-range tax is being handled here with a care, deliberateness, and conscientiousness which is in with the "off the been oper¬ ated since the opening of the Ko¬ sharp contrast cuff'' way things have rean war. place, what is being a proposed overall In the first worked out IS legislation in the interests of bringing about as amuch equity as possible consistent with boosting the total tax take. What is NOT being done is a scheme to cook up merely an ex¬ revision of tax profits tax and toss in several other things in addition. Secretary Snyder has enlisted the services of A. Lee M. Wig¬ cess former Under Secretary of the Treasury, to pull this together. gins, <oC Wiggins is both tive and railroad a small a His personal pole execu¬ banker. town and one-time Treasury tax men. approach is to review and The , bring date to up 22 facets by the Treas¬ the some studies made of all principal of the tax problem ury's research staff, a study super¬ vised by Mr. Wiggins when he was Under Secretary. In private con¬ ferences Wiggins is soliciting the advice not only from virtually the «ntire government, including the CEA, but of business and even labor groups. The Treasury is asking for advice and information. It is not telling these groups what it proposes to do and asking their reaction. The Treasury has not ■decided what it will recommend. the what Thus is re¬ Treasury ported to have in mind is funda¬ revision of the tax question of an ex¬ cess profits tax as such, is there¬ fore an incidental question, just one phase, if an important phase, ■of the whole question. It is not planned at present to mentally a laws the and submit the revisions tax election, until after the earliest, and at If to- perhaps not until January. 'jfc these tal total near or country, the then tions will go war is upon the recommenda¬ down to the Capitol in November and perhaps after considered the the "lame duck" in special whole Congress sitting Otherwise the session. affair will be election by may not come up until January. Hence it is premature late about what the to specu¬ excess profits tax will -or tors be, either as to rate, base, exemptions. Tax administra¬ have gone on the record in can which be sufficiently akin to an ex¬ profits tax to be called one, cess blood * * are imple¬ produce to five be World will as in the planned variation come of the be corporation a in¬ tax. The overall revision of the tax ing the is capacity, is however, pushed, for rate to 45%, whilst at the same time taking in loophole-plugging of the House passed bill minus excise the * BOSTON, Mass. its recent most "My present success came slowly-—I started out as a that control of conventional mort¬ * * * reported in several quar¬ ters that business echoes the Tru¬ is It is there control rigid credit sumer the IF and con¬ over tax bill is passed quickly enough, the U. S. can have "guns and butter" too— the scope of war does expand beyond the presently- long so not as outlined program. civilian will production but somewhat back and be cut drasti¬ not A tentative estimate made cally. indicates that the here other new mili¬ Marshall Plan aid cannot take tary program plus plus military more than the steel outside of an 13% production of the of coun¬ and the development of foreign military aid production try, will much later in 1950. To¬ come tal military requirements for the military other than MAP are said to require an outside of 9% of U. S. steel production. But it is said to be important control there TV so are sets, credit some that washing the will hold effective demand the near moderately reduced in the situation," wrote Mr. Foley, "the control of housing credit, insured, guaranteed, or conventional, must be integrated with the basic housing responsi¬ ment. tions are of Govern¬ condi¬ current paramount impor¬ restrictions whatever equitably ap¬ requiring undue are without least able to those from for housing." Mr. note. He said that the policy of "stra¬ tegic dispersion" will require ad¬ ditional housing during the war. In other words, he doesn't go along with NSRB on using pre¬ fabs, trailers, tent cities, and com¬ pulsory billeting to save housing materials and labor during' the Foley added new a war. * * * Republicans have been knocked completely off base to what is as the best strategy to use politically, because of the sudden ment of the Korean to what toward deficit Despite the feverish fi¬ On nancing. ac¬ those tivity get be approach to of is that sacrifice pay Under . . Federal the of . necessary plied in way present it tance deliberation will There a set for the war, it few months before out- a volume of new borrow¬ tax cuts. the staff of develop¬ They split war. as was the hand one tried who ministration out schools best politics. Baruch to there were goad the Ad¬ adopting the all- idea, controlling tioning. The thought behind back¬ this line officials would and had who to Mass. SPRINGFIELD, C. man — Nor¬ Nagle has become affili¬ ated with Lloyd D. Fernald & Co., Inc., 1387 Maine Street, members of the Boston Stock Exchange. the those other hand there President were U. S. Finishing that the took the tack who Television virtually the same powers as he sought un¬ der the Spence bill—first to fight inflation, then to promote infla¬ tion, and now to promote the prosecution of the war. These Republicans, and seeking was and Video Rep. Cinema Television B P. Scophony-Baird Ltd. Jesse Wolcott, demanded to know why such if broad this is powers strictly a were "10 needed per cent war." controls (never a hopeful prospect) price control, and rationing do not get enacted, industry had better pre¬ Assuming that Corp. of America Norwalk Tire & Rubber Capehart Senators Bricker M. S. WlEN & Co. public 40 relations ian economy beating. Teletype N. Y. 1-1397 Even scale of will not be great IF the to its present war is For the scope, bidding overtime and for help and in time, sew¬ double fabric the higher price level. Then labor will blame into business the and so the Admin¬ will istration and there ultimately will come the clamor for a Large Appreciation Potential WE SUGGEST confined prices mean¬ while will have risen, and labor will have secured not only wage increases but larger total wages ing HA. 2-8780 Exchange PI., N. Y. 5 though the upsetting of the civil¬ in 1919 ESTABLISHED wage itself for another prolonged pare the Equipment Corp. Trad Television RIVERSIDE CEMENT CO. CLASS B (common) STOCK A leading in producer of cement Southern fast -growing California. Analysis of this Company and a review of the Cement Indus¬ try available on request. "roll back" of prices. $8*25 Selling about to prices, wages, and instituting ra¬ ing the blame controls Lloyd D. Fernald (Special to The Financial Chronicle) operate them. On Com¬ into two sharply diverging supply. will be government- mittee's attention to the fact that, when machines, and stricter credit be with should like to call the "I cutbacks of autos, that on, so operated must these abetted subsidized credit. bilities automobile Hence to gage credit concurrently Administration belief that IF man With "guiding" tention. Warren B. Street. again the In a letter to Chairman May- tioning and wage control came, the economic ex¬ bear the pansion, the President in his own bank of the Senate Banking Com¬ Administration would mid-year Economic Report, threw mittee, who had asked some point¬ blame of the consuming and labor this down—something which in ed questions about real estate groups, for the public would for¬ that Republicans aided and the welter of news got little at¬ credit control, Mr. Foley related get of idea — joined Vice-President!" emphasized President of Kansas Blair, Rollins & Co., Inc., 50 State the to report has Stetson While the CEA respect to steel. in Inc. With Blair, Rollins was that once ra¬ (This column is intended to re¬ flect the "behind the scene" inter¬ pretation from the nation's Capital and may or may not coincide with the "Chronicle's" own views.) LERNER & CO. Investment Securities 10 Post Office Square, Boston 2 Tel. HUbbard Mais. 2-1990 ing. The Treasury will be con¬ ferring with bankers, insurance HAnover this month, although it may be. * * Teletype—NY 1-971 2-0050 subject. It does not follow that the pattern of borrowing for the new war will be set by the end of Firm Trading Markets Empire State^Oil Foundation Company Jack Cr Heintz FOREIGN SECURITIES W. L. Maxson * All Issues Tracerlab, lnc- Ray Foley, the top housing ex¬ corporation Reed, L. with (Special to The Financial Chronicle) Neither Secre¬ tary Sawyer of Commerce nor President Truman favors it, with ecutive of the government, has al¬ course, & connected City. performance. in from of bill rates to around the 1945 level and the Waddell a now being boosting individual separate, "quickie" now subject which is expected to get more attention in headlines than laws which the Treasury is study¬ ^ is overall revision. New Colo.—Jerome Bechter to bill, with just about everybody's blessing. It will not have to await the to The Financial Chronicle) DENVER, "quickie" tax the to on same is It II. executives, and others during the first part of this month on this even (Special The allowed. be years, War this tack Corp., Bos¬ Building. With Waddell & Reed accelerated amor¬ war, will proximating an excess profits tax in burden, it might only be a type It could Payne have joined the staff of ton payments become so heavy as to call for anything unusual in the of such tax. & Hamilton Management in the cards political¬ ly. This would seem to be indi¬ cated by the President's commit¬ ment and the shouting of the CIO. On the other hand, while ap¬ is probably DENVER, Colo.—Ralph J. Harsha, William F. Jemison, and Eric meet amortization period probably the something of tization to many (Special to The Financial Chronicle) when new plants an^ constructed ments 215 Inc., Three With Hamilton excess corporation for * IF Co., renego¬ an would not it but need the terms categories. i Nevertheless, of lieu in from the labor groups. profits tax is probably a dif¬ ficult thing to work out without leaving great inequities in law position, joined the staff & West Seventh Street. profits tax might be scientific in that its operation would be tail¬ ored to each individual company's the past as indicating that an ex¬ cess comprehensive a use tiation Witherspoon Senator George's plan somewhat. to of distorted be might bill range ANGELES, Calif.—Frank¬ lin K. Koerner has profits tax on the floor, careful plans for a long- excess an a inclination is at a long way removed from the CIO line. He is getting some ad¬ vice from Roy Blough of the Council of Economic Advisers, LOS should tack on the Congress IF This revision ready confirmed that when mort¬ credit is curtailed, the per¬ sons who pay 50% down and bor¬ row for only 10 years are likely to get hit as hard as the little or nothing down boys who make r.ARL MARKS & P.O. INC. gage take 30 years to repay. FOREIGN SECURITIES SPECIALISTS 50 Broad Street ill, Thompson & Co., Inc. Trading Department New York 4, N. Y. 70 WALL STREET, N. Y. Tel. WHitehall 4-4540 5